SEPA United States Environmental Protection Agency Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory Research Triangle Park NC 2771 1 EPA 600 7-80-036 February 1980 Investigation of IMO2/NOx Ratios in Point Source Plumes Interagency Energy/Environment R&D Program Report ------- RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, have been grouped into nine series. These nine broad cate- gories were established to facilitate further development and application of en- vironmental technology. Elimination of traditional grouping was consciously planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields. The nine series are: 1. Environmental Health Effects Research 2. Environmental Protection Technology 3. Ecological Research 4. Environmental Monitoring 5. Socioeconomic Environmental Studies 6. Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports (STAR) 7. Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development 8. "Special" Reports 9. Miscellaneous Reports This report has been assigned to the INTERAGENCY ENERGY-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT series. Reports in this series result from the effort funded under the 17-agency Federal Energy/Environment Research and Development Program. These studies relate to EPA's mission to protect the public health and welfare from adverse effects of pollutants associated with energy sys- tems. The goal of the Program is to assure the rapid development of domestic energy supplies in an environmentally-compatible manner by providing the nec- essary environmental data and control technology. Investigations include analy- ses of the transport of energy-related pollutants and their health and ecological effects; assessments of, and development of, control technologies for energy systems; and integrated assessments of a wide'range of energy-related environ- mental issues. EPA REVIEW NOTICE This report has been reviewed by the participating Federal Agencies, and approved for publication. Approval does not signify that the contents necessarily reflect the views and policies of the Government, nor does mention of trade names or commercial products constitute endorsement or recommendation for use. This document is available to the public through the National Technical Informa- tion Service, Springfield, Virginia 22161. ------- EPA-600/7-80-036 February 1980 Investigation of IMO2/NOX Ratios in Point Source Plumes by J.P. Blanks, E.P. Hamilton III, B.R. Eppright, and N.A. Nielsen Radian Corporation P.O. Box 9948 Austin, Texas 78766 Contract No. 68-02-2608 Task No. 63 Program Element No. INE624 EPA Project Officer: J. David Mobley Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory Office of Environmental Engineering and Technology Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 Prepared for U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Research and Development Washington, DC 20460 ------- ABSTRACT The report gives results of a study to relate ground level NO2 concen- trations to NOx emissions (N02/N0x ratio) in plumes from six large power plants in the Chicago area, using a photostationary state reactive Gaussian plume model. The aim of the study was to assess the level of NOx control required to meet a probable short-term N02 national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS). The major uncertainty of an earlier study (EPA-600/7-78-212) was its assumption of uniform, fixed N02/N0x ratios of 0.5 (summer) and 0.25 (winter). The reactive model used in this study predicted significantly higher N02/N0x ratios at the point of maximum plume impact (0.93 for worst case) with high ambient ozone levels (0.2 ppm). Average N02/N0x ratios for all high ozone cases studied were 0.76-0.9. The reactive model predicts sig- nificantly higher ground level NOx impacts from the six plants. These results indicate that the threshold short-term N02 NAAQS level requiring NOx flue gas treatment technology could increase by 40%. The previous study indicated that most of the six plants could meet a 500 microgram/cu m short-term N02 standard using NOx combustion modification techniques (50% NOx control) ; this study indicates NOx flue gas treatment technology (90% control) may be re- quired on these plants to meet a 750 microgram/cu m standard, and most certainly for 500 micrograms/cu m. ii ------- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 1977 Amendments to the Clean Air Act required the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to establish a short-term National Ambient Air Quality Standard for N02 or to show that such a standard is unnecessary. If a short term N02 ambient standard is established, it is uncertain what level of NO emis- sion controls would be required from stationary combustion sources to attain and/or maintain compliance with the ambient standard. EPA s Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory at" R AC t* *a*-r»>» T*-**^ Avu -.1 — n i_ i___ . ..... . J In the previous study, the major uncertainty was the extent of conversion of NO emissions (which are primarily NO) f° 22xTAt/i«ound level- The assumption was made of uniform, fixed N02/NOX ratios of 0.5 for summer and 0.25 for winter. In the tollow-on study, a reactive Gaussian plume model using the photostationary state approach was developed and used to deter- mine the relationship of ground level N02 to NO emissions in fi!^HS^r°\S1X large power plants in the Chicago AQCR. It was aSSJ f?e 7? assumptions of uniform N02/N0x ratios were not M£££ in /S?lxcab?-e to la*8e scale P«>blein8.x Significantly higher N02/N0x ratios at the point of maximum plume impact can wSJ* m%*$l"mt "^conditions. Plume NO./NO^ ratios as high as 0.93 were found for the summer AM case (6 stability 5 m/sec wind speed - worst case in previous study) with hieh ambient ozone levels. Average N02/NOX ratios for all high ozone ?£?Vt?dicd«an8?d froml°-76 to 0.9? Ozone is the most impor"- X2 *?? * aff?c5inS N02/NOX ratios. Other factors influencing the ratio are wind speed and stability class. iJ-uencing TQQC -.If th,e ,hiSher summer AM ratios were applied to the 1985 results of the previous study, significantly higher maxi- S^tfSOUn£hleVeliN°2 ^Pacts from^the ^x Plantsywou!d be p?e- dicted. These plant impacts are as follows: Maximum Ground Level N02 Impact Due to Plant (Vtg/m3) Previous Reactive Study Model Bailly (Northern Indiana Public Service) 754 1357 Will County (Commonwealth Edison) 710 1Q78 Waukegan (Commonwealth Edison) 524 922 Joliet (Commonwealth Edison) 993 1497 Fisk (Commonwealth Edison) 379 £52 Bethlehem Steel 1182 U82 iii ------- The new results indicate that, for these conditions, the threshold short-term N02 standard level where N0x flue gas treatment becomes necessary could increase by at least 40 per- cent. For the above plants, the previous study indicated that most'could meet a 500 yg/m3 short-term N02 standard with com- bustion modification techniques for NOX control (50 percent NOX reduction). The reactive study indicates that combustion modi- fication may be insufficient to meet a 750 yg/m3 standard and that NO flue gas treatment technology (90 percent NOX control) would almost certainly be required on these units to meet a 500 yg/m3 standard. Cases of interaction of several power plant plumes were also studied with similar results and conclu- sions Thus, it appears that a short-term N02 ambient air quality standard could require stringent N0x controls on new and existing stationary combustion sources. iv ------- TABLE OF CONTENTS Page EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . CONTENTS - v FIGURES _ __ vii TABLES _ 1.0 INTRODUCTION i 2.0 CONCLUSIONS 3 3.0 RECOMMENDATIONS 9 4.0 TECHNICAL DISCUSSION u 4.1 An Adapted Gaussian Model n 4.2 The Reactive Gaussian Model H 4.2.1 Background H 4.2.2 Application of NO 14 4.2.3 The Equilibrium Hypothesis 16 4.3 Reactive Model Results 19 4.3.1 Interactions Between NO, N02, 03 In a Plume 19 4.3.2 Power Plant Reactive Plume Modeling 23 4.3.2.1 Meteorology 24 4.3.2.2 Power Plants 25 4.3.3 Model Results—Individual Plants 26 4.3.4 Model Results — Interaction Case 30 REFERENCES 34 APPENDICES A. SELECTED CONVERSION FACTORS ' 35 B. SUMMARY OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FOR CASE DAYS STUDIED - 37 ------- TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) Page C. PREDICTED 1975 NO AND NO LEVELS FOR SIX CHICAGO AREA POWER PLANTS - PREVIOUS STUDY (NON-REACTIVE PLUME MODEL) 42 D. PREDICTED NO AND NO CONCENTRATIONS FOR SIX CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS--REACTIVE PLUME MODEL 49 E. PREDICTED NO CONCENTRATION FOR INTERACTION OF EIGHT CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS--REACTIVE PLUME MODEL — 56 VI ------- LIST OF FIGURES Number Page 1 PROCEDURE FOR COMPUTING SHORT-TERM CONCENTRA- TIONS OF NO, N02, AND 03 18 2 SPECIES CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02, AND 03 VERSUS N0x CONCENTRATIONS — 20 3 TYPICAL SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02, AND 03 DOWNWIND FROM STACK 21 4 TYPICAL SPECIES CONCENTRATIONS ACROSS WIDTH OF PLUME 22 5 POWER PLANTS IN CHICAGO AQCR-- 27 6 NO 2 CONCENTRATIONS AND N02/NO RATIO FOR AN EXAMPLE INTERACTION CASE 32 vii ------- LIST OF TABLES Number Page 1 OVERALL PLUME N02/NOV RATIOS AT POINT OF PEAK X CONCENTRATION OBTAINED FROM REACTIVE MODEL - HIGH OZONE CASE-- 2 EFFECT OF NEW N02/NOV RATIOS ON RESULTS OF X PREVIOUS STUDY - SUMMER A.M., COINCIDENT HIGH OZONE CASE 3 1975 ESTIMATED NO FROM SIX POWER PLANTS x STUDIED (NOX AS N02) 28 MODEL RESULTS FOR WILL COUNTY PLANT 29 viii ------- 1.0 INTRODUCTION Nitrogen oxides react with numerous chemical pollutants in the atmosphere. Consequently, simulation of NOX reactions is an important and complicated problem. The most important reactions im most photochemical situations concern NO, N02, 03, and hydro- carbons in the presence of sunlight. Sunlight causes N02 to break down to an NO molecule and an oxygen atom. This oxygen atom combines with an 02 molecule to form ozone, which then combines with NO to form N02 and 02. Thus, oxygen atoms tend to "trade off" between NO and 02. The process becomes much more complicated when hydro- carbons are considered. The mechanism here seems to be that HC molecules present reaction "paths" for the production of N02 from NO which do not involve the breakdown of 03. Thus, a surplus of 03 builds up from the dissociation of N02 and the subsequent reformation of 0 atoms with 02 molecules. This explains the heavy buildup of ozone in the presence of large hydrocarbon concentra- tions . All of these mechanisms (and many others) enter into the modeling of NOX in the atmosphere. In addition, the chemical pollutants are being advected and diffused by wind and turbulence in the atmosphere. In general, large numerical computer models are required to simulate atmospheric chemistry. However, these models are generally very expensive and difficult to use. One recourse available to the modeler is to utilize the simpler and less expensive Gaussian plume model. This type of model has enjoyed great success in modeling the advection and diffusion of pollutants in the past. It offers an analytical closed-form solution to the diffusion equation often used to model ------- advection and diffusion of inert pollutants. As long as the ground surface in the area to be modeled is not too irregular, and the wind field is homogenous and wind shear is not too large, the Gaussian model is usually adequate for inert chemical species. However, the diffusion equation for which the Gaussian formulae are derived are not valid when the species are reactive. The chemical reactions introduce nonlinearities into the diffusion equation which make analytical solutions impossible. In modeling NOX, the nitrogen atoms are usually assumed to be present only in NO or N02. Consequently, it is permissible to consider the sum of these concentrations, or identically the concentration of NOX, to be inert. Thus, NOX may be modeled by a Gaussian plume formula. This was done by Radian in a previous study for EPA, Eppright et al, Impact of Point Source Control Strategies on N02 Levels, EPA-600/7-78-212, November 1978.l In this case, the difficulty is assessing the proper ratio of NO to N02 or, identically, the ratio of NO or N02 con- centrations to total NOV concentrations. In the above previous X study a constant ratio was assumed for all parts of the plume, meaning essentially that both NO and N02 concentrations were described by Gaussian formulae. Moreover, the ratio of N02 to NOX in the plume was assumed based on ambient data to be either 1/2 (0.5) in summer or 1/4 (0.25) in winter. The purpose of this study was to develop a more sophisticated treatment of the photo- chemistry in order to investigate the applicability of these ratios. In this study, several of the cases in the previous report were analyzed using the reactive model described in this report. Days with high ozone concentrations were identified and meteoro- logical conditions and ambient NO, N02, and ozone concentrations were developed. The cases were modeled using the above data for both high (0.2 ppm) and low (0.1 ppm) ozone concentrations. Also, interaction of sources was studied to a limited extent. ------- 2.0 CONCLUSIONS The reactive model was run for several cases involving six power plants in the Chicago AQCR. A range of meteorological conditions was identified for days with high ambient ozone con- centrations. Meteorological conditions were varied in order to study the surface N02/NOX ratios due to the power plants under conditions when a short-term N02 standard might be violated. Re- sults for individual power plants are shown in Appendix D and are discussed in Section 4.3.3. From these results the following conclusions concerning the cases studied were drawn: • N02/NOX ratio for the plume at the point of highest ground level concentration increases as the back- ground ozone concentration increases. Ozone pro- bably has the most influence on the ratio because for higher ozone levels, larger fractions of NO are converted to N02. According to the theory used in the modeling approach, the total NOV concentration f\ (NO + N02) is independent of background ozone con- centration. • For a given wind speed, as the atmosphere becomes more stable over the range of stabilities studied, the N02/NOV ratio increases. For a given stability class studied, the N02/NOX ratio decreases as wind speed increases. For a given stability class, the distance of the NOX peak from the stack decreases as wind speed increases. This is a general characteristic of Gaussian dispersion models. ------- It should be noted that these conclusions are valid only for peak concentrations. At other locations within the plume, different N02/NOX ratios will occur. For example, the N02/NOX ratio increases as cross wind distance from the plume centerline increases although the total concentration of NOX is reduced over the same distance. It is also worthwhile to mention that most of those conclusions can be anticipated from the knowledge that (a) as NOX increases, with a given 03 background, less conversion of total NO to N02 occurs, meaning the ratio of N02/NOX decreases, and (b) given a fixed total NOX value, as 03 increases so does the N02/N0x ratio. Given these facts, which are derived from the re- sults of the Technical Discussion (Part 4.0), the major conclu- sion which might not be expected is that, for a given stability class, the N02/N0 ratio decreases as wind speed increases. This is probably due to the fact that an increasing wind speed will lower the plume height, so that the maximum NOX concentration will be raised, and thus the N02/NOX ratio will be decreased. It was also found that plant plume interactions are still potentially significant contributors to high ambient N02 concentrations. The reactive model predicts that plume inter- actions may indeed occur over reasonably long distances, depending upon meteorological conditions. Results for power plant interac- tion cases are shown in Appendix E and are discussed in Section 4.3.4. For individual plants, ratios of N02/NOX in the plumes at points of peak concentration were found to vary between 0.19 and 0.80 for low backgound ozone concentrations and from 0.46 to 0.93 for high ozone concentrations. Results for the latter case are shown in Table 1. They are considerably higher than the ratio ------- of 0.5 assumed for summer conditions in the previous study. The results of the earlier study, shown in Appendix D, indicate that previous worst cases occurred for summer A.M., C stability, 5 m/sec wind speed. These conditions are very similar to those used in the present study (C stability, 4.5 m/sec) except for mixing height.* Thus, for coincident high ozone and NOX, it appears that the N02/NOX ratio in the plume can be significantly higher than 0.5. For the six plants studied using the reactive model (1985 emissions levels), the summer A.M. NOa concentrations from the pre- vious study (ratio of 0.5) were reapportioned using the new N02/ N0x ratios. Non-power-plant ratios were assumed to remain at 0.5. The results are shown in Table 2. These are the short-term results which would have been obtained in the previous study had higher N02/NOX ratios for the power plants been used as appears to be warranted by the results of the latest reactive study. The new results indicate that, for these conditions with concurrent high ozone levels, the threshold short-term N02 standard level where flue gas treatment (FGT) for NO becomes necessary could increase by at least 40 percent, i.e., if 500 Ug/m3 were the threshold level under the old study, 750 yg/m3 could be the new threshold level. For the above plants, the previous study indicated that most could meet a 400 yg/m3 short- term standard with combustion modification techniques for NO control. The reactive sutyd indicates that combustion modifica- may be insufficient to meet a 750 yg/m3 standard and that NO flue gas treatment technology would almost certainly be required * The theoretical analysis in Section 4.2 indicates, however, that increased NOX concentrations due to reduced mixing heights will still result in plume N02/N0 ratios significantly higher than 0.5 under high ozone conditions (e.g. 0.2 ppm) . ------- TABLE 1. OVERALL PLUME N02/NOX RATIOS AT POINT OF PEAK CONCENTRATION OBTAINED FROM REACTIVE MODEL - HIGH OZONE CASE Stability B C D Range In Wind Speed Studied 1-3 m/sec 3-6 m/sec 6-8 m/sec N02/NOX Ratio Min Max .46 .45 .77 90 91 93 Avg. .76 .78 .90 (Note: Bethlehem Steel showed consistently lower ratios than all other power plants and thus tended to reduce the average ratio.) ------- TABLE 2. EFFECT OF NEW N02/NOV RATIOS ON RESULTS OF Ps PREVIOUS STUDY - SUMMER A.M., COINCIDENT HIGH OZONE.CASE As Modified Based on As Reported in Previous Plant Bailly ** Will Cty + Waukegan + Jollet + Fisk+ Both Stl Plant Plume N0s/N0x Ratio 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Total NOX 1696 1648 1588 2336 1531 2554 Study Plant NO 2 754 710 524 998 379 1182 Total NO 2 849 824 794 1168 766 1277 Results riant Plume N02/N0x Ratio 0.90 0.76 0.88 0.75 0.82 0.50 of Latest Study Total N0y 1696 1648 1588 2336 1531 2554 Plant NOX 1357 1078 922 1497 652 1182 Total NOZ* 1451 1193 1372 1667 1039 1277 * Total N02 assumes 50 percent conversion of non-power plant NOX to N02. ** Northern Indiana Public Service + Commonwealth Edison ------- on these units to meet a 500 yg/m3 standard. These effects might be further amplified if non-power plant plumes also had higher N02/N0x ratios. Results of the interaction cases indicate the same effect, namely that NOX flue gas treatment most probably will be required to meet higher short-term ambient N02 standards if plume reactivity is considered. Thus, it appears that a short- term N02 ambient air quality standard could require stringent N0x conctrols on new and existing stationary combustion sources, 8 ------- 3.0 RECOMMENDATIONS Further study of the application of NOX control tech- nology to large point sources should be undertaken. While this study essentially agrees with the previous study that large point sources may dominate high short-term N02 levels based upon reactive plume modeling, several factors merit further investiga- tion. First, the stack emissions in Ib/hr* from each plant were assumed to consist entirely of NO. The effects of NO/NOX ratio and ozone concentration in the stack upon N02/N0x ratio downwind should be investigated in detail as N02 can constitute a signi- ficant portion of the effluent from some sources. Second, this study has shown that the downwind N02/N0x ratio is highly depen- dent upon background ozone concentration and meteorological con- ditions. In the case of the plants studied, site-specific meteor- ological conditions related to the lake breeze effect were not considered, although the lake breeze is thought to have contri- buted significantly to high ozone concentrations on several days during the period studied. More defensible results could be ob- tained if the meteorological conditions were investigated more thoroughly or if another AQCR without these specific conditions were investigated. Third, a large scale study of plant inter- actions similar to the previous study should be considered in order to further clarify the extent of power plant N02 impact. Fourth, the new reactive model should be investigated with respect to applicability, especially with regard to variations in diffu- sivity and advection coefficients. Finally, a large scale photo- chemical model should be used to investigate the effects of point source NOX control strategies on levels of NO, N02, ozone, and other pollutants on an AQCR basis. * Government policy is to stress the use of SI units in technical reports. However, for this report, commonly used units will be given. Conversion factors are shown in Appendix A ------- Furthermore, cost and performance characteristics of full-scale NOX flue gas treatment (FGT) control devices should continue to be studied. The effects of these devices on air quality, economics, and system performance should be investi- gated. 10 ------- 4.0 TECHNICAL DISCUSSION 4.1 An Adapted Gaussian Model The reactive plume model developed and used in this study will be discussed. This model was an adapted form of the Gaussian dispersion formula. It was found that, although the species NO, N02, and 03 are not inert, some linear combinations of these species' concentrations act as they were inert2' 3' "*. in addition, reactions between these particular species are generally fast enough to assume they are in equilibrium. This phenomenon will be discussed in greater detail in Section 4.2. The impor- tance of these two observations is that they allow the determina- tion of closed form solutions rather than requiring numerical solutions for the concentrations of these three species when they are the only three pollutants present. Of course, this last condition is not usually fulfilled. The presence of hydrocarbons in the atmosphere causes a slow buildup of ozone which interacts with NO to form N02, as mentioned before. Thus the (NO, N02, 03) system is not closed. However, the ozone buildup is so gradual that for a given short-term ob- servation, the 03 acts as a background concentration. Thus, when 03 background concentrations are available, the simulation mecha- nism described here will be a reasonable approximation for short- term analyses. 4.2 The Reactive Gaussian Model 4.2.1 Background The reactive Gaussian computer model used was a modi- fied version of a Gaussian dispersion model. Whereas most Gaussian 11 ------- models are non-reactive, the version used in this study reflects three of the major photochemical reactions known to occur in the atmosphere. These three reactions are described as follows: N02 + hy -*• NO -f 0; ki (depends on sunlight), (1) 0 + 02 -»• 03; k2 = 2.33 x 10"5ppm"2 min"1 (2) NO 4- 03 + N02 4- 02;k3 = 2.95 x 10 ppm"l min"1 (3) Since the reaction in equation (2) occurs quite rapidly, equations (1) and (3) dominate the chemistry. These equations are by no means the only photochemical processes which occur in the atmosphere. Certainly reactions involving hydrocarbons, C02, and H20 contribute heavily to the photochemical problem. However, these three reactions, when incorporated into an atmospheric dispersion model, can be used to show short-term trends in the major photochemical species in NO, N02, and 03. The use of Gaussian model to predict dispersion and advection processes involves other difficulties apart from not dealing with hydrocarbons. Modern numerical models are better equipped to describe the complex structure of the lower atmo- sphere, and in addition, are better predictors of atmospheric mechanisms in complex terrain. Moreover, the major advantage of numerical models is their ability to simulate the chemical mech- anisms which occur in the atmosphere because the concentrations of chemical species at any point in space and time are functions of the reactions which took place prior to the time considered. Thus, in order to find the concentration of N02 at a given time and place in the atmosphere, one must solve for the concentra- tions of all three species, NO, N02 and 03 for all times prior to that considered, and for all locations in space from which 12 ------- pollutants may diffuse or advect to the point in question. This methodology is ideally suited for numerical cell models, since they already employ a reiterative scheme in determining the wind flow. The major difficulty with numerical models is their ex- tremely long solution time and attendant expense. In addition, the complexity of the numerical approach makes it difficult to get any insight into the physical mechanisms which can be applied generally. The model developed for this study uses the photosta- tionary state relationship ^ 3 to obtain an analytical solution to the species concentrations, while largely incorporating the chem- ical processes described in reactions (1) to (3). The analytical nature of the model allows a very fast computation time, and also allows some fairly general statements to be made concerning the chemical processes. As was previously mentioned, the reason that a Gaussian model is not directly applicable to the species NO, N02, and 03 is that they are not inert. Their reactions introduce nonlineari- ties into the diffusion equations for the concentrations which prohibit their expansions as Gaussian curves. However, consider the case of a closed volume with interacting species which are not in equilibrium. Though the molecular concentrations change, the atomic concentrations (obtained by adding the distributions from different species) will not, as a consequence of the conservation of mass. Following Peters and Richards3 this fact can be exploited to decouple the differential equations which describe the NO, N02 and 03 reactions. Inherent to this decoupling process is the assumption that atomic concentrations are diffused independently of the molecular form in which they are bound. In the case of a single nitrogen atom, 13 ------- this assumption implies that its movement due to diffusion and turbulence is, for the practical purposes, independent of whether the atom is bound up with a single oxygen atom as NO or two oxygen atoms (NOa)• In other words, given the position of the nitrogen atom at a certain time, its position at a later time will be gov- erned by a distribution law which is independent of the other atoms with which it is bonded. Although this assumption seems question- able on a microscopic level (because of the different molecular weights and different molecular diffusion rates), on a macroscopic level the atmospheric turbulence dominates the diffusion and differences due to molecular type are inconsequential. This prin- ciple is generally assumed in modeling any airborne pollutant. 4.2.2 Application to NOX Consider the nitrogen atoms in the equations (1), (2), and (3). They can exist either in the form NO or N02. Thus, the concentration of nitrogen atoms is given by i|»i = [NO] + [N02] <4> Now, by the preceding arguments, in the case of a con- tinuous point source at point (0, 0, H) of the coordinate system, in a steady wind u in the x direction it may be seen that _ i TJ\ 2 t — u\ 2\ t c\ z T tij _ (z - n.) \ v->; where iho is the background level of [NO] + [NO2] and Qi is the source strength of [NOj + lN02]- Other forms of the Gaussian formula are available, but this is sufficient for explanation. 14 ------- Thus, the nitrogen atomic concentration is given. One might ask if there are any other "composites" of this type. One such group is the "floating" oxygen atoms which may either be "free" (that is, 0 atoms) or bound up on N02 or 03. These atoms are driven by turbulence and diffusion mechanisms identical to those which influence the nitrogen atoms, so the quantity [N02] + [03] + [0] is determined by an equation analogous to that for the nitrogen atoms, if it is assumed that equations (1), (2), and (3) are all that apply (i.e., other photochemical processes are ignored). Since [0] is small, due to the reaction speed of equation (2), the combination considered is as follows: $2 » [03] + [N02] (6) with a distribution of the form, 1^2 = ^20 where i|»2o is the background level of [N02] + [03] and Qa is the source strength of [N02] + [ 03]. It is anticipated that in many cases of interest involv- ing equations (5) and (7), one will have 4>io = Qz = 0 since the background level of [NO] + [NO2] will be zero and all the pollu- tant emitted from the stack will be NO, meaning Qa = 0. However, equations (5) and (7) will be maintained in their present form for symmetry and generality. Nonzero background levels were used in this analysis. 15 ------- 4.2.3 The Equilibrium Hypothesis Since ^i and ^2 are given in closed form, equations (4) and (6) give two equations in three unknowns. The concentrations [NO], [N02J, and [03] cannot be found without more assumptions. If the assumption is made that the species [NO], and [03] are in equilibrium, then there exist three equations in three unknowns allowing a solution. Choosing [NO] as the species in question, d| [NO] = k, [N02] - k3[NO][03] (8) and for equilibrium to hold, this must equal zero, so (9) Combining equations (4) , (6) , and (9) gives (10) [N02] -'. *i - *2 - Tp- V(*i + ^2 + rr) - 4*i*2 (ID [NO] - £i [Oj] Thus, the species concentrations are available in closed form for a short-term solution. 16 ------- These are the solutions for the NO, N02 and 03 concen- trations given the assumption of equilibrium. There are some difficulties with this assumption, as are discussed in references (2), (3), and (4). In general, non-homogeneities in the plume and background concentrations seem to cause some departures from equilibrium, but it is thought that this is largely a result of o concentration measurements which are averaged over time. Until more is known about these processes, the equilibrium assumption still appears to be a very reasonable and practical approach. It should be mentioned here that in applying equations (10) through (12), it is not necessary to actually calculate the new composite functions i|>i or i|>2. Instead, it is sufficient to observe that by the arguments of the preceding section the same results were obtained for the atomic concentrations regardless of whether the species was considered inert. Thus, the existing Gaussian model can be modified and used to calculate the "inert" species concentrations at any given point in space, and then these quantities transformed to get the new equilibrium concentrations. Thus, if the existing model gives [NO] , [N02] , and o o [03] as the "inert" concentrations at a point (x, y, z) , then from equations (4) and (6) *i - CNO]0 + [N02]Q [N02] o (14) Equations (10) through (12) may then be applied directly to i|>i, ^2 to transform the "inert" concentrations to actual concen- trations. This procedure, shown in Figure 1, was used in the present study. 17 ------- Input Data Meteorological Conditions Oi, NOX Background Values Plant Data--N0 Emission Rates Points for Computation Compute vi - [NOX] at Each Ambient Point Using Standard Gaussian Dispersion Formulae Compute *2 " [NO2] + [Oj] Using Background Ozone and NO j Levels Apply Equilibrium Hypothesis to tf>i and vz to Compute [NO], [N02] and [03] at Each Point FIGURE 1. PROCEDURE FOR COMPUTING SHORT- TERM CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02, AND 03 18 ------- 4.3 Reactive Model Results In the previous section it was shown that an analytic solution to the short-term reactive plume problem could be reached. The methodology developed was tested both theoretically and prac- tically. These results will now be discussed. 4.3.1 Interactions Between NO, N02 , Oa In a Plume It is useful to consider the relative concentrations of NO, N02, and Oa which exist in a plume when these species are in equilibrium. Using the equilibrium relation previously derived, INO][03] = kj. = k (15) [N02] k3 and the above methods it is possible to obtain the short-term concentrations of NO, N02, and 03 as a function of [NO ]. Assum- ing an initial background concentration of 0.1 ppm for ozone, and assuming k=0.01, Figure 2 shows these concentrations. Notice that if K is changed to 0.005 the curves are virtually unchanged, so exact values of k are not crucial. Another informative way of viewing the NO, N02, Oa inter- actions is by considering a typical plume. Figure 3 shows the three species' surface concentrations at various points downwind from a stack. Figure 4 shows the concentrations as a function of crosswind distance from the plume centerline. A third observation about the relative NO, N02,and NO X concentrations is that there is usually some ambiguity about the proportions of these species emitted from the stack. Thus, often 19 ------- Concen- tration (ppm) equilibrium const. - .01 equilibrium const. « .005 .1 .2 .3 (NO,) (ppoi) / (N0x= NO + N02) .5 02-4241-1 FIGURE 2. SPECIES CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, N02, AND Os versus NO CONCENTRATIONS 20 ------- Increasing Distance •*• 02-4242-1 FIGURE 3. TYPICAL SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS OF NO, NO2, AND 03 DOWNWIND FROM STACK 21 ------- (0,) Increasing Distance from Centerline of Flume -*• 02-4243-1 FIGURE 4. TYPICAL SPECIES CONCENTRATIONS ACROSS WIDTH OF PLUME 22 ------- measurements of NOX emissions do not discriminate between NO and N02. However, with the huge concentrations of NOX within the stack, Figure 2 shows that NO will prevail. Indeed, NO is generally assumed to comprise 95 percent or more of the NOX present in stack emissions. This is important because it allows the simplifying assumption that plant NOX emissions are comprised entirely of NO. 4.3.2 Power Plant Reactive Plume Modeling Computer runs using the new reactive model were made for six power plants in the Chicago AQCR under a large variety of meteorological conditions to determine the ratios of N02 to NO concentrations. Three types of cases were investigated, all of which were based on concentrations downwind from the stacks. (1) First, the total NOX concentration was calculated, assuming a constant background concentration of NOX of 0.05 ppm, which is a representative value. (2) A low-ozone situation was simulated. This run used the same background value of NOX as (1), but the ratio of background NOz to NOX was adjusted to give equilibrium. The ozone level was set at 0.1 ppm. (3) A high-ozone background was simulated. Here the ozone level was set at 0.2 ppm. The NOX level was kept at 0.05 ppm, but again the background N0-N02 split was adjusted for equilibrium. 23 ------- In each case the following results were obtained: Downwind distance of N02 and N0x peaks • NO2 and NOX concentrations Ratio of NO2 to NO for the plume only These cases were evaluated for given meteorological conditions and power plant outputs. 4.3.2.1 Meteorology Ambient atmospheric conditions were developed from actual 1975 Chicago data. Seven days with extremely high ambient Oa levels at up to seven continuous monitor sites were identified.* Ambient ozone maximum levels on these days ranged from slightly over 0.1 ppm to nearly 0.25 ppm. A synopsis of Chicago meteoro- logical conditions for these days is given in Appendix B. In general, meteorological conditons associated with these days were as follows: Sunny and warm with no cloud cover, haze, or thin high clouds High pressure and/or presence of a cool front Temperature in high 80's or low 90's • Wind speeds about 10 mph or less B or C stability Unlimited mixing or high mixing heights* *It was assumed that high ambient 03 levels would result in high N02 levels for power plants. 24 ------- The "stability" of the atmosphere refers to its ability to dis- perse pollutants. Mixing height in the thickness of a ground- gased layer through which pollutant mixing and dispersion occurs. In addition, on several days conditions were favorable for onshore penetration by the lake breeze or lake breeze enhance- ment of meteorological conditions in the areas with the highest ambient concentrations. For each of the above three case types (representative low 03, high 03), nine meteorological situations were simulated. Type B stability was run with wind speeds of 1, 2, and 3 m/sec. Type C wind speeds considered were 3, 4.5, and 6 m/sec. Type D stabilities had wind speeds of 6, 7, and 8 m/sec. The temperature was 80°F, and there was unlimited mixing. As previously stated, these conditions appear to be conducive to high ambient ozone levels in Chicago, although further investigations should also address lake breeze effects. 4.3.2.2 Power Plants The following six Chicago-area coal-fired power plants were investigated in this study: Bailly (Northern Indiana Public Service) Will County (Commonwealth Edison) Waukegan (Commonwealth Edison Joliet (Commonwealth Edison) • Fisk (Commonwealth Edison) • Bethlehem Steel *In the previous study results (Appendix C), mixing heights ranged from 200-800 meters. Theoretically, these lower mixing heights are usually conducive to high ozone formation. The ozone incident studied may have resulted from other factors (such as lake breeze effect) despite unlimited mixing or high mixing heights. 25 ------- The locations of these plants are shown in Figure 5. In the previous Chicago study, these six plants had high ambient NOX and N02 levels predicted; these levels are shown for 1975 in Appendix C. NOX emissions for 1975 for these six plants were esti- mated in the previous study and are shown in Table 3. These emis- sions were assumed to be entirely NO at the stack orifice; the values in Table 3 were converted to reflect the change in atomic weight. It was also assumed that no ozone was emitted from the stacks. A.3.3 Model Results--Individual Plants Detailed model results for the six plants studied are shown in Appendix D. Ratios of N02/NOX at the point of highest ground level concentration ranged from 0.19 to 0.80 for low back- ground ozone concentrations and from 0.46 to 0.93 for high ozone concentrations. As an example, results for the Will County plant are shown in Table 4. From the results, the following conclusions concerning the cases studied were drawn: • the N02/N0xratio for the plume at the point of highest ground level concentration is related to background ozone concentration. Ozone probably has more influence on the ratio than any other factor. • for a given wind speed, as the atmosphere becomes more stable over the range of sta- bilities studied, the ratio of N02/NOX increases. 26 ------- •<530 <560 - GRUNDY r i i KAMKAKEH ^/ 3SO 380 — AQCR BOUNDARY EI3 INCORPORATED A« = A BOUNDARY -- COUNTY BOUNDARIES O UTILITY FOSSIL-FLTLED STEAM PLANT + UTILITY COMBUSTION TURBINE PLANT A NON-UTILITY FOSSIL-FUELED STEAM PLANT UTW EASTING FIGURE 5. POWER PLANTS IN CHICAGO AQCR (Plants Used Are Identified) 27 ------- TABLE 3. 1975 ESTIMATED NOX FROM SIX POWER PLANTS STUDIED (N0y AS NO 2) Plant NOX as N02* (Ib/hr) Bailly 14,960 Will County 15,126 Waukegan 13 > 414 Joliet 24,606 Fisk 7>298 Bethlehem Steel 10,135 "Full Load. 28 ------- TABLE 4. MODEL RESULTS FOR WILL COUNTY PLANT LOW OZONE BACKGROUND HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND ro so STABILITY B B B C C C D D D WIND SPEED METERS /SEC 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF NO PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) 11600 4000 2800 6400 4800 4000 16800 14400 12800 NOX IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppm) .152 .220 .257 .184 .214 .229 .082 .088 .093 N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NO, yg/m3 133 144 147 140 143 145 102 106 109 ppm .072 .078 .080 .076 .078 .078 .055 .058 .059 EXCESS N02 EXCESS NOX (ppm) .48 .35 .31 .41 .36 .34 .66 .65 .64 N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND N02 Ug/m* 240 305 325 275 301 311 138 148 155 ppm .130 .165 .180 .150 .160 .170 .075 .080 .080 EXCESS N02 EXCESS N0x (ppm) .85 .75 .69 .81 .76 .74 .91 .91 .90 Background Concentrations* Low Ozone Case: f03] - .1 ppm, [NOX1 - .05 ppm, [NO] - .00455 ppm, fN02J - .0455 High Ozone Case: [Oi] - .2 ppm, [NOJ • .05 ppm, [NO] - .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476 ppm ppm ------- • for a given stability class, the distance of the NO peak from the stack decreases as wind speed increases. This is a general characteristic of Gaussian dispersion mo- dels. It should also be noted that the total [NOX] value is independent of the concentration of background ozone, so one value of [N0x] is given for both cases. Also, the NO, N02, and NO concentrations all peak at the same point in the modeling results, which is again the result of the monotonic dependence of [NO] and [N02] on [NOX] in the model theory, as illustrated earlier in Figure 2. It also appears that the short-term N02 impact of power plants will be significant in many cases. Moreover, it should be noted that, for the cases studied, the net percentage of N02 at the point of greatest impact may be greater than the value assumed in the previous study, depending on background ozone con- centration. This would result-in greater power plant impacts and, thus, a greater need for flue gas treatment to meet a given short- term N02 standard. 4.3.4 Model Results — Interaction Case The interaction of plumes from eight power plants along the Chicago Sanitary and Barge Canal was also studied. Resulting ground-level N02 concentrations along a line from Collins to Fisk for the meteorological conditions discussed in Section 4.3.2.1 are shown in Appendix E. The case studied which resulted in the highest N02 concentrations was B stability, high ozone; these re- sults are shown in Figure 6 along with the N02/N0 ratio for a X wind speed of 1 m/sec. 30 ------- When NO concentrations from a given plume are calcu- lated in a Gaussian model the predictions are questionable beyond 50 km, and since the total distance modeled in this study was of the order of 100 km, this might cause some concern. However, the figures clearly show that the most important interactive effects occur within 50 km of each stack (where the Gaussian approach is reasonable). Comparison of these results with others in Appendix E indicates that strong plume interactions may indeed occur. The degree of interaction and the resulting ground level N02 concen- trations at any point was found to be a result of the following factors: • background ozone concentration • stability class wind speed (and direction) In addition, the degree of interaction is highly depen- dent upon power plant loading; this was not investigated in this study although it was addressed to some degree for "typical" cases in the previous study. The cases investigated in this study assumed that all plants were operating at full load, a case which amy not occur during most of the year. However, this case is more likely to occur during the meteorological conditions addressed in this study, since high ozone conditions are generally associated with hot weather and strongly correlate with summer peak loads caused by high air-conditioning demand. For example, the Common- wealth Edison 1975 summer peak load of 12,305 megawatts occurred on August 1 between 1 and 2 pm; August 1 was one of the days studied because of high ozone levels. Moreover, the Commonwealth 31 ------- 10.000-f 10.000 o Will COIIIll* LIKE Of IKICRACIIO* STUDIED o HIM.O QJOIIET 7.8 OjOUtT 2.1.6 ORIOMUKO I«/SK JW5*C )•/$« 0.80 • 0.70 10.000 -^^ ^OOO *0.000 70.000 W.OOO sunct IHflers) 6 N02 CONCENTRATIONS AND N02/N0x RATIO FOR AN EXAMPLE INTERACTION CASE 32 ------- Edison summer peak period in 1975 was from 14 July to 30 August, a period including all but two of the days with very high ozone levels. Hence, it is not unreasonable for generalized analysis to consider cases with power plants at full load or nearly full load, especially if the system peak correlates well with high measured ambient ozone levels.* * Because of its general nature, this analysis did not attempt to include actual plant loadings. More specific analysis of actual case days should include actual loadings and emission rates. 33 ------- REFERENCES 1. B. R. Eppright, et al, Impact of Point Source Control Strategies in N02 Levels. EPA-RJO/7-78-212, Novem^ her 1978. 2. Bilger, R. W. (1978) "The effect of admixing fresh emissions on the photostationary state relationship in photochemical smog." Atmospheric Environment 12, 1109-1118. 3. Peters, L. K. and Richards, L. W. (1977) "Extension of atmospheric dispersion models to incorporate fast reversible reactions." Atmospheric Environment 11, 101-108. 4. Kewley, D. J. (1978) "Atmospheric Dispersion of a Chemically Reacting Plume." Atmospheric Environment Vol. 12 pp. 1895-1900. 5. Seinfeld, J. H. (1975) Air Pollution: Physical and Chemical Fundamentals. McUraw-Hill, Inc. 34 ------- APPENDIX A SELECTED CONVERSION FACTORS 35 ------- APPENDIX A SELECTED CONVERSION FACTORS New Units Joules Metric Tons/ Year Equal Old Units Million BTU (MMBTU) Tons/Year Multiplied By 1.054 x 109 0.907 m/sec knots 0.514 g/sec Ib/hour 0.125 nr Thousand Cubic Feet (MCF) 28.3 m/sec inph 0.447 kilometer mile 1.609 g/joule lb/MMBTU 4.304 x 10"7 kPa psia 0.143 36 ------- APPENDIX B SUMMARY OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FOR CASE DAYS STUDIED 37 ------- APPENDIX B 07/01/75 SUMMARY OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FOR CASE DAYS STUDIED Sunny; warm; no precipitation in area. Weak pressure gradient, on west part of broad high pressure system. Southeasterly to southerly gradient flow over area. Wind speed 3-12 mph. Favorable for lake breeze from Lake Michigan to reach well into Chicago. C stability; temperature mid-80's. Mixing heights 6700-6800 ft. 07/02/75 Mostly sunny, with mostly high, thin clouds; warm; and no precipitation in area. Weak pressure gradient in morning, becoming some- what stronger in afternoon, as broad high pressure system shifted slowly to position southwest through southeast of Chicago. Southwesterly to westerly gradient flow over area. Wind speed 3-9 mph. Not very favorable for lake breeze to extend onshore on west side of Lake Michigan. B stability; temperature upper 80's. Mixing heights 6500-6800 ft. 38 ------- 07/30/75 Sunny; warm; no precipitation; hazy. High pressure ridge over area, with center in northeastern U.S. Easterly gradient wind over most of area. Wind speed 3-13 mph. Favorable for lake breeze enhancement of easterly winds to occur well into Chicago. C stability; temperature lower 90's. Mixing heights 500-5800 ft. 07/31/75 08/01/75 Sunny; warm; no precipitation; hazy. High pressure over area, with one center over northern lower Michigan and one in the Middle Atlantic States. Easterly gradient flow, in general, over the area, with a northeast tendency. Wind speed 0-13 mph. C stability; temperature lower 90's. Mixing heights 500-5700 ft. Partly sunny in morning, mostly cloudy in afternoon and night; warm; thundershowers and showers in latter part of afternoon and in evening; hazy in early morning, before thundershowers began in after- noon, and between showers. 39 ------- -- Cold front moving east from Central and Northern Plains and weak disturbance moving north from lower Mississippi Valley; high pressure shifting slowly southeastward. -- Generally southerly to southeasterly gradient winds over area, but variable and gusty with disturbed conditions in afternoon. Wind speeds 0-13 mph. -- Marginal situation for significant penetration of lake breeze into Chicago, but conditions apparently rather complicated during course of day. -- B to D stability; temperature in lower 90's. -- Mixing height 4700-5900 ft. -- NOTE: Cold front did not move through Chicago until the afternoon of 08/02. 08/04/75 -- Sunny; warm; no precipitation. — Between two cold fronts, one from Lower Great Lakes to lower Mississippi Valley and one Upper Great Lakes to Central Plains; weak high pressure, centered over northern Missouri. -- Westerly gradient wind in day, followed by westerly to southwesterly gradient flow in evening and night as second cold front approached from the north. Wind speeds 5-9 mph. -- Not favorable for lake breeze penetration into Chicago. 40 ------- -- B to C stability; temperature in upper 80's to lower 90's. -- Nearly unlimited mixing. — NOTE: Cold front passed through Chicago in the morning on 08/05, accompanied by showers and followed by a large, cool high pressure system. 08/11/75 -- Day began clear and very hazy, with increasing high, thin cloudiness in late morning; overcast in afternoon, with thunderstorm activity; warm until mid afternoon. -- Quasi-stationary front in area, on east-west alignment just north of Chicago; weak pressure gradient, with weak lows in southeast Canada and in Nebraska and a weak high center in northern Wisconsin-Michigan area. -- Winds variable, but mostly with westerly component; high wind gusts with thunderstorms in mid afternoon. Wind speeds 0-23 mph. -- Not favorable for lake breeze penetration very far into Chicago or for much duration. -- B and D stability; temperature high 80's. -- Mixing heights 8800-9000 ft. -- NOTE: Front and disturbed, showery weather remained in Chicago area for next four days. 41 ------- APPENDIX C PREDICTED 1975 NOX AND N02 LEVELS FOR SIX CHICAGO AREA POWER PLANTS - PREVIOUS STUDY1 (NON-REACTIVE PLUME MODEL) 42 ------- NOX Concentrations Year: 1975 Study Conditions (pg/m ) at Power Plant Worst Case Point for Bailly Wind Direction Contributor North South -as t Su=er ?M 3-9; SO'? Mix Depth -800 m R aax '2.5 '/NO « 1/2 Win tar AM C-3; 20°7 Mix Depth - 272 = 'R sax -3.5 '« N02/N0x - I/A | Power Plan: CT's Other Point . Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total NO X Total N0: Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total N0x Total NO: Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Ncn-Vehiclas Total NQx Total N02 300 10 0 3 0 313 157 1508 100 0 5 1 1614 807 1592 100 0 5 4 1701 425 300 10 0 5 1 316 158 1508 100 0 S 3 1619 810 1592 100 0 9 10 1711 " 428 300 10 0 24 5 339 170 1508 100 0 7 2 1617 809 1592 100 0 8 6 1706 427 I 300 10 7 35 8 360 180 1508 IOC 31 100 45 1784 892 1592 100 35 117 215 2059 515 43 ------- N0y Concentrations Year: 1975 Study Conditions (Mg/m3) at Power Plant Worst Case Point for Will County Wind Direction Concributor >Jorch South East Vest Scnner ?M 3-9; 80s? Mix Depch -800 n R aax - 1 . 6 ka ! S02/N0x - 1/2 Susaer AJt C-5; 70 e? Mix Depch -282 E R nax -3.6 '« N02/MOY - 1/2 x Winter AM C-3; 20°7 Xix Depch « 282 a R max - 3 . 6 Ira j K0,/M0x - 1/4 Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources * Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total NO' Total NO z Pover Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Mon -Vehicles Total HOX Total NO 2 Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Kon-Vehi-les Total N0x Total N02 67o 0 134 15 1 826 413 1419 0 135 41 6 1601 801 1498 0 148 48 43 1737 434 676 0 128 4 1 809 405 1419 0 165 5 2 1591 796 1498 0 176 6 . 14 1694 424 676 0 129 5 1 811 406 1419 0 138 12 4 1573 787 1498 0. 149 14 29 .690 423 676 0 167 2 0 845 423 1419 0 146 3 1 1569 785 1498 0 157 L 10 1669 417 44 ------- NOX Concentrations (ug/m3) at Power Plant Worst Year: 1975 Study Conditions Contributor North Case Point for Waukegan Wind Direction South Ease "esc Suzner ?M 3-9; 80 5T Mix Depca -800 a may » L . U &a MA /MA m 1/0 MUl / * 1/2 Winter AM C-5; 20'r Mix Depth -282 a S aax "3.6 ka - N0a/N0 - 1/4 ! x i Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total N0x Total NOs Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total NOX Total NO 2 Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total. NOX Total SOj 328 53 0 18 2 401 201 1043 474 0 35 10 1567 784 1106 474 0 40 74 1694 424 328 53 51 67 8 507 254 1048 474 193 188 44 1947 974 1106 474 135 219 326 2260 565 . 328 53 2 0 1 384 192 1048 474 9 23 5 1559 780 1106 474 10 27 35 1652 413 328 53 0 18 2 401 201 1048 474 28 25 7 1582 791 1106 474 28 29 5^ 1691 423 45 ------- N0x Concentrations Year: 1975 Study Conditions (yg/n ) at Power Plant Worst Case Point for Joliet 7 Wind Direction Contributor North South East Ves; Su=er ?M 3-9; 30": Mix Depth -800 m R aax -2.6 ka H0a/S0x - 1/2 Sucaer AM C-5; 70s? Mix Depch -312 a S =ax -4 .0 '*= so2/:iox - 1/2 j Winter AM C-3; 20T Mix Depth -312 m R sa.x -4 o ka ^02/NO « 1/4 I x ! Power Plant CT's Other Point . Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles local MO Total NO 2 Fewer Plane CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Son-Vehicles Total NOX Total N02 Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total MCx Total N*0Z 247 86 4 24 2 363 182 1020 219 15 68 13 1335 668 1077 219 15 80 97 1488 372 247 86 1 4 2 340 170 1020 219 2 10 6 1257 629 1077 219 2 11 41 1350 338 247 86 1 5 1 340 170 1202 219 3 11 6 1259 630 1077 219 3 13 48 1360 3.10 247 86 8 2 1 344 172 1020 219 31 4 4 1278 639 1077 219 33 5 29 1363 3£1 46 ------- XOX Concentrations Year: 1975 Study Conditions ) at Power Plant Worst Case Point for Fisk Wind Direction Co nrcri outer North South Ease \"es; Suaser ?M 3-9; 80s: Mix Depth -800 n ^0,/NO » i /2 Susaer AM .C-5; 70'? Jlix Depth - 272 = X sax » 3.5'&a J»oz/:iox - 1/2 Winter AM C-3; 20°? Mix Deuch -2 72 a X aax - 3 .5 ks M0j/N0x » 1/4 Power Plant CT's Other Poiac Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total H0x local N02 Power Plane CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total NOX Total H02 Power Plane CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total NOX -Tcttl'SOj 383 84 2 98 18 585 293 758 798 9 242 67 1874 937 797 798 9 283 503 2390 - 59Q 383 84 8 114 20 609 305 758 798 36 312 84 1988 994 797 798 39 366 627 2627 657 - 383 84 0 59 14 540 270 758 798 147 127 58 1888 944 797 798 133 148 433 2309 | 577 383 84 74 104 17 662 331 758 798 204 269 70 2099 1050 797 798 204 315 524 2638 660 47 ------- NOX Concentrations Year: 1975 Study Conditions (Ug/m3) at Power Plant Worse Case Point for Bethlehem Steel Wind Direction Concribuccr North South Sezzaer ?M 3-9; 80'F Mix Depth -800 a R aax "1 .4 ka NOs/NO^ - 1/2 Sunnier AM C-5; 70'F Mix Depth -200 a R aax -2.5 lea N02/N0x - 1/2 Winter AM C-3; 20°F • Mix Depth - 200=i R max - 2.5^a NO 2 /NO - 1/4 Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total N'0x Total N02 Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehicles Total NOX Total NOj Power Plant CT's Other Point Sources Vehicles Non-Vehiclas Total N0x Tctal NO; 813 0 0 1 1 815 408 2623 0 0 2 5 2630 1315 2494 0 0 3 16 2513 628 813 0 0 2 1 816 408 2623 0 1 5 4 2633 1317 2494 0 1 5 42 2542 636 813 0 0 3. 2 818 409 2623 0 0 7 2 2632 1316 2494 0 0 8 7 2509 627 813 0 12 31 9 865 433 2623 0 62 88 46 2819 1410 4819 0 66 103 226 2389 722 48 ------- APPENDIX D PREDICTED NOX AND N02 CONCENTRATIONS FOR SIX CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS-- REACTIVE PLUME MODEL 49 ------- PLANT - BAILLY LOW OZONE BACKGROUND STABILITY B B B C C C D D D WIND SPEED METERS /SEC 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF NOK PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) _ 6400 4400 10800 7600 6000 34400 28800 24400 NOX IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppra) N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND UgTm3 EXCESS HIGH OZOHE BACKGROUND EXCESS NO, EXCESS (ppm) N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND N0? Mg/m ppm EXCESS (ppm) .102 .127 .083 .105 .121 .032 .037 .041 115 126 102 116 124 48 54 60 .062 .068 .055 .063 .067 .026 .029 .032 .61 .54 .67 .60 .56 .80 .78 .78 170 207 139 175 198 56 64 71 .092 .112 .076 .095 .107 .030 .035 .038 .90 .88 .91 .90 .88 .93 .93 .93 Background Concentrations: Low Ozone Case: [Oj] - .1 ppm, [NOx] - .05 ppm, [NOj - .00455 ppm, [N021 - .0455 ppra High Ozone Cnse: [03] - .2 ppm, (NOX) - .05 ppm, (NO] - .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476 ppn ------- PLANT - WILL COUNTY HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND STABILITY B B B C C C D D D WIND SPEED METERS/SEC 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF NOX PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) 11600 4000 2800 6400 4800 4000 16800 14400 12800 NO IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppra) .152 .220 .257 .184 .214 .229 .082 .088 .093 NOZ IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NO, 133 144 147 140 143 145 102 106 109 ppm .072 .078 .080 .076 .078 .078 .055 .058 .059 EXCESS NOZ EXCESS NO^ (ppra) .48 .35 .31 .41 .36 .34 .66 .65 .64 NOj IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND N02 Ug/m' 240 305 325 275 301 311 138 148 155 ppm .130 .165 .180 .150 .160 .170 .075 .080 .080 EXCESS N02 EXCESS NOU (ppm) .85 .75 .69 .81 .76 .74 .91 .91 .90 Background Concentrations! Low Ozone Case: [0,J - .1 pp™. [NOXJ - -05 pp«, [NOJ - .00455 ppm, [N02] - .0455 ppra High Ozone Case: I0t] - .2 ppm, [NOX] - .05 PP«, [NOJ - .00238 ppm, [N02J - .0/.76 ppra ------- PLANT - WAUKEGAN LOW OZONE BACKGROUND HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND Ui STABILITY B B B C C C D D D WIND SPEED METERS/SEC 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF N0y PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) 11600 4400 3200 7200 5600 4400 19600 16800 14800 NOX IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppm) .093 .127 .204 .105 .126 .139 .046 .049 .053 N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND Vlg/m3 109 126 134 117 126 130 65 69 73 N02 ppm .059 .068 .073 .063 .068 .071 .035 .037 .040 EXCESS N02 EXCESS N0x (pprn) .64 .54 .36 .60 .54 .51 .77 .76 .75 NOZ IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND Vg/m' 155 206 241 174 205 222 78 85 90 N02 ppm .084 .112 .130 .094 .111 .120 .042 .046 .049 EXCESS N02 EXCESS N0)( (ppm) .90 .88 .64 .90 .88 .87 .93 .93 .92 Background Concentrations: Low Ozone Case: [0,J - .1 ppm, [NOXJ - .05 ppm, [NO] High Ozone Cose: [03] - .2 ppm, [NOX1 - .05 ppra, [NO] - .00455 ppra, [N02] - .0455 ppm - .00238 ppm, [NOZ] - .0176 ppra ------- PLANT - JOLIET HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND Ui U> STABILITY B B B C C C D D D WIND SPEED METERS /SEC 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF NOX PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) 11600 4800 3200 8400 6000 4800 23600 20000 18000 NOX IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppni) .107 .226 .276 .180 .219 .242 .070 .077 .082 N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NO, ug/V 118 144 148 139 144 146 91 97 102 ppm .064 .078 .080 .076 .078 .079 .049 .053 .055 EXCESS NQz EXCESS NOK (ppm) .56 .35 .29 .42 .36 .33 .71 .69 .67 N02 IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND N02 Vg/ra3 177 309 332 271 304 318 119 130 139 ppm .096 .167 .180 .147 .165 .172 .064 .070 .075 EXCESS N02 EXCESS NO,, (ppm) .90 .74 .65 .82 .75 .71 .92 .91 .91 Background Concentrations: Low Ozone Cnse: [0,] - .1 ppm, [N0x] - .05 pp«, [NO] - .00455 ppm, [N02] - .0455 High Ozone Cnse: [0,] - .2 ppm, (NOXJ - .05 ppm, [NOj - .00238 ppm, fN02] " .0476 ppm ------- PLANT - FISK LOW OZONE BACKGROUND Ui -P- HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND STABILITY WIND SPEED METERS /SEC B B B C C C D D D 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF NOX PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) 4000 2400 2000 4000 2800 2400 8800 8000 7200 NOX IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppm) .128 .182 .210 .157 .178 .187 .079 .082 .083 N0a IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NO; Ug/mJ 127 139 143 135 139 140 99 101 103 ppm .069 .076 .077 .073 .075 .076 .054 .055 .056 EXCESS NO 2 EXCESS NO (ppm) .54 .42 .37 .46 .42 .41 .68 .67 .67 NOZ IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND N02 Pg/mJ 207 273 298 266 270 278 133 137 140 ppm .112 .148 .162 .133 .146 .151 .072 .074 .076 EXCESS N02 EXCESS NO (ppm) .88 .81 .77 .85 .82 .81 .91 .91 .91 Background Concentrations: Low Ozone Case: f03] - .1 ppm, [N0x] - .05 ppm, [NO] - .00455 ppm, [N02] - .0455 ppn High Ozone Cage: [031 - .2 ppm, [NOXJ - .05 ppm, [NOJ - .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476 ppn ------- PLANT - BETHLEHEM STEEL HIGH OZONE BACKGROUND Ui Ui STABILITY c c D WIND SPEED METERS/SEC 1 2 3 3 4.5 6 6 7 8 DISTANCE OF NOX PEAK FROM 1ST STACK (m) 4800 2800 2000 4000 2800 2400 8800 7600 6400 NOX IN EXCESS OF BACKGROUND NOX (ppro) .225 .334 .421 .312 .381 .427 .180 .196 .207 N02 IN EX BACKGROU Hg/m' 144 151 153 150 152 153 139 141 143 :CESS OF EXCESS NOZ IND N02 EXCESS NO^ ppm .078 .082 .083 .081 .082 .083 .075 .077 .077 (ppm) .35 .24 .20 .26 .22 .19 .41 .39 .37 N02 IN EXCESS OF EXCESS N02 BACKGROUND N02 EXCESS NO^ JJg/tn3 308 347 356 342 352 356 272 286 296 ppm .167 .188 .193 .185 .190 .193 .147 .155 .152 (ppra) .74 . 55 .46 .59 .50 .45 . 82 .79 .77 Background Concentrations: Low Ozone Case: [0,] - .1 ppm, [NOX] " .05 ppm, [NOj - .00455 ppm, [N02J - .0455 ppra High Ozone Case: 10,1 - .2 pp», [NOX] - .05 ppm, [NO] - .00238 ppm, [N02] - .0476 ppm ------- APPENDIX E PREDICTED NO2 CONCENTRATION FOR INTERACTION OF EIGHT CHICAGO-AREA POWER PLANTS--REACTIVE PLUME MODEL 56 ------- COLLINS LINt Of IXTEIUCTIOI. 51UDIEQ 0C»»lffgi!r -Pu courtt ? OlHMO JOLUI 7,8 "JOLIET 2.3,6 10,000 20,000 IO.IXW 40.000 SO.000 60.000 '0.000 M.OOO 90.HOT 100.000 OlUtncf (Hptf*) INTERACTION CASE FOR B STABILITY, LOW OZONE 57 ------- m LI us IIHE Of IKTIRACIIOH S1UOIF.C QCRAWrpBC' o Kill r.ou»Tv on««co OJOtlf! 7,8 OjOLICT ?.J.S - I-/SM 0 10.000 20.000 30.000 «0.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.0OO 90.000 100.000 l Hlstince |*I»rs) INTERACTION CASE FOR B STABILITY, HIGH OZONE 58 ------- 10.000 UOUIHS LIME Of l«TfB»CT10« STUDIED ORIDGfUW OCRAWrORD 10.900 O • '.'.. O rtx*co iJOlin 7.8 3JOUE1 J.3.6 10.000 30.000 30,000 40,000 50.000 M.OOO 70.000 M.OOO 90.000 100.000 l DKtincr IMttfrs) INTERACTION CASE FOR C STABILITY, LOW OZONE ------- lO.OOOi COLLINS LIKE Of INTERACTION STUDIED S 0 C 10,000 KILL COUNTr OTE«»CO OJOIIEI 7.8 OJOIIET ?.3.6 I ?00 | 3"/S»c <.5«/S» to/Sit 10.000 20,000 30.000 «0,000 50,000 60.000 70.000 '0.000 90.000 100.000 Oluince (Mrltri) INTERACTION CASE FOR C STABILITY, HIGH OZONE 60 ------- ic.ono- ORIOGEKMO L cou INS LINE Of IHTEMCTIOtl STUDIED W1U COUNTY 10.000- OTtI«CO J.8 OJOLICT P.3.6 ' 4 100- 10.000 ?0.000 30.000 10.000 SO.000 60.000 70.000 RO.OOO 90.000 100.000 INTERACTION CASE FOR D STABILITY, LOW OZONE 61 ------- 10,000 S o< 1 10,000 UNE OF INTERACT 10" STUIIED QCKAItfOW o WILL COUNTY OtEXttO OJOIIET 7.8 °JOUU 2.3.6 6-/5rc 10,000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.0OK 100.000 Downwind Olsttncr (Meters 1 INTERACTION CASE FOR D STABILITY, HIGH OZONE 62 ------- TECHNICAL REPORT DATA (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing) REPORT NO. EPA-600/7-80-036 3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO. 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Investigation of NO2/NOx Ratios in Point Source Plumes 5. REPORT DATE February 1980 6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE 7 AUTHOR(S) J. P. Blanks, E. P.Hamilton m, B.R.Eppright, and N.A.Nielsen 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS Radian Corporation P.O. Box 9948 Austin, Texas 78766 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO. INE624 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO. 68-02-2608, Task 63 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS EPA, Office of Research and Development Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED Task Final; 12/78 - 12/79 14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE EPA/600/13 15.SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES JERL-RTP project officer is J. David Mobley, Mail Drop 61, 919/541-2915. EPA-600/7-78-212 is a related report. IB. ABSTRACT repOrt gives results of B. study to relate ground level NO2 concentra- tions to NOx emissions (NO2/NOx ratio) in plumes from six large power plants in the Chicago area, using a photos tationary state reactive Gaussian plume model. The aim of the study was to assess the level of NOx control required to meet a probable short- term NO2 national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS). The major uncertainty of an earlier study (EPA-600/7-78-212) was its assumption of uniform, fixed NO2/NOx ratios of 0. 5 (summer) and 0.25 (winter). The reactive model used in this study pre- dicted significantly higher NO2/NOx ratios at the point of maximum plume impact (0. 93 for worst case) with high ambient ozone levels (0.2 ppm). Average NO2/NOx ratios for all high ozone cases studied were 0. 76-0. 9. The reactive model predicts significantly higher ground level NOx impacts from the six plants. These results indicate that the threshold short-term NO2 NAAQS level requiring NOx flue gas treat- ment technology could increase by 40%. The previous study indicated that most of the six plants could meet a 500 microgram/cu m short-term NO2 standard using NOx combustion modification techniques (50% NOx control); this study indicates NOx flue gas treatment technology (90% control) may be required on these plants to meet a 750 microgram/cu m standard, and most certainly for 500 micrograms/cu m. 17. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS DESCRIPTORS b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS c. COSATI Field/Group Pollution Combustion Nitrogen Oxides Nitrogen Dioxide Mathematical Modeling Normal Density Functions Flue Gases Electric Power Plants Ozone Pollution Control Stationary Sources Gaussian Models 13B 21B 07B 12A 10B S. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT Release to Public 19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport! Unclassified 21. NO. OF PAGES 71 20. SECURITY CLASS (This page) Unclassified 22. PRICE EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73) 63 ------- |