APTD-1V1
TRANSPORTATION CONTROL
    STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT
                FOR  NEW YORK
         METROPOLITAN AREA
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                                        APTD-1371
TRANSPORTATION CONTROL


  STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT


         FOR NEW YORK


     METROPOLITAN AREA



                Prepared by

   TRW Transportation and Environmental Operations
             7600 Colshire Drive
           McLean, Virginia 22101


            Contract No.  68-02-0048



        EPA Project Officer: Fred Winkler

                    I

               Prepared  for

         ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
        Office of Air and Water Programs
    Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
    Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

               December  1972

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 The APTD (Air Pollution Technical Data)  series of reports  is  issued
 by the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,  Office of Air
 and Water Programs,  Environmental Protection Agency,  to report tech-
 nical data of interest to a limited number of readers.   Copies of
 APTD reports are available free of charge to Federal  employees, current
 contractors and grantees, and non-profit organizations  - as supplies
 permit   from the Air Pollution Technical Information Center,  Environ-
 mental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711,
 or may be obtained,  for a nominal cost,  from the  National  Technical
 Information Service,  5285 Port Royal Road,  Springfield,  Virginia 22151.
This report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by
TRW Transportation and Environmental Operations of McLean, Virginia,
in fulfillment of Contract No. 68-02-0048.  The contents of this report
are reproduced herein as received from the TRW Transportation and
Environmental Operations.  The opinions, findings, and conclusions
expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the
Environmental Protection Agency.
                        Publication No. APTD-1371
                                    ii

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                           TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                 Page
1.0  INTRODUCTION	1-1
     1.1   Background	1-1
2.H  LIMITATIONS OF THE TRANSPORTATION CONTROL STRATEGY ANALYSIS. 2-1
     2.1   Air Quality Monitoring  	 2-1
     2.2  Emission Factors  	 2-2
     2.3  Cold-Start Emissions  	 2-2
     2.4  Traffic Data and Projections	2-3
     2.5  Analytic Techniques Used	*	2-3
     2.6  Effects of Control Measures 	 2-4
3.0  SUMMARY	3-1
     3.1   Air Quality	3-1
     3.2  Emission Reductions Required  	 3-1
     3.3  Strategy Considerations 	 3-2
          3.3.1   Control Measures 	 3-2
          3.3.2  Data Base	3-3
4.0  PROGRAM PURPOSE AND DESCRIPTION  	 4-1
     4.1   Regional Description  	 4-1
     4.2  New York Air Quality Problems 	 4-3
          4.2.1   Air Quality Network	4-3
          4.2.2  Estimated Emission Reductions Needed 	 4-5
     4.3  Purpose of Study  	 4-5
          4.3.1   Control Strategy Development 	 4-6
          4.3.2  Control Strategy Implementation  	 4-C
5.0  CONTROL STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT1	5-1
     5.1   Emission Estimates  	 5-1
          5.1.1   Methodology	5-1
          5.1.2  Baseline (1970) Emissions  	 5-6
          5.1.3  Future (1975, 1977, 1984) Emissions  	 G-17
     5.2  Summary of Control Measures 	 5-17
          5.2.1   Selection of Control Measures  	 5-17
          5.2.2  Impacts of Control Measures on Transportation.  . 5-21
                                   m

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                             TABLE OF CONTENTS
                                (continued)
           5.2.3  Emission Reduction Potential	,  .  ,  . 5-22
      5.3  Proposed Control  Strategy 	 5-23
           5.3.1  Control  Measure Definition  	 5-23
           5.3.2  Air Quality Impacts  of Control Measures   .  ,  . 5-25
           5.3.3  Social  and Economic  IMpacts	 5-27
           5.3.4  Determination  of Obstacles  to Implementation
                  of Control  Measures  	 5-37
 6.0  CONTROL STRATEGY  IMPLEMENTATION   	 6-1
      6.1   Procedure and Time Schedule  	 6-1
      6.2   Agency  Involvement  	 6-2
      6.3   Legal Authority	6-4
      6.4   Surveillance Check Points  	 6-4
           6.4.1   Legal Authority Check Points  	 6-4
           6.4.2   Air Quality Check Points 	 6-4
           6.4.3   Transportation Check Points   	 G-6
           6.4.4   Control Measure Implementation Check Points.  . 6-6

APPENDIX A   AIR QUALITY AND EMISSION DATA BASE 	 A-l
APPENDIX B   TRANSPORTATION DATA BASE	B-l
APPENDIX C   jATA DOCUMENTATION LIST	C-l
APPENDIX D   AUTOMOBILE AIR POLLUTION QUESTIONNAIRE 	 D-l
APPENDIX E   LIST OF CONTROL MEASURES COMPILED BY NEW YORK CITY
             DEPARTMENT OF AIR RESOURCES  	 E-l
                                    IV

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                             LIST OF TABLES


Table Number                      Title                            Page

    4-1             Air Quality Data and Rollback Estimates          4-1

    5-1             Modal Traffic Distribution in Downtown
                    CBD as Percentages of Total  VMT                 5-2

    5-2             Modal Traffic Distributions in Midtown
                    CBD as Percentages of Total  VMT                 5-3

    5-3             Modal Traffic Distributions of Bronx,
                    Kings, and Queens Counties as Percentages
                    of Total VMT                                    5-4

    5-4             New York City Emission Factors                  5-5
                                                     *
    5-b             Air Pollutant Emission Estimates for the
                    "Worst" Square Mile in Different Areas
                    of New York City                                5-7

    5-6             Mobile Source, Stationary Source, and Total
                    Emissions of Air Pollutants in the New
                    York City Area                                  5-3

    5-7             Estimated Percentage Emission Reductions for
                    Carbon Monoxide in the "Hot Spots" of New
                    York City                                       5-18

    5-8             Estimated Percentage Emission Reductions for
                    Hydrocarbons in the "Hot Spots" of New York
                    City                                            5-19

    5-9             Estimated Percentage Emission Reductions for
                    Oxides of Nitrogen in the "Hot Spots" of
                    New York City                                   5-20

    5-10            Assumed Vehicle Emission Reductions for
                    Hardware Control Measures                       5-24

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                             LIST OF  FIGURES
Figure Nucber                    Title

    4-1              New York City Grid                               4-2

    5-1              Carbon Monoxide Emission Densitites 1n
                    NYC 1n 1970                                      5-9
    5-2             Carbon Monoxide Emission Densities 1n
                    NYC in 1977 Assuming Only Federal
                    Emission Controls                                5-10

    5-3              Carbon Monoxide Emission Densities 1n
                    NYC 1n 1977 Assuming Federal Emission
                    Controls and Full Set of Hardware
                    Control Measures                                 5-11
    5-4             Hydrocarbon Emission Densities in NYC
                    in  1970                                          5-12
    5-5             Hydrocarbon Emission Densities in NYC
                   1n  1977 Assuming Only Federal  Emission
                   Controls                                         5-13
    5-6             Hydrocarbon Emission Densities 1n NYC
                   1n 1977 Assuming Federal  Emission Controls
                   and Full  Set of Hardware Control  Measures        5-14

   5-7             Oxides of Nitrogen Emission  Densities in
                   NYC In 1970                                      5-15

   5-8             Oxides of Nitrogen Emission  Densities in
                   NYC in 1977 Assuming Federal Emission
                   Controls                                          5-16

   6-1             Surveillance Check Points                         6-5
                                  v1

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                            1.0  INTRODUCTION

     Air pollution and congestion problems which plague New York  and other
American Cities are one consequence of the historical  development of land
use patterns and transportation systems.   These two factors have  been
closely related.  Higher density development on Manhattan clearly reflects
the accessibility afforded by mass transportation.  The dispersed low
density housing of the region's urban fringe, which has undergone  phenomenal
growth since 1945, is automobile oriented.  The separation of housing,
employment opportunities, commercial, educational and recreational activities
has created an absolute reliance upon mechanized transportation.
                                                       •
     Due to the relatively high pollution emissions from the internal
combustion engine pollution control strategies focus on these mobile  as
well as fixed sources.

1.1  BACKGROUND
     The Federal Clean Air Act of 1970 made provision for the setting of
national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS's) for several pollutants, among
them the automobile-related ones carbon monoxide (CO), photochemical oxidants
(Ox), and oxides of nitrogen (NOX).  Subsequently, in April 1971, such  standards
were promulgated by the Federal Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).  All
states and territories of the United States were to submit air quality
implementation plans for meeting these standards by July 1, 1975.  However,
the State of New York requested, and was granted, an extension of the dead-
line for mobile-source pollutants to July 1, 1977.  As a result,  New  York
must submit, by February 15, 1973, a definitive, detailed air quality
implementation plan containing suitable transportation control measures for
achieving compliance with the subject Standards in 1977.

     Because the New York City Department of Air Resources (NYCDAR) has a
great deal of experience in air pollution control, transportation problems,
and,other related areas, the New York State Department of Environmental
Conservation chose to rely heavily on the city organization for the plan
preparation.  In addition, because of the time and manpower restrictions
                                   1-1

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involved, EPA contracted with TRW Inc., to provide technical assistance
to the state and city in the preparation of the plan.   This report documents
the extent of this assistance.
                                  1-2

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     2.0  LIMITATIONS OF THE TRANSPORTATION CONTROL STRATEGY ANALYSIS

     A basic requirement to be met by any acceptable air pollution control
strategy is that emission levels following implementation of the strategy
be consistent with the attainment and maintenance of National  Ambient Air
Quality Standards.  Satisfaction of this requirement depends upon a
detailed knowledge of current air quality levels and a quantification of
the pollutant emissions in the region.  Additionally, a practical transporta-
tion control strategy must consider the economic  factors associated with
its adoption and also the social and  political changes necessary to
accomodate each specific control measure.  Thus, the air quality  benefits
of any action must be balanced against the social and economic dislocations
caused by its implementation.  Long-term regional transportation goals  and
policies must be balanced against the need to achieve specific degrees  of
emission reduction by 1977.  Limitations in the data available and in the
analytic method used became obvious during the course of this study, and
care must be taken in the interpretation and evaluation of the control
strategy recommendations contained in this report.  Several specific areas
in which the present study needs to be confirmed and validated by future
study are listed below.

 2.1   AIR QUALITY MONITORING
      Two basic areas of concern appear in connection with air quality  data
 available for this project.  First and most importantly, ambient monitoring
 at only a few points generally fails to give an adequate appreciation  of  the
 regional character of the air pollution problem.  It is impossible  to  deter-
 mine whether a  particular monitor is being adversely affected by local sources which
 cause unrealistically high readings in terms of the regional  problem,  or,
 conversely, whether there are areas of maximum ambient pollution left  unmonitored.
 The only solution to this problem lies in increasing the number and geographical
 spread of ambient monitors.  Data from the extended monitoring network should
 be used to constantly evaluate and update the control measures presented in
 this document.  The second problem concerning the use of air quality monitoring
 data lies in the statistical  manipulations and projections used to  determine
                                     2-1

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the required level of reduction for the attainment of standards.   Basing an
extensive control program on measurements obtained in one or two  hours per
year may lead to the imposition of unduly strict control  measures.  The
trend of ambient measurements during the period before the target year of
1977 must be carefully watched and used to adjust control  measures according
to observed ambient conditions.  Further, specific high measurements obviously
due to adverse meteorological conditions may be considered as episode control
situations and may not require the imposition of long-term transportation
controls for their solution.

2.2  EMISSION FACTORS
     The mobile source emission estimates developed as part of this study
were based upon the best available emission factors.  These emission factors
were obtained both from EPA^1' and from NYCDAfr2* 3', and are continually
being updated as better data become available.   It is highly recommended
that the new emission factors be utilized as they become available to
recompute and redefine the severity of the mobile source generated emis-
sions in the region.  Finally, the emission factors used in the study
relate speed to the emission only on the basis  of the integrated driving
cycle.  This has prevented the accurate assessment of changes in emissions
due to improved traffic flow characteristics in core, center city areas.

2.3  COLD-START EMISSIONS
     Preliminary data have shown that the emissions generated during the
first few minutes of vehicle operation represent a large and increasing
  JD.S. Kircher and D.P. Armstrong, "An Interim Report on Motor Vehicle
   Emission Estimation" (Draft), Environmental Protection Agency, October
(2\
  '"Proposed Plan for Meeting Federal Air Quality Standards Relating to
   Carbon Monoxide, Hydrocarbons, Nitrogen Oxides, and Oxidants in New York
   City," New York City Department of Air Resources, January 1972.
^Personal Communication with Michael P.  Walsh, NYCDAR,  October 10, 1972.
                                    2-2

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portion of the total emissions during any individual  vehicle  trip.   An
implication of this fact is, that to actually reduce mobile source  emis-
sions, it may be necessary to effect a reduction in total  vehicle trips
rather than merely reducing the number of vehicle miles traveled.   Unfor-
tunately, the data relating to this phenomenon were not sufficiently
developed to be used in the analysis presented in this study.  Another
implication of high level cold-start emissions for the control  strategy
might be in the control of large parking facilities as stationary sources.
Again, it has not been possible to quantitatively describe the effect of
this type measure on the regional air pollution problem in this report.

2.4  TRAFFIC DATA AND PROJECTIONS
     Traffic data and traffic projections have not historically been
collected with a view to the estimation of motor vehicle air  pollution
emissions.  This fact has necessitated the reworking of traffic data
including vehicle flows, speeds, and modal mixes into the format necessary
for emission calculations.  Certain assumptions and potential inaccuracies
have been introduced by this process.  Further, the trends and projections
in vehicle growth have been prepared by various agencies and  often  little
unanimity has been found concerning appropriate growth rates.  These data
in certain cases require that a close watch be maintained both on traffic
changes and ambient air quality during the period between now and full strategy
implementation so that any deviations from the expected vehicle emission
rates can be determined and appropriate adjustments made in the control
strategy.  It should be noted that stationary source  emission projections
also suffer from inaccuracies in the projection of industrial growth and
in the application of as yet untested control technologies to control of
these stationary sources.

2.5  ANALYTIC TECHNIQUES USED
     The key analytic calculation performed  in this study  is the relation
between emission rates and ambient  air quality.  Due to the time restraints
it was not possible to utilize sophisticated mathematical modeling techniques
in the development  of this relation between emissions and air quality,  and
simpler static modeling techniques cannot be used in systems  having the

                                    2-3

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complexity of the New York City atmosphere.  Hence,  control  strategy reduc-
tions were based on proportional rollback techniques relating existing
emissions and air quality on a proportional basis.   The use  of modeling is
highly recommended since it will both include the effects of local
meteorological and topographical features and indicate, in a way that
rollback estimation cannot, the  geographical  extent of the  regional air
pollution problem.  Such modeling and simulation exercises using models
currently under development should be carried out during the years  between
now and 1977 and should be used to modify, if required, the  control  strategy
recommended in this document.

2.6  EFFECTS OF CONTROL MEASURES
     It was not possible to precisely quantify the emission  reduction effect
of some of the control measures considered in this document.  For example,
the effect of inspection and maintenance program depends strongly upon the
exact test procedure used, maintenance recommendations, the  quality and
availability of trained mechanics and a host of other factors which were
impossible to define exactly during this study.  Similarly,  mass transit
improvements can be expected to reduce vehicle miles traveled within the
region.  The extent of this reduction is unknown until specific data con-
cerning the economic elasticity of the various travel demands, the modal
split of trips within the region, and many other factors have been care-
fully evaluated.

      It  is strongly recommended that programs be instituted to provide
additional data and to apply more sophisticated analytic  techniques in the
areas listed  above.   Work must  begin upon  the implementation of the required
regional  control measures  in the immediate future.  However, final implemen-
tation and enforcement should be dependent upon data collected during
calendar years  1973,  1974,  and  even 1975.  Full consideration must be given
to the political,  jurisdictional, and social impact of all control actions.
The control measures  presented  in this document must be considered as an
initial  attempt to quantify the relationship between transportation processes
and the  regional air  pollution  problem.  The further study indicated should
be used  to modify  this baseline effort.  The air pollution implications of

                                    2-4

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the transportation process are very complex and a modification of this
process can potentially effect significant changes in the social  and econom-
ic character of the metropolitan region.
                                     2-5

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                              3.0  SUMMARY

3.1  AIR QUALITY
     At one or more points within the boundaries  of New York City, the
NAAQS's for CO, Ox, and NOX are exceeded.   The detailed air quality analysis
is found in Section 4.0 and Appendix A, but the principal  features are:

     •  CO    The highest levels are observed in the downtown  and midtown
              sections of Manhattan where maximum eight-hour concentra-
              tions of 45 ppm (parts-per-million) and 32 ppm,  respectively,
              have been recorded.  The maximum eight-hour standard is 9  ppm.
     •  Ox  - The general New York area appears to have maximum one-hour,
              oxidant levels of about 0.18  ppm, compared with  a national
              standard of 0.08 ppm.
     •  NOX - Congested areas have maximum  one-hour NOX levels of about
              0.08 ppm, while other areas are approximately half that
              value.  The standard is 0.05  ppm.annual  average.

     It should be noted that photochemical  oxidants, unlike CO and NOX
are not emitted djrectly by motor vehicles.  Hydrocarbons (HC), which are
emitted by motor vehicles, undergo a complex system of reactions to  produce
                                                 /
Ox.  It is assumed in this report, as has been assumed in most other work
of this kind, that atmospheric levels of Ox are proportional  to hydrocar-
bon emission rates.  Therefore, Ox levels can be controlled by reducing
hydrocarbon emissions.

3.2  EMISSION REDUCTIONS NEEDED
                                    /.
     The required emission reductions for transportation-related pollu-
tants are presented in detail in Section 4.0.  For the most-critical areas,
the estimated percentages by which 1970 emissions must be lowered to meet
the national air quality standards are as follows:

     •  CO  - downtown - 80% redaction
              midtown  - 72% reduction
                                   3-1

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     •  Ox  - 56% reduction of HC
     •  NOX   38% reduction in congested areas
               0% reduction elsewhere

3.3  STRATEGY CONSIDERATIONS

3.3.1  Control Measures
       A descriptive list of transportation control  measures  being con-
sidered by NYCDAR is presented in Appendix E.   However,  for the following
reasons, it was not possible to make quantitative estimates of the air
quality impacts of each measure:

       •  The relation between the control measures  and  the resulting
          emission reductions was undefined in most  cases.
       t  Cost and time considerations prevented detailed analysis of all
          the measures.

       However, four control measures considered to  have good potential
for emission reduction were studied in detail:

       •  Vehicle Turnover - replacement of older vehicles, some of which
          are pre-emission-control, by newer vehicles has a great effect,
          particularly in Manhattan.
       •  Retrofit Program for Heavy-Duty Vehicles   because  of the large
          percentage of travel accounted for by this vehicle class in some
          New York areas, installation of control devices would have great
          effect.
       •  Inspection/Maintenance of Taxis - in lower Manhattan, because
          of  the high degree of taxi travel, this program offers good
          potential.
       •  Inspection/Maintenance of Personal Vehicles   for NYC as a whole,
          the personal automobile is the principal emission source, and
          preventing  (or  slowing) deterioration of the associated control
          devices  is an effective control measure.

                                    3-2

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       The detailed analysis of the effects of these control  measures on
air quality is found in Section 5.0.  In addition, a recently completed
document prepared by TRW for EPA offers additional information on  the
effectiveness of traffic flow improvements'  .

3.3.2  Data Base
       Detailed discussions of the air quality and emissions  data  base are
in Appendix A, while the transportation data base is presented in  Appendix
B.

3.3.2.1  Air Quality and Emissions Data
         These data were taken from the New York City Implementation Plan
(Section 1.0, Reference 2) or were obtained directly from NYCDAR personnel,
Some emission factors were obtained from EPA (Section 2.0, Reference 1).
3.3.2.2  Transportation Data
                                         i
         These data were obtained from the Tri-State Regional Planning
Commission, the New York City Planning Commission and the Port of New York
Authority.
   "Prediction of the Effects of Transportation Controls on Air Quality
   in Major Metropolitan Areas," prepared for Environmental Protection
   Agency by Transportation and Environmental Operations of TRW Inc.,
   20 November 1972.
                                   3-3

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                    4.0  PROGRAM PURPOSE  AND DESCRIPTION


4.1  REGIONAL DESCRIPTION

     The Tri-State Regional  Planning Commission has  been designated by the

federal government as the official  planning agency for New York, New Jersey,
Connecticut Tri-State Region.  The Commission is also a central supporting
resource for subregional  and local  planning.


     The Commission's reports contain the following  facts.


          "The region consists of 28 counties with more than  18 million
          residents and 8,000 square miles of land area.  Almost one-
          tenth of the nation lives and works within a 60 mile radius
          of Times Square.  Nearly half of the. population lives on the
          central-»iost five percent of the land.  The nation's most dense
          concentration of housing occurs on Manhattan where  at one
          location 150,000 persons live in a single  square mile of land.
          The region's work places are even more concentrated than its
          population.  Nearly one-third of the labor force travels each
          weekday to the nine square-mile area south of Central Park in
          Manhattan.  No more than ten percent of these, arriving and
          departing in the peak hour, can use the type mode of travel
          to work used elsewhere in the nation — the automobile.  The
          4.5 million autos garaged and cared for within the  region
          travel 100 million miles per day."0)
     The computer model used for the New York area made  use  of a  four-hundred

square mile grid network shown as Figure 4-1.  Although  this grid included

parts of New Jersey, only those sections of Manhattan, the Bronx, Brooklyn,

and Queens shown on the figure were subjected to a detailed  analysis.  The

study area includes the most critical parts of the city  from the  standpoint

of transportation-related pollutant emissions.
     "Tri-State Transportation 1985 an interim plan,"  Tri-State Transportation
     Commission, May 1966.
                                    4-1

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Figure 4-1   New York City Grid.
             (1  square    1 square mile)
                4-2

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4.2  NEW YORK AIR QUALITY PROBLEMS


     New York air quality and the emission reductions  required  to meet the

national ambient air quality standards are summarized  in  Table  4-1.  Again,

it should be stated that these data are based on limited  analyses at only a

few monitoring sites.  The sampling network should be  considerably expanded

so that the improvement in air quality can be monitored during  implementation

of the control strategy.  In this way, changes in the  plan can  be made if the

air quality data indicate a deviation from the current projections.


4.2.1  Air Quality Network


       The sampling stations from which the data of Table 4-1 were obtained
are:
       t   CO   downtown Manhattan on Canal Street; midtown on the  59th  Street
           Bridge approach; and East Harlem on 121st Street.

       •   Ox - only one station, located at the Cooper Union Engineering
           building above 9th Street in downtown Manhattan.

       •   NOX   sampling sites not documented at this time.   (Data were ob-
           tained by telephone from NYCDAR.)


The sampling network clearly needs expansion, particularly for Ox and  NOX, if

the chosen control strategy is to be properly monitored.   The following  ad-

ditions could be useful:

       •    CO T  the  CBD's  of boroughs other than  Manhattan  are  virtually
           unmonitored at  this time.  Possibly a  mobile unit  could be  used
           to determine where other stations  are  needed.

       •    Ox -  because oxidants  do not necessarily form at the areas of
           maximum hydrocarbon emissions,  Ox should be monitored  away from
           the congested areas.   A program is currently underway  in Nassau
           County to define the nature  of  the NYC area Ox problems, if such
           exist.

       •    NOX   oxides of nitrogen can create local problems and also par-
           ticipate  in  the formation of Ox,  an area problem.  Monitoring
           stations  are needed in some  of  the central  business districts to
           find  whether local  problems  are occurring.
                                    4-3

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                                                   TABLE 4-1

                                     AIR QUALITY DATA AND ROLLBACK ESTIMATES*
-P.
Pollutant
CO
CO
CO
Ox
NOX
»x
Sampling
Location
Downtown
(Canal St. P.O.)
Mldtown (Grand
Central Area)
Rest of NYC
(East Harlen)
General Area
Mldtown &
Downtown
Rest of NYC
1-1
Standard
35
35
35
0.08
0.05**
0.05**
HOUR MAXI
Actual
85
65
21
0.18
0,08**
0.04**
MUM
Rollback %
59
35
0
56
38
0
8-
Standard
9
9
9
—
• _
—
WUR MAXI
Actual
45
32
9.5
—
__
—
MUM
Rollback %
80
72
5.6
—
mm mm
—
                 Concentrations  are parts  per million  (vol./vol.).
                **Annual  Average.

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4.2.2  Estimated Emission Reductions Needed

       Because of the time and money limitations  of this  study,  an  air
quality model having sufficient sophistication to describe  the New  York City
airshed could not be developed.  In lieu of such  a model, a simple  propor-
tional model was used to describe the relation between air  quality  and
emissions.  The details are given in Appendix A.   Where pollutant concen-
trations based on different averaging times yield different rollback  (emission
reduction) percentages, the more-conservative, numerically  larger,  reduction
should be used.  Under this constraint, the needed emission reductions  are  as
follows:

       t   CO - (based on maximum 8-hour level)
                Downtown   80%
                Midtown  - 72%
                Non-CBD     5.6%
       •   HC   (based on maximum 1-hour Ox reading)
                Entire Area - 56%
       •   NOX- (based on maximum 1-hour level)
                CBD   38%
                Non-CBD   0%

       It must be emphasized that the air quality data base is  very limited
and these rollbacks should be confirmed or disallowed by more extensive moni-
toring.

4.3  PURPOSE OF STUDY

     The present study is intended to provide a technical basis  for the develop-
ment of a comprehensive transportation control strategy to  enable the New York
City metropolitan area to meet the ambient air quality standards of motor
vehicle-related air pollutants by July of 1977.  The program is  divided into
two task areas, control strategy development and control  strategy implementation,
the individual tasks of which are listed in the remainder of this section.
                                    4-5

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4.3.1  Control Strategy Development
       •   Development of Air Quality Data Base
       •   Development of Transportation Data Base
       a   Development of Emissions Data Base
       •   Definition of Control Measures
       a   Development of Control Measure Impact Data
       •   Determination of Obstacles to Implementation of Control Measures

4.3.2  Control Strategy Implementation
       •   Timetable for Implementation
       *   Agency Involvement
       •   Legal Authority (State and city preferred to handle this themselves.)
       0   Surveillance Check Points
                                    4-6

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                     5.0  CONTROL STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT

5.1  EMISSION ESTIMATES

5.1.1  Methodology

       Motor vehicle emission estimates are basically the products of two
numbers:   (1) vehicle miles traveled  (VMT), and (2) emission factors
(emission  rates expressed in grams of pollutant per mile traveled).  The
emission factors are functions of several variables:

       •   Modal Mix
       •   Age Distributions of Vehicles
       •   Vehicle Speeds
       •   Types of Emission Controls

       The detailed computational methods used to develop emission factors
in New York are given in Appendix A, but briefly, the steps involved are
as follows:

       1.  The most important modal contributors to total annual VMT for
           three major areas of New York were determined from transportation
           data.  Tables 5-1, 5-2, and 5-3 show the modal distributions for
           the areas chosen for analysis.
       2.  Emission factors were computed for the important motor vehicle
           modes in each of these areas.
       3.  An overall emission factor for each analysis area was then de-
           veloped by multiplying the emission factor for each mode by the
           fraction of total VMT accounted for by each mode and summing these
           products.  These emission factors, unconnected for speed, are
           given in Table 5-4.

       VMT data and speed data for each mile square section of the New York
grid (Figure 4-1) were determined by procedures discussed in Appendix B.
The motor vehicle emissions in each square mile were determined by taking
the products of the VMT, the pertinent emission factor, and a speed adjust-
ment factor (Reference 2-1) for each section.
                                    5-1

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                                 TABLE 5-1
                I10DAL TRAFFIC DISTRIBUTION IN DOWNTOWN CBD
                       AS PERCENTAGES OF TOTAL VMT*
Year
1970
1975
1977
Auto
32.2
36.4
37.9
Bus
(D)
3.3
3.1
3.0
Bus
(G)
___
—
—
Taxi
(M-F)
14.1
15.2
15.6
Taxi
(H-NF)
6.5
7.0
7.2
Taxi
(N-11)
1.1
1.2
1.2
Truck
(D)
7.1
6.1
5.6
Truck
(G)
35.7
31.1
29.4
      *Based on data in the New York City Implementation Plan,
       January 1972.
Abbreviations:
        D = Diesel
        G = Gasoline
      M-F   Fleet Medallion
     M-NF   Non-Fleet Medallion
      N-M   Non-Medallion
                                    5-2

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                                TABLE  5-2


               MODAL TRAFFIC DISTRIBUTIONS  IN  MIDTOWN CBD
                      AS PERCENTAGES OF TOTAL  VMT*
Year
1970
1975
1977
Auto
18.0
19.6
20.2
Bus
(D)
2.4
2.1
2.1
Bus
(G)
	




Taxi
(M-F)
38.1
39.5
39.9
Taxi
(M-NF)
17.7
18.2
18.4
Taxi
(N-M)
2.9
3.0 '
3.1
Truck
(D)
3.5
2.9
2.6
Truck
(G)
17.4
14.7
13.7
Abbreviations:  D = diesel               M-NF
                G   gasoline               NM
              M-F   fleet medallion
non-fleet medallion
non-medallion
*Based on data from NYC Implementation Plan, January 1972.
                                   5-3

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                                TABLE 5-3


             MODAL TRAFFIC DISTRIBUTIONS OF BRONX, KINGS AND
              QUEENS COUNTIES AS PERCENTAGES OF TOTAL VMT*
Year
1970
1975
1977
Auto
89.4
91.1
91.6
Bus
(D)
1.0
0.9
0.8
Bus
(6)
0.1
0.1
0.1
Taxi
(M-F)
—
—
—
Taxi
(M-NF)
—
—
—
Taxi
(NM)
—
—
—
Truck
(D)
1.6
1.3
1.2
Truck
(G)
7.9
6.6
6.2
Abbreviations:  D   diesel               M-NF
                G = gasoline               NM
              M-F   fleet medallion
non-fleet medallion
non-medallion
*Based on data from NYC Implementation, January 1972.
                                   5-4

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                               Table 5-4.   NEW YORK CITY EMISSION FACTORS* (grams/mile)
en
tn
Case
1970-Baseline
1975-Uncontrolled
1977-Uncontrolled
1984-Uncontrolled
1977-Measure A
1977-Measure B —
1977-Measure C
1977-Measures A,B,C,
(Combined)
DOWNTOWN
CO
89.6
57.8
44.4
22.8
28.2
44.2
43.7
27.3
HC
17.3
12.7
9.81
7.04
6.29
9.78
9.70
6.15
NOX
11.9
9.79
8.48
7.05
8.48
8.48
8.48
8.48
MIDTOWN
CO
73.1
35.5
25.6
13.6
18.1
25.2
25.1
17.2
HC
12.3
7.29
5.36
3.34
3.73
5.29
5.29
3.59
NOx
9.44
6.43
5.11
4.09
5.11
5.11
5.11
5.11
REST OF NYC
CO
71.8
46.3
31.7
9.22
28.3
31.7
29.3
25.9
HC
12. G
6.64
3.63
2.15
2.87
3.63
3.42
2.66
NOx
5.06
4.95
3.54
2.21
3.54
3.54
3.54
3.54
              *Uncorrected for speed.   See Appendix A for details.
              Abbreviations:
A = control measure A (retrofit and inspection/maintenance of heavy-duty vehicles)
B = control measure B (Inspection/maintenance of ta*is)
C = control measure C (Inspection/maintenance of personal  cars)

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       Stationary source emissions were available only on a county-wide
basis, and they were apportioned to the grid areas by using the VMT for
each grid as an apportioning factor.  Data were available for 1970 and
1977, but the projections for 1984 were based on 1977 data for lack of
better information.

5.1.2  Baseline (1970) Emissions

       The methodology of the preceding paragraphs was used to determine  CO,
HC, and NOX emissions in the New York area for several cases, including 1970
as a baseline case.  The results are given in Table 5-5 for the grids  showing
the maximum emission densities in several  critical areas of New York.   These
'"worst" grids are in the following locations:

       •   Grid (75)   this grid includes  the intersection of the  Prospect
           and the Brooklyn-Queens Expressways, in Brooklyn.
       •   Grid (134)   this grid includes the eastern part of the downtown
           Manhattan central business district (CBD).
       •   Grid (193)   this area lies around Rockefeller Center in midtown
           Manhattan.
       •   Grid (195)   the Long Island Expressway approach to the Queens-
           Mi dtown Tunnel passes through this grid in west Queens.
       •   Grid (315) - this grid contains the intersection of the Cross
           Bronx Expressway and the Grand Concourse in the Bronx.

       For the primary  pollutants, CO and NOX, these grids are of primary
importance since these gaseous emissions can create highly-localized air
quality problems at the sites of maximum emission density.  However, photo-
chemical oxidants require a few hours for their formation from hydrocarbons
and NOX, so that an area-wide problem normally results.   In this case,  it
is considered preferable to analyze the problem in terms of area emissions,
such as the data of Table 5-6.  A better look at area-wide emissions is pro-
vided by study of the emission density grid maps, Figures 5-1 through  5-8;.
                                    5-6

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                  Table  5-5.  AIR POLLUTANT EMISSION ESTIMATES FOR THE "WORST" SQUARE MILES
                              IN DIFFERENT AREAS OF NEW YORK CITY (tons/year)
PA^A

1970-U
1975-U
1977-U
1984-U
1977-A
1977-B
1977-C
1977- AH
Allowable
Downtown (134)
CO
20,730
13,998
10,804
6,123
6,931
10,755
10,638
6,716
4,146
HC
4,870
3,765
3,029
2,483
2,149
3,020
3,003
2,114
NA
NOX
9,019
5,267
4,962
4,729
4,962
4,962
4,962
4,962
5,592
Midtown (193)
CO
9,751
4,452
3,236
1,910
2,317
3,188
3,174
2,207
2,730
HC
2,053
1,228
981
828
773
972
972
755
NA
NOX
4,381
2,297
2,142
2,051
2,142
2,142
2,142
2,142
2,716
Bronx (315)
CO
5,667
3,679
2,614
964
2,355
2,614
2,430
2,171
5,350
HC
1,149
643
436
332
376
436
418
358
NA
NOX
1,381
1,372
1,271
1,184
1 ,271
1,271
1,271
1,271
MS
Brooklyn (75)
CO
8,462
5,825
4,159
1,569
3,752
4,159
3,871
3,464
7,988
HC
2,813
2,111
1,791
1,630
1,698
1,791
1,765
1,672
NA
NOX
2,533
2,537
2,392
2,267
2,392
2,392
2,392
2,392
MS
Queens (195)
CO
10,915
7,412
5,218
1,813
4,682
5,218
4,840
4,304
10,304
HC
2,700
1,761
1,334
1,121
1,210
1,334
1,300
1,176
NA
NUX
3,431
3,438
3,234
3,055
3,234
3,234
3,234
3,234
MS
(7)
        Abbreviations:   U = uncontrolled (vehicle turnover alone).
                         A = control  measure A (retrofit and inspection/maintenance of heavy-duty vehicles).
                         B = control  measure B (inspection/maintenance of taxis).
                         C = control  measure C (inspection/maintenance of personal  cars).
                       All = all  of the control  measures.
                        NA = not applicable, HC  is treated on an area-wide basis (see Table 5-6).
                        MS = currently meets standards.

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              Table 5-6.  110BILE SOURCE,  STATIONARY  SOURCE, AND TOTAL EMISSIONS OF
                          AIR POLLUTANTS  IN THE NEW  YORK CITY AREA  (tons/year)
Case
1970-U
1975-U
1977-U
1984-U
1977-A
1977-B
1977-C
1977-A11
A1 1 owabl e
Carbon Monoxide
Mobile
1,175,864
788,981
554,697
198,609
473,461
553,947
517,943
435,957
NA
Stationary
97,445
90,491
90,491
90,491
90,491
90,491
90,491
90,491
NA
Total
1,273,309
879,472
645,188
289,100
563,952
644,438
608.434
526,448
NA
Hydrocarbons
Mobile
217,875
123,010
76,530
51 ,932
57,721
76,391
73,065
54,117
54,117
Stationary
98.278
95,336
95,336
95,336
95,336
95,336
95,336
95,336
84,990
Total
316.153
218,346
171,866
147,268
153,057
171,727
168,401
149,453
139,107
Nitrogen Oxides
Mobile
93,216
91 ,254
68.223
48,766
68.223
68,223
68,223
68,223
NA
Stationary
239,399
201.187
201,187
201.187
201,187
201,187
201,187
201,187
NA
Total
332,615
292,441
269,410
249,952
269,410
269,410
269,410
201 ,187
NA
Abbreviations!
  U = uncontrolled (vehicle turnover alone).
  A = control measure A (retrofit and Inspection/maintenance of heavy-duty vehicles).
  B = control measure B (inspection/maintenance of taxis).
  C = control measure C (inspection/maintenance of personal cars).
All = all of the control measures.
 NA - not applicable, CO and NOX are treated as local problems (see Table  5-5).

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LEGEND
          Figure 5-1.  CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSION
                       DENSITIES IN NYC IN 1970
                       (1 square = 1  square mile)


DARK =  -10000 tons/year

MEDIUM = 4001 - 10000 tons/year

WHITE  = 0 - 1000 tons/year
                                        5-r-

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LEGEND
   Figure 5-2.  CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSION DENSITIES IN NYC
                IN 1977 ASSUMING ONLY FEDERAL EMISSION CONTROLS
                (1 square - 1  square mile)

WHITE = 0 - iQOQ tons/year
MEDIUM = 4001  - 10000 tons/year
DARK = >10000 tons/year
                                      5-10

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LEGEND
   Figure 5-3.  CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSION DENSITIES IN NYC
                IN 1977 ASSUMING FEDERAL EMISSION CONTROLS  AND
                FULL SET OF HARDWARE CONTROL MEASURES
                (1 square = 1  square mile)


WHITE = 0 - 1000 tons/year

MEDIUM = 4001  - 10000 tons/year
DARK = >10000 tons/year
                                      5-11

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               Figure 5-".  :!YDROCARBON EMISSION DENSITIES IN NYC
                            IN 1970
                            (1 square = 1  square mile)
            WHITE =0-1200 tons/year
LEGEND      MEDIUM =1201 - 2400 tons/year
            DARK = >2400 tons/year
                                       5-12

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                 Figure 5-5.  HYDROCARBON EMISSION DENSITIES IN NYC
                              IN 1977 ASSUMING ONLY FEDERAL EMISSION
                              CONTROLS
                              (1 square = 1  square mile)
LEGEND
WHITE =0-1200 tons/year
MEDIUM =1201 - 2400 tons/year
DARK =  -2400 tons/year
                                      5-13

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LEGEND
      Figure 5-6.  HYDROCARBON EMISSION DENSITIES  IN NYC
                   IN 1977 ASSUMING FEDERAL EMISSION CONTROLS
                   AND FULL SET OF HARDWARE CONTROL MEASURES
                   (1 square = 1 square mile)

WHITE - 0 - 1200 tons/year
MEDIUM =1201 - ?400 tons/year
DARK =  2400 tons/year
                                    5-14

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LEGEND
 Figure 5-7.  OXIDES OF NITROGEN EMISSION  DENSITIES  IN NYC
              in 1970
              ( 1 square = 1  square mile)

WHITE =0-1200 tons/year
MEDIUM =1201 - 2400 tons/year
DARK = >2400 tons/year
                                     5-15

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   LEGEND
                Figure 5-8.  OXIDES OF NITROGEN EMISSION DENSITIES IN
                             NYC in 1977 ASSUMING FEDERAL EMISSION CONTROLS
                             (1 square = 1  square mile)
WHITE =0-1200 tons/year
.'CDIUM = 1201 - 2400 tons/year
DARK = >2400 tons/year
NOTE: Hone of the hardware control measures are assumed to affect
      oxides of nitrogen emissions
                                     5-16

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5.1.3  Future (1975. 1977. 1984) Emissions

       Using transportation projections found in Reference  2  of Section 2.0,
Tri-State Regional Planning Commission VMT projections,  and emission factors
based on References 1 and 2 of Section 2.0, emission projections  for 1975,
1977, and 1984 were made assuming only vehicle turnover  as  a  control measure.
These data are found in Tables 5-5 and 5-6, labeled 1975-U, 1977-U, and
1984-U.  The latter table is of particular interest, because  it documents the
increasing importance of stationary sources in later years, especially sta-
tionary sources of HC, and NOX.  The use of transportation  controls other than
vehicle turnover solely to control oxidants and/or NOX would  be questionable
policy.

       Estimated emission reduction percentages for these later years, using
1970 emissions as a baseline, are tabulated in Tables 5-7,  5-8, and 5-9 for
the grids of maximum emission density.  The data indicate the following:

       •   CO   vehicle turnover will have a large impact within  the next
           seven years, and most areas of New York City  could meet the stan-
           dards in 1977, the major exception being the  downtown  CBD, where
           the primary emission source (trucks) is relatively uncontrolled.
       •   HC   vehicle turnover and relatively minor stationary  source con-
           trols will reduce New York area emissions by  about 46  percent by
           1977 compared with an estimated reduction requirement  of 56 per-
           cent so further controls are indicated.
       9   NOX   vehicle turnover coupled with some planned reductions by
           stationary sources should enable all parts of the  city to meet
           the standard by 1977.
5.2  SUMMARY OF CONTROL MEASURES
5.2.1  Selection of Control Measures
       The choice of transportation control measures for New  York was based
principally upon a study of the modal split data of Tables  5-1> 5-2, and 5-3,
together with a knowledge of the emission factors of the modal  components
(References 1 and 2, Section 2.0).  Additional  information on the citizen
 acceptability of transportation control  measures was obtained  from the results of
 a survey of New York City area residents summarized in  Appendix  D.  The measures
 considered and the reasons for their being studied follow:

                                    5-17

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                         Table 5-7.  ESTIMATED PERCENTAGE EMISSION REDUCTIONS FOR CARBON
                                     MONOXIDE IN THE "HOT SPOTS"  OF NEW YORK CITY
Area (Grid)
Oowntown(134)
M1dtQHd(193)
Bronx (315)
Brooklyn(75)
Queens (195)
Reduction
. Needed
80
72
5.6
5.6
5.6
1975-Vehicle
Turnover Alone
32
54
35
31
32
1977-Vehicle
Turnover Alone
48
67
54
51
52
1984-Vehicle
Turnover Alone
70
80
83
81
83
1977-Control
Measure A
67
76
58
56
57
1977-Control
Measure B
48
67
54
51
52
1977-Control
Measure C
49
67
57
54
56
1977-A11
Control Measures
68
77
62
59
60
U1


03

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               Table 5-8.  ESTIMATED PERCENTAGE  EMISSION  REDUCTIONS FOR  HYDROCARBONS
                            IN THE "HOT  SPOTS" OF NEW YORK CITY
Area(GHd)
Downtom(134)
Mtdtown(193)
Bronx (315)
Brook lyn( 75)
Queens (195).
Reduction
Needed*
56
56
56
56
56
1975- Vehicle
Turnover Alone
23
40
-44
25
35
1977- Vehicle
Turnover Alone
37
52
62
36
51
1984-Vehicle
Turnover Alone
44
57
71
42
58
1977-Control
Measure A
56
62
67
40
55
1977-Control
Measure 3
38
53
62
36
51
1977-Control
Measure C
38
53
64
37
52
1977-A11
Control Measures
57
63
69
40
56
•Based on photochemical oxldant level.
NOTE:   As stated In the text Ox/HC  Is considered as a regional  or area problem and this table  Is Intended
       only as an Indication of those boroughs for which further HC emissions  reduction controls would be
       most effective.

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                    Table 5-9.   ESTIMATED PERCENTAGE  EMISSION  REDUCTIONS  FOR OXIDES  OF  NITROGEN
                                IN THE "HOT  SPOTS"  OF NEW  YORK CITY
Area (Grid)
i)owntown(134}
.Udtown (193)
Bronx (315)
Broofc1yn(75)
Queens (195)
deduction
Heeded
38
38
0
0
0
1976-Vehlcle
Turnover Alone
42
48
1
0
0
1977-Vehicle
Turnover Alone
4b
51
8
6
6
1984-Vehlcle
Turnover Alone

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     t  Retrofit of Heavy-Duty Vehicles - because this  vehicle  class,
        particularly trucks, is relatively uncontrolled and constitutes
        a large fraction of lower Manhattan traffic,  a  retrofit program
        can be used to advantage.

     •  Inspection/Maintenance of Taxis - although taxis have very high
        replacement rates (few are more than three years old) and are
        kept in relatively good states of tune, they  account for such  a
        high percentage of total VMT in such areas as the midtown CBD
        that an inspection program can have significant impact.

     •  Inspection/Maintenance of Private Automobiles - in the  New York
        area as a whole, the private automobile is the  principal motor
        vehicle emission s.ource and cannot be ignored.   ,In addition,  the
        survey (Appendix D) indicates that New York City residents are
        in favor of an inspection/maintenance program for air quality
        improvement.

     •  VMT Reductions - some of the grids showing extremely high emission
        densities (such as 134-downtown and 193-midtown) could  profit by
        reduced traffic volume and the better traffic flow which results.
        This requires further study.

     •  Flow Improvements - although not included as  a specific control
        measure, flow improvements resulting from on-going highway con-
        struction coupled with vehicle restraints should help to reduce
        emissions.

     •  Stationary Source Reductions - this measure consists chiefly of
        rigid enforcement of existing regulations for HC emissions.
5.2.2  Impacts of Control Measures on Transportation


       The retrofit and inspection programs will have economic effects on

private vehicle, taxi, and truck operators, but should have little effect on

the modal patterns.  Some older vehicl'es will probably be taken out of ser-

vice earlier than would otherwise be the case.  Economically, the trucking

industry will bear the greatest cost.

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       A VMT reduction control measure will cause modal shifts, the nature

of which depend on which motor vehicle classes are most highly controlled.

For  lower Manhattan, the private automobile is a possible candidate for re-

ductions.  Such measures as the banning of private autos from congested areas

would have a direct effect by reducing total VMT and an indirect effect by
causing flow improvements in the remaining traffic.   Private vehicle VMT re-

duction would shift traffic to other modes such as taxis or, preferably, to

mass transit facilities.   A measure this drastic has far-reaching consequences

and should be studied in depth before any plans for implementation are
seriously considered.

5.2.3  Emission Reduction Potential
       The emission reduction potentials of the control  measures  are detailed

in Section 5,3, but are briefly summarized below:
       Control Measure


       Retrofit Program
       Taxi Inspection
       Auto Inspection
       VMT Reduction
       Vehicle Turnover
       Flow Improvement
       Stationary Sources
                                    Reduction Potential
Lower Manhattan

  Excellent
  Good
  Fair
  Good
  Excellent
  Good
  Poor
Rest of NYC

 Good
 Poor
 Good
 Fair
 Excellent
 Fair
 Good
                                    5-22

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 5.3   PROPOSED  CONTROL  STRATEGY
      The control  strategy  developed  for  use  in New York City is presented
 in the  following  paragraphs.   In  some  cases,  such as the hardware-based
 control  measures,  the  emission  reduction potentials could be quantified.
 However, for others  such as  very  localized traffic flow improvements, a
 lack of detailed  traffic data  prevented  a quantitative assessment of the
 actual  emission control potential.   The  latter class of control is used only
 in downtown Manhattan  where   some   additional reduction in CO emissions
 (beyond that obtained  by vehicle  turnover and the hardware measures) is
 needed  to reach the  standard.   It should also be noted,that in estimating
 the emission reductions of CO  and HC required to meet the respective CO
 and Ox  federal standards,  the  highest measured ambient levels of CO and Ox
 were utilized  for the  rollback calculations. This is more stringent than
 the Federal EPA requirements,  which  allow the use of the second highest
 measured values.

5.3.1  Control Measure Definition

       The expected vehicle emission reduction percentages  for the  "hardware"
control  measures,  i.e.  retrofit and inspection programs,  are tabulated in
Table 5-10.  The specific control packages are described below:

       •    Retrofit Package   this will consist of engine modifications (re-
            tarded spark, etc.) and a catalytic converter.   NOX controls might
            be  incorporated but these were not included in emission  calculations.
            A twice yearly inspection will be  used to insure compliance.
       t    Inspection/Maintenance   a loaded emission test will  be  made on taxis
            three times per year and on private automobiles  once annually.

       It appears  that only the area of downtown Manhattan  around the Canal
Street Post Office might require VMT reductions.   However,  the biggest
emission source in this area (trucks, even after being retrofitted)  is not
considered  suitable for VMT reduction, because of the potential  economic harm
which might result.  Possible methods for obtaining the estimated additional
emission reduction after application of the hardware control  measures  include
the following:
                                    5-23

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                                TABLE 5-10
        ASSUMED VEHICLE EMISSION REDUCTIONS FOR HARDWARE  CONTROL MEASURES
    Control  Measure
 A    Retrofit  of Heavy-
     Duty,  Gasoline-Powered
I     Vehicles
CO
50
                                               Emission Reduction
HC
50
NOs
 B    Inspection/Maintenance
     of Taxis
 C  -  Inspection/Maintenance
     of Private  Cars
10
10
12
12
                                    5-24

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     •  Uniform VMT Reduction   If VMT of all  modes  were  reduced
        uniformly, a reduction in vehicular traffic  of  about  39
        percent would be necessary to obtain the incremental
        reduction.  It should be noted that Deduction of  automobile
        traffic alone by 1QO percent would not accomplish this task.

     t  Truck Restrictions Alone   Truck and other heavy-duty gasoline-
        powered vehicle VMT would need to be reduced almost 56 percent.
        This would require drastic changes in goods-handling  procedures,
        which probably could not be implemented by 1977.

     •  Pragmatic Flow Improvement/VMT Reduction Approach  The  high
        CO levels recorded at the Canal Street sampling station  are
        due in large part to the terrible congestion problems on
        this artery.  For this reason, the downtown CBD'is quite
        affected by general traffic flow improvements  such as the on-
        going TOPICS program and the new westside highway construction.
        These programs should be augmented by strict enforcement of
        parking regulations and the anti-cruising ordinance for  taxis.


     At this time, because of the limited data available for this report and

the local nature of the problem  in downtown Manhattan, the last approach offers

the most promise for successful  implementation.  The other alternatives  are

quite drastic and would more than likely arouse heated opposition from the

affected  parties.  The questionnaire  survey  (Appendix D) supports  these

contentions and suggests that New Yorkers are strongly in favor of even

rather drastic flow improvement  measures (Question 7)  but tend  to oppose
the stringent restrictions needed for  substantial VMT reductions (Question 4a).
For these reasons, the extreme VMT reduction control measures should be

considered only as contingency solutions.

5.3.2  Air quality Impacts of Control Measures


       The techniques described  in th;e initial sections of this  report were

utilized to estimate emissions and the emission reduction percentages  (1970

baseline) obtained by application of four hardware control measures  by 1977:


       •   Vehicle Turnover

       t   Heavy-Duty Vehicle Retrofit and Inspection

       •   Taxi Inspection/Maintenance

       •   Private Automobile Inspection/Maintenance
                                    5-25

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The results are tabulated with the previous estimates in Tables  5-5 and 5-C
for emissions and Tables 5-7, 5-8, and 5-9 for reduction percentages.   The
conclusions drawn from these results are in the following paragraphs.

5.3.2.1  CO Emission Controls
         Apparently, the hardware control measures alone could enable all
areas of New York City, except for part of the downtown Manhattan CBD, to
meet the ambient air quality standard for carbon monoxide in 1977.  Because
of the conservative rollback estimates used for this analysis, there is a
good chance that even this area will meet the standards with no additional
controls.  Furthermore, TOPICS improvements will improve traffic flow and
help reduce CO emissions on a short-term basis.  The additional help from
strict enforcement of existing parking regulations and reduced taxi  cruising
will give more assurance of meeting the standard.

5.3.2.2  HC Emission Controls
         The very preliminary Ox air quality data available for New  York
indicate that a 56 percent reduction in hydrocarbon emissions from 1970
levels is needed area-wide to meet the Ox air quality standard.  The emission
estimates for 1977, with the hardware controls in effect, show a projected
emission reduction of 53 percent.  Within the accuracy of the air quality,
emission factor and traffic data sets, there is no significant statistical
difference between these numbers.  iJevertheless, because the projections
indicate that stationary sources will be responsible for almost two- thirds
of the 1977 hydrocarbon emissions (assuming implementation of the hardware
control measures) and most of these sources fail to meet existing NYC
standards, the transportation controls should be augmented by rigid  enforce-
ment of the existing hydrocarbon emission regulations.
5.3.2.3  NOx Emission Controls
         —          .....................................                                            ,
         Like the Ox data, air quality data for NOX are quite limited.   The
emission projections for 1977 imply that vehicle turnover will  enable New
York to meet the NQX air quality standards with no further reductions needed.
Nevertheless, the situation should be analyzed more thoroughly during imple-
mentation of the plan to insure that the standard will be met.

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5.3.3  Social and Economic Impacts
       Literally hundreds of potential measures to reduce mobile source
emissions have been identified.  The New York City Department of Air
Resources is considering 31 measures in various combinations.  See
Appendix E.  For each strategy the Department has noted their preliminary
evaluation of:  Time to Implement; Institutional Feasibility; Implementing
Agent; Legal Authority; Action Required and Enforcement.  At this time the
City and State have committed themselves to three primary strategies.  The
majority of the required emissions reduction would occur as a result of
these strategies.  However, additional reduction would be necessary to
achieve Federal standards by 1977.  Though they would account for only a
small percentage of the total reduction, they would create the greatest
social and economic impact.  They would also be the most difficult to
quantify in terms of cost, benefits and impact upon regional air quality.
These strategies which are needed to accomplish the smallest incremental
air quality benefits often involve high costs, severe impacts and necessi-
tate the greatest degree of cooperation and coordination among public
agencies, private groups and the general public.

       The following is a brief commentary on the social and economic
implications of each of six strategy packages as outlined by the New York
City Department of Air Resources.  The survey results contained in
Appendix D indicates that the public is very sensitive to economic measures
and that they prefer bus and car pool express lanes and prohibition of
parking and traffic in the central business districts.  The most unaccept-
able measures would be gas rationing^ high registration fees and freeway
ramp tolls.

       The core of the Implementation Plan would be the vehicle controls
of Strategy Package A.  Both the City and the State have made cost estimates
for these measures and the Consultant has estimated the reduction potential
of each.  For other strategies the key question is —
       Who pays in time, money and effort for the implementation of air
pollution Strategies?  Each creates an impact to the degree to which it
changes the daily life style of individuals and in proportion to the number
of people affected.
                                   5-27

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       Dollar costs are only one component of the cost equation.   Social
and environmental costs are also involved.  Considering only dollar costs,
however, the following types of expenditures should be more thoroughly
developed for each strategy:
              Research studies
              Continuous monitoring
              Preparation of plans and programs
              Capital costs for equipment, buildings, land, etc.
              Manpower
              Maintenance
              Operations
              Enforcement

       The cost of implementing many programs could be greatly Increased
due to litigation or the sluggishness of funding agencies.  When con-
struction delays result, the cost may increase as much as one-half to one
percent per month.

5.3.3.1  Strategy Package A
         Reducing emissions at the source involves a multi-faceted program
affecting both old and new vehicles.  Federal motor vehicle emission
controls and changes in vehicle engine design will reduce emissions from
new vehicles.  Vehicle manufacturers are the responsible agent, and they
pass along the cost of this effort to the car buyer.  Vehicle inspection/
maintenance can significantly reduce emissions by ensuring all in-use
motor vehicles are in proper working order, particularly their emission
control devices.  The required programs are administered by the state.
The operating costs are passed directly to the user but start-up costs may
be subsidized by state or Federal agencies utilizing tax revenues.  Retro-
fit programs can reduce emissions from in-use pre-1975 vehicles by
installation of emission control devices.  In this case, the state generally
assumes the responsibility for the administration of the necessary programs.
The costs are passed on directly to the user or may be subsidized by state
agencies utilizing tax revenues.
                                   5-28

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         An Inspection and maintenance program for taxi  cabs, which account
for a high percent of the total VMT in Manhattan, is a necessary element
of the implementation plan.  Cost of the program would eventually be passed
on to the users.  The livery industry, representing both unions and manage-
ment, provides an organized structure through which to work and costs are
directly related to the source of pollution and the users who benefit from
the taxi service.

5,3.3.2  Strategy Package B
         Strategy package B control measures would reduce VMT by disin-
centives for parking, auto use and auto ownership within high pollution
areas.  It would also attempt to improve traffic flow which would increase
speed and decrease pollution.

         The impact of many of the control strategies cannot be assessed
by themselves in quantitative terms.  In many instances, they constitute
segments of multi-faceted comprehensive programs which can contribute to
reductions in vehicle travel.

         Each strategy which restricts movement in an area, during a certain
period of time, or of a particular type of vehicle, will represent a cost
factor which must be borne by those who change their established pattern
of operation.  This emphasizes the importance of understanding the nature
of transportation shifts which will result from each strategy.  Though it
is sometimes overemphasized, accessibility is an important factor in
establishing individual opportunity and economic values.  Alternatives
could then be provided to meet the transportation needs resulting from the
changes.

         Once critical zones have been established (and this alone will
require more accurate and reliable documentation), the nature of vehicle
trips and a specific trip ends must be determined in order to effectively
structure a course of action which will reduce the VMT.  To establish
"reasonable" constraints and to provide realistic transit options to serve
                                    5-29

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the important exchange of goods, services and ideas within the critical
zones while achieving the desired reductions, the following information
would be required:
              For each vehicle type (taxis, light duty trucks, heavy duty
              trucks, buses, mass transit, private automobile) the number
              of riders by time of day, number of cold starts, the critical
              hours, the age of the vehicles, and the origin and destina-
              tion of trips.  For the private automobile, a distinction
              between those utilized by doctors, diplomats, or other fleet
              operations such as the police department.  Information
              relative to whether private automobile trips are made by
              first, second or third cars and the average trip length,
              speed and duration of stay within the critical area.

         The use of police power to enforce control strategies will be a
major cost.  There are also institutional problems of bringing about an
effective enforcement program.  For instance, the City of New York has
recently established a policy of enforcing the law which prohibits blocking
an intersection.  Very often the law if not enforced.  The enforcement of
parking restrictions is complicated by the immunity of M.D. and diplomatic
cars.

         Enforcement requires the addition of more manpower or the reallo-
cation of manpower priorities.  Both involve a policy commitment by city
or state officials.  Many of the enforcement requirements would necessitate
the purchase of new vehicles for surveillance, towing, etc.  The towing  of
a violator's car could involve an administrative cost to the city and
possibly for operation of ,a towing service and the storage of impounded
vehicles.  In some cities, vehicles are ticketed and locked in place,
making the vehicle immobile until such time as a tow truck arrives.
Enforcement also creates cost to set up, operate, and staff the necessary
courtroom facilities.

         The city's zoning regulations and parking policies have an impact
on new construction, trip generation and consequently, emissions.  Where

                                    5-30

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parking is provided at the edge of congested zones  or at suburban park
and ride facilities there are costs of acquiring land, grading,  paving,
lighting, fencing, landscaping, security, snow removal, maintenance and
operation.  A rule of thumb for the cost of constructing at grade parking
space would be six to eight hundred dollars and twenty-five to  thirty-five
hundred dollars per space for parking structures, exclusive of  land.  A
critical cost factor will be land acquisition.  Where persons or businesses
are displaced due to property acquisition or hardships resulting from the
implementation of control strategies, costs will be incurred.  Where
Federal funds are involved, all such relocation activities would be subject
to the benefits of the Uniform Relocation Act.

         Vehicle-free zones are often the most complicated vehicle
restrictive measures.  The complexity of impact evaluation increases  almost
exponentially with the size of the area and intensity of use.  Each of  the
factors previously recommended for study in critical zones would constitute
a starting point for the evaluation of an auto-free zone.  Such measures
could also result in land use conversions beyond the target area in
response to changes in established transportation patterns and  accessi-
bility.

         Other more severe strategies restricting use of the private  auto-
mobile could be recommended.  These could be costly and subject to  attack
if considered on the basis of the travel forecasts and air monitoring data
made available for use in this study.  It is the consultant's opinion that
costly and controversial strategies which would have a major impact on  the
economic and social character of the region should not be recommended.
They would not be defensible until a more comprehensive network of
continuous monitoring stations can be established to first determine  the
actual impact of more acceptable strategies.

         Measures to achieve.improved traffic flow fall into two categories:
construction of new major facilities and operational improvements on
existing facilities.  Major facilities additions (construction of new
freeways, tollways, expressways and major arterial linkages) normally
result in sharp increases in travel speed of vehicle trips in the affected

                                    5-31

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corridors.  This Increase in travel speed can mean a significant reduction
in pollutants.  However, because these new or improved facilities produce
major changes in accessibility they tend to activate latent travel  demand,
with a resulting increase in vehicle miles traveled.  This would eventually
cancel the emission reduction gains.

         Because of the lead time involved in implementing such facilities,
only those projects currently under construction or in the late stages of
design and planning need be considered for impact on the 1975-77 air
quality levels.  Because latent travel activation is largely an incremental
long-term effect, it can be ignored for the short-term air quality planning.
Operational flow improvements on existing facilities are the object of
numerous continuing programs undertaken and funded through Federal, state
and local jurisdiction and are typified by the TOPICS program (Traffic
Operations Program to Increase Capacity and Safety), a Federal    state -
local cooperative venture.  Traffic flow improvements on existing facilities
entail only marginal changes in travel speed and accessibility, and usually
do not introduce the complicating factor of latent travel  demand activation.
They would be more reasonably justified on the basis of increased safety
and efficiency of movement rather than on reductions in air pollution.
Within the context of existing information it is not possible to accurately
determine the distributional effects of improving traffic flow efficiency
in one location upon air pollution control for the entire region.  Lubri-
cating the traffic distribution system in one location, it may create
bottlenecks or slowups elsewhere.  This would result in a degradation of
the air quality at locations beyond the "hot spots" receiving attention at
the location of the primary improvement.  The impact of operation improve-
ments tends to decay over time as a result of normal traffic growth.

         Work hour staggering is already widespread enough to produce an
extended peak congestion period.  The chief advantage of additional
staggering may be to reduce transit crowding in a specific area, thereby,
attracting some patronage from other vehicles.  This strategy also has the
disadvantage of requiring widespread coordinated effort by many private
individuals and firms.  This alone, in a complex and diverse society such
                                    5-32

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as New York City, is an extremely difficult short-term organizational
task.

         Staggering of business hours has secondary cost implications.
Client service is a qualitative factor and by extending the work  day  for
some employees could require extending the work day of other service
employees even though they may be operating at less than the normal work
load.  Switchboard operators, printing and reproduction rooms,  and
secretarial services are examples.  Groups as different as the  corporate
management and the janitors' union would play an important part in
determining the details of such a measure.

5.3.3.3  Strategy Package C
         Restrictions of auto use should be coupled with the provision of
realistic options for satisfying the trip purpose.  The most widely
acclaimed and logical answer is an improvement of transit and car pooling.
Ways of improving both the system and its use are critical ongoing functions
of responsible public agencies.  New ways should be continually explored
to promote these objectives.  The time frame, however, within which new
vehicles, new transit systems, and even some operational improvements can
be made extends beyond 1977.  It has taken more than twenty years of
planning to get the Washington transit system under way and it will take
at least two more for it to become operational.

         The greatest reduction in transit patronage has occurred in  the
a.m. peak hour.  Strategies to counter this trend should be investigated
and must consider the role of taxicabs".

         Improvement of transit could create costs related to:
         a.  New graphics at bus stops and in transit stations  to
             explain the system.
         b.  An educational program to help people understand how to  use
             the system and to effectively market transit services.
         c.  Programs to facilitate transfers between systems operated
             by different authorities.  This will involve planning and
             administrative costs.
                                   5-33

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         d.  Remodeling of stations could involve replacement of surfaces
             to make them more vandal-proof or surface changes to
             brighten them up.  It could also involve major reconstruction
             with the addition of stores and public display areas.

         e.  Some of the measures would alter the toll structure for
             bridges and tunnels to finance transit.  They could produce
             an impact on the toll revenue bonds through  which many  of
             these facilities have been financed.

         f.  Studies, closely coordinated with the Transit Authority,
             should be initiated to determine the most effective method
             of increasing revenues in transit patronage.

         g.  Some measures under consideration would eliminate or vary
             the fares during part of the day or in certain zones.
             Studies should be made to determine the impact of joyriding
             or increased use by derelicts and potential  impacts upon
             the patronage and cost of operation, maintenance and security.

         h.  Cost of installing and operating escalators.

         i.  Cost of installing, operating and maintaining various
             intensities and types of lighting.

         j.  The presence of a city policeman or transit  authority
             security guard is a reassuring factor for most people.
             It is also very costly.   The hours during which patronage
             is low and stations relatively unused often  require the
             strongest security measures.   This places the cost per
             rider of such services very high.

         k.  One technique to generate transit patronage  is to build
             park and ride facilities in outlying areas.   This could
             help reduce pollution concentrations but will  not eliminate
             the emissions from cold starts.  The net result is to
             redistribute the pollution in a more decentralized fashion
             beyond the downtown areas.  The exact extent to which
             utilization of peripheral parking facilities  could be
             stimulated by restrictions imposed within the core area
             cannot be determined without more sophisticated economic
             analyses than are possible under this study.   The exact
             extent to which use of peripheral parking facilities could
             be effective can only be determined by actual  demonstration
             and detailed trip distribution and sensitivity analyses.


5.3.3.4  Strategy Packages D and E

         Package D contains short-term goods movement strategies. The

New York City Department of Air Resources is in the process of preparing

these control measures.  Since they would affect many economic issues,

they will undoubtedly receive close scrutiny by public officials, labor

and management.  When the measures are refined and comments have been
                                   5-34

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received from local interest groups who are familiar with  the  complexity
and details of the situation, the social and economic implications  could
be properly studied.  Studies should analyze potential  transportation
costs due to longer trip lengths, and the man hours required to  deliver,
receive, store, and protect goods delivered during off hours.  For  instance,
if trucks were required to make deliveries during the evening  hours,
employers may have to pay overtime to keep workers on hand to  handle the
merchandise being delivered.  This may not efficiently utilize their time.

         Some goods must be delivered during the morning rush  hours so
that they may be sold during the day.  Product quality oY* usefulness may
be impaired by changing delivery hours.  It could also require businessmen
to build or buy new storage facilities.  In other cases, highway-oriented
commercial enterprises such as parking garages and drive-in service
establishments may suffer economic losses due to changes in traffic
patterns.

         Package E, Capital Construction, relates projects which would not
be completed until after 1977.  However, an analysis could be  made of  city
and state budgets to determine the projects and programs which could
contribute to the improvement of air quality.  Perhaps some spin-off
benefits from ongoing programs could make a contribution to the State's
plan.  For instance, in May of 1966 a report of the Tri-State  Regional
Planning Commission estimated that between 1966 and 1975 the cost of  public
transportation improvements would be between 1.3 and 2.08 billion dollars.
To what extent has this projection been realized and what impact may  they
have on mobile emissions?
                                      1
         The extent to which Federal agencies will fund transit improve-
ments for new transit cars, buses, mini-buses,  etc., is yet to be
determined.

5.3.3.5  Strategy Package F - Long-Range Planning
         It may be possible in the long term to alter relationships
between land use and transportation systems if planning is integrated
                                    5-35

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among all on-going functions of government.  Although we cannot expect
significant changes in the intensity, distribution, pattern, or types  of
land use in existing built up areas over the next five years sufficient
to influence air quality, planning efforts could be intensified to create
more rational and efficient patterns of growth.  The region may thus be able
to avoid repeating, compounding, and enlarging existing problems.   Considera-
tion of air pollution must be integrated into a more comprehensive framework.

         To modify the perceived needs of individuals and grounds  and  to
bring about fundamental changes in the alternatives available {i.e., transit
versus highway) is a long-term process.  This makes it more important  to
begin immediately to explore and evaluate alternatives.  This process  could
begin with a concerted educational program, designed to encourage  public
officials, special interest groups and individual citizens to consider
our collective future in an urban industrialized society.  This is an
intellectual, philosophical and long-term view of the task.  This  fundamental
role of education should be cultivated at every level of society.   To  have
this level of involvement an understandable and realistic appraisal is
needed of the relative cost and benefits ~ social, political, and cultural
as well as economic — of alternative commitments of public resources.
Utilizing quantitative analysis where possible, the impact of alternative
land use development on transportation, utilities, and public services
should be compared to the required investment of both public and private
resources and the anticipated returns charted over a time.  Perhaps one
consequence in New York would be the establishment of development  policies
which would favor or restrict new construction and redevelopment based upon
the carrying capacity of the landscape, the ability of local government to
provide utilities and services and the efficiency of land use, energy,
consumption, and transportation systems.

     Studies could be prepared of the impacts of alternative land  use  patterns
such as:  The World Trade Center; Chicago's John Hancock Building; Co-Op-City;
White Plains, New York; Reston, Virginia; Columbia, Maryland; Levittown,'
New York.
                                    5-36

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5.3.4  Determination of Obstacles to Implementationof Control  Measures

       This report is to lay out strategies which are comprised of control
measures, suitable to the character of the New York Metropolitan Region,
which would achieve air quality standards set by the Environmental  Protection
Agency for the year 1977.  The purpose of the Environmental  Protection Agency
and the Council on Environmental Quality is to promote the purpose of the
National Environmental Policy Act of 1970.  The Act contains a cosmic view
of environmental imperatives which should be reflected in national  policy
and also establishes a mechanism for implementing these lofty purposes.
                         ~                             *

       To comply with the spirit of the Policy Act while pursuing specification
standards requires a wise and critical perspective.  The Act relates to  a
relatively new subject and is very new compared to other legislation with
impacts of a similar magnitude.  The Act is a skeleton which is being
fleshed out daily in our courts, the actions of public officials, and the
market place of public opinion.  Though farsighted individuals have long
recognized the seriousness of environmental degradation even prior to the
industrial revolution, it is only recently that this growing awareness  in
our society has manifest itself in legislative action.  As a result, much
of the data, tools, systems, and methodologies are inadequate to provide
the necessary evidence to warrant some of the costly, high impact, and
controversial public actions which would theoretically improve environmental
quality.  This is not to argue  for an abdication of the responsibility  to
act forcefully.  It is to point up the need to:  overcome the limitations set
out in Section 2.0; set realistic priorities for action; and to establish a
comprehensive approach to the preservation and regeneration of environmental
quality.  Both individual opportunities and social well being are related
to the degree that this purpose is realized.
                                    5-37

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                  C.O  CONTROL STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION


6.1  PROCEDURE AND TIME SCHEDULE

     The detailed procedures and schedules for implementation  of several
control measures, as developed by the New York City Department of Air

Resources, are given in Appendix E,  This information provided the

primary basis for development of the following outline for this phase
of the program:


     •  Vehicle Turnover

        Implementing Agency:  Federal EPA, no local action needed.
        Time to Implement:  Currently and continuously underway.

     •  Heavy-Duty Vehicle Retrofit and Inspection Program

        Implementing Agencies:  New York State Department of Transportation
                                with guidance of State Department of
                                Environmental Conservation
        Time to Implement:  (assuming legal authority by July  1973)
                            Initiation   January 1, 1974
                            Completion   January 1975

     •  Taxi Inspection Program (a legal authority now exists)

        Implementing Agency:  New York City Taxi and Limousine Commission.
        Time to Implement:  Can be begun four months after administrative
                            approval.

     •  Personal Automobile Inspection Program
        (Legal authority now exists- Section 301  of N.Y. State Vehicle
        & Traffic Law)

        Implementing Agency:  State Department of Motor Vehicles with
                              guidance from State Department of
                              Environmental  Conservation and  NYCDAR.
        Time to Implement:  Construction Start   January 1974.
                            Inspection Begin   January 1975.

     •  Flow Improvements (Legal authority now exists)

        Implementing Agencies:  NYC Police Department  and Traffic Department.
        Time to Implement:  Can begin immediately and be implemented within
                            six months.

     t  Stationary Source Controls (HC) (Legal  authority exists)

        Implementing Agency:  NYCDAR
        Time to Implement:  Can begin immediately.
                                  fo-l

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6.2  AGENCY INVOLVEMENT
     Each control strategy could have complex implications for the allocation
and management agency resources and manpower.  The secondary costs and impacts
are more difficult to predict and quantify.

     To develop, evaluate, modify, and implement an effective package of
interrelated strategies on an interstate basis requires an integration of
these activities with the on-going  governmental functions of the region.
The long-term administrative structure and mechanisms to insure air quality
are not yet determined.

     Cooperation and coordination will be required  among existing public
agencies to comply with the 1977 Federal standards.  Ho single agency has
the authority  or resources to accomplish this themselves.  Programs, however,
which are budgeted or underway could also help to furnish short-term
emissions reduction in addition to the three primary strategies.

     There are three levels of inter-agency involvement:
          •  Detailed agreements to implement the three primary control
             strategies.
          •  Analyses of the budgets, special projects, and on-going
             programs of each public agency to determine the contri-
             butions which they could make to the improvement of air
             quality.
          •  Coordination of programs, manpower, funds, equipment and
             other resources to implement  secondary control measures.
             This will require additional quantification of costs and
             benefits in order to justify the necessary level of inter-
             agency involvement.  Each agency is already burdened with
             its own responsibilities.

     Inter-agency involvement related to the following traffic flow, transporta-
tion and  land use factors, could influence mobile source emissions:

     •  Parking policies
     •  Zoni ng
     •  Development plans and policies, for fringe
        as well as central business districts.

                                    b-2

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     •  Enforcement of  laws relating to the blocking
        of intersections, double and illegal parking
     •  Security for persons and property utilizing
        public transportation
     •  Proposed transit equipment, service or operating
        improvement and changes
     §  Construction, improvement, or operational  changes
        in freeways or city arterials, including TOPICS projects
     •  City fleet operations
     •  City working hours
     •  Bridge and tunnel tolls
     •  Grant-in-aid programs
     t  Demonstration projects'
     •  Public education programs

     In a preliminary draft, the New York City Department of Air  Resources
(NYCDAR) has listed 31 control measures.  See Appendix E.   Though the
strongest committment is to only three vehicle emission control measures,
additional reductions may be required from implementation  of other measures.
The NYCDAR has identified the following agencies as being  primarily responsible
for the implementation of various strategies.  Other governmental agencies
would be less directly affected, but are not listed here.   This list indicates
the potential dimension of inter-agency involvement.

     United States Environmental Protection Agency
     New York State
          State Legislature
          Department of Motor Vehicles
          Department of Transportation
          Department of Environmental Conservation
     New York City
          Taxi and Limousine Commission
          Department of Air Resources
          Traffic Department
          Consumer Affairs
          Transportation Administration
          Bureau of the Budget
          Goods Movement Technical Committee
          City Council
          Police Department
          Metropolitan Transit Authority

                                    6-3

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      Private  Bus  Operators
      Port  of  New  York  Authority
      Support  needed  from  Mayor's  office, Tri-State Regional Planning
      Commission,  and the  NYC  Department of City Planning

6.3  LEGAL AUTHORITY
     At the initial meeting on this task order,  it was  decided  that the  legal
procedures would be developed by the New York State and City agencies.

6.4  SURVEILLANCE CHECK POINTS
     Except for the need to acquire legal  authority for the heavy-duty
vehicle retrofit program and funding of all  programs by the end of 1973,
the following surveillance check points are  only recommendations and afford
considerable latitude in accordance with the preferences of the agencies
involved.  Figure 6-1 summarizes the check points.

6.4.1  Legal Authority Check Points
       At the request of the State and City  agencies, these data are being
developed by the agency personnel.  However, the following check points  do
appear necessary if the air quality goals are to be met:

       •  July 1973 - legal authority bills  in legislature.
       t  December 1973   necessary legal  authority available.

C.4.2  Air Qualify Check Points
       To properly monitor the effects of the control measure implementation,
the expanded monitoring system discussed in  Section 4.2 should  be in operation
by January 1, 1974.  Afterwards, summary reports of the data obtained should
be prepared and evaluated every six months to find whether revisions in
the strategy might be required.  The responsible agencies are as follows:

       •  Data Acquisition - UYCDAR
       •  Summary Report - NYCDAR
       •  Contact - NYCDAR
                                    6-4

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                                          Figure 6-1.   SURVEILLANCE  CHECK POINTS
o>
01
PHASE I - Initiation
A. Legislation
B. Funding
C. Monitoring Networks
   1. Air Quality
   2. Transportation

PHASE II - Monitoring
A. Control Measures
B. Air Quality
C. Transportation
                               1973
                                               1974
1975
1976
1977
                             July  Dec    Jan  March  July   Sept    Jan  March  July  Sept    Jan  March  July  Sept    Jan  July
                                                 •            •
                                                        t
                                                                                                                            O
                                                                                                                            C
                                                                                                                            Or

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6.4.3  TransportationCheckPoints
       In order to determine important changes in traffic patterns as they
occur, the State Department of Environmental Conservation and NYCDAR should
maintain a liaison with such agencies as the Tri-State Regional  Planning
Commission, the Transportation Planning Division of the New York City
Planning Commission and the Port of New York Authority,  Summary reports of the
inputs from these agencies should be prepared every six months and evaluated
together with the air quality reports.  These agencies routinely  prepare
summary reports and in some cases the existing report procedure will  be
satisfactory.  In other cases, only small schedule changes could be
required.  Responsible agencies are as follows:

     •  Data Acquisition - agencies are listed in text.
     •  Summary Reports   ilYCDAR
     •  Contact   NYCDAR

6.4.4  Control Measure Implementation Check Points
       The degree of implementation of the control measures should be summarized
and evaluated every six months to insure compliance with the overall  control
strategy.  This could best be done by requiring the implementing agencies
to make status reports  to the State and City air pollution control  agencies.
The agencies involved are listed below:

       t  Heavy-Duty Vehicle Program
          Summary Reports   State Departments of Motor Vehicles  and Transportation
          Contact - IlYCDAR
       •  Personal Automobile Inspection
          Summary Reports - State Department of Motor Vehicles
          Contact - State Department of Motor Vehicles
       •  Taxi Inspection
          Summary Reports   Taxi and Limousine Commission
          Contact - Taxi and Limousine Commission
                                     6-6

-------
•  Traffic Flow Improvements

   Summary Reports   NYC Traffic Department
   Contact   NYC Traffic Department

•  Stationary Source Control

   Summary Reports   NYCDAR
   Contact - NYCDAR
                              6-7

-------
            APPENDIX A
AIR QUALITY AND EMISSIONS DATA BASE

-------
                                APPENDIX A
                     AIR QUALITY AND EMISSIONS DATA BASE


A.I  AIR QUALITY DATA BASE

     The air quality data upon which the NYC transportation control  strategy
development has been based were presented and discussed in some  detail in

Section 4.0.  The text of the following material  describes the locations of
the monitors more precisely and discusses the proportional model  used  to

estimate any necessary emission reductions.


A J.I  Locations of Air Quality Monitors

       The site descriptions of the monitors used for air quality data are
as follows:
       1.  Laboratory - 170 East 121  Street, Manhattan

           This station is located in East Harlen between 3rd and
           Lexington Avenues on Sylvan Place.  It is on a side street
           which does not have much traffic, although Lexington and
           3rd Avenues have fairly heavy traffic.  The probes are
           located approximately 15 feet above the street {35 feet
           above sea level) on Sylvan Place.  CO and NOX data from
           this station are considered to represent non-CBD areas
           of NYC.

       2.  Laboratory - 51 Astor Place, Manhattan
           This station is on the sixth floor of the Cooper Union
           Engineering building in lower Manhattan.  The oxidant
           probe is approximately 65  feet above street level  hanging
           out a window on the 9th street side of the building.

       3.  59th Street Bridge, Manhattan
           This station is at the Queensborough Bridge Plaza  on the
           Manhattan side of the bridge, on an island separating the
           Manhattan and Queens bound traffic.  The probe is  at the
           height of 5 feet and facing towards the Manhattan-bound
           traffic.  Because of the proximity of the probe both to
           the ground and the traffic lanes and the low probability
           of human occupancy of the  site for more than brief periods,
           this location is not considered to be an optimum one for CO.

       4.  Post Office - 350 Canal Street. Manhattan
           This station is in lower  Manhattan at Canal  and Church
           Streets.  Canal,Street is  the major cross-Manhattan street
           rouste in the City, with the Holland Tunnel  at its  west
           end and the Manhattan Bridge at  its east end.   The probe
                                    A-l

-------
           hangs out a window on the south side of Canal  Street at
           a height of 8 feet above street level.   Data from this
           station were used for rollback  estimates in the  downtown
           Manhattan area.

       5.  Post Office - 110 East 45th Street. Manhattan

           This station is in midtown Manhattan in the Grand Central
           Station area.  The Post Office is on the south side  of
           45th Street between Lexington and Vanderbilt Avenues.
           Forty-fifth Street is a major cross-town traffic  route.
           The height of the probe is 5 feet above street level.
           Data from this location would be expected to be more
           representative of midtown Manhattan CO  concentrations than
           station #3.  However, to provide a safety factor, the
           higher CO levels of the latter station  were used  for the
           study.


A.I.2  The Proportional Air Quality Model

       A simple proportional model was used to determine the source emissions

reduction required to achieve  air quality standards.  The proportional

model is based on the assumption that the reduction in air quality concen-

tration levels is directly proportional to emission reductions.


       Calculations are as follows:


           Percentage Reduction   R -  (* 'gtf^j 
-------
       The  rollback calculation then becomes:
               R   Cmax - Std
               R               x
A. 2  CALCULATION OF EMISSION  FACTORS

     The method of computing  emission factors for motor vehicles in NYC

was  briefly described  in Section 5.0, and this discussion augments that

ma ten al .
      1.   Study of  the modal distributions for New York City
          (Section  5.0 and Reference 1, below) indicated that
          three areas of New York required emission factors
          specific  to those areas:

          •  The Downtown Area - shown as Area 1 of Figure A-l.

          •  The Midtown Area   shown as Area 2 of Figure A-l.

          t  The Rest of NYC - the remainder of Manhattan, the
            Bronx, Queens, and Brooklyn shown on the figure.

      2.   The modes to be incorporated in the overall emission
          factors are listed below:

          •  Downtown - personal automobiles, buses (diesel and
            gasoline), cabs (fleet medallion, non-fleet medallion,
            and non-medallion), and trucks (diesel and gasoline).

          •  Midtown   the same modes as downtown.
          •  Rest of NYC - all automobiles, buses (diesel and
            gasoline), and trucks (diesel and gasoline).
      3.   Emission  factors for private automobiles were calculated
          following Kircher(2) using the equation below:
              = , 4^fo  ci di  mi  si
enp
      i=n-12
(^"Proposed Plan for Meeting Federal  Air Quality  Standards Relating to
   Carbon Monoxide, Hydrocarbons,  Nitrogen Oxides,  and Oxidants in New
   York City," NYCDAR, January 1972.

   D.S. Kircher and D.P. Armstrong,  "AN Interim Report on  Motor Vehicle
   Emission Estimation," Environmental Protection  Agency,  October 1972.
                                   A-3

-------
LEGEND
      Figure A-l.  ANALYSIS AREAS FOR NEW YORK CITY

DARK = MIDTOWN
LIGHT = DOWNTOWN
WHITE = REST OF NYC GRID
                                            A-4

-------
        where
         "np
emission factor in grams per vehicle mile for
calendar year n and pollutant p
         G.J = the 1975 Federal test procedure emission rate for
              pollutant p (grams/mile) for the ith model year, at low
              mileage

         d.j   the control vehicle pollutant p emission deterioration
              factor for the i "> model year at calendar year n
         mi = the weighted annual travel of the ih model year during
              calendar year n (The determination of tMs variable
              involves the use of the vehicle model year distribution.)

         s-   the weighted speed adjustment factor for the i**1 model
              year vehicles.


c-j is based on a recent study of light duty vehicle exhaust emission rates

in six cities,  d.., deterioration factor accounts for the aging or

deterioration of emission control devices,  m^, weighted annual mileage

is determined as follows:
              VxD
        mi ' 2~TTD

        V   fraction of each model year vehicle in use
            on December 31 of year
        D = average miles driven of each model year vehicle


s., speed adjustment factor, varies inversely with average route speed.
s. is greater than one below about 20 m.p.h. and less than one above
20 m.p.h.  For New York City, si was calculated for each grid square from
Tri-State Planning Commission speed data and applied over all modes at the
same time.


     Age distribution data were taken from Reference 1.  The age distributions
were assumed to be the same for later years as they were in 1970.


     4.  Non-fleet medallion cab and non-medallion cab emission factors
         were calculated in the same way as private automobiles, but
         the deterioration factors were based on mileage data in Reference 1


                                    A-5

-------
    assuming that one year Is equivalent to 10,000 vehicle miles
    of travel.  However, Mr. ilike Walsh of NYCDAR provided TRW
    with the results of a recent series of tests on Manhattan
    fleet medallion cabs.  The data are found below:
    Model         Number     Average      Emissions (gm/mi)
    Year          Tested     Mileage      CO     HC     NO*

                   117        60,476     50.6   3.38   7.87

                    44        23,105     37.6   2.69   9.21

                    69        79,180     58.5   3.78   7.22

                     4       148,906     58.5   3.97   4.27

    The deterioration factors were not used for determining
    the weighted emission factors for the latter class of
    cabs since they were inserted implicitly in the test
    program.  For later years, no test data were available
    so the calculations were made by use of the same methodology
    as was used for non-fleet cabs, i.e., the federal  emission
    factors were used with deterioration factors based on mileage.

5.  Bus and truck emission factors were taken directly from the
    New York City Implementation Plan VU using the basic emission
    factors, uncorrected for speed.  Using the light duty vehicle
    speed adjustment factors for heavy duty gasoline and diesel
    vehicles contributes some error, but this is believed to be
    negligible.  However, the lack of speed adjustment factors for
    these classes and the limitations of the computer program left
    no other choice.

6.  The overall emission factors for each of the three areas were
    calculated by taking the sums of the modal emission factors
    weighted by the fractions of total VMT of the individual
    modes.  These fractional VMT contributions are determined
    by dividing the VMT percentages of Tables 5-1 through 5-3
    by 100 percent.  The overall emission factors are given in
    Table 5-4.

7.  Because of the vast number of calculations required for
    computation of a single emission factor, it is not feasible
    to show them.  However, the basic modal emission factors
    are listed in Tables A-l and A-2.  When applying a control
    measure to a particular vehicle mode, the measure must be
    applied to the modal emission factor weighted by VMT.  After
    the application, the weighted sums of the other modal emission
    factors must be added to obtain the new overall emission factor.
                              A-6

-------
                                TABLE A-l
             BASIC CO MODAL EMISSION FACTORS FOR DOWNTOWN
                    AND MIDTOWN MANHATTAN  (gm./mi.)
Mode
Personal Automobiles
Bus Diesel
Bus Gasoline
Taxi FM

Taxi NFM
Taxi NM
Truck Diesel
Truck Gasoline
1970
60.3
34.1
158.0
54.4

61.1
70.3
34.1
152.1
1975
34.5
34.1
158.0
7.6

26.3
39.1
34.1
124.4
1977
18.8
34.1
158.0
5.9
*
11.1
23.6
34.1
109.8
References
1,2
2
2
2

1,2
1,2
2
2
Abbreviations:  FM=fleet medallion, NFM=non-fleet medallion NM=non-medallion
                                    A-7

-------
               TABLE A-2
BASIC CO MODAL EMISSION FACTORS FOR UPTOWN
   MANHATTAN AND OTHER BOROUGHS (gm./mi.)
Mode
Automobiles All
Bus Diesel
Bus Gasoline
Truck Diesel
Truck Gasoline
1970
65.9
34.1
158.0
27.8
152.1
1975
40.9
34.1
158.0
27.8
124.4
1977
26.5
34.1
158.0
27.8
109.8
References
1,2
2
2
2
2
                    A-8

-------
                  TABLE A-3

BASIC HC MODAL EMISSION FACTORS FOR DOWNTOWN
        AND MIDTOWN MANHATTAN (gm./mi.)
Mode
Personal Automobiles
Bus Diesel
Bus Gasoline
Taxi FM
Taxi NFM
Taxi NM
Truck Diesel
Truck - Gasoline
1970
9.75
19.3
31 .C
6.08
9, .05
11.0
17.7
30.1
1975
6.97
19.3
31.6
1.30
3.17
4.45
17.7
25.7
1977
2.44
19.3
31.6
0.93.
1.54
3.05
17.7
23.9
References
1,2
2
2
2
1,2
1,2
2
2
                       A-9

-------
                TABLE A-4

BASIC HC MODAL EMISSION FACTORS FOR UPTOWN
  MANHATTAN AND OTHER BOROUGHS (gm./m1.)
Mode
Automobiles All
Bus Diesel
Bus Gasoline
Truck Diesel
Truck Gasoline
1970
10-. 8
19.3
31.6
17.7
30.1
1975
4.95
19.3
31.6
17.7
25.7
1977
1.92
19.3
31.6
17.7
23.9
References
1,2
2
2
2
2
                    A-10

-------
                   TABLE A-5

BASIC NOX MODAL EMISSION FACTORS FOR DOWNTOWN
       AND MIDTOWN MANHATTAN (gm./mi.)
Mode
Personal Automobiles
Bus Diesel
Bus Gasoline
Taxi FM
Taxi NFM
Taxi NM
Truck Diesel
Truck Gasoline
1970
3.92
66.2
9.6
7.45
4.10
3.61
60.9
7.7
1975
3.14
66.2
9.6
2.35
3.02
3.51
60.9
7.3
1977
2.02
66.2
9.6 .
1.05
1.81
2.73
60.9
7.05
References
1,2
2
2
2
1,2
1,2
2
2
                      A-ll

-------
                TABLE A-6
BASIC NOX MODAL EMISSION FACTORS FOR UPTOWN
  MANHATTAN AND OTHER BOROUGHS (gm./mi.)
Mode
Automobiles - All
Bus Diesel
Bus Gasoline
Truck - Diesel
Truck - Gasoline
1970
3.71
66.2
9,6
60.9
7.7
1975
3.36
66.2
9.6
60.9
7.3
1977
2.02
66.2
9.6
60.9
7.05
References
1,2
2
2
2
2
                    A-12

-------
       APPENDIX B
TRANSPORTATION DATA BASE

-------
                         DATA BASE AND METHODOLOGY
B.I  TRANSPORTATION DATA

B.l.l   Basic Data

       Basic data were provided by a number of cooperating agencies,

especially the Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, the Transportation

Planning Division of the New York City Planning Commission and the Port

of New York Authority.  Specifically, the following key items were

obtained from the Tri-State Transportation Commission:'


       •  Vehicle miles traveled for 1970-1977 for each of
          127 analysis areas
              By type of roadway
              Average operating speeds
               Estimated speeds for 1977
               Average volume per lane
       •  Vehicle registrations
       •  Model for highway needs evaluation

       t  Hourly vehicular traffic by type

       •  Flow and volume maps  of the region


       The New York City Planning Commission provided the following

additional inputs:


       •  Traffic Department vehicle counts from the
          Annual Cordon Survey for 1965-1971.

       •  Tunnel and river counts for 1965-1971.

       •  Twenty-four hour counts by one-hour sequences
          for major corridors.
       t  Vehicle population for New York City, 1965-1971.
                                    B-l

-------
B.I.2  Disaggregation of New York City Data
       In New York City, the initial VMT data provided information  classified
into only three "Analysis Areas" for all of the Borough of Manhattan.  (Data
for all the Tri-State analysis areas in both 1970 and 1977 follows  this
narrative.)

       In order to develop data which would more accurately reflect variations
in the concentration of VMT, Tri-State provided 1963 VMT data  broken down
into square-mile units.  This provided a basis for disaggregating the  three
Analysis Areas covering Manhattan into approximately 30 areas.   Similar
disaggregations were possible for the other Analysis Areas including
Manhattan, rfronx, Brooklyn, and Queens Counties in New York and  Hudson and
Bergen Counties in New Jersey.

       Calculation of Manhattan VMT based on these revised square mile data
indicated a total of 5,668,820 VMT in 1963 (based on 1964-1965 24-hour
weekday traffic counts).  This compared to 6,035,850 VMT for 1970 and
6,402,877 VMT for 1977 projections shown by the Tri-State printouts.
Conversations with Tri-State indicated that the 1963 square mile VMT of  5.67
million was consistent with their 1970 and 1977 forecasts for  Manhattan
and were advised that no adjustments would be required in the  VMT printouts
for 1970 and 1977.  The VMT projections for 1984 were made on  a  gross
basis by analysis area through the use of a set of adjustable  parameters
in the computer program.  The VMT growth rates assumed were as follows:

       0  Analysis area 1/Downtown Manhattan - 0.83 percent per  year.
       •  Analysis area 2/Midtown Manhattan - 0.69 percent per year.
       •  Rest of grid - 1.15 percent per year.

These percentages were based on the projected growth rate between 1970
and 1977.
                                   B-2

-------
       A final step in the disaggregation process  involved  the  distribution
of 1970, 1977, and 1984 VMT into a square mile distribution.  Because no

square mile data were available to the project for the period after 1963,

the 1970, 1977, and 1984 VMT were distributed on the same percentage basis

as the 1963 VMT square mile data.  Though this introduced error in the

distribution of VMT for the later years, Tri-State advised  that the error

was relatively small -- e.g., the relative VMT was not substantially

different between 1963 and 1970.  Unfortunately, the errors introduced

had to be accepted since no alternative data were  available and all analysis

for New York would have had to be eliminated.  However, it  is quite
obvious that land uses have changed in Manhattan since 1963 and some

differences in VMT distributions have undoubtedly  occurred.


       The specific methodology used is enumerated below:


       1.  The percentage distribution of VMT by square miles was
           calculated for each Analysis Area to be included in
           the model.  This included a 400 square  mile region
           covering New York and New Jersey.
       2.  The percentage contribution of each square mile  to the
           total VMT in each Analysis Area was calculated for
           1963 and then applied to 1970 and 1977  VMT for each
           Analysis Area.
       3.  The use of 1963 VMT percentage distributions per square
           mile for the 1970 VMT clearly does not  incorporate changes
           in land uses and trip-making since 1963.  The application
           of 1963 square mile distributions to 1977 data,  of course,
           further compounds the error.  However,  the error will be
           somewhat confined in view of the fact that the VMT
           projections by Analysis Aneas for 1970  and 1977  themselves
           take into account the shifts in land use and travel. In
           Analysis Areas 4 through 7 (The Bronx), VMT between  1970
           and 1977 increased by about 4.51 percent (from 5.45  to 5.70
           million).  This total is disaggregated  (by Tri-State) into
           each of the separate Analysis Areas 4 through 7  and  each
           Analysis Area has a different rate of growth (reflecting
           the difference in the projected travel  expected).  The VMT
           for 1970 and 1977 may be considered reliable in  that they
           reflected by the assumptions and conclusions postulated by
           the regional transportation planning agency. As previously
           stated, 1984 VMT projections were made  only on a oross
           basis.
                                    B-3

-------
          New error is introduced when the 1963 percentage distributions
          of VMT per square mile are applied to each of the Analysis
          Areas.  However, without data on changes in land use,  floor
          space or some other variable related to trip-making,  there
          was no way to correct the error.
B.I .3  Stationary Sources
       County data were available for New York giving the 1970 and  1977

emissions for each pollutant due to stationary sources from Mr.  David

Kircher of EPA.  These county totals were apportioned to the grid areas

using the VMT for each grid as an apportioning factor.
                                   B-4

-------
  fC
-------
         C   AA
                                      VMT - EXP
                                              VMT - ART
                                                                       VMT - LOG
                                                                                      VMT - TOTAL
00
         1    1
         1    2
         I    •»
         I  999
             4
             5
             6
             7
         2  999
             8
             9
            10
            H
            J2
            13
            14
            15
4 <>«>9

5  16
5  17
5  18
* <)99
1203399.
550652.
611240.
2365291.
1064677.
694113.
617056.
461704.
2637548.
900072.
10767.
701998.
666473.
2279310.
463051.
1869780.
1601030.
1764774.
5896634.
321323.
185235.
257448*
764006.
1271025.
698931.
450516.
2420471.
660920.
232475.
521127.
326190.
1960711.
1274479.
757924.
783128.
1075666.
3691196.
134362.
1693090.
1513167.
1656752.
4997390.
240989.
533089.
264543.
1058620.
2 BO 559.
1H1526.
86377.
548462.
356146.
130445.
2334t>9.
177199.
3i no.
42JV4B3.
13455579.
669143.
708130.
2375622.
                                                                                                               *
                                                                                                               *
           ->99
                             14144789.
                                                      14328386.
                                                                       6370946.
                                                                                       34644160.

-------
C  AA
.VMT -
                                              VMT  - ART
VMT - LOC
VHT - TOTAL
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
p
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
?
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
8
8
a
8-
8
11
a
a
e
9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
1?
12
t S
It
J 2
\?
5 .'
19
20
21
22
23
24
999
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
999
35
36
37
3ft
39
40
41
42
999
43
44
45
46
999
47
48
999
49
50
51
52
53
54
999
55
r>6
S7
58
59
60
•>'!'!
                              311874.
                              862661.
                              584042.
                              726178.
                             1437790.
                              818502.
                             4741045.

                              480917.
                              966502.
                             1722749.
                             1306602.
                              850136.
                              210747.
                              980633.
                              638766.
                              319649.
                              640689.
                             8117384.

                              881109.
                             ,1831998.
                             1153368.
                                   0.
                              •820448.
                              522740.
                              706485.
                              243977.
                             6160123.

                              SW4797.
                              633280.
                                85746.
                              257891.
                             1571712.

                              253502.
                              321334.
                              574836.

                              514590.
                              117723.
                              439761.
                              121377.
                              170756.
                              183381.
                             1547585.

                                78336.
                              838490.
                              454VJ5.
                              409 V>i.
                1192542.
                1283471.
                20C2967.
                 918647.
                1778119.
                 529092.
                7704837.

                 741344.
                1035508.
                1076983.
                16197U.
                 904309.
                  78777.
                1737930.
                 464721.
                 209472.
                 551608,
                8419902.

                 671380.
                H07940.
                 851588.
                 198728.
                 747786.
                 402758.
                 702850.
                 281573.
                4964599.

                 523665.
                 607795.
                 200018.
                 2313)2.
                1562808.

                 558593.
                 340588.
                 899181.

                 510072.
                 593899.
                1193906.
                 590283.
                 798735.
                 285125.
                3972017.

                 638797.
                 894384,
                 447G41.
 592363.
 657373.
1070041.
 392109.
 964431.
 335618.
4031932.

 412118.
 626054.
 717635.
 676668.
 492416.
  49537.
 86C532.
 224656.
 271301.
4653988.

 400669.
 634497.
 436981.
  92573.
 374647.
 233555.
 384908.
 155647.
2713473.

 242335.
 309210.
  some.
 128555.
 760788.

 292944.
 196378.
 489322.

 312998.
 290986.
 640056.
 303616.
 413303.
 159319.
2120275.

 306422.
 <.72S78.
      9.
  2096779.
  2803506.
  3657051.
  2036934.
  42C0341.
  1683212.
 16477823.

  1634378.
  2628065.
  3517369.
  3S03P02.
  224686?.
   339061.
  357H69B.
  1328343.
   651975.
  1463598.
 21191312.

  1953158.
  3574437.
  ?441937.
   29U02.
  1942H81.
                                               6747:.'l.
                                               VH'JM I,
                                              4; iH
-------
  S     C   AA                         VMT -  EXP        VMT  - ART        VMT - LOC     VMT - TOTAL
   2   99  999                       25721280.        3161190$.        17045696.        74578784.
CD

-------
10
   AA
    3  13  61
    3  13  62
    3  13  63
    3  13 999
                                 - exp
                                              VMT -  ART
                                                              VMT_- UOC
       14  64
       14  65
       14  66
       14  67
    3  14 999
     3
     3
     3
     3
     3
     3
     3

     3
     3
     3
     3
     3
       15  66
       15  69
       15  70
       15  71
       15  72
       15 999
    3  16  73
    3  16  74
    3  16  75
    3  16 999
3  17-  76-
3  17  77
3  17  78
3  17  79
3  17  60
3  17 999

3  18  81
3  18  82
3  10  63
3  16  84
3  18 999

3  19  65
3  19  66
3  19  67
3  19 999
   20  66
   20  69
   20  90
   20  91
   20  92
   ?0  93
   20 999

   21  94
   21  95
   21  96
       97
       Sfl
?1
i\
/I 100
676196.
993429.
245646.
1915471.
1486125.
763272.
240602.
221008.
2711005.
1692943.
661326.
1246607.
37Z305.
640451.
4613630.
1326090.
279415.
	 1. 	
1607504.
1451022.
665162.
640008.
1-79961.
1.
2936152.
455672.
226477.
. _ _ ! _ 970697.
116281.
1773325.
631644.
1048736.
.... 1.
1920382.
2236472.
394339.
459180.
757872.
467485.
383702.
4699046.
' 	 405227.
... 	 ... 0.
212105.
302B92.
726243.
213227.
42.9003.
656932.
706699.
135114.
1502744.
1147601.
934609.
804660.
569939.
3457026.
1400528.
707129.
1339717.
1026407.
416597.
4692377.
1066991.
546431.
600331.
2433753.
1047467.
791196.
624606.
593357.
662060.
3716886.
621.671.
552119.
997443.
645437.
3016670.
664599.
747271.
1477956.
2909627.
1435426.
918631.
560310.
676672.
457327.
569604.
4658169.
911934.
541770.
2<.3e*9.
M>6267.
76n312.
3<«l'f>tl .
580604.
299756.
314905.
65666.
660329.
476466.
442166.
381643.
260179.
1580452.
6*3437.
432889.
736066.
533556.
209261.
___ 2595226.
613632.
267243.
372357.
1273231.
526291.
405559.
341014.
305721.
307369.
_..._ 1865953.
378045.
292263.
527946.
327508.
1525661.
350031.
33877S.
663146.
1371952.
724704.
479932.
284091.
309712.
214o92.
311563.
2324693.
4d3t48.
2<>C047.
11-0658.
24U706.
431700.
!7UW-i>.
281613.
                                                                            VMT - TOTAL
                                                                              1634683.
                                                                              2017033.
                                                                               4*6629.
                                                                              4096545.

                                                                              3110192.
                                                                              2140247.
                                                                              1426925.
                                                                              1071126.
                                                                              7748490.

                                                                              3976908.
                                                                              1601344.
                                                                              3322390.
                                                                              1934269.
                                                                              1266326.
                                                                             12301239.

                                                                              3028714. .
                                                                              1113086.
                                                                              1172669.
                                                                              5314491.

                                                                              3024760.
                                                                              1861919.
                                                                              1605031.
                                                                              1079038.
                                                                               969430.
                                                                              8540998.

                                                                              1655387.
                                                                              1072859.
                                                                              2496186.
                                                                              1091226.
                                                                              6315656.

                                                                              1666275.
                                                                              21T4765.
                                                                              2161106, *
                                                                              6202166.

                                                                              4396606.
                                                                              1792902.
                                                                              1323581.
                                                                              1744456.
                                                                              1139504.
                                                                              1264869.
                                                                             11681918.

                                                                              1800609.
                                                                               601817.
                                                                               5566C2.
                                                                              1307(165.
                                                                                                             *
                                                                                                             *
                                                                                                             *
                                                                                                             *
                                                                                                             *
                                                                               7401).

-------
                                    ' 2 !>4/">₯»».
                                                 >»(,<• if
       C  AA
                                     VMT - 6XP
                VMT - ARt
                VMT - IOC
              VMT - TOTAL
   3  22 10?
   3  22 10)
   3  22 104
   3  22 999
 863575.
      1.
 510046.
1393623.
 721103.
1125290.
1599265.
344565S.
 406324.
 533603.
 657164.
1797091.
2011002.
1658894.
2966479.
6636375.
   3  99 999
                                    26317696.
               34318616,
               17247024.
               77663600.
00
I

-------
      .AA.
	r	VMT - ART	 VMT. - LOG , .   VMT  -  TOTAL
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
co *
T 4
~* 4
4
4
•4
4
4
4
4
4
23 105
23 106
23 107
23 108
23 109
23 999
24 110
24 111
24 112
24 999
25 113
25 999
26 114
26 115
26 116
26 117
26 118
26 119
26 120
26 999
27 121
27 122
27 123
27 999
28 124
28 125
29 126
28 127
28 999
363135.
308682.
455230.
.299433.
900428.
	 "" '"" 2326908.
	 144303.
372507.
997209.
... 1514018.
347329.
347329.
762156.
845679.
	 	 430159.
255577.
575452.
59645.
1088761.
. 4017627.
333647.
1038339.
234723.
16067QB.
303499.
284892.
35382B.
1.
942219.
368122.
348800.
657440.
412675.
644615.
	 2451649.
543906.
334380.
827344.
1705629.
519247.
519247*
690717.
583258.
632856.
468665.
676322.
239844.
591567.
3883227.
889222.
1529153.
441979.
2860352.
302975.
275880.
646484.
767721.
1993060.
212448.
181667.
350009.
220160.
353964.
1318247.
273762.
195496.
464138.
933396.
268759.
	 268759.
370982.
275418.
324729.
242844.
338462.
115531.
305583.
1973548. •
457326.
853535.
253850.
1564711.
187308.
165940.
358143.
35 B 02 5.
1069416.
                                                                                  963705.
                                                                                  839150.
                                                                                 1462679.
                                                                                  932268.
                                                                                 1899007.
                                                                                 6096808.

                                                                                  961971.
                                                                                  9C2382.
                                                                                 2288691.
                                                                                 4153044.

                                                                                 1135335.
                                                                                 U35335.

                                                                                 1823855.
                                                                                 1704355.
                                                                                 1387744.
                                                                                  967087;
                                                                                 1590237.
                                                                                  415221.
                                                                                 1985912.
                                                                                 9874409.

                                                                                 1680195.
                                                                                 3421028.
                                                                                  930552.
                                                                                 6031775.

                                                                                  793782.
                                                                                  726713.
                                                                                 1358455.
                                                                                 1125747.
                                                                                 4004696.
4  99 999
                                10754808.
      13413164.
7128076.
31296032.

-------
  S    C  AA                        VH1 - EXP       VHT - ART       VHT  -  LOC      VHT - TOTAL
   9  99 999                       76936560.       93672160.       47791760.       218602576.
CO




INS

-------
 ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF HIGHWAY NETWORK


HIGHWAY EVALUATION FOR THE YEAR 1977  BASED ON FIXED SUPPLY  1  USING PROJECTION 1


TIMt VALUFO AT 2.50 DOLLARS PER HOUR.
BASED ON INTEREST RATE OF 10 PERCENT AND ECONOMIC LIFE OF 25 YEARS.

CONST. COST FACTOR IS  1.300



EXP ACC COST IS  1470. ART ACC COST IS  1250.
RELOCATION COST IS  10000. PER HH.   VEHOP COST FACTOR IS   I.00



 ADJUSTMENTS   SPOEXP  SPDART  SPOLOC  ACCEXP  ACCAL
                1.00    1.00    1.00    1.00    1.00                MAINT COST PER NILE IS     33000.



 VMT EQUATION    VMT*    0. * 64.3 *VTE**0.74 *2.Tie**( 1.6 *FE/FO*
    FIELO>-<  0 NOT IN RANGE
    FIELD   0 NOT IN RANGE

-------
    C  AA           .       .    EXPHY SPEED    ARTERL SPEED     LOCAL SPEED            SPEFD



111                           36.10           10.60            9.13            13.25                *               *
1   1   2                           36.36           13.26            7.13            15.34                *               *
1   1   3                           42.09           16.50            8.31            21. "»9                *               *
1   1 999                           37.5*  '"        12.11            6.05            15.09                *               *

124                           39.73           15.73            8.74            18.63                *               *
125                           44.13           19.14           10.79            26.«5                *               *
126                           40.89           17.67           10.46            20.50                *               *
1   7   7                           43.44           19.46           11.15            22.28                *               •
1   2 999                           41.58           17.14            9.86            20.81                •               *

I   3   6                           38.22           14.91            8.T4            15.73                *               *
139                           38.65           14.67            9.46            1?.70                *               *
1   3  10                           41.57           17.18            9.40            18.<1                *               *
1   3  11                           41.88           18.20           10.22            1H.C3                »               *
1   3 999                           40.25        "   16.13       ""'   9.40            16.T7                *               *

1   «.  12                           47.52           23.14           12.75            30.73                *               •
1   4  I?                           39.47           15.73            9.55            10,Jl                »               *
1   4  14                           41.88           17.92           10.62            20.22                *               *
I   4  !«,                           41.23           17.92           10.71            20.P3                *           ..   »
1   4 499         	"      	    41.27    "  "    17.21     " ""    10.32 ~~~        19.75                *               *

I   \>  16                           46.62           23.61           13.20            26.57                *               *
1   5  17                           45.38           20.83           11.90            18.77                *               *
I   5  18                           47.54           24.20           14.05            24.42                *               *
1   5 499              ....     46.61	    22.26    	    12.73  „         22.12         ...    *               *


1  91999                           40.74   """     16.04        "    9.57            lfl.28       	    »               *

-------
   S    C  AA           	  ...  EXPWY SPEED	ARTERL .SPEED	 LOCAL. SPEED           SPEED



    Z   6  19                           43.27           19.74           12.19           18.04
    2   6  20                           41.69           18.02           10.89           18.38
    2   6  21            _              43.45	    18.21           11.25           16.73
    2   6  22                           45.93           24.58           14.45           25.36
    2   6  23                           43.87           19.46           11.10           19.73
    2   6  24                           46.58           22.22           12.22           24.45
    2   6 999          _         ..     44.10    , .    19.55        _  11.60           19.40

    2   7  25	47.69	24.25	13.67   _        23.10
    2   7  26           "               45.53           21.31           12.50           21.92
    2   7  27                 *          47.42           23.66           13.50           26.06
    2   7  28                           46.64           23.77           14.00           23.95
    2   7  29                           46.89           23.97           13.94           24.64
    2   7  30                           50.42           27.53           16.38           33.69
    2   7  31            _               48.73   __      27.34    	16.24           26.18
    2   7  32                           51.06           30.03           17.54       "  32.56
    2   7  33                           53.07           31.83   _       18.42           33.83
    2   7  34                           52.47  	  31.92   	     18.70           33.26
    2   7 999           .               48.09           25.04     _     14.48           25.64

    2   8  35        	   	          _ 43.85      ,    19.20	10.86           21.24
    2   8  36    - - —  ••-	  	   44.46 """	   20.18  "      " 11.38           23.53
    2   8  37           	        45.73           22.37	12.70   _    '  24.99
    2   8  36.                           52.46           31.99           19.68       '  '  26.69
    2   8  39            _        .       46.46           23.85           13.91           25.58
    2   8  40                           51.06           29.53           17.36           31.05
    2   8  41	48.24   	26.02	.  15.34__	 _    26.88
    2   8  42              -    -      " 52.20  "      " "31.40           18.69     ~  """31.00
,28 999      _  	              46.06           23.08  	  13.20           24.96

01  2   9  43                           46.62           24.27     __   14.00           26.34
    2   9  44                           48.11           25.76           14.80           26.89
    2   9  45          i        _      46.61  _        26.17	15.30	       24.85
    2   9  46                           52.86           32.25           19.11           32.90
    Z   9999         .	  48.15      ._.   26,05           15.15           27.27

    2  10  47                       .    51.98           31.50           19.21           29.19
    2  10  48                          . 53.63           33.15           19.73           32.73
    2  10999    .  _ ... _ 		  52.$9	   32.11   	  19.41  	  .   30.64

    2  11   49                           50.41           28.60           17.15           28.89
    2  11   50      	"                50.80           30.33	  18.79           26.82
    2  11   51          _         _     47.18           24.34           15.16           22.60
    2  11   52                           53.92           33.87           20.99           29.74
    2  11   53        _	   51.18	     29.79     	18.45           26.31
    2  11   54                           55.90           36.75           22.39           34.58
    2  11  999        	_         50.38           28.69           17.66           26.42

    2  12   55                           51.44           30.93           18.97           26.70
    2  12   56           ~               51.89           31.17           18.49           31.32
    2  12   57         _          .       53.43   ..      32.85           19.72           32.63
    2  12   58                           51.48           30.40           18.28           29.04
    2  \?.   b9                           49.31           28.02           16.64           28.15
    ?  12  bO                           «9.fcO           28.Ol           16.69           27.19
    2  12 
-------
       C  AA                      EXPHY SPEED    ARTERL  SPEED     LOCAL  SPEED           SPEED
   2  99 999                           47.35            24.18            14.24           24.41
00




en

-------
S    C..AA            ___    _ ...GXPHV SPEED	ARTE«L  SPEED  .  .LOCAL SPEED           SPEED



 3  13  61                           41.03           18.08            10.7?           20.21     *          *                *
 3  13  62                           41.72           18.06            10.51           21.69                *                *
 3  13  63             _  _  _       44.84	20.10     _     10.56           24.24                *                *
 3  13 999      '         " "~      -  41.85  "   "   "  18.23	   "   .10.61           21.31                *                *

 3  14  64        ""                 39.85      "     16.34        ~     9.40           19.66                *                *
 3  14  65                           43.07   _       19.43            10.77           20.02                *                *
 3  14  66                           44.28           22.13            13.38           20.29                *                *
 3  14  67       _         	44.83  _^    21.50	12.36           19.79  _             *      __       *
 3  14 999     "    	            41.47   "   "~  19.08  "'     """  11.06           19.89                *                *

 3  15  68         "                  41.50           17.64            10.11           20.65                *                *
 3  15  69                           44.02           18.89            10.86           19.51                *                *
 3  15  70                           42.87           18.57            10.79           19.61                *                *
 3  15  71               _,            45.09           21.48     _      12.97           19.88                *                *
 3  15  72       	~    	"'   49.26  	"     26.89  " "       15.20           29.96                *                *
 3  15 999               		   43.37           19.39     	   11.25           20.71                *                *

 3  16  73                           42.79           18.06            10.13           19.95                *                *
 3  16  74                        "  45.05           21.56            12.78           20.60                *                *
 3  16  75	     _     50.21           29.10        _   18.13           24.41                *                *
 3  16 999           	43.17           21.53       ~~    12.30           20.94                *                *

 3  17  76        	     "  ~      "  46.76           24.26        "   14.11           27.13            "   *                *
 3  17  77                    ,      47.32           25.01            14.61           25.35                *                *
 3  17  78         "                 48.67           26.30            15.27           27.11                •                *
 3  17  79      	' — 50.36     	29.05	17.80   __    _  26.21	*  _   	    *
 3  17  80        "      ""           51.37           30.73            19.05           25.73                *                *
 3  17999      ....._        	 47.50           26.46            15.63           26.44      _..	*•                *

 3  IB  81                           40.75           17.95            10.60           17.87                *                *
 3  18  82             ...     42.23           17.98            11.48           17.42                *                *
 3  18  83              _     	43.83     	20.31    	 _   11.86           21.56     _   	*	_       *
 3  18  84                           43.96           19.33            11.94           17.18                *                *
 3  18 999      .              	42.80           18.98            11.47           18.94                *                *

 3  19  85                           47.31           24.95            14.47           26.97                *                *
 3  19  86                           49.13           27.58            16.00           30.88,                »                *
 3  19  67                    _  :   46.75   _   _   24.93            15.93           21.15           _   *                *
 3  19 999                           48.32           25.57            15.55           25.65                *                *

 3  20  88             "     -'•••-•    44.31     '     21.12            12.30           24.79                *                *
 3  20  89                           45.09           21.75            13.20           20.53                «                *
 3  20  90                           46.49           24.46            14.40           24.82               *                *
 3  20  91             	            45.09     	    22.72            13.17           24.88                *                *
 3  20  92                           49.63           26.25            16.35           29.41                *•                *
 3  20  93                           47.59           25.52            15.35           24.97               *               *
 3  20 999         "         "      "45.45   	      22.95            13.52           24.42               *                *

 3  ?l  94                           45.78           22.56            11.72           21.30               *                *
 .3  ?)  95             .              46.42           22.3I>            14.09           18.78               *                *
 3  21  96                           52,5k           33.02            19.59           33.M               *                *
 J  2)  97                           46.25           22.47            1^.91)           20./.9               *                *
 3  ?l  Va                           47.76           24.6?.            14.10           24.91*               *               «
  1   '1  «»<>                           00.36           29.14            17.?6           ?7.'»0               *               *
 ;i  ;-i i«r»                           SI.ZH           vt./,<>            jr.'t7           ;'.•>!               *                *

-------
                                       40.83            
-------
C   AA
EXPHY SPEED
                                          ARTERL SPEED
           LOCAL SPEED
                                                      SPEED
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
ta 4
L 4
«J 4
4
4
4
4
4
4
23 105
23 106
23 107
23 108
23 109
23 999
24 110
24 111
24 112
24 999
25 113
25 999
26 114
26 115
26 116
26 117
26 118
26 119
26 120
26 999
27 121
27 122
27 123
27 999
28 124
28 125
?8 126
28 127
28 999
44.22
49.12
43.20
50.03
45. 84
45.93
49.16
46.50
43.70
44.64
47.52
47.52
45.45
43.61
46.05
47.76
" 48.49
51.76
o 47.29
46.23
- 46.06
46.57
	 51.43
47.53
52.17
51.29
48.41
49.62
50.44
20.78
27.91
19.36
28.62 	 "
22.51
22.67
27.51
23.10
19.56
22.28
25.30
25.30
22>59 —
20.08
23.77
26.17
27.03
32.16
24.38
24.13 	
26.55
23.64
29.82
25.32
30.87
29.95
26.02
. 	 . 28.55 	
28.17
12.39
16.81
11.54
17.13
12.98
13.40
16,77
13.43
11.22
12.92
14.94
14.94
13.36
11.25
14.25
16.03
16.05
19.88
14.06
14.22
16.56
14.35
18.12
15.48
18.48
17.98
15.84
18.16
17.34
                                                                                 21.89
                                                                                 28.36
                                                                                 19.55
                                                                                 26.03
                                                                                 25.14
                                                                                 23.70

                                                                                 24.65
                                                                                 24.36
                                                                                 21.50
                                                                                 22.75

                                                                                 24.78
                                                                                 24.76

                                                                                 24.30
                                                                                 23.37
                                                                                 23.62
                                                                                 25.18
                                                                                 27.43
                                                                                 28.79
                                                                                 28.78
                                                                                 25.54

                                                                                 24.70
                                                                                 23.36
                                                                                 27.87
                                                                                 24.33

                                                                                 30.81
                                                                                 30.28
                                                                                 24.60
                                                                                 24.17
                                                                                 26.50
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
                                                                                         *
99 999
     46.53
24.39
14.54
24.62'

-------
    C  AA                      EXPWV SPEED    ARTERL SPEED     LOCAL SPEED           SPEED
   99 999                           45.00           21.66           12.9?           22.47
00
l
ro
O

-------
 ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF HIGHWAY NETWORK ........


HIGHWAY EVALUATION FOR THE YEAR 1977  BASED ON FIXED SUPPLY  I  USING  PROJECTION  1


TIME VALUED AT 2.50 DOLLARS PER HOUR.
BASED ON INTEREST RATE OF 10 PERCENT AND ECONOMIC LIFE OF 25 VEARS.

CONST. COST FACTOR IS  1.300
6XP ACC COST IS  1470. ART ACC COST IS  1250.
RELOCATION COST IS  10000. PER HH..  . .VCHOP COST. FACTOR JS  .J...OO.
ADJUSTMENTS   SPOEXP  SPOART  SPOLOC  ACCEXP  ACCAL
               1.00    1.00    1.00    1.00    1.00
                                                                    MA1NT COST PER MILE  IS      33000.
 V«T EQUATION    WMT- '   0. * 64.3 *VTE**O.T4 *2.718**I 1.6 *FE/FO«
    FIELD   Q NOT  IN RANGE
    FIELD   0 NOT  IN RANGE
                                                                                                                      us
                                                                                                                      p

-------
    C  AA
                                 VMf -
                 VMT - ART
                 VMf - IOC
              VH1 - TOTAL
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
? »
1 1
1 2
1 3
1 999
2 4
2 5
2 6
2 7
2 999
3 8
3 9
3 10
3 11
3 999
4 12
4 U
4 14
4 15
4 999
5 16
5 17
5 16
5 999
1251087.
572086.
2437815!
1034752.
628348.
598577.
436175.
2697849.
867928.
10493.
675820.
669005.
2223245.
387376.
1824695.
1775075.
1624632.
5615777.
170747.
36961.
17145.
224053.
1324823.
725381.
452949.
2503152.
892576.
229885.
490«75.
2B7155.
19C0448.
1279444.
729314.
754167.
1072510.
37H5434.
101806.
1609873.
1478812.
1697U6.
4887617.
232656.
55.8232.
325097.
1115984.
286102.
180209.
86926.
561136.
362636.
1241?!.
152567.
855009.
330116.
37C074.
505323.
175<;737.
797732.
»>4o870.
2514709.
104126.
2697H1.
157077.
530984.
2862012.
1485677.
5502105.
2289965.
982355.
1305136.
87SH96.
5453351.
1SOOOM.
776H421.
427H1?8.
40^1620.
4166629.
13018109.
507529.
R64974.
499M9.
1R71P22.
1   99 999
13199539.
14192675.
6221574.
33613T76.

-------
C  AA
	y«T -. EXP_	   , VMT - ART.
VMT - LOG
                                                                             VMT - TOTAL
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
8
B
8
a
8
8
8
8
8
9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
1?
19
20
21
22
23
24
999
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
999
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
999
43
44
45
46
999
47
48
99?
49
SO
51
52
53
54
999
55
56
57
58
59
294092.
834646.
548434.
489762,
1385575.
698318.
_ 	 _ 4250826.
440011.
650122.
1336023.
556203.
495987.
157342.
._ . 719222. ,
22529.
	 222467. 	
459990ll
836816.
1645973.
1019527.
0.
659599.
295114.
571749.
154732.
5183506.
481594.
539244.
66023.
235888.
1322748.
201897.
251624.
453521.
417981.
88765.
373499.
100354.
140940.
149461.
1270998.
63299.
6478S3.
195692.
170B97.
120072.
40JH41.
1601A5*.
1103070.
1242154.
1860201.
878220.
1714126.
522671.
7320441.
666718.
1073226.
986133.
1388272.
733704.
46328.
1274414.
525428.
205377.
702725.
7602322.
619958.
935471.
734671.
155449.
543592.
385792.
501263.
215306.
4091500.
414241.
506262.
148236.
199963.
1270700.
396064.
251449.
647513,
363566.
393380.
911490.
460937.
572490.
216709.
2918570.
456800.
647650.
365551.
560450.
570572.
4«703l.
552502.
636373.
1004529.
373124.
949288.
327343.
3843156.
367876.
629413.
657964.
736381.
387082.
33252.
604897.
237890.
119950.
316112.
4090811.
374784.
54B38B.
364550.
72864.
274903.
2L9688.
265821.
122310.
2263305.
175235.
251321.
55860.
112517.
594934.
217131.
147019.
364149.
238289.
200671.
505398.
244694.
304833.
127390.
1621272.
223204.
33)660.
22SB67.
300 162.
277414.
462365.
' 1949664.
2713176.
3413165.
1741105.
4048990.
1548332.
15414432.
1474606.
2352761.
2980121.
2680857.
1616773.
236921.
2598534.
785848.
547794.
1018838.
16293051.
1831558.
3129833.
2118747.
228314.
1476094.
900594.
1358833.
492348.
11538319.
1071070.
1298827.
270119.
548368.
3188383.
. 815092.
650091. .
1465183.
1019836.
682816.
1790387.
805985. "
1018262.
493560.
5810845. 	 .
743303.
1629163.
787309.
1057509.
96 80'.> 8.
«.93»S79.
+
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
,
*
*
*
„
*
«
*
* __ 	
"*" ~" ~
*
*
*
* • --
* — - -
V
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
* •
*
*
*
*
* '
*
*
*
*

-------
 5    C  AA                        VHT - EXP 	  VHT - ART    .   VMT - LOC      VHT  -  TOTH
  2  99 999                       18683328.       27359056.        14606296.        606*8720.
C3
32

-------
        C   AA
VHT - EXP
                                                    VMT - ART
                                                                    VMT - LOC
                                                                                  VHT - TOTAL
£
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
i
13
13
13
13
14
1 4
14
14
14
15
15
IS
15
15
15
16
16
16
16
17
17
17
17
17
17
18
18
18
16
18
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
21
21
21
21
?l
?1
."A
61
62
63
999
64
65
66
67
999
68
69
70
71
72
999
73
74
75
999
76
77
78
79
60
999
81
82
63
84
999
as
86
87
999
88
89
90
91
92
93
999
94
95
96
97
98
'l't
1 f>0
663655.
867378.
151558.
1682589.
1174166.
557050.
0.
67405.
1798620.
1430529.
592603.
700885.
277152.
0.
3001168.
1090024.
0.
1.
1090024.
" ~ 	 ' 793954.
95833.
-506 159.
0.
1.
1395945.
431347.
209459.
422749.
114936.
1178490.
568697.
8b»215.
..._ 	 1.
1433912.
	 	 1917140.
318348.
111892.
596735.
328359.
314038.
3588509.
343623.
... 0.
0.
9H644.
393255.
0.
17il24o.
631364.
678760.
151192.
1461335.
1231629.
1035859.
773095.
606184.
3646764.
1251123.
604797.
1502898.
783513.
632410.
4774 f40.
1059581.
573587.
583226.
2216393.
871824.
788336.
496351.
508172.
474311.
3138993.
778232.
495744.
12C6303.
615930.
3096208.
606283.
505663.
950010.
2061956.
1336592.
660656.
58R341.
568394.
304079.
368423.
3626431.
687704.
.. . 4C2143.
276124.
6311 13.
7? /4a9.
31 M..40.
4 >•, M.
283490.
311558.
75035.
670083.
535277.
494015.
346664.
284061.
1660015.
603861.
361060.
788213.
413389.
285492.
2472013.
599817.
267822.
274795.
1142433.
438937.
381485.
277729.
241181.
222993.
1562321.
356226.
267510.
6064Z8.
313415.
1545580.
305399.
220539.
439660.
965598.
674565.
356809.
272664.
253780.
127266.
191023.
1876325.
373464.
I9ri242 .
1 1'.032.
miza.
3rt/' I Tl.
1 4 .• r. 1 11 .
* •<. n •).
1576529.
1857695.
377784.
3614008.
2941074.
2086924.
1119756.
957649.
7105405.
3285514.
1578460.
2991097.
1474QS4.
917902.
10247927.
274V423.
8414O9.
858022.
4448853.
2104715.
1265655.
1280238.
749354.
697305.
6097265.
1567807.
972713.
2235481.
1044261.
582C282.
1480360.
1591418*
13B9671.
4461469.
3928298.
1335812.
973118.
14209C9.
759704.
873464.
9291324.
1404791.
59H 1d5.
3*0156.
10*0 JOS.
1 S C.' ? H y H .
4'.XJ£F.
:1 .' . .• ' ; .
*
*
•
*
«
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
tf
*
* .
. _
*
*
»
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
^
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
»
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
•
*
•
*
*
*
*
•' ' -'
*
»
*
*
*
*
•
*
•
*
,
*
*
*
*
•
»
•
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

-------
CO
                                                                    11.-/i U J\i,
                                   VKT - EXP
                VMT - ART
                VMT - LOC
              VMT - TOTAt
  3  22 102
  3  22 103
  3  22 104
  3  22 999
 706167.
      0.
 423096.
1129283.
 472615.
 762187.
1196795.
2431S96.
 269123.
 366516.
 671036.
1306674.
1447925.
1178703.
2290926.
4867556.
  3  99 999
                                  17312304.
               30437024.
               15067070.
               62816400.

-------
        C  4A
                                     VMT - EXP
VMT - ART
VMT - LOC
VMr - TOTAL
CD
4
4
t,
4
4
4
4
•4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
23 105
23 106
23 10?
23 108
23 109
23 999
24 110
24 111
24 112
24 999
25 113
25 999
26 114
26 115
26 116
26 117
26 118
26 119
26 120
26 999
27 121
27 122 	 " "
27 123
27 999
2B 124
28 125
28 126
28 127
28 999
335171.
264167.
422936.
0.
740676.
1762969.
128692.
333805,
617299.
1079995.
193692.
193692.
660039.
712724.
352712.
206154.
508200.
49658.
'> 826959.
3316441.
142911.
748304.
199033.
1090247.
32892.
163922.
302333.
1.
499148.
341773.
267716.
587335.
459105.
590987.
2246913.
452660.
283094.
914278.
1650231.
446421.
448421.
536333.
570753.
505074.
323116.
548798.
169871.
462040.
3115982.
643785.
1207563.
346826.
2198173.
.399651.
206568.
500102.
533079.
1639398.
190997.
143899.
316919.
216402.
32B491.
1197807.
231390.
170956.
497694.
900041.
229246.
229246.
294460.
272881.
263344.
174666.
279310.
83420.
246175.
1614256.
324200.
685301.
208853.
1218353.
202978.
127100.
286810.
253353.
870239.
867941.
675802.
1328290*
675507.
1660153.
5207691.
813143.
787855.
2029271.
3630269.
871358.
871358.
1490832.
1556357.
1121130.
703936.
1336309.
302949.
1535175.
6046687.
1110896.
2641169.
754712.
4506776.
635521.
497590.
1089245.
786432.
3006787.
*
*











__ _ _
*
    4  99 999
                             	 7942490.	.11299117. 		6029940.	25271552.	*	

-------
 S     C  AA                         VHT  -  EXP        VHT - ART       VMT  -  LOC     VMT - TOTAL
  9  49 9<»
-------
    ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF HIGHWAY NETWORK


   HIGHWAY EVALUATION FOR THE YEAR 1970  BASED ON FIXED SUPPLY  1  USING PROJECTION 1


   TIKE VALUED AT 2.SO DOLLARS PER HOUR.
   BASED ON INTEREST RATE OF 10 PERCENT AND ECONOMIC LIFE Of 25 YEARS.

   CONST. COST FACTOR IS  1.300



   fXP ACC COST IS  1470. ART ACC COST IS  1250.
   RELOCATION COST IS  10000. PER HH.   VEHOP COST FACTOR IS   1.00



    ADJUSTMENTS   SPOEKP  SPOAftT  SPOLOC  ACCEXP  ACCAi.
                   1.00    1.00    1.00    1.00    1.00                MAI NT COST PER MILE  IS     33OOO.

                                                                                             _i

    VMT EQUATION    \/MT-    0. * **.3 *VTE**0.7« *2.718**< 1.6 *F€/FO«
       FIELD •  0 NOT IN RANGE
03
rg   " FIELD   o NOT IN RANGE"

-------
       AA
                               EXPHY SPEED
                                              ARTERL SPEED
                            LOCAL  SPEED
                                                                                      SPEED
Co-
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1





1
1
1
1
1
1 1
1 2
1 3
1 999
2 4
2 5
2 6
2 7
2 999
3 8
3 9
3 10
3 11
3 999
4 12
£ | 4
I 13
4 14
4 15
4 999
5 16
5 17
5 18
5 9SI9
                                    35.67
                                    35. 87
                                    42.04
                                    37.14

                                    39.56
                                    44.28
                                    41.38
                                    44.22
                                    41.71

                                    38.70
                                    39.03
                                    41.92
                                    41,86
                                    40.57

                                    48.60
                                    39.85
                                    42.08
                                    41.19
                                    41.45

                                    46.98
                                    45.64
                                    48.20
                                    46.84
                 10.25
                 12.90
                 16.45
                 11.75

                 15.70
                 19.67
                 16.25
                 20.50
                 17.36

                 15.34
                 15.34
                 17.51
                 18.23
                 16.49

                 24.44
                 16.22
                 18.15
                 17.91
                 17.48

                 24.74
                 21.20
                 25.13
                 22.93
 5.04
 7.02
 8.29
 5.96

 8.76
11.24
10.76
11.69
10.00

 B.91
 9.61
 9.52
10.23
 9.52

13.3?
 9.78
10.74
10.81
10.49

13.97
12.33
15.16
13.38
 12.94
 15.00
 21.99
 14.76

 16.41
 26.61
 21.25
 23.73
 21.CO

 16.09
 13.02
 i e. :i 6
 18.09
 16.56

 32.15
 18.66
 20.47
 19.61
 19.68

 24.77
 17.64
 21.11
20.09
                                                                                                              *
                                                                                                              *

                                                                                                              *
                                                                                                              *
                                                                                                              *
                                                                                                              *
1  99 999
40.56
                16.12
                                                                     9.66
                                                                                    16.17

-------
        C  AA      _	  	EXPWY SPEED 	ARTERL SPEED     LOCAL SPEED           SPEED
    2   6  19
    2   6  20
    2   6  21
    2   6  22
    2   6  23
    2   6  24
    2   6 999

    2   7  25
    2   7  26
    2   7  27
    2   7  28
    2   7  29
    2   7  30
    2   7  31
    2   7  32
    2   7  33
    2   7  34
    2   7 999

    2   8  35
    2   d  36
    2   B  37
    2   8  38
    2   B  39
    2   8  40
7  2   8  41
CO  2   8  42
—  2   8 999

    2   9  43
    2   9  44
    2   9  45
    2   9  46
    2   9 999

    2  10  47
    2  10  48
    2  10 999

    2  11  49
    2  11  50
    2  11  51
    2  11  52
    2  11  53
    2  11  54
    2  11 999

    2  12  55
    2  12  E6
    2  12  r»7
    2  12  58
    2  12  59
    2  12  60
    ?  12 'J90
43.91
42.08
44.05
46.48
44.19
46.81
44.38
48.41
	 	 " 45.84 	
48.09
48.08
48.51
52.54
50.78
51.34
53.43
52.36 ~'"~
48.62
44.31
45.40
46.72
53.86
48.40
51.67
50.12
53.70
46.87 	
48.42
49.25
48.87
53.54
49.63
53.90
55.14
_ 	 	 54.58 	
52.07
53.28
48.74
55.36
52.85
57.27
51.99
53.36
53.60
54.90
52.60
50.77
50.51
5?.ofl
20.32
18.42
18.77
25.66
19.81
22.54
20.07
24.88
21.50
24.51
25.31
25.99
30.32
29.89
31.22
32.37
32.46 ~
26.30
19.68
21.20
23.48
33.68
25.98
30.47
28.23
33.22
24.16 	
26.32
27.05
28.36
33.12
27.75
33.79
35.10
34.29 	 __
30.61
33.05
26.05
35.5*
31.83
38.47
30.60
33.22
33.60
34.60
31.70
30.00
29.21
31.52
12.46
11.01
11.50
15.13
11.24
12.43
11.83
13.90
12.89
14.09
15.13
15.06
17.92
17.45
18.78
18.80
19.58
15.26 	
11.08
11.65
13.17
20.60
14.97
18.18
16.53
19.83
13.70 	
14.96
15.37
16.26
19.61
15.97
20.54
20.80
20.64 	
18.25
20.33
16.02
21.98
19.56
23.45
18.72
20.26
19.80
21.01
19.30
18.19
17. S5
1-9.03
18.51
18.71
17.16
25.08
20.01
24.03
19.62
23.65
20.63
25.98
23.30
25.20
37.14
28.41
26.25
32.43
26.96
25.00
21.75
24.71
26.23
28.01
27.94
29.57
29.25
31.70
25.92 	
20.64
28.18
26.98
33.89
29.07 	
31.30
34.58:
32.68 _ 	 	 ...
30.94
29.13
24.13
31.11
28.10
36.09
28.15
28.64
33.82
31.64
28.26
26.42
2T.C9
21.10


	 	









-------
   S    C  AA                      EXPWV SPEED  _   ARTERL  SPEED      LOCAL  SPEED           SPEED
    2  99 499                           47.61           25.00            14.67
00
4,
N

-------
C  *A      ...   	;__.  EXPWV  SPEED. __ARTEW. SPEED	LOCAL SPEED            SPEED
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
CO
7
.Mi
/.I
10.90
10.78
10.82
10.83
9.59
10.84
14.13
12.64
11.19
10.62
11.26
11.09
13. 82
15.68
11.84
10.39
13.40
19.34
12.43

15.23
15.33
15.89
19.07
20.37
16.48
10.81
11.91
12.23
12.07
11.78
15.17
16.97 ""'
17.62
16.62
12.84 "
14.33
15.31
13.87
17.95
16.97
14.23
14.67
15.06
21.10
13.53
14.74
18.74
\.^8
:••'.'. 7
*
*
*
*
*
*
«
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
* 	 "" '
*
*

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
, *
*
~ 4
*
*
* "
*
*
^ . .
*
*
*
. " d "
*
*
	 »
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
»
*
*
*
*
*
*

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
•
*
•
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
•
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
»
+

-------
 S    C  AA        	  EXPkfV  SPEED  ._.  ARTERL  SPEED   „  LOCAL  SPEPQ           SPEED



  1  22 102                           49.53           27.33            15.89           29.86               *               *
  3  22 103                           46.01           25.07            16.13           21.36               *               *
  3  22 104                           46.19           22.14            14.14           20.70               *               *
  3  22 999                           48.22      "     23.90            15.0*           22.96               *               *


  3  99 999                .           44.78           22.39            13.31           21.82               *               *
O3

-------






















Co

CO
01







s

4
4
ft
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4

4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
c
I
23
23
23
23
23
23
24
24
24
24
25
25
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
'
27
27
27
27
28
26
28
28
28
AA

105
106
107
104
109
999
110
111
112
999
113
999
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
999

121
122
123
999
124
125
126
127
999
                               EXPMY SPEED
ARTERL SPEED
LOCAL SPEED
SPEED
45.04
50.63
43.89
50.44
46.38
46.07
50.12
47.36
" 43.46 "~
45.33
48.37
46.37
46.96
43.66
' " 47.38 	
49.94
49.60
53.78
46.34
*7.23
50.13
48.01
52.60
49.06
52.16
	 	 52.98
49.84
51.96
50.96
21.60
29.63
20.00
26.85
23.20
23.50
26.54
23.99
19.36
22.05
26.26
26.26
24.28
20.34
25.22 	 "
28.60
28.25
34.66
25.65
25.17
29.11
25.22
31.16
27.10
30.56
32.02
27.65
31.02
29.91
12.78
17.77
11.79
17.93
13.42
13.64
17.29
13.84
11.54
13.07
15.58
15.56
14.24
11.47
15.00
17.32
16.66
21.34
14.75
14.75
18.21
15.24
18.84
16.49
19.10
19.33
16.69
19.56
18.38
22.72
30.23
20.14
24.14
25.16
23.63
25.55
25.25
19.42
21.67
24.34
24.34
26.24
22.84
24.90 ' - '
27.59
28.79
31.12
29.63
26.52
25.96
24.36
29.03
25,43
26.11
30.87
26.35
26.09
26.88



























*
4  99 999
                                    47.18
                                                    25.26
                      15.05
                                      24.86

-------
 &    C   AA                 .'     EXPMY SPEED..  ARTERL SPEED      (.OCAL  SPEED           SPEED
  9   99 999                            44.95           22.02            13.22            22.17
CD
I

-------
      APPENDIX C



DATA DOCUMENTATION LIST

-------
                                  BIBLIOGRAPHY
 l.Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, Interim Technical  Report,  4304-1201,
   East River Crossings and The Doubling of Tolls, July 1972,  17 pgs.


 2. Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, Interim Technical  Report.  4243-1520,
   Motor Vehicle Registrations 1970. June 1971, 26 pgs. - 2 cps.


 3. New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, New York  City
   Metropolitan Area Air Quality Implementation Plan. Revised May 1972,  195  pgs.


 4. New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, Motor Vehicle
   Emissions Control: A Plan for Action, November 30, 1971, 114 pgs.


 5. New York State Department"of Environmental Conservation, The Economic and
   Technological Feasibility of Requiring Air Contaminant Emission Control
   SystemsonUsedMotor Vehicles, A Report to the Legislature, February 1,  1972,
   45 pgs.


 6. Tri-State Transportation Commission, Streets and Highways:  A Regional Report,
   January 1968, 44 pgs.


 7. Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, Regional Profile Subway Riders  and
   Manhattan Autos. October 1971, Vol. 1 No. 14, 8 pgs. - 2 cps.

 3. Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, Regional Transit 1990, (the revised
   and updated regional plan and program), April 1972, 13 pgs.


 9. Tri-State Transportation Commission, Regional Development Guide: J"echm'cal
   Perspectives, November 1969, 54 pgs.


10.Tri-State Transportation Commission, Tri-State TransportaMgn^)985L An  Interim
  'Plan, May 1966, 39 pgs.

n Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, Interim Technical  Report.  4305-1205
  'Motor Vehicle Registrations 1971, June 1972, 13 pgs.

12 Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, Interim Technical  Report.  4324-1205,
  'Vehicular River Crossings: 1971 (within the Tri-State Region), AugustT1972,
   13 pgs.
13.TRW Inc., Prediction of the Effects of Transportation Controls  on  Air Quality
   in Major Metropoli
   November 20, 1972.
in Major Metropolitan Areas.  Report to Federal  Environmental Protection Agency,
    mbe
14.D.S. Klrcher and D.P. Armstrong, An Interim Report on Motor Vehicle  Emission
   Estimation. Draft Report, Environmental Protection Agency,  October 1972.
                                        C-l

-------
              APPENDIX D
AUTOMOBILE AIR POLLUTION QUESTIONNAIRE

-------
                                        _________^	FIGURE
         CONSUMER MAIl  PANEIS
  P
         323 SOUTH FRANKLIN STREET - CHICAGO. ILLINOIS 60606

(2-C796)
Dear Panel Member,

Today,  I am sending you a questionnaire which I consider both exciting and
interesting.   Hopefully, you will too.  This questionnaire deals with the impor.
tant problem of air pollution caused by automobiles.

As you know,  autos are a major source of air pollution— especially in metro-
politan areas.   You probably have read in newspapers or magazines that auto
manufacturers are being required to make changes in their cars that will
reduce the amount of pollutants coming out of cars.   This will be particularly
true for cars manufactured in 1975 and thereafter.

Many pollution experts believe, however, that despite these new federal regu-
lations on auto air pollution, other ways will have to be found to further reduce
pollution caused by cars.  The purpose of this questionnaire is to  obtain your
reaction to these new auto pollution control ideas being suggested by the
experts.  In answering some questions, you will probably have to  consult
other members of your family to get their ideas and reactions.   I  am sorry
if this is inconvenient, but I am sure you will agree that the importance of
solving  pollution problems is worth making every reasonable effort.

As always, please check each of your answers after you have  completed the
questionnaire.   Then return it to me in the enclosed postage-paid  envelope.
If you have any additional comments, please write them on the lines pro-
vided in Question 11.

                                       Cordially,
                                      D-l

-------
                                                                                               FIGURE    (CONT'D
Jb.
Ic.
4b.

4e.
                                                                   CONSUMER MAIl PANEIS
                                                                   at MMW nuu« BIHII CM***. fttM
                                                                                           (2-C796)
                               AUTO AIR POLLUTION QUESTIONNAIRE
      AH autos in idc in 1^7} an put emission control equipment which might ceil $200 on your car?  ("X" BEi-OWJ

      How wuulU you fret about this lav if the coat WAS  reduced by government tubsidy to about $SO?
     ("X"  UELOW)
                    Fcrling
                               a rd 1-iw;
                                                     Oil JZOO    2.   Ceil S40
                    Very much in favor of law • .
                    Somewhat in favor of law. . .
                    Somewhat against law , , . . ,
                    Very much against law . . . .
LJ«
B
                                                    (1?)
                                                                 D4
     Even cars properly equipped with cmrmsion control equipment might still pollute the air if the equip-
     ment was not properly maintained.   Haw would you feel about a Jaw requiring periodic inspection of
     the emission control  system to assare that it was working properly?   C'X" ONE ONLY)

         Very much in .—.j    Somewhat in p,^    Somewhat  .—.     Very much  «
           favor of law          favor of la*        against la.w^       againtt lav^
     Assuming you had to have your car Inspected at least once a year,  what would you consider a
     reasonable cost (or the inspection?  (WRITE IN AMOUNT)
                                                                                                       13
                                                                                              a
                                                                                              H-16
                                                                                              Open
                              *	                                   20

Assuming you liad to have your car Inspected at least once a year, where do you think the inspection
ihouUI be made'  ("X" ONE ONLY)
      At stale-opt rated inspection centers .Ol       At some ether place (Specify):
                                         ""                                            rn

AI local service stations or garage* *I_|J —
Even if all autus were equipped with properly maintained
• mission control system*, som* cities might stilt have auto
air pollution problem* due to th* large number of cara
either on ihr streets at the same time or concentrated In
particular areas. Listed below are *«v*tal possible way*
to redue- pelluiion under one or both of these conditions. I
Please tell me how you feel about each of theae proposals. J
<"X" ONE ON EACH LINE) I

• »
b.
c.

d.
e.
I.
I.
b.
I.


i.
Prnpos.il: I

Very high ($$00) registration fee per auto 	
Very high ($500) registration fee per auto but only

Prohibit traffic and parking in central buiinet* dtitrlcti
A tax on all day parking in central business districts . .
A tax on parking in central builnef « districts regardlen
of whether a person parked only one hour or all day
Tolls on exit ramps of major freeways and exprctiwayi
Tolls on exit ramps of major frccwayt and expressways
Restriction* on non-essential auto travel during limes
of high pollution by Issuance of special license

Turn tome existing lanes Into "bus only" and "cat pool
only" lanes en major expressways and streets. ...


1
/
i-
£ i
1
ni
i_i*
DI
rit
LJ*
Dl
DI
DI
Dl
Dl

Dl

D!
Which of the ort.DO.ala listed above would b* the most acrefrtable?




To
IB
i
ri2
u_ I*
nz

D2
D2
02
Ql
Dz

D*

0*
(Give
(Give






Me ThirPlan Is: I
/ ^1
1 1
"ll
D»
nt

DJ
OJ

Qj
D3

D'

D3
I>«ttfr4
Lolleri
i!
L!
1
BA
<


a<
a<
D4
Q4
D*

D<

a*


I
/'/
f > /
ns
LJ*
a*
—
LJ*
as
as
as
DS
as

Os

as


                                                                                                       22
                                                                                                       ZJ
                                                                                                       24
                                                                                                       2S
                                                                                                       2«
                                                                                                       27
                                                                                                       28

                                                                                                       24
                                                                                                       10
                                                                                             Zl
                                                                                             Zl
                                                      D-2

-------
                             FIGUrxti   (CONT'D.1
!'*«< * IZ.C79M
QUESTIONS 5-8 ASK FOR INFORMATION HELAT'S-C TO OTIfER HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS.
CONSULT THEM, IF NECESSARY, FOK TI«F. ANaWEKS.
5a. How often do the various members of your household travel by public transportation} (Tor ex-
ample, by bus, subway, or commuter train.)
Children
Husband Wife (Over 16 Yean Old)
Three or more times a week . . . .Ql • - -Ql * • *ID'
One cr two times a week 	 	 . QZ . . ,QZ . . .QZ
Onee every Uuee months 	 Q4 . . ,D« . . .D<
Never. ., 	 	 .Qi . Q5 . . ,Qs

Sb. Plcagc rate each household member' . reason for using public transportation, (Rate the most
important reason "1", Ihr next malt important "2". the next "3", etc. It a household member
never uses public transportation, "X" the "never use" box at the bottom of the list.)
5c. Please rate each household member's reasons for traveling by auto. Follow the same procedure
as In Question ib. (WRITE IN DELOW UNDER JSc)
Sb. Public Transportation 5c. Aulr* Transportation

Children . , Children
(Over 16 ' (Over 16
Reasons: Husband Wife Years Old) Husband Wife Year. Old)
a. Cheaper 	 (38) (39) MO) ... HI) I4Z)
b. Faster 	 	 	 (44) (45) (46) . . . (47) (48)
c. More comfortable 	 (501 ($1) (92) . , , 153) (54)

e. Less congested 	 (42) (63] (64) ... (64) (66)
f. M»r« available 	 (68) (69) (TO) . . . (71) |7Z)
g« More flexible (1 can come
and go as I please) . . . 	 (IS) 	 (16) 	 <17) ... 	 (IS) 	 (19) __
h. More relaxing (able to
i. Need ear during the day . ..... (Not Applicable) 	 [Z41 »5) _ _
J. I do not have a driver's
lie*n«» r27) 128) J291 ... . . (Net Avolicablc) *»<
K. Car Is not available when
i •>»»•! 4* f301 1311 I3Z) ..... (Hot ADDlicabie) •• «
t. Other (Specify):
(33) (M) (35) .. . (36) ... (37) .
.Mil
.(«>
.<«*
-{A1> (74-78
,(67) open)
.(73»79(3UO
Cd. Z
^»> D»p.
t-J4
(26)

(3S)
m. Never use ("X" Box) . . . Ql Cft O* <3») • • • D» DZ D» (««>)
Sd. Again, congulting other member! of your household, please rate in order of effectiveness which item*
below you feel would be most effective In encouraging the use of public transporation: (Rate the most
effective item a "1", the next most effective "2", the next "3", etc.)
Children
Items: Husband Wife (Over It Years Old)





•Parking facilities at »top. or stations 	 	 (56) 	 (57) 	 (S«)
Shelters against bad weather at (top*
Better security to assure personal
•»f,ty T - . T 	 «ZI «3I (til
More conveniently located stops
w ,»V,«— . , , 	 1*5* 	 '«» «"

Other (Specify): (71-7* open)
Iff) (*») 	 (TO) 7«ET2*0

D-3

-------
                                                                                                   FIGURE    (CONT'D.
(2-C796)                                                                                     |>.g, J

la.   How would you or other household members feel about traveling to am) from work in a car pool?          '
      ("X" ONE ONLY)                                                                               Dup.
                                       Very interested	Ql                                  1-H
                                       Somewhat interested, . . .Qz  •
                                       Not at all intended . . . .Q3
                                       Already In car ]>ool. , . . .Q4
                                       Do not travel to and from M_
                                          work by car* ••..«. •


ob.   If It became neee»ary to restrict the number of cart on expressways and streets In order to
      reduce pollution and car pools became necessary, how difficult do you think it would be to get
      into one an existing one or organize one amongst your friendi. neighbor! and/or work associates.
      ("X" ONE ONLY)
                                       Extremely difficult	Dl
                                       Very difficult	Qz                                     K
                                       Somewhat difficult	Qj
                                       Somewhat easy ......  »O^
                                       Very easy.
                                       Extremely
                                       Already in car pool ... ,Q7
Extremely caay ...... .1—1*
7.   One of the major causes o-f areas of high pollution Is traffic
     congestion.  Pollution could be reduced if traffic congestion
     and stop-anrf.go traffic was reduced.  Lilted below are
     several ideas for reducing traffic congestion.   Please tell
     me how effective you think rich of these ideaa would be in
     reducing congestion and pollution.   ("X" ONE  BOX  FOR
     EACH IDEA)
            Idea:
        a.  Prohibit parking, loading and unloading on busy streets   Dl    DZ    D*    D*            •'
        b.  Inereasc the number of one-way streets. .•......••   f~ll    f~\2    (")>    Q4            IB
        c.  Establlsli reversible lanes on busy streets to be used     p-i.    r-i*    Pli    PU            1^
                during rush hours. .......••••«.•.......*                        ^^
        a.  Prohibit turns at busy Intersections during rush hour* .   Ql    Q2    D>    D*            20
        e.  Widen major streets	   Dl    O*    D»    D-»            21
        1.  Widen major streets at intersection) only	   D>    DZ    O^    D*            zz
        g.  Provide pedestrian underpasses and/or overpasses ...   Ql    Q&    Q3    Q4            23
        h.  Improve timing of traffic signal	   D'    DZ    D>    D*            M
        {.  Increase tho number and frequency of radio traffic re-
                ports  	   Dl    Qz    Qj    D«            25
        j.  Tarn come existing lanes Into Hbua only" and "car pool
                only" lanes on expressways and busy streets  ... *   Pll    f"T2    Q]3    Q4            26
            Your Ideas (Please List):

            	   D>    QZ    Q3    D*            >'
     Since traffic congestion Is most severe at times when people are going to or comic? from work.
     one alternative for reducing congestion would be to have people start and stop work at different
     times of the day.  That is.  some people would start work at 5:00 AM and quit at 2:00'FM, others
     would work from 7:00 AM to 4 sOO PM. others from 10:00 AM to 7:00 PM. etc. How do you feel about
     this Idea?   ("X" ONE ONLY)
                                       Very much in favor
                                       Somewhat in favor ...
                                       Indifferent	D>                                   28
                                       Somewhat opposed ...
                                       Very much opposed ...
                                 (PLEASE CONTINUE ON THE NEXT PACE)
                                                         D-4

-------
 9d.
lOa.


lOb.
II.
                                                                                                               FIGURE
I'ngc '

  9a.


  9b,


  9e.
                                                                                    U-C796)
Please record the moriel year el each car owned In your household,  (WRITE IN BELOW
UNDER Oa|

]>lrase estimate the number of miles each car was driven In the last year.
(WRITE IN NUMUEIt OF  MILES UNDER Ob BELOW)

For each car, please estimate what pircrntagr of last year's mileage wss accounted for by
driving outside your local  metropolitan area.  (For example, vacation, business trips,
short weekend trips, etc.)  
10b.  Nationwide

      Dl

      R* MS|
       If you have any views or comments regarding any question or idea., pleas* record them:
                                                                                          H6-78 open)
Thank you for your help.  Please cheek your answers and then return the questionnaire to me in the
enclosed postage-paid envelope.
                                                    D-u

-------
1.   All autos made in 1975 and thereafter will be equipped with emmision control devices to reduce air
     pollution.  If in 1975 you owned a car built before that year, '-ow would you feel about a law re-
     quiring you to put emission control equipment which might cost $200 on your car?  ("X"  BELOW)

2.   How would you feel about this law if the coat was reduced by government subsidy to about $50?
     ("X" BELOW)

                                                (130 R)           (160 K)
           Feeling Toward Law:          1.  Cost $200     2.   Cost $50

           Very much in favor of law. .        13. 8%             64. 4%
           Somewhat in favor of law. . .        28. 5              19. 4
           Somewhat against law	        19.2               8. 1
           Very much against law	        38. 5               8. 1


3a.  Even cars properly equipped with enunision control  equipment might still pollute the air if the equip-
     ment was not properly maintained,  How would you  feel about a law requiring periodic inspection of
     the emission control system to assure that it was working properly?   ("X" ONE ONLY)


        Very much in       Somewhat in       Somewhat        Very much
        favor of law        favor of law       against.law       against law

           72. 0%             19. 5%              3. 7%              4. 8%


3b.  Assuming you had to have your car inspected at least once a year, what would you consider a
     reasonable cost for the inspection?  (WRITE IN AMOUNT)
                   $  7.80  (mean)
                                                D-6

-------
3c.   Assuming you h.-id to have ycrar car inspected at least once a year, where do you think the inspection
     should be made?   ("X" ONE  ONLY)
                                                          (162 R)

             At state-operated inspection centers	   45. 1%
             At city-operated inspection centers	    9. 9
             At local service stations or garages	   39. 5
             At some other place  (Specify):                5. 5
      Some respondents thought the federal gove-rnment sh'ould be involved
      in vehicle inspection.  Several thought a form of licensed inspection
      centers or garages could provide this service.
                                       D-7

-------
                                                      To Me This Plan Is;
I . | 1 fc I 13"
II / ° ~l 3 I 3
Even if all aulos were equipped with properly maintained / n> I ul*^!>tf"°/ °*
emission control systems, some cities might glill have auto I Q, /«?•"•' |*<«»,£f/pCjj/ o
air pollution problems due to the large number of cars j g I'*''* l^ *° 5*1 «S*/ U
cither on the streets at the same time or concentrated in 1 o 1 5; S, I-H -2 O I C O 1 g
particular areas. Listed below are several possible ways / "S ifio |J2 £* rt I O rt 1 ^
to reduce pollution under one or both of these conditions. I >> / O u I ** ** 1 |5 1 **»
Please tell me how you feel about each of these proposals. / « 1 W *** 1 «£ *f 1 £
("X" ONE ON EACH LINE) 1^1 II I >
«t.
b.
c.
d.
e.
f.
g-
h.
i.
j-
Proposal +2 Vl 6 C
Ca.s online rationing 	 	 	 3. Z 2. 5 5. 1
Very high ($500) registration fee per auto . 1.3 4. 4 4. 4
Very high ($500) registration fee per auto
but only for the second, third, etc. ,
auto 	 , 	 7. 7 11.5 6. 4
Prohibit traffic and parking in central ^
business districts 	 	 	 36. 7 29- 1 7. 0
A tax on all day parking in central busi- A

A tax on parking in central business dis-
tricts regardless of whether «t person
parked only one hour or all day ........ 15. 1 Z5. 0 9. 9
Tolls on exit ramps of major freeways
Tolls on exit ramps of major freeways
and expressways but only when traffic
was heavy ... 	 	 	 7. 7 9»7 7. 1
Restrictions on non-essential auto travel
during times of high pollution by
issuance of special license plates or
Turn some existing lanes into "bus only"
and "car pool only" lanes on major ^
expressways and streets 	 46. 8 23. 1 6. 9
> -'. -:
A
11.4 7^7.8
7. 6 82. 3
A
14.8 59.6
15.2 12.0
11.9 22.6
A
13.2 36.8
A
10.9 65.0
12.9 62.6
15.8 36.1
9.4 13.8
A  Indicates the weighted mean for each answer.
                                   D-8

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4b.   Which of the proposals listed above would be the moat acceptable?  (Give Letter:)  j - 41. 1%
                                                          '                  d - 35. 8%
4c.   Which would bo most unacceptable?  	    (Give Letter:)  b - 49. 7%
                                                                          ~~a38. 7%
    QUESTIONS 5-8 ASK FOR INFORMATION RELATNG TO OTHER HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS.
    CONSULT THEM, IF NECESSARY,  FOR THE ANSWERS.
5a.  How often do the various members of your household travel by public transportation?  (For ex-
     ample, by bus,  subway,  or commuter train.)                             jgg p\
                                            (141 R)     (163 R)        Children
                                          Husband     Wife     (Over 16 Years Old)

         Three or  more times a week .      29. 8%      24. 5%         24. 2%
         One or two times a. week	        6. 4         9. 7            o. 3
         Once a month	        3.4       15.7            2.1
         Once every three months ....      14. 2        12.8            5.3
         Never	      39-7       37.3          21.1
         No household member	        6.5                      41.0
                                           D-9

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5b.  Please rate each, household member's reason for using public transportation.  (Rate the moat
     important reason "1", the  next most important "2",  the next "3",  etc.  If a household member
     never uses public transportation, "X" the "never use" box at the bottom of the list.) See attached
5c. Pleaoe rate each household member's rea-sons for traveling by auto. Follow the same procedure
as in Question 5b. (WRITE IN BELOW UNDER 5^) See attached
{56 R)
5b. public Transportation
(132 R)
Reasons Husband
a Cheaper 	 9
D Faster 	 10
c. More comfortable . . 3
d. Safer for passenger. 2
e. Less congested 	 6
f. More available 	 8
g. More flexible (1 can
come and go as
h. More relaxing (able
to read while
traveling) 	 7
i. Need car during the
day. 	 	 . .. » NOT
j. I do not have a
driver's license . . 1
k. Car is not available
when I need it .... 4
1. Other (Specify):

Children
(163 R) (Over 16
Wife Years OldJ
9 7
10 6
1 2
3 3
4 1
8 9
6 5
2 3
APPLICABLE - a
5 9
7 7
•*.» „ tti-**tt « _ i e £ / 1 o *» £ 1 / 1 £. 2 ?A/R£
(56 R)
5c. Auto Transportation
Children"
(132 R) (163 R) (Over 16
Husband Wife Years Olc
42 2
867
555
1 1 1
23 3
78 6
678
NOT APPLICABLE - -
344
- - NOT APPLICABLE - -
NOT APPLICABLE - -
QI /!•»•> te./ie.t 17/56
                                                    D-TO

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                     Among the various "other" reasons for use of
                     public transportation three additional items stood
                     out:

                     1.       Convenience
                     2.       Non-availability and cost of parking
                     3.       Many respondents not owning a car.
5c                   The only other reason stated for using the private
                     auto was that many places are not accessible
                     via public transportation.
                                  D-n

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5d.   Again, consulting other members of your household, please rate in order of effectiveness which items
     below you feel would be most effective in encouraging the use of public transporation.   (Kate the most
     effective Horn a "1", the next most effective "2", the next "3", etc.)
         Ranking of individual opinions

        Items;

        Cleaner and newer vehicles. .

        Faster  travel	

        Air-conditioned vehicles  ....

        More frequent service ......

        Lower fares	
        Parking facilities at stops or
          stations	

        Shelters against bad weather
          at stops or stations	
        Better security to assure
          personal safety	
       More conveniently located
          stops and stations	
Husband

    7

    8

    4

    9
8

6

3

7

6
     Children
(Over 16 Years Old)

       6

       8

       4

       9
        Other (Specify):
         Various suggestions for improving the amenity level of public
         transportation were put forward, but the only agreement seemed
         to. be the need to reduce crowding.
                                             D-12

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6a.   How would you or other household members feel about traveling to and from work in & car oool?
     ("X" ONE ONLY)                                                             ^

                                                       (159R)
                     Very interested	      17. 6
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7.    One of the major causes of areas of high pollution is traffic
     congestion.  Pollution could be reduced if traffic congestion
     and atop-and-go traffic was reduced. Listed below are
     several ideas for reducing traffic congestion.   Please tell
     me how effective you think each of these ideas would be in
     reducing congestion and pollution.   ("X" .ONE BOX FOR
     EACH IDEA)

        Idea:

     a.  Prohibit parking, loading and unloading           i
          on busy streets	   61.0    .  29.2     8.5      1.3
     b.  Increase the number of one-way streets ....   24. 8      46. 4    25. 5      3. 3
     c.  Establish reversible lanes o-.t busy streets            .
          to be used during  rush hours	   32.9      38.8-   16.5     11.8
     d.  Prohibit turns at busy intersections during         i
          rush hours	   44. 0      36.7    11.3      8.0
     e.  Widen major streets	   45.4      35.5    11.9      7.2
     f.  Widen major streets at intersections only ..   16.8      46.3    23.5     13.4
     g.  Provide pedestrian underpasses and/or             .
          overpasses	   53.2      32.5    13.0      1.3
    h.  Improve timing of traffic signals  	   55.6      30.5    12.6      1.3
    i.  Increase the number and frequency of
          radio traffic  reports	   23. 0      45. 9    29. 7      1.4
    j.  Turn some existing lanes into "bus only"
          ?nd  "car pool only" lanes  on  express-        ^
          •ways and busy streets	   41.3      39.4    16.7      2.6

        Your ideas (Please  List):
                               (See attached)
     A -  Indicates the weighted mean for each answer.
                                              D-H

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7.             Among the many ideas  suggested several patterns developed.
              The most frequent ideas tended to fall under  one of the
              three following categories:

              1.      Control of traffic flow (active  or passive).
              2.      A limitation on vehicle freedom.
              3.      Improvements needed,
                      (e. g. mass transportation and technological)

              The order of these three categories also reflects the
              magnitude of responses for each idea.
                                                ' »
              Under control of traffic much emphasis was  on forms of active
              control e. g. police enforcement of  laws and  direction of
              traffic, versus more passive controls such as left turn
              lanes, staggered lights , and through traffic lanes.   Only a
              couple  of respondents considered economic controls on
              traffic, such as higher tolls.

              The need for improvements in mass transportation e. g.
              more frequent service,cheaper,  etc. , and  a  secondary
              interest in technological improvements dominated, the
              improvements category.
                                 D-15

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8.    Since traffic congestion is most severe at times when people are going to or coming from work,
     one alternative for reducing congestion would be to have people start and stop work at different
     timcB of the day. That is, some people would start work at 5:00 AM and quit at 2:00 PM, others
     would work from 7:00 AM to 4:00 PM. others from 10:00 AM to  7;00 PM. etc. How do you feel about
     this idea?   ("X" ONE ONLY)                                                V

                     Very much in favor	    43. 7%
                     Somewhat in favor	    26. 6
                     Indifferent	    10. 1
                     Somewhat opposed	    10.1
                     Very much opposed	      9. 5
 9a.   Please record the model year of each car owned in your household.  (WRITE IN BELOW
      UNDER 9a)
 9b.   Please estimate the number of miles each car was driven in the last year.
      (WRITE IN NUMBER OF  MILES UNDER 9b BELOW)
 9c.   For each car, please estimate what percentage of last year's mileage w?s accounted for by
      driving outside your local metropolitan area.   (For example, vacation, business trips,
      short weekend trips, etc.)  (WRITE IN BELOW UNDER 9c)

                                           9b.                   9c.
                           9a.         Last Year's    Percentage of Mileage
                      Model Year      Mileage        Outside Local. Area

          Car #1  (126 R)   1969        12,019                    33%

          Car #2  (55 R)     1967         9,708                    22

          Car #3  ( 7 R)    1970         8, 166                    38

          Car #4  (2 R)  No model      5,750                    23
                      (1967 or  1970)
                                          D-16

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  9d.   How many licensed drivers are there in your household?  (WRITE IN)



                  Number of Licensed Drivers:      1-75  (157 R)
 9c.   If better public transportation were available, would you consider disposing of any of the
       cars you own?


          Yes       10.1%
          Maybe    10.1        9f.  How many? (WRITE IN)   *• °5	cars
          No        79. 9
lOa.   Overall, how serious a problem do you think auto air pollution is in your city?  ("X" ONE BOX
      UNDER lOa BEUOW)
lOb.   Overall, how serious a problem do you think auto air pollution is nationwide?  ("X" ONE BOX
      UNDER lOb BELOW)

                                               (160 R)             (154 R)
                                            lOa.  City     lOb.  Nationwide

         Very serious problem	         48- 8%            42- 9*
         Serious problem	         26.9              42.2
         Slightly serious problem...         17.4              14. 3
         No problem at all	          6. 9                0. 6
                                         D-17

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11.   If you have any views or comments regarding any question or idea, please record them:
      Central City Comments:

      The range of suggestions was quite broad.  Two more frequently
      mentioned topics were mass transportation and the need for
      technological innovations.

      Need for stricter control of vehicles was mentioned particularly with
      reference to trucks and buses.  Some limitation in free access to the
      city by all vehicles was suggested in several responses.  The use of
      peripheral parking areas being another suggestion.

      A note of pessimism regarding future legislation was voiced by  several
      respondents regarding the influence of lobbys and special  interest
      groups.

      Suburban Comments:

      The respondents from outside the city proper also showed a great concern
      for limiting pollution.  Most favored strict regulation,  some suggesting
      state inspections,  large fines,  and strong enforcement of  existing laws.

      Frequently the blame for pollution was passed to other polluters such
      as trucks, buses,  factories suggesting that many respondents don't
      believe that private autos are a major factor in contributing to the
      pollution problem.   Many seemed to put their faith in the "potential"
      technological innovations possible in pollution  control.

      A need for increased  efficiency,  speed,  and personal safety on public
      transportation was pointed out.  The trend of the comments was for
      stronger enforcement and control of pollution standards and licensing
      requirements.  Lacking from the  comments was more  than one
      respondent suggesting that private vehicles freedom of access to the
      city should be in any way limited.
                                    D-18

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               APPENDIX E

  LIST OF CONTROL MEASURES COMPILED BY
NEW YORK CITY DEPARTMENT OF AIR RESOURCES

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Strategy ffl:  Vehicle Turnover   Reliance on Federal New Car Emission Standards

Discussion:  Federal light duty vehicle emission standards for new cars are
             becoming increasingly more stringent; by 1975 carbon monoxide and
             hydrocarbon emission levels are to be reduced by 90% compared with
             1970  levels, while by 1976 oxides of nitrogen emissions are to be
             reduced by 90% from 1971 levels.  Thus, the replacement of existing,
             relatively high-polluting vehicles by newer, lower-polluting vehicles
             through normal attrition will gradually reduce the average emission
             rate  of the passenger car population.

Goal:  Reduce average air pollutant emission rate of vehicle population.

Emissions Reduction Potential:  If the emission control systems of vehicles in
                                use are maintained so as to effect continued
                                emission rates within the new car standards, the
                                average carbon monoxide and hydrocarbon emission
                                rates for the passenger car population should
                                decrease yearly about 6.5 percent of uncontrolled
                                (1967) levels, until about 1980.  The correspon-
                                ding nitrogen oxide emission rates should decrease
                                at about half this rate until 1975 and at about
                                7.5 percent of 196? rates per year thereafter
                                until 1980.

Projected Impact on Air Quality:  In the absence of strategies altering total
                                  vehicle miles travelled, average operating
                                  speed, and vehicle mode mix, vehicle turnover
                                  would produce the following air quality improve-
                                  ments by 1977 (compared with 1970):  CO - 40%;
                                  HC - 25%; NOjj - 157.

Time to Implement:  This turnover is already underway as owners discard old
                    vehicles and purchase newer ones at the rate of approximately
                    10% per year.

Location Affected:  Vehicle turnover will reduce emission rates throughout the
                    metropolitan area of greater importance than the area-wide
                    changes, however, is the impact on New York City's CBD's.
                    There is evidence that present vehicle emission control
                    systems do not work well in driving situations like those In
                    Manhattan.  Thus, this strategy may be less effective in the
                    CBD's where ambient levels of vehicle-related pollutants are
                    greatest.
Technical Feasibility:
The effectiveness of this strategy depends on maintenance
of the emission control systems of vehicles in use.   Estab-
lishment of annual emissions inspection of registered
vehicles would assure continued performance of emission
controls.  In the absence of such a system the effectiveness
of this strategy would be dependent on surveillance  programs
by EPA.  To date they do not have funding or staff adequate
for a surveillance program.
                                   E-l

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                                   - 2 -

Institutional Feasibility:  Implementation is dependent only upon Federal EPA
                            enforcing the mandate of the Clean Air Act of 1970
                            and refusing to grant extensions to the auto manu-
                            facturers for compliance with emission standards.

Implementing Agent:  United States Environmental Protection Agency.

Legal Authority:  Clean Air Act.

Action Required:  Provide technical backup to USEPA efforts.

Enforcement:  Procedures are prescribed for USEPA in Sections 203, 204, 2O5, 206,
              207 and 208 of the Clean Air Act.

Relationship to Other Strategies:   Effectiveness of this strategy will be greatly
                                  enhanced by periodic emissions inspections
                                  (strategies #3 and #5).

Expected Costs to Implement:  No direct costs; indirect costs only to the extent
                              required to provide technical backup to Federal
                              enforcement efforts.

Studies Required:  None

Implementation Schedule:   None
                                      E-2

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                                  #2-1

Strategy #2.  Heavy Duty Vehicle Retrofit

Discussion:  Regulation of emission  levels from new vehicles over 6,000 pounds
             gross vehicle weight (GVW) has lagged far behind efforts to control
             light duty vehicle emissions.

             The  first action  to regulate such vehicles was the promulgation on
             September 8, 1972 of standards for vehicles over 6,000 pounds GVW
             powered  by diesel or gasoline engines.  The emission standards apply
             first to 1974 model year vehicles.

             As a result of  the absence of emission rate limitations coupled with
             inefficient operating characteristics these vehicles are a major
             pollution source  in midtown and downtown Manhattan and in the CBD's
             of the other boroughs.  They will constitute an even greater percentage
             of the pollution  problem in future years as light duty vehicles are
             better controlled.  In  order to significantly reduce these emissions,
             retrofitting of emission controls is essential.

Goal:  Reduce average emission rate  of commercial vehicle population.
Emissions Reduction Potential:
                                It should be possible to reduce emission rates for
                                CO, HC and NOX from gasoline-powered vehicles by
                                50% of their present, uncontrolled values.
Projected Impact on Air Quality:  The  effect on air quality will vary with location
                                  in the city.  The impact would be greatest in
                                  CBD's where truck use is heaviest in particular
                                  downtown Manhattan, Bronx and Queens.  In such
                                  areas projected air quality improvements are:
                                  CO - 25%; HC - 20%; NOX - 5%.  Borough-wide pro-
                                  jected improvements are:  Manhattan: CO - 12%,
                                  HC - 10%, NOX - 2%;  Bronx: CO - 5%, HC   4%,
                                  NOx  - 2%;  Brooklyn: CO - 7%, HC   5%, NO* - 3%;
                                  Queens: CO - 8%, HC - 6%, NOx - 3%; Richmond:
                                  CO - 15%, HC - 12%, NOX - 5%.
Time to Implement:
Location Affected:
                    By January 1, 1974, jthe retrofit device or devices should be
                    selected and implementation can begin.  Full implementation
                    should be completed by January, 1975.

                    The primary impact of this strategy will be felt in the CBD's
                    where'motor vehicle pollution is most severe, since these areas
                    are where truck activity is concentrated.  (SEE: "Projected
                    Impact")

Technical Feasibility:  Since no emission controls have been employed on this class
                        of vehicles to date the potential for emission reduction is
                        great.  Development studies must be pursued, however, to
                        demonstrate device effectiveness.  The Bureau of Motor
                        Vehicle Pollution Control of the New York City Department
                        of Air Resources is currently engaged in such a study.  It
                                    £-3

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                                #2-2

                         appears necessary  that & general restriction of lead in
                         gasoline will also be required to minimize deterioration
                         of  retrofit devices.

 Institutional Feasibility:  Any retrofit program is dependent on periodic inspec-
                            tion and maintenance since controls will not generally
                            compensate for engine malfunction.  There may be
                            trucking industry opposition to imposition of combined
                            inspection and retrofit requirements.  We must also
                            provide a mechanism for retrofitting those trucks not
                            registered in NYC but which do business in NYC.  Many
                            such vehicles  cross over from New Jersey daily.  Suit-
                            able arrangements must be made with the State of New
                            Jersey and the Port of New York Authority,

 Implementing Agent:  The state Departments of Motor Vehicles and Transportation are
                     now responsible for safety inspection of trucks.  They would
                     also be responsible for emissions inspection and presumably for
                     retrofit requirements, with technical guidance from the State
                     Department of Environmental Conservation.

 Legal Authority:  Authority for annual inspection of all vehicles now exists.
                  Legislation is being proposed to amend the State Vehicle and
                  Traffic Law to require more frequent inspections as required by
                  greater mileage accumulation by commercial vehicles.  Authority
                  for requiring retrofitting is a separate issue and is also being
                  sought through amendment of the Vehicle and Traffic Law.

Action Required:  State legislation must amend law to provide for mandatory retro-
                  fitting and more frequent inspection of commercial vehicles.
                  Arrarigements must be made with the Port of New York Authority
                  (probably also in the form of legislation) to impose the strategy
                  on vehicles entering the State at NYC river crossings.   The NYC
                  Bureau of Motor Vehicle Pollution Control must prove effectiveness
                  of retrofit technology.  To insure cooperation of commercial
                  interests a mechanism must be set up in the form of educational
                  programs for fleet owners and mechanics and general public infor-
                  mation effort.

Enforcement:  Vehicles equipped with retrofit emission controls would be  appropriately
              marked.  The New York City Police Department would issue tickets  to
              drivers of trucks not bearing the sticker.   Vehicles registered in the
              city would be denied re-registration without a retrofit sticker.   The
              Port of New*York Authority would charge a daily use fee of  $25.00 for
              a vehicle not retrofitted which passes through a tunnel or  over a
              bridge to the city.

Relationship to Other Strategies:  Implementation would be greatly facilitated by
                                  Strategy #4, Emissions Inspection of Heavy Duty
                                  Vehicles.
                                       E-4

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                               #2 - 3

Expected Costs to Implement:  Direct costs of bookkeeping involved in issuance of
                              stickers: $150,000 per year; enforcement efforts:
                              $100,000 per year; education programs:  $100,000 per
                              year; revenue from fines and daily permits:  $500,000
                              per year.  Indirect costs include an initial cost of
                              $100 and an annual maintenance cost of $40 per vehicle.

Studies Required:  Completion of device evaluation by Bureau of Motor Vehicle Pol-
                   lution Control.

Implementation Schedule:  By July, 1973 have legislation to authorize implementation.
                          By January, 1974 devices should be evaluated and approved.
                          By January, 1975 installation should be required and enforce-
                          ment begun.                   , *
                                       E-5

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Strategy  #3:  Thrice-yearly Emissions Inspection of All Livery Vehicles

Discussion:  All combustion engines and all known emission control
             devices for these engines require periodic maintenance,
             and the only way to ensure that it is performed is to
             inspect the vehicles on a periodic basis.  Furthermore,
             vehicle fuel economy and drivabilitj tend to improve as
             emission control devices deteriorate and there is a builtin
             tendency to either allow deterioration to take place or to
             deliberately disconnect these devices.  Therefore periodic
             inspection is essential to assure continued functioning of
             control devices.

             Efforts to control livery vehicles are particularly
             important for the Manhattan Midtown CBD where they
             represent about 70% of annual vehicle miles travelled.

Goal:  To insure livery vehicles comply with federal exhaust emission
       standards.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:
Location Affected:
After administrative approval inspection facilities
can be readied in four months. .Effectiveness will
be gradual and dependent upon upgrading of mechanics
which would require extensive training programs.

Will have its major effect in Midtown Manhattan where
taxicab mileage is highest and motor vehicle pollu-
tion is very severe.
Technical Feasibility:
    The Taxi and Limousine Commission in cooperation
    with the NYC Department of Air Resources, have
    designed a centralized safety, emission, noise
    and meter inspection facility with a capacity
    sufficient for all livery activities.  A suitable
    building has been obtained for the facility
    (it has been leased by the City with an option
    to buy) and can be ready for operation within ,
    six months of project approval.
                                 E-G

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                                 - 2 -
Institutional Feasibility:  The livery service industry is opposed to
                            outside control and has,  so far,  been
                            successful in delaying implementation of
                            this program.  The recent Board of Estimate
                            decision to reject the current proposal for
                            a central inspection facility (the least
                            costly design) is one indication of the
                            problems to be faced in implementing this
                            control strategy.

Implementing Agent:  NYC Taxi and Limousine Commission

Legal Authority:  Exists

Action Required:  Must secure funding.  The Taxi and Limousine Commission
                  with the assistance of the Mayor's office will resubmit
                  another proposal to the Board of Estimate and to the
                  City Council for their consideration.  The T & LC must
                  prepare a series of designs to show the comparative
                  costs of centralized versus de-centralized facilities
                  and they and the NYC EPA must "sell" this program to
                  those City officials, that have previously opposed
                  such a program.  At the same time the City and the
                  State DEC must meet with all livery service interests
                  to discuss the issues.  Of particular importance here
                  is the preparation and distribution of a document
                  describing the need for an emissions test facility,
                  the benefits available to the industry and to the City
                  and the projected costs.

Enforcement:  Responsibility of the Taxi and Limousine Commission with
              periodic facility checks by the City's Bureau of Motor
              Vehicle Pollution Control.

Relationship to Other Strategies:  Independent

Expected Cost:

Studies Required:

Implementstion Schedule:
                                 E-7

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 Strategy #4:   Heavy Duty Vehicle Emission Inspection

 Discussion:   Engine deterioration results in severe increases in the
              emission rates of vehicles in use.  Periodic emissions
              inspection  identifies those vehicles which need maintenance
              to minimize emission rates.  Inspection standards would be
              set according to vehicle age and size and would recognize
              three  additional categories.

              (a)  1974 and later model vehicles would be inspected to
                  assure continued compliance with federal standards
                  applicable when new and for the "useful life" of the
                  vehicle.

              (b)  Retrofitted vehicles would oe inspected to determine
                  presence of approved control device and compliance
                  with emission standards.

              (c)  Vehicles for which retrofit was not mandated would
                  have to meet emission standards established as con-
                  sistent with reasonable maintenance of vehicles in
                  the size, engine type, and age class.

             Because the high mileage accumulation typical of commercial
             vehicles causes an annual emissions contribution out of
             proportion to their number, emissions inspection should be
             required twice yearly.

Goal:  Insure that the commercial vehicle population complies with
       Federal emission standards where they exist and with reasonable
       minimum levels in the absence of applicable Federal regulations.

Emissions Reduction Potential:  As a strategy distinct from mandatory
                                retrofitting inspection would reduce the
                                commercial vehicle population average
                                emission rate for CO and HC by 5 to
                                from present levels.
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
              City-wide air quality improvements would
              be 1 to 2% for CO and HC and CBD
              improvements up to 5% for CO and
              somewhat less for HC.
Time to Implement:
Location Affected:
A year will be required to develop inspection
procedures and the legal authority.  Construction
of facilities and program start-up would require a
year.  Inspection should begin in January 1975.

Will have maximum effect on the total emission
levels and air quality in CBD's throughout the City.
                                 E-8

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                                  - 2  -


Technical  Feasibility:   Appropriate test cycles and emission rate
                         standards must be developed, but this will not
                         be a difficult or lengthy process.

Institutional  Feasibility:  Although  this strategy is consistent with
                            present safety inspection policies of the
                            State Departments of Motor Vehicles and
                            Transportation, and the Public Service
                            Commission, there are indications that the
                            state legislature may not adopt the program
                            because of the fiscal situation and possible
                            political opposition.  Trucking interests,
                            including not only unions and drivers but
                            also  shippers and receivers, may be expected
                            to  oppose this legislation.

                            There is  a major institutional loophole in
                            the strategy in that a large number of trucks
                            registered in New Jersey do business in NYC.
                            Present law requires NYS registration for
                            any vehicle which carries goods between two
                            points both in the state, but enforcement is
                            very  difficult.  This potential loophole can
                            be  closed by a sticker system as proposed
                            under strategy #2, Heavy Duty Vehicle Retrofit,
                            or  by a reciprocal law in New Jersey.

Implementing Agent:  State Department of Motor Vehicles and Public Service
                     Coranission.

Legal Authority:  Legislation is  being sought to expand the present
                  safety inspection requirements to cover ^missions and
                  at more frequent (twice-annual) intervals.

Action Required:  The State Legislature must amend the Vehicle and
                  Traffic Law and the Public Service Law to require
                  emissions inspections and twice-yearly inspections.
                  A cooperative or reciprocal law must be established
                  in New Jersey.  The USEPA must develop emissions test
                  procedures for  medium (6000 to 16000 pounds, GVW) and
                  heavy  (over 16000 pounds GVW) duty vehicles.  The NYC
                  Bure.au of Motor Vehicle Pollution Control can provide
                  technical assistance on this matter.

Enforcement:  The responsibility  belongs to the State Department of
              Motor Vehicles and  the  State Public Service Commission
              through their powers to issue inspection stickers pre-
              requisite  to registration.
                                 E-9

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                                 - 3 -


Relationship to Other Strategies:  This strategy would support strategy
                                   #2, Heavy Duty Vehicle Retrofit.

Expected Costs to Implement:  Direct costs to set up and run an emissions
                              inspection program for heavy duty vehicles
                              registered in NYC are estimated to be:
                              capital construction $1 million; annual
                              operation $500,000.

                              Indirect costs based on increased main-
                              tenance costs to vehicle owners are
                              impossible to calculate and would be at
                              least partially offset by improved operating
                              efficiency of the vehicles.

Studies Required:   Test procedure development by federal EPA and by NYC
                   Bureau of Motor Vehicle Pollution Control.   Emissions
                   survey to establish standards by state  Department  of
                   Environmental  Conservation by NYC BMVPC.

Implementation Schedule:  By July, 1973,  legislative authority to conduct
                          emissions inspections twice-yearly,  and start
                          of emissions survey of heavy duty vehicles.   By
                          January 1974 begin construction  of facility,
                          purchase of equipment and hiring of  personnel.
                          January 1975 begin inspections.
                                 E-10

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                                  Sa-1

Strategy ttSa; Passenger Vehicle Emission Inspection

Discussion:  The use of private passenger vehicles is much lesser than that of
             commercial vehicles in the congested central business districts where
             automotive emissions are most significant.  The "city-wide" pattern of
             usage of  these vehicles, however, cannot permit these sources to be
             ignored.  Passenger cars should comp'.y with the appropriate Federal
             new car certification standards.  Since these increasingly stringent
             standards have resulted in more compleJt control systems, proper mainte-
             nance and adjustments are of great importance.  An annual emissions
             inspection is the surest method to assure this maintenance and to avoid
             excessive emissions.

Goal:  Ensure that passenger vehicles comply with Federal emission standards.
Emissions Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
                                If  the passenger vehicles are not maintained so as
                                to  effect continued emission rates within  the new
                                car standards, the anticipated yearly decreases in
                                exhaust emissions resulting from normal vehicle
                                turnover should be expected to be reduced  by one-
                                half.

                                  In the absence of strategies altering total vehicl
                                  miles travelled, average operating speed, and
                                  vehicle mode mix, and assuming normal vehicle turr
                                  over emissions inspection would assure the impact
                                  attributed  to Strategy #1 , vehicle turnover.  In
                                  the absence of this strategy, those improvements
                                  by 1977 would be cut by about half to: CO - 20%,
                                  HC - 13%, NOx - 8%.
Time to Implement:   Given approval  by  the  legislature by July, 1973, construction oi
                     the  system  could be completed by July of 1974 and the inspectioi
                     system could  be fully  functioned" by January, 1975.  However,
                     effectiveness is dependent upon the ability of service industry
                     to respond  by training mechanics and technicians.   Though this
                     effort already  has been started voluntarily by the industry, it
                     will probably take two years to reach full effectiveness.

Location Affected:   The  impact  would be area-wide but would be greatest primarily i
                     non-CBD areas where passenger cars represent a large part of to
                     vehicle miles travelled.
Technical Feasibility:
                        Equipment  is readily available and there is enough experier
                        in  this  field to determine an appropriate quick test proce-
                        dure.  Since emissions testing would be an expensive progre
                        it  would be advantageous to establish inspection stations t.
                        testing  could be done on an assembly line basis rather thar
                        by  service stations or garages.
                                  £-11

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                                   5a-2

 Institutional  Feasibility:  State legislature is apparently opposed for budgeting
                            reasons.  The auto clubs may be opposed.  The State
                            Departments of Motor Vehicles and Environmental Conser-
                            vation favor setting up a system.

 Implementing Agent:  State Department of Motor Vehicles with technical guidance of
                     State Department of Environmental Conservation and New York
                     City of Air Resources.

 Legal Authority:  Authority for enforcing emissions standards at periodic safety
                  inspection now exists.  Authority to establish system of stations
                  on a franchise basis is being sought through amendment of the State
                  Vehicle and Traffic Law.

 Action Required:  Passage of enabling legislation for franchise operation.  Securing
                  of capital to construct system.  The Clean Air Act states that
                  Federal support may be provided for up to 2/3's the cost of
                  constructing and operating the system.  Pressure should be brought
                  to bear on Congress to authorize expenditure of funds to support
                  the New York State program.  This requires State/Federal lobbying
                  by the New York City Division of Air Resources and the New York
                  State Department of Environmental Conservation.

 Enforcement:  State Department of Motor Vehicles with assistance from New York City
              Police Department in metropolitan area.

 Relationship to Other Strategies:  This strategy is important for the effectiveness
                                   of Strategy #1, Vehicle Turnover.

 Expected Costs to Implement:   Direct Costs;  It is estimated that 64 testing lanes
                              are needed to test all light duty passenger vehicles
                              in New York City.   Capital construction costs would be
                              $8.3 million; annual operating co.sts would be $4.5
                              million.  The per vehicle inspection cost would be
                              about $3.00.

                              Indirect Costs;  If it is assumed that 475,000 passenger
                              vehicles fail the inspection in 1975 (approx. failure
                              rate 33%) and are repaired at an average cost of $20 per
                              vehicle, the total cost to vehicle owners would be $9.5
                              million.  Some of this expenditure would be offset by
                              improved operating efficiency.

Studies Required:  Establishment of vehicle population emissions baseline upon which
                   standards for older vehicles will be based (1972 and later model
                   vehicles are warranted to meet federal standards).

Implementation Schedule:   By July, 1973 passage of legislation for franchise operation.
                          By January, 1974 begin construction.  January, 1975 begin
                          emissions inspection prerequisite to re-registration.
                                       E-12

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Strategy 5b:  Mechanic Training

Discussion:  All strategies aimed at control of vehicle emission rates are dependent
             on the capability of the automotive service industry to provide necessary
             maintenance of the vehicle populations affected.  The industry is
             presently overloaded and mechanics generally do not know how and are not
             motivated to repair or tune engines for emissions reduction.  It is thus
             essential that special programs be undertaken to train and motivate the
             service industry.

Goal:  To achieve minimum emission rates from vehicles in use.
Emission Reduction Potential:
Without adequate mechanic training none of the other
vehicle emission control-strategies will achieve their
projected emissions reductions.  Thus, without this
strategy the reductions from these other strategies
will be about one-half that given.
Projected Impact on Air  Quality:
   Similarly, without mechanic training, air quality
   improvements of the other strategies will be cut
   to about one-half.
Time to Implement:  Preparation of  training materials and programs will require six
                    months.  Training can  then begin immediately and the present
                    mechanic population  can be exposed to the program to a greater
                    or  lesser extent  within two years.  Thereafter this will become
                    a regular part  of the  mechanic's training.

Location Affected:  Entire area.

Technical Feasibility:  Development of optimum teaching techniques will require some
                        experience.

Institutional Feasibility:  There may be some opposition from older mechanics who are
                            required  to  undergo training or who may be displaced by
                            others  trained in school.

Implementing Agent:  New  York City  Division of Air Resources and New York State
                     Department of  Environmental Conservation.

Legal Authority:  None  required unless certification of mechanics is instituted.
                  This  possibility  is being investigated.

Action Required:  Preparation of text and  film materials, hiring of instructors, and
                  scheduling of training programs.

Enforcement:  The market  place will enforce this strategy as vehicle owners, forced
              to meet emission standards,  seek mechanics trained (and possibly
              certified)  for emission system repairs.

Relationship to Other Strategies:  This  strategy is crucial for the success of ail
                                    the other vehicle emission control strategies.
                                       E-13

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                                  5b-2

Expected Costs to Implement:   Direct costs for materials  $100,000 initially;  for
                              instructors $100,000 per year.

Studies Required:  None

Implementation Schedule:   Prepare materials and hire  and  train instructors  by
                          July,  1973;  July, 1973,  begin retraining and training
                          programs;  January, 1975  phase-out retraining.
                                     E-14

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Strategy   5c:   Diesel Bus Maintenance and Inspection

Discussion:   Improperly maintained diesel  buses  emit  significant
             amounts of smoke and foul smelling  gases.   In  fact,
             the great majority of citizen complaints about mobile
             source emissions concern buses.   The most  effective
             means of reducing smoke and oder  from  these vehicles
             is an effective maintenance program enforced through
             mandatory inspections.

Goal:   Reduce smoke and odor from diesel buses.

Emission Reduction Potential:  Noxious smoke and odors  from diesel
                               buses can be largely eliminated by
                               a program of effective maintenance.
                                                t
Projected Impact on Air Quality:  Minimal  on an  areawide basis but
                                  very substantial  in terms of per-
                                  ceived improvement.

Time to Implement:  Improved maintenance can be  initiated immediately;
                    inspection procedures  will not  be available until
                    1974.

Location Affected:  Will affect all areas  of the city which are people-
                    congested because it is here that bus use is most
                    dense,

Technical Feasibility:  With proper training of  fleet mechanics, proper
                        repair and adjustment  should  ba routine.

Institutional Feasibility:  No difficulty. MTA  presently has authority.

Implementing Agent:  Metropolitan Transportation Authority.

Legal  Authority:  MTA has the authority.

Action Required:  Convince MTA to adopt such a program.

Enforcement:   MTA

Relationship to Other Strategies:  Independent.
                               E-15

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 Strategy  #6  -  Strict  enforcement of existing traffic regulations

 Discussion:  Many laws now exist which would, if properly enforced,
             would reduce congestion.  Also, there are regulations
             authorizing bus priorities on certain avenues in
             Manhattan.  These laws include prohibition of taxi
             cruising, entering full intersections, making
             forbidden turns, etc.

 Goal:  To insure that existing traffic regulations are enforced,
       in order to ease the flow of traffic.

 Emission Reduction Potential:

 Projected Impact on Air Quality:

 Time to Implement:  Immediately for moving violations.  Intersection
                    and parking control requires additional staff,
                    which could probably be deployed within 6 months.

 Location Affected:  Moving Violations: whole city.  Parking Violations
                    and Intersection Control:  at first, congested
                    CBD areas in all five boroughs, then the whole
                    city if required.

 Technical Feasibility:  No problems.

 Institutional Feasibility:  Would require more traffic manpower.
                            Creation of a paraprofessional traffic
                            enforcement group would virtually be
                            a necessity, since street crime is the
                            current focus of police wbrk.

 Implementing Agent:   Police Department, with support from the Mayor.
                     N.Y.C. Traffic Department should be included.
Legal Authority:  Since statutes are existing, new authority is
                  not required.

Action Required:  Contact must be made with the Department of Traffic
                  and the Police Department, in order to set up
                  enforcement implementation schedule.

Enforcement:  Police superiors must take responsible charge of their
              men and paraprofessionals, if any.  NYS D.E.C. dnd NYC
              D.A.R. wzll make periodic checks.
Relationship to Other Strategies:
  7.  Banning all Cars in CBD          11.  Regulating Vehicle Mix
  8.  Parking Reduction                12.  Motor Vehicle User Fees
  9.  Through-Movement Streets         23.  Consolidation
 10.  Exclusive Bus Lanes              25.  After-Hours Goods Delivery

                               E-16

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Strategy #6 - continued

Expected Costs to Implement:
             Direct Costs:

             Indirect costs:

Studies Required:  None

Implementation Schedule:
                               E-17

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 Strategy  #7 - Banning of private automobiles from the central
              business districts of Manhattan during the work day.

 Discussion:  There can be no talk of genuine environmental concern
             without introducing this most fundamental method of
             motor vehicle pollution control.  Removing the source
             of emissions and freeing congestion for essential
             vehicles so that each of them pollutes less is clearly
             the most fundamental control strategy.  The removal of
             the 15% of the vehicle population comprised of private
             cars will greatly facilitate flow of more essential
             vehicles, such as emergency vehicles, buses, and trucks.

 Goal:  To reduce vehicle congestion in CBD's.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:
Location Affected:
Ninety days' warning should be sufficient.
Additional time might be necessary should
the opposition seek injunctive relief.

The area of Manhattan south of 61st Street,
with the following exceptions: (1) the FDR
Drive; (2) the West Side Highway; (3) a well-
defined minimum path between the Midtown Tun-
nel and the FDR Drive, the Lincoln and Holland
Tunnels to the West Side Highway, and the 59th
Street Bridge to the FDR Drive.
Technical Feasibility:
    Initially large congestion, especially
    around Manhattan Island, is expected.  It
    is also expected that sufficient trip dim-
    inution will occur so that congestion will
    not remain unbearable for long.  It is felt
    that traffic patterns will readjust to min-
    imize stress, and that traffic will there-
    fore proceed in an orderly fashion to avoid
    Manhattan.
Institutional Feasibility:
        Strong opposition expected from Brooklyn
        and Queens Borough Presidents, American
        Automobile Association (Auto. Clubf of
        N.Y.), and operators of gasoline stations
        and parking garages in Manhattan.  Demon-
        stration of advantages may assuage Boro
        Presidents; documentation of costs df
        autos to non-drivers will probably be
        essential to blunt the force of the AAA.
        Compensation under eminent domain will be
        required to satisfy businesses dependent
            E-18

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Strategy #7 - continued

Institutional Feasibility:  on automobile servicing.  Negotiation
                            required for MD's, DPL's, FC's.  City
                            vehicles that are not emergency vehicles
                            (fire, police, etc.)  would be included
                            in the ban.

Implementing Agent:  Mayor's Office and Department of Traffic.

Legal Authority:  Exists.

Action Required:  Technical committee must be designated from EPA,
                  EDA, TAD  (Traffic Dept. and Planning Office), CPC,
                  and Mayor's Office,  Committee will prepare imple-
                  mentation work program for" submission to Mayor.
                  Committee will also plan alternate routing strategic
                  for cars and devise information dissemination plan
                  for alerting drivers to public transit options.
                  Compensate by instituting additional express bus
                  routes.  Prepare rebuttal to opposition; if necessar
                  institute injunctive reiief (prior to filing).  Majc
                  public information job required.

Enforcement: Department of Traffic,

Relationship to Other Strategies:
    16  Enforcement                       til  Regulating Vehicle Mix
    #8  Parking Reduction  (contingency)   f!2  Motor Vehicle User Fees
    i9  Through-Movement Streets          if2 5  After-Hours Goods
           (contingency)                        Delivery (contingency)
                                          131  University Liaison

Expected Costs to Implement:

     Direct Costs:
     Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:  Demonstration project would be more promising
                   than a study.

Implementation Schedule:
                             E-19

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 Strategy  18  -  Reduction in the /cumber of parking spaces in CBD's,
               either by fiat or by punitive taxation  (example: 100
               percent parking tax).  Elimination of all on-street
               parking in CBD during business hours, and incentives
               to garage operators to abandon existing off-street lots
               of critical locations.  Freeze on granting new permits
               to operate off-street lots.  Concomitant effort to
               develop city-wide parking policy with approval of all
               concerned agencies is absolutely essential to success
               of this control strategy.

 Discussion:  This strategy is a contingency plan to f7, the banning
             of all cars from CBD during business hours.  However,
             there is a further disincentive included for non-
             business hours and weekends: there will be fewer places
             where one will be able to park his car, since off-street
             lots will be reduced in number.  This will also provide
             a disincentive to own or use a car in Manhattan.  .Must
             be accompanied by peripheral parking facilities at
             transit interchanges, kiss-ride stations, etc.

Goal:  To reduce vehicle congestion in CBD's.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Extensive litigation from garage operators
                    expected; however, other implementation times
                    are minimal.  Sixty day warning should be
                    sufficient with good media coverage.

Location Affected:  First phase:  All CBD's.  Second phase:  Entire
                    city.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.  Manhattanites who
                        insist on having cars will have to simply
                        pay higher garage rates, or store them out-
                        side of Manhattan where there is more room
                        for their storage and operation.

Institutional Feasibility:  AAA and garage operators will pxofcpbly
                            complain, along with wealthy businessmen.
                            Unless litigation ensues, there will pro-
                            bably be just a lot of hard feeling and
                            little adverse institutional effect.
                            Public transportation will, o'f course,
                            have to be promoted and improved and per-
                            haps the Transit Authority and the MTA can
                            see here a golden opportunity to "sell"  tb*
                            transit system to the public,

                              E-20

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Strategy #8 - continued
Implementing Agents:
    Consumer' Affairs,  Dept.  of Traffic,  Police
    Dept.
Legal Authority:
Action Required:
Dept. of Traffic has authority to control on-street
parking.  Consumer Affairs Dept.  licenses garages.
City Planning Commission has power to condemn.

TAD and EDA should begin to make liaison with
licensing agency for garages (Consumer Affairs),
and prepare economic and transportation arguments
for minimizing parking (DAR can help on this)  TAD,
EDA, EPA, CPC, and other interested agencies must
get together to decide on a city-wide parking
strategy, with all agencies' approval.  Requires
major selling effort with substantial documentation
supporting concept.
Enforcement: Police Dept. and Consumer Affairs.
Relationship to Other Strategies:
     7.  Banning all cars  (contingency) 13.
     9 .  Through movement streets       22 .
    11.  Regulating vehicle mix         24.
    12.  Motor vehicle user fees        31.
                           East River tolls
                           Staggering hours and days
                           Terminal design
                           University Liaison
Expected Costs to Implement:
          Direct Costs:
          Indirect Costs:




Studies Required:  None

Implementation Schedule:
                             E-21

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 Strategy 19 - Designation of certain crosstown streets in Manhattan
              for through movement only.
Discussion:
             Upgrading certain streets to full-fledged arterials
             with limited-access seems to be an acceptable alter-
             native to freeways slicing through Midtown.  However,
             this is another contingency plan for banning all cars
             during business hours.  Here, however, Saturday and
             possible Sunday traffic reductions and improvements
             could be substantial.  Vehicles could not turn off
             until reaching the river.  All parking would be pro-
             hibited from these preferred acpess streets; truck
             deliveries would be schedulized and minimized, with
             possible relaxation or restrictions on Sundays.

Goal:  To reduce vehicle congestion in CBD's.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Six months lead time probably necessary.
                    Negotiation with goodsmovers most crucial.

Location Affected:  Midtown and Downtown Manhattan.
Technical Feasibility:
                        No technical problems with street design.
                        Truck deliveries could be commuter-schedulized
                        by existing programs (Parcel-Post, United
                        Parcel-type, etc.)  or by introducing new
                        programs.
Institutional Feasibility:
                            Appears that if congestion is relieved,
                            vehicle users,  including truckers,  and
                            pedestrians will accept this strategy.
                            Major stumbling block will be negotiations
                            with consignees, shippers, and truckers,
                            for goods movement access in these  streets.
                            Perhaps partial condemnation, or a  tax on
                            motor vehicle owners (which favors  trucks
                            over cars), might be an acceptable  com-
                            promise.  This  strategy will have to handle:
                            very delicately with goods handlers;  Taxi
                            operators will  complain, but there  should
                            be no ensuing litigation.
Implementing Agent:  Dept. of Traffic
                             E-22

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Strategy #9 - continued

Legal Authority:  Exists...Dept. of Traffic has jurisdiction over
                  street use.

Action Required:  Initial contact with Manuel Carballo and Department
                  of Traffic required.  Immediate contact with EDA,
                  truckers, shippers, and consignees also required.
                  United Parcel Service should be contacted for app-
                  roaches to schedulizinc deliveries by all truck
                  operators.  A major restructuring of traffic must
                  be proceeded by a new traffic plan describing
                  changes to be implemented, impact of same, etc.

Enforcement:  Police Department

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  6.  Enforcement                     13.  East River tolls
  7.  Banning all cars  (contingency)  22.  Staggering hours and days
  8.  Parking reduction               25.  After-hours goods delivery
 10.  Exclusive bus lanes             31.  University Liaison
 11.  Regulating vehicle mix

Expected Costs to Implement:
        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Cos--r;:
Studies Required:  Before-and~after travel time and speea study.

Implementation Schedule:
    a.  Negotiate with other City agencies
    b.  Solicit citizen support
    c.  Design alternative traffic plan
    d.  implement, etc.
                             E-23

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 Strategy 810  -  Expand use of exclusive bus lanes.

 Discussion:   The  exclusive bus  lane concept has proven to be
              successful on a trial section of tteLIE and U.S.
              1-495  just as it has been successful in other parts
              of the nation.  It is a very practical measure to
              slow the rate of abandonment of transit by the
              public, which feels that in this age of affluence,
              no one should ride the subway more than necessary
              (example of Queens).  The express bus concept may
              cause a decline in conventional service ridership,
              but  in the end it may keep more people on a public
              transportation mode.  Exclusive' bus lane's must be
              instituted as soon as possible on Queens Blvd.,
              Grand Concourse, Eastern Parkway, Ocean Parkway,
              Pelham Parkway, etc. for peak-direction buses in
              one  or two lanes of off-peak traffic.  LIE exclusive
              bus  lane should be extended to city line.  Negotia-
              tions with Nassau County and the NY State D.O.T.
              should be undertaken to extend express bus service
              (and the exclusive bus lane) to Nassau.  All other
             major limited-access arterials should demonstrate
              exclusive lane^  principle for peak traffic hours,
              especially the Van Wyck Expressway to Kennedy Air-
             port, and the Grand Central Parkway to LaGuardia
             Airport.

Goal:  To reduce use of passenger vehicle in CBD's.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Six months to organize traffic patterns for
                    exclusive lanes; one year to negotiate with
                    Nassau County and a bus operator for Nassau
                    express routes.

Locations Affected:  All major arterial streets and express highways.

Technical Feasibility:  Lane control hardware and buses exist today.
                        However, city must organize traffic patterns
                        and facilities in Manhattan to accommodate
                        additional buses.
                              E-24

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Institutional Feasibility:  Plan should have wide popular appeal,
                            especially if travel time is signifi-
                            cantly reduced"*xf park-and-ride service
                            is facilitated.  The latter option bears
                            additional study and comment by the
                            Transportation Administration.
                            The support of the Carey Bus Lines Co.
                            should be solicited on the airport routes.
                            This may be necessary in order to appease
                            the taxi industry.

Implementing Agent:  NYC Transportation Administration, MTA,
                     Private Operators of Bus Lines.
                                           *
Legal Authority:  Exists - NYC Board of Franchises regulates
                           operation of buses.

Action Required:  Meeting between EPA, Traffic, Highways, and the
                  various express bus operators (Queens Transit,
                  Steinway Transit  (same management), Triboro Coach,
                  T.A., etc.). T.A.D. Program must be optimized,
                  traffic plan developed to accept added buses in
                  Manhattan  (perhaps added bus terminals must be
                  built), etc.

Enforcement:  Dept. of Traffic

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  5.  Enforcement                   16.  Free Fare
  9.  Through Movement Streets      18.  No Commuter Discounts
 11,  Regulating Vehicle Mix        19.  Reciprocal Fare Agreements
 13.  East River Tolls              20.  Integration of Bus and
 14.  Marketing of Transit                  Subway Services
 15.  Timetable Simplification      22.  Staggering Hours and Days
                                    31.  University Liaison

Studies Required:  None, but a Before-and-After Ridership Study
                   would produce very useful data.

Implementation Schedule:
                              E-25

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 Strategy 111  - Regulating Vehicle Mix.

 Discussion:   The plan here is to separate the passenger stream
              from the goods stream.  This would involve restricting
              some streets and/or traffic lanes to all but goods
              movement traffic.  Other streets might be closed off
              to goods movement vehicles for certain parts of the
              day.  In some areas tunneling might be used to bring
              trucks below street level for unloading.  This concept
              can be expanded to separating out vehicles within the
              passenger stream itself.  Certain streets and/or lanes
              could be designated for bus use only, or for passenger
              car use only, for all or part of a day.  It is hoped
              that vehicles that travel in patterns contrary to
              designated patterns will be discouraged from operation.

 Goal:  To remove as many vehicles from the streets as possible
       while  expediting the flow of those remaining.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Six months to decide which streets are to be
                    used and to install traffic signs.  Injuncitve
                    resistance will increase the time.

Locations Affected:  Initially Manhattan South of 61st St./ parti-
                     cularly in areas like the Garment District.
                     With further study this can be'done in the CBD's
                     of other boroughs.

Technical Feasibility:  Initially there will be high levels of con-
                        gestion on streets near the banned streets.
                        It is expected that sufficient trip diminution
                        will occur and traffic patterns will readjust
                        to relieve the higher congestion level.

Institutional Feasibility:  Depending upon the number of streets with
                            traffic restrictions and the location of
                            these streets there may be varying/amounts
                            of opposition from automobile or trucking
                            interests.  However if they can be convince
                            that tradeoffs (e.g. a street/closed to
                            trucks will expedite auto flow and a street
                            closed to autos will expedite truck flow)
                            will ease the congestion situation, support
                            instead of opposition may be obtained fro*
                            these groups.


                             E-26

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Implementing Agent:  N.Y.C. Department of Traffic,  TAD.

Legal Authority:  Exists.

Action Required:  TAD does analysis for selection of streets and
                  lanes and hours of closing; Traffic Department
                  installs signs.  In general, a master traffic
                  plan will be required because of the need^inter-
                  grate all previous strategies into a single plan.

Enforcement:  Department of Traffic, Police'Department.
Relationship to Other Strategies:
  16   Enforcement.              #22
  17   Banning all cars.         #23
  #8   Parking reduction.        §24
  #9   Thru movement streets.    #25
  #10  Exclusive bus lanes.      #26
  #12  Motor vehicle user fees.  #27
  #13  East River tolls.
  #14  Marketing of transit.     #28
  #16  Free fare.
                                 #30
Expected Costs to Implement:

       Direct Costs:
       Indirect Costs:
                   Staggering hours and days.
                   Consolidation.
                   Terminal design, etc.
                   After-hours goods delivery.
                   Partial Condemnation.
                   Use of rail for transporting
                    commodities.
                   Development of  waterfront
                    facilities.
                   Special truck design for urban
                    service.
Studies Required:
A study will have to be done to determine the
streets and/or traffic lanes and their hours
of banning certain vehicles.  Traffic flow
measurements should be taken before and after
strategy is implemented.
Implementation Schedule:
                             E-27

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 Strategy #12  - Motor  vehicle user fees: a fee would be charged
               on  all private and commercial vehicles operating
               in  or  passing through New York City.  All funds
               would  be earmarked for urban public transit.

 Discussion:   The purpose of this user fee structure would be to
              reduce the number of non-essential vehicles in the
              City's CBD's, thereby reducing congestion with its
              associated air and noise pollution, and provide
              freedom  of movement for those vehicles that must
              remain in the City.  The fee would vary with type
              of vehicle, vehicle weight, and whetheror not veh-
              icle would be able to park in a CBD or just pass
              through.  This measure would help insure that motor
              vehicles pay a larger share of the costs they in-
              flict upon the City.

Goal:  Reduce vehicle congestion, VMT, improve alternative transit
       modes.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement;  Ninety days notice should be sufficient but
                    extensive litigation from many fact/ofls would
                    cause long delays.  Construction of additional
                    parking facilities outside CBD's will take
                    several years.

Location Affected:  Entire City; all vehicles (in arijd out of state) .

Technical Feasibility:  All vehicles would be assigned a numbered
                        color-coded window sticker identifying the
                        type of activity allowed within the City
                        of New York.  Peripheral parking facilities
                        with connecting bus service must be provided
                        at key points outside CBD's (e.g. 42nd St.
                        Port Authority parking facility).

Institutional Feasibility:  The strong opposition that will come from
                            many factions in the City (e.g. vehicle
                            owners, American Automobile Association,
                            trucking associations, etci will have to be
                            overcome.  The mechanism for fee collection
                            will have to be set-up.
                              E-28

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Implementing Agent:
   NYC Bureau of the Budget/City Council,  State
   Legislature, NY State Dept. of Motor Vehicles.
Legal Authority:
Action Required:
Legislation supporting such action must be passed
by State Legislature.

After public notice of procedure, set up the fee
collection apparatus.  The NYS Department of Motor
Vehicles could collect the fee at yearly vehicle
registration.  The NYC Bureau of the Budget is
currently considering vehicle user fees as a mechan-
ism for generating substantial transit dollars.
Report due by end of 1972.  Must develop justifi-
cation to support such action (DAR).
Enforcement:  NY State Dept. of Motor Vehicles.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
      #6   Enforcement.
      #7   Banning all cars.
      #8   Parking reduction.
      #11  Regulating vehicle mix.
      113  East River tolls.
      #18  No commuter discounts.
      122  Staggering hours and days.
      #23  Consolidation.

Expected Costs to Implement:

      Direct Costs:
      Indirect Costs:




Studies Required:  None.

Implementation Schedule;
                             E-29

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 Strategy 113  -  Imposition of tolls on all East River bridges and
                Harlem River bridges.  Toll would be $1 into city,
                free away from Manhattan.

 Discussion:   The Tri-State Regional Planning Commission has discovered
              that there is significant diversion of tripmaking from
              tolls bridges to free bridges, as a result of the increase
              in bridge tolls, in January, 1972.  This means more excess
              vehicle-miles of travel, resulting in higher pollution.
              Furthermore, there is a further pollution increase due
              to traffic being diverted in this way from high-quality
              limited-access arterials to lower quality arterials.
              Tolls are subject to change for carpools, off-peak use,
              buses, etc.  The exclusive-lane concept for bridge cros-
              sings and approach roads might be coordinated with a
              variable toll system.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  One month lead time, plus time required for
                    construction of bridge plazas (approximately
                    one year).

Location Affected:  All East River Bridges and Harlem River bridges.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems, other than the problem
                        of locating the toll plazas and providing for
                        the additional traffic backlog.  (Since only
                        one side is affected traffic tie-up should be
                        minimized).  It is anticipated that travel on
                        the newly-tolled bridges will drop substantially
                        from present levels.

Institutional Feasibility:  Everybody is opposed to the measure especi-
                            ally the Borough Presidents of Queens and
                            Brooklyn and the Auto Club of New York.
                            However, earmarking the tolls for mass
                            transit to the affected boroughs, emphasizir.
                            service improvements, might sweeten the
                            appeal of the project.

Implementing Agent:  TAD/ MTA.

Legal Authority:  Legislation required for some bridgesj  ex.ists for
                  others.

Action Required:  Prepare necessary background materials, supporting
                  documentation, etc.,  (DAR).  TAD must meet with the
                  Borough Presidents of the affected boroughs, and pre-
                  pare an alternative traffic plan to accommodate any
                  proposed changes  in traffic flow patterns.  State
                  legislature must  act to approve added tolls.
                              E-30

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Enforcement:  Once established, self-regulating.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
    I8   Parking reduction.         814  Marketing of transit.
    19   Thru Movement streets.     #18  No commuter discounts.
    §10  Exclusive bus lanes.       122  Staggering hours and days,
    111  Regulating vehicle mix.    #31  Univeristy Lisison.
    §12  Motor vehicle user fees.

Expected Costs to Implement:

       Direct Costs:
       Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:  To measure traffic flow over the bridges before
                   and  after imposition of tolls.

Implementation Schedule:
                               E-31

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 Strategy #14  - Marketing Public'Transit System.

 Discussion:   Promote  the marketing of bus, subway, commuter rail,
              and intercity non-automobile modes.  Point up hidden
              direct costs to vehicle owners/ as well as the hassles
              involved in driving and parking in congested situations.
              This  strategy is in keeping with some old policies of
              the Transit Authority, e.g. The subway Sun "newsletter"
              on old trains announcing special services; running of
              extra trains to Shea Stadium on game days; former running
              of extra express trains to Rockaway Beach, etc.  Chicago
              and North Western Railway in Chicago has proven that a
              commuter-oriented railroad, which provides excellent,
              reliable service at reasonable prices, can succeed and
              even make a profit.  The goal should not be for transit
              to make a profit; it should be to maximize acceptability
              and ridership and divert passengers from motor vehicles.

 Goal:  To divert passengers from automobiles into public transit.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Immediately.

Location Affected?  Entire Tri-State region.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.

Institutional Feasibility:  Very high, provided that the T.A. is
                            willing to suffer possible losses in the
                            first few years in order to make a larger
                            profit later.  The downgrading of public
                            transit has been long-standing, and its
                            image will not be completely repairable
                            overnight.  For the subway and other listed
                            transit modes, there should be a willingnes;
                            on the part of management to offer strong
                            new incentives, such as AMTRAK is trying-

Implementing Agent:  !FAD, MTA, and private bus operators.

Legal Authority:  None required.
Action Required:
Contact with Leonard Ingalls of TA and with MTA
planners required,  EDA and TAD should also be
involved in negotiations.  Private-citizens groups
such as I.P.T. should be invited to participate
in designing an advertising strategy, including

           E-32

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Action Required:  preparation of a questionnaire designed to reveal
   (con't)        preferences people have for public transportation
                  services.  Success will depend on actions taken
                  by MTA to improve existing physical plant instead
                  of more glamorous expansion program.  Must insist
                  on such policy changes.  Requires support from
                  Governor's Office.  Suggest that State DEC begin
                  discussions with Rockefeller/Ronan to secure support.

Enforcement:  TAD should monitor policy changes and ridership growth.
•#13
Relationship to Other Strategies:
       Exclusive bus lanes-
       Regulating vehicle mix.
       East River tolls.
       Timetable Simplification,
       Free-fare.
       Advance fare payment.
Expected Costs to Implement:

      Direct Costs:
      Indirect Costs:
#18.
^19.
#20.
                                   -#22
No 'commuter discounts .
Reciprocal fare agreements.
Integration of bus and
 subway services.
Transit rehabilitation.
Staggering hours and days/.
University Liaison for researc
Studies Required:
                   Marketing studies with business  schools  and
                   advertising agencies would be desirable.
Implementation Schedule:
                              E-33

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 Strategy §15  -  Timetable Simplification

 Discussion:   Rearrangement of transit timetables for easy remembrance
              of schedules.  Publishing of TA timetables, and making
              them available instantly to telephone inquirers.   (Tie
              in with marketing effort suggested in #14).  According
              to the evidence presented by the Chicago and North
              Western Railway, a Chicago commuter railroad, the public
              is willing to sacrifice some headway benefits for stream-
              lined schedules.  For example, if a train leaves every
              ten minutes at a fixed time/ the public might well be
             more satisfied than if the headways change over a relat-
              ively short period of time, say from every eight minutes
              to every eleven minutes over two hours.  Every other
             major city in America publishes its timetables, either at
             bus stops or posted with a well-publicized transit
             information number.
 Goal:  To improve public transit to attract people out of cars.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  One month preliminary work (writing up timetables
                    for publication, etc.). Ninety days' intensive
                    advertising an information number (which should
                    be separate from main TA business number).  Con-
                    tinuous posting of schedules at subway stations
                    and major bus stops, with updating as required.

Location Affected:  Entire Tri-State region, especially N.Y.C.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.

Institutional Feasibility:  Precedent seems to be the only bar to
                            this king of effort, although operating
                            funds are at a deficit.  Suggest obtaining
                            a demonstration grant from the OMTA for
                            setting up a model public information pro-
                            gram for the nation.

Implementing Agent:  MTA and private bus operators.

Legal Authority:  None required.

Action Required:  TAD should immediately contact the TA and follow
                  up on these recommendations.  If the TA reneges,
                  the case should be taken to the public for comment.
                  Contact UMTA to solicit interest in program.


                              E-34

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Enforcement:  Bureau of Franchises and TAD should follow up.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  £10.  Exclusive bus lanes.          $19.  Reciprocal fare agreements.
  114.  Marketing of transit,         $20.  Integration of bus and
                                               subway services,

Expected Costs to Implement:

       Direct Costs:
       Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                              E-35

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 Strategy  116  - Offering a much-reduced or "free" fare on transit
               modes to be funded by general revenues, a trans-
               portation surtax, and/or auto user fees.  Lacking
               a "free" fare, a low transfer cost between existing
               no-transfer buses and between buses and subways
               should be instituted.

 Discussion:   The free-fare argument has been advanced as a better
             way to raise operating revenues, as well as to improve
             payment distribution.  The riaer is not the only bene-
              factor of the transit system, yet by law his fare-box
             revenue must meet all operating costs.  Public transit
             is of vital importance to the business community, which
             should help pay transit's bills more directly.

Goal:  To increase use of public transit to get people out of the
       habit of using cars.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Qualtiy:
Time to Implement:  Approximately one year of research and negotia-
                    tions should be sufficient to implement this
                    proposal.

Location Affected:  All N.Y.C. transit modes in the five boroughs.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.  Tax witholdings,
                        if any/ will be made according to existing
                        procedures.
Institutional Feasibility:
It. is obvious that such a measure represents
a very radical departure from traditional
transit funding practices in New York.
Other cities, such as Atlanta, Seattle,
and cities in the 'San Francisco Bay Area,
have instituted direct transit taxation,
resulting (in the case of Atlanta) in
reduction of actual user fares.  Commerce,
California has a bus service entirely free
to the user.  Nevertheless, one should
expect opposition from businesses' (including
office buildings and department stores) in
the CBD and other locations well-served by
public transit.  Unions would be concerned
about loss of "-jobs for railroad/clerks, etc.
A tax-withholding system, while easily
possible, of financing transit may spur a
"taxpayers' revolt" against paying for a
service some may not use.  However, such a
scheme might also get people to leave their

  E-36

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Institutional Feasibility: cars,on weekends, in order to use a transit
       (con't)              system they already have paid for.

Implementing Agent:  MTA, State legislature, N.Y.C. Budget Bureau.

Legal Authority:
Action Required:  Tri-State Regional Planning Commission, TAD, EDA,
                  Budget, City Planning, and EPA should meet with
                  MTA to discuss feasibility.  Free-fare advocates
                  such as Robert Abrams should be called in to discuss
                  implementation and experience of free-fare in
                  other cities.  Citizens groups should be contacted
                  for support.  The combinet.; on o': vehicle  user fees
                  and a transit tax could oi.ily provide sufficient
                  funds.

Enforcement:  MTA

Relationship to Other Strategies:                         (contingent).
  #10.  Exclusive bus lanes-      #19.  Reciprocal fare agreements A
  §11.  Regulating vehicle mix,   #20.  Integration of bus and subway
  #14   Marketing of transit.            services (contingent).
  #17.  Advanced fare payment     #21.  Transit rehabilitation.
           (contingent).            #31.  University  iaison for research.

Expected Costs to Implement:

       Direct Costs:
       Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                              E-37

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 Strategy 117  - Initiation of advance payment of fares not only for
                commuting services, but for other trips as well.
                Example: Extension of validity of MTA 10-trip railroad
                tickets from 30 days to one year, and offering of
                sales of such tickets by mail.

 Discussion:   For the T.A. facilities, this would be a contingency
              plan for #16 (free-fare).  There is no reason that pre-
              payment of transit fare is not feasible.  People would
              tend to ride more to get "their money's worth."  Perhaps
              some of the social costs could somehow be reimbursed to
              the T.A. since added transit ridership would result in
              freer movement of traffic, the need for less traffic
              police, etc.

 Goal:  To get people to use public transit instead of automobiles.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Ninety-day lead time to set up machinery for
                    issuance of "passes" and advance-fare payment
                    receipting.

Location Affected:  Entire Tri-state region.

Technical Feasibility:  Some additional personnel required for staf-
                        fing a central receiving and mailing office
                        for passes.  Some of these personnel can be
                        diverted from token booths, viz. at some of
                        the busier subway stations in the morning and
                        evening.

Institutional Feasibility:  Good probability of implementation if a
                            free-fare idea does not develop first.  If
                            fare collection is smoothed out at the
                            operating end, and centralized in the
                            front office, a better passenger inventory
                            control can be kept.

Implementing Agent:  MTA

Legal Authori-y:  None required.

Action Required:  Specific strategies and reduced-fare pass arrange-
                  ments must be devised.  This should be done in/
                  concert with the EDA, HRA, TA, TAD, and citizen
                  rider groups.


                             E-38

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Enforcement:  Self-enforcing (MTA)

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  #14.  Marketing of transit.
  §16.  Free-fare (contingent).
  #21.  Transit rehabilitation.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:




Studies Required:  MTA feasibility study will probably be required.

Implementation Schedule:
                             E-39

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 Strategy  S18 - Elimination of commuter discount on Port Authority
               trans-Hudson facilities.  Earmarking of tolls for
               public transportation service.

 Discussion:  Commuter discounts encourage use of highway facilities
             at the time when they are the most congested.  The
             incremental expense to society to accommodate these
             cars at the peak period is exceptionally high.  They
             should, therefore, pay their own way, and support the
             public transportation that forestalls the entire collapse
             of the congested highway network.

Goal:  To get people to use public transit instead of automobiles.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Elimination of discounts may be done immediately.
                    Earmarking of tolls will required extensive negot-
                    iation with the P.A. and with the governors of
                    two states.

Location Affected:  Trans-Hudson river  crossings (Outerbridge crossing
                    to George Washington Bridge).

Technical Feasibility:  There should be either a reduction in auto
                        traffic, an increase in revenue for public
                        transportation, or both.   Thus, the output
                        is better in every way.  Certainly no tech-
                        nical problems.

Institutional Feasibility:  The Port Authority has been loath to
                            curb usage.  However, the discount elimin-
                            ation will  be acceptable to the Authority
                            since it is very likely that the effect
                            this will have will be to increase P.A.
                            revenues.  The AAA will be opposed, and
                            there may be some diversion of workers fron
                            NYC to New  Jersey.  While this is regrettabl
                            there will  much more likely be a diversion
                            of some trips to the improved transit
                            system that will result from the approp-
                            riation of  earmarked funds, which1 is
                            certainly desirable.   Furthermore, any
                            cars removed from the P.A. facilities  in
                            the peak hours will be functionally desir-
                            able.
                             E-40

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Implementing Agent:  P.A.

Legal Authority:  Authority rests in the hands of the P.A.,  to
                  be reviewed by the legislatures of New York
                  and New Jersey.

Action Required:  EPA Region II office  should approach the  Port
                  Authority as soon as possible.  The Clean  Air
                  Act can be used as a lever in negotiation. Bi-
                  State legislature action required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  #10.  Exclusive bus lanes-         £13.  East River tolls.
  til.  Regulating vehicle mix,      814.  Marketing of transit..
  #12.  Motor vehicle user fees.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:




Studies Required:  None required.

Implementation  Schedule:
                              E-41

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 Strategy  #19  - Reciprocal fare agreements between different transit
               companies and different divisions of the same company.
               Competing transit should be steamlined and rebundant
               service eliminated.

 Discussion:  New York City is one of the few places that does not
             have a consistent transfer policy.  There is no transfer
             provision between bus and subway, between MaBSTOA buses,
             or between routes of competing companies.  Furthermore,
             there ore no reciprocal fare agreements even among the
             member operating agencies of the MIA.  This lends itself
             to excessive fare payment and operation of redundant
             service.

 Goal:  To improve public transit services to get people to use
       public transit instead of cars.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Six months lead time would probably be required
                    to implement this plan.

Location Affected:  Entire Tri-State region.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems, although a mechanical
                        means of fare division might have to be
                        devised.

Institutional Feasibility:  Although private  operators and the member
                            agencies of the MTA have traditionally been
                            in competition, today the situation is such
                            that transit modes must work together if
                            they are not to be outpriced by the auto-
                            mobile.  The machinery for coordinating
                            within-MTA fares  is available.  Highway
                            money will almost certainly have to be
                            diverted to transit if this plan is to
                            succeed.  Since most transit trips are
                            round trips in New York, apportionment of
                            revenues should present no problem1; they
                            will accrue to the operator of the; first
                            transportation vehicle.

Implementing Agent:  MTA/Private operators.
                             E-42

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Legal Authority:
Action Required:  A meeting must be scheduled with all the operators,
                  including all elements of the MTA, by the City TAD.
                  If this plan is deemed feasible, a sample list of
                  reciprocal fare schedules must be prepared immediatelv
                  by TAD.

Enforcement:  Self-regulating/MTA.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  flO.  Exclusive bus lanes.       #16.  Free-fare  (contingent),
  §14.  Marketing of transit.      #20.  Integration of bus and
  #15.  Timetable simplification.        subway services.

Expected Cost to Implement:

       Direct Costs:
       Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                              E-43

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 Strategy  #20 - Integration of bus and subway to form a coordinates
               grid or circumferential-radial system to improve
               coverage.  Facilitation of trip-making within
               boroughs.

 Discussion:  Subway and surface lines have been created in a fairly
             random way, based on the vagaries of the original
             operating companies.  Tirp-making by transit has been
             directed at radial trips to Manhattan, except for the
             Brooklyn grid bus system.  As the cost of operating a
             car continues to rise, it is imperative to make intra-
             borough travel competitive in service with the car.

 Goal:  To provide improved inter-borough public transit service
       to get people out of cars.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Long-range planning necessary for a lasting
                    improvement.  However; a preliminary overhaul
                    of the transportation system could probably
                    be put into operation within a year.

Location Affected:  New York City/ especially Queens/ S.I., and
                    the Bronx.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.  Host of the inter-
                        gration operation involves simple re-routing.

Institutional Feasibility:  The City and the MTA both agree that
                            the city's trip-making ought to be more
                            radial in character, in order to enhance
                            the "special" character of the CBD.  How-
                            ever/ this in no way bears on the fact
                            that people must make a significant number
                            of local trips/ which are primarily made
                            presently by automobile.  Also/ long-
                            distance trips that do not have one end
                            in the CBD are cumbersome and time-consumin$
                            Success of this strategy will hinge? on
                            whether the City Planning Commission/ the
                            MTA, and Tri-State can be taught this basic
                            fact.  Furthermore, the loss of local trip-
                            making in the advent of long-distance radial
                            suburban commuting is sapping the taxable
                            strength of the city, since the automobile
                            facilitates abandonment of the city., and in
                            fact makes the suburbs possible.

                              E-44

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Implementing Agent:  MTA

Legal Authority:  MTA with Bureau of Franchises coordinating.

Action Required:  TAD and MTA must come up with a coordinated  transit
                  plan, in cooperation with Tri-state and the  State
                  DOT.  What is ultimately required is a total challenge
                  to the existing City-MTA-Tri-State theory of con-
                  tinued super-centralization.   The preparation of alter-
                  native transportation patterns must be augmented by
                  the preparation of suitable alternative urban land
                  use plans.

Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  #10.  Exclusive bus lanes,       #19.  Reciprocal fare agreements.
  #14.  Marketing of transit,      #21.  Transit rehabilitation.
  #15.  Timetable simplification,  #31.  University liaison for research
  #16.  Free-fare.

Expected Cost to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                               E-45

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 Strategy  121  - Rehabilitation of existing transit system, through
               improved maintenance practices, accent on comfort
               and service quality, and better schedulization.

 Discussion:   It is clear that various physical aspects of the transit
              system are in such condition as to repulse ridership.
              The condition of many stations is dirty, poorly-lighted,
              and dingy, and old buses wheeze and pollute heavily.
              The thrust of this strategy ir to direct primary atten-
              tion toward rehabilitation of the existing plant '(coupled
              with better operating procedure), prior to engaging in
              new capital construction.

 Goal:  To make public transit more attractive to get people out of
       cars.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  This item represents a major policy decision
                    involving a rehabilitation program which will
                    be occurring continuously.

Location Affected:  All mass transit systems.

Technical Feasibility:  No anticipated technical problems, other
                        than providing necessary manpower and funding.

Institutional Feasibility:  It always looks better to a public that
                            is accustomed to mediocre service in the
                            last few years to show them a spanking new
                            system of transit, rather than an old train
                            station which is efficient although "down
                            at the heels."  The MTA has sufficient
                            capital money available for necessary
                            rehabilitation, provided that new capital
                            construction is shelved.  If necessary,
                            it would be advisable to approach UMTA,
                            saying that rehabilitation should be given
                            the highest priority.  Feasibility of this
                            project is not very good unless the priority
                            structure of MTA can be drastically altered.

Implementing Agent:  MTA, contingent upon receipt of New York City
                     capital construction funding.

Legal Authority:  None required.
                              E-46

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Action Required?  City governmental agencies involved must prepare
                  a unified position and then approach the MTA from
                  a position of strength.  If MTA reneges, UMTA
                  should be approached, as indicated above.  At the
                  same time, State DEC should approach Governor's
                  office with same goal.

Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  114.  Marketing of transit.     #20.  Integration of bus and subvray
  ft!6.  Free fare.                      services.
  £17.  Advanced fare payment     £22.  Staggering hours and days.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:




Studies Required:  None Required.

Implementation Schedule:
                               E-47

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 Strategy #22 - Encourage widespread staggering of work hours, for
               starting work between 8-10 a.m.  Current peaking causes
               congestion, frustration, and pollution from commuting
               trips.  Also emphasize 4-day workweek.

 Discussion:  Staggering work hours and v/ork days has been a plan propose-
             for ameliorating transportation problems in the rush hours;
             a pilot program in Lower Manhattan has been successful.


 Goal:  To reduce peaking problem related to transit system; improved
       transit envj_ronraent. should attract people out of cars and
       into system.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Gradual introduction, within a time frame of
                    about six months to a year.

Location Affected:  All City CBD's and other places where there is
                    locally-generated rush-hour congestion.

Technical Feasibility:  Development of a program would required
                        considerable flexibility and consideration
                        of everyone's needs.  A systems analysis
                        would be necessary.  Port Authority developed
                        a successful staggered-hours project in
                        lower Manhattan.

Institutional Feasibility:  Many companies seem to be amenable to such
                            a change, especially for workers who are
                            lower echelon and who are not in the
                            task of maintaining outside liaison as part
                            of the job.  Municipal government must
                            lead off, however, to set example for
                            others.

Implementing Agent:  City of NY, private interests

Legal Authority:  None required.
                              E-48

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Action Required:  The Port of New York Authority should be consulted
                  as to the details of its experiment.   The Office of
                  Midtown Planning and Development and  the Office of
                  Lower Manhattan Development, in cooperation with
                  offices within the E.D.A., would coordinate planning
                  efforts.  Policy decision required regarding action
                  by City Administration.

Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
  #8.  Parking reduction.             $13.  East River tolls.
  §9.  Thru movement streets,         #14. .Marketing of transit-
  flO. Exclusive bus lanes.           121.  Transit rehabilitation,
  111. Regulating vehicle mix.        #25.  After-hours goods delivery.
  £12. Motor vehicle user fees.       #31.  University liaison for
                                            research.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs.
        Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:  Reference should be directed to previous studies
                   made by the Port Authority and the Downtown-Lower
                   Manhattan Association.  Many other studies have
                   been done on this topic in other cities.

Implementation  Schedule:
                              E-49

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 Interphase of New York City's Goods Movement Programs and Studies
 with Goods Movement Control Strategies

     Some of the programs and studies listed in the previous table
 fall specifically into line with goods movement strategies.  Others
 are more general in nature and include aspects of many of the control
 strategies.

 General

 1.  JFK Land Use Study (TAD, EDA, CPC)
 2.  HuntsPoint Transportation Study (TAD, EDA, CPC)
 3.  Westside Highway Goods Movement Study (TAD)
 4.  Garment Center Study (TAD)
 5.  Midtown Manhattan Study (TAD)
 6.  American University Study (TAD)
 7.  Census of Trucking (TAD)
 8.  Garbage Movements in NYC (proposed study)  (CPC)
 9.  Job Opportunities in the Goods Movement Industry
     (proposed study)  (CPC)
10.  Unions and Labor Regulations (proposed study)   (CPC)
11.  Preliminary Goods Movement Study (EPA)
12.  EPA Demonstration Project

 Strategy 123 - Consolidation of Trucking Activities^

 1.  MIT Study (TAD)
 2.  Chelsea Piers Consolidation Facility (EDA)
 3.  Truck Consolidation Center over 30th St.
     Rail Yards (in conceptual stage)  (EDA)
 4.  Consolidation Terminals over Selected Rail Yards Study (CPC)
 5.  Consolidation Terminals (proposed general  study)  (CPC)

 Strategy #24 - Terminal Design/  etc.

 1.  Cargo Security Study (TAD)
 2.  Security of Goods Movement (proposed study)  (CPC)

 Strategy #25 - After Hours  Delivery to Stores  and Office Buildings

 No specific studies or programs.

 Strategy #26 - Partial Condemnation

 1.  Docking Facility Requirements under the Zoning Regulations
     (proposed study)  (CPC)

 Strategy #27 - Use of Rail  for  Transporting Commodities

 1.  Expansion of Brooklyn waterfront rail services (EDA)
 2.  Study for Industrial Development along route of South Brooklyn
     RR (EDA)
 3.  Promotion of LIRR freight activities (EDA)
 4.  Staten Island Terminal  and  Industrial Development (EDA)
 5.  Waste haulage by railroad (EDA)
 6.  N.Y.  Dock Railway - Bush Terminal
     Connection   Overland Route Study (CPC)

                               E-50

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Strategy S28 - Development of jJaterfront Facilities

1.  Waterborne Goods Movement Study (TAD)
2.  Containerport Study  (CPC)

Strategy #29 - interstate Commerce Commission/Public Service Commission

1.  Rate Structure Study  (proposed) (CPC)

Strategy 130 - Special Truck Design for Urban Service^

No specific studies or programs.

Strategy ft 31 - University Liaison for Research

Negotiations are presently occuring between TAD, Goods Movement
Technical Committee and  City University.
                               E-51

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 Strategy #23 - Consolidation of Trucking Activities

 Discussion:   On only  about one half  (54%) of the trips made by
              an urban truck is cargo carried.  Tools or equip-
              ment needed to perform a  service are carried on
              23% of the trips, and the vehicle is empty on the
              remaining 23%.  Thousands of operators are involved/
              often duplicating services.  Seventy percent of all
              trucks are single operations and less than 10% are
              in fleets of more than 20 trucks.  When so many
              operators are involved it is difficult if not im-
              possible to regulate them and to attempt to make
              their movements more efficient.  Varying degrees
              of consolidation could be attempted - e.g. pooled
              delivery system for just one commodity like bread;
              consolidation for small geographic area like Co Op
              City; consolidation of all deliveries for midtown
             Manhattan.  Requires the construction of one or
             more large freight terminals where goods can be
              consolidated for delivery by vehicles operating
             with near capacity loads.

Goal:  Improve  operating efficiency; reduce vehicle miles traveled,

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Time will vary depending on the degree of
                    consolidation sought.  A pooled delivery
                    system for bread would probably be the short-
                    est in duration to set up and would take 6
                    months to a year.  A new consolidation ter-
                    minal for midtown Manhattan would take 5 to
                    8 years to design, build, and optimize.

Location Affected:  At first only specific areas, like CBD's for
                    large groups of commodities.  Where only one
                    commodity is involved it might be done on a
                    borough wide basis.  Eventually consolidated
                    terminal systems should cover the whole city,
                    perhaps the whole metropolitan area.

Technical Feasibility:  There should be little or no technical
                        problems, as technology exists but has
                        not been used to great extent.

                             E-52

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Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                              E-53-

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 Strategy #24  - Terminal design and location; material handling;
               research into and promotion of new material handling
               techniques, and the use of modern management techniques
               for more efficient operation.  Emphasis would be on
               efficient intermodal transfer of goods for most effi-
               cient routing.

 Discussion:   Research into these technical aspects of the goods
              movement problem is needed.  It will be the careful
              design and location of terminals and the use of modern
              material handling and management techniques that will
              make efforts like consolidation work.  New techniques
              should be developed.  In addition there are some already
              existing techniques that are excellent  (e.g. piggy back,
              containerization)  that should be promoted.  While it
              appears that the use of subways for moving goods on a
              general city-wide basis is not feasible, it may be
              possible to use them in special cares - e.g. to move
              goods from one urban subcenter to another, from one
              industrial park to another.  Therefore in the long
              range view the creation of satellite goods distribution
              centers, tied closely with the development of urban
              subcenters and industrial parks, will be desirable.

Goal:  Consolidate trucking activities and improve their efficiency
       to minimize vehicle miles traveled.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  This is a continuing process of change as new
                    methods are developed.

Location Affected.  Entire city, especially CBD's and industrial
                    parks.
                                                            i   i
Technical Feasibility:  Research and development is required',  although
                        there is a significant little used technology
                        available.

Institutional Feasibility:  Although there are modern methods of
                            handling goods available now, incentives
                            will have to be created to promote their
                            use.
                             E-54

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Implementing Agent:   TAD, CPC, EDA.
Legal Authority:  None  required.
Action Required:
Contact manufacturers and designers of freight
handling facilities and equipment,  and outfits
like United Parcel Service to become familiar
with the technology.  Promote its use and further
research.  TAD should develop an active program
in this area.  Consultants should be hired to
prepare detailed plans.
Enforcement:  None  required.
Relationship to Other  Strategies:
                £8  Parking reduction.
                fll Regulating vehicle mix.
                $23 Consolidation of trucking activities.
                125 After hours delivery to stores and offices.
                126 Partial condemnation.
                130 Special truck design for urban service.

Expected Costs to Implement:

    Direct Costs:
    Indirect Costs;:
Studies Required:
                             E-55

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Implementation Schedule:
                             E-56

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 Strategy #25 - After hours delivery to .stores and office buildings.

 Discussion:  After hours delivery would take trucks off the streets
              during peak congestion hours.   Retailers would be
              required to remain open late one or more nights a
              week, or night cargo drop facilities (on the idea of
              night mail drop facilities)  could be created so that
              retailer would not have to remain open.
Goal:
Remove trucks from streets during rush hours thereby re-
ducing congestion.
Emission Reduction Potential;
Projected  Impact on Air Quality:
Time to  Implement:
Location Affected:
             Time will vary depending on success of these
             new operating procedures.  An initial area of
             the City will have to be selected for a demon-
             stration project to test the feasibility of
             after-hours delivery.  The cooperation of
             shippers delivering to the area and retailers
             in the area would have to be obtained.  It would
             take at least six months to get the desired
             cooperation and get the project started.  Should
             this procedure prove successful it should be
             extended to the entire City over a period of
             several years.  The constructions of night cargo
             drop facilities could be underway at the same
             time.

             Initially cordon trial area in retail section -
             of City; eventually whole city.
Technical Feasibility:
                 Night cargo drop facilities are now being
                 used by some supermarkets.   The facility is
                 a trailer room,  locked from 2  sides,  where
                 the trucker opens up one side  of the room at
                 night and leaves the trailer for unloading
                 through the other side of the  locked room.
                 Research would also  be needed  to determine
                 the minimum sized container that could  feas-
                 ibly be handled  with the least possibility
                 of pjllferage.
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 Institutional Feasibility:  Most resistance will come from retailers
                            as  they will have to pay for personnel to
                            cover the  additional working hours and
                            because of the increased chances of pil-
                            ferage.  Hence the cost to the retailer
                            and to the consumer will increase.  How-
                            ever this  offset in two ways: 1) if re-
                            tailers construct night cargo drop fac-
                            ilities the continuing cost of additional
                            personnel  would be replaced by the
                            lower initial cost of the facility/ and
                            2)  the cost to the shipper of the additi-
                            onal  premium for night work paid to the
                            teamsters  should be more than offset by
                            the time and fuel savings of operating
                            at  other than congestion hours.  Little
                            or  no resistance will come from the team-
                            sters.  The combination of delivering at
                            off peak hours and the construction of
                            night drop facilities could bring signi-
                            ficant commodity cost decreases.  However
                            previous experience with night deliveries
                            has not been successful, largely because
                            cooperation from retailers and shippers
                            was voluntary.  When projects of this
                            nature were started they show initial
                            increased  cost which caused some of the
                            "volunteers" to drop out thereby causing
                            further problems.  This process would
                            continue until the whole program failed.
                            It appears likely that Mandatory partici-
                            pation of retailers and shippers will be
                            required to make the project succeed but
                            it may be  impossible to force this parti-
                            cipation .

Implementing Agent:  TAD, EDA, CPC.
Legal Authority:  As mentioned above it may be necessary to get
                  mandatory participation in the project and .so
                  legislation to that effect would be required.

Action Required:  Select trial area with assistance from retailers
                  and major shippers.  Develop demonstrati6n project,

Enforcement:  TAD, EDA, Police Dept.
                              E-58

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Relationship to Other Strategies:
            |6   Enforcement.
            #7   Banning all cars  (contingent).
            19   Thro  movement only.
            #11  Regulating vehicle mix.
            #22  Staggering hours  and days.
            f23  Consolidation of  trucking activities,
            424  Terminal design,etc.

Expected Costs to  Implement:

        Direct Cost:
        Indirect Cost:
Studies  Required:
Implementation Schedule ?
                               E-59

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 Strategy #26  - Partial condemnation—where buildings do not have
               internal loading dock facilities the City could
               condemn the street or below street grade area of
               the building's first floor in order to construct
               such facilities.

 Discussion:  Many warehousing blocks and commercial buildings are
             ill-equipped to efficiently handle their incoming and
             outgoing truck traffic and tonnage and so streets often
             become blocked by trucks parking on the streets to load
             and unload; and truck drivers spend excessive amounts
             of time searching for parking.  The construction of
             internal loading dock facilities would get the trucks
             off the street for loading operations.  New buildings
             are required by zoning regulations to have these fac-
             ilities.

 Goal:  To get truck loading operations off the streets thereby
       reducing congestion.

 Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implements  It would probably take 6 months before it is
                    decided what buildings would be partially con-
                    demned and to serve the condemnation papers.
                    As this procedure will almost definitely be
                    fought in the courts it is impossible to say
                    when the facilities would actually be constructed.

Location Affected:  The CBD's of the five boroughs/ initially the
                    Garment District and midtown Manhattan.

Technical Feasibility:  Many existing buildings are usually deep
                        (approximately 180 ft.) and often have above
                        average ceiling height at grade, so conversion
                        is not physically problematic.

Institutional Feasibility:  Feasibility is positive.  The New York
                            City Corporation Counsel has found that
                            partial condemnation is legal and consti-
                            tutional.  However, it will probably be
                            fought by building owners.
                            E-60

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Implementing Agent:  TAD, CPC.

Legal Authority: The City has the authority to condemn part of a
                 building.

Action Required:  Once it has been decided what buildings are to
                  be partially condemned, condemnation papers are
                  served by the Dept. of Buildings.  It would then
                  be up to the Dept. of Buildings to see that work
                  was done in accordance with the Building Code.
                  This should be done according to a master plan
                  for extension to all CBD.'s.  The Garment Center
                 "Study can be used as a pilot project.

Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
            #11  Regulating vehicle mix.
            |24  Terminal design, etc.
            125  After hours delivery to stores and offices.
            $30  Special truck design for urban service.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Cost:
        Indirect Cost:
Studies Required:
Implementation  Schedule
                             E-61

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 Strategy  #27  - Use of Rail for Transporting Commodities.

 Discussion:   While it had been generally recognized that transportation
              sources were the main contributors of air pollution in
              the City, it had not been knovm that trucks themselves
              are a major source of air pollution.  With this knowledge
              it is necessary to reduce the number of trucks on the
              streets by improving their operating efficiency and by
              the increased use of alternate modes of transportation.
              This inefficient movement of goods has resulted in increase
              congestion, increased noise and air pollution, increased
              energy consumption, and higher commodity costs.  Replacing
              200 trucks by 1 train, on the other hand, would reduce
              congestion, air and noise pollution, and energy consump-
              tion, and with more favorable rate structures would re-
              duce the cost of commodities.  This City, and the nation,
              has seen the opposite trend - the replacement of 1 train
              by 200 trucks with its negative effects.  Much freight
              that had been travelling by rail previously is now moving
              by truck with the consequence that there are a number
              of good rail connections that exist in the New York area
              that are underused.  Railroads are continually abandoning
             rights-of-way.   These present trends are environmentally
             unsound and have to be reversed.

Goal:  Use alternate modes to move goods, where appropriate, thereby
       getting trucks off the streets.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Qualtiy:
Time to Implement:  This is a program of continuing improvements
                    that will take several years.

Location Affected:  Entire region.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.   Marketing and im-
                        proved inter-modal terminal design (see
                        Strategy if24) will help ensure the success
                        of this strategy.

Institutional Feasibility:  Many groups are involved in this strategy-
                            regulatory agencies, railroads, industry,
                            unions,  citizens groups, etc.  The Inter-
                            state Commerce Commission a'nd the Public
                            Service Commission will have to cooperate
                            to make rail rates more favorable (see
                            Strategy #29).  Negotiations will have to
                            occur with all railroads serving the Metro-
                            politan Area to prevent any decrease in

                              E-62-

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 Institutional Feasibility:
        (Con't)
rail service and to create new linkages
and I services (e.g. overland route from
rapidly growing Brooklyn waterfront area
to railyards in South Brooklyn waterfront
area to railyards in South Bronx near
Hunts Point market).  It will have to be
demonstrated to the railroads that these
services can pay off.  The City, through
its various agencies, must work to insure
that industry will locate along routes of
good rail access.  Stiff resistance will
come from the Teamster's Union if there
is any decrease in trucking jobs.  However
support should tcome from rail onions.
Implementing Agent:   TAD,  EDA.
Legal Authority:
Action Required:  The initial  step  is  to  set up a liaison with the
                  Long Island  Railroad, the Long Island Railroad
                  Freight  User's Association,  and the Penn Central
                  R»R.  with a  view  towards increasing the scope of
                  the two  railroad^1 services.  The Economic Develop-
                  ment Administration  has already made contact with
                  the LIRR Freight  User's Association.  Later other
                  interest groups will be contacted.  In general it
                  will be  necessary to investigate the overall pro-
                  blem, define the  issue, and  develop a long range
                  strategy for change.  This can be pursued through
                  the Goods Movement Technical Committee.

Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
           #11  Regulating vehicle  mix.
           123  Consolidation  of truckingactivities.
           #28  Development of waterfront facilities.
           f29  ICC/PSC
                              E-63

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Expected Costs to Implement;
        Direct Costs:


        Indirect Costs:


Studies Required:


Implementation Schedule:
                            E-64

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Strav  TY #28 - Development O£ Waterfront  Facilities.

Discussion:   J  at as the rail network has been under-utilized for
              treight movement, so has our water  system.  A revival
              °f ?£  Sf°nt °Perati°ns,  similar to what is being done
              at the Bklyn,  waterfront (e.g. car  floating, container-
              ports, dock railway operations), is needed.  In addition
              tne location Of alternate ports on  Long  Island for the
              delivery of goods to that area must be investigated.

Goal:  Move  goods by modes other than trucks, thereby getting trucks
       0££ N.y.C.  streets,  reduce congestion; etc.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected  Impact  on Air Quality:
Time to Implement;  This  is  a  program  of continuing improvements
                    that  will  take  several years.

Location Affected:  Entire region.

Technical Feasibility:  Little or no technical problems.  A faster
                        type of water  vehicle than the barge may be
                        required.

Institutional Feasibility:   Like the railroad situation, there are
                             many groups involved here - regulating
                            .agencies,  industry, unions, shiplines,
                             citizens groups.  The primary regulatory
                             agency  involved here is the Federal
                             Maritime Administration.  FMA can suggest
                             new regulatory approaches and permit
                             greater operating flexibility in the
                             maritime industry which would lead to
                             improved transportation services and re-
                             duced shipper costs.  Industry groups
                             Will have  to be convinced of the viability
                             Of the  waterfront (as in the switch of
                             American President Lines from a New Jersey
                             to Brooklyn facility).  Negotiations with
                             unions  and shiplines will be needed to
                             make increased waterfront services economic-
                             ally feasible.  Furthermore, citizen's group
                             may protest the development of certain
                             facilities (e.g. the Red Hook Containerport)
                              E-65

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 Implementing Agent:  TAD, EDA, PA.
Legal Authority:
Action Required:  Initially - to promote the development of the
                  Brooklyn waterfront by working with the various
                  groups involved.  Proposals for other areas of
                  the City (e.g. Chelsea Piers, Hunts Point) will
                  be a natural consequence.  Work can be done through
                  the Goods Movement Technical Committee.

Enforcement:  None required.
Relationship to Other Strategies:
            111  Regulating vehicle mix.
            123  Consolidation of trucking activities.
            127  Use of rail for transporting commodities
            *29  ICC/PSC regulations.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                              E-66

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Strategy #29 - Contact Interstate Commerce Commission and the Publi
               Service Commission to make them aware of the Region'
               goods movement problems, and how it is affected by
               their regulatory decisions.  Restructure rate tariff
               to encourage environmentally sound goods handling
               procedures.

Disucssion:  The ICC and PSC are responsible for setting rates on
             trucks and rail shipments and other related items.
             Their decisions in a number of instances {e.g. per-
             mitting the granting of discounts to shippers who will
             truck goods from New Jersey instead of using rail)
             have contributed to the goods movement problem.

Goal:  Obtain rate structures reflecting socioeconomic and environ-
       mental impact of trucking and that will help to foster use
       of alternative modes for moving goods.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Contact can be made  immediately but when concre-
                    action by those bodies will occur is unknown.

Location Affected:  Entire region; interstate carriers.

Technical Feasibility:   No technical problems.

Institutional Feasibility:  Because of interest groups representing
                             the various  railroads and truckers, dec.
                             sions favorable to improving the goods
                             movement situation will be difficult to
                             obtain.  Truckers will lobby against any
                             rate changes that favor modes other the.-
                             truck.  A railroad will resist any rate
                             change that  gives better rate division
                             (i.e., when  several railroads have to
                             handle a freight delivery, the rate for
                             the shipment is shared by the railroads
                             involved) to another railroad.

Implementing Agent:   Goods Movement Technical Committee.
                           E-67

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 Legal Authority:
Action Required:  Set up meeting with members of ICC and PSC.
                  The Goods Movement Technical Committee must
                  investigate existing rates structures in order
                  to suggest desired changes.

Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
           $27  Use of rail for transporting commodities.
           #28  Development of waterfront facilities.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:
Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                             E-68

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Strategy #30 - Special Truck Design for Urban Service

Discussion:  New design of trucks can make it easier and quicker
             for goods to be delivered.  For example. United
             Parcel Service trucks are  specially designed by them
             for ease in loading and unloading.  Since many trucks
             travel around with an average of only 10% of capacity,
             it appears that many businesses should be using smaller
             trucks.  Thus vehicle owners must be made to justify
             the siz-s of their trucks at registration time.  This
             ties in closely with Strategy #12, Motor Vehicle User
             Fees, where the fee would increase with increased
             vehicle weight.  This kind of fee schedule could en-
             courage the use of smaller sized trucks.
                                          *
Goal:  Optimize vehicle design to insure efficient operation, reduce
       number of vehicles required, and thereby reduce congestion
       and VMT.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Qualtiy:
 Time to Implement:  Once criteria are established for limiting
                     vehicle size, the procedure could probably
                     be started within a year.  New design of
                     trucks is a continuing process and has no
                     specific time for implementation.

 Location Affected:  All trucks operating in New York City.

 Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.

 Institutional Feasibility:  The auto industry will claim that there
                             is no market for a specially designed
                             urban truck and that pursuing such a
                             project would result in increased ex-
                             penditures for them.  However there is
                             good precedent for special trucks -
                             Postal Service, United Parcel Service,
                             and other trucks for specialized indus-
                             tries.  Truckers will have to be convince:
                             that the increased cost of a special urb=-
                             truck would be more than offset by the
                             savings in time for pickup and deliveries.
                             Having an operator justify the size of
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 Institutional Feasibility:  his- truck at registration time will.claim
         (Con't)             that while they could use a smaller truck
                            4 days a week, they may have a large ship-
                            ment on the fifth  day, that requires the
                            larger truck,  Furthermore, should it be
                            determined that an operator is using too
                            large a truck, it could be a heavy financial
                            burden to force him to get rid of the truck
                            right away.  Guidelines would have to be
                            drawn up to determine how soon any operator
                            should be required to remove this truck
                            from the City's streets.  Legislation
                            would be needed to permit this registration
                            procedure.  It also has to be decided as
                            to what agency will be in charge of this
                            operation as additional staff would be
                            required.

Implementation Agent:  Goods Movement Technical Committee.
Legal Authority:  Authority to permit registration review procedure,
Action Required:
Contact truck manufacturers in Detroit to appraise
them of the need and desire for new design in urban
trucks.  Seek the assistance of industry for ideas
on what is most appropriate design.  Forward speci-
fications to manufacturers.  Contact N.Y.S. Dept.
of Motor Vehicles for cooperation in the registration
procedure.
Enforcement:  None required.

Relationship to Other Strategies:
          fl   Vehicle turnover.
          #2   Heavy duty vehicle retrofit.
          f4   Heavy duty vehicle inspection.
          ill  Regulating vehicle mix.
          f24  Terminal design, etc.
          f-26  Partial condemnation.
          |31  University liaison.-.

Expected Costs to Implement:

        Direct Costs:
        Indirect Costs:
                             E-70

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Studies Required:
Implementation Schedule:
                             E-71

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 Strategy 131  - Establish a liasion with a local university to
                help  spur research in goods movement.

 Discussion:   Inefficient movement is a large urban problem yet it
              is poorly understood.  Little work on the problem has
              been done by anybody, including educational institutions.
              By establishing a relationship with a university we
              can learn more about the problem and perhaps stimulate
              work in other universities.  The Federal Department of
              Transportation has established a University Research
              Program which is designed to increase the contributions
              of universities to the solutions of National, State,
              and local transportation problems.  DOT has designated
              a  separate fund for giving grants to universities for
              research under this program.  The City University of
              New York has made contact with the N.Y.C. Transportation
              Administration to determine what transportation projects
              TAD would like to see done.  Suggestions for projects
              are being submitted to CUNY through the Goods Movement
              Technical Committee.  A permanent liaison for goods
             movement at CUNY could be established through this
             program.

Goal:  Introduce goods movement problem to the academic community;
       solicit  assistance in developing suitable control strategies.

Emission Reduction Potential:
Projected Impact on Air Quality:
Time to Implement:  Contact with CUNY has already been made and
                    grants requests are now being prepared by them.
                    Research on the goods movement problem will be
                    a continuing process.

Location Affected:  Depending on the nature of the research this
                    strategy could have effects on local, state,
                    and national levels.

Technical Feasibility:  No technical problems.

Administrative Feasibility:  CUNY has expressed interest in persuing
                             the problem.  Grants from EPA and DOT
                             will be needed to finance the studies.
                             Under the University Research Program
                             DOT has made available $4 million nation-
                             wide for research grants in transportation
                             E-72

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BIBLIOGRAPHIC DATA '• Rel«»" No. 1
SHEET ftnU-IJ/l
"ransportation Control Strategy Development for New York
Metropolitan Area
7. Author(s)
Land Use Planning Branch
9. Performing Organization Name and Address
TRW Transportation and Environmental Operations
7600 Col shire Drive
McLean, Virginia 22101
2. Sponsoring Organization Name and Address
Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711
3- Recipient's Accession No.
5. Report Date
December 1972
6.
8. Performing Organization Rept.
No.
10. Project/Task/Work Unir No,
DU-72-B895
11. Contract/Gram No.
68-02-0041
13. Type of Report & Period
FinCaT"d 8/|3/72
Report 12/15/72
14.
5. supplementary Notes  Prepared to  assist in the development  of transportation control
 plans by those State Governments demonstratinq that National  Ambient Air Quality Stan-
 dards cannot be  attained by  implementing emission  standards  for stationary sources on!
6. Abstracts
 The document demonstrates  the nature of the Air Quality problem attributed to motor
 vehicle operation, the magnitude of the problem and  a strategy developed to neutralize
 these effects in order that National Ambient air  quality standard may be attained and
 maintained.
17. Key Voids and Document Analysis.  17o. Descriptors
 Motor Vehicle emitted pollutants - air pollutants originating within a motor vehicle
                                      and released to the atmosphere.
 National  Ambient Air Quality Standards
Air Quality Standards  promulgated by the
Environmental  Protection Agency and published
as a Federal Regulation in the Federal
Register.
ITb. Identifiers/Open-Ended Terms
 VMT -  Vehicle Miles Traveled
 Vehicle  Mix - distribution ofmotor vehicle population by age group.
 LDV -  light duty vehicle - less than 650Q-lbs.
 HDV -  heavy duty vehicle - greater than  6500 IDS.


17..COSATIField/Group Environmental Quality Control  of Motor Vehicle Pollutants.
18. Availability Statement

  For  release to public
            19.. Security Class (Tl
              Report)

            20. Security''
               "UNCLASSIFIED
                                     all
                                 22. Price
"*9«M NTIMB (REV. a-7II •••••••
                                                                             USCOMM-DC l

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    INSTRUCTIONS  FOR COMPLETING FORM  NTIS-35 (10-70) (Bibliographic Data Sheet based on COSAT1
    Guidelines to Format Standards for Scientific and Technical Reports Prepared by or for die Federal Government,
    PB-1SO 600).

    1.  Report Number.  Each individually bound report shall carry a unique alphanumeric designation selected by the performing
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    2.  Leave blank.

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  17.  Key Word* and Document Analysis, (a).  Descriptors. Select from the Thesaurus of Kngineering and Scientific Terms the
      proper authorized terms that identify the major concept of the research and are sufficiently specific and precise  to be used
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FORM NTIS-3S IHEV. 3-721
                            USCOMM-OC USSf"

•fa V. 9. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE. \V73	7«7«0/'"2

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