June 1971
Demonstration of a Regional Air
Pollution Cost/Benefit Model
   n

Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Air Programs
Washington, D.C.


Contract No. PH 22-68-60
                               TRW
RWI
MS •*<•>'.- I
  h
                                   WASHINGTON OPtRATIONS

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         FIG. (a)  DESIGN DESCRIPTION
25% of the total air flow enters the primary flame zone,
mixing instantaneously with fuel over the edge of the
cup.
25% of the total air flow is added linearly to primary,
secondary and tertiary flame zones by means of outer
wall film cooling.
50% of the total air flow is added to the secondary flame
zone by means of air injection at the junction of the
primary and secondary flame zones and about five
inches downstream of the rotating cup. With no
recirculation of any  of this air into the primary flame
zone.
 FIG. (c) AIR ADDITION ALONG COMBUSTOR
                                                                                 MSTAKCl -WCHM
FIG. (e) GAS TEMPERATURE ALONG COMBUSTc HI
       FIG. (b) COMBUSTOR CROSS SECTION
FIG. (d) AIR / FUEL RATIO ALONG COMBUSTOR
           Fib. 
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         FIG. (a)  DESIGN DESCRIPTION
25% of the total air flow enters the primary zone, mixing
instantaneously with the fuel over the edge of "the cup.

25% of the total air flow is added linearly to the primary,
secondary and tertiary flame zones by means of outer
•wall film cooling.

50% of the total air flow is added to primary and second-
ary flame zones equally by means of air injection at the
junction of the primary and secondary flame zones and
about five inches downstream of the rotating cup.

50% of this air enters the primary zone by flowing
upstream in opposition to the flame.
 FIG. (c) AIR ADDITION ALONG COMBUSTOR
FIG. (e) GAS TEMPERATURE ALONG COMBUSTOH
                                                                                                                                                           -4	1	rl
       FTG. (b) COMBUSTOR CROSS SECTION
FIG. 
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              FIG. (a)  DESIGN DESCRIPTION
      35% of the total air flow entera the primary flame zone,
      mixing instantaneously with fuel over the edge of the
      cup.
       5% of the total air flow is added linearly to primary,
      secondary and tertiary flame zones by means of outer
      wall film cooling.

      60% of the total air flow is added to the secondary flame
      zone by means of air injection at the Junction of the
      primary and secondary flame zones and about five
      inches downstream of the rotating cup.  With no
      recirculation of any of this air into the primary flame
      zone.
I  '
I •'
i
     FIG. (c) AIR ADDITION ALONG COMBUSTOR
             M COOUNQ FLOW -*
                 rtLHCOOUJ
                 "Urn"'*"
                                        SBCCKDAHT runt
                URO UCBtCULATTOM
                                                                                                        TOTAL A - .Ml L8./MC.
FIG. (e) GAS TEMPERATURE ALONG COMBUSTOR
            FIG. (b)  COMBUSTOR CROSS SECTION
    FIG. (d) Am / FUEL RATIO ALONG COMBUSTOR
           FIG. (f)  NO, CO CONTENT
                               Q
                               o
I	
                                                                                                                                                  ZERO RECIHCULATIOK
                                                                                                                                                       D19TAKCE - INCHES
                                                                    FIGURE 43.   DESIGN A - CONFIGURATION NO. 3
                                                                                                                                                                                   79

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         FIG. (a)  DESIGN DESCRIPTION
35% of the total air flow enters the primary zone, mixing
instantaneously with the fuel over the edge of the cup.
 5% of the total air flow is added linearly to the primary,
secondary and tertiary flame zones by means of outer
wall film cooling.
60% of the total air flow is added to primary and second-
ary flame zones equally by means of air injection at the
junction of the primary and secondary flame zones and
about five inches downstream of the rotating cup.
50% of this air enters the primary zone by flowing
upstream in opposition to the flame.
 FIG. (c) AIR ADDITION ALONG COMBUSTOR
FIG. (e) GAS TEMPERATURE ALONG COMBUSTOR
        FIG. (b)  COMBUSTOR CROSS SECTION
FIG. (d) AIR / FUEL RATIO ALONG COMBUSTOH
           FI|G. (f) NO, CO CONTENT
                         o
                                                              FIGURE 44.  DESIGN A - CONFIGURATION NO. 4

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       FIG. (a) DESIGN DESCRIPTION

15.7% of the total air flow enters the primary zone,
mixing instantaneously with the fuel over the edge
of the cup.

29.4% of the total air flow is added linearly to the
primary and secondary flame zones by means of
outer wall film cooling, half of which is injected
downstream from the primary and the other half
upstream from the tertiary flame zone.
27,5% of the total air flow is added to the secondary
flame zone by means of air injection at the Juncture
between the primary and secondary flame zones and
about five inches downstream of the rotating cup.
With no recirculation of this air into the primary
flame zone.
27.5% of the total air flow is added to the tertiary
flame zone by means of air injection at the exit of
the secondary flame zone.
 FIG. (c) AIR ADDITION ALONG COMBUSTOR
.  ,,} GAS TEMPERATURE ALONG COMBUSTOR
                                                                                             -0	}
     FIG. (b) COMHUSTOR CROSS SECTION
FIG. (d) ADI / FUEL RATIO ALONG COMBUSTOR
        FIG. (f) NO. CO CONTENT
                                                                                                                                              DISTANCE - INCIlts
                                                             FIGURE .45.   DESIGN B - CONFIGURATION NO. 1
                                                                                                                                                                         83

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         FIG. (a)  DESIGN DESCRIPTION

15.7% of the total air flow enters the primary zone, mix-
Ing instantaneously with the fuel at the edge of the cup.
29.4% of the total air flow is added linearly to the primary
and secondary flame zones by means of outer wall film
cooling, half of which is injected downstream from the
primary and the other half upstream from the tertiary
flame zone.
27.5% of the total air flow is added to the secondary flame
zone by means of air, injection at the juncture of the
primary and secondary flame zones and about five inches
downstream of the rotating cup.  Half of this air (or
13.75% of the total air flow) recirculates back upstream
into the primary flame  zone.
27.5% of the total air flow is added to the tertiary flame
zone by means of air injection at the exit of the
secondary flame zone.
HO. (b) COMBUSTOR CROSS SECTION
                                             0
                          Q
                                                          FIG.  (c) AIR ADDITION ALONG COMI1USTOH
                                                                FIG. (d) AIR / FUEI, RATIO ALONG COMBUSTOR
FIG. (e) GAS TEMPERATURE ALONG COMBUSTOR
                                                                                                                                FIG. (f) NO,  CO CONTENT
                                                               FIGURE 46.   DESIGN B - CONFIGURATION NO. 2
                                                                                                                                                                             85

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                                     11130-W004-RO-00
   DEMONSTRATION OF A REGIONAL

AIR POLLUTION COST/BENEFIT MODEL
             July 1971
            Prepared for

  Environmental Protection Agency
      Office of Air Programs

      Contract No. PH 22-68-60
         TRW SYSTEMS GROUP
        7600 Colshire Drive,
       McLean, Virginia 22101

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       The work upon which this




  publication is based was performed




 pursuant to Contract No. PH 22-68-60




with the Air Pollution Control Office,




   Environmental Protection Agency.
                 ii

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                             TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                      Page

1.0   INTRODUCTION .......................  ...    1

      1.1   THE COST/BENEFIT MODEL ..................    !

      1.2   COST/BENEFIT DESIGN^AND DATA LIMITATIONS .........    4

      1.3   RESULTS OF COST/BENEFIT MODEL DEMONSTRATION .......  .  6

2.0   REGIONAL AIR POLLUTION ANALYSIS COST/BENEFIT MODEL .......    9

      2.1   GENERAL BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW .............    9

            2.1.1   Computer Simulation Modeling ...........  10

            2.1.2   Air Pollution Cost/Benefit Analysis .......  13

            2.1.3   Role of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model in the
                    Hierarchy of RAPA Analysis Tools .........  13
            2.1. A   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model,  Program Overview ....  17

      2.2   IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM .............  17

            2.2.1   Component Programs of IPP ............  19

            2.2.2   Point Source Cost Calculations in IPP ......  29

            2.2.3   IPP Regional Strategies Output ..........  29

                    2.2.3.1   Tabulated Output for
                              Cost/Benefit Analysis .........  29

                    2.2.3.2   Punched Card Output for
                              Cost/Benefit Model. . .........  34

      2.3   CENSUS TRACT DATA ....................  41

      2.4   AIR POLLUTION DAMAGE FUNCTIONS ..............  44

            2.4.1   Direct Damage Functions .............  44

            2.4.2   Market Effects Damage Functions .........  50

      2.5   INTERFACE MODULE .....................  52

            2.5.1   Input ......................  52

            2.5.2   Analytical Technique for  Estimating
                    Census Tract Air Quality .............  54
                                     iii

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                          TABLE OF CONTENTS (Cont'd)

                                                                      Page
            2.5.3   Output	61

      2.6   DAMAGE COSTS MODULE	  '. '  62

            2.6.1   Input	   65

            2.6.2   Output	.  .  .	65

      2.7   PROPERTY VALUE MODULE	68

            2.7.1   Input	   72

            2.7.2   Output	,	   72

      2.8   PROPERTY ASSIGNMENT MODULE	76

            2.8.1   Determination of Equilibrium Property
                    Values in the Property Assignment Module	79

            2.8.2   Input .	82

            2.8.3   Output	83

      2.9   PROPOSED MODEL ADDITIONS	85

3.0   MODEL DEMONSTRATION	87

      3.1   INPUT DATA FOR THE NCIAQCR DEMONSTRATION	87

            3.1.1   Census Data	88

            3.1.2   Pollutant Concentration/Strategy Data 	   88

      3.2   ESTIMATION OF DIRECT DAMAGE COSTS  	  109

      3.3   ESTIMATION OF PROPERTY VALUE EFFECTS	113

4.0   REFERENCES	119



                                 APPENDICES

A   THE IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM, CONTROL COS.T
    CALCULATIONS	121

B   SOURCES OF CENSUS TRACT INFORMATION REQUIRED FOR
    RAPA COST/BENEFIT MODEL	147

C   PRO FORMA DAMAGE FUNCTION DEVELOPMENT .	163

D   DEMONSTRATION RESULTS TO THE POLITICAL JURISDICTION LEVEL ....  177

E   USER'S MANUAL 	  ......... 203
                                     IV

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                                 FIGURES

                                                                      Page

1.1-1   Structure of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model	   3

2.1-1   Computer Simulation Modeling	11

2.1-2   Cost/Benefit Model in the Context of the RAPA Program ....  15

2.1-3   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model (Existing Version)	16

2.1-4   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model, Program Structure	18

2.2-1   Structure of the Implementation Planning Program	20

2.2-2   Role of Implementation Planning Program; RAPA
        Cost/Benefit Model	21

2.2-3   Typical Emission Standard Curve Relation to
        Control Device Application.	  25

2.2-4   Allowable Particulate Emissions Based on
        Industrial Process Weight (EST 19)	  27

2.2-5   Output Format - Emission Standards Effects	31

2.2-6   Output Format - Jurisdiction Summary	32

2.2-7   Output Format - Control Strategy Summary	35

2.2-8   Output Format - Ground Level Concentrations 	  36

2.2-9   Existing Ground Level Particulate Concentrations in the
        NCIAQCR as Computed by the Verified Air Pollutant
        Concentration Program 	  38

2.2-10  Predicted Particulate Concentrations After the Enactment
        of the Proposed Emission Control Strategy in all
        Political Jurisdictions 	 	  40

2.3-1   Population and Housing Data Relation to RAPA
        Cost/Benefit Model	42

2.4-1   Damage Functions: Role in the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model ....  45

2.4-2   Wilson and Minnotte Function for Damages Due to Soiling ...  46

2.4-3   Pro Forma Damage Functions Used in RAPA Cost/Benefit
        Model NCIAQCR Demonstration 	  48

2.5-1   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model; Interface Module 	  53

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                             FIGURES (Cont'd)

                                                                       Page
2.5-2   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model; Receptor Point
        Census Tract Association	55

2.5-3   Receptor Points Superimposed on Census
        Tracts of the NCIAQCR	- . 56

2.5-4   Receptor Points Superimposed on Census
        Tracts of the NCIAQCR, Close-Up View of Central City	57

2.5-5   Output Format - Tabulated Census Tract Pollutant
        Concentration Data	' ... 62

2.6-1   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model; Damage Costs Module	64

2.6-2   Sample Damage Costs Summary Output	67

2.7-1   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model; Property Value Module	69

2.7-2   Sample Output, Property Value Module	74

2.8-1   RAPA Cost/Benefit Model; Property Value Assignment Module . .  77

2.8-2   Sample Output, Assignment Module	84

3.1-1   List of Census Tract Attributes for the
        Washington, D. C. SMSA	89

3.1-2   Existing Ground Level Particulate Concentrations in the
        NCIAQCR as Computed by the Verified Diffusion Model 	 104

3.1-3   Existing Ground Level Sulfur Dioxide Concentrations in
        the NCIAQCR as Computed by the Verified Diffusion Model .  . . 106

3.2-1   Pro Forma Functions Utilized in NCIAQCR Cost/Benefit
        Demonstration 	 110

C.2-3   Pro Forma Damage Functions for  SO- and Particulates .....  175

E.l-1   Overall System Flow	204

E.3-1   Job Control Language and Deck Set-Up for Interface
        Module  (C0NVRT)	209

E.3-2   DRIVER for Interface Module - Program Listing 	 213

E.3-3   Input Data Form for Census Tract/Receptor Point
        Association
                                                                       217
                                     vi

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                            FIGURES (Cont'd)

                                                                     Page

E.3-4   Printed Input RPPC Data Summary,  C0NVRT	219

E.3-5   Printed Output CTPC Data Summary, C0NVRT 	220

E.3-6   C0NVRT Subprogram, Interface Module-Program Listing	221

E.3-7   Subroutine 0RDER, Interface Module-Program Listing 	 225

E.4-1   Job Control Language and Deck Set-Up  for Damage
        Costs Module (DAMAGE)	228

E.4-2   Sample Output from Damage Costs Module, Title Page
        and Census Tract Attributes as Input  	 235

E.4-3   Sample Output from Damage Cost Module,  Census Tract
        Pollutant Concentrations as Input	236

E.4-4   Sample Output from Damage Costs Module, Census Tract
        Damage Cost Summary	237

E.4-5   Program Listing for DRIVER Main Program - Damage
        Cost Module	238

E.4-6   Program Listing for DAMAGE Subprogram - Damage
        Costs Module	239

E.5-1   Job Control Language and Deck Set-Up  for
        Property Value Module	247

E.5-2   Sample Output, Title Page and Census  Tract Attributes
        Summary from Property Value Module 	 255

E.5-3   Sample Output, Census Tract Pollutant Concentrations
        (SO- and Particulates) Summary from Property Value Module. .256

E.5-4   Sample Output, Census Tract Property Values Summary
        from Property Value Module 	 257

E.5-5   Program Listing for DRIVER, Main Program for
        Property Value Module	258

E.5-6   Program Listing for Subprogram PR0P,  Property Value Module .259

E.6-1   Job Control Language and Deck Set-Up  for Assignment Module . 269

E.6-2   Sample Output, Title Page and Census  Tract Attributes -
        Assignment Module	273

E.6-3   Sample Output, Census Tract Pollutant Concentration
        Summary (SO- and Particulates) Assignment Module 	 274


                                   vii

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                            FIGURES (Cont'd)

                                                                     Page

E.6-4   Sample Output, Census Tract Property Value Bids
        From Assignment Module	  275

E.6-5   Program Listing for DRIVER, Main Program for
        Assignment Module 	  276

E.6-6   Program Listing for ASSIGN Subprogram,
        Assignment Module 	  277
                                   viii

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                                 TABLES

                                                                      Page

2.2-1   Particulate Control Strategies - National
        Capital Interstate Air Quality Control Region	39

2.4-1   Regression  Results of Anderson-Crocker Study
        for the Washington, D. C. SMSA	51

3.1-1   Particulate and Sulfur Oxides Control Strategy
        Summaries - NCIAQCR	108

3.2-1   NCIAQCR - Regional Damage Values Summary 	  ...  Ill

3.3-1   Type I Property Values: NCIAQCR Regional Summary 	  115

3.3-2   Adjusted Type I Property Values: NICAQCR, Regional
        Summary	116

A.2-1   Pollution Reduction Devices or Methods Applied
        to Point Sources in IPP	123

A. 2-2   IPP Control Device Preset Data	124

A. 3-1   Fuel Parameters	136

A.3-2   Boiler Efficiencies	137

A. 3-3   (f.) Coal Particulate Emission Factors	138

A. 3-4   (f ) Oil and Gas Particulate Emission  actors	139

B.l-1   Census Tract Attributes, Notation and Definitions	149

B.2-1   Sample Tables from the Censuses of Population and
        Housing with Annotations 	  153

B.3-1   List of NTIS Tapes of Population and Housing Data
        (1960 for the United States by Standard Location Area)  .  .   .  161

C.2-1   Estimates of Nationwide Emissions, 1968	166

C.2-2   National Total Annual Costs of Pollution for Types of
        Pollutants and Effects in 1968	173

C.2-3   Coordinates for Damage Function Development	174
                                     ix

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                             TABLES (Cont'd)

                                                                     Page
D.l-1  NCIAQCR:  Regional Damage Values Summary	 178

D.l-2  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //I -
       District of Columbia.	 . 179

D.l-3  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //2 -
       Montgomery County	 . 180

D.l-4  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //3 -
       Prince Georges County 	 	 181

D.l-5  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //4 -
       Alexandria City	182.

D.l-6  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction #5 -
       Arlington County	183

D.l-7  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //6 -
       Fairfax County	184

D.l-8  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction #7 -
       Falls Church City	.185

D.2-1  Type I Property Values:   NCIAQCR Regional Summary 	 186 '

D.2-2  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 1,
       District of Columbia Summary	187

D.2-3  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 2,
       Montgomery County, Md. Summary	188

D.2-4  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 3,
       Prince Georges County, Md.  Summary	189

D.2-5  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 4,
       Alexandria, Virginia Summary	190

D.2-6  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 5,
       Arlington County, Virginia Summary	191

D.2-7  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 6,
       Fairfax County, Virginia Summary	192

D.2-8  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 7,
       Falls Church, Virginia Summary	193

D.3-1  Adjusted Type I Property Values:  NCIAQCR,
       Regional Summary	194

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                            TABLES (Cont'd)

                                                                     Page

D.3-2  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 1, District of Columbia	195

D.3-3  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 2, Montgomery County 	 196

D.3-4  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 3, Prince Georges County 	 197

D.3-5  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 4, Alexandria	198

D.3-6  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 5, Arlington County	-199

D.3-7  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 6, Fairfax County	200

D.3-8  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political
       Jurisdiction 7, Falls Church	201

E.2-1  Format Information for Census Tract Attribute Data Cards.  .  . 206

E.3-1  Formats for Transform Data Cards	211

E.3-2  Receptor Air Quality Data Card Formats	215

E.3-3  Census Tract Pollutant Concentration  Output Data Formats.  .  . 218

E.A-1  Damage Function Slope and Intercept,  Input Data Format -
       Damage Costs Module	231

E.4-2  Census Tract Attributes as Read by DAMAGE	232

E.4-3  Census Tract Air Quality Data Formats for SO- or
       Particulates, Damage Costs Module	  .233

E.5-1  Sulfation Rate and Regression Coefficient Input Data
       Formats, Property Value Module	250

E.5-2  Census Tract Attribute Data Formats as Read by the
       Property Value and Assignment Modules 	 251

E.5-3  Census Tract Air Quality Input Data Formats for SO ,
       Property Value and Assignment Modules 	 252

E.5-4  Census Tract Air Quality Input Data Formats for
       Particulates, Property Value and Assignment Module	253
                                   xi

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                             TABLES (Cont'd)

                                                                     Page
E.6-1  Assignment Module Input Format for Regression
       Coefficients (Type I)	 270

E.6-2  Census Tract Attribute Data Formats as Read
       by Assignment Module 	 271
                                   xii

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                             1.0  INTRODUCTION





      The RAPA Cost/Benefit Model which is the subject of this report




represents the last major computer program to be developed under the




three-year Regional Air Pollution Analysis (RAPA) contract at TRW Systems




Group.  Appropriately, it also provides the last basic link in the chain




of computer programmed air pollution analysis tools that were originally




conceptualized during the first phase of the contract.




      This report serves two major purposes:  (1) it offers a program




description and user's manual for the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model; (2) it




presents the results of a demonstration cost/benefit analysis for the




National Capital Interstate Air Quality Control Region.




1.1  THE COST/BENEFIT MODEL




      The aim of cost/benefit analysis is to maximize the present value




of all benefits less that of all costs incurred, subject to specified




constraints.  Cost/benefit analysis has been considered for use in the




evaluation of transportation systems, criminal rehabilitation programs,




urban renewal projects, and other social programs.




      In air pollution control, cost/benefit analysis can be employed to




compare the social costs and benefits resulting from a potential air




resource management policy with those to be expected from a continuation




of the existing level of effort (the "base alternative").  After defining




the project life (the period of time over which costs and benefits will




be measured), the costs and benefits of alternative air resource policies




are computed and discounted back to the base year for purposes of compara-




tive analysis.  The resulting data may then be used in the evaluation of




alternative policies.

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      An integration of economics, cost/benefit and systems analysis




procedures is necessary to analytically evaluate the air resource problem.




Such a combination of techniques provides a consistent methodology,for




integrating the quantitative results of research into the air resource




planning and decision-making process.




      The RAPA Cost/Benefit Model combines the system analysis techniques




of the Implementation Planning Program (IPP) with the economic relation-




ships of the Benefit Model.




      The IPP, which is one of the chain of RAPA models, was developed




earlier and is an integral part of the C/B Model.  It provides two major




outputs: (1) the regional air quality display; and (2) point source




control costs.  The Benefits Model Segment accepts as an input from the




IPP the regional air quality display and, through the application of




receptor data and damage functions, produces damage cost estimates as




output.




      The relationship between IPP and the Benefits Model Segment is pre-




sented in Figure 1.1-1.  Notice that the control cost estimates are provided




directly from printouts of the IPP, whereas, the damage cost estimates are




printouts of the Benefits Model Segment.  The types of available information




and the printout formats for the IPP and the Benefits Model Segment are re-




ported in this document.  The two separate outputs require the analysts to




combine the control and damage cost estimates and provide an interpretation




consistent with conventional cost/benefit analysis procedures.




      The Cost/Benefit Model is a cross-sectional model (i.e., air pollution




control strategies are evaluated at one instantaneous point in time).  This




means that the Model must be applied in annual intervals over the length of

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                            COSTS SEGMENT I  I IENEFITS MODEL SEGMENT
u>
                                                             Census
                                                             Data
KMULAIIOM 4 HOUSING DMA
                                            Air Quality
                                                                                                     Census
                                                                                                     Data
              IMM.IMCNTATION flANNING MOCIAM


                       (Iff)
                       Control
                       Costs
                                                                                                     Census Tract
                                                                                                     Air  Quality
                                                                                DAMAGI COSTS MODULE
                                                              COST/UNEFn ANALYSIS
                                                              (MANUAL PROCESSING)
                                    Figure  1.1-1.   Structure of  the RAPA Cost/Benefit  Model,

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the project life if conventional cost/benefit analyses are to be conducted.




After estimating the control costs and benefits of control strategies over




time, they can then be discounted back to the current years before the




benefit/cost relationships of alternative strategies are evaluated for




decision-making purposes.




      The major portion of this document is devoted to the description of




the software of the Benefits Model Segment.  As shown in Figure 1.1-1, the




Model relates the predicted pollution concentration (i.e., air quality dis-




play) to receptor data and damage functions.  The exposure of receptors to




pollutants (a measure of "dosage") is determined by the air quality-recep-




tor relationship.  The damage function (which relates the annual cost of




air pollution damage to pollution concentration) when applied to the dosage




estimate, determines the damage cost estimate desired.  Estimates of bene-




fits (i.e., a reduction in damages) are calculated by subtracting damage




estimates for alternative strategies from the damages caused by existing




atmospheric conditions.




      The design philosophy of the Cost/Benefit Model has been based on




the use of data which are either readily available or which are identifiable




and capable of being collected within a reasonable period of time.  The




models are thus practical devices which use the best decision-making




information available.




1.2  COST/BENEFIT DESIGN AND DATA LIMITATIONS




      There are three fundamental limitations in the structure of the




Cost/Benefit Model.  First, the Model is essentially static in that costs




and benefits are treated as scalar current values rather than streams of




future costs and benefits to be realized as control is continuously applied




and as a region undergoes social and economic change.  Forecasting

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capabilities would be desirable in the Model to predict the future emission




potential, distribution of receptors, technological changes, land-use plans,




etc.  Second, the Model treats pollutants individually.  That is, cost/




benefit comparisons are made on the basis of one pollutant at a time, neg-




lecting effects which levels and control measures for other pollutants may




have on the benefits and control costs for the pollutant under consideration.




Selection of a truly efficient strategy requires that the Model be capable




of simultaneous evaluation of strategies for all pollutants.  Third, the




Model is limited to only two pollutants primarily because of the use of a




long-term-average diffusion segment.  Transportation planning, land-use




planning, power plant siting and other strategies may be incorrectly evalu-




ated if pollutants such as carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons, nitrogen oxides,




and others are ignored.  The investigation of integrating other atmospheric




diffusion models into the Cost/Benefit Model appears worthwhile.




      Besides limitations in the Model structure, there are also a number




of restrictions regarding data inputs to the system.  As the Model now




stands, control costs and benefits are accounted for only partially.  The




only control costs currently included in the Model are point source control




costs (i.e., no account has been taken of area source costs or control




agency costs).  Area source costs for a region are likely to be substantial,




and will include the cost of reducing emissions from:  (1) the incineration




of solid waste not disposed of in municipal incinerators; (2) residential,




commercial and institutional fuel combustion; (3) mobile sources; and (4)




small industrial process sources.  Control agency costs have often been




considered small relative to other control costs, but may represent fifteen




percent or more of the total regional cost of reduced emissions.  Accounting




for control agency costs may be important when strategies based on totally

-------
different principles are evaluated and compared.  An example may be the




comparison of the current system of direct regulations to a system of




emission charges.




      Finally, probably the greatest deficiencies in the Model are caused




by the lack of acceptable damage functions.  Damage functions relate one's




"willingness-to-pay" to avoid air pollution (i.e,,:the social value of




cleaning up the atmosphere) to the pollution concentration to which a




person or thing is exposed.  Such relationships are difficult to develop,




and documented results regarding the economic effects of air pollution on




health, materials, vegetation, soiling, esthetics, and residential property




values are just now becoming available.  To be compatible with the require-




ments of the Model, this data must be transformed into the damage function




form.  For now, even without damage functions, the C/B Model can be used




for "exposure" studies since knowledge of the relationship between pollutant




concentration and receptors is by itself valuable for decision-making.




1.3  RESULTS OF COST/BENEFIT MODEL DEMONSTRATION




      The specifications for the Cost/Benefit Model described in the pre-




vious section were developed and presented in a previous RAPA report




[Woodcock, 1971].  This document presents a description of the 'programmed




Benefits Model Segment, a user's manual, and the results of a study which




was conducted to illustrate the operation characteristics of the Cost/




Benefit Model.




      The various component modules of the Implementation Planning Program




(IPP) and the Benefits Model Segment (including the input data,  output data,




analytical procedures and output formats, etc.) are presented in Chapter




2.0.

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      A presentation of the Model demonstration in the National Capital




Interstate Air Quality Control Region (NCIAQCR) is presented in Chapter




3.0 of this document.  Included in the presentation are the control costs




and air quality impacts of the alternative control strategies which were




considered in the demonstration, and the benefits which accrue as each of




these control strategies is applied to the region  based on (a) the Pro




Forma Damage Function, and (b) the Property Value impact before and after




establishment of market equilibrium.  The Washington region was selected




because of the availability of an extensive analysis of alternative control




strategies which was done as a part of the preparation of the Washington




AQCR Implementation Plan.  These demonstration results provide source data




which can be used as the basis for an analysis of the cost/benefit impact




of these alternative control strategies.  This effort was only a portion




of the RAPA Phase III activity and the contract resources did not permit




a sufficiently complete interpretation of the results.  Consequently, no




analysis of the results is presented:  a forthcoming Office of Air Programs




report will cover this subject.

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           2.0  REGIONAL AIR POLLUTION ANALYSIS COST/BENEFIT MODEL


2.1  GENERAL BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW

      The National and Regional Air Pollution Systems Analysis Program,

contracted to TRW by DHEW in July 1968, had as its objectives the design,

assembly and delivery of analytic tools to be used in regional and national

air pollution planning and management.  The view at the time was that the

regional and national aspects of the air pollution problem required similar

analytical processes and data.  Computer programs were to be developed which

would give decision-makers a means of determining the most effective tactics

and strategies for both the national and regional control efforts.  The

overlapping of the national and regional data and analysis requirements

would minimize the development cost.

      The RAPA Cost/Benefit Model completes the set of computer programmed

air pollution analysis tools conceived early in the history of the contract

The completed cost/benefit project combines the results of systems analysis

with cost/benefit analysis; the combination of techniques provides a con-

sistent methodology for integrating the quantitative results of research
                            i
into the air resource planning and decision process.  This integration is

accomplished by interpreting the results of different research efforts on a

common economic scale.

      The systems analysis techniques employed in regional air pollution

analysis involve computer simulation modeling of the regional air pollution

control process.  This is accomplished through the Implementation Planning

Program, an earlier "link" in the RAPA chain of models.  The cost/benefit

analysis is accomplished through the component programs and modules of the

RAPA Cost/Benefit Analysis Model.  The basic concepts of deterministic

computer simulation analysis and cost/benefit analysis are discusses below.

-------
2.1.1  Computer Simulation Modeling

      The concept of computer simulation modeling, represented., in Figure

2.1-1 is based on the use of mathematical models to simulate the behavior

of real physical phenomena.  Usually, these phenomena are too complex to

simulate directly.  In such cases, the mathematical models actually repre-

sent theoretical models which are idealizations or approximations of the

actual phenomena.

      A mathematical model is one or more empirical or theoretical equations

(or inequalities) which translate a real system (physical, economic, etc.)

into a numerical representation.  In the case of air pollution control, the

real-world system includes such aspects as pollution sources, atmospheric

processes, receptors, and pollution control techniques.   All of these are

elements in a system.  The mathematical models describe the relevant fea-

tures of each element, as well as the relationships between elements.  For

example, equations are provided for the characteristics of control devices

and for the relationships between the application of a control device and

the resulting ground-level concentration at a specified receptor location.

      The mathematical models are then incorporated into a mathematical

simulation which describes an algorithm or procedure for executing the

models under prescribed conditions.   For air resource applications, these

conditions include given meteorological situations, certain industrial

process rates, etc.   The execution of the model results in a time or event

history of responses for each model individually or for the entire system

of interrelated models; this process is a mathematical simulation of a sys-

tem described by mathematical models.  If the mathematical models are execu-

ted according to the instructions contained in a computer program, then the

mathematical simulation is referred to as a computer simulation or computer
simulation modej^
                                     10

-------
                                 \
           f>CMT
                    MATHEMATICAL SIMULATION
                           Q
**?(-£•*
        COMPUTER SIMULATION

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Figure 2.1-1.  Computer Simulation Modeling
                   11

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       Normally, the results of a computer simulation are first used in a




comparison with actual results'of observations],of "the real system under




conditions similar to those in the simulation.  In the case of an air




pollution control simulation, these observations include measurements of




air quality at various locations.  If the computer simulation results




reasonably approximate the actual observations, .then the simulation is




said to be verified.  A verified computer simulation implies a degree of




confidence in the computer program's ability to simulate the real system.




Based on this degree of confidence, the simulation can be used, .to predict




the behavior of the real' system under^conditions for which observations




are not available.  However, care must be exercised, in employing the




computer simulation to predict the behavior of the system under circum-




stances far from those involved in the verification process;




       The enormous data-handling capabilities of digital computers and




the programmed ability to step through complex sets of relationships have




made the computer simulation solution an indispensible tool in the study




of large-scale complex systems problems.  With the development of accurate




models and reliable simulations, the user can get a measure of the cost and




effectiveness of various alternatives.  These alternatives can then be




ranked in order according to their desirability against prescribed criteria




for specific objectives.
                                     12

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2.1.2  Air Pollution Cost/Benefit Analysis

      The formal theory of cost/benefit analysis requires that the costs

and benefits of a proposed project or policy be:  (1)   measured relative

to some base-line (i.e., initial time and conditions)  and (2)  evaluated

over a definite period of time (e.g., project life-time).

      The existing version of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model as well as all

the other components of the RAPA Program assume that all system responses

of interest occur instantaneously.  Consequently, the  Cost/Benefit Model

represents a special limited version of cost benefit analysis, known as

cross-sectional modeling.  In the cross-sectional cost/benefit model, the

base-line or initial conditions are first analyzed, then assuming that all

responses are instantaneous, the effects of alternative policies are eval-

uated.  The benefits are based on more than one parameter (e.g., air quality,

population, income,  etc.) and the relations may be deduced from a statisti-

cal analysis on the  different parameters.  At the present time, the inability

to provide forecasts for the future concerning the availability and demand

for fuel, price structures, industrial process developments and control

technology advances  make the cross-sectional approach  the practical state

of the art.

2.1.3  Role of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model In The Hierarchy of RAPA Analysis
       Tools

      The first production computer program of the Regional Air Pollution

Analysis (RAPA) Program was the Air Quality Display Model  [TRW,  November

1969].  This program employs a mathematical simulation of the atmospheric

diffusion process [Martin and Tikvart, 1968] to determine estimated arith-

metic average pollutant concentrations at ground level over an annual period.

It also contains a statistical model [Larsen, 1969] which produces geometric-

mean and maximum concentration values for several different averaging times.

                                     13

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In July 1969, at the conclusion of the first year's efforts (Phase I), TRW




demonstrated the operation of a prototype Regional Air Pollution 'Analysis




Program using the St. Louis Air Quality Control Region as the data base.




      The diffusion and statistical models of AQDM provided a key module




for the more ambitious Implementation Planning Program, the initial version




of which (IPP I) was ready in March 1970.  The production version of the




Implementation Planning Program (IPP II) was published in November 1970 and




is described at some length in Section 2.2.  It was actually the prototype




IPP I, however, which provided the critical interface with.the RAPA Cost/




Benefit Model for the current demonstration, since shakedown runs were still




underway for IPP II during the programming phase of the RAPA Cost/Benefit




Mode  [TRW, November 1970].




      The current prototype Cost/Benefit Model, produced as part of the




Phase III RAPA effort, provides another basic block for the general RAPA




Program.  A series of economic models have also been developed by.the CONSAD




Research Corporation under sub-contract to TRW.  The relation of all these




computer programs to one another in the existing concept of the RAPA Program




is illustrated in Figure 2.1-2.  The prototype RAPA Cost/Benefit Model




(illustrated in Figure 2.1-3) represents a partial development of the con-




cept illustrated in Figure 2.1-2.




      The Benefits Model Segment consists of an Interface Module and three




analysis modules (Damage Cost Module, Property Value Module, Property Assign-




ment Module).  The Interface Module converts receptor point air quality data




(provided by the Implementation Planning Program) into census tract (average)




air quality.  The Implementation Planning Program also serves as the Costs




Segment of the prototype Cost/Benefit Model; only the direct point sources




control costs are included in the analysis at the present time.






                                    14

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• AIIOUALIIV
 DATA

• MEIEOROLOG-
 ICAl DATA
• EMISSION
 INVENTORY

• CONTROL
 TECHNIQUES
 AND COSTS
                   IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM
                            (TRW SYSTEMS)


	 r



ATMOSPHERIC
DIFFUSION
MODEL


CALIBRATION
PROCEDURE
1
                     CONTROL
                     COST FILE
                                                            EXISTING
                                                            AIR QUALITY
                                                            DISPLAY
CONTROL
STRATEGY
MODEL
« i


                                                          POINT
                                                          SOURCE
                                                          CONTROL
                                                          COST
                  • RECEPTOR
                    DATA

                  • DAMAGE
                    FUNCTIONS

                    • DIRECT EFFECTS
                    • ADJUSTMENTS
                  .  • MARKET EFFECTS
       COST/BENEFIT MODEL
  (PARTIALLY UNDER DEVELOPMENT)
ECONOMIC MODa SYSTEM
(CONSAO RESEARCH CORP)
                                                                              REGIONAL VARIABLES .
                                                                              AT PREVIOUS YEAR:  !
                                                                               VALUE ADDED
                                                                               CAPITAL STOCK
                                                                               CONSUMPTION
                                                                               REGIONAL INCOME,
                                                                                   POPULATION AND
                                                                                   MIGRATION
                                                                                GOVERNMENT
                                                                                EXPENDITURE
                                                                                 REGIONAL INDUSTRIAL
                                                                                 INVESTMENT RE-
                                                                                 QUIRED EY AIR
                                                                                 POLLUTION ABATEMENT
                                                                                 STRATEGY
      NATIONAL
      INPUT/OUTPUT
      MODEL
                                                                               ECONOMIC GAINS
                                                                               OF AIR POLLUTION
                                                                               CONTROL
      REGIONAL
      ECONOMETRIC
      MODEL
                                                                                                                                      REGIONAL INCOME
                                                                                                                                      AND CONSUMPTION
                                                                                                                                   INUUSIKIAL
                                                                                                                                    OUTPUT
                                                                                                                                    INVESTMENT
                                                                                                                                    EMPLOYMENT
                                                                                                                                    CAIVAL STOCK
                                                                                                                                      REGIONAL
                                                                                                                                       UNEMPLOYMENT
                                                                                                                                       LABOR fOitCE
                                                                                                                                CHANGES OF REGIONAL
                                                                                                                                INCOME, CONSUMP-
                                                                                                                                TION, VALUE ADDED,
                                                                                                                                INVESTMENT AND EM-
                                                                                                                                PLOYMENT BY INDUS-
                                                                                                                                TRY, REGIONAL UNCM-
                                                                                                                                PLOYMCNI GENERATED
                                                                                                                                BY DIKECT COSTS AMD
                                                                                                                                BENf.FIIS OF EACH
                                                                                                                                ABATEMENT STRAIEGY
I      (KAKIIALLY UNUIK DEVtLUKMtNI)
                            Figure  2.1-2.    Cost/Benefit  Model  In  The Context Of  The RAPA Program.

-------
                             COSTS SEGMENT
0\
                                                              COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS
                                                              (MANUAL PROCESSING)
                                    Figure 2.1-3.  RAPA Cost/Benefit Model  (Existing Version)

-------
2.1.4  RAPA Cost/Benefit Model. Program Overview

      The computer program modules which comprise the RAPA Cost/Benefit

Model process population and housing census information along with pollu-

tant concentration data.  The resulting information output supports air

resource cost/benefit analysis procedures.

      Figure  2.1-4 illustrates the various modules of the C/B Model, their

principal inputs and outputs, and the interfaces between the modules.  As

shown by the  figure, the program modules of the C/B Model do not function

together in a fully integrated system as do the programs and program seg-

ments of IPP  illustrated in Figure  2.1-2.  Rather, these modules are essen-

tially independent; each supports a specific cost/benefit analysis procedure.

They are linked by a common data set (shown as a card deck in Figure 2.1-4)

of census tract attributes (population and property), and a common interface

module (CONVRT) which supplies the census tract pollutant concentration data.

This modular character of the RAPA C/B Model permits easy modification of

existing capabilities and aids future expansion of the model through addition

of new modules.

2.2  IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM

      The Implementation Planning Program (IPP) is a collection of computer

programs which have been developed for the Environmental Protection Agency

for use by the states (Federal Register,  Vol.  36,  No. 67, Part II, April 7,

1971) as an analytical tool to assist in the preparation of implementation

plans* for sulfur oxides and particulates.   Through the application of
 An implementation plan details all the steps to be taken for abatement
 and control of emissions from existing sources of pollutants within an air
 quality control region, to insure attainment of the ambient air quality
 standards within a reasonable time.

                                     17

-------
oo
                                                        BENEFITS MODR SEGMENT
                                                                                                      POPULATION & HOUSING DATA
                                                                                                                   CENSUS
                                                                                                                   TABLES
                                                                                                                   AND MAP
                                                                                                      CEN
                                                                                                      TIACT ATTRI-
                                                                                                      BUTE DATA
MPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM (IPf>)
                       CONTROL STRAT-
                       EGIES SUMMARIES
                       (CONTROL COSTS,
                       GROUND LEVa
                       POLLUTANT CON-
                       CENTRATIONS)
                                                                                                          INTERFACE MODULE
                                                                PROPERTY VALUE MODULE
                                                                                                                                             PROPERTY ASSIGNMENT MODULE
                                                                                                     CENSUS TRACT]  (CENSUS
                                                                                                     MR QUALITY     TRACT AIR
                                                                                                     SUMMARY _J  IQUALITY DATA
                                                                                                                                 PROPERTY
                                                                                                                                 ASSIGNMENT
                                                                                                                                 SUMMARY
                                                                                                        DAMAGE COSTS MODULE
                                                                 DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
                                                                     DAMAGE
                                                                     FUNCTION
                                                                     PARAMETERS
                                                                                                             DAMAGE
                                                                                                             COSTS
                                                                                                             SUMMARY
                                                                                 COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS
                                                                                  (MANUAL PROCESSING)
                                            Figure  2.1-4.   RAPA  Cost/Benefit  Model,  Program Structure.

-------
of computer simulation modeling techniques, the Implementation Planning




Program is used in selecting appropriate emission standards, evaluating




the resulting air quality, and determining the costs associated with the




various alternative control strategies.




2.2.1  Component Programs of IPP




      The distinct computer programs which comprise IPP are designed to




run in sequence, as shown in Figure 2.2-1.  The function of each program is




described below in the order of the program's normal operating sequence in




IPP.   The role of IPP in the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model is shown (see the




shaded portion) in Figure 2.2.2.




      (1)  Source Data Management Program.  This program creates, updates,




and lists the primary data file (defined as the Source File).  The Source




File  contains all the sources of pollutants in a given Air Quality Control




Region which are to be considered by the  Implementation Program.  These




sources of pollutants are divided into categories of point and area sources,




A point source  of emission is defined here as any individual stationary




source for which specific information is input to the program, and is




usually specified on the basis of a single stack.  An area source includes




the total emissions from all sources within a given square area which are




either too small or too numerous to specify on an individual point source




basis.  The total emissions for an area source are assumed to be uniformly




distributed over the area.  Area sources generally include small fuel




combustion sources, on-site solid waste disposal, mobile sources, etc.




Data  on area sources are included in determining the ground level pollution




concentration values.




       The Source File itself provides direct input to the Air Pollutant




Concentration Program, the Control Cost Program and the Regional Strategies






                                    19

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CSOUKI
DATA
.' r
1


SOUICE OAtA MANAGEMENT
FtOGIAM
. CetAU, UPDATE, LIST
c



$OU«CE
LISTING
                                                                                                         ~1
I SOURCE OATA MANAGEMENT              X^
Alt POLLUTANT
CONCENTRATION
PROGRAM
i
.. ,_J




POUHTANT
COHCINIRA-
TION TABLES
                                                              FILE UPDATE POOCtAM
                    SCHJUCE CONTIItUTION
                    FILE MEtCE PtOCMM
                                                             CONIHOL
                                                             COST FILE
                                                             LISTING
                                                                     CONTtOlCCST
                                                                     UPDATE DATA
                         •EGIONAL
                         SOURCE
                        CONIRIW
                         TION FILE
STEP II
AIR POLLUTANT
CONCENTRATION
SEGMENT
                                                                               STEP III
                                                                             CONTROL
                                                                                 COST
                                                                             SEGMENT
                                                                                                   EMISSION
                                                                                                   STANDAIDS
                                                                                                   TAILU
                                                             EMISSION
                                                             STANDARDS
                                                             OATA
UGIONAI STRATEGIES
     PtOGlAM
                                                                             EMISSION
                                                                            STANDARDS
                 CONTIOl
                 niATEGV
                 UJMMAIICS
                                                                                                             I
                                                                DEVICE DATA
                                                              REGIONAL DATA
CONTROL COST
PROGRAM
i
P



CCNIICl
COST lABlti
EMISSION
STANDARDS
FILE LISTING
V FIU r

(MISSION STANOAIOS
FILE UPDATE
MOGtAM
                                                                                                            I
                                                        I
I  »TEP IV(b)                       .      CONTROL STRATEGIES SEGMENT                        STEP IV(»1  I


                Figure  2.2-1.   Structure  of the  Implementation Planning Program.
                                                       20

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                COSTS SEGMENT
MfUMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM (Iff)
    REGIONAL
    STRATEGIES
    PROGRAM
    CONT«OL STRAT-
    EGIES SUMMARIES
    (CONTROL COSTS,
    GROUND LEVEL
    POLLUTANT CON-
    CENTHATIONS)
                                                      COST/«ENEF(T ANALYSIS
                                                      (MANUAL PROCESSING)
       Figure 2.2-2.   Role of Implementation  Planning  Program RAPA Cost/Benefit Model,

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Program.  The point source emission inventory data elements which must be




supplied to the Source Data Management Program include source identification,




location, source type, emission quantities, stack information, existing con-




trols, operating schedules, fuel usage and characteristics, and process rate.




The area source emission inventory data elements include location, identifi -




cation, emission quantities, effective release height, and area.




       (2)  Air Pollutant Concentration Segment




      The major program in this segment, the Air Pollutant Concentration




 Program, is designed to estimate the spatial distribution of sulfur dioxide




 and particulate matter concentrations throughout the region.  The pollutant




 concentration output from this program is derived from (1) an atmospheric




 diffusion model [Martin and Tikvart, 1968], which transforms the regional




 source emissions and meteorological data for a given annual (or other long-




 term) period into estimated ground-level arithmetic average pollutant con-




 centration values, and (2) a statistical model [Larsen, 1969] which trans-




 forms the annual arithmetic mean concentration data (at a limited number of




 stations) into expected maximum and short-term concentration values for




 specified averaging times.





     Validation of the program is accomplished through use of internally




calculated least-squares regression lines.   These lines relate the esti-




mated arithmetic mean concentration values produced by the .program to input




measured arithmetic mean pollutant concentration values.  This calibration




procedure makes adjustments for errors introduced by approximations in the




diffusion equations, deficiencies in the meteorological and emission input




data, and the neglect of topographical influences in the model.




     Program output consists of data tables and a punched card deck for the




arithmetic mean pollutant concentration values and, if requested, data tables






                                     22

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for the short-term pollutant concentration values.   The punched card deck is




designed for use with an x-y plotter which produces contour-line maps (iso-




pleths) of the various concentrations levels in the region.   In addition to




this output, the contribution from each source to each pollutant receptor




defined within the region is output on magnetic tape (defined as the Source




Contribution File) for use by the Regional Strategies Program.




     The meteorological data elements required by the Air Pollutant Concen-




tration Program include stability wind rose data (wind direction, wind speed,




stability class), mixing height, ambient temperature and ambient pressure.




The required air quality data elements include the locations of sampling




stations, background pollutant concentration values and the  standard geometric




deviation (24-hour average) at each station.




     The other program contained in the Air Pollutant Concentration Segment




is the Source Contribution File Merge Program.  If more than one run of the




Air Pollutant Concentration Program is required to provide the desired




receptor density, the Source Contribution File Merge Program must be used




to combine the several output files into a single file,  as required by the




Regional Strategies Program.




     (3)  The Control Cost Segment




     In general, each point source will have several control-measure options




for reducing its pollutant emission to meet each applied emission standard.




The purposes of the Control Cost Program are to simulate the application of




the alternative control devices available to each point source and to deter-




mine estimates of the total annual cost and efficiency of pollutant removal




for each such application.  The output consists of tables of control appli-




cation data for each of the point sources defined in the Source File.  The
                                     23

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data generated by the program are output in printed tabular form and on




magnetic tape (defined as the Control Cost File) for use by the Emission




Standards Program.




     Figure 2.2-3 illustrates the results from a typical application of three




control devices to a specific point source (e.g., an asphalt batching plant




of a particular size).  The total -annual costs shown include the manufacturer's




price, installation costs, annual capital charge, and the operation and main-




tenance costs.  In computing these major expense items, the program takes




into account factors such as equipment depreciation schedules, interest rates




on capital, and cost or credit for pollutant disposal.   The details of the




cost calculations are covered in Appendix A.




     The Control Cost Program requires regional data and control device




information including device identification, device efficiency and rated




life, device labor requirements, device costs (i.e., price, installation




and operating),  device applicability criteria, labor costs, alternate fuel




costs, utilities costs and interest rate.  A list of the control devices




that are considered in the Control Cost Program is provided in Appendix A.




The program provides the option of using internally preset values for cer-




tain parameters (see Appendix A).





     The Control Cost Update Program, the other program in the Control Cost




Segment, permits the user to input corrected or additional data into the




device-source records on  the existing Control Cost File and to list the




contents of the file.




      (4)  Control Strategies Segment




     The function of the  Control Strategies Segment is to' apply a specified




control strategy so that  the least costly control technology that satisfies
                                     24

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                                         CYCLONE
                                          ($9,000)
                  ALLOWABL    EMISSION  RANGE

                                PIANT CAPACITY
Figure 2.2-3.  Typical Emission Standard Curve Relation to Control Device Application

-------
 the appropriate emission standard is applied to each source.  An emission




 standard  is a limitation placed on individual  (point) sources of a particular




 pollutant.  An implementation plan usually specifies different emission stan-




 dards  that are to be applied to different types of'sources of each pollutant.




 These  emission standards may be expressed in terms of mass of pollutant per




 unit gas  volume or per unit time and will usually vary according to the size




 of the source.  A typical emission standard used in IPP  (EST19) is shown in




 Figure 2.2-4.




     On  the other hand, an emission control strategy consists of selected




 emission  standards covering all significant (point) source types.  For par-




 ticulate  emissions, the significant source types considered by IPP include




 fuel combustion, industrial processes and solid waste disposal.  For sulfur




•oxides, only fuel combustion and industrial processes are considered.




     The  Control Strategies Segment provides sufficient  output information




 to evaluate the regional impact of selected strategies from the standpoints




 of; (1) the types of sources affected by the strategy; (2) the degree to




 which  these sources are affected in terms of control costs; (3) the result-




 ing changes in pollutant emissions; and (4) the regionally aggregated




 values of control costs by source category, total reduction in pollutant




 emissions, changes in regional fuel-use patterns, and resulting air quality




 levels.




     The  Control Strategies Segment performs the simulation process through




 use of the Emission Standards Program and the Regional Strategies Program.




 The analyst first selects all candidate emission standards (e.g., Figure




 2.2-4) for consideration by the Emission Standards Program.  The program




 then compares the requirements of each standard with the data generated by
                                     26

-------
IUU


£1
.0
C
O
^
LU

-------
the Control Cost Program.  The program selects the most cost-effective de-




vice for each point source under each standard.   In the example shown in




Figure 2.2-3, the program would select the wet scrubber.




     The data generated by the Emission Standards Program are output in




the form of printed tables for user review and on magnetic tape (defined




as Emission Standards File) for use by the Regional Strategies Program.




The table output illustrates the actual control measures selected for each




source, the annual costs, and data on the degree to which emissions have




been controlled.  If necessary, the Emission Standards File may be updated




by the Emission Standards File Update Program, the third program in the




Control Stretegies Segment.




      Finally,  the analyst selects a set of standards to be applied (i.e.,




an emission control strategy) by the Regional Strategies Program.  The




program summarizes the existing, allowable and controlled emissions for the




sources and generates new air quality data based on allowable or existing




emission rates  (whichever is less).  Reduction of each area source emission




rate is accomplished by user input scale factors.  The Regional Strategies




Program requires inputs from the Emission Standards File, the Source File




(area source data), and the Source Contribution File.




      Output from the Regional Strategies Program consists of regional and




political jurisdictional summaries of regional costs, regional emissions,




number of sources affected by a given standard, and figures of merit for




each strategy (e.g., cost per ton of pollutant removed, cost per microgram




or per cubic meter of reduced ground-level concentrations).




      The ground level concentration data for the controlled conditions are




also output in punched card form.  This deck becomes direct input for the




RAPA Cost/Benefit Model.  In addition, the tabular output provides essential






                                     28

-------
data for the Costs Segment of the Cost/Benefit analysis.   Due to the




importance of the output of the Control Strategies Program to the Cost/




Benefit Model, further details are provided in Section 2.2.2.




2.2.2  Point Source Cost Calculations in IFF




      The only cost data employed in the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model at the




present time are generated entirely within the Control Cost Program and




Regional Strategies Program of IFF.  The IPP model currently only estimates




the direct costs of emission control to the major point sources.  These




point sources cover both the public and private sectors of the regional




economy, however, and their control costs generally form a significant




portion of the total control cost to the region.  These costs are generally




acceptable for cross-sectional cost/benefit analysis.




      Possible procedures for estimating control agency and area source




control costs have been given by K. Woodcock  [1971].  These procedures form




a potential basis for extending the present RAPA Cost/Benefit Model in the




future.




      Appendix A provides the details of the point source control cost




calculations as performed in IPP.




2.2.3   IPP jlegional Strategies Output




      The Regional Strategies Program output from IPP provides direct




punched card input for the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model and tabulated data




required in the cost/benefit analysis.




2.2.3.1  Tabulated Output for Cost/Benefit Analysis




      The Regional Strategies Program provides four types of tabulated




data useful in cost/benefit analysis.  These are as follows:
                                     29

-------
      Emission Standard Effects on Source Emissions

      The tabulation shown in Figure 2.2-5 is presented for each source

type/political jurisdiction combination.  A header indicating the regional

identification, control strategy number and descriptive name, and date pre-

cedes each table.  The source type, emission standard number and jurisdic-

tion also are printed before the main tabular listing.  The following items

make up the column headings in this tabulation:

      •    Source Identification.  Each source is identified by
           its SIC code, site and process numbers.

      •    Control Device.  The device selected by the Emission
           Standards Program for this standard is identified by
           its numeric code (see Appendix A).  The computed
           annual cost and device efficiency are also shown.

      •    Required Efficiency.  This decimal efficiency represents
           the degree of pollutant reduction required by the source
           to bring its potential emissions into compliance with
           the allowable emission defined by the control standard.
           If the source already has an existing control device
           then the required efficiency will be larger than that
           needed to bring the existing (partially controlled)
           emissions into compliance with the standard.

      •   Emissions.  Three emission rates are displayed for each
          source: the existing emissions, the emissions allowable
          under the emission control standard, and the controlled
          emissions resulting from the application of the listed
          control device.  The allowable emissions are utilized
          in the computation of air quality resulting from the
          application of the control strategy.
      Jurisdictional Summary

      Following the presentation of the Emission Standard Effects on Source
Emissions for each of the three source types within a political jurisdiction,

a Jurisdictional summary is printed (Figure 2.2-6).   Again, a table header
                                     30

-------
         CITY STRATEGY II  PART ICJLAT = ti.l./P.E.


         EMISSION   STANDARD  EFFECTS  ON
      1N3USTHIAL PkOCFSS STANJAiO
                  STATf A
                                S  FQS
                                          I f Ul »TE C."\T*"L
SIC
CODE
L 	
21 19
2819
2819
29bl
1241 •
129*
SITE
NO.
L 	
1
»*
160
1*0
100
SI
1112 1270
1
L..JJ.U_-,UJQJ
pe.lC
ND.
L 	 J
2S
I
}
1
1
1
1
J
DEVICE
1C
L 	
• • r
•• c
!<•
i
C 10
18
0
L C J
ANNUAL
DEVICE COST
.
» c.c
» 0.0
• S2496.J4
» ra<.6.2%
» 21S426.44
» »VI
L.tilSIi^U..
0. 10
3.21
2 1. 1C
C-.97
?.T9
19. 1H
1. tl
L ^2.22-
L-41.LJ*ittLt_-
1
O.I?
C.2I
0.72
0.07
1. VI
p.,'<.
0. 72
L. 3*21
L_Ctt>I£DLLE2-
O.IC
C.21
C.22
C.C2
C.IS
r. 11
0. il
I 3»C2 1
1*1 INDICATES "OS' rFFICKENT OfVlCE -AS USEO BUT ALLO^ABLF «AS \ " 1 IT'al.-.l.
!••( INllCtTFS MO OtvlCE AvAILAQLc TJ CJNTani THE SOURCE
ICI INDIC1TFS >'.£S CJOLINk. »«S aEjUIHEO PF IQR m DEVICE A^'P L 1C A I | 1'j .
Figure 2.2-5.   Output Format - Emission  Standards Effects

-------
to
                                        CENTRAL  CITY STRATEGY II PARTICULATE H.I./P.E.
                                                       JURISDICTION  SUMMARY
                                                   STATE  A              JURISDICTION
                                                                                                                   NHVEXREP  18. I9f0
REGULATION TYPE
AND NUMBER
FUEL COMBUSTION
B
INDUSTRIAL PROCESS
SDL 10 HASTE DISPOSAL
JURISDICTION TOTAL
TOTAL
APPLICABLE
POINT SOURCES
2
B
••

12
L -JU r ^- . -
TOTAL 1
CONTROLLED 1
POINT S1JRCESI
•
2
G ••
I
T
EXISTING EMISSIONSI
FOS
POINT SOURCES
(TONS/OAYI
.
5. TO
%*.»e_
2.88
	 '. 	
54.06
L.
EMISSION
DEDUCT ION
1TONS/0*VI
ALL C k tB. ItCUI EQLLLC
C.CC 5.68
3.bT 44.26
C.29 2.iO
	
J.96 • S2.44
ANNUAL
CdNTROL COST
(MILL DNS OF t|
B. 186
0.118
0.121
1 	
8.4*3
COMTROL COST
PER TON
BEHOVE T |*/TON>
«M.«
2C.81
1*1 .SO
L 	
462. M
                                                          1*1 S3ME SOURCES  COULD NOT  ATTAIN THE  ALLOWABLE  EHISSI1N
                                                              (*•! NO DEVICE  AVAILABLE   TO  CONTPOL  SOME  S1U»CES.
                                                              (Gl  GAS C10LING APPLIED TO SOME  STU«CEISI.
                                                               ..o.a.s.
EXISTING EMISSIONS (TONS/DAY*
  POINT SOURCES....  •><•.!
  ARE* SOURCES	  16.1

  TOTAL EMISSIONS..   JO.I
CONTROLLED REDUCTION..   %).?
 CONTROLLED  EMISSIONS ITONS/OAYI
    PCINT  SOURCES....    1.6
    AREA SOURCES.	14.d

    TOTAL  EMISSIONS..    Ift.o
:  PERCENTAGE PEDUCTIJN...  76.6 t
-_.a_U-t-I_5_0-l.C_I_i.Q_W__£_U_

     CPtL (TONS/DAY)	
     RESID. OIL (GAL/OAVI	
     CIST. DIL IOAL/UAVI	
                                                                                                                              O.C
                                                                                                                              C.C
                                                                                                                              O.C
                                                                                             GtS-llOOO  CJ.  F1./-)AVI...  912161)6.000
                                     JURISDICTION  CONTROL   COST-EFFtCTI
                                                                                                    V  E  N. ?  S  S
                       REOUCTION IN  T?TAL  POINT SOUR.rE EMISSION
                                                                                                        462. Si  DOLL »as/TON
                                        Figure 2.2-6.   Output Format  -- Jurisdiction Summary

-------
is provided which identifies the control region and the emission control

strategy under consideration.  The run date and political jurisdiction are

also displayed.  The following data elements are included in the tabular

presentation:

      •    Regulation Type and  Number.   The emission standard
           applied  to each source type  is  identified by number.

      0    Total  Applicable Point Sources.   The number of  point
           sources  is listed both by  source category and as  a
           total  for the jurisdiction.

      •    Total  Controlled Point Sources.   The number of  sources
           required  to reduce their pollutant  emissions are  tabu-
           lated  in  this column.   Indicators are provided  when
           certain  of the sources cannot  be properly controlled  by
           the devices considered in  the  Control Co_st  Program.

      •    Existing  Emissions for Point Sources.   This column
           summarizes the existing pollutant emissions by  source
           category.

      •    Emission  Reduction.   Two measures of emission reduction
           are included under this heading. Allowed emissions
           refer  to  the emission levels specified  by the emission
           standards making up  the control  strategy.   Controlled
           emissions indicate the amount  of reduction  produced by
           the control devices  selected by  the  program to  bring
           each source into compliance  with the allowable  emission
           levels.   It must be  noted  that  the  two  sets of  figures
           in this  column are not strictly  comparable  since  the
           control  device selected may  produce  a greater reduction
           than is  required by  the standard.  Also,  in some  cases,
           there  may be no control device  available  which  allows
           a source  to meet the emission  level  specified by  the
           standard.

      •    Annual  Control Cost.   This  column presents the
          accumulated control costs of  the  control devices
          assigned  to each point source under  the  control
          strategy.

      •    Control Cost per Ton  Removed.   The figures presented
          in this column represent the  product  of  the  annual
          control cost divided  by the number of tons of
          pollutant  removed annually  by the control  device.
          These figures give an estimate  of the cost effective-
          ness of control by source categories  and overall
          effectiveness.

      In addition to the main tabulation,  described  above, the Jurisdictional

Summary  also contains a summary of the  emission pattern prior to and follow-
ing the  application of the control strategy.  Both point and area  source


                                    33

-------
emissions are included in  this summary.  The reduction in area source emis-
sions shown  indicates the  effect of the area source scale factors input by
the user.  The jurisdictional fuel use patterns following application of
the control  strategy are also displayed.
      Control Strategy Summary
      Figure 2.2-7 provides an overall summary of the pollutant reductions
required under the control strategy.  The header information and column
headings are the same as for the jurisdictional summaries described above.
This tabulation represents the summation of control information over the
entire air quality control region.  One additional piece of information
is included  in this output which was not in the previous summaries.  The
reduction in ground level  concentration indicates the number of dollars
required to produce an average one microgram/cubic meter reduction in the
regional pollutant levels.  This value will vary between control strategies
and thus provides another measure of effectiveness of each strategy.
      Control Strategy Effects on Ground Level Concentrations
      The result of the pollutant emission reductions on ambient air quality
throughout the region is displayed in Figure 2.2-8.  The table header iden-
tifies the control region, control standard and the run date.  The air qua-
lity standard for the pollutant being controlled is also shown.  Each recep-
tor location is identified with a unique number and by its X and Y coordinates.
The expected pollutant concentration following the  application of the control
strategy is indicated in micrograms/cubic meter.  The amount of reduction
from the existing ambient conditions is also displayed in a separate column.
The amount by which the concentration at each receptor point is in excess of
the ambient air quality standard is also shown.
2.2.3.2  Punched Card Output for Cost/Benefit Model
      The control strategies effects on ground level concentrations provided
in printed tabular form (Figure 2.2-7) was described above.   This data is
also produced in punched card form so that an isopleth plot  can be produced
for easy visualization of the resulting pollutant concentrations.

-------
                       CENTRAL  CITY  STRATEGY  II  PARTICULATE  H.I./P.f.

                                  CONTROL  STRATEGY   SUMMARY
                                                                                                   N1VFHBIP  18.  I«»7C
JU» ISDICTIOH
AND NUMBER
STATE A
STATF B
1
2
STRATEGY TOTAL
1 1 1
1 TOTAL I TOTAL IEXISTINS EIISSIONS
1 APPLICABLE 1 CONTROLLED 1 FOR
(POINT SOUPCESIPOINT SOU»CESI POINT SOURCES
	 t_ i I lIOUS/DAirl
1
1
1
1
1
.. .1.
12 1
1
1
J_
1
26 I
7
8
	
15
	 	 J
54.06
28. 2C
L 	
82.26
L 	
EMISSION
SFOUCTIOK
I TONS/DAY I
J.96" 52. 44
6.16 25.17
.- ..
1C. 12
L 	 : 	
77.81
	
CJNTHOL CnST
(MILLIONS OF »l
L
a.
16.
25.
L 	 	
164
	
217
	 __J
CONTROL COST
PER TON
PfOVED ( »/TONI
L
462
1767
	
8B7
L- 	 __
.53
.31
."»»
                                         (•I  SOME  SOURCES  COULD  NOT  ATTAIN  THt  ALLOWABLE  EMISSION
                                             (••I  NO  DEVICE  AVAILABLE   TO CONTROL  SO«E
                                             ICI GAS  COOLING APPLIED TO SO«E  SOURCEISI.
EXISTING EIISSIOSS ITONS/OAY)

  POINT SOURCES....  82.3

  AREA SOURCES	  20.1


  TOTAL EltSSIDMS..  1?2.3

CONTPOLIED BEOUCT IDN. .   79.5
CONTROLLED EMISSIONS ITOM5/OATI

   POINT SOURCES....    *.i

   »OEA SOURCES	   18.<•


   TOTAL ("ISSI3NS..   22.8

 PERCENTAGE REDUCTION... 77.7 f
CO*L (TONS/DAYI	

RESID. OIL (GAL/DAYI.

DIST. OIL (GAL/OAYI..
c.c
P.C
c.c
GAS tIOOP CU. FT./DAVI...2T661312C.C^P
                     REGIONAL   CTNTRTL   COST-EFFECTIVENESS



           REDUCTION IN TOTAL  PCINT  SOURCE  EMISSION HATE	887. -*i DOLLARS/TON

           REUUCTIJN IN UF1U»vD LEVEL  CONCENTRATION  .  .  .    ?5C838<.C. C DLL AR S/«l CkOG>< AH/CU9IC  "E Tf R
                   Figure  2.2-7.    Output  Format - Control Strategy  Summary

-------
                     CENTRAL CITY  STRATEGY  II PAKTICOLATE H.I./P.E.
                                                                                                NOVEMBER 18. I97C
AIR QUALITY STANDAKO   OS. 0
JT1 ORIGINIKlLdMfTE4SI:   »•
                          CONTROL  STRATEGY EFFECTS ON GROUND LEVEL CONCENTRATIONS
                             HIC«OGBAHS/CUBIC
                             c.o  v-    o.o
RECEPTOR
                    LOCATIONS
                 UTH.MLO-FTERS
                & ______ i ____ I
60.00
60. OC
6S.OO
6S.OO
bS.OC
90.30
60.00
90.00
                              40. CO
                                «c
                                «iS
                                56
                                72
                                TI
                                 cc
                                 CC
                                 3C
                                 60
                                 1T
                                                                    AMOUNT F?nuCE3
                                                                                                   IN Exf.FSS
Nf« CONCENTRATION VALUE)
                       I
 M1CRJGRABS/CJB1C KfcTERI   MICPCGRAIIS/CUH1C MLTEHI   MIC ROMANS/CUB 1C »IETEi;l
               01             C.S0869<>E CO
               Cl             L.->C7166F CC
     0.8^63idE  Cl             C.b%74bCE CO
     C.62723CE  Cl
     0.8<.l^ilt  Cl
     G.2P2217E  C2
     0.09S8/3E  Cl
     0.191SS8E
             Figure 2.2-8.   Output Format  - Ground Level  Concentrations

-------
       Figure 2.2-9  illustrates the existing ground-level particulate concen-
trations in the NCIAQCR as predicted by the calibrated Air Pollutant Concen-
tration Program.   In this region,  the goal of the implementation plan was
to attain an annual arithmetic average of particulate concentrations of
         3                                     3
86.6 yg/m  as an interim standard and 65.2 pg/m  as a long-term standard.
In testing the acceptability of a strategy,  the IPP model is used to
ascertain that the annual average concentration does not exceed the long-
term air quality standard at any point in the AQCR.
      To meet the above standards, a control strategy for reduction of the
particulate concentration was required.  The isopleths in Figure 2.2-9
indicate that annual average concentrations  above 90 pg/m  were observed
in the NCIAQCR.  Concentrations of up to 107.7 pg/m  could be expected
                   3                       3
within this 90 pg/m  isopleth (the 100 pg/m  isopleth was too small to be
drawn on the map).  Analytical results for 19 control strategies are pre-
sented in Table 2;2-1.  The reduction in emissions from point and area
sources is indicated, as well as the control cost expected and the pollutant
concentrations at the maximum receptor in the region.  Strategy 18 was se-
lected for the District of Columbia, on the  basis of  (1) control costs,  (2)
expected air quality (which, within experimental error, approximated the
air quality standard), and (3) the assumption that the emission control
 technologies required  to meet  the strategy were  technically  feasible and
 economically reasonable.   Particulate  levels expected after  the application
 of  the proposed  control strategy  are illustrated in Figure 2.2-10.
       In addition to  providing  isopleths  of air  pollutant concentration
 levels over the  region, the  punched card  output  provides  direct input to
 the  RAPA Cost/Benefit  Model  (CONVRT).   The data  which is  initially on a
 receptor basis must be converted  to census tract mean concentrations.
The method  used to  accomplish this  and  the  computer program  module which
automatically  performs  the transformation  are discussed in Section  2.6.
                                     37

-------
NOTE
:   Annual Concentration In yg/m3
 Figure 2.2-9.
            Existing Ground Level Particulate Concentrations in
            the NCIAQCR as Computed by the Verified Air Pollutant
            Concentration Program.
                                  38

-------
   Table  2.2-1.  Particulate Control Strategies  - National Capital Interstate Air Quality Control Region.
                 POINT SOURCES
AREA SOURCES
CONTROL COST
Strategy
Number
Existing**
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
18
Percent
Reduction
—
36.3
87. A
62.2
52.7
86.4
78.2
76.0
36.3
41.0
77.0
70.4
New Emission Rate
(tons/day)
[84.7)
54.0
10.7
32.0
40.1
11.6
18.4
19.9
54.0
50.0
19.5
25.0
Percent
Reduction
—
18.0
51.4
47.5
48.6
51.4
51.4
51; 4
36.3
18.6
51.4
51.4
New Emission Rate
(tons/day)
(75.6)
62.0
36.7
39.7
38.9
36.7
36.7
36.7
48.2
61.6
36.7
36.7
•$ x 106
—
0.5
13.9
4.0
4.4
11.8
11.6
11.6
0.5
0.6
11.6
10.8
$/ton removed
—
47
514
210
267
471
489
489
47
44
489
498
Maximum
Receptor
(pg/m3)
—
107.7
92.2
90.0
76.0
69.4
69.7
69.7
89.8
81.8
70.0
68.2
**
  Existing conditions based on the 1969 inventory collected for the NCIAQCR and the validated
  diffusion model.

-------
Note:  Annual  Concentrations in
           Figure 2.2-10.  Predicted Particulate Concentrations
                          After  the Enactment of the Proposed
                          Emission Control  Strategy, in all
                          Political Jurisdictions.'

-------
2.3  CENSUS TRACT DATA

      A central task of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model is to provide a measure

of the effects of air pollution on people and property.   In order to perform

this task, the model must be supplied data on regional air quality, popula-

tion and property distributions (Figure 2.3-1, shaded portions).   The air

quality data is generated by IPP, previously described in Section 2.2.   The

population and property data on the other hand, are available from the

Bureau of the Census.  The census tract data was selected because the

decennial censuses of population and housing provide the required detailed

information on the population of a region and the individual and household

characteristics.  These data are supplied on a census tract basis.

      The Department of Commerce defines  census tracts as follows:

      "Census  tracts are small,  permanently  established,  geographical
      areas into which large  cities  and their environs have been  di-
      vided for statistical purposes.   Tract  boundaries  are selected
      by local committee and  approved  by  the  Bureau of the Census.
     .They remain the same for a long  time so that  statistical  com-
      parisons can be made from  year to year  and from census to census.
      The average tract has over 4,000 people and is originally laid
      out with attention to achieving  some uniformity of  population
      characteristics, economic  status, and  living  conditions.   In each
      decennial census, the Bureau of  the Census tabulates population
      and housing information for each tract—hence, the name "census
      tract".*

      The criteria* employed  in  defining  census tracts are as follows:

      •   Population Size - A census tract should contain between
          2500 and 8000 inhabitants, but  may  contain somewhat
          more.  Tracts covering a large  population are  desirable
          if the population is homogeneous.   The average size for
          all  tracts should not  be less than  4000 inhabitants.
 *These descriptions have been condensed from the Census Tract  Manual .

                                     41

-------
                                    BENEFITS MODEL SEGMENT
                                                                              : POPULATION & HOUSING DATA
IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM (IPP)
                 RECEPTOR
                 AIR QUALITY
                 DATA
    CONTROL STRAT-
    EGIES SUMMARIES
    (CONTROL COSTS,
    GROUND LEVEL
    POUUTANT CON-
    CENTRATIONS)
                                           PROPERTY VALUE MODULE
                                                                                                                     PROPERTY ASSIGNMENT MODULE
                                                                                                                           PROPERTY
                                                                                                                           ASSIGNMENT
                                                                                                                           SUMMARY
PROPERTY
VALUE
SUMMARY
                                                                                  DAMAGE COSTS MODULE
                                             DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
                                                DAMAGE
                                                FUNCTION
                                                PARAMETERS
                                                            COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS
                                                             (MANUAL PROCESSING)
         Figure  2.3-1.    Population  and Housing Data  Relation  to  RAPA  Cost/Benefit  Model,

-------
      •   Boundaries - Census tract boundaries should follow
          permanent and easily recognized lines (state lines,
          highways, railroads, rivers,  streams, channels, and
          the like).  Alleys are normally not used and should
          not be unless named.

      •   Homogeneity - Census tracts should contain, insofar
          as it practicable, persons of similar racial or
          nationality characteristics,  of similar economic
          status, and of similar housing.  If a tract includes
          both expensive homes and slum dwellings, for example,
          average statistics for the tract as a whole will not
          reflect the condition of either group.

      •   Geographic Shape and Size - In general, a census tract
          should be compact.  It is desirable to avoid panhandles,
          L's, dumbbells, and other elongated shapes.  Irregular
          boundaries should be avoided  wherever possible.

      The cost/benefit analysis example for this report involves the

Washington, D. C. Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA).  An SMSA

(except in New England) has the following properties:

      (1) It contains either one county or a group of contiguous
          counties.

      (2) The county group must contain either one central city
          of at least 50,000 inhabitants or "twin cities" with
          a total population of at least 50,000 inhabitants.

      (3) The counties included in the  SMSA must either contain
          the central city or form a socially and economically
          integrated metropolitan area  with the central city.

      The Washington, D. C. SMSA consists of:  the District of Columbia;

Arlington County, Fairfax County, Alexandria City and Falls Church City in

Virginia; Montgomery County and Prince  Georges County in Maryland.

      The census data employed here is  from the 1960 census.  The 1970

census information  is not available in published form at the present time.

Appendix B provides information on the census  tract  attributes themselves

and  the  sources  of  census  tract information.
                                     43

-------
2.4  AIR POLLUTION DAMAGE FUNCTIONS


      If costs and benefits of air pollution control are to be analyzed on

a quantitative basis, then they must somehow be related on a common scale.

The traditional scale of convenience for cost/benefit analysis is "price."

However, since there is no marketplace as such for clean air, the price

must somehow relate to society's willingness to pay to reduce air pollution,

(i.e., the effects).  The willingness to pay for clean air can be best re-

lated to the avoidance of the damages of air pollution to the society.

Thus, the benefits of improved air quality are the reduction in damages

that would otherwise occur due to the presence of pollutants.  The next

logical requirement is to express these damages on a price scale (in

dollars).  The relation of the damage functions to the various modules of

the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model is illustrated in Figure 2.4-1.

2.4.1  Direct Damage Functions

      There have been various attempts recently to produce damage functions;

most of these have been efforts to quantify one or more of the direct effects

of air pollution.  A simple example which illustrates the basic form is the

damage function developed by Wilson and Minnotte* for the Washington, D.C.,

metropolitan area (Figure 2.4-2).  The damage function relates per capita

annual soiling cost to concentrations of suspended particulates.  The

authors utilized the results of air pollution statistical studies in the

Washington, D. C., area conducted by Irving Michelson.  Michelson's study
 R. D. Wilson and D. M. Minnotte, "A Cost-Benefit Approach to Air
 Pollution Control," Journal of the Air Pollution Control Association,
 Vol. 19, No. 5, p. 306, May 1969.

                                     44

-------
CONTROL STRAT-
EGIES SUMMARIES
(CONTROL COSTS,
GROUND LEVEL
POLLUTANT CON-
CENTRATIONS)
            Figure 2.4-1.  Damage  Functions:   Role in  the RAPA Cost/Benefit  Model,

-------
       160  -
<

^4
Q_
       120
    .
O I—
O —•
  O.
CJ<
z o
        80
o
CO
II
>-
       40
                                          Y  =1.85 X - 42
                       20
                                   40
60
80
100
                     X = SUSPENDED PARTICULATE  CONCENTRATION (ug/mj)
    Figure 2.4-2.  Wilson and Minnotte Function for Damages Due To Soiling
                                      46

-------
used responses to a questionnaire to determine the frequency of certain

household cleaning chores in areas of high and low air pollution within

the metropolitan area.*

      This function provides a simple linear relation between the annual

per capita soiling cost and the average annual particulate concentration

in ug/m3.  Soiling, of course, represents a small part of the direct

damages due to air pollutants.  The direct damage function employed in

the Cost/Benefit Model Demonstration for the NCIAQCR is also a linear

function of the same form as the Wilson-Minnotte relation.  However, the

Pro Forma Damage Function (Figure 2.4-3) used here represents an effort to

provide a gross estimate of national damages across the full range of

direct effects.  A detailed explanation of the development of these damage

functions (note that there are two functions, one for S09 and one for par-

ticulates) is given in Appendix C.  Before continuing on, however, we

should note that linear damage functions merely represent the best that

can be done at the present time.   There is no reason to believe that they

are universal.  In fact, one would expect further research to reveal a

direct damage function of the form shown below.


      Per Capita
    Annual Damage
        Cost
                                                      Pollutant
                                                      Concentration
An initial slow rise followed by sharply increasing slope is to be expected.
  I.  Michelson,  "The Household  Cost  of  Living  in  Polluted  Air  in the  Washington,
  D.  C.  Metropolitan Area,"  A Report to the  U.  S.  Public Health  Service.
                                     47

-------
00
                                co

                                cS

                                01
                                oo
                                03
                                     60
     50
                                   M
                                   CO
                                   0)
                                     30
«0 (X
4J CO
•H O

«w
o ^
                                PM

                                u
                                     20
     10
                                                                                    0.47X
                                                   40           80          120


                                                 X = Weighted Air Quality (wg/m3)
                   Jigure  2.4-3.   Pro Forma Damage Functions- Used  In  RAPA Cost/Benefit Model NCIAQCR Demonstration

-------
This feature would result from the "threshold"  effects  exhibited by many
forms of pollution damage.  Similarly,  a leveling off  at high concentrations
due to "saturation" effects may be anticipated.
      Damage functions are generally expressed  in relation to the population
(or number of households) and pollution concentration.   In the RAPA Cost/
Benefit Model, damage functions are applied to  each census tract in an AQCR
(or SMSA) to determine the census tract damage  cost.   The sum of the damage
costs for all census tracts in an AQCR  determines the  AQCR damage cost.
      The damage estimates of the direct effects of pollution are estimated
as a function of particulate and/or sulfur dioxide concentrations for the
base alternative (i.e.,  the existing condition)  as well as for predicted
concentrations under a given emission control strategy.   Social benefit is
considered to be the difference between the damages from the  base alterna-
tive and damages after application of the control strategy.   This concept
is demonstrated in the following figure:
                                  DIRECT EFFECTS
                         POLLUTION CONCENTRATION  (ug/nT)
                .C1 = (DAMAGE COSTjP^-Cg  = (DAMAGE COST)P2
                 SOCIAL BENEFIT =  C]  -  C2
                                     49

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2.4.2  Market Effects Damage Functions




      Economists Robert J. Anderson, Jr., and Thomas D. Crocker, using




statistical analysis, have found a negative correlation between particulate




and S0_ concentrations and residential property values.  The statistical




results of the Anderson and Crocker regression analysis for the Washington,




D. C. SMSA are summarized in Table 2.4-1.




      The Anderson-Crocker functions  (i.e., the four types of regression




equations) actually provide an estimate of market effects resulting from




the preference of the residents of the SMSA to live in areas of. higher air




quality.  These market effects result from the conscious and subconscious




perception of the direct effects and reflect adjustments made in the market-




place.  However, the impact of direct effects on deterioration of materials,




etc. are also reflected to a degree in these functions and cannot be




separated out.




      The RAPA Cost/Benefit Model demonstration has utilized the Anderson-




Crocker damage function (Type I regression equation) applied to the




Washington, D. C. SMSA  (see Section 2.7).




      In utilizing property value functions of this type to estimate the




social benefits from market effects, the differences between the annualized




household property values under the two strategies (illustrated below) must




be determined.  In practice, these values were produced from the Property




Value Module discussed later in this  chapter.
                                      50

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    Table 2.4-1.  Regression  Results of Anderson-Crocker Study    For The Washington, D. C. ,
                                                                             SMSA
DEPENDENT
                                           Regression Coefficients
• —
INDEPENDENT
Cons t .
In
In
In
In
In
In
In
In
R2
s2
T
(PSN)
(PPT)
(MFI)
(DLP)
(OLD)
.(NWT)
(DIS)
(MUM)



' 	 —Type I
3.3901 <
-.0712 1
-.0610 <
.7677 1
.0044 I
-.016 1
.0251 1
-.0582 (

.6966
.0222
275
[.4012)
[.0222)
[.0318**)
[.0447)
[.0059**)
[.0103)
[.0064)
[.0158)




Type II
1.1617
.0010
-.1698
.9970
.0113
-.0213
.0321
-.0312
.9064
.7897
.0179
121
(.5622*)
(.0270**)
(.0509)
(.0587)
(.0079**)
(.0107*)
(.0080)
(.0097)
(.1948)



Type III
.2428
-.0905,
.0049
.5109
.0121
-.0606
-.0043
-.0216

.6963
.0181
218
(.4441**)
(.0239)
(.0316**)
(.0492)
(.0055*)
(.0125)
(.0066**)
(.0152**)




Type IV
.4705 1
-.0727 1
-.0302 1
.4650 <
-.0054 1
-.0408 1
-.0124 1
-.0111 1

.7549
.0136
218
[.3859**)
[.0207)
[.0275**)
[,0431)
[.0048**)
[.0108)
[.0058*)
[.0132**)




   * Not significantly different from zero at the .01 level.
  ** Not significantly different from zero at the .05 level.-

-*•** R. J. Anderson, Jr., and T. D. Crocker,  "Air Pollution and  Housing:
     Some Findings" Paper No. 264,  Institute  for Research  in  the Behavioral,
     Economics, and Management  Sciences,  Purdue University, Lafayette,
     Indiana, January 1970.

-------
         o.
         ,aPV
         o
         LU
         t/1
         o
         LU
1
                                MARKET  EFFECTS
                       POLLUTION CONCENTRATION  (ug/nT)
               SOCIAL  BENEFIT = PV2 - PV]
2.5  INTERFACE MODULE

      The Interface Module (CONVRT) calculates the mean concentrations of

particulate matter and sulfur dioxide for each census tract (CTPC) in the

air quality control region or standard mean statistical area of interest.

The resulting data set(s) of census tract pollutant concentrations (CTPC)

and the card deck of census tract attributes provide the only interfaces

between the remaining analysis modules of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model.

The relation of the Interface Module to the other modules of 'the RAPA

Cost/Benefit Model is illustrated in Figure 2.5-1.

2.5.1  Input

      The receptor point pollutant concentrations are produced in punched

card form by the Regional Strategies Segment of IPP .(see Section 2.2).  A

card deck is produced by IPP for each strategy/pollutant combination,
                                    52

-------
Ln
                     CONTROL STRAT-
                     EGIES SUMMARIES
                     (CONTROL COSTS
                     GROUND LEVEL
                     POLLUTANT CON
                     CENTRATIONS)
                                  Figure 2.5-1.   RAP A Cost/Benefit  Model; Interface Module.

-------
 and  CONVRT  processes  these  decks,  one  at  a  time, with  the  census  tract




 attribute data.   However, the  capability  for multiple  runs exists which




 permits  the processing  of a number of  decks in  sequence.   The  technique




 for  doing this  is detailed  in  Appendix E.




       The user must also provide the Interface  Module  with an  association




 (in  punch card  form)  of specific receptor points with  each census tract  for




 purposes of  determining the census tract  air quality  (see  Appendix E  for




 card formats).  The next sub-section elaborates the analytical techniques




 used to  form the  census tract/receptor point association.  Figure 2.5-2




 indicates the relation  of the  association procedure in the overall flow  of




 the  RAPA Cost/Benefit Model.




 2.5.2  Analytical Technique for Estimating  Census Tract Air Quality




      The Regional Strategies Segment of IPP computes air pollutant concen-




tration values at specified receptor points distributed over the region.




Up to 225 regularly spaced  receptors may be specified, together with 50




individually located receptors.  These 'receptor locations are used for




both particulates and  sulfur oxides.   The regularly spaced receptors are




defined by intersections in a grid pattern having equidistant vertical and




horizontal spacing.  The grid pattern is determined by the location of its




southwest corner  (with respect to the origin of the source coordinate sys-.




tern), the number of rows and columns of receptors,  and the distance between




adjacent rows and columns.   Figure 2,5-3 shows the relationship between  the




receptor points and census  tracts for Washington,  D.  C.  The regular grid




system (indicated by solid circles) has been divided into a "coarse" system




covering the entire SMSA and a "fine" system covering the central city.




The individually specified receptors  are indicated  by empty circles.   Figure




2.5-4 is a close-up view of  the central city and the "fine" grid system.







                                     54

-------
CONTROL STRAT-
EGIES SUMMARIES
(CONTROL COSTS
GROUND LEVEL
POLLUTANT CON
CENTRATIONS)
  Fieure 2.5-2.   RAPA Cost/Benefit  Model;  Receptor Point  Census  Tract  Association.

-------
                         CELL'S TKAnS IN THE \V*SI'.:>T. iVN «-"


                     •j'tf               •*
0  Location of  receptor point and receptor point  number, Ki.,
9  Regular grid system receptor
o  Specially  located recrptor

                Figure 2.5-3.   Receptor Points  Superimposed on
                               Census Tracts of  the  NCIAQCR.
                                      56

-------
           li^M"-<«>y^'^'-r*Y
Figure 2.5-4.
Receptor  Points Superimposed on Census Tracts of the NCIAQCR,
Close-Up  View of Central City.
                                   57

-------
       A procedure was developed for relating the receptor point pollutant

 concentration data as calculated by IPP to mean values for the census tracts.

 These mean values are referred to as the census tract pollutant concentra-

 tions (CTPC).  It is assumed that these mean values are representative of

 the actual concentrations anywhere in the census tract, i.e.,  that the

 pollutant concentrations are reasonably homogeneous over the area of a

 census tract*  The procedure uses the existing receptor grid of IPP and the

 census tract data in the format presented in Appendix E.

       An obvious  procedure would involve re-orienting the receptor grid

.'system so that  the receptor coincides  with the centroid of each census

 tract.   These centroidal concentration values  could then be used to

 approximate the census  tract pollutant concentrations.   However,  since the

 number of census  tracts generally exceeds the  maximum number of 50 individ-

 ually located receptors, the special multiple  run  procedures would have to

 be employed in  the Air  Pollutant Concentration Segment of IPP  in order to

 build up a sufficient number of special receptors*.  These procedures signi-

 cantly increase costs in operational computer  time.

       The NCIAQCR,  with 1960 census data,  requires 362 special  receptor

 points.   This number  would increase to 650 receptors when the  1970 census

 data is  reported,  while a region the size of New York City would require

 on the order of 3,000 special receptors.   Even if  an initial redesign of

 IPP were made to  accept up to 275 or more special  receptors in  a single

 run of the Air  Pollutant Concentration Program,  the additional  cost of

 computer time would be  excessive.   Instead,  the  analytical procedure des-

 cribed here was developed to form the  interface.
 *The procedures for accomplishing this are detailed in Section 3.2 Air
  Quality Implementation Planning Program, Vol. II.
                                     58

-------
      The method that was employed in determining the CTPC for each census

 tract is as follows:

      (1)  Draw the Universal Transverse Mercator grid system which
           is used in IPP on the census tract base map for the region.

      (2)  Using this reference grid, locate the receptor points on
           the base map.  These receptors locations are provided in
           the Regional Strategies Segment output (see Section 2.2).

      (3)  Examine one census tract and visually determine the
           combination of receptors that would  appear to yield
           the most, representative air quality  for the census
           tract (isopleth plots can provide valuable assistance
           here).

      (4)  List the receptor numbers of the receptor points that
           were selected for the census tract on a specially
           prepared data form (Appendix E).

      (5)  Calculate the CTPC by taking the arithmetic average of
           the pollutant concentration values of the selected re-
           ceptors.  This is done for both particulates and sulfur
           oxides.

      (6)  Repeat  the process for each census tract  in the air quality
           control region.

      This operation is conducted once for each AQCR by the researcher

before the cost/benefit analysis of the region  is begun.   In practice,

after the special  forms of Step (4),  above,  have been completed, the

information is placed on punch cards (format in Appendix E).  Step  (5) is

then automatically performed by the CONVRT module of the RAPA Cost/

Benefit  Model.

      The six steps of the entire procedure are illustrated below for  a

hypothetical example.  Consider the following two situations:
                                     59

-------
   CENSUS TRACT A
                        CENSUS TRACT B
                  RP-21	
                    CONTROL STRATEGY RESULTS:
Receptor     Calculated       .,
Point        Air Quality (ug/m )

RP-21            78.6
RP-23            79.5
RP-25            77.9
              Receptor
              Point

                RP-10
                RP-13
                RP-15
                RP-17
Calculated       ~
Air Quality (ug/m )

    97.0
    98.7
    97.5
    98.2
      For Census Tract-A, the researcher will likely choose the three

Receptor Points RP-21, RP-23 and RP-25 to represent the census tract.

He will then list these receptor points on the prepared form.  This same

combination of receptor points will be used each and every time a strategy

is evaluated using the C/B model.  To compute the air quality for Census

Tract-A, the following equation is used:
             (CTAQ)
(AQ)
    21
                                          (AQ)
                                              25
                                   n
      where:
            •  (CTAQ)  = Air quality for Census Tract-A.
               (AQ)n, (AQ)23, and
                    Air Quality for the
                    Receptor points RP-21,
                    RP-23,  and RP-25,
                    respectively.
                                   60

-------
             •  n = Number of receptor points  chosen to represent

                    Census Tract-A.



 For the example, then, the calculated air quality for Census Tract-A is:




                 (CTAQ)=78'6+79'5+77-9  -  78.7 .g/m3
                      A           3





        For Census Tract-B, the researcher will probably choose receptor



 point  RP-15  to  represent  the census tract.  Since RP-15 is relatively



 near the centroid of  the  census tract, it will likely give a better



 estimate of  the census tract than will any combination of the four



 receptor points shown.  Following the procedure illustrated for Census



 Tract-A, the calculated air quality will be as follows:
                                  _    g_ .             _

                    (CTAQ)_ -- —  = ^-^-  =97.5 ug/mJ

                         B     n        1



2.5.3  Output



       The  interface module produces both printed tables and punched card



  output.  The  information contained in both is essentially the same, al-



  though  the formats are different.  Figure  2. 5 -.5  shows a sample of the



  tabulated  data produced by CONVRT; it includes the census tract identifi-



  cation, political jurisdiction number (Washington, D.C. = 1, Montgomery



  County  = 2, Prince Georges County = 3, Arlington County = 4, Fairfax



  County  = 5, Alexandria = 6, Falls Church = 7), pollutant concentration



  (micrograms per  cubic meter) and the background concentration value*.



  In  addition,  a tabulated summary of the receptor point pollutant concen-



  trations that were supplied as input is available to the user.  The



  output  table  is  optional, and can be surpressed .
  *  For  a  discussion of  the background pollutant concentration, see Chapter

    4-   Air  Quality Implementation Planning Program. Vol. I.



                                    61

-------
                                              TRACT PULLUTAKT CONf£Nr«4TIUNS  — ' HUTPUT
N>
wASHi;£H
CUUIC (ttrEK)
.WHSER POLITICAL CHSSoS PULLUf AM .CONCeNfftA f ION
JURIS-HCr |;1M T-IACr IH1C«||GR**S >•?« CU'ilC -^fc-O
1.
2
S
6
7
S
n
1 1
1 4
14
1 %
16
1 7
13
23
21 .
22
1
2
1
S
6
7
8
0
10
1 1
12
1 i
6*. 73
61.08
61.01
63.3".
65.1-1
56. bd
56.65
5*. PS
56.R3
SI. 77
fc 1 . 4O
Is ":"
16


^tl. 78
                  Figure  2.5-5.   Output Format-Tabulated Census Tract  Pollutant Concentration Data.

-------
2.6  DAMAGE COSTS MODULE



      The Damage Costs Module (DAMAGE)  illustrated in Figure 2.6-1 employs



a general purpose linear damage function to calculate annual damage costs



on a per capita basis as a function of  pollutant concentration.   A separate



function is used for particulates and sulfur oxides,  but the general form



is the same:



                    dc  =  Ax  CTPC  + AQ,                         (2.1)



where d  is the annual per capita damage cost (dollars/year)
       c


      CTPC is the census tract pollutant concentration



      (A ,A ) are coefficients which are provided to the program and vary



with the pollutant (particulates or S0_).



      The total damage cost on a census tract basis is then calculated



from:



                   D   =  POP  x d ,                                  (2.2)



where D  is the census tract damage cost (dollars/year) on an annual basis



      POP is the total population of the census tract.



The coefficients (A ,A ) provide a measure of the costs of damage to the



physical health of the population, residential property, materials and



vegetation.  A discussion of the Pro Forma Damage Functions used in the



NCIAQCR demonstration and their derivation is provided in Appendix C.




      The program can be easily modified to accept a general polynomial



damage function of the form:



      d  = A  + A. x CTPC + A. x  (CTPC)2 + ... + A., x  (CTPC)N,
       col           i                    N


where all the coefficients  (A , A.. , ... , A_) and the order of the



polynomial, N, are provided as input data.  This will probably become a



desirable modification in the future, as more research is done on damage
                                    63

-------
                 COSTS SEGMENT
IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM (IPP)
    CONTROL STRAT-
    EGIES SUMMARIES
    (CONTROL COSTS,
    GROUND LEVEL
    POLLUTANT CON-
    CENTRATIONS)^
                                            'DAMAGE
                                             FUNCTION
                                             PARAMfTERS
                                                                            DAMAGE COSTS MODULE

                                                                                        i^
r*
                                                                                 DAMAGE
                                                                                 DAMAGE
                                                                                 COSTS
                                                                                 SUMMARY
                                                        COST/8ENEFIT ANALYSIS
                                                         (MANUAL PROCESSING)
                      Fieure 2.6-1.   RAPA Cost/Benefit  Model;  Damage Costs Module,

-------
functions,   However,  the linear form incorporated into the existing module
is adequate for the state-of-the-art.
2.6.1  Input
      The Damage Costs Module requires the following inputs:
      (1)  The slope  and intercepts (A. ,  A ) for the linear damage function.
           The input  is in the form of a  punched card (format in Appendix).
      (2)  The card deck of census tract  attributes for the region.  This
           deck contains all the census tract attributes listed in
           Appendix E and provides common input for all of the
           analysis modules.  However, each module reads into core
           only those attributes required for the particular  analysis.
           DAMAGE only stores the total population and census tract
           identification numbers.

      (3)  The census tract pollutant concentration data deck produced by
           the interface module.
      These inputs are required separately in separate runs for each
pollutant/strategy combination.
2,6.2  Output
      The output of the Damage Costs Module includes two tabulated summaries
of the input data:
      (1)  Census tract attributes (identification number and total
           population).
      (2)  Census tract pollutant concentrations.
Both of these input data summaries are optional and can be surpressed.


      The principal output consists of tabulated values of exposure and
damage costs for each census tract identified by number and political
                                     65

-------
jurisdiction.  The damage costs in dolars per year are calculated from



equation  C2.2).  The exposure, E. , of census tract "i" is defined as:
                   e   =  CTPC  x POP                                (2.3)



                          (people-micrograms per cubic meter)



For each political jurisdiction, total and arithmetic averages are given



for the damage costs and exposure, i.e., the following quantities:



                   totals,


                           NPJ           NPJ



                          X  °ci *   I]  V                    (2'4)





                   averages


                                  NPJ                 WPJ
                                         n      1    T
                                         Dci '  NPJ   4^  ei '
                                                                     (2.5)

                                  1=1     "••'•   "i0    1=1



where NPJ is the total number of census tracts in the political jurisdiction.



An additional quantity, the pollutant concentration weighted with respect to



population, pc, is given for each political jurisdiction.  This quantity is



calculated:
                           NfJ


                   ~                '                               (2.6)
The corresponding quantities for (2.4),  (2.5)  and (2.6)  are also given on



a region-wide basis, i.e., the summations are  performed  over all census



tracts.  Figure 2.6-2 shows a sample of  this damage costs summary output.
                                    66

-------
                 TRACT OAMACE rnsT
   WASHINGTON. n.r.. EXISTING -- sin EUR DIOXIDE
NUMBER

12*
126
127
129
110
111
112
111
"t
136
118
1*0
141
141
45

344
1*5
146
147
1*8
3*9
151
151
154
1)9
157
158
159
160
361
16?
16}
20

164
165
166
3

366

POL IT ICAI CENSUS
JURISDICTION TRACT
26
77
23
29
10
11
12
11
is
16
17
18
19
40
41
42
41
44
43
POLITICAL JURISDICTION TOTALS
POLITICAL JURISDICTION AVERAGES
POLITICAL JURISDICTION AIR QUALITY
6 1
6; 2
6 1
6 *
6 5
6 6
6 7
6 4
6 9
6 10
6 1 1
6 12
6 13
6 I*
A 15
6 16
6 17
6 11
& 1 9
6 20
POLITICAL JURISDICTION TOTALS
POLITICAL JURISOICTION AVERAGES
POLITICAL JURISOICTION AIR QUALITY
7 1
7 2
7 1
POLITICAL JURISDICTION TOTALS
POLITICAL JURISDICTION AVERAGES
POLITICAL JURISOICTION AM QUALITY
EXPOSURE

1B5797.
7 1744R.
208235.
24*27! .
25482*.
751 RSB.
227976.
552622.
160903.
607554.
180097.
771 7Q1.
383*78.
282928.
178903.
10R656.
156264.
91747.
17544911.
278776.
47.82
1 mill. '
121194.
181645.
2018*.
321*59.
193*57.
1 15312.
1*0*50.
2*5716.
38975*.
521011.
250777.
257125.
747757.
261378.
56798.
342126.
146116.
42 Ha i.
*896983.
744449.
51.81
1 1 1 1 79 .
?70';55.
98520.
482254.
160751.
47.11
REGIONAL TOTALS 129200000.
REGIONAL AVERAGES
REGIONAL AIR QUALITY
151005.
65.05
DAMAGE
COST
48 909 .
l»4771.
111328.
(12194.
11*796.
111702.
120611.
»<172?6.
95782.
170917.
4*068.
145 1O4.
209227.
>lhOOO.
IM112.
93391.
47795.
H15HH.
41175.
4T119H7. .
1*9600.
(WEIGHTED W.R.T.
75»45.
66386.
<>91 H4.
10812.
176620..
105614.
74SHI .
146712.
1&R41R.
117717.
2LB446.
295029.
116141.
139793.
113419.
1*1*91.
31M2.
187932.
774S4.
211187.
2695037.
114757.
(WEIGHTED W.R.T.
60612.
144533.
51020.
258169.
16056.
(WEICHTE3 W.R.T.
71551808.
203961.
• WEIGHTED W.R. T.













_EO?.ULAIIOM











POPULATION)



POPULATIONI

POPULATION!
Figure 2.6-2.   Sample Damage Costs  Summary  Output
                           67

-------
2.7  PROPERTY VALUE MODULE

      The Property Value Module (PROP) calculates residential property

values using the Anderson-Crocker regression equation [Anderson-and Crocker,

1970].  The relation of PROP in the flow of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model is

shown in Figure 2.7-1.  This equation is a multi-linear function of the form

      In (PV) = a + b In (PSN) + C In (PPT) + d In (MFI)

                + e In (DLP) + f In (OLD) + g In (NWT)

                + H In (DIS) + i In (MRM) .                             (2.7)

PV is the average residential property value per household in the census

tract, of which the module calculates four types:

      •   Type I - Median property value of owner occupied housing
          (MPV) is calculated for all census tracts having more than
          one person per acre (see Table B.l-1 in Appendix B for
          explanation of MPV).

      •   Type II - Median property value of owner occupied housing
          (MPV) is calculated for all census tracts having more than
          one person per acre and for which single family residential
          units constitute at least 75% of all housing units.

      •   Type III - Median gross rent of renter occupied housing (MGR)
          is calculated for all census tracts having more than one per-
          son per acre (see Table E.l-1 in Appendix E for explanation
          of MGR).

      •   Type IV - Median contract rent of renter occupied housing
          (MCR) is calculated for all census tracts having more than
          one person per acre (see Table B.l-1 in Appendix B for
          explanation of MCR).

      The independent variables:

      •   DIS - Distance of census tract from central business district
          (intersection of Pennsylvania Avenue and K Street in Washington,
          D. C.).

      •   DLP - Number of dilapidated housing units.

      •   MFI - Mean family income.
                                     68

-------
                                 BENEFITS MODEL SEGMENT
                                                                             POPULATION 1 HOUSING DATA
                                                                                           CENSUS
                                                                                           TABLES
                                                                                           AND MAP
                                                                                   MANUAL
                                                                                   PROCESS-
                                                                                    ING
                                                                              CENS
                                                                              TRACT ATTRI-
                                                                              BUTE DATA
MPLEMENTATIQN PLANNING PROGRAM (IPP)
             RECEPTOR
             AIR QUALITY
             DATA
CONTROL STRAT-
EGIES SUMMARIES
(CONTROL COSTS,
GROUND LEVEL
POLLUTANT CON-
CENTRATIONS)
                                        PROPERTY VALUE MODULE
                                                      m
                                                                                                                    PROPERTY ASSIGNMENT MODULE
                                              PROPERTY
                                              VALUE
                                              SUMMARY
                                                                                DAMAGE COSTS MODULE

                                                                                  I
                                          DAMAGE FUNCTIONS
                                             DAMAGE
                                             FUNCTION
                                             PARAMETERS
                                                          COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS
                                                          (MANUAL PHOCESSING)
                   Figure 2.7-1.   RAPA  Cost/Benefit Model;  Property  Value  Module,

-------
      •   MRM - Median number of rooms in a housing unit.

      •   NWT - Number of housing units occupied by nonwhite.

      •   OLD - Number of housing units over ten years old in 1959.

 are all  included in the list of census tract attributes in Table B.l-1,

 Appendix B.  The two remaining variables in equation (2.7) are:

      •   PPT - Annual arithmetic mean suspended particulates, i.e.,
          the particulate concentration as calculated by CONVRT
          (micrograms per cubic meter).

      •   PSN - Annual arithmetic mean sulfation (milligrams per 100
          square centimeter).

The CONVRT module supplies the annual average SO. concentration (at ground

level) in micrograms per cubic meter.  Consequently, there is a need to

convert these values to the sulfation rate (made by the lead peroxide

candle or plate technique).  This is accomplished through the following

relations:

      Average SO  Concentration (parts per million) = K x sulfation rate
                                                      (yg/100cm2)

      Average S0_ Concentration (pg/m3) = 2660 x average SO- Concentration
                                          (parts per million)

K is the sulfation rate constant.   Experimental data indicates that K is a

function of temperature, humidity, other pollutants present and other factors.

However, the functional dependence is unknown.   On the basis of published

data,  0.020 <_ K <_ 0.050.  A commonly accepted value (used in this  study) is

just the median of this range, i.e., K = 0.035.

      The coefficients (a,b,c,d,e,f,g,h,i)  are the regression coefficients.

These values have been determined by Anderson and Crocker for the  Washington,

D.C. SMSA, the St.  Louis SMSA and the Kansas City SMSA using a least squares
                                      70

-------
 regression analysis of  the 1960 census data and 1967 air quality data.

 This temporal mismatch  is a deficiency.  However, 1970 census data will not

 be published for a year or so and 1960 air quality data is non-existent.

 In fact, the 1967 data* is itself minimal and coarse compared to the census

 tract scale.  The sulfation, for example, is given in only four levels:

      •   <0.6 VJg/100cm2-day

      •    0.6 - 1.0

      •    1.1 - 1.5

      •   >1.5.

The baseline (Existing)  conditions in the present  analysis  employed 1969

air quality data.

      The existing version of PROP does not determine the regression coeffi-

cient independently; these must be supplied as input data.   A desirable

addition to the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model at some future date would be a

Regression Analysis Module which would accept the census tract attributes

and contemporaneous (i.e., existing) air quality data and calculate the

values of the coefficients by the method of least squares.

      The independent variables of equation (3.7)  include only a few of the

census tract attributes listed in Table 2.3-1.

      Anderson and Crocker did perform regression analyses  on a number of

other potentially significant parameters, including crime rate, tax rates,

per capita school expenditures, measures of neighborhood homogeneity with
Implementation Plan for Controlling Sulfur Oxide and Particulate Air Pollu-
 tants.   Prepared for Health Services Administration, Department of Human
 Resources, Government of District of Columbia,  Contract No.  70170, TRW
 Systems Group.

                                     71

-------
respect to educational level and occupation, educational attainment measures,




population and residential unit density, proportion of units in each tract




having basements, etc.  These additional variables were found not to be




statistically significant for the purposes of property value.




      As might be expected,  the coefficients b and c of the pollutants




were found to be negative in all cases.   Consequently, the Anderson-Crocker




equation is a type of damage function for residential property values.




2.7.1  input




      The input data elements required by the program are as follows:




      (1)  Census tract attribute deck - the only attributes read by




           PROP are census tract number, POP, MIL, SFH, ALL, MPV, MGR,




           MCR, MFI, DLP, OLD, NWT, and MRM.




      (2)  Census tract pollutant concentrations for both SO  and particu-




           lates, i.e., a pair of strategy/pollutant concentration decks




           must be input.




      (3)  Sulfation factor, K (card input, format in Appendix).




      (4)  Four sets of regression coefficients (a,b,...,h,i) for the




           Anderson-Crocker property value equation.  One set is  required




           for each of the four types of property value (input card formats




           in Appendix F).




 2.7.2  Output




      The output consists of three optional (surpressed through JCL) sum-




maries of:




      (1)  The Anderson-Crocker equations for the four property value types.




      (2)  Census tract attributes listed in Subsection 2.7.1 above.




      (3)  The SO. and particulate concentrations for each census tract,




           identified by census tract number and political jurisdiction.






                                     72

-------
      The principal output consists of a tabulation of the four types of




property value, listed by census tract (identified by census tract number




and political jurisdiction).  However, if a census tract does not have at




least one person per acre, it is entirely excluded from the listing.   If




the remaining census tracts do not meet the criteria for any of the other




three types of property value, then a value of zero is entered for that




property value.  The table also includes the values for the exposure in




units of people-micrograms per cubic meter.  The exposure is given for both




S0? and particulates.  As in the output of the Damage Costs Module, totals




and arithmetic averages of the exposures are given on a political jurisdic-




tion and regional basis.  The average pollutant concentrations, weighted




with respect to population for each political jurisdiction and the region




are also given.  In addition, political jurisdictions and regional totals




and averages of all four property values are included.  A sample of this




output table is shown in Figure 2.7-2.




      For Types I and II property values, the political jurisdiction weighted




averages are calculated from:




                             NPJ




                                    PV. x OWN.





                   PV  =    4^T	                    (2.8)





                                   .OWN






where




      NPJ = number of census tracts in the political jurisdiction (for




            regional averages, sums are taken over all census tracts  in




            the region).




      OWN = number of owner occupied housing units in the census tract




            (see Table B.l-1, Appendix B).




                                     73

-------
               CENSUS TRACT PROPERTY VALUE
WASHINGTON, D.C.
NUMBER
POLITICAL
JURISDICTION

355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
17


364
365
366
3


273

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
POLITICAL
POLITICAL
POLITICAL
7
7
7
POLITICAL
POLITICAL
POLITICAL
REGIONAL
REGIONAL
REGIONAL










CENSUS
TRACT

12
'13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
JURISDICTION TOTALS
JURISDICTION AVERAGES
JUR



ISDICTION AIR OUALI
1
2
3
JURISDICTION TOTALS
JURI SDICTION "AVERAGES
JURISDICTION AIR OUALI
1 U I AL 5
AVERAGES
AIR ODALinr
EXPOSURE
SULFUR
DIOXIDE
523013.
250777.
257125.
242752.
263378.
56798.
342126.
146136.
421781.
4307625.
253390.
TV 53.71
113179.
270555.
98520.
482254.
' 160751.
TY 47.33
1OU2VU464.
396668.
- "66i 73
EXPOSURE
PARTICULATES

593023.
330677.
339049.
278228.
356825.
70952.
509145.
"203895.
473076.
5159936.
303526.
64.34
134237.
319118.
116086.
569442.
189814.
55.89
421548.
70.92
PROPERTY
VALUE
TYPE 1
20350.
20286.
19766.
20565.
13912.
2C710.
17237.
17641.
21098.
129845216.
20531.
(WEIGHTED
22945.
22866.
30688.
43564656.
24887.
(WEIGHTED
PROPERTY
VALUE
TYPE 2
0.
45304.
0.
50491.
27267.
0.
0.
0.
0.
166420192.
48617.
WITH RESPECT
62874.
56494.
103063.
122922832.
70221.
WITH RESPECT
a.aZ^fel^^B. VS 1 SOU JU4U.
22365. 66579.
(WEIGHTED WITH RESPECT
GROSS
RENT
TYPE 3
78.
84.
82.
87.
60.
89.
69.
74.
7tt.
1140867.
ai.
TO POPULATION)
96.
132.
157.
14C010.
132.
TO POPULATION)
I O 38 U \i . 1 
-------
      For Types III and IV property values, the political jurisdiction



weighted averages are calculated from:



                                NPJ
                                /     PV  x RENT.
                       PV  =  —i-i	                  (2.9)

                                NPJ



                                      RENT.
                                          i
where



      RENT = number of renter occupied housing units in the census tract



             (see Table B.l-1, Appendix B).
                                       75

-------
2.8  PROPERTY ASSIGNMENT MODULE




      The Property Assignment Module (ASSIGN)  determines census tract




residential property values under different conditions of ambient air




quality.  The role of the Property Assignment  Module in the RAPA Cost/




Benefit Model is illustrated in Figure 2.8-1.   The technique developed for




the Property Assignment Module is an extension of the analysis employed in




the Property Value Module*.





      Anderson considered the problem of correctly applying the Anderson-




Crocker regression equations for purposes of determining the benefits from




improved air quality resulting from a regional control strategy.  He states




that, "...the appropriate course of action is to treat property values as




though they appropriately measure the net productivity of each location and




to consider the whole land market in each (location) for which benefits are




to be estimated, whether or not...ambient air concentrations change for all




locations in the land market."   If a given control strategy produces no




changes in air quality for a given census tract, then (other independent




variables remaining fixed) the property values of that tract, as computed




from the Anderson-Crocker equations, will remain unchanged.  Consequently,




the direct application of incremental benefits to census tracts computed




from these regression equations  (i.e., from the Property Value Module),




will probably understate the benefits from improved air quality.  Anderson




observes that this direct method does not account for the shifts that will




take place in housing markets and only represents "the short-term benefits"
*Based on a procedure proposed by Robert J. Anderson - Private Communication.
                                     76

-------
CONTROL STRAT-
EGIES SUMMARIES
(CONTROL COSTS
GROUND LEVEL
POLLUTANT CON-
CENTRATIONS)
      Figure 2.8-1.  RAPA Cost/Benefit Model;  Property Value Assignment Module.

-------
 (i.e., the benefits that result before the housing market has reached a

 state of equilibrium after the improvement of air quality). Therefore, a

 procedure to predict the dynamic movements in the housing market that re-

 sult from improved air quality is required.

      The method  suggested by Anderson is an assignment technique where

 the household which is the highest bidder for a property will be assigned

 that property.  He based his procedure on the theoretical principles

 developed by Robert Lind in a paper "Land Market Equilibrium and the

 Measurement of Benefit From Urban Programs," illustrates the appropriate

 procedure for assigning households to properties*:

          "Let the relationship between property value, p,  income (I),
          and pollution (s) be given by the following equation (which
          is similar in form to those in Anderson-Crocker (1970)

                                P = I/s

          and consider a land market in which there are two locations
          and two households.  Let the households be designated rer-
          spectively as '!' and '2' and the locations designated as
          'a1 and 'b'.   Let the three tables below give the initial
          pollution and land market equilibrium situation in this
          hypothetical AQCR.
                                                             Bids
              Is                               a       b
          1   6     a     1                      1        6      (T)
          2  10     b     2                      2      ©      5

          Assigning unoccupied properties to the highest bidder who
          does not occupy some other property, equilibrium  prices
          are circled.

          Now consider ai> air pollution control program which lowers
          the level of pollution for location 'b' to .5.  The bids
          and equilibrium are

                                    Bids
                                 a        b

                           6    10      (20)
* Private Communication - R.  J.  Anderson "Comments  on Estimating the
  Benefits of Air Pollution Control Based On Property Value Studies of
  Anderson and Crocker."

                                     78

-------
          Calculating net benefits as the sum of the differences
          in net productivity for household 1 and 2 between the
          two equilibria, we have

                          (6 - 3) + (20 - 10) = 13

          Suppose we had not calculated this new equilibrium using
          the assignment problem model, but had instead for each
          location multiplied the change in pollution by the mar-
          ginal damage reduction.  Since pollution didn't change
          at 'a' we would have estimated zero benefits for 'a*  and
          benefits of approximately 10 for 'b', or total benefits
          of 10.  By not allowing activities to relocate, through
          the equilibrium model, so as to maximize their productivity,
          we reduce estimated benefits."

      Based on this simple example due to Anderson, a technique was

developed for determining "the equilibrium benefits" for the entire air

quality control region.  This method is now employed in  the Property

Assignment Module of  the RAPA Cost/Benefit Module.

2.8.1  Determination  of Equilibrium Property Values in the Property
       Assignment Module

      The following describes the principles employed in determining the

equilibrium property values, from the Anderson-Crocker Regression Equation

for all census tracts in a given air quality control region.   However, the

description is for conceptual purposes only.   Efficiency considerations of

computer storage and computation time as well as the desired form of the

output resulted in the programming of an entirely different algorithm for

the Assignment Module.  This algorithm, which involves a series of sorts,

can be extracted from the F0RTRAN program listing  (Appendix E).
                                    79

-------
      Consider the Anderson-Crocker Regression Equation:




          In PV - a + b In (PSN) + c In (PPT) + d In (MFI)




                -I- e In (DLP) + f In (OLD) + g In (NWT)




                + h In (DIS) + i In (MRM)




      All the independent variables except NWT (percent of housing occupied




by nonwhites) and MFI (mean family income) are physical descriptors of the




census tract and of more less permanent structures.  These descriptors




remain fixed to the census tract.  MFI, on the other hand is a characteris-




tic of the residents (or households) who can move about between census




tracts (or out of the region entirely).  NWT is a characteristic of the




residents to be sure, but its role is more ambiguous.  It may be argued




that NWT is also a characteristic of the census tract.   While NWT does




change for a given census tract, these shifts generally develop over a




longer time scale than is characteristic of the movement of individuals.




Factors such as Group Cohesiveness, valid discrimination, occupational




specialties, etc. contribute "inertia" to NWT.  Consequently, for the




purposes of the present study, it has been considered as a property of the




census tracts themselves.




      We next form the dummy variable, DV, given by the relation:




          In (DV) = In (PV) - d In (MFI)                              (2.10)




      DV is essentially a property of the census tracts (i.e., independent




of household).




      Noting that equation (2.9) is equivalent to




          DV--SL.        ,                                          (2.11)
                                     80

-------
      We next form the row matrix:
      by calculating  DV for all N census tracts in the region, and



      sorting, so that:
DV, >DV.
  J-    2
                         DVM.
                           N
      Similarly, we form the column vector:
                           (MFI y
                 X  =
                           (MFI/



      by calculating (MFI)  for all N census tracts, and sorting,



      so that:
                 MFI,  MFI0> ... >MFIX1
                    12          N
      The square matrix PV.. is then calculated:
           DV  =  X x Y =
                   U
                           PVN1 PVN2
      and the elements are given by:
 PViJ • Xi
                 PV
                                     . . .  PV
                                           IN
                                 NN
                                                                       (2.12)
                                                                       (2.13)
                                                                      (2.14)
                                                            (2.15)
                                                            (2.16)
                                                                      (2.17)
      It is clear that, the diagonal elements (i = j) represent property



values calculated from the Anderson-Crocker equation:




          PVii = PVi' and that


PV   > PV  >...> PV  .   The first diagonal element PV  ,  in fact, represents
                                    81

-------
  the value obtained from matching the highest mean family income with the




  highest valued tract (i.e., highest value of DV).  Similarly, the second




  element PV_2 in the diagonal represents the second highest MFI in the




  region combined with the second highest valued tract, etc.




        These quantities represent the equilibrium property values attained




  by assuming complete free mobility of households and allowing highest




  incomed families to bid on the highest valued property in the marketplace




  un-encumbered by other considerations.




        The Assignment Module calculates the Type I property values of all




  census tract based on these equilibrium conditions*.  These values are




  also referred to as "bids after shift."  The module also calculates the




  Type I property values without population shifts (i.e.,  the values calcu-




  lated in the Property Value Module).   These are also referred to as "bids




  before shift."





  2.8.2  Input




        The input data required by the Assignment Module consists of the




  following:




        (1) Census tract attributes (card deck).   As in the other




            modules, only specific attributes are read into core;




            these are census tract numbers, POP,  MIL, MPV, MFI,




            DLP, OLD, NVT, DIS, MRH.




        (2) The sulfation factor K (card format identical  with




            format for Property Value Module).




        (3) Complete set of Type I regression coefficients (card




            format identical with format for Property Value Module).




        (4) Two census tract pollutant  concentration card  decks (i.e.,




            a pair of SO  and Particulate Strategies).
*The algorithm used here needs further work; see cautionary note in Section 3.3.





                                      82

-------
2,8.3  Output




      The output of the Assignment Module consists of a series of tabulated




summaries.   These include the optional input data summaries:




      (1) The Type I Anderson-Crocker Regression Equation




          and coefficients.




      (2) The listing of census tract attributes used by the




          module, identified by census tract number.




      (3) The census tract pollutant concentrations for SO




          and particulates,  identified by census tract number




          and political .jurisdiction.










The  principal  output,  however,  is  a  tabulated list of  property values




 identified by  census  tract  (census tract number  and  political jurisdiction).




These property values  are:



          (a)  The median property value (MPV)  for the census




               tract as provided in the census  data (in dollars).




          (b)  The property value bid before shift (i.e,, Type I




               property value as calculated in  PROP)  in dollars.




          (c)  The property bid after shift (i.e., the equilibrium




               value) in dollars.




          (d)  The difference in property value bid (bid after




               shift - bid before shift) in dollars.




      In addition, there are totals and averages for each of  the  four




property value outputs.  These are provided in  both a political jurisdiction




and regional basis.  A sample of  this output table is  provided in Figure



2.8-2.
                                     83

-------
                                                CENSUS TRACT PROPER!V VALUE BIDS
00
WASHINGTON, C.C.
NUMBER




257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
263
269
270
17
271
272
275
3

273

POLITICAL
JURISDICTION



6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
b
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
7
7
7
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
REGIONAL TOTALS
REGIONAL AVERAGES
CENSUS
TRACT



6
7
a
9
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
13
19
20
TOTALS
AVERAGES
1
2
1
TOTALS
AVERAGES


MEDIAN
PROPERTY
VALUE


15899.
11396.
22093.
23295.
23295.
12900.
12695.
14300.
16301.
11204.
23295.
13*94.
14003.
16899.
1C1321712.
16100.
18306.
18106.
26108.
35373824.
20208.
4171012416.
17506.
PROPERTY
VALUE
BIO
BEFORE
SHIFT
20971.
17119.
20628.
28263.
22067.
20350.
20286.
19766.
20565.
13912.
20710.
17237.
17641.
21098.
129845216.
20531.
22945.
22866.
30686.
43564656.
24887.
532946124B.
22365.
PROPERTY
VALUE
BID
AFTER
SHIFT
19081.
22830.
22138.
19839.
22220.
21590.
20983.
18588.
11519.
28321 .
19808.
24651.
24353.
24713.
138932352.
2 1968.
14677.
23507.
23747.
3632 1904.
21035.
4879036416.
• 2047S.
DIFFERENCE
IN
PROPERTY
VALUE
BID
-1890.
5711.
1510.
-8424.
153.
1239.
697.
-1177.
-9046.
1441U.
-902.
7414.
6712.
3615.
9087147.
1437.
-8268.
641.
-6941.
-6742747.
-3852.
-450462720.
-1890.
                                     Figure 2.8-2.  Sample  Output, Assignment Module.

-------
2.9  PROPOSED MODEL ADDITIONS




      Experience with the Benefits Model Segment of the RAPA Cost/Benefit




Model has already suggested desirable model additions for the future.  The




highest priority should be given to modifying the program to accept NTIS




magnetic tapes.




      These tapes offer the same advantage as the census tables, i.e.,




standardized formats, reliable data, completeness, and consistency between




tapes.  However, there is the similar problem of preliminary data reduction




to obtain the information in the form of the census tract attributes listed




in Table B.l-1, Appendix B.  However, the data reduction could easily be




performed automatically with development of an additional module for the




RAPA Cost/Benefit Model.  An additional disadvantage, however, is that




tapes have been produced according to standard location areas and not




standard mean statistical areas.  Consequently, to compile complete infor-




mation for the Washington, D. C. SMSA, for example, would require the




acquisition of three NTIS tape reels (PB-170-773, PB-170-779 and PB-170-781)




Nevertheless, it is now felt that the advantages here outweigh the disad-




vantages and that the additional module for the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model




should be developed to read NTIS tapes and perform preliminary data pro-




cessing, if any extensive application of the model beyond the present study




is contemplated.
                                    85

-------
                          3.0  MODEL DEMONSTRATION



      The National Capital Interstate Air Quality Control Region (NCIAQCR)

was selected for the demonstration because of the availability of control

strategy analysis results from IPP.  As has been described in Section 2.0,

both IPP and the Benefits Model Segment must be run to provide the basis

for a cost/benefit analysis; control costs and air quality estimates come

from IPP, and the benefits,  measured in dollars, come from the Benefits

Model Segment.

      In the sections below, the census tract and pollutant concentration

data inputs to the Benefits  Model Segment which were used in the demonstra-

tion are described in detail.  The resulting outputs, which describe the

direct damage costs, the property value impacts and the property value im-

pacts with market adjustments*, are also described.  The interpretation of

these results is currently underway and will be the subject of a forthcoming

Office of Air Programs report.

3.1  INPUT DATA FOR THE NCIAQCR DEMONSTRATION

      The inputs which are common to all three modules in the Benefits Model

Segment are described below; those which are specific to a given module are

described in subsequent sections, i.e., the damage function inputs are dis-

cussed in Section 3.2, Estimation of Direct Damage Costs, and the property

value inputs (regression coefficients) are descussed in Section 3.3,

Estimation of Property Value Effects.
*
 As a result of looking at Assignment Model results which were contrary to
 what was expected, it was realized that an important capability, i.e., that
 of accounting for the variation in the number of owner occupied dwellings
 from one census tract to another,  has been omitted from the model.   This
 capability is currently being incorporated into  the model.

                                    87

-------
 3.1.1  Census Data

       The population and housing data for  the  Washington,  D.  C.  SMSA was

 based on the 1960 Decennial Census of Population  and  Housing.  The  primary

 source was a magnetic tape prepared as a part  of  the  research  described  by

Anderson and Crocker [1970].  However, certain additions and modifications

to these data were made, based on the printed census tables published by

the Bureau of the Census [I960].   Figure 3.1-1 presents the complete list of

 census attributes employed in  this study for all  366  census  tracts  of  the

 Washington,  D.  C.  SMSA (these  attributes were  defined in Chapter  2.0).

 Those census tracts  for which  only population  is  listed  (second  column)

 were  input to the DAMAGE Module  only,  i.e.,  they  failed one  or both of the
                 V
 tests which  must  be  passed before  a census tract  is used as  input to the

 Property Value  or Assignment Module.

 3.1.2  Pollutant  Concentration/Strategy  Data

       A total of  ten strategies  were  tested  in the NCIAQCR cost/benefit

 demonstration.  Half  of these  applied to the control  of particulate emis-

 sions and  half  applied to  the  control of sulfur dioxide emissions.   The

 pollutant  concentration data corresponding to  these strategies were origi-

 nally produced  using the prototype version of  the Implementation Planning

 Program (Appendix  A)  for the Implementation Plan  prepared  by TRW for the

 Washington,  D.  C.  Region [TRW, August  1970].

       The  strategies  selected  for  comparison were:

       Particulate  Strategies

           •   Existing  Particulates  (1970) Air  Quality data for particulates
              under existing conditions throughout the region.  The  ground
              level particulate concentration isopleths for this situation
              are  shown in  Figure 3.1-2.  This  provides the baseline for
              particulate strategies.
                                    88

-------
                                                  TRtfT ATTRIBUTED	  INPUT
OO
VO
CENSUS
THACT
VIIMUFR
O001
0002
OOOl
0004
OOO5
0006
OOO7
00 OH
OOOQ
0010
OO 1 1
0012
no i <
0014
OO15
0016
O017
00 M
O019
0020
OO'l
0022
Oi)'30OI
0023002
Q074
0025
OO7<>
0027
002'
on 10
0031
OO37
0033
on 14
0035
O1 16
0037
O031
00 !••
0041
O042
0043
DO 44
0045
0047
TOTAL
POPULATION
5963.
5723.
6412.
1280.
77B5.
5486. .
BS44.
6235.
6715.
11696.
5203.
5213.
7BO1-
6549.
6177.
5458.
5B77.
92S4.
8536.
7525.
13753.
9471..
2134.
5497.
9710.
2732.
11556.
7O17.
5R31.
4517.
4163.
66OR.
9490.
6RS4.
2628.
4477.
6304.
5177.
5324.
76OI.
3430.
•901B.
4532.
3711.
2450.
6719- '
6400.
AREA IN
SQUARE
M II Ft
0.
0.
301.
0.
0.
320.
717.
0.
O.
819.
41O.
352.
n.
352.
0.
0.
4O1.
582.
357.
467.
29«.
295.
17'.
0.
179.
295.
0.
179.
177.
122.
64.
64.
179.
179.
357.
186.
177.
128.
178.
128.
1 R6.
0. .
243.
58.
5R.
64.
1 1 5.
109.
S 1 NCI F
FAMILY
HOUSING
0.
0.
1419.
0.
O.
1001.
788.
0.
O.
2317.
I11O.
968.
o.
1592.
0.
0.
1773.
838.
2O74.
1251.
7193.
1912.
BOB.
0.
1094.
1541.
O.
1905.
B97.
1157.
107.
734.
1717.
1316.
917.
410.
519.
115.
176.
164.
40B.
0.
641.
441.
710.
392.
646.
654.
ALL
HOUSING
UNI Tt
0.
0.
2555.
0.
O-
2262.
493O.
0.
O.
5497.
1747.
2208.
n.
2424.
O.
0.
2086.
3663.
2492.
2533.
4418.
2821.
171Q.
0.
1491.
2940.
O.
5070.
1368.
1959.
I77B.
1256.
1779.
2579.
1686.
838.
7718.
3422.
2468.
2B93.
3H1 7.
0.
4020.
2137.
1746.
761.
1644.
1865.
MEDIAN MEDIAN
PROPERTY
UAI IIF
0.
0.
17801 .
0.
O.
23202.
20090.
0.
0.
23506.
777
-------
                                         CENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTFS  —  INPUT
WASHINGTON.  P.C.
 CENSUS
          TOTAL
                  ABC 4 IN  SINGLE
 THACT
 N1IH9ER
        POPULATION
SQUARE
MILES
FAMILY   HOUSING
HOUSING   UNITS
                                           MEDIAN MEDIAN  MEDIAN  MEDIAN  DILAPIDATED  HOUSING  NONHHITE DISTANCE  HFIIAN.
PROPERTY
 VALUE
CROSS CONTRACT
RENT    RENT
FAMILY
INCOME
HOUSING
 UNI TS
 OVER 10  OCCUPIED BUSINESS ROO^S IN
YEARS OLD HJUSlNf.  UlStPICT  MMUSIHC
0048
0049
0050
0051
005*001
0052002
0051001
0053002
0054001
0054002
0055
0054
0057001
0057002
oosq
005^
0360 .
0061
006'
0063
0064
0065
0066
0067
0064
0069
0070
0071
007?
0073001
037*00;
007300J
0371004
0073005
0071006
0073007
0073001
O074ooi
0374302
0074001
037S
0076001
007600?
0076003
OJ770O1
0077002
0'177OO3
0077004
8485.
9000.
9234.
2*51.
6033.
1291.
' 5896.
1022.
2624.
fl31.
6180.
3797.
5378.
1404.
1499.
1870.
16°9.
60.
99.
2360.
3262. .
4732.
3005.
6850.
10199.
4R95.
5973.
4028.
5552.
4813.
. S.545,
4433.
5761 .
9045.
6649.
6374.
1044.
63'>3.
SI"?.
12592.
"265.
5931.
t>5t>l).
5340.
6217.
6235.
6419.
11396.
186.
115.
115.
0.
115.
0.
59.
0.
0.
0.
m.
160.
173.
0.
O.
0.
O.
O.
0.
0.
173.
179.
5n.
122.
339.
122.
115.
115.
282.
1453.
0.
28?.
394.
263.
173.
410.
0.
358.
299.
299.
275.
237.
b97.
173.
634.
1862.
5H2.
403.
1171.
926.
442.
0.
341.
0.
871.
0.
0.
0.
70O.
472.
218.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
452.
622.
417.
1043.
1196.
848.
885.
694.
556.
730.
0.
383.
30?.
706.
248.
512;
0.
584.
796.
4?2.
1123.
998.
9(.9.
721.
471..
1477.
352.
1723.
2399.
2954.
4064.
0.
3109.
0.
3839.
0.
0.
0.
3594.
2385.
3338.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
1004.
2055.
1342.
2026.
2251.
1261.
1641.
1126.
1415.
735.
0.
1662.
1687.
2530.
2411.
2387.
0.
1199.
1720.
3572.
3087.
2219.
2502.
2260.
2419.
1914.
7O1 8.
3178.
12100.
12296.
14003.
0.
13200.
0.
11696.
0.
0.
0.
19594.
21590.
22994.
0.
0.
0.
O.
0.
0.
0.
7303.
14898.
17908.
12900.
12900.
11696.
11696.
11499.
9799.
13200.
0.
12900.
13095.
12900.
12796.
13095.
0.
11696.
12296.
12394.
I IhQh.
12797.
15804.
19693.
12797.
14501.
12695.
13306.
69.
66.
65.
0.
74.
0.
76.
0.
0.
0.
74.
101.
79.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
64.
81.
69.
78.
76.
83.
71.
85.
61.
57.
0.
79.
91.
as.
87.
80.
0.
73.
91.
81.
91.
76.
93.
87.
77.
84.
77.
78.
60.
58.
60.
0.
71.
0.
71.
0.
0.
0.
68.
99.
77.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
O.
0.
54.
72.
64.
65.
64.
64.
62.
67.
55.
57.
0.
77.
89.
84.
86.
79.
0.
64.
73.
78.
74.
65.
78.
64.
69.
77.
74.
76.
3200.
3474.
3467.
I.
4163.
1.
5187.
1.
1.
1.
48O3.
78S6.
7R95.
•
•
•
2913.
5791.
53BR.
47B4.
5115.
4460.
4717.
4732.
2999.
5250.
1.
6136.
5745.
5100.
6387.
6477.
1.
3429.
5740.
5213.
5SHQ.
6464.
777B.
7959.
5796.
7990.
5779.
5687.
340.
102.
26.
1.
2 !

96.
47.
88.
*
•
•
•
35.
176.
3.
85.
31.
77.
126.
72.
81.
1.
1.
12.
71.
1.
1.
1.
1.
10.
3.
3.
84.
43.
? .
1.
5.
I.
1 .
8.
2292.
2925.
3855.
1.
3100.
1.
3429.
1.
I.
1.
3255.
1043.
3087.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
793.
1792.
12 77.
1984.
2135.
1248.
1561.
948.
795.
673.
1 .
1255.
922.
1199.
1697.
2122.
1.
874.
1105.
1119.
2373.
7019.
20t>5.
2120.
2156.
1498.
148h.
1912.
2213.
2657.
2485.
1 .
1232.
1.
663.
1.
1.
1.
683.
221.
94.
1.
1.
1 .
1 .
1 .
1.
929.
591 .
201.
1128.
1651.
H74.
974.
636.
1259.
78.
1.
42.
159.
434.
48.
31.
1.
1140.
U04.
3470.
772.
23.
17.
6.
339.
325.
R5O.
2861.
1.5
1 .5
2 .0
1.0
2.0
1.0
2.5
1.0
1.0
1.0
2 .5
3.0
2.5
.0
.0
.0
.0
. <_'
.0
.0
.5
0.5
0. 1
0.5
1.5
1 .0
0.5
1.0
1 .0
3.5
.1.0
3.5
3.0
4.0
4.O
4.5
1.0
l.b
2.0
3.0
2. '.
7.O
2. r>
3.0
2.0
3.0
3.O
3.5
?• T
7. 8
2. 3
1 .0
2. 3
1.0
2. 1
1.0
(.0
1.0
2. 1
7.7
2. 1
1.0
1.0
1.0
1. .3
1.0
1. '1
1. 'I
3.5
3s 3
3. 3
4. 4
4.4
5. 1
4.«,
'. . 7
4.3
<• . •)
1.0 .
1. 0
4.0
4.0
3. 4
3. 7
1.0
4. 1
4 . C
1. J
4. 'j
4. )
4. 4
4. 1
3.9
5. 7
4.0
4. (,
          Figure  3.1-1.   List of  Census Tract  Attributes for  the Washington,  D.  C.  SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
CFMSIIC TRACT ATTRIBUTES
INPUT
MASH, | NGTOCl . D.C.
CENSUS
TRACT
N'IMIFR
0077005
007POOI
0078 J32
OJ73003
OQ7R104
0078005
007R006
0079
n'lBo
0031
Oil 33
OJR4
0095
O IRS
OJ87
nnflqnni
OJ9R002
on 3?
0090
OO9I
0092
nr»o3
0094
009500?
0095004
DO 96
MICOJOI
M3COOO2
MUC0003
MQCOOO4
HQC0005
MOC0007
Miro.ion
"HC0009
_._1XOOLlQ_
HJCOOll
MWOOI 7A
*OC0012B
M3COO13
MOCOOI4
MC0015
•OC0016
M3COOI7
MIC 00 IB
TOTAL
POPULATION
6336.
Sill.
6654.
6027.
4736.
8233.
IOO57.
9557.
12185.
5597.
421R.
9R37.
7563.
7073.
37R2.
7201.
7495.
7631.
10732.
2387.
9711.
8055.
7654.
6015.
39SO.
7832.
4596.
10520.
7441.
2133.
4487.
3137.
7071.
1920.
3576.
4425.
4337.
5896.
6641.
13535.
R743.
3063.
S319.
6748.
9367.
5791.
77OR.
3839.
AftFA IN
SQUARE
Mil FS
237.
871.
525.
295.
179..
295.
474.
410.
166.
115.
179.
179.
115.
122.
741-
237.
461.
115.
1805.
2444.
7779.
346.
4in.
723.
461.
467.
410.
640.
O.
0.
27182.
34108.
75167.
0.
73O47.
1671.
30251.
1671.
2707.
1152.
5741.
13702.
27127.
29269.
7371.
704.
346.
231.
SINGLE
FAMILY
HOUSING
1149.
339.
1367.
820.
556.
1327.
1584.
1360.
1679.
727.
592.
1772.
1 199.
1174.
4P3.
1001.
401.
1234.
926.
494.
• 1494.
1079.
1475.
1542.
775.
1646.
1179.
2359.
O.
0.
1 192.
737.
557.
0.
937.
809.
i ion.
1193.
1232.
3143.
7O57.
824.
1353.
1806.
2345.
767.
659.
794.
ALL
HOUSING
UNI TS
1466.
1858.
1908.
1730.
11O7.
2338.
7374.
2785.
3O59.
1588.
2OIO.
2647.
7nnfl.
1669.
R9H.
1935.
71 97.
2141.
7443.
513.
2963.
2253.
7387.
1727.
I7R9.
2231.
1182.
3100.
0.
0.
I77O.
807.
557.
0.
937.
1266.
1140.
1460.
1924.
3153.
7345.
830.
1442.
1846.
2352.
1495.
79(14.
1235.
MEDIAN
PROPERTY
VAI UF
13004.
15199.
12594.
12296.
I4O03.
10797.
1 1B97.
13306.
17494.
12900.
I649R.
12100.
17100.
12296.
11696.
12797.
I779A.
13200.
12594.
13698.
14200.
13004.
I50O3.
16399.
I 44 OO.
14300.
17292.
16399.
0.
0.
172O6.
15306.
11802.
0.
137OO.
16597.
14501 .
13602.
17O01 .
14400.
1 7998.
24909.
19706.
21290.
28001.
18602.
153ft6.
16204.
MEOI AN
GROSS
RFNT
79.
75.
79.
79.
66.
85.
R2.
78.
7H.
73.
73.
77.
77.
80.
75.
84.
77.
78.
75.
I.
82.
78.
9O.
94.
RA.
79.
1.
104.
O.
0.
82.
64.
1.
0.
89.
76.
91.
96.
141.
136.
1.
83.
85.
1.
111.
R9.
95.
MEDIAN
CONTRACT
RFNT
66.
70.
66.
64.
56.
72.
66.
64.
63 .
65.
67.
67.
AA.
65.
6O.
74.
Al .
63.
AA.
I.
75.
70.
R3.
84.
82.
68.
9R.
0.
0.
6O.
45.
1.
0.
1 „
81.
55.
75.
107.
K37.
1.
66.
59.
1 .
110.
flA.
92.
MEU1AN
FAMILY
INCOMF
5151..
3936.
6595.
4569.
4537.
5345.
437O.
4717.
4005.
4760.
6051.
4573.
4777.
4694.
3519.
5172.
457R.
4994.
4944.
6621.
6614.
6342.
7O52.
8039.
67O1.
7692.
9721.
8193.
1 .
I.
6285.
5519.
5O49.
1.
5949.
6775.
5547.
6336.
7518.
8071.
RR04.
7919.
7646.
8095.
11 743.
8527.
6438.
8250.
Oil APIOATEO
HOUSING
UNITS
15.
6.
3.
26.
IO.
50.
1 1 .
86.
45.
34.
77.'
148.
77.
21.
246.
12.
40.
8.
2.
13.
24.
7.
4.
1.
14.
1 .
2.
1.
1.
64.
69.
13.
1.
105.
25.
R4.
56.
7H.
1.
14.
80.
99.
116.
76.
1.
44.
14.
HOUSING
OVER 10
YFARS ni n
978.
1284.
1671.
1373.
971 .
1722.
171 1.
2703.
2037.
1552.
1945.
2594.
1945.
1666.
HR7.
1845.
IR95.
209R.
3359.
490.
2746.
2057.
1903.
1558.
- n
6. 1
5.9
5. R
6.8
4.9
4. n
5. 6
Figure 3.1-1.   List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington,  D.C.  SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
vO
WASHINGTON
CFNSUS
. o.c.
TOTAL

AREA IN
TBACT POPULATION SQUARE
NJM3ER MILES
MOC0019
fOC0020
•oroo2i
"QC0022
"1C0023
MOC0074
•OrOIZS
••1COO 26
"1C0027
MOC0029
•OC0079
"or.0030
•OC0031
M1C0032
"OC0135
MDC0036
MOC0037
•1C0039
Micor>39
H-K004J
"•ic on 41
HQC0042
•OC0043
MOC0044
HOC0.146
M1CO047
M1C0049
MQC0050
MOC0351
MOCOOS2
MncooS3
MOC0055
-3C01S6
••1^0057
MIC o.i S3
"1C0360
POCOJ02
PSCOJO3
Pit 0,1 J5
PiCOOOa
3328.
4741.
6621.
6*42.
6748.
1639.
5932.
4443.
3443.
5090.
3645.
5141.
12003.
9797.
16334.
8955.
7927.
8796.
1220.
8275.-
5826.
4732.
2175.
S282.
. 6498.
9711.
4564.
4416.
6792.
1103.
4320.
4895.
4008.
2405.
3456.
4176.
4198.
7523.
9897.
4?47.
..8502. .
2700.
679.
5967.
10J1.
3304.
0.
141.
697.
237.
359.
467.
0.
0.
410.
320.
359.
979.
0.
1590.
\ 793.
1569.
599.
410.
353.
1228.
576.
1 107.
295.
416.
• 2369.
1050.
960.
320.
352.
0.
448.
64O.
410.
0.
449.
1152.
352.
0.
1 727.
3449.
0.
109S.
8931.
O.
29387.
n.
21403.

SINGLE
FAMILY
HOUSING
• 0.
641.
1599.
1327.
775.
1572.
0.
0.
1033.
996.
1466.
1002.
1325.
0.
3905.
2742.
1974.
2217.
253.
7092.
1268.
1232.
520.
1391.
1557.
7460.
1379.
1799.
551.
0.
1302.
1319.
1138.
0.
994.
1128.
1337.
0.
M06.
2700.
0.
699.
O.
1435.
0.
735.



ALL MEDIAN MEDIAN
HOUSING PROPERTY
UNITS VALUE
0.
1407.
1949.
2373.
2143.
0.
0.
1430.
996.
1504.
1014.
1375.
0.
2160.
. 3905.
2746.
7061.
2217.
355.
2096.
1732.
1738.
597.
1391.
1830.
2460.
1329.
1373.
2916.
0.
1318.
. 1457.
1138.
0.
.999.
1147.
1346.
0.
153S.
77OO.
0.
	 2902. 	
721.
O.
1460.
O.
798.
0.
17206.
19990.
19303.
18602.
18602.
0.
0.
22100.
19303.
76713.
18996.
17B01.
0.
17706.
17001.
13700.
17103.
15199.
18106.
19398.
18106.
31414.
18996.
18807.
27500.
22607.
72607.
78710.
21205.
0.
19092.
29792.
31288.
0.
26213.
33300.
23110.
0.
31508.
0.
14601.
16301.
0.
15199.
0.
13200.

MEDIAN
GROSS CONTRACT
RENT RENT
0.
97.
130.
1.
103.
127.
0.
0.
137.
1.
1.
I.
1.
0.
1.
148.
113.
1.
1.
1.
1.
109.
1.
1.
I.
169.
1.
1.
1.
105.
0.
154.
197.
0.
1.
0.
1.
0.
105.
1.
0.
105.
1.
O.
76.
O.
62.
0.
93.
10B.
1.
96.
121.
0.
0.
132.
1.
1.
1.
1.
0.
1.
116.
87.
•
•
10 .
*
14 .
• •
101.
0.
127.
150.
1.
0.
1.
0.
1.
0.
9<».
0.
91.
1.
O.
57.
O.
45.

MEDIAN
FAMILY
INCOME
1.
7793.
10322.
10384.
8160.
9500.
1.
1.
11004.
10107.
12607.
10158.
9054.
1.
8300.
9136.
7731.
8596.
8544.
7739.
9750.
9756.
12913.
10457.
9077.
12052.
10894.
12113.
13657.
7966.
1.
9927.
13684.
14429.
1.
13521.
17275.
11778.
9 '60.
14115.
1.
610h.
7016.
1.
7339.
5298.


DILAPIDATED HOUSING
HOUSING
UNITS
,
1.
100007.
1.
1.
3.
1.
1.
42.
4.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
48.
6.
2.
1.
15.
1.
16.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
2.
19.
1.
3.
•
•
3.
1.
42.
5.
1.
64.
73.
1.
80.
1.
54.

NUNWHI TE
OVER 10 OCCUPIED
YEARS OLD HOUSING
1.
481.
917.
1100.
1075.
1447.
1.
369.
732.
036.
657.
467.
I.
9.
267.
939.
737.
889.
122.
792.
902.
502.
405.
397.
327.
559.
873.
1026.
1741.
1.
1111.
697.
692.
964.
638.
11 29.
1.
«60.
519.
1.
141?.
368.
1.
805.
1 .
558.
1 .
5.
9.
2.
16.
15.
1.
77.
6.
a.
2.
9.
1.
7.
19.
113.
12.
12.
5.
36.
14.
18.
1.
1.
17.
16.
4.
5.
50.
1.
37.
14.
11 .
1 .
7.
27.
5.
1 .
55.
16.
I.
101 .
41 .
1.
795.
1 .
279.

DISTANCE
BUSINESS f
ni STRICT
1 .0
7.5
8.5
8.5
H.O
7.0
1.0
1.0
7.5
9.0
g.O
6.5
9.0
1.0
13.0
12.0
11.0
10.5
11.0
10.0
9.5
9.5
9.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.5
9.5
B.5
9.0
1.0
8.5
8.0
7.0
1 .0
7.5
3.0
0.5
1 . O
20. S
1.0
18.0
1. O
19.0

q
1-DI A'«
fl.J-'S IN
HTJS INC
4.4
4. 0
5.7
1. 0
1.3
5. a
6. 3
6. 7
b. i
S. 1
1. J
5 '.9
5. 3
5.9
5.7
5. 1
5.S
7. 1
6. 1
6. 1
6.6
t. 4
7. 3
I:':
s.o
7. O
7.4
1 . O
7. 3
7.5
»>. 1
1 . '1
s. r
T.'j
i . i
4.4
5. ?
1.0
S . ',
i . n
5. 1
                    Figure 3.1-1.  List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, D.C. SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
                                                  TBACT ATTRIBUTES —  INPUT
\O
OJ
WASHINGTON, n.f.
CENSUS
TnTAI
AH FA IN
TRACT POPULATION SQUARE
NUMBER MII FS
PGCOOO7'
PCC0009
PGC0009
PGC0010
p^.rooi i
PGC0012
PSC0011
P3C0014
pGcooi5
PGC0016
P-.COOl 7
PGC0019
PGC0019
P3C0020
pr.ron?!
PSC0022
P-.COO71
PGC0024
PGCOO25
P."C0026
PGC0027
PGC002S
PGCO029
PC. coo 30
PGC0031
p-;coo3>
p.-,<-oo 11
P3C0034
or.mnis
BGCOOli
PilCJ017
PGC0038
p-.roa 19
PGC0040
pr.roo4i
PGC0042
pcroo4i
P'iC0044
P1CJ045
P6COJ4e>
p-,r:v>4T
PGC0043
occi)049
P3C0050
_£CCOQ51 	
P'iCOJ52
P'.ronsi
PGCOOS4
1
2B4T.
1910.
161B.
4708.
1966.
8848.
7503.
9710.
1573.
4018.
6754.
11891.
9386.
4142.
4167.
5245.
75'S.
4974.
5009.
12S8.
4529.
4798.
5167.
4510.
4798.
2535.
3548.
5405.
7704.
124*4.
1271.
5569.
1673.
3103.
1HI6.
4910.
1H/.7.
2873.
. S64.»__
16-»2.
4610.
5223.
73S7.
5620.
4652.
5941.
7S1S.
2718.
21021.
0.
0.
372B3.
0.
13647.
• 53546.
10544.
256.
0.
344'4.
1280.
4892.
614.
1985.
2687.
544.
1856. .
557.
237.
295.
3617.
444.
410.
525.
0.
614.
604.
1S710.
7490.
32O.
640.
79S.
640.
677.
416.
17HO.
640.
0.
237.
75S.
0.
241.
480.
170.
416.
75O.
224.
SINC.I f
Al 1
FAMILY HOUSING
HOUSING UNI TS
636.
0.
O.
1021.
O.
2319.
1917.
2543.
897.
0. '
17O6.
3252.
2217.
305.
II IO.
12R9.
11 19.
1162.
' 968.
666.
1103.
1157.
»8O.
954.
721.
0.
7B9.
609.
S79.
3402.
796.
1384.
847.
647.
967.
1310.
564.
710.
0.
650.
1O75.
0.
577.
686.
574.
1189.
547.
626.
673.
0.
0.
1090.
O.
2373.
1984.
2579.
9O5.
0.
1715.
3816.
785R.
1488.
1 1 60.
1299.
70R4.
1360.. .
1596.
891.
1710.
1198.
15O3.
1030.
1O67.
0.
913.
1309.
6O7.
3415.
796.
1410.
993.
903.
967.
1319.
1 1 S7-
901.
0..
1131.
I4RS.
0.
54O.
1633.
IS75.
2010.
7*n.
B69.
MFnlAN MEDIAN
PROPERTY
WAI IIP
12797.
0.
O.
12296.
Q.
15994.
14400.
16204.
16199.
0.
I7&O&.
16B99.
1B19B.
15600.
1 HI Oh.
14603.
17001 .
14501.
142OO.
10405.
11204.
13400.
12695 .
10700.
118O7.
0.
11603.
11499.
9107.
16107.
11106.
15093.
145OI .
14101.
I4h01.
18695.
14100.
11305.
O.
11802.
1 1 R97.
0.
1799B.
17606.
I3O95.
15693.
159«Y. .
19206.
HFDI AN
GROSS CONTRACT
RFNT RFNT
1.
0.
0.
60.
O.
100.
9O.
118.
0.
1 .
. 103.
IO1.
85.
1.
1.
an.
92.
89.
93.
97.
1.
81.
75.
70.
0.
103.
1.
1 .
1.
1.
1.
91.
91.
1.
1.
Rfl.
83.
O.
88.
HI.
0.
1.
83.
85.
110.
1 .
96.
' 1.
0.
0.
48.
O.
78.
66.
86.
1.
0.
1 .
84.
91.
82.
1 .
1.
RR.
88.
B7.
84.
69.
1.
87.
53.
67.
0.
1O3.
•
•
9 .
8 .
»
7fc.
71.
0.
85.
77.
0.
82.
R5.
107.
1 .
92.
MFDIAN DM API DATED
FAMILY
INCOME
575O.
1.
1.
6708.
1 .
7801.
6714.
7943.
• B964.
1.
8519.
8201.
H071 .
56B7.
7716.
6891.
7fcft7.
7662.
7OS7.
5997.
6755.
6628.
6155.
4465.
5378.
1.
6967.
6802.
5591.
8226.
7966.
7856.
7B95.
7639.
7SR6.
11004.
7087.
6555.
1 .
6940.
7017.
1.
9674.
6953.
6H50.
8417.
71AI .
8630.
HOUSING
IINITI
53.
1.
1.
116.
128.
172.
60.
1.
1.
17.
3.
so.
10.
17.
55.
1 .
42.
16.
19.
88.
39.
18.
175.
31.
1.
12.
5.
175.
105.
1.
1.
5.
25.
4.
23.
1 1 .
9.
1.
15.
19.
1.
1.
4.
10.
1.
mi; si NT.
OVER 10
VFAR <; ni n
197.
1.
1.
644.
917.
932.
536.
797.
1.
4 70.
659.
1 1 9h.
1330.
191.
424.
hS5.
655.
11 14.
716.
937.
639.
59'.
763.
676.
1.
1 71.
16.
451.
946.
610.
232.
548.
754.
174.
870.
61 7.
H53.
1.
1000.
1400.
1.
47X.
1092.
191.
867.
f.00.
487.
NJNWHITF DISTANT": HFDIAN
OCCUPIED BUSINESS «03^S IN
HOIK 1 MT. DISTRICT HnilSlwr.
. 7O1.
1.
1.
327.
1 .
143.
70R.
127.
h.
1.
19.
15.
44.
8.
17.
142.
1 1 .
120.
1 1.
4.
77.
63.
112.
984.
1O27.
1 .
7.
5.
14R.
317.
R.
4.
5.
31 .
7.
30.
fll .
2.
1 .
6.
9.
1.
2.
1 I.
12.
17 -
6.
16. O
1.0
1.0
18.0
l.O
13.0
1 >.0
a.o
b.O
l.O
b.U
4.5
IS. S
6.0
7.O
H.U
6.S
4.0
4.0
4.U
.'.5 ..
6.b
5.5
5.i
5.0
1.0
6.5
7.5
1 J.'j
13.0
7.5
7.5
6.5
5.5
ft.S
5.5
5.0
4.5
1.0
S.O

5.5
.5.5 . . .
5.b
/,_•;
7.U
5.7
1. 0
1.0
5.4
1 . 0
5.6
5.7
5.6
5. 7
1.0
5.T
5.5
S. 5
3. 5
5.9
5.2
4.7
5.2
4.fc
4. 3
5. 1
5. 1
4.4
5.b
4.4
1 .0
5.5
5. 1
5. t
5. 7
5. 7
5. 3
5. 1
5.5
5. 1
6. ?
4. 4
5. >
..l.'J 	 .
4 . t:
',.7
1 .n
.6.1. .
4. 1
'l . 1 . ...
4. 9
5. 7
5. 7
                     Figure 3.1-1.  List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, D.C. SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
                                                             TRAfT ATTRIBUTES  —
            WASHINGTON. D.C.
             CENSUS
                      TOTAL
                               AREA IN  SINGLE
                                                 ALL
                                                        MEDIAN  MEDIAN  MEDIAN   MEDIAN DILAPIDATED  HOUSING  NDNWHI TE DISTANCE  M£0|AN
             TRACT
             NUMBER
                     POPULATION
SQUARE
MILES
FAMILY
HOUSING
HOUSING
 LIMITS
PROPERTY  GROSS CONTRACT
 VALUE    RSNT    RENT
FAMILY
INCOME
HOUSING
 UNITS
 OVER  10  OCCUPIED BUSINESS  ROOKS IN
YEARS  OLO HOUSINC  DISTRICT   HOUSING
PGC0055
PGC0056
PGC0057
PGC005R
PGCO059
PGC0060
PGC0061
PGC.0062
PIC0063
PGC0064
PGCOCJ6S
P3C0066
PGC006T
PGCOO&d
PSC0069
PGC0370
PGC0071
PGC0072
PTC0073
pr,c.0374
a^LOOOl
A4L0002
AHL0003
A3L0004
Alt 00 OS
A126.
4222.
2993.
3053.
4474.
8333.
7716.
2419. .
4142.
4722.
9192.
3741.
3*9.
8409.
5415.
6569.
6045.
3093.
3917.
27'9.
5177.
1608.
5198.
3656.
4999.
3533.
7094.
3456.
5009.
5319.
7369.
71ST.
2925.
6470.
1910.
3005.
4447.
3968.
3041.
2937.
3594. '
4376.
295.
0.
320.
614.
1537.
224.
256.
352.
410.
352.
1024.
1312.
6914.
416.
307.
992.
819.
0.
6281.
1R626. •
557.
845.
0.
0.
' 467.
237.
346.
122.
378.
263.
499.
352.
576.
314.
444.
410.
256.
410.
263.
224.
717.
173.
461.
173.
237.
173.
IIS.
493.
625.
0.
905.
1708.
988.
907.
951.
858.
594.
864.
1072.
1664.
1R24.
651.
1042.
1141.
R52.
0.
756.
2215.
1507.
1858.
0.
0.
1674.
724.
1229.
340.
Ill 1.
906.
1361.
860.
1R39.
604.
1100.
413.
239.
975.
792.
298.
536.
3R3.
99 A.
617.
5R9.
575.
176.
909.
1312.
0.
1562.
1918.
2512.
1404.
125V.
1319.
831.
885.
1314.
2233.
2211.
657.
1047.
1256.
1513.
0.
756.
2239.
1512.
1889.
0.
0.
1205.
878.
1821.
394.
1666.
1176.
13R9.
977.
2020.
1232.
???6.
2538.
4089.
2902.
998.
2867.
542.
1451.
1299.
1411.
1192.
1026.
15O4.
1477.
15693.
0.
15899.
16697.
19303.
13602.
15003.
14706.
12296.
233*8.
13602.
13095.
4999.
15693.
13698.
13602.
22404.
0.
13.
17001.
20292.
22994.
0.
0.
21504.
16301.
18695.
13602.
21504.
17292.
20090.
19594.
17396.
15693.
19399.
14300.
17001.
15899.
18695.
17908.
14394.
12394.
17908.
16399.
1 6794.
14200.
I790R.
15506.
86.
0.
114.
118.
108.
99.
85.
89.
83.
1.
82.
98.
77.
1.
89.
91.
0.
730.
76.
167.
182.
0.
0.
154.
110.
95.
1.
90.
105.
171.
144.
148.
R7.
107:
91.
97.
92.
89.
97.
•1 .
107.
113.
105.
R9.
105.
92.
117.
83.
0.
100.
115.
1O3.
99.
83.
84.
76.
1.
75.
94.
73.
1.
1.
67.
9O.
0.
10.
61.
135.
147.
O.
0.
125.
88.
91.
.1.
79.
95.
141.
132.
116.
80.
102.
89.
96.
90.
79.
88.
1.
103.
98.
97.
RB.
V4.
91 .
112.
7548.
1.
8259.
8717.
8893.
7817.
8308.
7631.
6809.
12357.
7237.
7864.
6823.
8193.
8136.
'6926.
971 1.
1.
643.
7990.
10446.
11464.
1.
1.
11339.
7778.
8920.
4750.
976O.
9154.
10594.
1O087.
9136.
6919.
8570.
8119.
7295.
7631.
9219.
7435.
9H1 9.
6425.
9036.
7115.
8039.
7533.
76?4.
7919.
.
.
•
•
30.
26.
1.
14.
a.
2.
4.
8.
65.
9.
1.
10.
34.
2.
1.
1.
1.
10.
6.
9.
86.
2.
3.
6.
1.
44.
28.
10.
2.
7.
4.
2.
1.
1.
2.
5.
7.
17.
1.
1 .
4.
303.
1.
96.
466.
1 33.
739.
1177.
1080.
767.
611.
1022.
1229.
192O.
186.
241.
855.
1O49.
1.
756.
768.
497.
759.
1.
1.
8O4.
756.
1344.
288.
1331.
1043.
476.
442.
1629.
1091.
1778.
1797.
1356.
2126.
904.
2644.
177.
949.
950.
987.
1126.
476.
1056.
690.
11.
1.
19.
14.
24.
5.
4.
44.
34.
2.
6.
12.
7.
1 .
4.
146.
26.
1.
3.
137.
3.
6.
1 .
1.
7.
1.
72.
319.
34.
3.
3.
4.
2.
12.
7.
29.
29.
33.
1.
14.
11.
2.
83.
56.
3.
1 B.
3.
6.S
1.0
7.0
6.5
7.0
5.5
5.5
5.0
5.5
6.S
6.5
7.5
1O.5
9.0
10.0
9.0
7.5
1.0
3.5
16.5
R.U
7.5
l.O
1.0
6.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.O
7.5
9.0
7.0
6.5
6.0
5.0
4.0
4.0
4.5
5.5
6.0
<>.'}
6.5
5.0
_. 5.0
5.5
6.O
6.5
4.3
1.0
4.6
5.7
4.7
4. •)
•1.6
5.3
*. 6
5. 1
4.4
5. 3
5. 3
5.4
5. 5
1.0
'..0
5.5
5. <*
6.2
1. 0
1.0
6. 3
5.6
5.4
5. 1
5. 7
5.6
6. 2
6. 1
6. 0
4. 6
4.4
3.5
2.9
3.9
5.T
3.4
',. 1
1. 1
b. 'j .
4.6
4. i
4.6
3.9
4. ',
VO
                         Figure 3.1-1.   List of  Census Tract Attributes for the Washington,  D.C.  SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
                                             CFMSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTES  —  INPUT
VO
HA^HiNCTnM n r
C EMS US
TOTAL
TIACT POPULATION
•J'lHOFR
A*LOO?9
ARL0030
A-U0032
ARLOO33
ARLOJJ4
A** I On 35
A*10036
A3LO037
AHL0033
F&xnooi
FAXOJ02
FA XOilOl
FAX0004
FA XOOO5
FAX0006
F A XOQ O7
F 4X0303
FAX0009
F4X0313
F \XOO 1 1
F4XOJ12
F\xon I 3
.FAX0014
F 4 XOO 1 5
F4X0016
F \XO )l 7
F 4 XOO 1 *
F4XOO 19
F4X002J
FAxnn 7 1
F4X0022
F AXO173
FAX0024
FAXO175
FAX0326
F4XO')77
F4XOJ2.*
F\KOT 31
F^xOJ32
FAX0033
FAX0035
FAX0036
FAX001S
5994.
4198.
4523.
4942.
013.
6976.
1210.
3087.
»719.
3913.
391 3.
3616.
41 n I . -
7999.
9339.
5991.
7784.
1108.
9822.
7974.
6741.
6267.
3970.
6789.
7K.Q.
3831.
7406.
4537.
6735.
13643.
2705.
6192.
6535.
37«S.
4020.
4939.
4425.
5659.
5514.
5059.
11441.
3460.
135*9.
4101.
S71O.
7435.
A<*EA IN
SQUARE
Hll FS
0.
0.
2B«.
•461.
59.
0.
n.
179.
0.
237.
806.
1 O95.
1612.
3686.
0.
9792.
3627.
6852.
1 152.
5532.
n.
27236.
o.
582.
1 671.
1095.
• '650.
4206.
1 843.
10481.
1 152.
576.
765O.
1325.
461.
1095.
805. _
. 14176.
f 65O.
4206*
2650.
472).
3110.
11525.
1 777.
1727.
SINGLE
FAMILY
HmtSINC.
0.
0.
983.
767.
180.
0.
0.
762.
O.
296.
9O7.
1107.
31 h.
2180.
75*1 .
1584.
o.
348.
7735.
2099.
15B3.
1699.
0.
863.
O.
654.
1159.
1135.
1748.
3548.
777*.
786.
1045.
1541.
B7I.
1049.
17R6.
ALL
HOUSING
UNI TS
0.
0.
1001.
2438.
733.
0.
O.
994.
O.
1751.
997.
1154.
i 31 n.
2233.
7597.
1746.
O.
359.
2308.
2107.
1781.
1878.
0.
969.
O.
1205.
2260.
1145.
1783.
3555.
7794.
786.
1671 .
1735.
1050.
1286.
1170. 1170.
	 L4.22-. 	 LS2Z. 	
1339. 1581.
1390. 1405.
13?4.
2844.
1018.
3443.
1162.
1497.
1727.
1373.
2925.
1029.
3673.
1192.
1SI7.
1730.
MEDIAN MEDIAN MEDIAN
PROPERTY
VALUE
0.
0.
11696.
15003.
13794.
0.
0.
16597.
O.
13200.
11696.
22203.
15003.
24O05.
22093.
o.
9997.
17103.
17801.
15506.
15994.
O.
11305.
O.
22697.
28999.
33996.
20792.
19891.
1999O.
18902.
16107.
15506.
1R398.
19791.
14501.
21895.
21590.
19791.
19594.
17001 .
19197.
22292.
1B306.
20806.
19497.
13602.
GROSS CONTRACT
RENT RFNT
0. O.
0. 0.
91. 74.
114. 111.
1. 1 .
0. 0.
O. O.
114. 102.
n. o.
94. 91.
110. Rfl.
1. 1.
inn. inn.
118. 97.
96. 61 .
98. 81.
0. O.
1. 1.
157. 137.
121. 92.
IO7. 87.
99. 87.
0. n.
79. 65.
O. O.
95. 93.
107. 1O7.
1. 1.
150. 113.
169. 135.
166. 133.
1. 1.
117. 1O6.
136. 107.
1 .
1.
1 .
1.
1.
125. 11 .
161 . 17 .
1.
144. 11 .
1.
142. 11 .
1.
1 .
1.
MEDIAN DILAPIDATED
FAMILY
INCDMF
1 .
1.
5335.
8831.
467O.
1.
1.
8485.
1 .
7935.
6771 .
9471.
7354.
7473.
1 107O.
7406.
1 .
6843.
8630.
8022.
7593.
6522.
1 .
6033.
1 .
8485.
9858.
13200.
93B6.
948 1.
9967.
7895.
7BB7.
8127.
RB31 .
10270.
8347.
10721.
10651.
6604.
95OO.
7662.
8375.
8699.
B630.
8417.
953H.
7252.
HOUSING
IINI TS

29.
•
•
3.
1 .
1.
7.
15.
7.
42.
163.
37.
1 .
21.
37.
61.
7.
63.
1.
64.
1 .
19.
9.
1.
43.
44..
7.
20.
10.
22.
73.
1.
1.
2.
	 L. 	
43.
68.
26.
39.
28.
77.
42.
7.
8.
HOUSING NONHHITE O1STM:CE 1 = 01 »•!
OVER 10 OCCUPIED BUSINESS oO'J-x; in
YFARS OLD HOUSINr, DISTRICT HMU^ 1 '1C.
,
1.
854.
1101.
149.
1.
1.
860.
1 .
943.
519.
384.
i nnn.
418.
661.
532.
1 .
211.
314.
495.
571.
7B1.
1 .
593.
1.
223.
1184.
42.
474.
601.
15.
247.
72B.
1360.
7 73.
29.
3 O9.
204.
144.
423.
787.
554.
235.
572.
537.
198.
1.
1.
970.
4.
730.
I .
1 .
1.
1 .
7.
6 .
69.
92.
237.
51.
13.
16.
29.
3.
6.
1 .
31 .
1 .
5.
70.
6.
731 .
22.
4 .
6.
54.
111.
59.
3.
1 .
1.
38.
64 -
84.
112.
12.
H5.
61 .
3.
1.0
1.0
5.5
5.0
4.0
1 .0
1.0
4.0
1 .0
4.5
7.0
7.5
7. S
9.0
10.5
12.0
1 . 0
18.0
9.0
10.5
7.. 5 .
10. 'j
i .a
1 8.0
1.0
7.5
7.5
".0
11.5
14.5
11.5
7.5
1 7.O
10.5
9.0
9.0
15.0
1.0
3.U
2.0
2.5
.2.0 	
3.0
3. o
3.U
1 .3
1.0
5, 1
3. 7
5.7
1 .0
1.0
5.6
1.0
3. 3
4.4
6.0
4.7
5. 1
6. 3
5.5
1 . !)
4 ,'j
5. 8
5.4
..5.1
5.0
1.0
4. «
1. 0
4.5
7.4
5. T
6. 0
5. 7
5.3
5. 7
5.9
6. 2
5. 0
S. 1
5. ;
5. r
5. S
5. -t
5.7 	
5. 7
S. 1
5. 1
                      Figure 3.1-1.   List of Census Tract Attributes  for  the Washington, D.C. SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
                                             rENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTES  —  INPUT
VO
(MSHINSTON. O.C.
CENSUS
TOTAL
TRACT POPULATION
NimFR
FAX0039
FAX0040
FAX0041
FAX0042
FAX0043
F 4X00 4*
FAX004S
ALX0001
ALX0007
ALX0003
ALXOOO4
ALXOOOS
ALX0005
ALX0007
«L X0109
ALXOOO?
ALX001O
ALX0011
ALX0012
ALXOJ13
4LX0114
ALX0015
ALX0016
41X0017
&LX0318
ALXOO19
AL xon?o
FC0001
FCOOO»
FCOOOI
8527.
. 5402.
4638.
4134.
235<>.
1652.
1961.
2719.
2305.
3509.
422.
6248.
3717.
2561.
6418.
53SI.
4145.
6575.
8502.
4944.
5070.
4496.
5481.
992.
6419.
3220.
7879.
23B7.
576«.
2034.
AREA IN
SQUARE
MILES
2131.
6281.
25344.
31 675.
21047.
33400.
2879.
1574.
960.
851.
0.
0.
614.
819.
935..
621.
0.
346.
442.
352.
JB't.
384.
256.
582.
237.
147.
295.
352.
576.
295.
SINGLE
FAMILY
HOUSING
2191.
1735.
1400.
1109.
649.
981.
494.
494.
443.
898.
0.
0.
996.
6R4.
1589.
1152.
O.
855.
1906.
1192.
1072.
1211.
1236.
132.
1050.
577.
1214.
594.
1452.
533.
ALL
HOUSING
UNITS
2200.
1741.
1408.
1148.
666.
1016.
578.
950.
728.
903.
O.
0.
1002.
781.
1835.
1471.
0.
2463.
2558.
1512..
1691.
1401.
1362.
466.
2285.
1181.
3752.
626.
1661.
608.
MEDIAN
PROPERTY
VALUE
23600.
30792.
24197.
11696.
15003.
13306.
16204.
21807.
24392.
22404.
0.
0.
15899.
11396.
22093.
23295.
0.
23295.
12900.
12695.
14300.
16301 .
11204.
23295.
13494.
14003.
16R99.
18306.
18106.
26108.
MEDIAN
MEDIAN
GROSS CONTRACT
RENT RENT
195.
. 1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
101.
135.
162.
0.
0.
1.
85.
66.
161.
O.
90.
103.
90.
94.
101.
77.
79.
84.
80.
89.
I.
110.
1.
150.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
1.
95.
118.
117.
0.
0.
84.
66.
126.
0.
89.
92.
77.
88.
85.
55.
78.
80.
67.
84.
1.
96.
1.
MFDIAN DILAPIDATED
FAMILY
INCOME
10732.
12357.
9109.
6355.
6905.
5R02.
7443.
8682.
9200.
9957.
1.
1.
7832.
5586.
7237.
11441.
7887.
7201.
7281.
7317.
8358.
3889.
7631.
5415.
5603.
7021.
9219.
7959.
11649.
HOUSING
UNITS
10.
10.
85.
134.
45.
50.
49.
3.
4.
2.
1.
1.
7.
75.
12.
2.
1.
6.
2.
63.
5.
3.
63.
6.
72.
147.
203.
1.
16.
2.
HOUSING
OVER 10
YEARS OLD
338.
525.
792.
71i.
415.
662.
389.
476.
79.
36.
1.
1.
88.
798.
1034.
BOH.
1.
1749.
1347.
1375.
1343.
1179.
1220.
444.
1924.
1171.
2317.
404.
1.
1.
NONWH1TE DISTANT
MEDIAN
OCCUPIED BUSINESS ROOMS IN
HOUSING DISTRICT HHilS 1 nr.
27.
42.
104.
115.
21 .
50.
16.
4.
11 .
3.
1 .
1.
7 .
70.
71.
20.
77.
59.
1 7.
8.
1 .
1007.
9.
530.
149.
456.
4.
16.
20.
3.5
3.5
3.5
2.5
2.5
2.0
?.o
8.0
7.0
0. 1
1.0
1.0
B.O
1.0
7.0
6.0
1 .0
5.0
4.5
5.5
5.5
6.5
6.0
4.5
6.0
6.5
7.5
9.5
10.0
8.5
6.1
7.0
5.T
5. 3
5. 1
5.5
5.fc
5. 1
4.4
6.0
1 .3
1 .0
5. 3
3.',
._ 5.2
6.4
1.0
4.0
4. 1
5. 1
5.0
5..'>









































-




                    Figure 3.1-1.  List  of  Census Tract Attributes  for the Washington,  D.C. SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
CENSUS
TRACT
0001
0002
0003
~"6C04~
0005
0006
0007
0WN
1034.64
1130.03
796.32
RENT

1424.
1C33.
3945.
0003
0009
0010
0011
0012
0013
0014
0015
0016
0017
0013
0019
0020
0021
0022
0023001
0023002
0024
0025
0026
0027
2061. 11
1034.64
853.34
1415. 16
1130.03
302.72
1925T61
1143.67
2075.59
157S. 14
716.95
772.01
1191.54
1063.49
3158.
624.
1273.
923.
916.
2677.
534.
1331.
2262.
1183.
- 493.
691.
1701.
3775.
CENSUS
TRACT
C028
0029
0030
0031
0032
0033
0034
0035
0035
0037
0039
0039
0040
0041
0042
0043
0044
0045
0046
004 T~
0048
0049
C050
"~ 0051 	
n 0 C, 7 Q ,~1 1
'COf-2002
0053001
OC53002
0WN
370.92
551. 15
256.98
462.20
873.93
1105.44
375.03
264.01
297.97
175.04
195.93
491.76
444.97
361. 04
286. 66
222.96
173.99
427.09
~" 2l~27C'9"
320. 86
303.08
229.06
2 ••> A . r 3
2 6 0 . 0 .3

RENT
2816.
1360.
1416.
764.
870.
1436.
1244.
508.
2357.
2815.
2107.
2304.
3223..
3480.
1789.
947.
543.
1175.
l~59r.~
1903.
2520.
3453.
2707.
" 3393.

Figure 3.1-1.   List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington,  D.C.  SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
00
CENSUS
TRACT
0054001
0054002"
0050055
0050056
0057001
0WN
229.93'
366. 87
95.97
RENT

3033.
1844.
3062.
0057002
0053
0059
0060
0061
0062
0063
0064
0065
0066
0067
0068
0069
0070
0071
0072
0~07300r
0073002
"0073003
0073004
~00730'05
0073006
"C073"00r
30.00
457. 14
294.12
536.99
873.31
424.96
358. 17
297.03
78.96
66. C2
230. 9:0
194.03
230. .06
224.03
	 399TO~2~~
862.
1345.
925.
1309.
1324.
763.
1194.
633.
1294.
' 649."
1319.
1441.
2131.
2113.
~V9i3~.
  CENSUS
  TRACT

 0073003
W7400T
                                                                         0WN
                          RENT
   __
 00 7~4d~03
    0075
"007600'
JJ076C02
 0"076003
 0077001
"0077002
 0077003
"007700 4
_OC77005
'0073001
_P 073 00 2
 0^73003"
 0073004
"0073005
 0078006
    0079
    0030
    0031
  .  OC32
                                                                        9 "5. "q'7"
                                                                       504.21
                                                                       342/06
                                                                     _ 555.15
                                                                      "733.73"
                                                                     _ 89J'95_
                                                                       "714.C3
                                                                       397
                                                                      1"3"19
                                                                       303,
                                                                     T3G~3.
                                                                       304,
                  °JL
                 749
                  03
                 ,"75
                  32
                 ~C3
 10577'
 1116.
~3 L"7 5 .
 2424.
"1"432.'
 1523.
"1476."
 1947.
                                                                          _.
                                                                       532.8T
                                                                       4 1 2_._8 2
                                                                     " "950. C6~
                                                                       704. 16
                                                                     " 9 9 0 i 2 9"
                                                                      1142.52
                                                                       45"3.05
 1555.
"1756."
  636.
"l5C9r
_712.
 1 12" 2 .
  676.
                                                             _
                                                              OCS'7"
 1534.
"1752
 1832
 1079.
 1471.
 17-1.
                          Ul'3.
                  Figure 3.1-1.  List of Census Tract I ttributes for  the Washington, D.C. SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
CENSUS
TRACT
0083001
0033002
0089
0090
0091
0092
0093
0094
OC95001
0095002
0095003
0095004
0096
MOCOOOL
MQC0002
MQC0003
MOC0004
MOC0005
MOC0006
MOC0007
MOC0003
MOC0009
MOC0010
MOC0011
MOC0012A
Tra~CO~OT2~&
MOC0013
MOCOOV4
0WN
230.90
739. L3
512.86
362.35
1265.22
773.21
1214.39
1391.31
242.01
1376.09
1034.64
2214.93
864.37
453.05
335.96
555.02
692.29
753.24
972.63
994.25
2777. CO
1840.63
575.94
933.23
"1331.42
RENT
1940.
1313.
29G3.
139.
1625.
1380.
1104.
303.
1005.
834.
81.
823.
333.
234.
172.
231.
544.
315.
456.
819.
296.
422.
198.
386.
357.
CENSUS
TRACT
MOC0015
.MOC0016"
MOC0017
MGC0018
MOC0019
MO COO 20
MOC0021
MOC0022
MOC0023
MOC0024
MOC0025
MOC0025
MOC0027
~MOCdO>3 "
MOC0029
MOC0030
MCC0031
"'MCC0032
MO COO 3 3
'MO COO 34
VCC0035
4 GCuO 35
MJCOC 37
•j • • i -\ -i ^
.'•'i :J '_ 0 J -T 0
^ C C 0 0 ^ I
'•'. u '„ 0 0 -* 2

0WN
1974.
"7 rr.
750.
717.

~~58'5."
1449.
1241.
575.
1334.


33 1.
369.
I3oo.
915.
1245.
2737.
1950.
3512.
1355.
1736.
2 0 ? :> .
"> \ '
L. 1 : . •
i. j 5 •» .
1 13-.
1C71.
*•* » -It.
~ ~ •


35
94
69
66
-
a'i
54
41
94
03


00
57
^9
93
14
00
59
21
67
4 3
21
'" "*
5 o
CC
97

RENT
142
766.
1937.
469.

803.~
411.
153.
1525.
659.


351.
109.
114.
63.
64.
215.
33.
256.
299.
197.
172.
!.<-*.
1 •' - m
55 3 .
110.
L3i.
Figure 3.1-1.   List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, B.C. SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
o
o
CENSUS
TRACT
MOC0043
MOC0044
MOC0045
MOCOO~46
MOC0047
MOC0043
MOC0049
MOC0050
MOC0051
MOCC052
MOC0053
MOC0054
MOC0055
MOC0056
MOC0057
~"MTTCD053~
MOC0059
"MOC0060
PGC0001
PGC0002
PGC0003
T5C0004
PGC0005
P~GCOOO~6~
PGC0007
PG'C00153
PGC0009
PGC0010
0WN
1245.14
1390.00
2192.00
2153. 13
1157.43
1114.32
1052.53
1125.52
1026.59
832.71
1040.00
1151.00
1TZ*~ 39
2435.72
929.83
500.20
1013.33
3~86T84
362. 13

704. 16
RENT
129.
345.
210.
" 141."
169.
2515.
241.
272.
78.
104.
92.
165.
3~5~0~
125.
1751.
185.
339.
343~
275.

300.
CENSUS
TRACT
PGCO'Oll
~J>GC0012
PGC0013
PGC0014
PGCOC15
PGC6016
PGC0017
PGCOOT3
PGC0019
PGC0020
PGC0021
"PGC0022"
PGC0023
~PGC002V"
PGC0025
PGC0026
PGC0027
PGC0029
PGC0030
PGC0032
PGC0033
PG00034
0WN

1759.83
1426. 53
2115.40
790.76
1436. 55
"2303.07
1736.70
230.90
930.76
"1046.23
1065. 29
909.6'G
360.06
497. 20
310.73
932.62
679. 26
671. 15
620. 17
632.66
~ 1157:4=
RENT
_
413.
417.
287.
101.
189.
1140.
169.
~~" " "202."
951.
"373.
683.
355.
363.
222.
715.
314.
429.
166.
65.
                                                                PGC0037

                                                                P'G'CO'O 33"
7 J -i . 0 -,
 47.

"797"
                Figure  3.1-1.   List  of  Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, D.C. SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
CENSUS
TRACT
PGC0039
PGC0040
PGC0041
PGC0042
PGC0043
PG~C004"4
PGC0045
PGCC046
PGC0047
PGC0048
PGC0049
PGC0050
PGC0051
PGC0052
PGC0053
PGC0054
PGC0055
PGC0056
PGC0057
PGC0053
PGC0059
PGC0060
PGC0061
PGC0062
PGC0063
PtiC0064
PGCOOS5
PGC0066
01W
737.30
579. 93
866.97
1202.31
465.91
539.9.3
582.89
833.60
513.89
643.72
457. 14
1077.07
534.86
630. 13
532.19
337.15
1465.57
902.35
342. 13
335.36
727.73
44 0 . 9. 3
313.11
955.23
1433.63
RENT
226.
304.
64.
33.
663.
281.
524.
553.
19.
926.
1034.
734.
184.
222.
760.
702.
420.
1503.
547.
349.
499.
363.
52.
304.
703.
CENSUS
TRACT
PGC0067
PGCOO'6'3
PGC0069
PGC0070
PGC007L
PGC0072
PGC0073
PGC0074
ARL0001
ARL0002
ARL0003
ARL6004
ARL0005
ARLOOOb
ARL0007
ARLOC03
ARL0009
ARLOOIO
ARLOOll
ARLOG12'
ARL0013
ARLG014
AS LOO 15
ARLOD1-.
• -> 1 - -N 1 -T
•» "N •_ W ' -• ». "
' A»L oo u
ARL0019
"AiVLCuTT
0WN
1768.70
531. 14
953.37
940. 11
766.63
706.27
1790.05
1235.21
1571.84
930.76
620.17
101 U31
232.99
942.94
759.00
1137.9.7
729.97
1523.^4
430, 10
3 3 7 . c- 3
211.'.-
1 5 : . ~ :
" 741.00
643.72
2~2G.C5
RENT
389.
32.
65.
272.
703.
30.
357.
245.
276.
235.
222.
679.
143.
694.
393.
230.
'220'.
454.
703.
957.
2 1 : ' 3 .
-;"?•>"'
_x * - f •
2065.
324.
2o02.
Figure 3.1-1.   List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, D.C. SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
o
to
CENSUS
TRACT
ARL0021
ARL0022
ARL0023
ARL0024
ARL0025
ARL0026
ARL0027
ARL0028
ARL0029
ARL0030
ARL0031
ART 003 2
ARL0033
ARL0034
ARL0035
AH! 003 6
ARL0037
ARTOO~38
FAX0001
FAX0002
FAX0003
F~A~X0004
FAX3005
FAX0006"
FAX0007
FAXO"C"0~8~T'
FAX0009
~FAXOOIO
0WN
43C.09 .
283.98
843.10
546.75
401.82
497.20
103.95
69C.90
617.70
227.01
171..06

623.23
170. .03
623.91
955.23
275.06
1732.90
2123.13
~ V04o;o2
224.93
1846.41
'1730.21
RENT
107.
936.
426.
326.
770.
507.
1381.
657.
366.
1926.
59.

349.
1520.
332.
163.
1003.
376.
308.
53'4.~~
77.
303.
239.
CENSUS
TRACT
FAX0011
FA~X0012
FAX0013
FAX0014
FAX0015
FAXOC16
FAX0017
FAX0013
FAX0019
FAXD020
FAX0021
'FAX00.22
FAX0023
FAX0024
FAX0025
FAX0026
FAX0027
FA~X0023"
FAX0029
FAX0030"
FAX0031
FAXQD32
FAX003?
FAX'C-:34
FAXQ035
"FAX0036 "
FAX0037
FAX-JO 3 3
0WN
1335.42
1 39 9V6~3
545. 12
50'1.20
996.25
939.30
1440.87
3093.32
1900.74
' 573.07"
366. 10
1433.63
719.32
923. 34
1125.52
963.91
1191.54
1"0"3 4". 64
1103.76
1097.73
2421. 15
7-i-3. 13
2749.02
906.37
127^,. 11
1433.26
RENT
417.
397.
275.
658.
1196.
115.
2a7.
329.
351.
" ~95. '
. 700.
246.
113.
107.
146.
" 179.
139.
359.
238.
215.
328.
" 127.
631.
192."
191.
211.
                Figure 3.1-1.  List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, D.C. SMSA (Cont'd)

-------
o
LJ
CENSUS
TRACT
FAX0039
FAX0040
FAX0041
FAX0042
FAXOC43
FAX0044
FAX0045
ALXOOOl
ALX0002
ALX0003
ALXOOOL
ALX0005
ALX0006
ALX0007
ALX0009
ALX0009
ALX0010
ALX0011
ALX0012
ALX0013
ALX0014
ALX0015
ALX0016
ALXOOL7
ALX0018
ALX0019
ALX0020
FCOOOl
FC0002
FC0003
0WN
1820.74
1333.53
970.68
755.97
391.11
65S.34
381.84
336. 94
91.01
519. -C5
323.04
531.13
54. OC
27.00
37.00
12.00
1.00
804.32
972.63
495.22
80.96
486.87
259.04
743.23
502. 2G
801. 11
447.20
RENT
232.
177.
278.
253.
176.
244.
156.
490.
612.
331.
130.
23L.
951.
242.
1656.
1499.
643.
83d.
398.
804.
361.
16S1.
825.
2381.
110.
812.
140.
                Figure 3.1-1.  List of Census Tract Attributes for the Washington, D.C. SMSA  (Cont'd)

-------
NOTE:  Annual Concentration In
Figure 3.1-2.  Existing Ground Level Particulate Concentrations in the
               NCIAQCR as Computed by the Verified Diffusion Model
                                    104

-------
     P  1  - Existing Control Regulations Throughout the Region -
            This strategy displays the air quality resulting
            from complete compliance with existing control
            regulations in the region.

     P  3    Existing Regulations in the District and Virginia
            - No Emissions in Maryland.  Area source emissions
            were eliminated and point sources were substantially
            reduced by the application of maximum control strategy,

     P  18 - Proposed Particulate Control Strategy - District of
            Columbia sources were controlled to 0.03 grains/scf
            for industrial process sources, 0.06 grains/scf fuel
            combustion sources and 0.20 grains/scf for incinera-
            tion sources.  Maryland and Virginia sources were
            controlled to the level specified by their respective
            Implementation Plans.

     P  2  - Maximum Control Technology - Under this strategy the
            best available control device or measure (as defined
            in the IPP I Control Cost Model) is applied to each
            pollution source.  This strategy may be neither
            economically nor technically feasible, but does give
            a potential lower limit on pollutant emissions.
Sulfur Dioxide Strategies
     •  Existing S02~(197Q)  Air Quality data for S0~ under existing
        conditions throughout the region.   The ground level S02
        concentration isopleths for this situation are shown in
        Figure 3.1-3.  This  provides the baseline for S02 strategies,

     •  S 10 - Q.06 Grains/scf  on Fuel Combustion Sources - 0.03
               Grains/scf  on All Other Sources of Particulate
               Emissions.   This strategy was designed to allow
               residual fuel oil combustion without control in
               well-designed equipment.  A further restriction
               was applied to large coal-fired units (i.e.,
               power generating stations) in that they were
               required to meet a 0.03 grains/scf standard.
               (This primary particulate emission strategy
               tends to produce fuel switching in powerplants
               which also  reduces SC>2 emissions.)

     •  S 14 - Existing Regulations in the District and Maryland
               - No Emission in Virginia.   Hypothetical display
               of regional air  quality if Virginia's contribution
               were removed.
                            105

-------
                                    •1
NOTE:  Annual Concentration  in  yg/nr
Figure 3.1-3.  Existing Ground Level Sulfur Dioxide Concentrations in the
               NCIAQCR as Computed by the Verified Diffusion Model
                                    106

-------
            •  S 15 - Maximum of 0.7 Percent Sulfur Content Fuel in Region.
                      This gives a small reduction from current 1.0 percent
                      sulfur restriction now in effect in most of the Region.
                      (Major exceptions are the Dickerson and Chalk Point
                      powerplants.)

            •  S 11 - Existing Regulations.  Complete application of existing
                      regulations affecting sulfur oxide emissions through-
                      out the Region.

The above strategies for particulate and S02 emissions are listed in order

of decreasing total emissions (i.e., total emissions due to point and area

sources).  The complete average annual ground level receptor concentration

data for all of these strategies are too voluminous to present here.  Table

3.1-1 summarizes general regionwide values of existing and controlled emis-

sions and the ground level concentration at the maximum receptor.

     Included in Table 3.1-1 are the annualized point source control costs

for the entire region.  These control costs are the only costs employed in

the demonstration study.  Proposed methods for estimating area sources con-

trol costs and other private and public sector costs have been prepared by

Woodcock [1971].

     The control cost and emission rates (old and new) are available on

a regionwide and political jurisdiction basis from the IPP Regional

Strategies Program summary table outputs.   Samples of these tables are

given in Appendix A.     The Regional Strategies Program also provides a

tabulated summary of emission standard effects on individual source emis-

sions including device costs and emission  rates in tons/day (existing,

allowable and controlled).   In principle,  these data can be used to obtain

cost/benefit analysis information on an individual source or census tract

basis.   However, as currently designed, the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model cannot

be conveniently used below the political jurisdiction level.
                                   107

-------
                       Table  3.1-1-  Participate  and  Sulfur  Oxides  Control Strategy Summaries-NCIAQCR.

Strategy/
Pollutant
Existing
Particulates
POINT SOURCES
Percent
Reduction
•
p l !
New Emission
Rate
(Tons/Day
84.7

AREA SOURCES II CONTROL COST
Percent i New Emission L
Reduction ! Rate |j $xlO
.' (Tons/Day) h
1 1
;i
75.6 !l
• i
r
$/Ton
Removed
. -


Maximum Receptor
(Vg/m3)
107.7

o
oo
      Particulates
36.3
54.0
18.0
62.0
0.5
47
     Not used in this demonstration.

     *See explanation of negative costs in Section 2.3.1.
92.2

P 3
Particulates
P 18 1 2
Particulates
P 2 1
Particulates
Existing
so2
P 10/S 10 **
so2
S 19 2 3
so2
S 14
so2
S 15 l
so2
S 11 !
so2
[ |
,
62.2 32.0
1
70.4 • 25.0 :
87.4 10.7 j
r 	 > .
i- • j
i
542.0 1
36.4 344.8
43.0 308.9
55.0 243.9
67.4 176.6
100.0 0.0 ;
,
_
47.5 39.7 4.0 : 210
1 :
'• '
51.4 36.7 10.8 ; 498 :
; 51.4 36.7 13.9 • 514
118.6
0 118.6 -3.5 4 -48 *
20.8 93.9 14.7 172.7
25.5 88.4 6.1 57.6
31.3 81.4 14.6 109
82.3 21.0 104.5 528
90.0
68.2
64.2
99.3
95
68
77
67
43
**Designed for particulates.
Capable of satisfying regional air quality standards.
20riginally proposed strategy for D.C. (Ref. Implementation Plan Report).

-------
 3.2   ESTIMATION OF DIRECT DAMAGE COSTS

     The study of direct damage effects for the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model

demonstration involved the use of the Damage Costs Module (Section 2)

with the NCIAQCR population, housing and air quality data detailed in

the preceding sections of this chapter.  A linear model of direct damages

and the Pro Forma Damage Functions  described in Appendix C were used.

These linear damage functions (shown in Figure 3.2.1  are:

            - 0.66X - 5.90
where:
       D    = 0.47x - 4.70,
        P
       D    = Damage per capita in millions of dollars per year
          2   due to sulfur dioxide.

       D    = Damage per capita in millions of dollars per year due
              to particulates.

       X    = The average annual pollutant concentration (S02 or
              particulates) in micrograms per cubic meter (pg/ra^) .

     The results of the cost/benefit analysis on a regional basis have been

summarized in Table 3.2-1.  The tabulated values are listed by strategy in

separate groups for S0? strategies  (above) and particulate strategies  (be-

low).  Each set of strategies is listed in increasing order of stringency.

For example, the identification  S-10" refers to the second SO- strategy

(employed in this study) in order of stringency.  This is referenced

number S-10, according to  the Washington Implementation Plan Study

[TRW, August 1970] identification scheme given in Section 3.1.

       The  tabulated  results  include:

       •  The total  emissions  (tons/day)  -  The sum   of  the  contributions
         of  all point  (controlled)  and  area  (scaled)  sources  in  the
         region,  (from IPP tabulated  output).
                                   109

-------
CO

cS

01
t>0
(0
•-I to
(0 0)
  •H
CO D.
4J CO
     60
50
     40
     30
§" 20
o ^
0)
D-,
10
           so.
               =-$5.90 + 0.66X
                                          =-$4.70 +  0.47X
                   40           80          120


                 X = Weighted  Air Quality  (pg/m3)
Figure 3.2-1.   Pro Forma Functions Utilized in NCIAQCR Cost/Benefit Demonstration

-------
                          Average Air Quality
                             Weighted With
Strategy
S02:
Existing
S-10
S-14
S-15
S-ll
Particulates:
Existing
P-l
P-3
P-18
P-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)
660.6
463. A
332.3
238.0
21.0
160.3
116.0
71.7
61.7
47. A
Respect To
Population
(Ug/tn3)*
65.0
57.8
52,8
49.3
36.4
69.4
64.4
60.8
57.5
54.1
Point
Emission
(Tons/Day)
542.0
344.8
243.9
176.6
0.0
84.7
54.0
32.0
25.0
10.7
Damage
C$ x 106)
73.6
64.0
57.5
52.9
36.0
55.0
50.8
47.5
44.4
41.2 .
Benefit
($ x 106)
0.0
9.6
16.1
20.7
37.6 .
0.0
4.7
8.0
11.1
14.3
Control Cost
($ x 106>
0.0
-3.5
6.1
14.6
104.5
0.0
0.5
4.0
10.8
13.9
£(People)(gg/m3)
   £(People)
                         Table ,3.2-1.  NCIAQCR - Regional Damage Values Summary

-------
            The air quality weighted with respect to population  (pg/m3)
            This value is given by total exposure* divided by the total
            population of the region and is a good measure of average
            dosage.  The units are actually

               people - ug/m3                             .    ,
               •*-—c	:—a	   on the annual average basis,  (from
                                Damage Costs Module output).

            Total point emissions (tons/day) - The total emissions
            (controlled) of all the point sources in the region.
         •  Damage C$ x 10 ) - The damages in units of millions of dollars
            per year, as calculated using the (Pro Forma) damage function
            provided, (from Damage Costs Module output tables).

         •  Benefit  ($ x 10 )_ - Calculated from the existing damage contri-
            bution, i.e., the reduction in damages resulting as each control
            strategy improves air-quality.

         •  Control Cost ($ x 10 )_ - The total annual cost of controlling
            the point source emissions as calculated by IPP, (from tabulated
            output).

 All costs and damages are on an;annual basis.  As expected, the total emis-

 sions, point emissions, weighted air quality and damages are all monotone

 decreasing functions of stringency.   The control costs are generally mono-

 tone increasing functions of stringency.  The exceptional case is an infre-

 quent negative cost**.  In general, the appearance of negative control cost

 has been interpreted as probably representing a small positive value.
 * The concept of exposure is explained in Chapter 2.0.   Briefly,  it is the
   product of the census tract air quality and population,  summed  over all
   census tracts in the region;  it has the units people.)" UE
                                                      m-
**Actually, the use of S02 emissions to manufacture sulfuric  acid,  when
  applied as a control device in the IPP simulation,  can produce  negative
  costs,  i.e., profit.  However, this is a rare exception and negative  costs
  in the  IPP I simulations were generally found to  be spurious.   They usually
  result  from fuel switching applications.   IPP I switched fuels  on a speci-
  fic price per source basis to a general regional  price basis.   Consistency
  could not always be met  even under the best  of conditions;  this deficiency
  has since been corrected in IPP II.   However, most  of  the problems of this
  kind, even in IPP I, really related to poor  fuel  price data which did not
  propertly reflect demand for low sulfur fuel or accurately  represent  price
  on a BTU basis.   Poor fuel price structure data can produce negative  costs
  even when using  IPP II.

                                     112

-------
3.3  ESTIMATION OF PROPERTY VALUE EFFECTS
      The property value analysis is based on the output of the Property
Value Module of the Benefits Model Segment (Chapter 2.0), using the
NCIAQCR population and housing data and the Washington Implementation Plan
Study regional strategy and air quality data (IPP I).   The additional in-
put required to run the Property Value Module,  i.e., the regression coeffi-
cients for the four Anderson-Crocker property value equations were obtained
from the work of Anderson and Crocker [1970] for Washington, D. C.  The
complete equations are as follows*:
            Type I
               In(PVl) = 3.3901 - 0.0712 In(PSN) - 0.0610 In(PPT)
                       + 0.7677 In(MFI) + 0.0044 In(DLP)
                       - 0.0106 In(OLD) + 0.0251 In(NWT)
                       - 0.0582 In(DIS) + 0.0 In(MRM)
            Type II
               ln(PV2) = 1.1617 + 0.0010 In(PSN) - 0.1698 In(PPT)
                       + 0.9970 In(MFI) + 0.0113 In(DLP)
                       - 0.0213 In(OLD) + 0.0321 In(NWT)
                       - 0.0312 InCDIS) + 0.9064 In(MRM)
            Type III
               ln(PV3) = 0.2428 - 0.0905 In(PSN) + 0.0049 In(PPT)
                       + 0.5109 In(MFI) + 0.012  In(DLP)
                       - 0.0606 In(OLD) - 0.0043 In (NWT)
                       - 0.0216 In(DIS) + 0.0 In(MRM)
            Type IV
               ln(PV4) = 0.4705 - 0.0727 In(PSN) - 0.0302 In(PPT)
                       + 0.4650 In(MFI) - 0.0054 In(DLP)
                       - 0.0408 In(OLD) - 0.0124 In(NWT)
                       - 0.0111 In(DIS) + 0.0 In(MRM)
*For an explanation of census tract attributes and notation, see Section 2.

                                   113

-------
       The impact of various air quality levels on Type I property values




as predicted by the Property Value Module are summarized for the NCIAQCR




in Table 3.3-1; the impact on individual political jurisdictions is de-




scribed in the tables in Appendix D.  Note in Table 3.3-1 that there is a




single line of data for each pair of control strategies identified in




Column 1; the second and third columns give the weighted air quality which




results when these two strategies are applied.  Column four gives the




regional total Type I property value in millions of dollars.  The benefit




listed in Column five must be annualized before it can be compared with




control costs; a reasonable assumption would be that 10% of these benefits




accrue per year.  The average Type I property value (Column six) is per




owner occupied unit, i.e., it is computed by multiplying the number of




owner-occupied units in a given census tract by the median property value




for that tract, repeating this multiplication for each tract in the region,




adding up the products and dividing by the total number of owner-occupied




units in the region.  The annualized control costs in the last three columns




are from IPP.




       The output from the Assignment Module is shown in Table 3.3-2.  The




data presented is similar to that in the previous table, except that an




attempt is made to estimate market effects.   Thus, the total bid before




shift is simply the total regional property value, ignoring the fact that




people are likely to relocate in the face of changing property values.




       Assuming that the households with the highest mean family income




will select the census tract with the highest median property values (and




that the second-highest income will select the census tract with the second




highest median property value, etc.) results in the total and average bid

-------




S02 Strategy/ .
Particulate Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average S02
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m3)*
66.7
59.8
54.4
40.8
36.5
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
Gig/m3)*
70.9
65.6
61.8
58.1
54.6'

Total
Type I
Property
Value
$x!06
5,329.
5,401.
5,448.
5,489.
5,602.



Total
Benefit
$x!06
0.0
72.
47.
41.
113.

Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
22,365
22,664.
22,863.
23,034.
23,507.

Average
Benefit
Per
Household
$
0.0
499.
199.
171.
473.


S02
Control
Cost
$x.l06
0.0
-3.5
6.1
14.6
104.5


Partlr-
ulntr
Contrc'J
$x].0fl
0.0
0.5
4.0
10.8
13.9


Total
Control
Cost
$x!0fl
0.0
-3.0
]0.1
25.4
11R.4
£ (People) (ue/m3)     .,,D/m3
  E (People)M8/m
                                Table  3.3-1.  Type I Property Values:  NC1AQCR Regional Summary

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                             Average
SO 2 Strategy/
Particulote Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
\verage SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m 3) *
66.7
59.8
54.4
50.8
36.5
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(Mg/m 3) *
70.9
65.4
61.8
58.1
54.6
Total
MPV
(SjdOj)
4.172.
4,172.
4,172.
4,172.
4,172.
Average
MPV
(S)
17506.
17506.
17506.
17506.
17506.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
C$xlO 6)
5,329
5,401.
5,448.
5,489.
5,602.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($)
22365.
22664.
22863.
23034.
23507.
Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
4,879.
4,941.
4,982.
5,019.
5,100.
Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($)
20,475.
20,735.
20,907.
21,066.
21,402.
Total
Difference
($xlOG)
-450.
-460.
-466.
-469.
-501.
Average
Differei
($)
-1890.
-1929.
-1956.
-1968.
-2105.
*E( People) (Mg/m3)
    EfPeople)
              Table 3.3-2.  Adjusted Type I Property Values:  NCIAQCR, Regional Summary

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after shift.  In every case, there is a lower total regional (and average)




property value after equilibrium has been attained, which is contrary to




what is expected.  In looking at these results, it was realized that an




important model capability, which could account for the apparent error,




had been omitted.  The current algorithm assumes families from any given




census tract can move to any other census tract, i.e., will find sufficient




housing units.  This may be a credible assumption when the total population




of each tract is considered, but it is not valid when looking at market




effects on owner occupied units only.  The capability of accounting for




variation is currently being incorporated into the model.
                                    117

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                              4.0   REFERENCES

ANDERSON, Robert J. and Thomas D.  CROCKER,  January 1970:  "Air Pollution
and Housing:  Some Findings," Purdue University,  Paper 264.

Bureau of Census, U.  S. Department of Housing,  1960:  "U.  S.  Censuses of
Population and Housing: 1960," Final Report PHC(1)-166.

LARSEN, Ralph I., January, 1969: "A New Mathematical  Model of Air Pollution
Concentration Averaging Time and Frequency," Journal  of the Air Pollution
Control Association,  Volume 19, No. 1.

MARTIN, Delance 0., and Joseph A.  TIKVART,  June 1968: "A  General Atmos-
pheric Diffusion Model for Estimating the Effects on  Air  Quality of One or
More Sources," Journal of the Air  Pollution Control Association, pp. 68-148.

TRW Systems Group, November 1969:  "Air  Quality  Display Model (AQDM)."

TRW Systems Group, November 1970:  "Air  Quality  Implementation Planning
Program" (IPP), Volume I Operator's Manual, Volume II Programmer's Manual.

TRW Systems Group, August 1970: "Implementation Plan  for  Controlling Sulfur
Oxide and Particulate Air Pollutants,"  Report No. 16295.000.
                                   119

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                                APPENDIX A

       THE IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING PROGRAM,  CONTROL  COST  CALCULATIONS



                             1.0  INTRODUCTION

      The Implementation Planning Program (IPP)  estimates the direct cost

of emission control to the major point sources.   These point source control

costs provide the only cost data currently utilized  by the RAPA Cost/Benefit

Model.  Thus, IPP serves as the Cost Segment for the Cost/Benefit Model.

The details of the cost calculations, as performed in the production version

of IPP (IPP II)* are presented here for convenience.


               2.0  CONTROL MEASURES AND DEVICE  APPLICATION

      In general, assignment of a control device to  a particular point

source depends upon a number of engineering factors  related to both the

source and device characteristics.  Within the Control Cost Program of IPP,

device assignment is performed in two basic steps which produce a list of

pollution control devices for each point source.  The first step involves

determining those devices which apply to the general source type (defined

by their SIC and process code).  The second step requires examination of

each source within the SIC and process group to  determine which of the

applicable devices can actually be assigned (i.e., installed) to the point

source.  This second list of control devices actually applied to each source
*
  Air Quality Implementation Planning Program, Vol.  I, Operator's Manual,
  Vol. II, Programmer's Manual, Environmental Protection Agency,  National
  Air Pollution Control Administration, Washington,  D. C.,  Contract No.  PH-
  22-68-60, TRW Systems Group, Washington Operations, November 1970.

                                    121

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includes only those remaining after certain criteria have been satisfied.




A list of control devices and measures that are considered in the Control




Cost Program is provided in Table A.2-1.   The application criteria, device




descriptions, Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) and process codes




are covered in Volume I of the IPP manual.




      IPP contains certain pre-set values for device control efficiencies,




cost coefficients and other relevant parameters.  These pre-set values




(Table A. 2-2) may be changed by the user through the input data.  The




Emission Standards Program of IPP attempts to apply each specified emission




standard to every applicable point source.  For each applicable source, the




allowable emission rate is determined and, based on the control device in-




formation provided in the final list from the Control Cost Program, an




appropriate device or measure is selected.  Final selection of the appro-




priate control device is based on the following tests:




      (a)  If the existing emission rate is less than the allowable




           emission rate, no device is chosen.




      (b)  If not (a), then apply the device which results in a




           controlled emission less than the allowable emission




           defined by the standard.




      (c)  If more than one device produces sufficiently low emissions,




           the device having the lowest annualized cost is selected.




      When none of the available devices allows the sources to meet a




particular emission standard, the most efficient device is selected.




      To evaluate the impact of the regionwide emission control strategy




on regional air quality, the Regional Strategies Program of IPP adjusts




each receptor concentration value by modifying the contribution of each
                                     122

-------
   Table A.2-1.  Pollution Reduction Devices or Methods
                 Applied to Point Sources  in IPP.

001     Wet Scrubber - High Efficiency
002     Wet Scrubber - Medium Efficiency
003     Wet Scrubber - Low Efficiency
004     Gravity Collector - High Efficiency
005     Gravity Collector - Medium  Efficiency
006     Gravity Collector - Low  Efficiency
007     Centrifugal Collector -  High Efficiency
008     Centrifugal Collector -  Medium Efficiency
009     Centrifugal Collector -  Low Efficiency
010     Electrostatic Precipitator  - High Efficiency
Oil     Electrostatic Precipitator  - Medium Efficiency
012     Electrostatic Precipitator  - Low Efficiency
013     Gas Scrubber
014     Mist Eliminator - High Velocity
015     Mist Eliminator - Low Velocity
016     Fabric Filter - High Temperature
017     Fabric Filter - Medium Temperature
018     Fabric Filter - Low Temperature
019     Catalytic Afterburner
020     Catalytic Afterburner with  Heat Exchanger
021     Direct Flame Afterburner
022     Direct Flame Afterburner with Heat Exchanger
027     Eliminate Coal Combustion
028     Eliminate Coal and Residual Fuel Oil Combustion
029     Change all Fuel Use to Natural Gas
030     No Fuel Use Over  a Maximum  Sulfur Content (Specified
        by the User in  the Regional Data Base )
031     Same as Device  030 but with a Different Allowable
        Sulfur Content
032     Same as Device  030 but with a Different Allowable
        Sulfur Content
039     Catalytic Oxidation - Flue  Gas Desulfurization
041     Dry  Limestone  Injection
042     Wet  Limestone  Injection
043     Sulfuric  Acid  Plant - Contact  Process
044     Sulfuric  Acid  Plant - Double Contact  Process
045     Sulfur Plant
                              123

-------
                                  Table A.2-2.  IPP Control Device Preset Data
N>
Rated
Efficiency
ID
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
27
28
29
30
31
32
39
41
42
43
44
45
Device Name
WET SCRUBBER HI EFFIC
WET SCRUBBER MED EFFIC
WET SCRUBBER LOW EFFIC
CRAV COLLECTOR HI EFFIC
CRAV COLLECTOR MED EFFIC
CRAV COLLECTOR LOW EFFIC
CYCLONE HI EFFIC
CYCLONE MED EFFIC
CYCLONE LOW EFFIC
ELECT PRECIP HI EFFIC
ELECT PRECIP MED EFFIC
ELECT PRECIP LOW EFFIC
CAS SCRUBBER
MIST ELIMINATOR HI VEL
MIST ELIMINATOR LOW VEL
FABRIC FILTER HI TEMP
FABRIC FILTER MED TEMP
FABRIC FILTER LOW TEMP
CATALYTIC AFTERBURNER
CATALYTIC AB WITH HE
DIRECT FLAME AFTERBURNER
DIRECT FLAME AB WITH HE
ELIMINATE COAL
ELIMINATE COAL AND R OIL
SWITCH TO GAS
SULFUR LIMITATION 1
SULFUR LIMITATION 2
SULFUR LIMITATION 3
CATALYTIC OXIDATION
DRY LIMESTONE INJECTION
WET LIMESTONE INJECTION
H2504 PLANT-CONTACT
H2504 PLANT-2 CONTACT
SULFUR PLANT
so2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
80.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
. 0.0
0.0
0.0
90.0
50.0
80.0
97.5
99.5
95.0
Part
98.0
90.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
30.0
85.0
75.0
60.0
99.0
95.0
90.0
80.0
99.0
85.0
99.0
99.0
99.0
95.0
95.0
95.0
95.0
0.0
. 0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
98.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Manufacturers Price Coefficient
1
0.289E 01
0.289E 01
0.126F 01
-0.445E 00
-0.420E-01
0.300E-02
0.241E 01
0.151E 01
0.244E 00
0.424E 02
0.312E 02
0.197E 02
0.317E 01
0.266E 01
0.177E 01
0.145E 01
0.348E 01
0.266E 01
0.755E 01
0.755E 01
0.571E 01
0.571E 01
5.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.124E 02
0.0
0.111E-05
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.228E 00
0.228E 00
0.145E 00
0.326E 00
0.155E 00
0.560E-01
0.197E 00
0.157E 00
0.990E-01
0.623E 00
0.441E 00
0.318E 00
0.251E 00
0.325E 00
0.217E 00
0.831E 00
0.448E 00
0.325E 00
0.151E 01
0.151E 01
0.117E 01
0.117E 01
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.167E 01
0.995E-06
0.481E-16
0.800E 00
0.800E 00
0.810E 00
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.603E-16
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
•3S
*J 4J
2 ii
e 
-------
source according to its "new" emission rate.   The "new" emission rate for

each source is determined as follows:

      (a)  If the existing emission rate is less than the allowable

           emission, the existing emission rate is used.   Otherwise

           the allowable emission rate under the appropriate emission

           standard is used*.

      (b)  For area sources, the scale factor (user supplied input) is

           applied to the existing emission rate and the resulting

           emission rate is used by the program in the determination

           of new air quality.   However, no cost estimates are made

           for control of area sources.
*
  This is only true for IPP II.   The rationale is that in practice,  it is
  technically possible to supply, and sources will purchase devices  which
  meet requirements only.  IPP I used the controlled emission rate to deter-
  mine new air quality.  The controlled rate may be less than the allowable
  rate due to the limited number of devices and parameters that can be dealt
  with in practice in the simulation.

                                    125

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                      3.0  CONTROL COST CALCULATIONS




     The total annual cost resulting from the assignment of a control device


to a point source involves the component costs:   purchase cost,  installation


cost, interest charges,  and operating and maintenance costs.  The calculations


as performed in IPP involving each of these component costs are  described in


the subsections below.


     In addition to the control devices described, a set of emission control


methods have been included in the Control Cost Program.   These methods are


designed to provide a reduction in combustion source emissions by using fuel


substitutions to modify the existing fuel use pattern.


3.1  PURCHASE COST


     The purchase cost of control devices depends, in general, upon the


characteristics and complexity of the control device and the size of the


pollution source to be controlled.  In the Control Cost  Program, these


parameters are used to determine a basic purchase cost  equation  for each


control device.  The general form of this equation is:

                                            2
                             y = a + bx + ex ,




The  coefficients a, b and  c  in  this  equation  correspond  to "Manufacturer's


Price  Coefficient"  1, 2  and  3,  in Table  A.2-2, respectively.
                                    126

-------
      When the corrosive gas stream from acid manufacturing facilities.
are controlled, more expensive control device construction materials must
be used.  For these cases the Control Cost Program, utilizes the following
factors to Increase the device purchase price:
                 If exit temperature _< 330°F, multiply purchase cost by 1.7.
                 If exit temperature > 300°F, multiply purchase cost by 5.0
 3.2  INSTALLATION COST
      The cost of installing a control device on a particular source is
 calculated on the basis of an installation cost factor.  This factor is
 expressed as a percentage, of the purchase price and is a user input item
 for each control device.  The program sums purchase cost and installation
 charge to determine the j^otal installed cost for each source-device
 combination.
      For some control device installations, however, extensive modifications
 of the source are required and it is not possible to identify a purchase cost
 figure independent of the installation charge.  For these devices, the total
 installed cost is estimated by the  purchase price equations described in
 Subsection  3.1.  No additional factor is required in these cases  to
 account for installation at a source site.  Devices in this category are the
 flue gas desulfurization units (039, 041, 042) and by-product manufacturing
 facilities  (043, 044, 045).

 3.3  ANNUAL CAPITAL CHARGE
      After the  total installed cost  (purchase plus installation)  of a
 device has been  determined, an annualized capital charge is calculated,
 based on the user inputs:  rated life of the control device and prevailing
                                     127

-------
interest rate.  Therefore, the annual cost comprises both depreciation of




the initial total investment (installed cost from Subsection 3.2) and




the interest costs.




      The particular accounting technique employed here is called the




Capital Recovery Factor (C.R.F.).  The use of the C.R.F. allows the write-




off of the initial investment to be divided into a uniform series of end-




of-year payments.




      The C.R.F. multipled by the initial investment cost (debt) determines




the uniform end-of-year payments necessary to repay the debt in "N" years




(the rated life of the device) with an interest rate "i" (decimal equivalent)




The C.R.F. is calculated by the following relation:
                         c.R.F. =
                                  (1 + i)N - 1
The annual capital charge is then computed to be the product of the total




installed cost and the C.R.F. value.




      In practice, the capital recovery concept operates as follows:




      (1)  Payments are made at the end of each year in the amount




           determined by multiplying the capital recovery factor




           by the initial debt.




      (2)  Interest payments are made to the bondholders at the




           end of each year in the amount determined by multiplying




           the interest rate by the initial debt.




      (3)  The difference between the equal annual payments and the




           interest payments to the bondholders is placed into a




           depreciation account where it is assumed to draw interest




           at the same rate paid to the bondholders.
                                     128

-------
      The total yearly cost to the source for controlling pollution by

means of a specified device is then the sum of the annual capital charge

and the annualized operating and maintenance expense discussed in the

next subsection.

3.4  OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE EXPENSE

      Operating and maintenance  (O&M) expenses are usually a major portion
of  the annualized control  device  cost.  The  factors which must be con-
sidered in determining  the annual O&M cost of a particular source-device
combination consist of:  the  amount of power  (calculated as electrical
power) necessary to maintain  the  effluent gas flow through the control de-
vice, the quantity of labor required, the cost of liquid or additional fuel
used by the device, and the cost  or credit resulting from disposal of the
collected pollutant.  These factors are used  in the following equations
to  determine the O&M cost  for each type of control device pre-set in ipp.


      For control devices  001 through 022, a  single equation is used to
compute the annual O&M  cost:

                    O&M =  AB + CD -I- EF + GI + JK + LM,

            where A = electricity quantity (kwhr/yr)     (a)*
                  B = electricity cost ($/kwhr)          (input as regional
                                                        data)
                  C = water quantity (gal/yr)     (b)
                  D = water cost  ($/gal)          (input as  regional data)
                  E » chemical quantity  (ton/yr)  (c)
                  F = chemical cost ($/ton)       (input as  device data)
                  G = fuel quantity (cu.ft./yr)   (d)
                  I = fuel cost  ($/cu. ft.)       (natural gas value,  input
                                                  as regional data)
                  J = disposal quantity  (ton/yr)  (e)
                  K = disposal cost ($/ton)       (input as  device data)
                  L = labor quantity  (hr/yr)      (f)
                  M = labor cost  ($/hr)           (input as  regional data)
 *
 The letters  refer  to  the  following  items which describe  the  computation
 of  these data elements.

                                     129

-------
The computation of these data elements are as follows:

      (a)  Electricity Quantity (kwhr/yr) = (1.955 10"4)pVH

           where p = pressure drop (in H_0)

                 V = exhaust gas volume (ACFM) this is the new
                     computed volume (x) in the case of a wet
                     device

                 H = operating hours (hr/yr)

           If the device is one of the electrostatic precipitators
           (010, Oil, 012), the following quantities are added to
           the electricity quantity:

                 Device 010, add  (0.34 10"3) VH

                 Device Oil, add  (0.26 10"3) VH

                 Device 012, add  (0.19 10"3) VH

      (b)  Liquid Quantity (gal/yr) =  (3.0 ID*2) VH

           The liquid quantity is only computed for wet devices
           (001, 002, 003, 013).  For  these cases the exhaust gas
           volume (V) will always be the new computed volume.

      (c)  Chemical Quantity (ton/yr) = P H
                                         5

           where P  = amount of SO. removed by the device  [(ton/day)/(8*shifts)]

      (d)  Fuel Quantity = fVH

           where f = 0.490, if device  019

                     0.245, if device  020

                     1.000, if device  021

                     0.404, if device  022

                     0.000, all other  devices

               It should be noted that additional fuel is only used  for
               the catalytic and  direct flame  afterburners.  The program
               assumes that the additional fuel is natural gas.
                                    130

-------
     (e)   Disposal Quantity - Emission rate for pollutant in
          question (tons/day) times new device efficiency (after ad-
          justment) for same pollutant times 365 (days/year).
          This is computed for each of the pollutants.
     (f)   Labor Quantity = LH
          Where H = operating time (hr/yr)
                L = labor (labor hours/operation hours)
          There are four, user input, labor values which relate
          to the source size being controlled (small, medium,
          large, and extra large).  Source size is measured by V,
          actual cubic feet of exhaust gas per minute (as corrected).
          The program selects the appropriate value as follows:
          Use the "small" value for                   V <_    40,000
          Use the "medium" value for         40,000 < V <_   250,000
          Use the "large" value for         250,000 < V <_ 1,000,000
          Use the "extra large" value for             V > 1,000,000
For any particular control device, only some of the  terms in the above
            i
equation will be non-zero.  An electrostatic precipitator, for instance,
will not use liquid, chemicals, or additional fuel.  The quantity JK how-
ever, will always be calculated.
      Operating and maintenance costs for the remaining control devices
cannot be estimated by the above calculations.  These devices  are generally
more complex (involving sulfur oxide removal), and separate equations have
been developed to compute their O&M expenses.  These equations are based
on manufacturers' specifications and operating experience reported in the
literature.
      For the three flue gas desulfurization measures considered, the fol-
lowing calculations of operating cost are used.
                                    131

-------
                       Device 039 - Catalytic Oxidation
                                    O&M = 0.05'(total installed cost)
                                    + AB + JK

                                    Where A, B, J, and K are as defined
                                    above.
                       Device 041 - Dry Limestone
                                    O&M = 365 P   (0.17 + 7.0 SC ) + 25,000
                                               c               c

                       Device 042 - Wet Limestone

                                    O&M = 365 P   (0.196 + 3.82 SC ) +
                                    130,000    C                 °

            where      P  = coal burned in ton/day  (Source File)

                       S  = coal sulfur content, decimal (Source File)

                       C  = chemical cost in $/ton  (input as device data)

      The O&M costs associated with the use of sulfuric acid or sulfur

by-product manufacturing as a pollutant control measure (devices 043, 044,
and 045) are computed from the following equation:

            O&M - JK - (Purchase Cost)/(Rated Life) -I- y
where, for each device:

            J • disposal quantity, as calculated in Item  (e) above,

            K - input disposal cost

            Purchase Cost = value computed in Subsection 3.1, Item (f)

            Rated Life » input as device data

            y » value as calculated below.  The variable P used in these
                computations is the percentage concentration of sulfur
                dioxide, by volume, in the exhaust gas as given in Sub-
                section  3.1, item  (f).
                                    132

-------
           Devices 043, 044 - Sulfur ic Acid Plant - Single Contact and
                              Double Contact Process
                       Iog1()y = 0.75 log1Qx + a
                 where y = annual cost (in 10  $)
                       x = sulfur emission in ton/day
                 if         0 <_ P < 3.0,  then a =• 1.6903
                          3.0 £ P < 6.0,  then a = 1.4445
                          6.0 <_ P < 10.0, then a = 1.2076
                                P > 10.0, then a = 1.721
            Device 045 - Sulfur Plant
                         I°g10y =0.81 log1Qx + a
                 where y =» annual cost (in 10  $)
                       x = sulfur emission (above)
                 if         0 £ P < 5.0, then a = -1.210
                          5.0 <_ P < 7.0, then a =  1.375
                                P >_ 7.0, then a =  1.435
      In addition to the O&M costs described in this Subsection,  the program
calculates the cost of necessary cooling of the effluent gas stream prior
to device application.  This cost is calculated whenever the temperature
of the gas entering the cooling device (approximated by the exhaust gas
temperature) exceeds 532°K (500°F).  The cost computations, performed for
each source assigned device combination, are as follows:
      If exhaust gas volume is greater than or equal to 2000 ACFM but les*
than 6800 ACFM,
             Cost  ($) - 1131.7 [ e['A36 ln  (8/1000)]    + 124 +  .07185 S'
                                                        - 71  ?
                      + S[(. 0003225 +  .000016286              ) H
.  .0000019 (.24T - 71.26) H
"*                 -.          "*" •
                                                       , ,
                                                     «** J
                                     133

-------
      If exhaust gas volume is greater than or equal to 6800 ACFM but less
100,000 ACFM
             Cost ($) = 720.17   e
                                  (.668 In (S/1000)]
+ 124 + .07185 S'
                      -I- S[(.0003225 + .000016286  -24T " 71-2) H

                      ,  .0000019 (.24T - 71.2)  H + -Q4]

      where
            S  = exhaust gas volume (ACFM)
            S1 = volume of cooled gas to control device (ACFM @ 500°F)
               = S[526.2 + .023T]/T
            H  =» operating hours per year
               = 365 •  (number of shifts/day) •  8
            T  = exhaust gas temperature (°K)

      If the gas volume is less than 2000 ACFM the program will not apply
the device being considered, and will go on to the next assigned device.
      If the gas volume is greater than 100,000 ACFM,  the program will divide
the ACFM value into equal parts, each of which is less than 100,000 ACFM.
The gas cooling data will then be calculated using the procedure described
above.  The resulting cost and cooled exhaust gas volume is then multiplied
by the number^of equal parts to produce the total values for the device.
      The costs calculated above combine purchase, installation, and operat-
ing costs for the gas cooling measure (assumed to be of the water spray
type) and are on an annualized basis.  The new exhaust gas volume (S') and
new exhaust gas temperature (532°K) become the new source-device character-
istics.
                                   134

-------
    The total annual device cost, output by the program, is then the
annual capital cost (defined in Subsection 3.3) plus the O&M cost and,
if applicable, the gas cooling cost described in this subsection.
3.5  FUEL PARAMETERS AND GENERAL CALCULATIONS
      The fuel substitution portion of the Control Cost Program uses the
data items shown in Table A. 3-1 (obtained from the locations indicated).

      Prior  to  entering  a specific  fuel  substitution routine,  the program
calculates  the following quantities  in  the manner  shown.   These quanti-
ties  are  calculated  once for  each  point source and are  used later  in the
yarious  fuel  substitution calculations.
            (1)   BTU  contribution of  each fuel  burned,  B
                 (a)   Bi(BTU/year)  =  AA  ti± (Boiler  Eff^ 365*
            (2)   Annual  cost of  each  fuel burned,  P
                 (a)   Pi($/year)  =  (^ At 365
(3)   Potential emission from each fuel burned,  E
           sc
                                                              **
                 (a)   E(ton/day)  =•  19.0  A   S   10"3
                 (b)   ESR(ton/day)  =  79.3  ^  SR  10~6
                 (c)   ESD(ton/day)  =  71.8^  SD  10"6
                 (d)   ESG(ton/day)  =  0.2 AQ 10~9
                 (e)   EpC (ton/day)  =  0.5 AC a ^ 10"3
                 (f)   EpR(ton/day)  =  0.5 A^ f2 10"6
  tSee Table A.3-1 for subscript identification.
  *See Table A.3-2 for (Boiler Eff)i values.
**See Tables A.3-3  and A.3-4 for f.. and f- values,  respectively,
                                    135

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                     Table A.3-1.  Fuel Parameters
Symbol
H.
 Ni
 Ni
MA,
    Variable Name

Source ID number

Amount of each existing
fuel burned

Sulfur content of each
existing fuel burned

Heat content of each
existing fuel burned

Ash content of coal
burned
     Units
                                      Tons, gallons, cu.
                                      ft. per day*
                                      Percent by weight
BTU per ton, gallon
or cu. ft.*

Percent by weight
(decimal equivalent)
          Existing device efficiency
          for each pollutant          Decimal fraction
Emission rate for each
pollutant

Unit cost of each exist-
ing fuel burned
Sulfur content of each
new fuel available

Heat content of each new
fuel available

Ash content of each new
coal available
Maximum allowable sulfur
content for each fuel type
Tons per day

Dollars per ton
gallon, cu. ft.*

Percent by weight
(decimal equivalent)

BTU per ton, gallon
or cu. ft.*

Percent by weight
                                      Percent by weight
i subscripts refer to type of fuel (C - coal, R - residual
D - distillate^ oil, G - gas)
J subscripts refer to pollutant (S - SO , P - particulate)
Where Obtained

  Source data


  Source data


  Source data


  Source data


  Source data


  Source data


  Source data


  Region data


  Region data


  Region data


  Region data


  Region data
 oil,
 For coal, oil and gas respectively.
                                 136

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                   Table A.3-2.  Boiler Efficiencies
         BTU  Range
Annual BTU Output >_ 0.1 x 10'

Annual BTU Output < 0.1 x 10
Coal
.87

.75
     Efficiency
Residual  Distillate  Natural
   Oil        Oil       Gas
  .86

  .77
.86

.77
.82

.80
NOTE:  Boiler efficiencies are utilized in the following manner to
       calculate the amounts of new fuel required:
                                       q
       1.  Assume annual BTU > 0.1 x 10

       2.  Use efficiencies from first row.

       3.  Compute:  H. A  Eff. for each fuel (i) and total them

           together
                                                  9
       4.  If total in No. 3 is less than 0.1 x 10 , then the
           initial assumption  (step 1) was incorrect and the
           computation is redone using the set of
           efficiencies from the second row.
                                  137

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     Table  A.3-3.   (f^) Coal Partlculate Emission Factors
   Process No.                Combustion Type              £
                                                            1
      00               All  types  not  listed                15

      10               Pulverized,  general                 16

      20               Pulverized,  Dry bottom              17

      30               Pulverized,  Wet bottom without
                       fly  ash  reinjection                 13

      40               Pulverized,  Wet bottom with
                       fly  ash  reinjection                 24

      50               Cyclone                              2

      60               Spreader Stoker without fly
                       ash  reinjection                     13

      70               Spreader Stoker with fly
                       ash  reinjection                     20

      80               All  other  stokers                    5

      90               Hand fired                         20/a*
a = ash content of coal burned, percent by weight (decimal equivalent),
                             138

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        Table A.3-4.   (f )  Oil and Gas Particulate Emission Factors
                                  SIC Codes*
     Fuel


Residual Oil

Distillate Oil

Natural Gas
4911


   8

 6.5

  15
2xxx,  3xxx


    23

    15

    18
All Other


   23

   15

   19
*A list of Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)  Codes and process
 Codes are given in Air Quality Implementation Planning Program - Volume I
 Operators Manual, Contract No. PH 22-68-60, November 1970.
                                    139

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                 (g)   EpD(ton/day) = 0.5 Ad l^ 10"6
                 (h)   EpG(ton/day) = 0.5 AQ ^ 10"9
                 S_,  SR,  SQ and a are all expressed as a percent  (i.e.,  a
                 number between 0 and 100).   The coefficients were  obtained
                 by  combining conversion dimensional factors with appropriate
                 emission factors (generated by HEW).
      To insure the  compatibility of the input data, the program next  com-
 pares the input total emission rates (e.) with the calculated  fuel emission
 rates (E ).   This comparison is made as follows (where the emission rates have
 have been corrected for  any existing control devices):
                 (ESC + ESR + ESD + ESG)  (1 - V  = ES
                 (EPC + EPR + EPD + EPG>
                ES                  EP
      If  0.8  <   —  < 1.2 and 0.8 < —  <  1.2,  then the  input  data  is
             -  es  -             ~ep
 assumed  to be  correct for the purposes of this test.  However,  if  the
 ratio of the emission rates is not within these limits  for  either  pollu-
 tant, the program terminates operations on that source,  prints  the follow-
 ing  data,  and  begins operating on the next source:
 (Source  ID Number)  - fuel data error - E. = (Calculated  Emission Rate)
                                        e  = (Input Emission Rate)
 After making these  calculations, the program begins application of specific
 fuel substitution measures.
 3.6   SPECIFIC  FUEL  SUBSTITUTION MEASURES
      The program contains three fuel elimination methods (Devices  027,
028,  and  029) and three fuel sulfur content limitation methods (Devices
                                    140

-------
030, 031, and 032).  The fuel elimination methods are primarily intended

to control particulate emissions and as a result, are likely to yield

misleading results if applied to sulfur oxides emissions.

      The operational characteristics of the fuel substitution measures are

 as follows:

     (a)  (Device 027) Elimination of Coal

          This method converts any coal which a source may be burn-
          ing to residual oil, distillate oil, or natural gas with
          an equal or lower sulfur content.  If the source is not
          burning coal (i.e., B  = 0), this method is inapplicable
          and the program moves to the next control method.  If the
          source is burning coal (i.e., Bc ^ 0), the program examines
          the alternate fuel information in the regional data, and
          picks the grade of residual oil with the highest sulfur
          content less than or equal to the sulfur content of the
          coal being replaced.  In the event there is no residual
          fuel oil in the region data input which satisfies the
          above requirements, the program will examine distillate
          oil and attempt, in the same manner as above, to select
          an alternate fuel.  If no distillate oil is available
          which meets the requirements, the program switches to
          natural gas (if available) as the only possible alternate
          fuel.  If gas is not available, the program moves to the
          next control method.  In this case the program prints an
          error message to the effect that the specified fuel sub-
          stitution could not be made.  The quantity of new
          (substituted) fuel needed is determined by the require-
          ment that the usable heat input (BTU/hr) must remain un-
          changed after the fuel substitution.

     (b)  (Device 028) Elimination of Coal and Residual Oil

          This control method operates in the same manner as
          Device 027, except that the first fuel switch attempted
          (from coal and residual oil) is to the proper grade of
          distillate oil.

     (c)  (Device 029) Elimination of Coal and All Fuel Oil

          This control method operates in the same manner as
          Device 027, except that all existing fuels are switched
          to gas.
                                    141

-------
      (d)   (Devices  030.  031,  023)  Fuel  Limitation  Based  on Maximum
           Allowable Sulfur Content

           The three fuel sulfur content limitation methods differ
           only in that a unique set  of  allowable sulfur  content
           levels  may be  input for  each  method.  For each method,
           an allowable sulfur content for  coal, oil and  gas must
           be input.

           The program is designed  to replace  existing high sulfur
           content fuels  with  lower suflur  content  fuels  (of the
           same type if possible)  taken  from the input region data
           base.

           The basic  series of  steps followed by the program for
           assigning  fuel usage under the various  sulfur limitations
           are outlined below:

           (1)  Each  existing fuel being burned is  examined to deter-
                mine  if the specified sulfur limitation  is exceeded.

           (2)  If  the limit  is exceeded, then a search  is made of the
                regional data base for a fuel of the same type (i.e.,
                coal, residual  oil, etc.) having the proper percent
                sulfur.

           (3)  If no fuel of the same type meets  the requirements,
                then  alternate  fuel types are considered.  Alternate
                fuel  types are  examined in the following order until
                a suitable fuel is found:  Residual Oil  (grades 1
                through 5), Distillate Oil (grades  1 through 3), and
                Natural Gas.

3.7  FUEL  SUBSTITUTION COMPUTATIONS

      After a suitable fuel grade has been determined,  the Control Cost
Program carries out a series of calculations  leading to  the determination
of the cost and the various fuel use  and emission  parameters.   The first
step is to compute the amount of each new fuel required.   This  is accom-
plished through use of the annual cost  (P.) and annual  BTU contribution
(B.), as calculated in Subsection 3.5,   The specific procedure  for the
fuel elimination and sulfur content limitation methods  are as  follows:
                                    142

-------
           Devices  027.  028.  029

           For  these  devices,  the  total  usable  heat produced by  the elimi-
           nated  fuels  (Bi,i  = C and/or  R  and/or  D) must equal the total
           usable heat  produced by the substitute fuel  (BNi>i =  R or D or
           G),  i.e.,
                                Bi "  BNi
           Substitute fuels are sought having the same  or  lower
           sulfur content as the fuel to be eliminated.   If  these
           requirements cannot be satisfied for a given fuel substi-
           tution, the program will attempt to meet the conditions
           with a more costly fuel substitution (e.g.,  for device
           027, if residual oil is not acceptable switch to
           distillate oil is attempted).


           Devices 030. 031. 032

           For the sulfur limitation methods, a number of fuels may
           be eliminated in favor of a number of others, but the
           substitutions are made on a one-for-one basis so that  the
           usable heat produced by an eliminated fuel will be exactly
           matched by  the usable heat produced by  the corresponding
           substitute  fuel, i.e.,

                   B   (i=C,R,D, or G) = B   (i=C,R, or D)

           The process is repeated until the  requirements are met or
           the fuel types available for substitution are exhausted,
           in which case the program will print a message to the
           user and go on to the next control method (device) in the
           table.

The amount(s) of new fuel(s) is then determined from the following

equation:


                                    BN1	
                       V    HN1(Boiler Eff .)HN± (i ~  C>R>D»  or G)

The annual cost of each new fuel is then computed as:


                       PNi = ^i CNi'

Summing P   for all new fuels used gives the annual cost of the fuel(s).
The annual costs of the fuels to be eliminated (P ) are then summed.  The
total additional annual fuel cost (C  ,,) is the total new fuel sum minus
                                    add
the total old fuel sum.
                                   143

-------
       The  new (controlled)  emission  rates  are  now  calculated by use of  the
 following  equations:
                     6NS =    1     - ES +  <19-° V; SNC

                                    S     ~
                                     NR
                        + (0.2 ANG 10'9)    (1 -Ds)
                    6NP
                                   f2 10~) +  (0'5 *ND f2
                                         9*
                          (0-5 A   f  Kf)
The decimal efficiencies of the control method are calculated from:
                              e                e
                        -      NS        _      NP
                     NS       eg   '   NP     ~ II

      The final calculations  for the  fuel substitution methods consist
of:   (1) summing the total fuel, by fuel category, used by the source
after application of each method and  (2) for devices 030, 031, and 032,
calculating the sulfur dioxide  allowable emission rate.
      The sulfur dioxide allowable emission rate for devices 030, 031,
and 032 is based upon  the existing source emissions and upon the existing
and allowable sulfur content.   If a source already uses fuel with a sulfur
content at or below the allowable levels then  the allowable emission rate
is set equal to existing emissions.   If sulfur  content levels higher than
the maximum allowable  are being used  then the  following computation is
carried out for each fuel type.
 *Thus,  in  general
                                    1A4 .

-------
                                               Allowable Sulfur Content.
      Allowable Emission.  = Existing Emission. -—:	:	• n,.	—
                        i                    i Existing Sulfur Content.
where the existing emission rate used in this equation represent the emis-
sions from a particular fuel type.  These allowable emissions are then
summed by fuel type to provide an overall allowable source emission rate
under the sulfur content limitation specified by the control measure.
                                    145

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                               APPENDIX B

 SOURCES OF CENSUS TRACT INFORMATION REQUIRED FOR RAPA COST/BENEFIT MODEL



                             1.0  INTRODUCTION

      The census data contains information that can be expressed in terms

of census tract attributes.   Table B.l-1 contains a list of census tract

attributes most of which have been identified for cost/benefit analyses

                         1 2
purposes by T. C. Crocker '   (notation follows that of Crocker).  This list

although not complete, is fairly extensive.  However,  only those attributes

indicated by an asterisk have found application in the present model.
       2
Crocker  has identified additional census tract attributes which are of

importance, but are not available from the censuses of population and

housing.  These include:

      •   AMD - the averages (arithmetic mean) monthly dustfall
          by census tract.

      •   SOT - the average  (arithmetic mean) monthly  sulfur
          dioxide concentration

      •   CRM - provides a measure of the crime rate:  available
          for Washington, D. C. from a Congressional hearing
          Crime in the District of Columbia (1965).

      •   SCH - the annual expenditure per student.

      •   TAX - the tax rate; available for Washington, D. C.,
          from D. C.  Appropriations for 1965:  Hearings before
          Subcommittee on Appropriations, U. S. Senate, 98th Con-
          gress, 2nd Session Vol. L, W.D.C. (1965) p.  350.
  Air Pollution and Housing;  Some Findings, by R.  J.  Anderson and T. D.
  Crocker, Paper No. 264, January 1970, Graduate School of Industrial
  Administration, Purdue University, Lafayette, Indiana.
2
  T. D. Crocker, Private Communication.

                                   147

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      The census tract attributes required for the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model




(those indicated by an asterisk in Table B.l-1) are obtainable by the two




methods described in the remainder of this appendix.
                                    148

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       Table B.l-1.  Census Tract Attributes,  Notation and Definitions
Attribute                        Description

AGE         The median age for all males.

ALL*        The number of all housing units.

BMT         The number of housing units with a basement.

BTH         The number of housing units with more than one
            bathroom.

CAR         The number of units whose residents have no
            automobiles available.

CLK         The number of clerical and sales workers, i.e.,
            the sum of the clerical and kindred workers and
            the sales workers classification in Table P-3 of
            population and housing censuses.

CTY         The number of workers who work in the central city.

DIS*        The distance  (to the nearest half mile) from down-
            town of city  center to middle of census tract.

DLP         The number of dilapidated housing units.

FRM         The number of units of less than four rooms.

MCR*        Median contract rent of renter occupied units.
            Contract rent is the rent agreed upon regardless
            of any furnishing, utilities or services that
            may be included.

MFI*        Median family income for families only.

MGR*        Median gross  rent of renter occupied units.
            Gross rent is the contract rent plus the
            average monthly cost of utilities (water,
            electricity,  gas) and fuels such as wood,
            coal and oil  if these items are paid for
            by the renter in addition to the contract rent.

MIL*        Number of square miles in the census tract

MPV*        Median property value of owner-occupied housing
            units.  Value is the owner's estimate of how
            much the property would sell for on today's
            market  (April 1960 for present study).  This
            category is restricted to property with only
            one housing unit and no-business.

**"Map"  refers to map supplied with published census tract tables.
Census
Table

(P-3)

(H-l)

(H-l)


(H-l)


(H-2)
(P-3)

(P-3)


(Map)**

(H-l)

(H-l)
 (H-2)
 (H-2)

 (Map)
 (H-2)
                                    149

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       Table B.1-1.  Census Tract Attributes, Notation and Definitions
                                  (Continued)
Attribute

MRM*

MSC

MVD


NEW

NWT*



OLD*

OWN*

POP*

RENT*

RET


SAL
SFH*
SKL
SND
SSK
UEM
                                                        Census
                     Description                        Table

Median number of rooms.                                 (H-l)

Median school years completed.                          (P-ll)

Number of units having residents who moved in
from 1958 to March 1960.                                (H-2)

Number of units ten years old or less.                  (H-l)

Total number of nonwhite occupied units, i.e.,
the sum of nonwhite owner occupied and nonwhite
renter occupied units.                                  (H-l)

Number of units more than  ten years  old.                (H-l)

Number of  all owner occupied housing  units               (H-l)

Total population                                        (D-l)

Number of  all renter occupied housing units.             (H-l)

Number of males  (white and  nonwhite)  65  years
or  older.                                                (P-2)

Number of salaried workers,  i.e.,  the  sum  of
the professional,  technical,  and kindred workers
and managers, officials, and  proprietors,  including
farm  classifications,   (Male  and Female  summed).         (P-3)

Number of single family  housing units,  i.e.,
housing with only  one unit  in the  structure.             (H-l)

Number of skilled  workers,  i.e., the number of
workers in  the  craftsmen,  foremen, and  kindred
workers classification,   (Male and Female  summed).       (P-3)

Number of sound housing  units with all  plumbing
facilities.                                              (H-l

Number of semi-skilled workers, i.e.,  the  number
of  workers  in  the  operatives  and kindred workers
classification.   (Male and  Female  summed).               (P-3)

Number of unemployed persons.   (Male and Female
summed).
                                    150

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     Table B.1-1.  Census Tract Attributes,  Notation  and Definitions
                                (Continued)

                                                                    Census
Attribute                        Description                        Table


USK         Number of unskilled workers, i.e., the sum of the
            private household workers in the operatives and
            kindred workers classification, (Male and Female
            summed).                                                (P-3)


 VAC         Number of  available vacant housing units.                (H-l)

 WKR         Number of  civilian workers, (Male and Female  summed).    (P-3)
    •   Tables P-l, P-2, P-3 present population  characteristics for
        all  tracts.

    •   Tables H-l and H-2 present housing  characteristics  for all
        tracts.

    •   All  tabulated results from:
                    U. S. Censuses of Population and Housing: 1960
                    Final Report PHC  (1)  -  166.
                    U. S. Department of Commerce
                    Bureau of Census
                                    151

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                2.0  BUREAU OF THE CENSUS TABULATED SUMMARIES




      A reliable but laborious technique of obtaining the attributes for




each census tract is to reduce them manually from the tabulated summaries




of the censuses of population and housing available from the Bureau of the




Census.  Samples of the important tables from this source are shown in




Figure  B.2-1.  Annotations have been provided to indicate the sources of




the major census tract attributes given in Table B.l-1.
                                    152

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               Figure B«2-l
  Sample Tables from the Censuses of
Population and Housing with Annotations.
                   153

-------
jAilrruk (*) denote* s'aMt
                                 1'opyUiios prr hoi*e!.cM not s
                                -i «Ho*i» »).»rt b».«* U Icii i'"*i
                                                                 in Mu
SUBJtCT



NJTIVE. FO*. 0» Kl/.tO PtRlNTAlf..
UNITED rlK'jOCH 	





POPULATION in MO'JSFHJLCS 	
HIAO or pa:«T FAI:LY 	
CHILD C»iCM 18 Cc K'.tt 	
POPJLATISN IN SAOU? iJ-'ATEHS . . . . .



• ITM HUSJAKD mo:* us 	
»ITH c?'> CH-.LCf-f.N ujotn IB . . • .


TMCT
3001
"*•£
12
42

757
10
51
2*
UT
116
5*
222
27



a 917
i 6.1 i
1 364
Jtl
t IA4
1 194
90
30
30
3.C1
1 203
1 222
2C1
59 u
ICO
3" 2


—
• SCHOOL f.-MOLL*-: '<~
TOTAL INSaLLEOi 5 TC 34 ,•£•"$ 0.1 .


PCSSOSS 35 >;»as"o.a »:.; o.vs. . .
HO ICXC3. Utr} COH--l.tf(.: 	
COLU:C'I 13 3 I-:AF.$ 	
^ rEOIAN JCHCW. VCAP.< CC.'/'LETtD 	
•rcsiotf^t IN :;:>
"t^SCN: 5 lrc».RJ i'_3 AN3 3VSJ
106
2:i
fau *
"i« >»6
Census Table P-l.
                   General Characteristics  of the
                   Population by Census Tracts:   1960-Con.
                                   154

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                       (Mr-dim not »!iu\vn whnv I-ISP U IMJ ili:in .SO)

SUBJECT
AGE
13 YfAHS .............
14 YEARS 	
• :9 YEARS 	
21 YEAR* AND OVER 	
13 TO 19 YEARS 	
20 TO 21 TEARS 	

45 TO 49 1EARS 	




TRACT
0001
HALE FEMALE
2 316
40
30
38
36
32
36
34
43
32
34
39
42
40
47
38
46
40
25
32
23
1 561
2 316
202
181
12?
112
til
151
171
160
186
141
105
84
45
• 23
11
AQC 37.0
1 631
34
3»
26
32
30
41
31
36
40
38
35
29
41
49
37
3S
46
28
31
23
29
1 896
2 631
186
165
134
90
148
169
191
187
218
206
IfZ
146
173
77
>T
11
41.8

SUBJECT











70 TO 7u YEARS 	
75 YEARS AND OVER 	
MARITAL STATUS
TOVALl 14 YEARS AND OVER .
NON 14 YEARS AND OVER





TRA-:T
00»l
MALE FtXALE
2 167
164
164
199
172
.113
101
102
147
160
153
I7J
iS2
129
ii » 94-J
—*• 79-
—~- 74.
149
12
7
12
9
7
11
10
*
11
T
13
13
12
— *• 11-1
_•- 5"
— *• 3-
41.1
1 114
1 332
17
T9
16
123
27
91
a
»
...
2 U9i
139
I7C
187
157
124
84
13i
1«
184
181
203
173
138
It*
123
137
2
8
7
8
JET10
6
14
T
7
«
IS
17
7
1
9
6
44. «
a 127
439
1 2*1
37
5*
:23
24
12
1
II
I
Census Table P-2.
Age,  Color, and Marital Status of  the
Population, by Sex,  By Census Tracts: 1960-Con.
                                155

-------
                      (Bwod aa 25-ponea; umple.  Pcnst not «bown wben ban it 1m lhu> 2C£|
  ..__
  UCrl —
SAL,

CLX
 3







* gg««LE* 14 YC/RS OLD AND OVER. .




MAAM&0 rOM£N 1N L.F.. WJSBANQ PRES. .






fcCRAFT.'.MCNi FOREMEN* 4 KINDRED iOUKtRS.

b Sf.VICC »KRS,t EXC. P«IV. HOUSE HOLD. •






* CRAFTSMEN. FO«tf£H. * KIN'CRCD lORKEFSi

-SERVICE liCRS.i CXC. P«!V. HOUSEHOLD. •


PRIVATE **QE AND SALARY fQRKCRS* • t •





TRACT
0001
i en
1 IB*
Al*t
1^1 tei
1 «S«


32«
a i2T
831
— "W
— »- 12

1 2f>»
427
93

1 4SB

v^ 17V
• 101
•^> |2i
— *. II*

— fc 103
,-*. 1',
T2


«•• 91
-^ T7I

— «. 2*
,-*-. ftl

-*• 60
• |

1 TO}
312

21


SUBJECT




Fl'RNITUtE 4 L'JM9£ft & ROOD PRODUCTS •



FOOD AS'3 KIKO^EO PnODUC'S 	
PRINT.. PJSLISH'O,. 4 A>.L!EO If.OOS. .
0*:
-------
                       f d.i'» I
                                                               ,.'U|
SU3JECT


TCNU*£i COL'*i WO VACANCT
STATUS




•NKE. . ... :..:;:..;::


FOS SALE ONLY 	
CO-:3[T|ON *N3 Pt'JMilNS
'.ACMNS OKUT h07 t«T£* 	
L»C«INS OTMcR PuU-ils; FACILITIES. .
•JTll ALL O.V--HIS1 TACILITiCi ....
LACHM 0TKCR PL'JX^iJiS *»e!LI'l-'i. .
OUAPI3ATE5 	
94TMP.OOHS
A03.43
' RSO.XS 	

» R.vo-s 	
• RCC.'IJ OR X3»E 	 ; .

TB»CT
0001
ALL i io»




41 131




VAC :<,
:a
!b
17
5M6i 6»
i

41
t>t-t» 1
B-^J1 IJO
B7W si:
&
	 »- li
• » • 141
aii
2->7
2^5
IftRK 5 A
:
suej'cr
UNITS IN STRUCTURE




YEfcft S?R;!tTUH» BUILT






HCATINS riujrvtNT
S'JtLf-IN P01N filTS 	
OTNSR .MciNS IITH3;rl FuUE 	

PERSONS

6 PfHSONS OA Mb^t 	
KCDIANt


PESSONS PCH ROOM
C.50 Cff LESS
0.31 TO 0.15 	 '
C.7» TO 1.00 	 '
1 .01 OR POQC
I
TR».T
0001

5rH i 04«
»»»
:J»
10
• • •
N£W 'is

OLOti ^"3


i&
t :.»
MC
20
3
•


rss
.XJ
).V>
:J|
•5C
:.»
>.o

1.09
il«

       Table H-2.-YEAR MOVED INTO UNir
         OR RENT OP OCCUPIED HOUSING
                  ', AUTOMOBILES AVAILABLE. AND VALUE
                  UNITS. BY CENSUS TRACTS' 1960-Con.
                       (iw.« dat^ V.xind on raroplt; lunlJAC. not ir.t»D *.itre t.xw* ij uzrufHci'-n-.; st-e taxt.
                       Plun ( f-) or u.-.ius (-) a/u-r nurhcr u-Jir*'.t-i mfdi»n »k"%-fr cr U-Iw t^^t n-;mb»r'
SUBJECT
AtL OCCtPJtO UNITS 	
TEAR HOVED INTO UNIT

AUTOMOBILCS AVAILAOLE
VALU:





T«V:T
OOOl
1 6»
*V0 J6U
311
513
J'.V
»67
2D>
CAR Ml
1 021
1
177
»06
130
5'JBjE.CT



OROSS KEHT



CON TRACT «O!T
rfOU* 	 OXLf.«5
TMCT
too i
«7
KPVu tio
•ki
» » »
• • •
2«
1(U
«4
M
4
»15ft. ^
*CK ''SI
Census Table H-l.
Occupancy and  Structural Characteristics of
Housing  Units,  by  Census Tracts:   1960-Con.
                                      157

-------

IMJICT

t|M *oveo INTO wir

AUrOMMILU AVAlLASlt



»*i.Wt



»l3tOCr9 TO M9i933 	 * * .
•10.030 TC IZ«.933 	 	











coNTtucr RIMT



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UAH ftovtc INTO vrttr



AUTOWCSILCS AVAII.A9U
















CClTAACT JICST


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o *i«



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TT JT9
• » 495
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f|
299 039




•

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• 337
• 59
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i 973
i 73>
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11 191
J3 >*09
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I 73 137
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1 912

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• ••





31,4
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106
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111

97

TOTAL


25 C»)




• 3 *33
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i »33
10 T39
21 134
1> «7A
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19 433

• 3







157
It 001
91


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t 743



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i
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• 19



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119
y i«3
119


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1 333


jll

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173

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37%




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f 1
113
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29
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t 396
t 737
301
131
l« TOO
1 371

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373
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103
34

290

1 **
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4 307
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173
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31 319



TRACT
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a
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4)3
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1 IT*
311
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lit

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1* I*T
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13 9li
1) CJ7
1 3*7
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1 T»
{ 791
44 3tl
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1 4»
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14 7j)
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1 31?
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1 I)S
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1 391

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11
41
|3|

1 M
i: «
lit
Census Table H-2.
Year Moved into Unit, Automobiles Available
and Value or Rent of Occupied Housing Units
by Census Tracts:  1960.
                              158

-------
                                   Pluj (+) uf cuw (— ) »
                                                      * mi\ttiui »bov» u* Lrlu* ihM a

M<CT

n»* novcg INTO UNIT



1UTOHOSIV.I* AVAILABLt


. . VU.UC


6X011 HUT






K101AN 	 03O.A*! . .
COMT/UCT UlsiT


SUSJCCT


TIA* HOYIO JNTO Wt(T

»VTOH3MIC1 AVAILA91C


XW.U*



OHOSt IC.1T
«txT<« OCC\.»ltO 	






ooio

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1 liT
60}
2 171
611
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1 617
2 027
3
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661
• 31
11 100
1 111
12
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616
1 010

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I S97
62*
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t .
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161
to
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1 161
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t)
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2*1
271
371
21 390
626

•
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70
106
111
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1 •?)
64
Census Table H-2.  Year  Moved into Unit, Automobiles Available,
                   and Value or Rent of Occupied Housing Units,
                   by Census Tracts:  1960.   (Continued)
                                 159

-------
                         3.0  NTIS MAGNETIC TAPES




      The National Technical Information Service (NTIS) of the Department




of Commerce offers magnetic tapes containing information pertinent to




various business and scientific fields of interest.  Most types are in BCD




mode and are available as:  (1)  7-track, 556 or 800 characters per inch




(cpi), odd or even parity; or (2) 9-track, 800 cpi, odd parity.  Included




in this series are tapes containing information from the censuses of




population and housing.




      Information is given in a format that lists each item of information




together with its location.  Information includes family relationship




within a household, school enrollment of children, income, employment




status, number of personnel employed by industry and in agriculture,




tenancy and vacancy status of housing units, value of property, heating




fuels used, and numbers of workers classified according to type of work.




Tapes currently available are listed in Table B.3-1.
                                    160

-------
                              Table B.3-1

             List  of NTIS Tapes of Population and Housing Data

          ( 1960 for the United States by Standard Location Area )
PB-170 771 — Population and Housing Data for  the  United  States by
              Standard Location Areas,  1960 Census:   Hawaii, Vermont,
              Idaho, Nebraska,  Arkansas,  Delaware,  Rhode  Island,
              South Dakota, Montana, Colorado, 1 reel.

PB-170 772 — Same Title, Louisiana, North Carolina,  Indiana,  1 reel.

PB-170 773 — Same Title, Minnesota, Mississippi,  South Carolina,
              Oklahoma, District of Columbia,  1 reel.

 PB-170-774  — Same  Title,  Ohio,  1  reel.

 PB-170-775  ~ Same  Title,  Nevada,  Washington,  1 reel.

 PB-170-776  — Same  Title,  Michigan, Wisconsin, 1 reel

 PB-170-777  — Same  Title,  Pennsylvania,  1  reel.

 PB-170-778  — Same  Title,  Alaska,  West Virginia, Oregon, Alabama,
               Florida,  1 reel.

 PB-170-779  — Same  Title Iowa, Maryland, Kansas, Maine, North Dakota,
               New Mexico,  Wyoming,  1 reel.

 PB-170-780  — Same  Title,  Texas, Connecticut,  1 reel.

 PB-170-781  — Same  Title,  Virginia, Tennessee, Kentucky, Arizona, 1 reel.

 PB-170-782  — Same  Title,  Missouri, Utah,  New Hampshire, New Jersey, 1 reel.

 PB-170-783  — Same  Title,  Georgia,  Massachusetts, 1  reel.

 PB-170-784  -- Same  Title,  Illinois,  1  reel.

 PB-170-785  — Same  Title,  New  York, Part  I, 1 reel.

 PB-170-786  — Same  Title,  California,  Part I,  1 reel.

 PB-170-787  -- Same  Title,  New  York, Part  II,  California, Part II, 1 reel.
                                    161

-------
                                APPENDIX C

                      PRO FORMA DAMAGE FUNCTION DEVELOPMENT
                           1.0  INTRODUCTION

      Linear relations have been developed by the Office of  Air Programs

for predicting the multiple effects of specific pollutants (sulfur dioxides

and particulates).  These damage functions are based on the  estimates com-

puted by Barrett and Waddell in "The Cost of Air Pollution Damages:  A

Status Report"**.  This study reviewed approximately 36 research studies of

air pollution damages that were in various stages of completion.  About a

third of the studies have been published, another third completed and

unpublished and a third in progress.

      The Barrett-Waddell survey estimated annual national air pollution

damages (1968) due to the pollutants:  sulfur dioxide,  particulates, photo-

chemical oxidants and nitrogen oxides.  Particulates and sulfur dioxide

account for 88 percent of the total damage.

      Four major damage categories were analyzed, and damage cost estimates

were determined for each category.  These were:  (1) residential property;

(2) materials; (3) health; and, (A) vegetation.

      The sources of the pollutants included:  stationary fuel combustion,

transportation, industrial processes, solid waste disposal and miscellaneous

sources.  The damages attributed to each source category were also reported.
*  Taken from:  A Pro Forma Air Pollution Damage Function. Environmental
   Protection Agency, Office of Air Programs, (Unpublished Paper).

** HEW, NAPCA, Raleigh, North Carolina, (Unpublished Paper).


                                    163

-------
Descriptions of the points are as follows:

      (C.), = Per capita cost of effects for pollutant, i, in 1968.


      (C.)0 = Per capita cost of effects of pollutants from
        'i'2
              miscellaneous, uncontrollable sources (i.e.,
              background concentrations) for pollutant, i.
      (X.).. = Average annual urban concentration of pollutant, i,
              considered to be a background level.

      (X.)» = Average annual concentration of pollutant, i, found
              in the nation's urban areas in 1968.

      The development of the four coordinates, C.. , C   X , X , are dependent

upon the following general data inputs:

      (1)  Urban Population—the U. S. Urban population for 1968.

      (2)  Damage Cost Estimates

           A.  The total national air pollution damage cost
               estimate for sulfur dioxide and particulate
               emissions (1968).

           B.  The total national air pollution damage cost
               estimate for sulfur dioxide and particulate
               emissions from miscellaneous sources (i.e.,
               background levels).

      (3)  Pollution Concentration Estimates

           A.  The weighted average pollution concentration
               (sulfur dioxide and particulates) to which the
               1968 U. S. urban population was exposed.

           B.  The background pollutant concentration for
               sulfur dioxide and particulates.

      The specific data gathered for the development of the damage function

were as follows:

      (1)  Urban Population

           The "current" definition of urban population was used in
           determining the statistics for 1968.  The "current"
           definition refers to "all the population residing in
           urban-fringe areas and in unincorporated places of
                                     164

-------
          2,500 or more.*" In 1960, the urban population was
          125,269,000, or, 69.9 percent of the nation's
          population.

          In 1970, 73.5 percent of the nation's population was
          urban.  An urban population of 144,000,000 was determined
          for 1968 by interpolating between the 1960 and 1970
          statistics.
     (2)  Damage Cost

          A.   In the Barrett-Waddell report, the 1968 annual damage
               costs of particulates and sulfur dioxides are estimated,
               based on the measured air quality for that year.

          B.   Barrett and Waddell report that 9.6 tons/year of
               particulates and 0.6 tons/year of sulfur dioxides
               originate from miscellaneous sources  (see Table C.2-1).
               It is assumed that these emissions contribute to the
               background  (i.e., uncontrollable emission) concentra-
               tions of pollutants.  Thus, 33.9 percent of particulate
               and 1.8 percent of sulfur dioxide emissions are considered
               uncontrollable (i.e., emissions generated from construction
               activities, dust off the street or ground, etc.).

               Assuming a direct relationship between quantity of
               emissions generated and the cost of damages, background
               damage cost estimates can be determined for particulate
               and sulfur dioxide emissions, respectively.

      (3)  Pollution Concentration

           A.  The most difficult task in developing the damage function
               was estimating the weighted average pollution concentration
               (WAPC)  for the nation.   The WAPC is the concentration to
               which the average urban resident is exposed.   WAPC is
               determined by the following formula:

                             n

               (WAPC)  =  -        PC                                   (1)
               where :

                   PT  = total U.  S.  urban population

                   P.  = urban population in region i.

                   Ci  = weighted  average pollution concentration (WAPC)
                        in region i.
*  Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census,  U.  S.  Census of Population;
   1960, Vol. I.
** Analogous to the quantity PC defined on a political jurisdiction and
   regional basis in Chapter 2.
                                    165

-------
             Table C.2-1.  Estimates of Nationwide Emissions, 1968
                                 (10   tons/yr)
Transportation
Fuel combustion in
Stationary Sources
Industrial processes
Solid waste disposal
Miscellaneous
Total (1968)
CO
63.8
1.9
9.7
7.8
16.9
100.1
Particulates
1.2
8.9
7.5
1.1
9.6
28.3
SO
X
0.8
24.4
7.3
0.1
0.6
33.2
HC
16.6
0.7
4.6
1.6
8.5
32.0
NO
X
8.
10.
0.
0.
1.
20.
*Source:  Division of Air Quality and Emissions Data,  BCS,  NAPCA.
                                    166

-------
      Available "population" and "air quality" statistics were used to
determine WAPC.  However, these data were insufficient to develop WAPC
without following additional assumptions:
          (1)  Air quality data was not available for all the
               urban  regions  in  the nation  (i.e., for  the population of
               144 million  identified by  the 1968 Census). The  source
               of air quality data was  a  recently published data  book,
               Regional Aerometrics Data  Book;  Sulfur Dioxides and
               Particulates by OAP's  Division  of Air  Quality  and
               Missions  Data.   In  this document, 176 "air sheds"
               are identified;  31 "air  sheds"  being designated  air
               quality control  regions  and  the remaining  being  SMSA's.
               All of the nation's  235  currently  designated SMSA's  are
               included.
                     A total of  61  "air sheds" had  sulfur dioxide concen-
               trations for 1968; 132 "air  sheds" had particulate concen-
               trations reported.   The  population of  the  61 and 132 air
               sheds  were 108.7  million and 132.4 million, respectively.
               Consequently, it  was necessary  to  make the assumption that
               the air pollutant concentrations reported  for  the  identified
               air  sheds  were absolutely identical  to the air quality  to
               which  the  144 million people in the  urban  population were
               exposed (i.e., the data  for  the 61 S0? and 132 particulate
               air sheds  were representative of all urban areas).
           (2)  The air quality  data reported in the Data  Book was not  an
               average pollution concentration for  the region.  There  is
               no way of  knowing where  the  monitoring sites were  located
               in the air sheds in  1968.  Although  some air sheds had  as
                                    167

-------
             many as seven or eight air quality measurements reported,




             there was no way of statistically determining the average




             regional pollution concentration.




    The problem of obtaining a representative air quality estimate is




illustrated in Figure C.2-2.  A cross-sectional slice of a metropolitan




area is illustrated.  Three hypothetical sampling sites are shown—S,, S_,




and S..  With the Data Book, there is no way of knowing where the sites




are located or how representative the measurements are relative to the




air quality for the remainder of the region.




    The desirable air quality estimate is also represented in Figure C.2-2




as the average regional pollution concentration (ARPC).  This estimate is




the same as the WAPC, except the estimate is regional rather than national




in scope.  Naturally, the ARPC will fall somewhere between the maximum




regional pollution concentration and the background level.




    The assumption was made that the air quality concentration reported




in the Data Book was equal to ARPC (i.e., the C  indicated above).  There




were some qualifying conditions.  The Data Book reported air quality mea-




surements taken at urban, suburban and rural monitoring stations.  Only




the urban measurements were used in the analysis.   In cases where more




than one urban measurement was reported, the arithmetic average of all




urban stations was determined to be the ARPC.
                                   168

-------
Pollutant
Concentration
   (Mg/m3)
                               S.,  i  =  1,2,3  =  Sampling  Stations
                          Suburbs
Center City

   Suburbs
                                                                                      Maximum Regional
                                                                                      Pollutant Concentration
                                                                                      Average Regional
                                                                                      Pollutant Concentration
                                                                                              (ARPC)
                                                                                      Background Pollutant
                                                                                      Concentration
                          Geographical Cross-Section of Metropolitan Area
                  Figure  C.2-2.  Cross-Section of Metropolitan Area Air Quality

-------
      The sulfur dioxide estimates were reported as annual arithmetic

averages.  Suspended particulates estimates were reported as average

geometric averages*.  The WAPC was calculated for sulfur dioxide and

particulate emissions, using equation (1).  The results were:

                       (WAPC)SQ  = 96 yg/m3
                               x

                       (WAPC)part< = 97 yg/m3

      It was interesting to compare these results with the direct sum of

all ARPC for the 61 and 132 relevant air sheds reporting such data.   The

averages without weighting were:

                       SO  = 40.4 ug/m3
                         X

                       Suspended particulates = 90.5 yg/m3.

The vast difference between the non-weighted and population-weighted

averages results from the existing high concentration of pollutants  in the

high population regions.  ARPC for particulates ranged from 29 to 331

yg/m3.  The ARPC range for sulfur dioxides was 5 to 350 yg/m3.

      Background concentration for sulfur dioxide and particulates were

determined from various sources.  The calibration procedures of the  IPP

model predicts a background level.  Also, measurements taken on the  perdm-

eter of air quality control regions are often considered to be near  back-

ground levels.  The values used in developing the functions were:

                       Sulfur Dioxide Background:  10 yg/m3

                       Suspended Particulate Background:  40 yg/m3
*Since the standard deviation of the measurements used to determine the
 annual geometric mean were not available, there was no way of converting
 the geometric mean to the arithmetic mean.  Thus, it was assumed that the
 geometric mean was equal to the arithmetic mean.

                                    170

-------
      The tentative (pro forma)  damage functions that  were derived are
linear approximations of the damage cost estimates,  on a national basis,  as
related to urban pollution concentrations.   It was assumed that all damage
costs are realized in the urban areas of the country (as defined by the
Bureau of the Census).  This is reasonable,  since the  great majority of the
people and economic activity are located in  these areas where the pollutant
concentrations are the greatest.  Vegetation damage was estimated less than
one percent of the total annual damage.   However, since many of the "urban
areas" do include agricultural croplands, this estimate was incorporated
into the damage function.
      The linear damage functions relate the per capita annual damage cost
of each pollutant, sulfur dioxide and particulates (in $/per capita/year)
to pollutant concentration in ug/m3.
             2.0  DEVELOPMENT  OF THE  NATIONAL  DAMAGE FUNCTION
       In general, the linear  damage  function  is determined by two points,
 A and B.   Point A represents  the average per  capita damage cost to the
 urban residents exposed to the  1968  pollution concentration levels of the
 nation's AQCRs.    Point B represents the minimum air  pollution damage re-
 sulting from miscellaneous sources (construction activities, urban activity,
 natural sources, etc.).
       From this description,  it is easy to  see that four coordinates are
 needed to determine the function:
                 Cl
                 C2
                          Xl               X2
                           Definition of  Linear  Damage  Function

                                   171

-------
      The data and assumptions thus far reported were inadequate to




determine damage functions for suspended particulates and sulfur dioxide.




The coordinates for developing the two linear functions are reported in



Tables C.2-2 and C.2-3.  The National Damage Functions are shown in Figure




C.2-3.  Due to the tentative character, they are referred to as the Pro




Forma Damage Functions.  They serve to provide a demonstration of the use




of the Damage Module in the Benefits Segment of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model.




Conversely, the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model will serve to test the reasonable-




ness of the present formulation.
                                    172

-------
               Table C.2-2.  National Total Annual Costs of Pollution
                             For Types Of Pollutants and Effects in 1968.
Effects
                    SO
Particulates   Oxidant
                           NO
Total
Residential
Property
Materials
Health
Vegetation
Total
2,808
2,202
3,272
13
8,295
2,392
691
2,788
7
5,878
5,200
1,127 732 4,752
6,060
60 40 120
1,187 772 16,132
Source:  "The Cost of Air Pollution Damages:  A Status Report," Barrett, I.B.,
         and Waddell, T. E., HEW, NAPCA (unpublished report).
                                    173

-------
                  Table C.2-3

  Coordinates for Damage Function Development
Variables
 Suspended
 Particulates

$40.80/capita

$13.80/capita

10 ug/m3

97 yg/m3
   Sulfur
   Dioxide

$57.50/capita

$ 1.03/capita

40 ug/m3

96 yg/m3
                      174

-------
    250
 a
 4J

 •H
 O.


 O
 o>
eu
 to
 o
CJ
 00
OJ


I
o.
cd
M

II)

PU


II


>•
    200
    150
    100
                               100                     200                      300

                                  Weighted Air Pollution  Concentration (pg/m3)
                      Figure C.2-3.   Pro Forma Damage  Functions for S09 and Particulates

-------
                                APPENDIX D









        DEMONSTRATION RESULTS TO THE POLITICAL JURISDICTION LEVEL









      The cost/benefit results of the demonstration at  the regional level,




along with a description of each of the output variables,  is presented in




Section 3.0.  In this appendix, the results for each of the seven political




jurisdictions which make up the NCIAQCR are listed; these  results were




aggregated to obtain the regional summaries presented in Section 3.0 (and




repeated here to make the appendix a complete data package).   Tables D.l-1




through D.l-8 present Damage Module output; Tables D.2-1 through D.2-8




present Property Value Module output, and Tables D.3-1  through D.3-8 pre-




sent Assignment Module output.  Interpretation of the various aggregates,




averages, etc., presented in these tables should include reference to




Sections 2.0 and 3.0 where the various weighting factors used in preparing




this output are described.  In particular, the cautionary  note in Section




3.0 regarding the Assignment Module should be reviewed, i.e., the results




are contrary to what is expected and apparently because of an omission in




the assignment algorithm.
                                   177

-------
                                 Average  Air  Quality
                                    Weighted  With
oo
Strategy
Existing
S-10
S-14
S-15
S-ll
P articulates:
Existing
P-l
P-3
P-18
P-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)
660.6
463.4
332.3
238.0
21.0
160.3
116.0
71.7
61.7
47.4
Respect To
Population
(Mg/ra3)*
65.0
57.8
52.8
49.3
36.4
69.4
64.4
60.8
57.5
54.1
Point
Emission
(Tons/Day)
542.0
344.ff
243.9
176.6
0.0
84.7
54.0
32.0
25.0
10.7
Damage
($ x 106)
73.6
64.0
57.5
52.9
36.0
55.0
50.8
47.5
44.4
41.2 ,
Benefit
($ x 106)
0.0
9.6
16.1
20.7
37.6 ,
0.0
4.7
8.0
11.1
14.3
Control Cost
($ x 106)
0.0
-3.5
6.1
14.6
104.5
0.0
0.5
4.0
10.8
13.9
        E(People)(ue/m3) u
           E(People)
                                 Table  D.l-1.  NCIAQCR - Regional Damage Values  Summary

-------
VO
                                  Average Air Quality
                                     Weighted With
Strategy
fV
Existing
S2-10
S3-14
S4-15
S5-11
Particulates:
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)

156.2
138.4
129.7
110.8
63.5

54.9
32.9
32.9
27.0
23.9
Respect To
Population
(Mg/m3)*

77.4
71.2
63.1
59.4
37.2

77.4
70.8
67.2
61.2
56.8
Point
Emission
(Tons /Day)

92.7
74.9
66.2
47.3
0.0

31.9
9.9
9.9
4.2
0.-9
Damage
($ x 106)

34.5
31.4
27.3
25.4
14.2

24.2
21.8
20.6
18.4
16.8
Benefit
($ x 106)

0.0
3.1
7.2
9.1
20.3

0.0
2.4
3.6
5.8
7.4
Control Cost
($ x 106)

0.0
-3.696
0.971
3.768
27.214

0.0
0.441
0.441
8.415
6.336
         £(People)(ug/m3)
            E(People)
            Table D.l-2.  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //I - District of Columbia

-------
oo
o
                                     Average Air Quality

                                        Weighted With
Strategy
fV
Existing
S2-10
S3-14
S4-15
S5-11
Particulates:
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)

174.1
88.2
62.6
47.7
13.2

23.6
22.0
10.1
10.6
10.2
Respect To
Population
(Mg/m3)*

54.2
46.6
4A.2
41.0
35.9

62.3
59.7
55*4
55.3
52.7
Point
Emission
(Tons /Day)

161.0
75.0
49.5
34.5
0.0

13.7
12.1
0.2
0.7
0.3
Damage
C$ x 106)

10.2
8.5
7.9
7.3
6.1

8.4
8.0
7.3
7.3
6.8
Benefit
($ x 106)

0.0
1.7
2.3
2.9
4.1

0.0
.4
1.1
1.1
1.6
Control Cost
($ x 106)

0.0
-0.052
0.873
2.315
13.642

0.0
-0.034
-7.377
-7.786
-7.323
            £(People)(ug/P3)

               £(People)
Mg/m3
                  Table  D.l-3.  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //2  - Montgomery  County

-------
CD
                                  Average Air  Quality
                                     Weighted  With
Strategy
S02:
Existing
S2-10
S3-14
S4-15
S5-11
Particulates:
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)
193.5
100.1
71.0
52.7
15.0

30.3
28.6
18.5
20.7
19.9
Respect To
Population
(M8/m3)*
69.8
61.1
55.6
51.7
37.0

74.9
66.9
61.4
58.4
56.3
Point
Emission
(Tons/Day)
178.5
85.1
56.0
37.7
0.0

12.7
11.0
0.9
3.1
2.3
Damage
C$ x 106)
14.3
12.2
10.9
10.0
6.6

10.8
9.5
8.6
8.1
7.7
Benefit Control Cost
($ x 106) ($ x 106)
0.0
2.1 .
3.4
4.3
.7.7

0.0
1.3
2.2
2.7
3.1
0.0
0.286
1.616
3.249
26.032

0.0
0.066
2.216
1.397
2.216
         £(People)(ug/m3)
            £(People)
ug/m;
         Table D.l-4.  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //3  - Prince  Georges County

-------
00
to
Strategy
S°2;
Existing
S2-10
S3-14
S4-15
S5-11
Particulates
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
E (People)
Average Air Quality
Weighted With
Total Respect To Point
Emission Population Emission
(Tons/Day) (Mg/m3)* (Tons/Day)

55.7
55.7
44.4
33.1
5.0
10.9
10.9
10.9
6.9
3.3
(UB/ra3) , ,

54.6
47.2
44.7
42.4
35.8
62.0
59.4
57.4
55.9
51.6


50.7
50.7
39.4
28.2
0.0
7.7
7.7
7.7
3.7
Oil

Damage
C$ x 106)

4.9
4.1
3.9
3.6
2.9
4.0
3.8
3.6
3.5
3.2

Benefit Control Cost
($ x 106) ($ x 106)

0.0
.8
1.0
1.3
'2.0,
0.0
.2
.4
.5
.8


0.0
0.0
0.733
1.893
18.393
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.032
1.205

               £(People)
                 Table D.l-5.  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction #4 - Alexandria  City

-------
oo
Strategy
S02:
Existing
S2-10
S3-14
S4-15]
S5-11
Particulates:
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
Average Air Quality
Weighted With
Total Respect To Point
Emission Population Emission
(Tons/Day) (ug/m3)* (Tons/Day)

12.3
12.3
10.8'
9.8
7.1
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.8
3.4

47.8
39.6
38.5
35.2
34.5
55.1
52.9
51.5
50.9
48.5

5.3
5.3
3.7
2.7
0.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
0.1
Damage
($ x 106)

6.7
5.3
5.1
4.5
4.4
5.6
5.3
5.1
5.0
4.7
Benefit Control Cost
($ x 106) ($ x 106)

0.0
1.4
1.6
2.2
2.3
0.0
.3
.5
.6
.9

0.0
0.0
0.840
1.125
1.844
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.784
£ (People) (ug/m3) a ,3
             £(People)
              Table D.l-6.  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction  //5  -  Arlington County

-------
00
                                   Average Air Quality
                                      Weighted With
Strategy
fV
Existing
S2-10
S3-14
S4-15
S5-11
Particulates:
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)
14.1
14.1
13. A
12.8
11.3
22.7
21.4
21.4
21.4
20.9
Respect To
Population
Cwg/m3)*

53.8
46.3
43.9
40.9
35.4
63.8
61.3
59.3
54.6
50.6
Point
Emission
(Tons /Day)

2.8
2.8
2.1
1.5
0.0
8.7
7.4
7.4
7.4
6.9
Damage
C$ x 106)

2.7
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.6
2.3
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.7
Benefit Control Cost
($ x 106) ($ x 106)

0.0
.5
.6
.8
1.1
0.0
.1
.2
.4
.6

0.0
0.0
0.341
0.514
0.935
0.0
0.033
0.033
0.033
0.955
         £(PeoPle)(ue/m3)
            Z(People)
Mg/m3
              Table D.l-7.  NCIAQCR: Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction #6 - Fairfax County

-------
CO
Ln
                                   Average Air Quality
                                      Weighted With
Strategy
S02:
Existing
S2-10
S3- 14
S4-15
S5-11
Particulates:
Existing
P2-1
P3-3
P4-18
P5-2
Total
Emission
(Tons /Day)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5

0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Respect To
Population
(yg/m3)*
47.3
40.4
39.1
36.0
34.8

55.9
53.7
52.2
51.8
49.1
Point
Emission
(Tons/Day)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
o.'o
Damage
($ x 106)
0.26
0.21
0.20
0.18
0.17

0.22
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.19
Benefit Control Cost
($ x 106) ($ x 106)
0.0
.05
.06
.08
.09,

0.0
.01
.02
.02
.03
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
         £(People)(ug/m3)
            I(People)
ug/m3
              Table D.l-8.  NCIAQCR:  Damage Summary for Political Jurisdiction //7 - Falls Church  City

-------



S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing /Exist ing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average S02
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m3)*
66.7
59. 8
54/4
40.8
36.5
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
Cug/m3)*
70.9
65.6
61.8
58.1
54.6
Total
Type I
Property
Value
$x!06
5,329.
5,401.
5,448.
5,489.
5,602.


Total
Benefit
$xl06
0.0
72.
47.
41.
113.
Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
22,365
22,664.
22,863.
23,034.
23,507.
Average
Benefit
Per
Household
$
0.0
499.
199.
171.
473.

S02
Control
Cost
$xl06
0.0
-3.5
6.1
14.6
104.5

Partic-
ulate
Control
$xi06
0.0
0.5
4.0
10.8
13.9

Total
Control
Cost
$xl06
0.0
-3.0
10.1
25.4
118.4
oo
        Z(People)(ug/m3)
          Z(People)
Ug/m:
                                        Table D.2-1.  Type  I  Property Values:   NCIAQCR Regional Summary

-------
oo



S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average SC>2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m3)*
79.0
73.0
64.5
60.7
37.2
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m3)*
78.5
71.4
67.8
61.5
57.1
Total
Type I
Property
Value
$x!06
1,298.
1,313.
1,328.
1,342.
1,393.


Total
Benefit
$x!06
0.
15.
15.
14.
51.
Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
20,117.
20,349.
20,588.
20,793.
21,586.
Average
Benefit
Per
Household
$
0.0
232.
239.
205.
793.

S02
Control
Cost
$xl06
0.0
-3.696
0.971
3.768
27.214

Partic-
ulate
Control
$X106
0.0
0.441
0.441
8.415
6.336

Total
Control
Cost
$xl06
o.o
-3.255
1.412
12.183
33.550
       ^(People)(pg/m3)
          E(People)
Ug/nr
                      Table  D.2-2.  Type I Property Values:  Political Jurisdiction 1, District of Columbia  Summary

-------
oo
oo



S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/12
11/2
Average S02
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
Cug/m3)*
54.6
47.6
45.0
41.8
36.0
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
Cug/m3)*
63.1
60.5
55.9
55.8
53.1
Total
Type I
Property
Value
$xl06
1,427.
1,444.
1,456.
1,463.
1,482.


Total
Benefit
$x!06
0.
17.
12.
7.
19.
Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
25,098
25,400.
25,615.
25,746.
26,073.
Average
Benefit
Per
Household
$
0.0
302.
215.
131.
328.

S02
Control
Cost
$xio6
0.0
-.052
.873
2.315
13.642.

Partic-
ulate
Control
$xl06
0.0
-.034
-7.377
-7.788
-7.323

Total
Control
Cost
$xl06
0.0
-.086
-6.504
-5.471
6.319
      ^(People) (ug/m3)   =    .  s

         E(People)           M8/
            Table  D.2-3.  Type I Property Values:  Political Jurisdiction 2, Montgomery County, Md. Summary

-------
oo
\o




S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/8
11/2
Average SC>2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m3)*
73.1
64.8
58.5
54.4
37.3
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m3)*
78.4
69.2
63.3
59.6
57.3

Total
Type I
Property
Value
$xl06
978.
994.
1,006.
1,015.
1,044.



Total
Benefit
$x!06
0.
16.
12.
9.
29.

Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
20,382.
20,713.
20,973.
21,154.
21,763.

Average
Benefit
Per


S02
Control
Household Cost
$
0 .0
331.
260.
181.
609.
$x!06
0.0
.286
1.616
3.249
26.032


Partic-
ulate
Control
$.10°
0.0
.066
2.216
1.397


Total
Control
Cost
$x!06
0.0
.352
3.832
4.646
2.216 28.248
      *E(People)(ug/m3)

         E(People)
Pg/nr
                    Table D.2-4.   Type  1  Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 3,  Prince Georges Co.,Md..Summary

-------
VO
O

S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing /Exist ing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average S02
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
tPB/m3)*
54.1
47.0
44.5
42.3
35.8
Average
Particulate
Air Quality Total
Weighted With Type I
Respect To Property
Population
Cyg/m3)*
61.9
59.3
57.4
55.9
51.6
Value
$xiQ6
453.
458.
460.
463.
470.
Total
Average
Type I
Property
Average
Benefit
Per
S02 Partic- Total
Control ulate Control
Benefit Value Household Cost
$x!06 $ $ $x!06
0.
5.
2.
3.
7.
22,992.
23,259.
23,389.
23,519.
23,861.
0.0
267.
130.
130.
342.
0.0
0.0
.733
1.873
18.333
Control Cost
$xlOG $x!06
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.032
1.205
0.0
0.0
.733
1.928
19.588
        £(People)(ug/m3)
          E(People)
                    Table  D.2-5.   Type  I Property Values:  Political Jurisdiction  4, Alexandria,  Va.  Summary

-------


S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exis.t ing /Exist ing



H^
vO
H^
10/1
14/3
15/18

11/2
Average S02 	
Average
Particulate
Air Quality Air Quality Total
Weighted With Weighted With Type I
Respect To Respect To Property
Population Population Value
(pg/m3)* (pg/m3)* $xI06
48.3
40.2
39.0
35 7
•J ~t • /
34.7
55.
53.
52.
C I
-J-L .
48.
6
5
0


7
1,001.
1,017.
1,021.

1,028.
1,033.
Average
Type I
Total Property
Benefit Value
$X106 $
0.
16.
4.

7.
5.
24,297.
24,646.
24,772.

24,947.
25,071.
Average
Benefit S02 Partic- Total
Per Control ulate Control
Household Cost Control Cost
$ Sxin6 .<*vin6 6^1 n6
0.0
349.
126.

175.
124.
T --— —
0.0
0.0
.840

1.125
1.844
Y **«tv
0.0
0.0
0.0

0.0
.784
V^ J.U
0.0
0.0
Q/,n
. otu
1.125
2.628
(People)(ug/m3)
 Z (People)
Mg/nr
              Table D.2-6.  Type I Property Values: Political Jurisdiction 5, Arlington Co., Va., Summary

-------
vO
N)






S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing /Existing




10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average S02
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
Cpg/m3)*
53.7
46.4
44.0
41.0
35.5
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m3)*
64.3
61.7
59.8
54.6
50.7
Total
Type I
Property
Value
$xl06
130.
132.
132.
134.
135.


Total
Benefit
$x!06
0.
2.
0.
2.
1.
Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
20,531.
20,802.
20,914.
21,119.
21,387.
Average
Benefit
Per
Household
$
0.0
271.
112.
205.
268.

S02
Control
Cost
$xl06
0.0
0.0
.341
.514
.935

Partic-
ulate
Control
$x!06
0.0
.033
.033
.033
.955

Total
Control
Cost
$x!06
0.0
.033
.374
.547
1.890
       I(People)(ug/m3)
         E (People)
Mg/m-
                 Table D.2-7.  Type I Property Values:  Political Jurisdiction 6, Fairfax Co.,Va. Summary

-------



S02 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing /Exist ing
10/1
14/3
15/18
Q
11/2
Average S02
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(Ug/m3)*
47.3
40.4
39.1
36.0
34.8
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(Ug/m3)*
55.9
53.7
52.2
51.8
49.1
Total
Type I
Property
Value
$x!06
44.
44.
44.
45.
45.


Total
Benefit
$x!06
0.
0.
0.
1.
0.
Average
Type I
Property
Value
$
24,887.
25,299.
25,333.
25,491.
25,646.
Average
Benefit
Per
Household
$
0.0
412.
34.
158.
155.

S02
Control
Cost
$x!06
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

Partic-
ulate
Control
$xl06
0.0
• 0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

Total
Control
Cost
$x!06
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
£(People)(ug/m3)
  E (People)
Pg/nr
          Table D.2-8.  Type I Property Values:   Political Jurisdiction 7,  Falls  Church,  Va.  Summary

-------



SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/18
t- 11/2
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(VR/m ) *
66.7
59.8
54.4
50.8
36.5
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(yg/m3) *
70.9
65.4
61.8
58.1
54.6


Total
MPV
C$$106)
4.172.
4,172.
4,172.
4,172.
4,172.


Average
MPV
(S)
17506.
17506.
17506.
17506.
17506.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($xlO 6)
5,329
5,401.
5,448.
5,489.
5,602.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
'<$)
22365.
22664.
22863.
23034.
23507.
Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($^106)
4,879.
4,941.
4,982.
5,019.
5,100.
Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
. ($)
20,475.
20,735.
20,907.
21,066.
21,402.


Total
Difference
C$xlO G)
-450.
-460.
-466.
-469.
-501.


Average
Difference
($)
-1890.
-1929.
-1956.
-1968.
-2105 .
<£>
       *E(people)(MB/ni3)
           E(People)
Vg/m3
                     Table D.3-1.  Adjusted Type I Property Values:  NCIAQCR, Regional  Summary

-------
SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy

Existing/Existing
    10/1
    14/3
    15/18
£   11/2
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m 3) *
79. 0
73. 0
64.5
60.7
37.2
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m 3) *
78.5
71.4
67.8
61.5
57.1


Total
MPV
($xip6)
982.
982.
982.
982.
982.


Average
MPV
($)
15227.
15227.
15227.
15227.
15227.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($xlO 6)
1,298.
1,313.
1,328.
1,342.
1,393.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($)
20117.
20349.
20588.
20793.
21586.
Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($xlQ6)
1,708.
1,724.
1,750.
1,772.
1,869.
Average
Type 1
Bid
After
Shift
($)
26467.
26726.
27126.
27471.
28972.


Total
Difference
($xiQ 6)
410.
411.
422.
431.
477.


Average
Difference
($)
6350.
6377.
6538.
6679.
7386.
        *E(People)(ug/m3)
            E(People)
                  Table D.3-2.  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political Jurisdiction 1,  District of Columbia

-------



SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing/ Exist ing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(yg/m 3) *
54.6
47.6
45.0
41.8
36.0
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
O-g/tn3)*
63.1
60.5
55.9
55.8
53.1


Total
MPV
($ xlO 6)
1,181.
1,181.
1,181.
1,181.
1,181.


Average
MPV
($>
20775.
20775.
20775.
20775.
20775.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($xlO 6)
1,427.
1,444.
1,456.
1,463.
1,482.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($)
25098
25400.
25615.
25746.
26074.
Total
Type 1
Bid
After
Shift
($x!06)
957.
959.
966.
963.
934.
Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($>
16840
16880.
16990.
16943.
16438.


Total
Difference
($*106)
-469.
-484.
-490.
-500.
-578.


Average
Difference
($)
-8258.
-8520.
-8625.
-8803.
-9636.
'£(People)(ug/m3)
   I(People)
pg/m3
     Table  D.3-3.   Adjusted Type  I Property Values - Political Jurisdiction 2, Montgomery County

-------
 SO2 Strategy/
 Particulate Strategy

 Existing/Existing

     10/1

     14/3

     15/18

«    11/2
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ijg/m ) *
73.1
64.8
58.5
54.4
37.3
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m 3) *
78.4
64.2
63.3
59.6
57.3


Total
MPV
($xl06)
716.
716.
716.
716.
716.


Average
MPV
($)
14936.
14936.
14936.
14936.
14936.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($ xlO 6)
978.
994.
1,006.
1,015.
1,044.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
'<$)
20382.
20713.
20973.
21154.
21763.
Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($xl06)
794.
813.
837.
849.
912.
Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($)
16550.
16955.
17449.
17703.
19019.


Total
Difference
($xlO 6)
-184.
-180.
-169.
-166.
-132.


Average
Difference
($)
-3831.
-3759.
-3524.
-3451.
-2744.
         *E(People)(ug/m3)
             E(People)
pg/m3
              Table D.3-4.  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political Jurisdiction 3, Prince Georges County

-------



SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing/ Exist ing
10/1
14/3
15/18
H- 11/2
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m ) *
54.1
47.0
44.5
42.3
55.8
Average
Particulate
Air Quality


Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m3) *
61.9
59.3
57.4
55.9
51.9
Total
MPV
($ xlO 6)
357.
357.
357.
357.
357.
Average
MPV
(S)
18111.
18111.
18111.
18111.
18111.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($ $10 6)
453.
458.
460.
463.
470.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
<$)
22992.
23259.
23389.
23519.
23861.
Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($xlO&)
345.
345.
342.
340.
339.
Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
m
17510.
17554.
17367.
17286.
17196.


Total
Difference
($xlO 6)
-108.
-112.
-119.
-122.
-131.


Average
Difference
($)
-5482.
-5705.
-6022
-6229.
-6665.
00
       *E(people)(yg/m3) _   / 3
           L(People)       WB'
           Table D.3-5.  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political Jurisdiction 4, Alexandria

-------
SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy

Existing/Existing

    10/1

    14/3

    15/18

    11/2
<£>
                       Average SO 2
                       Air Quality
                      Weighted With
             Average
           Particulate
           Air Quality
          Weighted With
Total   Average  Total   Average
Type I  Type I   Type I  Type I
 Bid      Bid     Bid
Population
(pg/m 3) *
48.3
40.2
39.0
35.7
34.7
Respect TO
Population
(pg/m 3) *
55.6
53.5
52.0
51.3
48.7
Total
MPV
(SxlQ 6)
798.
798.
798.
798.
798.
Average
MPV
($)
19366.
19366.
19366.
19366.
19366.
Before
Shift
($xlO 6)
1,001.
1,017.
1,021.
1,028.
1,033.
Before
Shift
'($)
24297.
24676.
24772.
24947.
25071.
After
Shift
($x!06)
900.
922.
911.
917.
872.
After
Shift
m"
21836.
22357.
22114.
22241.
21154.
Total
Difference
f$xi 0 f>)
-101.
-96.
-110.
-112.
-161.
Average
Difference
{$)
-2461.
-2319.
-2658.
-2706.
-3916.
       *E(People)(ug/m3)
           E(People)
Pg/m3
            Table D.3-6.  Adjusted Type I  Property  Values  -  Political Jurisdiction 5, Arlington County

-------



SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Exist ing /Exist ing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
to
0
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/m 3) *
53.7
46.4
44.0
41.0
35.5


Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(pg/tn 3) *
64.3
61.7
59.8
54.6
50.7




Total
MPV
($xlO 6)
102.
102.
102.
102.
102.




Average
MPV
($)
16100.
16100.
16100.
16100.
16100.


Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($xlO 6)
130.
132.
132.
134.
135.


Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($)
20531.
20802.
20914.
21119.
21387.


Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($x!06)
139.
140.
139.
141.
138.


Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
. ($)
21968.
22062.
21975.
22322.
21745.




Total
Difference
($xlO 6)
9.
S.
7.
8.
2.




Average
Difference
($)
1437.
1260.
1062.
1203.
359.


0 *E( People) (pg/m 3) = .
E(People)
Table D.3-7.  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political Jurisdiction 6, Fairfax County

-------



SO 2 Strategy/
Particulate Strategy
Existing/Existing
10/1
14/3
15/18
11/2
Average SO 2
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m 3) *
47.3
40.4
39.1
36,0
34.'8
Average
Particulate
Air Quality
Weighted With
Respect To
Population
(ug/m 3) *
55.9
53.7
52.2
51.8
49.1


Total
MPV
($xl06)
35.
35.
35.
35.
35.


Average
MPV
($)
20208.
20208.
20208.
20208.
20208.
Total
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($xlO 6)
44.
44.
44.
45.
45.
Average
Type I
Bid
Before
Shift
($)
24887.
25229.
25333.
25491.
25646.
Total
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
C$xl06)
37.
37.
37.
37.
36.
Average
Type I
Bid
After
Shift
($)
21035.
21397.
21207.
21269.
20797.


Total
Difference
($xl06)
-7.
-7.
-7.
-7.
-S.


Average
Difference
($)
-3852.
-3832.
-4126.
-4222.
-4848.
NJ
O
         *E(people)(pg/m3)
             ECpeople)
Mg/m3
             Table D.3-8.  Adjusted Type I Property Values - Political Jurisdiction 7, Falls Church

-------
                                APPENDIX E
                  USER'S MANUAL FOR THE BENEFITS SEGMENT
                      OF THE RAPA COST/BENEFIT MODEL

                           1.0  INTRODUCTION
      The existing version of the RAPA Cost/Benefit Model Segment is a
prototype of the cost/benefit computer model originally conceived for the
RAPA program.  As a prototype, it has been designed in complete modular
form, allowing easy modification and expansion.  It is expected that desir-
able changes will become apparent as the model is applied in the context of
actual studies.  In fact, the results of the NCIAQCR demonstration presented
in this report have already pointed the way toward future program development.
      Figure E.l-1 illustrates the overall system flow for the RAPA Cost/Bene-
fit Model.  It also provides a convenient cross-reference for the figures and
subsections of this appendix which pertain to the individual modules and their
input/output.  As currently designed, the Benefits Segment consists of an
interface module (C0NVRT), and a series of analysis modules (DAMAGE, PR0P,
ASSIGN).  The Interface Module provides the only automatic data processing
interface with the Implementation Planning Program, which serves as the Cost
Segment.  Each of the analysis modules are completely independent of one
another; they individually receive input from the Interface Module and a
common census tract attribute data deck.
      The remaining sections of this chapter present input formats, complete
sample outputs, program listings, Job Control Language (JCL) cards and other
information of assistance to the program user.  All of the modules are
written in F0RTRAN IV (Level G) and are designed to run on an IBM System
360 computer with a monitoring system (the machine employed for the demon-
stration was a model 50).  The presentation in this appendix assumes that

                                    203

-------
N>
O
•P-
                   CONTROL STRAT-
                   EGIES SUMMARIES
                   (CONTROL COSTS,
                   GROUND LEVEL
                   POLLUTANT CON-
                   CENTRATIONS)
                                                       Figure  E.l-1.   Overall  System Flow

-------
all required input is in the form of punched cards.  However, if a disk


pack is available at the  user's facility, the JCL cards can be readily


modified so that all module interfaces occur via disk (or magnetic tape) .


This approach was actually followed for the demonstration runs.




                     2.0  CENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTE DATA


      The data deck of census tract attributes provides a common input for


all of the analysis modules of the Benefits Segment.  Two data cards are


required for each census tract in the region, plus a title card (one per


region).  Consequently, for the NCIAQCR demonstration, a total of


(2 x 366) + 1 = 733 census tract attribute cards were required.


      The complete format information for the title card and the two data


cards is given in Table E.2-1.  In the table, KCT is the individual census


tract identification number.  The quotients Ql and Q2 are used to test for


the different categories of census tract property values (see Section 3.5);


Ql is used to distinguish Type I and Type II census tracts, and Q2 is used


to test for Type III and Type IV census tracts, i.e.,


                                       SFH
                       01 -       02
                       Q1 - MIL ' Q2   ALL '


The above parameters (P0P, MIL, SFH, ALL), as well as the others listed in


Table E.2-1, have been identified in Section 2.3  are are listed in Table


E.3-1.  In general, the information given on the first census tract attri-


bute card is required for identification purposes and output information.


The second card contains the attributes (already in natural log form) used


in the regression equations.
                                    205

-------
                             Table E.-2-1.
      Format Information for Census Tract Attribute Data Cards
              Parameter
Columns
Format
CARD 1(ONE CARD ONLY PER REGION)
TITLE1
-left justified,
CARD 2
KCT
(Blank)
Ql
Q2
P0P
MIL
SFH
ALL
0WN
RENT
CARD 3
KCT
(Blank)
MPV
MGR
MCR
Ln(MFI)
Ln(DLP)
Ln(0LD)
Ln(NWT)
Ln(DIS)
Ln(MRM)
1-80
beginning in
1-9
10
11-16
17-22
23-30
31-38
39-46
47-54
55-62
63-70
1-9
10
11-18
19-25
26-32
33-40
41-48
49-56
57-64
65-72
73-80
20A4
column three
2A4.A1
IX
F6.2
F6.3
F8.2
F8.2
F8.2
F8.2
F8.2
F8.2
2A4.A1
IX
F8.2
F7.2
F7.2
F8.3
F8.3
F8.3
F8.3
F8.3
F8.4
Repeat cards 2 and 3 for each census tract in the region.
                                 206

-------
      The individual analysis modules only read into core a subset of the




attributes given on these cards.   The remaining sections of this appendix,




on the individual modules, indicate the specific attributes used.
                                    207

-------
                           3.0  INTERFACE MODULE


3.1  DESCRIPTION

      The Interface Module (C0NVRT) accepts receptor point pollutant

concentration data (particulate matter or sulfur dioxide) in punched card

form, as produced by the Regional Strategies Segment of IPP*, and calcu-

lates the corresponding mean concentrations for each census tract (CTPC)

in the region.  The CTPC data are output for use in the analysis module

of the Benefits Segment (Figure E.l-1).

3.2  JOB CONTROL LANGUAGE AND DECK SET-UP

      Figure E.3-1 illustrates the JCL and sample deck set-up for C0NVRT.

The deck set-up indicates the presence of source programs and object pro-

grams.  In practice, the user may want to run all source decks (e.g., if

a code modification has been made requiring recompilation), all object

programs or a combination of both.  The last option is a possibility

since the C0NVRT module has three main parts:  the DRIVER or main program,

C0NVRT subprogram and subroutine 0RDER.  If the user confines code modifi-

cations to any one of these parts, he need only recompile the source deck

for that part; the remaining program parts can be in the form of object

(compiled machine language) decks.  It is recommended that the user retain

the JCL as shown and include or exclude the source or object decks as

desired.
*A similar punched card deck is output from the IPP Air Pollutant Concen-
 tration Segment, but it is in a format which is incompatible with the
 Benefits Segment.


                                    208

-------
              JOB SETUP FOR CGNW MOOEL
     //CUUVHT  FXEC PHOC-FOKTGClU
     //FOKT.SYSIN   DO •
                    RECKS



     //LKEO.SYSIN   00 *


             OJJECT DECKS






             TRANSFf.HM DATA DECK



     //ai.FT05F002  00 *


             AIK gUALITY DATA DECK  t\ (FRuM I PI1)
              AIK OUALITY  CATA DECK  (2 |Fi
-------
      The object and/or source decks are followed by the transform data




deck and the IPP air quality deck(s) (receptor point pollutant concentra-




tion data).  The example shows four air quality decks.   C0NVRT utilizes




the F0RTRAN END option which permits the user to process, in sequence, from




one to 999 individual air quality/strategy decks produced by the Regional




Strategies Segment of IPP.  He need only include the JCL cards illustrated




being sure to increase the sequence number by one for each deck and ending




with the //G0.FT05FXXX  DD DUMMY card and End Of File (/*) as shown.   The




sequence number is the last three digits in the above expression, signified




by XXX.  Thus, in order to process "N" air quality decks, the last portion




of the program deck should be:




           //G0.FT05FXXX  DD *




                 AIR QUALITY DATA DECK "N"





           /*




           //G0.FT05FYYY  DD DUMMY




           /*




, where XXX=N+1 and YYY=N+2.




      For more specific information on JCL, the user is referred to the




appropriate IBM manuals.  In addition, the systems programmers at the




user's computing facility should be consulted about special features, etc.




The format for the transform data deck is shown in Table E.3-1.
                                    210

-------
                                Table  E.3-1.




                     Formats for Transform Data Cards
      Parameter
Columns
Format
(BLANKS
JPJ
(BLANK)
JCT
JSCT
(BLANK)
NN(<6)
M(l)
M(2)
M(3)
I
2-3
4
5-7
8
9
10
11-15
16-20
21-25
IX
12
IX
13
11
IX
11
15
15
15
      M(NN)
   36-40
  15
See Figure,E.3-3.




      LIN FT05F001  DD *




      (NCT cards required)
                                    211

-------
3.3  DIMENSIONS AND INPUT DATA FORMATS




      The listing for the DRIVER or main program of the Interface Module



is shown in Figure'E.3-2.  This portion of the program contains the only




dimension information (Figure E.3-2 has values for the NCIAQCR demonstration




which must be altered to meet specifics of the AQCR or SMSA of interest.




The cards that require dimension changes are indicated by an asterisk in




column 80.  The principal dimensions are given by:




           NCT/XXX/-The number of census tracts, plus one,




           NRP/YYY/-The number of receptor points.




For the NCIAQCR region demonstration, there were 366 census tracts.  There-




fore, XXX was set equal to 367 in the dimension statement.  YYY was set




 equal  to  300.   The variables:   N,JPJ,JCT,JSCT,CTPC  and IDCT  (Figure  E.3-2)




 are  then  dimensioned the  same  as NCT.   RPPC  is  dimensioned  the  same  as  NRP.




 The  second  dimension in  the  array  M is  set equal  totthe value of  NCT;  the




 first  dimension is the maximum number of  receptor points  (6)  that may  be




 associated  with a given  census  tract for  the  purposes  of  transforming  to




 census tract  pollutant concentrations  (see Section  3.3.2).




      The input/output devices are identified by the data sets:




           LIN(X)-input,  i.e., card reader.




           L0UT(Y)-output, i.e., printer ,



            LOUT(2)-output, i.e., card punch




In the listing, X=5, Y=6 and Z=7.




      The transformation of receptor point pollutant concentration data




into census tract pollutant concentration values has been discussed in




Chapter 3 (Section 3.3).   The program has been designed to accept up to




and including six different receptors in association with each census
                                    212

-------
K1RTHA.M  IV C LEVEL  19
                                MAIN
                                              DATE « 71133
                                                               13/56/2*
C DRIVER FOR CONVERSION ROUTINE
t
C
0001
oooz
DIMENSION MI6.367I ,NI 3671 ,JPJ( 3671 ,JCT 13671, JSCTI 3671 ,RPPC< 300 1, »
1 CTPCI367I.IDCTI367) *
C
DATA LIN/5/, LOUT/6/. HO/7/ ,NCT/ J67/ .NUP/ 300/ *
C
C
C NCT • 366 * 1 •
C
0033
C
CALL CONVRT 1 LIN, LOUT ,L 1 O.NCT .NRP.M, Ni JP J, JCT , JSCT . RPPC.CTPC. 1 OCT 1
C
C
300*
OOPS
STOP
C
C
END



            Figure E.3-2   DRIVER  for Interface Module -  Program Listing
                                     213

-------
tract, when calculating these CTPC values.  Table E.3-2 lists the complete

data formats for the transform data cards.  Figure E.3-2 illustrates the

prepared data form used to list receptor numbers of the receptor points

selected for the transform.

      In Table E.3-2, JPJ is the political jurisdiction number, JCT is the

census tract number, and JSCT is the sub-census tract number.  NN is the

total number of receptor points associated with that census tract for

transformation purposes; NN is less than or equal to six.  The NN values of

M(J) identify these receptor points by the numbering scheme given in Chapter

3 (Section 3.3.2).   There should be a total of NCT data cards in the trans-

form data deck.

      The receptor point pollutant concentration values are produced by IPP

as punched card output.  Table E.3-2 provides the complete format data for

the air quality data decks indicated in Figure E.l-1.   Cards 1 and 2 are

not produced by IPP and must be added by the user to the front of the deck

(i.e., to the NRP Type 3 data cards from IPP).

      The format notation in this table and all other accompanying tables

of this appendix follow standard IBM manual notation*.   For example, 15

indicates a five place integer, F5.2 indicates a five place fixed point

decimal number (including decimal point and sign, if any) with two places

after the decimal point, etc.  The notation P2F8.0 indicates a F0RTRAN

scale factor applied to an F8.0 number.  In this case,  the input value is

divided by 100 automatically.  In an output format, the value would be

multiplied by 100 before printing.  The notation (P)F8.0 indicates an

implied scale factor (see IBM reference).  The variables X and Y are the
  IBM Systems Reference Library, Job Control Language, Form C28-6539-9,
  Tenth Edition, July 1969.


                                    214   -

-------
                                 Table E.3-2.
1
pair
per
region
NRP
data
cards
                  Receptor Air Quality Data Card Formats
                  Parameter
                                         Columns
          CARD 1
TITLE                   1-80

     -centered title Information
          CARD 2
          CARD 3
BACKGR



X

Y

PC
 1-5



 1-8

 9-16

17-26
                                               Format
                        20A4
 F5.2



 P2F8.0

(P2)F8.0

(P2)F10.0
                                    215

-------
UTM position coordinates of the receptor and PC is the pollutant concentra-




tion (S0_ or particulates) in micrograms per cubic meter.




      The block of data cards described in Table E.3-2 would follow the




//G0FT05F002 DD * card in the JCL (Figure E.3-1).   Corresponding data decks




would follow FT05F003 DD *, FT05F004 DD *, etc.  However, no data cards are




to follow FT05F005 DD DUMMY.




3.4  OUTPUT AND PROGRAM LISTINGS




      The principal output of the Interface Module is the CTPC data deck,-




containing NCT cards.  Table E.3-3 lists the data formats for these cards,




a single title card is also output.   The parameters in Table E.3-3 are as




follows:  I is a census tract sequence number (for user convenience only),




IPJ is the political jurisdiction number, ICT is the census tract number,




ISCT is the sub-census tract number and PC is the census tract pollutant




concentration value (CTPC).




      In addition to the punched card output, C0NVRT produces printed




listings of the receptor point pollutant concentration (RPPC) input data




corresponding to Table E.3-2 and the CTPC output data corresponding to




Table E.3-3.  Sample printed outputs for the NCIAQCR demonstration using




the EXISTING SO  conditions are shown in Figures E.3-4 and E.3-5.  Complete




program listings of the DRIVER, C0NVRT subprogram and subroutine ORDER are




given in Figures E.3-6.and E.3-7.
                                    216

-------
n*rr ,

PRORI FM NO _ . ,.
HO OF CA«P<





COMPUTATION AND DATA REDUCTION CENTER /
80 COLUMN FREE KEY PUNCH FOB
1I2I1141SI6171819 HOll 11 121 1 31141151 16|I7|1B|19|20 I 21| 22!23|24|2S! 26|27|28|29|30|31 |32|33|34|3S |J6 |37|M|3»140|41 142|43|44|43| 46| 47]4e| 49| if
01 0
-------
                      Table E,'.3-3.




Census Tract Pollutant Concentration Output Data Formats
             Parameter
             Column Position
Format
 CARD 1
TITLE              1-80                20AA




  -centered title information, one card per region


NCT
cards


CARD 2
I
IPJ
ICT
ISCT
(BLANK)
PC

1-5
6-10
11-15
16
17-20
21-30

15
15
15
11
4X
F10.3
                          218

-------
      RECEPTOR POINT POLLUTANT CliNCENTKAT ICINS —  INPUT

MM:) Eft

1
i
3
4
5
6
7
o
4
IT
11
12
13
I".
li
IS
17
H
H
2">
>1
?>
2i
".'
25
><>
2f
'3
2'J
T>
11
<'
< \
V.
. JS
Ifc
»7
IS
19
4-'
<.!
<>'
*}
44
4>
44
47
4H
49
NASHINOTDN. D.C,
X-COUR')INATE
(KILOMEIERSI
ZiO.OO
ZbO.CT
?5P.n
250.00
PiO.OO
2S0.01
25C.cn
26b.OO
2(>i>.CO
?hS.OO
Zu^.m
765. CO
265. CT
2fc5.ni
280.00
28". 00
280. C?
2BC.O.O
2HO.CO
2flO.CO
2HO.CO
2"b.15
2<>b.0.1
205. r,C
295.00
295.00
295. 00
295.CO
310.00
110.00
310.00
lin.nc
3io.no
310. C"
310. CO
325.05
325.00
325.00
325.00
325.00
325.00
375.0D
3*0. CO
340.00
34C.CO
340.00
340.00
340.00
34C.OO
.. EXISTING -- SULFUK UUXIOE
Y-COOfc[l|NArE
I Kl LU.-U: TfcKbl
4265.00
4211". 00
4 2 -15. fir.
411". O^
4325. OC
4'14C.nC
4 15s. 30
4265. DC
42»?.OC.
".7MS.OI;
4-3 in. oo
4J2r).OC
414J.OC
4 VjS.OP
42ob.OO
.42d0.nc
4295..0C
4Jin.r«:
4325. CC
4140.00
4J5b."0
4^/.5.00
<.^HO.OO
42')b.OC
4 J 1C. 00
4320.00
4J4.:.'3C
4 tSb.^O
4265. or
'.2'IC. OC
4295.0C
431C.OO
432b.CO
4340.00
43bb.OO
4265. Of
42HO.OC
4205. C.P
4310.00
4320.00
4340. OC
4 155. "0
4265.00
42HC.OO
4205.00
4310. OC
4325.00
4340.00
4355.00
P3LLUTANT CONCE^TKiFIJN
(MICKLJGCAMS I'EK CU.I1C MEItRI
2?. 21
20.2'.
20.31
20. 37
20.29
2r .28
20.21
20. 48
2'.'.46
20.60
20.72
2". 70
20.62
20.45
2?. 93
23.98
21.25
21. 39
21. 32
21.15
21.13
22.43
22. So
22. 76
22. 79
23. H9
22.25
22. T8
22.67
24 . '. J
26. Ht)
27. 32
25.45
24. 14
22.93
22. 75
25.14
42.43
79.27
3U.44
27.83
24. 99
23.33
26. 51
29. 4H
29.58
31.95
30. 1 1
2U.47

Figure  E.3-4. Printed  Input RPPC Data  Summary, C0NVRT
                       219

-------
         CEMSUS TRACT PlILLUTANT  CnNCENTRATIUNS  —  flUTPUT
MASH1NI.TU*. Q.C.. EXISTING — SULFUR DIOMDE
BACKGROUND • 20.00 ( MICKUOKAMS CEK CUU1C METEKI
.WHER POLITICAL CHNSUS POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION
JURISOICTMN T-tACT (MICh'IGRAMS CFIt CUUIC Mt TE^I
1.
*
*
*
9
C)
n
\2
1 4
U
16
1 7
1 3
19
20
21
11
71
?<,
25
26
27
2d
79
10
31
'12
11
3*
15
.10
17
13
V»
0
<•! ..
*2
<>}
<.*
<••>
*6
47
<,a
i
2
3
1
5
h
7
6
0
IP
1 1
12
14
!<.
15
16
1 7
1«
IS
20
21
22
21. 1
23.2
2«i
2b
26
27
2H
2-1
30
31
32
31
34
J5
16
37
33
3;)
41
41
42
43
4
65. 30
56. Hd
58.98
56.65
54.08
56. AS
h 1. 77
56. at)
fc 1.40
i8.5
-------
FORT R AN. I y
000 1
















"0002"


000)
~ooo«r " "

ooos

0006

' OOOT

0008

0009


0010


0011

0012

0011

001*
G .LEVEL. .1?... 	 CO.NYRT 	 P.AIE_5. 711W 	 OttlUU 	
SU8RUUMNE CONVRT ( LIN, LOUT, LIOtNCT, NRP, M.N.JPJ, JCT.JSCT ,RPPC,
1 CTPC.IOCTI
C
C ••••••••••»«••••*»«••«»•••••«••«•«•*««•••••••••»•••••»••••*•«••••••
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c

c
c

c- •-
c

c

c

c
10
c
20
c
c
30
c
c

c _

c

c

TITLE! CONVRT

AUTHOR! B. GOLDSTEIN

TRH SYSTEMS GROUP





WASHINGTON OPERATIONS


COMPUTER SYSTEM! IBM SYSTEM 360/MOOEL 50


LANGUAGE USED! FORTRAN IV - G LEVEL


ABSTRACT! TO CONVERT RECEPTOR POINT POLLUTANT
CONCENTRATIONS IRPPCI
TO CENSUS TRACT
POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS ICTPC).
•*•**•*•**•««•**»«•»•»•»*»»«»•»•»»••«•«•»»*»*•••»•••«••*«•»•*••••


DIMENSION TITLE (201 ,M(6. NCTI .NINCT 1 , JPJ INCT 1 , JCT (NCT) , JSCTCNCT 1 ,
RPPCINRPI ,CTPC(NCTI , 10CTINCTI


KCT = 0
00 10 l-i~,NCT

RCAO(LIN.1100.END«20I JP Jl 1 1 . JCT 1 I 1 .

NIII-NN


-------
  jum*N iv c LevEk, n
.-IMVtL
_6Att_-_U16A
._fl6/jj^2_6.	
0015

0016

0017

ooia

0019

"002"0

0021

0022

0023

0024

002S


0026

0027

0028

0029

0030

0031

0032

0033

.0034

00 35

0036

0037


0031



'. t

C

C

c

._._£ 	

C
40
C

c

c
so
c
60
c
c

c

c

c

c

c

"c

c
70
c

. .._. —

c

C
eo
c
c

c
c
00 40 l-l.NUP

MEA&lLlNi l400tENO*60l XiViPC

ftPPClll-PC

IFI (COUNT. LT. 491 GO TO 40

WR1TEILOUT, 21001 TITLE

ICOUNT'O i

CONTINUE

ICOUNT«ICOUNT»1

MR1TEILOUT,2200I I.X.V.PC
.
CONTINUE

CONTINUE


00 80 I'l.KCT

SUM-0.0

»on-o.o 	

NN*NII)

00 70 L-liNN

SU1-SUH»RPPC(NIL, 1 1 1

AOO*AOO»1.0

CONTINUE

PC«SUN/AOO»BACKG«
" 	 ~"
CTPC(H«PC

inCTI II-JPJ1 1 >»1000C»JCT(I I»10»JSCT( II

CONTINUE


CALL OaOEA (KCT, IOCT.CTPCI


Figure|E.3-6.   C0NVRT Subprogram,  Interface Module-Program Listing  (Cont'd)
                                     222

-------
FORTRAN
0019
0040
0041
00*2
0041
0044
004S
0046
004T
0048
0049
OOSO
OOM
0052
00))
0054
005*
0056
0057
OOSH
0059
0060
0061
0062
0063
IV C LEVEL
C
C
C
C.
C
C
C
90
C
	 C '
C
• c
• c
c
c.
c
• c
c
c
c
100
c
._.._e
110
c .
c
c
c
120
c
c
19 CONVRT DATE • T1169 06/17/26
MR ITEILOUT, 23001 TITLE, 6KKGR
MRITEILIO. 12001 TITLE
ICOUNT-0
00 110 I«1,KCT
IFIICOUMT.LT.4tl CO TO 90
riRITEILOUT, 23001 TITLE. BACKGR
ICOUNT-0
CONTIMOE . ; 	
ICOUNT-ICOUNT«l
PC'CTPCIII .
10-IOCTIII
IPJ- ID/10000
IO>ID-IPJ*10000
.ICT«IO/10
ISCT-IO-ICT*\0
MIT(( Lin. 24001 I.IPJilCTtlSCT.PC
IFI1SCT.EO.OI GO TO 100
MRITEILOUT.2SOOI .1 , IPJ,ICT, I.SCT.PC 	 	 . 	
CO TO 110
•CONTINUE
MR ITEILOUT .76001 I.IPJ,ICT,PC
COMTINUE
CO TO )0
CONTINUE
RETURN
Figure E.3-6|.  C0NVRT Subprogram, Interface Module-Program Listing  (Cont'd)





                                    223

-------
    OUTRAN IV  G LEVEL   19
                                         CONVRT
                                                          DATE = 71169
                                                           	06/ 17/26	 ,
0064
0065
0066
0067
C
C
1100
C
1200
C
1300
C
K.OO
C
C
FORMAT ( IX, I 2, IX, I 3, 11, IX, 11, 61 51
FORHATI20A4I
FORMATIF5.2I
FURMAT(2P2F8.0iF10.0>
    0068
    J069

    0070
    )071

    1072
 2100 FORMAT!1 1' i
     1        'RECEPTOR POINT POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS  —  INPUT'//
     2        27X.20AW/
     i        26X,' NUMBER' ,llX,'X-CaORDINATE',UX,'Y-COOROINATE',<.X,
     *        'POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION'/
     5        }2x,2< 11X,' (K.IIOMETEKSI • I ,2X,   _       _    	       	
     6      "  'IMICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METtRI'/l
C
 2200 FO<6Xll4,14XlF8.2l15X,F8.2tllX,F10.2>
C
 2300 FURHATI'1'(«1X,
     1        "CENSUS TKACT POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS  —  OUTPUT'//
     2      '  27X,20A<,/
     3        43X, 'BACKGROUND «'tF6.2,< (MICRUO^AMS PEK CUBIC METEH»'//
     *        2"»X,'NLMBER'.lOX.'PCLlTICAL', UX,-CENSUS',7X,
     5        'POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION'/
     6        <.*X, 'JUKI SOI CT ION' ,9X, ' TRACT1 ,6X,
     7        MMICROORAMS PER CUbIC METEk»'/l
c"
 2400 FORMAT!JI5.I 1.4X.F10.3I
C
 2500 FORHATI29X, I<.,16X,I2,14X,l,n,llXfF10.2)
C                                                      .
 2oOO
    )07<.
                     END
Figure E.3-6.    C0NVRT  Subprogram,  Interface  Module-Program Listing  (Cont'd)
                                                22A

-------
FORTRAN
IV G LEVEL
3001
\4 UHUER lUATC • 71114 OH/ 33/43
SUBROUTINE ORDER IN.IA.AI •
C
C
C
C
C
r
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
TITLE: ORDER
AUTHOR: A. GCH>STtiN
TMW SYSTEMS GROUP
WASHINGTON OPERATIONS
COMPUTER SYSTEM: IBM SYSTEM 360/MUOEL 53
LANGUAGE UStD: KJKTRAN IV - G LEVEL
AUSTRAC1: THIS ROUTINE SORTS. IN ASCENDING URUERt
THE "N" CLFMF NIS UF THE " 1 A" AKMAY. »
*
C
C
3002
0003
0"
n4
0005
0-3
06
3007
OOPS
C
C
C
C
C
C
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3009
•)on
0011
C
0012
3011
COI4
3015
C
10
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20
OIMCNSION lAI.NIiAIN)
L»N- 1
DO 20 J=1,L
K=J» 1
on 10 I»K,N
IFI IAI 1 I.GE. IAIJ) 1 GO TO 10
IH= 1 Al 1 1
IAI 1 I-IAIJ I
IAI J1=IB
8>A| I )
Al I I'AIJI
Al JI-B
CONTINUE
CONTINUE
C
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3"
lt>
0017
C
C
KtTURN
END



Figure; E.3-7.  Subroutine 0RDER, Interface Module-Program Listing
                                 225

-------
                          4.0  DAMAGE COSTS MODULE






A.I   DESCRIPTION




      The Damage Costs Module (DAMAGE) is the principal analysis module




currently incorporated into the Cost/Benefit Model.  DAMAGE (see Chapter 2,




Section 2. A) uses a linear equation to calculate annual damage costs on a




per capita basis as a function of the pollutant concentration.  A separate




relation is used for particulates and sulfur oxides; the specific slope and




intercept values for the damage equation are supplied by the user as input




data.  Without loss of generality, the EXISTING-SO- data for the NCIAQCR




demonstration will be used for illustrative purposes throughout this section.




      All of the analysis modules have certain features of program design in




common.  The main programs or DRIVER programs contain the only dimension




statements which must be changed by the user to fit the requirements of his




particular study.  The dimension statements requiring change are all indi-




cated by an asterisk in column 80.  All of the I/O devices are set in the




DRIVER.  Some of these can be "dummied out" through the JCL to eliminate




certain output.




      The input data sets are coded as follows:




      •   Data Set 1 - always contains specific operational parameters




          required by the program, e.g., slope and intercept of damage




          function.




      •   Data Set 2 - is always the census tract attribute data deck.




      •   Data Set 3 - is always an SO- air quality data deck.




      •   Data Set A - is always a particulate air quality data deck.




The output data sets are coded in a similar fashion:




      •   Data Set 11 - always provides title page information and




          census data (input) summaries.




                                     226

-------
      •   Data Set 12 - always provides CTPC data (input)  summaries




      •   Data Set 13 - always provides the principal output of the




          module.




Data sets 11 and 12 provide optional output.  The procedure for eliminating




 them  is  described  in  Section  4.2 for the Damage Costs Module.  However,




 the procedure applies  to all  analysis modules.




4.2  JOB CONTROL LANGUAGE AND DECK SET-UP




      Figure E.4-1 illustrates the JCL and deck set-up for the Damage Costs




Module.  The order follows:  source and/or object decks first, output data




set specification, then input data set specification.  The input data is




ordered:  damage function,  slope and intercept, census tract attribute




data deck, then census tract air quality data deck from C0NVRT (S09 or




particulates).




      Any of the output categories described in the previous subsection




can be suppressed or "dummied out"  through the JCL specifying the output




data set.  For example to eliminate Data Set 11, substitute:




           //G0.FT11F001 DD DUMMY




for the JCL statement*:




           //G0.FT11F001 DD SYS0UT=A,DCB=(RECFM=UA,LRECL=133,BLKSIZE=133).



Figure E.4-1  illustrates the  set-up and JCL for  processing  an S0?  census




tract air quality deck.  Notice that in this case, Data Set 4 which has been




reserved for particulate air quality data in the program has been dummied




out by an analagous procedure to the one just described.  In order to pro-




cess a particulate census  tract air quality deck,  the last part of  the job




deck would appear as follows:
  "SYS0UT=A", sets the corresponding output data set to the printer.



                                     227

-------
                            JOB SETUP FOR DAMAGE  MODEL
                    //DAMAGE  tXfcC  PRQC-FCRTCCLG
                    //FORT.SYSIN   00 •
                            SOURCE  DECKS



                    //LKED.SYSIN  DO •


                            OBJECT  DECKS
                    /*
                    //GO.FT11F001   OU SYSOUT«A,DCB«IRECFM-UA,LRkCL»13JtBLKSUE«133l
                    //iO.FTlZFOOl   Ml SYSOUT'AtOCO'lRECFM'UA.LitECL'l JJ,ELKS I^t = l33>
                    //CU.FTI3K)01   UD SYSOUT.A,DCb-
-------
           //G0.FT03F001.DD DUMMY




           /*



           //G0.FT04F001 DD *




               Air Quality Data Deck - participates




           /*





4.3  DIMENSIONS AND INPUT DATA FORMATS




      The only variable dimension in the DRIVER is NCT,  which in this case




(and for all existing analysis modules) is the number of census tracts.




For the NCIAQCR demonstration, NCT=366.  So in the program listings shown




here:




           NCT/366/ .




The I/O data sets are set as follows:




      •    LINl/l/-Input data set, i.e., card reader - damage function




           slope and intercept.




      •    LIN2/2/-Input data set, i.e., card reader - census tract




           attribute data deck.




      •    LIN3/3/-Input data set, i.e., card reader - air quality




           data deck, SO  or DUMMY.




      •    LIN4/4/-Input data set, i.e., card reader-air quality




           data deck, particulate or DUMMY.




      •    L0UTl/ll/-Output data set, i.e., printer-title page and




           census tract attributes as input.




      •    L0UT2/12/-Output data set, i.e. , printer-census tract




           pollutant concentrations as input.




      •    L0UT3/13/-Output data set, i.e., printer-census tract




           damage costs with regional  and political jurisdiction summaries.
                                    229

-------
The slope and intercept values for the damage equation are provided on a




single punched card.  The format is shown in Table E.4-1.   The census




tract attribute data deck has been described in Section 2  of this appendix.




However, DAMAGE doesn't read into core all of the attributes shown in




Table E.2-1.  Table E.4-2 shows these card formats again,  with the fields




not read by DAMAGE indicated by the notation, "(SKIP)". The formats for




the census tract pollutant concentration data cards have been given pre-




viously in Table E.3-3.  The CTPC data deck was previously produced by




C0NVRT.  Table E.4-3 shows these CTPC data formats again,  however, using




notation after the program code in DAMAGE.
                                     230

-------
                       Table E.4-1.

Damage Function Slope and Intercept, Input Data Format
                - Damage Costs Module
                Parameter           Columns          Format

                A (slope)            1-10            F10.3

                B (intercept)        11-20            F10.3
                           231

-------
                                Table E.4-2.

                 Census Tract Attributes As Read By DAMAGE
NCT Cards

(2 cards
per census
tract)
                     CARD 1
                     CARD 2
                     CARD 3
                              Parameter
                               TITLE1
                Columns
                  1-80
               Format
               20A4
                                 -left justified title information
                                  beginning in column three
 KCT

(SKIP)

 P0P



(SKIP)
 1-9           2A4,A1

10-22          13X

23-30          F8.2
                                                1-80
               SOX
                                    232

-------
                                 Table E.4-3.
                 Census Tract Air Quality Data Formats For
                  SO. or Particulates, Damage  Costs Module
                             Parameter
               Columns
NCT
Cards
           CARD 1
           CARD 2
                               TITLE2          1-80

                                 - centered title information
 J

 JPJ

 JCT

 JSCT

(BLANK)

 AQ
 1-5

 6-10

11-15

16

17-20

21-30
                    Format
                                    20A4
15

15

15

II

4X

F10.3
                                    233

-------
4.4  OUTPUT AND PROGRAM LISTINGS




      The sample outputs from DAMAGE for the case of EXISTING-SO  air




quality data for the NCIAQCR demonstration are shown in Figures E.4-2




E.4-3, and E.4-4.  These correspond to data sets 11(L0UT1), 12(L0UT2)




and 13(L0UT3), respectively.




      The program listing for the DRIVER portion of the Damage Costs




Module is given in Figure E.4-5.  The listing for the DAMAGE subprogram




is given in Figure E.4-6.
                                    234

-------
          C.FNFRAI pimpnsF. IIMFAH QAMAC-P FUNCTION
   DAMAGE PER CAPITA
                       0.6601 X AIR QUALITY *
                                              -5.9001
              CENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTES  —  INPUT
        WASHINGTON. O.C.
         CFNSUS  TRACT  NUMBER
                                 TOTAL POPULATION
0001
0002
0003
00 0*
0005
0006
0007
0008
0009
0010
0011
0012
0013
0014
0015
0016
0017
0018
0019
0020
0021
. 0022
0021001
0023002
0024
^^ 0025
^<^^ 0026
5963.
5723.
6412.
1280.
72B5.
5486.
P544.
6235.
6715.
11696.
5203.
5213.
7803.
65*9.
6177.
5458.
597?.
9284.
R536.
7525.
13751.
9471.
4416.
2134.
5497.
9210. 	 —
?73?. 	 ^^^^
^ 	 0027 _LLWX^^^"
Figure:E.4-2.
Sample Output From Damage Costs
Module, Title Page and  Census
Tract Attributes  as Input.
                       235

-------
CENSUS TRACT POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS  — INPUT
WASHINGTON. D.C.. EXISTING — SULFUR DIOXIDE
NUMBER POLITICAL CENSUS POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION
JURISDICTION TRACT INICROGRAMS PER CUBIC HETERt
I



10
11
12
13
14
I*
16
17
ID
I")
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
10
31
12
33
14
15
16
3T
11
If
4O
41
42
43
44
4)
46
47
48
49
I
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
IT
IB
19
20
21
22
23.1
21.2
2*
25
26
27
28
29
30 .
11
32
31
34
IS
36
17
18
19
40
41
42
41
44
41
46
47
48
64.78
61. OB
61.08
63.34
65.39
56.88
58.98
5h.6S
54.08
56.88
51.77
16. aa
61.40
58.58
55.22
63.78
71.15
70.50
74.51
71.02
78.91
78.91
83.31
89.14
83.31
• 71.55
71.55
71.80
71.80
71.80
71.80
79.56
79.56
86.73
83.56
81.67
72.06
71.80
71.80
68.21
68.23
66.57
72.06
72. O6
72.06
72 .06 •
86.73
• 3.00
86. n


 Figured. 4-3,
Sample Output From Damage Cost
Module,  Census Tract Pollutant
Concentrations As Input.
                    236

-------
                              TRACT DAMAGE  C
             HASHINCTQN. n.c.. EXISTING -- SIM PIIR DIOXIDE
           POL IT ICAL
                           CENSUS
                                             EXPOSURE
                                                                DAMAGE
          JURISDICTION
                           TRACT
                                                                 COST
3?*
375
126
327
328
379
330
331
332
333
33*
335
336
337
338
319
340
341
342
343
5
S
5
5
5
5
5
5
S
*
5
5
S
5
5
S
5
5
5
S
26
77
28
79
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
4 1
44
45
1R5797.
? 1744H.
20H235.
24B271 .
254824.
2518b8.
227176.
557677.
160903.
(.07554.
180097.
771703.
383478.
4nisnn.
782928.
7f)fcn5H.
170903.
10RA56.
156264.
B3747.
98909.
1 74 771.
Ill 328.
132 \94.
134796.
133702.
120613.
717774.
85782.
370R12.
94668.
145 104.
209227.
7ifcnon.
151 112.
i OR MS.
91391.
57 795.
HlbflH.
43 375.
         POLITICAL JURISDICTION TOTALS
                                            12544913.
                                                               67319H7.
         PflL-IT-IC-At-JUR ISO I-CTION-AVF RAGES*	' ' 27'8776~. ~ "
         POLITICAL JURISDICTION AIR  QUALITY    ....47.B?
                                                               -1-49600".
344
. 	 345
346
347
J 348
- 349
350
351
35?
353
- "'J5~4~
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
6
6
6_
6
6.
I,
^
6
6' ."* • '

(,
6
6
" 	 6
6
6
6
6
	 6 	
1
- 	 2- 	
3
4 ...
5 ^
_.„ 	 6. ...
7
	 8 ....
9
"J. ' '.JO':' «.
1 1
	 12....
1 \
15
16
17
19
1 9
	 2.0. 	
. . ,, .1.38.31 3..
181645.
..., ._,- 	 ,-,-20184^

. \-; ' -. v *'4'-' "4 93*4 5V
13S897.
	 - 	 -3.40.450.
303047.

389754.
	 .523013.
750777.
	 .25.7.12.5.
742752.
	 	 263378.
56798.
_. 	 .3.42126.
1461 16.
	 .42-1-181..
• .-1 - 	 ^75741.
— 	 	 	 66-386:' -••-. 	
991S4.

.S:- . .1* . : u. I -j jA6"jg_ ' *
L:/JiJ:.lf . — '^.'-'.1.05634- ' • - -^ • ' 	 •• '" ' '
\0i t tT.,,1 7
-------
FORTRAN IV C LEVEL   19
                                  MAIN
                                                  OATE
                                                                    Ott/3«./C5
                 DRIVER FOR DAMAGE FUNCTION ROUTINE
                 DAT* LIN17l/i.LINZ/Z/.LIN3/3/iL I
                I     LOJTim/,LOUT3/l*/.LOun/13/,
 0004
                     NCT/366/
C
000?
C
CALL DAMAGE (L1N1,LIN2,L 1 N3, L 1 N4.LUUTI . LOUT2 . LUUT3. NC r 1
C
C
OOOJ
C
StdP
C
                 dND
                  Figure 'E.4-5.
Program  Listing for  DRIVER
Main Program-Damage  Costs  Module,
                                       238

-------
    FORTRAN  IV C LEVEL  19
                                    DAMAGE
                                                  DATE
                                                        71135
     0001
                   SUBROUTINE DAMAGE I UNI . L IN? .1 INI .LI N* .LOUT 1 .LOUT? . LOUTS . NCT I
C
c <
C
C
C
C
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C
C
C
C
C
r.
c
C
c
c
c
c <
c

TITLE:
AUTHOR:


COMPUTER
LANGUAGE
ABSTRACT:



DAMAGE
B. GOLDSTEIN
TRW SYSTEMS GROUP
WASHINGTON OPERATIONS
SYSTFM: IBM SYSTEM 360/MooEL so
USED: FORTRAN IV - G LEVEL
THIS ROUTINE WILL GENERATE DAMAGE COSTS
RY USING A GENERAL PURPOSE. LINEAR
DAMAGE FUNCTION.











0002
0003
0004











000?


C
c
c


r.
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c

DIMENSION TITlEll20>.TIUE2(20),KCTn)
DMFNSION PJI6I .SRI 2) . Tl ( 21 . T2 I 3) . T3 t 3) ,WA(7I
D«TA PJ/' PO' 'LITI'.'CAL • .' JURI1. 'SDIC' . 'T10N'/.
1 SR/'REGI* 'ONAL'/t
Z Tl/' TOT' 'ALS •/.
J 1Z/' AVE1 'RAGE'.'S •/,
•> T)/' SIR' • QUA' . -LI TY1/.
•> WA/MHEI' 'GHTE'.'D W.'.'R.T.1,' POP1 , 'UL AT • , ' ION) • /
DAMAGE FUNCTION:

DC/C • A X ICTAQI * B
WHERE OC/C — DAMAGE COST PER CAPITA
CTAO -- CENSUS TRACT AIR QUALITY

CTDC « (DC/CI X (CTP)
WHERE CTDC — CENSUS TRACT DAMAGE COST
nC/C — DAMAGE COST PER CAPITA
CTP — CENSUS TRACT POPULATION
RCAOILIN1. 1100) A. 8


Figure  E.4-6.  Program Listing for  DAMAGE Subprogram-Damage Costs Module
                                         239

-------
                                                             1Q/1I/3B
QQQf, WRI TFII nilT 1 .71001 A.R
OOOT
0009
0009
c
C
C
RE4DIL IN?. 12001 T1TLF1
WRITEI LOUT 1.2200 I TITLE1
ICQNT1«0
C
C
0010
0011
0012
0013
0014
001S
0016
0017
001R
001<>
0070
C
c
c
c
c
c
c
r
c
c
c
RE4DILIN3, 1200,END=10I T1TLE2
UN-LIN3
GO TO 20
10 CONTIN'JE
REAIHLIN4, 1200.END-130I TITLE2
L 1N'L!N4
20 CONTINUE
WRI TEILUUT2, 23001 TITLE2
ICUNT2.0
WRI TE(LnuT3. 24001 TITLE2
ICD'JTlaQ
C
C
0021
0022
0023
0074
0075
0026
OO7T
DO7R
0029
DQin
0031
c

c
c

c
c
c
c
IPJ> 1
SCT»0.0
TCT-0.0
SPHP=0.0
TPnp«o.o
SPOSE-0.0
TPQSF-O.O
SD-0.0
Tn-o.o
DO 1 in 1-1 .NET
R.F4DILIN?. 13001 KCT.POP
c


Figure E.4-6.
Program Listing for DAMAGE  Subprogram-Damage Costs Module
                    (Cont'd)

                     240

-------
                                                              10/11/39
003?
003)
0034
0035
0036
003T

C
C
C
C
C
1FI 1CQNT1.LT.50I GO TO 30
HRITFILOUT1. 22001 TITLE1
ICONT1=0
30 CONT [NUE
ICONT1»1CONT1»1
MR 1 T6 (LOUT 1,2500) KCTiPOP
C
C
0038
0039
0040
0041
00*2
00*3
0044
0045
0046
1)047
0048
0049
0050
0051
0052
0053
0054
3055
OQ56
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
READILIN. 14001 J,JPJ,JCT,JSCT,AQ
IF< ICONT2.LT.49I GO TO 40
WRITEILOUT2t2300) TITLE2
ICONT2-0
40 CONTINUE
ICONT2"ICONT2»1
IFIJSCT.EQ.O) GO TO 50
UR1TEIIOUT2, 26101 J, JPJ, JCT. JSCT.AO
GO TO 60
50 CONTINUE
HRITEILOUT2.2620) J.JPJ.JCT.Ag
fcb CONTINUE
1F( JPJ.EQ. IPJI GO TO BO
IFf ICONT3.LT.46) GO TO TO
HRITEILOUT3. 24001 TITLE2
ICONT3<=0
70 CONTINUE
ICONT3=ICONT)»5
MCT- IFIXI5CT«O.OI )
C

Figure E.4-6.
Program Listing for DAMAGE Subprogram-Damage Costs Module
                    (Cont'd)
                                     241

-------
  fflPTQAS IV C LEVEL
0057 URITFIinilT 1.77101 Mf. T . PJ . Tl . SPflSE . *D
0059
0059
OO6O
0061
0067
OOfct
3064
0065
OO66
00h7
0068
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
c
APn^-SPOSE/SCT
AD.SD/SCT
WO MF( LOUT 3. 77701 P J. 77 . APfl^E . AO
APOSE*SPOSE/SPOr>
WR 1 TFI LOUT 3. 2730) PJ.I3. A POSE. HA
IPJn JPJ
SCT.0.0
SPQP=0.0
spnsF=o.o
in.n.o
80 CONTINUE
r
c
0069
0070
c
c
IFIPQP.LE.O.OI CO TO 110
POSF^O.POP
c
c
0071
1)072
0073
0074
3075
0076
0077
0078
O07q
c
c
c

c
t

0=1 (V*AO*BI *POP
SCT=SCT»1.0
TCT«TCT*1.0
TPQP=TPOP»POP
SPD5E=SPOSE»P05E
TPOSE»TPOSE*POSE
SD«SO»0
TD.TIUT
C
C
0000
0081
003?
c
c

IFI ICrlNT3.LT.49» CO TO 90
•(RITE (LOUT 3, 24001 TITLE2
ICONTJ-0

Figure E.4-6.  Program  Listing for DAMAGE Subprogram-Damage  Costs Module
                                   (Cont'd)
                                    242

-------
   FORTRAN IV C LEVEL  19
                                  DAMAGE
                                                DATE » 71135
                                                                 10/11/36
C
0081
008*
008*
0086
0087
0088
0084
0090
OOT1
0012
009?
00<".
0095
0096
0097
0094
0099
0100
0101
0102
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
90 CONTINUE
ICONT3«ICONT3*1
IFIJSCT.EQ.OI GO TO 100
MR IT El LOUT 3, 28 101 I , JPJ, JCT, JSCT.POSE.D
CO TO 110
100 CC1NT INUE
MR |TE( LOUT 3, 2820 I 1 , JP J. JC T, POSE.O
110 CONT INUE
IF! I CONT3.LT .461 GO TO 120
WRITEILOUT3. 24001 TITLE2
1C(1NT3 = 0
120 CONTINUE
ICONT3»ICONT3»5
MCT= IFimCTtO.Ol)
WHITE! LOUT 3, 27101 MCT , PJ , Tl . SPOSE . SO
APOSE*SPOSE/SCT
AO-SO/SCT
WRITEUOUT3.2T20I P J . T2 . iPOSE . AD
APOSE-SPOSE/SPOP
WRITEtLOUT3i2730l P J. T3i AROSE i MA
C
C
0103
010*
0105
0106
0107
C
C
C
C

Ifl ICONT3.GT.*5) WRITEILOUT3.2400) TITLE?
MCT»IFIXITCT»0.01I
WR I TEI LOUT 3,29101 MC T , SO , T 1 , TPOSE , TO
APUSE-TPOSE/TCT
AO«TO/TCT
.
Figure E.4-6.   Program Listing for DAMAGE  Subprogram-Damage Costs Module
                                    (Cont'd)
                                      243

-------
                                                                            iQ/n/ia
c
0108
0109
0110
0111
C
c
c
C
130
MRITEILOUT3,2920> SR ,T2 , AROSE ,AO
APOSE«TPOSE/TPOP
HRITEILOUT3, 29301 SR, T3. APOSE , HA
COST INUF
c
c
0112
Oil]
0114
0115
0116
c
c
1 100
c
1200
C
non
C
I40O
RETURN
FORMATI7Fin.il
FORMAT120A4I
FDRMATI?A4.AI .HX.Ffl.?/«nXI
FORMAT 1 115. 1 1.4X.F10.3I
C
C
OUT
2100
FORMATCl' ,46X, 'GENERAL PURPOSE, LINEAR DAMAGE FUNCTION' Illlllllll
1 }BX. 'DAMAGE PER CAPITA - C.FR.l.'l X AIR DUALITY » 1*.
    QUA
                2200  FORMAT!1'!' ,49X,'CENSUS TPACT  ATTRIBUTES  —   I NPUT' //41 X, 20A4//
               	1	45X.'CENSUS TRACT NUMBFR'.BX.«TOTAL PdPULAT I ON'/ I	
                2300  FHRMATI'I*.42X.'TFNSUS TRACT  POLLUTANT CHNCFNTRAT1QNS  —   INPUT'
                           //27X.20AW/
                           4?X. 'NUMBFB' .4X.' PQLI TICAL' .SX. *C
                           SX,'PULLUTANT CONCENTRATION'/
                           SIX.'JURISOICTION'.3X.'TRACT'.
                           4X, MHICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METERI'/I
    0120
    0126
                2400  FORMAT!'1',54X,'CENSUS TRACT  DAMAGE COST'//27X.?OA4//
                   _1	T1X. ' NUMBER ' ,6X.'POLITIC AL'i7X.'CENSUS'.12X.'FXPfl SURF'.

0121
0122
0121
0124
0125
C
c
c
c
f
c
2
2500
2610
2A20
2710
2720
12X
, 'DAMAGE
FDR>4AT(49X>2A4.A1I
FORMAT!
u,
FORMAT! IX,
FORMAT!
FOH1ATI
•0'
39X
145.
145,
,134
,6A4
112.
112.
>4X,
,3A4
'/42X, '
F2S.O)
112.'.'
1 12.F21
6A4.2A4
, F10.0,
JURISDICTION' ,5X,' TRACT ',34X,'CUST' /I

, 11.F19.2)
.21
,F14.0,F19.0)
F19.0I
                2730  FORMAT(39X,6A4,3A4,F12.2,6X,7A4/I
Figure  E.A-6.   Program Listing for DAMAGE Subprogram-Damage  Costs Module
                                           (Cont'd)
                                            244

-------
   FORTRAN IV G LEVEL  19	DAMAGE	DATE • 71135	IO/11/3S

  	£	
    0137         2810 FOOMATI1X, 13*.114,1 U.«. ',II,F20.0,F19.01
  	£	
    0128         2820 FORMATIIX,134,11*,I 14.F22. 0, F 19. 01
  	C	
    0129         2910 FORMAT('01,I3*,6X,2A*,2A«,F28.0,F19.0I
  	£	
    0130         2920 FnRMAmiXt2A4,3A4,F24.0.F19.0)
  	C	
    0131         2930 FORMAT|<,1X,2A<.,3A4.F26.2,6X,7A4>
  	C	
               C
    013?	END	
Figure  E.A-6.   Program Listing for DAMAGE  Subprogram-Damage  Costs Module

                                          (Cont'd)
                                            245

-------
                        .5.0  PROPERTY VALUE MODULE









5.1  DESCRIPTION




      The Property Value Module (PR0P) calculates four types of residential




property values using the Anderson-Crocker regression equation.  The basis




for the four property value types and the design principles  for this module




have been given in Chapter 2,  Section 2.4.




      PR0P has many programming features in common with DAMAGE, described




in Section 4 of this appendix.  It is recommended that the user read the




information given in that  section before going  further.




      The major difference between DAMAGE and PR0P is that PR0P processes




a pair (S0» and particulates)  of census tract pollutant concentration data




decks per run.  DAMAGE processes either an S0?  deck or_ particulate deck




in any single run.




5.2  JOB CONTROL LANGUAGE AND DECK SET-UP




      The JCL and deck set-up for PR0P are illustrated in Figure E.5-1.  The




order is as follows:  source and/or object decks first, output data set




specifications, then input data set specifications.  The input data is in




the order:  regression line coefficients, census tract attribute data deck,




census tract air quality data deck for S0~, and census tract air quality




data deck for particulates.
                                    246

-------
            JOB  SETUP FOR PROP MUOEL
             EXEC PKOC'FURTGCLG
   //FdKT.SrSIN   DO *
            SUURCC UECKS



   //LKEO.SYSIN   Oi) *


            OdJECT DECKS
   /A.O.FU 1H001  00 S»SUUT-A,UCB'tKf.CFM-UA,LKtCLM33,BLKSUE«133»
   //OO.FTUFOOl  UU SySGuT=A,UC.«"(KtCFN-UA,l>ECL-l33,HllCSUEMJJI
  • //60.FI1 JF001  DU SySUUl»A,OCb=(RECF«icUA,LRECL»133,BLKSIiC»l33l
   //GO.FI01F001  DO *
            Rt-GRESSlUN LINE COEFFICIENTS



   //iO.FTOZFOOl  01) «


            CENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTE DATA DECK






            AIR aUALlTY DATA DECK - SU/i



   //GO.FTO^FOOl  DO *


            AIR UUALITY DATA DECK - PARTICIPATES
Figure  E.5-1t   Job Control Language and Deck
                   Set-Up for Property  Value Module,
                        2A7

-------
5.3  DIMENSIONS AND INPUT DATA FORMATS




      The only variable dimension in the DRIVER that must be changed by




the user is? NCT, the number of census tracts.   For  the NCIAQCR demonstra-




tion, the dimension statement is:




                           NCT/366/.




The input data sets are set in DRIVER as follows:




      •    LINl/l/-Input data set, i.e., card reader-regression line




          coefficients and sulfation rate factor.




      •    LIN2/2/-Input data set, i.e. , card reader-census tract




           attribute data deck.




      t    LIN3/3/-Input data set, i.e., card reader-census tract




           air quality data deck, SO...




      •    LIN4/4/-Input data set, i.e., card reader-census tract




           air quality data deck, particulates.




The output data sets are set in DRIVER as follows:




      •    L0UTl/ll/-Output data set, i.e., printer-title page




           and census tract attributes  (as input).




      •    L0UT2/22/-Output data set, i.e., printer-census tract




           pollutant concentration data for S02 and particulates (as input).




      •    L0UT3/13/-Output data set, i.e., printer-census tract property




           values  (Types I, II, III and IV) with regional and political




           jurisdiction summaries.




L0UT3  is the principal output data set; the optional input data summaries




of L0UT1 and L0UT2 can be suppressed through the JCL as explained in Section




4 of this appendix.
                                    248

-------
      The data formats for the UNI (data set 1) are shown in Table E.5-1.




A single punched card provides the sulfation rate factor, relating sulfation




rate  (milligrams per 100 square centimeters) to average sulfur dioxide con-




centration  (parts per million).  Another punched card contains a complete




set of Anderson-Crocker regression coefficients in the form:




           Ln(PV)=CONST + A x Ln(PSN) + B x Ln(PPT) + C x Ln(MFI)




                + D x Ln(DLP) + E x Ln(OLD) + F x Ln(NWT) + G




                x Ln(DIS) + H x Ln(MRM).




The Anderson-Crocker equations have been discussed in Chapter 2, Section




2.5.  Four  coefficient cards are required for the four property values




types:  Type I, II, III and IV, in that order.




      Table E.5-2 shows the formats for the census tract attributes data




deck.   The formats have previously been given in Table E.2-1.   However,




the notation "(SKIP)" has been employed in Table E.5-2 to indicate fields




not read into core by PR0P.




      Table E.5-3 shows the formats for the SO  census tract air quality




data cards and Table E.5-4 shows the formats for the particulate census




tract air quality data cards.   These are the same as indicated in Table




E.3-3, showing the output format for these cards from C0NVRT.   However,




the notation employed in Tables E.5-3 and E.5-4 follows the program code.
                                     249

-------
                               Table E.5-1.
           Sulfation Rate and Regression Coefficient Input Data
                     Formats, Property Value Module
                           Parameter
Columns
Format
I = 1,2,3,4
(four cards)
CARD 1 - one card
FACT0R 1-5
CARD 2
C0NST(I) 1-8
A(I) 9-16
B(I) 17-24
C(I) 25-32
D(I) 33-40
E(I) 41-48
F(I) 49-56
G(I) 57-64
H(I) 65-72
(BLANK) 73-80

F5.3

F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
8X
                                   250

-------
                    Table E.5-2.
       Census Tract Attribute Data  Formats
As Read by the Property Value and Assignment  Modules
               Parameter
Columns
CARD 1
SCARD 2
.
tract)
CARD 3
\
TITLE1 1-80
-left justified title
beginning in column t
KCT 1-9
(BLANK) 10
Ql 11-16
Q2 17-22
P0P 23-30
MIL 31-38
SFH 39-46
ALL 47-54
0WN 55-62
RENT 63-70
(SKIP) 1-10
MPV 11-18
MGR 19-25
MCR 26-32
Ln(MFI) 33-40
Ln(DLP) 41-48
Lnl(0LD) 49-56
Ln(NWT) 57-64
Ln(DIS) 65-72
Ln(MRM) 73-80
Format
                                                 20A4
                                                 2A4.A1
                                                 IX
                                                 F6.2
                                                 F6.3
                                                 F8.2
                                                 F8.2
                                                 F8.2
                                                 F8.2
                                                 F8.2
                                                 F8.2


                                                 10X
                                                 F8.2
                                                 F7.2
                                                 F7.2
                                                 F8.3
                                                 F8.3
                                                 F8.3
                                                 F8.3
                                                 F8.3
                                                 F8.4
                        251

-------
                               Table E.5-3.
           Census Tract Air Quality Input Data Formats for S0?,
                   Property Value and Assignment Modules
               CARD 1
               CARD 2
NCT cards
                            Parameter
Columns
Format
                            TITLE2        1-80                20A4
                              - centered title information
Jl
JPJ1
JCT1
JSCT1
(BLANK)
PSN
1-5
6-10
11-15
16
17-20
21-30
15
15
15
11
4X
F10.3
                                    252

-------
                         Table E.5-4.
Census Tract Air Quality Input Data Formats for Particulates,
            Property Value and Assignment Module
         CARD 1
         CARD 2
                      Parameter
Columns
Format
                      TITLE3          1-80            20A4
                        - centered title information


NCT
Cards


J2
JPJ2
JCT2
JSCT2
(BLANK)
PPT
1-5
6-10
11-15
16
17-20
21-30
15
15
15
11
4X
F10.3
                              253

-------
5.4  OUTPUT AND PROGRAM LISTINGS




      Figures E.5-2, E.5-3 and E.5-4 show sample outputs from the Property




Value Module for the NCIAQCR demonstration using EXISTING S02 and EXISTING




PARTICULATE air quality data.  Figures E.5-2 and E.5-3 present the input




data summaries correspoding to Data Set 11 (L0UT1) and Data Set 12 (L0UT2),




respectively.  The census tract property value summary corresponding to




Data Set 13 (L0UT3) is shown in Figure E.5-4.




      The Program Listings for DRIVER and Subprogram PR0P are given in




Figures E.5-5 and E.5-6.
                                   254

-------
N)
(_n
Ln
LNIPV-ll • 1 3.19O1I • I-O.OT12
» I-0.01O6



LNIPV-21 - ( 1.16171 » ( 0.0010
» 1-0.021)


LNIPV-3) =• ( 0.24281 » 1-0.090%
» (-0.0606



LNIPV-41 = I 0.47051 » (-0.0727
» (-0.0408

MASHINGTONt O.C.
CENSUS TOTAL AREA IN
TO ACT POPULATION SQUARE
	 .NJXBER _ _._. .. 	 . ..MILES
0001 596). 0.
0002 5723. 0.
0003 6412. 301.
fc-^ 0004 1280. 0.
^ .^jnos 7>qs. n.
^*^^^^__ 5486. 320.
X LN(PSNI) • (-0.0610 X LNIPPTII » ( O.T67T X LNIMFI)) • 1 O.O044 X LNIDLPI)
X LNIOLOII * I O.O251 X LN(NWTII » (-0.058? X LNIDISII • I O.O X INIMPMI)

:

X LN(PSNI) » (-0.1698 X LNIPPTII » 1 0.9970 X LNIMFIII » ( 0.0113 X LNIOLPII
X LNIOLOII » ( 0.0321 X LN(NWTI) V 1-0.0312 X LN(OISI) « ( 0.90h4 X LNIMRH))


X LNIPSNII * ( 0.0049 X LNIPPTII » I 0.51O9 X LNIMFII) » I 0.0121 X LNIDLPII
X LNIOLOII » 1-0.0043 X LNINWTII * (-0.0216 X LNIDI^II > ( O.O X LNIMRH))



X LNIPSNII » (-0.0302 X LNIPPTII » ( 0.46SO X LN(HFII) * 1-0.0054 X LNIOLPM
X LNIOLOII » (-0.0124 X LNINMTII » (-0.0111 X LNIOISI) » ( 0.0 X LNIMRH))
CENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTES — INPUT
MEDIAN MEDIAN DILAPIDATED HOUSING NJNMHITE DISTANCE
PROPERTY FAMILY HOUSING OVER 10 OCCUPIED BUSINESS
	 VALUE..,. 	 1N.COHE 	 UNITS 	 ....YEAR.i_QLO 	 HQUiING 	 DISTRICT,...
0. 1. 1. I. 1. 1.0
0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.0
17801. 8647. 1. 2J10. 30. 4.0
0- 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.0
n. |. i. 	 ^ — ^^^^^^^" ^^^"^^^
23202. II Illl i •!'

















MEDIAf
HOOHS 1
MOUilf
1 . J
1.0
5.5
1.0
•i "
•Nfc
      Figure E.5-2.   Sample Output,  Title Page and Census Iract Attributes Summary from Property  Value  Module.

-------
                                  CENSUS TRACT POLLUTANT CONCFNTRAT IflNS  —  INPUT
       MASHINCTON. O.C.t EXISTING —  SULFUR 010XIOE
                                                                  WASHINGTON. O.C.i EXISTING -- PARTICULATFS
NJMBER
         POLITICAL
                    CENSUS
                              POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION
                                                         NUMBER
                                                                  POL IT ICAL
                                                                              CENSUS
                                                                                        POLLUTANT CONCCKT«AT I ON
        JURISDICTION
                     TRACT
                            (MICROGRANS PER CUBIC METERI
                                                                 JURISDICTION   TRACT
                                                                                      INICROCRAHS PER CU3IC M.PfFRI
50
51
5?
53
5*
ss
56
57
SB
59
60
61
62
M
6*
65
66
67
69
69
70
71
72
71
7*
75
76
77
78
79
90
91
82
8)
84
AS
86
87
88
"9
00
91
92
91
94
9S
96
97
98
49
SO
51
S2.1
52.2
53. 1
53.2
5*. 1
5*. 2
55
56 '
57. 1
57.2
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
69
69
70
71
72
73.1
73.2
73.3
.73.4
73.5
73.6
73.7
73.8
74. 1
74.2
74. 3
75
76.1
76.2
76.3
77. 1
77.2
77. 3
77.4
77. S
78.1
80.99
72.06
70.78
72.06
70.78
72.06
70.78
67. R2
67.82
65.29
64.72
68.18
69.51
76.87
79.27
77.32
75.45
68.65
75.37
75.37
79.27
89.03
89.03
90.73
68.13
85.98
85.98
79.92
64.24
64.24
65.06
64.73
66.70
66.70
63.95
61.21
82.94
76.87
72.82
76. 87
84.64
87.44
78.56
ST. 80
67.18
92.43
78.21
81. 4&
103.94
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
71
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
Rl
82
83
B4
as
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
49
50
51
52.1
52.2
51. 1
53.2
54.1
54.2
55
56
57. 1
57.2
5H
59
hO
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
63
69
70
71
72
73.1
71.2
73.3
73.4
73.5
71.6
73.7
71. B
74.1
74.2
74.3
75
76.1
76. 7
76.3
77. 1
77.2
77.3
77.4
77. «>
78.1
76.82
71.92
71. 77
71.92
71.77
71.17
71.77
fcB.9B
68.99
6R. 1 1
67.44
fc9. 
-------
                                        CENSUS TRACT PROPERTY VALUE
WASHINGTON, O.C.
NUMBER


355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
17


364
365
366
3

. .
Z73
POLITICAL CENSUS
JURISDICTION TRACT

6 12
6 13
6 14
6 15
6 16
6 17
6 18
6 19
6 20
POLITICAL JURISDICTION TOTALS
POLITICAL JURISDICTION AVERAGES
POLITICAL JURISDICTION AIR QUALITY
7 1
7 2
7 3
POLITICAL JURISDICTION TOTALS
POCITICAL' JURISDICTION AVERAGES
POLITICAL JURISDICTION AIR QUALITY
RhblUNAL IUIAL5 1
REGIONAL AVERAGES
REGIONAL AIR -QUALITY
EXPOSURE
SULFUR
DIOXIDE
523013.
250777.
257125.
242752.
263378.
56798.
342126.
146136.
421781.
4307625.
253390.
53.71
113179.
270555.
98520.
482254.
160751.
47.33
396668.
~ 66^ 73
EXPOSURE
PARTICULATES

593023.
330677.
339049.
278228.
356825.
70952.
509145.
203895.
473076.
5159936.
303526.
64.34
134237.
319118.
116086.
569442.
189814.
55.89
421548.
70.92
PROPERTY
VALUE
TYPE 1
20350.
20286.
19766.
20565.
13912.
2C710.
17237.
17641.
21098.
129845216.
20531.
(WEIGHTED
22945.
22866.
30688.
43564656.
24887.
(WEIGHTED
PROPERTY
VALUE
TYPE 2
0.
45304.
0.
50491.
27267.
0.
0.
0.
0.
166420192.
4B617.
WITH RESPECT
62874.
56494.
103063.
122922832.
70221.
WITH RESPECT
3.JI Vftblfl'ttt. "*5 1 ibU JU'tU.
' 22365. 66579.
(WEIGHTED WITH RESPECT
GROSS
RENT
TYPE 3
78.
84.
82.
87.
60.
89.
69.
74.
76.
1140867.
81.
TO POPULATION!
96.
132.
157.
14C010.
132.
TO POPULATION)
ia 38 u n. 14
75.
TO POPULATION!
CONTRACT
RENT
TYPE 4
63.
64.
65.
72.
46.
69.
52.
55.
58.
876339.
62.

78.
90.
108.
96892.
91.

58.
Figure E.5-A.  Sample Output,  Census  Tract Property Values Summary from Property  Value Module

-------
FORTRAN IV  G LEVEL
                                  MAIN
                                                 DATE  < 71134
                                                                   08/35/02
                 DRIVER  FOR PROPERTY VALUE ROUTINE
 0001
 DAT* UNI/ I/.LIN2/2/11IN3/3/.L
1    LOUU/U/.LOUT2/I2/.LOUT3/U/,
 000*
                     NCT/Jbb/
c
0002
c
CALL PROP 
C
c
0001
c
STOP
c
                ENO
             Figure E.5-5.   Program Listing  for  DRIVER,  Main
                              Program for Property Value Module.
                                        258

-------
FQRTKAN IV G LEVEL
                                        PROP
                                                          LJATE = 711S7
                                                                                19/20/39
0001
c
c <
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c

c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
SU.IKGUTINc PPU" (L1N1,LIN2,LIN:»,LIN<.,LI)UTI,LL)UT2,LJUT3,NCTI

r*»«*»«*«»t***»««*»*»*««»»»»«**»00**««***»«****»«***********»«*»*«<

TITLE: PROP

AUTHOR: 0. GCLUSTEIN

TRW SYSTEMS GROUP
WASHINGTON OPERATIONS

CU*PUTtR SYSTEM: INM SYSTEM 3&0/*u'JeL 50

LANGJAJE JSFC1: I-ORTP.AN I i/ - O LEVEL

AttSTivACT: THIS ROUTINE .vILL CEMEAAT*; PK'jt>F*TY ViLOcS
HY USING THE Ai'MDcrtSliiJ-CKOCKER ^EGrtES SI ON
FOUATION.

»***««*««»»«ea**«*«*»««*«********««*«»et««***«*«****«* *««*******»*<




















>
J


 0002
 OC03

 000*

 0005
                    DIMENSION CL)N5TI<.|,AK(,bl<*l,CKI,L>t'«),F.
DIMENSION TITLE H 201 .TITLE2120) ,TITL = 3I? 31 .N4MK9) ,KCT(3I

DIMENSION PJ(b) .SRI2I ,T1 (2I.T2I3I .T3I1) ,wA(l Jl

KEAL MILiHPV.MGR .MCR t«F I ,N«T,.MkM
 0006               DATA  ,MVME/ MPV-', ' (PSN-, • ( PP T ' .'IMF I ',' (OLP1 , ' (OLD1 , • I NWT • , ' ( D I S ' •
                   1           MMRM'/
             C
 0007               DATA  PJ/'   PO','LITJ' ,'CAL  ', 'JURT, 'SO IC','TION'/,
	1	SR/'REGl' ,'ONAL'/,	'
                   7.      I I/'  IOT • , • 4LS ' / >
                   3      T2/'  AVE','KAGE','S   '/,
                   <,      T3/1  ATP',1  OUA'.'LTTV'/,
                   5      WA/M Wtl ' ,'GHTE','0 Wl'.'TH ?. ' , 'bSP b ' . ' r.T  T','0  r»!j» , ' PJL A ' ,
                   6         'TION1,1!    '/
                    ANOEUSO.'J-CRUCKEK  REGKESS10N' EJuATIUM:

                    LNIPVI  =  CONST  +  A X LNIPSN) » B X LN(PPT) »  C  X  L.Nl^t-II
                                   +  D X LNIDLPI » 5 X Li'JICLTI *  F  X  LN(N'wT)
                                   »  G X LNIDI S> * H X L.
                    WHERE  PV   — PROPtRTY VALUE (MbOIAN PRCPfcATY VALJEi  MEDIAN  GROSS
                                 "5F.HT, OR MEDIAN CONTRACT RETT' OF  D»NER  OCCUPIED
                                 HOUSING FOK A CENSUS TRACT)
                          PSN — CONCENTRATION OF SULFUR DIOXIDE
            Figure|E.5-6.   Program Listing for Subprogram PR0P,
                              Property  Value Module
                                           259

-------
FORTRAN IV G LEVEL
                                  PROP
                                                  DATE
                                                        71187
                                         19/20/39







0003
0009

3010
OC1 1
UUll
0013
0014
0015
0016
0017
0018
0019
0020
UUll
OOZZ
002)
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c

c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
— -- c
c
c
OPT — CONCENTRATION OF PARTICIPATES
*Fl — MEDIAN FAMILV INCOME
DLP — NUMBER OF LIVING UNITS DILAPIDATED
OLD — NUMBER OF HUUSES OVtK TEN YEARS OLD IN 1959
NMT — NUMBER OF HOUSING OCCUPIED BY NONtaHITES
OIS — DISTANCE OF CENSUS TRACT FROM CENTRAL BUSINESS
DISTRICT
MRM — MEDIAN NUMBER UF ROOMS IN HOUSING UNIT
CONST — REGRESSION EQUATION CONSTANT
4.8,C,D,E,F,G,H — EQUATION COEFFICIENTS
FACTOR — CONSTANT CORRECTION FACTOR RELATING SULFATlUN
RATT"(HTrLlGRfrNT'PFlT'TOO^ SWART TEWTTHETFR) 70 "
AVERAGE SULFUR OiOXIDb CONCENTRATIONS IPARTS PER
HTTLTOKn 	 	 	 ••" " "
HtftOILlNl.llOOl FACTOK,
1 	 { "CON'S H 1 ITA1 1 JTBTTTTC \ 1 1 , D (TmnTJTF (TITC IT ) iffnT, T5T7V) 	
UR 1 T E ( L 3UT 1 , 2 1 00 J'TNAHFrnTTTCDNSTTDTATn , NAHFfZ ) , B IT! VWA'HE C3Tt
1 Cl I 1 .NAME <<.) ,0(1 1 , NAME (5), El 1 ), NAME* 6),
/ l-lll,NflMbl/l»(jlll»rgA«tlBl.mii ,NAntl vi , 1 = 1 > «• I
RtftJILINZ.lZOO) TITLtl
nft 1 Tt I LUUT1 ,22001 TITLE1
1 L J N 1 I = U
REA01LIN3, 12001 TITLE2
READJLT^, 1200) TITLE3
WRITE ILHUT2, 23001 (TITLF2(I)«I=3,18).(T[TLE3(I),I=3,ld)
ICONT2 = 0 ' 	 " -~ " " • ~ 	
-a|TE(LOUT3,2'VOO) TI TL£l'f ( I , 1 = 1 .4) ~"
ILUN 1 3 = J
JPJ=1
SCT=0.0
i i. i :: 0 • L)
SPOP~=3.0 ' - - -. 	 _.._._. 	
TPl)P = 0.0
            Figure E.5-6.
Program Listing  for Subprogram PR0P,
Property Value Module (Cont'd)
                                     260

-------
FORTRAN IV  G LEVEL
                                  PROP
                                                  OATE
71167
002*
0025
0026
0027

0029
0029
0030
0031

0032
0033

0034
0035
0030
0037
003B
0039
0040
0041


30*Z

3043


0044

3045

0046

0047

00*8

00*9
0050
0051
•3052
0053
006*

005"5



0056

0057




C




C


C








C
C

C


C

c

cr

c

c

C






C


c
c

c

SPOSE1=0.0
SPUSE2=9.0
TPDSEI=O.O
"tpnse 2=0.0

SCT1=0.0
SCT2=0.0
rcri=o.o
TCT2=0.0

SSCT \=0.0
TTCT1=0.0

SPvl=0.0
SP\/2 = C.O
SPV } = 0.0 ~"
SPV4=0.0
iHVi=o.n
TPV2=0.0
TPV3=0.0 " " " ~
rpv4=o.o
-

CK1 I 10 1=1 iNL I

RE40ILIN2, 1300) rtC T, 01,02", POP .TnLVSFH.AlL.nWN, RENT, MPV.MG^.MC*,
1 Hfl ,DLP,CLJ.NwT,OI S,^>1
. _ _ . . . _ ...
IF( ICUNTl.LT.*rt) GO TO 1C

WR1 TE(LUUri, 22001 TITLE1

1 CON T 1 = 0
1 	 ~ '
1C CONTINUE

ICONTls|CUNTl+l
	 _-... ..... 	 ._. ... ,. .__..
AMFME
-------
FJKTHA'J  IV  0  LtVt'L  19
                                                                           19/20/3-V
005S
0059
OOol
0062
0063
006*
0065
J066
0067
0068
0069
0070
0071
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
IT! lCOnT2.LT.ii?) OJ M 2C
«K ITfclLUJT i, 2200) !TlTLI:2IJItJ = 3ilP. ),(TITLF>IJ),J = 3,l3)
IC'.1NT2 = 0
20 CGNT INUE
1C.JNT2=!CONT?» 1
IF( JSCTUJSO.T2.tj.3l GO TLi 30
*RITE< LOUT ^,2610) J 1 , JP J 1 , JC.T1 , JSCT 1 ,PS J , J2 , J" J? , JCT2 , JSCT2 . PP T
f,L. TU 
-------
FUKTRAN IV  G LEVEL   H
                                  PROP
                                                  I)
-------
IV  0 LEVEL   1')
                           PROP
                                           PATE «= 71197
                                                              1W20/39
0112
0113
0114
>)1J5
0116
0117
0118
0119
0120
0121
012?
0121
012*
0125
0120
0127
0128
0129
0130
0131
0132
0133
0134
0135
0136
0137
0138
0139
0140
0141
0142
014J
0144
014%
0146
0147
C
c
C
c
c
c
c
c

'C
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
SSCT1 = SSCT 1-DwN
riCTl=TTCTl-U*N - - -
80 CUNTIN'JE
ic r-5cr»i.a
TCT=TCT»l.O
SPGt> = SPOP»PUP
TPOP=TPJP*PUP
SPOSE1=SPOSE 1»PCSE1
SPUSE2=SPOSh2«PGSf 2
TPJSEl=TPJSc l»PGSf 1
T?iJSE2*TPO$t2»PUSE2
SCT1«SCTI»CWN
SCT2«SCT2»HENT
TCTl»TCTl»OWN
rCT2«TCT2»RENT
SSCT1=SSCT1»OWN
TTCT 1 = TTCT l*naN
PV1=PV« 1I*OWN
PV2=PV(2I*OWN
PV3=PV( 3)*«ENT
PV4=PV(4J*RENT
SPV1=SPVI»PVI
SPV2«SPV2»PV2
SPV3«SPV3*PV1
SPV4aSPV4«PV4
TPV1=TPV1»PVI
TPV? = TPV2»i»V?
TPVJ=TPV3*PV3
TPV4«TPV4«PV4
IFt ICONT3.LT. 4»» GO 1C =c
^R ITEILHUTJ.Z^OO) T1TIF1 t ( J, J=l .M
ICOUT3=0
90 CONTINUE
1CQNT3= ICUNT 3+ I
IFCJSCTl.E^.CI GO TC 100 " ~-
JRrTE(LOI/T3,?B10l I .JPJ1 . JCTT, J3CT1 , PnSET,PT3STE2, IPV( J1 , J= 1 , 41
     Figure  E.5-6.   Program Listing for  Subprogram PR0P,
                     Property Value Module  (Cont'd)
                                264

-------
FORTRAN IV G LEVEL
                                  PROP
                                                  OATE  = 71187
                                                                     19/20/39
0148
01*9"
0150
0151
0152
0153
015*
0155
0156
0157
0158
0159
01 60
0161
0162
0163
016*
0165
0166
0167
0168
0169
0170
0171
0172
0173
017*
0175
0176
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
— c~
C
L
t
T
C
C
c~
C
C
C
C
C
C
"C
C
GO" TO'ilO
100 "CONTINUE" ~ ~~
WRITEUOUT3,2«2CI I , JPJ1 , JCT 1 ,PGSE 1,POSE2, < PV( Jl ,J=1,*I
110 CONTINUE ~ ~" ._.---..-..-
1F( ICONT3.LT.*5I GO TO 120
MRI TH LOUT 3, 2*001 TITLtl,(J,J=l,*l
ICONT3=0
120 CONTINUE
ICONT3=ICnNT3*5
MCT« IFIX(SCT»C.01I
xfil TFJSt2 , SPVl , SPV2 ,SPV3, SPV*
APOSE1»SPOSE1/SCT
APOSE2=SPOSE2/SCT ' " 	 -. . .
WVl»Si»V17SCTl 	 	 • ~ ' ' - 	
APV2=SPV2/SSCT1
APV3=5PV3/SCT2
APV*=SPV*/SCT2
WRITE(L.)UT3,2?20) P J, T2 , APOSE1 1 APOSt^t APV1 , APV2 , APV 3, APV*
APOSEl=SPUiEl/SPOP
apubtii = iPUit2/:>PUH
WKITE .JLOUT 3,27301 P J, T3, APCSEl t iPOSf 2.WA
IF( ICU^r3.GT .**) nKITE(LOUT3.2*00) Tl TL E 1 , 1 J , J = l ,* 1
4CT=IMX|TCTO.C1)
WRITE(LQUT3,2910( ^C T , SK , Tl , TPOSE1 , TKOiE2 ,TPV1 rT \>V S , 1 PV3t TPv*
APUSEl=rPOSEl/TCT
APOSEZ=TP05F2/TCT
APVl=Ti>Vl/TCTl -- .— - -
4PV2=TP\/2/TTCTl
APV3=TPV3/rCT2 - . _ -
               Figure E.5-6.
Program Listing for Subprogram PR0P,
Property Value  Module (Cont'd)
                                       265

-------
FORTRAN IV  G LEVCL   19
                                  PROP
                                                  DATE
                                                        M187
                                                                     19/20/39
0177
0178
0179
0180
0181
0182
0181
018A
0183
0186
0187
0189

0189



0190
C
• c'
C
c
c
c
c
1100
c
1200
c
1300
c
1400
c
c
2100
1
2
_ 3
C
2200
1
2
3
5
" - ' j,
7
8
9
A
C
2300
2
3
A
5
6
7
B
9
C
2*00
WRI TEUOUT 3,29201 SS, T2, APCSE 1 , APuSE 2, APV1 , APV2 , APV3, APVA
APOSEl = TPOSEl/Tt>OP
APOSE2=TPUSt2/TPQP
WRI TEILJUT 3,2930) SR,T3 , APOSE1 , At>OS"E2, »A
RETUKM
FORMATIF5. 3/l9Ffl.A~,8X) ( 	
FOR*A T( 20 AAI
FORMAT(3I5,I1,AX,FIC.3»
FORMAT! •!• ,48X,' ANDERSON-CROCKER REGRESSION EQUATION'///
<»(///////l3Xt'LN' ,A*tIl t ' 1 = I'tFT. *»•»',
AC » C.FT.^.' X LN'.AA.'I IM//31X.
FORrtATl'l* ,*9X, 'CENSUS TR ACT~ATTR IBUTES -- I NPUT' // IX ,20A4//
*X, 'CENSUS' .'.X,' TOTAL ',bX,' ARE A IN' ,2X , 'S INGLE ', 5X, • ALL ',
t>X, 'NtOlAN' , 2 X,' MEDIAN' , 2A, 'MLJl AN' t3Xi' MEDIAN',
IX, '01 1 API OAT tO ',2 A. 'HOUSING1 ,2X, 'NON WHITE' , IX , 'DI STANCE ' ,
2X, •*EDlAN'/<,X,MRACr»f3x;iPOPULAnON',3X,'SUUAkE1 ,
2X. 'FA.««ILY',3X, 'HOUSING1 ,2X , • PkOPcRT V • ,2*. 'GROSS* ,
IX, 'CONTRACT ',2X,'FA^rLY',3X, •HUUSrN'G1 ,*X , 'OVER 10 ' ,
2X, 'CCCUPUO', IX, 'BUSINESS' ,1*. 'RUOrtS IN'/4X , • NJMBEi" ,
15X, 'MILES', 3X, 'HOUSING1 ,3X ,' UNI TS ', AX ,' VALUE1 , AX ,' RENT ',
'«X, 'KENT', AX, 'INC CMC' , AX , ' UNI TS ' , AX , • Y£ ARS ULD' ,
IX, 'HOUSING' , 2X, • 01 STR I CT',2X,' HOUSING'/)
FORMAT! '!' ,A2x, 'CENSUS TRACT POLLUTAST CONCENTRATIONS — INPUT'
3X, 'NUMBER1 , AX, 'POLITICAL' , 5X , 'CfcNSUS ' ,
5X, 'POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION',
9X, 'NUMBCR' ,AX, 'POLITICAL' ,bX , 'CENSUS1 ,
5X, 'POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION'/
12X,1JURISDICTIW«,3XT»TR"ACT' .
AX, MMICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER)',
15X, 'JUKI bUIL 1 IUN • , ;JA» ' 1 KAC 1 • ,
AX, MMICKOGRAMS PEK CUdIC METER)'/)
FOR1ATC I' ,53X, 'CENSUS TRACT PROPERTY V ALUE' // 1 X , 20AA //
2X", 'NUMOFR' ,6X, ' POLITIC AV i7X,« CENSUS' , 12X, 'EXPOSURE' ,
                 Figure E.5-6.  Program  Listing for Subprogram PR0P,
                                Property Value Module (Cont'd)
                                     266

-------
FORTRAN IV G LEVEL   19
                                      PROP
                                                        DATE = 71187
                                                                             19/20/39
                          9X.J E XPOSURE S12X,«PROPERTY'.5X,'PROPERTY«,bX,'GROSS*t
                          7 X, •CONTRAlCT' /1 3X t * JURl SDICTIUN'.SX, 'TRACT' , I<>X, • SULFUR1 ,
                          8X, •J'ARTICULATES* tllX,'VALUE* tBX,'VALUE'>9X,'RENT* ,	
                          9X,"'RENT1/'.8X,"'OIOXIDEt ,2*X,4(7X,•TVPE•,121/I
 0191


 0192

 0193
 2500  FORMAT!lX,2A4,AltHO.O,F10.0,F10.0,F9.0,F10.0,F7.0,F8.0,F9.0,F9.0,
     1   _  F11.0»F10.0,F8.1.F9.1I	      	
C                 "
 ?610  FORMAT(IX,16,112,112,'.',Il,F19.2tl22,ll2,I12t'.>,lltF19.2)
 2620 FORMATUX,16.112,112,F21.2,122,112,112,F21.2)
0194
0195
0196
0197
0198
0199
0200
0201

C

C
2710
2720
2730
2810
C
2820
C
C
C
2910
2920
2930
FORMAT!
FORMAT!
FORMAT!
FORMAT!
• 0'
10X
IOX
IX.
FORMAT! IX,
FORMAT!
FORMAT!
•0'
12X
,I5,4X,6A<.,2A4
,6A4,3A<>
,&A4.3A4
15,114,1
15,114,1
.F10.0
.F12.2
14, «.'
tF14
.F17
,F17
,1 1,
.O.F17
.O.F19
.2.11X
F20.0,
.O.F19.0
.O.F13.0
.10A4/I
,F13.0,
.F12.0,

F17.0.F19.0.F13
14,F22.0.F17.0,F19.0,F13
,15,6X,2A4,2A4
,2A4,3A4
.F24.0
FORMATU2Xt2A<«,3A
-------
                          6.0  ASSIGNMENT MODULE



6.1  DESCRIPTION

      The Assignment Module (ASSIGN) determines census tract residential

property values under different conditions of ambient air quality.   The

algorithm is described in Chapter 2, Section 2.6.

 6.2  JOB CONTROL LAUGUAGE AND DECK  SET-UP

       Figure  E. 6-1  shows  the JCL and  deck set-up for  the  Assignment Module.

 The ordering parallels  that of PR0P identically.

 6.3  DIMENSION AND  INPUT DATA FORMATS

       All variable  dimension information  and data set descriptions are  the

 same as given in Section 5.3 of  this  appendix.   However, Data Set 13 is

 now:

            L0UT3/13/-Output data  set, i.e., printer-census  tract
                      property value bids.


       The input data  formats for  Data Set  1  (LIN1) are shown in Table  E.6-1

 Everything  follows  the  formats for  the sulfation rate factor and regression

 coefficient input cards described for PR0P.  However, only  one regression

 coefficient set (one  input card), corresponding  to the Type I property

 value  equation, is  required for  ASSIGN.

       Table E.6-2 shows the  data formats  for Data Set 2  (LIN2) , which

 corresponds to  the  census tract  attribute  deck produced by  C0NVRT.  However,

 ASSIGN reads fewer  attributes into  core than PR0P.  The attributes skipped

 are indicated by the  notation "(SKIP)".

       The input data  formats corresponding  to Data Set 3  (LIN3) and Data

 Set 4  (LIN4) are the  same as given  for PR0P.


                                     268

-------
         JOB SETUP FUR ASSIGN  MODEL
//ASSIGN  EXEC PROC«FORTGCLC
//FORT.SYSIN   DO «
         SOUkCE DECKS



//LKCO.SYSIN   00 •


         OBJECT DtCKS
//CO.F11 1FU01  00 SYSOur°A,OCR»(ktCFM«UA.lKECL°133,ULKSIZE'133l
//vlO.FU^FOOl  OD SYSUUr-A,OCB-
-------
Table E.6-1..  Assignment Module Input Format for
              Regression Coefficients (Type I)
                Parameter
Columns
Format
CARD 1
FACT0R
CARD 2
C0NST
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H

1-5

1-8
9-16
17-24
25-32
33-40
41-48
49-56
57-64
65-72

F5.3

F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
F8.4
                       270

-------
                           Table E.6-2.

Census Tract Attribute Data Formats as Read by  Assignment Module

                        Parameter      Columns           Format

           CARD 1
                        TITLE1
1-80
20A4
                         - left justified  title  information
                           beginning  in column three.




NCT
Census
Tract,
two cards
per census
tract.



CARD 2
KCT
(BLANK)
Ql
(SKIP)
P0P
MIL
CARD 3
(SKIP)
MPV
(SKIP)
Ln(MFI)
Ln(DLP)
\ Ln(OLD)
Ln(NWT)
Ln(DIS)
Ln(MRM)
1-9
10
11-16
17-22
23-30
31-38
1-10
11-18
19-32
33-40
41-48
49-56
57-64
65-72
73-80
2A4.A1
IX
F6.2
6X
F8.2
F8.2
10X
F8.2
14X
F8^3
F8.3
F8.3
F8.3
F8.3
F8.4
                              271

-------
6.4  OUTPUT AND PROGRAM LISTINGS




      Figures E.6-2 and E.6-3 show the input data summaries corresponding




to Data Set 11 (L0UT1) and Data Set 12 (L0UT2) as described in Section 5.4.




The major output from ASSIGN is shown in Figure E.6-4, corresponding to




Data Set 13 (L0UT3).  The sample outputs are for the NCIAQCR demonstration




using EXISTING S02 and EXISTING PARTICULATE air quality data.





      Program listings for the DRIVER program of the Assignment Module and




the ASSIGN subprogram are given in Figures E.6-5 and E.6-6.
                                    272

-------
                                                          ANDERSON-CROCKER REGRESSION EQUATION
                         LNIPVI  »  I 3.39011  «  1-0.0712 X INIPSNH  *  1-0.0610 X LNIPPTI) •» I 0.7677 X LNIMFII) • (  0.0044  X  LN(DLP))

                           .  ..             »  1-0.0106 X.LNIOLUII  *  I 0.0251 X LNINMTII » (-0.0562 X LNIOISII * <  0.0    X  LN(MRMI)
                                                             CENSUS .TRACT ATTRIBUTES. _—._ INPUT 	
ro
•vj
u>
WASHINGTON, O.C.

     CENSUS
     TRACT
     NUMBER

       0048
       0049
       OOSO
       0051
    0052001
   ' 00520C2
    0051001
    0053002
    005400 1
    0054002
       0055
       0056
    0057001
    0057002
       0058
  TOTAL
POPULATION
AREA  IN
 SQUARE
 MILES
8485.
9000.
8234.
2451.
6033.
1291.
5896.
1022.
2624.
831.
6180.
3797.
537S.
1404.
14B-).
186.
115.
115.
0.
115.
0.
58.
0.
0.
0.
237.
160.
173.
0.
"i r~
 MEDIAN
PROPERTY
.VALUE

  12100.
  12296.
  14003.
     0.
  13200.
     0.
  11696.
     0.
     0.
     0.
  19594.
  21590.
  22994.
MEDIAN
FAMILY
INCOME
DILAPIDATED
  HOUSING
   UNITS
 HOUSING
 OVER  10
YEARS  01P
NONWHITE
OCCUPIED
HOUSING _
DISTANCE
BUSINESS
DISTRICT
 MEDIAN
ROOMS IN
. HOUSING
                           Figure E.6-2.   Sample Output, Title Page  and  Census  Tract Attributes-Assignment  Module.

-------
NJ
               NUMBER
 1
 2
 J
 *
 5
 6_
'7
 a
 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
78
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
		CENSUS -TRACt.POUUTANt-CONCENTRATIONS...T.T. INPUT.	

 WASHINGTON,  O.C., EXISTING — SULFUR DIOXIDE                        WASHINGTON,  D.C. , EXISTING — PARTICIPATES

                                                                                       POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION
                                                                                     IHICROGRAMS PER  CUBIC METERI

                                                                                               77~~.29
                                                                                               64.63
                                                                                               64.63
                                                                                               66.70
                                                                                               67. 89
                                                                                               63,56
                                                                                               64.09
                                                                                               62.32
                                                                                               61.<•?
                                                                                               63.56
                                                                                               63.01
                                                                                               63.56
                                                                                               67.06
                                                                                               66.60
                                                                                               65.21
                                                                                               67.97
                                                                                               72. 79
                                                                                               70.70
                                                                                               74.18
                                                                                               71.10
                                                                                               76. 1 3
                                                                                               76. 13
                                                                                               7D.OH
                                                                                               HI.03
                                                                                               78.06
                                                                                               71.46
                                                                                               71.46
                                                                                               71.09
                                                                                               71.69
                                                                                               71.69
                                                                                               71.69
                                                                                               76.03
                                                                                               76.03
                                                                                               79.41
                                                                                               78.31
                                                                                               76.76
                                                                                               71.92
                                                                                               71.6V
                                                                                               71.69
                                                                                               69.34
                                                                                               69. 3<.
                                                                                               68.27
                                                                                               71.92
                                                                                               71.9,;
                                                                                               71.92
                                                                                               71.92
                                                                                               79.41
                                                                                               77.63
                                                                                               79.41
POLITICAL CENSUS
JURISDICTION TRACT
1
2
1
*
5
	 . ... _ _. 6. ..
7
8
9
10
U
_ L 	 12 _
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23. 1
23.2
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
. 43
44
1 45
1 46
1 47
	 1' 	 48
POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION
(M1CROGRAMS PER CUBIC HETERI
64.78
61.08
61.08
63.34
65.39
56.88
58.98
56.65
54.08
56.88
51.77
56.88 _. 	 . ._ ..
61.40
58.58
55.22
63.78
71.15
70.50
74.51
71.02
78.91
78.91
83. 31
89. 34
83.31
71.55
71.55
71. HO
71.80
71.80
71.80
79.56
79.56
86.73
83.56
81.67
72.06
71.80
71.80
68.23
68.21
66.57
72.06
72.J06
72.06
72.06
86.73
83.00
86.73
NUMBER POLITICAL CENSUS POLLl
JURISDICTION TRACT IHICROC
I
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
4<*
1
2
3
4
5
	 6 _. 	
7
a
9
10
11
	 _12 . ._.
1 3
14
15
16
17
	 	 IB 	
19
20
21
22
23.1
23.2
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
40
                                 Figure E.6-3.
                                   Sample  Output,  Census Tract  Pollutant Concentration
                                   Summary (SC>2 and Particulates) Assignment Module.

-------
                                                 CENSUS TRACT PROPERTY VALUE BIDS
to
-j
WASHINGTON, C.C.
NUMBER




257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
17
271
272
273
3

273
...
>
POL ITICAL
JUKI SOICT ION



6
6
6
a
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
7
7
7
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
POLITICAL JURISDICTION
REGIONAL TOTALS
REGIONAL AVERAGES

CENSUS
TRACT



6
7
a
9
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
13
14
20
TOTALS
AVERAGES
1
2
3
TOTALS
AVERAGES



MEDIAN
PROPERTY
VALUE


15899.
11396.
22093.
23295.
23295.
12900.
12695.
1<>300.
16301.
11204.
23295.
13494.
14003.
16899.
1C1321712.
16100.
18306.
18106.
26108.
35373824.
20208.
4171612416.
175O6.

PROPERTY
VALUE
BIO
BEFORE
SHI FT
20971.
171 19.
20628.
28263.
22067.
20350.
20286.
19766.
20565.
13912.
20710.
17237.
17641.
21098.
129845216.
20531.
22945.
22866.
30686.
43564656.
24887.
5329461248.
22365.

PROPERTY
VALUE
BID
AFTER
SHIFT
19081.
22830.
22138.
19839.
22220.
21590.
20983.
18588.
1 1519.
28321 .
19808.
24651.
24353.
24713.
138932352.
21968.
14677.
23507.
23747.
3682 1904.
21035.
4879036416.
20475.

DIFFERENCE
IN
PROPERTY
VALUE
BID
-1890.
5711.
1510.
-8424.
153. .
1239.
697.
-1177.
-9046.
14410.
-902.
7414.
6712.
3615.
9087147.
1437.
-8268.
641.
-6941.
-6742747.
-3852.
-450462720.
-1890.
               Figure E.6-4.  Sample  Output, Census Tract Property  Value Bids from Assignment  Module.

-------
FORTRAN IV C LEVEL  19
                                    MAIN
                                                    DATE
                                                                       ZO/10/2B
                 DRIVER FOR ASSIGNMENT ROUTINE
            C
            C
 0001
                 DIMENSION  IDCTI 3661 ,PV< <., 366 I , HH< 366 I ,CTI 366 I ,11(3661
 0002
                 DATA LINl/l/.LIN2/2/,LIN3/3/>LINW4/t
                 1     LOUTl/ll/,LOUT2/I2/,LOUT3/n/t
                      NCT/366/
 0003
                 CALL ASSIGN (UNI ,L 1N2, UN3. U N<..LOUT I ,LOUT2 ,LQUT3i
                             NCT,IDCT.PV.HH.CT,ITI
 OOP*
                 STOP
 0005
                 END
               Figure  E.6-5.   Program  Listing  for DRIVER, Main
                                  Program  for Assignment Module.
                                         276

-------
FORTRAN IV C lEVEt  19
                                   ASSIGN
                                                   DATE • 7UB9
                                                                      08/10/21
oooi. 	

c
c <
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
0002

c
0003
c
0004
c
" 0005 ' " "
c
0006



c
" c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
SUBROUTINE ASSIGN < L INI , LI N2, L IN3, LI N^.LOUT 1 ,LOUT2, LOUT3,
NCT, IDCT,PV,HH,CT,IT,OWN1 ,ONN2)

•*»«»**»«***»****»»**»**»***»T****»Y* *****•*•********»«***»**»***»<

TITLE: ASSIGN

AUTHOR: B. GOLDSTEIN

TRW SYSTEMS GROUP
WASHINGTON OPERATIONS

COMPUTER SYSTEM: IBM SYSTEM 360/MUOEL 50

LANGUAGE USED: FORTRAN IV - G LEVEL

ABSTRACT: TO APPROXIMATE, AS CLOSELY AS POSSIBLE, THE NET
INCREASE IN PRODUCTIVITY OCCASIONED BY REDUCTIONS
IN AMBIENT AIR CONCENTRATIONS OF SULFUR OXIOES
AND PARTICULATES.
'


DIMENSION IDCT(NCT) ,P V (4 ,NCT 1 , HH( NCT ) ,CT 1 NCT > , I T ( NC T 1 ,
i OHNHNCTI ,OMN2 (NCT)

DIMENSION T1TLE1I20),T1TLE2J20),TITLE3I20) ,KCT13)

DIMENSION PJ(b) ,SR(2> ,T1(2>,T213>

REAL MILiMPV.MFl ,NMT,MKM

DATA PJ/» PO't'LITI'i'CAL • , • JURI • , ' SOI C' , • T ION' / ,
I SR/'REGI'.'ONAL1/,
2 Tl/« TOT'.'ALS •/,
3 T2/« AVE't'RAGE't'S •/

ANDERSON-CROCKER REGRESSION EQUATION:

LNJPVI = CONST » A X LNIP5N) » B X LNiPPTI » C X LNIMPII
+ D X LNIOLPI * E X LNIOLOI * F X LN(NWT)
» G X LNIOISI + H X LNIMRMI

WHERE PV -- PROPERTY VALUE OF OWNER OCCUPIED HOUSING
PSN — CONCENTRATION OF SULFUR DIOXIDE
PPT — CONCENTRATION OF PARTICULATES
MFI — MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME
OLP -- NUMBER OF LIVING UNITS DILAPIDATED
OLD ~ NUMBER OF HOUSES OVER TEN YEARS CLD IN 1959
NWT — NUMBER OF HOUSING OCCUPIED BY NONWHITES



i














































              Figure  ;;;.6-6. Program Listing for ASSIGN
                             Subprogram, Assignment  Module.
                                     277

-------
FORTRAN IV G  LEVEL  19
                                  ASSIGN
                      DATE - 71169
08/10/21
_ -

0007
0008
0009
0010
0011
0012
0013
0014
0015
00 Ib
0017
001 8
0019
0020
0021
0022
0023
0024
0025
0026
0027
0028
C
c
C
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
_c
c
c
c
" C~
c
c
c
c
OIS — DISTANCE OF CENSUS TRACT FROM CENTRAL BUSINESS
DISTRICT
NRM — MEDIAN NUMBER OF ROOMS IN HOUSING UNIT
CONST ~ REGRESSION EOUATION CONSTANT
A,B,C.O,E,F,G,H — EQUATION COEFFICIENTS
FACTOR — CONSTANT CORRECTION FACTOR RELATING SULFATION
RATE (MILLIGRAMS PER 100 SQUARE CENTIMETER) TO
AVERAGE SULFUR DIOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS (PARTS PER
MILLION)
RtAOUlNl, 1100) FACTOR, CONST, A, B,C ,l> ,E ,F ,G,H
MR IT El LHUT 1,21001 CONST , A, B,C ,D,E ,F , G,H
REAOUIN2, 1200) TITLE1
WRITE (LOUT 1,2200) TITLE1
ICONT1=0
READIL IN3, 1200) TITLE2
READILIN4, 1200) TITLE3
MR I TE (LOUT 2.2300) 1 UTLE2( II,(=3,18),(TITLE3(I),I=-3,18)
ICQNT2=0
WRITE(L6uT3,2400r~TITLEl
ICONT3=0
N=0
00 SO 1=1, NCT
READILIN2,1300» KCT ,01 .POP ,MIL .CV4N.MPV ,MF I ,OLP .OLO.NMT ,01 S ,MRM
AMFI=EXPtMFl )
ADLP=EXP(DLP)
AOLD=EXP(OLO)
ANWT = EXPTN»iT)
AOIS'EXP(OIS)
AMRM=EXP(MRMI
IF( iCONTl.LT.48l GO TO \Q
MRITEtLOUTl,2200) TITLE1
             Figure E.6-6.
Program Listing for ASSIGN Subprogram,
Assignment Module (Cont'd)
                                    278

-------
FORTRAN IV C LEVEL   19
                                  ASSIGN
                                                  DATE »  71189
                                                                     08/10/21

0029

0030

0031

0032


0033

0034

0035

0036

0037

0038

0039

0040

0041

0042

0043

0044

0045


" 0046

0047

00*8

0049

0050

0091

0052


C

C
10
C

C

C
C

C

C

C

C

C
20
C

C

C

C

C
30
C

C
40
C
C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C
C

1CUNT1=0

CONTINUE

ICONU=ICGNT1»1

WRITE! LOUT 1,25001 KCT , POP, M L f MPV, AMFI , AOLP . AOLO , ANrfT , AOI S, ANRM


REAOIL IN3, 1400) J 1 , JPJ1 , JC Tl , JSCT 1 ,P SN

READILIN4, 1400) J2 , JPJ2. JC T2 . JSCT2 >PPT

IF( ICONT2.LT.49I GO TO 20

*IR I TE( LOUT 2,2:1001 1 TI TLE21J ) , J = 3, 18 ) , « TI TLE3 U ) , J=3 , 1 8)

ICONT2=0

CONTINUE

ICONT2=ICONT2*1

IF< JSCT1*JSCT2.EQ.OI GO TO 30

WRITEILUUT2.2610) J 1 , JPJ 1 , JCT1 , JSC Tl ,PSN, J2 , JP J2 , JC T2 , JSCT2, PPT

GO TO 40

CONTINUE

WRITE(LOUT2,2620) Jl, JPJ1, JCT1 ,PSN, J2, JP J2 . JCT2 ,PPT

CONT INUE


IFlQl.LT.l.OI GO TO 50

N=N>1

IDCTt N)=JPJ 1*10000* JCTl* 10* JSCT I

PV( 1 tNI=NPV

PSN=>PSN/«2660.0*FACTOR)

PSN=ALOG«PSNI

PPT=ALOG(PPT I


             Figure E.6-6.  Program Listing for ASSIGN Subprogram,
                            Assignment Module  (Cont'd)
                                     279

-------
FORTRAN IV G LEVEL  19
                                   ASSIGN
                                                   DATE = 71169
                                                                     08/10/21
0053
005*
0055
0056
0057
0058
0059
0060
0061
0062
0063
006 .GE.CTI 1 1 I 1 I GO TO 70
TENP = CT( 111 1
CT< I II ) = CT( II
CT( I I=TEHP
ITEMPMTU 11 1
ITI I II )=ITI I )
IT( 1 I=ITEMP
TfcNP=OWNU 111 »
OWNK I 1 I ) = OWNH I 1
OMNK I I = TEMP
70 CONTINUE
80 CONTINUE
00 90 1=1 tN
II = IT( I 1
             Figure E.6-^6.
Program Listing for ASSIGN  Subprogram,
Assignment  Module (Cont'd)
                                     280

-------
FORTRAN IV G LEVEL  19 	
                                  ASSIGN
                                                  DATE
                                                         71189
                                                                     08/10/21

0083

0084

0085


0086

0087
0088

0089
0090

0091
0092
0093
0094
0095
0096
0097
0098


0099

0100

0101

0102

0103

0104

0105

0106

0107

oio'a

0109

0110

0111
c

c

c
90
c
c

c


c


c








c
c

c

c

c

c

c

c '
	
c

c

c

c

c
100
c


PV(3tIII=EXP«HHII )»CT(1I )

OWN2I 1 1 »=J»N1( I I

CJNT INUE


JPJ= 1

MSCT=0
MTCT=0

SCT=0.0
TCT=U.O

SPVl=0.0
SPV2=0.0
SPV3=0.0
SPV4=0.0
TPV1=0.0
TPV2=0.0
TPV3=0.0
TPV4=0.0


00 140 I=1,N

ID=IOCT< II

IPJ= 10/10000

IO=IO-IPJ*10000

ICT= 10/10

ISCT=IO-ICT»10

OWN = 0*N2m

IF( IPJ.EU. JPJ ) GO TO 110

IF( ICONT3.LT.44I GO TO 100

WR1TE(LQUT3, 24001 T1TLE1

ICONT3=0

CONTINUE

ICONT3=lCONT3+4
            Figure E.6-6.   Program Listing for ASSIGN Subprogram,
                            Assignment Module  (Cont'd)
                                     281

-------
FOKTRAN
0112
0113
Oil*
0115
0116
0117
0114
0119
0120
0121
0122
0123
012*
0125
0126
0127
0128
0129
0130
0131
0132
0133
013*
0135
0136
0137
0138
0139
01*0
01*1
01*2"
01*3
01**
IV G LEVEL
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
110
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
19 ASSIGN DATE - 71189 08/10/21
HRI TE (LOUT 3 1 27101 MSCT, P J, Tl ,SPV1, SPV2, SPV3 1 SPV*
APVI=SPV1/SCT
APV2=SPV2/SCT
APVJ=SPVJ/SCT
APV'. = SPV*/SCT
WRITE (LOUT 3, 2 7201 P J, T2, APV1 , APV2 i AP V3, APV*
JPJ= 1PJ
*SCT=0
SCT=0.0
SPV1=0.0
SPV2=0.0
SPV3=0.0
SPV*=O.O
CONTINUE
PV(*, I) = PV(3, I I-PV12.I 1
MSCT=MSCT»1
MTCT=MTCT*1
SCT=SCT»OWN
TCT=TCT»OWN
PVl=PV( 1,1 I*OMN
PV2'Pv(2.i )*GWN
PV3=PV(3, J I*OUN
PV*=PV(*,I )»UWN
SPVI=SPV1»PV1
SPV2=SPV2»PV2
SPV3=SPV3+PV3
SPV*=SPV*»PV*
TPV1=TPV1»PV1
TPV2=TPV2»PV2
TPV3=TPV3*PV3
TPV*=TPV**PV*
!F( ICONT3.LT.*6) GO TO 120
WRITEUOUT3. 2*001 TITLF1
Figure E.6-6.
Program Listing for ASSIGN Subprogram,
Assignment Module (Cont'd)
                      282

-------
:ORTRAN  IV G LEVEL  19
                                  ASSIGN
                                                  DATE * 71189
                                                                     08/10/21
0145
0146
0147
0148
0149
0150
0151
0152
0153
0154
0155
0156
0157
0158
0159
0160
0161
0162
0163
0164
~0l'65~
0166
0167"
0168
0169
0170
0171
fflTz
C
c
C
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c
c

c
c
c
ICONT3=0
120 CONTINUE
ICONT3=1CJNT3*1
IF< ISCT.EC.OI GO TO _13Q
WRITEILOUT3, 28101 I , I P J, 1 CT, 1 SCT , ( PVU, I ) , J = l ,4)
GO TO 140
130 CONT INUE
WRITE I LOUT 3, 28201 I,IPJ,lCT,,J=l,4)
140 CONTINUE
IF( ICONT3.LT.44I GO TO 150"
rfRITECLUUT3,2400) TITLE1
ICONT3=0
150 CONT INUE
~ ICO~NT3=ICONT3*4 ~ "" - - --
WRITEILOUT3, 27101 MSCT, PJ , Tl t SPVlt SP V2 t SPV3t SPV4
APvi«SPvi/scT 	
APV2=SPV2/SCT
" APV3=SPV3/SCT
APV4=SPV4/SCT
WRITEILOUT3, 27201 PJ.T2, APV1 , APV2 , APV3, APV4
1H rCONT3.GT.4"3» WRITE 
-------
FORTRAN  IV C LEVEL
                                     ASSIGN
                                         DATE = 71189
                                                                          08/10/21
c_
C
0173 1100
C
0174 1200
C
0175 1300
C
0176 1400
C
C
0177 2100
1
2
3
5
C
0178 2200
I
2
3
4
5
6
7
C
0179 2300
2
3
<»
5
6
7
A
9
" 	 c
0180 2400
1
2
3
*
5
FORMAT(F5.3/9F8.4t
FORMATI20A4)
FORMAT(2A4,Al,lX,F6.2,6X,2Fd.2,16XjF8. 2/1 OX, F8.2, 14X, 5F8. 3.F8. 41
FORMAT!3I5,I1,4X,F1P,3I . .._ 	
FORMAT! ' 1'
14X
' X
1 X
' X
' X
FORMAT!1!'
8X,
6X,
4X,
6X,
7X,
8X,
7X,
FORMAT! • 1'
//I
iX,
5X,
9X,
5X,
12X
4X,
15X
4X,
FORMAT! '!'
8X,
11X
,48X,< ANDERSON-CROCKER REGRESSION EQUATION' //////////
,'LNIPV) = I',F7.4,') * I',F7.4,' X LNIPSNI) «• l',F7.4,
LNIPPTII * C,F7.4,' X LNIMFMI * !',F7.4,
LNIOLP) I'//33X, •«• !',F7.4,' X LN(OLO»I «• !',F7.4,
LNINHTM » C.F7.4,' X LNIOISI) + !',F7.4.
LNIMRM) I ' 1
,49X, 'CENSUS TRACT ATTRIBUTES — I NPUT' // 1X.20A4//
•CENSUS ',7X, • TOT AL'.SX,' AREA I N« ,6X , 'MEDI AN' ,
•MEDIAN1 ,4X, 'OIL API DA TED', 5X, 'HOUSING' , 5X , • NONKHITE' ,
•DI STANCE ',5X,'MEDI AN' /8X, 'TRACT ' ,6X ,' POPULATION' ,
•SQUARE' ,5X,'PROPERTY',5X, 'FAMILY',6X, 'HOUSING' ,
•OVER 10' ,5X, 'OCCUPIED', 4X, 'BUSINESS', 4X, 'ROOMS IN'/
'NUMBER' ,21 X,' MI LESS 7X, 'VALUE',7X,' INCOME' ,7X, 'UNITS',
'YEARS OLD* , 4X , 'HOUSING' ,5X, 'D I STRICT' , 5X , ' HOUS ING' / 1
,42X,'C"ENSUS TRACT POLLUTANT CONCENTR'ATI UNS — INPUT1
•NUMBER' ,4X, ' POL I TIC AL',5X, 'CENSUS',
•POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION',
•NUMBER ', 4X,' POL I TICAL'.SX, 'CENSUS',
'POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION'/
,' JURISDICTION1,^, 'TRACT' ,
MMICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER*',
, • JURISDICTION ',3X,' TRACT' ,
MMICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER) '/I
,50X, 'CENSUS TRACT PROPERTY VALUE BIDS'// IX, 20A4//
'NUMBER', 1 IX. 'POLITICAL' , 12X, • CENSUS"', 1 IX ,' MEDIAN' ,
,2! 'PROPERTY', 10X) .'DIFFERENCE'/
24X, 'JURISDICTION' ,10X, • TRACT •, 1 1 X, 'PROPERTY' ,
11X,2( 'VALUE ',13X1, 3X,' IN'/
63X,' VALUE' ,14X,'BID',15X,'BiO',14X,'P~ROPERTV'/ "
8 IX, 'BEFORE* ,12X, 'AFTER* ,14X, 'VALUE'/
7 81X
C
,21 'SHIFT', 13XJ.2X, 'BIO1/!
 0181
 0182
 2500 FORMAT«5xT2A4»Al,FI3.0,F13.0,FT*.0,FI1.0,Fl2.0,F14.0,F1J.O,P11.1,

  _ 1       f112.'1!-        _     __    	    _.	
CT	

 2610 FORMAT(IX,I 6,112,112,'.',I1.F19.2,122,112,112t*.*.11,F19.2)
               Figure E.6-6.
                   Program Listing for ASSIGN  Subprogram,

                   Assignment  Module  (Cont'd)
                                        284

-------
FORTRAN IV G LEVEL   1.9	ASSIGN	UATE = 71169	08/10/31

 016J         2620  FORMAT!IX,16.11?,I 12,F21.2,122,112,112,F21.21
             C
 0184         2710  FUKMATI'0' ,111,6X,6A4,2A4,Fl7.O.F18.O.F18.0,F19.0»
             C
 0185	      2720  FOR*AT(20*.6a<.,3A<.,F13.0.F18.0.F16.0.Fiq.O/l	
        .  _  „

 0186         2810  FORMAT!IX,111,119,119,'.',II,F17.0,Fid.O.F18.0.F19.0I
             C
 0187         2820  FORMATI1X,I 11,119,119.F19.0,F18.0,F1B.O,F19.01
             C
 0188         2910  FORHATCO1 ,1 11,10X , 2A<, ,2 A4 ,F 31 .0,F 18 .0,F 18.0, F19.0I
             C
 0189         2920 FORMAT(22X,2A4,3A4,F27.0.F18.0,F18.0.F19.0I
             C  '                              ....

             C
 0190              ENO                     '
               Figure E.6-6.   Program Listing  for ASSIGN  Subprogram,
                                Assignment Module  (Cont'd)
                                         285

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