SSf
United States      '. The Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, RTP, Nortt.i-Carolina, and
Environmental Protection  The Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office. Cincinnati, Ohio
Agency           October, 1986
Methodology for the Assessment of Health Risks
Associated with Multiple Pathway Exposure to
Municipal Waste Combustor Emissions
                      DEPOSITION
                      ON WATER
                                 DEPOSTION;
                                   GROUND
                   DEPOSITION
                   ON FOOD
                   AND FEED
          RIGATION
             i
             \
                                     EATING
                                     VEGETABLES
              DRINKING
                               INHALATION
                                               DERMAL
                                               ABSORPTION
         - UPTAKE
 A Staff Paper Submitted for Review to the Science Advisory Board

-------
            METHODOLOGY FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF HEALTH RISKS
             ASSOCIATED WITH MULTIPLE PATHWAY EXPOSURE TO
                 MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR EMISSIONS
                 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
The Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, RTP, North Carolina
                                 and
  The Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office, Cincinnati, Ohio
                             October 1986

-------
                                  DISCLAIMER
     This document is  an  external  draft for review purposes only and does not
constitute Agency policy.  Mention  of trade names or commercial products does
not constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
                                       ii

-------
                                   CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES [[[      vii
FIGURES [[[        x
PREFACE [[[       xi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................      xi i
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ..............................................      xix
AUTHORS, CONTRIBUTORS, AND REVIEWERS ...............................     xxii
1.  INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND
2.  MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR TECHNOLOGY AND EMISSIONS .............     2-1
    2. 1  DESCRIPTION OF MWC TECHNOLOGIES ...........................     2-1
         2.1.1  Massburn  Facilities  ................................     2-1
         2.1.2  Small Modular Incinerators  .........................     2-3
         2. 1. 3  Refuse-Derived  Fuel  ................................     2-5
    2.2  DISTRIBUTION OF  EXISTING MUNICIPAL WASTE  COMBUSTION
         FACILITIES IN THE UNITED STATES ...........................     2-7
    2.3  DISTRIBUTION OF  PLANNED MUNICIPAL  WASTE COMBUSTION
         FACILITIES IN THE UNITED STATES ...........................     2-8
    2.4  PROJECTED GROWTH OF MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTION THROUGH
         THE YEAR 2000  .............................................     2-11
    2. 5  MUNICIPAL WASTE  COMBUSTOR  EMISSIONS .......................     2-15

3.  EXPOSURE .MODELING OF  MUNICIPAL  WASTE COMBUSTOR EMISSIONS  .......     3-1
    3.1  THE INDUSTRIAL SOURCE  COMPLEX MODEL .......................     3-6
    3.2  THE HUMAN  EXPOSURE MODEL (HEM)  ............................     3-15
    3. 3  TERRESTRIAL  FOOD CHAIN MODEL ..............................     3-25
         3.3.1  General Considerations  .............................     3-26
                3.3.1.1   Most-Exposed Individuals (MEIs)  ...........     3-26
                3.3.1.2   Soil Deposition Rate  of Contaminants  ......     3-27
                3.3.1.3   Soil Incorporation of Deposited  Con-
                          tami nants  .................................     3-28
                3.3.1.4   Contaminant Loss  from Soils  ...............     3-28
                3.3.1.5   Contaminant Uptake Relationships
                          in  Plants  .................................     3-29
                3.3.1.6  Contaminant Uptake by Animal  Tissues  ......     3-31
                3.3.1.7  Human  Diet ................................     3-31
          3.3.2  Deposition-Soil-Plant-Human Toxicity  Exposure
                 Pathway ............................................     3~32
                 3.3.2.1  Assumptions ...............................     3-32
                 3.3.2.2  Calculation Method ........................     3-32
                 3.3.2.3  Input  Parameter Requirements ..............     3-37
                 3.3.2.4  Example  Calculations  ......................     3-37
          3.3.3   Deposition-Human  Toxicity  ("Pica")  Exposure

-------
                             CONTENTS (continued)
                                                                         Page
                3.3.3.3  Input Parameter Requirements 	     3-41
                3.3.3.4  Example Calculations	     3-43
         3.3.4  Exposure Pathways for Herbivorous Animals for
                Human Consumption 	     3~44
                3.3.4.1  Assumptions	     3-44
                3.3.4.2  Calculation Method	     3-44
                3.3.4.3  Input Parameter Requirements	     3-46
                3.3.4.4  Example Calculations 	"	     3-50
    3.4  SURFACE RUNOFF	     3-53
         3.4.1  General Considerations	     3-53
         3.4.2  Assumptions 	     3-53
         3.4.3  Calculations 	     3-55
         3.4.4  Required Inputs 	     3-64
         3.4.5  Example	     3-64
                3.4.5.1  Tier 1	     3-66
                3.4.5.2  Tier 2/3	     3-68
    3.5  GROUNDWATER INFILTRATION	.'	     3-76
         3.5.1  General Considerations	     3-76
         3.5.2  Assumptions 	     3-77
         3.5.3  Calculations 	     3-77
         3.5.4  Requi red Inputs	     3-86
         3.5.5  Example	     3-88
                3.5.5.1  Tier 1	     3-88
                3.5.5.2  Tier 2/3	     3-91
    3.6  DERMAL EXPOSURE MODEL	     3-95
         3.6.1  General Considerations 	     3-95
                3.6.1.1  Most-Exposed Individual  (MEIs) 	     3-95
         3.6.2  Deposition-Human ("Dermal") Toxicity Exposure
                Pathway		     3-95
                3.6.2.1  Assumptions	     3-95
                3.6.2.2  Calculation Method 	     3-96
                3.6.2.3  Input Parameter Requirements ,	     3-98
                3.6.2.4  Example Calculations 	     3-101

4.  ESTIMATING CARCINOGENIC AND NONCARCINOGENIC RISKS TO HUMANS BY
    INDIRECT EXPOSURE 	     4-1
    4.1  DETERMINATION OF THE ADJUSTED REFERENCE INTAKE (RIA) 	  '   4-2
         4.1.1  Threshold-Acting Toxicants 	     4-2
                4.1.1.1  Risk Reference Dose (RfD) 	     4-2
                4.1.1.2  Human Body Weight (BW) 	     4-3
                4.1.1.3  Relative Effectiveness of Exposure  (RE) ...     4-3
                4.1.1.4  Total  Background Intake of Pollutant
                         (TBI) 	     4-4
         4.1.2  Calculation of RIA for Cadmium	     4-5
         4.1.3  Non-Threshold Toxicants -- Carcinogens 	     4-6
                                      iv

-------
                             CONTENTS (continued)
                                                                         Page
                4.1.3.1  Human Cancer Potency (qj) 	     4-8
                4.1.3.2  Risk Level (RL) 	     4-8
                4.1.3.3  Human Body Weight (BW) 	     4-8
                4.1.3.4  Total Background Intake of Pollutant
                         (TBI) 	    4-8
                4.1.3.5  Relative Effectiveness of Exposure (RE) ...     4-9
         4.1.4  Calculation of RIA for Benzo(a)Pyrene 	     4-9
    4.2  COMPARISON OF DAILY INTAKES (DI) AND DERMAL DAILY INTAKE
         (DDI) WITH THE ADJUSTED REFERENCE INTAKE (RIA) 	     4-10
    4.3  DETERMINATION OF THE REFERENCE WATER CONCENTRATION
         (RWC) 	     4-10
         4.3.1 . Threshold-Acting Toxicants	     4-10
                4.3.1.1  Risk Reference Dose (RfD)	     4-11
                4.3.1.2  Human Body Weight (BW) 	     4-11
                4.3.1.3  Water Ingestion Rate (I ) 	     4-11
                4.3.1.4  Relative Effectiveness Sf Exposure (RE) ...     4-12
                4.3.1.5  Total Background Intake Pollutant (TBI) ...     4-12
                4.3.1.6  Bioconcentration Factor (BCF) 	     4-12
                4.3.1.7  Fish Consumption Rate (If) 	     4-15
         4.3.2  Calculation of RWCw for Cadmium .!	     4-18
         4.3.3  Non-Threshold Toxicants — Carcinogens 	     4-18
         4.3.4  Calculation of RWC  for Benzo(a)Pyrene	     4-19
    4.4  COMPARISON OF CONTAMINANTWCONCENTRATIONS (Ci and Xi) WITH
         REFERENCE WATER CONCENTRATIONS (RWC) 	     4-20

5.  ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS FROM MWC EMISSIONS 	     5-1
    5.1  TERRESTRIAL FOOD CHAIN MODEL 	     5-1
         5.1.1  General Considerations	     5-1
                5.1.1.1  Most-Exposed Individuals (MEIs)	     5-1
                5.1.1.2  Soil Deposition Rate of Contaminants 	     5-2
                5.1.1.3  Soil Incorporation of Deposited
                         Contami nants 	     5-2
                5.1.1.4  Contaminant Loss from Soils 	     5-2
                5.1.1.5  Contminant Uptake Relationship 	     5-2
                5.1.1.6  Toxicity Thresholds for Nonhuman
                         Organi sms 	     5-2
         5.1.2  Exposure Pathways for Toxicity to Herbivorous
                Animals 	     5-3
                5.1.2.1  Assumptions 	     5-3
                5.1.2.2  Calculation Method	     5-3
                5.1.2.3  Input Parameter Requirements 	     5-4
                5.1.2.4  Example Calculations 	     5-4
         5.1.3  Deposition-Soil-Plant Toxicity Exposure Pathway 	     5-5

-------
                             CONTENTS (continued)
                5.1.3.1  Assumptions	     5-5
                5.1.3.2  Calculation Method	     5-5
                5.1.3.3  Input Parameter Requirements 	     5-5
                5.1.3.4  Example Calculations	     5-5
         5.1.4  Exposure Pathways for Toxicity to Soil  Biota and
                Their Predators	     5-5
                5.1.4.1  Deposition-Soil-Soil Biota Toxicity
                         Exposure Pathway 	     5-5
                5.2.4.2  Deposition-Soil-Soil Biota Predator
                         Toxicity Exposure Pathway 	     5-6
    5.2  SURFACE RUNOFF AND GROUNDWATER MODELS 	     5-10
         5.2.1  General Considerations 	     5-10
                5.2.1.1  Aquatic Life Protection 	     5-10
                5.2.1.2  Wildlife Protection 	     5-11

REFERENCES	     6-1

APPENDIX A	     A-l
APPENDIX B	     B-l
                                      VI

-------
LIST OF TABLES
Number
2-1

2-2

2-3
2-4

2-5
2-6
2-7
3-1
3-2
3-3

3-4

3-5

3-6

3-7

3-8

3-9

3-10



Planned MSW Combustion Facilities for States with the
Greatest Growth 	
Percentage by Region of the Forecast Waste to Energy
Throughout 1985-2000 	
Pollutants Quantified in Municipal Combustion Emissions ...
Summary Matrix of Emissions Data Gathered for MSW
Incinerators 	
Emissions Data for Massburn MWC Facilities 	
Uncontrolled Metals Emission Factors for MWCs 	
Controlled Inorganic Emissions from the Hampton MWC 	
Modeling Parameters for the Model Plant 	
Model ing Parameters for Hampton, VA 	
Summary of Scavenging Coefficients Expressed per Second
of Time, Used in Computing Wet Surface Deposition 	
Particle Size Distribution Determined in Particulate
Matter Emissions at the Braintree MWC 	
Typical Particle Size Distribution Determined in
Particulate Emissions at the Wurzburg Massburn MWC 	
Ratio of Metal Emissions as a Function of Particle
Diameter 	
Unit Cancer Risk Estimates for Inhalation Exposure to
Specific Chemicals 	
Ambient Air Concentrations of B(a)P as Predicted by the
ISC Model (with ESP control ) 	
Ambient Air Concentrations of B(a)P as Predicted by the
ISC Model (with Dry Scrubber-Fabric Filters) 	
HEM Output as to the Distribution of Risk by Population
Resulting from B(a)P Emissions at the Model Plant (with
ESP control ) 	
Page

2-13

2-14
2-16

2-16
2-20
2-22
2-22
3-5
3-5

3-10

3-12

3-12

3-13

3-20

3-21

3-22


3-23
      vn

-------
LIST OF TABLES (continued)
Number
3-11


3-12
3-13
3-14

3-15

3-16

3-17

3-18
3-19
3-20
3-21
3-22

3-23
3-24
3-25

4-1

4-2


HEM Output as to the Distribution of Risk by '.Population
Resulting from B(a)P Emissions at the Model Plant (with
Dry Scrubber-Fabric Filter Control) 	
Average Daily Dry-Weight Consumption of Food Groups, Based
on a Reanalysis of the FDA Revised Total Diet Food List ...
Assumptions for Terrestrial Food Chain 	
Assumptions for Deposition-Soil-Plant-Human Toxicity
Exposure Pathway 	
Average Percent of Annual Consumption which is Homegrown
for Various Foods, Rural Farm Households 	
Assumptions for Deposition-Human Toxicity ("Pica")
Exposure Pathway 	
Assumptions for Pathways Dealing with Herbivorous
Animal s 	
Surface Runoff Methodology Assumptions 	
Input Parameters for the Runoff Pathway Methodology 	
Input Parameters for the Example Calculations 	
Assumptions for the Groundwater Pathway Methodology 	
Metal Contaminants Simulated in the Geochemical Portion
of the Groundwater Pathway 	
Input Parameters for Groundwater Pathway 	
Input Parameters for the Example Calculations 	
Assumptions and Uncertainties for Dermal Exposure
Model 	
Illustrative Categorization of Carcinogenic Evidence
Based on Animal and Human Data 	 	
Water Ingestion and Body Weight by Age-Sex Group in
the United States 	
rage

3/\*\
-23
3-33
3-34

3-36

3-36

3-43

3-46
3-54
3-65
3-67
3-78

3-82
3-89
3-90

3-97

4-7

4-12
           vm

-------
                        LIST OF TABLES (continued)


                                                                       Page

       United States Annual Per Capita Consumption of
       Commercial Fish and Shellfish, 1960-1984 	     4-16

5-1    Assumptions for Ecological Effects for Terrestrial
       Food Chain	     5-7

5-2    Assumptions for Deposition-Soil-Soil Biota-Predator
       Toxicity Exposure Pathway	     5-8
                                     ix

-------
                                    FIGURES

Number
 1-1     Potential Exposure Pathways to Pollutants Emitted from
         the Stacks of Municipal Waste Combustors 	     1-5
 2-1     Massburn MSW Incinerator with Overfeed Stoker Grates 	     2-2
 2-2     Smal1 Modular Incinerator with Heat Recovery 	     2-4
 2-3     RDF Processing Facility with On-Site Boiler 	     2-6
 2-4     Distribution of Existing Installed Incinerator Capacity  ,
         by Design Type	• • •     2-8
 2-5     Distribution of Municipal Waste Combustors in the U.S.
         by Region	     2-9
 2-6     Distribution of Installed MSW Incinerator Capacity by
         Design Type	     2-11
 2-7     Projected Growth of Municipal Waste Combustion Between
         1986 and 1990	     2-12
 3-1     Surface Runoff Pathway Methodology 	     3-56
 3-2     Logic Flow for Groundwater Pathway Evaluation 	     3-80
 3-3     Example MINTEQ Speciation Results for Entry of a Contami-
         nant into the Standard Zone for Condition of pH = 7.0 and
         Eh-1.50 mv	     3-87
 3-4     Groundwater Cadmium Speciation 	     3-94

-------
                                    PREFACE

     Parts of  this  document have been taken directly from Development of Risk
Assessment Methodology for  Land  Application and Distribution  and  Marketing
of  Municipal  Sludge  (U.S.  EPA, 1986h)  and Development of  Risk Assessment
Methodology  for  Municipal  Sludge  Landfilling  (U.S.  EPA,   1986i).   These
documents  are undergoing  review  by the  Environmental  Engineering  Committee
of  the Science Advisory Board.
                                        XI

-------
                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
     Each year  the collective  social  and commercial  activity in the  United
States produces  >150  million tons of discarded waste.   Commonly  termed munici-
pal solid waste  (MSW), this discarded material must somehow be managed to avoid
undesirable adverse consequences on human life, and the vitality of terrestrial
and aquatic life.
     The age-old solution to the problem of managing MSW has been to dispose of
the waste  in  the ground in  land  areas dedicated to that purpose.   Currently
about 80% of the.MSW  is disposed of by land burial in ~10,000 landfills nation-
wide.  If  not properly sited, designed,  and managed,  these  landfills  can cause
serious  damage  to  the environment.  For example, gases can  escape the landfill
and travel to residential areas potentially impacting human health,  or contami-
nated  leachate  can migrate off-site into sources of potable drinking  water  and
into sensitive natural ecosystems.  Because of the possible adverse environmen-
tal  impact  posed by landfills, many States have imposed strict siting require-
ments, landfill  cover requirements, leachate collection and treatment require-
ments, landfill  gas capture  and treatment requirements, and groundwater monitor-
ing  requirements to the design and operation of landfills.   These requirements
have  significantly increased the cost of disposing MSW in landfills,  and have
limited  land  areas  suitable  for landfill sites.
     Meanwhile  the amount of MSW  needing  disposal  continues to  increase with
the  increase  in  the U.S. population.   By the year 2000 U.S. society may be faced
with  managing the disposal  of >250 million tons of MSW each year.  Methods of
waste  management are  limited by available technology.   Communities can continue
to  only  landfill MSW, or they can utilize technologies that will substantially
reduce the  volume of waste  that  is ultimately landfilled,  e.g., recycling  of
waste  and  incineration of waste.   While recycling strategies are being encour-
aged  and fostered, many communities  are  turning to municipal waste combustion
(MWCs) in order  to incinerate and reduce  the  volume of waste by  70-90%.   Current
MWC  technology  is a distinct improvement in the design, combustion efficiency,
and  pollution control  over combustors planned and constructed  a  decade ago.
                                       xn

-------
They not only reduce the volume of waste, but have the added advantage of ther-
mally recovering energy  from  combustion in the form of steam or hotwater that
can be  used  in  industrial  cogeneration,  used  to generate  electricity,  and used
to heat and cool residential and commercial properties.
     The U.S. EPA predicts a substantial growth in MWC will occur over the next
10-20 years.  Today  99 MWCs nationwide incinerate about 4% of the annual vol-
ume of  MSW,  whereas  it is conceivable that by the year 2000  one-third of the
MSW will  be  incinerated in >300 MWCs.   There  is a definite trend moving toward
incineration of MSW, and away from exclusively landfilling the waste.
     The U.S. EPA has a limited opportunity to prospectively evaluate the poten-
tial environmental and health impact that may result from a sudden proliferation
of  municipal  waste combustion.   In  this regard the agency has  developed a
methodology  for the evaluation  of emissions of  pollutants into the atmos-
phere from the  stacks  of MWCs during  incineration.  The  methodology consists
of  a  series  of  environmental  fate and transport models that utilize the known
physical  and  chemical  properties of specific pollutants to predict the atmos-
pheric dispersion from stack emissions, the potential for surface deposition and
accumulation; the  movement of the settled pollutants through and into various
environmental media; the  potential  bioaccumulation  of pollutants into trophic
systems;  the  potential  for adverse effects on the vitality of natural  ecosy-
stems;  and the  potential  for adverse effects on human health.  With regard to
evaluating potential human health effects, the methodology will estimate health
risks resulting from inhalation of predicted ambient air concentrations of pol-
lutants; ingestion of pollutants deposited on the ground an bioaccumulated into
the food  chain;  ingestion of potable water or aquatic  organisms contaminated
by  the  surface  runoff  and the leaching  and percolation of settled pollutants
into water supplies; and ingestion of soil  particles contaminated by deposited
incinerator emissions.
     The utility of  the present methodology is limited by a number of gaps in
the available technical data and significant uncertainties in many of the major
analytical parameters.   There is little question that the methodology can be
improved by  further  research.   One major  limitation  is  that  the methodology
focuses only  on pollutants emitted from the stacks  of MWCs.   Ideally the total
pollutant loading resulting from the incineration process  should be evaluated,
                                     xiii

-------
e.g., ash  residues,  aqueous residues, and stack emissions.  The evaluation of
stack emissions  is  further limited by the  relatively  small  number of organic
and inorganic pollutants that have been measured in MWC emissions. A final con-
straint on the  methodology is the limited amount of data regarding the physi-
cal and chemical  behavior of specific pollutants  in  the natural  environment,
and the adverse impact these pollutants may have on human health.
     In the evaluation of the potential environmental  impact  of combustion
sources,  the U.S.  EPA  has traditionally focused on air emissions from the
source, and on the  human health risks  from  direct  inhalation  of predicted
ambient air concentrations of pollutants.  The present methodology represents
an  expansion of  the analytical  scope-to include  consideration of multiple
pollutants,  multiple exposure pathways,  carcinogenic  and noncarcinogenic  risks
posed to humans,  and potential adverse effects to the natural environment.
     Human exposure  to  incinerator emissions results  from direct  inhalation of
ambient air concentrations of the pollutants and indirectly from skin contact
of  the  pollutants,  and  ingestion  of contaminated soil particles, water  and
food.  Detailed experimental evaluation of the environmental fate and transport
of  MWC  emissions have not been conducted under actual conditions.  Therefore,
mathematical  models of fate  and transport are  currently the  most feasible
alternative to  the assessment of exposure  to  MWC  emissions.   In  addition to
estimating concentrations  that will  be  inhaled, these models can also be used
to  estimate the potential accumulation  in  soils of  pollutants  adverse to the
promotion  of human, animal and plant life, and accumulation of  pollutants into
the human  and ecological  food chain.   The models specifically used  in this
analysis  of MWC emissions are:  the Human Exposure Model (HEM), the Industrial
Source  Complex Short-Term  Air Dispersion Model; the Terrestrial  Food Chain
Model,  the Surface Runoff Model, the  Groundwater  Contaminant Model,  and the
Dermal  Exposure Model.
     Given the  complexities of predicting the environmental fate  and transport
of  specific chemicals emitted, as well  as predicting multiple  routes  of human
exposure  to specific chemicals, it  is not currently feasible nor practical to
apply the  models to every existing or planned MWC.   Therefore,  the methodology
employs a  simplified modeling  approach by using  a hypothetical  plant  (in
                                       xiv

-------
western  Florida)  to characterize the potential adverse  impacts  of emissions
from technologies  typical  of MWCs currently being planned  or  considered,  and
the Hampton, Virginia MWC to represent a reasonable worst case of the potential
adverse impacts on air pollutant emissions from existing MWC technology.

The Industrial Source Complex Model (ISC)
     The  industrial  source complex model is used to predict the dispersion of
smokestack  emissions from the  hypothetical  plant and  the  Hampton facility
through  the atmosphere,  as well as to predict  both wet and dry  deposition of
pollutants  onto the surface.   Assessments of potential  risk from air emissions
have primarily  been concerned with health risks resulting from direct inhala-
tion of ambient air  concentrations of pollutants.   The ISC assists in extending
the risk evaluation to a consideration of their routes of population exposure
to  environmental  pollutants and allows  the  U.S.  EPA  to predict the  rate  of
deposition,  over  time,  of pollutants believed to be adsorbed onto particulate
matter  in the smokestack exhaust gas,  and attempt to  calculate the spatial and
temporal  accumulation  of these pollutants on the soil, surface water, ground-
water and terrestrial food chain.
     For  purposes  of exposure analysis  from MWC emissions,  the ISC Short-Term
(ISCST) model program is utilized.  The  program makes mathematical calculations
of dispersion and  dry deposition and produces a printout of these values.  How-
ever, the ISCST model  as originally developed  had no  provision for calculating
wet deposition of  the emissions.  Because this deposition pathway is considered
to  be of potential significance, the present methodology included an algorithm
to  estimate the effect of precipitation events on the rate of surface deposi-
tion.

Human Exposure Model (HEM)
     The  ISCST output is a concentration array for a total  of  160 receptors,  or
10  receptors along each of 16 wind directions, specified in concentric  radial
distances from  each facility of 0.2, 0.5, 1, 2, 5, 10, 20,  30, 40 and 50  kilo-
meters  computed  every  22.5° on  a  radius-polar grid pattern.   This  output  is  a
suitable  format for utilization with  HEM.   HEM is a  general  model that  has
been  routinely  used with  the EPA's air regulatory  program to estimate the
carcinogenic risk  to the population exposed  by  inhalation to predicted  ambient
                                      xv

-------
air concentrations  of specified pollutants.  The HEM  also  is capable of air
dispersion modeling,  and is often used in  nationwide analysis of source cate-
gories.

Terrestrial Food Chain Model (TFC)
     Contaminants associated with emissions from MWC are subject to deposition
on surfaces downwind  form the MWC.  The fallout may be deposited on soil and/or
vegetation.
     Humans in the  vicinity of the MWC have the potential to ingest contaminated
soil directly or consume vegetation and animal  tissues containing the contami-
nants.  The TFC model has separate components for examining each potential expo-
sure pathway.   These components describe methods for  using  empirical data  on
contaminant uptake  by plant or animal tissues to estimate tissue concentrations,
and for integrating these estimates to give a picture of potential human dietary
exposure.  Potential  exposure of  children resulting from soil ingestion ("pica")
is also estimated.

Surface Runoff Model
     Contaminants associated with particulates  emitted by MWCs are subject to
deposition on surfaces downwind from the MWC at rates determined by meteorology,
terrain,  and  particle physics.  This fallout is subsequently subject  to dissolu-
tion and/or suspension on runoff  after precipitation events.  Runoff  moves over
the  surface  of the earth to a  surface  water body where it  mixes  with other
waters.   As  a consequence,  humans utilizing water from the surface water body
or  aquatic  life living  therein may be  exposed  to runoff transported contami-
nants.
     The  methodology is  formulated in three successive  tiers that begin with
simple  but  very conservative estimates, and proceed to more detailed analyses
if  the first tiers predict unacceptable risks.  Both acute events and chronic
exposure  are  evaluated,  using standard approaches to  calculate runoff volume
and  associated  runoff potential.   The methodology was originally developed to
evaluate  impacts from the application of municipal waste-waters  sludge to land.
                                       xvi

-------
Groundwater Infiltration Model
     Contaminants associated with particulate emitted  from MWCs  are  subject to
deposition on surfaces downward from the  facility.   This fallout is subsequently
subject to dissolution in rain or meltwater from precipitation events.  The dis-
solved portion  can  follow one of two pathways:  either move  over  the surface
as runoff  to  a surface water body or infiltrate into  the ground and recharge
the groundwater.  As a consequence,  persons using the groundwater may be exposed
to groundwater transported contaminants.   Aquatic life inhibiting surface water
bodies fed by the contaminated aquifer could be exposed as well.
     The methodology  derived  to  calculate risks from  the groundwater pathway
was originally  developed  to  evaluate  impacts from the  landfilling  of municipal
sludge.  As for surface runoff, this methodology is formulated in three succes-
sive tiers.   Only  chronic exposure  is evaluated using standard  approaches to
calculate  leachate  generation  and associated groundwaters transport  in the un-
saturated zone.

Dermal Exposure Model
     The dermal  exposure  model  refers to human skin contact with contaminants
from emissions  of  MWC deposited on the soil.   The tissue of dermal absorption
of deposited contaminants is very complex.  There is a fundamental  lack of data
for percutaneous absorption of chemicals  in human skin from soil.  Other factors
important  for  estimation  of  human exposure  to  contaminants by the  dermal  route
also have  many uncertainties.   The  model  described  in  this document  is offered
as a possible approach for the estimation of human exposure and risk associated
with a dermal  exposure,  but it  is  recognized  that  in  most,  if not all cases,
the available data will not provide a satisfactory basis for risk calculations.
Systemic toxic  thresholds or carcinogenic potencies of chemicals  by a dermal
route of exposure have not been delineated by the U.S.  EPA at the present  time.

Ecological Effects from MWC Emissions
     Methods to  assess risk  to terrestrial organisms  represent a follow-up to
the Terrestrial  Food  Chain (TFC) model.   Components for  assessing effects of
deposited pollutants on herbivores, soil  biota, predators of  soil biota, and
                                     xvn

-------
plants are  included.   Methods to assess risk to aquatic organisms and wildlife
preying on  aquatic organisms follow from the  surface  runoff and groundwater
infiltration models.   Surface water concentrations predicted by  these models
are used to predict adverse  effects on  aquatic  organisms or wildlife.

Example Calculations
      Two  chemicals have been selected to provide example calculations of risk:
benzo(a)pyrene [B(a)P] and  cadmium (Cd).   Both  chemicals  are used only as
examples  for each methodology.  The .examples are shown for the Human Exposure,
Terrestrial  Food  Chain,  Surface Runoff, Groundwater Infiltration and  Dermal
Exposure  models.  The purpose  of  the  examples are  to  assist the  reader in  the
functional  operation of the calculations for each methodology.
                                       xviii

-------
                             LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
AD                 Annual deposition rate of pollutant (g/m2 [year]"1)
ADI                Acceptable daily intake (mg/kg/day)
AF                 Absorption fraction (%/day)
AFC                Animal feed concentration (ug/day)
AQDM               Air Quality Display Model
B(a)P              Benzo(a)pyrene
BCF                Bioconcentration factor (Jfc/kg)
B6/ED              Block group/enumeration district
BI                 Background intake of pollutant (mg/kg)
BW                 Body weight (kg)
CA                 Contact amount (mg/cm2)
Cd                 Cadmium
CD                 Cumulative soil deposition of pollutant (kg/ha)
CDM                Climato"logical Dispersion Model
Ci                 Concentration of contaminant i in receiving water (mg/£)
cm                 Centimeter
CRSTER             Single Source Model
CT                 Contact time (hours/day)
DA                 Daily dietary consumption of animal tissue food group
                   (g DW/day)
DC                 Daily dietary consumption of crop food group (g DW/day)
DDI                Human dermal daily intake (ug/day)
DI                 Human daily intake (ug/day)
DW                 Dry weight
EDA                Exposure duration adjustment (unitless)
ESP                Electrostatic precipitator
FA                 Fraction of food group (unitless)
FC                 Fraction of crop (unitless)
FF                 Fabric filters
FS                 Fraction of animal diet adhering to soil (unitless)
                                      xix

-------
                       LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS (continued)
ha                 Hectare
HEM                Human exposure model
1^                 Human consumption of fish
Ig                 Soil ingestion rate (g DW/day)
I                  Total water ingestion rate (£/day)
 W
ISC                Industrial Source Complex
ISCLT              ISC  long  term
ISCST              ISC  short term
k                  Loss rate constant  (years  *)
LC                 Maximal soil concentration (ug/g)
MEI                Most-exposed individual
Mg                 Megagram
MS                 2.7  x  103 Mg/ha  = Assumed  mass  of  upper soil  layer (20 cm)
mt                 Metric tons
MWC                Municipal waste  combustor
 PCDD               Polychlorodibenzodioxins
 PCDF               Polychlorodibenzofurans
 PFC                 Predator feed concentration  (ug/g)
 PM                 Particulate matter
 PVC                 Polyvinyl chloride
 q*                 Human cancer potency (mg/kg/day) 1
 RDF                Refuse-derived fuel
 R£                 Relative effectiveness of ingestion exposure (unitless)
                    Risk reference dose (mg/kg/day)
                    Adjusted reference intake (ug/day)
 RI_                 Risk level (unitless)
                    Reference water concentration  (mg/£)
                    Exposed  skin surface area (cm2)
                    Small modular incinerators
                    Total period of deposition (years)
                                        xx

-------
                       LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS (continued)
                   Threshold feed concentration (ug/g DW)
                   Total background intake (mg/day)
                   2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodi benzodi oxi n
TPD                Tons per day
UA                 Uptake response slope in animal tissue (ug/g feed DW
                   [ug/g]'1)
UB                 Uptake response slope in soil  biota (ug/g [kg/ha]"1)
uc                 Uptake response slope in crops (ug/g [kg/ha]"1)
xi                 Concentration of leachate entering aquifer (mg/£)
                                     xxi

-------
                                    AUTHORS
0. Cleverly
Pollutant Assessment Branch
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Air and Radiation
Research Triangle Park, NC  27711

L. Fradkin
Environmental Criteria and Assessement Office
Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
Office of Research and Development
Cincinnati, OH  45268

R. J. F. Bruins
Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office
Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
Office of Research and Development
Cincinnati, OH  45268

P.  M. McGinnis
Center for  Chemical Hazard Assessment
Syracuse Research Corporation
Syracuse, NY   13210

G.  W. Dawson
 ICF Northwest
 Rich!and, WA   99352

 R.  Bond
 ICF'Northwest
 Rich!and, WA  99352
                           CONTRIBUTORS, AND REVIEWERS
 N. C. Possiel
 Air Dispersion Modeling
 Source Receptor Analysis Branch
 Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
 Office of Air and Radiation
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 Research Triangle Park, NC  27711

 G. J. Schewe
 Air Dispersion Modeling
 PEI Associates, Inc.
 Cincinnati, OH  45246
                                      xxii

-------
H. V. Geary
Air Dispersion Modeling
H. E. Cramer Company, Inc.
Salt Lake City, UT  84115


     Technical  assistance was  provided by the  Environmental Criteria  and
Assessment Office and Northrop Services, Inc., Research Triangle Park, NC.
                                     xxi n

-------
                        1.  INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND
     The Environmental  Protection  Agency (EPA) estimates that more  than 150
million tons  of municipal  solid waste (MSW)  are  generated  each  year in  the
United States  (U.S.  EPA, 1986a).   Only about  5.8  million tons, or  3.7 percent,
of the MSW  presently generated are incinerated in  approximately 99  municipal
waste combustors  (MWCs).   By  comparison about 137 million tons of  MSW are
buried each year in  about  10,000  municipal,  county, and privately  operated
sanitary landfills.   Over 80 percent of MSW is disposed through landfill ing the
waste.  Currently, EPA estimates that more MSW is recycled and recovered as raw
materials for manufacturing (12.7 million tons/year), than is  incinerated.
     Many states  have implemented  strict requirements governing  the siting of
sanitary landfills,  and the daily operation of landfills.   States  have  imple-
mented rules  requiring extensive  geologic  and hydro!ogic study of  proposed
sites for new sanitary landfills.  In many cases potential  and existing  sources
of groundwater  must  be identified, and extensive soil  and  geologic  analysis
must  be made  to assess the potential for leachate contamination  migrating off
the proposed  site.   In many states,  existing  landfills  must conform  to  regula-
tions specifying  daily operational management practices at  landfills including
covering the  disposed MSW,  prevention of percolation of rain  water through the
landfill,  leachate  collection and treatment processes, and the  placement of
groundwater monitoring  wells.   Stricter  environmental  regulations  are limiting
the land areas suitable for landfilling, as well  as significantly increasing
the costs of siting, operating, and closing sanitary landfills.
      Faced  with increasing problems  of  land disposal, many  communities  are
actively considering or pursuing incineration as a disposal  alternative.  These
systems are designed for the recovery of heat from refuse  combustion in the
form  of steam or hot water to be used as an energy source to generate electric-
ity,  to supplement  energy  demands  of industry, and for use  in district  heating
and cooling of residential  and commercial  properties.   In addition to heat
recovery, MWCs  reduce the  volume  of  waste  requiring landfill ing by 70 to  90

October 1986                        1-1        DRAFT-DO NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
percent,  and  therefore extend  the  operational  life of  existing landfills.
Without a  reduction  in the volume of waste that ultimately is landfilled some
urban areas will  soon  reach  the design capacity of existing  landfills  and will
be compelled  to  select some  method of MSW  disposal  or face a possible waste
disposal crisis.
     The  EPA  estimates  that  significant  growth  in the  population of MWCs will
occur in  the  United  States between 1985 and the year  2000.   In  1985 approxi-
mately 47,000  tons per day (TPD) of MSW was incinerated in 99 facilities.   By
EPA estimates, this  may rise to a daily volume of 156,000 TPD in 223  facili-
ties by the year 1990 (U.S. EPA, 1986a).   In the year 2000 about  310 additional
MWCs may  be  incinerating about 252,000 tons of  MSW per day.   If  it is  assumed
that very  few of the existing incinerators are  permanently shut  down over the
next 14 years, then it is possible that 33 percent of the projected MSW through-
put in  the year  2000 may be  incinerated in about 400  facilities nationwide.
All of  the future population of MWCs  are expected to be  heat recovery  systems,
whereas about  66 percent of  existing MWCs have  heat recovery. Data on plants
in the  planning  or construction stage suggest that MWCs with a total  capacity
of over 1000  tons per day will  make  up over 50 percent  of the new  facilities
built by 1990.
     The preferred solid waste management  practice seems to  be  shifting away
from  land disposal of  MSW to  incineration, and  a  large growth  in MWCs  is
expected to occur over a relatively short  time period.   A fundamental issue
attendant  to  this sudden growth  is  the  total environmental   impact that may
result from the  emissions of pollutants from the  incinerators.   Ideally incin-
erator emissions  should  be evaluated according  to the  way in which  they parti-
tion into  various  environmental media,  i.e., air, water, and soil.   Emissions
should be  thought  of as the the  total pollution  loading originating from  the
incineration  process,  e.g.,  solid residues, aqueous residues, and  stack gas
emissions.  Such  emissions should be studied in a manner that determines  the
ultimate biological,  physical and chemical  disposition  of the pollutants in  the
human and  natural  environment, and in a manner  that elucidates  the ultimate
adverse effect to human health, and stresses to  the natural environment.
     Ideally  the aggregate environmental  assessment should  be treated as  an
audit  and rely  upon  actual  field measurements  and observations  of  both
ecological and human health  effects that can be statistically associated with
pollution  loadings  from MWCs.   The environmental  audit,  however, should
encompass  various technologies,  various  physical settings, and MWCs with
October 1986                        1-2        DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
various  degrees  of pollution  control.   The  audit  would require  extensive
monitoring in  the land area that could be potentially impacted from emissions,
and would  index  and trace the movement of all pollutants through the environ-
ment that arise from the incineration process.  The indexed pollutants would be
traced  for accumulation through certain trophic systems, including the human
food web.  Stressing of, and toxicity to, interconnected terrestrial and aquatic
ecosystems would  be observed.   Ambient air measurements of  pollutants  would be
measured.  The biological  and  chemical kinetics of  adsorption,  absorption,
metabolism,  transformation,  and degradation would be recorded.  The persist-
ence, decay, transformation, or magnification of pollutants transported through
the atmosphere,  soil,  water bodies, and biota would  be measured.   The human
population would  be extensively observed, over a long period of time, to see if
pollutants given  off during MSW incineration have  any  observable  acute,  sub-
chronic,  or  chronic effects on their  health. To date an evaluation of this
magnitude  and  completeness has not been done on any operating municipal waste
combustor.
     There exists a need to somehow evaluate the potential  adverse environmen-
tal effects  from MWC emissions.  Lacking information from a complete environ-
mental  assessment of representative MWC technologies, the  EPA can turn to a
different  set  of tools, tools that involve computer simulation of  the  fate and
transport  of chemicals in the environment.   These tools, or models, attempt to
mimic  actual circumstances, and use field and laboratory measurements  of water
solubility,  vapor  pressure,  octanol-water partitioning,  bioconcentration
factors,  soil  adsorption  constants, degradation  rates,  and half-lives, soil
characteristics,  meteorology and climate as a means of simulating  the  environ-
mental  movement,  accumulation, partitioning  into certain  compartments,  and
potential  human  exposure.   With regard to  the latter,  there is a model that
can match  the  best estimates of the distribution  of the human population to
predicted  ambient air concentrations of containments.   For  the most part these
simulation models are  emerging  tools that can potentially enlarge the analytical
horizon and  predict adverse effects before they can be  observed in the field.
To be  sure,  there is a  need  for additional  research as well as field studies  to
refine  these models.
     In the  past the EPA has focused only on the potential  public health risks
posed  by chronic  stack or fugitive emissions of pollutants  from combustion
sources.   These  risks were calculated  as a result  of a  lifetime inhalation  of

October 1986                       1-3       DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
concentrations of pollutants  in  the  ambient air.   The Office  of Air Quality
Planning and  Standards  (OAQPS) of the Office of Air and Radiation  (OAR),  and
the Environmental  Criteria and  Assessment  Office  (ECAO-Cincinnati)  of the
Office  of  Research and Development (ORD) have  collaborated in an effort  to
develop  a  methodology  to  expand  these analytical horizons.  The methodology
permits  the assessment  of  the potential human health risks  posed by  direct and
indirect exposure pathways  resulting  from the  wet and dry  surface deposition
and ambient air  concentrations of pollutants emitted  from  the  stacks of MWCs.
The pathways  of exposure  are depicted in  Figure  1-1.   The pollutants  are
available  for direct human  inhalation when concentrations are  predicted  by
the models to be in the ambient  air.   The pollutants  are available for dermal
absorption and ingestion when settled to  the top layers  of  the  soil,  migrate to
underground aquifers,  runoff into surface waters,  or bioaccumulate  into the
human  food web  following  prolonged surface deposition.  Finally,  to the extent
practicable and  feasible,  and within  the  constraints of the environmental  fate
and transport models,  the  methodology allows rough estimates to  be made  of the
possible adverse and toxicological effects on plant and  animal  life as a result
of exposure to  deposited  emissions from  MWCs.   The estimated  effects  include
estimates of  soil  biota toxicity,  soil biota predator toxicity,  phytotoxicity,
effects  on herbivorous animals,  and aquatic toxicity.
     The major  limitation  to these analyses is that only the  impact of  stack
emissions  is  being considered.    There  are two other activities within EPA
addressing the  potential  adverse health effects arising from the land  disposal
of solid residues  from municipal waste combustion, e.g.,  fly  ash and bottom
ash.    The  Office of Solid  Waste  is currently evaluating the potential  leaching
of chemical constituents sorbed to the flyash matrix,  and is undertaking health
risk assessment  under  the  authority  of the  Resource, Conservation and Recovery
Act.   The Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation is conducting a comparative
risk assessment  between land disposal of ash,   land disposal of  MSW., and MSW
incineration.   The  results  of these  analyses will  be folded into the analysis
of MWC emissions when the projects have been completed in 1987.
     The purpose of this  report  is to describe  the multipollutant and multiple
exposure pathway risk  assessment methodology that  has been developed to evalu-
ate pollutant emissions from municipal  waste combustors.   The staff paper is
organized by  descriptions  of municipal  waste combustor technology and quanti-
fied stack emissions  (Section 2), methods  for modeling of human exposure

October  1986                        1-4        DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                       DEPOSITION
                       ON WATER
                                     DEPOSITION
                                     ON GROUND
                RUNOFF
PERCOLATION     *^ V
                   DEPOSITION
                   ON FOOD
                   AND FEED
                        IRRIGATION
                              L
                                              EATING
                                              VEGETABLES
             DRINKING
               MILK
                                                           SOIL ,
                                                           INGESTION
             EATING;
                FISH
                                   INHALATION
            DRINKIN
               WATER
                                                         DERMAL
                                                         ABSORPTION
        UPTAKE
        BY BIOTA
Figure 1.1.  Potential Exposure Pathways to Pollutants Emitted from the
            Stacks of Municipal Waste Combustors.
                                 1-5

-------
pathways to emissions  (Section  3),  estimating carcinogenic  and  noncarcinogenic
risks to humans  by  indirect  exposure to MWC emissions  (Section  4),  and methods
for assessing  ecological  effects  (Section 5).   The EPA  recognizes  there are
uncertainties  inherent  in  the methodology.   For example, the methodology can
be applied only  to  the finite number of chemicals  that have actually  been spe-
ciated  in  incinerator  emissions.  There are potentially hundreds of pollutants
that may be  emitted but have not been looked for  or measured.   Emissions for
the most part  were  measured  during  good operations of  the incinerator.   There-
fore, emissions  resulting  from  perturbations, mechanical failures,  excessively
wet garbage  feed,  shutdown and  cold start of the  plant  are not reflected in
the methodology.  In terms of population  risk assessment  the effects of multiple
pollutant exposure  is  assumed to  be additive.   Synergism,  antagonism, and po-
tentiation are not  considered given the  lack of biological  information on the
effects of exposure to mixtures.   There  are other data  limitations that ul-
timately constrain the methodology.   The  methodology  therefore is not a compre-
hensive environmental  audit, but  is best regarded as an  evolving and emerging
process that moves  EPA beyond  the analysis of  potential effects on only one
medium  (air),  one  exposure pathway  (inhalation), and  one animal  species (hu-
mans),  and  proceeds to the  consideration  of  other exposure pathways  and on
other terrestrial and aquatic life.
October 1986                        1-6        DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
            2.  MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR TECHNOLOGY AND EMISSIONS
     The  EPA estimates there are  currently  99 MWCs operating in the  United
States with  a total  design capacity of about 47,000 tons  per day of MSW input.
About 66 percent of these facilities are equipped for the recovery of energy in
the form  of  steam or hot water* during the combustion of refuse.   Technologies
for heat recovery operations may be divided by three principle types of design:
massburn,  small  modular incinerators,  and facilities that produce and combust
refuse-derived fuel (RDF).  These designs are briefly and generically described
in the following subsection.
2.1  DESCRIPTION OF MWC TECHNOLOGIES
2.1.1  Massburn Facilities
     Massburn  is  the  predominant method of incinerating municipal  solid waste.
The  term massburn means  that the  raw  MSW is  combusted as received at the
facility  without  any preprocessing other  than  removing bulky items (stoves,
telephone poles, etc.) and mixing to produce a more homogenous fuel.
     In  a  typical  massburn incinerator, an overhead crane  loads  the waste  from
the  storage  pit to the feed chute.   The feed chute deposits  solid  waste on the
first, or  dry-out,  grate.   Ignition starts  at  the bottom  of the dryout grate
and  is concentrated  on the second, or  combustion,  grate.  The third grate,  a
burn-out grate, provides final combustion of the waste before the resulting ash
falls  into the flooded ash pit  and is  sent to a  landfill.   In  some  cases,
ferrous  metals are  removed from the ash by magnetic separation.  Figure 2-1  is
a  schematic  of a typical  massburn overfeed stoker incinerator.   These  types  of
incinerators are typically field erected.  Individual incinerators can  range in
size from 50 up to 1000 tons per day of capacity.
     There are several  types  of grate  systems  in use with massburn incinera-
tors.  All of  these grate designs are similar in that they are designed to move
the waste through the incinerator and promote complete  combustion.   The grates

October 1986                        2-1         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
ro
i
ro
                                                               sniw
                            Figure 2-1.  Mass Burn HSM  incinerator with overfeed  stoker grates.

-------
use either  a  traveling,  rocking, or reciprocating motion  to accomplish this.
In addition, one recently introduced design uses a rotary combustor rather than
a mechanical grate, followed by an inclined grate for final burnout.
     The incinerator shown in Figure 2-1 has a waterwall furnace to recover the
energy from waste  combustion in the form of steam.   All  new massburn  incinera-
tors are expected  to have waterwall furnaces for energy recovery.  Many older
facilities  have refractor lined walls rather than waterwalls.   However, the
basic grate design is the same.

2.1.2  Small Modular Incinerators (SMI)
     Combustion  of  MSW in SMI was introduced in the  late 1960s.   Small  modular
incinerators  are shop  fabricated on a package basis.  Individual modules were
originally  limited  to  approximately 5  to ,50 tons per day (TPD)  of MSW in size.
However, several manufacturers are currently marketing single modules which can
combust  up  to 100 TPD (Franklin et a!.,  1982).   The  required plant capacity  is
achieved  by using  multiple  modules.   The  modular  system allows  the  plant
capacity to easily be expanded as refuse generation increases.
     Figure 2-2  presents the basic components of a SMI.  The primary chamber is
fed  using  a hopper and ram feed system and ignited using a gas or oil burner.
Air  is supplied to  the primary  chamber  at substoichiometric levels.   This
results  in a  lower air velocity in the primary  combustion  chamber than if
excess air  was used and minimizes entrainment of fuel  particles and ash in the
flue gas.   The incomplete combustion products, primarily  carbon  monoxide and
low  molecular weight hydrocarbons,  pass  into the secondary combustion chamber.
In the secondary chamber, excess air is added and combustion is completed.  The
auxiliary  burner shown in Figure 2-2  is  an integral  part of SMI  and is fired
whenever  the  secondary chamber  temperature falls  below  the  set  point
(Frounfelker,  1979).   The resulting hot  gases  can  be passed through  a heat
recovery  boiler for energy  recovery.   Although several existing  SMI  do not
have heat  recovery,  almost all  new SMI  projected for startup in the next 15
years will  have  heat recovery boilers.
     The  SMI  previously  described  is  typically  called  a controlled air or
starved  air incinerator.   There is another type of  incinerator which also is a
modular design  but operates differently.  This  incinerator is also  ram  fed, but
excess air  is used in the primary chamber,  and  no air  is added  in  the  secondary
chamber.   In  this  case,  the secondary  chamber simply  provides  additional
residence time  to complete combustion.
October 1986                        2-3         DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
H«t Recovery
       Stack
—



*
I
— •
1
srsrs
t
1
ss



J
I IJ
I"~" By-pass Stack
                                                      .- — Damper
                                                               COMIUSTIOM
      Figure  2-2.  Small modular incinerator with heat  recovery.
                                           2-4

-------
2.1.3  Refuse-Derived Fuel (RDF")
     One alternative  to direct incineration of MSW is to process the waste to
produce  RDF.   The  RDF  produced may  then be combusted on-site  in  a  boiler
specifically  dedicated  to that fuel, or  sold  for firing as a fuel off-site.
Figure  2-3 presents  a  schematic of  a  representative RDF  facility with  an
on-site boiler.  The  advantages of producing RDF are that RDF is a more homoge-
nous fuel  with a greater heat  value  per  pound and requires less costly grate
designs  to combust.  Also,  producing RDF  allows  a greater portion of the raw
MSW to be  recovered for recycling.
     The designs of dedicated boilers used  to  combust  RDF are basically the
same as  those for  coal-fired boilers, and can include suspension, stoker, and
fluidized  bed designs.   If the RDF is sold as  a fuel,  it may be  cofired with a
fossil fuel (usually  coal).   Existing dedicated RDF-fired boilers range in size
up  to  1000 TPD  (based  on the raw MSW input into  the  RDF processing  plant)
(Anonymous, 1985).  Briefly,  the various types of  RDF which can be produced are
as follows.

Fluff RDF
     Fluff RDF  is  prepared  by  mechanical  shredding of MSW, followed by  air
classification,  magnetic  separation, or trommeling to reduce the noncombustible
content  of the  waste stream.   Coarse fluff RDF utilizes a  single  shredding
stage and  can be fired in stoker type boilers, either alone or with coal.  If
multiple  shredding stages are  used,  fine  RDF  is produced.   Fine RDF may be
fired in suspension boilers.

Densified  RDF
     Densified RDF  (d-RDF)  is produced by extruding fine RDF in  a pellet  mill.
It  has  the advantages of being  much  easier to store and transport than fluff
RDF.  This makes d-RDF  marketable as a fuel  for existing stoker type coal-fired
boilers.

Powdered RDF
     The production of powdered RDF requires mechanical, thermal, and chemical
processing of shredded MSW which has undergone screening and magnetic  separa-
tion.  Powdered  RDF is  fine  enough to be cofired with fuel oil.   It should also
be suitable for  suspension type boilers, such as pulverized  coal  boilers.

October 1986                        2-5         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
         MSW Receiving
        and Storage Area
           Primary
           Shredder
                                Air
                              Qassifler
rx
      /\ RefuseDerived
      /    \ Fuel Storage
Aluminum
 Magnet
                                    Magnets
                                    0«nsifl«rs
Residue      Aluminum
                Heavy
                Fenoua
                                           Ugnt
                                          Ferrous
Stack
                          o
                          o
                           Boiler
                                           W*'W*
r                                                         Metering
                                                    si/  -
                                                 Aan
                                                System
Figure 2-3.   RDF processing facility with on-site boiler.
                               2-6

-------
Wet-Pulped RDF
     In the  wet pulping process, the pulper is fed MSW which has been sluiced
with water.   The pulper acts much  like  a kitchen blender to reduce particle
size.   Noncombustibles are  removed in  a  liquid cyclone.  The  RDF  is  then
mechanically dewatered to a moisture content of 50 percent.   Wet-pulped RDF is
intended  for use in  a  dedicated  boiler on  site.
 2.2   DISTRIBUTION OF  EXISTING  MUNICIPAL WASTE  COMBUSTION  FACILITIES IN THE
      UNITED STATES
      The EPA has recently characterized the  MWC  industry  currently  operating  in
 the  United  States (U.S.   EPA,  1986a).   Approximately two-thirds  of the 99
 facilities that could be  identified  as currently operating are designed with
 heat recovery boilers.  Massburn facilities constitute 68.0 percent of current
 installed  incineration capacity.   Twenty-five massburn facilities  have  heat
 recovery, and 16  facilities  do  not recover  heat during MSW combustion.  Twelve
 massburn  MWCs  have a capacity  equal to  or  greater than  1000 tons  per  day,
 15 facilities have  a capacity  in the  range of  250-1000  tons  per  day,  and  14
 massburn facilities burn less than 250 tons  MSW per day.
      The  RDF facilities  represent 23.6 percent  of  current incinerating capaci-
 ty.   There  are  nine operating  facilities in the U.S., all of which  have energy
 recovery  units.   Four of the nine RDF units are designed to process more than
 1000 tons  per  day of MSW.   One unit  burns about 120  tons MSW per day, and  four
 facilities have a capacity in a range of 250-1000 tons per day.
      The  small  modular  incinerators  (SMI) represent about 8.4 percent of U.S.
 incineration capacity.   There  are  about 49 SMIs currently  operating of which
 35 recover energy and 16 do  not recover energy.   Forty-eight SMIs have a design
 capacity  equal to or  less than  250 tons MSW per day, and one SMI has a capacity
 of 250-500 tons MSW per day.
      Figure  2-4  summarizes  the percent  distribution by technology of existing
 MWC  facilities.   Figure 2-5  shows the  distribution of MSW facilities regionally
 throughout the United States.   The majority of MWC facilities currently operat-
 ing  in  the U.S., (35 of  the 99 existing facilities) are located  in the New
 England  and Mid-Atlantic states.   The pattern of  distribution seems to follow
 population  density with  those   areas of  the U.S.  with the highest  population
 densities  having  the  most numbers of MWCs.  The Mountain and Pacific  states
 October 1986                        2-7         DRAFT-DO  NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
THE  PERCENT  OF  TOTAL  DESIGN  CAPACITY
                DISTRIBUTED AMONG EXISTING FACILITIES
                                  SMALL MODULAR INCINERATORS
   MASS BURN (68.0%)
                                                          (8.4%)
                                                 (23.6%)
        Figure 2-4   Distribution of existing Installed MWC facility
                   capacity by design type.
                               2-8

-------
 3-
  NEW ENGLAND    SOUTH
AND MID-ATLANTIC CENTRAL
 SOUTH
ATLANTIC

 REGION
 NORTH    MOUNTAIN AND
CENTRAL      PACIFIC
Figure  2-5  Distribution  of existing Installed MWC facility
             capacity by region.
                              2-9

-------
have the least numbers of MWCs of any region with a total  of eight existing MWC
incinerators.  Public and  regulatory  concerns  have impeded the development of
the MWC  industry  in  California.   The EPA will  continuously revise the statis-
tics on existing MWCs as additional information is developed.
2.3  DISTRIBUTION OF  PLANNED MUNICIPAL WASTE  COMBUSTION FACILITIES  IN THE
     UNITED STATES
     The EPA  estimates  there are 185 MWC facilities in the United States that
are either  in some  conceptual planning stage or  that  are under construction
(U.S.  EPA,  1986a).   All  of these facilities are heat recovery systems.  Mass-
burn technology  is  expected to predominate with  more  than  58 percent of the
total  design  capacity  (106,256 tons  per  day) accomplished with  107  facilities.
Forty-nine  massburn  facilities  (46%) will  have a design  capacity equal  to  or
greater  than  1000 tons MSW  per day, 25  facilities will  have a capacity of
between  500-1000  tons  per day, 18 facilities will  have a capacity  of 250-500
tons per day, and 15 facilities are  expected to have a design capacity of less
than 250 tons per day.
     RDF units  are expected  to be  about  23.7  percent of the  total  design
capacity with 30 facilities either planned or  under construction.   Seventeen
facilities  (57%) will have a design capacity equal to or greater than 1000 tons
per day, nine facilities (30%) will  have a capacity of 500-1000 tons per day,
one  RDF  facility will  have a  capacity  of 250-500  tons per day, and three
facilities will have a design capacity less than 250 tons per day.
     The small modular incinerators  (SMI)  will  account for  only 2.6 percent of
the total planned capacity.  This will be accomplished with 22  new units.  Nine
SMIs will  have a design  capacity  of between  250 and  500 tons  per  day, and
thirteen units will be less than 250 tons per day in capacity.
     Figure_2-6  displays  the percent of total  design  capacity  by technology
among  planned MWC  facilities.   It  should  be  noted that the planned total
incineration  capacity  (106,256 tons  per  day)  is approximately two and one-half
times  the  current incineration capacity of existing MWC facilities.  For  26
facilities  in the planning stage, data  on the  type of incinerator design was
either unavailable, or  had  not yet been  decided.   Figure  2-7 compares  the
regional distribution of  existing MWC facilities  in the United  States with  the
October 1986                        2-10             DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
THE  PERCENT OF TOTAL DESIGN  CAPACITY
                DISTRIBUTED AMONG PUNNED FACILITIES
MASS BURN (58.4X)
                                SMALL MODULAR INCINERATORS (2.6X)
                                          RDF (23.7X)
                                           UNDECIDED/NOT AVAILABLE (15.3X)
            Figure 2-6  Distribution of planned MSW Incinerator
                       capacity by design type.
                                  2-11

-------
                                                                  Figure 2-7.   Projected Growth of Municipal
                                                                               Waste Combustion Between
                                                                               1986 and 1990's.
ro
i
         MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR LOCATIONS
                       1986
                                                                        MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR  LOCATIONS
                                                                                       1990's

-------
anticipated  growth of MWCs  by 1990.   Sixty-two facilities (48%)  are  either
planned or  under construction in the New England and mid-Atlantic states, and
thirty-seven  (29%)  of the planned facilities will  be built in the  mountain and
Pacific states.  The  remainder of the planned facilities (29) will  be geograph-
ically  distributed as follows:   north  Central  states - 9  facilities;  south
Atlantic  states -  13 facilities, and south Central  states -. 7 facilities.
Table 2-1 summarizes  the anticipated growth of  planned  MWC facilities among
states with the  greatest  rate of growth.

               TABLE  2-1.  PLANNED MSW COMBUSTION FACILITIES FOR
                        STATES WITH THE GREATEST GROWTH
State
California
New York
Connecticut
New Jersey
Massachusetts
Florida
Virginia
Pennsylvania

Number
52
20
17
9
10
13
7
33
Planned Facilities
Capacity, TPD
13,417
18,306
12,030
10,635
9,975
18,410
13,361
24,852
2.4   PROJECTED GROWTH OF MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTION THROUGH THE YEAR 2000
      Subsection  2-3 reviewed the characterization of planned  facilities,  and
facilities  currently under some phase of construction.   Most of these facili-
ties  will be  constructed by  1990 if there are not serious delays in implementa-
tion.   The  EPA has made projections  of  the growth of the MWC  source  category
through  the year 2000.   These projections  are largely based on market surveys
and  projections in  the  increase  in  the generation of municipal solid  waste
(MSW) (U.S. EPA, 1986a).   The projected  increase in MWC includes new facilities
expected to be built and actually begin  operating by the end of 1986.
      Market analysis from  several  sources  indicates a spread in the projected
total  number  and capacity of facilities out to the year 2000 (Franklin  et al.,
1982;  U.S.  EPA,  1986a).   Estimates indicate that about  310 new facilities will
be on-line  and operating by  the year  2000.  Perhaps as much as 252,000 tons per
day of MSW  will  be  processed in these new facilities.
      Based  on data on planned facilities,  massburn waste-to-energy facilities
will  likely dominate,  and will account  for between 60  and 70 percent of  the

October  1986                        2-13             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
total population of  refuse  incinerators.   Facilities that incinerate RDF will
constitute between 20 and  30  percent of the projected  facilities  by the year
2000, and modular  systems may account for  as much as  20 percent  of the  market.
Data on plants  currently  being  planned, designed or constructed suggests that
over 50  percent of  incineration  capacity  will  be handled  in  facilities in
excess of 1000 tons per day in size.   However,  facilities in the capacity range
of 500-1000  tons per day  will also be  popular  because  the number  of cities
having a  municipal  solid  waste  stream sufficient to  sustain  a plant greater
than 1000 tons per day are limited.
     The  net growth  of  MWCs in  the year 2000 is  dependent on the growth in  new
incinerators  minus the  closing  of existing facilities.  The EPA  estimates that
the  number  of existing  facilities to be retired or  closed over the  next 15
years will  be small  in number.   This is because the majority of existing MWCs
were built  since  1970,  and therefore will  only  be 30  years  in  operation by  the
year 2000.   There is expected to be an economic incentive to rebuild some aging
facilities  instead of  replacing  them  entirely with  more expensive, newer
technology.   A MWC in Oceanside, New York,  for example was commissioned in 1965
and  extensively modernized  in 1977.   The Betts Avenue incinerator in New York
City was  built in 1965, modified in 1980,  and is being considered for further
renovation.   Thus, the total capacity of MWC by the year 2000 may be as high as
295,000 tons MSW  per day in about 400  facilities.   If  this occurs then about
one-third of the MSW expected to be generated in the U.S.  by the year 2000 will
be  disposed  of through incineration.   Table  2-2 summarizes the increase in
incineration capacity to the year 2000.
            TABLE 2-2.  PERCENTAGE BY REGION OF THE FORECAST WASTE
                      TO ENERGY THROUGHPUT 1985 to 20001
Region
New England and Mid-Atlantic
North Central
South Atlantic
South Central
Mountain and Pacific
Throughout,
1985
45
19
28
7
1
Percent of
1990
45
13
21
6
15
Total
2000
45
13
20
7
14
1U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1986a).
October  1986
2-14
DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
2.5  MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR EMISSIONS
     The EPA  has collected information on the  stack emission of participate
matter, organic  pollutants,  metals, and acid gases from MWC (U.S.  EPA,  1985a).
This subsection  will  summarize these data, and more detailed analysis is dis-
cussed elsewhere (U.S.  EPA,  1985b).  Surveys of the pertinent literature were
performed  including, contacts with other Federal agencies,  trade  organizations,
incinerator manufacturers, and incinerator operators.  Table 2-3 is a list of
pollutants that  have been measured  in the stack emissions of MWCs that current-
ly will  be employed in the  risk assessment methodology.  Table 2-4 summarizes
the  number of facilities producing information  on actual  emissions testing.
These  MWCs were or are operating  in the U.S.  and Canada.   It is likely that
different  sampling and analytical  methods were  used  to (quantify emissions  at
various facilities, so the data may or may not be directly comparable.  The EPA
is currently  reviewing many  test reports to critically evaluate the validity of
the  data.   For the most part emissions of particulate matter emitted from MWC
seem well  characterized.  Measurements have been made at a number of facilities
representing  a wide range of incinerator technologies.  The extent of testing
is  a consequence  of  regulating particulate emissions  from MWCs.   The most
significant  data  gap  in  the inventory of MSW  incinerator  emissions  is the
speciation of halogenated and nonhalogenated organic compounds.   In addition,
data were  not found on the potential emission of asbestos,  pathogens  or radio-
nuclides.   There is a more complete data set on the emission of  trace elements
from conventional  massburn incinerators, but not  from  RDF  or modular facili-
ties.  The EPA's assessment of MWC emissions  is severely  constrained by the
available  published data.   The EPA  has recently reported the results of stack
sampling organic and inorganic emissions from  a massburn,  RDF,  and a modular
facility,  and the utilization of these data will extend the current data base
(U.S.  EPA, 1986b).  The report an'd  analysis were approved for final publication
in  September, and EPA intends to  use the data for risk assessment purposes.
In  addition  EPA  will  spend $1.4  million on  testing  representative MWC
technologies  during 1987  to better  characterize  the emission profile from
incinerators.   These  data will also be utilized  in the  risk  assessment
methodology when they  are  available.
     The multiple  pollutant, multiple exposure  pathway  risk methodology will
first  be  applied to an assessment  of the impact of stack emissions from mass-
burn incinerators.  The population  of incinerators are  too  numerous to  execute

October 1986                         2-15              DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
     TABLE 2-3.   POLLUTANTS QUANTIFIED IN MUNICIPAL COMBUSTION EMISSIONS
           THAT ARE POTENTIAL CANDIDATE POLLUTANTS FOR RISK ANALYSIS

                                               Inorganic Compounds	
    Organic Compounds                  Metals                  Acid Gases

*Chlorobenzenes                      *Cadmium              Hydrogen Chloride
 Phenol                              *Beryllium            Sulfur Dioxide
*Benzo(a)pyrene (PAH)                 Lead                 Hydrogen Fluoride
 Naphthalene                         *Chromium
*Perchloroethylene                    Mercury
*Chlorodi benzodi oxi ns                *Arseni c
 Chlorodibenzofurans                  Selenium
*Benzene                              Nickel
*Formaldehyde                         Copper
*Carbon tetrachloride
*Chloroform
*Polychlorinated biphenyls
 Chlorophenols

"'Estimates of carcinogenic potency are available.


  TABLE 2-4.  SUMMARY MATRIX OF EMISSIONS DATA GATHERED FOR MSW INCINERATORS0
Pollutant
Uncontrolled PM
Controlled PM
Metals
Arsenic
Beryllium
Cadmium
Chromium
Mercury
Nickel
Lead
Acid Gases
HC1
HF
Organic Acids
POM
Dioxins and Furans3
Number of Facilities Tested
Massburn
15
36

3
1
4
4
1
4
4

16
6
2

6
RDF
4
4



1
1
2
1
1

2



4
Modular Other
5 4
2 1


1






1 1

1

lb
Total
28
43

3
2
5
5
4
5
5

20
6
3

11
 Includes U.S. and Canadian facilities only.

 Coal -fired boiler firing 15 percent RDF/85 percent coal.
^
 EPA is planning to stack test additional MWCs to determine more current
 information regarding incinerator emissions.
October 1986                        2-16             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
the methodology on a pi ant-by-plant  or technology-by-technology basis.  EPA
does not intend to ignore the other technologies, however the state of  develop-
ment of  the various models to  the methodology requires an extensive resource
commitment.   Therefore,  EPA has selected massburn  incinerators for evaluation
of  the  methodology and to  serve  as  an example of  its  application.  Massburn
incinerators  have  more  frequently  been stack  tested for  emissions  than
other technologies  (refer to Table 2-4).  In  addition,  the predominant  technol-
ogy both in terms of existing  and planned facilities are or will be massburn
MWCs.   Therefore, discussion of potential  stack  emissions  of pollutants will
focus  specifically  on  the massburn  technology,  although EPA  has gathered
emissions  data on all MWC  technologies (U.S.  EPA, 1985a).
      There are many factors that  may influence the emissions of  particulate
matter,  metals, organic  compounds and acid  gases.   Particulate matter  (PM)  is  a
 consequence  of  incomplete refuse  combustion  and  the entrainment   of
 noncombustibles in the combustion gas stream.  Particulate matter may  exist in
 a  solid state  or as an aerosol,  and  may contain  adsorbed and  absorbed heavy
 metals  and polycyclic  organic compounds.   Inorganic  and organometallic sub-
 stances in the refuse  contribute to  PM formation.  The  fuel molecules them-
 selves  contribute  to PM  formation  via pyrolytic  reactions,  and inorganic
 compounds  may  act  as  nucleation  sites to  induce PM formation.   The size and
 emission  rate of uncontrolled PM is  thought to  depend on furnace  residence
 time, temperature,  oxidation-reduction conditions  and trace  chemistries of the
 PM and  fuel.   Increased residence times and temperature decreases particulate
 size.   When  oxidation conditions predominate over reduction, particle size
 decreases  (U.S.  EPA, 1985a).
      Refuse  may contain sources  of trace  metal  air emissions  from municipal
 incineration.   Chromium, lead, zinc,  and selenium  are  used as surface  coatings,
 galvanizing  compounds,  and  solders.   Plastic objects  composed  of  polyvinyl
 chloride  (PVC) may  contain cadmium heat stabilizing compounds.   Cadmium is also
 found  in   inks, paints, and batteries.   Lead can be found in certain types of
 inks  and   paints, and batteries  can  be a source of nickel and mercury.  High
 temperature  combustion tends to  volatilize trace metals  from the  raw refuse.
       In general  trace organic  emissions are  a consequence  of incomplete combus-
 tion,  and low combustion  temperatures.  Inefficient  operation of the  furnace
 and  the chlorine content  of  the  fuel  may contribute to the formation  of chlori-
 nated  organics.   The EPA  has  not parametrically  tested a MWC to  observe the

 October 1986                        2-17              DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
potential formation of products  of incomplete combustion (PICs), however, the
EPA intends to  do  so  in the winter months of 1987.   Gross observations can be
made  concerning  combustion and the generation  of  PICs from the testing  and
evaluation of hazardous  waste  incinerators  (U.S. EPA,  1984a).   Evaluation of 8
incinerators failed to define  parametric  relationships between residence  time,
temperature, heat  input,  oxygen  concentration and the distruction rated effi-
ciency of  hazardous organic compounds.   Carbon monoxide (CO) and total hydro-
carbons  (THC) were monitored continuously during emissions  testing to evaluate
as potential surrogates for organic compound emissions.  The analysis indicated
that  CO  and  THC may provide indication of  changes  in  incinerator  performance
and gross  malfunctions  in the  combustion  process, but  were  not good predictors
of PIC  emissions.  Generally the incinerators performed at a combustion effi-
ciency greater  than 99  percent.   Data from  the tests  suggested that complex
side  reactions  including recombination  of molecular fragments may form actual
incomplete combustion products as  by-products of the combustion of any organic
wastes,  e.g., benzene, toluene, chloroform,  tetrachlorethylene, and PAHs.
      Polychlorodibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs)  and polychlorodibenzofurans  (PCDFs)
are a related  group of  tricyclic aromatic hydrocarbons that have been measured
in  the  stack exhaust  gas of  every MWC tested  that exclusively incinerates
municipal  solid waste.   The presence of PCODs and PCDFs in flue gases of MWCs
can potentially be explained by several mechanisms:    1)  PCDDs and PCDFs are
trace impurities in the fuel  or feedstock used to sustain combustion, and are
not sufficiently thermally destroyed during combustion; 2)  PCDDs and PCDFs are
produced during the combustion of chlorinated precursors, e.g., PCBs, chloro-
phenols,  chlorobenzenes, phenoxyacetic herbicides,  and fire  retardants;  3)
PCDDs and  PCDFs are  formed as a consequence of a complex array of pyrolytic
processes  involving chlorinated aliphatic and nonchlorinated aromatic compounds
that  are chemically unrelated,  e.g., PVC,  DDT, polystyrene,  cellulose,  and
lignin,  in conjunction  with hydrogen chloride gas  or  free chlorine.   The EPA
statistical analysis  (using Spearman rank-order techniques) of MWC emissions
indicate that,  as a  general  trend,  emissions  of PCDDs/PCDFs  appear to  be
inversely  related  to  furnace temperature, that low  combustion efficiency may
promote  formation, and  that fly ash  emissions  of PCDDs and  PCDFs are not
related  to furnace conditions alone, but  may be  dependent on a  number  of
complex  variables  related to  function of the incineration process and design
(U.S.  EPA, 1986c) including post-combustion formation phenomena outside  the
firebox  region.
October  1986                        2-18             DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
     The compounds  found in MSW are complex and variable, and thus mapping any
mechanisms for  formation of specific toxic organic compounds is an improbable
task.  It  is  difficult to predict  how  constituents  present in the fuel will
break apart,  reform new compounds, dissociate  into  free  radicals, or recom-
bine under the  influence of oxygen, turbulent mixing and temperature.  There-
fore, the  aforementioned formation  pathways are meant to be general in nature.
     The EPA  has compiled data on organic and inorganic emissions from massburn
incinerators  to be  used in the risk assessment.  Table  2-5 summarizes the
limited  organic emissions  data  found in published reports of  massburn  MWCs
operating  in  the United  States.  Emission values for Chicago NW incinerator and
the  Peekskill,  N.Y. incinerator were derived as  average  values from  one test
report (U.S EPA, 1983a;  NYDEC, 1986).  The emission values for the Hampton, VA,
incinerator are mean values from three  separate  test  reports and a total of
eleven independent analyses (Haile, 1984;  U.S.  EPA,  1983b;  Scott Environmental
Services,  1985).   The published data are limited.  However, EPA has tested an
additional massburn MWC, but has only  just  published  the results (U.S. EPA,
1986c).   In   order  to  extend the number of compounds to  be  included  in the
assessment of potential  risk to  the population exposed to MWC emissions, recent-
ly  published data  of  organic  emissions will be utilized (U.S.  EPA,  1986b).
Appendix A summaries these  data.
     Acid  gases and sulfur  dioxide  are emitted from the combustion of municipal
solid  waste.    The  chlorine content of  MSW contributes to the  emission of
hydrogen  chloride  gas (HC1).  Conversion efficiencies of the fuel chlorine to
the  emission  of HC1 have been determined to be about 60-65 percent (U.S. EPA,
1985a).   Chlorine  in  MSW is present  in all combustible components  of the
refuse,  and  ranges  from about 0.5  percent mass to 0.9 percent mass-(Domalkski
et  al.,  1986).   The National Bureau of Standards has determined that  the paper
fraction  of  MSW contributes about one-quarter to one-half of the chlorine,  and
the  plastic  fraction contributes about one-quarter to one-half of the chlorine
(Domalkski et al.,  1986).   The major amounts of the chlorine  in MSW, therefore,
are  contained  in  the paper and plastic fractions.   Sulfur  dioxide  is the
predominant  form of-sulfur  emitted from MWCs,  and is related  to  the sulfur
bound  to  the municipal solid waste.  Mass balance analyses have shown that the
percentage of fuel  sulfur converted to S0£ ranges from 14 to 90 percent (CARB,
1984),  and is  dependent on combustion  conditions and  refuse  composition.
Compositional analyses  have shown the refuse content of sulfur  to  range  from

October 1986                        2-19            DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                                TABLE  2-5.   EMISSIONS  DATA  FOR MASSBURN MWC  FACILITIES
Chicaqo
Organic species
2,3,7,8-tetra-CDD
2,3,7,8-tetra-CDF
Total tetra-CDD
Total tetra-CDF
Total penta-CDD
Total penta-CDF
Total hexa-CDD
Total hexa-CDF
Total hepta-CDD
Total hepta-CDF
Total octa-CDD
Total octa-CDF
Total tetra thru octa CDD
Total tetra thru octa CDF
Total PCB
Formal dehyde
B(a)P
Total chlorinated benzene
^ Total chlorinated phenol
ro
0 Process Data
pg/sec
0.0101

0.155
2.21

—
0.403
1.53
0.187
0.184
0.0624
0.0148
—
—
1.04
—
—
43.6
88.2


pg/Mg
2.07

31.6
453
—
—
82.4
313
38.3
37.6
12.8
3.03
—
—
212
—
— —
8,920
18,000


Hampton
Mg/sec
0.142
1.19
2.78
12.6
6.43
19.4
6.44
8.45
6.00
6.17
1.56
0.433
23.2
47.1
5.17
—
71.4
291
1,050


pg/Mg
117
1,130
2,330
10,300
5,380
15,600
5,490
7,170
5,320
5,190
1,330
367
19,600
38,700
3,980
—
54,500
117,000
905,000


Peekskill
jjg/sec
0.0092
0.0705
0.0926
0.97
0.0923
0.572
0.126
0.590
0.181
0.343
0.291
0.0126
7.61
2.50
— —
19,800
"
——
~"


pg/Mg
1.17
8.95
11.8
124
11.7
72.6
16.0
74.9
23.0
43.6
36.9
1.60
966
317
_ "•
2,510,000

•" •



Stack flow rate
Waste feed rate
C02 concentration
Design feed rate
1,480 dNmVmin
17,600 kg/h
8.97%
400 tons/day
393 dNmVmin
4,380 kg/h
8.73%
125 tons/day
28,350 kg/h
9.61%
750 tons/day
CDD = chlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins.
CDF =xchlorinated dibenzofurans.
PCB = polychlorinated biphenyls.

B(a)P = benzo[a]pyrene.

-------
0.2 percent  to  0.37 percent on a  dry weight basis (CARB, 1984).  Mechanisms
involved  in  the  release  of fluorine  and  subsequent  conversion to hydrogen
fluoride  at  MWCs are similar to HC1 formation, except conversion rates are not
known (CARB, 1984).
     Levels  of  uncontrolled HC1 emissions at  massburn MWCs have been measured
in a range of 110 to 605  ppm (v) (U.S.  EPA,  1985a).  The concentration of  HF in
uncontrolled massburn emissions have  been  measured  in a range of about 4.0 to 4
ppm  (v) (U.S.  EPA,  1985a; U.S. EPA, 1986b).   Uncontrolled sulfur dioxide emis-
sions in  massburn incinerators ranges from 0.72  to  159 ppm  (v)  (CARB, 1984).
      Inorganic  pollutants measured in MWCs  are shown in Table 2-6.  The speci-
 fic  tests of individual  MWCs  generating these data are reviewed in a  separate
 EPA  report  (U.S.  EPA,  1985a).  The mean values of metal emissions are a mathe-
 matical average  of  reviewed MWC  tests reported in the literature.  In  EPA's
 risk assessment the mean values of  all  the tested massburn energy recovery
 facilities in this  inventory were used in assessing the potential  risk from  the
 future population  of MWCs.   Because the Hampton incinerator has  been  tested
 more frequently  for emissions than any other MWC operating in the  U.S.,  the  EPA
 has selected this particular facility to represent the potential  environmental
 impact of emissions from existing incinerators.  The site  is adequate in  terms
 of  application of  the multiple  pollutant human risk and  ecological effects
 analysis  since a regional  drinking  water reservoir, sensitive tidal  basins,
 sensitive agriculture, and residential areas are  located  nearby.   Table 2-7
 displays the emission  rate  of inorganic pollutants of the Hampton, VA, MWC from
 a recently  published report (U.S.  EPA, 1986b).  This information is used  in the
 dispersion  modeling of the Hampton MWC to characterize the potential  risk from
 existing MWCs.   These data will  be used in exposure and  risk assessment of  the
 existing population of MWC.   The  next section describes the modeling procedures
 to  determine  human exposure to  MWC emissions to be evaluated in  the  risk
 assessment.
  October 1986                       2-21         DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
           TABLE 2-6.   UNCONTROLLED METALS EMISSION FACTORS FOR MWCs
                 Weight              Emission factor, mg metal/Mg feed
             fracton,  ug/g        	Mean
Metal
Arsenic
Beryllium
Cadmium
Chromi urn
Lead
Mercury
Nickel
Mean
140
3.9
1,100
330
18,000
640 .
890
Mass burn
2,500
70
20,000
5,900
320,000
12,000
16,000
Modular
110
3.0
850
250
14,000
490
690
RDI-
5,600
160
44,000
13,000
720,000
2,500
36,000
Notes:
mg:  milligram (10~3 grams).
Mg:  megagram (metric ton) of MSW incinerated.
     ug:  microgram (10 6 grams).
     g:  gram.
        TABLE 2-7.  CONTROLLED INORGANIC EMISSIONS FROM THE HAMPTON MWC
                             (average of 3 tests)

Arsenic
Beryllium
Chromi urn
Lead
Cadmium
Nickel
Mercury
ug/dscm
235.00
0.02
287.00
9613.00
503.00
227.00
2400.00
grams/sec
1.40 x 10"3
1.20 x 10"7
1.70 x 10 3
5.80 x 10"2
3.03 x 10"3
1.37 x 10"3
1.50 x 10~2
Notes:
|jg/dscm = micrograms of pollutant per day standard cubic meter of combustion
          gas.
grams/sec = grams of pollutant emitted per second of plant operation.
Source:  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1986b.
October 1986                       2-22         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
         3.   EXPOSURE MODELING OF MUNICIPAL WASTE COMBUSTOR EMISSIONS
     Typically a  municipal  waste combustor  (MWC)  is designed for a  30-year
working life.  Most  of these systems will, for the most part, be continuously
operated, except  during  periods of  routine maintenance.   Continuous operations
are preferred  in  order to maximize  the production  of steam or hot water neces-
sary to meet contract requirements  in  the sale  of energy to the  user.   The
population  surrounding the  facility will be exposed  to  organic  and inorganic
pollutants  emitted  from the stack during  combustion.  The degree of  exposure
will  be  variable, and will  be  dependent on conditions  of plant operations,
design of  the incinerator,  the character  of the feed to the incinerator, the
technical specifications  of the pollution control equipment,  local meteorology,
local terrain, and the population density and distribution.
     Pollutants emitted  from MWCs into  the atmosphere may  be  distributed  across
environmental  media  (the atmosphere, soil and water)  as a result of complex
mechanisms,  most  of  which are just beginning to  be understood.   Some pollutants
are  emitted in combustion gas adsorbed onto the surface of particulate matter,
while  other pollutants remain in a gaseous or vaporous state.  Some pollutants
may  photodegrade, undergo complex chemical  reactions,  or combine with other
pollutants  when transported through the atmosphere.  Particulate-bound pollu-
tants  may ultimately  settle on  the  earth's  surface by the forces of  gravity.
Periods  of  precipitation may increase  the  rate of  surface  deposition  by washout
of adsorbed and  gaseous  pollutants  while  passing  through the emission plume.
Once deposited on the surface the pollutants may again be  physically,  chemical-
 ly,  or photolytically transformed, may be persistent, or may be transported by
the  action  of wind  and  precipitation to other environmental compartments.
Deposited materials  may even be resuspended  into the atmosphere, and  once again
become air pollutants.   The  net effect is that human exposure  to incinerator
emissions results not only  from direct inhalation  of ambient air concentrations
of the pollutants,  but also indirectly from  skin contact of the  pollutants,  and
 ingestion  of contaminated  soil  particles,  water  and  food.   Detailed

October 1986                        3-1         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
experimental evaluation of  the  environmental  fate and environmental transport
of  MWC  emissions have not  been  done  under actual conditions  (Yoram,  1986).
Therefore, mathematical models of the fate and transport of pollutants entrained
in  the  stack exhaust gas  are currently the most  feasible alternative to the
assessment of  human  exposure to MWC emissions.   These models can also be used
to  estimate bioaccumulation in the natural ecosystem, potential accumulation of
pollutants adverse to  the promotion of animal and plant life,  and accumulation
of  pollutants  into the human food chain.   The models specifically used in this
analysis  of  MWC  emissions are:   the Industrial Source  Complex Short-Term Air
Dispersion Model; the  Human Exposure  Model; the Terrestrial Food Chain Model,
the Surface Runoff Model,  and the Groundwater Contaminant Model.
     These models  vary somewhat  in  their approach  to  estimating potential
human  exposure and risk.    The preferred  approach is to determine  levels  of
risk in the  entire  exposed population and numbers of individuals at each risk
level,  or the aggregate risk.  Another approach  is  to  more narrowly focus on
describing the exposure and risk of only  those  individuals with the highest
exposure  potential, or the most-exposed individuals (MEIs).
     When assessing  effects from inhalation of incinerator'emissions,  it is
feasible  to  estimate the  aggregate risk,  since the  ISC-ST (see Section 3.1)
estimates the  pattern  of  ground-level  emission concentrations within a radius
of  50  km from the facility,  and  the  HEM (see Section 3.2)  contains data on
human population distributions  for the entire U.S.   It  is  reasonable to assume
'that individuals residing at specific  locations within  this radius are exposed
at  the  concentrations  predicted by the ISC-ST  for those coordinates.  The risk
to  the  MEI,  or an  individual residing  in the  area of highest predicted average
annual  ground-level concentration, is also estimated.
     For  most  other  exposure pathways, however,  it  is  not currently feasible
to  estimate  the  aggregate risk,  and therefore  exposure  and risk are quantified
for the MEI only.  Human exposure to deposited contaminants via the  terrestrial
food chain varies widely  according to not only the pattern of deposition, but
also patterns  of land use  and individual  living  habits such as personal food
production.  Therefore the TFC model (see  Section 3.3) examines only a  hypothet-
ical farm family living within the facility vicinity and producing  a substan-
tial proportion of their own  vegetables or meat and dairy products for  consump-
tion.   No attempt is made,  however, to estimate the numbers of these individuals,
or  to  estimate the  numbers' of people who  could purchase smaller  quantities of

October 1986                        3-2         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE  OR  CITE

-------
these foods  or  who maintain only  small  gardens,  as these practices would be
highly variable within the exposed population.
     The  Surface  Runoff Model  (see  Section 3.4) presented  in  this document
estimates  in stream contaminant concentrations resulting  from  runoff from a
watershed  of a given size and  average deposition rate.  If the  location of
drinking  water  intakes  and  number served by each  is  known,, it is possible
using  this model  to  estimate  the  concentration and number  exposed for  each
drinking  water  source.   Recreational fish consumption  would be more variable
and  therefore  more difficult to quantify.   In  this document,  however, it is
assumed  for  purposes  of example that runoff from a watershed with an area of 1
km ,  having  the MWC facility at its center, enters a stream of moderate size
     o
(1 m /sec).   The  MEI  is an individual receiving drinking water  and fish  solely
from this  stream.   No attempt is made  to estimate aggregate  risk.
     Subsurface patterns of  water movement are very complex, and thus it would
be  nearly  impossible to  estimate  groundwater  contaminant concentrations
throughout a large area (radius = 50 km) over which deposition  rates vary.   It
would  therefore be difficult to estimate  exposures  based  on the numbers and
locations  of all  drinking water wells within  this  area.  Therefore it is not
considered  feasible  to determine  aggregate  risk  using  the  Groundwater
Contamination  Model (see Section 3.5).  In  this  document  an example is  shown
which  assumes that an  area  with  a radius of 200 m around the  MWC facility
represents the recharge area  for an aquifer  feeding a  small  well.   An
individual using  this well as a drinking water source represents the MEI.
      Dermal  exposure  to  deposited particulate can also be  expected  to  vary
greatly  according  to individual habits.   It may be possible to  assume  that
some average  amount  of  contact with soil  can be  applied to the whole
population in the area of deposition, and therefore dermal exposure patterns
for  emitted contaminants can be estimated as  is done for inhalation exposure.
However,  it probably  is not worthwhile to do so because other  uncertainties  in
the  Dermal  Exposure  Model  are so  great  by  comparison (see Section  3.6).
Dermal  exposure and risk are therefore  estimated  only for an  MEI residing in
the  area of  maximum'-deposition.
      The EPA is  estimating  the potential  for adverse  health effects  in the
population exposed directly and indirectly  to  pollutant emissions from MWCs.
Given  the complexities  of predicting  the  environmental fate and transport of
specific chemicals emitted,  as well as predicting  multiple routes of human

October  1986                        3-3         DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
exposure to specific  chemicals,  it is not currently feasible nor practical to
apply the models  to  every existing MWC, or planned MWC.   Therefore, EPA has
decided to simplify the modeling process by using a model  plant to characterize
the potential adverse  impacts  of emissions from technologies  typical  of MWCs
currently being planned  or constructed, and the Hampton  MWC to  represent the
potential adverse impacts of air pollutant emissions from existing MWC technol-
ogy.  A dichotomy is made between  existing and planned technology with  the
assumption that MWC technology currently marketed represents a distinct improve-
ment  in  design,  operations and pollution control when  compared  to  facilities
built a decade  ago.   In actual  practice  it is not only  the  design that is
essential to  good incinerator  performance, but operator training and equipment
maintenance are  also important.   The model plant  configuration  will closely
mimic actually planned  massburn  facilities in  terms of  stack height stack (and
diameters) building  area,  and  pollutant emissions,  but  will  reflect the  upper-
end ,of  capacities currently planned.   The Hampton  facility  was planned in
the mid-1970's,  and  put into operation  in  September 1980.   EPA has  accumulated
several  test  reports of  emissions of  organic and inorganic  pollutants  at
Hampton, more so  than any other specific  incinerator site.   Table  3-1 repre-
sents the descriptive parameters used in air  dispersion modeling of the model
plant,  and  Table 3-2  are the modeling parameters of  the  existing MWC  at
Hampton, Virginia.
  "-  The model plant is a massburn waterwall  energy recovery MWC incinerating
2727  metric  tons per  day of  raw,  unprocessed municipal  solid  waste.   The
configuration of  the plant represents the upper end of the capacity range of
massburn MWCs EPA predicts will  be the  dominant technology through the year
2000.   The EPA  selected the stack height,  diameter, exit  velocity of the gases
and temperature  of  the exhaust  gas based on actual measurements at facilities
of this  size.  The model plant will be located, for modeling purposes, in a wet
and humid climate in a geographical area where the MWC  industry  is expected to
grow  rapidly  over the next 15 years.  The climate conditions were  selected  to
maximize the potential of-surface deposition of the emitted pollutants with  the
physical action  of  washout during periods of  precipitation.  Another  criteria
of  selecting  an  appropriate site for the model plant was soil characteristics
that would enhance the movement  of pollutants  from the  surface into underground
sources  of drinking  water by percolation through ground layers.   On this basis
Western, Florida was selected as an appropriate site for  the  location  of the

October 1986                        3-4         DRAFT-DO NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
              TABLE 3-1.   MODELING PARAMETERS FOR THE MODEL PLANT

             Massburn Municipal  Waste Combustor (heat recovery)
             Capacity:   3000 TPD (2727 Mg/d)
             Location:   Western, Florida
             Latitude:   27° 57'
             Longitude:   82° 27'
             Stack Height:   46 meters (m)
             Stack Diameter:   3.1 m
             Stack Exit Velocity:   11.3 m/s
             Stack Temperature:
                (a)  470° K with ESP
                (b)  443° K with Fabric Filters (FF)
             Building Configuration:
                H:  35 m
                W:  76 m
                L:  42 m
                TABLE 3-2.   MODELING PARAMETERS FOR HAMPTON,  VA
              Massburn Municipal Waste Combustor (heat recovery)

                    Capacity:  120 TPD (109 Mg/d)
                    Latitude:  37° 6'  02"
                    Longitude:  76° 23' 28"
                    Stack Height:  27.44 m (2 stacks)
                    Stack Diameter:  1.22 m (2 stacks)
                    Stack Temp:  543° k with ESP
                                 443° k with Fabric Filters
                    Stack Exit Velocity:  12 m/s
                    Building Configuration:
                         H:  27.28 m
                         W:  51.88 m
                         L:  59.5  m
hypothetical facility.  The  site has in excess of  48  inches of rainfall per
year, has  a humid climate,  and the soil  characteristic is  classified  as  sandy.
Additional  data  on soil  characteristics,  local meteorology, and  population
distribution around the model  plant will  be available through the computer
files incorporate in the various environmental exposure models.
     The  existing population  of massburn  MWCs  is being represented  for the
purposes of the  analysis  by the Hampton facility.   The Hampton facility has
been  stack tested  for  pollutant emissions more  frequently  than  other MWCs
operating  in the United States, and therefore offers a comprehensive  data base
of  potential  emissions.   The Hampton  facility consists  of two   identical
waterwall  furnaces  each fired at  a  charging rate  of approximately  90,000


October 1986                        3-5         DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
kilograms per  day.   Operational  since September 1980,  the  facility achieves
approximately  85  percent  volume  reduction of the  incoming  refuse, thermally
converts  the  BTU value of  the refuse at  an  efficiency of 65 percent,  and
produces  about 15,000 Kg steam  per  hour  per unit.   Last year the  Hampton
incinerator supplied enough steam  to the NASA-Langley Research  Center  to
provide about 82 percent of the heating and cooling needs.
     The  incinerator is charged with  raw (unprocessed)  refuse  from an enclosed
storage pit by overhead  crane.   The refuse burns without the use of auxiliary
fuel as  it  travels  down  a series of three inclined reciprocating grates.  The
residence time  of the solids  in the furnace is  about  45 to  60  minutes.   During
stable  conditions the furnace  temperature is  approximately 800°  C.   The
combustion gas  is passed  through  an electrostatic precipitator  installed for
each unit before  discharge  into  the atmosphere by two  27 meter smokestacks.
Measurements of particulate emissions have shown that each unit is capable of
emissions within  the current  requirements  for MWCs of 180 mg/dscm  corrected to
12 percent C0«.
3.1  THE INDUSTRIAL SOURCE COMPLEX MODEL
     It has  been  customary for EPA only to make  estimates  of  the  ambient  air
concentration  attributable to stack emissions of airborne  pollutants  from a
point  source.   Recent analysis  of principal  sources  of  lead  in soil of  a
community  in  Montana  disclosed the fact that the accumulation of  lead was a
direct result  of  wet  and dry deposition of  lead adsorbed  onto  particulates and
emitted from  the  stack of a zinc  smelter (MEA, Inc.,  1982).   Analysis of  the
sources and  losses of polychlorinated  biphenyls  (PCBs)  in the  sediments  of
lakes  remote  from urbanization indicated that roughly 50 percent of the total
PCB  input  to  the lake  was  due to  atmospheric  transport  and deposition
(Swackhamer,  1986).   Czuczwa and  Hites (1984)  reported  on  the analysis of
sediment core  samples  in the Great Lakes for the presence  of  polychlorinated
dioxins and  dibenzofurans, and concluded that the  atmospheric transport and
deposition of  emissions  from stationary combustion  sources  most likely was the
main source  of PCDDs  and PCDFs in  the sediments.    These  studies provide
evidence that  calculating only ambient air concentrations of specific pollut-
ants in  the vicinity of  a combustion  point source  may significantly  under-
predict spatial and temporal exposures to pollutant  emissions by not accounting

October 1986                        3-6         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
for the potential  surface accumulation of pollutants throughout the operating
life of the facility.  The EPA assessments of potential risk from air emissions
have primarily  been concerned  with carcinogenic and  noncarcinogenic  health
risks  resulting from  direct inhalation  of  ambient air  concentrations of
pollutants.  In order to extend the risk evaluation to a consideration of other
routes of population exposure to environmental pollutants, EPA will predict the
rate of  deposition, overtime,  of pollutants believed to be  adsorbed  onto
particulate matter  in the smokestack exhaust gas, and will attempt to calculate
the spatial  and temporal  accumulation of these pollutants on the soil, and in
surface waters.   These estimates  of deposition will  be factored  into  the
Surface Runoff  Model,  the Terrestrial Food Chain Model,  and the Groundwater
Contaminant Model,  to predict the migration of pollutants from the surface into
water  bodies,  the  bioaccumulation  of the pollutants  into biota  and up the
trophic system  including the human food web, and indirect exposure to humans of
the deposited pollutants.
     The  Industrial Source Complex Model  (ISC)  will  be used to predict  the
dispersion  of  smokestack emissions from the model  plant  and Hampton facility
through the atmosphere as  well as  predict  both wet and dry  deposition  of
pollutants  onto the surface.  The ISC model has been previously reviewed by the
Science Advisory Board in a separate  document  on  the development of a  risk
assessment  methodology for  sewage sludge  incinerators  (U.S.  EPA,  1986d).
Therefore,  this report will summarize the function of the ISC model in calcula-
ting ground  level concentrations of emitted pollutants.
     The  Industrial  Source Complex (ISC) Dispersion Model combines and enhances
various dispersion  model  algorithms into a set  of  two computer  programs  that
can be used  to  assess the air quality impact of emissions from the wide variety
of sources  associated with an industrial source complex (U.S. EPA, 1986e).  For
plumes  comprised  of particulates  with  appreciable gravitational  settling
velocities,  the ISC Model currently accounts for the effects on ambient partic-
ulate  concentrations of gravitational settling  and dry  deposition.   The ISC
short-term  model  (ISCST), an extended version of the  Single Source (CRSTER)
Model  (U.S.  EPA,  1977)  will be  used  in this analysis, and  is  designed  to
calculate concentration or deposition values for time periods of 1, 2, 3, 4, 6,
8, 12  and 24 hours.  If  used  with a year of sequential  hourly meteorological
data,  ISCST can also calculate annual concentration or deposition values.   An
alternative  model,  the ISC long-term model (ISCLT), is a sector-averaged model

October 1986                        3-7          DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE  OR  CITE

-------
that extends  and combines  basic  features of the Air Quality  Display Model
(AQDM) and the Climatological Dispersion Model (COM).   The long-term model uses
statistical wind summaries to  calculate  seasonal (quarterly) and/or  annual
ground-level  concentration  or deposition  values.   Both ISCST and  ISCLT  use
either a polar or a Cartesian receptor grid.
     The ISC Model programs accept the following source types:   stack, area and
volume.  The  volume  source option is also used to simulate line sources.   The
steady-state  Gaussian plume  equation for  a continuous source is  used to calcu-
late ground- level concentrations for stack and volume  sources.   The area source
equation in the  ISC  Model  programs  is based  on  the equation for a  continuous
and  finite crosswind line  source.   The generalized Briggs (1971 and 1975)
plume- rise equations, including the momentum terms,  are used to calculate plume
rise as  a  function  of downwind distance.   Procedures suggested  by Huber and
Snyder (1976)  and Huber (1977)  are used to evaluate the effects  of  the aerody-
namic  wakes  and  eddies  formed  by  buildings  and other structures  on  plume
dispersion.   A wind-profile  exponent law  is used to adjust the  observed  mean
wind speed from  the  measurement height to the emission height for the plume
rise and concentration  calculations.  Procedures utilized  by the Single Source
(CRSTER) Model are used to account  for variations  in terrain  height over the
receptor grid.   The  Pasquill-Gifford curves  (Turner,  1970) are used to calcu-
late  lateral  and vertical  plume spread.   The  ISC Model has rural  and urban
options.
     For purposes of exposure analysis from MWC  emissions  the ISC  Short-Term
(ISCST) model  program will  be utilized.   The  program makes mathematical calcu-
lations  of dispersion and  dry  deposition and produces  a  printout  of these
values.  A more  detailed  description of  ISCST  appears  in  the user's guide
(U.S.  EPA, 1986e).    Because  the  current  ISCST  model  has no  provision for
calculating wet  deposition  of the emissions, EPA has had to develop a program
to estimate the  effect  of precipitation events on the rate of surface deposi-
tion.  In  general, wet  deposition was modeled by incorporating Equation 3-1
into the ISC-ST.
             A(n,j) OnKQ      f          /    \1     r ,   /  \*-j
WDep(n) = f - iexp  - A(n,j)  M—  exp  - ±   PU    Equation (3-1)
             V2n  o  u(h)     L          \u(h)/J     L     \ V J
October 1986                        3-8         DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
where:

            f -  fraction of time precipitation occurs  (fraction of hour)
       A(n,j) =  the fraction of material removed per unit time in the nth
                 particle size category and jth precipitation intensity
                 category;
         
-------
                TABLE 3-3.  SUMMARY OF SCAVENGING COEFFICIENTS
    EXPRESSED PER SECOND OF TIME, USED IN COMPUTING WET SURFACE DEPOSITION
Precipitation
Intensity
Heavy
Moderate
Light
<2
1.46 E-3
5.60 E-3
2.20 E-4
Particle Size
>2 and <10
4.64 E-3
8.93 E-4
1.80 E-4
Category (microns)
>10
9.69 E-3
9.69 E-3
9.69 E-3
  Light =  less than 0.10 inches per hour.
  Moderate = 0.11 to 0.30 inches per hour.
  Heavy =  equal to or greater than 0.31 inches per hour.

 has  used  the  same washout coefficients for both rainfall and snowfall events.
 Other frozen forms of precipitation, e.g., snow pellets, ice pellets, and hail,
 present a relatively smooth surface to the aerosol particles and are not likely
 to be  effective  scavengers of the pollutants.  Therefore,  periods  and  occur-
 rences of these types of frozen precipitation are modeled in the dry deposition
 mode.
     The  principal assumptions  made  in computing wet deposition are:  (1) the
 intensity of precipitation is  constant over  the entire path between the source
 and  receptor;  (2)  the  precipitation  originates at a  level above  the top of  the
 emission  plume  so that the  hydrometeors pass vertically through the entire
 plume, (3)  the  time  duration of the  precipitation over the  entire path  between
 the  source  and  receptor  point is such that exactly f, a fraction between zero
 and  one,  of the  hourly emission Q in  Equation (3-1)  is subject  to  a constant
 intensity for the  entire  travel  time required to  traverse the distance  between
 the  source  and  receptor,  and the remaining  fraction  (1-f)  is subject only  to
 dry deposition processes.
     Certain inferences must be made concerning particle size,  particle distri-
 bution, available surface  area  for adsorption,  gravitational settling veloci-
 ties and  the potential  for surface reflection of particles  of a specific mass
 before the ISC-ST program can predict deposition of a chemical.   Unfortunately,
 research  has not  provided  adequate data on particle size f rationalization of
particulate matter entrained  in MWC  emissions.   A series of stack  tests con-
ducted by EPA  at a  refuse-to-energy  MWC  in Braintree, Massachusetts  will
provide a conservative assumption regarding  the  distribution  of particulate
October 1986                        3-10             DRAFT—DO NOT, QUOTE OR CITE

-------
matter by  particle  size (U.S. EPA,  1980a).   The MWC was tested at relatively
high participate emissions (6.7 kg/hour) in exceedance of EPA requirements, and
the participate matter control efficiency of the electrostatic precipitator was
calculated to  be  only 74 percent.   Total particulate concentrations averaged
215 mg/dscm at 12% COp.  Selection of the particle size distribution may or may
not represent the distribution of emissions from equipment marketed today, such
as multiple-field  electrostatic  precipitators, or from-fabric filters,  but EPA
has made  this  selection on the basis  of providing a reasonably conservative,
tending toward  the worst-case, estimate of the deposition of particles in MWC
emissions.  The performance of the pollution control  equipment is dependent not
only  on  design,  but on the degree of preventative and required maintenance and
cleaning and overhaul that is done to the apparatus throughout the working life
of the  MWC.   EPA has observed that  emissions of particulate matter at  energy
recovery MWCs  equipped with ESPs have,  on  occasion,  exceeded current Federal
standards, although most incinerators are able to comply (U.S. EPA, 1986b).   It
is hoped that selection of a  conservative distribution of particulate emissions
may  account for potential  errosion of  pollution  control  efficiency of the
equipment  over the facility life.
      Table 3-4 displays the average particle-size distribution measured by EPA
at the  Braintree MWC (U.S.  EPA,  1980s).   Recently tests have been conducted at
the  outlet of  fabric filters operating on a  massburn heat  recovery MWC in
Germany  (Hahn, 1986).  Table 3-5 summarizes  the distribution of particulate
matter at  the Wurzburg, West  Germany massburn waste-to-energy MWC.  In compari-
son to the Braintree  MWC data, the emission of particulate matter outlet of the
fabric  filters averaged 9.0  mg per  dry standard cubic meter  (at  12  percent
C02)  over  3 test runs.  Approximately one-half of the particulate emissions at
Wurzburg were  less than 0.5  microns in  diameter,  although over one-third the
emissions  were of  a diameter  greater than 12 microns.
      For  purposes  of  estimating  deposition,  estimations of the relationship
between  the pollutant  concentration and particle  size were  assumed.   The
inorganic  pollutants  have been evaluated for their affinity  for adsorption onto
surfaces  of various particle diameters  (U.S.  EPA, 1985a).   These observations
have  been  made from emissions of particulate  matter from a limited number of
MWCs.  In  general  the maximum mass of elemental  emissions will be found associ-
ated  with fine  particles,  e.g.,  two  microns  or less aerodynamic  diameter.
Table 3-6  is a summary of the particle phase distribution  of trace  elements
adsorbed on particulate matter.
October 1986                         3-11             DRAFT-DO NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
               TABLE 3-4.   PARTICLE-SIZE DISTRIBUTION DETERMINED
             IN PARTICIPATE HATTER EMISSIONS AT THE BRAINTREE MWC
 Geometric Mean                                              T        *,
Particle Diameter                                            Total Particle
    (Microns)                                                      Mass
XL5.0








Notes:
1.
2.
3.
12.5
8.1
5.5
3.6
2.0
1.1
0.7
<0.7

Data taken from U.S. EPA, 1980a.
Data is an average of 6 stack test runs.
The facility is equipped with an electrostatic precipitator
12.8
10.5
10.4
7.3
10.3
10.5
8.2
7.6
22.4



rated at
       an average particulate removal  efficiency of 74% at time of test.

   4.  The facility recovers steam from the combustion of about 120 metric
       tons of MSW per day.


           TABLE 3-5.   TYPICAL PARTICLE SIZE DISTRIBUTION DETERMINED
             IN PARTICULATE EMISSIONS  AT THE WURZBURG MASSBURN MWC

Particle Diameter                                               Percent of
    (Microns)                                                 Particle Mass
>12.0
7.5 - 12
5.1 - 7.5
3.5 - 5.1
2.3 - 3.5
1.1 - 2.3
0.7 - 1.1
37.8
0.0
1.0
1.5
3.6
2.0
0.5
   0.47 - 0.7                                                       l.o
     <0.47                                                         52.6

Notes:

   1.  Data taken from Hahn, 1986, and Hagenmaier, 1986 (unpublished).

   2.  Data represents one test day, but is typical of performance.

   3.  The facility is equipped with a dry venturi; scrubber coupled with
       fabric filters for air pollution control.

   4.  The facility has a capacity of 600 metric tons MSW per day.
October 1986                        3-12             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
              TABLE 3-6.   RATIO OF METAL EMISSIONS AS A FUNCTION
                        OF PARTICLE DIAMETER (>2u/<2u)
Pollutant
Arsenic
Beryllium
Cadmium
Chromium
Lead
Nickel
Ratio
25/75
34/66
34/66
41/59
12/88
41/59
Source:  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (1985a).

     The data on  the distribution of organic compounds  adsorbed  onto  variously
sized particulates  is  lacking.   The deficiency of data  on  the relationships
between particle  size  and organic compound  concentration may  be overcome by
assuming that compounds  will  be distributed  in proportion  to  the percent of
total particle  surface area available for adsorption for each particle size
category (assuming  particles  are perfect spheres).   The mass emission rate of
the organic  pollutant  may be  distributed by  particle  size by computing  propor-
tion and available surface area for a given particle size (Hart and Associates,
1985), and  holding  particle density constant.  The particle weight is propor-
tional to volume  if density is constant.  Therefore,  the ratio of the surface
area to  volume  is proportional to the  ratio of surface area to weight for a
particle with a given radius  (Hart and  Associates, 1985).   Multiplying this
proportion  times  the  weight  fraction of particles  of  a specific  diameter
(microns) yields  a  number that estimates the amount of surface area available
for chemical adsorption.  Example calculations are given in Appendix B.
     The particle size and surface area distribution will  be kept constant in
the analysis  of inorganic and organic compound emissions resulting from the
application  of  two  distinct sets of  air pollution  control  systems:   electro-
static precipitators (ESPs) and the combination dry venturi  scrubber and fabric
filters.  Comparisons  between the  particle   size distributions  depicted in
Tables 3-3  and  3-4  does  show distinct differences between emissions resulting
from  ESP control or fabric filter control.   However, it was  felt that not
enough particle mass fractionalization data  exists to generalize a distribution
pattern  for  each  control devise based on these limited measurements.   There-
fore,  EPA  has  assumed,  for purposes  of estimating  deposition  of specific
pollutants,  a unitized particle size  distribution  of both  pollution control
systems.
October 1986                        3-13              DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
     Three particle size categories  were  selected:   greater than  10 microns,
2 to 10  microns,  and  less  than 2 microns.   The fraction of total surface area
available for chemical adsorption  is calculated to be 0.03, 0.095, and 0.875,
respectively.  The specific emission rate for  each po.llutant considered in  the
analysis is  multiplied by  the  fraction of available  surface area  to estimate
the pollutant emission rate corresponding  to the particle  size  distribution.
For example, the  emission  of formaldehyde may  be estimated  to  be 80  milligrams
per second of plant operation.   Then the formaldehyde emission rate  in  consid-
eration  of available  surface area  would be:   (0.030 x 80 mg/s) = 2.4 mg/s for
particles greater than 10  microns;  (0.095  x 80 mg/s) = 7.6 mg/s  for particles
sizes ranging from 2  to  10 microns;  (0.875 x 80 mg/s) = 70 mg/s  for particles
less than or equal to 2 microns  in diameter.   The organic pollutants emissions
will be determined on this  basis for purposes of wet and dry surface deposition
modeling.
     Table 3-6 summarizes  the  typical data on particle  size distribution of
heavy metal  emissions from MWCs.   Two particle size categories  are specified in
the data:  less  than  2  microns diameter, and  greater than  2 microns diameter
(U.S. EPA, 1985a).  In order to calculate emission  rates of inorganic compounds
ratios of mass of the compound per  particle size category  were  assumed.  For
example  Table 3-6  indicates that approximately 25  percent of arsenic has been
found adsorbed to particles greater than 2  microns  diameter, and  thus the ratio
is  25 percent/75  percent for >2/<2 microns.  If arsenic  were emitted at a rate
of  2.3  x 10   grams  per second, then  the  emission  rate per  particle  size
cutoff,  taking into consideration  available  surface  area for adsorption,  would
be  1.4 x 10"  g/s for particles greater than  10 microns; 4.4 x  10"4 g/s for
particles 2  to  10 microns,  and 1.7 x  10    g/s for  particles less  than 2
microns.
     If  the  assumptions regarding  particle  size distribution,  and fraction of
total  surface  area for  adsorption  are  held constant  between particulate
emissions resulting  from  electrostatic precipitators  or fabric  filters, how
will EPA account  for  differences in emissions of organic and  inorganic pollu-
tants with the application of  different exhaust gas  cleaning systems?  Differ-
ences in emissions will  be  accounted for with differences in rates of emissions
of  specific  pollutants rather  than differences in  particle distribution.   For
example electrostatic precipators have an ability to reduce inorganic compounds
by  97 percent, except for  mercury which is  only controlled about 30 percent.

October 1986                        3-14             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
By comparison,  the combination  dry scrubber and fabric  fitters  can control
inorganic compound  emissions by 99 percent, except  for mercury which can be
controlled by about 50 percent (Klicius et al., 1986).
     Uncontrolled  emissions of  organic  compounds could not be found  in the
literature.  The  EPA  will assume that organic  emissions  can be controlled or
reduced only  by about 20 percent inlet  to  outlet of ESPs, and dry  scrubbers
coupled with 'fabric filters will be capable of at least 95 percent  control of
organic compound  emissions.   Recent analysis on  the physical  distribution of
PCDD and  PCDF emissions from MWCs suggests  that without appreciable cooling of
the  combustion gas, about  75  percent of the congeners will  be either in a
gaseous  state or  associated with  aerosol  particles less than 0.1 microns
aerodynamic  diameter  (Ministry  of  the Environment,  Ontario,  Canada, 1985;
Rappe  and Ballschmidter, 1986;  Ballschmidter,  et  al.  1984).  The  EPA is
currently testing across  pollution  control devices to gather better  data on ESP
and  dry scrubber  - fabric  filter  control  efficiencies  for  PCDDs/PCDFs on
municipal  incinerators.   When  this data is available, EPA  will  be able to
refine  estimates of control efficiency.  Environment Canada  has reported the
efficiencies of a pilot scale  dry scrubber - baghouse system operating on a 227
metric  ton massburn MWC  (Klicius et al., 1986).  At temperatures varying from
110°C  to 200°C  the overall removal  efficiencies for PCDDs and  PCDFs  were
greater than 99 percent.  Other organics such as chlorobenzenes, polychlorinated
biphenyls  and  chlorophenols were  removed to a lesser  extent,  but  generally
better  than 95 percent at operating temperatures between 125°C and  140°C.   The
exception  were polycylic aromatic  hydrocarbons which were removed at an effi-
ciency  of  above 84  percent  at  140°C, and  98 percent  at 200°C.  Inherent  in EPA's
current  assumption of poor removal  of orgnaic compounds with ESPs,  and with no
prior  gas  cooling, is the  assumption that at temperatures above 250°C charac-
teristic  of combustion  gas temperatures passing through ESPs, the organic
compounds  will predominate  in the  gaseous  state, and therefore will  not be
efficiently collected by  the system.
 3.2   THE  HUMAN EXPOSURE  MODEL  (HEM)
      The  Industrial  Source Complex Model  (ISC-ST) will be  used to predict the
 ambient air concentrations  of  the  chemicals  to  be evaluated. The output will be
 a  concentration array for  160 receptors along each  of  16  wind directions),

 October 1986                       3-15             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE  OR  CITE

-------
specified in concentric radial distances from each facility  of 0.2,  0.5,  1,  2,
5, 10, 20, 30,  40 and 50 kilometers computed every 22.5° on a radius-polar grid
pattern.  This output will be a suitable format  for  utilization with the  Human
Exposure Model  (HEM).   HEM will  be used to  estimate the  carcinogenic risk to
the population exposed  by  inhalation  to the predicted  ambient air concentra-
tions of  the specified  pollutants.   The HEM also is  capable of air dispersion
modeling  and  is  often  used  in nationwide  analyses  of source categories.
Reference is made  to the  User's  Manual  for the  HEM for a detailed description
of dispersion modeling capabilities (U.S.  EPA,  1986f).
     Exposure is the product  of  the population  and the concentration to which
the population is exposed.   To form this product both the concentration and the
population  must  be  known at the  same  location  or point.   The  HEM uses the
latitude and longitude of the facility to determine the population of the study
area.  The permanent data base is comprised of the 1980 Census Data Base broken
down  by block  group/enumeration  district (BG/ED).   The population data base
contains  the population centroid  coordinates (latitude and longitude) and the
1980 population  of each BG/ED in the country (about 300,000 centroids in 50
states  plus the  District of  Columbia).    A population  centroid is  the
population-weighted  geographical   center of  a BG/ED for known geodetic coordi-
nates.  For BG/ED  centroids  located between 0.2  Km and  3.5 Km from the facili-
ty, populations  are apportioned  among neighboring polar grid points.  A polar
grid point is one of the 160 receptors at which concentrations are estimated  by
the dispersion model.   There  are 64 (4 x 16) polar  grid points  within this
range.  Both concentration and population  counts are thus available for  each
polar grid point.  Log-log linear interpolation is used to estimate the concen-
tration of each ED/BG population  centroid located between 3.5 Km and 50 Km from
the source.  Concentration estimates  for 96 (6 x 16) grid points (receptors  at
5,  10,  20,  30,  40, and 50  Km from the source  along  each of  the 16 wind
directions) resulting from dispersion modeling are used as reference points  in
the  interpolation.   The User's  Guide  gives examples  of  these calculations
(U.S. EPA, 1986f, pp 2-12 to 2-19).
     The  HEM employs a  number of simplifying assumptions when  computing  expo-
sures to a pollutant, including:
October 1986                        3-16             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
     1.   It  is  assumed that  most exposure  occurs  at population  weighted
centers (centroids)  of block group and enumeration  districts  (BG/ED) because
the locations  of  actual residences are not  contained  in  available  databases.
The model  relies  on information provided  in  a  database developed by the U.S.
Census Bureau.
     2.   It  is assumed that people reside at these  centroids  for their entire
lifetimes (assumed to  be 70 years  for calculating cancer risk).
     3.   It  is  assumed that  indoor concentrations  are the same as  outdoor
concentrations.
     4.   It  is assumed that plants emit pollutants at the same emission rate
for 70 years.  Long-term emission  rates are not known.
     5.   It  is assumed that the only source of exposure is the ambient air and
resuspension  of pollutants via dust  is not considered.
     6.   It  is assumed that there is no population migration or growth.
     7.   The  model  does not  provide  for  descriminating  exposure situations
that may differ with age, sex, health status, or other situations.  Susceptible
population  subgroups are not considered.

     The exposure estimates  are combined with measures of carcinogenic potency
to  estimate the  probability of cancer by direct inhalation.  The  estimation of
carcinogenic  potency is expressed as the "unit risk."  The unit risk estimate
for an air pollutant  is defined  as  the  lifetime cancer risk occurring  in  a
population  in which all individuals  are  exposed continuously from birth
                                                         o
throughout  their  lifetimes  to a concentration  of  1  ug/m   of the  agent in the
air they  breathe.  The measures of  carcinogenic potency (unit risk estimates)
were  derived by  EPA's  Carcinogen  Assessment  Group,  and may be reviewed in a
Health Assessment Document prepared  for  each carcinogen.   Generally, Health
Assessment  Documents  have been  thoroughly reviewed by the  Science  Advisory
Board  before final publication.   The derivation of unit risk estimates depends
on  a  quantitative evaluation of adverse health outcomes statistically tied to
exposure to a chemical  as observed in epidemiological, clinical, toxicological,
and environmental research.   Evidence for carcinogenic action is based on the
observations  of statistically  significant tumor responses  in specific  organs or
tissues.
October 1986                         3-17              DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE  OR  CITE

-------
Evidence of  possible carcinogenic!ty to  humans is  evaluated according  to
specific criteria set  forth  in  EPA's guidelines for Carcinogenic Risk Assess-
ment (U.S. EPA,  1986g;  Federal  Register,  1986).  Since  risks at low exposure
levels cannot be measured directly either  by animal  experiments or by epidemio-
logical studies, mathematical models must  be used to extrapolate from high dose
to  low doses characteristic  of  environmental exposures.  Table  3-7 displays
representative unit cancer risks for inhalation exposure to  specific chemicals.
     There are  differences in the  amount, type  and  quality of the data  used to
derive the unit risk estimates.   Such differences may  affect the confidence
that can be  assumed in the quantitative estimate of carcinogenic potency and
subsequent quantification of cancer risks.   The uncertainties associated with
cancer  risk  assessment vary with  the chemical.   Generally,  human data  pro-
vide the best  evidence that  a chemical  is  a carcinogen.   In the  absence  of
human  data,  animal  to  man extrapolation  must be performed.   The unit  risk
estimate based  on animal  bioassays is considered an upper  bound estimate of
the excess cancer risk over  a lifetime  in populations  exposed to the probable
carcinogen.  The concept  of  equivalent  doses for humans compared to animals,
for  example, has  little experimental  verification regarding carcinogenic
response and this is another area of uncertainty.   In  addition,  human popula-
tions are more variable than  laboratory  animals with respect to genetic  consti-
tution,  diet,   living   environment  and activity patterns.    The  overall
uncertainties associated with unit risk estimates have not  yet been statisti-
cally  quantified.   At  best the  linear extrapolation model  used to derive unit
risk estimates  provides an  approximate but plausible  estimate of the  upper
limit of risk:   It is not likely that the  true risk would be much more than the
estimated risk,  but the true risk could very well be considerably lower.  The
quantitative aspects of risk  assessments should not be  construed as an accurate
representation of the true cancer risk,  but are best utilized in the regulatory-
decision process, such  as  setting regulatory priorities based on a relative
indication of the potential  magnitude of population risk from chemical  expo-
sure.
     By combining the estimates  of public exposure with the unit risk estimate,
two types of quantitative  estimates are produced.  The  first, called maximum
lifetime risk,  relates  the risk to the  individual or individuals  estimated to
live in the area of highest concentration as estimated by the dispersion model.
These  are  the   "most-exposed  individuals"  (MEIs).  The  second type of  risk

October 1986                        3-18             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
estimate,  called aggregate risk, is  a  summation of all the  risks  to people
living within  50 kilometers of the facility.  The aggregate  risk is expressed
as incidences  of cancer among all of the exposed population  after 70 years of
exposure;  for  statistical  convenience,  it is often divided by 70 and expressed
as cancer  incidences per year.
     Two chemicals  have been selected to provide example calculations of risk:
benzo(a)pyrene  (B(a)P)  and cadmium (Cd).  Table 3-7 shows the unit risk esti-
mates for  B(a)P  and cadmium to be 1.7 x  10~3  (pg/m )    and 1.8 x 10*  (ug/m )  ,
respectively.  The ISC-ST  dispersion  model predicted the maximum annual average
ground  level  concentration within 50 kilometers of  the model plant massburn
incinerator located in  Western Florida.  The  maximum concentration of B(a)P was
                           «A     ^J
determined to  be 1.62 x 10   ug/m  if only electrostatic precipitators are used
on  the  facility capable of only 20 percent control efficiency of B(a)P.   If an
individual or individuals are exposed continuously for 70 years to the maximum
average annual  ground-level concentration of  B(a)P, then he or she would have a
maximum individual  lifetime risk of about 3 chances in  10 million of contracting
cancer  (3  x 10"7).  The aggregate  risk  to the total population living within 50
kilometers is estimated by the  HEM  to be 0.0004 cancer  incidences  per  year
(0.03 cancer  cases  in  70 years of  B(a)P exposure), or roughly one cancer in the
exposed population of  1,650,000 people per  2500  years of operation of the
facility.   Likewise the emission  of  cadmium  from  the stack of the model plant
        '                                                                  -3
 results in a  predicted maximum ground-level concentration  of  1.81 x 10
ug/m3,  assuming ESPs are  used to  control  inorganic emissions by 95  percent.
The maximum  individual lifetime risk  from  continuous (70 year) inhalation
 exposure to the predicted concentration is estimated to be about 3  chances  in  1
million (3.0 x  10~6) of contracting  cancer.   The aggregate risk to the popula-
 tion of 1.65  million  living within  a  radius of  50  km of the facility is
 estimated by HEM to be 0.004 (0.28 cancers  in  70  years),  or about 1 cancer
 every 250 years of  facility  operation associated with the stack emission  of
 cadmium.
      If more advanced controls,  e.g., dry scrubber coupled with fabric filters,
 are used  on the model  plant instead of ESPs, then  the risk  calculations  are
 changed, reflecting 95 percent B(a)P control  efficiency,  and  99 percent  cadmium
 control efficiency.  The  ISCST  air  dispersion model  predicts a maximum  annual
 average B(a)P  concentration of 1.15 x 10"   ug/m .   The estimated  maximum
 individual lifetime risk of cancer now becomes a probability  of about 2 chances

 October 1986                        3-19             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
        TABLE 3-7.  UNIT CANCER RISK ESTIMATES FOR INHALATION EXPOSURE
	TO SPECIFIC CHEMICALS (RISK PER ug POLLUTANT/m3 OF AIR)	
 Arsenic                                                4.2 x 10l3
 Benzene                                                8.3 x 10.J
 Benzo(a)pyrene                                       :  1.7 x 10_3
 Beryllium                                              2.4 x 10.3
 Cadmium                                                1.8 x 10_3
 Carbon tetrachloride                                   1.5 x 10.5
 Hexachlorobenzene                                      4.8 x 10_4
 Chromium (VI)                                          1.2 x 10.2
*2378-TCDD                                              3.3 x 10.s (pg/m3) *
*HexaCDD                                                1.3 x 10 6 (pg/m3) *
 Nickel                                                 3.0 x 10l4
 Formaldehyde                                           1.8 x 10 4
 PCB                                                    1.2 x 10"3
*The carcinogenic  potency of TCDD and HexaCDD is such that the unit risk
 estimates are based on inhalation exposure to 1 picogram (10-12g) per cubic
 meter of air.

                       ~8
in  100  million  (2 x 10  ) from continuous  exposure  to B(a)P emissions.  The
aggregate population  risk  from the stack emission of B(a)P is further reduced
from the  ESP  control  scenario to an estimate of 0.00003 cancer incidences per
year (0.02  cancers  in 70 years),  or roughly 1 cancer in  the  exposed  population
of  1.65 million  every 33,000 years  of  facility operation.  Additional  emission
control of  cadmium at the model  plant would result  in  a  predicted  maximum
annual ground-level concentration  of 6.6 x 10   ug Cd/m^ of air.   This corre-
sponds to an  estimated maximum individual lifetime risk of continuous inhala-
tion exposure of cadmium  for 70 years to  be about 1 chance  in  1  million (1  x
10  ) of contracting cancer.   The aggregate risk from population exposure (1.65
million people)  residing within  50 km of the  model  plant  is  estimated by the
Human Exposure Model  (HEM)  to be 0.002 cancer cases  per year (0.14 cancers in
70 years) directly attributable to emissipns of cadmium.
     Table 3-8 illustrates the B(a)P output concentrations predicted by the ISC
air dispersion model  when  the model plant  is  controlled with ESPs.  Table 3-9
illustrates the  ground-level  annual  average concentrations of  B(a)P  when dry
scrubbers coupled with fabric filters  are used at the facility.   Table 3-10
depicts the distribution of cancer risk from B(a)P emissions resulting from ESP
control, and Table  3-11  illustrates the distribution  of risk within 50 km of
the facility with dry-scrubber-fabric  filter control.  These tables  serve to
illustrate the typical outputs of the ISC and HEM models.
October 1986                        3-20
DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
fl              •                                      AMBIENT AIR CONCENTRATIONS OF
                                                      B(a)P  AS PREDICTED  BY THE ISC
*      !*?!*._!!'	MODEL  (WITH ESP CONTROL)
m —
             "iri  1 T 4  -i C  r	
               ,?o«	."lUfl	I.AOA	TTWira	y.'WTin	Tir.'AOir      ?B.HATI      tBTBmiflA.imr      11170 mi •
                                                2.S477.0A9  l.'fcUA-BAS—TT
                         i.ai»-Afl«s  ?;
             r;inviiiifo»—<>;iui
f%      Wli  I.^niiT-OO*  ".Pl'Jj-oo'i  5.795 i-no^   S.l«?5-<)h*  T.
        Tl	USHflUAAB—T7
       ~wn—r.'«nyo-Boa—*i.'»7Ji-on5—a.s&vs-ffB*—»r
         fK~ B~. 7rta»-ooS  ^.S^bv-oaS  j.vi^»-nn^  J^

       TWf—t;q3ifc-ons—a.'usfc-Bns—3.'yqon-nnn—3.ni?3-oos
                                                 fc.nr*-qos
        Tlf
         IF
               LUUIIUN
        -g7 mut si»—P" n. L«I.—rrn
         9t DEC. *»'  0" *. LQMC. t «2.
                               3IIUMHS

-------
                     	,                 TABLE

                     	       AMBIENT AIR CONCENTRATIONS OF
                                                      B(a)P AS PREDICTED BY THE ISC
                     •T—                   —       MODEL (WITH DRY SCRUBBER  -
                NC^..N>tTOH8	              FABRIC FILTERS)
       TTTU	h  1  *  T  4  N t »
                                       t.OllOZ.nrtfl3. tut A
                                                                                       ?i».ni»ii       4fl.0—007I .**! 11-007

         *fii6.*7H«-i»064.*n9JI-iMi6  J.nA4|.Aiifc—77
         Nw  5.5IT6-006   j;«4l-ii«6  5.'6^JI-od6—2.37«fl.fto6—l.iol^.oilfc—l.ftgAB.flflT—-fl06  £.*74i-oo6—?.'6« 5?-o«6—a;si5J-floA—2.Ho^-Aftl.—t.^Sfll-ngS—S.hlS*.A.|7—i.'23Hl-nB7
         8t   S.92ST

       15f—5>1Bfc-o<»6—S.4«4*-4o6
        SUUflPE  LOCAriON
        *7  HtC,  57'   o" N. L*T.   I  ?i
        6?  PER,  27'   0" .«. LOKH.  C  H?,
-------
     TABLE 3-10.  HEM OUTPUT AS TO THE DISTRIBUTION OF RISK BY POPULATION
     RESULTING FROM B(a)P EMISSIONS AT THE MODEL PLANT (WITH ESP CONTROL)
Estimated Risk Level
3.0 x 10"7
2.6 x 10~7
1.3 x 10"7
5.0 x 10"8
2.6 x 10"8
1.3 x 10" 8
5.0 x 10"9
2.2 x 10"9
Hypothetical Population
<1
<1
37
52,100
172,000
897,000
1,470,000
1,650,000
Note:  The calculations of risk are meant to serve as an example output
       to the Human Exposure Model, and do not apply to an existing MWC.

           TABLE 3-11.  HEM OUTPUT AS TO THE DISTRIBUTION OF RISK BY
         POPULATION RESULTING FROM B(a)P EMISSIONS AT THE MODEL PLANT
                  (WITH DRY SCRUBBER - FABRIC FILTER CONTROL)
Estimated Risk Level
2.0 x 10"8
1.3 x 10"8
5.0 x 10"9
2.6 x 10"9
1.3 x 10"9
5.0 x 10"10
1.4 x 10"10
Hypothetical Population
<1
37
13,000
95,400
351,000
1,280,000
1,650,000
Note:  The calculations of risk are meant to serve as an example output
       to the Human Exposure Model, and do not apply to an existing MWC.  '

     There are  uncertainties  in the risk assessment calculations that must be
highlighted, but  cannot be easily quantified.  The basic assumptions implicit
in  the methodology for inhalation cancer  risk  assessment are 1) that  all
exposures occur at people's residences; 2) that people stay at the same loca-
tion  continuously for  70 years;  3)  that the ambient air  concentrations and
emissions from  MWCs which  cause  these concentrations persist for 70  years;
and 4)  that  the concentrations are the same inside and outside the residence.
In  addition  there is  no numerical recognition of the risks to more susceptible
subgroups within  the  exposed  population.   Population growth or migration to or
from the  modeling area is also not considered in the analysis.   In the absence
of  pollutant specific  information on the treatment of concomitant exposure to
October 1986                        3-23             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
mixtures of carcinogens, EPA will assume that the risks associated with.differ-
ent pollutants  from  MWC emissions  are  additive.  This  conforms to EPA's recent
guidelines  on  cancer risk  assessment  (51 FR  33992,  September  24,  1986).
Simultaneous exposure to several chemical  carcinogens  is  a frequent  occurrence
in the environment.  The EPA is committed to toxicologic research on the health
risks  posed to exposure  of complex mixtures.   The ability to  predict how
specific  mixtures  of toxicants may interact  ultimately must be based  on  an
understanding of the biological mechanisms involved in such interactions.
     An  example of the dilemma EPA often  faces  in predicting human  risk  to
complex  mixtures  is  the chemical class polycyclic  aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH).
This class  of compounds are formed uniquely during the incomplete combustion or
pyrolysis  of organic materials containing carbon  and  hydrogen.   Potentially
several  hundred distinct compounds may be formed,  but only a few have been
speciated  in MWC  emissions (U.S.  EPA,  1986b).  These emissions are summarized
in Appendix A.   Of all  the PAH compounds  investigated  for carcinogenic  proper-
ties,  benzo(a)pyrene remains the most  intensely studied  compound (U.S., EPA,
1984b),  and even  it's metabolic pathway for  carcinogenesis has been  described.
The EPA  has reviewed these data and has derived an inhalation unit risk esti-
mate for B(a)P  that is appropriate to  predict  human cancer risk.  The  Inter-
national  Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) has  provided additional scienti-
fic evaluation  on the carcinogenicity  of other PAH compounds that may be found
associated  with benzo(a)pyrene when emitted from combustion  sources (IARC,
1983).   The IARC has carefully reviewed the scientific data, and has determined
the following  specific  PAH compounds to be  probably carcinogenic to humans:
benz(a)  anthracene, benzo(b)fluoranthene,  benzo(j) fluoranthene,  benzo(k)
fluoranthene,   benzo(a)pyrene,   dibenz(a,h)acridine,   dibenz(a,j)acridine,
dibenz(a,h)anthracene,  7H-dibenzo(c,g)carbazole,  dibenzo(a,e)pyrene,  dibenzo
(a,h)pyrene, dibenzo(a,i)pyrene, dibenzo(a,l)pyrene, and  indeno(l,2,3-cd)pyrene.
Additional  PAH  compounds have been found  to  be  genotoxic, but  have  not been
adequately  tested  for carcinogenicity  (IARC, 1983).
     Typically  B(a)P may be less than  10  percent  of  total PAH emissions from
MWCs  (U.S.  EPA, 1986b).   If  other PAH compounds  that  are also carcinogenic
have been identified in the emissions, then  estimating the carcinogenic risk
from exposure only to B(a)P may potentially underestimate the  risk posed by the
mixture  of PAH  compounds.  The dilemma is presented  by the fact that EPA  has
only derived a  carcinogenic potency estimate for  B(a)P,  and not the  other PAH

October  1986                       3-24             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
compounds  I ARC  has determined  to  also be probable human  carcinogens.   As  a
class of compounds, polycyclic  aromatic hydrocarbons are a significant constit-
uent  of total  organic  compound emissions  from municipal waste  combustors
(MWCs).
     Given these  set of circumstances, EPA  is  faced with  certain choices with
respect  to cancer risk assessment of the PAH mixture characteristic of combus-
tion emissions.   EPA may:

      1.   Restrict PAH  risk assessment only to the emission of benzo(a)pyrene,
the compound  for  which  EPA has  derived a  cancer unit risk  estimate.
      2.    Consider the  PAH compounds  identified by  IARC as probably carcinogenic
to humans  as  potentially  equal  to  the carcinogenic  potency of B(a)P.
      3.    Consider total  PAH compounds as potentially  equal to the carcinogenic
potency of B(a)P.

      Currently  EPA favors  scenario 2,  that  is, enfold the observed carcinoge-
nicity  of other  PAH  compounds  into the  quantitative  cancer  potency
estimate for B(a)P.  This  scheme  would only be applied to PAH mixtures as an
interim procedure until  EPA could quantify  the potency of the other carcino-
genic compounds or directly submit the mixture  to  an appropriate bioassay.  The
EPA was faced with a similar dilemma  in regarding  the  potential risk  associated
with  population  exposure to a mix  of structurally related polychlorinated   .
dibenzo-p-dioxins  and  dibenzofurans.  The  EPA had derived  cancer potency
estimates only  for 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin and an  isomer  mixture  of
hexachlorinated dioxins  (U.S.  EPA,  1985b),  and  yet EPA  devised an  interim
procedure for  estimating  risks associated  with the mixture of PCDD  and PCDF
compounds, potentially 210  distinct  compounds, that relates the potency of the
mixture to the unit  cancer risk estimate of 2,3,7,8-TCDD (Bellin and Barnes,
 1986).   The  risk assessment methodology referred  to  as  the 2378-TCDD Toxic
 Equivalency Factor Method, was reviewed by the Science Advisory Board September
8,  1986.
      The  carcinogenic  risk assessment evaluates  the  consequence  of 70 year
exposure  of  the  pollutant  discharged in the  stack emission from the  MWC.
 Potential exposure  of  the  pollutant from  other  sources either natural or
man-made are not  assessed by the  HEM.  Therefore  the  computed risk estimate  is
considered attributable only to the emissions from the incinerator.

October 1986                         3-25             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
     An  estimation will be  made of possible noncarcinogenic  adverse health
effects  resulting  from inhalation of the maximum  annual  ground level (MAAGL)
concentration  predicted by  the  ISC-ST model.   A  determination  of potential
noncarcinogenic  risks will be made regarding the  mos,t exposed  individual(s)
living  at or near the ambient MAAGL concentration, and using a  risk  reference
dose  as  an  appropriate indicator  of risk.  The  EPA has  developed risk
reference doses for  threshold-acting toxicants which are more thoroughly
discussed in Section  4 of  this report.  Human  exposure  is characterized as a
daily  intake of the  pollutant  by inhalation of the  predicted  MAAGL of the
pollutant.   The  appropriate  toxicologic  index,  or  risk reference dose,  will be
compared  with the estimated daily  intake  dose that  has  been adjusted to
account  for  intake of  the pollutant  from  sources  other than MWC  emissions.
Other  sources of  exposure to the  pollutant by inhalation  may include  a
monitored ambient air  concentration at or near  the MAAGL,  or pollutant
emission  from other  stationary  combustion  sources  located within the same
modeling  radius  of 50  km.   Thus the background intake of  the  pollutant is
factored  into the characterization  of noncarcinogenic risk from  inhalation
exposure  in  much the  same  manner as calculated  in  Equation 4-1  of  Section 4 in
order  to define the  increment that could result from emission  from  the  MWC
without  exceeding  the threshold.   If the risk  reference  dose  were exceeded,
then  this would signal  a  potential  for an adverse  noncarcinogenic  health
effect  occurring in  the population exposed to the  stack  emission of the
pollutant from the MWC.
3.3  TERRESTRIAL FOOD CHAIN MODEL
     Contaminants associated with  emissions  from MWC are subject to deposition
on surfaces downwind from the MWC.   The fallout may be deposited on soil and/or
vegetation.  The Terrestrial Food  Chain Model (TFC)  refers  to both the human
food chain  and  the  ecological  food chain.   The  pathways in the model assess
exposure to humans,  animals,  soil  biota and  vegetation.   Terrestrial trophic
relationships are numerous  and complex.   These pathways  have been selected for
assessing human exposure  to deposited contaminants  from  emissions  of MWC and
will be  discussed  in this section.   Humans  in the vicinity of the MWC have the
potential to ingest contaminated soil directly or consume vegetation  and animal
tissues  containing the  contaminants.   The ecological pathways involve plants,
soil biota and their consumers and are discussed in Section 5.
October 1986                        3-26             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
3.3.1  General Considerations
3.3.1.1  Most-Exposed Individuals (MEIs).   Humans or  other organisms may be
exposed to  the soil-deposited contaminants of MWC emissions by several  path-
ways.  For  each  exposure pathway, it is important to identify the most-exposed
individual,  or MEI.  Occupational exposures are  not  considered.   It is assumed
that workers involved in the operation of MWCs can be required to use special
measures or  equipment to minimize their exposure to possibly hazardous materials.
This methodology is  geared  toward  protection of the general public  and  the
environment.   While many individuals of the general  public may be exposed to a
varying degree,  the MEI is that individual  who would be  expected to experience
the  greatest risk and, therefore, require the greatest protection.   The  MEI  is
a  hypothetical  individual,  but  care should be taken that  the  definition is
realistic.   The  definition of the MEI will vary with each pathway.
3.3.1.1.1   Crops for human consumption.   This pathway (deposition-soil-plant-
human  toxicity)  is important wherever crops for  human consumption are grown  in
a vicinity where emissions from  a MWC may be  deposited.  Uptake of the deposited
contaminants is  assumed to occur through the plant roots.   Direct adherence  of
deposited  contaminants or  soil  to  crop  surfaces  is  not  considered here.
(Direct ingestion of  deposited contaminants is discussed in Section 3.3.1.1.2.)
The  MEI  is defined as an individual residing in  a region within 50 km of a MWC
in the area of  maximal deposition  of  emissions.   The individual who grows a
large  proportion of his or her own  food would result in highest risk since much
of the diet  would be  potentially affected.
3.3.1.1.2   Soil  ingestion  by children.   Human adults may ingest some soil, but
the  amounts  consumed by young (i.e., preschool,  1-6  years of age) children are
much  greater.    This  is  especially true in children exhibiting  the  behavior
known  as  "pica," the ingestion of nonfood items; these children constitute the
MEI  for this pathway  (deposition-human toxicity).  Preschool children with pica
for  soil are assumed  to be exposed  in residential areas within 50 km of the MWC
in the areas of  maximal deposition of  emissions.  The exposure  is likely to
occur  in gardens, lawns, landscaped areas, parks and recreational areas.
3.3.1.1.3   Herbivorous animals  for human consumption.   Two  separate  pathways
are considered whereby animal products may become contaminated:   1) deposition-
soil -pi ant-animal -human  toxicity and 2) deposition-soil-animal  (direct inges-
tion)-human  toxicity.  By  the first pathway, row crops (i.e., grains) or other
forage crops (i.e., grasses) are grown on soils contaminated by  MWC emissions

October 1986                        3-27             DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE  OR  CITE

-------
and take up  contaminants  through  the roots.   The crops are then harvested for
animal consumption.  By the  second pathway,  the deposited contaminants adhere
to crop surfaces  or  remain in the thatch layer on the soil surface.  The crop
is then harvested  or grazed, resulting in ingestion of deposited particles or
pollutants.  In addition  to  domestic grazers, wild herbivores,  such as  deer,
may forage grains or grasses within the range of emissions fallout and be taken
by hunters.  The  MEI for  this pathway is the human consumer of these animal
products.
3.3.1.2  Soil Deposition  Rate of Contaminants.  The cumulative  soil  deposition
rate  of contaminants (in  kg/ha) is determined  from the  total  (dry plus wet)
deposition  rate  of  the pollutant [g/m2  (year)]"1 over the  total  period of
deposition from the MWC by the following equation:

               CD = AD x T x 10          ,                       Equation (3-2)

where:
      CD = cumulative soil  deposition of pollutant (kg/ha)_
      AD = annual deposition  rate of pollutant [g/m2 (year *)]
      T = total period of deposition (years)
      10 = conversion factor  [m2 x kg/(ha x g)]

      For  this  methodology,  the lifetime of  the MWC  (or total period  of
deposition)  is  considered to be >30 years; however, since the site is already
dedicated for MWC, it may be assumed that the MWC will be replaced.  Therefore,
the lifetime of the  MWC could be as great as  100 years.
3.3.1.3   Soil  Incorporation- of  Deposited Contaminants.   Following deposition,
contaminants from  emissions  of MWC may be incorporated into the upper layer of
soil  where  crops  or other vegetation  are  grown.   If incorporation  is accom-
plished by  disking or plowing of  the  upper  layer of soil, it is assumed that
the deposited  pollutants  would be mixed into the soil to a  depth  of *20 cm  (8
inches).
      If the  contaminants  persist indefinitely  in the  upper soil layer, as is
the  case   for  some  inorganics,  the following  relationship exists  between
contaminant  deposition rates and  concentration  increment  in  soil:

               LC =  (CD x 10) x (B x D)"1                        Equation (3-3)
October 1986                        3-28              DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
where:

     LC = maximal soil concentration  increment of pollutant  (pg/g DW)
     CD = cumulative soil deposition  of pollutant (kg/ha)
     10 = conversion factor  [(m2 x  ha x ug)/(cm2 x m2 x  kg)]
      D = depth of  soil  layer  (cm)
      B = bulk density of soil  (g/cm2)

     From Equation  (3-3),  a soil concentration  of  1 ug/g DW corresponds to a
deposition  rate  of 2.7  kg/ha.   LC  represents the concentration  increment, not
the  total  concentration, because it  it does  not take into account background
concentrations of the contaminant that may already be present, whether natural
or from other pollution  sources.
     Where  soil   incorporation  does not occur, particulate  is  assumed to be
retained  in a shallower, uppermost soil layer.  While the actual depth of this
uppermost layer retaining the  unincorporated contaminant  is  unknown, a value of
1 cm will be assumed.
3.3.1.4  Contaminant  Loss from Soils.  Contaminants  may  be lost  from soils as a
result  of  numerous processes,  including  leaching, volatilization and chemical
and  biological  degradation.   These processes  may  occur simultaneously or at
different rates.
      Organic  contaminants and  some inorganic  contaminants  may be subject to
some or all of these  loss  processes; thus, it may  be extremely difficult to
model  overall  rate of  loss.   A simple  means to estimate loss  is  based on
empirical  data  from soil systems where soil concentrations  have been  followed
over time.  These data may  be  used  to estimate a first-order loss rate constant
for  the pollutant.  The use of such  a rate constant is  recognized to be an
over-simplification since   the  processes  involved  are  complex and  not
necessarily or  only first-order.  Where no basis for an estimate is available,
no loss  should be assumed.   The maximal soil concentration of chemicals  subject
to loss  (for all  k >0) may  be  calculated  as a  function  of the annual deposition
rate constant as  shown in the  equation  below:

       LCT = AD x  (l-e"kT) x 102 x  (B  x  D  x k)"1                  Equation (3-4)
 October 1986                        3-29             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
where:
       LCT = maximal soil concentration of pollutant after time,
             T (ug/g DW)
        AD = annual deposition of contaminant [g/(m2 x year)]
        MS = 2.7 x 103 Mg/ha = assumed mass of soil in upper 20 cm
         k = loss rate constant (years) 1
         T = total period of deposition (years)
       102 = conversion factor [(m2 x mg)/(cm2 x g)]
         B = bulk of density of soil g/cm2
         D = depth of soil layer (cm)

     This formula is derived from an environmental application of toxicokinetic
principles (O1Flaherty, 1981).
3.3.1.5   Contaminant Uptake Relationships in Plants
3.3.1.5.1  Plant  uptake  of  inorganics.   Uptake rates of inorganic  chemicals,
especially uptake of metals by plants, have been recently reviewed (CAST, 1980;
Ryan  et  a!.,  1982;  Logan and Chaney,  1983).   Ryan et al.  (1982) used linear
regression (of  plant tissue  Cd  concentration against applied Cd)  to  derive
uptake response slopes;  i.e., the  increase in tissue  concentration  for various
crops.   [The  term "uptake response" is used  to  denote  an  increase in tissue
concentration in  response to exposure to a chemical;  i.e.,  the  difference  in
pre- and post-exposure concentrations.]  These authors stated that although the
uptake slope  could  be altered by several  variables,  it remained essentially
linear.
     More recent  work,  as reviewed by Page et al.  (1986),  has  shown that plant
response  to  metals from  sludge-amended  soil  is  curvilinear,  approaching a
plateau  concentration  in  tissue  as sludge application rate increases;  however,
metal-adsorptive  materials  present  in the sludge matrix  are  thought to be
responsible for this  effect.   Since no such  uptake  limiting effect has been
demonstrated for deposited metals, uptake response slopes will be assumed to be
linear for this  methodology.   The assumption  that response  slopes  are linear
means  that  dietary  intake  of  a  contaminant increases  continually with
contaminant application  (or deposition)  to soil  (if  some  or all of the diet
originates from these soils).  Ryan  et al. (1982)  further assumed that  response
was related to  cumulative Cd application.   Using this approach, a limit can be
derived  for  the  cumulative application of  a metal  based on  its  dietary
threshold level in humans.
October 1986                        3-30             DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
     Linear response  slopes  can be calculated from any  data set where tissue
analyses  and  cumulative  metal  deposition  or  application rates  have been
recorded, assuming  that the  metal is not significantly lost over time.  Plant
tissue contaminant  concentration  (in ug/g DW) is regressed against cumulative
contaminant application or  deposition  (in kg/ha) for the various  treatment
levels,  including the  control, to calculate the uptake response slope.   If
contaminant concentrations in soil, LC, were measured rather than deposition or
application rates,  the cumulative deposition,  CD, may be  calculated  based on
Equation  (3-3).   For  inorganics  that are  lost  over time,  however,  tissue
concentration should  be regressed  against LC.
     Wherever possible, uptake response data derived from areas of emission
fallout will be used.   For contaminants lacking such data, linear uptake slopes
derived  from  other types of chemical application (such as sludge or pesticide
additions), will be  assumed to apply to deposited contaminants as well.
     If  the contaminant is phytotoxic, a maximum tissue  concentration for a
given  crop  will  be determined based  on  available phytotoxicity data,  and
assumed as an upper limit to uptake.  Phytotoxicity of metals may be altered by
soil pH.   Phytotoxicity data chosen should  be appropriate for  the  soil  pH of
the  fallout region of the MWC  if possible.  Maximum concentrations are  those
associated with  severe yield reduction (> 75%) or death  of  the plant, which
would preclude pollutant passage  up the foodchain.
3.3.1.5.2   Plant uptake of orgam'cs.   Linear uptake response is  also assumed
for  organic chemicals and is calculated as  described for inorganics,  but with
some important differences.  Because organic compounds and some inorganics tend
to  degrade  in  soil,  plant  tissue concentration  is usually expressed as  a
function  of  a  measured  soil   concentration,  rather than application or
deposition  rate,  for  chemicals  subject to loss.    Therefore,  the  soil
concentration  (in  ug/g DW) is  regressed against tissue  concentration to
determine the uptake  slope.
     In  addition, because soil concentration rather  than  deposition  rate  is
used,  and because  most of the compounds of concern  are  xenobiotics, tissue
concentration  can  be  assumed  to  be  zero when soil  concentration  is zero.
Therefore, the  slope  reduces to  a bioconcentration factor that can be derived
from a single data  pair.
3.3.1.6   Contaminant Uptake by Animal Tissues.    Linear  response slopes are
derived  for  uptake of  inorganics or orgam'cs  by animal  tissues consumed by

October 1986                        3-31              DRAFT-DO  NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
humans.  Tissue  concentration  is regressed  against concentration  in feed.
Tissue concentrations in the literature may be expressed  in  dry  or  wet weight,
but dry weight  is  preferred.   For uniformity  in applying  this methodology,  all
slopes should be derived based  on dry weight (moisture free,  but including fat)
concentrations  in  tissue and  feed.   Conversion  from wet to dry weight  for
various tissues  should  be  made according  to percent moisture values  given  in
USDA (1975) or another authoratative source.
   .  For lipophilic organics,  tissue  concentration  is often  expressed on  a  fat
basis  (ug/g  fat).   If so,  the  uptake slope should  also be expressed  on a fat
basis  rather than converted to  a dry weight basis.  Also, the slope  for
organics may be the same as a bioconcentration factor derived for a single data
point  (i.e.,  animal tissue concentration and  feed concentration), as  described
previously for plant uptake of organics (see Section 3.3.1.5.2.).
3.3.1.7  Human Diet.  Humans may be exposed to crops or  animal  products  that
have taken  up the  pollutants through  the soil or diet, respectively.  In  order
to  quantify potential dietary exposures,  it is necessary  to estimate the
amounts of  various types of foods in the  human diet.   The most  up-to-date and
detailed source  of information regarding food consumption habits of the United
States population  is  the FDA Revised Total Diet Study food  list (Pennington,
1983).  While this food list provides a very detailed picture  of the United
States diet,  it  cannot  be used  in its published form for risk assessments  of
the present  type.   Many of the  food  items  listed are  complex prepared foods
(such  as soup or pizza), rather than the  raw commodities (such as crops or
meats)  for which  contaminant  uptake data  are  available.   Therefore,  the
reanalysis  of the  Pennington (1983) diet that was  used  in U.S.   EPA  (1986h)
will also  be used in this methodology.   Each  item in the  Pennington diet
(including the  infant/junior foods)  was  broken down into its component parts,
based  on information  available in FDA (1981)  and USDA  (1975).  The  percentages
of dry matter and  fat for each component were also  specified.  These components
were then  aggregated  into  the specific commodity  groups required  for this
methodology.  A  summary  of consumption for each category  by  each age/sex  group
is presented  in  Table 3-12.  This analysis should be considered  preliminary as
it has not been reviewed by the FDA.

3.3.2  Deposition-Soil-PIant-Human Toxicity Exposure Pathway
3.3.2.1  Assumptions.   In  addition  to the assumptions listed  in Table 3-13,
assumptions on the percent of diet affected by deposition of contaminants from
October 1986                        3-32             DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
CO
CO
CO

inui_u o J.I..
BASED ON A
REANALYSIS OF THE FDA
REVISED TOTAL DIET FOOD LIST*
Consumption bv Aae-Sex Group (q dry weight/day)
Food Group
subgroup
Grains and cereals
wheat
corn
rice
oats
other grain
Potatoes
Leafy vegetables
Legume vegetables
Root vegetables
Garden fruits
Peanuts
Mushrooms
Vegetable oil
Meats
beef
beef fat
beef liver
beef liver fat
lamb
lamb fat
pork
pork fat
poultry
poultry fat
fish (including fat)
Dairy
dairy fat
Eggs
Other
6-11 Months

42.969
6.239
3.003
6.362
0.006
8.391
0.838
2.475
0.893
0.900
0.243
0.000
30.780

3.006
11.885
0.077
0.1012
0.0570
0.127
1.412
4.869
2.253
5.925
0.339
41.021
39. 196
3.395
130.992
2 Years

61.820
16.938
4.586
3.758
0.015
13.701
0.482
4.683
0.736
2.001
1.661
0.001
27.119

8.475
8.974
0.109
0.146
0.0314
0.070
4.994
8.264
4.515
1.412
1.200
31.854
16.252
6.788
253.974
14-16
Females

81. 980
20.148
5.137
1.779
0.018
21.505
1.141
6.459
1.422
3.766
1.374
0.002
41.938

15.322
14. 783
0.127
0.168
0.0253
0.056
7.892
10.556
6.997
1.602
2.540
32.088
18. 354
5.998
407.624
Years
Males

124.475
26.358
6.638
4.788
4.197
31.854
1.306
10.651
2.278
4.448
3.162
0.002
63.747

24.640
23.702
0.200
0.265
0.0180
0.040
10.942
15.698
8.258
1.809
2.676
49.858
29.677
8.103
527.718
25-30
Females

69.534
14.591
4.776
1.337
9.007
17.481
2.176
7.987
1.491
4.446
1.311
0.003
44.530

15.819
15.167
0.565
0.748
0. 1358
0.302
7.771
10.590
6.607
1.454
3.501
21.788
14. 545
6.286
379.042
Years
Males

102.207
22.439
6.783
2.044
77.912
28.289
2.164
11.891
2.126
5.943
2.840
0.004
75.746

25.050
27.952
0.423
0.5596
0.1064
0.237
13.846
20.046
9.681
2.061
4.670
31.772
21.991
9.197
482.937
60-65
Females

65.114
15.502
4.024
2.044
2.419
15.914
2.783
8.454
1.529
4.797
1.115
0.002
37.029

12.995
12.175
0.443
0.5854
0.0864
0.192
8.036
10. 554
6.736
1.464
3.629
19.108
12.145
7.000
198. 307
years
Males

89.525
20.347
4.396
2.293
25.644
23.837
2.526
11.098
1.866
5.442
2.137
0.002
55.621

20. 558
18.619
0.662
0.8762
0.0873
0.194
12.566
16.582
8.169
1.824
4.108
25.501
16.226
10.468
237.888
    *Source:  Pennington,  1983;  Food  and  Drug Administration (1981).

-------
                                                           TABLE 3-13.  ASSUMPTIONS FOR TERRESTRIAL FOOD CHAIN
                Functional Area
                                                          Assumptions
                                                                                                  Ramifications/Limitations
           Soil incorporation of
           contaminants
                                 If soil incorporation is assumed,
                                 incorporation depth is 20 cm, and the
                                 upper 20 cm soil layer has a dry mass
                                 of 2.7 x 103 Hg/ha.
           Contaminant loss from soils
CO
 i
CO
                                 Soil background concentration is not
                                 considered.

                                 Trace metal contaminants are assumed to
                                 be conserved indefinitely in the upper
                                 layer unless loss constants are avail-
                                 able.

                                 Degradation of organic contaminants is
                                 first-order.

Plant uptake of inorganics       Uptake response slope may vary with pH.
                                 Plant uptake is treated as linear with
                                 application rate until highly toxic
                                 concentrations in tissue are reached.

                                 Plant uptake is treated as linear with
                                 soil  concentration until highly toxic
                                 concentrations in tissue are reached.
           Animal  uptake of contami-
           nants
           Human  diet
                                 Animal  tissue concentration is treated as
                                 a linear function of feed concentration.

                                 Pure chemicals added to diet can be used
                                 to determine uptake response slope.

                                 The FDA Revised Total  Diet Study food
                                 list (Pennington,  19B3) is representative
                                 of the  United States diet.   The age/sex
                                 group with  the highest consumption  of a
                                 given crop  group (typically the 25-  to
                                 30-year-old male)  is the MEI  for that item.
 By  this assumption, as soil concentration of 1 ug/g corresponds
 to  a pollutant application of 2.7 kg/ha.  If actual depth (and
 mass)  is  less, impacts on soil biota  in the incorporation layer
  could be underpredicted (and vice versa).  Ramifications for
 effects on plants  is  less clear, since less of the root zone is
 contaminated as  incorporation depth decreases.

 Effects could be underpredicted if background concentration is
 not considered.

 Although most heavy metals are tightly bound to soil, measure-
 ments  tend to show that this assumption often overpredicts
 concentrations and therefore, probably overpredicts certain
 hazards.

 Could  over- or underpredict degradation rate, which is complex
 and not necessarily first-order.

 Uptake response slope determined for one region may over- or
 underestimate uptake response slope for a region with different
 soil pH.

 Hay overpredict tissue response to contaminant application if
 relationship is truly curvilinear.


 May overpredict tissue response to contaminant application if
 relationship is truly curvilinear.


 Could under- or overpredict tissue concentration outside the
 observed range of response.

 Availability of chemicals in soil may differ; especially, nay be
 lower, so that uptake is bverpredicted.

While very complete and detailed, the Pennington diet provides no
 information on variability within age/sex groups.

-------
MWC emissions are made for this pathway.  These assumptions and their potential
limitations are summarized in Table 3-14.
     This exposure  pathway deals with crops for human consumption.   It will be
assumed  that home  gardeners produce and  consume  leafy,  legume and  root
vegetables, potatoes  and garden fruits but not grains and cereals, peanuts or
mushrooms.   The USDA  (1966)  survey  of  United States food  consumption in
1965-1966  includes data on the  percentages  of  foods  consumed  that  were
homegrown  for urban,  rural  nonfarm and rural farm  households.   The  highest
percentages  of  homegrown foods  were  for  rural  farm  households, which
constituted *6% of  all United States  households.  The rural farm  dweller in the
area of  maximal  deposition within 50 km  of a MWC will  be taken .as  the MEI in
this pathway.   All of the homegrown food  by the MEI could come from soil
contaminated  with  deposited emissions from the MWC.  The  average percent of
annual  consumption that is homegrown for various  foods  from rural  farm
households, is shown  in  Table 3-15.
3.3.2.2   Calculation  Method.   Uptake  response slopes,  in  units  of ug/g DW
(kg/ha)    for most inorganics or ug/g DW (ug/g)    for  organics  or chemicals
subject  to loss,  are used to  determine  dietary response to  the deposited
contaminant.  The main disadvantage of using  slopes  is that the slopes for each
crop used will likely originate  from different  experimental  conditions.   In
order to  examine total dietary response to  a  change  in conditions (such as soil
pH), all  of  the response slopes may  need  to be  changed.   Lack of  adequate
uptake data for a chemical would preclude this calculation.

Step A.   Sort Available  Uptake Response Data  for All Food Crops
     For  chemicals  showing increased  uptake  at  lower pH  (i.e., many  metals),
the available response data for the crop  should be grouped according to whether
soil pH  was <6.0 or >6.0.  Studies with pH >6.0 should  be used only if natural
soils in  the  vicinity of the MWC have a neutral or alkaline pH.

Step B.   Determine  Uptake Response Slopes for Each Food Group
     Response  slopes  with units of ug/g  DW (kg/ha)"  or ug/g DW (ug/g)~ , as
appropriate,  are determined for each  crop food group shown in  Table 3-12.   This
slope may be  determined  as a weighted mean  of all the available response slopes
where weighting is  according to the dry weight consumption of  each crop.   If
October 1986                         3-35              DRAFT—DO  NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
           TABLE 3-14.   ASSUMPTIONS FOR DEPOSITION-SOIL-PLANT-HUMAN
                           TOXICITY EXPOSURE PATHWAY
   Functional Area
     Assumptions
       Ramifications/
        Limitations
Fraction of diet
affected by deposition
of MWC emissions
All of an individual's
homegrown food could
come from soil with
deposited emissions.

The percentage of
homegrown food in
the diet of the MEI
can be estimated from
USDA (1966) survey
data on rural farm
households, which
constituted 6% of all
households.
 May  overpredict
 exposure.
                                                      More recent information
                                                      if available,  might show
                                                      significant changes in
                                                      both demographics and
                                                      gardening habits of
                                                      these households.
   TABLE 3-15.  AVERAGE PERCENT OF ANNUAL CONSUMPTION THAT IS HOMEGROWN FOR
                     VARIOUS FOODS, RURAL FARM HOUSEHOLDS3
           Food Group
                          Percent Homegrown
Milk, cream, cheese
Fats, oil
Flour, cereal
Meat
Poultry, fish
Eggs
Sugar, sweets
Potatoes, sweet potatoes
Vegetables (fresh, canned, frozen)
Fruit (fresh, canned, frozen)
Juice (vegetable, fruit)
Dried vegetables, fruits
                                    ,2
                                    ,3
        39.9
        15.2
         1.6
        44.
        34.
        47.9
         9.0
        44.8
        59.6
        28.6
        11.0
        16.7
  Calculated from data presented in U.S.  Department of Agriculture (1966).


the data do not permit determination of a weighted mean, an unweighted mean may

be taken or,  to  be conservative, the highest  single  value may be chosen to

represent that food group.

     If the data  indicate that a food group consists of some crops that are

relatively  high  accumulators and  some  that are  relatively low, it  may be

worthwhile to subdivide the food group on this basis.   If no response slope  can
October 1986
         3-36
DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
be determined  for a particular crop  food  group,  the highest value for any of
the other groups  should be assigned to that group.

Step C.  Determine Human Daily Intake
     The  increase in  DI  (in ug/day)  of an  inorganic  contaminant due  to
deposition  of  MWC emissions by this  pathway  is  calculated from the response
data and deposition  rate (see Section 3.3.1.2) by the following equation:
                         n
              DI = CD x  Z  (UC. x  FC. x DC.)                     Equation (3-5)
                       1=1   i      i     i
where:
      DI =  increment  (above  background) of daily intake of pollutants
            (ug/day)
      CD =  cumulative soil deposition of pollutant (kg/ha)
     UC.. =  uptake  response slope  for ith food group [ug/g DW (kg/ha) *]
     FC. =  fraction of ith food group (crop) assumed to originate from
            contaminated soil  (unitless)
     DC. =  daily dietary consumption of ith food group (g DW/day)

     The  derivation  of DI by  the deposition-soil-plant-human toxicity pathway
 for  organic contaminants or chemicals subject  to  loss  is largely the same as
 the  procedure for inorganics  based on the linear response model.  One differ-
 ence is that uptake  data are  not segregated on the basis of soil pH since no
 reason  for  doing this  has been  demonstrated.   In  addition,  the procedure for
 calculating  response  slopes  for  organics  differs  somewhat from that for
 inorganics, in that  tissue  concentration is  treated  as  a linear function of
 soil concentration rather than application or deposition rate,  as explained in
 Section 3.3.1.5.2.  Thus, the maximal  soil  concentration,  LC (from Equation
 3-4) of the  contaminant  is  used  in the above equation rather than CD for the
 determination of the  DI  for organics  or chemicals subject to  loss.   The LC
 should  be compared with  the  phytotoxicity  threshold  as  described in  Section
 3.3.1.5.1.

 Step D.   Compare the  DI with the  RIA
     The  DI  represents the increase (above background)  in  daily intake (in
 ug/day) of  contaminant  resulting  from MWC  emissions.   To assess whether the
 contaminant poses  a  risk to  human health,  the DI is compared to an allowable

 October 1986                       3-37              DRAFT— DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
intake level based  on  health effects,  referred to as  the adjusted reference
intake, or  RIA (also in ug/day).  Assessment of  risk  to humans by  indirect
exposure  to these  pollutants  and the derivation  of RIA  is discussed  in
Section 4.
3.3.2.3  Input Parameter Requirements.   The following individual parameters are
required  to calculate  the human daily intake for  the  deposition-soil-plant-
human toxicity pathway.
3.3.2.3.1   Fraction of food group assumed to originate  from soil contaminated
by MWC emissions (FC).   All  of  the homegrown food  is assumed to originate from
contaminated soil,  but homegrown food  comprises <60% of the diet of the rural
farm dweller (see  Table 3-15).   Therefore, values of  FC  (after rounding) are
0.60 for  all vegetables (except dried  legumes), 0.45 for  potatoes  and 0.17 for
dried  legumes,  based on the  average  percent of  annual  consumption  of homegrown
foods.  Some food  groups (such as mushrooms, peanuts  and grains and cereals)
are assumed to be unaffected and the FC is set at zero.
3.3.2.3.2   Uptake response slope (UC).   Uptake  response data are required  for
as  many crops as possible in the  food groups for  which FC ^ 0.  If UC for the
contaminants varies with soil pH, slopes appropriate to local soil  pH should be
chosen as discussed in Step A.
3.3.2.3.3   Daily dietary consumption of food group (DC).  Values for DC (in g
DW/day) are needed  for each food group for which  FC ^ 0.   The values chosen
should be  appropriate  for the MEI.   Consumption data  presented in Pennington
(1983) and  reanalyzed  in Table 3-12 are mean values for each of eight age/sex
group.  One could  define the MEI in terms of the age/sex  group having the
highest consumption for all  of the  food  groups  combined or for each individual
food group.  Alternatively,  one could estimate a  95th-percentile  consumption
level, based on variability of 1-day consumption; however, this procedure  risks
overestimation of long-term consumption.
3.3.2.4   Example Calculations.   In  this  section,  examples will be  provided for
this pathway using  the metal cadmium, and  the organic compound  benzo(a)pyrene
[B(a)P].   Examples  will  be calculated  for the model  MWC facility assumed to be
located in  western  F.I or i da.
     One  of the most important steps in these calculations is the selection of
values for  each of the parameters involved.  Value selection  must be based on
careful literature  searches  and evaluations of available data.  For many parts
of this methodology,  value selection will  be  a very data-intensive exercise.

October 1986                         3-38             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
Since the calculations presented in this section are only for the purpose of
examples, the values employed will not be based on literature searches, but
will rely on a few sources of readily available Information.  Therefore, the
results do not constitute actual recommendations for risk assessment.
3.3.2.4.1  Cadmium

Steps A and B. Sort Available Uptake Response  Data for All  Food Crops and
               Determine Uptake Response Slopes for Each Food Group
     Studies are  sorted according  to soil pH.  Natural soils in the  vicinity of
the southeastern United States would  tend  to  have pH >6.0.  The data of Dowdy
and Larson  (1975) (pH  >6.0)  will be  used for this example in lieu of all of the
available  studies.   Response data on  carrot and  radish are used to derive a
weighted  mean response slope for the "root  vegetable" food group.   Consumption
data are  those for the 25-  to 30-year-old male (U.S.  EPA, 1986h).

          Crop type                             carrot       radish
          Linear UC [ug/g (kg/ha)"1)]             0.20       0.056
          Dry weight consumption (g DW/day)        0.55       0.021
                      Example Calculation of Weighted Mean
                  UC   «.        (0.20 x 0.55) + (0.056 x 0.021)
                    root veg. =	0.55 +  0.021

                              = 0.19 ug Cd/g [kg Cd/ha]"1

 Step C.  Determine Human Daily Intake
      CD for cadmium for 30  and 100 years of total deposition is calculated from
 Equation (3-2)  using  an AD =  1.088 x 10"2 g/m2-year.   The DI is  determined
 using  Equation  (3-5).   UC  values for each  food  group  have been derived from
 the data of  Dowdy and Lawson  (1975) as illustrated above  for root  vegetables.
 Values of  DC  are vegetables obtained from  Table  3-12.   DC values  chosen are
 those  for  the  age/sex  group  with  highest consumption of that food  group.
 Values of FC  are those for  the home garden  scenario from Table 3-15.
 October 1986                        3-39             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
      Food Group              UC            DC        _£C_      UC x DC x FC
Potatoes                    0.038          31.85     0.45          0.545
Leafy vegetables            0.605          2.78      0.60          1.009
Legume vegetables,          0.0053         3.38      0.60          0.011
Legume vegetables,          0.0053         8.51      0.17          0.008
 dried
Root vegetables             0.19           2.28      0.60          0.260
Garden fruits               0.073          5.94      0.60          0-260
              Total                                                2.093

    For T = 30 years, DI = CD (kg/ha) x 2.093 [ug x ha (kg x day)"1]
                         = 3.26 (kg/ha) x 2.093 [ug x ha (kg x day) *]
                         = 6.83 ug/day
    For T = 100 years, DI = 10.88 kg/ha x 2.093 [ug x ha (kg x day)"1]
                          = 22.77 ug/day

     This represents the increase in daily human intake due to cadmium from MWC
emissions with total depositions of 30 or 100 years.   The DIs are compared with
the RIA  for  cadmium for adults (7.8 ug/day) and for children (2.4 ug/day), as
determined in Section 4.1.2.
3.3.2.4.2  Benzo(a)Pyrene

Steps A and B. Sort Available Uptake Response Data for AH Food Crops and
               Determine Uptake Response Slopes for Each Food Group
     Studies  for  organic  compounds  are not sorted according to soil  pH.   Using
the data  in  Connor (1984) and the consumption data for the 25- to 30-year-old
male  (U.S.  EPA,  1986h), the  weighted mean response  slope for  the root
vegetables are  calculated previously,  in the  example  for cadmium.   Leafy
vegetable UC  were taken from Connor  (1984).   Data for other food groups were
not available and were  assigned the  highest  available  value  (i.e., root
vegetables UC).  Calculated values are shown in Step C below.

Step C.  Determine Human Daily Intake
     The DI  is  determined using Equation  (3-5)  with LC in place  of  CD.   The
DC values  are obtained from Table 3-12.   DC values chosen are those for  the
age/sex group with highest consumption of  that food group.  Values of FC are
those for the home garden scenario from Table  3-15.
October 1986                        3-40             DRAFT—DO  NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
      Food Group

Potatoes
Leafy vegetables
Legume vegetables,
 nondried
Legume vegetables,
 dried
Root vegetables
Garden fruits
  UC

1.74
0.42
1.74

1.74

1.74
1.74
                Total
 DC        FC       UC x DC x FC

31.85     0.45          24.939
2.78      0.60           0.701
3.38      0.60           3.529

8.51      0.17           2.517

2.28      0.60   .        2.380
5.94      0.60           6.201

                        40.267
     The  maximum soil  concentration  of B(a)P is determined from the  annual
deposition  using Equation  (3-4).   For B(a)P, the  loss rate  constant,  k,
estimated  from data for biotic loss only is 0.16 (year)"   (Bossert  and Bartha,
1986},  and may therefore underestimate total soiUloss.  The AD  is  5.66  x 10
g/(nr  x year).  The bulk density,  B,  of 1.5 g/cnr  (NRC, 1984) for  sandy clay
loam is  used.   For  30 years,


        LC  = 5.66 x  10"4 x [i-e'(0-16)(30)] x 102 x (1.50 x 20 x 0.16)"1
                              = 1.18 x  10"2 ug/g
     For  100 years,
                              LC =  1.18 x 10"2 ug/g
 The  LC is  compared with the phytotoxicity threshold, however, but  data  are
 not  available for  benzo(a)pyrene.  Therefore,  for  Equation  3-5 (as modified

 for  organics  or  chemicals  subject to  loss):


     For 30  and 100  years,


          DI  = 1.18 x 10"2 ug/g x 40.267  (g/day) = 4.75 x 10"1 ug/day


      This  represents the  increase  in  daily human intake due to B(a)P from MWC
 emissions.  The  DI  is  compared  with the RIA  for B(a)P for adults  (6.09  x 10"
 ug/day) and for  children (8.7 x 10"4  ug/day),  as determined in  Section 4.1.4.
 October 1986
         3-41
           DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
3.3.3  Deposition-Human Toxicity ("Pica") Exposure Pathway
3.3.3.1  Assumptions.  In  addition  to many of the assumptions listed in Table
3-13, some additional  assumptions  are made for this  pathway,  relating  to the
degree of  contaminated soil  ingestion  that could  occur and the method  of
assessing  potential  effects.   These  assumptions  and  their  potential
ramifications are  summarized  in  Table 3-16 and are further  discussed in the
following sections.
3.3.3.2  Calculation Method.   A human  daily  intake,  01 (in  ug/day DW),  is
determined as follows:

              DI = LCT x Is x EDA                               Equation (3-6)

where:
                                             9
     EDA = exposure duration adjustment (unit!ess)
      I  = soil ingestion rate (g DW/day)
     LCT = maximal soil concentration increment of pollutant after time,
       1    T (ug/g)
     Deposited contaminant  is  assumed  to be within the uppermost 1 cm of soil
and  ingested  soil  is assumed  to  originate  from the same 1 cm  layer.   Soil
concentration, LC,  is therefore calculated according to Equation (3-3) for most
inorganic chemicals  or  Equation  (3-4)  for chemicals that are subject  to loss
processes using 1.50 g/cm  as the bulk density and a depth,  D,  of 1 cm.  The DI
determined by this  pathway is then compared with the RIA for the contaminants.
3.3.3.3  Input Parameter Requirements
3.3.3.3.1  Soil ingestion rate (I ).  Soil  ingestion has been recognized as an
important source of  exposure to  several pollutants.   For adults,  a value of
0.02 g/day has been used to estimate ingestion (U.S. EPA,  1984c).  Children may
ingest  soil  by either  inadvertent  hand-to-mouth transfer or by intentional
direct  eating.  Pica is the term for frequent, intentional  eating of non-food
objects.  Lepow et  al. (1975) estimated that children frequently mouthing their
hands may  inadvertently ingest >100 mg  of  soil/day.   Children  who  eat  soil
directly may  ingest  as  much as 5 g/day (U.S. EPA, 1984c), thus establishing a
plausible typical-to-worse range of 0.1-5 g/day.
     Studies aimed at more  accurately  determining the  range of  ingestion rates
have yielded some data,  but are as yet inconclusive.  Binder et  al.  (1985)
October 1986                        3-42             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                  TABLE 3-16.   ASSUMPTIONS FOR DEPOSITION-HUMAN TOXICITY ("PICA") EXPOSURE PATHWAYS
        Functional Area
              Assumptions
     Rami fi cati ons/Limi tati ons
      Exposure assessment
      Effects assessment
Deposited emissions are not necessarily
soil incorporated and may be concentrated
in the uppermost soil layer.  Deposited
contaminant is assumed to be distributed
within the uppermost 1 cm of soil, and
ingested soil is assumed to originate
from the same 1 cm layer.
Deposition-contaminated soil may be
ingested by children at the rates
observed in studies of pica for soil.

It is assumed that pica may occur from
1-6 years of age.  Cancer potency is
adjusted to reflect a 5-year rather
than 70-year exposure.
Overestimates exposure in situations
where soil incorporation occurs to any
depth >1 cm.  If incorporation is to a
lesser depth, exposure is under-
estimated.  For example, if exposure
is to fallout dust directly, ingested
soil could approach 100% deposited
particulate.

Overestimates exposure to the extent
the pica child frequents some areas
where deposition has not occurred.

If the child is more susceptible  to
chemical carcinogenesis than the
adult, a 5/70 adjustment could result
in underestimation of hazard.
CO

co

-------
conducted a pilot  study to establish methods for  determining  soil  ingestion
rates in  children  living near a  lead smelter.   Based  on  these  preliminary data
and the value  used in U.S.  EPA (1986h),  a  value of 0.5 g/day is  suggested as  a
reasonably protective  value  for  I .   This value represents an  estimate of the
95th percentile of soil ingestion in this study population.
3.3.3.3.2   Adjusted reference intake (RIA).   Values  for adjusted  reference
intake (RIA, in ug/day) are derived, based on health effects data, as described
in Chapter  4.   Some provisions may  apply  since this  exposure  occurs only in
children  (1-6 years of age).
     3.3.3.3.2.1   Human body weight (BW).   A  body weight  of  10 kg,  the
approximate mean body weight at  12 months of age,  should be used as specified
in U.S. EPA (1986h).
     3.3.3.3.2.2   Total  background  intake  rate  of  pollutant (TBI).   The value
of TBI  should be  based on a body weight  of  10 kg.   FDA data for  infants/
toddlers  may be  available;  otherwise a  factor of 3 is suggested  for  a downward
adjustment (U.S. EPA, 1986h).
3.3.3.3.3   Exposure duration  adjustment  (EDA).   An adjustment  to the DI may be
required, based  on the brief duration («5  years) of this exposure.   Values for
health  risk assessment  are  usually calculated  to be representative  of  a
lifetime  exposure.   Derivation of  these values are  discussed in detail  in
Chpater 4.  An EDA value is suggested for use with carcinogenic chemicals.  The
value is  derived on the basis of exposure  duration divided by  assumed lifetime
(le/L), or  5 years/70  years =  0.07.   This adjustment  should be carefully
evaluated on a case-by-case basis to ensure that an exposure of DI/EDA will not
lead  to  toxic  effects  other than  carcinogenesis.   For  non-carcinogenic
chemicals, the EDA value is equal to 1.
3.3.3.4   Example Calculations
3.3.3.4.1   Cadmium.   The DI for cadmium is determined using  Equation  (3-6),
with  I   = 0.5  g/day.   The LC for  cadmium calculated according  to Equation
(3-3)  using a soil  depth of 1  cm  is 21.76 and 72.53 ug/g for  30  and 100
years,  respectively.   The  EDA is equal  to 1 since ingested cadmium is  not
considered carcinogenic.

     For  30 years,  DI = 21.76 ug/g  x 0.5  g/day x  1
                       = 10.88 US/day
October 1986                        3-44             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
     For 100 years, DI = 72.53 |jg/g x 0.5 g/day x 1
                       = 36.27 pg/day
    The DI is compared with the RIA for cadmium for children, 2.4 ug/day.

3.3.3.4.2  Benzo(a)Pyrene.  The  organic  compound B(a)P is a  carcinogen.   For
this example,  Ig  is  0.5 g/day,  EDA is  0.07  and LC  is  2.36  x  10"1 pg/9  for  both
30 and 100 years of total deposition.  Therefore, the DI is:

                   DI = 2.36 x 10"l ug/g x 0.5 g/day x 0.07
                       = 8.26 x 10"3 ug/day

     This  value is compared with  the  RIA for B(a)P determined  for  children
(BW = 10 kg), 8.696 x 10~4 ug/day (see Section 4.14).

3.3.4  Exposure Pathways for Herbivorous Animals for Human Consumption
3.3.4.1  Assumptions.   Animal  forage may be contaminated by  uptake through the
plant  roots  of  deposited pollutants  (deposition-soil-plant-animal-human
toxicity)  or by adherence to plant  surfaces  or roots [deposition-soil-animal
(direct  ingestion)-human toxicity]  of deposited particulate or contaminated
soil.   In  both pathways, humans are exposed by consuming animal tissue, which
has  taken  up the contaminants.  In  the  second pathway,  soil  incorporation is
not  assumed  and direct ingestion of the  contaminant by farm  animals  may occur.
Direct ingestion  is also possible by animals such as deer that will  be taken by
hunters.   The amount of game consumed by hunters,  however,  is  assumed not to
exceed  the consumption of home-produced  meat by farm  dwellers.   Therefore, the
farm dweller is taken as the MEI for both pathways.  Protection of the MEI is
assumed to be protective of hunters as well.  Additional assumptions are listed
in Table 3-17.
3.3.4.2  Calculation Method
3.3.4.2.1    Uptake pathway: deposition-soil-plant-animal-human toxicity.   To
determine  the human  daily intake of a contaminant by this pathway,  an animal
feed concentration increment  of the contaminant  (AFC,  in  ug/g  DW)  first  must
be  determined.   The  equations  differ for organics and inorganics  since  the
units  of  crop uptake differ.   The  AFC  is calculated from the deposition  rate
[for inorganics,  Equation (3-2)] or the  soil  concentration  [for organics  or
October 1986                        3-45             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
                         TABLE 3-17.  ASSUMPTIONS FOR PATHWAYS DEALING WITH HERBIVOROUS ANIMALS
          Functional Area
Assumptions
                                                    Ramifications/Limitations
     Fraction of human diet
     affected by MWC emissions
     Ingestion by animals of
     parti culate-contami nated
     soil or forage crops
CO

-p.
CTl
                                     More recent information,
                                     if available, might show
                                     significant changes in
                                     both demographics and food
                                     production habits of these
                                     households.

                                     Information to substan-
                                     tiate this assumption is
                                     not immediately available.
The MEI is assumed to be an individual raising
much of his own meats, poultry, eggs and dairy
products.  The percentage of home-produced
foods in the diet of the MEI is estimated from
a USDA (1966) survey of rural farm households,
which constituted 6% of all households.

Individuals consuming wild game that forage in
emissions-contaminated areas are assumed to
have no greater exposure than the MEI identi-
fied above.

Contaminant uptake by crops may affect all
animal feeds, but only grazing animals are
affected by adherence.  Adulteration by soil
of harvested crops such as grains fed to non-
grazing animals is assumed to be minimal.

Deposited contaminant is assumed to be distri-
buted within the upper most 1 cm of soil, and
ingested soil is assumed to originate from the
same 1 cm layer.  Direct ingestion of soil may
occur, and only animals consuming pasture crops
are affected.

The linear response slope of the most responsive    Will tend to overpredict
forage crop is used to represent all forage         average crop response.
crops in the animal diet.

-------
chemicals that  are subject  to loss,  Equation  (3-3)] and  the crop uptake
slope as follows:


(for most inorganics)           AFC = CD x UC                   Equation (3-7)


(for chemicals subject to loss)    AFC = LCT x UC               Equation (3-8)
where:
      CD = cumulative deposition of pollutant (kg/ha)
      UC = linear response slope of forage crop [ug/g crop DW (kg/ha)'1]
          ' or [ug/g DW (ug/g) *]
         = maximal soil concentration of pollutant, after time T (ug DW)
     Following the   calculation of the AFC,  the human daily intake  (DI  ug/day)
is calculated as follows:
                        n
             DI = AFC x Z (UA. x FA. x DA.)                     Equation (3-9)
                       i=l   i     i     i

where:

     AFC = animal feed concentration of pollutant (pg/g)
     UA. = uptake  response  slope  of  pollutant  in  the  ith animal  tissue
           [ug/g tissue DW (ug/g feed DW)"1]
     DA. = daily  dietary  consumption of  the ith animal  tissue food  group
       1   (g DW/day)
     FA. = fraction  of  ith  food  group assumed  to  be derived  from  animals
           feeding on contaminated soil or feedstuffs


     The DI determined above for this pathway is then compared with the RIA.

3.3.4.2.2   Adherence pathway: deposition-soil-animal (direct ingestion)-human
toxicity.  The  animal  feed concentration (AFC,  in  ug/g  DW) is calculated as

for  the  uptake pathway  [see Equation  (3-7)],  but  the  values will  differ

because  fewer  human  food  categories will be  affected.   Soil  incorporation is

not  assumed; therefore, the upper parts of  pasture crops may be contaminated

and  may  be  harvested as feed for  cattle  or sheep or grazed directly by these

animals.  The  deposited  contaminant or particulate  can also accumulate in the

thatch layer of pasture, and be directly consumed by grazing animals.  Domestic

animals  £such  as  pigs,  poultry) that consume grains or other non-pasture crops
October 1986                        3-47             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
are assumed not  to  be affected.   When the deposited  contaminant is consumed
from plant  or soil  surfaces,  contaminant intake  by  the grazing animal  is
related  to  the  fraction of the  animal  diet  which that  soil  comprises.
Deposited contaminant  is  assumed  to be within the  uppermost 1  cm of soil  and
ingested soil  is assumed to originate from the  same  1 cm soil  layer.   Soil
concentration  (LC)   is  calculated  according  to Equation  (3-3) for most
inorganic chemicals  or Equation  (3-4)  for chemicals, which  are subject to
loss processes,  using  1.50  g/cm   bulk density and  a  depth,  D,  of 1 cm.  The
animal feed concentration is  derived in terms of  the  soil  concentration and
fraction of the animal diet that is adhering soil.   AFC is derived as follows:

                    AFC = LCT x FS                             Equation (3-10)

where:
      FS = fraction of animal  diet that is adhering soil  (unitless)
     LCT = maximal soil concentration increment of pollutant after time,
       T   T (ug/g)

3.3.4.3  Input Parameter  Requirements
3.3.4.3.1  Fraction of food group assumed to be derived from animals feeding on
soil or feedstuffs contaminated by MWC emissions (FA).   As  was  the  case  with
FC  in  the crops-for-human-consumption pathway (see Section  3.3.2.3.1), this
parameter determines which food groups are included in the analysis.
     For  the  first of these two  pathways  (deposition-soil-plant-animal-human
toxicity),  all meat  groups  except fish will  be  assumed  to be affected,
including beef,  lamb,  pork, poultry,  dairy products and  eggs (see Table 3-15).
The second  pathway  [deposition-soil-animal  (direct ingestion)-human toxicity]
is assumed to affect only grazing animals (beef, lamb and dairy food groups are
included).
     As  for the  pathways dealing  with crops  for  human  consumption,  the MEI  for
these two pathways  is chosen  as  a  farm  family residing  within  50  km of a MWC
(in  the  area  of maximal contaminant  deposition) raising  a substantial
percentage  of  their own  meat  and other animal  products.  The  choice of FA
values is based  on the percentage  of  homegrown  foods  consumed by  rural farm
households (see Table 3-15).  As stated previously, it is assumed that  these  FA
values are  sufficiently  high  that an  individual  consuming  wild game from
contaminated areas will also be protected.

October 1986                        3-48             DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
3.3.4.3.2   Dally dietary consumption of food group (DA).    Values  for  daily
dietary consumption  (DA,  in g DW/day) are needed for each food group for which
FA ± 0.  As was described for DC (see Section 3.3.2.3.3.), consumption data are
taken from Table 3-12.  The food item "beef liver" includes various other organ
meats  consumed by humans  in smaller amounts, such  as  kidney, hearts,  etc.
Individuals with  a preference for those organs  are expected to consume  them at
the  rates  given for beef liver.   It  is also assumed that consumption of wild
game does  not exceed the values of  DA for other meats (beef, lamb) and will
also protect  hunters.
3.3.4.3.3   Fraction of animal diet that is adhering soil (FS).   Studies  of
grazing animals indicate  that soil ingestion ordinarily  ranges  from 1-10% of
dry  weight of diet (but may  range as high as 20%) for  cattle and  may be >30%
for  sheep  during winter months  when forage is reduced (Thorton and Abrams,
1983).  It will be assumed that 100% of deposited contaminant is  retained in
the  uppermost soil  layer («1 cm depth) that animals may ingest.  Since lamb
contributes relatively little to the  United States diet, a value of FL = 10% or
0.10,  based largely on cattle, will  be used to represent a  reasonably  high
exposure situation.
3.3.4.3.4   Uptake slope of contaminant in animal  tissue (UA).   Uptake  slopes
for  affected  tissues consumed by  humans  should  be calculated as described in
Section 3.3.1.6.  The form and availability of uptake response data will affect
the  types  of  food groups  included in the calculation of AFC  [see Equations
(3-7)  and  (3-8)] and, therefore,  the  choice  of  values  for FA and  DA as  well.
If values  of UA can be calculated for several  different types of  meats, then
each of these  meats can be  separately included in Equation  (3-9).   If  data
for  only  a single type of meat  are available,  it may be necessary to assume
that similar  types  of  meat from  different  species  have  similar UA values.
These  tissues would  then be grouped in  Equation (3-9).
     This  analysis  also  assumes that UA  values  for wild game species are no
greater than  those for the domestic animals to which most available data apply.
If data  contradicting this assumption  are available, these values may be used
in Equation (3-9) to calculate DI.
3.3.4.3.5   Linear uptake response  of  forage  crop  (UC).   The crop chosen for UC
should  be  the  one  showing the  highest response  slope appropriate  for the
exposure  scenario involved.  Grains,  legumes (such as soybeans), silage or
grasses could be  affected in agricultural use.

October 1986                        3-49             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
3.3.4.4  Example Calculations
3.3.4.4.1  PI for uptake pathway
     3.3.4.4.1.1  Cadmium.   The  animal  feed concentration of cadmium is first
determined using  Equation  (3-7).   The UC value of  0.14  ug Cd/g (kg Cd/ha)"
based on corn  silage will  be used (Telford et al.,  1982).  The CD for cadmium
is 3.26 and 10.88 kg/ha for 30 and 100 years, respectively.
Therefore:

         For 30 years, AFC = 3.26 (kg/ha) x 0.14 ug Cd/g (kg Cd/ha)"1
                       AFC = 0.46 ug/g
          For 100 years, AFC = 10.88 (kg/ha) x 0.14 ug/g (kg Cd/ha)"1
                            = 1.52 ug/g

    • The DI  for cadmium is calculated using Equation (3-9).  Values of UA for
various animal  tissues  are taken from U.S.  EPA  (1985c)  converted  from  wet  to
dry weight basis.   The  value listed for "beef  liver"  is actually from sheep
kidney; it is  the highest UA value  for  an organ meat, since the  beef  liver
consumption  data  are assumed here to represent any organ meat.  No  data were
available for  pork,  so  an average of the  values  for beef and lamb was used.
Data were also unavailable for eggs and dairy products.   In this example they
are assumed  to be similar to poultry and  beef  muscle, respectively.  The DA
values are derived from Table 3-12.  They include fat since the UA values are on
a  dry weight basis (including fat).  The  FA values are  from Table 3-15; they
differ for the  uptake and adherence pathways.
Animal Tissue Group
Beef
Beef liver
Lamb
Pork
Poultry
Dairy
Eggs
     Total
 UA
0.003
9.9
  005
  004
  08
0.003
0.08
DA
 FA
UA x DA x FA
(when FA 1 0)
53.0
1.54
0.44
33.9
11.7
79.5
0.44
0.44
0.44
0.44
0.34
0.40
                         0.070
                         6.71
                         0.001
                          ,06
                          ,32
                          .095
               0.
               0.
               0.
 8.1
0.48
     0.31
     7.566
Therefore, the DI for cadmium is:
    For 30 years,. DI = 0.46 ug/g x 7.566 g/day = 3.48 ug/day
October 1986
        3-50
          DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
    For 100 years, DI = 1.52 ug/g x 7.566 g/day = 11.50 ug/day
The DIs for this pathway are compared with the RIA for cadmium.

     3.3.4.4.1.2  Benzo(a)Pyrene.   The  animal  feed concentration of B(a)P  is
determined  using  Equation  (3-8).   The  UC value  of 0.42 ug/g  (ug/g)    for
spinach  leaves  was chosen  since it had the greatest  UC  value of available
foliage data (U.S. EPA, 1985d).

       For both 30 and 100 years, AFC = LCj (ug/g) x 0.42 ug/g (ug/g)"1
                              =  4.96 x 10"3
                    -2
where LCj  (1.18 x 10   ug/g) is calculated based on a soil depth of 20 cm.
     B(a)P is not  extensively  bioaccumulated in animals (U.S.  EPA,  1985d),
making  UA  approximately zero.   Therefore, DI of B(a)P  by the Uptake Pathway
from  consumption of  animal  tissue is  not  increased due to  MWC emissions.
3.3.4.4.2   DI  for adherence pathway
     3.3.4.4.2.1  Cadmium.   The AFC for this pathway is derived using Equation
(3-10):

                                AFC = LCT x FS

where:
     LCT = maximum  soil  concentration increment of pollutant  after time
        T    T  (ug/g)
      FS = fraction of  animal diet adhering soil (unitless)

     The  value of  FS will be 0.10 and the soil  concentration of Cd (in 1 cm of
uppermost  soil  layer) is 21.76  and 72.53 ug/g for 30 and 100 years, respectively.

                For  30 years,  AFC = 21.76 ug/g x 0.10 = 2.18  ug/g
                For  100  years, AFC = 72.53 ug/g x 0.10 = 7.25  ug/g

     Equation (3-9) 'and the UA and DA  values from the  uptake pathway are also
used.   The FA values from Table 3-15 for meat and dairy (grazing animals only)
are used.
October  1986                         3-51             DRAFT-DO  NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
Animal Tissue Group

Beef
Beef liver
Lamb
Pork
Poultry
Dairy
Eggs

     Total
  UA
0.003
9.9
0.005
0.004
  08
  003
0.08
DA
FA
53.0
1.54
0.44
33.9
11.7
79.5
8.1
0.44
0.44
0.44
0
0
0.40
0
UA x DA x FA

    0.070
    6.71
    0.001
                       0
                       0
                       0.
                       0
               095
                                       6.876
The DI  for  cadmium is 14.99 and 49.85 ug/day,  for 30 and 100 years, respec-

tively.  These are compared with the RIA for Cd.
     3.3.4.4.2.2   Benzo(a)pyrene.  The AFC  for  this  pathway  is  also  calculated
using  Equation  (3-10).   The value  of FS is 0.10 and the soil concentration of

B(a)P in the upper most 1 cm soil layer is 2.36 x 10   ug/g.


  For both 30 and 100 years, AFC = 2.36 x 10"1 ug/g x 0.10 = 2.36 x 10"2 ug/g


     Since  UA  for B(a)P  is approximately zero, DI  calculated  according to
Equation (3-9)  is  zero,  showing MWC emissions  do  not increase  DI  of B(a)P  by
this pathway.
October 1986
        3-52
         DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
3.4  SURFACE RUNOFF
3.4.1   General  Considerations.   Contaminants  associated  with  partlculates
emitted by  municipal  waste combustors are subject  to deposition on surfaces
downwind  from  the MWC  at  rates  determined  by  meteorology,  terrain  and
particle  physics.   This  fallout  1s  subsequently  subject  to  dissolution
and/or  suspension 1n runoff  after  precipitation events.   Runoff  moves over
the  surface of the earth  to  a surface water body  where  1t mixes  with other
waters.   As a  consequence,  humans  utilizing water  from  the  surface water
body  or aquatic  life living  therein may be exposed  to  runoff transported
contaminants.
     The  methodology  derived to  calculate  risks   from  the surface  runoff
pathway was originally developed to evaluate Impacts from the application of
municipal wastewater  sludge  to land.  A  detailed discussion  1s  available 1n
the  document entitled "Development  of Risk  Assessment Methodology  for Land
Application and Distribution  and Marketing of Municipal Sludge," April, 1986
(U.S.  EPA,  1986h).  The  methodology Is formulated 1n three successive tiers,
which  begin with simple  but  very conservative estimates,  and proceed  to more
detailed analyses 1f  the first tiers predict unacceptable risks.  Both acute
events  and  chronic exposure are evaluated using  standard  approaches to cal-
culate  runoff  volume  and associated  erosion  potential.
3.4.2   Assumptions.   A number of assumptions were  required to  formulate the
risk-based  methodology both with respect to runoff  generation and subsequent
mixing  In   the  receiving water.    The  key  assumptions  are  provided  In
Table  3-18,  with a discussion of  their  Impact on  the methodology.    Because
the  science Is not  exact,  the  assumptions  are mostly  conservative   (I.e.,
0492P                              3-53                              10/27/86

-------
                                  TABLE 3-18

                    Surface Runoff Methodology Assumptions
Functional Area
      Assumption
        Ramifications
Long-Term Concentrations:
Tier 1
Tier 2/3
  General
  Source area
All contaminant deposited
on an annual basis 1s trans-
ported to the receiving
water In a dissolved form.

Loadings to the receiving
water can be described as
a function of solids
loading.

Facility operates over a
sufficient period for
surface soil levels to
reach equilibrium where
annual losses equal annual
Inputs.

No settling of particles
1n the deposition zone,
gross erosion reaches the
edge of field.
Event concentrations:
Tier 1
Tier 2/3
  Source area
Stream
All contaminant emitted 1n
a year Is lost In a single
runoff event.
No klnetlcally limited
release of contaminant
from residual/soil mix-
ture; I.e., total con-
taminant concentration
Is fully equilibrated
Into adsorbed and dis-
solved phases.

Stream flow Is unchanged
by the storm unless arterial
velocity data are available
from the hydrograph.
Provides an extremely con-
servative estimate since
no losses are considered.
Mechanistically Inappro-
priate for contaminants
with low partition coef-
ficients.

Overpredlcts contaminant
loading by Ignoring loss
mechanisms other than
those used In formulation,
namely, runoff and Infil-
tration.

Maximizes contaminant loss,
Provides extremely conser-
vative estimate with no
provision for losses or In-
complete mobilization.

Maximizes contaminant con-
centration available for
runoff In dissolved phase,
thereby maximizing
loadings.
Overestimates stream
concentration, since the
storm will Increase stream
flow.
0492P
              3-54
                                                  10/24/86

-------
overpredlct  contaminant  concentrations).   In  some  Instances,  however, the
nature  of  the  effect  of  a  given  assumption  may vary  with site-specific
considerations.
3.4.3   Calculations.   The  methodology  addresses  both  long- and short-term
exposures  as Illustrated In  Figure  3-1.  In Tier  1.  1t  Is assumed that all
contaminant  emitted  In  a  given year  Is transported to the  receiving water In
that  year.   The total  mass  flux  of contaminant  1s distributed  among the
watersheds  In which the  fallout  Is  deposited.   The downstream boundary flow
Is  then used to  calculate the  resulting concentration  In the receiving water:

                            C1X • [(fa)  (WAx)]/Vfx             (Equation 3-11)
where:  C1X  = estimated receiving water concentration of contaminant for
              watershed x (M/L»)
        Fa   = annual mass of contaminant 1n fallout/unit area  (M/L2-T)
        UAX  = area of watershed receiving fallout (L2)
        Vfx  » total volume of  flow of watershed outlet during the period of
              observation; I.e., 1 year for chronic exposure (LVT).
For  chronic   exposure,  total  annual  flow,  Vf  ,  1s applied, while  for  acute
exposure  the total  flow  over  the duration  of the  storm event, VS  ,  Is sub-
stituted  (e.g.,   VSX  »  Vfx/365),  1f  the  24-hour  rainfall event  Is  evalu-
ated.   (Ideally, V$x Is  the  actual  hydrograph velocity for the  event  If  It
Is  known.)   This very conservative calculation  accounts  for no losses during
transport  and,  therefore, overpredlcts  contaminant levels.   If  these  over-
predictions  do  not  exceed health-based  criteria  (reference water concentra-
tions,  RWC)  or  aquatic  life-based criteria  (ambient  water  quality  criteria,
AWQC) the  risks  are deemed acceptable, and no  further analysis  Is  required.
If  the  predictions  exceed criteria,  a more detailed  Tier  2 or 3  analysis  1s
0492P                             3-55                               10/27/86

-------
                                   Calculate Total Mitt «f
                                  Contearfiiant UUted Annually
                                 	(La)	
                                   ftltrlottte He Aaena Tl»
                                   Materthedi Khert Fall cut
                                       Ifin  Occur
                             Calculate Total  Annual Vein* if flaw
                               At the Dotfnttreim lountftry of Each
                             	Affected  Viterthed
                                                                bit
                                                Vts
1 .__ 	 fcf lmfat ••** ta 1

Ulf>^ C*nd1tl«lll 1
i
Cttlwte Avtrage Sell L*«t1
For ConteBlnantc In Cach
IfitersHed fC.l
                                                                    Jtevt*
 Calculate Annual Sell ^articulate   1
Mt Due U Crotlon In Caen Hiterthed j
    Calculate ContaKlnant Matt Input]
        To Cach Mate.rtntd           '
  Calculate Total
   Ho* At Dwnttrta*
     Of Cacti Katertned
                  Mb     •..•"IIK IT..._-|^MB—

                   Annual ffolna* Of
                                                              Calculate St»r« Cvent riowt
                                                                   For Cacti Vattrthcd
                                                            CstlMte Cvtnt Sedivnt Lett
                                                                for Caeh Kitenhetf
                                                              Calculate Partition Ictwtcn
                                                          Paniculate and Plttelwd
                                                            Calculate Nisi of Paniculate and
                                                             •litolved Contartnant entering
                                                                          Mater
                                                             Calculate to til font Ho* In
                                                                          Hater (v$I)
        Oerfvc Site Specific
        Bate On Degradation
            And fctmcff
                                                                  lilt
                                          FIGURE  3-1

                           Surface Runoff Pathway  Methodology
0492P
                                         3-56
10/24/86

-------
required to  determine probable receiving water  concentrations.   The deriva-
tion  of RWC 1s  discussed  In  Section  4.3,  and  the AWQC  1s  discussed  In
Section 5.2.1.1.
     Tier  2  and 3  calculations  are Identical.   They differ  only  1n  the
origin  of  Input values.   Tier  3 Is  based on  site-specific  data from empir-
ical  observations  for  such parameters  as  degradation  rate and  partition
coefficient.  For  the long-term (chronic) exposure analysis, receiving water
contaminant  Inputs  are calculated  from estimates  of the  soil contaminant
concentration and the bulk soil transport to the receiving water.
      In order  to estimate soil contaminant concentration, 1t Is assumed that
the MWCs are In operation long enough for a steady  state concentration to be
reached.   By definition,  these conditions will  prevail  when soil levels are
high enough for the sum of  zeroth and first-order losses to equal the annual
addition of contaminants  1n fallout.  Maximum soil contaminant mass per area
during the period Is calculated as:
                                         -»~  1  )                (Equation 3-12)
                               Mm -
                                    kl
where:  Mm = maximum contaminant mass per area of soil  (M/L2)
        k? = annual fallout rate for contaminant less any zeroth order
             losses (typically none) (M/L2-T)
        ki m first-order loss rate Includes Infiltration losses, which  are
             controlled  by  partitioning,  degradation  and  erosion  losses
             (T'»)
        t  = time span for analysis,  typically  the  life of  the combustor  and
             Its replacements.
The first-order loss mechanisms can be calculated as follows:
     1)  Infiltration (1f equilibrium between soil and water 1s assumed)
                               k   * Rc/(B d Kd)              (Equation 3-13)
0492P                              3-57                              10/24/86

-------
where:  k-jj = first-order loss rate coefficient for Infiltration (T1)
        Re  = recharge (L/T)
        B   = the bulk density (M/L>)
        d   = depth of Incorporation (L)
        Kd  » the distribution coefficient (LVM)

     Once  again.  If Infiltrate concentrations  are thought to  be  solubility
limited, a zeroth order rate Is more appropriate.
     2)  Surface runoff
                                k1D « X /(B d)                (Equation 3-14)
                                 IK    c
where:  k   = first order loss rate coefficient for surface runoff  losses
        Xe  . sediment loss rate (M/L*-T)
        B   = bulk density (M/L»)
        d   a depth of Incorporation (L).

     3)  Degradation
                                k1Q * l"2/t1/2                (Equation 3-15)
where:  k-jg  = first-order loss rate for degradation (T'1)
        t-|/2 = half-life due to degradation (T).

     In  general,  volatilization would  also  represent  a  first-order  loss
mechanism.   For  HWC  participate  fallout,  however.   It   Is  assumed  that
volatile species will  not  be present 1n the  solids  settling  from the atmos-
phere.   Even  If  vapor pressures  are measurable,  the adsorption  phenomena
will reduce their  significance.  Also, when field  measurements  are available
for  deriving  degradation  rates,  they   may reflect all  first-order  losses
(k.j)  and  not  Just degradation  (LC^p).  Therefore,  care  must  be  taken  1n
selecting Input values.
0492P                             3-58                               10/27/86

-------
     If tilling  1s  prevalent In the watershed, concentrations are reduced by
dividing  by d (depth  of  tilling 1n cm) to  reflect  that  runoff only affects
the  top  centimeter of  soil.   When  no tilling  Is  practiced,  d 1s  set  at
1.0 cm.
     Sediment  losses  to  the receiving water  are computed using the Universal
Soil Loss Equation  (USLE)  (HVschmeler and Smith, 1978):
                               Xe = R K (LS)  C P              (Equation 3-16)
where:  Xe  = sediment  loss  rate (H/L*-T)
        R   « "eroslvlty" factor (I'*)
        K   » "erodabmty"  factor  (M/L*-T-un1t  'R')
        LS  » "topographic or slope length" factor (dlmenslonless)
        C   = "cover management" factor  (dlmenslonless)
        P   - "supporting practice" factor (dlmenslonless).

     Guidelines  for selection  of  Input factor values  for the USLE  1n  each
watershed   are  provided  1n Ulschmeler and  Smith  (1978) as  well  as  the
detailed runoff methodology  discussion  (U.S. EPA.  1986h).
     The  total  annual flux  of  sediment to a receiving water  1s  the  product
of  the unit  area  sediment  loss.  X  ,  and  the area  of the  watershed.  HA .
The  concentration  of  the  contaminant  In   the  receiving  water  (C1 )  Is
determined  as  the ratio  of  the total  contaminant  flux  and the annual volume
of flow at  the downstream watershed boundary. Vf , or:
                           C1x  = Xe WAx Hm/(d Vfx  B)           (Equation 3-17)
where:  Xe  = sediment loss  rate (N/L2-T)
        UAX = area of watershed receiving fallout  (L2)
        Mm  = maximum contaminant mass per area of soil (H/La)
0492P                             3-59                               10/27/86

-------
        d   = depth of tilling (L)
        Vfx « total volume of flow  at  watershed  outlet  during the period of
              observation (LVT)
        B   » bulk density of soil  (M/L»)
The point  for  calculating  the annual  flow should be the  furthest downstream
point where the contaminated watershed feeds the receiving water.   For  lakes
or  estuaries,  the outlet  flow 1s  applied  as  Vfx-  Once  again, these  cal-
culations are made for each affected watershed or subwatershed unit.
     For  acute  exposures,   the  methodology  focuses  on  a  specific  storm
event.   To estimate average  contaminant  mass  per  area of  soil. It  1s  once
again assumed  that  soil  levels will  Increase until balanced  by  losses.   The
maximum  level  (Hm)  at  any time (t) after the combustion  1s  Initiated can be
estimated as:
                               Mm « *20-e    )                (Equation  3-18)
                                    *1
where the  terms  are the  same as defined In Equation  3-12.   Once  again,  1f
tilling  Is practiced  to a  depth  of  d  cm.  the  contaminant  mass  per  unit
volume of soil (Mm1, In H/L") 1s:
                          Mm' , Mm/d . J^O-
                                       d k!

     Sediment  loss  to the  receiving  water  Is  calculated from  the Modified
Universal Soil Loss Equation  (MUSLE)  (Williams, 1975;  Halth,  1980).  In this
approach.  It  Is  necessary first  to select  a watershed retention factor (S)
from the Soil  Conservation  Service (SCS) runoff curve number (CN)  according
to:
                            S - 2.54[(1000/CN)-10J             (Equation 3-19)
where:  S = watershed retention factor (cm).

0492P                              3-60                              10/24/86

-------
Mote that  the  units for S are centimeters  and  that  S should be converted to
the proper length  units  for  the  remainder  of the calculations.  Using length
units  of  centimeters   for   DRt   R .   M   and   S  1s  preferred.   Next,  a
runoff depth value  Is estimated as:
                            D  s (Rt » Ht - 0.2S)2            (Equation 3-20)
                                 (Rt + Ht + 0.8S)
where:  DR - depth  of runoff  In the watershed (L)
        R{•« depth  of total rainfall for the storm event (L)
        HI s depth  of snow melt during the storm event (L)
        S  = the watershed retention parameter  (L)

The  storm  runoff volume  1s calculated from the  runoff depth according to:
                                  0 * (HAJDD                 (Equation 3-21)
                                         X  K
where:  WAX =  area  of the watershed receiving fallout (L2)
        Q   «  volume of  runoff (L3)
        OR *  depth of  runoff from the storm event (L)

A trapezoidal  hydrograph Is  assumed so that the peak runoff rate can be cal-
culated as:
                              qn =  (HAX) PR **t               (Equation 3-22)
                              Mp    Tr(Rt - 0.2S)
where:  qp =  peak runoff rate (L*/T)
        UAX =  area of the watershed (L2)
        Rt &  depth of  rainfall  In the storm event (L)
        DR s  depth of  runoff from the storm event (L)
        Tr s  duration  of the storm event (T)
        S   =  water retention parameter  (L)
 0492P                             3-61                              10/27/86

-------
 Sediment losses  from  the  storm event are estimated with  the MUSLE according
 to:
                         X$ » 11.8(0  qp)°*56K  (LS) C P         (Equation 3-23)
 where:  Xs « sediment  loss from a single storm (metric  tons)
         0  - volume of runoff  (ma) •
         qp - peak runoff (mVsec)
         K  « "erodablllty" factor (tons/acre-year-unH  "R")
         LS « "topographic  or slope/length" factor  (dimenslonless)
         C  • "cover management" factor  (dimenslonless)
         P  . "supporting practice" factor (dimenslonless)

 Again, selection  of K, LS, C  and P 1s discussed  elsewhere  (H1schme1er and
 Smith, 1978; U.S.  EPA.  1986h).  This equation  1s  an  empirical relationship
 and the units must be  consistent  with those shown above.
      If the risk  evaluation  Is  to  be  based  on  total  contaminant exposure,
 receiving water  concentrations  are calculated  as In Equation 3-17:
                            C1x «  X$ WAx Hm'/VSx B            (Equation 3-24)
 using the maximum soil  contaminant level Mm1  1n place of the average soil
 contaminant  level  HC.   The value  for  VS   (used  Instead of Vf ) would  be
                                          *                      X
 the total  volume of  flow of  the receiving  water during  the  storm event
 rather  than a  1-year  period.    If criteria  for  risk  differentiate  between
 dissolved  and  partlculate  contaminant,  then  the  total mass  of contaminant
 Mm'  must  be partitioned between the adsorbed  portion,  Aa, and the dissolved
 portion. Da.  These are derived as:
                           Aa . [l/(U(e/Kd B))]Mm'           (Equation 3-25)
 and
                           Da » n/(U(Kd B/e))]Hm'           (Equation 3-26)
°492P                              3-62

-------
where:  Aa  « adsorbed contaminant mass 1n top cm of soil (H/L2-L)
        Da  = dissolved contaminant mass In top cm of soil (H/L2-L)
        e   * available volumetric water capacity of  the top cm of soil dif-
              ference  between  wilting  point  and  field  capacity)  (dlmen-
              slonless)
        Kd  « distribution  coefficient  for  contaminant  In soil water  system
              (L*/M)
        B   * bulk density  of soil (M/L>)
        Mm1 s maximum  level of  contaminant   In  top  centimeter of watershed
              soil (H/LM.)

The contaminant losses by each route are defined as:

                            Pxt « [XS/(WAX B)]Aa              (Equation 3-27)
and
                            Pqt « [DR/(Rt + Ht)]Da            (Equation 3-28)
where:  Pxt = loss of contaminant In adsorbed form (H/L2)
        Pqt « loss of contaminant 1n dissolved form (N/L2)
Other  terms are  as  defined  In  Equations  3-20,  3-24.   3-25 and  3-26.   For
these cases, the  receiving  water concentrations would be derived from:
and
                               C1x « Pxt HAx/VSx              (Equation 3-29)
                               C1x = P t HAx/VSx              (Equation 3-30)
where:  C1X         - concentration 1n receiving water (H/L9)
        pqt and pxt z 1oss rates from Equations 3-27 and 3-28 (M/L2)
        WAX         * area of watershed (L2)
        VSX         » total  volumetric  flow  of  receiving  water  during  the
                      storm event (La)
0492P                              3-63                               10/27/86

-------
3.4.4  Required  Inputs.   For a  Tier 1  analysis,  the only  Input  parameters
required are  the annual  mass of  contaminant fallout  on  each watershed  or
subwatershed unit and the annual  flow of the receiving water.
     The equations for a Tier 2  and  Tier  3  analysis  are the same;  therefore,
they  have  the same  Input  parameters.  The  difference Is  that  many of  the
parameters used  1n a  Tier  2 analysis would be obtained  from the  literature,
whereas Tier  3 requires  all  site-specific  Input.   All the  Input  parameters
required for  the  runoff  pathway  analysis are shown  In Table 3-19.   The only
Input  required  for  the  receiving  water analysis 1s  the  stream flow or  the
flow Into a lake or  estuary.
3.4.5   Example.   The  methodology  presented  above  can  best be  Illustrated
with  example  calculations.   Two site-specific  examples are  provided  below,
one  for  a  long-term average  case  (chronic)  and  one  for  an  event-loading
(acute) case.  For both  cases. Tier  1 and Tier  2/3  analyses are made for two
contaminants,  benzo(a)pyrene  and  cadmium.   Contaminant deposition  patterns
were  modeled  for emissions  representative  of  a MWC  with  an  electrostatic
preclpltator.
     The annual mass of  contaminant  fallout (Fa) was  calculated by averaging
deposition  estimates  for  a  given  area  over  a 5-year  period.   Deposition
rates were  estimated  at  points  on  rays spaced every  22.5° at ranges varying
from  200-50,000  m from  the MWC.  Hence, the sample points  form  concentric
rings with  the combustor at  their  center.   The average annual mass of con-
taminant  fallout was  obtained   by  Integrating  the  measured  data  over  the
watershed area (1 km2) being studied.  The double Integral:
                            l/*R2JJf(r,e) r  dr de,
where:
                    f (500.6) - -f (200.6)  r t  5/3f(200.6)-2/3f (500.6)
0492P                             3-64                               10/27/86

-------
                                  TABLE 3-19
              Input Parameters  for  the Runoff  Pathway  Methodology

Symbol                                   Function

foe          So11 organic content (dlmenslonless)
MAX          Area  of  land  In  a  given watershed  on which  fallout will  be
             deposited (km2)
Fa           Annual fallout rate/watershed unit (dry kg/ha-year)
 t           Time  period  over  which  facility  and  Us  replacement  will
             operate (years)
Rc           Recharge rate (m/year)
 B           Bulk density of the soil (g/cm3)
 d           Depth of soil Incorporation*
H|           Total event snow melt (cm)
Rt           Total storm rainfall depth (cm)
Tr           Duration of storm event (hours)
Kd           Distribution coefficient (cmVg)
Vfx          Total volume streamflow for the receiving water (i/year)
VSX          Event streamflow volume (t/event)
R, K, LS,    Input variables for the Universal Soil Loss Equation  (USLE)
C and P
 6           Soil porosity (dlmenslonless)
 t-j/2        Contaminant half-life (I/years)

*d Is used even If not tilled
0492P                              3-65                              10/27/86

-------
was  evaluated  for all  data points  on the  200 and  500 m  rings  (the  area
within  the  500 m ring  1s  roughly the size  of  1 km2 watershed).   Integrat-
ing  r's from  0-500  m  and  e's from  0-2*.   the  resulting average  benzo(a)-
pyrene  and  cadmium fallout was 0.0020779  kg/ha-year and  0.039436 kg/ha-year,
respectively.
     It  1s   assumed  that  the  partlculate  emitted by   the  municipal  waste
combustor  1s spread over  various watersheds;  however,  for  the purpose  of
Illustration,  the  calculations are made  for only a  single watershed of  an
area of roughly 1 km2 that contains the HWC  facility at  Us  center.
     All  Input  parameters  for   the  example   calculations   are   shown  In
Table 3-20.  Data  values are  for  Illustrative  purposes  only,  but are,  for
the most part, representative of  a real site.
3.4.5.1  Tier 1
3.4.5.1.1   Long-term average loading.   For  a Tier 1  analysis,  calculate the
maximum  possible receiving  water concentration  using  Equation 3-11.   For
benzo(a)pyrene:
           C1  =  [10"(Fa  x HA  )]/Vf
             x    l       x    x    x
               =  10«(0.0020779  kg/ha x  1.0 kma)/3.15 x 10" i/year
               «  6.5965  x 10~«  mg/l
For cadmium:
            C1x = [10«{Fax x
                  10«(0. 039436 kg/ha x 1.0 km*}/3.15 x 1010 l/year
                  0.0001252 mg/l
3.4.5.1.2  Event  loading.   For event  loading, VS   1s  defined as  the total
volume of  flow during the selected  storm event rather than  the  1-year flow
0492P                              3-66                              10/27/86

-------
                                  TABLE  3-20

                 Input  Parameters  for the Example Calculations
Location - western Florida
Soil Type - sandy clay loam
Organic matter content (foc) - 4%
Land use - agricultural, orchards

UA - watershed area. 1 km2 (100 ha)
Fa - annual mass fallout/unit area:
         benzo(a)pyrene - 0.0020779 kg/ha-year
         cadmium - 0.039436 kg/ha-year
 t - elapsed time, 30 years
Re - recharge rate, 0.25 m/year
Vfx - annual streamflow volume, 3.15x1010 i/year
 B - soil bulk density. 1.5 g/cm3
 d - Incorporation depth, 1 cm

k0 - zeroth order loss rate, 0.0
k] - first-order loss rate
       benzo(a)pyrene  -  degradation  +  Infiltration  and  surface   runoff,
       0.278 year"1
       cadmium - Infiltration * surface runoff, 0.168 year'1
k2 - Fa-k0 = Fa

USLE Input Parameters:

 R - 400 year"1
 K - 0.21 tons/acre/year/unit R=0.21 tons/acre
LS - 0.179
 C - 0.5
 P - 1.0
CN - 78

Rt - total event storm rainfall, 5 cm
MI - total event snow melt, 0 cm
Tr - storm duration, 6 hours
VSX - event/storm streamflow volume, 8.63xl07 I/event
Kd - partition coefficient:
       benzo(a)pyrene - 3000 cmVg
       cadmium - 300 cmVg
 6 - porosity, 0.2
0492P                               3"67                              10/27/86

-------
volume  (Vfx)  used  for  the  long-term analysis.   For  this  Illustration,  a
24-hour event Is assumed.   Therefore, the flow volume would be:
                 8.63xl07  l (3.15xl010 I/year * 365 day/year)
The concentration of benzo(a)pyrene 1n the receiving water would be:
             C1x «  [10«{Fax)(WAx)]/VSx
                 =  10"(0.0020779  kg/ha){1  km*}/8.63  x  10'  i/event)
                 =  0.002408 mg/i

The concentration of cadmium 1n the receiving water would be:
             C1x =  [10-(Fax)(HAx)]/VSx
                 «  10«(0.0039436  kg/ha){l  km*)/8.63  x  10'  I/event)
                 «  0.04570  mg/l

3.4.5.2  Tier 2/3
3.4.5.2.1  Long-term  loading.  To  estimate  soil  contaminant  concentration 1t
1s  first necessary  to estimate  rate constants  for  contaminant   loss  from
soils.   For  a  degradable  contaminant,  k.  Is  the combined  first-order  loss
rate  constant  for  degradation. Infiltration and surface  runoff.   For  a  non-
degradable  contaminant,  k..  1s  based  on the  loss due  to  Infiltration  and
surface  runoff  only.   For  cadmium  (nondegradable),  k,  was  calculated  as
follows:
     1)  Infiltration
                k1} = Rc/(B d Kd)
                    = 0.25 m/year/(1.5 g/cm3)(l cm)(300 cm3/g)
                    = 0.0556/year
0492P                              3-68                              10/24/86

-------
    2)  Surface Runoff"
               klR * VtB d)
                   • 10~« [1688 mt/km»-year/(1.5 g/cm3)(l cm)]
                   • 0.1125/year

                        kl  =  kll  *  klR
                           =  0.0556/year  +  0.1125/year
                           =  0.168/year

For benzo(a)pyrene  (degradable)  a blodegradatlon rate  In  son of 0.16/year
was estimated  from a  recent study  (Bossert  and  Bartha. 1986),  and  k] was
calculated as follows:
     1}  Infiltration
               k-jj  «  Rc/(B d Kd)
                    «  0.25 m/year/(1.5 g/cma)d cm)(3000 cmVg)
                    =  0.0056/year

     2)  Surface Runoff
                   Same as 2) above where k1R » 0.1125/year

     3)  Degradation
                  k..  = 0.16/year

                  kl  c kll  * klR * klD
                      = 0.0056/year + 0.1125/year  +  0.16/year
                      = 0.278/year
049 2 P
                                  3-69                               10/27/86

-------
     Following estimation of degradation rates, the  soil  contaminant concen-
tration may be estimated.
     For  a  degradable  contaminant,  such  as  benzo(a)pyrene.  the soil  con-
taminant concentration can be estimated with Equation 3-12 as:
             . 0.0020779 ka/ha-vear [(l-e-<0.278 year"1) (30 years)]
                   0.278 year"1
             « 0.007473 kg/ha

     For a  nondegradable contaminant,  cadmium, the maximum soil  contaminant
concentration can be estimated with Equation 3-12 as:
              = 0.039436 kg/ha-vear  [(l-e-(0.168  year"1)  (30  years)]
                    0.278 year"1
              = 0.23322 kg/ha
     Bulk  soil  losses to the  receiving  water are  calculated  using Equation
3-16 as follows:
      X  « 224.64(R)(K)(LS)(C)(P)
         = (224.64)(400/year)(0.21 tons/acre/year)(0.179)(0.5)(1.0)
         = 1688 mt/km2-year
 0492P                              3-70                               10/27/86

-------
     The total  annual  flux of  sediment  to a receiving water  Is  the product
of  the unit  area  sediment  loss  (Xg)  and  the area  of  the watershed  (1
km2).   The  contaminant  concentration  of  benzo(a)pyrene  In  the  receiving
water Is calculated with Equation 3-12 as:
                   no«)(Xe)(HAx)(Mm)
             C1,
                      
-------
If a soil Incorporation  depth  of  1 cm  1s assumed, then:
                         Mm' = Mm/(l cm)
                         Mm1 « 7.473 x 10~» kg/ha-cm

     For the nondegradable  contaminant  cadmium:
              . 0.039436 ko/ha-vear  [(l-e-(°-™8  year"1)  (30 years)]
                    0.168 year"1
              . 0.2332 kg/ha
          Mm1 = 0.2332 kg/ha-cm

     Sediment  loss  to  the  receiving water  1s  calculated using  the  HUSLE.
First, the watershed retention factor,  S,  Is  calculated using  Equation  3-19:
                            S = 2.54[(1000/CN)-10]
                              = 2.54[(1000/78)-10]
                              = 7.16 cm
where  CN  corresponds  to  hydrologlc soil  Group  B,  moderately  low  runoff
potential, good hydrologlc conditions and  straight  row crops.
     The runoff depth can be calculated using Equation 3-20 as:
                       Dp -  («t  * *t  - 0-2S)2
                            (Rt  * Ht  * 0.8S)

                            [5 cm +  0 -  (0.2)(7.16  cm)]2
                             5  cm  + 0  +  (0.8)(7.16 cm)
                            1.19 cm
0492P                             3-72                               10/27/86

-------
     Calculate the storm runoff  volume  from  Equation 3-21 as:
                          0 * 10«{HAX)DR
                            = (10«){1 km*)(1.19 cm)
                            * 1.19x10* m>
     Calculate the peak runoff rate from Equation  3-22 as;
                       _  (2.78)(HAx)(Rt)(DR)
                      p     rT {R  - 0.2S)
                            (2.78)(1 km2)(5 cm)(1.19 cm)
                          (6 hours) [5 cm - 0.2 (7.16 cm)]
                       «  0.77 m'/sec

     The sediment losses  from  the  storm event  are calculated from the MUSLE
Equation 3-23 as:
Xs » 11.8 (Q qp)°'56 (K)  (LS)  (C) (P)
   » 11. 8[(1. 19x10* ma)(0.77 m»/sec)3°'56(0.21  tons/acre-year)(0.179)(0.5)(1.0)
   = 36.7 mt

     The  adsorbed and  dissolved  fractions  can  be calculated  as  follows.
First, the  total  mass  of contaminant,  Hm', 1s divided Into the adsorbed and
dissolved portions using Equations 3-25 and 3-26.
      Benzo(a)Pyrene
   Aa * [l/(H(e/KdB))] Mm1
      = [1/U(0.2/(3000 cmVg)(1.5 g/cm3))] 7.473  x  10"» kg/ha»cm
      = 7.473 x 10"a kg/ha^cm
0492P                              3.73                              10/27/86

-------
                             .S g/cm3)/{0.2))] 7.473 x 1CT» kg/ha-cm
      * 0.00 kg/ha*cm
      Cadml urn
   Aa = [1/(U(e/KdB))] Mm*
      * [1/[U(0.2/(300 cmVg)(1.5 g/cm3))] 0.2332 kg/ha-cm
      * 0.2331  kg/ha-cm
   Da = [l/(U(KdB/e))] Mm1
      = [1/(U((300 cmVg)(1.5 g/cm3)/(0.2))] 0.2332 kg/ha-cm
      * 0.0001  kg/ha* cm
     Based  on  these calculations,  virtually  all  the  contaminant loss  for
both  benzo(a)pyrene  and  cadmium 1s  1n  the adsorbed  form.   The  losses  for
each  route,  adsorbed (P .)  and  dissolved  (Pqt).  are  defined by  Equations
3-27 and 3-28 as  follows:
      Benzo(a)pyrene
   Pxl = [10-*Xe/(HAx)(B)]  Aa
       = [(10"«)(36.7 mt)/(l  kma)(1.5 g/cm3)] 7.473 x!0"» kg/ha-cm
       » 1.828 x  10'5 kg/ha
   Pqt - lDR/(Rt
       = [1.19 cm/ (5  cm + 0 cm)] 0.00 kg/ha*cm
       =0.00 kg/ha
      Cadmium:
   Pxt = [10-*Xe/(WAx)(B)] Aa
       = [{10"«)(36.7 mt)/0 km2)(1.5 g/cm3)] 0.2331 kg/ha-cm
       « 5.7032 x  10~4  kg/ha
   Pqt - [DR/dU  *  Ht)]  Da
       = [1.19 cm/ (5  cm  * 0 cm)] 0.0001 kg/ha-cm
       = 2.3800 x 10"5 kg/ha
0492P                              3-74
                                                                    10/27/86

-------
Once  Pxl  and  Pqt  are  known,  the  receiving  water  concentrations  due  to

adsorbed  and  dissolved  contaminant,  respectively, can  be calculated  from
Equations  3-29 and 3-30 as follows:
      Benzo(a)pvrene:
                    C1,
      Cadmium:
                          (IO'HI.828  x  10"S kq/haHl km*)
                                  (8.63  x 107 l)

                          2.1182 x 10'5  mg/l
                              VS
                          no'HO.OO  kq/ha)(l km2)
                               (8.63  x  107 i)

                          0.00 mg/t
                            VS,
                          (1Q')(5.7032 x 10~4 kq/ha)(l  km2)
                                  (8.63 x 107 I)

                         6.6086  x  10~« mg/L
049 2 P
                                  3-75
10/27/86

-------
                             vsx
                          nO*H2.380Q  x  IP"5  kq/haHl  km*)
                                   (8.63  x  107 I)
                          2.7578 x  1CT5 mg/l
     The  C1   for cadmium  represents  the maximum receiving  water  concentra-
 tion  to  which  humans  would  be exposed.   The  long-term  C1X  for  cadmium
 (8.3xlO~5  mg/i)  is  compared  with  the RUC  values  for   cadmium  as  deter-
 mined  In  Section 4.3.2.   The proper value for comparison  depends  on whether
 the  receiving water  body  Is  a  source of  drinking  water  (RWC ),   fish  or
 other  seafood  (RWCf)  or  both  (RWC ,).  These  RWC values  for  cadmium  are
 3.9xlO"»   mg/l,   1.6xlO"»   mg/l   and   1.1    mg/l,    respectively.    The
 long-term  C1x   for   benzo(a)pyrene   (2.7x10"*  mg/l)   1s  compared   to  RWC
 values   of  3.0xlO"«  mg/l,   3.2xlO"«  mg/l   or  1.6x10"*,   respectively.
 Wherever  values  of  C1X  are determined to be below the appropriate  RWC,  It
 may  be  necessary  to  determine  site-specific  Input  data  for  Tier  3  cal-
 culations.
3.5  GROUNDWATER INFILTRATION
3.5.1   General  Considerations.   Contaminants associated  with  partlculates
emitted  from  MWCs  are  subject  to deposition  on  surfaces  downwind  from the
facility.  This  fallout 1s  subsequently  subject  to  dissolution In  rain  or
meltwater  from  precipitation events.  The  dissolved  portion can  follow one
of two  pathways:  either move over the  surface as runoff to a  surface water
body or  Infiltrate  Into the  ground and recharge  the  groundwater.   As a con-
0492P                              3-76                               10/27/86

-------
sequence, persons using  the  groundwater  may be exposed to groundwater trans-
ported  contaminants.   Aquatic  life Inhabiting  surface  water bodies  fed  by
the contaminated aquifer could be exposed as well.
     The methodology  derived to calculate risks from the groundwater pathway
was originally  developed to  evaluate  Impacts  from the  landfllllng  of muni-
cipal  sludge and  to evaluate  the groundwater  pathway  associated  with  the
application  of  sludges  to land.   A detailed  discussion  1s  available In  the
document entitled  "Development of  Risk  Assessment  Methodology for Municipal
Sludge  Landfllllng,1  March   1986  (U.S.   EPA.  19861).   It  Is formulated  In
three  successive  tiers,  which begin with  simple but  very conservative esti-
mates  and  proceed  to  more  detailed  analyses  If  the  first tiers  predict
unacceptable risks.   Only   chronic  exposure  Is  evaluated  using  standard
approaches   to  calculate  leachate generation  and  associated  groundwater
transport In the unsaturated zone.
3.5.2   Assumptions.   A number of assumptions  were  required  to formulate  the
risk-based  methodology  both  with  respect  to  leachate generation  and subse-
quent  transport 1n the  unsaturated zone.  The  key assumptions  along with a
discussion  of their  Impacts  on the methodology  are  provided 1n Table 3-21.
Due to the  Inexact nature of the science,  any assumptions made are conserva-
tive   (I.e.,  overpredlct  contaminant  concentrations).   In  some  Instances,
however,  the  nature  of the effect  of a given  assumption may vary  with
site-specific considerations.
3.5.3   Calculations.   The methodology for  evaluating the groundwater  pathway
Is  Illustrated  In Figure  3-2.   Tier  1  Involves the  comparison of projected
leachate   concentrations  with  health-based   criteria,   as  discussed    In
Section 4.3.  Leachate  concentrations  are predicted on  the basis of annual
fallout and  recharge rates.   It 1s assumed that  soil contaminant  levels will


0492P                              3-77                               10/27/86

-------
                                 TABLE 3-21

             Assumptions for the Groundwater Pathway Hethodology _
Functional
   Area
      Assumption
        Ramifications
Source term
Unsaturated
zone transport
Equilibrium will be reached
wherein annual Inputs from
fallout are lost In re-
charge as leachate
                   Leachate pattern  1s  level
                   over  the entire year.
One-dimensional flow In
the vertical direction.
                   Water flow Is  steady-state.
                   Upper boundary has  a  con-
                   stant flux of  recharge.
                   Soil  characteristics  are
                   constant with depth for
                   any layer.
                   Vertical  hydraulic  grad-
                   ient of unity (not  assumed
                   In one of two alternative
                   approaches).
Overpredlcts to the extent
that some contaminants are
Irreversibly bound to
solids and neglects other
loss mechanisms such as
runoff.

Underpredlcts peak concen-
trations but provides
estimates of average
annual loading.

Overpredlcts concentration
since It Ignores horizontal
dispersion.

Overpredlcts concentration
by accelerating flow In a
compressed time period.

Overpredlcts or under-
predlcts, depending on
the soil type.

It 1s Impossible to deter-
mine the effect of this
assumption, since 1t will
vary from site to site.

Overpredlcts concentration
to the extent that grad-
ients may be <1.0 and,
therefore, time of travel
1s slower, allowing for
more degradation.
0492P
                                   3-78
                                                  10/24/86

-------
                              TABLE 3-21 (cont.)
Functional
   Area
      Assumption
        Ramifications
Unsaturated
zone transport
(cont.)
Saturated zone
(MINTEQ
Calculation)
Retardation of organic* 1s
related to soil organic
fraction only.
                   All adsorption Is revers-
                   ible.

                   First-order degradation
                   mechanism.
Groundwater conditions
dictate geochemistry.
                   The  six groundwater pH-Eh
                   couplets modeled provide
                   an adequate  set of alter-
                   natives.
                   Contaminant  Interactions do
                   not affect geochemistry.
Overpredlcts contaminant
velocity for soils with
low organic content where
mineral Interaction may
predominate.

Overpredlcts concentration
arriving at aquifer.

Mlspredlcts degradation
where higher order rates
are functional: Overpre-
dlcts zero order mecha-
nisms.

Effects would be site-
specific depending on the
quantity and quality of
both the leachate and the
aquifer.

Some sites could have
extreme conditions beyond
those modeled.  If pH
values are very low, the
model will underpredlct,
and 1f Eh conditions are
very low, the model will
overpredict contaminant
concentrations.

Effects would be source-
specific.
0492P
                                    3-79
                                                   10/24/86

-------
                             for Each Contaminant 1
                         IIculm Conta*1nent Concentration
                             •I  Fallout Fl u*/Hecharte_
                                                                                Tier 1
                  Moalth
                 Criteria
                          It
                          > Health
                       CrlUMaV
             011 trl but Ion
             Coefficient
              Lots Rate
 Inorganic
Contaminant
                                         tes
              Deternlnc T1*c of Travel and
               Losses 1n Unsiturated Zone
           Considerations
                         IPtttmlne  Concentration In the
                        '[Aquifer lased en HIH7EQ Cur»es
                   (•1)• • Concentration of Contaminant 1
                                                                        -o»End
                                                                                          Tier 3
EioeHB»nta11y Oeterwlne Retardation
      ane Oeoraditlon Values	
                                            Tier 2
                 Vcs
                                           FIGURE  3-2

                     Logic  Flow for  Groundwater Pathway  Evaluation
0492P
                                             3-80
                                                                           10/24/86

-------
Increase over  time until  leachate  strength  Is sufficiently high  to deplete
the Input  from fallout each year.  Hence, leachate  concentration  Is defined
as:
                                  X1 = Fa/R                   (Equation 3-31)

where:  Xj « leachate contaminant concentration (M/L3)
        Fa « annual fallout flux of contaminant/unit area (H/La-T)
        Rc « annual depth  of recharge (L/T).
Any contaminant found  to  have a  leachate  concentration below  the  relevant
health-based  criteria  can be  eliminated from  further  consideration.   Those
exceeding  the  criteria are carried forward to  a  Tier  2 or  3 analysis.  Cur-
rently,  the  methodology can  simulate  geochemistry for  seven metal  contami-
nants  (Table  3-22).  For other Inorganics,  It  Is  necessary  to assume that no
precipitation  reactions will occur.
     The annual mass of contaminant fallout  (Fa)  should be  calculated  as the
average value  that falls within a  200 m radius of  the combust or.  The 200 m
distance was  chosen because  1t 1s the  closest to the  combustor  that model
estimates  can  make accurately.  In addition, the values  at  200  m  showed the
greatest deposition  (most  conservative).  Also, a watershed of  this  size 1s
large  enough  to provide a  potable water  supply to several families (based on
a  recharge rate of 0.25 m/year and the  assumption  that each person  uses 100
gallons/day).   Therefore,  1t  1s  not  unreasonable  to  assume  that a  single
well can be supplied by an area this size.
     Presumably,  the  compliance  point  falls  within the  zone  of deposition.
Hence,  no  saturated zone  calculations  are performed.   The  compliance point
Is assumed to  be  that  point  at the base of the unsaturated zone where leach-
ate enters the  saturated zone. For metals,  the contaminant concentration In
0492P                             3_81                               10/24/86

-------
                  TABLE 3-22
Metal Contaminants Simulated 1n the Geochemlcal
      Portion of  the Groundwater Pathway
                 1.  Arsenic
                 2.  Cadmium
                 3.  Chromium
                 4.  Copper
                 5.  Lead
                 6.  Mercury
                 7.  Nickel
                   3-82                               10/24/86

-------
the groundwater  Is adjusted  based  on geochemlcal reactions.   For  organlcs,
the contaminant  concentration Is adjusted  due  to degradation as  1t  travels
through the unsaturated zone.
     The Tier  2/3 analysis begins  at the same point as Tier  1.  calculation
of  the source-term  strength  of  the leachate  from  the fallout.  Tier  2/3,
however, allows  for  site-specific Inputs to predict  dispersion, degradation,
and retardation  effects, which  reduce  resultant exposure levels.  The  dif-
ference between  Tiers  2 and  3 lies  In  the  number of Input parameters,  which
are determined experimentally.   In  Tier  3,  degradation  rates and retardation
coefficients are measured directly.
     The  Initial  step 1n Tier  2/3  1s to define  the strength  of contaminant
In  recharge water.   As with Tier  1,  this 1s  done by assuming  that  equi-
librium will  be  reached  wherein the Inputs  from fallout  each year  will  be
transported away from the  soil  1n  leachate.  Equation 3-31 1s  used  to cal-
culate the  average leachate  concentration over  the  life of  the facility and
Us replacements.
     For degradable contaminants. Equation 3-31 1s modified to:
                            X1 =  Fa(l-e"kt)/t k RC            (Equation 3-32)
where:  Xj = average leachate contaminant concentration (M/L»)
        Fa = fallout contaminant  flux (H/L2-T)
        k  * first-order degradation  rate for contaminant  (T"1)
        t  = 1 year (T)
        Rc = annual depth of  recharge (L/T)
     The  next  step   Is  to  calculate the  time  required  for  leachate  thus
formed to  move downward  through  the unsaturated zone  to  the aquifer.  This
Is  accomplished  by  making  a time  of   travel  calculation  with one  of two
analytical  approaches  presented  by the  U.S.  EPA  (1985e).    The   selected
0492P                               3-83                             10/27/86

-------
approach  assumes  constant  moisture  content  '1n  the son  with, steady-state
flow  and  a  unit hydraulic  gradient.   It uses  the soil moisture, pressure and
conductivity  relationships described  by  Campbell   (1974)  to solve  for  the
moisture  content of the soil:
                            f = fs(q/KSAT)1/(2b*3)            (Equation 3-33)
where:  f    =  field moisture content (LVL»)
        q    *  moisture flux, recharge rate 1n this case (L/T)
        KSAJ =  saturated hydraulic conductivity of the soil 1n the
                unsaturated zone (L/T)
        fs   =  saturated moisture content of the soil (LVL8)
        b    =  negative one  times the  slope  of the log-log plot  of metric
                potential and saturated moisture content (dlmenslonless)
The velocity  and travel times  for  flow In the unsaturated  zone  are related
according to:
                                   V »  q/f                   (Equation 3-34)
                             T = hy/V . (hy)(f)/q             (Equation 3-35)
where:  V  « velocity of flow (L/T)
        T  = time of travel (T)
        hy = depth of the unsaturated zone (L)
     For multiple  layer systems,  a travel time Is calculated  for  each layer
and the  total  summed across  the unsaturated  zone.   The  total time  Is  then
divided  Into the total  depth to derive the equivalent velocity.
     The  velocity  calculated   from  Equation   3-34  Is  for  water  traveling
through the unsaturated zone.   If  the contaminant  Interacts  with  the soil 1n
transit, H will travel  at  a  retarded velocity,  VB,  defined as:
                                                 K
                           VR = V/[l  * ((B/e)(Kd))]           (Equation 3-36)
where:  VR = velocity of the  contaminant (L/T)
        V  = velocity of water  calculated from Equation 3-34
        B  = average bulk density of  soil 1n the unsaturated column (H/L9)
0492P                             3'84                               10/27/86

-------
        e  * average porosity of soil In the unsaturated  column
             (dlmenslonless)
        Kd » soil-water partition coefficient for  contaminant  (LVH)  ,
     If the contaminant  1s  degradable.  Us  concentration will chajige accord-
Ing to:
where:  Xa
        XV
         k
        hy
        VR
        e
              Xa  -  X1  e[-k(hy)/VR]                (Equation 3-37)
contaminant concentration upon entry In the aquifer  (H/L")
concentration of leachate Initially from Equation 3-32
first-order degradation rate for contaminant (T~M
depth of unsaturated zone (L)
retarded velocity form Equation 3-36 (L/T)
base of natural logarithms, 2718 (unHless)
     If the  analyst  wishes to account for dispersion as  well  as  attenuation
and degradation  1n  the unsaturated zone, the water velocity V from Equation
3-34 can  be Input to  the one-dimensional CHAIN code (Van  Genuchton,  1985).
The CHAIN code  1s an analytical  solution of  the convectlve-dlsperslve  trans-
port equation  for a one-dimensional  case that accounts  for retardation  and
degradation.  The data  Inputs  to the model  Include  the average pore  water
velocity,  the  dispersion  coefficient,   the  water  content,  the  pulse  or
release  time,  the retardation  factor,  the  decay  rate, and several  coeffi-
cients describing the  source term.  The  output  from  the  code  Is  the concen-
tration  of  the  contaminant  plume  at  the base of the unsaturated zone  for  a
period  of  time  equal  to  several   contaminant travel  times  through  the
unsaturated  zone.
     For  organic contaminants,  the  concentration  calculated  from Equation
3-37  Is  the predicted concentration at  the compliance  point.   For metals,
geochemistry  can be considered  using a  series of Input-output  curves gen-
erated  by the  MINTEQ code,  which establishes  the  solubility limits  for  a
contaminant  metal  on  the  basis  of groundwater  (1on1c) composition, pH, and
Eh conditions.   The  MINTEQ geochemlcal  code  can be  applied to generate pre-

0492P                              3.85                              10/27/86

-------
dieted  contaminant  concentrations  under  selected  groundwater  conditions.
M1NTEQ  Is  a hybrid  code  that combines  an  efficient mathematical  structure
with  a  large, well  documented thermodynamlc  data  base.  Functionally,  the
code  models the mass  distribution  of  a dissolved  element  between  various
uncomplexed and complexed aqueous species;  1t also calculates  the  degree to
which the water Is saturated with respect to  the  solids  1n the thermodynamlc
data  base.   Adsorption,  precipitation,  and  dissolution reactions  can  be
Included  In calculations.   Detailed  documentation  of  the  MINTEQ code  and
data  can  be found In Felmy  et al.  (1983,  1984),  Morrey  (1985).  and  Deutsch
and Krupka  (1985).   Curves for selected  pH-Eh  couplets and an  explanation of
how the relations were derived can be  found  In U.S.  EPA  (19861).   An  example
MINTEQ curve Is shown In Figure 3-3.
     Output from the unsaturated zone  (Equations  3-36 and 3-37, or  the CHAIN
code  and  the  MINTEQ  Input-output  curves) are  the predicted  contaminant  con-
centration  and  timing  at the  compliance point.  The  pulse  time  Is  assumed
continuous  for the period of operation of the  combustor.   If the  output  from
the Tier  2 analysis  exceeds health based  criteria at the compliance point,
the analyst may choose to Initiate a Tier 3  evaluation  of Inputs.
3.5.4   Required  Inputs.   For a Tier  1  analysis,  the only data required  are
the  contaminant  deposition  rate, the  recharge  rate and  the  health-based
criteria.
     Both Tier 2 and Tier 3  have  the  same  Input parameter requirements.   The
basic difference  Is  that Tier  3  uses more  site-specific data than  Tier 2.
In Tier  2, data  on  hydraulic conductivity,  recharge,  depth  to  groundwater
and soil  type should be  determined  empirically  from  samples.   Other  soil-
related  properties  can  be   selected  on  the basis  of  soil  type,  while
0492P                             3-86
                                                                     10/27/86

-------
                           !.!  -I
CD
CO
I
00
                           0.0
                                       Unsatvrated tone Input Concentration (mg/1)
 o

 I\J
 00
 o»
                                     FIGURE 3-3


Example HINTEQ Speclatlon Results for Entry of a Contaminant Into the Saturated Zone

                     for Conditions  of  pH . 7.0 and Eh = 1.50 mv

-------
degradation rate constants  and  partition coefficients can be  taken from the
literature.   For  Tier 3,  the  latter  properties should  also  be  determined
empirically with samples from the site.
     The  Input  parameters  required for  a Tier  2/3 analysis  are  shown  1n
Table 3-23.
3.5.5   Example.   The  methodology  presented  above  can  best be  Illustrated
with example  calculations.   A site-specific example  calculation  Is provided
below for  two contaminants, cadmium and  benzo(a)pyrene.   For  both  cases,  a
Tier 1 and a Tier 2/3 analysis are Illustrated.
     All   Input  parameters  for  the  example  calculation  are   shown  1n
Table 3-24.  Data values are for  Illustrative purposes only  but are, for the
most  part,  representative of a  real  site.   The annual  mass of  contaminant
fallout  (Fa)  was calculated by  averaging electrostatic preclpltator measure-
ments over a 5-year  period.  Measurements were conducted along  concentric
rings at  ranges  varying  from 200-50,000 m from  the combustor  on  rays spaced
every 22.5°.  The  average Fa at the 200 m radius was chosen  for  the reasons
discussed In Section 3.5.3.
3.5.5.1  Tier 1.  For  a Tier  1  analysis,  the  leachate contaminant concentra-
tion 1s calculated using Equation 3-31 as follows:
     Benzo(a)pyrene
                    X,  . Fa/Rc
                       = (0.33494 mg/m*.year)/(0.25 m/year)
                       = 1.340 mg/ma
     Cadmium
                   Xj = Fa/Rc
                      • (6.42288 mg/m2^year)/(0.25 m/year)
                      = 25.692 rng/ni*
0492P                             3-88
                                                                     10/27/86

-------
                                  TABLE 3-23

                   Input Parameters for Groundwater Pathway
                                 PATHWAY DATA

Symbol        Source Data

  Fa          flux rate for contaminant fallout (mg/m*-year)
  Re          net recharge (in/year)

              Unsaturated Zone

  hy          depth to groundwater (m)
  Xj          leachate contaminant concentration, (mg/rn3)

              Material Type

   m          Material layer thickness (m)
              saturated hydraulic conductivity (m/year)
   b          slope of matrix potential and moisture content  plot  (dimension-
              less)
  fs          saturated soil moisture content (mVm3)
   B          bulk density (kg/m3)

              Saturated Zone

  pH          groundwater pH
  Eh          groundwater Eh (mvolts)


                            CHEMICAL-SPECIFIC DATA

              Unsaturated Zone

  Kd          partition coefficient (I/kg)
   k          degradation rate constant (year"1)
0492P                               3-89                             10/27/86

-------
                                  TABLE  3-24
                 Input Parameters  for the Example Calculations
Rx            Annual depth of recharge,  0.25  in/year
Fa            Fallout contaminant flux:
                benzo(a)pyrene - 0.56642 mg/m2-year
                cadmium - 10.880992 mg/m9-year
fs            Saturated moisture content of soil.  0.4 mVm3
q             Moisture flux recharge rate. 0.25 m/year
KSAT          Saturated soil hydraulic conductivity, 10* m/year
b             Slope of matrix potential  and moisture content plot, 4.0
hy            Depth of unsaturated zone, 2 m
B             Soil bulk density. 1.5 g/cm3
e             Soil porosity, 0.2
Kd            Soil-water partition coefficient:
                benzo(a)pyrene - 3000 cmVg
                cadmium - 300 cmVg
k             First-order degradation rate:
                benzo{a)pyrene - 0.16 year'1
                cadmium - 0.00 year'1
pH            Groundwater pH, 8.0
Eh            Groundwater Eh. -200 mv
0492P                               3-90                             10/27/86

-------
The resulting  leachate concentrations are then  compared  to the health-based
water  concentration   limits  (RHC )  for   benzo(a)pyrene  (3.0xlO'»  mg/l)
and  cadmium  (3.9xlO"» mg/i)  as  determined 1n  Sections  4.3.2 and  4.3.4.
Because  1  wg/i  =  l  mg/m3,  1t  1s  evident  that  the benzo(a)pyrene  con-
centration  of 1.340  wg/i 1s  greater than  RWC  limits; therefore.  Tier  2/3
analysis  would be  necessary.   Cadmium  concentrations exceed  the  RWC  limit
 (25.692  vg/i  as  compared  to  3.9  yg/l),  requiring  further  studies  to
 be peformed.
 3.5.5.2  Tier  2/3.   A Tier 2/3 analysis  begins  at  the same point as Tier 1,
 calculation  of the  source-term  strength of  the leachate from  the  fallout.
 Equation 3-31  Is used  to  calculate the average  leachate  concentration  over
 the life of  the facility.
     For cadmium, which Is  nondegradable.  Equation  3-31  1s used to calculate
 the average  leachate contaminant  concentration just as 1n Tier 1 above.   For
 benzo(a)pyrene, which 1s degradable, Equation 3-32  1s used  to calculate the
 average leachate contaminant concentration as follows:
                   Fa(l-e-kt)
              XI
                    
-------
     The next  step  Is to  calculate  the  time required for  leachate  to move
downward through the unsaturated zone.  First, the constant moisture content
Is calculated using  Equation  3-33:
                                 l/(2b+3)
                         fs
                            KSAT
                       = 0.4 mVm*  0.25 m/year
                                   10* m/year
                       - 0.15
     The water velocity travel time through the unsaturated zone can be cal-
culated as follows:
                        T - (hy)(f)/q
                          = (2 m)  (0.15)7(0.25 m/year)
                          «1.2 year
     Since both  benzo(a)pyrene and cadmium travel with  a  retarded velocity
compared  to  the groundwater,  their velocities  through  the unsaturated zone
can be calculated with Equation 3-36 as  follows:
     Benzo(a)pyrene
              VR * V/[U((B/e)(Kd))]
                 = 1.67 m/year/[U((1.5  g/cmV0.2)(3000 cmVg))]
                 = 7.42 x 10~5 m/year
     Cadmium
              VR = V/[H((B/e)(Kd))]
                 = 1.67 m/year/[U((1.5  g/cm3/0.2)(3000 cmVg))]
                 = 7.42 x 10~4 m/year

     Since benzo(a)pyrene  1s  degradable. Us concentration will change as 1t
travels  through  the unsaturated  zone.   The benzo(a)pyrene concentration at
0492P                               3.92                             10/27/86

-------
the base  of the unsaturated  zone before 1t  enters  the aquifer  can  be cal
culated wUh Equation 3-37 as follows:
                1.238 rag/in* e'           «)/(7-42xlO-» in/year)]
              = 0.00 ing/in3

Because  the benzo(a)pyrene  travel  time through  the unsaturated zone  1s so
long.  It  degrades before   It  reaches  the  aquifer.  The  cadmium  will  not
degrade,  but travels much  slower  (1800 times slower)  than  water.   Assuming
no  dispersion,  the cadmium concentration may  still be reduced  due to pre-
cipitation  reactions  In the saturated  system.   The MINTEQ  results  for cad-
mium  for  pH and  Eh  values close to  the values  specified In  the example
problem  are shown  In  Figure 3-4.  An unsaturated zone concentration of 0.025
mg/l  for cadmium  (Y  axis  1n  Figure  3-4)  corresponds to a  concentration of
0.019   mg/l  (19   vg/t)   In   the   saturated  zone  after   accounting  for
                          *
speclatlon.   The  value of 19  pg/t at   the  compliance point  1s  almost  5
times  larger  than  the health based  criteria  (RWC  )  for  cadmium  of  3.9
vg/l as  discussed  1n Section 4.3.
0492P                              3'93                               10/27/86

-------
10
l\>
TJ
10
                                                                                       pH • 8.1, Eh « 206
                     0.01
0.125
                                                                                  0.250
                                                                                                                 0.499
                                                 Output Cadriim Concentration In the
                                                Saturated Zone After Speclatlon (mg/1)


                                                      FIGURE 3-4

                                             Groundwater Cadmium Speclatlon

-------
3.6  DERMAL EXPOSURE MODEL
     The dermal  exposure  model  refers to human skin contact with contaminants
from emissions  of MWC deposited on the  soil.   The issue of dermal  absorption
of  deposited  contaminants is very  complex.   There is a  fundamental  lack  of
data for percutaneous absorption of chemicals in human skin from soil.  Other
factors  important for estimation  of human exposure  to  contaminants by the
dermal route also have many uncertainties.  The model described here is offered
as a possible approach for the estimation of human exposure and risk associated
with dermal exposure, but it is recognized that in most,  if not all  cases,  the
available data will not provide a satisfactory basis for risk calculations.

3.6.1 General Considerations
3.6.1.1 Most-Exposed  Individuals (MEIs).   The  MEI for this pathway  of dermal
exposure  is  an  individual  residing within 50  km  of  a MWC (in the  area of
maximal deposition  of emissions) who spends a  majority  of his  daily activity
outdoors.  Preschool  children (between 1-6 years of age) who play outdoors or
rural  farmers  would  most likely be  the MEIs,  since these groups have the
greatest opportunity  for  dermal exposure to particulates deposited on the soil.
These  children  are  likely to be exposed in residential areas (gardens, lawns,
parks, etc.).   Farmers or individuals who garden would also have the potential
for  substantial  skin  contact with soil.  Occupational exposures of workers
involved in the operation of MWCs are not considered here since these workers
can be required  to use special measures or equipment to minimize their exposure
to possibly hazardous materials.

3.6.2  Deposition-Human ("Dermal") Toxicity Exposure Pathway
3.6.2.1  Assumptions.   For this methodology,  it will  be  assumed that the daily
dermal intake of the  contaminant increases continually with contaminant concen-
tration  in soil  particles contacting the skin.  Using this approach, it would
be  possible to  derive a  limit  for  the concentration of  a contaminant in soil
based  on  a  dermal threshold  dose  in  humans.   Systemic toxicity thresholds or
carcinogenic potencies of chemicals by a dermal route of exposure have not been
delineated by the U.S. EPA at the present time.
October 1986                        3-95               DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
      It will be assumed  that  100% of the deposited contaminant participate is
 retained in the uppermost  1 cm layer of  soil.  The maximum concentration of
 deposited contaminant within  50  km  of a MWC will  be  used.   It is further
 assumed that this soil layer contacts the exposed skin of individuals  involved
 in outdoor  activities.   Consideration  of dermal  exposure during  outdoor
 activity to contaminated  particulate  deposited on  soil  most  likely accounts for
 a more  substantial  exposure to the individual than  contaminated  particulate
 deposited in  indoor (residential) dust  (Hawley,  1985).   Indoor  dust will
 therefore be excluded from  this model  at  the  present time.
      Dermal  intake  of contaminants will  be  assumed to be a function  of the
 fraction of the compound absorbed, contact  time  (or duration of  daily expo-
 sure),  exposed skin  surface area,  contact amount (amount  of  soil accumulated on
 skin) and soil  contaminant  concentration.
      Calculation  of  the  daily intake  by dermal  exposure  is  the same  for
 organics and  inorganics,  since there  is immediate exposure  potential  and
 therefore no  soil  incorporation.   Background concentration  of contaminants
 will  not be  included because this  methodology assesses  only  the risk associated
 with  the increase in exposure  due to  the contaminant from MWC emissions.   The
 assumptions  and uncertainties  relevant to this model and their ramifications/
 limitations  are shown in  Table  3-25.
 3.6.2.2  Calculation Method.  A daily  dermal  intake  (DDI, ug/day)  is determined
 as follows:

      DDI  = CT x SA x CA x AF x  LC? x (10"3/24) x EDA           Equation  (3-38)
where:
           DDI  = human daily dermal intake (ug/day)
             CT  = contact time (hours/day),
             SA  = exposed skin surface  area (cm2),
             CA  = contact amount (mg/cm2),
             AF  = absorption fraction (%/day),
           LCj  = maximal soil concentration at time, T  (ug/g)
           EDA  = exposure duration adjustment  (unitless),
      (10  3/24) = conversion factor (10 6  g x  1 day x 10§ ug)/(ug x 24 hours
                 x rag).

     The  DDI represents the increase  (above  background) in daily  human  dermal
intake  (ug/day) due  to the contaminant from MWC emissions.  To assess whether
the contaminant poses a  risk to human health, the DDI  is compared to the RIA
October 1986                        3-96
DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
     TABLE 3-25.  ASSUMPTIONS AND UNCERTAINTIES FOR DERMAL EXPOSURE MODEL
Functional
   Area
     Assumption/
     Uncertainty
      Ramifications/
       Limitations
Exposure
Assessment
Dermal intake
Fraction of
contami nant
absorbed
Contact time
Exposed  skin
surface  area
Deposited emissions are
not necessarily soil in-
corporated and may con-
centrate in the uppermost
soil layer.  Deposited
contaminant is assumed to
be distributed within the
uppermost 1 cm of soil,
and the soil which con-
tacts the skin is assumed
to originate from the same
1 cm layer.

Linear with respect to
soil concentration.

Chemical and matrix
specific.

Data needed for
dermal absorption in
humans may not be
available.
                  Dermal absorption varies
                  with age.
                  May be concentration
                  dependent.
The MEIs are exposed to
contaminated particulate
12 hours/day during
outdoor activity.

Total intake is proportional
to exposed surface area;
adults = 2940 cm2:
children = 980 cm2.
Overestimates exposure in
situations where soil
incorporation occurs to any
depth >1 cm.
May overestimate exposure.
Uncertainty for many
contaminants and matrices.

Uncertainty in between
species extrapolation for
dermal exposure.  Uncertainty
in route to route extrapola-
tion of absorption.

Absorption data for a
contaminant at one age
may over- or underestimate
absorption at another age.

Study data at one
concentration may over
or under estimate actual
absorption at another
concentration.

May underestimate exposure
by excluding indoor exposure
to dust.
May over-
intake.
or underestimate
October 1986
                  3-97
       DRAFT—DO  NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                           TABLE 3-25.   (continued)
Functional
   Area
       Assumption/
       Uncertainty
        Ramifications/
         Limitations
Soil contact
amount

Effects
assessment
Children =1.5 mg/cm2;
Adults = 1.5-3.5 mg/cm2.

Substantial dermal exposure
may occur only from 1-6
years of age.  Cancer
potency is adjusted to
reflect a 5-year rather
than 70-year exposure.

Lifetime exposure may
need to be adjusted
for days/year in contact
with contaminant during
70-year lifetime.
May over-
exposure.
or underestimate
Hazard could be underestimated
if child is more susceptible
to chemical carcinogenesis
than an adult and 5/70 is used
as an adjustment factor.
                                              Uncertainty as to appropriate
                                              adjustment.
(adjusted  reference intake,  ug/day).   Assessment  of  risk  to  humans  is

discussed in detail in Chapter 4.

3.6.2.3  Input Parameter Requirements

3.6.2.3.1  Absorption  fraction  (AF).   Dermal  absorption of  a  contaminant is

both  chemical-specific and matrix-dependent (U.S. EPA,  1982;  Hawley,  1985).

Physicochemical properties  of the contaminant (e.g.,  lipid  solubility) will

affect dermal  absorption.   Factors  such as  pH, molecular size,  temperature  and

humidity will  also influence absorption.   Absorption of a contaminant  in  a

matrix or  vehicle  is  affected by the physicochemical  properties of the  matrix.

There is uncertainty  as to how various soil or  particulate  types  or matrices

would influence  absorption of deposited contaminants.   Poiger and Schlatter

(1980) demonstrated that a soil  matrix reduced the absorption of TCDD when TCDD

was applied to the skin of rats in a soil-water paste.

     Dermal absorption in this  case refers to the fraction of the applied

dose of the compound  absorbed by human skin within a day (i.e., 6%/24 hours).

Such data  for  a  contaminant in  a particulate or  soil  matrix  should be  used  but

are rarely  available.   Absorption  studies  of  the contaminant  by  the  dermal

route of exposure  may not be available, while exposure by other routes may  be

present in the literature.   Guidelines, however,  for  route-to-route extrapola-

tion  of  absorption of  toxicants have not  been  clearly delineated and pose
October 1986
                    3-98
         DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
uncertainties, especially where  dermal  absorption is concerned.   Extrapolation
of percutaneous absorption data among animal species would introduce additional
uncertainty.
     Absorption  of contaminants  may be  altered  if the skin  is damaged
(diseased,  lacerated  or abraded)  (U.S. EPA,  1982).   Percutaneous absorption
may  also  vary with  age.   These issues pose  uncertainties  and  need further
research.
     The  fraction of the  contaminant absorbed  may  vary with concentration
(Feldman  and Maibach, 1974).   The assumption  of complete absorption  of  a
contaminant  irrespective  of  dose is the most  conservative  approach (AF =  1),
but  may be unrealistic.   For example, Kimbrough et al. (1984) suggested human
dermal absorption of TCOD from soil was *1£.
     The  estimation  of  the fraction absorbed of a contaminant is very complex
and  dependent on many factors as discussed above.  A paucity  of data regarding
the  dermal  absorption of chemicals in humans,  particularly  in  particulate or
soil matrices,  will  make estimation of the  fraction of contaminant absorbed
from soil  difficult for this methodology.
3.6.2.3.2   Contact time  (CT).   Contact  time is defined as the amount of time/
day  the  MEIs  would  spend in association  with contaminated soil.  Children
playing outdoors  and adult farmers would contact soil very frequently, and soil
contact would continue  until  the cleansing  of exposed skin.   The  maximum
contact time for these  individuals will be assumed to be 12 hours/day (Hawley,
1985).  Contact  time would probably be greater if indoor dust exposure was also
considered.
3.6.2.3.3   Surface area  (SA).   Total  intake of a contaminant  would be approxi-
mately proportional to the exposed surface area for absorption.   The anatomical
region and surface  area of skin that is  directly exposed to the contaminant
will affect dermal  intake of the contaminant since there is anatomical varia-
bility in  percutaneous absorption (Maibach et al., 1971).  Exposed surface area
of adults  wearing short-sleeved, open-necked shirts, pants and  shoes, with no
gloves or hat,  is  *2940 cm,  whereas  that  of  children wearing  the same
clothing is «980  cm2 (U.S. EPA, 1984d).
3.6.2.3.4  Contact amount (CA).  The contact amount or amount of soil accumula-
           	
ting on skin is considered to have  an  upper limit of 1.5 mg/cm  for children
(U.S. EPA, 1984d; Hawley, 1985) based on the reports of Lepow et al.  (1975) and
Roels et al.  (1980).  The contact amount for children was assumed to  also  apply

October 1986                        3-99               DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
to adults (as  used  in U.S.  EPA, 1984d).  Hawley  (1985),  however,  suggested the
                                                     O
soil coating on adults could be as great as 3.5 mg/cm .
3.6.2.3.5   Adjusted reference  intake  (RIA).   Values  for adjusted  reference
intake (RIA, in ug/day) are derived based on health effects data as detailed in
Chapter 4.  Some  special  provisions may apply  when  dermal  exposure  occurs  only
during early childhood (1-6 years).
     3.6.2.3.5.1  Human body weight (BW).  A body weight of 10 kg, the approxi-
mate mean child's body  weight  at  12 months  of  age should be  used  in accordance
with U.S. EPA (1986h).
     3.6.2.3.5.2  Total background intake of pollutant (TBI).  The  total value
of TBI should be based on a child's body weight of 10 kg.  Background intake of
pollutants from all  routes of exposure should be included.
     3.6.2.3.6   Exposure  duration adjustment (EDA).   An  adjustment  to  the
DDI  for  dermal  exposure to contaminants may be  required based on  the brief
or  intermittent  duration  of this  exposure  (U.S. EPA, 1984d).   Values of RIA
for  threshold  and non-threshold (carcinogens)  toxicants are calculated  to be
representative of  lifetime exposure.    For  dermal   exposure  to a  carcinogen
during childhood, for example, the DDI  value  should  be  adjusted  on the  basis
of  exposure duration divided by assumed lifetime (le/L) or  5 years/70 years
= 0.07.
     An  exposure  duration adjustment  for lifetime dermal exposure to contami-
nated particulates from MWC should also consider the days/week the MEI would be
in  contact  with  the soil.  Seasonal and climatic conditions that might affect
annual exposure  duration  should also  be taken into account  for adjustment of
lifetime exposure.  U.S. EPA (1984d) suggested 247-365 days/year as a range for
annual exposure  duration  while Kimbrough et al.  (1984) assumed 6 months/year.
Hawley  (1985)  varied estimates for fraction of week (2/7 to  5/7 days) and
fraction of year (12 days to 6 months/year) for  exposure to  contaminants based
on  age  (children, adults) and outdoor or indoor  exposure.   Individuals such as
gardeners or  farmers in  southern climates  in the United  States would be
expected  to have a  longer annual  duration of  exposure than those  in the
northern climates.
     The appropriate  factor for the exposure duration adjustment for lifetime
exposure of the  MEI is dependent  on  many  of the assumptions discussed above.
An  assumption  of 365 days/year is obviously the most conservative  for  esti-
mating lifetime exposure.

October 1986                        3-100              DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
     3.6.2.3.7  Relative effectiveness (RE).  In  the  case of dermal exposure,
RE refers  to the effectiveness  of the absorbed dermal dose  relative  to an
unabsorbed ingested  oral  dose.   This is  because DDI is  an estimate  of  absorbed
dose, whereas  RIA is  based on  ingested dose.   Very,little  information  is
available  concerning  the  toxicological  effectiveness  of dermally-absorbed
contaminants.  If it is assumed that an absorbed dose is equivalently effective
regardless of  exposure route,  then RE for an absorbed dermal dose relative to
an unabsorbed  ingested dose is  equivalent  to the reciprocal of the gastro-
intestinal absorption  fraction.   It is recognized, however, that this assump-
tion  does  not  hold in many cases, such as when effects occur at the portal of
entry  or when removal,  inactivation or  activation  of the  compound before
reaching the target  organ varies with exposure route.
3.6.2.4  Example Calculations
3.6.2.4.1   Cadmium.   The DDI  for  cadmium for adults can  be  estimated using
Equation 3-38  (see Section 3.6.2.2).  The  values  for SA, CA and CT are 2940
  n            n
cm,  1.5 mg/cm   and 12  hours/day,  respectively.   For the purpose of this
example  only,  the AF will  be  arbitrarily  set at  1%/day.   The LC is 21.76 and
72.53 ug/g for 30 and  100 years, respectively.

      For 30 years, DDI =  12 hours/dav x  2940  cm2 x 1.5 mg/cm2 x 0.01/day x
                   21.76  ug/9  x  (10V24) x 1 = 0.48  ug/day.
  For 100 years, DDI  =  12  hours/day x 2940 cm2 x 1.5 mg/cm2 x  0.01/day x 72.53
                       ug/g  x (10 V24) x 1 =  1.60 ug/day.

      To   compare  the DDI for  adults  to the RIA, the DDI is converted to an
equivalent DI  using  the following  equation:

                          DI =  DDI  x  (RE)"1                     Equation  (3-39)

      For 30  years,   DI =  0.48  ug/day x (1/0.045)"1 =  0.02 ug/day
      For 100 years,  DI =  1.60  ug/day x (1/0.045)"1 =  0.07 ug/day

The  value of RE  is  derived as the  reciprocal  of  the absorption  fraction for
ingested cadmium.  An  absorption fraction of 4.5% was assumed in  the derivation
of  the provisional  RfD (Federal  Register,  1985)  (Section 4.1.2).   The equiva-
lent DI  is  compared  with  RIA for cadmium for adults.


October  1986                        3-101              DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
     The DDI for children Is determined by using an SA of 980  cm2.   EDA  remains
set  at 1  since  the RIA  is  based on noncarcinogenic effects.   The DDI  for
children,  0.18 and 0.60 ug/day for 30 and 100 years, respectively,  is converted
   to  an equivalent DI for children and compared to the RIA for  cadmium  for
children.
     3.6.2.4.1   Benzo(a)Pyrene.   Values  of DDI  for  B(a)P for  adults  and
children  are calculated  in  the same manner as  above  for cadmium;  however,
the  LC for B(a)P,  1.17xlO"2 ug/g for  30  and 100 years, is substituted.  For
this example,  AF will  be arbitrarily set at 1% day.  The RE is  derived  as the
reciprocal  of  the  absorption  fraction (50%) for  ingested  B(a)P (U.S.  EPA,
1985c)., The EDA remains at 1 for lifetime exposure.

            DDI = 12 hours/day x 2940 cm2 x 1.5 mg/cm2 x 0.01/day x
             2.36 x 10"1 ug/g x (10~3/24) x 1 = 5.20 x 10"3 ug/day

To compare the DDI to the RIA, the  DDI  is converted to an  equivalent DI as
follows:

                               DI = DDI x (RE)"1
           DI = 5.20 x 10"3 ug/day x (1/0.5)"1 = 2.60 x 10"3 ug/day

     For children, the DDI is calculated using a surface area of 980 cm2 and an
EDA of 0.07.

             DDI = 12 hours/day x 980 cm2 x 1.5 mg/m2 x 0.01/day x
           2.36 x 10"1 ug/g x (10"3/24) x 0.07 = 1.21 x 10"4 ug/day

The DI for children using the same RE (1/0.5) as for adults is:

            DI = 1.2 x 10" 4 ug/day x (1/0.5)"1 = 6.07 x 10"5 ug/day

The DIs are compare'd with the RIA for benzo(a)pyrene.
October 1986                        3-102
DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
        4.   ESTIMATING CARCINOGENIC AND NONCARCINOGENIC RISKS TO HUMANS
                             BY INDIRECT EXPOSURE
     Risk assessments ordinarily  proceed from source to receptor.   The source
is first characterized  and contaminant movement away from  the  source  is then
modeled to estimate  the degree of exposure to  the  receptor,  or MEI.   Health
effects are then predicted based on the estimated exposure.
     Health effects  amy vary according to exposure  route.  Humans may be ex-
posed directly  to  MWC emissions by inhalation, or  may  be indirectly exposed
to pollutants that are  deposited and then subsequently  enter  the  human food
chain or a water source or contact the skin.   Health effects from direct inha-
lation are discussed in Section 3.2.   This chapter addresses effects from  in-
direct exposures.
     In this methodology,  indirect human exposure to a  contaminant  from the
emissions of a  MWC is characterized by daily intake or water concentration  of
the contaminant.   Daily intake by ingestion or dermal exposure  (DI,  in ug/day)
will be compared to the adjusted reference intake  (RIA,  in  ug/day)  in  order  to
characterize whether a  human health risk exists.   The  concentrations  of pol-
lutants in surface water (Ci'x in mg/£)  or groundwater  (X..,  in  mg/£) are com-
pared with the  reference water concentration (RWC, in mg/£).
     The RIA will  be defined as the increase in dietary intake of a contaminant
that is used to evaluate the potential for adverse effects on human health.   To
exceed the RIA  would be a  basis  for  concern  that adverse health effects may
occur  in  those  individuals.   The RIA is termed "adjusted" because  it is  a
health-based reference  intake  value that has been  adjusted from a  pre-weight
basis to a  particular human body weight and  also to account for contaminant
intake from other  sources.
     The RWC  (in mg/£)  is defined as  a surface water or groundwater concentra-
tion of pollutant used to  evaluate the  potential for adverse effects  on human
health.  If a particular concentration in MWC emissions results  in surface water
concentration of a pollutant that is due to runoff  greater than  the RWC, adverse
health effects  may occur in a  human  population using the surface  waters as a

October 1986                      4-1             DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
source of  drinking  water or consuming fish from these waters.  Similarly, the
groundwater concentration of a contaminant is compared with the RWC to ascertain
if any adverse health effects might occur as a result of MWC emissions leaching
into the aquifer.   Since groundwaters  often feed  surface water bodies,  in some
instances  constituting the  major  source,  human  exposures could likewise  result
from drinking  these waters  from a surface source or through ingestion of con-
taminated  fish.
4.1  DETERMINATION OF THE ADJUSTED REFERENCE INTAKE (RIA)
     The procedure for determining RIA varies according to whether the pollutant
acts by a threshold or nonthreshold mechanism of toxicity.

4.1.1  Threshold-Acting Toxicants
Threshold effects  are  those  for which a safe (subthreshold) level of toxicant
exposure can be estimated.  For these toxicants, RIA is derived as follows:
RIA
             = RfD_xJW - TBII   103                              Equation (4-1)
where:
     RIA = adjusted reference intake (ug/day)
     RfD = risk reference dose (mg/kg/day)
      BW = human body weight (kg)
     TBI = total background intake of pollutant (mg/day) from all other sources
           of exposure
      RE = relative effectiveness of exposure (unitless)
     103 = conversion factor (ug/mg)

The definition  and  derivation  of each of the  parameters  used  to estimate RIA
for threshold-acting toxicants are further discussed in the following sections.
4.1.1.1   Risk Reference Dose (RfD).   When toxicant exposure is  by  ingestion,
the threshold assumption  has  traditionally been used to establish an "accept-
able daily intake,"  or  ADI.   The Food and Agricultural  Organization and the
World Health Organization  have  defined ADI as "the daily intake of a chemical
which, during an  entire  lifetime, appears to  be  without  appreciable risk on
the basis of  all  the known facts at  the  time.   It is  expressed in  milligrams
of the chemical per kilogram of body weight  (mg/kg)"  (Lu,  1983).   Procedures
for estimating  the  ADI  from various types of toxico.logical data were outlined

October 1986                      4-2             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
by the U.S.  EPA In 1980  (Federal  Register,  1980).   More recently,  the Agency
has preferred  the  use of a  new  term,  the "risk reference dose," or  RfD,  to
avoid the connotation of acceptability, which is often controversial.
4.1.1.2  Human  Body Weight (BW).   The  choice of body weight  for  use  in risk
assessment depends on the definition of  the  individual  at risk,  and that in
turn depends  on exposure and susceptibility to  adverse  effects.  The RfD  (or
ADI) was defined as the dose on a body-weight basis that could be safely toler-
ated over a lifetime.  Food consumption on a body-weight basis is substantially
higher for  infants  and toddlers than for teenagers  or  adults.  Certain beha-
viors, such  as mouthing of dirty  objects or direct  ingestion of soil, which
could also contribute to exposure, are also much more prevalent in children than
adults.  Therefore,  infants  and toddlers would be at greater  risk of  exceeding
an RfD when  exposure is by  food  or  soil  ingestion.  The effects,  however,  on
which the  RfD is based may  have  a long latency period,  in some instances  ap-
proaching the  human  lifespan.   In these cases it may be reasonable  to base the
derivation of criteria upon adult values  of BW (70 kg).   In cases  where effects
have a shorter  latency (<10 years) and where children are known to be at special
risk, it may be more  appropriate to use a value of 10 kg as the BW for toddlers
or infants.
4.1.1.3  Relative Effectiveness of Exposure (RE).  RE is a urn*tless factor that
shows the  relative  toxicologies! effectiveness of an exposure by  a  given route
when compared with another route.  The value of RE may reflect observed or esti-
mated differences  in absorption rates between different exposure routes, that
are then assumed to translate into a difference in the toxicant's  effectiveness.
In addition  to route differences, RE can also reflect differences in  the expo-
sure conditions,  such as ingestion of food or water.  Since most exposures in
this group  of pathways occur by  food  consumption, the  RE factors applied  are
all with respect to ingestion in food.*   Therefore, the value of RE in Equation
(4-1) gives  the relative effectiveness of the exposure  route  and  circumstances
on which the RfD was  based when compared  with food.
     A RE  factor should only be  applied  where well-documented and  referenced
information  is available on the  contaminant's  inhalation and oral  pharmaco-
kinetics.  When such  information is not available, RE is equal to 1.
*The only exception is exposure from soil ingestion.  In this case, RE values
 should take into account the soil matrix if supporting data are available.

October 1986                      4-3             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
4.1.1.4  Total Background Intake of Pollutant (TBI).   It is important to recog-
nize that  sources  of exposure other than the soil deposition of MWC emissions
may  exist,  and that the total exposure  should  be maintained below the  RfD.
Other sources of exposure include background levels (whether natural or anthro-
pogenic) in  drinking water,  food or air.  Other types of  exposure  that are due
to occupation  or  habits such as smoking might  also  be  included, depending on
data availability  and regulatory policy.   These exposures are summed to esti- .
mate TBI.
     Data for estimating background exposure usually are derived from analytical
surveys  of  surface,  ground  or tap water, from  FDA market basket surveys,  and
from air monitoring  surveys.   These surveys  may report  means, medians, percen-
tiles or  ranges,  as well as detection   limits.   Estimates of TBI  may be based
on values  representing central  tendency  or on upper-bound exposure situations,
depending on regulatory policy.  Data chosen to  estimate TBI should be consist-
ent with the value of BW.  Where background data are reported in terms of a con-
centration  in  air  or water,  ingestion or inhalation  rates applicable to adults
or children  can  be used to estimate the proper  daily background intake value.
Where data  are reported as  total daily dietary intake  for adults  and similar
values for  children  are unavailable, conversion to an intake for children may
be required.   Such a conversion could be estimated  on  the basis of relative
total food intake or relative total caloric intake between adults and children.
   . As  stated in the beginning of this subsection, the TBI is the summed esti-
mate of  all possible  background exposures,  except exposures resulting from
a deposition of MWC emissions.
     To  determine  the effective  TBI, background intake values  (BI)  for each
exposure route must  be divided by that route's  particular relative effective-
ness (RE)  factor.   Thus, the TBI can be  derived after all the background expo-
sures have been determined,  using the following  equation:

TRT (mn/c\*^ - Bl(food) + Bl(water)   Bl(air)   Bl(dermal)  .      BI(n)
mi tmg/aay; - RE(food) + RE(water)   RE(air)   RE(dermal)   '*''  RfOO
                                                                 Equation  (4-2)
where:
     TBI = total background intake rate of pollutant from  all other sources of
           exposure (mg/day)
October 1986                      4-4             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
      BI - background Intake of pollutant from a given exposure route (indi-
           cated by subscript) (rag/day)
      RE = relative effectiveness, with respect to the pertinent route of
           exposure (indicated by subscript) (unitless)

     When TBI  is  subtracted from the weight-adjusted RfD,  the  remainder  (after
adjusting for RE) defines the increment that can result from MWC emissions with-
out exceeding, the  threshold.   If upper-bound data  (such as  95th  percentiles)
were used  to  estimate TBI, then an  increase in exposure corresponding to this
increment, if  realized,  would cause the RfD to be approached or exceeded in a
relatively small percentage (5%) of  the exposed population.  If central-tendency
data (the  median)  were used to estimate TBI, such an increase would cause the
RfD to  be approached or exceeded in about half of the exposed population.  If
TBI were  set  at zero for lack of exposure data,  the allowed  increase would re-
sult  in an unknown degree  of  exceeding the RfD, depending  on whether other
sources of exposure exist.

4.1.2   Calculation of RIA  for Cadmium
     The  total  background intake (TBI) of  cadmium  for adults  is 27.2 ug/day
(Federal  Register, 1985).   The provisional  RfD for cadmium adjusted for a BW of
70  kg  and a RE of 1, is equal to 35 ug/day (Federal Register,  1985).   The RIA,
calculated according  to  Equation (4-1), is  7.8 ug/day  for adults.
     The  provisional  RfD for Cadmium  of  0.50 ug/kg/day was based on  a human
adult  oral exposure  regime of 350  ug/day,  which was estimated to represent a
threshold effect level.   The RfD was derived using an uncertainty factor of 10
and dividing  by a body weight  of 70 kg.   It is implied that  children  exposed to
the same food  and water that  resulted in this threshold level in adults would
not be adversely affected.  Therefore, the exposure limit for children will be
derived based on relative  cadmium  exposure assuming the same food  and water
sources.
      Relative cadmium intake for toddlers and adults for the fiscal  years  1975-
1977 are available from  FDA (1980a,b).   Mean daily  ingestion was  10.9 ug  (todd-
lers)  and 34.6 ug (adults).  The adult daily ingestion limit (350 ug/10  = 35 ug)
may be scaled to an intake for toddlers as  follows:

                      35  x (10.9/34.6) ug/day = 11.0 ug/day
 October 1986                      4-5             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
This procedure  is  considered  preferable to scaling the value strictly on body
weight (i.e., 0.5  ug/kg/day x 10 kg =  5  ug/day)  as would be done if the RfD
originated from  animal  data expressed on  a  body weight basis.   The distinction
is  important  because the  actual  ingested  dose is  quite close to  the  RfD.
Although mean adult  intake listed above was approximately equal to the RfD, a
more recent estimate of 27.2 ug/day, employed by the U.S. EPA Office of Drinking
Water (Federal  Register,  1985),  is  somewhat lower.  If  this  intake value is
similarly scaled for toddlers, the resulting average daily intake-is 8.6 ug/day.
RIA for the toddler may then be calculated as:

                        (11.0-8.6) ug/day = 2.4 ug/day

4.1.3  Non-Threshold Toxicants-Carcinogens
     For carcinogenic chemicals,  the Agency considers  the risk of  cancer to  be
linearly related to dose (except at high dose levels) (Federal Register, 1986).
The threshold assumption,  therefore,  does not hold, as  risk  diminishes with
dose but does not become zero or background until  dose becomes zero.
     The decision  whether to  treat  a chemical  as  a  threshold-  or nonthreshold-
acting (carcinogenic) agent depends on  the weight of the evidence that it may
be carcinogenic to humans.  Methods for classifying chemicals as to their weight
of evidence have been described by the U.S.  EPA (Federal Register,  1986). .
     To derive  values of RIA, a decision must be made as to which classifica-
tions constitute  sufficient evidence for  basing a quantitative risk assessment
on  a  presumption of cardnogenicity.   Chemicals  in  classifications A and B,
"human carcinogen"  and  "probable human  carcinogen," respectively,  have usually
been assessed as carcinogens, whereas  those in classifications D  and E, "not
classifiable as to human carcinogen!city because of inadequate  human and animal
data" and "evidence of noncarcinogenicity for humans," respectively, have usual-
ly been assessed according to threshold  effects.   Chemicals  classified as C,
"possible  human carcinogen,"  have  received varying treatment.  For example,
lindane, classified by the Carcinogen Assessment Group (CAG) of the U.S. EPA  as
"B2-C," or between the  lower range of the  B category and category  C, has been
assessed using  both  the linear model  for tumorigenic effects (U.S. EPA, 1980b)
and based  on threshold  effects   (Federal  Register, 1985).  The use  of the
weight-of-evidence classification,  without  noting the explanatory material for
October 1986                      4-6             DRAFT—DO  NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
a specific  chemical,  may lead to a flawed conclusion since some of the classi-

fications are  exposure route dependent.  Table 4-1  gives  an illustration of

these EPA classifications based on the  available weight of evidence.


       TABLE 4-1.  ILLUSTRATIVE CATEGORIZATION OF CARCINOGENIC EVIDENCE
                        BASED ON ANIMAL AND HUMAN DATA*
Human
Evidence
Sufficient
Limited
Inadequate
No data
No evidence
Animal Evidence
Sufficient
A
Bl
62
B2
B2
Limited
A
Bl
C
C
C
Inadequate
A
Bl
D
D
D
No Data
A
Bl
D
D
D
No Evidence
A
Bl
D
E
E
 The above  assignments  are  presented  for  illustrative purposes.  There may
  be nuances in  the  classification  of  both animal and human data indicating
  that  different categorizations  than  those given in the table should be
  assigned.   Furthermore,  these assignments are tentative and may be modified
  by ancillary evidence.   In this regard all  relevant information should be
  evaluated  to determine if  the designation of the overall weight of evidence
  needs to be modified.   Relevant factors  to be included along with the tumor
  data  from  human and animal studies include structure-activity relationships,
  short-term test findings,  results of appropriate physiological, biochemical
  and toxicological  observations, and  comparative metabolism and pharmaco-
  kinetic studies.   The  nature of these findings may cause an adjustment of
  the overall categorization of the weight of evidence.

     If a  pollutant  is  to  be assessed according to nonthreshold carcinogenic

 effects, the adjusted reference  intake, RIA (in ug/day), is derived as follows:
           RIA = %*|W - TBI x 103                                Equation  (4-3)
 where:

      RIA = adjusted reference intake (ug/day)
       qf = human cancer potency [(mg/kg/day) *] _
       RL = risk level  (unitless) (e.g., 10 5, 10 6,  etc.)
       BW = human body weight (kg)
       RE = relative effectiveness of exposure (unitless)
      TBI = total background intake of pollutant (ing/day); from all
            other sources of exposure
      103 = conversion factor (ug/mg)


 October 1986                      4-7             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
The RIA,  in  the case of carcinogens, is thought to be protective  recognizing
that the  estimate  of carcinogenicity is an upper limit value.   The definition
and derivation  of  each  of the parameters used to estimate RIA for carcinogens
are further discussed in the following sections.
4.1.3.1  Human Cancer Potency (q*).   For most carcinogenic chemicals, the line-
arized multistage model  is recommended for estimating  human cancer potency from
animal data (Federal Register, 1986).  When epidemiological data are available,
potency is estimated based on the observed relative risk in exposed versus non-
exposed individuals, and  on the magnitude of exposure.   Guidelines for use of
these procedures have been  presented in the Federal Register (1980, 1985) and
in each of  a series of Health Assessment  Documents prepared by the Office  of
Health and  Environmental  Assessment,  Office of Research and Development (such
as U.S. EPA,  1985b).  The potency value normally  used in  risk assessments  is
the upper-bound estimate  of the slope of the  dose-response  curve  in the low
dose range,  and it is expressed in  terms  of  risk-per-dose,  where dose is in
units of mg/kg/day.  Thus, q? has units of (mg/kg/day)  .
4.1.3.2  Risk Level (RL).   Since,by definition no "safe"  level  exists for expo-
sure to nonthreshold agents,  values of RIA are calculated to reflect  various
levels of cancer risk.  If  RL is  set at  zero,  then RIA will be zero.   If  RL is
set at 10  , RIA will be the concentration that,  for lifetime exposure, is cal-
culated to  have an upper-bound cancer risk of one case in one million indivi-
duals exposed.  This  risk level  refers to  excess  cancer  risk;  that is, over
and above the  background  cancer  risk in  unexposed  individuals.  By varying  RL,
RIA may be  calculated for any level  of  risk  in the low-dose region; that is,
      _2
RL <10  .   Specification  of a given risk level on  which to base regulations is
a matter of policy-  Therefore, it is common practice  to derive criteria repre-
senting several levels of risk without specifying any  level as "acceptable."
4.1.3.3  Human Body Weight (BW).   Considerations for defining BW are similar to
those stated  in Section 4.1.1.2.   The CAG  assumes a  value of 70  kg to derive
unit risk estimates for  air or water.  As discussed previously,  ingestion
exposures may  be higher in  children  than  in  adults when expressed on a body
weight basis; however, if exposure is lifelong, values of BW are usually chosen
so as to be representative of adults.
4.1.3.4  Total  Background Intake of  Pollutant  (TBI).  As  discussed in Section
4.1.1.4,  it  is  important  to recognize that sources of exposure other  than  the
deposited MWC emissions may exist.
October 1986                      4-8             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
4.1.3.5   Relative Effectiveness of Exposure (RE).   In  some cases,  potency
estimates have  been derived on the basis of a different type of exposure than
may occur from  food chain contamination.   In  these  cases,  the use of RE for
carcinogens is  similar to that described earlier for threshold- acting toxicants
(see Section  4.1.1.3).   As stated in that section,  an RE factor should only be
applied where we 11 -documented and referenced information is available  on  the
contaminant's pharmacokinetics.   When such information is not  available, RE is
equal to 1.

4.1.4  Calculation  of RIA for Benzo(a)Pyrene
The human cancer potency (q) for benzo(a)pyrene (B(a)P) has been determined by
 the U.S. EPA to  be  11.5  (mg/kg/day)"1  (U.S. EPA, 1980c).  RL, BW and RE are set
 at  10  ,  70 kg  and 1,  respectively,  for this example.   The TBI for adults is
 estimated  to  be *0.88 ug/day (U.S. EPA, 1980c).  The RIA is then calculated as
 follows using  Equation  (4-3):


        RIA =  [  11.5° (mgAgX)  x 1   "0-88xl°3 mg/day]X 1Q3 ^
        =  (6. 09. 10" 6 mg/day -  0.88xlO"3 mg/day) x 103 ug/mg = -0.87 ug/day

 The result obtained is  negative because the estimated background intake exceeds
 by  a  factor of  >100 the lo"S incremental risk level based on  the calculated
 canceY potency.   This indicates that the cancer risk due to existing levels of
                                                     ™ A
 B(a)P exposure  may  be as  high as  on the order of 10 .  If so, then it is  not
 meaningful to calculate RIA for lower  levels  of RL unless one wishes to deter-
 mine  an intake  based solely on MWC emissions and ignoring other sources.   In
 the latter case, TBI is  set at zero:
         RIA "[11.5 (mg/Rgyday? * 1 ' °\* «3 = 6'087><10  *  **'**

      The RIA for  B(a)P  for children is derived using a body weight of 10 kg.
 The TBI is 0.29 ug/day (U.S.  EPA, 1980c); however,  the TBI is  set at 0 for this
 example.  The  RL,  qj and  RE  are 10"6,  11.5 (mg/kg/day)"1 and 1,  respectively.
 Using Equation 4-3:

         OTA -     10 6 x y> k9	 - Ox 103 = 8.696xlO~4  ug/day
         RIA  111.5 (mg/kg/day) x 1   J                   HU   y

 October 1986                      4-9             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
4.2  COMPARISON OF DAILY INTAKES (DI) AND DERMAL DAILY INTAKE (DDI) WITH
     THE ADJUSTED REFERENCE INTAKE (RIA)
     Human dally intakes for the various pathways of the Terrestrial Food Chain
Model  (DI,  in  ug/day)  estimate the increase  in  contaminant intake by ingestion
due  to emissions  from  MWC.   The DIs can be directly compared with the RIA (in
jjg/day), which  represents  the increase in  dietary intake of a contaminant that
is used to  evaluate the potential for  adverse  effects  on human health.   When
comparing the DIs for ingestion with the RIA, the RE value in Equation (4-1) is
equal  to 1.
     In order  to determine the health risk associated with  increased  daily
dermal  intake (DDI, in ug/day) to contaminants from MWC emissions, the DDI must
be compared  to  a toxic threshold or carcinogenic potency of contaminants by a
dermal  route of exposure.   Such information for  dermal  exposure of toxicants
has  not been defined by the U.S.  EPA at the  present time.   As shown in  Section
3.7.2.4, the DDI can be transformed to an equivalent DI, by multiplying the DDI
by (RE)  ,  or  the ratio of the  oral  dose  to 1
equivalent DI can then be compared to the RIA.
by (RE)"1, or  the  ratio  of the oral dose to the dermally absorbed dose.  The
4.3  DETERMINATION OF THE REFERENCE WATER CONCENTRATION (RWC)
     The procedure for determining RWC varies according to whether the pollutant
acts by a threshold or non-threshold mechanism of toxicity.

4.3.1  Threshold-Acting Toxicants
Threshold effects  are  those for which a safe (subthreshold) level of toxicant
exposure can be estimated.  For the groundwater and surface runoff pathways (if
the  source  of  contaminant is only drinking water),  RWC (in mg/£) is derived as
follows:
where:
     RfD = risk reference dose (mg/kg/day)
      BW = human body weight (kg)
      I  = total water ingestion rats (A/day)
     TBY = total background intake of pollutant (mg/day) from all  other
           sources of exposure
October 1986                      4-10            DRAFT—DO  NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
      RE = relative effectiveness of exposure with respect to drinking
           water exposure of the exposure route indicated by subscript
           (umtless)

     If the only source of pollutant is fish living in,polluted surface waters,
the reference concentration  in water is calculated according to the following
equation:

           RWCf =!B!d_x_BW . TBIL (BCF x If)                    Equation (4-5)
where:
     BCF = 'biconcentration factor in fish (A/kg)
      If = human consumption of fish (kg/day)

     If the  source  of pollutant is both drinking water and fish from polluted
surface water,  the  reference concentration is  calculated  according to Equation
(4-6):
        RWCwf
jRfD_x__BW - TBI -r [Iw + (BCF x If)]               Equation  (4-6)
The definition  and derivation of each of the parameters  used to estimate vari-
ous. RWCs for threshold acting toxicants are further discussed below.
4.3.1.1  Risk Reference Dose (RfD).  The RfD is defined in Section 4.1.1.1.
4.3.1.2  Human Body Weight (BW).  The BW is defined in Section 4.1.1.2.
4.3.1.3  Water Ingestion Rate (!,,)•  It varies widely among individuals  accord-
ing to  age  and sex.   Table 4-2 shows the variation of adult drinking water in-
take within and among several studies.  Mean intakes in New Zealand,  Great Bri-
tain, The Netherlands  and Canada varied from 0.96-1.30 £/day,  and 90th  percen-
tiles varied from 1.64-1.90 A/day.  The variation of mean drinking water intake
and body weight with age and sex  for the United States  population are  illus-
trated  in Table 4-2.   The choice of values for use in risk assessment depends
on the  definition  of the individual  at risk, which in turn depends on exposure
and susceptibility  to  adverse effects.  The RfD (or ADI) was defined above as
the dose on a body weight basis that could be safely tolerated over a lifetime.
As shown in Table 4-2, water consumption on a body-weight basis is substantially
higher  for  infants and  toddlers than  for  teenagers  or  adults.   Therefore,
infants and toddlers would be at greater risk of exceeding an RfD when exposure
is by drinking water; however, the effects on which the RfD is based may have

October 1986                      4-11            DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
         TABLE 4-2.  WATER INGESTION AND BODY WEIGHT BY AGE-SEX GROUP
                             IN THE UNITED STATES
Age-Sex Group
6-11 months
2 years
14-16 years, female
14-16 years, male
25-30 years, female
25-30 years, male
60-65 years, female
60-65 years, male
Mean Water
Ingest ion
(mA/day)
308
436
587
732
896
1050
1157
1232
Median
Body Weight
(kg)
8.8CC
13.5^
51. 3^
54. 2^
58-5d
67.6°
67. 6*
73. 9d
Water Ingest ion
per Body Weight
(m£/kg/day)D
35.1
32.2
11.4
13.5
15.3
15.5
17.1
16.7
aSource:  Pennington, 1983.  From the revised FDA Total Diet Study.
 Includes categories 193, 195-197, 201-203.
 The water ingestion per body weight ratios have been derived from the
 referenced values for illustrative purposes only.
 Source:  Nelson et al., 1969.  Calculated by averaging several age or sex
 groups.
 Source:  Society of Actuaries, 1959.  Average body weights for median
 heights of 156 cm (5 feet 5 inches) and 173 cm (5 feet 8 inches) for
 females and males, respectively.

a  long  latency  periods,  in some instances approaching the human lifespan.  In
these cases, it may be reasonable to base the derivation of criteria upon adult
values  of BW  and Iw-   In cases where effects  have a  shorter latency (i.e.,  <10
years) and where children are known to be at special  risk, it may be more appro-
priate to use values for toddlers or infants.
     The approach currently  employed in the derivation of recommended maximum
contaminant levels  (RMCLs) by  the  U.S.  EPA Office of Drinking  Water is to
assume an Iw of 2.0 £/day (Federal Register, 1985) and an Iw of 1.0 £/day for a
10 kg child.
4.3.1.4  Relative Effectiveness of Exposure (RE).  The RE is defined in Section
4.1.1.3.  The RE  factors for the Surface Runoff and Groundwater Pathways are
applied with respect to drinking water exposure.
4.3.1.5  Total Background Intake Pollutant (TBI).  The  TBI  is defined in Sec-
tion 4.1.1.4.
4.3.1.6  Biconcentration  Factor (BCF).   Bioconcentration  is  the ability of
living  organisms  to  accumulate  substances  to  higher  than ambient  level
concentrations.    The  degree to  which a chemical  accumulates  in an aquatic

October 1986                      4-12            DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
organism above ambient concentrations is indicated by BCF.  Specifically, it is
defined as  the  quotient of the concentration of a substance in all or part of
an aquatic  organism (mg/kg fresh weight) divided by the concentration in water
to which the  organism has been exposed  (mg/£).  The BCF is usually determined
at equilibrium conditions, or for 28-day exposures, and is based upon the fresh
weight of the organism.  The BCF therefore has units of mg/kg (mg/4)"1 or £/kg.
     Biconcentration  is  distinguished  from other terms commonly  used  to de-
scribe increases in the concentration of chemicals in an organism, such as bio-
magnification,  bioaccumulation  or ecological  magnification,  in  that bioconcen-
tration considers only the uptake of a pollutant by an organism from the ambient
water.  The other similar processes are  associated with increases in the concen-
tration of  chemicals  resulting from consumption of  contaminated  food sources
as well as  accumulation from water.
     Although  it has  been documented in numerous studies that bioconcentration
may  be the  primary pathway for accumulation  (Marcelle and Thome, 1984; Bahner
et al.,  1977;  Clayton et al., 1977), there is also evidence  that biomagm'fica-
tion by  aquatic food chains can be  important under certain environmental cir-
cumstances  (Lee et  al., 1976).
     Bioconcentration  factors are specific for  the  compound and the species
absorbing the  compound.   The compounds with the greatest tendency to bioaccum-
ulate  are  those that are  lipophilic  and resistant to biological  degradation.
Initial diffusion into the organism  occurs by rapid surface adsorption or parti-
tioning  to  the lipoprotein layer of cell membranes.  Once in the bloodstream,
subsequent  accumulation of the  chemical  into particular compartments of the
organism  is dependent upon the metabolic capabilities of the organism and the
lipid  content  of the  individual  organs.  With continuous exposure to a compound,
the  condition is eventually reached when the rate of excretion  is equal to the
rate of  uptake.
      Bioconcentration  factors can be estimated through laboratory experiments,
field  studies, correlations with physicochemical factors such as octanol/water
partition  coefficients,  and models based upon pollutant biokinetics coupled to
fish energetics.  In  the  development of the ambient water quality criteria, the
U.S. EPA used mostly  laboratory  data in the calculation of BCFs.  Field data
are  often less reliable than  laboratory data  because  it cannot  usually  be shown
that constituent concentrations in  field situations  have been held constant  for
a long period  of time  or  over the range of  territory inhabited  by the organism.

October  1986                       4-13             DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
BCFs calculated from  field  data  also may be greater than those  calculated from
laboratory data, which  is  apparently  due to ingestion of the compound through
prey, sediments and water,  in addition to absorption  from water.
     Where laboratory and field  data  are not available, BCFs can be estimated
by several methods.   Correlations  between BCFs and octanol/water partition co-
efficients, water  solubility  and soil  adsorption coefficients have been docu-
mented.  Veith et  al.  (1979)  developed the following  equation using  the  corre-
lation between the BCF  and  the n-octanol/water partition coefficient  (P) to
estimate BCFs to within 60% before laboratory testing:

          Iog10 = 0.85 Iog10 P - 0.70                             Equation (4-7)

The  equation was  developed  using data from whole-body analyses  of *7.6%  lipids
(Federal Register, 1980).  The U.S. EPA adopted the equation developed by Veith
et al.  (1979)  for use in determining  BCFs for use in the exposure sections of
the  health effects chapter of the AWQC documents in those cases  where an appro-
priate BCF is  not available.   In a later study,  Veith et al. (1980) used the
results of their  own  laboratory experiments and  data  from  other laboratories
for  a  variety  of  fish species and  84 different organic chemicals to  obtain the
following modification of their original  equation:

          Iog10 BCF = 0.76 Iog10 P - 0.23                        Equation (4-8)

Equations similar  to  the ones developed  by Veith  et al.  (1979,  1980) have been
developed  for  more specific chemical  classes and particular aquatic species
(Veith et  al.,  1979;  Neeley et al., 1974).   Other investigators (Norstrom et
al., 1976) have developed more elaborate models using pollutant biokinetics and
fish energetics in addition to using octanol/water partition coefficients to
predict BCFs.
     Since bioconcentration for  lipophilic  compounds depends on  lipid content
of the  fish,  it is important to adjust  measured or  estimated BCF values  for
these compounds to reflect  the lipid content of  seafood in the United States
diet.  The U.S. EPA determined in 1980 that the average lipid content of  fresh-
water and  estuarine species,  weighted by average daily consumption, was 3.0%
(Federal  Register, 1980).   Since  fresh  and estuarine waters would  be those
impacted by  runoff from areas of MWC deposition, a lipid content of 3%  should
be assumed.  The adjustment is made as follows:
October 1986                      4-14            DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                           LC.
               BCFg = BCFu j-gS                                   Equation (4-9)
                             e
where:
     BCFa = adjusted BCF (£/kg)
     BCFy = unadjusted BCF (£/kg)
      LCd = lipid content of dietary seafood (kg/kg)
      LCg = lipid content of experimental organism (kg/kg)
4.3.1.7  Fish Consumption Rate (If).  Several recent publications have provided
estimates  of  average daily intake of fish.  A USDA survey conducted 1977-1978
estimated  mean  intake to range from 9-r 14  g/day  (including all types of fish
such as  shellfish and canned fish) depending  on geographic region, with the
Northeast  showing the highest value (USDA, 1985).   Another survey (USDA,  1984)
estimated  the  national  average for fish consumption to be 12.9 pounds/year at
16 g/day.  This  latter document separates  fish into categories, including fish,
shellfish, canned fish,  etc.   Daily intake  of fresh  or frozen fish was 6.46
g/day.
     The  most recent  fish  consumption  document  from the  U.S.  Department  of
Commerce (1985)  reports  total per capita fish and shellfish consumption ranging
from 12.8  pounds/year  in 1980 to 13.6 pounds/year in 1984, which is the highest
consumption on  record (Table 4-3).   The latter value  is a daily intake of 16.9
g of  fish (all  kinds).  These  figures  do  not include any recreational catch,
which  is  estimated to be an  additional  3-4 pounds/year or 3.7-5 g/day (U.S.
EPA, 1980d).  If one assumes a value of 3.5  pounds/year (4.35 g/day) from recre-
ational  fishing, the total average per capita  intake of all  types of seafood
is «21.25  g/day.
     Runoff  containing  MWC emissions  could affect freshwater  and estuarine
species,  but not  the  marine  species  that constitute the  greater  portion of
seafood in the U.S.  diet.  To estimate average daily consumption of the former,
the U.S.  EPA examined data from a  survey  of fish consumption in 1973-1974 (as
reanalyzed in  U.S. EPA, 1980d) and eliminated all species not taken from fresh
or estuarine  waters (Stephan, 1980).  Per capita consumption was  reduced from
13.4 to  6.5  g/day, or by  a  factor of 2.1.  Therefore, it seems reasonable to
assume that  in most instances freshwater and estuarine species will constitute
»50% of total consumption or *10.6  g/day.
October 1986                       4-15            DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
      TABLE  4-3.   UNITED STATES ANNUAL PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF COMMERCIAL
                        FISH AND SHELLFISH, 1960-1984*
Per Capita Consumption
Year
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977d
1978d
1979d
Civilian Resident
Population
Million Persons
178.1
181.1
183.7
186.5
189.1
191.6
193.4
195.3
197.1
199.1
201.9
204.9
207.5
209.6
211.6
213.8
215.9
218.1
220.5
223.0
Fresh .
and Frozen
Pounds
5.7
5.9
5.8
5.8
5.9
6.0
6.1
5.8
6.2
6.6
6.9
6.7
7.1
7.4
6.9
7.5
8.2
7.7
8.1
7.8
Canned0
of Edible
4.0
4.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.3
4.3
4.3
4.3
4.2
4.5
4.3
4.9
5.0
4.7
4.3
4.2
4.6
5.0
4.8
Cured
Meat
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.4
Total

10. J
10.7
10.6
10.7
10.5
10.8
10.9
10.6
11.0
11.2
11.8
11.5
12.5
12.8
12.1
12.2
12.9
12.7
13.4
13.0
                                              (continued on following page)
October 1986
4-16
DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                             TABLE 4-3 (continued)
Per Capita Consumption
Year
1980d
1981d
1982d
1983d
1984d
Civilian Resident
Population
Million Persons
225.6
227.7
229.9
232.0
234
Fresh .
and Frozen
Pounds
8.0
7.8
7.7
8.0
8.3
Canned
of Edible
4.5
4.8
4.3
4.8
5.0
Cured
Meat
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
Total

12.8
12.9
12.3
13.1
13.6
aSource:   U.S. Department of Commerce (1985).

 Beginning in 1973, data include consumption of artificially cultivated
 catfish.

C8ased on production reports, packer stocks and foreign trade statistics
 for individual years.
Domestic landings data used in calculating these data are preliminary.


Note:   The consumption  figures  refer only to consumption of  fish and  shell-
        fish  entering commercial channels, and  they  do not include data on
        consumption of  recreationally caught  fish and shellfish, which  since
        1970  is  estimated  to be between 3  and 4 pounds (edible meat)/person
        annually.  The  figures  are calculated on the basis of raw edible meat
        (e.g., .excluding bones, viscera,  shells).   The U.S.  Department of
        Agriculture (USDA)  consumption figures  for red meats  and poultry are
        based  on the retail weight  of the products,  as purchased in  retail
        stores.  The  USDA  estimates are the net  edible weight to be  *70-95% of
        the retail weight,  depending on the  cut  and  type  of meat.   From 1970
        through  1980, data were revised to reflect the results of  the  1980
        census.


     There is a  great disparity  from  the national average, depending on region,

age,  race and  religion.   SRI  reported fish  intake by the Black and Jewish

populations to  be  double the average value (U.S. EPA, 1980d).  The  New England

and  East South Central  regions  had  the highest  fish consumption regionally.

Consumption  levels  in the upper 95th percentile were typically 300-400% of the

national  average.   The  highest value  in  the upper 95th percentile was for

Orientals at  67.3 g/day.  This  is 502% of  the national  average reported  by  SRI.
October 1986                       4-17             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
Applying the  same  percentage  increase to  the  revised daily  average  consumption
of 10.6 g/day,  the 95th  percentile  is estimated to be «53 g/day  or  *43 pounds/
year.

4.3.2  Calculation of RWC for Cadmium
     The total  background  intake  (TBI)  of cadmium for adults  is 27.2 pg/day
(Federal Register, 1985).  An RfD for cadmium (adjusted for a BW of 70 kg and a
RE of  1)  equal  to 35 ug/day has been proposed (Federal Register,  1985) but  has
not yet been  officially  adopted  by the Agency.  The Iw  for an adult  is  2.0
A/day  (Federal  Register, 1985).   Using  Equation (4-4), the  RWCW  for cadmium is
3.9 ug/£.
     A value  for  BCF is  needed to  calculate  RWCf or RWCwf.  Biconcentration
data for  cadmium  are surveyed in the document, Ambient Water Quality Criteria
for Cadmium - 1984 (U.S. EPA,  1985f).   The geometric mean of all  values avail-
able for edible parts of bivalve molluscs is  659,  whereas that for edible parts
of all other  species consumed by humans  is 13.  If these values  are weighted
according  to  relative consumption  of  bivalves (12.2%)  and other organisms
(87.8%), a weighted average BCF for cadmium in the edible portion of all fresh-
water  and  estrarine aquatic  organisms  consumed in the  United States is calcu-
lated  to  be  92.  As stated earlier, daily consumption of freshwater and estua-
rine species  at the 95th percentile is estimated to be  53 g/day (I. = 0.053
kg/day).
     Using Equations  4-5 and  4-6, respectively,  RWC- is calculated to be 1.6
ug/2 and RWCwf  is 1.1 ug/2.

4.3.3  Non-Threshold Toxicants-Carcinogens
The Agency's  classification of chemicals as  carcinogens  are discussed in Sec-
tion 4.1.3.
     If a  pollutant is to  be  assessed according to non-threshold, carcinogenic
effects, the  reference concentration  in surface water or groundwater  used  for
drinking,   but not  supplying  fish for  humans  consumption  (RWC  in mg/2),  is
calculated as follows:

              RWCW = |nrll " TBI|* !w                           Equation (4-10)
October 1986                      4-18            DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
where:

      qj = human cancer potency [(mg/kg/day)"1]
      RL = risk level (unitless); e.g., 10 5, 10~6, etc.
      BW = human body weight (kg)
      I  = water ingestion rate (Jd/day)
      Rt = relative effectiveness of exposure (unitless)
     TBI = background intake of pollutant (mg/day); from all other sources
           of exposure


 If  the only  source  of pollutant is fish from  polluted surface waters, the
 reference concentration (RWCf) is calculated according to the following:
              RWC  =
                            - TBIJT (BCF x If)                   Equation  (4-11)



If the sources  of pollutant are both drinking water  from  surface  waters  and
fish living in  these  surface waters, then the reference concentration  (RWCw^)

can be calculated according to the following:

                              E-i
                  % * pc - TBlU [I  + (BCF x If)]               Equation  (4-12)
                  -)l X KC      I    W           I

where:

     TBI = background intake of pollutant (mg/day) from all other sources
           of exposure
      RE = relative effectiveness of exposure (unitless)
     BCF = biconcentration factor in fish (2/kg)
      I  = water  ingestion rate (A/day)
      Ij = human  consumption of fish (kg/day)
      q* = human  cancer potency ([mg/kg/day] *)
      Rt = risk level (unitless)

TBI,  RE,  BCF,  I  and If  are defined as for threshold-acting toxicants (see

Sections  4.1.1.3, 4.1.1.4,  4.3.1.3,  4.3.1.6,  4.3.1.7)  and  q*  and  RL are

discussed in Sections 4.1.3.1 and 4.1.3.2.


4.3.4  Calculation of RWC  for Benzo(a)Pyrene
     The  q*  for orally ingested B(a)P  has  been  determined to be 11.5  (mg/kg/

day)"1  (U.S. EPA, 1980c).   RL, BW and  RE are set at  10"6, 70 kg and 1 for this

example.  The  TBI for adults is estimated to be  0.88 ug/day (U.S.  EPA, 1980c).

For this  example, however, the TBI  will  be set  at 0.   The  Iw is  2 £/day for
 October 1986                      4-19            DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
adults (Federal Register,  1985).   Using equation 4-10, the  RWCw for B(a)P is
S.Oxlo"6 mg/£.
     In the Ambient  Water  Qualtiy Criteria Document for  Polynuclear Aromatic
Hydrocarbons (U.S. EPA, 1980c), a BCF of 30 was determined as representative of
fish, based on  very  limited available data.  A  geometric mean BCF of 79 for
bivalves may  be calculated from data in the same document.   A  weighted average
BCF of 36  is  calculated following the procedure used  previously for cadmium.
Using this value and an If of 0.053 kg/day in  Equations 4-11 and 4-12, RWCf and
RWCwf are calculated to be 3.2 x 10"6 mg/2 and 1.6  x 10"6 mg/£, respectively.
4.4  COMPARISON OF CONTAMINANT CONCENTRATIONS (Ci and Xi) WITH REFERENCE
     WATER CONCENTRATIONS (RWC)
     Contaminant concentrations for the Surface Runoff and Groundwater Pathways
(mg/£)  estimate the  increase in contaminant  water concentrations  due to
emissions from  MWC.   The calculated  concentration  of contaminants  in receiving
water  (Ci)  can be  compared with the chronic  RWC  .   The predicted leachate
                                                 w
concentration  (Xi)  for  a  contaminant entering an aquifer  is  also compared
directly to  the RWC .   The concentration of the contaminant  in runoff water
after  storm  events  may result in concentrations that  exceed the long-term Ci
for  brief  periods.   While  this  methodology  is geared only toward  examining
long-term  effects,  the  event concentrations  may  be compared  to  existing
short-term assessment values such as 1-day Drinking Water  Health  Advisories
(see Federal Register, 1985, for example).
October 1986                      4-20            DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
                   5.  ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS FROM MWC EMISSIONS
5.1  TERRESTRIAL FOOD CHAIN MODEL
5.1.1  General Considerations
5.1.1.1   Most-Exposed Individuals (MEIs).   For  the ecological  effects  or
pathways of  the  terrestrial  food chain model, the  MEI  is a plant or  animal
rather than a human.
5.1.1.1.1   Toxicity to herbivorous animals.   The pathways  for exposure  for
herbivorous  animals  are  1)  deposition-soil-plant-animal  toxicity,  and  2)
deposition-soil-animal  toxicity (direct ingestion).  For  these  pathways, it
does not  matter  whether the animals are subsequently consumed by humans.   The
end point  of concern is toxicity to the  animals themselves, which constitute
the MEI.   It is  assumed that wildlife  may  forage on lawns, gardens, agricul-
tural areas  or  forests within the region  of maximal  deposition of emissions of
the MWC.
5.1.1.1.2  Phytotoxicity.  This pathway is described as deposition-soil-piant
toxicity.  Toxic effects in plants are of concern since plants have an integral
role in  the  terrestrial food chain.  The MEI, or vegetation  type to be pro-
tected, will  ordinarily be the most sensitive plant species for  which  data are
available.
5.1.1.1.3   Toxicity  to soil biota or their predators.   Two  pathways  are
considered here:   1)  deposition-soil-soil  biota  toxicity, and 2) deposition-
soil-soil  biota-predator  toxicity.   The term "soil   biota" is  intended to be
interpreted  broadly.   The first pathway examines effects  on  a broad range of
organisms  including microorganisms,  soil  invertebrates  such as earthworms, and
various anthropods  living in or near the  soil, as long  as potential  effects  in
these organisms  can .be related to soil concentrations.  The  second pathway
examines effects  on predators of these organisms, especially  small mammals and
birds.   These predators could include insectivores  as  long as available  data
permit the  contaminant concentration in the prey to be related to contaminant
soil concentration.

October 1986                      5-1             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE  OR  CITE

-------
5.1.1.2  Soil Deposition Rate of Contaminants.   Cumulative soil deposition rate

of contaminants  is determined  in  the same  manner as described in  Section

3.3.1.2.
5.1.1.3  Soil Incorporation of Deposited Contaminants.  The considerations and

equations for soil  incorporation  of the deposited contaminants  from MWCs are

the  same  for the ecological effects of the  Terrestrial  Food Chain  Model as

those described in Section 3.3.1.3.
5.1.1.4  Contaminant Loss From Soils.  The considerations are the same as those

enumerated in Section 3.3.1.4.
5.1.1.5  Contaminant Uptake Relationship.   Uptake  relationships  for inorganic
and  organic  pollutants in  both plants and  animals  are  the same as in  the ,

Terrestrial  Food Chain Model.
5.1.1.6  Toxicity  Thresholds for Nonhuman Organisms.  When  emissions from MWC
are  deposited on land, organisms such as soil biota and their predators, plants
and  grazing  animals could be at  risk  as  well  as  humans.   Specific  methods,

however,  for selecting threshold  levels for protecting  these diverse groups
have not been articulated.   It may be difficult to determine what studies are
most appropriate,  what effects are  of concern and how to  select  protective

values  based on the available information.
      The  following general  guidelines were  suggested for determining toxicity

thresholds in plants,  invertebrates and vertebrates (U.S.  EPA, 1986h)  and will

also be suggested  here.


1.    All  inhibitory effects  should be  considered adverse unless  evidence to the
      contrary is  available.   These effects usually include  reductions  in
      growth, fecundity,  lifespan or  performance, as well  as  symptomatic
      manifestations  of toxicity.   For example,  reductions  in soil  microbial
      activity or diversity  that can  be attributed  to  a given  chemical should be
      considered  adverse in lieu of information to the contrary.   Where effects
      cannot  be attributed  to one chemical, thresholds  ordinarily cannot be
      determined.

2.    The geometric mean of exposure levels  bracketing an adverse effect should
      be used as the threshold.   For example,  if exposure levels are 1,  IQ/and
      100 and effects are significant  at  100,  a value of *30 ([10 x 100]  '  )
      should  be used.   Where  effects  occur at the lowest exposure  level,  and
      other  studies better  defining the threshold value are unavailable, no
      threshold  can be  determined.   Where  results were not statistically tested,
      careful judgment should be  used  to  determine the biological  significance
      of a given change.

 3.    The chemical  form of  a contaminant  used in  a study may not be equivalent
      in bioavailability  to the  form  present in  the  deposited  emissions or


 October 1986                      5-2             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
     migrating  from soil  following  deposition.   Careful  scientific judgment
     should  be  used to  determine toxicity thresholds of  different chemical
     forms.

4.   Where studies  with  few species are available  for  a  given chemical, the
     results with  the  most sensitive species should  be used to determine  the
     threshold.  If many species have been studied, procedures for estimating
     the fifth  percentile of response may be used as described in the Aquatic
     Life Guidelines (U.S. EPA,  1984e).
5.   Where several  tests  have  been conducted for  a  given species, results
     appearing to be outliers should be disregarded.

5.1-2  Exposure Pathways  for Toxicity to Herbivorous Animals
     These two  pathways, deposition-soil-plant-animal toxicity and deposition-
soil-animal  toxicity (direct ingestion),  are similar to the pathways for con-
taminant uptake  by animal tissues consumed by humans, as discussed in Section
3.3.4; however, since  toxicity to the animal itself is now the endpoint of con-
cern, the  list of  animals to be considered is broadened to include all herbi-
vores.  Herbivorous rodents and birds should be  considered,  as well  as  large
herbivores and  other domestic animals.  The pathway  for adherence of soils to
plant roots  is limited to grazing  animals  that  ingest significant amounts of
soil (cattle, sheep).
5.1.2.1   Assumptions.   The assumptions pertaining  to this pathway have been
stated in Tables 3-12  to  3-17.
5.1.2.2   Calculation  Method.   The  first  set  of  calculations  for the
deposition-soil-plant-animal  and deposition-soil-animal  pathways are the  same
as  given  in Section  3.3.4.2 for  the determination of  an  animal feed
concentration  (AFC, in  ug/g DW) from  the cumulative  deposition (CD, for
inorganics)  or  soil concentration (LC, for  organics and/or chemicals subject to
loss) and  linear uptake  response slope for crops (UC)  [Equations  (3-7, 3-8)].
The  AFC  is  calculated for the  deposition-soil-animal pathway  from the  soil
concentration  (LC)  and fraction of  soil  constituting the animal diet (FS) as
in Section 3.3.4.2.2.  [Equation  (3-10)].
     The AFC is then compared to the reference feed concentration (RFC,  in ug/g
DW)  in  a  sensitive herbivore.   Since AFC  is  actually the increase in  feed
concentration  resulting  from MWC emissions, it is compared with the RFC, which
is defined as follows:

                RFC  = TA-BC                                       Equation  (5-1)

October 1986                     5-3            DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
where:

     TA = threshold feed concentration in a sensitive herbivore (ug/g DW)
     BC = background concentration in feed crop (ug/g DW)

5.1.2.3   Input Parameter Requirements.   The  input parameters, LC and CD, were
defined in Section 3.3.1, UC was defined in Section 3.3.2.3, and FS was defined
in  Section  3.3.4.3.3.   The appropriate threshold feed concentration, TA, must
be  identified.  Procedures for  selecting  TA are discussed above  in  Section
5.1.6.  An  important  source of relevant data for inorganic chemicals is found
in  NRC (1980), "Mineral Tolerances  of  Domestic Animals."  Values of TA  are
needed for various types of herbivorous animals,  including grazing animals,
many birds and many small mammals.
5.1.2.4   Example Calculations
5.1.2.4.1  Cadmium.   The  calculated AFC for cadmium  for the uptake pathway,
as  described  in Section 3.3.4.4.1.1,  is 0.46  and 1.52  ug/g  for  30 and 100
years, respectively.  The AFC for the adherence pathway  for cadmium is 2.18 and
7o25  ug/g for 30  and  100  years,  respectively, calculated as described  in
Section 3.3.4.4.2.1.
      For  the  uptake pathway (deposition-soil-plant-animal  toxicity), a  wider
variety  of  herbivores  may  be  affected  than   for  the  adherence  pathway
(deposition-soil-animal), which affects only grazing animals.
    The  calculated AFC is compared with the reference feed concentration,. RFC,
determined  as the  threshold  concentration  (TA)  minus  the background
concentration (BC).   TA  is calculated as  a geometric  mean  of  levels  just
causing  and not causing an adverse effect as described in Section 5.1.6.   In a
48-week  study with chickens, feed concentrations of 3 and 12 ug Cd/g (added as
CdSO.) showed no adverse effect and decreased eggshell thickness, respectively
                                                   1/2
(Leach et al., 1979).   A geometric mean of (3 x 12)    = 6  ug Cd/g is calculated,
and represents the TA  for  the uptake pathway.  A BC of  0.1 ug Cd/g is typical
of  corn  grain.  An  RFC of 5.9  ug Cd/g is thus  derived.   The RFC is then
compared  with the  AFC for cadmium by this pathway.
      For  the  adherence pathway,  the available  data  for cadmium (U.S.  EPA,
1985c) does  not allow calculation of a TA.
5.1.2.4.2  Benzo(a)pyrene.   The AFC for B(a)P for the uptake pathway is calcu-
lated  as  4.96 x 10   ug/g  for  both 30 and 100 years, as described in Section
3.3.4.4.1.2.   Carcinogenicity  studies in mice  indicate  the TA for B(a)P to be
<40 ug/g (U.S. EPA, 1985d).  The RFC for B(a)P is 40 ug/g  (the TA) minus 0.005
.October  1986                      5-4             DRAFT—DO NOT  QUOTE OR CITE

-------
(the BC,  using a plant/soil ratio of 0.05 and a background soil concentration
of 0.01 ug/g DW) (Connor, 1984; U.S. EPA, 1985d) = 39.995 ug/g.
     The  AFC  for the adherence pathway  for  B(a)P  calculated as described in
Section 3.3.4.4.2.2  is 2.36 x 10"2 ug/g  for both 30 and 100 years.  The paucity
of data for toxicity of B(a)P in grazing animals prohibits the calculation of a
TA for the adherence pathway.

5.1.3  Deposition-Soil-Plant Toxicity Exposure Pathway
5.1.3.1   Assumptions.   The  assumptions  pertinent to this pathway  have  been
stated in Table  3-13.
5.1.3.2   Calculation Method.   This pathway involves the direct  comparison  of
deposition  rates or soil  concentrations of contaminants deposited  from MWC
emissions with a threshold phytotoxic application  (deposition)  rate or soil
concentration  of the pollutant.
5.1.3.3   Input Parameter Requirements.   The  appropriate deposition rate or soil
concentration  that corresponds to the threshold  level  for  adverse effects  in
plants must be selected.   The  threshold is  generally defined  in Section 5.1.6
as  the  geometric mean of the  lowest exposure  level causing,  and the highest
level not causing,  a significant adverse effect.  The most sensitive species is
used  for determination of  the threshold,  unless that species  appears  to be
unusally  sensitive and is  not  found in  the  area of concern.   Phytotoxicity of
metals  may be altered by  soil pH.  Phytotoxicity  data chosen  should  be
appropriate for the soil pH of the fallout region of the MWC,  if possible.
5.1.3.4   Example Calculations.   No  calculations are required for this pathway,
except in some cases to convert CD to LC.

5.1.4  Exposure Pathways for Toxicity to Soil  Biota and Their  Predators
     This  section   deals  with  two  pathways:   toxicity  to  soil  biota
(deposition-soil-soil  biota toxicity) and toxicity to  predators  of soil  biota
(deposition-soil-soil  biota-predator  toxicity).    As  explained  in Section
5.1.1.1.3,  the term "soil  biota"  refers  to a broad range  of  organisms  including
microorganisms and  various invertebrates  living  in  or on the  soil.   Their
predators similarly include a  variety  of  organisms.  The availability of data
determines what species  are considered.
5.1.4.1   Deposition-Soil-Soil  Biota Toxicity Exposure Pathway.  Procedures  for
this  pathway  are identical  to  those described for  phytotoxicity (Section 5.3),

October  1986                       5-5             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
except that  the  threshold levels pertain to effect  thresholds in soil biota
rather than  in plants.   "Adverse"  effects  can be particularly  difficult to
define where  microorganisms  are concerned.   It is assumed  that reductions in
soil microbial activity  or diversity that can be  attributed to the chemical
should be considered adverse in lieu of information to the contrary.  The depo-
sition rate  or soil  concentration is then compared with the threshold concen-
tration in the soil biota.
5.1.4.1.1  Example calculations.  This  pathway does  not require calculations,
except conversion of CD to LC.
5.1.4.2  Deposition-Soil-Soil Biota Predator Toxicity Exposure Pathway.
5.1.4.2.1  Assumptions.  In addition to many of the assumptions listed in Table
5-1, some  additional  assumptions relevant to this pathway are stated in Table
5-2.
5.1.4.2.2  Calculation method.    Calculations of  criteria for this pathway may
take either  of two forms, depending on the  type of  data available  concerning
contaminant  uptake  by  soil  biota.   If  uptake response  (increase  in
concentration) in  soil biota,  UB, can be expressed  in  terms  of  a contaminant
deposition rate, the predator intake is calculated as follows:

              RFC = CD x UB                                      Equation (5-2)
where:
     RFC = predator feed concentration (ug/g DW)
      CD = cumulative soil deposition of pollutant (kg/ha)
      UB = uptake response slope in soil biota (ug/g [kg/hg]"1)

     If the  chemical  is  not subject to degradation  or  loss  in soil,  PFC  is  a
cumulative concentration.  If  soil  biota response is measured in  terms of a
soil concentration, the following equation is used:

              PFC = LCT x UB                                     Equation (5-3)
where:
     LCj = maximal soil concentration of pollutant at time, T  (ug/g DW)
      UB = uptake response slope in soil biota (ug/g [ug/g]"J).

     LC represents cumulative soil concentration (above background) due to emis-
sions from MWC.  The PFC is then compared with a reference feed concentration,

October 1986                      5-6             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR  CITE

-------
                        TABLE  5-1.  ASSUMPTIONS FOR ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS FOR TERRESTRIAL FOOD CHAIN
      Functional Area
       Assumptions
   Ranri fi cati ons/Lirai tati ons
    Toxicity thresholds
    for nonhuman organisms
All inhibitory effects should be
considered adverse.
                               The geometric mean of exposure
                               levels bracketing the appearance
                               of an adverse effect should be
                               used as the threshold.

                               The form of a contaminant used
                               in a study should not be con-
                               sidered equally bioavailable
                               and toxic as form in soil, unless
                               suitable data using soil are not
                               available.
Some "inhibitory" changes might not
significantly affect the individual
survival or population dynamics.
Conversely, some ecologically important
effects might not be observed in toxicity
tests.

The true threshold may lie at any point
between these two levels, and may be over-
or underpredicted by this method.
                                     Availability of chemicals in soil or
                                     deposited on soil may differ; particularly,
                                     it may be lower, so that toxicity is over-
                                     predicted.
01

-xl

-------
               TABLE  5-2.   ASSUMPTIONS 'FOR  DEPOSITION-SOIL-SOIL BIOTA-PREDATOR TOXICITY EXPOSURE PATHWAY
       Functional  Area
           Assumptions
   Ramifications/Limitations
     Contaminant  uptake  by
     soil  biota
     Use  of  available  data
     to protect  a  variety
     of species
Response in tissues of soil biota
can be represented by a linear
function.

It is assumed that use of the
highest available response slope
in soil biota and the lowest
available dietary threshold in
predators will result in protection
of untested species.
Probably oversimplifies a more
complex relationship.
This conservative assumption could
be overprotective of some species;
the extent to which it underprotects
others is unknown.  A "match" of
data for a consumed organism and its
predator usually is not possible.
en
i
00

-------
RFC, for  the predator  (ug/g DW), determined as the  threshold  concentration
(TA) minus the background concentration (BB) in the soil biota.
5.1.4.2.3  Input parameter requirements.
     5.1.4.2.3.1  Uptake response slope in soil biota (UB).  UB may take any of
several forms,  depending on the characteristics of the chemical  and the  data
available.   UB  is  derived  by linear  regression of tissue concentration  by
either contaminant  deposition rate or soil concentration.  Two or more points
are needed  to derive the slope  for  inorganics,  while for organic compounds  a
single data pair can be used to  derive a bioconcentration factor for plants and
animal tissues.
  ,   The  highest  available  uptake response slope will be used to estimate the
level  of  dietary contamination  to which  predators  of soil biota would  be
subject.  This  fact is important when evaluating  data  for earthworms.   Some
studies distinguish between contaminant physiologically absorbed and that which
is  due  to gut contents or soil  contamination of the sample.  There is no need
to  distinguish  between absorbed and unabsorbed contaminants, since a predator
would  ingest the  gut contents as well  as  the rest of the organism.   Whenever
possible, analyses  used should be based on the whole organism.
     5.1.4.2.3.2  Threshold feed concentration  for the  predator (TA).   A  wide
variety of organisms  may  prey  on  soil  invertebrates, including  birds and
insectivorous  mammals.   For  a  given chemical, information on subchronic  or
chronic toxicity  for  oral  administration may  be  available for only a few
species,  and thus the value chosen for the threshold  feed concentration may  be
for a  species  not  actually preying on soil biota.   In general,  the lowest
dietary adverse effect level and the no adverse effect  level found for birds or
small mammals are used to determine the threshold.   The threshold is calculated
as  outlined  in Section 5.1.5.
5.1.4.2.4  Example  calculations.
     5.1.4.2.4.1  Cadmiurn.   The predator feed concentration (RFC) for cadmium
is  calculated using Equation 5-2:

                                  RFC = CD x UB

where:
     CD = cumulative soil deposition of pollutant  (kg/ha)
     UB = uptake  response slope  in soil biota (ug/g[kg/ha]  i)
October 1986                       5-9             DRAFT-DO  NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
     CD  is  3.26 and  10.88  kg/ha for  30  and 100 years,  respectively,  for
cadmium, and the UB  is 13.7 ug Cd/g (kg/ha]"1 (U.S.  EPA,  1985c).   The RFC for
cadmium is:

    For 30 years, RFC = 3.26 kg/ha x 13.7  ug/g (kg/ha)"1 = 44.66 ug/g
    For 100 years,  RFC = 10.88 kg/ha x 13.7 ug/g (kg/ha)"1 = 149.06 ug/g

     The RFC is compared with the RFC for  cadmium by this  pathway.   The RFC for
cadmium  is  1.2  ug/g  based on a TA  of  6 ug/g (see Section  5.1.2.4.1)  and a
background in soil  biota of 4.8 ug/g (U.S.  EPA,  1985c).
     5.1.4.2.4.2  Benzo(a)pyrene.   Lack of  data availability "for UB of B(a)P
prohibits calculation of a RFC.
5.2.   SURFACE RUNOFF AND GROUNDWATER MODELS
5.2.1  General Considerations
     Toxic pollutants that  end  up in surface or groundwater can cause adverse
health or environmental  effects in several  ways:

1.   Adverse  effects  on fish and  other  biota inhabiting streams, lakes and
     estuaries.  For  example,  if  the concentration of a particular pollutant
     exceeds a certain reference value, fish and other biota will either die or
     experience  some  other  adverse effects  (reproductive  effects,  growth
     retardation, etc.).
2.   Adverse  effects  on  wildlife  consuming fish from polluted surface waters.
     Some pollutants  may accumulate in surface water biota (bioaccumulation).
     Although these pollutants  may not cause problems in fish and other water
     biota, they may  adversely  affect  animals consuming  such  polluted fish  and
     other biota.

5.2.1.1   Aquatic Life Protection.    For  protection  of aquatic  life  from
long-term effects, the  AWQC should be  used (Federal  Register,  1980).   The AWQC
contains two  concentrations,  one  that should not  be  exceeded at any  time and
another  that  should  not  be exceeded, on  an average, in a 24-hour period.
Criteria for  acute exposures normally utilize tests of 96-hour  duration or
less.   For  chemicals  for which criteria are  not  available,  the literature
should  be  evaluated  to  determine  whether  useful data have become  available
since the AWQC  was developed.  The concentration  increase  of a pollutant  in
surface  water (Ci) or  groundwater (X..) due  to  MWC  should be added  to the

October 1986                      5-10            DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
existing background  concentration  and then compared with the AWQC in order to
evaluate whether risk to aquatic life exists.
5.2.1.2  Wildlife  Protection.   The comparison of Ci  or X.  (plus  the  background
concentration) with  AWQC should also suffice to evaluate potential for  effects
on wildlife,  since the AWQC are designed to prevent chronic toxicity in wild-
life that consume  aquatic organisms  (U.S. EPA, 1984e); however, for many chemi-
cals, sufficient data on wildlife  toxicity were not available for incorporation
in AWQC derivation.  Therefore, toxicity thresholds applicable to wildlife spe-
cies that  prey on aquatic organisms should be determined.   Threshold feed  con-
centrations   (AFC   in   ug/g   wet  weight)   in  wildlife   species
should be divided  by the BCF (in £/kg) to determine a new estimate of AWQC.  If
lower than the previous  value,  this  number should be substituted for evaluation
of wildlife effects.
 October 1986                      5-11            DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                                6.  REFERENCES
Anonymous.  (1985)  Update:  resource  recovery activities  report.  Waste Age.


Banner, L.  H.;  Wilson, A. J.; Sheppard, J. M.; Parick, J. M.; Goodman, L R.;
     Walsh,  G.  E.   (1977)  Kepone, bioconcentration,  accumulation,  loss and
     transfer through  estuarine food chains. Chesapeake Sci. 18: 297-308.

Ballschmidter,  K.  (1984)  Distribution of polychlorodibenzodioxins and - furan
     emissions  between particulates,  flue gas condensate and impinger adsorp-
     tion  in stack gas sampling.  Presented  at  the  international  symposium on
     chlorinated dioxins and related compounds; October; Ottawa, Canada.

Bellin, J.;  Barnes, D. (1986) Procedures for estimating risks associated with
     exposures  to  mixtures of chlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans.
     Prepared for  Risk Assessment Forum, U.S. EPA, Washington, D.C.

Binder, S.;  Sokal,  D.; Maughan, D. (1985) Estimating the amount of soil ingest-
     ed by young children through trace elements. Draft. Atlanta, GA: Centers
     for  Disease Control,  Center for Environmental  Health, Special  Studies
     Branch.

Bogert,  L. J.;  Biggs, G.  M.; Calloway,  D.  H. (1973)  Nutrition  and  physical
     fitness, 9th  ed.  Philadelphia, PA: W. B. Saunders Co.; p. 578.

Bossert,  I.  D.; Bartha, R.  (1986) Structure-biodegradability relationships  of
     polycyclic aromatic  hydrocarbons in soil.  Bull.  Environ.  Contam. Toxicol.
     37: 490-495.

Briggs,  C. A.  (1971)  Some  recent analyses  of  plume  rise observations. In:
     Proceedings of the second international clean air congress.  New York, NY:
     Academic Press.

Briggs, G.  A.  (1975) Plume rise predictions. In:  Lectures on air pollution and
     environmental  impact  analysis. Boston,  Massachusetts:  American Meteorolog-
     ical  Society.

California Air  Resources Board (CARB). (1984) Air pollution control at  resource
     recovery facilities.

Campbell,  G. S.  (1974) A simple method for determining unsaturated conductivity
     from  moisture  retention data. Soil Sci. 117: 311-314.
October 1986                          6-1              DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
Clayton, J. R.;  Pavlou,  S.  P.;   Breitner,  N.  F.  (1977) Polychlorlnated biphen-
     yls in coastal  marine  zooplankton:  bioaccumulation by equilibrium parti-
     tioning.  Environ. Sci.  technol. 11:  676-682.

Connor, M.  S.  (1984) Monitoring sludge-amended agricultural soils. Biocycle  25:
     47-51.

Council  for  Agricultural Science  and Technology  (CAST).  (1980) Effects  of
     sewage sludge  on the cadmium and zinc content  of crops.  Washington, DC:
     U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; EPA report no. EPA-600/8-81-003.

Czuczwa, J. M.;  Hites, R. (1984) Environmental fate of combustion - generated
     polychlorinated dioxins and furans.  Environ. Sci. Technol. 20: 444-450.

Deutsch, W. J.;  Krupka,  K.  M. (1985) MINTEQ  geochemical  code:  compilation of
     thermodynamic  database  for  the aqueous  species,  gases,  and solids  con-
     taining  chromium, mercury,  selenium, and  thallium.  Draft. Battelle
     Memorial Institute.

Domalski,  E.  S.; Ledford,  A.  E.;  Bruce,  S.  S.; Churney, K. L.  (1986)  The
     chlorine content of municipal  solid waste from  Baltimore County,  Maryland
     and Brooklyn,  New York.  In:  Proceedings  of 1986 national  waste processing
     conference; June; Denver, CO. The American Society of Mechanical Engineers;
     pp. 435-448.

Donahue, R. L.; Miller, R. W.; Shickluna, I. C. (1983) Soils, 5th ed. Englewood
     Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, Inc.

Dowdy,  R.  H.;  Larson, W. E. (1975) The availability of sludge-borne metals  to
     various vegetable crops. J.  Environ. Qua!. 4: 278-282.

Federal  Register.  (1980) Water quality criteria documents. Availability.  F.R.
     (November) 45: 79318-79379.

Federal  Register. (1985)  National primary drinking water regulations; synthetic
     organic chemicals,  inorganic  chemicals and microorganisms, proposed rule.
     F.  R. (November  13)  50: 46936-47022.

Federal  Register.  (1986) Guidelines  for carcinogen  risk assessment.  F.  R.
     (September 24) 51: 33992-34003.

Feldman, R. J.;  Maibach, H. I. (1974) Percutaneous penetration of  some pesti-
     cides and herbicides in man. Toxicol. Appl. Pharmacol. 28:  126-132.

Felmy,  A.  R.;  Brown, S.   M.; Onishi,  Y.;  Yabusaki, S. B.; Argo,  R.  S.  (1983)
     MEXAMS —  the  metals exposure analysis  modeling system.  Washington, DC:
     U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency.

Felmy,  A .R.;  Girvin, D. C.; Jenne,  E. A.  (1984)  MINTEQ  — a computer  program
     for  calculating  aqueous  geochemical  equilibria.  Washington,  DC:  U.S.
     Environmental  Protection Agency; EPA  report no.  EPA-600/3-84-032.

Food and Drug  Administration (FDA).  (1980a)  FY77  Diet studies  -  infants and
     toddlers (7320.74).  FDA Bureau of Foods.  October 22.


October 1986                          6-2              DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
Food and  Drug Administration (FDA).  (1980b)  FY77  total  diet studies - adult
     I/3ZO.73). FDA Bureau of Foods.  December 11.

Food and  Drug Administration (FDA).  (1981) Documentation of the revised total
     diet study food  lists and diets. NTIS PB 82 192154. Springfield, VA.

Franklin, W.  E.;  Franklin, M.  A.; Hunt, R.  G. (1982) Waste-paper -- the future
     of  a resource,  1980-2000.  Prepared for the Solid Waste Council of  the
     paper industry.  Prairie Village, Kansas.

Frounfelker,  R.  (1979) A technical  environmental  and economic evaluation of
     small modular incinerator systems with heat recovery.  Prepared by  Systems
     Technology  Corp.  for  U.S.  EPA,  Cincinnati,  Ohio.  EPA contract  no.
     68-01-3889.

Graedel,  T.  E.;  Franey, J. P. (1977) Field measurements of sub-micron aerosol
     washout  by  rain. In:  Proceedings  of the symposium on precipitation scav-
     enging;  1974. ERDA Symp. Ser.  41:  503-523.

Hagernmaier,  H.  (1986) Preliminary letter report:  air emissions testing at the
     Martin  GMBH  waste-to-energy  facility  in  Wurzburg,  West  Germany.
     Unpublished.

Hahn,  J. L.  (1986)   Air emissions testing at  the Wurzburg, West  Germany
     waste-to-energy  facility.  Presented at  the  annual  meeting  of the Air
     Pollution Control Association;  June.

Haile,  C.  L.; Blair, R.;  Lucas,  R.;  Walker,  T. (1984) Assessment of emissions
     of  specific  compound  from a refuse fired waste-to-energy system.  Prepared
     by  Midwest  Research  Institute  for the U.S.  EPA;  EPA  report no.
     EPA-560/5-84-002.

Haith,  D.  A.  (1980)  A mathematical  model  for estimating pesticide  losses in
     runoff.  J. Environ. Quality  9:  428-433.

Hart,  Fred C. and Associates.  (1984)  Assessment  of  potential  public  health
     impacts  associated with predicted emissions  of polychlorinated dibenzo-
     dioxins  and  polychlorinated  dibenzofurans  from the Brooklyn  navy yard.
     resource  recovery facility.  Prepared for the  New York City Department of
     Sanitation.

Hawley,  J.  K. (1985) Assessment  of health  risk from exposure to contaminated
     soil. Risk Analysis 5: 289-302.

Huber,  A.  H.; Snyder, W.  H.  (1976) Building wake effects on short stack efflu-
     ents. In: Preprint volume for the  third  symposium on atmospheric diffusion
     and  air  quality. Boston, Massachusetts:  American Meteorological Society.

Huber,  A. H.  (1977)  Incorporating  building/terrain  wake effects  on  stack
     effluents. In: Preprint volume for the joint  conference on applications  of
     air  pollution meteorology.  Boston, Massachusetts:  American Meteorological
     Society.
October 1986                          6-3              DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC).  (1983) Polynuclear aromatic
     compounds.  Part 1:  Chemical,  environmental,  and experimental data. Lyon,
     France:  International Agency for Research on Cancer.

Kimbrough, R. D.;  Falk,  H.;  Stehr,  P.;  Fries,  G.  (1984)  Health implications of
     2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzodioxin (TCDD) contamination of residential soil.
     J. Toxicol. Environ. Health 14: 47-93.

Klicius,  R.;  Hay,  0.  J.;  Finkelstein,  A.  (1986) The  national incineration
     testing and evaluation  program.  An assessment of A)  two-stage  incinera-
     tion, B) pilot  scale emission  control.  Presented  for use  of  EPA's  Science
     Advisory Board by Environment Canada, Ottawa, Ontario.

Leach, R. M., Jr.;   Wang, K. W. L;  Baker,  D.  E.  (1979) Cadmium  and the food
     cham:  The  effect of dietary  cadmium on tissue composition in chicks and
     laying hens. J.  Nutr. 109:  437. (Cited in U.S.  EPA,  1985c).

Lee, R.  F.;  Ryan,  C.;  Neuhausan, M.  L.  (1976) Fate  of petroleum  hydrocarbons
     taken up from  food and water by the blue crab,  Callinectes sapidus. Mar.
     Biol. 37: 363-370.

Lepow, M.  L; Gillette,  M.; Markowitz,  S.;  Robino, R.; Kapish, J.  (1975)
     Investigations into  sources of lead in the environment  of urban children.
     Environ. Res.  10:  415-426.

Logan, T.  J.; Chaney,  R.  L.  (1983) Utilization of municipal  wastewater and
     sludge  on  land  -- metals.  In:   Proceedings of the workshop on utilization
     of  municipal wastewater and sludge on land.  Riverside,  CA: University of
     California; p. 235-323.

Lu, F. C.  (1983) Toxicological  evaluations of carcinogens and noncarcinogens.
     Pros and cons  of different approaches.  Reg.  Toxicol.  Pharmacol.  3:
     121-132.

Maibach,  H.  I.;  Feldmann,  R. J.; Milby,  T.  H.; Serat, W. F. (1971) Regional
     variation  in percutaneous  penetration  in man.  Arch.  Environ. Health 23:
     208-211.

Marcelle, C.; Thome, J.  P. (1984) Relative importance of dietary and environ-
     mental   sources of lindane  in  fish.  Bull.  Environ.  Contam.  Toxicol. 33:
     423-429.

MEA, Inc. (1982) East  Helena source  apportionment  study.  Particulate source
     apportionment using  the chemical mass balance  receptor model.  Volume 1,
     Draft Report.  Prepared for the Department of  Health and Environmental
     Sciences, State of Montana.

Ministry  of  the  Environment,  Ontario,  Canada.  (1985)  Scientific  criteria
     document for  standard development,  no. 4-84. Polychlorinated  dibenzo-p-
     dioxins (PCDDs) and polychlorinated  dibenzofurans (PCDFs).

Morrey,  J. R. (1985)  PRODEF: A code  to facilitate the use of  the geochemical
     code MINTEQ. Draft. Battelle Memorial Institute.
October 1986                         6-4             DRAFT—DO NOT QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
National Research Council  (NRC).  (1980)  Mineral  tolerances of  domestic  animals.
     Washington, DC: Subcommittee on  mineral  toxicity  in  animals.

National Research  Council (NRC).  (1984)  Mitigative  techniques and  analysis  of
     generic  site  conditions  for groundwater contamination  associated with
     severe accidents. Battelle  Memorial  Institute.  P. 3.33.

Neeley,  W.  B.; Bronson,  D.  R.;  Blau, G. E.  (1974)  Partition  coefficient to
     measure  bioconcentration potential  of organic chemicals  in fish. Environ.
     Sci. Technol. 8:  1113-1115.

Nelson, W. E.; et al., Eds.  (1969) Textbook of pediatrics, 9th ed.  Philadelphia,
     PA: W. B. Saunders  Co.  (Cited in Bogert  et  al., 1973).

New  York State Department of  Environmental Conservation  (NYDEC). (1986)  Emis-
     sion  source  test  report  ~ preliminary  test on  Westchester  RESCO
     (Peekskill, N.Y.).

Norstrom,  R.  J.;  McKinnon,  A. E.; DeFrietas, A.  S.  W. (1976)  A bioenergetics-
     based  model  for  pollutant accumulation by fish.   Simulation  of  PCB
     and  methylmercury  residue  levels in  Ohawa River yellow perch (Perca
     flavescens). J. Fish. Res.  Board Can.  33: 248-267.

0'Flaherty,  E.  J.  (1981) Toxicants and drugs. Kinetics and dynamics. New York,
     NY: John Wiley  and  Sons.

Page,  A.  L.; Logan, T.  J.;  Summers,  L.  E. (1986) Report of  the workshop on
     effects  of sewage  sludge quality and  soil  properties on plant uptake of
     sludge-applied  trace contaminants.  November 1985; Las Vegas, NV. Draft.

Pennington,  J.  A.  T.  (1983) Revision of the total  diet  study food list and
     diets.  J. Am. Diet. Assoc.  82: 166-173.

Poiger,  H.;  Schlatter, C.  (1980) Influence  of solvents and adsorbents on  dermal
     and intestinal  adsorption of TCDD.  Food  Cosmet. Toxicol.   18:  477-481.

Radke,  L.  F.;  Hobbs,  P. V.;  Eltgroth,  M.  W.  (1980)  Scavenging of aerosol
     particles by precipitation. J. Appl. Meteorol.  19: 715-722.

Rappe,  C.;  Ballschmidter, K.  (1986)  The chemistry of dioxins. Working paper
     prepared for the World Health  Organization working group on  risks to
     health  of dioxins  from incineration of sewage  sludge and municipal waste,
     March;  Naples,  Italy.

Roels,  H.  A.; Buchet, J.  P.;  Lauwerys,  R.  R. (1980)  Exposure to lead  by the
     oral  and pulmonary  routes  of children living in the vicinity of a primary
     lead  smelter. Environ.  Res. 22:  81-94.

Ryan,  J.  A.; Pahren,  H.  R.; Lucas,  J. B.  (1982) Controlling  cadmium in the
     human food chain. A review  and rationale based  on health  effects.  Environ.
     Res. 28:  251-302.
October  1986                          6-5             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
Scott Environmental  Services.  (1985)  Sampling and analysis  of chlorinated
     organic emissions from  the  Hampton waste-to-energy system.  Prepared for
     the Bionetics Corporation.

Society of Actuaries  (1959)  Build and blood pressure  study.  (Cited in Bogert
     et al., 1973).

Stephan, C.  E.  (1980) [Memorandum to  J.  F.  Stara]  Duluth,  MM:  U.S.  Environmen-
     tal Protection Agency, Environmental Research Center; July 30.

Swackhamer,  D.  L. (1986)  Estimation  of the atmospheric and nonatmospheric
     contributions and losses of polychlorinated biphenyls for Lake Michigan on
     the basis  of sediment records of remote lakes. Environ.  Sci.  Techno!:  20:
     879-883.

Telford, J.  N.;  Thonney,  M.  L.;  Hogue, D. E.; et al.  (1982) lexicological
     studies in  growing  sheep  fed silage corn cultured  on municipal sludge-
     amended acid subsoil.  J.  Toxicol. Environ.  Health  10:  73-85.  (Cited in
     U.S. EPA, 1985c).

Thorton, I.; Abrams,  P.  (1983) Soil  ingestion: a major pathway of heavy metals
     into livestock grazing contaminated land.  Sci. Total Environ. 28: 287-294.

Turner, D.  B.  (1970)  Workbook  of atmospheric dispersion  estimates.  Cincinnati,
     Ohio:  U.S.  Department of  Health, Education  and  Welfare,  National Air
     Pollution Control Administration; PHS publication no. 999-AP-26.

U.S.  Department  of  Agriculture  (USDA). (1966)  Household food  consumption
     Survey, 1965-1966. Report 12. Food consumption of households in the United
     States,  seasons  and  year 1965-1966.   Washington,  DC: U.S.  Government
     Printing Office.

U.S.  Department  of  Agriculture   (USDA).   (1975)  Composition  of foods.
     Agricultural Handbook No.  8.

U.S.  Department of Agriculture  (USDA).  (1984) Food consumption,  price,  and
     expenditure  1963-1983.  National  Economic Division.  Economic Research
     Service. November.

U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). (1985)  Food and nutrient intakes:  indi-
     viduals in  four  regions,  1977-1978. Report 1-3.  Nationwide Food Consump-
     tion Survey, 1977-1978. July.

U.S. Department of Commerce (1985). Fisheries of the United States, April 1985.
     Current fisheries statistics  no.  8360. Washington,  DC.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency. (1977) User's manual  for single source
     (CRSTER)  model.  Research  Triangle   Park,   NC.   EPA report   no.
     EPA-450/2-77-013.

U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.  (1980a) Environmental  assessment  of  a
     waste-to-energy  process.  Braintree municipal incinerator.  Prepared by
     Midwest Research Institute  for Industrial Environmental  Research  Labora-
     tory; EPA  report no.  EPA-600/7-80-149.


October 1986                 .         6-6             DRAFT—DO  NOT  QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1980b) Ambient  water quality criteria
     document for hexachlorocyclohexane. Cincinnati, OH:  Environmental Criteria
     and Assessment Office; Cincinnati, OH.  EPA  report  no.  EPA-440/5-80-054.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1980c) Ambient  water quality criteria
     for  polynuclear  aromatic hydrocarbons.  Cincinnati OH:  Environmental
     Criteria and Assessment  Office;  EPA report  no. EPA-440/5-80-069.

U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1980d)  Seafood consumption  data
     analysis:  final  report.   Prepared by  SRI  International, Menlo Park, CA,
     under contract no.  68-01-3887. U.S. EPA, Washington, DC.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1982) Dermatotoxicity. Washington, DC:
     Office   of  Pesticides  and  Toxic  Substances;   EPA  report  no.
     EPA-560/11-82-002.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency- (1983a) Comprehensive  assessment of the
     specific compounds  present in combustion processes. Volume I. Pilot study
     of  combustion  emissions. Prepared by Midwest  Research Institute  for the
     Office of  Toxic  Substances; EPA  report  no.  EPA-560/5-85-004.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  (1983b) Evaluation  of HC1 and chlorinated
     organic  compound emissions  from refuse-fired waste-to-energy  systems.
     Prepared  by  Scott  Environmental  Services  for Environmental  Sciences
     Research Laboratory Research  Triangle Park, NC.

U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.  (1984a)  Performance  evaluation of
     full-scale hazardous  waste incinerators.  Volume II. Prepared by  Midwest
     Research Institute  for Incineration Research Branch, Cincinnati, Ohio. EPA
     contract no. 68-02-3177.

U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1984b)  Health  effects assessment for
     polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons  (PAHs).  Cincinnati,  OH: Environmental
     Criteria and Assessment  Office;  EPA report  no. EPA-540/1-86-013.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1984c) Air  quality  criteria for lead.
     Research Triangle Park,  NC: Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office;
     EPA report no. EPA-600/8-83-0288.

U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency.   (1984d) Risk  analysis  of TCDD
     contaminated  soil.  Washington,  DC:  Office of Health  and Environmental
     Assessment; EPA  report no.  EPA-600/8-84-031.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  (1984e) Guidelines  for deriving numerical
     national water  quality criteria  for  the  protection of aquatic organisms
     and their  uses.  Available from NTIS,  Springfield,  VA;  PB85-121101.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1985a) Municipal waste combustion study
     data  gathering phase.  Preliminary Draft.  Prepared  by Radian Corp.  for
     Office of  Air Quality  Planning and Standards;  EPA  contract no. 68-02-3818.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1985b) Health  assessment  document for
     polychlorinated  dibenzo-p-dioxins. Office  of Health  and Environmental
     Assessment; EPA  report no.  EPA-600/8-84/014F.


October  1986                          6-7             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. (1985c) Environmental profiles and  hazard
     indices  for constituents of municipal  sludge:  cadmium.  Washington,  DC:
     Office of Water Regulations and Standards.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. (1985d) Environmental profiles and  hazard
     indices  for constituents  of municipal  sludge:  benzo(a)pyrene. Washington,
     DC: Office  of Water Regulations and Standards.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. (1985e) Technical support for development
     of  guidance on hydrogeologic  criterion for hazardous waste management
     facility  location.  Cincinnati,  OH:  Hazardous Waste Environmental  Research
     Laboratory. Draft.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1985f) Ambient water  quality  criteria
     for cadmium — 1984. EPA report no. EPA-440/5-84/032.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. (1986a) Characterization of  the municipal
     waste combustion  industry.  Final  report.  Prepared by Radian Corp.  for the
     Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards; EPA contract no. 68-02-3889.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1986b) Characterization of stack  emis-
     sions  from  municipal  refuse-to-energy  systems.  Prepared by Battelle
     Columbus  Laboratories  for Atmospheric Sciences Research  Laboratory; EPA
     report no.  EPA-600/3-86/055.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1986c) Engineering analysis report --
     national dioxin study TIER 4-combustion sources. Draft report. Prepared by
     Radian Corp.  for  Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards;  EPA report
     no. EPA-450/4-84-014h.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1986d) Development of  risk assessment
     methodology for  municipal  sludge  incineration.  Prepared for Office of
     Water Regulations  and  Standards by the Environmental Criteria and Assess-
     ment Office - Cincinnati, Ohio; ECAO-CIN-486. Final  report.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1986e) Industrial source complex  (ISC)
     dispersion  model   user's  guide-second edition. Office  of Air  Quality
     Planning and Standards; EPA report no. EPA-450/4-86-005a.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency.  (1986f) User's  manual  for the  human
     exposure model (HEM).  Office of Air Quality  Planning and Standards; EPA
     report no.  EPA-450/5-86-001.

U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1986g) Environmental  news release,
     August 25,  1986  announcing the publication of risk  assessment guidelines
     to evaluate the public health risk of environmental  pollutants.

U.S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.  (1986h) Development of  risk assessment
     methodology for land application and distribution and marketing of munici-
     pal sludge.  Prepared  by the Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office,
     Cincinnati, OH for the Office of Water Regulations and Standards,  Washing-
     ton, DC.  Draft Final'.
October 1986                         6-8             DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. (1986i) Development  of risk assessment
     methodology  for  municipal  sludge   landfill ing.  Prepared  by  the
     Environmental  Criteria and  Assessment Office, Cincinnati,  OH for the
     Office of Water Regulations  and  Standards, Washington, DC. Draft Final.

Van Genuchton, M. (1985) Concentive-dispersive transport of solutes involved  in
     sequential first-order decay reactions. J. Computers Geosci. 11: 129-147.

Veith,  G.  D.; Foe,  D.  L.; Bergstedt, B.  V. (1979) Measuring and estimating the
     bioconcentration  factor of chemicals  in fish.  J.  Fish. Res.  Board Can. 36:
     1040-1048.

Veith,  G.  D.; Macek, K. J.;  Petrocelli, S.  R.; Carroll, J.  (1980) An evaluation
     of using partition coefficients and water solubility to estimate BCFs for
     organic  chemicals in  fish. In:  Eaton,  J. G.;  Parrish,  P.  R.; Hendricks,  A.
     C., eds. Aquatic  toxicology, pp. 116-129. ASTM STP 707.

Williams,  F.  R.  (1975) Sediment  and  yield prediction with universal  equation
     using runoff energy  factor. In present and  prospective technology for
     predicting sediment yields and  sources. USDA  ARS-S-40.

Wischmeier, W.  H.;  Smith, D. D.   (1978) Predicting rainfall erosion losses — a
     guide to conservation planning.  USDA  Handbook No. 537.

Wolf,  M.  A.;  Dana, M.  T.   (1969)  Experimental studies on precipitation scaveng-
     ing.  Battelle-Northwest annual   report. USAEC report BNWL - 1051 (Part 1),
     18-25.

Yoram,  C.  (1986) Organic pollutant  transport. Improved  multimedia modeling
     techniques  are the key  to predicting the  environmental  fate of organic
     pollutants.  Environ.  Sci. Techno!. 20:  538.
October 1986                         6-9             DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
                                  APPENDIX A
     Organic and inorganic emissions from a mass burning MWC recently reported
in:   U.S.  EPA, 1986b.
 October 1986                        A"1         DRAFT-DO NOT QUOTE  OR CITE

-------
TABLE A-l.   ELEMENTAL COMPOSITION OF PARTICULATE
     STACK EMISSIONS FROM MASS BURNING UNIT3
Element(b)
H+
L1
Be
8
O
N+
F
Na*
Mg*
Al*
Si*
P*
S*
£1*
K*
•Ca*
Sc
T1*
V
Cr*
Mn*
Fe*
Co
N1*
Cu*
Zn*
Sa
Ge
As*
Se
8r*
Rb
SP
Y
Zr
Nb
MO
Tes^t
ng/g
4000
10
0.05
30
254000
<1000
80
46800
4900
23700
53100
4900
22600
136000
60000
36200
<3
9200
40
500
900
7900
20
400
780
44000
30
10
300
<30
1700
100
70
4
60
6
20
No. 1
tig/dscm
2100
5
0.03
16 •
135000
<530
40
24800
2600
12600
28100
2600
12000
72100
31800-
19200
<2
48800
20
270
480
4190
11
210
410
23300
16
5
160
<16
900
53
37
2
32
3
11
Test
.H9/9
3000
10
0.03
30
191000
<1000
200
40500
6200
27700
64200
6200
27200
110800
69600
50400
<3
9900
100
450
980
8400
40
400
770
26600
30
10
130
<30
1300
70
50
2
30
4
20
No. 2
ng/dson
1490
5
0.01
15
94700
<500
100
20100
3080
13700
31800
3080
13500
55000
34500
25000
<1
4910
50
220
490
4170
20
200
380
13200
15
5
64
<15
640
35
25
1
15
2
10
Test
ng/9
3000-
, 20
0.03
60
235000
<1000
80
46100
5600
26500
65600
5900
20300
125000
55200
42400
<3
8200
40
560
850
9000
40
400
950
30000
15
10
710
. <30
1500
100
50
2
20
2
15
No. 3
tig/dscm
2000
13
0.02
40
157000
<670
50
30900
3570
17700
43900
• 3950
13600
83700
36900
28400
<2
5490
27
370
570
6020'
27
270
640
20100
10
7
480
<20
1000
67
33
1
13
1
10
                    A-2

-------
                         TABLE A-l.   (continued)
El em
Ru
Rh
Pd
Ag
Cd*
In
Sn*
Sb*
Te
I
Cs
Ba*
La
Ce
Pr
Nd
Sm
Eu
Sd
Tb
Oy
Ho
Er
Tm
Yb
Lu
Hf
Ta
U
Re
Os
Ir
Pt
Au
Tl
Pb*
81
Th
U
(a)

(b)
.nt(b) J6St
entvu/ i*g/g ;
O.6
<8
<2
150
970
40
5000
880
O.6
20
5
2900
4
10
2
20
<1
O.4
O.6
0.2
O.6
0.2
O.4
O.2
<1.5
O.2
<3
O.4
O.6
O.4
O.6
O.4
O.6
O.2
1
20700
150
O.4
0.2
Reported as tig
cubic meter of
No. 1
WJ/dson
0.3
<3
<1
80
510
21
2650
470
0.3
11
2
1540
3
5
1
11
O.5-
O.2
O.3
O.I
O.3
0.1
O.2
0.1
O.8
0.1
<2
O.2
0.3*
O.2
O.3
0.2
O.3
0.1
0.5
11000
80
0.2
O.I
of element/gram of
stack gas
Test
w/g
0.6
<6
<2
100
780
40
4300
740
•O.5
15
5
980
4
10
2
10
<1
O.4
O.6
0.2
O.6
O.2
O.4
0.2
<1.5
O.2
<3
O.4
O.6
O.4
O.6
O.4
O.6
0.2
3
14400
40
O.4
0.2
fly ash

No. 2
(ig/dson
0.3
<3
<1 '
50
390
20
2130
370
0.3
7
2
490
2
5
1
5
O.5
O.2
O.3
0.1
O.3
0.1
O.2
O.I
0.7
O.I
<1
O.2
0.3
O.2
0.3
O.2
O.3
0.1
<1
7140
20
0.2
0.1
and i*g of

Test
M/9
0.6
<6
<2
' 40
910
20
3600
990
O.6
6
2
1300
2
2
1
10

O.4
O.6
O.2
O.6
O.2
O.4
O.2
<1.5
0.2
<3
O.4
O.6
O.4
0.6
O.4
O.6
0.2
1
16000
60
O.4-
O.2
No. 3
jig/dson
O.4
<4

27
610
13
2410
660
O.4
4
1
870
1
1
0.5
7
O.7
O.3
O.4
O.I
O.4
0.1
O.3
o.r

O.I
<2
O.3
O.4
O.3
O.4
0.3
O.4
O.L
0.5
10700
40
O.3
O.I
element/dry, standard


+ Elements determined by combustion with Perkln Elmer 240 Analyzer
* Elements determined by XRF
AIT other elements determined  by  spark source mass spectrometry.
                                 A-3

-------
               TABLE A-2.   PAH CONCENTRATIONS IN STACK EMISSIONS  FROM MASS  BURNING  UNIT
Concentration In Stack Emissions. ng/dscm(*)
Test No,
Compound
Naphthalene
Methyl Naphthalenes
D (methyl naphthal enes
Acenaphthene
Acenaphthylene
Fluorene
Phenanthrene/Anthracene
Methyl Phenanthrene/Anthracene
Fluor anthene
Pyrene
Benzo(a)anthracene/chrysene
Benzo(a)pyrene
Benzo(e)pyrene
Perylene
Benzo(b or k)f luoranthene
Indenol(l,2.3.-cd)pyrene
Benzol g,h. I tperylene
Part.
9000
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
12000
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
Gas
390000
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
150000
NO
83000
90000
4500
6800
7700
1600
NO
NO
NO
1 Test No. 2 Test No
Total Part.
399000
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
162000
NO
83000
90000
4500
6800
7700
1600
NO
NO
NO
Gas Total Part. Gas
- 5600000
160000
NO
NO - j -
520000
NO - -
- 2400000
NO - -
1500000 • -r
1600000
52000 - *
18000
45000
22000
NO -
NO - -
NO * -
. 3
Total
2100000
8900
NO
NO
1900000
NO
410000
NO
210000
200000
5900
2300
4700
2800
NO
NO
NO
(a) All data are corrected for blank levels.
NO - Not Detected;  estimated minimum detectable concentration  Is 10 ng/dscm.

-------
                                     TABLE A-3.  ALDEHYDE EMISSION DATA
ui
Test
Unit
RDF 1
2
MASS 1
2
2
2
3
MOO 1
2
Concentration In Stack
No. Formaldehyde Ace t aldehyde Propanal
230(180)
3280(2630)
Imp 1) 550
Imp 2) 32
Total) 532(466)
1310(1050)
27(22)
11(9)
1070(580)
460(250)
1010(550)
130
10
280(150)
12(7)
5(3)
340(140)
54(22)
110(46)
13
<5
~T3(5)
25(10)
Gas. ug/dscm (ppb)

Aero le In Pentanal Benz aldehyde
' 45(19
110(47
!
1230(530) <6(<2)
30 <5
5 <5
ISjlSj <5!<2i
70(30) <6(<2)
<3(<1) <2(<1) <6(<2)
<3(<1) <2(<1) <6(<2)

1200(270)
3470.
10
3480(790)
230(52)
460(100)
810(180)

-------
           TABLE  A-4.   ORGANIC COMPOUNDS IDENTIFIED IN
                      MASS  EMISSION SAMPLES3

         •Tentative                     Estimated Concentration In
Compound Identification^)            .   Stack Emissions,

Styrene                                            510
Ethyl benzene                                      260
Benzaldehyde                    '                   770
Propynyl benzene                                   260
Napthalene                                       2560
Isoqu1nol1ne                                       130
Benzoqulnone                                       130
2-methyl naphthalene                               380
i-methyl naphthalene                               380
THchlorophenol                                    80
31pheny1                                           800
Acenaphthalene                                   1520
1,4-naphthalenedlone                               130
Olbenzofuran                                       960
Fluorene                                           510
9H-fluoren-9-one                                   130
Anthracene/phenanthrene                          1280
1-phenyl napthalene                                180
2-phenyl naphthalene                               130
8enzo(c)c1nno11ne                                  800
Fluoranthene                                     1280
Pyrene                                             960
Benzo(g,h,1)fluoranthene                           130
Chrysene/3enzo(a)anthracene                        60
Benzo(e)pyrene                                     40
Benzo(a)pyrene                                     40
 (a)  These data provide tentative identities  and  concentrations  of
     organic compounds which may be present In  the  stack  emissions.
     The  identity of the compounds was not-been confirmed.
     Concentration data may be accurate only to a factor  of ± 5.
 (b)  From analysis of combined partlculate and  XAO-2  sample  extracts.
                                A-6

-------
       TABLE A-5.   VOLATILE HYDROCARBON  EMISSION DATA-MASS BURNING UNIT
Compound

Sample No. 1 Sample

No. 2 Sample No. 3
*
Concentration 1n Samples, uq/m3
Chloroform
1,2 Olchloroethane
Tetrachl oroethyl ene
o-D1chlorobenzene
Olchlorobenzene
Hexachloroethane
1,3,5-Trlchlorobenzene
1,2,4-Trlchlorobenzene
Chlorobenzene
44
9,287 9,
1,120
54
34
30
6
38
47
163 248
572 . 19,000
861 856
41 20
49 319
27 45
6 5
41 31
58 156
Concentration in Samples, ppb C
Isobutane
n-pentane
Benzene
Toluene
Benzaldehyde
p-ethyl toluene
1,2, 4-Tr Imethy 1 benzene
Nap thai ene
m+p xylene
263
625 . 1,
11,735 16,
66
128
<50
70
279
<50
584 160
030 1,362
039 36,831
92 225
591 277
152 184
136 229
663 1,169
<50 304
Total volatile hydrocarbons     74,000
93,000
54,000
                                     A-7

-------
                                 APPENDIX B
   CALCULATION OF PARTICLE SURFACE AREA DISTRIBUTION FOR DEPOSITION MODELING
     The  following  represents an  example of the  calculation of available
surface  area  for adsorption of a  pollutant  for a given particle size.  The
method  of calculation follows  the procedure described by Hart  (1986)  in  a
report of the emission impacts of a proposed MWC in New York City.   That report
has been peer reviewed by a panel of local, national, and international  author-
ities in both science and engineering.

     (a)  Assume aerodynamic spherical particles
     (b)  Specific surface area of a spherical particle with radius, r:
                                  S = 4 n r2
     (c)  Volume of spherical particle with radius, r:
                                 V = 4/3 n r3
     (d)  Then the ratio of surface area to volume is:
                         S/v = 4 n r2/(4/3 0 r3) = 3/r

     If  particle density is held constant, then it can be assumed that particle
weight  is proportional to particle volume.  Hart (1986) further postulates that
the  ratio of surface area to  volume  is proportional to the ratio of surface
area to weight for a particle with  a given radius.   Therefore, the ratio of
surface  area to volume  represents the  potential  relationship  between  the
surface  area and the weight  of  the particle.   Multiplying the  ratio  of the
surface  area to volume calculation by the percent weight fraction of particles
emitted  in  a given size category  (microns)  should approximate the amount of
surface  area available for adsorption  in  that  particle size category.  When
these  calculations  are summed for all  particle size  categories, total surface
area is assumed for total particle  emissions.   Dividing the surface area for
each particle category by the total  available  surface area for all particles
gives  an estimation of the fraction of  total area  on  any size particle.  If  the

October  1986                        B-l        DRAFT-DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------
emission rate of a pollutant in grains per second is known,  then the multiplica-
tion of the  emission  rate times the fraction of  available surface area will
determine the emission rate of the pollutant per particle size.
     Example

     (1)  Assume 15 micron size particles with a radius of 7.5 microns.
          Then the ratio of surface area to volume is:
                                   S/A =  3
                                         775
                                   S/A = 0.4
     (2)  Then  multiplying  the S/A  ratio by the  fraction of total weight
          corresponding to 15 micron size particles equals the relative propor-
          tion of total surface area for that given size.
          Given:  Fraction of weight of 15 micron particles = 12.8 percent.
          Then, S/A ratio x 0.128 = proportion of total surface area.
                              0.4 x 0.128 = 0.512
     (3)  If  the  sum  of the computed relative proportion of total  surface  area
          for all particles sizes emitted is 3.4423, then the fraction of total
          surface area comprised of 15 micron particles is:
                             0.512/3.4423 = 1.49%
     (4)  If  the  emission rate of a pollutant is 10 mg/second, then the emis-
          sion rate for the pollutant adsorbed to 15 urn particles is:
                   10 mg/second times 0.0149 = 0.149 mg/sec.

     The fraction of total surface area was computed in the same manner for all
particle diameters  in Table 3-4 of the report.   For convenience in deposition
modeling, three  particle size categories were chosen from Table 3-4:   greater
than 10  microns;  2 to 10 microns; less than 2 microns.  The fraction of total
surface  areas for these ranges were summed with each particle size category to
represent a  single fraction of total surface area for the  given particle  size
category, e.g., 0.03 for > 10 microns; 0.095 for 2 to 10 microns; and 0.875 for
less than 2 microns.
October  1986                        B-2          DRAFT—DO  NOT QUOTE OR CITE

-------