EPA-450/3-76-018-C
April 1977
DETERMINING
INPUT VARIABLES
FOR CALCULATION
OF IMPACT OF NEW
SOURCE PERFORMANCE
STANDARDS: WORKSHEETS
FOR FOOD AND
AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
w
I'.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
Office of Air and ^ aste Management
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 2771 1
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EPA-450/3-76-018-C
DETERMINING INPUT VARIABLES
FOR CALCULATION OF IMPACT OF NEW
SOURCE PERFORMANCE STANDARDS:
WORKSHEETS FOR FOOD
AND AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
by
The Research Corporation of New England
129 Silas Deane Highway
Weathersfield, Connecticut 06109
Contract No. 68-02-1382
EPA Project Officer: Gary D. McCutchen
Prepared for
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
Office of Air and Waste Management
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
April 1977
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This report is issued by the Environmental Protection Agency to report technical
data of interest to a limited number of readers. Copies are available free of
charge to Federal employees, current contractors and grantees, and nonprofit
organizations - in limited quantities - from the Library Services Office (MD-
35), Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711; or, for a fee, from the
National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield,
Virginia 22161.
This report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by The Research
Corporation of New England, Weathersfield, Connecticut 06109, in fulfillment
of Contract No.68-02-1382. The contents of this report are reproduced herein
as received from The Research Corporation of New England. The opinions.
findings, and conclusions expressed are those of the author and not necessarily
those of the Environmental Protection Agency. Mention of company or product
names is not to be considered as an endorsement by the Environmental Protection
Agency.
Publication No. EPA-450/3-76-018-C
11
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FOREWORD
During 1974, two studies were initiated that ultimately resulted in the
establishment of priorities for developing and promulgating New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS) . The procedures used to determine these
priorities produced a great deal of information that is believed to be useful
in the industries involved and, accordingly, is being published in this series
of reports (EPA-450/3-76-017, EPA-U50/3-76-018, EPA-450/3-76-019, and
EPA-450/3-76-020) . This information is organized as follows:
EPA-450/3-76-017 discusses (1) the mathematical model (Model IV) used
to determine NSPS impacts over a 10-year period; (2) the methods used to
attain input variables; and (3) the summary tables which are the heart of
this study. Included in the summary tables are data related to (1) emission,
growth, and replacement rates; (2) present and future production and
capacity; (3) nationwide emissions; and (4) NSPS impact. These tables
include information on 13 pollutants and nearly 200 stationary source
categories.
EPA-450/3-3-76-018-a, -b, -c, -d, -e, and -fare the calculation sheets,
showing how the input vairables reported in EPA-450/3-76-017 were derived. All
information sources, assumptions, and calculations are documented and explained,
The appropriate worksheets are arranged alphabetically in the following volumes:
018-a - Stationary Combustion Sources
018-b - Chemical Processing Industries
018-c - Food and Agricultural Industries
018-d - Mineral Products Industries
018-e - Metallurgical Industries
018-f - Miscellaneous Sources (Evaporation Losses, Petroleum
Industry, Wood Products Industry, and Assembly Plants
111
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The 018-a -f series is of interest only to those concerned with the detailed
calculations used to determine the Model IV input variables.
EPA-450/3-76-019-a provides additional results and information produced
during the priority study. Its major purpose is to describe the computer program
used to rank all the Model IV input and output variables by pollutant (these rankings
are reported in 019-b and -c) . In addition, it contains (1) summaries of the
control systems considered "best" for each source, (2) equipment retirement ages,
and (3) emission trends for each source category.
EPA-U50/3-76-019-b and c present the computer-generated ranked data for
each pollutant. Ranking is from highest to lowest for each of the 21 variables,
e.g., A (nationwide capacity) and Eu (uncontrolled emission rate) . Volume 019-b
contains ranked data for particulate, nitrogen oxide (NOx), and sulfur oxide (SOx)
sources. In Volume 019-c, the remaining pollutant sources are ranked: hydrocarbons,
carbon monoxide (CO), fluorides, hazardous material, acid mist, lead, ammonia,
sulfides, chlorine, and trace metals.
EPA-450/3-76-020, the final document in this series, takes the objective
impact values from EPA-450/3-76-017, adds subjective judgements, and uses
these combined criteria to produce a priority list for NSPS development. The
report then calculates nationwide emission trends over the next 15 years for
each criteria pollutant (particulate, SOx, NOx, hydrocarbons, and CO) based
on a series of scenarios (e.g., no NSPS, 20 NSPS per year, etc.)
In summary, documents EPA-450/3-76-017 and 020 present the results of
this study. Each stands alone, but they also complement each other, with 020
building on the results of 017. The remaining documents (018-a -f and 019-a -c)
present additional and/or more detailed information derived from the impact
and priority studies.
IV
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DETERMINATION OF INPUT VARIABLES
FOR
THE FOOD AND AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRY
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125 Silas Dearie Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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TRC ~ The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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B. Since 1955, TSP has typically represented 25% to 30% of the total annual domestic
fertilizer supply, and its overall growth trend has tended to parallel that of the total.
This pattern will not necessarily continue. Demand for ROP (nm-of-pile) grade, used
almost exclusively as a phosphate source in 'wet mixed fertilizers produced in regional
continuous ammoniation plants, is expected to decline from an estimated 474 thousand
short tons P2C>5 in 1972 to between 250 and 350 thousand short tons P2Og by 1980 (average
annual growth rate (-4) - (-7.75)%). This rate of change is predicated on slow
attrition in the demand for chemically mixed fertilizers by medium to small farma,
particularly in the Southeast. Actually, the precise trend in output and supply of
ROP grade will be determined more by management decisions to operate or close continu-
ous ammoniation plants than by true demand (need).
306,600 TOMS $ I98O
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TRC — The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
Computation Sheet For Industrial Factors
Calculations Done By Xfe*43Og _ ____ Date
Source
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TRC -- The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06.109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
Computation Sheet For Emission Factors
Calculations Done By rtoflfeif? Date
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
Computation Sheet For Emission Factors
Calculations Done By cPfg _ Date
Source
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TRC — The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
Computation Sheet For Industrial Factors
Calculations Done By //O/ytBT Date
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740.
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fertilizer supply, and its overall growth trend has tended to parallel 'that of the total.
Thts pattern will not necessarily continue. Demand fo.r—EQE. (run-of-pile) grade, used
almost exclusively as a phosphate source in "wet" mixed fert ili/.ers produced in regional
continuous ammoniation plants, is expected to^dec^|fle ^rom an estimated ^4^4^ thojjjjaj^d
short tons P%05 in 1972 to between ^^^j^^^^jjffi^jj^j short tons P2°5 by 1980 (average
annual growth rate (-4) - (-7.75)%). This rate of change is predicated on slow
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ROP prade will be determined more by management decisions to operate or close continu-
ous ammoniation plants than by true demand (need).
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TRC — The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
Computation Sheet For Industrial Factors
Calculations Done By H*>4OrS> Date
Source
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Computation Sheet For Industrial Factors
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Source
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TRC -- The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
Computation Sheet For Emission Factors
Calculations Done By Xfey»ty< Date
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Oeane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway •
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway :
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Htghway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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TRC — The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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125 Silas Deane Highway
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Project Number - 32391 New Source Performance Standards
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TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
(Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing}
1. REPORT NO.
EPA 450/3-76 - 018c
2.
3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
Determining Input Variables for Calculation of Im-
pact of New Source Performance Standards: Work-
sheets for Food and Agricultural Industries
S. REPORT DATE
April 1977
6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)
Thomas G. Hopper
William A. Marrone
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
TRC - The Research Corporation of New England
125 Silas Deane Highway
Wethersfield, Connecticut 06109
10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
2AC129
11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
68-02-1382
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
EPA-Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Emission Standards and Engineering Division
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
Task Final| 7/74 - 7/76
14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
EPA - OAQPS
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
Project Officer for this Report is
G. D. McCutchen, Mail Drop 13, Ext. 271
16. ABSTRACT
The purpose of this document is to present the results of a study to determine the
impact of new source performance standards on nationwide emissions. The work pre-
sented covers 14 potential pollutants from approximately 200 source categories for
the year 1985. The results are being used by EPA as input to the development
of an overall standard setting strategy. The report contains information regarding
controlled and uncontrolled emission factors, State emission limitations, industrial
capacity, utilization, growth and retirement rates. The results of this study have
been published as three volumes which encompass ten separate documents. The document
contains Appendix 4C of Volume II - Calculation Sheets for the Food and Agricultural
Industry.
17.
KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
DESCRIPTORS
b. IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
c. COSATI Field/Group
Air Pollution
Air Pollution Control
Industrial Processes
Combustion
Regulations
Economic Factors
Priorities
Chemical
Industry
Paper
Industry
Petroleum
Industry
Metal
Industry
Agricultural
Mineral
Flyash
Exhaust
Gases
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
Unlimited
19. SECURITY CLASS JThlsReport)
Unclassified
21. NO, OF PAGES
197
20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
Unclassified
22. PRICE
EPA Form 2*20-1 (9-73)
191
*U.S.GOVERNMENTPRINTINGOFFICE:1977 -740 -110/ 310 REGIONNO.4
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