NTID300.14 THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF NOISE DECEMBER 31, 1971 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington, D.C. 20460 ------- NTID300.14 THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF NOISE DECEMBER 31, 1971 THE NATIONAL BUREAU OF STANDARDS under INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Noise Abatement and Control Washington, D.C. 20460 Thit report has bean approved for general availability. The content* of this report reflect the views of NBS. which it responsible for the facts end the accuracy of the data presented herein, and do not necessarily reflect the official views or policy of EPA. This report does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation. ------- Abs tract A study has been undertaken to survey the economic impact of noise. Data available on the entire subject of noise and its abatement are so rudimentary that they do not lend themselves to even the most primitive economic analysis. It is demonstrated that the number of sources of noise in homes, in industry, on the highways, and in the air. is growing at a dramatic rate. These noise sources are hetero- geneous and transient, and, therefore, a universal solution for abatement of noise at the source is not available. From the economic viewpoint, it has been demonstrated that sub- stantial costs are associated with noise and its abatement. Costs such as those associated with equipment redesign, right-of-way, and receiver insulation are discussed in detail. The most glaring data gaps highlight the need for research into the relationship between noise , its abatement, and its impact on: wages, prices, productivity, production costs, employment, balance of payments, real property values, and health. Research using the principles of economics must identify and analyze the most cost-effective alternative solutions to noise. A discussion of spending for noise research is included in the study. iii ------- TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page Introduction II. Growth in the Sources of Noise Affecting the Residential Environment 3 III. The Economics of Aircraft Noise 12 IV. The Economics of Ground Transportation Noise . 37 V. The Economics of Noise Internal to the Residential Environment 46 VI. Spending for Noise Abatement 59 VII. Summary and Conclusions 76 Appendix A 79 Bibliography 100 iv ------- ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page I. Introduction 1 II. Growth in the Sources of Noise Affecting the Residential Environment 3 2.1 The Growth in Noise Sources of Home Equipment 3 2.2 Noise Generated by Highway and Motor Vehicle Sources 5 2.3 Growth of Noise Sources Related to Industrial Operations 7 2.4 Growth in Aircraft Noise 9 2.5 Growth in the Sources of Noise: A Summary 10 III. The Economics of Aircraft Noise 12 3.1 The Cost of Aircraft Noise 12 3.2 Easements as a Measure of the Cost of Aircraft Noise 18 3.3 Litigation as a Measure of the Cost of Aircraft Noise 20 3.4 Loss in Property Value as a Measure of the Cost of Aircraft Noise. 22 3.5 The Impact of Aircraft Noise on Schools and Other Community Activities 24 3.6 Cost of Aircraft Noise Abatement: Insulating the Receiver from the Source . . 26 3.7 Cost of Aircraft Noise Abatement: Reduction of Noise at the Source 31 3.8 Benefits from the Abatement of Aircraft Noise 33 3.9 Aircraft Noise: A Summary 35 IV. The Economics of Ground Transportation Noise . . 37 4.1 Noise Distribution: Sources of Noise ... 37 4.2 The Cost of Ground Transportation Noise 39 V. The Economics of Noise Internal to the Residential Environment 46 5.1 The Cost of Noise in the Residential Environment 46 5.2 The Economics of Domestic Noise Abatement 55 5.3 Noise Internal to the Residential Environment: A Summary 53 ------- ANALYTICAL TABLE OF CONTENTS (Cont'd) Section Page VI. Spending for Noise Abatement 59 6.1 Federal Expenditures 59 6.2 Private Spending 59 6.3 Patents as a Surrogate for Spending .... 62 6.4 An Estimate of the Level of R&D Spending on Noise Abatement in the 1960's 69 6.5 Research Efforts of Associations. ..... 72 6.6 Spending for Noise Abatement: A Summary 75 VII. Summary and Conclusions 76 Appendix A 79 Bibliography 10° ------- LIST OF TABLES Number Title Page II-l Sales Growth of Selected Home Equipment, 1959-1970 4 II-2 Growth Rates of Selected Statistics Related to Surface Transportation Noise, 1959-1970. . . 6 II-3 Growth Rates of Selected Kinds of Earthmoving Equipment, 1960-1970 8 III-l Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations, Chicago O'Hare International Airport: 1958 - 1968 13 III-2 Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations, Los Angeles International Airport: 1958- 1968 14 III-3 Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations , San Francisco International Airport: 1958 - 1968 15 III-4 Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations, John F. Kennedy International Airport: 1958 - 1968 16 III-5 Summary of Growth Rates at Four Selected Airports, 1958-1968 17 III-6 Cost of Flyover Easements at Five United States Airports 19 III-7 Summary Statistics on Litigation Against Los Angeles International Airport, 1960's 21 III-8 Bolt Beranek and Newman's Estimate of the Probable Range of Modification Costs for a 1,000 Square Foot House, 1966 29 III-9 Cost Estimates for Installation of House Air Conditioning for a 1,000 Square Foot House 30 111-10 Estimates of the Cost of Insulation of Homes Against Aircraft Noise 30 III-ll Estimated Costs of Retrofit 32 vii ------- LIST OF TABLES (Cont'd) Number Title Page V-l Rank Ordering of Noise, by Source and Income Class: Los Angeles, Boston, and New York (Combined) 47 V-2 Per Cent of Apartment Occupants Finding Specified Indoor Noises Bothersome 49 V-3 Reasons Associated with being "Very Bothered." 50 V-4 Possible Effects of Domestic Noise. 52 V-5 Individuals in the United States Exposed to Noise from Selected Appliances and Tools, 1970 56 VI-1 Estimate of Federal Spending for Programs Related to Noisfi, Fiscal Years 1968 to 1971 . 60 VI-2 Number of United States Patents Issued in Patent Office Subclasses that Relate to Acoustics or Noise Abatement Devices, 1959 - 1970 64 VI-3 Growth in United States Patents Issued in Patent Office Subclasses that Relate to Acoustics or Noise Abatement Devices, 1959 - 1970 65 VI-4 Percentage Distribution of United States Patents Issued in Patent Office Subclasses that Relate to Acoustics or Noise Abatement Devices, by Assignee, 1959-1970 70 VI-5 Number of United States Patents Issued in Class 181 (Acoustics), Subclass 33 (Mufflers and Sound Filters), by Assignee, 1959-1970. . 71 VI-6 Research Activities of Selected Associations Concerned with Noise Abatement 73 viii ------- Section I Introduction The purpose of this study is to provide an overview of the economic impact of noise and noise abatement in the residential and industrial environments. The first part of the study briefly reviews estimated rates of growth of selected noise generators that are external to the home (e.g., aircraft) as well as products used within the home. The next two sections concern the noise sources that create the most annoyance in the residential environment: aircraft and motor vehicles. In the case of aircraft noise, an attempt is made to estimate the aggregate cost of noise and also the cost of abatement from several different approaches. Some of the benefits to be derived from the abatement of aircraft noise are also considered. Estimates are given of the number of people subject to noise from products used within and around the home. Because noise can contribute to both fatigue and stress, which are associated with accidents and injuries, a very rough first approximation is made under a number of assumptions of the cost of noise in the home environment. Relative to aircraft noise costs, these estimates are small in magnitude. Esti- mates are also made of the magnitude of the industrial noise prob lem.' Some data are presented on the resources devoted to noise research by the government, individuals, and private industry. As measured by a surrogate, patents, the private sector has devoted much more attention to noise than has government during the past decade. In the final section, the findings of the study are summarized and some recommendations are made for future research. The recommendations for future research are designed to remedy the most glaring defects in the currently available data on the effects of noise and the associated costs . Because the data at the present time are, at best, fragmentary, the findings of this study should be considered suggestive rather than exhaustive. A number of reasons can be cited for this lack of data. One factor is the nature of noise itself. In contrast to water or air pollution, which can have long lasting effects on the environment, noise pollution "decays" rapidly in both time and distance. As soon as the source of the noise is silenced, the unwanted sound disappears almost instantaneously. Moreover, the intensity of sound diminishes rapidly with distance—a loud 1 ------- roar will be reduced to a muffled rumble by a short distance. A second factor is that the effects of noise are not as "dramatic" or immediate as the consequences of other pollut- ants. The hearing damage caused by noise generally occurs after exposure over extended periods of time. Also many of the consequences of noise can be attributed to annoyance caused by noise rather than the threat of imminent hearing loss. Thirdly, different individuals exhibit varying levels of tolerance to noise levels. Finally, one of the reasons that noise has not been viewed as a form of pollution is the attitude of the public toward noise as the "price of progress." The noise produced by a product is often associated with efficiency and the ability of a product to perform its designated function, e.g., a "quiet" vacuum cleaner was rejected by a test group because it was perceived to clean less effectively than a noisier model of equal power. Because many kinds of noise are primarily a source of "nuisance" or annoyance rather than a danger to health, it must be recognized that it might not ever be possible to obtain precise estimates of either the cost of noise or the benefits derived from noise abatement. This is true because nuisance and annoyance are psychological states, which to date have defied adequate quantification by social scientists. Because so many aspects of noise are psychological, research- ers encounter the same problems as those found in the theory of consumer behavior. For example, economists and other social scientists have not been able to estimate or to com- pare the satisfaction or utility that one might derive from consuming three dry martinis and the annoyance or disutility of one's spouse from watching the consumption of three martinis. ------- Section II Growth in the Sources of Noise Affecting the Residential Environment Residential dwellers are constantly subjected to noise generated by products used within and around the home, by noise from "external" sources such as road and highway traffic, nearby industrial plants, and often by aircraft flying overhead. Estimates have been made by investigators of the number of individuals affected by varying levels of noise emanating from a variety of sources.1 While knowledge of the nqmbers of individuals affected by noise at a parti- cular point in time is a vital element in determining the scope and magnitude of the noise problem and its effects on society, it is equally important to obtain information which will reveal the future impact of noise. In short, it is also necessary to know the rates of growth of noise in the United States. Growth rates are essential for the estimation of the extent of noise pollution in the near future. Data have been collected on a variety of noise generators for the years 1959-1970. These data have been used to deter- mine the growth in the number of sources by type and also the growth rate in percent per (see Table II-l). For each of the sources, the raw data and the appropriate estimation equations are given in the Appendix. If it is assumed that no sub- stantial changes are made to reduce the noise levels of each of the sources, then it can be inferred that: (1) the total noise emanating from these sources will increase in approxi- mate proportion to the growth in the number of sources, and (2) that the number of individuals affected will also increase, though not necessarily in proportion to the growth in the sources. Hence, the growth rates of these selected products will provide a first approximation to the growth of total noise in the economy. Four selected areas are considered below: household products, highway and motor vehicle sources, industrial operations, and aircraft noise. 2.1 The Growth in Noise Sources of Home Equipment Undoubtedly, Americans are among the most gadget conscious individuals in the world. We brush our teeth, dispose of our garbage, shave, wash dishes, clean floors and carpets, and cut our lawns and hedges with power tools. All Bolt Beranek and Newman Inc. and Wyle Laboratories, Reports to the Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Noise Abatement and Control, 1971. NTID 300-1 and NTID 300-3. 3 ------- Table II-l Sales Growth of Selected Home Equipment' 1959 — 1970 Item Automati c Washers Window Air Conditioners Power Lawn Mowers Central Air Conditioning Units Garbage Disposers Dishwashers Growth in Units/Year (Thous ands) 142.2 406.4 184.8 126.6 117.5 176.4 Growth Rate Percent/Year 4.2 14.3 4.2 17.5 9.9 15.9 Years Required for Number of to Double 17.1 5.0 17.1 4.1 7.3 4.5 aDerived from data displayed and analyzed in Appendix A. Sources: Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers; Outdoor Power Equipment Institute, Inc.; Air Conditioning and Refrigeration Institute. ------- of these Items produce noise, some much more than others. In fact, "homemakers" and "handymen" often reject the purchase of quiet products. Noise is associated with power and performance in products such as lawn mowers, vacuum cleaners, and sports cars. Individuals exhibit varying tolerances to noise depending on the nature of the sound and its source. As an example of the information displayed in Table II-l, consider window air conditioners. The number of window units produced is increasing by over 400,000 units per year. This represents a growth rate of 14.3 percent each year and implies that the number of window air conditioning units sold will double every five years, assuming this rate of growth continues. Not all units are simple additions to the total number of window air conditioners in the nation because some are replacements for old and worn out units. Thus, the rate of growth in the number of units and the absolute percentage growth rate is somewhat overstated, but the implication is perfectly clear: the total noise generated by window air conditioning units will continue to increase in the near future unless efforts are made to reduce substantially the noise output of these units. The sales growth rates shown in the table vary from 4.2 to 17.5 percent per year. This implies that the total ambient noise produced by some products could double in 4.5 years, whereas others will take more than 17 years to double. Cen- tral and window air conditioning, dishwashers, and garbage disposers are among the most popular kinds of home equipment surveyed and also among the noisiest. The sales growth rates of power mowers and automatic washers are considerably lower. Although the length of exposure during use of these products is not of sufficient duration to cause deafness or permanent hearing damage, the rapid growth in the use of mowers and dishwashers is likely to increase the annoyance associated with the noise they produce. In the future, the average American will probably have to contend with increased noise levels generated by increased numbers of powered appliances in his home and in the homes of his neighbors. 2.2 Noise Generated by Highway and Motor Vehicle Sources In addition to being the most gadget-minded people in the world, Americans are also the most mobile. The Bureau of the Census reports that 29.3 percent of all households in the United States owned at least two automobiles in 1970, compared with 16.4 percent in 1960. Also, 79.6 percent of all households owned at least one car in 1970. In Table II-2 growth rates related to transportation 5 ------- Table 11-2 Growth Rates of Selected Statistics Related to Surface Transportation Noise, 1959 - 1970 Item Automobile, Bus , and Motorcycle Miles of Travel Truck Miles of Travel Value of New Construction Value of New Street and Highway Construction Total Motor Vehicle Re- gistrations Automobile Registrations Truck or Bus Registrations Motorcycle Registrations Units Millions of Miles Millions of Miles Millions Of Dollars , 1957-1959 Prices Millions of Dollars , 1957-1959 Prices Number in Millions Number in Millions Number in Millions Thousands of Units Average Growth in Units Per Year 28,897 8,192 1,306 140 3.43 55.78 0.62 192.5 Average Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year 4.2 5.2 2.3 2.3 4.0 4.0 4.2 16.9 Year Required For Number of Units to Double 17.1 14.0 31.0 31.0 18.0 18.0 17.1 4.2 Source: Appendix Table A-2 and A-3. ------- noise are shown. With a growth rate of 192,500 units per year, motorcycle registrations is the most rapidly growing of the series. This implies a 16.9 per cent annual rate of growth and suggests that the number of motorcycles and their probable contribution to the noise problem will double in slightly more than four years. Although the growth rates are much lower for all of the other series, the increase in the number of units each year is quite high. For example, the total number of motor vehicles registered is increasing by an average of 3.43 million units per year. Not only are the increases in the number of units substantial, but it is also true that the number of passenger miles driven per vehicle is increasing. Therefore, noise from motor vehicles is increasing as a re- sult of growth in both absolute numbers of vehicles and as a result of increasing usage of those vehicles. Noise emission from the automobile will grow substantially and, with popula- tion concentrations in urban areas, the automobile population will centralize in densely populated areas. In the near future, noise from motor vehicle transportation will likely become an increasing source of irritation to urban residential dwellers. 2.3 The Growth of Noise Sources Related to Industrial Operations There are insufficient data at present to judge the adverse effect of noise from industrial plants and operations on the residential environment.2 Certain kinds of industrial operations, such as construction, clearly have an impact on the residential dweller. Street repair, construction of new homes, sewers, and building impinge on the home environment or on the individual while at his workspace or in transit. Estimates indicate that millions of people are exposed to construction noise each year . 3 As shown in Table II-3, the number of various kinds of earth-moving equipment, particularly noisy construction machines, are growing at rapid rates. The number of wheel tractors, for example, will double about every two years, if present trends continue. Similarly, the number of wheel loaders will double approximately every five years. Clearly, 2 Noise can be considered as an unwanted by-product of energy consumption. It can be conjectured that the trend in noise growth will closely follow the trend in energy utilization patterns. 3 Bolt Beranek and Newman Inc. A Report to the Office of Noise Abatement and Control, Environmental Protection Agency, 1971. ------- Table II-3 Growth Rates of Selected Kinds of Earthmoving Equipment, 1960 - 1970 Item Crawler Tractors Crawler Loaders Wheel Tractors Wheel Loaders Scrapers Rollers Graders Growth in Units Per Year (Nos. of Machines) Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year Years Required for Number of Units to Double 1088 313.8 227.3 1000.4 226.3 363.9 261.3 9.6 5.9 33.0 15.1 9.9 8.7 6.9 7.5 12.3 2.2 4.9 7.3 8.3 10.4 Source: Associated Equipment Distributors. ------- unless steps are taken to abate the noise output from such equipment, construction machinery will become an increasing source of annoyance to even larger numbers of individuals. 2.4 Growth in Aircraft Noise Probably no other source of noise has generated more irritation to the homeowner than that from reciprocating and jet aircraft engines. Aviation noise is of such intensity that the annoyance caused by this noise source has resulted in lawsuits, damage claims, and numerous complaints. Noise disturbance is perhaps exemplified by aircraft noise and, from all indications, the aircraft noise problem will be magnified by the growth of the industry unless significant reductions in the noise emanating from jets are achieved. The most extensive study of the past and future growth of aviation was jointly prepared by the Department of Transportation and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration in 1971. In the period 1939 to 1969, domestic air transport passenger plus cargo traffic increased at an average annual growth rate of about 18.1 percent. This rate of increase exceeded by four times the growth rate of the general U. S. economy and all other modes of domestic travel.5 DOT-NASA predicted that by 1985 the total number of passengers enplaned would grow to approximately 800 million as compared to 154.4 million in 1969. (This does not imply that the number of operations will increase proportionately due to the intro- duction of the Jumbo Jets with increased revenue passenger mile capacity.) Incredibly, air cargo shipments will expand at an even faster rate, since a 1200 per cent increase was forecast for the period 1969 to 1985.° DOT-NASA have also estimated that, in 1968, 1300 square miles of land containing 15 million individuals were exposed to undesirable levels of aircraft noise; for 1978, it was projected that the land areas affected would rise to 1800 square miles encompassing 24 million individuals.^ It is evident that the number of people affected will grow substantially within the decade and that the problems associated with aircraft noise will be expanded considerably. The economic consequences of noise emission from aircraft are discussed in detail below. A Joint DOT-NASA Civil Aviation Research and Development Policy Study, Supporting Papers, March 1971, DOT TST-10-5, NASA SP-266. 5Ibid., p. 2-5 6Ibid., p. 2-4 7Ibid., p. 7-11, ff. ------- 2.5 Growth in the Sources of Noise; A Summary From the sample survey of the growth in noise sources presented above, it is found that the sources of noises are expanding at a rapid rate. Within the decade, the average individual will be more frequently subjected to undesirable noise levels at all hours of the day. Many products (e.g., dishwashers, motorcycles) exhibit very high percentage growth rates and, those items with much lower growth rates (e.g., motor vehicle registrations) are still experiencing substantial increases in the absolute number of units each year. The noise from aircraft will probably increase at increasing rates, unless abatement efforts are undertaken, because of the exceptional growth of the aviation industry. Indeed, if the experience of aircraft noise can be considered a harbinger of things to come, then the effects of noise and the attendant economic impact could have widespread conse- quences. (See the discussion of the cost of aircraft noise below.) The growth in the number of sources producing noise is only one side of the total picture. The current trend toward increasing population density in settled areas compounds the problems generated by noise sources: the greater the con- centration of people, the more the utilization of noisy products per unit area and the higher the ambient noise level. Not only are noise levels positively related to the density of population, but it is also true that more individuals are affected by a given noise source when population density is high. Thus, increasing population density compounds the problem produced by the growth in noise sources, or one might say that the "noise-density" is growing. In 1920, there were 34,616 urbanized areas which contained 32.6 per cent of the total U. S. population; by 1970, there were 115,575 such areas, a fourfold increase, encompassing 56.2 per cent of the nation's population. By 1980, it is projected that there will be 148,030 urbanized centers in which 61.6 per cent of the population lives. In general, it can be concluded that people will be using more products that generate noise and, because of increasing population density, this noise will affect a greater number of people per unit area. Although the consumer has not yet expressed a strong preference for quiet in the marketplace by buying less noisy products, this trend is unlikely to continue. As the average level of ambient noise increases along with associated annoyance, the consumer's awareness that "quiet is not a free o Jerome P. Pickard, "Dimensions of Metropolitanism," Research Monograph 14, Urban Land Institute, 1967, p. 47. 10 ------- resource" is likely to grow. Essentially, this has been the case with both water and air pollution. Though both water and air pollution have been in evidence for decades in the U. S., only recently has the public begun to demand a cleaner environment and a reduction in the amount of pollution. It is clear that clean air and water are no longer so abundant that pollution of these resources can be continued. It is likely the public awareness of noise as a pollutant will extend to other noise sources rather than just jet aircraft as the average noise level continues to increase 11 ------- Section III The Economics of Aircraft Noise Due to its intensity, the noise from jet aircraft has received the most attention from researchers. Complaints about jet noise have resulted in studies of property values near airports, the insulation required to achieve varying degrees of noise reduction in the home, and in efforts to produce a quieter jet engine. Because of such research, data are available which permit estimates to be made of the cost of aircraft noise, the cost of abatement, and the economic benefits which could accrue from aircraft noise reduction. These topics are considered below. 3. 1 The Cost of Aircraft Noise Noise emission produced by jet aircraft has probably produced the greatest irritation and concern among residential dwellers. This concern has manifested itself in litigation against airports for compensation for loss of property value, easements, and noise damage suits. Court awards for easement and damage suits therefore provide a set of objective measures which can be used to assess the cost of this source of noise. Some studies have also been made of the loss in property values due to aircraft noise pollution. Not only does jet noise affect the home, but it also disrupts other residential activities, e.g., elementary and secondary schools, hospitals, and libraries. No estimate has been made of the aggregate cost of aircraft noise and data are available only for specific case studies at particular airports. These data can be used, however, to provide a reasonable appraisal of the total cost of aircraft noise to the American society. Most of the case studies are for very large airports, e.g., Los Angeles International, San Francisco International, New York's Kennedy International, and Chicago's O'Hare International. These airports are not only large in absolute terms, but are also experiencing very rapid growth. In the tables below, data are presented for the decade 1958—1968 on the number of passengers handled and also the total number of operations by type at each of the four airports mentioned above. From this information, two facts are readily evident. First, each of the airports has experienced a tremendous growth in total operations over the 11 year periods and, secondly, the num- ber of air carrier passengers has increased far out of pro- portion to the number of operations due to the increased capacity of the aircraft. If the growth rates for these 12 ------- Table III-l Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations Chicago O'Hare International Airport: 1958 - 1968 Scheduled Aircraft Operations Year 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 aNote: Source : Air Carrier Passengers3 1 2 5 9 13 15 18 20 22 26 29 ,261 ,124 ,690 ,514 ,298 ,983 ,203 ,735 ,539 ,408 ,017 ,376 ,769 ,062 ,836 ,710 ,721 ,111 ,834 ,957 ,215 ,458 Introduction began in the a major new To 236 , 234, 244, 318, 417, 426, 460, 519, 562, 643, tal 060 983 479 526 380 994 227 430 975 787 Air Carrier 66, 82, 163, 235, 331, 358, 389, 443, 478, 573, 205 417 351 908 090 266 640 026 644 506 General Aviation Military 91 95 59 66 75 60 63 69 78 65 ,070 ,407 ,056 ,547 ,300 ,939 ,335 ,923 ,124 ,691 78 57 22 16 10 7 7 6 6 4 ,785 ,159 ,072 ,071 ,990 ,789 ,252 ,481 ,207 ,590 690,810 628,632 57,428 4,750 of the commercial jet aircraft fleet late fifties, hearalding the onset of noise source. Federal Aviation Administration , Statist! cal Handbook, 1969, p. 83. 13 ------- Table III-2 Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations, Los Angeles international Airport: 1958 - 1968. Aircraft Operations Year 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 Air Carrier Passengers 4,846,884 5,893,387 6,605,036 6,947,206 7,632,458 9,094,155 10,696,392 12,578,909 15,251,272 18,125,152 20,346,011 Total 324,194 316,068 290,862 324,993 344,053 358,749 365,536 374,757 415,433 482,774 594,486 Air Carrier 226,448 234,446 217,922 235,039 260,515 285,824 289,744 288,610 321,182 384,656 438,386 General . ; Aviation 50,908 54,505 51,295 68,910 65:,881 57,994 61,566 73,305 83,011 88,296 145,284 Military 46,838 27,117 21,645 21,044 17,657 14,931 14,226 12,842 11,240 9,822 10,816 Source: Federal Aviation Administration, Statistical Handbook. 1969. p. 85 • • 14 ------- Table III-3 Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations, San Francisco International Airport: 1958 - 1968 Aircraft Operations Year 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 Air Carrier Passengers a 3,595,023 4,111,220 4,637,035 4,754,327 5,434,226 6,414,620 7,459,461 8,706,984 10,145,309 12,248,051 13,544,414 Total 205,210 235,229 235,944 211,852 224,371 238,691 250,859 265,446 291,069 373,429 353,255 Air Carrier 128,421 139,754 146,022 142,532 158,929 171,431 187,783 210,948 226,867 268.,486 297,588 General Aviation 55,834 73,776 75,486 55,290 53,150 54,396 52,512 48,927 58,584 49,658 50,529 Military 20,955 21,699 14,436 14,030 12,292 12,864 10,564 5,571 5,618 5,285 5,138 Source: Federal Aviation Administration, Statistical Handbook, 1969, p. 85 a Includes non-scheduled passengers 15 ------- Table III-4 Air Carrier Passengers and Aircraft Operations, John F. Kennedy International Airport: 1958 - 1968 Air Carrier Passengers Year 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 Scheduled 5,821,744 6,988,451 8,812,642 10,226,960 11,453,117 12,692,831 14,487,078 16,052,953 16,872,035 19,738,885 19,176,810 Non Scheduled 127,679 73,860 110,334 39,835 57,273 58,742 128,861 155,125 214,176 249,685 396,818 Total 215,683 239,836 274,184 290,134 319,265 339,424 367,139 389,917 438,670 481,458 465,120 Aircraft Operations Air Carrier 191,231 209,043 239,617 256,182 282,470 303,818 328,396 352,469 390,898 403,981 398,466 Aviation 21,578 26,831 32,056 31,774 34,630 33,748 37,223 35,640 45,514 76,000 65,452 Military 2,874 3,962 2,511 2,178 2,165 1,858 1,520 1,808 2,258 1,477 1,202 Source: Federal Aviation Administration, Statistical Handbook, 1969, p. 80 ' 16 ------- Table III-5 Summary of Growth Rates at Four Selected Airports, 1958 - 1968 Per cent of Increase in Per cent of Total Increase in Airports Operations Passengers Los Angeles 180 420 San Francisco 170 375 Chicago: O'Hare 290 2,300 New York: Kennedy 215 330 Average 215 860 17 ------- airports shown in the summary tables continue, the noise exposure around these selected airports will increase rapidly during the decade of the seventies. Therefore, the estimate of the cost of aircraft noise can be considered as a conservative approximation. For these four airports, aircraft operations increased an average of 215 per cent in the period 1958 - 1968. In the same period, however, the average per cent increase in passengers arriving at and departing from these airports increased four times as fast. Thus, while the jet noise problem at large urban airports is growing at a rapid rate, the noise generated by passengers arriving and leaving the airports (and the associated automobile traffic) is growing much more rapidly. These data lend additional support to the earlier finding that noise surrounding airport activity will increase significantly in the near future unless efforts are directed toward abatement. 3.2 Easements as a Measure of the Cost of Aircraft Noise Flyover easements represent compensation to property owners which theoretically reflects the reduced value of real estate due to noise, dust, vibration and other unpleas- ant effects of aircraft operation. Easements have been obtained by airports in five cities; the pertinent data are shown in Table III-6. Certain data are not available due to the fact that litigation is still in process. In the Des Moines experience, the city offered to purchase easements for $250 to $300 per parcel. If the owner declined to accept the offer, the city invoked the doctrine of eminent domain and bought the property, The easement was then included as a deed restriction and the property sold to private owners; generally the resale price was from $1500 to $2000 less than the city's purchase price. At Seattle, the city, by inverse condemnation, acquired easements based on the price differentials for similar parcels removed from airport noise, which cost approximately 15 to 20 per cent of fair market value. It is interesting to note that for vacant land the cost of the easement was about 40 per cent of fair market value, "because the property was subject to so much noise that no FHA loan could be obtained for a new structure and there was no low-rent hous- ing market in the area for rental development."1 No data other than the range of the easement costs are available for Jacksonville, Florida. 1McClure, 0_p_. Cit . , p. 28 18 ------- Table III-6 Cost of Flyover Easements at Five United States Airports. Number o;f Maximum Minimum City Easements Paid Paid Range Average Columbus, Ohio 30 $6,670 $ 870 $5,800 $2,414 Denver, Colorado 32 1,751 931 820 1,000 Des Moines, Iowa --a 2,000 1,200 800 a Seattle, Washington —a - —a a ---a 4,200 Jacksonville, Florida --a 9,000 250 8,750 4,625 aSee Text, infra. Source: Paul T. MeClure, "Indicators of the Effect of Jet Noise on the Value of Real Estate," The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California, July 1969. 19 ------- It has been estimated that in 1968, 15 million indivi- duals were subject to undesirable levels of aircraft noise; moreover, it is projected that, by 1978, almost 24 million people will be affected. If it is assumed that the average family size is four persons and that each family represents a dwelling unit then, from the 1968 estimate of the number of individuals affected, it follows that approximately 4 million parcels of land are potentially subject to compen- sation for easements. The estimated total cost can be obtained from the average of the easement costs shown in Table III-6. The approximate total easement costs range from $4.0 billion to $18.5 billion, depending upon whether one uses the average from Denver or from Jacksonville. For 1978, the cost range would be from $6.0 billion to $27.75 billion, assuming that 24 million people are affected. Thus, as a first approximation, one could argue that the cost of aircraft noise pollution, based on easement costs, is at least $4.0 billion presently and could easily reach $27.75 billion within the decade. 3.3 Litigation as a Measure of the Cost of Aircraft Noise In the 1962 Griggs vs. Allegheny case the precedent was established that the rights of airport neighbors were being taken by airport operations. Since that time, many suits have been brought against airports for the illegal "taking" of property. Only the litigation against Los Angeles International Airport will be reviewed here, however, since it is typical of airport litigation. The damages sought are for inverse condemnation, personal injury, and property damage. Suits have been filed by individuals, groups of individuals, and organizations. The relevant statistics are summarized in Table III-7. 2DOT-NASA Joint Study, Op. Cit., p. 7-11 3 The easements were obtained over a period of years. In the Columbus case, seven of the easements were obtained in May 1967. See McClure, Op. Cit. , p. 25. The estimates given in the text do not account for price increases or real estate appreciation which has occurred since these easements were obtained. Hence the estimates in the text should be considered as conservative. 4369 U. S. 84 [1962]. 20 ------- Table III-7 Summary Statistics on Litigation Against Los Angeles International Airport > 1960 'sa Litigant Individuals Groups of Individuals Number of Households 30 594 Organizations 61,212 Total Damage Claimed $ 3,342,725 11,189 ,000 2,800,000,000 Range $ 1,148,950 3,928,000 2,300,000,000 Average Damages Per Household $111,428 18,837 45 ,743 Some of the cases are still pending, Source: McClure, P. 30ff. ------- Any estimate of aggregate damages based upon litigation would be an astronomical sum. If 4.0 million households are subjected to noise from aircraft that could be compensable by the lowest estimate of the average damages shown in the table, then the total cost of aircraft noise pollution would be in the neighborhood of $75.2 billion. It is clear that the plaintiffs have added an ample measure of "blue sky" to the damages sought, which inflates the aggregate estimate. Nevertheless, if the claims were settled out of court on the basis of 10 per cent of the sums asked in damages, the total cost of aircraft noise would be about $7.5 billion—hardly an insignificant amount, and certainly well within the range of estimates derived from the "easements indicator" of total cost. 3.4 Loss in Property Value as a Measure of the Cost of Aircraft Noise Two studies have attempted to measure the loss in property values caused by aircraft noise emission.5 One study, conducted in the Los Angeles area, attempted to determine the decrease in the appreciation in property due to jet noise. It was assumed that proximity to an airport increases property values, but that noise decreases those values. The second study, concerning the San Francisco area, sought to evaluate the relationship between several measures of property value and the amount of exposure to aircraft noise. Rather than review the methodology of each study, only the principal findings are presented here. In the Los Angeles report, eight sample areas were chosen—four subject to high levels of noise and four com- parable areas which were not subject to jet noise. The mean annual changes in sales prices of the residential property between the two types of areas were analyzed for the period 1955 through 1967. It was found that there was no statistically significant difference between the rate of appreciation in homes with high noise levels and those in "quiet" areas. The investigator, however, pointed out a The Los Angeles study was conducted by Bolt Beranek and Newman, Inc. The data were presented in City of Los Angeles vs. Matson. 1966. The San Francisco study was authored by Paul K. Dygert, "On Measuring the Cost of Noise From Subsonic Aircraft," The Institute of Transportation and Traffic Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, California, 1970. 22 ------- number of facts which may have biased the findings. First, the turnover rate in quiet areas was considerably less than that of high noise areas. Property in quiet areas changed hands only 62 per cent as fast as in noise affected areas. Since appreciation in value is reflected through sales prices, the appreciation of property in quiet areas was biased downward, which would, in effect, make the relation- ship between noise and property difficult to ascertain. Moreover, this implies that noisy areas are less stable com- munities than quiet ones and this can be one of the costs associated with noise. A less stable community is more likely to deteriorate aesthetically than one which is stable. Secondly, individuals who travel often by air may be willing to forego the unpleasantness of noise in order to have ready access to air travel. Given a choice, these individuals would prefer quiet to noise and, if the noise were signifi- cantly abated, the value of property would likely appreciate much more rapidly near airports. Thirdly, there is a tendency for commercialization to develop around airports, e.g., hotels, car rental agencies, parking lots, etc., and while noise may adversely affect the property value for residential use, the potential gain from commercialization may well contribute to offsetting this decrease. Therefore, not only may residential neighborhoods near airports be less stable, their very structure may change to a commercial development. One would be hard pressed to prove that high noise levels (regardless of the source) enhance the value of residential property. The San Francisco study analyzed four measures of property values (mean property value, median property value, mean land value per square foot, and median land value per square foot) as a function of some 24 other variables, one of which was the average noise level. In each case where the noise level significantly affected property values, the average noise level was shown to have a detrimental effect, i.e., property value was reduced because of noise. In a majority of cases, the noise variable was a statistically significant determinant of property values. Unfortunately, it is impossible to derive any estimates on the loss in property values from either of the two studies The qualifications which were stated in the interpretation of the Los Angeles study also apply to the work done in the San Francisco area. These studies point out the need for more complete and comprehensive research on the economic effects of external noise sources. 23 ------- 3.5 The Impact of Aircraft Noise on Schools and Other Community Activities Although most of the attention directed toward the effects of aircraft noise pollution has been focused on the household, other activities in the residential environment, such as education, are also seriously affected. For example, the Los Angeles Unified School District is seeking $95 million in aircraft noise damages. Moreover, schools in Los Angeles have had to be closed and the students relocated; others have had to be insulated against sound. One elemen- tary school and one junior high were purchased by the Los Angeles airport. Total relocation and classroom con- struction costs for the affected 1590 pupils was $951,000. The estimated abatement cost on 28 noise affected schools (26 from aircraft, 2 from freeway) is $9.08 million, in 1968 prices. The severity of the problem, however, is best illus- trated by the following citation from a study of New York's J.F.K. International Airport and environs made by the National Academy of Sciences. One of the most insidious aspects of aircraft noise pollution in the environs of Kennedy Airport is the penalty it imposes upon children in public and private schools. The periodic inundation of schools by high levels of aircraft noise has the critical effect of reducing the net effective teaching time available to students during the school year. This results from the fact that many overflights of public and private schools in the environs of the airport produce a total eclipse of communications in the classrooms, even with the windows closed. This intrusion of aircraft noise necessitates a pedagogical approach known somewhat bitterly among teachers and school officials in New York region and elsewhere as "jet-pause teaching." Without detailing the minute-by-minute interference of airport operations upon noise-impacted schools in the airport environs, it is difficult to provide precise quantitative estimates of the daily inter- ference that results. Experience has shown, however, that substantial speech interference with school operations occurs in areas within the zone of NEF 30 unless "sound conditioning" measures are employed in school construction. At least 136 public schools of the New York City School system are located within the zone of NEF 30 for Kennedy Airport. School utilization 24 ------- for 1969 furnished by the New York City Planning Commission indicate that about 172,000 pupils attend these schools each day. An additional 85 private schools are also located with the NEF 30 zone in New York City and at least 12 more public and private schools are within this noise exposure zone in Nassau County. The combined total enrollment of public and private schools located within the zone of NEF 30 is conservatively estimated at 275,000 pupils. Variations in flight patterns at the airport from day to day have the effect of distri- buting the noise burden among the many schools within the zone of NEF 30, and the degree of interference with classroom communications is considerably less for schools at the outer margins of the zone for some of those, such as P.S. 42, 105, 146, and 181, and JHS 198. In some of the latter schools, in heavily impacted areas such as Howard Beach, the Rockaways, Rosedale, and Inwood, teachers complain that brief instructional periods must be sandwiched between frequent interruptions by aircraft noise. On a typical day in Arverne, planes were observed approaching the airport at low altitudes at approximately two-minute intervals during an hour in the early afternoon. With each overflight, a 20-second interval of noise from the passing aircraft was sufficient to eliminate all except shouted communications on the school site and in typical classrooms with windows closed. Thus, ten minutes of the hour, or about 17 per cent of a typical 50-minute class period, were sacrificed to environmental noise pollution. For pupils in schools in such noise-vulnerable locations, this translates into the loss of more than an entire school day each week, the actual lost time depending upon the pattern of traffic flow at the airport. While this example illustrates one of the extreme situations of aircraft-noise exposure in the environs of Kennedy Airport, its implications for the impact of environmental noise on education throughout the zone of NEF 30 are clear. This analysis is limited to actual time lost to pupils and teachers as a result of air-induced fatigue or irritability, both well- known effects of noise on humans, nor does it take into account any higher rate of teacher 25 ------- turnover in the school system as still other community costs of aircraft noise." It would be difficult, if not impossible, to assess accurately the economic costs associated with the impact of aircraft noise on the classroom. In the case of Kennedy airport, one could perhaps argue that large numbers of class days of education for pupils are lost each year due to noise interference. This could be evaluated by determining the loss in effective teaching time and turnover rates for teachers, but such costs reflect only the "tip of the ice- berg." The true social cost is the loss in educational opportunity and learning capacity of students caused by the interference. If a student's learning capacity is reduced or his performance adversely affected by noise, this could easily impede his academic motivation and achievement, and be reflected in his earnings stream over his entire lifetime. It is impossible to obtain data on such costs, but it is highly likely that they are being borne by students around major airports throughout the country, because of the presence of jet noise. One can cite many instances of other activities that occur within the community that are adversely affected by aircraft noise. For example, outdoor public concerts have traditionally been held at Watergate, along the Potomac River, in Washington, D. C. Due to jet noise from National Airport, it was announced in August 1971, that no further concerts would be presented. This is but one example of how aircraft noise degrades the outdoor environment and disrupts or forces discontinuance of community activities. 3.6 Cost of Aircraft Noise Abatement; Insulating the Receiver from the Source With regard to aircraft noise, there are two ways to insulate the receiver from the source. Either land can be purchased around airports to provide a "noise right of way" which would protect individuals from takeoff and landing noise, or the homes within areas which are subjected to undesirable noise levels (usually 30 NEF or greater) can be insulated to achieve various levels of noise reduction. It should be noted that the latter alternative makes no pro- visions for the effect of noise on the outdoor environment, for it requires individuals to remain inside acoustically National Academy of Sciences, "Jamaica Bay and Kennedy Airport: A Multidisciplinary Environmental Study," 1971 Vol. II, pp. 95-96. 26 ------- treated homes to avoid the annoyance caused by aircraft ope ration. The total cost of providing a noise right of way around airports is the sum of acquisition costs of the land and the relocation costs of individuals. In 1971, the Department of Transportation and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (DOT-NASA) estimated that 1,300 square miles of land in the U. S. are presently affected by noise expo- sures corresponding to 30 NEF or greater due to aircraft operations. If the land were purchased for an average of $20,000 per acre, the cost of land acquisition alone would be $17 billion. The cost of relocation services, allowances, moving and property transfer payments were estimated on the basis of the precedent set in the Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1968 which provides $2500 per household or $625 for each member of a family of four for these expenses. "If the Government were to apply a similar cost of $625 per person for noise rights-of-way, the system-wide social cost would be $9.4 billion to cover the 15 million people presently affected by noise levels of 30 NEF or higher."** Thus, the total cost of aircraft noise abatement achieved by land acquisition might total approximately $26.4 billion dollars. Efforts are currently underway to initiate the construction of a noise right of way around Los Angeles International Airport, as reported by the Washington Post, on September 11, 1971 (p. D.46): The city of Los Angeles is spending almost $300 million to "eradicate" 1,994 private homes around the ocean coast airport, the nation's second busiest, to cope with the protest over the noise of jetliners. The city is buying the homes, a number with fine sea views and swimming pools , at prices ranging from $28,000 to $115,000. The homes are located on over 400 acres in the outskirts of Los Angeles International Airport, which is exceeded only by Chicago's O'Hare Field in volume of traffic. 7Joint DOT-NASA Study, Q£. Cit . . p. 7-12. 27 ------- This is the most extreme method ever devised to deal with airport noise; the city bought one house for $97,000 and paid a wrecking company $360 to destroy it. The project will take almost two years and when it is finished, only bare land will remain. The purchases are being financed by 30-year revenue bonds. In addition to homes other buildings are being destroyed. One school covering a 10-acre square of ground was demolished. Some of the houses are being sold at prices ranging from $300 to $3,000 to individuals and developers to be moved elsewhere. The noise of the landing craft is heard far from the immediate surrounding area, particularly in the communities of Inglewood and El Segundo, and no program has been initiated for those tens of thousands of residents. These cost estimates can be considered conservative, because they ignore the subsequent impact that the disloca- tion of 15 million individuals would produce within the economy. If the average family were composed of 4 persons, nearly 4,000,000 dwellings would have to be found to accom- modate those dislocated. This is nearly ten times the num- ber of new starts of private metropolitan housing in the U. S. for the year 1968.^ The impact on the home construc- tion industry would be substantial, for undoubtedly the shortage of housing that currently exists would be greatly intensified and the price of homes as well as mortgage interest rates would rise, substantially, further compounding inflation. The direct cost estimate of $26.4 billion dollars (in 1968 dollars), therefore, ignores many indirect costs and consequences such as the effects on the housing industry, mortgage interest rates, and prices. The second alternative for insulating the individual against aircraft noise pollution is to insulate the home. In 1966, a study was conducted for the Department of Housing and Urban Development, Federal Housing Administration, of the costs of insulating an existing home from bothersome aircraft noise.10 A similar study was made for the Q Source : Bureau of the Census. Bolt Beranek and Newman, Inc., "A Study—Insulating Houses from Aircraft Noise," Housing and Urban Development, Federal Housing Administration, 1966. 28 ------- Los Angeles International Airport. The BBN study produced cost estimates for a 1000 square foot home which varies by type of construction and the level of noise reduction desired. The LA study determined the cost of making air- craft noise totally imperceptible within the hypothetical 1200 square foot seven room, $24,000 stucco house exposed to 100 PNdB. The results of these studies are given in the three tables below (Table III-8, Table III-9, and Table 111-10). Table III-8 Bolt Beranek and Newman's Estimate of the Probable Range of Modification Costs for a 1,000 Square Foot House, 1966 (Exclusive of Costs for Ventilation) Noise Insulation Improvement House Type 5-10 PNdB 10-15PNdB 15-20PNdB Light Exterior Walls $260 $1,600 $4,000 (wood, metal, stucco, to to to or composition) $820 $2,400 $4,500 Heavy Exterior Walls $260 $1,600 $2,800 (brick, masonry, or to to to concrete block) $820 $2,400 $3,400 Source: Bolt Beranek and Newman, Op. Git., p. 54. See also, "Indicators of the Effect of Jet Noise on the Value of Real Estate," Paul T. McClure, July, 1969, Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California. 29 ------- Table III-9 Cost Estimates for Installation of House Mr Conditioning for a 1,000 Square Foot House Type of System Approximate Installation Costs Room Units $500 - $600 Central-Utilizing Existing Ducting $500 - $900 Central - New Ducting Required $1,200 - $1,600 Source: Bolt Beranek and Newman, Inc., Op. Cit, p. 55 Table 111-10 Estimates of the Cost of Insulation of Homes Against Aircraft Noise Work Performed Cost Seal all windows. Install forced air ventilation. Replace deficient exterior doors. Seal STAGE ONE door edges. Install sound traps $2,695 in door edges. Seal miscellan- eous cracks. Stage One plus double glaze all STAGE TWO windows. Treat roof-ceiling $5,522 interspace. Stage two plus modify inside STAGE THREE surface of exterior walls. $8,945 Modify floor at under-floor interspace. Source: McClure, Op. C it. , p. 20. 30 ------- On the basis of the information in the tables above, estimates of the cost of insulation of homes can be derived if, as estimated earlier from the DOT-NASA study, it is assumed that nearly 4,000,000 homes are affected by aircraft noise. Cost estimates based on the Wyle studies would range from a low of $10.7 billion to $35.7 billion. The data provided by BBN suggests that the total cost of insulation would range between $3.0 billion and $20.0 billion. The cost estimates were made in 1966-1967 and are consequently biased downward due to price increases which have taken effect since that time. It is obvious that the cost of insulating houses is on the same order of magnitude as that of land acquisition near airports. The indirect economic consequences of insulation are not as severe as those caused by the relocation of nearly 4,000,000 families. It would seem, however, that neither alternative for reducing the impact of aircraft noise by insulating the receiver is economically viable. Land acquisition and the resulting dislocation of families could have serious consequences on the general economy, but insu- lation of homes is merely a method of treating the symptom rather than the disease. To escape the annoyance of air- craft, people would have to remain in houses sealed against sound. The outdoors would still be subject to aircraft noise. 3.7 Cost of Aircraft Noise Abatement; Reduction of Noise at the Source The source of noise from aircraft is the engine, primarily jet engine whine produced by the intake and com- pression of air and the high velocity expulsion of exhaust. The technology exists to modify current jet engines (retro- fitting) by nacelle treatment to achieve significant noise reductions or to equip jet aircraft with high by-pass "quiet" engines. Either alternative is costly, but substantially less than attempting to achieve acceptable noise levels by insulating the receiver. Estimates of retrofit costs have been made bv both the Boeing and McDonald-Douglas aircraft companies. The McDonald-Douglas Corporation estimated the cost of each engine retrofit at $655,000 (including spare nacelles). The Boeing Company's estimate for each retrofit was $1 million. It should be noted that a major component 12 National Aeronautics and Space Administration, "NASA Acoustically Treated Nacelle Program," 1969. See especially pp. 63-73, and pp. 109-117. 31 ------- of the cost is due to depreciation of the nacelle, which was assumed to have a life of only 5 years while the aircraft itself has an assumed life of 12 years. In other words, both companies make the supposition that each aircraft engine is modified when it is 7 years old. The noise level gener- ated by an airplane as well as the retrofit cost is a function of the number of engines on the aircraft. The cost of retrofit by number of engines and by the two companies are shown below in Table III-ll. Table III-ll Estimated Costs of Retrofit Number of Number of Retrofit Cost Engines Aircraft Boeing McDonald-Douglas 4 816 $3,264,000,000 $2,137,920,000 3 543 1,629,000,000 1,066,995,000 2 422 844.000,000 552.820.000 TOTAL $5,737,000,000 $3,757,735,000 To install treated nacelles on all jet aircraft would cost between $3.8 billion and $5.7 billion.14 13 Federal Aviation Administration, Statistical Handbook, 1970, passim. 14 A number of other sources have estimated the cost of retrofitting the jet fleet; these estimates are generally lower than the Boeing - McDonald-Douglas figures. For example, DOT-NASA (Op. Cit.. p. 5-6) have estimated the cost of retrofitting at about $1 billion. 32 ------- 3.8 Benefits from the Abatement of Aircraft Noise The reduction of aircraft noise would produce signifi- cant benefits for the millions of individuals exposed to undesirable aircraft noise levels and also, the airline industry. It is difficult to assess accurately the benefits to individuals, because little information is available con- cerning the costs associated with the effects of annoyance. The adverse effect on property values and the costs of easements would be less, and less litigation should result, if aircraft noise were significantly abated. The benefits accruing to the airline industry are, however, more easily identified and some approximate indications of the benefits can be developed. These factors are reviewed below. If noise from aircraft were significantly lowered, the cost of construction of new airports and the operating costs of existing facilities could be greatly reduced. Land acquisition is a major expenditure in the development of new airport facilities. If noise levels were reduced, the size of the parcel required to provide the "noise right-of-way" would also be smaller. The savings could be very substan- tial, according to DOT-NASA estimates: The area of land encompassed by the 110 PNdB takeoff contour of a long-haul four-engine civil jet is approximately 600 acres; the additional area of land encompassed by the 100 PNdB contour is approximately 7,000 acreas. Assuming that a typical airport has eight runway ends , a 10 PNdB noise reduction would "relieve" about 50,000 acres. To buy this acreage, assuming a new airport were being established, say, 30 miles from a major city, would cost some $350 million at an assumed cost of undeveloped acreage of $7,000 per acre. Assuming that three new airports were involved, the savings would equal the billion dollars estimated as the cost to quiet the current civil aviation jet fleet.!5 The above statement from the DOT-NASA study also sug- gests some further savings. In the estimation of the $350 million saving per major airport, it was assumed that the terminal would be built some 30 miles from a major city. Such airports are inconvenient for the traveler and tend to be under utilized due to the inherent costs associated with time lost and distance involved in reaching the terminal. 15DOT-NASA Joint Study, Op. Cit. . p. 5-6. 33 ------- This phenomenon is amply illustrated by the case of the Washington, D. C., airports: Washington National is con- veniently located and heavily utilized while Dulles International is distant from the population centers which it serves and has excess capacity. DOT-NASA has also esti- mated that "if the effect of noise were to cause an airport to be located 10 miles further from the populated area it serves, the additional cost to travelers and employees could exceed $30 million annually for each major airport."16 xhe more distant the airport from the city, the greater the inconvenience cost and the less the cost of undeveloped land per acre. There are economic costs beyond merely the cost of construction of airports distant from metropolitan areas that they serve. If the facility is to be a viable entity, then high-speed access links to remote airports must be constructed. The construction of such freeways, highways, or rapid transit systems require the purchase of rights of way and the dislocation of residential communities or indus- trial facilities over and beyond the cost of construction. There are real economic costs associated with such construc- tion and these should also be noted. From the growth in the number of aircraft operations and air travel, it is obvious that the number of airports accommodating jet aircraft will grow significantly in the near future. Unless noise abatement measures are undertaken, the cost of new airports and the indirect costs to travelers and employers will be enormous, due to the noise problem. Existing airport facilities are also affected by the current noise levels of jet aircraft. In particular, air- port capacities are reduced in three ways: first, noise limits the number of hours of each day that the airports can be used. For example, jet operations at some airports are not permitted between 11:00 p.m. and 7:00 a.m. This is true of Washington's National Airport; the passenger bound for Washington must deplane at either Dulles or Baltimore's Friendship Airport if his plane is scheduled to arrive during restricted hours at National. This restriction severely limits the airport's efficiency, for nighttime traffic is often shifted to the daylight hours causing higher peak loads and congestion. A new airport may have to be built in order to avoid the overloading of existing facilities during the daylight hours. Cargo and airfreight operations are ideally suited to nighttime traffic and if this must be eliminated due to noise, then the utilization of the civil I6lbid. , p. 5-5. 34 ------- aircraft fleet is reduced as is the revenue earning capabil- ity of domestic carriers. Secondly, it is common to restrict runway usage because certain runways will expose more individuals to noise than others. Thus, the potential of the existing facilities is lowered and expansion may be hampered solely because of noise. If present facilities cannot be expanded, it may be necessary to build additional airports. Further, aircraft delays, which result in losses of both time and money by passengers and of aircraft capacity utilization by airlines, are often caused by such restric- tions.1? Thirdly, in order to reduce the impact of noise, flight-space restrictions are frequently imposed and certain segments of the airways are not available to the jet fleet. This further reduces the capacity of both airports and air- craft and also contributes to operating delays, which are costly to both travelers and the airlines. DOT-NASA have estimated that noise restrictions alone could reduce the capacity of an airport by 20 per cent,18 The annual aircraft- delay cost for an airport with 450,000 operations annually has been estimated at $11 million. *•$ This is exclusive of the time lost by passengers, the inconvenience of missed con- nections due to delays, and so forth. 3.9 Aircraft Noise; A Summary In summary, the benefits from the abatement of aircraft noise accrue to the operators of airports, the airlines, as well as to the residential dweller who ho longer is subjected to undesirable noise levels from this source. Most of the economic benefits can be thought of as the elimination, or at least the reduction, of the economic costs of aircraft noise, which in the aggregate have been estimated in billions of dollars in direct costs. The indirect effects and eco- nomic consequences of jet noise are equally important. One requirement for the growth and development of a region in economic terms is an adequate transportation system. To the extent that aircraft noise reduces the efficiency of air Much of airline travel is done for business purposes, as opposed to pleasure travel. Those traveling are often doing so in an executive capacity and are paid commensurably Therefore, the economic cost of aircraft delays involves the "lost wages" of a relatively high income group. 18DOT-NASA Joint Study, p. 5-6 35 ------- transportation, a major transportation mode, or that the restrictions due to noise make the construction of airports more costly than would be required otherwise, regional eco- nomic development could be retarded. From the estimates given for the cost of aircraft noise abatement, it is clear that noise should be reduced at the source. While the cost of acoustically treating jet engines range from $3.8 billion to $5.7 billion, it was estimated that the cost of insulating houses or providing a noise right of way would be several times as large. With present technology, however, it is impossible to produce a silent jet engine; nor are the prospects for such a technological breakthrough in the near future promising. Therefore, some combination of retrofitting engines, providing noise rights of way around airports, and insulating homes will be required to achieve acceptable noise levels from aircraft at a reasonable cost. From the data presently available, it is not possible to determine the economic tradeoffs or the "optimum" combination of these abatement alternatives for a given locality. In view of the economic consequences of aircraft noise, however, research should be undertaken to provide more adequate knowledge of these tradeoffs. 36 ------- Section IV The Economics of Ground Transportation Noise Ground transportation noise is generated from a large number of sources: automobiles, buses, trucks, ambulances, fire engines, motorcycles, trains, and urban subways. As indicated in the section on growth of noise sources, total motor vehicle registrations are growing at about 4.0 per cent per annum and if that rate continues, will double in less than 18 years. The numbers of truck, bus, and motorcycle registrations are growing at a higher rate than automobile registrations. Growing at almost 17 per cent each year, the number of licensed motorcycles could double in a little over four years. At a growth rate of 4.2 per cent per annum, the number of buses and trucks on the nation's streets and high- ways could double by 1988, i.e., in 17 years. As in the case of other kinds of noise , ground transportation noise as an environmental pollutant depends on the magnitude of the noise emitted by the source, the path of transmission, and the sensitivity of the receiver. Studies have shown that because of their high noise levels and their frequent penetration of residential areas, trucks, buses, and motorcycles often exceed ambient sound levels. Broadly conceived, ground transportation emissions can be divided into two groups: (1) the intrusion noise gener- ated from motor vehicles that contributes to the ambient sound, and (2) the noise of freeway or expressway traffic. Both kinds of ground transportation noise vary by time of day and also by weather conditions.1 4.1 Noise Distribution; Sources of Noise In 1969, the State of California conducted an intensive survey on the sources of motor vehicle noise. The survey was conducted to obtain specific data on the number and the types of vehicles that would exceed a proposed reduction in the highway noise limits for vehicles in the State of California.2 Although the survey originally emphasized U.S. Department of Commerce, The Noise Around Us, September 1970, p. 97. 9 California State Assembly Bill 2254 was introduced in the 1969 Legislative Session by Mr. George W. Millias and Mr. Frank Lantenman. The law proposed a 2 dB(A) reduction in the maximum permissible noise limits for all vehicles. To answer questions that arose during hearings on the proposed bill, the California State Highway Patrol took a noise 37 ------- passenger automobiles, some information was collected about motorcycles and pickup trucks. The study was divided into two parts: (1) city streets with speed zones of 35 mph or less, and (2) freeways and country roads with speed zones of more than 35 mph. Noise readings were made at 21 locations on city streets, 10 locations on freeways in Los Angeles, and Sacramento, and at four locations on country roads. City Streets; The survey of 21 different locations on city streets found that the noise level for 9,395 vehicles under 6,000 pounds gross vehicle weight was 68 dB(A)--con- siderably lower than the California State Statutory limit of 82 dB(A). Only three vehicles, or about .03 per cent of the sample exceeded the statutory limit. Each of the three automobiles had modified exhaust systems. With the exception of Volkswagens, older automobiles (Chevrolets, Dodges, and Fords) averaged approximately the same noise levels as newer automobiles, i.e., those manufactured after 1965. The Freeway Test; As might be expected, the measured noise level for the 2,865 vehicles tests in the freeway sample was higher than that for the city streets. Neverthe- less, the average noise level of 74 dB(A) was less than the statutory limit. Only two vehicles exceeded the statutory limit of 82 dB(A) and each of these vehicles also had a modified exhaust system. Country Roads; The results of the test for automobiles traveling on asphalt roads in excess of 35 miles an hour with no stop signs, also showed that the measured vehicles had an average noise level (71 dB(A)) that was less than the statu- tory limit (86 dB(A)) . As a result of the study, the Department of the California Highway Patrol believes that the State Legislature could significantly reduce the maximum statutory noise limit without placing in violation, or an excessively high financial Footnote 2 Continued survey to find the answers to the following questions: (1) The average noise levels of vehicles under 6,000 pounds gross vehicle weight rating. (2) The noise level distribu- tion of vehicles under 6,000 pounds gross vehicle weight rating. (3) The causes of the noise from vehicles that exceed the present limits, and (4) The extent to which the proposed lower limits might penalize older vehicles. Department of California Highway Patrol Passenger Car Noise Survey, Sacramento, California, January 1970, mimeographed. 38 ------- burden on, those automobile owners who make reasonable efforts to maintain their automobile exhaust systems in good condition. Only 15 out of approximately 55,000 automobiles and pickup trucks tested exceed the statutory limit. A. 2 The Cost of Ground Transportation Noise Because of the convenience of owning and operating automobiles and the convenience of using limited access free- ways, society has accepted and even acclimated itself to traffic-generated noise. Nevertheless, the presence of high noise levels can alter consumer choices and may affect the value of certain kinds of real estate, especially the value of properties located close to busy freeways. Two studies, one on the effect of freeway traffic noise on apartment rentals in Portland, Oregon, and another on the effect of such traffic on residential real estate in Toledo, Ohio, shed some light on the cost of noise on property values. Traffic and Rental Values in Portland, Oregon: The purpose of the Portland study was to measure the effect that freeway noise has on the value of a sample of apartments, holding the effects of other variables constant. A total of 38 different apartments or apartment complexes were included in the study. Each of the apartments met the following criteria: (1) within one mile of the two major freeways in Portland, (2) contained at least 15 apartment units, and (3) had been in use for a sufficient period of time to establish property values. From a total of 81 possible independent variables, the following 25 were used for the stepwise regressions: Variable Distance to Shopping Center Distance to Elementary School Distance to High School Distance to Recreation Area 3Ibid.. p. 23 A The Robin M. Towne and Associates, Inc., An Investigation of the Effect of Freeway Traffic Noise on Apartment Rents. A report prepared for the Oregon State Highway Commission and the United States Department of Commerce, Bureau of Public Roads, October 1966. 39 ------- Variable Distance to Central Business District Distance to Freeway Access Assessed Value of Apartments (1965) Number of Units in Building Story of Unit Index of Quality (mainly elevator, lobby, grounds, swimming pool, and recreation facilities) Number of Stories in Building Size of Apartment Area Size of Site Area Age of Building Percentage of Vacant Apartments (1965) Size of Average Unit Area Average Unit Rent (1965) Average Building Vacancy Rate (1965) The analyses resulted in two principal findings and one general conclusion. The first finding was that freeway noise had greater significance for expanding rent differences for units on or above the fourth floor than those located on the third floor or below. The second finding was that the effect of freeway noise on rents in Portland is fairly small.5 The general conclusion of the research group (which was not necessarily supported by the data), was that although freeway noise might be a nuisance, the disutility of that noise is not reflected in rents. This simply means that the subjective disutility of noise is offset by the subjective utility of other determinants of rent. Apartment dwellers may tend to be more transient than home owners. Because of that, it is not unlikely that apartment dwellers have a 40 ------- greater tolerance to noise, especially when noise is offset by other factors such as proximity to schools, places of work, and recreation facilities. The Effect of the Detroit-Toledo Expressway on Property Values in Toledo; In 1966, the Department of Civil Engineer- ing, Research Foundation, The University of Toledo, studied the effect of freeway noise,on the value of residential properties in Toledo, Ohio. The research effort was a continuation of a study conducted in 1965-1966, which investigated 15 different areas between the Ohio and Michigan border. The earlier study determined that the data collected were not sufficiently conclusive to analyze the economic effect of traffic noise on property values. The follow-on study was an in-depth analysis of one neighborhood in Toledo. According to the socio-economic sketch of the neighborhood, it is a lower-to-middle income neighborhood with low rates of crime, lower rates of unemployment, juvenile delinquency, and child dependency on public welfare than corresponding averages in the same county. The fact that the neighborhood is not a cross-section of the population, representing low, middle and high incomes, can distort the results of the analysis. The research team found that in a study of land values, those closest to the expressway exhibited the largest gains between the early 1950's and mid-1960's and that there was no tendency to "shy away" from the expressway in terms of the construction of new residences. In part, the greatest gain for properties located near the expressway resulted from an equalization of land values within the entire study area. Properties located near the expressway tended to have lower values than those more remote from the right-of-way before the construction of the expressway. An investigation of re-sales showed no noticeable difference in the behavior of property values one block from the expressway, compared with those three to five blocks away. In addition to looking at the relationship between property values and noise levels, the research study made an inquiry of a group of realtors about their opinions of the United States Department of Transportation, Bureau of Public Roads, Expressway Traffic Noise and Residential Properties, July 1, 1967, a report prepared by David C. Colony, Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering 7Ibid. . p. 4. 8Ibid.. p. 58 and p. 60. 41 ------- effect of freeway noise on property values. The questionnaire was not sent to a random sample of realtors. Rather, a ques- tionnaire was sent to every second listing in the "yellow pages" under real estate. Of a total of 140 questionnaires, a usable response was received of about one-third. The survey sent to realtors was an opinion survey which revealed the "feelings" of those surveyed. The response to the question- naire sent indicated that realtors believed that the freeway caused a considerable loss in property value (i.e., between 20 and 30 per cent). This questionnaire approach was a marked divergence from both the exacting scientific character of the study and data collected from other sources. To confirm or negate both sets of collected data, objective and realtor survey, residents of the area were also surveyed. The sample consisted of those people living in close proximity to the expressway — an area extending 1,100 to 1,200 feet from the right of way line of the expressway. According to the research group, the surveyed residents lived in an area where the noise levels were within an 80 to 85 decibel range. The results of the survey of property owners does not completely agree with data on pro- perty values. Fifty per cent of those responding said that noise was a disturbance.9 Of those indicating that noise was a disturbance, about 40 per cent stated that the noise level was "very severe" and 63 per cent stated that they would not buy, build, or rent so close to an expressway again. ^ In this study, the results of the surveys to realtors and to home owners are consistent with one another but inconsistent with data on property values. It should be remembered that only 50 percent of those surveyed found noise to be a disturb- ance . The results of the Toledo Study strongly suggest that if traffic noise, either real or anticipated, has a notice- able influence on the market value of residential property, it is for that property which is immediately adjacent to the expressway. In addition, the survey of residents found that at most the only steps taken to reduce outside noise were the installation of storm windows and keeping doors and windows closed.H 9Ibid. , p. 137. 1QIbid., p. 137. The Toledo study suggests a narrow band of about 50 feet wide along the right of way line. Ibid., pp., 157-161. 42 ------- Available data permit a rough estimate of the costs of abating ground transportation noise by relocation and by noise reduction at the source. In 1971, Wyle Laboratories estimated that approximately 420 square miles is subject to undesirable noise levels as a result of the nation's major urban freeway system.^ Assuming the same nation-wide density pattern for land adjacent to major urban freeways, there are about 5,000 people per square mile or 2.1 million within the 420 square miles impacted by noise. Assuming that the land is valued, conservatively, at $10,000 per acre (including structures), the cost of noise easements would amount to about $2.68 billion (i.e., 268,000 acres at $10,000 per acre). The cost of relocation for about 500,000 families, using expenditure figures provided for under the Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1968 in the impacted area would amount to an additional $1.25 billion ($2,500 for each family). The combined costs of land acquisition and relocation would be about $3.93 billion in fiscal 1970, or approximately the same as total Federal spending for all federally supported community development and housing programs of $3.9 billion in fiscal 1971. At present, data are not available on the costs to the producer and to the consumer, in the form of higher prices, for reducing motor vehicle-generated noise. A California State Highway Patrol Survey suggests that California State maximum noise limits can be reduced without placing a viola- tion, or putting an undue economic burden, on those automobile owners who make reasonable efforts to maintain their auto- mobiles, especially exhaust systems. Similar studies for other parts of the country should be made to determine the relationship between existing standards and noise levels and whether new standards are required. Data provided by studies that show how much noise should be reduced would, of course, be used as an input to estimates of changes in costs to producers and prices paid by consumers resulting from reduced noise levels. Testimony from the Chicago hearings suggests that an important reason for not incorporating noise-reduc- tion devices is insufficient consumer demand at higher prices. Unfortunately, even if quieter vehicles (new) were required, manufactured, and bought, there is no assurance that these vehicles would be maintained and would remain quiet. Additional costs would have to be incurred, such as those incurred to monitor, inspect, and enforce established 12 Wyle Laboratory Report for EPA, "Community Noise, Trans- portation Noise, and Noise from Equipment Powered by Internal Combustion Engines," NTID 300-3, 1971. 13 Chicago Hearings EPA, Preliminary Transcript, p. 237 and p. 238. 43 ------- 14 standards. Mitigating the impact from noise takes four principal forms: insulation of houses and buildings along freeways and busy streets, screening highways with trees or walls, land use planning for property bordering on heavily traveled roads, and easements. 5 The costs of insulating the receiver against ground transportation noise could be high compared with noise reduction at the sources. The least-cost method for insulating houses or buildings probably would be the installation of storm windows on the side of buildings along freeway corridors. The Toledo Study showed that although the public is aware of noise enamating from expressways, few people have taken any action to reduce the noise levels in their homes (less than 15 per cent of those surveyed). In the few cases where action was taken, it consisted mainly The Highway Research Board, National Research Council, sponsored research designed to predict noise levels expected from new highway facility construction. The research included a series of examples that lead to tentative noise design criteria or noise standards. One finding of the Highway Research Board's work is that there exists a strong relationship between highway noise and ambient noise in terms of expected community response and, therefore, the costs to reduce traffic noise. If highway noise is less than ambient noise, little or no community reaction can be expected in the form of demands for noise abatement. Highway noise in excess of 16 dB above the general ambient noise level is likely to result in wide- spread complaints and strong community action to reduce the traffic noise. Only sporadic complaints from those most sensitive to noise will occur when highway intrusion levels are less than 9 dB above the average ambient noise level. Highway noise in excess of 16 dB above the general ambient level is likely to result in widespread complaints and strong community action to reduce the traffic noise. If true, and if noise abatement controls are related to community pressure, the costs of freeway or expressway noise reduction might increase as ambient noise levels decrease. Highway Research Board, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences-National Academy of Engineer- ing , National Cooperative Highway Design Guide for Highway Engineers, 1971, pp. 29-30. Melville C. Branch, R. Dale Beland, and Vern 0. Knudsen, Outdoor Noise and the Metropolitan Environment; Case Study of Los Angeles with Special Reference to Aircraft, University of California, Los Angeles, 1970, pp. 10-11. 44 ------- of keeping doors and windows shut or installing storm windows. One measure of the social benefits of noise reduction is an estimate of the willingness of those affected by noise to incur expenses to reduce noise. At present, there is little evidence to indicate whether people adversely sub- jected to noise would spend money to reduce noise levels. Although an esthetic asset to most highways, there is debate whether landscape plantings do much to reduce noise. One estimate is that plantings would have to be 300 to 500 feet in depth to cut noise levels in half. Landscaping of this magnitude would be extremely costly. It is believed that noise levels can be reduced by the use of "quiet" pavement surfaces and tires , but it is also believed that the trade- off for less noise might be adverse effects on safety.^ A rough estimate of the cost of easements, including dislocation costs, is about $1.25 billion for 420 square miles of highway subject to undesirable noise levels in 1971. Land-use plan- ning for busy highways and freeways, as well as for other aspects of urban development, is in a state of infancy. Further research will give added insight about the costs and the benefits of noise abatement, including the allocation of such costs and benefits between producers and receivers. Some of the trade-offs for quieter highways might be: time, mileage, changing values of real estate, community dislocation tax lease revenue, industrial development, and dislocation of negotiated distances by the motor carriers. David Colony, Op. Cit., p. 161. Chicago Hearings, Preliminary Transcript, p. 244 18Ibid. , p. 244. 45 ------- Section V The Economics of Noise Internal to the Residential Environment In contrast to the noise from aircraft overhead or from nearby highways, which impinges on the residential dweller, is the noise generated within the household and by neighbors in day-to-day activities. Such activities include lawn mowing, dishwashing, vacuuming, and so forth. 5.1 The Cost of Noise in the Residential Environment The noise generated by appliances and home equipment is pervasive and a part of every day living. So omnipresent are these noises that they are generally taken for granted or ignored. As was shown in the section on the growth of noise sources, however, the rapid proliferation of noise generators within and around the home and the concentration of population may raise noise levels and exposures to such an extent in the near future that a major noise problem will exist within the home itself. Evidence indicates that there is little real danger of deafness or serious hearing damage resulting solely from products used within the home. The noisiest of products, e.g., disposals, lawnmowers, power saws and dishwashers are not used continuously. Thus, even though these products are quite noisy, the exposure time and frequency of exposure are not sufficient to cause serious hearing damage. Although the risk of hearing loss is not great at the present time, there is evidence that noise is a source of considerable annoyance within the household. Common sense, if not scientific evidence, reveals that noise can frustrate desires for rest, privacy, relaxation, and even sleep. Anyone who has been awakened by noise of a barking dog, or a loud party, is well aware of the irritation and annoyance involved. It is difficult to place an accurate estimate on the cost associated with annoyance from noise. If the effects of noise were well known, and affected all individuals equally, the task would be considerably simplified. Such however, is not the case, for what some individuals (most people over 30 years of age) consider noise, other individuals (teenagers) consider "music to the ears" (rock music). Moreover, studies have shown that consciousness of noise is related to income levels. Table V-l summarizes the results of a survey of indi- viduals in Los Angeles, Boston, and New York that attempted to 46 ------- Table V-l Rank Ordering of Noise, by Source and Income Class: Los Angeles, Boston, and New York (Combined) Source Traffic Children/ Neighbors Planes Industry Other Animals Sirens/Horns Passersby Sonic Boom Motorcycles Trains All Incomes 10 6 2 2 1 1 1 ! .0 .9 .3 .3 .9 .9 .7 .9 .8 .8 .5 Income Class High 10.0 5.0 3.2 1.6 .9 2.7 2.1 .6 .3 .8 .3 Middle 10 6 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 .0 .2 .7 .9 .5 .4 .7 .3 .4 .0 .0 Low 9.8 10.0 .8 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.4 .6 .3 .3 1.7 Source: "Noise in Urban and Suburban Areas," Op. Cit . , p. 23 47 ------- correlate consciousness of noise sources to income class. Not only does the annoyance of noise depend upon the source generating the noise and income group, but it has also been shown that people are more tolerant of their own noise than that produced by others.^ Consider the data in Table V-2 derived from a study of apartment dwellers. With the single exception of the dishwasher, noises from other apartments were always more bothersome than the same type of noise from the apartment of the respondent. There is a human tendency to consider one's own noise as "necessary" and that produced by neighbors as unjustified, because it represents an invasion of acoustical privacy. Studies have also shown that a major irritation associated with noise is sleep interference; the other most prevalent reasons for being bothered by noise are the "shock" of being startled, interference with activities such as watching TV or listening to radio, and the interruption of conversation. The results of a survey are shown in Table V-3. Given that the effects of noise depend upon the receiver, his socio-economic background, the noise source, and even the time of day (i.e., noise is much more annoying when a person is attempting to go to sleep or has been awakened), it is virtually impossible to predict an individual's reaction to a given sound stimulus without a considerable amount of ancillary information. Goldsmith and Jonsson have stated that: There are several different effects of or reactions to domestic noise. The primary effects are physical effects, possible symptoms or aggravation of disease, possible impairment of function, or interference with activities. Secondary to the physical reaction of perception may be feelings of annoyance, which are usually defined as the extent to which people report being bothered, disturbed or irritated. If a person's feelings of annoyance are strong enough they will lead him or her to try to irodlfy the sound environment. They can also lead him to behave in a way which has social effects (i.e., create parent-child tensions , or moving of the U. S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, "Noise in Urban and Suburban Areas: Results of Field Studies," January, 1967, p. 22. 2 Alexander Cohen, "Noise and Psychological State," Paper Presented at the National Conference on Noise as Public Health Hazard, June 13-14, 1968. 48 ------- Table V-2 Per Cent of Apartment Occupants Finding Specified Indoor Noises Bothersome Noise Source Plumbing Garbage Disposal Dishwasher Doors Slamming Walking TV and Radio Phone Ringing a Noises from Bedroom Talking in Halls, on Stairs , and Landing From Adjacent or Upstairs Apartment 71.0 73.1 42.3 86.5 50.0 7.0 1.0 10.0 17 .0 From Own Apartment 13.0 32.0 68.0 Conversation, baby crying, etc. Source: Cohen, Op. Cit. , p. 19. 49 ------- Table V-3 Reasons Associated with Being "Ve.ry Bothered." Reason & C M 7 7 4 2 0 2 2 2 1 0 erfere with Conversation j_i c M 7 4 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 01 o) o K (U X j_i (U 4J CO t-l ^3 •H > O 01 cd JS en 4 3 3 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 (U C 0 is 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source: "Noise in Urban and Suburban Areas", Op. Git., p. 25. 50 ------- residence). In addition to these physical or psychological reactions may be impairment of communication or of sleep. From the above, it is clear that there are a diverse set of possible reactions to noise. The social cost of noise within the home must be analyzed in terms of the economic consequences associated with the various effects of noise. A partial list of the effects of domestic noise is shown in Table V-4. Even though it is possible to compile a partial list (Table V-4) of the possible effects of domestic noise, it is still difficult to attach an economic cost to these various effects. One of the reasons is that noise is likely to be a contributing factor rather than a direct cause of some of the effects listed. Consider the first item under "Symptoms of aggravation or disease," headaches. If all headaches were caused by noise then one measure of the cost of noise would be the amount spent on products to alleviate headaches. This approach, however, ignores the pain and anquish and the reduced effectiveness of the individual suffering from the headache and the economic consequences of the reduction in the ability to function. Further, headaches can be caused by any number of other factors. Moreover, some of the products used to combat headaches, aspirin for example, have a myriad of other medical uses. Two facts, however, can be postulated with certainty: noise can contribute to headaches, and can reduce the efficiency of an individual as well as his psychological well being. Rather than attempt a rigorous assessment of the cost of annoyance caused by noise and the other varied effects , some plausible assumptions will be made which will permit a first order approximation of the economic consequences of domestic noise. To the extent that noise interferes with rest, relaxation, and sleep itself, domestic noise can be considered a source of fatigue. Further, if noise aggravates or contributes to headaches, muscle tension, anxiety, and so forth, it contributes to stress in the individual. An individual under stress who is also fatigued is unlikely to perform at his potential peak performance. The quality and q John R. Goldsmith and Erland Jonsson, "Effects of Noise on Health in the Residential and Urban Environment", Paper prepared for the American Public Health Association, August, 1969, (mimeographed), p. 8a. 4 Goldsmith and Jonsson, Op. Git. , passium. 51 ------- Table V-4 Possible Effects of Domestic Noise Symptoms of Aggravation or Disease : Impairment of Functions : Interference with Activities Feelings of Annoyance : Individual Actions to Modify the Environment: Social Effects: Headache Muscle Tension Anxie ty Insomnia Fatigue Drug Consumption Other Reactions Impairment of hearing, including temporary threshold shift and presbycusis Interference with —Relaxation and rest —Communication (Conversa- tion, listening to radio, telephone and TV) Fear Resentment Dis traction Need to Concentrate Installation of Air Condi- tioning so that windows can be closed, Installation of acoustic insulation materials to reduce noise in the home. Shutting windows. The use of masking noises, such as turning on the radio or TV or fan. Departure from environment. Concentration of lower social class families in noise pollutant residen- tial areas. Spending less time at home because of noise problems. Withdrawl from communication Family tension. Source: Goldsmith and Jonsson, Op. Cit . , Table 1 52 ------- quantity of work (whether the work is domestic or related to a person's livelihood) are both apt to be lower under con- ditions of stress and fatigue. Neither a psychologist nor an industrial engineer is needed to prove that stress and fatigue adversely affect performance. Therefore, it can be argued that domestic noise and the stress and fatigue associated with it affect the worker on the job. Not only might noise lower the quality and quantity of work, but it also seems plausible to assert that noise factors can diminish morale and contribute to absenteeism. These effects alone can have substantial economic consequences If the Gross National Product is reduced by one per cent, due to the various effects of domestic noise, then, at present levels, domestic noise costs the economy nearly ten billion dollars of foregone output each year. A tired and nervous person is obviously not as attentive or able to concentrate on the tasks that he is performing as a rested and relaxed person, i.e., noise can contribute to making a person more prone to accidents in both the home and the work environment. The relationship between domestic noise and accidents within the home has just begun to receive attention by researchers. The following item appeared in The Washington Post of September 11, 1971, Section D, p. 43: If you have a habit of cutting yourself with sharp knives or if you are continually falling off the step-stool in the kitchen, it doesn't necessarily mean you are accident prone. It might be that your kitchen noise factor is too high, and in trying to escape, you injure yourself. This is an idea that is leading to a new study of design principles which might be identified as the psychobiology of design, says Professor Donald C. Hays of the University of Wisconsin. He is chairman of the Department of Environmental Design that has just made a study called The Auditory Environment in the Home. "In this study we were trying to correlate noise of products connected with tasks in the kitchen.... the extent to which startling effects may cause one suddenly to focus away from one's tasks. We have found kitchens are a deafening place for the house- wife," Hay explained in an interview. If you can escape noises above 60 decibels and close the door, great. Or you might try wearing ear muffs. You won't notice an airplane at 60 53 ------- (Continued) decibels if you are tuned to music. Noises are decibel deceivers though. Whereas the ear-splitting knife sharpener registers in at only 80 decibels, the seemingly less noisy blender and wall-exhaust fan are likely to give off at 90 decibels—noise factors that might cause the skin to pale, the pupils to dilate and the adrenalin to increase, impairing work efficiency. The range vent fan registers in at 85, the garbage disposal at 80 and the dishwasher at a mere 70. A comforting thought might be that everything can be run at the same time without the decibel rate going appreciably above the highest noisemaker. It might be the clue to solving kitchen problems—turn everything on for one big blast, and go outdoors. John Koss sponsored the university study on the auditory environment in the home to find out whether noise factors can be solved in future product design and whether home environment can begin to meet the needs of the family adjusting to it. "There have been all sorts of studies on the effects of jet noises and factory noises, but no one has gotten in to the home areas," he explained. The cost associated with accidents in the United States is an enormous sum, even if the pain and suffering of the individual and all indirect economic costs are ignored. Consider, for example, disabling injuries—defined as injuries resulting in the loss of one day's work. In 1968, the National Safety Council reported 2.2 million disabling injuries at work; it was estimated that the total time lost due to work injuries was about 245 million man-days. If each individual were paid at an average of $2.50 per hour and worked an average of eight hours per day, then the total cost of accidents at work would be about $4.9 billion. If domestic noise had contributed substantially to as little as one per cent of these accidents because of stress and fatigue, then this component of the cost of domestic noise could be placed at $49.0 million. The National Safety Council has estimated the cost of accidents at the workspace in 1968 as $21.3 billion; given this amount, the plausible first approximation due to noise would be $213 million.7 See Table A-7, Appendix. See Table A-8, Appendix. 54 ------- There are numerous indirect economic costs associated with accidents and fatalities which can be briefly summarized. In addition to the loss of output, medical facilities, already in short supply, are further burdened by accident cases. If a significant reduction could be made in the accident rate by the abatement of domestic noise, considerable direct and indirect benefits would accrue to the economy as a whole. Rather than attempt to put a price tag on domestic noise, it seems more reasonable to approximate the total exposure of individuals to various domestic noise generators. Table V-5 presents an estimate of the total number of people exposed to noise generated from different kinds of appliances and tools. It is evident that the exposure of individuals to noise in the home is substantial and, from the section on the grow- th in noise sources, it is also clear that domestic noise will be an increasing problem in the future. 5.2 The Economics of Domestic Noise Abatement The two alternatives for the reduction of domestic noise are either to insulate the receiver from the source, or reduce the noise generated by the source itself. From a practical standpoint, the latter is the only viable alternative for noise generators used within the home. Insulating the re- ceiver from the source would require the homemaker and other members of the family to don earmuffs or ear plugs when certain noisy products are operating. Such a proposal is patently absurd; the "cure" is worse than the disease. It can be suggested, however, that more sound insulation, of improved quality, in homes would reduce the annoyance from "neighbor-generated" noise. Because of the heterogeneity of noise generators used within the home, it is not possible to obtain an estimate of the total cost of noise abatement programs. The one generali- zation that can be made, however, is that more money is required to produce a quieter product. The cost of quieting a particular product within a given time span can only be determined on a product-by-product basis. In response to letters sent to manufacturers who were promoting "quiet" as a design feature of some of their products, some estimates of the costs involved were obtained. Examples are cited below. (1) The addition of a reed muffler to a chain saw decreased noise from 111 dB(A) to 101 dB(A) and (added) only 2 per cent to the cost of the chain saw package. 55 ------- Table V-5 Individuals in the United States Exposed to Noise from Selected Appliances or Tools, 1970. Total Homemakers and Potential Children Under Exposure Six Years of Age Appliance Millions Clothes Washer 183.0 50.1 Vacuum Cleaner 181.0 49.5 Clothes Dryer 80.3 22.0 Air Conditioner (Window & Central) 44.6 12.2 Dishwasher 47.1 12.9 Garbage Disposals 45.6 12.5 Food Mixer 163.0 44.5 Floor Polisher 31.9 8.7 Food Blender 63.1 17.1 Saws, Drills, etc. 39.8 11.9 Source: Bolt Beranek and Newman, Inc. 56 ------- (2) A major producer of room air conditioners in 1966 produced a quiet unit that decreased noise levels inside a room by 15 per cent and outside the house by 10 per cent. Manufacturing costs rose 20 per cent. (3) A manufacturer of garbage disposals states that an insulating "sound shell" can be placed around disposals to reduce noise at an additional* cost of $2.00 per unit. (4) A muffled pavement breaker has been developed that reduces noise 6 to 8 dB(A) without loss of efficiency. The retail price of the unit increased from $705 to $815—or by 15 per cent. (5) A major manufacturer developed a "quiet" garbage truck chassis that raised the price only one per cent. (6) Truck replacement mufflers that meet Society of Automotive Engineers standards cost between $58 to $80, while conventional mufflers cost $20-$30 less. Under normal use, a truck muffler wears out about once a year. (7) A manufacturer of typewriters reports that sound-attenuating materials on electric typewriters adds only $0.60 to manufacturing cos ts . (8) A silenced metal garbage can has been created that costs $1.80 more than a conventional model. From the examples presented, it is evident that the cost of quieting the source varies substantially from a few cents or as little as one per cent of total cost to as much as twenty per cent of total cost. There are no generalizations that can be made about the cost of quieting a particular product. Until quite recently, few producers stressed or advertised "quiet" as one of the attributes of their products. Apparent- ly, the consumer has not voiced a sufficient distaste for noise, perhaps regarding noise as the "price of progress" 57 ------- just as the belching smokestack at one time was the symbol of prosperity rather than air pollution. 5.3 Noise Internal to the Residential Environment; A Summary There is ample evidence that millions of individuals are currently exposed to noise generated by products within and around the home. A plausible case can be made for asserting that a causal link exists between noise, stress, and fatigue, and accidents and fatalities. Without more extensive study and better data, however, it is impossible to estimate with much accuracy the economic costs of domestic noise. Accidents and fatalities are, however, expensive to both the individual and the economy. Efficiency in the workspace which affects productivity and also the quality of output are likely to be reduced from stress and fatigue resulting from noise at home. Even if noise is only indirectly responsible, a small percentage improvement in productivity could have large economic consequences. As a "ball park" estimate, therefore, it is reasonable to assert that the economic cost of domestic noise is in the billions of dollars. At the present time, there appears to be no serious risk of hearing impairment or loss due solely to domestic noise. The economic cost of domestic noise is due to the annoyance produced. With the rapid growth in noise sources within the home, as shown in the section on the growth of noise generators, and with the growth in noise-density, due to increased population concentration, these annoyance effects and the associated economic costs are likely to increase dramatically in the near future. Case studies will be required to determine the cost of domestic noise abatement at the source. For some products, small expenditures have produced quieter products, but for others, manufacturing costs have been greatly increased to achieve noise reduction. 58 ------- Section VI Spending for Noise Abatement 6.1 Federal Expenditures Although federal spending for noise-related activities has been growing slightly in recent years, the total for fiscal years 1968 through 1971 is estimated to be slightly more than $110 million. As Table VI-1 shows, between 60 and 70 per cent of total federal spending was made by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, primarily for research and development activities for the Quiet Engine Program and for the Super-Sonic Transport (SST) Program. An internal report of the Subcommittee on Noise of the Cabinet Committee on the Environment, chaired by the Secre- tary of Commerce, indicates that in fiscal year 1970 about 95 per cent of total federal spending was for noise related activities was directed toward problems associated with aircraft noise. The share going to aircraft noise was about 85 per cent of the total in fiscal year 1971. This means, of course, that in recent years only a small percentage of federal spending on noise-related programs has been directed toward highway, industrial, and other noise abatement programs. The Long Range Planning Service of the Stanford Research Institute forecasts that federal spending for aircraft noise abatement will decrease in relative importance as the Federal Government allocates more resources to reduce other sources of noise. In contrast to spending for noise abatement, the Federal Government spent $163 million on air and $829 million on water pollution control and abatement activities in fiscal year 1970, according to the first annual report of the Council on Environmental Quality. 6.2 Private Spending Although a few estimates have been made for individual programs, no estimate presently exists on the amounts pri- vate industry has spent for noise abatement problems in recent years.1 For example, the Air Transport Association of America estimates that the airlines and aircraft manu- facturers spent about $200 million for the development and An estimate of private spending for noise abatement would have to take into account a large number of diverse expend- itures, some of which would include the following: 59 ------- Table VI-1 Estimate of Federal Spending for Programs Related to Noise, Fiscal Years 1968 to 1971 Federal Agency NASA Department of Transportation Department of Defense3 Health, Education, and Welfare Department of Commerce Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior 1968 1969 1970 1971 Total 10.0 -- 0.8 0.2 0.3 b 21.6 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 b 24. 7C 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 22.3 8.9 2.5 1.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 103.3 4.3 1.4 2.1 1.0 Total 11.3 28.5 35.2 37.1 112.1 aPrimarily spending by the Air Force. "Not available clncludes $4.67 million for NASA Acoustics Facility Sources: Data for 1968 and 1969 from Stanford Research Institute, Long Range Planning Service, Noise Pollution Control, Menlo Park, California, October 1970, p. 6. Data for 1970 and 1971 from Internal Document, Cabinet Committee on the Environment, Subcommittee on Noise, Secretary of Commerce, Maurice H. Stans, Chairman, 1970. ------- installation of noise suppressors for the first commercial jets.2 Some other examples of the kind of information about private spending for noise reduction include the three following case studies: spending at a General Electric plant, at a paper mill, and at a manufacturing plant. o At a General Electric^ plant in Evansdale, Ohio, there was a large office area adjacent to the factory. The adver- tising and product information employees who worked in the office were distracted by noises emanating from the factory, and complained about the 75 - 78 dB(A) ambient sound level in their office. The plant's industrial hygienist agreed that they had a legitimate complaint, and decided to re-suspend the ceiling, soundproof the doors, and acousti- cally treat the walls. The cost of these modifications was about $10,000, and management believes that they now have a happier, more creative advertising and product information department.^ Another industrial noise abatement project took place at an eastern paper mill which had installed a new wood "(Continued) 1. Sales of acoustical tile and other sound absorbing mate- rials (also the cost of other noise-abating construction techniques); 2. College or foundation or privately sponsored research on noise abatement; 3. The incremental costs to manufacturers to include the amount of noise- abating materials that they have incorporated into their products; 4. The incremental cost to New York City and to other cities to purchase partially silenced garbage trucks; 5. Sales of earplugs and earmuffs; 6. The costs of fleeing the urban environment that can be attributed to noise pollution; 7. The cost of piped music to mask other noises; and 8. The efforts of numerous citizen groups, some involv- ing expensive lawsuits, to fight airport or traffic noise, or, to press for noise legislation and standards. Air Transport Association of America, A Fact Sheet on Aircraft Noise Abatement, January 20, 1970. 3 Large Jet Engine Division (LJED) of G.E. (. Occupational Hazards, July 1968, pp. 33-36. 61 ------- chipper to speed-up production. The chipper cut logs into small chips and blew them from the chipper room into digesters through a system of pneumatic tubes. The operator who monitored this process was subject to noise levels of 114 dB(A), well above all hearing damage risk criteria. To solve this dilemma, a booth was constructed from which the operator could monitor the chipper (and incidentally be pro- tected from flying chips). The amount spent for this action was around $2,500. Case histories of industrial noise abatement costs can even be mildly humorous. The following quotation relates how a plant manager schemed to get money to enclose the noisy screw machine department. I arranged a stop on the Board of Directors' shop tour at the foremen's desks alongside the screw department. We used this stop to talk about what cost reduction drives had just done to cut manufacturing and inven- tory costs. They all had their hands cupped to their ears while I shouted at them with a straight face. At the next month's board meeting, the $8,000 authorization went through without a quibble as I expected. ^ 6.3 Patents as a Surrogate for Spending An important output of research and development expen- diture are patented inventions. The literature on research and development, as well as economic growth, reveals that patented inventions have been used as a measure of scienti- fic and technological output. The principal justification for using patent activity as a measure of scientific progress is that patents pass a recognition or acceptability test (i.e., the examination in the Patent Office) for describing an invention that contributes something new. Because of the lack of available data on spending, patents are used here as a surrogate of input or expenditures rather than as a surro- gate for output, i.e., the value of research and development expenditures. Science and Technology. October 1969, p. 38 Factory. November 1967. 62 ------- The use of patented inventions as a measure of spending for noise-related problems is not precise for a number of reasons. First, there is no way to know whether the cost of an "average invention" remains the same over time. Second, there is no way to know whether the ratio of spending to inventions, and then the ratio of inventions to patents, in a given firm or sector of the economy, remains constant over time. Third, research indicates that there is a wide vari- ation among business firms, and also among non-profit insti^ tutions and the Federal Government, to file patent applica- tions on invention disclosures. Finally, it is impossible to identify patents issuing in any given year with R&D expenditures in some earlier year. Although a patent appli- cation usually pends for two and a half years in the Patent Office before issue (if it meets Patent Office criteria for patentability), some inventions are processed through the Patent Office more rapidly than others. Also, many patents cover inventions that are improvements on components of larger products and processes, with the R&D expenditure covering the entire product or process that is developed. Despite these weaknesses, patents are the result of research and development effort and they must in some way mirror changes in levels of manpower and dollars going into a given area of research. In part, this reflects the fact that in early 1970, the Patent Office established a priority program for anti-pollution inventions. The Patent Office reports that a year after the inception of the program, 380 patent applications covering anti-pollution techniques and devices completed the Patent Office's examination and pro- cessing within eight months after application (as compared with the normal two and a half years). The accelerated process program has two important objectives. First, to increase the speed at which the inventions get into use by industry, and second, to make new information available to other inventors as soon as possible.^ Tables VI-2 and VI-3 present information about the growth in the numbers of patents issuing in Patent Office subclasses that relate to acoustics or to noise abatement devices. The relevant subclasses were selected by a Patent Office Examiner with many years of experience in the field of acoustics. The data in Table VI-2 give the number of "Patent Office Approves 380 Anti-Pollution Applications Under Priority Program," Commerce Today. March 8, 1971, Vol. I No. 2, p. 30. The Patent Office does not have a classification of these inventions by field, i.e., those covering air, water, solid waste, noise, etc. 63 ------- Table VI-2 Number of United States Patents Issued In Patent Office Subclasses that Relate to Acoustics or Noise Abatement Devices, 1959 - 1970 Year Chemical3 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 61 29 36 36 22 38 50 35 24 20 56 46 Metalb Working 14 28 39 31 26 21 62 53 46 45 42 34 Patent Office Class or Subclass Buildings h h h h h h 3 8 4 5 8 3 Gas Separation h h h 1 0 1 2 3 4 3 0 4 Power Plants6 8 6 5 24 12 8 222 24 18 24 18 22 Acoustics* 48 69 52 44 88 58 86 61 51 58 57 72 Fluid Sprinkling, Spraying § Diffusing g Total 0 131 0 132 0 132 0 136 0 148 0 126 0 225 0 184 2 149 0 155 3 194 2 183 Total 453 441 31 18 201 744 1,895 23 Subclasses: 284 (Chambers and Stacks) and 288 (Catalytic) DClass 29 Subclass: 157 (Gas and Water) 52 Subclasses: 144, 145, 404, 405, 406, and 407 55 Subclass: 276 (Noise Attenuation) eClass 60, Subclasses: 29 (Exhaust Treatment) and 30 (Fluid Mingling) fClass 181, Subclasses: 30, and 33 through 72 Sciass 239, Subclass: 265.13 (Reaction Mortar Discharge Nozzle) with Retractible Noise Suppressing Steam Divider "No Issues Sources: Compiled from data in United States Patent Office, Index of Patents, 1959-1969 and United States Patent Office, Official Gazette. 1970. ------- ut Table VI-3 Growth in United States Patents Issued in Patent Office Subclasses that Relate to Acoustics or Noise Abatement Devices, 1959 - 1970 Growth Rate in Percent Subclass Chanicala Metal Workingb Buildings0 Gas Separation*1 Power Plants6 Acoustics* Fluid Sprinkling, Spraying, and DiffusingS All Subclasses Except 23 Mufflers and Sound Filters11 All U. S. Patents Issued Growth in Number of Patents Per Year Per Year (Linear Regression) (Logarthnic Regression) y = 605.38 + r2 = .50 y = 462.44 + r2 = .86 y = 443.67 + r2 = .11 y = 124.42 + r2 = .74 y = 620.95 + r2 = .63 y - 111.35 + r2 - .36 y = 200.33 + r2 = .41 29.95t 68.45t 29.86t 25.72t 7.76t 4.51t 10.44t y = 2.80 + r2 = .48 y = 2.71 + r2 = .88 y - 2.57 + . r2 = .18 y - 2.12 + . r2 = .76 y = 2.79 + . * o r2 = .58 y = 2.04 + . r2 = .42 y = 2.30 + . r2 = .44 .02x .03x 04x OSx Olx 02x 02x Item 1959 - 1970 #23 #29 #52* #55** #60 #181 #239*** y = 83.38 + 5.65t r2 = .48 y - 17.03 + .10t r2 = .05 y = 45862.95 + 1644.58t r2 = .50 y = 1.92 + .02x rz = .53 y = 1.17 + .Olx r2 = .13 y = 4.67 + .Olx r2 = .50 E Subclasses (except #23) #33 Total All Patents Issued ------- Table VI-3 (Continued) *From 1965-1971 **From 1962-1971 ***1969 Eliminated aClass 23, Subclasses: 284 (Chambers and Stacks) and 288 (Catalytic) bClass 29, Subclass: 157 (Gas and Water) cClass 52, Subclass: 144, 145, 404, 405, 406, and 407 Class 55, Subclass: 276 (Noise Attenuation) eClass 60, Subclasses: 29 (Exhaust treatment) and 30 (Fluid Mingling) Class 181, Subclasses: 30, and 33 through 72 sClass 239, Subclass: 265.13 (Reaction Mortar Discharge Nozzle) with Retractible Noise Suppressing Steam Divider No issues Subclass 33 Key to Symbols y = Growth, Growth Rate t = time (years) x, = log t r = coefficient of determination; statistical measure of the amount of variation in "y" explained by "t" or "x". Source: Compiled from data in United States Patent Office, Index of Patents, 1959-1969, and United States Patent Office, Official Gazette, 1970 ------- patents issued in seven broad fields (chemical, metal work- ing, buildings, gas separation, power plants, acoustics and fluid sprinkling, spraying, and diffusing) between 1959 and 1970. It must be emphasized that these patents are Patent Office subclasses that are most likely to cover inventions that relate to noise abatement devices. Without examining each patent disclosure, it is impossible to know whether they do in fact.8 The data in Table VI-3 give the average increase in the number of patents issued each year and the rate of growth in the number of patents that issue. All coefficients are positive, which means that the number of patents issued is increasing over time.9 The data in Table VI-3 show that all United States patents issued are growing at about 2.3 percent per annum. Patents relating to noise in Class 60 (Power Plants) are growing at about the same rate as are those in subclass 33 (Mufflers and sound filters) of Class 181 (Acoustics). The names of other subclasses in Class 181 are the following: o Although each invention was not analyzed closely, the data collection process reviewed that class 29 (metal-working - subclass 157) and class 60 (Power Plants - subclasses 29 and 30) contained a large number of patents that covered devices for air pollution control relating to exhaust from different kinds of motors. It is believed that class 23 (subclasses 284 and 288 contained the largest number of inventions that did not relate explicitly to noise abate- ment and that class 181 (subclasses 30 and 33 through 72) contained the largest number of inventions relating to noise abatement. 9 2 The low r 's for a number of the items means that the fit of the equation is not good and the coefficient is not good for forecasting changes in the level of patenting activity in those classes. The purpose of this analysis is not to forecast changes in the numbers of patents in these sub- classes. Moreover, with increased federal and private con- cern over noise-related problems, it is reasonable to assume that the numbers of inventions in these subclasses will increase more rapidly in the future. This is especi- ally true if the Patent Office continues its Priority Program for Anti-Pollution inventions. 67 ------- 33 Mufflers and Sound Filters 34 Mouthpieces 35 Fluid conducting or guiding 36 Combined 37 With safety valve 38 with cut-out 39 Underwater exhaust 40 Manifold 41 Through passage 42 With sound absorbing material 43 With fluid mingling 44 With by-pass 45 Valve controlled 46 Multi-passage 47 Expansion chamber 48 Side branch chamber 49 Baffle type 50 With sound absorbing material 51 With fluid mingling 52 Liquid 53 Retroverted 54 With side branch chamber 55 Coaxial foraminous walls 56 Multi-passage 57 Expansion chamber 58 Centrifugal flow 59 Side branch chamber 60 Multiple outlet 61 Casings 62 Insulated 63 Baffle structure 64 Moving 65 Biased 66 Spiral 67 Helical 68 Perpendicular and oblique 69 Perpendicular 70 Oblique 71 Filling material 72 Accessories Subclass 33 is the largest subclass in the acoustics area. Inventions in other subclasses that relate to acoustics or noise abatement devices are growing more rapidly than the number of total patents issued. For example, the relevant subclasses in chemicals; fluid sprinkling, spraying, and diffusing; and acoustics (except mufflers and sound filters) are growing at a rate of 4.7 per cent per annum. Noise related patents in metal working are growing at 7.2 per cent each year and those in the building class at about 9.6 per cent per annum. 68 ------- Tables VI-4 and VI-5 show patenting activity for noise- related inventions from a different point of view - the ownership of inventions at time of issue. Although the stringency varies among the different Federal agencies and also among private business, both the Federal Government and private companies usually require inventors to assign titles to patents to the funding organization. The data in these tables reflect the relative amount of R&D on noise-related problems undertaken by the Federal Government, individuals, and business, during the past decade or so. Table VI-4 gives a percentage distribution for all relevant subclasses in seven broad patent office classes. Table VI-5 gives the number of patents, by assignee, in subclass 33 (Mufflers and sound filters) of Class 181 (acoustics). The data displayed in both Table VI-4 and Table VI-5 strongly suggest that the private sector of the economy has been more active than the Federal Government in R&D on noise-related problems. During the entire 12-year period, the Federal Government acquired titles to less than five per cent, and in most years no more than two per cent, of all of the patents issuing in these subclasses. The same kind of distribution of patents between the Federal Government and private industry existed before World War II when the Federal R&D effort was just beginning to grow. Before World War II, universities, individuals, and private indus- try spent more for R&D than the Federal Government. 6.4 An Estimate of the Level of R&D Spending on Noise Abatement in the 1960's In 1968, the National Bureau of Standards assisted in the preparation of a report for the Task Force on Noise of the Federal Council on Science and Technology.^ f^g information developed tends to confirm patent statistics which show that most R&D on noise abatement was in the area of applied research and development and was undertaken by private industry. It was found that the Federal Government funded almost no research in the field of acoustics, apart from acoustical research associated with defense requirements. Based on a review of the Commerce Business Daily, the report identifies an expenditure of $259 thousand between 1963 and 1967 sponsored by the Federal Housing Internal Memorandum, from the National Bureau of Standards to the Members of the Federal Council on Science and Technology, Task Force on Noise, February 20, 1968. 69 ------- Table VT-4 Percentage Distribution of United States Patents Issued in Patent Office Subclasses that Relate to Acoustics or Noise Abatement Devices, By Assignee 1959 - 1970 Year 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Federal Government 4 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 1 Individual 18 27 21 25 19 16 25 20 17 17 18 14 Foreign 12 10 19 13 10 13 15 10 15 16 16 27 Large Business3 34 33 27 31 30 45 32 32 33 30 31 29 Other Business 32 29 32 31 40 25 26 37 34 35 35 29 aAmong the Fortune 500 in 1970 Sources: Compiled from data in United States Patent Office: Index of Patents, 1959 - 1969, and United States Patent Office, Official Gazette. 1970. ------- Table VI-5 Number of United States Patents Issued in Class 181 (Acoustics), Subclass 33 (Mufflers and Sound Filters), by Assignee, 1959 - 1970 Year 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Total Federal Government 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1_ 4 Individual 0 6 4 6 3 1 3 5 2 1 1 4_ 36 Foreign 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 3 1 2 3 6^ 32 Large Business3 2 3 6 5 9 9 5 5 3 3 8 5_ 63 Other Business 4 2 6 4 22 5 9 5 6 2 4 5_ 74 Total 8 14 19 18 38 17 19 18 12 9 16 21 209 aAnong the Fortune 500 in 1970. Sources: Compiled from data in United States Patent Office, Index of Patents, 1959 - 1969, and United States Patent Office, Official Gazette. 1970. ------- Administration. The report also lists two contracts of an undetermined cost for noise reduction in hospitals funded by the Public Health Service between 1963 and 1967.12 The report estimated that in the late 1960's, the national effort of the United States on noise pollution and its abatement was so far below that of the Canadian Government that the United States would have to accelerate its research effort by "one hundred fold" to match the then existing Canadian program on a per capita basis.13 Although the report prob- ably neglected to account for a number of studies because of the complicated nature of Government R&D procurement, it does strongly suggest that the Federal Government did not have a positive program in the area of noise pollution and its abatement in the late 1960's. 6.5 Research Efforts of Associations One way to find out about research conducted in the private sector of the economy is to ask associations about their activities and the activities of their members in the area of noise and its abatement. Many, if not most, national associations have representatives located in Washington, D. C. In August 1971, telephone calls were made to approximately 80 associations in the Washington metropo- litan area that could be interested in problems associated with noise. Whenever possible, the calls were made to directors of research or to librarians. The associations included representatives of industrial, labor, and consumer groups. Of the 80 associations called, about 30 stated that they were interested in the matter of noise and its abate- ment; and 13 organizations provided information about their research efforts. Initially, it was hoped that the associa- tions could estimate the amounts of money spent on noise related research; unfortunately this was not possible. Table VI-6 lists the names of those organizations that provided information about their research efforts. The table also indicates the kinds of research sponsored or under- taken by the Associations. The research efforts of these The Commerce Business Daily, is a publication of the Federal Government that lists contract proposals and also contracts awarded by the Federal Government. 12 Internal Memorandum from NBS to FCST, p. 18. 13Ibid., p. 16 72 ------- "feble VI-6 Research Activities of Selected Associations Concerned with Noise Abatement Association Garments on Kind of Research Aerospace Industries Association of America American Automobile Association American Highway Users Association American Speech and Hearing Association American Trucking Association Airport Operators Council International Air Transport Association of America Forest Industries Council National Association of Air Traffic Specialists National League of Cities and U. S. Conference of Mayors National Machine Tool Builders Association Conducts and sponsors research and disseminates research conducted by others. Collects and disseminates information gathered by others. Conducts research and disseminates research undertaken by others. Collects research of others, principal interest is effects of noise on receivers. Sponsors research, emphasis on research on noise reduction at the source Sponsors research and disseminates research of others, emphasis on importance of Federal R§D to reduce noise at source. Coi hicts research and disseminates research of others. Collects and disseminates research undertaken by others. Collects and disseminates research of others. Sponsors research and disseminates research of others, emphasis of research on a "Model Noise Ordinance" for cities. Collects research of others, principal emphasis on measurement techniques. ------- Table VI-6 (Continued) Association Comments on Kind of Research National Safety Council Sierra Club Conducts research and disseminates research results of others. Forces of research on measurement and effects on receiver. Collects research of others. ------- associations include: (1) the conduct of research, (2) sponsoring research, and (3) data collection and dissem- ination. The comments listed in the table do not distinguish between the magnitudes of research undertaken by these organizations. Some of the research conducted by these associations consisted of rather short reports, whereas the research of other organizations were sizeable projects that could have cost in excess of $100,000. Although no conclusions can be drawn about R&D expendi- tures, based on the activities of associations in the pri- vate sector, the telephone survey strongly suggests that a growing number of organizations are becoming concerned about noise-related problems. With only one or two exceptions, the research conducted or sponsored by these organizations is of recent origin - most of which was undertaken between 1969 and 1971. 6.6 Spending for Noise Abatement; A Summary In part, the lack of empirical information required for an economic appraisal of the costs of noise and its abate- ment is reflected by the fact that spending for noise research during the last 10 years has been small. In addi- tion, most of the research that has been undertaken has been applied research and developmental engineering conducted by private industry. Although it is tautologous, it is impor- tant to emphasize that without research and data, it is impossible to know the cost of noise to society. And, with- out knowing the cost of noise, it is not possible to esti- mate either the benefits that will accrue to society from various levels of abatement, nor is it possible to estimate the costs of abatement to producers and to consumers in the form of higher prices. 75 ------- Section VII Summary and Conclusions From the foregoing analysis, several general conclusions can be obtained. First, it is apparent that aircraft noise is presently a major problem with substantial economic costs. Secondly, because of the lack of data on noise levels and an inadequate understanding of the effects of noise, it is difficult to assess the cost of noise within the home or from nearby highways and freeways. Thirdly, if the trends in growth in noise generators and in urban/suburban population concentrations continue, noise could become a much more serious problem in the near future. Finally, practical as well as economic considerations suggest that it is generally preferable to attempt to abate noise at the source, rather than insulate the noise receiver. Industrial noise has already been recognized as a major problem by the Department of Labor's regulations promulgated under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970. The data on the relationship between noise levels, productivity, accidents, and employee morale and turnover are fragmentary at best. It is plausible to assert that noise in the indus- trial environment does influence the quantity and quality of output as well as labor turnover costs. The economic impact of these considerations could be substantial, but research is required before quantification of the economic cost of industrial noise is possible. Compared to research on air and water pollution, re- search on the economics of noise is in a state of infancy. For example, in 1968, the Federal Water Pollution Control Administration began a complete assessment of waste treatment facilities for all population served by sewers in the United States. Most states have made estimates of the amounts of money that might be required to clean up the nation's rivers and streams, but almost no effort has been undertaken in the area of noise. Because it is neither technologically feasible nor economical currently to manufacture a totally quiet jet engine, a combination of retrofitting jet engines, providing a noise right of way around airports, and insulating homes will be necessary to achieve an acoustically acceptable living environment around major airports. Therefore research should be directed toward a "Land Use Planning Policy" which 76 ------- provides for noise rights of way between airports or major highways and freeways and the residential environment. Moreover, noise from jet aircraft should be considered in conjunction with the air pollution problem caused by the jet, and an "integrated" attempt at solving both problems simultaneously should be made. In short, noise should not be viewed as a separate problem when other forms of pollution were also present. The same reasoning should be applied to other noise sources as well, e.g., highway vehicles. An analysis is required of the economic trade-offs between the benefits derived by communities from highways and the costs of the associated noise. Freeways provide access to areas which could influence the relocation of industry and regional growth rates. Such benefits, however, must be weighed against the cost of highway noise abatement and the cost of the noise itself. Studies should be made to determine the economic impact of noise standards for products. The economic consequences of noise abatement on prices, GNP, employment, etc., will depend upon the "time frame" in which the abatement is effected. "Crash programs" requiring immediate compliance could produce significant price increases and have an adverse effect on employment, foreign trade, and productivity. The gradual "phasing in" of such standards, however, could avoid some of these consequences. Thus, research efforts should be devoted to consideration of the time requirement on abatement regulations, the impact on manufacturers and on prices paid by the consumer. Another important area of further research is an analysis of the effects that noise standards have on the competitive position of United States products in foreign countries. The combined effect of all environmental quality standards on changes in costs of production and therefore price should be appraised in view of the chronic balance of payments deficit witnesses by the United States during the past decade. The principle research effort should concentrate on changes in the relative prices of United States goods in world markets resulting from the cost of compliance to environmental quality standards versus possible reductions in imports into the United States because of foreign noncompliance with United States standards. There is, of course, the converse problem in that U. S. exports may not meet foreign noise standards. This is also worthy of further research. 77 ------- Research efforts should also be directed toward the investigation of the economic effects of noise on property values. Studies of property values in noise areas versus control properties in "quiet" areas are required to remove the ambiguity in the results obtained from such efforts to date. Particular attention to the resale values and turnover rates of noise affected properties will aid an economic im- pact evaluation of noise in the residential environment. Research on the economic cost of industrial noise should focus on the effects of noise on factors which in- fluence the quality and quantity of output. The effect of noise on worker attitudes and acciden-t rates must also be investigated in order to understand the economic implications of industrial noise. Such efforts will have to attempt to quantify the relationship between noi'se levels and accident rates, worker productivity, and lower turnover. Another important area of research is an estimate of the economic costs and benefits of alternative means of measuring noise and alternative methods of enforcing allowable noise standards. The cost and the effectiveness of various noise measurement instruments are likely to cover the wide spectrum from inexpensive and not very effective to inexpen- sive and sufficiently effective, and from expensive and sufficiently effective to expensive and super-effective. It is obvious that if noise abatement standards are not enforced, the established norms would become meaningless. Again, there is an economic trade-off between the levels and means of enforcing standards and the benefits derived from those different enforcement techniques. 78 ------- APPENDIX A CONTENTS Table Page A-l Airport Operations by Year and Type at All Airports with FAA Towers, 1957-1968 81 A-2 Noise Sources: Growth in Selected Series Related to Surface Transportation Noise, Selected Years, 1950-1970 82 A-3 Vehicle Miles of Travel in the United States Selected Years, 1940-1968 84 A-4 Value of New Construction Put in Pace, Selected Years, 1950-1969 85 A-5 Motor Vehicle Registration, Selected Years, 1950-1975 86 A-6 Noise Sources: Growth in Selected Types of Home Appliances, 1959-1970 87 A-7 Disabling Injuries by Sources of Injury, 1959-1970 88 A-8 National Accident Fatality Toll, by Source of Accident, 1959-1970 .... 89 A-9 Estimated Lost Time and Cost of Accidents, 1959-1970 90 A-10 Deaths from Accidents in Selected Industries, 1959-1970 91 A-ll Disabling Injuries from Accidents in Selected Industries, 1959-1970 92 A-12 Factors Affecting Productivity and the .Level of Output, 1960-1970 93 A-13 Sales of Selected Noise Generating Home Products, 1959-1970 94 A-14 Sales of Hearing Aids, 1963-1970 95 A-15 Noise Sources: Number of Production Workers in Selected Industries, 1959-1966 ....... 96 79 ------- APPENDIX A CONTENTS (Cont'd) Table Page A-16 Estimated Number of Selected Types of Earthmoving Equipment, 1960-1970 98 A-17 Noise Sources : Growth in Selected Types of Earthmoving Equipment, 1960-1970 99 80 ------- Table A-l Airport Operations by Year and Type at All Airports with FAA Towers, 1957 - 1968 Year 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 Total 25,149,667 26,593,337 26,905,856 25,773,990 26,300,767 28,200,570 30,976,773 34,194,659 37,870,535 44,952,816 49,886,840 55,292,035 Air Carrier 7,112,208 6,997,079 7,352,849 7,164,394 6,980,246 7,059,630 7,339,533 7,447,434 7,819,114 8,206,322 9,359,960 10,377,089 General Aviation 12,128,625 14,032,448 15,008,103 14,826,063 15,527,863 17,367,249 19,921,053 23,019,865 26,572,650 33,445,126 37,222,622 41,564,024 Military 5,908,834 5,563,810 4,544,904 3,783,533 3,792,658 3,773,691 3,716,187 3,727,360 3,478,771 3,301,368 3,304,258 3,350,922 Number of FAA Towers 205 213 222 229 254 270 111 278 292 304 313 322 Source: Federal Aviation Administration 81 ------- on Item Automobile, Bus Motorcycle Miles of Travel Truck Miles of Travel Value of New Construction Value of New Highway and Street Construction Total Motor Vehicle Registration Automobile Registration Truck or Bus Registration Table A-2 Noise Sources: Transportat ion Source Statistical Abstract of United States Statistical Abstract of United States Statistical Abstract of United States Statistical Abstract of United States Bureau of Public Roads, Federal Housing Administrat ion, Department of Transportat ion Bureau of Public Roads, FHA, DOT Bureau of Public Roads, FHA, DOT Growth in Selected Series Related to Surface Noise, Selected Years, 1950 - 1970. Growth in Number of Units Per Year Units (Linear Regression) Millions Y = 548526 + 28897t of Miles r2 = .980 Millions Y = 120427 + 8192.7t of Miles r2 = .981 Million of Dollars, 1957-59 Prices Millions of Dollars, 1957-59 Prices Number in Millions Number in Millions Number in Millions Y = 52465 + 1306.lt r2 = .862 Y = 6115.32 + 140.59t r2 = .562 Y = 69.93 + 3.43t r2 = .998 Y = 55.78 + 2.75t r2 = .996 Y = 10.87 + .62t r2 = .985 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year Logarithmic Regression Y = 5.746 + .018x r2 = .984 Y = 5.091 + 022x r2 = .966 Y = 4.720 +.010x r2 = .881 Y = 3.784 + .OlOx r2 = .586 Y = 1.833 + .017x r2 = .996 Y = 1.753 + .OlTx r2 = .996 Y = 1.05 + .018x r2 = .992 ------- Table A-2 (Continued) I tan Motorcycle Registrations Source Statistical Abstract of United States Growth in Number of Units Per Year Units (Linear Regression) Thousands Y = 353.37 + 192.53t of Units r2 = .988 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year Logarithmic Regression Y = 2.718 + .068x r^ = .974 00 ------- Table A-3 Vehicle Miles of Travel in the United States (Millions) Selected Years, 1940 - 1968 Autos, Buses, Year Motorcycles Truck Total 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 252,257 204,232 367,694 492,047 592,436 649,854 682,229 716,376 756,592 779,097 819,000 49,931 45,941 90,552 111,387 126,409 155,569 164,271 171,436 173,905 182,456 196,650 302,188 250,173 458,246 603,434 718,845 805,423 846,500 887,812 930,497 961,553 1,015,650 Source: United States Department of Transportation. 84 ------- Table A-4 Value of New Construction Put in Place (Millions of 1957 - 1959 Dollars), Selected Years, 1950 - 1969 Highway and Type of Construction Year Street Construction Private Public Total 1950 1955 1960 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 $2,722 4,396 5,758 6,998 7,003 7,108 7,365 7,269 7,565 6,886 $34,309 38,394 36,518 40,308 40,861 43,780 43,208 40,967 43,775 44,911 $ 9,267 13,323 15,653 17,793 18,311 19,116 19,733 20,177 20,657 19,258 $43,576 51,717 52,171 58,101 59,172 62,896 62,941 61,144 64,432 64,169 Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States 85 ------- Table A-5 Motor Vehicle Registration (Millions), Selected Years, 1950 - 1975b Year 1950 1955 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969b 1970b 197lb 1972b 1973b 1974b 1975b Automobiles 40. 52. 59. 61. 63.4 66.1 69.0 71.9 75 78 80 83 86 89.0 91.4 93.7 95.9 98.0 100.1 Vehicle Type Trucks and Busses 8.8 10.6 11.9 12.2 12. 13. 13. 14. 15. ,6 .1 .7 .3 .1 15.9 16, 17. 18. 18. 19. 19. 20. 20. 21.2 Motorcycles .45 a a .570 a a a a 1.38 1.75 1.95 2.10 2.26 a a a a a a Available "Automobile, Truck, and Bus Registrations are estimates by the Bureau of Public Roads Source: U. S. Department of Transportation 86 ------- Table A-6 Noise Sources: Growth in Selected Types of Home Appliances, 1959 - 1970. Item Automatic Washers Source Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers Units Number in Thousands Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Y = 2541.68 + 142.20t rz = .842 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year (Logarithmic Regression) Y = 3.416 + .018x r2 = .822 00 Window Air Conditioners Power Lawn Mowers Central Air Conditioning Units Garbage Disposers Dishwashers Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers Outdoor Power Equipment Institute, Inc. Air Conditioning and Refrigeration Institute Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Y = 429.14 + 406.36t Y = 3.059 + .058x r2 = .908 r2 = .938 Y = 3328.03 + 184.79t r2 = .826 Y = 18.121 + 126.58t r2 = .946 Y = 519.94 + 117.54t r2 = .944 Y9= 252.62 + 176.43t rz = .979 Y = 3.534 + .018x r2 = .815 Y = 2.401 + .070x r2 = .990 Y = 2.819 + .041x r2 = .952 Y = 2.686 + ,064x r2 = .980 ------- Table A-7 Disabling Injuries by Source of Injury (000fs), 1959 - 1970 Year 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 Motor Vehicle 2,000 a 2,000 1,900 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,400 1,400 Work 2,200 a 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,100 2,050 2,000 2,000 1,900 1,950 1,950 Source of Home 4,000 a 4,300 4,300 4,400 4,200 4,300 4,400 4,300 4,000 4,100 3,900 Injury Public 2,700 a 2,600 2,500 2,400 2,400 2,250 2,200 2,100 2,100 2,050 2,050 Total 10,800 a 11,000 10,800 10,800 10,400 10,200 10,100 9,800 9,300 9,400 9,200 Available Source: National Safety Council. 88 ------- Table A-8 National Accident Fatality Toll, by Source of Accident, 1959 - 1970 Source of Accident Year 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Motor Vehicle 37,800 38,200 38,000 40,900 43,600 47,700 49,000 53,000 53,100 55,200 56,400 54,800 Work 13,800 13,800 13,500 13,700 14,200 14,200 14,100 14,500 14,200 14,300 14,200 14,200 Home 26,000 27,500 26,500 28,500 29,000 28,500 28,000 29,500 28,500 28,500 27,000 26,500 Public 16,500 16,500 16,500 17,000 17,500 18,000 19,000 19,500 20,000 20,500 21,000 22,000 Total 91,000 93,000 91,500 97,000 101,000 105,000 107,000 113,000 112,000 115,000 115,000 114,000 Source: National Safety Council 89 ------- Table A-9 Estimated Lost Time and Cost of Accidents, 1959 - 1970 Time Lost Due to Work Injuries (Millions of Cost of Accidents Year Man Days) (Billions of Dollars') 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 230.0 230.0 230.0 235.0 230.0 235.0 235.0 255.0 245.0 245.0 250.0 250.0 13.0 13.6 14.5 15.5 16.1 16.7 18.0 20.0 21.3 22.7 a a Available Source: National Safety Council. 90 ------- Table A-10 Deaths from Accidents in Selected Industries, 1959 - 1970. Industry Source Units Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year (Logarithmic Regression) Construction Trade Manufacturing Mining, Quarrying, Oil and Gas Wells Agriculture Transportat ion and Public Utilities Service Industry Government National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council National Safety Number Council Y - 2311.7 + 45.96t rz = .767 Y = 1184 + 6.23t r2 = .283 Y = 1783 + 1.39t r2 = .0035 Y = 766.54 - 13.9H r2 = .643 Y = 3565.7 - 89.71t r2 = .900 Y = 1553 + 18.75t rz = .474 Y = 1730 + 78.57t r2 = .991 Y = 1475 + 46.79t r2 = ,866 Y = 3.365 + .008x rz = .741 Y = 3.074 + .002x TL = .352 Y = 3,253 + .0003x rz = .002 Y = 2.883 - .007x r2 = .483 Y = 3.557 - .013x r1 = .851 Y = 3.192 + .005x r2 = .463 Y = 3.245 + ,016x r2 = .994 Y = 3.170 + .013x r2 = .964 ------- Table A-ll Disabling Injuries from Accidents in Selected Industries, 1959 - 1970. vo Industry Construction Trade Manufacturing Mining, Quarrying, Oil and Gas Wells Agriculture Transportation and Public Utilities Service Industry Government Source National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council Units Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Number in Thousands Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Y = 192.07 + 4.51t r2 = .904 Y = 359.67 + 3.86t r2 « .438 Y = 363.32 + 10.05t r2 = .770 Y = 47.55 - .49t r2 - .132 Y = 310.4 - 8.43t r2 = .925 Y = 184.2 4- 1.54t r2 = .632 Y = 315 + 16.43t r2 = .994 Y = 265 + 9.29t r2 = .862 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year (Logarithmic Regression) Y = 2.284 + .009x r2 - .904 Y = 2.56 + .004x r2 = .446 Y = 2.563 + .OlOx r2 = .769 Y = 1.675 - .005x r2 - .131 Y = 2.501 - .015x r2 = .898 Y = 2.268 + .003x r2 = .632 Y = 2.500 4- .02x r2 = 1.00 Y = 2.42 + .016x r2 = .910 ------- Table k-12. factors kitectixifc "Productivity and tYve Level oi Output, 1960 - 1970. vO to Item Cost of Accidents Deaths at Work from Accidents Disabling Injuries at Work from Accidents Time Lost due to Work Injury Deaths at Home from Accidents Disabling Injuries at Home from Accidents Hypertension Rate in United States Hearing Aid Units Sold Source National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council National Safety Council Statistical Abstract of United States National Hearing Aid Journal Units Millions of Dollars Uumber Number Millions of Man-Days Number Number Deaths Per 100,000 Number Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Y = 11247 + 1072t r2 = .969 Y = 13674 + 59.09t r2 = .537 Y = 1877.7 + 31.28t r2 = .867 Y = 224.99 + 2.165t r2 = .697 Y - 27469 + 55.94t r2 = .032 Y = 4099.2 + 16.54t r2 = .110 Y = 65.287 - 1.916t r2 = .992 Y = 336130 -1- 19354t r2 = .924 Growth Rate Cent Per (Logarithmic Y = 4.079 r2 = Y = 4.136 r2 = Y = 3.275 r2 = Y = 2.353 r2 = Y = 4.438 r2 = Y = 3.612 r2 = Y = 1.82 - r2 = Y = 5.535 r2 = in Per Year Regression) + .026x .962 + .002x .529 + ,007x .866 + .004x .697 + .OOlx .033 + .002x .110 .018x .994 + .02x .923 ------- Table A-13 Sales of Selected Noise Generating Home Products (OOO's), 1959 - 1970 VO Year 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Garbage Disposals 789 760 800 890 1,090 1,300 1,355 1,410 1,356 1,738 1,943 1,976 Dishwashers a 555 620 720 880 1,050 1,290 1,528 1,586 1,960 2,118 2,116 Product Automatic Washers 2,934 2,562 2,668 2,975 3,296 3,541 3,771 3,890 3,878 4,140 4,068 3,869 Air Conditioning Room Central 1,660 1,580 1,500 1,580 1,945 2,725 2,960 3,345 4,129 4,026 5,459 5,887 307 350 366 468 580 702 826 959 1,047 1,235 1,635 1,616 Power Lawn Mowers 4,200 3,800 3,500 4,000 3,900 4,100 4,500 4,900 4,900 5,200 5,700 5,650 Available Sources: Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers, Outdoor Power Equipment Institute, Inc., and Airconditioning and Refrigeration Institute. ------- Table A-14 Sales of Hearing Aids 1963 - 1970 Year Number of Units 1963 363,379 1964 387,449 1965 393,531 1966 400,207 1967 410,573 1968 448,895 1969 470,981 1970 510,747 Source: National Hearing Aid Journal. 95 ------- Table A-15 Noise Sources: Number of Production Workers in Selected Industries, 1959 - 1966. \o Industry Units Mining Number in Thousands General Building Number in Contractors Thousands Heavy Construction Number in Contractors Thousands Lumber and Number in Wood Products Thousands Primary Metal Number in Industries Thousands Fabricated Metal Number in Products Thousands Textile Mill Number in Products Thousands Railroad Transportation Number in (All Employees) Thousands Local and Inter-Urban Number in Passenger Transit Thousands (All Employees) Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Y = 588.4 - 14.7t r2 - .86 Y = 755.2 + 12.4t r2 = .34 Y = 489.4 + 9.It r2 = .72 Y = 567.4 - 6.0t r2 = .36 Y - 902.3 + 19.2t r2 = .54 Y - 795.6 + 24.9t r2 = .68 Y = 827.4 - l.Ot r2 = .01 Y = 929.1 - 28.6t r2 = .940 Y = 283.6 - 2.3t r2 = .756 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year (Logarithmic Regression) Y = 2.77 - .Olx r2 = .88 Y = 2.88 + .Olx r2 = .39 Y = 2.69 + .Olx r2 = .72 Y = 2.75 - .004x r2 = .239 Y = 2.96 + .Olx r2 = .51 Y - 2.91 + .Olx r2 = .72 Y = 2.9171 - .0005x r2 = .009 Y = 297 - .02x r2 = .921 Y =2.451 - .003x r2 = .737 ------- Table A-15 (Continued) NO Industry Units Trucking and Warehousing Number in (All Employees) Thousands Transportation by Air Number in (All Employees) Thousands Metal Stamping Number in (All Employees) Thousands Paper and Allied Number in Products Thousands Printing and Number in Publishing Thousands Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Y = 799.8 + 23.Ot r2 = .902 Y = 168.1 + 8.6t r2 = .902 Y = 138.4 + 5.4t r2 . .640 Y - 464.3 + 5.4t r2 = .810 Y = 563.7 + 8.5t r2 = .774 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year (Logarithmic Regression) Y = 2.91 + .Olx r2 = .921 Y - 2.23 + .02x r2 = .940 Y = 2.14 + .02x r2 = .672 Y = 2.66 + .Olx r2 = .864 Y = 2.75 + .Olx r2 = .792 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. ------- Table A-16 Estimated Number of Selected Types of Earthmoving Equipment, 1960 - 1970. 00 Year 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Crawler Tractors 7,442 6,413 7,907 9,926 11,406 14,277 17,251 12,704 13,747 13,983 19,538 Crawler Loaders 5,027 3,309 3,980 5,456 5,823 6,876 6,949 5,066 6,214 6,999 7,570 Wheel Tractors 1,193 1,318 1,487 1,816 2,421 3,176 4,306 2,330 1,424 3,693 3,749 Wheel Loaders 3,742 3,632 4,058 5,394 7,900 8,650 9,695 8,935 10,856 12,519 12,787 Scrapers 1,588 1,258 1,758 3,159 4,044 4,714 4,912 3,459 3,249 3,357 3,699 Rollers 2,692 3,085 2,841 3,214 4,107 2,771 2,777 4,645 5,191 5,552 7,009 Graders 3,016 2,645 3,264 4,118 4,526 4,545 4,827 4,939 4,962 5,042 5,440 Totals 24,700 21,660 25,295 33,083 40,227 45,009 50,717 42,078 45,643 51,145 59,792 Total 134,594 63,269 26,913 88,168 35,197 43,884 47,324 439,349 Source: Associated Equipment Distributors. ------- Table A-17 Noise Sources: Growth in Selected Types of Earthmoving Equipment, 1960 - 1970. Item Crawler Tractors Crawler Loaders Wheel Tractors Wheel Loaders Scrapers Rollers Graders Units Number of Machines Number of Machines Number of Machines Number of Machines Number of Machines Number of Machines Number of Machines Growth in Number of Units Per Year (Linear Regression) Y = 5707.76 + 1088.Olt r2 = .767 Y = 3868.65 + 313.85 r2 = .603 Y = 1082.78 + 227.31t r2 = .456 Y = 2012.87 + 1000.4t r2 - .956 Y = 1841.98 + 226.29t r2 - .381 Y - 1805.73 + 363.96t r2 = .700 Y = 2734.27 + 261.32t r2 = .876 Growth Rate in Per Cent Per Year (Logarithmic Regression) Y = 3.813 + .040x r2 = .839 Y = 3.596 + .025x r2 = .568 Y « 2.903 + .124x r2 = .887 Y = 3.500 + .061x r2 = .925 Y = 3.223 + .041x r2 = .478 Y = 3.356 + .037x r2 = .688 Y = 3.452 + .029x r2 = .826 Source: Associated Equipment Distributors ------- BIBLIOGRAPHY Acceptability Criteria Symposium, Transportation Noise, Proceedings, University of Washington, Press, 1970. 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