EPA-600/5-74-010
                        Socioeconomic Environmental Studies Series
    Comprehensive Management of
    Phosphorus Water  Pollution
                                 Office of Research and Development
                                 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                 Washington. O.C. 20460

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            BSSS&RCB REPORTING SERIES
ResearcJh reports of the  Office  of  Research  and
-Monitoring,  Environmental Protection Agency, have
beengroiijnad into  five series.   These  five  bread
categories' *»ere; established to facilitate further
development  and  application   of   environmental
technology.   EJoroinatictn  of traditional grouping
was  consciously  planned  to  foster   technology
•transfer   and   a   gtaximum  .interface'- in  related
-.fields*  Tiie five  series are:          -

. .;• 1..-; Environmental Health Effects Research
   2.  Eevircmseatal Protection Technology
   3-." Ecological  Besearch
   4*  Environmental Monitoring
   5.  Socioecooomic Environmental studies

•This report bas  been assigned to the SCX:iOBCO!iOJ4IC
SNVIBOSiMEIiTAL    STUDIES   series.    This   series
describes  research on the .^>cioecooomic impact of
eavironsjental problesis,  Th±s covers recycling and
other  recovery  operations  with   emphasis   on
•Monetary incentives*  The non-scientific realsis of
legal   sy stera s,  caltaral  values r  and  business
systems  are  also  involved.   Because  of  their
interdisciplinary   scope*  system  evaluations and
environmental management reports are  included  in
this series. :    '            .      •'    .

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                                           EPA-600/5-74-010
                                           February 1974
     COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT OF

       PHOSPHORUS WATER POLLUTION
                       by
 D. B. Porcella, A.B.  Bishop, J. C.  Andersen,
O. W. Asplund, A. B. Crawford,  W. J.  Grenney,
   D.I.  Jenkins,  J. J.  Jurinak, W. D. Lewis,
     E. J. Middlebrooks, R. M.  Walkingshaw
              Utah State University
                Logan,  Utah 84321

            Contract No.  68-01-0728
             Program Element 1BA030

                 Project Officer

              Dr. Roger Don Shull
       Implementation  Research  Division
        Environmental Protection Agency
            Washington, D. C.   20460
                  Prepared for

 OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
U. S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
          WASHINGTON, D. C.  20460
    For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Go-vemment Printing Office
               Washington, D.C. 20402 • Price $1.05

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                EPA REVIEW NOTICE
This report has been reviewed by the Environmental Pro-
tection Agency and approved for publication.  Approval does
not signify that the contents necessarily reflect the views
and policies of the Environmental Protection Agency, nor
does mention of trade names or commercial products con-
stitute endorsement or  recommendation for use.
                          11

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                           ABSTRACT

The environmental problems of phosphorus pollution are examined using
an activity analysis approach to account for phosphorus inputs to sur-
face waters.  For purposes of analysis, this  study assumes phosphorus
to be the limiting factor in algal growth and eutrophication.  A mass
flow model, general enough to be  applied to specific lakes or river
basins, was developed in order to relate the flow of phosphorus  from
all activities in a basin to the consequences of eutrophication.  Various
control tactics to limit mass flow and thus eutrophication were defined
from the standpoint of both supply and demand for phosphorus producing
products and the management of phosphorus uses.

Combinations of feasible controls, designated as strategies, were
applied to the model to determine the cost-effectiveness of the strategies
in minimizing eutrophication.  An hypereutrophic hypothetical lake
basin,  Lake Michigan,  and Lake Erie were analyzed as case examples
to test the model and control methods.   Overall strategies  were derived
for the hypothetical lake and then  applied to Erie and Michigan using
available information on these lakes.  In simple terms, phosphorus
management strategies seemed feasible for control of eutrophication in
present-day Lake Michigan,  while waste treatment together with manage-
ment strategies were necessary for Lake Erie.
                                111

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This report was submitted in fulfillment of Contract No.  68-01-0728 by
Utah State University under the sponsorship of the Environmental Pro-
tection Agency.  Work was completed as of June 30,  1973.

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                            CONTENTS


                                                                Page

EPA Review Notice                                                 ii

Abstract                                                          iii

List of Figures                                                   vii

List of Tables                                                     xi

Acknowledgments                                                  xv

Sections

I       Summary and Conclusions                                  1

II       Recommendations                                          7

III      Introduction                                              10

IV      Eutrophi cation                                            22

V       Phosphorus Sources to Surface Waters                     56

VI      Phosphorus Activity Analysis and the Mass Flow Model
             Overview                                            149

VII     Management Tactics for Controlling Phosphorus           195

VIII    Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Strategies for
             Phosphate Management                              261

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              CONTENTS  (Continued)
References Cited




Bibliography




Appendices
                         VI

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                              FIGURES

No.                                                              Page

 1    General scheme for the stepwise solution to environmental
      problems                                                    16

 2    The derived  demand for goods and services and side effects
      for  phosphate intensive and other  production activities        17

 3    Phosphate source,  use,  and final destination with  possible
      points of control                                             20

 4    Diagram of aquatic system nutrient and energy flow          25

 5    Maximum specific growth rate batch (n^) of Selenastrum
      capricornutum and the relation to initial phosphorus
      concentration  (SQ) in PAAP medium (jj.^ calculated from
      absorbance measurements)                                   29
 6    Relationship between maximum cell concentration (X, mg
      SS/1) and the initial concentration of phosphorus (S )           30

 7    Correlation between concentrations of soluble nitrate and
      phosphate in eutrophic lakes  (A, B,C, from Stumm and
      Leckie (1970); D from  Edmundson (1972))                      33

 8    Spring concentrations of total phosphorus apparently are
      related to total phosphorus loading  (from Vollenweider,
      1968)                                                         44

 9    Average spring- summer phosphorus flow in Hyrum
      Reservoir, April 4 to November 4, 1971                       45
                                 VII

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                        FIGURES (Continued)

No.                                                             Page

10    Chlorophyll ji concentration appears related to winter
      orthophosphate and summer total phosphorus concentrations    48

11    Relative eutrophication in lakes having different mean depths   53

12    Simplified present-day mass flow diagram, for phosphorus in
      the USA                                                     57

13    Activity analysis for phosphate  indicating the major pathways
      to any lake for the most typical uses                          60

14    Vertical distribution of extractable phosphorus in control and
      surface applied phosphorus fertilized soil in Wisconsin         69

15    Sales history of soaps and detergents                         88

16    Location of major phosphoric acid plants in the United States
      (taken from Fullam and Faulkner,  1971)                      116

17    Flowsheet for lime neutralization of gypsum pond water
      (Adapted from Fullam and Faulkner,  1971)                   117

18    Primary calculated outputs from the phosphorus mass flow
      model                                                      150

19    Diagram of the phosphorus distribution used to program the
      effect of phosphorus  fertilizer application on the phosphorus
      load of surface waters                                       158

20    Treatment methods that have been applied to animal manures
      and feedlot runoff                                           169

21    Flow diagram for subroutine TREAT                        173

22    Schematic diagram showing unit processes associated with
      common phosphorus  removal systems                       174

23    Percent phosphorus removal vs. applied molar ratio Fe/P    177

                                 viii

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                       FIGURES  (Continued)


No.                                                              Page

24    Capital costs for tertiary chemical coagulation                179

25    Selective ion exchange                                       180

26    Total costs for reverse osmosis treatment of municipal
      effluent                                                     182

27    Total costs for reverse osmosis treatment of industrial
      effluent                                                     183

28    Applicable control methods  for phosphorus generating
      activities                                                    197

29    Control points superimposed on the phosphorus  activity
      analysis showing the major  application points for pertinent
      control tactics  (see Table 37)                                198

30    Control tactics applied to urban and rural watersheds and
      domestic wastes                                             202

31    Control tactics applied to agriculture                         203

32    Control tactics applied to animal waste production             204

33    Control tactics applied to the industrial sector                205

34    Control tactics applied to mining wastes                      206

35    Control points superimposed on the phosphorus  activity
      analysis showing the major  application points for effluent
      controls (see pp.  247-250)                                   248

36    Phosphorus  discharges are  related to damages  and control
      costs                                                       264

37    Cost-benefits and cost-effectiveness  analysis related to
      phosphorus mass flow                                       266
                                  IX

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                        FIGURES (Continued)


No.                                                              Page

38    Example cost-effectiveness curves                           273

39    Hypothetical Lake--relative contributions from phosphorus
      activities prior to application of controls                     276

40    Lake Erie--relative contributions from phosphorus
      activities prior to application of controls                     277

41    Lake Michigan--relative contributions from phosphorus
      activities prior to application of controls                     278

42    Hypothetical Lake--effects  of control on relative
      eutrophication (see text for description)                      281

43    Lake Erie--effects of controls on relative eutrophication
      (see text for description)                                     282

44    Lake Michigan--effects of controls on relative eutrophication
      (see text for description)                                     283

45    Hypothetical lake--cost-effectiveness of various treatment
      levels in relation to eutrophication based on available
      phosphorus loading                                          291

46    Lake Erie (20 m mean depth)--cost-effectiveness of various
      treatment levels in relation to eutrophication based on
      available phosphorus loading                                 292

47    Lake Michigan--cost-effectiveness of various treatment
      levels in relation to eutrophication based on available
      phosphorus loading                                          293

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                              TABLES
No.                                                              Page

 1    Selected Water Systems in North America in Relation
      To An Estimation of the Limiting Nutrient                     38

 2    Methods of Controlling Eutrophication and Its Effects           40

 3    Improvement in Eutrophication Effects Resulting from
      Decrease  in Nutrient Input                                    42

 4    Phosphorus Consumption  in the USA                           59

 5    Effect of Management Practice (Prevailing and Improved)
      and Corn  Crop on Runoff in a 4-Year Rotation                 74

 6    Estimated Annual Amounts of Constituents in Runoff from
      Rural Land as Affected by Management Practice (Prevailing
      or Improved) and Cover Crop                     .            75

 7    Nitrogen and Phosphorus  Balance in Tile Drained Soils         76

 8    Sales of Organophosphorus Pesticides (U.S.  Tariff
      Commission)                                                 80

 9    1970 Estimated Distribution of Phosphorus by Product Class
      of All Detergents/Cleaners                                   89

 10    Total U.S. Production of  Selected Phosphate  Chemical (1970)   90

 11    Costs Associated with 90  Percent Total Phosphorus Removal
      from Raw Wastewater (Weber et al. ,  1970)                    96
                                  XI

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                        TABLES (Continued)


No.                                                            Page

12    Costs Associated with Phosphorus Removal from Raw
      Wastewater by Lime Coagulation, Two-Stage Clarification
      and Additional Advanced Processes (Bishop et al.,  1972)       97

13    Costs Associated with 80 Percent Removal of Total
      Phosphorus from Raw Wastewater in Conventional Treat-
      ment Facilities (Convery, 1970)                              99

14    Costs Associated with Lime Treatment of Secondary
      Effluent (EPA,  197la; Gulp and Gulp,  1971; Smith and
      McMichael,  1969)                                          103

15    Costs Associated with Alum Coagulation (with Polymer)
      of Secondary Effluent                                       105

16    Estimated Costs for a 10 mgd Ion Exchange Plant (Dryden,
      1970)                                                      107

17    Estimated Costs for a 1  mgd Selective Ion Exchange
      Plant (EPA,  I970a)                                        107

18    Estimated Costs for a 10 mgd Reverse Osmosis Plant
      (Dryden, 1970)                                             109

19    Cost Estimates for Reverse Osmosis (Besik, 1971)           109

20    Estimated Costs for a 10 mgd Electrodialysis Plant
      (Dryden, 1970)                                             111

21    Industrial Uses of Phosphorus  in 1968 Based on Lewis
      (1970) and Logue (1958)                                     113

22    Physical Characteristics of Livestock Defecation             124

23    Nutrient and Sanitary Characteristics of Domestic Fowl
      Manures                                                  126
                                 XI1

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                        TABLES (Continued)


No.

24    Nutrient and Sanitary Characteristics of Swine Manures      126

25    Nutrient and Sanitary Characteristics of Cattle Manures      127

26    Nutrient and Sanitary Characteristics of Sheep Manures      129

27    Feedlot Runoff Characteristics                              133

28    Estimate of Nutrient Contributions from Various Sources
      (Goldberg,  1970)                                           136

29    Annual Nutrient Loss for Two Seasons for the Natural-
      Rainfall Erosion Plots (Timmons et al. ,  1968)               137

30    Ranges of Some Selected Nutrients in Sewage Effluents and
      Land Drainage Entering the Great Ouse:  Concentrations
      in the River Water are also Included (Owens and Wood,
      1968)                                                      138

31    Mean Nutrient Concentrations from Runoff Sources in Parts
      per Billion (Sylvester,  1961)                               139

32    Soluble Phosphorus Concentrations Reported for Waters
      Draining Rural Watersheds (Verduin, 1967)                  140

33    Nutrient  Losses from Lancaster, Wisconsin, Plots on
      January 23 and 24,  1967 from Snowmelt and Rains
      (Minshall et al., 1970)                                     143

34    Average  Concentrations of Pollutants in Runoff Before and
      After Percolation through 30 Inches of Soil Growing Crops
      as Shown (Wells et al.,  1970)                               145

35    Representative Example of Program Output  Showing
      Phosphorus Activity Analysis, Mass Flow and Relative
      Eutrophication                                             190
                                 xm

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                        TABLES (Continued)


No.                                                              Page

36    Important Variable Parameters in Phosphorus Input to
      Surface Waters Program (Completes Inputs Listed in
      Appendix D)                                                 194

37    Summary Listing of Control Tactics                          200

38
Estimated Dry Weight of All Detergents Consumed per
Person in the United States
                                                                  213
39    Revenue from Detergent Excise Tax at Different Rates
      and Elasticities (1967 Data)                                  214

40    Revenue from Detergent Excise Tax at Different Rates
      and Elasticities (Estimated 1973 Data)                        215

41    Summary Listing of Control Tactics                          268

42    Cost Savings Attributable to Strategies for Lake Erie  Case    297

43    Analysis of Excise  Tax on High Phosphate Detergents--Lake
      Erie Example                                               301
                                 xiv

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                      ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Unfortunately, there is no accurate way of giving equivalent credit in
relation to effort and contribution to the members of this project.  A
multidisciplinary project as broad in scope as this one can only be con-
sidered an exercise in group intraeducation.  Consequently, except for
the first two authors who directed the project,  authors are listed in
alphabetical order.  All coauthors are from Utah State University
except David I.  Jenkins,  Department of Sanitary Engineering, University
of California, Berkeley.  We also appreciate very much the guidance
and encouragement of the project officer, Roger Don Shull, Environ-
mental Protection Agency.   In addition to these persons,  acknowledg-
ment of significant contributions must be made to  Paul Uttormark,
University of Wisconsin Water Resources Center, Yacov Haimes, Case
Western Reserve University, and James R. Duthie, Procter  and  Gamble.

Mrs. Janet Rogers suffered through 11 styles of multidisciplinary hand-
writing to type this report.  Also, other  staff of the Utah Water Research
Laboratory (Jay M.  Bagley, Director)  and the  Utah State University
deserve acknowledgment.
                                   xv

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                            SECTION I
                  SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

This study represents the development of an approach for analyzing and
assessing the impact of pollutants on surface waters (or any other eco-
system) and determining the cost-effectiveness of implementing control
methods  and strategies.

The approach developed consists of an activity analysis of producing and
consuming sectors which mobilize the pollutant so that it may enter or
be discharged to receiving media.  A mass flow model accounts for
actual pollutant loadings from the various activities based on a set of
parameters which describe each activity's output.

In particular, this  study focused on phosphorus pollution in  surface
water under the assumption that it is the limiting factor in algal growth
and lake  eutrophication.  Phosphorus does not limit algal productivity
in all lakes and commonly phosphorus is not the limiting factor in the
eutrophication of streams and marine coastal waters.

An activity analysis was formulated as a general phosphorus mass flow
model which could  be applied to any river basin.  The model was tested
and operated for three case examples:  A hypothetical basin, Lake

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Michigan, and Lake Erie.  No laboratory or field experimental work



was performed on this project.  The information presented is the result



of library research and the coordination of technical, economic, and



sociological information on phosphorus uses, sources, treatments,



cost relationships, and management schemes.







The first step was to analyze the role of phosphorus  in eutrophication



of surface waters and to develop a relationship between phosphorus input



to a body of water and the  resultant level of eutrophication.  Algal growth



and phosphorus concentrations for both laboratory and field studies



showed a linear relationship as long as phosphorus alone was  limiting.



Methods of defining and measuring the limiting nutrient were described



and surface waters where  such information previously existed were



listed.  The Great Lakes,  particularly Lakes Michigan and Erie, were



determined as representative water bodies where phosphorus  was the



probable limiting nutrient.  The relationship between algal population



density and hence eutrophication and annual phosphorus loading (g/m ' yr)



as developed by Vollenweider (1968) was used to relate phosphorus in-



put and eutrophication.  Although further work on this relationship is



needed, it represents a simple yet intuitively useful  representation of



the actual pollution problem which is eutrophication.







The next step was to describe the cultural activities and natural phos-



phorus sources which result in phosphorus input to surface waters.



This description, an activity analysis, was used at a later point in the



development of phosphorus control strategies to determine the controls



which would be most effective in reducing eutrophication.  Basically,



sources were divided into two groups: Natural and man-caused or

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cultural.  Then sources were further divided into diffuse and point
sources.  The activities were also classified into one of the  following
seven categories; (1) Nonbasin activities (rainfall on the lake, river
flow into the basin from another basin, groundwater as a source and
as a recipient; groundwater was discussed but not included in the analysis);
(2) agriculture (fertilizer and pesticide use, irrigation  return flows);
(3) urban and rural watersheds  (solid waste disposal, managed forests,
grazed watersheds,  undisturbed and developed natural watersheds,
urban runoff);  (4) domestic wastes (human wastes, detergent phosphorus);
(5) industrial wastes (industrial detergents, water softeners, miscel-
laneous industrial uses, metal finishing, food wastes);  (6) mining
(phosphorus mining  activities, runoff from strip mining); and (7) animal
production (animal wastes from cattle, poultry, pigs,  sheep).  These
uses were related to the ultimate source of phosphorus.

Ultimately,  all of the phosphorus used by society comes from the
phosphorus  mining industry.  In 1968 mined phosphorus was distributed
approximately as follows: 76 percent to phosphorus fertilizers,  3 per-
cent to animal feeds, 7 percent to detergents, 3 percent to metal
finishing, and 11 percent to other miscellaneous, largely industrial,
uses.  Thus these distributions provided an initial estimate  of the best
control points.  However, the distribution among uses is deceptive and
actual inputs to surface waters  needed to be described to determine the
important and feasible  control points.

A mass flow model was constructed which calculates the input quantities
from the major phosphorus producing sources to surface waters. This
particular model is  simple,  requires minimal input information, and

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calculates the relative eutrophication as a function of available phos-



phorus input loading (g/m pyr).  Because of its simplicity it is relatively



easy to use,  but, consequently, care must be  taken that the simplicity



does not lead to erroneous conclusions.
A broad range of control methods (tactics) were described and analyzed



as to where they can be used in the phosphorus flow system to reduce



or eliminate phosphorus inputs from the activity sectors.  The control



tactics  were considered in detail including:  (1) Supply and demand



controls such as subsidies,  excise taxes, and content labeling; (2)



resource controls (mining restrictions, etc. ); (3) methods for manage-



ment of phosphorus uses (resource and product  substitution, recycling



and reclamation, etc. ); (4) management of phosphorus discharges



including both point and diffuse sources, for example, land management



and use practices and controls, pollution standards, and effluent changes;



(5) judicial regulation including class action, judicial review and common



law remedies;  (6) wastewater treatment technology; and (7) in  lake



treatment techniques and lake  modification.  Not all tactics were  con-



sidered equally feasible and some were rejected outright.  Other  tactics



were considered feasible under some circumstances but not under others.



The  category of control tactics estimated as feasibly restricting of



phosphorus  input to  surface  waters were combined to develop manage-



ment strategies.







In the last section of the report (Section VIII) the mass flow model was



used to test the combinations of control tactics woven into the  different



management strategies and to  determine the relative level of effective-



ness of the management strategies in reducing eutrophication.   The

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levels of effectiveness achieved were then examined in relation to the
costs for implementation of the management strategy.  Only treatment
costs could be considered within the scope of the research, although
other real  costs associated with management strategies were identified
and the cost-effectiveness analysis was structured so they could be
effectively included.

The particular management strategies studied were treatment of
municipal wastes to remove phosphorus, utilization of non- or low
phosphate detergents, land management of phosphorus to minimize
eroded phosphorus, animal waste disposal controls,  minimization of
urban runoff and industrial uses of phosphorus,  and the sewering of
all combined sewers and direct discharges so that the waste entered
municipal treatment plants.

Different strategies resulted  in differing levels  of effectiveness of
phosphorus input minimization depending  on  the particular basin studied.
Thus, detergent phosphorus control and advanced waste treatment for
phosphorus removal might be sufficient to reduce eutrophication in a
particular  basin and be of little effect in another; a combination of land
use strategies and  waste treatment might be effective in a third, or
required to reach an acceptable level of plant production.  These con-
siderations reinforce the necessity for regional planning to prevent
counter-productive solutions  being applied in water  supply basins (or
other units).

The costs associated with such analyses were restricted primarily to
treatment costs;  a method was explained where  relative costs could be

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compared as necessary to allow decision makers to identify "cost-
effective decision" in selecting  appropriate management strategies.

The results of the study point to two overall conclusions, one specific
and one general.   Specifically,  the case studies and analysis using the
phosphorus mass flow model demonstrate that the model has general
application for analyzing the phosphorus pollution problems of any river
basin, and in the hands of planners can be a useful tool in assessing
the impact of various proposed  management strategies for control of
phosphate pollution in the basin. Generally, the usefulness of the activity
analysis approach developed for analysis of phosphorus pollution indi-
cated that it could be applied in analyzing the impact of any pollutant on
an ecosystem and in an examination of the most effective strategies for
management control.  The example case studies indicated that phos-
phorus uses management strategies seemed feasible for control of
eutrophication in present-day Lake Michigan, while waste treatment
for phosphorus removal together with management strategies were
necessary  for Lake Erie.

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                            SECTION II
                      RECOMMENDATIONS

The following recommendations generally point to areas where more
research and better quantitative data are needed to improve the results
of the study.  In addition it is proposed that the method described in
this report be applied to specific basins.
      1.     Planning and management data for river basins.  Information
            •which can be utilized in the mass flow model should be
            compiled for each river  basin in the country.  Such data
            would be useful not only  to this activity analysis, but to
            similar analyses applied to other pollutants  (pesticides,
            nitrogen,  BOD, toxic metals).   Some examples of necessary
            input data would include  human populations,  animal numbers
            and types, and land use area definition.   The compendium
            would be similar in scope to that of the Water Resources
            Council (1968).
      2.     Cost-effectiveness  and economic analysis.   While the cost
            analysis dealt effectively -with treatment costs, further study
            needs to be undertaken in order to develop estimates of the
            real costs of strategy implementation to be incorporated
            into the cost-effectiveness analysis.  Work should also be
            undertaken in defining the benefit side of pollution control

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           measures,  initially through the development of pollution
           damage functions.
      3.    The relationship between loading and eutrophication.  Func-
           tional relationships between pollutional parameters  and
           pollutional effects are necessary to perform analyses such
           as in this report.  This should include a better understanding
           of physical,  chemical, and biological interactions.  Estab-
           lishing these relationships and then demonstrating their
           actual existence is extremely difficult.   Their development
           should relate concentrations,  loading, and mass emission
           rates where possible.  At least the first steps should be
           taken to develop others  similar to those for nitrogen and
           phosphorus.
      4.    Phosphorus analysis.  The fate of phosphorus in terrestrial
           and aquatic ecosystems needs to be better understood in
           order  to:  (1) Estimate the availability of phosphorus to
           plant growth no matter what its source; (2) quantitatively
           estimate growth response to its addition; and (3) determine
           sinks for phosphorus where it can be considered unavailable
           for recycle.

The development of these research areas  would  contribute materially
to refinement of the model and the analytical approaches developed in
this research, and are  suggested as worthwhile follow-on programs to
this study.

Furthermore it is recommended that other river basins and target lakes
should be analyzed using this approach in  order to define possible
                                 8

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control strategies and legislation for eutrophication control.  Such
analysis will define the feasibility of this approach for economical
phosphorus control but extend its possible application to other types
of pollutants and problems.

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                           SECTION HI



                         INTRODUCTION







SCOPE AND OBJECTIVES OF STUDY







Phosphorus is a nonmetallic element absolutely required for all forms



of life. In nature it is primarily observed as phosphate minerals but



is chiefly available for the natural plant and animal communities of



aquatic systems as orthophosphate.  Because of limited availability



and of solubility in aqueous solutions of the geological matrix, phos-



phates are quite often a limiting factor for both aquatic and terrestrial



natural ecosystems.  The addition of phosphorus to such ecosystems



by human society frequently leads  to increased productivity.  However,



whereas in agriculture  the addition of phosphorus to terrestrial eco-



systems is frequently necessary and of beneficial use,  phosphorus and



other nutrients frequently are introduced to aquatic ecosystems along



with waste materials.  This fertilization and resulting increased pro-



ductivity in the aquatic  ecosystem  leads to conditions which decrease



the beneficial uses of the water. Limitation  of phosphorus inputs to



surface waters is  considered a  practical means for restoring beneficial



uses to aquatic ecosystems.  However,  such ecosystems are extremely



complex and  require complete analysis to ensure that proposed changes
                                10

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in various inputs and their controls will in fact lead to the result which
is intuitively expected (Forrester, 1971).

Environmental management of particular resources implies that the
particular system within which a resource is distributed is well under-
stood and the mechanisms of distribution are well known.  The phos-
phorus resource is relatively well described; phosphorus control is of
interest because of its important role in the development of eutrophic
conditions in lakes.   Because of this role many suggestions have been
made towards the elimination of some of the phosphorus input to sur-
face waters and thus the control of eutrophication.   These proposed
methods have included phosphorus removal from detergent formulations,
removal of phosphorus from domestic wastes, and the application of the
concept of zero discharge from point sources.  These manipulations of
phosphorus input are considered rather simplistic  solutions of complex
problems and immediately one questions first, whether these kinds of
manipulations will produce improvement in the conditions,  and  second,
whether in fact these solutions may be counter-productive in terms of
the total economy of the region or nation involved.

Thus it was assumed at the beginning of this study that a relatively
complete understanding of phosphorus cycling in  the social-technical-
ecological system would allow the development of a strategy for phos-
phorus control which would decrease eutrophication effects at a
minimum cost.  Thus,  benefits would be maximized in relationship
to costs.  Because of the difficulty in quantitating the economic  values
of various benefits,  this kind of study is  forced to approach the  pro-
blem from a cost-effectiveness point of view,  i. e. , to maximize the
                                11

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effectiveness of control of phosphorus input to surface waters at least
cost.   Therefore, many of the decisions that have been made in this
study as to how to approach phosphorus control have been made with
this constraint in mind. Evaluation of benefits of phosphorus restric-
tion in natural waters,  then, must be an intuitive judgment based on
best available knowledge.

A last major consideration was the time scale for implementation.
Long-term solutions or merely hypothetical and proposed (untried)
controls were only mentioned and not woven into the overall strategy.

Therefore, the objectives of this study were first to describe the system
in which phosphorus is  utilized,  second, to determine the possible
alternatives for controlling phosphorus  input to surface waters,  and
third,  to find the least-cost strategy for controlling that phosphorus
input.

Specifically,  to achieve the objectives described above,  the following
areas were studied:
I.  Environmental damages caused by release of phosphorus:
      1.   General discussion of eutrophication
      2.   Concept of multiple limiting factors
      3.   Evidence  of phosphorus causality
      4.   Concentration relationship between phosphorus and algae
      5.   Definition of critical phosphorus levels
      6.   Feasibility of phosphorus control resulting in eutrophication
          control
                               . 12

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II.   The major sources of phosphorus to aquatic systems:
     1.   Natural runoff (includes direct precipitation)
     2.   Agricultural
          a.   fertilizers
          b.   animal wastes
          c.   irrigation drain waters
          d.   irrigation tail waters
          e.   agricultural land runoff
          f.   phosphorus-based pesticides;
     3.   Municipal wastes
          a.   human and domestic wastes
          b.   detergents
          c.   urban runoff;
     4.   Industrial
          a.   mining operations
          b.   detergent
          c.   phosphorus  acid uses
          d.   industrial wastes
          e.   water softening;
ITT.   The relationship between phosphorus sources and surface water
     phosphorus concentrations (to be applied to basin or subbasin):
     1.   Mass balance approach using numbers obtained from litera-
          ture
     2.   Relative importance of various sources
     3.   Relative importance of various "controllable" sources
     4.   Effect of natural removal systems
     5.   Beneficial effects of phosphorus  control on related parameters
     6.   Relation of phosphorus level to one use or multiuse concepts
                                13

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IV.   Major uses of phosphorus by society and their relative and quanti-
      tative role in the phosphorus mass balance:
      1.   Fertilizers
      2.   Detergents — domestic and industrial
      3.   Human nutrition
      4.   Animal nutrition
      5.   Accelerated erosion
      6.   Mining and industrial uses
 V.   Possible control measures, their feasibility and costs:
      1.   Detergent changes
      2.   Fertilizer management changes
      3.   Advanced waste treatment of municipal and industrial wastes
      4.   Product modifications other than for detergents
      5.   Controls over land use, mine wastes, etc.
      6.   Evaluation of bottom sediments and suspended sediments as
          a source or sink of phosphorus
      7.   Evaluation of treatment methods for removal of other waste -
          water parameters (e. g. ,  BOD) as incidental methods for
          phosphorus  removal
VI.   Relation of uses to benefits and to the requirements for phosphorus
      use.  This will allow the proper estimation of trade offs, etc.
      For example:
      1.   Increased land use vs. intensive phosphorus application to
          small land areas
      2.   "Whiter clothes,  cleaner  dishes, automated food handling"
          vs.  less of the same
      3.   Stricter treatment standards for human and animal wastes
          vs.  source control
                                14

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VII.   Analysis of the above controls in terms of actual lake systems.








NATURE OF THE PROBLEM








As can be seen in Figure 1,  a particular environmental problem can



be broken down to three general phases, problem description,  analysis,



and solution.  Each of these general phases can be further broken down



into several subphases.  In the  case of the phosphorus problem in the



environment,  i. e. ,  the development of eutrophic lakes, much of the



"observation of the problem," "development of public pressure and



regulations, " and "description of the  problem" has largely been accom-



plished.  Although the implication that phosphorus is the sole factor



involved in  the problem of eutrophication is incorrect, the development



of the analysis described in this study has  been predicted on the assump-



tion that control of phosphorus will to some extent allow control of



eutrophication.  The reasons for this  assumption are described in later



chapters.








A large part of the phosphorus  (as well as  most other pollutants) which



is found in surface waters results from human  activity.  Naturally high



concentrations of phosphorus occur only in unique circumstances.



Human demands for goods and services give rise to production processes



and facilities which mobilize the basic materials found in nature.  In



Figure 2, the box on the right of the page represents human wants.



The necessities and comforts of life which contribute to human welfare



can be enumerated and are designated as Y .  These are the motivators



for all activities, as designated by the black arrows that go "through the



production systems," and  are the individual components  of human wants.
                                 15

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                           Description
                           of Problem
    Public Pressure
    Involvement of
    Regulatory
    Agency
                                                 Analysis of
                                                 Activities
                                                 Contributing
                                                 to Problem
   Anticipation
   of or
   Observation of
   an Environ-
   mental
   Problem
Determination
of Feasible
Activity Controls
and their
Costs*
Description
                Optimizing
                the Minimiza-
                tion of the Pro-
                blem and the
                costs* of con-
                trolling the
                  Problem
                 Development
                 of Control
                 Strategies for
                 eliminating the
                 Problem
 "Costs" include technological, implementation, and social costs.

Figure 1.  General scheme for the stepwise solution to environmental
           problems.
                                  16

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               SYSTEM OF USE
Phosphate  "THE RELATIONSHIPS"6
Intensive                           Components
Production    f	*	~">    of Human
Activities
                                     Environmental
                                     Effects
Noninten.sive
or
Phosphate
Free
Production
Activities
  Z. = phosphate base detergents,
       phosphate fertilizer, etc.

  U  = soaps, non-use,  etc.
                                       These are instruments with which
                                       the system can be altered
  Y  - Food,  fiber, shelter,
       industrial goods, services,
       etc.
  X  - Effects on land, air and
       water  (impact can be posi-
       tive or negative)
                                       These are targets which gener-
                                       ally define the desired high level
                                       of consumption and desired low
                                       level  of environmental deteriora-
                                       tion.  Tradeoffs among these are
                                       generally available
  This set of relationships is defined by production functions which  relate
  the inputs of labor, capital, and raw materials to the outputs of both
  "goods" which are consumed,  and the  "bads" which are the detrimental
  environmental effects imposed on people as they use the environment.

Figure 2.  The derived demand for goods and services and side effects
           for phosphate intensive and other production activities.
           (Classification based on Tinbergen,  1962.)
                                 17

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In most cases these Yn can be produced by various alternative processes.


For simplicity, these are divided into two groups with respect to pro-


duction of phosphate concentrations, the Z- list of activities which are


intensive (e. g. , phosphate detergents) and the  other nonintensive (U, )
                                                                  1C

activities (e. g. ,  nonphosphate or low phosphate detergents).  These


activities meet the demands for goods and services through the economic


system.






Each of these  Z and  U  type activities gives rise to effects on the air,


land, and water components of the environment (X ).   The nature of


these relationships is  also represented in the center part of Figure 2.


This environmental effect, in turn, has direct  impacts  on human wel-


fare.  The system of relationships defines the  output of the desired


goods and services as well as the environmental impacts associated


with inputs of various  combination factor inputs.  Much of the work of


this project is concerned with altering the proportions of components


of wants or welfare that are produced by phosphate intensive as compared


to other activities,  diverting the adverse  effects on environmental


factors that arise from the production activities, and minimizing the


adverse effects of the  environmental degradations that are not practically


avoidable by sequestration, changing locations, and other measures.


A key point of this figure is that the process  of degradation arises


mainly from meeting human wants and needs.  The satisfaction of these


wants and needs must remain a major factor  of consideration as control


and management measures are devised.
                                18

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BASIC MODEL OF THE CONCENTRATION
PROCESS

One of the terms most frequently used in the environmental movement
is "recycle. " This is an important aspect of the available control and
management possibilities, as shown in Figure 3.  Once phosphate is
mobilized from its original source, the number  of times of use or the
"round-aboutness" with which the material enters into final receiving
waters becomes an important determinant of how much actually enters
the water.   Three  general points of control  can  be exercised.  The first
is at the source, where the amount brought  into the production system
is controlled.  Another is at some (possibly several) point before final
disposition,  where the amount which is allowed  to leave the production
system is either stored or controlled to divert the material back into
the production process (recycled).  The third is the possibility of (1)
diverting the effluent to a sink rather than letting it  enter the environ-
ment of a water course or lake;  or (2) to cause  it to enter a sink in the
lake itself.   Basically, all control and management  systems fall into
these three categories.

METHOD OF ANALYSIS

The project was divided into several phases.  First, the mass balance
of phosphorus uses and resultant inputs to surface waters was developed.
Then possible control strategies and possible methods of implementing
these control strategies were defined.  The mass balance analysis then
was reevaluated and control technology and  implementation strategies
again defined in the light  of the reevaluation.  This feedback effect
                                19

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   Source
     or
   Mine
             A
            Control
            Point
           (or valve)
                                     Recycle
                                       Uses
              Receiving
              Water
   A      A       A
 Control   Control  In-lake
 Point     Point
                    treatment
(or  valve)(or valve) (receiving
                    water reno-
                    vation)
Figure 3.  Phosphate  source,  use,  and final destination with possible points of control.
Geological
Storage

-------
allowed the development of the activity analysis and the series of control
strategies  described below.  These strategies were then manipulated
to reduce the level of phosphorus in surface water and thus reduce
eutrophication levels.   At the same time the  costs of such strategies
and their implementation were estimated.

Because of the rather  wide variation in the social structure,  economic
development, hydrologic relationships, and population distribution in
the United  States, it was decided that the system descriptions would be
general enough so that regional strategies could easily be developed,
i. e. ,  strategies which would be  specific for that particular region.
The realization that environmental management requires a regional or
perhaps even a basin-wide or subbasin level of  coordination and imple-
mentation  has been developing throughout the Environmental  Protection
Agency and seems implicit in the new 1972 Amendments to the Federal
Water Pollution Control Act (P. L. 92-500).  Such a regional capability
of strategy implementation becomes a necessity not only from the
point of view of practical technology, but from the point of view of
implementation.
                                21

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                             SECTION IV
                         EUTROPHICATION

THE PROBLEM OF EUTROPHICATION

Definitions

Eutrophication is the enrichment of surface waters with plant nutrients;
oligotrophic  (nutrient poor) lakes become eutrophic  (nutrient rich) as
nutrient concentrations in the lake waters increase.  Increased levels
of plant nutrients lead to increased plant productivity.  The  problem of
eutrophication results entirely from increased productivity and its
consequences caused by the fertilization of lakes, i.e. ,  increasing
nutrient concentrations in the lake waters.  Nutrient levels  increase
or decrease  naturally in lakes depending on the lake1 s age and on the
geology and  past history of a lake basin, but human activities in the
basin frequently accelerate nutrient addition and result in what  is called
"cultural  eutrophi cation. "  Generally, lake waters that have many high
quality uses  are considered desirable by human society;  these lakes
coincide with low-nutrient lakes because the water is less turbid, more
aesthetically pleasing,  and supports a desirable food chain.   Cultural
eutrophication decreases these high quality uses. (Detailed  descrip-
tions of eutrophication and its effects can be found in Bartsch,  1972;

                                 22

-------
Hutchinson, 1973; National Academy of Science,  1969; Stewart and
Rohlich, 1967; and Vollenweider, 1968. )

Naturally eutrophic lakes occur when the drainage basin provides waters
which are high in phosphorus and other nutrients, when sedimentation
fills in the lake until it is shallow enough for the  lake sediments to
participate directly in supplying nutrients to the lake nutrient budget,
or when productivity over a period of many  years causes the buildup
of rich  organic sediments so that rapid recycling of nutrients can occur.
However, without human influence many lakes will remain oligotrophic
for long periods of time.  For example, Lake Tahoe--a lake on the
order of 2 million years old--is still oligotrophic because of its great
depth and the  paucity of nutrients in  its drainage  basin; it is only along
the shoreline areas where the activities of man have resulted in higher
nutrient concentrations that  significant increased productivity is being
observed (Goldman and Armstrong,  1969; McGauhey et al.,  1971).  As
another example,  hydrographic changes due to human activities have
apparently coincided with periods of eutrophication in Lago di Monterosi
(Hutchinson,  1969).

Effects of Nutrients
Increased concentrations of plant nutrients fertilize the lake leading to
increased plant productivity.   Eventually this increased productivity
results in a decrease in dissolved oxygen concentrations  and severe
interferences with the typical food web relationships and with the
balance between different trophic levels in the food web.  The geological
nutrient pool is the ultimate source of all nutrients for a given lake
                                23

-------
(Figure 4).  Through human activities and natural occurrences in the
lake basin, these nutrients enter a body of water,  and through biological
reactions driven by solar energy (photosynthesis), are fixed and utilized
in the  food chain.   As nutrient concentrations increase,  more plant
growth occurs until the following consequences are observed:  1) Dis-
solved oxygen concentrations exhibit diurnal cycles of super saturation
and deficit and the  lake bottom becomes deficient in oxygen; 2) loss of
community diversity  and stability occurs as blue-green algae become
more competitive and occasionally occur as near unialgal dominants in
certain lakes (Home  and Goldman,  1972); 3) blue-green algal blooms
cause problems of  taste and odor and increased filtration problems in
domestic water supplies; 4) physical and chemical factors (e.g., causing
skin rashes) interfere with recreational and aesthetic uses and thus
further recreational development; 5) fish populations  change from game
fish to rough fish,  largely due to low dissolved oxygen concentrations,
but also due to changes in  food sources; and 6) aquatic weed production
interferes with navigation, recreation, and other uses.

Factors Limiting Plant Growth

The logic of controlling phosphorus concentrations (or for that matter,
any nutrient) in natural waters so that they  limit plant growth and thus
control plant productivity,  is based on a functional relationship between
plant productivity and nutrient concentration.  The concept of a limiting
growth factor has been developed from "Ldebig1 s Law of the Minimum"
(Hutchinson,  1973;  Odum,  1959) which can be  stated that growth of
plants  will be controlled by the growth of energy factor in shortest
supply.
                                24

-------
to
Ul
            Geological
            Nut fie nt
            Poo
                                                                                                                                                       Export of
                                                                                                                                                       Nutrients
                                                                                                                                                       and Organic
                                                                                                                                                       Material or
                                                                                                                                                       Input to Sedi-
                                                                                                                                                       ments Where
                                                                                                                                                       Recyc ling
                                                                                                                                                       Can Occur
                                     Plant Productivity
                  Nutrient
                 Enrichment
                     in
                  Surface
                  Waters
                                                                          Algae
                                                                       Higher Plants
           Nutrient
           Source s
                                                                                                                                     Loss
                                                                                                                                 of Diversity
                                                                                                                                 and Stability
                                                                                                          Increase in
                                                                                                         Plant (c Algal
                                                                                                          Production
                                                                                      Blue'Green
                                                                                      Algae are
                                                                                       Domina
                                                                                                                                                        Change
                                                                                                                                                       in Food
                                                                                                                                                        Chain
                                                                                                                                                        Balance
                                          Oxygen
                                         Depletion
                                                                               AFFECTS
                                                                          BENEFICIAL USES
                                                                                                                       Domestic & Industrial
                                                                                                                       a) Taste it Odor
                                                                                                                       b) Filtration
                                                                                                                       Kec reation
                                                                                                                       a) Fishing
                                                                                                                       b) Swimming
                                                                                                                       c) Aesthetic
                                                                                                                       Agriculture
                                                                                                                       a) Toxins
                                                                                                                       b) Soil Clogging
                                                                                                                       Navigation
                                                                                                                       Development
Natural
Nutrient
Sources
Natural
Eutrophication
CE  -  stored chemical energy



Effects of nutrient enrichment


Nutrient flow


Energy flow
o
o
                                            Figure 4.  Diagram of aquatic system nutrient and energy flow.

-------
Many factors are important in controlling levels of plant biomass in
aquatic ecosystems  (light, temperature, mixing, grazing, CO2>
nutrients), but only  certain factors appear to be controllable by man as
a practical and economical method of decreasing plant productivity.
These are the intrinsic factors of an aquatic ecosystem; macrochemistry
of the water, toxicant levels,  concentrations and types  of organisms
present, and the nutrients themselves,  nitrogen, phosphorus,  iron,
manganese, molybdenum, and other trace elements and chelating
agents (Porcella,  1969).

Although estimates have been made that a wide variety  of nutrients can
become limiting to algal communities (e.g., Goldman,  1965),  it is pro-
bably only the geochemically rare  (in relation to algal growth and plant
growth requirements) macronutrients, nitrogen and phosphorus,  which
control the development of the aquatic blooms (Goldman,  1965; Hasler,
1947; Hutchinson,  1957, 1973; Sawyer,  1947).  Nitrogen is an  essential
component of proteins, nucleic acids, and other biologically  important
macromolecules.  The chief sources of nitrogen to algae are the major
inorganic forms (mineral nitrogen), nitrate, nitrite, and ammonia.
Fixation of atmospheric nitrogen by blue-green algae and by bacteria
and bacterial degradation of organic nitrogen to release ammonia can
also serve as important nitrogen sources in the aquatic ecosystem.

Generally, phosphorus is available to algae only as orthophosphate.
Phosphorus is often stored in  cells as polyphosphates and is utilized
primarily in nucleic acids, nucleotides, and phospholipids.  Cycling of
phosphorus from sediments, degradation of organic phosphates, and
the hydrolysis of polyphosphates to orthophosphates may serve as a

                                26

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phosphorus source to algae,  but the primary though not always the most
immediately  important of phosphorus sources  are in the waters influent
to a lake.

The observed effects of high nutrient levels (productivity increase,
oxygen deficit, food web changes) have served to define the levels of
nitrogen and  phosphorus which constitute eutrophication in a lake.
Sawyer  (1947) has suggested that above a threshold of 0. 01 mg P/l and
0. 3 mg  N/l as a mean winter concentration, eutrophication would exist.
Vollenweider (1968) utilized Sawyer' s estimates and estimated the
following values in terms of annual loadings:

              P,  0. 2 - 0. 5 g/m2 yr.,  and N,  5-10 g/m2 yr.

When more than sufficient nutrients are present in a lake to cause
eutrophic conditions  (e.g., exceeding Sawyer1 s concentrations), plant
growth  probably becomes limited by extrinsic factors rather than by
nutrients.  Light and temperature are the major nonnutrient seasonal
factors  which limit productivity.  Light can also limit overall produc-
tivity when turbidity occurs  due to significant  concentrations of algae
and other suspended matter  and color.  Temperature has important
effects  on growth  rate as well as placing upper limits on survival of
specific algae species (Eppley,  1971;  Goldman et al.,  1972; Reynolds
et al.,  1973).  Because both atmospheric CC>2  and dissolved carbonate
species can adequately supply the carbon necessary for algal growth
under the most eutrophic conditions likely to be encountered naturally
(Schindler,  1971;  Goldman et al.,  197Z),  carbon is included with light
and temperature as being extrinsic variables which in a practical sense
are not easily controlled (Porcella, 1969).

                                27

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PHOSPHORUS AS A LIMITING FACTOR

Algal Growth and Phosphorus

Assuming that phosphorus limits growth,  i.e., if the factor is at a
minimum in relation to all other needed factors,  certain relationships
between algal growth rate and standing  crop can be defined.  A theoret-
ical and experimentally defined relationship (Monod, 1949) shows that
as the nutrient concentration increases  the algal  growth rate of a uni-
algal culture increases linearly  but that eventually the growth  rate
approaches a constant maximum value (Figure 5).  This first-order
zero-order relationship (linear-constant) for growth rate apparently
results from the kinetics of uptake of nitrogen and phosphorus  (e. g.,
Eppley et al. ,  1969; Ketchum, 1939). A similar type of relationship
can be developed between the maximum standing  crop of algae  and the
limiting nutrient concentration (Figure  6). The standing crop-nutrient
concentration or yield relationship occurs because other factors become
limiting as  the concentration of a particular limiting factor increases.

These results imply that  in lakes a linear relationship between produc-
tivity and nutrient concentration occurs only when the limiting nutrient
is well below the  "saturation level.  "  Thus, if one wishes  to decrease
algal productivity by decreasing phosphorus concentrations, levels of
phosphorus must be attained where  algal productivity is proportional  to,
or limited by, phosphorus concentrations.

Ordinarily, as all the growth factors  increase in intensity in nature,
the final limitation of growth will be either the innate ability of the
                                28

-------
        2.0
    \>

     JO
    i
    CO
    LU
    I
    IT
    O

    u.

    o
    UJ
    cu
    in


    5?
    X
 1.5
        1.0
0.5
                            o
                     K- 20/ig P//
                                              _L
 O  S 1.0


 D  S 2.1


 O  S 3.0


A  S 4.0


O  S 4.1
                                                                               O A
                       100
                          200         300         400



                                INITIAL PHOSPHORUS ,S0 ,
                                                                     500
                                                                         60O
                                                                p//
Figure 5.   Maximum specific growth rate batch (|ab) of Selenastrum capricornutum and the

            relation to initial phosphorus concentration (S ) in PAAP medium (fi,  calculated

            from absorbance measurements).  Figure taken from Porcella et al.  (1970).

-------
   200
no

S
X   150
O
>—t

H
W
O

§
o
w
u
100
    50
                                /I
                                 1000 mg ce!ls/mg P
                                                                              O   S 1.0



                                                                              O   S 3.0



                                                                              O   S 4.1
                     100
                                                                          500
600
                                 200          300           400


                                   INITIAL PHOSPHORUS,  jig P/l



Figure 6.  Relationship between maximum cell concentration (X,  mg SS/1) and the initial concentration


          of phosphorus (SQ).  Figure taken from Porcella et al.  (1970).

-------
organisms to growth,  or limitation  by some extrinsic factor such as
carbon, light or temperature (Goldman et al. ,  1972; Jitts et al.,  1964;
Thomas,  1966).  From the point of view of controlling phosphorus and
thereby productivity, it is necessary to make phosphorus limiting in
relationship to all other intrinsic and extrinsic factors.

Methods of Determining the Limiting Nutrient

Methods of determining limiting factors in a  particular body of water
include:  1) The analysis of nutrient  concentrations in the water; 2) bio-
assays performed either in the lake in enclosures, or in bottles placed
in the lake or laboratory with and without the addition (or ' spiking' ) of
nutrients; and 3) comprehensive limnological analysis of the lake.  The
most accurate method is a comprehensive limnological analysis, but it
is expensive  and time consuming and cannot be performed routinely.
The use of chemical analysis and the development of standard algal bio-
assay techniques (Provisional Algal  Assay Procedures,  1969; Environ-
mental Protection Agency, 1971) provides a more rapid and less expen-
sive method, though not as rigorous a method, for analyzing the trophic
state of the water and for  determining the limiting nutrient,  especially
if spiking techniques are used.

Analyses of nutrient content of both water and algae have provided
(1) threshold estimates of nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations that
limit algal growth (Sawyer,  1947); and (2) ratios  of N:P in waters that
tend to indicate when one or another of these elements is growth limit-
ing; thus, when the  N:P weight ratio in the water is < 15:1, nitrogen
is likely limiting, and when the N:P  ratio is  > 15:1, phosphorus is the
possible limiting nutrient  (Environmental Protection Agency,  1971;

                                  31

-------
McGauhey et al.,  1969; Schindler, 1971; Vollenweider, 1968).  Within
the N:P range of ratios of 10:1 to 20:1, multiple limitiations are indi-
cated (Ketchum, 1939; Middlebrooks et al.,  1971;  Porcella et al. ,  1970).
The N:P ratio of 15:1 merely allows  an approximation to determine the
growth limiting factor.

Whenever the available form of a nutrient in a water is essentially
undetectable,  it is possible that it is limiting to algae.  Thus, relation-
ships between concentrations of nitrogen and phosphorus have been
used to indicate which of these two nutrients are limiting.  From Figure
7 it can be seen that considerable nitrogen remains in solution in these
lake waters while phosphate concentrations approach zero.  Thus, one
might conclude that for these two nutrients under these conditions
phosphorus  is limiting.

The estimation of limiting factors in lakes and water samples by
analyzing dissolved nutrients has occupied considerable effort and in
some cases has led to some confusion (see discussion in Likens, 1972
and in O! Brien, 1972).  This has occurred especially when the role of
other factors were not considered, such as light limitation caused by
suspended inorganic sediments and other particulate matter.  For
example, in Clear Lake,  California, the algal community is light
limited in the springtime  because of  the high turbidity of the spring
runoff and apparently becomes nitrogen limited later in the growing
season when the lake becomes less turbid.  In this case nitrogen
limitation leads to considerable nitrogen fixation by blue-green algae,
amounting to about 40 percent of the  total nitrogen budget (Home and
Goldman, 1972).
                                32

-------
   N

   56


   52


   48


   44
      Lake Constance
                                    N


                                    60


                                    40


                                    20
                               'B
Lake Norrviken
                                           I	I
0.2
                0.4   0.6
                   P
                                         1   2345   67
                                                    P
  N
1000|.c

 750

 500

 250
                Lake Zurich
                                     45

                                     N

                                     30



                                     15
                                        Lake Washington
                                               j	I
      0 10  20  30 40  50
                   P
Figure 7.   Correlation between concentrations of soluble nitrate and
           phosphate in eutrophic lakes (A, B,C, from Stumm and
           Leckie (1970); D from Edmundson  (1972)).  Data in A, B, C
           are from various depths and times.  The dots in D show
           the mean particulate N and P in the top 10 m during July
           and August and the end of the lines attached  to the dots
           shows the dissolved nitrate-N and  phosphate-P in the
           previous winter (January to March) in the top 10 m.  Dates
           in D  show the year of analysis  and thus reflect concen-
           tration changes as  a result of nutrient input  management.
                                 33

-------
Further confusion occurs because of problems with sampling in time
and space and the interpretation of those results.   For example, low
concentrations of specific nutrients, or specific forms of a nutrient,
are often observed during a bloom leading to the conclusion that a
particular nutrient is limiting (e.g.,  see  Doyle,  1971; Ferguson,  1968;
and Kuentzel, 1969). As has been shown  in natural systems where
winter measurements are correlated  with bloom conditions (see
Edmundson,  1972; Sawyer,  1947), and in  bioassays conducted on
physical cutrophication test models (McGauhey et al.,  1969) the
measured nutrients  after the  bloom only indicate what the  algal bloom
has left in solution.   In such cases if  the solution nutrient  is close to
zero, the nutrient could be  limiting; but the nutrient is not necessarily
limiting because intracellular storage ("luxury uptake") can cause
essentially complete removal of certain nutrients   particularly phos-
phorus (Overbeck, 1962b; Porcella et al., 1970; Toerien et al. , 1971).
If significant quantities of the nutrient remain in solution,  then that
nutrient is not limiting.   The converse argument that  "if a nutrient
remains in solution in significant quantities during a bloom then it is
not limiting" can be used with greater confidence to show that the
nutrient is not growth limiting.  These conclusions are indeed the  maxi-
mum reliable information that can be derived from nutrient levels in
solution with regard to whether or not a particular nutrient is growth
limiting.

In terms of spatial orientation, comprehensive sampling is often
necessary (e. g. , see "synoptic sampling" in Home and Goldman,  1972).
This is because the growth of different kinds of algae  in the same  lake
apparently can be limited by different nutrients.  Fitzgerald (1969) used
                                 34

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direct analysis of cells from algal blooms dominated by a single algal
species and showed nitrogen limited and phosphorus limited algae at
the same time in Lake Mendota.  Thus,  in using such a technique,
different limiting factors could be demonstrated for a particular lake
if there were  insufficient regard for differing algal physiology.

B'ioassays

Bioassays are useful for determining trophic state and nutrient limitation
because they integrate the effects  of all intrinsic factors.  Such tests
have been performed in the  laboratory using sealed bottles or open
flasks as well as in the field using closed bottles and polyethylene bags.
These tests allow an estimation of the trophic state of the lake by com-
paring the algal growth in the lake with that obtained in the test.  One
method of estimating trophic state is based on growth rates (Figure 5):
Low growth rates and intermediate growth rates indicate that the waters
are oligotrophic and mesotrophic respectively (assuming no toxic sub-
stances in the sample).  High or maximum growth rates indicate that
the waters are eutrophic, i.e. , nutrients are not growth rate limiting.

In addition,  toxicity can be estimated using dilution techniques and the
specific limiting nutrient may be estimated by spiking with one or more
nutrients and  observing the  response of the algae.  Relative toxicity and
biostimulation have been demonstrated for varying treatments of waste-
water (Middlebrooks  et al.,  1971) while  several investigations of limit-
ing nutrients for different algae and different waters have been conducted
using spiking  techniques (e.  g. , Gerloff,  1969; Maloney et al.,  1972).
                                35

-------
Schindler studied a lake where nitrates and phosphates were added to
make it eutrophic (in analogy to bottle tests where spiking occurs) and
found that the lake became growth rate limited by the rate of CO?
diffusion into the lake.  However, it was the added phosphorus that con-
trolled the development of the algal bloom itself and the lake waters
became eutrophic because of the additions of nutrients (Schindler,  1971;
Schindler et  al. , 1971;  Schindler, 1972).

Similarly, Goldman and Carter (1967) determined that nitrogen was the
probable limiting factor in Lake Tahoe waters by spiking  large plastic
bag in situ enclosures  of lake water with specific nutrients.

Another way of determining the relative importance of the various  nutrients
as growth limiting factors is to examine the typical stoichiometries and
growth yields of various algae.   Some suggested stoichiometric algal
formulae are C.n,H. ,0O.  _N, ,P,  (Stumm and Leckie,  1970),
                lOo  £o3  11U lo  1
C106H181°45N16P1 • -dC520N54Pl to  C98N6. 6P1
(depending on whether phosphorus or nitrogen respectively were limit-
ing, Porcella et al. , 1970).  These formulae demonstrate that phos-
phorus is the lowest constituent of those reported and therefore one
might reason that it must be reduced to the lowest concentration
relative to the other nutrients to cause it to become growth limiting.
By comparing directly the tissue concentrations of  important nutrients
in plants to these  ratios one can estimate whether a particular nutrient
may be limiting.  Gerloff (1969) has done this for aquatic plants in a
very detailed way while  Fitzgerald (1969) has indicated that more
sophisticated analyses of plants and algae can indicate which nutrients
are limiting.
                                  36

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NUTRIENT CONTROL AND EUTROPHICATION







Limiting Factors and Control Methods



of Algal Blooms







Considerable effort has been expended on estimating the seriousness of



eutrophication as a worldwide problem as well as a U. S. problem.



Federal Government estimates of eutrophic waters amount to 25-40



percent of U.S.  surface waters (House Committee on Government



Operations, 1970). Okun (1972) has estimated that 15 percent of the



population contributes to eutrophication of inland surface waters.  In



the Great Lakes Basin where a significant percentage of the North



American fresh water supply and population is located, eutrophication



is already a severe problem in Lake Erie (FWQA,  1968), a developing



problem in Lake Ontario and Lake Michigan, and a potential problem



in Lakes Superior and Huron (Table 1).  These lakes are apparently



phosphorus limited under natural conditions as are most of the Canadian



Shield lakes (Schelske and Stoermer,  1972; Schindler et al. , 1971).







A selection of North American waters where limiting factors have been



described shows that although many factors may be involved,  ultimately



nitrogen and phosphorus are the  most likely limiting factors for algal



growth (Table 1).  Although the more productive marine waters tend to



be nitrogen limited, freshwater environments exhibit a variety of pro-



bable limiting factors.  It is imperative to  remember that  lakes are



homogeneous in neither time nor  space  and that  Table 1 presents only



a selection of estimates; however, for a particular time and place these



results represent a considerable body of information and can be useful






                                37

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              Table 1.  SELECTED WATER SYSTEMS IN NORTH AMERICA IN RELATION
                         TO AN ESTIMATION OF THE LIMITING NUTRIENTa


           „  ,                     „   . .   _, J    Estimated Limiting
           Lake                    Trophic State         _  .       °         References
                                      r                Nutrient

     Clear Lake,  Calif.          Eutrophic        Light (turbidity),    Home and Goldman (1972)
                                                  then nitrogen

     Lake Tahoe,  Calif.          Oligotrophic     Nitrogen            Goldman and Carter (1965)
                                                                      McGauhey et al. (1969)
     Lake Washington,  Wash.     Eutrophic        Phosphorus         Edmundson (1972)

     Lake 227, Canada           Eutrophic (due to Phosphorus         Schindler et al. (1971)
<*»                                added nutrients)
     Lake Mennetonka, Minn.     Mesotrophic?    Phosphorus         Megard (1972)
     Lake Michigan (Great Lakes) Mesotrophic     Phosphorus         Schelske and Stoermer (1972)

     Lake Sebasticook, Maine     Eutrophic        Extrinsic Factors?  Mackenthun  et al. (1968)

     San Joaquin Delta, Calif.     Eutrophic        Light & Nitrogen    DiToro et al. (1971)
                                                                      Brown et al.  (1969)
     Marine Coastal Waters
     Receiving Sewage  Effluents
          Atlantic  Shore          Productive       Nitrogen            Ryther and Dunstan (1971)

          Pacific Shore           Productive       Nitrogen            Eppley et al. (1971)


          aFor references on studies of a large number of lakes, see Frey (1966), Lee (1970),
     Maloney et al. (1972), Milway (1970),  Rawson (I960),  Shannon and Brezonik (1972), and
     Vollenweider (1968).

-------
in extrapolating the effects of different nutrient control schemes on a
variety of lake environments.

Once a limiting nutrient has  been defined, it is necessary to interpret
that  result in terms of practical control measures for eutrophication.
Some common control methods are only of a temporary nature, attacking
the symptoms and effects of eutrophication; other methods are directed
at nutrient removal (the causative agent for algal blooms) or to changing
the conditions within the body of water to minimize the effects of algal
blooms (see Table 2).

By removal to a limiting level of a single  factor necessary for plant
growth, a reduction in plant productivity will occur.  Consequently,
efforts towards nutrient removal for effluents have been directed pri-
marily toward the intrinsic factors and chiefly towards phosphorus
removal.  Agreements between Great Lakes States and the Federal
Water  Pollution Control Administration (now Environmental  Protection
Agency) require 80 percent phosphorus removal and new agreements
may lead to an effluent  standard of less than  1 mg P/l (Lee,  1972).  The
relative geochemical rarity, ease of chemical removal from wastes,
and the lack of an atmospheric source of supply as  for carbon and
nitrogen have  led to the  development of technology for. phosphorus
removal in waste effluents, in spite of the fact that phosphorus is least
required in relation to carbon  and nitrogen.   In addition, there is an
extra advantage to phosphorus  removal from lakes  where phosphorus is
limiting because one would expect an immediate response by a lowering
of the algal productivity.
                                39

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     Table  2.  METHODS OF CONTROLLING EU TROPHIC A TION
                        AND ITS EFFECTS3"
                                             References Citing
                                             Specific Examples
Temporary Control Measures
Harvesting of weeds and/or algae

Biological
   Grazing organisms (fish, manatees)
   Blue-green algae viruses
Chemical
   Copper sulfate
   Organic herbicides
Permanent Control Measures
Watershed management
Diversion of nutrient-containing
   wastes
Nutrient removal from wastes
Nutrient precipitation in lakes
Dilution of nutrients in lakes
Deletion of certain specific  chemicals
   from chemical products (polyphos-
   phates in detergents)
Lake Modification (see Born, 1972)
Deepening of lake
Aeration
Removal of bottom sediments
See Brezonik and Lee (1968)
   Young and Grossman (1970)
See Prowse (1969)

See Fitzgerald (1971)

See Likens (1972)

See Table 3
See Rohlich and Uttormark
   (1972) for review
See Jernelov (1970)
See Oglesby (1969)

See Congressional Hearings
   (1969)
See Fast (1971)
     Many of these techniques have been discussed in more detail
previously (National Academy of Sciences, 1969; Milway, 1970).
                                40

-------
Because of the problem of sediment storage of phosphorus and later
release to the overlying waters when phosphates in the water become
limiting (e. g. , Porcella et al. , 1970),  it has not been satisfactorily
demonstrated that a reduction in phosphorus concentration alone in a
lake will cause an immediate reduction in algal blooms.  The studies
by Edmundson  (1972) on Lake Washington in Seattle and Sonzogni and
Lee  (1972)  on the Madison lakes indicate that sediment release is not
significant  (possibly because the upper layers of sediment become
exhausted of available phosphorus rather quickly (Porcella et al. ,  1970)).

Edmundson' s results are not completely clear with respect to the effects
of phosphorus removal on productivity in the lake.  The peak algal popu-
lation is correlated with the  winter  maximum orthophosphate concen-
tration, but this might correlate with other factors because phosphorus
was  not the only nutrient removed by diversion of  sewage effluents from
Lake Washington.   Hence the input of many factors (such  as organic
substances, nitrogen, vitamins, growth factors, trace metals, chelating
agents, etc., which could contribute significantly to productivity) have
been removed as well as phosphorus; though it  seems likely that at
present phosphorus is the growth limiting factor in Lake  Washington
(Figure 7),  the results of other large-scale eutrophication control
schemes have not been as  well studied (Table 3), and caution is required
in interpreting those measures in terms  of phosphorus.

Influent Phosphorus Distribution to  Lakes

In assessing the effect of the concentration of phosphorus influent to a
system it is important to understand that not all forms of phosphorus
                                41

-------
      Table 3.  IMPROVEMENT IN EUTROPHICATION EFFECTS
         RESULTING FROM DECREASE IN NUTRIENT INPUT

                               Method of             _  ,
                                _  .   .               Reference
                                Control
North American Lakes
Lake Washington,
   Washington                 Diversion        Edmund son, 1972
Indian Creek Reservoir,
   California                  P Removal       Porcella et al.,  1972
Lake Monona, Wisconsin      Diversion        Mackenthun et al., I960
Green Lake, Washington       Dilution          Oglesby, 1969
European Lakes
French Lakes                 Diversion        Laurent et al. ,  1970
Bavarian Lakes               Diversion        Liebman, 1970
(the so-called "total phosphorus") are immediately available to algae
for growth.  Generally speaking, dissolved orthophosphate is immediately
available; dissolved and particulate organic phosphates require bacterial
attack (and dissolution) to release dissolved orthophosphate; inorganic
condensed phosphates  can be readily hydrolyzed by bacteria to  dissolved
orthophosphate (Overbeck,  1962a); particulate inorganic phosphates
(either precipitated or sorbed to clay minerals) require dissolution,
usually by pH decrease,  to become readily available to algae as dis-
solved orthophosphate. Thus a total phosphorus analysis--an analysis
that is commonly performed on agricultural drainage waters--does not
indicate how much phosphorus  is immediately available for algal growth,
but it may represent the potentially available phosphorus.
                                42

-------
However, the total phosphorus concentration during the summertime
algal bloom in eutrophic lakes when most of the phosphorus is in the
algal cells appears to be closely related to the winter dissolved ortho-
phosphate concentrations,  i. e. , the phosphorus which is available for
algal growth (Edmundson,  19*72).  Thus, Vollenweider' s (1968) loading
rates which are expressed on an annual basis for total phosphorus
seem more reasonable.  Moreover, he has shown a reasonable correla-
tion between spring total phosphorus concentrations and annual total
phosphorus loadings in eutrophic lakes (Figure 8).

Phosphorus entering  a lake can be distributed between several phases
(Figure 9):  The water (epilimnion and hypolimnion),  and sediment (and
its interstitial water), the biota, and the inorganic particulate material.
All of these phases interact and therefore are involved in the natural
phosphorus cycle of the lake.  Based on the nutrient budget of 11
eutrophic European lakes it has been estimated that an average of about
55 percent of the phosphorus  entering the lakes was retained in them,
presumably in the sediments  (Vollenweider,  1968).

Analyses of waters entering a small eutrophic reservoir in Utah (Hyrum
Reservoir) have indicated that of the total phosphorus input, less than
50 percent was dissolved orthophosphate and directly available for algal
growth (Porcella et al.,  1972b).  During algal bloom conditions, ortho-
phosphate became incorporated into algae and other plants and decreased
eventually to almost undetectable concentrations in the water.  Settling,
incorporation into the food chain, and decay tended to remove the
majority of the accumulated algal biomass  to the sediments although a
fraction was removed via outflow. Fifty-four percent of the influent
                                43

-------
                    80 |j,g P. m • yr/g- 1
                                                                    Eutrophic lakes
                                                                                  2.0
                                 Annual Phosphorus Loading, g/rn • yr
Figure 8.  Spring concentrations of total phosphorus apparently are related to total phosphorus  loading
           (from Vollenweider,  19 68).

-------
Natural
and Cultural
Sources


Total
Influent
Phosphorus
                                            74|igP/L
          Outflow
                                                                            Total
                                                                            Effluent
                                                                            Phospho-
                                                                            rus
                                                        10
                             30

Orthoph

i, * I20 •»
osphate 1 ™

Plant
Growth
— wi
                                        i
                                   Particulate
                                   and Combined
                                   Phosphate
24
                                          40
Figure 9. Average spring-summer phosphorus flow in Hyrum Reservoir, April 4 to November 4,
           1971.  (Porcella et al. ,  1972b. )

-------
pnosphorus remained in this lake--a figure very close to that of
Vollenweider quoted above.  However, one should not be misled by this
similarity because the percentages of incoming phosphorus retained in
eutrophic lakes or reservoirs can be quite variable,  from about 89
percent in a new reservoir formed from, treated effluent (Porcella et al.,
1972a) to nearly zero in a naturally eutrophic lake (Frink, 1967).

These transfers to the sediment sink have been conceptualized in terms
of a lake phosphorus residence time independently by Vollenweider
(1969) and Megard (1971) and elaborated by Sonzogni and Lee (1972).
The relationships  expressed in this report were taken from the work of
Uttormark (1973).  The phosphorus concentration (C) within a com-
pletely mixed system is the same  as in the outflow and if the inflow con-
centration  (C.)  is partitioned between the aqueous and sediment phases,
a hydraulic residence time  (R.,- = V/Q,  V is the volume and Q the
                                                   V
outflow) and a phosphorus residence time  (R   =  Q      ,  where k
represents the fraction partitioned to the sediments) can be defined
such that
                              °o -  -Iff)  eX"  <-t/RP>         (1)
                                       H
and  C  can be determined for any time (t).  Where the system is
assumed to be at steady state the ratio of R  /Rrr  can be determined
from estimates such as in Figure 9, i.e., C/C.  = R  /R^.  For Hyrum
Reservoir  R  /R   =  C/C. =  0.46 and since R   averages about 0.2
            P  H       i                    H
years (Porcella et al. , 1972b), the mean steady state phosphorus resi-
dence time would approximate 0. 1 year.
                                46

-------
The partition values signify the vast quantity of phosphorus in the  sedi-
ments  (Megard, 1971; Stumm and Leckie, 1970; Vollenweider, 1968).
Transfer of phosphorus to the  sediments will have an important role in
shortening the recovery time needed for a lake where phosphorus  input
is restricted, especially in comparison to models based only on
hydraulic residence time.

Relationship of Algal Growth to
Phosphorus Concentration

As was showii in Figures 2 and 3, the relationship of phosphorus con-
centration to algal growth rate and to biomass levels was linear at first
but eventually reached a constant maximum value.  However, the  situ-
ation is more complex because of factors such as intracellular phos-
phorus storage (Overbeck, 1962b) and interrelationships with other
growth limiting factors.  In spite of these seeming complexities and
the problems associated -with lake estimations of algal populations,
Edmundson has shown straight line relationships

     Chlorophyll a  (p.g/1)  =  1.4 (PO4~P, (ig/l) + 7. 9, r  = 0.89; and
     Chlorophyll a  (p.g/I)  =  0. 94 (Total P,  ^g/1)  - 4. 2,  r = 0. 96,    (2)

to exist between phosphorus and chlorophyll concentrations in Lake
Washington for the years  1962 to 1970.   (Data extrapolated from Figure
10A, see Edmundson, 1972. )  From this type of  correlation it would
appear that phosphorus concentrations have controlled algal growth in
Lake Washington,  at least within the  last decade.  Prior to that time
other factors apparently limited algal growth.  A linear relationship
between phosphorus concentration and algal concentration (for example

                                 47

-------
   §•
u
  _r = 0. 911(0. 877;64
                  . 63
             62-
             . 66 ' 65
  ~57   -o
  u' 7orb8
      5.0.'
          69
  PO -P
     4
                67
o
fH
O
1—I
J3
U
                                               r = 0.933
                62.
               66.-65
                   . 64
                     .63
,.67
                                              Total P   |ig/l
    A.  Lake Washington,  planimetric means for the top 10 meters
        of phosphate (January/March) and chlorophyll a_ and total
        phosphorus (July and August) (Edmundson, 1972).   Correlation
        coefficients  (r)  are shown; value in parentheses includes
        1957 data point.
                                              n = 0. 58 F

                                              s
                                                     = 10. 3
                                                              4. 2
                                                 y -x
                                                s,  = 0. 0024
                                                 D
                               mg/m
                      Total Phosphorus (F )
    B.  Lake Minnetonka,  surface samples from   11  locations
        (Me gar d,  1972)
Figure 10.  Chlorophyll zi concentration appears related to winter
            orthophosphate and summer total phosphorus  concentrations.
                             48

-------
as in Lake Washington) apparently will exist when phosphorus is the only
limiting factor.   Megard (1972) developed the  relationship:
      Chlorophyll a (ng/1) =  0.6 Total P (JA g/1) + 4. 2              (3)
for the summer populations of algae and  the total phosphorus concen-
tration for Lake  Minnesota (Figure 10B). The differences between the
slopes of the relationships of Megard and Edmundson most probably
reflect the differences in the  lakes and their algal communities.

Multiple Limiting Factor Model

While relationships such as those of Edmundson (1972) and Megard
(1972) are  of value in specific situations, for  the general situation where
factors  other than phosphorus could be limiting, a more general model
is more applicable than  such  linear relationships and would include the
effects of other  limiting factors.  Models relating specific growth rate
(jx ) to limiting factors have been derived for nutrients in lakes  (Chen,
1970) and using  outdoor  laboratory ponds for light and temperature
(Middlebrooks and Porcella,  1970).  If combined,  these relationships
would have the general form:

   dX         ^C         SN        SP         1       ' 047T-20°C
   Xdt "    "  SC+KC
                                                                  (4)
                                  "
in which  X  =  mass of cells, ML
          t  =  time, t
          |JL  =  maximum specific growth rate, t
           1  =  light intensity
                             o
          T  =  temperature,  C
          all K values are half saturation constants
                                 49

-------
  S_,S  , S    =  concentration of available nutrients in the liquid phase
                                                                 o
                (C = carbon, N = nitrogen, P = phosphorus),  ML" .
The relationship between growth rate (fa.) and levels of eutrophication is
still unclear; however, as noted in the section on bioassays, a lake is
generally eutrophic when the measured bioassay growth rates are  near
maximum and oligotrophic when bioassay growth rates are  low.  The
utility of determining growth rate lies in models which describe popu-
lation changes in terms of rates, such as growth,  settling,  predation,
hydrodynamics, lake depth and morphology (e.g., Chen, 1970; DiToro
etal.,  1971; Porcella et  al.,  1970).

Single Factor Limitation

An alternative and simpler approach to estimating the relationship
between limiting factors and algal growth is to use yield factors or
stoichiometric formulations as have been previously discussed.  The
yield  (Y) is defined as the mass of algae  (X) obtained per unit of limit-
ing nutrient utilized.   For a worst possible situation one might assume
that all the limiting nutrient will be utilized.

Therefore,  for any limiting nutrient

                X =  YS                                           (5)
                       o
in which S   is the influent limiting nutrient (phosphorus) concentration.
           o

Essentially, this concept is equivalent to the linear relations of
Edmundson (1972) and Megard (1972).
                                50

-------
Schindler et al.  (1971) have taken another approach which they based on
Vollenweider1 s work (1968).  They calculated a log functional relation-
ship for  "admissible  (A)" and "dangerous  (D)" nitrogen and phosphorus
                                   o                        ___
levels between nutrient loading (g/m «yr) and the mean depth (Z) of the
receiving water:

     log!0PA  = 0.601og1() Z+ 1.40
     log1()PD  = 0.601og1()Z + 1.70
      log!0NA  = °-601og10 Z + 2'57
      log1()ND  = 0.601og1() Z + 2.87
Oligotrophic lakes are found to occur at loadings below admissible levels
while eutrophic lakes occur at loadings above dangerous levels and pre-
sumably mesotrophic lakes lie in between the admissible and dangerous
loading levels.

Both Vollenweider (1968) and Schindler et al. (1971) have suggested
considerable caution in the use of these relationships because of the
lack of confirmatory studies and the great error in using such a simple
formulation for the description of such a complex and highly variable
system.  With this warning in mind, further extension of Vollenweider' s
loading estimate will be made to obtain provisional guidelines to esti-
mate the relation between influent phosphorus and eutrophication.
                                51

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DEVELOPMENT OF A SIMPLE MODEL FOR
RELATING ALGAL GROWTH AND LOSS OF
BENEFICIAL USES OF PHOSPHORUS INPUT

For lakes having different fixed mean depths (Z), Equation 6 gives an
estimate of the two points, admissible and dangerous, on the
eutrophication-phosphorus relationship (see Figure 11).  Thus, an
annual phosphorus loading rate can be calculated from the phosphorus
input model (see Section VI for description of phosphorus input model,
pp. 149- 152) and related to the mean depth of a particular lake using
the relationships in Figure 11.  The effect on phosphorus input by a
particular phosphorus management scheme can be related to levels of
eutrophication and then evaluated in terms of cause and effect in relation
to the cost of the management scheme.  Further analysis of relation-
ships between algal growth parameters and loading  are contained in
Appendix  A.

Assumptions Involved in the
Eutrophication Model

The foregoing analysis is based on Vollenweider' s model (Figure  11)
and relies on many assumptions,  some of which are too broad, some
too inclusive, and some probably incorrect.  However,  the model shown
in Figure 11  represents an attempt to quantify a relationship between
eutrophication and phosphorus input so that the effects of certain phos-
phorus management strategies can be assessed on a specific lake.  The
model has the advantages of being simple and unsophisticated and
requiring the minimum of input data.  The following discussion lists

                                52

-------
w
   Dangerous
o  Loading
HH
H

-------
the major assumptions made in the model and discusses these assump-
tions in relation to the project objectives:
      1.   Only phosphorus limits growth--in the lakes that will be used
          as examples, the initial assumption is that phosphorus  is the
          limiting nutrient. In the context of the project this is the
          rationale for minimizing phosphorus input to lakes at least
          cost (even  though in some  cases this may do little to alleviate
          the eutrophication problems in the lake).  In the examples
          lakes will be studied (Lake Erie and Lake Michigan) which
          are considered phosphorus limited or, at least, where  phos-
          phorus  can likely be made limiting.
      2.   The model of phosphorus loading versus eutrophication effects
          applies to all lakes — such a simple model (Figure 11) only
          considers one variable in lakes (depth) while lakes vary in
          other morphological factors in their chemistry, biology, light,
          temperature, hydrology, geology,  etc.  Until further analysis
          of loading-response relationships in a wide  variety of lakes
          is achieved, it seems reasonable to utilize Vollenweider1 s
          simple  formulation.
      3.   The number of variables involved can be minimized--this
          model only considers  depth and nutrient loading; formulations
          exist which contain more variables (e.g., Shannon and
          Brezonik,  1972).  However, these models do  not contain
          more sophisticated cause and  effect relationships; the models
          do require considerably more data without eliminating  any
          significant deficiencies for the purposes of this project.
      4.   The phosphorus loading factor is based on input of phosphorus
          which is considered "available" for algal growth rather than
                                54

-------
for total phosphorus.  Where convenient, relative eutrophi-
cation will be shown for available and total phosphorus load-
ing but available phosphorus loading will be the basis for cost
calculations.  This assumption  seems the most reasonable in
terms of current knowledge of the natural system but is an
assumption which should be checked at the earliest opportunity.
                       55

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                            SECTION V
           PHOSPHORUS SOURCES TO SURFACE WATERS

OVERALL SUMMARY OF PHOSPHORUS SOURCES

Ultimately all phosphorus comes from minerals.  These minerals are
weathered by natural processes or utilized by man and other organisms
causing the release of phosphorus for recycling through biological com-
munities or for transport to the oceans.  After entering a  lake or
ultimately the ocean, the processes of biological deposition, physical
deposition, and chemical precipitation transfer phosphorus to the bottom
sediments where it is stored until geologic time restores it to the land
surface for further utilization.

Although there are many natural processes which serve as sources of
phosphorus to surface water, human activities,  at least in the USA,
probably account for the majority  of phosphorus mass inputs (see
Figure 12).  Cultural processes cause an increase in phosphorus input
to surface waters in comparison to the natural inputs normally expected
for a particular system.  Natural  inputs consist largely of solution
effects as water passes over and weathers geological formations.
Some phosphorus becomes cycled  through biological materials prior to
entering water systems as inorganic or organic phosphorus compounds,
                                 56

-------
                                                                   Geosphere
                                                                    •v 0. 1% P
                                        Phosphate
                                         Mineral
                                        Reserves
                                                                      I
                                                                   Runoff From
                                                                   Forests and
                                                                 Other Nonfarm
    1
  Uptake t
Accumulation
  in Natural
Communities
                                        Mining &
                                      Manufacturing
I Fertilizer!    [ Detergent]

 79. 3%
                                        7.
                                                     Other Uses of
                                                        Industry
           ""{Agriculture |
                  I
               Human
            Consumption
cn
-4
                   Agricultural
              Wastes - Decomposition
                   and Burning,
                   Return Flows
              Runoff:
              Erosion
               & Sediments
                             Air
                        Pollution and
                      Natural Air Input
                       Rain
                   0.9-3.2x10
                   kg/yr
                                                                                                      Marine Sediments  (STOR. )
                                             Phosphate
                                              Removal
                                             (STORAGE)
                                                          Runoff into Surface Waters
                                                            Lake Sediments (STOR. )
              Figure  12.  Simplified present-day mass flow diagram for phosphorus in the USA.  Data from Ferguson, 1968; The Institute
                          of Ecology,  1971; and Table 4, this report.

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but ultimately, these biologically derived compounds come from phos-
phorus minerals also.

CULTURAL USE OF PHOSPHORUS

Essentially all use of phosphorus by human society depends on the phos-
phorus mining industry.  In 1968, the estimated distribution of phos-
phorus obtained from mining activities was primarily to agriculture
(about 80 percent used in fertilizers and commercial animal feeds),
with a considerably smaller amount (7-13 percent) used as phosphate
builders in the detergent industry and the remaining 7-13 percent used
for various industrial purposes and as product additives (see Table 4).

Future changes in the usages  of phosphorus, particular fertilizer and
animal feeds, detergent, and  industrial uses, will depend primarily on
population  changes, changes in agricultural practices (chiefly due  to
urbanization  of agricultural lands and international trade policies),
possible restrictions on detergent phosphorus uses, and on industrial
uses.  Technological developments will probably have minimal effect
on the use  of phosphorus products.

The pathways shown in Figure 12 indicate that most of the activities
involved with phosphorus entering surface waters are associated with
human activities.   The natural sources are quite variable and are  depen-
dent on many factors as will become  evident in the description that
follows.  The cultural uses tend to be more constant,  but the inputs to
surface waters vary with discharge regulations and geography for the
diffuse sources.
                                 58

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        Table 4.  PHOSPHORUS CONSUMPTION IN THE USA
    Uses
   Amount Used, 100 Kg/yr'
     as P (percent of total)
                                 Year:   1958C
Fertilizers
Animal Feed
Detergents
Metal Finishing
Other Uses
   Water Softening
   Food and Pharmaceutical
   Gasoline Additives
   Plasticizers
   Pesticides
   Miscellaneous
TOTAL
 896 (69.7)
 107 (8.3)
 171 (13.3)
  15 (1.1)
  97 (7.6)
  35 (2.7)
  38 (3)
   8 (0.6)
  16 (1.3)
1286 (100)
   1968C
^ejtimates).
2406 (76. 3)
  94 (3)
 227 (7. 2)
  94 (3)
 331 (10.5)
  35 (1.1)
  58 (1.8)
  29 (0.9)
 210 (6. 7)
3153 (100)
    To obtain 1000 short tons of P/yr, multiply by 1. 1013.
    JTaken from Logue (1959).
    *
    'Taken from Lewis (1970).
The flow chart shown in Figure 12 has been combined together with
information in Table 4 to develop an activity analysis (Figure 13); i. e.,
to identify and quantify as precisely as present literature allows all of
the natural and cultural activities which tend to produce phosphorus
inputs to surface waters.  These have been classified into  1) nonbasin
activities; 2) agriculture; 3) urban and rural watersheds; 4) domestic;
5) industrial;   6) mining; and 7) animal production.
                                59

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                                       ACTIVITIES
         Non-bojln
Animal
Production
                             DIRECT RAINFALL
                             RIVER INFLOW
                             AGRICULTURE
                             IRRIGATION RETURN FLOW
                             PESTICIDES
                             SOLID WASTE DISPOSAL
                              MANAGED FORESTS
                             GRAZED WATERSHED
                              DEVELOPED WATERSHED
                              NATURAL  WATERSHED
                              URBAN RUNOFF
                              DOMESTIC WASTES
                              DOMESTIC DETERGENTS
                              INDUSTRIAL DETERGENTS
                              WATER SOFTENING
                              MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRIAL USE
                              METAL FINISHING
                              FOOD WASTES
                              P  MINING
                              MINING RUNOFF
                             CATTLE
                             POULTRY
                              PISS
                             SHEEP
                           Indicant not directly from mining
                                                                                          Receiving Water
                                                                                          LoKe 01 interest
      Figure 13.   Activity analysis  for phosphate indicating the major path-
                      ways to any lake for the most typical uses.

                                                60

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NONBASIN ACTIVITIES

These activities are those which are not directly controllable by man or
are outside the basin of interest.  The first of these includes direct
rainfall or precipitation on the water surfaces in the basin.   This input
has been shown to be a measurable value for  Lake Michigan by Lee
(1972) and considers the concentration of phosphorus in precipitation.
Chapin and Uttormark (1972) have shown that the phosphorus concen-
tration in rainfall is quite variable across the United States.  The
availability of phosphorus in rainfall to algae is still in question.

The  sources  of phosphorus in rainfall are probably natural particulate
phosphorus which is carried by wind, or other particulate input pro-
cesses, into  the atmosphere and later is removed by rainfall and other
precipitation.  However, industrial processes, particularly phosphorus
mining activities, can lead to rather high concentrations of phosphorus
in rainfall (Fuller, 1972). Although such activities can be significant
in a  particular basin depending on season,  prevailing winds and pre-
cipitation, they generally represent an uncontrollable source.  Another
input to the atmosphere which is probably an uncontrollable source is
the addition of organic phosphates to gasoline.  These  phosphates are
generally considered to enter the atmosphere and be distributed in that
phase.  The total quantity of phosphorus used as  a gasoline additive is
rather small, about 500,000 kg/year, or 0.01 percent of the total USA
phosphorus consumption in 1968, and can be  ignored.  Similar industrial
uses of phosphorus could also end up in the atmosphere, but  generally
are  rather small in comparison to the controllable inputs.
                                 61

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In general,  one would conclude that the phosphorus content of direct
rainfall on water surfaces is not manageable,  with the possible exception
of phosphorus particles resulting from phosphorus mining operations.

River flow into the basin is a special addition to the system of study,
which allows the  calculation of phosphorus input via water carriage
arising from activities in another basin.   An example of this is the
inflow into Lake Erie from Lake Huron.  If the analysis  is being per-
formed only on the Lake Erie basin, one is  not able to be concerned
with the activities occurring above that basin.   Thus, Lake Huron input
is calculated separately and independently of the activities in the Lake
Erie basin. Any rivers or activities which are  specific  to the  basin or
which arise in the basin will be analyzed as part of the overall activities
in the basin.  Thus, this is the only part of the phosphorus activities
basin which takes a typical nutrient budget approach, i.e., the concen-
tration in the  river water  inflow to the lake of interest times the volume
of inflow.

The question of groundwater sources was considered to be an area
where (1) little control could be exercised, (2) little information about
sources to lakes  in terms  of water flow or phosphorus concentration
was available, (3) previous investigators have largely ignored the
effects of groundwater.  One of the most careful analyses of the ground-
water contribution to the  phosphorus nutrient budget was performed
recently for two small lakes where groundwater influent would likely
be quite important because of  septic tanks, the gravelly  soil substrate,
                                 62

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and relatively high annual rainfalls (Cooke et al, ,  1973).  These investi-
gators found that with the one exception of 20. 1  percent obtained during
the winter  the percent of the phosphorus budget from groundwater
varied within the range of 1. 8 to 13. 1 percent over the various seasonal
quarters.  The median contribution was  4.4 percent.  On an annual
basis about 5. 3 percent for  the West Twin Lake and 2. 8 percent for
East Twin  Lake  came from  groundwater input.  The authors state that
groundwater influent phosphorus contributions •". . .are small and con-
stant. " Although for these two lakes groundwater would be expected to
contribute  considerable phosphorus, Cooke et al.  (1973) showed that it
was a minor input. Thus, for the three  reasons cited above, the ground-
water contribution to lakes is not determined for this study and ground-
water phosphorus is considered a minor but constant input to the system.

Conversely, it would be expected that lakes could contribute phosphorus
to the groundwater pool.  Except for coarse textured soils, phosphorus
travel through soils is generally very low because of the opportunities
for chemical precipitation,  sorption, and exchange on calcium carbon-
ate surfaces.  Under appropriate conditions (anaerobic, low Eh and pH)
transport of phosphorus from lakes to groundwater, soil to groundwater,
or groundwater to lake would be maximized.  Septic tank drainage,
feedlot location,  and groundwater recharge would be good examples of
how conditions could occur which maximize such transport.  In the
lakes described by Cooke et al.  (1973) septic drainage entered the
surface waters.  Hence, evidence for such transport mechanisms for
phosphorus is not available  at this time and so such possibilities for
transport will not be considered in this report.
                                63

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AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES (SOIL EROSION,
AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES, AND
IRRIGATION RETURN FLOWS)

The use of fertilizer and crop harvesting are the most important agri-
cultural practices in terms of the total mass of phosphorus resulting
from nonurban human activities.

Phosphorus Pollution of Waters and
Fertilizer Use

Agriculture is man' s oldest effort to manipulate nature to satisfy his
fundamental need for food and fiber.  With the advent of planned
incentive to increase yields in plant and animal production, it soon
became apparent that the more productive a system is, the simpler the
system becomes, i.e.,  a decrease in the  diversity and the complexity
of the species occurs.  Herein lies one of the major problems of
environmental pollution, for the simpler an ecological system becomes,
the less stable it is with regards to damage  from outside  sources
(Cooper,  1970).

The development of agricultural technology has resulted in a dramatic
increase in man's  capability to simplify certain ecosystems.  These
in turn interact with other ecological processes to create  chain-like
events of major importance beyond the limits of the original ecosystem.

In the quest of increasing agricultural production and its corresponding
economic gain, the original,  closed biochemical nutrient  cycles of a
                                64

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given ecosystem have been altered to the extent where worldwide con-
sequences are now evident.

The efficiency of the fertilizer industry has played a major role in the
degradation of the closed nutrient cycle in nature.  The economics of
commercially available nutrients are such that the application of com-
mercial fertilizers to agricultural lands is essential for a viable
enterprise.   It is estimated that from 1/3 to 1/2 of all agricultural pro-
duction depends on the use of commercial fertilizers (Viets,  1970).
Indeed, agriculturists have substituted chemical fertilizers for land,
labor, and other inputs which are less economically attractive.   Inten-
sive agricultural management has produced remarkable results in the
USA.  Whereas the population has increased by 54 million between
1950-1969,  the  cultivation area decreased in this period from 142
million hectares to  135 million hectares.  Equally revealing is that
only about 5 percent of the population is actually involved in feeding the
nation (Nelson,  1972; Viets, 1970).

Total fertilizer consumption in the USA was 5.5 million metric tons in
1954 increasing to 14. 3 million metric tons in 1970.  Elemental phos-
phorus (P) consumption doubled during this period increasing from
0.92 million metric tons  to 1. 84 million metric tons  (Nelson, 1972).
On a weight basis elemental phosphorus used is about 1/3 the amount
of elemental nitrogen used in fertilizers in the USA.

The decrease in quality of the nation1 s waterways during this period of
rapidly increasing fertilizer consumption has been cited as proof
(Nelson, 1972; Viets, 1971; Vollenweider,  1968) that fertilizer usage
                                 65

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is directly related to the increased nutrient supply in surface waters.
However, concrete evidence to support this indictment is difficult to
find in the literature.  The case against agriculture is  supported by the
report of the American Water Works Association Task Force (Task
Group 2610P, 1967).  They concluded that agricultural runoff was the
greatest single contributor of nitrogen and phosphorus  in waters.   The
estimated phosphorus contribution was  0.4 to 4. 0 pounds of phosphorus
per year per acre for each of the 308 million acres under cultivation in
the USA.  In contrast, Webber and Elrick (1967), in a review, stated
that phosphorus losses from agricultural lands ranged  from . 003 to 1.0
pounds per acre per year.  The discrepancy between these  two reports
points out the problem of extrapolating  data from specific watersheds
to large land masses and the need of pin-pointing the source of phos-
phorus in each  waterway before control measures are adopted.

Chemistry of Phosphorus in Soils

Pertinent to the problem of phosphorus pollution by agricultural runoff
is the chemistry of phosphorus in the soil.  Soil  phosphorus can be
divided into two broad categories, inorganic and organic.   The pro-
portion of phosphorus in these two forms varies  widely between soils.
Since organic phosphorus is a constituent of the organic matter in soils,
its accumulation and loss follow the general pattern of  total organic
matter (Black,  1968; Thompson et al.,  1954). The source  of all organic
phosphorus is plant and animal residues.  Organic phosphorus is higher
in the surface soil than in the subsoil and is converted  to its inorganic
form (mineralized) as the organic matter is decomposed by bacterial
action in the soil.
                                66

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The origin of all inorganic orthophosphate in the earth1 s crust comes
from the class of minerals  called apatite (Black,  1968; Buckman and
Brady,  1969; Russell, 1961).  This mineral is an insoluble calcium
phosphate which can exist in several forms.  This type formula is
Ca  -(PO ) ,X  where X is usually OH"  or F~   (Fried and Broeshart,
1967; Stumm and Morgan, 1970).   The chemical weathering of apatite
                                         -1      -2        -3
produces orthophosphate ions, i. e., H PO.  , HOP.   or  PO.  .  The
predominant ionic species in solution is a function of the pH of the
system (Stumm and Morgan, 1970).

The orthophosphate ion reacts with a variety of cations in the soil,  e.g. ,
  + 2     +^    +2    4-^
Ca  ,  Fe  , Zn  , Al   , etc. , to form a series of insoluble  compounds
(Buckman and Brady,  1969; Russell,  1961; Stumm and Morgan, 1970).
In acid soils,  phosphate ions interact predominantly with Fe  and Al
while in alkaline soils, Ca-phosphate compounds predominate.  In addi-
tion to forming insoluble compounds with soil cations,  orthophosphate
ions are sorbed on a number of mineral surfaces which greatly reduces
its solubility in the soil  solution (Black,  1970; Stumm and Morgan,  1970).
The result of the reactivity of orthophosphate with the  soil components
is that the soluble phosphorus  concentration in the soil solution is low,
usually between 0. 1 to 0.01 mg/1 phosphorus or less (Biggar  and Corey,
1969; Fried and Broeshart,  1967; Russell, 1961).  The chemistry of
phosphorus dictates that any input of soluble  phosphorus  to soils either
as commercial fertilizer, plant residues or animal manure,  remains
near the point of application (Black,  1968,  1970; Viets, 1971).  The
exception is in sandy or peat soils which exhibit little tendency to react
with phosphorus (Black, 1968; Ozanne et al., 1961; Spencer,  1957).
                                67

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An example of the nonmobility of phosphate fertilizer when applied to
the surface of a soil is shown in Figure 14.  The data show that after a
normal growing season the phosphate fertilizer applied in spring is
confined to the surface.5 cm of soil.  A continued use of phosphate
fertilizer can be expected  to result in a buildup of the total phosphorus
content in the surface soil.  This  condition is enhanced by the fact that
normally only 5-15 percent of the phosphorus applied as  fertilizer  is
available for plant growth  (Buckman  and Brady,  1969; Russell,  1961).
The remaining 85-90 percent of the applied fertilizer is  converted  to
slightly soluble  compounds or surface complexes which constitute the
bulk of the inorganic  phosphorus in the surface soil.

Evidence exists which suggests that some organic forms of phosphorus,
e.g., farm manure,  have  a greater mobility in soils than inorganic
phosphorus. This apparent increased mobility is ascribed to the
incorporation of phosphorus  into soil microorganisms during the break-
down of the organic matter (Hannapel et al.,  1964).  This area probably
needs more investigation,  especially since animal manures are and will
be applied to agricultural lands as a  method of disposal.

Phosphorus in Field Drainage Effluent

Phosphorus chemistry precludes the possibility of a large concentration
of phosphorus being found  in tile drain effluent.  However, considerable
variation is found suggesting many factors are involved in determining
the final phosphorus  concentration in tile effluent that is monitored.
Johnston et al.  (1965) studied nitrogen and phosphorus in tile drainage
effluent in the San Joaquin Valley of  California.  Irrigated plots were

                                 68

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           £
           o
vO
           a.
           UJ
           a
                                                              135 Kg of P
                                                              ADDED PER HECTARE
                                                               I
                0
20
     40             60

EXTRACTABLE  PHOSPHORUS,
80
100
                                                                       of Soil
      Figure 14. Vertical distribution of extractable phosphorus in control and surface applied

                 phosphorus fertilized soil in Wisconsin.  Taken from Black (1968).

-------
subjected to various fertilizer and crop sequences.  The mean average
of soluble phosphorus found was 0.08 mg/1 phosphorus with a range of
0.05 to 0.23 mg/1.  The area had received considerable commercial
fertilizer over a period of 30 years; the soils were deep, permeable,
and calcareous.  The tile depth varied  from 5.5 to 7. 0 feet in the
various plots.

A similar type experiment, under natural humid rainfall conditions,
was conducted by Zwerman et al.  (1972) near Aurora,  New York.   The
soil was predominantly a moderately -well drained silt loam with the
tile set at about 4. 5 feet.  The phosphorus concentration ranged from
only 0. 004 to  0. 001 mg/1 phosphorus in the effluent.  In both of these
studies the rate of phosphorus applied was high, about  32 kg/ha as
elemental phosphorus; yet a large difference was found in the maximum
amount of phosphorus monitored.  The inference from these data is
that intensive  agriculture requiring high amounts of fertilizer and
irrigation water would be suspected in  terms of phosphorus pollution.
This conclusion is corroborated by the findings of Sylvester and
Seabloom (1963) who studied the Yakima River Basin in Washington.

A total indictment against irrigation agriculture cannot be made.  A
comprehensive study of the salt and nutrient balance in the Snake River
Valley of Idaho was made by Carter et  al. (1971).  The area studied
involved 203, 000 acres (82, 030 ha) and had been under irrigation for
65 years.  All irrigation water is diverted from the Snake River which
has an average soluble phosphorus concentration of 0. 021 mg/1 phos-
phorus.  The  soils are calcareous and  have a silt loam texture.  The
total phosphorus input from both commercial fertilizers and irrigation

                               70

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water averaged about 10 kg/ha.  The drainage effluent contained phos-
phorus in the concentration range of 0.002 to 0.005 mg/1 phosphorus,
with an average concentration of 0. 004 mg/1 phosphorus.  In this case,
irrigation removed over 70 percent of the phosphorus in the input water
with no evidence of fertilizer phosphorus found in the drainage.  Irri-
gation decreased the downstream phosphorus load -which is contrasted
to the total salt and nitrogen load, both of which increased.

The amount of phosphorus in the tile effluent reflects quantitatively the
solubility of the predominate insoluble phosphate compound which exists
under the prevailing conditions in a given soil profile.  Because phos-
phorus in the  soil solution is slow to attain equilibrium with the matrix,
it is not possible to predict with accuracy the exact compound regulating
the soluble phosphorus concentration.   Proper soil management gives
some control  over the amount of phosphorus in the soil solution, e. g.,
regulating soil pH (Black, 1968; Buckman and Brady,  1969; Russell,
1961).  However, a dilemma exists.  Agricultural crop  production is
based on maintaining a maximum amount of phosphorus  in the soil solu-
tion, whereas the demands of water quality require that the phosphorus
concentration be minimal.

The low threshold value of phosphorus required to trigger algal  blooms
in lakes, i.e., 0. 01 mg/1 phosphorus  (Sawyer,  1947), results in the
fact that most drainage effluent can be regarded as a water pollutant.
The impact of tile effluent phosphorus on the quality of receiving water
can only be assessed in terms of total effluent volume relative to the
total volume of stream flow.
                                 71

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The cost of phosphate fertilizer lost by tile effluent drainage is insig-
nificant.  If the concentration of the tile effluent is 0. 1 mg/1 phosphorus,
every acre-foot of drainage water represents a loss of about 0. 27 Ib of
phosphorus. If treble superphosphate  sells at $90 per ton, fertilizer
loss amounts to 6. 2 cents per acre-foot of tile effluent.  To eutrophy
this acre-foot of water  (43,560 cubic feet), assuming the threshold value
for algal bloom is 0. 010 mg/1 phosphorus, costs as little as 0. 6 cents
using treble superphosphate as the nutrient source.  Strategies for
control of such phosphorus additions will be developed in  Section VII.

Phosphorus in Agricultural Land Runoff

It is the consensus that the majority of the total phosphorus load of the
nation* s waterways  results from rural land runoff.  The accumulation
of phosphorus at the soil surface, in both inorganic and organic forms,
is  posidonally highly vulnerable to transport in particular forms during
soil erosion (Armstrong and Rohlich, 1971; Biggar and Corey,  1969;
EPA, 197Ib; Martin et  al., 1970; Taylor, 1967; Viets, 1971; Wadleigh
and Britt,  1969).  The organic form of phosphorus is particularly
susceptible to transport because of the low density of  organic matter.

The nutrient load  carried by stream sediments depends to a large
extent on the fertility level of the soil eroded. A productive soil has
a higher concentration of plant nutrients than a nonproductive soil.  In
addition, eroded soil sediments represent the surface of the soil which
contains more nutrients per unit mass  than does the soil that remains
(Viets,  1971).  The  composition of sediments is predominantly  silt,
clay, and organic  matter  (Holt et al. ,  1970).  Any cultural practice
                                72

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which reduces soil erodability can be expected to reduce the total
nutrient load of rural land runoff (Armstrong and Rohlich,  1971; EPA,
1971b, c; Taylor,  1967; Viets, 1971).

Both soil management practices and types of crops grown influence the
amount of runoff as well as the amount of constituents in agricultural
land runoff.  An example of this is shown by the data of Weidner et al.
(1969) in Tables 5 and 6.   Table 5  shows that during a 4-year rotation,
the two years in meadow  showed a marked decrease in field runoff
particularly under the prevailing  cultural practices.  Improved manage-
ment which included contour tillage, liming and increased fertilizer
application, also showed  a marked effect in reducing runoff.  The
improved management practices tended to reduce the effect of crop
types.  Table 6 shows the analyses of the runoff in terms of its con-
stituents.  These  data show the importance of a sod crop in terms of
both soil erosion and nutrient loss from land.  Since suspended solids
(sediments) in surface water is considered a major water pollutant in
its own right, the principle of continuous ground cover in water quality
control is  clearly evident.  The data of Weidner et al. (1969) also
show that despite  the increase in fertilizer and manure applied, a
marked decrease  occurred in pollution  load.  This supplies evidence
that existing technology can provide a means of reducing agricultural
pollution when applied in the  proper situation.  Correspondingly,
Johnston et al.  (1965) showed the similar effect of management and
cropping pattern on both  surface and drainage effluent.  These data are
shown in Table 7.  System 6  was  in  cotton-rice and 7 was in cotton,
whereas systems  14 and  16 were  alfalfa and rice respectively.  The
importance of surface runoff in terms of total phosphorus loss is
                                 73

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   Table 5.  EFFECT OF MANAGEMENT PRACTICE (PREVAILING
         AND IMPROVED) AND CORN CROP ON RUNOFF IN
                       A 4-YEAR ROTATION3"
Crop

Corn
Wheat
Meadow
Total Runoff
Av. Monthly
Runoff (inches)
Prevailing
0.43
0.21
0. 10
Improved
0.20
0. 14
0.07
for 4-year Rotation
Total Runoff
(inches)
Prevailing
2.31
1.95
3.51
7.77
Improved
1.09
1.29
2.41
4.79
    aTaken from Weidner et al. (1969).
clearly shown.  These data show that phosphorus was removed from
the irrigation water by the soil.  System 16 shows  that phosphorus lost
in the tile effluent was considerably greater than surface runoff.  This
occurred because the rice system was flooded during much of the period
giving a strong bias to the drainage tile  data.

Although a definite relation exists between the total phosphorus load in
a given water and soil erosion, the question remains whether phos-
phorus  associated with suspended particles is  equally available to
algae as soluble phosphorus.  If the organisms are in direct contact
with the sediments, results show that adsorbed or  particulate phos-
phosus  can be utilized (Porcella et al.,  1970).  However,  when sus-
pended  particles  settle out, the associated phosphorus  may become
positionally unavailable unless mixing of the waters occurs (Holt et al. ,
1970b; Martin et  al.,  1970; Zicher et al., 1956).

                                74

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Table 6.  ESTIMATED ANNUAL AMOUNTS OF CONSTITUENTS IN RUNOFF FROM RURAL
   LAND AS AFFECTED BY MANAGEMENT PRACTICE (PREVAILING OR IMPROVED)
                                 AND COVER CROP3"

Improved
Prevailing
Improved
Prevailing
Improved
Prevailing
Cover
Corn
Corn
Wheat
Wheat
Meadow
Meadow
TS
#/acre
3,600
13,220
480
1,730
Trace
Trace
BOD
#/acre
27.5
120.0
3.7
15.5
Trace
Trace
COD
#/acre
480
1,300
64
170
Trace
Trace
P04
#/acre
8.4
27.7
1.1
3.6
Trace
Trace
Total N
#/acre
88
237
11
31
Trace
Trace
   LTaken from Weidner et al. (1969).

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Table 7.  NITROGEN AND PHOSPHORUS BALANCE IN TILE DRAINED SOILS'
System
6
Cotton-Rice
7
Cotton
14
Alfalfa
16
Rice
Element
N
P
N
P
N
P
N
P
Pound s
Fertilizer
22,216
4,025
14,112
2,328
0
0
3,864
0
Applied
Irrigation
Water
1,263
373
347
54
1,317
165
1,357
156
Pounds Lost
Drainage
Effluent
14,836
25
843
3
282
6
1,528
22
Tailwater
1,539
109
414
11
132
16
191
4
Applied element
loss, %
70
3
9
1
31
13
33
17

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Sediments are not nutrients, but they do affect the nutritional status of
water.  Inorganic sediments can serve as both a source and sink for
soluble phosphorus, and thus act as a control or buffer to large  con-
centration changes.  The efficiency of this phosphorus buffer action
depends to a large degree on the thermal or mechanical mixing required
for continual water-sediment interaction. The majority of data indi-
cates that most  sediments are phosphorus deficient in relation to over-
lying 'waters and actually scavenged phosphorus reducing its  concen-
tration in solution (Grissinger and McDowell,  1970; Harter,  1968; Holt
et al. ,  1970a; Latterell et al. ,  1971; Taylor, 1967).  Whether inorganic
sediments add or remove soluble phosphorus depends on the  degree with
which  contacting water is saturated with respect to the phosphorus
associated with  the suspended  particles.  Hence, sediments originating
from soils managed under an intensive fertilizer program can be expected
to be greater potential sources of soluble phosphorus than those  orig-
inating from soils under natural vegetation (Armstrong and Rohlich,
1971; EPA,  1971b; Viets, 1971).  The data suggest that the source  and
nature of rural  runoff is of prime importance in determining phosphorus
abatement strategies for various waters.

Phosphorus in runoff has been associated with  seasonal variation.
Spring snowmelt runoff has been shown to carry greater amounts of
phosphorus than during other times of the year.  This has been obser-
ved both under agricultural and natural conditions (Hanson and Fensfer,
 1969;  Holt et al.,  1970a; Martin et al. , 1970).  Most of the phosphorus
is considered to originate in plant residues that accumulate  during
winter on the frozen soil.  The phosphate released by these residues
does not have sufficient time to interact with the semi-frozen soil during
                                 77

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the spring runoff period.  Snow runoff in Minnesota (Hanson and Fensfer,
1969) has been shown to have about five to six times more  soluble phos-
phorus  (0. 16 mg/1) than water which had percolated through soil  (0. 03
mg/1)

The runoff source of soluble phosphorus from agricultural lands  may be
more significant than previously considered (Armstrong and Rohlich,
1971; Biggar and Corey,  1969; Martin et al.,  1970; Weibel et al. ,  1966).
It appears that any management practice which incorporates fertilizer,
animal  manures, or plant residues in the soil will reduce the soluble
phosphorus load in the runoff. An example of how soil management
affects  phosphorus in runoff is given as follows (Holt et al.,  1970):
         „ ....     .   ..   ..                Total Phosphorus
         Fertilizer Application              ,   ... .  _f   ,-
         	K£-	              (mg/1) in Runoff
         Control (no fertilizer)                   0. 08
         Broadcast and plowed under              0.09
         Broadcast and disked in                  0. 16
         Broadcast (no application)                0. 30
These data show that surface fertilization materially increases the
phosphorus load and that  the deeper the incorporation of the fertilizer
in soil the less  the effect of fertilizer application.   In this  study even
the control was adding a  considerable amount of soluble phosphorus in
the runoff.

It is difficult to assess the true status of phosphorus in  agricultural land
runoff as it contributes to the eutrophication of receiving water.  Most
reported data fail to discriminate between soluble  phosphorus, adsorbed
or particulate phosphorus, and organic phosphorus.  In addition, total
runoff and sediment volume are necessary to determine the total contri-
bution of land runoff to the nutrient load of a stream. Total phosphorus
                                 78

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content of runoff does not provide the necessary information since only
the soluble orthophosphate form is readily available for organism meta-
bolism.  The other forms of phosphorus in the system create a reserve
or pool which can be drawn upon •when needed or they  can serve as a
sink to tie up phosphorus in a form not readily available.

Pesticides

The switch from DDT to other types of pesticides as a result of the ban
on the use of DDT and probable coming bans on other  chlorinated hydro-
carbon pesticides has led to an increase in the use of organophosphorus
pesticides.  Generally, these pesticides are composed of 10-12 percent
of phosphorus by weight and thus  a measurable input of phosphorus to
the waters of interest can be calculated.  The hydrolysis of organophos-
phate pesticides produces a quantity of esterified phosphates which are
not available for the growth of algae.  However, hydrolysis of phos-
phate pesticides can go all the way to orthophosphates.

The total quantities of organophosphorus pesticide sales (one can assume
sales are equivalent to use) in the U.S. are listed in Table 8.   The
total amount of organophosphorus pesticides sales since 1967-1970 was
 142 million kg and an average of 36 million kg per year.  The quantity
of sales was variable over the four years,  but it can be expected that
the quantities will increase  in the coming years as the result of pro-
bable coming bans on other  common chlorinated hydrocarbon pesticides.
However, in terms of the possible phosphorus input from such use, the
quantity of phosphorus is essentially immeasurable (4 million kg/year
 or about 0. 1 percent of the total USA consumption of phosphorus); this
 input is included for completeness of the analysis.
                                 79

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       Table 8.  SALES OF OR GANG PHOSPHOR US PESTICIDES
                    (U.S.  TARIFF COMMISSION)
Phosphorusa
Year use. million

1967
1968
1969
1970
kg/yr
3. 1
4.2
4.6
3.7


Total
28
38
42
34
Million kg/yr as Pesticide

Parathion
7
9
?
7

Methyl ParathionC
14
20
23
18

Other
7
9
19
9
      Assume total pesticide is about 11 percent P.
      Parathion is C.QH  NO  PS,  P approximately 10 percent.
     c
      Methyl parathion is  C0H  NO PS, P approximately 11 percent,
                           o  lu   5
URBAN AND RURAL WATERSHEDS

Nonurban Watershed Runoff

Because of the paucity of data on phosphorus output from natural and
other kinds of nonurban watershed areas, it was decided to make some
quite arbitrary decisions concerning such runoff.  First, the nonurban
watershed was divided into four separate groups; natural watersheds,
developed watersheds, grazing lands watersheds,  and managed forests
watersheds.  These areas were all considered as  separate entities and
information relating to their relative distribution in a particular basin
was  obtained from the Water Resources Council (1968).
                                80

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Managed forests would include those forests where fertilizers are
applied and high rates of production are desired (Cooper, 1969).  Grazed
watersheds would consider those kinds of areas where low density animal
grazing occurs as for lands administered by the U.S. Forest Service
and the Bureau of Land  Management.   These lands are located primarily
in the western part of the United States.   These areas have population
densities of 2-5 cows per square mile and serve primarily as a multi-
use type  of forest land.   Developed watersheds include all those kinds of
urban, suburban, and recreational construction which are beginning to
occur, particularly in high mountain areas, e.g.,  condominiums and
ski  developments.   Campsites and other high intensity recreational use
of watersheds involving people and disposal of their wastes are included
in this area.  McGauhey et al. (1971) showed that for the Lake Tahoe
Basin such developments produced approximately twice as many nutrients
as undeveloped watersheds.

All  undeveloped or undisturbed watersheds are considered natural water-
sheds.  Any watershed  areas  which were not subject to forest manage-
ment,  grazing,  or development  were considered natural watersheds.
Levels of nutrient concentration were estimated using data from Likens
(197Z),  Likens et al.  (1964), and McGauhey et al. (1971).  The other
kinds of watershed areas were related by the use of simple factors;
assuming that developed watersheds would produce the most runoff
phosphorus,  and that there were some data indicating this would be
about twice the level for the natural watershed (McGauhey et al.,  1971),
it was decided that managed forests and grazed watersheds would be
approximately midway between natural and developed watersheds.
Therefore, for developed, grazed, and managed forest watersheds,
                                81

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factors of 2, 1. 5, and 1. 5 were used to relate them to natural watershed
runoff.

By directing runoff from the disturbed watersheds through a natural
watershed,  it might be possible to control some of this runoff phos-
phorus.  However, in most cases, the  amount of phosphorus coming in
from the natural and disturbed watersheds would not be significant in
comparison to other activities in the basin.  If they were  significant, it
would  be likely that little could be done to control eutrophication in that
particular basin.  One last point concerning watersheds would be  that
if sufficient management controls were applied to agricultural usages
of fertilizer and crops, it would be possible to reduce  the agricultural
watershed to the equivalent of the nonurban watersheds; these represent
a lower limit for agricultural runoff phosphorus concentrations.

Urban Runoff
The analysis of urban runoff is based entirely on the excellent work of
Weibel et al.  (1969).  Their study was  quite comprehensive and answered
many of the kinds of questions that this project required to identify phos-
phorus concentrations in runoff.  Weibel et al. noted that a runoff factor
of 0. 37 corresponded to the amount of  impervious  surface in the urban
watershed and in addition noticed that phosphorus concentrations of
0. 36 mg/1 in runoff water were obtained in spite of the fact that rainfall
concentrations average about 0.08 mg/1.  This indicated a relatively
high input of phosphorus from urban, social, and cultural activities was
occurring.
                                82

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Some of these inputs might be the large pet population in the United
States and their fecal material (estimated 40-50 million household cats
and dogs in the USA), the use of phosphorus-containing deicing compounds
(Struzeski, 1971), and the use of fertilizers around the home for lawns
and gardens.  Control of these kinds of inputs to urban runoff phosphorus
might be exercised by the  following list of management proposals.
However, they do not seem feasible and little further discussion will
occur.

     1.   Control of animal populations in urban areas appears to be
         necessary for a variety of reasons,  including humane ones.
         Pets can contribute relatively high concentrations of phosphorus
         in a relatively small area.  In addition, their capacity for
         possible disease transmission and other nuisance problems
         seems relatively high.  Eventually, it seems that control of
         such pet populations is likely to be necessary.
     2.   Use of other compounds other than phosphorus compounds in
         deicing seems to  be an unlikely necessity because the amount
         of phosphorus used in deicing is relatively small (Struzeski,
         1971).
     3.   Use of home fertilizers represents a relatively uncontrollable
         source of phosphorus to the basin.   Changes in  life-style seem
         necessary here, but their likelihood seems doubtful.   Lawns
         and luxuriant gardens seem to be an important part of our
         culture, and fertilizer is a major part of the development of
         these.   Use of urban green belts and green areas,  such as is
         practiced in Denver and around Washington, D.  C. , seems a
         feasible solution and can be compared to similar proposals
                                83

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         for agricultural croplands.  It would be expected that such areas
         would provide many additional benefits in addition to removing
         a lot of the phosphorus and other pollutional contaminants of
         urban runoff.  Transferring urban runoff to reservoirs within
         cities such as is practiced in Denver seems to be a logical
         step, especially for those areas where combined sewers are  a
         problem.  Some of the problems Denver has experienced could
         be profitably studied to obtain information of use to a city anti-
         cipating such "runoff reservoirs. "

 Solid Waste Disposal

 This particular question is specific to landfill and to open dumps, but
 is not an important one  in terms of the overall phosphorus input to
 natural lake systems. It is possible that for particular lakes or  drain-
 age systems it will be important,  but this is unlikely and it is only
 included here for the  sake of completeness.  Also, it is possible to
 minimize the output of phosphorus from landfills relatively easily--
 this would probably be done because of more serious pollutants contained
 in landfill  runoff.

 The control feature of leachate recycle (if physically possible) is a
 significant finding if this source of phosphorus is  important in terms of
mass contributed to surface waters.  Design of landfills to incorporate
recycle might  be required because of the need for controlling other
pollutants (BOD, nitrogen) in the leachate.  A detailed  analysis of
leachate phosphorus is contained in Appendix B.
                                84

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DOMESTIC ACTIVITIES

Domestic utilization and disposal of phosphorus almost exclusively
involves human wastes and washing products.  Except for septic tanks
and the possibility of direct discharge (in combined sewer overflow or
direct disposal) all of this phosphorus enters the municipal treatment
plant.  After some short discussion of the characteristics of domestic
wastes, the factors involved in waste treatment of phosphorus and the
program utilized to calculate treatment costs and efficacy will be dis-
cussed in this section.

Characteristics of Domestic Wastewater

Domestic wastewater  refers to the liquid  wastes entering a sewer system
from residences,  business buildings, and institutions.  The water typi-
cally carries a total solids concentration  of 800 mg/1, of which about
70 percent is dissolved.  Approximately 50 percent of the total solids is
organic matter and 60 percent of this fraction is biodegradable,  exerting
                                                               \
a biochemical oxygen  demand (5 day,  20 C) of 200 mg/1.   The principal
groups of organic substances found in sewage are proteins (40-60 per-
cent),  carbohydrates (25-50 percent), and fats and oils (10 percent).
A wide variety of  synthetic molecules may also be present in significant
amounts,  for example, surfactants.   The  major inorganic constituents
of the water are ammonia nitrogen (20 mg/1), phosphorus  (10 mg/1),
chlorides (50 mg/1), and alkalinity (100 mg CaCO,/l).  The inorganic
ions as well as many of the  synthetic  organic chemicals are not removed
by present-day treatment processes.
                                85

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The concentration of total nitrogen in domestic raw wastewater is
generally in the range of 15-90 mg/1 with an average of about 40 mg/1.
Most of the nitrogen is initially combined in proteinaceous matter and
urea.  Free ammonia is rapidly formed by biological decomposition.
Nitrate is found in only low concentrations in fresh sewage.   The total
phosphorus concentration ranges from about 2 to 25 mg/1 with an average
of about 10  mg/1. Thirty to 50 percent is derived from human waste
and 50-70 percent from detergents containing phosphate builders.  When
sodium hexametaphosphate  or  other phosphorus compounds are used as
corrosion and scale control chemicals in water supplies,  phosphorus
concentrations may  be up to 20 percent higher. Usually 85 percent or
more of the phosphorus is in the form of orthophosphate.

Human Wastes

Mean per capita  human waste values have been calculated by Vollenweider
as follows:

         Phosphorus =  2. 18 g/,capita day
         Nitrogen    =  10. 8 g/capita day

The N:P weight ratio would be about 5:1; this is out of balance for
phosphorus  in relation to optimum algal growth requirements (15:1).
These ratios compare with  the average N:P ratio of about 4:1 in domes-
tic waste.   The 4:1 ratio occurs because other activities (detergent use)
add phosphorus to domestic waste.  Usually detergents supply about
50 percent of the phosphorus in sewage; thus the total of 4. 36 g/capita
day times a volume of about 115 gals/capita day of wastewater volume
                                86

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provides 10 mg/1 of total phosphorus.  A specific estimate of a suburban



community in Utah gave 2. 7 g/capita day from human waste and 3. 5



g/capita day from detergent use (Porcella et al. , 1973).  Because it



was suburban and also because  little dilution from other activities



occurred, these values will not be used herein.







Household Detergent Use







As shown in Figure 15, use of synthetic detergents increased linearly



from  1945 to about 1957 and thereafter until  1968, but at a lesser rate.



Soap usage has declined to  a relatively constant value constituting about



one-sixth of the market by  1968.  Difficulties in classifying such cleaning



products as to their use by different segments of the  U. S.  community,



and by their content of phosphorus, makes it difficult to adequately



assess the  use of phosphorus in this particular area  (Table 9).  Note:



Detergent builder formulations, toxicity,  and other problems of deter-



gents have  been considered previously and will not be discussed herein



(Jenkins et al. ,  1972).  If one estimates the total phosphorus  use  from



the production of chemicals that could  be used in detergents (Table  10)



one would obtain an estimate of 300 x 10  kg of phosphorus.  Assuming



that 80 percent of the phosphorus in these chemicals  is utilized by the



soap and detergent industry, as was the case in 1967, this would indicate



that in 1970 use of phosphorus by soap and detergents would be in the



range of 240 million kg.  Dividing by the population for that year (204



million)  one obtains a rough estimate of 1. 2 kg of phosphorus used per



capita year (3. 2 g/capita day) in the use of cleaning products.   A  further



subdivision can be made based  on commercial-industrial use  where it



is estimated that in 1970 20 percent of all cleaning products phosphorus
                                87

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3 5
0)
IH

0)
03

Tt
n

C

O
CO
  0
                                Total Soap and


                                Detergent
                                      U. S.  Population
                                                          en
                                                                     4§
                                                                        c
                                                                       •1H

                                                                        c


                                                                     3 5
     1940
1945
1950
1955
I960
1965     1970
    Figure 15.  Sales history of soaps and  detergents.  (From Jenkins


               et al. , 1972.)
                                  88

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          Table 9.   1970 ESTIMATED DISTRIBUTION OF

           PHOSPHORUS BY PRODUCT CLASS OF ALL

                   DETERGENTS/CLEANERSa
Household                                                      %

    Synthetic Heavy Duty Granules                             68. 0
    Machine Dishwashing                                       4.2
    Heavy Duty Liquids/Liquid Cleaners                        2. 9
    Scouring Cleansers                                         1. 7
    Powdered Cleaners and Miscellaneous                       3. 8
                                Subtotal Household           (80. 6)

Commercial/ Industrial

    Machine Dishwashing                                       6. 6
    Synthetic Heavy Duty Granules                              4. 6
    Miscellaneous, Alkaline Cleaners, Liquids
        and Cleanser                                          6. 2
                                 Subtotal Commercial         (17.4)

Unclassified                                                 ( 2. 0)
                                 TOTAL                     100.0
  Based on 1967 Census of Manufactures and information on typical
  product formulations of 1970.   Table taken from Duthie (1973).
were utilized in this area, and 80 percent in households.   Thus,  on a

per capita basis, 0. 96 kg of phosphorus per  capita year was utilized

in the household and 0. 24 kg per capita year was utilized in the indus-

trial sector.


Because of the wide variety of washing products, particularly with

respect to phosphorus content, further analysis of the detergent question


                                89

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       Table 10.  TOTAL U.S.  PRODUCTION OF SELECTED
                  PHOSPHATE CHEMICAL (1970)a
                                                          106 kg P
     Trisodium phosphate                                     9. 1
     Tetr as odium pyrophosphate                              11. 6
     Sodium tripolyphosphate                               273. 0
     Tetra potassium pyrophosphate                           6. 6
                                                           300.3
3.
   Data taken from U. S. Department of Commerce, 1972.  Analysis
   provided by Duthie (1973).

required some classification.  A rather arbitrary classification into
soaps,  no phosphate detergents, low phosphate detergents, and high
phosphate detergents was  made.  Estimates of the  proportion utilized
by different segments of the population were obtained as follows: (1)
The fraction of population using soap was estimated from production
curves  in Figure  15  but was rounded to 0. 1; (2) the fractions using
detergent were estimated  for populations in jurisdictions which had
enacted legislation restricting phosphate content of detergents.  Those
results represent the fraction of the population using detergents which
use high, low, or non-phosphate detergents as being 0. 78,  0. 18, and
0. 04, respectively.   Correcting to the total population  (i. e. , including
soap users) and rounding off one obtains a crude distribution of high,
low, and non-phosphate  detergents and soap users  of 0. 7, 0. 1, 0. 1,
and 0.1.
                                90

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WASTE TREATMENT OF MUNICIPAL SEWAGE





Phosphorus Removal by Chemical Precipitation





Removal of phosphorus by chemical precipitation and flocculation has


been studied extensively in conjunction with domestic wastewater  treat-


ment processes.  Up to 99 percent of the total phosphorus has been


removed by chemical precipitation with metallic ions.  The total phos-


phorus concentration in the effluent can be reduced to the range of 3. 0


to 0.3 mg/1.  Multimedia filtration, or split chemical dosing,  is normally


required to consistently reduce phosphorus residuals below about 1 mg/1.


Relatively low capital costs and moderate operating costs make these


processes especially attractive for new or existing treatment facilities


that are intermittently required to reduce effluent phosphorus concentra-


tions to meet stream standards.  The major liabilities  of these methods


are the difficulties  introduced by the additional inorganic sludge mass


and the increase in total dissolved solids in the effluent.





Chemistry--





Phosphorus  exists in three forms in domestic wastewater; orthophos-


phates, condensed inorganic, and organic phosphates.





The "orthophosphates" are defined as those phosphorus-containing


compounds or ions  which are derived from orthophosphoric acid,  H  PO :


                                 H

                                 O
                                  i

                            HO - P  - OH
                                 11

                                 O



                                91

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In solution the protons will dissociate from the compound and the con-

centrations of the various ionic forms which exist are determined by

the hydrogen ion activity.  HPO   is by far the dominant form in typical

wastewater.  Orthophosphates constitute from 50-90 percent of the total

phosphorus in secondary wastewater effluent (Gulp and Gulp,  1971;

Sawyer, I960).



Condensed phosphates, e. g. , polyphosphates, are derived from ortho-

phosphates  by combination of one or more orthophosphate units with

the elimination of water, e. g. :


                             O      O
                             II       It

pyrophosphoric acid   HO - P -  O - P  - OH


                             O      O
                             H      H


Polyphosphates can be looked upon as polymers of phosphoric acid from

which water has  been removed.  Complete  hydrolysis results in forma-

tion of orthophosphate.  The polyphosphates gradually hydrolyze in

aqueous solution and revert to the ortho form.  The rate depends on

temperature, pH, and the original form. Polyphosphates may also be

hydrolyzed  by  biological  activity.  In a well stabilized secondary effluent,

condensed phosphates normally constitute no more than 10 percent of

the total phosphorus present (EPA, 197la;  FWPCA,  1969).



The biomass in biological treatment processes contains about 1-3 per-

cent phosphorus.  Decomposition of this material releases orthophos-

phates.   In general, conventional treatment processes remove 0-30
                                92

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percent of the total influent phosphorus by biological assimilation and


settling (Directo,  Miele, and Masse, 1972;  Kaufman and Humerick,


1970).






The chemistry of phosphorus removal by interactions with metallic


ions is complete and not completely understood,  Orthophosphates will


react with lime and form a calcium-phosphate precipitate  as represented


by the following equation:





    5Ca+  + 4OH + 3HPO~   —•  Ca^OHfPO J_ ,  + 3H O
                        4         5      431       2




The precipitate has the basic structure of a hydroxyapatite;  however,


the Ca to  P  atomic ratios in the solid material are found to vary from


1. 3 to 2. 0.   The hydroxy apatite is almost completely insoluble at pH


levels above 9. 5 (Gulp and Gulp,  1971).





Orthophosphates will combine with aluminum ions to form insoluble


aluminum phosphate.  Alum (Al (SO ) )  tends to neutralize the pH of
                               L*    ^x J

the water and the final pH is a function of the buffering capacity (alkalinity)


of the water.  Therefore, the A1:P ratio necessary for treatment will


depend to some extent on the chemical characteristics of the water.


In typical wastewaters and at optimum pH of 5. 5 to  6. 5, Al:P atomic


ratios from 1.3 to 3. 0 have resulted in phosphorus  reductions of from


75-95 percent.  Alum is the most common source of aluminum, although


sodium aluminate  (NaAlO ) is an  alternate source (EPA, 197la).
                        L*




Ferric and ferrous ions can also  be used to precipitate orthophosphate.


In typical wastewaters with pH adjusted to the optimum range of 5 to
                                93

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5, 5, Fe:P molar ratios from 1. 5 to 3. 0 have resulted in phosphate
reduction of 75-95 percent.  Experience has indicated that ferrous ion
is required in about the same amounts. Good removals can also be
obtained at higher pH's.

Polyelectrolytes, or polymers, are frequently used to improve the
flocculation and clarification of the precipitate.  The usual dose is
about 0. 10-0. 50  mg/1.  Characteristics of the  flocculation may also
be improved by recycling a portion of the sludge (Thomas, 1972).

The polyphosphate ions,  in general, do not form particularly insoluble
salts with metallic ions unless  there is a  relatively high ratio of metals
to polyphosphates.  A significant amount may be removed, however,
by sorption  on flocculation particles (EPA,  197 la).

Methods and Costs_--

Numerous schemes have been suggested for  the chemical precipitation
of phosphorus in conventional waste treatment  facilities.  These schemes
generally differ in the type, amount, and  point of addition of the metallic
ions.  In the following discussion, methods have been grouped into
broad categories to facilitate the presentation of cost data.  More
detailed information about specific processes can be found in the
references (Gulp and Gulp, 1971; EPA, 197la).

Chemical Addition to Raw Wastewater--

Addition of chemical coagulating agents to raw wastewater may signifi-
cantly increase the removal of  organics and  phosphorus during primary
                                94

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sedimentation.   Total phosphorus removal may be increased from 5-10
percent to 70-90 percent; suspended solids  removal increased from
40-70 percent to 60-75 percent, and BOD removals increased from
24-40 percent to 40-50 percent.  Where organic loading is primarily
in the form of suspended solids,  this chemical-physical type process
may be able to replace secondary biological treatment,  at little, if any,
additional cost, and provide a significantly greater reduction in phosphorus.
With the addition of carbon adsorption and dual media filtration following
primary clarification, 97 percent BOD and 90 percent total phosphorus
reduction may  be achieved (Convery,  1970; Weber et al. ,  1970; Bishop
et al. ,  1972).

A 7, 200 gpd pilot plant consisting of ferric chloride coagulation, clari-
fication, dual media filtration and carbon adsorption in  series was
operated on raw sewage for one year.  Consistent removal rates of 97
percent BOD, and 90 percent total phosphorus were maintained.
Effluent phosphorus concentrations were about 5 mg/1.  Costs, in part
estimated from previously published data and adjusted to June 1967,
are shown in Table 11 (Weber et al. ,  1970; Smith, 1968).

A 100,000 gpd  pilot plant consisting of lime coagulation, two-stage
clarification with intermediate recarbonation, dual media filtration,
ion exchange and granulated carbon adsorption was operated on raw
wastewater from Washington, D. C.   The two-stage lime process alone
consistently reduced the phosphorus concentration from about 8. 5 mg/1
to 0.45 mg/1.  The estimated costs for a 300 mgd plant based on  1970
prices are shown in Table 12.  Costs  include sludge incineration and
50 percent lime recovery (Bishop et al. , 1972).
                                95

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        Table 11.  COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH 90 PERCENT
           TOTAL PHOSPHORUS REMOVAL FROM RAW
             WASTEWATER (WEBER ET AL. , 1970).
             PROCESS INCLUDES FERRIC CHLORIDE
             COAGULATION, CLARIFICATION, DUAL
               MEDIA FILTRATION AND CARBON
                     ADSORPTION IN SERIESa'  ' °
Plant Size
mgd

1.0
10.0
100.0
Process Cost (Capital)
$1,000
Preliminary Coagulation-
Treatment Sedimentation
15 52
65 400
250 3200
Filtration
90
410
1900
Process Cost (Operating) £/1000
1.0
10.0
100.0
29
16
10



Granulated
Carbon
380
1600
6800
gal



ct
   Include amortization charges, 4. 5 percent, 25 years.
   Costs adjusted to June 1967.
c
   Not including sludge disposal.
A complete review has been conducted covering the performance and
costs associated with the addition of chemical coagulants to the raw
wastewater influent to conventional activated sludge plants (EPA,
1971a).

                                 96

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      Table 12.  COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH PHOSPHORUS REMOVAL FROM RAW
     WASTEWATER BY LIME COAGULATION, TWO-STAGE CLARIFICATION AND
            ADDITIONAL ADVANCED PROCESSES (BISHOP ET AL. ,  1972)
Process Costs £/1000 gala
Pump and
Item *..
Grit
Operations and
Maintenanc e
Chemicals
b
Capital Cost
Total
Total Phosphorus
in effluent mg/1
0.48
_
0. 6
1. 1
8.5
Lime
c
Treatment
1.7
2.2
4. 1
8.0
0.45
Filtration
0. 6
0.3
1.0
1.9
0. 2
Solids
Disposal
2. 3
0. 1
1.5
3,9

A.C.
Adsorption
2.8
-
4.8
7.6
0. 15
Ion ,
d
Exchange
2. 8
2.6
4.6
9.7
0. 15
Total
10.4
5.2
16.6
32. 2

300 mgd,  June 1970 costs.
Annual capital cost computed at annual rate of 8 percent including interest and amortization.
Sludge incineration, 50 percent lime recovery.
Ion exchange (clinoptilolite) primarily for nitrogen removal.

-------
Significant increases in efficiency can be obtained by adding the coagulant
at two points; before primary and before secondary clarification.   In
comparison to conventional systems,  the amount of primary sludge
increases and the secondary sludge decreases.  Generally, sludge
filterability is about the same as for sludges without mineral addition;
however, in the case of lime addition, the waste activated sludge may be
more difficult to dewater.

Up to 93 percent removal of the total  phosphorus can be achieved by the
use of alum (A1:P of 1. 5-3. 0) plus an anionic polymer.  Phosphorus
residuals in the effluent can be reduced to 0. 5 mg/1.  Phosphorus removal
of 60-80 percent can be obtained by the addition of iron coagulants  (Fe:P
of 1. 5-2. 0) and polymers.  High concentrations of Fe may remain  in
the effluent.  These high concentrations have been reduced by adding
lime to increase the pH to about 8 before clarification.  Alum and iron
have been used successfully without the addition of flocculation basins
before the primary clarifier (EPA, 1971b).

In plants providing secondary treatment, phosphorus removal by lime
is limited to about 80 percent because pH's  greater than 10 in the flow
from the primary clarifier to activate sludge may adversely effect the
biological process.   Increased settling  of suspended solids plus the
chemical sludge may result in up to 300 percent the normal amount of
sludge in the primary clarifier.

Average costs associated with the addition of chemical  coagulants to
the raw wastewater stream in  conventional treatment plants are shown
in Table 13.  Prices do not include additional sludge handling facilities.
                                98

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vO
vO
               Table 13. "COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH 80 PERCENT REMOVAL OF TOTAL
                                    AW WASTE WATER IN CONVEX
                                    FACILITIES (CONVERY, 1970):
PHOSPHORUS FROM RAW WASTEWATER IN CONVENTIONAL TREATMENT
                                                    ,a,b,c
Plant
Size
mgd
1
10
100
Capital
$1000
21
72
697
Costs (Fe or Al)
£/1000 gal
.446
. 154
. 149
Capital
$1000
58
241
926
Costs (Ca)
tf/1000 gal
1.6
0.7
0.3
Chemical
Fe
3.6
3.6
3.6
Cost £/
Al
4.2
4.2
4.2
1000 gal
Ca
1.4
1.4
1.4
        Amortization of capital cost at 6 percent over 25 years.
        Chemical costs include polymer.
        Not including additional sludge handling facilities.

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Chemical costs based on assumed 80 percent phosphorus removal with

1. 5:1 atomic ratios of A1:P and Fe:P and for 150 mg/1 dosage of CaO.

The minimum total operating cost is probably about 1. 0^/1000 gallons

(Convery, 1970).




Chemical Addition Preceding Secondary Treatment--




Methods of adding chemical coagulants to primary clarifier effluent

preceding activated sludge treatment have been reviewed in detail

(EPA,  197la).  Dosages of metal ions in the atomic ratios, Al or Fe:

orthophosphate of 1.5-3 have resulted in phosphorus residuals of 3. 5-

0. 3 mg/1.  Calcium does not appear to be an effective precipitant because

the pH required for calcium phosphate precipitation is higher than the

optimum range for biological activity in the aerator.




Alum addition  of 2. 3:1,  A1:P, has given an average reduction in total

phosphate concentration from 10-1.4.  Mixtures of alum and lime may

be more effective than pure alum in some cases (Srinath and Pillai,

1972).  Sludge has increased 1.5 to 2 times normal conventional amounts

but has better thickening qualities.  Volatile suspended solids in the

aerator sludge are reduced from about  80 percent of total  suspended

solids (conventional) to about 60 percent of TSS (with alum coagulating).
                                                                     •
Total operating costs for alum additives depend on the characteristics "

of the wastewater and on the quality of the effluent.  Assuming no capital

costs are required, approximately 3. 1^/1000 gallons will  achieve an

effluent quality of 3. 3 mg/1 and 8. 0£/1000 gallons a quality of 0, 3 mg/1.



Studies have been conducted with the addition of ferric chloride to an

activated sludge plant serving a population of 20, 000 in Uster,


                                100

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Switzerland.   The addition of 7. 7 mg/1 ferric chloride plus the recycling
of some ferric phosphate sludge has resulted in reducing total phosphorus
an average of 85 percent with an effluent residue  of 0.46 mg/1 (Thomas,
1972).  Iron content in the discharge water ranged between 0, 1 and 0. 6
mg/1.  The ferric sludge helped thicken the activated sludge and little
increase in total sludge volume was experienced.  No release of soluble
phosphorus from the sludge has been observed  due to reduction  of the
ferric ion during anaerobic digestion {Singer,  1972).

Studies at a 2. 2 mgd activated sludge plant in Pomona,  California
(Directo et al. ,  1972), indicated that the conventional system removed
approximately 13 percent of the total phosphorus  leaving a residue of
10 mg/1 in the secondary effluent.  With the addition of 1. 9:1 atomic
ratio of A1:P (in the form of alum) directly to the aerator,  the phosphorus
removal ranged from 60 to 84 percent with an average value of 75 percent.
The average concentration in the secondary effluent was 2. 9 mg/L No
increase in efficiency was observed with the addition of anionic  or cationic
polymers.  Sludge mass increased 1. 95 times the conventional amount,
but excess sludge volume did not increase.  The inorganic fraction of
the mixed liquor  suspended solids increased from 17 to 42 percent.  At
the same plant, tests with ferric chloride indicated an average of  80
percent removal with a Fe:P atomic ratio  of 1.5:1.  Residual total
phosphorus in the effluent was 2. 2.  The mass  of sludge produced was
approximately twice that of conventional; however,  the volume of waste
sludge did not increase appreciably.  Fe:P atomic ratios greater than
3:1 were observed to interfere with the biological removal of BOD.
Phosphorus residue concentrations in the secondary effluent could be
reduced to about  1. 2 mg/1 by polishing with a two-stage pressure  sand
                                101

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filtering system.  Chemical costs for alum and ferric chloride in the
secondary system at various levels of residual dissolved phosphate
concentrations are discussed below.  The cost of polishing sand filtration
for a 10 mgd plant was estimated at 4. 6^/1000 gallons.  To achieve 90
percent phosphorus  removal with a wastewater containing 10 mg/1 of
phosphorus, the alum costs would be 2. 4£/1000 gallons (alum at 24£/lb)
at a mole ratio of 1.4:1 A1:P.  Total operating and maintenance costs
would be about 3.  6£/gallon.

Tertiary Treatment by Chemical Coagulation
of Secondary Effluent--

Tertiary treatment is accomplished by adding chemical coagulants to
the secondary  effluent in a rapid mixing basin followed by flocculation,
single or two-stage sedimentation,  and mixed media filtration.  Depend-
ing on the process,  pH adjustment may be  necessary at various stages.
A state of the art  survey has been conducted and details of the various
processes are presented in the report (EPA,  197la).

Lime doses are usually in the range of 300-400 mg/1 as CaO for  two-
stage treatment, and from 150-200 mg/1 where single-stage treatment
is satisfactory. The amount of P removed is  a function of pH which is
related to the alkalinity of the water.  Therefore,  the lime dose depends
to a large extent on  the alkalinity of the influent.   The two-stage  clari-
fication system at South Lake  Tahoe,  California (Gulp and Gulp,  1971),
which has a capacity of 7. 5 mgd, can routinely maintain an effluent with
a phosphorus concentration of about 0. 4 mg/1  before the filters and less
than 0. 1 mg/1 after filtration.  Table 14 shows costs based on data
                                102

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           Table 14.  COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH LIME
            TREATMENT OF SECONDARY EFFLUENT
              (EPA, 197 la; GULP AND GULP,  1971;
                 SMITH AND MCMICHAEL, 1969)a'b
Total Cost for Lime Treatment of
Treatment

Single-stage w/o filtration
Two -stage w/o filtration
Dual media filtration

1
13
16
8
Secondary Effluent
Cost (£/1000 gal)
Plant Size (mgd)
10
7
9
3


100
4
6
1.4
                            Capital Costs
        Treatment
    Cost ($)
Plant Size (mgd)

Single-stage w/o filter
Two- stage w/o filter
Dual media filtration
1
100,000
160,000
110,000
10
1,200,000
1,500,000
510,000
100
5,500,000
7,900,000
2,300,000
  Capital costs updated to December  1970.  Amortization is at 6 percent
  for 25 years.

  Recalcination equipment not included in 1 mgd plant,  no cost included
  for sludge disposal.
obtained from Tahoe and other sources.  Recalcination of the sludge is

probably not economical for plants with capacity less than 10 mgd.
                                103

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Alum dosages of 50-100 mg/1 (A1:P atomic ratio of 1:1 to 2:1) are
sufficient to produce a residual phosphorus concentration of about
1 mg/1 by settling alone.  Residuals may be reduced to less than 0. 1
mg/1 by multimedia filtration.  Estimated costs are shown in Table 15
(Ross,  1970).  Economical methods  have not as yet been developed for
recovering Al or  Fe from the sludge.

Studies at the Pomona tertiary plant with ferric chloride (Directo et al. ,
1972) indicated that Fe:P atomic ratios of 1. 5:1 would result in about
84 percent removal of total phosphorus with a residual concentration of
about 1.6 mg/1 in the effluent stream after filtration.  The addition of
0. 2  mg/1 of an anionic polymer was  necessary to obtain a  good floccula-
tion. Solids-liquid separation became more difficult at  Fe:P atomic
ratios exceeding 2. 2:1. Efficiency in total phosphorus removal was
increased by adding the ferric chloride to both the primary and secondary
effluents.   Removals  of 96 percent with phosphorus residuals of 0. 5
were obtained by  the split addition of chemicals with Fe:P ratios  of
1. 5:1.  The ferric ion concentration in the effluent averaged about 2.4
mg/1.   Estimated chemical costs are discussed below.

Experiments have been successful in removing phosphorus from trickling
filter effluents by chemical coagulation. Ferric chloride dosages
sufficient to provide Fe:P atomic ratios of 2. 5 to 3. 75 resulted in about
85 percent removal with phosphorus residuals  of 0. 1-6 mg/1 (Keinath,
1972).   Chemical  costs were estimated at 3^/1000 gallons  for Fed,.
Phosphorus removal can be increased to 97 percent with consistent
effluent residuals  of 0. 2-0. 5  mg/1 by the addition of multimedia filtration.
Costs to provide 90 percent phosphate removal with alum for 50 mgd
                               104

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    Table 15.   COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH ALUM COAGULATION
    (WITH POLYMER) OF SECONDARY EFFLUENT.  PROCESS
        DOES  NOT INCLUDE SEDIMENTATION; FLOCCULA-
        TION IS FOLLOWED DIRECTLY BY MIXED-MEDIA
     FILTRATION AND ACTIVATED CARBON ADSORPTION
                          (EPA,  1971a)a
Process
Coagulation
Filtration
Carbon adsorption

Operating labor


1
4.9
1.8
6.3
13.0
28.0
41.0
Total Unit Costs £/1000
Plant Capacity (mgd)
10
3.5
1. 1
4.5
9. 1
5.6
14.7

100
3.2
1.0
4.0
8.2
1.8
10.0
a
  Estimated costs include an annual charge of 8. 5 percent of the capital
  cost for debt service and maintenance combined.  Based on February
  1970 prices.
flow in a 75 mgd plant with dual media filtration were estimated at 6. 5-
8.2^/1000 gallons  (EPA, 197la).
                              105

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Other Tertiary Methods

Ion Exchange--

The Pomona, California,  ion exchange pilot plant is a strong-acid weak-
base process designed for the reduction of total dissolved solids (Dryden,
1970).  Phosphorus removal is outstanding, with a reduction of 8. 8 mg/1
to 0. 1 mg/1 (98. 8 percent).  Total dissolved solids are reduced from
611 mg/1 to 81 mg/1 (86.7 percent).  Average costs for a 10 mgd plant
are shown in Table 16.

Experiments using strong-acid cation and weak-base anion ion exchange
columns indicate costs  ranging from 6.7 to 23. 8 £/1000 gallons,  depending
on the extent of treatment and alkalinity of the water (EPA,  1971c).
Phosphorus reductions  of 6. 1 mg/1 to 0. 16 mg/1 were obtained using
lime  coagulation as a pretreatment at an average cost of 18^/1000
gallons.  Without lime pretreatment reductions  of 6. 1 mg/1 to 0. 65
mg/1 were obtained at a cost of 15.3^/1000 gallons.  Activated carbon
adsorption (40-60 percent removal total organic carbon) precedes the
ion exchange columns to prevent resin clogging.

Activated alumina has been used successfully to selectively remove  the
forms of phosphate normally found in wastewaters including orthophos-
phate, pyrophosphate, tripolyphosphate,  and hexametaphosphate (Yee,
1966).  Effluent concentrations of 0.07 mg/1 to  0. 14 were obtained,at
chemical costs of 3. 9^/1000 gallons for 14 mg/1 removal and 6. 4^/1000
gallons for 23 mg/1 removal,  based on 8 percent loss of alumina  during
each regeneration cycle.
                               106

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    Table 16.   ESTIMATED COSTS FOR A 10 MOD ION EXCHANGE
        PLANT (DRYDEN,  1970).  TOTAL DISSOLVED SOLIDS
           REDUCED FROM 700 MG/L TO 75 MG/L AND
        PHOSPHORUS REDUCED FROM 9 MG/L TO 0. 1 MG/L

 Capital Cost                                           £/1000 gal
  $1,370, 000; 20 years @5%                               3.0
 Operation and Maintenance
  Chemicals                                              16.2
  Operation and Maintenance                               2. 8
 Total                                                   22.0
Table 17.  ESTIMATED COSTS FOR A 1 MGD SELECTIVE ION EXCHANGE
  PLANT (EPA,  1970a).  INFLUENT CONCENTRATION OF  10 MG/L
         REDUCED TO NOT MORE THAN 0. 32 MG/L*

 Capital Cost  = $221,970
 Cost Per 1000 Gallons
      Capital Cost                         7. 61
      Chemical Cost                      17.71
      Operating and Maintenance            9. 06
 Total Cost                                34. 38
       lBased on plant life of 30 years at 4 j percent interest.
                                107

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Other experiments using selective ion exchange processes have demon-
strated the reduction of phosphorus content from 10 mg/1 in the influent
to not more than 0. 32 mg/1 in the effluent at a cost of about  35^/1000
gallons for a 1 mgd plant (EPA,  1970a).  Estimated costs are shown in
Table  17.

Reverse Osmosis--

Reverse osmosis is a process in which water is separated from dissolved
salts in solution by filtering through a semipermeable membrane  at a
pressure greater than the osmotic pressure caused by the dissolved
salts in the wastewater.   Operating pressure varies from atmospheric
to 1,500 psi.

The reverse osmosis process provides excellent removal of dissolved
solids.  In the Pomona,  California, pilot plant (Dryden, 1970) total
dissolved solids were reduced from 759 mg/1 to 59 mg/1 (92. 1 percent)
and phosphorus was reduced from 10. 9 mg/1 to 0. 2 mg/1 (98. 4 percent).
Costs  associated with this process are shown in Table 18.  Although
these costs are relatively high in comparison to those of other methods,
improved membranes could considerably increase the efficiency.   Other
estimates indicate TDS reduction greater than 90 percent and phosphate
reduction greater than 99 percent at costs in the range of 30-60^/1000
gallons (EPA,  1970b).  Costs estimated for the reverse osmosis process
for water reclamation in a closed system are shown in Table 19 (Besik,
1971).
                               108

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 Table 18.  ESTIMATED COSTS FOR A 10 MGD REVERSE OSMOSIS
    PLANT (DRYDEN, 1970).  INFLUENT TDS REDUCED  FROM
        750 MG/L TO 59 MG/L AND PHOSPHORUS REDUCED
                 FROM 10. 9 MG/L TO 0. 2 MG/L

Capital Cost                                        1/1000 Gallons
  $4,020,000; 20 years at 5%                             8.8
Operation and Maintenance
  Chemicals                                             7.3
  Membrane  Replacement                               14.4
  Other                                                11. 1
Total                                                  41.6
   Table 19.  COST ESTIMATES FOR REVERSE OSMOSIS (BESIK,
      1971).  TOTAL DISSOLVED SOLIDS REMOVAL FROM 585
       MG/L TO 24 MG/L (96 PERCENT) AND PHOSPHORUS
       REMOVAL FROM 1 MG/L TO 0. 1 MG/L (90 PERCENT)a'b
Plant Size (mgd)

Capital Cost
Total Treatment Costs
£/1000 Gal
0. 1
80,000
40.0
0.5
336,000
27.0
1.0
617,000
22.0
       Based on 4. 5 percent for 25 years in June 1967.
       Brine disposal not included.
                                109

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 Electrodialysis - -

 In the electrodialysis process, ionic compounds of a solution are separa-
 ted through the use of semipermeable ion-selective membranes.  Appli-
 cation of an electrical potential between the two electrodes causes an
 electric current to pass through the solution, which, in turn, causes a
 migration of cations towards the negative electrode and a migration of
 anions towards the positive electrode.

 Pilot plant operations at Pomona,  California, indicate reduction of total
 dissolved solids from 705-465  (34 percent) and phosphorus from 10. 1
 to 7. 8 (23 percent).  Because of the low removal rates, it was  concluded
 that electrodialysis is not competitive with ion exchange or reverse
 osmosis  (Dryden,  1970).  Costs are shown in Table 20.

 Soil Spreading--

 Where adequate  land is available at reasonably low cost, soil spreading
 may be an efficient method for the disposal of secondary treatment plant
 effluents. In pilot plant studies near Phoenix,  Arizona,  effluent from a
 sewage treatment plant was pumped to six 20 ft by 700 ft plant-soil filters.
 At a loading rate of 300 acre-feet  of secondary sewage effluent per year
 per acre  of filter,  about 90 percent of the phosphorus was removed by
 adsorption to soil particles or  by precipitation into.the soil profile.  The
 basins were operated on a  14 day wet, 10 day dry cycle to maintain a
 satisfactory infiltration rate and to allow for reoxygenation of the soil
 surface.  Costs were estimated to be $5/acre-foot (U. S. Department of
Agriculture, 1969).  Induced percolation of municipal effluent through
                               110

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     Table 20.  ESTIMATED COSTS FOR A 10 MGD ELECTRO-
       DIALYSIS PLANT (DRYDEN,  1970).  COD REMOVAL
        15 PERCENT, TDS REMOVAL 34 PERCENT,  AND
             PHOSPHORUS REMOVAL 23 PERCENT

Capital Costs                                      £/1000 gallons
  $1,830,000; 20 Years at 5 Percent                     4.0

Operation and Maintenance
   Chemicals                                           4.4
   Membrane Replacement                              3. 3
   Other                                               5.3
Total                                                   17.0
a peat soil resulted in from 76 to 92 percent removal of phosphorus.
Ferric iron in the soil was probably the principal phosphorus fixation
agent.  Removal was observed to decrease with time.

INDUSTRIAL USES OF PHOSPHORUS

As was listed in Table 4 only a small amount of the total phosphorus
produced by mining activities  (approximately 11 percent) enters the
industrial cycle.  As shown in Table 21 there are a myriad of industrial
uses,  only a few of which are both significant and enter surface waters.

Metal finishing wastes represent phosphoric acid used as an improve-
ment in certain operations  over  sulfuric acid for etching,  cleaning,

                               111

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and metal plating operations.  Frequently such operations are,  or
should be,  required to treat their wastes in-plant as source control of
metals wastes.  Phosphorus will probably be removed in metals waste
treatment.  Estimates of phosphoric acid use in such processes  indicate
that its use will likely increase; however, that should constitute  a
negligible input of phosphorus because of the in-plant waste treatment.

Use of phosphorus in  food and pharmaceutical compounds can probably
be ignored because it represents a human use and as such will be
included in the human waste component.

Use of water softening compounds has increased with the increased
industrial uses of cooling water and other thermal applications.  How-
ever, use of phosphorus-based softening compounds has been static
apparently since 1958 (Jenkins,  1973).   In addition,  the discharge of
softened industrial water is probably minimal because of the economic
value of recycling treated water where possible.   Also, depending  on the
type of phosphate softening compound, there will be no discharge (a
sludge is formed)  or if hexametaphosphates, for example, are used,
soluble complexes will be formed and these could  enter the water supply
if discharged.  Thus, although certain types of water softening compounds
can be considered a point source discharge, and these can be treated
at a municipal treatment plant, it is probably a minimal problem and
the use of the phosphorus-bearing water softening compounds may
gradually decrease to zero without any pressure from regulatory agencies.
Certainly,  the addition of supply and demand pressures (Section  VII)
might hasten the decrease in its use if such action seemed necessary.
                               11Z

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     Table 21.  INDUSTRIAL USES OF PHOSPHORUS IN 1968

           BASED ON LEWIS (1970) AND LOGUE (1958)
Metal Finishing Wastes

Food and Pharmaceutical

   (includes soft drinks, toothpaste,
   shaving cream, baking powder)

Water Softening

Other Miscellaneous Uses

   Rat poisons
   Matches
   Flame retardents
   Plastics (plasticizers)
   Gasoline additives
   Bone china
   Dyes for textiles
   Glass
   Photographic film and chemicals
   Military uses
   Silk fabrics
   Sugar processing
   Oil refining
   Pesticides

Total
Estimated
P use
1000 Kg/yr

   94.
   58.

   35.

  293.
     b
    6.4
    0.5
                                                    Likelihood
                                                    of entering
                                                    surface waters
    4

  426
a
a
a
a
d
a
b
a
b
b
a
b
b
d
   a = not likely; b = doubtful; c = point source to surface water;
   d = diffuse source to surface water.
   Dashes indicate not  estimated.
                              113

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The other uses of phosphorus in manufactured products with the exception
of pesticides—described elsewhere in this section—have been grouped
into a category called miscellaneous uses.  Loss of phosphorus from the
industries manufacturing these products is considered to be a proportion
(0. 5) of the  total amount utilized in the category.

Strictly speaking, the food processing industry is not an industrial use
of phosphorus.  Because it is an industry  and food contains phosphorus
•which may,  due to the possible hydrolysis of organic phosphorus com-
pounds in the process of biological treatment, be liberated from food
wastes, this industry is considered in this section.  It is probably not
a significant source of phosphorus to surface waters because of the more
important problem of high BOD and the low concentration of phosphorus
in foods (~  1 percent by weight).  Also, it is unlikely that phosphorus
release from foods is significant except over long term biological
activity.

All of these industrial uses are essentially minimal compared to other
phosphorus  inputs to surface waters. The only really significant phos-
phorus use in industry involves industrial detergent.  Estimates of
such use are frequently quite crude because of the wide range of cleaners
utilized by the great number of different industries. For example, one
estimate was 0. 23 kg/capita year (see detergents).  Another estimate
can be obtained  by subtracting the total domestic use  (204 x 10  people
x 0. 800 kg/capita year  (from Vollenweider, 1968)   =  1. 64 x 10 kg/year)
                                                               5
from the total phosphorus use  in the  detergent industry (2. 27 x 10  kg/
year); this indicates that industrial use would be about 28 percent of the
total detergent use in the USA.  This value is not too much different
                                114

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from the approximately 20 percent industrial use estimate of detergent



use by commercial/industrial applications and unclassified uses shown



in Table 9.







Use of industrial detergents and other industrial phosphorus uses are



probably similar to any generalized water use in industry, i. e. , the



water is collected and discharged directly into the sewer or into the



surface water system.  Although it is possible to require  in-plant



treatment, such a requirement seems impractical.  Consequently,  all



industrial uses are  added to the municipal waste stream,  where appli-



cable, or  discharged to the surface water.







MINING ACTIVITIES AND PHOSPHORUS USE







The mining and processing of phosphorus is distributed throughout most



regions of the USA; for  example, phosphoric acid production is the  major



phosphorus processing industry and is distributed as shown in Figure 16.



The principal producing states are Florida,  Idaho,  Tennessee, and North



Carolina.   The estimated total consumption  of mined phosphorus was



3159 metric tons (Lewis,  1970); although U.S. Department of Commerce



(1972) estimates were 3451 for 1968, Lewis' number was  used because



of his closer relationship to the industry.







Processing produces many waste streams, some of which are recycled



in the mining and refining processes and some of which are discharged



to settling ponds, or where dilution is sufficient, to surface waters



(Figure  17).  Most of the waste streams are treated for fluoride removal



and phosphorus removal and  the incentive  is primarily economic.
                               115

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•
                 • WET PROCESS  PHOSPHORIC  ACID
                 A FURNACE  PHOSPHORIC  ACID
           Figure 16.  Location of major phosphoric acid plants in the United States {taken
                       from Fullam and Faulkner,  1971).

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              QUICK LIME
                             FRESH WATER
   POND MATER
WASTE RECYCLE
   TO POND
                     WASTE RECYCLE
                        TO POND
                                      CLEAR EFFLUENT
                                       TO DISCHARGE
                                      (3-10 mg/lP04-P)
  Figure 17.
Flowsheet for lime neutralization of gypsum pond water
(adapted from Fullam and Faulkner,  1971).
                                     117

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Application of water quality standards has enforced a closed cycle type


of operation on mining activities; direct discharge of phosphorus-bearing


wastes is negligible in the absence of spills and settling pond dike failure.


Costs of treating effluents (lime precipitation) to current acceptable


water quality standards with dilution (3-10 mg/1 phosphate P) averages


about $1. 90 per short ton of P^Oj. produced (Fullam and Faulkner,
                             Lt  3

1971).





Specific  regions will require significant effort to prevent phosphorus


mining effluents from affecting water supplies. Because of the impor-


tance of the industry to the national economy and the fact that it is a


point source and easily located, stringent discharge controls seem to


be a reasonable requirement.





ANIMAL WASTES AND PHOSPHORUS





Background of the Problem of Animal Waste Disposal





Historically, the major effort has been devoted to the control of pollu-


tional problems caused by urban centers, such as industrial pollution,


domestic liquid waste, solid wastes, and storm water runoff.  Agricultural


related environmental quality problems have received little attention


until the last ten years, and perhaps this lack of attention is attributable


to a point of view that control of pollution from agriculture was impossible,


or that the contribution was  insignificant and should not be considered


along with the much more complex problems produced by the urban


centers. It is possible that this rather naive observation would have


allowed us to ignore the agricultural problem for many more years had


agricultural practices remained static.



                                118

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However,  remarkable changes have taken place in the United States with



respect to methods of agricultural production (Loehr, 1972).  Farm size



and productivity per farm worker have increased significantly, and



intensive crop and animal production have taken on essentially the  same



characteristics of an industrial complex.  Because of this increased



efficiency of agricultural production, a variety of environmental problems



have developed.  Also,  increased production of agricultural products



are being encouraged as a  result of balance  of payments question.  It is



now quite obvious that this increase in agricultural production has  had



detrimental effects on environmental quality.  Furthermore, the influx



of suburbia into  rural areas has made many more people aware of  the



problems generated by handling and disposing  of agricultural wastes.







The intensive agricultural  practices and the public awareness of the



degradation of the environment  caused by agricultural waste disposal



practices has forced legislatures  and the federal government to recognize



these problems and all of the  recent legislation directs  specific controls



toward solving agricultural pollution problems.  Most of the legislation



has been prepared with the point that control of agricultural sources of



pollution must be carried out  in a manner that will allow agriculture to



continue to produce at a rate that  is adequate to avert food shortages.



The legislation also insists that adequate controls be provided to protect



the environment, or provide an environment acceptable to the public.







Many attempts have been made in the past ten years to evaluate the



effect of the changes in agricultural production procedures on the envir-



onment.  Many conflicts are apparent  when one considers the  alternatives



that must be evaluated.  However, it is essential that the agricultural
                               119

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producer be aware of the consequences of his waste disposal practices
when new facilities are constructed.  Many of the existing problems
caused by agricultural practices could have been prevented if proper
land use laws had been prepared many years ago.  The construction of
many of the feedlots and intensive agricultural activities such as poultry
raising could have been prohibited from developing in their present
locations if proper planning had occurred.

The management of animal wastes would be much simpler if a signifi-
cant proportion of the contribution were concentrated in feedlots so
that the wastes  could be handled at  one location.   This is  not the case
in many sections of the U. S.  where small dairy and beef cattle feeding
operations are carried out in relatively isolated areas separated by
great distances.  The majority of these small dairy and beef feedlots
are located along small streams and use the stream as a  means of
disposing of their excess manures.  Many  of these operations in the
past used manure spreading as a  means of disposing of a  proportion of
their manure, but with the advent of inexpensive  artificial fertilizers,
it is no longer advantageous  to dispose of animal manures by spreading
them on the ground.  Also, as the operation becomes larger it is more
difficult to utilize the entire  production of manure on the land.   This
necessitates hauling the manure to other land disposal sites or attempt-
ing to sell the material as a  soil conditioner.  Little success has been
achieved in commercial enterprises attempting to dispose of significant
quantities of animal manures. All of  the difficulties that are involved
in disposing of excess manure have  contributed significantly to the
quantities of manure that eventually reach  our water courses, deplete
the oxygen supply, and  add excessive  quantities of nitrogen and phos-
phorus which stimulate algal growth.
                                120

-------
New recommended regulations developed by the Environmental Protection
Agency make an attempt to control the contribution of all types of
agricultural wastes.  It is a noble gesture on the part of the federal
government and some of the state agencies to attempt to control the
discharge of manures to our waterways.  However,  that these agencies
will have success in enforcing these regulations is doubtful.  The ability
to monitor the waste discharges from industrial and municipal sources
is limited in the majority of the United States,  and the federal government
has little effort and manpower involved in monitoring  activities when the
entire picture is evaluated.   Therefore, it appears that the only effective
control that can be implemented will be the reduction  of the waste
materials that are discharged from concentrated feedlot and poultry
raising operations.

These sources produce large quantities of material that would exhibit
a significant effect on the waterways that could easily be detected if  the
waste were indiscriminately discharged.  Pollution resulting from land
spreading and eventual runoff would be extremely difficult to identify,
and the ability to monitor and control such activities is very limited.
If effective control were to be accomplished, a force approximately
the size of the production force would be required to insist that pollu-
tion or excess nutrients not be discharged to the environment by agri-
cultural activities.

An excellent example of the difficulty that would be encountered in
enforcing agricultural practices or agricultural pollution control
legislation can be seen in the State of Utah.  Here, the majority of the
dairy and feedlot operations are relatively small, consisting of less
                                121

-------
vthan 50 cows per farm.  These installations are located,  in the majority
 of the cases, along the shores of the many relatively small streams that
 emanate from the mountains.  There may be 2 to 20 miles between each
 of these operations and there  are many hundreds located in the state.
 The manpower that would be required to periodically inspect and ensure
 that enforcement activities are carried out would be economically
 prohibitive.  The situation in  the State of Utah is very similar to the
 problems that would be found  in all of the  Intermountain area  and much
 of the other rural areas  of the USA.

 Similar situations probably exist elsewhere in the United States even
 where the majority of the animal raising activities  are concentrated
 in massive feedlots.  In  brief, it appears  that the control of nutrients
 and pollutants from small agricultural operations will have to rely on
 the integrity of the individual  farmer. And as the majority of the small
 farms are at best marginal profit making  operations, it is doubtful that
 the regulatory agencies can honestly expect a small farmer to devote a
 significant proportion of his time to managing water quality control
 facilities.

 Considerable interest is  being developed in using agricultural  lands as
 a means of disposing  of municipal sewages and sludges.  If a  significant
 quantity of sewage and sewage sludges are disposed of on agricultural
 lands, this  will contribute significantly to the amount of material that
 would be classified as agricultural runoff.  In general this type of
 wastewater disposal will be subjected to far better  control than is normally
 exercised in agricultural installations.  The  source of discharge of
 wastewater that has been used for irrigated agriculture could be classified
                                122

-------
more or less as a point source, and the contribution to the overall
phosphorus budget of a particular operation should easily be measured
and, in turn, more easily controlled.

Characteristics of Animal Wastes
The mass of wet manure produced per gram of animal per day and the
solids concentration of wet manures are  shown in Table 22 for poultry,
swine,  dairy cattle, and beef cattle.   A comparison of the average
weight  of wet manure produced per weight of animal per day for all the
animals shows that the values range between 0. 062 grams for poultry
to 0.084 grams for cattle.  Considering that the data were collected at
different farms and by different investigators,  the difference between
the average values reported for all of the domestic animals is  very
narrow, and it could be safely assumed that the production of manure
per weight of animal is essentially the same for all domestic animals.

The dry solids content of manures ranged from 0. 0079 for dairy cattle
up to 0. 014 grams  of total solids per gram of poultry per day.   This
range is somewhat wider than the one mentioned earlier for  the pro-
duction of wet manures; however, the differences are not drastic in
view of the variability within each of the  individual samples.  The per-
centage of total solids by wet weight were the greatest for poultry
manures and little  difference was noted between the swine and cattle
and sheep.  The volatile solids percentage  of the total solids ranged
between 71.8 percent up to 81.7 percent  with the lower value representing
the poultry and the higher value beef cattle.  This variation in volatile
content of the solids is probably insignificant if one were attempting to
                                123

-------
                                           table II.  PHYSICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF LIVESTOCK DEFECATION
ANIMAL

Poultry







Wet
Manure
«/g of
Animal-day
0.0234
0.027-0. 087
0. 074
f
f
^
0.072
0.083
Total
Solidi
g/g of
Animal-day
Q.OH
0.011-0. 022
0.021
0.014
0.013
0.013-0.019
0. 0086
-
Total
Solidi
•*> at W. W

45.0
25-48
28
-
„
.
12
•
Volatile
Solidt
g/g of
Animal-day
„
0. 0084-0. 017
.
0.0098
0.0101
,
0.0054
-
Volatile
Solidi
"m of T. S.

B
74 79
.
70
77.5
.
63
-
REFERENCES

Moore, 1969
Taiganidei and Hazen, 1966
Hart. 1960
Dornbufth and Anderson, 1964
Hart and Turner, 1965
IH'ot. of Sci. and Induit. Res., 1 9fc4
lownshend et al. , 1969
Keirl, 1966
      Average
                         o.ou
is)
                                           0.014
                                                              SO. 3
                                                                               0.0096
                                                                                                 71.8
Swine









Average
Cattle (Dairy)
(Dairy)
{Dairy)
(Dairy)
(Dairy)
(Dairy)

(Beef)
(Beef)
(Beef)
(Beef)
(Beef)
(Beef)
Average (D)
Average (B)
Sheep
Ducks
0.084
0,029-0,095
0. 087
,
^
.
_
.
0.074

0.074
0.071
0.058

-
0. 124
0,082
0.039-0. 074
0. 063
0.067
^
0.063

0.084
0.066
0.072
-
0.011
0. 008-0. Olb
0.016
0. 0080
0. 0097
0.0050
0.0071
0.0048
0.0059
0.0099
0.0089
0.0114
0.0087
0.0104
0.0068
0,0075
0.0025
0.0197
0.0095-0.0114
0.0095
0.0090
O.OD36
0.0050
0.0091
0. 0079
0.0095
0.016
0.016
li. 1
12-28
16
.
.



8
-
17.4
16.0
15
.
-
2
24.0
13-27
15
15
-
9
-
11. 0
16.4
23
-
.
0.0068-0.0136
.
0.0063
0.0080
0.0035

0.0033
0.0047
0.0070
0.0054
.
-
0.0083
0,0057
0.0018
.
-
-
0.0069
0.0032
0,0040
-
0.0053
0. 0047
-
-
_
83-87
_
78. 5
B2. 5
70
„
68.8
79.7
71
76.5
..
-
80. 3
R3. 8
7Z
,
-
-
77
89
79
-
78,7
81.7
-
-
Moore, 1969
Taiganides and Hazen, 1966
Hart, 1960
Hart and Turner, 1965
Taiganidcs et al. , 1964
Clark, 1965
Dept. of Sci. and Induit, Rei., 1964
HumeniV, 1972
Schmid and Lipper, 1969
Townshend et al. , 19f>9

Moore, 1969
Hart, I960
Hart and Turner, 1965
Witiel et al. , 1966
Dept, of Sci. and Induit. Res. , 1964
Townshend et al. , 1969
Moore, 1969
Taiganides and Hazen, 1966; Taiganide*, 1964
Hart, I960
Loehr and Agnew, 1967
Witzel et al. , 1966
Townshend et al. , 1969
Dale and Day, 1967


Hart, 1960
FWPCA, 1966

-------
operate an anaerobic system.  However, the nitrogen, COD, and BOD

content may indicate this not to be the case.




Table 23 shows the BOD,  COD, and nutrient contents of fowl manures
                                         _3
in weight per weight of animal per day x 10   .  The results reported

by the various investigators vary widely from sample to sample.  How-

ever, considering that none of the operating characteristics of the

animal-raising operations  were available, the numbers probably are as

good as can  be expected.  Although wide differences can be shown for

each of the constituents, in general the  mean values are fairly charac-

teristic of the majority of the data  reported  and can safely be used in

the estimates  of the contribution of nutrients to waterways by animal

manures.




Table 24 shows the characteristics of swine manures as reported in

the literature, and a comparison of the  characteristics of  swine manures

with  those of fowl manures indicates that they are quite similar.  How-

ever, the nitrogen and phosphorus  content per gram of animal per  day

is less than  that found in poultry manures.   But the BOD and COD

content of fowl manures is higher than that found  in swine manures.




Table 25 shows the characteristics of cattle manures divided  according

to beef cattle and dairy cattle. An examination of the mean values for

ibeef  and dairy cattle indicates that there is  little  difference in the BOD,

COD, and nutrient content  of these manures.  In general, the reports

in the literature of the phosphorus and nitrogen content of  cattle manures

were consistent and differed little from one  study to the  other.  However,

the differences noted in BOD and COD for the various types of cattle
                               125

-------
                                     Table 23.  NUTRIENT AND SANITARY CHARACTERISTICS OF DOMESTIC FOWL MANURES
CSJ
ANIMAL



Poultry









Average
Ducks


BOD

-
-
-
3. 33
2.91
3. 33-7. 11
1. 33-2.22
-
3.74
4.27
3.46
2.0-4.0
Characteristics of Fowl
g/g of Animal-day x
c _ Ammonia Total
Nitrogen Nitrogen
1.12
0.27-1,27
1. 1
11.1 0.13 0.67
11.2 0.52 0.70
-
-
0.23
7.1 - 0.58
0.12
9.8 0.26 0.74
8.0
Manures
i
10'3
Phosphorus
P2°5
0.72
0. 22-1. 00

0. 58
0. 60
_
.
0. 37
0.72
-
0. 60
0.6-1.6
Table 24. NUTRIENT AND SANITARY CHARACTERISTICS

ANIMAL

Swine














BOD
-
-
-
2.0
4. 3
-
2.5
2.2
5.6
*
3. 1
2.0
3. 2
Characteristics of Swine
g/g of Animal-day x
_ Ammonia Total
Nitrogen Nitrogen
0.51
0.42-0.60
0.53
7. 6 0. 24 0. 32
5.4 - 0.64
4. 7
-
0.70
-
0.41
6.4
5.2
9.3 - 0.44
Manures
ID'3
Phosphorus
P2°5
0.32
0.29-0. 32
-
0. 25
-
-
-
-
-
0, 55
-
-
0.67
REFERENCES

Potassium
K20
0. 36 Moore, 1969
0.11-0.42 Taiganides and Hazen, 1966
Hart, 1960
, - Dornbush and Anderson, 1964
0.27 Hart and Turner, 1965
Little, 1966
Dept. of Sci. and Indust. Res. , 1964
Vollenweider, 1968
Townshend et al. , 1969
Kearl, 1965
0. 30
FWPCA, 1966
OF SWINE MANURES

REFERENCES
Potassium
0. 62 Moore, 1969
0.34-0.62 Taiganides and Hazen, 1966
Hart, 1960
0.11 Hart and Turner, 1965
Taiganides et al. , 1964
Clark, 1965
Little, 1966
Poelma, 1966
Dept. of Set. and Indust. Res. , 1964
Vollenweider, 1968
Humenik, 1972
Schmid and Lipper, 1969
Townshend et al. , 1969
         Average
                           3. 1
                                         6.4
                                                     0. 24
                                                                   0.51
0.42
                                                                                                    0.40

-------
Table 25.  NUTRIENT AND SANITARY CHARACTERISTICS OF CATTLE MANURES
Characteristics of Cattle Manures
AN1MA1, . j
g/g of Animal-day x 10
BOD COD Ammonia
Nitrogen
Beef Cattle
:; :: ::
1.11-2.22 10.0
1.02 3.2b 0.11
--
1.87 15.0
1.84
Average 1.61 9.42 0.11
Dairy Cattle
1.53 19.1
0.31 1.53 B.4
1.32 5.8
0.44
0,95 S,7
Average 0.31 1.15 9,8
Total
Nitrogen
0. 36
0.35-0.44
0.29
0. Z6
0.26
0.41
0. 16
--
0. 32
--
--
0. 23
--
--
0, 23
Phosphorus
0.115
0. 11-0. 12
--
0.25
0.31
--
0.18
0. 30
0.38
0.37
0.49
0.1 fc
0. 34
REFERENCES
Potassium
0.274 Moore, 1969
0.27-0.34 Taiganides and Haz«-n, 1966; Taganides et al. , 1964
Hart, 1960
Loehr and Agnew, 1967
Witzel el al. , 1966
Vollenweider, 1968
Townshend et al. , 19fc9
Date and Day, 1967
0. 29
Hart, 19bO
Jeffery et al. , 1963
0.12 Hart and Turner, 1965
Witzel et al. , 1966
Dept. ofSci. and tndust. Pes., 19^4
0. 11 Townshend et al. , 14fc9
0. 12

-------
•wastes varied widely between the different studies.  This can probably
be attributed to the types of feed supplied to the animals.  The carbon
content could vary quite •widely,  and in all probability the phosphorus,
nitrogen,  and potassium contents of the feed would remain essentially
the same  regardless of the carbon content.

Table 26 shows the characteristics of sheep manure; only two sources
of data were found for sheep.  These limited data indicate that the
nutrient content of sheep manures is relatively high in nitrogen content
and essentially the same as the other manures in phosphorus content.

Agricultural Runoff of Manures

Agricultural runoff consists  of discharges; which range from almost
natural runoff from forests and unused lands  to such point sources as
confined animal feedlots and fertilized  fields.   Control of runoff from
animal feedlots and fertilized fields generally can be exercised by
waste management and land conservation techniques. However, it is
almost impossible to do anything  about the more general nonpoint
discharges such as those discharged from range lands and recreational
areas.  Because of the difficulty associated with controlling agricultural
runoff from grazing lands  and recreational areas, the following discussion
will concentrate primarily on the contribution from point sources  such
as confined animal feedlots.  It should  also be pointed out that soil
erosion contributes significantly to the pollution contributed by agricul-
tural runoff.  However,  this  subject will also be omitted from this
discussion because it has been covered previously in Section V.  Some
                             128

-------
                 Table 26.  NUTRIENT AND SANITARY CHARACTERISTICS OF SHEEP MANURES

                                           Characteristics of Sheep Manures
ANIMAL                                        g/g of Animal-day x lO'3                        REFERENCES

Sheep
BOD COD Ammonia
Nitrogen

Total
Nitrogen
0.86
0.34
Phosphorus
P2°5
0.25
Potassium
Hart, 1960
Vollenweider, 1968
    Average                                          0. 60        0.25

-------
data relating to manures and the contribution of nutrients from natural
drainage areas and urban areas will be presented.

It is relatively simple to examine and define the influence of point
sources from agricultural industry on water pollution.  However, it is
extremely difficult to quantify water pollution problems and nutrient
contributions  resulting from general agricultural runoff.   The following
presentation will attempt to summarize the results that have been found
by several investigators.  These results will show the tremendous
variability involved in the quantitative results obtained for various
installations.

Animal Feedlots
In many areas of the United States, animal manures are still returned
to the fields as a source of fertilizer.  However, this practice is being
eliminated because of the economics involved in disposing of large
quantities of animal manures.  Also,  the large increase in the number
of large feedlots that produce animals for slaughter has tended to cause
large quantities of manure to accumulate in and around these feedlots.
This manure does not present a significant water pollution problem
until the wastes are disposed of by spreading on the ground or until
they are washed into a receiving body of water.

If runoff from large feedlots is confined  to the area,  little difficulty
occurs.  However, the practice in the past has been to encourage drain-
ing from the confinement areas into the drainage pattern of the surround-
ing land.  This provided a convenient method of disposing of the manures
                                130

-------
and solved the disposal problems for the individual farmer.  The conse-



quences of such a disposal system, primarily fish kills (e, g. ,  Vollen-



weider, 1968), were usually ignored by the individual farmer until he



was forced to accept the responsibility for the damage that he had caused.



The identification of the problems caused by these slug discharges of



manures to a stream or impoundment have led enforcement agencies



to attempt to develop solutions for these problems.







As mentioned, the quantity and quality of runoff from feedlots is quite



variable,  and depends on several factors, i. e. ,  soil water content,



concentration of cattle on the feedlot, method of feedlot operation, soil



characteristics, topography,  and intensity of the rainfall (Loehr,  1972).



Because of this large number of variables,  the characteristics of feed-



lot funoff are unpredictable, and it is difficult to interpret runoff-pollu-



tional characteristics relationships.  In the past few years studies have



been conducted that  provide information about natural and simulated



rainfall events that allow a broad interpretation of the quantity and quality



of rainfall runoff under various environmental conditions.







The concentration of nutrients found in manures  on feedlots will depend



upon the time of year and the age of the manure.  During the winter



there will be much less decomposition than would occur during the



summer months, and a large concentration  of pollutants would  be



expected to accumulate.   The characteristics of the  runoff from a feed-



lot will be a function of the physical and biochemical changes that are



occurring.  The concentrations of the various pollutants in feedlot



runoff will be the highest during the initial phase of the rainfall and will



decrease as runoff continues.  After the feedlot surface becomes covered
                              131

-------
with manure,  the water quality parameters of the runoff are no longer



affected by the depth of manure that has accumulated on the surface.



The  quality of feedlot runoff after the surface is covered is affected by



the pollutional constituents in the manures, rainfall intensity, water



content of a manure pack, and the type of feedlot surface (Miner et al, ,



1966).







The  results of several  studies describing the magnitude and variability



of constituents in feedlot runoff are summarized in Table 27.  The



variability of  runoff is  illustrated by the range of values reported for



the BOD which varied from 500 mg/1 to 12,000 mg/1.   Solids and nitrogen



concentration show even  wider variations.  The variable nature of the



runoff indicates the significant slug effect that these discharges could



have on a stream.  The slug effects and the use of holding ponds pre-



ceding discharge have  been evaluated as a means of eliminating some



of the impact  that slug  discharges may exert upon a stream (Gilbertson



et al. , 1971; Loehr,  1970; Loehr,  1972; Meyers et al. , 1972; Wells



et al. , 1970; Willrich,  1966).







The  characteristics of  runoff are significantly affected by the environ-



mental conditions in  the area of the feedlot.  For example, the longer



the manure remains  wet,  the better the chances of biological degrada-



tion  of the pollutional compounds.   The biological degradation is also



significantly increased during warmer weather.  In dry climates when



manure dries  out rapidly, the pollutional constituents of the manure



remain essentially constant.  When the manures are wetted again,  the



discharge to a water course is  essentially the same as it would have
                               132

-------
                                            Table 27.  FEEDLOT RUNOFF CHARACTERISTICS


ANIMAL

Cattle
Cattle
Cattle
Cattle
Cattle
Cattle
Cattle
Cattle
Range of Values for Constituents, m^/l

Suspended
Solids
3,400-13,400
--
1, 000-7, 000a
--
1,400-12,000
--
1, 500-1Z, 000
1,400-12, 000
Ortho-
phosphate
P°4

--

--
15-80
ZO-30
--
6Z-l,460b

Organic
Nitrogen
	
6-800

--
--
600-630
--
265-3,400

Ammonia
Nitrogen

2-770

--
1-139
270-410
16-140
--

Nitrate
Nitrogen
	
0-1, 270

--
0. 1-11
--

--


BOD
500-3, 300
1, 000-12, 000
300-6, 000
1, 500-9, 000
--
5, 000-11,000

800-7, 500


COD
	
2,400-38, 000

4,000-15,000
2, 500-15, 000
16, 000-40, 000
3,000-11,000
--


REF
Owens and Griffin, 1968
Wells et al. , 1970
Norton and Hansen, 1969
Loehr, 1969b
Miner et al. , 1966
Loehr, 1969a
Miner, 1967
Townshend et al. , 1970
OO
       Volatile solids.
       Total phosphorus as

-------
been if the material had been discharged at the time it was first deposited
on the ground (Filip et al. , 1973; Gilbertson et al. ,  1971; Meyers et al. ,
1972).

Loehr (1970) has shown that the pollution from an uncovered livestock
area is  related to the amount of precipitation that becomes runoff and
reaches surface streams.  The original condition of the manure on the
feedlot as well as the slope of the feedlot directly affects the amount of
runoff that occurs after a rainfall.  A relationship between precipitation
and runoff expressed in inches of water at small surfaced and unsurfaced
feedlots was described by Loehr:

      Runoff  =  -0.34 + 0.945 (Rainfall)                           (8)

Gilbertson et al. (1971)  showed that from 0. 22 inches to 0. 35 inches of
precipitation occurred before runoff was detected at cattle feedlots.
The relationship between runoff and rainfall in inches of water was
found to be:

      Runoff  =  -0. 135 + 0.53 (Rainfall)                           (9)

All studies of animal feedlot runoff indicate that a small percentage of
the oxygen demanding materials  in the wastes is removed by runoff.
However, the water pollution potential of livestock feedlots, is  related
to the waste production per animal, number of animals confined, and
the management practices applied to the wastes discharged on the lots.
If cattle were fattened on the range, a much smaller concentration of
pollutants in runoff would be detected.  However, the  trend today is
toward more and larger livestock feedlots.
                              134

-------
The contribution of pollution from livestock feedlots by runoff can



easily be controlled with unsophisticated "waste management practices.



Proper diking and collection of rainfall runoff in holding ponds can



solve the majority of the problems that presently exist.  The systems



must be designed to prevent overflow except under unusual  rainfall



conditions, and the liquids and solids collected in the ponds should be



dispose'd of by application to pastures and croplands.  If properly



operated, such a scheme should  essentially eliminate the impact of



feedlot runoff on the receiving streams in the  vicinity of such an opera-



tion.  It is unlikely that the expense of using conventional waste treatment



techniques for feedlot runoff and animal wastes will be employed in the



near future.







Loehr (1972) has recommended a number of feedlot  runoff control



measures,  e. g. , diversion, retention ponds,  confinement,  location,



evaporation ponds, and land disposal.  It appears that these techniques



are the most popular methods of controlling feedlot  runoff at this time,



and in all probability will remain the most popular as long as land is



available, principally because of the economic advantages.  If such a



system is properly operated and the  liquid and manures collected in the



retention pond are disposed of properly on the land, the impact on a



water course is  essentially the same as that reported for agricultural



lands used for grazing purposes.  Examples of the concentrations of



phosphorus and other constituents that may be discharged from various



types of runoff are shown in Tables 28-32.
                              135

-------
           Table 28.  ESTIMATE OF NUTRIENT CONTRIBUTIONS FROM VARIOUS SOURCES (GOLDBERG, 1970)
oo
Nitrogen

Source

Domestic waste
Industrial •waste
Rural runoff:
Agricultural land
Nonagricultural land
Farm animal waste
Urban runoff
Rainfallb

Pounds
per year
(millions)
1, 100-1,600
> 1,000

1, 500-15,000
400-1,900
> 1,000
110-1,100
30-590
Usual
concentra-
tion in
discharge
(mg/l)
18-20
0-10,000

1-70
0. 1-0.5
a
1-10
0.1-2.0
Phosphorus

Pounds
per year
(millions)
200-500
a

120-1,200
150-750
a
11-170
3-9
Usual
concentra-
tion in
discharge
(mg/l)
3.5-9.0
a

0.05-1. 1
0. 04-0.2
a
0.1-1. 5
0.01-0.03
          Insufficient data available to make estimate.
          Considers  rainfall contributed directly to water surface.

-------
                Table 29.  ANNUAL NUTRIENT LOSS FOR TWO SEASONS FOR THE


                 NATURAL-RAINFALL EROSION PLOTS (TIMMONS ET AL. ,  1968)
Cropping
Treatments
Avg
Annual
Kilograms
Per
Hectare
Soil Loss
Avg
A nnua I
Centi-
meters
Runoff
Avg Kg per
Total
Na NH -N
4
Hectare Nutrient Loss
NO -N
P
K
1966
Fallow
Corn- continuous
Corn- rotation
Oats -rotation
Hay- rotation
8, 518.
807.
426.
22.
0.
0
0
0
4
0
9.
2.
5.
0.
8.
65
31
20
51
66
29. 1 0.
4.48 0.
2.24 <0.
0.11 0.
0.34 0.
33
11
11
0
0
0.
0.
0.
<0.
0.
90
11
33
11
11
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
04
11
11
0
11
2.0
0. 56
0. 67
<0. 11
0.90
1967
Fallow
Corn- continuous
Corn- rotation
Oats -rotation
Hay- rotation
23,044.0
7, 039.0
1. 389.0
2, 286.0

0.0
11.
7.
5.
5.
9.
76
56
96
30
72
100.8 0.
21.5 0.
7. 5 0.
10. 5 0.
6. 4 0.
22
34
11
11
0
0.
0:
0.
0.
0.
54
90
08
18
04
2.
0.
0.
0.
0.
9
04
11
11
33
5. 1
1. 3
0. 67
0. b7
5.8
Excludes NH - and NO -N.
           4        2

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  Table 30.  RANGES OF SOME SELECTED NUTRIENTS IN
 SEWAGE EFFLUENTS AND LAND DRAINAGE ENTERING THE
GREAT OUSE:  CONCENTRATIONS IN THE RIVER WATER ARE
      ALSO INCLUDED (OWENS AND WOOD, 1968)
Nutrient

Carbon (soluble)
Ammonium -N
Nit rate -N
Nitrite -N
Organic-N
Potassium
Total soluble phosphorus
Silicon
Sewage
Effluent
(mg/l)
6. 7-24. 0
0.0-48.0
0.0-35.0
0.0-14.5
0.0-13. 6
16.0-32.0
3.0-14.0
1.9-11.0
Land
Drainage
(mg/l)
2.8-8.0
0.0-0.5
5.5-29.4
0.01-0.1
0. 3-0.9
6.0-16. 5
0. 02-0.3
0.7-5.0
River
Water
(mg/l)
3.5-12.4
0.0-9.8
3.0-14.2
0.01-0.4
0.0-2.9
6.8-9.0
0.17-0.73
0.07-5.0
                        138

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 Table 31.  MEAN NUTRIENT CONCENTRATIONS FROM RUN-
OFF SOURCES IN PARTS PER BILLION (SYLVESTER, 1961)


Urban street drainage
Urban street drainage
(median)
Streams from forested areas
Subsurface irrigation drains
Surface irrigation drains
Green Lake
Total
Phos-
phorus
(P)
208
154
69
216
251
76
Soluble
Phos-
phorus
(P)
76
22
7
184
162
16

Nitrates
(N)
527
420
130
2,690
1,250
84
Total
Kjeldahl
Nitrogen
(N)
2,010
410
74
172
205
340
                        139

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  Table 32.  SOLUBLE PHOSPHORUS CONCENTRATIONS REPORTED

  FOR WATERS DRAINING RURAL WATERSHEDS (VERDUIN,  1967)
      Author
      Type of watershed
Phosphorus
c one ent ration
M-gP/1
Engelbrecht and
  Morgan, I960

Engelbrecht and_
  Morgan, 1953e

Sylvester, 196ia

Sylvester, 1961
Sawyer,  194?'
Putnam and Olson,
  1960a
Ha r low,  1966

Owen, 1965b

Hardy,  1966b
Hrbacek (1965)
Farmlands in Kaskaskia River
basin,  Illinois                        60

Eight lake and reservoir
stations, pollution-free               35

Forest streams                        7

Irrigated land,  return flow
drains, Washington                  173

Rural drainage around Lake
Mendota, Wisconsin                  48

St.  Louis and Black rivers,
western Lake Superior
tributaries                           40

Raisin River, Michigan               60

Ontario agricultural watershed        33

Upstream areas of Big Muddy
River system, Illinois               110

Two reservoirs in Czechoslovakia     21
 As reported by Mackenthun (1965)
 b                                                               '
 Private communication to Verduin,  plus papers presented at the Ninth
 Conference on Great Lakes Research, Chicago,  1966.
                              140

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Treatment Methods for Animal Wastes








As pointed out in the previous sections, the control measures most



likely to be employed for disposing of animal manures and feedlot runoff



are diversion, retention ponds, confinement, proper location,  evaporation



ponds, and land  disposal of manures.   Many other methods of disposal



have been employed in field and laboratory experiments.  These are



described in detail in the mass flow model presented in Section VI on



animal waste disposal (Figure 20).








Excluding the control methods listed above, and the more sophisticated



techniques of drying,  incineration, and composting, the most frequently



used method of disposing of manures and runoff has been through varia-



tions of the simple technique of stabilization pond disposal.  Many of



the variations of stabilization ponds have been employed,  such as multi-



stage ponds,  aerobic  systems, anaerobic,  and facultative ponds.  The



control of oxygen consuming constituents has been satisfactory with the



majority of the pond applications.  However, the ability of any of the



conventional biological treatment schemes to remove phosphorus is



limited, and one of the most effective methods of removing phosphorus



is  the proper application of manures to the land.  Land application does



not serve as a complete method of removing phosphorus; however, the



amounts removed as the leachate seeps through the  soil is quite  signifi-



cant,  and if runoff from land applications  is controlled, a very signifi-



cant proportion  of the phosphorus will  be removed.
                              141

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Land Disposal--

Minshall et al. (1970) reported that up to 20 percent of N, 13 percent of
P, and 33 percent of K  nutrients may be lost from manure applied on
frozen ground where conditions favor maximum early spring runoff.
Nutrient losses from surface runoff from plots having manure applied
in the summer and incorporated into the soil were less than from check
plots that received no manure.  If manure is spread on unfrozen ground
and incorporated into the soil, little water pollution should result from
manure disposal.   Minshall et al. (1970) results are summarized in
Table 33.

Humenik (1972) has shown essentially 100 percent phosphate removal
from swine waste lagoon effluent applied to Norfolk sandy loam soil
lysimeters  at a rate of 2. 54  cm per week.  The lysimeters were loaded
at this rate for approximately five months,  and the phosphate-phosphorus
concentrations applied  ranged between 2. 2 to 20. 6 mg/1 with the majority
of the loadings having a concentration greater  than 9. 8 mg/1 of phosphate-
phosphorus.

Liquid dairy manure was applied at rates of 0. 5 and 2. 0 cm per week
to lysimeters filled with Cecil sandy clay loam soil for a period of
approximately three months  (Humenik, 1972).  Phosphate-phosphorus
concentrations of the liquid manure ranged from 6.4 to 30. 0 mg/1,  and
the leachate from the lysimeter contained less than 0. 007 mg/1 of
phosphorus  for both loading rates.
                              142

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OO
                      Table  33.  NUTRIENT LOSSES FROM LANCASTER, WISCONSIN,
                        PLOTS ON JANUARY 23 AND 24, 1967 FROM SNOWMELT
                                   AND RAINSa (MINSHALL ET AL. ,  1970)
Jan 23 and Jan 24 A.M. Snowmelt and 0. 5 in. Rainfall
Plot
numbe r

(1)
3
7

1
6

2
5

4
8

Average 2,
3,4, 5, 6, 7,
8
Average 1
and 6
Ratio 1 and
6/others
Percentage
of applied
manure
Type of
manure
and time
applied
(2)
None
Average

Fresh
January
Average
Fermented
May
Average
Liquid
May
Average










Runoff in
inches

(3)
1. 103
1.000
1.032
0.456
0.814
0. 635
0.871
1.074
0.973
1.384
1. 160
1. 272
1.099



0. 635





Losses
Total N

(4)
0.89
0. 93
0. 91
0.46
0.55
0.51
0. 64
1.42
1.03
0. 77
0. 70
0. 74
0. 90



0.51





in pounds per acre
Total P

(5)
0.17
0. 12
0.15
0.06
0.08
0.07
0. 16
0. 16
0.16
0.20
0. 18
0. 19
0. 17



0.07





Soluble K

(&)
1.63
1.78
1.71
0, 93
1.79
1.36
1.02
2.00
1.51
3.07
0. 50
1.79
1. 67



1.36





Jan 24 P.M. 0. 75 in. Rainfall
Runoff in
inches

(7)
0.681
0.850
0.770
0.858
0. 620
0.739
0.808
0. 602
0.705
0. 643
0. 808
0.726
0. 733


X
0.739





I_o aaes
Total N

(8)
0.57
0.30
0.44
16. 53
17.93
17.23
1.44
0. 68
1.06
0.49
0.32
0.41
0. 63



17. 23

27x17.5

17.5

in pounds per acre
Total P

(9)
0.14
0.13
0.14
2.31
2.01
2.16
0.22
0.13
0.18
0.13
0.11
0.12
0. 14



2.16

15x6. 2

6.2

Soluble K

(10)
1.28
0.68
0.98
3. 34
5.20
4.27
1.97
0.72
1.35
0. 95
1.70
1.46
1.23



4.27

3.5x3.8

3.8

                   Manure at the rate of 15 tons per acre was applied to plots 1 and 6 shortly before this rain.  Pounds per
                   acre nutrient values  applied, from Table 1, N = 96, P = 32. 8 and K = 86. 5.

-------
Wells et al. (1970) reported removals of constituents other than phos-
phorus from cattle feedlot runoff when applied to lysimeters containing
30 inches of soil growing various crops.  The results are summarized
in Table 34. Based upon the results reported by Humenik (1972) and
several other investigators (Utah State University,  1969) showing
retention of phosphorus by soils from irrigation waters,  it is very likely
that excellent phosphorus removal would be obtained with any type
animal waste or runoff when applied to the soil mantle.

Biological Treatment of Animal Wastes--

Hart and Turner (1965) performed a series of anaerobic  lagoon studies
with poultry manures and found phosphorus removals to range from  16
to 65 percent; however,  effluents contained high concentrations of phos-
phorus  (> 50 mg/1).  Phosphorus removal did not appear to be directly
related to the  loading rate, but the lowest and highest percentage
removals were related inversely to the loading rate.

Humenik (1972)  reported average phosphate removal by swine waste
secondary lagoons to vary from 15 to  34 percent.   Values for the reduction
in the primary lagoons were not reported.  The phosphate-phosphorus
concentration  in the secondary effluent was greater than  8. 2 mg/1.

Studies  of lagoon and oxidation ditch treatment of swine wastes indicate
that these treatment methods do not produce an effluent that can be
discharged  directly to a water course (Townshend et al. ,  1969).  Treat-
ment of swine waste with lagoons designed for a mean hydraulic retention
time of  6 and 12 months  yielded supernatants •with phosphorus concentrations
                              144

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   Table 34.  AVERAGE CONCENTRATIONS OF POLLUTANTS
   IN RUNOFF BEFORE AND AFTER PERCOLATION THROUGH
        30 INCHES OF SOIL GROWING CROPS AS SHOWN
                     (WELLS ET AL. ,  1970)
Concentration Percolating Through
Pollutant
pH
BOD mg/1
COD mg/1
NH_ mg/1
o o
ORG-N mg/l
NO- mg/1
T.S. mg/1
V.S. mg/1
S. S. mg/1
Concentration
In Runoff
6.85
4100
9500
423
67
40
11,770
6223
322
Cotton
7.9
20
386
0
2
573
4634
1252
164
Grain
'Sorghum
8.03
19
474
4
19
105
10,520
1104
260
Midland
Bermudagras s
8.0
13
250
0
0
787
2551
1440
150
of 0.43, 20, and 28 mg/1, respectively.   Oxidation ditch treatment of
similar wastes produced supernatant phosphorus concentrations of less
than 3 mg/1 for a mean hydraulic retention time of two months and
584 mg/1 where a six months hydraulic retention time was employed.
Difficulty was experienced in separating the solids from the oxidation
ditch mixed liquor.
                             145

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Many studies report laboratory and field studies of anaerobic digestion
and lagoon treatment of various animal wastes; however,  other than
the one specifically referred to above, phosphorus removal data are
unavailable except for chemicaltreatment studies  (Clark,  1965; Edwards
and Robinson,  1969; Hart and Turner,  1965; Loehr,  1967, 1971; Loehr
and Agnew, 1967; Okey et al. , 1969; Townshend et al. ,  1970). The
chemical treatment removals of phosphorus from animal wastes are
comparable with the results reported for sewage treatment.   Phosphorus
concentrations of less than  0. 16 mg/1 can be obtained; however, it is
very unlikely that the agricultural industry can afford to install these
costly treatment schemes.

Most of the animal waste treatment studies utilizing biological methods
have not studied phosphorus removal, probably because of the relatively
small  (less than 25 percent) removals obtained in biological treatment
of domestic wastewaters.  The few  studies mentioned above indicate that
the control of phosphorus discharges to the environment are unlikely
to be controlled by "conventional" biological processes  such as lagoons
and digestors.

Animal Waste Phosphorus Discharge Control Strategy

The above summary of the characteristics and treatability of animal
wastes and runoff from animal feedlots indicates the wide variability
in both the characteristics and performance of treatment facilities.  It
is also shown that the impact on the water quality caused by animal
wastes is due largely to the periodic slug discharges of pollutants that
reach  a waterway. Because of this  slug discharge characteristic,  in
                              146

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all probability it will be easier and most economical to control by a
combination of the methods porposed by Loehr (1972).  A number of
feedlot runoff control measures were proposed, such as diversion,
retention ponds,  confinement, proper location, use  of evaporation ponds,
and land disposal of the excess liquid and accumulated solid matter.
Under certain environmental conditions all of the above methods can be
easily adapted to fit a particular situation and control water pollution
from feedlot runoff.

It appears that the expense of using conventional waste treatment
techniques for feedlot runoff and animal waste will be unnecessary
because  of the availability of the above mentioned techniques that are
relatively unsophisticated and inexpensive.  The application of one or
all of the proposed techniques for controlling feedlot runoff will vary
with the  rainfall amount and frequency, geography,  and rainfall patterns
for a particular area.   Several states are considering, or have adopted,
legislation for design rainfall criteria.  Perhaps the key to controlling
feedlot and animal waste pollution is in the selection of the location  of
the feedlot.   Most of the problems  that have occurred in the past could
easily be avoided had the feedlots been located in areas that were
suitable for feedlots. Having located a feedlot properly,  land for
disposal would also have been available,  and the potential for pollution
would have been reduced considerably with just these two considerations.
Another factor probably as significant as proper location is the number
of waste management alternatives that  are made available to a feedlot
operator.  Usually,  it does not cost any more to include several alter-
natives for waste control during the initial construction phase.
                              147

-------
In brief, it appears that the control of animal manures can most easily



be handled by relatively unsophisticated and inexpensive techniques.



It also appears that the agricultural industry is incapable  of absorbing



the costs of conventional waste treatment at this time.  The costs for



nutrient stripping are very high for agricultural wastes and exceed the



costs reported for sewage treatment processes.  Therefore, wherever



possible,  the location of feedlots should be such that the old reliable



method of confinement and land disposal  can be employed.
                              148

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                           SECTION VI



          PHOSPHORUS ACTIVITY ANALYSIS AND THE



                 MASS FLOW MODEL OVERVIEW







In order to have a system which could be analyzed from the point of



View of phosphorus control,  a simple program was developed for the



major phosphorus-using activities and natural sources (Appendix C).







The program utilized simple input information and then calculated



phosphorus output according to different activities.   This basic approach



is summarized in Figure 18.  Some of these activities are  further



affected by various types of  treatments  or distributions based on whether



wastes are directly discharged or enter treatment plants.  The total of



all the activities  is calculated, as well as the total after treatment,  or



that portion of the phosphorus which actually enters the surface water;



finally, the total  of the fraction which enters the surface waters and is



actually available for algal growth is calculated.  Calculation of eutro-



phication effects  due to phosphorus addition to surface waters is based



on two loading rates (total after treatment,  and total available for algal



growth) because of the uncertainty of the defined relationship between



nutrient loading rate and eutrophication.  (See Vollenweider,  1968,  and



Section IV, this report. )
                              149

-------
                       A.  Total Phos-
                       phorus Output
           B. Total After
           Treatment
         Phosphorus
         Activity
         Analysis
      (See Figure 13)
SINKS 4
   Waste
   Treat-
   ment
C. Total Avail-
able for algal
growth a
                        Surface
                        Water
                                                                     Algal
                                                                    Not
                                                                    Available
Phosphorus
Removed in
Treatment
       Based on Figure 11 where:

            Eutrophication = f(B)

            Eutrophication = f(C)
      Figure 18.  Primary calculated outputs from the phosphorus mass flow
                  model.  The subroutines are listed as the different phos-
                  phorus-using activities in Figure 13.
                                      150

-------
 The overall scope of phosphorus input to surface waters is outlined in



.Figure 13.  This figure shows the defined phosphorus inputs, whether



 minor or major, which would be typical for any particular basin of



 interest and includes those inputs which are of cultural importance as



 well.as those  which would occur naturally.  These activities or inputs,



 then, all contribute phosphorus to surface waters in varying degrees.



 These activities are discussed in relation to this computer program.



 At the same time,  particular literature which relates to the program



 are  referenced.  The described inputs have been classified into several



 major categories,  and discussion of these categories  in a general way
                                              ,'


 is made in this  section of the report.  The actual definition of the



 parameters and how they operate in the input program are defined



 following this section according to a classification based on methods



 of control.







 PHOSPHORUS USING ACTIVITIES AND



 METHODS OF CONTROL







 The use of phosphorus  in various industrial, agricultural,  and domestic



 activities plus natural inputs of phosphorus  all contribute  to surface



 water phosphorus content.  For each of the  major defined activities



 (Figure  13),  appropriate and reasonable control points can be devised



 at the supply and demand side of the activity as well as for the techno-



 logical and treatment side of the activity.  These  controls can be



 categorized and will be discussed in detail in Section VII.   The costs  of



 instituting the controls will be obtained where appropriate.  In this way



 a cost-effectiveness relationship  can be defined.
                               151

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The analysis of the phosphorus inputs to a particular receiving water
will be based on particular subroutines  and/or numbers obtained from
the literature for those particular inputs.   These will be based on
average values imputed to various activities.  For example, (1) domes-
tic wastes phosphorus loadings will be based on  a  per capita basis;
(2) industrial wastes will be based on particular industrial uses;
(3) natural inputs, fertilizer runoff,  pesticides,  and mining wastes will
be related to activities placed on an area basis;  and  (4) animal wastes
solid wastes will be on a  per capita basis.  Thus,  for a given subbasin
the input of information based on per capita and  area estimates  of the
different activities,  will provide an input in terms of mass of material
per unit time.  This will  be coupled to the receiving water eutrophication
model as developed in Section IV (Figure 11).

Specific subsections correspond to the subroutine  and main program
of the phosphorus input program.   They have been grouped for discus-
sion purposes into the four following classifications:
      1.   Minor Diffuse Sources are controllable  for other reasons,
          not very important in terms of percentage of the whole, or
          not economically controllable.
      2.   Controllable Diffuse Sources  include all sources not described
          in the first section.
      3.   Minor Point Sources are controllable  for other reasons, not
          very important in terms of percentage of the whole,  or not
          economically controllable.
     4.   Controllable Point Sources include all sources not described
          in the third section.
                              152

-------
Although the subsections do not include every possible source of phos-
phorus, they are undoubtedly more detailed than necessary except for
specific situations.  This will become evident in the analysis of the
results.  However, the individual subsections are all included to com-
plete the description of phosphorus input to surface waters and allow a
more complete analysis of control strategy.   The following sections
contain a brief outline and definition of the various parts of the program.
The program goes through a series of subroutines described as follows
in the order of their appearance in the program to determine the various
inputs and then calculate outputs.  The upper case words in parentheses
refer to parameters in the actual  program (see Appendix C).  Input
values,  typical output,  and units of the values are in Appendix D,
Internal variables will be described only in the  text.  The actual values
(often rough approximations) utilized will be referenced where  possible;
arbitrary estimates had to be made in the absence of concrete information.

MINOR DIFFUSE SOURCES

The first subroutine (PEST) concerns organophosphate pesticides and
the output (OPOUT) is a function of the area  (cm  ) of fertilized agricul-
ture (FACRE)  in the basin multiplied by a factor (OPFAC,  (0. 408 x 10"  )):
     OPOUT  =  (0. 11)(OPFAC)(FACRE), g/yr                  (10)
The factor  (OPFAC) is  the proportion where pesticides are used (two-
thirds) of the total area of fertilized  agriculture in the USA (9. 7x10
  2
cm  , Water Resources Council, 1968) divided into the total annual
pounds of organophosphate pesticides consumed (36 million kg/yr,
                              153

-------
Table 8) multiplied by a factor (0. 11) which relates the phosphate con-
tent to the weight of organophosphate pesticide.

The next subroutine (MINST) is concerned with runoff phosphorus from
mining activities that are not associated with phosphorus mining.  Thus,
strip mining and mine tailings will produce  a higher runoff of phosphorus
than any other kind of watershed.  This output (XMOUT) is a function
of the area of strip mines and tailings (XMACRE), the annual precipi-
tation rate (PRATE), the concentration (XMCONC) in the runoff water
(estimated to be 0. 5 mg P/l), and the ratio  (XMFAC)  of the runoff
water to the  total precipitation (assumed to be 0. 5):

      XMOUT = (XMACRE)(PRATE)(XMCONC)(XMFAC), g/yr   (11)

The next subroutine (SOLWST) concerns solid waste disposal; the phos-
phorus output from solid waste disposal (SWOUT) is related to the mean
annual precipitation (PRATE), the surface area (SACRE) of the landfill,
open dump, etc. , the concentration of phosphorus in landfill runoff
(SCONC) and a runoff factor:

      SWOUT = (SACRE)(PRATE)(SCONC)(PRATE/PRATE 4- 25),
                  g/yr                                           (12)

The runoff factor is calculated using a first order-zero order type
equation to provide a maximum rate of runoff when the surface  becomes
saturated. This equation is similar to one derived by Enderlin and
Markowitz (1962); it was assumed that their  soil-vegetation-permeability,
etc. ,  factor  could safely be ignored.  The runoff factor is obtained
using a ratio of the annual precipitation rate divided by the annual
                              154

-------
precipitation rate, PRATE plus 25 cm/yr, the half maximum value for
runoff from solid waste disposal sites.  The concentration of phosphorus
in the runoff water (SCONC) from landfills is calculated to be  1 mg/1,
and represents an estimate obtained from a study performed  on runoff
from Clear  Lake,  California (Silvey,  1970).  This subroutine provides
a very small input in terms of total phosphorus and its  output can be
easily treated for other reasons  (BOD removal,  etc. ).

The next subroutine  (RFALL) is  concerned with direct rainfall onto
surface waters in the basin; thus, the area of  surface waters in the
basin (WACRE), the rainfall phosphorus concentration (RAIN) which as
determined  by Weibel et al.  (1969) is  0. 08 mg/1,  and the mean annual
precipitation (PRATE), provides a relationship to estimate the phos-
phorus entering the streams directly (RAFO):

     RAFO =  (RAJN)(WACRE)(PRATE), g/yr                    (13)

Rainfall phosphorus  concentrations  are quite variable and this parameter
should be changed to  suit local conditions  where it constitutes a signi-
ficant source (Lee, 1972; Tyler and Uttormark,  1972).

CONTROLLABLE DIFFUSE SOURCES

This subroutine (URBOFF) is concerned with urban runoff and the listed
values have been obtained from Weibel et  al. (1969).  The output (UOUT)
is related to the developed urban area (UACRE),  the annual precipitation
(PRATE), the concentration in urban runoff (UCONC) of 0. 36 mg/1
phosphorus, and a factor relating runoff to precipitation (UFAC) which
is 0. 37 (Weibel  et al. ,  1969):

                              155

-------
      UOUT  =  (UACRE)(PRATE)(UCONC)(UFAC)                (14)

The next subroutine (NATIN) concerns runoff from natural watersheds
and developed, managed forest, and grazing land watersheds.  What is
done in this case is to determine a runoff rate per unit area (F) which
involves the annual precipitation (PRATE), the concentration in runoff
from natural watersheds  (XNCONC), and a first order-zero order type
runoff relationship obtained as follows: The ratio of annual precipita-
tion rate (PRATE) divided by annual precipitation rate plus 10 cm/yr
yields a factor which is related to the saturation  of the watershed soil:

      F = (PRATE)(XNCONC)(PRATE/PRATE + 10)             (15)

After the  runoff rate has  been obtained, it is multiplied by the area  of
the particular kind of watershed and a  given unit factor (FXD).   Because
all outputs are related to the phosphate concentration from a natural
watershed, the unit factor is  1  for natural watershed areas.   Evidence
from several investigators (McGauhey et al. ,  1971,  and Likens et al. ,
1964) indicates that developed watersheds produce about twice as much
phosphorus runoff as natural watersheds; the factor (FXD) is  2 for
developed watersheds.  For managed forests,  the factor (FXF) is  1. 5,
and for grazing lands (FXG) the factor is  1. 5.  These latter two rather
crude factor estimates are based on estimates  obtained from Cooper
(1969).  These outputs (XNAT, XDEV, XFOR,  XGRA) are all summed
up to produce the total estimate of watershed runoff (XNOUT) as
follows:
                              156

-------
          XNAT  =  (F)(XNACRE)
          XDEV  =  (F)(FXD)(XDACRE)                          ,  .
                                                                (16)
          XFOR  =  (F)(FXF)(XFACRE)
          XGRA  =  (F)(FXG)(GACRE)

     XNOUT  =  XNAT + XDEV + XFOR + XGRA                 (17)

Areas of natural watershed (XNACRE),  developed watershed (XDACRE),
managed forest (XFACRE), and grazing lands (GACRE) can be estimated
from planning agency reports (e. g. ,  U. S. Water Resources Council,
1968).

One of the most important controllable diffuse source subroutines
(FRTLZR) concerns the application of fertilizer to farmlands.   The
following program is based on a soil-plant model (Figure 19) described
by Jurinak (1973).  The model distributes phosphorus into various
phases  and then phosphorus enters surface waters as a  result of runoff
and erosion.  An  annual estimate of fertilization rate in kg P/ha is
obtained (FERT).   This annual estimate is related to plant growth and
uptake of phosphorus using a first order-zero order equation where  the
maximum value constant is 9 kg/ha year and the half maximum value is
20 kg/ha.  Thus,  plant uptake (PLA)  is calculated as follows:
         PLA =  9(FERT)/(20 + FERT), kg/ha                  (18)
The remaining fertilizer (DS) is then calculated by subtracting the plant
direct uptake of fertilizer from the total applied (FERT - PLA).  Then
that difference is  incremented to the  previous level of solid phase
phosphorus in the soil for a unit area 15 cm  deep (SLDPH):
                              157

-------
                 RAINFALL P
                 COMMERCIAL
                 FERTILIZER
PER
         SOLID
         PHASE
         (SLDPH)
                                                               XINP
                                      SOLUTION P
                DRAINAGE
    GROUNDWATER
in
oo
                           IRRIGATION
                          RETURN FLOW
                            (IRRF)   ' —
                          PLANT-
                          SYSTEM
                                                               DRA
                                     t
        LANT ROOT
                                     TOTAL PLANT
                                                 i
                                                            MICROBIAL P
                                       MAN OR
                                       ANIMAL
                              PLANT AND
                                ANIMAL
                                RESIDUE
       RUNOFF
          P
       EROSION
                                                  ORP
ORGANIC
   P
                                     DOMESTIC OR
                       SOURCE
                                     ANIMALWASTE JSTORE
                                      RECEIVING
                                       WATER
                                                            ERATE,
                                                            TOTP
     Figure 19.  Diagram of the phosphorus distribution used to program the effect of phosphorus
                fertilizer application on the phosphorus load of surface waters.  (Note: Results
               .were based on net phosphorus transfer. )

-------
          SLDPH  = SLDPH + (DS/CF), ppm                     (19)
These values are expressed in parts per million (CF •= 2. 27 and con-
verts kg/ha to ppm).  Then the remaining  plant uptake (SA) is calculated
based on this solid phase phosphorus and is again a first order-zero
order equation having the maximum relative factor of 12. 7 ppm and the
half maximum value of 330 ppm.  Thus, the total plant uptake of phos-
phorus (PLA) is obtained as follows:
          PLA =  PLA + SA, kg/ha                             (20)
in which
     SA =  (12. 7(SLDPH)/(330 + SLDPH))(CF), kg/ha            (21)
Then the solid phase portion is recalculated, subtracting uptake by the
plant and adding back a portion of the plant which is considered to have
either decayed on an annual basis or been replaced as roots or litter:
     SLDPH -  SLDPH -  (SA/CF)  + 0. 25(PLA/CF),  ppm        (22)
The decay, roots, and litter portion is considered to  be about 25 percent
of the mass of the plant.   This factor (0. 25) will vary considerably with
crop type, cultivation practice, etc. , but  it has minimal effect on the
outcome and only is used as a reasonable  estimate.

The erosion model is the Universal Soil Loss Equation; values can be
estimated from Handbook 282 of the U. S.  Department of Agriculture
(Wischmeier,  1968).  This function relates: Erosivity (R), which is a
factor relating rainfall rate and intensity to erosion rate; the K (SK)
factor which concerns the variation in the soils and properties of erosion
which primarily are a function of soil type; the cropping management
                              159

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factor (C); a practice factor (P) which concerns such things as contouring,
terracing, strip cropping, or other practices which reduce erosive
potential of runoff; and a length-slope (L-S) relationship.

The length-slope relationship is as follows (Wischmeier and Smith,
1965): The mean length of slope times the quantity 0. 0076 + 0. 0053S
           2
+ 0. 00075S  in which  S is the percent slope for a particular basin
cropland system.   For this model three grades of land  slope were
utilized:  From 0-1 percent, from 1-5 percent,  and 5-10  percent.  A
mean slope within  each grade of 0. 5 percent, 3 percent, and 7. 5 percent
was used providing slope effects values of 0.01044, 0. 03025, and
0. 08954,  respectively.  Mean length of slope was estimated to be 400
feet for the 0. 5 percent slope (FL.1), 150 feet for the 3  percent slope
(FJL2), and 80 feet for the 7, 5 percent slope (FL3).  The proportion of
lands which fall within each grade of slope (FA1, FA2,  FA3) are esti-
mated and a summation of the proportion for the three grades equals 1.
Because the Universal Soil Loss Equation provides data as tons/acre,
a factor (0. 00224) is used to convex
applies to the overall erosion rate.
a factor (0. 00224) is used to convert to g/cm ; the conversion factor
Thus,  for each general type of land within a basin an overall constant
(Z) is estimated:
          Z  = (R)(SK){C)(P)(0.00224)                           (23)
Then the erosion rate for each type of land (Al, A2, A3) in terms of
the length-slope relationship and the relative quantities of land having
a particular length-slope is  obtained:
                              160

-------
          Al  = (FA1)(FL,1)(Z)(0. 01044)
          A2  = (FA2)(FL,2)(Z)(0. 03025)                          (24)
          A3  = (FA3)(FL3)(Z)(0, 08954)

The overall erosion rate (ERATE) is the  sum of the above type-constant
erosion rates:

          ERATE  =  A1+A2+A3, g/cm2-yr                    (25)
The several phases of phosphorus contributions are calculated:  2. 5
percent of the soil is  assumed to be organic matter and thus 2. 5 percent
of the eroded material contains  organic phosphorus (A):
          A  = 0.025(ERATE),  g/cm2-yr                        (26)
The fraction of this organic material that is organic phosphorus is
estimated to be 0. 0056; thus,  organic phosphorus in runoff from agri-
cultural lands (ORP) is:
          ORP =  (A)(0. 0056),  gP/cm2.yr                      (27)
The remainder (97. 5  percent) of the eroded material contains  the inor-
ganic phosphorus tied up with soils:
          B  = ERATE - A, g/cm2-yr                           (28)
The inorganic phosphorus (XINP) is equal to the quantity of nonorganic
soil eroded times the solid-phase phosphorus per unit area of  15 cm
depth:
          XINP =  (B)(SLDPH/1,000, 000), g P/cm2.yr           (29)
Soluble phosphorus  is considered to be a  constant value per unit area
as long as sufficient solid-phase phosphorus is present in the soil; this
                              161

-------
 is usually the case for most cropped soils.   This constant value (DRA)
 is estimated to be 1.2 p.g P/cm «yr.
 Thus, the total phosphorus output from fertilized soils (cropland) is
 equal to the organic phosphorus in the eroded soil (ORP) plus the inor-
 ganic phosphorus in the eroded soil (XINP) plus the soluble orthophos-
 phate (DRA) runoff.  When the area of the  cropland  (FACRE) is considered,
 the total output (TOTP) from the basin can be calculated as follows:
           TOTP  = (ORP + XINP + DRA)(FACRE),  g P/cm2      (30)
Outputs from the individual sources are also determined.   The erosion
rate (ERATE, g/cm -yr) is also an output; i
to metric tons/ha-yr by multiplying by 100.
rate (ERATE, g/cm -yr) is also an output; it can be converted simply
MINOR POINT SOURCES

This  subroutine (IRRRF) is concerned with irrigation return flows;
although this is a rather minor point source input of phosphorus,  it is
included for completeness.  It becomes a point source through channeli-
zation, tail waters, and drain collection systems.  Because treatment
of irrigation return flows for other reasons (e. g. , salinity and nitrate
removal) may be necessary  (Brown, 1971),  it is also possible to remove
phosphorus, though this is usually a minimal part of the problems
associated with return flows.  Irrigation return flow phosphorus output
(RFOUT) is calculated as follows:
          RFOUT  =  (FLOW)(RFONC), g/cm2                    (31)
in which the quantity of irrigation return flow is FLOW, and the concen-
tration in the return flow is RFCONC  containing 20 (j.g/1 orthophosphate
                              162

-------
phosphorus (Biggar and Corey,  1969).

The next subroutine  (RIVR) is concerned with the possibility that a
river flowing into the basin of interest represents activities far removed
from that particular basin.   This subroutine merely calculates the
phosphorus input from that  river (RIVER) as a function of the phosphorus
concentration in the  river (RCONC) and  the mean annual flow of the river
(RFLO):
          RIVER  =  (RCONC)(RFLO)                             (32)
This is considered an uncontrollable phosphorus input to the surface
water of  interest.

CONTROLLABLE  POINT SOURCES

This first subroutine (DOWST) is a calculation of input of phosphorus
via waste products of human populations (DOUT).  DOUT is considered
a function of the human population (CAP), the grams of phosphorus
excreted per  year  by the average human (795. 6 g/yr, estimated from
Vollenweider, 1968), and a factor  (SFAC 2(1)) which relates the amount
of sewered to the total population:
          DOUT  =  (CAP)(795. 6)(SFAC 2(1))                      (33)
It is  assumed that garbage disposal wastes,  cooking water, etc. ,  can
contribute phosphorus but that  it is included in this total.   No attempt
has been made to estimate that contribution separately.  The  septic
tank portion of phosphorus (SEPD) is also estimated and it is  the non-
sewered  population.  As discussed further on, this quantity is considered
                              163

-------
as a "sink," i. e. ,  it does not enter the surface waters.  However, in
unsuitable soils, etc. ,  and when septic tanks fail as many do in their
lifetime,  phosphorus will enter the surface waters.

Also, a proportion (DFAC) of the sewered population directly discharges
into surface water  and this value (DOUTD) is calculated.   The amount of
sewered which goes to the treatment plant then is added into the domestic
sewage total value  discussed below.

The detergent subroutine (DTERG) is used twice, for domestic use
(denoted by (1)) and for industrial detergent use (denoted by (2)), because
of the method used for calculating  detergent phosphorus contributions.
First, washing products  were classified in four groups;  High phosphate
(HP) detergents, low phosphate (LP) detergents, no phosphate (NP)
detergents, and soaps (SO). In addition,  estimates of the fraction of
detergents used by the population were made for each particular classi-
fication of detergent (PHP, PL.P, PNP, PSO, respectively).  The mean
estimated phosphorus concentrations  (PL.BHP, PL.BJLP, PLBNP,
PLBSO,  respectively, P/g detergent) and the mean relative use of the
detergent (PHPPC,  PLPPC, PNPPC, PSOPC) was calculated for each
classification.   Then the  total detergent phosphorus  contribution (D) is
calculated by summing for each of the four classifications  the products
of (1) phosphorus concentration in the particular detergent; (2) detergent
phosphorus concentration; and (3) detergent use per  capita.  Then this is
multiplied by the population (CAP):
      D  = ((PHP) (PHPPC MPLBHP) + (PLP) (PLPPC) (PLBLP)
            + (PNP) (PNPPC )(PLBND) + (PSO)(PSOPC)(P:LBSO))
            (CAP)(SFAC)                                         (34)

                              164

-------
 This total is multiplied further by the septic tank factor (SFAC) des-
 cribed above in the human wastes subroutine.   The discharge of domestic
 detergent into septic tanks (a "sink"), direct discharge of detergent into
 the river, and discharge into the sewer system is based on the  same
 factors as for the human wastes subroutine.

 The industrial detergent and cleansers phosphorus use is based on the
 same method of detergent type classification,  concentration,  and uses.
 However, the population of industrial users has been determined in a
 different way.  This population is calculated based on the industrial
 consumptive use  of water and the total amount  of phosphorus used in
 detergent manufacture minus the amount of phosphorus utilized by the
 domestic population.  (It is estimated that  28 percent of the total phos-
 phorus in detergent manufacture is used industrially, )  This value is
 corrected to the population in the basin.  Further explanation of the
 industrial consumptive use of water and per capita relationships is
 contained in the subroutines  on other industrial use of phosphorus in the
 paragraph below.  Appropriate adjustments of the distribution for the
 discharge of industrial detergents to septic tanks, sewers,  or direct
 discharges are made in the subroutine for industrial detergent phos-
 phorus also.

 The next subroutine  (INDUST) is concerned with industrial usage of
 phosphorus excluding detergents and cleansers.  Several major types
 of phosphorus uses in industry are considered.

A common industrial use of phosphorus is in water softening.  This
use (DWSOUT) was estimated by multiplying the population (CAP)  by

                              165

-------
the output of phosphorus from this activity (DWSFL.O) and by a consump-
tion factor related to population (DMCONC) obtained for each particular
basin from data supplied by the Water Resources Council of the U. S.
(1968):

          DWSOUT  =  (DWSFL.O) (DMCONC) (CAP)                (35)

The Council has described 21 particular basins for which water uses
have been determined.   The  consumption factor  (DMCONC) was obtained
by assuming consumptive industrial use of water was related to the use
of water softening compounds (also of industrial detergents as described
and of miscellaneous phosphorus uses).  Then for each basin this  value
is divided by the total population of the basin.  The total use of water
softening compounds containing phosphorus can be estimated (Lewis,
1970).  It is estimated to be  38,000 tons per year; that value is unchanged
from 1958 because it is  estimated that although water softener use in
industry has increased,  nonphosphate products have represented the
increase in use.  This number is divided by the annual consumptive
use of water and multiplied by the consumptive use per capita for  each
of the 21 basins.

Another industrial output of phosphorus is a summation of many indus-
trial activities.   These are called miscellaneous  industrial phosphorus
output.  They are analyzed in the same way as for water softening.  A
calculated output (DMOUT) based on industrial consumptive use (DMFL.O)
is multiplied by the consumption factor (DMCONC) and population  (CAP)
of the basin:

          DMOUT = (DMFLO) (DMCONC) (CAP)                  (36)

                               166

-------
Metal finishing (pickling or metal etching) wastes often contain large



amounts of phosphates because of the use of phosphoric acid in this



process.   These are calculated on an estimated use of phosphoric acid



in this industry (DMTL).  It is best to actually determine this phosphorus



use for a particular basin.







Two specialized industrial outputs are from food wastes and from phos-



phorus mining activities.  Food wastes phosphorus are calculated as



coining from loss of food materials (DFWT) and are based on a loss



factor (DFUSE) of about 10 percent of the foods reaching the processor



and on a phosphorus concentration (DFCONC) of 1 percent in the food.



This output (DFOUT) is considered to be entirely organic phosphorus:






          DFOUT  =  (DFWT)(DFCONC)(DFUSE)                  (37)






Phosphorus mining activities  are fairly well controlled, primarily



because they are a point source and other pollutants associated with



output from these activities such as fluorides have attracted considerable



regulatory attention.  The output from these activities (DPMOUT) is



calculated as being the  concentration in the mining waste that enters



the surface water  (DPMIN) multiplied by the flow of wastewater or



spilled wastes (DPMFLO):






          DPMOUT =  (DPMIN) (DPMFLO)                        (38)






Generally, phosphorus mining companies are fairly careful with their



liquid wastes and usually these kinds of wastes meet standards  (which



may or may not be too permissive) or are released only under spill



type conditions.  Strict enforcement or higher standards for pond storage
                              167

-------
  building codes might prevent this kind of spill relationship and elimin-
ate this source of phosphorus.  These five outputs from the industrial
subroutine plus  industrial detergent use constitute the total phosphorus
output from industry.

The next subroutine (ANMAN) is output from animal wastes and merely
calculates the animal waste phosphorus based on a per capita output of
phosphorus on an annual basis and the population number for each of
four groups of animals.  The phosphorus output per animal is derived
from the data reviewed in Section V of this  report.  These values are
3,564 g/yr (PCOW) from typical cattle, 92.4 g P/yr (PCHIC) from
chickens,  888 g P/yr (PPIGS) from pigs, and 456 g P/yr (PSHEP) from
sheep and goats. Note that horses are included in the cattle output.
However, they are a small number (about 3  percent; Vollenweider,
1968) in comparison to the total cattle population.  Thus, the total
cattle output for a basin is merely the phosphorus  output times  the
number (COWS) of  cattle and horses and similarly for the other domestic
animals:

          GOUT =  (PCOW)(COWS)                              (39)

Animal waste treatment is based on the flow chart shown in Figure 20.
In this flow chart, there are various possible means of treatment con-
sidered.  The input variables and symbols for the various distributions
are shown in the flow chart.   The values of phosphorus output from a
particular animal group is calculated based  on the particular distribution
of treatment methods used in the basin. By substituting certain other
kinds of treatment one can obtain an estimate of the effect as related
to that particular treatment on phosphorus release into surface waters,

                             168

-------
                CWW U.I)
sO
                  TRT(l)
^_





t
CWW (1,2)
r*'
DUMP
. DURING
HIGH
FLOW


TRTf


U

1
CWW(I.J)
' f I
HATER
FLUSHING
1
HOLDING
TANK
1



CWW(1. 4)
i
HATER
FLUSHING

[
\
CWW (I. 5)
i
WATER
FLUSHING
i
AEROBIC
UNIT
TRT(3)
1




T«T(4I

SOURCE
OF
•WNUHE
T
cww a, 6)
r
IN HOUSE
OXIDATION
UNIT ON
SLATTED
FLOOR
,
ANEROBIC
UNIT
•
-
AEROBIC
UNIT

1

£RT<

t
HOLDING
UNIT
5) 1
ri-x(i)
RECEIVING
NATER
RECW
t


>







CWWU. 7) CWW(1, 8)
r i
IN HOUSE
HOLDING
UNIT

TRT(7)
TRT(6)
1 1

RZ



t





M
< 1
1 1
XII)
LAND
DISPOSAL
XJJHSP

\


SEPARATION
OF SOURCE

SEPARATION
1CCNTRIFUGATION
DLIOS LIQUIDS
BS

o. 1
AEROBIC
UNIT
AAU .
r


1




CWW (1.9)
DRV ING



CWW (I, 10)
1
INCINERATION
Sl.Dol f
SOL




4 	 RAINFALL


1

IDS



FEU
FOR
RUM
XL
1

)
HANTS
1

t

RLS

CWW(1, 11)
COMCOSTIH6
,


XLCH
LEACHATt
	 j

f
AEROBIC
TREATMENT


AT


                                                                 Figure ID.  Treatment method! lh»t h»ve been tpplied to animal manures jnd leedlut runoif.

-------
The subroutine asks certain questions about the different treatments and
then calculates "whether the treatment results in land disposal or disposal
directly to receiving waters.  The model calculates the amount disposed
on the land (XLDISP) and then calculates the amount disposed into
receiving water by summing the direct discharge into receiving water
(RECW) with the amount disposed on land multiplied by a factor (RZ)
of 0. 05 (estimated by Vollenweider,  1968) for each particular group of
animals.  Biggar and Corey (1969) estimate a loss of about 5 percent of
                                      i
applied manure to frozen ground in the Lake Mendota drainage  system,
so Vollenweider's value represents an upper limit.  This results in a
final  summation for each kind of animal (ANOUT for cattle, chickens,
pigs, and sheep) for the amount of phosphorus entering the surface
water:

          ANOUT  = ((RECW) + (RZ)(XLDISP))RJAN             (40)

The fraction of animal waste phosphorus considered available for algal
growth (RJAN) was estimated as 0. 5.

MODEL REPRESENTING PHOSPHORUS
REMOVAL PROCESSES

Subroutine TREAT (see Appendix C for details) has been developed to
represent the sewage treatment plant component of the Phosphorus
Mass Flow Model.  From a set of alternatives, the subroutine  selects
the least cost system which will provide adequate phosphorus removal.
                              170

-------
Following are descriptions of the terms used in the subroutine:

                           Input Terms


        P: phosphorus concentration in the influent stream (mg/1)

        Q: flow on influent stream

  NTYPE: the total number of treatment process alternatives to be
           considered (integer)

ITYPE (I): identification number of Ith individual treatment system
           alternative to be considered (integer)

  POMAX: maximum allowable phosphorus concentration in the
           effluent stream (mg/1)

                           Output Terms

  ITYPES: identification number of the least cost treatment system
           required to provide an effluent concentration of POMAX
           (integer)
                a.   if no treatment is required, ITYPES = 17 to
                    flag the main program
                b.   if degree of treatment required cannot be pro-
                    vided by any of the system alternatives,  ITYPES
                    = 16 to flag the main program

       PO: phosphorus concentration in the effluent from system
           ITYPES (mg/1)
    COST: cost of treatment system ITYPES ($/year)

                          Internal Terms

    QMQD: flow of influent stream in mgd
    QMGY: flow of influent stream in million gallons per year

XGOST (I): cost of providing treatment by ITYPE (I)  ($/year)

  XPO (I): phosphorus concentration in effluent from ITYPE (I)
           (mg/1)
         I: index of current system alternatives (integer)
                              171

-------
  PMIN1-
  PMIN10: minimum phosphorus concentration obtainable in effluent
           from current system (mg/1)
    ITEST: indicator to flag situation where degree of treatment
           required cannot be provided by any of the systems
           alternatives  (integer)
A flow diagram of the subroutine is shown in Figure 21.  Values for
P, Q,  NTYPE, and POMAX are input from the main program.  If the
influent phosphorus concentration (P)  is less than the maximum allow-
able (POMAX)  in the effluent, no treatment is  required; ITYPES is
set equal to 17 and control is  returned to the main program.  Other-
wise all of the  alternatives  systems are checked one by one to deter-
mine:  (1) If the system currently being considered can provide adequate
treatment (i. e. ,  is a feasible process); (2) the cost of providing this
treatment XCOST (I); and (3) the effluent phosphorus concentrations
from this system, XPO (I).  The annual cost of each feasible system is
checked against the annual cost of the previous feasible system and the
minimum is retained as COST.  After all alternatives have been con-
sidered, values for ITYPES,  PO, and COST are returned to the main
program.  If no feasible system exists, ITYPES is set equal to 16.

TREATMENT SYSTEM ALTERNATIVES

Figure 22 is  a  schematic diagram showing the unit processes associated
with common phosphorus removal systems.  Because all of the possible.
combinations of unit processes depicted in the figure do not represent
practical treatment systems and because some practical combinations
have similar removal and cost characteristics, selected unit processes
                              172

-------
           INPUT: P,Q, NTYPE.ITYPE
                    POMAX
                 CAN SYSTEM
               ITYPE(I) PROVIDE
                EQUIRED REMO
                     VAL?
             FOR SYSTEM ITYPE(I)
             CALCULATE: XCOST(I)
            S XCOST(I) THE LOWES
               CALCULATED SO
                     FAR?
                                            COST =
                                            XCOST(I)
                  20 CONTINUE
               CAN ADEQUAT
                REMOVAL BE
                CCOMPLISHED?
                                         WRITE INFORMA
                                         TION
                                         STATEMENT
                                         PO = P
                                         ITYPES  =  16
                RETURN VALUES
             FOR: ITYPES.PO, COST
                     I
                C   END     J
Figure 21.  Flow diagram for subroutine TREAT.
                       173

-------
        -PRIMARY TREATMENT*
 PRODUCT  WATER  STREAM
	SECONDARY TREATMENT	
                                                                              -TERTIARY TREATMENT
           SEDIMENTATION
             MOVING BED
               FILTER
               SLUDGE
                 I
         SUPERNATANT
                                               t . I
 TRICKLING
   FILTER
 ACTIVATED
   SLUDGE
                            8
                                                       SEDIMENTATION
i!
                                                           SLUDGE
MIXED MEDIA
 FILTRATION
                 EXCHANGE
                                                 REVERSE   I
                                                 OSMOSIS   I
                                              ^SEDIMENTATION!
   SLUDGE
                                                                        TO
                                                                                                   EXPENDED
                                                                                                    CARBON
                                  WASTEWATER—F1LTER BACKWASH (lo)
                                   INFLUENT
                                  SLUDGE
                                  CONDITIONING
                                                       ^RECYCLE
                                                       "PORTION
                                                                                    SLUDGE (13)

                                                                                    BRINE (11,12)
                                                                        FINAL
                                                                      "DISPOSAL

                                                                       REJUVENATE
                                                                      *    AND
                                                                         RECYCLE
                                            OCEAN DISPOSAL
                                            DEEP WELL INJECTION
                                            OTHER
                                             DIGESTION
                                FINAL
                               DISPOSAL
                                             CHEMICAL
                                             RECOVERY
                          RECYCLE
                         CHEMICALS
Figure 22.  Schematic diagram showing unit processes associated with common phosphorus removal systems.

-------
have been grouped into four process systems which represent the
general range of removal efficiencies and costs.  The four treatment
systems which have been selected for the example  runs are as follows:
      1.   Chemical coagulation at an existing activated sludge plant.
          No additional clarification or sludge handling costs are
          included.
      2.   Tertiary chemical coagulation of secondary effluent.
      3.   Selective ion exchange.  Not including lime disposal.
      4.   Reverse  osmosis.  Not including lime disposal.

Costs and removal  efficiencies have been taken from data reported in
the literature.   Because of the wide variability in the data, depending
on the location of the facility and the characteristics  of the wastewater,
the removal levels  and cost functions developed in this section are
intended only to represent the relative ranges of the systems. For
example, phosphorus residuals in the range of about  2 to 0. 5 mg/1 may
be reasonable levels to expect in effluent from chemical coagulation in
secondary treatment plants and 0. 5 to 0. 1  mg/1 have been reported for
tertiary coagulation followed by mixed media filtration (Jenkins et al. ,
1971; Gulp and Gulp,  1971).   In order to represent a  "typical" plant
for the model,  the minimum phosphorus level which could be consistently
maintained for processes 1 and 2 was set at 1. 0 mg/1.  All costs  have
been adjusted to the 1971  ENR Construction Index (base year  1967 =
100).  A capital recovery factor of 0. 08 was used in the calculations.

1.    Chemical coagulation at an existing activated sludge plant.  (Zenz
      and Pivnicka,  1969; EPA,  1971e;  Jenkins  et al. ,  1971; Directo
      et al. ,  1972)   Functions  are based on precipitation with Fe (III).
                              175

-------
      a.   Unit process combinations (from Figure 22):


          2,4,5,7,8;  2,4,6,7,8; 2,4,5,8;  2,4,6,8;


          2,5,7,8;  2,6,7,8


      b.   Minimum concentration which can be obtained by the


          process  =  1.0 mg/1


      c.   Maximum possible removal 95 percent


      d.   Chemical cost ($ ) dollars per year (Figure 23):
                          \^
     =  1.0                        0% < removal <  74%



Fe     (% removal) - 62.0
—  =  — -     -
                                                          ,

                        1257                    <  removal



          $_  = 2. 251*P*QMGY*£f-)
           v->                      F


      e.   Chemical storage and labor ($  ) dollars per year:
                                      J_i


           X  = 73. 2*(   )*P*QMGD (Ibs feed/day)
          $_  = 5600;                                    0 <  X < 1000
           i_i

                             0 5935
          $_  = 4800 + 33. 6 X       ;                  1000 <  X < 6000
           LJ



          $T  = 2.065X°'6?92 + 33. 62 X°*5935;       6000 <  X
           Ju


     f.   Total cost per year:


          $/year  =  $  + $
2.     Tertiary chemical coagulation of secondary effluent.  (Convery,


      1970; EPA, 1971a)


      a.   Unit process  combinations (from Figure 21):


          9,13


      b.   Minimum concentration which can be obtained by the process


          =  1.0 mg/1




                             176

-------
-J
-g
                100
              a)
              >
              O

              g
              4)
              PC;
                 80
                 60
                            (Directo et al. ,  1972)
I
I
                                          1.5         2.0         2.5

                                              Molar Ratio Fe/P
                                 3.0
                 Figure 23.  Percent phosphorus removal vs. applied molar ratio Fe/P.

-------
      c.   Maximum possible removal =  95%
      d.   Capital costs ($   ) dollars per year (Figure 24):
                         cap
          $    =  13,600mgd0'856
           cap
      e.   Chemical and operating costs:
          Same as Process No. 1
      f.   Total cost in dollars per year  = $    + $  + $
                                           cap    \j    J_i

3.     Selective ion exchange.  (EPA,  I970a; EPA,  1971d; Bishop et al. ,
      1972)
      a.   Unit process combinations (from Figure 21):
          11
      b.   Minimum concentration which can be obtained by the
          process  = 0. 5 mg/1
      c.   Maximum possible removal =  98%
      d.   Capital costs ($   ) dollars per year (EPA, 197 Id):
          QADJ  =  QMGD                        0 < P-PMAX <  10
          QADJ  =  QMGD*(P"P^AX)            10 < P-PMAX

          $    = 19, 832 QADJ0'920
           cap
      e.   Chemical and operating and maintenance costs (Figure 25)
          in dollars per year:
          $   =  [0. 18 QADJ"°* 3815  -1- 0. 09 QADJ"°* 2245]*QMGY*1000
      f.   Total cost in dollars per year =  $    f $T
                                           cap    Li
                              178

-------
 100




  80





  60








  40
  20
Q

0
8 10
P.
                                                         X (EPA.  1971a)



                                                         O (Convery, 1970)
                                      6    8   10     (


                                 Capital Cost {$) x 10
12
14
16    18
      Figure 24.  Capital costs for  tertiary chemical coagulation.
                                             179

-------
 100


  80
  60   -
  40   —
  20  —
a
a
n)
a  B
at  8
0
   6  -
   4  -
   2  -
  P = 10 mg/1


O(EPA, 1970a)
                                .1                         -2
                                    Cost $/1000 Gal
         Figure 25. Selective ion exchange.
                                            180

-------
4.    Reverse osmosis.   (Besik, 1971; Dodson,  1971; Dryden,  1969;
     EPA,  1970d; Kerr,  1971)
     a.   Unit process combination (from Figure 21):
          12
     b.   Minimum concentration which can be obtained by the
          process =  0. 05 mg/1
     c.   Maximum possible removal  =  99%
     d.   Flow recovery  =  85%
     e.   Blending:
          QADJ =  QMGD(P--8*POMAX)
          in which QADJ  =  amount of flow to be treated
     f.   Total cost in dollars per year (Figures 26 and 27):
          $  = 0.705 - 0.243 log   QADJ         TDS =  1500 to 5000
          $  > 0. 30
          $  =  1.05 QADJ~°'3132                TDS =  35,000
          $  > 0.25

DISTRIBUTION OF SEWERED AND UNSEWERED POINT
SOURCE PHOSPHORUS ACTIVITIES AND  THEIR
TREATMENT AND COSTS

After calculation of all the subroutine phosphorus-using activities and
their outputs, further distributions as to direct discharge and/or treat-
ment in-plant or treatment at a municipal treatment plant is evaluated
(see Figure  13, Section V, showing distributions).  These calculations
are performed in the main program (Appendix C).
                              181

-------
 100

  80

  60


  40
  ZO
  10

   8
 o
 *
O
 1

.8

.6 -


.4 -
  .2 _
                             Municipa I
                             TDS 1500-5000
          X  (EPA,  1970d)

          A  (Dryden, 1969)

          O  (Kerr.  1972)
    .20       .30        .40        .50       .60
                                 $/1000 Gal
                                                       .70
.80
  Figure 26.  Total costs for reverse osmosis treatment of municipal effluent.
                                         182

-------
      10
      8

   _  6



   -  4
   -  2
8
o
ri
&
ri
U
      1.0

      .8
-  .6
      .4


       X  (EPA, 1970d)
   -  .,2
                                     Industrial
                                     TDS =  35,000
             .2
                    .4     .6  .8  1.0
                              $/1000 gal
6   10
   Figure 27.   Total costs for reverse  osmosis treatment of industrial
                effluent.
                                   183

-------
First, urban runoff (UOUT) is distributed to direct discharge or to the
domestic treatment plant (SURB) if combined sewers are in use; no
provision for overflow of combined sewers is made as this factor is
considered in the apportionment between direct discharge and sewering.
Phosphorus from industrial and domestic wastes which would overflow
from combined sewer overflow are not included in this output because of
the complexity of the interrelationships, even though such material
can be significant as in Lake  Erie  (Federal Water Pollution Control
Administration,  1963).  Also, it is anticipated that problems with com-
bined sewer overflow will be  eliminated by EPA enforcement actions.
A simple factor indicating the proportion of sewered to total urban
runoff is used (FAC1).  Thus, unsewered urban waste (USURB) goes
directly into the  surface water.

Next, the outputs of the industrial  waste from detergent use,  water
softening use and miscellaneous industrial phosphorus uses are distributed.
The  sum of these outputs (DON)  is  multiplied by a factor (FAC2) reflecting
the sewered portion (SIND).   The sewered portion is  subtracted from the
total to provide the unsewered material (USIND), discharged directly
into the surface water; the sewered portion goes into the municipal
treatment plant.

Analysis of metal finishing wastes  is performed as follows: First, a
portion may have the possibility of in-plant treatment.   The fraction
which is not treated (WALK) is determined by subtracting the total
metal finishing waste minus the  total output of metal finishing wastes
multiplied by a factor (FAC3).  The remaining  material (BOB) is
apportioned to in-plant treatment (subroutine TREAT).   The concentration

                               184

-------
(CON1) is calculated by dividing the remaining material (BOB) by a flow
value (FLiOl) which is input data.   Then a treatment level is ascribed
and in the usual case  80 percent (TT1) removal is required which means
that the effluent concentration of phosphorus (POM) from treatment
must be 0. 2 times the concentration of phosphorus in the influent.  Then
the treatment subroutine (TREAT) is called.   The output from the treat-
ment subroutine (PDS1) in g P/yr is then added to the material which is
not treated (POR =  WALK + PDS1).   Also, a portion of this effluent
can be discharged directly to surface  water (UPOR)  so  a sewered portion
(SPOR) is obtained by multiplying by a factor (FAC4); these outputs are
distributed to direct discharge or to the municipal treatment plant.

Food wastes are treated similarly to metal finishing wastes,  i. e.,
there is in-plant (BILL) and no treatment  (GREN) distributed using a
factor (FAC5);  The concentration  (CON2) is calculated by dividing the
in-plant portion by flow input data (FLO2); a level of treatment (TT2)
required to produce an effluent of a desired phosphorus concentration
(POM) is defined; the output from treatment (PDS2) plus the amount not
treated in-plant is totaled (CEL) and distributed (1) to the municipal
treatment plant (SCEL) by multiplying by a factor (FAC6) and (2) to
direct discharge (UCEL) by difference.  The output from in-plant
treatment of food wastes is considered to  be essentially zero  because
such wastes are biologically treated and require phosphorus additions
to make up for  the wastes being phosphorus deficient for microbial
metabolism.

The amount of phosphorus  entering the municipal treatment plant
(DOMIN) is the sum of human wastes output (DOUT), domestic detergent
                              185

-------
use (DTOUT), urban runoff in combined sewers  (SURE), industrial
use of detergents, water softeners, and miscellaneous uses which enter
the sewer system (SIND), and the amount of phosphorus entering sewers
from metal finishing (SPOR) and food wastes (SCEL).  To determine
treatment levels and costs this total (DOMIN) is divided by the flow
(FLO6)  of all the individual inputs to determine concentration (CON3).
This flow is  obtained by summing the input flows from metals and food
wastes which directly enter sewage ((FL,O1)(FAC4), (FL,O2)(FAC6)) and
the following calculated flows:  (1) The domestic flow (FL.O3) is based on
the product of population (CAP),  mean population use of water  (100 gal/
cap-day), and the proportion of sewered population (SFAC); (2) urban
runoff flow (FLO4) is based on runoff as calculated from the urban run-
off subroutine, i. e. , urban acreage (UACRE) times precipitation rate
(PRATE) times the runoff factor (UFAC) times the portion entering the
sewer (FAC1) times a conversion factor to liters (0. 001); (3) the output
from the grouped industrial wastes (FLO5) is considered a function of
industrial consumptive  use and is calculated by multiplying the population
by the factor related to consumptive use for the particular basin (BASF)
and the  factor related to discharge into the sewer  (FAC2).

The program then apportions the total flow (FLO6) at a level of phos-
phorus removal (TT3),  0,  25, 80,  95,  or 99 percent removal,  to the
various treatment plants in the basin (1,N treatment plants) using a
series of factors (FFAC(l), FFAC(N)).  Thus,  the treatment costs
($/year) and methods are determined according to whether the basin
treats the sewage at a single site (to obtain economy of scale) or at
many sites.  The output (TPMIN) is a summation of all the phsophorus
                               186

-------
from all the treatment plants.  A separate listing of each treatment
plant is included specifying the flow (I/year), the influent concentration
(mg/1),  the effluent concentration (mg/1),  actual percent P removed,
and the cost ($/year).  Also, the values for flow and cost are totaled for
the year.

Wastes from phosphorus mining plants are treated similarly to the
other industrial wastes except that entering the municipal treatment
scheme is not provided.  Direct discharge before treatment can occur
using a proportion (FAC7)  of the total output fr,om phosphorus mining
(DPMOUT) as going to the  TREAT subroutine (SMIN) and the remainder
(UMIN) as direct discharge.  The phosphorus concentration entering
TREAT (CON4) would be equal to the proportion treated (SMIN) divided
by an input flow value (FLO7).  The phosphorus effluent from treatment
is then PDS4.

SUMMATION OF PHOSPHORUS ENTERING
SURFACE WATERS

The activities previously described all produce phosphorus of various
forms which enter surface waters.  These forms are not all equally
available to plant growth and thus are not  all of equal importance in their
role in causing eutrophication.  Also, not all of the activities which
produce phosphorus actually result in additions to the surface water of
interest.  Consequently, several totals are calculated (refer to Figure
18).  First, the total for all the phosphorus producing activities is
calculated; this total (TOTAL,) is the sum  of the pesticide output, the
strip mines and tailings runoff, total watershed runoff, the fertilized
                              187

-------
agricultural output, the irrigation return flow output,  the output from
the four animal groups after treatment, domestic waste output, the
domestic detergent use output,  the industrial wastes output, the solid
waste and urban runoff, phosphorus mining output, direct rainfall on
the surface water,  whatever river inflow enters the system, and direct
release of domestic detergent and human phosphorus outputs.  This,
then, is the total of all the activities producing phosphorus  in the system.

The next total (EFFP) represents  the actual amount which is likely to
enter the surface water of interest and is composed of the pesticide,
strip mine and tailings runoff,  total watershed runoff, fertilized agri-
cultural runoff, irrigation return flow,  outputs from the four animal
groups after treatment, solid wastes, the unsewered urban runoff,
unsewered industrial wastes from detergent, miscellaneous,  and water
softening uses,  and unsewered  portions of metal finishing wastes and
food wastes, plus the output from  the municipal treatment plant,  the
direct rainfall on the water, the untreated mine wastes entering the
water, and its unsewered portion plus the river inputs and whatever
direct discharges of domestic human  and detergent uses which occur.

Because not all of this total is actually considered available to growth
of organisms, a further breakdown, called available effluent phosphorus
(AEFFP),  is totaled.  A crude  estimation of whether or not the material
in question is  in the insoluble inorganic or organic form is  made to com-
pose this total.  Thus,  the available phosphorus for plant growth is
considered to be the total of the runoff from strip mines and tailings,
the inorganic phosphorus portion from the fertilized agriculture output,
irrigation return flow,  total watershed runoff,  a percentage (RJAN) of

                               188

-------
the total of the animal wastes which enter the surface waters (usually
50 percent),  solid wastes runoff, plus direct rainfall onto the surface
waters plus the treatment plant effluent (all of which is considered
available), the unsewered urban runoff and the unsewered portions of
industrial and phosphorus mining activities,  one half of the total material
entering through any influent river  (RAFO), and the unsewered direct
discharge of domestic human and detergent phosphorus.  These totals
represent the areas of interest in regard to minimizing eutrophication.
One important point concerning direct discharge of industrial wastes,
runoff from mining, and other possibly toxic materials is that cessation
of their discharge may remove a toxic factor  suppressing algal growth.
Such discharges have a double-edged  effect:  (1) Discharge of phosphorus
may be unimportant because of toxicity; and (2) cessation of discharge
may increase productivity because  of removal of toxic materials.

OUTPUT FROM THE PROGRAM

The output from all of the different activities as described above and
the miscellaneous totals and subtotals which are of interest are all
printed on a single page (the multiple  treatment plant information  as
described above is listed on a  second  page) and are listed in Table 35;
first,  each activity is named and then the quantities of phosphorus:
Column 2 lists the amount of phosphorus actually generated in g/year,
and then in fractions of the  three different totals enumerated just above;
the third column is the fraction of TOTAL; the fourth column is the
fraction of the material actually entering the surface water (EFFP); and
the fifth column is the fraction of material which is assumed to be
available (AEFFP).
                              189

-------
vD
O
            Table 35.  REPRESENTATIVE EXAMPLE OF PROGRAM OUTPUT SHOWING PHOSPHORUS ACTIVITY ANALYSIS,  MASS FLOW AND

                                                             RELATIVE EUTROPHICATION
                            « L « H
            STH1P
                       KAfF
               1NUKU rHUSPHURuS
            IHH KCruAri FLUN I*
            SULII) N»5IE OUT
            NAT ULV KuNuFr
               M»(UHAL HUKQFF
               HAH. FoH
               liKAZtNu KUNOFF
            RAINFALL
OUri UIKLCt Ul»CrlAK6L
OUH Otl UIRICI OJiCrt
SEMtrttU UuMCSTtC
SEM OUH. uEI f
URBAN RUNuFF
INO ULlCK OUT
HISC P UUI
MATCR SOFICNtne
HtTAL FIi4 OUT
roan NAsrt. uui
NIN1N& f JUT
HUN TNtAT INFLUt^l
INO otl * utHtu  Ii.J
CUri HANUKt UUI
CHICK HA4uKi. UUI
PIG MANUHL UUI
SHEtf MANURE (JUT
IN-PLAHT IRf MEIALS
JN-CLANT IRf fOJJi
UNT^EATtl) TOTAL

CUH AKTEH TNCAT
CHICK AFTtR TKEAT
Plti AHEH TKEAT
SHtLf AFTtK rrtTAf
UNStHtH UnR.
UNSEHtK t,(0«
ONfHEAIED HLTALS
UNTHCArCO FUOUS
THE«T KLH..T Etr
THLAT f MjNINu tFI-
UNTKEATCO HiNINU
TMtuftu TuTAL
AVAIL  TR

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                           TufAL
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0,00
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2062109760,00
1373625000,00
916500000.00
12000000.00
14701/0.00
O.UO
1274106S10<..72
1166661760, UO
123808000.00
162624004. 00
6393600(1,00
35978400.00
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1*7000. v!)
27107913940,7?
26905903.60
40725113. 20
5337B30.00
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£l?73^73BOtGO
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-------
 The sixth column is an accumulation of the annual output which is
 summed over a period of 12 years (or any other number).  Although
 only the twelfth year is usually printed, this format allows monthly
 increments and yearly or greater increments if such information is
 desired.  Not all accumulation will be equal to  12 times the annual
 phosphorus production by a given activity because some change with
 time (e. g. , the fertilizer subroutine).  Also, population,  areas of
 activities, and annual precipitation rate can easily be programmed to
 change with time but are not in this particular program.   The next two
 columns refer to the treatment subroutine (TREAT).  The first of
 these  columns tells whether the treatment is unnecessary (NO TRT),
 whether no process will produce the desired level of treatment (NO PRO),
 or if treatment does occur, which of the three particular processes
 which result  in the desired level of phosphorus  removal.  This column
 is blank for municipal treatment plant effluent because of the separate
 listing for possible multiple treatment plants.   It is in the separate
 listing that the specified process for each plant is listed (Table D-5,
 D-6, and D-7, Appendix D).  Then the second of the columns lists the
 costs  of such treatment in dollars/year.

 The last calculation made in Table 35 is the  evaluation of  eutrophication
in terms of the phosphorus loading rate, g/m • yr.  It is  calculated
 (1) by dividing total input to surface waters  (EFFP) and the available
fraction (AEFFP) in g P/yr by the surface area of the receiving water
body (RWA'CRE) to obtain loading,  and (2) solving for "relative eutro-
phication11 as a fraction of loading for lakes of differing mean depth
 (Figure  11).  Arbitrary numerical values for eutrophication have been
assigned as follows:

                              191

-------
      Lake Class                            Relative Value
      Eutrophic                                  > 10
      Mesotrophic                                5-10
      Oligotrophic                                < 5

The numbers represent a very empirical derivation (Vollenweider,
1968) and give no estimate of the functional relationship between
different levels of bio stimulation, i. e. , the comparison of eutrophic
to oligotrophic may indicate a linear, logarithmic, geometric, etc. ,
progression of effects in relation to loading.  However, if one assumes
plug flow (no mixing), a residence time of one year to calculate the
inflow (i. e. , the treated total entering the lake, EFFP), and the appro-
priate mean depth with the area of the lake to calculate the volume, the
mean concentration can be estimated (assuming phosphorus behaves
conservatively--is not removed); it is the relative eutrophication value.
For  example, in Table 35 for the 50 m lake,  the mean concentration of
total phosphorus would be  20. 8593 ng/1 as P  and for available phosphorus
15.2984 p.g/1 as P.

CASE STUDIES

Initially, a hypothetical lake and basin were constructed to test the
computer model.   The data for this lake were selected to ensure that
(1) the basin contained most of the pertinent activities shown in Figure
13; (2) the lake would be very eutrophic so that many strategies could
be applied to the basin; and (3) the system would utilize many numbers
and data which would be common to most  systems.  This  last point was
done to simplify data requirements for application to actual lake systems.

                              192

-------
A summary of the important variable parameters for the three systems
utilized in the program lists the values of the parameters and the source
of the estimates (Table 36).  A complete listing of input values is in
Appendix D.
                              193

-------
   Table 36.  IMPORTANT VARIABLE PARAMETERS IN PHOSPHORUS INPUT TO SURFACE WATERS

                    PROGRAM (COMPLETES INPUTS  LISTED IN APPENDIX D)
Mnemonic of
Parameter
PRATE
FAC1
FAC2
FAC3
FAC4
FAC5
FAC6
FAC7
FERT(I)
FLOW(±)
SLFPH
FACRE
CAP.

DMCONC
DPMIN
SACRE
UACRE
XNACRE
XDACRE
RWACRE
WACRE
XFACRE
GACRE
RFLO
RCONC
R
P
FA1
FA 2
FA 3
References
Values of Parameters
Units
cm/yr
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
Kg/ha.yr
l/yr
ppm
2
cm
number

MGD/cap.
g/m
2
cm
2
cm
2
cm
2
cm
2
cm
2
cm
2
cm
2
cm
l/yr
gA
NAa
NA
ratio
ratio
ratio

Hypothetical
50
1.0
0.5
0
1.0
0
1.0
1.0
40
0.78 x 109
500
0. 12 x 1014
0.5 x 106
f
0.1 x 10
2.0
0.5xl010
0.25 x 1013
0. 6x 1014
0.5 x 1012
0.127 x 1013
0.177 x 1013
0.904x 1012
0.13 x 1013
0
0
50
1.0
0.6
0.35
0.05

Lake Michigan
79
0.943
0.06
0
0.943
0
0.943
0
10
0
500
0.322 x 1014
0. 36 x 10?
.5
0.71 x 10
0
0.36x 1010
0. 17 x 1014
0. 66 x 1015
0. 64 x 1014
0. 578 x 1015
0.578 x 1015
0
0.128 x 1015
0
0
100
0.5
0.8
0.2
0

Lake Erie
86
0.9
0.86
0
0.943
0
0.943
0
10
0
500
0. 622 x 1014
0.125 x 108
-5
0. 71 x 10
0
0.125 x 1011
0. 304 x 1014
0.4 x 1015
0. 32xl014
0. 257 x 1015
0. 257 x 1015
0
0. 639 x 1014
0. 167 x 1015
0. 198 x 10"4
100
0.5
0.8
0.2
0

Source of Data
Hypothetical
1
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4

1
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
7
7
4
4
4

Michigan
1
2
2
4
Z
4
2
4
4
4
4
1
1,5

1
4
6
6
1
6
1
1
1
1
4
4
7
7
4
4
4-

Erie
1
3
3
4
3
4
2
4
4
4
4
1
3

1
4
6
6
1
6
1
1
1
1
3
3
7
7
4
4
4

1.  Water Resources Council (1968);  2.  Lee (1972); 3. Federal Water Pollution Control Agency (1968);
4.  Estimated based on judgement of project staff;  5. U.S.  Department of Commerce (1972);
6.  Based on population estimate;  7.  Based on Wischmeier (1968).
                                                    194

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                          SECTION VII
                  MANAGEMENT TACTICS FOR
                  CONTROLLING PHOSPHORUS

DEFINITION OF CONTROL TACTICS

Management tactics refer to the range of methods and techniques which
could be applied in controlling phosphorus inputs to surface waters.
Strategies are combinations  or sets of tactics used  in a coordinated
manner for basin-wide management.  The purpose of this section of
the report is to identify and describe potential control tactics for con-
trolling phosphate flows from the  major sources described in Sections
V and VI.  In Section VIII these tactics are integrated into overall
strategies for testing and application in case  studies of hypothetical
and actual river basin systems.

To structure the phosphate flow model and to facilitate the development
and analysis of management  strategies, the sources of phosphorus  to
surface waters are grouped according to the following major activity
systems:
      1.   Nonbasin
      2.   Agriculture
      3.   Urban and rural watersheds
                              195

-------
      4.  Domestic
      5.  Industrial
      6.  Mining
      7.  Animal production

Likewise, the tactics or methods of control are grouped according to
the following classifications:
      1.  Supply and demand as applied to consumer habits and
          production activities
      2.  Resource control: Mining and manufacturing
      3.  Management of phosphate use
      4.  Management of phosphate discharges
      5.  Judicial controls
      6.  Wastewater treatment
      7.  Lake renovation

As an overview, the matrix in Figure 28 illustrates the general relation-
ship between phosphorus sources and the control tactics available.  An
"X" in the matrix indicates  that the group of controls is generally
applicable to the activity source.  The problem of developing manage-
ment strategies, viewed in the  context of the matrix, amounts to formu-
lating a coordinated set of specific controls from the available tactics
to be used in reducing phosphate discharges from the activity systems.
Procedures for  examining the combination of controls in order to identify
the overall best strategy are treated in Section VIII.

Looking more specifically at the phosphate sources within each activity
system, the flow diagram of Figure  29 illustrates for which sources the
                              196

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                                                                     D
G




. methods generally
;ivity source







Strategic Concept of Controls
and Phosphorus Generating
Activities
1. Natural Processes
2. Agriculture
3. Urban/Rural Watersheds
4. Domestic
5. Industrial
6. Mining
7. Animal Production






"8
rt


q

c
a)

cn

X
X
X
X
X
X

'wi
ti
•H

0
CQ "-i-j
O fi
^ S
c cl
0 p
u ^
n
0) d
3 2s
o ri
M .H
W rj
rt •=.




X
X





w
CQ
D
PH
r, .
O
•JJ
ti
E
0)
60
3
rt
2

X
X
X
X

X
en
bo
h
rt
XI
u
CQ
• r-l
Q
A
<+-(
o
^>
ti
s
anage
s

X
X
X
X
X
X







CQ
1— 1
o
f-{
^
o
O
rt
•H
y
•H
T>
^S
H^

X
X
X
X
X
X




fl
OJ
1
0}
(11

FH

^i
4)
"rt
^

+J
CQ
rt
^
X
X
X
X
X
X
X







a
0
• r-t
d
;>
o
cl
Pi
^
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Figure 28.  Applicable control methods for phosphorus generating activities.

-------
 ining   ^
Mining
Animal
Productio
                        DIRECT RAINFALL
                        RIVER INFLOW
                        AGRICULTURAL
                        IRRIGATION RETURN FLOW
                        PESTICIDES
                        SOLID WASTE DISPOSAL
                        MANAGED FORESTS
                        GRA/ED WATERSHED
                        DEVELOPED WATERSHED
                        NATURAL WATERSHED
                        URBAN RUNOFF
                        DOMES~1C WASTES
                        DOMESTIC DETERGEMT5
                        INDUSTRIAL DETERGENTS
                        WATEP- SOFTEN1NQ
                        MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRIAL USE
                         METAL FINISHING
                         FOOD WASTES
P MINING
MINING RUNOFF
~l
J
1
|
                         POULTRY
I                                                            Subroutine in tile Input
                                                            Program (Section V.I)    |
    Figure  29.  Control points  siiperimposed on the phosphorus  activity
                  analysis showing the major application points  for pertinent
                  control tactics (see  Table 37).
                                             198

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general categories of control methods are applicable.  Figure 28
emphasizes that the point at which controls are applied is also an
important element of strategy.  Table 37 provides a detailed breakdown
of the options available within each class of control tactics.  These
approaches include both technological and management (economic, legal,
social,  and educational) possibilities.

Using Table 37 as an outline, the function, operation,  and implementa-
tion of various methods  and techniques for control are discussed in this
section.  The flow diagram for  each phosphate mobilizing activity
(Figures 30 to 34) illustrates where the full range of possible control
tactics could be applied  in the system.  To the left of the dotted line,
the boxes in each flow diagram  illustrate the human wants giving rise
to the demand for  and supply of phosphorus products; to  the right of the
line are the physical processes by which the phosphorus then finds its
way into receiving waters.  On  the  arrows connecting the boxes in
Figures 30 to 34 are listed the possible controls  (keyed to the listing
in the outline of Table 37) which might be applied to reduce phosphate
flows at that point.  Examinations of the diagrams reveal the large
number of possible combinations  of methods  and points of intervention
in the system.  Clearly  all of these combinations cannot be discussed in
detail.  However,  from  the combinations shown in the figures, strategies
are developed in Section VIII that seem  to be most promising and effec-
tive.  These strategies are then tested in the phosphorus flow model
(Figure 29) and analyzed as to their effectiveness for the case study
areas.
                              199

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                   Table 37.  SUMMARY LISTING OF

                          CONTROL, TACTICS
A.  Supply and demand (applies to consumer habits and producer
    activities)

    1.   Excise taxes or other taxes
    2.   Subsidies (nonphosphorus products)
    3.   Tax breaks and credits
    4.   Price controls
    5.   Advertising and education
    6.   Nonmonetary recognition
    7.   Content labeling
    8.   Moral suasion
    9.   Boycotts

B.  Resource control, mining and manufacturing

    1.   Requirements for recycling
    2.   Phosphate mining restrictions (rationing)
    3.   Manufacturing/production restrictions
    4.   Emission controls

C.  Management of phosphorus uses

    1.   Resource and product substitution
    2.   Technology improvements in processes or uses
    3.   Monitor requirements with enforcement of application rates
         (e. g. , fertilizer)
    4.   Recycling and reclamation

D.  Management of phosphorus discharges

    1.   Imposition of pollution standards
    2.   Land management practices

         a.   Reduction of cultivated acreage
         b.   Increased or  decreased fertilizer use
         c.   Erosion control--cropping and fertilizer management
         d.   Erosion control--irrigation practices
         e.   Erosion control--green belts and buffer zones
         f.   Solid waste recycling
                              200

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                      Table 37.  CONTINUED
     3.   Land use controls
         a.   Zoning
         b.   Licensing
         c.   Leasing
         d.   Codes and subdivision regulations
         e.   Permits
     4.   Solid waste management
         a.   Disposal regulation
         b.   Fees
     5.   Effluent charges
     6.   Bans
     7.   Fines
E.   Judicial controls
     1.   Judicial review
     2.   Class action
     3.   Common law remedies  (nuisance,trespass,  negligence)
F.   Wastewater treatment—for  phosphorus removal
G.   Lake modification
CONCEPTS OF CONTROL TACTICS

Major concepts of the various control tactics listed in Table 37 have
been subjected to analysis according to several common criteria.  These
include a brief description of the control tactic including where it is
applied, to which points in the system,  and to which activities such as
feedlots, etc.  Then the effects of the control tactic in changing phos-
phorus  output for particularly important activities are described.  Also
the elements which make it a controllable variable may be discussed;
                              201

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HUMAN VUT
(SUPPLY AI
/
rs AM) MEEDS ___
«D DEMAND)
DBTERCEHT
HANVFACTURE
AND SUPPLY

^,


                                                                                                 PROCESSES AND HECHAN1S1MS
                                                                                                                                                                           DOMSSTIC HASTES
IN;
o
URiXS
NATOLSH£D
ACTIV1TIE$


PLANT AND
AMIHAI. KATIES
PROM HUMAN
Acrirm
MAKACED
WATERSHEDS
(FOREST,
CRAZING)


DEPOSITION
OP PLAMT/
AX 1 HAL MATTER
HOUSEHOLD
INBUSTSIAL
COMMERCIAL
•AGRICULTURAL
DISPOSAL
POLICIES


SOLID HASTES


SOLID UASTL
MANAGEMENT
PRACTICES
1) SAN, LANDFILL
2) INCINERATION
3) OPEN DIIHP
	 —
LEACH INS |


                                                                Figure iO.  Control tactica applied 1
                                                                                                     urban and  rural watersheds and domesti'

-------
             SUPPLY OF
             AGRICULTURAL
             COMMODITIES
HUMAN WANTS
FOR CEREALS
AND FIBERS
             DEMAND FOR
             AGRICULTURAL
             COMMODITIES

AGRICULTURAL
CROPPING
DECISIONS
(TYPES AND
ACREAGES)
*
1
|
LAND AND WATER
RESOURCE
MANAGEMENT
DECISIONS
1
1
t
PEST
CONTROL
DECISIONS
HUN
(su
X
\
	 	
— — 	
X*
^

IAN WANTS
TPLY AND DEMAND)
MANUFACTURE
AND SUPPLY OF
FERTILIZERS

DEMAND FOR
FERTILIZERS
i __ ^ 	 „,„
1
1
\£j
<$>

DEMAND FOR
PESTICIDES |

MANUFACTURE
AND SUPPLY OF
PESTICIDES

. X'.
^
••• r R\J\sC.£
FERTILIZER
APPLICATION
PRACTICES
>SES
^
\
\ " OVERLAND
\ __ 	 *• Binjnrp
SOIL EROSION
FROM TILLAGE
PRACTICES

IRRIGATION
PRACTICES
(RETURN
JLOW)

PESTICIDES
APPLICATION
PRACTICES

\ , y
y/ r^^
A / L< RECEIVING
/ V .A WATER

-------
HUMAN WANT AND NEEDS
(SUPPLY AND DEMAND)
 DIETARY
 WANTS FOR
 MEAT AND
 ANIMAL
 PRODUCTS




\
X.
X
FEED AND
FEETH.OT f 	
PRACTICES C2 ^ FEEDLOT
(fUK A WASTES
PARTICULAR

*' /
/
\
                                                                         LAND
                                                                         DISPOSAL
                                                                         PRACTICES
                                                                         WATER
                                                                         DISPOSAL
                                                                         PRACTICES
   Figure 32.  Control tactics applied to animal waste production.

-------
                            HUMAN WANTS •
                                                                       -PROCESSES
tNJ
o
(Jl
           HUMAN WANTf
           FOR FOOD
            HUMAN WANTS
            FOR MEAT
                                  SUPPLY OF
                                  CANNED
                                  GOODS
                                  DEMAND FOR
                                  MEATS
                                  DEMAND FOR
                                  METAL FINISH
                                  PRODUCTS
                                  DEMAND FOR
                                  PHOSPHATES
                                  FOR METAL
                                  FINISHING
                                  DEMAND FOR
                                  PHOSPHATES
                                  FOR WATER
                                  CONDITIONING
                                  DEMAND TOR
                                  VARIOUS
                                  INDUSTRIAL
                                  PRODUCTS
DEMAND
CANNED
GOODS
FOR

SUPPLY
MEATS
OF
                                                               CANNERY PRACTICES
                                                               AND PROCESSES
MINING AND
PROCESSING
OF PHOSPHATE
MINERALS


SUPPLY OF
PHOSPHATES
FOR
INDUSTRIAL USE

MEAT PACKING
PROCESSES

C2 fc


MEAT PACKING
WASTES

                                                                METAL FINISHING
                                                                MANUFACTURE AND
                                                                SUPPLY
A2.D7
  METAL
  FINISH
  WASTES
                                                              WATER  CONDITIONING
                                                              FOR  INDUSTRIAL
                                                              USES
 A2.D7
PROCESS
AND BOILER
WASTES
                                    Ct,

•*>

DOMESTIC
SEWER
SYSTEM
                                                Figure 3J,  Control tactics applied to the industrial  sector.

-------
                           HUMAN WANTS
                                                                       PROCESSES
PHOSPHATE
USES (SEE
OTHER FIGURES)
   WANTS FOR
   MINED
   MATERIALS
DEMAND FOR
PHOSPHORUS
1) FERTILIZER
2} DETERGENTS
3) ANIMA1  FEEDS
4) INDUSTRIAL
   - METAL FINISHING
   - WATER SOFTENING
   - FOOD AND DRUG
   - GAS ADDITIVES
   - PLASTICIZER
   - PESTICIDE
   - OTHER
                             SUPPLY OF
                             PHOSPHATES
                                                            PHOSPHATE
                                                            MINING AND
                                                            REDUCTION
                                                            PRACTICES
                             DEMAND FOR
                             OTHER MINED
                             PRODUCTS
                             SUPPLY OF
                             MINED
                             MATERIALS
                                  MINING PRACTICES
                                  (MANAGEMENT OF
                                  OVERBURDEN, MINE
                                  DRAINAGE, ETC.)
                                                                                                                            UASTEHATER
                                                                                                                            STREAMS
                                                                                                      DIRECT
                                                                                                      RUNOFF
                             Figure 34.  Control tac'irs applied to mining wastes.

-------
how tactics are combined to make a strategy set, how the tactic works
and is implemented,  and the cost of each tactic or combination of tactics
(strategy) may be described where data justify  the discussion.   These
concept discussions allow development of feasible strategies for phos-
phorus control.  The following discussion sections are keyed to the
listings in Table 37.

A.  Supply and Demand Controls

Supply and demand controls refer to the methods and techniques that
can be used to alter phosphate producing activities or to change or
modify consumer habits and behavior  relative to phosphate-bearing
products.  The controls fall into two broad categories: (1) Those which
are effected through the economic market itself (excise taxes,  subsidies,
and price controls); or (Z) those which attempt to alter the attitudes of
consumers or producers in the economic market (e. g. , advertising,
labeling, boycotts).

1.  Excise Taxes--
General applications--Excise taxes are a series of levies imposed on
specific commodities or groups of commodities.   They may be quoted
as a percentage of retail price, ad valorem;  or as a specific amount
per commodity sold, unit tax.

While several reasons justify their  existence, three dominate:  (1) To
correct existing external diseconomies  in the system by extracting the
true social cost of production from the buyer of the taxed commodity;
                              207

-------
(2) to generate revenue (usually used to finance programs related to the
commodity); and (3) to alter consumption patterns deemed undesirable
by representatives of society.  The first group is relatively new and
consists of emission taxes on air pollutants, and charges on various
uses of public lands.  The second group, often referred to as a tie-in-
tax, is represented by gasoline taxes used to finance highway construc-
tion,  and "addictive" excises on liquor and tobacco.  The final group
consists of sumptuary or luxury excises.  Excises applied to phosphate
pollution control would of necessity contain elements of all  three.  They
would help adjust for diseconomies, help finance treatment facilities,
and change consumption patterns toward nonphosphate products.

An excise tax could be applied at several points in the system:
     1.   On sales from the mine
    2.   On sales of pesticides
    3.   On sales of fertilizer
    4.   On detergent sales
    5.   On water softening equipment
    6.   On sales of meat if one type of animal produces more
         phosphate than some others

An excise tax on these sales would make this input more expensive to
the industries or consumers using it.   If effective, this would induce
them to seek cheaper alternatives  (substituting effect) or to find ways
to cut down on the use of phosphorus (income effect).  It would, if the
tax could not be passed along, reduce the profitability of production and
hence lead to a cutback in supply.
                              208

-------
An excise tax is most effective and most desirable when dealing with a
good (bad)  commodity which has effective alternatives and which is
nonnecessary {relatively elastic) in nature.

A tax on sales from the mine would be relatively cheap to administer
since it is  mined only a few places.  It would be a hidden tax to the
consumer which might be desirable from a political standpoint.  It
would be a nonselective levy and would restrict all uses of phosphorus
regardless of their desirability.  The tax burden would fall most heavily
on those who had no good input alternatives.  As mentioned, it would
not be a tax observable to the  consumer and  would not, therefore,  act
as a signaling service to them that the government was wishing to  cut
down on phosphorus use.  It is a tax unlikely to be applied at the local
or state level because  of the direct effect it would have on the  mining
operation,  unless there was some local feeling that the resource needed
to be conserved.

In the case of pesticides, fertilizer, and water softening where only
inferior alternatives are available, its only effect would be to  cut  back
on usage.  Whether  or not it was effective would depend on whether or
not the increase in cost (owing to the tax) was  sufficient to outweigh
the additional revenue from increased production.

Finally,  in the case of detergent or meat sales, where there does  exist
real alternatives, the effect could be substantial provided the tax was
large enough to alter costs not only relatively, but absolutely.  If  the
alternative is inferior  (soap does not clean as well as detergent),
however, then the impact will not be as great.  If the inferiority is
                              209

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psychological rather than physical,  then a tax would need to be combined
with some kind of advertising campaign to break down the psychological
barriers.

An excise tax generates revenue and one of the problems with such a
system has always been that governments form a strong attachment to
the revenue, especially when it goes into the general fund.  As a result,
rates are frequently kept low enough so as not to hinder production and
consumption in any appreciable fashion.

Application of excise tax to deter gents--Taxes are an important manage-
ment tool and so this particular situation will be discussed extensively.
To illustrate what would happen if an excise tax were applied to deter-
gents,  two approaches might be useful.  The first is to look at a real
example which closely approximates our own circumstance, the other
to apply a hypothetical levy and make  some best estimates as to what
might occur.  Margarine,  a product which has been extensively taxed,
has a close substitute,  butter, just as phosphate detergents have sub-
stitutes of low phosphate detergent and/or soap.

Margarine was developed in response to a competition sponsored by
Napoleon the Third to ease a butter  shortage in France.  It was an
instant  success with the public, but  also formed some obvious enemies.
It was attacked by some as an artificial substance and therefore undesir-
able and unhealthy.  Attempts were  made in this country in the late
1800's to ban its use outright but such laws were judged unconstitutional
by the courts.  Laws were then passed specifying its color (white) and
conditions  under which  it could be sold. One wonders what might
                              210

-------
happen if a law were passed requiring all detergent that is sold to be
colored black.  In addition,  an excise tax was levied  on margarine at
the federal level and by most states as well.  There is no question that
when the tax was high enough to make butter the cheaper  product that
margarine sales fell to  extremely low levels.  Generally butter was
still more expensive and margarine became therefore, in spite of the
tax, increasingly popular.  After the law regarding color was elimin-
ated, the shift to margarine was particularly pronounced.

What the tax really did was to generate funds for governmental use,
perhaps to subsidize dairies for their lost sales.  It became clear that
the government became very attached to the revenues being generated
and began gradually looking at the levy as a tax instrument rather than
as a regulatory device.  If there is no justifiable reason to regulate
margarine,  then the unfairness of taxing it and not butter becomes
apparent.  Today there  are only a couple of states  left which levy a
tax on margarine.  (A case history for the State of Utah can be found
in Appendix E.)

The experience  with the tax on margarine clearly illustrates that if the
tax is high enough to alter comparative prices relative to a substitute
it will be effective.  If it does not alter them it can be a considerable
source of funds. Finally, the collecting of funds in this way will only
be politically justifiable provided that consumption of the product is
causing real damage to individuals or their environment.

The second way of looking at the excise tax is to imagine what would
happen if a tax were placed on all detergents.  Production figures were
                              211

-------
used in this analysis because they were most available.  A look at the
export figures indicated that less than two percent of detergent produced
in the United States  is sold abroad  so that production serves as a good
proxy for consumption.  This result is shown in Table 38.  The next
two tables (Tables 39 and 40) show the  loss of sales and the revenue
which could be collected if the various  rates of tax -were  applied.  The
E in each case refers to elasticity  or the assumption that is being made
about lost sales. An E of 1 means that a one percent increase in price
(because of the tax)  leads to  a one percent decrease in sales.  In all cases
it is assumed the tax is borne by the consumer.  Except  in the extreme
case of E = 0  (no loss of  sales), there is some finite tax rate which
will maximize revenues.   This rate becomes smaller as E rises.

For comparative purposes, in Tables  39 and 40  liquid detergents have
been converted to dry by taking value equivalents.  The numbers in
Table 40 are estimates. It is obvious from these tables  that a national
excise tax on detergents would raise large sums of money which could
go a long  way towards covering the costs of treatment.

2.  Subsidies--

According to a Congressional Report by the Joint Economic Committee
in I960:
    A subsidy is an act by a governmental unit involving either  1) a
    payment;  2) a remission of charges; or 3) supplying  commodi-
    ties at less than cost or market price, with intent of achieving
    a particular economic objective, most usually the supplying to
    a general market a product or service which would be  supplied
    in as  great  a quantity  only at a higher price in the absence of
    the payment or  remission of charges.
                              212

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          Table 38.  ESTIMATED DRY WEIGHT OF ALL
             DETERGENTS CONSUMED PER PERSON
                    IN THE UNITED STATESa

1954
1958
1963
1967
1973
Dry kgs,
millions
1,500
1,854
2,000
2,408
2, 752 est.
Population,
thousands
161, 191
173,320
188,483
197,457
209,000 est.
Per Capita,
kgs
9.3
10.7
9.9
12.2
13.2 est.
   1954,  1957,  1963, and 1967 data from survey of manufacturers.
   1973 data estimated using previous figures  (U. S. Department of
   Commerce,  1968).
There are various reasons currently used to justify such payments.
Shoup (1969) lists the following:  (1) Internalize externalities; (2) redis-
tribution of income; (3) consumer protection- and (4) facilitation of the
dynamic process.

Often an item is said to have benefits which are external to the consumer,
which accrue to society as a whole and which are not considered by the
individual in making his  consumption decisions.  Since price does not
represent the true value to society, it is argued that this leads to
underconsumption of the goods.  Examples often cited are  education and
various disease prevention vaccines.  In order to stimulate consumption
of these items to the desired level and the correct level for society as
                              213

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       Table 39. REVENUE FROM DETERGENT EXCISE TAX AT DIFFERENT

                      RATES AND EI^ASTICITIES (1967 DATA)

               (quantities are in million kg and tax revenues in dollars)
Tax rate /unit
Case 1
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 2
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 3
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 4
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 5
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 6
Quantity
Tax revenue
0
E= 1.05
3530
0
E = 1.0
3530
0
E = 0.95
3530
0
E = 0.90
3530
0
E = 0.75
3530
0
E = 0
3530
0
0.05

2706
289.01

2745
302.33

2784
306. 65

2823
310.97

2941
323.92

3530
338.7
0. 10

2047
450.89

2117
466.44

2188
481.99

2259
497. 54

2470
544. 18

3530
777.4
0. 15

1508
498.21

1604
530. 11

1701
561.91

1797
593.71

2086
689. 11

3530
1166.0
0.20

1059
466.55

1177
518.37

1294
570. 19

1412
622.01

1765
777.48

3530
1554.8
0.25

683
376.46

819
451.09

954
525.70

1090
600. 33

1496
824. 18

3530
1943.5
Converted liquid into dry equivalent values by assuming that the average price of all units
(Ibs and gal) was $0. 20.  Thus,  total units = 1554. 8/0. 20 = 7774 million Ibs or 3530 x 10° kg.
$1554. 8 millions was the total value of detergents produced in 1967.

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r\j
                Table 40.  REVENUE FROM DETERGENT EXCISE TAX AT DIFFERENT


                         RATES AND ELASTICITIES (ESTIMATED 1973 DATA)

                                                                              a
                        (quantities are in million kg and tax revenues in dollars)
Tax rate /unit
Case 1
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 2
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 3
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 4
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 5
Quantity
Tax revenue
Case 6
Quantity
Tax revenue
0
E = 1.05
3852
0
E = 1
3852
0
E = 0. 95
3852
0
E = 0. 9
3852
0
E = 0.75
3852
0
E = 0
3852
0
0.05
0.2222
2953
325.27

2996
329.98

3039
334. 69

3082
339.41

3210
353.55

3852
424. 25
0. 10
0.4
2234
492. 13

2311
509. 10

2388
526.07

2465
543.04

2696
593. 95

3852
848.5
0. 15
0. 5454
1278
571. 11

1796
578.59
x
1751
578.59

1961
648.01

2276
752. 13

3852
1272. 75
0. 20
0. 6666
1156
509.22

1284
565.78

1412
622. 24

1541
678. 90

1926
848.58

3852
1697.0
0.
0.
746
410.

894
492.

1042
573.

1190
655.

1634
899.

3852
2121.
25
7679

89


34


78


23


56


25
         Converted liquid into dry equivalent values by assuming dry to liquid ratio continues as  in

         1967.   Thus, total units = 1.4 x 6061 = 8485 million Ibs.   Data taken from Table 38.

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a whole, the government subsidizes the product through one of the three
methods in the previous quote.

Frequently, the humanitarian nature of our society considers the redis-
tribution of income justification enough for a subsidy.   For this reason
such subsidies as food stamps,  unemployment compensation,  and ser-
vices to the disabled, the aged, and war veterans have  come into
existence.

Protection of various industries developed for a variety of reasons.
Often a specialized input (usually labor) becomes highly immobile and
as the market in which this industry functions weakens, subsidies
become necessary in order to continue the employment of this factor.
Our agriculture price supports stem from such beliefs. Similarly,  if
domestic demands for a foreign made item cause a serious balance-of-
payments deficit, subsidized production of that item is  often preferable
to a tariff.

Finally, subsidies can be used to facilitate dynamic adjustment.   If a
large manufacturing plant is constructed in an economically depressed
area, it may be that the increased amount of taxes  and  decreased aid
payments will more than recoup the costs of  subsidizing the construction
in a short period of time.  Therefore, the government might want to facilitate
or enhance the opportunities of location of this firm in the area through
subsidy measures (Laird and Rinehart, 1967).

Subsidies are negative taxes and could be used at similar points  to
excises and represent rewards rather than penalties for specified
                              216

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actions.  They could be used to cheapen the cost of substitute products
or to pay for lost revenues from decreased production.

Subsidies  represent a drain on the public  treasury and on equity grounds
would be used when it is felt that the benefit is general and not specific.
Laws allowing  subsidies must be carefully written so as to ensure that
the subsidy is not collected unless there is a noticeable change in
behavior.   Subsidies could also be used to locate phosphorus using
activities  in the most appropriate places by rewarding businesses and
activities  for locating in desired areas.

Subsidies  could be used to encourage appropriate technological innova-
tions by rewarding the desired behavior.  The Department of Agriculture
has had several such programs, the most conservation-minded of which
was  the Rural Environmental Assistance Program which has now been
discontinued.  It provided cost sharing to farmers for environmentally
desirable  changes.  The Farmers Home Administration also provides
loans and  grants for conservation programs.  Loans are at favorable
rates of interest for extended periods  of time (3. 5-5 percent and 30-40
years).

3.    Tax Breaks and Credits--

Closely aligned to subsidies are tax breaks  or credits.  These are given
through tax laws either  by a reduction in the size  of the tax base or
through preferential rates on that base.  The  income tax laws are full
of  such breaks  (sometimes called loopholes).   The purpose of such
breaks is to encourage certain  desired types of behavior.
                             217

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Tax breaks can be given to anyone or anything that pays taxes.  The most
notorious example of tax breaks is the mineral depletion allowance.
This allows a mining firm to deduct a percentage of its gross income--
up to 50 percent of its taxable income each year--in addition to the other
"ordinary" deductions. It is not a substitute for the regular depreciation
that all firms are allowed on new  investment,  but is an additional benefit.
The depletion allowance is available each year regardless of what invest-
ment has  taken place and this means that new investment could be easily
written off at far more than 100 percent of value over a few years.   The
depletion allowance is, of course, designed to encourage production of
more minerals.  Several reports  have indicated that they have not been
very effective.  Senator Gore, in  discussions concerning the 1969 Tax
Reform,  stated that the additional reserves developed in the oil industry,
above what would have taken place anyway, amounted to 150 million
dollars (Department of Treasury,  1969).  This was obtained at a loss
to the treasury (taxpayers) of between 1 1/2 and 2 billion dollars.  The
1969 Tax Reform lowered rates on the depletion allowance  somewhat.
In the case of phosphorus the allowance  was lowered from 15 to 14
percent.

The miners of phosphorus, therefore, receive a considerable tax break.
The value of mined phosphorus in  1967,  the last year for which published
data are  available, amounted to 296. 6 million dollars.  At the then
current rate of 15 percent, this meant an allowance of 45 million dollars
could be  claimed, assuming that the tax rate was 50 percent, it would
have given the phosphate mining industry a tax break of 22. 5 million
dollars.   This would be approximately the equivalent of a 4 dollar subsidy
per ton of phosphate mined.
                              218

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The removal of the depletion allowance would make the mining of phos-
phate less profitable and raise the cost to users, and would lead to a
reduction in the availability and use of phosphate.  The mining industry
also receives other  tax considerations as well but none are as large and
important as this.

It is one of the problems of large organizations like the federal govern-
ment that conflicts in desired goals often arise.   Parts of the federal
system may want to cut back on phosphate use for environmental pur-
poses, while at the  same time other parts of the system are encouraging
its production.

The greatest appeal of tax breaks and credits is political.   They are a
subtle subsidy and may not be recognized as such.  They are of generally
greater value to the rich than to  the poor, both firms and people.  They
may just be a windfall payment to a firm for doing what it would have
done anyway.   Among the most common loopholes available to businesses
are investment credits, accelerated depreciation, and depletion allow-
ances.

4.   Price Controls--

Price controls are an attempt by government to set price and then allow
production and consumption to establish their own levels.  A price floor
will create surpluses, a price ceiling shortages.  In the first case,
government must buy up the excess and stockpile it or run the risk of
widespread illegal marketing.  In the  second,  government  must ration
the commodity in  some other way, such as waiting lists  or coupons.
                              319

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Under-the-table payments are always cropping up in this situation as
is the case with rent controlled apartments in New York City.

Anywhere an exchange of goods for money takes place a price control
could be used.  In this case the relevant approach would be a price floor
below which phosphorus or products made from phosphorus could not
sell.  Appropriate points of application might be:
     1.   Sales from the mine
     2.   Sales of pesticides
     3.   Sales of fertilizer
     4.   Sales of detergent
     5.   Sales of water softening equipment
     6.   Sales of meat

By keeping prices artificially high relative to market conditions, it
would cut back on the use of phosphorus or of the phosphorus-generating
product.

Price controls (ceilings) are currently in fashion. Their effect can be
immediate and obvious.  It shows the determination of the  government
to create change.  However, based on past experience,  price  controls
do not appear to be a long-run solution.  The temptation to cheat and
the enforcement problems connected with this  policy are just too great
in the long run.  Punishment of wrong doers is selective,  arbitrary,
and generally ineffective.  Price controls  are  best used as a last gasp
or crisis measure.
                              220

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5.  Advertising and Education- -

Advertising and education programs oriented toward controlling the use
and consumption of phosphorus and phosphorus products might prove to
be effective.  EPA's Hooty the Owl ("Give a Hoot,  Don't Pollute")
might direct his attention to phosphorus pollution.  His audience might
be detergent-using housewives, homeowners who use phosphorus fertili-
zers in lawns and  gardens, and farmers.  Through TV and possibly the
press, such a program could be expected not only to reduce levels of
phosphorus  consumption, but also create a broad based public aware-
ness of the problem.   The problem might be disseminated on a national
basis,  or directed toward locales whose eutrophication problems are
acute and chronic.

The Department of the Interior's Johnny Horizon program (administered
by the  Bureau of Land Management) might also zero  in on the problem
of eutrophication.   Presumably the emphasis here  would  be on land
management practices (erosion control, proper fertilizer use,  etc. ),
and the audience would be farmers and other land managers.

Education and advertising as a means  of control  should not neglect
future  generations of users and consumers.  Films,  workshops, and
special projects dealing with the  role of phosphorus in eutrophication
and remedial measures should be incorporated in programs of environ-
mental education in grade schools and high schools.  Since erosion from
agricultural lands  is a principal source of phosphorus,  the Future
Farmers of America is one group of young people for whom an educa-
tional program might be  designed.
                              221

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 6.   Nonmonetary Recognition--

 Providing nonmonetary recognition such as awards,  commendations,
 certificates, press coverage, etc. ,  is another possible way of motivating
 people to engage in sound environmental practices.   This technique
 could probably be used most effectively in programs aimed at grade and
 high school students.

 7.   Content Labeling--

 In June,  1971,  the Federal Trade Commission proposed the following
 labeling  requirement for detergents containing phosphates:
     The container of every detergent must list all ingredients by
     common or usual name--or if there is none,  by chemical
     name--giving percentages by weight,  and weight in grains
     per  recommended use level of each,  in descending  order  of
     predominance.
 The FTC also proposed that the following statement appear on each
 phosphate detergent product:
     Warning:  Each recommended use level of this product contains
    	grams of phosphorus, which contributes to water
     pollution.  Do not use in excess.  In soft  water  areas, use of
     phosphate is not necessary.
A series of hearings were held both by the FTC and the House of
Representatives concerning the FTC proposal during 1962.   As a result
of these hearings, the porposal was  never implemented.

8.  Moral Suasion--

Moral suasion is an appeal by the government without legal backing to
an individual or group's social conscience. It is, however,  frequently
                              222

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combined with a threat of legal action or economic sanctions which
tends to improve the social conscience.  President Johnson's version
of moral suasion was called jawboning.

Moral suasion is most effective where the threat of sanctions is a
serious and believable one, and where society's conscience is making
noises.  (President Kennedy's rolling back of steel prices by means of
a heart to heart talk with the head of U. S. Steel (Mr.  Blount) is the
most widely advertized instance  of this type.  The government is a big
consumer of steel and the price rise was unpopular,  so it worked. )
It also works better when the number of necessary arm twists is limited.
Moral suasion could be effective with a big phosphate generator such as
a mine company or a large  feed yard in getting them to adopt more
favorable practices.

9.    Boycotts--

Consumer boycotts might provide still another  means of controlling
phosphorus inputs into receiving waters.  The grape boycotts of 1971
and 1972 organized by Caesar  Chavez and supported  by the AFJL-CIO
for the purpose of securing union contracts for farm labor exemplifies
the potential effectiveness of consumer boycotts. It might be possible
for activist environmental groups to  organize and gain support for a
boycott of high phosphate detergents.  Other possibilities are boycotts
on meats traceable to polluting feedlots and nonorganically raised
vegetables.
                              223

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B.   Resource Control--Mining and Manufacturing

Mining and manufacturing of phosphorus as a source for various indus-
trial-domestic-agricultural uses is  largely a regional activity concen-
trated in Florida, Tennessee, and Idaho-Wyoming mining operations
(Logue, 1958).  For a particular basin of interest it will frequently not
be a problem.  However, in the areas noted previously, eutrophication
problems might arise due to discharge of waste phosphorus directly
(seepage, pond dike erosion) or addition to the atmosphere and subse-
quent rainout.

1.   Recycling Requirements--

Recycling of scarce resources has long been practiced in primitive as
well as modern societies. Recycling resources which are  not scarce
or which would lead to a change in production economics is a rather
recent concept which largely resulted from the environmental movement.
of the  1960's.  The supply of known, available, phosphorus ores (> 8
percent phosphorus) extractable by phosphorus mining techniques is
estimated to last at present use rates about 1800 years; phosphorus
cannot be considered a scarce resource,  especially in comparison to
other elements such as helium (Institute of Ecology,  1971); thus,  at
present recycling would  be required only from the point of  view of
lessening pollution.

Perhaps the most important areas applicable to recycling or multiple
usage of phosphorus compounds concern its use as a nutrient for agri-
culture:  (1) Use of effluent for irrigation waters; (2) use of biological
                              224

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sludges from wastewater treatment plants to reclaim soils (e. g. , strip


mine operations) or as a fertilizer (e.g. , "Milorganite");  and (3) use


of animal manures for fertilizer.  The placing of farm ponds for fish


aquaculture adjacent to pig farms as in Southeast Asia is an example


of application of these principles to aquatic  systems.





Also, it has been proposed that the calcium phosphate precipitates from


phosphorus removal at the wastewater treatment plant be utilized for


building blocks.  This would be primarily a means of sequestering phos-


phates rather than recycling the phosphorus; also,  it would possibly
                               s

provide a dollar generating activity which would eliminate some of the


cost of  chemical sludge  disposal, an important aspect of phosphorus


removal costs.





2.    Phosphate Mining  Restrictions  (Rationing)--





One method of enforcing recycling of phosphorus is to restrict the amount


of phosphorus mining in some way, e. g. , by rationing.  Rationing,  or


the limitation in the annual amount of phosphorus mined would undoubt-


edly increase the cost of mined phosphorus  and hence decrease  the


utilization of phosphorus,  particularly for those phosphorus using


activities which are not  absolutely necessary (e. g. , detergents) or which


at times use  more  phosphorus than may be considered necessary (e. g. ,


fertilizers).  In addition, this action might increase the value of


recycling phosphorus.  Additional benefits from such limitation would


include: (1) Preservation of resources which are  strategically located;


(2) maintenance of  land resources in areas where  land might be in short


supply (e. g. , Florida); (3)  elimination of by-product pollution (fluoride


toxicity).


                              225

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However, the effects and interactions caused by limiting phosphorus
mining activities would be very complex:  (1) Interference with export
trade of phosphorus fertilizers; (2) upset of local economy; (3) inter-
ference with food supply and possible long-term effects on U. S.  agri-
culture; and (4) enforcement problems with illegal sales (black market).
For these reasons it was decided that rationing would not be a feasible
nor  effective control strategy.

,3.	Manufacturing/Production Restrictions--

Certain aspects of the phosphorus mining and manufacturing process
seem amenable to changes in process which could be controlled by
various restrictions.  Such changes are primarily directed at processes
which produce a waste product (a presently unused resource) or at pro-
cesses which are wasteful of phosphorus because of spillage and
unnecessary usage.   A problem associated with the mining and process-
ing industry,  particularly in the "pebble phosphorus" deposits in Florida,
not so  much in the hard rock deposits in Tennessee and Idaho-Wyoming,
is the handling of phosphate slurries (Tyler and Waggaman,  1954).
These  slurries, about 33 percent of the  total  mined in Florida, consist
of colloidal suspensions  of phosphate ore which are not  easily separated
from water. As a result, they are disposed into large ponds for rela-
tively indefinite storage.  The ponds are eyesores and promote inefficient
use  of  land as •well as representing a possible source of phosphorus
which enters the surface water via seepage or the breaking of pond
dikes.  Drying, direct use, and phosphorus extraction and/or benefica-
tion (increasing the phosphorus content)  to allow use of  this "waste
product" have all been suggested as possible  alternatives for handling
                              226

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the slurries.  Direct uses as a soil amendment, addition to pasture
land, and other agricultural uses are primarily limited by transportation
from the regions where mixing occurs.  Research is continuing on the
process changes necessary to allow the utilization of slurries; at present,
it does not seem feasible to force this particular process change at
this time because of the economic problems.

Consideration of phosphate substitutes  in cleaning and washing products
are discussed elsewhere in this report.  Substitutes for products used
in various industrial processes such as in water conditioning products
and metal finishing acids are being developed.  However, these uses
as present do not seem to be  significant or can be handled  in a better
manner.

4.   Emission Controls in the Mining and
Manufacturing of Phosphorus--

Most controls in this  industry have been directed at fluoride,  a toxic
contaminant in the phosphate minerals  being processed  (primarily a
problem in the phosphorus pebble ore of Florida).   Prevention of phos-
phorus input to surface waters is largely achieved by discharge of
unusable materials to  settling ponds.  Seepage and dike  erosion allow
phosphorus to enter the surface water, but these types of inputs are
not amenable to emission controls or discharge  standards.  States  with
phosphorus mining have  regulations on phosphorus pollution, but because
the  present problem is largely accidental (dike  erosion) the regulation
is not generally applicable to "spill-type11 additions.  Monetary fines,
pond dike building codes and construction safety factors, sealing of
                              227

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ponds to prevent seepage,  could all be utilized to control this input,  but
other incentives, e. g. , the process changes described above, might be
of more long-term value as a preventative.  This would be so because
of the economic incentive to the producer to regain the present approxi-
mately  30 percent of the resource which is being lost.  Until such pro-
cess changes have been developed,  emission controls seem to be a
feasible alternative.

C.  Management of Phosphate Uses

In those activities where phosphate is used as a  part of the production
process or where end products  containing phosphates are used for
particular purposes,  there exists an opportunity for controlling the
phosphate through better management of the producing or using activi-
ties.  The possibilities for management of phosphate uses are described
in four  general areas:

1.  Resource and Product Substitution--
Where there are reasonable substitutes for products or processes
having phosphates, then through the use of such substitutes the phos-
phates wastes and residuals could be eliminated.  Some of the possibili-
ties for phosphate substitutes in production processes include the use
of acids other than phosphoric in metal finishing processes, nonphosphate
based processes in water conditioning, and the use of nonphosphate
builders in detergents.  In making such substitutes, however, care
must be taken that the substitute is not a potentially greater environ-
mental threat,  such as  could possibly be the case for the use of NTA
                             228

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in detergents.  Otherwise one problem may be exchanged for another
that may be more serious.

Substitutes may also be sought for other phosphate-containing products.
For example, using soap to replace detergent, or the use of other
types of pesticides that do not contain phosphate. In the case  of either
process or products, inducing substitution will virtually always require
the application of other supply and demand or judicial control  tactics.

2.  Technology Improvements in Processes
orProducts- -

Technology improvements in  products or processes also represent a
potential means of reducing phosphate residuals entering the aquatic
system.  These may come about through changes which reduce discharges
from industrial processes such as metal finishing and water conditioning,
or through improved mining practices.  Some of these possibilities are
elaborated in more detail in other parts of this section.  However, since
this area  largely represents long range solutions that are not  immediately
implementable, there will be  no further discussion.

3.  Monitoring Requirements and Application Rates--

Monitoring requirements and  establishing application rates  and standards
for use of phosphorus-containing products could do much to reduce
excess  concentrations of  phosphorus which find their way into effluent
discharges.  Without precise  knowledge of what is a sufficient applica-
tion rate, the practicing philosophy is usually that more is better.  This
                              229

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 is often true with regard to fertilizer application for agriculture, and
 to lawn and garden use.  Soil sampling and analysis to determine base
 requirements for phosphorus fertilizer applications for agriculture
 could do much to reduce excessive application practices which increase
 the concentrations of phosphorus in soil erosion and runoff into water
 courses.   Comparison with the USDA pesticide registration program
 seems advisable in this regard.  Likewise,  guidelines for application
 of fertilizer in home lawn and garden use could reduce concentrations
 in urban storm runoff.  Other areas where monitoring and guidelines
 could prove effective is in the separation and handling of  solid wastes,
 such as phosphorus chemical formulations,  vegetable matter, and
 discarded wash products, which have greater  concentrations of phosphorus,
 and also in monitoring the handling  of feedlot wastes.

 4.   Recycling and Reclamation--

 Recycling and reclamation serve a key function in reducing phosphorus
 pollution by reusing phosphorus residuals in the system rather than
 mobilizing new phosphorus to serve the activity.  Some of the possibili-
 ties of recycling, for  example, include the use of wastewater effluents
 for irrigation water, the use of sludge from wastewater treatment
 operations as fertilizers and soil conditioners, and the long used
 practice of using animal wastes as fertilizers. Similar possibilities
for recycling processes exist in mining and industrial uses (see  also
 B. 1).
                              230

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D.  Management of Phosphorus Discharges


Diffuse and point sources are included in this discussion and it is manage-
ment  of these sources enforced by some of the controls described in

Table 37 (A,  E, F) which is the crux of the phosphorus  control question.
Managing phosphorus discharges appears to be the most logical and

economical means  of reducing phosphorus input to surface waters.

Management  implies several levels of interaction depending on whether
the source is diffuse or at a point.


1.  Pollution Standards--
While no specific national standards have been established for phos-

phorus levels in surface waters, the National Technical Advisory
Committee (Water Quality Criteria,  1968) recommended the following

to the states:  That levels of phosphate in flowing streams should not
exceed 100 H-g/1,  or more than 50 p. g/1 where streams flow into lakes
or reservoirs.


Most states have no specific criteria or standards for phosphorus
levels in surface waters. An attempt cannot be made here to provide

a complete summary of criteria that have been established, but the

following is illustrative:

     California standard for Lake  Tahoe: A mean annual concentration
     not greater than 7 [xg/1 of phosphorus at any point in the lake.

     Nevada standard for  East Fork Carson River: Annual average
     of total phosphorus not to exceed 0. 1 mg/1 (100 (J.g/1); single daily
     value or average not to exceed 0. 2 mg/1 (200 |J.g/l).
                              231

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    Illinois standard for Lake Michigan open water:  Total phosphorus
    annual average not more than 0. 03 rng/1 (30 pg/1);  single daily
    value or average not more than 0. 04 mg/1 (40 Hg/1).

    Pennsylvania standard for all surface water:  Total phosphorus
    not to exceed 0. 10 mg/1 (100 [J-g/1) or natural levels,  whichever
    is greater.

    Indiana standard for municipal effluent:  All municipalities in
    Great Lakes tributary basins will be required to provide at least
    80 percent reduction of total phosphorus on or before the end of
    1972.
A summary of water quality standards listing phosphate criteria was

issued by the EPA, Office of Water Programs, on March 1, 1972.


In compliance with the 1972 amendments to the Federal Water Pollution
Control Act, it is expected that many states will modify existing, or

establish new, standards for phosphorus, especially with reference to

the effluent from municipal treatment facilities and  other point sources.

Section 314 of the 1972 amendment states:


                          CLEAN LAKES

    SEC. 314.    (a)  Each State shall prepare or establish, and
    submit to the Administrator for his approval--

         (1) an identification and classification according to
    eutrophic conditions of all publicly owned fresh water lakes
    in such State;

         (2) procedures, processes, and methods (including
    land use requirements), to control sources of pollution of
    such lakes; and
                              232

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         (3) methods and procedures, in conjunction with appro-
    priate Federal agencies, to restore the quality of such lakes.

              (b) The Administrator shall provide financial
    assistance to States in order to carry out methods and
    procedures approved by him under this  section,

              (c)  (1) The amount granted to any State for any
    fiscal year under this section shall not exceed 70 percentum
    of the funds expended by such State in such year for carrying
    out approved methods and procedures under this section.

                   (2) There is authorized to be  appropriated
    $50,000,000 for  the fiscal year ending June 30,  1973;
    $100, 000, 000 for the fiscal year 1974; and  $150, 000, 000
    for the fiscal year 1975  for grants to States under this
    section which such sums shall remain available until
    expended.  The Administrator shall provide for an
    equitable distribution of such sums to the States with
    approved methods and procedures under this section.
Presumably, compliance with Section 314 will require the establish-

ment of specific standards.


The input model described in Section VI can,  under certain assumptions,

be used to calculate phosphorus concentrations in a lake and thus be

used to determine whether or not a given body of water succeeds in

meeting a given standard. The input model calculates the "relative

eutrophication" in a lake  by dividing the annual  g P/year input by the

water surface area of the lake (area in m ) for a series of mean depths

(m).   If it is assumed that the lake has a mean residence time of one

year and undergoes  "plug flow" (no mixing), the numerical value of
relative eutrophication  is equivalent to the mean concentration of phos-

phorus in the lake (|J.g P/l).  Thus, this allows the estimation of phosphorus
                              233

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concentrations in the lake and comparison to standards assuming that
the total annual input is diluted in the lake by the volume at any time
and that there is no net loss within the lake  (i. e. , deposition in the
sediments or outflow); such a formulation is equivalent to a steady
state inflow of phosphorus of a conservative substance and is of value
only for crude comparative purposes.

2.   Land Management Practices for Phosphorus Control
From Agricultural Sectors--

Although no conclusive evidence can be cited that fertilizer use is
definitely the major source of phosphorus in waterways, one cannot
deny that fertilizer usage represents a potentially serious  source of
pollution, if not properly managed.   Since the soil is a natural sink
for phosphorus, it can be concluded that  essentially all of the phosphorus
removed from a soil system is either by crop harvest or surface runoff
(erosion) with little loss occurring by internal drainage.  The relation
that exists between surface runoff, soil erosion,  and sediment load of a
stream suggests that any management strategy that results in the reduc-
tion of surface runoff necessarily reduces the sediment load of streams.
In a real sense, the reduction in the  sediment load may be of more bene-
fit to society than the corresponding  reduction in phosphorus load.

It is a well documented principal that soil erosion, defined as the,
detachment and  transport of soil particles, is best controlled by keeping
land under continuous, full  cover vegetation, i. e. , pasture and wood-
land. Any program to reduce phosphorus in surface runoff will neces-
sarily use the concept of maximizing the vegetative cover of land to
minimize runoff and soil erosion.
                              234

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a.  Reduction in cultivated acreage--An ovbious control strategy is to
reduce the total acreage of cultivated land thus lessening the erosion
potential of a given basin.  Ideally, this option should be implemented
in a manner which does not affect the overall agricultural productivity
of a region.  To maintain production levels,  as marginal cultivated
acreage is removed from cultivation, more intensive fertilization and
management must be used on the land remaining in tilled crops.  The
first lands to retire from cultivation should be those with highest
erosion potential, that is, land that has a slope of >  3 percent or some
internal feature which limits crop growth, e. g. , stoniness, shallow
soil, drainage,  etc.  The retired land should be  converted either to
natural grass or woodland to provide a total  vegetative cover for the
soil surface and to maximize the organic  matter content of the  soil, thus
minimizing soil detachment.   This land will  produce revenue in the form
of cattle grazing, timber production, and recreational usage, as well as
reducing erosion to a level comparable with  natural ecosystems.

b.  Increased usage of fertilizers as a strategy in erosion control--
Increasing the rate of fertilizer application (N and P) on the remaining
Class 1 cultivated land is in itself a strategy to reduce erosion and
thus P pollution.  Maintenance of high soil fertility and productivity
is an effective means of erosion control.   The  production of bumper
crops produces  maximum ground cover and adds vitally needed organic
matter to maintain the  infiltration rate and permeability of soils to
water.  The role of high crop productivity in erosion control is  often
overlooked.  Under intensive production,  soil erosion cannot be totally
eliminated but it can be reduced to a lower level.
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c.   Technical management--The strategy of maximizing agricultural
production of Class 1 lands to reduce erosion of the resulting P load of
receiving water relies heavily on technical agricultural management.
For example, chemical  soil tests provide an index as to the amounts of
P fertilizer that can be effectively applied to the soil in terms of crop
response and economic return.  A low rating from a soil test may
suggest 30-50 kg P/ha can be added to reach a yield plateau whereas a
high rating would suggest a low rate  of application or perhaps no P
fertilization.  The frequency and amount of P fertilization must be
regulated by crop need.  A continuous high application rate of P fertilizer
should be avoided since  it not only is an environmental hazard, but it is
also economically a bad investment.  A diligent monitoring program of
the phosphorus status of both the soil and the plant is a necessary part
of an intensive fertilizer schedule.

Although not recognized generally as an erosion control method,  the
wide use of fertilizer, manure,  and soil amendments can be as effective
in preventing soil erosion as many of the traditional cropping and
mechanical methods.

Proven cropping methods which  reduce sheet and till erosion on
cultivated slopes invariably  include contour tillage.  In this system
cultivation is done across  the slope rather than with it.   If in conjunction
with contouring, alternating growing  crops such as corn and potatoes
with hay and grain in strips  is incorporated,  the practice is called con-
tour strip cropping.  This technique noticeably reduces the velocity of
runoff down a slope.  When these simpler management techniques are
inadequate,  terraces can be constructed  across the slope.  Terraces
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are generally designed to catch runoff and conduct it away at a gentle



slope.  Traditional methods of soil conservation have stood the test of



time; however,  implementation of their usage by individual farm mana-



gers remains a barrier.







d.  Erosion control using irrigation practices--Run off from irrigated



lands does not contribute  significantly to the sediment load of waters.



Most erosion occurs from uncontrolled natural  precipitation.   Since



surface flow irrigation systems  are designed and developed with refer-



ence to the infiltration rate of the soil and since the length of  run along



with rate of water  application is regulated, erosion is generally not a



problem in an irrigated agriculture.  The  general usage  of sprinkler



irrigation essentially eliminates  any surface runoff, even on steep slopes,



since the water application rate  can be set below the infiltration rate of



a given soil.  In principle, sprinkler irrigation can be regulated to



eliminate drainage output. Irrigation methodology is not considered an



important management alternative in P control  in waters.







e.  Erosion (sediment) control by development of vegetative belts



adjacent to receiving waters--This strategy involves  land use planning



as applied to agricultural lands which border  streams.  Buffer strips of



natural vegetation  will be fostered to serve as barriers or filter areas



through which all field runoff from agricultural land must pass.  In



principle agricultural runoff will be treated in these zones to  the extent



that the sediment load will be reduced to levels commensurate to runoff



from natural grass and woodlands.  To achieve this goal the zones must



be of sufficient width to treat the surface runoff of adjacent fields.  It



is estimated that a width of at least 200-300 meters would be  necessary
                              237

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for buffer belts around major surface streams.   This strategy necessarily
requires that land adjacent to streams, by virtue of their position, be
removed from  cultivation.  In essence, this amounts to the reduction
in cultivated acreage of a given basin requiring more intensive  cultivation
of remaining land (see D. 2. a).

The buffer zones will  be multipurpose.  Not only will they abate phos-
phorus pollution, but they will afford an economic return in terms of
livestock grazing, wildlife  habitat,  and recreational development.

f.    Cycling animal manures as a strategy to reduce phosphate  fertilizer
usage--A strategy to reduce the total P load of waters incorporates the
use of less commercial fertilizer by cycling barnyard and feedlot manure
back to the field.  This strategy is based on the fact that,  on the average,
10 tons of feedlot manure has the same phosphorus content as a 100 Ib
bag of superphosphate (20 percent P) fertilizer.  A solution is thus
generated for the solid waste disposal problem of animal manure and at
the same time  the need for commercial fertilizer is reduced.   Utilization
of feedlot manure also decreases the input of P in surface waters by
reducing feedlot drainage which constitutes an important point source
of phosphorus pollution.  This program can also be applied to sludge
and municipal waste disposal problems.

By fluidizing and injecting manure below the surface of the soil or by
mechanically incorporating it into the soil, the runoff loss of organic
P can be eliminated.   At the same time, the introduction of organic
matter into the soil greatly enhances the infiltration properties of the
soil thereby reducing  the erosion hazard.   This fact alone is sufficient

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to endorse the cycling of manure as a major  strategy in phosphorus
pollution control.

The time of year at which manures are spread is also important in
controlling agricultural runoff problems.  Usually manures are spread
at the end of winter before spring planting constrains the farmer's time.
In cold climates this is the worst time of year because runoff occurs
immediately after spreading and a larger input with runoff occurs.

The use of land disposal for animal manure is not a new concept in
agricultural management systems.  However, modern fertilizer techno-
logy has made the economics of the use of manure as a source of plant
nutrients questionable.  In the context of pollution control the economics
of land disposal of manure in agricultural operations must be reevaluated.

Summary of Land Management Strategies

The strategies listed above are based on the  need to redefine the use of
the land resource for the betterment of society.  Essentially they
involve:
    1.  Removing erodable land from agricultural production;
    2.  Intensifying cultivation on remaining land;
    3.  Creation of vegetative  buffer zones adjacent to waterways;  and
    4.  Using land disposal for animal manures to recycle phosphorus
        in agricultural production.

The strategies constitute the regulation of land use patterns to control
the quality of water.  The  result will be to  concentrate productive lands
                              239

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into smaller units with optimal control over fertilizer usage and land
management practices, thus maximizing agricultural production while
minimizing erosion and surface runoff.

3.   Land Use Controls--

Most of the sources of phosphorus identified in the input model are
directly affected through land use.  It is thus important to review the
kinds of land use controls that are available and to indicate the range
of application for each.

a.   Zoning—A widely used method of controlling land use is through
zoning.  Zoning practices and  theories are so numerous, complex,
and dynamic that it would be impossible to give anything  but a very
general account here.   Zoning belongs to statutory law and is based on
the police power.  In the United States, ultimate zoning authority resides
with the states.  All the states have enacted enabling legislation which
delegates zoning power from the state to counties and municipalities.
In recognition of the need for comprehensive regional planning,  such
power is also delegated to area and regional planning units or is  retained
by the states.  Often,  enabling legislation requires  that the zoning
authority prepare a "plan" for controlling development and land use.
The A-95 Circular issued by the Office of Management and Budget and
the pending federal land use bills require the states  themselves to develop
a comprehensive land  use "plan" and would have the effect of giving more
power to planning units above the municipal and county levels.
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Zoning can be used to control overall patterns of development and
interrelations among land uses.  It can control the nature and intensity
of development so that environmental protection, properly scaled public
facilities, and other necessities and amenities can be provided.

Zoning in an enlarged planning context--a context which incorporates the
natural resource base as well as the concept of rural zoning--may be
used to control the input of phosphorus into receiving waters from land-
fills,  development on watersheds, grazing lands, and tilled lands.  This
technique may be used to preserve green belts or vegetative buffer  zones
(as discussed under D. 3, Land Management Practices) and to reduce
erosion.

b.  Licensing--In Legal Study 17 of the National Water Commission
(NWC-L-72-043) completed in December of  1971, it was concluded  that
licensing agencies have authority and an important role to play in pro-
tecting environmental values.  The study noted that environmental
quality standards should be given high priority in licensing, and that
environmental impact statements, hearings concerning these statements,
and adversary proceedings should all be an integral part of the licensing
procedure.

Special commissions (e. g. , the San Francisco Bay Conservation and
Development Commission) and agencies (e.g.,  Wisconsin's Consolidated
Natural Resources Department) have adopted such a  concept of licensing
and would be in a strategic position to enforce phosphorus controls.
Pending federal land use bills, if adopted, would require federal projects
to conform with state land use planning and licensing procedures.
                              241

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c.   Leasing--The above discussion of licensing applies as well to
leasing procedures.  Grazing lands, land utilized for mining, forests
managed by timber industries,  recreational and private developments
on Forest Service, and other public lands--all potential sources of
phosphorus pollution--are activities controllable through leasing
procedures.

d.   Codes--Through building codes, plumbing codes,  minimum housing
codes,  etc. , a planning  or regulatory unit can assure that construction
on a given parcel of land is sound,  safe, healthful, and includes appro-
priate facilities.  To give just one example of how this  kind of control
relates to the control of phosphorus pollution,  a regulatory unit might
reguire  sealed spetic tanks or else a sewerage system in an area whose
surface  waters would receive open septic tank leaching.

e.   Permits--Section 402 of the 1972 Water Pollution Control Act
requires a permit for the discharge of any pollutant from any point
source,  including publicly owned waste treatment works.

Until the 1972 act was passed, permit  granting activities related to
water pollution had been  administered  under the Refuse Act of 1899 by
the Corps of Engineers in cooperation  with EPA.  The EPA now controls
this  activity until it issues its guidelines to the states and  approves the
state programs.   (On an  interim basis, EPA can authorize a state
control agency permit program for up  to 150 days after enactment or
until it approves the state program formally,  whichever comes first.
Any  permit granted under this interim authority is subject to individual
EPA review and possible revision. ) Permits  granted under the Refuse
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Act will remain in effect for their term.  Applications for permits under
the Refuse Act on which decisions have not been reached will become
applications for permits under this act.

The state control agency,  in operating its permit granting program,
must notify the public and the EPA of each application and provide
opportunity for public hearing before making a ruling.  If granting a
permit would affect another state downstream from the permitting
state, the downstream state is notified by EPA and has an opportunity
to express its views.

Each permit granted by a  state control agency must have a fixed term
and can be for no longer than five years.  It must set forth the applicable
effluent and other limitations plus the monitoring requirements needed
to demonstrate compliance.

The state control agency will notify EPA of every action it takes on
every permit application,  including its  decision to grant a permit.
Even after approving the state agency program, EPA retains the  right
to review and approve any proposed permit,  unless  it specifically
waives that right at the time it approves the state program.

4.  Solid Wastes Management--

Solid waste disposal sites such as landfills and open dumping are rela-
tively unimportant in terms of the overall strategy for controlling phos-
phorus because little phosphorus  in comparison to other sources  actually
gets into the surface waters except for  isolated situations.  However,
                               243

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it may be advantageous to control solid waste leachate for other reasons,
for example,  BOD,  nitrogen, and possibly toxic organic chemicals.

a.   Disposal regulation--This particular control could be exercised with
regard to specific compounds, refuses, or garbages that were high in
concentration for particular compounds, in this example,  phosphorus.
By restricting or segregating their disposal,  elimination of their presence
in the landfill or open dump could be accomplished.  Other disposal
regulations would include the kinds of regulations which are now being
exercised in controlling open dumps and landfill construction.  Building
codes and permits -which regulate how landfills are constructed and
maintained and the elimination of open dumps would prevent many of
the abuses which are now occurring.  An additional building code to
allow the construction of drains for collection of leachates and channeli-
zation for runoff waters carrying leachates would allow the possibility
of treatment by taking the leachate and returning it to the  surface of the
landfill to allow it to percolate through the soil.  As described previously
in Section V,  recycling of leachate through the landfill effectively re-
moves most of the phosphorus.

b.   Fees—Fees collected specifically to construct landfill,  channeliza-
tion, or  drain systems might be appropriate  for controlling output from
solid wastes facilities.  These fees could be  based on either the per
capita or a mass disposal rate basis.  The effect of fees,  however,
would be minimal because solid waste disposal is a factor which would
not be controlled by the use of increasing fee schedules; most studies
have indicated that usage of disposable solid  waste  materials is likely
to increase independently of control methods.
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5.  Effluent Charges - -

Application to effluents--These charges are defined as the fees leveled
on actual output of the pollutant from a process.  Effluent charges are
a direct incentive to reduce waste product discharge.  The basis for
the fee should be the opportunity cost of the pollutant which can be
defined as  either the cost of cleaning up the pollutant to a satisfactory
level  or the cost of indemnities to reimburse those who are damaged
by the pollutant.   The  tactic is to set these charges so that the producer
has a choice to either  clean up or let the pollutant enter the system and
pay the charges, whichever is in his interest which, in a free market,
would also be efficient to society.  Graduated scales may be part of the
scheme in  developing the strategy.  The  objective is to internalize all
costs to producers so  that prices will reflect the true social costs of
production and the consumers' preferences for these goods as compared
to others.  The motive is to change the system of production which pro-
duces the waste, or to provide for funds  to remove the damaging factor,
or to  reimburse those who are harmed.

The effluent charge can be assessed in two ways.  The first is by con-
tinuous monitoring and measuring to determine the exact output to which
the level of charge can be applied to arrive at a total payment.  The
second is by some standard being set which could be randomly monitored.
Ordinarily, the administrative costs will be much less with random and
occasional monitoring than with continuous enforcement and charges for
each unit of discharge.
                             245

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In geographical locations where several similar activities  contribute
pollutants to a reach of a stream the costs of cleanup may  be lessened
by group action through a larger removal plant. In this case, the
effluent charge may be reduced to account for these economies of scale,
or the group may strive  to develop an action to remove the pollutants
at some point on the stream and avoid the effluent charge.

One of the problems of utilizing effluent charges in any kind of river
basin context is that point sources must be identified.  A large number
of effluent producers involved,  or a diverse set of entry points from
a single producer,  such as  a large landowner,  may preclude use of
this tactic.

The charge  is placed on activities based  on the discharge of the offending
particular pollutant.  This can be assessed on an outflow basis or on a
mass discharge basis  (mass/unit time).  The latter would  be the most
logical for phosphorus.  Because it is based on pollutant output rather
than product output or other general measure of activity, this measure
may be a most efficient means of control in some cases.  It offers
alternatives based on efficiency of courses of action.   First, the pro-
duction process may be changed.  Presumably, most firms are efficiently
organized in their production processes based on costs which are internal
to the firm.  If discharges of pollutants are priced to the firm then
alternate processes which produce less of the offending discharge, or
clean the discharge prior to leaving the premises, may become
economic.
                             246

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On the other hand,  it may be that the firm would choose to proceed
with offending discharge because it may be cheaper to, either individually
or as a group,  clean the stream rather than change production processes.
Finally, it may simply be less costly to indemnify receivers of the
pollutants depending on the  use made of the water and the costs of the
above courses  of action.  To be an efficient system of operation, the
least costly of  these options must be made  available to the producer,
and it must be  used by him.

The  appropriateness  of the  system in the several phosphate producing
activities is  summarized in Figure 35.  In many cases special conditions
may change these evaluations.  The technique can only be utilized where
identification,  measurement, and evaluation of the opportunity costs can
be accomplished.

Notes on Feasibility of Effluent Charges

These notes are based on Figure 29 to which numbers and symbols have
been added to form Figure  35.  The numbers and symbols show the
point of application and the  feasibility of effluent charge.  The  discussion
is tied to Figure 35 by the appropriate numbers and explains in more
detail the possible problems of applying effluent charges to the parti-
cular activity.

     1.   No control is possible.
     2.   This source is a balancing variable in the model.  Control
         would  be in another basin with all the same phosphorus activi-
         ties as in the particular basin under consideration.
                              247

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Flgur. 35   Control point* luperimpoied on the phonphoru* activity «n«lv*i« •how-ing the rn*jor applicnion potnti lor effluent contrail («ae pp, 247-250).
                                                                        248

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 3.   Sources are extremely diffuse and difficult to monitor in most
     situations.
 4.   It requires  channelizing to collect flows except in situations
     involving underground drains, otherwise same as 3.
 5.   Sources are diverse and usually difficult to monitor.
 6.   Measurement and identification are not simple.   If the desired
     result is to reduce output  of phosphate, this may be ineffective,
     since the leachates may be difficult to collect.
 7.   Sources are diverse and may be difficult to monitor in some
     cases.  However, this  alternative may be  appropriate where
     few operators are involved in special geographic situations.
 8.   Same as 7.
 9.   Same as 7.
10,   No control is possible.  Sources are diffuse and monitoring
     is difficult or impossible.   It is impossible to define a respon-
     sible party.
11.   Sources are diffuse.  In most cases the charge would have  to
     be levied against the local governmental unit rather than
     against individual entities.  The local  government would thus
     need to devise an allocation system.
12.   Since sources are so diverse, it seems impossible to trace
     the problem back to the offenders.  Effluent charges would
     therefore not likely change the production  of effluent, but may
     provide for equity to those harmed by  either paying for treat-
     ment,  or paying indemnities.  Homeowner sewer taxes, etc. ,
     are in one  sense an effluent charge.
13.   Same as 12 because wash  products would be included in domestic
     sewage.
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    14.   These seem to be measurable and industry would have control
         of the process.
    15.   The offenders can usually be easily identified.  The production
         system may change and equity served.  A  note of concern is
         that other effluent components may be more  critical.  Possibly
         a combination of elements need to be monitored and the charges
         related to the group of pollutants rather than to phosphorus
         alone.
    16.   Same as  15.
    17.   The phosphorus effluent is usually in the form of accidental
         spills.  Thus, continuous monitoring would be required.  This
         method, however, seems to be highly appropriate for control,
         since it would promote careful management  and minimize spills.
         A system of fines seems more applicable here.
    18.   Although  diffuse,  sources are identifiable  and feasible to
         measure.  One  or few operators  can be identified.  Maybe a
         feasible approach for other pollutants,  however,  may not be
         socially acceptable.
19,20,   The system may be effective for  very large  concentrated feed-
21,22.   lots or production facilities.   Small producers represent diverse
         sources which are difficult to identify and  monitor.

In summary,  effluent charges would be an efficient control measure
in some  cases.  This measure focuses on the output of the offending
item, rather than  on the inputs to the production process, or control
of the desirable outputs of goods and services; both efficiency and equity
can be served.
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6.   Bans--

Numerous states and municipalities have placed partial and complete
bans on the sale of phosphate detergents.  Some examples are:
    New York:  Sale of phosphate detergents banned after June 1,
    1973, with the exception of incidental .concentrations as may be
    authorized by the Department of Environmental Conservation.
    The law was modified to exempt cleaning products used in dish-
    washers,  food, beverage processing, etc.

    Connecticut: After June 30, 1973, all phosphate detergents are
    banned with the exception of detergents manufactured for use in
    automatic dishwashers,  and dairy, beverage,  food processing,
    industrial cleaning equipment.  This ban was later postponed to
    June 30,  1974.

    Florida:  Ban on phosphate detergents restricting to 8, 7 percent
    phosphorus as of January,  1973.  Dade County and the City  of
    Kissimmee have total bans.

    Indiana:  Detergents containing more than 3 percent phosphate are
    banned after January 1,  1973.   Some exemptions for automatic
    dishwashing products and for some industrial-institutional uses.

    Chicago:  Ban on the  sale of phosphate detergents effective June
    30, 1972.   This  law was declared unconstitutional on March 6,
    1973, and is no longer in effect.
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    Detroit: All phosphate detergents banned after July 1,  1972.

    This ordinance was preempted by state law which limits phosphorus

    content in detergents to 8. 7 percent,


Considerable litigation has resulted from these  statutes and ordinances.

The Soap and Detergent Association particularly has filed a number of

suits.  The litigation has resulted in an evaluation of the bans as
reflected in the examples.  Arguing that the ban is nonviolative of the

Due Process or Equal Protection Clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment,

Judge Stevens of  the Indiana Supreme Court stated in an opinion C3 ERC

at 118,  1120:
        In other words, to put it more directly, if the people of
    Indiana prefer to wear gray shirts and have a little hardness
    distilled on their glasses,  so forth and so on, as a price for
    obtaining cleaner water, or for obtaining a  chance of having
    lesser phosphate content which in turn may produce or may
    not produce, we don't know, lesser amounts of algae, that
    is a choice •which we feel the people of Indiana should make
    through the Indiana Legislature.


In a similar case but oriented to the particulars of the  region where
the Chicago detergent control ordinance -was struck down,  Judge
MacMillian of the Northern District of Illinois,  Eastern Division, U. S.

District Court stated in a decision and order (No.  71 C 1054):

        The evidence of increased costs  of manufacture and dis-
    tribution, however, is relevant to show a burden on interstate
    commerce.  It then becomes the task of the defendant City to
    justify its ordinance by showing at least some need to protect
    the public health, safety or welfare. ...

        More to the point, however,  is the fact that the Illinois
    and Mississippi Rivers are so overloaded -with phosphates that
    the removal  of phosphates from detergents  can have no effect
    on their plant or fish life.. ..

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         This does not mean that similar ordinances in other
    jurisdictions  cannot be sustained, where the effects of
    discharging phosphates into the public water supply may
    outweigh the interference with interstate commerce.
Bans  could also prove to be effective in agriculture.  If it were deter-
mined that the soil in a given area is sufficiently rich in phosphorus
content that phosphorus fertilization is not needed and/or manure
applications could augment soil phosphorus at desirable levels, a ban
might be placed on the use (and possibly sale) of phosphorus fertilizer.


E.  Judicial Controls
Judicial controls are playing an increasingly important role in the area
of environmental management.   Judicial review, class action  suits,  and
the common law remedies of nuisance and negligence will be discussed
as follows.


1.  Judicial Review--


Under the Federal Administrative Procedure Act,  a federal court will
set aside an agency's actions if they are arbitrary, capricious, abusive
of discretion,  contrary to the Constitution,  in excess of statutory

jurisdiction, or unsupported by substantial evidence (5 USCA  §  706,
1967).  Similar statutes have been established for the  review by state
courts  of state administrative agencies.  Although  limited review by

courts  has  been the general rule, the process of judicial review seems
to be gaining momentum as a significant judicial control in environmental
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management.  In Environmental Defense Fund v. Ruckelshaus (2 E. R. C,

1114, D.C. Cir. 1971), the court stated:

         We stand on the threshold of a new era in the history of
     the long and fruitful collaboration of administrative agencies
     and  reviewing courts ... (Where) courts (once) regularly up-
     held agency action, with a nod in the direction  of the "sub-
     stantial evidence"  test,  and a bow to the mysteries of admin-
     istrative expertise . . .  (they now frequently set aside agency
     actions and require) that administrators articulate the factors
     on which they base their decisions. . ..

         Judicial review must operate to ensure that the admin-
     istrative process itself will confine and control the exercise
     of discretion.  Courts should require administrative officers
     to articulate the standards  and principles that govern their
     discretionary decisions  in as much detail as possible.
In a comprehensive  study entitled Legal Devices for Accomodating

Water Resources Development and Environmental Values, Hillhouse

and DeWeerdt (1971) stated:

     9.   Judicial review does have a valuable,  if limited, role
     to play.  With respect to the (Cross-Florida)  Barge Canal,
     the case filed by the Canal Authority may provide some
     answers to the troublesome separation of powers question
     and thereby provide a basis for an improved review system.
     To the extent that the Barge Canal or other projects are
     implemented in violation of NEPA or other governing law,
     courts can avoid environmental damage in particular cases
     and provide impetus and guidelines for the development of
     sound projects in other  cases.


Environmentalists face serious practical problems, however,  when

they ask  a court to strike the actions of governmental agencies.  Some

of the practical problems facing potential plaintiffs are:  The difficulty

of becoming a party or gaining standing, the doctrines of the "ripeness
                              254

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of a case," the doctrine of "exhaustion of administrative remedies,"
the ability of administrative agencies to shape the development of the
record, the fact that "burden of proof" lies with the plaintiff, and the
fact that plaintiffs must frequently rely on the voluntary services of
legal and  scientific experts in long,  drawn-out cases.  These practical
disadvantages have spurred  environmentalists to take another judicial
avenue, that of class action  suits.

2.  Class Action Suits--

Rule 23 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure states:
        If persons constituting a class are so numerous as  to
    make it impracticable to bring them all before the court,
    such  of them, one or  more, as will fairly insure the adequate
    representation of all may, on behalf of all, sue or be sued,
    when the character of the right sought be enforced for or
    against the class is ...  several, and there is a common
    question of law  of fact affecting the several rights and common
    relief is sought.

When a wrong is being committed against a group so numerous that it
is impracticable or  impossible to bring them all before the court, thus,
a class action can be used.  As a number of recent cases  attest,  the
wrong in question might involve the savings of a million dollars in
abatement costs by a polluter by inflicting a few dollars of damage on
each of a  million citizens.

A number of states have passed legislation enabling class  action to be
taken.  The Michigan legislation, drafted by Joseph Sax of the University
of Michigan Law School, has become a model both for other states and
                              255

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for the Hart-McGovern Bill in Congress.  The latter declares that each
person has a right to the protection of the environment and that it is in
the public interest for  Congress to provide adequate remedy to imple-
ment this right through class action.   The bill is offered as an explicit
response to the need for more public participation in decisions affecting
environmental values.  This bill would sweep away the defenses of lack
of standing and would shift "burden of proof" from the plaintiff to the
polluter.   Section 4 of  the bill states:
     When the plaintiff  has made a prima facie showing that the
     activity of the defendant affecting interstate commerce has
     resulted in or reasonably may result in unreasonable pollu-
     tion, impairment,  or destruction of the air, water,  land, or
     public trust of the  United States, the defendant shall have the
     burden of establishing that there is no feasible and prudent
     alternative and that the activity at issue is  consistent with and
     reasonably required for promotion of the public health, safety,
     and welfare in light of the paramount concern  of the  United
     States for  the protection of its air, water,  land, and public
     trust from unreasonable pollution, impairment, or destruction.

Although the Hart-McGovern Bill may never be enacted (it has been
opposed both by EPA and CEQ as well as industry), class action is
gaining momentum in various states and has already gained a federal
foothold through the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure.

The 1972 Federal Water Pollution Control Act also recognizes citizen
suits.   Section 505 of this Act states that any citizen or group of citizens
having an interest which is or might be adversely affected (as interpreted
in Sierra  Club  v. Morton, 40 U.S. L. W. 4397 (1972)) may, after a  60-
day notice, commence  a civil suit in the district court against alleged
violators  of effluent standards or limitations or of orders issued with
                              256

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respect to such standards or limitations by either EPA or state control

agencies, except in those situations where the appropriate control

agency is already prosecuting the case.


Similarly, any interested citizen or group may commence action against

EPA where there is alleged a failure of EPA to perform any act or duty
which is not discretionary.


3.  Common Law Remedies--


After a potential plaintiff has gained standing in a court, he must plead

a claim for which the court has the power to provide relief.  Two

traditional common law remedies are nuisance and negligence.  Each

of these remedies have important environmental implications.


Private nuisance--A private nuisance is a civil wrong based on the

interference with a property right.  Section 822 of the Restatement of

Torts has set out the elements of nuisance as follows:

    The actor is liable in an action for  damages  for a nontres-
    passory invasion of another's interest in the private use and
    enjoyment  of land if,

         (a) the other has property rights and privleges in respect
            to  the use or enjoyment interfered with; and
         (b) the invasion is substantial; and
         (c) the actor's conduct is a legal cause of the invasion;
            and
         (d) the invasion is either
                (i)  intentional and unreasonable; or
                (ii)  unintentional and otherwise actionable under
                    the rules governing liability for negligent,
                    reckless or ultra-hazardous conduct.
                              257

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A private nuisance remedy might effectively be sought against feedlots,
a principal source of phosphorus pollution in many areas.  Precedence
for such action might be traced as far back  as the decision in 1611 in
William Aldred's  Case (77 Eng. Rep. 816) wherein it was  found that
the odor from the defendant's hog sty was a nuisance.

Traditional courts have pursued a "balancing of interests" approach in
private nuisance actions.  The weakness of  this balancing doctrine in
environmental cases is apparent, since the  powerful polluter will never
be stopped unless he injures an equally  large economic interest.   In
Madison v. Ducktown Sulphur, Copper and Iron Company (113 Tenn. 331,
83 S. W. 658,  1904), for example,  the court refused an injunction on
the grounds that in order to prevent harming farms of little value it
would be necessary to close down the plant thus destroying nearly half
of the country's tax base and creating massive unemployment. However,
courts are tending to view pollution cases in modes other than that of
balancing economic losses.  An example of  this new attitude is found in
Department _of Health v.  Owens-Corning Fiberglass (100 N. J. Super.
336, 242 A. 2d 21, 1968) in which the court held that "it is not unreason-
able for the State,  in the interest of public health and welfare, to seek
to control air pollution.  Even if this means the shutting down of an
operation harmful to health or unreasonably interfering with life or
property, the statute must prevail."

Negligence--Negligence is defined by the Restatement of Torts as con-
duct which falls below the standard established by law for the protection
of others against unreasonable risk of harm.  This doctrine  has been
effective primarily where a single polluter has acted so as to cause
                              258

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specific demonstrable injury to a plaintiff and where the injury is not
minor.  The doctrine has been ineffective in prosecuting broader public
interest cases.

F.  Wastewater  Treatment
Wastewater treatment at the levels described in Section V can be utilized
to remove phosphorus at a central, or several central, treatment plants.
Because of the detailed discussion in Section V, it will suffice to say
that application of treatment levels can be forced  using judicial controls,
management policies, standards, and bans (such as zero discharge
concepts).  The application of fines to municipalities or other treatment
districts which have allowed spill type discharges  or other "accidental"
releases of pollutant to surface waters  should, however,  be instituted.
It seems that many "dischargers" build into their system the possibility
for accidental discharge due to overloading, spills, malfunctions, etc.
This should not be permitted,  and fines should be set up  so that  such
occurrences are minimized and compensation is sufficient.

G.  Lake Modification

As described in Section IV, in the amelioration of  eutrophication effects
in lakes,  there are many methods available to restore lakes for such
uses (Table 2).  Some of the most feasible of these are destratification
techniques and precipitation of phosphorus compounds in  the lake;
deepening (sediment removal) and weed control measures are apparently
feasible possibilities.
                               259

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For certain kinds of lakes, especially those where most of the phosphorus
input  comes from diffuse and/or uncontrollable sources,  lake modifica-
tion (lake restoration) is probably the most economical approach.  What
it implies, however,  is  that a certain amount of eutrophication is per-
missible at certain levels depending on  the costs involved.  It is prob-
ably not feasible for controlling eutrophication in large lakes or  in lakes
where the major parts of the input are point sources.  Further consider-
ation  of lake modification is not within the scope of this report and it is
mentioned here primarily as a possibility.  Future developments in
this field, however, likely will make it  an important solution, particu-
larly  for areas where there  is a low tax base,  it is expensive to  apply
nutrient control measures, or the lake is not receiving wastes of point
source nature.
                              260

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                            SECTION VIII
        COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF STRATEGIES
                  FOR PHOSPHATE MANAGEMENT

APPROACH TO STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT AND
COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS

The development and analysis of strategies for management of phosphorus
in a river basin require a comprehensive assessment of the magnitude
of input sources and a knowledge of the tactics available for controlling
the flows from those  sources.  An in-depth examination of phosphate
sources is presented in Sections V and VI and detailed descriptions of
management control methods and tactics and points in the flow system
where they can be applied are described in Section VII.  This section
examines  the implementation of sets  of control methods and analyzes
their effectiveness as comprehensive strategies  for basin-wide phos-
phate management.

Using the  Phosphate Mass  Flow Model

The Phosphate Mass Flow Model for water resource basins described in
Section VI (see also Appendices C and D) is used as a basis for testing
and evaluating the effectiveness of various strategies for phosphate
                                 261

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management.   The model operation provides an accounting system for
calculating the total phosphorus mobilized in a basin, tracks its flow
and loading on the surface water, and computes the potential eutrophica-
tion impact of those loadings.  The effects of different control strategies
are then examined by manipulating the model inputs to simulate the
effects of applying reasonable  control methods to the  phosphorus input
activities and determining the  change in eutrophication levels.

Coordinating Controls for  Management Strategies

The coordination of a set of control methods and tactics  for management
of phosphate inputs for an  entire water resources basin  constitutes a
strategy. Hence, a strategy consists of the combination of methods
that are  implemented to control phosphorus flows from the activity
systems (agriculture, urban and rural watersheds, domestic,  industrial,
mining,  and animal production) represented in the mass flow model.
There are,  of course, a very large number of possible strategies which
can be constructed from the various combinations and permutations of
control tactics, their points of application in the system, and the degree
or; level of control applied. This section  of the report analyzes only a
limited number of these which are representative of the range of
strategies that could be implemented.  The strategies were selected on
the basis of more detailed analysis of the mass flow model and best
judgment.

For any management strategy to be successful in reducing potential
or actual problems  of eutrophication, it must be capable of being imple-
mented and operated basinwide.   The analysis,  therefore,  is developed
                                 262

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under the assumption that machinery for basin-wide strategy imple-
mentation is  or can be established.

In applying the strategies to the basins of the case examples, some of
the actions which must be cooperatively carried out by political and
institutional jurisdictions within a basin are to levy and collect taxes,
to construct and operate treatment facilities, to require compliance
with specified management  practices by producers  and consumers, to
limit or ban the use  of certain products or processes,  and to provide
appropriate monetary incentives and performance standards for control
of phosphate-generating activities.

Analyzing Cost-effective Management Strategies  -

A comprehensive analysis of strategies for phosphorus management in
water would certainly involve consideration of both benefits and costs
associated with achieving various levels of phosphorus.  Hence, there
are two parts of the  evaluation problem. Benefits are related to a
marginal damage curve which is calculated from the incremented changes
in the total damage curve.  This shows how much damages increase with
each increment in the rate of phosphate discharge,  or,  conversely, the
damages that can be averted by increased control of phosphorus.   It is
shown by the downward sloping curve in Figure 36. It can be interpreted
as showing that damages per unit of phosphorus decrease as  concentrations
are lowered, or conversely the benefits gained by averting damages
decrease as concentrations are reduced.  The second curve shows
marginal control costs, i. e. , the incremental changes in total costs of
                                 263

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         P
         in
         o
         o
         03

         O
         UJ
         I-

         UJ
         >
         UJ
         CE
         QL
         CO
         UJ
         1
EUTROPHIC
                                                                             MARGINAL
                                                                             CONTROL
                                                                             COSTS
                                                  MARGINAL
                                                  DAMAGES
                                                                     B
                                     PHOSPHORUS  CONTROL LEVEL
Figure 36.  Phosphorus discharges are related to damages and control costs

-------
reducing phosphorus concentrations.  As could be expected,  the last
increments of phosphorus removal become more and more expensive.

Note that cost per unit of control is high in the region of R  where
most of the phosphorus discharges are averted.  The incremental costs
are low in  region R  where little is done to avoid discharges.

To achieve an optimal rate of discharge it is necessary to  operate
where the marginal control cost equals the marginal damages.  This
occurs at rate  R .  At  R   marginal control costs  exceed marginal
                 u       J
damages.  Therefore, a higher level of discharge would be more effi-
cient.  On  the other hand, at R   marginal damages exceed marginal
control costs.  This implies that more controls should be applied to
avert damages.

Since there are no adequate data on the benefits from reduction in
discharges, this  study is mainly concerned with comparison  of alterna-
tive control measures based on a criterion of selecting the least  cost
or most cost-effective control strategy.

In considering only the cost side of the problem,  a benefit/cost compari-
son is needed to test the question of whether the cost is worth the bene-
fits received. It should  not necessarily be assumed that control justifies
itself, as is often assumed in setting standards.  However, cost-effective-
ness analysis provides a rational basis for decision given the stated
desire or objective of society to  achieve an efficient solution to a
problem.   An overview of benefit-cost and Cost-effectiveness analysis
as applied  to the  phosphate flow management system is shown in
Figure 37.
                                 265

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LCONOMC
SOCIAL AND
LEGAL CONTROLS
ON ACTIVITIES
                                          PHOSPHORUS
                                          HASTES
                      INPROVID MINING
                      AND NANUFACTt*£
                      MAGT1CCS 10
                      REDUCE PHOSPHATE
                      POLLUTION
                            ALTERATION OR
                            MANAGEMENT
                           -OF WCWUSMS
                       X^ FOR PHOSPHATE
                            POLLUTION
                           MECKAMSH
                           FOR PhOSCKATt
                           ENTRY iKTO
                           AQUATIC SYSTEM
         COHTROLS  Olt
         USlNfi/PROCUCIHG1
         MTIYITY-
         WDIFICATIM
         OF PRACTICES
         AND TECHNOLOGY
      ECONOMIC
      SOCIAL ADD LEGAL
      CONTROLS OH PRODUCT!,
      OR SERVICES REQUIRING
      PHOSPHAHS
                                                                       HASTt WATtR
                                                                       TREATMEKT
                                                                       TtCHNOLOGV
                                                                       FOR PKOSPHATL
                                                                         .HOVAL
BEKEF1C1AL
USE OF
WATER SOURCt
W BOlrt



tCOMMIC, SOCIAL
AND t»VIRONMLm*L
BENLFilS FROM
ttTER USi

Pt>P«"^
ENVIRONMENTAL
DAMAGE TO yATEK
SOURCE AND
DELATED USES



ENVtKONHlNTAL
UAMAGL
COiTS

Figure  37.  Coit-benefit and co»t-e£feetiven«|B *naJyii§ r*luted to j>ho*phoru» mavb flow.

-------
In analyzing "cost-effective" strategies,  costs are defined as  "real"
costs, i. e. , only those items "which divert resources from other pro-
ductive uses in providing goods and services are real costs.   In general
terms four kinds of costs are identified as real costs, as opposed to the
separate category of transfer payments.   Real costs may be imposed
on society as a whole as program or administrative costs for  govern-
mental units, while the incidence of others usually is at the consumer
level,  although many are levied at the producer  level and indirectly
passed on.  A more specific description  of costs and transfer payments
is provided in the following discussion.   Also in the accompanying
Table 41, the various kinds of costs  are  associated with the control
methods previously enumerated and described in detail as follows:

a.  Production Loss--

Actions which diminish the production of desirable goods  and  services
may be among the most promising pollution control mechanisms.  This
arises because of the production externalities problem, which simply
says that production of certain "bads" accompanies production of goods.
Thus,  an obvious way to diminish production of the pollutants  or "bads"
is to diminish production of goods.

b.  Production Cost Increases--

Production costs can be divided into  investment  (or capital) costs  and
operating costs.  These are incurred directly by the producing firm,
but most evidence would indicate that they are passed on to the
consumer, especially if competing firms are faced with the same
                                  267

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        Table 41.  SUMMARY LISTING OF CONTROL TACTICS

A.  Supply and demand (applies to consumer habits and producer
    activities)
    AT      1.  Subsidies (nonphosphorus products)
    AT      2.  Tax breaks and credits
    AC      3.  Price controls
    ATC     4.  Excise taxes or other taxes
    AP      5.  Advertising and education
    AP      6.  Nonmonetary recognition
    AP      7.  Content labeling
    AP      8.  Moral suasion
    ALC     9.  Boycotts
B.  Resource control,  mining and manufacturing
    AC      1.  Requirements for recycling
    ALC     2.  Phosphate mining restrictions (rationing)
    ALC     3.  Manufacturing/production restrictions
    ALC     4.  Emission controls

C.  Management of phosphorus uses
    ALC     1.  Resource and production substitution
    AC      2.  Technology improvements in processes or uses
    APLC   3.  Monitor requirements with enforcement of application
                rates  (e. gi , fertilizer)
    APLC   4.  Recycling  and reclamation

D.  Management of phosphorus discharges
    APLC   1.  Pollution standards
             2.  Land management practices
                AL     a.  Reduction of cultivated acreage
                AC     b.  Increased fertilizer use
                ALC   c.  Technical management
                ALC   d.  Irrigation practices
                AL     e.  Green belts and buffer zones
                APLC  f.   Solid waste recycling
             3.  Land use controls
                AL     a.  Zoning
                ATL   b.  Licensing
                APL   c.  Leasing
                AL     d.  Codes and subdivision regulations
                ATL   e.  Permits
                                 268

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                       Table 41.  CONTINUED
             4.  Solid waste management
                 AC     a.  Disposal regulation
                 AT     b.  Fees
    AT      5.  Effluent charges
    AL      6.  Bans
    ATC    7.  Fines

E.  Judicial controls
    ALC    1.  Judicial review
    ALC    2.  Class action
    ALC    3.  Common law  remedies (nuisance,  trespass,  negligence)
F.  Wastewater treatment—for phosphorus removal
    AC
G.  Lake modification
    APC
    T =  Transfer payments
    L =  Production loss
    C =  Production cost increases (operating and capital);  may be
          borne by individuals or groups
    P =  Program cost to governmental unit
    A =  Administrative costs
requirements and the same operating conditions.  Treatment plants
attached to an individual firm or to a group of firms or individuals
are examples of cost-increasing actions.  In most cases, pressure
would need to be brought to bear on the firms to bear the increased
costs.   This  pressure may be among any of the general kinds of controls
as shown in Table 41.
                                 269

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c.   Government Program Costs--

This represents direct actions by government and is, in many ways,
comparable to the production costs increases noted.  Direct outlays by
government are implied in this case, as distinguished from adminis-
trative costs defined below.   This kind of cost may be most appropriate
for overcoming problems in which the sources are difficult to identify,
or for other reasons the external effects cannot be internalized to the
producer.  Since the cost of these government programs represents an
alternative to production of other private or public goods and services,
they are a true cost as distinguished from the transfer payments.

d.   Administrative  Costs--

In each kind of program, certain costs of administration for monitoring
and  supervising compliance will be needed.  Personnel  costs, instru-
mentation expenses, and other expenditures will be incurred to enforce
conformity to the controls.   As with program costs, these are real
costs since other goods and/or services could be obtained if these
expenditures were not made.

e.   Transfer Payments--

These  are not real costs since they represent a redistribution of
wealth and income from one set of individuals to another.   To illustrate,
assume that Net National Product is an adequate representation  of the
income accruing to people in the  country.  Welfare payments, revenue
sharing, and other examples can be cited which shift income from one
                                 270

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segment of society to another, but no new wealth is created.   Therefore,



these transfers do not increase or decrease Net National Product.  Note



that in Table 41 the control methods  with which transfer payments are



associated do imply that resources are shifted from one part of society



to another.  In every case, administrative costs are associated with



these transfers and in two cases production losses are implied since



with licenses and use permits some controls may be placed on the way



in which resources may be utilized.







While the costs described above appropriately belong in the cost-



effectiveness analysis, a considerable amount of data collection and



analysis is necessary in order to accomplish this.  A detailed cost



analysis would have to be prepared for each control measure based on



a set of specifications for its implementation.  The performance of



such cost analyses is further complicated by the fact that specifications



and therefore costs will depend on the particularities of the basin area



being considered.   Hence, many of the components of "real" imple-



mentation costs for control strategies could not be examined within the



scope of this research.  In view of this, the cost-effectiveness analysis



is approached from the standpoint of "real" costs that are readily



available and calculable.   These are process costs for treatment of



wastewater discharges for removal of phosphorus.   These processes



and costs are discussed in detail in Section VI, and are incorporated



into the Phosphorus Mass Flow Model as a subroutine.  The subroutine



will accept flows from specified phosphorus activity sources and deter-



mine the minimum-cost treatment to achieve a given level of removal.



The cost-effectiveness of various management strategies is then analyzed



in terms of cost-savings  which can be accrued by avoiding the need to
                                 271

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apply treatment in order to achieve the same level of effectiveness in
terms of relative eutrophication.

The following simple example depicted in Figure 38 serves to illustrate
this approach. In the figure a measure of the relative eutrophication
of the lake is plotted on the ordinate versus the treatment cost of
achieving that level on the abscissa.  Two cost-effectiveness curves
derived from the P-Mass Flow Model are  shown.   The first assumes a
strategy which relies  solely on treatment processes for all phosphorus
removal; in the second a set of management controls (a strategy) is
applied along with treatment.  It is  seen from the plot, that the effect
of the management control is to reduce the level  of eutrophication to
R.   To achieve the same level through the use of treatment technologies
would have a cost of J3  dollars per year.  In terms of selection of a
strategy to reduce eutrophication to level R,  if  the "real" cost of
implementation of the management  strategy is less than  S  then it pays
to adopt the management control.

Further, if the desired effectiveness in eutrophicatiop level were Q,
then the cost-savings  of implementing  the management controls increases
considerably.  The cost of achieveing this level through treatment only
would be  TJ  dollars per year and the cost savings of implementing the
management controls  in achieving the same  level of relative eutrophi-
cation, Q,  is the amount  T  dollars per year.   In this case the
management strategy  should be implemented so long as the real costs
are less than T  dollars per year.
                                 272

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ro
        O
        •H
        X
        a
        o
        O
      fi
      o
      W
       0)
         o
         W
           Strategy B-

Management Control •& Treatment

                                                                                        Strategy A-

                                                                                   Treatment Only
            R —riT	
                                                  Cost, $/Yr
           Figure 38.  Example cost-effectiveness curves.

-------
To summarize, the application of the Phosphorus Mass Flow Model and
treatment subroutine can be used to generate a set of cost-effectiveness
curves for comparing alternative management strategies.  Given a
desired achievement level for which a water body can be  maintained in
a noneutrophic state, and a decision-maker's estimates of real strategy
implementation costs for his particular situation, a cost-effective
strategy can be selected.  Similarly,  if the total program budget is
fixed, then a strategy can be selected which maximizes the level of
effectiveness.   Three case examples are presented in the following to
illustrate the model outputs  and analysis approach for a real system.

ANALYSIS OF  BASIN CASE  EXAMPLES

Three case examples of -water resources basins are analyzed in order
to test the model and analysis concepts.  One is a hypothetical basin
with the data set made up as necessary to test the model  during its
development.   The others  are the Lake Erie and Lake Michigan Basins
with the data based on information contained in Appendix  D.

The latter two  basins provide a basis for examining and evaluating the
application of the modeling and analysis procedures for examining
phosphate management strategies in an actual setting.

Targeting P-Activities for Application of
Control Strategies

The beginning step in the analysis is to identify those activities in the
basin that are responsible for the major inputs of phosphorus into the
                                 274

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surface waters.  To accomplish this, a model run is made for the
presently existing conditions in the basin.   This established the current
levels of P-discharges from each activity and readily identifies those
that contribute the majority of the P-loadings on the surface waters.
These are the activities that should be attacked in order to control
eutrophication.  The baseline condition for  the three basins, Hypothetical,
Erie, and Michigan, are shown in the bar graphs  of Figures 39, 40,
and 41.  The charts show phosphate outputs produced by each activity
as a percentage of the total output generated in the basin.   For a
number of activities within each basin the output level is  so slight as
to be  negligible so these  can be ignored insofar as the application of
control strategies.  On the other hand,  major input sources, such as
domestic wastes and domestic detergents for Lake Erie,  are prime
targets for application of a strong and effective set of controls.  Using
the baseline analysis of the P-discharges of activities in  each basin,
those activities were selected for the development of  specific control
strategies.  This set of activities for the basins generally includes  the
major inputs of agriculture,  domestic wastes, domestic detergents,
industrial detergents, and a collection of minor inputs including other
industrial wastes, urban runoff,  and animal wastes.  The management
controls judged to be most  effective as controls on these  sources are
discussed in the following paragraphs.  An  estimate of their effect  in
reducing P-outputs is then  input to the model in order to  examine the
cost-effectiveness impact of the strategy.
                                  275

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                                Percent of Total Phosphorus Input

                                 5         10        15        20
25
 Direct rainfall

 River inflow

 Agricultural erosion

 Irrigation return flow

 Pesticides

 Solid waste disposal

 Managed forests

 Grazed watershed

 Developed watershed

 Natural watershed

 Urban runoff

 Domestic wastes

 Domestic detergents

 Industrial detergents

 Water softening

 Miscellaneous
   industrial use

 Metal finishing

 Food wastes

 P mining

 Mining runoff

 Cattle

 Poultry

 Pigs

Sheep
Figure  39.  Hypothetical Lake--relative contributions from phosphorus activities
            prior to application of controls.
                                       276

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                                          10
                            15
                                                            20
25
Direct Rainfall

River inflow

Agricultural effects

Irrigation return flow

Pesticides

Solid -waste disposal

Managed forests

Grazed watershed

Developed watershed

Natural watershed

Urban runoff

Domestic wastes

Domestic detergents

Industrial detergents

Water  softening

Miscellaneous
  industrial use

Metal finishing

Food wastes

P mining

Mining runoff

Cattle

Poultry

Pigs

Sheep
]
]
]
Figure 40.  Lake Erie--relative contributions from phosphorus activities
            prior to application of controls.

                                          277

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                                        10
                                                  15
20
                                                                    25
                      ZI
Direct rainfall

River inflow

Agricultural erosion

Irrigation return flow

Pesticides

Solid waste disposal

Managed forests

Grazed watershed

Developed watershed

Natural watershed

Urban runoff

Domestic wastes

Domestic detergents

Industrial detergents

Water softening

Miscellaneous
  industrial use

Metal finishing

Food wastes

P mining

Mining runoff

Cattle

Poultry

Pigs

Sheep
Figure 41.  Lake Michigan--relative contributions from phosphorus activities
            prior to application of controls.
                                            278

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FORMULATING COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT
STRATEGIES

Analysis of Mass Flow Program for
the Different Lakes

Although the mass  flow program was applied to Lake Erie and Lake
Michigan without any special adjustments for curve fitting, reasonable
agreement with the actual situation was observed.  Calculated phos-
phorus concentrations were about  4 |Jig P/l for Lake Michigan and 42
|J.g P/l for  Lake Erie.  These values compare fairly closely with esti-
mates of about 2-6 |xg P/l for Lake Michigan (Schelske and Stoermer,
1972) and 11-90 [J. g P/l in filtered water from Lake Erie (Lange,  1971).
Thus application of activity analysis and cost-effectiveness to these
actual lakes appears  reasonable.

After many exploratory runs to determine what kinds of activities should
be attacked in order to control eutrophication,  a series of strategies
were devised.  These included treatment of municipal wastes, deter-
gent control, land use management, animal waste controls, fertilizers,
and a series of controls for minor inputs.

Treatment of Municipal Wastewaters

The first series of runs of the mass flow program involved only treat-
ment and no attempt at any management controls.  Municipal waste
treatment included zero removal (baseline), 25 percent P removal,
                                 279

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80 percent P removal, 95 percent P removal, and 99 percent P removal.
Results were obtained in terms of the amount of phosphorus removed
and the cost of treatment.  Zero removal established the base case
from which cost savings  are calculated.

The  effects of these treatments on the three lakes can be seen in Figures
42, 43, and 44.  (Note:  The numbers refer to controls applied to the
mass flow program, ) Numbers 1 through 5 on the abscissa correspond
to zero, 25 percent, 80 percent,  95 percent, and 99 percent phosphorus
removal, respectively.

Implementation of such controls would most likely be dependent on
effluent standards; however, effluent charges, recycling requirements,
or judicial actions might precede such standards.

Detergent Control Strategies

Going back to the situation where no municipal waste treatment was
being practiced and no other management controls were applied, deter-
gents were manipulated.   In this case, what was done was  to decrease
the estimated proportion of the population using high phosphate deter-
gent and distribute this use among the other kinds of washing products.
It was  not material which of the other distributions were utilized,
because none of them contributed appreciable amounts of phosphorus.
For  this case when high phosphate detergent was reduced,  the no
phosphate detergents  and soaps were increased correspondingly in
approximately equal ratios.  The no phosphate detergent was slightly
favored.  No distribution to low phosphate detergent was utilized,
                                 280

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                                     Relative Eutrophication
                                          100
                                                   150
200
 0
25
80      '
95
99
DomDet
     Treat
        it
IndDet
   ii
   ii
AgMgmt
   11 + slope
   11 P Factor 0.01* 16
   "     "    0.25
ANWST-land*
Zero minor*
Water  soft. =0*
 0**  CmpMgt
25       »
80       "
95       »
99
                    26
                                            Available A
                                            P-loading-'
250
                                              Initial Conditions
 *Varied treatment levels were later applied with all these strategies to form
  CmpMgt.  (Note that P = 0. 01. )
**Sewered all Ind wastes, urban runoff cone = 0. 5 orig.; CmpMgt.
Figure 42.  Hypothetical Lake--effects of controls on relative eutrophication
            (see text for description).
                                   281

-------
                                      Relative Eutrophication
                                       «        12        16
                                                                  20
0   Treat
25
80
95
99
DomDet
 IndDet
                   10
"                 12

AgMgmt          14
" + slope
" P. Factor 0.01*  16
11    "     0.25
ANWST-land*     18
Zero minor*
Water soft.=0*    20
0**  CmpKiRt
25
 80
 95
 99
                  22
                  24
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 *Varied treatment levels were later applied with all these strategies to form
  CmpMgt.  (Note that P = 0. 01. )
**Sewered all Ind wastes, urban runoff cone = 0.5 orig. ; CmpMgt.
Figure 43.  Lake Erie—effects of controls on relative eutrophication (see text
            for description).
                                                       24
                                         282

-------
                              1. 0
                                      Relative Eutrophication
                                      2.0     3. 0      4. 0
                                                               5.0
                                                  6.0
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                                    Available
                                    P-loading
 *Varied treatment levels were later appHed with all these strategies to form
  CmpMgt.  (Note that P = 0. 01. )
*#Sewered all Ind wastes, urban runoff cone = 0, 5 orig. ; CmpMgt.
  Figure 44.  Lake Michigan--effects of controls on relative eutrophication (see
            text for description).
                                         283

-------
because it was assumed that most regulations applied to detergents
would require a level of phosphate closer to zero than low phosphate
detergents actually have.  Thus,  from the initial distribution (Number
1) of 0. 7,  0. 1, 0. 1,  0. 1 for high phosphate, low phosphate, no phosphate,
and  soap,  a series of other distributions were made as follows for the
respective wash products:  (Number 6) 0. 2, 0. 1, 0. 35, 0. 35; (Number
7) 0. 35, 0. 1, 0. 3, 0. 25; {Number 8) 0. 5,  0. 1, 0. 2, 0. 2; and (Number
9) 0. 0,  0.  1,  0. 5,  0.4.   A similar approach was taken with industrial
detergents; it was assumed that low phosphate detergents would not be
used in industrial applications.  In this case the initial levels (Number
1) were  0. 9, 0. 0, 0. 0, and 0. 1.  The series of changed use distributions
were: (Number 10)  0. 25,  0.0, 0.35,  0. 4; (Number 11) 0. 45, 0.0, 0.25,
0.3; (Number 12)  0.65,  0.0,  0.25, 0.1; and (Number  13) 0.0, 0.0, 0.6,
0.4.

As can  be  seen in Figures 42, 43, and 44, significant effects on eutro-
phication levels were seen for domestic detergent controls (DomDet)
but not for industrial detergent controls (IndDet); this results because
of different use ratios in the two areas of society (Table 9).

Implementation of controls to produce the above effects has begun
already  in certain areas of the USA (see Section VII).  Likely controls
other than the bans already used would include supply and demand
controls, particularly excise taxes, and product substitution.   (For
discussion, see Jenkins et al. , 1972.  )  Costs of  such controls are not
easily computed because of the difficulty in estimating development
costs, possible costs in changing washing machines or other processes
to match the products,  consumer acceptance, cleaning levels,
                                  284

-------
etc.  Analysis  of such costs and other management costs  should be
performed to have a complete picture of phosphorus cost-effectiveness
controls applied to detergents.  Discussion of excise taxes applied to
detergents as introduced in Section VII, occurs further on in this
Section.

Land Use Management Strategies

In this case there were four succeeding steps.  First (Number 14),
soluble available phosphorus leached from agricultural lands was
reduced to zero (AgMgmt).  This kind of control could be brought  about
by green belt legislation and by other types of phosphorus removal
programs, e. g. , increased natural or  cultivated vegetation.   The
second  step (Number 15)  was to eliminate all highly sloped land (AgMgmt
+ slope); only Class  A (the 0-1 percent slope) land was utilized; the
others were taken out of production. At the same  time as the second
step, the soluble available phosphorus  was kept at zero.  Such a control
measure likely could be brought about by subsidies, zoning, land bank
requirements,  etc.  The  efficacy of such control measures in farming
sociology and the relative proportion of prime farm lands in the U. S.
which fall into this category as well as a consideration of domestic and
export needs for farm products is unfortunately unknown.  Further
analysis of these questions would be necessary before  suggesting the
implementation of such control measures.

The third step (Number 16) was to keep the first two management  steps
and to change the practice factor to 0. 01 (AgMgmt + slope + P factor
0. 01).   This  is assuming a high degree of competence in controlling
                                 285

-------
runoff and erosion rate.  In later analyses the minimum practice factor
utilized was 0. 10.  By using sprinkler irrigation,  careful use of ground
cover and developing large green belts, etc. ,  it might be possible to
reduce runoff to that particular point for sediments.  A reason for
doing this lies not necessarily in controlling phosphorus, but in controlling
the major problem of suspended sediments and other eroded materials.
The fourth step (Number 17) was a less drastic one than the third  step,
and this was to use a more reasonable practice factor of 0. 25 and all
other controls as in the  third step (AgMgmt +  slope + P factor 0. 25).
Similar control measures could  be implemented to achieve the effects
seen in Figures 42, 43,  and 44.

Except for erosion control, little effect on eutrophication was seen.  In
fact, very little effect in comparison to the zero treatment eutrophication
level (Number 1) could be seen for available phosphorus eutrophication
levels. This observation reflects the decision that in general phosphorus
or  eroded soils are not available for algal growth  in natural ecosystems.

Animal Wastes Control
In this step (Number 18) it was assumed that the most logical and
feasible thing to do would be to require that all animal waste be disposed
to lands and that the land disposal should be done in a fairly competent
way so that direct discharge of •wastes into surface waters could not
occur (ANWST-land).  Subsidies, effluent charges, land management
practices, and bans and fines could be used to implement such control
measures.  In addition,  a requirement that feedlots not be allowed to
locate near a watercourse,  or be required to move away from
                                 286

-------
watercourses, would prevent most accidental spills.  Also,  requirements
that the application of manures to lands utilize good erosion control
practices and that green belts be utilized would minimize land runoff.

The runoff factor from lands  obtaining animal waste was assumed to be
about 5 percent.  This is the  maximum value that Vollenweider (1968)
suggested for animal manures phosphorus runoff.  It  is also the level
estimated by Biggar and Corey (1969) for frozen  land runoff of animal
manures in the Lake  Mendota watershed.  The effect  of this control
seemed somewhat significant for Lake Michigan (Figure 44) but not for
Lake  Erie  (Figure 43).

Other Miscellaneous  Control  Devices
Fertilizer application rates were maintained at a relatively low value
(10 kg P/ha* yr) because of their effect on eroded material and its con-
centration of phosphorus.  The level chosen was one which would main-
tain phosphorus levels in the  solid phase phosphorus, but which would
not cause the eroded phosphorus to increase  significantly. Another
control was to  cause all minor inputs to be zero (zero minor).  These
could be  accomplished by a variety of tactics.  The minor inputs were:
Irrigation return flow, pesticide runoff,  solid waste runoff, and strip
mining runoff.   In some cases these values were already zero because
it was assumed that the particular activity did not occur in the basin,
e. g. ,  strip  mining runoff in Lake Michigan.  Solid waste runoff can be
minimized by recycling the leachate to percolate through the overlying
soil in the landfill.  Phosphorus pesticides runoff  can be minimized by
utilizing  different pesticides or applying pesticide during the low
                                  287

-------
runoff season of the year.  Irrigation return flows can be collected and
removed from input to natural surface waters:  (1) Bypass the lake of
interest; and (2) treat for salinity and/or nitrate removal as has been
practiced in California (Brown et al. , 1971).

Thus, these minor inputs can easily be minimized; they were zeroed
in this case.  The application of all these controls resulted in the
changes noted in Number 19.

A last minor input concerns the use of phosphorus-bearing water soft-
eners in industrial uses.  Because of the advent of organic water
softening compounds, the amount of phosphorus-based water softeners
has remained the same since  1958.   However, there is also the possi-
bility that the phosphorus-based water softeners can be eliminated
entirely by use of  bans or other such controls.  This control (water
soft.  =  0) was added to control of minor inputs and produced a negli-
gible effect in all cases (Number 20), Therefore, it seems reasonable
to let water softening phosphorus use disappear without application of
controls.

Application of Comprehensive Strategy and
Municipal Waste Simultaneously

The next step was  to apply the different control strategies to produce a
certain desired result in terms  of eutrophication of the lakes.   These
were  determined with the hypothetical lake system first and then applied
without further experimentation directly to Lakes Michigan and Erie.
The first step was to select the  particular strategies, and these were:
                                 288

-------
(1)  To ban use of high phosphorus detergent,  both in the domestic and
industrial use patterns;  (2) apply land use controls so that practice
factors brought about by various kinds of green belts, etc, , would
reduce erosion rates to  0. 10 of the initial, to eliminate the high-slope
lands ("greater than one percent") and to eliminate soluble surface
phosphorus runoff; (3) animal waste was shunted to land disposal and
10 kg/ha* yr was the maximum level of fertilization allowed; (4) all
industrial waste was  required to go through the sewage treatment
plant:  Thus direct discharge of wastes to streams was prohibited
("zero discharge11); by eliminating certain kinds of runoff conditions
and minimizing phosphorus use in road deicing compounds, and in home
garden use, the amount  of phosphorus coming from urban runoff was
cut in half;  and (5) all minor inputs and water softening were reduced to
zero.  Then, using this  rather comprehensive strategy (CmpMgt), the
levels  of treatment were applied as in the first condition (Numbers 1-5),
i. e. , 0 percent removal (Number 21),  25 percent (Number 22),  80
percent (Number 23), 95 percent (Number 24),  and 99 percent (Number
25)  removal were  practiced.  The results of all these applications of
strategy to the mass  flow model were dramatically improved over any
single  strategy--especially for the hypothetical lake (Figure 42) and
Lake Erie (Figure 43).

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Strategy
Implementation

The cost-effectiveness analysis of implementing the final set of control
strategies,  screened out as being potentially  most effective, is developed
along the  lines suggested in the  example analysis a't the beginning of this
                                 289

-------
section (Figure 38).  Data for the cost-effectiveness curves are gener-
ated by a series of model runs which simulate the effect of the manage-
ment control together with wastewater treatments specified for the
levels  of 0, 50,  60, 70,  80, 84, 86, 88, 90, 92, 93, 94,  95,  96,  97, 98,
and 99 percent removal of phosphorus.   For each percentage of phos-
phorus  removal,  a eutrophication level and treatment cost are computed.
The  eutrophication level is measured by the indexing number previously
discussed, where the smaller the index number, the less  the eutrophic
condition of the water body.  Costs are in dollars per year.  These two
values, then,  determine a point on the cost-effectiveness  curve for that
management strategy.  The collection of points plotted for the range
percentage removals generates the entire cost-effectiveness  curve for
the strategy.

The  set of cost-effectiveness curves for the three case examples are
presented in Figures 45, 46, and 47 for the Hypothetical,  Lake Erie,
and Lake Michigan basins respectively.  The final set of management
controls analyzed were the same for each case.  The strategies identi-
fied by  the phosphorus sources to which they are applied are  noted
below for  ease of reference in  the following discussion:

1.  Treat-      Treatment processes are applied to all phosphorus
               inputs from sources which  can be treated. This  estab-
               lishes the base case from which cost savings are
               calculated.
2. DomDet-   Use of domestic detergents is shifted or eliminated.
               through management controls.
3. IndDet-    Use of industrial detergents is shifted or  eliminated
               through management controls.
                                 290

-------
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                                                                            CmpMgt
                                           A-l,^—
                                          -A  O
                                                        7D
                                                               DomDet   ^ Treat
     80 M






    100





DomDet»( I	

    120
        140
    IndDet -»
        160
        180
                      10
                             20
30
40
50
60
70
                   Annual Cost of Removal of Phosphorus at the Treatment Plant, $ x 10"
    Figure 45.  Hypothetical lake--cost-effectiveness of various treatment levels in relation to

                eutrophication based on available phosphorus loading.
                                                    291

-------
CO
               10
               15
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                              O Treat


                              Q IndDet

                              A DomDet
                                       CmpMgt

                                       CmSew (CmpMgt without sewering all industrial wastes)
                                    Annual Cost of Removal of Phosphorus at the Treatment Plant,  $ x  10



                   Figure 46.  Lake Erie (20 m mean depth)--cost-effectiveness of various treatment levels in relation to


                               eutrophication based on available phosphorus loading.

-------
t>0
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        5  CmpMgt

        6  CmSew
            0
                              10
                                              15
20
25
30
35
40
45
                             Annual Cost of Removal of Phosphorus at the Treatment Plant, $ x 10
         Figure 47.  Lake Michigan--cost-effectiveness of various treatment levels in relation to eutrophication

                     based on available phosphorus loading.

-------
4.  AgMgmt-    Agricultural practices are altered in accordance with
                prescribed management controls.
5.  CmpMgt-    Comprehensive management controls applied to all
                major and minor input sources.
6.  CmSew-     Comprehensive management controls applied to all
                major and minor inputs except the required sewering
                of all industrial wastes.
A general conclusion which can be drawn from the curves for all three
cases is that increased effectiveness of treatment processes can be
obtained at lower cost by first applying management controls to sources
in order to reduce phosphorus loadings.  This,  of course, was expected
and confirms the validity of using the concept of cost-savings,  or avoid-
ance of treatment costs, as the basis of a decision rule for determining
whether a management strategy should be implemented.  To restate the
criterion:  If the real costs for strategy implementation are less than
the treatment costs saved (or avoided) then the  strategy should be
used.

In addition, a few other general observations about the cost-effectiveness
curves  should be made.  First, AgMgmt evidences no effect on the
system since its cost-effectiveness  curve corresponded identically with
the Treat strategy.  Hence, this control strategy does not appear on the
cost-effectiveness plots.   The reason,  however,  is due to using eutro-
phication numbers calculated from the phosphorus available for algal
growth  rather than total phosphorus residual in the system for  the
measure of effectiveness (see p. 54ff for discussion). AgMgmt does
effectively reduce total phosphorus, but mostly in the forms that are
not considered available to algae.
                                 294

-------
Second, each cost-effectiveness curve reflects segments of cost
functions from three different treatment processes, namely coagulation,
ion exchange, and reverse osmosis.  The treatment subroutine selects
the minimum cost treatment process based on constraints which specify
acceptable influent concentration and the effluent concentrations which
are obtainable  in the process.  When a higher level treatment process
is selected, such as ion exchange or reverse osmosis, there is a
discontinuity in the cost-effectiveness curves (shown by the dashed line)
which reflects  the substantially higher cost function of the higher level
process.

Finally, the g.eneral picture from the cost-effectiveness curves of impact
of the management strategies for the three basin examples appears about
the same.  The specific conclusions for each basin, however,  are quite
different because of differences in the initial conditions  of relative
eutrophication  in the lake and in the constituent phosphorus sources of
the basin.

SPECIFIC  CONCLUSIONS OF MANAGEMENT
STRATEGIES APPLIED TO  THE INDIVIDUAL LAKE BASINS

Hypothetical

The hypothetical basin is only briefly discussed since it is primarily
of academic interest in developing and testing the mass flow model.
In the hypothetical case, the lake size is small relative to the size of
the basin inputs; hence,  the phosphorus loading rate is very high, and
consequently, the relative eutrophication.  As the cost-effectiveness
                                 295

-------
curves indicate,  CmpMgt is required together with reverse osmosis
treatment to approach the acceptable range of 5-10 for relative eutro-
phication.  The annual cost for treatment alone under such a program
would be $7-8 million.  Furthermore, the curve indicates that relatively
little effectiveness is gained in going from coagulation at an annual cost
of $600, 000 and relative eutrophication of 25-35 to reverse osmosis with
an annual cost of about $7, 000, 000 and relative eutrophication of 10-15.
Whether or not these very high expenditures would be justified where actual
improvement seems doubtful is a question that would need careful study.

.Lake Erie

Lake Erie presents an interesting case where a combination of manage-
ment controls and treatment processes can, in fact,  reduce the  relative
eutrophication levels to within an acceptable range of 5-10.   Here, a
more detailed examination of  the cost-effectiveness curves for the
various management approaches can yield further  insight into an appro-
priate  course of action.

An initial question is what costs would be justified in the implementation
of strategies to control a particular pollutant source?  According to the
stated  decision rule, this must be answered in terms of the treatment
cost-savings anticipated.  These cost-savings are easily derived from
the cost-effectiveness curves. Using, for example,  the Lake Erie case
shown  in Figure 46, calculations summarized in Table 42 are made in
the following way.  The relative eutrophication for the system with no
management or treatment is 38. . With CmpMgt, which implements
all management options, relative eutrophication is dropped  17 points
                                 296

-------
         Table 42.  COST SAVINGS ATTRIBUTABLE TO STRATEGIES FOR LAKE ERIE CASE
sD
rt Relative
Strategy . ,.
eut r ophi cation
System is as 38
CmpMgmt 21
IndDet 35
DomDet 26
Combined IndDet & DomDet
All Other
Total %
Change change for
eut r ophi cation management
strategy

17 100%
3 18%
12 70%
15
2 12%
$
savings
attributable tcr
strategy

$11.5 m
2. 0 m
8. 1 m
1.4 m

-------
to 21.  ,At a relative eutrophication level of 21,  cost of the Treat strategy
is $11. 5 million.  The treatment cost-savings attributable to CmpMgt
if implemented is $11. 5 million.  Therefore, it pays to apply a CmpMgt
strategy if the total cost of doing so is less than $11. 5 million.  The
proportion of those savings due to the IndDet and DomDet strategy
components can also be calculated assuming they are  in the same
proportion as the percentage of the total change in relative eutrophication
that they  contribute.   The assumption of linearity and superposition
seem reasonable  since there is little interaction among the subsystems,
and a specific drop in relative eutrophication can be associated with
particular substrategies included within CmpMgt.   Thus, DomDet
is responsible for 12 of the total  17 points  change or 70 percent.  The
treatment cost-savings due to the DomDet  strategy, then, are 70 percent
of $11. 5 million,  or $8. 1 million, and hence it pays to implement the
DomDet strategy if it  costs less than this.   Similar reasoning applies
to IndDet and the remaining strategy components.

In applying cost-effectiveness analysis, the  selection  of an action
strategy should be approached from the standpoint of the desired level
of effectiveness and of the constraints on available budget.  For example,
consider  a policy objective to achieve an effectiveness level of less
than 10 in order ,to ensure noneutrophic lake conditions.  The cost-
effectiveness curves of Figure 46 indicate  that the management options
can produce  significant cost-savings at this level.   The curves show
that a eutrophication number in the range of 10, if it is attainable under
                    /
Treat at all, can only be achieved with reverse osmosis  at a cost in the
order of $132 million.  Using CmpMgt   plus treatment by coagulation
a level of 10 is attainable for a cost of $9 million.   For this specific
                                  298

-------
level of effectiveness, then, the net savings in treatment cost from
CmpMgt  is some $123 million.  This amount is an upper limit on
costs of implementing CmpMgt  and any implementation cost less than
that represents a net cost-savings.

Even though management may desire to achieve a high level of effective-
ness, it is often constrained by budget limitations on what it actually
can do. It is also worthwhile, therefore,  to identify the management
strategy which achieves the highest level of effectiveness for a  given
budget. Since  the cost-effectiveness curves do not incorporate strategy
implementation costs, again it is necessary to examine the decision in
light of allowable implementation costs.  For  example, say the total
budget cannot exceed $15 million.  The highest level of effectiveness
achievable for  less than $15 million treatment cost is CmpMgt   in
conjunction with treatment by coagulation.   With this  strategy a  relative
eutrophication  of 8 can be attained for  a treatment cost of $10. 5 million.
This combination would then be selected so long as the implementation
costs of CmpMgt  were less than $4. 5 million, the difference between
the treatment cost of $10. 5 million under  CmpMgt    and the budget
constraint of $15 million.   If this criterion could not be met, then a
similar examination of other strategies would proceed until the highest
level of effectiveness is achieved within the budget constraint.

Some control measures would not only be  cost-savings because  of
reduced treatment requirements, but would also generate revenues
which would be used to effect or carry out  that treatment, just as
highways  are financed by a tax on gasoline.
                                  299

-------
In Section VII, the possible revenue potential of a national excise tax
on phosphate detergents was examined.  What such a tax might do in
the Lake Erie basin is presented here as an example case.  Beginning
with present usage patterns of high phosphate, low phosphate, no
phosphate detergents,  and of soap in the basin, the question for analysis
is: What will be the case if a change in use patterns is brought about
by means of a tax on high phosphate detergents?   To do this, four cases
representing shifts from use of high phosphate detergents are analyzed
to determine the tax rates necessary to induce the change, the potential
revenue from the tax,  and the effect on treatment cost generated  from
the model.  Analysis is based on the following assumptions.  First,
some elasticity (percentage change in quantity divided by the percentage
change in price) for  the change caused by introducing the tax is assumed.
An elasticity of 0. 75 (4 percent change in price gives a 3 percent change
in quantity) is selected because it seems a reasonable one.  There would
be no precise way of knowing before the change what the response is
going to be.  Second, assume that people are consuming on a per capita
basis approximately 32 pounds of cleaning agents  per year.  See  1973
estimate in Table 38 for consumption of detergent.  In the example
soap adds another 10 percent to the total initially.  Finally, assume
the price of high phosphate detergent to be 20£ a pound initially, the
prices of other products to remain constant.  With these assumptions,
the kind of tax rate would be required to bring about the changes in
consumption patterns postulated in Table 43  on Lake Erie and the
revenues that would  be generated by it are calculated.

It can be observed that Case 3 provides the greatest revenue and  that
while going to Case 4 may be cost-saving at  some levels  of treatment
                                 300

-------
     Table 43.  ANALYSIS OF EXCISE TAX ON HIGH PHOSPHATE
               DETER GENTS--LAKE ERIE EXAMPLE









Initial Condition
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
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(1)  per capita consumption  X  population of 12.5 million

(2)  this is the rate needed to bring about the change postulated in each

    case given that elasticity  = . 75

           e. g.  Case 1

                     %  A in Q
                 75 =
                     % A in P
                       18.2
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                      X %     X %
                X  =  19.2%  and
                      19.2% of 20£  is

(3)  consumption X rate
                                   301

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it would,  in this example,  result in a loss of revenues.  For instance,
for a treatment level at 90 percent removal,  the following cost-savings
and revenues would be realized.
Initial Condition
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
Cost
37. 1 M
23.4 M
21.9 M
35.2 M
35. 2 M
Savings
-
13.7 M
15.2 M
1.9 M
1.9 M
Rev.
-
9.21 M
15.2 M
18.8 M
15.2 M
Total
-
22.9 M
30.4 M
20.7 M
17. 1 M
In this situation, Case 2 yields the greatest total cost-savings and tax
revenues combined.  Other removal rates would yield different results.

This has been a simple example which has precluded some very real
problems and some hidden assumptions.  Some of these are that all
four materials have equal cleaning power per pound, that the higher
price of high phosphate detergent causes a substitution and not a
reduction in overall purchases of cleaning agents,  and finally that
people change  their consumption patterns rather than their shopping
location to an untaxed area.  The lower the level of government levying
the tax the more likely people are to avoid it by simply buying outside
the taxed area,

This example,  however, does illustrate that if a tax is to be used as a
regulating device that our model could be used to suggest what the
appropriate rate of tax should be.
                                 302

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Summarizing a general conclusion for Lake Erie in terms of management



policy,  it is  clear that the lake can be brought to noneutrophic levels



through comprehensive management and the use of coagulation as a



relatively inexpensive treatment method.  Furthermore, expensive



treatment processes are not able to accomplish this without the  use  of



some management of phosphate sources in the basin.







Lake Michigan







For  the Lake Michigan case,  the present phosphorus loading will



apparently not cause serious problems of  eutrophication.  From this



standpoint, therefore, treatment would be unnecessary.  Nevertheless,



consideration of providing a margin of safety by implementing manage-



ment control on various inputs could be valuable in preserving the



future quality of the lake.  A decision of whether or  not such a control



is justified would be made following the same line of reasoning developed



in the previous examples.  As a general conclusion for Lake Michigan,



where future costs to correct problems can be  averted it makes sense



to opt for better management of phosphorus sources in preference



to treatment  programs as the means  for ensuring maintenance of the



eutrophication level in the presently acceptable range.







Summary







This section  has developed the basic  analytical notions for application



of cost-effectiveness analysis in selection of strategies for phosphate



management.  While the real costs of strategy implementation were



discussed, the actual estimation of such costs for use  in cost-effectiveness
                                 303

-------
analysis could not be accomplished within the scope of this project.
Certainly a useful extension of this research would be further elaboration
of the cost-effectiveness analytical framework through investigation
and estimation of these costs,  and using them in further testing and
applying the mass flow and treatment optimization models in cos't-
effectiveness  studies for selected basins.  Even so, partial cost-
effectiveness  curves based on the impact of various strategies plus
treatment were derived and the concepts  of analysis and strategy
selection described.  The analysis was applied to two actual cases,
Lake Erie and Lake Michigan.   For Lake Erie, it was seen that a
combination of management controls plus treatment could bring the
relative eutrophication within acceptable  levels.  For Lake  Michigan,
implementatidn of low cost control strategies would ensure  that presently
acceptable levels are maintained or improved.
                                 304

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                                   327

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                                   328

-------
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                                    331

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                                   332

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                            APPENDIX A



    FURTHER RELATIONS BETWEEN EUTROPHICATION LEVELS



           AND STANDING CROP ESTIMATES OF ALGAE







EUTROPHICATION PARAMETERS AND



PHOSPHORUS LOADING







The relationships between phosphorus loading and phosphorus concen-



tration in the water (Figure 8) can be expressed as:






      P cone, (J.g/1  =  80 (P loading rate), g/m  yr                (41)






Averaging the results of Edmundson (1972) and  Megard (1972) for



chlorophyll ji versus phosphorus  concentration (Figure  10), a relation-



ship between total phosphorus concentration and an index of algal



productivity can be obtained:






      Chlorophyll a_, p.g/1  =0.8 (Total P cone, ^g/1)              (42)






Further,  an inverse relationship between water clarity and chlorophyll



a can be estimated (see Figure A-l B; r = 0.89, calculated from



Edmundson,  1972):






               1            =  0.02  (chlorophyll a, fig/1) + 0. 3    (43)
      Secchi depth, meters
                                333

-------


00
C
B
T3
O
OT
T3
V
c
(X
a
10



12.0

10.0


8.0

6.0


4.0



2.0
0
,•
»
" i —
i
o\ • Data from April 1969-April 1970
t \ o Data from April 1970-April 1971
« \,
\

\ •
^ o
• ^ o

-------
A similar relationship between suspended material composed mostly
(> 50 percent) of organic matter has been obtained (Figure A-l A;
Dugan et al. ,  1971):
      Secchi depth, meters  = °'01 
-------
                                                          2
      Spring P cone,  |j,g/l = 80  (Annual P loading rate,  g/m  yr)
      Chlorophyll a,  pg/1 = 64  (Annual P loading rate,  g/m  yr)
                         =  1. 28  (Annual P loading rate,  g/m  yr)
      Secchi depth, m
                                                                  (45)
As shown in Figure A-2, the relation between phosphorus loading rates
and chlorophyll a_ and Secchi depth allows definition of levels correspond-
ing to admissible and dangerous levels of eutrophication.  These values
would only be of relative value to  indicate in quantitative terms a crude
definition of algal population levels corresponding to a eutrophic lake;
as such they should be compared to  other lake systems varying in their
degree of eutrophy.
                                 336

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         Relative
         Eutrophication

         Permissible
         Dangerous
         Biomass Parameter
Chlorophyll a. tig/1
       26
       52
Secchi Depth,  m
       1.02
       0.85
                 Relative
             Eutrophication
           permissible
                    dangerous
          0
            Annual total phosphorus loading rate, g/m  yr
Figure A-2.  An example of how a biomass (algal bloom) parameter can
             be related to phosphorus loading rate.  Assumed mean
             depth of lake is  100 meters.
                                337

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                            APPENDIX B
            LANDFILLS AS A SOURCE OF PHOSPHORUS

The prediction of the quantity of phosphorus contributed to surface waters
from sanitary landfill is not simple because it depends upon the con-
dition of the landfill (saturated or not saturated) and upon whether the
leachate from the fill enters surface or ground waters.

That there is some phosphorus  contributed to groundwaters beneath,
within,  and downstream from, sanitary landfills has been demonstrated
as early as 1954 (Merz, 1954).   By drilling wells upstream in the ground-
water aquifer running below the Riverside, California,  landfill, it was
demonstrated that phosphorus concentrations were higher in the water
beneath and downstream from the landfill.  An  abbreviated list of this
data is presented in Table B-l.  (All data in this discussion were pre-
sented as phosphate and have been converted to phosphorus. )

While these data show that sanitary landfills  do contribute phosphorus to
groundwaters through leaching,  such field  studies are difficult to  draw
conclusions from in terms of phosphorus loadings from a unit (such as
a metric ton or a hectare-meter) of  sanitary landfill.  For such data one
must invariably turn to laboratory or lysimeter studies on the production
of leachate from (typically) saturated "synthetic" sanitary landfills.
                                 338

-------
  Table B-l.  EFFECT OF LANDFILL LEACHATE ON PHOSPHORUS
             CONTENT OF UNDERLYING GROUNDWATER
Location of Well
   Inorganic phosphorus
           mg/1
1952-1953       1953-1954
Upstream of landfill in aquifer
At head of Landfill in aquifer
Immediately below  landfill in aquifer
  Below landfill 4 ft into aquifer
  Below landfill 6 ft into aquifer
  Below Landfill 10  ft into aquifer
Below landfill 6 ft into aquifer
  Below landfill into aquifer (depth
  unspecified)
  Below landfill into aquifer (depth
  unspecified)
Below landfill 6 ft into aquifer
  Below landfill into aquifer (depth
  unspecified)
  Below landfill into aquifer (depth
  unspecified)
At end of landfill 4 ft into aquifer
  At end of landfill  into aquifer  (depth
  unspecified)
 0.02
 0.015
 0.055
 0.036
 0.013
 0.006
 0.026

 0.075

 0.015
 0.05

 0.28

 0.14
 0. 22

 0,4
0.02
0.02
0. 022
0. 0&5
0.015
0. 026
0. 036

0. 15

0.022
0.08

1.04

0. 16
0.3
                                 339

-------
Merz conducted such lysimeter studies in which parallel lysimeters
were used.  One lysimeter was saturated and then water applied at the
rate of 76 I/week  (equivalent to 2.5 cm/week).  Leachate was collected
and analyzed.  Merz1 s data for total phosphorus are replotted in Figure
B-l.  From an estimation of the area under the curve it was determined
that 5300  1 of water applied to  9 m  of uncompacted refuse  produced 70
                                                    3
mg total phosphorus. Assuming a density of  120 kg/m  for uncompacted
                                                                   O
refuse means that during this period the leachate  produced  7. 83 x  10   g
P/l  refuse.   Note that phosphorus continues  to leach from the lysimeter.
If one assumes a phosphorus content of 1. 3 mg/gm (calculated from
Fungaroli and Steiner, 1971) then this means  that some 0. 9 percent of
the phosphorus has been leached during this period.  It is notable that a
second lysimeter left exposed to the natural weather of Southern
California failed to produce any leachate  at all when there was a natural
rainfall of 38 cm/year.

Some more definitive figures of the phosphorus production  from satu-
rated sanitary landfills can be  obtained from later work in  this area.
Fungaroli and Steiner (1971) studied leachate  composition from refuse
                                          2
in laboratory lysimeters which were 0.56 m  square and contained 2.44
m refuse with a 0. 61 m soil cover.  The  lysimeters were not  saturated.
At the start of the experiment and during 452  days, 49.5 1 leachate was
collected.  This leachate contained 0. 36 g total phosphorus--a quantity
that represented approximately 0.5 percent of the phosphate in the
lysimeter.  To  compute  the phosphate loading per kg dry  refuse,  the
following calculations were made:
                                                    3
      Volume of refuse                      = 8. 2 m
                                                       3
      Dry refuse density as placed           = 194 kg/m

                                 340

-------
              200     400       600      800     1000     1200
               Volume of Water Applied After Saturation, Gal
                                                    1400
Figure B-l,
Phosphate concentration in leachate from water-saturated
refuse (uncompacted vol. = 9 m3 (320 ft3)),  after Merz,
(1954).
                    341

-------
      .•. total dry refuse as placed
      Total leachate contained 0. 36 g P
      /. P loading in leachate
=  8. 2x 194 =  1590  kg
     0. 36 g P
                                               1590 kg refuse
                                               0.226 x 10'6 P/g refuse
Pohland (1972) conducted lysimeter  studies on refuse containing 50
percent paper, 25 percent  garbage,  7 percent  glass, 5 percent rags,
5 percent stone and sand, 4 percent metal, 3 percent plastic, and 1
percent wood.  About 1270 kg of this synthetic refuse were placed in
bins to an initial uncompacted depth of 3 m and covered with 76 cm soil
and then sod to produce even distribution of water.  The refuse was then
saturated with 950 1 water  and leachate collected over 312 days. This
leachate contained 1. 06 g P which amounts to a phosphorus loss per  g
of uncompacted refuse of about 0. 85 x 10~  g P/g.

It is notable that in Pohland1 s experiments a parallel lysimeter was  used
in which leachate was recycled.  During the 312 day experimental period
the net production of phosphorus  from this lysimeter was nil.   This
might well be considered as a control procedure for this  source of phos-
phorus; of course, the length of the  experiment was less  than one year
and phosphorus may eventually breakthrough even with leachate recycle
through the landfill.

Armentrout and Bortner (1971) in what appears to be a pilot experiment
to that of Pohland (1972) placed 3.1m  refuse in a 4. 3 m cylinder and
placed a soil cover over it.  The refuse was compacted,  assuming a
density of 318 kg/m ,  the weight of  compacted refuse would be

      3. 1 x 318 = 985 kg
                                 342

-------
The fill was saturated and in 11 weeks approximately 2. 03 m water were
applied,  generating 165 1 leachate with an average phosphorus concen-
tration of 9. 1  mg/1.  This amounts to a phosphorus output of

      165 1x0.0091 g/1    .  c,   ..-6   _,
      	985000 g      =1.53x10   g P/g refuse

Again in these experiments a parallel leachate recycle lysimeter was
run with a resultant phosphorus concentration of 0. 21 mg/1 compared
with the  9. 1 mg/1 found in the  lysimeter leachate without recycle.

The figures for phosphorus loadings from refuse in laboratory lysimeters
are summarized  below in Table B-2.  These figures are consistent if
one examines  the pattern of phosphorus release from landfills as shown
by the work of Merz (1954) in Figure B-l.  Initially there are high con-
centrations of phosphorus  in leachate which gradually decrease.  Fungaroli
and Steiner1 s  experiments were on unsaturated refuse and short circuit-
ing may have  occurred thus causing a lesser concentration.   Armentrout
and Bortner1 s experiments and those of Pohland commenced after the
landfill was saturated.  The shorter duration experiments of Armentrout
and Bortner included more of the initial high phosphate release than
the longer term experiments of Pohland and therefore the former workers'
phosphate leachate  loadings are higher.  The extremely low values of
Merz (1954) cannot be explained at this time.

One must conclude  that the loadings of phosphate in leachate from sani-
tary landfill will  be variable, depending on the degree of saturation and
the age of the  fill.  However, excluding the results calculated from Merz,
the range of values (0.226  to 1.53 jig P/g  refuse) is not vastly different.
                                 343

-------
Actual runoff concentrations may, however,  not be easily related to
these values.  Hence, runoff concentrations from an open dump were
used in the mass flow computer program (Silvey,  1970); this allowed
relating the output from solid wastes to the area of waste and the  rainfall.
     Table B-2,  COMPARATIVE P LOADINGS IN LEACHATES
                FROM EXPERIMENTAL LANDFILLS
      Investigator
 Landfill
Saturated
Duration of
Experiment,
    days
                                                           P loading
                                                          in leachate,
                                                             refuse
Fungaroli and Steiner (1971)        No
Pohland (1972)                     Yes
Armentrout and Bortner (1971)      Yes
Merz (1954)                        Yes
                452
                3125
                 77!
                365!
                 0. 226
                 0.85
                 1.53
                 0.0783
     After saturation
                                 344

-------
                             APPENDIX C

                  PHOSPHORUS MASS FLOW PROGRAM
FILE  5M.MPUT
      COMMON /GUVPflATE(12)»CAP»WACRE»SFAC
-— — ' COMriON /CiOE/GPFAC
      COMlON /MiNL/XMACR£»XMCUNC»XMFAC
      COMrtON/f ErtG/SLl)PH»KAIN.F£KTl 12)»FACrtE
      COMMQN/I««/FLUWC12)
      COMrtON/ANIM/CUHS( 1 i*) • CHlCK{ 12} » P IGS( 1 2 } » SHEEPC 12 J
      COHMON/ANIC/C«W<4» ll)»F£FD
      CUMrtDN  /nUST/uMFLU*DflCOriC*OHTi.tDpMFLu»DPMlN»U»ACHt;*SCUNC                                __
      COMMON YUKHAN/UACRE»UCONC»UFAC                      ~ ""
      CUKriON  /NATuRL/XNACKifXNCUNt.XOACKE
      COMMON/i^AT/XFACRE.GACKE                  _
      COMrinN/KlV/RFLO»RCONC»DFAC»ODFAC    ~"         "
      COMriUN/COMl/KFCONC
      C(JMWON/COrt2/PCOW»PCrtlC»PPlGS»PSHEP
      COMrtON/CQrt'*/FxD,FXF»FXG
      COMHON/COM5/R»SK»C»P,FA1»FA2»FA^»FL1»FL2»FL3
      COMrtON/COM6/PHPPC»PLPPC»PNPPC»PSOPC»PLBHP»PL«LP»Pt8NP»PLBSO
                 FKACC I 00) »CUSJ( 100} » 1 1 3( 100) » P3( 100) * Xb2( 100) » FLRU( 100>
            U( 1 >/.07a/»lH2)/.Obl/,U( 3)/.026/»DC»)/.0?0/»U(5)/,Ol3/»D(?. J/.
      1010/»U(7)/.UOa/
      DAT*  PKUC(6)/6HtfH(i   /»PROC( 10)/6HREtf OS/» Pt
-------
                 (ITYPA( I},I=1,NTYA>
                 (IFYPCI I),Irl
                 (ITYPDU).i«l»NTri))
    DO uOO 1=1.60
600 CUNUNUt
    UFLMGaO
    TTAL=l>»0
 50
    NRITE(6»1341)(BUF( I). I a 1,7)
    GO 10 (l. 2. 3»<».5»6» 7. d.V.10»ll»l2»13.1a»lb. 16. 17.18.19.^0*21. 22. 23
   2*46*47,
1U1 UFLrtGM
    GO fO 100
  1 00 60 1 = 1.'.
   ' PKAIEtI)«dJF(I*l)
 60 CUNUNUt
 -   fcU 10 ^0
  2 UO &1 I*7»ld
        J
    QU  10 50
  3
    FACJ=BUFC4)
     GO  10 50
     FACF»BUF(2)
     FLUi=bUF(J)
     RFCuNC*tJUFCj>
     GO 10 50
  "5'"DO" 04 1 = 1 »6
  64 CUNIINUt
  *""GO TO 50
   6 00 65 1-7*12
  65 CUNI
     GO  10 50
   7 OU 66 1=1 »&
  ----- FLO«CI)=BUFCI*-1)
                                   346

-------
 t>6 CONTINUE
    GO 10 50
  8 DO 67 1*7 »12
    FLUrtC I)=BUFl 1-5)
 67 CUNdNUt
— ..... GU (0 50
  9 DO 08 IM»
-------
20 UO (9 1=7*11
   CtHi2» I >»Hi)F( 1-5)
f9 CONI IMJt
   U
29 PHPi2)=bUF(2)
   PLPi2>=BUF(3)
   SFAu2(2)=HUF<6)
   GO (0 50
30 t)MFuO = auF(2)
-•  OMCUNts6UF(3)  ""
                                    348

-------
   GO  fQ  50
31
   OPF«C»BUF16>
   SFAw=bUK(7)
   l>0  10 50
32
" SCG.iC*BUF(3)
   GO  IQ 50
33
   WACrtt*BUFC7)
   ao  ID so
   Xf Av
   GO 10 50
35 PCQrf=bUF<2)
   PCHiCBBUF(3J
---- GO 10 50
36
   GO «fl 50
37 UU 36 I*
d6 CUMIINUt
   GO 10 50
36 TRTC
   OU o7 1*1*5
   X( I j
                                    349

-------
87 "CONTINUE '"
   iiD  10 50
39 DO 08 I=6»ll
38 CONTINUE
   GU IU 5U
   SLl)UsbUF(4)
----- RLS*BUFC7)
   GO 10 50
-Hi AT*BUK2>
   RZ*dUF(4)
   BSUL«bUf(6)
   FXO«8UF(7J
------ GO 10 50  ~
•42 FXF*BUF(2J
   FXG=8UF(3)
   SK«t»uF(5)
--- PeBJFCD
   GU 10 50
43 FA1=BUF(2)
   FA3»BUF(4)
   FL1*BUFC5)
   FL2=BUF(6J
   FL3«BUF(7)
   GU  10 50
   TT2»BUF(3)
   TT3=BUF(4)
   TT«*BUF(5)
   URA*BUF16)
   GU  in
-  HRI1EU»1062)(FFACCL),L*1»NN)
   GO  10 50
46 CQNIINUL
<|7 CONTINUE "  -----------  "  """
46 CUNI 1NUL
   GU  10 50
   00 tQv M=1»12
   CALL PESTlUfQuT}
                                   350

-------
 CALL  MlNSfCXMuUT)
 CALL  FKTLTXINP»TISP)
 CALL  IKKRI- CRFUUT)
 CALL  ANMArtU'OUT,»CHtjUT.PaUT»SHl)UT}
 CALL  ANwSrtCOuT* 1»CHUUT)
 CALL  ANWSM tHuUT»2»HNQ»n )
 CALL  ANrtSHpQuT,3,PNOuT)
 CALL  ANhSf (;3HuUT»4»SNOyT)
 CALL  OlJrtSI (UUUT»S£Pl)»DOuTO}
 CALL  UTLRi,< 1»DTCJUT,S£PT»SDD) ----
 CALL  DTERnC2.UUTaUT»S£Pl)D»SOI)
 CALL  iNUU6TtL)MOUT»UMTLa»OPHUUT*UWSQUT»DFOUT»USUM)
 DSUrtM*DUTi»ulf+OSUM       .....
 CALL
 CALL
 CALL  FlFALL(rtAfO)
 CALL  RIrfRO:uV£ft>  '     " " ""   "
 CALL  NATIN(XNAT, Xu£V »XfUR»Xt,RA»XNDUT)
 DON'OUTUUl +J^SOUT+UMUUT
 SlNUxUOMAf AC2
 B0830MTLO*FAC3
 WALNsOMTLU"t$Ub
                       . 0
 CALL  TR£Al(CONi»FLUl.NTrA»jTYPA»POM»ITYl»^CJl»CJSTl)
~PDSi*
-------
    DO  no  K*UNN
    FT(M«FTUT+FFAC(K>
7io cumiNut         *  ----------------------- .--.--..
    JFUTUT.Lr.i. ooi. AND.FTOT.GT. 0.999) uo TO 711
    HKI IE(6»lUSo) FTOf
— •  TUMIN»I.OL20
    00  fO 713
711 TDHIN'O
    COS13«0                         ~   "'
    UU  l\2  1*1. NN
    FLOf«FL06*F* ACU) _
    FLOJ(I)*FLUT                                ~
    CALL Trt£ArccaN3.FLQr»NTYC*lTYPC»POM,ITY3*PtJ3»CUS)
    TOM1N«TUM1N+(P03*FLU1)/1000.0
    cosrs-cosrs+cos
_ IT3U)«ITT3
    P3Ci)*P03
712 CONTINUE
713 SMIu*UPMOUT*FAC7
    CON«*»(OPMUUT/FL07)» 1000.0
                                _
    C AL*.~TR£ A T ( C'0^4 , FLU \f » NT YD »"l TYPO*
                        .0
    AEFKP*XHOUT+TISP+RFUUT*KJAN*(CNUUT+HMOUT+PNUUT+SNUUT
    TTALsTTAL+IUTAL
    X1»UPUUT/TOTAL
    X2«XMOUT/TOTAL~
    X3«KOUT/TUTAL
    X««KFOUT/ TOTAL
    X5«UOUT/TGTAL
    X6«CHOUT/rOfAL
    X7»fOUT/TUTAL
    X8«i»HOUT/lnTAL
    X9«JOOT/TUTAL
    X10«DTOUT/fOTAL
    Xll-DUTOur/IOfAL
    XIZ'OMOUT/TUTAL
    X13-DMTLO/TUTAL
    Xl4*DPMUUr/IOIAL
    X15*OHSUUT/IOTAL
    X16-OFOUT/TOTAL
    X17*DOMlN/TurAL
    XIS'O&UHH/TUTAL
    Xl9»ShOuT/TuTAL
                                    352

-------
 X20aUOUT/TOTAL
 X2l*Xwf)OT/TuTAL
 X22=RAFu/rt)fAL
 X23=OPOUT/EFFP
 X24«XrtOUT/EFFP
 X25«FUUT/tFFP
 X26*RFOUT/EFFP
 X27=CNOUT/EFFP
 X30=SN(JUT/EFFP
 X31*SWQUT/EFFP
 X32»XNOUT/tFFP
 X33«UbUKB/EFFP
 X3MUSIND/EFFP
 X35*UPOR/EFFP
 X36«UC£L/tFf P
 X37=»TUMIN/£FFP
 X38«RAFO/tFFP
 X3V«PD54/tFFP
X41-XNAT/EFFP
X42"XNAT/fOTAL
X47«XliRA/L"FFP
X48s*X(iRA/TOTAL
X50=R1
X51»DUUTO/EFFP
X52»DOUTD/TUTAL
X53»SUO/EFFP
X54-SUO/TUTAL
X56»TURP/LF^P
X57*TORP/TOTAU
X5ti«TXIKP/£FFP
X59*TXINP/TUTAL
X60*TlSP/tFFP
X61»TlSP/TurAL
X62«XMOUT/AtFFP
X65«RJAN*CNOUT/AEFFP
X6B*R JAN* SNOUT/ AEFFP
X69»SHDUT/A£FFP
                                   353

-------
    X70=XKOUT/A£FFP
    xn = RAFU/MEFFP
    X72=TDnIN/A£FFP
    X73*PUS<»/AEFFP
    X7«=USURB/AEFFP
    X75*USIND/AEFFP
    X77*UC£L/AEFFP
    X7hsUrtIN/AEFFp
    X7y*RIVER/At:FFP
    XttO-»AtFFP/TuTAL
-- X8l=EFFP/TOTAL
    DO  195  |»i,r»N
    Xb2tl)»(CUN3-P3(I})/CUN3
295 CONTINUE         -----------  "~
    TUJaUD + OPOuT
    T(lu}sT(10)+XNOUT
    T(li)»T(ll)+RAFo
    T(lj)»TCl3)+DTUUT
    TCi«4}*T{!'4) + Dt!7ulJ
    T(l3)aT(i5)+DMOuT
    Ttl6)sT(16)+OMTLO
    T(ly>*T(19)+OFUuT
    T(2u)=Tt20)+OSUM
    T(2J)=T(23)+USURa
         = T(31)*CHOUT
                                   354

-------
T(3/)-T<3n*£FFp
T(3V)=TC
T(40)=T<
TC46)=T(
IFCH.LT.12) GU TO  200
HRII£C6»104J)
WKHEC6.1044) H                  _
WRITEf6»1001) UPOUT»Xl»x23.TCi)

WRI I EC 6. 100 3) SLDPH.FQUT,"x3»X,j5*T<3)
KRITE(6»IU6<4) ERATE
               TXINP»X59»X58»T(43)
WRI
tvRI
KRIIEC6.
         1010)  XwQUi»X21»X32»XTO»T(10>
WRI IE(6»104t>) XUEV.X44,X43»T(39)
WRIIE(6»1046)
WKI IEC6»10'*
-------
    HKHE(6»i036)
    HKI «E(6»ioot>)
    HRIi£(6»1006)
                  Tl)TAL,T(36>
                  CNOUT»X2/'.X65»T(5)
                  HNOUr,X2«.X&6»T<6)
    HKIl£(6»1023)
    HRI
                  EFFP»AB1.1<37)
    WKIIEl6»1034) SEPQ»T(3aj
    HRI «E(6»103S) S£PT»H35)
    PLOrtO=EFFP*lO.O**7/HWACRE
    DO JOO 1=1,t
300 CUNIlNUt
400
    DO **00 1*1, f
    EUTU)=U(I)*PLUAD
    CQNIINUE
    OU
       I £( 6*1040)
       !ES6»1U61)
       430 1=1. HN
430
    CONTINUE
    CUAL=0.0
    FALLsO.O
    UO 440 1 = 1, NN
    FALLsFLQUC
                  I»FLUUU)»CON3»P3(I).X02(I)»COS3
                                                        4» Flo. 2)
                                                        4»F 10.2)
                                  356

-------
1007
1006
1009
1010
1011
1012
1013
1014
1015
1016
1017
1013
1019
1020
1021
FORriAT(2lri PlQ'AFTER
FUHHATC21H
FORrtATUlrt
                 SOLlU wAiVt
                 NAT  UEV
                 KAiNFALL
                       THEAT
                       U»JT
FOFMATUlri

* UHrtAH2lti
FOHMATC21H
FORMAK21H
FORMAT(21rt
1023 FUKrtATC2lH
1024 FURHAT(21rt
1025 FURrtAT(21H
1026 FUR,-tAT(21H
1027 FUK.1ATC21H
    12)
1028 FURMATC21H TREAT P
    115*2)
1029 FUKHAH21H
1030
               UUH» UET P
           1NU JETErt OUT
           HlSC P UUT
           METAL FIN OUT
           M IN ING P OUT
                 SUKIENING
                WASTE GUT
               TREAT INFLUENT
           INJ UET + orhEh IND
           URdAN KJNOFF  "
           UNStWEK
                UNTREATED  METALS
                uNVHEATEU  FUUUS
                       PLANT  EFF
                                EFF
1033 FURrtAT(2tri
     FORrtAT(21H
     FtWrtAT(21ri
     FORHAT<2lri
     fORriAT(21H
1036
1039
1040
1041
1043
                UNTREATED  MINING
                COrt r MANURE OUT
                CHICK «AHU«E  OUT
                rl(i MAHUKt OUT
                SHEEP MANUrtt  OUT
                uOn SEPTIC TANK
                UET SEPTIC TANK
                UNTREATED  TOTAL
                         TOTAL
»5X.Fl64?,F26.4»Fl3.4»Fld.2)
•5X»F16.2»F26«4»F13.4»Flo.2)

»5X.F16,2.3F1J.4.F18.2J
»5X»F16,2»3F13.4.F13.2)
                                     •5X.F16.2»F13«4»F«»4.2)
                                     •5X.F16.2»F13.4»F44.2)
                                     »5X»F16.2»Fl3.4.F44.2)
                                     •SX*Fl6,2»f 13.4.F44.2)
                               »SX»Fl6.2*F2o.4»F13*4pFld*2)
                               •5X»Fl6.2»F26.4»F13.4»Fla»2»4X»1

                               »5X»F16.2»F26.4»Fl3«4»Fld.2)
                               »5X»Fl6.2»Fl3.4.F44.2)
                               »5X»Fl6.2»F57.2./>
     FORHAT(22H
     FORriAT(lHl)
     FORMATC 1X»I
    2ST»/)
1044 FOR.1AT(21H"
1045 FORMATC21H
1046 f-URiiAF(21rt
1047 FOftrtAT(21ri
1043 FORrlAT(2lH
1049 FOrtrtAT(2lH
1050 FOR,iAT(2lri
1051 FURrlAT(21H
1052 Kl«MAT(21ri
1053 FORrtAT(21ri
           LUTRUPHICATION (EFF) »7F14"74)

           2»6E15.3>
           rtPAKAMETLR,5XVflHY "E"
           LFF»7X»6HP AtFF,7X»l
                               ** R »I2» 6X»10HAHT
                               lHACCUrtULMTEO» 9H
                                                        TR
              NATURAL RUNOFF  "»5X»Fl6.2.2F13.4»F31.2)
              OEVELUP RUNOFF   »5X»F16.2»2F1J.4*F31.2)
              MAN.  FuR.  RUNUFF »5X«F16«2»2F13.4'F31*2)
              GRACING KUNOFF   »5X»F16,2»2FI 3.4»F31.2>
              OKG  PnUSPhORUS   »5X»Fl6*2»2f13.4»F31.2)
                  G PHCJSPHOHUS »5X»F16,2»2F13.4.F31.2J
                    PHUbPHOKUS .5X.Fl6.2»3Fl3.^,Fld.2J
           KlVER               »5X.Fl6.2»3ru.4»Fld.2)
           UOM UIKECT OISCHARSE»5X»F16.2»?F13.4»F31.2)
           UOK DET  DIRECT QISCH«5X,F16.2»2F13.4»F31.2)
                                   357

-------
1054 FGRrtAKZlrt  AVAIL  rHLAFEO  TOTAL  » 5X. F16. 2»2K1 i.4»F3l ,2»/
1055 KUKrtAT(22rl  tUTRQPHlCATiuN ( AEFF) • fFiM. -1)
10S6 FUHriATCZlrl  iM-PLAwT TUT METALS  .5X,K16.2.61X»AA.Kl5.2i
1037 FortfiAT(2in  IN-PLANT TRT FJOOS   »5x»Fi6.2»6rx»K6»Fis.2)
10&8 FOrtnATC^AM  UOn FLU»( PERCENT QT  J .0» 5X»5HFTQT»»FZ5.4 J
1059 FUKnATUX»Ii»»5X.F25.<4»5X»F6.2»9x»F8.2,l3XpF6.2»''X,F13.2
1060 FO««AT(iOF^.3J
1061 FORriATCiir-'f   PLANT                FLOWCL/TK)       INFLU£NT(MG/L>
    1 EFrLUEMTCMu/L)   P REMUVAHPERCEN f)        CiJbT
1062 f OR,1AT( IX. lUFd.3)
1063 FURHAT(///»UH   TOTAL*F28t4*53X»Fl6.2>
1064 FUflriATCZlH    EROSION RATE      »5X»Fir.3>~
     END
     SUBrtOOTINt IRKRF(RFQuT)
     CONrtQN /1KK/FLOWC12) ""
     CUMrtON/MON/rt
     CUMrtQN/CQHl/RFCONC
     KFOUT«FLOW(H)*RFCONC
     RETURN
     END
 tt**t*******t9*tIt*ttt*9*t**9*1tt******tt****************** *******
     SUBHOUTlNt ANrtANCCOUT.CHOUT, POUT. SHOUT)
     CUMHON /ANlM/COrtS(l^).CrtICK(12)'
     COHrtON/HQN/H
     COHHOH/COM2/PCOf(,PCMIC»PPlGS»PSHEP
     CHOUT«PCHiC*CHlCKCM)
     PDUf«PPlGS*PIliS(M)
     SHQUT«PSH£P*SHEEPtM}
     RETURN
     END
 *****t*ft**t*t»**ttt**f****f******************************tt**1***


     SUBrtOUTlNE AN^ST(AOOT»J»ANOUT)
	  LOHrtOM /ANIC/C<*K(4.11),FEEO	  "
     COHnON/COM3/THT(^).XCll).RJAN,XLIQ.AU.SLUD,XL,rtLS,AT.RZ.BSOL
     XLCn*0.0
	  XLD1SP»0           ~"
     RtCn«0
     00 100 N«l.f
                                    358

-------
  • • IF(CHW(J,N).EcliO*0> GO TO 100
    XLDiSP=ALUlSP»CwtfCJ»N)*AOUT*TrtT(N)*XCN)
    REC« = KECW+Cw«UJ»rt>«AiJUT*TRT
100  CONIINUE
    lF(cWW(J»d),Eu.O.O> GO TO 110
no jF.Eu,o«o) au  ro 120
                      J»9)*AOUT*SLOO*XL
120 IFtCWrK J.10J.EQ.O.O) GO TO 130
    XLCn=XLCHtCt*W(J,10J*AOUT*(1.0-SLDL»
130 IF(CHW( J»ll),Ea.O«0) GO TO 140
                       » ll)*AOUT*Sl.i)D*XL
    XLDiSP=XLUISP+X(ll)*AT*(1.0"RUS)*XLCH
140 ANQJT=
    RETUKN
    END
    SU8KOUT1NE RFALL(HAFO)
    COKrtOM /G£N/PRATE£ I*;) * CAP, WACRE* SFAC
    COMiiON/MON/ri         	
    COMrtON /F£RG/5LOPH*KAIN»F£RT(12)»FACRE
    RAFU=PRATt(M)*«AlN*rtACR£
    RETURN 	         —	~—	
    END
                               ttttttit.it** ##*****
    SUSrtOUTlNE UOrtSTCUUUr»SEPU»DOUTU)
    COMrtOiN/KIV/RFLO,RCUNC»DFAC»DDFAC
    COMMON /GtN/PKATEC it) » CAP* WACRE, SFAC
             £ 1,0-SFACJ*795.6
    DOUID1!DUUr*uFAC
    OOUI=UOUT-DOUTD
    RETURN
    END    ------- .....     "~
                                   359

-------
Mffff ***M*ff MfMf ****** ****Mf****ff**f **Of«*f*Jif M**f *******
    SUBROUTINE
    COM.10N /Gt-N/PRATE(12)»CAP*WACRE»SFAC
    CUMrlON/SOUlD/SACRtfSCOfJC  ____          __
    COMrtOM /MUN/M           ""  ............
    SHOuT«PKArE(M)*SACKE*SCONC*(PHArE
    RETURN
    END             "~~                 ""
t******rf ****** ft ft ************* ****** ***************************
    COMMON /G£N/PRATE(li;)»CAP»WACKE»SFAC
    COMMON /MUN/M
   — COMrtON /URBAN/UACRE.UCQNC»UrAC
    RETURN
    END
    SUBROUTINE'NATIN(XNAT»XUEV;XFOR»XGRA»XNOUT)
    COHrtON /GCN/PhATEU2)»CAP»KACRE»SF AC
    COHrtON /NATURE/XMACKE»XNCONC»XOACRE  ____
    COMMON /MON/M      "
    COHrtON/NAT/XFACRE»GACR£
                        »FXG
    XNAT«XNACKE*F
    XOE*»XDACne*FxD*F
    XFOriiXFAC*E*FxF*F
    XNOUT«XUA(+XDEV+XFUK*XGRA
    KETURN      _      _
    END
    SUBROUTINE  MlNSTCXMOUT)
    COMrtON  /GEN/PHATE(12)»CAP»HAC»E»SFAC
    COMMON  /Mi*£/XMACKt:»XMCpNC»XMFAC
    COMrtON  /MUM/M"~~    ....... """
    XMOuT«XMACK£*pRATE(M)*XMCONC*XMf AC
    RETURN
    END   ------ ------- ~ ...... " ~ ........
                                    360

-------
     SU8HOUT1NE PESTCQPOUT)
     COMrtQN /MU"*/M
     COMnON/FERG/SL.DPH»RAiN,FERTtl2>»FACRE
     COMrtON /ClOt/uPfAC
     OPOuTsFACrt£*(JpFAC*0.11
     RETURN
     END	       	"   	
     SUBrtOUTlNE FRTLZSCTOTP, TORP,TX INP» TISP) ""
     COHnQN /Ft«li/SLDPH»KAlN»FERT(12)»FACRE
     COMrtON/FEK/uRA
     COMrtON /MUN/M "         " ............ .   -       -
     COMriON/COM5/H»SK.C»P,FAl»FA2.FA3»FLl»FL2*FL3
     CUMMON/COH7/£KATE
     PLA*C9.0*FERT(H))/(20.)         ~
     SLOPH*SLDPH+DS/CF
     PLA«PLA*SA
     4LOlr'H«SLDr'H-SA/CF+0.25*PLA/CF
     Z«R*SK*C*P*u.022<*
     AP0.025*ErtATE
     B«£rtATE-A
     ORP«A*0.005o
     XINP«B*SLUPH/iQOOOOl>«0
--- TXIrtpsXINP«KACR£        .........
     TI5r*URA*FACRt
     HETuRN
--------- tND  ••- "  "  ...................
f »*#»*§*#«***»«»»«**»»»***» **»****«
     SUBrtOUTlNL
     CUMhON  /GEN/PRATE(12)»CAP»WACRE»Sf AC
     COMrtON
                                   361

-------
    COMrtQN /OUST/DMfLa»UHCOHC»DMTL»UpHFLU»DPMlU,UwSFLu,pFftT(12)»DFCuNC
   l.DFUSE
    UMOuT»DMFLO*OrtCt)NC*CAP
    UMTLO«OMTL                                               __
    OPMUUT-OPMlMDPHFLU
    UFGuT«DfWf(M)*OFCGrtC*UFUSE
    RETURN
    END


*************** *************************************************** ft**


    SUSrtOUTINt UT£HG(J*UtS»SD)            _______   _____  __ _
--- COMhQN
    COMrtQN /OJST/UMKLG»UHCONC»DMTL»UPMFLU»DPHIN»DNSFLU»UFMT(12)*GFCUNC
    l»OFuS£              .             ______   __    _ _        __
    COMrtON/RIV/KFLO»RCONC»OFAC»ODFAC "
    COMMON /DETtR/PHPC2>»PLP(2>»PNP<2)»P$Q(2)»UPOPC2)»SFACi?l2>
    CUMMON/COMA/PriPPC»PLpPC»PNPPC»PSOPC»PLBHP.Pl.aLP»PLbNP»PLBSO
    UPOP(2)*OMCUNC»OOFAC*CAP
    U«tfHP{J)*PHPPC*PLBHP+PLPCJ)*PLPPC*PLBLP+PNP(J)*PrtPPC*PLBNP+PSO(J}
    l*PSuPC*PLBSu)*UPOP( J)*SFAC2(J)    _____  __   ___  __
    Se(u*(r.O-SFAC2(J))J/SFAC2(J)
    D=D-SD
    RETURN
    END
ttti*i**tt*ttt*9*l**t***tt*f**9*****t***f*****************************
    SUBROUTINE  KlVR(RlVfc.R)
    COH»ON/RIV/KFLQ»RCONC»UFAC»DDFAC
    -RIVLR«HCONC*RFLO"~     ~~
    RETURN
    END
t**t*****tit*t*t *********************** *******************************


    SUBrtOUTINE  TREAT(P.U»NTYPE.ITYPt.PMAX»ITYPES<._PjJ»CCJST)  _______
              PHAX)  GO  TO  60
                                   362

-------
60
   COSl=0.0
   massi
   GO ID 40
   COS f *0
   DO <:o
   GO iO (1 »2»3»4»5»6»7»6»9»10*U'12*13»14»15)
   CONTINUE
   PU«f
   COSfsO.O
   GO 10 40
•2 CONTINUE
   GO ro 20
 3 CUN1INUE
   GO 10 20
   GU f(J 20
 5 COi^dNUE
   GO TO 2,0        .....        .....
 6 CONIINUE
 CUAGULATION INCLUDING LABOR AMD STORAGE
   PMlN6°1.0
   1F(«EM.GT. 0.95D GU TO 20
   IF(r'MAX.Lr,PMIN6)  GU TO 20
   XPOU)=PMAX                    .......
   IFCKEH.LT. 0.743 FEP=1,0
   DOLC=i;.25l*P*QMGY*Ft.P
   IF(A.LE. 1000.0) DULL=5600.0
   IF( X, G T.I 000. O.ANO.X.LT. 6000.0) DOLLs4300.0*33.6*X**0.5V35
   IF(X,GE.6000.0> OULLa2.065*x**0.6/'92+33«6«J*X**0.5y35
   XCU6TU)»L)OLCtUOLL                           __
   GO TO  30
 7  CONIINUE
   GO JO  20
 8  CUNtlNUE  -----  ---------       -....-.    -.-          -
 COAGULATION INCLUDING LABOR* STORAGE* AND CAPITAL  COSTS
   IFCiiEM.GT. 0.951) GG TO iO
   IF(PMAX.LT.rMlN6) GU To 20
   XPUi I)=PMAX
   IFCr{EH.(iE.0.7t) F£P*(REM"0.62)/0.1257
   IFCKEH.LT.0,74) FF.P=1.0
                   DULL=5600.0
                                363

-------
    IFt>
    GU ro 30
  9  CONl'INUE.
    GU 10 20
 10  COwUNUt
  KtVLHiF. QSMUS1S
-'-  IFCKEM.GT. 0.991) GU TO 20
    IFCPHAX.LT.PMiNlO) uU TO 20
    QADj*grtliD«(iP-0.b!i«PMAx}/P}
    IFUP-PMAX)«LL»20.0) GO TO 21
    XCUiTCI Jsi.05*QAOJ**C-0.313«;)
    IFCACUSTC n.U.O. Jti) XCUST( JL)«0.3S
 22
    GU  IQ  30
 21  XCO^TC I) = 0.?Ot,-0.2<»3*ALGGlO(QAOJ)
    IFCXCUSTCD.LT.O^JO) XCJSTUJ-0.30
    GO  10  22
 11  COl-lflNUt
"SELECTIVE ION EXCHANGE ~"
    IF(rt£M.GT.0.9bl)  GU TO 20
    IFCr'HAX.LT.PMlNll) GO Tu 20
    IF ( tp-FnAX) .LT. 10.0) wAuJ
    IF(lp-pnAX>.G£. 10.0J QAuJ=QMGi)*((P-PMAX)/lO.Oi
    OOLP=19b32.0*tiADJ**0.y2                    "              "
    UOLLsC 0. 1 <>*u AU J** C -U.33 15 ) + 0*09*0 AD J* *( -0. 2245 ))*QAOJ* 3&5250.0
    XCUiTtDaUOLPtOOLL                                 ___
    GO  10 30
_
   "GU  10 20
 13 CONIINUt
    GO  10 20
 14 CONTINUE
    GO  HJ 20
 15 CUNJINUt
---- GO  fO 20 •
 30  H (ACUSI ( D.GT.COST) GU TU 20
    COSI=XCUST( J)
    CUNIINUE ------
    IF( iTLSf ,GT.O> GO TU 40
                                  364

-------
   COSlaO.O
t|U RETURN
-- tNO
                                    365

-------
            APPENDIX D
INPUT AND OUTPUT INFORMATION FOR
  PHOSPHORUS MASS FLOW PROGRAM
                 366

-------
      Table D-l.  INPUT DATA:  EXAMPLE VALUES LISTED IN
        TABLES D-2, D-3,  D-4, FOR HYPOTHETICAL LAKE,
        LAKE MICHIGAN, AND LAKE ERIE,  RESPECTIVELY
                  FOR A GIVEN LINE AND COLUMN
Line     Column   Parameter   Value
1,2        all     PRATE(I)    cm/yr
3          1       FAC1        ratio





4




5,6
7,8
9,10
11,12
13,14
15,16
17,18
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
all
all
all
all
all
all
all
FAC2
FAG 3
FAC4
FAC5
FAC6
FAC7
FL01
FLO2
RFCONC
RJAN
FERT(I)
FLOW (I)
COWS(I)
CHICK(I)
PIGS(I)
SHEEP(I)
CWW(1,I)
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
1/yr
1/yr
g/1
ratio
kg/hectare
1/yr
number
number
number
number
ratio
19,20
all
CWW(2,I)    ratio
Description
annual precipitation
sewereda to total urban
runoff
sewered to total for
general industrial
in-plant treated metal finish-
ing to total metal finishing
sewered to total metal fin-
ishing
in-plant treated food wastes
to total food wastes
sewered to total food wastes
sewered to total mining
(phosphorus only) wastes
liquid flow in metal finishing
liquid flow in food industry
mean phosphorus concentra-
tion in irrigation return flow
amount of animal waste P
•which is  available for algal
growth
fertilizer application rate

irrigation return flow
number of cows and horses
number of poultry
number of swine
number of sheep and goats
distribute animal wastes to
eleven treatments,  COW
distribute animal wastes to
eleven treatments,  CHICK
                                       367

-------
                       Table D-l (Cont'd)
Line     Column  Parameter   Value
21,22
23,24
25,26
27




28






29
all
all
all
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
6
1
CWW(3, 1}
CWW(4, 1)
DFWT(I)
XMACRE
XMCONC
XMFAC
SLDPH
RAIN
FACRE
PHP(l)
PLP{1)
PNP{1)
PSO(l)
SFAC2(1)
DPOP(l)
CAP
PHP(2)
ratio
ratio
g/yr
2
cm
g/cc
ratio
ppm
g/cc
2
cm
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
number
number
ratio
            2

            3

            4
PLP(2)

PNP(2)

PSO(2)
ratio

ratio

ratio
 Description
distributes animal wastes to
eleven treatments,  PIGS
distributes animal wastes to
eleven treatments,  SHEEP
amount of food processed
area of strip mines and
tailings
P concentration in runoff
from XMACRE
runoff to total precipitation
solid phase phosphorus in
soils
P concentration in rainfall
area of fertilized agriculture
fraction of domestic popula-
tion using high-P detergents
fraction of domestic popula-
tion using low-P detergents
fraction of domestic popula-
tion using no-P detergents
fraction of domestic popula-
tion using soaps
sewered to total domestic
waste  = SFAC
number of people = CAP
number of people
fraction of industrial popula-
tion using high-P detergents
fraction of industrial popula-
tion using low-P detergents
fraction of industrial popula-
tion using no-P detergents
fraction of industrial popula-
tion using soaps
                                        368

-------
Line    Column
30
     Table D-l (Cont'd)
Parameter   Value
31
32
33
5
1
2
3
4
5
6
3
4
5
6
1
2
4
5
6
1
2
4
5
SFAC2(2)
DMFLO
DMCONC
DMTL
DPMFLO
DPMIN
DWSFLO
DFCONC
DFUSE
OPFAC
SFAC
SACRE
SCONC
UACRE
UCONC
UFAC
XNACRE
XNCONC
XDACRE
RWACRE
ratio
g/MGD. yr
MOD/ capita
g/yr
m /yr
g/m
g/MGD. yr
ratio
ratio
g/cm . yr
ratio
2
cm
g/cc
2
cm
g/cc
ratio
2
cm
g/cc
2
cm
2
cm
Description
sewered to total (always
1.0 for industry, see FAC2)
miscellaneous industrial P
use (related to DMCONC)
industrial consumptive water
use per capita
actual phosphorus used in
metal finishing
outflow from P mining activities
P concentration in P mining
effluents
water softening P use (related
to DMCONC)
fraction of food which is
phosphorus
wastage of food materials in
processing
use of organophosphorus
pesticides in agriculture
sewered to total domestic waste
area  devoted to solid waste
disposal
P concentration in runoff from
solid wastes
urban area
P concentration in urban
runoff
runoff to total precipitation
area  of natural watershed
P concentration in natural
watershed runoff
developed areas in natural
watershed
water surface area  of lake
in question
                                        369

-------
Line    Column
34
     Table D-l (Cont'd)
Parameter  Value
35
36
37,38
6
1
2
3
4
5
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
all,l
WACRE
XFACRE
DFAC
GACRE
RFLO
RCONC
PCOW
pcmc
PPIGS
PSHEP
PHPPC
PLPPC
PNPPC
PSOPC
PLBHP
PLBLP
PLBNP
PLBSO
TRT(I)
2
cm
2
cm
ratio
2
cm
1/yr
g/1
g/number,
y*
g/number,
y*
g/number,
g/number,
y*
g/cap.yr
g/cap. yr
g/cap.yr
g/cap.yr
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
Description
total water surface area
in basin
area of managed forest in
watershed
fraction of direct discharge
of sewered domestic wastes
area of grazing lands in
watersheds
flow of river entering basin
P concentration in river
entering basin
annual P output per
individual cow
annual P output per
individual chicken
annual P output per
individual pig
annual P output per
individual sheep
use rate of high P detergent
use rate of low P detergent
use rate of no P detergent
use rate of soaps
grams P per gram high P
detergent used
grams P per gram low P
detergent used
grams P per gram no P
detergent used
grams P per gram soap
used
phosphorus output per input
for seven animal waste
treatment schemes
                                      370

-------
Line

38
39
40
41
42
Column

   2,5
   all
     Table D-l  (Cont'd)
Parameter   Value
             ratio
             ratio
                        ratio
                        ratio
          XLIQ
                  AU
                   SLDD
4
6
1
3
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
XL
RLS
AT
RZ
BSOL
FXD
FXF
FXG
'}
SK J
C
»
P
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
ratio
Not
Applicable
Not
Applicable
Description


animal waste P distribu-
tion:  ratio of total applied
to land disposal

liquid portion of animal
waste treated by source
separation

aerobic treatment output
from liquids from source
separation

P fraction in solids from
drying, incineration, and
composting

portion of SLDD disposed
on land

portion of XLS discharged
to receiving water

portion of XLS aerobically
treated and distributed

proportion of land-disposed
manure P entering surface
water
SOL which is discharged
developed watershed runoff
P concentration to  natural

managed forest watershed
P concentration to  natural

grazing watershed  P con-
centration to natural

erosivity, Universal Soil
Loss Equation
soil factor (K), Universal
Soil Loss Equation
cropping factor,  Universal
Soil Loss Equation

practice factor, Universal
Soil Loss Equation
                                        371

-------
                       Table IX1 (Cont'd)
Line    Column   Parameter   Value

43
44
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
FA1
FA2
FA3
FL1
FL2
FL3
TT1
ratio
ratio
ratio
ft
ft
ft
ratio
           4

           5
TT2

TT3


TT4

DRA


BASF
                               ratio
                               ratio
ratio
g/cm . yr
                               1/yr. cap
Description

area of fertilized agricul-
ture in Slope Class I
area of fertilized agricul-
ture in Slope Calss II
area of fertilized agricul-
ture in Slope Class HI
mean length of slope in
Slope Class I
mean length of slope in
Slope Class II
mean length of slope in
Slope Class III
fraction remaining from
treatment of metal finishing
wastes

fraction remaining from
treatment of food wastes
fraction remaining from
treatment of domestic
wastes
fraction remaining from
treatment of P mining wastes
output of soluble orthophos-
phate from  fertilized
agriculture
annual industrial consump-
tive use of water per capita
45

4Sff


1 NN number

2ff FFAC1 ratio


number of treatment plants
in basin
fraction of domestic flow
going to each treatment
plant
 Sewered indicates the flow enters the municipal treatment plant (DOMIN)
                                        372

-------
         Table D-2.  INPUT DATA FOR HYPOTHETICAL LAKE BASIN (KEYED TO TABLE D-l)
u>
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
b
V
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
26
?9
30
31
32
33
34
31>
36
37
38
3V
40
41
42
43
44
45

49
.5.MH. + U?
. 5 U 0 1 + v P
0.
. ICOt + lM
,400t>u?
«4COt+03
, ^COt +UQ
, 7HOt + UQ
t 34H£+OS
> 34at+os
, 1 76c+0?
, 1 7f>t + 07
. 7 if 0 L + U S
.720E+OS
. 7b9t+yS
1 7h9t + o*s
,6lyUt + Ol
0.
. 10'JE + yn
0.
,100t+00
0.
.500L+00
0.
1 1 1 7 F. + y Q
• 1 t'ft. + o<»
,500t + 1 ?
,70()t + Jf>
,9U(Jt + Oi
, 15">t. + ot<
, lUOt+0?
,5oOt+ 11
.6UOE+1/4
,9041+J?
. 3lj6t + 0fl
, 1 (<«£ + ()»,
, UUJ K 1 0 1
. loot + ut
.500E+00
, 1 i 0 1 + 0 0
. 800K. + OO
. 1 but + u t
.60UL+UO
. 20itt +or>
, 5 u 0 1 + o i
0,500 O.joo
0.
. "3 O 0 P » 0 .''
t MUtf +0^'
,iuor + no
.120F+10
•40yr+0£
. 4 0 0 1~ + 0 ?
. f rtUF + 01'
t f «OK+lH
.J4tt£+0b
. J
. ii»OE+ 00
11.
\ <:OOF + 
. 1 OOF + 0(i
0.
. IUOF.-OH
, 1 0(>F" + 0 1
• 1 (H'F "OS
1 1 0 (j F. " 0 f
0.
. V ? 4 F. + 0 ^
. f 2 0 1' + 0 -4
« 1 0 0 F + ^ i
. bdui'. + oo
« 50 0 F **• 00
. o o j r + o o
. SOOf+rto
. i *j J F + 0 1
> i SO F. + (1 0
i I 0 0 f" » 0 }
it.
O.iOO U.O'J"
I .
• *>nufc »o?
• •> 0 1 L + 1) iJ
0.
, ??f F. + OV
• *00t"*02
• ftOOt+0?
.7R(!|T + 09
. 7 Hot +09
• 3«l)L + Ob
.5 t' + 0 7
• / ? U t". + 0 k)
• 7?OC + Ob
• 7»v£ + 05
.7rtvL + oI>
0,
• 1 O'l(I + ()i)
• 3tM't. + 00
0,
04
»600t+00
0.
• i'DUh. + OO
, t 4 f t; + o V
• i « 7 1; + o y
.5()OE + 00
. 100E + 00
0.
• I ?0t + 0t)
. 1 (IJK-01
. 1 uOL+01
•xiOE+oo
. 1 ^OE+1 J
, ; , n t» r ^ y 3
, ) (SOK + tTO
. 1 OOt. + 1)1
• f- o y t + o 0
.••OOL + OO
» (i 0 L" - 0 1
, h,)wt>02
.snof-ui
. 1 OOK+01
(1.
0» i)'»0
0.
,50UL*0^
• hooE + O/i
, looE + 01
.200E-04
»400C + Oi!
."»00t>0i
• 7ttOt + OV
•780E+OV
• 34d£ + 0b
• 34BE + 05
.176E+07
• 1 f 6E + Of
t/'iJOt + Oi
.720E+05
• 789E + 03
.719E+03
0.
0.
0 .
u.
0.
0.
0.
0.
. 1H7E + GV
• 147t + 0y
.800E+03
. lUOE + Ou
• loOE+00
, i 20E+Oi
. 1 JOE+00
• 250E+ 1 j
• 500E+ 1 £.
U.
• 4fJ6E + OJ
.260E~oi
.BOOE+oo
.bOOE+00
.b(J(>E + 00
.900£+00
•500E+00
.•450E + 00
.400C+OJ
, ^uuE+00
0.

0.
.500E*02
,500E*02
0.
.500E+00
»40y£*0?
.400E+02
, 7UOE* 09
t 760E + 09
. 34d£ + 05
• 34 17oE*07
.176E+07
. ?20E*0'i
, 720E*05
.709E*05
. 709E+05
0.
. lOOE+00
0,
0.
0.
,200E»00
0.
.10UE+00
.147E+09
. 14 7£ + 09
.800E-07
.800E+00
. lUOE + Ol
.200E+01
. 408£"06
. 3t>UE*06
'.12fL+l3
0,
,720t»04
.IOOE'0?
t65yE+00
.500E+00
,50'JEfOO
,50'JE + OO
,»OOE*00
.bOOE'Ol
.1 'JOE i-O 3
. 1 20E*05
o!

0.
«500F>02
.500t+02
.100E+01
u,
.400E+02
• 400t+02
•760E+OV
•700E+09
.348E+05
i 3
-------
   Table D-3.  INPUT  DATA FOR  LAKE MICHIGAN (KEYED TO TABLE D-l)
 1
 2
 3
 4

 6
 7
 a
 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
16
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
3d
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
 ,790t+0?
 .600L-01
0,
     o.
     0.
      ,60UE+on
     0.
        0.
        0,
         .500S. + 00
        n.
      • 1 4 f t. »Uo
      .50ut+l?
         ,900£+ur>
        I).
      .800!
      , 1 5 0 *•' + U 1
      .flUOt + U'1.
0.640
0.005
           0.14J
                        , / * o r * o '<
                       -• >
                        , jutl »0b
                             »0'J
                          *')0
               0.
                . 14 ? t + u *
                .l«l
                    U.

                     • J
                    U.
                       0.
                        .1-3^+01
                        , 0 ii t • U1
                                .100K.»(.'3
                               o.
                            »i.oH    0.013
   •943E+00
   .ZOUE-04
                                              Oi
                                              0.
  0.
  0.
  U.
  0.
  0.
  0.
  0.
  0.
   .10UL+00
   • 100t + 00
   .l/Ot+03
                                                      .UOt+14
                                                      .64JE+14
                                                      •oouc+ou
                                                       .voi>e»oo
                                                     I).
4V
     0.
   .lOOE+01
  0.
0.013   U.U11

  0.
                                                                 0.
                  ,IOOE*0?
                  .100E+0?
                 0.
                 0.
                  ,34d£»05
                  .34ME+05
  .7iiOE + 05
  ,789E*05
  ,789E»05
 0.
  .IOOE*00
 0.
 0.
 0.
  .200E+00
 0.
  .1UOL+00
  ,14iTE*09
  ,j»00£-07
  .eoo£*oc
  .100E+01
 0.
  .40BE-OA
                                                                  0.

                                                                   .100E-02
  .500£»00
 0.
  .900E+00
  .UOOE-01
  .15UE+03
  .120E-05
 0.
0.010   0.009

 0.
                                                                                  •79UE+02
                Ui
                0,
 .7B9E+05
0.
0,
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
                                                                                     .H*7t*09
 •360E+07
0.
 .9201+07
 .HOOL+00
 .370t+00
                                                                             •224E+05
                                                                             .936E+04
                                                                             .100t"U2
                                 t500E+00
                                 .^OOE+00
                                 ,5001+00
                                 .200E+01
                                 .500L+00
                                 .ttOOt+02

-------
                  Table D-4.   INPUT DATA FOR LAKE ERIE (KEYED TO TABLE D-l)
-j
en
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
&
9
10
11
12
13
U
15
16
17
la
19
20
21
?2
23
24
25
?6
?7
2tj
29
30
31
32
3J
34
3t>
36
37
30
39
40
41
42
43
44
45


.^Ot*«? .06110(12
. Mci't * U9 . Of UK + ')r?
, 6 o U t " O 1 . tJ U 0 F -Ml 0
0, .120O10
. 1 0 0 O U ' .10i)F + 02
, 1 JOOO? . li)v)F + 'V
.TdOOOl . M JF»09
»7i}OOUvi ./c>OO09
»34
,3>4rtOOS .JtOt' + O*)
. 1 7ftOu? . J 76F + 07
. 1 7 6 1. + 07 .1/6O1/
,72JL+us . ^20F •*•(!'>
. 720OOe • ^2UO!>S
,7B9£+US ./IJ9F + OS
,7b9OOS . < Htf + 05
,6U')OOO ,jiJOF + 00
0. U.
. l oof +ijn . 2UOOO')
0 . , 4 0 0 F + 0 0
, 1 i>OE+ oo . iUiJO'iC
0. 0.
.M'UOOo .200O '>U
0. 0.
• lifOUl* . i <* f" ft 09
. I '»7t f Jo . in7F+Ci^
.Si'Ot + 1? .3UOF'i*6
,7l»UL+Jr* .iOoO^O
, 900t.t un it .
,l'j"iL + On • M U F • 0 Vi
.lOOt + o? ,100F<')i
. 1 1"^ 1 ^ 1 1 . i 0 0 (• ~ 1) 'j
.tOOL + l'- . (M)F + oo
,150t + on , d 0 0 F + 0 0
.bOOE + Ui ,bi)0f+00
. 150OU1 . I'SJf +')!
. ftoot + yf1 .ioot+no
. 200L + 00 . 1 OOf +01
. 1 1 0 It . + U 1 U ,
0.640 O.llj l^.liVO 0 . 0 .3 •}
y.oo-i
,^ot*o?"
.^ism'f »;'
•I,
.??7E+OV
. 1 OOE*02
i 1 (iOC»0?
»7rtOL»09
. 7?VJl. + 09
•3atiL+05
.34HE+05
. 1 76E + Q7
. 1 f 6 F, + y 7
• 7 v o t ! + 0 ^)
. / ^ JL+ 05
.7a?C+05
. 7H9E+05
0.
.luOEl + 00
. 3COC + 00
'J.
!>«
. ^ 0 0 O 0 0
0.
. ?(' JL + 00
, 1 14 ( 1 1 J9
. 1 ui'L + 09
• *F +00
.loot+oo
0.
. U'OOOB
.loOE-01
. 1 00 O 0 1
.?! OF +00
. fc .T 9 F. + 1 <<
. MHDC + 03
.IhOt+OO
. lOOEtOl
. huOt+00
.bOUC+00
.9SOE+00
.^OOE-01
. 1 OOE+03
y .
. \ f)i)L + 01
0.
u.i'Jl 0.013

* 6 i3 J t * 0 ii
* 0 O U L * 0 
-------
  Table D-5.  HYPOTHETICAL LAKE: PHOSPHORUS OUTPUT FROM THE MASS FLOW
    MODEL FOR UNCONTROLLED CONDITIONS AND FOR THE MAXIMUM APPLIED
CONTROL STRATEGIES--SHOWING 99% PHOSPHORUS REMOVAL IN WASTE TREATMENT
M«AMm« T C A II It 	 »HI CO/TIO ._,f IOTAL _ ..,
OMOAku riw» PHI »m*i».oo 0.0002
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-------
                             Table D-5 (Con't)
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-------
                                                                Table  D-5 (Con't)
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-------
Table D-6.  LAKE MICHIGAN:   PHOSPHORUS OUTPUT FROM THE MASS FLOW MODEL FOR
UNCONTROLLED CONDITIONS  AND FOR THE MAXIMUM APPLIED CONTROL STRATEGIES--
                  SHOWING 99%  PHOSPHORUS REMOVAL IN  WASTE TREATMENT
PAKAMLTCil » t A N 14
OH6ADU 1"MJ5 PtSI
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-------
                                                                         Table D-6  (Con't)
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-------
                                                                Table  D-6 (Con't)
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-------
          Table  D-7.   LAKE ERIE:   PHOSPHORUS OUTPUT FROM THE  MASS  FLOW MODEL FOR UN-
           CONTROLLED  CONDITIONS AND FOR  THE  MAXIMUM  APPLIED CONTROL STRATEGIES--
                                 SHOWING 99% PHOSPHORUS REMOVAL IN WASTE  TREATMENT	,
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-------
                                        Table D-7 (Con't)
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-------
                                                                Table D-7  (Con't)
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-------
                            APPENDIX E
                    MARGARINE EXCISE TAXES

The tables in this appendix were developed to show the impact of an
excise tax on the consumption of butter and margarine.  A look at Table
E-l shows that margarine consumption has risen while butter consumption
has steadily fallen.  Quite clearly the two products are substitutes.  In
Utah, where margarine was heavily taxed relative to many other parts
of the country, consumption was less than for the country as a whole.
The federal excise tax was repealed in 1959, leading to a considerable
shift in 1961.  The restriction on color was also repealed.

A  simple  equation was next developed to look at the effect on margarine
consumption of a change in prices and income.  This was done for the
United States in Table E-2 and for the State of Utah in  Table E-3.  The
tables  perhaps show that price is a more important variable than income.
The one major surprise,  however, and the reason these  tables are
included are the  generally positive signs attached to income.  Many
people grew up with the idea that margarine was an inferior product,
that people only ate it because they couldn't afford butter.  If this were
true,  then as income rose the consumption of margarine should have
fallen.  These tables show that for the most part, higher incomes have
not meant less consumption of margarine  at all.  It might very well be

                                 385

-------
true that high phosphate detergent is popular not because of its supposed
superior cleaning power relative to soap,  but mostly because it is
cheaper.

The revenue from Utah1 s  10^-a-pound excise tax is now over one
million dollars and will be repealed as of  July 1,  1973. The big argu-
ment for retaining it was because of its revenue potential.   Reapportion-
ment has  given greater representation to the cities and the repeal passed
easily with only the  representatives of counties with large dairy interests
voting against it.
                                 386

-------
Table E-l.  PER CAPITA MARGARINE AND BUTTER
            CONSUMPTION (1927-1970)
Year

1922
1923
1924
1925
1926
1927
1928
1929
1930
1931
1932
1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
Butter, U.S.
Pounds



17.7
17.5
17.5
17.2
17.4
17.3
18.0
18.1
17.8
18.2
17.1
16.4
16.3
16.4
17.3
16.9
15.9
15.6
11.7
11.8
10.8
10.4
11.1
9.9
10.4
10.6
9.5
Margarine, U.S.
Pounds
1.72
1.85
2.08
1.84
2.09
2.97
2.42
2.70
2.81
2. 23
1.71
1.72
1.91
2. 76
2.89
3.01
3.19
2.54
2.29
2.59
2.70
3.38
3.82
4.35
3.61
4.15
5.93
5.76
5.53
6.39
Margarine, Utah
Pounds









.870
.300
.021
.030
1.070
1.100
1.820
1.760
. 690
.910
1.750
3.370
3.280
3.360
3.490
3.210
4.860
8. 600
8.340
6. 140
9.460
                        387

-------
Table E- 1 (Cont'd)
Year

1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
I960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
Butter, U.S.
Pounds
8.6
8.5
8.9
9.0
8.7
8.3
8.3
7.9
7.5
7.4
7.3
6.9
6.8
6.4
5.7
5.5
5.6
5.4
5.3
Margarine, U. S.
Pounds
7.95
8.05
8.50
8.20
8.20
8. 60
9.00
9.20
9.40
9.40
9.30
9. 60
9.70
9.90
10.50
10. 50
10.80
10.80
11.00
Margarine, Utah
Pounds
9.200
9.890
8,910
8.480
8.090
8.010
8.310
8.750
7.130
8.580
8.000
8.770
7. 610
8.050
8.410
8.350
8.360
10. 240
10.000
          388

-------
                              Table E-2. UNITED STATES MARGARINE CONSUMPTION
00
vO
Dependent Variable
Margarine /Pop
(1920-70-UNAO

(1920-70-A)
(1930-70-UNA)

(1930-70-A)
Independent Variables
Intercept
6.936
.112
14.763
6.967
.117
25.871
Price of Margarine
-0.096
( 5.653)
-0.168
(14.373)
-0.022
( 0.2814)
-0.108
( 3.341)
-0.139
( 4.908)
-0.013
( 0.129)
Price of Butter
0.053
( 4. 293
0.117
(21.249)
-0.048
( 6,064)
0.057
( 2.667)
0.109
(12.045)
-0.107
(26.214)
Butter /Pop
-0.053
(20.778)

-0.503
(30.633)
-0.310
( 7.472)

-0.780
(60.792)
Income U. S.
0.001
( 16.937)
0.002
( 34.784)
0.001
( 1.574)
0.001
( 10.595)
0.002
( 26.991)
-0.001
( 2.232)
df
46
47
46
36
37
36
R2
.96
.95
.95
.95
.94
.96

-------
Table E-2 (Cont'd)
Dependent Variable

Margarine/Pop Intercept
(1920-70-UNA) -0.
(1930-70-UNA) -0.
(1920-70-A) 0.
(1930-70-A) -2.
(1930-70-WWII-UNA) 0.
(1950-70-UNA) 5.
529
161
741
548
099
769
Independent Variables
Price of Margarine Price of Butter Butter/Pop
Price Difference Variable
0.083
(16.265)
0.089
(18.563)
-0. 637
( 6.868)
-0.016
( 0.093)
0.833
(15.140)
-0.023
( 0.326)

Income U. S.
0.002
( 55.387)
0.002
( 42.511)
0.005
(375.110)
0.006
(116.234)
0.002
( 40.351)
0.002
( 41.842)
df R2
48 .94
38 . 94
48 .92
38 .76
33 .94
18 .82

-------
                            Table E-3. UTAH MARGARINE CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
sO
Dependent Variable
Margarine /Pop
(1920-70-UNA)



(1920-70-A)

(1930-70-UNA)



(1930-70-A)



Intercept
7.

-3.

15.

0.

-3.

20.

892

204

251

90S

854

229


Price of
-0
( 4
-0
( 9
0
( o
-0
( o
-0
( o
0
( o

Margarine
.142
.929)
. 218
.079)
.051
.697)
.066
.581)
.077
.801)
.057
.748)
Independent
Variables

Price of Butter Butter /Pop
0.131
(10.706)
0.207
(23.573)
0.005
( 0.033)
0.140
( 7.702)
0.168
(14.209)
-0.007
( 0.036)
-0.
(18.


-0.
(36.
-0.
( 1.


-1.
{34.
517
964)


878
517)
217
410)


039
576)


Income Utah
-0.
( 1.
0.
( 1.
( -o.
( o.
0.
( o.
0.
( 1.
-0.
( 3.
001
663)
001
766)
001
866)
000
002)
001
094)
003
049)
df
46

47

46

36

37

36

R2
.92

.89

.91

.92

.91

.89


-------
                                                   Table E-3 (Cont'd)
ts)
Dependent Variable
Margarine /Pop
(1920-70-UNA)
(1930-70-UNA)
(1920-70-A)

Intercept
-3.337
-3.031
-1.806
Independent Variable
Price of Margarine Price of Butter Butter /Pop
Price Difference Variable
0.199
(36. 530)
0.230
(52.449)
-0.033
( 0.701)

Income Utah
0.001
( 2.867)
0.000
( 0.023)
0.006
(172.400)
df R2
48 .89
38 .90
48 .82

-------
              APPENDIX F
SUMMARY OF MODEL OUTPUT FOR COST
       EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS
                   393

-------
                                        Table F-l
Hypothetical    STRATEGY: All MGMNT; FAC2 = 0. 5
System Total: 1. 66 x 10
Strategy Total: 9. 14 x 10
                          EFF:
                      EFF P
                                          A  EFF  P
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
85
55
49
43
37
34
33
32
31
- -
„
28

27
..
26
25
g/y
5.41 x
io8
3.48x
io8
3.10x
io8
2.71x
io8
Z.32x
io8
2.17x
io8
2.Q9x
io8
2.01 x
io8
1.94 x
io8
..
..
1.78x
io8

l.glx
IO8
„
1.63x
io8
1.59x
io8
System
% removal
67
79
81
84
86
87
87
88
88
..
..
89

90

90
90
Eut
81
51
45
38
32
30
29
28
26


24

23

21
21
g/y
i
5.14.x
io8
S.glx
io5
2.83 x
io8
2.44x
io8
2.g6x
10
l.POx
io8
1.82x
io8
1.75x
io8
1.67x
io8
..

1.52x
10

1.44x
io8

1.36x
io8
1.32x
io8
Before
6.82
6.82
6.82
6.82
6. 82
6. 82
i 6.82
6. 82
6. 82


6.82

6.82

6.82
6. 82
After
6.82
3.41
2.73
2.05
1.36
1.09
0.95
0.82
0. 68


0.41

0.27

0.14
0.07
COST
$/yr
0
2. 67 x
10
2. 67 x
10
2. 67 x
10
3. 72 x
10
4.49 x
10
2.55 x
io6
2. 55 x
io6
2. 55 x
iog


6. 38 x
io6

6. 47 x
io?.

6. 56 x
io6
6. 60 x
io6
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
I
I
I


R

R

R
R
CONCENTR.
*  C  =  Coagulation
   I  =  Ion Exchange
   R  =  Reverse Osmosis
                                              394

-------
                                  Table F-l (Con't)
Hypothetical
              STRATEGY:  P = 0. 10
System Total: 1- 6b x 10
                     c
Strategy Total; I. 42 x 10'
% EFF:
EFF 1- A EFF P CONCENTR.
TREAT
"k removal
0
50
bO
70
80
84
at-
e»
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
175
113
101
89
7fe
71
69
66
64


59

56
	
54
53
g/yr
l.JI x
10
7. 19
xlO8
6. 41 x 1
io8
5. 62 x
io8
4.83 x
ios
4.jj2x
io8
4. 36 x
io8
4. 21 x
ios
4.p5x
io8
	

3.33 x
io8

3.|8x
los
- .
3.42 x
ios
3. 34 x
io8
' System
% removal
33
%7
•1
1~ r
71
73
~<*
75
76


78

78
.
79
80
Eut
164
103 ,
i
90. i
78
65
60
58
55
53
51
49
48
47
46
44
i
43
42
g.'/r
I.Q4x
10^
6.41 x
io8
^ J2x
io8
4. 94 x
io8
4. 15 x
io8
3.84x
ios
3. 68 xH
io8
3.52x
io8
3.37x
io8
3.21 x
10
3.J3x
10
3 05 x
io8
2.97x
io8
2.89x
io8
2.82 x
10
2 74 x
io8
^766 x
io8
Before
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
..
12.42
..
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
After
12.42
6.21
4. 97
3. 72
2.48
1.99
1.74
1.49
1.24
0.99
0. 87
0. 74
0. 62
0, 50
0.37
0. 25
0. 12
COST
S/yr

5. 18 x
10
5- 18 x
10
5. 18 x
10
7. 28 x
10
8.79 x
10
9. 56 x
10
1.03 x
io£
l.fcl x
10
3. 06 x
ios
3.g9x
10
3, 11 x
io6
3. 14 x
10°
7.04x
10?
7. 09 x
io6
7. 14 x
10&
7. 18 x
10^
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
c
c
c
c
I
I
I
I
R
R
R
R
   C - Coagulation

   I = Ion Exchange

   R   Reverse Osmosis
                                            395

-------
                                 Table F-1 (Con't)
Hypothetical    STRATEGY:   INDUST PET
System Total:  1. 66 x 10
                     c
Strategy Total: 1. 55 x 10 '
EFF: 6. 6
                     EFF P
                                         A EFF P
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
98
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
196
139
127
116
104
100
97
95
93
..

88

86

84
83
g/yr
1.25*
10^
8.81 x
io8
8.08 x
io8
7. 35 x
io8
6. 63 x
io8
6,33x
io8
6.19x
^jo8
6.04x
io8
5.90x
io8
„

5.61 x
io8

5.46x
'108

5.31 x
to8
5.24x
io8
System
% removal
25
47
51
56
60
62
63
64
64


66

67

68
68
Eut
146
89
77
66
55
50
48
45
43


38

36

34
33
g/y
9. 29 x
io8
^X
!o^x
4. 19 x
io8
3.|6x
10
3-J.7
io8
3.03x
io8
2.88x
io8
2.g3x
10


2.44x
io8

2.30x
io8 .

2.15x
io8
2.08x
io8
Before
11. 51
11. 51
11.51
11. 51
11. 51
11. 51
11. 51
11. 51
11.51


11.51

11.51

11.51
11.51
After
11. 51
5. 75
4. 60
3.45
2. 30
1.84
1.61
1.38
1. 15


0.63

0.46

0.23
0. 12
COST
$/yr
0
4. 82 x
10
4. 82 x
io5
4, 8Z x
io5
6. p x
10"
8 17
10
8. 88 x
ios
9. 60 x
10
1.03 x
10^


2.94 x
io6

7.04 x
io5

7. 14 x
10&
7.18 x
10*
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C


I

R

R
R
                                                        CONCENTR.
*  C = Coagulation
   I = Ion Exchange
   R = Reverse Osmosis
                                            396

-------
                                 Table F-1  (Con't)
Hypothetical    STRATEGY;  Alt MGMNT
System Total: 1. 66 x 10
                     Q
Strategy Total; 9. 24 x 10
EFF:  44
                     EFF P
                                        A EFF  P
   CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
SO
60
70
80
84
86
86
90
92
93
94
95
9b
97
98
99
Eut
8b
52
45
38
32
29
28
26
25


22

21

20
19
g-'y
5.4! x
io8
3.28*
io8
2.|fex
10
2.43 x
io8
Z.Olx
io8
1.84 x
io8
1.25x
io8
1.67x
io8
1.58 x 1
ios


l.glx
10

1.33*
io8

1.24x
io8
1.20x
io8
System
% removal
67
SO
83
1
85
88
89
89
90
90


92

92

93
93
Eut
81
48
41 ;
i
14
27
25
23
22
21


18

17

15
15
gjyr
5, 14 x
io8
3. 02 x
ios
Z. 59 x
10
E.lTx
io9
1.74x
io8
1.57x
io8
1.49x
io8
1.40x
ios
1.32x
io8


1.15x
io8

1.06x
io8

9. 25 x
10'
9.32x
L 10
Before
7. 51
7. 51
7. 51
7. 51 '
7. 51
7.51
7. 51
7. 51
7.51


7. 51

7. 51

7.51
7. 51
After
7, 51
3.76
3.01
2. 25
1.50
1.20
1.05
0.90
0.75

..
0.45
..
0.30

0.15
0.08
COST
S/yr
0
2. 92 x
10
2.92 x
10
2. 92 x
10
4.07 x
10
4.92 x
10
5.34 x
10
2. 55 x
io6
2.&5x
10
„
„
6. 38 x
io6
..
6.47 x
10*

6. 56 x
10
6. 60 x
iog
Treatment
Proceas*

C
C
c
C
c
c
I
1


R

R

R
R
*  C = Coagulation
   I = Ion Exchange
   R = Reverse Osmoais
                                           397

-------
                                 Table  F-1  (Con't)
Hypothetical    STRATEGY:  DOMDET
System Total: 1. 66 x 10
Strategy Total: 1. 35 x 1Q9
                                                                               EFF:   19

TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99

Eut
164
127
120
112
105
102
101
99
98
__

95
	
93
_ _
92
91
EFF P A EFF P
g/yr
1.04x
10*
8.08 x
10
7.61x
108
7.l4x
io8
6.68 x
ios
6. 49 xl
IO8
6.40x
io8
6.30 x
io8
6.21 x
io8
- .

6.02x
IO8
	
5.93 x
IO8
_ _
5.84x
io8
5.29x
io8
System
% removal
37
51
54
57
60
61
61
62
63


64

04
__.
65
65
Eut
114
77
70
63
55
52
51
49
48

	
45
_ _
44
..
42
41
g/yr
7.25*
io8
4.91 x
IO8
4.45x
io8
3.98 x
io8
3. Six
io8
3.33 x
io8
3.23x
io8
3.14x
io8
3.05x
ios
_ _
	
2. 86 x
io8
— -
2.77x
io8

2.67x
io8
2.63x
io8
CONCENT R.
Before
7. 37
7.37
7.37
7.37
7. 37
7.37
7.37
7.37
7. 37
^ _
..
7.37

7.37

7.37
7. 37
After
7.37
3.69
2.95
2.21
1.47
1. 18
1.03
0.88
0.74
..
„
0.44
_ _
0.29

0. 15
0.07
COST
$/yr

3.18x
10
3. 18 x
10
3. 18 x
10
4.44 x
io5
5.3JX
10
5. 83 x
10
2. 77 x
io6
2.77x
io6
..
..
6. 95 x
io5
- -
7.04x
IOK

7. 14 x
io6
7. 18 x
io6
T reatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
C
I
I


R

R

R
R
*  C = Coagulation
   I  = Ion Exchange
   R = Reverse Osmosis
                                           398

-------
                                 Table F-l  (Con't)
Hypothetical    STRATEGY:  TREAT
System Total; 1. 66 x 10
Strategy Total:1- k(> * 1°
% EFF:  0%
                     EFF P
                                        A EFF P
                                                       CONCENTR.
TREAT
V removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
•)b
96
9"
98
99
Eut
214
152
140
128
115
110
..
105

100
99
98
97

94
93
92
g/yr
l.$6x
10
9. 67 x
JO8
8.£9x
10*
8. 10 x
io8
7.32x
io8
7.00x
io8

6.68x
io8

6.37x
io8
6.29x
io8
6.22x
io8
6.14x
io8
6.06x
io8
5.98x
io8
5. 90 x
io8
5. 82 x
io8
System
% removal
18. 1
41.7
46.4
51.2
55.9
57.8

59.8

61. 6
62. 1
62. 5
63. 0
63.5
64. 0
64.4
64.9
Eut
164
103
90.1
78
65
60

55

51
49
48
47
46
44
43
42
g/yr
l.Q4x
10
b. 51 x
io8
5.72x
io8
4.94x
io8
4.1Sx
io8
3.84x
io8

3.52x
io8

3.21x
io8
3.13x
io8
3.05x
io8
2. 97 x
io8
2.89x
io8
2.§2x
10
2.24x
io8
2.66x
io8
Before
U.42
12.42
12.42
12.42 '
12.42
12.42

12.42

12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
12.42
After
12.42
6.21
4.97
3.72
2.48
1.99

1.49

0.99
0.87
0.74
0. 62
0.50
0.37
0.25
0. 12
COST
$/yr

t>. 18 x
10
5. 18 x
ios
5. 18 x
10
7.28 x
10
8. 79 x
10

1.03 x
iog

3.06x
io5
3.09 x
iog
3.11 x
196
3. 14 x
10&
7.04 x
iog
7.g9x
10
7.14 x
1Q&
7.18 x
10&
Treatment
Process*

C
C
c
c
c

c

I
I
- I
R
R
R
R
R
*  C = Coagulation
   I = Ion Exchange
   R = Reverse Osmosis
                                            399

-------
                                  Table F-2
MICHIGAN STRATEGY: NIL
(100 m)
System Total: 1-77 x 10
,0 % EFF: 0-00
Strategy Total:!. 77 x 10
                   EFF P
A EFF P
CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
3.92
3.32
3.20
3.08
2.96
2.91
--
2.86
--
2.81
2.80
2.79
2.78
2.76
2.75
2.74
2.73
g/yr
l.74xlOK
1.47xl01(
1.42xl010
1.37xl01C
1.31xl010
1.29X1010
--
1.27X1010
--
1.25xl010
L25X1010
I.24xl010
L.23X1010
1.23X1010
1.22X1010
1.22xl01C
1.21X1010
System
% removal
1.7
17
20
23
26
27
--
28
--
29
29
30
31
31
31
31
31
Eut
2.60
2.00
1.88
1.76
1.64
1.60
--
1.55
--
1.50
1.49
1.48
1.46
1.45
1.44
1.43
1.42
g/yr
LlbxlO1'
8.91 x 10
B.SSxlO9
7.85xl09
7.31 x 109
7.10xl09
--
6.89xl09
--
6.67 x 109
6.62 xlO9
6.57 x 109
S.SlxlO9
5.46xl09
6.41xl09
6.35xl09
6.30xl09
Before
5. 33xl09
11.18
5.33x10'
11. 18
5.33xl09
11. 18
S.33xl09
11. 18
5.33x10'
11.18
5.33xl09
11.18
--
5.33x10?
11. 18
--
>. 33x10"*
11.18
5.33x10'
11. 18
5. 33x10"*
11. 18
5.33xl09
11. 18
5. 33x10'
11. 18
5.33x10^
11. 18
5.33x10*
11. 18
5.33x10'
11.18
After
5. 33 x 10^
11. 18
5. 33 x 10'
5.59
5. 33xlOY
4.47
5.33xl09
3.35
5. 33xl09
2.24
5. 33 x 109
1.79
--
5.33x109
1.34
--
5.33X101*
0. 89
5. 33x10?
0.78
5.33x10^
0.67
5.33x109
0,56
5.33x109
0.45
5. 33x109
0.34
5.33x10'
0. 22
5.33x10'
0. 11 ,
COST
$/yr
0.00
3.33xl06
3.33xl06
3.33xl06
4. 73xl06
5.75xl06
--
6.78xl06
--
1.39xl07
1.40xl07
1.41xl07
1.43xl07
4. 03xlO?
4. 06xlO?
4. 09xl07
4.13xlO?
Treatment
Process*

















*  C = Coagulation
   t  ~ Ion Exchange
   R - Reverse Osmosis
                                       400

-------
                                Table  F-2 (Con't)
MICHIGAN
  (100 m)
STRATEGY:   DOM DET
System Total: 1.77x10

Strategy Total;!. 54x 10
                                                                      10
                                                        10
% EFF:  13%
                     EFF P
                                       A EFF P
                                                      CONCENT R.
TREAT
% removal
0
SO
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
3.40
3.06
2.99
2.92
2.85
2.83
2.81
2.80
2.79
--
--
2.76
--
2.74
--
2. 7?
2. 7Z
g'v
LSlxlO10
1.3&X1010
1.33xl010
1.30xl010
1.27xlOl°
UfcxlO10
1.25X1010
1.24X1010
1.24 xlO10
--
—
1.23xl01C1
--
1.22xl010
--
1.21 xlO10
1.21 xlO10
System
% removal
15
23
25
26
£8
29
29
30
30
--
--
31
--
31
--
32
32
Eut
2.09
1.75
1.68
1.61
1.54
1.51
1.50
1.49
1.47
--
--
1.45
--
1.43
--
1.42
1.41
g'y*
9.27xl09
7.76 x 109
7.46 x 109
7.16xl09
6.85 xlO9
6.73xl09
6.67 xlO9
6.61 xlO9
6.55xl09
--
--
6.43 xlO9
--
6.37x10
--
5.31xl09
5.28
Before
3.03xl09
6. 35
.03xl09
6.35
3. 03 x 109
6.35
3. 03xlb9
6.35
3.03xl09
6.35
3.03x10^
6.35
3.03x109
6.35
3.03x109
6.35
3. 03 x 10^
6.35
--
--
3. O^xlO^
6. -;
--
3.03x109
6.35
--
3.03x10"*
6.35
3.03x10^
6.35
After
3.03x 10*
6.35
1.51x10^
3. 18
1.21xlOv
2.54
9.08x10°
1.91
6. 06 xlO8
1.27
4. 84 x 10°
1.02
4. 24 xlO8
0.89
3,63x10°
0.76
3.02xl08
0.64
--
--
1.82x10"
0.38
1 -
1.21x108
0.25
--
6.06x10'
0. 13
3. 03 x 10'
0.06
COST
$/yr
0. 00
1.93xl06
1.93xl06
1.93xl06
2.72xl06
3. 31xl06
1.36xl07
1.36xl07
1.36xlO?
--
--
3. 96xl07
--
4.0? xlO7
--
4. 09xl07
4. 13xl07
Treatment
Process*
C
C
C
C
C
C
1
I
I


R

R

R
R
 *  C  = Coagulation

   I  - Ion Exchange

   R  = Reverse Osmosis
                                          401

-------
                            Table F-2  (Con't)
MICHIGAN STRATEGY: IN DET
( 1 00 m)
System Total: 1.77x10
in % EFF: 3.4%
Strategy Total: 1-71x10
                EFF P
                                  A EFF P
                                                CONCENTR.
TREAT
"it. removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
07
9fr
99
'
Eut
3.78
3.22
3. 10
2.99
2.88
2.83
2.81
2.79
2.76
-•
--
2.72
--
2.70
--
2.67
2.66
g/y
L68x 1010
1.43xlOl°
L38xl010
1.33X1010
1.28xlOl°
L26x,010
U25xlOi0
L24x'0l°
1.23X1010
--
--
L21xl010
--
L20x1010
--
L19X1010
LlSxlO10
System 1
% remova- •
i
5.1
19.2
22.0
24.9
27.7
28.8
29.4
29.9
30.5

--
31.6
—
32.2

32.8
33.3
Fiut
2.47
1.90
1.79
1.68
1.57
1.52
1.50
1.47
1.45
__
--
1.4-
--
1. 38
--
1.36
1.35
g/yr
LOxlO9
8.47 x 10^
7.97X10*3
7.46xl09
6.96x10
6.76x10
6.66xl09
E>.56xl09
5.46x10
--
--
6.26xl09
--
6.15xl09
--
i.05 x 109
i.OOxlO9
Before
5.03xl09
10.56
5. 03xl09
10.56
5.03x10^
10.56
5. 03 x 10V
10.56
5. 03xl09
10.56
5.03x 109
10.56
5. 03 x 10?
10.56
5. 03 x 109
10.56
5.03x 109
10.56
--
--
5. 03x1 09
10.56
--
5. 03xl09
10.56
-
5. 03xl09
10.56
5.03xl09
10.56
After
5.03x10'
10.56
5.03x!CP
5.28
5.03x10^
4.22
5.03x 10"*
3.17
5.03xl09
2. 11
5.03xl09
1.69
S.OSxlO9
1.48
5.03xl09
1.27
5.03xt09
;.06
--
--
5.03 xlO9
0.63
--
5.03xlOv
0.42
--
5.03 xio"*
0.21
5.03xl09
0.11
COST
$/yr
0.00
3.15xl06
3.15x10
3.15xl06
4.47x10
5.44x10
5.93xl06
6.41xl06
6.89xl06
--
--
1.36xl07
.-
403xlO?
:
4.09xl07
4.13xlO?
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C


I

R

R
R
C - Coagulation
I  = Ion Exchange
R - Reverse Osmosis
                                     402

-------
                              Table  F-2 (Con't)
MICHIGAN STRATEGY: 10% P
100 m)
System Total: 1.77x10
10 % EFF: 26.0
Strategy Total: 1-31 x 10
                   EFF P
                                    A EFF P
                                                  CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
2.88
2.28
2. 16
2.04
1.92
1.87
1.84
1.82
1.80
--
--
1.75

1 . '.*
--
1.70
I.b9
g/yr
12.8xl09
lO.lxlO9
9.59xl09
9.06 x 109
6.?2xl09
S.JlxlO9
8.21 xio9
9
8. 1 0 x I 0
7.99x!09
--

7.78x1''."

9
67x10
--
7.56* 109
7.51x'09
System
% removal
27.7
42. -i
45.8
48.8
51.9
53. 1
53.6
,4.2
54.9
-
•-
56.0

56.-
--
> .3
57.6
Eut
2.60
2.00
1.88
1.76
1.64
1.60
1.57
1 55
i. 52
1.50
1.49
1.48
1.46
1.45
1.44
1.43

g/yr
1C
1.16x10
a 91 x to9
8.38 xlO9
7.85xl09
7.31xl09
MOxlO9
6.99
i.89x!09
6.78
6.67xl09
6.62xl09
6.57xl09
6.51xl09
6. 46 xlO9
6.41 xlO9
t>.35x!09
6.30x10
Before
5.33xl09
11. 18
5.33xiO°
11. 18
5. 33x 109
11. 18
5.33x 109
11. 18
5.33xl09
11. 18
5. 33 x 109
11. 18
--
5.33x109
11. 18
11. 18
5.33X109
11. 18
5.33xl09
11. 18
5. 33x109
11. 18
5. 33xl09
11. 18
5.33x109
11. 18
5.33x10^
11. 18
5.33xlOv
11. 18
5.33xlOv
11. 18
After
5.33xlOy
11. 18
2.66 xlO9
5.59
2-13 x 109
4.47
1.60xl09
3.35
1.07xl09
2.24
8.52xlOB
1.79
1.56
6.39x108
1.34
1.12
4.26xl08
0.89
3.73x 10s
0.78
3.20x108
0.67
2.66x108
0.56
2.13x108
0.45
1.60xl08
0.34
1.07xl08
0.22
5.33xl08
0. 11
COST
$/yr
0.00
3.33xl06
3.33xl06
3.33xl06
4.7? xlO6
5.75x10
6.27xlOb
6.78xl06
'. 29x10"
1.39xlO?
1.40xl07
1.41 xlO7
1.43 xlO?
4.03 xlO7
4.06xl07
4.09xl07
4.13xl07
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C








*  C  = Coagulation
   I  = Ion Exchange
   R  - Reverse Osmosis
                                       403

-------
                           Table F-2 (Con't)
MICmGAN STRATEGY: ALL
(100 m)
System Total: 1.77xl010
„ % EFF:
Strategy Total: 9. 83x 10'
44.5

                EFF P
                                 A EFF P
                                              CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
•J
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
9*-
97
98
99
Eut
2. 13
' «»1
1.75
1.69
1.62
l.-O
1.58
1.57
1.56
•-
--
1.53
--
1.5Z

1.51
1.50
e/y
9.46 x 109
8.06 x 109
7.77 xlO9
7.49 xlO9
7.21 xlO9
7.lOxl09
7.04 xlO9
6.99 xlO9
6.93x!0q
--
--
6.82xl09
-
6.76 xlO9
--
6.71 xlO9
6.68 » 103
System
% removal
46.6
54.5
56. 1
57.7
59.3
59.9
60.2
60.5
3-.i. 8
--

61.5
--
61.8
--
62.1
63.3
Eut
1.87
1.56
1.49
1.43
: 37
1.34
1.33
1.32
1.30
--

1.28
--
1.26
--
1.25
1.25
n/y
8.32 xlO*
6.91x 10
6.63 xlO9
6.35xlOS
6.07xl09
5.96xl09
5.90xl09
J.SSxlO
5.79 xlO9
--
--
5.68 x 10S
--
5.62xl09
--
5.57xl09
5.54xlOS
Before
2.81 x 109
7.04
2.81x10^
7.04
2.81x 109
7.04
2.81x 109
7.04
2.81 x 109
7.04
2.81 xlO9
7.04
2.81 xlO9
7. 04
2.81xl09
7. 04
2.81 xlO9
7.04
--
--
2.81 xlO9
7.04
--
2.81 xlO9
7.04
--
2.81 xlO9
7.04
2.8lxl09
7.04
After
2.81xl09
7.04
2.81xl09
3.52
2.81x 109
2.82
2.81xl09
2. 11
2.81xl09
1.41
2.81 xlO9
1. 13
2.81xl09
0.99
2.81xl09
0.84
2.81xlOy
0.70
--
--
2.81 xlO9
0.42
--
2.81 xlO9
0.28
--
2.81 xlO9
0. 14
2. 81 xlO9
0.07
COST
S/yr
0. 00
l.SOxlO6
l.SOxlO6
l.SOx 106
2.53xl06
3.08xl06
1.19xl07
1.19x10
1.19x10
--
--
3.38xlO?
--
3.43xlO?
--
3.49 xlO7
3.52xlO?
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
I
I
I


R

R

R
R
C - Coagulation
I  " Ion Exchange
R ; Reverse Osmosis
                                    404

-------
                                  Table F-2 (Con't)
MICHIGAN
  (100 m)
STRATEGY:  ALL. EX FAC2
System Total:  1.77x10
                    Q
Strategy Total: 9.83x10
                                                                          10
EFF: 44. 5
                      ZFF P
                                         A EFF P
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
9«
99
Eut
2.13
1.83
1.78
1.72
1.66
1.63
1.62
1.61
1.60
--
--
1.58
--
1.56
-
t.55
1.55
g/y
9.46xl09
S.lSxlO9
7.89xl09
7.63xl09
7.37xl09
7.27xl09
7.21xl09
7.16xl09
7.11xl09
--
--
7.01xl09
--
6.95xl09
--
6.90 xio9
6.87xl09
System
% removal
46.6
54. 0
55.4
56.9
58.4
58.9
59.3
59. 5
59.8
--
--
60.4
--
60.7
--
61.0
61.2
Eut
1|87
1. 58
1.52
1.46
1.40
1.38
1.37
1.35
1.34
--
--
1.32
--
1.31
--
1.30
1 29
g/yr
8.32x 10
7.01x10
6.75x10'
6.49 x 10S
6.23 xK?
6.12xl09
6.07 x 10
6.02 x 10
5.97 x 10
--
--
5.86 x 109
--
5.81x10
--
5.76 x 109
5.73x10
Before
2.61xl09
6.09
2.6lxl09
6.09
2.6lxl09
6.09
2.61 xlO^
6.09
2.61 x 109
6.09
2.61xl09
6.09
2.61X109
6.09
2.61 xlO9
6.09
2.61xl09
6.09
--
--
2.61 xlO9
6.09
--
2.61xl09
6.09
--
2.61 x!0v
6.09
2.61x10?
6.09
After
2.61xl09
6.09
2.61xl09
3.05
2.61x10?
2.44
2.61x10?
1.83
2.61 xlO9
1.22
2.61xl09
0.97
2.61 xlO9
0.85
2.61x10"*
0.73
1.61x10?
0.61
--
--
2.6lxl09
0.37
--
2.61xl09
0.24
--
2.61xl09
0.12
2.61xl09
0.06
COST
S/vr
0.00
1.67xl06
1.67xl06
1.67x10
2.36 xlO6
1.25x10
1.25xl07
1.25xlO?
1.25x10
--
--
3,60xl07
--
3.66xlO?
--
3.72x 10?
3.75x 107
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
I
I
I
I


R

R

R
R
                                                        CONCENT R.
 *  C = Coagulation
    I  - Ion Exchange
    R = Reverse Osmosis
                                            405

-------
                                      Table  F-3
Lake Erie
(20 m)
STRATEGY   ALL
                                                    System Total: 2. 86 x 10
                                                                        10
                                      Strategy Total: 1. 65 x 10
                                                          10
                                                                 EFF: 42. 3
EFF P A EFi I- CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
SO
60
70
80
84
86
88
i
90
92
93
34
95
9b
97
98
99
Eut
24
17
IS
14
13
12
12
11
11


10
--
10

10
10
g/yr
IO9
16.1
11. 3
10. 3
9.33
8. 35
7.96
7.77
7.57
7.38


b. 99
-
0.80

b.60
6.50
System
% removal
43.7
60.4
63.9
67.3
70.8
72.1
72. b
73.5
74.2


75. 6

76.2

76.9
77.3
Eut
21
B/yr
109
14. 3
14 9. 39
13
11
10
8.42
7.45
6.48
9 6.09
9
9
8


8

7

7
7
5.89
5.70
5. 50


5. 11
--
4.92

4.72
4.63
Before
9.73 x lo'
b. 7r
o. 76
b. 76
6.76
6.76
6.76
o.76
6.76
6.76


6.76
--
6. 76

6.76
6.76
After
9. 73 x 10
6.76
3.38
2.70
2.03
1.35
1.08
0.95
0.81
0.68


0.41
--
0.27

0.14
0.07
COST
S'yr
0.00
6.00 x
10*
6. 00 x
10*
6.00 x
10*
8.53 x
io6
1.04 x
10
3 23 x
10
3.23 x
10
3.23x
10


1.13x
io8
--
1.15x
io8

l.J7x
io8
1.18x
io8
Treatr-ient
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
I
I
I


R

R

R
R
   C -  Coagulation

   I  =  Ion Exchange

   R =  Reverse Osmos-
                                           406

-------
                                 Table F-3 (Con't)
Erie
              STRATEGY: All Ex FAC2
                                                    System Total: 2.86x10
                                                                       10
                                                    Strategy Total: 1- 65 x 10
                                                                        10
% EFF: 42. 3
                     EFF P
                                       A  EFF P
                                                      CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
24
17
16
15
13
13
13
12
12


11

11

11
11
g/y
IO9
16.1
11. 6
10. 7
9.82
8.91
8.55
8.37
8. 19
8.01


7. 65

7.47

7.29
7.20
System
% removal
43.7
59.4
62. 6
65.7
68. 8
70. 1
70.7
71.4
72.0


72.3
..
73.o

74. 5
74.8
Eut
21
15
13
12
11
10
10
9
9
..

9
..
8

8
8
y/y
io9
16.1
9.74
8. 84
7.94
7.03
6. 67
o. 4v
31
6. 13
..
„
5.77
„
5.59

5.41
5.32
Before
9. 03 x IO9
6. 28
6. 28
6. 28 ,
6. 28
6. 28
6.28
6. 28
6. 28
6. 28
..
..
6. 28
	
6.28

6.28
6. 28
After
9.03 x 10
6.28
3.14
2. 51
1.88
1.26
1.00
0.88
0.75
0. 63
..
..
0.38
	
0.25
..
0. 13
0.06
COST
$/yr
0.00
5.57 x
iog
5. 57 x
ioe
5. 57 x
io5
7. 93 x
io6
9. 67 x
io5
3.23 x
io7
3. 23 x
10
3. 23 x
10

„ _
1.13x
io8

1.15x
io8
__
1.17x
io8
l.lBx
io8
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
I
I
I


R

R
R
R
R
 *  C  = Coagulation
   I  = Ion Exchange
   R  - Reverse Osmosis
                                           407

-------
                                 Table F-3  (Con't)
Eri«
STRATEGY: INDEX
                                                   System Total: 2. 86 x 10
                                                                      10
                                                   Strategy Total:2. 66 x 10
                                                                      10
                                                                           % EFF: 7. 0
EFF P A EFF P CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
39
26
24
21
18
17
17
16
16


15

14

13
13
g/yr
io10
2.63
1.75
1.57
1.39
1.22
1.15
1.11
1.08
1.04


.972

.936

.901
.883
Syitem
% removal
8.04
38.8
45.1
51.4
57.3
59.8
61.2
62.2
63.6


66.0

67.3

68.5
69.1
Eut
35
22
19
17
14
13
12
12
11


10

10

9
9
g/yr
io10
2.35
1.47
1.29
1.11
.937
.867
.832
.796
.761


.690

.655

. 620
.602
Before
'»»•
10.98
10.98
10.98
10.98
10.98
10.98
1. 54
10. 98
10.98


10.98

10.98

10.98
10.98
After
l'tt*
10
10.98
5.49
4.39
3.29
2.20
1.76
1. 54
1.32
1.10


0.66

0.44

0.22
0.11
COST
$/yr
0.00
l.QSx
10
l.OSx
10
l.QSx
10
1.5,4x
10
i.a6x
10
2. Q4 x
10
2.21 x
10
2.38x
10


3.61 x
IO7
..
l.27x
10B
..
1.29x
IO8
i.aix
io8
Treatment
Process*

C
c
C
c
c
c
c
c


I

R

R
R
*  C = Coagulation
   I  = Ion Exchange
   R = Reverse Osmosis
                                          408

-------
                                 Table F-3  (Con't)
Erie
              STRATEGY:   DOM PET
                                                   System Total; 2. 86 x 10
                                                                      10
                                                   Strategy Total; 2.05 x 10
                                                                       10
% EFF: 28.3
                    EFF P
                                       A EFF P
                                                      CONCENT R.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
30
22
Zl
19
18
17
17
Ib
16
..
..
15

15
..
15
15
g/yr
io10
2.01
1.49
1.39
1.28
1. 18
1. 14
1.11
1.09
1.07
..
..
1.03

1.01
..
.989
.978
Syitem
% removal
29.7
47.9
51.4
55. 2
58.7
60.1
61.2
bl.9
62.6
	
_ _
64.0
..
64.7
- -
65.4
65.8
Eut
26
18
17
15
13
13
12
12
12

_ _
11

11
	
11
10
g/yr
10"
17.3
12. 1
11. I
10.0
8.96
8.54
8.33
8.12
7.91

	
7.49
„ ^
7.28

7.08
6.97
Before
!;»•
6.52
6. 52
6. 52
6. 52
6. 52
•}. 52
6. 52
6. 52
6. 52


6.52

6. 52
	
6. 52
6.52
After
1.05 x
ioy8
6.52
3.26
2. 61
1.96
1.30
1.04
0.91
0.78
0.65


0.39

0. 26

0.13
0.07
COST
$/yr
0.00
6.44 x
10*
6.44 x
10*
b. 44 x
10*
9. 18 x
10*
l.yZx
10
3.52 x
10
3, 52 x
10
3. 52 x
10
..

l.ZSx
ios

r. §7 x
108
--
1.29x
io8
1.31X
io8
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
I
I
I


R

R

R
R
*  C = Coagulation
   I = Ion Exchange
   R = Reverie Osmosis
                                           409

-------
                             Table F-3 (Con't)
                                                System Total; 2. 86 x 10
                                                                   10
          STRATEGY: TREAT
                                                Strategy Total: 2. B6 x: 10
                                                                    10
                                                                          EFF  0
                 EFF P
                                    A EFF  P
                                                  CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
42
28
26
23
20
19
..
18
„
16
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
g/y
io10
2.83
1.90
1.71
1.53
1.34
1.27
..
1.19
..
1.12
1.10
1.08
1.06
1.04
1.02
1.01
.986
System
% removal
1.04
33.5
40.2
46.5
53.1
55.6
..
58.4
..
60.8
61.5
62. 2
62.9
63. 6
64.3
64.7
65.5
Eut
38
24
21
18
16
15
„
14
__
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
P''yr
io10
2.55
1.62
1.43
1.25
1. 06
.985

.910
_ _
.836
.817
.799
.780
.761
.743
.724
.705
Before
y
11.61
11.61
11.61
11.61
11.61
11. 61
..
11. 61
..
11.61
11.61
11.61
11. 61
11.61
11.61
11.61
11.61
After
!;«"
11. 61
5.81
4.65
3.48
2.32
1.86
..
1.39
..
0.93
0.81
0.70
0.58
0.46
0.35
0.23
0.12
COST
$/yr
0.00
1.14 x
10
1.14 x
10
1.14 x
10
1.63 x
10
1.38 x
10
..
< }4x
10
_ _
3.21 x
10
3.25 x
10
3.28 x
10
3.ai x
10
1.27x
io5
1.28x
io5
1.29x
ios
1.31 x
io8
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C

C

I
I
I
I
R
R
R
R
C - Coagulation
I  - Ion Exchange
R = Reverse Osmosis
                                       410

-------
                                   Table F-3  (Con't)
Erie
STRATEGY:  10% P
                                                       System Total: 2. 86 x 10
                                                                             10
                                                       Strategy Total; 2.77 x 10
                                                                             10
                                                                                    EFF:  3. 1
EFF P A EFF P CONCENTR.
TREAT
% removal
0
50
60
70
80
84
86
88
90
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
Eut
41
Z7
24
22
19
18
17
16
It


15

14

14
13
g/yr
io10
2.74
1.81
1. 62
1.44
1.25
1.18
1.14
1.10
1.07


.990

.953

. 916
. 897
System
% removal
4. 2
36.7
43.4
49.7
56. 3
58.7
60. 1
61. 5
62. 6


65.4

66.7

68.0
68.7
Eut
38
24
21
19
16
IS
14
14
13


12

11

11
11
g/y
io10
2.55
1.62
1.43
1. 25
1.06
.985
.948
.910
.873


.799

.761

.724
.705
Before
!;«"
11. 61
11. 61
11. 61
11. 61
11.61
11. 61
11. 61
11. 61
11. 61


11. 61
„
11. 61

11. 61
11. 61
After
!;«"
11. 61
5.81
4.65
3.48
2.32
1.86
1.63
1.39
1.16


0.70
„
0.46
..
0.23
0.12
COST
$/yr
0.00
1.14 x
10
1.14 x
10
1.14 x
10'
1.63 x
10'
1.98 x
10
2. 16 x
10
2.34 x
10
2.5,2x
10


3.28 x
10
„
1.27x
io8
„
1.29x
io8
1.31 x
io8
Treatment
Process*

C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C


I

R

R
R
*  C  = Coagulation
   I  = Ion Exchange
   R  = Reverse Osmosis
                                              411
                                                           *US. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE:1974 546-316/268  1-3

-------
SELECTED WATER
RESOURCES ABSTRACTS
INPUT TRANSACTION FORM
o
                                               ^jfr ..' No.
                                       w
Comprehensive management of phosphorus water pollution
 7  Author(s)D-B*  Porcella, A. B.  Bishop, J. C.  Andersen,  O. W.
Asplund, A. B.  Crawford, W, J. Grenney, D.I. Jenkins, J.J.
Jurinak, W. D.  Lewis, E.J.  Middlebrooks,  R. M. Walkingshaw
Utah Water Research Laboratory,  Utah State University,
Logan,  Utah  84321

12. Spon*Jita6fe action   Environmental Protection Agency
15. Supplementary Mows
        Environmental Protection Agency  report number,
        EPA-600/5-74-010,  February  1974.
                                                                 8. PeitO'VJig On:
                                                                    per? Me
                                        10. PlOjeU N".j.
                                      R.FP WA72-A66
                                        U. CtMitracl/Gi
                                      68-01-0728
                                        13. Type of Repast and
                                        -  , Period '
 16. Absizhtt  rpke environmental problems of phosphorus pollution are examined using
an activity analysis approach to account for phosphorus inputs to surface waters.  For
purposes of analysis, this study assumes phosphorus to be the  limiting factor in algal
growth and eutrophication.  A mass flow model,  general enough to be applied to specific
lakes or river basins, was developed in order to relate the flow of phosphorus from all
activities in a basin to the consequences of eutrophication. Various control tactics to
limit mass flow and thus eutrophication were defined from the standpoint of both supply
and demand for phosphorus producing products and the management of phosphorus uses
Combinations of feasible controls designated as strategies, were applied to the model tc
determine the cost-effectiveness of the strategies in minimizing eutrophication.  A
hyper-eutrophic hypothetical lake basin,  Lake Michigan, and Lake Erie were analyzed
as case  examples to test the model and control methods.  Overall strategies were
derived  for the hypothetical lake and then applied to Erie and Michigan.   In simple
terms, phosphorus management strategies seemed feasible for  control of eutrophica-
tion in present-day Lake Michigan while waste treatment together with management
strategies was iccessary for Lake Erie.
 i?a. Descriptors   Eutrophication,  nutrients, algal blooms,  primary productivity,
trophic levels,  agriculture, industry,  recreation,  water quality, economics,
lakes, excise taxes.
 i?b. identifiers    Costs, cost-benefit,  cost-effectiveness, regional management,
phosphorus, detergents, mass flow model,  waste treatment, runoff, mining.
 I7i,. OOWRR Meld & Glow
 18. .\vallafcilny
'.9. Sec* My Ciws.
   (Roport)
HI Securitj Class.
2I/'No. of
  Pages
22.
Send To:

WATER RESOURCES SCIENTIFIC INFORMATION CENTER
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
WASHINGTON. D-C. 20240

-------