EPA-600/7-78-034
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency  Industrial Environmental Research      FPA-fiOO/7-"71
Office of Research and Development   Laboratory
                 Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711 February 1978
PHYSICAL
COAL CLEANING
FOR UTILITY BOILER
SO2  EMISSION  CONTROL
Interagency
Energy-Environment
Research and Development
Program Report

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                       RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES
Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protec-
tion Agency, have been grouped into seven series.  These seven broad categories were
established to facilitate further development and application of environmental technology.
Elimination of traditional grouping was consciously planned to foster technology transfer
and a maximum interface in related fields. The seven series are:

      1.  Environmental Health Effects Research
     2.  Environmental Protection Technology
     3.  Ecological Research
     4.  Environmental Monitoring
     5.  Socioeconomic Environmental Studies
     6.  Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports (STAR)
     7.  Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development

This report has been assigned to the INTERAGENCY ENERGY-ENVIRONMENT
RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT series. Reports in this series result from the effort
funded under the 17-agency Federal Energy/Environment Research and Development
Program. These studies relate to EPA's mission to protect the public health and welfare
from adverse effects of pollutants associated with energy systems.  The goal of the Program
is to assure the rapid development of domestic energy supplies in an  environmentally-
compatible manner by providing the necessary environmental data and control technology.
Investigations include analyses of the transport of energy-related pollutants and their health
and ecological effects; assessments of, and development of, control technologies for energy
systems; and integrated assessments of a wide range of energy-related environmental issues.
                                REVIEW NOTICE
This report has been reviewed by the participating Federal Agencies, and
approved for publication. Approval  does not signify that the contents
necessarily reflect the views and  policies of the Government, nor does
mention of trade names or commercial  products constitute endorsement
or recommendation for use.
This document is available to the public through the National Technical Information Service,
Springfield, Virginia  22161.

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                                 EPA-600/7-78-034
                                       February 1978
PHYSICAL COAL CLEANING
      FOR UTILITY BOILER
 SO2 EMISSION CONTROL
                   by

         E. H. Hall, L Hoffman, J. Hoffman,
              and R. A. Schilling

            Battelle Memorial Institute
             Columbus Laboratories
               505 King Avenue
             Columbus, Ohio 43201
         Contract No. 68-02-2163, Task 851
          Program Element No. EHE 623A
        EPA Project Officer: James D. Kilgroe

       Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
        Office of Energy, Minerals, and Industry
         Research Triangle Park, N.C.  27711
                Prepared for

     U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
         Office of Research and Development
            Washington, D.C. 20460

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                                  ABSTRACT

      This  study on the use  of  physical  coal  cleaning  (PCC)  for  compliance
 with SC>2 emission regulations  was part  of  an evaluation of  revised  utility
 boiler  New Source Performance  Standards (NSPS)  performed for  EPA's  Office
 of  Air  Quality Planning and Standards.

      Estimates were made of the  quantities of naturally occurring low-sulfur
 coal and physically cleaned coal potentially available  for  compliance with
 three emission standards:   1.2,  0.8,  and 0.4 Ib S02/106 Btu (0.52,  0.34,  and
 0.17 kg S02/GJ).   Estimates also were made of the  amount of U.S. coal which
 could be made  available if  flue  gas desulfurization  (FGD) or  combinations
 of  FGD  and PCC were used as the  S02 emission control  technique.  The effects
 of  coal sulfur variability  and required emission averaging  time on  the  amount
 of  available compliance coals  also were evaluated.  An  overview of  the  tech-
 nology  costs and environmental aspects  of  both  physical and chemical coal
 cleaning is included,  and the  applicability  of  fluidized bed  combustion and
 synthetic  fuels for compliance with S02 emission standards  are  discussed
 briefly.

      The study results indicate  that  the use of coal  cleaning as an emission
 control technique will decrease  if the  emission limits  are  lowered.  Under
 thV~current NSPS^of 1.2 Ib  S02/106 Btu  (0.52 kg S02/GJ),  an estimated total
j)f.Jx2.4 billion short  tons  of  recoverable  reserves could be burned  without
 cleaning^ or could be cleaned to  compliance levels  as  compared with  an esti-
 mated portion  of this  amount of  36.4  billion tons  of  low-sulfur coal which
 could be burned without cleaning.  Under a limit of 0.8 Ib  S02/106  Btu  (0.34
 kg  S02/GJ), these quantities drop to  10.4  and 5.2  billion short tons, respec-
 tively.  No coal is available  even with cleaning which  could  comply with a
 limit of 0.4 Ib S02/106 Btu (0.17 kg  S02/GJ).   A short-term averaging require-
 ment would reduce substantially  the quantities  available to meet either the
 1.2 or  0.8 Ib  S02/106  Btu (0.52  or 0.34 kg S02/GJ) limit.   The  combination
 of  coal cleaning plus  FGD would  be useful  in meeting  a  0.4  Ib 502/10^ Btu
 (0.17 kg S02/GJ)  emission standard.   At this emission level coal cleaning
 could nearly double the available reserve  as compared with  the  use  of FGD
 alone.  For other emission  limits, the  applicability  of coal  cleaning
 combined with  FGD will depend  upon the  cost  effectiveness of  this approach.

      This  report was submitted in partial  fulfillment of Contract No.
 68-02-2163, Task 851,  by Battelle's Columbus Laboratories under the sponsor-
 ship of the U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency.  Portions of  the  work were
 performed  by Hoffman-Muntner Corporation,  Silver Spring, Maryland,  under
 subcontract to Battelle's Columbus Laboratories.

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                              TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                       Page

ABSTRACT	±±

LIST OF CONVERSION FACTORS	xi

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS  	  xii

INTRODUCTION 	   i

CONCLUSIONS  	   2

VARIABILITY OF SULFUR IN COAL	5

RESULTS OF STUDY  	   8

     General Discussion  	   8

     Availability of Low-Sulfur Coal, Physically Cleaned Coal, and Flue
     Gas Desulfurization to Meet Optional NSPS	9

     FGD Considerations	25

     Applicability of Combined Physical Coal Cleaning (PCC)  and Flue Gas
     Desulfurization (FGD) to Meet Optional NSPS 	  27

     Applicability of Fluidized-Bed Combustion to Meet Optional NSPS .  .  29

     Applicability of Coal Conversion Processes to Meet Optional NSPS  .  30

ELECTRIC POWER SUPPLY AND DEMAND 1977-1986 	  32

     General Discussion	,	^2

     Peak Demand Forecasts ....',..,	34

     Energy Forecasts  	 ,..,...., 	  37

     Generating Capability Projections ... 	  37

          Annual Coal Demand for New Units,  1976-1985  	  37

     Origin and Destination of Coal for New  Units  .  . ,	43

          Transport of Coal to New Units	^


                               iii

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                            TABLE OF CONTENTS
                                (Continued)

                                                                        Page

METHODOLOGY FOR DETERMINING COAL AVAILABILITY  	   50

          General Discussion   	   50

          Significance of Factors 	   51

          Basic Calculations	   56

TECHNOLOGY,  COST,  AND ENVIRONMENTAL OVERVIEWS OF COAL CLEANING  ....   79

          Physical Coal Cleaning  	   79

          Chemical Cleaning 	   82

               Meyers/TRW Process 	   84

               Battelle Hydrothermal  	   86

               Hazen Process	   86

               KVB	   89

               Ledgemont Oxygen Leaching	t.  .  .  .   91

               BOM/ERDA	   93

               Dynatech	   93

               General Electric 	   93

               Summary of Coal Cleaning Costs	   95

REFERENCES	   97

LIST OF DATA SOURCES	          £8
                                   iv

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                                  TABLES
Number                                                                 Page

   1   Definition of Coal Producing Regions 	     12

   2   Peak Demand -  As Projected April 1, 1977 by the Regional
       Electric Reliability Councils Contiguous United States Megawatts   35

   3   Projected Growth of Peak Demand —  Contiguous United
       States 1977-1986 	     36

   4   Projected Annual Electric Energy Requirements for the Regional
       Electric Reliability Councils Contiguous United States
       Gigawatt-Hours I/	     38

   5   Projected Electric Energy Growth as Reported by the Regional
       Electric Reliability Councils April 1,  1977 in Response to  FPC
       Order 383-4 Contiguous United States 	     39

   6   Annual Load Factors —  in Percent as Projected April 1, 1977
       by the Regional Reliability Councils Contiguous United
       States 1977-1986   	     40

   7   Projected Growth of Generating Capability —  at Time of
       Seasonal Peak Demand Periods Contiguous United States
       1977-1986 Megawatts  	     41

   8   State and Regional Coal Requirements for New Units Scheduled
       for Operation Between 1976-1985  	     42

   9   Comparison of Coal Reserve Data and Washability Data -
       Appalachian Region	'	     52

   10   Western Region Reserves - Cumulative %  of  Total and  Comparison
       with Washability  Data	     53

   11   The Significance  of the Calculation Factors  on  the Determin-
       ation of Coal Availability	     55

   12   Raw Coal Availability	     59

   13   Recoverable Reserves  to Meet  the NSPS, Raw and  Prepared Coal
       to  Meet  the 1985  Annual Demand From Electric Utilities
       (Existing and New) - The Entire United States	     60
                                    v

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                             TABLES (Continued)


Number                                                                Page

  14  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Flue Gas Desulfurization
      (FGD) Combined with Prepared Coal to Meet the 1985 Annual
      Demand from Electric Utilities- The Entire United States ....  61

  15  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Raw and Prepared Coal
      to Meet the 1985 Annual Demand From Electric Utilities
      (Existing Plus New) - Eastern Region	62

  16  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Flue Gas Desulfurization
      (FGD) Combined with Prepared Coal to Meet the 1985 Annual Demand
      From Electric Utilities (Existing Plus  New) FGD-90% Removal
      Efficiency, 100% of Gas Cleaned - Eastern Region 	  64

  17  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Raw and Prepared Coal to
      Meet the 1985 Annual Demand From Electric Utilities (Existing
      Plus New) - Eastern - Midwest Region	66

  18  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Flue Gas Desulfurization
      (FGD) Combined with Prepared Coal to Meet the 1985 Annual Demand
      From Electric Utilities (Existing Plus  New) FGD - 90% Removal
      Efficiency, 100% of Gas Cleaned - Eastern - Midwest Region ...  67

  19  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Raw and Prepared Coal to
      Meet the 1985 Annual Demand From Electric Utilities (Existing
      Plus New)-Western - Midwest Region	73

  20  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Flue Gas Desulfurization
      (FGD) Combined with Prepared Coal to Meet the 1985 Annual
      Demand From Electric Utilities (Existing Plus New) FGD-90%
      Removal Efficiency, 100% of Gas Cleaned - Western-
      Midwest Region . ,	,	74

  21  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Raw and Prepared Coal to
      Meet the 1985 Annual Demand From Electric Utilities (Existing
      and New)-Western Region  	  75

  22  Recoverable Reserves to Meet the NSPS,  Flue Gas Desulfurization
      (FGD) Combined with Prepared Coal to Meet the 1985 Annual Demand
      From Electric Utilities (Existing Plus  New) FGD-90% Removal
      Efficiency, 100% of Gas Cleaned - Western Region ........  76
                                  VI

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                            TABLES (Continued)





Number                                                               Page




  23  Physical Coal Cleaning Process Environmental Problems  	  83




  24  Major Coal Cleaning Process Considerations  	  96
                                   vii

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                                 FIGURES
Number                                                              Page

  1   Examples of Normal Distribution Curves  ...........   6

  2   Coal Availability Bar Chart .................   11

  3   Coal Availability Bar Chart (Including the Effects of the
      Variability of the Sulfur Content of Coals:  The Relative
      Standard Deviation, RSD = 10%, Compliance = 99.87%) .....   14

  4   Coal Availability - The Entire United States  ........   15

  5   Coal Availability (Including Sulfur Variability)  - The
      Entire United States  ....................   16

  6   Coal Availability - Eastern Region  .............   17

  7   Coal Availability (Including Sulfur Variability)  - Eastern
      Region  ...........................   18

  8   Coal Availability - Eastern Midwest Region  .........   19

  9   Coal Availability (Including Sulfur Variability)  - Eastern-
      Midwest Region  .......................   20
  10  Coal Availability - Western Midwest Region
  11  Coal Availability (Including Sulfur Variability) -Western-
      Midwest Region  .......................   22

  12  Coal Availability - Western Region  .............   23

  13  Coal Availability (Including Sulfur Variability )-
      Western Region  .......................   24

  14  Projected Capacity Demand -Peak Power Demand and Required
      FGD Capacity  ........................   26

  15  Regional Electric Reliability Councils  ...........   33

  16  Flow of Coal to New Generating Units From the Western Regions
      of the Northern Great Plains (in 1000 tons) 1980-1985 ....  .45
                                  viii

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                             FIGURES (Continued)

Number

  17  Flow of Coal to New Generating Units From the Eastern Region
      (Interior Province) and the Fort Union Region (in 1000
      tons) 1980-1985	46

  18  Flow of Coal to New Generating Units From the Appalachian
      Region, From U.S,  Bureau of Mines District 15, and From the
      Mountain Region (in 1000 tons) 1980-1985  	 48

  19  Percent of all U.S. Coal Samples Meeting the Current EPA
      Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with No Preparation .... 68

  20  Percent of Alabama Region Coal Samples Meeting the Current
      EPA Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with No Preparation .  . 69

  21  Percent of Southern Appalachian Region Coal Samples Meeting
      the Current EPA Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with No
      Preparation	70

  22  Percent of Northern Appalachian Region Coal Samples Meeting the
      Current EPA Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with No
      Preparation	,	,  .  . 71

  23  Percent of Eastern Midwest Region Coal Samples Meeting the
      Current EPA Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with No
      Preparation	,  . . ,	72

  24  Percent of Western Midwest Region Coal Samples Meeting the
      Current EPA Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with No
      Prepration	77
                                  i
  25  Percent of Western Region Coal Samples Meeting the Current
      EPA Standard of 1.2 Pounds S02/MM Btu with  No Preparation .  . 78

  26  TRW Meyers Process Flow Diagram	85

  27  Battelle Hydrothermal  Process  Flow Diagram   	 8?

  28  Hazen Process  Flow Diagram	88
                                    ix

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                             FIGURES (Continued)




Number                                                                    Page




  29  KVB Process Flow Diagram	,  .  .  ,	   90




  30  LOL Process Flow Diagram	   92




  31  BOM/ERDA Process Flow Diagram	   94

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                         LIST OF CONVERSION FACTORS

Btu  (at 60 F) x 1.055 x 103 = Joule  (j)

feet x 0.3048 = meter (m)

degrees Fahrenheit  (f) -32 x 0.555 = degrees Celsius  (C)

pound mass (Ib) x 0.4536 = Kilogram  (kg)

Btu/pound (Ib) x 2.326 x 10~3 = Mega Joule/kg  (MJ/kg)

lb/106 Btu x 0.4299 = kg/GJ (kg/109J)

short ton (2000 Ib) x 0.906 = metric ton  (1000 kg) =  k kg

dollars/short ton x 1.1023 = dollars/metric ton

dollars/106 Btu x 0.9479 = dollars/GJ  ($/109 J)

pound force per square inch (psi) x 6.89 x 10  =
   Pascal (Pa) = Newton/m2) (N/m2)

gallon (U.S.) x 3.78 = liter

barrel (42 gallon) x 158.97 = liter
                                      XI

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                            ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
     This study was conducted as a Task in Battelle Columbus Laboratories'
ongoing program, "Environmental Assessment of Coal Cleaning Processes'1,
which is supported by EPA.  The contributions of the Program Manager, Mr.
G. Ray Smithson, Jr., and by the Deputy Program Manager, Mr. Alex W. Lemmon,
Jr., are gratefully acknowledged.
     Significant contributions to this report were made by Mr. Lawrence
Hoffman and Mr. Jerome Hoffman, both of Hoffman-Muntner Corporation, Silver
Spring, Maryland, and as a result, these contributors are listed as co-authors
of this report.
     The advice and counsel of the EPA project Officer Mr. James D. Kilgore,
and the liasion provided by Mr. Charles Sedman of the Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards were invaluable in the performance of this work.
                                     xii

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                                 INTRODUCTION

      This  report has  been prepared to  provide  information  to EPA's Office
 of  Air Quality Planning and Standards  (OAQPS)  for  a feasibility  study
 pertaining to  possible revision of New Source  Performance  Standards  (NSPS)
 for power  boilers.  The report stresses physical coal  cleaning as a  control
J:echnique  for  SO^ emissions,  and includes  an analysis  of the availability
 of  low-sulfur  coal and of coal cleanable to compliance levels under  various
 alternative NSPS.  The results of the  availability analysis and  brief dis-
 cussions of the applicability of other control techniques  to meet optional
 NSPS are summarized in the study results section.   Details of the projections
 of  coal demand for power boilers, and  a description of the methodology for
 estimating coal availability  are presented in  the  subsequent sections.  The
 final section  contains an overview of  the  technology,  costs, and environ-
 mental aspects of both physical and chemical coal  cleaning processes.
      During the course of the study questions  have arisen  regarding  the
 validity of the data  base on  coal reserves.  Project staff consulted
 directly with  Bureau  of Mines personnel associated with the development of
 the  reserve data and  determined that revisions now in  progress are not expected
 to  result  in major  changes in the data.   In addition,  coal cleanability data
 are  limited in scope  and extrapolations  based  on the limited data cannot be
 expected to be as accurate as they will be when broader cleanability data
 become available.   The results of the  availability analysis are, of  course,
                                  i
 subject to  modifications as the Bureau of  Mines reserve data are refined and
 as additional  cleanability studies are performed.   However, the  analysis is
 based on  the best data currently available and the results are believed  to be
 a reasonably good representation of the  actual potential availability of low-
 sulfur coal and cleanable coal.

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                                CONCLUSIONS

     The potential role of physical coal cleaning (PCC) for control of S02
emissions from utility boilers was evaluated for three alternative New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS).  The approach employed was based on a determin-
ation of the quantities of raw coal and of coal cleaned to various levels
which could be burned in compliance with S02 emission standards of 1.2, 0.8,
and 0.4 Ib S02/106 Btu (0.52, 0.34, and 0.17 kg S02/GJ).  The impact of the
variability of sulfur in coal on the quantities of raw and cleaned coal which
could be burned in compliance with various emission limits also was evaluated.
The combined use of coal cleaning and flue gas desulfurization (FGD) was
examined, and the applicability of fluidized bed combustion and of coal
conversion processes to meet alternative NSPS was reviewed briefly.
     The evaluations were made using U.S. Bureau of Mines coal reserves and
coal washability data bases.
     The results of the study may be summarized by the following conclusions.
     (1)  It is estimated that a total of 62.4 billion short tons of
          recoverable coal reserves could be burned without cleaning
          or could be physically cleaned to comply with existing
          NSPS for S02 emissions.   This compares with 36.4 billion
          short tons of recoverable reserves of low-sulfur coal
          which could be burned without cleaning.
     (2)  If emission limits are lowered and short-term averaging
          is required, PCC alone will be of limited value as an
          emission control technique as illustrated by the following
          tabulation.

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                               S00 Emission  Limit,  lb/106 Btu
                           1.2                0.8               0.4
                      Long-      30-      Long-      30-     Long-      30-
Emission  Control      Term      Day      Term      Day      Term      Day
Technique	Average   Average   Average   Average  Average  Average
                                 Recoverable U.S.  Reserves,
                                  billions  of  short tons
Low-Sulfur  Coal       36.4      17.3       5.2      1.6      0.0       0.0
Low-Sulfur  Coal
Plus Cleaned Coal*   62.4      32.3      10.4      7.1      0.0       0.0
* Cleaned at 1.5 inches  top size with Btu recovery greater than 90 percent.
  Tonnages do not reflect Btu or weight loss during cleaning.

      (3)  PCC can be combined with FGD to meet reduced emission limits.
          The combination is particularly effective for a standard of  0.4
          Ib S02/106 Btu (0.17 kg S02/GJ) because large quantities of
          high-sulfur coals cannot be cleaned to this level with FGD
          alone.  The following tabulation summarizes the tonnages of
          coal which would be potentially available using low-sulfur
          coal with FGD  or cleaned coal with FGD.

                              S02 Emission Limit, lb/106 Btu
                          172078674
                     Long-     30-     Long-     30-     Long-     30-
Emission Control      Term     Day      Term     Day      Term     Day
Technique	Average  Average  Average  Average  Average  Average
                                Recoverable U.S. Reserves,
                                  billions of short tons
Low-Sulfur Coal
and FGD              254.6    229.4    215.6    184,5    111.7     85.9
Low-Sulfur Coal
Plus Cleaned Coal*
and FGD              257.2    253.8    254.6    229.4    171.5    141.1
* Cleaned at 1.5 inches top size with Btu recovery greater than 90 percent.
  Tonnages do not reflect Btu or weight loss during cleaning.

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(4)  Although a standard specifying a percentage reduction in
     sulfur emissions was not addressed in this study, PCC may
     be useful in combination with other controls in meeting
     this  type  of standard.  PCC would allow the scrubber or
     other control system to operate at a lower efficiency since
     credit would be given to precombustion sulfur removal.
(5)  PCC has been used for many years to reduce ash and to
     enhance the heating value.  As such, PCC is an available
     technology.   Improvements designed to increase sulfur
     removal are being developed and incorporated in the tech-
     nology.  PCC costs vary with the type of coal and the
     treatment employed.  An annualized cost of $0.18/10  Btu
     of cleaned coal is typical.
(6)  A number of chemical coal cleaning processes are in various
     stages of development.   These are designed to achieve
     greater sulfur removajL than PCC.   However, none of these
     processes is commercially available at this time.  The
     projected costs range from $0.60 to $1.00/106 Btu of
     cleaned coal.

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                     VARIABILITY OF SULFUR IN COAL
     The fact that the composition and properties of coal can vary widely,
even within a given coal seam, is an important consideration with respect to
emission regulations.  Because the sulfur content varies, the average value
for sulfur in coal can be used to determine compliance with a given standard
only if long-term averaging of the resultant S02 emission is permitted.   If,
however, the emission limit includes a "never to be exceeded" statement,  a
coal with average sulfur and heat content values which are equivalent to  the
stated emission limit will be out of compliance approximately half of the time.
The net effect of an emission regulation which calls for anything other  than
long-term averaging is to require the use of coal with a lower average sulfur
content so that when upward deviations fro* the average occur the unit will
still be in compliance.  The problem is to determine how much lower the
average sulfur content must be.
     In this analysis  it was  assumed  that  the variation  in  coal  sulfur content
follows normal statistical  relationships,  and the standard  deviation of  the
sulfur values was used to determine the average  sulfur content required  to meet
a  given emission limit.  It should be  noted  that insufficient data on coal
sulfur variability exist to prove that the assumption of normal  statistical
behavior is valid for  all coals.  In fact, the discrete nature of pyritic
sulfur in coal seems to preclude the expectation of normal  distribution.
Nevertheless, the assumption  that normal statistics are followed provides a
useful approach until more  data on sulfur  variability are obtained.
     For a normal statistical distribution,  the  frequency of occurrence  of
various sulfur values would follow a bell-shaped curve of the type shown in
Figure la and Ib.  The highest point on the  curve, i.e., the sulfur value
which occurs most frequently,  represents the average or mean value, designated
by y.  If the variability is  small, the distribution curve  would be tall and
narrow, as shown in Figure  Ib.  A short and broad curve, as shown in Figure
la, would be obtained if the  variability is  large.  It is apparent that  the
Shape of this sulfur distribution curve has great significance with respect

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       Sulfur Emissions, Ib S02/IO°Btu
FIGURE 1.   EXAMPLES OF NORMAL  DISTRIBUTION CURVES

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to compliance with a stated SO^ emission limit.  A much lower average sulfur
content is required for compliance, if the curve is similar to the one shown
in Figure la, than if it is like the one shown in Figure Ib.  One factor which
influences the shape of the distribution curve is the size of the sample taken
for analysis, i.e., the smaller the sample size, the larger the variation in
the observed sulfur values, and, the more the curve will look like Figure la
rather than Figure Ib.  The averaging time used for determining compliance with
a given standard similarly influences the shape of the distribution curve.
Since the quantity of coal burned during a given averaging time constitutes
the sample size, a short averaging time corresponds to a small sample size,
and large variations in sulfur content will be observed when compared to a
longer averaging time with a correspondingly larger sample size.
     The impact of these considerations is shown in the following tabulation,
in which the averaging emission level required by different averaging times is
listed for various emission limits.
                          Average Emission Level Required, Ib 802/10^ Btu
     Emission Standard,
      Ib S02/1Q6 Btu
           1.2
           0.8
           0.4
Long-Term
Averaging
1.2
0.8
0.4
30-Day
Averaging*
0.92
0.62
0.31
24-Hour
Averaging*
0.58
0.30
0.19
*  Following recent EPA fhractice, the relative standard deviation  (RSD),
   defined as a/y where a is the standard deviation and y is the mean value,
   was taken as the measure of sulfur variability.  A 10 percent RSD was used
   as representative of a 30-day averaging period and a 99.87 percent con-
   fidence level was adopted.  For a normal distribution, this level occurs
   at y plus 30.  This means that a coal with an average S02 emission of y
   will exceed y + 3a only 0.13 percent of the time.  A 36 percent RSD and
   a 3a confidence level was used as representative of a 24-hour averaging
   period.

     It is apparent that short-term averaging requirements will greatly reduce
the quantities of raw coal and of cleaned coal which could be burned in com-
pliance with any given emission limit, because the average sulfur content
required for a 24-hour averaging period is less than one-half of the value
required for long-term averaging.  The impact of averaging time with respect to
a percentage reduction regulation, although not addressed in this study,  is
expected to be important also.
                                    7

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                            RESULTS OF STUDY
                           General Discussion
     The potential role of coal cleaning and other control technologies as SO-
emission control techniques for utility boilers was evaluated in terms of the
quantities of coal reserves which could be used in compliance with various
alternative NSPS.  Such reserve quantities are referred to subsequently as
available coal.  In this context, "available" means suitable for compliance with
a given emission standard, rather than ready for use.  For each alternative
NSPS, the quantities of available coal were determined for different com-
binations of control technology application.  These tonnages are compiled in
Tables 13-23 in a later section.  In order to emphasize the impact of various
NSPS on the potential demand for coal cleaning and other control techniques,
the coal quantities in tons were converted to years of coal availability by
dividing by an assumed annual utility consumption of coal.  In each case the
utility consumption of coal projected for 1985 was arbitrarily selected for
this conversion factor.  The resulting quantities, years of coal availability,
are not intended to reflect the actual lifetimes of coal reserves, since other
coal uses, logistics of transportation, contractual arrangements, etc., have
not been considered.  Rather, the years of coal availability are merely numbers
which reflect, on a regional basis, both the reserves and a significant fraction
of the total coal demand.   It is this ratio of potential supply and potential
demand which more clearly reflects the impact of revised NSPS on the potential
for coal cleaning to serve as an S02 control measure for utility boilers.
     The use of electricity is expected to increase during the period 1976-
1985,  possiblv at a lower  annual rate than observed in past decades.   Demand and
energy requirements will be closely allied to the state of the economy and real
growth of the Gross National Product.  Conservation, higher prices for electricity,
and a slight decrease in the rate of population growth will tend to reduce the
growth  rate while the curtailment of gas and oil use will tend to increase it.
The Federal Power Commission has projected that the total  national  electric  energy
requirement in 1985 will be within the approximate range of 3  to 3.5 million
gigawatt-hours (1 gigawatt is one million kilowatts).   This compares with about
2.2 million gigawatt hours in 1977.
                                    8

-------
      The Energy Policy and  Conservation Act  of  1975 was  enacted "to in-
 crease  domestic energy supplies  and  availability;  to  restrain energy demand;
 to  prepare for energy emergencies; and for other purposes."  Many of the
 provisions of  this  act will have significant impact on the availability of
 fuels to the electric industry.
      The bill  provides for  the extension  of  the Federal  Energy Administra-
 tion's  (FEA) coal conversion authority enforceable through January 1, 1985.
 With  this authority the FEA can  order a power plant which is burning oil
 or  gas  to switch to coal, if the plant has coal burning  capabilities.  The
 conversion must also be approved by  the Environmental Protection Agency.
 The FEA has estimated that  if all units considered as potential candidates
 for conversion are  in fact  converted to coal, utility annual coal demand
would be  increased  by  42.6 million kkg (47 million tons) by 1984.
     The  FPC estimates  that  electric power generation by coal-fired boilers
will increase  from  45%  in 1975 to 49% in  1985.  This  translates into an
annual utility  demand  for coal of 715 million kkg  (788 million tons) in 1985.
The conversion-to-coal  demand would  therefore increase this amount by
approximately  6%.
     A  further potential influence on projected utility  coal demand is the
National Energy Plan proposed by President Carter.  Which portions of this
 plan will be enacted is not  clear at this time.  However, various govern-
ment agency analysts have concluded  that  it  is  not likely to have a large
 impact  on utility coal use.

                Availability  of Low-Sulfur Coal, Physically
                Cleaned Coal,  and Flue Gas Desulfurization
                         to  Meet Optional NSFS

     Given  the  projected utility demand for  coal,  an  analysis was conducted
of the availability of  low-sulfur coal and physically cleaned coal to meet
this demand.  The availability was determined for  various alternative NSPS
and, for comparison, for the  case of no emission standards.  The availability
of coal which could meet the various NSPS with  coal cleaning together with
flue gas desulfurization (FGD) also was determined.

-------
     The bounded solution to this analysis was obtained by using:
     1) The projected annual demand  for coal,  by all the coal-fired
        electric utilities  (existing and new) scheduled for 1985
        operation
     2) The annual coal demand by the potential utility candidates
        for conversion from oil and gas to coal
     3) The demonstrated recoverable coal reserve base
     4) The potential cleanability of the reserve base
     5) Assumptions regarding the effectiveness of FGD applied to
        the combustion products from cleaned coal
     6) Assumptions regarding the variability of sulfur in coal.
     The analytical methodology and the detailed results are described in
a subsequent section.  Summaries of the results of the analysis are dis-
played in the form of bar charts in Figure 2, in which sulfur variability is
not considered, and Figure  3, in which  sulfur variability effects are included.
The bar chart is an effective means of  conveying the effects of emission regu-
lations and techniques for  compliance on the coal availability throughout the
United States.  The definitions of the  regions designated are given in Table 1.
     The nature of the information presented in Figure 2 may be illustrated
by reference to the four bars for the entire United States.   If there were
no emission standards, the demonstrated recoverable coal reserve base
could supply the utility demand for 330 years if consumed at the- projected
1985 rate.  For a NSPS of 1.2 pounds S02 per 10  Btu, raw coal availability
drops to 46 years.   Physical cleaning to the level noted increases the
availability to 79 years.  If FGD and PCC were applied, the availability
becomes 326 years.   This is almost the equivalent of the raw coal recover-
able reserve.   This simply means that there is a small amount of coal which
could not meet a 1.2 pounds SO^ per 10  Btu on a long term averaging basis
even with PCC  and FGD applied.   If the NSPS were reduced to  0.8 pounds S09
      f                                                                  *-
per 10  Btu,  raw coal and PCC coal availability both drop still further.,
Essentially no raw coal or coal which could be sufficiently  cleaned is available
if the NSPS were reduced to 0.4 pounds S0~ per 10  Btu, and  the availability
drops to 218 years if both PCC and FGD control techniques were applied.   A
regional breakdown also is presented in Figure 2.
                                    10

-------
  0)
  4J
  rt
  fA


  S 500
  o
  01
  ''—>
  o
  1-t
  PL.

  0)
    400
aq
  4-1
  ed
  e

  1

  o 300
  CJ
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  c
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   l-i
   1)
   0)
   0)
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   '••0
   QJ
     200
     100
                                          FIGURE 2


                                 COAL AVAILABILITY BAR CHART


                  STATUS OF THE AVAILABILITY OF COAL TO MEET THE NSPS OPTIONS

             FOR ALL COAL-FIRED UTILITIES OPERATING IN 1985  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)

          RAW AND PREPARED COAL WITH AND WITHOUT FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)
                                                                                 WESTERN REGION
           THE ENTIRE
         UNITED  STATES
          il
              ^i
  i§u
          I
^
        I
NO 12  O.S  0-4
                                       EASTERN-MIDWEST
                                           REGION
                               EASTERN REGION
                            NO 1.2 O.S
                                                            WESTERN-MIDWEST
                                                                 REGION
                                    NO 1.2 0-8 0.4
NO 1.2 0.8 0-4
                                    EMISSION STANDARD (S02 Pounds Per Million Btu)
NO 1.2 b'."8 O4
Raw Coal
                      Prepared Coal  (PCC)
                      >90% Btu Recovery, Crushed to 1-1/2" Top Size
                                                                FGD Combined uith  //;••  Prepared  Coal
                                                                 90'" Removal Efficiency,  100*1, of i»Ji'

-------
                              TABLE  1
                DEFINITION OF COAL PRODUCING REGIONS
   REGION
APPALACHIA
DESIGNATION
EASTERN
  STATES ENCOMPASSED

ALABAMA, EAST KENTUCKY,
MARYLAND, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA,
TENNESSEE, VIRGINIA, WEST
VIRGINIA.
INTERIOR
  BASIN
EASTERN
MIDWEST
ILLINOIS, INDIANA, WEST
KENTUCKY.
BUREAU OF
MINES
DISTRICT 15
WESTERN
MIDWEST
ARKANSAS, IOWA, KANSAS,
MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA, TEXAS
NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS
THE ROCKIES,
  AND
THE PACIFIC
WESTERN
ALASKA, ARIZONA, COLORADO,
IDAHO, MONTANA, NEW MEXICO,
NORTH DAKOTA, OREGON, SOUTH
DAKOTA, UTAH, WASHINGTON,
WYOMING
                              12

-------
For  each  region  the available coal  in the region is compared with the
projected 1985 utility demand for coal in the same region.
     All  of  the  information presented in Figure 2 is based on average
sulfur values.   Consideration of the effect of sulfur variability was
incorporated in  the analysis as summarized in Figure 3.  The net effect
of requiring short-time  averaging in determining compliance with a stated
emission  limit is  to  reduce the availability of raw coal and of cleaned
coal, as  can be  seen  by  comparing Figure 3 with Figure 2.
     The  summary results of Figures 2 and 3 indicate the following con-
clusions.
     1) PCC  alone  will be of limited value in meeting reduced NSPS
        for  utilities.   PCC should  have a role in combination with FGD.
     2) FGD  or other  control techniques with comparable sulfur-
        removal  effectiveness will  be required, if more stringent
        SO «  emission  standards are  imposed.
     3) If the practicality of coal distribution from one region
        to another region were ignored, and if it were assumed
        that the coal reserves were available for use anywhere
        in the United States, compliance with more stringent
        regulations would still be  impossible without FGD or
        comparable control techniques.
     4) Since the  potential for conversion from oil and gas
        to coal  would increase the  demand for coal by only
        6 percent, this  by itself would only cause a small ripple
        effect in  the coal availability results.
     Somewhat more detailed summaries of the results of the availability
                                  \
analysis  are presented in Figures 4-13.  These sets of curves cover the four
major coal-producing  regions plus a composite graph for the entire United
States.   In  each case the first figure shows coal availabilities based on
average sulfur content,  while the figure immediately following shows coal
availabilities obtained  with consideration of the variability of sulfur in
coal.  For example, Figure 6 shows  results for the Eastern Region on the
basis of average sulfur  content.  If there were no NSPS, the "Maximum Years

                                    13

-------
      0)

      «  500
     00
     OS
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      .U

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      (1)
        400
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      00
      T.T.T.TY BAR CHART


                             STATUS OF  THE AVAILABILITY  OF COAL TO MKKT THK MSPS OPTIONS

                        1'OR'ALL COAL-FIRED UTILITIES OPERATING IN 1935  (F.XISTIMG PLUS  NEW)

                      RAW AND PREPARED  COAL WITH AND WITHOUT FLUE GAS DKSULL'URIZATION  (FGU)
                                                                                                       './!•;r/lCKN  W-GIOM
                      INCLUDING THE EFFECTS OF THE.VARIABILITY  OF THE SULFUR CONTENT OF COALS

                         THE RELATIVE STANDARD DEVIATION,  RSD = 10%,  COMPLIANCE = 99.87%
          THE  ENTIRE
       UNITED  STATES
                                                          EASTERN-MI DY/EST
                                                              REGION
                               EASTERN REGION



                                    SSJ
                                                                           WESTERH-HIOWEST
                                                                                REGION
                                                                                                        &:•
                                 NO 1.2 0.8 0.4"         NO  1.20-80.4           NO 1.20-80-4          NO  1.2

                                     EMISSION STANDARD (S02 Pounds  Per Million  Btu)


                               Coat  fPCC)                                  f^^\ FCD Combined vlf-.1i f.J:.-> P>'
-------
                                                       FIGURE 4
CO
H
CO
1
s
H
to
a
§
                             YEARS  OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
                                 FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH
                                              FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)

                              FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION  (EXISTING PLUS  NEW)
                                      FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY,  100% OF GAS CLEANED
                                                 THE ENTIRE UNITED STATES
         STANDARD
         2.0
                           WITHOUT  FGD
                                                                          BTU  RECOVERY   COAL  PREPARATION
                                                                     1.  1001
                                                                     2. >90%
                                                                     3. >50%
                                                                             RAW
                                                                             1-1/2" TOP SIZE
                                                                             14 MESH TOP SIZE
pQ
S3   1.6
o
M
d
$5   1.2
 CM
O
10
10
.8


.4
                                                                                   Present Standard
                                                                              Alternative NSPS
                                                                              Alternative  NSPS
                            100
                              150
                                 200
250
300
350
400    450
500
550
600
                        50

                       YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at an Assumed Consumption of 788 x 10° Tons/Year)

                  ^DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL SUPPLY
NOTE: FOR PREPARED COAL THE  REDUCTION  IN  YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH THE  BTU  RECOVERY) WAS NOT FACTORED INTO THE CALCULATIONS
      (This primarily affects  curve  3.  showing  a  higher  coal availability than is actually  the case).

-------
                                                         FIGURE 5
   I
    o
    y*
    M
    Z
    in
                         INCLUDING THE EFFECTS OF THE VARIABILITY  OF  THE SULFUR CONTENT OF COALS
                            THE RELATIVE STANDARD DEVIATION,  RSD = 10%,  COMPLIANCE = 99.87%
                           YEARS OF AVAILABLE  COAL AS  A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
                 FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL  PREPARATION COMBINED WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)

                           FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                     FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                                 THE ENTIRE UNITED  STATES
             STANDARD
    2.0
                           WITHOUT  FGD

                             1      2    3
         B
                                                                      BTU RECOVERY   COAL  PREPARATION
                                                                                     RAW
                                                                                     1-1/2" TOP SIZE
                                                                                        MESH TOP SIZE
K   1.6
o
H
$3   1.2
o
w    .8
g
o
                                                                                         Present Standard
                                                                                Alternative NSPS
                                                                                         Alternative   NSPS
                                100
                               150
                                       200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
                           YEARS  OF AVAILABLE COAL (at an Assumed Consumption of 788 x 10  Tons/Year)
                   ^                        DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL SUPPLY

NOTE: FOR PREPARED COAL  THE  REDUCTION IN YIELD  (ASSOCIATED  WITH  THE BTU RECOVERY) WAS NOT  FACTORED INTO THE CALCULATIONS
      (.T_V-vjL_-c.._.. CT. »- X c>^ r- \ \ ^  r>.€.•go.e.fc «a *^v. .-^-.r-> 3. .  *^ K rv._-/_i t^ o	.->_ U i o 1_">..C_1"  T-*** •A 1  O^f1^ Lv1'? ' 1 ' * X l Jinn i s .id t i;n 7 I y  t ho  cnsrO .

-------
                                                    FIGURE  6

                        YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
                             FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH
                                         FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)

                         FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                  FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                                 EASTERN REGION
  CO
  H
  V)
  H
  Z
  w
  H
  CO
  §
           STANDARD
          2.0
       §
55   1.6
o
M
d
S  1.2


     .8


     .4
 CM
O
CO

CO
                           WIT-HOUT FGD
                                                                         BTU RECOVERY  COAL PREPARATION
                                                                             003
                                                                  2.
                                                                  3-
                                                                                RAW
                                                                                1-1/2" TOP SIZE
                                                                                1*1. MESH TOP SIZE
                                                                              Present Standard
                                                                                     Alternative NSPS
                                                                              Alternative  NSPS
                                    1        2   3
                                     WITH FGD
                       50
                       100
                              150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
NOTE:
               YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected 1985 Regional Utility Consumption Rate)

          ^DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL SUPPLY

FOR PREPARED COAL THE REDUCTION IN YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH  THE BTU  RECOVERY)  WAS  NOT  FACTORED  INTO THE CALCULATION'
(This primarily affects curve 3, showing  a higher coal availability than is  actually the  case).

-------
                                                        FIGURE 7
                         INCLUDING THE EFFECTS OF THE VARIABILITY OF THE SULFUR CONTENT OF COALS
                           THE RELATIVE  STANDARD DEVIATION, RSD =  10%, COMPLIANCE = 99.87%
                          YEARS OF AVAILABLE  COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE  S0? EMISSION,
                 FOR DIFFERENT  LEVELS  OF  COAL  PREPARATION  COMBINED WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION  (FGD)

                          FOR  ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                    FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100%  OF GAS CLEANED

                                                     EASTERN REGION
             STANDARD
co  g

   I
   Vi
   H'
   I
    t/5
       s
       H
       to
       I
            2.0
           1.6
           1.2
              .4
                            WITHOUT  FGD

                                 2      3
                                                                           BTU RECOVERY  COAL  PREPARATION
                                                                          1.  100%
                                                                          2.
                                                                          3.
                     RAW
                     1-1/2"  TOP  SIZE
                     \k MESH TOP SIZE
                                                                                      Present Standard
                                                                                        Alternative NSPS
                                                   N                                  Alternative.  NSPS
                                                    Tf ., .-              ....                      _  „	.
                          JL
 WITH  FGD
	j	
    i
j	i
                                                               I
	L
                                                                                                     550     600
                       50     100     150     200     250     300     350     400    450     500

                       YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the  Projected 1985 Regional Utility Consumption Rate)

                 ^DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL SUPPLY

UOTE:  FOR PREPARED COAL THE REDUCTION  III YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH THE  BTU RECOVERY) WAS NOT FACTORED  INTO THE CALCULATION
                                  	  •»_.  
-------
                                                        FIGURE 8

                            YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
                                 FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH
                                             FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)

                             FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                     FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                                    EASTERN - MIDWEST REGION
             STANDARD
   to
CO
H

%
O
53
CO
I
            2.0
I"
a
v   1  7
S   x » 6
             .8
              .4
                    WITHOUT FGD
                                                                          BTU RECOVERY  COAL PREPARATION
                                                                      1. 100%
                                                                      2. >90%
                                                                      3. >50%
                                                                               RAW
                                                                               1-1/2" TOP SIZE
                                                                               14 MESH TOP SIZE
                                                                                      Present  Standard
                                                                                      Alternative NSPS
                                                                                       Alternative  NSPS
                                 WITH FGD
                                J	I
                        50
                            100
                               150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
NOTE:
                    YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected  1985  Regional  Utility  Consumption Rate)

               ^DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL  SUPPLY~
    FOR  PREPARED COAL THE  REDUCTION  IN YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH THE BTU RECOVERY) WAS NOT FACTORED INTO THE CALCULATIONS
    (This primarily affects curve J>, showing a  higher coal  availability  than is  actually  the  case).

-------
                                                        FIGURE 9
                        INCLUDING THE EFFECTS OF THE VARIABILITY OF  THE  SULFUR  CONTENT  OF  COALS
                           THE RELATIVE STANDARD DEVIATION,  RSD =  10%, COMPLIANCE =  99.87%
                FOR DIFi
                       YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
                   FFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH FLUE GAS DKSULFURIZAT
                                                                                       'URIZATION (FCD)
                          FOR ALL  UTILITIES  SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                     FGD-90%  REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                                EASTERN - KUDWEST REGION
N>
O
   en
    8
to


p
M
H
C-j
d
                                                                           BTU RECOVERY  COAL PREPARATION
                                                                       .1.  100%
                                                                        2.  >90%
                                                                       •3.  >50%
                                                                                         RAW
                                                                                         1-1/2" TOP  SIZE
                                                                                         14 MESH  TOP SIZE
                                                                                        Present  Standard
                                                                                        Alternative NSPS
                                                                                         Alternative  NSPS
                                                                                1
                                                                                             I
I
IIOTT:
                     50     100     150     200     250     300     350     400    450     500     550    600

                    YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected 1985 Regional Utility Consumption Rate)
               ^	_. 	.	,	,	.._ . .  	
               ^DECREASING YEARS OF  OPERATING COAL SUPPLY

    FOR  !V,.:?Af>EO  COAL THE REDUCTION IN YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH THE BTU RECOVERY) WAS  NOT FACTORED  INTO  THI{ CALCULATION
    (fhi-i ^ r \ rv-> r \ 1 v  a££e.dtR «-.urv/a  3.  shov/ino  a highiir coal  n v.-a t 1 n b i 1 i f v  tt~>.-in  !=  -.,-»-..

-------
                                                          FIGURE 10
   H


   I
   S5
   M
   PS
   H
   to
o
s
                               YEARS  OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S0? EMISSION,

                                   FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH

                                               FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)



                                FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION (EXISTING PLUS NEW)

                                         FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED


                                                     WESTERN - MIDWEST REGION
             STANDARD
                   WITHOUT FGD
            2.0
pq


§   1'6
M

•J

a   1.2


o


c/i    .8
              .4
BTU RECOVERY COAL PREPARATION
1. 100%
2. >90%
3. >50%
RAW
1-1/2"
U MESH

TOP
TOP

SIZE
SIZE
                                                                                   Present Standard




                                                                                   Alternative NSPS
                                                                                       Alternative  NSPS
                        50
                           100
                               150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
                        YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected 1985 Regional Utility Consumption Rate)


                  ^DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL SUPPLY


NOTE: FOR PREPARED COAL THE REDUCTION IN YIELD (ASSOCIATED WITH THE BTU RECOVERY)  WAS NOT  FACTORED  INTO  THE  CALCULATIONS


       (This primarily affects curve 3, showing a higher coal avilability than  is actually  the case).

-------
                                                        FIGURE 11
                        INCLUDING THE EFFECTS OF THE VARIABILITY OF THE SULFUR CONTENT OF COALS
                           THE RELATIVE STANDARD DEVIATION, RSD = 10%, COMPLIANCE = 99.87%
                 FOR DIFFERENT
                       YEARS  OF AVAILABLE  COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE SO, EMISSION,
                   FFERENT LEVELS  OF  COAL  PREPARATION  COMBINED WITH FLUE GAS DESULFUREZATTON  (FGD)
                           FOR  ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR  1985 OPERATION  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                     FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                                WESTERN -.MIDWEST REGION
   CO
   1
I
H
V.
e<
to
    o
             STANDARD
            2.0
g   1-5
g
H   i  o
^4   JL • ^
         O
         CO
         I
              .'«
                   WITHOUT FGD
                    1  2  3
                    WITH FGD
                                                                     -BJ3LJLE.CP_V§J^Y.  COAL PREPARATION
                                                                     1.  100%
                                                                     2.
                                                                     3.
                                                                                        RAW
                                                                                        1-1/2" TOP SIZE
                                                                                        1'* MESH TOP SIZE
                                                                                       Present  Standard
                                                                                       Alternative NSPS
                                                                                        Alternative  NSPS
                         50
                            100
                               150
200
250
300
350
400
A50
500
550
                        YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected 1985 Regional  Utility Consumption Rate)
600
                   ^                        DECREASING YEARS OF OPERATING COAL SUP.PLY

NOTE: FOR PREPARED COAL THE REDUCTION  IN YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH THE BTU RECOVERY)  WAS NOT FACTORED INTO THE CALCULATIONS

-------
                                                        FIGURE 12

                          YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
                               FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH
                                           FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD)

                           FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                   FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                                     WESTERN REGION
    H
    IO
    H
    B
    S
    K

    1
             STANDARD
            2.0
55  1.6
o
M
d
S  1.2
 CM
O
vi    .8

o
                                   BTU RECOVERY  COAL PREPARATION
                           1.
                           2.
                           3.
                                      100%
          RAW
          1-1/2" TOP SIZE
          14 MESH TOP SIZE
                                                I - WITH  FGD
                                               *   1 ,2,3 ALL
                                                :   ATTAIN THE MAXIMUM
                                                                                               I
                                      WITHOUT  FGD     |5j
                                 1                  2  3 §  Present Standard

                                                        JS
                                                        '§  Alternative  NSPS

                                                        !i
                                                        S  Alternative  NSPS
                                                                                             ii
                        50
                       100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
                      YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected 1985 Regional Utility Consumption Rate)

                   ^DECREASING YEARS  OF  OPERATING COAL SUPPLY
NOTE: FOR PREPARED COAL  THE  REDUCTION  IN  YIELD  (ASSOCIATED WITH  THE BTU RECOVERY) WAS NOT FACTORED INTO THE CALCULATIONS
      (This primarily affects  curve  3,  showing a  higher  coal  availability  than  is actually the case).

-------
FIGURE 13


INCLUDING THE EFFECTS OF THE VARIABILITY OF THE SULFUR CONTENT OF COALS
THE RELATIVE STANDARD DEVIATION, RSD = 10%, COMPLIANCE = 99.87%
YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL AS A FUNCTION OF ALLOWABLE S02 EMISSION,
FOR DIFFERENT LEVELS OF COAL PREPARATION COMBINED WITH FLUE GAS DESULFUREZATION (FGD)
FOR ALL UTILITIES SCHEDULED FOR 1985 OPERATION (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED
WESTERN REGION
STANDARD ....... ... ....... - 	 ---,
~i
H
H
O
if.
t-j
C
OTE:
2.0
B
g 1.6
M
3
O
CO
w .3
1 ,
f
0
FOR PREPARED
(TK\^ r. r ; rn.-. .- ;
BTU RECOVERY COAL PREPARATION ,-„„
i — Vu in rbU
1. 100* RAW J772^~ALL~
2. >902 1-1/2" TOP SIZE , ATTAIN THE MAXIMUM
3. >50S I'l MESH TOP SIZE '
WITHOUT F6D 19
•b
i 2 3 ' § Present Standard
^ 	 ^ — § Alternative NSPS
•z^^^. 	 "*" gj Alternative NSPS
, i i i i i i t i i! i i
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 AOO 450 500 550 600
YEARS OF AVAILABLE COAL (at the Projected 1985 Regional Utility Consumption Rate)
s-
- DECREASING YKARS OF OPERATING COAL SUPPLY
COAL THE REDUCT ON IN YIELD (ASSOCIATED WITH THE BTU RECOVERY) WAS NOT FACTORED INTO THE CALCULATI
\ ,, ^
-------
Available" of raw coal is approximately 220 years.   However,  at  the  present
1.2 NSPS, only 34 years of raw coal, and 56 years of cleaned  coal  (Curve 2
without FGD) are available.  The curves in Figure 7 show that sulfur varia-
bility considerations reduce these values to 10 years and 20 years,
respectively.
     It should be noted that these results are bounded by the assumptions
outlined in the section on methodology.  These assumptions are such  that
maximum availabilities (given the reserve base and washability data) are
obtained for each selected control technique and NSPS.  Lesser quantities
may, in fact, be available as a result of logistical, economic,  or con-
tractual factors which have not been considered in this analysis.

                            FGD Considerations

     The Federal Power Commission has obtained preliminary data (currently being
updated) showing that the total FGD capacity in operation in  the United  States,
as of the beginning of the calendar year 1977, was 3,716 MW.   From the
following section of this report, Table 3, we find that the peak demand  in
the United States for 1977 is 396,359 MW.  The portion of this demand supplied
by coal-fired utilities is 45%.  Therefore, the FGD cpaacity  is approximately
2 percent of the peak demand for coal-fired units.
     The projected peak demand for the coal-fired electric utilties  for
the 1977-1986 period is shown in Figure 14.  Also shown is the required FGD
capacity to service a given percentage of the total capacity  of the  coal-
fired utilities in the United States.
     A tabulation of projected utilization of FGD by new coal-fired  units
which was attributed to PEDCO was received from OAQPS.  This  tabulation
shows a cumulative FGD capacity of 140,OQOJMW by the end of 1985 as  shown
in Figure 14.                             ;!
w  (r^'l  '
   .•1  fc'9  '
 < e"0  p ^
                                     25

-------
                                      FIGURE 14
                              PROJECTED CAPACITY DEMAND-
                     PEAK POWER DEMAND AND REQUIRED FGD CAPACITY
     350,000 -•
     300,000  -'
     250,000
Jz
53
H
H
CM
O
200,000
     150,000
     100,000  -•
      50,000
                       FGD CAPACITY REQUIRED TO SERVICE ALL
                     COAL-FIRED UTILITIES PROJECTED FOR 1985
                         PEAK
                        DEMAND
               1985 FGD CAPACITY
              ONLY NEW COAL-FIR
          SERV
         UTILITIES
                    FGD CAPACITY TO SERVICE
                 UTILITIES CONVERTED TO
                                                             FGD
                                                           CAPACITY

                                                            100%
                                                             75%
                                                                  50%
                                                                  25%
                                                                  10%

                                                                   5%
            1977   78
                     79
80
81
82
83
84
85
—H-
 86
                                   CALENDER YEAR

                                          26

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                  Applicability of Combined Physical Coal
               Cleaning (PCC)  and Flue Gas Desulfurization
                      (FGD) to Meet Optional NSPS
      The sulfur and ash contents of coal are reduced by physical coal  cleaning
 (PCC), with the attendant benefits of reduced transportation costs,  reduced
 ash-handling costs at the point of use, improved boiler operation and
 efficiency, and reduced SOX and particulate emissions when the cleaned coal  is
 burned.  However, the sulfur-reduction potential is limited since the  organic
 sulfur cannot be removed by this process.  Therefore, not all coals  can be
 cleaned to compliance levels, and, as noted in the preceding section,  if the
 NSPS is reduced, the applicability of PCC as the sole control measure  vanishes.
 Another possible approach to SOX control could be the combined use of  PCC and
 flue gas desulfurization  (FGD).  This combination of control techniques was
 considered in the availability analysis of the preceding section.  If  PCC, a
 relatively low-cost process, can be used to reduce the sulfur content  to near
 the NSPS compliance level, then FGD, a relatively high-cost process, could be
 used to treat just a portion of the flue gas stream in order to achieve NSPS
 compliance.  The size of  the FGD unit required, and hence its cost,  would be
 reduced.  A further benefit would accrue from using FGD on only a portion of
 the flue gas if the recombined treated and untreated flue gas streams  retain
 sufficient bouyance that  reheat would not be required to achieve plume rise.
      The economics of combined PCC and FGD have been analyzed by Hoffman-
 Muntner Corporation in a  study for EPA through the Bureau of Mines*, and by
 PEDCo-Environmental Incorporated in a study for EPA/RTP**.  These studies showed
 that a lower cost can be  expected by using the combined technologies if the
 sulfur content of the cleaned coal is near compliance levels.  As the  difference
 between sulfur content and compliance level increases, FGD must be used on a
 greater percentage of the flue gas, reducing the potential benefits  which
 accrue from scrubbing only a fraction of the flue gas stream.  However,
 because there are many variables involved, it is not^ possible __to__re_achi a
 general conclusion regarding the cost effectiveness of using PCC combined with
 FGD as a sulfur control measure, thus, the required analysis must be done in
 a site-specific framework.  For example, Eastern underground coal mined by
 continuous mining techniques generally must be cleaned  to remove high levels
 *  See Reference 1 on page 97.
**  Miranda, C. F., et al., ''An Optimization Strategy for Control of SOX
    From Coal-Fired Power Plants".
                                       27

-------
 of mineral matter as a prerequisite for satisfactory boiler operation.  In
 such  a  case,  the incremental cleaning cost to achieve effective sulfur removal
 may be  more than offset by reduced scrubbing costs, even if much of the flue
 gas stream must be scrubbed.
      A  standard specifying a percentage reduction in sulfur emissions was not
 considered among the alternative NSPS during the course of this study.  However,
 a standard requiring 90 percent sulfur removal has been proposed by EPA since
 the completion of this analysis.  Although the proposed rule would allow credit
 for precombustion sulfur removal, no PCC process can achieve 90 percent sulfur
 removal.  Thus, it would seem that, if such a standard were adopted, PCC might
 not have a useful role.   But,  on the other hand, PCC could be used as a means
 of reducing the efficiency requirements  of the scrubber.  As an example, if 50
 percent of the sulfur were removed by coal cleaning, then the scrubber would
 have  to operate at only 80 percent removal to achieve the 90 percent removal
 required by the proposed rule.   In view  of the current status of scrubber tech-
 nology, the difference between 80 and 90 percent removal would be a significant
 consideration in the design of  a new system.   Furthermore,  if a scrubber system,
 installed for the purpose of meeting 90  percent removal, failed to operate
 consistently at that level,  a switch to  cleaned coal might provide the solution
 to the problem.  In light of such considerations,  PCC could have a role in
meeting a percentage removal standard.
                                     28

-------
                       Applicability of Fluidized-Bed
                      Combustion to Meet Optional NSPS
     Fluidized-bed combustion (FBC) of coal is a technology under develop-
ment which has several attractive features.  The fluidized-bed system pro-
vides high heat transfer rates, allowing smaller sized units for a given
capacity.  The maximum combustion temperature is reduced, resulting in lower
NO  production.  Finally, if the fluidized bed is composed of a reactive
  X
solid, S0~ can be removed in the combustion zone.  Reactive bed materials
of calcined dolomite  (MgO-CaO) or calcined limestone (CaO) have been studied
most extensively.
     In  practice,  the amount of  S02 removed by a CaO bed is not  controlled by
thermodynamic equilibrium.  The  partial  pressure of  S02  in  equilibrium with CaO,
CaS04, and 02 is  1.25 x  KT7 atm at 1656 F, or about 0.125  ppm.   This very low
value  is not  achieved in practice because  equilibrium  is not  reached.
Relatively high  S02  removal has  been  obtained in experimental units by
using  greater than stoichiometric quantities of CaO.   This need  to have
Ca/S ratios of 2 or  greater leads to  large quantities  of  spent limestone.
This material must be disposed of in  a once-through system design.
Research on methods  of regenerating the  spent bed material are in progress.
The excess CaO required  for efficient S02  removal complicates the regener-
ation  processes by increasing the quantity of material to be processed.
For these reasons  considerable research  is being devoted  to keeping the
Ca/S ratio requirement at a minimum.
     Reduction of NSPS for  S02 would  not,  out of hand, preclude  the further
development  of FBC as a  control  technique,  since, as indicated above, the
practical S0? removal efficiency is ,not  controlled by  thermodynamic equi-
librium. However, a reduced NSPS would  require  the  use  of  increased Ca/S
ratios to obtain the higher S02  removal  efficiencies needed for  compliance.
Since  it is  desirable to minimize  the Ca/S ratio, this would  be  expected to
delay  the development of FBC to  some  extent.
     In  summary, theoretically FBC can be  employed as  a  control  technique
to meet  reduced emission standards.   Whether or not this  can be  achieved
practically and economically depends  on  the course of  the research and

                                    29

-------
development activities.  Reduced emission standards would be expected
to make the development task more difficult.

                      Applicability of Coal Conversion
                      Processes to Meet Optional NSPS

     One of the alternative approaches to the control of SO  emissions
                                                           J\.
associated with the use of coal in stationary sources is the conversion of
coal to a clean fuel by gasification or liquefaction.  Research efforts to
produce clean fuels from coal are proceeding along three major lines:
     •  High-Btu gas or synthetic natural gas (SNG)
     •  Low-Btu gas
     •  Synthetic liquids [the product of the solvent refined
        coal (SRC) process is actually a solid at ambient
        temperature].
None of these processes is sufficiently developed to serve as a near-term
SO  control technique.  SNG is not expected to be used as a boiler fuel.
  A
The price will be too high,  and the eventual need to replace natural gas
in the residential sector will preclude burning SNG under boilers.
     Low-Btu gas has promise as a boiler fuel, particularly for plants
in which the gasification process is integrated with a combined-cycle power
plant.  Such integrated designs offer promise of minimum heat rejection, and
hence, improved overall conversion efficiency.  The sulfur problem remains
but is dealt with differently.  In most gasification processes sulfur is
volatilized under reducing conditions to form I^S, scrubbed from the fuel
gas, stripped from the absorption liquor as a concentrated H-S stream, and
converted to sulfur using Claus plant technology.  If strict emission regu-
lations are applied to such processes, a Claus plant tail gas treatment
process will be required.   Direct oxidation systems, such as the Stretford
process, etc., may be used in lieu of the absorption/Glaus approach.
     Liquefaction processes involve hydrogeneration of coal to produce
various liquids.  Sulfur is released in the processing as H2S which is
scrubbed from the byproduct gas.  The liquids produced are low in sulfur
content and can be burned without subsequent SO  control.

                                    30

-------
     In summary, coal conversion processes to produce clean fuels are not
sufficiently developed to serve as near-term SO  control techniques.
                                               X
Reduced emission standards for stationary combustion sources will not
impact on these processes in the long term since the sulfur problem is
encountered in the conversion step.  Regulations applicable to such pro-
cessing will have an impact on the final cost of the clean fuel.
                                     31

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                 ELECTRIC POWER  SUPPLY AND DEMAND  1977-1986

                            General Discussion
      The  information in this section concerns the bulk electric power supply
 and  demand in  the contiguous United States as projected for the period 1977-
 1986.  It was  obtained from the Federal Power Commission Bureau of Power Staff
 Report.   Data  as to projected electrical demands, energy and generating capa-
 bility have been summarized from the reports filed with the Commission on
 April 1,  1977, by the Regional Electric Reliability Councils, in response to
 FPC  Order 383-4.  Council acronyms and geographic boundaries are given in
 Figure 15.
      Formation of the councils was given impetus by the Commission re-
 commendation that the utility industry establish "strong regional organiza-
 tions" to coordinate planning, construction and operation of the national bulk
 electric power supply.   Through the standing and special committees of the
 councils, planning and operating personnel of the electric utilities (Federal,
 s-tate and municipally owned, privately owned and cooperatively owned) endeavor
 to provide for rational economic development of electricity supply.  The
 Commission, in promulgating its series of orders (383-1, -2, -3, -4) related
 to reliability and adequacy of bulk power supply, set up a frame of reference
 for  the compilation of  certain planning data on a long-range regional basis.
 The  essential ingredients of satisfactory power supply are load forecasts made
with reasonable confidence, timely installation of new generating plants, a
 properly coordinated transmission network and dependable supplies of fuel for
 electric generation.  Since 1970,  the councils in responding to the series of
 "383" orders have been furnishing data enabling the Commission to monitor
 electric system planning in the large.
     The electric utility power system in the U.S. is made up of three
 component networks.   The seven strongly interconnected council areas (ECAR,
MAAC, MAIN, MARCA,  NPCC, SERC, AND SWPP) comprise essentially a single

                                    32

-------
to
Go
                   Are*
                  Coordi-
                  emcnt
                  ca Intcr-
         pool Network.
 MAAC  - MJd-Atlantic
         Council
   '.'CA - Mid-Cont!n?nt Area
         RclIibUity Coordi-
         nation Agjesmcnt
 NTCC   - Northc :t Pov.er
i         CoorJinatini; Counctl
        -Southi-;jt:ri> E!.cttic
         Reli.-Mllty Council
        -Soulliv. ,;t Fo,.\;
         Pool
 ERCOT -Electric RoU-bP'ty
         Council of Texrj
 WSCC   - WetIcrn S> ktcmis Co-
         
-------
network covering all or part of 39 states.  Interconnections among the systems
in  the seven councils are sufficient for the interchange of significant
amounts of power in emergencies and for economic purposes.  The 14 western
states (all or in part) are within the area of WSCC, which, while it has
numerous intraregional interconnections, has only minor interconnection
capability with the other regional council areas.  ERGOT is the third network.
     The ERGOT systems comprise an interconnected group that has no trans-
mission interconnections with any other council region, supplying power only
within a large part of the State of Texas.
                          Peak Demand Forecasts
     "Peak Demand" in its customary electric power system sense means the
greatest one-hour use of electric energy during a specified period.  Most
systems have two periods when use of electricity is high: summer and winter.
In many regions of the country, use of electric power is greater in summer
than in the winter,  hence the "summer peak demand" is greater than the
"winter peak demand".   The projected council summer and winter peak demands
for the period 1977-1986 are listed in Table 2.  The contiguous United States
average annual summer  and winter growth rates  for the period are 5.7%
and 5.8%,  respectively (Table 3).  Note that the data reported were developed
and compiled in late 1976 and early 1977,  and reflect economic expectations
then current.
     The growth rate of demand reflects the combined workings of several
factors as viewed by the electric utilities: attempts at load management
and conservation;  higher electricity prices and new pricing schedules; a lower
growth rate of the national economy.   Substitution of electricity for fossil
fuels, where feasible,  will tend to offset the foregoing.  An additional
factor, which may have different weights in different areas, is increased use
of electricity caused by environmental pressures.  Air pollution abatement
devices,  for instance,  may use electrostatic precipitators, thus directly
requiring greater use of electricity.  Or, mechanical and chemical methods of
removing potential pollutants,  by increasing the obstruction to flow of process
gases and the gases resulting from combustion, require greater fan capacity which
results in more use of electricity.  In power plants, the use of scrubbers for
flue gas desulfurization, precipitators that remove extremely high percentages
                                     34

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                                                         TABLE  2

                                                     PEAK DEMAND -
                                              AS PROJECTED APRIL 1,  1977
                                  BY  THE  REGIONAL ELECTRIC RELIABILITY COUNCILS
                                              CONTIGUOUS  UNITED  STATES
                                                         MEGAWATTS
                                                         SUMMER PEAK DEMAND

YEAR
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986

ECAR-/
59,838
63,461
67,156
71,150
75,111
79,323
83,655
88,318
93,186
98,293
NPCC -'
ERCOT
27,582
29,305
31,077
32,920
34,830
37,016
38,996
41,255
43,234
45,438
MAAC
32,650
34,200
35,780
37,400
39,050
40,730
42,450
44,230
46,030
47,810
MAIN
33,663
35,716
37,932
40,170
42,417
44,832
47,402
50,172
53,040
56,039
MARCA y
17,664
18,945
20,278
21,783
23,349
24,882
26,376
27,887
29,500
31,066
N.E.I/
13,905
14,648
15,455
16,315
17,209
18,152
19,125
20,166
21,255
22,384
N.Y.ft/
21,590
22,430
23,340
24,230
25,040
25,850
26,850
27,950
28,910
29,930
FLORIDA
15,681
16,692
17,796
18,902
20,041
21,214
22,347
23,422
24,453
25,490
SERC
SOUTHERN
19,946
22,095
23,977
25,816
27,814
29,769
31,848
33,930
36,081
38,561
TVA
20 , 150
21,650
23,350
25,050
26,250
27,400
28,650
29,950
31,250
32,650
VACAR
26,245
28,044
29,995
32,073
34,096
36,099
38,044
40,375
42,780
45,297
SWPP
37 , 132
39,895
42,586
45,832
48,806
52,278
56,053
60,019
64,214
68,660
WSCC ±.>
70,313
74,867
78,971
83,666
88.051
92,345
96,839
101,364
106,542
111,350
                                                         WINTER PEAK DEMAND
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
58,987
62,481
66,370
70,175
74,386
78,713
83,255
88,128
93,195
98,548
19,161
20,551
21,746
23,012
24,446
26.024
27,395
29,046
30,420
31,918
27,970
29,490
31,010
32,530
34,200
35,850
37,560
39,310
41,050
42,830
27,315
29,192
31,106
33,097
35,300
36,615
38,942
41,377
43,707
46,605
15,931
16,960
18,166
19,448
20,754
21,958
23,221
24,723
26,141
27,661
15,217
16,051
16,918
17,846
18,820
19,814
20,851
21,964
23,134
24,379
19,690
20,450
21,340
22,150
22,990
23,870
24,850
25,920
26,880
27,880
15,708
16,762
17,802
18,938
20,043
21,124
22,165
23,194
24,217
25,235
16,960
18,270
19,611
21,050
22,558
24,132
25,840
27,690
29,538
31,783
23,150
25,100
27,200
28,700
30,100
31,550
33,050
34,650
36,300
38,150
25,179
27,106
29,234
31,447
33,703
36,051
38,551
41 , 140
43,805
46,571
26,350
28,133
30,278
33,604
34,671
36,993
39,841
42,686
46,686
48,833
68,829
73,142
77,371
81,617
85,840
90,202
94,731
99,221
104,376
109,273
\J  The demands  listed include interruptible  loads and exclude  inter-regional purchases and  sales.
y  Includes only United States portion of Council.
3/  Total for the alx New England states.
4/  New York Power Pool.
5_/  Revised demand data for ECAR was obtained too late to be incorporated  in this report.
    However the  greatest change for any uear  would be less than one tenth  of one percent.
SOURCE:  April 1, 1977 responses to Appendix  A-l of FPC Docket  R-362 (Order 383-4), Item No.  1.

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                  TABLE 3

     PROJECTED GROWTH OF PEAK DEMAND^'
        CONTIGUOUS UNITED  STATES  '
                1977-1986
        SUMMER PEAK DEMAND PERIODS

            Total U. S.     Annual Increase
 Year       Peak Demand       MJ         7»
1977          396,359
1978          421,948       25,589      6.5
1979          447,693       25,745      6.1
1980          475,307       27,614      6.2
1981          502,064       26,757      5.6
1982          529,890       27,826      5.5
1983          558,635       28,745      5.4
1984          589,038       30,403      5.4
1985          620,475       31,437      5.3
1986          652,968       32,493      5.2
                  Average Growth Rate =5.7
        WINTER PEAK DEMAND PERIODS

1977-78       360,447
1978-79       383,688       23,241      6.4
1979-80       408,154       24,466      6.4
1980-81       433,614       25,460      6.2
1981-82       457,811       24,197      5.6
1982-83       482,896       25,085      5.5
1983-84       510,252       27,356      5.7
1984-85       539,049       28,797      5.6
1985-86       569,449       30,400      5.6
1986-87       599,666       30,217      5.3
                  Average Growth Rate = 5.8
    Non-coincident total of demands projected by
    the nine Regional Electric Reliability Councils
    in their April 1, 1977 responses to PPC Order 383-4.
                    36

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 of particulates from flue gases,  and cooling towers   add to  the  auxiliary
 power requirements of fossil-fuel generating units.   The additional  auxiliary
 power needed by generating units  does not appear in  the load forecasts,
 because the forecasts include only customer requirements and transmission
 and distribution losses.   But the same type of additional power,  when  used
 by customers of a utility, does appear as a load requirement.  For the
 Tennessee Valley Authority's (TVA) system,  for instance, "it is  expected that
 7 percent of industrial electricity consumption will be utilized for pollution
 control devices among the 50 large TVA-served industries which account for  20
 percent of area load."
                              Energy Forecasts

      Electric energy represents the total amount of  electricity  used,  as
 differentiated from the demand (rate of use of electricity).  The total annual
 electric energy requirement projected for each council area  for  the  period
 1977-1986 is listed in Table 4.   Each council area of course has  different
 geographic,  industrial and demographic characteristics  that result  in differ-
 ing  uses of  electric power and different annual growth rates.  The total U.S.
 annual  net energy requirements projected for 1977-1986 are shown  in  Table 5.
 Council load and capacity factors based on  projected net energy  and  peak loads
 are  given in Table 6.
                      Generating Capability  Projections
      The construction of  generating units is subject to  the  negative pressures
 of financing and environmental protection,  as well as delays for  various causes,
 and  therefore the actual  installed capability will probably be less  each year
 than that  projected.   The total installed capability of  the  contiguous U.S.
 as projected for the time of  the  summer  and winter peak  demands in the years
 1977  through 1986 is  listed  in Table  7.
Annual  Coal  Demand for New Units,  1976-1985
     The updated information  on new coal-fired units  and  their future coal
requirements  obtained  through  the FPC's  regional offices  is summarized, by
state and  geographic region,  in Table 8.  It  shows that,  as of October 1976,
electric utilities  intended to add  130 new  coal-fired  units with  a total
                                     37

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                                                       TABLE  4

                                PROJECTED ANNUAL ELECTRIC ENERGY REQUIREMENTS
                                                       FOR THE
                                    REGIONAL  ELECTRIC  RELIABILITY COUNCILS
                                            CONTIGUOUS  UNITED  STATES
                                                  GIGAWATT-HOURS  I/
YEAR
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
OJ
00 1985
1986
ECAR^
352,500
372,500
334,400
418,300
441,800
466,800
492,500
520,500
549,400
579,900
ERCOT
137,510
147,980
156,690
165,911
176,089
186,966
196,292
207,739
217,107
227,445
MAAC
167,850
176,390
185,357
194,646
204,214
213,717
223,477
233,593
244,003
254,136
MAIN
163,905
173,489
184,525
195,610
207,130
219,327
232,361
246,003
260,697
275,970
MARCA2/
87,857
94,574
102,162
109,194
115,796
123,612
130,478
138,898
146,912
155,453
NPCC
N.E.I/
80,588
84,959
89,472
94,372
99,518
104,941
110,578
116,570
122,870
129,454
*' SERC
N.X.4/
117,552
120,654
125,022
129,096
133,325
138,756
144,784
150,624
156,654
162,305
FLORIDA
78,922
83,911
89,168
94,698
100,398
106,067
111,461
116,610
121,671
126,740
SOUTHERN
102,204
110,964
119,427
128,382
137,701
149,084
160,417
171,425
184,197
197,679
TVA
132,270
141,990
154,670
167,740
174,680
182,020
189,590
198,010
205,530
214,190
VACAR •
139,488
149,639
160,324
172,393
184,230
196,229
209,181
222,532
236,660
251,318
SWPP
180,133
192,118
204,807
219,706
232,914
247,859
263,346
279,753
297,970
316,471
WSCC 2/
411,082
437,770
461,874
489,303
513,692
540,443
566,901
594,891
625,699
654,770
i/  1 gigawatt-hour » 1,000,000 kilowatt-hours.

2/  Includes only United States portion of Council.

3/  Total for  the six New England states,

4/  New York Power Pool.

5/  Revised energy data  for ECAR was obtained too late to be incorporated in this report.
~  However the  greatest change for any year would be only two tenths of one percent.

SOURCE:  April 1, 1977 responses to Appendix A-l of FPC Docket R-362, (Order 383-4) Item No. 1.

-------
                         TABLE 5
             PROJECTED ELECTRIC ENERGY GROWTH
 AS REPORTED BY THE REGIONAL ELECTRIC RELIABILITY COUNCILS
       APRIL 1, 1977 IN RESPONSE TO FPC ORDER 383-4
                 CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES
          NET ENERGY REQUIREMENT If     ANNUAL INCREASE
 YEAR     	GWH 2.1	       GWH        %
 1977             2,151,861
 1978             2,286,997             141,090     6.3
 1979             2,427,898             140,901     6.2
 1980             2,579,351             151,453     6.2
 1981             2,721,487             142,136    .5.5
 1982             2,875,821             154,334     5.7
 1983             3,031,366             155,545     5.4
 1984             3,197,148             165,782     5.5
 1985             3,369,370             172,222     5.4
 1986             3,545,831             176,461     5.2
                             Average  Growth  Rate =  5.7
JL/  This is intended to be the sum of all actual  loads and
    system transmission and distribution losses.  It is the
    net "sendout" of all power plants.
2_/  1 gigawatt-hour » 1,000,000 kilowatt-hours.
                            39

-------
                                                       TABLE 6

                                           ANNUAL LOAD FACTORS i  IN PERCENT
AS PROJECTED APRIL 1, 1977 BY THE
REGIONAL RELIABILITY COUNCILS
CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES
1977-1986
NPCC
YEAR
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
ECAR
67.3
67.0
67.0
67.1
67.2
67.2
67.2
67.3
67.3
67.2
ERCOT
56.9
57.6
57.6
57.5
57.7
57.7
57.5
57.5
57.3
57.1
MAAC
58.7
58.9
59.1
59.4
59.7
59.9
60.1
60.3
60.5
60.7
MAIN
55.6
55.5
55.5
55.6
55.7
55.9
56.0
56.0
56.1
56.2
MARCA
56.8
57.0
57.5
57.2
56.6
56.7
56.5
56.9
56.9
57.1
N.E.
60.5
60.4
60.4
60.4
60.4
60.5
60.5
60.6
60.6
60.6
N.Y.
62.2
61.4
61.2
60.8
60.8
61.3
61.6
61.5
61.9
61.9
FLORIDA
57.4
57.2
57.2
57.1
57.2
57.1
56.9
56.8
56.8
56.8
SERC
SOUTHERN
58.5
57.3
56.9
56.8
56.5
57.2
57.5
57.7
58.3
58.5

TVA
65.2
64.6
64.9
66.7
66.3
65.9
65.5
65.2
64.6
64.1

VACAR
60.7
60.9
61.0
61.4
61.7
62.1
61.9
61.8
61.7
61.6

SWPP
55.4
55.0
54.9
54.7
54.5
54.1
53.6
53.1
53.1
52.6

wscc
66.7
66.8
66.8
66.8
66.6
66.8
66.8
67.0
67.0
67.1
i /  T  A T?O •-«,. t'i\ - Annual Energy Requirement In MWh    100
I/  Load Factor (/.) - o7fin v Annll^i Pfv:k nAm-nH in MU     UU
                      8760 x Annual Peak Demand in MW

NOTE:  According to the Edison Electric Institute's "59th Electric Power  Survey"  dated  April 1976,  p.  14,
       the annual load factors of the total electric utility  industry  in  the  contiguous U.S. for 1973-1975
       were:  1973 - 62.0
              1974 - 61.2
              1975 - 61.4

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                         TABLE  7

         PROJECTED GROWTH OF GENERATING CAPABILITY
          AT TIME OF SEASONAL PEAK DEMAND PERIODS
                 CONTIGUOUS  UNITED STATES
                         1977-1986
                         MEGAWATTS
             CAPABILITY AT TIME OF SUMMER PEAK
YEAR
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
TOTAL U.S.
CAPABILITY
512,158
541,592
566,688
591,656
620,586
654,274
689,447
729,335
760,141
792,909
Average
ANNUAL INCREASE
MW
--
29,434
25,096
24,968
28,930
33,688
35,173
39,888
30,806
32,768
Growth Rate
CAPABILITY AT TIME OF WINTER
1977-78
1978-79
1979-80
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
529,431
556,635
581,351
610,120
641,306
672,788
705,259
743,862
773,898
811,992
Average
--
27,204
24,716
28,769
31,186
31,482
32,471
38,603
30,036
38,094
Growth Rate
Z

5.7
4.6
4.4
4.9
5.4
5.4
5.8
4.2
4.3
5.0
PEAK
-
5.1
4.4
4.9
5.1
4.9
4.8
5.5
4.0
4,9
4.8
I/  Total of installed capabilities projected by the nine
~~   Regional Electric Reliability Councils in their April 1,
    1977 responses to FPC Order 383-4.  Excludes purchases
    and sales.
                            41

-------
                                    TABLE 8

               STATE AND REGIONAL COAL REQUIREMENTS  FOR NEW UNITS
                    SCHEDULED  FOR OPERATION BETWEEN 1976 - 1985
               M * CCJAl  UM Ts
            SCMrOULI I) f OH |)?KP A
NO. Of
UNITS
                     CAPACITY
                       (MM)
INCREMENTAL
COAL DEMAND
 IN 19HO
11000 TONSI
QUANTITY ASSURED
 BY CQNTHATT
1 1000    t L'F
 TONS1   DEMAND
 TCTAL NEW COAI LNITS
SCHEDULED File OPFKACICN
  PETMCE.V
NO. Of
UNITS
         CAPACITY
          (KM)
  TOTAL
INCREMENTAL CUANTITY ASSURED
COAL DEMAND  BY CONTRACT
 IN 1965   I 1000   X OF
11000 TONS!   TONS) DEMAND
  LONN
  Mt
  MASS
  vT
 Nik ENGLAND
 RtGIUNAL TOTAL
N Y
P A
'< J
Mlt ATLANTIC
REGIONAL TOTAL
I1L
I',D
M ICM
OH 1C
HSC
EAST NORTH CENTRAL
REGIONAL TOTAL
IA
KAN
••INN
M(.
NED
N 0
S 0
htST NORIM CENTRAL
REGIONAL TUTAL
UtLA
FLOX
CA
I'D
N C
i C
M VA
U C
V A
SOUTH ATLANTIC
REGIONAL TOTAL
ALA
KY
MISS
TENN
EAST SOUTH CENTRAL
REGIONAL TOTAL
ARK
LA
OK LA
IK
•«EST SOUTH CENTRAL
REGIONAL TOTAL
AMU
COLC
ID
MCNI
NEV
N M
UTAH
*YO
MOUNTAIN
REGIONAL TOTAL
ORE
CALF
NASH
PACIFIC
REGIONAL TOTAL
U.S. TOTAL
0
4.
&

4
5
7
5
4
i

2*.
4
4
)
4
6
5
U

26
1
2
1
0
1
I
2
0
C

a
«r
5
4
u

13
3
3
6
18

30
a
}
0
J
i
!
3
3

2*
1
b
0

1
130
0
3077
-

3077
1736
3696
1081
20->0
1*57

1C062
1497
2275
I860
1950
2097
2366
-

11997
4CO
904
696
0
720
280
1252
-


4452
1766
2COO
1396
-

5182
1928
1610
2960
9613

1611 1
2750
1710
0
1030
117
792
1215
1330

8944
500
-
_

500
60325
0
10300
-

10300
3145
10S40
2749
4250
3730

24214
5121
6093
5500
5150
4411
13750
-

40025
800
987
1551
0
1410
463
1500
-


6711
I960
4810
2286
-

9076
7260
3500
10046
36307

57113
8065
5415
0
2000
365
3220
2400
4600

26085
400
-
_

400
173924
0
7300
-

7JOO
2340
9990
0
2550
1230

16110
3340
5493
5500
5150
3897
13750
-

371 30
0
987
1551
0
1339
461
0
-


4340
1082
3046
1396
_

5524
7260
3500
10046
34307

95113
5885
5415
0
13)5
365
3220
2400
3100

21720
400
-
—

400
147637
c.o
70.9
-

7G.9
74.4
96.6
C.O
60.0
33.0

66.5
65.2
90.2
100.0
. 100. 0
88.3
ICu.O
-

92.6
0.0
10U.G
10C.O
G.O
95.0
IOC.O
0.0
-


64.7
54.6
63.3
61.1
—

60.9
IOC.O
100.0
100.0
94.5

96.5
72.8
100.0
C.O
66.7
100.0
IOC.O
100.0
67.4

83.3
100.0
—
_

100.0
84.9
3
5
0

B
a
11
10
9
6

44
7
7
5
5
6
10
0

40
1
4
5
1
3
3
2
0
C

14
6
11
4
0

21
5
5
a
38

56
9
6
2
3
6
4
5
5

40
-1
0
0

1
229
240C
3877
-

6277
3236
5143
2735
4 760
2737

19C11
2377
3065
346C
2550
2C97
4486
-

18857
400
1656
4196
800
2160
840
1252
-


11306
3152
4640
1396
-

9388
3326
2690
3660
20966

30644
3060
2210
1000
1730
2117
1A08
1715
2130

15590
500
-
_

SOD
111573
5900
12200
-

181CO
6835
154GO
8149
10150
6470

470G4
8021
116SO
9400
5750
6770
25699
-

67:130
600
3870
6751
15CO
4464
14G7
3000
-


23792
6398
13799
3052
-

23249
12960
9709
112C4
90334

124207
9085
7635
1600
7000
8746
64D5
5238
7100

52869
1200
-
-

12CO
357771
0
7300
-

7300
5975
6068
4000
4400
1230

• 23623
334C
102-.G
6600
4950
5937
25699
-

56776
0
1219
5551
0
1608
0
0



8378
3326
6574
2162
-

12062
12960
9709
9C01
63673

95343
5885
5905
1600
1335
7351
5450
5238
5600

38364
1200
-
_

1200
243046
0.0
59.8
-

40.3
66.7
52.4
49.1
43.3
19.0

50.3
41.6
67.7
70.2
86. :
87. 7
100.0
-

84.3
0.0
31.5
63.4
0.0
36.0
C.O
0.0
_


35.2
52.0
47.6
70.8
.

51.9
100.0
100.0
80.3
70.5

76.8
64.8
77.3
100.0
19.1
64.0
84.0
100.0
78.9

72.5
100.0
-
_

100.0
67.9
Source:   Status  of Coal  Supply Contracts  for New  Electric  Generating
          Units  1976-1985,  Federal Power Commission,  January 1977.
                                         42

-------
         c~7 «/  o^tu   w,h,<7 P(   -h  c,^  '* -^'  (^
   '                     '           '
capacity of 60,325 megawatts during the years 1976  through 1980.  The national
                                               j—	—_	.     ——•
average unit size planned for that 5-year period is 464 megawatts.  By 1980
the projected annual coal requirement will be 2.88 tons per kilowatt of new
capacity, reflecting both a higher average capacity factor for the new units
and a lower average heat content of coal to be used by the new units.
     During the period 1981-1985, utilities plan to construct an additional
99 units with a total capacity of JSl.^248 megawatts, i.e., the average unit
size will be 518 megawatts.  The average annual coal requirement of units to
             t		.-
be completed during the second half of the decade is 3.26 kkg  (3.59 tons) of
coal per kilowatt of new capacity, underscoring the significant shift to the
low-Btu subbituminous  coal_from  the_Northern Great Plains Province  (Montana
and Wyoming)^and  to lignite  from the Fort Union Region  (North and South Dakota)
and from Texas.   The average size of all new units placed on stream during the
entire decade will be  487 megawatts and their average annual coal requirement
in 1985 will be^2*91_kkg_.(3.21 .tons) per kilowatt capacity.
     The total 1980 and  1985 coal demand by new coal-fired units and  the
portion of that demand which is  already under contract, by state and  geographic
region, also are  shown in Table  6.  Thus, in 1980, almost 85 percent, or 133.9
million kkg  (147.6 million tons), of the total projected demand of  157.8 million
kkg (173.9 million tons) is  already under long term  contract.  The  portion of
the 1985 coal demand already under contract declines to 67.9 percent  of the
total projected demand of 324.6  million kkg (357.8 million tons).
     There are significant regional differences in the proportion of  the
total cost demand which  is under contract.  Generally, utilities in the western
regions have a much higher proportion of their projected coal demand  under
contract than utilities  in the eastern regions.
                  Origin  and  Destination of Coal For New Units
     Of the national total of 11,573 megawatts of new coal-fired capacity
scheduled for service  in 1976-1985, 5_8^.8 percent will be located in states west
of thje_JlissjLasJ4iEl_^iver.  Except for relatively small quantities of_cpal which
will be shipjged^westward_from the Eastern Coal_Region_ojf the Interior Province,
the new units in  the west will depend amost entirely on bituminous  and sub-
bituminous^coaT and lignite  produced west of the Mississippi.  The  data supplied
by the utilities  project that about 94 percentjDf the incremental coal produced
                                      43

-------
 in  the west will be used by new units in the west.  Because of the lower
 average heat  content of western coal, units in the west will use more than
 their proportionate share of the new coal, i.e., 58.8 percent of the new coal-
 fired capacity will require 68.7 percent of the total incremental tonnage.
     The western region of the Northern Great Plains (NGP) will provide more
 of  the incremental steam coal production in the next 10 years than any other
 region.  Of the 324.6 million kkg (357.8 million tons) of coal demand projected
 for new coal-fired units, 128 million kkg (141 million tons) or 39.4 percent
 will be supplied from this region.  As a result, in 1985 the NGP may account
 for one-quarter of all the coal used by electric utilities.  In 1975 this
 region supplied 10 percent of the total.  As can be seen from Figure 16, most
 of the coal production from the western region of the Northern Great Plains
 (NGP) will be going to adjacent areas of the country.   The West South Central
 Region will receive 57.0 million kkg (62.8 million tons)  from the NGP while
 38.9 million kkg (42.9 million tons) will go to the West North Central Region.
 In 1975 the East North Central Region was the easternmost area to receive
 coal from the Northern Great Plains, but by 1985 a small tonnage will be
 shipped as far as the South Atlantic Region.
    The four states comprising the Mountain Region—Colorado, Utah, Arizona,
 and New Mexico—will supply 10.8 percent of the coal requirements for new coal-
 tired units.  In 1975,  5.3 percent of all electric utility steam coal came
 from these states.   Most of the coal from this four-state region going to new
 units will remain within the area with many of the new units being mine-mouth
 operations.
     Bureau of Mines (BOM)  District #15 which includes Kansas,  Texas, Missouri
 and part of Oklahoma will experience a rapid rate of growth in demand for its
 coal production.   With 15 percent of the coal demand for new units being for
 BOM District #15 coal,  this region will supply approximately 10 percent of all
 electric utility coal in 1985,  compared to  3.9 percent in 1975.   As can be
 seen from Figure 17 virtually all of this coal will stay within the region,
with 96 percent of the total coal output from BOM #15 being consumed in Texas.
     The Appalachian Region has traditionally been the Nation's major source
 of coal for electric power generation.   Of  the 430.5 million tons of coal
 delivered to electric utilities in 1975, 44.8 percent was Appalachian coal.
 Data for new coal-fired units coming on line from 1976 through 1985 show that

                                     44

-------
4>
Ui
         WNC - West North Central
          WSC - West South Central
          ENC - East North Central
            SA - South Atlantic
                                               FIGURE  16

                                FLOW OF  COAL TO NEW GENERATINGi UNITS
                                   FROM  THE WESTERN REGIONS OF THE
                                 NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS (IN 1000 TONS)
                                                   1980
                                                   1985

-------
WNC - West North Central
WSC - West South Central
  SA - South Atlantic
                               FIGURE 17
                  FLOW OF COAL TO NEW GENERATING UNITS
                FROM THE EASTERN REGION (INTERIOR PROVINCE)
                 AND THE FORT UNION REGION, (IN 1000 TONS)
                                    1980
                                    1985

-------
Appalachian will be the source for only 14.5 percent of the new units' coal
requirements.  Appalachia will still remain the largest source for steam coal
in 1985, but its share of the total steam coal supply will drop to about 35
percent.  As can be seen from Figure 6, 41.4 million tons of the total 52.2
million tons of Appalachian coal required by new units in 1985 will go to
destinations in the East.
     The Eastern Region of the Interior Province (see Figure 18), which
supplied 29.4 percent of all the coal delivered to electric utilities in 1975,
will supply 10.2 percent of the coal required for new units in 1985.  As a
result, by 1985 this region will supply only about 20 percent of the total
coal used by old and new units of all utilities.  Of the 33.0 million kkg
(36.4 million tons) of coal from this region for new coal-fired units, 23.7
million kkg (26.1 million tons) will stay within the region, with relatively
small shipments going to the West North Central, West South Central, and South
Atlantic Regions.
Transport of Coal to New Units
     Factors related to coal transport include the following:
     a.  Contractual agreements for transportation are not always con-
         cluded simultaneously with supply contracts* as evidenced by the
         proportions of total demand committed to supply and to transport
         contracts.
     b.  Nearly two-thirds of the 1985 coal demand by new units will be
         transported by rail.  However, only a relatively small share of
         the total projected rail shipments, particularly from Appalachia
         to geographic regions in the eastern United States, is committed
         to contract.  The level of contracts is also low for rail ship-
         ments from the Northern Great Plains, although not as low as
         from Appalachia.
     c.  The bulk of the shipments by barge will be from Appalachia,
         and to a lesser extent from the Interior Basin, to various
         regions in the east.
     d.  Shipments by truck and belt, reflecting the extent of mine-
         mouth plant developments, will take place almost entirely in
         the west.
                                    47

-------
-p-
00
          SA - South Atlantic
                                         FIGURE 18

                     FLOW OF COAL TO NEW GENERATING UNITS FROM THE
                 APPALACHIAN REGION, FROM U.S. BUREAU OF MINES DISTRICT 15,
                       AND FROM THE MOUNTAIN REGION (IN 1000 TONS)
                                            1980

-------
e.  Coal deliveries by collier across the Great Lakes to new units
    in the East North Central Region will originate in the Northern
    Great Plains and the first leg of the shipments will be by rail.
f.  Pipeline deliveries are projected for proposed coal-slurry
    shipments from the Rockies to plants in the Mountain Region.
                                 49

-------
                 METHODOLOGY FOR DETERMINING COAL AVAILABILITY

General Discussion

     The following input data were used:
     1)  A realistic projection of the demand for coal  by the electric
         utility industry...   This was obtained  from a  FPC study,
         "Status of Coal Supply Contracts  for New Electric Generating
         Units,  1976-1985",  January 1977.
     2)  A reasonable assessment of the recoverable  reserves...  This
         was  obtained from the Bureau  of Mines study, "The Reserves of
         U.S.  Coals  by Sulfur Content", 1C  8693.
     3)  A method for determining the  potential  for  preparing coal
         reserves...   This was obtained from the BOM study,  "Sulfur
         Reduction Potential  of U.S. Coals"»  RI  8118.
     4)  A projection of the  electric  power supply and  demand... This
         was  obtained from the FPC report,  "Electric Power Supply  and
         Demand,  1977-1986",  May 1977,  and  summarized in  the second
         section of this report.
     5)  An estimate of the potential  demand for coal,  if all units
         capable of conversion in the  electric utility  industry, did
         convert...  This was  obtained  from  the FPC study,  "Factors
         Affecting - The Electric Power Supply,  1980-85",  December 1976.
     6)  An accounting of the total FGD capacity in  operation at the
         present time... This was obtained  from  the  FPC report,  "Annual
         Summary of Cost and  Quality of Electric Utility  Plant Fuels,
         1976",  May 1977.
     The following factors entered into the use  of the  above input data;
     1)  The  recoverability  factor for underground coal is assumed
         to be 50 percent and that for surface coal  85  percent.
                                  50

-------
     2)  -The wash samples taken as part of the cleanability study are
         assumed to accurately represent the recoverable reserve potential
         and the coal preparation potential.
    1,3)  i The reduction in yield and Btu recovery were not factored
     \
         into the availability calculations.
     4)  Logistical, cost, contractual, and other relevant parameters
         were not factored into the availability calculations.
     5)  It was assumed that all of the sulfur in the coal goes out of
         the stack as SO  .
     6)  A normal distribution of SCL emissions was assumed.  A relative
         standard deviation (RSD( of 10 percent and a 3a confidence level was
         used to characterize the sulfur variability for a 30-day averag-
         ing period.  This is a simplistic assumption in view of the wide
         variability of sulfur, but it is useful until better data are
         available.

Significance of Factors

     Factor (1) would have to be further examined for those regions of
the country where the results indicate the possibility of limited availability
of coal.
     Factor (2) is important for the determination of the availability of
coal at the different cleanability levels.  Comparisons of raw coal sulfur
contents between the reserve data and the wash samples are given in Tables 9
and 10.
     The data  contained in Table  9  indicate  that  the Northern Appalachian
washability samples  related  fairly  well with coal  reserve  data.  As  indi-
cated,  these are  the coals with  the greatest beneficiation attractiveness.
     For the Southern Appalachian Region  the washability data do not
correlate  too well with  the  reserve base  data,  for a sulfur  content  less than
1 percent.  This  is  due  to  the  fact that  the washability samples  included in
the study were  only  from  Kanawha  and  Logan  counties  in West  Virginia.  The
coals  in this  area are known to be  of low sulfur  content as  mined.
     The low sulfur  comparison  for  the Western Region is given  in  Table  10.
The poor correlation is not  critical  for  the results in  the  Western  Region
since  the availability of raw coal  is adequate to  meet  the demand.
                                 51

-------
                          TABLE 9
                COMPARISON OF COAL RESERVE DATA
              AND WASHABILITY DATA - APPALACHIAN
                            REGION
               SULFUR CONTENT (WEIGHT PERCENT)
                                                      <3
N. Appalachian

   Reserve Data                8.4                  61.8
   Washed Samples              8.5                  56.5
S.  Appalachian
  (excluding Alabama)

   Reserve Data                63.7                 98.2
   Washed Samples               80.0                 98.5
                             52

-------
                                TABLE  10



                       WESTERN REGION  RESERVES -

CUMULATIVE PERCENT OF TOTAL AND COMPARISONS WITH WASHABILITY DATA

                         MILLION  SHORT TONS

 CUMULATIVE TOTAL FOR SULFUR CONTENT ^1.0 PERCENT
STATE
Colorado
Montana
N. Dakota
N. Mexico
Utah
Woyming
TOTAL
CUMULATIVE TOTAL FOR
Colorado
Montana
N. Dakota
N. Mexico
Utah
Wyoming
TOTAL
CUMULATIVE PERCENT OF
DEEP
6,751
63,464
i

1,894
1,916
20,720
94,745
SULFUR CONTENT UP TO 3
7,438
65,860
	
2,109
3,320
26,531
105,258
TOTAL FOR < 1 PERCENT
STRIP
724
38,182
5,389
1,681
52
13,193
59,221
PERCENT
870
40,403
15,983
2,260
243
23,741
83,500
SULFUR CONTENT
TOTAL
7,475
101,646
5,389
3,575
1,968
33,913
153,966

8,308
106,263
15,983
4,369
3,563
50,272
188,758
- COMPARISON
 RESERVE DATA                               82

 WASHED SAMPLES                             50
                                   53

-------
     Factors (3) and (4) imply that the results for those regions of the
country that show little or no coal availability are bounded to reflect the
actual situation accurately.  Those regions showing sufficient coal
availability would have to be further examined to determine the effect
of both these factors on the actual quantity of coal arriving at the
required destinations.
     Factor (5) reflects the bituminous coal producing region accurately
(95-100 percent sulfur to SO- conversion).   The subbituminous  coal  pro-
ducing regions (72 percent sulfur to S0? conversion) and the lignite coal
producing regions (60-90 percent sulfur to  SO,, conversion) are affected as
follows:  the results for the Western region, which contains a substantial
amount of subbituminous and lignite coals,  are therefore bounded by Factor
(5) to reflect the actual situation accurately.
     Factor (6) is important with respect to the results obtained with the
inclusion of the effects of sulfur variability.  The assumptions stated are
probably reasonable, however, the actual RSD will vary for each type of coal
and it will not necessarily remain the same for continued deliveries of the
same coal.  Deviations  from the assumed value cannot be predicted on the basis
of regional considerations.
     The manner in which these factors affect the calculations determining
the availability of coal from the different regions in the country is
summarized in Table 11.  The No designation indicates that factors have no
significant effect and the Table 1 results  can be used directly, without
further analysis, for that specific category.  For example, the 0.172 kg/GJ
(0.4) standard cannot be met in any region.  No further investigation is
required to firm up this result.  However,  the Further Investigation designa-
tion for the Western 0.34 kg/GJ (0.8) category (Factor 4) implies that although
it appears that coal is available, the problem of the coal getting from origin
to destination also should be studied.
    Two additional points should be noted:
    1)   All the projected available coal reserves were assumed to be
        available for use by the electric utility industry.   At present,
        the electric utilities consume approximately 70 percent of the total
        coal production in the United States.  If this ratio continued

                                  54

-------
                               TABLE 11
            THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE CALCULATION FACTORS
            ON THE DETERMINATION OF COAL AVAILABILITY *
                            SIGNIFICANCE
     REGION
    EASTERN
    EASTERN -
    MIDWEST
    WESTERN -
    MIDWEST
    WESTERN















so2
1.2
0.8
0.4
1.2
0.8
0.4
1.2
0.8
0.4
1.2
0.8
0.4

COAL
RECOVERY
1
NO
FI
NO
FI
NO
NO
NO
\ NO
[
{ NO
j NO
NO
NO
F
WASH-
ABILITY
2
NO
FI
NO
FI
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
ACTORS
BTU
RECOVERY
(^ }
\ 	 -- 	
NO
FI
NO
FI
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
i
OTHER
ITEMS
4
NO
FI
NO
FI
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
PI
FI
NO

r S -> SO.
^ !
5
NO
NO
NO
NO
i
NO
NO
j
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
*  The significance of Factor 6, sulfur variability, cannot be established
   regionally
FI - FURTHER INVESTIGATION DESIRABLE
NO - NO SIGNIFICANT EFFECT

                                 /55

-------
         into the 1985 period, then all the results of this study should
         be reduced by 30 percent to reflect the use of coal in other sectors.
         Of course, as stated previously, the years of coal availability
         numbers are not intended to accurately reflect actual lifetimes of
         reserves.
     2)  The input data of the regional coal demand projections included
         heat content considerations.  However, if one were tempted to
         ignore regional demarcations and consider coal availability for the
         entire United States as a whole unit, then variations in heat
         content should be factored into the calculations.  The lower Btu
         content of the Western coals means that more coal is required to
         satisfy the total Btu requirements.  The results in this study
         concerning "The Entire United States" do not take into account
         the reduced heat content factor, and are therefore overly optimistic.
         However, this again reinforces the need for FGD or a comparable
         control technique as discussed previously.

Basic Calculations

     The calculations were performed for the four (4) major coal producing
regions: Eastern, Eastern Midwest, Western Midwest, and Western.  In addition,
a composite calculation was performed considering the Entire United States
as one whole region.
     Three (3) levels of coal preparation were considered:  raw coal, coal
crushed to 3.8 cm (1.5 in) top size with a Btu recovery greater than or equal
to 90 percent, and coal crushed to 0.117 (14 mesh) top size with a Btu recovery
greater than or equal to 50 percent.
     In addition calculations were performed for cleaned coal combined with
FGD.  The FGD was applied to 100 percent of the flue gas and had a 90 percent
removal efficiency.
     Four (4)  SO- emission standards were considered:  1.81, 0.52, 0.34, and
0.17 kg S02 per GJ (2.0,  1.2, 0.8, and 0.4 Ib S02 per million Btu).
                                   56

-------
     The following is the calculation procedure:
     1.  The coal reserve was obtained from Document 1C 8693.
     2.  The appropriate mining recovery factor was applied.
     3.  The percentage of this recoverable coal reserve, which can be
         cleaned to each SC^ level, was read from one of the  appropriate
         graphs (Figures 19-25) which was obtained from Document RI 8118.
     4.  The appropriate percentage was applied to the recoverable coal
         reserves.  This yielded the total available coal tonnage for
         compliance with a given emission standard.
     5.  The projected 1985 coal demand by region was obtained from the
         FPC study, as tabulated in Table 4 of this report.
     6.  The total tonnage available was divided by the annual coal
         demand.  This yielded the number of years that coal  is available.
     To conclude consideration of the variability of the sulfur content in
coal, the following basic steps were employed in the calculation:

     1)  y + 3  o = e.s., where
         y = mean value
         a = standard deviation
        3 a = 99.87% point
       e.s. = emission standard.
For  RSD = 10 percent, the  following  tabulation gives the means  S02 emission
required to meet given emission standard.
     e.s., Ib S02/106 Btu             y, Ib SOjlO6 Btu
            2.0                             1-54
            1.2                             0.92
            0.8                             0.62
            0.4                             0.31
     3)  The curves obtained using average sulfur content (Figures 4,6,8,10,
and  12) were then used to obtain the new points.  For example, for an emission
standard of 1.2, the 0.92 point was used to obtain the coal availability
information.  The data obtained from these figures were then used to produce
the Bar Chart (Figure 3) and the curves in Figures 5,7,9,12,  and 13.

                                   57

-------
     For example, for the Eastern Region, there are 220 years of coal


available (Table 12) if there were no S0~ emission regulations.  The
                                        ^             r
imposition of a 0.17 kg SCL per GJ (0.4 Ib  SO  per 10  Btu) standard would


drop this availability to 0 years (Table 16, continued), even if PCC were

used.  However, if FGD were used, this would make a minimum of 135 years of


coal available (Table 16, continued)  and allow compliance with the 0.17 (0.4)


standard.
                                  58

-------
                        TABLE 12. RAW COAL AVAILABILITY
                                                       (a)
                                        1985 Utility
            Recoverable Reserves          Demand           Maximum Years Available*
Region
                   106 Tons               106 Tons                 Years
Entire U.S.         259,798               788.3                    330

Eastern              57,631               262.5                    220

Eastern Midwest      50,687               162.8                    312

Western Midwest      10,699                70.5                    152

Western             140,781               274.5                    512
*  Based on 1985 Utility Demand Level

(a)   Source:   "Status of Coal Supply Contracts for New Electric Generating
     Units,  1976-1985",  Federal Power Commission,  January 1977.
                                        59

-------
                                                          TABLE 13
                                           RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                                             RAW AND PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                              1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES (EXISTING AND NEW)
                                              THE ENTIRE UNITED STATES
 Level of Coal
  Preparation
                                                             STANDARD - LB S02/10  BTU
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*
O ;


2.0
Recoverable Reserves
%
23
36
48

106 Tons
59,754
93,527
124,703
1985 DEMAND
1.
Recoverable
%
14
24
32
2

Reserves
106
36
62
83
FROM ALL UNITS
Tons
,372
,352
,135
(EXISTING
0.
Recoverable
%
2
4
7
AND NEW)
8

Reserves
106
5
10
18

Tons
,196
,392
,186

0.4
Recoverable
%
0
0
0



Reserves
106
0
0
0

Tons




                                                788.3 x 106 TONS ANNUALLY
                                                 YEARS OF AVAILABLE  SUPPLY  **
                                                 FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu  recovery
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery
 76 YRS
119 YRS
158 YRS
 46 YRS
 79 YRS
105 YRS
 7 YRS
13 YRS
23 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
  *  Tonnages  do  not  reflect weight  or  Btu  loss  during  cleaning.
 **  Based on  1985  demand level.

-------
                                                        TABLE  14
                                         RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                         FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD) COMBINED WITH PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                            1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                    FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED
                                            THE ENTIRE UNITED  STATES

                                                            STANDARD -  LB S02/106  BTU
          Level Of Coal
           Preparation
          RAW COAL
          1.5",790% Btu recovery*
          14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*

1.
Recoverable
%
98
99
100

2
Reserves
106 Tons
254,602
257,200
259,798
1985 DEMAND
0.
Recoverable
%
83
98
99
8
Reserves
106 Tons
215,632
254,602
257,200
FROM ALL UNITS (EXISTING
0.4
Recoverable
%
43
66
87
PLUS NEW)

Reserves
106 Tons
111,713
171,467
226,024

                                                                788.3 x 106 TONS  ANNUALLY
                                                                YEARS OF AVAILABLE  SUPPLY **
                                                                FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
          RAW COAL
          1.5",^90% Btu recovery
          14 Mesh, 5-50% Btu recovery
323 YRS
326 YRS
330 YRS
274 YRS
323 YRS
326 YRS
142 YRS
218 YRS
287 YRS
 *  Tonnages do not reflect weight  or  Btu  loss  during  cleaning.
**  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
                                                    T\BLE 15
                                       RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                                         RAW AND PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                          1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                                   EASTERN REGION
Level Of Coal
 Preparation
N. Appalachia
RAW COAL
1.5",- 90% Btu  recovery*
14 Mesh,>50% Btu  recovery*
STANDARD - LB SO0/10  BTU
 S.  Appalachia   (Except  Alabama)
 RAW COAL
 1.5",  90% Btu  recovery*
 14  Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*  100
 Alabama
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu  recovery*
 14" Mesh,>50%  Btu recovery* 100

2.0
Recoverable Reserves
%
15
35
* 70
abama)
80
90
* 100
60
65
y* 100
106 Tons
5,472
12,768
25,536
16,095
18,107
20,119
620
671
1,032
1.
Recoverable
%
4
12
31
35
50
63
30
30
40
2
Reserves
106 Tons
1,459
4,378
11,309
7,042
10,060
12,675
310
310
413
0.8
Recoverable
% 10
1
2.5
2.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
8
8
8

Reserves
Tons
365
912
912
704
704
704
83
83
83
0.4
Recoverable
% 10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Reserves
Tons
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0

-------
                                                    TABLE 15 (Continued)
                                          RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                                            RAW AND PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                             1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES (EXISTING AND NEW)

                                                   EASTERN REGION
                                                            STANDARD - LB S02/10  BTU
Level of Coal
 Preparation
Entire Region
RAW COAL
1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*

2.0
Recoverable Reserves
% 106 Tons
22,187
31,546
46,688
1.2 0.
Recoverable Reserves Recoverable
% 106 Tons %
8,811
14,748
24,397
8
Reserves
106 Tons
1,152
1,699
1,699
0.4
Recoverable Reserves
% 106 Tons
0
0
0
REGIONAL 1985 DEMAND FRON ALL UNITS (EXISTING AND NEW)
                                                YEARS  OF AVAILABLE  SUPPLY
                                                FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
                                                                          **
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery
 85 YRS
120 YRS
179 YRS
34 YRS
56 YRS
93 YRS
4 YRS
7 YRS
7 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
      *  Tonnages do not reflect weight or Btu loss during cleaning.
     **  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
                                             TABLE 16
                               RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
               FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION  (FGD) COMBINED WITH PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                  1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                          FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED
                                         EASTERN REGION
                                                   STANDARD - LB S02/106 BTU
Level Of Coal
 Preparation
N. Appalachia
RAW COAL
1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*

S. Appalachia (Except Alabama)
RAW COAL
1.5",>90£ Btu recovery*
14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*

Alabama
RAW COAL
1.5">>90% Btu recovery*
14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*

1.
Recoverable
%
99
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
2
Reserves
106 Tons
36,115
36,480
36,480
20,119
20,119
20,119
1,032
1,032
1,032
0.
Recoverable
%
85
99
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
8
Reserves
106 Tons
31,008
36,115
36,480
20,119
20,119
20,119
1,032
1,032
1,032
0.4
Recoverable
1
43
77
91
94
100
100
78
82
100

Reserves
106 Tons
15,686
28,090
33,197
18,912
20,119
20,119
805
846
1,032

-------
                                            TABLE 16  (Continued)
Ui
                                     RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                    FLUE  GAS  DESULFURIZATION (FGD)  COMBINED WITH PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                        1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED
                                             EASTERN REGION

                                                         STANDARD  - LB  S02/1Q6  BTU
     Level Of Coal
      Preparation
  1.2
  0.8
0.4
     Entire Region
      Total
     RAW COAL
     1.5",>90%  Btu  recovery*
     14  Mesh,>50% Btu  recovery*
                                     Recoverable Reserves
                                                10  Tons
                  Recoverable Reserves
                             10  Tons
57,266
57,631
57,631
REGIONAL 1985 DEMAND
52,159
57,266
57,631
FROM ALL UNITS



(EXISTING AND NEW)
                  Recoverable Reserves
                     %       106 Tons

                              35,403
                              49,055
                              54,348
                                                              262.5 x 106 TONS ANNUALLY
                                                             YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY **
                                                             FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
      RAW COAL
      1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
      14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*
219 YRS
220 YRS
220 YRS
199 YRS
218 YRS
220 YRS
 135 YRS
 187 YRS
 207 YRS
      *  Tonnages do not reflect weight or Btu loss during cleaning.
     **  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
                                                         TABLE 17
                                           RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                                             RAW AND PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                              1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                                 EASTERN - MIDWEST REGION
                                                             STANDARD - LB S02/10  BTU
 Level of Coal
  Preparation
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*
OS
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery

2.0
1.2 0.8
Recoverable Reserves Recoverable Reserves Recoverable Reserves
% 106 Tons
2. 1,014
5.5 2,788
12. 6,082
REGIONAL 1985

6 YRS
17 YRS
37 YRS
% 106 Tons % 106 Tons
1. 507 0. 0
2. 1,014 1. 507
4. 2,028 2. 1,014
DEMAND FROM ALL UNITS (EXISTING AND NEW)
162.8 x 106 TONS ANNUALLY
YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY **
FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
3 YRS 0 YRS
6 YRS 3 YRS
12 YRS 6 YRS
0.4
Recoverable Reserves
% 106 Tons
0 0
0 0
0 0

0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
  *   Tonnages  do  not  reflect weight or Btu loss during cleaning.
 **   Based  on  1985 demand level.

-------
                                             TABLE 18

                                RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION (FGD) COMBINED WITH PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                   1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                           FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS CLEANED

                                      EASTERN - MIDWEST REGION

                                                    STANDARD -  LB S02/106  BTU
 Level Of  Coal
  Preparation
1.2
0.8
      0.4
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*
                                 Recoverable  Reserves
                                            10  Tons
                Recoverable Reserves
                           10  Tons
Recoverable Reserves
           10  Tons
98
100
100

49,
50,
50,
REGIONAL
673
687
687
1985

78
100
100
DEMAND
FROM ALL
39,
50,
50,
536
687
687
10
32
78
5
16
39
,069
,220
,536
UNITS (EXISTING AND NEW)
                                                        162.8 x IQt) TONS ANNUALLY
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery
                                                        YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY**
                                                        FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
305 YRS
311 YRS
311 YRS
243 YRS
311 YRS
311 YRS
31 YRS
100 YRS
243 YRS
 *  Tonnages do not reflect weight or Btu loss during cleaning.
**  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
   100
                                                  Product
                                             a Row cool
                                             b I'/2-inch
                                                top size ,
                                               90% Btu  rec
                                             T 14 -mesh
                                                top size ,
                                               50% Btu rec
                         Samples meeting
                         EPA stondord.%
                              14
                             24


                             32
                                      I	I   J   1   I
    0
10     12     14     16
 LB  S02/MM Btu
18
20
22
24
                                   FIGURE 19

PERCENT OF ALL U.S.  COAL SAMPLES MEETING THE CURRENT EPA STANDARD OF 1.2 POUNDS
S02/MM BTU WITH  NO PREPARATION,  CURVE a; COMPARED WITH THOSE  CRUSHED TO 1-1/2-
INCH TOP  SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY  OF GREATER THAN OR EQUAL  TO 90  PERCENT, CURVE b;
AND THOSE CRUSHED TO 14-MESH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF GREATER THAN OR EQUAL
TO 50 PERCENT, CURVE c,  AND SEPARATED GRAVIMETRICALLY.

SOURCE:  U.S. Bureau of  Mines, RI8118
                                         68

-------
             c
             o>
             u
             w
             d>
             Q.

             CO
             UJ
             CO

             LU
                100
                 90
                 80
                 70
60
                 50
                 40
                30
                20
                 10
                                    bo
Product
a
b
c

Row cool
I-L -inch
top size ,
90% Btu rec.
14 -mesh
top size ,
50% Btu rec.
Somples meeting
EPA stondord,%
30
30
40

                        EPA stondord 1.2
                  0
                4      6      8      10

                LB S02/MM Btu
12
                                  FIGURE 20


PERCENT OF ALABAMA REGION COAL SAMPLES MEETING THE CURRENT EPA STANDARD OF 1.2

POUNDS SOo/MM BTU WITH NO PREPARATION, CURVE a; COMPARED WITH THOSE CRUSHED

TO l-l/2-INCH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF  GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO  90 PERCENT,

CURVE b; AND THOSE CRUSHED TO 14-MESH TOP  SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY  OF GREATER  THAN

OR EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT, CURVE c, AND SEPARATED GRAVIMETRICALLY.


SOURCE:  U.S. Bureau of Mines, RI8118
                                     69

-------
           c
           0)
           CO
           UJ
               100
                90
                80
                70
                60
               50
           CO

           y   40
               30
               20
                10 —
                0
Product
a Row coal
b \{ -'nch
top size ,
90% Btu rec.
c 14 -mesh
top size ,
50% Btu rec.
Samples meet
EPA standard
35
50

63

ing

-------
                   100
                   90
                   80
                   70
                S  60
                to
                UJ
                _
                a.
                UJ
                z
50


40


30


20


10
Product
a Row coal
b lj -inch
top size ,
90% Btu rec.
c 14 -mesh
lop size ,
50% Btu rec.
Samples meeting
EPA standard, %
4
12

31






                         I  I  I  I
                                    \	I	1	I	L
                             J	L
                                          10
                                              12
                                                   14
                                                       16
                                                           16
                                                               20
                                      LB SOj/MM Btu
                                   FIGURE 22

PERCENT OF NORTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION COAL SAMPLES MEETING THE CURRENT EPA STANDARD
OF 1.2 POUNDS S02/MM BTU WITH NO PREPARATION,  CURVE a; COMPARED WITH THOSE CRUSHED
TO 1-1/2-INCH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO  90 PERCENT,
CURVE b; AND THOSE CRUSHED TO 14-MESH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF GREATER THAN  OR
EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT, CURVE c, AND SEPARATED GRAVIMETRICALLY.

SOURCE:  U.S. Bureau of Mines, RI8118
                                       71

-------
   c
   o>
   o
   CO
   UJ
   <
   C/J
       100
       90
       80
       70
       60
       50
       40
       30
       20
        10-
                Somples meeting
                EPA stondord.%
  l^-inch
  top size ,
  90% Btu  rec.
c 14 - mesh
  top size,
  50% Btu  rec.
                                                     I   I   I    I   I   I    I
                                    8     10     12

                                   LB  S02/MM Btu
                14
16
18
20
                                   FIGURE  23

PERCENT OF EASTERN MIDWEST REGION COAL SAMPLES MEETING THE CURRENT EPA STAND-
ARD OF 1.2 POUNDS S02/MM BTU WITH NO PREPARATION, CURVE a; COMPARED WITH
THOSE CRUSHED TO 1-1/2-INCH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF  GREATER THAN OR EQUAL
TO 90 PERCENT, CURVE b; AND THOSE CRUSHED  TO  14-MESH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT, CURVE c, AND SEPARATED GRAVIMETRICALLY.

SOURCE:   U.S. Bureau of Mines, RI8118
                                      72

-------
                                                         TABLE 19
                                           RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                                             RAW AND PREPARED  COAL TO MEET THE
                              1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES  (EXISTING PLUS NEW)
                                                    WESTERN -  MIDWEST  REGION
                                                             STANDARD - LB  SO-/10   BTU
 Level of Coal
  Preparation
  RAW  COAL
  1.5",>90%  Btu recovery*
  14 Mesh,x50% Btu recovery*
u>

2.0


1.2
Recoverable Reserves Recoverable Reserves
% 106
5
8
8
REGIONAL
Tons
535
856
856
1985
%
2.5
5.5
5.5
DEMAND FROM
106 Tons
267
588
588
ALL UNITS (EXISTING
0.
Recoverable
%
0
0
0
AND NEW)
8
Reserves
106 Tons
0
0
0

0.4
Recoverable Reserves
% 106 Tons
0 0
0 0
0 0
I
                                                  70.5 x 10b TONS ANNUALLY
                                                  YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY **
                                                  FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
  RAW COAL
  1.5",>90% Btu recovery
  14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery
 8 YRS
12 YRS
12 YRS
4 YRS
8 YRS
8 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
0 YRS
  * ^Tonnages do not reflect weight  or  Btu loss  during  cleaning.
**  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
                                              TABLE 20
                                RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION  (FGD) COMBINED WITH PREPARED COAL  TO MEET  THE
                   1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES  (EXISTING  PLUS NEW)
                           FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS  CLEANED
                                      WESTERN - MIDWEST REGION

                                                    STANDARD - LB S02/106 BTU
 Level Of Coal
  Preparation
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery*

1.
Recoverable
%
82
93
100
2
Reserves
106 Tons
8,774
9,951
10,700
REGIONAL 1985 DEMAND

0.8
Recoverable Reserves
%
40
82
94
FROM ALL
106 Tons
4,280
8,774
10,058
UNITS (EXISTING
0.4
Recoverable
%
10
16
43
AND NEW)

Reserves
106 Tons
1,070
1,712
4,601

                                                      70.5 x 106 TONS ANNUALLY
                                                    YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY **
                                                    FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>-90% Btu recovery
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery
124 YRS
140 YRS
152 YRS
 61 YRS
124 YRS
142 YRS
15 YRS
24 YRS
65 YRS
 *  Tonnages do not reflect-weight or Btu loss during cleaning.
**  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
                                                         TABLE 21
                                          RECOVERABLE RESERVES TO MEET THE NSPS,
                                            RAW AND PREPARED COAL TO MEET THE
                             1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES  (EXISTING AND NEW)
                                                    WESTERN REGION
                                                            STANDARD - LB  S02/10   BTU
Level of Coal
 Preparation
RAW COAL
1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
14 Mesh ,> 50% Btu recovery*
 Ui
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90%  Btu recovery
 14  Mesh,>50%  Btu  recovery


2.0
1.2 0.8
Recoverable Reserves Recoverable Reserves Recoverable Reserves
%
90
100
100




106 Tons
126,703
140,781
140,781
REGIONAL 1985

461 YRS
512 YRS
512 YRS
% 106 Tons % 106 Tons
70 98,547 25 35,195
94 132,334 37 52,089
98 137,965 57 80,245
DEMAND FROM ALL UNITS (EXISTING AND NEW)
274.5 x 106 TONS ANNUALLY
YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY **
FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
359 YRS 128 YRS
482 YRS 189 YRS
506 YRS 292 YRS
0.4
Recoverable Reserves
% 10 6 Tons
1 1,408
1 1,408
2 2,816

5 YRS
5 YRS
10 YRS
 *  Tonnages do not reflect weight or Btu.loss  during  cleaning.
**  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
                                             TABLE 22
                                RECOVERABLE  RESERVES  TO MEET  THE  NSPS,
                FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION  (FGD)  COMBINED WITH  PREPARED  COAL  TO  MEET  THE
                    1985 ANNUAL DEMAND FROM ELECTRIC UTILITIES (EXISTING  PLUS NEW)
                            FGD-90% REMOVAL EFFICIENCY, 100% OF GAS  CLEANED
                                            WESTERN REGION

                                                    STANDARD - LB S02/1Q6 BTU
 Level Of Coal
  Preparation
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery*
 14 Mesh,^50% Btu recovery*

1.
Recoverable
%
100
100
100
2
Reserves
106 Tons
140,781
140,781
140,781
REGIONAL 1985
0.8
0.
4
Recoverable Reserves Recoverable Reserves
% 106 Tons
100 140,781
100 140,781
100 140,781
DEMAND FROM ALL UNITS
7
fa
100
100
100
(EXISTING AND
106 Tons
140,781
140,781
140,781
NEW)
                                                         274.5 x 10b TONS ANNUALLY
 RAW COAL
 1.5",>90% Btu recovery
 14 Mesh,>50% Btu recovery
512 YRS
512 YRS
512 YRS
YEARS OF AVAILABLE SUPPLY
FROM RECOVERABLE RESERVES
        512 YRS
        512 YRS
        512 YRS
512 YRS
512 YRS
512 YRS
 *  Tonnages do not reflect weight or Btu loss during cleaning.
**  Based on 1985 demand level.

-------
 100 —
         EPA stondord
                   : C    I b
                                                       Samples meeting
                                                       EPA  standard,
                                         a Row cool
                                         b l'/2 -inch
                                            top size ,
                                           90% Btu rec.
                                         c 14-mesh
                                            top size ,
                                           50% Btu rec.
                                  10    12    14    16    18     20     22
                                  LB S02/MM  Btu
24
                                     FIGURE 24

PERCENT OF WESTERN MIDWEST REGION COAL SAMPLES MEETING THE CURRENT EPA STAND-
ARD OF 1.2 POUNDS  S02/MM BTU WITH NO PREPARATION,  CURVE a; COMPARED WITH
THOSE CRUSHED  to 1-1/2-INCH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF GREATER THAN OR EQUAL
TO 90 PERCENT,  CURVE b;  AND THOSE CRUSHED TO 14-MESH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY
OF GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT, CURVE c, AND SEPARATED GRAVMETRICALLY.

SOURCE:  U.S. Bureau of  Mines, RI8118
                                        77

-------
                  100
                                  Product
                             o Row cool

                             b l-i -inch
                               1op size ,
                               90%Btu rec.
                             c 14 -mesh
                               top size ,
                               50% Btu rec.
                   Somples meeting
                   EPA standard , %
                         70

                         94


                         98
                  10 -
EPA standard 1.2
                                      I   I    I
                           I   I    I
                   0       2      4      6      8      10      12

                                   LB S02/MM Btu

                                   FIGURE 25

PERCENT OF WESTERN REGION  COAL SAMPLES MEETING THE CURRENT EPA STANDARD OF 1..2
POUNDS S02/MM BTU WITH NO  PREPARATION, CURVE a; COMPARED WITH THOSE CRUSHED TO
1-1/2-INCH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO  90 PERCENT,
CURVE b; AND THOSE CRUSHED TO 14-MESH TOP SIZE AT A BTU RECOVERY OF GREATER TflAN
OR EQUAL TO 50 PERCENT,  CURVE c,  AND  SEPARATED GRAVIMETRICALLY.

SOURCE:  U.S. Bureau of  Mines,  RI8118
                                        78

-------
    TECHNOLOGY, COST, AND ENVIRONMENT OVERVIEWS OF COAL CLEANING

     Coal cleaning accomplishes the removal of slate,  clay,  carbon-
aceous shales, pyrite and rock aggregate.  There are many processes for
cleaning coal, each having its own benefits and disadvantages.   These
processes can be divided into two general categories,  physical  and
chemical coal cleaning.
Physical Coal Cleaning
     Physical cleaning can be defined generally as the separation of
waste or unwanted "refuse" material from coal by  techniques based on the
differences in the physical properties of coal and refuse.  The most common
physical property used to clean coal is density.  Specific gravity ranges
are generally as follows:
     coal                         1.2-1.7
     carbonaceous shale           2.0-2.6
     gypsum, kaolin, calcite      2.3-2.7
     pyrite                        5.0

Density separation is done using  hydraulic jigs,  concentrating tables, cyclones,
dense medium vessels, or air  classifiers.  In  such equipment ground coal
is suspended  in a fluid, and  the  refuse material  falls  to the bottom of
the  separating unit, whereas  the  cleaned coal  will float  or move  to  the
top  of  the  unit for  removal.  A related  technique, froth  flotation,
additionally  utilizes the surface properties of coal particles to advantage
to enhance  the separation.  Physical cleaning will remove mineral sulfur,
e.g., pyrite, which  has a high density, but not organic sulfur, which  is
an integral part of  the coal.  The amount of mineral sulfur removed depends
on the  crystal size  of the mineral sulfur.  The smaller the crystals are,
the  smaller particle size the run of the mine  (ROM) coal must be  crushed
to achieve  effective separation.  If the particle sizes of the mineral sulfur
                                     79

-------
 and  pulverized  coal  are not matched well, large amounts of coal will be lost
 with the  refuse if a large fraction of  the mineral sulfur is  to be removed.
 As the  coal  is  pulverized to smaller and smaller particle sizes,  costs of
 pulverization rise quickly.  These costs vary widely depending on the type
 of coal.
     The Btu  recovery rate of the cleaning process is usually  based
 on the  input heating value.  The heating value of the coal lost in the
 refuse  is counted as an energy loss.  Physical cleaning generally has a
 Btu  recovery of  80 to 95 percent of the ROM coal, with the largest losses
 associated with  coal lost with the refuse, and, with the coal required to
 operate the thermal  drier.  One can expect physical cleaning  to remove 35
 to 70 percent of the mineral sulfur in ROM coals, depending on the amount
 of size reduction done  and the many other physical characteristics of the
 coal.
     Hoffman^)  nas studied the costs of physically cleaning easily-
 cleaned northern Appalachian coals, presenting cost data for coals cleaned
 at a top size of 0.95 cm (3/8 inch), and high yield factors (a range of 85
 to 95 percent of input product yield,  weight basis).   Other Appalachian coals
                                              (2)
 generally have a 60  to 70 percent weight yield    and the associated costs
would be higher on a cleaned-coal basis.  Capital investment for a physical
 cleaning plant larger than 454 kkg (500 tons)  per hour capacity at the mine
mouth (a lower practical economic limit) can run between $9920 and $49,600
per kkg ($9,000 and  $45,000 per short  ton)  per hour of capacity(2).  (The
higher value, $49,600, includes rail spurs,  and coal  handling equipment
normally associated with mine facilities costs.)   The mean cost range is
 $16,500 to $19,800 per kkg ($15,000 to $18,000 per short ton)  per hour
 capacity.   These mean costs are incremental  to mine facility costs,  e.g.,
rail spurs,  conveyors, etc.   If one assumes  the following:
   1)   15 year capital write off,
   2)   13 productive hours per day, 260 days per year operation,
   3)   interest rate of 10 percent,
   4)   90 percent product yield, and                                        ,
   5)   $19,800 per ton per hour of capacity capital cost,
 one  can expect a capital charge of $0.845 per  kkg ($0.767 per ton) of ROM
 coal processed for a 454 kkg (500 short tons)  per hour plant,  and an operating

                                  80

-------
and maintenance cost of $0.72 to $0.94 per kkg ($0.65 to $0.80 per short ton) I
of ROM coal processed, depending on the site and coal specifics of the
cleaning plant.  The operating and maintenance cost includes an allowance
for disposal costs of the refuse.  Because of the loss of rejects material
in cleaning, and because the heating value is an important factor in selling
the cleaned coal, costs are usually reported in dollars per million Btu.
If the coal is assumed to go from a ROM heating value of 25.58 MJ per kg
(11,000 Btu per pound) to a product heating value of 27.91 MJ per kg
(12,000 Btu per pound), with a ROM coal price of $19.80 per kkg ($18 per
ton), and a 90 percent weight yield, the cost of cleaning would be calculated
as follows:
          Raw Coa! Cost -                            - *>.774/GJ
          Cldaned Coal Cost = $19.80 ROM coal cost
                                 . 84 capital charge
                                 .94 O&M cost
                              $21.58 per kkg ROM coal

          $21'58 .  -  = $23.98/kkg cleaned coal
            0.9 yield   y        5

                $23.98/kkg
                          __
          (27.91 MJ/kg)(1000 kg/kkg)

          Cleaning cost = $0.859 - $0.774 = $0.085/GJ or $0.09/106 Btu
          $19'57 .  , ,  = $21.74/ ton cleaned coal
            0.9 yield
          Cleaning cost = $0.906 - $0.818 = $0.087/106 Btu
                                    81

-------
This  cost is  for a plant using hydraulic jigs, washing tables, cyclones,
froth flotation units, filters, screens, and mechanical and thermal driers.
Using the cleaned coal as a basis, the cleaning cost is then $2.37 per kkg
(2.09 per ton).  If the cleaning yield is assumed to be much lower, e.g. 60
weight percent, the ROM heating value of the coal say 18.61 MJ per kg
(8000 Btu per pound), and a ROM coal price of $11 per kkg ($10 per ton),
the capital charges and operating and maintenance costs used above lead
to a  cleaned coal processing cost of $4.80 per product kkg ($4.27 per product
short  ton),  and $0.172 per GJ ($0.178 per million Btu's).  These figures do
not include any profit for the operation.
      It should be noted that other benefits  accrue to the utility using
cleaned coal in addition to  sulfur reduction,  such as:   increased heating
value and reduced ash content of the product,  reduced transporation costs,
reduced pulverizing  costs,  increased boiler  capacity and availability, and
savings in boiler maintenance costs.   The value of these benefits should be
considered when the  cost-benefit of coal cleaning is evaluated for a specific
utility application.
    There are several other techniques that  can be used in physical
cleaning, e.g., magnetic separation of iron  pyrite (FeS2), oil agglomeration, and
electrophoretic and electrostatic separation.   Either for economic or
processing reasons,  these have not been developed sufficiently for detailed
discussion in this report.
    Physical coal cleaning reduces sulfur and ash content.  Both
enhance the environmental acceptability of burning the cleaned coal.  However,
physical cleaning has its own set of environmental problems.   The refuse
is usually gob piled.   These piles can be a  source of highly acid mine drain-
age, requiring a collection and lime treatment system for the drainage.
Gob piles also can be sources of fugitive dust.   All of the physical cleaning
processes have various internal environmental  problems.   Table 23 gives
generalized environmental problems for the various process technologies.
Chemical Cleaning
      There are currently 25 chemical cleaning processes under active
development and many more under conceptual development.   Of these 25,  only
eight have any economic information published or available.
                                    82

-------
                    TABLE 23.  PHYSICAL COAL CLEANING PROCESS ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS
     TECHNOLOGY
                                     PROBLEM
                                          CONTROL METHOD
oo
Jig, Launder,
  Cyclone, Table

Dense medium vessel
  and cyclone

Air classifier
     Froth flotation


     Electrostatic


     Electrophoretic

     Magnetic

     Oil agglomeration
Contaminated process water

Contaminated process water, dense
  media loss

Fugitive coal dust


Contaminated process water,
  flotation reagents loss

Fugitive coal dust
                           Contaminated process water

                           Contaminated process water

                           Contaminated process water, fuel
                             oils, tar oil in contact with
                             water
Closed water cycle


Closed water cycle

Cyclone collector, bag house
  electrostatic precipitator
  (ESP)

Closed water cycle

Cyclone collector, bag house,
  ESP

Closed water circuit

Closed water circuit

Closed water and oil circuit

-------
    Meyers/TRW Process.   The Meyers process is the most highly developed
chemical cleaning process.  It has been studied by Dow Chemical, Bechtel,
and Dynatech.  '  '  '  The process leaches -149 ym (-100 mesh)  coal contain-
ing iron pyrite (FeS^) with ferric sulfate (Fe (SO )„), converting the pyrite
to sulfuric acid, ferrous sulfate, and elemental sulfur, at moderate
temperatures and  pressures,70  C  to 120 C  (160 F to 250  F),  and 100 kN/m2 to
        2
550 kN/m ,  (15 to 80 psia),  with long leaching times (5 to  10  hours).   The
process has  no proven organic sulfur removal and TRW does not claim any.
Elemental sulfur produced is solvent extracted or vaporized and recovered
by condensation.  Figure  26 indicates the layout unit processes involved in
the Meyers process.
    Dow Chemical(3) has done an extensive design and economics study
of this process for a 420 kkg (380 short tons) per hour plant.  Their
total capital cost for this design was $145 million (mid-1975 dollars) plus
or minus about 20 percent.  This includes limited physical cleaning facilities
for removal of rock aggregate and shales.  Dow    feels that based on this
design and 95 percent removal of pyritic sulfur, a cleaning cost of $11 to
$15.50 per kkg ($10 to $14 per ton) of cleaned coal would be appropriate
                               (4)
currently.  Bechtel Corporation    has studied the economics of a 300 kkg
 (330 short ton) per hour plant suggesting a total capital cost of $131 million
and a cleaning cost of $0.78 per GJ ($0.82 per million Btu's), or $20.90
per cleaned kkg ($19 per cleaned short ton).  Both companies'  costs contain
no profit margins,  and Dow's cost is based on cleaning a Pennsylvania Lower
Kittanning coal.   Bechtel's design is based on using a Pittsburgh A bituminous
coal.  Dow indicates that, based on their design, the process  can achieve
a 90 percent Btu recovery, while Bechtel indicates 98 percent  Btu recovery.
    The Meyers process may be one of the more troublesome chemical
cleaning processes from an environmental standpoint.  It uses  organic solvents
in contact with process wastes to extract the elemental sulfur.  A portion
of the solvent will be left in the cleaned coal.  The waste products of
the process, ferrous sulfate,  sulfuric acid, and physical cleaning refuse,
have to be disposed of properly with pH adjustment.  This refuse is obviously
much more acidic than just physical cleaning refuse alone.   Internally, the
process must use a closed water circuit with solvent recovery  to avoid
further effluent problems.
                                    84

-------
                         O2 FROM
                      OXYGEN PLANT
PULVERIZED COAL
MAKEUP
H2S04
  REACTOR
 RESIDENCE
TIME-10HRS
  SULFUR
EXTRACTION
   TANK
            SLURRY
             MIXING
             TANK

            RETURN LEACHANT
   00
   Ln
                       H2O
                   TO PROCESS
                  RECOVERED
                   SOLVENT
      RECYCLE
       COAL
      SLURRY
                                 IRON
                               SULFATE
                               REMOVAL
                                                                                     WATER
                                                                                      WASH
                                                                                      TANK
                                                                       H2O
          COAL DRYING
          WITH SOLVENT
            RECOVERY
                        SOLVENT
                       RECOVERY &
                         SULFUR
                        REMOVAL
                                                                                FILTER
                               CLEAN
                                            IRON
                                          'SULFATE
                                                                                    COAL
                                    ELEMENTAL
                                     SULFUR
                                FIGURE 26. MEYERS/TRW PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM

-------
     The Meyers process probably could be commercial in 5 to 6 years.  An
8 ton per day pilot plant has been constructed.   Information from this
should help provide scale-up information.
     Battelle Hydrothermal.  The Battelle process    leaches -149 urn + 74 urn
 (-100 + 200 mesh) coal with sodium and calcium hydroxide solutions at elevated
                                                                        2
temperatures and pressures, 98 C to 170 C (200 F to 340 F) and 1.55 MN/m  to
          2
17.25 MN/m  (225 psia to 2500 psia).   The process removes up to
99 percent of the mineral sulfur and has demonstrated 24 percent to 72 percent
organic sulfur removal, depending on the specific coal processed.  Btu recovery
ranges from 75 to 90 percent, depending on process operation.  Figure 27
indicates the process layout and unit operations.  The capital cost of the
process suffers due to the elevated temperatures and pressures used in the
system, and the need for leachant regeneration equipment to close the process
water loop, preventing the loss of leachant.
     Battelle currently feels that an operating cost of $19.80 to $27.50
per kkg ($18 to $25 per short ton) of cleaned coal or about $.95 per GJ
                                          fQ\
($1.00 per million Btu) is a good estimate    based on the regeneration of
leachant, 0.25 hour leaching time, and processing a Lower Kittanning coal
from 2.4 to 0.9 percent sulfur.  Under these conditions a capital cost of
$134 million to $145 million has been estimated for a 360 kkg (400 short tons)
per hour plant, the cost depending on the coal to leachant ratio (2 to 1,
or 3 to 1).  No profit margin is included in these figures.
     With leachant regeneration, internal process water loops are closed,
so that the only water effluent is in the wet coal.  Hydrogen sulfide
(H S) is produced in the process, and protection against H S leakage would
be necessary both from a processing and safety point of view.  The process
is known to leach out many heavy metals in coal.   Any effluents containing
high concentrations of these metals may require special disposal.
     The Battelle hydrothermal process could be commercialized in 4 to 6
years.
                                      (4)
     Hazen Process.  The Hazen process   , shown in Figure 28 is a totally
dry process.  The process reacts iron pyrite with gaseous iron pentacarbonyl:
     3 FeS2 + Fe(CO)5 -*• 2 Fe^ + 5 C
                                     86

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PULVERIZED
                                           WASH H2O
                                                                   FLUE GAS

oo
                                                               t COAL DRYER    I    COAL

                                                                       COALTOCALCINER
ELEMENTAL
SULFUR
RECOVERY
ELEMENTAL
SULFUR
                                                                        LIME MAKEUP
                    HEAT
                 EXCHANGER
                      I   FEED PREHEATER
                      B	    x~\
                                                Na2S
                                                 •f
                                               CAUSTIC
                                         REACTOR
                                         RESIDENCE
                                         TIME - 1/4 HR
       SLURRY
       MIXING
        TANK
                                                 H2S
                                              STRIPPER
       AIR
WASH COOLER
        MIXING
         TANK
                                                        CALCINER
                                                 CLEAN COAL
                                                               MAKEUP H2O
      NaOH & Ca (OH)2
                                                                                  CLEAN
                                                                                LIME
                                                                               MIXING
                                                                                TANK
                                                                    AND CAUSTIC
                      FIGURE  27. BATTELLE HYDROTHERMAL PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM

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PULVERIZED
COAL
        CYCLONE\y
                 M
 00
 00
                              A
 40 PS!A
 333° F

v \t v v v
                                    HE ACTOR
                                    RES;DEN&E
                                    TIME - 1/2 HR

   FLUE GAS TO COAL PREPARATION
MAGNETIC
SEPARATOR
                                                                     CO BURNER
                           FIGURE 28.  HAZEN PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM

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 The Fe2S3 is much more magnetically susceptible enabling it to be magnetically
 separated from the coal.  Thus this process can remove only mineral sulfur,
 and requires very fine grinding of the coal in order to liberate the pyrite
 particles.  This may restrict application of the Hazen process.  The process
 is simpler than others, using fewer unit operations and process steps,  at
 mild temperatures and pressures.   The process does have severe process
 monitoring requirements due to the use of highly toxic iron pentacarbonyl.
      Results reported to date have been limited to coal ground to 1.19  mm
 (14 mesh) because there are no magnetic separators available to handle  dry,
 fine-pulverized materials.  This  will hinder development of the process.
             (4)
      Bechtel    has estimated costs for a 300 kkg (330 short ton) per hour
 plant for a Pittsburgh bituminous coal as a capital cost of $48 million,
 and operating and maintenance costs of about $15.40 per kkg ($14 per short
 ton)  cleaned.  They indicate a cleaning cost of $.57 per GJ ($.60 per million
 Btu),  with a Btu recovery of 76 percent.   There are few aspects of Bechtel's
 design that are specified.  One specified  is the Fe(CO)  cost.  Hazen
 estimates its cost at $.10 per pound with a consumption of 32 pounds per ton
of coal (whether ROM or cleaned is not specified).  Private vendor prices for
Fe(CO)5 go as high as $3.30 per kkg ($1.50 per pound).  This higher price would
change the cleaning costs dramatically.
     Along with monitoring Fe(CU)   levels in the plant area, the disposal of the
refuse will be of environmental concern.  Problems involved will be very much
the same as those for refuse from physical cleaning, except that Hazen refuse,
because of its small particle size, will create severe dusting problems.
      Hazen is considering a 0.9 kkg (1 ton) per day plant,  so commercialization
 might be  in 6 to 8 years.
                           (4 5)
      KVB.  The KVB process  '  ,  shown in Figure 29, oxidizes sulfur
 components of dry pulverized -1.19 mm + 0.595 mm (-14 + 28 mesh) coal with
 followed  by caustic leaching to solubilize and remove the sulfur compounds
 formed in the oxidation step.   The soluble sulfur compounds are mixed with
 lime  to regenerate caustic and precipitate gypsum (CaSO^),  and iron oxides,
 which would be landfilled.   The advantages of the KVB process are its claim
 to removal of both mineral and organic sulfur  (up to 63 percent sulfur
 removal with oxidation,  87 percent with additional caustic leaching), the
 simplicity and low costs  of  dry oxidation,  and the moderate temperatures,
                                   89

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PULVERIZED

COAL
   CYCLONE
VO
o
                         N2
                                                                              MAKEUP GAS
                                                 \^

                                                 C-J
                                              COMPRESSOR
          102,N2,NO)

            BLEED
         (C02. H20, NOX)
                                                          SCRUBBING
                                     1 HR  AXMAKEUP GAS
                                         xJCx  PREHEATER
                                       STM
                                                      EXTRACTOR
                                 RECYCLE
                                 CAUSTIC
                                                                      FLUE GAS
                                                                         1
COAL f
DRYER
                                               GYPSUM
                                                                 AIR
              CLEAN
              £3£jj383£CS^BI
               COAL
                                                                                 COAL
                                                                                  COAL PREP.
                                                                      N2 HEATER
                       FIGURE 29.  KVB PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM

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pressures, and vessel residence times.   A problem in the system is  the uptake
of nitrogen by the coal.
      Bechtel has  developed cost  information on  the  KVB  process, based on
 the KVB patent and limited nonproprietary information (no literature is
 available and little bench scale work has been  done).   Bechtel  indicates a
 capital  cost of  $68  million for  a  300 kkg  (330  short tons) per  hour plant
 with  an  operating and maintenance  cost  of  $25 per kkg of cleaned coal  ($23
 per cleaned short ton).   They  indicate  a cost of $.93 per GJ  ($.98 per
 million  Btu), for a  Pittsburgh bituminous  coal, with 90 percent Btu recovery.
      Environmentally, the KVB  process has  one major problem;  it is a NO
                                                                       X
 producer.  No information is available  on  expected  effluent levels of NO  .
 The other waste product is gypsum  for which established disposal tech-
 nologies  are available.
                                              (4 5)
      Ledgemont Oxygen Leaching.  This process   '   (LOL)  (see  Figure 30) is
 based on  the following reaction.
      FeS. + HO + 3.500  -»• FeSO.  +  H0SO.
         22         2        424
 High  temperatures and pressures  must be used  to speed the reaction rate for
 a commercially viable process.  Strong  oxidizing conditions in  the
 reactor  cause some coal loss and volatization in the reactor.   This results
 in loss of heating value.   The process  has no significant organic sulfur
 removal  capability.   Sulfur is removed  from the system  by mixing the reaction
 products  with lime,  producing  gypsum and iron oxides which would be land-
 filled.   Kennecott Copper Company  claims 95 percent pyritic sulfur removal
 in the LOL process,  with 93 percent Btu recovery.
                          (4 5)
      Dynatech and Bechtel  '   have studied the economics of  the LOL process.
 Dynatech's study  gives an operating cost of $7.60 per kkg ($6.90 per short
 ton)  cleaned, but no capital costs.  Bechtel's  study gives a  capital cost
 of $155 million for  a 300 kkg  (330 short tons)  per  hour plant with an operat-
 ing cost  of $20.90 per kkg ($19  per cleaned short ton)  or $0.77 per GJ
 ($0.81 per million Btu).   Dynatech does not indicate what coals were  used as
 a design  base, or what type of preparation facilities were included in the
 cost  case.   Bechtel  indicates  a  Pittsburgh A bituminous coal  pulverized to
 80 percent minus  74  ym (200 mesh).
                                    91

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 PULVERIZED COAL
             RETURN TO O2 PLANT •*-
MAKEUP
H20
O2
OXYGEN
PLANT
VO
IS3
I
1
               SLURRY
               MIXING
                TANK
HEAT     OFFGAS
                                         A
                                       REACTOR
                                  RESIDENCE TIME - 2 MRS
                                           [315PSIA   266°F
                         FLASH GAS
                       QUENCH TOWER
                                       i
                                        FLUE GAS
                                           i
                                          FILTER
                                LIME
                               MIXING
                                TANK
                  RECYCLE H2O
                                          THICKENER
                                                                       FLASH
                                                                       TANK
                                                           CLEAN
                                                           COAL
                                                                         GYPSUM
                                                              FILTER
                     FIGURE 30.  LOL PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM

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     BOM/ERDA.  This process    (see Figure 31) uses wet oxidation,  employing
air instead of oxygen as used by LOL.  The  BOM/ERDA process operates at
higher temperatures and pressures than LOL, generating iron sulfates and
sulfuric acid.  Because of the extreme operating conditions, both pyritic
and organic sulfur removal are claimed, and the process can be expected to
show coal loss similar to the LOL process.  Lime is used to convert iron
sulfates to iron oxides and gypsum.
            (4)
     Bechtel    has studied the economics of this process using a Pittsburgh
bituminous coal.  With pulverization facilities, grinding to 80 percent
minus 74 ym (200 mesh), Bechtel estimates a capital cost of $130 million
and an operating and maintenance cost of $20.90 per kkg of cleaned coal ($19
per cleaned short ton), or $.80 per GJ ($.84 per million Btu) with a Btu
recovery of 94 percent.  These costs are for a 300 kkg  (330 short tons)
per hour plant.
     Environmentally, the BOM/ERDA process will be very similar to the LOL
process.  The process is under bench scale development, so commercialization
would be about 6 to 9 years off.
     Dynatech.  This process    uses microbial action at  38 C  (100  F)  and
1 atmosphere pressure.  There is little information, but Dynatech does
indicate using minus 74 urn (200 mesh) washed coal, complete pyritic and
some organic (amount unknown) removal, and gypsum, sulfuric acid, and elemental
sulfur products.  Dynatech has released limited cost data for a 300 kkg
(330 ton) per hour plant with coal preparation facilities, indicating a cost
of $4.15 per kkg ($4.05 per ton) of cleaned coal.  Other details are not
available.
     General Electric.  GE is developing a process    that radiates coal with
microwaves, gasifying the sulfur.  Information is limited, but GE claims 52
percent reduction in pyritic and organic sulfur, and the possibility of
reducing sulfur in most coals to 0.7 percent.  Products of the process are
H S, COS, SO , H20, C02, and traces of CH^ C^, and HZ.  GE's preliminary
cost data for a 440 kkg (400 ton) per hour plant claims a cost of $7.30
per kkg of cleaned coal ($6.60 per cleaned ton).
                                   93

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PULVERIZED COAL
                                                                                    FLASH
                                                                                    TANK
                                                               REACTORS
                                                           RESIDENCE TIME - 1 HR
                              FIGURE 31.  BOM/ERDA PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM

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     Summary of Coal Cleaning Costs.  A summary of the costs of various  coal
cleaning processes is given in Table 24, together with the ranges of sulfur
removal and Btu recovery claimed for each process.
                                     95

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                        TABLE  24. MAJOR COAL CLEANING PROCESS CONSIDERATIONS
COSTS
PROCESS PLANT
short
(a\
Physical v '
TRW/Meyers
Battelle Hydro-
thermal
ON Hazen
KVB
LOL
BOM/ERDA
Dynatech
GE
SIZE BASIS
ton per hour

500
380

400
330
330
330
330
330
400
CAPITAL

9.0
145

134.. -145.
48.
68.
150.
130.
-
-
PROCESS ING (b)
$/ton $/106

4.27
10.- 14.

18. -25. 1.
14.
23.
19.
19.
4.05
6.60
Btu

18
82

00
60
98
81
84
-
-
SULFUR REMOVAL
PYRITIC ORGANIC

35-70
95

99 24-72
80
99 13
95
99 15
-
50 (Combined)
BTU RECOVERY

80-95
90

75-90
76
90
93
94
-
-
(a)   See text  for basis  of  costs  and other  data.




(b)   Includes  capital charge plus operating and maintenance costs,  basis  for costs  are cleaned coal.

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                              REFERENCES
1.  L. Hoffman, et al.  (The Hoffman-Muntner Corporation)/'Engineering/
    Economic Analysis of Coal Preparation With S0£ Cleanup  Processes  for
    Keeping Higher Sulfur Coals in the Energy Market",  U.S.  Bureau  of
    Mines, Contract Number J0155171.

2.  Personal communication with Lawrence Hoffman,  the Hoffman-Muntner
    Corporation, Silver Springs, Maryland.

3.  W. F. Nekervis, E. F. Hensley (Dow Chemical U.S.A.),  "Conceptual  Design
    of a Commercial Scale Plant for Chemical Desulfurization of Coal,"
    Environmental Protection Technology Series, EPA-600/2-75-051.

4.  R. R. Oder et al. (Bechtel Corporation), "Technical and Cost Comparisons
    for Chemical Coal Cleaning Processes"> American Mining  Congress Coal
    Convention, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, May 1977.

5.  Personal communication with Irwin Frankel, Versar Incorporated, Springfield,
    Virginia.

6.  Personal communication with W. F. Nekervis, Dow Chemical U.S.A.,  Midland,
    Michigan.

7.  S. Min, D. A. Tolle, et al. (Battelle Memorial Institute),  "Technology
    Overview of Coal Cleaning Processes and Environmental Controls",  Draft
    Report, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Contract  number 68-02-2163,
    January 1977.

8.  Internal Battelle sources.
                                   97

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                           LIST OF DATA SOURCES

"The Reserve Base of U.S. Coals by Sulfur Content", 1C 8680, and 1C 8693,
U.S. Breau of Mines, 1975.

"Sulfur Reduction Potential of U.S. Coals", RI 8118,  U.S.  Bureau of Mines,
April 1976.

"Status of Coal Supply Contracts for New Electric Generating Units, 1976-
1985", Federal Power Commission Staff Report,  January 1977.

"Electric Power Supply and Demand, 1977-1986", Federal Power Commission,  May
1977.

"Factors Affecting the Electric Power Supply,  1980-1985",  Federal Power
Commission, December 1976.

"Annual Summary of Cost and Quality of Electric Utility Plant Fuels, 1976",
Federal Power Commission, May 1977.
                                    98

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                                TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                          (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
 1. REPORT NO.
  EPA-600/7-78-034
                                 3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
 Physical Coal Cleaning for Utility Boiler SO2 Emission
    Control
                                 5. REPORT DATE
                                  February 1978
                                 6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)

E. H. Hall,  L.Hoffman* J. Hoffman* and R. A.Schilling
                                 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
 Battelle Memorial Institute—Columbus Laboratories
 505 King Avenue
 Columbus, Ohio  43201
                                 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                 EHE623A
                                 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.

                                 68-02-2163, Task 851
 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 EPA, Office of Research and Development
 Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
 Research Triangle Park, NC  27711
                                 13. TYPE OF REPORT AND.PERIOD COVERED
                                 Task Final: 7-12/77
                                 14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                                   EPA/600/13
 15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES  jERL-RTP project officer is James D. Kilgroe, Mail Drop 61,
 919/541-2851. (*) Two authors are from the Hoffman-Munter Corp. , Silver Spring,
 Maryland.  	   	   	
 16. ABSTRACT
          The report examines physical coal cleaning as a control technique for sul-
 fur oxides emissions. It includes an analysis of the availability of low-sulfur coal and
 of coal cleanable to compliance levels for alternate New Source Performance Stan-
 dards (NSPS).  Various alternatives to physical coal cleaning (such as chemical coal
 cleaning, coal conversion, and fluidized-bed combustion) are also examined with
 respect to alternate NSPS.  Electric power supply and demand through 1985 are
 reviewed, as well as the technology,  cost,  and environmental overviews of physical
 and chemical coal cleaning techniques.  Since the report deals with engineering
 analyses of available data and several technologies in design stages, references are
 somewhat limited. Descriptions of the methodologies used and the sources of infor-
 mation are given in lieu of referenced published data in many cases.
                              KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                 DESCRIPTORS
                                           fa.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                             c. COSATI Field/Group
Air Pollution
Coal
Cleaning
Utilities
Boilers
Sulfur Oxides
Fluidized-bed Pro-
  cessing
Coal Gasification
Electric Power
  Demand
Electric Power
  Generation
Air Pollution Control
Stationary Sources
Low-sulfur Coal
Coal Conversion
13B
08G,21D  07A
13H
                         13A
                         07B
          20C

          10A
 3. DISTRIBUTION! STATEMENT
                     19. SECURITY CLASS (TIlis Report!
                     Unclassified
                         21. NO. OF

                             111
 Unlimited
                     20. SECURITY CLASS (TIlis page)
                     Unclassified
                                                                   22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)

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