SEPA
         United States
         Environmental Protection
         Agency
          Industrial Environmental Research
          Laboratory
          Research Triangle Park NC 2771 1
EPA 600 7-80-036
February 1980
Investigation of
IMO2/NOx Ratios in
Point Source Plumes

Interagency
Energy/Environment
R&D Program Report


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                                        EPA-600/7-80-036

                                             February 1980
Investigation of  IMO2/NOX Ratios
        in Point Source  Plumes
                          by

                  J.P. Blanks, E.P. Hamilton III,
                 B.R. Eppright, and N.A. Nielsen

                    Radian Corporation
                      P.O. Box 9948
                    Austin, Texas 78766
                   Contract No. 68-02-2608
                       Task No. 63
                  Program Element No. INE624
               EPA Project Officer: J. David Mobley

             Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
          Office of Environmental Engineering and Technology
                Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
                       Prepared for

            U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
               Office of Research and Development
                    Washington, DC 20460

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                                 ABSTRACT
     The report gives results of a study to relate ground level NO2 concen-
trations to NOx emissions (N02/N0x ratio) in plumes from six large power
plants in the Chicago area, using a photostationary state reactive Gaussian
plume model. The aim of the study was to assess the level of NOx control
required to meet a probable short-term N02 national ambient air quality
standard (NAAQS). The major uncertainty of an earlier study (EPA-600/7-78-212)
was its assumption of uniform, fixed N02/N0x ratios of 0.5 (summer) and 0.25
(winter). The reactive model used in this study predicted significantly
higher N02/N0x ratios at the point of maximum plume impact (0.93 for worst
case) with high ambient ozone levels (0.2 ppm).  Average N02/N0x ratios for
all high ozone cases studied were 0.76-0.9.  The reactive model predicts sig-
nificantly higher ground level NOx impacts from the six plants. These results
indicate that the threshold short-term N02 NAAQS level requiring NOx flue
gas treatment technology could increase by 40%.  The previous study indicated
that most of the six plants could meet a 500 microgram/cu m short-term N02
standard using NOx combustion modification techniques (50% NOx control) ; this
study indicates NOx flue gas treatment technology (90% control) may be re-
quired on these plants to meet a 750 microgram/cu m standard,  and most
certainly for 500 micrograms/cu m.
                                     ii

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                        EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY
           The 1977 Amendments  to  the Clean Air Act required the
 Environmental Protection Agency  (EPA)  to establish a short-term
 National Ambient Air Quality Standard for N02 or to show that
 such a standard is unnecessary.   If a short term N02 ambient
 standard is established, it is uncertain what level of NO  emis-
 sion controls would be required from stationary combustion
 sources to attain and/or maintain compliance with the ambient
 standard.   EPA s Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
 at" R AC t* *a*-r»>» T*-**^ Avu -.1 — n	i_ i___    .          .....      .       J
           In the previous study,  the major uncertainty was the
 extent of conversion of NO  emissions  (which are primarily NO)
 f°   22xTAt/i«ound level-  The assumption was made of uniform,
 fixed N02/NOX ratios of 0.5 for summer and 0.25 for winter.  In
 the  tollow-on study, a reactive Gaussian  plume model using the
 photostationary state approach was developed and used to deter-
 mine the  relationship of ground level N02  to NO  emissions in
 fi!^HS^r°\S1X large power plants in the Chicago AQCR.  It was
 aSSJ f?e    7? assumptions of uniform N02/N0x ratios were not
 M£££ in /S?lxcab?-e to la*8e scale P«>blein8.x Significantly
 higher N02/N0x ratios at the point of maximum plume impact can
 wSJ* m%*$l"mt "^conditions.  Plume NO./NO^ ratios as
 high as 0.93 were found for the summer AM case (6 stability
 5 m/sec wind speed - worst case in previous study) with hieh
 ambient ozone levels.  Average N02/NOX ratios for all high ozone
 ?£?Vt?dicd«an8?d froml°-76 to 0.9?  Ozone is the most impor"-
 X2   *??   *  aff?c5inS N02/NOX ratios.  Other factors influencing
 the  ratio are wind speed and stability class.           iJ-uencing

 TQQC      -.If th,e ,hiSher summer AM ratios were applied to the
 1985  results of the previous study, significantly higher maxi-
S^tfSOUn£hleVeliN°2 ^Pacts from^the ^x  Plantsywou!d be p?e-
 dicted.   These plant impacts are as follows:

             Maximum Ground Level N02  Impact Due to Plant
                              (Vtg/m3)
                                           Previous    Reactive
                                             Study       Model
    Bailly (Northern Indiana Public Service)       754        1357
    Will County (Commonwealth Edison)              710        1Q78
    Waukegan (Commonwealth Edison)                524         922
    Joliet (Commonwealth Edison)                  993        1497
    Fisk (Commonwealth Edison)                   379         £52
    Bethlehem Steel                            1182        U82
                               iii

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          The new results indicate that,  for these conditions,
the threshold short-term N02 standard level where N0x flue gas
treatment becomes necessary could increase by at least 40 per-
cent.  For the above plants, the previous study indicated that
most'could meet a 500 yg/m3 short-term N02 standard with com-
bustion modification techniques for NOX control (50 percent NOX
reduction).   The reactive study indicates that combustion modi-
fication may be insufficient to meet a 750 yg/m3 standard and
that NO  flue gas treatment technology (90 percent NOX control)
would almost certainly be required on these units to meet a
500 yg/m3 standard.  Cases of interaction of several power
plant plumes were also studied with similar results and conclu-
sions   Thus, it appears that a short-term N02 ambient air
quality standard could require stringent N0x controls on new
and existing stationary combustion sources.
                              iv

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                          TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                         Page
 EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY	  .
 CONTENTS		-		  v
 FIGURES		_	__ vii
 TABLES				_	
1.0   INTRODUCTION	  i
2.0   CONCLUSIONS		  3
3.0   RECOMMENDATIONS	  9
4.0   TECHNICAL DISCUSSION	 u
      4.1  An Adapted Gaussian Model	n
      4.2  The Reactive Gaussian Model	H
          4.2.1  Background	H
          4.2.2  Application of NO	14
          4.2.3  The Equilibrium Hypothesis	16
      4.3  Reactive Model Results	19
          4.3.1  Interactions Between NO, N02, 03 In a
                 Plume	19
          4.3.2  Power Plant Reactive Plume Modeling	23
                 4.3.2.1  Meteorology	24
                 4.3.2.2  Power Plants	25
          4.3.3  Model Results—Individual Plants	26
          4.3.4  Model Results — Interaction Case	30

REFERENCES			34
APPENDICES
     A.  SELECTED CONVERSION FACTORS	'	35
     B.  SUMMARY OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS  FOR CASE
         DAYS STUDIED		-		37

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TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued)
                                                           Page
     C.   PREDICTED 1975 NO  AND NO  LEVELS FOR SIX
          CHICAGO AREA POWER PLANTS - PREVIOUS
          STUDY (NON-REACTIVE PLUME MODEL)	  42
     D.   PREDICTED NO  AND NO  CONCENTRATIONS FOR
          SIX CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS--REACTIVE
          PLUME MODEL			  49
     E.   PREDICTED NO  CONCENTRATION FOR INTERACTION
          OF EIGHT CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS--REACTIVE
          PLUME MODEL		—		  56
                             VI

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                        LIST OF FIGURES

Number                                                     Page

  1    PROCEDURE FOR COMPUTING SHORT-TERM CONCENTRA-
       TIONS OF NO, N02, AND 03			18

  2    SPECIES CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02,  AND 03 VERSUS
       N0x CONCENTRATIONS		—		20

  3    TYPICAL SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02,  AND
       03 DOWNWIND FROM STACK	21

  4    TYPICAL SPECIES CONCENTRATIONS ACROSS WIDTH OF
       PLUME			22

  5    POWER PLANTS IN CHICAGO AQCR--	27

  6    NO 2 CONCENTRATIONS AND N02/NO  RATIO FOR AN
       EXAMPLE INTERACTION CASE				32
                              vii

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                        LIST OF TABLES
Number                                                     Page
  1    OVERALL PLUME N02/NOV RATIOS AT POINT OF PEAK
                           X


       CONCENTRATION OBTAINED FROM REACTIVE MODEL -



       HIGH OZONE CASE--		
  2    EFFECT OF NEW N02/NOV RATIOS ON RESULTS OF
                           X


       PREVIOUS STUDY - SUMMER A.M.,  COINCIDENT



       HIGH OZONE CASE		
  3    1975 ESTIMATED NO  FROM SIX POWER PLANTS
                        x
       STUDIED (NOX AS N02)	  28





       MODEL RESULTS FOR WILL COUNTY PLANT	  29
                              viii

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 1.0        INTRODUCTION

           Nitrogen oxides react with numerous chemical pollutants
 in the atmosphere.  Consequently, simulation of NOX reactions is
 an important and complicated problem.  The most important reactions
 im most photochemical situations concern NO, N02, 03, and hydro-
 carbons in the presence of sunlight.  Sunlight causes N02 to break
 down to an NO molecule and an oxygen atom.  This oxygen atom
 combines with an 02 molecule to form ozone, which then combines
 with NO to form N02 and 02.  Thus, oxygen atoms tend to "trade
 off" between NO and 02.

           The process becomes much more complicated when hydro-
 carbons are considered.  The mechanism here seems to be that HC
 molecules  present reaction "paths" for the production of N02 from
 NO which do not involve the breakdown of 03.  Thus, a surplus of
 03 builds  up from the dissociation of N02 and the subsequent
 reformation of 0 atoms with 02 molecules.  This explains the heavy
 buildup of ozone in the presence of large hydrocarbon concentra-
 tions .

           All of these mechanisms (and many others) enter into
 the modeling of NOX in the atmosphere.  In addition, the chemical
pollutants are being advected and diffused by wind and turbulence
 in the atmosphere.   In general, large numerical computer models
are required to simulate atmospheric chemistry.  However, these
models are generally very expensive and difficult to use.

          One recourse available to the modeler is to utilize
 the simpler and less expensive Gaussian plume model.  This type
of model has enjoyed great success in modeling the advection and
diffusion  of pollutants in the past.  It offers an analytical
closed-form solution to the diffusion equation often used to model

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advection and diffusion of inert pollutants.   As long as the
ground surface in the area to be modeled is not too irregular,
and the wind field is homogenous and wind shear is not too large,
the Gaussian model is usually adequate for inert chemical species.
However, the diffusion equation for which the Gaussian formulae
are derived are not valid when the species are reactive.  The
chemical reactions introduce nonlinearities into the diffusion
equation which make analytical solutions impossible.

          In modeling NOX, the nitrogen atoms are usually assumed
to be present only in NO or N02.  Consequently, it is permissible
to consider the sum of these concentrations,  or identically the
concentration of NOX, to be inert.  Thus, NOX may be modeled by
a Gaussian plume formula.  This was done by Radian in a previous
study for EPA, Eppright et al, Impact of Point Source Control
Strategies on N02 Levels, EPA-600/7-78-212,  November 1978.l

          In this case, the difficulty is assessing  the proper
ratio of NO to N02 or, identically, the ratio of NO  or N02 con-
centrations to total NOV concentrations.  In the above previous
                       X
study a constant ratio was assumed for all parts of  the plume,
meaning essentially that both NO and N02 concentrations were
described by Gaussian formulae.  Moreover, the ratio of N02 to
NOX in  the plume was assumed based on ambient data  to be either
1/2 (0.5) in summer or 1/4  (0.25) in winter.  The purpose  of this
study was to develop a more sophisticated  treatment of  the photo-
chemistry in order to investigate the applicability of these ratios.

          In this study, several of  the  cases in the  previous report
were analyzed using  the  reactive model  described in this  report.
Days with high ozone concentrations were identified and meteoro-
logical conditions and ambient NO,  N02,  and  ozone concentrations
were developed.   The cases  were modeled using  the above data  for
both high  (0.2 ppm)  and  low (0.1  ppm) ozone  concentrations.   Also,
interaction of sources was  studied  to a limited extent.

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2.0       CONCLUSIONS

          The reactive model was run for several cases involving
six power plants in the Chicago AQCR.  A range of meteorological
conditions was identified for days with high ambient ozone con-
centrations.   Meteorological conditions were varied in order to
study the surface N02/NOX ratios due to the power plants under
conditions when a short-term N02 standard might be violated.  Re-
sults for individual power plants are shown in Appendix D and are
discussed in Section 4.3.3.   From these results the following
conclusions concerning the cases studied were drawn:

          •  N02/NOX ratio for the plume at the point of highest
             ground level concentration increases as the back-
             ground ozone concentration increases.   Ozone pro-
             bably has the most influence on the ratio because
             for higher ozone levels, larger fractions of NO
             are converted to N02.   According to the theory used
             in the modeling approach,  the total NOV concentration
                                                   f\
             (NO + N02) is independent of background ozone con-
             centration.

          •   For a given wind speed,  as the atmosphere becomes
             more stable over the range of stabilities studied,
             the N02/NOV ratio increases.
             For a given stability class studied,  the N02/NOX
             ratio decreases  as wind speed increases.

             For a given stability class,  the distance of the
             NOX peak from the stack decreases as  wind speed
             increases.   This is a general characteristic of
             Gaussian dispersion models.

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          It should be noted that these conclusions are valid
only for peak concentrations.   At other locations within the plume,
different N02/NOX ratios will occur.   For example, the N02/NOX
ratio increases as cross wind distance from the plume centerline
increases although the total concentration of NOX is reduced over
the same distance.

          It is also worthwhile to mention that most of those
conclusions can be anticipated from the knowledge that (a) as NOX
increases, with a given 03 background, less conversion of total
NO  to N02 occurs, meaning the ratio of N02/NOX decreases, and
(b) given a fixed total NOX value, as 03 increases so does the
N02/N0x ratio.  Given these facts, which are derived from the re-
sults of the Technical Discussion (Part 4.0), the major conclu-
sion which might not be expected is that, for a given stability
class, the N02/N0  ratio decreases as wind speed increases.  This
is probably due to the fact that an increasing wind speed will
lower the plume height, so that the maximum NOX concentration
will be raised, and thus the N02/NOX ratio will be decreased.

          It was also found that plant plume interactions are
still potentially significant contributors to high ambient N02
concentrations.  The reactive model predicts that plume inter-
actions may indeed occur over reasonably long distances, depending
upon meteorological conditions.  Results for power plant interac-
tion cases are shown in Appendix E and are discussed  in Section
4.3.4.

          For individual plants, ratios of N02/NOX in the plumes
at points of peak concentration were  found to vary between 0.19
and 0.80 for low backgound ozone concentrations and from 0.46  to
0.93 for high ozone concentrations.   Results for  the  latter  case
are shown in Table 1.  They are considerably higher than  the ratio

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of 0.5 assumed for summer conditions in the previous study.
The results of the earlier study, shown in Appendix D, indicate
that previous worst cases occurred for summer A.M.,  C stability,
5 m/sec wind speed.  These conditions are very similar to those
used in the present study (C stability, 4.5 m/sec) except for
mixing height.*  Thus, for coincident high ozone and NOX, it
appears that the N02/NOX ratio in the plume can be significantly
higher than 0.5.

          For the six plants studied using the reactive model (1985
emissions levels), the summer A.M. NOa concentrations from the pre-
vious study (ratio of 0.5) were reapportioned using the new N02/
N0x ratios.  Non-power-plant ratios were assumed to remain at 0.5.
The results are shown in Table 2.  These are the short-term results
which would have been obtained in the previous study had higher
N02/NOX ratios for the power plants been used as appears to be
warranted by the results of the latest reactive study.

          The new results indicate that, for these conditions
with concurrent high ozone levels, the threshold short-term N02
standard level where flue gas treatment (FGT) for NO  becomes
necessary could increase by at least 40 percent, i.e., if 500
Ug/m3 were the threshold level under the old study,  750 yg/m3
could be the new threshold level.  For the above plants, the
previous study indicated that most could meet a 400 yg/m3 short-
term standard with combustion modification techniques for NO
control.  The reactive sutyd indicates that combustion modifica-
may be insufficient to meet a 750 yg/m3 standard and that NO
flue gas treatment technology would almost certainly be required
* The theoretical analysis in Section 4.2 indicates, however, that
  increased NOX concentrations due to reduced mixing heights will
  still result in plume N02/N0  ratios significantly higher than
  0.5 under high ozone conditions (e.g. 0.2 ppm) .

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                            TABLE  1.
              OVERALL PLUME N02/NOX  RATIOS AT POINT
              OF  PEAK CONCENTRATION  OBTAINED FROM
                REACTIVE MODEL  -  HIGH  OZONE  CASE
Stability
B
C
D
Range In
Wind Speed
Studied
1-3 m/sec
3-6 m/sec
6-8 m/sec
N02/NOX Ratio
Min Max
.46
.45
.77
90
91
93
Avg.
.76
.78
.90
(Note:   Bethlehem Steel showed consistently lower ratios than
        all other power plants and thus tended to reduce the
        average ratio.)

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                 TABLE 2.  EFFECT OF NEW N02/NOV RATIOS ON RESULTS OF
                                               Ps


               PREVIOUS STUDY - SUMMER A.M., COINCIDENT HIGH OZONE.CASE
As Modified Based on
As Reported in Previous

Plant
Bailly **
Will Cty +
Waukegan +
Jollet +
Fisk+
Both Stl
Plant Plume
N0s/N0x Ratio
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Total
NOX
1696
1648
1588
2336
1531
2554
Study
Plant
NO 2
754
710
524
998
379
1182

Total
NO 2
849
824
794
1168
766
1277
Results
riant Plume
N02/N0x Ratio
0.90
0.76
0.88
0.75
0.82
0.50
of Latest Study
Total
N0y
1696
1648
1588
2336
1531
2554
Plant
NOX
1357
1078
922
1497
652
1182
Total
NOZ*
1451
1193
1372
1667
1039
1277
*  Total N02 assumes 50 percent conversion of non-power plant NOX  to  N02.



** Northern Indiana Public Service


+  Commonwealth Edison

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on these units to meet a 500 yg/m3 standard.  These effects
might be further amplified if non-power plant plumes also had
higher N02/N0x ratios.

          Results of the interaction cases indicate the same
effect, namely that NOX flue gas treatment most probably will
be required to meet higher short-term ambient N02 standards if
plume reactivity is considered.   Thus, it appears that a short-
term N02 ambient air quality standard could require stringent
N0x conctrols on new and existing stationary combustion sources,
                               8

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 3.0       RECOMMENDATIONS

           Further study of the  application of  NOX  control  tech-
 nology to  large point  sources should be  undertaken.  While this
 study essentially agrees with the  previous study that  large point
 sources may  dominate high  short-term N02  levels based  upon
 reactive plume  modeling, several factors  merit further investiga-
 tion.   First, the stack emissions  in Ib/hr* from each  plant were
 assumed to consist entirely of  NO.   The  effects of NO/NOX  ratio
 and ozone  concentration in the  stack upon N02/N0x  ratio downwind
 should be  investigated in  detail as  N02  can constitute a signi-
 ficant portion  of the  effluent  from  some  sources.  Second,  this
 study has  shown that the downwind  N02/N0x ratio is highly  depen-
 dent  upon  background ozone concentration  and meteorological con-
 ditions.   In the  case  of the plants  studied, site-specific meteor-
 ological conditions related to  the lake breeze effect  were not
 considered, although the lake breeze is  thought to have contri-
 buted significantly to high ozone  concentrations on  several days
 during the period studied.   More defensible results  could  be ob-
 tained if  the meteorological conditions were investigated  more
 thoroughly or if  another AQCR without these specific conditions
were  investigated.  Third,  a large scale  study of  plant inter-
 actions similar to the previous study should be considered in
 order  to further  clarify the extent  of power plant N02 impact.
 Fourth, the new reactive model should be  investigated with respect
 to applicability,  especially with  regard  to  variations in  diffu-
 sivity and advection coefficients.    Finally, a large scale photo-
 chemical model should  be used to investigate the effects of point
source NOX control strategies on levels of NO,  N02, ozone,  and
other pollutants  on an AQCR basis.
* Government policy is to stress the use of SI units in technical
  reports.   However, for this report, commonly used units will be
  given.   Conversion factors are shown in Appendix A

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          Furthermore, cost and performance characteristics of
full-scale NOX flue gas treatment (FGT) control devices should
continue to be studied.  The effects of these devices on air
quality, economics, and system performance should be investi-
gated.
                              10

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4.0       TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

4.1       An Adapted Gaussian Model

          The reactive plume model developed and used in this
study will be discussed.  This model was an adapted form of the
Gaussian dispersion formula.  It was found that, although the
species NO, N02, and 03 are not inert, some linear combinations of
these species' concentrations act as they were inert2' 3' "*.  in
addition, reactions between these particular species are generally
fast enough to assume they are in equilibrium.  This phenomenon
will be discussed in greater detail in Section 4.2.  The impor-
tance of these two observations is that they allow the  determina-
tion of closed form solutions rather than requiring numerical
solutions for the concentrations of these three species when they
are the only three pollutants present.

          Of course, this last condition is not usually fulfilled.
The presence of hydrocarbons in the atmosphere causes a slow
buildup of ozone which interacts with NO to form N02, as mentioned
before.  Thus the (NO, N02, 03) system is not closed.   However,
the ozone buildup is so gradual that for a given short-term ob-
servation,  the 03 acts as a background concentration.   Thus, when
03 background concentrations are available, the simulation mecha-
nism described here will be a reasonable approximation  for short-
term analyses.

4.2       The Reactive Gaussian Model

4.2.1     Background

          The reactive Gaussian computer model used was a modi-
fied version of a Gaussian dispersion model.   Whereas most Gaussian
                               11

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models are non-reactive, the version used in this study reflects
three of the major photochemical reactions known to occur in the
atmosphere.  These three reactions are described as follows:

          N02 + hy -*• NO -f 0; ki (depends on sunlight),       (1)
          0 + 02 -»• 03;       k2 = 2.33 x 10"5ppm"2 min"1     (2)
          NO 4- 03 + N02 4- 02;k3 = 2.95 x 10  ppm"l min"1     (3)

Since the reaction in equation (2) occurs quite rapidly, equations
(1) and (3) dominate the chemistry.

          These equations are by no means the only photochemical
processes which occur in the atmosphere.  Certainly reactions
involving hydrocarbons, C02, and H20 contribute heavily to  the
photochemical problem.  However, these three reactions, when
incorporated into an atmospheric dispersion model, can be used  to
show short-term trends in the major photochemical species in NO,
N02, and 03.

          The use of Gaussian model to predict dispersion and
advection processes involves other difficulties apart from  not
dealing with hydrocarbons.  Modern numerical models are better
equipped to describe the complex structure of the lower atmo-
sphere, and in addition, are better predictors of atmospheric
mechanisms in complex terrain.  Moreover, the major advantage of
numerical models is their ability to simulate the chemical  mech-
anisms which occur in the atmosphere because the concentrations
of chemical species at any point in space and time are functions
of the reactions which took place prior to the time considered.
Thus, in order to find the concentration of N02 at a given  time
and place in the atmosphere, one must solve for the concentra-
tions of all three species, NO, N02 and 03 for all times prior
to that considered, and for all locations in space from which
                               12

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 pollutants may diffuse or advect to the point in question.   This
 methodology is ideally suited for numerical cell models,  since
 they already employ a reiterative scheme in determining the wind
 flow.   The major difficulty with numerical models is  their  ex-
 tremely long solution time and attendant expense.  In addition,
 the  complexity of the numerical approach makes it difficult to
 get  any insight into the physical mechanisms which can be applied
 generally.

           The model developed for this  study uses the photosta-
 tionary state relationship ^ 3 to obtain an analytical solution to
 the  species concentrations,  while largely incorporating the chem-
 ical processes described in reactions  (1)  to (3).   The analytical
 nature  of  the model allows a very fast  computation time,  and also
 allows  some fairly  general statements  to be made concerning the
 chemical processes.

          As  was  previously mentioned,  the reason that a  Gaussian
 model is not  directly applicable to  the species  NO, N02,  and 03
 is that they  are  not  inert.   Their reactions introduce nonlineari-
 ties into the diffusion  equations  for the  concentrations  which
 prohibit their expansions  as  Gaussian curves.

          However,  consider  the  case of a  closed  volume with
 interacting species which  are not  in equilibrium.   Though the
molecular concentrations change,  the atomic  concentrations
 (obtained by  adding the  distributions from different  species) will
not,  as a consequence  of the  conservation  of mass.  Following
Peters and Richards3  this  fact can be exploited to  decouple  the
differential  equations which  describe the NO, N02 and  03  reactions.
Inherent to this  decoupling process is  the assumption  that  atomic
concentrations are diffused independently of the molecular  form
in which they  are bound.   In  the case of a single nitrogen  atom,
                               13

-------
 this assumption  implies  that  its movement  due  to  diffusion and
 turbulence  is, for  the practical purposes,  independent of whether
 the atom  is bound up with  a single  oxygen  atom as NO or two oxygen
 atoms  (NOa)•  In other words,  given the  position  of  the nitrogen
 atom at a certain time,  its position at  a  later time will be gov-
 erned  by  a  distribution  law which is independent  of  the other atoms
 with which  it is bonded.   Although  this  assumption seems question-
 able on a microscopic level (because of  the different molecular
 weights and different molecular diffusion  rates),  on a macroscopic
 level  the atmospheric turbulence dominates  the diffusion and
 differences due  to molecular  type are inconsequential.   This prin-
 ciple  is  generally assumed in modeling any  airborne  pollutant.

 4.2.2     Application to NOX

          Consider the nitrogen atoms in the equations (1), (2),
 and (3).  They can exist either in  the form NO or N02.   Thus,
 the concentration of nitrogen atoms is given by

                           i|»i  = [NO]  + [N02]                  <4>

          Now, by the preceding arguments,  in  the case of a con-
 tinuous point source at point (0, 0,  H)  of  the coordinate system,
 in a steady wind u in the  x direction it may be seen that

                                       _ i  TJ\ 2   t —    u\ 2\   t c\
                                       z T  tij   _  (z  - n.) \   v->;
where iho is the background level of  [NO] +  [NO2]  and  Qi  is  the
source strength of [NOj + lN02]-  Other forms of the Gaussian
formula are available, but this is sufficient for  explanation.
                                14

-------
          Thus, the nitrogen atomic concentration is given.  One
might ask if there are any other "composites" of this type.  One
such group is the "floating" oxygen atoms which may either be
"free" (that is, 0 atoms) or bound up on N02 or 03.  These atoms
are driven by turbulence and diffusion mechanisms identical to
those which influence the nitrogen atoms, so the quantity
[N02] +  [03]  + [0] is determined by an equation analogous to that
for the nitrogen atoms, if it is assumed that equations  (1), (2),
and (3) are all that apply (i.e., other photochemical processes
are ignored).  Since [0] is small, due to the reaction speed of
equation (2), the combination considered is as follows:

                        $2  »  [03]  + [N02]                    (6)

with a distribution of the form,
  1^2 =  ^20
where i|»2o is the background level of  [N02] + [03] and Qa  is  the
source strength of [N02] + [ 03].

          It is anticipated that in many  cases  of interest  involv-
ing equations  (5) and  (7), one  will have  4>io =  Qz = 0 since  the
background level of  [NO] + [NO2] will  be  zero and all the pollu-
tant emitted from the  stack will be NO, meaning Qa = 0.   However,
equations (5)  and (7)  will be maintained  in  their present form
for symmetry and generality.  Nonzero  background levels were
used in  this analysis.
                                15

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4.2.3     The Equilibrium Hypothesis
          Since ^i and ^2 are given in closed form, equations  (4)
and  (6) give two equations in three unknowns.  The concentrations
[NO],  [N02J, and [03] cannot be found without more assumptions.
          If the assumption is made that the species  [NO],
and  [03] are in equilibrium, then there exist three equations in
three unknowns allowing a solution.  Choosing [NO] as the species
in question,

       d| [NO] = k,  [N02]  -  k3[NO][03]                          (8)

and  for equilibrium to hold, this must equal zero, so
                                                                 (9)

          Combining equations (4) ,  (6) , and  (9) gives
                                                                (10)
          [N02]  -'.
                  *i - *2  -  Tp- V(*i +  ^2  + rr)  - 4*i*2      (ID
         [NO]  - 	£i
         [Oj]
          Thus, the species concentrations are available in closed
form for a short-term solution.
                              16

-------
          These are the solutions for the NO, N02 and 03 concen-
trations given the assumption of equilibrium.  There are some
difficulties with this assumption, as are discussed in references
(2), (3), and (4).  In general, non-homogeneities in the plume
and background concentrations seem to cause some departures from
equilibrium, but it is thought that this is largely a result of
                                                        o
concentration measurements which are averaged over time.   Until
more is known about these processes, the equilibrium assumption
still appears to be a very reasonable and practical approach.

          It should be mentioned here that in applying equations
(10) through (12), it is not necessary to actually calculate the
new composite functions i|>i or i|>2.  Instead, it is sufficient to
observe that by the arguments of the preceding section the same
results were obtained for the atomic concentrations regardless of
whether the species was considered inert.  Thus, the existing
Gaussian model can be modified and used to calculate the "inert"
species concentrations at any given point in space, and then these
quantities transformed to get the new equilibrium concentrations.

          Thus, if the existing model gives  [NO]  , [N02]  , and
                                                o       o
[03] as the "inert" concentrations at a point  (x, y, z) , then
from equations (4) and (6)

         *i  - CNO]0 + [N02]Q
                      [N02]
o                                   (14)
Equations  (10) through  (12) may then be applied  directly  to
i|>i, ^2 to  transform the "inert" concentrations to  actual  concen-
trations.  This procedure, shown  in Figure  1, was  used  in the
present  study.
                                17

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Input Data
Meteorological Conditions
Oi, NOX Background Values
Plant Data--N0 Emission Rates
Points for Computation


Compute vi - [NOX] at Each
Ambient Point Using Standard
Gaussian Dispersion Formulae


Compute *2 " [NO2] + [Oj]
Using Background Ozone
and NO j Levels


Apply Equilibrium
Hypothesis to tf>i and vz
to Compute [NO], [N02]
and [03] at Each Point
FIGURE 1.  PROCEDURE FOR COMPUTING SHORT-
  TERM CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02,  AND 03
             18

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4.3       Reactive Model Results

          In the previous section it was shown that an analytic
solution to the short-term reactive plume problem could be reached.
The methodology developed was tested both theoretically and prac-
tically.  These results will now be discussed.

4.3.1     Interactions Between NO, N02 ,  Oa In a Plume

          It is useful to consider the relative concentrations
of NO, N02, and Oa which exist in a plume when these species are
in equilibrium.  Using the equilibrium relation previously derived,


                         INO][03] = kj. = k                  (15)
                           [N02]    k3

and the above methods it is possible to obtain the short-term
concentrations of NO, N02, and 03 as a function of [NO ].  Assum-
ing an initial background concentration of 0.1 ppm for ozone, and
assuming k=0.01, Figure 2 shows these concentrations.  Notice
that if K is changed to 0.005 the curves are virtually unchanged,
so exact values of k are not crucial.

          Another informative way of viewing the NO, N02, Oa inter-
actions is by considering a typical plume.  Figure 3 shows the
three species' surface concentrations at various points downwind
from a stack.  Figure 4 shows the concentrations as a function of
crosswind distance from the plume centerline.

          A third observation about the relative NO, N02,and  NO
                                                                X
concentrations is that there is usually some ambiguity about the
proportions of these species emitted from the stack.  Thus, often
                                19

-------
Concen-
tration
 (ppm)
                              equilibrium const. - .01

                              equilibrium const. « .005
                    .1
.2           .3
    (NO,) (ppoi)
                      / (N0x=  NO + N02)
.5
                                                                02-4241-1
                    FIGURE 2.   SPECIES  CONCENTRATIONS OF  NO,

                     N02, AND  Os versus NO  CONCENTRATIONS
                                     20

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             Increasing Distance •*•
                                           02-4242-1
FIGURE 3.  TYPICAL SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS  OF
        NO, NO2,  AND 03 DOWNWIND FROM STACK
                      21

-------
                  (0,)
  Increasing Distance from Centerline of Flume -*•
                                             02-4243-1
FIGURE  4.   TYPICAL SPECIES  CONCENTRATIONS
            ACROSS WIDTH OF  PLUME
                      22

-------
measurements of NOX emissions do not discriminate between NO and
N02.  However, with the huge concentrations of NOX within the stack,
Figure 2 shows that NO will prevail.  Indeed, NO is generally
assumed to comprise 95 percent or more of the NOX present in stack
emissions.  This is important because it allows the simplifying
assumption that plant NOX emissions are comprised entirely of NO.

4.3.2     Power Plant Reactive Plume Modeling

          Computer runs using the new reactive model were made for
six power plants in the Chicago AQCR under a large variety of
meteorological conditions to determine the ratios of N02 to NO
concentrations.  Three types of cases were investigated, all of
which were based on concentrations downwind from the stacks.

          (1)   First, the total NOX concentration was
                calculated,  assuming a constant background
                concentration of NOX of 0.05 ppm,  which
                is a representative value.

          (2)   A low-ozone situation was simulated.
                This run used the same background value
                of NOX as (1), but the ratio of background
                NOz to NOX was adjusted to give equilibrium.
                The ozone level was set at 0.1 ppm.

          (3)   A high-ozone background was simulated.
                Here the ozone level was set at 0.2 ppm.
                The NOX level was kept at 0.05 ppm, but
                again the background N0-N02 split was
                adjusted for equilibrium.
                                23

-------
          In each case the following results were obtained:
             Downwind distance of N02 and N0x peaks
          •  NO2 and NOX concentrations
             Ratio of NO2 to NO  for the plume only
          These cases were evaluated for given meteorological
conditions and power plant outputs.

4.3.2.1   Meteorology

          Ambient atmospheric conditions were developed from
actual 1975 Chicago data.  Seven days with extremely high ambient
Oa levels at up to seven continuous  monitor sites were identified.*
Ambient ozone maximum levels on these days ranged from slightly
over 0.1 ppm to nearly 0.25 ppm.  A synopsis of Chicago meteoro-
logical conditions for these days is given in Appendix B.  In
general, meteorological conditons associated with these days were
as follows:

             Sunny and warm with no  cloud cover, haze,
             or thin high clouds

             High pressure and/or presence of a cool front

             Temperature in high 80's or low 90's

         •   Wind speeds about 10 mph or less

             B or C stability

             Unlimited mixing or high mixing heights*
*It was assumed that high ambient 03  levels would result in high
 N02 levels for power plants.
                              24

-------
The "stability" of the atmosphere refers to its ability to dis-
perse pollutants.  Mixing height in the thickness of a ground-
gased layer through which pollutant mixing and dispersion occurs.

          In addition, on several days conditions were favorable
for onshore penetration by the lake breeze or lake breeze enhance-
ment of meteorological conditions in the areas with the highest
ambient concentrations.

          For each of the above three case types (representative
low 03, high 03), nine meteorological situations were simulated.
Type B stability was run with wind speeds of 1, 2, and 3 m/sec.
Type C wind speeds considered were 3, 4.5, and 6 m/sec.  Type D
stabilities had wind speeds of 6, 7, and 8 m/sec.  The temperature
was 80°F, and there was unlimited mixing.  As previously stated,
these conditions appear to be conducive to high ambient ozone
levels in Chicago, although further investigations should also
address lake breeze effects.

4.3.2.2   Power Plants

          The following six Chicago-area  coal-fired power plants
were investigated in this study:

             Bailly  (Northern Indiana Public  Service)
             Will County  (Commonwealth Edison)
             Waukegan (Commonwealth Edison
             Joliet  (Commonwealth Edison)
           •  Fisk (Commonwealth  Edison)
           •  Bethlehem Steel
*In the previous  study results  (Appendix  C), mixing heights
 ranged from 200-800 meters.  Theoretically, these lower mixing
 heights are usually conducive  to high  ozone formation.  The
 ozone incident studied may have resulted from other  factors  (such
 as lake breeze effect) despite unlimited mixing or high mixing
 heights.
                              25

-------
          The locations of these plants are shown in Figure 5.
In the previous Chicago study, these six plants had high ambient
NOX and N02 levels predicted; these levels are shown for 1975 in
Appendix C.

          NOX emissions for 1975 for these six plants were esti-
mated in the previous study and are shown in Table 3.  These emis-
sions were assumed to be entirely NO at the stack orifice; the
values in Table 3 were converted to reflect the change in atomic
weight.  It was also assumed that no ozone was emitted from the
stacks.

A.3.3     Model Results--Individual Plants

          Detailed model results for the six plants studied are
shown in Appendix D.   Ratios of N02/NOX at the point of highest
ground level concentration ranged from 0.19 to 0.80 for low back-
ground ozone concentrations and from 0.46 to 0.93 for high ozone
concentrations.   As an example,  results for the Will County plant
are shown in Table 4.  From the results, the following conclusions
concerning the cases studied were drawn:

          •   the N02/N0xratio for the plume at the point
             of highest ground level concentration is
             related to background ozone concentration.
             Ozone probably has  more influence on the
             ratio than any other factor.

          •   for a given wind speed, as the atmosphere
             becomes  more stable over the range of sta-
             bilities studied,  the ratio of N02/NOX
             increases.
                               26

-------
•<530
<560 -
             GRUNDY


r
i
i KAMKAKEH




^/
    3SO
             380
     — AQCR  BOUNDARY

     EI3 INCORPORATED  A« = A BOUNDARY

     -- COUNTY  BOUNDARIES

      O UTILITY FOSSIL-FLTLED STEAM PLANT
      + UTILITY COMBUSTION TURBINE PLANT
      A NON-UTILITY FOSSIL-FUELED STEAM PLANT
                                                          UTW EASTING
              FIGURE  5.   POWER PLANTS IN  CHICAGO AQCR

                     (Plants Used Are Identified)
                                   27

-------
                  TABLE 3.   1975 ESTIMATED NOX
                  FROM SIX POWER PLANTS STUDIED
                          (N0y AS NO 2)

               Plant                    NOX as N02*
                                          (Ib/hr)

          Bailly                          14,960
          Will County                     15,126
          Waukegan                        13 > 414
          Joliet                          24,606
          Fisk                             7>298
          Bethlehem Steel                 10,135
"Full Load.
                              28

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                                                            TABLE 4.
                                          MODEL  RESULTS  FOR WILL  COUNTY  PLANT
                                                                     LOW OZONE BACKGROUND
                              HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND
ro
so

STABILITY

B
B
B
C
C
C
D
D
D

WIND SPEED
METERS /SEC
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF NO
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
11600
4000
2800
6400
4800
4000
16800
14400
12800
NOX IN EXCESS
OF BACKGROUND
NOX (ppm)
.152
.220
.257
.184
.214
.229
.082
.088
.093
N02 IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND NO,
yg/m3
133
144
147
140
143
145
102
106
109
ppm
.072
.078
.080
.076
.078
.078
.055
.058
.059
EXCESS N02
EXCESS NOX
(ppm)
.48
.35
.31
.41
.36
.34
.66
.65
.64
N02 IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND N02
Ug/m*
240
305
325
275
301
311
138
148
155
ppm
.130
.165
.180
.150
.160
.170
.075
.080
.080
EXCESS N02
EXCESS N0x
(ppm)
.85
.75
.69
.81
.76
.74
.91
.91
.90
       Background Concentrations*
       Low Ozone Case:
        f03] - .1 ppm, [NOX1 - .05 ppm, [NO] -  .00455 ppm, fN02J -  .0455
       High Ozone Case:
        [Oi] - .2 ppm, [NOJ • .05 ppm, [NO] -  .00238 ppm, [N02] -  .0476 ppm
ppm

-------
           •  for a given stability class,  the distance
             of the NO  peak from the stack decreases
             as wind speed increases.  This is a general
             characteristic of Gaussian dispersion mo-
             dels.

          It should also be noted that the total [NOX] value is
independent of the concentration of background ozone, so one
value of [N0x] is given for both cases.  Also, the NO, N02, and
NO  concentrations all peak at the same point in the modeling
results, which is again the result of the monotonic dependence
of [NO] and [N02] on [NOX] in the model theory, as illustrated
earlier in Figure 2.

          It also appears that the short-term N02 impact of power
plants will be significant in many cases.   Moreover, it should be
noted that, for the cases studied, the net percentage of N02 at
the point of greatest impact  may be greater than the value
assumed in the previous study, depending on background ozone con-
centration.  This would result-in greater power plant impacts and,
thus, a greater need for flue gas treatment to meet a given short-
term N02 standard.

4.3.4     Model Results — Interaction Case

          The interaction of plumes from eight power plants along
the Chicago Sanitary and Barge Canal was also studied.  Resulting
ground-level N02  concentrations along a line from Collins  to Fisk
for the meteorological conditions discussed in Section 4.3.2.1
are shown in Appendix E.  The case studied which resulted  in the
highest N02 concentrations was B stability, high ozone; these re-
sults are shown in Figure 6 along with the N02/N0  ratio for a
                                                 X
wind speed of 1 m/sec.
                                30

-------
          When NO  concentrations from a given plume are calcu-
lated in a Gaussian model the predictions are questionable beyond
50 km,  and since the total distance modeled in this study was of
the order of 100 km, this might cause some concern.  However, the
figures clearly show that the most important interactive effects
occur within 50 km of each stack (where the Gaussian approach is
reasonable).

          Comparison of these results with others in Appendix E
indicates that strong plume interactions may indeed occur.  The
degree of interaction and the resulting ground level N02 concen-
trations at any point was found to be a result of the following
factors:

          •  background ozone concentration

          •  stability class

             wind speed  (and direction)

          In addition, the degree of interaction is highly depen-
dent upon power plant loading; this was not investigated in  this
study although it was addressed to some degree for "typical" cases
in the previous study.  The cases investigated in this study
assumed that all plants were operating at full load, a case which
amy not occur during most of the year.  However, this case is
more likely to occur during the meteorological conditions addressed
in this study, since high ozone conditions are generally associated
with hot weather and strongly correlate with summer peak loads
caused by high air-conditioning demand.  For example, the Common-
wealth Edison 1975  summer peak load of 12,305 megawatts occurred
on August 1 between 1 and 2 pm; August 1 was one of the days
studied because of  high ozone levels.  Moreover, the Commonwealth
                              31

-------
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10.000
        o
        Will
       COIIIll*
                LIKE Of IKICRACIIO* STUDIED
                  o HIM.O
             QJOIIET 7.8
             OjOUtT 2.1.6
                                          ORIOMUKO
                                                                           	I«/SK

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                  sunct IHflers)
                 6    N02  CONCENTRATIONS  AND  N02/N0x  RATIO

                     FOR AN EXAMPLE INTERACTION  CASE
                                         32

-------
Edison summer peak period in 1975 was from 14 July to 30 August,
a period including all but two of the days with very high ozone
levels.  Hence, it is not unreasonable for generalized analysis
to consider cases with power plants at full load or nearly full
load, especially if the system peak correlates well with high
measured ambient ozone levels.*
* Because of its general nature, this analysis did not attempt to
  include actual plant loadings.  More specific analysis of actual
  case days should include actual loadings and emission rates.
                               33

-------
                           REFERENCES


1.        B. R. Eppright, et al, Impact of Point Source Control
          Strategies in N02 Levels. EPA-RJO/7-78-212,  Novem^
          her 1978.

2.        Bilger, R. W.  (1978) "The effect of admixing fresh
          emissions on the photostationary state relationship
          in photochemical smog."  Atmospheric Environment  12,
          1109-1118.                     	

3.        Peters, L. K. and Richards, L. W. (1977) "Extension
          of atmospheric dispersion models to incorporate fast
          reversible reactions."  Atmospheric Environment 11,
          101-108.	

4.        Kewley, D. J. (1978) "Atmospheric Dispersion of a
          Chemically Reacting Plume."  Atmospheric Environment
          Vol.  12 pp.  1895-1900.

5.        Seinfeld, J.  H. (1975) Air Pollution:  Physical and
          Chemical Fundamentals. McUraw-Hill,  Inc.
                               34

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        APPENDIX A
SELECTED CONVERSION FACTORS
             35

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                           APPENDIX A
                   SELECTED CONVERSION FACTORS
New  Units

 Joules
Metric Tons/
   Year
Equal
 Old Units

Million BTU
  (MMBTU)

 Tons/Year
Multiplied By

 1.054 x 109


    0.907
 m/sec
                 knots
                                                        0.514
 g/sec
                Ib/hour
                      0.125
   nr
                                 Thousand Cubic
                                  Feet (MCF)
                                     28.3
 m/sec
                  inph
                                                       0.447
kilometer
                mile
                                                       1.609
 g/joule
               lb/MMBTU
                    4.304 x 10"7
  kPa
                                    psia
                                    0.143
                               36

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             APPENDIX B








SUMMARY OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS



        FOR CASE DAYS STUDIED
                  37

-------
                           APPENDIX B
07/01/75
SUMMARY OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS
       FOR CASE DAYS STUDIED

Sunny; warm; no precipitation in area.
Weak pressure gradient,  on west part of broad
high pressure system.
Southeasterly to southerly gradient flow over
area.  Wind speed 3-12 mph.
Favorable for lake breeze from Lake Michigan to
reach well into Chicago.
C stability; temperature mid-80's.
Mixing heights 6700-6800 ft.
07/02/75
Mostly sunny, with mostly high, thin clouds;
warm; and no precipitation in area.
Weak pressure gradient in morning, becoming some-
what stronger in afternoon, as broad high pressure
system shifted slowly to position southwest through
southeast of Chicago.
Southwesterly to westerly gradient flow over area.
Wind speed 3-9 mph.
Not very favorable for lake breeze to extend
onshore on west side of Lake Michigan.
B stability; temperature upper 80's.
Mixing heights 6500-6800 ft.
                                38

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07/30/75
Sunny; warm; no precipitation;  hazy.
High pressure ridge over area,  with center in
northeastern U.S.
Easterly gradient wind over most of area.   Wind
speed 3-13 mph.
Favorable for lake breeze enhancement of easterly
winds to occur well into Chicago.
C stability; temperature lower 90's.
Mixing heights 500-5800 ft.
07/31/75
08/01/75
Sunny; warm; no precipitation; hazy.
High pressure over area, with one center over
northern lower Michigan and one in the Middle
Atlantic States.
Easterly gradient flow, in general, over the area,
with a northeast tendency.  Wind speed 0-13 mph.
C stability; temperature lower 90's.
Mixing heights 500-5700 ft.

Partly sunny in morning, mostly cloudy in afternoon
and night; warm; thundershowers and showers in
latter part of afternoon and in evening; hazy in
early morning, before thundershowers began in after-
noon, and between showers.
                                39

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           --  Cold front moving  east  from Central  and Northern
              Plains  and weak disturbance moving north  from
              lower Mississippi  Valley;  high  pressure shifting
              slowly  southeastward.
           --  Generally  southerly to  southeasterly gradient
              winds over area, but variable and gusty with
              disturbed  conditions in afternoon. Wind speeds
              0-13 mph.
           --  Marginal situation for  significant penetration  of
              lake breeze  into Chicago,  but conditions  apparently
              rather  complicated during  course of  day.
           --  B to D  stability;  temperature in lower 90's.
           --  Mixing  height 4700-5900 ft.
           --  NOTE:  Cold  front  did not  move  through Chicago
              until the  afternoon of  08/02.

08/04/75   --  Sunny;  warm; no precipitation.
           —  Between two  cold fronts, one from Lower Great Lakes
              to lower Mississippi Valley and one Upper Great
              Lakes to Central Plains; weak high pressure,
              centered over northern Missouri.
           --  Westerly gradient wind in day,  followed by westerly
              to southwesterly gradient flow in evening and night
              as second cold front approached from the north.
              Wind speeds 5-9 mph.
           --  Not favorable for lake breeze penetration into
              Chicago.
                              40

-------
           --  B to  C  stability;  temperature  in upper  80's to
              lower 90's.
           --  Nearly  unlimited mixing.
           —  NOTE:  Cold  front  passed  through Chicago  in the
              morning on 08/05,  accompanied  by showers  and
              followed by  a large,  cool high pressure system.

08/11/75   --  Day began clear and very  hazy, with increasing
              high, thin cloudiness in  late  morning;  overcast in
              afternoon, with thunderstorm activity;  warm until
              mid afternoon.
           --  Quasi-stationary front in area, on east-west
              alignment just north of Chicago;  weak pressure
              gradient, with weak lows  in southeast Canada and in
              Nebraska and a weak high center in northern
              Wisconsin-Michigan area.
           -- Winds variable, but mostly with westerly component;
              high wind gusts with thunderstorms in mid afternoon.
              Wind speeds 0-23 mph.
           -- Not  favorable for lake breeze penetration very far
              into Chicago or for much duration.
           -- B and D stability; temperature high 80's.
           -- Mixing heights  8800-9000 ft.
           -- NOTE:  Front  and  disturbed, showery weather remained
               in Chicago  area for next four days.
                               41

-------
          APPENDIX C


  PREDICTED 1975 NOX AND N02
  LEVELS FOR SIX CHICAGO AREA
POWER PLANTS - PREVIOUS STUDY1
   (NON-REACTIVE PLUME MODEL)
              42

-------
NOX Concentrations
Year:  1975
Study Conditions
(pg/m )  at Power Plant Worst Case Point  for  Bailly
                             Wind Direction
    Contributor
North
South
                                                           -as t
Su=er ?M
3-9; SO'?
Mix Depth -800 m
R aax '2.5 '/NO « 1/2

Win tar AM
C-3; 20°7
Mix Depth - 272 =
'R sax -3.5 '«
N02/N0x - I/A |

Power Plan:
CT's
Other Point
. Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total NO
X
Total N0:
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total N0x
Total NO:
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Ncn-Vehiclas
Total NQx
Total N02
300
10
0
3
0
313
157
1508
100
0
5
1
1614
807
1592
100
0
5
4
1701
425
300
10
0
5
1
316
158
1508
100
0
S
3
1619
810
1592
100
0
9
10
1711 "
428
300
10
0
24
5
339
170
1508
100
0
7
2
1617
809
1592
100
0
8
6
1706
427
I
300
10
7
35
8
360
180
1508
IOC
31
100
45
1784
892
1592
100
35
117
215
2059
515
                                    43

-------
N0y Concentrations
Year:  1975
Study Conditions
(Mg/m3)  at Power Plant Worst Case Point for Will County
                             Wind Direction
    Concributor      >Jorch     South     East      Vest
Scnner ?M
3-9; 80s?
Mix Depch -800 n
R aax - 1 . 6 ka
! S02/N0x - 1/2

Susaer AJt
C-5; 70 e?
Mix Depch -282 E
R nax -3.6 '«
N02/MOY - 1/2
x

Winter AM
C-3; 20°7
Xix Depch « 282 a
R max - 3 . 6 Ira
j K0,/M0x - 1/4

Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
*
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total NO'
Total NO z
Pover Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Mon -Vehicles
Total HOX
Total NO 2
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Kon-Vehi-les
Total N0x
Total N02
67o
0
134
15
1
826
413
1419
0
135
41
6
1601
801
1498
0
148
48
43
1737
434
676
0
128
4
1
809
405
1419
0
165
5
2
1591
796
1498
0
176
6 .
14
1694
424
676
0
129
5
1
811
406
1419
0
138
12
4
1573
787
1498
0.
149
14
29
.690
423
676
0
167
2
0
845
423
1419
0
146
3
1
1569
785
1498
0
157
L
10
1669
417
                                 44

-------
NOX Concentrations (ug/m3)  at Power Plant Worst




 Year:  1975




 Study Conditions       Contributor      North
          Case Point for Waukegan




           Wind Direction




             South     Ease      "esc
Suzner ?M
3-9; 80 5T
Mix Depca -800 a
may » L . U &a
MA /MA m 1/0
MUl / * 1/2

Winter AM
C-5; 20'r
Mix Depth -282 a
S aax "3.6 ka
- N0a/N0 - 1/4 !
x i

Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total N0x
Total NOs
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total NOX
Total NO 2
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total. NOX
Total SOj
328
53
0
18
2
401
201
1043
474
0
35
10
1567
784
1106
474
0
40
74
1694
424
328
53
51
67
8
507
254
1048
474
193
188
44
1947
974
1106
474
135
219
326
2260
565 .
328
53
2
0
1
384
192
1048
474
9
23
5
1559
780
1106
474
10
27
35
1652
413
328
53
0
18
2
401
201
1048
474
28
25
7
1582
791
1106
474
28
29
5^
1691
423
45

-------
N0x Concentrations
Year:  1975
Study Conditions
(yg/n )  at Power Plant Worst Case Point for Joliet 7
                             Wind Direction
   Contributor
North
South
                                                           East
                                                                     Ves;
Su=er ?M
3-9; 30":
Mix Depth -800 m
R aax -2.6 ka
H0a/S0x - 1/2

Sucaer AM
C-5; 70s?
Mix Depch -312 a
S =ax -4 .0 '*=
so2/:iox - 1/2 j




Winter AM
C-3; 20T
Mix Depth -312 m
R sa.x -4 o ka

^02/NO « 1/4 I
x !





Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
. Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
local MO
Total NO 2
Fewer Plane
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Son-Vehicles
Total NOX
Total N02
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total MCx
Total N*0Z
247
86
4
24
2
363
182
1020
219
15
68
13
1335
668
1077
219
15
80
97
1488
372
247
86
1
4
2
340
170
1020
219
2
10
6
1257
629
1077
219
2
11
41
1350
338
247
86
1
5
1
340
170
1202
219
3
11
6
1259
630
1077
219
3
13
48
1360
3.10
247
86
8
2
1
344
172
1020
219
31
4
4
1278
639
1077
219
33
5
29
1363
3£1
                                   46

-------
 XOX Concentrations



Year:  1975




Study Conditions
   ) at Power Plant Worst Case Point  for Fisk



                         Wind Direction




Co nrcri outer      North     South     Ease      \"es;
Suaser ?M
3-9; 80s:
Mix Depth -800 n

^0,/NO » i /2





Susaer AM
.C-5; 70'?
Jlix Depth - 272 =
X sax » 3.5'&a
J»oz/:iox - 1/2

Winter AM
C-3; 20°?
Mix Deuch -2 72 a
X aax - 3 .5 ks
M0j/N0x » 1/4

Power Plant
CT's
Other Poiac
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total H0x
local N02
Power Plane
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total NOX
Total H02
Power Plane
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total NOX
-Tcttl'SOj
383
84
2
98
18
585
293
758
798
9
242
67
1874
937
797
798
9
283
503
2390 -
59Q
383
84
8
114
20
609
305
758
798
36
312
84
1988
994
797
798
39
366
627
2627
657 -
383
84
0
59
14
540
270
758
798
147
127
58
1888
944
797
798
133
148
433
2309
| 577
383
84
74
104
17
662
331
758
798
204
269
70
2099
1050
797
798
204
315
524
2638
660
             47

-------
NOX Concentrations



Year:  1975
Study Conditions
(Ug/m3)  at  Power Plant  Worse  Case Point  for Bethlehem Steel



                             Wind Direction
   Concribuccr
North
South
Sezzaer ?M
3-9; 80'F
Mix Depth -800 a
R aax "1 .4 ka
NOs/NO^ - 1/2

Sunnier AM
C-5; 70'F
Mix Depth -200 a
R aax -2.5 lea
N02/N0x - 1/2

Winter AM
C-3; 20°F
• Mix Depth - 200=i
R max - 2.5^a
NO 2 /NO - 1/4


Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total N'0x
Total N02
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehicles
Total NOX
Total NOj
Power Plant
CT's
Other Point
Sources
Vehicles
Non-Vehiclas
Total N0x
Tctal NO;
813
0
0
1
1
815
408
2623
0
0
2
5
2630
1315
2494
0
0
3
16
2513
628
813
0
0
2
1
816
408
2623
0
1
5
4
2633
1317
2494
0
1
5
42
2542
636
813
0
0
3.
2
818
409
2623
0
0
7
2
2632
1316
2494
0
0
8
7
2509
627
813
0
12
31
9
865
433
2623
0
62
88
46
2819
1410
4819
0
66
103
226
2389
722
                                48

-------
             APPENDIX D
PREDICTED NOX AND N02 CONCENTRATIONS



 FOR SIX CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS--



        REACTIVE PLUME MODEL
                  49

-------
                                                       PLANT - BAILLY
                                                                    LOW OZONE BACKGROUND

STABILITY

B
B
B
C
C
C
D
D
D

WIND SPEED
METERS /SEC
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF NOK
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
_
6400
4400
10800
7600
6000
34400
28800
24400
                                             NOX IN EXCESS
                                             OF BACKGROUND
                                               NOX (ppra)
N02 IN EXCESS OF
 BACKGROUND
UgTm3
                                                                                  EXCESS
                                    HIGH OZOHE BACKGROUND
                                                     EXCESS  NO,
EXCESS
  (ppm)
N02 IN EXCESS OF
 BACKGROUND N0?
Mg/m         ppm
EXCESS
  (ppm)
.102
.127
.083
.105
.121
.032
.037
.041
115
126
102
116
124
48
54
60
.062
.068
.055
.063
.067
.026
.029
.032
.61
.54
.67
.60
.56
.80
.78
.78
170
207
139
175
198
56
64
71
.092
.112
.076
.095
.107
.030
.035
.038
.90
.88
.91
.90
.88
.93
.93
.93
Background Concentrations:

Low Ozone Case:
  [Oj] - .1 ppm, [NOx] - .05 ppm,  [NOj  -  .00455 ppm, [N021 - .0455 ppra

High Ozone Cnse:
  [03] - .2 ppm, (NOX) - .05 ppm,  (NO]  -  .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476 ppn

-------
                                                    PLANT - WILL  COUNTY
                                                                                                  HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND
STABILITY
B
B
B
C
C
C
D
D
D
WIND SPEED
METERS/SEC
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF NOX
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
11600
4000
2800
6400
4800
4000
16800
14400
12800
NO IN EXCESS
OF BACKGROUND
NOX (ppra)
.152
.220
.257
.184
.214
.229
.082
.088
.093
NOZ IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND NO,

133
144
147
140
143
145
102
106
109
ppm
.072
.078
.080
.076
.078
.078
.055
.058
.059
EXCESS NOZ
EXCESS NO^
(ppra)
.48
.35
.31
.41
.36
.34
.66
.65
.64
NOj IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND N02
Ug/m'
240
305
325
275
301
311
138
148
155
ppm
.130
.165
.180
.150
.160
.170
.075
.080
.080
EXCESS N02
EXCESS NOU
(ppm)
.85
.75
.69
.81
.76
.74
.91
.91
.90
Background Concentrations!
Low Ozone Case:
  [0,J - .1 pp™.  [NOXJ  -  -05 pp«, [NOJ - .00455 ppm, [N02]  - .0455  ppra
High Ozone Case:
  I0t] - .2 ppm,  [NOX]  -  .05 PP«, [NOJ - .00238 ppm, [N02J  - .0/.76  ppra

-------
                                                               PLANT - WAUKEGAN
                                                                           LOW OZONE BACKGROUND
                                                            HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND
Ui

STABILITY

B
B
B
C
C
C
D
D
D

WIND SPEED
METERS/SEC
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF N0y
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
11600
4400
3200
7200
5600
4400
19600
16800
14800
NOX IN EXCESS
OF BACKGROUND
NOX (ppm)
.093
.127
.204
.105
.126
.139
.046
.049
.053
N02 IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND
Vlg/m3
109
126
134
117
126
130
65
69
73
N02
ppm
.059
.068
.073
.063
.068
.071
.035
.037
.040
EXCESS N02
EXCESS N0x
(pprn)
.64
.54
.36
.60
.54
.51
.77
.76
.75
NOZ IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND
Vg/m'
155
206
241
174
205
222
78
85
90
N02
ppm
.084
.112
.130
.094
.111
.120
.042
.046
.049
EXCESS N02
EXCESS N0)(
(ppm)
.90
.88
.64
.90
.88
.87
.93
.93
.92
        Background Concentrations:
        Low Ozone Case:
          [0,J - .1 ppm, [NOXJ  - .05 ppm,  [NO]
        High Ozone Cose:
          [03] - .2 ppm, [NOX1  - .05 ppra,  [NO]
- .00455 ppra,  [N02]  -  .0455 ppm
- .00238 ppm,  [NOZ]  -  .0176 ppra

-------
                                                              PLANT - JOLIET
                                                                                                          HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND
Ui
U>
STABILITY
B
B
B
C
C
C
D
D
D
WIND SPEED
METERS /SEC
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF NOX
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
11600
4800
3200
8400
6000
4800
23600
20000
18000
NOX IN EXCESS
OF BACKGROUND
NOX (ppni)
.107
.226
.276
.180
.219
.242
.070
.077
.082
N02 IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND NO,
ug/V
118
144
148
139
144
146
91
97
102
ppm
.064
.078
.080
.076
.078
.079
.049
.053
.055
EXCESS NQz
EXCESS NOK
(ppm)
.56
.35
.29
.42
.36
.33
.71
.69
.67
N02 IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND N02
Vg/ra3
177
309
332
271
304
318
119
130
139
ppm
.096
.167
.180
.147
.165
.172
.064
.070
.075
EXCESS N02
EXCESS NO,,
(ppm)
.90
.74
.65
.82
.75
.71
.92
.91
.91
        Background  Concentrations:
        Low Ozone Cnse:
          [0,]  - .1 ppm, [N0x] -  .05 pp«, [NO] - .00455 ppm,  [N02] -  .0455
        High Ozone  Cnse:
          [0,]  - .2 ppm, (NOXJ -  .05 ppm, [NOj - .00238 ppm,  fN02] "  .0476 ppm

-------
                                                              PLANT  -  FISK
                                                                          LOW OZONE BACKGROUND
Ui
-P-
                                                                                                         HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND
STABILITY WIND SPEED
METERS /SEC
B
B
B
C
C
C
D
D
D
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF NOX
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
4000
2400
2000
4000
2800
2400
8800
8000
7200
NOX IN EXCESS
OF BACKGROUND
NOX (ppm)
.128
.182
.210
.157
.178
.187
.079
.082
.083
N0a IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND NO;
Ug/mJ
127
139
143
135
139
140
99
101
103
ppm
.069
.076
.077
.073
.075
.076
.054
.055
.056
EXCESS NO 2
EXCESS NO
(ppm)
.54
.42
.37
.46
.42
.41
.68
.67
.67
NOZ IN EXCESS OF
BACKGROUND N02
Pg/mJ
207
273
298
266
270
278
133
137
140
ppm
.112
.148
.162
.133
.146
.151
.072
.074
.076
EXCESS N02
EXCESS NO
(ppm)
.88
.81
.77
.85
.82
.81
.91
.91
.91
      Background Concentrations:
      Low Ozone Case:
        f03] - .1 ppm, [N0x] - .05 ppm,  [NO]  -  .00455 ppm, [N02] - .0455 ppn
      High Ozone Cage:
        [031 - .2 ppm, [NOXJ - .05 ppm,  [NOJ  -  .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476 ppn

-------
                                                           PLANT  - BETHLEHEM STEEL
                                                                                                         HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND
Ui
Ui
STABILITY




c
c


D
WIND SPEED
METERS/SEC
1
2
3
3
4.5
6
6
7
8
DISTANCE OF NOX
PEAK FROM 1ST
STACK (m)
4800
2800
2000
4000
2800
2400
8800
7600
6400
NOX IN EXCESS
OF BACKGROUND
NOX (ppro)
.225
.334
.421
.312
.381
.427
.180
.196
.207
N02 IN EX
BACKGROU
Hg/m'
144
151
153
150
152
153
139
141
143
:CESS OF
EXCESS NOZ
IND N02 EXCESS NO^
ppm
.078
.082
.083
.081
.082
.083
.075
.077
.077
(ppm)
.35
.24
.20
.26
.22
.19
.41
.39
.37
N02 IN EXCESS OF EXCESS N02
BACKGROUND N02 EXCESS NO^
JJg/tn3
308
347
356
342
352
356
272
286
296
ppm
.167
.188
.193
.185
.190
.193
.147
.155
.152
(ppra)
.74
. 55
.46
.59
.50
.45
. 82
.79
.77
        Background Concentrations:

        Low Ozone Case:

          [0,] - .1 ppm, [NOX] " .05 ppm,  [NOj -  .00455 ppm, [N02J - .0455  ppra

        High Ozone Case:

          10,1 - .2 pp», [NOX] - .05 ppm,  [NO] -  .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476  ppm

-------
            APPENDIX E








  PREDICTED NO2 CONCENTRATION FOR



INTERACTION OF EIGHT CHICAGO-AREA



POWER PLANTS--REACTIVE PLUME MODEL
                 56

-------
COLLINS
                      LINt Of IXTEIUCTIOI. 51UDIEQ
                                              0C»»lffgi!r
    -Pu
   courtt
           ?
               OlHMO
JOLUI 7,8

"JOLIET 2.3,6

     10,000   20,000    IO.IXW    40.000    SO.000    60.000   '0.000    M.OOO    90.HOT   100.000


                                       OlUtncf (Hptf*)
           INTERACTION  CASE FOR B  STABILITY,  LOW OZONE
                                             57

-------
      m LI us
                    IIHE Of IKTIRACIIOH S1UOIF.C
                                                      QCRAWrpBC'
           o
          Kill
         r.ou»Tv
                      on««co
                OJOtlf! 7,8

                 OjOLICT ?.J.S
-
                                                                                     	I-/SM
     0       10.000    20.000   30.000    «0.000    50.000     60.000    70.000    80.0OO    90.000   100.000


                                             l Hlstince |*I»rs)
           INTERACTION  CASE FOR  B  STABILITY,  HIGH  OZONE
                                              58

-------
10.000
    UOUIHS
                       LIME Of l«TfB»CT10« STUDIED
ORIDGfUW

     OCRAWrORD
10.900
         O
         • '.'..
                    O rtx*co
                iJOlin 7.8

                3JOUE1 J.3.6
          10.000    30.000    30,000   40,000    50.000    M.OOO    70.000    M.OOO   90.000    100.000


                                             l DKtincr IMttfrs)
                 INTERACTION  CASE  FOR  C  STABILITY,  LOW  OZONE

-------
lO.OOOi
     COLLINS
                        LIKE Of INTERACTION STUDIED
S  0 C
10,000
         KILL
        COUNTr
                     OTE«»CO
                OJOIIEI 7.8
                OJOIIET ?.3.6
I ?00

|
                                                                                            3"/S»c

                                                                                            <.5«/S»

                                                                                            to/Sit
           10.000    20,000    30.000    «0,000    50,000    60.000   70.000    '0.000    90.000    100.000

                                                Oluince  (Mrltri)
              INTERACTION  CASE FOR  C  STABILITY,  HIGH  OZONE
                                                    60

-------
 ic.ono-
                                                ORIOGEKMO
      L cou INS
                         LINE Of IHTEMCTIOtl STUDIED
          W1U
         COUNTY
  10.000-
                     OTtI«CO
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                INTERACTION  CASE FOR D  STABILITY,  LOW  OZONE
                                                 61

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                                            Downwind Olsttncr (Meters 1
            INTERACTION  CASE FOR  D  STABILITY,  HIGH  OZONE
                                              62

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                               TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                         (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
 REPORT NO.
 EPA-600/7-80-036
                                                    3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
Investigation  of NO2/NOx Ratios in Point Source
 Plumes
                                5. REPORT DATE
                                 February 1980
                                6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7 AUTHOR(S)                   	
J. P. Blanks, E. P.Hamilton m, B.R.Eppright, and
N.A.Nielsen
                                                    8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
Radian Corporation
P.O.  Box 9948
Austin, Texas  78766
                                 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                 INE624
                                 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.

                                 68-02-2608, Task 63
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 EPA, Office of Research and Development
 Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
 Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
                                 13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                 Task Final; 12/78 - 12/79
                                 14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                                  EPA/600/13
15.SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES JERL-RTP project officer is J. David Mobley, Mail Drop 61,
919/541-2915.  EPA-600/7-78-212 is a related report.
IB. ABSTRACT
              repOrt gives results of B. study to relate ground level NO2 concentra-
tions to NOx emissions (NO2/NOx ratio) in plumes from six large power plants in the
Chicago area, using a  photos tationary state reactive Gaussian plume model. The aim
of the study was to assess the level of NOx control required to meet a probable short-
term NO2 national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS). The major uncertainty of
an earlier study (EPA-600/7-78-212) was its assumption of uniform, fixed NO2/NOx
ratios of 0. 5 (summer) and 0.25 (winter). The reactive model used in this study pre-
dicted significantly higher NO2/NOx ratios at the point of maximum  plume impact
(0. 93 for worst case) with high ambient ozone levels (0.2 ppm). Average NO2/NOx
ratios for all high ozone cases studied were 0. 76-0. 9. The reactive model predicts
significantly higher ground level NOx impacts from the six plants. These results
indicate that the threshold short-term NO2 NAAQS level requiring NOx flue gas treat-
ment technology could  increase by 40%.  The previous study indicated that most of the
six plants could meet a 500 microgram/cu m short-term NO2 standard using NOx
combustion modification techniques (50% NOx control); this study  indicates NOx flue
gas treatment technology (90% control) may be required on these plants to meet a
750 microgram/cu m standard,  and most certainly for 500 micrograms/cu m.
17.
                            KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                DESCRIPTORS
                     b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                                                 c.  COSATI Field/Group
Pollution
Combustion
Nitrogen Oxides
Nitrogen Dioxide
Mathematical Modeling
Normal Density Functions
Flue Gases
Electric Power Plants
Ozone
                                         Pollution Control
                                         Stationary Sources
                                         Gaussian Models
13B
21B
07B

12A
10B
S. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

Release to Public
                                         19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport!
                                          Unclassified
                                              21. NO. OF PAGES
                                                    71
                                         20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                                          Unclassified
                                              22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                       63

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