ASSESSMENT OF HUMAN EXPOSURES TO ATMOSPHERIC ETHYIENE DICHLORIDE Final Report May 1979 By: Benjamin E. Suta Prepared for: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711 Task Officer: Jack K. Greer, Jr. Project Officer: Joseph D. Cirvello Contract No. 53-02-2835 Tas,k 17 SRI Project CRU-6780 Center for Resource and Environmental Systems Studies Report No. 82 ------- NOTICE This report has been provided to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) by SRI International, Menlo Park, California, in partial fulfillment of Contract 68-02-2835. The opinions, findings, and conclusions expressed herein are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of EPA. Mention of company or product names is not to be considered an endorsement by EPA. ------- CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES v ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS vii I INTRODUCTION 1 II SUMMARY 2 III CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES OF EDC AND ITS ENVIRONMENTAL BEHAVIOR 8 Introduction 8 Physical Properties 8 Chemical Properties 9 Environmental Behavior 11 IV EDC PRODUCTION AND USES • • • 14 Production 14 Uses . . . . 14 EDC Producers and Users . 17 V POPULATION EXPOSURES FROM EDC PRODUCTION 21 General ....... 21 Sources of Emissions 21 Emissions 21 Atmospheric Concentrations 23 Exposure Estimates 28 VI POPULATION EXPOSURES FROM PRODUCERS THAT USE EDC AS A FEEDSTOCK 34 General 34 Sources of Emissions 34 Emissions . 35 Atmospheric Concentrations 35 Exposure Estimates 35 iii ------- VII POPULATION EXPOSURES FROM EDO IN AUTOMOBILE GASOLINE .... 40 General . . 40 Exposures from Self-Service Operations 41 Exposures in the Vicinity of Service Stations 46 Urban Exposures Related to Automobile Emissions .... 54 Summary of Urban Exposures from Automobile Gasoline . . 59 VIII OTHER ATMOSPHERIC EXPOSURE ROUTES 60 General • 60 Dispersive Uses 60 Transportation 61 Waste Disposal 64 BIBLIOGRAPHY 66 iv ------- TABLES II-l Summary of Estimated Population Exposures to Atmospheric EDC from Specific Emissions Sources .... 4 II-2 Estimated Atmospheric Emissions of EDC for 1977 .... 5 III-l Physical Properties of EDC 10 IV-1 EDC Consumption 16 IV-2 EDC Producers and Major Consumers 18 IV-3 1977 EDC Production by Direct Chlorination and Oxychlorination 19 IV-4 1977 Use of EDC Production Capacities 20 V-l EDC Oxychlorination Vent Emissions 22 V-2 Estimated Atmospheric Emissions from EDC Production Facilities 24 V-3 Atmospheric EDC Monitoring Data for Calvert City, Kentucky 25 V-4 Atmospheric EDC Monitoring Data for Lake Charles, Louisiana 26 V-5 Atmospheric EDC Monitoring Data for New Orleans, Louisiana 27 V-6 Estimated One-Hour Average Downwind Atmospheric Concentrations of EDC (yg/m3) . . . 29 V-7 Estimated Human Population Exposures to Atmospheric EDC Emitted by Producers 31 V-8 Comparison of EDC Monitoring and Modeling Atmospheric Concentrations (ppb) . . 34 VI-1 Estimated EDC Atmospheric Emissions (g/s) for Plants that Use EDC as a Feedstock 37 VI-2 Estimates of Population Exposures to Atmospheric EDC Emitted by Plants that Use EDC as a Feedstock in Various Products 39 VI-3 Estimates of Total Population Exposures to Atmospheric EDC Emitted by Plants that Use EDC as a Feedstock ... 40 VII-1 Self-Service Operations 43 VII-2 Gasoline Market Share of Self-Service Stations in Four AQCRs, Spring 1977 44 ------- VII-3 VI1-4 VII-S. VII-6 VII-7 VII-8 VII-9 VII-10 VIII-1 VIII-2 Gasoline Market Share of Self-Service Stations in Two Metropolitan Areas, 1976 Sampling Data from Self-Service Gasoline Pumping . . . Estimates of EDC Exposures from Self-Service Gasoline Pumping Service Station Density in Four Metropolitan AQCRs . . Rough Dispersion Modeling Results for EDC Emissions for Gasoline Service Stations Automotive EDC Emission Factors Distribution of Cities by 1970 Population Estimated U.S. City Exposures to EDC from the Evaporation of Automobile Gasoline ...... Summary of Uncontrolled Emission Factor for the Transfer of Benzene Estimated 1977 EDC Emissions as Solid Waste and to Water from EDC Production 46 47 49 51 54 56 58 59 63 65 vi ------- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS It is a pleasure to acknowledge the cooperation and guidance given by several individuals of the U.S. Environmental Portection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards. Ren Greer, Strategies and Air Standards Division, and Dr. George H. Wahl, Jr., EPA Consultant, provided direction throughout the study. David Mascone of the Emission Standards and Engineering Division gave valuable assistance in regard to control technology and emission factors and George Schewe of NOAA provided input on atmospheric dispersion modeling. Mr. Casey Cogswell, SRI International, Chemical Industries Center, generously provided information and guidance concerning the manufacturing and uses of ethylene dichloride. vii ------- I INTRODUCTION This report is one in a series that SRI International is providing for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to estimate populations at risk to selected pollutants. Primarily, this study has sought to estimate the environmental exposure of the U.S. populaton to atmospheric ethylene dichloride (EDC) emissions. The principal atmospheric sources we consider in this report are facilities at which EOC is produced or used as a chemical intermediate and gasoline that contains EDC as a lead scavenger. Possible exposures from transportation of EDC, disposal of EDC wastes, and other minor uses are also described. ------- II SUMMARY EDC is one of Che highest volume chemicals used in the United States, with approximately 5 million metric tons (mt) synthesized during 1977. More than 80% of the EDC produced is used in the synthesis of vinyl chloride monomer (VCM). The majority of the remaining production is used in the synthesis of 1,1,1-trichloroethane (1,1,1-TCE or methyl chloroform), trichloroethylene (TCE), perchloroethylene (PCE), vinylidine chloride (VDCM), and ethyleneamines (EA); EDC is also employed directly as a lead scavenger for gasoline. EDC is a colorless, oily liquid that has a sweet taste, a chloroform-like odor, and a volatility similar to that of gasoline. It boils at 83.5 C, melts at -35.4 C, and has a specific gravity of 1.2. It is relatively stable in water, but evaporates rapidly from water to the atmosphere where it is destroyed by photooxidation. Estimates of EDC's half-life in the atmosphere range from weeks to months, a period sufficiently long for aerial transport to play a major role in its distribution but relatively short for it to accumulate in > the terrestrial and aquatic environment. It has a potential for bioaccumulation; however, no firm evidence now exists to support bioaccumulation in the marine environment or in other biota. EDC does not occur naturally in the environment. Environmental exposures occur mainly from EDC lost during production, from EDC used as a chemical intermediate in producing other chemicals, or in its use in gasoline as a lead scavenger. Minor environmental exposures may occur through dispersive uses of EDC such as in grain fumigants, paints, coatings, adhesives, cleaning, and in the preparation of polysulfide compounds. Additional environmental exposures may occur from spills and venting during EDC transportation and from evaporation resulting from waste disposal. ------- Monitoring data for occupational exposures to EDC have been report- ed in the literature for more than four decades; however, the environ- mental monitoring data that have been collected date only from around 1975 and they are limited. A number of environmental monitoring studies have failed to find atmospheric EDC in the general U.S. environment at the ppt detection level (Grimsrud and Rasmussen, 1975; Singh et al., 1977; and Hanst, 1978). PEDCo (1978) found EDC at the ppb level in the atmosphere surrounding three EDC production facilities. (The maximum integrated 24-hr value was 180 ppb.) Pellizzari (1978) reported the detection of EDC concentrations of less than 55 ppb near a chemical dis- posal site in New Jersey. The current Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) standard for occupational exposure to EDC is 50 ppm (8-hr time-weighted average). In March 1976, the National institute of Occupational Safety and Health- recommended an exposure limit of 5 ppm (time-weighted averge for a 10-hr workday or less, a 40-hr workweek). These levels, however, were designed to protect against toxic effects other than cancer and may not provide adequate protection from potential carcinogenic effects (NIOSH, 1978). Human population exposures to atmospheric EDC have been estimated for emissions resulting from its production, its use as a feedstock in the production of other chemicals, and its use as a lead scavenger in automobile gasoline. Other potential exposure routes such as emissions resulting from transportation and emissions from other product uses have also been described. The population exposure estimates given in Table II-l are based on the calculated atmospheric emissions given in Table II-2. These emission and exposure estimates have necessitated reliance on very limited data. Because of the paucity of measured atmospheric EDC data, it was necessary to approximate concentrations through the use of dispersion modeling. Moreover, the resulting estimates are subject to considerable uncertainty in regard- to: (1) the quantity of EDC emis- sions, (2) EDC production and consumption levels, (3) certain source 3 ------- Table II-l SUMMA&Y OF ESTIMATED POPULATION EXPOSURES TO ATMOSPHERIC EDC FROM SPECIFIC EMISSIONS SOURCES Annual Average EDC Concentra- tion (ppb)a 10 6.00-10.00 3.00- 5.99 1.00- 2.99 0.60- 0.99 0.30- 0.59 1 0.10- 0.29 4 0.000-0.099 1 *" 0.030-0.059 3 0.010-0.029 Total 12 Production Facilities'1 Gasoline 1,1,1- . Lead Service Automobile EDC VCM TCE TCE PCE EA VDCM Scavenger Stations0 Emissions'1 1,700 3,300 28,000 280,000 400,000 1,300 ,500,000 360 70 ,300,000f 30,000 1,700 390 80 17,000 270 1,900 ,900,000f 42,000 16,000 10,000 500 8,000 3,400 3,400 ,SOO,OOOf 260,000 83,000 47,000 17,000 43,000 34,000 25,000 550,000£ 940,000 170,000 140,000 250,000 37,000 90,000 350,000 1,000,000 13,000,000 ,500,000 1,300,000 260,000 200,000 270,000 110,000 130,000 380,000 1,000,000 13,000,000 Automobile Refueling6 ( 8 > 30,000,000 • To convert to jtg/m^, multiply each exposure level by 4.1. b Production facilities that either produce EDC or use EDC as a feedstock in the production of another chemical. c These are exposures to people who reside near gasoline service stations. d These are exposures from evaporative emissions from pre-1975 automobiles. e These are exposures to people while refueling their automobiles at self-service gasoline stations. These are underestimates because the dispersion modeling results were not extrapolated beyond 30 km from each EDC production facility. There are additional people who are exposed to EDC concentrations of 0.01-0.1 ppb at distances greater than 30 km from the larger producton facilities. 8 Estimated aa 30 million people exposed to an EDC concentration of 1.5 ppb for 2.2 hr/yr. The annual average time-weighted exposure is 0.0004 ppb. ------- Table II-2 ESTIMATED ATMOSPHERIC EMISSONS OF EDC FOR 1977 Emissions (1,000 mt/yr) EDC production Fugitive 5.2 Storage 14.5 Direct chlorination 6.3 Oxychlorination 17.9 Subtotal 43.9 Production using EDC as Feedstock VCM 1.1 1,1,1-TCE 0.4 TCE 0.2 PCE 0.3 EA 0.3 VDCM 0.2 Lead scavenger 0.2 Subtotal 2.5 Automobile gasoline Service stations 0.1 Auto emissions 1.2 Subtotal 1.3 Other Dispersive uses 5.0 Transporation3 . -.- Waste disposal3 -.— Total 52.7 aNot included. Rough order estimates place these emissions as much less than 2,400 mt/yr for transportation and much less than 29,100 mt/yr for waste disposal. ------- locations, (4) control technologies employed, (5) deterioration in con- trol technologies over time, (6) physical characteristics of EDO sources, (e.g., stack height), (7) details on atmospheric dispersion and degradation, and (8) living patterns of the exposed population. Given these complex and variable factors, the accuracy of the estimates could not be assessed. Nevertheless, the estimates are believed to be a reasonable approximation of actual conditions. Comparisons of atmo- spheric monitoring and modeling data for EDO concentrations near 3 sites used in this report shows agreement within 70% and averaging 25%. During 1977, 18 facilities produced an estimated 5 million mt of EDC. It is estimated that approximately 12.5 million people are exposed to average annual EDC concentrations of 0.01 to more than 10 ppb from this production. Estimates of exposures to concentrations of less than 0.1 ppb from production facilities are underestimates because the dis- persion modeling results were not extrapolated beyond 30 km from the plants. There are additional people who are expected to be exposed to EDC concentrations of 0.01-0.1 ppb at distances of greater than 30 km from the larger production-facilities. However, it is generally assumed that disperions modeling results are unreliable beyond 20 to 30 km from the source. Estimates are given for exposures to EDC used as a feedstock in the production of VCM, 1,1,1-TCE, ICE, PCE, EA, VDCM, and gasoline lead scavengers. Many of these chemicals are produced at the same facilities that produce the EDC feedstock. Of the 28 producton plants involved, 18 also produce EDC. In 1977, approximately 5 million mt of EDC was re- quired, with more than 80% used in producing VCM. More than 2 million people are exposed to annual average EDC concentratons of 0.01 to 1.0 ppb from these operations. Leaded gasoline additives contain EDC as a lead scavenger. Although the EDC is expected to be destroyed during combustion, evapora- tive emissions occur during refueling operations and from the gas tanks and carburetors of automobiles. These emissions are expected to de- crease as newer model automobiles replace the pre-1975 models. It has 6 ------- been estimated that approximately 30 million people are exposed to EDC concentrations of 1.5 ppb for 2.2 hr/yr while refueling their auto- mobiles at self-service stations. Similarly, approximately 1 million people residing near gasoline service stations are exposed to average annual EDC concentrations of 0.01 to 0.03 ppb from refueling losses. Another 13 million are exposed to annual average EDC concentrations of 0.01 to 0.03 ppb from automobile evaporative emissions. ------- Ill CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES OF EDC AND ITS ENVIRONMENTAL BEHAVIOR* Introduction The Chemical Abstracts Service registry number of EDC is 000107062; the NIOSH number is K005250. To minimize confusion between EDC (C2H4C12) and cis and trans dichloroethylene (C2H2C12), Drury and Mammons (1978) recommend that EDC be referred to as 1,2-dichlorethane in place of ethylene dichloride. Many synonyms and trade names are also used: Brocide; Destrucol Borer-Sol; Di-chlor-mulsion; sym-dichloroethane; alpha, beta-dichloroethane; di- chloroethylene; Dutch liquid; EDC; ENT 1,656; ethane dichloride; ethylene chloride; glycol dichloride; and oil of the Dutch chemists (NOISH, 1977; Mitten et al., 1970). The composition and structure of 1,2-dichloroethane (EDC) are in- dicated by the molecular formula, C H,CL9, and the line diagram, H H I I Cl - C - C - Cl .1 I H H Physical Properties EDC is a colorless, oily liquid that has a sweet taste and a chloroform-like odor (Hawley, 1977). It is volatile and evaporates at a rate 0.788 time that of carbon tetrachloride or gasoline (Whitney, *The discussion given here has been summarized from a draft report by Drury and Hammons (1978). ------- 1961). Air saturated with EDC contains 350 g/m at 20°C and 537g/m at 30 C. EDC is completely miscible with ethanol, chloro- form, ethyl ether, and octanol (Windholtz, 1976; Johns, 1976). The par- tition coefficient, log P, of EDC between octanol and water is 1.48 (Radding et al., 1977), reflecting preferential solubility in organic media. Vaporized EDC solvent is readily ignited—the closed cup flash point being only 13°C. The liquid is also flammable, burning with a smoky flame, but the ignition temperature is high, 413°C. Under a pressure of 1 atm, EDC steam distills at 71.9°C. The binary azeotrope contains 19.5% water; 14 other binary azeotropes are known (Mitten et al, 1970). A ternary azeotrope containing 78% 1,2-dichloroethane, 17% ethanol, and 5% water boils at 66.7°C. Other properties are given in Table III-l. . Chemical Properties EDC is stable at ambient temperatures but slowly decomposes in the presence of air, moisture, and light. During decomposition the liquid EDC becomes darker in color and progressively acidic. It can corrode iron or steel containers, but these deleterious reactions are completely inhibited by small concentrations of alkyl amines (Bardie, 1964). Both chlorine atoms in EDC are reactive and can be replaced by other substituents. This bifunctional nature of EDC makes it useful in the manufacture of condenstion polymers (Rothon, 1972). Hydrolysis of EDC, with slightly acidic 160°C to 175°C water at 15 atm, or with 140°C to 250°C aqueous alkali at 40 atm, yields ethylene glycol; at 120°C, the addition of ammonia under pressure to EDC yields ethylene- diamine. 1,1,2-TCE and other higher chloroethanes are formed by chlor- inating EDC at 50°C in light from a mercury vapor lamp. EDC reacts with sodium polysulfide to form polyethylene tetrasulfide, and with oleum Co give 2-chloroethylsulfuryl chloride. With Priedel-Crafts ca- talysis, both chlorine atoms in EDC can be replaced with aromatic ring compound (Bardie, 1964). ------- Table III-l PHYSICAL PROPERTIES OF EDO Molecular weight 98.96 Density, g/ml at 20°C 1.2351 Melting point, °C -35.36 Boiling point, °C 83.47 Index of refraction, 20°C 1.4448 Vapor pressure, torr, at °c -44.5 1 -13.6 10 10.0 40 29.4 100 64.0 400 82.4 760 Solubility in water, ppm w/w at °c 20 8,690 30 9,200 Biochemical oxygen demand (5 days), % 0 Theoretical oxygen demand, mg/mg 0.97 Measured chemical oxygen demand, mg/mg • 1.025 Vapor density (air =1) 3.42 Flash point, open cup, °C 13.0 Ignition temperature, °c 413.0 Explosive limit, % volume in air Lower 6.2 Upper 15.9 Specific resistivity 9.0 x 106 Viscosity, cP, at 20°C 0.840 Dielectric constant,€ - 10.45 Surface tension, dyne/cm 33.23 Coefficient of cubical expansion, 10°C-30°C 0.0016 Latent heat of fusion, cal/g 21.12 Latent heat of vaporization, cal/g, at boiling point 77.3 Specific heat, cal/g °C Liquid at 20°C 0.308 Vapor, 1 atm at 97.1°C 0.255 Critical temperature, °C 288 Critical pressure, atm 53 Critical density, g/cm^ 0.44 Thermal conductivity, Btu/hr-ft2 at 20°C 0.825 Heat of combustion, cP, kcal/g-mole 296.36 Dipole moment, ESU 1.57 x 10~18 Conversion factors, 25°C, 760 torr 1 mg/L* = 1. g/nr* = 247 ppm 1 ppm =4.05 gm/m3 =4.05 g/L Source: Draft report by Drury and-Hammons (1978). 10 ------- Environmental Behavior Bioaccumulation and Biomagnification EDO's physical and chemical properties exhibit opposing tendencies with respect to bioaccumulation, but high vapor pressure and low latent heat of vaporization argue that the compound is exhaled from the lungs in the same condition in which it was inhaled. In fact, no firm evi- dence exists for the bioaccumulation of EDC in food chains under envi- ronmental conditions (Radding et al., 1977). Pearson and McConnell (1975) in searching for simple aliphatic chlorocarbons in several tro- phic levels of the marine environment near the industrialized area of Liverpool, found no evidence of EDC. In laboratory studies on oysters and fish using EDC labeled with carbon -14, Pearson and McConnell did see rapid storage of the chlorinated hydrocarbon up to an'asymptotic level, but this accumulation was followed by loss of EDC on transfer of- the organisms to clean sea water. Parallel analyses by chromatographic techniques showed reduced levels of EDC in the organisms, indicating that metabolism of the compound occurred in the tissues of both fish and oysters. Biological Degradation The conclusions of the few literature references to microbial de- gradation of simple chlorinated hydrocarbon compounds conflict. Some authors report these compounds are not metabolized either by aerobic or anaerobic microorganisms (Pearson.and McConnell, 1975). Other micro- biologists believe biodegradation can occur via co-metabolic processes (Horvath, 1972), but no evidence supporting biodegradation of EDC has been found. There is general agreement, however, that mammals metabo- lize these compounds, producing chlorinated acetic acids either directly or via chloroethanols. All of the resulting chlorinated acetic acids are susceptible to further degradation by microorganisms in sea water (McConnell et al., 1975). 11 ------- Chemical Degradation Photooxidative reactions involving atmospheric EDC probably result in monochloroacetyl chloride, hydrogen chloride, and monochloroacetic acid (Spense and Hanst, 1978). Alcohols, ketones, alkyl nitrates, and cleavage produces arising from intermediate alkoxy radicals are also possible products. Preliminary data indicate the half-life of EDC in the atmosphere may be about 3 to 4 months (Pearson and McConnell, 1975; EPA, 1975). Based on an average HO radical concentration of 0.8 x lO'^M, Radding et al. (1977) estimated a combined oxidativephotolysis half-life of 234 hr. The recent calculations of Altshuller and the recent experiments of Snelson et al. (1978) indicate tropos.phericTifeT1mes"bf ~EDC of approximately 0.75 to 1 year. Although the half-life remains to be determined definitively, available estimates make it clear that the lifetime of EDC in the troposphere, although short in an absolute sense, is sufficiently long for aerial transport to play a major role in its distribution. EDC is resistant to hydrolysis. Radding et al. (1977) estimated a hydrolysis half-life of approximately 50,000 yr. This estimte is much longer than the 6- to 18-month half-lives observed for similar, but not identical, compounds subjected to a combination of hydrolysis, oxida- tion, and photolysis (Dilling et al., 1975); nevertheless., it appears that hydrolysis of EDC is slow compared to other pertinent environmental processes, such as volatilization or photolysis. Dilling et al. (1975) and McConnell et al. (1975) studied the re- moval of compounds similar to EDC from water by adsorption on several common substrates. Dilling et al. observed little or no adsorption of chlorinated hydrocarbons on clay, limestone, sand, and peat moss in lab- oratory experiemtns that'involved aqueous solutions containing 1 ppm organic contaminant. McConnell et al. reached similar conclusions about adsorption of chlorinated hydrocarbons from seawater by coarse gravels, but they found relatively high adsorption by Liverpool Bay sediments rich in organic detritus. The divergent conclusions of these studies probably reflect different experimental conditions: The hydrocarbon 12 ------- concentrations in the experiments of Billing et al. were well below the solubility limits of the various compounds used, and adsorption under these conditions is less likely than in Liverpool Bay, which receives large volumes of industrial and domestic effluents. The relatively high vapor pressure of EDC causes rapid volatil- ization of the hydrocarbon from aqueous effluents. After 96 min at am- bient temperature, about 90% of the EDO initially present in water at a concentration of 1 ppm evaporated (Billing et al., 1975). This rate corresponds to a vaporization half-life of 29 min. Comparison of these data with those for other environmental removal processes indicate that volatilization is the chief process for removal of EDC from water. Persistence . EDC has a long hydrolysis half-life, a short vaporization half-life from water, and a relatively short photooxidative half-life in the atmo- sphere. It is unlikely to accumulate in the environment. Note, how- ever, that one of EDC's photooxidative products is chloroacetyl chloride, which may be sufficiently stable to reach the stratosphere and interact destructively with the ozone layer. Environmental Transport Because the vapor pressure, of EDC is moderately high, most emis- sions from manufacturing operations occur as vapors that are vented directly to the atmosphere. Even when initially present in wastewater or solid waste products, EDC tends to transfer rapidly to the atmo- sphere. This volatility, coupled with an atmospheric half-life suf- ficiently long for aerial transport, results in most distribution of EDC in the environment occurring by aerial transport (HcConnell et al., 1975; Pearson and McConnell, 1975). Some transfer of EDC from air to water also occurs, particularly as a result of rainfall. This effect is assumed to be minor when compared to aerial transport, but quantitative data comparing these transport routes are lacking. 13 ------- IV EDC PRODUCTION AND USES Production The annual EDC production capacity for U.S. plants is approximately 7.3 million mt. From 1973 to 1977 the industry operated at about 60-70% of capacity, producing 4.6, 4.7, 3.7, 5.0, and 5.2 million mt, respec- tively. The overall production during these years may have been even higher than indicated because captive production is not always adequate- ly recorded in published data. Future growth of the market is expected to average 4% to 5%/yr through 1981, at which time the demand for EDC is expected to be 6.6 million mt. Five of the major producing, companies are currently expanding production facilities or are planning increased production in the near future (Chemical Marketing Reporter, 1977). Uaes EDC is used primarily as a raw material in the synthesis of other chemicals, in particular for VCM, 1,1,1-TCE, TCE, PCE, VDCM, EA, and as a lead scavenger for gasoline. Primary uses of these compounds are as follows: VCM Its major use is in the production of PVC and its copolymer resins. Small ' amounts are used in polyvinylidene chloride and other copolymers. 1,1,1-TCE Its major use is for solvent clean- ing. Minor uses include aerosol pro- pellant, solvent in adhesives and coating formulations, drain cleaner, and fabric spotting fluid. TCE It is almost entirely used as a metal-cleaning solvent. 14 ------- PCE Its major uses are for metal cleaning and dry cleaning. EA Its major uses are as a chelating agent and carhamate fungicide. Other uses include detergents and softening agents, specialty resins, epoxy hard- eners, and corrosion inhibitors. VDCM It is used mainly in the production of polyvinylidene copolymers Lead Scavenger It is used in gasoline antiknock mix- tures. The quantities.of EDC consumed for these and other uses are shown in Table IV-1. More than 80% of the EDC produced is used in the manufac- ture of VCM. Each of the other compounds listed above requires 2% to 3% of the total EDC produced. Exports account for about 3.4% of the EDC produced, and other minor products require less than 0.2% of EDC produc- tion. Auerback Associates (1978) estimated EDC consumption for other minor uses in 1977 at about 5,000 mt. Of this- subtotal, about 28% was . used in the manufacture of paints, coatings, and adhesives.. Extracting oil from seeds, treating animal fats, and processing pharmaceutical pro- ducts required 23% of the subtotal. An additional 19% was consumed in cleaning textile products and polyvinyl chloride manufacturing equip- ment. Nearly 11% was used in the preparation of polysulfide compounds. Grain fumigation required about 10%. The remaining 9% was used as a carrier for amines in leaching copper ores, in the manufacture of color film, as a diluent for pesticides and herbicides, and for other miscellaneous purposes. EDC Producers and Users Table IV-2 lists the major EDC producers and consumers along with their estimated January 1979 installed production capacity. As the 15 ------- Table IV-1 EDC CONSUMPTION (Thousands of metric* tons per year) YEAR Use VCM 1,1,1-TCE TCE PCE EA VDCM Lead scavenger Other Net exports Total 1973 3,645 184 141 104 128 83 106 b 167 4,558 1974 3,871 198 121 98 132 92 97 b (133) 4,742 1975 3,015 155 92 89 123 83 80 b (26) 3,663 1976 4,079 213 99 89 132 88 93 b (199) 4,992 1977 4,300 215 83 87 136 97 89 b 177 5,194 19823 5,635- 6,140 260-280 85-110 87-95 113-119 125-135 39 b 180 6,524- 7,098 Source: SRI estimate. ^Projected consumption. Bother uses, which are not included in consumption, in 1974 were estimated at 7,000 rat and at 5,000 mt in 1977. 16 ------- table indicates, most EDO producers have the capacity to use most of the EDO they produce as feedstock for other products within their own plants. In fact, in recent years only a small fraction (10% to 15%) of the total production of EDC has been sold on the open market (US. Inter- national Trade Commission, 1973-1977). EDC is produced by the "balanced process." This process involves a combination of direct chlorination of ethylene and oxychlorination of ethylene using hydrogen chloride, which in turn is produced in the cracking of EDC to VCM. The EDC manufactured by oxychlorination of ethylene is generally used captively as an intermediate in VCM pro- duction. Table IV-3 shows the percentages of EDC produced by direct chlorination and by oxychlorination, by producer. Chemical producers rarely operate at maximum production capacity for a specific chemical. Table IV-4 shows the percentage of production capacity employed in 1977 to produce EDC and the major chemicals in which it is used as a feedstock. 17 ------- oo Producer Location —fable IV-2 EDC PRODUCERS AND MAJOR CONSUMERS (January 1, 1979, production capacities in thousands of metric tona) Canacitv VCM 1.1.1-TCE TCE PCE BA VDCM Borden Chemical Conoco Chemical Diamond Shamrock Diamond Shamrock Dow Chemical Dow Chemical Dow Chemical Dow Chemical duPont duPont duPont Ethyl Corp. Ethyl Corp. B. F. Goodrich Houston Chemical ICI America* Monochem Nalco Chemical PPG Industries PPG Industries Shell Chemical Shell Chemical Stauffer Chemical Stauffer Chemical Union Carbide Union Carbide Vulcan Chemical Vulcan Chemical Ceismar, LA Lake Charles, LA Deer Park, TX La Porte, TX Freeport, TX Oyater Creek, TX Pittaburg, CA Plaquemine, LA Antioch, CA Corpus Christi, TX Deepwater, NJ Baton Rouge, LA Houston, TX Calvert City, KY Beaumont, TX Baton Rouge, LA Geismar, LA Freeport, TX Lake Charles, TX Cuayanilla, PR Deer Park, TX Nor co, LA Caraon, CA Louisville KY Taft, LA Texas City, TX Geismar, LA Wichita, KS Total Source: SRI estimates. 7,316 6,218 a Plant waa purchased from Allied Chemical in September 1978. b Proceaa doea not uae EDC aa a feedstock. c Rough order eatimatea. Scavenger 524 145 719 726 499 953 318 118 454 318 544 379 635 544 154 68 68 150 224 525 17 45 749 150 167 51 Ob 60 45C 525 Ob ob 936 112 45C 20C ob 20C 248 15 14 20C 20C 749 15C 224 ob 5C 229 130 68 54 30° 375 629 525 130 Ob 70 60 Ob ' 41 Ob 409 151 154 190 120 100 ------- Table IV-3 1977 EDO PRODUCTION BY DIRECT CHLORINATION AND OXYCHLORINATION Direct Chi or i nation Oxy- chlorination Producers Conoco Chemical Diamond Shamrock Dow Chemical Dow Chemical Dow Chemical Ethyl Corporation Ethyl Corporation B. F. Goodrich ICI America3 PPG Industries PPG Industries Shell Chemical Shell. Chemical Stauffer Chemical Union Carbide Union Carbide Vulcan Chemical Locations Lake Charles, LA Deer Park, TX Freeport, TX Oyster Creek, TX Plaquemine, LA Baton Rouge, LA Houston, TX Calvert City, KY Baton Rouge, LA Lake Charles, LA Guayanilla, PR Deer Park, TX Norco, LA Long Beach, CA Taft, LA Texas City, TX Geismar, LA 49.2 35.8 57.1 (b) 51.7 52.7 100.0 33.3 66.7 77.2 (b) 66.2 (b) 69.2 100.0 100.0 0.0 50.8 64.2 42.9 (b) 48 47, 0.0 66.7 33.3 22.8 (b) 33.8 (b) 30.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 Source: Draft report by Drury and Hammons (1978). aPlant was purchased from Allied Chemical in September 1978. bNot available. 19 ------- Table IV-4 1977 USE OF EDC PRODUCTION CAPACITIES (Thousands of metric tons) Product EDC VCM 1,1,1-TCE TCE PCE EA VDCM Lead scavenger EDC Capacity5 7,316 6,218 409 151 154 190 120 100 EDC used in 1977 Production^ 5,194 4,300 215 93 87 136 97 89 Percent Capacity Used 71.0 69.2 52.6 61.6 56, 71 .5 .6 80.8 89.0 aSee Table IV-2. This is the amount that would be used annually if the product was produced at 100% of capacity. bSee Table IV-1. 20 ------- V POPULATION EXPOSURES FROM EDC PRODUCTION General As was shown in Table IV-2, most of the EDC produced is used as feedstock in the production of other chemicals, particularly VCM. the majority of both the EDC produced and the chemicals that use EDC as feedstock are made at the same facilities. Thus, people residing near these production facilities can be exposed to atmospheric EDC from several types of production. Section VI sets forth the exposure from chemical production facilities that use EDC as a feedstock. Sources of Emission EDC producers and their individual capacities are listed in Table IV-2. The total annual capacity of the 18 plants listed is 7.3 million mt. Table IV-4 indicates that approximately 71% of the production capa- city was used during 1977. Because production data for each plant are unavailable, we have assumed that each operates at 71% of capacity. Emissions Four principal sources of emissions have been identified: direct chlorination vent stack, oxychlorination vent stack, fugitive emissions, and emissions from tank storage. As part of the Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry study under way in EPA's Emission Standards and Engineering Division of the Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards and as a result of the detailed study of the VCM industry, a significant amount of engineering data on the EDC industry are available. Table V-l summarizes the data collected for oxychlorination vent emissions for 10 .Production plants: We applied the average vent emission factor of those plants (1.0%) to plants for which no emission data are available. We estimated an emis- sion factor of 0.22% for the direct chlorination process vent emissions, with fugitive emissions estimated at 0.1% of plant 21 ------- Table V-l EDC OXYCHLORINATION VENT EMISSIONS Plant and Location Oxychlorination Production* (g/s) Conoco, Lake Charles, LA 5,987 Diamond, Deer Park, TX 2,871 Ethyl, Baton Rouge, LA 3,392 Goodrich, Calvert City, KY 6,819 ICI America, Baton Rouge, LA 2,366 PPG, Lake Charles, LA 2,800 Shell, Deer Park, TX 4,464 Stauffer, Long Beach, CA 1,071 Vulcan, Geismar, LA 3,408 Dow, Oyster Creek, TX 5,609 EDC Emissions'3 (8/s) 12 3 2.7 43.6 26.4 70.1 0.0 25.2 19.6c 81.6c 0.0 Emission Factor (g emission/ g production) 0.0021 0.0009 0.0129 0.0039 0.0296 0.0000 0.0056 0.0183 0.0239 0.0000 Average 0.0097 aTotal capacity given in Table IV-2 times 71% use times percent oxychlorination production given in Table IV-3. bSource: EPA (1978). cBased on an EPA engineering estimate. 22 ------- production. Emissions for storage tanks at production facilities were estimated as 2.8 g/yr/kg of annual capacity (Mascone, 1978). Table V-2 gives the estimated emissions resulting from emission factors. Total EDO atmospheric emissions are estimated as 43.9 thousand mt/yr (1,312 g/s) or about 0.8% of the amount produced. The storage and direct chlorination emission rates are for uncontrolled plants. The industry now has some controls on these two emission points but data are insuf- ficient to estimate the present degree of control. Atmospheric Concentrations Atmospheric monitoring data have been collected from three loca- tions that have EDC production facilities (PEDCo, 1978). These threie locations are (1) near the B. F. Goodrich plant in Calvert City, Ken- tucky, (2) near the Conoco plant in Lake Charles, Louisiana, and (3) near the Shell plant at Norco, Louisiana and the Union Carbine plant at Taft, Louisiana. The Goodrich, Conoco, and Shell plants each have an- nual EDC production capacities of approximately 500,000 mt. The Union Carbide plant has an annual capacity of approximately 70,000 mt. Twelve monitoring stations were positioned around each location. Data were recorded for 10 days in New Orleans, 12 days in Lake Charles, and 13 days in Calvert City. The preliminary results of the monitoring data are summarized in Tables V-3 through V-5. Average 12- to 13-day atmospheric concentrations ranged from 0 to 5 ppb for the Calvert City stations, 1 to 43 ppb for the Lake Charles stations, and 0.1 to 12.1 ppb for the New Orleans stations. Individual 24-hr concentrations were much higher. Generally, the concentrations for locations near the plants in the Lake Charles area were almost 10 times those for the Calvert City and New Orleans areas. The differences may be attributable to meteor- ological conditions, plant production at sampling times, emission con- trols, positioning of the monitoring stations with respect to plant location and wind direction, or other EDC sources in the areas. _The_monitoring_data—show—chat—elevated—EDG—concentrations—ex-i-»t—i-n- the vicinity of at least 3 EDC production facilities; however, the data 23 ------- Table V-2 ESTIMATED ATMOSPHERIC EMISSIONS'FROM EDC PRODUCTION FACTILITIES Production3 Emisaiona (g/s) Plant Conoco Diamond Diamond Dow Dow Dow Ethyl Ethyl Goodrich lCI America PPG PPG Shell Shell Btauffer Union Carbide Union Carbide Vulcan Location Lake Charles, LA Deer Park TX La Porte, TX Freeport, TX Oyster Creek, TX Plaquemine, La Baton Rouge, LA Houston, TX Calvert City, KY Baton Rouge, LA Lake Charles, LA Guayanilla, PR Deer Park, TX Norco, LA Carson, CA Taft, LA Texas City, TX Geisoar, LA 103 ot/yr 372 103 510 515 354 678 226 84 322 226 386 269 451 386 109 48 48 107 (g/s) 11.800 3,265 16,190 16,345 11,235 21,455 7,160 2,660 10,220 7 , 160 12,250 8,533 14,295 12,250 3,470 1,530 1,530 3,380 Fugitive 11.8 3.3 16.2 16.3 11.2 21.5 7.2 2.7 10.2 7.2, 12.3 8.5 14.3 12.3 3.5 1.5 1.5 3.4 Storage 33.0 9.1 45.3 45.7 31.4 60.1 20.1 7.5 28.6 20.1 34.3 23.9 40.0 34.3 9.7 *-3 4.3 9.5 Direct 12.8 2.6 17.8 20.5 12.4 24.4 8.3 5.9 7.5 10.5 20.8 9.4 20.8 13.5 5.3 3.4 3.4 0.0 Oxychlorination 12.6 1.9 15.8 67.3 0.0 99.5 43.7 0.0 26.6 70.6 0.0 41.4 27.1 59.4 19.6 0.0 0.0 80.8 Total 70.2 16.9 95.1 149.8 55.0 205.5 79.3 16.1 72.9 108.4 67.4 83.2 102.2 119.5 38.1 9.2 9.2 93.7 local 5,194 164.9 461.2 199.3 566.3 1,391.7 Source: SRI estimates. Assumed to be 71Z of production capacity. ------- Table V-3 ATMOSPHERIC EDC MONITORING DATA3 FOR GALVERT CITY, KENTUCKY Site No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Relation to Goodrich Plant 0.8 1.8 1.7 2.0 3.3 2.9 2.5 3.4 2.3 2.8 2.3 3.0 km SE km SW km SSW km SSE km SE km E .km ENE km NE km NE km N km NNW km NW Average (ppb) 2.0 2.3 . ,1 .7 0. 0. 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.5 5.1 3.6 2.3 0.6 Average (ue/m3) 8.0 9.3 0.5 2.8 0.6 0.1 4.8 6.2 20.6 14.6 9.4 2.3 Rangeb (yg/m3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -37.7 - 72.2 - 4.1 - 18.0 - 3.2 - 0.5 - 36.3 - 22.4 - 67.8 - 59.9 - 55.0 -28.7 Source: Based on draft data supplied by PEDCo (1978). Observations are for thirteen 24-hr periods between August 27, 1978, and September 18, 1978. ''When duplicate quality control samples were taken at one site, the average of the two samples has been used. 25 ------- Table V-4 ATMOSPHERIC EDC MONITORING DATA* FOR LAKE CHARLES, LOUISIANA Relation to Conoco Plant 1.0 km S km WNW 2 km WNW 7 km W 9 km SW km WSW 3.0 km NW 2.8 km NNW 0 km NNW 5 km NNW 7 km NE 0.7 1. 0. 0. 1.3 2. 1. 0. Average (ppb) 26 61 1.8 km ESE 5.0 35.4 40.2 11.2 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.7 20.1 12.3 Average (pg/m ) 106. 248, 20, 143.4 162.7 45.4 4.5 4.0 6.5 6.7 81.4 49.9 Rang 1.4 - 6.0 - 0.0 - 1.8 - 0.5 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.0 - 0.5 - ** e ) 269.5 651.7 67.2 744.8 383.3 171.6 27.3 32.8 30.2 36.2 581.6 497.8 Source: Based on draft data supplied by PEDCo (1978). Observations are for twelve 24-hr periods between September 24, 1978, and October 5, 1978. bWhen duplicate quality control samples were taken at one site, the average of the two samples has been used. 26 ------- Table V-5 ATMOSPHERIC EDC MONITORING DATA3 FOR NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA Site No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Relation to Shell 4.0 km NNW 4.0 km NW 3.0 km WNW 0.4 km SW 1.0 km NE 6.0 km WSW 3.0 km SW 2.0 km SW 1.5 km S 2.0 km SE 3.0 km SSE 14.0 km S Union Carbide 6.0 km NNE 4.0 km NNW 3.0 km NNW 2.0 km NE 4.0 km NE 4.0 km NW 0.8 km NNW 1.5 km NE 2.0 km WNW 3.0 km WNW 3.0 km WSW 1.2.0 km S Average (ppb) 0.1 0.4 0.4 12.0 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.6 Average (Mg/m3) 0.4 1.7 1.7 48.5 2.0 3.8 5.9 9.4 5.6 3.1 1.9 2.5 Rangeb 0.0- 1.2 0.0- 6.2 0.0- 5.8 0.6-169.0 0.5- 9.1 0.0- 20.7 0.5- 24.3 0.5- 29.1 0.0- 17.6 0.0- 13.1 0.0- 8.7 0.0- 6.4 Source: Based on draft data supplied by PEDCo (1978). Observations are for ten 24-hr periods between October 10, 1978, and October 17, 1978. bwhen duplicate quality control samples were taken at one site, the average of the two samples has been used. 27 ------- available are insufficient for estimating population exposure for all •EDC producers. It is, therefore, necessary to use dispersion modeling to estimate neighboring population exposures. In keeping with the generalized nature of this study, approximate dispersion estimates were made using rough-cut Gaussian-plume techniques. Centerline, ground level, one-hour concentrations were calculated assuming a wind speed of 4 m/s and neutral ("D") stability. Based on engineering data characteristic of the production facilities, a typical stack height of 25 m was used to assess point source emissions (oxychlorination process vent and direct chlorination process vent). Fugitive and storage emissions were treated as area sources. The production area was assumed 2 • to be 0.01 km , and the area of storage tanks at production facilities were taken from the following equation supplied by Mascone (1978): Storage tank area (ft ) = ( v^ncT! tanks - 1)60 , „ , total production capacity in 10 Ib/yr . where: No. tanks = ^ T~Z^ —o 1. bo x J Table V-6 lists the results of the dispersion modeling, giving the average 1-hr downwind concentrations. These 1-hr average concentrations were adjusted to annual average omnidirectional concentrations by first dividing them by 20 for conversion to maximum annual values, then further dividing them by 2.5 to smooth the maximum annual values with respect to direction. These factors were derived by Youngblood (1978) and are based on empirical data from studies of industrial sources similar to those modeled here. The atmospheric concentrations shown in Table V-6 are in ug/m . These concentrations can be converted to parts per billion (ppb) by multiplying by 0.244. Exposure Estimates We used the emission factors for the four sources of EDC emissions (fugitive, storage, direct chlorination vent, and oxychlorination vent) in Table V-2 to scale the generalized dispersion curves in Table V-6. In this way, we estimated atmospheric EDC concentrations as a function of distance from each plant, the atmospheric concentrations from the 28 ------- Table V-6 ESTIMATED ONE-HOUR AVERAGE DOWNWIND ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS OF EDC* (pg/m3) Downwind Point Source Emitter with Emitter with Distance (km) Emitterb 0.0625-km2 Area0 0.01-km2 Areac 0.30 3,400 4,000 10,000 0.45 4,800 3,400 7,700 0.60 4,400 2,900 5,700 0.75 3,700 2,500 4,300 1.00 2,700 2,000 2,900 1.25 2,100 1,600 2,200 1.60 1,500 1,200 1,600 2.50 800 720 810 4.00 410 380 410 6.00 230 . 220 220 9.00 120 120 120 14.00 66 64 66 20.00 39 39 39 aAssumes an emission rate of 100 g/s for each source, neutral ("D") stability atmospheric conditions with a wind speed of 4 m/s. bSingle stack 25 m high. GEffective emission height of 10 m. Source: Modeling data provided by P. Youngblood (EPA, 1978). 29 ------- four emission sources were summed at each downwind distance to give total concentration. The point source emission concentrations of Table V-6 were used for oxychlorination and direct chlorination sources; the 2 0.01 km emissions area concentrations were used for fugitive emis- 2 sions; and linear interpolation between the 0.01 and 0.0625 km area concentrations were used for storage emissions, depending on the com- puted storage area. The total annual average EDC concentration esti- mates as a function of distance from each plant were used to determine the radii at which the specified annual average concentrations (i.e., 0.01, 0.3, 0.6, 1.0, 3.0, 6.0, and 10.0 ppb) are attained in the vicin- ity of each plant. The population residing within the radial distances to the concen- trations specified above was estimated by SRI's computer system, BESTPOP (Suta, 1978). The population file consists of a grid of 1-km square sections that span the continental United States. This file was created by assigning the 1960 and 1970 populations to the grid network and by assuming uniform distribution of population within each of 256,000 enum- eration districts. The computer software accesses the population file and accumulates residential population within radial rings specified about any given point. In addition, a rectangular map that is printed out for an area around each specified point shows the population by square kilometer. We determined the latitude and longitude for each facility by con- tacting the company directly, from regional planning groups, or from other studies completed for EPA. Table V-7 gives estimated population exposures to EDC from produc- tion facilities. The number of people exposed to concentrations of less than 0.1 ppb is underestimated because the dispersion modeling was not extrapolated beyond 30 km from any plant. The larger EDC producers are estimated to cause exposures of 0.01 to 0.1 ppb at distances beyond 30 km from their locations. 30 ------- Table V-7 ESTIMATED HUMAN POPULATION EXPOSURES TO ATMOSPHERIC EDO EMITTED BY PRODUCERS Annual Average Atmospheric EDC Number of People Concentration (ppb) Exposed ; 10.0 1,700 6.00 -10.00 3,300 3.00-5.99 28,000 1.00 - 2.99 280,000 0.60-0.99 400,000 0.30 - 0.59 1,500,000 0.10 - 0.29 4,300,000 0.060- 0.099 l,900,000a 0.030- 0.059 3,500,000a 0.010- 0.029 550,000a Total 12,500,000 aThese are underestimates because the dispersion modeling results were not extrapolated beyond 30 km from each EDC production facility. 31 ------- It is estimated that 12.5 million people are exposed to annual EDC concentrations greater than 0.01 ppb from EDC producers. Approximately 6.5 million of these are exposed to concentrations greater than 0.1 ppb. Comparison of Monitoring and Modeling Concentrations Monitoring data were available for three locations having EDC pro- duction plants (Calvert City, Lake Charles, and New Orleans). The moni- toring data for each location are given in Tables V-3 through V-5. As has been previously 'described, the monitoring data were recorded as 24-hr samples taken for 12-13 days at each plant in the period of August to October, 1978. Table V-8 averages these data for various distances from each plant and also presents the average concentrations over the three locations. The corresponding annual average dispersion modeling concentrations are also given in Table V-8. Therefore, when comparing the monitoring and modeling data, it is necessary to remember that the two are not expected to agree precisely since the monitoring data are site-specific and were recorded over a relatively short period of time while the modeling data are based on general assumptions and are intend- ed to represent annual average conditions. Thus, the degree to which the annual and average monitoring concentrations are comparable depends in part on the local meteorological conditions during sampling, the placement of the monitoring stations, plant production during monitor- ing, averaging times, and assumed source configurations. It is believed that the monitoring data typify the year's average conditions. Both monitoring and modeling data indicate that elevated concentra- tions of EDC occur at distances of at least 14 km from the plants. Com- parisons of the monitoring and modeling data at various distances from the plants show that: o The monitoring concentrations are approximately 20% higher than the modeling ones for distances of less than 1 km. o The modeling concentrations are 30-70% higher than those moni- tored for distances of 1-4 km. 32 ------- o For distances of 4-14 km, both monitoring and modeling results appear to be of about the same magnitude. Thus, there is sufficient agreement between the monitoring and mod- eling concentrations to conclude that the generalized modeling analysis gives a reasonable first-cut estimate of ambient EDC concentrations near production facilities allowing estimates of potential population expo- sures. 33 ------- Table V-8 COMPARISON OF EDC MONITORING AND MODELING ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATIONS (ppb) 3-Location Modeling Average8 13.5 9.1 6.5 4.3 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.4 aData are the average 24-hr concentrations over 10 to 13 days for monitoring and estimated annual averages for modeling. bThe EDC emissions have been estimated in Table V-2 as 72.9 g/s for B. F. Goodrich, Calvert City, KY; 70.2 g/s for Conoco,. Lake Charles, LA; and 119.5 g/s for Shell, New Orleans, LA. cIndicates that no monitoring data were collected. Monitoring Average Concentrations* Distance (km) 0.7-1.0 1.1-1.5 1.6-2.0 2.1-3.0 3.1-4.0 4.1-5.0 5.1-6.0 14.0 Calvert Cityb 2.0 c 1.0 2.1 0.9 c c c Lake Charlesb 36.7 6.0 7.0 1.1 c c c c New Orleansb 6.3 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 c 0.9 0.6 3-Location Average 15.0 3.7 3.1 1.3 0.6 c 0.9 0.6 34 ------- VI POPULATION EXPOSURES FROM PRODUCERS THAT USE EDC AS A FEEDSTOCK General In estimating human population exposures to atmospheric EDC from chemical production facilities that used EDC as a feedstock, products considered include VCM, 1,1,1-TCE (or methyl chloroform), TCE, PCE, EA, VDCM, and gasoline lead scavenger. Many of these chemicals are produced at the same facilities that produce the EDC feedstock. Exposure estimates are given for each product considered separately and also for all products combined. Sources of Emissions Table IV-2 lists producers that use EDG feedstock and their cpacities. The number of producers of each chemical that uses EDC as a feedstock is as follows: Chemical Producers Using EDC VCM 14 1,1,1-TCE 3 TCE 4 PCE 4 EA 3 VDCM 3 Lead scavenger 6 See Table IV-2. Table IV-4 indicates that, depending on the chemical, from 52 to 89% of the production capacity was used in 1977 for the preceding chemicals. 35 ------- Because actual production data for each chemical at each plant are unavailable, we have assumed that each operates at the percent of capac- ities shown in Table IV-4. Emissions The VCM production process is well controlled to limit emissions. These controls also reduce emissions from the EDO used as feedstock. It is estimated that the EDO emission factor for VCM is 0.025% of EDC input, the EDC emission factor for other processes that use EDC as a feedstock is estimated as 0.2% of the EDC input (Mascone, 1978). The estimated EDC emissions are given in Table VI-1. It is assumed that these emissions are of a low level fugitive type resulting from leaks in valves and other processing equipment and from storage-tank evaporation. Atmospheric Concentrations Because so few atmospheric monitoring data exist for the vicinities of production plants that use EDC as a feedstock, it has been necessary to use dispersion modeling to estimate neighborhood population exposures. (Dispersion modeling is described in Section V.) The O ' *' ' '. '— .""!*' dispersion estimates for a 0.01-km area source emitter (Table V-6) was used for assessing exposure. Exposure Estimates The EDC emissions given in Table VI-1 were used to scale the dispersion curve to estimate atmospheric EDC concentrations as a function of distance from each plant for each product. Concentrations were similarly estimated about each plant for emissions from all products. The tables showing annual average atmospheric EDC concentrations as a function of distance from each plant were used to determine the radii at which specified annual average concentrations (i.e., 1.0, 0.6, 0.3, 0.1, 0.06, 0.03, and 0.01 ppb) are attained. The population residing within the distances to the concentrations specified above was estimated by SRI's computer system, BESTPOP (Suta, 1978). We determined the latitudes and longitudes for each facility "by contacting the company directly, by using information from regional planning 36 ------- Table VI-1 ESTIMATED EDC ATMOSPHERIC EMISSIONS (g/s) FOR PLANTS THAT USE EDC AS A FEEDSTOCK Plant8 Borden Conoco Diamond Diamond Dow Dow Dow duPooC duPont Ethyl Ethyl Goodrich Houston 1C I America Nalco PPG PPG Shell Shell Stauffer Union Carbide Union Carbide Vulcan Location Geismar, LA Lake Charles, LA Deer Park, TX La Porte, TX Freeport, TX Oyater Creek, TX Plaquemine, LA Antioch, CA Deepwater, NJ Baton Rouge, LA Houston, TX Calvert City, KY Beaumont, TX Bacon Rouge, LA Freeport, TX Lake Charles, LA Guayanilla, PR Deer Park, TX Norco, LA Caraon, CA Taft, LA Texas City, TX Geismar, LA 1,1,1 VCM TCE 1.2 2.9 4.1 0.8 5.6 2.9 5.1 3.7 1.4 4.1 1.2 1.3 4.3 2.1 3.4 2.9 0.7 TCE 0.7 2.0 PCE 1.6 EA VDCM 2.7 2.3 2.3 0.6 0.5 2.7 1.9 1.5 Total 34.1 13.6 6.0 1.5 5.5 3.2 2.7 8.6 Lead Scavenger 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 " Total 1.2 2.9 2.3 13.4 2.9 8.8 3.4 1.1 3.6 1.1 4.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 11.7 2.1 3.4 2.9 0.7 3.2 2.7 1.5 6.1 5.6 79.5 "Blanks indicate the chemical ia not manufactured at the plant in question or that the plant has no EDC emissions. Source: SRI estimates. ------- groups, or from other studies completed for EPA. The population exposures to EDC for individual products that require EDC as a feedstock are given in Table VI-2. VCM production results in the largest number of exposures — about 1.3'raillion people — about half of all the exposures for products using EDC as a feedstock. Table VI-3 gives the total exposures from all EDC feedstock producers for all products. As shown in Table IV-2, many facilities produce several products requiring EDC. Thus, two alternative estimates of total exposures are given in Table VI-3: Alternative A combines all the emissions reported in Table VI-1 and then uses these combined emissions to estimate total exposures about each plant. Alternative B is a summation of the individual product exposures shown in Table VI-2. Because Alternative B counts some people twice (or more times), it results in an overestimate of total exposures; however, the exposure concentrations are lower than for Alternative A. 38 ------- Table VI-2 ESTIMATES OF POPULATION EXPOSURES TO ATMOSPHERIC EDC EMITTED BY PLANTS THAT USE EDC AS A FEEDSTOCK IN VARIOUS PRODUCTS u> Annual Average Atmospheric EDC Concentration (ppb) 0.600-0.999 0.300-0.599 , 0.100-0.299 0.060-0.099 0.030-0.059 0.010-0.029 Product VCM 1,300 360 30,000 42,000 260,000 940,000 1,1,1-TCE 1,700 16,000 83,000 170,000 TCE 390 10,000 47,000 140,000 PCE 80 SOO 17,000 250.000 EA 70 17,000 8,000 43,000 37.000 VDCM 270 3,400 34,000 90,000 Lead Scavenger 1,900 3,400 25,000 350,000 Total 1,300,000 260,000 200,000 270,000 110,000 130,000 380,000 ------- Table VI-3 ESTIMATES OF TOTAL POPULATION EXPOSURES TO ATMOSPHERIC EDC EMITTED BY PLANTS THAT USE EDC AS A FEEDSTOCK Annual Average Alternative A Alternative B Atmospheric EDC Sum of Sum of Concentration (ppb) Emissions3 Exposures^3 0.600-0.999 1,300 1,300 0.300-0.599 2,100 430 0.100-0.299 110,000 51,000 0.060-0.099 210,000 83.000 0.030-0.059 520,000 510,000 0.010-0.029 1,500.000 2,000,000 . Total 2,300,000 2,600,000 aExposures are based on the total feedstock emissions for each plant given in Table V-l. "Exposures'are"based on the sum of the exposures for each product given in Table V-2. ------- VII POPULATION EXPOSURES FROM EDO IN AUTOMOBILE GASOLINE General Leaded gasoline contains EDC as a lead scavenger, with the amount of EDC depending on lead content. Catalytic converters were first required for the 1975 model year. In that year, 100% of Ford and GM cars and 96% of Chrysler cars required unleaded gasoline. In 1976, approximately 20% of the gasoline sold in the United Satats was unleaded (Ethyl Corporation, 1976). The antiknock "motor mix" added to gasoline is a combination of ethylene dibromide (EDB), EDC, lead, and other alkyl groups. Quantities of EDC and EDB are used sufficient to supply two atoms of chlorine and one atom of bromine for each atom of lead. Major gasoline antiknock mixes (which are added in small quantities to leaded gasoline) typically contain 18.8% EDC by weight and 17.9% EDB by weight (SRI estimates). Whereas the current average lead content in all gasoline is 1.5 g/gal, leaded gasoline contains approximately 2.5 g/gal. According to EPA's phase-down schedule for lead, the average lead content for all gasoline is expected to be 0.5 g/gal by 1 October 1979 (Stolpman, personal communication, 1977). Because of the low lead content in unleaded gasoline (approximately 0.01 g/gal), EDC is not required and is not added. Therefore, our analysis of population exposures related to gasoline use considers only leaded gasoline. If we assume that gasoline contains 0.425 units of EDC per unit of lead (by weight), this results in an estimated 1.1 g of EDC per gallon of leaded gasoline, or 0.02% EDC by volume. We have used gallons rather than liters to represent gasoline volume since these are the units commonly used in the United States for gasoline sales. 41 ------- We evaluate nonoccupational population exposures to atmospheric emissions of EDC from leaded gasoline for three sources: o Exposures to people who refuel their automobiles at self-service stations o Exposures to people who reside in the vicinity of service stations o General urban population exposures from the evaporation of EDC from automobiles. Exposures from Self-Service Operations Sources of Emissions Service station types are characterized by the services they offer and their business operations; they include (1) full-service stations, (2) split-island stations, (3) self-service stations, and (4) convenience store operations. In full-service stations (1), attendants offer all services, including gasoline pumping and other mechanical check-ups. If fuel is obtained at any class of stations (2) through (4), the customers themselves may fill their tanks. In split-island stations (2), both self-service and full-service are offered. At stations (3) and (4), only self-service is available. While pumping gasoline, an individual is exposed to EDC released as vapor from the gasoline tank.. Although occupants in the car at both self-service and full-service operations are exposed to some EDC, the highest exposures are to the person pumping the gas. Because it is difficult to estimate level and length of exposure for car occupants, only those who pump gasoline from self-service pumps are considered Vapor recovery systems affixed to the gasoline nozzle can reduce exposure levels significantly if they are working properly and are operated correctly. Such systems are required for service stations in parts of California. 42 ------- here. (Note it is not within the scope of this report to evaluate occupational exposures.) Self-service sale of gasoline is a relatively new marketing method pioneered by independent operators in the West Coast and in the southern United States. Today, it accounts for 30% of gasoline sold. The national market share of the major gasoline producers has decreased recently as independents and others specializing in high-volume, low-margin sales capture a larger percentage. Of the approximately 184,000 conventional service stations with some self-service operations account for 39% (Arthur D. Little, 1977). Table VII-1 indicates the types of service stations offering self-service gasoline. Table VII-1 SELF-SERVICE OPERATIONS Outlets Offering Self-Service % of U.S. Total Total self-service 9 Split island with self-service 26 Convenience stores 4 Total outlets with self-service 39 Source: Arthur D. Little (1977) An Arthur D. Little report (1977) revealed that 71,300 outlets offer self-service gasoline. Gasoline sold at U.S. service stations for a the year ending May 30, 1977 equalled approximately 87.4 x 10 gal. 9 Of that amount, 27.0 x 10 gal (31%) is estimated to have been dispensed at self-service pumps. The market share of self-service stations was surveyed for four metropolitan Air Quality Control Regions (AQCR): Boston, Dallas, Denver, and Los Angeles. The market share held by self-service operations varied from 9% in Boston to 45% in Denver (see Table VII-2). Another study by Applied Urbanetics, Inc. (1976) surveyed Baltimore and Madison, Wisconsin. The results of that study 43 ------- Table VII-2 GASOLINE MARKET SHARE OF SELF-SERVICE STATIONS IN FOUR AQCRs SPRING 1977 Type of Operation Boston AQCR Full-service Self-service (total) Split island Self-service Convenience stores Number of Outlets 2,253 100 8 92 Sales Volume (106 gal/yr) 1,045.1 108.6 Market Sharing Percent 91.0 9.0 Dallas AQCR Full-service 2,094 Self-service (total) 1,124 Split island 480* Self-service 444 Convenience stores 200 924.6 593.8 61.0 39.0 Denver AQCR Ful1-service Self-service (total) Split island Self-service Convenience stores 621b 656 310a 226 120 292.1 235.7 55.0 45.0 Los Angeles AQCR Full-service 2,518 Self-service (total) 4,780 Split island 3,632a Self-service 1,022 Convenience stores 126 2,472.6 2,154.8 53.0 47.0 Split-island operations offering full service, and self-serve islands. these, 445 are split-island operations that offer full service and mini-serve (attnedant-operated) islands. Source: Arthur D. Little (1977). 44 ------- are shown in Table VII-3. It appears that self-service operations account for about 40% of the market in urban areas. Emissions To estimate the people exposed to EDO from service stations, several assumptions were necessary. The gasoline pumped.through Q self-service outlets is estimated at 27.0 x 10 gal/yr. The annual average fuel consumption per vehicle is 736 gal (DOT, 1974a). If it is assumed that on the average, a person who primarily uses self-service gasoline makes one trip per week to the gasoline station, an average fill-up amount of 14 gal is determined by dividing 736 gal/vehicle/yr by 52 wk/yr. By dividing the average fill-up into the self-service gallons pumped, we estimate trips per year to self-service operations at 1.9 x g 10 . When this number is divided by 52 trips per person per year, the people exposed to pumping self-service gasoline is estimated at 37 x 10 . We can further assume that only 80% of these people are pumping leaded gasoline containing EDO. Therefore, the people exposed from this source is estimated to be 30 x 10 . For this estimate of the population exposed, we assume that the individuals using self-service gasoline obtain all"ofthe'ir'gasoline at self-service stations. Atmospheric Concentrations A rough estimte of EDC exposures was made by extrapolating the results of the Battelle (1977) benzene monitoring. In that study, three samples of ambient air were taken in the breathing zone of persons filling their tanks at self-service gasoline stations. The results, shown in Table VI1-4, indicate a wide range in the benzene concentrations of the emissions. The variations seem to be related to the subject's position in relation to the tank opening and the wind direction. Because all measurements were taken on the same day and at approximately the same time, ambient temperature did not cause the variation. .Basically, if the subject was downwind of the tank opening, higher levels were recorded. 45 ------- Table VII-3 GASOLINE MARKET SHARE OF SELF-SERVICE STATIONS IN TWO METROPOLITAN AREAS, 1976 Type of Operation Baltimore SMSA ' Full-service Self-service (total) Split island Self-service Sales Volume gal/yr) 111.53 90.5 25.5 65.0 Market Sharing Percent 55.0 45.0 Madison SMSA Ful1-service Self-service (total) Split island Self-service 77.0 17.0 60.0 42.0 58.0 alncludes the sales from mini-serve (attendant-operated) stations and 50% of the sales from split islands. Source: Applied Urbanetics, Inc. (1976). 46 ------- Table VII-4 SAMPLING DATA FROM SELF-SERVICE GASOLINE PUMPING Customer 1 2 3 Sampling Rate (mL/min) 31 31 31 Nozzle Time (min) 2.5 1.1 1.6 Gallons Pumped 14 8 9 Sample Volume (L) 78 34 50 Benzene Level g/m3 115 324 1,740 ppb r, i i 43 121 647 Source: Battelle (1977). No EDC monitoring data obtained in the vicinity of gasoline stations are available, therefore, by determining the evaporation rate of EDC with respect to benzene, benzene monitoring data can be used to provide a rough estimate of EDC exposures. It is known that the evaporation rate is proportional to the vapor pressure, solubility, and the square root of the molecular weight. Thus, the following equation can be used to estimate the EDC emission factor (or emission rate) related to evaporation: E P S./m~ a e . e e e (7>1) PbV where the subscript e refers to EDC and the subscript b refers to benzene; E is the emission rate (or emission factor); P is the vapor pressure; S is the solubility; and m is the molecular weight. For an estimation, (s) (\TBT) may be approximated by Xj the molar fraction or concentration, thus, Equation (7.1) can be written as follows: 47 ------- E P a 6 (7.2) Eb pb *b The Battelle benzene monitoring data were taken when the temperatures was about 20°C. Because the vapor pressures for EDC (70 mm) and benzene (80 mm) at 20°C are known, and the volume concentrations of EDC (0.02%) and benzene (2.0%) in gasoline are also available, the emission factor (or emission rate) of EDC can be estimated by the following equations: 70 0.02 Ee = 80 x-2To-Eb <7'3> Eg = 0.009 Eb . (7.4) This factor can be used to scale benzene atmospheric concentrations ( g/m ) to corresponding EDC concentrations becuse it is assumed that atmospheric concentrations are proportional, the corresponding EDC exposures were estimated, based on these data and are given in Table VII-5. . Table VII-5 ESTIMATES OF EDC EXPOSURES FROM SELF-SERVICE GASOLINE PUMPING Nozzle Gallons Estimated EDC Level Customer Time (min) Pumped g/m^ppb 1 2.5 14 1.04 0.27 2 1.1. 8 2.91 0.71 3 1.6 9 15.66 3.83 Average nozzle time = 1.7 min Time weighted average exposure = 1.45 ppb Source: SRI estimates based on Battelle monitoring data (1977). the conversion is based on Equation (7l4). 48 ------- Exposure Estimates The estimated exposure levels are based on the information con- tained in Table VII-5. It is recognized that these data are limited and highly variable. However, they do allow a reasonable estimate of ex- pected exposure levels from self-service gasoline pumping. In states where vapor recovery systems are used, the estimated exposure level may be much lower. Approximately 30 x 10 persons use self-service sta- tions. While filling their tanks once a week, they are exposed to an estimated EDG level of 1.5 ppb for 2.5 min (time required to pump 14 gal). Their annual exposure is estimated at 2.2 hr. This equates to an annual averge time-weighted exposure of 0.0004 ppb. Exposures in the Vicinity of Service Stations Sources of Emissions People residing in the vicinity of service stations, may be exposed to EDC from the evaporation of gasoline pumped by attendants and cus- tomers, and from gasoline loaded by distribution trucks. These expo- sures are in addition to those assessed previously for persons using self-service gasoline stations. The amount of EDC emitted depends on the ambient temperature, vapor recovery controls, the EDC content in gasoline, and the volume of leaded gasoline pumped. Approximately 80% of the gasoline currently sold is leaded. With approximately 184,000 service stations in the United States, it is expected that many people are exposed to EDC from those sources. Because most service stations are located in urban areas and because their location is expected to be highly correlated with urban population density, only urban areas are considered in this analysis. Emissions An EDB emission factor of 0.00157 g of EDB per gram of lead per gallon from refueling losses has been estimated, based on testing at EPA's Mobile Source Air Pollution Control Laboratory in Ann Arbor, Michigan (Kittredge, 1977). The factor considers spilling, vapor dis- placement, entrained liquid gasoline losses, and volume of gasoline pumped. Assuming an average lead content in gasoline of 2.5 g/gal, the 49 ------- estimated emission factor for EDB is 0.00039 g/gal. The EDB emission factor can be used to estimate the EDC emission factor through the use of Equation (7.2) (and by substitution of EDB factors for benzene fac- tors in the equation). We have assumed that the EDB vapor pressure is 12 mm at 25°C and that it constitutes 0.05% of the gasoline (by vol- ume). Hence, we estimate that the EDC emission factor for automotive refueling, losses (E ) is: e 80 0 02 E = 7^ x ^f x 0.00039 = 0.001 g/gal. (7.5) e 12 0.05 ° The number of service stations in urban areas can be estimated, based on urban service station density and total U.S. urban population. Service station density in urban areas can be extrapolated from the data presented in Table VII-6. The service station density shown for four metropolitan AQCRs varies, with no regional pattern evident. Based on these data, we estimate an average of 0.7 service stations per 1,000 population. This number can be applied generally to urban areas * throughout the United States. Urbanized areas provide the best popu- lation base. The 1970 population residing in urbanized areas was 118,447,000 (Bureau of the Census, 1975). Thus, service stations in urbanized areas are estimated at 83,000, or 45% of all stations. An emission rate can be estimated by employing the following assumptions: (1) 70.0 x 10? gal of leaded gasoline are sold annually by service stations. (2) The average number of gallons pumped per service station is 3.8 x 105 gal. (The United States has approximately 184,000 service stations.) Defined by the Bureau of Census as the central city or cities and surrounding closely settled territories. All sparsely settled areas in large incorporated cities are excluded by this definition. Densely populated suburban areas, however, are included (U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1972 County and City Data Book). 50 ------- Table VII-6 SERVICE STATION DENSITY IN FOUR METROPOLITAN AQCRs Number ofa AQCRb Service Service Stations Population Stations0 per AQCR (1977) (1975) 1.000 Population Boston 2,353 4,039,800 0.6 Dallas 3,218 2,970,900 1.1 Denver 1,277 1,389,000 0.9 Los Angeles 7,298 14,072,400 0.5 Sources: aA. D. Little (1977). ^Bureau of Economic Analysis (1973) CSRI estimates. 51 ------- (3) All service stations have uniform pumping volumes. (4) The EDC emission rate for a service station is: (Vol. of gasoline pumped)(emission factor) = emission rate; that is, (3.80 x 105 gal/yr)(0.001 g/gal) = 380 g/yr = 1.2 x 10~5 g/s. Atmospheric Concentrations Dispersion modeling of benzene emissions from gasoline service stations (Youngblood, 1977) employed the Single Source (CRSTER) Model (DSEPA, 1977). Meteorological data for Denver, Colorado were used to represent a reasonable worst-case location. EDC emissions from gasoline service stations are thought to be from sources similar to those for benzene. The dispersion modeling assumed that the sources of emissions i are dispersed over a 50 sq ft area. -The benzene concentrations of the previous study were modified to reflect EDC emissions by first multiplying.the benzene concentrations (ppb) by 3.2 to convert them to 3 3 /Ag/m and then by multiplying the /Jg/m by 0.244 to convert to ppb of EDC. Table VII-7 presents the results of the benzene modeling modified for EDC; an EDC emission of 0.01 g/s is assumed. Two conditions are given: (1) the 8-hr worst-case concentrations for a service "station that operates only during daytime, and (2) the annual average concentrations for a service station that operates 24 hr/day. Exposure Estimates Population exposures to EDC emissions from gasoline service stations have been estimated by assuming that the population in 2 urbanized areas is uniformly distributed with a density of 1,318/km (based on the 1970 census). We have also assumed that no one resides within 50 m of a gasoline service station. To calculate atmospheric concentrations as a function of distance, the annual average dispersion modeling data in Table VII-7 were-sealed by the estimated EDC emissions 52 ------- Table VII-7 ROUGH DISPERSION MODELING RESULTS FOR EDC EMISSIONS FOR GASOLINE SERVICE STATIONS3 Distance (m) 8^hr Worst Case (ppb)b Annual Average (ppb)c 50 12 1.0 100 6 0.5 150 3 0.3 200 2 0.2 300 1 0.1 aAssumes an EDC emission of 0.01 g/s during operation. ^Assumes continuous operation from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m., 6 days per week. cAssumes continuous operation 24 hr per day, 7 days per week. Source: Modified from Youngblood (1977) by adjusting ppb of benzene to ppb of EDC. 53 ------- (ratio of estimated emissions to emissions on which the dispersion curve is based); Two cases were considered: (1) the 83,000 urban service stations were distributed by assuming that no two are closer than 300 m to each other and that no people reside closer than 50 m, and (2) the urban service stations were geographically distributed so that three are always located in close proximity. Thus, for the 27,633 triplets we have assumed that no people reside closer than 100 m. The EDO emission rate for the single service station case is taken as 1.2 x 10 g/s and for triplet service station case as 3.6 x 10 g/s. The actual geographic distribution of urban service stations is assumed to be somewhere in between these two cases; therefore, the exposures estimated for these two cases are expected to bound actual exposures. Because of the population exclusion radii (50 and 100 m) and assumed emissions, no exposures are estimated to occur for EDO annual average concentrations greater than 0.03 ppb. In some cases, people may reside closer to service stations than these exclusion radii permit. In these cases, some would be exposed to atmospheric concentrations in excess of 0.03 ppb. It is estimated that 600,000 people are exposed in the single service station case and that 1.4 million are exposed in the triplet service station case. All of these exposures are estimated to be in the 0.01 to 0.03 ppb annual average concentration range. These estimates, which are only rough approximations, are based on assumptions of uniform distribution of service stations in urbanized areas, uniform pumping volumes, average populaton density, and on dispersion modeling. In reality, more service stations are located in commercial areas than in residential areas, and pumping volumes vary substantially. Urban Exposures Related to Automobile Emissions Sources of Emissions Urban exposures to EDO come from many sources, including gasoline evaporation, gasoline service stations, losses through transportation and storage of gasoline, and emissions from production facilities. Most 54 ------- of these sources have been treated as point sources and their emissions are evaluated elsewhere in this report. This section presents analysis of exposures due to emissions of EDC from automobiles. Emissions . As previously discussed, the EDC content in leaded gasoline averages 0.02% by volume, and leaded gasoline accounts for 80% of all gasoline sold. Tests by EPA's Mobile Source Air Pollution Control Laboratory in Ann Arbor, Michigan, have indicated that EDB is destroyed in the combustion process (Kittredge, personal communications, 1977), and it has been calculated that EDC is similarly destroyed (Mabey, 1978). However, evaporation from the carburetor and from the fuel tank does occur. We have been unable to locate data on EDC emissions from this type of evaporation; however, data are available for tests measuring EDB (Table VII-8). Table VII-8 AUTOMOTIVE EDB EMISSION FACTORS (G/G OF LEAD PER GALLON OF GASOLINE) Vehicle Type Low High Uncontrolled vehicle (pre-1972) 0.00144 0.00362 Pre-1978 controlled vehicle 0.00098 0.00250 Post-1978 controlled vehicle 0.00033 0.00085 Source: Kittredge, 1977 The average EDB emission factor for uncontrolled vehicles, based on Table VII-8, is 0.00253 g of EDB per gram of lead per gallon. Assuming 2.5 g of lead per gallon of leaded gasoline, the estimated EDB emission factor is 0.0063 g of EDB per gallon. The EDB emission factor can be used to estimate the EDC emission factor through the use of Equation (7.2). By substitution in this equation, the EDC emission factor (E ) for uncontrolled automobile evaporation becomes: 55 ------- on n no Ee = ll X irof X 0'0063 = °-017 8 of E°C/Sal (7.6) This factor will provide a slightly high estimate of ambient EDO levels because it assumes all automobiles using leaded gasoline have emissions comparable to pre-1972 models. In fact, the 1975 model year was the first in which automobiles were required to run on unleaded gasoline, but controls to reduce :oarburetor evaporation were introduced in the 1972 model year. Dispersion Modeling The Hanna-Gifford area-wide dispersion model (Gifford and Hanna, 1973) as applied by Schewe (1977) for benzene is used for this analysis and modified for EDC. Mara and Lee (1978) contains a discussion of this model and its application to benzene. Because EDC is destroyed during combustion (Mabey, 1978), only evaporation is considered. The modified equation to estimate the emission rate for EDC is as follows: Q = (0.017 g/gal) I atmual travel -"lies /vehicle \ evap ° \ average miles/gal / (vehicles registered) - (7.7) If 12,000 mi/yr for each vehicle and 12 mi/gal are assumed (DOT, 1974b), the above equation becomes Qevap - (5.4 x ID'7 g/s) x ( vehiclesj^istered J (?>8) To calculate the annual average areawide EDC concentration, the following equation is used: 225 Q = _ evaP (7.9) 56 ------- where u is wind speed (m/s) and )r is the atmospheric concentration in 3 g/m . The average annual wind speed, u, in the area.of study was obtained from AP101 (EPA, 1972). Because wind speed (and thus dispersion) increases in the afternoon, the morning values were used to estimate higher concentrations, the number 225 is an empirical factor derived from several studies that give very good results for long-term averages for low-level emission sources (Gifford and Harm a, 1973). Estimates of Exposures Cities whose vehicular densities are higher should have the higher EDC concentration from automobile evaporation. Because 916 cities in the United States have populations greater than 25,000, we used a statistical sampling approach to evaluate EDC exposures. Table VII-9 shows the distribution of cities by size. Because of the expected higher EDC concentratons in the larger cities, it was decided to evaluate the exposures for the 26 cities with populations greater than 500,000 and to do a fractional sample of the cities in the smaller groups. However, because vehicle registration data were unavailable for Boston and New Orleans, only 24 of the largest 26 cities were evaluated. Of the cities in the 250,000-500,000 size range, 25% were Table VII-9 DISTRIBUTION OF CITIES BY 1970 POPULATION Number of Combined Population Size Cities Population 1,000,000 6 18,769,000 500,000-1,000,000 20 12,967,000 250,000- 500,000 30 10,442,000 100,000- 250,000 100 14,286,000 50,000- 100,000 240 16,724,000 25,000- 50,000 520 17,848,000 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstracts of the United States-1974. 57 ------- sampled, as were 15% of the cities in the 100,000 to 250,000 size range. No EDC exposures greater than 0.01 ppb were estimated for cities with population less than 100,000. Exposures were estimated for people within the sample, and these sampling results were then projected to all cities, based on the ratio of total population to sample population. Table VII-10 sets forth the exposure estimates for the cities , sampled. No exposures were found to exceed 0.03 ppb. Table VII-11 gives the calculations used to project the sampling data to the total population. Based on this projection we estimate that approximately 13 million people are exposed to annual average EDC concentrations of 0.01 to 0.03 ppb from the evaporation of gasoline from automobiles. Summary of Urban Exposures from Automobile Gasoline Exposures to EDC from leaded gasoline have been estimated for people refueling their automobiles at self-service stations, for those residing near service stations, and for those exposed to EDC evaporation from automobiles. We estimate that approximately 30 million people are exposed to an EDC concentraton of 1.5 ppb for 2.2 hr/yr while refueling their automobiles. Approximately 600,000 to 1,400,000 (average of 1 million) people residing near gasoline service stations are exposed to annual average EDC concentrations of 0.01 to 0.03 ppb from refueling losses. Another 13 million people are exposed to annual average EDC concentrations of 0.01 to 0.03 ppb from automobile evaporation. 58 ------- Table VII-10 Rank Name 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 32 37 42 47 52 57 62 72 82 87 92 97 112 117 122 127 132 137 142 151 157 162 New York, NY Chicago, IL Los Angeles, CA Philadelphia, PA Detroit, MI Houston, TX Baltimore, MD Dallas, TX Washington, DC Cleveland, OH Indianapolis, IN Milwaukee, WI San Francisco, CA San Diego, CA San Antonio, TX Memphis, TO St. Louis, MO Phoenix, AZ Columbus, OH Seattle, WA Jacksonville, FL Pittsburgh, PA Denver, CO Kansas City, KA Atlanta, GA Minneapolis, MN Oklahoma City, OK Miami, FL Norfolk, VA Akron, OH Richmond, VA Corpus Chriati, TX Ft. Wayne, IN Fresno, CA Santa Ana, CA Lubbock, TX Riverside, CA Peoria, IL Macon, GA Savannah, GA Columbia, SC Alexandria, VA Al lent own, PA Hollywood, FL Duluth, MN Pueblo, CO Sunnyvale, CA ESTIMATED U.S. CITY EXPOSURES TO EDO FROM THE EVAPORATION OF AUTOMOBILE GASOLINE Qevapc (10-10 g/8-02) Population8 (1,000) Automobiles'5 (1,000) Wind Speed (m/s) 7,895 3,363 2,816 1,949 1,511 1,232 906 844 757 751 746 717 716 697 654 624 622 582 539 531 529 520 515 507 497 434 367 335 308 275 250 204 178 166 157 149 140 127 122 118 114 111 110 107 101 97 95 1,707 1,476 1,515 954 796 692 412 741 391 392 237 328 367 388 333 306 295 357 334 273 355 252 331 264 354 237 238 221 144 153 132 102 112 86 98 80 73 66 72 63 63 57 58 82 45 50 55 .11.9 13.8 6.8 15.5 12.0 3.3 11.0 5.8 13.3 10.8 1.9 7.2 16.9 2.6 3.8 2.9 10.1 3.0 5.2 6.8 1.0 9.5 7.3 1.7 5.6 9.0 0.8 13.4 5.7 5.9 4.6 2.1 4.5 4.3 7.6 2.2 2.1 3.7 3.1 4.9 1.2 8.1 6.8 6.8 1.4 4.6 5.4 7 5 3 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3 6 5 6 4 5 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 6 6 7 6 5' 6 5 3 3 6 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 6 4 3 Concentration (ppb) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 a 1970 census city population. b Registered automobiles by SMSA as given in DOT (1974b) have been assigned to cities, based on the ratio of city population to SMSA population. c See Equation (7.8). 59 ------- Table VII-11 CALCULATIONS OF NATIONAL EXPOSURES* TO EDC FROM AUTOMOBILE EVAPORATION Projected Fraction Sampled Population Total U.S. Population Exposed to Exposures. City Population Population Sampled 0.01 ppb 0.01 ppb 1,000,000 18,769,000 18,769,000 0.43 8,130,000 500,000-1,000,000 12,967,000 11,733,000 0.19 2,460,000 250,000- 500,000 10,442,000 2,670,000 0.13 1,310,000 100,000- 250,000 14,286,000 1,892,000 0.08 1,140,000 Total 13,040,000 *A11 exposures are in the 0.01'to 0.03 ppb range. 60 ------- VIII OTHER ATMOSPHERIC EXPOSURE ROUTES General Environmental exposures to EDO may occur through any of its dispersive uses, including grain fumigants, paints, coating, adhesives, cleaning, and the prepartion of polysulfide compounds. Additional environmental exposures may occur from spills and venting during transportation and from evaporation at waste disposal operations. Few data are available on the amount of EDO used or lost to the environment from these potential exposure routes; consequently, only qualitative descriptions of exposures can be given. Dispersive Uses Auerback Associates, Incorporated (1978) estimated consumption of EDO for minor uses in 1977 at about 5,000 mt. Of this total, about 28% (1,400 mt) was used in the manufacture of paints, coatings, and adhesives. Extracting oil from seeds, treating animal fats, and processing pharmaceutical products required 23% of the total (1,150 mt). An additional 19% (950 mt) was consumed cleaning textile products and PVC manufacturing equipment. Nearly 11% (550 mt) was used in the preparation of polysulfide compounds. Grain fumigation required about 10% (500 mt). The remaining 9% (450 mt) was used as a carrier for amines in leaching copper ores, in the manufacture of color film, as a diluent for pesticides and herbicides, and for other miscellaneous purposes. It is generally assumed that all of this material is eventually released to the atmosphere (Drury and Hammons, 1978). Atmospheric exposures to EDC from th.ese dispersive uses occur as point source losses from the industrial sites where these products are manufactured and from the use of end products. 61 ------- Atmospheric dispersion modeling was used to provide crude estimates of magnitude of exposures that might be attained from the manufacture of these other products. Use of the dispersion modeling has shown that a plant would have to use more than 90 mt/yr of EDC to have concentrations in excess of 0.01 ppb at the assumed plant boundary 0.5 km from the plant center. A plant that uses 1,000 mt/yr of EDC would have concentrations of 0.1 ppb at the plant boundary (0.5 km) and 0.01 ppb at 2.5 km from the emissions. Production data are not available for these dispersive uses. Since a total of 5,000 mt/yr are involved in all dispersive uses, it is highly unlikely that any one production plant would use as much as 1,000 mt/yr of EDC. Based on these preliminary calculations, it appears that the EDC exposures to people residing near these other manufacturing plants are minimal. Nonoccupational exposures from end product use would occur primarily from the use of paints, coatings, adhesives, and solvents, and to people who inadvertently enter fumigated areas. All of these exposures would, be intermittent and are extremely difficult to estimate. Transportation EDC may be emitted to the atmosphere during transportation from inadvertent spills and from venting. The amount of EDC transported each year is not well known because companies transport the chemical between their plants as well as to other companies or to places for export to other countries. We estimate that at least 672,000 mt of EDC were transported during 1977 (approximately 13% of production). This includes 5,000 mt required for minor dispersive uses, 177,000 rat for exportation, and an estimated 490,000 mt transported within the United t States for use in the major products shown in Table IV-2. The estimated For the modeling, it has been assumed that EDC emissions are 1% of input and that the emissions occur over a 0.01 km^ area (see Table V-6). 62 ------- 490,000 me transported for major product use was obtained as the sum of shortages between EDC production and EDC required at individual plants. We assumed that each plants' production, for each product, was at the total capacities given in Table IV-2 times the percent capacities used during 1977 (Table IV-4). However, a chemical plant is flexible in regard to the products it actually makes, and this factor could result in considerably more EDC actually being transported than estimated. The major transportation emissions would probably result from venting and spillage during loading and unloading transportation containers. Thus, these emissions would occur at the processing plants and would add to the EDC emissions from other plant activities. Other emissions could result from venting while in transport and from accidental rupture of a container. No data are available on EDC emissions during loading and unloading; however, Mara and Lee (1978) give uncontrolled emission factors for the transfer of benzene (Table VIII-1) by inland barge, tank truck, and rail car. The benzene emission factors can be adjusted to rough order EDC emission factors by adjusting for the differences in vapor pressure through the use of Equation (7.2). This adjustment gives an uncontrolled EDC emission factor of approximately 10 g/gal or 0.18% by weight. This must be regarded as an upper limit because some of the Table VIII-1 SUMMARY OF UNCONTROLLED EMISSION FACTORS FOR THE TRANSFER OF BENZENE Benzene Emission Operation Factor (g/gal) Inland barge 0.76 Tank truck 1.8 Rail car . 1.8 Average 1.45 Source: Compiled by Mara and Lee (1978) 63 ------- transfer areas have controls. If we assume that 672,000 mt of EDC are transported each year, that emissions might occur during loading and unloading, and that the emission factor is less than 0.18%, an extreme upper emission estimate of 2,400 mt/yr results. Waste Disposal EDC wastes may be generated in any process in which the chemical is involved. The largest quantities of EDC wastes occur during the synthesis of the compound and in the production of VCM, processes that involve all of the EDC production and most of its consumption. The treatment of wastes is of concern in estimating atmospheric emissions because of EDC's moderately high volatility (see Section III). Liquid wastes result from scrubbing vented gases or crude EDC with water or caustic solutions. The treatment of these wastes varies from plant to plant, but usually this wastewater is used for pH control in other processing areas or is sent off site for final processing (EPA, 1974). Solid wastes are usually disposed of by burial in a landfill or by incineration (Patterson, 1975). Solid wastes also occur in EDC manufacturing plants that use fluidized bed, rather than fixed bed, reactors (EPA, 1974). These solid wastes are periodically removed from the rejected water settling ponds and transported to landfills. Monsanto Research Corporation (1975) has estimated EDC emission factors emitted to solid waste and water for EDC formulation. We have used Monsanto's conclusions, shown in Table VIII-2, to estimate that during 1977, 10,600 mt were discharged to solid wastes and that 18,500 mt were discharged to water. Additional solid waste and water discharges occur as a result of production of chemicals that used EDC as a feedstock. 64 ------- Table VHI-2 ESTIMATED 1977 EDO EMISSIONS AS SOLID WASTE AND TO WATER FROM EDC PRODUCTION Solid Waste' Water Emission Factor3 (kg/mt) Direct chlorination 1.5 2.9 Oxychlorination 2.8 4.6 Emissionsb (1,000 mt/yr) Direct chlorination 4.5 8.5 Oxychlorination 6.1 10.0 Total Emissions 10.6 18.5 aBased on Monsanto (1975). bAssumes 58% direct chlorination and 42% Oxychlorination (Patterson, 1976) and an EDC production of 5,194,000 mt/yr. Estimating atmospheric exposures from the solid waste and water EDC emissions would require: (1) An estimate of the rate of return to the atmosphere (2) Identification of the contaminated sites, the amount deposited at each site, and the site's location in respect to population (3) A method for transforming emission estimates to estimates of atmospheric exposure. Currently, the data available on items (1) and (2) are insufficient for estimating exposures. Table II-2 indicates that an estimated 52,000 mt of EDC is emitted directly to the atmosphere annually from sources other than transportation and waste disposal. If all the EDC solid waste and water emissons evaporate to the atmosphere, an additional 29,100 mt/yr of atmospheric emissions would result. This estimate, however, is uncertain since the rate of evaporation from landfills and water emissions cannot be adequately assessed. 65 ------- BIBLIOGRAPHY Altshuller, A. P., "Lifetime of Organic Molecules in the Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere," Environ. Sci. Tech. (to be published). Applied Urbanetics, Inc., "Market Share Study," FEA Contract No. CO-06-60435 (1976). Arthur D. Little, Inc., "Self-Serve Market Shares in Four Metropolitan Areas," memo to Richard J. Johnson, EPA, from E. Quakenbush and P. E. Mawn (June 1977). 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