March, 1975
                             Final Report
HAZE FORMATION:


ITS  NATURE  AND  ORIGIN
pBattelle
    Columbus Laboratories
A report of research conducted for the


Coordinating Research Council Inc.

              and


U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency

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             FINAL REPORT
           HAZE FORMATION:
        ITS NATURE AND ORIGIN
                   to
 COORDINATING RESEARCH COUNCIL INC.
                  and
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
               March, 1975
                   by
      David F. Miller, Warren E. Schwartz,
      James L. Gemma, and Arthur Levy
               BATTELLE
           Columbus Laboratories
             505 King Avenue
           Columbus, Ohio 43201

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                            ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
    We would like to acknowledge the help and guidance of the people who served
on the CAPA 6-68 Project Committee:
             Mr. B. S. Bailey — Chairman
             Dr. R. L. Bradow
             Dr. M. K. Gest
             Dr. L. C. Gibbons
             Dr. T. P. Goldstein
             Dr. P. J. Groblicki
             Mr. W. Lonneman
             Dr. H. W. Otto
Mr. R. Patterson
Dr. T. R. Powers
Mr. J. W. Shiller
Dr. J. Vardi
Dr. J. Wagman
Dr. E. E. Weaver
Dr. F. T. Weiss
Mr. A. E. Zengel
                        IATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                               TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                             Page

 INTRODUCTION	     1

 BACKGROUND 	     2

   Characteristics of Haze	     2
   Chemical Characteristics of Aerosols	     5

 SCOPE OF  PROGRAM	     6

   First Year	     6
   Second Year	     7
   Third Year	     7

 MAJOR FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS	     8

   Light-Scattering Interpretations	     8
   Features of  Aerosol Composition	    10

 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION	    12

   Light-Scattering Measurements	    12
   Statistical Analysis of Light Scattering	    12
    Preliminary Analyses	    14
    Time-Series Analysis	    15
    Forecasting	    16
    Summary	    19
   Chemical  Composition of Light-Scattering Aerosols	    35
    Inorganic Composition	    35
    Organic Composition	    41
       Solvent-Extractable Paniculate Matter	    44
       Weight Percent C, H, and N	    46
       Infrared Spectra	    45
       Aromatic/Aliphatic Ratio	    53
       Acid/Base Neutral Distribution	    53
       Functional Group Analyses	    55
       Summary	    57

 REFERENCES	    61


                                   APPENDIXES

A. STATISTICAL METHODS	   A-1

B. ORGANIC ANALYTICAL PROCEDURES	   B-1

C. INFRARED SPECTRA OF ORGANIC PARTICULATE	   C-1
                          SATTELLE —  COLUMBUS

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                                    FINAL REPORT

                                          on

                    HAZE FORMATION:  ITS NATURE AND ORIGIN

                                          to

                      COORDINATING RESEARCH COUNCIL INC.
                                      (CAPA 6-68)

                                          and

                    U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                               (Contract No. 68-02-0792)

                                         from

                                      BATTELLE
                                 Columbus Laboratories

                                      March, 1975



                                    INTRODUCTION
     In 1970, when this program was undertaken by Battelle-Columbus for the Coordinating Research
Council and the Environmental Protection Agency, very little was known regarding the nature of
aerosols responsible for haze — a condition which accompanies other manifestations of smog and
often serves as a visual indicator of the severity of smog. About that time an  important aerosol
study was conducted in the Pasadena area in which nearly all available tools were utilized  in an
intensive monitoring and analytical effort to characterize the airborne paniculate in the Los
Angeles Basin.  In  spite of the breadth of that project, many gaps remained in our knowledge,
particularly regarding the chemical composition of aerosols and the predominant factors influ-
encing aerosol formation.  Frustrated by the initial goal of developing a direct means of determin-
ing the total automotive contribution to  haze in urban areas, the subject program was redirected
to investigate more generally the aerosols responsible for haze with emphasis placed on organic
analyses and analyses of the factors influencing light  scattering.  Although we feel that the
results of this program have significantly advanced our overall understanding in these areas of
aerosol science, analytical and interpretive difficulties still abound, and a thorough accounting of
the nature and origins of haze requires continued  investigations.

     The program was conducted as a 3-year study beginning in June, 1970, and ending December,
1974.  There was a 1-year interruption in the work between the first-year and second-year pro-
grams.  Reports summarizing the progress during the  first 2 years were issued separately in  1972^)
and 1973(2). This report covers the third year of progress, and for convenience of discussion,
includes summaries of data from the Second Year Report.  The principal sections of the report
cover results on statistical analyses of light-scattering  data and chemical analyses of light-scattering
aerosols.  Preceding these sections we have included short sections covering the phenomena of haze,
some related,research results, the scope of the  program, and the major findings of the study.


                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                    BACKGROUND
                                  Characteristics of Haze
     Haze, by definition, is a quality of indistinctness — in the context of atmospheric science it
refers to a blurring or reduction in the perception of distant objects. The visual effect of haze is
similar to that of fog, although a color effect is more frequently observed with  haze.  In contrast
with haze, fog consists principally of water droplets, although it  is well established that foreign
particles (condensation nuclei) are usually required to nucleate water vapor in advance of conden-
sation to fog.  Aerosols associated with haze may also contain water but  are comprised primarily
of solids and other liquid materials which have either been emitted into the atmosphere from a
variety of sources, or produced in the atmosphere as a result of photoinduced reactions of gaseous
pollutants. The latter category of aerosols is commonly referred to  as secondary or photochem-
ical aerosols.

     Visibility problems associated with haze have been recognized for some time.  The signifi-
cance of haze in comparison with fog is shown in Figure  1 in which the yearly occurrences of
days with visibility <7 miles in New York City is plotted from 1934 to 1960.^  The  number
of poor visibility days attributable to fog has remained fairly constant while the occurrence of
haze has increased dramatically since 1946.
                   ป• L  -^ —
                     34  36 38  40 42  44  46 48  50 52  54  56 58  60
                                          Year
                     FIGURE 1. FREQUENCY OF POOR VISIBILITY DAYS IN
                               NEW YORK CITY ATTRIBUTABLE TO HAZE
                               AND FOG*3'

     Evaluation of visibility is mo$t frequently performed by human observation, and, aside from
the limitations of subjective measurements, visual quality has some inherent complexities.  Among
the complications is the fact that particles scatter more light in a forward direction than in a
backward direction.  Thus the same aerosol cloud may appear more dense  when viewed toward
the sun than away from the sun.  As alternatives to direct observations, light-transmission instru-
ments (transmissometers) are  commonly used for estimating visual quality.  The instruments
                            BATTELLE  — C O I. U M B U

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 measure the extinction of visible light over a  large distance which  must in turn be related to ob-
 served visibilities.  In most cases the Koschmeider  Formula (visual range = 3.9/extinction coeffici-
 ent) is used for such calculations.  Assumptions inherent in the formula and conditions affecting
 its application have been reviewed.^)   Light extinction, as measured directly or by  inference from
 such  instruments, is  necessarily an average value over a considerable distance in which many in-
 homogeneities may exist.  The shortcoming of such determinations is that they cannot be readily
 related to other air-quality parameters determined  at point sources.

      In this program, haze or visual quality was estimated using an integrating nephelometer -
 a method conceived  by Beuttell and Brewer'^) and later modified for  air monitoring by Ahlquist
 and Charlson'6).  The instrument  measures the volume scattering coefficient of a discrete air
 sample pulled through an  optical chamber. The volume scattering coefficient {bscat) is deter-
 mined by integration of the scattering over nearly half a solid angle.

      It should be noted thet  the nephelometer measures the extinction of light due to  scattering
 alone while the total extinction of light along an atmospheric path occurs by both scattering and
 absorption of gases and aerosols.  Rayleigh scattering, which dominates in clean air, occurs from
 air molecules and particles approaching molecular size.  Mie scattering  is important for particles
 whose dimensions are roughly comparable to  the wavelength  of visible light.  Thus aerosols  in the
 size range 0.1  to 1-jum diameter are extremely effective Mie scatterers.  Absorption  of  light  by
 gases and particles may be significant in polluted atmospheres, but, except for unusual cases,
 Mie scattering by aerosols largely dominates the effect of visibility degradation.  Rayleigh
 scattering as determined by the integrating nephelometer is relatively constant and corresponds
 to a bscat value of 0.2 x 10"^m"^ (bscat  units of  10"^m~^  are commonly used with the
 nephelometer).

      Many investigations have been conducted to associate  nephelometry data with visibility and
 aerosol mass-loading  data.  While the  relationships  of bscat with total participate mass concentra-
 tions are not  always  good, as might be expected, the relationships with visibility are generally quite
 good. In a recent  study conducted in the Los Angeles,  Oakland and Sacramento areas, the corre-
 lation coefficients between bscat and  prevailing visibility* ranged from 0.84 to 0.91 for the  three
 sites. (?)

      For convenience in relating bscat values to visual range,  a scale is  provided  in Figure 2  based
 on the empirical relationships developed by Charlson for the  nephelometer.^) Light scattering
 values for clean air and  Freon 12 calibration are indicated.

     Aside from the  studies relating light  scattering to aerosol concentrations and visibility, few
 studies have concentrated  on  interpreting light-scattering data in relation to other air-pollution
 phenomena.   In some early work by Buchan and Charlson in  Seattle'9^ significant correlations
 were  established between 10-minute averages of NOX concentrations and the nephelometer light-
 scattering coefficient. In more recent studies-by Covert etal.^O), growth related to deliquescent
 properties of simulated aerosols was demonstrated, and humidity effects observed while monitoring
 light scattering in the coastal  regions of California were attributed to this behavior.  Lundgren^D
 conducted a study  in which size-classified aerosols were collected on a  4-hour basis to  assess
 diurnal variations in paniculate composition and concentration.  Results of the study indicated
 that light scattering correlates well with particulate nitrate, peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN)  and total
 paniculate concentration when windy days are omitted from  the analysis.
^•Prevailing visibility is defined as the greatest visibility which is attained or surpassed around at least half of the horizon circle.
 Visual range is the distance at which it is just possible to visualize with the unaided eye the contrast of a prominent dark object
 against the daytime horizon sky.



                                BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                 bscat at
                 Effective
Wavelength Visual
of Nephelometer, Range,
l0-4 m.| miles
Clean air — ^





Freon 12
calibration — ^










-o a

— 1

— 2

—3

—4
-5
-6
-7

-8
r9
— 10
)
-100
-50
-30
r20
-15
-12
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5

-4


-3
— 1 1
— 12 .
— 13
FIGURE 2. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VISUAL RANGE AND LIGHT SCATTERING

         MEASURED BY AN INTEGRATING NEPHELOMETER*8'
                  BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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      Results of  the 1969 Pasadena study^1^ showed that the most pronounced increases in  light
 scattering and aerosol volume are coincident with maximum solar radiation intensity.  Analyses
 of data from the 1972 Air Resources Board project in California indicated that the relationship
 of light scattering with ozone is not well established, and autocorrelation results show complex
 relationships for light scattering that are not well understood.'^'
                              Chemical Characteristics of Aerosols
     Numerous studies have been conducted in an effort to characterize the chemical composition
 of aerosols.  Most of the work has  been on total suspended particulates, and many analyses have
 dealt only with obtaining the distribution of chemical elements in the particulates. A comprehen-
 sive elemental analysis of "hi-vol" samples from six CAMP stations (Cincinnati, St. Louis, Washing-
 ton, D.C., Denver, Philadelphia and Chicago) was reported by Blosser.^4)  John et al.^S) reported
 on trace-element  concentrations of  "hi-vol" paniculate collected in San Francisco.  More important
 to our understanding of the nature of haze have been studies involving the chemical analysis of
 aerosols according to size.  Elemental analyses of cascade-impactor collections have been made by
 several  investigators.'16-18)  The size distributions of phosphate, nitrate, chloride, and ammonium^)
 and that of sulfate'20) have also been studied using cascade impactors. Some of the aforementioned
 studies, and particularly studies  conducted by Friedlander and his associates^21'2**), have been
 directed at identifying sources of aerosols on the basis of  emissions data and elemental tracers of
 certain  origin.  The overall results of most of this work show that in polluted atmospheres most of
 the naturally occurring aerosols  are in the >2 jum-size range together with emitted and/or reen-
 trained  matter  such as fly ash, tire dust, and cement dust.

     There appears to be general agreement that the aerosols <2  jtim are composed predominantly
 of sulfur and organic compounds, with nitrogen compounds and some metals associated with com-
 bustion (Pb, Zn,  and  V) making minor contributions.

     An interesting study by Novakov et alJ24) described diurnal variations in the chemical states of
 sulfur and nitrogen paniculate in Los Angeles.  The S^+ (sulfate) to S4+ (sulfite) ratio for particles
 <2 nm was shown to be > 1 for only a few early-morning hours.  Throughout most of the day the
 sulfate/sulfrte ratio was near 0.5.

     Far less information is available on the nature and  origin of the organic matter of small  aerosols,
 owing primarily to difficulties of organic micro analyses and the fact that the organic constituency
 does not contain  compounds traceable to specific sources.  While  few  detailed analyses have been
 performed it has  become routine to determine the fraction of total particulate which  is extractable
 by organic solvents, most often benzene.  The benzene fraction is reported  to range from 4-14
 weight percent  over a range of U.S. cities^25'  The aliphatic  fraction of benzene-soluble matter
 has been studied  by gas chromatographyj2^)  in a recent study by Ciaccio et al.^7)( a variety of
 extracting solvents and spectroscopic methods were employed to analyze the organic fraction of
 aerosols collected along a highway complex  in New York City. Their analyses, however, were
 performed on aerosols in the size range 0.4-7 jim, and they may be only marginally relevant to
 light-scattering aerosols.  One of  the more pertinent studies in organic analysis was conducted
some 20 years ago by Mader et al.'28'  Analyzing organic fractions of  Los Angeles aerosols in
 the light-scattering range (0.3-0.8 jum), they observed  sizeable amounts of oxygenated and
peroxidic organic  materials, and they demonstrated similarities between the absorption spectra
 of the Los Angeles aerosols and  those generated synthetically upon irradiating gasoline hydro-
carbons  and NOX  in a smog chamber.
                               BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                    SCOPE OF PROGRAM
                                          First Year
     The initial objective of this program was to develop a method of distinguishing between light-
scattering aerosols attributable to automotive sources as opposed to those from  nonautomotive
sources.  Both chemical and optical approaches were considered initially, but upon reviewing the
possibilities in more detail, emphasis, was placed on chemical methods of analysis.  Thus the first
year of the program was devoted to seeking a chemical basis which would  permit differentiation
among the organic composition of aerosols according to precursors. For this purpose aerosols
associated with the following sources were collected for analysis:
     (1)  Rural atmospheres, Blue Ridge Mountains, N.C.
     (2)  Controlled atmospheres, Battelle-Columbus smog chamber
     (3)  Diluted primary auto exhaust
     (4)  Urban atmospheres,  Bronx, New York.

     Chemical fractionation of particulate extracts was performed  after which organic constituents
 were analyzed by gas chromatography combined with mass spectrometry.  It became apparent
 that spectra of organic material present from each of the above sources is enormously complex.
 This is true even when a single hydrocarbon and NOX are irradiated to produce aerosols.

     Irradiation of a-pinene (one of several  terpenes emitted in abundance by trees and plants)
 and nitrogen oxides in a smog chamber produced aerosols having chemical properties similar to
 that of aerosols collected in a forested region.  In  this case, pinonic acid was identified as a
 product of both  the natural-rural (Blue  Ridge Mountains)  and the  simulated-rural (smog chamber)
 aerosols.  This finding served to confirm the utility of the smog chamber in simulating atmo-
 spheric conditions conducive to secondary aerosol  formation.

     Analyses of primary auto-exhaust aerosols revealed two predominant  compounds,  namely
 benzoic and phenylacetic acid, among the complex acidic  fraction  of the aerosol matter.  However,
 these aromatic acids were not detected  in urban particulate similarly analyzed.  This result is
 rationalized in  terms of dilution of auto exhaust in the atmosphere, or on the basis of  removal  of
 these acids from the atmosphere by photochemical reactions.  Indeed, decarboxylation of organic
 acids was found to occur during the progress of aerosol formation  under smog-chamber conditions.

     The principal mission during the first year was to determine if a chemical  basis could  be
 established for estimating the atmospheric burden  of secondary aerosols related to automotive
 emissions.  Combined gas chromatography — mass spectrometry analyses revealed that  the
 organic constituency of atmospheric aerosols'was enormously complex — so complex that com-
 plete resolution was a formidable task.  It was also obvious that automobile exhausts do not
 contain hydrocarbons  uniquely related to automotive operations*.  Thus at the conclusion  of
 the first year, the approach of establishing unique precursor relationships between  automotive
 emissions and the chemical composition of aerosols was abandoned, in spite of the evidence
 that aerosol precursor  relationships could  be established in smog-chamber simulations of simple
 systems. The problem as it related to auto exhaust was too complex, and too  little was known
 about the chemical nature of aerosols in the atmosphere.
 'There are a few hydrocarbons, such as acetylene and ethylene, which might be regarded as unique to automotive emissions on a
 relative basis, but these hydrocarbons do not participate in the formation of organic matter condensing into aerosols.


                               BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                                         Second Year
     At the beginning of the second year, a somewhat broader objective was defined which sought
to improve on the understanding of the composition and sources of aerosols contributing to urban
haze. The overall objective was to determine the relationships which might exist between the con-
centration and composition of the aerosols responsible for reduced visibility and the sources and
conditions under which these aerosols form in the atmosphere.  In seeking these relationships, it was
apparent that the customary methods of characterizing paniculate composition were incomplete,
particularly with respect to the organic constituency.  Secondly, it was obvious that a complete
analysis of the air was necessary concomitant with the aerosol collections. Thus the second year's
program had two specific objectives (1)  to develop and apply an analytical scheme for characterizing
the broad chemical classes  and functional  groups present in the organic fraction of light-scattering
aerosols and (2)  to conduct field-sampling programs for  collecting aerosols and characterizing the
prevailing atmosphere conditions under which the aerosols accumulated.

     Field sampling was conducted in downtown Columbus during the  latter half of July,  1972, in
New York City  (Welfare Island)  throughout August, and  in Pomona, California, for 10 days in mid-
November.  The sampling involved continuous monitoring of the meteorological conditions,  inte-
grated light scattering (visibility), solar radiation intensity and the gas-phase composition of the
air (including CO, NO, N02, S02, ozone, methane, ethylene,  acetylene, and total  hydrocarbon)
while simultaneously collecting aerosols  for chemical analyses.  All aerosol samples were collected
on a diurnal basis.  To provide the aerosol mass needed for organic analyses, three samplers
operated continuously  at 20 cfm, sampling 25 feet above ground level.  Because the program is
concerned with small particles which cause light scattering, the samplers were equipped with size-
fractionating devices which  provided particle separation (based on aerodynamic size)  near 2 urn
diameter.

     An analytical scheme was developed which provides semi-quantitative data on the organic
features of aerosols. Diurnal differentiation of samples limited the quantities of material available
for analyses.  The organic matter extracted from the daily aerosol collections ซ2 urn diameters)
averaged approximately 14  mg per extraction.  Within such limitations, both spectroscopic and wet-
chemical analyses were conducted.  The analyses provide numerical data on the weight-percent
solvent extractable (methylene chloride and dioxane) components of the aerosols,  weight-percent
CHN in the extractables, infrared spectroscopic band intensities for specified absorptions, aromatic/
aliphatic ratios and the concentration of total alcohol and total carbonyl in specified sample frac-
tions. During the second year's  program, six aerosol  samples were analyzed; two samples from each
of the three sampling sites.   In addition, inorganic analyses were performed on aerosol samples
selected from 22 of the 43  sampling days  at the three sites.  The analyses included trace metals
by optical emission spectrometry, Cl, Br, S, and Pb by X-ray fluorescence, and, SO^, NOo, and
NH^, and CHN by other chemical methods.
                                          Third Year
     To fulfill the overall objective set forth in the second year, two specific objectives were
 defined for the third year of the program: (1) to apply the organic analytical scheme to addi-
 tional  aerosol samples and to estimate the precision of the analytical procedure, and (2) to
 conduct a  statistical analysis of the aerometric and aerosol compositional data with emphasis on
 the development of an empirical  model  of light scattering based on air pollution data.
                               SATTE1.LE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                               8

     Organic analysis were conducted on three atmospheric samples collected by the groups
noted in parentheses:   Denver, Col. 11-17-73 (EPA), West Covina, Ca. 9-21-73 (Battelle-Columbus),
Rubidoux, Ca. 9-21-73 (EPA/California  Air Resources Board).  A week-long collection of aerosol
in Pomona, Ca. (Oct., 1972) by  EPA was composited to obtain enough aerosol mass for replicate
analyses in estimating analytical  accuracy.  In addition, organic analyses were conducted on an
aerosol  sample representative of  primary and primary plus secondary auto-exhaust aerosol. The
latter sample was a composite of auto exhaust aerosol collected after irradiating diluted exhaust
in Battelle's smog chamber.

     Utilizing data from the 1972 field study in New York, an empirical model was developed
relating light scattering to other  measures of air quality.  A computer program for multivariate
classification was used to select the independent variables to be considered for model develop-
ment.  From the preliminary information, time-series models were created which could predict
the degree of light scattering on  the basis of changes in CO,  N02, total hydrocarbons and rela-
tive humidity.  Applications of the model to short-term forecasting of visibility in other  localities
(Denver, Col. and Dayton, Ohio) were successful.  The  modeling results were summarized in  a
paper entitled "A Model  of  Urban Visibility Based on Air Quality" presented at the 168th
National Meeting of the American  Chemical Society, Atlantic City, New Jersey, 1974.(29)

     The procedures and  results  of the statistical analysis of  ambient data, and those of the
chemical analyses of aerosols, comprise the major portion of this report.
                                IATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                                9

                            MAJOR FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS


                                 Light-Scattering Interpretations
      During the combined air-sampling period of more than 3 months in New York and Ohio, the
 maximum hourly-average light-scattering coefficient was 12 x  10"^m"', corresponding to a visual
 range of about 2 miles (Figure 2).  It is noted that inferences here to visual range relate to single
 point measurements.  During the same sampling period, the lowest hourly-average scattering
 coefficient was 0.9 x  10"^m"1 (visibility of 35 miles), and the grand average value was 3.4 x
 10"^m"^  (visibility of 9 miles).   In contrast, light-scattering measurements performed  in the Blue
 Ridge Mountains during the season  of blue haze indicated a maximum value of 2 x 10~^m~^
 (visibility of 15 miles) and  a minimum value approaching 0.2 x 10"^m"1 {(visibility >100 miles);
 a minimum value corresponding  to the coefficient  of molecular {Rayleigh) scattering of clean air.
 Unlike  frequent conditions of maximum visibility in the Blue  Ridge Mountains, the air in the
 urban areas was always significantly polluted  with  light-scattering particles.

      The average diurnal pattern of light scattering in  New York and the two Ohio cities (Columbus
 and Dayton) showed similar features.  Typically, a steady  increase in light scattering started in the
 early evening and continued until sunup.  This trend is most likely attributable to surface inversions
 that begin at sunset.(30}  The overall  light-scattering patterns also revealed slight fluctuations coin-
 cident with increased  automobile traffic during the morning and late afternoon rush hours.  With
 few exceptions, noonday and early-afternoon  maxima  in light scattering were absent, thus leading
 to the conclusion that photochemical  reactions are not the dominant processes involved in the
 generation of light-scattering aerosols in these regions of the country.

     The hour-by-hour changes in light scattering in these cities can be described satisfactorily by
 an empirically  derived time-series model which predicts light scattering on the basis of the daily
 trends of the scattering coefficient and other  air-quality factors, namely the concentrations of
 nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, total hydrocarbon and relative humidity. We  have shown  that
 the relatively simple time-series models developed here are capable of predicting the next hourly
 light-scattering average within 5-10 percent of the actual b^t average at the 50-percent-confidence
 level. The model also proved useful in forecasting  light scattering several hours in  advance of exist-
 ing air-quality data.  For example, for 4-hour  lead times, the model predicted light scattering within
 10 and  17 percent of  the actual values in Dayton and  New York, respectively, at the 50-percent-
 confidence level. Forecasts of light  scattering in hourly increments up to 8 hours were attempted,
 and the results are described in the text of the report.

     It is important to note here that conclusions about causality cannot be drawn from the struc-
 ture of the time-series models developed or from the variables comprising the models.  The variables
 were chosen because, statistically, they form a set of predictors which could best explain  the
 variance in light scattering.  A variable such as CO,  for example, is undoubtedly a "tracer" variable,
 that is not one which  is directly  involved in the process of haze formation, but one which in some'
 way adequately summarizes information about other variables which are involved in the process.

     The results of the modeling  are very encouraging for the prospects of developing a somewhat
 more  sophisticated and expanded model  which would provide statistical predictions of afternoon
 and evening visibility based on trends in  the atmospheric conditions of the morning and the pre-
vious day.  Eventually, it might also be possible to couple the stochastic model to a kinetic chemical
 model to adequately explain the process of haze formation in smog.
                                BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                                               10

      As made evident throughout the report, there is a dramatic difference between the chemical
 composition of the  light-scattering aerosols (i.e., diameters <2 /urn) and the larger aerosols (diam-
 eters > 2 Mm).  The finding supports the idea that the sources of aerosols in the two size ranges
 are decidedly different and that there is little interaction (e.g., agglomeration) between the aero-
 sols in these size ranges.  Coupling the rates of change  observed in light scattering with the con-
 clusions regarding particle interaction leads to other  implications.   Among them is the generaliza-
 tion that light-scattering aerosols in the regions sampled are continually and rapidly being diluted
 and removed by the influx of cleaner air.   In general, coagulation of these aerosols  which occurs
 with aging and which  reduces the net scattering efficiency, and scavenging mechanisms which
 ultimately remove the aerosols from the air are both slow processes (half-lives of several days
 are typical) relative  to the rate of dilution required to balance the apparent emission and/or
 formation rates of the light-scattering aerosols in these  cities.  (It  was not uncommon to observe
 light scattering increasing at hourly-average rates of 1-2 bscat units per hour, corresponding to
 aerosol-mass concentration  increasing at rates of perhaps 40-80 ng/m^ per hour.) Thus it appears
 that the Eastern cities are blessed by a consistent breeze which is  particularly prevalent during the
 peak sunlight hours  when solar  energy  is crucial to the development of photochemical aerosols.
 The overall result of the  local cleansing is, of course, the transport of light-scattering aerosols to
 other regions of the country. And the net effect in the outlying regions is likely that of creating
 an artificial background of  particles whose average concentration will  be dominated  by dispersion
 rates and scavenging rates.  Superimposed on the "background" aerosol concentration will be the
 diurnal variations in concentration  controlled by local emissions and local meteorological conditions.
                                Features of Aerosol Composition
     Chemical analyses of aerosol samples collected in Columbus, New York, and Pomona show
that there are vast differences in the chemistry of aerosols classified on the basis of aerodynamic
diameters above and below  2 jum.  The larger particles (>2 Mm) which play  little part in the
scattering of light are composed primarily of soil and sea compounds.  Metallic compounds, silica,
and carbonates predominate.  Nitrate and sulfate compounds comprise a minor fraction  of this
matter.

     In contrast,  aerosols in the size range <2 Mm  contain almost no metallic elements - lead
and zinc are exceptions. They consist primarily of organic compounds and sulfur compounds.
Sulfate accounted for about 20 percent of the small-particle mass, but sulfate sulfur accounted for
only one-third of the total sulfur concentration.  The concentration of sulfate was highly correlated
with the ammonium concentration.  Nitrate was a minor constituent of the aerosol in Columbus
and New York but a substantial constituent in Pomona.  Statistical analyses  of the inorganic com-
position of the light-scattering aerosols in conjunction with the quantity of haze and other air-
quality parameters revealed  few statistically-significant relationships.  Aside from the strong corre-
lation  between sulfate and ammonium, inorganic components are unrelated to each other. Consider-
ing air-quality factors, there was a significant positive correlation between the degree of  light
scattering and the percent concentration of sulfate  and ammonium.  A very high correlation exists
between the percent lead in the aerosols and  the daily average NC"2 concentration. For  the most
part, daily variations in  the  inorganic composition  of aerosols are not large, and subtle relationships
which  might exist with  atmospheric variations remain hidden by the complexities of the atmo-
spheric conditions.

     For organic analyses, samples of light-scattering aerosols ซ2 Mm) were subjected to soxhlet
extraction using methylene chloride (MeC^), and some of the samples were subsequently subjected
to a second extraction using dioxane.  For 10 atmospheric aerosol samples, the weight percent
MeCl2 extractable averaged  17 percent, and ranged from  8 to 45 percent.  For 7 aerosol samples
subjected to a second extraction with dioxane, the  weight percent dioxane extractable averaged
                                BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

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                                             11

 19 percent and ranged from 5 to 40 percent.  In cases where both solvents were sequentially
 employed, total extractable matter averaged 33 percent, and ranged  from 16 to 44 percent.

     It was determined that solvent-extractable blanks for glass-fiber and quartz-tissue filters are
 significant compared to the mass of extractable material obtained from a daily collection, and
 preextraction of such filters is recommended in sampling for similar  analytical purposes. The
 magnitude and variability of the dioxane blank was sufficiently large that data concerning weight-
 percent dioxane extractable matter should  be interpreted cautiously.  Owing to  the uncertainties
 concerning the dioxane extracts most analyses were conducted using MeCl2-extracted matter.

     With the exception of the sample from the Trout farm area of  Denver, which showed several
 peculiarities in composition, the weight-percent-extractable and the gross-elemental (i.e., the  C, H,
 N, 0 distribution) compositions of the methylene chloride extracts of samples from  New York,
 Ohio, and California were quite similar.  These extracts were fractionated into water-soluble  and
 water-insoluble components.  The water-insoluble material was then  fractionated into acid, neutral
 and  basic component.  The distribution of material among these  classes served as part of the general
 characterization of the sample.  In general, the MeCl2 extracts of the West Coast samples contained
 a higher  percentage of water-soluble matter than the East Coast samples (40 percent versus 15 per-
 cent).  Among the water-insoluble fractions of these extracts, the neutral fractions account for 60-
 70 percent of the mass and the acid fractions account for 30-40  percent.  Quantitative analyses for
 total car bony I and total alcohol among the neutral fractions  reveal the presence of about 5 weight
 percent oxygen for each of the functionalities.  No consistent trends were apparent in the carbonyl
 and  alcohol data, either with respect to their relative  distributions or with respect to  the total
 oxygen content of the aerosols or the concentration of ozone during the sampling periods.

     Infrared analyses of the MeCl2 extracts show the presence of a  variety of carbonyl-containing
 compounds and possibly the  presence of peroxide and/or carbonate compounds. There are also
 indications of small concentrations of organic nitrates, and the trends in the intensity of the
 nitrate bands correlate well with the total nitrogen content of the extracted aerosols.  Fourier-
 transform-IMMR spectrometry indicates that aliphatic protons are an  order-of-magnitude more
 prevalent than aromatic protons.

     The  Denver  (Trout farm) sample which was nearly one-half  soluble in MeCl2 contained  rela-
 tively little oxygen and nitrogen, and appeared to be highly "saturated" compared to all the
 samples from other regions.

     Excluding the unusual Denver sample, the overall characteristics of the organic composition of
 light-scattering aerosols are only moderately different for samples from different sites and are only
 moderately different on days of different air-quality at the same  site.  There appears  to be a trend
 of higher percentages of total oxygenated matter on days of  higher light scattering, but the more
 specific analyses for oxygen-bearing functionalities show no obvious  patterns with the degree of
 light scattering or other air-quality parameters.  Comparing the organic chemistry of the urban
 aerosols with the chemistry of the aerosols collected from smog-chamber irradiations of auto ex-
 hausts yielded no  chemical basis by which  to estimate the contribution of automobile exhaust to
 the total paniculate burden.  In general,  the chemistry of the exhaust-related aerosols showed some
 significant similarities with the  West Coast  samples, marginal  similarities with the New York samples,
 and  no similarities with the Denver sample. In the end,  it must be stressed  that only a very  limited
number of aerosol samples have been analyzed for organic constituency.  It  is noteworthy however
that  good agreement between replicate analyses of a Pomona  sample suggests that differences
 revealed  by the organic analytical sequence are genuine.  While it is felt that the samples and the
analyses thereof are representative of the chemistry of urban  atmospheric particulate,  conclusion
cannot be drawn  about specific sources and precursors of the condensed organic matter.

                              BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

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                                            12

                               RESULTS AND DISCUSSION


                               Light-Scattering Measurements
     As discussed in the Background Section of this report, the quantity of haze was determined
by an integrating nephelometer (with a heated inlet) which operates on the principle of light
scattering.  Throughout the course of this program, nephelometer measurements were made in
New York City (Bronx, September, 1970; Welfare  Island, August, 1972), Columbus (July,  1972),
and Dayton (August, 1974), and the Blue Ridge Mountains (October, 1970).  Data collected
continuously at the Welfare Island and Dayton sites are of sufficient duration (nearly 1 month)
to justify making generalizations about the average or typical patterns of haze in these localities.

     The averages of the hourly averages  of light scattering are plotted in  Figure 3 for each hour
of the day  in Dayton and  New York. The structure of the two diurnal light-scattering curves
are quite similar.  In both  cities there is an increase in light scattering beginning near 1700 hours
and continuing to a maximum in the early morning.  In New York,  and to a lesser extent in
Dayton, there is a secondary maxima occurring during the morning rush hours.  Surprisingly,
there is a lack of a maxima during the noon or afternoon hours attributable to increased photo-
chemical  aerosol formation so  commonly observed on the  West Coast.  Even on days where
substantial photochemical  smog was evident, and there  were many (03 exceeded the 1-hour max-
mum standard of 0.08  ppm on 15 of 21  days  in New York and 12 of 20 days in Dayton),
afternoon increases  in light scattering were only slightly pronounced. In the Blue Ridge Moun-
tains where  primary aerosol sources were negligible and light scattering sometimes approached
background  conditions  (i.e., molecular scatter), an  afternoon maximum in light scattering often
occurred due to  photochemical reactions involving terpenes and nitrogen oxides.

     We conclude from these data that throughout an average diurnal period, light-scattering
aerosols in midwestern  and eastern cities originate primarily from  primary emissions and/or
dark (thermal) reactions of gaseous pollutants and  secondarily from photochemical  reactions.
However, during the daytime when haze is visible,  the two sources of aerosol are more nearly
equal, and our conclusion  regarding the principal source of these aerosols is made with caution,
surmising that if it were not for the good ventilation of these cities in the afternoon, the photo-
chemical  aerosol contribution would  be of greater significance.
                           Statistical Analysis of Light Scattering
     The objective of this portion of the program was to develop an empirical model which would
mathematically account for haze (light scattering) in terms of various air quality and meteorolog-
ical data.  It was desirable that the model be derived  from hourly or shorter-time averages of the
data; i.e., the model was designed to describe hour-by-hour changes in light scattering rather than
long-term trends.  A model developed in such a manner could perform a two-fold function:

     (1)  It could lead  to the development of the capability  for short-term forecasting
         of urban visibility and aerosol concentrations (much like a weather forecast).

     (2)  Since the  basic time frame is short enough to reflect the impact of thermal
         and photochemical reactions, an empirical model of this type could yield
         information relevant to the understanding of these  processes.  Eventually,

                           BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

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            5.0
ID
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p
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c
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            4.0
'E
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 X
 ^ 3.0
  o
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 1_
 O)
         o
         c/>  2.0
 en
             1.0
              0
                                                Dayton, Ohio
                                                  July, 1974
New York City (Welfare Island)
 August, 1972
                                                           1
                                               8       10      12      14
                                                             Hour of Day
                                                                       16
                                                               18
20      22
24
                FIGURE 3.  AVERAGE DIURNAL PATTERN OF LIGHT SCATTERING IN NEW YORK CITY AND DAYTON, OHIO

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                                              14
         perhaps a blend of stochastic and theoretical chemical models could be devel-
         oped to adequately explain the process of haze formation.
Preliminary Analyses

     On the premise that the concentration of light-scattering aerosols at any given time might de-
pend on the immediate history of the atmosphere, as well as some instantaneous factors, the ap-
proach selected for modeling light scattering was based on time-series analysis.  Since the computer
programs available for developing time-series models are limited to the use of three predictor
variables, it was necessary to reduce the number of possible  predictor variables to be included in
our analysis.  For this purpose, a multivariate empirical technique known as AID (short for Auto-
matic Interaction Detector)  was employed.(31) By means of an iterative binary splitting pro-
cedure, this method shows those variables and interactions among variables which are likely to
best explain the variance of  a criterion variable (in this case, light scattering).  A more  complete
discussion of this procedure  and a detailed account of the results is presented in Appendix A.

     In the diagram below, the results of applying  AID to the New York data are summarized.
Of the 15 independent variables, NO2, CO, relative humidity (RH), and  total hydrocarbons
(THC) were chosen as the variables to include in the time-series analysis. Since four variables
were selected, it was decided to develop four time-series models for light scattering, one for  each
of the four possible combinations of three variables taken from this set  of predictors.

                               Original  Independent Variables
                         Global Irradiance
                         Wind Speed
                         Wind Direction
                         Temperature
                         Relative Humidity
                         Sulfur Dioxide
                         Ozone
Nitric Oxide
Nitrogen Dioxide
Nitrogen Oxides
Carbon  Monoxide
Methane
Total Hydrocarbons
Ethylene
Acetylene
                                Selected Predictor Variables
                         Nitrogen Dioxide
                         Carbon Monoxide
Relative Humidity
Total Hydrocarbons
     It should be noted that time-lagged variables were not explicitly included in the AID analysis.
However, since the variables were hourly averaged, there is some reflection of short-term time lag
relationships in the data. Since time lags of even longer duration may be  inherent in the photo-
chemical processes of haze formation, it is possible that other  important variables were overlooked
by this screening technique.
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                              15

Time-Series Analysis

     Nine days of hourly averaged data (the four predictor variables NC>2, CO, RH, and THC, and
light scattering) from August 22 to August 30,  1972, in New York were programmed for time-
series analysis. Some preliminary analyses were performed on data as originally collected, i.e., at
10-minute intervals.  However, for reasons discussed  below, the remainder of the analyses were
performed on hourly averages of 10-minute data.

     The method used to develop the time-series models is that of Box  and JenkinsJ32)  Tne
method, while theoretically based, places emphasis on pragmatism  and parsimony, and hence is a
practical method for time-series analysis of real  data.  Further discussion of the  Box-Jenkins
methods and detailed results are also included in Appendix A. A general discussion of the basic
procedures follows.

     Before developing the relationship between  light scattering and the various  predictor vari-
ables, it  is first necessary to obtain univariate models for each of the variables to be included in
the equation.  These models relate the observed series to an uncorrelated noise series.  The noise
series may be interpreted as the effect of other  variables on the time structure of the observed
series.  This noise series  is then  due to effects unexplainable by the given observed series, and it
is the noise  series that embodies the stochastic character of the observed series, i.e., the part due
to chance.  After the univariate models are developed, the multivariate relationship is studied.
The multivariate relationship is incorporated in a time-series model called a transfer-function
model.  It is a dynamic model, and incorporates structural relationships  between the dependent
variable and predictor variables, as well as a noise series relating to those effects still unexplained
by the relationship.  The univariate models and  transfer-function models are capable of fitting
seasonal  effects, trends, and even characteristics of time series which can change with  time, e.g.,
stochastic trends.  Diurnal variations were detected in the observed series for  light scattering and
the chosen predictor variables, and the subsequent model  development incorporated seasonal
(diurnal) factors to account for  this variation.

     Initially,  AID analyses and time-series analyses were performed on the 10-minute data.  How-
ever, difficulties were encountered  in developing  transfer-function models. Careful examination
revealed  that part of the problem was due to the fact that changes due to "noise" were on the
same order as real changes and thoroughly intermixed, hence  "masking" statistical relationships
in the data.  In an attempt to reduce this problem, hourly averages of data were used. This
would tend  to "smooth" variations due to noise and thus  put in sharper focus basic changes oc-
curring in the data. The AID analyses for the 10-minute data and  the hourly averages were sim-
ilar, but  now meaningful relationships emerged in the  transfer-function models.  At this point,
it was decided to carry out the time-series analyses solely on hourly averages.

    A total of eight transfer-function models were developed. The four models mentioned pre-
viously were developed for each of two cases:  (1)  with seasonal  differencing  of  the data, and
(2) with  no  seasonal differencing of the data. There  were  two reasons for developing  the second
set of four models.  First, it  was noted that when seasonal differencing was applied (and this
was indicated  by  preliminary Box-Jenkins analysis) the resulting models  had a large degree of
"overfitting".  That is, much of the effect of seasonal differencing  was nullified by parameters
occurring in the consequent models.  Hence, in interests of simplicity, it was decided to develop
the nonseasonally differenced models. A  second consideration was that  the Denver data, ob-
tained  from EPA for purposes of attempting forecasts, covered only a short period of time, and
diurnal differencing was  not appropriate.  It should be noted here that seasonal parameters re-
mained incorporated in the nonseasonally differenced  models.
                            BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                                              16

     The best of the eight models developed from the New York data, in terms of reducing the
variance of the noise factor (i.e., the unexplained effects), was the  diurnally differenced model in-
volving the predictor variables N02, CO, and RH. The diurnally differenced models as a group
were superior to the nondiurnally differenced models.

     Table 1 presents a comparison  of the different  models according to the variance of the
noise component.  For a base comparison, the univariate light-scattering model and its variance
are also included. Note that the N02, CO, and RH  transfer-function model reduces the variance
of the noise component by about 50 percent compared to the univariate  light-scattering model.

     It is important to consider that no conclusions  about causality can be  drawn from the struc-
ture of the time-series models developed, or from the variables included in the various models.
These variables were chosen because, statistically, they form a set of predictors which could best
reduce the unexplained effects.  A variable such as CO, for example, is undoubtedly a "tracer"
variable, that  is, not one which  is directly involved in the process of  haze formation, but one
which in some way summarizes information from other variables which are  involved in this pro-
cess.  In the present analysis, therefore, the models developed are best suited for predictive pur-
poses, and the tie-in between the empirical method of time-series analysis and theoretical cause-
effect models  is left to future research.
 Forecasting

     The transfer-function models developed form the basis for the forecasting procedure.  Fore-
casts from  a given point in time make use of past history of the light-scattering and predictor-
variable series.  The past history used for each variable depends on the structure of the particular
forecast model.  In general, a time period of up to several hours preceding the forecast is used,
and  if  diurnal factors are  included, appropriate information  from preceding days are used. The
forecast is  comprised of two basic steps:  first, relevant observed past values are put into the fore-
cast  model; second,  the structure of the  time-series model transforms this information into a
forecast value for a given  lead time.

     Forecasts were of interest for two reasons:  (1) various statistical tests performed on the
forecasts could be used to attempt to validate models developed; (2) results of the forecasts
could be studied to  see how effective short-term forecasts for various lead  times would be.  An-
other consideration in the forecasting analysis was whether the models developed in New York
City could  be applied elsewhere.  Data were obtained from  Denver, Colorado, and Dayton, Ohio,
for this purpose.

     Figure 4 displays the results of the  1-hour-in-advance (lead-1) forecasts for light scattering
over a  49-hour period from  August 10 to August 14, 1972,  in New York City.  This period was
not used in developing the forecast model. • The transfer-function model  in this case was the
seasonally differenced model with predictor variables N02, CO, and  RH.

     The X-axis represents time in hours, the Y-axis light scattering in conventional  bscat units
(10~4 nrr1).  The solid line records the observed light scattering for this time period.  The asterisks
represent forecasts made 1 hour in advance, and the dotted  lines designate the 50 percent confi-
dence band about the forecasts, i.e., approximately 50 percent of the time the observed values
should fall  within the dotted lines.  The figure was constructed in such a way as to  provide im-
mediate comparison between forecast values and the "eventual" observed values, and to yield
visual evidence that the appropriate percentage of observed values fall within the confidence bands.
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                17
TABLE 1.  COMPARISON OF UNIVARIATE AND TRANSFER FUNCTION
          MODELS OF LIGHT SCATTERING BY RESIDUAL VARIANCE
                                        Residual Variance in
             Model Type               Light Scattering (x lO^
    A.  Models Without Seasonal Differencing

      Univariate model                           0.300

      Transfer function models with
      predictor variables
          I.  NO2, CO, RH                      0.155
         II.  IM02, CO, THC                     0.169
        III.  N02, RH.THC                     0.172
        IV.  CO. RH.THC                      0.165

    B.  Models With Seasonal Differencing

      Univariate model                           0.282
      Transfer function models with
      predictor variables
          I.  N02, CO, RH                      0.146
         II.  NO2, CO, THC                     0.155
        III.  N02, RH.THC                    0.182
        IV.  CO, RH, THC                      0.157
                BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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          7 . 0
          fr . 0
          5 . 0
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          3 . 0
          2 . 0
           1 . 0
          0 . 0
            0.0
                                                                                                                                               00
                       5 . C
                                  0.0       15.0      20.0       ? 5 . 0       30.0
                                                                       T imE
                                                                 I  HOUR  FORECAST
                                                                                      35.0
                                                                                       10.0
                                                                                                 15.0
                                                                                                            50.0
                                                                                                                       55.0
                                                                                                     LINE=ACTU*L B-SCM
                                                                                                     • 51 EM SR -1 -HOUR FORECAST
                                                                                                     DASHED LlfcE=.ป0 CONFIDENCE
                                                                                                     *YCI I  -LS  VS  CO , RM,ND2
                                                                     FIGURE 4.

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                                             19

The width of the confidence band about the forecast in Figure 4 is ฑ0.33 b^^ units, and 24 out
of 49 observed values fall within the confidence limits.  Another statistical test shows that the
1-hour-lead forecasts are uncorrelated, a property they should possess.  Hence, statistically and
practically, the 1-hour lead forecasts are satisfactory.

     Figures 5 through 7 show, respectively, the results of the 2-hour, 5-hour, and 8-hour lead
forecasts using this model for predictions in New York. Table 2 summarizes the results of these
forecasts (as well as those for other locations),  including widths of confidence bands and per-
centage of observations falling within the 50 percent confidence bands.  While perhaps still being
acceptable, the longer lead forecasts  may indicate some degradation in model effectiveness.
Figure 8 is a composite of the lead-1 through lead-8 forecasts.  The numbers 1 through 8 on the
graph are located at the values of the 1-hour through 8-hour-in-advance forecasts, respectively.
This figure shows the tendency of the forecasts to converge to the observed values as the lead
time becomes shorter.  The convergence illustrates the adaptive character of the Box-Jenkins
forecasting model.

     Figures 9 through 13 show the  same information for forecasts made on data collected in
Denver, Colorado, on November 15 and 16, 1973.  The figures show about  the same degree of
success with the Denver data as with the New York data.  However, because of the short span
of consecutive data, and because the N02 data  were incomplete, the forecast model used for
Denver was nonseasonally differenced, and the  predictor variables were CO, RH, and THC.

     Finally, Figures 14 through 18 summarize  the  results of forecasts made on data collected in
Dayton, Ohio, in July and  August, 1974, where the seasonally differenced model  was used with
predictors N02, CO, and RH. Results are extremely good, perhaps indicating that a model de-
veloped from Dayton data would  have a smaller noise variance than that developed from New
York  data.
Summary

     The results of forecasting light scattering in three localities for lead times up to 8 hours
show statistically acceptable results for the shorter lead  times, with "reasonable" results for
longer lead times.  Further, the adaptive nature of the forecasting procedure continually im-
proves forecast results as further information becomes available (and lead times become corre-
spondingly smaller).  The models used to generate the forecasts must be considered extremely
simple and yet results are surprisingly effective.  A possible explanation of why the forecasting
method developed in New York seems to apply equally  well in Dayton and Denver is that per-
haps not enough sophistication has yet been built into the model, and that differences between
individual cities are still embedded in the noise process.   Further resolution into other predictor
variables may  make differences more pronounced.

     One element of surprise in determining good predictor variables was that  wind speed did
not seem to be of much help in predicting  light scattering.  It was decided to  investigate the
data for a possible reason.  Looking at wind speed in  conjunction with wind direction showed
more promise.  Hence a method was devised to incorporate a wind-velocity vector into the AID
analysis.  Results, graphically displayed in Appendix A,  show that wind velocity is an important
predictor of light scattering.  Unfortunately, it was not  possible at this time to incorporate a
vector-valued variable in  the time-series analysis.
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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        7 . 0
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        5 . 0
        3 . 0
        2 . 0
         I . 0
        0 . 0
          0. 0
                   5 . C
                            0.0     15.0     20.0     25.0     30.0

                                                            T I HE
                                                      2  HOUR FORECAST
                                                                        35.0
                                                                                 10.0
                                                                                          15.0
                                                                                                   50.0
                                                                                                            55.0
LINE-ACTUAL 6-SC AT
ASTER ISK=2-HOUR FORECAST
DASHED  LIME-.50 CONFIDENCE
NVCII -LS vs CO,RH,NOJ
                                                                                                                        B ปND
                                                          FIGURE 5.

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         7 . 0
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         6 . 0
         5 . 0
         1 . 0
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         2 . 0
         1 . 0
         0 . 0
          0. 0
                   5.0      10.0     15.0     20.0     25.0     30.0
                                                             T IKE
                                                       5  HOUR FORECAST


                                                           FIGURE 6.
                                                                         35.0
                                                                                  10.0
                                                                                           15.0
                                                                                                    50.0
                                                                                                              55.0
                                                                                     LINE=ปCTUปL B-SCปT
                                                                                     BSTFR I S* =5-HOUR FORECAST
                                                                                     DASHED  LIME-.iO CONFIDENCE
                                                                                     NYCI I -LS VS CO,RM,N02

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            7 . 0
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             . 0
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            0 . C
              0.0       S.C       IC.C      15.0      20.0      25.0      30.0
                                                                      t I PE
                                                                8 HOUI>  FORECAST


                                                                    FIGURE 7.
                                                                                     35.0
                                                                                               t C . 0
                                                                                                          15.0
                                                                                                                    50.0
                                                                                                 L t ME MCTUAl  B - S C ซ 1
                                                                                                 ปSTER I SK =8-HOUปi  F"K
                                                                                                 DASHED  ll*E-.5C  CCSFICE^CE
                                                                                                 NVCII  -LS V5  CP .ซ•• . fcP Z
CANC

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                                   23
                   TABLE 2.  FORECAST SUMMARY
Forecast Hours in Advance
.50 Confidence Band
No. of Observations in
 Forecast Band/Total
          1
          2
          3
          4
          5
          6
          7
          8
    NYC II
     ฑ .33
     ฑ .51
     ฑ .60
     ฑ .68
     ฑ .75
     ฑ ,81
     ฑ .87
     ฑ .93
       24/49
       22/48
        16/45
        12/42
          1
          2
          3
          4
          5
          6
          7
          8
    Denver

     ฑ .33
     ฑ .52
     ฑ .62
     ฑ .71
     ฑ .785
     ฑ .855
     ฑ .92
     ฑ .98
       21/38
       20/37
        14/34
        9/31
          1
          2
          3
          4
          5
          6
          7
          8
   Dayton
     + .33
     ฑ .51
     ฑ .60
     ฑ .68
     ฑ .75
     ฑ .81
     t .87
     ฑ .93
       30/49
       28/48
       29/45
       24/42
                  ATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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          6 . 0
          5 . 0
•ซ . 0
3 . 0
2 . 0
          I . 0
                                                                                                        7  I
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          0 . 0

           0. 0
                     S.O      10. C       15.0      20.0      25.0      30.0

                                                                    T I f\f

                                                           I  TO  8 HOUR fORECASIS
                                                                                   35.0
                                                                                             1 0 . 0
                                                                                                       15.0
                                                                                                                  50.0
                                                                                                                            5 5  C
                                                                                                 I I WE =ปCIUซl  6-SCat
                                                                                                 •lYCII  -LS  VS C 0 . ซ H , fc P 2
                                                                                                                                                   ISJ
                                                                  FIGURE 8.

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                                  I 0 0
                                                           ?0.0        ?S  0
                                                                 T I OF
                                                           1  HOUR c n H p r a '. T


                                                               FIGURE 9.
                                                                                   TOO
                                                                                               3Sv/0         tO . 0
                                                                                             A S TF S I <;ซ r I -HPUH  FPPFCA^T
                                                                                                     L I ป F = . S 0  rnNflOFH
                                                                                                    -LS V'.  r".Dn.THt

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                                    10.0
                                                15.0
                                                           ?0 . 0        ?5  0

                                                                  T I Hf

                                                            Z  HOUR FORFT•S T
                                                                                  300
o. /   •"to.o        ts.o
 V
   L I HE =ปC TUซL  8 -
-------
J>
-\
H
m
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m

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             s o
             i . o
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                            •>
                                                                    ? 0  0         7 S 0

                                                                            T I P1F

                                                                     S  Hfl(|B
                                                                         FIGURE 11.
ISO1.    ,' \ 1 Jป  0 /        1 '

       l/l N F ?ซ r T j a i  n -*,rป'
                                                                                                                     na'.MFn IINF=  •><)
                                                                                                                     OFNVFB-1";  V^  rn
                                                             NJ

-------
0
*
H
r
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m
0
0
p
c
3
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c
a
                0  0

                 0 0
                                                     I 5  0
                                                                  ?0  0        ?S  0

                                                                        T I nF

                                                                  B H n || R FPRPrAr. T
                                                                    FIGURE 12.
15.0   ', •    "t 0  0' X •

       I I NF =ปC~t Uซl  B -^r
       • STFR I •.ซ =8-HOllซ
       no ".H F n  i i N( = s o
       DFNvFM-t<; ป<; ro.

-------
                                                                                    7  ft
                                                                                    ft
                                                                          1  M
0
J>
H
H
m
r
r
m
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1 . (i
                                                                                    1  ft
                                                                                    h  7  ซ
                                                                                                        '  0
                                                                                                ' M ;: I  s s
                         . c
                                   I 0 0
                                               ISO
                                                           ?0.0
                                                         I  rn
                                                                                    10 0
                                                                                                ISO
                                                                                                             10  0
                                                                                                  - a r T '; A L  ft - s r a T
                                                                                                  FR-i*i  v ^ r o . R H , T M r
                                                               FIGURE 13.

-------
in
r
r
m
0
0
r
C
2
a
c
a
         \ i. o
         10.0
          9 . 0
          8 . 0
7 . 0
          6 . 0
5 . 0
            . 0
          3 . 0
          I . 0

           0.0
                     5 . 0
                                      \15.0     20.0      25.0      30.0

                                                                T I PIE
                                                          1 HOUR FORECAST



                                                             FIGURE 14.
                                                                              35.0
                                                                             100
                                                                                       15.0
                                                                                                SO . 0
                                                                                                          55.0
                                                                                          I I ME -ACTUAL  ง -SC ปT
                                                                                          ASTER I Sn = I -HOUR FORECAST
                                                                                          DASHED  LINE-.SO CONFIDENCE  BปSC
                                                                                          OAVTOK-LS  VS  CO.RM.TMC

-------
H
H
m
r
r
n
o
c
0
          11.0
          i o .0
           9 . 0
           8 . 0
7 . 0
           t . 0
           5 . 0
           M . 0
           3 . 0
                  \V  A •
           2 . 0
            0. 0
                     5 . 0
                              1   C
                                       15.0      20.0
                                                         25.0      30.0
                                                              T THE
                                                        2 HOUR FORECAST


                                                           FIGURE 15.
                                                                           35.0
                                                                                    HO.0      S5 . 0
                                                                                                      $0.0
                                                                                                               55.0
                                                                                                                                  CO
                                                                                                 B-SCAt
                                                                                     ft 51 ER1 SH = 2-HOUR FORECAST
                                                                                     DASHED  LIKE-.50 CONFIDENCE BAND
                                                                                     OAYTON-LS WS CO , BH,TMC

-------
          11-0,
H
-4
n
r
r
n
o
r
C
3
ID
C
n
          10.0
           9 . 0
           8 . 0
I    7-0
5

C
A
T
     6 . 0
     5 . 0
           1 . 0
           3 . 0
           2 . 0
            0. 0
                      5 . 0
                                  10      15.0      20.0      250      30.0
                                                                   T I ซE
                                                             •> HOUR  FORECAST



                                                                 FIGURE 16.
                                                                                  35.0      "(0.0
                                                                                                       tS . 0
                                                                                                                 50 . 0
                                                                                                                           55.0
                                                                                                     L I NF = ซC1 UAl  B-SCAT
                                                                                                     ปSTER I SK-S-MOLR  FORECAST
                                                                                                     DASHED  LINE^.SO  CONFIDENCE  BAND
                                                                                                     OAVTON-lS  VS CO,ซH,TMC

-------
H
H
     R
I    T
n
o
r
C
i
         11.0
         10.0
           •ป . 0
           8 . 0
           7.0-
6 . 0
5 . 0
           1 . 0
           3 . 0
           2 . 0
            0.0
                       5 . C
                                  0.0       15.0      20.0      25.0       30.0
                                                                       T IHE
                                                                8  HOUR FORECAST
                                                                    FIGURE 17.
                                                                                       35.0
                                                                                                 10.0
                                                                                                            15.0
                                                                                                                       50.0
                                                                                                                                  55.0
                                                                                                                                                CO
                                                                                                                                                CO
                                                                                                     LlNE=ปCTl'ปl  8-SCAT
                                                                                                     ปS1ERIS*=8-HOUR FORECAST
                                                                                                     DASHED  LIME-.50 CONMOENff  BAND
                                                                                                     DAYTON-IS VS  CO.RM.TMC

-------
r
p
n
o
C
01
        11.0
        10.0
         9 . 0
         8 . 0
          . 0
         6 . 0
         5 . 0
         1 . 0
         3. 0
         2 . 0
          0.
                   5 . 0
                            I .
                                     15.0     20.0      25.0      30.0
                                                             T I HE
                                                    I  TO 6  HOUR  FORECASTS
                                                                          35 . 0
                                                                                   10.0
                                                                                            •(5.0
                                                                                                      90.0
                                                                                                               55.0
LI ME ^ACTUAL t-SCAT
OAVTON-lS VS CO,AH,h02
                                                          FIGURE 18.

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                                               35

     Thus, although this model must be regarded as preliminary and incomplete, the results are
 very encouraging.  It appears that with some additional expansion and refinement of the tech-
 nique, it would be possible to  make accurate predictions of the concentration of light-scattering
 aerosols in afternoons or evenings based on information gathered earlier in the day and from
 preceding days.  One obvious improvement is to  make provisions for including more predictor
 variables.  Haze formation is a complicated process, and more than three variables are necessary
 to explain its evolution. A noticeable deficiency in the present models is the lack of more vari-
 ables with a  potential to describe the effect of time lags inherent in photochemical and perhaps
 thermal processes governing aerosol growth.  Inclusion of such variables  would be expected to
 enhance the  performance of models in forecasting over longer lead  times.  Secondly, interactions
 among predictor variables may have profound effects on light scattering  which do not show up
 when the variables are treated  separately.  A good example of this  is the interaction between
 wind speed and wind direction.  Taken individually, even  though in succession, they do  little  to
 explain an effect on light scattering.  Treated  together, as a velocity vector, a powerful influence
 on  light scattering is detected.  Methods of identifying such interactions and incorporating them
 into the time-series analysis must be devised.
                      Chemical Composition of Light-Scattering Aerosols
 Inorganic Composition

     During the second year of this program, selected aerosol samples from Columbus, Ohio,
 New York City, and Pomona, California, were  analyzed for their organic and  inorganic composi-
 tions.  Analyses were performed on diurnal collections of aerosols having diameters <2 jum.
 Analyses were also  performed on composite samples of aerosols having diameters >2 /urn.  De-
 tailed analytical results  were presented in the Second Year Report.^)

     The average inorganic composition of the  aerosols collected at the three sites is summarized
 in Table 3.  As indicated in Table 3, there are vast differences in the composition of aerosols in
 the two size classifications implying that the sources of these aerosols are different and that there
 is little interaction  (e.g., agglomeration) among aerosols in these size ranges; at least  on a diurnal
 time scale.  The chemical  results tend to support the contention  based on mobility measurements
 of aerosol size that aerosol mass in urban atmospheres is distributed bimodally,  with a saddle point
 in the  mass distribution near 2 pm  diameter. ^2)  Indeed, it was on the presumed validity of that
 distribution data, as well as considerations  of light-scattering properties, that particle separation
 was  performed  for diameters <2
     According to the summary in Table 3, nearly all of the metallic compounds are associated
with larger particles; of all the metals, only lead and zinc were found to have substantial fractions
in the smaller aerosol size range.  As a group, metallic elements constitute the major fractional
part of the mass of larger aerosols, but <2 percent of the mass of the smaller aerosols.  Soil-
derived elements  (Fe, Al,  Si, and to a lesser extent Na,  K, Ca and  Mg) are found primarily among
the larger aerosols.  Elements of sea salt (Na, Cl, and  to a lesser  extent Mg)  also predominate
in the larger size  range.  Inorganic carbon  compounds (carbonates) constitute the other major part
of larger  aerosols. Carbon in this case is assumed to be inorganic on the basis of the small
amounts  of hydrogen associated with the aerosols.  The assumption is consistent with the re-
sults of Mueller, et al., who  measured carbonate carbon in size fractionated  aerosols from Pasa-
dena. (33) Tney found that  carbonate carbon was  concentrated in size ranges >2 /urn, and it
constituted about 10  percent (12 /ug/m3) of the total particulate mass.  If we assume that all of
the carbon in the larger aerosols is inorganic, and all the carbon  in the smaller size range is
organic, then the  inorganic carbon concentration in the  New York area averages 9
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                                    36
                TABLE 3. AVERAGE AEROSOL CONSTITUENTS AT THREE LOCALITIES lal
Aerosol diameter (/urn):

Avg mass concentration
                                  Columbus
                             New York
                                                Pomona
<2

54
>2

 24
<2

 58
>2

91
<2

43
                                                 Weight Percent According to Aerosol Size
>2

 56
Constituent
Metals
Carbon
Hydrogen
Halogen
Sulfate
Nitrate
Ammonium
Total

1
17
6
0
19
1
6
50

36
17
1
1
2
2
0
59

2
26
6
1
22
4
7
68

37
16
1
6
4
3
0
69

2 NC'b)
25
5
2
14
24
9
81
(a) The composition of aerosols <2 jim diameter are averages of samples from 5 days in Columbus, 11 days in New York,
   and 6 days in Pomona.  Data for aerosols >2 tun are averages from 11 days in Columbus and 27 days in New York;
   no large aerosols were collected  in Pomona.
(b) NC:  large aerosols not collected for analysis.
                                  BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

-------
                                              37


     Results of the same Pasadena study indicated that 90 percent of the organic carbon occurred
in particles < 1 pm in diameter, and that organic carbon comprised 37 to 54 percent of the par-
ticulate mass in that size range.  By pyrolitic analyses, we found somewhat lower percentages of
organic carbon in the smaller aerosols collected from Columbus, New York, and Pomona, but the
very limited Pomona samplings are not likely representative of the Los Angeles area.  As dis-
cussed in the next section of this report, organic  extractions by methylene chloride and
dioxane indicated  20-30 weight percent organics in the light-scattering aerosols around Columbus
and  New York.

     Nitrate was found in both aerosol size ranges in  contrast to a report by Lee and Patterson'^)
where nitrate  predominated in the submicron size range.  Judging from recent evidence that
gaseous nitric acid can be captured as particulate on ordinary glass fiber  filters'34), it is suspected
that discrepancies  regarding the distribution and/or concentration of nitrate in aerosols may be
related to nitric acid collection.  High  purity quartz filters (to our knowledge used here for the
first time in atmospheric sampling), do not seem  to absorb nitric acid, and the nitrate concentra-
tions we report may therefore be somewhat less than  those reported previously.

     Ammonium was found to be exclusively associated with the smaller size fraction of aerosols
which is consistent with most reports on the ammonium distribution.  The sum of nitrogen from
nitrate and ammonium accounts for about 75 percent of the total-aerosol nitrogen.  The question
is often raised whether ammonium salts are formed on filter substrates from reactions of gaseous
ammonia with acids.  This is an  important consideration, and  our results do not provide answers
to that type question. Although we are reasonably certain that nitric acid did not "fix" ammonia
on the quartz substrate, it is possible that sulfuric acid did.

     Along with organic matter,  sulfate compounds constituted a major fraction of the mass of
the smaller aerosols.  The exclusiveness of sulfate among small particles does not imply a dominant
source or mechanism of sulfate formation as numerous processes for both heterogeneous and
homogeneous  conversion of S02 to sulfate have been postulated which result in submicron aero-
sols.  Sulfate sulfur accounted for only about one-third of the total-aerosol sulfur, but no deter-
minations were made for sulfite.  Novakov et al. reported that sulfite sulfur predominated  over
sulfate sulfur in the <2 /urn aerosol-size range.(24)  The average concentration of sulfate in light-
scattering aerosols  in  New York of 12  ng/m^ is near the overall 5-year (1964-1968) average of
11.4 jig/m3 of total sulfate for eastern urban sites.'35)

     The halogen contribution to the mass of small aerosols was <2 percent.  In New York, chlo-
ride was the predominant halogen -  and its concentration is attributed primarily to sea salt.

     Regression analyses were performed to determine statistical relationships which  might exist
between the inorganic composition of aerosols and the air quality and meteorological data  associ-
ated with the respective periods of aerosol  collections. Eleven days of sampling in New York
was used for the analysis, and the air quality data were averaged on a 24-hour basis for compari-
son with the diurnal aerosol samples.  The  results are  summarized in Table 4.

     Before discussing the regressions relating aerosol  composition to air  quality data it is impor-
tant to note that,  in several  instances, the regression variable selected  as most significant on the
basis of the highest correlation coefficient was only slightly better than other highly correlated
independent variables.  Correlations among the  independent variables are indicated in Table 5;
coefficients >0.75 appearing in bold face.  Correlations among the dependent variables, i.e., the
compositional components of the aerosols, were quite poor with the exception of the correlation
between sulfate and ammonium concentrations which was R = 0.94.
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                                     38
                TABLE 4.  REGRESSION ANALYSES ON INORGANIC AEROSOL COMPOSITION
                          AND AVERAGE AIR QUALITY CONDITIONS
Type of regression: Linear
Variable dimension: Mass Concentration
Dependent Variable Variable'3* R F
Pb
Br
Cl
S
S04
N03
NH4
C
NOX
NO
C2H2
bscat
bscat
C2H2
bscat
WS
0.87
0.79
0.59
0.58
0.95
0.57
0.98
-0.79
28.9
14.8
4.9
4.7
75.1
5.0
76.8
15.0
Linear
Percent Concentration
Variable R F
NOX
03
temp(b)
wp
bscat
temp
bscat
THC

0.90
-0.75
-0.51
0.42
0.78
-0.49
0.83
-.50
32.9
11.4
3.2
1.9
13.9
2.9
20.2
3.0
Logarithmic
Mass Concentration
Variable R F
NOX
ฐ3
C2H2
bscat
bscat
C2H2
bscat
WS
0.88
-.77
.59
0.56
0.92
-0.66
0.91
-0.81
32.3
13.2
4.9
4.2
46.4
6.9
42.3
17.5
(a)  In several instances, the "best" independent variable had a correlation coefficient only slightly higher than
    that of another independent variable.  Correlations between the independent variables are listed in Table 5.
(b)  Underlined variables do not meet the 95 percent confidence test.
                                  BATTEULE — C O I. U M B U S

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        TABLE 5. CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS AMONG THE INDEPENDENT VARIABLES SUBSEQUENTLY

                REGRESSED AGAINST AEROSOL COMPOSITION
m
H
H
m
p
p
m

1
n
0
p
c
s
CD
c
01


S02
03
NO
N02

CO

CH4

THC

C2H2
NMHC

BSCAT

WS
TEMP
RH
IRRAD
1.00
-.46
.41
-.73
-.31

-.55

-.55

-.60

-.43
-.26

-.31

.25
-.25
-.41
.37
1.00
-.89
.23
-.39

.08

.27

-.03

-.27
-.27

.22

-.01
.56
.20
-.01
1.00
-.02
.61

.17

-.09

.16

.23
.29

.05

-.16
-.23
.05
-.2
1.00
.74

.89

.74

.85

.62
.41

.79

.35
.49
.73
-.73
1.00

.80

.48

.74

.60
.50

.67

-.60
.25
.56
-.74


1.00

.88

.68

.68
.17

.83

-.60
.38
.75
-.90




1.00

.43

.61
-.15

.65

-.38
.18
.71
-.79






1.00

.48
.80

.63

-.57
.32
.62
-.60








1.00
.99

.39

-.47
-.06
.41
-.59









1.00

.27 1.00

- .36 - .70 1 .00
.17 .64 -.32 1.00
.24 .78 -.33 .49 1.00
-.18 -.82 .75 .59 -.69 1.00
                                                                                                      OJ
                                                                                                      CO
S02   03
NO
NO2   NOX   CO    CH4   THC   C2H2  NMHC  BSCAT
WS
TEMP
                                                                                  RH
IRRAD

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                                               40

     Referring to Table 4, three types of regressions were derived for each of the dependent vari-
ables appearing in the left-hand column.  In the first case (column 2), a linear model was fitted
using mass concentration units for the dependent variables.  In the second case (column  3), the
aerosol composition data are expressed as the percent of the total aerosol mass concentration,
and in the final case, concentration units were used again but with an exponential regression
model. In Table 4, R denotes the correlation coefficient and the sign of the relationship, and  F
denotes the degree of significance of the correlations; the significance increases with increasing F
values. An F value of about 4  corresponds to a 95 percent confidence interval, and a value of
13.5 corresponds to a 99 percent confidence band.

     The  results obtained where linear and logarithmic equations were regressed on the same data
are remarkably  similar.  In all but one case where  the correlation coefficients exceed 0.75, the
independent variables having the highest correlations were the same for the linear and logarithmic
models, and the correlation coefficients were also quite similar for the two  models. This implies,
of course, that the correlations  tend to be  linear.  In the one case (Br)  where the most highly
correlated variable  was different for the two  models, a substantial correlation exists between the
two highest correlated predictor variables (R  = -0.83 for 03 versus NO).

     Linear regression results where the compositional data are expressed on a percentage basis
are not much different from those where absolute concentrations were  used.  Overall, the corre-
lations with percent composition are lower, and in  four cases (Cl, total  S, N03, and total C) the
regression equations are  not significant at the 95 percent level.

     On the basis of these analyses, there is definitely a statistically significant correlation between
daily averaged Pb concentrations and the 24-hour average concentration of NOX.  One might ex-
pect a priori that the concentration of  most any of these aerosol substances would correlate  best
with light scattering (bscat) since aerosol mass loading (<2 /im)  increases with increasing light
scattering (R =  0.94 for  b^-^ versus mass <2 jum). This result occurs in the regressions  on S,
804, and NH4- The fact that Pb shows a better correlation with NOX  under these circumstances,
further supports an apparently strong correlation between NOX concentration and  the amount  of
Pb  in aerosols.

     As noted, there is substantial correlation between 804 and IMH4 concentrations (total S to
a much lesser extent) and average light scattering.  Significant positive correlations between
bscat and tne percent of 804 and NH4 indicate that the percentage of  (1X^4)2804*  in the par-
ticulate tends to increase on days of highest light scattering.

     Correlations of air quality  data with the concentration of particulate Cl, total S, and N03
are quite  low and therefore of  little meaning.  The  particulate carbon concentration correlates
fairly well with negative wind speed; again, an expected first-order correlation which offers little
information on  the possible relationships with sources.

     To search further for statistical relationships on aerosol composition, stepwise multiple re-
gression equations were derived.  Statistically acceptable regression  equations containing two  or
more independent variables were possible for  Pb, total S, 804, N03, and NH4.  The results are
summarized below.  The correlation value (2R) there is the cumulative  coefficient (required to
increase with each succeeding step). The F values  represent the significance of  adding the final
term; the  significance of the regression  equation is always much larger.  A negative sign indicates
negative correlation with the specified variable.
•The near 2/1 stoichiometric ratio of M-<4 to 804. and the high correlation between their concentrations lead us to assume
 that nearly all of the NH^ and SO4 form the 2S04 compound, in agreement with other reported work where the
 structure was confirmed by X-ray analyses.


                             BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
Dependent
Variable
Pb
S
S04
N03
NH4
Second Step
Variable
-WS
-RH
-NMHC
-NO
-NO
ZR
0.93
0.78
0.97
0.76
0.98
F
7.25
5.8
6.3
4.2
24.0
                                              41

                                                              Third Step
                                                        Variable     ER
                                                          NO2      0.96    5.0
                                                          -RH       0.99   11.3

     Including wind speed and IM02 in the correlation on Pb  improved the overall regression co-
efficient from an initial value of 0.87  to 0.96. The negative correlations appearing in the second
regression steps on S, 864, N03, and  NH4 are obviously of no positive benefit in delineating any
aerometric effects on aerosol composition.  The negative correlation between NH4 concentrations
and RH tends to challenge the theory that (NH4J2S04 formation occurs predominantly in water
droplets at high  humidities.  The concentration of carbon, for which wind speed correlated best
in the first regression step, showed no second-order correlation that was significant.

     Thus, with  the exception of particulate Pb which correlated consistently with nitrogen oxide
concentrations, no outstanding statistical  evidence was uncovered which would allow us to draw
conclusions regarding variations of the inorganic composition of aerosol. For the most part,
short-term (i.e., daily) changes in inorganic composition  are not great, and the rather subtle rela-
tionships which  may exist remain hidden by the complexities of the atmospheric conditions.
Organic Composition

     Beginning the second year of this program, methods in organic analyses were developed and/or
adapted to provide  information concerning the broad chemical classes and functional groups pres-
ent in the organic fraction of light-scattering aerosols. Two major factors determined the nature
of the analyses undertaken:

     (1)  The limited quantities of sample available for analysis

     (2)  The desirability of obtaining numerical (i.e., semiquantitative) data.

Because it is ultimately desirable to relate the  organic composition of aerosols to diurnal trends
in atmospheric conditions, samples of aerosols available for analyses were limited to an average
mass of about 14 mg, i.e., the average mass of organic matter extracted from the <2 /jm aerosol
fractions collected from three sampling systems operated  continuously at a  flow of 20 cfm.

     In the selection and development of procedures to be  included in the organic analytical
scheme, particular attention was given to the time  and cost of each operation.  In view of an
ultimate goal of  obtaining data on a statistically significant number of samples, the cost per
sample coutd not be excessive.  Nevertheless, while not prohibitive in  cost, the procedures do
require a moderate degree of analytical sophistication (refer  Appendix B). During the second
and third years of the program, the analytical  scheme was applied to ten samples of atmospheric
particulate and two samples of  particulate corresponding  specifically to automotive sources.  The
samples, listed below, have been numbered to  permit convenient reference in the discussion to
follow.


                            BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

-------
                                             42
             Sample
            Reference
               No.               Site/Source                      Date
               1         Columbus, Ohio                 July 21,  1972
               2         Columbus, Ohio                 July 26,  1972
               3         New York City                  August 23, 1972
               4         New York City                  August 11, 1972
               5         Pomona, California               November 18, 1972
               6         Pomona, California               November 10-13,  1972
               7         Pomona, California               October  14-18, 1972
                7A      Replicate A
                7B      Replicate B
               8         Denver, Colorado                November 16-17,  1973
               9         Rubidoux, California             September 21, 1973
              10         West Covina, California           September 21, 1973
              11         Primary Automotive Exhaust
              12         Irridiated Automotive Exhaust

     Where available, atmospheric data corresponding to the sample collection periods are sum-
marized in Table 6. Sample  Nos. 1 and 2 from Columbus, 3 and 4 from New York, and 5 and 6
from Pomona were collected on days of substantially different air quality, based primarily on
the range of light-scattering values encountered during the sampling periods  at each site.  Columbus
sample No. 1 was collected during one of the most severe smog episodes in  the Ohio area.  New
York sample No. 3 was selected as a typically hazy day in New York; however, there were no
days of "unsatisfactory" air quality during  the sampling period. Haze was evident during the col-
lection of Pomona sample No. 5, b,ut was moderate relative to most smog episodes  in the Basin
area.  Pomona sample No. 6  is a composite of four very similar days during  which very little haze
was evident.  Pomona sample No. 7  is a composite of aerosol collected  by EPA which was pooled
for the purpose of obtaining an organic extraction large enough for replicate analyses performed
to assess the reproducibility of the analytical procedure.  The Denver sample was of interest be-
cause of its rather unusual and uncertain origin in the outlying regions of Denver.  The Rubidoux
and West Covina samples  represent simultaneous collections at two points (about 50 miles apart)
along a line extending due west from Los Angeles. Primary auto exhaust particulate was collected
from a dilution tunnel in  which exhausts were diluted during chassis dynamometer operations.
Sample No. 12  is a pooled sample of secondary and primary auto  exhaust particulate obtained by
filtering the contents of a 17 m^ smog chamber after irradiating diluted auto exhausts (8 ppm C)
for 6 hours. The samples were collected as part of API Project EF-8  at Battelle-Columbus. De-
tails  regarding generation of the automotive samples are available.(36)

     The data presented here serve to illustrate the types  of numerical data  that  can be developed
for the organic composition of particulate.. In Appendix  B the procedures employed are  described
in sufficient detail that other chemists may find them applicable in their work.  Although the
number of samples undertaken for organic analysis during this program  was  not sufficient to per-
mit statistical analyses, it  is hoped that further utilization of the described procedures will yield
data  that can be more fully analyzed and interpreted.  Indeed, it is expected that apart from
interpretations presented in this report, the data will be useful to others investigating the chem-
istry of atmospheric aerosols.
                            BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

-------
                       TABLE 6. SUMMARY OF AIR QUALITY CONDITIONS DURING ORGANIC PARTICULATE COLLECTIONS

J>
H
m
r
r
m
1
n
0
r
C
3
ID
C
m


Sample
No.
1
2

3

4
5
6

7
8
9
10
Site
Columbus
Columbus

New York

New York
Pomona'3'
Pomona'3'

Pomona
Denver 
West Covina'c>
Date
July 21. 1972
July 26, 1972

August 23, 1972

August 11, 1972
November 18, 1972
November 10-13, 1972

October 4-18, 1972
November 16-17, 1973
September 21. 1973
September 21, 1973
Weather Conditions
Aerosol Mass Loading, fig/m3
Quartz. Millipore
General^1 Temp, C RH. % <2 fim A-Total B<2 pm B/A
S 30 64
S 22 -

PC 25 74

PC 21 55
PC — —
S — —

(Composite sample furnished by
— 4 40
— — —
PC 18 76
69.5 85.9 72.9 0.85
34.6 60 36.5 0.61

53.4 179.0 71.9 0.40

34.3 81.1 23.8 0.29
52.4 114.2 55.0 0.48
17.5 42.7 26.2 0.30

EPA for replication purposes only.)
_ _ _ _
_ _ _ —
— 123 — —

Pollutants

Light 24-Hr Avrj 1-Hr Max
Scattering, THC,
lO"4 m'' ppm
5.8 34
1.6 2.9

3.5 50

1.4 3.5
2.4(a) 3.2
1.4
-------
                                               44

     Solvent-Extractable Particulate Matter.  As shown in Table 7, samples 1-6 were subjected to
Soxhlet extraction, first with methylene chloride (20 hours) and then with dioxane (44 hours).
Sequential Soxhlet extraction using methylene chloride followed by dioxane was used to obtain a
wider range of organics than are extractable using the more commonly applied single-solvent pro-
cedures.  Dioxane is expected to dissolve the polar, relatively oxidized organics normally left behind
by benzene  or chlorinated solvents.  The data shown in Table 7 indicate that the dioxane extract-
ables do  indeed represent a  significant fraction of the total  extractable organic matter.

     As  noted in Appendix B,  an experiment was conducted to verify that dioxane does not extract
 significant quantities of inorganic salt from the filters. Several salts were  stirred individually with
 dioxane, and  the filtered solvent was lyophilized in tared flasks.  The data indicate that such in-
 organic salts do not correspond to >4 percent of the dioxane extractable  matter, and that most
 likely this value is <1 percent  of the dioxane-extractable matter.

     Throughout the course of the determinations, solvent  and filter blanks were carried through
 the reflux and concentration procedure.  In calculating the values shown in Table 7, blanks due to
 solvent and filter background have been subtracted.  Typically, three 182-cm2 quartz-tissue filters
 were extracted using 100 ml of solvent.  Blanks were determined as 0.09  mg (ฑ0.01 mg) per filter
 for methylene chloride extractions, and  0.8 mg (ฑ0.3 mg) per filter for dioxane extractions.  The
 magnitude and variability of the dioxane blank is such that data concerning the dioxane-extractable
 matter should be interpreted cautiously.  Nevertheless, it is felt that these values are not entirely
 spurious, and  that they demonstrate that a significant fraction of atmospheric paniculate matter
 consists  of relatively oxidized organic matter.  This assertion is supported  by data for weight per-
 cent C, H, and N determined for methylene chloride and dioxane-extractable matter.

     In view of the difficulties associated with the blanks where dioxane was used as an extraction
 solvent,  atmospheric samples 7-10 and automotive samples  11 and 12 were extracted only with
 methylene chloride. Additionally, in an effort to further reduce blank values, all field sampling
 after 1972 was conducted using preextracted  quartz-tissue filters.  In these cases, preextraction was
 conducted first with methanol, then with benzene.  Preextraction with methylene chloride led  to
 a high chloride background. The preextracted material was shown to have a methylene chloride
 blank of 0.002 mg per filter and a methanol blank of 0.2 mg per filter. Thus, the reduction of
 background organic matter  by  preextracting was significant. Samples of primary and  irradiated
 automotive particulate were collected on Gelman Type A glass-fiber filters (not preextracted).
 The blank for the Gelman filters was determined as 0.020 mg methylene chloride extractable
 matter per 81-cm2 filter.

     In considering the data in Table 7,  note  first the good agreement between replicate samples
 7A and  7B.  It is emphasized that this sample was divided after the extraction step. The  methy-
 lene chloride  extract was halved  gravimetrically,  after which concentration of the extract, deter-
 mination of aliquot-weights (details, Appendix B), and all subsequent analytical procedures were
 conducted independently on the replicates. It was felt that cutting the filters in half  initially
 to permit duplicate extractions would introduce an error of itself. Moreover, such division of
 filter samples  is not a  usual step in the scheme.

     For 2 of 3 sampling sites  (compare Samples 3-6, Table 7), it appears that a substantially
 larger fraction of dioxane extractable matter was present on days of more intense haze.  Because
 highly oxidized materials are extracted by dioxane, a greater fraction of such compounds may  be
 present on hazy days.  The methylene chloride extractable fraction was fairly similar for all of
                             BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
                                                      TABLE 7. SOLVENT EXTRACTION OF PARTICIPATE MATTER
H
H
ffl
r
r
m
n
o
r
C
2
0
C
U)
Sample
 No


   1
   2


   3
   4
                       Site

               Columbus



               New York
  5     Pomona
  6
   7     Pomona
    7A     Replicate A
   7B     Replicate B


  8     Denver


  9     Rubidoux


  10     West Covina


  11     Primary Automotive
Methylene Chloride Extraction



Date
July 21. 1972
July 26, 1972
Aug. 11, 1972
Aug. 23. 1972
Nov. 10-13, 1972
"Nov. 18, 1972
Oct. 4-18. 1972


Nov. 16-17, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973

Mass
Loading,
Atg/m3
69.5
34.6
34.3
53.4
17.5
52.4
—
	
—
—
—
—

Total Paniculate
Taken for
Extraction, mg
128.6
63.1
55.6
89.0
82.0
60.0
465.1
	
—
26.56
167.5
47.64

No. of
Filter Disks
Extracted
2.5
2.5
2.25
2.25
1.5
1.5
4
, 	
—
2
1
1
Weight
Extractable Matter,
Corrected for
Blank, mg(a|
10.58
10.15
9.17
11.50
17.65
9.52

29.60
29.50
12.03
15.40
7.29

Weight
Percent
Extractable
8
16
16
13
22
16

13
13
45
9
15
                                                                                                                                               Dioxane Extraction
                                                                                                                                               Weight of
                                                                                                                                            Extractable Matter.  Weight
                                                                                                                                             Corrected for      Percent
                                                                                                                                               Blank, mg      Extractable
8
16
16
13
22
16
13
13
45
9
15
1U.91
17.45
5.38
20.07
13.24
24.03
11.5
12.0
—
—
—
8
28
10
23
16
40
5
5
—
—
—
       (a)   Sample Nos. 1-7: Circular quartz-tissue filters (1.82 x  10~2m2|, not preextracted, corrected for methylene chloride blank of 3.2 x 10'3 mg/m2.
            Sample Nos. 8-10: Rectangular quartz-tissue filters (5.16 x 10"2m2), preextracted, corrected for methylene chloride blank of  .067 x 10'3 mg/m2.
            Sample Nos. 11-12: Circular Gelman-A glass fiber filters (8.1 x 10'3 m?), not preextracted, corrected for methylene chloride blank of  1.6 x 10'3 mg/m?.
Oi
12
Exhaust
Irradiated Automotive
Exhaust
— 27.3
— 19.7
5
26
3.78
2.26
14 — —
11 — ~

-------
                                              46

the samples, with the outstanding exception of Denver, and showed no consistent trends with gross
aerometric conditions.
     Weight Percent C, H, and N. Values of weight percent C, H, N, and [0]  for the methylene
chloride and dioxane extractables are shown in Table 8. Determinations of weight percent C, H,
and N were conducted using a Perkin-Elmer Model 240 elemental analyzer with gas purification
accessory.  The instrument performs automated Pregel-Dumas determinations.  Values shown for
weight percent oxygen  [0]  were calculated by difference from the CHN data.  Approximately
1 mg of extractable matter was used for each determination.  As expected, weight  percent [0]
is significantly higher for  the dioxane extractables than for the methylene extractables. Within
these fractions, however, there is little variation on extreme days, and not much variation from
site to site, again the Denver sample may be an exception. Primary exhaust aerosol showed con-
siderably less  [0]  and N in  the methylene chloride fraction compared to the atmospheric sam-
ples.  There was insufficient material in the sample of  irradiated automotive aerosol to permit
CHN analysis.  As indicated in succeeding sections, however,  infrared  spectroscopic analysis and
functional  group analysis  indicate that the  irradiated automotive aerosol does indeed have a
higher proportion  of oxygen and nitrogen containing organics.
     Infrared Spectra.  Relative compositions of the methylene chloride and dioxane extractables
were considered previously. Continuing along these lines, infrared spectra are shown in Figure 19
for methylene chloride and dioxane extractables of particulate collected in Pomona on November
18.  Note that the absorbance due to C-H stretching, near 2900 cm'1,  is relatively strong for the
methylene chloride extractables and relatively weak for the dioxane extractables.  Absorbances
near 1100 cm"1  may be assigned to C-0 stretching for a variety of compounds including ethers,
lactones, and esters. This region shows significantly stronger absorption with the dioxane ex-
tractables.  Both samples show strong absorptions for carbonyl compounds in the region above
1700 cm'1.  These  spectra indicate that the dioxane extractables consist of the relatively oxidized
aerosol constituents compared with the less oxidized methylene chloride extractables.

     Examination of the spectra compiled in Appendix  C,indicates that the spectra of methylene
chloride extractable matter generally exhibit significantly more detail and fine structure.  In view
of this and the difficulties associated with use of dioxane as an extraction solvent, this discussion
will be confined to  consideration of spectra for the methylene chloride extractable matter.

     In order to present spectroscopic  results in  numerical form, key bands were selected and
relative spectroscopic intensities were determined.  Relative intensities  were calculated by taking
the ratio of optical  density for the specified band to that observed for the  CH stretching vibra-
tion at 2920 cm'1;  i.e.,

                    Relative Intensity = <0-D- at specified absorption)
                                           (O.D. at 2920cm-1)

    Such relative intensities have been calculated for the carbonyl band, the  "percarbonyl" band
(discussed below) and bands tentatively assigned as corresponding to organic nitrate.
                            BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
TABLE 8. WEIGHT PERCENT CARBON, HYDROGEN. NITROGEN, AND
        OXYGEN IN SOLVENT EXTRACTABLE MATTER

o
>
H
H
m
p
r
m
1
n
Q
p
c
ง
D
C
10




Sample
No.

1
2


3
4

5
6

7
7A
78
8
9
10
11

Methylene Chloride
Extractables,
weight percent
Site

Columbus



New York


Pomona


Pomona
Replicate A
Replicate B
Denver
Rubidoux
West Covina
Primary Auto-
motive Exhaust
Date

July 21, 1972
July 26, 1972


Aug. 11, 1972
Aug. 23, 1972

Nov. 10-13, 1972
Nov. 18, 1972

Oct. 4-18, 1972


Nov. 16-17, 1973
Sept. 21. 1973
Sept. 21, 1973


C

69.3
73.0


68.8
69.1

69.3
61.6


63.2
62.9
76.5
60.6
65.7

82.4
H

9.5
10.2


9.0
9.1

8.9
7.7


7.7
8.2
10.5
7.9
8.6

11.4
N

0.8
0.9


1.3
1.1

1.3
1.9


1.4
1.4
0.8
2.2
1.5

0.5
[0]

20.4
15.9


20.9
20.7

20.5
28.8


27.7
27.5
12.2
29.3
24.2

5.7
Dioxane
Extractables,
weight percent
C H N [O]

44.4 6.1 0.8 48.7
47.2 6.0 0.8 46.0


46.6 5.5 2.2 45.7
54.4 4.8 1.6 39.2

50.6 5.9 1.6 41.9
39.1 5.0 1.9 54.0


_ — — —
- - - -
- - - -
- - -
_ _ _ _

_ _ _ _

-------
03
>
H
H
m
r
p
m
n
o
r
C
2
CD
C
10
                 2.5
                                                                  WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                                      6         78
                                                                                                          30 40
               100
                                                                                                        METHYLENE CHLORID
                                                                                                           EXTRACTABLCS
                                                                                        Sample Collected Nov. 11
                                                                                           Pomona, California
4000
          3500
                    3000
                              2500
                                       2000
1800     1600     1400
   FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                       1200     1000     800
                                                                                               60U
                                                                  WAVELENGTH 'MICRONS.

                                                                       6         78
                                                                                                       400     200
                                                                                                           30  40
                                                                                                               DIOXANE
                                                                                                            EXTRACTABLES
                                                                                                         Sample Collected Nov. II
                                                                                                            Pomona. California
                 4000
                           3500
                                     3000
                                              2500
                                                        2000
                                                1800     1600     1400
                                                   FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                                        1200     1000     800     600     400
                                                                                                                                200
                                 FIGURE 19.   INFRARED SPECTRA OF SOLVENT-EXTRACTABLE MATTER

-------
                                              49

     Group-frequency assignments in the range of 1700-1740 cm"1 have been made for a variety
of carbonyl-containing compound types.  The spectra of the methylene chloride extractables
reveal some apparent trends in position and intensity of the carbonyl peak.  A subtle variation in
the position and width of the peak appears to be related to the weight percent oxygen in the
sample.  Samples with high weight percent oxygen display a subtle shift or broadening of the
carbonyl peak to slightly higher frequency.  This may be seen in the spectra shown in Figure 20
{carbonyl peaks  are noted with Marker B).  This effect is consistent with a greater population of
diketones, keto acids, and keto aldehydes in the samples having higher  oxygen incorporation.  As
shown in Table 8, the November 18 sample has 28.8 weight percent oxygen, while the November
10-13 sample has 20.5 weight percent oxygen.

     Table 9 includes a listing of relative intensity of the carbonyl band as well as the value for
weight percent oxygen in the methylene chloride extractable matter. Examination of these
data reveals a good correlation (R = 0.90) between oxygen incorporation and carbonyl band
intensity.

     A second interesting effect concerns a shoulder near  1770 cm"1 (Marker A in Figure 20).
The shoulder may be  assigned to peroxides, organic carbonates, anhydrides or lactones.  It is
most probably for alkyl/aryl peroxides and carbonates.  A  relatively limited variety of anhydrides
or lactones would exhibit this absorption, principally five- or six-membered strained cyclic species.
Thus, this absorption  is probably due to peroxides or carbonates. Since this absorption cannot
be unambiguously assigned, we will refer to it as  the "percarbonyl" peak.  This is meant to refer
to the  relatively  oxidized character of the candidate compound types, especially the peroxides
and carbonates.
                              •9        ซ             fl
                            R-C-O-O-C-R    R-0-C-O-R

                                Peroxide          Carbonate

     Regarding both the carbonyl  and percarbonyl bands, good reproducibiiity is apparent for
samples 7A and 7B. There is a substantial difference  in band intensities for the primary and
irradiated automotive exhaust aerosols. As expected,  the irradiated  sample shows greater con-
tent of carbonyl and percarbonyl compound types, and  the  band intensities for the irradiated
sample are of comparable magnitude to those  observed for the more highly oxidized atmo-
spheric samples.

     Interesting trends in peak intensities were also observed for absorptions at  1630 cm"1 and
1275 cm"1 {Figure 20, Markers C  and D). According to Colthup, et al.(37)  organic nitrates
(R— 0-N02) display strong bands near 1660 to 1625 cm"1  (N02 symmetric stretching).  Broad
absorptions observed at 850 cm"1  are also consistent with organic nitrates.  The observed bands,
however, might also be attributed  to aromatic amines. Nevertheless, the group frequencies for
aromatic amines are .quite broad.  For example, the band due to CN stretching could appear in
the region of 1250 to  1380 cm"1.  Most primary amines have an NH2 deformation band  at
1650 to 1590 cm"1, while secondary aromatic amines have an NH bending absorption near
1510 cm"'.  Most aliphatic secondary  amines  have no significant NH bending band above 1470
cm"1.  Thus, although various aromatic amines could  give rise to the observed bands at 1275
cm"1 and 1630 cm"1, these absorptions are more generally assignable to organic nitrates.  The
observed bands are therefore tentatively  assigned  to organic  nitrates. Values for relative band
intensity are shown in Table 10 along with data for weight percent  nitrogen.  A trend in  the
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
H
H
m
p
r
m
n
o
r
C
2
0
C
(0
                 2.S
                                                WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                     6        78
                                                                                                                         3O 40
                                                                                                      METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                         EXTRACTABLES
                                                                                                      Sample Collected Nov. 18
                                                                                                         Pomona, California
4000
          3500
                   3000
                             2500
                                       2000
                                               1800    1600    1400
                                                  FREQUENCY (CM1)

                                                WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                     6        78
                                                                      1200     1000     800      60U      400      200
                                                                                                                         30  40
              100
                                                                                                       METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                          EXTRACTABLES
                                                                                                      Sample Collected Nov. 10-13
                                                                                                          Pomona. California
                4000
                         3500
                                   3000
                                             2500
                                                       2000
                                                               1800    1600    1400
                                                                  FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                      1200    1000     800     600
                                                                                                     400
                                                                                                             200
                                 FIGURE 20.  INFRARED SPECTRA OF SOLVENT-EXTRACTABLE MATTER

-------
                      TABLE 9. INFRARED SPECTROSCOPIC DATA ON CARBONYL BANDS





                                Data presented are for methylene chloride extracts.



0
H
H
m
r
r
m
I

n
0
r
C
2
0
C
in




Sample
No.
1
2
3
4

5
6
7
7A
7B

8

9

10

11

12

Site
Columbus

New York


Pomona

Pomona
Replicate A
Replicate B

Denver

Rubidoux

West Covina

Primary Automotive
Exhaust
Irradiated Automotive
Exhaust
Date
July 21, 1972
July 26, 1972
Aug. 23, 1972
Aug. 11, 1972

Nov. 18, 1972
Nov. 10-13, 1972
Oct. 4-18, 1972



Nov. 16-17, 1973

Sept. 21, 1973

Sept. 21, 1973





Weight
percent [0]
20.4
15.9
20.7
20.9

28.8
20.5

27.7
27.5

12.2

29.3

24.2

5.7

—

Carbonyl Band
Relative Intensity
0.58
0.38
0.47
0.50

0.64
0.51

0.56
0.56

0.13

0.96

0.64

0.06

0.77

Percarbonyl Band'3*
Relative Intensity
0.16
0.07
0.14
0.13

0.06
0.03

0.05
0.05

<0.02

0.16

0.12

<0.02

0.16

                                                                                                                                        CJl
(a)  Discussed in text.

-------
                              TABLE 10.  INFRARED SPECTROSCOPIC DATA ON NITRATE BANDS


                                         Data presented are for methylene chloride extracts.
0
J>
H
H
m
r
r
m
1
n
0
r
C
2
D
C
to





Sample
No.
1
2

3
4
5
6
7
7A
7B
8

9
10
11

12

Site
Columbus


New York

Pomona
Pomona
Replicate A
Replicate B
Denver

Rubidoux
West Covina
Primary Automotive
Exhaust
Irradiated Automotive
Exhaust
Date
July 21. 1972
July 26, 1972

Aug. 11, 1972
Aug. 23, 1972
Nov. 18, 1972
Nov. 10-13, 1972
Oct. 4-18, 1972

Nov. 16-17, 1973

Sept. 21, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973




Weight
Percent N
0.8
0.9

1.3
1.1
1.9
1.3

1.4
1.4
0.8

2.2
1.5
0.5

	

Nitrate Band l'a> Nitrate Band ll
(1630 cm-1) (1275 cm-1)
Relative Relative
Intensity Intensity
0.17
0.15

0.25
0.19
0.43
0.29

0.22
0.21
0.04

0.47
0.33
<0.02

0.34

0.19
0.15

0.28
0.22
0.37
0.24

0.25
0.26
0.05

0.47
0.32
<0.02

0.49

Average
Intensity,
Bands 1 and II
0.18
0.15

0.27
0.21
0.40
0.27

0.24
0.24
0.05

0.47
0.33
<0.02

0.42

                                                                                                                                           Ul
                                                                                                                                           N)
(a)   Tentative assignments.

-------
                                              53


data is clear, and correlation coefficients for nitrate bands I  and II with nitrogen content are 0.87
and 0.89, respectively.

     Note in particular the enhanced  intensity of nitrate peaks in the irradiated automotive aerosol
compared to the primary automotive  aerosol.  Nitrate band  intensities for the irradiated aerosol
are comparable to those determined for atmospheric samples having the greatest degree of nitrogen
incorporation.  Again, good reproducibility was  obtained for band intensities in replicate samples
7A and 7B.
     Aromatic/Aliphatic Ratio.  Nuclear magnetic resonance spectra were obtained using a 60 MHz
 Varian Associates spectrometer equipped to perform  Fourier-transform spectroscopy.  Fourier-
 transform spectroscopy permits the rapid generation of spectra, consequently allowing the genera-
 tion of a large number of spectra  in a relatively short period of time.  Computer time-averaging a
 series of such spectra leads to enhanced signal-to-noise ratios and permits acquisition of  useful
 spectra not obtainable by conventional techniques. The current application required the use of
 FT-NMR to obtain adequate spectra.  Spectra were obtained using ~ 1-mg samples of extractable
 matter.  Methylene chloride extractables were analyzed in deutero-chloroform solution and dioxane
 extractables were analyzed in deutero-dioxane solution.  From the spectra obtained, aromatic/
 aliphatic ratios were computed.  The values were calculated on the basis of the  integrated reso-
 nances for methyl, methylene and aromatic protons; i.e.,

        Aromatic/Aliphatic Ratio =	(integrated resonances; aromatic protons)	
                                  (integrated resonances; methyl + methylene protons)

     The results  are shown in Table 11. Results for the dioxane extractable matter have been
 omitted.  It was  observed that upon standing, a fine precipitate formed in the concentrated
,deutero-dioxane  solutions leading  to irregular results.  Data for  automotive aerosol samples have
 been omitted because of sample limitations.  Good reproducibility was obtained for replicate
 samples 7A and  7B.  Reasons for the order of magnitude difference in aromatic/aliphatic ratios
 are not apparent.  It is clear, however, that aliphatic protons are dominant in the methylene
 chloride extractions.
     Acid/Base Neutral Distribution.  The methylene chloride extractable matter was fractionated
according to the scheme shown below.  The material was fractionated first into water-soluble and
water-insoluble components by partitioning the methylene chloride solution against distilled water.
Water was removed by lyophilization, and the weight of the water-soluble fraction was determined.

                        Methylene Chloride Extractable Matter
                              I                               I
                   Water-Soluble Fraction          Water-Insoluble Fraction

I
Acid
Fraction



Neutral
Fraction
I
Basic
Fraction
                             BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
                     54
TABLE 11. FOURIER TRANSFORM-NMR ANALYSIS OF
         METHYLENE CHLORIDE EXTRACTABLES
Sample No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
7A
7B
8
9
10
Site
Columbus
New York
Pomona
Pomona
Replicate A
Replicate B
Denver
Rubidoux
West Covina
Date
July 21, 1972
July 26, 1972
Aug. 23, 1972
Aug. 11. 1972
Nov. 18, 1972
Nov. 10-13, 1972
Oct. 14-18, 1972
Nov. 16-17, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973
Aromatic/
Aliphatic
Ratio
0.10
0.11
0.12
<0.01
0.15
<0.01
0.15
0.14
0.04
<0.01
0.01
      BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

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                                              55


     The water-insoluble material remaining in methylene chloride solution was next fractionated
into acid, basic, and neutral components.  The solution was extracted using first 2N aqueous sodium
hydroxide and  then 2N hydrochloric acid.  Material remaining in methylene chloride solution after
extractions with both aqueous sodium  hydroxide and hydrochloric acid is defined as the water-
insoluble neutral fraction.

     The sodium hydroxide extract (containing organic-acid salts) was brought to pH ~0.8, and
the free acid was extracted into  methylene chloride, using a continuous liquid/liquid extractor.
Similarly the hydrochloric acid extract (containing organic-base salts) was brought to pH ~13,
and the free base was extracted  into methylene chloride, again using a continuous liquid/liquid
extractor. The methylene chloride solutions containing the acid, basic, and neutral fractions
were dried by  refluxing the solutions over a 3 A molecular sieve.  The dried solutions were con-
centrated and small aliquots of the concentrate were evaporated to dryness to determine the resi-
due weights for the various fractions.   Using these data, values for the weight percent distribution
were calculated.

     Details of  the fractionation procedure are presented in Appendix B.  The procedure repre-
sents a departure from methods  most often employed  in such fractionation.  To minimize sample
losses to the point where meaningful distribution data  could be  reported for the small samples
available, special techniques including vapor-phase  drying and continuous liquid/liquid extraction
were incorporated in the procedure.  As refinement of the scheme progressed, however, it be-
came clear that unacceptable material losses had occurred during fractionation of some of the
earlier samples, notably samples  1, 2, 5, and 6. Thus,  data for these samples has not been
reported.

     Data shown in Table 12 were calculated on the basis of recovered material. Thus the distri-
bution data totals  100 percent for each sample.  Overall recoveries varied from 60 to 100 percent.
Typically, about 5 mg of sample was subjected to  fractionation.  Wet chemical analysis  of small
samples inevitably results in some random  handling losses.  The  recovery observed here  is con-
sistent with the quantity of sample used and the nature of the analytical procedure applied.  The
reproducibility  between replicate samples 7A and 7B is good.

     Partitioning of the methylene chloride fraction of the two samples from New York indicates
similar distributions in spite of different atmospheric conditions. Samples  of irradiated  auto ex-
haust and those from Rubidoux  and West Covina (but  not Pomona) have relatively high water-
soluble fractions.  Again, the Denver sample seems somewhat inconsistent with the other atmo-
spheric samples, particularly within the water-insoluble fraction where higher neutral and lower
acidic fractions are noted.  Among the water-insoluble  fractions  (of methylene chloride extract)
the neutral fraction accounts for 60-70 percent of the  mass and  the acids about 30-40 percent.
     Functional Group Analyses.  Quantitative functional group analyses for alcohol and for
carbonyl were performed using the water-insoluble neutral fraction of the methylene chloride  ex-
tractable matter.  Isolation of this fraction was considered above.  Details of the fractionation
and functional  group procedures are  presented in Appendix  B.

     The procedure for determination of alcohols is subject  to interference from carboxylic acids,
phenols, and amines.  Thus, the analysis is conducted only on the neutral fraction. Although the
carbonyl determination is not subject to the interferences that limit the alcohol  analysis, the
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                               56
TABLE 12. FRACTIONATION OF METHYLENE CHLORIDE EXTRACT ABLE MATTER
Mass Distribution, weight percent
methylene chloride extract
Sample
No.
3
4
7
7A
7B
8
9
10
12
Water- Insoluble Fraction Water-Soluble Fraction
Site
New York

Pomona
Replicate A
Replicate B
Denver
Rubidoux
West Covina
Irradiated Automo-
Oate
Aug. 1 1
Aug. 23
Oct. 4-18


Nov. 16-17, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973

Acid
26
30

24
22
18
24
20

Neutral Base
52 4
50 5

48 <1
51 <1
66 3
33 1
36 2

Total
18
15

28
26
14
42
42

 five Exhaust
12
33
54
                BATTELLE —  COLUMBUS

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                                              57

carbonyl determination is applied to the neutral fraction in order that a comparison can be made
between alcohol and carbonyl content in the same sample fraction.

     Results of functional  group  analyses were obtained on molar bases.  This is well suited to
the current application, in  which quantitative  measure of specified organic functionalities is desired.
However, to permit a direct comparison between weight percent carbonyl oxygen, weight percent
alcoholic oxygen, and weight percent oxygen obtained from the CHN determination performed
on the unfractionated extract, the molar values for carbonyl and alcohol were converted to a com-
mon basis of weight percent oxygen.  This was calculated as shown in the following example:

            .....            .    ,           (mg [0] present as carbonyl)   inn
            Weight percent carbonyl oxygen = -—a    .K	—	— x 100.
                                                   (mg sample)

     The data are shown in Table 13.  In considering the results of the CHN determinations, it
was noted that incorporation of oxygen into organic particulate may be a useful indicator of the
tendency for a given atmosphere  to oxidize gas-phase or suspended organics.  In terms of funda-
mental atmospheric reactions, incorporation of oxygen to yield carbonyl compounds might be
related to ozonolysis, while incorporation to yield alcohols might be related  to free-radical
processes.

     With the exceptions of the Columbus  No. 1 and the Denver No. 8 samples, which were
higher and lower, respectively, the alcoholic oxygen fraction of the neutral samples were fairly
constant.  The irradiated automotive sample showed a much higher content  in this category.  The
fractional carbonyl content was similar for Columbus and New York samples with somewhat
higher percentages occurring for Denver, Rubidoux, West Covina, and particularly irradiated auto-
mobile exhaust.

     Further examination of the  data does not reveal meaningful correlation between functional
group concentrations and weight  percent oxygen in the methylene chloride extract or functional
group concentrations and average ozone concentration on the  respective sampling days.  Indeed,
the values for carbonyl and total oxygen concentrations do not correlate with each other.
     Summary. Organic fractionation and functionality data are summarized in Table 14 for aero-
sol collected on days of substantial light scattering at four sites and from smog chamber irradiations
of auto exhaust. The data are presented on a weight percent basis and therefore reflect composi-
tional differences and/or similarities among the samples.

     Comparing first the amounts of methylene chloride extractable material,  it is apparent that
extractable fractions are quite similar in all cases except Denver.  The dioxane extractable frac-
tion, not included  here, probably accounts for another ~20 percent of the particulate mass.
(Note that all  data in Table  14 pertain  to the methylene chloride extractable fractions).  Review-
ing the CHN[O] data, it appears that the Denver sample is composed of more saturated matter
(higher C-H values) than the other samples and that the West Coast and irradiated exhaust sam-
ples consist of higher percentages of [O] and N than the Denver and New York  samples.  Parti-
tioning the methylene chloride fraction resulted in  identical water-soluble and insoluble fractions
of the West Covina and Rubidoux  samples, which are somewhat similar to the analyses on the
irradiated exhaust  samples and dissimilar to those on the Denver and New York  samples.  The
basic fraction  of the water-insoluble material was small for all samples and, although some
                            B
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   TABLE 13. FUNCTIONAL GROUP ANALYSIS OF METHYLENE CHLORIDE NEUTRAL FRACTION


D
H
H
m
r
r
m
1

n
0
r
C
2
n
c
10


Sample
No.
1
2
3
4


5
6

7

7A
7B

8

9
10
12
Site
Columbus

New York



Pomona.


Pomona

Replicate A
Replicate B

Denver

Rubidoux
West Covina
Irradiated Automo-
Date
July 21, 1972
July 26, 1972
Aug. 23, 1972
Aug. 11, 1972


Nov. 18, 1972
Nov. 10-13, 1972

Oct. 4-18, 1972




Nov. 16-17, 1973

Sept. 21, 1973
Sept. 21, 1973

Weight Percent
[0]
MeCI2
Extract
. 20.4
15.9
20.7
20.9


28.8
20.5



27.7
27.5

12.2

29.3
24.2

Alcoholic
Oxygen,
weight percent in
neutral fraction
19.3
5.0
3.0
4.6


4.0
4.4



1.7
1.7

0.5

5.0
3.5

Carbonyl
Oxygen,
weight percent in
neutral fraction
4.9
5.5
4.2
5.2


7.3
3.2



4.5
4.4

13.1

11.1
12.1

Total
Oxygen,
Alcoholic Plus
Carbonyl,
weight percent
24.2
10.5
7.2
9.8


11.3
7.6

Ul
CD
6.2
6.1

13.6

16.1
15.6

tive Exhaust
33
21
                                                                                          54

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                                  TABLE 14. SUMMARY OF METHYLENE CHLORIDE FRACTIONATIONS
H
H
m
r
r
m
n
o
r
C
2
ID
C
in
Site:
Date:
lethylene Chloride Extractables, weight percent
Carbon, weight percent
Hydrogen, weight percent
Nitrogen, weight percent
[Oxygen] , weight percfent
ractionation
1 I Water-soluble fraction, weight percent
I Water-insoluble fraction, weight percent
1 lAcid fraction, weight percent
M Basic fraction, weight percent
1 Neutral fraction, weight percent
JjAlcohol fraction, weight percent [O]
ICarbonyl fraction, weight percent [0]
New York
Aug. 23, 1972
13
69.1
9.1
1.1
20.7

15
85
30
5
50
1.5
2.1
Denver
Nov. 17, 1973
45
76.5
10.5
0.8
12.2

14
86
18
3
65
0.3
8.5
Rubidoux
Sept. 21, 1973
9
60.6
7.9
2.2
29.3

42
58
24
1
33
1.7
3.6
W. Covina
Sept. 21, 1973
15
65.7
8.6
1.5
24.2

42
58
20
2
36
1.3
4.3
Irradiated
Auto Exhaust
11
61.6
7.7
1.9
28.8

54
46
12
1
33
10.9
6.9
                                                                                                                             01
                                                                                                                             CD

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                                             60

similarities can be seen in the remainder of these data, no significant pattern emerges, particularly
in comparisons with the average auto-exhaust sample.  In the last set of data on functional
groups, the Denver and auto exhaust samples stand out as irregular — compared to the urban col-
lections the Denver sample  is low in alcohol  and high in carbonyl constituents while the  exhaust
sample is high in both alcohol and carbonyl  fractions.

     Trends in these data are consistent with those from the spectroscopic analyses. In general,
the West Coast samples (Rubidoux and West Covina) showed somewhat higher carbonyl concen-
trations.  And, in accord with the total N  determinations, the nitrate band intensities for
Rubidoux, West Covina, and irradiated auto  exhaust were greater than for Denver and  New York.

     In establishing the overall characteristics of the organic composition of light-scattering aero-
sols, we were looking  for gross compositional differences. We found only slight and moderate
differences among samples from different regions, with  the exception of the unusual Denver
sample. There were also only moderate organic compositional  differences among days of differ-
ent air quality in the same  region.  Among the trends is an expected one that a higher percentage
of oxygenated material is present on days  of higher light scattering.

     If it is desirable to arrive at some tentative, undefendable conclusion with  respect to rela-
tionships between auto exhaust emissions and the organic fraction of light-scattering aerosols, one
might state that the West Coast samples showed some significant similarities to the composition
of the auto exhaust samples, the New York samples showed marginal similarities, and the rural
Denver samples showed no  similarities.  It  must be stressed that only a very limited number of
aerosol samples have been analyzed for organic constituency.  It is our hope that the knowledge
gained  here, when combined with continuing work on the analysis of both smog chamber (model
systems) and  atmospheric aerosols, will eventually shed  more light on the chemistry of organic
aerosol formation.
                            BATTELUE — COLUMBUS

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                                               61

                                         REFERENCES
 (1)    Wilson, W. E., Schwartz, W. E., and Kinzer, G. W., "Haze Formation:  Its Nature and Origin",
       First Year Report by Battelle's Columbus Laboratories to the Coordinating  Research Council
       and the Environmental Protection Agency (1972).

 (2)    Miller, D. F., Schwartz, W. E., Jones,  P. W., Joseph, D. W.,  Spicer,  C. W., Riggle, C. J., and
       Levy, A., "Haze Formation:  Its Nature and Origin", EPA-650-3-74-002, NERC, Research
       Triangle Park, N.C. (June, 1973).

 (3)    McNulty, R. P., Atmospheric Environment, 2, 625 (1968).

 (4)    Horvath, H., Atmospheric Environment, 5_, 177  (1971).

 (5)    Beuttelf, R. G.r and Brewer, A. W., J. Sci. lnstr.,_26, 357 (1949).

 (6)    Ahlquist, N. C., and Charlson, R. J.,  Environ. Sci. and Technol., 3_, 363 (1968).

 (7)    Samuels, H. J., Twiss, S., and Wong,  E. W., "Visibility, Light Scattering and Mass Concentra-
       tion of Paniculate Matter",  Report of the California Tri-City Aerosol Sampling Project to the
       State of California Air Resources Board {July, 1973).

 (8)    Charlson, R. J., Ahlquist, N. C., Selvidge,  H.,  and McCready, P. B., J. Air Poll. Control Assoc.,
       Jj>, 937  (19691.

 (9)    Buchan, W. E., and Charlson, R. J., Science, 159, 193 (1968).

(10)    Covert, D. S., Charlson, R. J.f and Ahlquist, N.  C., J. Appl. Meteor., ]T, 968 (1972).

(11)    Lundgren, D. A., "Atmospheric Aerosol Composition and Concentration as a Function of
       Particle Size and Time", paper no. 69-128 presented at the  62nd Annual Air-Poll. Control
       Assoc. Meeting, New York City (1969).

(12)    Whitby,  K. T., Husar, R. B., and Liu,  B.Y.H., J. Colloid Interface Sci., 39, 177 (1972).

(13)    Hidy, G. M., "Theory of Formation and Properties of  Photochemical Aerosols", paper pre-
       sented at the Battelle School on Air Pollution, Seattle, Wash. (1973).

(14)    Blosser, E. R., "A Study of the Nature of the Chemical  Characterising of Particulates Col-
       lected from Ambient Air", final report from,'Battelle's Columbus Laboratories to the National
       Air Pollution Control Administration (1970).
                                         ซ
(15)    John, W., Kaifer, R., Rahn, K., and Wesolowski, J. J.,  Atmospheric Environ., 7, 107 (1973).

(16)    Lee, R. E., Goranson, S. S., Enrione, R. E., and Morgan, G. B., Environ. Sci. and Technol.,
       6, 102511972).

(17)    Winchester, J. D., and Nifong, G. D., Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, j_, 50 (1971).

(18)    Gladney, E. S., Zoller, W. H., Jones, A. G., and Gordon, G. E., Environ. Sci. and Technol., 6,
       551  (1974).

                              BATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

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                                               62

(19)    Lee,  R. E., and Patterson,  R. K., Atmospheric Environ., 3, 249 (1969).

(20)    Wagrhan,  J.,  Lee, R. E., and Axt, C. J., Atmospheric Environ., J_, 479 (1967).

(21)    Miller, M. S., Friedlander, S. K., and Hidy, G. M., J. Colloid and Interface Sci., 39, 165
       (1972).

(22)    Friedlander,  S. K.,  Environ. Sci. and Technol., 7, 235 (1973).

(23)    Heisler, S. L, Friedlander, S. K., and Husar,  R. B.,  Atmospheric Environ., 7, 633 (1973).

(24)    Novakov, T., Mueller, P. K., Alcocer, A. E., and Otvos, J. W., J.  Colloid  and Interface Sci.,
       39, 225 (1972).

(25)    U. S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, "Air Quality Data, 1966", Durham,
       N.C.  (1968).

(26)    Hauser, T. R., and  Pattison, J.  N., Environ. Sci. and Technol.,  6, 549 (1972).

(27)    Ciaccio, L. L., Rubino, R. L.,  and Flores, J.,  Environ. Sci. and Technol.,  10, 935 (1974).

(28)    Mader, P. P., McPhee,  R.  D., Lofberg, R. T.,  and Larson, G. P., Industrial and Engineering
       Chem., 44, 1352 (1952).

(29)    Gemma, J. L., and  Miller,  D. F., "A Model of Urban Visibility Based on  Air Quality",
       presented at  the Annual American Chemical Society Meeting, Atlantic City, N.J. (1974).

(30)    Air Pollution, Edited by A. C.  Stern, Second Edition, Vol. 1, Academic  Press, New York
       (1968), "Meteorology and Air  Pollution"  (R.C. Wanta) 187-224.

(31)    Sonquist, J.  A., and Morgan, J. N., The Detection of Interaction Effects,  SRC Monograph
       No. 35, University  of Michigan  Institute for Social Research, Ann Arbor, Mich. (1964).

(32)    Box, G.E.P., and Jenkins, G. M., Time Series Analysis; Forecasting and Control, Holden-Day,
       San  Francisco, Ca.  (1970).

(33)    Mueller, P. K., Mosley,  R. W., and Pierce, L.  B., J. Colloid and Interface Sci., 39, 235
       (1972).

(34)    Spicer, C. W., "Fate of Nitrogen Oxides in the Atmosphere", Final Report from Battelle's
       Columbus Laboratories to the  Coordinating Research Council and the Environmental
       Protection Agency, Project CAPA-9 (1974).

(35)    Altshuller, A. P., Environ. Sci.  and Technol.,  7_,  709 (1973).

(36)    Levy, A.,  Miller, D. F., Hopper, D. R., Spicer, C. W., and Trayser, D. A., "Motor Fuel
       Composition and Photochemical Smog", Interim Report from  Battelle's Columbus Labora-
       tories to  the American  Petroleum  Institute, API  Report No. CEA-4 (1973).

(37)    Cothup, N. B.,  Daly, L. H., and Wiberly, S. E., Introduction to Infrared  and Roman Spec-
       troscopy. Academic Press, New York (1964).
                              BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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       APPENDIX A
   STATISTICAL METHODS
BATTELUE  — COLUMBUS

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                                           A-1

                                      APPENDIX A


                                STATISTICAL METHODS
AID Analysis

     The procedure followed in AID is to divide the sample into a set of mutually exclusive and
exhaustive subgroups, through  a succession of binary splits of the data.  At each step, the split is
based on values of one predictor variable.  The predictor variable, and its values associated with
each subgroup of the split, are chosen in such a way as to  minimize the error sum of squares of
the dependent variable.  The final result of applying the AID  procedure is a classification tree,
which yields a sequential decision rule based on predictor variables. The result of each "path"
of the decision rule is a final subgroup.  Since each final subgroup is characterized by the mean
and standard deviation of dependent variable values included in it, and since the paths leading to
final subgroups can be characterized by a sequence of sets  of values of predictor variables, a quan-
titative statement can be formulated for each path and  used for purposes of classification or
prediction.

     AID has advantages over traditional statistical methods such as regression analysis.  With
AID, no assumptions about linearity or homoscedasticity need be made.  Interactions among pre-
dictor variables relative to a dependent variable  do not  invalidate an AID analysis. In fact, AID
helps to identify such interactions in  the data.

     The following is a mathematical  description of the AID algorithm.

     1.   The total input sample is considered the first (and indeed only)  group at the
         start.

     2.   Select  that unsplit sample group, group i, which  has the  largest total sum of
         squares

                                                /  N,     y*

                                    .   N>  2  UYฐ)
                               TSSj =  I,  Y2	j^p	   ,               (1)
                                      a=1            '
         such that for the i'th group

                              TSSj > R (TSST) and  NJ > M  ,                 (2)
                                        ซ
         where  R is an arbitrary parameter (normally .01  < R <  .10) and
         M is an arbitrary integer  (normally 20 < M < 40), and TSSf denotes
         the total sum of squares for the total  input sample.

         The  requirement (2) is made to prevent groups with little variation in them,
         or small numbers of observations, or both, from  being split. That group
         with the largest total sum of squares (around its own mean) is selected, pro-
         vided that this quantity is larger than  a specified fraction of the original
         total sum of squares (around the grand mean), and that  this group contains
         more than some minimum number of cases (so that any further splits will

                            BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                                             A-2

          be credible and have some sampling stability as well as reducing the error vari-
          ance in the sample).

     3.   Find the division of the C^ classes of any single predictor X|< such that com-
          bining classes to form the partition p of this group i into two nonoverlapping
          subgroups on this  basis provides the largest  reduction in the unexplained sum
          of squares.  Thus,  choose a partition so as to maximize the expression
                                                            p                  (3)

          where Nj = n-| + r\2

          and Yf =
          for group i over all possible binary splits on all predictors, with  restrictions that
          (af  the classes of each predictor are ordered into descending sequence, using
          their means as a key and (b) observations belonging to classes which are not con-
          tiguous (after sorting) are not placed together in one of the new groups to be
          formed.  Restriction (a) may be removed, by option, for any predictor X)<.

     4.   For a partition p on variable k over group i to take place after the completion
          of step 3, it is required that

                                       BSSjkp  > Q (TSST)  ,                 (4)

          where Q  is an  arbitrary parameter in the range .001 < Q < R, and TSSf  is the
          total sum of squares for the input sample.  Otherwise group i is not capable of
          being split; that is, no variable is "useful" in reducing the predictive error in
          this group. The next most promising group (TSSj  = maximum)  is selected via
          step 2 and step 3 is then applied to it,  etc.

     5.   If there are no more unsplit groups such that requirement (2) is met,  or if, for
          those groups meeting it, requirement (4) is not met (i.e., there is no "useful"
          predictor), or if the number of currently unsplit groups exceeds a  specified
          input parameter, the process terminates.

     Figures A-1, A-2, and A-3 show the results obtained from AID analyses with light scattering
as dependent variable. Jn order to  understand the results, a description of how to analyze  the
output is included here.  The criterion scale on the upper left of Figure A-1  is in units of the de-
pendent variable, light scattering. The tabular information on the right begins with  descriptive
statistics about the  sample.  The criterion variable is given (LIGHT SCAT), there are 432 obser-
vations in the sample (18 days with 24 hourly averages of data each), and the average value of
light scattering in this sample is 2.79 with a standard deviation of 1.58.  The disk containing
the number one represents this sample on the graph, and is located at the mean  value (2.79) ol
the light-scattering  observations in the sample.

     The sample is  split first  by N02 into subgroups 2 and 3.  On the graph, the subgroups are
located at the mean value of the light-scattering observations  in each subgroup.   Information
pertaining to this split is contained  in the table immediately to the right of the graphical display,
Hence, subgroup 2  contains 305 observations with an average value of light scattering  of 2.1 1


                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
                                              AUTOMATIC  INTERACT I Ol\l  DETECTOR
                                               HAZEVECTUR  	  AID ANALYSIS
            1 .00
                           BINARY TREE  STRUCTURE
                                   CRITERION sroiE
                       2.17        3. 31        <ซ.52
SUMMARY TABLE
                                                        5.69
                                                                    6. 86
•=]
ffl
f
p
m

I

n
e
	 TOTAL GROUP 	
CRITERION -LIGHT STAT
TOTAL GROUP N = 132
MEAN = 2.79
STD. DEV. = 1.58
PARENT 1 SPLITTING VARIABLE - N02
PEON* 2.11 S.D.= 1.10 N: 305
PREDICTOR VALUES — 01231
5 6 7 6 <> 10 11 12 13 11 U
ffEAN- 1.ซ2 S.0.= l.3fr fu* )?r
PREDICTOR VAI CFS --. It lป IB 19 20
21 22 23 21 25 2( 27 26 29 31 31 33

PARENT 2 SPLITTING VARIABLE - TE"P
mฃON= 1.11 5-0.= 0.65 N- 106
PREDICTOR VALUES — 01215
6 7 a 9 10 11 12 13 11 15 16 IT
16 14 20
BEAซI= 2-1' S.0.= 1.03 (•= 199
PREOirTOS VAI I'FS -- 21 22 23 2ซ !•>
26 2T 25 29 3C 31 3Z 33 31 35 3* 3'

PARENT 3 SPLITTING VARIABLE - TO
BEON= 1.01 S.D.- l.H N= 100
PREDICTOR VAIUES -- 2 3 1 6 t
9 10 11 12 13 11 15 16 17 16 19 20
21 22 23 21 2; 26 27 26 29 30 31 .
BEAN= 5.96 S.0.= 1.09 ซ= ?7
PREDirTOB VAI I'FS -- 3f 39 ซC "1 "Z
qj 141 15 ซ6 if 50 52 5" 5S 5* 5f 59
61 63
PARENT 5 SPLITTING VARIABLE - HUMIDITY
BfoN= 1.59 5.0.= 0.51 N= 56
PREDICTOR VAIl'ES — 1 2 7 9 10
11 12 13 11 15 16 17 16 19 20 21 22
23
FINAl CROUP
I"E.Aซ= 1. ft 5.0.= 0.97 ซ1= 1-1
PREDICTOR VAI I'FS -- 21 25 2* 27 ?F '•
29 30 31 32 33 3* 35 36 37 36 39 10

PARENT 9 SPLITTING VARIABIE - fปFTซ
HIAN= 2.66 S.D.- o.eo N= 121
PREDICTOR vซl UES — 01231
5 6 7 8 9 10 12 |1 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 21
*EAN? 1.01 S.p.= 1.0" "•- 2C
PREDICTOR VAI I'FS -- 25 !t 2r If ft
30 31 33 31 3T ซ|. i
FINAI FROUP :
PARENT 6 SPLITTING VARIABLE - TO
BEAN- 2.61 S.D.- 0.79 N- 13
91011
F1NAI GROUP
F"EซN= 1.21 S.p.= "1. 00 U= 6! i
17 16 19 20 21 22 23 21 25 2f 27 26
29 30 31 32 31 35 36
PARENT 13 SPLITTING VARIABLE - HI'fllOITY
MEAN: 3. 6ป S.D.- o.n N: 11
PREDICTOR VAIUFS — 1 11 19 21 25
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 31 35 36
FINAL PROIIP
nFAN= 9.69 S.D = 1 02 N= 16
PREDIC'IOR VAU'FS -- 37 30 39 10 1|
12 13 11 15 16 17 19 51 52 51 62
                                             >
                                             CO
                                                                FIGURE A-1.

-------
                                                     HAZFVETTOR  	  AID  ANALVSIS
                                                                ...CONTINUED...
              I .00
                          2.17
                                        CRITERION SCAI C
                                       3.3t         t.52
                                                               5 . 69
                                                                            6.86
ซ=}
fii
f
f
ft

I

0
s
r
e
e
o
summARv CONTINUED i
PARENT 10 SPLITTING VARIABLE - UINO SP j
HEAN= 2.27 S.D.= 0.88 N= 10
PREDICTOR VALUES — 16 17 18 19 20
13 11 15 63
HEAN= 2.et S.D.= G.67 IV;
PREDICTOR VAI I'fS -- 123*

PARENT t SPL-ITTING VARIABIE - HUCIIDITY
BEAN= 1.07 S.O.- 0.31 N= 71
PREDICTOR VALUES — 0 3 6.811
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 31
FINAI GROUP
nEAN= 2.21 5.0.= I-.C9 1-
PRE01CTOR VALUES — 35 37 3f 3*
61 62
PARENT 15 SPL ITTING. VARIABLE - TEPP
REAM: 3.02 s.o.= o.ซi N= 15
PREDICTOR VALUES' — 11 20 21 21 25
26 27 29
FINAL CROUP
*EAN= 5.11 s.o.= C.M N=
PREDICTOR VAll'Fl -- 30 31 32 33
35 36 37 38 39 10 i| • 1' If 1
21 22 23 2i i'. It n 2f> 3C 31
FINAL r-ROMP
PARENT 7 SPLITTING VARIABIE - TP
PEAN; ,5.3" S.o.= 0.78 N: 16
PREDICTOR VAI 1>ES — 38 39 "0 11 42
43 44 45 4( 48
FINAI FROliP
PIFAN= 6.f>l> S.P.- C.t2 'ป-'
PPEPKTOR VAM'F!- -- 'C '? "• "
5f '.9 M t3
FINAI C.ROI'P
It- ',
t •
ซ .20:
32 ...

1 1 :
PARENT 17 SPl ITTING VARIABLE - OZONE' i
PEAN= 2.01 S.'0'.= 0.70 N: 31
PREDICTOR VOICES -- 01235
6 8 9 II 13 11 15 16 17 22 23 27
29 30 31 39'
FINAI CROUP
BEAN= 3.57 S.p.= C.67 N=
PREDICTOR VAI I'FS -- 10 ซ? 44 4ซ
FINAI RROI'P
..j
. i
                                                             FIGURE A-1. (Continue^

-------
                                                            AUTOMATIC  INTERACTION  DETECTOR
                                                              HAZEVECTOR  	  AID  ANALYSIS
                 1.10
                                     BINARY  TREE  STRUCTURE
                                               CRITERION SCAIE
                               2.25          3.10         ^.56
                      SUPIftARY  TABLE
                                                                          5.71
                                                                                         6. 86
ft
F
F
ffl
 I
o
0
F
e

	 TOTAL
GROUP 	
CRITERION -LIGHT SCAT
TOTAL GROUP N = '•32
MEAN = 2.79
STD: DEV. = i .58 i
PARENT
PREDICTOR
5 6 T
PARENT
PEAN- 1
PREDICTOR
10 18 19
10 15 56
PARENT
I"IFAN= 1
PREDICTOR
12 13 11
1 SPLITTING VARIABLE - N02
.11 S.D.= 1 10 N= 305
VALUES — 01-231
8 9 10 11 12 13 11 15
REAM: 1.1; s.o.= 1.3* ป- 127
PREDICTOR VAI I'FS -- 1* 17 ie 19 20
II 22 23 21 25 26 27 2P 29 31 32 33!
31 35 37 3P. 3ซ ซC i| 12 13 "ซ 17 .
2 SPLITTING VARIAB1E - UIWD VEI ;
.10 S.O-- 0.62 N- lot
VALUES — 23i 5 6
59 40 61
PFAN= 2. -9 S.P.= 1 . II ป= lซซ :
PREDICTOR VAII'Ft -- 0 1 t ซ 16 ,
50 51 ซt 57 j
' * SPl. ITTIHir- VARIAPI F - Hi'l"irl:TV
.It S.D.= 0.60 K- 16
VALUES — 2 6 7 10 11
15 17 18 20 21 22 23
f(CN- 2.(C S.r.- 1.0" 1- 153 :
PREOICTOS VAI I'FS -- 2ซ 25 26 ?7 If \
29 30 31 32 33 3- 35 3t 31 3f 3< ซC:

   N=   1.01  S.D.=   1.11   N=  100 rFซN=  -5.ซt S.p.=   l.0ซ  ซ=  27  ;
PREDICTOR VAU'ES —   Z  3  ซ  6 f PRFDI"CP VAI I'FS —  3( 31 *0  11 ซJ  |
 1 10  I! 12 13  It 15 It 17 IS 19 20 13 1ซ -5  "* ซP 50  52 5ซ ?c 5ป 5P 5ซ.
 21 22 23 21  25 2ป 27 28 29 30  31 .;  H  t-3                          i
 I- ฃ r r M
                SPl ITT INP  VOPIPPi F  -
                                                                                                  PARENT
                                                                                                                SPLITTINP  VARIOBIE  -
                                                                                                 P .
2ป •ซ it i
PARENT 11 SPLITTING VARIABLE - dETH
BEซN= 2.76 S.0.= 0.78 H= 109
PREDICTOR VALUES — 01231
S I 7 ( 9 10 12 11 15 16 IT 16
19 20 21 22 23 21
HEAN= 3.90 S.D-- 1
PREDICTOR VAI I'FS — 25
30 31 33 3ซ Jf 37 1*
FINAI C.ROI'P
01
26
N= 25
2T It 29
                                                                               FIGURE A-2.

-------
                                                      HAZFVECTOR  	'	  AID ANAtYSIS
                                                                 -..CONTINUED.-.
               1.10
                           Z .25
                                         PR I tFRlON SfPI F
                                        3.10         1.56
                                                                5. 71
                                                                             6.86
3>
=J
•4
ff)
r
r
ra

I

n
SUMMARY CONTINUED
PARENT 13 SPLITTING VARIABLE - TO
nifH- t.ii s.o.- o.6i N= e
PREDICTOR VALUES — 23168
9 10
Final GROUP
BEAIป= 3.ป6 S C. = C.PI H= T!
PREDirlOF VOM'fb -- II 12 13 1" I',
16 17 IP lซ 20 21 22 23 2" 25 If 1'
28 29 30 31 32 3ซ 35 3*
PARENT 11 SPLITTING VARIABLE - WIND VEL 1
KM- 2.12 S.D.= 0.61 ซ= SI
PREDICTOR VALUES — 21 25 26 20 32
33 36 It 50
REAN= 3.10 S.P.= 0.59 N= 5!
PREDICTOR VAI CES — 0 1 f 9 1*
IT 29 10 19 56 5T '
FINAI CROl'P
PARENT 17 SPLITTING VARIABLE - TO
.
PREDICTOR VALUES — 11 12 13 11 15
16 IT 19 19 20 21 22
FINAL CROUP
!
PREDICTOR VAII'ES -- 23 21 25 it 21
28 29 30 31 32 3ซ 35 3( :
i
FINAI CROl'P '
PARENT 5 SPLITTING VARIABIE - TFPP
ซEAN= 1.11 S.0.= 0.99 Nฐ 67
PREDICTOR VALUES — ซ 9 10 11 12
13 11 15 16 17 It 19 20 21 22 23 21
26 27
FINAI CROUP
n'EAK= I.f5 S.P.= O.fT ซ/= 3<
PREDICTOR VAII'FS -- 30 31 32 3" 35
19 52
PARENT 1 -, SPllTr:--: VCRIAPir -
TOAN= 1.69 S.D.= 0.61 N= 12
PREDICTOR VAIUES — 0 1 II 12 11
15
FINAL GROUP
PnEAN= 2.63 S.O.* O.T3 ซs ซ2
PREDICTOR Vซl I'FS -- 16 IP 19 20 21
22 23 21 25 2T 28 29 30 32 33 38
PARENT 9 SPLITTING VARIABIE - TO
HEAN= 5.31 S.D.= 0.76 N= 16
PREDICTOR VAIUES — 3t 39 10 11 12
13 11 15 16 18
FINAI CROUP
BEAN; 6.8t S.0.= 0.82 H- II
PREDICIOR VAII'ES — 50 52 $1 55 56 ',
58 59 61 63
FINAI C.ROI'P
PARENT 25 SPLITTING VARIABIE - METH
nfAN= 1.83 5:0.= 0.51 ซ= 10 IPEAM 2.PP S.P.= ti.•>^ •.= 3< .
PREDICTOR VAIUES — 0123 PREDICTOR vซll'Ei — " ' * ' *
9 12 11 17 18 19 20 21 22 2*
F1NA1 GROUP |F 1 WAI CROUP
PARENT 23 ' SPLITTING VARIABLE - UIND VEL
REAM: 1.45 S.0.= 0.41 N: 22
PREDICTOR VAIUES — 2 9 4 6 10
37 15 59 6C 61
FINAI CROUP
BEON= 2.3' S.0.= 0.96 O= If
PREDICTOR VAIUES -- 2T 31 31 11 U
11 5ซ
FINAI CROl'P
o>
                                                            FIGURE A-2. (Continued)

-------
                                                          HAZEVECTOR	  AID,ANALYSIS
                                                                     ...CONTINUED...
                   1.10
=3
4
m
r
F
m

I

n
                               2.25
                                             CRITERION sroiE
                                            3.10         1.56
                                                                    5,71
                                                                                 6.86
SUHMARV CONTINUED
'PARENT- • 6. . SPLITTING VARIABLE - TEPP
mEซN= I.It S.D.= 0.3? IU= 30
PREDICTOR VALUES — 0 1 2 1 5
6 T 8 ซ' lO'll 12 13 16 IT IB 22
23 25 26 28 30 31 33
FINAL CROUP
BE 0*1= 2 03 S.n.- 0.5J Mr If
PBEDlrTOR vail'ES -- 3" 3' "1 ซ2 ซ3
4< 45 06 51 53 55
FiNai r-POi'p
                                                                FIGURE A-2. (Continued)

-------
                                             flUTOPIATIC  INTERACTION DETECTOR
                                              HAZEVECTOR  	 AID  ANALYSIS
           0.90
                          BINARY TREE  STRUCTURE
                                  CRITERION scate
                      2 . 00        3.09        <(. 19
SUPKHARY  TABLE
                                                       5.28
                                                                   6.38
0

J>
r
r
m
n
0
r
C
	 TOTAL GROUP 	
CRITERION -LIGHT .SCAT
TOTAL GROUP N = 132
MEAN = 2.79
STD. DEV. = 1 .58
PARENT I SPLITTING VARIABLE - THT
reAN= 2.11 S.0.= l.ll N= 300
PREDICTOR VALUES — 01231
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 IS 16
17 IB 19 20 21 22 23 21 25
HEAN= 4.34 S.D.= 1.31" 11- 132
PREDICTOR VAIUES -- 26 27 28 29 30

PARENT 2 SPLITTING VARIABLE - U1IIVO VEl
BEAN= 1.53 S.D.= 0.77 K= 117
PREDICTOR VALUES -- 23456
10 16 11 27 26 30 31 34 35 37 41 42
43 44 45 58 59 (0 61
HEAM= 2."8 S.D = I.I" 1- IP;
PREDICTOR VAIL'ES -- 0 1 6 ซ lป
24 25 26 29 32 33 36 40 -t *•) '.r, .'. 1
56 57
PARENT 3 SPLITTING VARIABLE - AfV
P1EAN= 4/02 S.D.= 1.14 H= 114
PREDICTOR VALUES -- 03 7 10 14
1721 21 28 31 35
WEAN= 6.38 1. P. = 1 -01 l*= If
PREDICTOR V01 tfES -- 3f *-2 "5 52 e.f :
63 !
FIMAI CROI'P
PARENT t SPLITTING VARIABLE - UINP VEl
P1EAH= 2.32 S.D.= 1.03 H= 1 62
PREOICTCH VALUES -- 1 f 9 24 25
26 32 31 36 40 48 SO SI 56 57
ntAIป= 3.6? S.D.= 1.26 fc= 21
PREDICTOR Vfll CEt -- 0 16 29 "9 '
FIIUAI PSOI'P
PARENT 9 SPLITTING VARIABLE - OZOIVE ;
nEAfus 2.22 &.D.= C.98 N- ISO
PREDlTTOIi VALUES -- 01234
5 6 7 8 ซ 10 11 12 13 |4 15 It
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 25 2t 2? 29 .
ftปn' 3.t2S.c.= c.sป t= iz:
PREClfTOR VAM-Ei -- :2 33 36 37 3r
39 43 44 !
FIfttAL T.ROt'P I
PARENT 6 SPLITTING VARIABLE - NOX
REAM? 3.27 S.O-- 0.87 N- 38
PREDICTOR VALUES -- 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 H IS 16
nEAN= 4."C S-D.= 1.07 tt= 76 !
PREDICTOR VALI'ES --17 18 19 20 21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3C 31 ปt :-
37 38 41 "2 44 49 52 55 57
PARENT 10 SPLITTING VARIABLE - THT
KEHN- 1.75 S.0.= O.tl H- 46
PRFOKTOR VALUES -- 01345
6 7 8 9 10 II
AEAN= 2.42 S.O-- 0.98 H- 1 0<*
PREDICTOR VALUES — 12 13 1" 15 16
17 IB 19 2C 21 22 23 2" 25
                                                                                                                                       >
                                                                                                                                       CO
                                                            FIGURE A-3.

-------
                                                    WAZEVECTOR  	  AID

                                                              . . .CONTINUED- - -
ANALYSIS
                                               SCALE
               0.90
                           2.00
                                       3.09
                                                  1.19
                                                              5.28
                                                                          6. 38
r
r
ffl

i

n
s
r
C
                 29 )      28
SUmPIARV CONTINUED
PARENT 15 . SPLITTING VARIABLE - OZONE
MEAN- , 1.61 S.0.= 0.88 N= 17
PREDICTOR VALUES — 0
FINAL GROUP
nEAN= 2.58 5.0.= 0.92 N= 87.
PREDICTOR VALUES -- 1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 1 10 11 12 13 11 15 16 IT
18 20 21 22 23 25 26 27 29 31
PARENT 13 SPLITTING VARIABLE - WIND VEL
MEAN=' 4.20 S.D.= 1.00 N= 62
PREDICTOR VALUES — 0 8 25 32 .33
10 11 18 5T ' ' •
REAN3 5.26 S.0.= 0.92 N-
PREOICTOR i/A'lUES — .16 24 19 56
FINAL GROUP
11
PARENT 17. .SPLITTING VARIABLE - NOX
BฃAN= 2.32 S.D.= 0.85 H- 61
PREDICTOR VALUES — 15676
ป 10 11 12 13 11 !5 16
FINAL GROUP.
MEAN- 3.21 S.0.= 0.'5 ซ=
PREDICTOR VALUES — 17 18 22 23
25 26 27 28 29 30 36 37 42 "8
FINAL GROUP
26
2'
PARENT 5 SPLITTING VARIABLE - OZONE
nEAN= 1.12 S.0.= 0.63 N= 110
PREDICTOR VALUES — . 0 1 2 3 1
IT 18 19 20 21 22 23 21 26 21 30 .
FIEAN= 3.27. S.D. = 0.*9 N:
PREDICTOR Vปl UES — 38 39 10 <*2
16
FINAL GROUP
7
ttn
PARENT 19 SPLITTING VARIABLE - OZONE
nEAN= 3.8$ S.D.= 1.05 N- 31
PREDICTOR VALUES — 0
FINAL GROUP
nEOM= 1.62 S.D.= 0.75 K- 26
PREDICTOR VBLl'ES — 1Z315
6 9 10 11 .11 21 25 28 10 31 3ซ "5
63 -•
FINAI GROl'P
PARENT 22 SPLITTING VARIABLE - S02 '
BEAN= 1.23 S.D.= 0.52 N- 81
PREDICTOR VAIUES — 0 1 3 8 1
10 11 12 13 11 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
22 23 21
FINAL GROUP
nEAN= 1.95 S.D.= 0.59 N-
PfiEOinOfi VOII'FS -- 25 2f 27 28
30 31 32 38 10 ปl
FINAL GROUP
29
29
PARENT 11 SPLITTING VARIABLE - UMNO VEL
HEAซI= 1.20 5.0.= 0.30 tl= 17
PREDICTOR VALUES — 25 32 10 50 56
FINAL GROUP
BEAN* 2.07 S.D.= O.d ซl=
PREDICTOR VALUES -- 1 8 9 24
33 48 57
29
26
PARENT 12 SPLITTING VARIABLE - METH
nEAN= 2.96 5.0.= 0.5T N: 28
PREDICTOR VALUES — 5 6 7 61
10 12 11 15 16 17 IB 19 20 21 21
FINAL GROUP
BEON= 4.15 S.O-- 0.94 N=
PREDICTOR VA1 UES -- 25 26 27 28
32 33 37 16
FINAL GROUP
10
30
                                                           >
                                                           CD
                                                         FIGURE A-3.  (Continued)

-------
o
c
                                                          HAZEVECTOR  	  flID ANALYSIS
                                                                     . . .CONTINUED. . .
H
H
m
r
r
m
n
o
r
C
                0. 90
                             2 . 00
                                            CRIIERION SCALE
                                           3.09          ^
                                                                     5 .
                                                                                  6 . 38
SUNHARY CONT INUED !
PARENT 26 SPLITTING VARIABLE - NO
nCANr 0.985.0= 0 . 1 7 N= 5
PREDICTOR VALUES 1 2 3
F INOL GROUP
PREDICTOR VAl I'ES -- 5 6 1 8 ซ
11 12 15 16 17 31
F 1 Nfil PfiOl'P '•
                                                                                                                                                                  >
                                                                                                                                                                  o
                                                                      FIGURE A-3.   (Continued)

-------
                                            A-11

and a standard deviation of 1.10; the corresponding  information for group 3 is 127  observations,
a mean of 4.42, and a standard deviation  of 1.36. Further, the table lists the values of the pre-
dictor variable |NC>2) associated with subgroups 2 and 3.  The coded values 0 through 15 are
associated with group 2, and the coded values from  16 through 63 are associated with group 3.
Asterisks at the end of a list signify that more coded values follow, but no space exists to com-
plete the list.  Each predictor variable is coded initially into integer values in the range 0 to 63.
The coding is done as follows: let R denote the range of the observed values, let z  denote the
minimum of the observed values, and let x denote a predictor value; the coded value c is given
by
                                   c =
                                        62.5      -  + 0.5
                                               R

where  [a] denotes the greatest integer less than or equal to a.

     In words, one may describe the first split loosely as follows:  when NO2 values are in the
lower quartile of their range, the corresponding light-scattering readings have a mean of 2.11;
when the N02 values are higher, the corresponding light-scattering readings have a mean of 4.42.

     The remaining splits may be interpreted in a similar fashion.  The classification rules  in the
tree  may be verbalized for  parts of the tree.  For example, one can say that the average light
scattering is 5.96 given that the  N02 reading is in the upper 75 percent of the N02 range and
the CO reading is in  the upper 37  percent of the CO  range.  As a  practical way of choosing im-
portant variables and interactions from an AID tree, one generally observes  the variables associ-
ated  with the first "several" splits.  It is  possible by utilizing various stopping rules, formal statis-
tical  tests, and iterative procedures to refine an AID tree to a well-formed rule. However, the
purpose here was to  select  several variables for the time-series analysis which would explain a
portion of the variance in the light scattering, so the  initial trees suffice.

     Although temperature shows up as a potentially important splitter in this AID analysis, sub-
sequent attempts to  develop a transfer function relating light scattering and temperature failed to
obtain a significant relationship. A possible explanation may  be that temperature is only signifi-
cant  in its interaction with IM02 in the analysis, and no attempt was made to construct inter-
action  variables for the time-series analysis.

     The wind-speed  (WIND SP) variable in Figure A-1 was obtained  by first computing a wind-
velocity vector.  The  10-minute  wind-speed and wind-direction values were  formed into vectors,
and an hourly average wind-velocity vector was computed using vector addition. The wind-speed
variable used in the analysis was simply the wind-speed component of this vector.  A previous
analysis had used a straight averaged wind speed. However, neither the previous analysis nor this
one showed much significance for  wind speed.

     Figure A-2  shows the  results of an AID  analysis  of the sample when the  wind-velocity vector
(WIND VEL) replaces wind speed.  The coding scheme for wind velocity  is  necessarily  different
from that used for the other variables.  Since a wind-velocity value may be associated with a
point in the plane, a portion of  the plane including all the wind-velocity values in the data was
divided into segments. This procedure is illustrated in Figure A-4.  The plane is in polar co-
ordinates, with the r-coordinate  representing the wind-speed component, the 0-coordinate  repre-
senting the wind-direction  component, and 0ฐ  and 360ฐ representing  due north. Concentric
circles are drawn in increments of  2 mph to a maximum of 16 mph.  The circles are divided  into
octants and the resulting partition of this portion of the plane coded as shown. As an example,
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
                                   A-12
FIGURE/ A-4.   CODING SCHEME USED TO DEVELOP WIND DIRECTION AND VELOCITY VECTORS FOR
            SUBSEQUENT ANALYSIS OF WIND EFFECTS ON LIGHT SCATTERING
                       BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
                                            A-13

a wind-velocity vector of (4.5, 100ฐ) is coded as 18.  Since  no order relationship exists in this
code, potential splits on wind velocity  could  occur on an arbitrary division of wind-velocity codes
into two subsets, whereas splits on other variables were  restricted to being monotone [i.e., all
values of the predictor associated with  one subgroup of a split must be greater than (or less than)
all values associated with the other subgroup.]

     Figure A-2 shows the  increased power of the new variable. Wind  velocity becomes the second
most powerful  splitter and  also occurs  elsewhere in  the  tree.  Figure A-5 illustrates the split of
group 2 into groups 4 and  5 on  wind velocity.  The hatched areas are associated with group 5
and the dotted areas are associated with group 4. This  figure  illustrates the tendency of light
scattering to  be higher when the wind-speed component is lower, but also shows that wind
direction is a factor in separating "lower" from "higher" wind speeds.

     While this analysis is highly informative, and shows the power which certain interactions may
have, it was not possible  to include the vector-valued  wind-velocity variable in the time-series
analysis.  Devising a method  to incorporate such variables is left to future studies.

     An effect  called  "masking" can  sometimes occur in AID  analyses.  This occurs when one vari-
able is correlated with other  "stronger" variables in the  AID sense.  While such a variable may be
useful in time-series analysis it may not show up initially as a  strong variable in an AID analysis.
One such variable in this data is THC,  and this is shown in Figure A-3.  This run was made after
removing the variables N02,  CO, RH, and temperature from the set of predictor variables.

     As a result of the AID runs and some preliminary  time-series analysis, it was  decided to use
N02, CO, RH, and THC as predictor variables in a  transfer-function development  for light
scattering.
Time-Series Analysis

     A time series is a sequence of observations, denoted {zt}t=i, taken at equally spaced time in-
tervals.  The mathematical formulation of the Box -Jenkins univariate time-series model is given by

                                              0Q + 0Q(BS)0q(B)at                      (1)

where

     s denotes the length of the period of seasonality;
     B is the backward shift operator defined by Bzt = Zf-i;
     V, Bs, Vs, V^, v[?are operators defined in  terms of B by
         V=  1 -  B  (backward difference operator),
         Bs = B(BS~1) for s > 1  where Bฐ  = 1,
         Vs = 1  - Bs  (backward  seasonal difference operator),
                        far d >  1  where Vฐ = 1,
         VD= VS(VD-1) for D > 1  where Vฐ = 1;

    p, $p, ฉQ,  6q are polynomials with constant terms equal unity of degrees
      P, p, Q, and q in their respective arguments;
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
   Group 5, mean bscot = 1.40
                                     A-14
fl Group 4, mean bscat=2.49
   FIGURE A-5.   SCHEMATIC REPRESENTATION OF AID RESULTS WHERE WIND VELOCITY IS
               A DIRECTIONAL VELOCITY VECTOR
                         BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
                                            A-15
        is a constant;
     at is a sequence of "white noise", that is, at is N(0,oa) and  is uncorrelated
     for different times.

To illustrate the meaning of these operators and polynomials, we give some examples:

     (a)  Vzt= (1 - B)zt = zt- zt_-|

     (b)  B24zt = zt_24
     (c)  V24zt = zt-zt_24

     (d)  v2Zt = V(zt-zt.1)

               = zt - zt.-|  - (zt.-| - zt_2)

               = zt - 2zt_! + zt.2

     (e)  02(B) = (1 - .758 + .5B2)
                 = zt - .75zt_i + .5t_2-
     A shorthand notation for (1) if ฎQ = 0 is (p, d, q) X (P,  D, Q)s.  0g ^ 0 signifies a deter-
ministic trend.  0p(B) and $p(Bs) are called autoregressive operators; 0q(B) and 0Q
-------
                                         A-J6
       TABLE A-l. SUMMARY OF UNIVARIATE ANALYSIS (WITH SEASONAL DIFFERENCING)
Light
Scattering


N02


CO


RH


THC
Model Parameters Residual Variance
<2,1.0XO,1,2(24 01= .2031.07* .282
02= -.3381.07
61 = 1.0631 .07
' !
ฉ2= -.1821 .06
(2,1,0)(0,1,1)24 01= -.131 1.07 .133x10-3
02 = -.290 ฑ .07
0-1= .9001.02
(0,1,2)(0,1,1)24 9 -| = -.255 1 .07 .116
02= .2371.07
@}= .8961.02
(2,1,OXO,1,1)24 01= .1151.07 11.198
02= -.1301.07
0,= .8521.03
(0,1,0)(0,1,1)24 ฉ!= .8621.025 .120
Residual Autocorrelation
X^/Degrees of Freedom
83.09/56


47.71/57


47.57/57


40.57/57


47.27/59
1 standard deviation of parameter estimate.
     TABLE A-2. SUMMARY OF UNIVARIATE ANALYSIS (WITHOUT SEASONAL DIFFERENCING)
Light
Scattering

N02


CO


RH

THC
Model Parameters Residua! Variance
(2,1,OX1,0,0|24 0!= .2111.07* . .300
02 = ..244 1 .07
4^ = .0501.066
(2.1,0X1,0,0)24 0! = -.0941. 07 .140X1Q'3
02= -.2241.07
*1 = .285 1 .06
10,1,2X1,0,0)24 0-t= -.2881.07 .137
02= .1681.07
4>1 = .2031.06
(0,1,1X1,0,0)24 0T= -.240 1.13 12.300
! = .1321.07
(0,1.0X1,0,0)24 $1 = .1961.07 .129
Residual Autocorrelation
X2/Oegnees of Freedom
83.67/57

61.73/57


55.28/57


54.08/58

39.78/59
1 standard deviation of parameter estimate.
                         BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                            A-17


The coefficients of the polynomials ojj(B), ftj(Bs), 6j(B), Aj(Bs) are determined from the cross
correlations of various  lags between the prewhitened input series and the transformed output
series.  The prewhitened input series are the residual series of the corresponding univariate time-
series models for the input series.  The transformed output series is obtained by operating on the
output series with the same formal model for each input series.  The noise series is then modeled
by univariate analysis and all  parameters  refit by a least squares analysis.

     The X^/Degrees of Freedom values listed in Tables A-1  through A-4 are obtained from  a
"portmanteau" test of  the hypothesis of  model adequacy. This test is described by Box and
Jenkins'32).  Some of  the values obtained may seem higher  than  ones generated from white noise,
but an examination of  the data shows that one or two large values obtained from differencing can
have a severe impact on the "portmanteau" X  , and that trying to reduce the X* statistic by
further fitting would only distort the model.

     Tables A-3 and A-4 contain the statistical  information on the transfer-function models devel-
oped.  The models in Table A-3 were developed with seasonal differencing; the models in Table A-4
were not seasonal differenced.
                              ATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

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                                        A-18
  TABLE A-3. SUMMARY OF TRANSFER FUNCTION ANALYSIS (WITH SEASONAL DIFFERENCING)


1 Xj=N02
X2 = CO
X3= RH
II X!=N02
X2 = CO
X3 = THC
III X1=N02
X2= RH
X3 = THC
IV X^CO
X2= RH
X3 = THC

Transfer Function
CJn COl
12.67012.9* -10.98112.8
.6531.09 .1791.09
.042 1 .009 0.
12.43413.0 -8.10413.0
.5731.10 .2341.11
.2731.10 -.2531.1
19.74012.9 -6.90412.9
.053 1 .01 0.
.3031.1 -.2551.1
.7191.09 .0051.09
.037 1 .009 0.
.2721.1 -.2251.1
Cross
Correlation
X2/DF
Noise Model (X,-Noise)
co2 0t 62 6,
0. -.1531.081.1271.081.6701.05 85.15/48
.232 1 .08 Residual Variance = .146 70.25/47
0. x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 50.92/48
0. -.256 1 .08 1.074 1 .08 |.71 1 1 .05 80.83/48
.2911.09 Residual Variance = .155 70.78/47
.0301 .10 x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 49.03/48 55.69/47
0. -.0271.091.1471.081.6811.06 84.33/48
0. Residual Variance = .182 45.41/49
0. x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 53.19/48 56.30/47
.2751.09 .2511.08|.118ฑ.08|.6711.05 66.24/47
0. Residual Variance = .157 46.22/49
.0881 .1 x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 40.60/48 52.36/47
* 1 standard deviation of parameter estimate.
TABLE A-4.

1 X! = N02
X2 = CO
X3= RH
II XT = NO2
X2 = CO
X3 = THC
III X1 = N02
X2= RH
X3 = THC
IV X^CO
X2=RH
X3 = THC
SUMMARY OF TRANSFER FUNCTION ANALYSIS (WITHOUT SEASONAL DIFFERENCING)

Transfer Function
14.23912.72* 0.
.468 1 .09 .032 ฑ .08
.0461.01 -.0181.01
12.12212.9 0.
.456 1 .09 .089 1 .08
.3461.09 -.2391.09*
18.89512.6 0.
.0421.01 -.0181.01
.2511.09 -.1691.09
.6141.08 -.0021.08
.0421.01 -.0041.01
.3121.09 -.1371.09
Cross
Correlation
X2/DF
Noise Model (Xj-Noise)
0. -.072 1 .07 |.101 1 .07 68.28/49
.129 1 .07 Residual Variance = .155 57.34/47
0. x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 68.30/48 37.01/48
0. -.12310.71.1001.07 53.45/49
.2101 .08 Residual Variance = .169 55.10/47
0. x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 82.57/48 48.61/48
0. -.033 1 .07 1.122 1 .07 63.98/49
0. Residual Variance = .172 39.52/48
0. x2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 79.35/48 47.45/48
.1421.08 -.1091.071.1361.07 60/87/47
0. Residual Variance = .165 33.80/48
0. X2/DF (Noise-Noise) = 75.49/48 39.94/48
* ฑ standard deviation of parameter estimate.
                          BATTELLE — C O L. U
                                                    BUS

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         APPENDIX B
ORGANIC ANALYTICAL PROCEDURES
 BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                                           B-1

                                      APPENDIX B


                         ORGANIC ANALYTICAL PROCEDURES
Solvent Extraction of Participate Matter

     Samples were subjected to either methylene chloride soxhlet-extraction {20 hours)  or to
sequential soxhlet-extraction first using methylene chloride (20 hours) and then dioxane (44
hours).  High purity  "distilled-in-glass" solvents were obtained from Burdick and Jackson,
Muskegon Michigan;  dioxane was additionally redistilled before use.

     Extractions were conducted in soxhlet apparatus of 50 ml capacity fitted with 100 ml RB
flasks; 25 mm x 80 mm thimbles were used.  Thimbles were preextracted with methylene  chlo-
ride (48 hours) and methanol (48 hours) before use.  Up to three 6-inch-diameter filter disks or
one 8-inch x 10-inch filter could be extracted in one thimble.   For each analytical extraction 100
ml  of solvent was employed.

     The volume of each methylene chloride extract was reduced to approximately  0.5  ml by
vacuum distillation (250 mm Hg at 35 C pot temperature).  This was accomplished  using 25
ml  graduated concentrator tubes fitted with Kuderna-Danish columns, obtained from Kontes
Glass Company, Vineland,  New Jersey.  Samples were heated under vacuum using a 10-tube
Rotary-Evapomix evaporator obtained from Buchler Instruments, New York, New York; rubber
hose connections were replaced with Teflon.

     The weight of methylene chloride extractable matter was determined by taking a small
aliquot  of the concentrate  (~5 percent) and evaporating the solvent on a light (~5 mg) alu-
minum  weighing pan.  Rapid evaporation of the methylene chloride led to collection of a
small quantity of moisture on the aluminum pan and  residue.  This was permitted to dissipate
by  storage of  the pans overnight in a desicator; the residue weight was then determined.  Pans
were tared and reweigrted  using a Cahn electrobalance, and aliquot weights were determined to
ฑ2  HQ.  The fraction represented by the aliquot was determined gravimetrically.  That  is, the
total weight of the concentrate (solution) was determined.  Next, a volume was withdrawn in
a microsyringe (i.e., 25 n\).  The syringe was then weighed before and after the solution was
dispensed  onto the weighing pan. Using these data the total weight of the extractable matter
was calculated. Use of this procedure obviated  the necessity of taking the entire methylene
chloride extract to dry ness.

     Dioxane extracts were concentrated by lyophilization (freeze drying).  An all glass  appa-
ratus was used, and extracts were lyophilized in tared 25 ml RB flasks. Use of vacuum  grease
(silicone) was minimized by utilization of Teflon joint tape.

     Solvent and filter blanks were carried through the reflux and concentration procedures.
In calculating the weight percent solvent extractable, values due to such solvent and filter back-
ground were subtracted.  Data concerning blanks are presented in the Results and Discussion
section. Values for weight percent methylene chloride extractable and weight percent dioxane
extractable were calculated as follows:
                             IATTELLE  — COLUMBUS

-------
                                           B-2

       ,.. . ,             .            .  .    (Weight of extracted matter, corrected) „ inn
       Weight percent solvent extractable =      (Weight of total particulate)	X 1ฐฐ

     In order to demonstrate that the dioxane does not extract significant quantities of inorganic
salt from the filters, 100-ml portions of dioxane were stirred with ammonium sulfate, ammonium
nitrate, lead nitrate, sodium carbonate, and sodium chloride. The suspensions were filtered and
the dioxane filtrates were lyophilized  in tared flasks.  Salt residues were only barely visible and
did not exceed 0.3 mg.


Determination of Weight Percent CHN

     Determinations of weight percent C, H,  and N were conducted using a  Perkin-Elmer Model
240 elemental analyzer with gas purification  accessory.  The instrument performs automated
Pregel-Dumas determinations.  Values shown  for weight percent oxygen [0]  were calculated by
difference from the CHN data.   Approximately 1 mg of sample was used for each determination.


Infrared Spectroscopy

     Infrared spectra were obtained using a Perkin-Elmer Model 521 grating  infrared spectro-
photometer.  Spectra were obtained of thin films of sample  on a micro sodium chloride plate
(13 mm x 4 mm).  Typically ~  1.5 mg of extractable matter was used.  Films were deposited
from concentrated extract solutions,  after which the last traces of solvent were removed under
vacuum.  Typically samples were maintained  in vacuo for 1  hour  before spectra were obtained.
It was  demonstrated that extended maintenance of the sample in vacuo (i.e., 3 hr) had the effect
of uniformly reducing the intensities of the IR bands.  Thus, it was concluded that  removal
of solvent traces under vacuum does  not fractionate the sample and is an acceptable procedure
in this application.

     Instrument operating conditions included a slit program setting of 1000 units to produce
a varying spectral slit width of 2-6 cm"1.  The gain setting was adjusted to give a  1  percent
overshoot for a 10 percent pen deflection.  The scan rate setting gave a rate  of 6  cm'Vsec
above 2000 cm'1 and 3 cm'Vsec below 2000 cm'1. The attenuation was 3  sec full scale.  The
total instrument was purged with dry  nitrogen to eliminate any lack of compensation between
the two beams due to  water vapor. Amplifier balance was set  for essentially zero drift with
both beams blocked.

     In practically all cases film  thicknesses were adjusted so that the intensity of all measured
bands (with  the exception of that for CH stretching at 2920 cm'1) fell in the desired range of
30-60 percent transmittance.  In some cases it was  not possible to obtain spectra  having all
bands in the desired intensity range.  Thus spectra were obtained  to give the maximum number
of key bands in this desired range.

     Reduction of spectroscopic  results to numerical form was performed by calculating relative
peak intensities for  specified absorptions.  Values of relative peak intensity were obtained  by
calculating the ratio of the optical density for the specified absorption  to that observed for the
CH stretching vibration at 2920  cm'1; i.e.,
                            BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

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                                           B-3

 Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy

     Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy was performed using a Varian Associates
 HA 60-IL spectrometer (60 MHz) or a JOEL PS-100 spectrometer (100 MHz).  Both instruments
 were equipped to perform Fourier-Transform (FT) spectroscopy.  Instrument control, data
 acquisition, and reduction  in the Fourier-transform  mode were accomplished using a Digilab
 digital computer interfaced with the spectrometers.

     Spectra were obtained using the unfractionated methylene chloride extractable matter.  A
 portion of concentrated extract was taken containing ~ 1.5 mg of residue.  The solution was taken
 to dryness in a small conical tube under a gentle stream of dry nitrogen. After the sample was
 no longer fluid, the tarry  residue was maintained under  the nitrogen  stream for an additional 15-20
 min.  The sample was then dissolved in 40-50 ^tl of  CDCI3 (Merck, silver-leaf stabilized) and trans-
 ferred  to a 1.8-mm  ID capillary tube.  The capillary tube was sealed  and placed in a standard
 5-mm OD x 5-inch  NMR tube.  Teflon spacers were used to maintain the capillary tube concentric
 with the larger tube.

     When samples  were run on the Varian spectrometer 100 n\ of hexafluorobenzene was placed
 in the  outer tube annulus as a source of fluorine resonance for field stabilization.   When the
 JOEL instrument was employed, CDCI3 served as the field stabilization source. Tetramethylsilane
 was used as the internal standard.

     All spectra were obtained  in the FT mode.  Only the 1H-|  nucleus was observed.  Typical
 operational parameters were a 1 /isec pulse width  (where a 90-degree flip angle required 20 psec)
 with a pulse-to-pulse delay time of 1.5  seconds.  The bandwidth was 2000 Hz with 1096 data
 points  collected per pulse,  to give a resolution of 0.98 Hz.  typically, computer-time-averaging of
500 pulses was conducted for each sample. The spectral data were integrated both digitally and
 in the analogue mode, and the  integrated values checked to within ฑ2 percent.  From the inte-
grated values, aromatic/aliphatic ratios were obtained. These were calculated on the basis of
 integrated resonances for methyl and methylene protons and integrated resonances for aromatic
protons; i.e.,

        Aromatic/Aliphatic Ratio =  <|"tegrated resonancesiaromatic  protons)
                                   (Integrated resonances:methyl + methylene protons).
Sample Fractionation

     The methylene chloride extractable matter was fractionated as noted in the scheme below.

                          Methylene Chloride Extractable Matter
             Water-Soluble Fraction                  Water-Insoluble Fraction
                                                 Acid         Neutral         Basic
                                                Fraction      Fraction       Fraction
                           BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
                                            B-4

     Fractionation into water-soluble and water-insoluble components was accomplished by extract-
 ing the methylene chloride solution (~3 ml)  four times with 2-ml portions of distilled water.  All
 extractions were conducted in conical centrifuge tubes agitated using a Vortex  mixer.  This proce-
 dure permits convenient centrifugation of emulsions prior to separation of phases and minimizes
 sample losses.  Water was removed by lyophilization, and the weight of the water-soluble fraction
 was determined.

     The water-insoluble material remaining in solution was next extracted four times with 2-ml
 portions of 2N aqueous sodium hydroxide and twice with 2-ml portions of distilled water.  The
 sodium hydroxide and water washes were combined.  The methylene chloride solution was then
 extracted three times with 2-ml portions of 2N hydrochloric acid and twice with 2-ml  portions
 of distilled water.  The acid and water washes were combined.  Additional water washes were
 made until neutral; these were discarded. Material remaining in methylene chloride solution  after
 extraction with  both aqueous sodium  hydroxide and hydrochloric  acid is defined as the water-
 insoluble neutral fraction.  Although not conducted during this program, it is recommended  that
 the above acid and base aqueous extracts be backwashed with methylene chloride before neutral-
 ization to prevent any slight carry-over of neutral products to the acid and/or basic fractions.

     The sodium hydroxide extract (containing organic-acid salts) was brought to pH 0.1, and the
 free acid was extracted into methylene chloride using  a continuous liquid/liquid extractor for
 96  hours.  Similarly, the hydrochloric acid extract (containing organic-base salts) was brought to
 pH 13, and the free base was extracted into methylene chloride, again  using a continuous liquid/
 liquid  extractor for 96  hours.  The liquid/liquid extractor employed was designed for use with
 solvents denser than water. It is similar to the commercially available Hershberg/Wolfe extrac-
 tion apparatus except that the apparatus employed is of smaller capacity (i.e., 70 ml methylene
 chloride and 20 ml aqueous phase) and in place of a sintered glass frit, the top  of the aqueous
 column was agitated using  a small magnetic stirring bar (i.e., the drive magnet was positioned at
 the side of the apparatus).

     In order to determine the acid/base/neutral  distribution, the methylene chloride solutions
 of these fractions were  concentrated as described above, aliquot weights were determined, and
 the total weight of each fraction was calculated.  In preparation for alcohol determination the
 methylene chloride solution of the neutral fraction was dried before the final concentration
 step.  Drying was accomplished by refluxing the  solution over a 3-A molecular sieve contained
 in the  glass thimble of a small  soxhlet apparatus  (i.e.,  "micro" or Bantamware size, 30-ml flask
 capacity).  Drying the solution directly with anhydrous magnesium sulfate or a  molecular sieve
 was found to be  unsatisfactory because of irreversible  adsorption of organics upon the drying
 agent.


 Functional Group Analysis for Carbonyl

     Quantitative analysis for carbonyl was conducted using the water-insoluble neutral fraction
 of the  methylene chloride extractable matter.   The procedure employed is based on the reaction
 of aldehydes and ketones with 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine (DNPH) to form the  corresponding
 colored hydrazones (A-1.A-2).  The color formed is stable for several hours and the molar ab-
sorbances of the  hydrazones vary so little that the method  is well suited to determination of
total carbonyl in a mixture.
(A-1) Siggia. S.. Quantitative Organic Analysis. John Wiley (1962), p 124.
(A-2) Lappin, G. R.. Clark, L. C., Anal. Chem., 2^541 (1951).
                            BATTELLE  —  COLUMBUS

-------
                                           B-5

     The analyses were conducted in carbonyl-free methanol.  This was prepared by refluxing
 500 ml of  reagent-grade methanol with 2 g of DNPH and 1  ml of concentrated  hydrochloric
 acid for 24 hours.  The methanol was then distilled  from the mixture, followed by redistillation.

     Determinations of unknowns and calibration standards were conducted as follows.  In a
 10 ml  volumetric flask were combined 1 ml of sample in carbonyl free methanol,  1 ml of
 carbonyl free methanol saturated with DNPH, and one drop of concentrated hydrochloric
 acid. The  flask was stoppered, and heated at 50 C for 30 minutes.  After cooling, the reaction
 mixture was treated with  1 ml of 10 percent potassium hydroxide in 20 percent aqueous
 methanol  (carbonyl free).  (In the procedures cited above (A-1,A-2)/ the addition  of 5 ml of
 potassium  hydroxide solution is called for.  In the current work, however, it was observed  that
 use of more than  1 ml leads to formation of a precipitate.)  Finally, the volume of the mixture
 was then made up to 10 ml with carbonyl-free methanol. The optical density of the sample
 at 480  nm was determined with reference to a blank reaction  mixture which incorporated  1 ml
 of carbonyl free methanol in place of the sample.

     Calibration experiments were carried out using  5 x  10"2 molar solutions of n-heptaldehyde
 and 2-heptanone; between 1 and 25  n\ of these solutions were added to 1 ml of carbonyl-free
 methyl alcohol. A linear  calibration over the range  10"? to  10"6 moles of carbonyl against
 optical  density was thus obtained.

     The concentrated methylene chloride extracts used  in this determination generally have a
 concentration of 2 mg/ml. Typically, 250 //I of such solutions contained  carbonyl in the range
 of 10~6 - 10~7 moles.  Analysis of distilled-in-glass methylene chloride (obtained from Burdick
 and  Jackson, Muskegon Michigan) indicated  that the solvent is free of appreciable  concentra-
 tions of carbonyl contaminants. Finally, it should be pointed out that solutions should not
 exceed  10~3 molar in carbonyl  in order to prevent precipitation  of hydrazones.
Functional Group Analysis for Alcohol

     Quantitative analysis for alcohol was conducted using the water-insoluble neutral fraction
of the methylene chloride extractable matter.  The sample was thoroughly dried before analyses,
as described above. The procedure employed is based upon the  reaction of alcohols with lithium
aluminum hydride to  liberate hydrogen.  It was adapted from a  large-scale procedure in which
about  10"2 moles of sample is required, and the evolved hydrogen is collected in a gas burette
(A-3,A-4)  |n tne modified procedure 10"^ moles of sample may be conveniently analyzed,
and the evolved  hydrogen is measured gas chromatographically.

     The apparatus employed consists of a 0.2-ml reaction vessel situated along a capillary gas
loop.   The vessel is equipped with a screw cap and Teflon-lined injection septum.  The apparatus
is plumbed to permit  gas chromatographic carrier gas to be diverted through the gas loop.
Evolved hydrogen  is then swept onto the chromatography column and is quantitated using a
thermal conductivity detector.

     Typically, the analyses were  conducted as  follows.  A saturated solution (~ 10 percent
w/w) of lithium  aluminum  hydride was prepared in sodium-dried tetrahydrofuran, and  was
stored  in a vessel equipped with a  Teflon-lined septum cap.  10 n\ of reagent was withdrawn
(A-3) Siggia, S., Quantitative Organic Analysis, John Wiley (1963). p 8.
(A-4) Gaylord, N. G., Reduction with Complex Metal Hydrides, Interscience (1956).
                            BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
                                            B-6

by syringe and injected into the reaction vessel.  The solution was repeatedly degassed, by diverting
the chromatograph carrier gas through the loop, until hydrogen was no  longer present in the injec-
tion, or until a very low constant value was achieved.  Commercial dry  nitrogen was used as
the carrier gas, and was further dried  by  passing through a dry-ice trap.

     The test sample was injected into the reaction vessel, and after one minute the evolved
hydrogen was swept into the chromatographic column.  Longer reaction times and mechanical
agitation were without effect. A 1-ft x 2-mm ID silica gel column was  used at room temperature.
The thermal conductivity detector employed was obtained from a Varian Autoprep chromato-
graph.  Calibration experiments were carried out by injecting 1-10 ^l of 0.10 percent or  1.0
percent solutions of cyclohexanol in dry tetrahydrofuran. Typically four replicate analyses
were conducted for each calibration standard or unknown.   Reproducible results and linear
calibrations were observed over the range of 10"^ - 10"^ moles of alcohol  per injection.  Typically,
a 1-2 mg sample of fractionated particulate extract contained 10~6 moles of alcohol. Thus, the
sensitivity of the method is entirely adequate.  If necessary,  additional sensitivity could be
achieved by using a thermal  conductivity detector of lower thermal capacity.
                             IATTELLE  —  COLUMBU

-------
              APPENDIX C
INFRARED SPECTRA OF ORGANIC PARTICULATE
      BATTELLE — COLUMBUS

-------
   2.5
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EXTRACTABLES
Sample Collected July 26
Columbus. Ohio
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1000 800 600 400 21
10
                                                        FREQUENCY (CM1)

-------
                                                      WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                           6          78
100
                                                                                               METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                  EXTRACTABLES
                                                                                               Sample Collected Aug. 11
                                                                                                    New York City
  4000
            3500
3000
                                 2500
                                            2000
1800     1600     1400
   FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                             1200     1000     800      600      400      200
   2.5
                                                      WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                           6         78
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Sample Collected Aug. 1 1
New York City

















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100
 80
 20
                                                       FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                                                                              n
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-------
                                  WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
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   6
4000
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2500
2000
1800      1600      1400
   FREQUENCY (CM')
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-------
   2.5
100
                                                       WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                8     9    10      12      15     20     30  40
                                                                                                 METHYLENE CHLORIDE _
                                                                                                     EXTRACT ABLES
                                                                                                Sample Collected Nov. 10-13
                                                                                                     Pomona, California
  4000       3500       3000       2500       2000     1800     1600     1400
                                                         FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                 1200     1000      800
600
400      200
                                                                                                                                 o
                                                                                                                                 tn
   2.5
8
         WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
5             6          789
                                             2000     1800     1600     1400
                                                        FREQUENCY (CM1)

-------
  2.5
                                   WAVEIENGTH (MICRONS)
                                        6        78
100
                                                                      9   10     12     15     20     30  40
                                                                                              M
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2000    1800    1600    1400    1200     1000
  4000
3500
                                                                                              METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                  EXTRACTABLES

                                                                                                  Sample Collected
                                                                                                 September 21,  1973
                                                                                                 Rubidoux, California
3000
                                               FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                                                                       O
                                              WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
2


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                                                                                            20     30  40
                                                                                            METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                EXTRACTABLES

                                                                                                Sample Collected
                                                                                               September 21, 1973
                                                                                                      ina, California
                                                                                        600     400
                                                                                                      200
                                               FREQUENCY (CM1)

-------
 2.5
                                            WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                 6        78
                                                                                             METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                 EXTRACTABLES

                                                                                                 Sample Collected
                                                                                               November 16-17, 1973
                                                                                                 Denver, Colorado
4000
3500
                  3000
2500
2000    1800    1600    1400     1200     1000
          FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                               800
                                                                                      6OO
                                                                                             400
                                                                                                    200

-------
    2.5
                                                 WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                     6        78
 MX)
P80  -
                                                                                    20     30  40
            3500
                                                                                               METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                        -4-       EXTRACTABLES

                                                                                                      Replicate A
                                                                                                    Sample Collected
                                                                                                  October 14-18,  1972
                      3000
                   2500
         2000     1800    1600     1400    1200    1000
                   FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                                     800     600     400     200
    2.5
 100
                                                 WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
                                                      6         78
                                                                          9   10    12     15     20     30 40
   4000
                                                                                            ^  METHYLENE CHLORIDE
                                                                                                   EXTRACTABLES

                                                                                                      Replicate B
                                                                                                   Sample Collected
                                                                                                  October 14-18, 1972
3500
                      3000
2500
                            2000
1800    1600     1400    1200     1000
   FREQUENCY (CM1)
                                                                                     800
                                                                                             600     400
                                                                                                200
                                                                                                                            O
                                                                                                                            00

-------
2.5
WAVELENGTH (MICRONS)
     6         78
                                                                                 9   10     12     15     20      30  40
IVU
TRANSMITTANCE (PERCENT)
> 8 fe g. 8
40
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Aerosol

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FREQUENCY (CM1)
LORIDE
LES
otive
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                                                    WAVELENGTH  ;MICRONS)
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TRANSMTTfANCE (PEftCENT)
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NE CHLORIDE
NOTABLES
d Automotive
erosol
1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200
                                                     FREQUENCY (CM1)

-------