United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Office of
Prevention, Pesticides, and Toxic Substances
7101
EPA 747-R-95-002b
May 1995
A FIELD TEST OF
LEAD-BASED  PAINT
TESTING TECHNOLOGIES
TECHNICAL REPORT

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                                          EPA 747-R-95-002b
                                                   May 1995
A FIELD TEST OF LEAD-BASED PAINT TESTING TECHNOLOGIES:

                 TECHNICAL REPORT
               Technical Programs Branch
             Chemical Management Division
       Office  of  Pollution Prevention and Toxics
Office of Prevention, Pesticides,  and Toxic Substances
         U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
                  401 M Street,  S.W.
                Washington,  D.C. 20460

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The material in this document has been subject to Agency technical
and policy review and approved for publication  as an EPA report.
Mention of trade names,  products, or services does not convey, and
should not  be interpreted as  conveying,  official  EPA approval,
endorsement, or recommendation.

             This report is copied on recycled paper.

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                   CONTRIBUTING ORGANIZATIONS

     The study  described in this  report  was funded by  the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Department of Housing
and  Urban  Development.    The  study  was  managed by  the  U.S.
Environmental  Protection  Agency.     The  study  was   conducted
collaboratively  by  two  organizations  under  contract  to  the
Environmental Protection Agency,  Midwest Research Institute and
QuanTech.  Each organization's responsibilities are listed below.


                   Midwest Research Institute

     Midwest  Research   Institute   (MRI)    was   responsible  for
initiating the pilot study on schedule, for overall production of
the Quality Assurance Project Plan for both  the pilot and the full
study, for providing  input to the design of the study, for planning
and supervising the field work, for collecting paint samples, for
the  laboratory  analysis of paint  chip samples,  and for writing
sections of the technical report.


                             QuanTech

     QuanTech (formerly David C. Cox & Associates)  was responsible
for  the  design  of  the  study and  contributions  to the  Quality
Assurance  Project Plan  for  the  pilot  and full studies,  for
participation in  field  work,  for data management and statistical
analysis, and for overall production of the technical and summary
reports.


              U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

     The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) co-funded the
study and  was  responsible for managing the study, for reviewing
study documents, and  for arranging for the peer review of the final
report.  The  EPA Project Leader was  John Schwemberger.   The EPA
Work Assignment Managers were John Scalera and John Schwemberger.
The EPA Project Officers were Jill Hacker, Samuel Brown, and Janet
Remmers.   Cindy  Stroup was  the Branch  Chief  of  the  Technical
Programs Branch and initiated this study.


            U.S.  Department of Housing and Development

     The  Department  of  Housing  and  Urban  Development   (HUD)
co-funded  the  study  and identified  sources  of  housing  for the
study.  Bill Wisner was  the key HUD staff member.

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                         ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

     The study could not have been done without the assistance and
cooperation of  the Housing  Authority of Louisville,  the Denver
Housing Authority, and the Philadelphia Housing Authority.

     Special thanks are due to Mike Godfrey and George Adams of the
Housing Authority of Louisville, Mark Ward  and Ben Roybal of the
Denver Housing Authority, and John Peduto, Cynthia Jones, and Bill
Zollicoffer of the Philadelphia Housing Authority.

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                              TABLE OF CONTENTS


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 	   xli
      BACKGROUND	xli
      TECHNOLOGIES EVALUATED  	   xli
      STUDY OBJECTIVES	xlii
      FIELD TESTING	xlii
      STUDY RESULTS	xliv
            Laboratory Analysis Results 	    xliv
            Chemical Test Kit Results	    xliv
            XRF Results	xlv
      OVERALL RECOMMENDATIONS FOR TESTING 	  xlvi
            XRF Instrument Conclusions	    xlvi
            Chemical Test Kit Conclusions	xlvii

1     DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY	1-1
      1.1   BACKGROUND	1-1
      1.2   STUDY OBJECTIVES	1-2
      1.3   APPROACH	1-3
      1.4   TECHNOLOGIES	1-3
      1.5   FIELD TESTING	1-6
      1.6   REPORT ORGANIZATION	'	1-7
      1.7   PEER REVIEW	1-8

2     STUDY CONCLUSIONS, TESTING RECOMMENDATIONS,   AND STUDY RESULTS  .  .   2-1
      2.1  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR TESTING	2-1
            2.1.1 XRF Instrument Conclusions  	   2-1
            2.1.2 Chemical Test Kit Conclusions	2-1
      2.2  RESULTS FOR STUDY OBJECTIVES	2-2
            2.2.1 Precision and Accuracy of XRF Instruments	2-2
            2.2.2 Substrate Interference	2-2
            2.2.3 Large XRF Errors	2-3
            2.2.4 Field Quality Assurance and Quality Control Methods .  .   2-3
            2.2.5 Operating Characteristic Curves  for Test Kits .  .  . .  .   2-3
            2.2.6 Variability of Lead Levels in Paint	2-4
      2.3  DETAILED STUDY RESULTS	2-4
            2.3.1 Lead Levels in the Study Samples	2-4
            2.3.2 XRF Instruments	2-6
            2.3.3 Chemical Test Kits	2-17
            2.3.4 Paint Chip Sampling and Analysis	2-22

3     DESIGN ELABORATION  	   3-1
      3.1   GENERAL DESIGN ELEMENTS	3-1
            3.1.1 Site Selection	3-1
            3.1.2 Location Selection  	   3-3
            3.1.3 Substrate Selection 	   3-4
            3.1.4 Logistical Considerations	3-5
            3.1.5 Standardized Location Marking  Template  	   3-7
            3.1.6 Sample ID Transfer	3-9
            3.1.7 Blind Testing	3-9
      3.2   COLLECTION OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES	3-11
            3.2.1 Paint Collection Method Selection 	  3-11
            3.2.2 Paint Collection Design Elements  	  3-12
                  3.2.2.1     Collection of Large  Surface Areas 	  3-12
                  3.2.2.2     Substrate Inclusion  	  3-12
                  3.2.2.3     Collection of  Field Duplicate  Paint  Chip
                              Samples	3-15
                  3.2.2.4     Collection of Field  Blanks  	  3-16
            3.2.3 Paint Collection Protocol Summary 	  3-17
            3.2.4 Summary of Field Observations	3-18

                                     vii

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3.3
3.4
3.5


3.2.4.1 Paint Collection Time Requirements . . . .
3.2.4.2 Collection Difficulties Encountered . . . .
LABORATORY ANALYSIS OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES 	
3.3



3.3








3.3



3.3
.1 Selection of Laboratory Methods 	
3.3.1.1 Selection of Inductively Coupled
Plasma-Atomic Emission Spectrometry (ICP) .
3.3.1.2 Selection of Sample Preparation Method . .
.2 Laboratory Analysis Design Elements 	
3.3.2.1 Mass/Area and Mass/Mass Reporting of Data .
3.3.2.2 Homogenization and Subsampling 	
3.3.2.3 Sample Preparation QC Samples 	
3.3.2.3.1 Blind Samples 	
3.3.2.3.2 Laboratory Duplicate Samples . . . .
3.3.2.3.3 Method Blanks 	
3.3.2.4 Instrumental Measurement QC Samples ....
3.3.2.5 Sample ID Transfer 	
.3 Summary of Laboratory Processing 	
3.3.3.1 First Batching of Paint Chip Samples . . .
3.3.3.2 Second Batching of Paint Chip Samples . . .
3.3.3.3 Third Batching of Paint Chip Samples . . .
.4 Summary of Laboratory Data Handling and Reporting . . .
TEST KIT MEASUREMENT DESIGN 	
3.4
3.4






3.4















3.4






XRF
3.5
3.5






. 1 Test Kit Selection 	
.2 General Test Kit Measurement Design Elements 	
3.4.2.1 Test kit Measurement Area 	
3.4.2.2 In- Field Access Control of Test Kit
Measurement Data 	
3.4.2.3 Test Kit Testing Personnel 	
3.4.2.4 Test Kit Assignments and Performance
Order 	
.3 Test Kit Descriptions and Protocol Summaries 	
3.4.3.1 Descriptions of Test Kits Included in the
Full Study 	
3.4.3.1.1 Lead Alert {Kit No. 1040) 	
3.4.3.1.2 Lead Alert All-in-One (Kit No.
1010) 	
3.4.3.1.3 LeadCheck 	
3.4.3.1.4 Lead Detective 	
3.4.3.1.5 Lead Zone 	
3.4.3.1.6 State Sodium Sulfide Kit 	
3.4.3.2 Manufacturer Instruction Changes for the
Full Study 	
3.4.3.3 Descriptions of Test Kits Included in the
Pilot Study 	
3.4.3.4 Manufacturer Instruction Changes for the
Pilot Study 	 	
.4 Summary of Field Observations 	
3.4.4.1 Testing Time Requirements 	
3.4.4.2 Testing Difficulties Encountered with Test
Kits 	
3.4.4.2.1 Louisville 	
3.4.4.2.2 Denver 	
3.4.4.2.3 Philadelphia 	
TESTING 	
. 1 XRF Instrument Selection 	
.2 XRF Measurement Design Elements 	
3.5.2.1 Use of Independent Contractors and
Monitors 	
3.5.2.2 Adherence to Manufacturer Protocols ....
3.5.2.3 Specified Testing Order 	
3.5.2.4 XRF Variability QC Checks 	
3.5.2.5 XRF Measurement Definitions 	
3-18
3-19
3-21
3-21

3-21
3-21
3-22
3-22
3-23
3-24
3-24
3-26
3-26
3-27
3-27
3-29
3-31
3-31
3-32
3-32
3-34
3-34
3-35
3-35

3-36
3-36

3-37
3-39

3-41
3-41

3-42
3-43
3-44
3-45
3-45

3-46

3-47

3-47
3-48
3-48

3-48
3-48
3-49
3-50
3-51
3-51
3-53

3-54
3-55
3-56
3-58
3-58
                              Vlll

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            3.5.2.6     XRF Measurements  at Standard Locations  .  .  3-61
            3.5.2.7     XRF Measurements  at  "Special"  Locations  -
                        Use of Alternative  Measurement Times  .  .  .  3-63
            3.5.2.8     Bare  Substrate  Measurements   (with   and
                        without NIST films)	3-64
            3.5.2.9     Field QC Samples  for XRF Measurements  .  .  .  3-65
                  3.5.2.9.1   Beginning and  Ending Control Block
                              Testing	3-66
                  3.5.2.9.2   Substrate  Change   Control  Block
                              Testing	3-67
            3.5.2.10    Recording of K- and L-shell Data	3-68
            3.5.2.11    Safety Considerations 	  3-68
      3.5.3 Summary of Field Observations	3-70
            3.5.3.1     Testing Time Requirements 	  3-70
            3.5.3.2     Testing  Difficulties Encountered  in  the
                        Performance of XRF  Measurements	3-71
                  3.5.3.2.1   Factory Modifications between Denver
                              and Philadelphia	3-71
                  3.5.3.2.2   Instrument  Operational  Problems  and
                              Failures	3-72

PAINT-CHIP SAMPLE DATA	4-1
4.1   DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ON LABORATORY  ANALYSES 	   4-1
4.2   RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AREA AND PERCENT BY WEIGHT UNITS .  .  .  .4-31
4.3   VARIATION BETWEEN LABORATORY AND FIELD DUPLICATES	4-34
      4.3.1 Variation Between Laboratory  Duplicates 	  4-34
      4.3.2 Variation Between Field Duplicates  	  4-52
4.4   LABORATORY ANALYSIS QUALITY CONTROL (QC)  RESULTS	4-77
      4.4.1 Instrumental Analysis Quality Control Samples 	  4-80
      4.4.2 Sample Preparation and Field  Quality Control Samples   .  4-80
            4.4.2.1     Method Blanks and Field Blanks  	  4-81
            4.4.2.2     Blind Samples 	  4-83
                  4.4.2.2.1   Results   and    Discussion   of
                              Investigation   Samples   in   Sample
                              Preparation Batch ZZZ 	  4-88
                  4.4.2.2.2   Results   and    Discussion   of
                              Investigative   Samples   in   Sample
                              Preparation Batch No. 734	4-92

ANALYSIS OF TEST KIT DATA	5-1
5.1   DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ON  FALSE POSITIVE  AND FALSE NEGATIVE
      RATES FOR DIFFERENT STANDARDS	5-1
      5.1.1       The Effect  of Spatial  Variation  and Laboratory
                  Error on ICP-Based Classification Rates 	  5-20
5.2   OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC CURVES FOR LEAD TESTING KITS .  .  .  .  5-25
      5.2.1 The Operating Characteristic  (OC) Curve	5-26
      5.2.2 Estimation of the Operating Characteristic Curve  .  .  .  5-26
            5.2.2.1     A Model  for  the Operating Characteristic
                        Curve	5-27
            5.2.2.2     Graphical   Assessment   of  Estimated   OC
                        Curves	5-28
            5.2.2.3     Substrate Effects 	  5-30
            5.2.2.4     Describing    Test    Kit     Performance:
                        Illustrations 	  5-31
      5.2.3 Results of Model Estimation 	  5-34
            5.2.3.1  LeadCheck   	  5-37
                  5.2.3.1.1  LeadCheck on Brick 	  5-37
                  5.2.3.1.2  LeadCheck on Concrete  	  5-39
                  5.2.3.1.3  LeadCheck on Drywall 	  5-39
                  5.2.3.1.4  LeadCheck on Metal 	  5-46
                  5.2.3.1.5  LeadCheck on Plaster 	  5-46
                  5.2.3.1.6  LeadCheck on Wood	5-47


                                ix

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            5.2.3.1.7  Summary of Analysis for LeadCheck  .  .  5-47
      5.2
      5.2
5.2.3.2.1
5.2.3.2.2
5.2.3.2.3
5.2.3.2.4
5.2.3.2.5
5.2.3.2.6
5.2.3.2.7
Coring
Lead Alert:
Lead Alert:
Lead Alert:
Lead Alert:
Lead Alert:
Lead Alert:
Summary of
3.3 Lead Alert: Sanding
5.2.3.3.1 Lead Alert:
5.2.3.3.2 Lead Alert:
.5.2.3.3.3 Lead Alert :
5.2.3.3.4 Lead Alert:
5.2.3.3.5 Lead Alert:
5.2.3.3.6 Lead Alert:
5.2.3.3.7 Summary of
Sandincr 	
Coring on Brick 	
Coring on Concrete . . .
Coring on Drywall ....
Coring on Metal 	
Coring on Plaster ....
Coring on Wood 	
Analysis for Lead Alert:

Sanding on Brick ....
Sanding on Concrete . . .
Sanding on Drywall . . .
Sanding on Metal ....
Sanding on Plaster . . .
Sanding on Wood 	
Analysis for Lead Alert:
5-48
5-54
5-54
5-54
5-55
5-55
5-56
5-56
5-61
5-61
5-61
5-61
5-62
5-62
5-63
      5.2.3.4  Lead Detective 	  5-63
            5.2.3.4.1  Lead Detective on Brick  	  5-63
            5.2.3.4.2  Lead Detective on Concrete 	  5-71
            5.2.3.4.3  Lead Detective on Drywall  	  5-71
            5.2.3.4.4  Lead Detective on Metal	  5-72
            5.2.3.4.5  Lead Detective on Plaster  	  5-72
            5.2.3.4.6  Lead Detective on Wood	5-73
            5.2.3.4.7     Summary  of   Analysis  for   Lead
            Detective	5-73
      5.2.3.5  Lead Zone	5-73
            5.2.3.5.1  Lead Zone on Brick	5-81
            5.2.3.5.2  Lead Zone on Concrete	5-81
            5.2.3.5.3  Lead Zone on Drywall	5-82
            5.2.3.5.4  Lead Zone on Metal	5-82
            5.2.3.5.5  Lead Zone on Plaster	5-83
            5.2.3.5.6  Lead Zone on Wood    	5-83
            5.2.3.5.7  Summary of Analysis for Lead Zone  .  .  5-83
      5.2.3.6  State Sodium Sulfide 	  5-84
            5.2.3.6.1  State Sodium Sulfide on Brick  ....  5-84
            5.2.3.6.2  State Sodium Sulfide on Concrete .  .  .  5-84
            5.2.3.6.3  State Sodium Sulfide on Drywall  .  .  .  5-92
            5.2.3.6.4  State Sodium Sulfide on Metal  . .  .  .5-92
            5.2.3.6.5  State Sodium Sulfide on Plaster  .  .  .5-93
            5.2.3.6.6  State Sodium Sulfide on Wood 	  5-93
            5.2.3.6.7  Summary  of  Analysis  for State Sodium
            Sulfide	5-94
5.2.4 Inference in Percent by Weight Units	5-94
5.2.5       Lead Test Kit Performance:  Conclusions	5-99
5.2.6 Estimation of OC Curves:  Statistical Methodology .  .  .  5-99
      5.2.6.1     Model Selection  	  5-99
            5.2.6.1.1         Logistic Regression 	   5-106
            5.2.6.1.2         An Enhanced Logistic Regression
                              Model	5-107
            5-2.6.1.3         Modeling Based on Logarithms   5-108
      5.2.6.2     Nonparametric OC Curve Estimation ....   5-108
      5.2.6.3     Estimation of  Model  Parameter and Related
                  Quantities	5-110
      5.2.6.4     Standard Errors and Confidence Intervals   5-111
      5.2.6.5     The Treatment of Non-detects	5-112
      5.2.6.6     The  Impact   of  Spatial   Variation  and
                  Laboratory  Error in  ICP Measurements  on
                  Model Estimation	5-114

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ANALYSIS OF XRF TESTING DATA	6-1
6.1   DATA DESCRIPTION	6-2
      6.1.1 Standard Data Description	6-4
      6.1.2 Control Data Description	6-7
      6.1.3 Special Data Description	6-12
      6.1.4 Non-standard Data Description	6-15
      6.1.5 Data   Description   Summary  and   Analysis   Dataset
            Descriptions  	 6-17
            6.1.5.1     Analysis Dataset Descriptions 	 6-18
                  6.1.5.1.1   XRF Instrument Operators  	 6-18
                  6.1.5.1.2   XRF Data Analysis Variables 	 6-18
6.2   DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS FOR STANDARD AND CONTROL DATA  .  .  .   . 6-22
      6.2.1 Summary Statistics for Standard Data	6-23
      6.2.2 Summary Statistics for Control Data	6-32
6.3   DATA OUTLIERS	6-53
      6.3.1 Outlier Identification Methodology	6-53
            6.3.1.1     Basic  Assumptions   Concerning   the   XRF
                        Response to Lead	6-54
            6.3.1.2     Derivation  of  Nonparametric  Standardized
                        Residuals	6-55
            6.3.1.4     An Outlier Criterion  	 6-56
      6.3.2 Outlier Data	6-57
6.4   ESTIMATION OF THE ACCURACY OF XRF MEASUREMENTS	6-64
      6.4.1 Objectives of Data Analysis	6-66
      6.4.2 The XRF Measurement Model	6-67
            6.4.2.1     Basic Model Attributes  	 6-68
            6.4.2.2     Nonparametric Estimation  	 6-70
            6.4.2.3     Model  Versus  Nonparametric  Estimation:
                        Illustration	6-71
            6.4.2.4     Accounting   for  Spatial   Variation   and
                        Laboratory Error in ICP Measurements  .  .   . 6-73
            6.4.2.5     Interpretation  and  Comparison  of  Model
                        Estimates	6-73
            6.4.2.6     Comparison to Control Block Data  	 6-75
      6.4.3 Data Used in Analyses	6-76
            6.4.3.1     Use of the Louisville Pilot Data	6-76
            6.4.3.2     Outliers  	 6-77
            6.4.3.4     Control Block Data  	 6-77
      6.4.4 XRF Estimation:  Presentation of Results	6-78
            6.4.4.1     Results for Lead Analyzer K-shell 	 6-79
                  6.4.4.1.1   Lead Analyzer K-shell on Brick  . .   . 6-80
                  6.4.4.1.2   Lead Analyzer K-shell on Concrete .   . 6-83
                  6.4.4.1.3   Lead Analyzer K-shell on Drywall  .   . 6-83
                  6.4.4.1.4   Lead Analyzer K-shell on Metal  . .   . 6-87
                  6.4.4.1.5   Lead Analyzer K-shell on Plaster  .   . 6-91
                  6.4.4.1.6   Lead Analyzer K-shell on Wood .... 6-94
                  6.4.4.1.7   Lead  Analyzer K-shell:   Summary of
                              Analysis	6-97
            6.4.4.2     Results for Lead Analyzer L-shell 	 6-97
                  6.4.4.2.1   Lead Analyzer L-shell on Brick  . .   . 6-97
                  6.4.4.2.2   Lead Analyzer L-shell on Concrete .   . 6-99
                  6.4.4.2.3   Lead Analyzer L-shell on Drywall  .   6-103
                  6.4.4.2.4   Lead Analyzer L-shell on Metal  . .  6-108
                  6.4.4.2.5   Lead Analyzer L-shell on Plaster  .   6-108
                  6.4.4.2.6   Lead Analyzer L-shell on Wood . . .   6-113
                  6.4.4.2.7   Lead  Analyzer L-shell:   Summary of
                              Analysis	6-117
            6.4.4.3     Results for MAP-3 K-shell 	  6-117
                  6.4.4.3.1   MAP-3 K-shell on Brick  	   6-119
                  6.4.4.3.2   MAP-3 K-shell on Concrete  	  6-120
                  6.4.4.3.3   MAP-3 K-shell on Drywall   	  6-123
                  6.4.4.3.4   MAP-3 K-shell on Metal  	  6-130


                                xi

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6







6







6







6







6







6.4.4.3.5
6.4.4.3.6
6.4.4.3.7
MAP-3 K-shell on Plaster 	
MAP-3 K-shell on Wood 	
MAP-3 K-shell: Summary of Analysis
.4.4.4 Results for MAP-3 L-shell 	
6.4.4.4.1
6.4.4.4.2
6.4.4.4.3
6.4.4.4.4
6.4.4.4.5
6.4.4.4.6
6.4.4.4.7
MAP-3 L-shell on Brick 	
MAP-3 L-shell on Concrete 	
MAP-3 L-shell on Drywall 	
MAP-3 L-shell on Metal 	
MAP-3 L-shell on Plaster 	
MAP-3 L-shell on Wood 	
MAP-3 L-shell: Summary of Analysis
.4.4.5 Results for Microlead I 	
6.4.4.5.1
6.4.4.5.2
6.4.4.5.3
6.4.4.5.4
6.4.4.5.5
6.4.4.5.6
6.4.4.5.7
Microlead I on Brick 	
Microlead I on Concrete 	
Microlead I on Drywall 	
Microlead I on Metal 	
Microlead I on Plaster 	
Microlead I on Wood 	
Microlead I: Summary of Analysis .
.4.4.6 Results for X-MET 880 	
6.4.4.6.1
6.4.4.6.2
6.4.4.6.3
6.4.4.6.4
6.4.4.6.5
6.4.4.6.6
6.4.4.6.7
X-MET 880 on Brick 	
X-MET 880 on Concrete 	
X-MET 880 on Drywall 	
X-MET 880 on Metal 	
X-MET 880 on Plaster 	
X-MET 880 on Wood 	
X-MET 880: Summary of Analysis . .
.4.4.7 Results for XK-3 	
6.4.4.7.1
6.4.4.7.2
6.4.4.7.3
6.4.4.7.4
6.4.4.7.5
6.4.4.7.6
6.4.4.7.7
XK-3 on Brick 	
XK-3 on Concrete 	
XK-3 on Drywall 	
XK-3 on Metal 	
XK-3 on Plaster 	
XK-3 on Wood 	
XK-3 : Summary of Analysis ....
.4.4.8 Results for XL 	
6.4.4.8.1
6.4.4.8.2
6.4.4.8.3
6.4.4.8.4
6.4.4.8.5
6.4.4.8.6
6.4.4.8.7
XL on Brick 	
XL on Concrete 	
XL on Drywall 	
XL on Metal 	
XL on Plaster 	
XL on Wood 	
XL: Summary of Analysis 	
6-134
6-136
6-139
6-143
6-143
6-147
6-151
6-153
6-156
6-159
6-164
6-169
6-170
6-171
6-177
6-185
6-190
6-191
6-199
6-200
6-200
6-203
6-207
6-207
6-211
6-217
6-222
6-225
6-225
6-228
6-230
6-234
6-238
6-245
6-251
6-251
6-252
6-256
6-259
6-263
6-269
6-270
6-276
6.4.5 Use of the First XRF Reading Versus the Average of Three
      Readings	6-278
      6.4.5.1     XRF Estimation With the  Average of Three
                  Readings	6-280
      6.4.5.2     Dependence of Successive XRF Measurements  6-281
6.4.5.3     Correlation of XRF Readings Across Instruments   6-286
      6.4.5.4     Separating    Instrumental    and
                  Non-instrumental  Variability   	  6-295
      6.4.5.5     Conclusions 	  6-304
6.4.6 Correction of XRF Measurements  for Bias	6-305
6.4.7 XRF Measurement Accuracy:  Conclusions	6-316
6.4.8 Details and Statistical Methodology  	  6-322
      6.4.8.1     Non-Lead   Factors   that    Affect   XRF
                  Performance	6-322
            6.4.8.1.1.  Paint Mass  as an Explanatory Factor  6-323
      6.4.8.2     Statistical    Description    of    XRF
                  Performance	6-324
            6.4.8.2.1   A Model for the Relationship of XRF
                        to ICP Measurements	6-325


                         xii

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                  6.4.8.2.2   Sources of XRF Variability  ....  6-325
                  6.4.8.2.3   Nonparametric  Estimation  Based  on
                              Monotone Regression 	  6-326
                  6.4.8.2.4   The  Effect   of   Substituting   ICP
                              Measurements   for   the  True   Lead
                              Levels	6-327
                  6.4.8.2.5         The   Magnitude   of   Spatial
                                    Variation and Laboratory Error
                                    in ICP Measurements	6-327
                  6.4.8.2.6   The  Impact   of   Substituting   ICP
                              Measurements  for  True  Lead Levels:
                              Simulations	6-328
                  6.4.8.2.7   The XRF Measurement Model 	  6-330
                  6.4.8.2.8   Model Limitations  	  6-331
            6.4.8.3     The Analysis of Field Classified Data .   .  6-333
                  6.4.8.3.1   Analyses Based on Matched Pairs .   .  6-333
                  6.4.8.3.2   Combining    Across    Field
                              Classifications 	  6-334
6.5   Comparison  of  Different  Types  of  XRF Measurements  Using
      Classification Results  	  6-335
      6.5.1 XRF and ICP Measurement Classification Rules  ....  6-336
      6.5.2 Classification Results Without an Inconclusive Range   6-338
            6.5.2.1     Standard XRF Measurements 	  6-338
            6.5.2.2     First Standard Paint Reading Versus Average
                        of Three Readings	6-341
            6.5.2.3     Impact of Correcting for Substrate Bias  .  6-343
                  6.5.2.3.1   Impact of Control Correction  .  .   .  6-343
                  6.5.2.3.2   Impact of Full Correction 	  6-344
                  6.5.2.3.3   Impact  of  Red NIST   SRM  Average
                              Correction	6-344
      6.5.3 Impact of An Inconclusive Range With  a 1.6 mg/cm2 Upper
            Bound and a 0.4 mg/cm2 Lower Bound   	6-383
            6.5.3.1     First Standard Paint Readings With an (0.4
                        - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range   ....  6-383
            6.5.3.2     Average of Three Standard XRF Readings With
                        an  (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range   6-384
            6.5.3.3     Standard  XRF  Readings   Control  Corrected
                        With  an  (0.4  - 1.6  mg/cm2)  Inconclusive
                        Range	6-385
            6.5.3.4     Standard XRF Readings Fully Corrected With
                        an  (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range   6-386
            6.5.3.5     Standard XRF Readings Red NIST SRM Average
                        Corrected  With  an   (0.4  -  1.6  mg/cm2)
                        Inconclusive Range   	  6-387
      6.5.4 Impact of An Inconclusive Range With  a 1.3 mg/cm2 Upper
            Bound and a 0.7 mg/cm2 Lower Bound   	6-387
            6.5.4.1     First   Standard  XRF  Readings   With  an
                        Alternate  (0.7  - 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive
                        Range	6-425
            6.5.4.2     Average of Three Standard XRF Readings With
                        an Alternate  (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2) Inconclusive
                        Range	6-426
            6.5.4.3     Standard  XRF  Readings   Control  Corrected
                        With  an  Alternate   (0.7-   1.3  mg/cm2)
                        Inconclusive Range   	  6-426
            6.5.4.4     Standard XRF Readings Fully Corrected With
                        an  (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range   6-427
            6.5.4.5     Standard XRF Readings Red NIST SRM Average
                        Corrected  With  an   (0.7  -  1.3  mg/cm2)
                        Inconclusive Range   	  6-427
      6.5.5 The Effect of Spatial Variation and Laboratory Error in
            ICP Measurements on XRF Classification Rates  ....  6-454


                              xiii

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            6.5.6 Summary of Classification Results	6-457
      6.6   EFFECTS RELATED TO CHANGING FROM ONE SUBSTRATE TO ANOTHER .   6-460
      6.7   DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS FOR "SPECIAL" AND NON-STANDARD DATA   6-466
            6.7.1 Summary Statistics for "Special" Data	6-466
            6.7.2 Summary Statistics for Non-Standard Data	6-480

7     DATA QUALITY ASSURANCE AND QUALITY CONTROL	7-1
      7.1   QUALITY ASSURANCE AND QUALITY CONTROL PROCEDURES	7-1
      7.2   ERROR IDENTIFICATION	7-1
      7.3   QUALITY CONTROL METHODS AND SYSTEMS	7-2
            7.3.1 Data Entry Systems	7-2
            7.3.2 Exploratory Data Analysis	7-3
            7.3.3 Captured Data Comparisons	7-5
            7.3.4 Double Data Entry	7-11
            7.3.5 100 Percent Verification	7-ll
      7.4   ERROR RATES	7-11
            7.4.1 Comparison Discrepancies  	  7-12
            7.4.2 Residual Error Rates  	  7-14
                  7.4.2.1     Residual Data Entry Error Rates 	  7-18
      7.5   RESULTS OF LABORATORY AUDITS  	  7-22
            7.5.1 System Audit	7-22
                  7.5.1.1     Facility Inspection 	  7-22
                  7.5.1.2     Analytical Task 	  7-23
            7.5.2 Performance Audit 	  7-23
            7.5.3 Data Audit	7-25
            7.5.4 Results Of EPA Audits	7-26

8.    BIBLIOGRAPHY	8-1

9.    GLOSSARY	9-1
                                     XIV

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                                LIST OF TABLES

Table 2-1.    Cross-Tabulation of Paint Sample Lead Levels in mg/cra2 Lead
              and Percent Lead by Weight	2-5
Table 2-2.    Estimated  Standard Deviation at 0.0 ing/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2
              Lead for  One Nominal 15-Second Paint  Reading for K-Shell
              XRF Instruments, by Substrate   	2-6
Table 2-3.    Estimated  Standard Deviation at 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2
              Lead for  One Nominal IB-Second Reading on Control Blocks
              for K-Shell XRF Instruments, by Substrate   	  2-7
Table 2-4.    Bias  at 0.0  mg/cm2  and 1.0 mg/cm2  Lead  for  One Nominal
              15-Second   Reading  for   K-Shell   XRF   Instruments,   by
              Substrate   	2-8
Table 2-5.    Bias  at 0.0  mg/cm2  and 1.0 mg/cm2  Lead  for  One Nominal
              15-Second  Reading on  Control  Blocks  for  K-Shell  XRF
              Instruments,  by Substrate   	2-9
Table 2-6.    Bias  at 0.0  mg/cm2  and 1.0 mg/cm2  Lead  for  One Nominal
              15-Second   Reading  for   L-Shell   XRF   Instrumentst   by
              Substrate   	2-10
Table 2-7.    False Positive, False Negative  and Inconclusive Percentages
              for K-Shell XRF Instruments, Based on One Nominal 15-Second
              Reading With  an INCONCLUSIVE RANGE OF 0.4  - 1.6 mg/cm2  {1.0
              mg/cm2 Threshold)	2-13
Table 2-8.    False Positive, False Negative  and Inconclusive Percentages
              for K-Shell XRF Instruments, Based on One Nominal 15-Second
              Reading With  an INCONCLUSIVE RANGE OF 0.7  - 1.3 mg/cm?  (1.0
              mg/cm2 Threshold)	2-14
Table 2-9.    False Positive and False Negative  Percentages for K-Shell
              XRF  Instruments,  Based  on One Nominal  15-Second Reading
              With NO INCONCLUSIVE RANGE (1.0 mg/cm2 Threshold)	2-15
Table 2-10.   False Positive, False Negative and Inconclusive Percentages
              for L-Shell XRF Instruments, Based on One Nominal 15-Second
              Reading with  an INCONCLUSIVE RANGE OF 0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2  (1.0
              mg/cm2 Threshold)	2-15
Table 2-11.   Overall False Positive and False Negative Rates for Test
              Kits  Compared to  Laboratory Analytical Results Using the
              1.0 mg/cm2 Threshold	2-18
Table 2-12.   Overall False Positive and False Negative Rates for Test
              Kits  Compared to  Laboratory Analytical Results Using the
              0.5% Threshold	2-18
Table 2-13.   Probability of  a  Positive Test Kit  Result at 1.0 mg/cm2
              Lead	2-20
Table 2-14.   Probability of a Positive Test Kit  Result at 0.5% Lead.    . 2-21
Table 2-15.   Lead Level in mg/cm1 at Which There  is  a 50% Probability of
              a Positive Test Kit  Result	2-22
Table 2-16.   Lead  Level in Percent Lead by Weight  at  Which There is a
              50% Probability of a Positive  Test  Kit Result   	2-22
Table 3-1.    A Summary of  Units Selected for the Study   	3-2
Table 3-2.    Number  of Sampling Locations by Substrate   	  3-6
Table 3-3.    Potential   Testing   Outcomes  for  Different   Testing
              Conditions	3-14
Table 3-4.    Summary of Sample Preparation  QC Samples	3-25
Table 3-5.    Instrumental  QC Standards and  Specification for ICP   .  .  . 3-28
Table 3-6.    Background  Summary  of  Simulated  Homeowners  Used  for
              Operation of Test Kits  in Louisville	3-38
Table 3-7.    Background  Summary  of  Simulated  Homeowners  Used  for
              Operation of Test Kits  in Denver	3-38
Table 3-8.    Background  Summary  of  Simulated  Homeowners  Used  for
              Operation of Test Kits  in Philadelphia	3-38
Table 3-9.    Summary of Number of Test  Kit Measurements  Made by the
              Simulated Homeowners 	 3-40
Table 3-10.   Summary of XRF Instruments Used in  the Pilot: Louisville  . 3-53
                                      xv

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Table 3-11.    Summary of XRF Instruments Used in the Full Study: Denver   3-54
Table 3-12.    Summary  of XRF  Instruments  Used  in  the  Full  Study:
               Philadelphia  	 3-55
Table 3-13.    Adjustment of  Nominal  15 Second XRF  Reading Times for Age
               of  Source   	3-60
Table 3-14.    Pilot  Study: XRF Measurement Definitions  	 3-62
Table 3-15.    Full Study:  XRF Measurement Definitions   	3-62
Table 4-1.     Number of Sampling Locations by Substrate and Overall   .   .  4-2
Table 4-2.     Target Sample  Allocations for Denver and  Philadelphia by
               Substrate   	4-2
Table 4-3.     Summary  Statistics   of  Primary  Sample  Mass   (grams)
               Categorized by City  and  Substrate   	4-3
Table 4-4.     Summary Statistics  of  ICP  Analyses of  Primary  Samples
               (mg/cm2 lead) Categorized by Unit and City	4-4
Table 4-5.     Summary 'Statistics  of  ICP  Analyses of  Primary  Samples
               (mg/cm2 lead) Categorized by Substrate  	  4-5
Table 4-6.     Summary Statistics  of  ICP  Analyses of  Primary  Samples
               (mg/cm2 lead)  Categorized by City and Interior,  Exterior,
               and Common Areas	4-6
Table 4-7.     Summary Statistics  of  ICP  Analyses of  Primary  Samples
               (percent  by weight lead) Categorized by Unit and City   .   .  4-7
Table 4-8.     Summary Statistics  of  ICP  Analyses of  Primary  Samples
               (percent  by weight lead) Categorized by Substrate   ....  4-8
Table 4-9.     Summary Statistics  of  ICP  Analyses of  Primary  Samples
               (percent  by weight lead) Categorized by City and Interior,
               Exterior,  and  Common Areas  	  4-9
Table 4-10.    Arithmetic Mean Ratio (mg/cm2 lead) / (percent by weight lead)
               by  City and Substrate    	4-32
Table 4-11.    Regression  Coefficients  and  Correlations  Measured  in
               log (mg/cm2) Units by Substrate and Overall	4-34
Table 4-12.    Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate  Samples in Area Units
               (mg/cm2) , Sorted by RATIO1	4-36
Table 4-13.    Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate  Samples in Percent by
               Weight TOaits,  Sorted by  RATIOl  	 4-41
Table 4-14.    Correlations and Regression Coefficients for Regression of
               LOG(AREA2)  Against LOG(AREAl) by City	 4-47
Table 4-15.    Outlier Analysis  for Laboratory Duplicate Data for mg/cm2
               Lead on the Log Scale    	4-51
Table 4-16.    Estimated Standard Deviations  for mg/cm2 Lead on  the Log
               Scale  for Laboratory Measurement  Variability by Substrate
               and City  with  Associated Sample Sizes (Outliers Excluded)   4-51
Table 4-17.    Lead  Levels  in Field  Duplicate  Samples  in  Area  Units
               (mg/cm2), Sorted by RATIOl	4-54
Table 4-18.    Lead Levels  in Field Duplicate  Samples in Percent by Weight
               Units,  Sorted  by RATIOl   	 4-59
Table 4-19.    Correlations and Regression Coefficients for Regression of
               LOG(AREA2)  Against LOG(AREAl) by City   	4-65
Table 4-20.    Correlations and Regression Coefficients for Regression of
               LOG(PERCENT2)  Against  LOG(PERCENTl) by City  	 4-65
Table 4-21.    Outlier Analysis for Field Duplicate Data  (mg/cm2 lead) .   . 4-72
Table 4-22.    Outlier Analysis  for Field  Duplicate Data  (Percent by
               Weight Lead)   	 4-72
Table 4-23.    Estimated Standard Deviations  on the Log  Scale  for Field
               Duplicate Samples  in  Area  Units,  with Associated Sample
               Sizes,  by City and Substrate (Outliers Excluded)   	 4-74
Table 4-24.    Estimated Standard Deviations  on the Log  Scale  for Field
               Duplicate Samples  in Percent by Weight Units  (Percent by
               Weight Lead),  with  Associated Sample Sizes, by  City and
               Substrate (Outliers  Excluded)   	 4-75
Table 4-25.    Ratios for  Larger  to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,
               with Associated Probabilities  of  Exceeding the Ratio, for
               Area Units in  Denver	4-78
                                     xvi

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Table 4-26.   Ratios  for Larger  to  Smaller of  Field Duplicate  Pairs,
              with Associated Probabilities  of Exceeding the Ratio,  for
              Percent by weight Units in Denver   	
Table 4-27.   Ratios  for Larger  to  Smaller of  Field Duplicate  Pairs,
              with Associated Probabilities  of Exceeding the Ratio,  for
              Area Units in Philadelphia  	
Table 4-28.   Ratios  for Larger  to  Smaller of  Field Duplicate  Pairs,
              with Associated Probabilities  of Exceeding the Ratio,  for
              Percent by weight Units in Philadelphia   	
Table 4-29.   Ratios  for Larger  to  Smaller of  Field Duplicate  Pairs,
              with Associated Probabilities  of Exceeding the Ratio,  for
              Area Units in Louisville  	
Table 4-30.   Ratios  for Larger  to  Smaller of  Field Duplicate  Pairs,
              with Associated Probabilities  of Exceeding the Ratio,  for
              Percent  by weight  Units  in Louisville  Using  the  0.1616
              Field  Duplicate  Standard Deviation  for   the  Log  Scale
              Percent by Weight Units   	
Table 4-31.   Comparison Summary  of  Measured Lead Values and Detection
              Limits for Method Blanks,  Field Blanks and Field Paint-Chip
              Samples  in the 39  Sample Preparation Batches Containing
              Primary  Field  Paint-Chip  Sample Results for  the  Full  and
              Pilot Studies	
Table 4-32.   Summary of Lead Results for Selected Philadelphia Samples
Table 4-33.   Summary   of   Lead  Concentration  Results   for  Selected
              Louisville Samples  	
Table 4-34.   Batch 734 Reanalyses Compared  to Original Results   . .  .   .
Table 5-1.    Positive   (a  1.0  mg/cm2)  and Negative  (<   1.0  mg/cm2)
              Percentages for ICP Measurements at All Sampling Locations
              by City and Substrate and Overall   	
Table 5-2.    Positive   (a  1.0  mg/cm2)  and Negative  (<   1.0  mg/cm2)
              Percentages  for  ICP  Measurements  at  Sampling Locations
              Where Lead Alert:   Sanding Testing Was  Performed by City
              and Substrate and Overall   	
Table 5-3.    Positive  (a 0.5 %)  and  Negative  (< 0.5 %)  Percentages for
              ICP  Measurements  at All  Sampling  Locations  by  City  and
              Substrate and Overall   	
Table 5-4.    Positive  (a 0.5 %)  and  Negative  (< 0.5 %)  Percentages for
              ICP Measurements  at Sampling  Locations  Where Lead Alert:
              Sanding  Testing Was Performed by  City  and Substrate  and
              Overall   	
Table 5-5.    False Positive  and  False Negative Rates for  LeadCheck by
              City and Substrate  and Overall (1.0 mg/cm2 Standard)   .  .   .
Table 5-6.    False Positive  and False Negative Rates for Lead Alert:
              Coring  by  City  and  Substrate  and  Overall  (1.0  mg/cm2
              Standard)   	
Table 5-7.    False Positive  and False Negative Rates for Lead Alert:
              Sanding  by City  and  Substrate and  Overall  (1.0  mg/cm2
              Standard)   	
Table 5-8.    False Positive and  False Negative Rates  for Lead Detective
              by City and Substrate and Overall  (1.0 mg/cm2 Standard)  .   .
Table 5-9.    False Positive  and  False Negative Rates for  Lead Zone by
              City and Substrate  and Overall (1.0 mg/cm2 Standard)   .  .   .
Table 5-10.   False Positive  and  False Negative Rates for  State Sodium
              Sulfide  by City  and  Substrate and  Overall  (1.0  mg/cm2
              Standard)   	
Table 5-11.   False Positive  and  False Negative Rates for  LeadCheck by
              City and Substrate  and Overall (0.5% Standard)  	
Table 5-12.   False Positive  and False Negative Rates for Lead Alert:
              Coring by  City and  Substrate and Overall (0.5% Standard)
Table 5-13.   False Positive  and False Negative Rates for Lead Alert:
              Sanding by City and Substrate  and  Overall  (0.5% Standard)
4-78
4-78
4-79
4-79
4-79
4-82
4-90

4-91
4-94
 5-2




 5-3



 5-4




 5-5

 5-7



 5-8



 5-9

5-10

5-11



5-12

5-13

5-14

5-15
                                     XVI1

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 Table 5-14.    False Positive and False Negative Rates for Lead Detective
               by City and Substrate and Overall  (0.5% Standard)   .... 5-16
 Table 5-15.    False Positive  and False Negative Rates  for  Lead Zone by
               City and Substrate and Overall  (0.5%  Standard)	5-17
 Table 5-16.    False Positive  and False Negative Rates  for  State Sodium
               Sulfide by  City and Substrate and Overall (0.5% Standard)   5-18
 Table 5-17.    Simulation  Study Results of the  Effect of  Spatial Variation
               and Laboratory Error in ICP Measurements  on Reported False
               Positive and False Negative Rates  (in Percentages)  .  . .   . 5-23
 Table 5-18.    LEADCHECK Enhanced Logistic Regressions by Substrate  . .   . 5-38
 Table 5-19.    LEAD ALERT:    CORING Enhanced Logistic Regressions  by
               Substrate   	5-49
 Table 5-20.    LEAD ALERT:   SANDING  Enhanced Logistic Regressions  by
               Substrate   	5-57
 Table 5-21.    LEAD DETECTIVE Enhanced Logistic Regressions  by Substrate   5-64
 Table 5-22.    LEAD ZONE Enhanced Logistic Regressions by Substrate  . .   . 5-74
 Table 5-23.    STATE  SODIUM  SULFIDE Enhanced Logistic Regressions  by
               Substrate   	5-85
 Table 5-24.    Results for lead levels in percent by weight  units  .  . .   .5-96
 Table 5-25.    Enhanced Logistic Regressions  for  Metal  in Percent  by
               Weight  Units 	   5-106
 Table 5-26.    Results of  Monte Carlo experiment  to assess the effect of
               measurement error  on enhanced  logistic  model  estimates.
               Based on 10 simulated normal samples  per  error level  . .   5-116
 Table 5-27.    Summary Statistics for Lead Detective in  tng/cm2 for Denver
               and Philadelphia  Combined,  by Shade  Category,  and  for
               Positive and Negative Results Overall  	   5-118
 Table 5-28.    Summary Statistics for State  Sodium Sulfide  in mg/cm2 for
               Denver  and  Philadelphia  Combined,  by Shade  Category,  and
               for Positive and Negative Results Overall  	   5-118
 Table 5-29.    Summary Statistics for Lead Detective in  Percent by Weight
               for Denver  and Philadelphia Combined,  by Shade Category,
               and for Positive and Negative Results Overall  	5-119
 Table 5-30.    Summary Statistics for State  Sodium Sulfide in Percent by
               Weight  for  Denver and  Philadelphia Combined,  by  Shade
               Category, and for Positive and  Negative Results Overall    5-119
 Table 6-1.     Individual   XRF   Instrument   Usage   for  All   Sampling
               Locations   	6-6
 Table 6-2.     Number  of Sampling locations per Substrate by Dwelling  .   .  6-7
 Table 6-3.     Target   and Actual  Number  of  Sampling  locations  per
               Substrate by City   	6-8
 Table 6-4.     Beginning and  Ending Control Block  Data  Descriptions for
               Each XRF Instrument Type	6-10
 Table 6-5.     Continuing  Control Reading  Summary  for  the Pilot  Study
               (Louisville)  	 6-11
Table 6-6.     Continuing  Control  Reading Summary for  the Full  Study
               (Denver and Philadelphia)   	6-12
 Table 6-7.     Continuing  Control Block Data  Descriptions  for  Each XRF
               Instrument  Type   	6-13
Table 6-8.     The Number  of Dwellings,  the Number of Sampling Locations,
               Special,  and "Special-special" Locations per  Dwelling, and
               the  Total  Number  of  "Special"  Locations   per  City  in
               Louisville,  Denver, and Philadelphia	6-15
Table 6-9.     Special Data Descriptions for Each XRF  Instrument Type  .   . 6-16
Table 6-10.    Individual  XRF  Instrument Operator  by Instrument Usage in
               Louisville,  Denver, and Philadelphia	6-19
Table 6-11.    Missing First Standard Paint Readings  	 6-24
Table 6-12.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
               First Paint Reading  (Standard Data) for All XRF Instrument
               Types and the  Laboratory Results From  All 1,290 Sampling
               Locations   	6-26
                                    XVlll

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Table 6-13.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in rag/cm2 Units of the
              Second Paint Reading (Standard Data)  for All XRF Instrument
              Types and the Laboratory Results  From All 1,230 Sampling
              Locations  	6-27
Table 6-14.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Third Paint Reading (Standard Data)  for All XRF Instrument
              Types and the Laboratory Results  From All 1,290 Sampling
              Locations  	6-28
Table 6-15.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              First Red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Reading (Standard Data) for
              All XRF  Instrument  Types	6-29
Table 6-16.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Second Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Reading (Standard Data)
              for All  XRF Instrument Types	6-30
Table 6-17.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Third Red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Reading (Standard Data) for
              All XRF  Instrument  Types	6-31
Table 6-18.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              First Red (1.02  mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only   	  6-34
Table 6-19.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Second Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only   	  6-35
Table 6-20.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Third Red (1.02  mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only   	  6-36
Table 6-21.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Fourth Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only   	  6-37
Table 6-22.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Fifth Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only   	  6-38
Table 6-23.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Sixth Red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only	6-39
Table 6-24.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Seventh  Red  (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only    	  6-40
Table 6-25.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Eighth Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only    	  6-41
Table 6-26.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Ninth Red (1.02 mg/cmz) NIST SRM Readings  taken on All Six
              Control  Blocks From Louisville Only    	  6-42
Table 6-27.   Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
              Yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings Taken on the Concrete
               Control  Block in Louisville  Only	6-43
Table 6-28.    Summary  Statistics  of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               First  Yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All
               Six Control Blocks  From Denver and Philadelphia Only  .  .  .  6-44
Table 6-29.    Summary  Statistics  of  Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               Second Yellow (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST  SRM Readings Taken on All
               Six Control Blocks  From Denver and Philadelphia Only  .  .  .  6-45
Table 6-30.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               Third Yellow  (3.53 tng/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All
               Six Control Blocks  From Denver and Philadelphia Only  .  .  .  6-46
Table 6-31.    Summary Statistics  of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               First Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST  SRM  Reading  (Control Blocks)
               From Denver and Philadelphia Only   	6-47
Table 6-32.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of the
               Second Red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings Taken on All  Six
               Control  Blocks  From Denver and Philadelphia Only	6-48


                                      xix

-------
 Table 6-33.


 Table 6-34.


 Table 6-35.


 Table 6-36.


 Table 6-37.
 Table 6-38.

 Table 6-39.


 Table 6-40.


 Table 6-41.

 Table 6-42.
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
Table
6-43.
6-44.
6-45.
6-46.
6-47.
6-48.
6-49.
6-50.
6-51.
6-52.
6-53.
6-54.
6-55.
6-56.
6-57.
6-58.
6-59.
6-60.
6-61.
6-62.
6-63.
6-64.
6-65.
6-66.
6-67.
6-68.
6-69.
6-70.
6-71.
6-72.
6-73.
6-74.
6-75.
6-76.
6-77.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
Third Red  (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
Control Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only  	
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm51 Units of the
First  Bare Substrate Readings  Taken on All  Six  Control
Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only 	
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
Second Bare  Substrate Readings Taken  on All  Six  Control
Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only 	
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
Third  Bare Substrate Readings  Taken on All  Six  Control
Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only 	
Listing of Standard First Reading Outliers From Denver  .  .
Listing   of   Standard   First   Reading  Outliers   From
Philadelphia  	
Summary  Statistics for  Outlier Data  Points  in the  XRF
Standard   First   Paint   Readings  and   Their  Associated
Laboratory ICP Value Categorized by Instrument  	
Summary  Statistics for  Outlier Data  Points  in the  XRF
Standard   First   Paint   Readings  and   Their  Associated
Laboratory ICP Value Categorized by Shell   	
Frequency  and Percent  of  First Standard Paint  Readings
Identified as Outliers per Substrate Categorized by Shell
Frequency and Percentage of Unique  Sampling Locations From
Which  Standard  First  Paint  Readings   Were  Taken  and
Identified as Outliers for  Each  Substrate and Categorized
by Shell  	
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Brick:  Model Estimates	
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Brick: Control  Block Summary   .  .
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Concrete:   Model Estimates   .  .  .
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Concrete:   Control Block Summary
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Drywall:  Model Estimates  .  .  .  .
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Drywall;
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Metal:
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Metal:
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Plaster:
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Plaster:
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Wood:
Lead Analyzer K-shell on Wood:
                                   Control Block Summary
                                 Model Estimates  .  .  .  .
                                 Control Block Summary  .
                                   Model Estimates  .  .  .
                                   Control Block Summary
                                Model Estimates   .  .  .  .
                                Control Block Summary
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Brick:  Model Estimates
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Brick:  Control Block Summary  .
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Concrete:  Model Estimates   .  .
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Concrete:  Control Block Summary
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Drywall:  Model Estimates  .  .  .
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Drywall:  Control Block Summary
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Metal:  Model Estimates  ....
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Metal:  Control Block Summary  .
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Plaster:  Model Estimates  .  .  .
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Plaster:  Control Block Summary
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Wood:  Model Estimates   ....
Lead Analyzer L-shell on Wood:  Control Block Summary
MAP-3 K-shell on Brick:  Model Estimates  	
MAP-3 K-shell on Brick:  Control Block Summary	
MAP-3 K-shell on Concrete:  Model Estimates   	
MAP-3 K-shell on Concrete:  Control Block Summary   .  .  .
MAP-3 K-shell on Drywall:  Model Estimates  	
                           Control Block Summary  ....
                         Model Estimates  	
                         Control Block Summary  	
                           Model Estimates  	
                           Control Block Summary  ....
MAP-3 K-shell on Drywall
MAP-3 K-shell on Metal:
MAP-3 K-shell on Metal:
MAP-3 K-shell on Plaster
MAP-3 K-shell on Plaster
MAP-3 K-shell on Wood:  Model Estimates
                                                                    6-49


                                                                    6-50


                                                                    6-51


                                                                    6-52
                                                                    6-59

                                                                    6-60


                                                                    6-61


                                                                    6-62

                                                                    6-62
 6-63
 6-82
 6-82
 6-85
 6-85
 6-88
 6-88
 6-90
 6-90
 6-93
 6-93
 6-96
 6-96
6-100
6-100
6-104
6-105
6-107
6-107
6-110
6-110
6-114
6-114
6-118
6-118
6-122
6-122
6-125
6-126
6-129
6-129
6-132
6-133
6-137
6-138
6-141
                                      XX

-------
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 5-
Table 6-
Table 6-
Table 6-
78.
79.
80.
81.
82.
83.
84.
85.
86.
87.
88.
89.
90.
91.
92.
93.
94.
95.
96.
97.
98.
99.
100.
101.
102.
103.
104.
105.
106.
107.
108.
109.
110.
111.
112.
113.
114.
115.
116.
117.
118.
119.
120.
121.
122.
123.
124.
125.
126.
127.
128.
129.
130.
131.
132.
133.
134.
135.
136.
137.
138.
MAP-3 K-shell on Wood:  Control Block Summary   	  6-142
MAP-3 L-shell on Brick:  Model Estimates  	  6-146
MAP-3 L-shell on Brick:  Control Block Summary  	  6-14S
MAP-3 L-shell on Concrete:  Model Estimates   	  6-149
MAP-3 L-shell on Concrete:  Control Block Summary   . .   .  6-150
MAP-3 L-shell on Drywall:  Model Estimates  	  6-154
MAP-3 L-shell on Drywall:  Control Block Summary  ....  6-154
MAP-3 L-shell on Metal:  Model Estimates  	  6-157
MAP-3 L-shell on Metal:  Control Block Summary  	  6-158
MAP-3 L-shell on Plaster:  Model Estimates  	  6-162
MAP-3 L-shell on Plaster:  Control Block Summary  ....  6-163
MAP-3 L-shell on Wood:  Model Estimates   	  6-167
MAP-3 L-shell on Wood:  Control Block Summary   	  6-168
Microlead I on Brick:  Model Estimates  	  6-174
Microlead I on Brick:  Control Block Summary  	  6-175
Microlead I on Concrete:  Model Estimates   	  6-179
Microlead I on Concrete:  Control Block Summary   .  . .   .  6-180
Microlead I on Drywall:  Model Estimates	6-183
Microlead I on Drywall:  Control Block Summary  	  6-184
Microlead I on Metal:  Model Estimates  	  6-188
Microlead I on Metal:  Control Block Summary  	  6-189
Microlead I on Plaster:  Model Estimates  	  6-193
Microlead I on Plaster:  Control Block Summary  	  6-194
Microlead I on Wood:  Model Estimates   	  6-197
Microlead I on Wood:  Control Block Summary   	  6-198
X-MET 880 on Brick:  Model Estimates	6-202
X-MET 880 on Brick:  Control Block Summary	6-202
X-MET 880 on Concrete:  Model Estimates   	6-206
X-MET 880 on Concrete:  Control Block Summary   	6-206
X-MET 880 on Drywall:  Model Estimates	6-209
X-MET 880 on Drywall:  Control Block Summary	6-209
X-MET 880 on Metal:  Model Estimates	6-213
X-MET 880 on Metal:  Control Block Summary	6-215
X-MET 880 on Plaster:  Model Estimates	6-220
X-MET 880 on Plaster:  Control Block Summary	6-220
X-MET 880 on Wood:  Model Estimates   	6-224
X-MET 880 on Wood:  Control Block Summary   	6-224
XK-3 on Brick:  Model Estimates	  6-229
XK-3 on Brick:  Control Block Summary   	  6-229
XK-3 on Concrete:  Model Estimates  	  6-232
XK-3 on Concrete:  Control Block Summary  	  6-233
XK-3 on Drywall:  Model Estimates   	6-236
                  Control Block Summary   	  6-236
                Model Estimates   	6-240
                Control Block Summary   	  6-241
                  Model Estimates   	6-244
                  Control Block Summary   	  6-246
XK-3 on Wood:  Model Estimates	6-249
XK-3 on Wood:  Control Block Summary	6-250
XL on Brick:  Model Estimates:  Model Estimates   ....  6-255
XL on Brick:  Control Block Summary   	  6-255
XL on Concrete:  Model Estimates  	  6-258
XL on Concrete:  Control Block Summary  	  6-260
XL on Drywall:  Model Estimates   	  6-262
                Control Block Summary   	  6-264
              Model Estimates   	6-267
              Control Block Summary   	  6-268
                Model Estimates   	6-272
                Control Block Summary   	  6-272
XL on Wood:  Model Estimates	6-275
XL on Wood:  Control Block Summary  	  6-275
XK-3 on Drywall:
XK-3 on Metal:
XK-3 on Metal:
XK-3 on Plaster:
XK-3 on Plaster:
XL on Drywall:
XL on Metal:
XL on Metal:
XL on Plaster:
XL on Plaster:
                                     XXI

-------
 Table 6-139.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for Lead Analyzer  K-shell	6-281
 Table 6-140.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for Lead Analyzer  L-shell	6-281
 Table 6-141.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for MAP-3 K-shell  	  6-282
 Table 6-142.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for MAP-3 L-shell  	  6-283
 Table 6-144.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for X-MET 880	6-284
 Table 6-145.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for XK-3   	6-285
 Table 6-146.   Change  in Standard  Deviations:    One Versus  Three Paint
               Readings  for XL   	6-285
 Table 6-147.   Standard  Deviation  (SD) Ratios, Pooled by  Instrument  .  .  6-286
 Table 6-148.   Correlations for Successive Readings, Estimated From the
               Control Block Data	6-287
 Table 6-149.   Effect  of  Bias  Correction  Methods  on  Lead  Analyzer,
               K-shell.  Model Estimates of Bias:  	  6-307
 Table 6-150.   Effect  of  Bias  Correction  Methods  on  Lead  Analyzer,
               L-shell	6-308
 Table 6-151.   Effect of Bias Correction Methods  on MAP-3, K-shell.  Model
               Estimates  	6-309
 Table 6-152.   Effect of Bias Correction Methods  on MAP-3, L-shell.  Model
               Estimates  	6-310
 Table 6-153.   Effect of Bias Correction Methods on  the Microlead I.      6-311
 Table 6-154.   Effect of Bias Correction Methods on  the X-MET 880.      .  6-312
 Table 6-155.   Effect of Bias Correction Methods on  the XK-3.     ....  6-313
 Table 6-156.   Effect of Bias Correction Methods on  the XL.     	6-314
 Table 6-157.   Simulation Results  (Based on 100  Replications), to Assess
               the Effect of  Spatial  Variability and Laboratory Error in
               ICP Measurements on Model Estimates   	6-330
               First  Standard  Paint  Reading  Without  an  Inconclusive
               Range   	6-345
               False Positive Results for First  Standard Paint Readings
               Without an Inconclusive Range	 .  .  6-346
               False Negative Results for First  Standard Paint Readings
               Without   an   Inconclusive  Range   Categorized  by  Their
               Corresponding  ICP  Measurement Above  and Below the 2.4891
               mg/cm2 90th Percentile of the 1,290 ICP Measurements   .  .  6-347
               Agreement Statistic, K, For All Pairs  of XRF Readings Taken
               At  Testing Locations  From Which  the ICP Measurement in
               mg/cm2 Units Was Greater To or Equal to the 90th percentile
               of all 1,290 Testing Locations	6-356
Table 6-162.   Lead Analyzer  K-shell  by  Substrate for the First Standard
               Paint Reading Without  an  Inconclusive Range    	6-357
Table 6-163.   Lead Analyzer  L-shell  by  Substrate for the First Standard
               Paint Reading Without  an  Inconclusive Range    	6-357
Table 6-164.   MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate for  the  First  Standard Paint
               Reading Without an Inconclusive Range  	6-358
Table 6-165.   MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate for  the  First  Standard Paint
               Reading Without an Inconclusive Range  	  6-358
Table 6-166.   Microlead I by Substrate  for the  First Standard Paint
               Reading Without an Inconclusive Range  	  6-359
Table 6-167.   X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
               Without an Inconclusive Range   	  6-359
Table 6-168.   XK-3  by  Substrate  for the  First Standard Paint Reading
               Without an Inconclusive Range   	  6-360
Table 6-169.   XL  by  Substrate for  the  First  Standard Paint Reading
               Without an Inconclusive Range   	  6-360
Table 6-170.   Standard  Paint Average Without an Inconclusive Range   .  .  6-361
Table 6-158.

Table 6-159.

Table 6-160.



Table 6-161.
                                     XXI1

-------
Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-

Table 6-
171.

172.

173.

174.

175.

176.

177.

178.

179,

180.

181.
Table 6-182.


Table 6-183.


Table 6-184.

Table 6-185.

Table 6-186.

Table 6-187.

Table 6-188.

Table 6-189.

Table 6-190.

Table 6-191.


Table 6-192.


Table 6-193.

Table 6-194.

Table 6-195.

Table 6-196.

Table 6-197.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate  for  the  Standard Paint
Average Without an Inconclusive Range   	   6-362
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate  for  the  Standard Paint
Average Without an Inconclusive Range   	   6-362
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the  Standard Paint Average
Without an inconclusive Range   	   6-363
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the  Standard Paint Average
Without an Inconclusive Range   	   6-363
Microlead  I  by Substrate for  the Standard  Paint Average
Without an Inconclusive Range   	   6-364
X-MET  880  by  Substrate for  the Standard   Paint  Average
Without an Inconclusive Range   	   6-364
XK-3 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average Without an
Inconclusive Range  	   6-365
XL by Substrate for  the Standard  Paint  Average Without an
Inconclusive Range  	   6-365
First Standard Paint Reading Control  Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range  	   6-366
False Positive Results  for  First Standard  Paint  Readings
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range   ....   6-367
False Negative Results  for  First Standard  Paint  Readings
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range Categorized
by Their Corresponding ICP Measurement Above and Below the
2.4891   mg/cm2   90th  Percentile  of   the   1,290   ICP
Measurements  	   6-368
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard
Paint Reading  Control Corrected  Without an Inconclusive
Range   	6-369
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard
Paint Reading  Control Corrected  Without an Inconclusive
Range   	6-369
MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate for  the First  Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range    6-370
MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate for  the First  Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range    6-370
Microlead  I  by  Substrate for  the  First  Standard  Paint
Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range    6-371
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range   .  .  . .   6-371
XK-3 by Substrate for  the  First Standard  Paint  Reading
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range   .  .  . .   6-372
XL  by  Substrate  for  the First  Standard   Paint  Reading
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range   .  .  . .   6-372
First Standard  Paint Fully Corrected Reading  Without an
Inconclusive Range  	   6-373
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard
Paint  Fully Corrected  Reading   Without  an  Inconclusive
Range   	6-374
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard
Paint  Fully Corrected  Reading   Without  an  Inconclusive
Range   	6-
MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate for  the First  Standard Paint
Fully Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range   .   6-
MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate for  the First  Standard Paint
Fully Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range   .   6-
Microlead I by  Substrate for the First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range   ....   6-
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First  Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range   ....   6-
      XK-3  by  Substrate  for  the  First  Standard Paint  Fully
      Corrected Reading  Without an  Inconclusive Range   ....  6-
374

375

375

376

376

377
                                    XX111

-------
Table 6-198.

Table 6-199.

Table 6-200.


Table 6-201.


Table 6-202.


Table 6-203.


Table 6-204.


Table 6-205.


Table 6-206.

Table 6-207.

Table 6-208.

Table 6-209.


Table 6-210.
Table


Table


Table


Table


Table


Table


Table

Table

Table
6-211.


6-212.


6-213.


6-214.


6-215.


6-216.


6-217.

6-218.

6-219.
XL  by  Substrate  for  the  First  Standard  Paint  Fully
Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range   ....  6-377
First Standard  Paint  Reading Red NIST Averaged Corrected
Without an inconclusive Range   	  6-378
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate  for the  First Standard
Paint Reading  Red NIST SRM  Average Corrected  Without  an
Inconclusive Range  	  6-379
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate  for the  First Standard
Paint Reading  Red NIST SRM  Average Corrected  Without  an
Inconclusive Range  ...  	  6-379
MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate  for the First  Standard Paint
Reading  Red  NIST   SRM  Average   Corrected  Without  an
Inconclusive Range  	  6-380
MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate  for the First  Standard Paint
Reading  Red  NIST   SRM  Average   Corrected  Without  an
Inconclusive Range  	  6-380
Microlead  I  by  Substrate for  the  First Standard Paint
Reading  Red  NIST   SRM  Average   Corrected  Without  an
Inconclusive Range  	  6-381
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Red NIST  SRM Average Corrected  Without an  Inconclusive
Range   	6-381
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an Inconclusive  Range   6-382
XL by Substrate  for the'First  Standard  Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an Inconclusive  Range   6-382
First Standard  Paint Reading  With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2  	6-388
False Positive  Results  for First Standard  Paint Readings
With an Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.4  mg/cm2 and 1.6
mg/cm2	6-389
False Negative  Results  for First Standard  Paint Readings
With an Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.4  ing/cm2 and 1.6
mg/cm2  Categorized by Their  Corresponding ICP Measurement
Above and  Below the  2.4891  mg/cm2  90th  Percentile  of the
1,290 ICP Measurements	6-390
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate  for the  First Standard
Paint Reading  With an  Inconclusive Range Bounded  by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2	6-399
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate  for the  First Standard
Paint Reading  With an  Inconclusive Range Bounded  by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2	6-399
MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate  for the First  standard Paint
Reading With an Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2	6-400
MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate  for the First  Standard Paint
Reading With an Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.4 rag/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2	6-400
Microlead  I by  Substrate for the  First  Standard Paint
Reading With an Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2	6-401
X-Met 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
With an  Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4  mg/cm2 and 1.6
mg/cm2	6-401
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard  Paint Reading with
an Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2 6-402
XL by Substrate  for the First Standard Paint Reading With
an Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0-4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2 6-402
Standard Paint Average  with  an Inconclusive Range Bounded
by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-403
                                     XXIV

-------
Table 6-220.  Lead Analyzer  K-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint
              Average With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
              1.6 mg/cm2	6-404
Table 6-221.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint
              Average With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
              1.6 mg/cm2	6-404
Table 6-222.  MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
              With  an  Inconclusive Range  Bounded  by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6
              mg/cm2	6-405
Table 6-223.  MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
              With  an  Inconclusive Range  Bounded  by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6
              mg/cm2	6-405
Table 6-224.  Microlead I by  Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
              With  an  Inconclusive Range  Bounded  by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6
              mg/cm2	6-406
Table 6-225.  X-Met 880 by Substrate  for the Standard Paint Average With
              an Inconclusive  Range  Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and  1.6 mg/cm2 6-406
Table 6-226.  XK-3  by  Substrate for  the Standard  Paint  Average With an
              Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4  mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2  .  6-407
Table 6-227.  XL by Substrate for the  Standard Paint  Average With an
              Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4  mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2  .  6-407
Table 6-228.  First Standard Paint Control Corrected With an Inconclusive
              Range Bounded  by 0.4 mg/cm2  and  1.6 mg/cm2   	6-408
Table 6-229.  False  Positive Results  for  First  Standard Paint Readings
              Control Corrected With an  Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
              mg/cm2 and  1.6 mg/cm2,  Categorized by Their Corresponding
              ICP Measurement  Above and Below  the 0.1964 mg/cm2 Median of
              the 1,290 ICP  Measurements	6-409
Table 6-230.  False Negative Results  for  First  Standard Paint Readings
              Control Corrected With  an  Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
              mg/cm2 and l. 6 mg/cm2 Categorized by Their Corresponding ICP
              Measurement Above and Below the 2.4891 mg/cm2 90th Percentile
              of the  1,290  ICP Measurements   	6-410
Table 6-231.  Lead Analyzer K-shell by  Substrate for the  First Standard
              Paint Control  Corrected Reading  With an  Inconclusive Range
              Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-411
Table 6-232.  Lead Analyzer L-shell by  Substrate for the  First Standard
              Paint Control  Corrected Reading  With an  Inconclusive Range
              Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-411
Table 6-233.  MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate  for the First Standard Paint
              Control  Corrected  Reading  With an Inconclusive Range
              Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-412
Table 6-234.  MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate  for the First Standard Paint
               Control  Corrected  Reading  With  an Inconclusive Range
              Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-412
Table 6-235.  Microlead  I  by  Substrate  for  the  First Standard Paint
               Control  Corrected  Reading  With  an Inconclusive Range
               Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-413
Table 6-236.   X-Met 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Control
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-413
Table 6-237.   XK-3 by  Substrate  for the  First  Standard Paint  Control
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-414
Table 6-238.   XL  by  Substrate for  the  First  Standard Paint  Control
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-414
Table 6-239.   First Standard  Paint Fully  Corrected With an Inconclusive
               Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2  	6-415
Table 6-240.   Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint
               Fully Corrected  Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded
               by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6  mg/cm2  	6-416


                                      xxv

-------
Table  6-241.   Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint
               Fully Corrected Reading With an inconclusive Range Bounded
               by 0.4 mg/ctn* and 1.6 mg/cm2   	6-416
Table  6-242.   MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-417
Table  6-243.   MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-417
Table  6-244.   Microlead  I  by Substrate for  First  Standard Paint Fully
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-418
Table  6-245.   X-Met  880 by Substrate  for  First  Standard  Paint  Fully
               Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
               mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-418
Table  6-246.   XK-3 by Substrate for First Standard  Paint  Fully Corrected
               Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
               1.6 mg/cm2	6-419
Table  6-247.   XL by  Substrate for First  Standard  Paint Fully Corrected
               Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
               1.6 mg/cm2	6-419
Table  6-248.   First Standard Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected
               With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6  mg/cm2   6-420
Table  6-249.   Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the  First Standard
               Paint  Reading  Red NIST  SRM  Average  Corrected  With  an
               Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0,4 and 1.6 mg/cm2   ....  6-421
Table  6-250.   Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the  First Standard
               Paint  Reading  Red NIST  SRM  Average  Corrected  With  an
               Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2   ....  6-421
Table  6-251.   MAP-3  K-shell by Substrate for  the  First Standard Paint
               Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive
               Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-422
Table  6-252.   MAP-3  L-shell by Substrate for  the  First Standard Paint
               Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive
               Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-422
Table  6-253.   Microlead I  by Substrate for the  First  Standard Paint
               Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive
               Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-423
Table  6-254.   X-MET 880 by Substrate  for the First  Standard Paint Reading
               Red NIST  SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive Range
               Bounded by 0.4  and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-423
Table  6-255.   XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
               NIST  SRM  Average Corrected  With an  Inconclusive Range
               Bounded by 0.4  and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-424
Table  6-256.   XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
               NIST  SRM  Average Corrected  With an  Inconclusive Range
               Bounded by 0.4  and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-424
Table  6-257.   First   Standard   Paint   Reading  With   an  Alternative
               Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-429
Table  6-258.   Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First  Standard
               Paint  Reading  With  an  Alternative  Inconclusive  Range
               Between 0.7  and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-430
Table  6-259.   Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First  Standard
               Paint  Reading  With  an  Alternative  Inconclusive  Range
               Between 0,7  and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-430
Table  6-260.   MAP-3  K-shell by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard Paint
               Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
               and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-431
Table  6-261.   MAP-3  L-shell by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard Paint
               Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
               and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-431
                                      XXVI

-------
Table 6-262.  Microlead  I by  Substrate  for the  First Standard  Paint
              Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
              and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-432
Table 6-263.  X-MET 880 by Substrate for the  First Standard Paint Reading
              With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 and 1.3
              mg/cm2	6-432
Table 6-264.  XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading With
              an  Alternative  Inconclusive   Range  Between  0.7  and  1.3
              mg/cm2	6-433
Table 6-265.  XL by Substrate  for  the  First  Standard Paint Reading With
              an  Alternative  Inconclusive   Range  Between  0.7  and  1.3
              mg/cm2	6-433
Table 6-266.  Standard  Paint Average  With  an Alternative  Inconclusive
              Range Between  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-434
Table 6-267.  Lead Analyzer  K-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint
              Average With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
              mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-435
Table 6-268.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint
              Average With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
              mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-435
Table 6-269.  MAP-3 K-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
              With an Alternative  Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2
              and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-436
Table 6-270.  MAP-3 L-shell  by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
              With an Alternative  Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2
              and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-436
Table 6-271.  Microlead  I by Substrate  for  the Standard  Paint Average
              With an Alternative  Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2
              and 1.3 mg/cm2	6-437
Table 6-272.  X-MET 880 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With
              an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
              mg/cm2	6-437
Table 6-273.  XK-3 by  Substrate for the Standard  Paint  Average With an
              Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
              mg/cm2	6-438
Table 6-274.  XL  by Substrate  for the  Standard Paint Average With an
              Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
              mg/cm2	6-438
Table 6-275.  First  Standard  Paint  Reading Control Corrected With an
              Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
              mg/cm2	6-439
Table 6-276.  Lead Analyzer  K-shell  by Substrate for the First Standard
              Paint  Reading  Control   Corrected  With  an  Alternative
              Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7  mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2 .  6-440
Table 6-277.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell  by Substrate for the First Standard
              Paint  Reading  Control   Corrected  With  an  Alternative
              Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7  mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2 .  6-440
Table 6-278.  MAP-3  K-shell by Substrate  for the  First Standard Paint
              Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
              Range Bounded  by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  	6-441
Table 6-279.  MAP-3  L-shell by Substrate  for the  First Standard Paint
              Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
              Range Bounded  by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  	6-441
Table 6-280.  Microlead  I by  Substrate  for  the  First Standard  Paint
              Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
              Range Bounded  by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  	6-442
Table 6-281.  X-MET 880 by Substrate for the  First  Standard Paint Reading
              Control  Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range
              Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2    	6-442
Table 6-282.  XK-3  by Substrate  for the  First  Standard  Paint Reading
              Control  Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range
              Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2    	6-443


                                    xxvii

-------
Table 6-283.


Table 6-284.


Table 6-285.


Table 6-286.


Table 6-287.


Table 6-288.


Table 6-289.


Table 6-290.


Table 6-291.


Table 6-292.


Table 6-293.


Table 6-294.



Table 6-295.



Table 6-296.


Table 6-297.


Table 6-298.


Table 6-299.


Table 6-300.


Table 6-301.
XL  by  Substrate  for  the  First Standard  Paint  Reading
Control Corrected  With an Alternative  Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2   	
First  Standard  Paint  Reading  Fully  Corrected  With  an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 tng/cm2 and 1,3
mg/cm2  	
Lead Analyzer K-shell  by Substrate  for  the  First Standard
Paint   Reading   Fully   Corrected  With  an   Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  .
Lead Analyzer L-shell  by Substrate  for  the  First Standard
Paint   Reading   Fully   Corrected  With  an   Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  .
MAP-3  K-shell  by Substrate  for  the First  Standard Paint
Reading Fully  Corrected With  an Alternative  Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2   	
MAP-3  L-shell  by Substrate  for  the First  Standard Paint
Reading Fully  Corrected With  an Alternative  Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2   	
Microlead  I  by  Substrate  for the  First  Standard  Paint
Reading Fully  Corrected With  an Alternative  Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and l. 3  mg/cm2   	
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the  First Standard Paint Reading
Fully  Corrected With  an Alternative  Inconclusive  Range
Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2   	
XK-3  by Substrate for the  First Standard Paint  Reading
Fully  Corrected With  an Alternative  Inconclusive  Range
Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2   	
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Fully
Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by
0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2	
First Standard Paint  Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Reading
With an Alternative Inconclusive  Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2
and 1.3 mg/cm2  	
Lead Analyzer K-shell  by Substrate  for  the  First Standard
Paint  Reading Red NIST SRM  Average  Corrected With  an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2	
Lead Analyzer L-shell  by Substrate  for  the  First Standard
Paint  Reading Red NIST SRM  Average  Corrected With  an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1,3
mg/cm	
MAP-3  K-shell  by Substrate  for  the First  Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  .
MAP-3  L-shell  by Substrate  for  the First  Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  .
Microlead  I  by  Substrate  for  the  First  Standard  Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  .
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the  First Standard Paint Reading
Red  NIST  SRM  Average  Corrected   With an  Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by  0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2  .
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2   	
XL by  Substrate  for  the First Standard  Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2   	
6-443


6-444



6-445


6-445


6-446


6-446


6-447


6-447


6-448


6-448



6-449




6-450




6-450


6-451


6-451


6-452



6-452


6-453


6-453
                                    XXV111

-------
Table 6-302.



Table 6-303.




Table 6-304.




Table 6-305.




Table 6-306.




Table 6-307.




Table 6-308.



Table 6-309.


Table 6-310.


Table 6-311.


Table 6-312.


Table 6-313.



Table 6-314.
 Table  6-315.
Simulation  Study  Percentage  Results  of  the  Effect  of
Spatial Variation and Laboratory Error in ICP Measurements
on Reported False Positive and False Negative Rates for XRF
Instruments   	6-455
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on  BRICK,   the  Number  of  Dwelling Maximum  and  Minimum
Values,  and  the  Total  Number  of  Extreme  Values  that
Occurred for the  First  Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences   	6-461
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on  CONCRETE,  the Number  of Dwelling Maximum and  Minimum
Values,  and  the  Total  Number  of  Extreme  Values  that
Occurred for the  First  Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences   	6-462
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on  DRYWALL,  the  Number of  Dwelling Maximum and  Minimum
Values,  and  the  Total  Number  of  Extreme  Values  that
Occurred for the  First  Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences	6-463
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on  METAL,   the  Number  of  Dwelling Maximum  and  Minimum
Values,  and  the  Total  Number  of  Extreme  Values  that
Occurred for the  First  Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences   	-	6-464
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on  PLASTER,  the  Number of  Dwelling Maximum and  Minimum
Values,  and  the  Total  Number  of  Extreme  Values  that
Occurred for the  First  Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences   	6-465
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on WOOD, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum Values,
and the  Total  Number of  Extreme Values  that  Occurred for
the First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP Differences   6-466
Critical Values for the Observed  Number of  Extreme Absolute
XRF minus  ICP Differences  for XRF Readings Taken at the
First Sampling Location Tested for a Given Substrate  . .   6-466
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
First Bare  Substrate  Reading  ("Special"  Data)  For All XRF
Instrument Types  Except the MAP-3    	  .....   6-469
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured  in mg/cm2 Units of the
Second Bare Substrate Reading ("Special" Data) For All XRF
Instrument Types  Except the MAP-3    	   6-470
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the-
Third Bare  Substrate  Reading  {"Special"  Data)  For All XRF
Instrument Types  Except the MAP-3    	   6-471
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
"Special" Readings for  the MAP-3 for the Full Study on the
Painted Surface,  the  Bare Substrates Covered With the Red
 (1.02 mg/cmj) NIST SRM Film,  and the Bare  Substrates  . .   6-472
Summary  Statistics of  Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units For
Standard  Readings  for the  MAP-3  at  the  "Special"  and
"Special-Special" Full  Study Locations Taken on the Painted
Surface,  the Bare  Substrates Covered With the  Red  (1.02
mg/cm2)  NIST  SRM  Film,  the Painted  Surface  Minus  Its
Corresponding Laboratory Result in mg/cm2 From Each Sampling
Location,  and the Red NIST  SRM Film Minus 1.02 mg/cm2 For
Nominal 15-Second Readings  	   6-473
Summary  Statistics of  Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units for
First  Standard Red NIST SRM Reading Minus 1.02 mg/cm2 for
All XRF Instrument Types Except the MAP-3  at  Full Study
"Special"  and "Special-special"  Locations  Only   	   6-474
                                     XXIX

-------
Table 6-316.   Summary Statistics of  Lead Measured in  mg/cm2  Units for
               First Standard Paint Reading Minus the Laboratory Result in
               mg/cm2 For All XRF Instrument Types   	6-475
Table 6-317.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               Paint and Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings  ("Special"
               Data)  For MAP-3  K-shell in Louisville Only	6-476
Table 6-318.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               Paint and Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings  ("Special"
               Data)  For MAP-3  L-shell in Louisville Only	6-476
Table 6-319.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               Paint and Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings  ("Special"
               Data)  For Microlead  I in Louisville Only	6-477
Table 6-320.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               Paint and Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings  ("Special"
               Data)  For X-MET 880  in  Louisville Only	6-477
Table 6-321.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               Paint and Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings  ("Special"
               Data)  For XK-3  in Louisville Only   	6-478
Table 6-322.   Summary Statistics of  Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units For
               First Paint Reading  (Standard)  data for All  XRF  Instrument
               Types at Pilot  Study "Special"  Locations Only   	6-479
Table 6-323.   Summary Statistics of  Lead Measured in mg/cm:  Units For
               First Red  NIST  SRM Reading (Standard)  data  for  All XRF
               Instrument Types at  Pilot Study "Special" Locations Only  6-479
Table 6-324.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               MAP-3 Paint and Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM  Readings  (Non-
               Standard)  in Louisville Only	6-483
Table 6-325.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               X-MET 880 Non-Standard  Readings,  Louisville Only  ....  6-483
Table 6-326.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in  mg/cm2 Units of the
               First Variability Paint Reading {Non-Standard Data) For All
               XRF Instrument  Types 	  6-484
Table 6-327.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               Second Variability Paint  Reading  (Non-Standard Data) For
               All XRF Instrument Types	6-484
Table 6-328.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               Third Variability Paint Reading (Non-Standard Data) For All
               XRF Instrument  Types 	  6-485
Table 6-329.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               First Variability Red  (1.02 mg/cm2}  NIST SRM Reading  (Non-
               Standard) For All XRF Instrument Types	6-485
Table 6-330.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               Second Variability Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Reading  (Non-
               Standard) For All XRF Instrument Types	6-486
Table 6-331.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               Third Variability Red  (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Reading  (Non-
               Standard) For All XRF Instrument Types	6-486
Table 6-332.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               First Standard Paint Reading at  Variability Locations For
               All XRF Instrument Types	6-487
Table 6-333.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the
               First  Standard  Red   NIST SRM   Reading  at  Variability
               Locations For All XRF Instrument Types	6-487
Table 6-334.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units of the
               Yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings  minus  3.53 mg/cm2
               (Non-Standard)  on Concrete  in Louisville Only   	6-488
Table 6-335.   Summary  Statistics  of  Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units For
               First Paint Reading (Standard)  Data for All XRF  Instrument
               Types at Pilot Study Concrete Locations Only	6-489
                                      XXX

-------
Table 6-336.  Summary  Statistics  of Lead  Measured in mg/cm2 Units  For
              First Red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Reading  (Standard) Data For
              All XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study Concrete Locations
              Only	6-489
Table 6-337.  Summary  Statistics  of Lead  Measured in mg/cm2 Units  For
              First Paint  Reading (Standard)  Data Corrected  by  ICP  For
              All XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study Concrete Locations
              Only	6-490
Table 6-338.  Summary  Statistics  of Lead  Measured in mg/cm2 Units  For
              First Red NIST SRM Reading  (Standard) Data Minus  1.02 mg/cm2
              For  All  XRF  Instrument  Types  at  Pilot  Study  Concrete
              Locations Only	6-490
Table 7-1.     Data Set Descriptions   	7-2
Table 7-2.     Number of Negative Readings Incorrectly  Stored in the MAP-3
              Denver Captured Data Files  	  7-6
Table 7-3.     Error  Rates   from Denver and  Philadelphia Captured  Data
              Comparison   Procedure   of  XRF  Standard   and   "Special"
              Readings.  Errors are Listed for each Discrepancy Type  .  . 7-14
Table 7-4.     Error  Rates   from Denver and  Philadelphia Captured  Data
              Comparison Procedure of XRF Control Readings.   Error Rates
              are Listed for each Discrepancy Type	7-15
Table 7-5.     Data Entry Error Rates from Denver and Philadelphia Double
              Data Entry Comparison Procedure Categorized by  Device   .  . 7-16
Table 7-6.     Error  Rates   from Denver and  Philadelphia Captured  Data
              Comparison Procedure for 50,942 XRF Standard and "Special"
              Readings Listed by Discrepancy Type   	7-16
Table 7-7.     Error  Rates   from Denver and  Philadelphia Captured  Data
              Comparison Procedure for 28,035 XRF Control Readings Listed
              by Discrepancy Type   	7-16
Table 7-8.     Summary  Statistics  from Denver and  Philadelphia  Captured
              Data  Comparison Procedure of  XRF Standard and "Special"
              Measurements  Listed by Discrepancy Type   	 7-17
Table 7-9.     Summary  Statistics  from Denver and  Philadelphia  Captured
              Data Comparison Procedure of XRF Control Readings Listed by
              Discrepancy Type	7-18
Table 7-10.   Summary  Statistics  from Denver and  Philadelphia  Captured
              Data  Comparison Procedure of XRF  Standard,  "Special"  and
              Control Readings  Listed by Discrepancy Type   	 7-19
Table 7-11.   Residual Data Entry Error Rates and Counts in the XRF_NORM
              Data Set	7-21
Table 7-12.   Table of Items Checked During the  Laboratory System Audit   7-24
                                    XXXI

-------
XXXI1

-------
                               LIST OF FIGURES


Figure 1-1.    Full study template	1-7
Figure 3-1.    Sampling location templates used  in the  study	3-8
Figure 3-2.    Examples of  alternative sample location templates used in
              the study	3-10
Figure 3-3.    Flow Diagram of Laboratory Processing    	3-30
Figure 4-1.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for all  substrates combined in  all cities.   A total
              of 253 measurements  (19.6%) were  greater than or equal to
              1.0 mg/cm2	4-11
Figure 4-2.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for all substrates combined in Denver. A total of 148
              measurements (19.7%)  were greater than or equal  to  1.0
              mg/cm2	4-12
Figure 4-3.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for all substrates combined in Philadelphia.  A total
              of 72 measurements  (16.4%)  were  greater than  or  equal to
              1.0 mg/cm2	4-13
Figure 4-4.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for all substrates combined in Louisville. A total of
              33 measurements  (33.0%) were  greater  than or equal to 1.0
              mg/cm2	4-14
Figure 4-5.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for brick in all cities.  A total  of 21 measurements
              (22.6%) were greater than or  equal to  1.0 mg/cm2	4-15
Figure 4-6.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead)  for  concrete from  all cities.    A total  of  29
              measurements (12.8%)  were greater than or equal  to  1.0
              mg/cm2	4-16
Figure 4-7.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for drywall in all cities.  Out of  124 measurements,
              none were greater than or equal to 1.0 mg/cm2	4-17
Figure 4-8.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for metal in all cities.  A total  of 48 measurements
              (22.1%) were greater than or  equal to  1.0 mg/cm2	4-18
Figure 4-9.    Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead)  for   plaster  in  all   cities.     A  total  of  33
              measurements (13.6%)  were greater than or equal  to  1.0
              mg/cm2	4-19
Figure 4-10.   Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements  (mg/cm2
              lead) for wood in all cities.  A  total of 122 measurements
              (31.4%) were greater than or  equal to  1.0 mg/cm2	4-20
Figure 4-11.   Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements  (percent by
              weight lead) for all substrates  and cities combined.   A
              total  of 372  (28.8%)  measurements were greater  than or
              equal to 0.5% lead	4-21
Figure 4-12.   Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements  (percent by
              weight lead) for all  substrates combined  in Denver.   A
              total  of 209  (27.9%)  measurements were greater  than or
              equal to 0.5% lead	4-22
Figure 4-13.   Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements  (percent by
              weight lead)  for all substrates combined in Philadelphia.
              A total  of 116 (26.4%)  measurements were greater than or
              equal to 0.5% lead	4-23
Figure 4-14.   Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements  (percent by
              weight lead) for all substrates combined in Louisville.  A
              total of 47  (47.0%)  measurements were greater than or equal
              to 0.5% lead	4-24
                                   XXXlll

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Figure 4-15.



Figure 4-16.



Figure 4-17.



Figure 4-18.



Figure 4-19.



Figure 4-20.



Figure 4-21.

Figure 4-22.

Figure 4-23.

Figure 4-24.

Figure 4-25.

Figure 4-26.

Figure 4-27.

Figure 4-28.


Figure 4-29.


Figure 4-30.


Figure 4-31.


Figure 4-32.
Figure 5-1.
Figure 5-2,

Figure 5-3.
Figure 5-4.
Figure 5-5.
Figure 5-6.
Figure 5-7.
Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements (percent by
weight  lead)  for  brick in  all cities.   A  total of  23
measurements  (24.7%) were greater  than or equal  to  0.5%
lead	4-25
Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements (percent by
weight  lead)  for concrete in all  cities.   A total of  33
measurements  (14.6%)  were  greater than  or  equal  0.5%
lead.	4-26
Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements (percent by
weight  lead)  for drywall  in all cities.   A total of  10
measurements  (8.1%)  were  greater  than  or  equal  to  0.5%
lead	4-27
Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements (percent by
weight  lead)  for  metal in  all cities.   A  total of  96
measurements  (44.2%) were greater  than or equal  to  0.5%
lead	4-28
Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements (percent by
weight  lead)  for plaster  in all cities.   A total of  39
measurements  (16.1%) were greater  than or equal  to  0.5%
lead	4-29
Frequency bar chart of primary ICP measurements (percent by
weight  lead)  for  wood  in  all  cities.   A  total of  171
measurements  (44.1%) were greater  than or equal  to  0.5%
lead	4-30
Plot  of residuals from regression of  log(lab  duplicate)
versus  log(primary sample) in Denver (mg/cm2 Pb)	4-48
Plot  of residuals from regression of  log(lab  duplicate)
versus  log (primary sample) in Philadelphia  (mg/cm2 Pb) .  .  .  4-49
Plot  of residuals from regression of  log(lab  duplicate)
versus  log (primary sample) in Louisville (mg/cm2 Pb) .  .  .  .4-50
Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of  log(field duplicate)
versus  log (primary sample) in Denver (mg/cm2)	  4-66
Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of  log(field duplicate)
versus  log(primary sample) in Philadelphia  (mg/cm*).  .  .  .  4-67
Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of  log(field duplicate)
versus  log (primary sample) in Louisville (mg/cm2)	4-68
Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of  log(field duplicate)
versus  log(primary sample) in Denver (percent by weight).   4-69
Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of  log(field duplicate)
versus  log(primary sample)  in  Philadelphia  (percent  by
weight)	4-70
Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of  log(field duplicate)
versus  log(primary  sample)  in  Louisville  (percent  by
weight)	4-71
Summary of  percent  lead  recoveries  for  NIST  SRM  1579
samples in  each sample preparation batch.    Sample  batch
numbers are shown for results beyond the control limits.  .  4-85
Summary of  percent lead  recoveries for ELPAT  samples  in
each  sample preparation batch.   Sample  batch numbers  are
shown for results beyond the control limits	4-86
Absolute difference between percent lead recoveries for the
pair  of ELPAT samples  in each sample  preparation batch.
Sample  batch numbers  are  shown for  results beyond  the
control limits	4-87
Simulated example illustrating  ideal test kit behavior.   .  5-32
Simulated   example  illustrating   non-ideal   test   kit
behavior	5-33
Operating characteristic curve  for  Lead Check on brick.   .  5-40
Operating characteristic curve  for  LeadCheck on concrete.   5-41
Operating characteristic curve  for  LeadCheck on drywall.  .  5-42
Operating characteristic curve  for  LeadCheck on metal.  .  .  5-43
Operating characteristic curve  for  LeadCheck on plaster.  .  5-44
                                    xxxiv

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Figure 5-8.    Operating characteristic curve for LeadCheck  on wood.   .  .  5-45
Figure 5-9.    Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead Alert  coring on
              brick	5-50
Figure 5-10.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead Alert  coring on
              concrete	5-51
Figure 5-11.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead Alert  coring on
              metal	5-52
Figure 5-12.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead Alert  coring on
              wood	5-53
Figure 5-13.   Operating characteristic  curve for Lead Alert  sanding on
              concrete, excluding Louisville	5-58
Figure 5-14.   Operating characteristic  curve for Lead Alert  sanding on
              metal, excluding Louisville	5-59
Figure 5-15.   Operating characteristic  curve for Lead Alert  sanding on
              wood, excluding Louisville	5-60
Figure 5-16.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead  Detective  on
              brick	5-55
Figure 5-17.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead  Detective  on
              concrete	5-66
Figure 5-18.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead  Detective  on
              drywall	5-67
Figure 5-19.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead  Detective  on
              metal	5-68
Figure 5-20.   Operating  characteristic  curve , for  Lead  Detective  on
              plaster	5-69
Figure 5-21.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for  Lead  Detective  on
              wood	5-70
Figure 5-22.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on brick.  .  .  5-75
Figure 5-23.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on concrete.   5-76
Figure 5-24.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on drywall.  .  5-77
Figure 5-25.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on metal.  .  .  5-78
Figure 5-26.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on plaster.  .  5-79
Figure 5-27.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on wood.   .  .  5-80
Figure 5-28.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              brick	5-86
Figure 5-29.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              concrete	5-87
Figure 5-30.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              drywall	5-88
Figure 5-31.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              metal	5-89
Figure 5-32.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              plaster	5-90
Figure 5-33.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              wood	5-91
Figure 5-34.   Operating characteristic curve for LeadCheck  on wood.   .  .  5-97
Figure 5-35.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              metal	5-98
Figure 5-36.   Operating characteristic curve for LeadCheck on metal, in
              weight concentration units	5-100
Figure 5-37.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Alert:   coring on
              metal, in weight concentration units	5-101
Figure 5-38.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Alert:  sanding on
              metal, in weight concentration units	5-102
Figure 5-39.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Detective on metal,
              in weight concentration units	5-103
Figure 5-40.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone on metal, in
              weight concentration units	5-104
Figure 5-41.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on
              metal, in weight concentration units	5-105
Figure 6-1.    Scatterplot   and  histogram   illustrating   the   XRF-ICP
              relationship	6-69
                                    XXXV

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Figure 6-2.   Example illustrating model and non-parametric estimation of
              XRF performance.  Solid lines  are model estimates.  Dashed
              lines  are nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.  .  6-72
Figure 6-3.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer K-shell  on brick.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-81
Figure 6-4.   Model  Diagnostic Plots, Lead Analyzer K-shell on concrete.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-84
Figure 6-5.   Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead Analyzer K-shell on drywall.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-86
Figure 6-6.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer K-shell  on metal.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-89
Figure 6-7.   Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead Analyzer K-shell on plaster.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-92
Figure 6-8.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead  Analyzer  K-shell  on  wood.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-95
Figure 6-^9.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on brick.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-98
Figure 6-10.  Model  Diagnostic Plots, Lead Analyzer L-shell on concrete.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-101
Figure 6-11.  Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell on drywall.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-102
Figure 6-12.  Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on metal.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-106
Figure 6-13.  Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell on plaster.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-109
Figure 6-14.  Lead  Analyzer L-shell on plaster:   Scatterplots for the
              full and  restricted  TCP ranges	6-111
Figure 6-15.  Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell on plaster.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-112
Figure 6-16.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell on  plaster in Philadelphia:  Machine
              1 vs Machine 2	6-115
Figure 6-17.  Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead  Analyzer  L-shell  on  wood.
              Solid  lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
              nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates	6-116
Figure 6-18.  Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 K-shell  on brick.   Solid
              lines  are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
               (monotone regression) estimates	6-121
Figure 6-19.  Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3 K-shell on concrete.  Solid
              lines  are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
               (monotone regression) estimates	6-124
Figure 6-20.  Model  Diagnostic Plots,   MAP-3  K-shell on  drywall.  Solid
              lines  are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
               (monotone regression) estimates	6-128
Figure 6-21.  Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 K-shell  on metal.   Solid
              lines  are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
               (monotone regression) estimates	6-131
Figure 6-22.  Model  Diagnostic Plots,   MAP-3  K-shell on  plaster.  Solid
              lines  are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
               (monotone regression) estimates	6-135
                                    XXXVI

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Figure 6-23.   Model Diagnostic Plots, MAP-3 K-shell on wood.  Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
              {monotone regression)  estimates	6-140
Figure 6-24.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell on brick.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-145
Figure 6-25.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell on  concrete.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-148
Figure 6-26.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell  on  drywall.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-152
Figure 6-27.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell on metal.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-155
Figure 6-28.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell  on  plaster.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-160
Figure 6-29.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell on  plaster with ICP
              restricted to less than 3.0 mg/cm2.  Solid lines are model
              estimates.    Dashed  lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
              regression) estimates	6-161
Figure 6-30.   Model Diagnostic Plots, MAP-3 L-shell on wood.  Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed .lines  are  nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-165
Figure 6-31.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell on wood  with ICP
              restricted to less than 5.0 mg/cm2.  Solid lines are model
              estimates.    Dashed  lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
              regression) estimates	6-166
Figure 6-32.   Model Diagnostic Plots, Microlead I on brick.  Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-172
Figure 6-33.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Microlead  I  on  brick  with ICP
              restricted to less than 0.9 mg/cm2.  Solid lines are model
              estimates.    Dashed  lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
              regression) estimates	6-173
Figure 6-34.   Model  Diagnostic Plots, Microlead  I on concrete.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-178
Figure 6-35.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Microlead I  on  drywall.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-182
Figure 6-36.   Model Diagnostic Plots, Microlead I on metal.  Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-187
Figure 6-37.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Microlead I  on  plaster.   Solid
              lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-192
Figure 6-38.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  Microlead  I  on wood.  Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-196
Figure 6-39.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  X-MET 880 on brick.   Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-201
Figure 6-40.   Model Diagnostic Plots, X-MET 880 on  concrete.  Solid lines
              are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
              (monotone regression)  estimates	6-204
Figure 6-41.   Model  Diagnostic Plots,  X-MET 880  on concrete  with ICP
              restricted to less than 2.0 mg/cm2.  Solid lines are model
              estimates.    Dashed  lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
              regression) estimates	6-205
                                   xxxvn

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Figure 6-42.   Model Diagnostic Plots, X-MET 880 on drywall.  Solid lines
               are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
               (monotone regression)  estimates	6-208
Figure 6-43.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  X-MET  880 on metal.   Solid lines
               are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
               (monotone regression)  estimates	6-210
Figure 6-44.   Nonparametric  estimates   for  X-MET   880   on  Metal  in
               Louisville.    Dashed  lines are  nonparametric   (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-212
Figure 6-45.   X-MET  880  on  metal  with  Operator K:    Denver  versus
               Philadelphia	6-214
Figure 6-46.   X-MET  880  on plaster:    Scatterplots  for  the  full  and
               restricted ICP ranges	6-216
Figure 6-47.   Model Diagnostic Plots, X-MET 880 on plaster.  Solid lines
               are  model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
               (monotone regression)  estimates	6-218
Figure 6-48.   Nonparametric estimates  for the  X-MET  880  on  Plaster.
               Dashed  lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone  regression)
               estimates	6-219
Figure 6-49.   Model Diagnostic Plots, X-MET 880 on wood.  Solid lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-221
Figure 6-50.   Nonparametric estimates for  the X-MET 880 on Wood.  Dashed
               lines are nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.   6-223
Figure 6-51.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  XK-3 on brick.  Solid  lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-227
Figure 6-52.   Model Diagnostic Plots, XK-3 on concrete.  Solid lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-231
Figure 6-53.   Model Diagnostic Plots, XK-3 on drywall.   Solid lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-235
Figure 6-54.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  XK-3 on metal.  Solid  lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-239
Figure 6-55.   Model Diagnostic Plots, XK-3 on plaster.   Solid lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-243
Figure 6-56.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  XK-3  on wood.   Solid  lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-248
Figure 6-57.   Model Diagnostic Plots, XL on brick.  Solid lines are model
               estimates.    Dashed   lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-253
Figure 6-58.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  XL  on  concrete.  Solid lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-257
Figure 6-59.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  XL  on  drywall.  Solid  lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-261
Figure 6-60.   Model Diagnostic Plots, XL on metal.  Solid lines are model
               estimates.    Dashed   lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
               regression) estimates	  6-266
Figure 6-61.   Model Diagnostic Plots,  XL  on  plaster.  Solid  lines are
               model estimates.  Dashed lines  are nonparametric  (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-271
Figure 6-62.   Model Diagnostic Plots, XL on wood.  Solid lines are model
               estimates.    Dashed   lines  are  nonparametric   (monotone
               regression) estimates	6-274
Figure 6-63.   XL  on Wood, Operators K versus J  scatterplots on MACHINE '
               41	6-277


                                   xxxviii

-------
Figure 6-64.

Figure 6-65.

Figure 6-66.

Figure 6-67.

Figure 6-68.


Figure 6-69.


Figure 6-70.


Figure 6-71.


Figure 6-72.


Figure 6-73.


Figure 6-74.

Figure 6-75.


Figure 6-76.

Figure 6-77.

Figure 6-78.

Figure 6-79.

Figure 6-80.

Figure 6-81.

Figure 6-82.

Figure 6-83.

Figure 6-84.

Figure 6-85.

Figure 6-86.

Figure 6-87.

Figure 6-88.

Figure 6-89.

Figure 6-90.
XL:   Correlation of nonparametric  standardized residuals
with other instruments.  Substrate=WOOD   	
X-MET  880:    Correlation  of  nonparametric  standardized
residuals with other instruments.  Substrate=WOOD   .  .  .
XK-3  (I):     Correlation  of  nonparametric  standardized
residuals with other instruments.  Substrate=WOOD   .  .  .
XK-3  (II):    Correlation  of  nonparametric  standardized
residuals with other instruments.  Substrate=WOOD   .  .  .
MAP-3   (I)   K-shell:      Correlation  of   nonparametric
standardized    residuals    with    other    instruments.
Substrate=WOOD	
MAP-3   (I)   L-shell:      Correlation  of   nonparametric
standardized    residuals    with    other    instruments.
Substrate=WOOD  	
MAP-3   (II)   K-shell:     Correlation  of   nonparametric
standardized    residuals    with    other    instruments.
Substrate=WOOD	
MAP-3   (II)   L-shell:     Correlation  of   nonparametric
                residuals
 with
other
instruments.
                K-shell:
                residuals
Correlation  of
 with    other
        nonparametric
         instruments.
                L-shell:
                residuals
Correlation  of
 with    other
        nonparametric
         instruments.
standardized
Substrate=WOOD
Lead  Analyzer
standardized
Substrate=WOOD.
Lead  Analyzer
standardized
Substrate=WOOD  	
Microlead I (I) :  Correlation of nonparametric standardized
residuals with other instruments.  Substrate=WOOD.  .  .  .
Microlead   I   (II) :      Correlation   of   nonparametric
standardized    residuals    with    other    instruments.
Substrate=WOOD	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on metal	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on wood	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  MAP-3 K-shell on metal	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  MAP-3 K-shell on wood	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  ML-1 Revision 4 on metal	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  Microlead I on wood	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  XK-3 on metal	
XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental
components.  XK-3 on wood for ICP less than 10 mg/cms.
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for Lead Analyzer K-shell, no inconclusive range.   .  .  .
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for Lead Analyzer L-shell, no inconclusive range.   .  .  .
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for MAP-3 K-shell, no inconclusive range	
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for MAP-3 L-shell, no inconclusive range	
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for Microlead I, no inconclusive range	
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for X-MET 880, no inconclusive range	
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory  ICP categories
for XK-3, no inconclusive range	
6-289

6-289

6-290

6-290



6-291


6-291



6-292



6-292



6-293



6-293

6-294



6-294

6-296

6-297

6-298

6-299

6-300

6-301

6-302

6-303

6-348

6-349

6-350

6-351

6-352

6-353

6-354
                                    XXXIX

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Figure 6-91.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for XL,  no inconclusive range	6-355
Figure 6-92.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for Lead  Analyzer K-shell,  with  an  inconclusive  range
              bounded by 0.4  rag/cm* and 1.6 rag/cm2	6-391
Figure 6-93.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for Lead  Analyzer L-shell,  with  an  inconclusive  range
              bounded by.0.4  tng/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-392
Figure 6-94.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for MAP-3 K-shell, with an  inconclusive  range bounded by
              0.4 mg/cm2  and  1.6 mg/cm2.    .	6-393
Figure 6-95.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for MAP-3 L-shell, with an  inconclusive  range bounded by
              0.4. mg/cm2  and  1.6 mg/cm2	6-394
Figure 6-96.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for Microlead I, with an inconclusive range bounded by 0.4
              mg/cm2 and  1.6  mg/cm2	6-395
Figure 6-97.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for X-MET 880,  with an inconclusive  range bounded by 0.4
              mg/cm2 and  1.6  mg/cm2,    	6-396
Figure 6-98.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for XK-3,  with  an  inconclusive  range  bounded by 0.4  rag/cm2
              and 1.6 mg/cm2	6-397
Figure 6-99.  Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories
              for XL,  with an inconclusive range bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
              1.6 mg/cm2	6-398
Figure 7-1.   Example of the  MAP-3 data  storage method	7-7
Figure 7-2.   Example of the  Lead Analyzer data storage method.    ....   7-8
Figure 7-3.   Example of the  X-MET 880 data storage method	7-9
Figure 7-4.   Frequency plot of the  absolute differences- of the errors
              found through  the Denver  and  Philadelphia captured data
              comparison process.      	  7-20
                                       xl

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
     BACKGROUND

     This study was undertaken by the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA)  and the U.S. Department of Housing and
Urban Development (HUD)  to collect information needed for the
development of federal guidance on testing paint for lead.  Prior
to this study, lead testing information was inadequate as little
formal evaluation had been done of the various field testing
methodologies.

     The impetus for this study came from the passage of Title X
(Section 1017 of the Residential Lead-Based Paint Hazard
Reduction Act of 1992),  which mandated that the federal
government establish guidelines for lead-based paint hazard
evaluation and reduction. This study was designed to produce the
type of detailed information EPA and HUD needed in order to
respond to that mandate, and focused on two field technologies
that are used for testing for lead in paint: portable X-ray
fluorescence  (XRF) instruments and chemical test kits.  A pilot
study was conducted during March and April 1993 in Louisville,
Kentucky.  The full study was conducted from July through October
1993 in Denver, Colorado and Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

     This is the full technical report of the study.  The summary
report, entitled A Field Test of Lead-Based Paint Testing
Technologies: Summary Report  (EPA 747-R-95-002a), contains an
overview of the results from the study.  Both reports are
available from the National Lead Information Center Clearinghouse
(1-800-424-LEAD).
     TECHNOLOGIES EVALUATED

     This study evaluated XRF instruments and chemical test kits.
XRF instruments measure lead in paint by directing high energy X-
rays and gamma rays into the paint, causing the lead atoms in the
paint to emit X-rays which are detected by the instrument and
converted to a measurement of the amount of lead in the paint.
Chemical test kits detect the presence of lead in paint by a
chemical reaction that occurs when chemicals in the kit are
exposed to lead.  This reaction causes a color change to occur if
lead is present in the paint.
                               xli

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     Laboratory spectroscopic analysis of paint samples was
conducted to determine  the actual levels of lead in the paint.
The laboratory results were used as a benchmark for comparison to
the XRF and test kit results.
     STUDY OBJECTIVES

     The overall study goal was to collect information about
field measurement methodologies sufficient to allow EPA and HUD
to establish guidance and protocols for lead hazard
identification and evaluation.  In order to achieve that goal,
the study had to be designed and conducted with sufficient rigor
and appropriate quality assurance.

     To ensure adequacy of the resulting data, six specific study
objectives were developed:  three primary and three secondary.
The results are presented in this report in two ways: overall
conclusions and testing recommendations are made in light of the
overall study goal, and results are provided in terms of the
specific study objectives.

     The three primary study objectives were:  (1) to
characterize the performance  (precision and accuracy) of portable
XRF instruments under field conditions;  (2) to evaluate the
effect on XRF performance of interference from the material (the
substrate) underlying the paint; and   (3) to characterize the
relationship between test kit results and the actual lead level
in the paint (operating characteristic curves).

     The three secondary study objectives were:   (4) to
understand XRF behavior in the field through the investigation of
XRF measurements that were very different than their
corresponding lab result;  (5) to evaluate field quality
assurance and control methods; and  (6) to investigate the
variability of lead levels in the paint within the study sampling
locations.
     FIELD TESTING

     Three primary concerns of the field testing portion of the
study were consistency, real world comparability, and quality
control.   Due to the differences among the three measurement
methods:  XRF, test kits, and laboratory analysis, field testing
approaches necessarily varied somewhat.  In order to ensure
consistency, -testing was standardized as much as possible.  A

                              xlii

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template was designed for test locations throughout the study
housing units,  and the different measurement methods were
systematically assigned to consistent test locations within the
template.  This approach ensured results could be compared across
different test locations and measurement methods.

     At each test location,  chemical test kits were tested first.
The individuals who did the field testing of the test kits were
selected to represent typical homeowners who might purchase test
kits for their personal use.  That is, they did not have any
specific scientific background nor prior training.  To further
replicate "real world" use,  the test kits were rotated among the
testers during the study.  One of the test kits was an exception
to this.  It was a kit which is only used by state-certified
inspectors.  For that kit, a state-certified inspector was
brought in and that particular kit was not included in the kit
rotation.  After each tester completed a test location, the used
area of the template was covered to prevent subsequent testers
from observing the results obtained by prior testers.

     Once test kit testing was finished, paint samples were
taken.   Paint was removed from a specified location on the
template and sent to a laboratory for spectroscopic analysis.  A
modified NIOSH method 7082 was followed with all appropriate
quality control samples including laboratory and field
duplicates.

     XRF testing was the final step in the field portion of the
study.   It was conducted by trained and licensed XRF instrument
operators employed by independent testing companies.  XRF testing
was carried out on the portions of the templates designated for
this purpose.   A number of quality control procedures were
employed, including the use of National Institute of Standards
and Technology (NIST)  Standard Reference Material (SRM) paint
films.   The NIST SRM paint film is a thin layer of paint with a
known level of lead enclosed between two layers of plastic.  A
portion of the template was scraped bare of paint, revealing the
material underneath the paint, the substrate, which was either
brick,  concrete,  drywall, metal, plaster or wood.  The NIST SRM
paint film was placed on the bare substrate and a reading was
taken in order to determine if the substrate interfered with the
XRF reading.  In addition, blocks of known substrate materials,
called control blocks, were utilized in the field.  The NIST SRM
paint film was placed on the appropriate block and XRF readings
taken in order to determine if control block substrates could be
surrogates for the substrates underlying the painted areas
tested.

                              xliii

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     STUDY RESULTS;

     Laboratory Analysis Results

     There were two key results of the laboratory analyses.
First, laboratory analysis results exhibited a wide range of lead
levels with a distribution similar to that reported in the 1990
HUD National Survey of Lead-Based Paint in Housing.  Second, lead
levels appear to vary significantly across the same painted
surface.

     Two federal thresholds have been established to define lead-
based paint on painted architectural components.  If paint is
found to contain lead equal to or greater than these thresholds,
it is characterized as lead-based paint.  The federal threshold
in milligrams lead per unit area is 1.0 mg/cm2.   The federal
threshold in percent lead by weight is 0.5%.  Approximately 20%
of the samples analyzed in this study were equal to or greater
than the federal threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2,  while  29% were equal  to
or greater than the federal threshold of 0.5% lead.  A rough
numerical equivalence between results reported as mass of lead
per unit area (mg/cm2)  and as percent  lead by weight (%)  was
found in the study data.  That is, 1.0 mg/cm2 lead was  found to
be roughly equivalent to 1% lead by weight.

     The variability of a set of test results is the extent to
which the results in the set differ from one another.  The
standard deviation is a statistical measure of the extent that
actual test results tend to spread about an average value.  The
typical relative standard deviation for laboratory analytical
measurements in the study samples was 13%.  Variability between
field duplicate samples, taken nine inches apart at a subset of
test locations,  was much larger, between 30% - 60%, indicating
significant variability in lead levels across the same painted
surface.  The statistical analysis of the data took variability
in lead levels into account.
     Chemical Test Kit Results

     The primary result of the test kit evaluation is that they
varied widely in their performance in classifying paint against
either the 1.0 mg/cm2 or 0.5% threshold.   No single kit achieved
a low rate of both false positive and false negative results and
their performance varied across substrates.
                               xliv

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     A false negative result occurs when the kit fails to detect
the presence of lead in paint equal to or greater than the
federal threshold, but in fact, the paint is shown by laboratory
analysis to contain lead equal to or greater than the threshold.
Similarly, a false positive result occurs when the kit detects
lead equal to or greater than the federal threshold, but
laboratory analysis shows that the paint does not contain lead
equal to or greater than the threshold.

     No kit in the study achieved low rates of both false
positive and false negative results.  Two out of six kits were
prone to false negative results.  Negative test results obtained
with these two kits do not necessarily indicate the absence of
lead.  The other four kits had a tendency to produce false
positive results, even at levels of lead well below the federal
thresholds.

     Further, the performance of the test kits varied with
different types of substrates.  Most kits usually produced a
positive result on at least one substrate, even for very low lead
levels.  This suggests positive interferences with the chemicals
in the kits.  On the other hand, some test kits demonstrated
negative interferences on some substrates, as indicated by not
always giving a positive result for high levels of lead.
     XRF Results

     The primary result of the XRF testing is that K-shell
instruments were often effective in classifying paint samples
against the federal threshold of 1.0 tng/cm2,  when using an
inconclusive classification range, laboratory confirmation, and
substrate correction,  as needed.  Generally,  L-shell instruments
had extremely high false negative rates, making them ineffective
in classifying paint against the 1.0 mg/cm2 threshold.

     In this study, measurement bias, or bias, is the tendency of
a set of test results to be either greater or less than the
laboratory measurements of the lead content of the paint.   If
test results tend to be greater than the laboratory results, they
are said to exhibit positive bias.  If the test results tend to
be less than the laboratory results, they exhibit negative bias.
Results of tests using XRF instruments showed both positive and
negative bias.  Biases of the K-shell XRF instruments were
strongly dependent on the underlying substrate.  One K-shell
instrument exhibited much less bias than the other XRF
instruments.  L-shell instruments generally had large negative

                               xlv

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biases at the 1.0 mg/cm2 threshold that  were usually independent
of the substrate.

     Substrate correction, using NIST SRM readings on either the
scraped substrates or the control blocks, did not reduce bias for
L-shell instruments.  For K-shell instruments, results were
mixed.  Control block correction reduced bias for two instruments
on some substrates.  Correction using NIST SRM readings on the
scraped substrate was effective for two instruments on most
substrates, and for another instrument on some substrates.

     The variability of the results from each XRF instrument was
estimated by calculating a standard deviation.  The results of
most K-shell instruments exhibited high variability at the
federal threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2.   The  variability in the results
from the L-shell instruments was significantly lower than that of
K-shell instruments.

     Despite their generally high variability and bias, K-shell
instruments were often effective in classifying the paint samples
in this study against the federal threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2 when
using an inconclusive classification range of 0.4 to 1.6 mg/cm2
with mandatory laboratory confirmation.   Without using an
inconclusive range and laboratory confirmation, only two of the
K-shell instruments had both false positive and false negative
rates below 10%.

     Generally,  L-shell instruments had extremely high false
negative rates.   One L-shell instrument had moderate to high
false negative rates, depending on the width of the inconclusive
range, but still gave low readings on some samples with high
levels of lead.
     OVERALL RECOMMENDATIONS FOR TESTING

     XRF Instir'''Tn
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     Further,  the variability found in paint samples located
approximately nine inches apart supports the conclusion that the
most effective method of XRF testing of a single architectural
component,  such as a window sill,  wall, or door, is to obtain
readings at different points on the component, and compute their
average.  This would replace the current practice which is to
average a number of XRF readings taken at a single point.

     Chemical Test Kit Conclusions

     The conclusion of this study is that test kits should not be
used for lead paint testing.  Test kits cannot determine the
extent of lead-based paint in a home and the need for protecting
the occupants, especially when repairs or renovations are carried
out.  Homeowners and renters cannot be confident that test kits
will discriminate accurately between lead-based paint and non-
lead based paint.  They should not make decisions on repairs,
renovations or abatements based on test kit results.
                              xlvii

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     1  DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY

     1.1  BACKGROUND

     Lead-based paint (LBP)  in older housing,  especially lead-
based paint in poor condition, is recognized as a major cause,
both direct and indirect,  of elevated blood lead levels in
children between 1 and 6 years old.  Exposure to lead in paint
can come from the paint chips themselves, from dust caused by
abrasion of paint on friction surfaces, or from chalking of
exterior paint.   The Lead-Based Paint Poisoning Prevention Act of
1971, as amended by the Housing and Community Development Act of
1987, established 1.0 mg/cm2  as  the federal  threshold requiring
abatement of lead-based paint in public and Indian housing
developments nationwide.  To implement this legislation, Congress
required the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
(HUD) to complete testing for lead-based paint in all public and
Indian housing by December,  1994.  In response to this
requirement, HUD, with substantial input from the Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), published interim guidelines for testing
and abatement of LBP in public and Indian housing in April, 1990.
At the time the HUD Guidelines were published, the research
conducted to evaluate the performance of X-ray fluorescence (XRF)
instruments and chemical test kits in detecting LBP at or above
the federal threshold was limited.  The recommended approach was
to perform XRF testing,  with laboratory confirmation of
inconclusive results.  The Guidelines recommended that test kits
should not be used as a primary testing method.  Federal guidance
documents available from the National Lead Information Center
Clearinghouse also did not recommend the use of test kits by
homeowners or renters.

     The Residential Lead-Based Paint Hazard Reduction Act of
1992 ("Title X") mandated the evaluation and reduction of
lead-based paint hazards in the nation's existing housing.  Title
X also established 0.5% lead as an alternative to the 1.0 mg/cm2
threshold.  Section 1017 of Title X required HUD to develop
guidelines for federally-supported lead-based paint hazard
evaluation and reduction activities.  HUD is complying with this
requirement by preparing a major revision and expansion of the
1990 Guidelines.  To support the testing and inspection portion
of the revised Guidelines, EPA and HUD funded this field study of
technologies used to detect and measure lead in paint.  It is the
first comprehensive evaluation of XRF instruments and test kits
under field conditions.
                               1-1

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     1.2  STUDY OBJECTIVES

     The overall study goal was to collect information about
field measurement methodologies sufficient to allow EPA and HUD
to establish guidance and protocols for lead hazard
identification and evaluation.  In order to achieve that goal,
the study had to be designed and conducted with sufficient rigor
and appropriate quality assurance.

     To ensure adequacy of the resulting data, six specific study
objectives were developed:  three primary and three secondary.
The results are presented in this report in two ways: overall
conclusions and testing recommendations are made in light of the
overall study goal, and results are provided in terms of the
specific study objectives.

     The three primary study objectives were:  (1) to
characterize the performance  (precision and accuracy) of portable
XRF instruments under field conditions;  (2)  to evaluate the
effect on XRF performance of interference from the material  (the
substrate)  underlying the paint; and   (3) to characterize the
relationship between test kit results and the actual lead level
in the paint (operating characteristic curves).

     The three secondary study objectives were:    (4) to
understand XRF behavior in the field through the investigation of
XRF measurements that were very different than their
corresponding lab result;  (5) to evaluate field quality
assurance and control methods; and  (6) to investigate the
variability of lead levels in the paint within the study sampling
locations.

     This study differs from previous studies conducted to
measure lead in paint because the study included a larger number
of samples and more diverse testing locations, and was designed
so that test results obtained at different locations could be
compared.  Paint from a total of 1,290 locations in 22 housing
units in three cities was tested.  The tested locations were free
from identifiable biases and represent a variety of paint types,
substrates, architectural designs, and lead levels in paint.  The
study was designed to evaluate field testing technologies used to
identify lead-based paint that were commercially available or
were working prototypes as of June, 1993.  These technologies
included six types of XRF instruments and six chemical test kits.
Spectroscopic laboratory analysis was used to verify results
obtained by the XRF instruments and chemical test kits.
                               1-2

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     1.3  APPROACH

     The study began in March 1993 in Louisville, Kentucky, with
a pilot conducted at a vacant public housing development built in
1937.  Testing was conducted at 100 locations in 4 units in 2
buildings.  The pilot had several objectives.  First, it was
important to determine the feasibility of collecting large
numbers of paint samples in the field while ensuring the quality
of the samples, and to develop and test a system for labelling
and tracking the samples.  Removal of paint with a heat gun and
paint scraper proved to be a successful technique.  A barcode
system that labelled and tracked samples was developed and
tested.  A working system for selecting and marking test
locations was developed.  The field practicality of the test kits
for large testing programs was evaluated.  Procedures for
monitoring XRF testing and recording of data were developed.
Field testing sequences to minimize the potential for variability
in XRF results caused by frequent substrate changes were used.
Time estimates for all aspects of sample collection and testing
were made.  The schedule and logistics for the full study were
based on these time estimates.  A database structure was
developed for storing and retrieving study data.

     The full study was conducted in two cities, Denver in July
and August 1993 and Philadelphia in September and October 1993.
Denver and Philadelphia were specifically chosen because housing
was available that met study criteria and because the public
housing authorities in those cities were willing to work closely
with EPA and its contractors.   The study tested units from both
multifamily housing,  where units tend to be quite similar to each
other,  and from single-family homes.   A total of 10 scattered-
site single-family homes were tested in Denver;  eight were built
between 1943 and 1952,  while two were older,  dating from 1890 and
1905.  In Philadelphia, eight units in two buildings in a single
multifamily development built in 1942 were tested.  Including
those in the pilot study, a total of 1,290 individual test
locations on 6 substrate types in the 22 housing units were
tested.  There were 100 test locations in Louisville, 750 in
Denver and 440 in Philadelphia.   The breakdown of testing
locations by substrate was: 93 brick,  226 concrete,  124 drywall,
217 metal,  242 plaster, and 388  wood substrates.
     1.4  TECHNOLOGIES

     Chemical test kits detect the presence of lead in paint by a
chemical reaction that occurs when chemicals in the kit are

                               1-3

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exposed to lead.  This reaction causes a color change to occur if
lead is present in the paint.  The test kits in the study
represented the range of kits available at the time the study was
conducted.  Test kits from five different manufacturers were
examined in this study:  three rhodizonate based kits, two sodium
sulfide based kits, and one proprietary kit.  Both of the most
common types of chemical test kits,  rhodizonate based kits and
sodium sulfide based kits,  were used in the pilot study.  The
rhodizonate kits included were LeadCheck (also called LeadCheck
II) and the sanding and coring versions of Lead Alert; the sodium
sulfide kits were Lead Detective and the Massachusetts state-
approved kit.  The pilot study also included the Lead Zone kit,
which utilizes proprietary chemistry.  It was expected that the
results of the pilot study would be similar for kits based on
similar chemistry, that is, rhodizonate or sodium sulfide, so
that fewer kits would need to be included in the full study.
However,  the test results were not similar for kits utilizing
similar chemistry, so the same six kits were included in the full
study.

     Portable XRF instruments direct high energy X-rays and gamma
rays into paint.  These high-energy rays strike lead atoms,
causing electrons to be ejected from their electron orbits, or
shells.  In a process called fluorescence,  other electrons refill
the voids left by the ejected electrons, producing X-rays.  These
X-rays have specific frequencies based on differences in energy
between the electron shells which contained the emitted electrons
and the electron shells which received the electrons.  The amount
of X-ray energy emitted at several specific frequencies, in this
case called K-shell or L-shell X-ray energy, is measured by
detectors on XRF instruments and used to calculate the amount of
lead in paint.

     XRF instruments are classified by the type of X-ray energy
that they detect, K-shell X-rays, L-shell X-rays, or both.
K-shell X-rays are more highly penetrating than L-shell X-rays
since L-shell X-rays have lower energy.  For this reason, K-shell
X-rays are more useful for detecting lead in deeper layers of
paint.   Two of the XRF instruments in this study detected K-shell
X-rays, two XRF instruments detected L-shell X-rays, and two
instruments detected both K-shell and L-shell X-rays.

     Efforts were made to include a representative example of
every XRF instrument available at the time of the study.  Six
types of XRF instruments were in the study.  The MAP-3, the
Microlead I, and the XK-3 were included because they were the
most commonly used instruments for LBP testing when the study

                               1-4

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began.  The X-MET 880 was included because it performed
successfully in the pilot study.   After completion of the pilot
study, all other known manufacturers of XRF instruments or
working prototypes were invited to participate in a day of
ruggedness testing to determine whether the instruments were
portable and could function reliably throughout a full day of
field testing.   As a result, two additional instruments, the Lead
Analyzer and a prototype of the XL,  were included in the full
study.  Since the conclusion of the field portion of the study,
new XRF instruments and modified versions of some tested
instruments have become commercially available.

     The third type of technology in the study was laboratory
analysis which was used to verify results obtained by the two
field technologies:  chemical test kits and XRF instruments.  For
this study, the laboratory instrument used was an atomic emission
spectrophotometer.  The laboratory procedure involved dissolving
paint samples in acid, then filtering and diluting them.  A
portion of the dissolved sample was placed in the
spectrophotometer and heated to extremely high temperatures by a
device inside the spectrophotometer called a high temperature
atomizer.  At very high temperatures, most of the sample is
broken down into individual atoms.  Individual atoms absorb and
re-emit energy produced by the atomizer.  Atoms of different
chemical elements re-emit energy at different energy levels.  A
detector in the spectrophotometer sorts and measures the energy
re-emitted by the atoms of different chemical elements.  In this
way, the amount of energy re-emitted by lead atoms is measured
and then used to calculate the amount of lead in the sample.  The
particular type of spectrophotometer used in this study was an
inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrophotometer
(ICP).  The analytical laboratory results were continually
evaluated by using reference materials to assure the accuracy of
the laboratory analysis of field samples.

     Chemical test kit results were reported as either negative
or positive indicating the absence of lead or presence of lead,
respectively.  XRF instruments and laboratory analysis results
were reported as quantitative measures of lead.  XRF instruments
report their results as mass of lead per unit area  (mg/cm2) .
Laboratory analysis results were reported both as mass of lead
per unit area  (mg/cm2)  and percent lead by weight (%) .
                               1-5

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      1.5  FIELD TESTING

      Templates were designed for marking test locations in the
 study housing units so that results could be compared for
 different test technologies and locations.  The most commonly
 used  template, shown in Figure 1-1, was a rectangle 14 inches
 long  and 4 inches wide.  For certain locations such as door
 frames, a thin version of the template, 2 inches by 14 inches,
 was needed.  On the left of the most commonly used template was a
 square 4x4 inches; in the center, a second 4x4 inch square
 was divided into four 2x2 inch subsquares; the remaining 6x4
 inch  rectangle on the right of the template was divided into six
 vertical strips each 1x4 inches.  One of the 2x2 inch
 subsquares was randomly selected as the location for paint
 sampling for laboratory analysis.  At 10% of locations in the
 full  study, a duplicate paint sample was taken adjacent to the
 right end of the template for use in assessing variability in the
 paint lead levels.  Following paint sampling, the remainder of
 the center 4x4 inch square was scraped to remove all remaining
 paint.  It was then used for taking XRF measurements on bare
 substrates both with and without the standard reference material
 paint films {SRM 2579)  developed by the National Institute of
 Standards and Technology (NIST) .  The NIST SRM paint film is a
 thin layer of paint with a known level of lead enclosed between
 two layers of plastic.   The 4x4 inch square on the left of the
 template was used for XRF measurements on paint. The six 1x4
 inch strips were randomly assigned as testing locations for the
 six chemical test kits.  Each of the testing locations in the
 study was selected and marked by the field statisticians using
 the template and an indelible ink marker.  Each test location was
numbered for identification and sample tracking.

     The first step in the full study was to test the six
chemical test kits.  Testers for five of the six test kits were
individuals without any special scientific background or prior
training.  They were selected to represent typical homeowners who
might purchase kits for their personal use.  The testers were
trained by field supervisors to ensure that study protocols were
followed.  The training did not provide the testers with
knowledge about test kit operation beyond the information
contained in the manufacturer's instructions.  These five kits
were rotated among the testers during the study.  The sixth kit,
tested by a state-certified inspector, was not part of the kit
rotation.  After each tester had completed the testing at a
location, the strip of the test location where the color change
could be observed was taped over to prevent subsequent testers
from knowing the result of the test.

                               1-6

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        PAINTED
     XRF TEST SURFACE
         BARE
    XRF TEST SURFACE
TEST KIT TEST SURFACES








PRIMARY
PAINT
SAMPLE


















FIELD
UUrLIUAl t
PAINT
SAMPLE

                             t
                          A   C
                          Test Kite
             B
Figure 1-1.
Full study template.
     After test kit testing was completed, paint chip  samples
were taken and sent to the laboratory for ICP spectroscopic
analysis.  Paint samples were homogenized by grinding  to a
powder, and, if necessary, subsampled prior to analysis.
Subsampling was necessary because the total mass of many samples
was too large for a single laboratory analysis.

     The third and final step in the field study was XRF testing.
It was conducted by trained and licensed XRF instrument operators
employed by independent testing companies.  Within each unit,
test locations from each substrate type were tested as a group.
For example, all locations on metal substrates were tested,  then
all locations on wood substrates were tested, etc.  This was done
to minimize the potential for XRF variability caused by repeated
substrate changes.  However, the order of substrates tested
within a unit was varied.  Quality control checks were also
performed on six control blocks, each composed of a different
substrate, combined with the NIST SRM paint films.  To ensure
that the testing protocol was followed exactly, and to ensure
accurate recording of data, during testing each XRF instrument
operator was observed by a full-time monitor who recorded the
results and reported to a field supervisor.
     1.6  REPORT ORGANIZATION

     This report is the full technical report of  study
procedures.  Testing recommendations, study conclusions,  and
study results are presented in chapter 2.  Chapter  3  contains
detailed discussions on study design.  Chapter 4  presents paint-
chip data.  Chapter 5 presents analysis of test kit data,
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 including operating characteristic curves for lead testing kits.
 Chapter 6 is the analysis of XRF testing data.  Chapter 7
 presents a discussion about data quality assurance and quality
 control.  Chapters 8 and 9 contain the bibliography and glossary,
 respectively.  The appendices contain testing protocols used in
 this study and other technical issues.
     1.7  PEER REVIEW

     The technical report on this study was reviewed
independently by members of a peer review panel.   Comments which
are important for interpreting the study results or which had an
important impact on the report are discussed below.

     A comment from a number of reviewers related to the
representativeness of the study paint samples and the fact that
the sample was not selected randomly from the national housing
stock.  Although the sample was not randomly selected, the sample
did include different substrate materials/ housing components,
paint thicknesses/ and lead levels.  The housing in the study
included both single-family homes and multifamily housing.  The
distribution of lead levels in the study is similar to the
distribution in the HUD National Survey of pre-1980 housing.

     A comment from the reviewers related to the training
received by the individuals who, as representative homeowners or
renters, applied the test kits.  There were concerns that it
would have been more appropriate to have no training to better
simulate what a homeowner or renter would encounter.  However/
the training did not give the individuals in the study any more
information beyond what could have been obtained from a careful
reading of the kit instructions.  The kits were rotated among the
testers to reduce the chance of an individual becoming an expert
with a single kit.  Nevertheless, it is probably fair to say that
the training, the availability of on-site supervisors, and the
large number of tests performed by the individual testers
provided conditions that exceeded what would be typical for a
homeowner or renter who purchased a test kit.

     A comment was made concerning the impact of spatial
variation and laboratory measurement error on the false positive
and false negative rates calculated from the study data.  A
simulation study was conducted to address this comment and the
results included in the final technical report.  The simulation
study demonstrated that the false positive and false negative
rates were robust, and therefore accurately portrayed performance

                               1-8

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of the technologies in the study.   Another reviewer comment on
the statistical analysis of paint  samples with lead below
detection levels led to an improvement in the approach for
estimating model parameters.

     A number of reviewers commented on the length of the
technical report.  In response to  those comments, a summary
report was developed from the technical report to make the
information in the technical report accessible to a wider
audience.

     EPA has established a public  record for the peer review
under administrative record 142.   The record is available in the
TSCA Nonconfidential Information Center, which is open from noon
to 4 PM Monday through Friday, except legal holidays.  The TSCA
Nonconfidential Information Center is located in Room NE-B607,
Northeast Mall, 401 M Street SW, Washington, D.C.
                               1-9

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     2    STUDY CONCLUSIONS.  TESTING RECOMMENDATIONS.   AND STUDY
          RESULTS

     This section provides conclusions and recommendations for
testing as well as results from the study.  It is divided into
three subsections.   Section 2.1 contains conclusions and
recommendations for testing for lead-based paint, section 2.2
contains a summary of results organized by study objectives,  and
section 2.3 contains detailed study results.   The conclusions,
recommendations,  and results are based on the samples and data
collected in this study,  and are specific to the laboratory
analysis method,  chemical test kits, and XRF instruments used.
     2.1  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR TESTING

     2.1.1     XRF Instrument Conclusions

     The primary XRF conclusion is that testing using K-shell XRF
instruments,  with laboratory confirmation of inconclusive XRF
results, and with substrate correction in cases where this is
effective in reducing bias, is a viable way to test for lead-
based paint.   This approach can be expected to produce
satisfactory results for classifying the paint on architectural
components as either above or below the federal threshold of 1.0
mg/cm2.

     Currently, a common practice is to average a number of
readings taken at a single point on an architectural component.
The study demonstrated that the most effective method of XRF
testing is to obtain readings at different points on the
component and compute their average.  This recommendation is
supported by the variability found in paint samples located
approximately nine inches apart, and evidence that a single XRF
reading at one point provided almost as much information as an
average of three XRF readings at the same point.


     2.1.2     Chemical Test Kit Conclusions

     The conclusion of this study is that test kits should not be
used for lead paint testing.  Test kits cannot determine the
extent of lead-based paint in a home and the need for protecting
the occupants, especially when repairs or renovations are carried
out.  Homeowners and renters cannot be confident that test kits
will discriminate accurately between lead-based paint and non-
                               2-1

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 lead based paint.  They should not make decisions on repairs,
 renovations  or  abatements based on test kit results.
      2.2  RESULTS FOR STUDY OBJECTIVES

      2.2.1     Precision **nd Accuracy of XRF Instruments

      The first primary objective of this study was to
 characterize the precision and accuracy of XRF instruments on
 common substrates under field conditions.  The results of the
 study showed that most K-shell instruments exhibited relatively
 high  variability and a high degree of bias at lead levels close
 to  the federal threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2.   Nevertheless,  K-shell
 XRF instruments reliably classified the paint samples in this
 study vis-a-vis the federal threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2,  provided a
 suitable inconclusive range and substrate correction (where
 appropriate) were used.

      Test results using L-shell instruments generally exhibited
 large negative biases which increased with the lead level in the
 paint.  Bias for L-shell instruments was usually substantial at
 1.0 mg/cm2  lead.   L-shell  instruments were less variable than K-
 shell instruments.  As a consequence of the large negative
 biases, L-shell instruments exhibited a high rate of false
 negative results when classifying paint using the 1.0 mg/cm2
 threshold.   When an inconclusive range was added, L-shell
 instruments, with one exception, still had high rates of false
 negatives.   The one exception exhibited reductions in the rate of
 false negatives as the inconclusive range was lengthened.
     2.2.2     S^^strate Interference

     The second primary objective of the study was to evaluate
the effect on the performance of XRF instruments of interference
or bias attributable to the underlying substrate and, hence, to
evaluate the utility of different approaches for adjusting XRF
readings for this bias.  The results of the study showed that
biases of most K-shell instruments were strongly substrate
dependent.  Test results using L-shell instruments generally
exhibited large negative biases at the 1.0 mg/cm2 threshold that
were usually independent of the substrate.

     Substrate correction obtained using readings on NIST SRM
paint films placed on test location areas scraped bare of paint
reduced bias for two of the K-shell instruments, and for a third

                               2-2

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on metal and wood substrates.   The already low bias of the fourth
K-shell instrument's results was unchanged.   Substrate correction
using NIST SRM paint films over control blocks was effective in
reducing bias for one K-shell instrument,  and somewhat effective
for a second on plaster,  concrete and metal.   No method of
substrate correction reduced the bias of L-shell readings.
     2.2.3     Large XRF Errors

     A secondary objective of the study was to investigate large
errors in the XRF measurements,  i.e.,  measurements that were very
different than their corresponding lab results.   The results of
the study showed that the incidence of large XRF errors was very
low (0.6%).   Moreover,  many of the large errors occurred for
several instruments at the same test location.  This suggests a
common cause other than mere erratic behavior on the part on any
single XRF instrument.
     2.2.4     Field Quality Assurance and Quality Control
               Methods

     Another secondary objective of the study was to evaluate
field quality assurance and quality control methods.  The study
results showed that NIST SRM readings on control blocks were
unable to predict XRF instrument performance on painted
components in most cases.   In particular,  the study results
showed that erratic behavior in XRF readings taken on control
blocks was not necessarily predictive of similarly erratic
behavior on actual paint samples.  Finally, with the exception of
two K-shell instruments used on some substrates, substrate
correction using readings on NIST SRM paint films placed on
control blocks of substrate materials brought to the site was not
effective in reducing biases of readings attributable to
substrate interference.
     2.2.5     Operating Characteristic Curves for Test Kits

     The third primary objective of the study was to estimate the
operating characteristic curve for each test kit under field
conditions.   The results of the study showed that the probability
of a positive classification when the sample's lead level was
equal to the federal thresholds varied depending on the kit and
substrate and that high levels of lead would not always be
detected by some test kits.  Furthermore, there were numerous

                               2-3

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cases of positive test results at lead levels well below the
federal thresholds.  None of the test kits used in this study
demonstrated low rates of both false positive and false negative
results when compared to laboratory analytical results using the
federal thresholds, 1.0 mg/cm2  and 0.5%.
     2.2.6     Variability of Lead Levels in Paint

     The third secondary objective of the study was to
investigate the variability of lead levels in paint using
laboratory measurements of field duplicate samples.  The study
results showed that the typical relative standard deviation for
laboratory analytical measurements in the study samples was 13%,
Variability between field duplicate samples was much larger,
between 30% - 60% at one standard deviation, indicating
significant variability in lead levels between paint samples
approximately 9 inches apart.  This variability in lead levels
within single architectural components, called spatial
variability, was the primary cause of variability in the paint
samples.
     2.3  DETAILED STUDY RESULTS

     2.3.1
     Of the 1,290 paint samples collected and analyzed in the
     laboratory in this study, approximately 20% contained lead
     at a level equal to or greater than 1.0 mg/cm2,  one of the
     federal thresholds for defining LBP on painted surfaces.
     Approximately 29% of the samples contained lead equal to or
     greater than 0.5% by weight, the other federal threshold for
     LBP on painted surfaces.

     Lead levels in the samples were reported by the laboratory
     as mass per unit area  (mg/cm2 lead)  and percent lead by
     weight {%).  Table 2-1 presents a cross-tabulation of lead
     levels expressed in mg/cm2 and percent lead by weight.   The
     arithmetic mean lead level in the study samples was 1.17
     mg/cm2 (1.12%).   The median lead level of the study samples
     was 0.20 mg/cm2  (0.20%) .   The 25th and 75th percentiles were
     0.03 mg/cm2  (0.05%)  and 0.62 mg/cm2  (0.72%).  The minimum
     and maximum values were 0.0001 mg/cm2 (0.0004%)  and 37.29
     mg/cm2 (34.56%).
                               2-4

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Table 2-1.  Cross-Tabulation of Paint Sample Lead Levels in mg/cm2 Lead and
          Percent Lead by Weight.
2.
Percent
Lead
by Weight
< 0.5
0.5 - 1.0
a 1.0
Totals
mg/cm2 Lead
< 0.5
874
36
16
926
0.5 - 1.0
42
44
25
111
a 1.0
2
14
237
253
Totals
918
94
278
1,290
For the paint samples, lead levels  expressed in mg/cm2 and
lead levels expressed in percent  lead by weight were roughly
equivalent, as shown by the distribution in Table 2-1.   A
level of 1.0 mg/cm2 was roughly equivalent  to 1.0% by weight
and a level of 0.5% by weight was roughly equivalent to 0.5
mg/cm2.

The overall average ratio between the two types of
measurement units  for the 1,290 primary paint samples
analyzed in the laboratory was 1.00.  In 80% of the samples,
the ratio was between 0.25 and 2.34.  A regression plot of
results expressed  in percent lead by weight (%) versus mass
of lead per unit area  (mg/cm2)  using  a  logarithmic  scale
showed good agreement between the two types of measurement
units (R2 = 0.91),  with the following relationship:
               PERCENT LEAD =  0.96 x (AREA LEAD)
                                                 0.85
                                                where
               PERCENT LEAD = percent  lead by weight (%)  and

               AREA LEAD =  mass  of  lead per unit area (mg/cm2) .

     This relationship suggests  that  0.5% lead is roughly
     equivalent to 0.5 mg/cm2 lead, while  1.0 mg/cm2 lead is
     roughly equivalent  to  1.0%  lead.   This demonstrates that the
     threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2 lead is typically  less  stringent
     than 0.5% lead.
                                2-5

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     2.3.2
XRF Instruments
1.   Most K-shell  instruments exhibited relatively high
     variability,  even for paint with low levels of lead.  The
     amount of variability was sometimes related to the level of
     lead in the sample.

     Table 2-2 shows estimated standard deviations for each
     substrate for results using the K-shell XRF instruments at
     lead levels of 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0  mg/cm2, for a single
     15-second  (nominal) reading taken on the painted surface of
     each test location.   For XRF instrument results that showed
     significant variation between instruments and/or cities in
     the study, a  range of values for the standard deviation is
     also presented.   In these cases,  the single value in the
     table represents  the  single instrument, or a group of
     similar instruments,  with the largest number of readings
     taken.  These estimated  standard deviations take into

Table 2-2.  Estimated  Standard Deviation at 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2 Lead for
          One Nominal 15-Second Paint Reading for K-Shell XRF Instruments,
          by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
LEAD
ANALYZER
K- SHELL
0.0
ms/caf
0.17
0.11
0.08
0.18
0.14
0.08
1.0
ag/co*
0.23
0.37
0.35
0.41
0.24
0.43
MAP -3
K- SHELL
0.0
mg/cm1
0.93
0.90
0.38
0.37
0.81
0.49
1.0
wg/caf
0.93
1.00
0.38
0.55
0.87
0.67
MICROLEAD I
0.0
ag/cm3
0.59
0.61
(0.48-1.24)
0.34
(0.34-0.53)
0.62
(0.37-0.81)
0.55
(0.37-1.01)
0.62
(0.50-1.06)
1.0
mg/cm]
0.55
0.72
(0.48-1.31)
0.34
(0.34-0.53)
0.68
(0.55-0.81)
0.64
(0.46-1.01)
0.92
(0.55-1.06)
XK-3
0.0
mg/cm1
0.60
0.64
(0.51-0.85)
0.36
(0.21-0.36)
0.52
(0.34-0.70)
0.55
(0.40-0.55)
0.49
(0.25-0.51)
1.0
mg/cm3
0.60
0.64
(0.51-0.85)
0.56
(0.55-0.56)
1.06
(0.49-1.63)
0.63
(0.40-0.81)
0.69
(0.44-1.15)
Ranges presented for XRFs demonstrating significant variability between different instruments.
                               2-6

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Table 2-3.
Estimated Standard Deviation at 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2 Lead for
One Nominal 15-Second Reading on Control Blocks for K-Shell XRF
Instruments, by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
LEAD
ANALYZER
K-SHELL
0.0
mg/cm2
0.11
0.11
0.07
0.15
0.09
0.03
1.0
mg/cm3
0.24
0.24
0.19
0.22
0.20
0.18
MAP -3
K- SHELL
0.0
mg/cm'
0.72
0.64
0.28
0.21
0.69
0.24
1.0
mg/cm2
0.61
0.67
0.34
0.25
0.57
0.24
MICROLEAD I
0.0
mg/cm2
0.48
(0.28-0.76)
0.38
(0.31-0.51)
0.29
(0.21-0.42)
0.27
(0.22-2.39)
0.49
(0.33-0.66)
0.26
(0.24-2. OB)
1.0
mg/cm2
0.40
(0.26-0.61)
0.50
(0.41-0.68)
0.29
(0.25-0.44)
0.36
(0.21-2.14)
0.47
(0.30-0.69)
0.33
<0. 23-2. 25)
XK-3
0.0
mg/cm2
0.33
0.41
0.32
0.38
0.50
0.39
1.0
mg/cm2
0.41
0.50
0.45
0.47
0.70
0.43
Ranges presented for XRFs demonstrating significant variability between different instruments.
     account several sources of variability in addition to
     instrumental variation. These  include  site-specific factors
     such as the substrate composition  and  the age and thickness
     of the paint.  The MAP-3, Microlead I,  and XK-3 results
     exhibited similar high levels  of variability.  The Lead
     Analyzer's results were significantly  less variable than the
     other three.  Generally, the instruments'  results showed
     higher variability at 1.0 mg/cm2 lead than at 0.0  mg/cm2.
     The difference in variability  at the two levels was greatest
     for the Lead Analyzer's results and least for the MAP-3's
     results.  Variability of control block quality control test
     results was significantly lower than results for field test
     locations.  Table 2-3 is the companion to Table 2-2 for
     control block test results.  The standard deviation at 0.0
     mg/cm2 was estimated using XRF test  results on the bare
     control blocks.  The standard  deviation at 1.0 mg/cm2  was
     estimated using XRF test results from  control blocks covered
     with the NIST SRM 2579 paint film  that has a lead level of
                                2-7

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     1.02 mg/cm2.  As in Table 2-2, the Lead Analyzer's results
     were less variable  than the results  of the other three
     instruments.  For tests on  control blocks, the Lead
     Analyzer's  results  were more variable at 1.0 mg/cm2 than at
     0.0 mg/cm2.   However, the other three  instruments'  results
     showed similar variability  on the control blocks at the two
     levels, 0.0 and 1.0 mg/cm2.

     2.   Biases of most K-shell instruments were strongly
          substrate dependent.

     Bias of an XRF instrument is defined as the average
     difference between XRF  readings  and  the true lead level in
     the paint.  Table 2-4 shows biases of the K-shell XRF
     instruments on the  field samples. The results of the Lead
     Analyzer exhibited  low  bias on all substrates.  The MAP-3's
     results showed negative bias on  brick, concrete, and
     plaster; positive bias  on metal;  and low bias on wood and
     drywall with the exception  of wood at 1.0 mg/cm2.

Table 2-4.  Bias at 0.0 mg/cmz and 1.0 mg/cm2  Lead for One Nominal 15-Second
          Reading for K-Shell XRF Instruments,  by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
LEAD
ANALYZER
K-SHELL
0.0
mg/em'
0.08
0.02
-0.02
0.06
0.03
0.01
1.0
*g/em'
-0.21
-0.01
0.18
0.02
-0.11
0.28
MAP -3
K-SHELL
0.0
mg/em'
-0.60
-0.66
0.01
0.33
-0.68
-0.05
1.0
mg/cm1
-0.80
-0.45
-0.12
0.42
-0.55
0.36
MICROLEAD I
0.0
mg/cm2
0.10
0.28
(-0.03-0.89)
0.02
(0.00-0.66)
0.35
(-0.42-1.08)
0.01
(-0.09-0.22)
0.00
(0.00-0.60)
1.0
mg/ema
-0.33
0.38
(0.01-1.23)
0.22
(0.16-1.79)
0.45
(-0.17-1.36)
0.06
(-0.32-0.18)
0.43
(0.18-0.90)
XK-3
0.0
mg/cm1
0.86
1.08
(0.66-1.84)
-0.33
(-0.33-0.25)
0.45
(0.26-1.48)
0.54
(0.38-1.68)
-0.07
(-0.07-0.93)
1.0
mg/cm9
0.88
1.75
(0.23-2.57)
-0.09
(-0.09-0.18)
0.86
(0.81-1.69)
0.57
(0.18-1.63)
0.35
(0.31-1.23)
Ranges presented for XRFs demonstrating significant variability between different instruments.
                                2-8

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Table 2-5.  Bias at 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2 Lead for One Nominal 15-Second
          Reading on Control Blocks for K-Shell XRF Instruments,  by
          Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
LEAD ANALYZER
K-SHELL
0.0
ncr/cm
0.05
-0.01
-0.01
-0.01
-0.03
-0.00
1.0
mg/cm2
0.08
0.06
0.06
0.11
0.05
0.04
MAP -3
K-SHELL
0.0
mg/cm2
-1.18
-1.20
-0.10
0.23
-1.38
-0.27
1.0
mg/cm2
-0.05
-0.18
0.04
0.18
-0.64
-0.14
MICROLEAD I
0.0
mg/cm1
0.47
(-0.10-0.51)
0.57
(0.15-1.43)
0.03
(-0.62-0.14)
-0,34
(-0.82-2.25)
0.45
(0.06-1.13)
0.15
(-0.22-1.57)
1.0
mg/cm2
0.45
(-0.31-0.54)
0.70
(0.25-1.59)
0.12
(-0.56-0.18)
-0.35
(-0.84-2.00)
0.40
(0.09-1.02)
0.18
(-0.05-1.47)
XK-3
0.0
mg/cm2
0.97
0.89
0.17
1.10
0.83
0.25
1.0
mg/cm2
1.10
1.00
0.48
1.34
0.83
0.49
Ranges presented for XRFs demonstrating significant variability between different instruments.
     The Microlead I's results were mostly positively biased, but
     with large differences between individual  instruments.   The
     XK-3's results showed large positive biases except on wood
     and drywall, and also exhibited substantial variation
     between individual instruments.  Table  2-5 shows biases for
     the K-shell instruments' results, estimated using control
     block readings.  For the Lead Analyzer,  control block biases
     were very small.  For the MAP-3, the control block result
     biases were generally of the same sign,  positive or
     negative, as the field sample result biases,  but the
     magnitudes were very different.  For the Microlead I,
     sporadic agreement existed between control block and field
     sample result biases.  For example, the control block
     results showed negative bias on metal,  while the field
     sample results showed a positive bias on the same substrate.
     For the XK-3, the control block result  biases usually
     tracked the field sample result biases.
                               2-9

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 3.   With the exception of  the  XL prototype, test results using
     L-shell instruments exhibited large negative biases at the
     1.0 sag/cm2 threshold.   However, test results  using L-shell
     instruments were less  variable than results obtained using
     K-shell instruments.

     Table 2-6 shows estimated  biases  of field sample results
     using L-shell instruments  at 0.0  mg/cm2 and 1.0  mg/cm2.  The
     instruments' results show  little  bias  at  0.0 mg/cm2.
     However, large negative biases, typically between -0.7 and
     -0.9 mg/cm2,  at 1.0  mg/cm2  lead, are shown for all L-shell
     instruments' results except  those obtained using the XL.

     Standard deviations were usually  0.2 mg/cm2 or less for
     field sample test results  at both 0.0  and 1.0 mg/cm2  lead,
     although the MAP-3's L-shell results showed slightly higher
     variability than this  on metal.   Variability of control
     block results was significantly lower  for all L-shell
     instruments compared to K-shell instruments'  results.

Table 2-6.  Bias at 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2 Lead for One Nominal 15-Second
          Reading for L-Shell XRF Instruments, by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
LEAD ANALYZER
L- SHELL
0.0
mg/cm1
0.01
0.01
-0.01
0.01
0.002
-0.02
1.0
ag/cm'
-0.77
-0.84
-0.70
-0.79
-0.80
-0.74
MAP -3
L- SHELL
0.0
mg/cm'
0.01
-0.14
-0.12
0.04
-0.12
-0.08
1.0
mg/cm*
-0.88
-0.94
-0.62
-0.69
-0.96
-0.65
XL
0.0
mg/cm1
0.11
0.07
0.08
0.07
0.08
0.06
1.0
mg/cm2
-0.40
-0.15
-0.63
-0.10
-0.26
-0.30
X-MET 880
0.0
ng/cm*
0.03
0.05
0.04
0.11
0.05
0.04
1.0
mg/cm2
-0.74
-0.89
-0.74
-0.77
-0.88
-0.70
                               2-10

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4.    The XL results showed smaller biases at 1.0 mg/cm2 than
     results of the other L-shell instruments,  but still  showed
     large negative biases at higher lead levels.

     Biases of the XL's results  at 1.0  mg/cm2 lead range  from
     -0.10 to -0.63 mg/cm2.  There was  some variation  in  bias
     between different XL machines on metal  and wood at  1.0
     mg/cm2.   The  instrument's results  showed large negative
     biases at higher lead levels.   For example, it read  1.0
     mg/cm2  or less on  26%- of the samples with  lead levels  of
     10.0 mg/cm2 or greater.  The XL  instruments used  in  this
     study were prototype models.

5.    Substrate correction obtained using readings for NIST SRM
     paint films placed on test  location areas  scraped bare of
     paint reduced bias for results using the Microlead  I and the
     XK-3, and for the MAP-3 K-shell instrument results on metal
     and wood substrates.  The already  low bias of the Lead
     Analyzer's K-shell results  was unchanged.

     Two methods of substrate correction using  NIST SRM paint
     films placed  on the bare substrate were analyzed.  In the
     first method, called "full" correction,  readings were taken
     at each individual test location after  the NIST SRM  paint
     film was placed on the bare area of the substrate.   These
     readings provided an offset value  used  to  correct the paint
     sample readings taken at that location.  The second  method,
     called "average" correction,  used  the average of all
     readings taken after the NIST SRM  paint film was placed  on
     the bare area at test locations of the  same substrate in the
     entire dwelling unit.   These average readings provided an
     offset value  used to correct paint sample  readings taken on
     the same substrate in a dwelling unit.   Full correction  is
     not a practical method, while average correction
     approximates  the method recommended in  the 1990 HUD
     Guidelines.   The two methods were  found to give
     approximately the same results.

6.    With the exception of the XK-3 and the  MAP-3 on some
     substrates, substrate correction using  readings for  NIST SRM
     paint films placed on control blocks of substrate materials
     brought to the site was not effective in reducing biases of
     K-shell readings attributable to substrates.

     A third method of correcting for bias attributable to
     substrates, called "control block" correction, used  the
     average of readings taken on control blocks after the SRM

                              2-11

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     paint film was placed on the control block.   These average
     readings provided an offset value used to correct paint
     sample readings taken on the same substrate.   Control block
     correction was not a generally effective technique to detect
     location-dependent substrate characteristics  which cause the
     results to show bias.  An exception was the XK-3 instrument.
     This instrument's results typically exhibited positive bias
     which was reduced significantly by control block correction.
     For the MAP-3,  control block correction was somewhat
     effective in reducing bias for plaster,  concrete, and metal.
     For the Microlead I,  control block correction actually
     increased bias for metal and plaster.

7.   No method of substrate correction reduced the bias of
     L-shell readings.

     Neither the use of control blocks nor readings taken after
     placing NIST SRM paint films on scraped substrates was
     effective in reducing the biases in L-shell readings.  This
     is because L-shell result bias is caused by difficulty in
     detecting lead in deeper layers of paint, which was not
     simulated by usage of the NIST SRM paint films.

8.   Despite the generally high variability and bias of their
     results,  K-shell XRF instruments reliably classified the
     paint samples in this study using the federal threshold of
     1.0 mg/cm2, with laboratory confirmation of XRF readings
     between 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2  and correction of  biases
     attributable to substrates as needed.

     Classify a paint sample as positive if the first 15-second
     (nominal)  K-shell XRF reading  (substrate corrected as
     appropriate)  taken on paint is 1.6 mg/cm2 or  greater,  as
     negative if the reading is 0.4 mg/cm2  or less;  otherwise the
     paint sample is classified as inconclusive.   Inconclusive
     readings are to be resolved by laboratory analysis.   Using
     the ICP spectroscopic analysis of the paint  sample to
     determine whether the lead level was actually greater than
     or equal to 1.0 mg/cm2,  the overall  false positive,  false
     negative and inconclusive rates for the K-shell XRF
     instruments are shown in Table 2-7.   With the exception of
     the XK-3 false positive rate, all error rates were below
     10%,  The false positive rate for the XK-3 was dramatically
     reduced by either method of substrate correction.  For each
     substrate type, most error rates were still below 10%.  The
     exceptions were MAP-3 false negative rates on concrete and
     plaster,  the Microlead I false positive rate  on wood, and

                               2-12

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Table 2-7.  False Positive,  False Negative and Inconclusive Percentages for
          K-Shell XRF Instruments, Based on One Nominal 15-Second Reading
          With an INCONCLUSIVE RANGE OF 0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2 (1.0 mg/cm2
          Threshold).
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer K- shell
MAP-3 K-shell
Microlead I
XK-3
XK-3 (Average Corrected)
XK-3 (Control Block Corrected)
FALSE POSITIVE
PERCENTAGE
0.5%
2.3%
7.5%
22%
2.3%
3.5%
FALSE NEGATIVE
PERCENTAGE
1.4%
3.7%
1.1%
1.1%
4.2%
4.0%
INCONCLUSIVE
PERCENTAGE
18%
23%
30%
35%
25%
25%
     the XK-3 false negative rate  on metal.   It is important to
     remember that these classification results apply strictly
     only to the set of samples  and instruments in this study.
     Classification results for  a  different set of samples or
     instruments could be different.

9.   When the laboratory confirmation range was narrowed to 0.7
     to 1.3 mg/cm2,  thereby substantially  reducing the
     inconclusive percentages, the K-shell instruments continued
     to reliably classify paint  samples in this study.

     Table 2-8 shows similar data  to Table 2-7 with the narrower
     inconclusive range.  Results  of the Microlead I and the XK-3
     both needed substrate correction to achieve satisfactory
     false positive rates.  For  each substrate type, error rates
     were generally below 10%.   The exceptions were MAP-3 false
     negative rates on concrete  and plaster, the Microlead I
     false negative rate on concrete, XK-3 false negative rates
     on metal and plaster, and the XK-3 false positive rate on
     concrete.  Inconclusive percentages are reduced by at least
     50% for all XRF instruments compared to the inconclusive
     percentages when classifying  paint samples using the 0.4  -
     1.6 mg/cm2 inconclusive range.
                               2-13

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Table 2-8.  False Positive,  False Negative and Inconclusive Percentages for
          K-Shell XRF Instruments, Based on One Nominal 15-Second Reading
          With an INCONCLUSIVE RANGE OF 0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2 (1.0 mg/cm2
          Threshold).
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer K- shell
MAP- 3 K- shell
Microlead I
Microlead I (Average Corrected)
XK-3
XK-3 (Average Corrected)
XK-3 (Control Block Corrected)
FALSE POSITIVE
PERCENTAGE
1.2%
4.1%
12%
4.9%
30%
5.5%
6.5%
FALSE NEGATIVE
PERCENTAGE
2.7%
4.6%
2.1%
5.3%
1.7%
6.6%
6.8%
INCONCLUSIVE
PERCENTAGE
6.0%
11%
15%
12%
17%
12%
12%
10.  Without a laboratory confirmation range,  the K-shell
     instruments' performance differed when classifying paint
     samples in this study using  the federal threshold of 1.0
     mg/cm3.

     Based on readings obtained using the K-shell instruments,
     paint samples were classified as positive if the XRF reading
     was 1.0 mg/cm2 or higher and negative  otherwise.   There was
     no inconclusive range.  False positive and false negative
     rates for the K-shell instruments' results are shown in
     Table 2-9.  As expected, these rates are higher than when
     inconclusive ranges were used,  but still no greater than 11%
     overall when substrate  correction methods are employed as
     needed.  False positive and  false negative rates for
     readings on particular  substrates were substantially higher
     than the overall rates  as exemplified by the following
     ranges.  For all of the K-shell instruments, the lowest
     false positive or false negative rate on a particular
     substrate was less than 2.0%.  However, on the high end, the
     Lead Analyzer's false negative rate on concrete was 11%, the
     MAP-3's false negative  rate  on concrete was 24%, the
     Microlead I's false positive rate on wood was 26%, and the
     XK-3's false positive rate on concrete was 66%.
                               2-14

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Table 2-9.   False Positive and False Negative Percentages for K-Shell XRF
           Instruments, Based on One Nominal 15-Second Reading With NO
           INCONCLUSIVE RANGE (1.0 mg/cm2 Threshold).
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer K- shell
MAP-3 K-shell
Microlead I
Microlead I (Average Corrected)
XK-3
XK-3 (Average Corrected)
XK-3 (Control Block Corrected)
FALSE POSITIVE
PERCENTAGE
3.1%
8.0%
20%
9%
40%
11%
11%
FALSE NEGATIVE
PERCENTAGE
5.9%
8.3%
3.8%
9%
3.6%
10%
11%
11.  With  the exception of  the XL, L-shell instruments performed
     poorly when classifying paint using the 1.0 mg/cm2
     threshold,  because of  a high rate of false negative  results.

     Table 2-10  shows false positive/ false negative and
     inconclusive percentages for tests  using L-shell instruments
     and an inconclusive  range of 0.4 to 1.6 mg/cm2.   With the
     exception of the XL, the false negative rates for the
     L-shell  instruments' results were very high, due to  the
     large negative biases  shown in the  results using these
     instruments.  False  positive rates  were very low for all
     L-shell  instruments' results.

Table 2-10.  False Positive,  False Negative and Inconclusive Percentages for
           L-Shell XRF Instruments, Based on One Nominal  15-Second Reading
           with an INCONCLUSIVE RANGE OF 0.4 -  1.6 mg/cm2 (1.0 mg/cm2
           Threshold).
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer L-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
XL
X-MET 880
FALSE POSITIVE
PERCENTAGE
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
FALSE NEGATIVE
PERCENTAGE
66%
37%
11%
66%
INCONCLUSIVE
PERCENTAGE
6%
12%
15%
7%
                                 2-15

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12.  Although the XL prototype had a lower rate of false negative
     results than the other L-shell instruments, it still
     exhibited false negative results at very high lead levels.

     As shown in Table 2-10,  the XL had a false negative rate of
     approximately 11% and a false positive rate of 0.1% using an
     inconclusive range of 0.4 to 1.6 mg/cm2.   However,  of  the  38
     instances where the ICP measurement exceeded 10 mg/cm2,  2  of
     the XL readings were below 0.4 mg/cm2  and  one  was  equal  to
     0.4 mg/cm2.   In  all  3 cases,  a paint sample with an ICP
     result .above 10 mg/cm2 was  classified  as negative  for  lead-
     based paint.  With a narrower inconclusive range of 0.7 to
     1.3 mg/cm2,  the  XL had an overall  false negative rate  of
     24.1% and a 0.2% false  positive rate.   Classifying the XL
     results without an inconclusive range  yielded a 41.8% false
     negative rate and a 0.5% false positive rate.

13.   Generally,  a single XRF reading at one point of an
     architectural component provided almost as much accuracy as
     an average of three XRF readings at the same point.

     When paint samples were classified as  positive for XRF
     results 1.6 mg/cm2 or greater, negative for XRF results  0.4
     mg/cm2  or less,  or inconclusive, otherwise,  and the results
     were compared to the lead level obtained from the ICP
     spectroscopic analysis  of the paint sample, there was very
     little difference in the false positive and false negative
     rates for the average of three 15-second readings versus a
     single 15-second reading.   The small improvement in
     classification accuracy did not justify the additional time
     and expense of taking three readings at the same point.
     This remained true when substrate correction and different
     inconclusive ranges were employed.

     A similar conclusion was reached when the precision of the
     average of three 15-second readings,  as measured by its
     standard deviation,  was compared to that of a single
     reading.   If the three  readings were statistically
     independent, one would  expect the standard deviation of the
     average to be 58% of the standard deviation of a single
     reading.   However,  it was found that the standard deviation
     of the average was much greater than this.  For L-shell
     instruments, the standard deviation of the average was
     typically at least 95%  of the standard deviation of a single
     reading.   For K-shell instruments, the standard deviation of
     the average was typically between 76%  and 93% of the
     standard deviation of a single reading.

                              2-16

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     There are two reasons  why taking  the  average  of three
     readings did not  produce  the  expected gains in precision.
     First,  with the exception of  the  MAP-3 K-shell instrument's
     readings,  successive readings at  the  same  point were
     positively correlated.  Thus,  the reduction in variability
     from averaging repeat  readings was less than  would be
     achieved if successive readings had been statistically
     independent.   The second  reason why the average produced a
     smaller reduction in variability  than expected is  that
     repeated readings reduced only the component  of variability
     due solely to the performance of  the  instrument.   The study
     data clearly demonstrated that there  were  additional  sources
     of variability that were  generally at least as large  as the
     component due to  the performance  of the XRF instrument.
     Taking repeated readings  does not reduce the  variability due
     to these other sources.   The  additional variability was due
     to location-specific factors,  such as paint and substrate
     composition.
     2.3.3      Chemical  Test  Kits

1.    None of the test  kits  used in this study demonstrated low
     rates  of both false positive  and false negative results when
     compared to laboratory analytical results using the federal
     thresholds,  1.0 mg/cm2 and 0.5%.

     Table  2-11 shows  overall false positive and false negative
     rates  for the test  kits  compared to laboratory analytical
     results using the 1.0  mg/cm2 threshold.  Table  2-12 shows
     the corresponding rates  for the 0.5% threshold.  Rates for
     the Lead Alert kits exclude results of tests on painted
     plaster substrates  since the  manufacturer does not recommend
     use of these kits on plaster.   For the 1.0 mg/cm2  threshold,
     State  Sodium Sulfide and LeadCheck had low false negative
     rates, but high false  positive rates.   Lead Alert:  Sanding
     had a  low false positive rate,  but a high false negative
     rate.   The other  three kits tested,  Lead Zone,  Lead
     Detective, and Lead Alert:  Coring,  had moderate to high
     rates  of both false positive  and false negative results.
     For the 0.5% threshold,  State Sodium Sulfide had a low false
     negative rate and Lead Alert:   Sanding had a low false
     positive rate. False  negative rates for LeadCheck and false
     positive rates for  Lead  Alert:   Coring were slightly above
     10%.  Lead Zone and Lead Detective had high rates of both
     false  positive and  false negative results.  As was pointed
                              2-17

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Table 2-11. Overall False Positive and False Negative Rates for Test Kits
          Compared to Laboratory Analytical Results Using the 1.0 mg/cm2
          Threshold.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert: Coring
Lead Alert: Sanding
Lead Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium Sulfide
FALSE POSITIVE
PERCENTAGE
46%
15%
9%
36%
28%
65%
FALSE NEGATIVE
PERCENTAGE
6%
24%
53%
23%
14%
1%
Table 2-12. Overall False Positive and False Negative Rates for Test Kits
          Compared to Laboratory Analytical Results Using the 0.5%
          Threshold.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert: Coring
Lead Alert: Sanding
Lead Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium Sulfide
FALSE POSITIVE
PERCENTAGE
42%
11%
10%
32%
25%
62%
FALSE NEGATIVE
PERCENTAGE
11%
36%
67%
27%
25%
6%
     out for XRFs,  it  is important to remember that these
     classification results apply strictly only to the set of
     samples and  kits  in this study.  Classification results for
     a different  set of samples or kits could be different.

2.    The substrate  underlying the paint sometimes affected false
     positive and false negative rates for test kits.

     LeadCheck:   For both federal thresholds,  the false positive
     rate on drywall was considerably lower than on the other
     five substrates.   False negative rates in mg/cm2 on concrete
     and plaster  were  higher than on the  other substrates.  For
     percent by weight,  false negative rates were higher on
     concrete, drywall,  metal, and plaster than on brick and
     wood.  Some  of these differences in  false negative rates may
     be caused by sulfates found in plaster dust, gypsum and
                                2-18

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stucco.  The kit includes a confirmation procedure to guard
against false negative results caused by sulfates.

Lead Alert:  Coring:  The manufacturer states that this kit
is prone to negative interferences from gypsum and plaster
dust.   High false negative rates were observed on plaster
and drywall for percent lead by weight measurements and on
plaster for rag/cm2  measurements.   However,  the sample  size
for drywall was very small.   False negative rates on brick
were much lower than on the other substrates for both types
of measurements.  For mg/cm2 measurements,  false  positive
rates were lowest on plaster and drywall substrates, and
highest on brick.  For percent lead by weight measurements,
false positive rates were lowest on drywall, plaster,  and
wood substrates, and highest on brick.

Lead Alert:  Sanding:  This kit had a very similar pattern
to Lead Alert: Coring with high false negative rates on
plaster and drywall, and the highest false positive rate on
brick.

Lead Detective:  The manufacturer does not recommend use on
metal,  but does recommend application on wood, drywall, and
plaster.  False positive rates were consistent for both
types of measurements on all substrates except brick,  which
had a higher false positive rate.  False negative rates were
lowest on wood and highest on brick and concrete substrates.
(Results were observed showing that drywall had the highest
false negative rate for percent lead by weight units,  but
the sample size was very small.)  Thus, this kit did not
perform much better on wood, plaster, and drywall than on
metal so that the manufacturer's recommendations were not
borne out by the study data.

Lead Zone:  The manufacturer's instructions only mention
testing on wood and metal.  False positive rates were the
same on all substrates for both types of measurements.
False negative rates were lower on brick, wood, and
concrete, and higher on the other substrates.  The false
negative rate on metal was the highest of all substrates
using percent lead by weight measurements.  The
manufacturer's instructions do not include mention of using
this kit on substrates where it performed similarly to its
performance on wood, but do mention its use on metal,  where
its false negative rate was substantially larger than its
false negative rate on wood.
                          2-19

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     State Sodium Sulfide:  The instructions contain a caution
     not to test directly on metal.  For metal substrates,  a
     paint chip can be removed and tested separate from the
     substrate.  This kit had very high false positive rates  for
     both types of measurements on all substrates except drywall.
     False negative rates were low on all substrates for mg/cm2
     measurements.  For percent lead by weight measurements,  this
     kit had higher false negative rates on metal, plaster, and
     drywall than on the other substrates.

3.   The probability of a positive classification when the
     sample's lead level was equal to the federal thresholds
     varied depending on the kit and substrate.  High levels  of
     lead would not always be detected using test kits alone.

     Table 2-13 shows the probability of a positive result  using
     a test kit on paint with a lead level equal to the 1.0
     mg/cm2  federal  threshold,  as  estimated from the statistical
     model developed in this study.  Table 2-14 is the companion
     table for the other federal threshold of 0.5% by weight.
     Considerable variation among results for each kit and  each
     substrate is seen in the tables.

     High levels of lead were not always detected with complete
     certainty using test kits.  The statistical model estimated
     the limiting probability of a positive test kit result at
     high levels of lead using the laboratory ICP spectroscopic
     results reported in mg/cm2 units.   In a number of cases,  the
     limiting probability was much lower than the desired value
     of 100%.   This occurred for four of the six kits:  Lead
     Alert:   Coring on metal; Lead Alert:  Sanding on concrete,
     metal,  and wood; Lead Detective on concrete, metal, and
     plaster;  and Lead Zone on plaster.

Table 2-13. Probability of a Positive Test Kit Result at 1.0 mg/cm2 Lead.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert: Coring
Lead Alert: Sanding
Lead Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium Sulfide
Brick
0.95
0.93
N/A
0.81
0.82
0.99
Concrete
0.69
0.27
0.50
0.58
0.27
0.95
Drywall
0.49
N/A
N/A
0.34
0.64
0.68
Metal
0.93
0.66
0.39
0.74
0.59
0.94
Plaster
0.69
N/A
N/A
0.51
0.55
0.95
Wood
0.91
0.57
0.02
0.78
0.80
0.95
                               2-20

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Table 2-14. Probability of a Positive Test Kit Result at 0.5% Lead.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert: Coring
Lead Alert : Sanding
Lead Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium Sulf ide
Brick
0.95
0.73
N/A
0.80
0.81
0.998
Concrete
0.68
0.23
0.13
0.55
0.51
0.93
Drywall
0.48
N/A
N/A
0.31
0.55
0.59
Metal
0.62
0.26
0.05
0.43
0.19
0.83
Plaster
0.68
N/A
N/A
0.46
0.53
0.91
Wood
0.83
0.28
0.03
0.58
0.62
0.87
4.    The lead level at which there was a 50% chance of the
     occurrence of a positive test kit result varied depending on
     the kit and substrate.   In many cases,  positive results
     occurred even when paint with very low lead levels was
     tested.

     Table 2-15 shows the lead level in mg/cm2  at  which each kit
     had an estimated 50% probability of a positive result, by
     substrate.  Table 2-16  is the companion table in percent
     lead by weight measurements.   There was significant
     variation in 50% probability levels for different kits used
     on the same substrate.   There was also significant variation
     in the 50% probability  levels for the same kit used on
     different substrates.   One exception, the State Sodium
     Sulfide kit,  reached a  50% probability of a positive result
     at low lead levels on all substrates for both types of
     measurements.

     The statistical model used to analyze the test kit data also
     provided estimates of the limiting probability of a positive
     result as the lead level in the paint sample approached zero
     using the laboratory ICP spectroscopic results reported in
     mg/cm2  units.   It  is desirable  that  this limiting
     probability be zero;  otherwise, the kit will produce some
     positive results even for paint samples with very low lead
     levels.  However,  every kit exhibited a non-zero limiting
     probability of a positive result on at least one substrate.
     This occurred on metal  substrates for all six kits.  With
     the sodium sulfide kits, Lead Detective and State Sodium
     Sulfide,  most substrates had a non-zero limiting probability
     of a positive result.   For the other 4 test kits, limiting
     probabilities of a positive result equaled or exceeded 20%
     for LeadCheck on metal  and plaster,  Lead Alert:  Coring on
     brick,  and Lead Zone on concrete.  For LeadCheck, Lead
                              2-21

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 Table 2-15,  Lead Level in mg/cm2 at Which There is a 50% Probability of a
           Positive Test Kit Result.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert: Coring
Lead Alert: Sanding
Lead Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium Sulfide
Brick
0.02
0.33
N/A
0.05
0.08
0.01
Concrete
0.19
1.84
N/A
0.60
1.38
0.01
Drywall
1.14
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.31
0.08
Metal
0.34
0.65
N/A
0.55
0.82
0.08
Plaster
0.13
N/A
N/A
0.98
0.71
0.02
Wood
0.03
0.77
1.24
0.20
0.15
0.04
Table 2-16. Lead Level in Percent Lead by Weight at Which There is a 50%
          Probability of a Positive Test Kit Result.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert: Coring
Lead Alert: Sanding
Lead Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium Sulfide
Brick
0.02
0.13
N/A
0.01
0.07
0.01
Concrete
0.16
1.14
0.88
0.33
0.49
0.01
Drywall
0.56
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.35
0.13
Metal
0.32
1.09
N/A
0.63
1.03
0.08
Plaster
0.14
N/A
N/A
0.58
0.44
0.02
Wood
0.07
0.97
1.68
0.36
0.26
0.09
     Detective and State Sodium  Sulfide/  limiting probabilities
     for the wood substrate were positive.
     2.3.4

1.   Lead levels in paint showed significant variation within
     individual architectural  components such as doors, walls,
     and baseboards.

     Duplicate paint samples were taken approximately 9 inches
     apart on the same component at 10% of the test locations in
     the full study in Denver  and Philadelphia.  Duplicate paint
     samples taken from the same component were called duplicate
     pairs.  The estimated median ratio of the larger to the
     smaller ICP spectroscopic result,  measured in mg/cm2,  for
     duplicate pairs was 1.6 in Denver and 1.3 in Philadelphia.
     The corresponding median  ratios for percent lead by weight
     units were 1.5 and 1.2.   The estimated 95th percentile for
                               2-22

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     the ratio in mg/cm2 was 3.7 in Denver and 2.1 in
     Philadelphia.   The corresponding 95th percentile ratios for
     percent lead by weight units  were 3.1 and 1.9.   There was
     slightly greater variability  in  lead levels within
     architectural components  when measured  in mg/cm2 than  in
     percent lead by weight.   The  extent  to  which greater
     variability would be  observed between samples taken farther
     apart than 9 inches is not addressed by the study data.

     Variability in duplicate  samples could  result in different
     classification of paint depending on which member of the
     pair was compared to  the  federal threshold.   If the lead
     level of a paint sample was equal to or greater than the
     federal threshold,  it was classified as positive for lead-
     based paint.   Likewise, if the sample was less than the
     federal threshold,  then it was classified as negative.  Of
     128 total duplicate pairs in  the study, 10 (8%)  had
     different classifications, one sample positive and the other
     negative for lead,  compared to the 1.0  mg/cm2 threshold,
     while 8 (6%)  had different classifications compared to the
     0.5% threshold.

     Spatial variation in  lead levels within single architectural
     components complicated the statistical  analysis of XRF and
     test kit performance  data in  the study.  Complex statistical
     models were needed to account for the impact of spatial
     variation on estimates of XRF measurement bias and standard
     deviation.   Spatial variation had a smaller impact on the
     test kit data analysis.

2.    Variation between members of  laboratory duplicate subsample
     pairs was much smaller than variation between members of
     duplicate samples obtained in the field.

     Laboratory analytical measurement error for ICP
     spectroscopic analysis of 2 x 2  inch paint chip samples,
     including homogenization, subsampling and instrumental
     error, can be quantified  using the ratio of the larger to
     the smaller ICP measurement for  a pair  of subsamples of the
     same sample.   The estimated median for  this error ratio was
     1.13 for samples taken from smooth substrates with no
     unusual difficulty in paint removal.  The estimated 95th
     percentile for the error  ratio was 1.4.  These ratios apply
     to laboratory results reported in both  in mg/cm2 and percent
     lead by weight units.
                              2-23

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Laboratory measurement error was approximately constant
across metal, wood, plaster, and drywall substrates, across
cities, and across samples within a substrate or within a
city.  For samples taken on rough substrates such as brick
or concrete, total laboratory analytical measurement error
was higher:  the estimated median ratio was 1.2 and the
estimated 95th percentile ratio was 1.8.

Only two laboratory duplicate pairs out of a total of 171
(1%) had different classifications, one of the pair positive
and one negative, with respect to the 1.0 mg/cm2  threshold.
For the 0.5% threshold,  three subsample pairs out of 171
(2%) had different classifications.
                          2-24

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           Chapter 3 Summary:  Design Elaboration
GENERAL DESIGN ELEMENTS
•  Testing Sites:  Four multifamily units in Louisville, ten
   single family units in Denver, & eight mult if ami ly units
   in Philadelphia
•  Number  of  Test Locations:  100  in  Louisville,  750 in
   Denver, & 440 in Philadelphia.
•  Range  of  Substrate  Types:  brick,  concrete,  plaster,
   drywall, metal, & wood.
•  Blind  Testing:  Testers  were blind to  previous test
   results.

SPECIFIC DESIGN ELEMENTS - COLLECTION OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES
•  Areas Collected:  samples were approximately 25 cm2 each.
•  All  Paint  Layers  Collected:  collection of  all paint
   layers  was  the  1st  priority,     avoiding  substrate
   inclusion was a 2nd priority.
•  Field  Duplicates  Collected:  collected  in Denver and
   Philadelphia at a rate of 10%
•  Uniform Collection Protocols: included specific step-by-
   step instructions.

SPECIFIC DESIGN ELEMENTS - LABORATORY ANALYSIS OF PAINT
CHIP SAMPLES
•  Inductive coupled  plasma  atomic emission spectrometry
   (ICP) Detection: lead measurements  on prepared  samples
   were performed using ICP
•  Validated  Sample  Preparation  Procedure: a  hot plate
   digestion procedure was investigated for lead recoveries
   prior to use for processing field paint-chip samples.
•  Sample Homogenization:  all samples homogenized prior to
   preparation.
•  Preparation Sample Size:  sample size of  a nominal 0.5
   grams for adequate recovery.
•  Reporting  of  Lead  Results  in  both   Mass/Area  and
   Mass/Mass: mg/cm2  and mg/g.
•  Blind  Samples:   included  in  each  batch  of  field
   paint-chip samples.
•  Laboratory Duplicates Processed: included in each batch
   of field paint-chip samples.
•  Method Blanks Processed: included in each batch of field
   paint-chip samples.

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                                             (continued)

SPECIFIC DESIGN ELEMENTS - TEST KIT MEASUREMENTS
•  Wide Range of Test Kits: Six test kits included.
•  Professional  State  of Massachusetts  Test kit tester:
   included  as  one  of  the  six  kits,  applied  by  a
   professional tester.
•  Simulated Homeowners: simulated homeowners were used to
   perform measurements  for five kits marketed for home
   owner use.
•  Training: simulated homeowners received some limited in-
   field training on test kit handling.
•  Adherence  to  Manufacturer  Instructions:   protocols
   followed by simulated homeowners were done in accordance
   to  the  manufacturers  instructions  with  only  minor
   exceptions.

SPECIFIC DESIGN ELEMENTS - XRF INSTRUMENT MEASUREMENTS
•  Range  of  XRF  Instruments:  Six  XRF  instruments were
   included.
•  Independent XRF operators: XRF instruments were operated
   by testing contractors.
•  Specified Testing Order and Testing Protocols: testing
   was performed using a specific substrate  testing order
   with detailed testing protocols.
•  Common Reading Times:  standard testing performed  at all
   locations used a  common nominal reading  time for all
   instruments.
•  Alternative  Reading  Times:  additional  testing  was
   performed at some locations using longer  reading times
   for one instrument.
•  Field QC Measurements:  a number of  specific field QC
   measurements were included.
•  Bare Substrate Measurements: measurements  were taken on
   both scraped substrates and scraped substrates covered
   by NIST standard reference material paint films.

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3    DESIGN ELABORATION

     This section describes the design elements that were
incorporated into the testing tasks to aid in achieving the study
objectives:

  •  to characterize the precision and accuracy of portable XRF
     instruments under field conditions
  •  to evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from the material (the substrate)  underlying the paint
  •  to characterize the relationship between test kit results
     and the actual lead level in the paint
  •  to investigate XRF measurements that were very different
     than their corresponding laboratory results.
  •  to evaluate field quality assurance and control methods
  •  to investigate the variability of lead levels in the paint
     within the study sampling locations

     The study design elements, discussed below, include both
general design elements common to all testing tasks and specific
testing design elements.

     3.1   GENERAL DESIGN ELEMENTS

     General design elements incorporated into the study included
use of variable sampling sites, a large number of sampling
locations at each site, inclusion of specific substrate types,
use of a standardized marking template, targeted locations near
the 1.0 mg/cm2  lead level,  a controlled sample identification
transfer system, and testing in a blind manner.  Each of these
general design elements is discussed in this section.  Specific
design elements is discussed later in sections 3.2 through 3.5.

     3.1.1 Site Selection

     A total of three different cities were included in the
study.  The pilot study was conducted in four multifamily housing
units, two units each inside two buildings at one development in
Louisville, Kentucky.  The full study was conducted using ten
single family homes in Denver, Colorado and eight multifamily
housing units inside two buildings at one development in
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  A summary of the units by age
included in the study is presented in Table 3-1.  For the pilot
study, each set of two units within a building were assigned a
single dwelling number for testing as shown in Table 3-1.  For
the full study, each unit was assigned a separate dwelling number
for testing.

                               3-1

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 Table  3-1. A Summary of Units Selected for the Study.
CITY

Louisville




Denver








Philadelphia




DWELLING No.
1
2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
YEAR BUILT
1937
1937
1943
1948
1952
1905
1949
1948
1952
1890
1949
1947
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
     Primary considerations for selection of housing units were
to use units with a wide distribution of  surface types having
variable painting histories and to select units that were likely
to represent those that are currently being routinely tested for
LBP.  Therefore,  both multifamily housing and scattered site
housing units were included in the study  to generate results that
represent both these types of housing.

     Selection of the study sites was performed through
cooperation of the Housing Authority in each city.   The following
criteria were used to select the units for the study:

1.   Units had to be available and vacant March through October
     1993.
2.   All units had to be constructed prior to 1970.
3.   Overall,  all six substrate targeted  types had to be
     represented.  Substrate types are discussed in section
     3.1.3.
4.   Laboratory or XRF testing data had to be available.  These
     data were needed to help select painted components in the
     0.5 to 1.5 mg/cm2  range for  testing  whenever possible.
     Selection of painted components in this range would provide
                               3-2

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     lead testing results close to the current 1.0 mg/cm2 HUD
     action level.
5.   Overall, the units had to be free from obvious sources of
     bias and represent a variety of paint types,  architectural
     designs, and lead levels in paint.
6.   Housing Authorities had to be willing to accept the damage
     associated with testing, including the removal of selected
     pieces of substrate when possible for archive purposes,
     provided that repairs were made prior to leaving the site.
7.   The neighborhoods in which the units were located had to be
     sufficiently safe to permit uninterrupted testing.
8.   Availability of good lighting and electricity was desirable
     but not mandatory.

     The final set of units included in the study were selected
following site inspections by study team members.   Large
variability in paint colors and collected paint chip sample
masses were observed across the three cities.  Total paint chip
sample mass ranges for approximately 25 cm2 areas  collected in
the full study were wide: 0.0454 grams to 25.1782 grams for
Denver and 0.1362 grams to 11.1902 grams in Philadelphia.   This
suggests that selected sampling locations had wide variability in
painting histories, as desired for the full study.  The mean
value of the total paint chip sample mass for the samples
collected in Philadelphia (3.1586 grams) was higher than those
collected in Denver (2.4306 grams).  This suggests that thicker
paints were present in the multifamily housing units sampled in
Philadelphia than in the single family housing units sampled in
Denver.  However, the sample mass for samples collected in
Louisville were less variable, ranging from 0.3116 grams to
4.3604 grams with a mean of 1.7417 grams.

     3.1.2 Location Selection

     A sampling location was a test area on a painted building
component where lead measurements were taken using each of the
testing methodologies included in the study.  Examples of
building components included walls, baseboards, doors, and window
frames.

     For the pilot study in Louisville,  a total of 25 sampling
locations per housing unit were targeted for testing for a total
of 100 locations.

     For the full study, a total of 75 sampling locations per
house in Denver and 55 sampling locations per housing unit in
Philadelphia were targeted for testing for a total of 1,190

                               3-3

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 locations.

      Selection of  sampling locations was performed while
 simultaneously adhering to the following five constraints:

 1.    Meet the  targeted number of total sampling locations as
      described above.
 2.    Meet targeted number of sampling locations on different
      substrate types as described in section 3.1.3.
 3.    Select as many sampling locations as possible with lead
      levels close  to 1.0 mg/cm2 as  was  described in section
      3.1.1.
 4.    Select surfaces that were capable of being testing using a
      portable  XRF.  The surface could not be ornately curved and
      must be able  to accept the face-plate geometry of each XRF
      evaluated in  the study.
 5.    Selected  surfaces could not be ceilings.  This constraint
      was  used  to avoid potential safety hazards resulting from
      attempting to use test kit chemicals in over-head positions.

      The  actual number of sampling locations for each substrate
 type  are  discussed further in the following section.  Lead levels
 from  laboratory analysis are discussed in chapter 4.

      3.1.3 Substrate Selection

      A key general design element for the study was to include
 painted substrates that were commonly found in residential
 housing.  A total of six commonly encountered substrates were
 targeted  for inclusion: brick, concrete, metal, drywall, plaster,
 and wood.   This design element was included to provide
 information on the possible influence of substrates on XRF and
 test  kit  results.

     During the pilot study in Louisville, attempts were made to
 distribute the total number of sampling locations equally among
 the targeted substrates.   However,  success was limited by lack of
 painted brick and drywall present at this site.

     Prior to the full study in Denver and Philadelphia, attempts
 were made to identify 200 sampling locations for each targeted
 substrate.  However,  site inspections made by the study team
 indicated that painted brick was relatively uncommon and that
 only about half the targeted number of sampling locations for
 this substrate were likely to be obtained.  Because of the
presence of a wide variety of painted wood building components in
 selected units, additional painted wood sampling locations were

                               3-4

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selected in place of painted brick sampling locations that could
not be found.  The estimated number of sample locations targeted
for the full study,  based on the pre-sampling site inspections,
and for the pilot is presented in Table 3-2 along with the actual
number of sample locations achieved.

     3.1.4 Logistical Considerations

     The study required the performance of three major testing
tasks: (1)  XRF measurements,  (2)  test kit applications,  and (3)
paint chip collection for laboratory testing.  Of the three major
testing tasks,  only the XRF measurements are non-destructive.
The other two testing tasks are destructive.  The best approach
to performing these tasks in the field, with respect to testing
of the exact same areas,  would be to perform the tasks in the
following order:

1.   Perform XRF measurements on the painted surface.
2.   Perform test kit applications on the painted surface.
3.   Collect a paint chip from painted surface for later
     laboratory analysis.
4.   Remove remaining paint from surface.
5.   Perform XRF measurements on scraped surface. (This is a
     design element for XRF measurements described in section
     3.5.2.8.)

     However, testing on the exact same area in the above order
could not be performed because of the following four major
reasons:

1.   Destructive testing by the test kit applications would
     interfere with collection of the paint chip for laboratory
     analysis.
2.   Destructive testing by the test kit applications would
     interfere with XRF measurements on the scraped surface.
3.   Large amounts of time would elapse between the XRF
     measurements on the paint surface and XRF measurements on
     the bare substrate.   This would be undesirable because of
     the potential for instrumental drift.  If the elapsed time
     between the XRF measurements on paint and bare substrates
     were minimized by requiring the testing personnel to perform
     their tasks sequentially, one location at a time, a large
     amount of idle time would be introduced causing large
     increases in required field testing time and a large impact
     on project costs.
                               3-5

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 Table 3-2.  Number of Sampling Locations by Substrate.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Total
Denver*
80 / 81
170 / 98
170 / 105
60 / 62
100 / 101
170 / 303
750 / 750
Philadelphia*
8/12
48 / 120
8/8
128 / 127
120 / 121
128 / 52
440 / 440
Louisville*
0/0
20/8
20 / 11
20 / 28
20 / 20
20 / 33
100 / 100
Total*
88 / 93
238 / 226
198 / 124
208 / 217
240 / 242
318 / 388
1290 / 1290
* target number / actual number
 4.   Holding multiple test personnel at or near the location to
     perform all the testing tasks would increase the risk of
     passage of previous results to later testers. In addition,
     an increased risk of inadvertent exposure of testers to XRF
     radiation and problems caused by excessive traffic flow
     would also exist.

     To maintain adequate supervision, project performance
 control, and expenditure control, the design of the study needed
 to be such that a group of test personnel performing the same
 types of tests could be cycled through a given housing unit in a
 given time period.  Therefore, the design of the study included
 testing at each sampling location in different areas that were
 identified through the use of the standardized location marking
 template.   This template specified area blocks for performing
 different tests as discussed later in section 3.1.5.  Using this
 template,  the order of testing for each unit included in the
 pilot study was as follows:

 1.   Collect all paint samples for laboratory analysis and remove
     remaining paint from the surface as specified by the
     template for later XRF bare substrate measurements;
 2.   Perform all test kit applications;
 3.   Perform XRF measurements on the painted surface; and
 4.   Perform XRF measurements on the scraped surface.

     The order of testing for each unit was changed from the
pilot to the full study.  The change made was to perform the test
kit applications before the paint chip collection.  This was done
to force the testers to make a decision as to when they had
reached the last layer of paint without the visual aid provided
                               3-6

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by the bare substrate area generated during paint chip
collection.  The order of testing for each unit included in the
full study was as follows:
1.   Perform all test kit applications;
2.   Collect all paint samples for laboratory analysis and remove
     remaining paint from surface for later XRF bare substrate
     measurements;
3.   Perform XRF measurements on the painted surface; and
4.   Perform XRF measurements on the scraped surface.

     3.1.5 Standardized Location Marking Template

     A standardized format,  referred to as a template, was used
to mark each sampling location for XRF readings, test kit
applications,  and paint chip collection.  The template, shown in
Figure 3-1, includes separate blocks to identify areas where the
two different types of measurements were to be taken and the
paint chip samples were to be removed for laboratory analysis.
Use of this template enhanced the comparability of lead results
by providing a mechanism to take lead measurements in a uniform
manner at different locations.

     As shown in Figure 3-1, the template was changed from the
pilot to the full study.  The changes made in the template were a
result of increased awareness of spatial variations  in lead
concentrations from data provided by EPA/ORD.  Spatial variations
in lead concentrations refer to surface-to-surface or two-
dimensional variability in lead concentration.  Because of the
potential spatial variations, the following three changes were
made:
1.   Paint chip collection areas were moved to roughly the center
     of the template with XRF readings and test kit  applications
     to either side;
2.   Positions of test kit applications were randomized as
     discussed later in section 3.4.2.1; and
3.   Collection of field duplicate paint chip samples was moved
     just outside the upper right hand corner of the horizontally
     placed template.

     Two general orientations of the template were used.  One is
the horizonal orientation as shown in Figure 3-1.  The other was
a vertical orientation  (90° clockwise turn of the template, with
test kit areas at the bottom), which was used when the targeted
location would not accommodate the horizonal orientation. Under a
few circumstances,  driven by field conditions, some  targeted
locations required alterations to the standardized template.

                               3-7

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TEMPLATES TEMPLATES










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X= XRF
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Figure 3-1.    Sampling location templates used in the study.
                              3-8

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Examples of these are shown in Figure 3-2.   All locations,
including altered versions of the standardized template,  were
marked under the direct supervision of a statistician
knowledgeable on the design aspects of the  study.

     3.1.6 Sample ID Transfer

     Control over the potential of misidentified sampling
locations was achieved through the use of pre-printed sticky-back
barcode labels.   Large numbers of identically numbered labels
matching the sample location number were affixed to each location
for use on all data forms throughout the study.  This general
design element reduced the potential for generation of a
transcription error for data-recording activities during all
phases of testing.   Control over the potential transcription
errors in the laboratory was achieved by submitting a set of
barcode labels with each paint chip sample  collected in the field
for later use in the laboratory.

     3.1.7 Blind Testing

     Performance of testing in a manner that would reduce the
potential for inadvertent passage of testing results between
different test personnel was of primary importance in the study.
Several general procedures were incorporated into the study to
achieve testing in a blind manner.  These included actively
directing all testing personnel to perform  measurements
independently, prohibition of any discussion of results with
other test personnel,  active supervision of sites at all times
during testing activities, and collection of all data forms at
the end of each day of testing.  In addition, two specific field
testing procedures for test kit applications and one additional
field testing procedure for XRF measurements were incorporated.
For test kit applications in the full study, a maximum number of
three testers were allowed in a given housing unit at one time.

     In the pilot study, test kit applications were spread-out by
staggering the starting points.  All testing marks from test kit
applications were hidden from the next tester, using tape as
described later in section 3.4.2.2.  For XRF measurements, only
one XRF operator with monitor was allowed in a given housing unit
at one time, as described later in section  3.5.2.11.       '
                               3-9

-------
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                                    Used in fuil study only.
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             test area block
            widths on narrow
           components such as
           a door frame. Used
               in both pilot
             and full studies.
                                         X= XRF
                                             measurement
                                             location

                                         T= Test kit
                                             measurement
                                             location

                                         P= Paint sample
                                             location. Arrows
                                             denote subsquares
                                             to be collected;
                                             others for paint
                                             removal only.
                          Bunching of test area blocks on stair riser.
                                 Used in pilot study only.
Figure 3-2
Examples  of  alternative sample  location templates
used  in the  study.
                                      3-10

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     3.2   COLLECTION OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES

     The collection of paint chip samples is discussed in this
section.  Further details on sampling procedures can be found in
the appendices of this report.   Laboratory handling of collected
paint samples is discussed later in section 3.3.

     3.2.1 Paint Collection Method Selection

     In general, there are three methods for removing the paint:
the heat gun method,  the cold scraping method,  and the coring
method.  The heat gun method uses a heat gun to soften the paint
to aid in removal from the substrate using scraping and cutting
tools.  The cold scraping method is the same as the heat gun
method but without the use of the heat gun.  The coring method is
a cold cutting removal method that incorporates use of a
sharpened cylindrical cutting tool.  The heat gun method for
removing paint was selected as the primary method of choice for
use in the study because of the following advantages:

     a) The heat gun method can be used on a wider variety of
        surfaces than the coring method.  For example, the coring
        method is not very effective on very hard substrates such
        as brick or concrete because of coring tool damage that
        occurs when cutting against these hard surfaces.
     b) The heat gun method can be easier to perform on some
        surfaces than the cold scraping method.  Cold paint
        removal generally requires more force.
     c) Both lead-area and lead-concentration determinations can
        be performed on the collected sample with the heat gun
        method.  For the coring method, only lead-area
        determinations are possible because this method requires
        the use of tape to hold the painted surface intact during
        the coring process.  The tape adds mass to the sample and
        cannot be easily removed without damaging the paint film,
        thus eliminating the ability to determine lead-
        concentration results.

     The primary disadvantage of the heat gun method is that its
use can result in generation of organic based fumes during
heating of the paint.  Therefore, the heat gun method requires
the use of a respirator to protect workers from the generated
fumes.  For this study, separation of different field activities
required for logistical reasons, previously discussed in section
3.1.4, limited the need for fume protection only to those
directly involved with paint collection; that is paint samplers
and field supervisory staff.

                               3-11

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      The  cold scraping method of paint removal was selected as
the  secondary method.   A secondary method was needed because the
heat gun  method is not very effective on building components with
high heat capacities.   For example, concrete has a high heat
capacity.   A heat gun  cannot generally apply sufficient heat to
soften  the paint and keep it soft during the scraping process on
this substrate.   For substrates that have high heat capacities,
cold scraping using chisels are usually more effective than a
heat gun.

      3.2.2 Paint Collection Design Elements

      A  discussion of design elements for paint collection is
presented in this section.

      3.2.2.1   Collection of Large Surface Areas

      Common methods used to apply paint to surfaces can result in
variability of paint thickness on painted building components.
These variations in paint thickness can result in spatial
variations in lead levels.  Collection of a large surface area
was  incorporated as a  study design element to aid in reducing
variation caused by these potential spatial variations.  A metal
template  with inside dimensions of approximately 2 by 2 inches
square  was used to score  the perimeter of the paint chip
collection area  as presented later in section 3.2.3.  Because of
the  desire to report lead analysis results in mg/cm2,  actual
collection areas were measured in centimeters.  Paint chip
samples collected in the  study were approximately 25 cm2 in size
(5 cm * 2") .

      The use  of  large area  samples also assured that collected-
sample  mass would be sufficiently heavy to conduct duplicate
sub-sample analyses  in the  laboratory.  Using a nominal 0.5-gram
sub-sample mass,  a minimum  of 1 gram of paint chip sample was
required to conduct  laboratory duplicate sample  analyses.  The
mean value of  the  total paint chip sample mass across all three
cities,  to one decimal place,  was 2.6 grams for the approximately
25 cm2 paint chip collection area.  This  is discussed further in
sections 3.3.2.1  and 3.3.2.3.2.

      3.2.2.2   Substrate  Inclusion

     The following three  issues were considered during the design
of paint collection protocols with respect to substrate
inclusion:
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(1)   Collection of paint samples without including some substrate
     is difficult.  This is particularly true for soft substrates
     such as wood or drywall and porous substrates such as some
     types of brick and concrete.  Soft and porous substrates
     typically adsorb substantial amounts of paint when painted,
     and this first layer of paint is the most likely to have the
     highest lead levels,  being the oldest layer on a painted
     surface.
(2)   XRF instruments that employ K-shell detection are generally
     considered to be able to detect lead to depths that go well
     beyond the paint layers into the underlying substrate, and
     sometimes beyond.
(3)   Test kit protocols are generally written to test only the
     paint layers and not any paint that may be absorbed into the
     substrate.

     There are four potential testing conditions with respect to
collection of paint samples regarding potential substrate
inclusion.  These four potential testing conditions, lead free
and lead present in substrate combined with collection of paint
samples with and without substrate inclusion, are summarized in
Table 3-3.

     Ideally, paint collection should be performed in a manner
that collects all paint from the surface and leaves all substrate
material intact on the building component; these are testing
conditions A and B in Table 3-3.  Under test condition A, both
XRF and test kit results are directly comparable to the
laboratory results generated from the collected paint samples.
However, if the substrate contains lead that can be measured by
the XRF (issue (2) above)  then the XRF results may be biased high
with respect to the laboratory results.  Bare substrate XRF
measurements incorporated into the study as a basic design
element, discussed in section 3.5.2.8, can theoretically be used
to correct for this high bias by subtracting the XRF bare
substrate lead results, that is, background results, from the XRF
results on the painted surface. Unfortunately, this technique is
limited because it is not possible to separate background results
caused by lead in the substrate and other XRF measurement
substrate effects, discussed under section 3.5.2.

     As presented in issue (1) above, substrate inclusion into
some of the collected paint samples is inevitable.  Testing
conditions C and D in Table 3-3 summarize the testing outcomes
for these conditions.  If the substrate is lead free, test
condition C, then both XRF and test kit results are directly
comparable to the laboratory results generated from the collected

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Table 3-3.    Potential Testing Outcomes for Different Testing Conditions.
TESTING
CONDITION
CODE
A
B
C
D
TESTING CONDITION
LEAD IN
SUBSTRATE?
no
yes
no
yes
SUBSTRATE IN
COLLECTED
PAINT
SAMPLE?
no
no
yes
yes
LABORATORY mg/cm2 RESULTS
DIRECTLY COMPARABLE TO TEST
METHOD?
XRF
yes
nob
yesc
yesd
XRF MINUS
SUBSTRATE
MEASUREMENTS
yes
yes
yesc
yes
TEST
KITS
yes
yes
yesc
noe
       Correction of background lead remaining in substrate can be
       compensated by use of (1)  the NIST covered bare substrate
       measurements, corrected for the known NIST lead level or (2)  the bare
       only substrate measurements.  (1) was taken at all sampling locations
       in the full study. (2) was taken at approximately 25% of the sampling
       locations in the  full study.
       XRF results may be biased higher than the laboratory results if XRF
       instrument capable of "reading" the lead in the substrate.
       XRF results and test kits will be comparable to laboratory results on
       a mg/cra2 basis.  However, the laboratory rag/g results will  be biased
       low because of increased collected sample mass.
       XRF results may or may not be comparable to laboratory results  on a
       mg/cm3 basis.  The comparability level will be dependent on the
       amount of XRF measured substrate that is included in the collected
       paint sample.
       Test kit results  may not be comparable to laboratory results on a
       mg/cma basis.  The comparability level will be dependent on the
       amount of lead in the substrate material that is included in the
       collected paint sample.	
paint samples  in mg/cm2.   However,  if the  substrate contains
lead,  then the XRF results  may or may not be directly  comparable
to  laboratory  results on a  mg/cm2 basis.   The degree of
comparability  will be dependent on the amount  of XRF measured
substrate that is included  in the collected paint sample.  In
addition, if the substrate  contains  lead,  then the test  kit
results may be biased low compared to laboratory results.   The
amount of bias will be dependent on  the amount of lead
contaminated substrate that is included in the collected paint
sample.

      Paint collection protocols used in the study are  presented
in  detail in the appendices of this  report and are summarized in
section 3.2.3.   These protocols were designed  to maximize the
comparability  of laboratory results  to XRF and test kit  results.A
priority was given to collection of  as much paint as possible
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from targeted sample locations.   The second priority was to
minimize the inclusion of substrate. In other words, the paint
chip collection rule adopted for this study was to collect all
visible paint even if that meant collecting some substrate.
However, if possible, substrate  inclusion during paint collection
was avoided.  Collection of all  of the paint is a logical
necessity required to make any reasonable comparisons between
testing technologies.  It was believed that use of the second
priority,  minimizing substrate collection, would reduce the
potential comparability problem  for test kits identified in
testing condition D.  The potential comparability problem for XRF
results identified in testing condition B have to be controlled
through background subtraction,  as discussed above, since no
reliable field method was available for assessing the magnitude
and depth of lead present in the underlying substrate.

     3.2.2.3   Collection of Field Duplicate Paint Chip Samples

     As previously discussed in  section 3.2.2.1., spatial
variations in lead levels were expected to be encountered during
performance of the study.  Collection of duplicate samples at the
sampling locations,  called field duplicate samples or side-by-
side samples, was included as a  design element to provide
information on the magnitude of  potential spatial variations in
lead across the sampling location area.

     For the pilot study, one field duplicate sample was
collected in addition to the regular paint sample at each
sampling location.  As previously discussed in section 3.1.5 and
shown in Figure 3-1, the regular and the field duplicate samples
were selected at random from within the nominal 4 in. by 4 in.
area targeted for paint collection.  A hand-held calculator was
used to determine a random number for assignment of the sampling
positions within this targeted sampling area.

     For the full study, field duplicate samples were collected
at approximately 10% of the sampling locations.  Similar to the
pilot study, the regular samples were selected at random from
within the nominal 4 inch by 4 inch area targeted for paint
collection.  A hand-held calculator was used to determine a
random number for assignment of  the sampling position within this
targeted sampling area.   However, the location of the field
duplicate sample was different from that in the pilot.
Collection of field duplicate samples was moved to the end of the
sampling location as shown in Figure 3-1.  This change was made
to provide information on potential spatial variations of lead
across a wider area than was obtained for the pilot study.  It

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was believed that variability data across this wider width would
better characterize the actual lead variability experienced by
all the different tests being conducted in different sub-areas
within the template.

     3.2.2.4   Collection of Field Blanks

     Field blanks are generally included as a design element in
any sampling study to provide information on the extent of lead
contamination resulting from a combination of laboratory
processing and field handling activities.  In general, field
blanks are identical to field paint-chip samples, except that no
sample is actually collected.  When sampling involves collection
of material on a collection medium such as a filter,  field blank
results can be very useful for assessing contamination
experienced by the field paint-chip samples.  However, when
sampling does not involve the use of a collection medium, such as
is the case for paint collection, field blanks have limited value
because only a representative collection container can be marked
and shipped to the laboratory to serve as a field blank.

     Potential contamination resulting from sampling handling
such as use of scraping tools and collection trays cannot be
assessed in a manner that would be representative of the
collected paint samples.  Therefore, field blanks are limited to
monitoring the incidence of sample container contamination
resulting from the handling of the samples in the field, shipping
samples to the analytical laboratory, and storing samples prior
to analysis.  Despite this limitation, field blanks were included
in the study.  The targeted number of field blanks to collect was
at least one for each housing unit sampled.  The total number of
field blanks actually collected during the study were as follows:
10 in Louisville, 13 in Denver, and 8 in Philadelphia.

     Because of the relatively high levels of lead of interest in
the study, contamination was not believed to be a significant
concern.  Therefore, the limited value of the field blanks was
not believed to be a problem.  The largest potential source of
contamination for such a study as this one is from cross
contamination of previously collected samples to the sample being
currently collected.  Extra attention to housekeeping and
personal hygiene was mandated during collection of paint samples
to minimize any cross-contamination of the samples.  The
following steps were implemented to avoid contamination in the
field:
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     •  The sampling collection materials were stored in sealed
        containers until used.
     •  A new sample collection tray was constructed at each
        sampling location using a new sheet of white paper.  (See
        section 3.2.3 below.)
     •  Hands were kept clean by washing them with pre-moistened
        baby wipes.
     •  Reusable paint sampling equipment (templates, scrapers,
        etc.)  were thoroughly cleaned between uses with pre-
        moistened baby wipes.

     3.2.3 Paint Collection Protocol Summary

     Collection of each paint chip sample required four major
steps: (1) Marking the collection area,  (2)  Setting up a paint
collection tray,  (3)  Removing the paint, and (4)  Transferring the
collected sample to the paint collection container.  A detailed
protocol describing paint collection is  presented in the
appendices of this report.   A summary of the collection steps is
presented below.

(1)   Marking the collection area.  Sample location areas selected
     for paint collection were  marked as discussed in section
     3.1.5.  Pre-numbered barcode labels for identifying sample
     containers and data entries on paint collection forms were
     placed at each sampling location as described in sections
     3.1.6.   The outline of the paint collection area was
     further defined, after setting up a collection tray and
     prior to paint removal, by cutting down through all paint
     layers around the marked area with the aid of a metal
     template and a utility knife.  Use of the square template
     with internal dimensions of approximately 25 cm2 helped
     improve uniformity of collection areas at different sampling
     locations.

(2)   Setting up a paint collection tray.  A collection tray was
     placed beneath each sample collection area to catch any
     paint during the removal process.  The collection tray was
     prepared using a sheet of  clean white paper, one edge taped
     immediately below the sample collection area.  The tray was
     formed by pulling the two  adjacent corners together
      (opposite from the taped edge), overlapping slightly to form
     a funnel, and taping it together using a piece of masking
     tape.  The collection tray was completed by folding up a
     portion of the bottom and  taping it in place to permanently
     close off the funnel bottom.  This was done in a manner that
     no sticky tape surfaces were exposed on the inside of the

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     closed bottom funnel.  The result was a clean, wide,
     disposable collection tray capable of catching all paint
     removed from the collection area.

 (3)  Removing the paint.  A variety of scraping and cutting tools
     were used to complete paint removal from the targeted
     collection area after softening the paint with the heat gun.
     Removed paint was deposited into the collection tray placed
     immediately below the collection area.  Following transfer
     of the paint to the paint collection container, described in
     step 4. below, and collection of any required field duplicate
     samples, previously described in section 3.2.2.3, additional
     paint was removed from the sampling location to provide a
     sufficiently large area for later XRF measurements on the
     bare substrate.

 (4)  Transferring the collected sample to the paint collection
     container.  Following completion of paint removal from the
     targeted collection area, paint in the collection tray was
     transferred into a labeled plastic centrifuge tube for
     shipment back to the laboratory.  The transfer of paint to
     the centrifuge tube was performed by carefully tapping the
     collected paint into the paint collection container.  A fold
     creased into the side of the closed bottom paper funnel was
     used to aid in the transfer of paint into the labeled
     plastic centrifuge tube.  The dimensions of the collection
     area were measured and recorded on a field data form
     following completion of paint transfer to the collection
     container.  The field crew used rulers with metric only
     units to reduce any potential confusion as to sampling area
     units for dimensions recorded on field data forms.

     3.2.4 Summary of Field Observations

     A summary of observations on collection of paint samples is
presented in this section.

     3.2.4.1   Paint Collection Time Requirements

     Collection of a large number of paint samples is a labor-
intensive activity that requires a fair amount of physical
strength'to scrape samples away from the substrate.  Collection
time requirements included time to perform the following large
list of activities:
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     •  locate the samples;
     •  mark the sampling areas by cutting an outline of the
        sampling area down through all  the paint layers;
     •  make a sample collection tray for each sample;
     •  remove the paint samples;
     •  transfer the paint samples to collection containers;
     •  measure collection areas and fill out the data forms;
     •  store the samples for later shipment  to the laboratory;
     •  collect the field blanks;
     •  clean equipment and tools between samples;
     •  handle respirators;
     •  remove paint from areas targeted for  XRF bare substrate
        measurements; and
     •  take periodic breaks.

     The largest amount of time was spent on  removing the paint
from the sampling location.

     A review of collection activities  in Denver suggests that
approximately 30 paint samples can be collected by a single
sample collection person in an eight-hour day.

     3.2.4.2   Collection Difficulties  Encountered

     Some difficulties were encountered during the paint
collection portion of the study.  These difficulties are
summarized in this section.

     The most common paint collection difficulties encountered
during the study were related to substrate inclusion.  As
discussed in section 3.2.2.2,  the paint chip  collection rule used
in this study was to collect all visible paint even if it meant
collecting some of the substrate.  Therefore, it was anticipated
that some substrate inclusion would be  experienced.  Collection
of paint from plaster, drywall, brick,  concrete and soft wood
generally resulted in some substrate inclusion.  Removal of paint
from drywall samples generally resulted in a  separation from the
substrate at the paper layer that forms the top of this building
material.  Paper was commonly observed  in these samples.  Much of
the brick and concrete encountered in Denver  was very porous and
had to be sampled using the cold scraping method with the aid of
chisels.  The use of chisels was effective for maximizing paint
collection but was not particularly effective for minimizing
substrate inclusion.  Removal of paint  from soft wood was also
found to be difficult without including some  substrate.
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     Supervisors performed several activities in addition to
directing field personal.  Field supervisors routinely reviewed
sampling locations following completion of a specific testing
activity.   In Denver, a review of sampling locations following
completion  of paint removal activities and prior to test kit and
XRF testing revealed that two locations appeared to have traces
of visible  paint embedded in the surface of areas where paint was
originally  removed for collection of laboratory samples.
Additional  paint collection was performed from these two areas.
These extra samples were labeled with the sampling location ID
numbers, 80540 and 80667, preceded by an "E" to indicate that
they were extra scrapings.  These extra samples were processed
through the laboratory as separate samples.  Both lead-
concentration and lead-area results were determined for these
extra samples.  The extra sample lead result summed with the
originally  collected sample lead result gives the total lead for
these two sampling locations.

     A review of field forms from Philadelphia while paint
collection  teams were still in the field resulted in collection
of additional samples at seven sampling locations.  These seven
samples were collected to verify originally collected samples and
associated  collection area measurement data.  These samples,
collected side-by-side to the originals, were labeled with the
sample location ID numbers, preceded by an "R" to indicate that
they were "repeat" samples.  A statistician present in the field
was consulted to provide direction on where to collect these
repeat samples with respect to obtaining samples within
established study objectives.

     Variability in lead analysis results between the originally
collected and repeat samples,  "Rn samples, were less than the
generally observed variability between field duplicate samples
collected over the width of the sampling location template for
the full study.  This indicates that no significant differences
exist between the original samples and the repeat samples.  For
statistical analysis, only the repeat sample lead results were
used with one exception; sample number 81806.  For this sample,
the original lead result was used for statistical analysis
because it was the only one of the original seven samples that
had a laboratory duplicate analysis, whereas the corresponding
repeat sample did not have a laboratory duplicate analysis.
Laboratory duplicates are discussed in section 3.3.2.3.2.  The
use of the lead results from the original sample of 0.039 mg/g
and 0.010 mg/cm2 are  not believed to cause any statistical
analysis problems,  as the lead results for the repeat sample were
0.032 mg/g and 0.007 mg/cm2.

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     3.3   LABORATORY ANALYSIS OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES

     3.3.1 Selection of Laboratory Methods

     3.3.1.1   Selection of Inductively Coupled Plasma-Atomic
               Emission Spectrometry (ICP)

     The most common methods used to analyze lead in paint chip
samples in the laboratory are atomic absorption spectrometry
(AAS)  or inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectrometry
(ICP)  preceded by a sample preparation process that includes
sample homogenization,  subsampling, and an extraction (digestion)
procedure that uses acids to dissolve the lead in the samples.
In this study, ICP was selected for measurements of lead in
digested samples because this instrumental technique has multi-
element capability; that is, it provides concentration data on
other elements contained in the sample.  As a result, this
instrumental technique can offer concentration data for analytes
that may be interferants using portable XRF technologies or
chemical test solutions in lead test kits.  Measurement processes
for lead in paint using ICP techniques have been well
characterized and are detailed in published analytical methods
such as ASTM E1613-94.   In addition, use of ICP for
lead-containing paint samples is one of the techniques
recommended for confirmation testing in the HUD Guidelines  [2] .

     3.3.1.2   Selection of Sample Preparation Method

     At the initiation of this study, a draft EPA report  [3],
indicated that a NIOSH method 7082 would be an acceptable sample
preparation method for the study since it was shown to produce
high lead recoveries from paint samples.  NIOSH method 7082 is
designed to prepare and analyze air filter samples for analysis
of a wide  variety of inorganic components that also included
lead.  Because it is specifically written for air filter samples,
modifications to NIOSH 7082 are required to make it applicable to
processing paint chip samples.  Based on the EPA report, this
method with appropriate modifications, was selected to digest
paint samples for this study.

     Prior to initiation of laboratory analysis on collected
field paint-chip samples, a set of experiments were conducted for
the following three reasons:  (1) to familiarize the laboratory
with the modified NIOSH method 7082;  (2) to assure that the
modifications to the method were appropriate, and (3) to
determine the appropriate sample mass that could be processed
using the modified NIOSH method 7082.  Processing large sample

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masses was desirable because analysis of small aliquots could
result in increased subsarapling variance.  A discussion of the
experiments is presented in appendix AAA.  These experiments
suggested that subsample aliquot mass was an important factor in
obtaining lead recovery.  Therefore, sample aliquot masses were
limited to a maximum of a nominal 0.5 gram to assure that
satisfactory lead recoveries could be achieved.
     A discussion of design elements included for laboratory
processing of collected field paint-chip samples is presented in
this section.

     3.3.2.1   Mass/Area and Mass/Mass Reporting of Data

     Two different lead reporting units were selected for
inclusion in the study: mass/area results, mg/cm2,  and mass/mass
results, mg/g or percent by weight.  Both units were included
because action levels have been expressed in both kinds of units.
In addition, mass/area units were needed from the laboratory to
provide a means of comparing results with portable XRF data taken
in the field.

     Two options were available for generation of both units from
the collected paint samples.  One option was to digest and
analyze the entire sample and divide the quantity of lead found
in the sample digest by the sample area.  The second option for
analytical measurements was to digest and analyze a subsample and
calculate the lead concentration in the collected sample from
data determined on the subsample.  As discussed in section
3,3.1.2,  a 0.5 gram nominal sample mass limitation existed for
the laboratory sample preparation process.  The first option was
not possible due to the design element of large collection areas
discussed in section 3.2.2.  Collected sample masses were
expected to commonly exceed the mass limitation, 0.5 gram for
effective sample extraction, imposed by laboratory processing.
Actual collected sample masses from Denver ranged from 0.0454 to
25.1792 grams with an arithmetic mean of 2.4306 grams.  Collected
sample masses from Philadelphia had a smaller range, 0.1362 to
11.1902 grams, but a higher arithmetic mean of 3.1586 grams.
Collected sample masses from Louisville ranged from 0.3116 to
4.3604 grams with an arithmetic mean of 1.7417 grams.  Therefore,
the second option was used in this study.

     The second option for analytical measurements required
homogenizing the sample, removing a sub-sample and digesting the

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sub-sample.   To use this option,  the entire sample mass,  the
sample area,  and the sub-sample mass must be measured.

     3.3.2.2    Homogenization and Subsampling

     To use  the selected option for analytical measurements of
field paint-chip samples, a homogenization procedure was required
to permit representative sub-sampling.   Homogenization refers to
the process  of grinding and mixing the  sample to achieve a
uniform distribution of lead within the resulting powdered
sample.  The  concentration data,  mg/g,  of the subsample is
representative of the lead concentration in the collected sample
only if the  sample is uniformly homogenized.

     The procedure used in the study to homogenize the samples
was based on the fact that substances become brittle when cooled
to low temperatures. A summary of the procedure is as follows:

     •  Place a sample inside a plastic centrifuge tube
     •  Immersed the container with sample into dry ice
     •  Allow sample to cool
     •  Pulverized the sample against the bottom of the sample
        container using a plastic rod.
     •  Roll  the cylindrical sample containers holding the
        crushed samples to mix the contents.

     This homogenization procedure, detailed in the appendices E
and EE, was performed after determination of total sample mass to
avoid any potential mass errors caused  by convection losses
during homogenization.

     The ratio of the total sample mass to the subsample mass can
be used to calculate the total amount of lead in the collected
sample from the measured amount of lead in the subsample.
Because the  area of the sample is known, the concentration of
lead in this  area can be determined by  dividing the lead amount
in the collected sample by the measured area of the collected
sample.  This mass/area calculation for the collected field
paint-chip sample is performed using the following mathematical
expression:

     mg of lead/cm2 = [(A/B) (C)]/D

     where:     A = total sample mass, grams
               B = subsample mass, grams
               C = mg of Pb in subsample, laboratory measured
               D = area of total sample, cm2,  field measured

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     The protocol used to measure the total sample mass and
subsample mass is detailed in the appendices E, F and EE of this
report.

     3.3.2.3   Sample Preparation QC Samples

     Sample preparation QC samples are samples submitted to the
laboratory in addition to field paint-chip samples for the
purposes of providing information on laboratory analysis
performance, that is, the accuracy and precision of lead
measurement.  These QC samples were incorporated into each group
of samples digested during laboratory processing.  Laboratory
processing of samples is performed in a batch mode of operation
and a group of samples digested together is typically referred to
as a sample preparation batch.  A typical sample preparation
batch included the following 49 samples:

     •  40 field paint-chip samples

     •  1 blind sample,  National Institute of Standards and
        Technology (NIST)  Standard Reference Material (SRM) No.
        1579a

     •  2 blind samples,  American Industrial Hygiene Association
        (AIHA) Environmental Lead Proficiency Analytical Testing
        (ELPAT)  performance evaluation materials

     •  2 method blanks

     •  4 laboratory duplicate samples

     Blind samples were generated by a person independent from
the laboratory while method blanks and laboratory duplicate
samples were generated by the laboratory.  These three types of
QC samples are summarized in Table 3-4 along with targeted data
quality objectives for the study.  A detailed discussion of these
three types of QC samples is provided in the following three
sections.

     3.3.2.3.1 Blind Samples

     Blind samples were included in each batch of field
paint-chip samples processed in the laboratory.   A blind sample
is a sample submitted for analysis whose composition is known to
the submitter but unknown to the laboratory.  Lead recovery data
from the blind samples were used as an assessment of accuracy on
field paint-chip samples as determined by sample preparation and

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Table 3-4.   Summary of Sample Preparation QC Samples.
Sample Type
Method Blank
Blind Sample: NIST SRM
No. 1579
Blind Sample: ELPAT
Laboratory Duplicate
Sample
Frequency
1 per 20 field
paint -chip
samples ; minimum
of 1 per batch
1 per batch
2 per batch
4 per batch
Data Quality Objective
Measured value less than
10 times the Instrumental
Detection Limit (IDL) ,
see Chapter 4 for a
detailed discussion of
IDL.
Accuracy of ±25% from
certified concentration
Accuracy of ±25% from
consensus concentration
Range of duplicate %
recoveries of <20%
None
analysis activities.   The following two types of blind samples
were included in each sample preparation batch: NIST SRM 1579a
and ELPAT samples.

     At the time the laboratory work was performed for this
study,  NIST SRM 1579a was the only certified lead-based paint
sample material available from NIST.  Because of the high lead
concentration in this SRM, 11.995%, it was desirable to find an
additional real-world material that contained lower known lead
concentrations, closer to the lead concentrations anticipated in
collected field paint-chip samples.  Since paint performance
evaluation samples,  from rounds 02 and 03 prepared for the ELPAT
program, were available from AIHA, they were selected to
complement the NIST SRM for use as blind samples.  Known lead
concentrations for the ELPAT samples were consensus determined
during the ELPAT program and were provided by AIHA.

     Blind samples were generated by placing up to approximately
1 gram of the targeted sample material into clean-labeled, field-
sample containers followed by inserting the blind samples into
the stream of samples submitted to the laboratory for analysis.
For the NIST SRM No.  1579a, blind samples were typically 1 gram
aliquots.  However,  for the ELPAT samples, only limited
quantities were available from AIHA.  For these blind samples,
the entire contents of the sample container received from AIHA,
approximately 0.5 gram, was transferred into a clean field
paint-chip sample container.
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     Labeling used for identification of blind samples was
equivalent to that used for the field paint-chip samples.  Blind
samples were included within groups of field paint-chip samples
after field paint-chip samples were homogenized in an effort to
submit blinds that were indistinguishable from field paint-chip
samples.  However, blind samples could not be considered as
double blinds because the physical appearance of the field
paint-chip samples was typically different than the very finely
powdered blind samples.

     One NIST and two identical ELPAT samples were placed into
each batch of samples digested in the laboratory.  The duplicate
ELPAT samples were used to provide within-batch repeatability
from sub-sampling, extraction and instrumental measurement.
Accuracy and precision generated from the blind samples were
monitored during the study for performance trends and feedback to
the laboratory on analysis performance.

     3.3.2.3.2 Laboratory Duplicate Samples

     As discussed in section 3.3.2.2, laboratory analysis
processing of samples included sample homogenization and sub-
sampling procedures.  The accuracy of lead data obtained from the
laboratory was dependent upon the homogeneity of the paint
samples before subsampling.

     Laboratory sample preparation and analysis of duplicate
subsaimples were included as a design element to provide an
estimate of the variability caused by the homogenization process.
Laboratory duplicate subsamples were processed at a rate of 10%;
that is one duplicate sample was processed for every 10 field
paint-chip samples.  Because duplicate processing of samples
consumed a minimum of 1 gram and because of the desire to avoid
complete exhaustion of any collected sample, samples with total
collected sample mass greater than 1.5 grams were targeted to be
used for laboratory duplicates.

     3.3.2.3.3 Method Blanks

     Method blanks were included in the batches of field
paint-chip samples processed in the laboratory.  A method blank
is a mixture of reagents used for the digestion of field
paint-chip samples.  This mixture contains no sample matrix and
is carried through all steps of the digestion and instrumental
measurement process.  Method blanks provide information on the
potential systematic lead contamination of field resulting from
                               3-26

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laboratory processing.   Method blanks were generated at a
frequency of two per batch.

     Laboratory technicians inadvertently missed inserting method
blanks in two (2)  of the 39 sample preparation batches processed
for the pilot and full studies.  However,  at least two field
paint-chip samples within each of these two sample preparation
batches included non-detectable lead measurements ranging from
0.0058 mg of lead per sample to 0.0062 mg of lead per sample.
Therefore,  sufficient data was available to assure that no
systematic lead contamination of field paint-chip samples
occurred in any of the 39 batches as a result of laboratory
processing.

     3.3.2.4   Instrumental Measurement QC Samples

     Instrumental measurement QC samples were analyzed along with
field paint-chip samples during instrumental measurement
activities to assure adequate instrument performance.  These QC
samples included daily calibration standards, multiple
calibration verification standards, multiple calibration blank
samples, and interference check standards.  Table 3-5 contains a
detailed description, specifications, and frequency of use of the
instrumental measurement QC standards.  Additional detail on
instrumental QC samples is presented in appendices G and FF.  All
specifications presented in Table 3-5 were met for all reported
lead analysis laboratory data.

     3.3.2.5   Sample ID Transfer

     As presented in section 3.1.6, control over the potential
for misidentified sampling locations was achieved through the use
of pre-printed sticky-back barcode labels.  Samples collected in
the field were identified with the barcode label sticker on the
sample container and on the entry line of the data form
associated with the sample.  Additional barcode labels were
placed into a plastic bag along with the sample container for
in-laboratory processing of the sample.  These extra barcode
labels were used to identify laboratory forms and containers used
in the digestion and instrumental measurement steps for each
sample.

     For the pilot study, field duplicate samples collected in
the field were identified on the collection containers by
inscribing a "D" or "DUP" at the end of the sample location ID
number on the container.  For laboratory processing of the pilot
samples, a "LDP" suffix was used to designate and track

                               3-27

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Table 3-5.   Instrumental QC Standards and Specification for ICP.
 Name
Use
Specification
  ICB  -
  Initial
  Calibration
  Blank
Used for initial
calibration and
zeroing
instrument
response.
Calibration Standard which contains no
lead.
Must be measured during calibration and
after calibration.
Measured value to be less than 5 times
the IDL (see Chapter 4) .	^	
  Calibration
  Standards
Used to Calibrate
instrument.

The high standard
re-run is used to
check for
response
linearity.
Acid content must be approximately the
same as that in the sample digests.
Must be measured prior to measuring any
sample digests.
Correlation Coefficient of MK995, as
measured using linear regression on
instrument response(y) versus
concentration(x).
The highest level Calibration standard
must be measured after calibration. The
measured value to fall within £10% of
known value.
  ICV -
  initial
  Calibration
  Verification
Used to verify
calibration
standard levels.
Concentration of lead to be near the
middle of calibration curve. It is made
from a stock solution having a different
manufacturer or manufacturer lot
identification than the calibration
standards.
Must be measured after calibration and
before measuring any sample digests.
Measured value to fall within ±10% of
known value.
  ICS -
  Interference
  Check
  Standard
Used to verify
accurate lead
response in the
presence of
possible spectral
interferences
from other
analytes present
in samples.	
Concentration of lead to be less than
25% of the highest calibration standard,
concentrations of interferant are 200
jtg/raL of Al, Ca, Fe, and Mg.
Must be analyzed at least twice, once
before and once after all sample
digestates.
Measured lead value to fall within  ±20%
of known value.
  CCV -
  Continuing
  Calibration
  Verification
Used to verify
freedom from
excessive
instrumental
drift.
Concentration to be near the middle  of
the calibration curve.
Must be analyzed before and after all
sample digestates and at a frequency not
less than once every ten samples.
Measured value to fall within ±10% of
known value.
  CCB -
  Continuing
  Calibration
  Blank
Used to verify
blank response
and freedom from
carryover.
Calibration Standard which contains no
lead.
Must be analyzed after  each CCV  and each
ICS.
Measured value  to be less than 5 times
the instrumental detection limit.	
                                     3-28

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laboratory duplicate samples so that there would not be confusion
in the laboratory because of the historical use of "D" suffixes
to designate laboratory duplicate samples discussed in section
3.3.2.3.2.  For example,  a laboratory duplicate for a sample that
was also a field duplicate sample would be given the designation
of "D-LDP" or "DUP-LDP".

     For the full study,  an improvement was made to the sample
identification design for the field duplicate samples.  A
separate set of barcode labels was used to identify the field
duplicate samples using an "S" designation to avoid any potential
laboratory confusion.   For each sampling location, a set of
barcode labels was produced with the location ID number preceded
by an "S" prefix.   These barcode labels were placed at sampling
locations that were targeted for collection of field duplicate
paint samples, used for field forms, and were submitted to the
laboratory along with the field duplicate samples for use in the
laboratory.  Laboratory duplicate sample preparations were
identified using a "D" prefix to the sample ID number in
accordance with historical precedent.

     3.3.3 Summary of Laboratory Processing

     Paint chip samples were grouped together and processed
through the laboratory in batches.  Batching refers to the
process of grouping the samples together for submission to
performance of specific laboratory tasks.  A total of three
sample batchings were performed within the laboratory.  The tasks
performed in each designated batch include the following:

        weighing (1st batching)
        homogenization (1st batching)
        re-weighing (1st batching)
        sub-sampling  (1st batching)
        sample digestion  (2nd batching)
        instrumental measurement  (3rd batching)

     Details on these tasks are presented in the appendices E, F,
G, EE, and FF of this report.

     The total laboratory processing scheme, diagrammed in Figure
3-3, presents the three sample batching processes.  Each of these
batching processes is discussed below along with a summary of the
laboratory activities preformed on the samples within each batch.
                               3-29

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                                                                            Batch lor Sample
                                                                              Digestion
                                                                             (2nd Batching)
Homogenlzatlon
                                                                            Start Data Packet
                            Tracking System
                                                           Material Samples
                                                    Perform
                                                  Data Reduction
                                                 and Write Report
                                         of Data Packet
                                               Complete Data Packet
                                                        S = Samples   FD « Field Data    WD = Weight Data
                                                            SO s Sample Digests   AD = Analysis Data
Figure  3-3.       Flow  Diagram  of  Laboratory  Processing
                                                            3-30

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     3.3.3.1   First Batching of Paint Chip Samples

     The first batching of samples was the grouping of samples to
determine sample mass and homogenize the samples.   The number of
samples in each batch varied from batch to batch.   Usually a
batch contained less than 100 samples.

     Total sample mass was determined by subtracting the original
field collection container mass,  or empty sample container mass,
from the total paint sample plus container mass.  Protocols for
performing total sample mass determinations are detailed in the
appendices E and EE of this report.

     Homogenization of all samples within the batch, summarized
in section 3.2.2.2, was performed after determination of total
sample mass.

     3.3.3.2   Second Batching of Paint Chip Samples

     The second batching of samples was the grouping of samples
for acid digestion.   A typical batch, described in section
3.3.2.3, included 40 field paint-chip samples and nine sample
preparation QC samples for a total of 49 samples.

     This batching was performed, by a designated sample
custodian who was independent of the laboratory, in a manner that
distributed samples from each housing unit among a minimum of
three different sample preparation batches.  This distribution
was achieved by randomly selecting a sample collected from each
housing unit in a sequential manner until the number of field
paint-chip samples needed to make up a sample preparation batch,
40, was reached.  Distributing samples in this manner was done to
prevent the loss of an entire housing unit under the potential
conditions of a complete failure in processing an individual
sample preparation batch.  In addition, batching was performed so
that field duplicate samples would not be processed in the same
batch.  This assured that the variability between field duplicate
samples would include between-batch variability.

     After assembling a batch, the total sample mass data for
samples within the batch was reviewed to identify a subset of
samples that could be used for laboratory duplicate samples.  All
samples with total sample mass greater 1.5 grams were identified
as candidates for laboratory duplicate samples as described in
section 3.3.2.3.2.  Four  (4) of these samples were randomly
assigned for duplicate extraction and analysis.  Prior to
submission of the batch to the laboratory, the sample custodian

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inserted the blind samples into each batch as discussed in
section 3.3.2.3.1.

     3.3.3.3   Third Batching of Paint Chip Samples

     An instrumental measurement batch is a group of digested
paint samples that are analyzed together in a sequential manner
following calibration of the ICP instrument.   An instrumental
measurement batch size can vary from one to approximately 200
digested paint samples.  Because it is generally more efficient
to process large batches than small batches,  a third batching of
paint chip samples was performed prior to instrumental
measurement to group together samples from multiple sample
preparation batches.  This batching was performed by laboratory
personnel on an as-needed basis as samples became available for
instrumental lead measurement.   Because only a small volume of
the digest, 10 mL, was required for instrumental lead
measurement, replicate analyses could be performed if needed.
For example, replicate analysis would be required if an
instrumental measurement QC sample failed to meet the
specifications as described in section 3.3.2.4.

     3.3.4 Summary of Laboratory Data Handling and Reporting

     Similar to original XRF and test kit field data, original
paint chip sample data generated in the field was hand carried
back to the laboratory by field personnel upon completion of the
field activities.  Copies of original data forms were made and
transmitted to the statistical analysis team on a routine basis
during performance of field activities to provide for backup in
case of inadvertent loss of original data forms.  In addition,
copies were also shipped with field paint-chip samples to the
laboratory.  The designated sample custodian received the field
paint-chip samples and recorded their receipt and field
collection data into a computerized system for tracking samples.

     During the laboratory processing of the samples, a data
packet was used to store and transmit sample information.  The
data packet is a folder that contains all laboratory-generated
data and copies of field data forms received with samples.
Following the instrumental analysis, information placed into the
data packet was used to produce a final data report.  The final
data report, including both hard copy results and electronic
results, was sent to the statistical analysis team for data
analysis.
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     Electronic data transfer,  via floppy disk, was used to
transmit analytical data between the laboratory and the
statistical analysis team.   Laboratory data, identical to the
data presented in the hard-copy final data reports, were
transmitted using data tables in a fixed ASCII format for
retrieval and data analysis by the statistical analysis team.

     Errors in analytical data from the laboratory were minimized
by using four methods.  The first was to use separate raw data
entry and calculation spreadsheets.  Only the calculation
spreadsheet was used to generate data tables that were
transmitted to the statistical analysis team.  Raw data was only
allowed on the raw data entry spreadsheets.  After completing raw
data entry, calculations and table generation was performed by
electronically moving raw data into the calculation spreadsheets.
Use of the raw data entry spreadsheets provided protection
against inadvertent alteration of the mathematical formulas used
to calculate data.  Spreadsheets were created and verified using
a set of test raw data to determine that formulas contained in
the calculation spreadsheet were free from errors.  Once created
and verified, all formulas in calculation spreadsheet were
electronically protected from alteration.

     The second method of minimizing errors was the use of direct
electronic transfer of instrumental measurement data from the ICP
into the raw data entry spreadsheets used for data reduction.

     The third method of minimizing errors, a double key entry
system, was to perform 100% entry of the hand entered raw data
and electronic transfer of instrumental measurement data into the
spreadsheets by a second person.  Entry errors were identified by
subtracting the entire duplicate electronic raw data entries from
the original electronic raw data entries.  Non-zero values
indicated entry errors which were corrected before finalizing
data reports.

     The final method of minimizing errors was the review and
sign off of the data packet, and the review of the final data
report by appropriate laboratory, quality assurance, and
supervisory personnel who were involved with the laboratory
handling of the samples and sample data.  Quality assurance
personnel, independent of the laboratory, performed a number of
data verifications on random samples within each data packet
prior to transfer of any data to the statistical analysis team.
A summary of quality assurance review activity and findings is
presented in chapter 7 of this report.
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      3.4   TEST KIT MEASUREMENT DESIGN

      A discussion of the  design elements related to  investigation
 of test kit performance is presented in this section.

      3.4.1 Test Kit Selection

      Two basic  test kit technologies for detection of  lead  in
 paint were available on the market as of the Spring  of 1993.  The
 first is based  on the formation of black lead sulfide  by the
 reaction of. lead in paint with  sodium sulfide.  The  second  is
 based on the formation of a pink complex by reaction of lead in
 paint with sodium rhodizonate.  There are several commercially
 available kits  based on each technology.  The kits differ in
 their testing protocols, delivery systems, and sometimes in the
 exact formulation of the reagent.  This study was designed  to
 examine the performance of a representative set of test kits
 under real field conditions.

      A total of eight  test kits were investigated for  potential
 inclusion in the study as listed below:

 1.    "Acc-U-Test."   Manufactured by South Shore Lead Paint
      Testing Company.  This is a sodium sulfide based kit.
 2,3.  "LeadCheck."   Manufactured by Hybrivet Systems.   This  is a
      rhodizonate based kit (also called LeadCheck II).  This
      company also manufactures  a sodium sulfide kit  referred to
      as  LeadCheck I.
 4,5.  "Lead Alert" and  "Lead Alert All-in-One."  Manufactured by
      Frandon/PACE Enterprises.  Both are rhodizonate based  kits.
 6.    "Lead Detective."  Manufactured by Innovative Synthesis
      Corporation. This is a sodium sulfide based kit.
 7.    "Lead Zone."   Distributed  by Enzone Corporation.   This is
      based on a proprietary formula.
 8.    "State  sodium  sulfide kit."  The state of Massachusetts has
      its own  sodium sulfide formulation and test protocol,  which
      must  be  carried out by certified and licensed inspectors.
      No professional test kit testing programs other than the one
      offered by the  state of Massachusetts were available during
      the design of  this study.

     A total of  six test kits,  representing the range  of test
kits  available  to the public at the time the study was designed,
were  included in the study.  As of the spring of 1993,  the  three
test  kits believed  to be the leading brands were LeadCheck, Lead
Alert, and Lead  Detective.  Therefore, these were included
because it was believed that these kits were being purchased by

                               3-34

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consumers.   In addition,  the Lead Alert All-in-One,  the Lead Zone
and State sodium sulfide  kits provided features that were not
present in other the three leading brands.   These were also
included in the study.

     The kits included  in the study are discussed in this
section.  All discussions presented in this section are based on
the test kits that were purchased directly from the manufacturers
in the spring and summer  of 1993.   Changes made to the kits by
manufacturers since this  time period are,  obviously, not part of
this work and,  therefore, are not discussed.

     3.4.2 General Test Kit Measurement Design Elements

     3.4.2.1   Test kit Measurement Areas

     Each test kit measurement was performed within one of the
six rectangular shaped  test area blocks marked at each sampling
location as previously  described in section 3.1 and shown in
Figures 3-1 and 3-2. For the full study,  each of the test area
blocks was randomly marked with a different letter "A" through
"F" .  A hand held calculator was programmed to perform random
assignment of the letters to the test area blocks.  Test kit
measurements were, on the average, performed at approximately an
equal distance from the collected paint chip sample by using the
lettered testing area blocks and by permanently assigning one of
the letters to each test  kit.  Test kit measurements were
performed on the correspondingly lettered test area blocks.

     Lettering of the testing area blocks for test kit
measurements was a study design improvement that was not part of
the pilot study.  For the pilot study, testers were spread-out
among the sampling locations to reduce the potential for
communication of test results between testers.   Testers were
directed to use the first unused testing area block available
starting from the left  hand side for the horizontally drawn
sampling location template or the bottom side for a vertically
drawn sampling location template as shown in Figures 3-1 and 3-2.
Similar to the full study, the test kit measurements were, at an
average, performed at an approximately equal distance from the
collected paint chip samples.  However, in this case, this result
was a by-product of the testing directives as opposed to a
purposely planned design element.
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     3.4.2.2   In-Field Access Control of Test Kit Measurement
               Data

     Potential bias caused by inadvertent passage of testing
results between testers was an active concern during planning
stages of the study.  Four procedures were used to minimize this
potential information passage for the full study.  First, all
test kit operators were explicitly told during training that no
discussions on results were to be voiced during the field work.
Second, in the full study, test kit measurements were performed
in two units simultaneously (three testers per unit) to reduce
the number of people within a building at any given time.  Third,
all written test kit protocols included covering the tested
location with duct tape immediately after the test was completed
(or, for one kit, a disposable beaker was used in place of the
duct tape).  This assured that any following tester would not be
able to easily see or interpret a previous tester's result.
Finally, all test kit data forms were collected on site by the
acting field supervisor at the end of each day of testing.  No
field data were allowed to remain in the hands of any given
tester overnight.  These four procedures were also used during
the pilot study with the exception of the second procedure.  As
discussed in section 3.4.2.1,  inadvertent passage of testing
results in the pilot study was controlled by spreading testers
out among the sampling locations as opposed to limiting the
number of testers in each unit.

     3.4.2.3   Test Kit Testing Personnel

     All test kits selected for use in the study, with the
exception of the State sodium sulfide kit, were available for
purchase by the general public.  Instructions supplied with the
kits were written for non-technical users.  Therefore, all the
kit measurements, with exception of those performed using the
State sodium sulfide kit, were performed using simulated
homeowners to perform the tests in a manner compliant with the
intended market.

     Selection criteria for the simulated homeowners included
individuals who could follow instructions, who were capable of
clearly recording data on data forms, and who did not have any
extensive experience using field test kits for lead measurements.
In addition, selection was limited to those without bench-science
backgrounds, since such testers would have an unusual degree of
expertise in chemical testing as compared to a typical homeowner.
All individuals targeted for selection were checked for potential
color blindness and removed from consideration if found to have

                               3-36

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this genetic disorder.  Such a disorder would have seriously
handicapped their ability to make positive lead identification
with the rhodizonate-based kits.

     Full study testers were recruited locally by placing help
wanted advertisements in local newspapers combined with thorough
background screening and one-on-one interviews.  Pilot study
testers were recruited from the staff pool of one of the prime
contractors for the study.  A summary of simulated homeowner
backgrounds is presented in Tables 3-6, 3-7 and 3-8.  Only one of
the simulated homeowners used, one in Philadelphia, had any
previous experience using test kits.   This person had used one
kit provided by a public housing authority back in 1987.  This
limited, not recent experience, was not believed to be in
conflict with the desire to simulate a homeowner.

     The simulated homeowners received some limited in-field
training to perform test kit measurements for all the kits in the
study, with the exception of the State sodium sulfide kit, using
the established protocols.  The limited training consisted of a
review of the project, study objectives, test kit protocols, and
reporting practices to be followed.  Training was purposely
performed as close to the start of field measurements as
possible.  For the pilot study, training was conducted off-site
immediately before traveling to Louisville.  For the full study,
training was conducted on-site  in each city one day prior to
initiating testing.

     3.4.2.4   Test Kit Assignments and Performance Order

     For the full study, test kit assignments for the simulated
homeowners were rotated so  that each simulated homeowner
performed tests using each  of the test kits.  In the pilot study,
test kit assignments were held  constant with the exception that
one kit, Lead Alert:  Coring  (see section 3.4.3.1.2), which was
assigned to an additional person as an aid to complete testing on
schedule.  For the full study,  when permitted under field
conditions, test kit assignments were changed each time a new
housing unit was started.   These assignment changes were
incorporated as a design element to aid in reducing the potential
for a tester becoming too familiar with a given test kit as a
result of repetitive testing  at an excessively large number of
locations.  It was believed that, under standard testing
conditions, a real homeowner  would not have the opportunity to
gain experience from  large  numbers of repetitive tests.  More
frequent rotation of test kits  between personnel than the change
                               3-37

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Table 3-6.   Background Summary of Simulated Homeowners Used for Operation of
             Test Kits in Louisville.
Person*
ED
TH
JJ
KL
LY
Background
Male, BS in Mathematics
Male, BA in Business Administration
Male, BS in Mechanical Engineering
Female ,
Female ,
a Initials of
Administrative Assistant
Administrative and Technical Assistant
person
Table 3-7.   Background Summary of Simulated Homeowners Used for Operation of
             Test Kits in Denver.
Person*
DD
HF
AG
BH
BN
KS
Background
Male, retired from military, experienced in Health Care
Male, BS in Geology, pursuing masters degree in Geology
Male, BS in Environmental Design, pursuing degree in Civil
Engineering .
Male, pursuing bachelors degree
Male, retired from military, pursuing bachelors degree in Science
and Engineering
Male, pursuing bachelors degree in Earth Sciences
* Initials of person
Table 3-8.   Background Summary of Simulated Homeowners Used for Operation of
             Test Kits in Philadelphia.
Person*
DC
JM
PM
GM
MS
DY
Background
Male,
Male,
Female
Female
Female
Male,
two years of college in business management
2 years of college
, BS in Civil Engineering
, two yr degree in Computer Science
, degree in Art
degree in Mathematics
* Initials of person
                                     3-38

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each time a new housing unit was started was not considered
practical under field conditions and resource restrictions
experienced during the study.

     For the full study,  the test kit measurements were performed
prior to any collection of paint chip samples.  As previously
discussed in section 3.1.4,  this order of testing was done to
force the testers to make a decision as to when they had reached
the last layer of paint without the visual aid provided by the
bare substrate area generated during paint chip collection.
This was different than what was performed during the pilot study
where collection of paint samples was performed at about the same
time as the test kit measurements.

     For the full study,  a total of six simulated homeowners were
used in both Denver and Philadelphia.  In Denver, one of the
simulated homeowners was used more for general field support
activities rather than as a primary test kit tester.  This person
performed only a small number of measurements using one of the
test kits, less than 7% of the measurements for that kit, as
opposed to all the other testers, who each performed a larger
number of test kit measurements using all of the test kits
targeted for use by simulated homeowners.  A summary of the
number of test kit measurements made by each tester is presented
in Table 3-9.  For the pilot study, a given test kit was assigned
to a specific tester for all test locations as opposed to using a
rotation mechanism incorporated into the design for the full
study.  Towards the end of the test kit measurement period, one
of the testers that had completed his assigned testing was put to
work as a second tester,  making measurements with one of the
other test kits.   This was required to complete this phase of
testing because the performance of the other kit was proceeding
at a much slower rate than the others.  Twenty percent of the
sampling locations for this other kit were performed by the
second tester.

     3.4.3 Test Kit Descriptions and Protocol Summaries

     The final test kit protocols, used for both the pilot and
full studies, were based on the original manufacturer's
instructions supplied with the test kits purchased directly from
the manufacturers with a few exceptions that are discussed in
sections 3.4.3.2, 3.4.3.3, and 3.4.3.4.  To avoid potential in-
field changes of established protocols, manufacturer
representatives were not allowed to come to the testing site
during performance of the study.   Manufacturers original test
kit instructions were re-written to clarify testing steps and to

                               3-39

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Table 3-9.   Summary of Number of Test Kit Measurements Made by the Simulated
           Homeowners.
Person
RD
TH
JJ
KL
LY
DD
HF
A6
BH
BN
KS
DC
JM
PM
GM
MS
DY
City
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Totals
Number of Measurements
LeadCheck
0
0
0
0
100
150
0
150
150
149
151
108
57
55
55
55
110
1290
Lead
Alert:
Coring
20
0
0
80
0
210
51
188
150
75
75
57
86
79
54
55
108
1288
Lead
Alert:
Sanding
100
0
0
0
0
60
0
61
46
36
60
40
37
62
78
58
40
678
Lead
Detective
0
0
100
0
0
74
0
150
150
224
150
109
53
110
55
55
57
1287
Lead
Zone
0
99
0
0
0
150
0
75
150
148
225
55
18
57
75
143
92
1287
include items specific to  the  study,  such as the consistent pre-
preparation of test surfaces and recording of test results using
pre-printed data reporting forms.

     The data forms used for the full study included recording
blocks for the sampling location number,  starting time for the
test, the time that the observation of the testing result was
made, a positive or negative assessment of the result, and a
comment area.  Within the  comment area were a set of five shaded
blocks for use by  the sodium sulfide based kit testers to use to
record the observed darkness of the test result.
                               3-40

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     Some test kits used in the study had manufacturers
instructions for partial paint testing (such as surface-only lead
detection).   Partial paint testing procedures were not included
in the study because of their lack of comparability to ICP
results.

     All  manufacturers were provided with copies of written study
protocols prior to full study field testing activities (Denver
and Philadelphia)  and were requested to comment on them for
potential corrections or clarifications.   The test kit protocols
used in the  study are summarized in section 3.4.3.1 below and are
presented in the appendices of this report.

     3.4.3.1   Descriptions of Test Kits Included in the Full
               Study

     A description of the test kits along with a summary of the
protocols used in the full study is presented below.

     3.4.3.1.1 Lead Alert (Kit No. 1040)

     The Lead Alert kit No. 1040 used for the study, referred to
as Lead Alert:  Sanding, is a rhodizonate based testing kit.  The
kit contained sand paper, a leaching solution, an indicating
solution with a chemical tablet, cotton swabs, and a verification
test card.   The indicating solution was prepared by placing a
supplied chemical tablet into a specified dropper bottle followed
by a vigorous shaking procedure.  Additional sand paper was
obtained from the manufacturer for use in this study.  Additional
cotton swabs were purchased locally for use as needed to perform
testing.

     The test location  (painted surface)  was prepared by cleaning
the surface  with a baby wipe followed by taping a paper funnel
immediately below the sampling location to catch any removed
paint.  Sand paper was used to remove the paint down to the
substrate surface.

     Testing was performed by applying two drops of leaching
solution to a cotton swab followed by picking up a small amount
of the fine paint particles onto the moistened swab from paint in
the paper funnel.  Another drop of leaching solution was added
over the paint particles on the applicator tip and allowed to
leach the lead from the paint for 30 seconds.  Two drops of
indicating solution were added and the cotton swab was then
examined for a color change.  A pink to rose/red color was
considered positive for lead.  A orange or yellow color was not

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 considered positive for lead.   The verification test card,  which
 contains lead, was used to verify the integrity of the chemical
 reagents upon opening each new kit for a. given day of testing.  A
 positive test result on the verification test card indicated that
 the chemical reagents were working properly and that the kit
 could be used for testing sampling locations.  Only new kits were
 used for each day of testing.   Test kits from previous work days
 were kept separate from new kits and were disposed of as chemical
 waste at the end of the study.   A total of 20 double tipped
 cotton swabs were supplied with the kit for a maximum of 40 tests
 per kit.

     Experience gained from the pilot study use of the sanding
 portion of this test kit,  discussed in section 3.4.3.3, resulted
 in reducing the planned number of sampling locations for this
 test kit to 25% of the total.   This smaller targeted number of
 sampling locations was planned because of the large differences
 in execution time between this test kit using the sanding method
 and other test kit methods.  Testers were instructed to perform
 measurements at additional locations if time was available after
 completing the planned number  of sampling locations.  As shown in
 Table 3-9,  the total number of sampling locations that were
 actually completed in the full study was close to 49% of the
 total (578 out of 1190}.

     3.4.3.1.2 Lead Alert All-in-One (Kit No. 1010)

     The Lead Alert All-in-One kit No. 1010 used for the study,
 referred to as Lead Alert:  Coring, is a rhodizonate-based
 testing kit clearly marked in  the supplied instruction set as for
 use by "do-it-yourselfers".  The kit contained supplies and
 materials to perform lead testing using three different methods:
 a total lead method using a coring technique, a surface lead
 method using a sanding technique and a total lead method using a
 sanding technique.  The total  lead method using the coring
 technique was selected for use in the study.  The other total
 lead method using the sanding  technique contained in the kit was
 the same as that described for the Lead Alert kit which was
 included in the study and is described in section 3.4.3.1.1.  The
 total lead method using the coring technique contained a leaching
 solution, an indicating solution with a chemical tablet, plastic
 rods,  small plastic vials, cotton swabs, a pad of sticky edged
paper squares, and a verification test card.  A coring tool and
 brush were supplied by the manufacturer separate from the kit.
 The indicating solution was prepared by placing the chemical
 tablet into a specified dropper bottle followed by a vigorous
 shaking procedure.

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     The test location (painted surface)  was prepared by cleaning
the surface with a baby wipe followed by sticking a folded square
of paper immediately below the sampling location to catch any
removed paint.   A clean coring tool was used to remove the paint
down to the substrate surface.   Coring tools were cleaned between
each use by wiping with a tissue and repeated brushing out using
the coring tool brush.

     Testing was performed by placing the removed paint sample
into a plastic  vial,  crushing the sample with a plastic rod,
adding leaching solution, and then followed by adding indicating
solution to a cotton swab and touching the swab to the paint-
leaching solution mixture in the plastic vial.   The cotton swab
was examined for a color change.  A pink to rose/red color was
considered positive for lead.  The verification test card, which
contained lead, was used to verify the integrity of the chemical
reagents upon opening each new kit for a given day of testing.  A
positive test result on the verification test card indicated that
the chemical reagents were working properly and that the kit
could be used for testing sampling locations.  Only new kits were
used for each day of testing.  Test kits from previous work days
were kept separate from new kits and were disposed of as chemical
waste at the end of the study.   A total of 20 plastic vials and
rods were in each kit for a maximum 20 tests per kit.

     3.4.3.1.3  LeadCheck

     The LeadCheck kit used for the study is a rhodizonate based
testing kit.  The kit box, purchased in bulk, contained 12 swabs,
one for each test, and several verification test cards.  Each
swab was constructed from a cylindrical paper tube tipped with a
fibrous applicator. Inside the tube were two chemical containing
ampules (assumed to be a leaching solution and an indicating
solution).

     The test location (painted surface) was prepared by cleaning
the surface with a baby wipe followed by exposing all layers of
paint down to the substrate surface (not cutting into the
substrate) using a utility knife to cut through the paint.

     Testing was initiated by crushing both chemical containing
ampules inside the swab followed by squeezing the chemicals up
into the fibrous applicator.  The testing was completed by
rubbing the chemical containing applicator tip on the exposed
paint layers for 30 seconds and examining the fibrous swab tip
for a color change.  If a pink to red color was observed on the
swab tip, then the test was considered positive for lead.  If no

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color change was observed, the verification test card, which
contains lead, was used to verify the integrity of the chemical
reagents in the swab that was used to generate the indicated
negative test result.  If the chemicals were shown to be working
through the use of the verification test card, the negative test
result was confirmed by observing the notches for potential color
changes at 30 minute and 60 minute intervals.  If the chemicals
were shown to be not working through the use of the verification
test card, then a new swab was used for the test.  If no color
change was observed after the 30 minute and 60 minute intervals,
then the test was negative for lead.

     Because of the requirement to examine negative results over
time, all test locations for this test kit were covered with a
small disposable beaker using tape to permit undamaged
examination at a later time.  The beakers were temporarily
removed to perform the later time period examinations.  The
beakers were placed over the measurement area regardless of the
outcome of the test to avoid passage of testing information to
other testers.

     3.4.3.1.4 Lead Detective

     The Lead Detective kit used for the study is a sodium
sulfide based testing kit.  The kit contained two pairs of
plastic gloves, a magnifying glass, four single edged razor
blades, a pair of plastic tweezers, a bottle containing water, a
dropper bottle containing sodium sulfide crystals, and a plastic
bag containing a lead paint chip.  The sodium sulfide solution
was prepared by pouring the water into the dropper bottle
containing the crystals followed by a vigorous shaking procedure.

     The test location (painted surface) was prepared by cleaning
the surface with a baby wipe followed by exposing all layers of
paint down to the substrate surface (not cutting into the
substrate) using a utility knife to cut through the paint.  The
removed paint chip was retained for potential further testing.

     Testing was performed by applying the sodium sulfide
solution to the exposed paint layers followed by examination for
a color change.  A black or gray color was considered positive
for lead.  Negative or doubtful observations were further
investigated by testing the paint chip removed from the sampling
location during cutting through the paint.  The lead paint chip
supplied with the kit was used to verify the integrity of the
chemical reagents upon opening each new kit for a given day of
testing.  A positive test result on the lead paint chip indicated

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that the chemical reagents were working properly and that the kit
could be used for testing sampling locations.   Only new kits were
used for each day of testing.  Test kits from previous work days
were kept separate from new kits and were disposed of as chemical
waste at the end of the study.

     3.4.3.1.5 Lead Zone

     The Lead Zone kit used for the study is based on a
proprietary formula.  The kit contained a chemical impregnated
pad, a plastic dropper and a verification test card.

     The test location (painted surface) was prepared by cleaning
the surface with a baby wipe followed by exposing all layers of
paint down to the substrate surface (not cutting into the
substrate)  using a utility knife to cut through the paint.

     Testing was performed by wetting a section of the chemically
impregnated pad with a few drops of water followed by pressing
the pad against the exposed paint layers for a two minute period
and examining the pad for a color change.  If a pink to purple
color was observed on the pad,  then the test was considered
positive for lead.  For the full study, ASTM type I water was
supplied to the field testers from the laboratory.  For the
pilot, locally obtained bottled drinking water was used.  The
integrity of the chemical reagents in the pads was verified using
the verification test card, which contains lead.  The
verification test card was used after opening each kit and after
each negative result by pressing the wetted section of
impregnated pad against the verification card.  A positive test
result on the verification test card indicated that the chemical
reagents were working properly.  A total of six sections of pads
were in each kit for a maximum five tests per kit, as one pad is
used-up for the initial verification check.

     3.4.3.1.6 State Sodium Sulfide Kit

     The State sodium sulfide kit is a lead measurement procedure
that is performed by a professional lead inspector, trained and
licensed by the state of Massachusetts.   This test kit uses an
approximately 6% to 8% aqueous solution of sodium sulfide for
making lead measurements.  This is the same concentration of
sodium sulfide solution supplied with the Lead Detective test kit
described in section  3.4.3.1.4.  The primary difference between
these two kits is that the State sodium sulfide kit is performed
by a professional lead inspector and the sodium sulfide solution
must be obtained from the State of Massachusetts.  All other

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 equipment needed to perform measurements using this kit was
 provided by the professional  lead inspector.

      The test location  (painted surface) was prepared in a manner
 similar to that described in  section 3.4.3.1.4;  the surface was
 cleaned with a baby wipe followed by exposing all layers of paint
 down to the substrate surface  (not cutting into the substrate)
 using a utility knife to cut  through the paint.

      Testing was performed by applying the sodium sulfide
 solution to-the exposed paint layers using a cotton tipped swab
 followed by examination for a color change.  A black or gray
 color was considered positive for lead.  The protocol for the
 State sodium sulfide kit called for removing paint chips from
 metal substrates and testing the chip separate from the metal
 surface.   Under some conditions, as judged by the professional
 lead inspector,  comparison tests on adjacently placed cuts were
 used to aid in making a determination of positive or negative
 results.   In these  cases, comparisons would be performed by
 applying water to one of the cuts and sodium sulfide solution to
 the  other.

      3.4.3.2   Manufacturer Instruction Changes for the Full
                Study

      As described in section 3.4.3, the final test kit
 instruction  sets  were written following the manufacturer's
 instructions with a  few exceptions.  One exception to these
 instructions was  incorporated into the instruction set used in
 the  full  study for the Lead Detective kit.  The manufacturers
 instruction  set  for  this kit required that the sodium sulfide
 solution be  applied  to the paint surface without touching the tip
 of the  reagent bottle to the paint.  However, in practice, this
 is very difficult and sometimes not possible for vertical
 surfaces. Therefore, a step was added to the protocol to include
 the use of a cotton  tipped swab to apply the reagent to the
 painted surface.  This was the same technique used by the
 professional lead inspector for applying the reagent to the
 painted surface described in section 3.4.3.1.6.

      Second, lead acetate impregnated test strips were included
 into  the general  test kit supplies for the study to perform
verification tests of the kits on an as needed basis.  In
general, these test  strips were used to provide backup
 replacements for verification test cards for LeadCheck, Lead
Alert, Lead Alert All-in-One,  and Lead Zone, and backup
 replacements for  the lead paint chip for Lead Detective.  Because

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of the large number of tests performed during the study,  the
supplied verification test cards and lead paint chips were not
always sufficient to meet the testing needs.   The lead acetate
impregnated test strips were only sporadically used and only when
test kit supplied materials were insufficient to meet needs.  The
lead acetate impregnated test strips contained approximately 0.5%
lead by weight.   They were sized such that the lead per unit area
contents were approximately 0.4 mg of lead per cm2  of surface
area (one side).

     The instructions for the Lead Alert kit  were supplied
directly from the manufacturer separate from the kits.  In this
case, the manufacturer requested that a newer version of the
instructions be  used for the study since the instruction set was
under revision during the planning stages of the full study.

     3.4.3.3  Descriptions of Test Kits Included in the Pilot
              Study

     Test kits included in the pilot study were the same as those
included in the  full study as described in section 3.4.3.1.  The
protocols used to perform lead measurements with these test kits
were the same as those used in the full study with one exception.
The exception is for the Lead Alert:  Sanding kit,  and is
discussed below.

     The protocol used for the Lead Alert:  Sanding kit in the
pilot study was  the same as that used in the full study except
that exposed paint layers were tested as opposed to testing the
paint sanding dust as described in section 3.4.3.1.1.  The paint
layers were exposed for testing using the cutting method common
to a number of the other kits described in section 3.4.3.1.  The
sanding method was attempted in the pilot, but abandoned for the
cutting approach after the first location because the sanding
technique for total lead measurement was considered too time
consuming to be  practical for a large number of locations.
Feedback from the manufacturer on use of this change after
completion of the pilot resulted in modifying the testing plans
to incorporate the sanding method.  This change required a
reduction in the targeted number of sampling locations for this
kit as previously discussed in section 3.4.3.1.1

     3.4.3.4  Manufacturer Instruction Changes for the Pilot
              Study

     A change to the manufacturers instruction set for the Lead
Detective kit was incorporated into the pilot study in a manner

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similar to that described for the full study.  As presented in
section 3.4.3.2, the change was related to the application of the
sodium sulfide reagent to the testing surface.  However, for the
pilot, the change was to include a step to use a disposable
plastic stirring rod or toothpick to direct the reagent from the
reagent bottle to the painted surface, as opposed to the use of a
cotton tipped swab used for the full study.

     3.4.4 Summary of Field Observations

     Recording of unusual events was encouraged throughout the
course of the study.  Supervisors, on site at all times during
field activities, recorded field observations in bound pre-
numbered notebooks.  Testers used data forms  (specific data
blocks for time entries and comment columns present on all data
recording forms) to record field observations.  These
observations were reviewed to aid in data interpretation and to
provide supplemental study data.  A summary of pertinent
observations is presented in this section.

     3.4.4.1   Testing Time Requirements

     The testing time requirements included time to perform the
following large list of activities:

     •  perform the test;
     •  fill out the data forms;
     •  move to the next testing location; and
     •  periodic breaks.

     Typical learning curve characteristics were observed for the
time required to perform the test kit measurements.

     A review of combined testing times from all three cities
suggests that after achieving some familiarity with the kits,
approximately 80 measurements could be performed in eight hours
using any of the test kits, including the State sodium sulfide
kit, with the exception of the sanding method used in the Lead
Alert:  Sanding  kit.  Only about 40 measurements could be
performed in eight hours using this kit.

     3.4.4.2   Testing Difficulties Encountered with Test Kits

     3.4.4.2.1 Louisville

     As discussed in section 3.4.3.3, the sanding method used to
exposed the paint layers for the Lead Alert:  Sanding kit was

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changed to a cutting method after the first location.

     Some procedural difficulties were encountered applying the
reagents to the testing locations on vertical surfaces as written
by the manufacturer using Lead Detective.   These procedural
difficulties were handled by including an additional step in the
testing protocol as discussed in detail in section 3.4.3.4.

     3.4.4.2.2 Denver

     Some procedural difficulties were encountered using the Lead
Alert:  Coring kit.  The procedural difficulties encountered were
with the indicator solutions.  The indicator solution for the
kit, prepared by dissolving a chemical tablet in a supplied
liquid/ was observed by a field supervisor to be unusually dark
in color.  Normally the indicator solution is a bright orange.
The field supervisor observed a dark rose colored indicator
solution and stopped the measurement work to investigate the
observation.  A verification card, which contains lead, was used
to check on the measurement response using the dark rose colored
indicator solution and found to be working, giving a positive
response on the test.  However, it was believed that response
time appeared to be slightly slower than normal.

     As an interim correction, directives were given by the field
supervisor to dispose of any kit that was found to have a dark
rose colored indicator solution.  Under these conditions, a new
kit was to be opened and utilized for testing.  Because the
indicator solutions for both Lead Alert:  Coring and Lead Alert:
Sanding kits were visually identical, these interim instructions
were given to testers performing both of these test kits.

     A duplicate measurement, using a new test kit, was performed
within the targeted testing area block at the sampling location
under evaluation at the time the indicator solution problem was
first observed by the field supervisor.  The new measurement
result was the same as the original measurement, which was
negative for lead.

     The manufacturer was contacted about the dark colored
indicator problem and agreed with the interim corrective action
that was used to temporarily resolve the problem.  In addition,
the manufacturer recommended avoiding excessive shaking of the
reagent.  This additional recommendation was based on a belief
that the problem was caused by a excessive chemical tablet
softness for a specific batch of tablets received from the
manufacturer's supplier.  This excessive softness problem likely

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 resulted in chemical dissolution rates in excess of normal rates,
 making the indicator solution darken more than normal.

      The manufacturer's recommendations were followed until
 replacement tablets  were received from the manufacturer to
 permanently correct  the problem.

      The same  indicator solution problems encountered for the
 Lead Alert:  Coring  kit were also sporadically observed for  the
 Lead Alert:  Sanding kit.  These problems were handled using the
 same interim.corrective action discussed above.  This resulted in
 a greater than anticipated consumption rate for the Lead Alert:
 Sanding kits.  As the last few units were being tested, it was
 recognized that the  number of kits available in the field would
 not be  sufficient to complete testing.  As an interim solution,
 while waiting  for delivery of additional Lead Alert:  Sanding
 kits, the indicator  solutions from the Lead Alert:  Coring kits
 were substituted for use.  This substitution was believed to be
 reasonable  since both kits included the sanding technique for
 total lead measurements.  The manufacturer was contacted to
 verify  this  substitution.  Information received from the
 manufacturer indicated that there were differences in the
 formulation  of the final indicator solutions between the two kits
 and that  this substitution should not be made.  In-progress
 testing using the substituted indicator solution, which was
 limited to a single  tester in one housing unit, was terminated
 until new Lead Alert:  Sanding kits were received in the field.
 After receipt of the new Lead Alert:  Sanding kits, all sampling
 locations tested using the substituted indicator solution were
 re-tested on a clean surface within the original rectangular
 shaped  test  area blocks.  The original data generated at these
 sampling locations using the substituted indicator solution  were
 voided  in the field and not used for later statistical analysis.

     3.4.4.2.3 Philadelphia

     Some procedural difficulties were encountered using the
 LeadCheck kit.   The procedural difficulties revolved around
 misinterpretation as to the procedure for performing verification
 checks of negative responses at the 30-minute intervals.  Two
 different testers were observed to attempt using an additional
 swab at the 30-minute interval for verifying the negative result
 as opposed to visual examination of the coloration of the
 chemicals remaining on the exposed paint layers from the initial
 swabbing of the surface.  This problem was corrected immediately
by the acting field supervisor and was not observed to be a
problem for any further testing in Philadelphia.

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     Some additional difficulties were encountered using Lead
Alert:  Sanding kit.  The difficulties were similar to those
experienced in Denver and revolved around problems with
substitution of the indicator solution from the Lead Alert:
Coring kit.  In this situation, a tester had consumed all the
reagents from the Lead Alert:  Sanding kit and replaced it with
those from the Lead Alert:   Coring kit because it looked the
same.  The problem was identified by the acting field supervisor
after six locations had been affected.  The situation was
corrected and re-testing was performed at the six affected
locations.  The re-testing was performed on a clean surface
within the original rectangular shaped test area blocks targeted
for the test kit.  The original data generated at these sampling
locations using the substituted indicator solution were voided in
the field and not used for later statistical analysis.

     3.5   XRF TESTING

     A discussion of the design elements related to investigation
of XRF instrument performance is presented in this section.

     3.5.1 XRF Instrument Selection

     All field portable XRF instruments that were commercially
available for lead-based paint (LBP) testing in the Spring of
1993 were considered candidates for inclusion in the study.
Field portable XRF instruments for lead-based paint {LBP} are
generally classified  into two categories based on the type of X-
ray emission lines that are used for the determination of lead.
These include K-shell and L-shell emission lines that correspond
to the X-ray fluorescence transitions from electron orbitals of
the lead atom.  K-shell X-ray emission lines are more energetic
than the L-shell lines and therefore, are generally expected to
have better penetrating power through multiple paint layers than
the L-shell emissions.  However, in general, background emission
spectra near the K-shell lines are more complex than those near
the L-shell lines.  This makes precise measurement of the K-shell
emissions more difficult than the L-shell emissions.
Commercially available field portable XRF instruments include
those that use the K-shell emissions, those that use L-shell
emissions, and those that are capable of using both types of
emissions for measurement of lead.

     Three XRF instruments were in wide use for LBP testing in
housing at the start of this study.  These are the MAP-3 spectrum
analyzer manufactured by Scitec Corporation,  the Microlead I
revision 4 manufactured by Warrington, Inc., and the XK-3

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manufactured by Princeton Gamma-Tech, Inc..  The MAP-3 uses both
K-shell and L-shell X-rays while the other two use only K-shell
X-rays for lead measurements.  Because of their wide use in LBP
testing these instruments were used in the pilot study and the
field study; one of each in the pilot study and two of each in
the field study.

     Another instrument, the X-MET 880, manufactured by Outokumpu
Electronics, was reported to be sporadically used for LBP
testing.  Unlike the previous three instruments, the X-MET 880
operates with L-shell X-rays only.  For both studies, one X-MET
880 was included.  A summary of the XRF instruments included in
the pilot study is presented in Table 3-10.

     In order to achieve the goal of updating the federal
guidelines for testing lead in paint, it was desirable to include
any prototype XRF instrument that was likely to be available for
LBP testing in the near future.  Following completion of the
pilot study, XRF manufacturers that were reported to have such
prototypes were contacted and asked to participate.  Because of
the large amount of resources involved with the addition of each
XRF instrument to the study, a ruggedness test was used to select
XRF prototype instruments.  This ruggedness test was designed to
provide evidence that a given XRF prototype would be able to
operate under the field conditions anticipated during performance
of the study.  No assessment of testing performance in terms of
accuracy was included in this ruggedness test.  The ruggedness
test consisted of a series of measurements, similar to those
planned for the full study.  Testing locations were placed in a
variety of areas to simulate the environment likely to be
encountered during performance of the full study.  Locations
included indoor and outdoor testing areas: cold and hot
temperatures, narrow and wide testing areas, and low and high
testing areas.  Any XRF instrument that was able to continue to
operate and generate lead results during an entire day of testing
was included in the full study.  Two additional instruments
qualified and therefore, were included in the full study.  These
were the Lead Analyzer, a K- and L-shell instrument manufactured
by TN Technologies, Inc., and the XL, an L-shell instrument
manufactured by Niton Corporation.  A summary of the XRF
instruments included in the two cities tested during the full
study is presented in Tables 3-11 and 3-12.  It is worth noting
that the XL has undergone significant modifications by the
manufacturer since its inclusion in the study.
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Table 3-10.  Summary of XRF Instruments Used in the Pilot: Louisville.
XRF
Model
MAP-3
Microlead I
revision 4
XK-3
X-MET 880
Source
Type
(*)
Co57
(40)
Co57
(10)
CO57
(10)
Cd109
(5)c
Detector
Type
Ambient
Silicon
Cesium
Iodide
Proportional
Counter
(Xenon gas)
Proportional
Counter
(Argon gas)
XRF
Code
No.b
13
24
31
51
Date of
Source
(month/year)
1/93
3/93
3/93
8/92
Testing Dates
in 1993
(month/day)
03/31-04/01
03/31-04/01
03/29-30
03/29-30
a Parenthetical numbers are approximate source strengths for new
sources in millicurie.
b Code Nos., created for this report, are used to discuss lead testing
results for specific instruments .
c A number of radiation sources are sold for this instrument. Only
this source was present in Louisville.
     3.5.2 XRF Measurement Design  Elements

     Anecdotal evidence  from previous  laboratory and field
studies suggested that accuracy of lead measurements using XRF
instruments can vary due to  a  wide variety  of factors including:
short-term and long-term drift,  differences in substrates,
potential memory effects when  switching between substrates, and
differences in surface exposure time.   Each of these factors was
considered and the  resulting design included a large number of
specific design elements that  were used to  direct XRF comparison
testing to achieve  the study objectives. Specific XRF testing
design elements included in  this study are  listed below and are
discussed in  detail in the following sections:

     •  Use of Independent Contractors and  Monitors
     •  Adherence to Manufacturer  Protocols
     •  Specified Testing Order
     •  XRF Variability  QC Checks
     •  XRF Measurement  Definitions
     •  XRF Measurements at  Standard Locations
     •  XRF Measurements at  "Special"  Locations
     •  Bare  Substrate Measurements (with and without NIST films)
     •  Field QC Samples for XRF Measurements
     •  Recording of K-  and  L-shell XRF Data
     •  Safety Considerations  for  XRF Testing
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Table 3-11-  Summary of XRF Instruments Used in the Full Study. Denver.
XRF
Model
Lead
Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead I
revision 4
XK-3
XL
X-MET 880
Source
Type
C)
cd109
(30)
CO"
(40)
Co"
(10)
Co"
(10)
Cdlos
(10)
Cm244
(100)c
Detector
Type
Cooled
Mercuric
Iodide
Ambient
Silicon
Cesium
Iodide
Proportional
Counter
(Xenon gas)
Silicon
Proportional
Counter
(Argon gas)
XRF
Code
NO."
1
10
11
20
21
22
30
31
40
41
50
Date of
Source
(month/year)
4/93
7/93
7/93
8/93
5/93
8/93
3/93
3/93
7/93
7/93
9/91
Testing Dates in
1993 (month/day)
08/04-14
08/04-21
08/04-21
08/07-18
08/9-10,16,18-19
8/11-14,17
08/05-16
08/06-17
08/10-14
08/16-20
08/04-14
• Parenthetical numbers are approximate source strengths for new
sources in millicurie.
b Code Nos., created for this report, are used to discuss lead testing
results for specific instruments.
c Two sources were present in this instrument. Only this source was
used for lead measurements in Denver.
     3.5.2.1   Use of Independent Contractors and Monitors

     XRF testing was performed by lead testing companies,
independent from the manufacturers that owned XRF instruments or
leased/rented XRF instruments from the manufacturers.  The
testing companies used for this study were selected from  lists of
testing contractors supplied by the XRF manufacturers with one
exception.  For the prototype XRF instrument, cooperative efforts
were exerted to use an independent testing company that the
manufacturer would be willing to train and supply with prototype
instruments for use in the study.  During the field testing
activities, the testing company personnel were requested  not to
contact the manufacturers unless approved by the field
supervisor.

     As an aid to reduce testing errors and deviations from the
testing protocol, a data recording monitor, independent of the
XRF testing contractor, was assigned to each XRF tester.  This
recording monitor was trained on-site in the field to perform the
work according to study protocols.  The use of the independent
monitors helped assure that all data taken by the XRF tester
                               3-54

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Table 3-12.  Summary of XRF Instruments Used in the Full Study: Philadelphia
XRF
Model
Lead
Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead I
revision 4
XK-3
XL
X-MET 880
Source
Type
(a)
Cd109
(30)
Co57
(40)
Co57
(10)
Co57
(10)
cd109
(10)
Cm244
(100)c
Detector
Type
Cooled
Mercuric
Iodide
Ambient
Silicon
Cesium
Iodide
Proportional
Counter
(Xenon gas)
Silicon
Proportional
Counter
(Argon gas)
XRF
Code
No.b
1
2
10
12
20
23
21
30
32
42
50
Date of
Source
(month/year)
4/93
4/93
7/93
7/93
8/93
9/93
10/93
3/93
4/93d
7/93
9/91
Testing Dates
in 1993
(month/day)
10/11-21
10/21-25
10/06-25
10/06-25
10/11-25
10/11-14,18-25
10/15
10/11-25
10/11-25
10/11-25
10/11-25
a Parenthetical numbers are approximate source strengths for new
sources in millicurie.
b Code Nos., created for this report, are used to discuss lead testing
results for specific instruments.
c Two sources were present in this instrument. Only this source was
used for lead measurements in Philadelphia.
d Interpreted from 6 month old recorded source age.
would be recorded and helped  increase  the  speed of the field
testing task.

     3.5.2.2   Adherence to Manufacturer Protocols

     Although the study design  included highly structured testing
procedures as described in sections  3.5.2.3  through 3.5.3.11,  XRF
testers were required to operate XRF instruments in accordance
with generally recommended manufacturer protocols (with one
exception discussed below).   This  requirement  was included to
generate data in a manner that  was consistent  with general LBP
testing in housing.  Examples of generally recommended
manufacturer protocols include  the use of  instrument warm-up
periods and the use of beginning-of-day test block checks or
adjustments.
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     The one exception to using generally recommended
manufacturer protocols was for the Microlead I.   The manufacturer
recommends discarding one reading when changing substrates.  The
discarding of one reading when changing substrates was not
followed for the three reasons listed below:

     •  During the pilot study no unusual readings were observed
        when substrates were changed during performance of the
        XRF variability QC checks described later in section
        3.5.2.4.
     •  It was desirable to discourage the discarding of any
        readings by all the operators in order to provide data
        that would permit investigating the occurrence and causes
        of large XRF measurement errors that fall well outside
        the normal range; and
     •  Similar substrates were grouped and tested together to
        control substrate transition points as discussed in
        section 3.5.2.3.  In addition, continuing control block
        readings were taken at these transition points to provide
        information on potential substrate change affects as
        discussed in section 3.5.2.9.2.

     Even though the Microlead I testers were not permitted to
discard any readings,  all XRF instrument testers, included those
operating the Microlead I,  were allowed to take additional
readings if desired or needed to meet manufacturer's directives
as long as all the readings were recorded by the monitors.
Virtually all of the XRF testers made and recorded additional
readings at various times throughout the testing.  However, any
additional readings recorded by the monitors were not used for
statistical analysis unless it was clear that the XRF tester made
an error making the original readings.

     3.5.2.3   Specified Testing Order

     XRF testing was performed in a specific testing order with
respect to substrate type.   All like substrates in a unit were
tested together before moving to the next substrate.  This design
element was performed to systematically control changes in
substrate type..  Continuing control block readings, discussed in
section 3.5.2.9.2,  were included to monitor potential effects
from changing substrates during transition from one substrate to
another.

     For the pilot study, XRF testing was performed in a total of
four units grouped under two dwelling numbers consisting of two
housing units each.  Individual housing units did not have

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sufficient numbers of potential sampling locations to provide
enough locations near the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead level based on  data
supplied by the housing authority.   Sampling locations with like
substrates were sequentially numbered  together within each
dwelling number.  The order of testing was  wood,  drywall,
plaster,  concrete,  and metal.  Brick was not included because
this painted substrate was not present at the Louisville site.
XRF testing was performed starting  from the lowest sample
location number and progressing in  an  increasing fashion.

     For the full study,  sampling locations with like substrates
were sequentially numbered together within  each of the housing
units.  Targeted substrates were grouped into two categories
based on relative density with respect to XRF testing: high
density materials that included metal, brick, and concrete, and
low density materials that included wood, drywall and plaster.
The testing order was changed from the pilot to the full study to
alternate between these high density and low density materials.
The order of testing for the full study was metal, wood,  brick,
drywall,  concrete,  and plaster.  This  change from the pilot was
made to investigate potential memory effects on XRF lead
responses when switching between substrates of different
densities.  It was believed that alternating between the high and
low density materials would provide the best opportunity for
observing any potential memory affects.

     XRF testing in the full study was performed in a manner
similar to the pilot study, that is, progressing through the
sample location numbers in an increasing fashion.  However, the
starting substrate for each house or unit was systematically
varied among the substrate types.  This design element was added
to the full study to avoid any potential bias that could occur
from testing the like substrates in each housing unit at the same
time period of the testing day.  Once the starting substrate was
selected, testing of other substrates was determined by the
testing order list.  After the last substrate on the list was
completed, testing was resumed on the first substrate on the
list, that is, metal.

     In Denver, sample location numbering for a given housing
unit was performed according to the targeted testing order:
metal, wood, brick, drywall,  concrete, and  plaster.  Because of
the desire to initiate testing on different substrate types in
different housing units,  testing was performed in compliance to
the targeted testing order by starting with the lowest sampling
location number corresponding to the starting substrate type.
Testing was performed from that starting point through the sample

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location numbers in an increasing fashion.  When the highest
sampling location number had been tested, testing was resumed
starting from the lowest sample location number on the next
substrate.  In Philadelphia, the procedure was simplified by
initiating the numbering at the targeted starting substrate type
for that unit as opposed to numbering the all units in an
identical manner starting with the same substrate type.

     3.5.2.4   XRF Variability QC Checks

     In the pilot study, additional XRF measurement replicates
were taken at each sampling location that was of a different
substrate type from the previous sampling location.  These
additional XRF measurements, called "variability QC checks", were
performed to provide information on potential memory effects when
changing substrates.  This design element was not included in the
full study after data obtained in the pilot suggested that the
potential memory effects were not observable, if present, using
this type of QC check.

     3.5.2.5   XRF Measurement Definitions

     An XRF measurement for this study was defined as a set of
replicate XRF readings over a fixed duration of time called a
reading time.   Reading time and numbers of replicates were
variables for consideration in the design of this study.  A
single reading time was defined as single open shutter event that
included exposure of the painted surface to energy in the form of
gamma rays or high energy X-rays, emission of X-rays from
fluorescence transitions within lead atoms residing in the
painted surface,  counting of the X-rays received at the detector,
electronic processing of the detector signals, and displaying a
lead-area value result in mg/cm2.

     Reading times discussed in this report are referred to as
nominal reading times.  The word nominal is used to designate the
reading time that would result if the XRF instrument were using a
new radiation source.  For the full study, the nominal reading
time at a standard sampling location, discussed later in this
section,  was defined as a 15-second reading.  The actual reading
time for a given XRF instrument was generally slightly longer
than this nominal 15-second time because radiation source
materials used in XRF instruments decay.  As the radiation source
decays, the reading time must be lengthened to produce a constant
radiation exposure of the painted testing surface.  Because of
radiation source decay and because of the desire to perform
testing using a relatively constant radiation energy exposure of

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the testing surfaces among different instruments, efforts were
made to include XRF instruments into the study that had
relatively new radiation sources.  Adjustment to the reading time
beyond the nominal time was done based on the decay rate curve
for the radiation source material.  Some instruments, including
the MAP-3, Microlead I, and the XK-3, performed this adjustment
automatically.  Other instruments, such as the Lead Analyzer and
the X-MET 880, required manual adjustment of the reading time for
this study.  The XL was factory set to a 15-second reading time
for the entire study with no adjustment based on source date.
For the Lead Analyzer,  manual adjustments were made with the aid
of an adjustment table based on the radiation source age for Cd109
as shown in Table 3-13.  Although no Co57 manual  adjustments were
required, adjustment figures are also shown for this source
material as an aid to understanding the relationship between the
actual reading times and the nominal reading times used in this
study for Co57 sources.  The Cm244 source used in the X-MET 880 for
the full study has a half-life of approximately 18 years.  This
long half life, more than ten times that of Cd109,  results in a
much slower decay rate than the other radiation sources used in
this study.  This reduces the magnitude and frequency of reading
time adjustments needed to maintain a constant energy exposure of
the testing surfaces.  Based on the Cm244 decay rate and a source
date of September 1991, a one second increase to the nominal 15-
second reading time was used for this instrument for a total of
16 seconds.

     Reading time for XRF instruments are sometimes discussed
using three separate measurement time period terms: clock time,
live time, and dead time.   These measurement terms need some
discussion to explain setting of reading times among the
different XRF instruments included in this study.  With the
exception of clock time, the definitions for these measurement
terms vary among different XRF manufacturers.  This definition
variability is related to differences in electronic signal
processing among different XRF instruments.  However, despite
these differences, the following  approximate definitions
represent the ideas needed in this report to discuss the reading
times set for each XRF instrument.

Clock time Clock time, sometimes  referred to as  real time,  is the
           total time  that elapses while making  a  single lead
           measurement.  Clock time  is  equal to  live time plus
           dead time.
Live time  Live time,  also referred  to  as counting time, is  the
           time the detector  is  actively accumulating X-rays for
           producing a lead result.

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 Table 3-13.  Adjustment of Nominal 15 Second XRF Reading Times for Age of
            Source.
Source Age
(Days)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
Reading
Tines
(Seconds)*
For Cdlos
15.0
15.2
15.5
15.7
15.9
16.2
16.4
16.7
16.9
17.2
17.4
17.7
18.0
18.2
18.5
18.8
19.1
19.4
19.7
19.9
20.2
Reading
Times
(Seconds) b
For Co"
15.0
15.4
15.8
16.2
16.6
17.0
17.5
17.9
18.4
18.9
19.4
19.9
20.4
20.9
21.4
22.0
22.6
23.2
23.7
24.4
25.0
Source Age
(Days)
210
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
Reading
Times
(Seconds)*
For CD1M
20.6
20.9
21.2
21.5
21.8
22.2
22.5
22.8
23.2
23.5
23.9
24.2
24.6
25.0
25.4
25.7
26.1
26.5
26.9
27.3
27.7
Reading
Times
(Seconds)19
For Co"
25.6
26.3
27.0
27.7
28.4
29.1
29.9
30.6
31.4
32.2
33.1
33.9
34.8
35.7
36.6
37.6
38.5
39.5
40.6
41.6
42.7
The half life of Cd109 is 462.0 days [4].
b The half life of Co" is 271.8 days [4].
Dead time  Dead time  is  the  time the detector is not actively
           accumulating  X-rays for producing a lead result.

     Some XRF instruments, such as the Microlead I and XK-3, have
no appreciable dead time.  Therefore/  for these instruments,
clock time is equal to live  time,  and the reading time used in
this study is equivalent to  a live time measurement.   For
instruments that  are  reported to have some dead time, such as the
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Lead Analyzer,  the MAP-3,  the XL,  and the X-MET 880,  the amount
of dead time is sometimes  variable depending on the substrate and
lead level  being tested.   For the  MAP-3,  the XL,  and the X-MET
880,  reading times were set according to  live time.  For the Lead
Analyzer, reading times were set according to clock, time.
Therefore,  the  live time for Lead  Analyzer,  as used in this
study,  was  slightly less than the  live times used for MAP-3, the
XL,  and the X-MET 880.

     The MAP-3  had three reading modes of operation:  the "screen"
mode that used  a nominal 15-second reading,  a "test"  mode that
used a  nominal  60-second reading,  and "confirm" mode that used a
nominal 240-second reading.  Other instruments generally relied
on the  use  of one reading mode.   Investigation of the three
reading modes for this  instrument  was included by using three
different types of sampling locations: "standard" sampling
locations,  "special" sampling locations,  and "special-special"
sampling locations.  The "special-special" locations were used
only in the full study  and not in  the pilot'.  The difference
between these sampling  locations was that the "special" and
11 special-special" sampling locations received some extra XRF
testing in  addition to  the standard testing using different
measurement definitions,  as presented in Table 3-14 and Table
3-15.  In the pilot, all instruments under investigation were
included in this extra  testing.   For the full study,  extra
testing was performed only by the  MAP-3 instruments on separate
testing days referred to as "special" testing days.   Further
details on  testing at standard and "special" sampling locations
are discussed later in  sections 3.5.2.6 and 3.5.2.7.

     Use of these different types  of sampling locations permitted
an investigation into the alternative modes of operation in a
manner  that conserved study resources.  Conservation of study
resources was accomplished by limiting the numbers of "special"
and "special-special" locations in the study.  "Special" sampling
locations were  designated at a rate of approximately 25% of the
total for the pilot and full studies.  For the full study,
approximately 25% of the "special" sampling locations were
designated  as "special-special" sampling locations.

     3.5.2.6   XRF Measurements at Standard Locations

     Two goals  were desired with respect to operation of the XRF
instruments for this study.  One was to use the XRF instruments
in accordance with manufacturer recommendations as discussed in
section 3.5.2.2.  The other goal was to make reading times
approximately the same.  This goal was aimed at reducing the

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Table 3-14.  Pilot Study: XRF Measurement Definitions.
XRF MODEL
MAP-3
Microlead I
revision 4
XK-3
X-MET 880
No. of Replicates - Nominal Reading time (sec.)
Standard
Locations*
1-60
3 - 15b
3-15
3-15
•Special"
Locations*
3-15
4 - 15b
4-15
1-60
Beginning
and Ending
Control
Block
Readings*
3-60
9 - 15C
9-15
9-15
Continuing
Control
Blocks
Readings*
1-60
3 - 15b
3-15
3-15
* If the substrate was concrete, an extra measurement was performed.
b Data was collected using a single trigger pull event; the trigger was
held down through consecutive clicks, three or four, with each
replicate reading recorded during the measurement cycle.
c Data collected as three groups of three replicate readings. Each
group of three replicate readings was collected using a single
trigger pull event; the trigger was held down through three
consecutive clicks with each replicate reading recorded during the
measurement cycle.
Table 3-15.   Full Study: XRF Measurement Definitions.
XRF MODEL
Lead Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead I
revision 4
XK-3
XL
X-MET 880
No. of Replicates - Nominal Reading time (sec.)
Standard
Locations
3-15
3-15
3 - 15C
3-15
3-15
3-15
"Special"
Locations
na
1 - 60a
1 - 240b
na
na
na
na
Beginning
and Ending
Control
Block
Readings
3-15
3-15
3 - 15C
3-15
3-15
3-15
Continuing
Control
Block
Readings
3-15
3-15
3 - 15C
3-15
3-15
3-15
na not applicable, no measurement definition
a Measurement definition at "Special" locations
b Measurement definition at "Special -special" locations
c Collection of the three replicate readings was performed using a
single trigger pull event; the trigger was held down through three
consecutive clicks with each replicate reading recorded during the
measurement cycle.
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potential for unfair advantage to XRF instruments operating under
extended reading times since measurement precision might be
improved by acquiring X-ray counts for longer time periods.
Differences among the XRF instruments, as presented through the
previous discussion of clock time, live time and dead time,
limited the ability to make measurements using exactly the same
exposure times.  However, it is believed that any potential
differences in counting statistics among the instruments were
minimized during the measurements at standard sampling locations.

     For the pilot, the design elements for XRF testing,
including the XRF measurement definitions, were influenced by
information from the unpublished November 30, 1992 version of the
paint testing chapter of the HUD Guidelines  [5].   Standard
sampling locations were tested using reading times that were
considered, with respect to these draft guidelines, to be the
most common for LBP testing by each specific instrument.  The
Microlead I and the XK-3 were set to take readings the way it is
commonly done for these instruments; three nominal 15-second
readings.  Collection of the three replicate readings using the
Microlead I was performed using a single trigger pull event, that
is, the trigger was held down through three consecutive clicks
with each replicate reading recorded during the measurement
cycle.  This mode of taking multiple replicate measurements at a
specific sampling location, which is unique to the Microlead I,
was used throughout the pilot and full studies.   The X-MET 880,
not commonly used for LBP testing, was arbitrary set to take
readings using the same measurement definition used for the
Microlead I and the XK-3 as shown in Table 3-14.   The MAP-3 was
operated in the "test mode" using a single nominal 60-second
reading time.

     For the full study, at all standard sampling locations, a
reading was defined as a nominal 15-second exposure time for all
XRF instruments including the MAP-3 as shown in Table 3-15.  This
was done to achieve the second goal with respect to operation of
the XRF instruments; that is, to perform reading times of
approximately the same length as previously discussed.

     3.5.2.7   XRF Measurements at "Special" Locations  -  Use of
               Alternative Measurement Times

     As discussed in section 3.5.2.5, "special" sampling
locations, which included both "special" and "special-special"
sampling locations for the full study, were used to perform
additional testing using alternative measurement definitions.
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     For the full study, performance of additional testing at the
"special" sampling locations was limited to the MAP-3 as shown in
Table 3-15.  The MAP-3 was investigated using two alternative
measurement times: the test mode using a nominal 60-second
reading and the confirm mode using a nominal 240-second reading.
All "special" sampling locations were tested using the nominal
60-second reading.  The "special-special" sampling locations were
further tested using the nominal 240-second reading.  A summary
of measurement definitions used for XRF testing across the
different types of sampling locations in the pilot and full
studies are shown in Tables 3-14 and 3-15.  Discussions of
measurements on control blocks are presented in section 3.5.2.9.

     For the pilot study, different measurement definitions for
"special" sampling locations were used for all four instruments
to provide comparison testing information among instruments at
approximately equivalent nominal reading times as shown in Table
3-14.  For example, measurement for the X-MET 880 at the
"special" sampling locations was performed using one nominal 60-
second reading, which is equivalent to MAP-3 data generated at
the standard sampling locations.  Since the Microlead I and the
XK-3 had fixed reading times, use of an additional replicate
provided a combined set of readings, four nominal 15-second
readings, that was equivalent in duration to the measurement time
for the MAP-3 at the standard sampling locations.  Use of nominal
15-second readings for the MAP-3 at "special" locations provided
data equivalent in duration to the measurement times for the
other three XRF instruments at the standard sampling locations.

     3.5.2.8   Bare Substrate Measurements (with and without NXST
               films)

     Each sampling location included painted testing areas and
bare XRF testing areas (areas scraped free of surface paint
following removal of paint chip samples) for making XRF
measurements as described in section 3.1.5 and diagrammed in
Figure 3-1.  Measurements at the bare substrate testing areas
were included in the study to provide information on the
potential of substrate correction.  Substrate correction, a type
of background correction method, refers to a method of improving
the accuracy of lead testing results by subtracting lead testing
results obtained from the bare substrates from lead results on
painted surfaces.

     Statistical analysis of historical XRF data from previous
studies was hampered by the fact that some of the XRF instruments
truncate lead measurement values at zero, that is, no negative

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values were allowed to be displayed.   However, negative values
can be generated by most XRF instruments,  and negative values can
be useful for statistical analysis.   Therefore, to avoid
censoring of negative readings,  a NIST standard film, containing
lead,  was routinely placed over the  bare substrate to elevate the
measured lead result by a known value.  The NIST standard films,
NIST SRM 2579,  are a set of five films containing known levels of
lead ranging from less than 0.0001 mg/cm2  to  3.53  mg/cm2.  These
films, approximately 12 to 13 mil thick, have been reported to
consist of approximately 2 mil of paint on top of 8 mil of mylar
backing plus a plastic coating [6].  (A mil is a common unit of
measure in the coatings industry and is eg_ual to 1/1000 of an
inch.)  This design element of using the films to elevate the
measured lead result was used both for bare substrate areas at
each sampling location and for control block measurements
described in section 3.5.2.9.

     For the pilot, bare substrate areas at each location were
measured while covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard film.
If the substrate was concrete, an additional measurement was made
using the 3.53 mg/cm2  NIST standard film.   Concrete substrates
were targeted for the additional measurement using a higher lead
standard film because an XRF expert  suggested that on dense
substrates, the higher lead levels constitute a greater challenge
than lower levels.

     For the full study, bare substrate areas at each location
were measured while covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard
film.   Use of the higher standard for concrete was dropped based
on lack of evidence from pilot data  that it was needed.  However,
measurement of the bare substrates without any films was added to
the design to provide supplemental XRF measurement data as
suggested by some reviewers during the planning stages for the
full study.  Bare substrate measurements were performed by all
instruments at the locations identified as "specials," which was
approximately 25% of the locations.   Bare substrate measurements
made by the MAP-3 instruments were performed using the test mode,
a nominal reading time of 60-seconds,  only during days when the
"special" sampling locations were being tested using alternative
measurement definitions as described in section 3.5.2.7.

     3.5.2.9   Field QC Samples for  XRF Measurements

     As previously discussed in section 3.5.2, design elements
were needed to investigate the anecdotal evidence that XRF
instruments were subject to both systematic and intermittent
sources of error.  Field QC samples  were developed to aid in this

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 investigation and to provide information on the potential use of
 standard field QC procedures for performing substrate correction.
 The field QC samples developed for this study consisted of
 control blocks constructed from various building materials
 representing the commonly encountered substrates.   These QC
 samples were measured while covered with NIST standard films to
 provide lead measurement results on the known lead level standard
 films.  In the full study, these QC samples were also measured
 bare, not covered with the NIST standard films.

     For the pilot,  a total of six different types of control
 blocks were constructed.  These control blocks were each
 approximately 4 inches by 4 inches by y inches where y equalled
 approximately 3A inches for wood (pine),  2 inches for concrete
 (with aggregate),  :/z inches drywall,  1 inch for plaster, and y
 was 20- to 25-gauge for metal.   A brick was also included as a
 control block.   In addition to these blocks, a 12 inch thick
 styrofoam support  block was included to support the control
blocks during XRF  measurement activities.  The styrofoam block
was used to eliminate the potential for underlying materials to
 affect the XRF measurement values taken using the control blocks.
A total of two complete sets of blocks were constructed.

     For the full  study, ten complete sets of the same types of
 control blocks included in the pilot were constructed.

     For each XRF  testing day,  all control block measurements
made by a specific XRF operator were always performed on the same
 set of control blocks at a fixed location within the housing
unit.  These restrictions were made to assure that differences
 observed in control block data would be free of potential effects
 caused by physical differences in individual control blocks and
placements within  the units.  One set of control blocks was used
 for each of two units tested together in the pilot study.  For
 the full study,  a  separate set of control blocks was placed in
 each housing unit.

     3.5.2.9.1 Beginning and Ending Control Block Testing

     As previously discussed in section 3.5.2, information was
needed to investigate a tendency for some instruments to "drift"
over the course of a day's measurements.    Information on day-
 long drift was obtained by requiring all XRF operators to take
measurements on all types of the control blocks at the beginning
 and at the end of  each testing day.
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     For the pilot,  beginning and ending control block testing
were performed using the same reading times as those used for the
standard sampling location measurements,  but at a three fold
increase in replications as shown in Table 3-14.  This large
number of replications was included to assure collection of
sufficient data to assess short term stability during the
collection of the control block data.   All control blocks were
measured while covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2  NIST standard film.
If the substrate was concrete,  an additional measurement was made
using the 3.53 mg/cm2  NIST standard film.  Use  of this  additional
higher lead level film is discussed in section 3.5.2.8.

     For the full study, beginning and ending testing were
performed using the same reading times as those used for the
standard sampling location measurements as shown in Table 3-15.
The increase in replication of reading times used in the pilot
was dropped due to lack of need based on the pilot data.
Instead, three different measurements were made on all the
control blocks: one while covered with a 3.53 mg/cm2  NIST
standard film, one while covered with a 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard
film, and one on the bare substrate.  This change was made to
gather potential drift data over a range of lead levels as
opposed to one lead level used in the pilot with the exception of
the concrete substrate.

     3.5.2.9.2 Substrate Change Control Block Testing

     As discussed in section 3.5.2, information was needed to
investigate a tendency for some instruments to show unusually
high variability of measurements taken immediately after a change
in substrate.  Information on potential short term "drift" during
the day was also needed.   Information on these two issues was
obtained by requiring all XRF operators to make measurements on
specific control blocks every time a substrate change was made
during testing of the sampling locations.  These measurements are
referred to as "continuing control block readings".

     For the pilot,  continuing control block readings were
performed using the same reading times as those used for the
standard sampling location measurements as shown in Table 3-14.
If the new sampling location was of a different substrate type
from the last sampling location, a control block measurement was
required on the new substrate type.   The control block matching
the new sampling location was measured while covered with the
1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard film.   If the substrate was concrete,
an additional measurement was made on these areas using the 3.53
mg/cm2 NIST standard film.  Use  of this additional higher lead

                              3-67

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level film is discussed in section 3.5.2.8.  During the
performance of the pilot, an addition was made to include
continuing control block readings on substrates matching the last
sampling location.  Therefore, most of the continuing control
block readings taken during the pilot included readings on
substrates matching the last and new sampling locations.  This
feature was added as an up-front design element for the full
study.

     For the full study, continuing control block readings were
performed using the same reading times as those used for the
standard sampling location measurements as shown in Table 3-15.
If the new sampling location was a change in substrate type from
the last sampling location, continuing control block readings
were required on both substrates types, last and new.  Three
different measurements were made on each of the two matching
control blocks: one while covered with a 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST
standard film, one while covered with a 1.02 mg/cm2  NIST standard
film, and one on the bare substrate.  This change was made to
match beginning and ending control block testing previously
discussed in section 3.5.2.9.1.

     Because of concerns related to increases in testing time for
the MAP-3 instruments during the "special" measurement days
discussed in section 3.5.2.7,  continuing control block readings
for the MAP-3 instruments were not performed during "special"
measurement days.

     3.5.2.10  Recording of K- and L-shell Data

     Two of the XRF instruments included in the study had the
capability to simultaneously make both K- and L-shell
measurements.  These were the MAP-3 and the Lead Analyzer.  For
these instruments, both forms of data were collected during the
study.

     3.5.2.11  Safety Considerations

     XRF instruments use radioactive isotopes that continuously
emit energy in the form of high energy X-rays, or gamma rays or
other decay particles.  Because these energy emissions can cause
damage to body tissue, radiation safety was a primary
consideration during XRF testing.

     Several design elements were included to address safety
concerns and manage the potential hazard during the study.  These
included use of (1)  properly trained and  licensed operators,  (2)

                               3-68

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additional hazard instructional training for both operators and
monitors,  (3)  limiting the number of testers in a given unit,  (4)
elimination of some potential testing areas from use during
selection of sampling locations,  (5) use of specific unit entry
protocols, (6)  use of warning signs and door guards, (7)
monitoring by the field supervisors, and (8)  use of radiation
badges.   Each of these is discussed further below:

(1)   Use of Licensed Operators.  Only licensed operators were
     used for handling the XRF instruments.  These operators were
     training by the XRF manufacturers for use of the instruments
     under their control with one exception.   The exception was
     for one of the Microlead I operators who was trained by a
     manufacturer to operate the MAP-3 but not specially trained
     by a manufacturer to operate the Microlead I.  However, this
     operator did receive training for the Microlead I by a
     senior testing company staff member who had received
     training directly from the manufacturer to operate the
     Microlead I.              .        >

(2)   Additional Hazard Instructional Training.  Prior to XRF
     testing,  all operators and monitors were assembled together
     and given detailed instructions as to the requirements for
     performance of the study.  During this training, safety
     concerns and the potential hazards were discussed with the
     goal of increasing awareness to eliminate any inadvertent
     radiation exposure.

(3)   Limiting the Number of Testers in a Given Unit.  Only one
     XRF operator with monitor was allowed in a given unit at a
     time.  This eliminated the potential for a second operator
     to inadvertently expose the first during performance of
     testing activities.  In addition, any potential electronic
     interferences from one XRF instrument on another were also
     eliminated.  Field supervisors were allowed to enter units
     to observe testing and perform other supervisory activities.

(4)   Elimination of Potential Testing Areas from Use.  During the
     process of identifying sampling locations, discussed in
     section 3.1.4, some areas were excluded from consideration
     because of the potential inadvertent radiation exposure
     hazard.  Examples include the back of an main entry door
     that would have to be exposed to radiation in a manner that
     would be not permit the operator or monitor to observe
     traffic coming up to the door, walls that were facing
     stairways common to multiple housing units, and walls that
     were facing occupied areas.

                               3-69

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(5)   Use of Specific Entry Protocols.   Entry into a building
     undergoing XRF testing was performed using an established
     verbal call and wait for reply procedure.   In addition to
     instructing all field personnel in the procedure,  the
     procedure was posted on the doors of housing units that were
     not assigned guards as described below.

(6)   Use of Warning Signs and Door Guards.  Brightly colored
     warning signs were posted at the entry to  each housing unit
     in Louisville and Denver.  In Philadelphia,  the testing site
     was such that the signs would only result  in attraction of
     people and therefore, would have failed to be an effective
     deterrent to entry.  Therefore, guard personnel were used to
     stop outside people from entering the buildings undergoing
     XRF testing.

(7)   Monitoring by the Field Supervisors.  All  XRF testing was
     actively monitored by field supervisors. Part of the field
     supervisors duty was to assure that testing was conducted in
     a safe manner.

(8)   Use of Radiation Badges.  All field personnel involved with
     XRF testing were assigned radiation badges for monitoring
     levels of any inadvertent exposure.  Badges were worn by XRF
     operators, monitors, field supervisors/ and any outside
     observers visiting the XRF testing site.

     3.5.3 Summary of Field Observations

     Recording of unusual events was encouraged throughout the
course of the study.  Supervisors, on site at all times during
field activities, recorded field observations in bound pre-
numbered notebooks.  Testers used data forms to record field
observations.  All data forms used in the study contained data
blocks for recording time entries and comments  or observations.
This information was reviewed to aid in data interpretation and
to provide supplemental study data.  A summary  of observations
deemed by the field supervisory team to be of importance for
supplemental XRF testing information is presented in this
section.

     3.5.3.1   Testing Time Requirements

     The primary goal of the pilot study was to determine
operating logistics for use in planning resources for the full
study.  Time requirement estimates used for planning the pilot
study were determined by making assumptions that were based on

                               3-70

-------
reported XRF operations.   These estimates were increased slightly
to assure that the pilot  study testing could be completed within
planned times.  Actual performance times in the field for both
the pilot study and full  study were recorded in time measurement
entry blocks on the data  forms.

     The testing time requirements included the time to perform
the following list of activities:

     •  warm up the instrument;
     •  perform field QC  sample measurements;
     •  perform sampling  location measurements;
     •  fill out the data forms;
     •  move to the next  testing location; and
     •  periodic breaks.

     Typical learning curve characteristics were observed for the
time required to perform  the XRF testing.  Inclusion of the
highly specified measurement procedures- designed into the study
is suspected to be a contributing factor to the increased testing
times required during the initial days of XRF testing.  The XRF
operators had been trained to run their instruments but not in a
manner called for by the  detailed measurement protocols used in
the study,  particularly with respect to performance of the field
QC sample measurements.

     A review of testing  times from Denver suggests that after
achieving some familiarity with the testing protocols,
approximately 60 to 100 of the standard sampling locations,
including field QC samples, could be tested in eight hours with
any of the XRF instruments in the study.

     3.5.3.2   Testing Difficulties Encountered in the
               Performance of XRF Measurements

     Some difficulties were encountered during performance of the
XRF testing portion of the study.   These difficulties are
summarized in the following sections.

     3.5.3.2.1 Factory Modifications between Denver and
               Philadelphia

     Testing in a manner  completely independent from manufacturer
influence was not possible during the study.  For example,
prototype instruments had to be obtained through direct
cooperation with the manufacturer.  Some modifications of
instruments were performed between Denver and Philadelphia and

                               3-71

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are discussed in this section.

     The XL used for Philadelphia was different from the XL
instruments used in Denver,  as indicated in Tables 3-11 and 3-12.
The manufacturer verbally informed the study team that
modification of the XL was performed between use in the two
cities.   However, the exact nature of the modification is not
known.

     The Lead Analyzer used for much of the Philadelphia Testing
was modified after the Denver testing and before the Philadelphia
testing.  This information was provided to the study team by the
manufacturer in writing.  The nature of the modification was
limited to a re-calibration of the instrument using a different
set of standards from those used prior to shipment of the
instrument to Denver.

     The same two MAP-3 instruments were used in both Denver and
Philadelphia, as indicated in Tables 3-11 and 3-12, even though
different independent subcontractors were used for one of these
two instruments.  It was observed that these instruments were
capable of displaying negative lead readings in both cities.
However, in Denver, the instruments could not store negative
readings, whereas in Philadelphia, the instruments could store
negative readings.

     3.5.3.2.2 Instrument Operational Problems and Failures

     Some XRF instrument operational problems occurred during
testing for the pilot and full studies.  All of the operational
problems can be summarized in three categories: battery problems,
instrument failures, and data storage problems.  Each of these is
discussed below.

     Battery related problems, observed in the pilot and full
study, were the most common of the XRF instrument operational
problems experienced in the study.  In general, low battery
warnings on instruments were handled by re-charging the
instruments or by making interim connections to local line power
for completion of testing in a given day.  In a few cases, the
battery problems involved failures that required use of backup
instruments.  In Denver, the XL and one of the Microlead I
instruments required use of backup instruments as  indicated  in
Table 3-11.  In  Philadelphia, one of the Microlead I instruments
required use of backup instruments as indicated in Table 3-12.
In addition, the Lead Analyzer also experienced an operational
failure in Philadelphia and had to be replaced by  a backup

                               3-72

-------
instrument as indicated in Table 3-12.  However,  whether this
failure was due to a battery related problem is not known.

     Three of the XRF instruments included in the study had the
capability to electronically store lead readings for later
retrieval and examination.  These included the X-MET 880,  the
MAP-3 and the Lead Analyzer.  For these instruments, captured
electronic data were collected for later comparison to real-time
hard-copy data forms.  Problems with electronic collection of
data occurred during the full study.  In Denver,  data storage
failures were observed for the X-MET 880 and one of the MAP-3
instruments.   In Philadelphia, data storage failures were again
observed for the X-MET 880.
                              3-73

-------
     Chapter 4 g»Tnma.rv!  Paint-Chip Sample Data.
Of the 1,290 paint  samples collected  and  analyzed in
the  laboratory  in  this  study,   approximately  20%
contained lead at a level equal to or greater than 1.0
mg/cm2, one of the federal thresholds for defining LBP
on painted surfaces. Approximately 29% of the samples
contained  lead  equal  to  or greater than  0.5%  by
weight, the other federal threshold for LBP on painted
surfaces.
For the paint samples,  lead levels expressed in mg/cm2
and lead  levels  expressed in percent lead by weight
were roughly  equivalent.   A level of 1.0  mg/cm2  was
roughly equivalent  to  1.0% by weight and a level of
0.5% by weight was roughly equivalent to 0.5 mg/cm2.
Lead  levels in  paint  showed  significant  variation
within  individual architectural  components such  as
doors, walls, and baseboards.
Variation  between  members  of  laboratory  duplicate
subsample  pairs  was  much  smaller  than  variation
between members of  duplicate  samples  obtained in the
field.

-------
4    PAINT-CHIP SAMPLE DATA

     4.1  DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ON LABORATORY ANALYSES

     Descriptive statistics of the paint-chip samples address the
study objective to investigate the variability of lead levels in
the paint within the study sampling locations.  Paint-chip
samples were collected at 1,290 sampling locations in the three
cities.  There were 100 locations in two multifamily buildings in
Louisville,  750 in ten single-family houses in Denver, and 440 in
eight multifamily units in Philadelphia.  As described in section
4.3.2 below, two paint samples (field duplicates) were collected
at a subset of locations in order to estimate the variability in
lead levels between samples collected a short distance apart on
the same component.  As described in section 4.3.1, some samples
were analyzed in duplicate to estimate the variability of the
analytical process.  Thus, some locations have more than one
sample and some samples have more than one reported measurement.
A single measurement at each sampling location was designated as
the primary measurement.  Descriptive statistics on these 1,290
primary measurements are provided below.

     Each sample was analyzed using a modified NIOSH 7082 method
applied to a 0.5 gram subsample of the original sample  (if it
weighed more than 0.5 gram), taken after homogenization of the
sample.  Results were reported both in area units  (mg/cm2 lead)
and in percent bv weight units  (% of lead in the sample by mass).

     Samples were collected from six substrate types: brick,
concrete, drywall, metal, plaster, and wood.  The number of
sampling locations for each substrate in each city and overall is
shown in Table 4-1.  The target allocations for the Denver and
Philadelphia parts of the study are shown in Table 4-2; there
were no targets for Louisville since this was a pilot study.

     These counts were dictated by the realities of the testing
sites.  Philadelphia and Louisville were older public housing
projects with very little painted brick and drywall.  The Denver
site consisted of 10 single-family homes, in which metal
substrates were in short supply.  By contrast, there were many
metal components in Louisville and Philadelphia.  Given the
constraints of field sampling, the actual number of each
substrate achieved was close to the target allocations  for Denver
and Philadelphia.  The overall target was achieved exactly.  For
each substrates, Table 4-3 presents summary statistics  for the
mass in grams of .the primary paint-chip samples  taken from each
 sampling  location  in each city and aggregated across  cities.

                               4-1

-------
 Table 4-1.  Number of Sampling Locations by Substrate and Overall.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Hood
Total
ALL CITIES
93
226
124
217
242
388
1,290
DENVER
81
98
105
62
101
303
750
PHILADELPHIA
12
120
8
127
121
52
440
LOUISVILLE
0
8
11
28
20
33
100
Table 4-2.  Target Sample Allocations for Denver and Philadelphia by
          Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Total
DENVER
80
170
170
60
100
170
750
PHILADELPHIA
8
48
8
128
120
128
440
TOTAL
88
218
178
188
220
298
1,190
     Table 4-4 presents  summary statistics  for the primary paint-
chip samples in mg/cm2 lead, first  by housing unit  in each city,
then aggregated by city,  and,  finally, aggregated across cities
for the overall study.   Table  4-5 gives the same statistics by
substrate for each city  and overall.  The same statistics for
interior, exterior and common  areas are provided in Table 4-6.
Tables 4-7, 4-8, and 4-9 are the companion  tables in percent by
weight units.

     In Denver, two units of the ten tested (unit numbers 3 and
8)  stand out as having unusually high lead  levels.   Unit number
8,  built in 1890, was the oldest unit studied and had high levels
of  lead throughout.  Unit number 3 had several very high levels
on  wood substrates which created a skewed distribution.  Apart
from these two units, lead levels in Denver were fairly
consistent from house to house, although unit number 4 had some
high levels in percent by weight.  Levels in Philadelphia and
                               4-2

-------
Table 4-3.   Summary Statistics of Primary Sample Mass  
-------
Table 4-4.
Summary statistics of ICP Analyses of Primary Samples  (mg/cm2 lead) Categorized by Unit and City.
J— "T
CITY
_.,



DENVER










PHILADELPHIA





LOUISVILLE

ALL CITIES
=====
UNIT
ID
1
2
3
4
c
6
7
8
9
10
ALL



4



8
ALL
1

ALL
ALL
YEAR
BUILT
1943
1948
1952
1905
1949
1948
1952
1890
1949
1947
N/A
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1937
1937
1937
1 N/A
SAMPLE
SIZE
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
750

55






440
50
50
100
1290
MINIMUM
0.0001
0.0003
0.0001
0.0003
0.0002
0.0002
0.0007
0.0004
0.0003
0.0005
0.0001
0.0004
0.0002
0.0003
0.0021
0.0005
0.0017
0.0078
0.0028
0.0002
0.0001
0.0004
0.0001
0.0001
25TH
PERCENTILE
0.0006
0.03
0.04
0.002
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.62
0.02
0.003
0.01
0.05
0.05
0.21
0.24
0.25
0.26
0.09
0.13
0.16
0.12
0.14
0.13
0.03
MEDIAN
0.003
0.09
0.09
0.02
0.08
0.18
0.08
6.67
0.20
0.04
0.08
0.60
0.37
0.38
0.35
0.39
0.46
0.17
0.20
0.32
0.29
0.45
0.39
0.20
GEOMETRIC
MEAN
0.01
0.10
0.08
0.03
0.05
0.08
0.12
2.34
0.08
0.03
0.07
0 .23
0.12
0.32
0.26
0.40
0.25
0.14
0.27
0.23
0.20
0.28
0.24
0.12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.19
0.47
2.19
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.76
8.32
0.31
0.27
1.39
0.93
0.44
0.68
0.41
1.05
0.53
0.27
0.73
0.63
1.87
2.00
1.93
1.17
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.02
0.41
0.24
0.22
0.23
0.71
0.63
13.07
0.47
0.15
0.50
1.31
0.57
0.79
0.43
1.68
0.60
0.26
0.90
0.61
2.56
2.84
2.56
0.62
MAXIMUM
3.07
2.89
30.11
5.75
3.61
3.16
5.06
37.29
2.27
4.55
37.29
3.84
2.57
3.97
2.67
7.23
6.50
4.48
6.07
7.23
14.05
11.64
14 .05
37.29
STANDARD
DEVIATION
0.53
0.74
6.44
0.99
0.86
0.69
1.34
8.58
0.39
0.72
4.19
1.11
0.48
0.76
0.42
1.42
0.86
0.61
1.16
0.94
3.02
3.22
3 .11
3.38
                                                          4-4

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Table 4-5,   Summary Statistics of ICP Analyses  of  Primary Samples  (mg/cmj lead)  Categorized by Substrate.
CITY
DENVER
PHILADELPHIA
LOUISVILLE
ALL CITIES
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
SAMPLE
SIZE
81
98
105
62
101
303
12
120
8
127
121
52
8
11
28
20
33
93
226
124
217
242
388
MINIMUM
0 .0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0002
0.0003
0.0001
0.0011
0.0013
0.0003
0.0020
0.0005
0.0002
0.0400
0.0001
0.0040
0.1000
0.0001
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0002
0.0003
0.0001
25TH
PERCENTILE
0.003
0.01
0.01
0.002
0.01
0.03
0.002
0 .07
0.0004
0.20
0.20
0.21
0.14
0.00
0.17
0.23
0.13
0.003
0.02
0.002
0.10
0.10
0.04
MEDIAN
0.28
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.11
0.12
0.03
0.26
0.002
0.39
0.30
0.79
0.25
0.00
0 .43
0.37
2.43
0.19
0.19
0.02
0.34
0.23
0.17
GEOMETRIC
MEAN
0.10
0.05
0.02
0.03
0.08
0.12
0.02
0.17
0.001
0.40
0.27
0.38
0.32
0.0005
0.34
0.68
0.72
0.08
0.10
0.01
0.19
0.18
0.16
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
3.86
1.14
0,11
0.45
1.59
1.37
0,12
0.40
0.002
0.99
0.43
0 .98
0.92
0.0004
0 .68
1.68
4.03
3 .38
0.74
0.09
0.79
1.02
1.54
75TH
PERCENT I LE
1.67
0.28
0.11
0.73
0.26
1.22
0.16
0.47
0.002
1.27
0.44
1 .21
1.48
0.001
0.72
3.57
7.01
0.65
0.43
0.08
0.90
0.42
1.36
MAXIMUM
34.09
15.98
0.91
2.44
37.29
30.11
0.71
3.60
0.01
6.50
2.64
7.23
3.54
0.001
4.03
5.53
14.05
34.09
15.98
0.90
6.50
37.29
30.11
STANDARD
DEVIATION
7.52
2.88
0.18
0.72
5.21
3.79
0.21
O.S5
0.00
1.31
0.48
1.17
1.34
0.0005
0.91
2.01
4.34
7.13
1.98
0.17
1.14
3.47
3.68
                                                               4-5

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Table 4-6.  Summary Statistics of ICP Analyses of Primary Samples (mg/cm2 lead) Categorized by City and Interior,
            Exterior,  and Common Areas.
CITY
DENVER
PHILADELPHIA
LOUISVILLE
ALL CITIES
LOCATION
Interior
Exterior
Interior
Common
Interior
Exterior
N/A
SAMPLE
SIZE
447
303
385
55
91
9
1290
MINIMUM
0.0001
0.0001
0.0002
0.0011
0.0001
0.0360
0.0001
25TH
PBRCENTILE
0.008
0.007
0.20
0.007
0.12
3.54
0.03
MEDIAN
0.07
0.25
0.36
0.03
0.32
10.16
0.20
GEOMETRIC
MEAN
0.05
0.13
0.30
0.05
0.34
4.30
0.12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.83
2.20
0.64
0.60
1.34
7.94
1.17
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.21
1.86
0.62
0.18
2.11
10.91
0.62
MAXIMUM
37.29
30.11
7.23
6.50
11.64
14.05
37.29
STANDARD
DEVIATION
3.64
4.78
0.84
1.47
2.16
4.73
3.38
                                                          4-6

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Table 4-7.   Summary Statistics of ICP Analyses of Primary Samples  (percent by weight lead) Categorized by Unit and City.
CITY
DENVER
PHILADELPHIA
LOUISVILLE
ALL CITIES
UNIT
ID
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
ALL
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
ALL
1
2
ALL
ALL
YEAR
BUILT
1943
1948
1952
1905
1949
1948
1952
1890
1949
1947
N/A
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1937
1937
1937
N/A
S AMPLE
SIZE
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
75
750
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
440
50
50
100
1290
MINIMUM
0.0005
0.0020
0.0006
0.0008
0.0010
0.0010
0.0020
0.0030
0.0007
0.0007
0.0005
0.0009
0.0010
0.0010
0.0020
0.0010
0.0010
0.0040
0.0006
0.0006
0.0004
0.0008
0.0004
0.0004
25TH
PERCENTILE
0.002
0.07
0.09
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.05
0.62
0.03
0.002
0.02
0.08
0.07
0.15
0.18
0.17
0 .15
0.08
0.12
0.13
0.16
0.21
0.17
- 0.05
MEDIAN
0.01
0.13
0.20
0.04
0.12
0.35
0.15
3.09
0.24
0.02
0.13
0.38
0.31
0.28
0.27
0.26
0.31
0.13
0.21
0.26
0.39
0.46
0.44
0.20
GEOMETRIC
MEAN
0.02
0.20
0.21
0.05
0.09
0.14
0.19
1.46
0.12
0.02
0.11
0.25
0.17
0.27
0.25
0.33
0.20
0.13
0.26
0.22
0.34
0.46
0.40
0.15
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.30
1.14
3.22
0 .83
0.49
0.66
0.90
3.46
0.43
0.16
1.16
1.10
0.75
0.65
0.52
0.91
0.50
0.34
0.75
0.69
2.69
2.64
2.67
1.12
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.08
0.45
0.48
0.29
0.24
1.28
0.99
5.28
0.46
0.09
0.72
1.27
0.65
0.78
0.37
0.83
0 .43
0.20
0.81
0.56
4.73
3.68
4.14
0.72
MAXIMUM
5.26
8.87
34.56
11.37
3.25
3.02
7.72
14.83
4.83
2.21
34 .56
8.05
6.80
6.42
9.40
4.52
9.75
9.44
12.16
12.16
13.62
14.16
14.16
34.56
STANDARD
DEVIATION
0.90
2.10
7.80
2.18
0.89
0.80
1.56
3.14
0.71
0.40
3 .11
1.74
1.37
1.08
1.27
1.31
1.29
1.26
1.70
1.40
4.03
4.09
4.04
2.79
                                                          4-7

-------
Table 4-8.   Summary Statistics of ICP Analyses  of  Primary  Samples  (percent by weight lead) Categorized by Substrate.
CITY
DENVER
PHILADELPHIA
LOUISVILLE
ALL CITIES


SUB
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
SAMPLE
SIZB
81
98
105
62
101
303
12
120
8
127
121
52
8
11
28
20
33
93
226
124
217
242
388
MINIMUM
0.0008
0.0007
0.0005
0.0020
0.0007
0.0008
0.0006
0.0010
0.0010
0.0040
0.0010
0.0009
0.1200
0.0004
0.0100
0.1300
0.0005
0.0006
0.0007
0.0004
0.0020
0.0007
0.0005
25TH
PBRCBNTILB
0.01
0.004
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.07
0.001
0.08
0.001
0.21
0.13
0.33
0.17
0.0008
0.25
0.34
0.31
0.004
0.03
0.002
0.16
0.10
0.08
MEDIAN
0.15
0.04
0.04
0.20
0.14
0.20
0.02
0.20
0.002
0.46
0.22
0.91
0.23
0.001
0.46
0.47
4.73
0.09
0.15
0.03
0.40
0.21
0.31
GEOMETRIC
MEAN
0.10
0 .05
0.03
0.17
0.09
0.22
0.01
0.14
0.002
0.51
0.20
0.52
0.44
0.001
0.50
0.82
1.39
0.07
0.09
0.02
0.37
0.16
0.29
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.28
0.76
0.14
1.61
0.59
1 .70
0.06
0.27
0.002
1.37
0.30
1.14
1.21
0.001
1.07
1.65
5.89
1.12
0.52
0.12
1 .40
0.53
1.98
75TH
PBRCBNTILB
0.98
0.29
0.11
1.71
0.32
1.61
0.07
0.30
0.002
1.17
0.30
1.41
1.77
0.002
0.95
3.33
11.10
0.42
0.30
0.09
1.27
0.35
1.94
MAXIMUM
9.33
9.69
1.44
16.68
8.49
34.56
0.35
2.32
0.01
12.16
1.89
5.65
5.21
0.003
5.63
5.11
14 .16
9.33
9.69
1.44
16.68
8.49
34.56
STANDARD
DEVIATION
2.26
1.78
0.28
3.14
1.35
4 .26
0.10
0.36
0.002
2.27
0.31
1.18
1.89
0 .0008
1.60
1.83
5.38
2.15
1.27
0.26
2.48
1.10
4.27
                                                         4-8

-------
Table 4-9.  Summary Statistics of ICP Analyses of Primary Samples  (percent by weight  lead) Categorized by City and
            Interior,  Exterior,  and Common Areas.
CITY
DENVER
PHILADELPHIA
LOUISVILLE
ALL CITIES
LOCATION
Interior
Exterior
Interior
Common
Interior
Exterior
N/A
SAMPLE
SIZE
447
303
385
55
91
9
1290
MINIMUM
0.0005
0.0007
0.0009
0.0006
0.0004
0.1835
0.0004
25TK
PERCENTILE
0.02
0.02
0.15
0.004
0.15
5.21
0.05
MEDIAN
0.10
0.28
0.27
0.06
0.39
12.61
0.20
GEOMETRIC
MEAN
0.07
0.21
0.27
0.07
0.30
6.28
0.15
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.54
2.07
0.58
1.45
1.97
9.73
1.12
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.26
2.58
0.56
0.28
2.98
13.28
0.72
MAXIMUM
15.72
34.56
7.18
12.16
13.40
14 .16
34.56
STANDARD
DEVIATION
1.61
4.34
0.88
3.12
3.14
5.37
2.79
                                                          4-9

-------
Louisville show less variation from unit to unit than in Denver.

     The arithmetic mean lead level in both types of units was
highest in Louisville, with Denver next and Philadelphia last.
However, Denver had the lowest median level.  This is explained
by the impact of the two units in Denver with the very high
levels.  If these units are excluded,  the arithmetic mean level
in Denver drops from 1.39 mg/cm2  lead  to  0.42 mg/cm2 lead and
from 1.16% lead to 0.62% lead.  Thus,  without units number 3 and
number 8, Denver also has the lowest arithmetic mean levels, and
its levels are quite comparable to those in Philadelphia.  The
higher mean levels in Louisville are partially explained by very
high levels of lead on exterior samples in Louisville (see Tables
4-6 and 4-9).  However, interior lead levels in Louisville are
also higher than interior levels in the other two cities.

     Arithmetic mean lead levels are fairly consistent across
cities for metal and drywall,  and are somewhat consistent for
concrete.  For brick,  plaster and wood, more significant
variations between cities are apparent.  For wood, some of the
differences are explained by the lack of exterior samples in
Philadelphia.  For brick,  the sampling locations in Philadelphia
had been first painted only recently,  explaining the low lead
levels as compared to Denver.   For plaster, the source of the
variation is unexplained.

     Across the whole study, median lead levels are comparable
for all substrates except drywall, which has much lower levels.
Arithmetic mean levels are highest for brick in area units and
for wood in percent by weight units.  It is likely that the
percent by weight lead in the brick samples was diluted by
inclusion of substrate caused by difficulties encountered while
removing samples.

     Figures 4-1 through 4-10 graphically depict the frequency
distribution of lead levels in mg/cm2  for all data combined, by
city, and by substrate.  The horizontal axis shows the midpoint
of the corresponding interval.  For example, the second interval,
with midpoint 0.3 mg/cm2 lead,  contains all samples with lead
level greater than or equal to 0.2 mg/cm2 and less than 0.4
mg/cm2.   The last bar  in each  figure covers all samples with lead
levels 3.8 mg/cm2 or greater.   Figures 4-11 through 4-20 are the
companion graphs for percent by weight units.

     The figures confirm the highly skewed distribution of  the
sample lead levels suggested by the summary statistics in Tables
4-3 through 4-9.  Data collected in Denver were the most skewed.

                               4-10

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
            All  Cities and  Substrates combined
   Number
      700
      600 -
       500 -
       400 -
       300 -
       200 -
       100 -
         0
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2 Pb Midpoints
Figure 4-1.
Frequency  bar chart of primary  ICP  measurements
(mg/cm2 lead) for all  substrates combined in all
cities.  A total of 253 measurements  (19.6%) were
greater than or equal  to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                            4-11

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
          Denver only  - All  Substrates  combined
   Number
       500
       400 -
       300 -
       200 -
       100 -
         0 -
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2  Pb  Midpoints
Figure 4-2.
Frequency bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements
(mg/cm2 lead)  for all substrates combined in Denver.
A total of 148 measurements  (19.7%)  were  greater
than or equal to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                             4-12

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
         Philadelphia  only -  All  Substrates  combined
   Number
       140
       130 -

       120 -

       110 -

       100

        90 -

        80 -

        70 -

        60 -

        50 -

        40 -

        30 -

        20 -

        10 -
         0
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2 Pb  Midpoints
Figure 4-3.
Frequency  bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements
(mg/cm2  lead)  for  all  substrates  combined  in
Philadelphia.  A total of 72 measurements  (16.4%)
were greater  than or equal to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                             4-13

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
         Louisville  only  - All Substrates  combined
    Number
        40
        3D -
        20 -
        10 -
         0
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2  Pb  Midpoints
Figure  4-4.
Frequency  bar chart of primary  ICP  measurements
(mg/cm2  lead)  for  all  substrates  combined   in
Louisville. A total of 33 measurements (33.0%) were
greater  than or equal to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                             4-14

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
             All Cities  Combined - Brick  Only
    Number
        50
        40 -
        30 -
        20 -
        10 -
         0
                     rei
                 rei
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2 Pb Midpoints
Figure 4-5.
Frequency  bar chart of primary  ICP  measurements
(mg/cm2 lead)  for brick in all cities.  A total of
21 measurements (22.6%) were greater than or equal
to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                            4-15

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
            All Cities  Combined - Concrete Only
    Number
       120
       110 -


       100 -


        90 -


        80 -


        70 -


        60 -


        50 -


        40 -


        30 -


        20 -


        10 -
         0
                                   nn
                                   rei
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2 Pb  Midpoints
Figure  4-6.
Frequency  bar chart of primary ICP measurements
(mg/cm2 lead)  for concrete from all cities.  A total
of 29 measurements (12.8%)  were  greater  than or
equal to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                             4-16

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
            All  Cities Combined  -  Dryvall Only
    Number
       110
       100 -


        90 -


        80 -


        70 -


        60 -


        50 -


        40 -


        30 -


        20 -


        10 -
         0
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2 Pb  Midpoints
Figure 4-7.
Frequency bar chart of  primary  ICP  measurements
(mg/cm2 lead)  for drywall in all cities.  Out of 124
measurements,  none  were  greater than or equal to
1.0 mg/cm2.
                             4-17

-------
FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
All Cities Combined - Metal Only
Number
90 -
80 -
70 -
60 -
50 -
40 -
30 -
20 -
10 -
o -1


i
1
1
1
1
1
|




1
1
1


1
1
000
135







j
0
7







1
0
9







i A. i
1
1








§
1
3


















$
1
5







Rfl
1
7








$
1
9










mg/cm2 Pb








$
2
1








*
2
3







n
2
5








$
2
7







Mr^riM ra
23333
91357








i
3
9







Midpoints
Figure 4-8.
Frequency bar  chart of  primary  ICP measurements
(mg/cm2  lead) for metal in all cities.  A total of
48 measurements  (22.1%) were greater than or equal
to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                              4-18

-------
FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
All Cities Combined - Plaster Only
Number
100 -
90 -
80 -
70 -
60 -
50 -
40 -
30 -
20 -
10 -
o -

|
i
1
1
1
1

1
1
1
|
1







I
ODD
135















$
0
7






RaRa
Oil
913







y
1
5






fXl fSnfVl r^n EV1 r^
11222223333
79135791357







|
3
9






mg/cm2 Pb Midpoints
Figure 4-9.
Frequency  bar chart  of  primary  ICP measurements
(mg/cm2 lead)  for plaster in all cities.  A total of
33 measurements (13.6%) were greater than or equal
to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                              4-19

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (mg/cm sq Pb)
              All Cities Combined - ¥ood Only
    Number
       300
       200 -
       100 -
         0
                                        rei
                                            [ A. J L .X. J
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                         mg/cm2 Pb Midpoints
Figure  4-10.
Frequency  bar  chart  of primary ICP measurements
(mg/cm2 lead)  for wood  in  all cities.  A total of
122 measurements (31.4%) were greater than or equal
to 1.0 mg/cm2.
                            4-20

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
            All Cities  and Substrates Combined
   Number
       700
       600 -
       500 -
       400 -
       300 -
       200 -
       100 -
         0
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                  Percent by ¥eight  Lead Midpoints
Figure  4-11.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP measurements
(percent  by weight lead)  for  all  substrates and
cities  combined.     A   total   of  372   (28.8%)
measurements  were  greater than or  equal  to 0.5%
lead.
                             4-21

-------
FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
Denver only - All Substrates Combined
Number
500 -
400 -
300 -
200 -
100 -
o -"


1

(
[



1
V v rxi R^nri PS?^ R<^ nn nn nn f*x*l r*-i no r^-, r^n r^n r>n rvi V1
00000111112222233333
13579135791357913579




Percent by ¥eight Lead Midpoints
Figure 4-12.
Frequency bar  chart of  primary  ICP  measurements
(percent  by  weight  lead)   for  all  substrates
combined  in  Denver.    A  total  of  209   (27.9%)
measurements were  greater than  or equal  to 0.5%
lead.
                              4-22

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
         Philadelphia only - All Substrates Combined
    Number
       170
       160 -

       150 -

       140 -

       130 -

       120 -

       110 -

       100 -

        90 -

        80 -

        70 -

        60 -

        50 -

        40 -

        30 -

        20 -

        10 -

         0
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                  Percent by Weight Lead Midpoints
Figure  4-13.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP measurements
(percent  by  weight   lead)  for  all  substrates
combined in Philadelphia.  A total of 116  (26.4%)
measurements were greater than or  equal  to 0.5%
lead.
                             4-23

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
         Louisville only - All  Substrates Combined
    Number
         30
         20 -
         10 -
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                  Percent by ¥eight Lead Midpoints
Figure 4-14.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP  measurements
(percent  by  weight   lead)   for   all   substrates
combined in Louisville.    A  total  of 47  (47.0%)
measurements were greater than or equal to 0.5%
lead.
                             4-24

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
             All  Cities Combined - BricJc  Only
    Number
        60
        50 -
        40 -
        30 -
        20 J
        10 -
         0
                                                       JXl
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                  Percent by Yeight Lead Midpoints
Figure  4-15.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP  measurements
(percent by weight  lead)  for brick  in all  cities.
A total  of  23 measurements (24.7%)  were  greater
than or equal  to 0.5% lead.
                             4-25

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
            All  Cities Combined  - Concrete Only
    Number
       140
       130 -

       120 -

       110 -

       100 -

        90 -

        80 -

        70 -

        60 -

        50 -

        40 -

        30 -

        20 -

        10 -
         0
             00000111112222233333

             13579135791357913579

                   Percent by  ¥eight Lead Midpoints
Figure 4-16.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP measurements
(percent by  weight  lead)  for  concrete  in  all
cities.   A total of  33 measurements (14.6%)  were
greater than  or equal 0.5% lead.
                             4-26

-------
 FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
            All Cities Combined  - Drywall  Only
    Number
       110
       100 -


        90 -


        80 -


        70 -


        60 -


        50 -


        40 -


        30 -


        20 -


        10 -
         0
            00000111112222233333

            1357913-5791357913579

                  Percent by Yeight Lead Midpoints
Figure  4-17.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP measurements
(percent by weight lead)  for drywall in  all cities.
A total of 10 measurements  (8.1%) were greater than
or equal to  0.5% lead.
                             4-27

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
              All Cities Combined -  Metal Only
    Number
         70
         60 -
         50 -
         40 -
         30 -
         20 -
         10 -
         0
                                      rxi
                                                I XJ LXJ
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                  Percent by ¥eight Lead Midpoints
Figure 4-18.
Frequency bar chart  of  primary ICP  measurements
(percent by weight  lead)  for metal in all cities.
A total  of  96 measurements  (44.2%)  were greater
than or equal  to 0.5% lead.
                             4-28

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
            All Cities Combined  - Plaster Only
    Number
       120
       110 -


       100 -


        90 -


        80 -


        70 -


        60 -


        50 -


        40 -


        30 -


        20 -


        10 -
         0
                   1X1
              IXL
JXL
JXL
            00000111112222233333

            13579135791357913579

                  Percent  by Yeight  Lead Midpoints
Figure 4-19.
Frequency bar chart of  primary  ICP measurements
(percent  by weight lead)  for plaster in all cities.
A total  of  39  measurements  (16.1%)  were greater
than or equal to 0.5% lead.
                             4-29

-------
  FREQUENCY BAR CHART OF CATEGORIZED ICP (Percent by Weight Lead)
               All Cities Combined  - ¥ood Only
    Number
        170
        160 -
        150 -
        140 -
        130 -
        120 -
        110 -
        100 r
         90 -
         80 -
         70 -
         60 -
         50 -
         40 -
         30 -
         20 -
         10 -
         0 •*
            00000111112222233333
            13579135791357913579
                  Percent by ¥eight  Lead Midpoints
Figure 4-20.
Frequency bar chart of  primary  ICP measurements
(percent  by weight lead)  for wood in all cities.  A
total of  171 measurements (44.1%)  were greater than
or equal  to 0.5% lead.
                             4-30

-------
Data from Philadelphia and Louisville were comparable, except
that Louisville data have a higher concentration of high levels
of lead.  The same is true for distributions by substrate, except
that the distribution for brick appears bimodal.

     Although the housing units tested in this study were not
selected as a random sample of housing nationwide, they are free
from identifiable biases.  The tested locations represent a wide
variety of paint types, substrates, and architectural designs.
As a result, the distribution of lead levels in the paint samples
is similar to that reported in the 1990 HUD National Survey of
Lead-Based Paint in Housing.  This suggests that the performance
of XRFs and test kits on the study samples is representative of
typical performance in real-world testing.

     4.2  RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AREA AND PERCENT BY WEIGHT UNITS

     The relationship between paint lead levels expressed in area
units (mg/cm2)  and percent by weight  units is of  interest  as  part
of the overall study goal, since the federal standard for lead in
paint has been expressed in both units (as 1.0 mg/cm2 and  as
0.5%).   The present study provides a large database of 1,290
primary samples measured both ways.  Within the study, there are
no biases in the selection of samples to be measured in each unit
- all samples are reported in both units.  The objective of this
section is to describe the relationship between the two types of
units in this study, and to suggest some approximate conversion
relationships between them.

     The relationship between the two types of units is described
by the following equation:

     (mg/cnf)/% = (mg/cm2)/(0.1  * mg/g) =  10  *  (g/cnf)

Thus, the relationship depends only on the area density of the
paint sample measured in grams per square centimeter.  In this
study,  all samples have the same area (to a very close
approximation).  Thus, the relationship between mg/cm2 lead and
percent by weight lead in this study depends only on the sample
mass.  The degree to which the ratio between the two types of
units varies is therefore, for this study data, purely a function
of the variation in the masses of the samples collected.

     Table 4-10 shows the arithmetic mean ratio  (mg/cm2
lead)/(percent by weight lead) for the primary samples, by city
and substrate and overall by substrate.  The first point to note
is that the overall average ratio is 1.00.  Thus, as a simple

                               4-31

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Table 4-10.  Arithmetic Mean Ratio (mg/cm2 lead)/(percent by weight lead) by
           City and Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
ALL CITIES
1.74 .
1.35
0.83
0.72
1.30
0.66
1.00
DENVER
1.68
1.36
0.88
0.29
1.19
0.63
0.92
PHILADELPHIA
2.13
1.38
0.66
0.92
1.46
0.87
1.22
LOUISVILLE
N/A
0.85
0.38
0.74
0.87
0.59
0.68
rule of thumb, mg/cm2 lead may be equated numerically to percent
by weight lead based on these samples.  However, the ratio  varies
widely over the samples.  The 10th percentile is 0.25, while  the
90th percentile is 2.34.  Thus, in 80% of the samples, the
conversion factor is between 0.25 and 2.34.

     As Table 4-10 shows, even the arithmetic mean ratio varies
substantially between cities and between substrates.  Some  of
these differences are related to the difficulty of removing a
paint-chip sample from the substrate, and the corresponding
potential for including pieces of the substrate in the sample.
Unless the substrate in the sample contains as much or more lead
as the paint itself  (an unlikely occurrence), the percent by
weight values reported by the laboratory will be lower than if  no
substrate is included in the sample.  However, substrate
inclusion will generally have a much smaller effect on the
reported mg/cm2 values.   Thus,  samples which include substrate
will have higher ratios  (mg/cm2 lead)/(percent lead)  than those
that do not.  Brick and concrete samples were especially prone  to
substrate inclusion.  It was often impossible to remove all the
paint from these substrates without including parts of the
substrate.  Substrate inclusion was fairly common with soft
plaster samples, particularly if the plaster was in poor
condition.  Substrate was sometimes included with wood and
drywall samples, but this was less important since wood and
drywall paper are much lighter than the other substrates.

     Finally, clean samples were the rule with metal.  Indeed,  it
was often not possible to remove factory-applied primer from
metal components such as door frames.
                               4-32

-------
     The above observations are borne out by Table 4-10.  Brick,
concrete and plaster samples have the highest ratios of mg/cm2
lead to percent by weight lead.  Metal,  wood and drywall have
ratios less than 1.0 and are generally comparable.  Two
exceptions are metal in Denver and drywall in Louisville.  The
metal samples in Denver were in many cases taken from weathered
exterior surfaces which were noted in the field to have thin
paint, resulting in lighter samples.   The sample masses taken
from metal substrates in Denver ranged from 0.06 to 2.23 gram
with a 0.75 gram mean compared to 0.21 to 7.31 gram with a 2.36
gram mean for Philadelphia and 0.67 to 4.36 gram  with a 1.89
gram mean for Louisville.  The drywall ratio for Louisville is
low without apparent explanation.

     Regression analyses [7]  were conducted on the primary sample
data to explore the utility of simple conversion formulas between
the two types of units.  Because of the highly skewed nature of
the lead levels, a logarithmic transformation was applied to the
data.  The regression model is

          log (PERCENT LEAD)   =  A + B *  log (MG/CM2 LEAD)

where PERCENT LEAD is percent by weight lead and MG/CM2 is mg/cm2
lead.

     Table 4-11 shows the regression coefficients and
correlations for the model,  both separately by substrate and
overall.  Although the model fits less well on metal than on the
other substrates, a single overall model of the relationship may
be used across all substrates.  The relationship, converted back
into the measurement scale,  is

              PERCENT LEAD   =   0.96 * (MG/CM2LEAD)0'85

where PERCENT LEAD is percent by weight lead and MG/CM2 is mg/cm2
lead.

     For example, this formula predicts that a sample with 1.0
mg/cm2 lead will have 0.96%  lead by weight.   A sample with 3.0
mg/cm2 lead is predicted to  have 2.44% lead by weight.
Conversely, a sample with 0.5% lead by weight is predicted to
contain 0.46 mg/cm2 lead.

     Although the regression analysis indicates a good fit of
these simple models to the study data, caution should still be
exercised in using the resulting models for predictive purposes.
First, there is considerable variation in the mass of paint

                               4-33

-------
Table 4-11.  Regression Coefficients and Correlations Measured in log(mg/cm2}
           Units by Substrate and Overall.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
INTERCEPT
-0.73
-0.32
-0.34
0.24
-0.37
0.34
-0.04
SLOPE
0.76
0.92
0.83
0.75
0.84
0.86
0.85
CORRELATION
0.97
0.96
0.97
0.93
0.96
0.97
0.95
exercised in using the resulting models for predictive  purposes.
First, there is considerable variation in the mass of paint
samples, so that the relationship between the two types of units
varies from sample to sample.  Second, the relationship between
the units estimated from the data in this study was  influenced by
the extent to which substrate was included in some samples.

     4.3  VARIATION BETWEEN LABORATORY AND FIELD DUPLICATES

     Analyses on the variation between laboratory and field
duplicates presented below address the study objective  to
investigate the variability of lead levels in the paint within
the sampling locations.  These analyses also address the overall
study goal to collect information about field measurement
methodologies for use in establishing guidance and protocols for
lead hazard identification and evaluation.
     4.3.1
Variation Between Laboratory Duplicates
     Total laboratory measurement variability is  due  to the
combined effect of variability in subsampling prior to analysis,
in the laboratory sample preparation and  in  the instrumental
measurement.  Total laboratory variability can be estimated by
comparing measurements on a primary sample to those on the
corresponding laboratory duplicate samples.   Primary  and
duplicate samples were subsamples taken from the  same homogenized
physical sample and carried through the same extraction and
analysis procedures.  The assignment of primary versus duplicate
within a pair was performed arbitrarily by the laboratory during
subsampling of the physical sample.  In general,  the  first
subsample taken was assigned as primary.  Thus, the pair will
                               4-34

-------
often be referred to as a "(laboratory)  duplicate pair".   In this
study,  a total of 171 duplicate pairs were analyzed by the
laboratory.   Ten of these duplicate pairs (5.8%)  were not used in
estimating laboratory variability because at least one
non-detectable1  lead result was present  in the  pair.   After
eliminating these ten pairs,  161 duplicate pairs  (78 from Denver,
44 from Philadelphia, and 39  from Louisville)  were used for
estimating laboratory variability.  The laboratory duplicate data
using mg/cm2  results for  these  161 pairs,  sorted  and presented in
decreasing order according to the ratio of the larger lead result
to the smaller lead result,  is shown in Table 4-12.  Table 4-13
is the companion table in percent by weight units.  Note that the
pairs eliminated from this analysis are not listed in the tables.

     As shown in section 4.1  above, the distribution of lead
levels in the study samples is highly skewed.   Therefore, a
logarithmic transformation was first applied to the data.  Only
area units (mg/cm2 lead)  were used in the estimation of variation
between laboratory duplicates,  since the variability in duplicate
subsamples measured in percent by weight lead is the same.  This
can be seen as follows.  Let  AREA1 be the lead level in the
primary subsample of a pair in mg/cm2 and AREA2 the lead  level in
the duplicate subsample;  let  PERCENTl and PERCENT2 be the
corresponding percent by weight measurements.   As shown in
section 4.2,

AREA1/PERCENTl = 10 x SAMPLE MASS/SAMPLE AREA = AREA2/PERCENT2

since both subsamples are taken from the same physical sample,
that is, both subsamples have the same sample mass and sample
area.  Rearranging the above equation gives

                 AREA2/AREA1  =  PERCENT2/PERCENTl.

Thus, the ratio of lead levels in area units for  the  subsample
pair is the same as the ratio of percent by weight units.  Taking
logarithms,
     1 A discussion on the determination of non-detectable  status,
 as well as values  used as non-detectable is presented in  Section
 4.4.1.   As  reported  in  Section  4.4.1,  4.2%  (54 out  of  1,290
 samples) of  the  primary samples were reported as  non-detectable.
 A pair of results  is identified as non-detectable  if the pair  had
 at least one non-detectable  result.   Therefore,  pairs of  results
 will have a higher  percentage of non-detectable results  since there
 are  two opportunities for  the pair  to  be  identified  as non-
 detectable .

                               4-35

-------
Table 4-12.   Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Area Units (mg/cmj), Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
905593
81441
905596
905524
905501
905527
905604
90552B
80314
905608
905597
80510
80320
905607
905506
80071
80947
81208
905524
80329
81958
905600
81756
80363
80411
80958
905540
81846
905548
80724
80908
80208
905591
905535
80572
80741
AREA1 =
RATI01
AREA1
0.1359
0.2682
3.5437
0.4315
11.6371
0.3942
0.2233
5.8033
2.0720
0.1686
0.2368
2.2623
0.1893
0.7848
11.2622
1.3658
0.0016
0.7716
0.4823
0.0725
0.2046
0.5586
0.5149
3.7741
1.5483
0.1783
0.4469
0.1731
4.0336
20.5851
1.6670
21.4584
0.2174
0.9096
0.7489
27.2060
Lead level
= max (AREA1
AREA2
0.1358
0.2674
3.5329
0.4330
11.5957
0.3927
0.2241
5.7732
2.0612
0.1674
0.2351
2.2788
0.1908
0.7913
11.3707
1.3713
0.0016
0.7829
0.4752
0.0713
0.2079
0.5475
0.5037
3.6919
1.5829
0.1742
0.4579
0.1775
4.1458
20.0229
1.7164
22.1231
0.2242
0.8814
0.7250
28.1517
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Metal
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Metal
Wood
Brick
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Drywall
Brick
CITY
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
sample (mg/cm3) AREA2
, AREA2) + min(AREAl,
AREA2) RAT I O2
LOG(AREAl)
-1.99595
-1.31606
1.26516
-0.84051
2.45420
-0.93091
-1.49942
1.75844
0.72851
-1.78021
-1.44057
0.81637
-1.66463
-0.24231
2.42145
0.32626
-6.44402
-0.25924
-0.72913
-2.62444
-1.58675
-0.58236
-0.66382
1.32818
0.43718
-1.72429
-0.80552
-1.7540S
1.39467
3 .02457
0.51100
3.06612
-1.52613
-0.09478
-0.28916
3.30344
= Lead level
LOG{AREA2)
-1.99678
-1.31901
1.26211
-0.83701
2.45063
-0.93461
-1.49551
1.75323
0.72330
-1.78712
-1.44760
0.82366
-1.65674
-0.23412
2.43104
0.31572
-6.45668
-0.24475
-0.74407
-2.64016
-1.57065
-0.60243
-0.68583
1.30613
0.45923
-1.74767
-0.78119
-1.72901
1.42209
2.99688
0.54023
3 .09662
-1.49522
-0.12624
-0.32164
3.33761
RATIO1
1.00084
1.00295
1.00305
1.00351
1.00357
1.00371
1.00391
1.00522
1.00522
1.00694
1.00706
1.00732
1.00793
1.00823
1.00963
1.01060
1.01274
1.01459
1.01505
1.01584
1.01623
1.02028
1.02226
1.02229
1.02230
1.02365
1.02463
1.02537
1.02781
1.02807
1.02967
1.03098
1.03139
1.03195
1.03301
1.03476
in lab duplicate sample
RATIO2
0.99916
0.99705
0.99696
1.00351
0.99644
0.99630
1.00391
0.99481
0.99481
0.99311
0.99299
1.00732
1.00793
1.00823
1.00963
0.98951
0.98742
1.01459
0.98518
0.98441
1.01623
0.98013
0.97823
0.97820
1.02230
0.97689
1.02463
1.02537
1.02781
0.97269
1.02967
1.03098
1.03139
0.96904
0.96805
1.03476
(mg/cm2)
= AREA1 + AREA2
                                                      4-36

-------
Table 4-12 (cont).    Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Ar«a Units (mg/cm1), Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
905595
80547
905523
81944
80022
81855
81541
81719
81357
80013
905512
905531
905544
81651
80628
80032
80272
905501
80169
80979
80479
80909
80742
80845
80116
80117
81910
80209
80417
80270
81510
80170
81615
80468
81225
81905
AREA1 =
RATIO1 =
AREA1
0.4329
1.8858
4.5359
0.0902
0.2119
0.4976
0.4928
0.5900
0.2474
0.6314
10.9131
0.2780
0.7229
0.3393
5.0579
0.0751
0.1104
8.5903
0.1109
0.0061
0.2172
0.2890
17.4958
0.3428
0.0623
0.1274
1.7460
30.1056
1.8030
0.1558
0.4210
0.2620
0.4212
0.2834
1.2017
0.0516
Lead level
max ( AREA1 ,
AREA2
0.4482
1.9535
4.7019
0.0936
0.2202
0.4785
0.5126
0.6146
0.2374
0.6592
11.4086
0.2908
0.7570
0.3554
5.3035
0.0788
0.1050
9.0399
0.1167
0.0064
0.2294
0.3058
18.5579
0.3224
0.0585
0.1196
1.6372
28.1478
1.6821
0.1452
0.4518
0.2811
0.4524
0.3056
1.2965
0.0477
SUBSTRATE CITY
Concrete
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Concrete
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Drywall
Brick
Brick
Brick
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Plaster
Drywall
Wood
Concrete
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
in primary sample (mg/cm2) AREA2
AREA2 ) +
min (AREA1 ,
AREA2) RATIO2
LOG(AREAl)
-0.83724
0.63433
1.51202
-2,40561
-1.55178
-0.69800
-0.70761
-0.52762
-1.39683
-0.45986
2.38996
-1.28014
-0.32444
-1.08099
1.62095
-2.58893
-2.20374
2.15063
-2.19913
-5.10111
-1.52694
-1.24133
2.86196
-1.07046
-2.77628
-2.06011
0.55730
3.40471
0.58947
-1.85886
-0.86519
-1.33956
-0 .86477
-1.26072
0.18370
-2.96501
= Lead level
LOG (AREA2 )
-0.80250
0.66962
1.54797
-2.36830
-1.51326
-0.73712
-0.66822
-0.48686
-1.43801
-0.41670
2.43437
-1.23499
-0.27836
-1.03457
1.66836
-2.54072
-2.25370
2.20165
-2 .14798
-5.04990
-1.47233
-1.18489
2.92089
-1.13187
-2.83839
-2.12352
0.49299
3.33747
0.52001
-1.92944
-0.79458
-1.26890
-0.79317
-1.18545
0.25966
-3.04199
RATIO1
1.03534
1.03592
1.03661
1.03802
1.03927
1.03990
1.04018
1.04159
1.04204
1.04411
1.04541
1.04618
1.04716
1.04752
1.04855
1.04940
1.05123
1.05234
1.05248
1.05255
1.05612
1.05806
1 .06071
1 .06333
1.06408
1.06546
1.06642
1.06955
1 .07193
1.07313
1.07316
1.07322
1.07423
1.07818
1.07892
1.08002
in lab duplicate sample
= AREA1 + AREA2

RAT I 02
1.03534
1.03592
1.03661
1.03802
1.03927
0.96163
1.04018
1.04159
0.95966
1.04411
1.04541
1.04618
1.04716
1.04752
1.04855
1.04940
0.95126
1.05234
1.05248
1.05255
1.05612
1.05806
1.06071
0.94044
0.93978
0.93856
0.93771
0.93497
0.93290
0.93186
1.07316
1.07322
1.07423
1.07818
1.07892
0.92591
(mg/cm2)

                                                           4-37

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Table 4-12 (cont).    Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Ar«a Units (mg/cm1), Sorted by RATI01.
SAMPLE ID
80918
81920
905573
905527
80274
81624
905590
81524
80158
81708
80765
905521
80174
81508
80565
80212
80210
81931
81745
80416
81409
80461
80114
81532
81835
80929
80560
80978
80171
81347
80225
905511
905514
80463
81806
80533
AREA1 =
RATIO1 =
AREA1
0.1942
2.6400
10.1643
0.3096
0.1454
2.2528
4.8503
0.1758
0.2952
0.2043
15.9796
4.1370
0.2166
0.3487
0.9049
20.5478
24.7695
0.1150
0.7352
3.6117
0.5719
0.1081
0.0887
0.3455
0.2593
0.0160
0.0487
0.0094
0.4075
0.4648
14.6201
10.2236
0.2103
0.0595
0.0096
2.1287
Lead level
max ( AREA1 ,
AREA2
0.1797
2.8559
11.0217
0.3360
0.1578
2.4476
5.2775
0.1615
0.2711
0.2225
17.4298
3.7861
0.2371
0.3819
0.8230
22.6199
22.4571
0.1271
0.6634
4.0057
0.6349
0.0967
0.0992
0.3864
0.2312
0.0142
0.0434
0.0084
0.3599
0.4102
12.9019
11.6002
0.1844
0.0517
0.0083
1.8261
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Plaster
Hood
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Drywall
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Drywall
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Drywall
Drywall
Concrete
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
Drywall
Brick
Wood
sample mg/cm2
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
AREA2
AREA2) + min(AREAl, AREA2) RATIO 2
LOG ( AREA1 )
-1.63907
0.97079
2.31889
-1.17258
-1.92834
0.81219
1.57904
-1.73858
-1.22003
-1.58817
2.77132
1.41998
-1.52966
-1.05360
-0.09993
3.02276
3.20961
-2.16300
-0.30760
1.28419
-0.55881
-2.22470
-2.42204
-1.06268
-1.34981
-4.13767
-3.02126
-4.66280
-0.89776
-0.76613
2.68239
2.32469
-1.55943
-2.82144
-4.64599
0.75551
= Lead level
LOG (AREA2 )
-1.71652
1.04939
2.39987
-1.09063
-1.84636
0.89511
1.66346
-1.82331
-1 .30512
-1.50260
2.85818
1.33134
-1.43944
-0.96249
-0.19474
3.11883
3.11161
-2.06310
-0.41041
1.38773
-0.45437
-2.33562
-2.31062
-0.95101
-1.46434
-4.25240
-3.13637
-4.78310
-1.02182
-0.89111
2.55737
2.45102
-1.69084
-2.96288
-4.79633
0.60217
RATIO1
1.08053
1.08178
1.08436
1.08540
1.08543
1.08646
1.08809
1.08843
1.08881
1.08933
1.09075
1.09268
1.09441
1.09539
1.09945
1.10084
1.10297
1.10506
1.10828
1.10909
1.11009
1.11731
1.11787
1.11814
1.12135
1.12157
1.12201
1.12784
1.13208
1.13313
1.13317
1.13466
1.14044
1.15193
1.16223
1.16572
in lab duplicate sample
RAT 1 02
0.92547
1.08178
1.08436
1.08540
1.08543
1.08646
1 .08809
0.91876
0 .91843
1.08933
1 .09075
0.91518
1 .09441
1.09539
0.90955
1.10084
0.90664
1.10506
0.90230
1.10909
1.11009
0.89500
1.11787
1.11814
0.89178
0.89160
0.89126
0.88665
0.88333
0.88251
0.88248
1.13466
0.87686
0.86811
0.86042
0.85784
mg/cm2
= AREA1 + AREA2
                                                          4-38

-------
Table 4-12 (cont).    Lead Levels  in Laboratory Duplicate  Samples  in Area Dnita  (mg/cm1) , Sorted by RATIOl.
SAMPLE ID
80444
80922
80464
80721
80844
905587
81812
81824
80928
80766
80373
80751
905588
81724
80271
80051
81452
80953
81638
905507
80159
80126
81607
905564
81646
81213
905545
81557
81425
81412
80435
905605
81335
81307
81434
81318
AREA1 =
RATIOl =
AREA1
0.1031
0.0429
0.1239
13.0686
0.4949
3.9644
0.2410
0.2982
0.0058
12.3937
0.0056
7.3083
0.3448
0.7928
0.3378
0.0030
0.4689
0.5879
2.7076
0.5713
0.2330
0.1246
0.5449
15.2450
0.3130
3.6850
0.4024
0.3514
1.5011
0.7936
2.2876
0.2324
0.4394
1.2500
0.3569
0.0040
Lead level
max (AREA1 ,
AREA2
0.0881
0.0503
0.1455
11.1193
0.4168
4.7166
0.2878
0.2492
0.0070
10.2811
0.0046
6.0259
0.2842
0.6514
0.2760
0.0025
0.5765
0.4768
2.1944
0.4630
0.2908
0.0999
0.4350
12.0912
0.3968
4.6756
O.S155
0.2727
1.1636
1.0251
1.7599
0.3033
0.5858
1.6714
0.2569
0.0028
in primary
SUBSTRATE CITY
Wood
Brick
Drywall
Wood
Brick
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Drywall
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Brick
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Concrete
Wood
Plaster
Brick
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
sample (mg/cm1) AREA2
AREA2) + min(AREAl,
AREA2 ) RATIO2
LOG ( AREA1 )
-2 .27167
-3.14982
-2.08804
2.57021
-0.70332
1.37737
-1.42308
-1 .21006
-5.14131
2.51719
-5.18499
1 .98901
-1.06486
-0.23217
-1.08530
-5.80250
-0.75728
-0.53127
0.99606
-0.55981
-1.45680
-2.08233
-0.60719
2.72425
-1.16149
1.30428
-0.91027
-1.04583
0.40622
-0.23123
0.82750
-1.45920
-0.82244
0.22316
-1.03027
-5.52899
= Lead level
LOG (AREA2 )
-2.42962
-2.98935
-1.92737
2 .40869
-0.87527
1.55108
-1.24539
-1.38942
-4.96042
2.33031
-5.37736
1.79606
-1.25808
-0.42866
-1.28725
-6.00759
-0.55073
-0.74066
0.78592
-0.77011
-1.23526
-2 .30399
-0.83243
2.49248
-0.92432
1.54236
-0.66255
-1.29931
0.15148
0.02481
0.56525
-1.19305
-0.53469
0.51368
-1.35919
-5.86748
RATIOl
1.17111
1.17406
1.17429
1.17530
1.18762
1.18972
1.19446
1 .19645
1.19829
1.20549
1.21212
1.21283
1.21314
1.21712
1.22378
1.22764
1.22943
1.23293
1.23385
1.23404
1.24800
1.24815
1.25263
1.26083
1.26765
1.26882
1.28110
1 .28850
1.29014
1.29180
1.29985
1.30493
1.33342
1.33712
1.38946
1 .40283
in lab duplicate sample
RAT 1 02
0.85389
1.17406
1.17429
0.85085
0.84202
1.18972
1.19446
0.83580
1.19829
0.82954
0.82500
0.82452
0.82430
0.82161
0.81714
0.81457
1.22943
0.81108
0.81047
0.81034
1.24800
0.80119
0.79832
0.79313
1.26765
1.26882
1.28110
0.77610
0.77511
1.29180
0.76932
1.30493
1.33342
1.33712
0.71971
0.71285
(mg/cm2)
= AREA1 + AREA2
                                                           4-39

-------
Table 4-12 (cont).    Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Ar«a Units (mg/cmj), Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80957
80948
80346
80519
80356
905541
80664
80921
905592
905521
80964
81255
80239
80917
80711
80050
905606
AREA1 =
RATIO1
AREA1
0.1385
0.0034
0.0020
3.1580
0.0154
0.4684
0.0808
0.2943
3.02108
3.78884
0.00229
0.05526
0.12735
0.03684
6.67299
0.00249
0.57670
Lead level
- tnax (AREA1
AREA2
0.0965
0.0024
0.0014
2.1483
0.0101
0.7342
0.0508
0.1847
4.86975
2.30963
0.00379
0.09514
0.21952
0.06983
3.49165
0.00119
1.85511
in primary
SUBSTRATE CITY
Concrete Denver
Concrete Denver
Drywall Denver
Wood Denver
Concrete Denver
Metal Louisville
Drywall Denver
Brick Denver
Plaster Louisville
Plaster Louisville
Concrete Denver
Plaster Philadelphia
Wood Denver
Brick Denver
Wood Denver
Brick Denver
Metal Louisville
sample (mg/cmj) AREA2
AREA2) + min(AREAl, AREA2) RATI02
LOG(AREAl)
-1.97703
-5.68693
-6.19972
1.14994
-4.17404
-0.75852
-2.51590
-1.22305
1.10562
1.33206
-6.07920
-2.89571
-2.06082
-3.30117
1.89807
-5.99547
-0.55044
= Lead level
LOG ( AREA2 )
-2.33821
-6.05334
-6.57128
0.76466
-4.59621
-0.30896
-2.98065
-1.68918
1.58304
0.83709
-5.57539
-2.35241
-1.51631
-2.66169
1.25037
-6.73380
0.61794
RATIO1
1.43503
1.44255
1.45000
1.47002
1.52527
1.56761
1.59161
1.59382
1.61192
1.64045
1.65502
1.72168
1.72375
1.89549
1.91113
2.09244
3.21678
in lab duplicate sample
RATIO2
0.69685
0.69322
0.68966
0.68026
0.65562
1.56761
0.62830
0.62742
1.61192
0.60959
1.65502
1.72168
1.72375
1.89549
0.52325
0.47791
3.21678
(mg/cm2)
= AREA1 + AREA2
                                                           4-40

-------
Table 4-13.  Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Percent by Height  Units, Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80947
905593
81441
905598
905524
905501
905527
905604
80314
905528
905608
905597
80510
80320
905607
905506
80071
81208
905524
81958
80329
905600
81756
80411
80363
80958
905540
81846
905548
80724
80908
80208
905591
905535
80572
PERCENTl
RATI01 =
PERCENTl
0.0008
0.1324
0.1420
5.2076
0.4258
11.1032
0.4176
0.1945
2.2774
4.8594
0.2215
0.1870
3.0185
0.1405
0.8378
14.1613
1.0038
0.7188
0.5180
0.0757
0.0762
0.7269
0.2625
1.4407
2.2235
0.0870
0.5088
0.1202
5.5140
10.2034
0.9804
22.5540
0.2381
1.1665
0.5551
= Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2 SUBSTRATE
0.0008
0.1323
0.1416
5.1917
0.4273
11.0637
0.4161
0.1952
2.2656
4.8342
0.2200
0.1857
3.0406
0.1416
0.8446
14.2977
0.9932
0.7293
0.5103
0.0769
0.0750
0.7125
0.2568
1.4728
2.1750
0.0850
0.5213
0.1232
5.6673
9.9248
1.0095
23.2526
0.2455
1.1304
0.5374
in primary
PERCENT2)
Concrete
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Plaster
Brick
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Metal
Wood
Brick
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Drywall
sample (%)
+ min( PERCENTl,
CITY LOG (PERCENTl) LOG ( PERCENT2 ) RATIO1
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver

PERCENT: )
-7.13090
-2.02179
-1.95193
1.65012
-0.85378
2.40723
-0.87319
-1.63741
0.82303
1.58091
-1.50728
-1.67659
1.10476
-1.96255
-0.17703
2.65051
0.00379
-0.33017
-0.65785
-2.58098
-2.57439
-0.31891
-1.33750
0.36513
0.79908
-2.44185
-0.67573
-2.11860
1.70729
2.32272
-0.01979
3.11591
-1.43522
0.15402
-0.58861
PERCENT2 = Lead
-7.13090
-2.02263
-1.95475
1.64707
-0.85028
2.40367
-0.87690
-1.63350
0.81784
1.57571
-1.51419
-1.68362
1.11205
-1.95475
-0.16883
2.66010
-0.00682
-0.31567
-0.67279
-2.56525
-2.59027
-0.33899
-1.35946
0.38717
0.77703
-2.46510
-0.65140
-2.09395
1.73471
2.29504
0.00946
3.14642
-1.40431
0.12257
-0.62101
level in lab
1.00000
1.00084
1.00282
1.00305
1.00351
1.00357
1.00371
1.00391
1.00521
1.00522
1.00694
1.00706
1.00732
1.00783
1.00823
1.00963
1.01067
1.01461
1.01505
1.01585
1.01600
1.02028
1.02220
1.02228
1.02230
1.02353
1.02463
1.02496
1.02781
1.02807
1.02968
1.03097
1.03139
1.03195
1.03294
duplicate
RAT 102
1.00000
0.99916
0.99718
0.99696
1.00351
0.99644
0.99630
1.00391
0.99482
0.99481
0.99311
0.99299
1.00732
1.00783
1.00823
1.00963
0.98944
1.01461
0.98518
1.01585
0.98425
0.98013
0.97829
1.02228
0.97819
0.97701
1.02463
1.02496
1.02781
0.97270
1.02968
1.03097
1.03139
0.96904
0.96811
sample (%)
RATI02 = PERCENTl + PERCENT2
                                                    4-41

-------
Table 4-13  (cont).
Lead Levels  in  Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Percent by Height Units,  Sorted by RATI01.
SAMPLE ID
80741
905595
80547
905523
81944
80022
81855
81541
81719
81357
80013
905512
905531
905544
81651
80628
80032
80272
905501
80169
80479
80909
80742
80845
80116
80117
81910
80209
80417
80170
81510
80270
80979
81615
80468
PERCENTl
RATI01 -
PERCENTl
9.3293
0.5141
1.4193
3.6688
0.0726
0.2370
0.3543
0.3451
0.2971
0.2445
0.5077
13.0290
0.2603
0.8059
0.2053
2.2156
0.0710
0.0934
8.6911
0.1345
0.1056
0.1480
4.6314
0.1972
0.0779
0.1299
1.0528
34.1918
1.3102
0.1698
0.2660
0.1303
0.0027
0.2516
0.1673
= Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2 SUBSTRATE
9.6536
0.5323
1.4703
3.8031
0.0753
0.2463
0.3407
0.3590
0.3095
0.2347
0.5301
13.6206
0.2723
0.8439
0.2150
2.3232
0.0745
0.0889
9.1460
0.1416
0.1115
0.1566
4.9126
0.1854
0.0732
0.1219
0.9872
31.9683
1.2223
0.1822
0.2855
0.1214
0.0029
0.2703
0.1803
in primary
PERCENT2)
Brick
Concrete
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Concrete
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Drywall
Brick
Brick
Brick
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Drywall
sample (%)
+ min( PERCENTl,
CITY
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver

PERCENT2)
LOO ( PERCENTl ) LOO ( PERCENT2 )
2.23316
-0.66535
0.35016
1.29985
-2.62279
-1.43970
-1.03761
-1.06392
-1.21369
-1.40854
-0.67786
2.56718
-1.34600
-0.21577
-1.58328
0.79552
-2.64508
-2.37086
2.16230
-2.00619
-2.24810
-1.91054
1.53286
-1.62354
-2.55233
-2.04099
0.05145
3.53199
0.27018
-1.77313
-1.32426
-2.03792
-5.91450
-1.37991
-1.78797
PERCENT2 - Lead
2.26733
-0.63062
0.38547
1.33581
-2.58628
-1.40120
-1.07675
-1.02443
-1.17280
-1.44945
-0.63469
2.61158
-1.30085
-0.16968
-1.53712
0.84295
-2.59696
-2.42024
2.21332
-1.95475
-2.19373
-1.85406
1.59180
-1.68524
-2.61456
-2.10455
-0.01288
3.46474
0.20073
-1.70265
-1.25351
-2.10866
-5.84304
-1.30822
-1.71313
level in lab
RATI02 - PERCENTl + PERCENT2
RATIO1
1.03476
1.03534
1.03593
1.Q3661
1.03719
1.03924
1.03992
1.04028
1.04174
1.04176
1.04412
1.04541
1.04618
1.04716
1.04725
1.04856
1.04930
1.05062
1.05234
1.05279
1.05587
1.05811
1.06072
1.06365
1.06421
1.06563
1.06645
1.06955
1.07191
1.07303
1.07331
1.07331
1.07407
1.07432
1.07770
duplicate

RATIO2
1.03476
1 .03534
1.03593
1.03661
1.03719
1 .03924
0.96161
1 .04028
1.04174
0.95992
1.04412
1.04541
1.04618
1.04716
1.04725
1.04856
1.04930
0.95182
1.05234
1.05279
1.05587
1.05811
1.06072
0.94016
0.93967
0.93841
0.93769
0.93497
0.93291
1.07303
1.07331
0.93170
1.07407
1.07432
1.07770
sample (%)

                                                     4-42

-------
Table 4-13  (cont).
Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Percent: by Weight Units, Sorted by RATIO1,
SAMPLE ID
81225
80918
81905
81920
905573
80274
905527
81624
905590
81524
80158
81708
80765
905521
80174
81508
80565
80212
80210
81931
81745
80416
81409
80114
80461
81532
81835
80929
80560
80978
80171
81347
80225
905511
905514
PERCENTl
RATI01 =
PERCENTl
0.6774
0.0854
0.0431
1.4449
12.5035
0.1066
0.3360
0.8334
4.6386
0.1458
0.2702
0.1344
6.2109
4.4742
0.2373
0.2296
0.4129
21.9811
22.8237
0.0735
0,3620
2.3522
0.2996
0.0843
0.0780
0.1801
0.1536
0.0083
0.0385
0.0053
0.2412
0.3557
19.1533
12.6130
0.2992
= Lead level
max ( PERCENTl ,
PERCENT2 SUBSTRATE
0.7309
0.0791
0.0399
1.5631
13.5582
0.1157
0.3647
0.9054
5.0472
0.1339
0.2481
0.1464
6.7745
4.0947
0.2598
0.2515
0.3756
24.1977
20.6929
0.0812
0.3266
2.6088
0.3326
0.0942
0.0698
0.2014
0.1370
0.0074
0.0343
0.0047
0.2130
0.3139
16.9024
14.3114
0.2623
in primary
PERCENT2)
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Dry wall
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Drywall
Plaster
Plaster
Drywall
Drywall
Concrete
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
sample (%)
+ min( PERCENTl,
CITY LOG (PERCENTl) LOO ( PERCENT2 ) RATIO1
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Louisville

PERCENT2)
-0.38949
-2.46041
-3.14423
0.36804
2.52601
-2.23867
-1.09069
-0.18224
1.53440
-1.92552
-1.30859
-2.00693
1.82631
1.49833
-1.43843
-1.47142
-0.88455
3.09018
3.12780
-2.61047
-1.01611
0.85535
-1.20531
-2.47337
-2.55105
-1.71424
-1.87340
-4.79150
-3.25710
-5.24005
-1.42213
-1.03367
2.95248
2.53472
-1.20666
PERCENT2 = Lead
-0.31348
-2.53704
-3.22138
0.44667
2.60699
-2.15675
-1.00874
-0.09938
1.61882
-2.01066
-1.39392
-1.92141
1.91317
1.40969
-1.34784
-1.38031
-0.97923
3.18626
3.02979
-2.51084
-1.11902
0.95889
-1.10081
-2.36234
-2.66212
-1.60246
-1.98777
-4.90628
-3.37261
-5.36019
-1.54646
-1.15868
2.82746
2.66105
-1.33808
level in lab
1 .07898
1.07965
1.08020
1.08180
1.08436
1.08537
1.08540
1.08639
1.08809
1.08887
1.08908
1.08929
1.09074
1.09268
1.09482
1.09538
1.09931
1.10084
1.10297
1.10476
1.10839
1.10909
1.11015
1.11744
1.11748
1 .11827
1.12117
1.12162
1.12245
1.12766
1.13239
1.13316
1.13317
1.13466
1.14044
duplicate
RATIO2
1.07898
0.92623
0.92575
1.08180
1.08436
1.08537
1.08540
1.08639
1.08809
0.91838
0.91821
1.08929
1.09074
0.91518
1.09482
1.09538
0.90966
1.10084
0.90664
1.10476
0.90221
1.10909
1.11015
1.11744
0 .89487
1.11827
0.89193
0.89157
0.89091
0.88679
0.88308
0.88249
0.88248
1.13466
0.87686
sample (%}
RATI02 = PERCENTl + PERCENT2
                                                     4-43

-------
Table 4-13  (cont).
Lead Levels  in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Percent by Height Units,  Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
81806
80463
B0533
80444
80922
80464
80721
80844
905587
81812
81824
80051
80766
80373
80751
905588
80928
81724
80271
81452
80953
81638
905507
80159
80126
81607
905564
81646
81213
905545
81557
81425
81412
80435
905605
PERCENT!
RATI01 =
PERCENTl
0.0039
0.0301
2.0857
0.0762
0.0190
0.1416
6.6588
0.2566
3.6765
0.1246
0.1272
0.0030
3.5790
0.0046
2.3544
0.3975
0.0037
0.4636
0.2852
0.2853
0.3572
1.7495
0.4656
0.1490
0.1337
0.2093
15.2842
0.1314
2.4975
0.3335
0.2482
0.6856
0.3643
2.0611
0 .1426
- Lead level
max { PERCENTl i
PERCENT2 SUBSTRATE
0.0034
0.0261
1.7892
0.0651
0.0223
0.1663
5.6656
0.2160
4.3740
0.1489
0.1063
0.0025
2.9689
0.0038
1.9412
0.3277
0.0045
0.3809
0.2331
0.3507
0.2897
1.4179
0.3773
0.1859
0.1071
0.1670
12.1223
0.1666
3.1689
0.4272
0.1926
0.5314
0.4705
1.5856
0.1861
in primary
PERCENT2)
Brick
Drywall
Wood
Wood
Brick
Drywall
Wood
Brick
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Brick
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Drywall
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Metal
sample (%)
+ min (PERCENTl,
CITY LOG (PERCENTl) LOG ( PERCENT2 }
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville

PERCENT2)
-5.54678
-3.50323
0.73510
-2.57439
-3.96332
-1.95475
1.89594
-1.36024
1.30196
-2.08265
-2.06199
-5.80914
1.27508
-5.38170
0.85629
-0.92249
-5.59942
-0.76873
-1.25456
-1.25421
-1.02946
0.55933
-0.76453
-1.90381
-2.01216
-1.56399
2.72632
-2.02951
0.91529
-1.09821
-1.39352
-0.37746
-1.00978
0.72324
-1.94747
PERCENT2 - Lead
-5.68398
-3.64582
0.58177
-2.73183
-3.80317
-1.79396
1.73441
-1.53248
1.47568
-1.90448
-2.24149
-5.99146
1.08819
-5.57275
0.66331
-1.11570
-5.40368
-0.96522
-1.45629
-1.04782
-1.23891
0.34918
-0.97483
-1.68255
-2.23399
-1.78976
2.49505
-1.79216
1.15338
-0.85050
-1.64714
-0.63224
-0.75396
0.46096
-1.68132
level in lab
RATIO1
1.14706
1.15326
1.16572
1.17051
1.17368
1.17444
1.17530
1.18796
1.18972
1.19502
1.19661
1.20000
1.20550
1.21053
1.21286
1.21314
1.21622
1.21712
1.22351
1.22923
1.23300
1.23387
1.23404
1.24765
1.24837
1.25329
1.26083
1.26788
1.26883
1.28110
1.28868
1.29018
1.29152
1.29989
1.30493
duplicate
RATI02
0.87179
0.86711
0.85784
0.85433
1.17368
1.17444
0.85084
0.84178
1.18972
1.19502
0.83569
0.83333
0.82953
0.82609
0.82450
0.82430
1.21622
0.82161
0.81732
1.22923
0.81103
0.81046
0.81034
1.24765
0.80105
0.79790
0.79313
1.26788
1 .26883
1.28110
0.77599
0.77509
1.29152
0.76930
1.30493
sample (V)
RATIO2 « PERCENTl + PERCENT2
                                                     4-44

-------
Table 4-13  (cont).
Lead Levels in Laboratory Duplicate Samples in Percent: by Weight Units, Sorted by RATIO!.
SAMPLE ID
81335
81307
80948
81434
80346
81318
80957
80519
80356
905541
80664
80921
905592
905521
80964
81255
80239
80917
80711
80050
905606
PERCENTl
RATI01 -
PERCENTl
0.2577
1.0086
0.0018
0.1253
0.0021
0.0017
0.0391
2.0474
0.0081
0.5246
0.0490
0.1558
2.41634
3.74638
0.00090
0.01770
0.19550
0.01610
3.53050
0.00310
0.64994
= Lead level
max {PERCENTl,
PERCENT2 SUBSTRATE
0.3436
1.3486
0.0013
0.0902
0.0015
0.0012
0.0272
1.3928
0.0053
0.8224
0.0308
0.0978
3.89495
2.28375
0.00150
0.03050
0.33710
0.03050
1.84730
0.00150
2.09072
in primary
PERCENT2)
Concrete
Wood
Concrete
Plaster
Dry wall
Brick
Concrete
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Drywall
Brick
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Wood
Brick
Metal
sample (%)
-i- min( PERCENTl,
CITY
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
PERCENT2)
LOG (PERCENTl)
-1.35596
0.00856
-6.31997
-2.07704
-6 .16582
-6.37713
-3.24163
0.71657
-4.81589
-0.64511
-3.01593
-1.85918
0.88225
1.32079
-7.01312
-4.03419
-1.63219
-4 .12894
1.26144
-5.77635
-0.43087
LOG(PERCENT2)
-1.06828
0.29907
-6.64539
-2.40573
-6.50229
-6.72543
-3.60454
0.33132
-5.24005
-0.19555
-3.48024
-2.32483
1.35968
0.82582
-6 .50229
-3.49003
-1.08738
-3.49003
0.61373
-6.50229
0.73751
PERCENT2 o Lead level in lab
RATI02 = PERCENTl + PERCENT2
RATIO1
1.33333
1.33710
1 .38462
1.38914
1 .40000
1.41667
1.43750
1.46999
1.52830
1.56761
1.59091
1.59305
1. 61192
1.64045
1.66667
1.72316
1.72430
1.89441
1.91117
2.06667
3 .21678
duplicate
RAT1O2
1.33333
1.33710
0.72222
0.71987
0.71429
0.70588
0.69565
0.68028
0.65432
1.56761
0.62857
0.62773'
1.61192
0.60959
1.66667
1.72316
1.72430
1.89441
0.52324
0.48387
3.21678
sample (%)
                                                     4-45

-------
     LOG(AREA2) - LOG(AREAl) = LOG(PERCENT2)  - LOG (PERCENT1) ,

which shows  that  the variation between the pairs is identical in
the two sets of units when  a logarithmic transformation is
applied.

     The first step in the  analysis was to fit a regression with
LOG(AREAl) as  the independent variable and LOG(AREA2) as the
dependent variable.  The regression was performed separately by
city.  Table 4-14 shows the correlations and regression
coefficients obtained.

     The regressions are very close to a perfect fit of
LOG(AREA2) = LOG(AREAl) and the correlations are high.  Figures
4-21 through 4-23 show the residual plots from the regressions.
The residual plots indicate little dependence of variability on
the level of lead in the sample.   There are two possible outliers
in the residual plots, one in Philadelphia and one in Louisville.
The Philadelphia  point has AREA1 = 0.05526 mg/cm2,   AREA2 =
0.09514 mg/cm2 and ratio  1.72; the  substrate  for the sample was
plaster.  The  Louisville point has AREA1 = 0.5767 mg/cm2,  AREA2 =
1.85511 mg/cm2 and ratio  3.22; the  substrate  was metal.   These
data points  will  be examined later in this section after
development  of a  statistical model and outlier criterion.

     The residual plots suggest the following simple model for
measurement  variability between laboratory subsatnples:

                   LOG(AREAi) = LOG (LEAD) +  BI

where lead is the true lead level in the sample and the errors eA
are independent with normal distribution N(0,a2) .   The variance
a2 is independent  of lead as indicated by the residual plots.   It
follows from the model that

               LOG(AREA2) - LOG(AREAl) = N(0,2a2).

Hence, s2 =  [LOG(AREA2) - LOG(AREAl) ]2/2 is an unbiased estimator
of a2 and s2/«r2 has a  chi-square distribution with 1 degree of
freedom.   An overall  estimator of a2 can therefore be obtained by
taking the mean value of s2  over  all sample pairs in the city.
However,  before calculating this estimate it  is appropriate to
undertake an outlier analysis because the residual plots indicate
two possible outliers.

     A simple outlier criterion can be developed as follows.  For
a fixed city, let N be the number of subsample pairs, s^  the

                              4-46

-------
Table 4-14. Correlations and Regression Coefficients for Regression of
          LOG(AREA2) Against LOG(AREAl) by City.
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
N
78
44
39
CORRELATION
0.997
0.991
0.987
SLOPE
1.003
1.020
0.984
INTERCEPT
0.056
0.032
0.056
estimated variances for the pairs, i = 1,...,N,  and a2 the true
variance.  A value s^2 will be considered an outlier if s^/a2
exceeds the 95th percentile for the maximum of a sample  of  size  N
from the chi-square distribution with 1  degree of freedom,
denoted M(1,N,95).
estimate
Replacing the unknown value  a2 by its
                                       SN2)/N,
the outlier cutoff becomes M(1,N,95)  * s.
                         Table 4-15 shows the
results of the outlier analysis and the revised values  of  sav2 and
sav  (its square root) computed after excluding the outliers,  if
any.

     Thus, of the two potential outliers suggested by the
regression residual plots, only one, in Louisville,  fails  the
outlier criterion.  This pair has a primary measurement equal to
0.5767 mg/cm2 lead and a duplicate equal to 1.85511 mg/cm2  lead.

     Laboratory measurement variability is statistically
significantly higher for the Denver samples than  for those from
Philadelphia or Louisville, based on an F-test at the 5%
significance level.  This may be related to the greater variety
of substrates, both in terms of the underlying material and its
condition, encountered in Denver.  For example, there is more
substrate inclusion in some Denver samples than was observed in
collected samples for the other two cities, and this could lead
to difficulty in homogenization resulting in  greater variability
between subsamples.  Table 4-16 shows estimated standard
deviations for laboratory duplicates in the three cities by
substrate, with associated sample sizes.  It  is clear that the
greater variability in Denver is attributable to  the brick and
concrete substrates; material from these substrates was often
included in the paint-chip samples due to the rough surfaces
encountered in Denver.  Data from brick and concrete samples in
Philadelphia and Louisville were less variable.   A major reason
for this was the smooth poured concrete that  predominated  in
                               4-47

-------
PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: LABORATORY DUPLICATE SAMPLES





R
e
s
i
d
u
a
1







Re
0.8-
0.7 ~.
0. 6--:
0.57
0. 4 -:
0. 3 -"
0. 2 -:
O.i i
0.0 ~.
-0. 1 •:
-0. 2 -:
-0. 3 -:
-0. 4 -:
-0. 5 •:
-0. 6 •:
-0. 7 -
sidual Plots for AREA UNITS in Denver

o
D D


a
D
D D
0 Q
DDDO[gi]D Dj3
q° a D a
a o D o Dn D a
° ° D D D
D ° D D 0
D
D a D
o D
D D

D
a
-7 -5-3-11 3 5














log(mg/cm2 Pb)
Figure 4-21
Plot of  residuals from  regression of  log(lab
duplicate) versus log(primary sample)  in Denver
(mg/cm2 Pb) .
                             4-48

-------
  PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: LABORATORY DUPLICATE SAMPLES
         Residual Plots for AREA UNITS in Philadelphia
  e
  s


  I
  a
  1
       0.6-
       0.5-
       0.4-
       0.3-
       o.o-
      -0. 1 -
      -0. 2 ~
      -0. 3 -
      -0. 4 -
                   n
                                           a
                                    a   a


                                    '  D
                      ODD
                                   a    a
   1 ' ' I ' ' ' ' 1 ' ' '  ' I ' ' ' ' I ' ' ' ' I ' ' ' ' I

-6   -5   -4   -3   -2   -1    0


             log(mg/cm2 Pb)
                                                  1 . |


                                                   2
Figure 4-22.
   Plot  of residuals  from  regression  of log(lab
   duplicate)   versus   log(primary   sample)   in
   Philadelphia  (mg/cm2 Pb) .
                            4-49

-------
PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: LABORATORY DUPLICATE SAMPLES







R
e
5
i
H
I^L
u
a
1

















Residual Plots for AREA UNITS in Louisville
1.2:
1.1:
1.0:
0. 9 :
0.8:
0. 7 :
0. 6 :
0.5:
-
0.4:

.
0. 3 :
.
0.2:
.
-
0.1:
0.0:
*
-0. 1 :
~
-0. 2 :
-
-0. 3 :
-0. 4 :
-0. 5 :

-0. 6 ~
D







D D





D
D D D
D
D D ^ n D D
n DDna D n
D n
a D
D

a a
D


a





























1 ! ' ' 	 1 	 1 ' ' ' 	 | ... i i i • • • | 	 	 j
-2 -1 0 ± 2 3
log(mg/cm2 Pb)
Figure 4-23.
Plot  of  residuals  from regression  of  log(lab
duplicate)   versus   log(primary  sample)   in
Louisville  (mg/cm2 Pb) .
                             4-50

-------
Table 4-15. Outlier Analysis for Laboratory Duplicate Data for mg/cm2 Lead on the Log Scale.

N
Sav'
M(1,N,95)
Outlier Cutoff
Outlier Values
Revised sav2
Revised sav
DENVER
78
0.0252
11.62
0.2934
None
0.0252
0.1589
PHILADELPHIA
44
0.0159
10.56
0.1682
None
0.0159
0.1262
LOUISVILLE
39
0.0310
10.34
0.3201
0.6826
0.013811
0.1175
Table 4-16. Estimated Standard Deviations for mg/cm2 Lead on the Log Scale for Laboratory Measurement
            Variability by Substrate and City with Associated  Sample  Sizes  (Outliers  Excluded).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
N"
12
12
12
1
13
28
78
S.v
0.2316
0.1867
0.1429
0.0052
0.0908
0.1429
0.1596
95% Interval"
0.526, 1.900
0.596, 1.678
0.673, 1.486
0.986, 1.015
0.778, 1.286
0.673, 1.486
0.643, 1.556
PHILADELPHIA
N*
3
10
0
12
14
5
44
S.v
0.1513
0.1167
N/A
0.0718
0.1582
0.1535
0.1262
95% Interval*"
0.658, 1.521
0.724, 1.382
N/A
0.820, 1.220
0.660, 1.516
0.660, 1.530
0.705, 1.419
LOUISVILLE
N«
0
4
0
11
14
9
38
S.v
N/A
0.0203
N/A
0.1242
0.1420
0.0890
0.1175
95% Interval"
N/A
0.945, 1.058
N/A
0.709, 1.411
0.675, 1.482
0.781, 1.280
0.722, 1.385
a N represents the number of paired results.
b A 95% probability interval for the ratio of laboratory duplicates under the assumption the standard
deviation is the true value.
                                                   4-51

-------
these cities by  contrast to the rough concrete block that was
common in Denver.

     In Denver,  the subsampling variability in data from rough
substrates  such  as brick (0.2316 mg/cm2  lead,  on the  log scale)
or concrete  (0.1867 mg/cm2  lead on the log  scale)  may be up to
twice as large as for the smoother surfaces (for example, 0.0908
mg/cm2 lead on the log scale  for plaster data) .   If the Denver
brick and concrete pairs are excluded from the analysis, the
average standard deviation in Denver is reduced to 0.1296 mg/cm2
lead which  is a  result similar to what was found for Philadelphia
and Louisville data.  Aggregating across all three cities, the
estimate of standard deviation on the log scale for laboratory
duplicate samples is 0.125  ma/cm2  lead for  samples taken from
smooth substrates with no unusual difficulty in paint removal.

     A standard deviation of 0.125 on the log scale translates to
a standard deviation factor of exp(0.125) = 1.13 on the original
measurement scale in mg/cm2 lead.   Thus,  using the normal
distribution, 68% of laboratory measurements will be within a
factor of 1.13 (one standard deviation)  of the true lead level in
the sample, that is, will be between 88% and 113% of the true
value.  Likewise, 95% of the measurements will be within a factor
of 1.28 (two standard deviations)  of the true value/  that is,
between 78% and 128% of the true value.

     4.3.2     Variation Between Field Duplicates

     Field duplicate paint  samples were taken in all three cities
in order to estimate the variability to be expected between
samples taken a short distance apart.  The variability in such
samples is due to the combined effect of laboratory measurement
variability and variation in the true lead level between the two
samples of the pair.  Thus,  field duplicate variability is
expected to be greater than laboratory duplicate variability to
the extent that the true lead level differs between the primary
and field duplicate samples.

     In Louisville,  a field duplicate was taken at all 100
sampling locations.   The primary sample and the field duplicate
were true side-by-side samples, with a distance between centers
averaging just over 2 inches  (the paint samples were 2" x 2"
squares).   In Louisville, the assignment of primary versus
duplicate within a field duplicate pair was arbitrarily performed
in the field during collection.  The first sample collected was
assigned as primary.  A total of 17 pairs out of 100 were
eliminated for the variability analysis:  eleven pairs where a

                               4-52

-------
collection or analytical problem was encountered for at least one
of the samples and the six pairs where at least one of the
samples was non-detectable.  After eliminating the seventeen
pairs, a total of 83 pairs remained.

     In Denver and Philadelphia, the design called for a field
duplicate at 10% of the sampling locations.  Depending on the
orientation of the marking template, the field duplicate sample
was taken at the right end or bottom of the marking template.
Thus,  these field duplicates were not true side-by-side samples.
The distance between centers of the primary and field duplicate
samples averaged just over 9 inches.  Ten pairs were eliminated
from the variability analysis where at least one of the samples
was non-detectable, six from Denver and four from Philadelphia.
After eliminating the ten pairs, a total of 74 field duplicates
remained in Denver, with 44 in Philadelphia.  The field duplicate
sample data using mg/cm2 results,  sorted and presented in
decreasing order according to the ratio of the larger lead result
to the smaller lead result, is presented in Table 4-17.  Table
4-18 is the companion table in percent by weight units.  Note
that the pairs eliminated from the variability analysis are not
listed in these tables.

     The same approach to analysis of field duplicate variability
was followed as for the laboratory duplicates.  However, the
variability between pairs is no longer the same for both sets of
units, because the two analyses were conducted on different
physical samples.  Thus, all the analyses must be carried out in
both units.  Letting AREA1 and AREA2 be the lead levels in mg/cm2
in the primary and field duplicate samples, respectively, and
PERCENTl and PERCENT2 the corresponding measurements in percent
by weight, regressions of LOG(AREA2) versus LOG(AREAl) and
LOG(PERCENT2)  versus LOG(PERCENTl) were carried out by city.
Tables 4-19 and 4-20 show the results.

     Comparing Table 4-19 to 4-14 shows that for Denver and
Philadelphia,  the correlations for the field duplicate pairs are
lower than for the laboratory duplicates.  This indicates greater
variation between field duplicates than between laboratory
duplicates in these cities.  For Louisville, field duplicate and
laboratory duplicate correlations are comparable.  Figures 4-24
through 4-26 show the residual plots from the LOG(AREA)
regressions; Figures 4-27 through 4-29 show the corresponding
plots for the LOG(PERCENT) regressions.  Both Denver plots appear
to have constant variance; there is a single outlier in each.
This point has primary lead levels of 0.25281 mg/cm2 and 0.484%,
and field duplicate levels of 0.00427 mg/cm2 and 0.008%.  Thus,

                               4-53

-------
Table 4-17.   Lead Levels in Field Duplicate  Samples  in Area Unita  (mg/om2) ,  Sorted by RATI01.
SAMPLE ID
905549
905512
81448
905608
905568
80924
905565
80808
905567
905526
80646
80617
81930
905588
89257
905597
905573
905547
80558
905600
905502
905541
905585
80433
905591
905537
80549
905589
81654
81439
8010B
80141
81858
80358
80654
AREA1 =
RATI01 =
AREA1
0.1280
10.9131
0.4329
0.1686
2.5539
0.0214
8.6914
0.0693
0.1209
0.1840
0.0718
2.1921
0.0737
0.3381
0.2757
0.2301
10.1643
1.0502
0.0203
0.5586
5.4967
0.4515
0.3200
2.1001
0.2084
2.8439
0.0045
0.1335
0.2898
0.3243
0.9288
1.7464
0.1639
0.2170
0.0933
Lead level
max ( AREA1 ,
AREA2
0.1276
10.8747
0.4350
0.1673
2.5767
0.0216
8.5857
0.0683
0.1227
0.1812
0.0730
2.1539
0.0751
0.3448
0.2823
0.2368
9.8715
1.0852
0.0197
0.5785
5.7013
0.4684
0.3082
2.1869
0.2174
2.9747
0.0043
0.1398
0.3042
0.3405
0.8833
1.6601
0.1736
0.2299
0.0988
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Metal
Wood
Metal
Metal
Wood
Drywall
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Metal
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Drywall
sample (mg/cma)
CITY
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
AREA2 =
AREA2) 4- min(AREAl, AREA2) RATI02
LOG (AREA1 )
-2.05601
2.38996
-0.83736
-1.78021
0.93763
-3 .84483
2.16234
-2.66974
-2,11318
-1.69262
-2.63429
0.78485
-2.60748
-1.08427
-1.28833
-1.46928
2 .31889
0.04903
-3.89566
-0.58236
1.70414
-0.79527
-1.13937
0.74197
-1.56853
1.04517
-5.39924
-2.01345
-1.23843
-1.12599
-0.07381
0.55758
-1.80832
-1.52772
-2.37236
Lead level in
= AREA1 + AREA2
LOG(AREA2)
-2.05863
2.38643
-0.83241
-1.78785
0.94650
-3.83321
2.15010
-2.68414
-2.09779
-1.70840
-2.61771
0.76730
-2.58933
-1.06486
-1.26493
-1.44057
2.28965
0.08179
-3.92917
-0.54728
1.74070
-0.75852
-1.17692
0.78250
-1.52613
1.09015
-5.44450
-1.96787
-1.19004
-1.07731
-0.12410
0.50687
-1.75112
-1.47007
-2 .31456
RATI01
1.00262
1.00353
1.00497
1.00767
1. 00891
1.01169
1.01231
1.01450
1.01551
1.01591
1.01672
1.01770
1.01831
1.01960
1.02368
1.02913
1.02966
1.03330
1.03408
1.03571
1.03723
1.03744
1.03827
1.04136
1.04331
1.04601
1.04630
1.04663
1.04958
1.04989
1.05158
1.05202
1.05887
1.05935
1.05951
field duplicate sample


RAT I 02
0.99738
0.99648
1.00497
0 .99239
1.00891
1.01169
0 .98784
0.98571
1.01551
0.98434
1.01672
0.98261
1.01831
1.01960
1.02368
1.02913
0.97119
1.03330
0.96704
1.03571
1.03723
1.03744
0.96314
1.04136
1.04331
1.04601
0.95575
1.04663
1.04958
1.04989
0.95095
0.95055
1.05887
1.05935
1.05951
(mg/cm2)

                                                      4-54

-------
Table 4-17 (cent).  Lead Levels in Field Duplicate Samples in Area Units (mg/cmj) , Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
905542
905592
81355
905576
80230
81239
905538
905524
905598
905507
80638
80465
905601
905602
905522
81523
80020
80106
905586
80170
905603
905546
80514
81850
905584
80277
81607
905604
80756
81337
81625
905595
81307
80059
80852
AREA1 =
RATIO1 =
AREA1
0.5319
3.3425
0.0036
2.2281
0.0006
0.0821
0.18482
0.48233
3.54366
0.64107
0.11112
0.06414
2.24057
0.14263
0.31963
0.23460
0.10639
2.44430
0.25590
0.26196
0.16660
0.13569
0.58779
0.16726
4.81985
0.08184
0.54488
0.19115
5.13793
0.29806
0.32528
0.43291
1.25002
0.00276
0 .00319
Lead level
max (AREA1 ,
AREA2
0.5882
3.0211
0.0032
2.0067
0.0005
0.0738
0.16607
0.43149
3.16010
0.57132
0.12485
0.07214
2.5505S
0.16258
0.27994
0.26799
0.09312
2.79365
0.29327
0.30027
0,14508
0.15666
0.50853
0.14428
5.59499
0.07044
0.46672
0.22326
6.00396
0.34923
0.38191
0.36861
1.47425
0.00326
0.00270
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Metal
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Wood
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Plaster
Metal
Concrete
Wood
Concrete
Brick
sample {mg/cm2)
CITY
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
AREA2 =
AREA2) + minfAREAl, AREA2) RATI02 =
LOG 
-------
Table 4-17 (cont) .  Lead Levels in Field Duplicate Samples in Area Units (mg/cm2), Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80371
80469
80623
80027
80439
81342
80314
905536
80305
81546
905563
905539
905572
905523
905575
905530
905574
905606
905540
81753
80664
905587
80679
905562
905544
905571
905527
80153
905505
905548
905566
81921
80531
905609
905501
AREA1 =
RATI01 =
AREA1
0.00369
0.06450
0.62523
0.01192
0.06747
0.23624
2.07199
0.15195
0.00158
0.4273
7.0143
0.9650
7.4964
5.5332
2.1093
0.0570
0.0707
0.7117
0.4469
0.5627
0.0808
4.9268
0.0730
2.5559
0.7229
4.1944
0.3942
0.0543
4.0864
4.0336
1.7807
1.4944
0.1810
0.2443
11.6371
Lead level
max (AREA1 ,
AREA2
0.00436
0.07626
0.52811
0.01005
0.08012
0.28190
1.73582
0.12649
0.00190
0.3540
5.7846
1.1738
6. 1568
4.5359
2.5786
0.0699
0.0871
0.5767
0.5519
0.4548
0.1001
3.9644
0.0582
2.0331
0.5747
3.3166
0.3096
0.0698
5.3111
3.0794
2.3335
1.1313
0.2401
0.1829
8.5903
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Plaster
Drywall
Wood
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Hood
Metal
Metal
Metal
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Drywall
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Wood
sample (mg/cm2)
CITY
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
AREA2 =
AREA2) + min(AREAl, AREA2) RATI02
LOG(AREAl)
-5.60213
-2.74109
-0.46964
-4.42954
-2.69607
-1.44291
0.72851
-1.88420
-6.45033
-0.85018
1.94795
-0.03559
2.01442
1.71077
0.74634
-2.86494
-2.64974
-0.34016
-0.80552
-0.57497
-2.51590
1.59470
-2.61757
0.93842
-0.32444
1.43374
-0.93091
-2.91249
1.40766
1.39467
0.57701
0.40175
-1.70898
-1.40925
2.45420
Lead level in
LOG(AREA2)
-5.43528
-2.57361
-0.63845
-4.60018
-2.52423
-1.26620
0.55148
-2.06762
-6.26590
-1.03832
1.75521
0.16022
1.81756
1.51202
0.94725
-2.66000
-2.44084
-0.55044
-0.59441
-0.78792
-2.30179
1.37737
-2.84421
0.70954
-0.55388
1.19893
-1.17258
-2.66269
1.66980
1.12474
0.84736
0.12340
-1.42670
-1.69897
2.15063
RATIO1
1.18157
1.18233
1.18390
1.18607
1.18749
1.19328
1.19367
1.20132
1.20253
1.20700
1.21257
1.21630
1.21758
1.21988
1.22251
1.22746
1.23231
1.23403
1.23505
1.23732
1.23877
1.24276
1.25438
1.25719
1.25790
1.26467
1.27338
1.28377
1.29971
1.30987
1.31043
1.32095
1.32615
1.33605
1.35468
field duplicate sample
RATIO2
1.18157
1.18233
0.84467
0.84312
1 . 18749
1.19328
0.83776
0.83242
1.20253
0.82850
0.82469
1.21630
0.82130
0.81976
1.22251
1.22746
1.23231
0.81036
1.23505
0.80820
1.23877
0.80466
0.79720
0.79542
0.79498
0.79072
0.78531
1.28377
1.29971
0.76344
1.31043
0.75703
1.32615
0.74848
0.73818
(mg/cm2 }
= AREA1 + AREA2
                                                      4-56

-------
Table 4-17 (cont) .   Lead Levels  in  Field  Duplicate  Samples  in Area Units  (mg/cm5) , Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80733
61413
81556
80409
905528
80507
81458
905520
80545
81207
905596
81711
81957
905515
905590
80157
80827
81712
81513
81721
81629
905599
905517
81917
80818
81849
80353
80578
81939
905518
905569
81812
905605
80140
80762
AREA1 =
RATI01 =
AREA1
15.0949
1.6797
1.0628
0.0084
4.1785
0.7255
0.7466
0.0013
0.0014
3.7589
2.5343
0.2668
0.8408
6.8721
3.3508
0 .2329
0.0017
0.5893
0.3082
1.0578
2.4184
0.2255
0.0004
0.1809
0 .9102
0.1813
0.0306
0 .0068
0.9014
0.0005
0.0001
0.2410
0.4326
1.5719
3.9185
Lead level
max ( AREA1 ,
AREA2
20.5565
2.2994
0.7739
0 .0060
5.8033
1.0088
1.0403
0.0009
0.0010
2.6586
1.7879
0.3790
0.5846
4.7577
4.8503
0.3393
0.0012
0.8786
0.4623
0.7040
1.5863
0.3454
0.0006
0.2784
1.4872
0.1093
0.0180
0.0040
0.5224
0.0003
0.0002
0.4409
0.2324
2.9895
2.0349
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Drywall
Wood
Metal
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Metal
Drywall
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Concrete
Metal
Drywall
Wood
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Concrete
sample (mg/cm2)
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
AREA2 =
AREA2) + min(AREAl, AREA2) RATI02 =
LOG(AREAl)
2.71436
0.51863
0.06086
-4.78191
1.42995
-0.32087
-0.29219
-6.66746
-6.59294
1.32413
0.92993
-1.32141
-0.17339
1.92747
1.20919
-1.45693
-6.37126
-0.52877
-1.17688
0.05621
0.88310
-1.48928
-7.85787
-1.70992
-0.09408
-1.70782
-3.48643
-4.98936
-0.10382
-7.64087
-9.00527
-1.42308
-0.83788
0.45227
1.36572
Lead level in
AREA1 + AREA2
LOG ( AREA2 )
3.02318
0.83264
-0.25635
-5.10770
1.75844
0.00876
0.03952
-7.01202
-6.93821
0.97779
0.58102
-0.97009
-0.53674
1.55976
1.57904
-1.08096
-6.75075
-0.12945
-0.77143
-0.35103
0.46138
-1.06305
-7.42725
-1.27855
0.39686
-2.21338
-4.01961
-5.53404
-0.64932
-8.19313
-8.40896
-0.81903
-1.45920
1.09510
0.71043
RATI01
1.36181
1.36891
1.37329
1.38512
1.38887
1.39045
1.39334
1.41138
1.41237
1 .41389
1.41752
1.42094
1.43814
1.44442
1.44752
1.45641
1 .46154
1.49081
1.49997
1.50267
1.52459
1.53147
1.53821
1.53936
1.63385
1.65792
1.70434
1.72405
1.72548
1.73717
1.81541
1.82952
1.86138
1.90184
1.92569
field duplicate sample


RATI02
1.36181
1.36891
0 .72818
0.72196
1 .38887
1.39045
1.39334
0.70853
0.70803
0.70727
0.70546
1.42094
0.69534
0 .69232
1.44752
1.45641
0.68421
1.49081
1.49997
0 .66548
0.65592
1.53147
1.53821
1.53936
1.63365
0.60317
0.58674
0.58003
0.57955
0.57565
1.81541
1.82952
0.53723
1.90184
0.51929
(mg/cm2)

                                                      4-57

-------
Table 4-17 (cont).  Lead Levels in Field Duplicate Samples in Area Unit* (mg/cma) , Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80721
80831
81211
81315
905607
80035
81221
80971
80848
81244
80745
905577
80720
80972
81640
80965
80870
80449
80937
80875
80908
80206
80129
81544
80229
80266
AREA1 m
RATIO 1
AREA1
13.0686
0.8303
2.5598
0.1903
0.3825
0.0002
1.5256
0.2784
0.3621
0.8357
7.7036
0.0009
1.0439
4.5535
0.0032
0.00217
0.00623
0.08402
0.00077
0.00154
1.66695
2.07227
0.09266
0.06291
0.01145
0 .25281
Lead level
= max (AREA1
AREA2
25.2705
1.6325
5.0550
0.3892
0.7848
0.0005
0.7094
0.6388
0.8402
1.9393
19.0541
0.0003
0.3846
1.5380
0.0010
0.0070
0.0220
0.2990
0.0032
0.0071
0.3115
11.8282
0.5466
0.3841
0.0011
0.0043
in primary
SUBSTRATE
Wood
Hood
Metal
Wood
Metal
Brick
Wood
Concrete
Brick
Concrete
Brick
Drywall
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Plaster
Brick
Metal
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
sample (mg/cm2)
CITY
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
AREA2 =
AREA2) + min(AREAl, AREA2) RATIO2
LOG(AREAl)
2.57021
-0.18599
0.93991
-1.65931
-0.96113
-8.46840
0.42236
-1.27855
-1.01583
-0.17953
2.04168
-7.05633
0.04294
1.51589
-5.76035
-6.13303
-5.07838
-2.47670
-7.16912
-6.47597
0.51100
0.72864
-2.37882
-2.76605
-4.46977
-1.37512
Lead level in
LOG (AREA2 )
3.22964
0.49013
1.62038
-0.94356
-0.24231
-7.70626
-0.34332
-0.44812
-0.17414
0.66233
2.94728
-8.02761
-0.95553
0.43046
-6.85897
-4.96758
-3.81580
-1.20738
-5.73218
-4.94344
-1.16636
2.47049
-0.60400
-0.95677
-6.78554
-5.45614
RATIOl
1.93369
1.96624
1.97479
2.04572
2.05201
2.14286
2.15046
2.29432
2.32030
2.32068
2.47341
2.64133
2.71413
2.96071
3.00000
3.2074
3.5345
3.5584
4.2078
4.6299
5.3514
5.7079
5.8992
6.1060
10.1327
59.2061
field duplicate sample
RATIO2
1.93369
1.96624
1.97479
2.04572
2.05201
2.14286
0.46502
2.29432
2.32030
2.32068
2.47341
0.37860
0.36844
0.33776
0.33333
3.20737
3 .53451
3.55844
4.20779
4.62987
0.18687
5.70785
5.89920
6.10602
0.09869
0.01689
(mg/cm2 }
- AREA1 + AREA2
                                                      4-58

-------
Table 4-18.  Lead Levels in Field Duplicate Samples in Percent by Height Units,  Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
905565
905543
80623
81427
905538
905511
80106
80439
905588
81850
905529
81448
905608
80529
81625
81752
905593
905567
80071
81731
905601
905502
81945
905550
80756
80020
80465
905571
905512
905573
81824
905585
81256
905547
81546
PERCENTl
RATIO1 m
PERCENTl
13.6155
0.0116
0.6611
0.3493
0.2718
12.6130
8.8703
0.1154
0.3928
0.1648
0.4417
0.3941
0.2215
0.0290
0.8321
0.3112
0.1298
0.3452
1.0038
0.2909
5.6275
8.5182
0.2117
1.0530
6.2534
0.2108
0.1186
5.7561
13.0290
12.5035
0.1272
0.5035
0.2676
1.7696
0.3372
= Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2
13.5834
0.0115
0.6643
0.3511
0.2704
12.7204
8.9566
0.1166
0.3975
0.1628
0.4477
0.3877
0.2179
0.0295
0.8163
0.3174
0.1324
0.3523
0.9829
0.2973
5.7616
8.7411
0.2056
1.0856
6.4476
0.2179
0.1227
5.5528
12.5670
12.9654
0.1225
0.5235
0.2791
1.6941
0.3216
SUBSTRATE
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Metal
Metal
Concrete
Wood
Dry wall
Wood
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Metal
in primary sample (%)
PERCENT2) +
min( PERCENTl,
CITY
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
LOG (PERCENTl)
2.61121
-4.46071
-0.41385
-1.05182
-1.30259
2.53472
2.18271
-2.15935
-0.93440
-1.80302
-0.81710
-0.93115
-1.50728
-3.54046
-0.18380
-1.16732
-2.04205
-1.06359
0.00379
-1.23478
1.72766
2.14221
-1.55259
0.05165
1.83313
-1.55685
-2.13200
1.75026
2.56718
2.52601
-2.06199
-0.68613
-1.31826
0.57076
-1.08708
PERCENT2 = Lead
LOG(PERCENT2)
2.60885
-4.46437
-0.40902
-1.04668
-1.30779
2.54320
2.19239
-2.14901
-0.92249
-1.81523
-0.80372
-0.94752
-1.52394
-3.52337
-0.20297
-1.14759
-2.02179
-1.04318
-0.01725
-1.21301
1.75122
2.16804
-1.58182
0.08217
1.86371
-1.52372
-2.09801
1.71430
2.53108
2.56229
-2.09964
-0.64718
-1.27619
0.52713
-1.13445
RATIO1
1.00237
1.00367
1.00484
1.00515
1.00521
1.00852
1.00973
1.01040
1.01199
1.01229
1.01347
1.01651
1.01680
1.01724
1.01936
1.01992
1.02046
1.02062
1.02126
1.02200
1.02383
1.02617
1.02967
1.03099
1.03106
1.03368
1.03457
1.03662
1.03676
1.03694
1.03837
1.03972
1.04297
1.04460
1.04851
level in field duplicate
RATI02
0.99764
0.99634
1.00484
1.00515
0.99482
1.00852
1.00973
1.01040
1.01199
0.98786
1.01347
0.98376
0 .98348
1.01724
0.98101
1.01992
1.02046
1.02062
0.97918
1.02200
1.02383
1.02617
0.97119
1.03099
1.03106
1.03368
1.03457
0.96467
0.96454
1.03694
0.96305
1.03972
1.04297
0.95731
0.95374
sample (%)
PERCENT2) RATI02 = PERCENTl + PERCENT2
                                                    4-59

-------
Table 4-18  (cont) .       Lead Levels in Field Duplicate Samples in Percent by Weight Units, Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80219
81607
905537
905576
905506
905603
80617
81654
905507
80915
80654
905531
81307
905544
905526
80469
905568
905549
905546
81523
81711
905541
905592
80433
80375
81930
81917
80558
905602
905522
80153
905514
80371
905570
80141
PERCENTl
RATI01 =
PERCENTl
0.1950
0.2093
5.1796
4.7294
14.1613
0.6811
2.5470
0.2101
0.4354
0.0224
0.1381
0.2414
1.0086
0.8059
0.3192
0.0545
8.4599
0.2105
0.2387
0.1817
0.4104
0.4752
2.6695
2.5597
0.0041
0.0672
0.2125
0.0452
0.2746
0.3453
0.1310
0.2992
0.0059
0.1504
3.0756
= Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2
0.2058
0.1981
4.8954
4.4570
15.0405
0.6399
2.7162
0.1965
0.4656
0.0209
0.1481
0.2603
1.0887
0.7453
0.2935
0.0501
7.7643
0.1927
0.2606
0.1996
0.4511
0.5246
2.4163
2.3161
0.0037
0.0745
0.2364
0.0503
0.3058
0.3099
0.1460
0.2683
0.0066
0.1343
2.7450
SUBSTRATE CITY LOG (PERCENTl)
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Wood
Wood
Metal
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Brick
Drywall
Concrete
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Drywall
Wood
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Wood
in primary sample (%)
PERCBNT2) +
mint PERCENTl,
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Denver
-1.63476
-1.56399
1.64473
1.55380
2.65051
-0.38397
0.93492
-1.56017
-0.83158
-3.79869
-1.97978
-1.42115
0.00856
-0.21577
-1.14182
-2.90955
2.13534
-1.55848
-1.43255
-1.70540
-0.89062
-0.74394
0.98191
0.93989
-5.49677
-2.70008
-1.54881
-3.09666
-1.29246
-1.06325
-2.03256
-1.20666
-5.13280
-1.89430
1.12350
PERCENT2 = Lead
PERCENT2) RATI02- PERCENTl
LOG { PERCENT2 } RATIO1
-1.58085
-1.61898
1.58830
1.49447
2.71075
-0.44642
0.99923
-1.62709
-0.76453
-3.86801
-1.90987
-1.34600
0.08498
-0.29400
-1.22592
-2.99373
2.04953
-1.64638
-1.34465
-1.61144
-0.79607
-0.64511
0.88225
0.83988
-5.59942
-2.59696
-1.44223
-2.98975
-1.18472
-1.17141
-1.92415
-1.31580
-5.02069
-2.00769
1.00978
level in field
+ PERCENT2
1.05538
1.05654
1.05805
1. 06113
1.06208
1.06444
1.06643
1.06921
1.06935
1.07177
1.07241
1.07805
1.07942
1.08137
1.08774
1.08782
1.08960
1.09188
1.09188
1.09851
1.09917
1.10388
1.10479
1.10518
1.10811
1.10863
1.11247
1.11283
1.11375
1.11423
1.11450
1.11532
1.11864
1.12006
1.12044
duplicate

RATI02
1.05538
0.94649
0.94513
0.94239
1.06208
0 . 93946
1 .06643
0.93527
1.06935
0.93304
1.07241
1 .07805
1.07942
0.92475
0.91934
0.91927
0.91777
0.91585
1.09188
1.09851
1.09917
1.10388
0.90515
0.90483
0.90244
1.10863
1.11247
1.11283
1.11375
0.89748
1.11450
0.89661
1 .11864
0.89281
0.89251
sample (%)

                                                     4-60

-------
Table 4-18  (cont).
Lead Levels  in  Field Duplicate Samples in Percent by Height Units, Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
81721
81342
80706
81439
80549
81833
905508
905598
905591
80646
905580
905536
80230
905545
80808
905594
905542
80612
905509
905564
80638
905572
905520
905505
80027
905562
905600
80323
80778
81921
905539
905604
80305
80157
80170
PERCENTl
RATI01 =
PERCENTl
1.2142
0.3030
6.4911
1.1662
0.0063
0.2238
9.0301
5.2076
0.2107
0.1219
0.0022
0.2137
0.0049
0.3800
0.8759
0.1628
0.7328
0.0041
0.3534
13.2784
0.1250
11.2778
0.0031
10.8700
0.0330
5.7308
0.7269
0.0248
3.0923
0.8071
1.3183
0.1651
0.0289
0.1798
0.1698
« Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2
1.0823
0.3401
5.7784
1.3105
0.0056
0.1985
8.0050
4.6163
0.2381
0.1077
0.0024
0.1879
0.0043
0.3335
0.9994
0.1423
0.8392
0.0047
0.3077
15.2842
0.1439
9.7818
0.0027
12.5618
0.0285
4.9480
0.6216
0.0211
3.6386
0.6859
1.5521
0.1945
0.0245
0.2121
0.2004
SUBSTRATE
Wood
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Drywall
Metal
Wood
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Drywal 1
Wood
Wood
Wood
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
in primary sample (%)
PERCENT2) + min( PERCENTl,
CITY
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
LOG (PERCENTl)
0.19409
-1.19402
1.87043
0.15375
-5.06721
-1.49700
2.20057
1.65012
-1.55723
-2.10455
-6.14109
-1.54295
-5.31852
-0.96753
-0.13250
-1.81552
-0.31082
-5.49677
-1.04011
2.58614
-2.07944
2.42283
-5.78383
2.38601
-3.4J.125
1.74585
-0.31891
-3.69691
1.12892
-0.21431
0.27633
-1.80149
-3.54391
-1.71591
-1.77313
PERCENT2 = Lead
PERCENT2) RATI02= PERCENTl
LOG ( PERCENT2 ) RATIO1
0.07909
-1.07852
1.75413
0.27041
-5.18499
-1.61697
2.08006
1.52960
-1.43522
-2.22841
-6.01376
-1.67176
-5.44914
-1.09821
-0.00060
-1.94982
-0.17533
-5.36019
-1.17847
2.72682
-1.93864
2.28053
-5.92755
2.53066
-3.55785
1.59899
-0.47539
-3.85848
1.29160
-0.37702
0.43962
-1.63741
-3.70908
-1.55070
-1.60744
level in field
+ PERCENT2
1.12187
1.12244
1.12334
1.12374
1.12500
1.12746
1.12807
1 .12808
1.12976
1.13185
1.13579
1.13747
1.13953
1.13961
1.14100
1.14373
1.14510
1.14634
1.14839
1.15105
1.15120
1.15293
1 .15457
1.15564
1.15789
1.15820
1.16939
1.17536
1.17666
1.17670
1.17738
1.17831
1.17959
1.17964
1.18021
duplicate
RATIO2
0.89137
1.12244
0.89020
1.12374
0.88889
0.88695
0.88647
0.88646
1.12976
0.88351
1.13579
0.87914
0.87755
0.87749
1.14100
0.87433
1 .14510
1.14634
0.87078
1.15105
1.15120
0.86736
0.86612
1.15564
0.86364
0.86341
0.85515
0.85081
1.17666
0.84983
1.17738
1.17831
0.84775
1.17964
1.18021
sample (%)
                                                    4-61

-------
Table 4-18  (cont).
Lead Levels in  Field Duplicate Samples in Percent by Weight Units, Sorted by RATI01.
SAMPLE ID
80108
905584
80444
80421
905597
905566
905521
81337
81315
905524
80358
905595
81413
905540
81458
905527
81513
81858
905523
905563
905575
80848
81207
80277
905501
80514
905516
905574
905609
905548
81712
905530
81239
905606
905528
PERCENTl
RATIO1 -
PERCENTl
4.9727
5.1051
0.0762
0.0700
0.2229
4.0341
3.7464
0.2736
3.7021
0.5180
0.2372
0.5141
0.9388
0.5088
0.9341
0.4176
0.2526
0.2304
4.5865
13.4021
4.2509
0.3255
8.0533
0.2027
11.1032
0.7684
3.5931
0.1222
0.2720
5.5140
0.4934
0.1219
0.0740
0.8532
3.6819
B Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2
4.2119
6.0334
0.0641
0.0833
0.1870
4.8166
4.4742
0.3277
3.0856
0.4258
0.2888
0.4218
1.1551
0.6277
1.1591
0.3360
0.3140
0.1843
3.6688
10.6820
5.3574
0.2571
6.3376
0.1589
8.6911
0.5999
4.6274
0.1574
0.2105
4.2574
0.6421
0.0932
0.0564
0.6499
4.8594
SUBSTRATE CITY LOG (PERCENTl)
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
Wood
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Brick
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Metal
Metal
Metal
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Plaster
in primary sample (t)
PERCENT2 ) +
mint PERCENTl,
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Louisville
1.60396
1.63024
-2.57439
-2.65926
-1.50088
1.39478
1.32079
-1.29609
1.30890
-0.65785
-1.43885
-0.66535
-0.06315
-0.67573
-0.06817
-0.87319
-1.37595
-1.46794
1.52313
2.59541
1.44713
-1.12239
2.08608
-1.59603
2.40723
-0.26344
1.27902
-2.10218
-1.30197
1.70729
-0.70644
-2.10482
-2.60369
-0.15873
1.30342
PERCENT2 = Lead
PERCENT2) RATIO2. PERCENTl
LOG ( PERCENT2 ) RATIO1
1.43791
1.79731
-2.74731
-2.48531
-1.67659
1 .57207
1.49833
-1.11566
1.12675
-0.85378
-1.24202
-0.86322
0.14419
-0.46564
0.14764
-1.09069
-1.15836
-1.69119
1.29985
2.36856
1.67848
-1.35829
1.84650
-1.83948
2.16230
-0.51099
1.53200
-1.84895
-1.55826
1.44866
-0.44301
-2.37273
-2.87529
-0.43087
1.58091
level in field
+ PERCENT2
1.18063
1.18184
1.18877
1.19000
1.19208
1 . 19397
1 .19427
1.19773
1.19980
1.21645
1.21754
1.21879
1.23040
1.23379
1.24087
1.24296
1.24307
1.25014
1.25016
1.25464
1.26031
1.26604
1.27072
1.27565
1.27754
1.28088
1.28786
1.28817
1.29213
1.29515
1.30138
1.30724
1.31206
1.31278
1.31981
duplicate

RATI02
0.84700
1.18184
0 .84121
1 . 19000
0 . 83887
1 . 19397
1 . 19427
1 . 19773
0 . 83347
0 . 82207
1 .21754
0 . 82048
1.23040
1.23379
1 .24087
0.80453
1.24307
0.79991
0.79990
0.79704
1.26031
0.78986
0.78696
0.78392
0.78276
0.78071
1.28786
1.28817
0.77392
0.77211
1.30138
0.76497
0.76216
0.76174
1.31981
sample (%)

                                                     4-62

-------
Table 4-18  (cont).
Lead Levels In Field Duplicate Samples in Percent by Height Units, Sorted by RATIO1.
SAMPLE ID
80664
80507
80827
905587
81753
80679
80733
905589
905515
80852
80206
80314
80545
80924
81355
81849
80140
905596
81957
905517
80531
905586
905590
81939
905599
81556
81812
905518
80762
80059
81221
80818
80353
81629
80745
PERCENTl
RATIO1 =
PERCENTl
0.0490
1.4205
0.0016
4.9388
0.3918
0.1469
6.8598
0.3881
10.4921
0.0077
16.6756
2.2774
0.00290
0.01480
0.04240
0.22530
3.39040
3 .01411
1.19490
0.00082
0.29330
0.34356
2 .98120
0.68950
0.44643
1.05850
0.12460
0.00136
1.65650
0.00550
1.31110
0.89780
0.05470
4.07130
3.24900
• Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2
0.0647
1.8837
0.0012
3.6765
0.2883
0.1080
4.9200
0.2776
7.4843
0.0108
23.4386
1.6075
0.0020
0.0102
0.0291
0.1520
5.0758
2.0051
0.7883
0.0013
0.4522
0.5320
4.6386
0.4355
0.7099
0.6627
0.2031
0.0008
1.0031
0.0033
0.7826
1.5122
0.0324
2.4100
5.4961
SUBSTRATE
Dry wall
Metal
Hood
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Brick
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Metal
Wood
Wood
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Drywall
Wood
Plaster
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Wood
Concrete
Drywall
Concrete
Concrete
Wood
Wood
Drywall
Metal
Brick
in primary sample (%)
PERCENT2) +
min( PERCENTl,
CITY
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Louisville
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
LOG ( PERCENTl )
-3.01593
0.35101
-6.43775
1.59713
-0.93700
-1.91800
1.92568
-0.94645
2.35062
-4.86653
2.81395
0.82303
-5.84304
-4.21313
-3.16061
-1.49032
1.22095
1.10330
0.17806
-7.10021
-1.22656
-1.06839
1.09233
-0.37179
-0.80647
0.05685
-2.08265
-6.60083
0.50471
-5.20301
0.27087
-0.10781
-2.90589
1.40396
1.17835
PERCENT2 = Lead
PERCENT2) RATIO2= PERCENTl
LOG(PERCENT2)
-2.73799
0.63324
-6.72543
1.30196
-1.24375
-2.22562
1.59331
-1.28150
2.01281
-4.52821
3.15438
0.47468
-6.21461
-4.58537
-3.53702
-1.88387
1.62448
0.69567
-0.23788
-6.67163
-0.79363
-0.63114
1.53440
-0.83126
-0.34261
-0.41143
-1.59406
-7.09605
0.00310
-5.71383
-0.24513
0.41357
-3.42960
0.87963
1.70404
level in field
+ PERCENT2
RATIO1
1.32041
1.32608
1.33333
1.34335
1.35900
1.36019
1.39427
1.39801
1.40187
1.40260
1.40556
1.41673
1.45000
1.45098
1.45704
1.48224
1.49711
1.50326
1.51579
1.53507
1.54177
1.54844
1.55593
1.58324
1.59019
1.59725
1.63002
1.64085
1.65138
1.66667
1.67531
1.68434
1.68827
1.68934
1.69163
duplicate

RATIO2
1.32041
1.32608
0.75000
0.74441
0.73583
0.73519
0.71722
0.71530
0.71333
1.40260
1.40556
0.70585
0.68966
0.68919
0.68632
0.67466
1.49711
0.66522
0.65972
1.53507
1.54177
1.54844
1.55593
0.63162
1.59019
0.62607
1.63002
0.60944
0.60555
0.60000
0.59690
1.68434
0.59232
0.59195
1.69163
sample (%)

                                                     4-63

-------
Table 4-18  (cont).
Lead Levels  in Field Duplicate Samples in Percent  by Weight Units, Sorted by RATI01.
SAMPLE ID
80257
905605
81544
905569
81211
80721
80409
80875
80831
80971
80937
905607
81640
80578
81244
80972
905577
80870
80720
80965
80449
80035
80908
80129
80229

PERCENTl
RATI01 =
PERCENTl
0.54620
0.25300
0.21240
0.00051
7.18480
6.65880
0.05300
0.00360
0.79270
0.17370
0.00170
0.38180
0.01550
0.00900
0.43030
1.63450
0.00263
0 .00620
1.40890
0.00070
0.11570
0.00120
0.98040
0.12670
0.03710

* Lead level
max (PERCENTl,
PERCENT2
0.9287
0.1426
0.3801
0.0009
13.4222
12.4515
0.0282
0.0069
1.5227
0.3427
0.0035
0.8378
0.0070
0.0039
1.0690
0.60490
0.00097
0.01790
0.48650
0.00210
0.37420
0.00400
0.16690
0.76760
0.00570

SUBSTRATE
Plaster
Metal
Metal
Hood
Metal
Wood
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Concrete
Wood
Brick
Brick
Wood
Wood

in primary sample (%)
PERCENT2) + min (PERCENTl,
CITY , LOO (PERCENTl)
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Louisville
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
-0.60477
-1.37435
-1.54928
-7.57143
1.97197
1.89594
-2.93746
-5.62682
-0.23231
-1.75043
-6.37713
-0.96286
-4.16692
-4.71053
-0.84327
0.49134
-5.93908
-5.08321
0.34281
-7.26443
-2.15675
-6.72543
-0.01979
-2.06593
-3.29414
-0.72567
PERCENT2 = Lead
PERCENT2) RATI02» PERCENTl
LOQ(PERCENT2)
-0.07397
-1.94747
-0.96732
-6.98134
2.59691
2.52184
-3.56843
-4.97623
0.42049
-1.07090
-5.65499
-0.17703
-4.96185
-5.54678
0.06672
-0.50269
-6.93590
-4.02295
-0.72052
-6.16582
-0.98296
-5.52146
-1.79036
-0.26449
-5.16729
-4.82831
level in field
+ PERCENT2
RATIO1
1.70029
1.77379
1.78955
1.80415
1.86814
1.86993
1.87943
1.91667
1.92090
1.97294
2.05882
2.19423
2.21429
2.30769
2.48431
2.7021
2.7097
2.8871
2.8960
3.0000
3.2342
3.3333
5.8742
6.0584
6 .5088
60.5000
duplicate
RATIO2
1.70029
0.56377
1.78955
1.80415
1.86814
1.86993
0.53208
1.91667
1.92090
1.97294
2.05882
2.19423
0.45161
0.43333
2.48431
0.37008
0.36905
2.88710
0.34530
3.00000
3 .23423
3 .33333
0 . 17024
6 .05841
0.15364
0.01653
sample (%)
                                                     4-64

-------
Table 4-19. Correlations and Regression Coefficients for Regression of
          LOG(AREA2) Against LOG(AREAl)  by City.
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
N*
74
44
39
CORRELATION
0.957
0.947
0.995
SLOPE
0.977
1.002
1.002
INTERCEPT
0.011
0.040
-0.019
a N represents the number of paired results .
Table 4-20. Correlations and Regression Coefficients for Regression of
          LOG(PERCENT2) Against LOG(PERCENT1) by City.
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
N*
74
44
39
CORRELATION
0.956
0.969
0.994
SLOPE
0.963
1.017
, 1.000
INTERCEPT
-0.098
-0.016
-0.022
* N represents the number of paired results.
there is a factor of  approximately 60 between the primary  and
field duplicate lead  levels  in both types of units.  The
Philadelphia plots also have constant variance; however, there is
an outlier in the area  plot  that does not appear in the percent
plot.  This point has primary lead levels of 0.06291 mg/cm2 and
0.2124% and field duplicate  levels of 0.38413 mg/cm2 and 0.3801%.
Thus the ratio of field duplicate to primary lead level is 6.2 in
area units (mg/cm2)  but only  1.8  in  percent  by weight units.   The
residual plots of the Louisville data show slightly higher
variability at the lower lead levels; each has a single outlier.
The outlier pair has  primary lead levels of  0.00086 mg/cm2 and
0.00263% and field duplicate lead levels of 0.00033 mg/cm2 and
0.00097%.

     The same statistical model and outlier analysis as used for
the laboratory duplicates can be applied to the field  duplicates.
For example/ for the  area unit data, the model is
LOG(AREAi) = LOG (LEAD)  +
                                           (i = 1,2)
where LEAD now denotes  the average true lead level  in the  area of
the component from which the field duplicate samples  were  taken,
and e± are random errors that are  independent and normally
distributed with mean 0 and constant variance a2.  Tables 4-21
and 4-22 show the outlier analysis for the field duplicate data
                               4-65

-------
PAINT
2 -
1 -
0 •:
R :
I -IT
i :
d
u
a , :
1 -2-:
•
-3 -i
-4 -:
-5 -
CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: FIELD DUPLICATE SAMPLES
Residual Plots for AREA UNITS in Denver
D
D
D
.
D D
D DD D D D
D
QD D n D °
DD Q o sQS1 ^ n Del
D
D D a
D
D
D
D

D
-9 -7 -5 -3-11 3






log(mg/cm2 Pb)
Figure 4-24.
Plot of residuals from regression  of  log(field
duplicate)  versus log(primary sample)  in Denver
(mg/cm2).
                             4-66

-------
PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: FIELD DUPLICATE SAMPLES
Residual Plots for AREA UNITS in Philadelphia
r\ 	
-
1 -
e
s
i
d
u D
a
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-2 -

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*
n
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-6 -5 -4 -3-2-10 1 2
log(mg/cm2 Pi>)






Figure 4-25.
Plot of residuals from regression  of log(field
duplicate)   versus   log(primary   sample)   in
Philadelphia (mg/cm2).
                             4-67

-------
PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: FIELD DUPLICATE SAMPLES













R
e
s
i
H
U.
U

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Residual Plots for AREA UNITS in Louisville
0.8-

0. 7 -:
0. 6 -i
0.5^

0. 4 -:

0. 3 •:


0. 2 i
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-0.2 •:
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-0. 4 •:
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-10 -8 -6-4-20 2 4
log(mg/cm2 PL)
Figure 4-26.
Plot of residuals from  regression of log(field
duplicate)   versus   log(primary  sample)   in
Louisville (mg/cm2).
                             4-68

-------
  PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS:  FIELD DUPLICATE SAMPLES
         Residual  Plots for PERCENT BY WEIGHT in Denver
       2 -
       1 i
       0 -
  R
  e
  s
  i
  d
  u
  a
  1
-1 1
      -2 -
      -3 -
      -4 -
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          -6     -4-20      2

            log(Percent by Weight Pb)
Figure 4-27.
         Plot of residuals from regression of log(field
         duplicate) versus log(primary sample) in Denver
         (percent by weight).
                            4-69

-------
PAINT
CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: FIELD DUPLICATE SAMPLES
Residual Plots for PERCENT BY WEIGHT in Philadelphia








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0

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. 8

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-5 -4-3-2-10 1 2 3
log(Percent by Weight Pb)
Figure 4-28.
Plot of residuals from regression of log(field
duplicate)   versus   log(primary   sample)   in
Philadelphia (percent by weight).
                             4-70

-------
PAINT CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: FIELD DUPLICATE SAMPLES










R
e
s
i
d
u
a
1















Residual Plots for PERCENT BY WEIGHT in Louisville
0. 9 d -
0. 8 -q D
0.7^
_
0.6-
0.5^

0.4^
0. 3 ^
0. 2 •:
0.1 i

o.o -.
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-0. 1 -
-0. 2 -:
.
-0. 3 -
-0. 4 •:
~
-0. 5 •:
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-0. 6 -
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-8 -6-4-20 2 4
log(Percent by Yeight Pb)
Figure 4-29.
Plot of residuals from  regression of log(field
duplicate)   versus   log(primary   sample)   in
Louisville (percent by weight).
                             4-71

-------
Table 4-21. Outlier Analysis for Field Duplicate Data (mg/cm2 lead).

N
sav2
M(1,N,95)
Outlier Cutoff
Outlier Values
Revised savj
Revised sav
DENVER
74
0.3310
11.53
3.8170
8.3274
0.2215
0.4706
PHILADELPHIA
44
0.1092
10.56
1.1533
1.6367
0.0737
0.2715
LOUISVILLE
83
0.0295
11.74
0.3462
0.4587
0.0243
0.1558
Table 4-22. Outlier Analysis for Field Duplicate Data (Percent by Weight
          Lead).

N
sav2
M(1,N,95)
Outlier Cutoff
Outlier Values
Revised sav2
Revised sav
DENVER
74
0.2772
11.53
3.1966
8.4158
0.1658
0.4071
PHILADELPHIA
44
0.0518
10.56
0.5470
None
0.0518
0.2276
LOUISVILLE
83
0.0318
11.74
0.3733
0.4974
0.0261
0.1616
in mg/cm2 lead and percent by weight,  respectively.   The pairs
identified as outliers  in the  residual plots are confirmed by the
outlier criterion.

     Tables 4-21 and  4-22 show that,  in both sets of units,
variability in Denver is highest,  with Philadelphia next and
Louisville last.

     All differences  are statistically significant based on an
F-test.  In Denver  and  Philadelphia,  field duplicate variability
is statistically significantly higher than laboratory duplicate
variability.  In Louisville,  the F-test comparing field duplicate
and laboratory duplicate variability has a p-value of 0.02 which
is of marginal statistical significance given the number of
simultaneous comparisons being made.   The most probable reason
why field duplicates  are much more highly variable than
laboratory duplicates in Denver and Philadelphia is because of
                               4-72

-------
the 9 inch average distance between primary and field duplicate
samples.  Most of the field duplicate variability is caused by
differences in the true lead level in the pair of samples.   In
Louisville, where the field duplicates were true side-by-side
samples taken an average of only 2 inches apart, there is much
less variation in the true lead level so that the variability of
field duplicates is only slightly higher than that of laboratory
duplicates.  However, some of the increase in variability may be
due to the additional variability from often analyzing the
primary sample and field duplicate sample in two different
laboratory batches.  By contrast, laboratory duplicate samples
were almost always analyzed in the same batch.  The difference in
field duplicate variability between Denver and Philadelphia is
harder to explain.  However, the likely reason is the much
greater variety of paint and substrates encountered in the
single-family housing in Denver as compared to the multifamily
development tested in Philadelphia.  It is also possible that
more of the painting in the Philadelphia units was done by
professionals and was therefore more uniform.  Finally,
comparison of Tables 4-21 and 4-22 shows that the variability in
area units in Philadelphia and Denver is slightly higher than
variability in percent by weight units.

     Tables 4-23 and 4-24 give estimates of field duplicate
standard deviation by city and substrate in area and percent by
weight units, respectively.

     In Denver, variability in area units was consistent across
substrates with the exception of drywall where variability is
much lower.  Although brick and concrete showed higher
variability than metal, plaster, and wood, the differences were
not statistically significant because of the small sample sizes.
Similar variability relationships across substrates occurred for
percent by weight units in Denver with the exception of
variability on metal.  This variability was much lower than it
was in area units, primarily because of a single pair of results.
For this pair, the primary sample and field duplicate results, in
area units, were reported as 2.07227 and 11.82821 mg/cm2 lead.
In percent by weight units, results for this same pair were
reported as 16.6756% and 23.4386% lead.  Thus, the relative
variation was much greater in area units than in percent by
weight units.

     In Philadelphia, variability was consistent across
substrates in both units, except that variability on plaster was
much lower than on the other substrates.  The very hard and
smooth nature of the plaster in Philadelphia may have contributed

                               4-73

-------
Table 4-23.  Estimated Standard Deviations on the Log Scale  for  Field Duplicate  Samples  in Area Units, with
            Associated Sample Sizes,  by City and Substrate  (Outliers Excluded).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
IT
7
10
7
9
10
30
73
S.v
0.6009
0.5533
0.1640
0.4290
0.4569
0.4707
0.4706
95% Interval"
0.189, 5.289
0.216, 4.635
0.635, 1.576
0.305, 3.284
0.282, 3.548
0.271, 3.687
0.271, 3.686
PHILADELPHIA
N«
0
8
0
14
12
9
43
B«
N/A
0.3105
N/A
0.2464
0.1021
0.3975
0.2715
95% Interval"
N/A
0.423, 2.365
N/A
0.505, 1.980
0.754, 1.327
0.332, 3.010
0.471, 2.122
LOUISVILLE
N*
0
6
4
26
19
27
82
S.v
N/A
0.1324
0.2714
0.1751
0.1148
0.1417
0.1558
95% Interval"
N/A
0.693, 1.443
0.471, 2.122
0.616, 1.625
0.728, 1.375
0.675, 1.481
0.650, 1.540
11 N represents the number of paired results .
b A 95% probability interval for the ratio of field duplicates under the assumption the standard
deviation is the true value.
                                                   4-74

-------
Table 4-24. Estimated Standard Deviations on the Log Scale for Field Duplicate Samples in Percent by Weight
            Units (Percent by Weight Lead),  with Associated Sample Sizes,  by City and Substrate (Outliers
            Excluded).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
IT
7
10
7
9
10
30
73
S.v
0.6063
0.4756
0.1917
0.1969
0.3157
0.4344
0.4071
95% Interval"
0.186, 5.369
0.268, 3.737
0.588, 1.701
0.579, 1.726
0.417, 2.399
0.300, 3.334
0.324, 3.091
PHILADELPHIA
N*
0
8
0
15
12
9
44
s«
N/A
0.2792
N/A
0.2356
0.0929
0.2828
0.2276
95% Interval"
N/A
0.461, 2.168
N/A
0.521, 1.921
0.773, 1.294
0.457, 2.190
0.532, 1.879
LOUISVILLE
N"
0
6
4
26
19
27
82
S.v
N/A
0.1654
0.2431
0.1752
0.1558
0.1337
0.1616
95% Interval"
N/A
0.632, 1.582
0.510, 1.962
0.615, 1.625
0.649, 1.540
0.690, 1.449
0.639, 1.565
8 N represents the number of paired results.
b A 95% probability interval for the ratio of field duplicates under the assumption the standard
deviation is the true value.
                                                    4-75

-------
to more uniform paint-chip samples relative to the other
substrates.  In Louisville, variability was consistent across
substrates in both units of measure, except for drywall.  This is
because all the study lead levels on drywall were extremely low
and does not imply that the variability of drywall samples would
be higher than the other substrates as a general rule.

     In Denver and Philadelphia, there was a generally consistent
pattern across substrates of higher variability in area than
percent units.  However, in Louisville, no such pattern appeared
and variability in data expressed as area units and percent by
weight units was comparable.

     Variability in field duplicate samples could result in
inconsistent classification of paint against either the 1.0
mg/cm2 or 0.5% standards.   An inconsistent  classification occurs
when comparing both results of a pair against a standard and one
result is equal to or exceeds the standard while the other result
is less than the standard.  The following analysis uses results
from field duplicate pair samples that were collected including
all pairs where either or both of the results from the duplicate
samples were reported as non-detectable.  Unlike previous
analyses which excluded non-detectable results because the values
were not exactly known, non-detectable results are included in
this analysis since a non-detectable result provides a reliable
negative classification relative to the federal standards.  The
eleven pairs where a collection or analytical problem was
encountered for at least one of the samples in Louisville, were
eliminated from this analysis.

     Of the 128 total field duplicate pairs in Denver and
Philadelphia combined, ten  (8%) had inconsistent classifications
against the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard and eight  (6%)  had inconsistent
classifications with respect to the 0.5% standard.  Of 89 total
field duplicate pairs in Louisville, which were taken closer
together  (2-inch average) than in Denver and Philadelphia (9-inch
average), 1 (1%) had an inconsistent classification against the
1.0 mg/cm2 standard,  and 4 (4%)  had inconsistent classifications
against the 0.5% standard.

     Laboratory duplicates, which were not affected by spatial
variability, exhibited greater concordance in classification than
the field duplicates.  Of 171 total laboratory duplicate pairs in
all three cities, only 2  (1%) had inconsistent classifications
against the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard,  while 3 (2%)  had inconsistent
classifications against the 0.5% standard.
                               4-76

-------
     The variability estimates shown in Tables 4-21 and 4-22 can
be used to calculate the probability of exceeding various size
ratios2  in field duplicate pairs.   Table  4-25  shows the
probability that the size ratio for a field duplicate pair will
exceed various values using the 0.4706 field duplicate standard
deviation for the log scale area units in Denver.  Table 4-26
shows the same information in percent by weight units using the
0.4071 field duplicate standard deviation for the log scale
percent by weight units in Denver.  Table 4-27 through 4-30 are
the companion tables for Philadelphia and Louisville.  The 0.2715
field duplicate standard deviation for the log scale area units
in Philadelphia is used to compute the probabilities shown in
Table 4-27 and the 0.2276 field duplicate standard deviation for
the log scale percent by weight units in Philadelphia is used to
compute the probabilities shown in Table 4-28.  Similarly, the
0.1558 field duplicate standard deviation for the log scale area
units in Louisville is used to compute the probabilities shown in
Table 4-29 and the 0.1616 field duplicate standard deviation for
the log scale percent by weight units in Louisville is used to
compute the probabilities shown in Table 4-30.  As can be seen
from the tables, large relative differences between field
duplicate pairs are possible.  For example, 10% of pairs measured
in area units from Denver are expected to have ratios of 3 or
larger.   Table 4-17 shows that 9 of 77 ratios  (the outlier is
excluded) in Denver actually exceeded 3,  in close agreement with
the model prediction of 77 * 0.1 = 7.7

     4.4  LABORATORY ANALYSIS QUALITY CONTROL  (QC) RESULTS

     Analyses on the results of laboratory quality control
samples are presented below.  These analyses support other
analyses presented in previous sections which address the study
objective to investigate the variability of lead levels in the
paint within the sampling locations.

     Field paint-chip samples were prepared and analyzed in small
groups called batches as discussed under the design elaboration
section, section 3.3.3.  Each batch was assigned a unique three-
character ID.  Laboratory QC samples were included in each batch
to estimate the analytical performance for field paint-chip
samples in the batch.  Two general classifications of QC samples
were used:   (1) instrumental analysis QC samples  (placed into
     2A size ratio is defined as  the ratio of the two results from
a pair,  either a field or  laboratory duplicate pair,  with the
smaller of the two in the denominator.

                               4-77

-------
Table 4-25. Ratios for Larger to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,   with
            Associated Probabilities of Exceeding the Ratio,  for Area Units in
            Denver Using the 0.4706 Field Duplicate Standard Deviation for the
            Log Scale Area Units.
RATIO
1.6
2.2
3.0
3.7
5.6
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%
Table 4-26. Ratios for Larger to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,   with
            Associated Probabilities of Exceeding the Ratio,  for Percent by
            weight Units in Denver Using the 0.4071 Field Duplicate Standard
            Deviation for the Log Scale Percent by Weight Units.
RATIO
1.5
1.9
2.6
3.1
4.4
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%
Table 4-27. Ratios for Larger to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,   with
            Associated Probabilities of Exceeding the Ratio,  for Area Units in
            Philadelphia Using the 0.2715 Field Duplicate Standard Deviation
            for the Log Scale Area Units.
RATIO
1.3
1.4
1.9
2.1
2.7
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%
                                     4-78

-------
Table 4-28. Ratios for Larger to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,  with
            Associated Probabilities of Exceeding the Ratio, for Percent by
            weight Units in Philadelphia Using the 0.2276 Field Duplicate
            Standard Deviation for the Log Scale Percent by Weight Units.
RATIO
1.2
1.4
1.7
1.9
2.3
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%
Table 4-29. Ratios for Larger to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,  with
            Associated Probabilities of Exceeding the Ratio, for Area Units in
            Louisville Using the 0.1558 Field Duplicate Standard Deviation for
            the Log Scale Area Units.
RATIO
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.8
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%
Table 4-30. Ratios for Larger to Smaller of Field Duplicate Pairs,  with
            Associated Probabilities of Exceeding the Ratio, for Percent by
            weight Units in Louisville Using the 0.1616 Field Duplicate
            Standard Deviation for the Log Scale Percent by Weight Units.
RATIO
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.6
1.8
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING
50%
25%
10%
5%
1%
                                    4-79

-------
 each  instrumental analysis batch, which usually consisted of one
 or more  sample preparation batches) and,  (2) sample preparation
 and field QC samples  (which included method blanks, field blanks
 and blind samples).  Laboratory QC results are discussed in this
 section  with respect to these two classifications of QC samples.

      4.4.1     Instrumental Analysis Quality Control Samples

      The instrumental analysis QC samples were analyzed along
 with  field paint-chip samples to assure acceptable instrument
 performance .during lead determinations.  They included daily
 calibration standards, multiple calibration verification
 standards, multiple calibration blank samples, and interference
 check standards.  A detailed description of the use,
 specifications, and frequency of use of these instrumental
 analysis QC standards was presented under the design elaboration
 section  in section 3.3.2 and Table 3-18.  In addition to these QC
 samples, test solutions, called instrumental detection limit
 (IDL)  standards, were placed in each analysis batch at a minimum
 rate  of  five per batch.  The IDL standards were prepared at a
 lead  concentration of 0.1 /ig/ml.  Lead results from analysis of
 IDL standards were used to calculate an instrumental detection
 limit (IDL)  for each batch.  The IDL was calculated as three
 times the sample standard deviation of the lead results obtained
 from  the IDL standards.  All lead results measured at or above
 the IDL were reported by the laboratory.  All lead results
 measured below the IDL were identified as non-detectable, and
 reported as "<" a sample-specific detection limit  (DL). The DLs
 were calculated using the IDL and the appropriate sample
 preparation parameters such as pre-measurement dilution factors
 and final dilution volume, subsample mass, total sample mass, and
 collected sample area.

     4.4.2     Sample Preparation and Field Quality Control
               Samples

     Sample preparation QC samples were placed in each sample
preparation batch to estimate precision and accuracy of
 laboratory processing of field paint-chip samples.  They included
method blanks (also called digestion blanks) and two kinds of
blind samples as discussed under the design elaboration section
 in section 3.3.2 and Table 3-17.  Method blanks are blank samples
processed in a manner identical to field paint-chip samples
except no sample matrix is present in the container used for
 sample digestion.  They are intended to provide information on
the potential systematic lead contamination of field paint-chip
 samples resulting from laboratory processing.  Field blanks were

                               4-80

-------
collected at a minimum rate of one per housing unit in the field.
Field blanks were representative empty sample collection
containers shipped from the field to the laboratory with the
field paint-chip samples.  Results for the sample preparation QC
samples and field blanks for all three cities are discussed in
the following sections.

     4.4.2.1   Method Blanks and Field Blanks

     Table 4-31 presents summary statistics for method blanks,
field blanks and field paint-chip samples.  Included in this
table are sample specific detection limit statistics for these
samples.  Because sample collection and analysis parameters used
to calculate lead results varied between samples, detection
limits also varied between samples.  Sample collection and
analysis parameters which varied included the IDL, additional
dilution factors, total collected sample mass, subsample mass,
and collected sample area.  The formulas used to calculated
sample specific detection limits and the ranges for these
parameters are shown in a footnote to Table 4-31.

     Table 4-31 indicates that 16.5% of the 79 method blanks
showed detectable levels of lead.  All of the detectable levels
were very low.  In fact, the highest detectable level was smaller
than the maximum sample-specific detection limit for the method
blanks.  Thus, the method blank data indicate that the field
paint-chip samples are free from any significant bias caused by
contamination during laboratory processing.

     As indicated in Table 4-31, 32.2% of the field blanks showed
detectable levels of lead.  However, when compared to the method
blank data, the reported lead value range and maximum is less
than those for the method blanks, 2.13 to 8.70 /xg/sample for the
field blanks compared to 2.13 to 8.91 for the method blanks.
These data show that lead levels in field blanks were no higher
than in method blanks.  Thus, no field contamination problems are
indicated.

     Field paint-chip sample data in Table 4-31 show that only
4.2% (54) of the 1,290 field samples  (100% - 95.8% = 4.2%) were
reported as non-detectable.  Typical detection limits for the
field paint-chip samples were two orders of magnitude below the
federal standards (1.0 mg/cm2 and 0.5%).   For the field samples
that had non-detectable levels of lead, the range of the sample
specific detection limits was 0.0001 to 0.009 in mg/cm2 units and
0.0004 to 0.02 in percent by weight units.
                               4-81

-------
Table 4-31. Comparison Summary of Measured Lead Values and Detection Limits  for
            Method Blanks, Field Blanks and Field Paint-Chip Samples in the  39 Sample
            Preparation Batches Containing Primary Field Paint-Chip Sample Results
            for the Full and Pilot Studies.
  Sample
   Type
 Data Item
No. of
Samples
                                                 Percentile
                                   Min
                                  25th
                           Median
                   75C
                   Max
                                  Percent
                                     aDL
 Method
 Blank
          DL»
          ng/sample
                         2.13
                    3.25
          4.30
          5.94
         8.91
Reported"
Lead value
tig/ sample
                79
                                                      16.5%
                                   2.13
                    3.47
          5.10
          6.09
         8.91
  Field
  Blank
          DL*
          ^g/sample
                         2.13
                    2.46
          3.60
          3.60
         8.67
Reported"
Lead value
^g/sample
                31
                                                      32.2%
                                   2.13
                    2.75
          3.60
          5.95
         8.70
          DL"
          mg/cm2
                        0.0001
                   0.0005
         0.0013
         0.0030
         0.096
  Field
  Paint-
  Chip
  Sample
          Reported"
          Lead value
          mg/cm2	
                        0.0001
                   0.028
          0.20
          0.62
         37.29
DLa
percent by
weight	
  1290
                                    95.8%
          0.0004
0.0010
0.0013
0.0028
0.11
          Reported"
          Lead value
          percent by
          weight	
                        0.0004
                   0.045
          0.20
          0.72
         34.56
       A sample specific detection limit,  calculated using the ICP Instrumental
       Detection Limit (IDL)  as follows:
        DL /xg/sample =
        DL mg/cmj =
        DL percent  by weight=
                      [(IDL) (A) (B)]
                      [(IDL)(A)(B)(C/D)]/[(1000)(E)]
                      [(IDL)(A)(B)(C/D)]/[(10000)(C)]
        where:       IDL = 3 times the standard deviation of a minimum of 5 replicate
                          lead results obtained from a 0.1 /zg/mL lead standard
                          measured during a given instrumental measurement batch
                          (/ig/mL, ranged from 0.0085 to 0.036).
                    A =   final sample volume (250 ml)
                    B =   additional dilution factors used to eliminate any
                          potential interferant present in the sample (mL/mL, ranged
                          from 1 to 100)
                    C =   total collected sample mass (grams, ranged from 0.045 to
                          25.18)
                    D =   subsample mass (grams, ranged from 0.029 to 0.56)
                    E =   total collected sample area (cm2,  ranged from  19.6  to
                          35.19)

        Detection limit was used for non-detect samples.
                                         4-82

-------
     4.4.2.2   Blind Samples

     A blind sample is a sample submitted for analysis whose
composition is known to the submitter but unknown to the analyst.
Blind samples were included in the sample stream submitted to the
laboratory to test the proficiency of the measurement process and
to estimate the accuracy of the lead results obtained from field
paint-chip samples.  Blind samples were obtained from two
sources:  (1) National Institute of Standards and Technology
(NIST),  standard reference material  (SRM) No. 1579a  (lead-based
paint),  and  (2) paint performance evaluation materials from
rounds 01 and 02 prepared for the American Industrial Hygiene
Association  (AIHA) Environmental Lead Proficiency Analytical
Testing (ELPAT) program.  Blind samples were included from both
of these sources because of concerns that the very high lead
concentration in the NIST SRM  (11.995%) would not be
representative of the actual field paint-chip samples.  The
concentrations of lead in the ELPAT samples were determined by
consensus testing.  The consensus value, a mean concentration
determined by reference laboratories selected by AIHA to be
proficient in the analysis of lead-containing matrices, was used
to calculate recoveries for this study.  ELPAT samples used in
this study included the following:
     •    Round 2, sample 1 - 0.2007% lead
     •    Round 2, sample 3 - 0.3809% lead
     •    Round 1, sample 2 - 0.5568% lead
     •    Round 1, sample 3 - 0.7026% lead
     •    Round 2, sample 2 - 3.2180% lead
     •    Round 2, sample 4 - 9.5536% lead

Additional information on the generation and use of  blind samples
is presented in Chapter 3.

     For this study, planned data quality objectives for lead
recoveries from blind samples were set  to 75% to 125% of the
known lead value.  Lead recoveries from the blind samples were
plotted on control charts to track the  accuracy of laboratory
processing.  Warning limits were set at 80% and 120% and control
limits at 75% and  125%.  Duplicate ELPAT samples placed in each
batch were used to estimate laboratory  processing precision.  The
estimated precision also was plotted on control charts as a range
of duplicate percent by weight lead  recoveries calculated as the
absolute difference between the lead recoveries of the ELPAT
sample duplicates.  The warning limit was set at 15% and the
control limit at  20%.
                               4-83

-------
     Figures 4-30 and 4-31 graphically display the lead
recoveries obtained for 39 NIST SRM samples and 77 ELPAT samples,
respectively, that were processed among the 39 sample preparation
batches containing primary field paint-chip samples for the full
and pilot studies.  Figure 4-32 graphically displays the range of
percent recoveries between duplicate ELPAT samples processed in
each sample preparation batch.  A single ELPAT sample in one of
the sample preparation batches was inadvertently lost during
laboratory processing and is not plotted in either of the
figures.

     Figure 4-30 indicates that the data was in control and met
data quality objectives for all NIST SRM samples except for four
batches.  Similarly, Figure 4-31 shows that the data was in-
control and met data quality objectives for all ELPAT blinds
except for one ELPAT sample.  Figure 4-32 shows in-control data
for ELPAT duplicates with one exception caused by the one high
lead recovery ELPAT sample shown in Figure 4-31.

     The sample preparation batch containing the out-of-control
ELPAT sample, with a high lead recovery of 133.4%, had two other
blind samples that were in-control:  a duplicate ELPAT sample
with 94.9% lead recovery and a NIST SRM sample with a 98.7% lead
recovery.  These results, when combined with lack of problems
with batches processed immediately before and after, suggest that
the high ELPAT blind was a random event.  However, processing of
later batches included four batches with low NIST SRM sample lead
recoveries ranging from 48.9% to 73.6%.  These low recoveries are
clustered together suggesting a potential systematic cause.
Eight ELPAT  samples processed in the same batches as those
containing the low NIST SRM samples were in-control with lead
recoveries ranging from 94.2% to 103.1%.  A detailed
investigation into procedures, personnel and other factors was
inconclusive in determining a specific cause for the low NIST SRM
sample recoveries in these four batches.

     As a result of the four  low NIST SRM sample recoveries
discussed above, an assessment of the potential effect of the
lower NIST SRM recoveries on  field paint-chip samples was
performed through additional  sample preparation and analysis
efforts in two sample preparation batches.  The first sample
preparation  batch, labeled batch ZZZ, was entirely dedicated to
the assessment of the potential effect of the low recoveries of
lead in samples of NIST SRM 1579a.  The second  sample preparation
batch, referred to as batch No. 734, was originally a partial
batch containing  the remaining samples from Philadelphia that had
not been prepared or analyzed when the low NIST SRM samples were

                               4-84

-------
PAINT-CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: LABORATORY NIST SRM 1 579 SAMPLES
130 :
120
no :
100 :
R
® 90 -
c
o
V
e
r 80
y

-
70 -

60 :
-
50
40 ~




AA A A A A AA A A
A A A A AA A A
A A A
AA A A A A

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729
723
A A725

726
A

i ' • ' • • ' • • ' i ' ' • ' ' ' ' ' ' i 	 • • i i | i • • i • . i i • |


-
-
-

•



.
-
•
—
-
-
-
-
-
Batch
Dashed Line=Waming Limit Solid Line=Control Limit
Figure 4-30
Summary of percent  lead  recoveries for NIST SRM
1579 samples  in each  sample  preparation batch.
Sample batch numbers are  shown for  results beyond
the control limits.
                             4-85

-------
PAINT-CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: LABORATORY ELPAT SAMPLES
140 -
-
-
130 -
120 -
-
% .
R
e 110 ~
c
o :
v :
e
r IQQ -
Y :
90 -

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70 ~

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.
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-
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_
Botch
Dashed Une=Waming Limit Sofid LJne=Contrd Limit
Figure 4-31.
Summary  of percent  lead  recoveries  for  ELPAT
samples in each sample  preparation batch.  Sample
batch numbers  are shown for  results beyond the
control limits.
                             4-86

-------


40 -

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% 30 ~
R
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PAINT-CHIP ICP ANALYSIS: LABORATORY ELPAT SAMPLES
ELPAT Absolute Percent Recovery Difference

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oo 0 ° °
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Botch
Dashed Line=Wbming Limit Solid Line=ContTol Limit

































Figure 4-32.
Absolute   difference   between   percent   lead
recoveries for the pair of ELPAT samples in each
sample preparation batch.   Sample batch numbers
are shown for results beyond the control limits.
                             4-87

-------
 identified.  Extra sample space remaining in this batch was used
to include subsamples of previously analyzed Philadelphia samples
to supplement data obtained from batch ZZZ.  Results from both
these batches are discussed in the following two sections.

     4.4.2.2.1 Results and Discussion of Investigation Samples in
               Sample Preparation Batch ZZZ

     A test batch, called ZZZ,  was assembled, prepared and
analyzed to examine the differences in lead concentrations
measured for field paint-chip samples analyzed in the four
batches with low lead recovery data for the NIST SRM samples
shown in Figure 4-30.  The design included preparation of a
single batch of samples by a single technician.  The technician
selected for the preparation task was one who performed the
majority of the preparations for Denver samples, all of which had
in-control NIST SRM sample recoveries.

     Three types of samples were included in the design of test
batch ZZZ:  ELPAT samples, NIST SRM samples and primary field
paint-chip samples.  The ELPAT and NIST SRM samples were included
to demonstrate control with respect to recovery of lead.  Six
ELPAT samples were included consisting of three duplicate pairs
ranging in lead concentration from 0.3809 to 9.5536 percent by
weight.

     Nine NIST SRM samples were included in test batch ZZZ.
These NIST SRM samples were assembled from opened and unopened
original NIST SRM bottles and from residual NIST SRM containers
used to submit the NIST SRM as blind samples during processing of
the batches containing Philadelphia samples.  NIST SRM samples
from the different sources were included in batch ZZZ to help
identify whether the low NIST SRM lead recoveries could have been
caused by a physical problem with NIST SRM blind samples, such as
inadvertent contamination or dilution of the SRM, as opposed to a
laboratory processing problem.

     Field paint-chip samples were included in test batch ZZZ to
demonstrate the relationship between lead recovery from the NIST
SRM samples and lead recovery for field paint-chip samples.  Two
groups of field paint-chip samples were included in the design:
field samples from Philadelphia batch No. 726 containing a low
NIST SRM sample recovery and field samples from sample batches
having in-control NIST SRM sample recoveries.  This design
provided a means of comparing recoveries of NIST SRM samples and
field paint-chip samples previously analyzed in two types of
batches, assuring that useful comparisons and conclusions could

                               4-88

-------
be drawn regardless of the NIST SRM sample status in test batch
ZZZ.  Field paint-chip samples from  batch No. 726 were selected
because it had the lowest NIST SRM sample lead recovery at 48.9%.

     The selection of samples for test batch ZZZ was limited to
those having sufficient sample mass to permit additional
subsampling.  Additional selection criteria included substrate
type and estimated lead level.  Field paint-chip samples from
sample preparation batches that were in control were selected
from Louisville batches which had NIST SRM sample recoveries
ranging from 95.5% to 100.9%.  Since statistical analysis had
been completed on the Louisville sample data at the time of this
investigation, these samples were considered to be more
expendable than Philadelphia or Denver samples.

     Lead recoveries for all ELPAT and NIST SRM samples in test -
batch ZZZ were in control, ranging from 96.8% to 105.3% and 96.7%
to 99.7% for the ELPAT samples and NIST SRM samples,
respectively.  These results suggest that there were no
differences between the different sources of the NIST SRM samples
included in batch ZZZ.

     Tables 4-32 and 4-33, which contain field paint-chip sample
results for test batch ZZZ, show good agreement between batch ZZZ
and original lead results for samples in batch No. 726 and the
original lead results for matching samples in the Louisville
batches.  Paired Student's t tests, pairing the lead
concentration results of the original analyses to those of batch
ZZZ analyses, indicate no significant differences between the
results for either the mg/cm2 units or percent by weight units.
The variability between the original and ZZZ mg/cm2 levels on the
log scale is estimated as 0.157 for Philadelphia and 0.231 for
Louisville  (1 standard deviation), using the statistical approach
described in section 4.3.  As for all laboratory duplicates,
variability on the log scale is the same in area units and
percent by weight units.  The estimates of variability are higher
than the overall estimates of analytical measurement variability
for these two cities reported in section 4.3  (0.126 for

     Philadelphia and 0.118 for Louisville).  The difference is
statistically significant for Louisville samples but not
statistically significant for the Philadelphia samples based on
an F-test.  Higher variability was to be expected from test batch
ZZZ since it includes the effect of variation between batches,
whereas the results for overall analytical measurement error are
based on paired subsamples, which were usually analyzed in the
same batch.  It is concluded that there are no unusual

                               4-89

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Table 4-32. Summary of Lead Results  for Selected Philadelphia Samples Included
          in Test Batch ZZZ.
SAMPLE
ID
1341
1344
1345
1347
1410
1411
1412
1413
1414
1449
1534
1536
1537
1539
1820
1824
1827
SAMPLE
TYPE
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Concrete
Plaster
Plaster
AVERAGES
LEAD CONCENTRATION
RESULTS FOR BATCH ZZZ
Percent by
Weight
0.307
0.383
0.420
0.389
0.245
0.153
0.466
0.750
0.366
0.478
0.415
0.110
0.579
0.430
0.109
0.149
0.160
0.348
mg/cm2
0.376
0.364
0.558
0.508
0.494
0.334
1.014
1.342
0.740
0.625
0.544
0.122
0.607
0.516
0.132
0.350
0.272
0.523
ORIGINAL LEAD
CONCENTRATION RESULTS
BATCH
No.
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
726
-
Percent by
Weight
0.274
0.382
0.324
0.356
0.280
0.182
0.364
0.939
0.380
0.530
0.596
0.114
0.458
0.507
0.179
0.127
0.118
0.359
mg/cm2
0.337
0.363
0.431
0.465
0.564
0.397
0.794
1.680
0.768
0.693
0.782
0.126
0.481
0.608
0.217
0.298
0.201
0.541
differences between the ZZZ and  original results beyond what
would be expected from analytical  measurement error and batch-to-
batch variation.  Furthermore, the Philadelphia sample data can
be used to draw conclusions related to the potential impact of
low NIST SRM sample recoveries on  field paint-chip samples.  If
the original lead recovery of the  NIST SRM sample in batch No.
726, at 48.9%, was reflective of lead recoveries from field
paint-chip samples, then lead results for field samples in test
batch ZZZ would have been expected to be much higher than those
in batch No. 726.  However, the  arithmetic mean lead level from
the 17 Philadelphia samples in batch ZZZ is slightly lower than
that obtained from matching samples in batch No. 726 (3.48 mg/g
versus 3.59 mg/g, and 0.52 mg/cm2 versus  0.54 mg/cm2, for batch
                               4-90

-------
Table 4-33. Summary of Lead Concentration Results for Selected Louisville
          Samples Included in Test Batch ZZZ,
SAMPLE
ID
523
524
531
533
535DUP
541
586
592
593
596
597
604
606
607
596DUP
SAMPLE
TYPE*
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Concrete
Concrete
Metal
Metal
Metal
Concrete
AVERAGES
LEAD CONCENTRATION
RESULTS FOR BATCH ZZZ
Percent by
Weight
3.251
0.536
0.228
0.136
1.130
0.745
0.435
3.483
0.129
1.818
0.235
0.178
0.603
0.730
3.616
1.150
mg/cm2
3.922
0.499
0.241
0.224
0.917
0.708
0.324
4.360
0.126
1.529
0.243
0.207
0.503
0.731
3.161
1.180
ORIGINAL LEAD
CONCENTRATION RESULTS
BATCH
No.
XDF
XDI
XDF
XDF
XDJ
XDF
XDJ
XDJ
XDJ
XDJ
XDJ
XDJ
XDJ
XDI
XDG
-
Percent
by Weight
4.587
0.518
0.241
0.152
1.167
0.475
0.344
2.670
0.130
3.014
0.223
0.165
0.853
0.382
2.005
1.128
mg/cm2
5.533
0.482
0.256
0.251
0.910
0.451
0.256
3.342
0.127
2.534
0.230
0.191
0.712
0.382
1.788
1.163
ZZZ and batch No.  726,  respectively).   The low NIST SRM sample
recovery of 48.9%  clearly indicated that a processing problem
with batch No.  726 did occur.   However,  lead results on the
additional aliquots of field paint-chip samples from this
Philadelphia batch processed under in-control conditions in batch
ZZZ indicate that  field sample results were not changed as a
result of the difference in control status between the two
batches.  This  suggests that the NIST SRM sample was not
particularly representative of the field paint-chip samples
contained within the original Philadelphia batch No. 726, and
thus, was not an effective measure of the accuracy of lead
results for this batch.

     Since the  results for test batch ZZZ indicated that original
field paint-chip sample results in batch No. 726 were not
affected by the low NIST SRM sample recovery in this batch, it
                               4-91

-------
was concluded that samples in the other three Philadelphia
batches with low NIST SRM sample recoveries were likewise not
affected.  Additional investigations to support this conclusion
are discussed in the following section.

     4.4.2.2.2 Results and Discussion of Investigative Samples in
               Sample Preparation Batch No. 734

     As discussed previously, the final sample preparation batch,
No. 734, from Philadelphia was originally a partial batch
containing only those samples needed to complete the remaining
samples that had yet to be prepared and analyzed.  Because of
fixed costs involved with batch processing of samples, a total of
22 samples could be added to batch No. 734 with only minimal
additional effort.  Therefore, it was decided to use this
opportunity to include additional samples in this batch to
confirm the conclusion suggested by the results from test batch
ZZZ.  This conclusion was that the low recoveries of lead in the
NIST SRM samples in the four  (4) Philadelphia sample batches had
apparently not resulted in low recoveries for the actual field
paint-chip samples in these batches.  Low lead NIST SRM sample
recoveries were measured at 67.2%, 66.3%, 48.9%, and 73.6% in
Philadelphia batch Nos. 723, 725, 726, and 729, respectively.

     The additional 22 samples added to sample batch No. 734
included replicate aliquots of field paint-chip samples from
batch Nos. 723, 725, 729, and 733.  Since there was a lack of
available sample material after completing preparation and
analysis of test batch ZZZ, inclusion of additional sample
aliquots from batch No. 726 was not possible.  Therefore, an
alternative batch was selected for inclusion.  This was No. 733,
which also had a low, but in-control, original NIST SRM lead
recovery at 77.1%.  Processing of all sample batches in the study
included preparation and analysis of four  (4) laboratory
duplicates per batch.  The original laboratory duplicate samples
from the four targeted batches  (batch Nos. 723, 725, 729, and
733) were selected for batch 734, making the number of additions
to batch No. 734 equal to 16.  One sample of the four (4) samples
from each of the targeted batches was selected at random and
processed as a laboratory duplicate in batch No. 734 increasing
the total number of sample additions to 20.  The remaining two
(2) sample positions within the batch were filled by random
selection from those samples left in the targeted batches that
had sufficient sample material remaining to permit removal and
processing of an additional aliquot.
                               4-92

-------
     Table 4-34 shows the reanalysis results.  The arithmetic
mean lead level of the 22 reanalyses was 0.80 mg/cm2,  as compared
to 0.74 mg/cm2 originally;  geometric means  were 0.31  mg/cm2 for
the reanalyses and 0.33 mg/cm2 for the  original analyses.
Neither difference was statistically significant.  The reanalysis
median was 0.42 mg/cm2 as compared to 0.43  mg/cm2 originally.
The conclusion is that there is no significant difference between
the original analysis results and the results of reanalyses in
batch No. 734.

     The variability between original and batch 734 lead levels
measured on the log scale  (using either mg/cm2 or percent units)
was 0.180, as compared to analytical measurement variability of
0.126 for the Philadelphia samples as a whole.  The difference
was not statistically significant, based on an F-test.  The
higher observed variation in the batch 734 results was probably
due to inter-batch variability, which was not accounted for in
the 0.126 variability estimate.

     The batch 734 results confirm jbhat the low recoveries of the
NIST SRM samples in batches No. 723, 725, 729 and 733 had no
systematic effect on the recoveries of study samples in these
batches.
                               4-93

-------
Table 4-34.  Batch 734  Reanalyses Compared to Original Results.
SAMPLE
ID
1213
1255
1255DDP
1318
1335
1409
1425
1425DUP
1510
1557
1607
1607DUP
1643
1646
1736
1745
1812
1812DDP
1839
1846
1910
1920
LEAD RESULTS FROM
BATCH No. 734
mg/cm2
5.1174
0.0552
0.0951
0.0064
0.6028
0.6491
1.5011
1.1635
0.5170
0.2565
0.5448
0.4349
0.3992
0.3997
0.0058
0.6906
0.2409
0.2878
0.0873
0.1386
1.8053
2.5121
PERCENT
BY WEIGHT
3.4683
0.0117
0.0305
0.0027
0.3536
0.3401
0.6856
0.5314
0.3267
0.1812
0.2093
0.1670
0.1941
0.1678
0.0027
0.3401
0.1246
0.1486
0.0717
0.0962
1.0886
1.3750
LEAD RESULTS FROM
ORIGINAL BATCHES
mg/cm2
3.6850
0.1889
0.1182
0.0039
0.4393
0.5718
1.2827
1.3653
0.4209
0.3514
0.5157
0.5169
0.7093
0.3130
0.0078
0.7352
0.2004
0.3019
0.0693
0.1730
1.7459
2.6400
PERCENT
BY WEIGHT
2.4975
0.0606
0.0379
0.0017
0.0577
0.2996
0.5859
0.6236
0.2660
0.2482
0.1981
0.1985
0.3449
0.1314
0.0036
0.3620
0.1037
0.1562
0.0569
0.1202
1.0528
1.4449
SUBSTRATE
TYPE
metal
plaster
plaster
brick
brick
concrete
plaster
plaster
concrete
wood
plaster
plaster
brick
concrete
concrete
plaster
concrete
concrete
plaster
metal
concrete
plaster
ORIGINAL
BATCH
No.
729
733
733
723
725
723
725
725
723
725
729
729
733
733
733
729
723
723
725
725
733
729
                                    4-94

-------
        Chapter 5 Summary;   Analysis of Test Kit Data
    None of the test kits used in this  study demonstrated
    low rates of both  false positive and false negative
    results when compared to laboratory analytical results
    using the federal thresholds, 1.0 mg/cm2 and 0.5%.
    The substrate underlying the paint sometimes affected
    false positive and false negative rates for test kits.
•   The probability of a positive classification when the
    sample's  lead  level  was  equal  to  the  federal
    thresholds varied depending on the kit  and substrate.
    High levels of lead would not always be detected using
    test kits alone.
    The lead level at which there was a 50%  chance of the
    occurrence  of a positive  test  kit result  varied
    depending on  the  kit  and substrate.  In many cases,
    positive results  occurred even when paint with very
    low lead levels was tested.

-------
     5    ANALYSIS OF TEST KIT DATA

     This chapter provides analysis results and discussion of
test kit performance and addresses the study objective to
characterize the relationship between test kit results and the
actual lead level in the paint.  Section 5.1 presents descriptive
statistics on false positive and false negative rates when
compared to the ICP measurements classified as positive and
negative, by city and substrate and overall, for the federal
standards of 1.0 mg/cm2  and 0.5% by weight.   Section 5.2  provides
estimates of operating characteristic (OC) curves of the test
kits.   An OC curve for a test kit shows the probability that the
test kit gives a positive reading on paint having true lead
concentration at some fixed level.  Section 5.3 provides
additional analysis results and discussion for the two sodium
sulfide type test kits.   For only these two kits, the degree of
shading for positive results was collected,  which may range from
light grey to black.

     5.1  DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ON FALSE POSITIVE AND FALSE
          NEGATIVE RATES FOR DIFFERENT STANDARDS

     The results presented in this section addresses the study
objective to characterize the relationship between test kit
results and the actual lead level in the paint.  As discussed in
previous chapters, paint samples were collected at a total of
1,290 sampling locations in the 3 cities.  Five of the six test
kits were attempted at every sampling location, and results were
obtained in all but a few cases.  For the Lead Alert:  Sanding
kit, only a subset of locations in Denver and Philadelphia were
tested because of the length of time necessary to complete tests
with this kit.  Also, data from this kit from Louisville was not
included since there was a substantial change in the protocol
from the pilot in Louisville to the full study.  Simulated
"homeowners" were selected with no prior test kit experience to
apply the test kits as was discussed in section 3.4.2.3.

     Table 5-1 shows the percentages of ICP measurements
classified as positive and negative relative to the federal
standard of 1.0 mg/cm2,  by city and substrate and overall.   An
ICP measurement is classified as positive if it equals or exceeds
1.0 mg/cm2,  and is classified as negative if it is less than 1.0
mg/cm2.   Table 5-2 shows the same percentages for the sampling
locations where Lead Alert:  Sanding testing was performed.
Tables 5-3 and 5-4 present the same information for the
alternative standard of 0.5% lead by weight.
                               5-1

-------
Table 5-1.  Positive (a 1.0 mg/cmj)  and Negative (<  1.0 mg/cmj) Percentages for ICP Measurements at All
            Sampling Locations by City and Substrate and Overall.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
N*
81
98
105
62
101
303
750
FOB
26%
19%
0%
19%
14%
27%
20%
Nag
74%
81%
100%
81%
86%
73%
80%
PHILADELPHIA
N*
12
120
8
127
121
52
440
POB
0%
7%
0%
25%
10%
38%
16%
Nag
100%
93%
100%
75%
90%
62%
84%
LOUISVILLE
N*
N/A
8
11
28
20
33
100
Pos
N/A
25%
0%
14%
35%
61%
33%
Nag
N/A
75%
100%
86%
65%
39%
67%
ALL CITIES
N"
93
226
124
217
242
388
1290
FOB
23%
13%
0%
22%
14%
31%
20%
Nag
77%
87%
100%
78%
86%
69%
80%
* Number of sampling locations.
                                                     5-2

-------
Table 5-2.  Positive (a 1.0 mg/cm2)  and Negative (<  1.0 mg/cm2) Percentages for  ICP Measurements at  Sampling
            Locations Where Lead Alert:  Sanding Testing Was Performed by City and Substrate and Overall.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
N*
23
38
40
33
40
89
263
Pos
17%
18%
0%
27%
10%
34%
21%
Neg
83%
82%
100%
73%
90%
66%
79%
PHILADELPHIA
N"
12
87
8
87
78
44
316
Pos
0%
9%
0%
32%
9%
38%
19%
Neg
100%
91%
100%
68%
91%
62%
81%
BOTH CITIES
N-
35
125
48
120
118
133
579
Pos
11%
12%
0%
31%
9%
35%
20%
Neg
89%
88%
100%
69%
91%
65%
80%
a Number of sampling locations.
                                                     5-3

-------
Table 5-3.  Positive (a 0.5 %)  and Negative (< 0.5 %)  Percentages for ICP Measurements at All Sampling
            Locations by City and Substrate and Overall.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
N*
81
98
105
62
101
303
750
Pos
28%
20%
10%
39%
17%
38%
28%
Nag
72%
80%
90%
61%
83%
62%
72%
PHILADELPHIA
N*
12
120
8
127
121
52
440
Pos
0%
8%
0%
46%
10%
67%
26%
Nag
100%
92%
100%
54%
90%
33%
74%
LOUISVILLE
N*
N/A
8
11
28
20
33
100
Pos
N/A
37%
0%
46%
50%
64%
47%
Nag
N/A
63%
100%
54%
50%
36%
53%
ALL CITIES
N«
93
226
124
217
242
388
1290
Pos
25%
15%
8%
44%
16%
44%
29%
Nag
75%
85%
92%
56%
84%
56%
71%
' Number of sampling locations .
                                                    5-4

-------
Table 5-4.  Positive (a 0.5 %}  and Negative (< 0.5 %)  Percentages for TCP Measurements at Sampling Locations
            Where Lead Alert:  Sanding Testing Was Performed by City and Substrate and Overall.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
N»
23
38
40
33
40
89
263
Pos
22%
18%
5%
45%
15%
47%
29%
Neg
78%
82%
95%
55%
85%
53%
71%
PHILADELPHIA
N"
12
87
8
87
78
44
316
POS
0%
11%
0%
55%
9%
67%
30%
Neg
100%
89%
100%
45%
91%
33%
70%
BOTH CITIES
N*
35
125
48
120
118
133
579
Pos
14%
14%
4%
53%
11%
54%
30%
Nag
86%
86%
96%
47%
89%
46%
70%
a Number of sampling locations .
                                                    5-5

-------
     Table 5-1 shows that, overall, Louisville had the highest
percentage of positive results relative to the 1.0 rag/cm2
standard  (33%) followed by Denver  (20%) and Philadelphia  (16%).

     There was considerable variation among substrates and
sometimes between cities for the same substrate.  Out of 124
tests, no positive results were found for drywall.  Concrete and
brick had much lower positive percentages in Philadelphia than in
the other cities.  Table 5-2, which displays ICP results from
locations where the Lead Alert:  Sanding test kit was performed,
shows a very similar pattern to the ICP results from all sampling
locations shown in Table 5-1.  Results for the 0.5% standard are
shown in Tables 5-3 and 5-4.  Note that the results in Tables 5-3
and 5-4 for all substrate data combined (shown in the "ALL" entry
in the tables) show about the same variations between cities and
substrates as do Tables 5-1 and 5-2.  However, differences can be
observed when substrate comparisons are made between the cities.
For example, the percentages for metal in Tables 5-1 and 5-2
changed noticeably compared to metal percentages in Tables 5-3
and 5-4.  Also, the percentages for wood in Philadelphia are
nearly reversed.  In general, the positive percentages are higher
than for the 1.0 tng/cm2 standard,  reflecting the fact that 0.5%
lead is usually a lower level than 1.0 mg/cm2 (see section
4.1.2).  For example, 8% of drywall samples were positive against
the 0.5% standard, as compared to 0% for the 1.0 mg/cm2  standard.

     A false negative with a test kit is defined as an ICP
measurement of 1.0 mg/cm2 or greater for which the kit gives a
negative result.  A false positive is, conversely, an ICP
measurement less than 1.0 mg/cm2 for which the kit gives a
positive result.  A test kit's false positive rate is the
proportion of ICP measurements less than 1.0 mg/cm2 for  which the
kit tested positive.  A test kit's false negative rate is the
proportion of ICP measurements greater than or equal to 1.0
mg/cm2 for which the kit tested negative.   Tables 5-5 through
5-10 give, by city and substrate and overall, the false positive
and false negative rates observed in the study for the 1.0 mg/cm2
standard.  Tables 5-11 through 5-16 give the corresponding rates
for the 0.5% standard.  For the Lead Alert:  Sanding and Lead
Alert:  Coring kits, an additional line is included giving the
overall results for all substrates except plaster.  Statements
for these two test kits will exclude the plaster data.

     In most cases, the classification of test kit results
compared to the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard is similar to the
classification compared to the 0.5% by weight standard.   However,
some differences do exist.  This is because the kits vary widely

                               5-6

-------
Table 5-5.  False Positive and False Negative Rates for LeadCheck by City and Substrate and Overall (1.0
            mg/cm2  Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
PP %
52%
38%
23%
44%
62%
58%
48%
FN %
5%
0%
N/A
0%
0%
1%
1%
PHILADELPHIA
PP %
58%
39%
25%
37%
35%
63%
40%
FN %
N/A
50%
N/A
6%
33%
10%
17%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
100%
0%
92%
92%
38%
67%
FN %
N/A
0.0%
N/A
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
ALL CITIES
FP %
53%
41%
21%
47%
50%
58%
46%
FN %
5%
14%
N/A
4%
12%
2%
6%
                                                    5-7

-------
Table 5-6.  False Positive and False Negative Rates for Lead Alert:   Coring by City  and  Substrate and
            Overall (1.0 mg/cm2 Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
All
Except
Plaster
DENVER
FP %
33%
10%
5%
24%
2%
15%
14%
15%
FN %
5%
5%
N/A
8%
79%
21%
21%
15%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
42%
10%
0%
13%
6%
6%
10%
12%
FN %
N/A
88%
N/A
38%
92%
55%
57%
50%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
50%
0%
46%
23%
0%
25%
26%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
0%
86%
10%
24%
8%
ALL CITIES
FP %
35%
11%
4%
21%
5%
14%
13%
15%
FN %
5%
28%
N/A
27%
85%
25%
32%
24%
                                                    5-8

-------
Table 5-7.  False Positive and False Negative Rates for Lead Alert:   Sanding by City and Substrate and
            Overall (1.0 mg/cm2  Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
All
Except
Plaster
DENVER
PP %
26%
0%
5%
17%
3%
3%
7%
8%
FN %
75%
29%
N/A
33%
75%
30%
37%
34%
PHILADELPHIA
PP %
17%
18%
0%
7%
6%
0%
9%
11%
PN %
N/A
63%
N/A
64%
100%
88%
75%
71%
BOTH CITIES
PP %
23%
13%
4%
10%
5%
2%
8%
9%
PN %
N/Aa
47%
N/A
57%
91%
50%
57%
53%
a Sample size is too small to accurately compute.
                                                    5-9

-------
Table 5-8.  False Positive and False Negative Rates for Lead Detective by  City and Substrate and Overall
            (1.0 mg/cm2 Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
FP %
58%
35%
30%
33%
51%
35%
39%
FN %
43%
47%
N/A
17%
57%
12%
26%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
42%
37%
0%
26%
21%
38%
29%
FN %
N/A
63%
N/A
28%
25%
5%
25%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
83%
45%
71%
31%
23%
51%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
50%
0%
5%
9%
ALL CITIES
FP %
55%
38%
29%
34%
34%
35%
36%
FN %
43%
48%
N/A
27%
33%
10%
23%
                                                   5-10

-------
Table 5-9.  False Positive and False Negative Rates for Lead Zone by City and Substrate  and Overall  (1.0
            mg/cm2  Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
FP %
40%
29%
26%
32%
20%
36%
31%
FN %
5%
0.0%
N/A
25%
36%
2%
7%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
25%
22%
0%
16%
32%
44%
25%
FN %
N/A
38%
N/A
22%
17%
20%
22%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
0%
0%
43%
23%
0%
20%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
0%
71%
20%
27%
ALL CITIES
FP %
38%
24%
22%
24%
26%
35%
28%
FN %
5%
10%
N/A
21%
36%
8%
14%
                                                   5-11

-------
Table 5-10. False Positive and False Negative Rates for State  Sodium Sulfide by City and Substrate and
            Overall (1.0 mg/cm2 Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
FP %
67%
42%
45%
20%
67%
57%
52%
FN %
0%
5%
N/A
17%
0%
0%
2%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
67%
95%
0%
95%
98%
84%
92%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
0%
0%
0%
0%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
33%
0%
33%
15%
38%
25%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
0%
0%
0%
0%
ALL CITIES
FP %
67%
72%
38%
64%
80%
59%
65%
FN %
0%
3%
N/A
4%
0%
0%
1%
                                                   5-12

-------
Table 5-11. False Positive and False Negative Rates  for  LeadCheck by  City  and Substrate and Overall  (0.5%
            Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
FP %
50%
37%
17%
37%
61%
52%
44%
FN %
4%
0%
20%
17%
0%
3%
5%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
58%
39%
25%
32%
35%
35%
36%
FN %
N/A
50%
N/A
27%
33%
9%
24%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
100%
0%
87%
100%
42%
62%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
0%
10%
5%
4%
ALL CITIES
FP %
51%
40%
16%
41%
49%
50%
42%
FN %
4%
15%
20%
21%
13%
5%
11%
                                                   5-13

-------
Table 5-12. False Positive and False Negative Rates  for Lead Alartt  Coring by City and Substrate and
            Overall (0.5% Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
All
Except
Plaster
DENVER
FP %
33%
10%
3%
16%
2%
6%
9%
10%
FN %
9%
10%
80%
29%
82%
24%
29%
24%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
42%
10%
0%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
FN %
N/A
90%
N/A
59%
92%
71%
69%
66%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
40%
0%
20%
20%
0%
13%
12%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
8%
80%
14%
26%
11%
ALL CITIES
FP %
34%
11%
3%
14%
5%
6%
10%
11%
FN %
9%
33%
80%
45%
85%
32%
41%
36%
                                                   5-14

-------
Table 5-13.  False Positive and False Negative  Rates  for  Lead Alert:  Sanding by City and Substrate and
            Overall (0.5% Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
All
Except
Plaster
DENVER
PP %
28%
0%
5%
6%
0%
4%
5%
7%
FN %
80%
29%
100%
40%
67%
50%
51%
49%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
17%
18%
0%
8%
6%
0%
10%
13%
FN %
N/A
70%
N/A
77%
100%
93%
83%
82%
BOTH CITIES
FP %
23%
13%
4%
7%
4%
3%
8%
10%
FN %
N/Aa
53%
100%
68%
85%
68%
68%
67%
* Sample size is too small, to accurately compute.
                                                   5-15

-------
Table 5-14.  False Positive and False Negative Rates  for Lead Detective by City and Substrate and Overall
            (0.5% Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
PP %
57%
35%
28%
19%
49%
29%
35%
FN %
39%
45%
50%
21%
47%
17%
27%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
42%
36%
0%
18%
21%
6%
25%
FN %
N/A
60%
N/A
41%
25%
14%
33%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
80%
46%
67%
30%
17%
45%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
31%
20%
5%
15%
ALL CITIES
FP %
54%
37%
27%
24%
33%
27%
32%
FN %
39%
45%
50%
34%
33%
15%
27%
                                                    5-16

-------
Table 5-15. False Positive and False Negative Rates  for  Lead  Zone by  City and Substrate and Overall  (0.5%
            Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
FP %
38%
28%
22%
24%
18%
29%
27%
FN %
4%
0%
40%
33%
35%
9%
14%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
25%
23%
0%
13%
32%
35%
24%
FN %
N/A
50%
N/A
47%
17%
31%
40%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
0%
0%
36%
20%
0%
14%
FN %
N/A
33%
N/A
31%
70%
24%
36%
ALL CITIES
FP %
36%
24%
19%
19%
26%
28%
25%
FN %
4%
18%
40%
42%
38%
15%
25%
                                                   5-17

-------
Table 5-16. False Positive and False Negative Rates for Stata  Sodium Sulfide  by City  and  Substrate and
            Overall (0.5% Standard).
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
All
DENVER
FP %
66%
42%
42%
11%
67%
50%
49%
FN %
0%
5%
30%
33%
6%
1%
7%
PHILADELPHIA
FP %
67%
95%
0%
93%
98%
71%
91%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
0%
0%
0%
0%
LOUISVILLE
FP %
N/A
20%
0%
20%
20%
42%
21%
FN %
N/A
0%
N/A
31%
30%
5%
17%
ALL CITIES
FP %
66%
71%
35%
58%
81%
51%
62%
FN %
0%
3%
30%
13%
10%
1%
6%
                                                   5-18

-------
in their performance against either standard and also because
differences do exist between the two standards as noted above  (by
comparing Tables 5-1 and 5-2 to 5-3 and 5-4).   The differences
between the 1.0 mg/cm2  standard and 0.5%  standard and other
observations from Tables 5-5 through 5-16 are discussed below.

     Relative to the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard,  State Sodium Sulfide
and LeadCheck have, overall, false negative rates less than 10%
and false positive rates of 46% or greater.  Lead Zone, Lead
Detective and Lead Alert:  Coring have rates of both false
positive and false negative that range from 14% to 36%.  Lead
Alert:  Sanding has a false positive rate less than 10% but a
false negative rate greater than 50%.

     Relative to the 0.5% standard, State Sodium Sulfide has a 6%
false negative rate, while Lead Alert:  Sanding has a 10% false
positive rate.  False negative rates for LeadCheck and false
positive rates for Lead Alert:  Coring are just over 10%.  Lead
Zone and Lead Detective both have false positive and false
negative rates ranging from 25% to 32%.  These results indicate
that no single kit can achieve error rates less than 10% for both
types of errors simultaneously.

     The manufacturer's substrate interference warning against
the use of Lead Alert:   Sanding and Lead Alert:  Coring on
plaster substrates is borne out by the data.  Compared to the 1.0
mg/cm2 standard,  individually,  the  two Lead Alert test kit
results showed false negative rates on plaster of 85% or greater.
However, results from the other rhodizonate based kit, LeadCheck,
did not show unusually high false negative rates on plaster.
Compared to the 1.0 mg/cm2  standard,  the  false negative rate for
the LeadCheck test kit was 12%.  False positive and false
negative rates relative to the 0.5% by weight standard on plaster
were similar.

     Some differences in performance between cities are clear
from the tables.  Results for LeadCheck,  Lead Alert:  Sanding
(excluding Louisville data), and Lead Alert:  Coring show much
higher false negative rates in Philadelphia than in Denver and
Louisville.  The results from the State Sodium Sulfide test kit
show a much higher false positive rate in Philadelphia than in
the other cities.  Also, LeadCheck and Lead Detective had results
with noticeably higher false positive rates in Louisville than in
the other cities.  There are many possible explanations for these
differences, including variation in paint, lead levels and
substrate composition between cities, and differences between
testers.

                               5-19

-------
      There are, in many cases, large differences in performance
 by substrate, which argue for treating substrates separately in
 the analysis.

      In a previous section (section 3.4), test kit protocols for
 this  study were described.  Recall that the Louisville protocol
 for Lead Detective was changed in Denver and Philadelphia to
 facilitate application of the solution to the painted surface.
 Tables 5-8 and 5-14 compare the performance of Lead Detective in
 Louisville and the full study.  The differences are not
 consistent; the Louisville data has the lower false negative
 rates while the full study data has the lower false positive
 rates.

     The above observations are based on descriptive statistics.
 Section 5.2 presents more detailed analyses relating the
 performance of the test kits to the lead level, by means of an
 operating characteristic curve model.

    •5.1.1     The Effect of Spatial Variation and Laboratory
               Error on TCP-Based Classification Rates

     The false positive and false negative rates presented in
 Tables 5-5 through 5-10 are relative to a 1.0 mg/cm2 standard,
 using ICP measurements in area units as a substitute for the true
 lead level.   Tables 5-11 through 5-16 present ICP-based
 classifications relative to a 0.5 percent by weight standard.
Under neither standard can laboratory analysis by ICP be regarded
 as a perfect substitute for the true lead level, because of
 imprecision from two sources:

 (1)  Spatial variation in lead levels, due to the use of the test
     kits near,  but not exactly at, the places where primary
     paint samples were collected for laboratory analysis;

 (2)  Laboratory error, which encompasses variation due both to
     the ICP instrument, and to the processing of paint samples
     prior to instrumental analysis.

     Both types of imprecision are discussed extensively in
Chapter 4, where it is shown that spatial variation is the
dominant source of imprecision.  In this section, the effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error on ICP-based
classification rates relative to the 1.0 mg/cm2 and 0.5 percent
by weight standards is considered.

     The substitution of ICP measurements for the true lead level

                               5-20

-------
affects classification rates, because a painted surface with a
true lead level that is close to the standard can possibly
"switch sides" when the lead level is represented by the ICP
measurement of a paint chip sample a small distance away.  For
example, a positive test kit result, obtained on a painted
surface with a true lead level of 0.98 tng/cm2,  is  correctly
regarded as a false positive relative to the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.
If an ICP measurement of 1.03 mg/cm2 was  obtained  using a paint
chip sample collected near, but not exactly at, the place where
the test kit was applied, the result would be counted as a true
positive if the ICP measurement is substituted for the true lead
level.  Both the false positive and false negative rates would be
underestimated from the effect of this one example.

     The potential for misclassification due to substitution of
ICP for the true lead level depends on three factors:  proximity
of the true lead level to the standard, spatial variation in lead
levels, and the magnitude of laboratory error.  As explained in
sections 4.3.1 and 4.3.2, the SD of the natural logarithm of ICP
measurements is a valid criterion for measuring the magnitude of
the combined effects of spatial variability and laboratory error.
Table 4-16 gives SD estimates for laboratory duplicates, by city
and substrate, that reflect the impact of laboratory error alone,
while Table 4-23 gives SD estimates for field duplicates that
reflect both spatial variation and laboratory error.

     The distance between field duplicates was approximately 9
inches in Denver and Philadelphia, and 2 inches in Louisville.
In the full study, an average distance of approximately 5 inches
was maintained between the locations of test kit application and
primary paint-chip sample removal.  Interpolating between the
results given in Tables 4-16 and 4-23 suggests that 0.3 is a
plausible estimate of the SD at an average distance of 5 inches
for both cities.  In the pilot study, an average distance of
approximately 9 inches was maintained between the test kit and
laboratory sampling locations.  A larger SD for Louisville than
Denver and Philadelphia may be appropriate, to reflect the
greater potential impact of spatial variation.  Using Tables 4-16
and 4-23 to extrapolate a reasonable value for the pilot study SD
is difficult, because the 9 inch average distance is much greater
than the distance observed for field duplicates.  The possibility
that there was greater variation between ICP and true lead levels
in the pilot study is mitigated by the fact that the pilot study
provided only 100 of the 1,290 combined samples.

     A simulation study was conducted to determine how the stated
false positive and false negative rates changed when random

                               5-2.1

-------
errors were added to the logarithms of the sample ICP values.
For the purpose of this exercise,  the ICP values were taken as
the "true" lead levels, and the sample classification rates were
likewise taken as true.  Normal random errors,  with mean zero and
a SD of 0.3, were generated.   This SD value is reasonably
consistent with the procedures followed in the full study.   A
total of 1,000 simulations of ICP  samples with random errors were
generated for each test kit-substrate combination.

     Table 5-17 gives the results  of the simulation study.   The
endpoints of the 95% coverage intervals are the 2.5th and 97.5th
percentiles of the 1,000 simulated classification rates (false
positive and false negative) .  The means are the averages of the
1,000 simulated rates.  By comparing these summary statistics to
the sample false positive and false negative rates, insight is
gained into the bias and variability implicit in using the sample
rates as substitutes for the true  rates.

     Table 5-17 shows that the false positive rates were little
affected when random errors were introduced.  The mean simulated
values were close to the sample values in every instance, and the
95% coverage intervals exhibit little variability.  The false
negative rates exhibit small bias  in several instances, and had
wider 95% coverage intervals than the false negative rates.  One
reason for the difference is that  the sample sizes  (number of
measurements)  for ICP less than 1.0 mg/cm2 were much larger than
for ICP levels above the standard.  A small number of ICP
switchings affected the false negative rate more than the false
positive rate as a result.  Because of the smaller sample sizes,
the false negatives rates estimated from the data are subject to
greater sampling variability than the false positive rates.

     Simulations were also conducted in percent by weight units,
using the 0.5% federal standard to designate negative and
positive samples.

     When normal random errors, with an SD of  0.3, were added to
the logarithms of ICP measured in percent by weight units,
essentially the same conclusions were reached  as  for area units.
False positive rates were the least affected:   in no case did the
average of the 1,000 simulated rates differ from  the sample false
positive rate by more than one percentage point.  The 95%
coverage intervals also were narrow, the widest being that for
LeadCheck on metal  (38% to 43%).  False negative  rates exhibited
greater variability in the simulations, but the bias remained
small.  The largest difference between  a  sample false negative
rate and the average of 1,000 simulated rates  was obtained for

                               5-22

-------
Table 5-17.  Simulation Study Results of the Effect of Spatial Variation and
            Laboratory Error in ICP Measurements on Reported False Positive
            and False Negative Rates (in Percentages).
TEST KIT



LeadCheck


Lead
Alert:
coring
Lead
Alert:
sanding
Lead
Detective

SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Hood
FALSE POSITIVE RESULTS
Fp«
53
41
21
47
50
58
35
11
4
21
5
14
23
13
4
10
5
2
55
38
29
34
34
35
MEAN11
52
40
20
46
50
58
34
11
4
20
5
15
23
13
4
10
5
3
55
37
29
33
34
36
95% INTERVAL0
51.4, 52.8
39.5, 41.3
19.7, 21.1
44.7, 47.4
49.3, 50.7
57.0, 59.2
32.9, 35.2
10.7, 12.2
3.3, 4.1
18.6, 22.0
4.8-, 5.7
13.0, 16.1
22.6, 23.3
11.9, 14.4
4.2, 4.3
7.6, 12.2
4.5, 5.6
2.2, 5.7
53.5, 54.9
36.4, 38.1
27.9, 29.3
31.4, 34.5
33.2, 34.7
34.2, 37.1
FALSE NEGATIVE RESULTS
FN4
5
14
N/A
4
12
2
5
28
N/A
27
85
25
75
47
N/A
57
91
50
43
48
N/A
27
33
10
MEAN*
4
15
N/A
5
12
3
5
32
N/A
29
84
25
76
52
N/A
59
91
52
42
47
N/A
26
32
10
95% INTERVAL0
0.0, 4.8
12.1, 20.0
N/A
3.7, 8.0
9.1, 16.1
1.7, 3.5
0.0, 9.1
25.9, 38.7
N/A
25.5, 33.3
81.3, 87.5
21.7, 27.5
75.0, 80.0
43.8, 60.0
N/A
54.1, 62.9
87.5, 100
46.5, 56.9
38.1, 42.9
41.9, 51.7
N/A
22.2, 30.0
26.7, 36.7
7.5, 12.1
• False positive rate reported in this chapter.
b Simulation false positive rate.
c Simulation 95% coverage interval.
d False negative rate reported in this chapter.
e Simulation false negative rate.
                                     5-23

-------
 Table 5-17 
-------
     5.2  OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC CURVES FOR LEAD TESTING KITS

     In section 5.1, classification results for lead testing kits
were presented relative to the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.   From these
results, inferences can be made to situations where the
distribution of lead levels is similar to that of the present
study.  Under different distributions, or in situations where the
objective is to describe the performance of a test kit at fixed
levels of lead, a more detailed analysis is required.

     In this section, analyses of the lead testing kit data are
presented in the form of operating characteristic (OC) curves.
These analyses address the study objective to characterize the
relationship between test kit results and the actual lead level
in the paint.  The analyses, however, used laboratory ICP
measurements as substitutes for the true lead levels in
describing the performance of the test kits.  This substitution
was not perfect, because of (1) spatial variation in lead levels
between the locations where the test kits were applied and
laboratory paint samples were taken; and  (2) various potential
sources of laboratory error.  Both types of imprecision are
explained in section 5.1.1, and are more fully elaborated in
Chapter 4.  It was found that substitution of ICP measurements
for the true lead levels did not adversely affect the analyses.
Technical details concerning the estimation of operating
characteristic curves with imprecisely measured lead levels are
deferred to section 5.2.6.

     The purpose of this section is to present estimates of OC
curves for each of the six test kits, using ICP measurements in
area units  (mg/cm2)  as substitutes for the true lead levels in
the paint samples.  Analyses were conducted in area units for the
following reasons:

     1.   Results for test kits presented in area units are
          comparable to results for XRF  instruments presented in
          Chapter 6;

     2.   The inclusion of substrate material in paint samples,
          which particularly affected both soft and rough
          substrates such as concrete, brick, and plaster in the
          study, has the effect of giving percent by weight
          measurements that are biased low, but imparts
          negligible bias to area unit measurements.

     Results in percent by weight units, oriented to the 0.5
percent by weight standard, are discussed in section 5.2.4.

                               5-25

-------
     5.2.1     The Operating Characteristic (OC) Curve.

     The OC curve of a lead testing kit describes the probability
that the kit gives a positive reading on a paint specimen having
true lead concentration at some fixed level.  It is a function of
the true lead concentration:

           OC(t) = Prob(test kit positive !  true Pb = t)


     Test kit performance was evaluated relative to a standard of
1.0 mg/cm2 lead on the painted surface.  A  kit that  always gave a
negative result at concentrations below the 1.0 mg/cm2  threshold,
and a positive result at those above, would be considered
maximally precise.  This would be reflected in OC(t) =0 for t
less than 1.0 mg/cm2, and OC(t) = 1  for  t greater than  or equal
to 1.0 mg/cm2.   As a  function  of  t,  this takes the  form of a step
function,  with an infinitely steep jump at t = 1.0 mg/cm2.   Kits
that operate with good precision have OC curves that closely
resemble this ideal form.  This is discussed further in section
5.2.2.4.

     The shape of the OC curve indicates how a kit may be
expected to perform under actual field conditions.  Intuitively,
OC(t)  should be an increasing function of t:  one would not
expect a test kit to have a harder time detecting a higher
concentration of lead,  other factors being equal.  A failure of
OC (t)  to approach zero as t decreases from 1.0 mg/cm2 may
indicate that the kit is prone to give positive readings a
certain percentage of the time even if no lead is present.  A
failure of OC(t) to approach one as t increases from 1.0 mg/cm2
similarly points to a steady rate of false negatives, no matter
how high the lead level in the paint is.

     5.2.2     Estimation of the Operating Characteristic Curve

     Estimation of OC curves from the study data needed to
address the following concerns:

  •  How,  mathematically, should OC curves be represented?

  •  Should OC curves be developed for a test kit at certain
     levels of detail,  such as by substrate?

     Mathematical representation of an OC curve takes the form of
a statistical model.   Choosing the proper level of detail for
analysis is important if practical results are to be obtained.
Two aspects of an OC curve that are of particular interest are:

                               5-26

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  •  The 50-percent point of the OC curve (the lead level at
     which a 50 percent chance of a positive result is obtained);

  •  The probability of observing a positive result at a true
     lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2.

     Ideally,  the 50-percent point will occur at a value of t
just a little less than 1.0 mg/cm2,  with OC(t)  at t =  1.0 mg/cm2
itself close to 100 percent.

     The objective in selecting a model was to choose a simple
mathematical form that accurately described the performance of
the test kits.  The use of logistic regression as a modeling
technique was initially explored.  A description of logistic
regression can be found in section 5.2.6.1.1 below.  Logistic
regression is widely accepted in the statistical community, and
it provided a mathematically tractable means for describing test
kit performance.  The simplicity of the logistic regression
model, however, did not allow sufficient flexibility for
describing the range of phenomena that were encountered in the
study.  Specifically, logistic regression does not adequately
describe situations where the probability of a positive result
increases toward a value less than 1 as the lead level increases,
or decreases toward a value greater than 0 as the lead level
diminishes.

     5.2.2.1   A Model for the Operating Characteristic Curve

     An enhancement to the logistic model was developed that did
not add substantially to the complexity of the model, but at the
same time addressed the deficiencies that were encountered in the
simpler model, often resulting in dramatic improvement in the fit
of the model to the data.  The enhanced logistic model is defined
in section 5.2.6.1.2 below.  The model has four parameters,
denoted a, b, c, and d, which together describe the model
completely.  The model was fit to the data by substituting
estimated values for these parameters, using the method of
nonlinear least squares  (NLS) described in section 5.2.6.3.

     The enhanced logistic model is described as a function of
the natural logarithm of the ICP measurement, rather than the ICP
measurement itself.  Referring to the logarithm was preferred,
because the ICP levels obtained in the study were highly
concentrated at lower values.  Attributes of the OC curves were
more readily apparent when graphed against the logarithm.
Further discussion of this issue is presented in section
5.2.6.1.3.

                               5-27

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     An OC curve estimated with the enhanced logistic model is an
increasing function of the lead level that returns a minimum
probability of c in the absence of lead, and a maximum
probability of c + d when the lead level is infinitely high.
Thus, c is interpreted as the baseline probability of positives
that can be expected even in the complete absence of lead.  The
quantity 1 -  (c + d) is, conversely, the baseline probability of
negatives in the presence of maximal lead content.  The
significance of baseline tendencies is that they point to factors
unrelated to the lead content in paint that may affect the
performance of a test kit.  For example, if a chemical
interference with a kit alone accounted for 25 percent of the
positive results obtained, c should approximate 0.25.

     Parameters a and b also have important interpretations,
although not as probabilities.  The quantity -a/Jb is the value of
the logarithm of the ICP measurement where the rate of change
(the derivative) of the OC curve is greatest.  If a = 0, this
occurs where the logarithm of the ICP measurement is equal to
zero, or where the ICP level itself is equal to 1.0 trig/cm2.   A
large, positive value of Jb indicates a sharp rate of change.

     If b is very large, approaching an infinite value, the OC
curve assumes the shape of a step function, with an abrupt jump
occurring at the value t = -a/Jb.  Enhanced logistic regression
models were fit to the data taking into account the possibility
that a step function may provide the optimal solution.  An
important special case is where Jb is large  (or infinite), a = 0
(or small relative to Jb) , c = 0, and d = 1, which produces the
ideal OC curve described previously.

     All analyses were conducted using ICP measurements as
substitutes for the true lead levels.  As noted above, it was not
a perfect substitute.  section 5.2.6.6 discusses the effect of
this substitution on estimation of the enhanced logistic model.
A simulation experiment found that the effects of spatial
variation and laboratory error, at levels present in the study,
did not affect the ability to make inferences from the model to a
substantial degree.

     5.2.2.2   Graphical Assessment of Estimated OC Curves

     In its fullest mathematical generality an OC curve can be
any function of the logarithm of lead concentration with values
between 0 and 1.  It seemed reasonable to restrict this class
further to functions that are nondecreasing:  higher lead levels
should not indicate smaller probabilities of observing a positive

                               5-28

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test kit result.   There are many functions that have this
property, and they have a much wider variety of forms than either
the simple or the enhanced logistic models can describe, although
the enhanced model will often be close.

     It is possible to derive an estimate of the OC curve,
subject to the constraint that it be nondecreasing, in a way that
does not restrict it to a specified functional form.  The
nonparametric technique known as monotone regression  produces
estimates that are "best" in the sense that no other
nondecreasing function can better fit the data.  The estimate can
be plotted with the OC curve derived from the enhanced logistic
model to give a graphical assessment of how well the model fits
the data.  Quantities such as probabilities and 50-percent points
can be estimated from the monotone regression, and compared with
estimates obtained from the enhanced logistic model to assess
model fit.  Because the monotone regression is a step function,
these estimates may not be uniquely defined, in which case the
middle of the range of possible candidates is reported.  A more
detailed description of monotone regression can be found in
section 5.2.6.2.

     As a formal estimate of the OC curve, a model is preferred
to the monotone regression for several reasons.  The fact that
the monotone regression does not have a simple mathematical
description makes it cumbersome for describing the general form
of an OC curve in a nonvisual manner.  Characteristics described
by a set of model parameters are not as easily described by a
monotone regression.

     Monotone regression is subject to "endpoint effects" that
need to be considered when viewing graphs.  If a test kit records
a negative result at the smallest ICP measurement, the monotone
regression will be equal to zero at that point, regardless of the
performance of the test kit otherwise.  Similarly, a positive
result at the highest value causes the monotone regression to
reach 1 at that point.  These effects are negligible from a
statistical viewpoint, despite their prominence when graphed.
section 5.2.6.2 describes how these endpoint effects were handled
in the analyses.

     Another simple graphical assessment of a model-estimated OC
curve is to plot it with a running mean against the log(ICP)
measurements.  The running mean is obtained at a point log(ICP) =
t by averaging zeros  (for negatives) and ones  (for positives) for
a small subset of the data having log(ICP) close to t.  Details
on how this was carried out in the analyses are provided in

                               5-29

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 section 5.2.6.2.   Unlike monotone regression, the running mean  is
 not designed to be a nondecreasing function of the lead level.
 Its virtue,  in fact, resides in its ability to graphically
 demonstrate  where  this assumption may be violated.  In this case,
 the running  mean appears to diverge from both the model and the
 monotone regression estimates.

      A visual  indication of decreasing behavior in the running
 mean does not  automatically imply that the running mean is
 "right",  and the monotone regression and model are "wrong".  Some
 decreasing behavior is to be expected due to sampling
 variability, although large violations of the nondecreasing
 assumption may signal unusual sample or test kit characteristics.
 For this  reason, the running mean and monotone regression
 together  were  chosen to provide a nonparametric summary of the
 performance  of  a test kit.

      Like monotone  regression, the running mean is subject to
 endpoint  effects that may be visible when graphed.  These effects
 arise because the averages forming the running mean use smaller
 subsets of data near the smallest and largest ICP measurements.
 The  effect that this "diminished averaging window" has on the
 running mean is explained more fully in section 5.2.6.2.  For the
 purpose of viewing graphs, endpoint effects are present at the  12
 smallest  and 12 largest ICP measurements, and must be considered
 when making visual  inferences.

      5.2.2.3   Substrate Effects

     The  test kits were applied to six different substrate types:
 brick, concrete, drywall, metal, plaster, and wood.  To produce a
 single OC curve for a given kit makes sense if the behavior of
 the kit did not depend on the substrate, or if a description of
 some concept of "average" behavior is desired.

      It is clear from the classification results that the
 performance of the test kits depended on the substrate.
 Moreover, the instructions for several of the kits listed
 substrates upon which they were, or were not, intended for
 application.   These factors supported the decision to describe
 the performance of  the test kits by substrate, as opposed to
 aggregating across  substrates.

     The data for some substrates posed special problems.  For
 drywall, none of the ICP measurements were at or above the 1.0
mg/cm2 standard, which  made it difficult to infer how the test
kits would perform  on drywall at that level of lead.  On a few

                               5-30

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other occasions,  too few positive results were obtained to make
estimation of the OC curve meaningful aside from reporting the
low rate of positives itself.

     5.2.2.4   Describing Test Kit Performance:  Illustrations

     Figure 5-1 illustrates the performance of an "ideal" test
kit using the graphical assessment described in the previous
section.  This is a simulated example based on 200 observations.
For ease of visual interpretation, the base-10 logarithm  (Iog10)
of the ICP measurement was chosen for the horizontal axis of this
plot.  For example, -1 on the horizontal axis corresponds to an
ICP value of 10"1, or 0.1 mg/cm2.  Also shown is the 50-percent
point, both in Iog10 and in area units.  Thus, log(1.013)  = 0.005
describes a 50-percent point estimated at 1.013 mg/cm2  in area
units, and 0.005 in Iog10 units.

     The solid line shows the estimated enhanced logistic model,
the dotted line is the monotone regression, and asterisks are
used to plot the running mean.

     The following features highlight this as an ideal case:

     •    The model, monotone regression, and running mean are in
          close agreement.

     •    The probability of a positive result approaches zero as
          the lead level diminishes, and approaches one as the
          lead level increases.

     •    The transition from low to high probabilities is sharp,
          as indicated by the steepness of the plotted curves.

     •    The transition from low to high probabilities occurs
          near a lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2.

     The fact that the three curves are in close agreement
indicates that the model was an appropriate choice for describing
test kit performance.  Since the probability of a positive result
goes to zero at lower lead levels, the baseline probability of
positives is estimated as zero, meaning that the kit did  not
exhibit a tendency to produce positive results a certain
percentage of the time independent of the lead level.  Likewise,
the baseline probability of negatives is estimated as zero, since
the probability of a positive result approaches one at higher
lead levels.
                               5-31

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                            Simulated example illustrating ideal test kit behavior
                   «»**«*
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                                                               50 pet point = 1.013

                                                                    -013) =  0.005
                        -1
-0.5
0.5
                                          LOG-BASE 10  of MG/CM2


             Solid tine - Enhanced logistic model,  Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-1.     Simulated  example  illustrating ideal test kit behavior
                                                5-32

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                          Simulated example illustrating non-ideal test kit behavior
                                             tt*
                                                        50 pet point =  0.394

                                                        log(0.394) =  -0.405
-2.5     -2     -1.5     -1     -0.5
                                                         0.5
                                         LOG-BASE 10 of MG/CM2
1,5
             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line .— Monotone regression.  Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-2.    Simulated example illustrating non-ideal test  kit behavior.
                                               5-33

-------
     A sharp transition in the plots indicated at the estimated
50-percent point of 1.013 mg/cm2 suggests that paint with a lead
level even a little less than 1.0 mg/cm2 was highly likely to be
classified as negative, and paint even a little above 1.0 mg/cm2
was highly likely to be classified as positive.  This behavior is
highly desirable in a test kit, because it suggests that the kit
correctly classified both high lead and low lead cases a high
percentage of the time.

     None of the test kits evaluated in the study were able to
emulate the performance of the ideal case in all respects.
Figure 5-2 illustrates characteristics of nonoptitnal test kit
performance that were frequently observed.  It also is a
simulated example based on 200 observations.  The model, monotone
regression, and running mean plots appear to be more divergent
than in the ideal case; the probability of a positive result does
not approach 0 as the lead level decreases and 1 as the lead
level increases; the transition from low to high probabilities is
not sharp.  One reason for the graphical divergence is indicated
by a dip in the running mean, the magnitude of which is
moderately unlikely as a purely random occurrence.  This dip
affects the model OC curve overall, making it flatter, but it
only imparts a localized effect to the monotone regression.

     Endpoint effects in the monotone regression can be seen at
both high and low lead levels, for no other reason that the
sample with the smallest ICP measurement recorded a negative
result, and that with the largest ICP measurement a positive
result.  A baseline rate of false negatives is estimated at about
20 percent, which suggests that the kit is prone to giving
negative readings about one-fifth of the time even at very high
lead levels.  There is, at the same time, greater than a 50
percent chance of obtaining a positive result at lead levels
exceeding 0.394 mg/cm2,  according to the model.   The dip in the
running mean, however, suggests that the 50-percent point may be
even smaller.  Positive results may be expected with this
hypothetical test kit more than 20 percent of the time for lead
levels as low as 10'1-5 =  0.03  mg/cm2.

     5.2.3     Results of Model Estimation

     In the six subsections that follow, OC curves are described
for each of the test kits by substrate.  Each subsection has a
table giving the enhanced logistic model parameters  (a,b,c,d);
the 50-percent point denoted Pb(.50); and the estimated
probability of a positive test kit result at 1.0 mg/cm2 for each
substrate.  The last quantity is also referred to as the

                               5-34

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threshold probability for ease of exposition.

     The estimated model parameters, and all quantities derived
from them, are subject to uncertainty due to the fact that they
are based on samples.  This type of uncertainty, referred to as
sampling variability, is quantified by the standard error.   For
many estimators,  a 95 percent confidence interval is formed by
adding and subtracting 2 times the standard error from the value
of the estimator.  Under appropriate conditions, intervals formed
in this manner contain the true, but unknown, quantity of
interest approximately 95 percent of the time.  Confidence
intervals can also be derived by methods such as bootstrapping,
which is based on simulation and not directly related to the
standard error.  Like the standard error, a confidence interval
measures, in a statistically formal way, the sampling variability
implicit in an estimator.

     Although the 95 percent confidence level is widely accepted,
many in the statistics community recommend a more conservative
criterion, such as the 99.7 percent confidence level
corresponding to an interval width of 3 times the standard error.
There are several reasons why a more conservative criterion may
be preferred:

1.   Multiple inferences.  As the number of confidence intervals
     simultaneously considered increases, the number of expected
     instances where the confidence interval fails to cover the
     quantity of interest increases proportionately.  Out of
     every hundred 95 percent confidence intervals, for instance,
     5 failures can be expected.  A more conservative criterion
     can sharply reduce the number of expected failures when
     multiple inferences are made.

2.   Lack of model fit.  The models presented in section 5.2,
     like most statistical models, are approximations.  Wider
     confidence intervals allow greater leeway for effects due to
     imperfection of the model.

3.   Sampling effects.  The study data were not, as a matter of
     necessity, obtained from simple random samples.  Clustering
     by unit, paint type, or the person making test kit result
     determinations may cause standard error estimates to be
     understated.  A more conservative criterion allows greater
     leeway for this effect.

Confidence intervals presented in section 5.2 were obtained
either by bootstrapping or through the use of transformations,

                              5-35

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and are not related in a simple way to standard error estimates.
A 95 percent confidence level was used, in spite of the arguments
in favor of a more conservative criterion, in order to exhibit
the sampling variability of estimates in a. conventional manner.

     Approximate standard errors are reported in parentheses
beneath the parameter estimates in the tables presented below.
For 50-percent points and the threshold probabilities, the two
numbers in square brackets beneath the estimates are lower and
upper endpoints of 95 percent confidence intervals.  The
construction of approximate standard errors and confidence
intervals is explained in section 5.2.6.4.  It is emphasized that
the model parameter estimates are often highly intercorrelated,
which is not apparent in the individual standard error estimates,
but for which account was made, either directly through large
sample mathematical approximation (asymptotics), or indirectly
through bootstrap simulations, in the derivation of reported
confidence intervals for 50-percent points and threshold
probabilities.

     As noted in section 5.2.2.1, model parameters c and d have
simple interpretations relating to the baseline probabilities of
positives and negatives.  Parameters a and b are also important
in describing the model, but they do not individually have
probabilistic interpretations.  In fact, relatively large changes
in a and Jb, arising from spatial variation and laboratory error
in ICP measurements or other causes, may produce only small
changes in the probabilities calculated from the model, or in
other quantities of interest.

     In several instances step functions were obtained as model
OC curve estimates.  This phenomenon is described in sections
5.2.2.1 and 5.2.6.1.2.  A step function is represented in the
tables by an enhanced logistic regression model with Jb = 200, and
a chosen so that -a/100 gives the logarithm of the changepoint.
The estimated parameters in this case are given in bold italics,
and reproduce the step function almost exactly.

     There are instances where the enhanced logistic model was
not applied to a particular substrate.  This occurred several
times with drywall and plaster when so few positive results were
obtained that fitting the model was a futile exercise.  Because
there were no ICP measurements as large as 1.0 mg/cm2 on drywall,
it was difficult to assess test kit performance at this lead
level.  Estimates for drywall should therefore be interpreted
with caution.  To avoid making unsubstantiated inferences about
the performance of a test kit on drywall at high levels of lead,

                               5-36

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the constraint c + d = 1 was imposed in estimating the model
parameters.

     Following the summary tables, plots are presented to allow
graphical assessment of the fitted models, as illustrated in
section 5.2.2.4.  The OC curve estimated from the enhanced
logistic model  (solid line), the monotone regression (dashed
line),  and the running mean with a window size of 25 (asterisks)
are shown plotted together.  An effective way to view these plots
is to compare the enhanced logistic model curve to the monotone
regression,  and the monotone regression to the running mean.  The
first comparison indicates visually how well the enhanced
logistic model fit the data in the class of all nondecreasing
functions.  The second indicates how well a monotone description
of the OC curve was able to fit the data under even the best of
circumstances.

     5.2.3.1  LeadCheck

     Table 5-18 gives the results of fitting enhanced logistic
models to the six substrates tested with the LeadCheck kit.
Figures 5-3 through 5-8 illustrate the fit of these models to the
data.  Sections 5.2.3.1.1 through 5.2.3.1.6 discuss the estimated
OC curves by substrate.  Section 5.2.3.1.7 contains an overall
summary for the kit.

     5.2.3.1.1  LeadCheck on Brick

     There were 93 observations of LeadCheck on brick, of which
35 gave negative and 58 gave positive readings.  Figure 5-3 shows
that the running mean  (asterisks), monotone regression  (dotted
line),  and the model OC curve based on the coefficient values in
Table 5-18 agree closely.  The enhanced logistic model, which
coincided with a simple logistic model in this case, appears to
have been an appropriate choice for these data.

     The model estimates the threshold probability at  .945, with
a better than even chance of a positive result for lead levels as
low as 0.016 mg/cm2.   These estimates agree closely with those
from the monotone regression:  .95 for the threshold probability,
and 0.006 mg/cm2 for the 50-percent point.  Using the 95%
confidence intervals in Table 5-18 to account for sampling
variability in these estimates does not change the conclusion
that positive results became the more frequent outcome at lead
levels below 1.0 mg/cm2,  and predominated near the standard.   The
high percentage of false positives shown  in Table 5-5  (53%) may
reflect sensitivity of the kit to levels  of lead below 1.0

                               5-37

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Table 5-18.  LEADCHECK Enhanced  Logistic Regressions by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
BRICK
CONCRETE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
NBOAT1VK
35
121
98
92
109
116

POSITIVE
58
105
26
125
133
272
MODEL PARAMETERS
O
0
.100
(.188)
0
.289
(.051)
.232
(.239)
.174
(.092)
d
.992
(.046)
.900
(.188)
1
.662
(.067)
.768
(.239)
.826
(.092)
a
3.01
(.988)
0.624
(.338)
-0.045
(.406)
3.19
(1.71)
0.387
(.564)
2.09
(.236)
b
0.727
(.177)
0.513
(.253)
0.338
(.111)
3.66
(1.70)
0.496
(.291)
0.732
(.143)

Pb(.50)
ing/ cm1
0.016
[.002, .143]
0.191
[.024, .568]
1.14
[.096, 13.5]
0.340
[.204, .463]
0.130
[.010, .513]
0.032
[.005, .079]
PROB. AT
Pb « 1
.945
[.836, .983]
.686
[.591, .768]
.489
[.298, .683]
.925
[.826, .969]
.690
[.613, .757]
.909
[.862, .942]
                                                   5-38

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mg/cm2.

     There is no evidence that LeadCheck was prone to high
baseline rates of false positives or negatives on brick, since
the OC curve levels off near zero at low lead levels, and near
one at high lead levels.  Positive results were obtained on all
20 samples with ICP measurements above 4.657 mg/cm2,  which again
confirms that the test kit was sensitive to lead on brick
substrates.

     5.2.3.1.2  LeadCheck on Concrete

     There were 226 measurements made on concrete, of which 121
gave negative and 105 gave positive results.  Figure 5-4 shows
that the model OC curve fits the data well relative to the
monotone regression and the running mean, except towards the
middle of the range (0.01 to 0.1 mg/cm2)  where the running mean
flattens out somewhat.  Monotone regression, which is more
flexible, is able to  pick up this effect.  Both the model and
monotone regression detect a baseline rate of false positives:
.100 from the model (the parameter c in Table 5-18) and about
half that rate from the monotone regression.  All 12 samples with
ICP measurements higher than 3.715 mg/cm2 gave positive results.

     The model estimates of the 50-percent point  (0.191 mg/cm2)
and threshold probability (.685) are not far from the estimates
obtained with monotone regression  (0.265 mg/cm2 and .774
respectively).  Both suggest a greater than two thirds chance of
observing a positive result at 1.0 mg/cm2.   Both also suggest
that there was better than a 50 percent chance of a positive
result at lead levels exceeding 0.3 mg/cm2,  which is reflected in
the high rate of false positives seen in Table 5-5  (41%).  The
95% confidence intervals suggest a 50-percent point as high as
0.568 mg/cm2,  and a threshold probability as low as .591 at 1.0
mg/cm2.

     5.2.3.1.3  LeadCheck on Drywall

     There were 124 observations of LeadCheck on drywall, of
which 98 gave negative and 26 gave positive readings.  Figure 5-5
shows that the running mean has a pronounced dip near 0.1 mg/cm2
(10'1 = 0.1). Since none of the  ICP measurements were as  high  as
1.0 mg/cm2,  it is doubtful that either the model OC curve or the
monotone regression accurately describe the performance of the
test kit at this level of lead.  The wide confidence interval in
Table 5-18 for the 50-percent point reflects this uncertainty.
                               5-39

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                              KIT =  LeodCheck, SUBSTRATE = brick.  N =   93
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            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-4.     Operating  characteristic  curve for LeadCheck on concrete.
                                              5-41

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                             KIT =  LeodCheck, SUBSTRATE = drywoll.  N =  124
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            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-5.     Operating characteristic curve for  LeadCheck on drywall.
                                              5-42

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                             KIT = LeadCheck, SUBSTRATE = metal.  N =  217
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                                  LOG-BASE  10  of MG PER CM SQUARED


             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-6.     Operating  characteristic  curve for LeadCheck on metal.
                                              5-43

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s
Q.
                             KIT = LeadCheck, SUBSTRATE =  wood.   N = 388
          0.8
     0.6
          0.4
          0.2
                50-pct point
                log(0.032) =
                         = 0.032 mg/cm?
                         •1.496
           0
            -4
                    -3
-2
-1
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM  SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-8.     Operating  characteristic  curve for LeadCheck on wood.
                                              5-45

-------
     5.2.3.1.4  LeadCheck on Metal

     There were 217 observations of LeadCheck on metal, of which
92 gave negative and 125 gave positive readings.  Figure 5-6
shows close agreement between the running mean, monotone
regression, and model OC curve.  The baseline rate of false
positives is apparently substantial, estimated at .289 with the
enhanced logistic model (the parameter c in Table 5-18), which
agrees with the monotone regression ignoring the endpoint effect.
Thus, more than half of the rate of false positives seen in Table
5-5  (47%) may have been due to a factor other than the lead
level, such as substrate interference, or the type of paint used.

     The threshold probability is estimated at  .925 with the
model (.961 with monotone regression), and the 50-percent point
at 0.340 mg/cm2 (0.350 mg/cm2 with monotone regression).  The
sharp increase in the frequency of positives over a short lead
range is reflected in all three plots shown in Figure 5-6.  The
kit was sensitive to lead at the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard,  and it lost
sensitivity rapidly as the level of lead decreased, but with a
constant frequency of positives observed at even very low lead
levels.  Although the model suggests a.small baseline probability
of negatives  (.049), it is not possible to determine if this
would occur at lead levels in excess of 10.0 mg/cm2,  since ICP
measurements of this magnitude were not obtained on metal in the
study.

     5.2.3.1.5  LeadCheck on Plaster

     There were 242 observations of LeadCheck on plaster, of
which 109 gave negative and 133 gave positive readings.  Figure
5-7 shows a dip in the running mean toward the center of the lead
range that neither the model nor the monotone regression are able
to describe.  Phenomena of this kind can be expected to occur
infrequently as a random event.  Pronounced dips affect the fit
of the model to the entire data, but have only a localized effect
on the monotone regression.

     A second important feature seen in Figure 5-7 is that the
baseline probability of false positives was apparently
substantial:  the estimate obtained with the model  (.232) appears
to be consistent with the monotone regression.  This suggests
that nearly half of the false positive rate seen in Table 5-5
 (50%) was due to non-lead factors.  The model and monotone
regression produced similar threshold probability estimates  (.690
model versus  .761 monotone regression).  These estimates seem
reliable given the nature of the plots, but the same cannot be

                               5-46

-------
said of the 50-percent point estimates, for which the truth may
be close to where neither curve fit the data well.  Positive
results were obtained on all 19 samples with ICP measurements in
excess of 2.275 mg/cm2,  which reflects the sensitivity of the kit
at higher lead levels.

     5.2.3.1.6  LeadCheck on Wood

     There were 388 observations of LeadCheck on wood, of which
116 gave negative and 272 gave positive results.  Figure 5-8
shows that the running mean, monotone regression, and model OC
curve are in agreement, with the exception of the peak-dip
phenomenon toward the center of the range that caused some
flattening of the curves.

     The model OC curve indicates a substantial baseline
probability of false positives  (.174) that is evident to a lesser
extent in the monotone regression.  Positive results were
obtained on wood with ICP measurements as low as 0.00026 mg/cm2.
Since the overall rate of false positives indicated in Table 5-5
was 58%, it appears that most false positives were due to
sensitivity of the kit to low levels of lead rather than to
interference from non-lead factors.

     The model and the monotone regression estimates of the
50-percent point (0.032 and 0.012 mg/cm2 respectively)  and
threshold probability (.909 and .962) also demonstrate the
sensitivity of the kit to low lead levels.  Although the peak-dip
makes it difficult to regard either estimate of the 50-percent
point as precise, it is clear that the frequency of positive
results near the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard was high.   At  higher lead
levels the kit gave consistently positive results, which was the
observed outcome at all 56 samples with ICP measurements above
2.386 mg/cm2.

     5.2.3.1.7  Summary of Analysis for LeadCheck

     The manufacturer's instructions warned about interference
with color development of the kit from sulfates in plaster dust,
gypsum, and stucco.  To help guard against interference, the
instructions included a confirmation procedure, which the study
adopted.  This procedure, however, was meant to guard against
false negatives, as opposed to false positives.   A false
negatives problem was not observed with LeadCheck,  but high rates
of false positives were obtained on several substrates.  These
rates were highest on plaster and metal, and lower but still
substantial on concrete and wood.

                               5-47

-------
     The manufacturer recommended LeadCheck for painted metal and
wood surfaces, and indeed both had greater than 90 percent
positive rates at 1.0 mg/cm2.   The same was true for brick.
While the rate of positives on metal declined sharply as the
level of lead decreased from 1.0 mg/cm2, it did not fall below 29
percent.

     5.2.3.2  Lead Alert:  Coring

     This section describes the performance of the Lead Alert
All-In-One kit using the coring technique.  The sanding technique
is described in section 5.2.3.3.  Table 5-19 gives the results of
fitting enhanced logistic models to the substrates tested with
Lead Alert using the coring technique.  Figures 5-9 through 5-12
illustrate the fit of these models to  four of the substrates.
Summaries by substrate are given in sections 5.2.3.2.1 through
5.2.3.2.6, and an overall summary is given in section 5.2.3.2.7.

     5.2.3.2.1  Lead Alert:  Coring on Brick

     There were 93 observations of Lead Alert with coring on
brick, of which 48 gave negative and 45 gave positive readings.
Figure 5-9 shows that the running mean, monotone regression, and
model OC curve are in general agreement.  The model OC curve has
nearly the shape of a step function (Jb = 7.36) , influenced
primarily by a sharp rise in the rate  of positives.  The model
indicates a high baseline rate of false positives  (.200)
corresponding to over half of the false positives rate shown in
Table 5-6  (35%) .  Although the 7 samples with ICP measurements
less than 0.00056 mg/cm2 had negative  results,  a high rate of
false positives at low lead levels is  nonetheless evident.  At
high lead levels the model indicates a baseline rate of false
negatives estimated at  .070, in spite  of the fact that all 20
samples with ICP measurements greater  than 4.656 mg/cm2 had
positive results.  While these two outcomes are not inconsistent
with each other, the possibility that  the baseline effect is an
artifact of the model cannot be dismissed.

     The model and monotone regression produce similar estimates
of the 50-percent point {0.327 mg/cm2  versus 0.319 mg/cm2), which
the 95% confidence interval (Table 5-19) indicates was possibly
as high as 0.459 mg/cm2.   Estimates of the threshold probability
 (.928 model,  .800 monotone regression) are high.  Positive
results on brick with the coring technique were obtained on the
full range of lead levels represented  on this substrate.
                               5-48

-------
Table 5-19.  LEAD ALERT:   CORING Enhanced Logistic Regressions by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
BRICK
CONCRETE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
NEGATIVE
48
183
119
147
225
259

POSITIVE
45
43
5
70
16
128
MODEL PARAMETERS
c
.202
(.059)
.098
(.030)
	
.093
(.039)
	
0
d
.727
(.079)
.902
(.030)
	
.632
(.075)
	
.973
(.074)
a
7.86
(5.85)
-1.46
(.918)
	
2.24
(1.07)
	
0.345
(.333)
b
7.36
(5.59)
2.05
(.785)
	
3.75
(1.87)
	
1.11
(.173)

Pb(.SO)
ing/ cm*
0.327
[.076, .459]
1.84
[-844, 3.49]
	
0.645
[.476, 1.15]
	
0.771
[.257, 1.76]
PROS. AT
Pb - 1
.928
(.735, .984]
.267
[.104, .534]
	
.664
[.514, .787]
	
.569
[.474, .660]
                                                   5-49

-------
of positive
obab
                         KIT = Lead Alert:  coring, SUBSTRATE = brick.  N =   93
p
OO
p
o
          o.;
                50-pct point  = 0.327 mg/cm2
                log(0.327) =  -0.485
-4
                         -3
-2
-1
0
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG  PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-9.     Operating  characteristic  curve for Lead Alert coring on brick.
                                              5-50

-------
0)

IP
*OT
O
Q.
          0.8
          0-6
     •8    0.4
     o
     ol
          0.2
                        KIT = Lead Alert:  Coring,  SUBSTRATE = concrete.  N  = 226
                50-pct point = 1.84 mg/cm2
                log(1.84) =  0.264
-4
                         -3

                                 #  #
                                            m
                                 -2
-1
                                  LOG-BASE  10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-10.    Operating characteristic curve for  Lead Alert coring on concrete
                                              5-51

-------
      
-------
     (0
     o
     QL
      o
     .0

      8
     Q.
                           KIT = Lead Alert:  coring, SUBSTRATE  = wood.  N = 387
          0,8
0,6
          0.4
          0.2
                 50-pct point = 0.771  mg/cm2
                 log(0.771) = -0.113
                                         -2
                                            -1
0
                                     LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM  SQUARED
             Solid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
             OUIIU Illlc — Clllloliuou lumauu IIIUUQI, u/uiiou 11110 — IVIUIIUIUIIQ IQUIOOQIUIi< <~VOLOIIOIVO — nuiiiuim 11

Figure 5-12.    Operating  characteristic curve for  Lead Alert coring on  wood.
                                                  5-53

-------
     5.2.3.2.2  Lead Alert:  Coring on Concrete

     There were 226 observations of Lead Alert with coring on
concrete, of which 183 gave negative and 43 gave positive
results.  The running mean in Figure 5-10 is not an increasing
function of the lead level, exhibiting a peak and a dip between
0.01 and 0.1 mg/cm2.   As  a result,  neither the model  OC curve nor
the monotone regression fit the data well at lower lead levels.
It appears that the likelihood of a positive result may have
approached zero as the lead level diminished, contrary to what
the model OC curve indicates, since the 37 samples with ICP
measurement less than 0.0061 mg/cm2 all had negative  results.

     All three plots in Figure 5-10 suggest a threshold
probability of less than 50 percent.  The model and monotone
regression estimates for this probability are  .267 and  .298
respectively, with 50-percent point estimates of 1.84 mg/cm2 and
2.00 mg/cm2.   The rate of positive results did, however, increase
rapidly as the lead level increased past the 50-percent point.
There is no indication that false negatives were a problem at
higher lead levels, with the probability of a positive
approaching 100 percent with increasing lead levels.

     5.2.3.2.3  Lead Alert:  Coring on Drywall

     There were 124 observations of Lead Alert with coring on
drywall, but only 5 of these gave positive results.  Table 5-19
therefore does not provide model estimates for drywall, nor  are
OC curves plotted.  The 5 positives were not concentrated at the
higher end of the lead range, already restricted to under 1.0
mg/cm2.

     The high rate of negatives is a desirable feature  in that
all negatives were correct classifications.  It also could have
resulted if the coring technique penetrated the outer layer  of
drywall and exposed gypsum, causing interference with the test
kit.

     5.2.3.2.4  Lead Alert:  Coring on Metal

     There were 217 observations of Lead Alert with  coring on
metal, of which 147 gave  negative  and  70 gave  positive  results.
Figure 5-11 shows that the model OC curve  and  monotone  regression
are in close agreement, but that the running mean exhibits
peak-dips that affect the  fit of these two curves.   The prominent
dip in the running mean occurring  at a lead level of
approximately 10'1-5 = 0.032 mg/cm2  influenced  estimation of both

                               5-54

-------
the model and monotone regression, to the extent that the
significant baseline rate of false positives obtained from the
model (.093) and monotone regression (ignoring the endpoint
effect)  may underestimate the true effect.

     At higher lead levels the model reflects the substantial
frequency of negative results obtained with the test kit at lead
levels well above the 1.0 mg/cm2  standard.   This phenomenon is
associated with a peak and dip that appears in the running mean
at the higher end of measured ICP levels.  The 50-percent point
estimate of 0.645 mg/cm2  from the model  (0.607 mg/cm2 from the
monotone regression) and the steepness of the curve indicate a
sharp drop in the frequency of positive results as the lead level
declined from the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.   At 1.0 mg/cm2 the
estimated probability of a positive result from the model is  .664
(.625 from the monotone regression), leveling off at .725 with
increasing lead levels.

     5.2.3.2.5  Lead Alert:  Coring on Plaster

     There were 241 observations of Lead Alert with coring on
plaster, but only 16 of these gave positive readings.  As with
drywall, an OC curve was not estimated for this substrate, nor
were plots produced, due to the low incidence of positives.
Consideration should be given to the possibility that the coring
technique exposed substrate to the testing chemical and caused
interference with color development of the test.  The high rate
of false negatives  (85%)  obtained with this kit on plaster
suggests that negative readings were likely regardless of the
lead level.

     5.2.3.2.6  Lead Alert:  Coring on Wood

     There were 387 observations of Lead Alert with coring on
wood, of which 259 gave negative and 128 gave positive readings.
Figure 5-12 shows that the running mean, monotone regression, and
model OC curve are in close agreement.   The enhanced logistic
model appears to give a good approximation to the performance of
the test kit on wood.

     Unlike other substrates, the estimated chance of observing a
positive result decreases to zero as the lead level diminishes,
indicating that substrate interference was not a problem.  The
50-percent point is estimated at 0.771 mg/cm2 with the model
(0.583 mg/cm2 with monotone regression),  and the threshold
probability at .569  (.565 with monotone regression).  Taking into
account the 95% confidence interval reported in Table 5-19, the

                               5-55

-------
true threshold probability may have been less than one-half, or
as large as two-thirds.  The frequency of positive results,
however, increased sharply as the level of lead increased from
the 1.0 mg/cm2  standard.   The false  positive  (14%)  and false
negative (25%)  rates shown in Table 5-6 reflect rapidly changing
sensitivity of the kit near the standard, and the apparent lack
of interference from non-lead factors.  All 54 samples with ICP
measurements less than 0.0059 mg/cm2 had negative  results,  and
all 15 samples with ICP levels greater than 10.9 mg/cm2 had
positive results.

     5.2.3.2.7  Summary of Analysis for Lead Alert:  Coring

     The manufacturer did not recommend using the coring
technique with Lead Alert on plaster, for reasons that may be
reflected in the data.  The high incidence of negative results
for plaster may indicate a problem with substrate interference.
The lack of lead levels above 1.0 mg/cm2 on drywall makes it
difficult to determine if the high rate of negative results that
was observed was due to substrate interference, or to proper
performance of the kit.  Metal and brick, by contrast, had
baseline rates of false positives that may indicate the existence
of factors other than the level of lead in paint that affected
performance.  A similar observation can be made concerning the
baseline rate of false negatives obtained on metal substrates.
Baseline tendencies of neither kind were indicated on concrete
and wood.

     Lead Alert with coring appears to have had the best chance
of returning a positive result at the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard on
brick.  On concrete and wood the estimated chances are lower, but
increase sharply with the lead level from the 1.0 mg/cm2
standard.

     5.2.3.3  Lead Alert:  Sanding

     This section describes the performance of the Lead Alert kit
using the sanding technique.  Louisville data were excluded
because of noncompliance with the manufacturer's instructions.
Table 5-20 gives the results of fitting enhanced logistic models
to the substrates tested with Lead Alert using the sanding
technique.  Figures 5-13 through 5-15 illustrate the fit of these
models to the data.  Summaries by substrate are given in sections
5.2.3.3.1 through 5.2.3.3.6, and an overall summary is given in
section 5.2.3.3.7.
                               5-56

-------
Table 5-20. LEAD ALERT:   SANDING Enhanced Logistic  Regressions by  Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
BRICK
CONCRETE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
NEGATIVE
27
103
46
96
112
108

POSITIVE
8
22
2
24
6
25
MODEL PARAMETERS
c
---.
.122
	
.082
(.043)
	
.021
d
	
.378
	
.348
(.086)
	
.569
a
	
24.7
	
2.15
(4.54)
	
-21.5
b
	
100
	
11.4
(13.0)
	
100

Pb{.50)
mg/cm*
	
undefined
[.729, oo]
	
undefined
f.951, «]
	
1.24
[1.24, 10.8]
PROS. AT
Pb - 1
	
.500
[.154, .667]
	
.394
[.175, .666]
	
.021
[.005, .167]
                                                   5-57

-------
1
0.8
0)
8 0.6
Q.
<+-
o
g
'•8 0.4
JD
o
L.
Q.


0.2
0
Lead Alert: sanding (excl. Louisville), SUBSTRATE = concrete. N = 125
50 pet point
not estimable
-



i
*
# *
*
WJRV>

4 -3 -2
LOG-BASE

-


*W«R* m *
* *** *
* * *
** *
IT TF
* *
mm
-
/ *
i * * *
* *
j *
*


i i








-
-------
1

0.8

-------
1
0.8
0)
1 °-6
*0
>>
—
•g 0.4
o
CL

0.2
0
Lead Alert: Sanding (excl. Louisville), SUBSTRATE = wood. N = 133
50-pct point = 1.24 mg/cm2 /
log(1.24) = 0.093 /

-

*
3

*
*
*
/
*« /
* * /
j
f* *$ *
l » *P * *
1 * # *
* * * *
5 *
i —
r


-











4-3-2-10 1 2
LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-15.   Operating characteristic  curve  for Lead  Alert  sanding on  wood,  excluding
               Louisville.
                                           5-60

-------
     5.2.3.3.1  Lead Alert:  Sanding on Brick

     There were only 35 observations of Lead Alert with sanding
on brick,  of which 8 gave positive readings.  It was not possible
to estimate an OC curve accurately with so few data (an attempt
to do so produced a model that exhibits a decreasing relationship
with lead), and for this reason estimates were not obtained for
this substrate.

     5.2.3.3.2  Lead Alert:  Sanding on Concrete

     There were 125 observations of Lead Alert with sanding on
concrete after the Louisville data were excluded, of which 103
gave positive and 22 gave negative readings.  In Figure 5-13 the
running mean does not show an increasing relationship, with the
result that neither the model OC curve nor the monotone
regression fits these data well.  In fact, the running mean is
similar to that for concrete using the coring technique (Figure
5-10) .  The sanding data, however, do not indicate sharp
responsiveness to even high levels of lead.  Perhaps the only
conclusion that can be clearly drawn is that there is little
evidence that the probability of a positive result exceeded 50
percent at any level of lead.  As a result, the false negative
rate shown in Table 5-7 is large  (47%) relative to the false
positive rate  (13%).

     The model estimate has the form of a step function, as
indicated in Table 5-20 with Jb = 100.  Both the model and
monotone regression confirm that the test kit frequently gave
negative results at high lead levels.  The changepoint of the
step function occurs at 0.78 mg/cm2.

     5.2.3.3.3  Lead Alert:  Sanding on Drywall

     There were 48 observations of Lead Alert with sanding on
drywall excluding the Louisville data, and only two of these gave
positive readings.  OC curves were therefore not fit to these
data.  The high rate of negatives may indicate an interference of
gypsum with the color development of the kit, or it may indicate
that the kit performed as intended, since none of the ICP
measurements on drywall exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2 in the study.

     5.2.3.3.4  Lead Alert:  Sanding on Metal

     There were 120 observations of Lead Alert with sanding on
metal after the Louisville data were excluded, of which 96 gave
negative and 24 gave positive results.  Figure 5-14 shows the

                               5-61

-------
running mean, monotone regression, and model OC curve for these
data.  The peak-dip in the running mean is not highly unusual as
a random occurrence, and otherwise the three estimates are in
visual agreement.  The model is nearly a step function (Jb = 11.4)
with a changepoint near 0.8 mg/cm2.   Since the model does not
produce probabilities greater than .43, it does not have a
50-percent point, and the monotone regression estimate {4.51
mg/cm2)  cannot be regarded as reliable.

A low rate of positives was obtained at all lead levels,  implying
a high baseline rate of false negatives.  The estimated threshold
probabilities from the model  (.394) and monotone regression
(.417) are below 0.5.  Thus, the high rate of false negatives
shown in Table 5-7  (56%) was possibly due largely to non-lead
factors.  As the level of lead diminishes, the model suggests a
small baseline rate of false positives, but this is not confirmed
in the monotone regression, and the 13 samples with ICP
measurements less than 0.0044 mg/cm2  gave negative results.

     5.2.3.3.5  Lead Alert:  Sanding on Plaster

     There were 118 observations of Lead Alert with sanding on
plaster excluding the Louisville data, but only 6 of these gave
positive readings.  As with brick and drywall, these were judged
as too few to provide useful estimates of an OC curve.  Like
drywall, sanding may have breached substrate that interfered with
the color development of the kit.  The high rate of false
negatives seen in Table 5-7  (91%) suggests that the tendency of
the kit to produce negative results on plaster was not limited to
paint samples with low lead readings.  All 7 samples with ICP
measurements greater than 1.534 mg/cm2,  including 2 with ICP
measurements greater than 10.0 mg/cm2,  had negative results with
this test kit.

     5.2.3.3.6  Lead Alert:  Sanding on Hood

     There were 133 observations of Lead Alert with sanding on
wood excluding the Louisville data, of which 108 returned
negative and 25 returned positive results.  The running mean,
monotone regression, and model OC curve are shown in Figure 5-15.
The running mean suggests a small probability of a positive
result for lead below 1.0 mg/cm2,  a high probability for lead
above 1.0 mg/cm2, and a sharp transition at 1.0 mg/cm2.   The
model takes the form of a step function  (b = 100) , with a
changepoint at 1.24 mg/cm2.   Like metal,  the running mean
decreases somewhat at higher lead levels, but otherwise the three
OC curve estimates are in close agreement.  The model and the

                               5-62

-------
monotone regression both appear to capture the salient features
of the performance of this test kit on wood.

     At lead levels just below the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard the
estimated probability of a positive result drops nearly to zero.
At levels just above the standard, the probability increases to
about .59 under both the model and the monotone regression.  A
high rate of negatives was observed for lead levels as high as
10.0 mg/cm2.   Thus,  non-lead factors may explain most  of  the
false negative rate of 50% shown in Table 5-7.

     5.2.3.3.7  Summary of Analysis for Lead Alert:  Sanding

     The manufacturer's instructions warned that chemical
interference may occur from gypsum or plaster dust.  This may
have happened on drywall and plaster samples in Denver and
Philadelphia, since very few positive results were observed.  The
rate of positives was low for all substrates, suggesting a high
baseline probability of false negatives for a wide variety of
materials.  The kit was not prone to giving false positive
results as the lead level approached 0.0 mg/cm2.

     Comparing results for the sanding technique with those for
the coring technique must take into account the exclusion of the
Louisville data from the sanding, but not the coring analyses.
When Louisville data were excluded from both and rates of
positives and negatives compared on common sites, both coring and
sanding exhibited high negative rates on all substrates except
brick, where the rate was high for sanding  (27 negatives, 8
positives) but not for coring  (19 negatives, 16 positives).  On
plaster and drywall both techniques produced very high negative
rates.

     5.2.3.4  Lead Detective

     Table 5-21 gives the results of fitting enhanced logistic
models to the six substrates tested with Lead Detective.  Figures
5-16 through 5-21 illustrate the fit of these models to the data.
Sections 5.2.3.4.1 through  5.2.3.4.6 discuss the estimated OC
curves by substrate.  Section  5.2.3.4.7 contains an overall
summary for this test kit.

     5.2.3.4.1  Lead Detective on Brick

     There were 92 observations of Lead Detective  on brick, of
which 41 returned negative  and 51 returned positive readings.
Figure 5-16 shows the running  mean, monotone regression,  and

                               5-63

-------
Table 5-21.  LEAD DETECTIVE Enhanced Logistic Regressions by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
BRICK
CONCRETE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
NEGATIVE
41
137
88
123
149
185

POSATIVE
51
89
36
92
93
203
MODEL PARAMETERS
c
.176
(.067)
.350
0
.251
(.054)
.326
(.108)
.099
(.055)
d
.631
(.085)
.232
1
.496
(.097)
.426
(.232)
.902
(.055)
a
15.8
(7.24)
51.5
-0.686
(.385)
3.80
(5.49)
-0.306
(8.62)
1.10
(.194)
b
5.35
(3.17)
100
0.049
(.078)
6.40
(9.28)
2.87
(2.64)
0.814
(.146)

Pb(.50)
mg/cm2
0..053
[.003, .095]
0.595
[.328, 8.65]
large or
nonexistent
0.553
[.404, .758]
0.977
[.392, 2.19]
0.198
[.094, .671]
PROB. AT
Pb - 1
.807
[.669, .896]
.582
[.390, .714]
.335
[.189, .521]
.736
[.601, .838]
.507
[.365, .778]
.775
[.709, .830]
                                                   5-64

-------
     0)
     O
     Q.
     .Q
     2
     Q.
                            KIT « Lead  Detective, SUBSTRATE =  brick.  N =  92
          0.8
0.6
          0.4
          0.2
               50-pct point
               log(0.053) =
                   = 0.053 mg/cm2
                   -1.277
0
 -4

;
:
* m i
"Wjk ^ Jfe
»• • • • f
* /
t&t ^^
fw ,X^
i* ^x^^

                         -3
                            -2
-1
                                  LOG-BASE  10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
                                                                    *
                                                                    *
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-16.    Operating  characteristic  curve for Lead Detective on  brick.
                                              5-65

-------
1
0.8



-------
1
1
0.8

0)
"6
1 0.4
JD
O
n
0.2
n
u
c
KIT = Lead Detective, SUBSTRATE = drywall. N = 124
1 i i i i i i
50 pet point large
or nonexistent
-
r
i
*
•
•
I
i
„*.. i e
****** * * ** ; *
%
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
4 -3.5 -3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 C
LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
iolid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone repression. Asterisks = Runnina mean









)

Figure 5-18.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Detective on drywall.
                                           5-67

-------
Probability of positive
0 O O O
M i o ro 4*. b> oo -*
KIT = Lead Detective, SUBSTRATE = metal. N = 215
i t i i i i * i i
50-pct point = 0.553 mg/cm2
log(0.553) = -0.258 *
	 pmJy^EBKjt jk
^&J^^ nP« ^W V Vb 9w
jfc 4 I ** *
fc 1L jf
^% "* "*" "*"i*""
/ «»* * *
-j 	 , . .
4 -3.5 -3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1
LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
olid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone rearession. Asterisks = Runnina mean

Figure 5-19.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Detective on metal.
                                           5-68

-------
1
0.8
t>
I 0.6
"o
>>
'1 0.4
.a
i_
Q.
0.2
0
KIT = Lead Detective, SUBSTRATE = plaster. N = 242
iii
50-pct point = 0.977 mg/cm2
log(0.977) = -0.010
-


* *** * ***•**;
jiQif d£ 9kjK Jc ANK 9IBJI
t.jL/ _
A / « *
* /
% / : *
* * /
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4 -3 -2 -1
i i
I
Mr ^V ^> "Tt
jfc^" "** «
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* "7
* /
f
L





0 1 2
LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
Solid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-20.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead Detective on plaster.
                                           5-69

-------
                           KIT = Lead Detective, SUBSTRATE =  wood.   N = 388
     
-------
model OC curves that were estimated from the data.  The peak-dip
that appears in the running mean just below 1.0 mg/cm2 (zero on
the log-scale) would not be highly unusual as a random
occurrence.

     The model nearly has the appearance of a step function
(b = 5.35),  and is similar to the monotone regression for lead
levels above 0.01 mg/cm2.

     Both the model and the monotone regression suggest a high
baseline rate of false negatives, estimated at about 20 percent.
A baseline rate of false positives is estimated at .176 with the
model.  This false positives estimate appears to be lower, or
even zero, in the monotone regression, although it is clear that
positive results were frequently obtained at lead levels well
below 0.01 mg/cm2.

     The estimated 50-percent points with the model  (0.053
mg/cm2)  and  monotone regression (0.060 mg/cm2) are substantially
less than the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard,  and the running mean suggests
an even lower 50-percent point.  The threshold probability  (.807
model and .818 monotone regression) is consequently estimated to
be high.  The high rate of false positives shown in Table 5-8
(55%) may have been due primarily to sensitivity of the kit to
low levels of lead, and secondarily to interference from non-lead
factors.

     5.2.3.4.2  Lead Detective on Concrete

     There were 226 observations of Lead Detective on concrete,
of which 137 gave negative and 89 gave positive readings.  The
running mean in Figure 5-17 indicates only a weak relationship
between the rate of positives and the level of lead.  Likewise,
the monotone regression and model are only mildly responsive to
the lead level.  The overall rate of positives was 39 percent.
The model has the form of a step function, with an estimated
probability of .350 for lead levels less than 0.595 mg/cm2,  and
.582 for lead levels above.

     5.2.3.4.3  Lead Detective on Drywall

     There were 124 observations of Lead Detective on drywall, of
which 88 gave negative and 36 gave positive results.  The running
mean in Figure 5-18 suggests only a mild responsiveness of the
kit to the level of lead in the paint samples tested,
notwithstanding the fact that all of the ICP measurements were
below 1.0 mg/cm2.  Due to the small slope coefficient Jb obtained

                               5-71

-------
from the model, the estimated 50-percent point is too large  (over
1,000 mg/cm2)  to be regarded as meaningful,  and it  is difficult
to tell if a 50 percent chance of a positive result was achieved
at any level of lead on drywall.  The estimated chance of a
positive result remains fixed at about 30 percent for lead at the
1.0 mg/cm2 standard down to about 0.001 mg/cm2, below which it
tapers off towards zero.  The samples with the 15 smallest ICP
measurements all had negative results.  The rate of false
positives shown in Table 5-8  (29%) appears to reflect sensitivity
to low levels of lead rather than interference.

     5.2.3.4.4  Lead Detective on Metal

     There were 215 observations of Lead Detective on metal, of
which 123 gave negative and 92 gave positive results.  The
manufacturer's instructions warned against the use of this kit on
painted metal, due to color interference that may lead to false
positive readings.  Figure 5-19 suggests that this concern may
have been valid.  The running mean, monotone regression  (ignoring
the endpoint effects), and model OC curve each exhibit high
baseline rates of  false positives, but not unlike the graphs for
other substrates for which no concern was expressed.  A high
baseline rate of false negatives may also be indicated.

     The model and monotone regression both appear to fit the
data well. The baseline probability of false positives is
estimated at  .251 with the model, but the monotone regression
suggests a somewhat lower rate.  The 50-percent point is
estimated at 0.553 mg/cm2 both with the model and the monotone
regression; the threshold probability at  .736 model  and  .727
monotone regression; and baseline probability of false negatives
at about 25 percent.  Since the overall rate of false negatives
from Table 5-8 is  27%, interference from non-lead factors was
possibly a major factor.

     Both the model and the monotone regression suggest  that the
probability of a positive result at the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard was
high, and both captured the sharp decline in the observed
frequency of positives as the  lead level decreased from  the
standard.  As a result, as much as half of  the  false positive
rate shown in Table 5-8  (34%)  may be due to non-lead factors.

     5.2.3.4.5  Lead Detective on Plaster

     There were  242 observations of Lead Detective on plaster, of
which 149 gave negative and  93  gave positive readings.   A
baseline  rate  of false positives  is estimated  at  .326 by the

                               5-72

-------
model, which agrees with the monotone regression ignoring the
effect of the 7 lowest ICP measurements, all of which had
negative results.  This may explain, to a large extent, the high
rate of false positives shown in Table 5-8  (34%).

     Plots of the model and the monotone regression estimates
(Figure 5-20) suggest that the 50-percent point was near the 1.0
mg/cm2 standard,  although the 95% confidence interval  in Table
5-21 could place this point as low as 0.392 mg/cm2  or  as high as
2.19 mg/cm2.   They also give  similar estimates  of the  baseline
probability of false negatives, at about 25 percent, or most of
the overall rate of false negatives shown in Table 5-8  (33%).

     5.2.3.4.6  Lead Detective on Wood

     There were 388 observations of Lead Detective on wood, of
which 185 gave negative and 203 gave positive readings.  Figure
5-21 shows that the running mean, monotone regression, and model
OC curve are in agreement.  The model estimates the baseline rate
of false positives at  .099.  The high rate of false positives
shown in Table 5-8 (35%) was possibly due to sensitivity of the
kit to low levels of lead.

     The model and the running mean produce similar estimates of
the 50-percerit point (0.198 mg/cm2 model and 0.160  mg/cm2
monotone regression)  and threshold probability  (.775 and .813,
respectively).

     5.2.3.4.7  Summary of Analysis for Lead Detective

     Lead Detective is a sodium sulfide kit that the manufacturer
did not recommend for use on metal, but it was recommended for
use on wood, wallboard  (drywall) and plaster.  A high baseline
rate of false positives was observed on metal, but also on
concrete, plaster, and to a lesser extent on brick.  The
probability of a positive result with the kit did not appear to
change sharply with the lead level on drywall, concrete, and
plaster.  A high threshold probability was  indicated for brick,
metal, and wood.

     5.2.3.5  Lead Zone

     Table 5-22 gives the results of fitting enhanced logistic
models to the six substrates tested with the Lead Zone kit.
Figures 5-22 through 5-27 graphically show  how well these models
fit the data.  Sections 5.2.3.5.1 through 5.2.3.5.6 discuss  the
estimated OC curves by substrate.  Section  5.2.3.5.7 contains an

                               5-73

-------
Table 5-22.  LEAD ZONE Enhanced Logistic Regressions by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
BRICK
CONCRETE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
NEGATIVE
46
152
96
137
166
182

POSITIVE
47
74
27
79
76
205
MODEL PARAMETERS
c
0
.243
(.031)
0
.169
(.039)
.134
(.051)
0
d
1
.757
(.031)
1
.693
(.099)
.519
(.111)
1
a
1.48
(.420)
-3.23
(1.50)
0.588
(.465)
0.414
(.791)
1.44
(.911)
1.36
(.179)
b
0.586
(.104)
7.92
(2.66)
0.505
(.132)
2.53
(.784)
1.64
(.598)
0.703
(.073)

Pb(.SO)
mg/cm"
0.080
[.007, .346]
1.38
[.424, 1.74]
0.312
[.080, 1.21]
0.819
[.469, 1.38]
0.711
[.342, 2.49]
0.145
[.055, .583]
PROB. AT
Pb • 1
.815
[.656, .911]
.272
[.185, .380]
.643
[.416, .820]
.586
[.398, .752]
.553
[.419, .680]
.795
[.731, .848]
                                                   5-74

-------
     w
     o
     Q.
     .0
     o
     .0
     o
                              KIT = Lead  Zone, SUBSTRATE  = brick.  N =  93
          0.8
0.6
0.4
          0.2
                50-pct point
                log(0.080) =
                    ' 0,080 mg/cm2
                    1.099
           0
            -4
                             C-	J

               -3
-2
-1
0
                                  LOG-BASE  10  of MG PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-22.    Operating characteristic  curve for Lead Zone on brick.
                                              5-75

-------
     0)
     O
     a
o

1
Q.
         0.8
     0.6
         0.4
          0.2
                           KIT = Lead Zone, SUBSTRATE = concrete.  N = 226
               50-pct point = 1.38 mg/cm2

               log(1,38)  = 0.141
           0

            -4
                                        * *
                                  Jj  _
                                                   is*
                    -3
-2
-1
0
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-23.    Operating  characteristic curve for Lead Zone  on concrete.
                                              5-76

-------
                             KIT = Lead Zone,  SUBSTRATE = drywall.  N =  123
     0)
     o
     a.
     jQ
     O
     JD
     O

     CL
          0.8
                50-pct point  = 0.312 mg/cm2
                log(0.312) =  -0.506
0.6
0.4
          0.2
                                  LOG-BASE  10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-24.    Operating characteristic curve for  Lead Zone on  drywall.
                                              5-77

-------
Q>


'+s

'to
O
a.
n
o


e
(L
          0.8
          0.6
          0.4
          0.2
                             KIT = Lead Zone, SUBSTRATE = metal.  N =  216
                50-pct point = 0.819 mg/cm2

                log(0.819) = -0.086
                       q^
                                 -•>—-*	

                                                              **  Wit
            Ql	i	1	1	1	•	1	•	LJ	L_

            -4    -3.5     -3     -2.5    -2    -1.5     -1     -0.5     0      0.5




                                  LOG-BASE  10 of MG PER  CM SQUARED




            Solid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-25.    Operating characteristic curve for Lead Zone on metal.
                                              5-78

-------
0)


*-M

'55
o
QL
     •8
     JD
     o
                             KIT  = Lead Zone, SUBSTRATE = plaster.  N = 242
          0.8
          0.6
     0.4
          0.2
            0
                50-pct  point = 0.711  mg/cm2

                log(0.711)  = -0.148

               	3F



              *  C
                            •*
                                     ^ ,J*
                                     * *
                              ^^^^^^•^^ A^b_____v__^^_auw^^ *
                                                                                 **
                         -3
                                  -2
-1
0
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG  PER CM  SQUARED
             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks — Running mean
Figure  5-26.   Operating characteristic curve for Lead  Zone on plaster.
                                               5-79

-------
     0)
     o
     a
     2
     a_
                             KIT = Lead Zone, SUBSTRATE =  wood.   N = 387
          0.8
                50-pct point = 0.145 mg/cm2

                log(0.145) = -0.839
0.6
          0.4
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-27.    Operating  characteristic  curve for Lead  Zone on wood.
                                              5-80

-------
overall summary for the test kit.

     5.2.3.5.1  Lead Zone on Brick

     There were 93 observations of Lead Zone on brick, of which
46 gave negative and 47 gave positive results.  Figure 5-22 shows
that the model, monotone regression, and model OC curve are in
general agreement, although multiple inflection points suggested
by the running mean were not picked up by the model.  The kit
does not appear to have exhibited baseline rates of false
positives or false negatives on this substrate.  The 20 samples
with ICP measurements less than 0.0016 mg/cm2 all had negative
results; the 20 samples with ICP measurements greater than 4.657
mg/cm2  all had positive results.

     The model and monotone regression produce similar estimates
of the threshold probability (.815 and .790 respectively).
Accounting for sampling variability with a 95% confidence
interval does not bring this estimate lower than  .656.  The
50-percent point estimates from the model  (0.080 mg/cm2)  and
monotone regression  (0.009 mg/cm2)  are consequently low.   Even
with the 95% confidence interval taken into account, the
50-percent point estimate remains below the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.
Thus, it is estimated that the chance of obtaining a positive
result at the standard was high, at least 50 percent for lead
levels greater than one-tenth of the standard.  This may explain
the high overall rate of false positives shown in Table 5-9
(37%) .

     5.2.3.5.2  Lead Zone on Concrete

     There were 226 observations of Lead Zone on concrete, of
which 152 gave negative and 74 gave positive results.  The
running mean  (Figure 5-23) is irregular toward the center of the
lead range, a shape which an enhanced logistic regression model
cannot fully capture.  This accounts for the near step-function
form of the model estimate  (Jb = 7.92), suggesting a high baseline
rate of false positives  (.243)  not indicated by the data:  all 33
samples with ICP levels less than 0.0056 mg/cm2 gave negative
results.  Monotone regression appears to have done a better job
describing these data.  The threshold probability estimated by
the model at  .272 is close to the estimate obtained from the
monotone regression.  A baseline rate of false negatives is not
indicated: all 23 samples having ICP measurements greater than
1.746 mg/cm2 gave positive results.
                               5-81

-------
     5.2.3.5.3  Lead Zone on Drywall

     There were 123 observations of Lead Zone on Drywall, of
which 96 gave negative and 27 gave positive results.  In spite of
therestricted range of lead levels, Figure 5-24 shows that the
kit did not appear to exhibit a baseline rate of false positives,
and that the probability of a positive result increased with the
lead level.  All 50 samples with ICP measurements less than 0.011
mg/cm2  gave negative results.

     The model estimates the threshold probability at .643.  The
50-percent point estimate at 0.312 mg/cm2 is in the  upper range
of the recorded ICP measurements.  The estimated 50-percent point
from the monotone regression (0.390 mg/cm2)  is similar.

     5.2.3.5.4  Lead Zone on Metal

     There were 216 observations of Lead Zone on metal,  of which
137 gave negative and 79 gave positive results.  Figure 5-25
reveals that, except for a dip in the running mean,  the running
mean and the monotone regression are close, as are the model and
the monotone regression.  Although the kit was recommended for
use on painted metal, it produced the highest baseline rate of
false positives on this substrate.  Both the model and the
monotone regression estimate this rate at about 17 percent, which
is more than half of the overall false positive rate shown in
Table 5-9  (24%), and may indicate interference from non-lead
factors.  The moderate baseline rate of false negatives  (.138)
obtained from the model is mitigated by the fact that all 7
samples with ICP measurements greater than 3.96 mg/cm2 had
positive results.  There were no ICP measurements greater than
7.0 mg/cm2 on metal,  which makes it difficult to infer a baseline
rate of false negatives at higher lead levels.

     The model and monotone regression gave similar threshold
probability estimates (.586 and .500 respectively),  but given the
steepness of the plots near the standard, the 95% confidence
interval in Table 5-22 reflect a high degree of variability in
these estimates.   The estimated 50-percent points  (0.819 mg/cm2
model and 0.948 mg/cm2 monotone regression)  are also similar,  and
the 95% confidence interval covers the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.  At
the standard the estimated chance of obtaining a positive result
is about a half, with the chance dropping to about  .17 rapidly as
the lead level decreases from the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard, and rising
above .80 rapidly as the lead level increases from the standard.
                               5-82

-------
     5.2.3.5.5  Lead Zone on Plaster

     There were 242 observations of Lead Zone on plaster, of
which 166 gave negative and 76 gave positive readings.  Figure
5-26 shows that the running mean, monotone regression, and model
OC curve are in general agreement.  The model indicates a
substantial baseline rate of false negatives  (.347), which is not
inconsistent with the fact that the 3 samples with ICP
measurements greater than 18.0 mg/cm2 had positive results.
These three samples contributed the endpoint effect that is
evident in the monotone regression.

     The model and monotone regression produced similar threshold
probability estimates (.553 model and .444 monotone regression).
The difference in 50-percent point estimates  (0.711 mg/cm2 model,
1.368 mg/cm2 monotone regression)  is not great when sampling
variability, as demonstrated in the 95% confidence interval
(Table 5-22), is taken into account.  The estimated chance of
obtaining a positive result at the standard is about  .50.  The
similarity of the overall false positive and false negatives
rates shown in Table 5-9  (26% and 36% respectively) reflects the
closeness of the 50-percent point to the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.

     5.2.3.5.6  Lead Zone on Wood

     There were 387 observations of Lead Zone on wood, of which
182 gave negative and 205 gave positive results.  In Figure 5-27
the running mean exhibits several visible dip-peak pairs, but
these would not be unusual as random occurrences.  The model
seems to adequately describe the data.  Neither the model nor the
monotone regression indicate baseline rates of false negatives or
positives.

     The model and the monotone regression suggest high estimated
threshold probabilities  (.795 and  .833).  Likewise, the estimated
50-percent points are low  (0.145 and 0.218 mg/cm2).   It appears
that the chance of a positive result was high at the standard,
with a better than a 50 percent chance for lead levels as low as
0.1 mg/cm2.   Thus the overall false positive rate shown in Table
5-9  (35%) is high.

     5.2.3.5.7  Summary of Analysis for Lead Zone

     The manufacturer's instructions only referred to the
application of Lead Zone on wood or metal substrates, but there
is no evidence that the test kit performed better on these two
substrates than on others.  A high baseline rate of false

                               5-83

-------
positives was observed on metal, concrete and plaster, but not on
wood, brick and drywall.  Although the rate of positives changed
rapidly near the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard on metal,  concrete  and
plaster, the probability at the standard may have been no better
than 50 percent for these substrates.  The kit was most
responsive to lead at the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard  on wood and brick,
for which approximately an 80 percent chance of observing a
positive result was obtained.

     5.2.3.6  State Sodium Sulfide

     Table 5-23 gives the results of fitting enhanced logistic
models to the six substrates tested with the State Sodium Sulfide
kit.  Figures 5-28 through 5-33 graphically show the fit of these
models to the data.  Sections 5.2.3.6.1 through 5.2.3.6.6 discuss
the estimated OC curves by substrate.  Section 5.2.3.6.7 contains
an overall summary for the test kit.

     5.2.3.6.1  State Sodium Sulfide on Brick

     There were 93 observations of the State Sodium Sulfide kit
on brick, of which 24 gave negative and 69 gave positive results.

     Figure 5-28 shows that the model OC curve fits the data
moderately well.  A high baseline rates of false positives is
evident in all three plots, estimated by the model at .234.  The
test kit frequently produced positive results at very low lead
levels.

     Both the model and monotone regression estimate the
threshold probability at nearly 100 percent.  All 54 samples with
ICP measurements greater than 0.06 mg/cm2 gave positive  results,
accounting for more than half of the total sample.  Conversely,
the estimated 50-percent points are low  (0.006 mg/cm2 model and
0.003 mg/cm2 monotone regression).   The inference that the kit
was very likely to produce a positive result at lead levels well
below the standard does not change by taking into account the 95%
confidence intervals shown in Table 5-23.  Both non-lead
interference and sensitivity to low levels of lead may have
contributed to the high false positive rate of 67% shown in Table
5-10.

     5.2.3.6.2  State Sodium Sulfide on Concrete

     There were 224 observations of the State Sodium Sulfide kit
on concrete, of which 56 gave negative and 168 gave positive
results.  Figure 5-29 indicates that the kit frequently gave

                               5-84

-------
Table 5-23.  STATE SODIUM SULFIDE  Enhanced Logistic Regressions by Substrate.
SUBSTRATE
BRICK
CONCRETE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
NEGATIVE
24
56
77
63
42
108

POSITIVE
69
168
47
154
200
280
MODEL PARAMETERS
c
.234
(.129)
.411
(.662)
0
.142
(.102)
.259
(.088)
.275
(.305)
d
.766
(.129)
.589
(.662)
1
.840
(.161)
.692
(.100)
.725
(.305)
a
4.38
(1.55)
2.38
(1.65)
0.765
(.362)
3.07
(1.93)
5.87
(3.39)
2.60
(1.85)
b
0.976
(.228)
0. 901
(2.35)
0.300
(.073)
1.29
(1.01)
1.74
(.966)
1.08
(1.53)

Pb(.50)
mg/cm2
0.006
[.001, .053]
0.011
[.001, .040]
0.078
[.017, .360]
0.075
[.017, .143]
0 . 024
[.007, .048]
0.043
[.005, .100]
PROB. AT
Pb - 1
.991
[.844, .999]
.950
[.944, .999]
.682
[.510, .816]
.944
[.877, .975]
. 949
[.811, .988]
.950
[.412, .998]
                                                   5-85

-------
     Q>

     JP
     'w
     O
     Q.
     O

     X
     .O
     O
     .Q
     O

     CL
                         KIT  = State Sodium Sulfide,  SUBSTRATE  = brick.  N =  93
          0.8
0.6
0.4
          0.2
                50-pct point = 0.006 mg/cm2
                log(0.006) = -2.230
                                         **
           0
            -4
               -3
-1
0
                                  LOG-BASE  10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone repression. Asterisks = Runnina mean
Figure 5-28.    Operating characteristic  curve for State Sodium Sulfide on brick,
                                              5-86

-------
                       KIT  = State  Sodium Sulfide, SUBSTRATE = concrete.  N = 224
     
-------
                        KIT  = State Sodium Sulfide, SUBSTRATE = drywall.  N =  124
     0)

     '&
     '55
     o
     a
     .a
     o
     JO
     o
                50-pct point = 0.078 mg/cm2
                log(0.078) = -1.108
                                                            * * *




                                                	§_„*_./  *   x*"    »**
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model.  Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-30.    Operating characteristic curve  for State Sodium Sulfide  on drywall
                                              5-88

-------
                         KIT =  State Sodium Sulfide,  SUBSTRATE = metal.  N = 217
     Q)

     £
     V)
     o
     CL
     o
     .o
     s
     CL
          0.8
0.6
          0.4
                50-pct point =  0.075 mg/cm2
                !og(0.075)  = -1.127
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG  PER CM  SQUARED
             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model.  Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-31.    Operating characteristic curve  for State Sodium Sulfide  on metal
                                              5-89

-------
of positive
Probab
o
bo
o
o
"
o
                        KIT = State Sodium  Sulfide, SUBSTRATE = plaster.  N = 242

                                                            -*"*

                                                            >
                50-pct point  = 0.024 mg/cm2
                log(0.024) =  -1.623
0
 -4
                     *

                   *
                               #*
                                *
                         -3
-1
0
                                  LOG-BASE 10 of MG  PER CM SQUARED
            Solid line = Enhanced logistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-32.    Operating  characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on plaster,
                                              5-90

-------
     0)
     o
     Q.
-Q
O

1
Q_
          0.8
     0.6
          0.4
          0.2
                          KIT = State Sodium Sulfide, SUBSTRATE  = wood.   N = 388
                50-pct point
                log(0.043) =
                          :  0.043 mg/cm2
                          •1.370
                           ***!
                    JS
                   *»*
            0
             -4
                                   -2
_ 1
0
                                    LOG-BASE 10 of MG PER CM SQUARED
             Solid line = Enhanced loaistic model. Dotted line = Monotone regression. Asterisks = Running mean
	OOIIU lino = cnnancgu luuiaut: inuuui,  muiceu MHO — IVIUIIULUIIC icuicaoiuii, /"toiciioivo — HUIIIHIIM IIIPOI
Figure  5-33.    Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on  wood
                                                 5-91

-------
positive results at all lead levels, with a high baseline rate of
false positives estimated at .411 with the model.

     The model and monotone regression produce high estimates of
the threshold probability (.950 and .975), and low estimates of
the 50-percent point (0.011 and 0.015 mg/cm2) .   The running mean,
however, indicates that the 50-percent point could have been as
low as 10"3 = 0.001 mg/cm2.   The kit had a substantial probability
of giving a positive result at any lead level, and at the 1.0
mg/cm2 standard the result was  almost  certain to be positive.
Thus the high overall rate of false positives shown in Table 5-10
(72%) may reflect both non-lead factors and sensitivity to low
levels of lead.

     5.2.3.6.3  State Sodium Sulfide on Drywall

     There were 124 observations of the State Sodium Sulfide kit
on drywall, of which 77 gave negative and 47 gave positive
results.  Figure 5-30 shows the rate of positives leveling off
for lead levels greater than 10~2 =  0.01 mg/cm2,  although near the
1.0 mg/cm2 standard the monotone regression suggests a higher
rate.
This is a smoothing effect of the running mean:  a smaller
smoothing window (not shown) captured the increase in the rate.

     Unlike other substrates, there was no indication of a
baseline rate of false positives on drywall:  the 21 samples with
ICP measurements less than 0.0005 mg/cm2 all gave negative
results.  The overall false positive rate of 38% shown in Table
5-10 may have been due primarily to sensitivity of the kit to low
lead levels.

     5.2.3.6.4  State Sodium Sulfide on Metal

     There were 217 observations of the State Sodium Sulfide kit
on metal, of which 63 gave negative and 154 gave positive
results.  The removal of the paint from the substrate prior to
testing may explain why the monotone regression and running mean
(Figure 5-31) do not indicate a high baseline rate of false
positives, as was observed with other substrates.  The 13 samples
with ICP measurements less than 0.0016 mg/cm2 all gave negative
results.  The model estimate of  .142 for this baseline rate does
not appear to be supported by the data.  The running mean,
monotone regression, and model OC curve are otherwise similar.

     The model and monotone regression produce nearly identical,
high estimates of the threshold probability  (.944 and  .949).  The

                               5-92

-------
estimated 50-percent points are also close (0.075 and 0.083
mg/cm2} , well below the  1.0  mg/cm2 standard.  The latter
conclusion is not changed by taking into account the 95%
confidence interval derived from the model.  While interference
from non-lead factors did not appear to be a problem with the
State Sodium Sulfide kit on metal, the overall rate of false
positives indicated in Table 5-10 (64%) for metal was not much
lower than for substrates where interference was possible.

     5.2.3.6.5  State Sodium Sulfide on Plaster

     There were 242 observations of the State Sodium Sulfide kit
on plaster, of which 42 were negative and 200 were positive.
Figure 5-32 reveals a high baseline rate of false positives,
estimated at about 26 percent by the model.

     Both the model and the monotone regression give similar,
high estimates of the threshold probability (.949 model and  .997
monotone regression), and both give similar estimates of the
50-percent point (0.024 and 0.031 mg/cm2) .   Accounting for
uncertainty in these estimates with the 95% confidence intervals
reported in Table 5-23,  does not affect the conclusion that the
rate of positives at the 1.0 mg/cm2  standard was high,  and was
above 50 percent for lead levels well below the standard.  All 47
samples with ICP measurements greater than 0.5149 mg/cm2 had
positive results.  The high rate of false positives shown in
Table 5-10  (80%) may reflect both interference from non-lead
factors and sensitivity of the kit to low levels of lead.

     5.2.3.6.6  State Sodium Sulfide on Wood

     There were 388 observations of the State Sodium Sulfide kit
on wood, of which 108 gave negative and 280 gave positive
results.  Figure 5-33 reveals a pronounced peak-dip in the
running mean between 10'2 =  0.01 mg/cm2 and 10'1 = 0.1 mg/cm2 that
adversely affects the fit of the model to the data in the lower
lead range.  The monotone regression was less affected by this
phenomenon.  The high baseline rate of false positives estimated
from the model  (.275) therefore may not precisely describe how
the test kit performed.  Nonetheless, positive results were
obtained on samples with ICP measurements less than 0.001 mg/cm2.
Non-lead factors and/or sensitivity to low levels of lead may
account for the high overall false positive rate  (59%) shown in
Table 5-10.

     Positive results were overwhelmingly prevalent as the lead
level approached the 1.0 mg/cm2 standard.   All 158 sample values

                               5-93

-------
with ICP measurements greater than 0.4725 rag/cm2 had positive
results with the State Sodium Sulfide test kit.

     At higher lead levels the running mean, monotone regression,
and model agree more closely.  The model and monotone regression
give high estimates of the threshold probability  (.950 and .999).
The running mean indicates that the 50-percent point may have
been lower than the model estimate (0.043 mg/cm2) , possibly as
low as 0.01 mg/cm2.

     5.2.3.6.7  Summary of Analysis for State Sodium Sulfide

     The instructions for State Sodium Sulfide warned about the
possibility of obtaining false positive results on painted metal,
but this problem was not as evident on metal as it was on brick,
concrete, plaster, and wood, which all had high baseline rates of
false positives.  Removal of the paint from metal substrates
prior to testing could be the reason for this.  On all substrates
except drywall, the probability of a positive result at a lead
level of 1.0 mg/cm2 may have exceeded 90  percent,  and positive
results were frequent at even much lower levels.  The kit did not
exhibit a tendency to give false negatives at high levels of lead
on any substrate.

     5.2.4     Inference in Percent bv Weight Units

     In section 4.2, it is demonstrated that lead concentration
expressed in area units (milligrams lead per centimeter squared)
and in percent lead by weight of specimen were closely related in
the study, although they are not equivalent.  Both units of
measure are in the form of ratios, with the estimated mass of
lead appearing in both numerators.  The denominator of the area
units ratio is the area of the paint sample analyzed, while that
of the percent by weight units ratio is the mass  of the paint
sample analyzed.

     As discussed in Chapter 4, measurement of the mass of a
paint sample is affected by the inclusion of substrate, which is
a source of error that can vary in magnitude across substrate
types, or even within a particular substrate type under varying
conditions.  Brick, concrete, and  (certain) plaster substrates
were particularly prone to this problem.  The effect of substrate
inclusion is to impart a downward bias to the lead level measured
in percent by weight units.  In contrast, measurement in area
units is much less affected by the problem of substrate
inclusion.
                               5-94

-------
     Table 5-24 gives the results of fitting enhanced logistic
regression models to the test kit data using percent by weight
units.   The confidence intervals for the 50-percent points were
obtained by bootstrapping.  The confidence intervals for the
probability of a positive result at a lead level of 0.5% per
weight  were obtained from the fitted models, except for Lead
Alert:   Coring on all substrates; Lead Detective on concrete; and
State Sodium Sulfide on concrete, for which confidence intervals
were obtained by bootstrapping.  The derivation of confidence
intervals is explained further in section 5.2.6.4.

     Table 4-11 presents regression results demonstrating that
the logarithms of lead levels measured in the two units had
correlations greater than 0.96 on all substrates except metal,
where the correlation was 0.93.  As a result, the OC curves
derived in section 5.2.3 for area units can be used to give a
description of how the test kits performed for lead levels
measured in percent by weight units.  This is done by
transforming area units to percent by weight units using the
regression coefficients presented in Table 4-11.  Let Y represent
the logarithm of lead in percent by weight units; X the logarithm
of lead in area units; and let Y = u + v-X be the linear
regression function of Y on X, where u is the intercept, and v is
the slope.   If the OC curve for the enhanced logistic model in
area units has parameters  (aebfc,d) in the notation used above,
then the OC curve in percent by weight units obtained by the
transformation method has parameters  (a',£>',c',d') computed as
follows:
        a' = a - b-u/v,   bf = b/v,   c' = c,   d' = d.
The two methods are illustrated with LeadCheck on wood
substrates.  Figure 5-34 shows the OC curve obtained by directly
fitting the model in percent by weight units, and the curve
obtained by the transformation method.  Due to the high
correlation between the two units, it is clear that little would
be lost using either estimate as a substitute for the other.

     A less favorable scenario concerns metal substrates, where
the correlation between units at  .93 was weakest.  Direct and
transformation method OC curves are plotted for the State Sodium
Sulfide kit in Figure 5-35.  The source of the discrepancy may be
the grouping represented by metal substrates:  painted metal
surfaces in Denver were frequently encountered outdoors and were
weathered, while those in Philadelphia and Louisville were
usually found indoors with thick layers of paint.  Regressions by
city on metal revealed similar slopes  (0.84 Denver, 0.82
Philadelphia, and 0.89 Louisville) but very different intercepts

                               5-95

-------
Table 5-24.  Results for lead levels in percent by weight units
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert:
corxng
Lead Alert:
sanding
Lead
Detective
Lead Zone
State
Sodium
Sulfide
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Metal
Wood
Concrete
Metal
wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Pb(.50)
0.021
0.155
0.563
0.324
0.141
0.074
0.132
1.14
1.09
0.968
0.877
	
1.68
0.014
0.326
	
0.627
0.584
0.355
0.069
0.487
0.354
1.03
0.437
0.264
0.010
0.010
0.134
0.082
0.021
0.089
95% CI for
Pb(.50)
[.009, .069]
[.055, .358]
[.146, .865]
[.202, .427]
[.027, .322]
[.030, .133]
[.024, .273]
[.395, 2.18]
[.660, 3.02]
[.558, 1.60]
[.444, 7.35]
[1.27, 10.5]
[1.55, 8.97]
1.005, .048]
[.225, 7.38]
	
[.380, 1.35]
[.248, 1.32]
[.228, .750]
[.016, .209]
[.255, 1.22]
1.056, 1.41]
[.704, 1.72]
[.270, 3.04]
[.086, .810]
1.003, .024]
[.001, .051]
[.003, .918]
[.049, .150]
[.005, .065]
[.022, .182]
PROB
0.5%
0.954
0.682
0.484
0.618
0.681
0.829
0.734
0.227
0.261
0.280
0.126
0.052
0.031
0.801
0.547
0.309
0.433
0.464
0.582
0.812
0.507
0.545
0.194
0.533
0.622
0.998
0.931
0.586
0.829
0.909
0.871
95% CI for
PROB
[.718, .994]
[.583, .767]
[.265, .709]
[.425, .781]
[.604, .750]
[.767, .877]
[.558, .858]
[.116, .396]
[.177, .365]
[.201, .376]
[.122, .529]
[.004, .161]
[.001, .081]
[.653, .896]
[.393, .690]
[.183, .471]
[.318, .555]
[.269, .672]
[.497, .663]
[.653, .908]
[.392, .621]
[.353, .725]
[.069, .440]
[.396, .665]
[.556, .684]
[.848, .999]
[.917, .999]
[.421, .734]
[.705, .908]
[.852, .946]
[.782, .926]
                                    5-96

-------
                           KIT = LeadCheck, SUBSTRATE = wood.  N = 388
     o
     a
     O
     £>
     O

     QL
                       direct estimate
                        transformed est.
                                                            0
                             LOG-BASE 10 OF PERCENT LEAD PER WEIGHT
Figure 5-34.    Operating characteristic curve for LeadCheck on wood
                                           5-97

-------
    O
    Q.
.0.
O

O

ol
         0.8
     0.6
         0.4
         0.2
           0
            o
                       KIT = State sodium sulfide, SUBSTRATE = metal.  N =  217
                 Solid  = direct estimate
                 Dotted  = transformed est.

              -2.5
_2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
                             LOG-BASE  10  OF PERCENT LEAD PER  WEIGHT
1.5
Figure 5-35.   Operating characteristic curve for State Sodium Sulfide on metal
                                            5-98

-------
(1.42 Denver, 0.49 Philadelphia, and 0.52 Louisville),  confirming
that the Denver samples were markedly different from samples
taken in Philadelphia and Louisville.

     Because of the weaker association between area and percent
by weight units on metal substrates, OC curves were estimated for
metal by fitting models directly.   Plots of these curves are
shown in Figures 5-36 through 5-41.  Table 5-25 gives the
corresponding model parameters.  Results presented for percent by
weight units are applicable to other situations only insofar that
factors such as substrate inclusion and thickness of paint
samples are similar to the present study.

     5.2.5     Lead Test Kit Performance;  Conclusions

     The enhanced logistic model described important features of
test kit performance, as reflected in the study data, and it did
so in a clearly interpretable manner.  The analyses demonstrated
that no test kit was ideal in all respects,  on any substrate.
Test kits that were likely to give positive results at high
levels of lead were also likely to give positive results at lower
levels of lead as well.  Other kits frequently gave negative
results regardless of the lead level.  The failure of any test
kit to simultaneously give low false positive and low false
negative classification rates, as demonstrated in Tables 5-5
through 5-16, is confirmed with the analyses described in section
5.2,3.

     The observed tendency of some OC curves to level off at
probabilities greater than zero as the lead level diminished
suggests potential interference with the performance of the kits.
Possibilities include chemical interferences from the paint or
substrate, interferences between the color of the paint and color
changes with the kits,  and tester effects.

     5.2.6     Estimation of OC Curves;  Statistical Methodology

     In this section, technical details concerning model
development are presented, and the impact of spatial variation
and laboratory error in ICP measurements on OC curve estimation
is considered.

     5.2.6.1   Model Selection

     A mathematical model for test kit performance should provide
a simple, yet accurate description of its important
characteristics.  To achieve simplicity, certain assumptions

                               5-99

-------
KIT = LeadCheck, SUBSTRATE
1

0.8

0)
8 0.6
a
*o
_x

1 0.4
o
at


0.2




0


50-pct point = 0.324 percent
log(0.324) = -0.490
-
= metal. N = 217

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-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
LOG-BASE 10 OF PERCENT LEAD
Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-36.   Operating  characteristic   curve  for  LeadCheck   on  metal,   in   weight
               concentration units.
                                           5-100

-------
      0)
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      .o.
      o
           0.8
0.6
           0.4
           0.2
                          KIT - Lead Alert:  coring, SUBSTRATE = metal.  N = 217
                 50-pct point = 1,093 percent
                 log( 1.093) = 0.039
                             :*

             0
             -3
          -2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
                                      LOG-BASE  10 OF PERCENT LEAD

             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
1.5
Figure  5-37.   Operating  characteristic curve for Lead Alert:   coring on metal,  in  weight
                concentration units.
                                               5-101

-------
1


0.8
1 0.6
a
o
1 0.4
.0
o
at

0.2



Q
Lead Alert: sanding (excl. Louisville), SUBSTRATE = metal. N = 120
i i i i i i i i
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50 pet point
not estimable
'
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-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5
LOG-BASE 10 OF PERCENT LEAD
Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
Figure 5-38.    Operating characteristic curve for Lead Alert:  sanding on metal,  in weight
               concentration units.
                                           5-102

-------
w
o
o_

•+-
o

X
n
D
.0.
p

£1
          0.8
          0.6
           0.4
           0.2
                            KIT = Lead Detective, SUBSTRATE - metal.  N - 215
                50-pct point = 0.627 percent
                log(0.627) = -0,203
0
 -3
                     -2.5

                        -2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
                                      LOG-BASE 10 OF PERCENT LEAD

             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression,  Asterisks = Running mean
1.5
Figure  5-39.   Operating  characteristic  curve  for Lead  Detective  on  metal,   in  weight
                concentration  units.
                                              5-103

-------
      a>
(/>
o
Q.
JO
D

I
CL
           0.8
           0.6
           0.4
           0.2
                              KIT = Lead Zone,  SUBSTRATE  = metal.  N  = 216
                 50-pct point = 1.031  percent
                 log(1.031) = 0.013
                   /
0
 -3
                     -2.5
                                               *  *
                        -2
-1.5     -1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
                                      LOG-BASE 10 OF PERCENT LEAD

             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
1.5
Figure  5-40.   Operating   characteristic  curve  for   Lead   Zone  on  metal,   in   weight
                concentration  units.
                                              5-104

-------
      0)
      o
      a.
      .0
      D
      JQ
      O
                         KIT = State  Sodium Sulfide,  SUBSTRATE  - metal.  N  = 217
           0.8
0.6
0.4
           0.2
                50-pet point
                log(0.082) =
                     0.082 percent
                    1.085
            0
             -3
          -2.5
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
                                      LOG-BASE 10 OF PERCENT LEAD

             Solid line = Enhanced logistic model, Dotted line = Monotone regression, Asterisks = Running mean
Figure  5-41.   Operating characteristic  curve for  State Sodium Sulfide  on metal,  in weight
                concentration  units.
                                               5-105

-------
Table 5-25. Enhanced Logistic Regressions for Metal in Percent by Weight
          Units.
TEST KIT
LeadCheck
Lead Alert:
Coring
Lead Alert:
Sanding
Lead
Detective
Lead Zone
State Sodium
Sulfide
NEC
92
147
95
123
137
63

POS
125
70
24
92
79
154
MODEL PARAMETERS
c
.236
(.071)
.087
(-036)
.052
.150
(.057)
.191
(.154)
.062
(.118)
d
.706
(.089)
.695
(.101)
.413
.641
(.087)
.635
(.657)
.857
(.198)
a
1.25
(1.27)
0.212
(.682)
-13.9
1.06
(.602)
-0.261
(5.49)
2.96
(2.04)
b
1.57
(.520)
1.90
(.567)
100
1.86
(.547)
7.00
(96.9)
1.17
(.819)
about the data are imposed when a model  is  selected.   The most
basic assumption is that an OC curve should be  a  nondecreasing
function of the lead level.  This section explains  the reasoning
behind the selection of the enhanced logistic regression model
for describing test kit performance.
     5.2.6.1.1
Logistic Regression
     Logistic regression uses the  following mathematical model
for the OC curve:
                      OC( t)  =
                              1 + exp(a + bt)
where a and Jb are coefficients that  are  typically estimated from
the data. Since this functional  form involves  only two
parameters, the richness of the  class of possible curve estimates
is somewhat restricted.  When appropriate,  it  is  a good model
form to use, for several reasons:

  •  The estimated OC(t) is a strictly increasing function of t,
     assuming Jb is positive;

  •  All aspects of the OC curve,  including all probabilities
     calculated from it and the  50-percent  point,  depend solely
     on the two parameters;
                               5-106

-------
  •  Maximum likelihood or least squares estimation of the
     parameters allows the derivation of standard error estimates
     and confidence intervals for many quantities of interest in
     relatively straightforward fashion.

     It was found that letting t denote the logarithm of the lead
level,  instead of the lead level itself, improved the analysis
for several reasons that are elaborated in section 5.2.6.1.3.
All references to logarithms are to natural logarithms (base e «
2.718)  unless otherwise indicated.

     5.2.6.1.2      An Enhanced Logistic Regression Model

     The class of OC curves- -nondecreasing functions of t in the
range 0 to l--is much richer than the class of logistic curves
obtained by varying parameters a and Jb.  As a result, there are
some phenomena that logistic regression cannot describe very
well.  For example, if a kit produces a certain percentage of
positive or negative readings while remaining responsive to the
concentration of lead, its OC curve will remain above zero
probability at the lower end of the lead scale, or below a
probability of one at the higher end.  Both can even occur
simultaneously.  Behavior of this type was often observed in the
study.   Logistic regression cannot adequately describe such
phenomena without changes to the model .

     The following model, while remaining functionally simple,
produces nondecreasing OC curves that describe a broader range of
phenomena than the logistic regression model :
                                1 + expfa -i


This is referred to as the enhanced logistic regression model.
Note that it has two parameters c and d in addition to those
found in the simple logistic model.  By setting c = 0 and d = 1,
the simple model is obtained.  Practical interpretation of the
model parameters is explained in section 5.2.2.1.  Again, t
refers to the (natural) logarithm of the measured lead level.

     The enhanced logistic model does not make provision for the
fact that laboratory ICP measurement cannot perfectly measure the
level of lead in paint.  Detailed consideration of this issue is
given in section 5.2.6.6 below.  The effect of spatial variation
and laboratory error in ICP measurements on the estimated
performance of the test kits was demonstrated not to be
substantial.  Thus, it was possible to make valid inferences from

                              5-107

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the observable relationship between test kit measurements and the
level of lead as measured by ICP.

     A special case that merits attention concerns large values
of parameter b, which governs how sharply the probability of a
positive increases from c at low levels of lead, to c + d at
higher lead levels.  As b approaches infinity, the OC curve
assumes the shape of a step function, which suggests that the
probability of a positive is equal to c for all lead levels below
a certain value, and c + d for all lead levels above.  The lead
level at which the probability changes is called the chanqepoint.
There were three instances where step functions were chosen as
estimates of the OC curve.  They are indicated in the tables of
section 5.2.3 as having Jb = 100, and a equal to minus the
changepoint of the step function (in log-units) times 100.

     5.2.6.1.3      Modeling Based on Logarithms

     The decision to use the logarithm of the lead level, instead
of the lead level itself, was based on several factors:   (1) the
distribution of the logarithms was much closer to symmetric than
that of the lead levels themselves;  (2) variation in ICP
measurements from the true lead levels was easier to handle when
logarithms were taken;   (3) the natural domain of a logistic or
enhanced logistic regression model includes both positive and
negative values.  Although neither the logistic nor the enhanced
logistic regression models requires the taking of logarithms,
using the lead levels themselves may fail to capture salient
features of test kit performance, and estimates may be strongly
influenced by small groups of data at higher lead levels.

     A difficulty posed by the taking of logarithms concerns the
handling of zero lead level readings.  Zeros can be handled in
the enhanced logistic regression model by assigning a probability
of c, which is the lower limit of the OC curve.  Similarly, an
option is to treat all lead levels below a pre-specified, small
value as zeros.  In the study no instances of zero ICP readings
were obtained, due to the recording of the detection limit itself
when very low readings were observed.  The handling of
non-detects is discussed in section 5.2.6.5.

     5.2.6.2   Nonparametric OC Curve Estimation

     Two different nonparametric estimates of the OC curve were
used:  running means and monotone regression.  Both estimates are
briefly described in section 5.2.2.2, and were used primarily to
graphically assess the fit of the enhanced logistic regression

                              5-108

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models to the data.

     The running mean is obtained at a point log(ICP) = t by
averaging zeros (for negatives)  and ones  (for positives) for a
small subset of the data having ICP measurements close to t.  It
gives a "localized"  estimate of the OC curve, and it is not
necessarily a nondecreasing function of t.  Choosing the subset
to have a large amount of data makes the running mean appear
smoother than if a small amount of data is used.  Some of the
resulting smoothness reflects bias, due to the averaging out of
informative features.  On the other hand,  some of the
non-smoothness obtained with a smaller averaging subset is due to
random variability in the data,  which is not informative.  It was
found that using 25 observations in the averaging window (12
values smaller, 12 values larger, plus one at t itself) achieved
a reasonable balance between smoothness and bias for graphical
purposes.

     Towards the endpoints the two-sided averaging window cannot
be used in the manner described.  At the eighth smallest ICP
measurement, for instance, there are 12 larger, but only 7
smaller ICP measurements.  The running average in this instance
was calculated by averaging 20  (12+7+1) ICP measurements in a
restricted window.  Restricted averaging windows were used to
compute the running means at the 12 smallest and 12 largest ICP
measurements, which necessarily introduced "endpoint effects".
These effects arose because the denominators in the restricted
window averages, consisting of the number of observations in the
window, decreased as an endpoint was approached.  To illustrate,
suppose that the samples with the 20 smallest ICP measurements
all had negative results, except for the ninth smallest, which
had a positive result.  The running mean at the eighth smallest
measurement is then 1/20 = 0.05, but at the seventh smallest it
is 1/19, at the sixth smallest 1/18, and the smallest value it is
1/13, or approximately 0.08.  The statistical impact of these
endpoint effects is minimal in large samples.

     Monotone regression is a nonparametric technique that
produces an estimate of the OC curve that is nondecreasing.  It
is obtained by averaging zeros  (negatives) and ones  (positives)
in a way that a nondecreasing step function is obtained.  The
resulting function is "best" in that no other nondecreasing
function can better fit the data, in either a least squares or a
maximum likelihood sense. Monotone regression estimates were
obtained using the "pool adjacent violators" (PAV) algorithm to
minimize the sum of squared errors.  These and other details
concerning monotone regression can be found in Barlow,

                              5-109

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Bartholomew, Bremner and Brunk [8] .

     Monotone regression is also subject to endpoint effects:  if
the sample with the highest ICP measurement had a positive test
kit result, then the monotone regression will be equal to 1 at
that point.  Similarly, if the lowest ICP measurement corresponds
to a negative result, the monotone regression will be equal to
zero at that lead level.  The figures presented in section 5.2.3
attenuate endpoint effects.  To illustrate, suppose that positive
results were obtained corresponding to the 20 largest ICP
measurements.  The fourteenth largest ICP measurement (denoted t)
represents a run of 7 consecutive positives, starting with the
20th largest value.  The unattenuated monotone regression
estimate at t is equal to 1.  The attenuated value is (.95)1/7 =
.993, which is the 95% lower confidence bound for the probability
of a positive result obtained from a sample of size 7 consisting
entirely of positives.  The attenuation is an increasing function
of t, approaching a value of 1 if the run of positives at the
upper endpoint is large.  A similar attenuation scheme was used
at the lower endpoint for runs of negative results.  In both
cases, attenuation was not allowed to violate the tnonotonicity of
the estimated OC curve.

     5.2.6.3   Estimation of Model Parameter and Related
               Quantities

     The coefficients a, b, c and d of the enhanced logistic
model were estimated using nonlinear least squares  (NLS).
Minimization of the sum of squared errors used a Newton-Raphson
iterative algorithm.  Constraints were imposed to ensure that c
did not become negative, and that c + d did not exceed 1.  On
drywall, the constraint c + d = 1 was imposed, because the low
lead levels present on this substrate did not support inferences
of how the test kits performed at high lead levels.  In several
cases where the slope parameter b became large, suggesting a step
function, minimization of the sum of squared errors was instead
performed over the class of all possible step functions.  In no
case where a smooth model estimate is reported did a step
function achieve a smaller sum of squared errors.

     Maximum likelihood  (MLE) was also explored as a method for
estimating the model parameters.  In most cases MLE and NLS
estimates agreed closely.  In several instances MLE was found to
converge to local, nonoptimal solutions, while NLS did not
encounter this difficulty.  The MLE estimates were also sensitive
to the presence of consecutive positive results at the highest
ICP measurements, and to consecutive negatives at the lowest ICP

                              5-110

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values,  which compromised the overall fit of the models to the
data.

    Attributes such as the 50-percent point, or the probability
of a positive result at 1.0 mg/cm2 of  lead,  were obtained
directly from the estimated models,  as functions of the
parameters.   Nonparametric estimates of these attributes were
also obtained using monotone regression.  The tables in section
5.2.3  report  model estimates, with nonparametric estimates
introduced in the narratives.

    5.2.6.4   Standard Errors and Confidence Intervals

    Asymptotically valid standard error estimates for the NLS
estimated parameters were obtained using the Hessian matrix and
gradient vectors obtained upon convergence of the algorithm.  An
estimated parameter plus or minus 2 times its standard error
constitutes an approximate 95% confidence interval.

     It should be noted that the estimated model parameters were
often  highly intercorrelated, which had the effect of inflating
the individual standard error estimates.  This  indicates a
condition where large changes in the model parameters produce
visually similar OC curves.  Under such circumstances, it is
difficult to make meaningful inferences on the  individual
parameters.

    Asymptotic 95% confidence intervals for 50-percent points
and threshold probabilities were obtained using linear
approximations to these quantities, as functions of the model
parameters.  The intervals were first derived on a transformed
scale, and then transformed back to ensure that the confidence
intervals were in the proper range.

     The accuracy of asymptotic standard error  estimates and
confidence intervals was suspect in certain  cases.  This was
particularly true when a step function, or a model with  large
slope parameter Jb approximating a step function, was obtained, or
when the baseline probability parameter c was large.  For this
reason, bootstrap confidence intervals were  also obtained for the
50-percent points and the threshold probabilities.  The  NLS model
estimates were used as the basis for generating 1,000 bootstrap
samples of test kit results.  For the sake of computational
efficiency, monotone regression was used to  estimate the
50-percent point and detection probability for  each bootstrap
sample.  The 2.5th  and  97.5th percentiles of  the  respective
bootstrap quantities were taken as the endpoints of the  95%

                              5-111

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conf i dene e int e rva1s.

     Bootstrap confidence intervals for the 50-percent points
were generally wider than the asymptotic intervals.   The
bootstrap confidence intervals for the threshold probabilities
were, by contrast, generally narrower, especially when the
estimated probabilities approached 1.  For 50-percent points, the
bootstrap confidence intervals are reported, except for drywall,
where the asymptotic intervals are reported.  For threshold
probabilities, the asymptotic confidence intervals are reported,
except where the model estimate has the form of a step function
(Lead Alert:  Sanding, on concrete and metal; Lead Detective on
concrete), or where the value of the estimated model parameter c
is greater than 0.3 (Lead Detective on plaster; State Sodium
Sulfide on concrete).

     The asymptotic confidence intervals for 50-percent points
and threshold probabilities accounted for the correlations
between estimated model parameters, and as a result they usually
suggest less variability than the standard errors of the
parameters themselves.  The same is true of the bootstrap
confidence intervals,  for which variability in the OC curves,
rather than in a set of model parameters used to represent them,
is important.  For these reasons, variability in estimated OC
curves is better inferred from the confidence intervals than from
standard errors assigned individually to the model parameters.

     5.2.6.5   The Treatment of Non-detects

     Of the 1,290 sample locations where paint chip samples were
analyzed for lead content, 54  (4.2%) had ICP measurements below
the detection limit.  The following breakdown demonstrates that
the non-detects occurred most frequently on drywall substrates:

          Substrate      Total     Non-detects
          Brick            93            6
          Concrete        226           10
          Drywall         124           16
          Metal           217            3
          Plaster         242           10
          Wood            388            9

     The enhanced logistic regression model was applied to data
using the non-detects, for which the recorded detection limits
were taken as the ICP measurements.  A detailed explanation of
non-detects and the meaning of the detection limit is presented
in Chapter 4.  In essence, a non-detected ICP measurement

                              5-112

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represented information that the measured lead level was less
than or equal  to the detection limit.

     The effect of handling non-detects in this manner was
explored by comparing test kit modeling results for brick
substrates to  results obtained by (1)  deleting the non-detects
from the analysis,  and (2)  setting the non-detects equal to zero.
Although drywall had a higher percentage of non-detects than
brick,  the absence of ICP measurements above 1.0 rag/cm2 made it
difficult to infer how the test kits would perform at moderate to
high lead levels,  regardless of how non-detects were used.  Brick
had the next highest percentage of non-detects, and it
represented a  wide range of lead levels in the study.

     Deletion  of non-detects had the greatest impact on the model
estimates for  the State Sodium Sulfide kit, where the parameter
estimates changed from c = .234, d = . 766, a. = 4.382, b = .976
before  deletion (93 observations)  to c =  .305, d =  .695, a  =
4.312,  Jb = 1.034 after deletion (87 observations).  The
implications of this change for lead levels above 0.01 mg/cm2 are
not substantial.  For example, at a lead level of .05 mg/cm2 the
estimated probability of a positive result decreased from .855 to
.841 when the  non-detects were deleted.  The effect of deletion
on models fit  to the other four test kits  (Lead Alert:  Sanding
was excluded,  as explained in section 5.2.3.3) was smaller.

     Deletion  was not a preferred option, because of the
resulting loss of information.  Setting non-detects to zero
entails assigning these observations a model probability of c in
NLS estimation.  This had the greatest effect on the model
estimates for  LeadCheck, where the original parameter estimates
of c =  0, d =  .988, a = 3.005, b = .687 changed to c =  .106, d =
.870, a = 3.404, Jb = .906.  The practical effect of this change
is small for lead levels above 0.05 mg/cm2,  for which the
estimated probability of a positive was  .712 originally, and  .685
with the non-detects treated as zeros.  The other four test kits
exhibited smaller changes when the non-detects were treated as
zeros.

     The use of the detection limit as the ICP measurement  for
non-detect paint chip samples, as was done in the analyses
presented in section 5.2, allowed these samples to be treated  in
a manner consistent with their indicated  low lead levels.   The
above exercises demonstrate that estimation of important aspects
of test kit performance was not critically affected by this
designation.
                              5-113

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     5.2.6.6   The Impact of Spatial Variation and Laboratory
               Error in ICP Measurements on Model Estimation

     In linear regression, it is well known that regressing onto
a variable measured with error produces biased estimates of the
regression parameters.  The presence of error dulls the apparent
relationship between the response variable and the "true"
regressor.  The same is true in both the simple and enhanced
logistic models:  measuring the true lead level with error
produces biased estimates of the model parameters.  The effect of
the bias is to produce OC curves that are somewhat flattened out.
The larger the errors, the greater this effect becomes.

     The true concentrations of lead were not available, since
the laboratory measurements, while more precise than other types
of measurement, were affected both by laboratory error and
spatial variation, and therefore cannot be regarded as perfectly
accurate.  Work reported in Chapter 4 established a model in
which the standard deviation (SD) of the combined error is
proportional to the true lead concentration.  Taking logarithms
converts this model to one with additive errors.  Accounting for
laboratory error alone suggested an SD equal to about 0.125.
Accounting for spatial variation in addition to laboratory error
increased the SD to a magnitude in the range 0.2 to 0.4, using
the results reported in Table 4-23.

     There is a small volume of statistical literature on
estimating logistic regression parameters with errors in the
regression variables.  Most of this work was conducted within the
last ten years, and it is still an active topic of statistical
research.  Some references on the measurement error problem in
logistic regression are listed in Chapter 8.  A recent reference
is Stefanski and Carroll  [9], who used a two-stage estimation
procedure based on an adjustment of the regression variables.  A
slightly different approach was taken in Whittemore and Keller
[10], wherein the parameter estimates, as opposed to the
variables, were adjusted for the effects of measurement error.
The Whittemore-Keller estimator was cited by Stefanski  [11] as a
refinement of his earlier method.

     Although the techniques presented in the literature vary
somewhat in their approaches to undoing the bias caused by
measurement error, they share certain common features.  Perhaps
the most important is a recognition that reduction of the bias
comes at the price of increasing the standard errors of the
estimated parameters.  This places the measurement error problem
in the framework of a bias-variance tradeoff that is encountered

                              5-114

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in many different kinds of statistical problems.  The practical
effect of this tradeoff is to make full bias correction a less
than optimal strategy, which is reflected in both the
Stefanski-Carroll and the Whittemore-Keller estimators.
Generally,  the amount of bias reduced increases as the sample
size becomes larger.  Several researchers have suggested that no
bias correction is best in smaller samples.

     Experience from simulations on the test kit data suggests
that the amount of bias reduction can be 50 percent or less using
the Whittemore-Keller estimator with measurement error standard
deviations as large as 0.5.  Published work suggests that the
Stefanski-Carroll estimator should behave in a similar manner.
Applying the Whittemore-Keller estimator to the test kit data
usually produced only small changes in the parameter estimates,
and even smaller changes in quantities (probabilities, 50-percent
points)  derived from the estimated models.

     The foregoing discussion applies only to the simple logistic
model, not to the enhanced model that is more appropriate for use
on the test kit data.  Correcting for error introduced by the
substitution of ICP measurements for true lead levels in the
enhanced model does not appear to be straightforward.  Still,
experience with the Whittemore-Keller estimator in the simple
logistic model suggested that the amount of bias correction that
the data could support would likewise be small.

     To assess measurement error bias in the enhanced logistic
model, a small Monte Carlo experiment was conducted on six test
kit-substrate combinations.  The enhanced logistic model was fit
to each set of data  (regarded as the zero-measurement error
case), and to the data with random normal measurement errors
added to the log(ICP) values.  Ten simulations were conducted for
measurement error standard deviations equal to 0.15, 0.30, and
0.60,  and the enhanced model estimates for the simulated data
sets were averaged.  The differences between the zero-error
estimates and the simulation averages gave an indication of the
degree of bias resulting from measurement error.

     Table 5-26 summarizes the results of this study.  It should
be noted that what may seem to be large changes in the model
parameters a, b,  c, and d do not necessarily portend large
changes in the probabilities derived from the model, or in the
estimated levels of lead that achieve a 50 percent probability of
a positive test kit reading.  In particular, the estimated
probability of a positive reading at a lead concentration equal
to 1.0 mg/cm2 changed very little in all  six cases as the

                              5-115

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Table 5-26. Results of Monte Carlo experiment to assess the effect of measurement error
          on enhanced logistic model estimates.  Based on 10 simulated normal  samples
          per error level.
KIT
Lead
Check
Lead
Alert
Coring
Lead
Alert
Sanding
Lead
Detective
Lead Zone
State
Sodium
Sulfide
SOB
Concrete
Brick
Metal
Wood
Plaster
Concrete
SAMPLE
SIZE


226



93

118
388
242
224

SCENARIO
Original data
SD=0.15
SD=0.30
SD=0.60
Original data
SD=0 . 15
SD=0.30
SD=0.60
Original data
SD=0.15
SD=0.30
30=0.60
Original data
SD=0.15
SD=0.30
SD=0.60
Original data
SD=0.15
SD=0.30
SD=0.60
Original data
SD=0.15
SD-0.30
SD=0.60
MODEL
e
.096
.093
.107
.070
.180
.182
.177
.171
.035
.031
.031
.015
.099
.097
.098
.095
.036
.035
.018
.016
.410
.403
.327
.318
d
.904
.908
.893
.930
.820
.818
.823
.829
.965
.969
.954
.954
.901
.903
.902
.905
.964
.965
.980
.966
.590
.597
.673
.682
a
.701
.701
.680
.655
1.252
1.194
1.139
.972
-1.227
-1.212
-1.212
-1.102
1.121
1.109
1.111
1.033
-0.134
-0.130
-0.129
-0.158
2.531
2.533
2.463
2.401
b
.539
.534
.556
.476
1.383
1.353
1.255
1.051
.682
.635
.652
.506
.810
.799
.795
.733
.560
.563
.503
.448
.950
.935
.801
.777
Pb(.SO)
mg/CJtt2
.184
.183
.189
.180
.293
.296
.282
.265
5.448
6.174
6.852
12.684
.191
.189
.189
.183
1.113
1.112
1.217
1.474
.011
.011
.010
.008
PROB AT
Pb = 1
ing/ cm2
.700
.699
.700
.682
.818
.809
.799
.772
.254
.253
.251
.252
.779
.776
.776
.762
.486
.486
.477
.460
.957
.956
.947
.943
      measurement error SD was  increased to 0.60.   In five of the six
      cases the same conclusion held for the estimated 50 percent
      point,  with the exception of Lead Alert sanding on metal,  where
      the estimate increased  from 5.448 to 12.684 mg/cm2  as the
      measurement error SD increased from 0 to 0.6.   The effect was
      less severe when it is  considered that the original estimate was
      outside of the range of the data, making it unreliable  even in
      the absence of measurement error.  An approximate 95% confidence
                                     5-116

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interval,  calculated at 0.692 to 42.927 mg/cm2  from the  original
data,  contained all of the simulation averages.

     Again,  it is emphasized that a bias correction methodology
could not  be expected to correct for all of the bias indicated in
the experiment.  This and the apparently small order of bias
suggested  by the Monte Carlo experiment for quantities of
interest support the conclusion that the use of the enhanced
logistic model, without accounting for the effect of error caused
by substituting ICP measurements for the true lead levels,
allowed valid inferences to be drawn about the sensitivity of the
test kits  to the true amount of lead present in paint.

     5.3  EFFECT OF DARKNESS OF SHADE (GREY-TO-BLACK) ON
          PERFORMANCE OF THE SULFIDE KITS

     For the two sodium sulfide kits, information was collected
in the field on the darkness of the positive tests, which may
range from light grey to black.  In Louisville, the testers were
asked to note and record whether the color was grey or black.  In
Denver and Philadelphia, a series of five boxes shaded from light
grey to black was provided on the data collection form for each
location,  and the testers were asked to mark the box which most
closely approximated the test result.  The shades were
categorized as 1 (light grey) to 5  (black).  Thus, the
information from Denver and Philadelphia is more accurate and
comprehensive than the Louisville information.  Therefore, only
the Denver and Philadelphia shade information will be analyzed.
The results of this analysis address the study objective to
characterize the relationship between test kit results and the
actual lead level in the paint.

     Table 5-27 presents summary statistics for Lead Detective in
mg/cm2,  for  Denver  and Philadelphia combined,  by shade category,
and for positive and negative results overall.  The last line of
the table shows the percentile represented by the 1.0 mg/cm2
federal standard for each category.  Table 5-28 shows the same
information for State Sodium Sulfide  (note that the shade = 5
category is missing for this kit because the tester never
selected the darkest shade on the form).  Tables 5-29 and 5-30
present summary statistics for Lead Detective and State Sodium
Sulfide in percent lead by weight.  Figures 5-42 and 5-43 give a
graphical depiction of the distributions by shade category for
mg/cm2 and Figures  5-44 and 5-45 give a graphical depiction of
the distributions by shade category for percent lead by weight.
The vertical axes are on the natural logarithm scale.  Central
tendency is represented by the median, and shade =  0 represents

                              5-117

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Table 5-27. Summary Statistics for Lead Detective in mg/cm2 for Denver and Philadelphia
            Combined,  by Shade Category,  and for Positive and Negative Results Overall.
SUMMARY
STATISTICS
N
Mean
Median
25th percent ile
75th percentile
Minimum
Maximum
1 . 0 mg/cm2 percentile
KIT RESULT
Neg
688
0.64
0.09
0.008
0.31
0.0001
34.09
0.92
Pos
500
1.76
0.41
0.092
1.52
0.0001
37.29
0.68
SHADE CATEGORY
1
127
1.33
0.15
0.046
0.51
0.0001
22.28
0.87
2
130
0.95
0.32
0.088
0.77
0.0003
13.45
0.78
3
114
1.74
0.65
0.206
2.03
0.0009
15.09
0.60
4
53
3.66
0.91
0.138
2.41
0.0015
37.29
0.53
5
23
5.59
2.64
0.659
8.29
0.0317
24.77
0.35
Table 5-28. Summary Statistics for State Sodium Sulfide in mg/cm2 for Denver and
            Philadelphia Combined,  by Shade Category,  and for Positive  and Negative
            Results Overall.
SUMMARY
STATISTICS
N
Mean
Median
25th percentile
75th percentile
Minimum
Maximum
1.0 mg/cm2 percentile
KIT RESULT
Neg
320
0.07
0.008
0.002
0.07
0.0001
3.77
0.99
Pos
868
1.49
0.323
0.106
1.00
0.0002
37.29
0.75
SHADE CATEGORY
1
419
0.45
0.190
0.055
0.38
0.0002
30.58
0.95
2
282
1.92
0.418
0.184
1.41
0.0003
34.09
0.70
3
129
2.35
1.494
0.620
2.39
0.0025
18.21
0.35
4
28
8.24
2.483
1.430
15.92
0.2244
37.29
0.18
5*
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
* The State Sodium Sulfide test kit sampler never selected the shade 5 category.
                                          5-118

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fable 5-29. Summary Statistics for Lead Detective in Percent by Weight for Denver and
          Philadelphia Combined, by Shade Category, and for Positive and Negative
          Results Overall.
SUMMARY
STATISTICS
1
Bean
Median
25th percent ile
75th percentile
Minimum
-Maximum
0.5% by wt percentile
KIT RESULT
Neg
688
0.421
0.120
0.019
0.277
0.0005
12.161
0.86
Pos
500
1.764
0.394
0.124
1.971
0.0007
34.559
0.54
SHADE CATEGORY
1
127
0.421
0.120
0.019
0.277
0.0005
12.161
0.75
2
130
1.024
0.292
0.107
1.284
0.0021
9.685
0.65
3
114
1.670
0.785
0.222
2.274
0.0007
14.828
0.43
4
53
3.551
1.510
0.138
4.388
0.0012
34.192
0.40
5
23
7.097
3.737
1.054
7.073
0.019
34.559
0.22
teble 5-30. Summary Statistics for State Sodium Sulfide in Percent by Weight for Denver
          and Philadelphia Combined, by Shade Category, and for Positive and Negative
          Results Overall.
SUMMARY
STATISTICS
N
Hean
Median
25th percentile
75th percentile
Jlinimum
Maximum
0.5% by wt percentile
KIT RESULT
Keg
320
0.130
0.026
0.004
0.111
0.0005
6.491
0.96
Pos
868
1.302
0.280
0.120
1.120
0.0006
34.559
0.64
SHADE CATEGORY
1
419
0.397
0.179
0.067
0.309
0.0006
9.402
0.87
2
282
1.366
0.379
0.154
1.535
0.0011
14.828
0.56
3
129
2.325
1.605
0.617
3.531
0.0022
19.153
0.22
4
28
9.371
4.593
1.756
16.199
0.403
34.559
0.11
5"
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
* The State Sodium Sulfide test kit sampler never selected the shade 5 category.
                                         5-119

-------
          LEAD DETECTIVE:  LEAD  by  SHADE  CATEGORY
                     Denver and Philadelphia Combined
             ing/cm  sq
              54.5982

              20.0855 :

               7.3891 :

               2.7183 :

               1.0000 :

              '0.3579 :

               0.1353 :

               0.0498 :

               0.0183 J

               0.0067 :

               0.0025 :

               0.0009 :

               0.0003 ~.

               o.oooi :

               0.0000 :
                             0

                             N=
                            688
                  127
N=
130
N=
114
 4


53
5


23
                                     Shade Category

                         Lead presented in area measurements:  mg/cm sq
Figure  5-42:
The bottom and top edges of the box are located at the sample
25th and the 75th per cent iles.  The center horizontal  line in the
box is  drawn at the sample 50th percentile (median) .  The
vertical line extending above and below the  box is drawn to the
maximum and minimum sample values.  Shade categories are
tabulated from reported test kit  results.  The "0" (zero)
category represents the reported  negative results.  Shade
categories "1" through "5" are categories of positive results.
Since positive results are indicated by a color change,
categories "1" through n5" are a  gradation of color changes with
category "1" being the lightest color change (i.e., light grey)
and "5" being the strongest color change (i.e., black).  The
sample  sizes appear below the shade category labels.
                                    5-120

-------
STATE SODIL
De
mg/cm sq
54. 5982 -
20. 0855 T
7. 3891 -;
2. 7183 -;
i. ODOO :
0.3579 •:
0. 1353 :
0. 0498 :
0. 0183 -j
0. 0067 :
0. 0025 -j
0.0009^
o. 0003 -i
o.oooi -i
o. oooo -
JM SULFIDE: LEAD by SHADE CATEGORY
nver and Philadelphia Combined




















































































1 1 1 1 I II
012345
N= H= N= N= N= N=
320 419 282 129 28 0
Shade Category

Lead presented in area measurements: mg/cm sq
Figure 5-43:
The bottom and top edges of the box are located at the sample
25th and the 75th percentiles.   The  center  horizontal  line in the
box is drawn at the sample 50th percentile (median).  The
vertical line extending above and below the box is drawn to the
maximum and minimum sample values.  Shade categories are
tabulated from reported test kit results.  The "0" (zero)
category represents the reported negative results.  Shade
categories "1" through "5" are categories of positive results.
Since positive results are indicated by a color change,
categories "1" through "5" are a gradation of color changes with
category "1" being the lightest color change  (i.e., light grey)
and "5" being the strongest color change  (i.e., black).  The
sample sizes appear below the shade category labels.
                                     5-121

-------
         LEAD  DETECTIVE: LEAD by SHADE CATEGORY
                     Denver  and Philadelphia Combined
            Percent
            54.5982 -

            20. 0855 -j

              7. 3891 •:

              2.7183 :

              i.oooo :

              0. 3579 •:

              0.1353 :

              0.0498 :

              0.0183

              0.0067 -

              0. 0025 •:

              0. 0009 •;

              0.0003 :







ill 1 1 1 1
012345
                            H=     N=    N=    N=    N=    N=
                           688   127   130   114    53    23

                                    Shade Category

                   Lead is measured as percent by weight
Figure 5-44:
The bottom and top edges of the box are located at the sample
25th and the 75th percentiles.  The center horizontal line in the
box is  drawn at the  sample 50th percentile (median) .  The
vertical line extending above and below the  box is drawn to the
maximum and minimum  sample values.  Shade categories are
tabulated from reported test kit results.  The "0" (zero)
category represents  the reported negative results.  Shade
categories "1" through "5" are categories of positive results.
Since positive results are indicated by a color change,
categories "1" through "5" are a gradation of color changes with
category "1" being the lightest color change {i.e., light grey)
and "5" being the strongest color change (i.e., black).  The
sample  sizes appear  below the shade category labels.
                                    5-122

-------
STATE SOD
r
Percent
54. 5982 -
20. 0855 -:
7. 3891 -:
2. 7183 ~
1. 0000 •:
0. 3579 -:
0. 1353 7
0. 0498 -j
0. 0183 -:
0. 0067 -;
0. 0025 -:
0. 0009 -_
0. 0003 -
IUM SULFIDE: LEAD by SHADE CATEGORY
enver and Philadelphia Combined








































































ii ii
012345
N= N= N= N= N= N=
320 419 282 129 28 0
Shade Category

Lead measured as percent by weight
Figure 5-45:
The bottom and top edges of the box are located at the sample
25"1 and the 75th  percentiles.   The  center  horizontal  line  in  the
box is drawn at the sample 50th percentile  (median).  The
vertical line extending above  and below the box is drawn to the
maximum and minimum sample values.  Shade categories are
tabulated from reported test kit results.  The "0" (zero)
category represents the reported negative results.  Shade
categories "1" through "5" are categories of positive results.
Since positive results are indicated by a color change,
categories "1" through "5" are a gradation of color changes with
category "1" being the lightest color change  (i.e., light grey)
and "5" being the strongest color change  (i.e., black).  The
sample sizes appear below the  shade category labels.
                                      5-123

-------
the negatives for each kit.

     Comparisons between the results for lead measured in area
units (Tables 5-27 and 5-28  and Figures 5-42 and 5-43)  to the
results for lead measured as a percent by weight (Tables 5-29 and
5-30 and Figures 5-44 and 5-45) show many similarities.  For
example, for Lead Detective, the means and medians are similar
when comparing the shade category results.  Likewise, the means
and medians are similar for the State kit.  Several other
observations can be made based on the tables and figures and are
given below.

     The median lead level for both kits increases as the shade
darkens from 1 to 5.  The median level for the negative results
is also lower than for shade =1.  A similar pattern is shown by
the means/ although shade = 2 for Lead Detective has a lower mean
than shade = 1.  Thus, it is clear that, on average, the darker
shades on the sulfide kits do represent higher levels of lead in
the paint.

     The maximum values of the negative results of the two test
kits are very different.  The maximum value of the negative
results for the State test kit is 3.77 mg/cm2 while 34.09 mg/cm2
is the maximum negative result for the Lead Detective test kit.

     When one focuses on the extremes of the distribution, the
relationship between lead level and shade is much less clear.
The minimum lead level represented by each shade category does
not change appreciably until the darkest shade  (5 for Lead
Detective, 4 for State Sodium Sulfide) is reached.  Also, the
percentile represented by 1.0 mg/cm2 is at least 35% for all
shade categories except shade = 4 for State Sodium Sulfide.  This
means that even the darker shades for these kits have a
significant false positive problem.  Likewise, the maximum lead
level appears unrelated to the shade.

     The operating characteristics of the kits would be changed
dramatically if one or more of the lighter shades were counted as
negative.  For the State kit, if one were to count shade = 1 as a
negative rather than as a positive, the false positive rate for
the kit would be reduced from 67%  (Denver and Philadelphia
combined) to 26%, while the false negative rate would be
increased from 1% to 11%.  However, this would then make the
State kit unreliable as a negative screen, while the false
positive rate remains too high for use as a positive screen.  If
one were to treat both shade = 1 and shade = 2 as negatives, the
false positive rate declines to 6% and the false negative rate

                              5-124

-------
increases to 50%,  making the kit effective as a positive screen.
To make Lead Detective effective as a positive screen, shade = 1,
2 or 3 must be treated as negative, resulting in false positive
rate of 6% and a false negative rate of 67%.

     Another possibility is to treat one or more of the lighter
shades as inconclusive subject to laboratory confirmation.  For
the State kit, treating shade = 1 and shade = 2 as inconclusive
would give a kit with low rates of both false positive  (6%) and
false negative (1%),  at the expense of a very high rate of
inconclusive  (59%).  For Lead Detective the false negative rate
cannot be reduced below 26%.  This approach is not useful for
testing because the error rates are not greatly reduced and the
number of inconclusive results is large.
                               5-125

-------
    Chapter 6 Summary;  Analysis of XRF Testing Data

Most  K-shell  instruments  exhibited relatively  high
variability, even  for  paint with low levels  of lead.
The amount of variability was sometimes related to the
level of lead in the sample.

Biases  of  most K-shell  instruments  were  strongly
substrate dependent.

With the exception of  the XL prototype,  test results
using  L-shell  instruments  exhibited large  negative
biases  at  the 1.0 mg/cm2  threshold.   However,  test
results using L-shell  instruments were  less  variable
than results obtained using K-shell instruments.

The XL  results showed  smaller biases at  1.0 mg/cm2
than  results  of the other  L-shell instruments,  but
still  showed  large  negative  biases  at higher  lead
levels.

Substrate correction obtained using readings  for NIST
SRM paint films placed on test location areas scraped
bare  of paint  reduced bias  for results  using  the
Microlead  I and the  XK-3,  and for  the MAP-3  K-shell
instrument results on metal and wood substrates.   The
already  low bias  of   the  Lead  Analyzer's   K-shell
results was unchanged.

With the exception of  the XK-3 and  the MAP-3  on some
substrates, substrate  correction using  readings  for
NIST  SRM paint  films   placed  on control  blocks  of
substrate  materials brought   to the  site  was  not
effective  in   reducing biases  of  K-shell  readings
attributable to substrates.

No method  of  substrate correction  reduced  bias  of
L-shell readings.

-------
  Chapter 6  Summary;  Analysis of XRF Testing Data (continued)

•   Despite the  generally high variability  and bias of
    their  results,  K-shell  XRF   instruments  reliably
    classified the paint samples in this study using  the
    federal  threshold  of 1.0  mg/cm2,  with laboratory
    confirmation  of  XRF  readings  between  0.4  and  1.6
    mg/cm2  and  correction  of  biases  attributable  to
    substrates as needed.

•   When the laboratory confirmation range was narrowed to
    0.7 to 1.3 mg/cm2,  thereby substantially  reducing  the
    inconclusive  percentages,   the K-shell   instruments
    continued to reliably classify paint samples  in this
    study.

•   Without a laboratory  confirmation range,  the  K-shell
    instruments'  performance  differed  when  classifying
    paint  samples  in  this  study using   the   federal
    threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2.

•   With  the exception  of  the XL,  L-shell  instruments
    performed poorly when classifying paint using the  1.0
    mg/cm2 threshold,  because  of  a high  rate  of  false
    negative results.

•   Although the  XL  prototype  had a lower rate of  false
    negative results than the other L-shell  instruments,
    it still exhibited false negative results at very high
    lead  levels.

•   Generally,  a single XRF reading  at  one  point  of an
    architectural  component  provided  almost   as  much
    accuracy as  an average  of  three XRF readings at  the
    same  point.

-------
6    ANALYSIS OF XRF TESTING DATA

     Analysis results and discussion of X-Ray Fluorescence (XRF)
instrument performance are provided in this chapter to address
the following study objectives:

  •  to characterize the performance (precision and accuracy) or
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions
  •  to evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from material (the substrate) underlying the paint
  •  to investigate XRF measurements that were very different
     than their corresponding laboratory results
  •  to evaluate field quality assurance and control methods.

     There were six XRF instruments that were evaluated in this
study.   These were the Lead Analyzer manufactured by TN
Technologies, Inc.; the MAP-3 manufactured by Scitec Corporation;
the Microlead I (ML I) revision 4 manufactured by Warrington,
Inc.; the X-MET 880 manufactured by Outokumpu Electronics; the
XK-3 manufactured by Princeton Gamma-Tech, Inc.; and the XL
prototype manufactured by Niton Corporation.

     This chapter provides a description of the various XRF data
that were collected and the statistical analysis methods used to
analyze these data.  Results of the statistical analysis are
presented.   Section 6.4 is the heart of the chapter.  Readers
interested primarily in bias and precision estimates for XRF
instruments may proceed directly to that section.

     The seven sections of the chapter are as follows.  Section
6.1 describes the data that were collected and defines the
variables used in the statistical analyses.  Section 6.2 provides
descriptive statistics for the standard and control data
collected in Louisville, Denver, and Philadelphia.  Section 6.3
provides a description of the methodology used to detect outliers
with a discussion of the results.  Section 6.4 presents
parametric estimates of the accuracy of XRF instruments including
estimates of XRF instrument bias and precision.  This section
also compares results for a single XRF reading versus an average
of three readings and examines the difference between readings
corrected for substrate interference versus those that were not.
Presented next in section 6.5 is a comparison of different types
of XRF measurements (single reading versus average and corrected
versus uncorrected) using classification analysis results,
including estimates of the effect that ICP measurement error has
on these classification results.  Estimates of false positive and
false negative rates when compared to the laboratory result

                               6-1

-------
classified against the 1.0 mg/cm2  federal  standard are presented.
Section 6.6 presents a discussion on effects related to changing
from one substrate to another.  Section 6.7 provides descriptive
statistics for the "special" and non-standard data collected in
Louisville, Denver, and Philadelphia.

     6.1   DATA DESCRIPTION

     The descriptive statistics provided in this section address
the following study objectives:

  •  to characterize the performance  (precision and accuracy) or
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions
  •  to evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from material  (the substrate) underlying the paint
  •  to evaluate field quality assurance and control methods.

     For the lead-based paint measurement study, data in the form
of XRF readings were collected at locations in three cities as
was described in previous chapters.  The Lead Analyzer, MAP-3,
Microlead I revision 4, X-MET 880, XK-3, and XL were used in the
full study in Denver and Philadelphia.  The XL instruments used
in this study were prototype models.  Four of the six instrument
types were used in the pilot study in Louisville: the MAP-3,
Microlead I revision 4, X-MET 880, and XK-3.  Data were first
collected at a site in Louisville from March 30 through April 2,
1993.  Since this was a pilot study, a relatively small amount of
data was collected and analyzed.  The results of the analysis
provided information for planning the data collection for the
full study.  As a result, the data collection protocol was
modified after the pilot study and before the full study work
began.  The full study was  completed  in Denver in August, 1993
followed by XRF data collection in Philadelphia in October,  1993.

     The datasets used for  the statistical analyses consisted of
different  subsets of the full dataset.  This section describes
the data and how they were  categorized to form the analysis
datasets.  To understand the  analysis dataset descriptions,  a
brief description of how the  data were collected is necessary.
This is particularly true since the  data  collection protocol used
in the pilot study  differed from  that used in the full study,
creating many types of data.   Some data collected in the pilot
study are  not directly comparable to data collected in the  full
study.  However, many of the  data are directly comparable and are
included  in the analysis datasets.

     The XRF instruments differed in the  way results are

                                6-2

-------
displayed.  Two XRF instruments truncated readings,  four  XRF
instruments reported negative readings, and  one  instrument,  the
Microlead I revision 4, reported readings as running averages.
(The Microlead I revision 4 Instruction Guide [12] provides  a
description of how the Microlead I displayed these averages).
The XK-3 and the XL instruments truncated readings at high lead
levels;  the XK-3 truncated at 10.0 mg/cm2 and the XL  truncated  at
5.0 mg/cm2.   The four instruments that reported negative readings
were the Lead Analyzer, MAP-3, Microlead I revision  4,  and XK-3
instruments.  The XL instrument truncated all negative readings
at 0.00  cm/mg2.   The X-MET 880 did not report negative values.
The X-MET 880 used in Louisville reported zero values,  but the
instrument used in Denver and Philadelphia did not report zero
results.  Hence, it was unclear whether this instrument truncated
at zero.  For some analyses presented  in subsequent  sections of
this report, truncated readings were excluded.   Methodology
descriptions will indicate when this occurs.

     As  stated above, the Microlead I  revision 4 reported
readings as running averages.  For this XRF  instrument only,
multiple readings were obtained with a single depression  of  the
trigger.  Nominal 15-second readings were displayed  and recorded
by the instrument in succession as running averages.   Most of  the
time for this study, three readings were required as described in
the study testing protocol.  For this  case,  the  trigger on the
instrument was depressed until three successive  readings  were
displayed and recorded.  The first displayed reading was  a single
reading rather than an average.  The reading displayed second was
regarded as the average of the first two readings and the reading
displayed third was regarded as the average  of all three
readings.  For some sampling locations in Louisville, four
readings were required  (see chapter 3, section 5.2.7). For  this
case, the trigger on the instrument was held until four
successive readings were displayed and recorded.  The first  three
readings were as described above.  The reading displayed  fourth
was regarded as the average of all four readings. These  readings
were always reduced to single readings prior to  data analysis
using the following formulas:
                Fourth reading=4*4"display-3*3rddisplay
                 Third ieading= 3 *llddisplay- 2 *2nddisplay
                 Second reading^ 2 *2nddisplay- istdisplay
                 First reading=lscdisplay


Several specific types of XRF data were collected.   All of these
types of data are XRF readings that can be  categorized as one of
the following four data types:


                               6-3

-------
        • standard,
        • control,
        • special,  and
        • non-standard.

     Differences and similarities between the pilot study data
and the full study data along with descriptions of the field and
analysis data are provided in the following five sections.
Sections 6.1.1 through 6.1.4 provide descriptions of the
standard, control,  special, and non-standard data, respectively.
Section 6.1.5 describes the analysis datasets.

     6.1.1 Standard Data Description

     Standard data refers to data collected using the standard
data collection protocol and constitutes the bulk of the XRF
data.  There are two types of standard readings, each being a
single nominal 15-second reading1.   A more detailed discussion
of nominal reading times was presented in chapter 3.  One type of
standard reading is the nominal 15-second reading taken on the
painted surface of the sampling location.  The other type of
standard reading is the nominal 15-second XRF reading taken on
the bare substrate covered with a red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM
film.  A set of standard readings is defined to be six nominal
15-second readings taken at the same sampling location:  three on
the painted surface and three on the bare substrate covered by
the red NIST SRM film.  These will be referred to as the first,
second, and third standard paint readings and the first, second,
and third red NIST SRM readings.  Note that the numbered order is
the order in which the readings were actually taken.

     Standard readings were taken from August 4 through August
19, 1993 in Denver and October 11 through October 25, 1993 in
Philadelphia with all six XRF instrument types.  Standard
readings were taken from March 30 through April 2,  1993 with the
Microlead I revision 4 and XK-3 in Louisville.  The readings
taken by the MAP-3 and X-MET 880 in Louisville are  not defined as
standard readings.  The MAP-3 data that were collected in
Louisville are not standard readings because, according to the
pilot study data collection protocol, nominal 60-second readings
were taken at each sampling location  instead of nominal 15-second
     Nominal reading time  is  an XRF instrument surface exposure
 and X-ray data collection time  that is based on a new, non-decayed,
 radiation source.  Nominal reading times used in this study were  15
 seconds, 60  seconds, and 240 seconds.
                                6-4

-------
readings.   The X-MET 880 in Louisville made nominal 15-second
readings;  however,  the instrument in the pilot study, with a
cadmium (Cd109)  source,  behaved differently from the instrument
used in the full study which had a curium  (Cm244)  source.   The
reason for the observed differences between the X-MET 880
instruments is unknown; however, it seems plausible that
different  sources could give different results.  Section 6.4 of
this chapter provides a comparison of the results from the two
X-MET 880  instruments.  As a result of defining the pilot data
for the MAP-3 and the X-MET 880 as non-standard, limited analyses
were performed on these data.

     For each of the six XRF instrument types given above, at
least two individual, distinct, instruments were used in this
study.  Some instruments were represented by several individual
instruments.  For example, five distinct Microlead I revision 4
instruments were used.  Table 6-1 summarizes the individual XRF
instrument usage.  For each individual XRF instrument, the dates
on which standard readings were taken, the number of houses or
units tested, and the total number of sampling locations tested
are shown in Table 6-1.  The "Standard Reading Total" values are
shown in the right-most column  in Table 6-1.  The totals in this
column were computed by combining the values in the  "Total Number
of Locations" column for all XRF instruments of the  same type.
As previously discussed, the 100 locations where readings were
taken by the MAP-3 and X-MET 880 in Louisville are not included
in these totals.  Therefore, the right-most column shows the
number of sampling locations at which a set of standard readings
was made for each instrument type.  Finally, since the total
number of sampling locations used in the pilot study and the  full
study combined was 1,290, it can be observed in Table 6-1 that
some instrument types provided  two sets of standard  readings  for
most sampling locations.

     A factor in selecting where to place  the  sampling locations
within a dwelling and city was  the targeted number of sampling
locations per substrate  (Table  4-2) .  The  targeted number of
sampling locations for each  substrate in Denver and  Philadelphia
was predetermined during the design stage  of this  study.  These
target numbers dictated how  many sampling  location templates  were
drawn on each of the  six substrates.  However,  the targeted
numbers were not obtained due  to factors such  as the absence  of a
particular  substrate  or the  inaccessibility of the painted
surface (Table 4-1).  Table  6-2 provides the actual  number of
sampling locations per  substrate for  each  address.   Table 6-3
provides the targeted numbers  and  summarizes the numbers  that
were actually obtained.

                                6-5

-------
Table 6-1.    Individual XRF Instrument Usage for All  Sampling Locations.
XRF
TYPE
Lead
Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead
I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
XRF
CODE
No.'
01
02
13
10
11
12e
24
20
21
22
23
23
51
50
31
30
32
40
41
42
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
1993 TESTING
DATES
(am/dd)
08/04-08/14
10/11-10/21
10/21-10/25
03/31-04/01
08/04-08/21
10/06-10/25
08/04-08/21
10/06-10/25
03/31-04/01
08/07-08/18
10/11-10/25
08/09-08/10
08/16
08/18-08/19
10/15
08/11-08/14
08/17
10/11-10/14
10/18-10/25
03/29-03/30
08/04-08/14
10/11-10/25
03/29-03/30
08/06-08/16
08/05-08/16
10/11-10/25
10/11-10/25
08/10-08/14
08/16-08/20
10/11-10/25
NUMBER OF
UNITS OR
HOUSES
15"
3C
4
18
10
8
4
18
6
5
7
4
18
4
10
18
8
5
5
8
TOTAL
NUMBER OF
LOCATIONS
1,031
159
100d
1,190
750
440
100
1,190
430
375
385
100d
1,190
100
750
1,190
440
375
375
440
STANDARD
READING
TOTAL
1,190
2,380
2,480
1,190
2,480
1,190
* XRF code numbers are used to distinguish individual instruments.
b Includes the first 6 sampling locations tested on October 21.
c Excludes 6 sampling locations from the unit tested on October 21.
d Not included in the Standard Reading Total.
e The instruments with XRF code nos. 11 and 12 were the same instrument,
however, factory maintenance was performed on this instrument after
testing in Denver was completed and before testing in Philadelphia began.
                                       6-6

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Table 6-2.   Number of Sampling locations per Substrate by Dwelling.
CITY
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
DWELLING
1
2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
8
YEAR
BUILT
1937
1937
1943
1948
1952
1905
1949
1948
1952
1890
1949
1947
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
1942
SAMPLING LOCATIONS PER SUBSTRATE
Brick
0
0
20
0
0
0
3
0
0
21
21
16
2
2
0
0
2
2
2
2
Concrete
4
4
4
1
2
15
0
6
10
15
1
44
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
Drywall
4
7
4
0
8
25
20
18
16
1
0
13
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
Metal
17
11
4
10
2
3
6
8
12
6
9
2
16
12
16
19
16
16
16
16
Plaster
9
11
15
20
22
10
0
0
0
13
21
0
11
12
13
13
18
18
18
18
Wood
16
17
28
44
41
22
46
43
37
19
23
0
9
12
9
6
4
4
4
4
       6.1.2 Control Data Description

       Control data refers to XRF readings taken on a standardized
  block of substrate, called a  "control  block",  placed on top of a
  twelve-inch styrofoam cube.   The  control blocks and styrofoam
  cube were provided to the operators  of the XRF instruments at
  each dwelling2.
       2Dwelling:  In Louisville,  a dwelling is defined as a building
  within which  two units  were tested.   In  Denver, a  dwelling is
  defined as a house.   In Philadelphia, a dwelling is defined as a
  unit.
                                  6-7

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Table 6-3.   Target and Actual Number of Sampling locations per Substrate by
           City.
CITY
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Total

Target
Actual
Target
Actual
Target
Actual
Target
Actual
BRICK
na
0
80
81
8
12
88
93
CONCRETE
na
8
170
98
48
120
238
226
DRYWALL
na
11
170
105
8
8
198
124
METAL
na
28
60
62
127
127
207
217
PLASTER
na
20
100
101
120
121
240
242
WOOD
na
33
170
303
128
52
318
388
     The control blocks were made of unpainted  substrate
materials and were composed of brick, concrete,  drywall,  metal,
plaster, or wood.  A control reading is an XRF  reading taken on a
control block placed on top of the styrofoam  cube.

     Three basic types of control readings are  common to  both the
pilot and full studies:

        • Beginning Control
        • Continuing Control
        • Ending Control

     In Louisville, two dwellings were tested,  in Denver  there
were ten dwellings, and in Philadelphia there were  eight
dwellings.  Beginning and ending control  readings were made
before and after testing in each dwelling, respectively.
Beginning and ending control readings were made on  all six
substrates.  The number and duration of the nominal reading times
used in the pilot study differed from those used in the full
study as did the way NIST SRM films were  used.   For the full
study, the yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2)  and red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM
films were separately placed on the control blocks  prior  to
taking XRF readings and, also, readings were  taken  on the bare
 (uncovered) control blocks.  For the pilot study, the red (1.02
mg/cm2)  NIST SRM film was placed on the control blocks prior  to
taking XRF readings and, for concrete control blocks only,
another set of readings were taken with the yellow  (3.53  mg/cm2)
NIST SRM film covering the control block.  Whenever beginning or
ending control readings were taken, a series  of readings, defined
as the design-specified number of control readings  per control
                                6-8

-------
block,  were taken.   Table 6-4 shows the design-specified number
of readings per control block along with the reading duration
time and the number of readings per surface type, for both the
pilot and full studies.

     Continuing control readings were done after completing XRF
testing on one substrate and prior to testing on the next
substrate.  Whenever continuing control readings were taken,
readings were first taken on the substrate that corresponded to
the substrate of the last sampling location.  Next, readings were
taken on the substrate that corresponded to the substrate of the
next sampling location.  How many and which control blocks were
used depended upon the order in which the testing was done on the
substrates and which substrates were present in a dwelling.
Therefore, it is necessary to describe how substrates were tested
in the pilot and full studies.

     Tables 6-5 and 6-6 provide the number and order in which
testing was done on the substrates for the pilot study and the
full study, respectively.  The order of testing on substrates
changed after the pilot study was completed.  In Louisville,
brick was missing,  so only five of the six substrates were
present.  For the pilot study, the substrates, listed in order of
testing, were: wood, drywall, plaster, concrete, and metal.
Continuing control readings were made, once before and once after
testing on wood, drywall, plaster, concrete, and metal so that
continuing control readings were taken ten times as shown in
Table 6-5.

     For the full study, the order of substrate testing was:
metal/ wood, brick, drywall, concrete, and plaster.  In contrast
to the pilot study, the substrate on which testing was to begin
varied.  Also, some dwellings in the full study were missing one
or two substrates.   This information is provided in Table 6-6.
Differences in how substrates were tested in the pilot study and
the full study may be observed by comparing differences between
Tables 6-5 and 6-6.  The order of testing is different as is the
substrate on which testing began; for the pilot  study, it was
always wood and for the full study, it varied, as stated above.

     At the beginning of the day, continuing control readings
were taken before testing began on the control block that matched
the substrate scheduled to be tested first.  The next continuing
control readings were taken after testing of all sampling
                               6-9

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Table 6-4.   Beginning and Ending Control Block Data Descriptions for Each
           XRF Instrument Type.
XRF
TYPE
Lead Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead Ib
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
PILOT
or
FULL
STUDY
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
NUMBER OF
READINGS/
CONTROL
BLOCK
na
9
3 or 6*
9
9 or 18a
9
9 or 18*
9
9 or 18"
9
na
9
NOMINAL
READING
TIME IN
SECONDS
na
15
60
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
na
15
NUMBER OF
READINGS/
SURFACE TYPE
na
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /yellow NIST SRMa
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
9 /red NIST SRM
9 /yellow NIST SRMa
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
9 /red NIST SRM
9 /yellow NIST SRMa
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
9 /red NIST SRM
9 /yellow NIST SRMa
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
na
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
na not applicable, no reading definition.
• Additional readings were taken if the control block was concrete.
b Readings were reported as running averages.
locations  of  a given substrate had been completed.  Subsequent
continuing control readings were first taken on the control  block
that matched  the previously tested substrate followed by
continuing control readings taken on the control block that
matched  the substrate scheduled to be tested next.  The last
continuing control readings at a dwelling unit were taken  on the
control  block that matched the substrate that was tested last and
were taken before the ending control readings were taken.
                                6-10

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Table 6-5.   Continuing Control Reading Summary for the Pilot Study
           (Louisville).
CITY
Louisville
DWELLING
1
2
ORDER OF SUBSTRATES
W
X
X
D
•
•
P
•
•
B


C
•
•
M
•
•
NUMBER OF
SUBSTRATE
CHANGES
4
4
NO. OF
TIMES
READINGS
TAKEN
10
10
• Indicates substrates present in this dwelling.
x Indicates the substrate was present in this dwelling and testing began
with this substrate.
     Whenever continuing control readings were taken, a series of
readings, defined as the design specified number of continuing
control readings per control block, were taken.  Table 6-7  shows
the design-specified number of readings per control block along
with the reading duration time and the number of readings per
surface type, for both the pilot and full studies and all XRF
instruments.

     As an example, dwelling 2 in Denver had sampling locations
composed of wood followed by concrete, plaster, and metal.  Thus,
eight series of continuing control readings were taken in this
dwelling as follows.  First, a series of continuing control
readings were taken on the wood control block after beginning
control readings were completed but before testing began on the
substrate scheduled to be tested first, which was wood.  The next
series of continuing control readings were again taken on the
wood control block after all testing on the wood substrates in
the dwelling was completed.

     A series of continuing control readings were taken next on
the concrete control block, before testing on any concrete
sampling locations began.  Similarly, another series of readings
were taken on the concrete control block followed by a series on
the plaster control block.  The sixth series of readings were
taken on the plaster control block followed by a series on  the
metal control block.  Finally, after all testing on the sampling
locations had been completed in the dwelling, the last series of
continuing control readings were taken on the metal control block
since the last sampling location that was tested was metal.  All
testing in the dwelling was completed when the ending control
readings were taken.
                               6-11

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Table 6-6.   Continuing Control Reading Summary for the Full Study (Denver
            and Philadelphia).
CITY
Denver
Philadelphia
DWELLING
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
ORDER OF SUBSTRATES
M
•
•
•
•
X
X
•
•
X
•
X
•
•
•
•
X
•
•
D
•

X
•
•
•
•


X


•
X
•




w
•
X
•
•
•
•
X
•
•



X
•
•
•
•
•
•
B
X



•


X
•
•


•


•
•
X
•
C
•
•
•
X

•
•
•
•
•


•
•
X
•
•
•
X
p
•
•
•
•



•
•



•
•
•
X
•
•
•
NUMBER OF
SUBSTRATE
CHANGES
5
3
4
4
3
3
3
4
4
3
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
NO. OF
TIMES
READINGS
TAKEN
12
8
10
10
8
8
8
10
10
8
12
12
10
10
10
10
10
10
• Indicates substrates present in this dwelling.
x Indicates the substrate was present in this dwelling and testing
began with this substrate.
      6.1.3  Special Data Description,

      Special data refers to certain XRF readings taken according
to a  data collection protocol other than the standard data
collection  protocol.  "Special" readings differ from standard
readings  because they were taken on the bare substrate without
any NIST  SRM film covering it or were taken with a reading time
greater than nominal 15-second readings.  "Special" data were
used  to examine bias relative to reading time and surface
coating.   "Special" data were analyzed, for example, to determine
if a  three  15-second reading average or a single nominal
                                6-12

-------
Table 6-7.   Continuing Control Block Data Descriptions for Each XRF
           Instrument Type.
XRF
TYPE
Lead Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead Ib
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
PILOT
OR
FULL
STUDY
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
NUMBER OF
READINGS/
CONTROL
BLOCK
na
9
1 or 2a
9
3 or 6a
9
3 or 6a
9
3 or 6a
9
na
9
NOMINAL
READING
TIME IN
SECONDS
na
15
60
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
na
15
NUMBER OF
READINGS/
SURFACE TYPE
na
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
I/red NIST SRM
1 /yellow NIST
SRMa
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
3 /red NIST SRM
3 /yellow NIST
SRMa
3 /yellow NIST SRM
3/red NIST SRM
3 /bare
3/red NIST SRM
3 /yellow NIST
SRMa
3/yellow NIST SRM
3/red NIST SRM
3 /bare
3/red NIST SRM
3/yellow NIST
SRMa
3/yellow NIST SRM
3/red NIST SRM
3 /bare
na
3/yellow NIST SRM
3/red NIST SRM
3 /bare
na not applicable, no reading definition.
a Additional readings were taken if the control block was concrete.
b Readings are reported as running averages.
60-second reading had the smaller  bias or if the bias  decreased
when readings were taken on bare substrate without  a NIST SRM
film covering.

     The two types of "special" data are "special"  readings and
                                6-13

-------
"special-special" readings.  These readings were taken at
sampling locations designated as "special" and "special-special"
locations.  Twenty-five percent of the sampling locations within
a dwelling, rounded up to the nearest whole number,  were randomly
selected and designated as "special" locations.  Next,
twenty-five percent of the "special" locations within a dwelling,
again rounded up to the nearest whole number, were randomly
selected and designated as "special-special" locations.  Table
6-8 provides the number of sampling locations, "special"
locations, and "special-special" locations per dwelling.  For the
pilot and full studies, a total of 328 sampling locations were
designated as special.

     Once testing began, at each sampling location designated as
a "special" location, standard data were first collected followed
by "special" data collection.  Likewise, at each sampling
location designated a "special-special" location, standard data
were first collected followed by "special" data collection
followed by "special-special" data collection.  The data
collection protocol for "special" and "special-special" locations
depended on the XRF instrument type and whether data were being
collected for the pilot study or the full study.  The pilot study
"special" data collection protocol differs from that of the full
study in how many XRF readings were taken and  the duration of
each XRF reading.

     Also, the MAP-3 "special" data collection protocol differed
from the other five XRF instrument types.  These differences are
shown in Table 6-9 which provides a summary of "special" data by
XRF instrument type.

     Not shown in Table 6-9 are the dates of  "special" data
collection.  For the pilot study, if any additional readings were
to be made such as "special" readings, the readings were made
immediately following the standard readings.   This procedure was
used by all four participating XRF instruments.  The same
procedure was used in the full study for five  of the six XRF
instrument types.  The exception was the MAP-3.  The MAP-3 was
used to collect  "special" data on days other  than those when
standard data was collected by the MAP-3.  "Special" data were
collected with the MAP-3 instruments at houses in Denver on
August 17 through 21 and in Philadelphia on October 6  through
October 11, 1993.

     Another difference for the MAP-3 was the additional
"special-special" readings, collected only by the MAP-3.  At
sampling locations designated "special-special"  locations, the

                               6-14

-------
Table 6-8.   The Number of Dwellings, the Number of Sampling Locations,
           Special,  and "Special-special" Locations per Dwelling, and the
           Total Number of "Special" Locations per City in Louisville,
           Denver,  and Philadelphia.
City
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
No. of
Dwellings'1
2
10
8
No. of
Sampling
Locations
50
75
55
No. of
"Special"
Locations
13
19
14
No. of
"Special-
special"
Locations
na
5
4
Total No.
of
"Special"
Locations
26
190
112
na not applicable, no reading definition.
a In Louisville, a dwelling is defined to be a building within which
two units were tested. In Denver, a dwelling is defined to be a
house. In Philadelphia, a dwelling is defined to be a unit.
MAP-3 instruments took two additional  readings at that same
sampling location.  "Special-special"  data consisted of one
nominal 240-second reading taken  on  the painted surface of the
sampling location and one nominal 240-second reading taken on the
bare substrate covered by the red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM film.

     6.1.4 Non-standard Data Description

     Non-standard data refers to  data  collected using
non-standard data collection procedures.  Non-standard data are
XRF readings that were taken for  the pilot study that are not
directly comparable with data collected in the full study and
consist of too few data to make parameter estimations using
model-based procedures.  There are four types of non-standard
data as listed below:

        •  XRF readings made by the  X-MET 880 in Louisville.
        •  XRF readings made by the  MAP-3 in Louisville.
        •  Variability XRF readings  taken on the sampling
           locations that followed a change in substrate in
           Louisville.   (See chapter 3, section 5.2.4 for a
           detailed explanation of variability XRF readings).
        •  XRF readings taken on  the bare concrete substrates
           covered by the yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM film in
           Louisville.

     The MAP-3 data that were collected in Louisville are
non-standard readings because, in accordance with the pilot study
data collection protocol, nominal 60-second readings were taken
at each sampling location instead of nominal 15-second readings.
                               6-15

-------
Table 6-9.   Special Data Descriptions for Each XRF Instrument Type.
XRF
Type
Lead Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead Ib
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
Pilot
or
Full
Study
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
pilot
full
Number of
Readings/
Sampling
Location
na
3
6
3
8
3
2
3
8
3
na
3
Nominal
Reading Time
in Seconds
na
15
15
60»
15
15
60
15
15
15
na
15
Number of
Readings/
Surface Type
na
3 /bare
3 /paint
3 /red NIST SRM
1 /paint
I/red NIST SRM
I/bare
4 /paint 4 /red
NIST SRM
3 /bare
1 /paint
I/red NIST SRM
3 /bare
4 /paint
4 /red NIST SRM
3 /bare
na
3 /bare
na not applicable, no reading definition.
* References 60 -second readings as "confirm mode".
b Readings are reported as running averages.
Since standard data are nominal 15-second readings,  these  data
are classified non-standard.

     The X-MET 880 data that were collected  in Louisville  are
non-standard readings because of observable  differences  between
the instrument used in the pilot study and the instrument  used in
the full study and also because of the small sample  size for the
pilot study.  Comparisons of the X-MET 880 data  collected  in
Louisville with data collected in the full study indicated that
the distributional properties of the two data sets were
different.  This suggests analyzing the data from the  two  X-MET
880 instruments separately.  But due to the  small sample sizes in
the pilot study, particularly the small number of sampling
locations for most substrates, these data are classified
non-standard.  Sufficient data, however, were collected  from
locations composed of metal and wood by the  X-MET 880  in
                               6-16

-------
Louisville to allow limited analyses to be performed.  These data
were analyzed separately from the Denver and Philadelphia data,
and are presented in the subsequent sections that contain
analysis of the X-MET 880 data.

     Also classified as non-standard data are the so-called
"variability" XRF readings taken on sampling locations following
a change in substrate.   In Louisville,  all four participating XRF
instruments were used to take five additional sets of readings on
the first sampling location after a change in substrate occurred
using the same data collection protocol as was used when taking
the first set of readings at that same location.  Since these
data were not collected in the full study, these data were
classified non-standard.

     The last type of data defined as non-standard are the three
additional nominal 15-second readings taken over bare concrete
covered with the yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST SRM film.   These  data
were collected at only eight sampling locations in the pilot
study.   Since these data were not collected in the full study,
and because of the small sample size, these data were classified
non- standard.

     6.1.5 Data Description Summary and Analysis Dataset
           Descriptions

     The XRF data are classified into one of the four categories
given below:

        • Standard
        • Control
        • Special
        • Non-standard

     A set of standard readings consists of six nominal 15-second
readings taken at the same sampling location, three of which were
taken on the painted surface and three on the bare substrate
covered by the red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM film.   These will  be
referred to as the first, second, and third standard paint
readings and the first, second, and third red NIST SRM film
readings.  Control data consists of XRF readings taken on six
standardized substrates at each dwelling.  "Special" data are XRF
readings that were taken at randomly selected sampling locations
using a data collection protocol different from what was used to
collect standard readings.  "Special" readings are different from
standard readings because either they were taken on the bare
substrate of the sampling location without the NIST SRM film or

                               6-17

-------
they were taken with a nominal reading time greater than 15
seconds.  Non-standard data are XRF readings that were taken for
the pilot study in Louisville that are not directly comparable
with data collected in Denver and Philadelphia.  Sections 6.1.1
through 6.1.4 above provide detailed descriptions of the
standard, control, special, and non-standard data categories,
respectively.

     Summary statistics will be provided in section 6.2 for all
of the data (XRF readings)  that were collected in both the pilot
study and the full study.

     6.1.5.1  Analysis Dataset Descriptions

     6.1.5.1.1   XRF Instrument Operators

     Nineteen individual distinct XRF instruments were used in
this study in Louisville,  Denver, and Philadelphia.  Recall that
XRF data were collected in Louisville during March and April,
1993, in Denver in August,  1993 and in Philadelphia in October,
1993.  Table 6-10 summarizes the individual XRF instrument usage
for each combination of individual operator and XRF instrument.
Nineteen XRF instruments were operated by fourteen individuals
who are coded with the letters "A" through "N".

     6.1.5.1.2   XRF Data Analysis Variables

     Most of the results described in this chapter are from the
analysis of standard data and control data.  The primary emphasis
of this report is the analysis of the first XRF reading taken on
the painted surface of each sampling location.  However, to fully
understand the behavior of the XRF instruments many other
variables were analyzed and are presented in this report.  They
are listed and defined below.

First Paint Reading - the first standard paint reading.

Paint Average - the arithmetic mean of the first, second, and
third standard readings taken on the paint computed for each XRF
instrument at each sampling location.

Red NIST SRM Average -  the arithmetic mean of the standard
first, second, and third red NIST SRM readings.  Standard red
NIST SRM readings were taken at each sampling  location on the
bare substrate area covered by the red NIST SRM film.  A red NIST
SRM average was computed at each sampling location for each XRF
instrument.

                               6-18

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Table 6-10.   Individual XRF Instrument  Operator by Instrument  Usage  in
             Louisville,  Denver,  and Philadelphia.
XRF
Type
Lead
Analyzer
MAP-3
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
XRF Code
No."
01
02
13
10
11
12
24
20
21
22
23
21
23
51
SO
31
30
32
40
41
42
City
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
^Denver
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Louisville
Denver
Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Denver
Denver
Denver
Denver
Phi 1 adelphi a
1993 Testing
Dates (mm/dd)
08/04-08/14
10/11-10/21
10/21-10/25
03/31-04/01
08/04-08/21
10/06-10/25
08/04-08/21
10/06-10/25
03/31-04/01
08/07-08/18
10/11-10/25
08/09-08/10
08/16
08/18-08/19
08/11-08/14
08/17
10/11-10/14
10/15
10/18-10/25
03/29-03/30
08/04-08/09
08/10-08/14
10/11-10/25
03/29-03/30
08/06-08/16
08/05-08/16
10/11-10/25
10/11-10/24
10/25
08/10-08/14
08/16-08/17
08/20
08/18-08/19
10/11-10/25
Operator Code
Letted
A
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
E
E
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
M
J
J
K
J
a XRF code numbers are used to distinguish individual instruments.
b The XRF instrument operators are coded with the letters "A" through "N" .
                                     6-19

-------
Control Average - for each substrate, the arithmetic mean of all
beginning and ending control readings taken within a dwelling.  A
dwelling contains the centralized location where control readings
were taken.  In Louisville, a dwelling was a building within
which two units were tested.  In Denver, a dwelling was a house
and in Philadelphia, a dwelling was a unit.  A control average
was computed for all XRF instruments in each dwelling.

Red NIST SRM Dwelling Average -  for each substrate, the
arithmetic mean of all of the first, second, and third standard
red NIST SRM readings taken within a dwelling.  For example, for
Denver, a red NIST SRM dwelling average would be computed from
225 readings (75 sampling locations per dwelling times three
standard red NIST SRM readings per sampling location) .  A red
NIST SRM dwelling average was computed for all XRF instruments in
each dwelling.

First Paint Control Corrected - the first standard paint reading
corrected for substrate bias.  The correction value was the
appropriate control average minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   The value 1.02
mg/cm2 is subtracted from the control average to compensate for
the red  (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM film that was placed over the
control block prior to taking readings on the control block.  An
appropriate control average is computed from readings taken on
the same substrate and in the same dwelling as the first standard
paint reading.   The subtrahend (the control average minus 1.02
mg/cm2)  corrects the first standard paint reading for substrate
bias.  First paint control corrected values were computed for all
XRF instruments for each sampling location.  The values were
computed as follows.
         (   first paint    I = / fixst standard) _ f control  n n_l
         \ control corrected ]  \ paint reading ]   \ average ~ '   f


Average Paint Control Corrected  - the paint average corrected  for
substrate bias.  The correction value was the appropriate control
average minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   The value 1.02  mg/cm2  is  subtracted
from the control average to  compensate for the red  (1.02 mg/cm2)
NIST SRM film that was placed over the control block prior to
taking readings on the control block.  An appropriate control
average is computed from readings taken on the same substrate  and
in the same dwelling as the paint average.  The subtrahend  (the
control average minus 1.02 mg/cm2)  corrects the paint average for
substrate bias.  Average paint control corrected values were
computed for all XRF instruments for each sampling location.   The
values were computed as follows.
                               6-20

-------
f   paint average  if  paint
1 control corrected]   \ average
                                          control
                                          average
First Paint Fully Corrected  - the first  standard paint reading
corrected for substrate bias using an  alternative correction
value.  The correction value was the standard red NIST SRM
average from the same sampling location  minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   The
value 1.02 mg/cm2 is subtracted from the standard  red  NIST  SRM
average to compensate for the red  (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM  film
that was placed over the bare substrate  area of the sampling
location prior to taking the readings.   The  subtrahend (the red
NIST SRM average minus 1.02 mg/cm2)  corrects  the  first paint
reading for substrate bias.  First paint fully corrected values
were computed for all XRF instruments  for each sampling location.
The values were computed as  follows.
        f first paint    I - / first standard _ f  red NIST  _ - n_l
        I fully corrected J ~ \ paint reading f   \ SRM average ~    }


Paint Average Fully Corrected - the paint average corrected for
substrate bias using the correction value described in the
previous paragraph.  That is, the correction value was the
standard red NIST SRM average from the same  sampling location
minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   Paint average fully  corrected  values were
computed for all XRF instruments for each sampling location.  The
values were computed as follows.
           / paint average  \ _ f  paint If  red NIST    , 0-1
           \ fully corrected f   \ average j  \ SRM average    '   ]


First Paint Red NIST SRM Average Corrected - the first standard
paint reading corrected for  substrate  bias using a third method.
The correction value was the appropriate red NIST SRM dwelling
average minus 1.02 mg/cm2.  The value 1.02 mg/cm2 is subtracted
from the red NIST SRM dwelling average to compensate for the red
(1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM film that was placed  over  the bare
substrate area of the sampling location  prior to taking the
readings.  An appropriate red NIST  SRM dwelling average is
computed from all red NIST SRM readings  taken in the same
dwelling as the standard  first paint reading.  The subtrahend
(the red NIST SRM dwelling average  minus 1.02 mg/cm2)  corrects
the first paint reading for  substrate  bias.   First paint red NIST
SRM average corrected values were  computed for all XRF
instruments for each sampling location.   The values were computed
as follows .
                               6-21

-------
PNIST     \ - / first standard _ I   red NIST SRM     .
          ~ \ P^nt reading }   \dwellingavera   -1'
         rec            -              _
       average corrected] ~ \ P^nt reading }  \dwellingaverage


Paint Average Red NIST  SRM Average  Corrected  -  the  paint average
corrected for substrate bias  using  the  correction value described
in the previous paragraph.  That  is,  the  correction value was the
appropriate red NIST SRM dwelling average minus 1.02 mg/cra2.
Paint average red NIST  SRM average  corrected  values were computed
for all XRF instruments for each  sampling location.   The values
were computed as follows.

        I ^red ^ST^   \ - ( P*int \  - i   *ed NIST SRM   _    1
        1 average Erected } ~ \ avera*e '   i dulling average   * • °2}
     6.2   DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS  FOR STANDARD AND CONTROL DATA

     The first section of this  chapter described XRF data and
categorized the data as standard and  control  data.   Summary
statistics that include the number of readings,  mean,  median,
maximum, minimum, 25th percentile,  and 75th percentile are
presented in this section for each data category and address the
following study objectives:

  •  to characterize the performance  (precision  and accuracy)  or
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions
  •  to evaluate the effect on  XRF performance of interference
     from material  (the substrate) underlying the paint
  •  to investigate XRF measurements  that were very different
     than their corresponding laboratory results
  •  to evaluate field quality  assurance and  control methods.

     Due to the large number  of tables presented in this section,
most tables are not intermingled with text, but  instead, tables
referenced in a given subsection that provide summary statistics
are generally placed after the  text for that  subsection.

     The XRF instrument data  were  classified  into eight XRF
categories for this analysis.   The categories are the six XRF
instrument types plus two additional  categories.  The six XRF
instrument types are:  Lead Analyzer, MAP-3,  Microlead -I (ML I),
X-MET 880, XK-3, and XL.  The two  additional  categories are the
L-shell readings provided by  the Lead Analyzer and the MAP-3
instruments.  The Lead Analyzer and the MAP-3 instruments are
capable of reporting both K-shell  and L-shell readings.  The

                                6-22

-------
distributional  properties or characteristics of the K- shell
readings  and L- shell  readings are very different as will be shown
in subsequent sections.   Therefore,  for these analyses,  eight
distinct  XRF classifications were analyzed as if they were
separate  XRF instruments as follows:

           Lead Analyzer K- shell
           Lead Analyzer L- shell
           MAP- 3 K- shell
           MAP-3 L-shell
           Microlead  I  revision 4 (K- shell)
           X-MET 880  (L-shell)
           XK-3 (K-shell)
           XL (L-Shell)

     The  statistics presented in  this section apply only to the
set of  sampling locations tested  in this study.  A set of
locations with  significantly different lead levels than the
tested  locations might  behave differently, even if the same
instruments were used.

     Data for the Lead  Analyzer are complete (i.e., no missing
data) .  The other five  XRF instruments have a combined total of
62 missing readings at  various sampling locations.  A brief
summary of the  missing  readings for each XRF classification is
provided  in Table 6-11.   The missing data values are due to one
of the  following two  reasons:

     •  XRF instrument's probe could not access sampling
       location,  or
     •  the XRF instrument was unable to compute and display a
       reading taken on a metal  substrate.

                   tatistics for
     This section provides summary statistics for the standard
data that were collected.   Tables 6-12 through 6-14 provide
summary statistics for the first, second and third standard paint
readings and also summary statistics for the 1,290 primary ICP
measurements in mg/cm2 units.   Tables  6-15  though 6-17 provide
summary statistics for the first, second, and third standard red
(1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM readings,  respectively.   These six
readings were defined as standard data in the first section of
this chapter.

     The "Number of Readings" given in Table 6-13 is the same as
the corresponding value given in Table 6-1 in the first section

                               6-23

-------
Table 6-11.  Missing First Standard Paint Readings.
XRF DEVICE
MAP-3
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
# OF MISSING
READINGS
19
5
2
14
2
1
REASON
Inaccessible sampling location.
Inaccessible sampling location.
Inaccessible sampling location.
XRF unable to read on bare metal .
Inaccessible sampling location.
Inaccessible sampling location.
of this chapter under the "Standard Reading Total" column, except
for missing data shown in Table 6-11.  Out of the total of 1,290
sampling locations in the study, 100 sampling locations were in
Louisville, 750 sampling locations were in Denver, and 440
sampling locations were in Philadelphia.  Some "Number of
Readings" values in the tables are greater than 1,290 because two
each of the MAP-3, Microlead I, and XK-3 instruments were used in
Denver and Philadelphia.  By contrast, only one reading was taken
at each sampling location with the Lead Analyzer, X-MET 880, and
XL.

     For comparison purposes, summary statistics for all of the
1,290 primary ICP measurements in mg/cm2 units are provided in
Tables 6-12 through 6-17.  If an XRF instrument were used once at
each of the 1,290 sample locations, then the mean of the XRF
results and the laboratory ICP mean would estimate the same true
level of lead.  However, none of the instruments provided a
single set of results at all 1,290 sampling locations.  For
example, the Lead Analyzer provided results for Denver and
Philadelphia only. Nevertheless, the laboratory ICP results are
useful as a relative guide for examining instrument behavior.

     The mean of the 1,290 ICP measurements was 1.171 mg/cm2.
The largest XRF reading mean was 1.585 mg/cm2 (the second paint
reading average computed from readings taken by the XK-3) which
was 35% greater than the laboratory mean.  Similarly, the
smallest XRF reading mean was 0.114 mg/cm2 (third paint reading
mean of the Lead Analyzer L-shell) which was 90% less than the
laboratory mean.  Comparisons of Tables 6-12, 6-13, and 6-14 show
small differences between the first, second, and third standard
paint readings.  It is clear that the K-shell readings on paint
were much higher than the L-shell readings, although the medians
for the XL were comparable to those for the Lead Analyzer and
                               6-24

-------
MAP-3  K-shell instruments.

    Results for the standard red NIST SRM readings are shown in
Tables 6-15, 6-16,  and 6-17.  Red NIST SRM K-shell arithmetic
averages  were consistently higher than those taken by the L-shell
instruments except  for the MAP-3 which had K-shell and L-shell
readings  that were  very similar.  On the red NIST SRM, the
L-shell readings were on average very close to the true lead
level  (1.02 mg/cm2) .   K-shell  arithmetic averages were all
greater than the red NIST SRM value of 1.02 mg/cm2.

    The  Microlead I in these tables stands out as consistently
having the largest  maximum and smallest minimum.  Three of these
six maximum and minimum readings are attributable to one
Microlead I instrument: the two maximum values in Table 6-15
(27.500 mg/cm2)  and Table 6-17 (48.500  mg/cm2) and the minimum
value  in  Table 6-16 (-21.100 mg/cm2)  were made by the same
instrument at the same brick sampling location in Denver.

    Also shown in the tables are results that illustrate how the
XRF instruments present their data.  Two XRF instrument types
truncate  readings and four XRF instrument types report negative
readings.  The XK-3 and the XL instruments truncated readings at
fixed  reading levels; the XK-3 truncated at 10.0 mg/cm2 and the
XL truncated at 5.0 mg/cm2.   The XL truncated negative readings
at 0.00 mg/cm2.   The maximum values in Tables 6-12 through 6-14
show effects of truncation for the XK-3 and XL, since the maximum
reported  result from the XK-3 was 10.0 mg/cm2 and from the XL was
5.0 mg/cm2.   The minimum values in these tables confirm that four
instruments display negative readings.  The minimum values for
the Lead  Analyzer,  MAP-3, Microlead  I, and XK-3 instruments were
all negative.  The minimum value reported by the XL was 0.00
cm/mg2.   The X-MET  880 had a positive minimum.
                               6-25

-------
Table 6-12.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the First Paint Reading  (Standard Data)
             for All XRF Instrument Types and the Laboratory Results  From All  1,290 Sampling Locations.
DATA SOURCE
Lead Analyzer K- she 11
Lead Analyzer L- shell
MAP- 3 K-shell
MAP- 3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
Laboratory
NUMBER OF
READINGS
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
1,290
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.020
0.114
0.903
0.152
1.327
0.156
1.571
0.408
1.171
MAXIMUM
22.500
3.240
30.437
7.953
22.800
3.649
10.000
5.000
37.290
MINIMUM
-0.240
-0.053
-4.439
-1.275
-2.600
0.010
-1.200
0.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
0.050
0.004
-0.348
-0.119
0.000
0.040
0.300
0.000
0.028
MEDIAN
0.200
0.036
0.184
-0.049
0.500
0.063
1.000
0.100
0.196
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.600
0.097
0.899
0.137
1.400
0.130
2.000
0.300
0.619
                                                    6-26

-------
Table 6-13.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured In mg/ctn* units of the Second. Paint Reading (Standard Data)
             for All XRF Instrument Types and the Laboratory Results From All 1,290 Sampling Locations.
DATA SOURCE
Lead Analyzer K-shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
Laboratory
NUMBER OF
READINGS
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
1,290
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.024
0.116
0.904
0.156
1.350
0.156
1.585
0.409
1.171
MAXIMUM
26.400
3.110
29.695
7.835
22.700
3.648
10.000
5.000
37.290
MINIMUM
-0.300
-0.052
-3.619
-1.660
-7.400
0.016
-1.100
0.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
0.040
0.004
-0.403
-0.119
0.000
0.041
0.300
0.000
0.028
MEDIAN
0.200
0.036
0.175
-0.048
0.500
0.063
1.000
0.100
0.196
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.700
0.096
0.890
0.142
1.400
0.130
2.000
0.300
0.619
                                                    6-27

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Table 6-14.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of  the Third Paint Reading  (Standard Data)
             for All XRF Instrument Types and the Laboratory Results From All  1,290 Sampling Locations.
DATA SOURCE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP- 3 L- shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
Laboratory
NUMBER OP
READINGS
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
1,290
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.029
0.117
0.895
0.156
1.334
0.156
1.580
0.411
1.171
MAXIMUM
23.400
3.280
29.693
7.527
22.400
3.695
10.000
5.000
37.290
MINIMUM
-0.280
-0.052
-3.285
-1.229
-2.300
0.016
-1.100
0.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILB
0.040
0.004
-0.408
-0.119
0.000
0.040
0.300
0.100
0.028
MEDIAN
0.200
0.036
0.157
-0.050
0.500
0.063
1.000
0.200
0.196
75TH
PERCENTILB
0.700
0.098
0.897
0.141
1.400
0.130
2.000
0.400
0.619
                                                   6-28

-------
Table 6-15.  Summary Statistics o£ Lead Meaaured In tag f am"  Unite o£ the First Red (1.03 mg/Cm1)
             Reading  (Standard Data)  for All XRF Instrument Types.
                                            MIST SUM
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L-shell
MAP- 3 K- shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
1,190
1,190
2,369
2,369
2,475
1,188
2,478
1,189
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.107
1.004
1.217
1.200
1.372
1.091
1.680
1.017
MAXIMUM
4.400
1.290
5.513
1.941
27.500
2.019
5.500
2.200
MINIMUM
0.000
0.010
-1.725
-0.983
-4.900
0.891
0.000
0.600
25th
PBRCENTILE
0.900
0.980
0.856
1.126
0.800
1.039
1.200
0.900
MEDIAN
1.100
1.020
1.168
1.206
1.200
1.088
1.600
1.000
75TH
PERCBNTILE
1.200
1.050
1.540
1.286
1.700
1.127
2.100
1.100
6-29

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Table 6-16.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Second Red (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM
             Reading (Standard Data) for All XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
MAP -3 K- shell
MAP -3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
1,190
1,190
2,369
2,369
2,475
1,188
2,478
1,189
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.107
1.008
1.195
1.212
1.373
1.088
1.693
1.018
MAXIMUM
3.800
1.320
5.686
1.950
7.900
1.971
5.700
2.000
MINIMUM
0.030
0.057
-1.818
-0.404
-21.100
0.880
0.000
0.600
25th
PERCENTILE
0.900
0.980 .
0.843
1.135
0.800
1.039
1.200
0.900
MEDIAN
1.100
1.020
1.171
1.211
1.200
1.084
1.600
1.000
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.200
1.050
1.527
1.290
1.700
1.120
2.100
1.100
                                                    6-30

-------
Table 6-17.  Summary Statiatics  of Load Measured in mg/cm* units  of the Third Red CL.O2 rag/cm8)  NIST SRM
             Reading  (Standard Data)  for All XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K-shell
Lead Analyzer L-shell
MAP- 3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
1,190
1,190
2,368
2,368
2,475
1,188
2,478
1,187
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.095
1.006
1.203
1.209
1.387
1.085
1.679
1.017
MAXIMUM
4.100
1.300
5.581
2.644
48.500
1.998
6.100
1.500
MINIMUM
-0.140
-0.002
-1.704
-0.411
-4.400
0.903
-1.600
0.600
25th
PERCENTILE
0.900
0.980
0.832
1.126
0.900
1.035
1.200
0.900
MEDIAN
1.100
1.020
1.167
1.211
1.200
1.081
1.600
1.000
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.200
1.050
1.521
1.293
1.700
1.118
2.100
1.100
                                                    6-31

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     6.2.2 Summary Statistics for Control Data

     This section provides summary statistics for the control
data that were collected by the eight classifications of XRF
instruments.  Tables 6-18 through 6-26 provide summary statistics
for each of the nine control block readings taken on the red NIST
SRM film in Louisville.  Table 6-27 provides summary statistics
for control block readings taken with the yellow NIST SRM film
covering the concrete control blocks only, in Louisville.  Except
for the MAP-3, each XRF instrument took nine beginning and ending
control block readings and three continuing control block
readings on.the red and yellow NIST SRM film.  The MAP-3 took
three beginning and ending control block readings and only one
continuing control block reading.

     Tables 6-28, 6-29, and 6-30 provide summary statistics for
the first, second, and third beginning, continuing, and ending
control block readings taken using the yellow NIST SRM film in
the full study (Denver and Philadelphia), respectively.  In these
tables, the number of beginning and ending control block readings
for the MAP-3 instruments is higher than for the Microlead I,
XK-3, and other XRF instruments because of additional control
block readings made on the "special" data collection dates.  The
number of continuing control block readings is not similarly
higher because continuing control block readings were not made by
the MAP-3 instruments on the "special" data collection dates.
Tables 6-31, 6-32, and 6-33 provide summary statistics for the
control block readings taken on the red NIST SRM film in the full
study.  Tables 6-34, 6-35, and 6-36 provide summary statistics
for the control block readings taken on the bare control blocks
in the full study.

     The tables displaying control reading results for the full
study  (Tables 6-28 through 6-33) show a high degree of
consistency between the first, second, and third readings in most
cases.  On the yellow NIST SRM with true lead level 3.53 mg/cm2
the instruments show only small biases, with the exception of the
Lead Analyzer L-shell  (bias approximately -0.8 mg/cm2),  the
Microlead I  (bias approximately +0.5), and the XK-3  (bias
approximately +0.9 mg/cm2).

     On the red NIST SRM, small positive biases are evident, with
three exceptions.  The MAP-3 K-shell shows a small negative bias,
while the Microlead I and the XK-3 have larger positive biases
 (approximately 0.6 mg/cm2 and 0.8 mg/cm2,  respectively).  On  the
bare control blocks, the Lead Analyzer  (K- and L-shells) and the
X-MET 880 have small biases.  The Microlead I, the XK-3, and the

                               6-32  '

-------
XL have positive biases,  while the MAP-3 K-shell has a negative
bias.  The MAP-3 L-shell  has a negative bias, also, though
smaller than  the MAP-3  K-shell bias.
                               6-33

-------
Table 6-18.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the First Red (1.02 mg/cm*) NIST SRM Readings Taken
             on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP -3 L- Shell
Microlead X
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
12
20
12
12
20
12
12
17
12
12
16
12
12
17
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.162
0.957
1.088
1.377
1.395
1.341
1.017
1.041
1.208
1.025
1.119
1.071
1.250
1.135
0.833
MAXIMUM
1.522
1.497
1.415
1.568
1.688
1.452
1.600
2.000
2.200
1.145
1.255
1.240
2.700
2.200
2.200
MINIMUM
0.782
0.095
0.500
1.165
1.159
1.153
0.60
0.300
0.800
0.892
0.937
0.937
0.200
0.000
-0.600
25th
PERCENTILE
1.084
0.737
0.951
1.302
1.264
1.297
0.650
0.700
0.900
0.963
1.054
1.006
0.800
0.800
0.200
MEDIAN
1.148
1.019
1.104
1.409
1.397
1.349
0.900
0.900
1.000
1.017
1.142
1.044
1.100
1.100
0.900
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.257
1.254
1.302
1.434
1.476
1.423
1.400
1.300
1.500
1.107
1.197
1.130
1.550
1.500
1.300
                                                          6-34

-------
Table 6-19.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured  In trig/cm3 Units of the  Second. Red (1.02 mg/cmj)  NIST SRM Readings Taken
              on All  Six Control Blocks From Louisville  only.
XRF TYPE
MAP -3 K- shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
12
0
12
12
0
12
12
17
12
12
16
12
12
17
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.145
na
1.0.65
1.361
na
1.322
0.917
1.041
1.142
1.060
1.128
1.137
1.075
1.176
1.108
MAXIMUM
1.912
na
1.585
1.550
na
1.474
1.300
1.500
1.900
1.230
1.270
1.371
2.000
2.500
2.200
MINIMUM
0.749
na
0.369
1.196
na
1.153
0.600
0.400
0.400
0.904
0.865
1.020
0.300
0.400
0.400
25th
PERCBNTILE
0.967
na
0.833
1.273
na
1.289
0.750
0.700
0.700
0.960
1.087
1.057
0.750
0.700
0.600
MEDIAN
1.122
na
1.163
1.366
na
1.330
0.950
1.000
1.100
1.069
1.150
1.110
1.050
1.100
1.050
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.228
na
1.246
1.433
na
1.351
1.000
1.400
1.550
1.138
1.224
1.188
1.300
1.300
1.450
                                                           6-35

-------
Table 6-20.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of  the Third Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings Taken
             on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
12
0
12
12
0
12
12
17
12
12
16
12
12
17
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.174
na
1.010
1.355
na
1.318
1.042
1.182
0.850
1.071
1.083
1.135
1.225
1.206
1.225
MAXIMUM
1.660
na
1.828
1.491
na
1.449
1.800
2.000
1.900
1.248
1.449
1.267
2.400
2.700
2.000
MINIMUM
0.842
na
0.496
1.175
na
1.164
0.400
0.600
-0.300
0.908
0.838
0.941
0.500
0.700
0.400
25th
PERCENTILE
1.025
na
0.618
1.273
na
1.272
0.700
0.900
0.550
0.986
0.991
1.097
0.650
0.800
0.800
MEDIAN
1.141
na
1.022
1.366
na
1.337
1.000
1.200
0.900
1.031
1.080
1.135
1.150
1.000
1.200
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.274
na
1.224
1.429
na
1.381
1.350
1.400
1.000
1.196
1.164
1.197
1.700
1.300
1.650
                                                         6-36

-------
Table 6-21.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured  in mg/ctn* Units of the Fourth Red  (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken
             on All Six Control Blocks Prom Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K- shell
MAP- 3 L- Shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
0
0
12
12
12
12
12
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
na
na
1.083
1.067
1.083
1.141
1.108
1.275
MAXIMUM
na
na
na
na
1.700
1.900
1.234
1.651
2.200
2.600
MINIMUM
na
na
na
na
0.600
0.300
0.867
0.899
0.300
0.600
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
0.800
0.700
1.013
1.054
0.750
0.700
MEDIAN
na
na
na
na
1.000
1.000
1.094
1.153
1.000
1.150
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
1.400
1.500
1.174
1.175
1.250
1.500
                                                          6-37

-------
Table 6-22.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the  Fifth Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings Taken
             on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP -3 K- Shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
0
0
12
12
12
12
12
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
na
na
1.033
1.167
1.058
1.141
1.200
1.175
MAXIMUM
na
na
na
na
1.700
1.900
1.300
1.334
2.100
2.300
MINIMUM
na
na
na
na
0.600
0.200
0.990
1.014
0.600
0.500
25th
PKRCENTILE
na
na
na
na
0.800
0.700
0.998
1.090
0.950
0.900
MEDIAN
na
na
na
na
0.850
1.100
1.015
1.129
1.050
1.050
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
1.350
1.850
1.068
1.178
1.350
1.350
                                                          6-38

-------
Table 6-23.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cma Units  of the  Sixth Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings taken
             on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K- shell
MAP -3 L- Shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
0
0
12
12
12
12
12
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
na
na
0.883
1.117
1.070
1.139
1.217
1.158
MAXIMUM
na
na
na
na
1.400
1.900
1.291
1.315
1.900
2.300
MINIMUM
na
na
na
na
0.400
0.500
0.8520
0.901
0.400
0.500
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
0.650
0.700
0.977
1.058
0.700
0.750
MEDIAN
na
na
na
na
0.950
1.150
1.074
1.151
1.300
0.950
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
1.050
1.450
1.159
1.233
1.600
1.550
                                                          6-39

-------
Table 6-24.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Seventh Red .(1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings
             Taken on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K- shell
MAP- 3 L- shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
COMTROIi TYPE
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
0
0
12
12
12
12
12
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
na
na
0.917
0.825
1.118
1.175
1.183
1.192
MAXIMUM
na
na
na
na
1.200
1.700
1.284
1.369
2.300
2.200
MINIMUM
na
na
na
na
0.600
0.100
0.931
1.005
0.400
0.300
25th
PBRCBNTILB
na
na
na
na
0.700
0.550
1.031
1.113
0.850
0.750
MEDIAN
na
na
na
na
0.850
0.750
1.119
1.164
1.050
1.100
7STH
PBRCBNTILB
na
na
na
na
1.150
1.100
1.229
1.232
1.350
1.600
                                                          6-40

-------
Table 6-25.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in ing/cm2 Units of the Eighth Red (1.O2 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken
             on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K- shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
0
0
12
12
12
12
12
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
na
na
1.033
1.158
1.064
1.414
1.333
1.067
MAXIMUM
na
na
na
na
1.500
2.000
1.199
4.840
2.200
2.600
MINIMUM
na
na
na
na
0.700
0.700
0.793
0.960
0.500
0.500
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
0.900
0.800
0.979
1.005
1.100
0.750
MEDIAN
na
na
na
na
1.000
1.100
1.120
1.054
1.300
0.900
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
1.150
1.400
1.146
1.275
1.550
1.100
                                                          6-41

-------
Table 6-26.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of  the Ninth Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings taken
             on All Six Control Blocks From Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K-shell
MAP- 3 L- shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
Beginning
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
0
0
12
12
12
12
12
12
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
na
na
1.025
0.967
1.086
1.130
1.150
1.175
MAXIMUM
na
na
na
na
1.500
1.600
1.312
1.293
2.400
2.100
MINIMUM
na
na
na
na
0.500
0.300
0.951
0.948
0.000
0.600
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
0.800
0.550
1.025
1.096
0.800
0.750
MEDIAN
na
na
na
na
1.050
1.050
1.072
1.137
1.050
1.100
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
na
na
1.250
1.300
1.123
1.183
1.350
1.450
                                                          6-42

-------
Table 6-27.  Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the  Yellow (3.53  mg/cma) NIST SRM Readings Taken on
             the Concrete Control Block in Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K- shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
6
4
6
6
4
6
18
12
18
18
12
18
18
12
18
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
3.684
3.563
3.763
4.391
4.691
4.064
3.483
3.650
3.500
3.852
4.046
4.097
2.978
2.983
2.933
MAXIMUM
4.002
3.908
4.032
4.696
4.968
4.333
4.000
4.200
3.900
4.254
4.269
4.280
3.500 ,
3.500
3.500
MINIMUM
3.476
3.078
3.349
4.104
4.173
3.818
1.700
3.400
3.000
3 . 452
3.787
3.907
2.400
2.500
2.200
25th
PERCENTILE
3.558
3.335
3.568
4.249
4.479
3.963
3.300
3.400
3.300
3.650
3.938
4.054
2.800
2.800
2.700
MEDIAN
3.592
3.634
3.812
4.423
4.812
4.044
3.600
3.600
3.550
3.825
4.017
4.097
3.000
3.000
2.950
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.885
3.792
4.004
4.449
4.904
4.179
3.800
3.800
3.800
4.073
4.202
4.165
3.200
3.200
3.300
                                                         6-43

-------
Table 6-28.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the  First Yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings Taken on All
              Six Control Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP -3 K-shell
MAP -3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
114
179
114
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
3.690
3.749
3.734
2.726
2.710
2.715
3.283
3.263
3.254
3.343
3.298
3.325
3.724
3.912
3.776
3.711
3.685
3.720
4.444
4.548
4.378
3.228
3.359
3.580
MAXIMUM
5.000
5.100
4.700
2.930
2.910
2.860
4.580
4.746
4.434
3.808
3.976
3.860
10.600
10.400
10.200
4.172
4.100
5.712
7.100
8.700
9.000
4.000
4.300
4.300
MINIMUM
2.800
2.400
2.700
2.280
1.590
2.540
-0.138
-1.519
0.149
-0.410
-0.403
1.170
-0.190
-0.300
1.400
3.309
3.185
3.197
2.200
2.800
1.900
2.100
1.600
2.100
25th
PERCENTILB
3.400
3.400
3.500
2.700
2.680
2.675
2.975
3.009
2.971
3.233
3.184
3.193
3.200
3.300
3.100
3.614
3.575
3.590
3.900
4.100
3.900
2.800
3.100
3.400
MEDIAN
3.700
3.700
3.700
2.740
2.730
2.720
3.362
3.345
3.317
3.353
3.328
3.334
3.600
3.700
3.600
3.710
3.677
3.693
4.300
4.400
4.200
3.400
3.500
3.600
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.900
4.000
4.000
2.790
2.770
2.760
3.652
3.614
3.613
3.462
3.466
3.478
4.000
4.200
4.100
3.820
3.819
3.874
4.950
5.000
4.750
3.600
3.700
3.800
                                                              6-44

-------
Table 6-29.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm* Units of the Second Yellow  (3.53 mg/cma)  MIST SRM Readings Taken on All
              Six Control Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
354
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
114
179
114
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
3.656
3.740
3.709
2.712
2.710
2.723
3.280
3.280
3.267
3.335
3.299
3.311
4.025
4.071
4.008
3.696
3.666
3.711
4.431
4.531
4.408
3.251
3.371
3.542
MAXIMUM
5.000
4.900
4.900
2.930
2.900
2.880
4.565
4.832
4.943
3.859
3.765
3.839
10.800
11.000
11.200
4.081
4.075
5.691
6.700
6.800
6.800
4.200
4.700
4.500
MINIMUM
2.700
2.600
2.800
2.010
1.560
2.500
1.380
0.217
-0.088
2.044
-0.404
1.162
1.900
-0.900
2.600
3.334
3.165
3.194
2.000
2.700
3.100
2.200
1.700
2.600
25th
PERCENTILE
3.400
3.400
3.500
2.670
2.680
2.685
3.014
2.983
3.002
3.198
3.190
3.190
3.400
3.400
3.500
3.598
3.537
3.578
4.000
4.100
4.000
2.900
3.100
3.300
MEDIAN
3.700
3.800
3.700
2.730
2.720
2.730
3.343
3.318
3.305
3.345
3.325
3.324
3.900
3.900
3.700
3.698
3.656
3.700
4.300
4.400
4.250
3.300
3.500
3.600
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.900
4.000
3.900
2.770
2.780
2.770
3.632
3.616
3.563
3.473
3.457
3.462
4.200
4.300
4.150
3.816
3.808
3.850
4.900
5.000
4.800
3.600
3.700
3.700
                                                              6-45

-------
Table 6-30.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cmj Units of  the Third Yellow  (3.53 mg/cmj)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All
              Six Control Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPB
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPB
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
114
179
114
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
3.641
3.724
3.703
2.724
2.711
2.719
3.258
3.289
3.262
3.342
3.325
3.322
3.954
4.072
3.983
3.676
3.660
3.700
4.325
4.461
4.410
3.268
3.339
3.546
MAXIMUM
4.800
5.000
4.900
2.930
2.930
2.890
5.154
4.985
4.675
3.888
3.890
3.881
11.000
11.200
10.400
4.072
4.203
5.557
7.100
6.500
8.100
4.200
4.300
4.300
MINIMUM
2.900
2.700
2.800
2.310
1.560
2.520
1.168
0.473
-0.106
2.742
-0.078
1.085
1.7000
-0.900
2.500
3.305
2.718
3.214
2.100
2.300
3.000
2.100
1.600
2.600
25th
PERCENTILE
3.300
3.500
3 '.500
2.670
2.680
2.675
2.938
3.015
3.012
3.208
3.193
3.187
3.400
3.400
3.300
3.567
3.551
3.548
3.900
4.000
4.000
2.900
3.000
3 .400
MEDIAN
3.600
3.700
3.700
2.745
2.730
2.730
3.291
3.317
3.287
3,341
3.334
3.338
3.800
3.800
3.800
3.664
3.654
3.689
4.200
4.400
4.300
3.400
3.400
3.600
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.900
4.000
3.900
2.780
2.770
2.770
3.642
3.592
3.581
3.490
3.473
3.471
4.100
4.300
4.300
3.807
3.805
3.845
4.850
4.900
4 .700
3.600
3.700
3.800
                                                               6-46

-------
Table 6-31.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm* Units  of the  First  Red (1.02 mg/cma) NIST SRM Reading  (Control Blocks)
              From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
113
179
114
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.083
1.106
1.066
1.070
1.052
1.059
0.907
0.934
0.887
1.160
1.149
1.151
1.432
1.555
1.508
1.074
1.073
1.080
1.900
' 1.901
1.906
1.049
1.063
1.099
MAXIMUM
1.700
1.900
1.600
1.900
1.160
1.150
2.623
2.192
2.882
1.455
1.449
3.052
7.600
7.300
7.700
1.205
1.170
1.629
3.600
4.000
7.300
1.200
1.300
1.300
MINIMUM
0.100
0.700
0.500
0.900
0.590
0.950
-1.027
-0.840
-3.373
0.802
-0.799
-0.406
-0.200
-0.900
-0.900
0.971
0.991
0.982
0.600
0.400
0.600
0.800
0.600
0.800
25th
PERCENTILE
0.900
1.000
0.900
1.040
1.020
1.040
0.645
0.656
0.611
1.102
1.092
1.094
0.900
0.900
0.850
1.042
1.039
1.037
1.450
1.500
1.400
1.000
1.000
1.100
MEDIAN
1.100
1.100
1.100
1.070
1.050
1.060
0.985
0.964
0.920
1.158
1.156
1.150
1.200
1.400
1.300
1.073
1 .074
1.081
1.800
1.800
1.800
1.100
1.100
1.100
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.200
1.200
1.200
1.100
1.080
1.080
1.264
1.250
1.201
1.221
1.220
1.211
1.650
1.800
1.700
1.097
1.104
1.108
2.400
2.400
2.400
1.100
1.100
1.200
                                                              6-47

-------
Table 6-32.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units  of  the  Second Red  (1.02 mg/cma) NIST SRM Readings Taken on All Six
              Control Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
114
179
114
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.065
1.095
1.110
1.055
1.054
1.064
0.851
0.888
0.912
1.159
1.147
1.153
1.661
1.695
1.667
1.070
1.066
1.073
1.772
1.877
1.744
1.046
1.060
1.089
MAXIMUM
1.600
1.700
1.500
1.170
1.150
1.140
2.315
2.254
2.782
1.413
1.407
2.798
8.300
7.200
7.700
1.196
1.186
1.548
3.900
4.600
4.100
1.200
1.300
1.300
MINIMUM
0.500
0.500
0.600
0.750
0.610
0.970
-1.111
-0.748
-0.942
0.901
0.871
-0.414
-1.000
-1.500
-1.500
0.993
0.961
0.960
0.400
0.400
0.300
0.800
0.700
0.800
25th
PERCENTILE
0.900
0.900
1.000
1.030
1.030
1.040
0.557
0.672
0.647
1.097
1.092
1.096
1.050
1.000
1.000
1.036
1.038
1.031
1.300
1.400
1.300
1.000
1.000
1.100
MEDIAN
1.100
1.100
1.100
1.060
1.050
1.060
0.922
0.937
0.936
1.164
1.145
1.158
1.400
1.400
1.4000
1.069
1.068
1.069
1.700
1.800
1.700
1.100
1.100
1.100
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.200
1.200
1.300
1.090
1.090
1.090
1.182
1.197
1.243
1.220
1.210
1.213
1.900
2.000
1.950
1.095
1.095
1.104
2.100
2.300
2.200
1.100
1.100
1.100
                                                              6-48

-------
Table 6-33.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm* Units oC the Third Red  (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings Taken on All  Six
              Control Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP -3 K- shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
114
179
114
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.085
1.085
1.102
1.058
1.054
1.058
0.855
0.966
0.917
1.156
1.148
1.151
1.595
1.670
1.621
1.067
1.066
1.071
1.742
1.753
1.739
1.045
1.062
1.093
MAXIMUM
1.900
1.800
1.600
1.160
1.170
1.140
2.494
2.877
2.602
1.930
1.450
3.122
8.000
7.700
7.700 .
1.182
1.177
1.593
5.000
3.700
3.400
1.200
1.300
1.200
MINIMUM
0.600
0.500
0.500
0.830
0.590
0.960
-0.899
-0.991
-0.515
0.173
0.869
-0.151
-1.000
-1.900
-2.400
0.978
0.970
0.972
0.400
0.600
0.400
0.800
0.600
0.900
25th
PERCENTILE
0.900
0.900
0.950
1.030
1.030
1.040
0.565
0.706
0.657
1.102
1.089
1.095
0.900
1.000
1.000
1.036
1.031
1.036
1.300
1.300
1.300
1.000
1.000
1.100
MEDIAN
1.100
1.100
1.100
1.065
1.050
1.060
0.927
1.011
0.941
1.169
1.147
1.156
1.300
1.400
1.400
1.066
1.067
1.064
1.600
1.700
1.600
1.100
1.100
1.100
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.200
1.200
1.300
1.090
1.080
1.080
1.177
1.233
1.214
1.218
1.204
1.216
1.800
2.000
2.000
1.098
1.094
1.099
2.100
2.200
2.200
1.100
1.100
1.100
                                                              6-49

-------
Table 6-34.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cma Units of the First Bare Substrate Readings Taken on All Six Control
              Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP -3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3

XL

CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
95
141
95
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
-0.003
-0.002
-0.009
0.001
-0.002
0.000
-0.733
-0.626
-0.650
-0.184
-0.171
-0.169
0.393
0.570
0.486
0.035
0.036
0.036
0.728
0.711
0.692
0.281
0.266
0.175
MAXIMUM
0.400
0.200
0.300
0.063
0.064
0.055
0.932
0.773
1.834
0.342
0.181
1.332
6.800
8.600
6.800
0.094
0.096
0.095
2.300
2.600
3.000
2.400
3 .500
1.500
MINIMUM
-0.368
-0.400
-0.459
-0.049
-0.054
-0.048
-3.300
-3.240
-4.356
-1.146
-1.086
-1.128
-1.500
-1.300
-1.700
0.021
0.020
0.021
-0.800
-1.000
-1.100
0.000
0.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.080
-0.050
-0..070
-0.006
-0.008
-0.008
-1.386
-1.255
-1.156
-0.216
-0.202
-0.200
-0.200
-0.100
-0.100
0.030
0.028
0.030
0.400
0.300
0.300
0.000
0.000
0.000
MEDIAN
-0.004
0.000
-0.006
0.001
0.000
0.001
-0.458
-0.389
-0.447
-0.177
-0.166
-0.163
0.200
0.300
0.200
0.034
0.034
0.034
0.600
0.700
0.600
0.100
0.000
0.000
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.050
0.060
0.040
0.010
0.008
0.010
-0.035
-0.006
0.009
-0.137
-0.126
-0.117
0.600
0.700
0.700
0.037
0.037
0.038
1.100
1.100
1.100
0.200
0.200
0.200
                                                              6-50

-------
Table 6-35.   Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Second Bare Substrate Readings Taken on All Six Control
              Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
95
141
95
216
354
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.009
-0.008
-0.004
0.001
-0.002
0.001
-0.765
-0.630
-0.657
-0.193
-0.170
-0.169
0.562
0.698
0.641
0.035
0.036
0.035
0.635
0.728
0.702
0.282
0.269
0.167
MAXIMUM
0.400
0.300
0.300
0.068
0.060
0.071
2.135
1.420
0.722
0.268
0.160
1.181
7.300
7.500
7.000 .
0.095
0.092
0.091
2.100
2.600
3.700
2.500
3.700
1.500
MINIMUM
-0.300
-0 .300
-0.300
-0.047
-0.052
-0.051
-3.970
-3 .279
-4.343
-1.943
-1.198
-2.193
-1.300
-1.600
-1.300
0.021
0.022
0.023
-1.100
-0.900
-0.800
0.000
0.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.500
-0.050
-0.050
-0.007
-0.008
-0.008
-1.475
-1.167
-1.275
-0.230
-0.204
-0.203
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.030
0.029
0.030
0.200
0.300
0.300
0.000
0.000
0.000
MEDIAN
0.000
0.000
-0.001
0.001
0.000
0.001
-0.511
-0.405
-0.344
-0.175
-0.161
-0.160
0.200
0.300
0.300
0.034
0.034
0.033
0.600
0.700
0.600
0.100
0 .100
0.100
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.050
0.030
0.050
0.009
0.008
0.011
0.005
0.056
-0.001
-0.139
-0.124
-0.116
0.800
1.000
0.800
0.037
0.037
0.037
1.000
1.200
1.100
0.300
0.200
0.100
                                                              6-51

-------
Table 6-36.    Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm* Units of the Third Bare Substrate Readings Taken on All Six Control
              Blocks From Denver and Philadelphia Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP -3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
CONTROL TYPE
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
Beginning
Continuing
Ending
NUMBER OF
READINGS
126
177
120
126
177
120
396
355
396
396
355
396
228
355
228
95
141
95
216
353
216
114
198
114
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.009
0.005
-0.013
0.001
-0.001
0.000
-0.669
-0.648
-0.589
-0.182
-0.169
-0.172
0.504
0.667
0.591
0.035
0.035
0.036
0.643
0.680
0.619
0.309
0.269
0.168
MAXIMUM
0.300
0.300
0.400
0.070
0.061
0.059
2.725
1.130
1.502
0.253
0.258
2.193
7.500
7.800
6.900
0.094
0.095
0.096
2.300
2.000
2.800
2.500
4.000
1.900
MINIMUM
-0.400
-0.400
-0.300
-0.047
-0.053
-0.052
-3.344
-3.566
-3.519
-0.571
-0.901
-2.323
-1.500
-1.400
-1.200
0.022
0.020
0.022
-1.000
-0.700
-0.900
0.000
0.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.050
-0.040
-0.080
-0.007
-0.009
-0.007
-1.323
-1.309
-1.115
-0.224
-0.204
-0.197
-0.15
-0.100
-0.100
0.030
0.028
0.030
0.200
0.300
0.200
0.000
0.000
0.000
MEDIAN
0.000
0.000
-0.001
0.000
0.000
0.001
-0.445
-0.377
-0.366
-0.178
-0.163
-0.160
0.200
0.300
0.300
0.033
0.033
0.034
0.500
0.600
0.600
0.100
0.000
0.000
75TH
PBRCBNTILB
0.060
0.060
0.035
0.009
0.008
0.010
-0.019
0.010
0.003
-0.139
-0.125
-0.112
0.700
0.900
0.900
0.037
0.037
0.037
1.000
1.100
1.000
0.300
0.200
0.100
                                                              6-52

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     6.3   DATA OUTLIERS

     The  primary data examined for outliers were the standard
first paint readings.  Standard paint readings are defined in the
first section of this chapter.  The identification of outlier
data in the standard first paint readings used a procedure based
on nonparametric regression techniques.  A discussion of this
procedure is given below.

     The  purpose of outlier designation was to identify data that
might adversely affect estimation of the relationship between XRF
and the level of lead in paint.   This effort addressed the
following study objectives:

  •  to characterize the performance (precision and accuracy) of
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions

  •  to investigate XRF measurements that were very different
     than their corresponding laboratory results.

Note that it is not suggested that an outlier represents bad
data:  it may reflect behavior of an XRF instrument under unusual
circumstances, or that cannot be described in a uniform way.
Failure to remove outliers from an analysis may produce results
that are  descriptive of neither the circumstances leading to the
outliers, nor the typical performance of the instrument.  If a
standard  first paint reading was identified as an outlier, it was
excluded  from the analyses presented in the next section of this
chapter.

     Combined, over 15,000 XRF first standard paint readings were
taken with different instruments and on different substrates.  A
total of  84 outliers were identified in the standard first paint
readings  from seven of the eight XRF instrument classifications
in Denver and Philadelphia.  Outlier identification methodology
was not applied to the eighth instrument, the XL, because of the
truncation of its readings at 0.0 rag/cm2 and at 5.0 mg/cm2.  All
other standard first paint readings from the other seven XRF
instruments were examined for outliers, resulting in the
identification of 84 standard first paint readings designated as
outliers  from 41 sampling locations in Denver and Philadelphia.
Summary statistics and other descriptions of these outliers are
given in section 6.3.2 below.
                               6-53

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     6.3.1     Outlier Identification Methodology

     In this section an objective criterion for defining outliers
is described.  Its use led to the identification of a very small
set of data that were excluded from model estimation.  Since the
aim was to identify data that could distort the estimated
relationship between XRF readings and the level of lead in paint,
the outlier criterion used the observable XRF relationship
compared to the laboratory ICP result measured in mg/cm2  as  its
basis.

     6.3.1.1 .  Basic Assumptions Concerning the XRF Response to
               Lead

     In the following section of this chapter  (6.4) a detailed
model relating XRF readings to the true  (but unknown) lead level
is developed.  The model suggests that, on average, XRF readings
respond linearly to the lead level, with variability that
increases with the lead level according to a simple functional
form.  The same should also be true, approximately, for the
observable XRF-ICP relationship.  One way to define an outlier
would be to fit a regression model where the mean XRF reading is
a linear function of ICP, with a standard deviation having the
form specified in the model.  An observation that deviated too
far from the mean, as measured by its standardized residual,
would be flagged as an outlier.  What "too far" precisely
constitutes can be judged from the distribution of the
standardized residuals, which are approximately standard normal
random variables, and the size of the sample.  Standardized
residuals that are smaller than about -3.5 or  larger than 3.5 are
typical candidates for outlier designation.

     Applying a strictly specified model to the data to
distinguish outliers requires an accurate model.  Observations
may be flagged as outliers if the model  does not fit the data
very well over all or part of its range.  But  the purpose of
developing an outlier criterion was to identify a small  set of
data that were unusual with respect to the rest, not to  eliminate
data that violated a set of assumptions  that may have, in
particular instances, even been wrong.

     Still,  the identification of unusual XRF  measurements must
take their relationship to ICP into account.   A less strict set
of assumptions about this relationship than those expressed in a
formal model was used in the development of an outlier criterion.
These assumptions are the following:
                               6-54

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(1)   On average,  the  relationship between XRF readings and the
     true  lead level  (represented by the laboratory ICP result)
     is nondecreasing,  and not  restricted to being strictly
     linear;

(2)   The standard deviation of  XRF measurements at a fixed lead
     level (represented by the  laboratory ICP result)  is also a
     nondecreasing function of  the lead level (or ICP), but not
     restricted to a  particular functional form;

(3)   The standardized residuals,  formed by subtracting the mean
     response  from XRF measurements and dividing by the standard
     deviation,  are approximately independent,  standard normal
     random variables.

     Assumptions (1)  and (2)  include the model that is developed
in the  following section,  but are very broad and include a wide
range of other possibilities as well.   For example, if the mean
XRF response to lead  is linear  up to a certain point and then
becomes constant,  its overall response is not linear,  but it is
still nondecreasing.   Scatter plots of XRF readings and
laboratory ICP results suggested that both of these assumptions
were appropriate for  describing the relationship, although with
possible exceptions.   Higher levels of lead may have been
associated with older paint under multiple layers, which may be
more difficult to detect than lower levels of lead occurring in
newer paint, particularly with  an L-shell instrument.

     Assumption (3) is needed to describe, probabilistically, the
range of plausible values that  a standardized residual can take.
It appeared to be a reasonable  assumption judging from histograms
of standardized residuals that  were inspected.

     6.3.1.2    Derivation of Nonparametric Standardized Residuals

     Deriving  the standardized  residuals for an XRF-ICP
relationship requires the estimation of two quantities:  the mean
XRF response as a function of ICP,  and the standard deviation
(SD)  of XRF measurements as a function of ICP.   In both cases
nondecreasing  functions of ICP  were required.  Estimation of both
components used a technique known as monotone regression, which
is described in section 6.4.7.3.3.

     Subtracting the  monotone regression estimated response from
an XRF  measurement, and dividing by the estimated SD,  yields a
quantity that  will be referred  to as a nonparametric standardized
residual.  In essence,  nonparametric standardized residuals are a

                               6-55

-------
representation of XRF readings that are free of dependence on the
lead level,  as measured by ICP.  They show no trend when plotted
against ICP, and they do not exhibit increasing variability when
plotted against ICP.  These attributes facilitated the
designation of outliers in a way that did not require further
reference to the lead level.

     The eight XRF instrument types evaluated in the study were
categorized into 12 field classifications that were distinguished
within an instrument type by the shell (K or L) that was used,
and possibly by which of two individual machines was used.  As
stated above, the XL was omitted from outlier analysis due to its
heavy lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2 and upper truncation at 5.0
mg/cm2.   Since the performance  of  an XRF  instrument was  found to
vary significantly with the substrate, of which six were
identified in the study, separate outlier determinations were
made on 66  (11 times 6) XRF-ICP relationships.  This was done by
first deriving nonparametric standardized residuals separately
for each field classification-substrate combination.  The
Louisville pilot data were excluded from this analysis.

     6.3.1.4   An Outlier Criterion

     How large in absolute value should a nonparametric
standardized residual be in order for it to be designated as an
outlier?  Referring to a probability table of the standard normal
distribution gave an answer to this question in a manner that was
objective, while ensuring the loss of very little data,  knowing
that large residuals can be expected to arise randomly in large
samples.

     The outlier criterion was developed in two stages.   The
first stage used a rule that designated a nonparametric
standardized residual as an outlier if its absolute value
exceeded a cutoff value.  To illustrate,  suppose that a sample
has N observations.  The quantity Z(N,90) is defined to have the
following property:  the largest absolute value of N standard
normal random variables is less than Z(N,90) with a probability
of 90 percent.  The larger the value of N is, the larger Z(N,90)
is as well.  For N = 93, which is typical of brick substrate
analyses, Z(N,90) = 3.21 is the cutoff value.  For N = 356, which
is typical of wood analyses, Z(N,90) = 3.62 is the cutoff.
Applying the Z(N,90) criterion to 13,990 observations on 11 field
classifications  (excluding the XL) led to the designation of 64,
or less than one half of one percent of standard first paint
readings as outliers.
                               6-56

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    A number  of  nonparametric standardized residuals barely
failed to  meet the  Z(N,90)  criterion,  which is not unusual.  A
small  number of these,  however,  had the property that they were
present on several  instruments of the same shell type.  This may
signal the location itself  as an anomaly,  and justify the use of
a weaker outlier  designation criterion.  A weaker second stage
outlier criterion,  using a  Z(N,50) instead of a Z(N,90) cutoff
value,  was applied  if either of two conditions were met:

(1)  At least  one other instrument of the same shell type
    exceeded  the Z(N,90) cutoff value; or

(2)  At least  two other instruments of the same shell type
    exceeded  the Z(N,50) cutoff value.

    Applying  this  secondary outlier criterion led to the
designation of 20 additional XRF readings as outliers.  In total,
84 readings were  designated as outliers, which was slightly more
than one half  of  one percent of the entire sample.

    6.3.2     Outlier Data

    Tables 6-37  and 6-38 provide a listing of all 84 standard
first  paint readings identified as outliers from Denver and
Philadelphia,  respectively.  The identification numbers appearing
twice  in the tables are due to different XRF instrument field
classifications that produced an outlier for the first paint
reading at the same sample  location.  The column headings in
these  tables identify the sample identification number, XRF
instrument, substrate,  dwelling, first paint reading, and the
corresponding  laboratory result in mg/cm2  for those standard
first  paint readings identified as outliers.  Table 6-39 presents
summary statistics  for the  84 outlier first paint readings and
their  corresponding laboratory results categorized by instrument
type.   Table 6-40 provides  the same information except
categorized by shell (radiation type).  Table 6-41 provides the
frequency  and  percent of occurrence of outliers for each
substrate  categorized by XRF instrument shell.  Finally, Table
6-42 provides  the frequency and percentage of unique sampling
locations  from which readings identified as outliers were taken.
The values in  Table 6-41 describe the occurrence of first paint
reading outliers  for all XRF instruments.  Table 6-42 shows the
frequency  and  percentage of sampling locations with at least one
outlier, by substrate and shell.
                               6-57

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Table 6-37.  Listing of Standard First Reading Outliers From Denver.
ID
NUMBER
80014
80014
80038
80058
80075
80207
80207
80207
80207
80213
80218
80218
80218
80218
80218
80227
80227
80260
80260
80260
80262
80262
80262
80262
80311
80311
80323
80323
80332
80332
80332
80343
80343
80343
80343
80345
80345
80345
80345
80345
80345
80407
80518
80541
80653
80720
80720
80720
80720
80750
80773
80777
80908
80908
80908
80935
80938
80938
80945
XRF INSTRUMENT SUBSTRATE DWELLING
Lead Analyzer K- shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
MAP-3 L-shell (II)
MAP-3 L-shell (II)
X-MET 880
Lead Analyzer K-shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
XK-3 (I)
Lead Analyzer K-shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
MAP-3 K-shell (II)
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
MAP-3 L-shell (I)
X-MET 880
Lead Analyzer K-shell
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
Lead Analyzer K-shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
Lead Analyzer K-shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
MAP-3 K-shell (II)
Microlead I (I)
MAP-3 K-shell (II)
MAP-3 L-shell (II)
XK-3 (I)
Lead Analyzer K-shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
Lead Analyzer K-shell
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
MAP-3 K-shell (II)
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
XK-3 (II)
XK-3 (I)
X-MET 880
MAP-3 K-shell (II)
MAP-3 L-shell (II)
MAP-3 K-shell (I)
MAP-3 K-shell (II)
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
XK-3 (I)
Lead Analyzer K-shell
XK-3 (II)
Lead Analyzer L-shell
MAP-3 L-shell (I)
X-MET 880
X-MET 880
MAP-3 L-shell (I)
X-MET 880
X-MET 880
Wood
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Drywall
Drywall
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Brick
Plaster
Plaster
Brick
Brick
Brick
Drywall
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
6
6
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
STANDARD
FIRST
PAINT
0.800
1.869
-1.275
-1.109
0.106
1.700
4.230
3.400
5.100
3.800
1.000
2.907
3.271
4.800
4.700
0.040
0.142
1.200
2.500
2.700
1.700
2.688
3.400
3.900
14.700
16.570
2.665
2.400
3.332
1.158
1.000
0.900
1.002
1.900
1.900
1.400
3.152
2.246
4.100
3.700
1.600
4.000
0.173
-4.439
-0.901
5.781
5.321
6.900
7.100
7.600
0.500
5.300
0.960
1.728
1.112
0.113
0.203
0.055
0.165

LABORATORY
RESULT
0.00631
0.00631
0.00159
0.00087
0.00633
0.26298
0.26298
0.26298
0.26298
0.21029
0.03731
0.03731
0.03731
0.03731
0.03731
0.05038
0.05038
0.02799
0.02799
0.02799
0.07583
0.07583
0.07583
0.07583
5.75144
5.75144
0.00987
0.00987
0.00224
0.00224
0.00224
0.00028
0.00028
0.00028
0.00028
0.04183
0.04183
0.04183
0.04183
0.04183
0.04183
0.00044
0.00596
0.00063
0.02828
1.04388
1.04388
1.04388
1.04388
0.00353
1.03873
1.12200
1.66695
1.66695
1.66695
0.00128
0.00049
0.00049
0.00340
                                    6-58

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Table 6-38.  Listing of Standard First Reading Outliers From Philadelphia.
  ID
NUMBER

81210
81210
81234
81234
81234
81255
81316
81316
81340
81342
81348
81348
81348
81348
81348
81348
81350
81350
81355
81355
81710
81723
81840
81944
81953
  XRF INSTRUMENT
SUBSTRATE DWELLING
MAP-3  L-shell (I)       Metal     11
MAP-3  L-shell (II)      Metal     11
Lead Analyzer L-shell   Concrete   11
MAP-3  L-shell (I)       Concrete   11
X-MET  880              Concrete   11
Lead Analyzer K-shell   Plaster    11
Lead Analyzer L-shell   Wood      12
X-MET  880              Wood      12
X-MET  880              Plaster    12
X-MET  880              Plaster    12
Lead Analyzer K-shell   Metal     12
MAP-3  K-shell (I)       Metal     12
MAP-3  K-shell (II)      Metal     12
MAP-3  L-shell (II)      Metal     12
Microlead I  (I)         Metal     12
Microlead I  (II)       Metal     12
MAP-3  L-shell (I)       Metal     12
MAP-3  L-shell (II)      Metal     12
MAP-3  L-shell (I)       Metal     12
MAP-3  L-shell (II)      Metal     12
Microlead I  (I)         Metal     16
Microlead I  (I)         Wood      16
XK-3 (II)              Metal     17
MAP-3  K-shell (II)      Metal     18
Microlead I  (I)         Metal     18
STANDARD
  FIRST
  PAINT

  0.780
  1.176
  0.143
  0.315
  0.136
  0.900
  0.530
  0.454
  0.160
  0.139
  6.700
  6.644
   .260
   .029
   .000
   .900
  0.696
  0.858
  0.600
  0.961
  5.300
  5.300
  3.200
 -1.375
  6.100
LABORATORY
  RESULT
                    7.
                    2,
                    7.
                    7,
  0.00482
  0.00482
  0.18387
  0.18387
  0.18387
  0.05526
  0.29780
  0.29780
  0.30272
  0.23624
  1.80351
  1.80351
  1.80351
  1.80351
  1.80351
  1.80351
  0.00673
  0.00673
  0.00359
  0.00359
  0.33784
  0.00921
  0.26598
  0.09021
  0.10001
     Some observations made  from these tables  are discussed
below.

   • For all first  standard  paint readings from all XRF
     instruments  combined  and within  each substrate, readings on
     drywall contributed the greatest percentage to the  outlier
     list.  Sixteen out of a total  113 (14%) drywall readings
     from Denver  and Philadelphia were identified as outliers.
     Nine percent (17 out  of 189) of  the metal readings  in Denver
     and Philadelphia were identified as outliers followed by 7%
     of  the 355 wood readings, 6% of  the 222 plaster readings, 5%
     of  the 93 brick readings, and  3% of the 218 concrete
     readings.

   • Three sampling locations in Denver in dwelling number four
     accounted for  thirteen  of the  sixteen total drywall
     outliers.  Laboratory results  for these three samples ranged
     from 0.00028 mg/cm2 to  0.04183 tng/cm2.   These thirteen
     outliers resulted from  readings  that overestimated  the
     actual lead  level, and  ranged  from 0.900  to 4.100 mg/cm2.
     Twelve of the  thirteen  outliers  were attributable to K-shell
     XRF readings.
                                  6-59

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Table 6-39. Summary Statistics for Outlier  Data  Points  in the XRF standard First Paint Readings and Their
            Associated Laboratory TCP Value Categorized by Instrument.
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
MAP- 3 K-shell
MAP -3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
SAMPLE
SIZE
11
3
17
15
20
11
7
DATA
SOURCE
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
MEAN
2.864
0.827
0.544
0.716
3.713
0.709
0.484
0.251
4.505
0.352
0.250
0.250
3.786
0.235
MAXIMUM
14.700
5.751
0.960
1.667
16.570
5.751
2.029
1.804
7.900
1.804
1.112
1.667
7.600
1.122
MINIMUM
0.500
0.000
0.143
0.184
-4.439
0.000
-1.275
0.000
1.900
0.000
0.055
0.000
1.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILB
0.900
0.028
0.143
0.184
2.246
0.010
0.040
0.002
3.050
0.028
0.113
0.003
1.600
0.002
MEDIAN
1.200
0.055
0.530
0.298
3.152
0.042
0.696
0.005
4.400
0.059
0.142
0.050
3.800
0.042
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.700
1.039
0.960
1.667
5.321
1.044
1.158
0.050
5.700
0.300
0.173
0.298
5.300
0.266
                                                   6-60

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Table 6-40.  Summary Statistics for Outlier  Data Points in the XRF  Standard  First Paint Readings and  Their
            Associated Laboratory ICP Value  Categorized by Shell.
SHELL
K-shell
L-shell
SAMPLE
SIZE
55
29
DATA
SOURCE
XRF
Lab
XRF
Lab
MEAN
3.840
0.543
0.402
0.299
MAXIMUM
16.570
5.75
2.029
1.804
MINIMUM
-4.439
0.000
-1.275
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
1.700
0.010
0.136
0.004
MEDIAN
3.332
0.042
0.203
0.007
75TH
PERCENTILE
5.300
0.338
0.858
0.236
Table 6-41. Frequency and  Percent  of First  Standard Paint  Readings  Identified as  Outliers per  Substrate
            Categorized by Shell.
SHELL
K- she 11
L-shell
Combined
STATISTIC
Frequency
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Frequency
Percent
SUBSTRATE
Brick
1
1.1
4
4.3
5
5.4
Concrete
0
0.0
7
3.2
7
3.2
Drywall
12
10.7
4
3.6
16
13.0
Metal
10
5.3
7
3.7
17
9.0
Plaster
10
4.5
3
1.5
13
5.9
Wood
22
6.2
4
1.1
26
7.3
                                                   6-61

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Table 6-42. Frequency and Percentage of Unique Sampling Locations From Which Standard First Paint Readings Were
            Taken and Identified as Outliers for Bach Substrate  and  Categorized by Shell.
SHELL
K- shell
L-shell
Combined
STATISTIC
Frequency
Percent
Frequency
Percent
Frequency
Percent
SUBSTRATE
Brick
1
1.1
2
2.2
3
3.2
Concrete
0
0.0
4
1.8
4
1.8
Drywall
3
2.7
3
2.7
5
4.5
Metal
6
3.2
4
2.1
9
4.8
Plaster
5
2.3
3
1.4
8
3.6
Wood
9
2.5
3
0.8
12
3.4
                                                    6-62

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• Percentages of outliers  from L-shell instruments  from  each
  substrate were similar.  The percent of outliers from K-shell
  instruments from each substrate was more variable ranging from
  0.0% (concrete)  to 10.7% (drywall).

• Sixty-five  percent  of  the  standard first  paint  readings
  identified as outliers were taken by XRF instruments reporting
  K-shell results.   The mean of these readings was 3.8 mg/cm2.
  The  mean  of   the  outlier  readings  taken  using  L-shell
  instruments was significantly less with  a  reported value of
  0 .4 mg/cm2.

• All 84  of  the outliers were  taken from 41  unique sampling
  locations.   The K-shell instruments produced 55 outliers and
  the L-shell instruments produced 29 outliers.

• The  55 outliers  attributable  to the  K-shell  instruments
  occurred at 24 unique  sampling locations.    The  29 outliers
  produced by the L-shell  instruments were taken from 19 unique
  sampling locations.

• Readings  taken on  only  two  sampling  locations  produced
  outliers from both  K-shell  and L-shell  instruments.   There
  were seven  sampling locations  for which  four or  more XRF
  instruments had outliers.
                            6-63

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     6.4  ESTIMATION OF THE ACCURACY OF XRF MEASUREMENTS

     The two fundamental aspects of XRF measurement accuracy are
bias and variability in using XRF readings to infer the true
level of lead in paint.  Bias refers to a systematic tendency of
the instrument to either underestimate or overestimate the true
lead level.  Variability refers to the fluctuation that the
instrument exhibits in producing measurements on surfaces with
the same level of lead in paint.  The purpose of this section is
to present estimates of the bias and standard deviation (a
measure of variability) for the six XRF instruments considered in
the study.  This section addresses the following study
objectives:

•    To characterize the performance (precision and accuracy) of
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions;

•    To evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from the material or substrate underlying the paint.

     Designing analyses of the XRF data to meet these objectives
raised a number of complex statistical issues.  Laboratory ICP
measurements were used as substitutes for the true lead levels in
paint at the locations where XRF measurements were made.  This
substitution was prone to error from two sources:

 (1)  Spatial variation, which is a consequence of the fact that
     XRF measurements could not be made at exactly the same
     locations where paint specimens were collected for
     laboratory analysis;

 (2)  Laboratory error, which encompasses variation due both to
     the ICP instrument, and to the processing of paint samples
     prior to instrumental analysis.

     Assessing the relationship of XRF measurements to the true
levels of lead in paint, with only imperfect knowledge of the
true lead levels, is a statistical estimation problem for which
standard or elementary techniques are not designed.  In addition,
XRF instruments were evaluated in the full study under conditions
where machines, operators, and other factors that may have
affected measurements varied.

     An attempt has been made to keep the narrative of this
chapter at an intuitive level, while recognizing that the issues
raised do not always lend themselves to a terse or elementary
treatment.  For this reason, many of the technical details

                               6-64

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underlying the analyses have been placed in section  6.4.8  at the
end of this chapter.  The reader may find it helpful to refer  to
the more detailed treatment of statistical issues given there  if
the motivation or terminology for the analyses is not clear.

     The organization of this section is as follows.   Section
6.4.1 lays out the objectives of XRF data analysis in general
terms,  section 6.4.2 describes, in nontechnical terms, the
methodology used to describe the relationship between XRF
measurements and the level of lead, accounting for spatial
variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.   From  this
relationship estimates of the bias and standard deviation  of XRF
readings at various levels of lead were obtained.

     Section 6.4.3 describes the data that were used in the
analyses, and explains why certain data from the pilot study,  and
data designated as outliers, were excluded.

     Section 6.4.4 is a detailed narrative, by XRF instrument  and
substrate, of the XRF-true lead relationships estimated from the
data.  Estimates of model parameters, and of XRF bias and
standard deviation at lead levels of 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2,
are presented.  Eight measurement regimes derived from six
distinct instruments are considered in separate subsections:

     6.4.4.1  Lead Analyzer K-shell
     6.4.4.2  Lead Analyzer L-shell
     6.4.4.3  MAP-3 K-shell
     6.4.4.4  MAP-3 L-shell
     6.4.4.5  Microlead  (ML) I
     6.4.4.6  X-MET 880
     6.4.4.7  XK-3
     6.4.4.8  XL

     The Microlead I and XK-3 are solely K-shell instruments,  and
the X-MET 880 and XL  (as tested) are solely L-shell  instruments,
so that results on four instruments per shell are described.   The
highest level of aggregation attempted within each instrument
type was that of substrate, six of which were represented  in the
study:  brick, concrete, drywall, metal, plaster, and wood.
Section 6.4.4 thus describes 48 "aggregate" analyses,  with
additional analyses included at finer levels of detail where
appropriate.  At the end of each section a summary is provided to
describe features of instrument performance that generalized
across substrates.
                               6-65

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      In the analyses presented in section 6.4.4, the
 representative XRF measurement is taken to be the first nominal
 15-second reading.  Since three consecutive nominal 15-second
 readings were made in  the full study,  the question of whether to
 use the average of the three readings as the representative
 measurement was of interest.  Section 6.4.5 gives a detailed
 explanation of why the use of the average did not result in a
 substantial improvement over the use of the first reading alone.

     With the exception of the Lead Analyzer K-shell, the XRF
 instruments that were  evaluated were prone to exhibit significant
 bias either generally,  or under certain conditions.  Section
 6.4.6 considers the efficacy of correcting XRF readings for bias,
using readings on NIST SRM films over control blocks, and over
the substrate at sampled locations with paint removed.

     Section 6.4.7 states conclusions in more detail and provides
a summary for the entire section.  Section 6.4.8 elaborates on
methodological issues,  including the development of the XRF
measurement model.

     6.4.1     Objectives of Data Analysis

     The central focus of this chapter is to determine how
 accurately the XRF instruments measured the amount of lead in
 paint^ As stated above, XRF accuracy consists of two components:
 bias and variability.   Bias is quantified by the long-run average
 (or expected value) of XRF readings at a particular level of
 lead, minus the true  level of lead.  For example, if an
 instrument produced a large number of readings on the red NIST
 SRM film, which has a lead level of 1.02 mg/cm2, and the average
 of these  readings was 0.89 mg/cm2,  the estimated bias would be
 0.89  - 1-02  = -0.13 mg/cm2 at a true lead level of 1.02 mg/cm2.
 The bias  may change with the lead level, which was found to be
 true  for  all L-shell  instruments, and possibly certain K-shell
 instruments as well.

      Variability  is quantified by the standard deviation  (SD) of
 the readings obtained with an XRF instrument, at a fixed level  of
 lead. An instrument  that is unbiased but has a large SD is not
 necessarily better  than a biased instrument with a small SD.
 Like bias, the SD of  an instrument was often found to vary with
 the lead level.

      The bias and variability of an XRF instrument did not
 usually lend themselves to being resolved in a meaningful way to
 a single set of fixed numbers.  These quantities often varied,

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not  only with the level  of lead,  but also with the particular
machine  used,  with the person operating the machine,  and with
other, circumstances of measurement.

     Estimation of the bias and variability of an XRF instrument
from a long series of  observations at fixed lead levels, on
painted  surfaces under field conditions,  could not be done with
the  full study data.   The lead levels obtained in the field
samples  were not known in advance,  making replication of this
kind impossible.   The  primary objective of the analyses presented
in this  chapter was to describe how an XRF instrument performed
at various  lead levels by means of a statistical model.  From the
model it was possible  to obtain estimates of the bias and SD at a
given level of lead in paint.   Standard errors for estimates
derived  from the model were also estimated, which facilitates the
derivation  of approximate confidence intervals and hypothesis
testing.

     Two levels of lead  were of particular interest:   0.0 mg/cm2
(the absence of lead in  paint), and 1.0 mg/cm2.   Estimates of the
bias and standard deviation at these two levels of lead were
compared to control block summary statistics for readings made on
bare substrate,  and on red NIST SRM film placed over bare
substrate.

     The model used for  this purpose is discussed in the
following section.  Alternatives to the use of a model, including
nonparametric estimation, were not capable of making inferences
about the XRF-true lead  relationship based on the observable XRF-
ICP  relationship, accounting for imprecision due to using ICP
measurements as substitutes for the true lead levels.  In spite
of this  limitation, nonparametric methods were used to assess
important aspects of model fit, and are discussed in the
narrative.

     6.4.2      The XRF Measurement Model

     A statistical model was developed to describe the
relationship of XRF instrument readings to the true lead levels,
recognizing that the relationship cannot be perfectly
descriptive, due to the  presence of factors such as instrumental
error.  The model served two purposes:  it gave estimates of
quantities  related to XRF instrument performance at various lead
levels,  and it gave an overall description of how XRF and lead
levels were related.
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     The selection of an appropriate model was complicated by the
fact that the true lead levels in the field samples were not
known.  Since the combined effect of spatial variation and
laboratory error in ICP measurements was usually small relative
to the range of lead levels represented in a sample, deducing
basic model attributes from the observable XRF-ICP relationship
appeared to be reasonable.  A model for describing XRF
performance without taking this type of imprecision into account
was developed first.  Nonparametric estimates were also derived,
permitting an assessment of model attributes using graphical
tools.  Finally, provision for the substitution of ICP
measurements for true lead levels was made, giving the XRF
measurement model, upon which subsequent analyses, including
those presented in section 6.4.4, were based.

     6.4.2.1   Basic Model Attributes

     The top graph of Figure 6-1 is a scatterplot of XRF versus
ICP measurements for one of the K-shell instruments evaluated in
the full study.  The 294 readings represented in the scatterplot
were made by one operator, using one machine, on one substrate
type, in one city.  This scatterplot illustrates several
important attributes of the XRF-ICP relationship, and perhaps of
the XRF-true lead relationship as well:

     1.   An essentially linear relationship between XRF and ICP
          measurements is evident.
     2.   The variability of XRF values increases as the ICP
          level increases  (a condition known as
          heteroscedasticity, or nonconstant variance).
     3.   The distribution of ICP measurements is heavily
          weighted towards lower values, which might suggest a
          logarithmic transformation of both the XRF and ICP
          measurements to preserve linearity; but,
     4.   A logarithmic transformation of XRF measurements is not
          possible, because zero and even negative values are
          present, which in part explains why they appear, in
          this example, to be nearly unbiased when the ICP level
          approaches zero, while at the same time exhibiting
          variance that remains substantial.

     It is interesting to note that of the 294 ICP measurements,
which ranged from nearly 0.0 mg/cm2 to over 30 mg/cm2, 54  (nearly
one-fifth) were less than 0.01 mg/cm2.   The bottom plot of Figure
6-1 reveals more detailed information about the distribution of
XRF readings at low levels of lead.  It is a histogram, showing
how XRF readings corresponding to the 54 ICP measurements less

                               6-68

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                         Scatterplot of XRF versus ICP: N = 294
                          10
                              15       20
                              ICP (mg/cm2)
25
30
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                  Histogram of 54 XRF values with ICP less than 0.01 mg/cm2
Figure  6-1.
             Scatterplot  and  histogram illustrating  the XRP-ICP
             relationship.
                                     6-69

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 than 0.01 mg/cm2 were distributed across 10 equally spaced
 subintervals.   The shape  of  the  histogram  suggests a normal
 curve, and  it  reaffirms that negative XRF  readings with this
 instrument  were not uncommon.

     In  section 6.4.8.2.1 a  simple model is described that
 captures the attributes of the above example.  There are two
 components  to  the model:   a  response component that
 mathematically describes  the mean XRF reading at a particular
 level of lead,  and a SD component that describes the variation in
 XRF readings as a function of the lead level.  These two
 components  are determined from the four model parameters, denoted
 a, b, c  and d.   The XRF response is a linear function of the lead
 level, given by a + Jb- (Pb) ,  where Pb refers to the lead level in
 mg/cm2,   and  is  measured by ICP.  The SD is a nonlinear function
 of the lead level, given  by  the  quantity  [c + b- (Pb)2]1/2.   As  the
 lead level  increases,  the SD more closely  resembles a linear
 function.   The four model parameters were  estimated from the data
 using maximum  likelihood  under an assumption that XRF readings
 are normally distributed  at  fixed lead levels.

     The model is essentially a  weighted regression, with a
weight function (given by the reciprocal of the  squared SD) that
 is also  estimated from the data. Large, apparently influential
 observations that have correspondingly large SD  estimates were
 assigned smaller weights  in  the  regression.  Since most of the
 lead levels were clustered at lower values where the SD was also
 smallest,  these data usually had the greatest influence in
 determining the model estimates.

     €.4.2.2   Nonparametric Estimation

     It  was also possible to derive  estimates of the response and
 SD of XRF readings that  did  not  rely on the development of a
 statistical model.  These nonparametric estimates  assumed  only
 that the mean XRF reading was a  nondecreasing function of  the
 lead level, and that its  standard  deviation was  also
 nondecreasing.  Monotone  regression  was used to  produce estimates
 meeting  both conditions.   It was also used to develop an outlier
 criterion for the XRF data.   Monotone regression,  and its  use in
 describing XRF performance,  is described  in  section 6.4.8.2.3.

      If  the model described in section  6.4.2.1  is  an appropriate
 choice  for the data, the monotone  regression and model estimates
 should be similar, although they cannot be identical.  One
 respect  in which  these two estimates always  differ is that the
 model  produces smooth, continuous  functions  as  estimates  of the

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response and SD components,  while  monotone regression produces
"step functions" that  are  not  smooth in appearance.  Monotone
regression was used primarily  as a graphical tool for evaluating
model performance, and for estimating the performance of an
instrument where model estimates were not reliable.

    Unlike the model,  there is no clear way to adapt the
nonparametric estimates to account for spatial variation and
laboratory error in ICP measurements.   Monotone regression
estimates were based on the oJbservaJble XRF-ICP relationship,
which again is not the same as the unobservable relationship of
XRF readings to the true lead  level.   Where the model was clearly
inadequate for describing  critical aspects of XRF performance,
the nonparametric estimates may be preferred in spite of this
shortcoming.  One case where this  may be true concerns the XL
instrument, which is described in  section 6.4.4.8.

    6.4.2.3   Model Versus Nonparametric Estimation:
              Illustration

    Figure 6-2 shows  graphically  how the model and nonparametric
estimates compare, using the example illustrated in Figure 6-1.
In the top graph, the  estimated model response function a +
Jy (Pb) , with ICP representing  the  lead level Pb, is plotted as a
solid line, where a =  -.027, and Jb = 1.235.  The nonparametric
(monotone regression)  estimate is  plotted with dashed lines.
Individual data are plotted with large dots.   At ICP = .008
mg/cm2 (the largest ICP measurement  less  than .01 mg/cm2) , the
model estimate of the  bias is  -.027 + 1.235- (.008) = -.017
mg/cm2,  compared to a  nonparametric  estimate of -.182 mg/cm2.   In
absolute terms, the two estimates  of the bias are close, with a
difference of  .165 mg/cm2.   At ICP =  1.0  mg/cm2 the model
estimate is 1.208 mg/cm2,  compared to  a nonparametric estimate of
1.275 mg/cm2,  again reflecting the close  agreement between the
model and nonparametric response function estimates.

    The bottom graph  shows the  SD estimated by the model (solid
line) and by the nonparametric technique  (dotted line).
Agreement between the  two  estimates is close for lead levels
smaller than about 5.0 mg/cm2.  The  model SD is the square root
of the quantity c + d- (Pb)2.   Substituting c = .309 and d =  .116,
at ICP =  .008 mg/cm2 the model SD  estimate is given by the square
root of  .309 +  .116- (.008)2, or  .556  mg/cm2.  At  ICP  = 1.0 mg/cm2
the estimate is the square root  of .309 +  .116- (l.O)2 = .652
mg/cm2.   These are compared to nonparametric estimates of  .464
mg/cm2 and .634 mg/cm2  respectively.
                              6-71

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                    XRF versus ICP: response modeling (N = 294)
                        10
                               25
         15      20

            ICP

XRF versus ICP: SD modeling (N = 294)
                                   ICP
30
35
Figure  6-2
Example   illustrating  model  and   non-parametric
estimation of  XRF  performance.    Solid  lines  are
model  estimates.    Dashed lines  are  nonparametric
(monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-72

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    In section 6.4.4, the question of model fit is  considered
separately for each instrument-substrate combination,  using both
model-based and nonparametric estimation.  In most instances the
model fits the data well, possibly by restricting the  analysis to
data in a limited ICP range where the model appears  to capture
the important aspects of XRF performance.

    6.4.2.4   Accounting for Spatial Variation and  Laboratory
              Error in ICP Measurements

    In the above example, no provision was made for the
imprecise substitution of ICP measurements for true  lead  levels.
The underlying assumption is that if a model having  the stated
form accurately describes the XRF-ICP relationship,  then  a  model
of a similar form is appropriate for the XRF-true lead
relationship.  This assumption is valid provided that  the effect
caused by the substitution was small relative to the range  of
lead levels represented in the data.

    The XRF measurement model has the same form as  the model
described in section 6.4.2.1, except that it makes provision for
the combined effect of spatial variation and laboratory error in
ICP measurements.  The rationale for and development of the XRF
measurement model is given in sections 6.4.8.2.4 through
6.4.8.2.6.

    6.4.2.5   Interpretation and Comparison of Model  Estimates

    All four parameters of the XRF measurement model  have
important meanings in describing the performance of  an XRF
instrument:

    •    Parameter a is the intercept, and is compared to  a
         value of 0.0 to determine if the instrument  produced
         unbiased readings in the absence of lead;

    •    Parameter b is the slope, and is compared  to a  value of
         1.0 to determine if the instrument responded in a
         proportionate way to changes in the lead level;

    •    Parameter c is the variance  (standard deviation
         squared) of XRF readings at a lead level of  0.0 mg/cm2;

    •    Parameter d measures the homogeneity of variance  as the
         lead level increases, and is compared to a value  of 0.0
         to determine if the variability of XRF measurements
         remained constant as the lead level changed.

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     The slope coefficient Jb measures the change in the average
XRF reading resulting from a change of 1.0 mg/cm2  in the  lead
level.  An instrument is proportionately responsive to the lead
level if Jb is equal to 1.0,  it is under-responsive if Jb is less
than 1.0, and it is over-responsive if b is greater than 1.0.
Only instruments that are proportionately responsive to the lead
level and have intercept coefficients equal to 0.0 give unbiased
readings at all lead levels.  Under-responsive instruments with a
approximately equal to 0.0,  which was typical of the L-shell
instruments in the full study, have negative biases that become
more pronounced as the lead level increases.  The K-shell
instruments were generally proportionately responsive, with
biases approximately equal to the intercept coefficients.

     Hypothesis testing can be performed by constructing
confidence intervals with the parameter estimates and their
estimated standard errors.  Adding and subtracting 2 times the
standard error corresponds to a confidence level of about 95
percent.  Although use of the 95 percent confidence level is
widely accepted, many in the statistics community recommend a
more conservative criterion, such as the 99.7 percent confidence
level corresponding to an interval width of 3 times the standard
error.  There are several reasons why a more conservative
criterion may be preferred:

1.   Multiple inferences.  As the number of confidence intervals
     simultaneously considered increases, the number of expected
     instances where the confidence interval fails to cover the
     quantity of interest increases proportionately.  Out of
     every hundred 95 percent confidence intervals, for instance,
     5 failures can be expected.  A more conservative criterion
     can sharply reduce the number of expected failures when
     multiple inferences are made.

2.   Lack of model fit.  The models presented in section 6.4,
     like most statistical models, are approximatations.   Wider
     confidence intervals allow greater leeway for effects due to
     imperfection of the model.

3.   Sampling effects.  The study data were not, as a matter of
     necessity, obtained from simple random samples.  Clustering
     by unit, paint type, machine, or operator may cause standard
     error estimates to be understated.  A more conservative
     criterion allows greater leeway for this effect.

     To illustrate, suppose that an estimated model has Jb = 1.25
with a standard error =0.08.  A 95 percent confidence interval

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is given by 1.25 ± 2-(.08),  or  1.09 to 1.41.  Using a width of 3
standard errors gives an  interval  of 1.01 to 1.49.  Neither of
these two intervals contains 1.0,  leading to the conclusion that
the instrument was marginally over-responsive to changes in the
lead level.  Use of the wider confidence interval gives
additional leeway for the factors  mentioned above.  In marginal
cases such as the present example,  even the failure of the wider
confidence interval to contain  1.0 should not be regarded as
strong evidence that the  instrument is inherently over-
responsive.

    Another kind of comparison that is of interest concerns
estimates derived from different groups of data.  Where the XRF
measurement model was fit to nonoverlapping groups of data
delineated by machine, operator, or other factors of interest, a
comparison of the estimated  model  parameters could be made to
infer whether or not significant differences were evident.  This
was be done by computing  a chi-square statistic based on joint
differences of the four estimated  model parameters a, b, c, and
d.  It is possible to limit  the chi-square statistic to certain
parameters, such as a and Jb  dealing with the response function.
The chi-square statistic  has the  same number of degrees of
freedom as the number of  parameters used in its calculation.

    Statistical tests were  used  in a limited way to assess
differences between models that were estimated on distinct groups
of data defined by a certain factor, such as machine or city.
The use of statistical testing  for this purpose should not be
regarded as a panacea for disposing of what are, in actuality,
very complex issues.  The models  do not explain the data
perfectly, and effects due to machines, operators, and cities
were confounded with lead levels  to various degrees.  These
reasons alone make statistically  significant results all but
certain with large samples.   Conclusions regarding significant
results should take the magnitude  of the effect into account, and
seek confirmation from other sources, such as the control block
data.

    6.4.2.6   Comparison to Control Block Data

    Summaries of control block data are presented along with the
results of model estimation, by instrument and substrate type, in
section 6.4.4.  Estimates of the  bias and SD are given for the
first nominal 15-second readings  made on bare substrate  (0.0
mg/cm2),  on red NIST SRM  film (1.02 mg/cm2) , and on yellow NIST
SRM film  (3.53 mg/cm2) .   Because a large number of readings were
made for each of these fixed, precisely measured lead levels, it

                               6-75

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was not necessary to use a model in order to obtain estimates.
The SD estimates reported are sample standard deviations,
calculated both separately by machine, and combined over groups
of machines where appropriate.  The bias estimates reported are
sample average readings minus the lead level of the film (or bare
substrate) used.

     6.4.3     Data Used in Analyses

     The ICP measurement of the primary paint-chip sample,
expressed in area (mg/cm2)  units,  was used to represent  the  true
lead level of the field sample.  The representative XRF
measurement used in the analyses presented in section 6.4.4 was
the first nominal 15-second reading.  The use of the average of
three successive readings as the representative XRF measurement
is discussed in section 6.4.5, and the use of the first reading
corrected for bias is discussed in section 6.4.6.  Data from the
full study (Denver and Philadelphia) were the primary focus of
the analyses.

     6.4.3.1   Use of the Louisville Pilot Data

     Data from the Louisville pilot study consisted of readings
taken with a limited set of instruments:  X-MET 880, XK-3,  MAP-3,
and Microlead I.  The X-MET 880 in Louisville used a Cd109 source
with a strength of 5 mC dated August 1992, while the X-MET 880 in
Denver and Philadelphia used a Cm244 source with a strength of 100
mC dated September 1991.  The MAP-3 in Louisville performed one
standard measurement using a nominal 60-second reading,  while the
MAP-3 in Denver and Philadelphia performed three standard
measurements using nominal 15-second readings.  Also, the MAP-3
in Louisville truncated its readings at 0.0 mg/cm2,  unlike  the
Denver and Philadelphia MAP-3 machines, which gave negative
readings for both the K- and L-shells.  Hence, only the Microlead
I and XK-3 were comparable between the full and pilot studies.

     Given the small sample sizes obtained from the pilot study
when substrate detail was considered  (100 observations per
instrument, 33 on wood being the largest substrate sample size),
the gain from combining the pilot data with the full study data
was not great, with the possible exception of wood substrate
analyses.  Pilot study data were combined with the full study
data for certain Microlead I and XK-3 analyses.  X-MET 880
analyses on metal, plaster and wood for the pilot data were
conducted to illustrate their differences from the full study
data.
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     6.4.3.2    Outliers

     Section  6.3  describes  the  methodology used for identifying
outliers in the XRF  data.   Data identified as outliers were
omitted from  the  analyses reported in section 6.4.   Only 84
observations  were designated as outliers,  which was slightly more
than  one half of  one percent of the data available  for analysis.
Other "borderline cases" were occasionally identified in the
analyses reported in section 6.4.4.  Since outliers are not cut-
and-dried phenomena,  discretion was used in deciding whether
borderline cases  should be  used in reported results.

     6.4.3.3    The Treatment of Non-detects

     Of the 1,290 sample locations where paint chip samples were
analyzed for  lead content,  54 (4.2%)  had ICP measurements below
the detection limit.   Drywall samples were the most affected,
with  16 out of 124 (12.9%)  samples classified as non-detects.
For an ICP measurement classified as a non-detect,  the lead level
of the sample is  estimated  to be no greater than the recorded
detection limit.   A  detailed explanation of non-detects and the
meaning of the detection limit  is presented in Chapter 4.

     Analyses of  the field  sample data reported in section 6.4
used  the detection limit as the ICP measurement in cases where
non-detects were  encountered.  Since the lead level of a non-
detect paint  chip sample is indicated to be very low, the choice
of the detection  limit, or  any  other small value consistent with
the designation of the sample as a non-detect, had a negligible
effect on estimates  relating the performance of an XRF instrument
to the lead level.

     6.4.3.4    Control Block Data

     Beginning, ending, and continuing control block readings
were  made on  bare substrate  (0.0 rag/cm2) ,  and on red (1.02
mg/cm2) and yellow (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST SRM films placed over the
substrate.  Studying the performance of an instrument on the
control blocks could, in principle, give an idea of how the
instrument responded to different levels of lead, with full
knowledge of  the  actual lead levels.

     Summary  statistics for the control block data are included
as part of the analyses, although with several caveats.  The
control block data reflected instrumental sources of variability
only, while in practice other sources of variability affected XRF
performance to a  greater degree.  The level of operator

                               6-77

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intervention needed to make XRF readings differed between the
field samples and the control blocks.   On the field samples,  the
XRF instruments had to be repositioned from location to location,
at differing heights, angles, and surface textures.  These
factors, which were relatively constant between successive
control block readings, may represent  contributions to the
variability of field sample data that  are not present in control
block data.

     The control block data were also  used in attempting to
correct XRF field sample measurements  for bias.  The efficacy of
bias correction is discussed in section 6.4.6.

     6.4.4     XRF Estimation;  Presentation of Results

     This section presents estimates pertaining to the accuracy
of XRF measurements that were derived  for each of the six
substrates encountered within each of  the eight instrument
classes evaluated.  Each of the 48 narratives is organized as
follows:

     •    Sample breakdown by machine, operator, and city, and
          the identification of outliers;
     •    Matched pair analysis for instruments having two field
          classifications;
     •    Graphical evaluation of response and SD modeling, which
          does not account for the imprecise substitution of ICP
          measurements for true lead levels;
     •    Presentation of XRF measurement model estimates, with
          comparison to estimates based on control blocks.

     Graphical information is presented in the same format used
in Figure 6-2, consisting of separate  plots for the response and
SD functions.  In the top plot, the response function estimated
by the model  (the mean XRF measurement at a fixed ICP level)  is
graphed as a solid line.  The dashed line is the monotone
regression of XRF on ICP measurements, which does not depend on a
particular model form.  The data are scatterplotted with large
dots.  In the bottom plot, the SD of XRF measurements, estimated
by the model as a function of the ICP  measurement, is graphed as
a solid line, and a nonparametric SD estimate based on monotone
smoothing of squared residuals is graphed as a dashed line.

     As stated above, the assumption underlying the use of these
plots for diagnostic purposes is that  basic issues of model fit
can be addressed with the observable XRF-ICP relationship,
notwithstanding the fact that the unobservable XRF-true lead

                               6-78

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relationship  is  the  subject  of  interest.   This assumption appears
to be reasonable.

    Results  are presented,  where  possible,  for subgroupings that
are  homogeneous with respect to factors  (such as operators and
machines), provided  that  there  are at least  25 observations in
the  subgrouping.  Machines are  referred to by XRF code numbers.
Human operators  are  referred to by operator  code letters.

    Standard errors of estimates  from the XRF measurement model
and  from  the  control block data are shown in parentheses beneath
the  estimates.   Beginning, end  of  day,  and continuing control
block readings were  used.  The  first of three nominal 15-second
control block readings was taken as the representative
measurement,  in  order to  facilitate comparison with the field
sample data.   Section 6.4.2.5 explains how model estimates can be
used to draw  conclusions  about  the performance of an instrument.
The  propriety of pooling  data across factors was generally
assumed,  even in light of statistically significant differences,
unless a  distorted picture of how  the instrument can be expected
to perform would emerge as a result.

    Duplicate sets  of readings were made with the MAP-3  (K- and
L-shells), Microlead I, and  XK-3 instruments at all sample
locations in  the full study. The  term field classification is
used to describe one full set of such readings across all sample
locations.  The  analysis  of  field  classified data, including the
sign tests and Fisher's exact test that were used, is described
in section 6.4.8.3.

    Results  of  statistical  tests  are presented in the form of
p-values, expressed  as percentages.  For example, a p-value of
0.01 percent  is  the  same  as  0.0001.

    6.4.4.1   Results for Lead Analyzer K-shell

    Data for the Lead Analyzer K-shell were obtained in Denver
and  Philadelphia (not Louisville).  Two machines  (1 and 2) were
used by the one  operator  (A) of this instrument type.  Machine 1
was  used  in both Denver  and  Philadelphia, and Machine 2 was used
in Philadelphia  only.  It is not possible to attribute effects to
the  operator, but comparisons between cities and between
instruments within operator  can be made for some substrates.
                               6-79

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     6.4.4.1.1 Lead Analyzer K-shell on Brick

     There were 93 observations of the Lead Analyzer K-shell on
brick, none of which were designated as outliers.  Readings on
Machine 1 were made 87 times, 81 in Denver and 6 in Philadelphia.
Readings on Machine 2 were made 6 times, all in Philadelphia.
There were too few data to meaningfully fit the XRF measurement
model to Machine 2 or to Philadelphia data separately.

     Figure 6-3 shows the response and SD components of the XRF
data fit to ICP measurements, before accounting for the combined
effect of spatial variation and laboratory error.  The ICP range
is heavily clustered toward smaller values, with values above 5.0
mg/cm2 somewhat separated,  and possibly following a different
relationship.  The nonparametric response flattens out at about
5.0 mg/cm2,  and the model  may not  be reliable  beyond that  point.
Since there were no locations with ICP measurements between
0.8042 mg/cm2 and 4.6567 mg/cm2 that gave usable data, it  is
impossible to tell where or how the relationship may have
changed.  Inference at the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead level must therefore
be approached with caution.  Both SD estimates appear to capture
the nonconstant XRF variability, and the model suggests higher
variability as the lead level increases.

     Table 6-43 gives the results of fitting the XRF measurement
model, taking into account the imprecise substitution of ICP
measurements for true lead levels.  The fit to the 81 readings of
Machine 1 in Denver may give the best indication of how well the
Lead Analyzer K-shell performed on brick.  The addition of the
six Philadelphia readings degraded the fit somewhat, possibly due
to the fact that three of these had high XRF readings in the low
ICP range.

     Comparing bias and SD estimates at 0.0 mg/cm2 and at  1.0
mg/cm2 to the control block summary reported in Table 6-44
suggests that, for Machine 1, variability in addition to machine
error was exhibited in the field sample measurements as the lead
level increased.  Bias estimates differ markedly at about 1.0
mg/cm2,  with a downward bias suggested by the  model that  is not
evident in the control block data.  But this may be due to poor
model fit at that lead level.

     Restricting the analysis to ICP measurements less than 1.0
mg/cm2 reduced the estimated bias  to about -0.09 (0.08) mg/cm2,
which is not statistically significant and is more in line with
the control block estimates.  The estimated SD, however,  was
reduced to 0.109, which does not agree with the control block

                               6-80

-------
   o
   u
   •o
   •a
   to
   T3
   CO
                 Lead Analyzer (K) on brick, N = 93: response modeling
                                   ICP
                   Lead Analyzer (K) on brick, N = 93: SD modeling
                                   ICP
Figure 6-3
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer  K-shell  on
brick.   Solid lines are model  estimates.    Dashed
lines   are   nonparametric   (monotone   regression)
estimates.
                                 6-81

-------
Table 6-43.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Brick:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1 , Denver
Machine 1, Denver and
Philadelphia
Machines 1 & 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
81
87
93
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.055
(.017)
0.080
(.024)
0.084
(.023)
b
0.720
(.053)
0.702
(.055)
0.703
(.055)
c
0.012
(.003)
0.028
(.006)
0.030
(.006)
d
0.030
(.019)
0.023
(.017)
0.026
(.017)
Pb»0.0 mg/cin2
BIAS
0.055
(.017)
0.080
(.024)
0.084
(.023)
SD
0.107
0.167
0.173
Pb»l,0 ing/ cm2
BIAS
-0.225
(.049)
-0.219
(.050)
-0.213
(-.051)
SD
0.204
0.226
0.229
Table 6-44.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Brick:  Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
51
12
63
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm1)
BIAS
0.044
(.015)
0.071
(.036)
0.049
(.014)
SD
0.108
0.126
0.111
RED NIST SRH
(1.02 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.080
(.028)
0.080
(.104)
0.080
(.030)
SD
0.197
0.362
0.235
YELLOW HIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.107
(.087)
0.087
(.076)
0.103
(.056)
SD
0.476
0.262
0.445
                                                   6-82

-------
data.

    6.4.4.1.2 Lead Analyzer K-shell on Concrete

    There were 218 observations of the Lead Analyzer K-shell on
concrete, none of which  were designated as outliers.   Readings on
Machine 1 were made 179  times,  98 in Denver and 81 in
Philadelphia.  Readings  on Machine 2 were made 39 times,  all in
Philadelphia.

    Figure 6-4 shows  the  response and SD components  of the model
as fit to ICP measurements before provision for the combined
effect of spatial variation and laboratory error.  The model fit
appears to be good with  respect  to both estimated components,
especially for ICP measurements  less than about 4.0 mg/cm2.
Table 6-45 gives the results of  fitting the XRF measurement model
to the data under various  subgroupings,  and pooled.  Table 6-46
reports control block  results by machine,  and pooled.

    There is little indication of either city or machine
effects.  Chi-square statistics  on the four parameters (4 degrees
of freedom) had p-values in excess of 10 percent comparing Denver
and Philadelphia within  Machine  1,  and Machines 1 and 2 within
Philadelphia.  The pooled  results (N = 218)  indicate  how the
instrument performed overall.   The control block summary likewise
does not show significant  machine effects.

    Neither the model nor the  control blocks indicate serious
bias.  At the 0.0 mg/cm2 lead level,  the model  SD (0.114  mg/cm2)
and bare control block SD  (0.111 mg/cm2) are very close,  but  the
model SD estimates are larger at the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead  levsl.   This
may reflect non-instrumental sources of variability present in
the field sample data, but not  in the control blocks.

    6.4.4.1.3 Lead Analyzer K-shell on Drywall

    There were 113 observations of the Lead Analyzer K-shell on
drywall, 2 of which were designated as outliers  (80343 and
80345) , leaving 111 observations used in estimation.   All
readings were made by  Machine 1,  103 in Denver and 8  in
Philadelphia.  Testing machine  or city effects by fitting
separate models was not  possible.

    Figure 6-5 shows  the  response and SD components  of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and  laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
appear to agree with the nonparametric estimates reasonably well.

                              6-83

-------
.o
.
u
•a
03
•O
             Lead Analyzer (K) on concrete, N = 218: response modeling
                                ICP
              Lead Analyzer (K) on concrete, N = 218: SD modeling
                               ICP
            Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer K-shell  on
            concrete.  Solid lines are  model estimates.   Dashed
            lines   are  nonparametric    (monotone   regression)
            estimates.
Figure  6-4
                             6-84

-------
Table 6-45. Lead Analyzer K-shell on Concretes   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1 , Denver
Machine 1 ,
Philadelphia
Machine 1, Denver and
Philadelphia
Machine 2 ,
Philadelphia
Machines 1 & 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
98
81
179
39
218
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.017
(.015)
-0.007
(.021)
0.010
(.012)
0.066
(.036)
0.017
(.012)
b
1.066
(.102)
0.964
(.076)
0.974
(.058)
0.865
(.147)
0.972
(.054)
c
0.014
(.003)
0.011
(.003)
0.013
(.002)
0.016
(.007)
0.013
(.002)
d
0.183
(.070)
0.087
(.041)
0.121
(.033)
0.092
(.090)
0.124
(.032)
PbnO.O mg/cm*
BIAS
0.017
(.015)
-0.007
(.021)
0.010
(.012)
0.066
(.036)
0.017
(.012)
SD
0.118
0.105
0.113
0.127
0.114
Pbal.O mg/cm1
BIAS
.083
(.100)
-0.043
(.070)
-0.016
(.053)
-0.069
(.122)
-0.011
(.049)
SD
0.444
0.313
0.366
0.328
0.371
Table 6-46.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Concrete:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
65
12
77
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.013
(.014)
-0.011
(.032)
-0.013
(.013)
SD
0.110
0.112
0.111
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.045
(.029)
0.155
(.072)
0.062
(.027)
SD
0.233
0.249
0.235
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.194
(.054)
0.162
(.161)
0.189
(.052)
SD
0.432
0.558
0.453
                                                   6-85

-------
                  Lead Analyzer (K) on drywall, N = 111: response modeling
       -0-2,
               0.1
              0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5
            0.6    0.7
                   0.8
        0.4


       0.35


        0.3
                                      ICP
                    Lead Analyzer (K) on drywall, N = 111:  SD modeling
    •5
    ca

    I
    CO
0.15


 0.1


0.05


  0
0
               0.1
              0.2    0.3
0.4
0.5

ICP
0.6
0.7
0.8
                  0.9
0.9
Figure 6-5.
           Model Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer  K-shell on
           drywall.   Solid  lines  are model  estimates.   Dashed
           lines   are  nonparametric   (monotone   regression)
           estimates.
                                    6-86

-------
It should be noted that all ICP measurements were less than 1.0
mg/cm2,  making it difficult to infer XRF performance  at  that  lead
level.

    Table 6-47 gives the results of  fitting the XRF measurement
model to only the Denver data, and  to data from both cities
combined.  The inclusion of the 8 Philadelphia observations did
not greatly change the estimated quantities.  Control block
results are given in Table 6-48.  Neither  the models nor the
control block data suggest that the instrument was prone to bias
at lead levels as high as 1.0 mg/cm2.   At  3.53 mg/cm2 the
instrument exhibited small, positive  bias  on the control blocks.
Comparing SD estimates confirms a pattern  seen across all
substrates with this instrument where the  model and control block
SD estimates agree closely at 0.0 mg/cm2,  but with the model
suggesting higher variability as the  lead  level increases.

    6.4.4.1.4 Lead Analyzer K-shell  on Metal

    There were 189 observations of the Lead Analyzer K-shell on
metal, one of which was designated  as an outlier  (81348), leaving
188 observations for analysis.  Readings on Machine 1 were made
140 times, 62 in Denver and 78 in Philadelphia.   All 48 of the
Machine 2 readings were made in Philadelphia.

    Figure 6-6 shows the response  and SD  components of the
estimated model before provision for  the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in  ICP measurements.
Readings corresponding to the 9 largest ICP measurements are
below the response line, which indicates that the true response
may have "flattened out" as the lead  level increased.  The
nonparametric estimated response also confirms this.  Both the
response and the SD components seem to fit the data well for ICP
measurements as large as 2.0 mg/cm2.

    Table 6-49 gives the results of  fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Comparing model  parameter estimates for
Denver and Philadelphia within Machine 1 produced a chi-square
statistic with a p-value between 1  percent and 2 percent.  The
difference appears to arise mainly  in the  intercept term a,
suggesting that Machine 1 read systematically higher in Denver
than in Philadelphia.  But city and ICP levels were not properly
crossed:  all sites with ICP measurements  greater than 2.5 mg/cm2
where Machine 1 was used were in Philadelphia.  It is therefore
hard to attach much significance to this result.
                              6-87

-------
Table 6-47. Lead Analyzer K-shell on Drywall:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1, Denver and
Philadelphia
SAMPLE
SIZE
103
111
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.014
(.010)
-0.018
(.009)
b
1.169
(.114)
1.196
(.115)
c
o.oos
(.001)
0.006
(.001)
d
0.113
(.077)
0.120
(.081)
PbnO.O ing/ cm2
BIAS
-0.014
(.010)
-0.018
(.009)
SD
0.077
0.076
Pbol.O mg/cm2
BIAS
0.155
(.113)
0.178
(.110)
SD
0.345
0.354
Table 6-48. Lead Analyzer K-shell on Drywall:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 1
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
57
6
63
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.016
( .009)
0.023
(.018)
-0.012
(.008)
SD
0.069
0.045
0.067
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.073
(.026)
-0.037
(.070)
0.063
(.024)
SD
0.193
0.172
0.191
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.202
(.054)
0.137
(.176)
0.195
(.051)
SD
0.406
0.432
0.408
                                                   6-88

-------
                 Lead Analyzer (K) on metal, N = 188: response modeling
                                   ICP


                   Lead Analyzer (K) on metal, N = 188: SD modeling
       2.5
   JO
   *rf
   CO
   •?
   u


   1
   a
   •D

   I
   CO
      0.5
                                   ICP
Figure 6-6
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer K-shell on

metal.   Solid lines are model estimates.   Dashed

lines   are   nonparametric   (monotone   regression)

estimates.
                                 6-89

-------
Table 6-49. Lead Analyzer K-shell on Metal:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1,
Philadelphia
Machine 1, Denver and
Philadelphia
Machine 2 ,
Philadelphia
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
62
78
140
48
188
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
6.107
(.027)
-0.000
(.033)
0.075
(.022)
0.096
(.045)
0.063
(.021)
b
1.139
(.157)
0.999
(.069)
0.963
(.060)
0.752
(.071)
0.958
(.055)
c
0.026
(.007)
0.021
(.006)
0.029
(.006)
0.058
(.013)
0.034
(.006)
d
0.335
(.173)
0.114
(.034)
0.149
(.040)
-0-
0.132
(.035)
PbaO.O mg/cm2
BIAS
0.107
(.027)
-0.000
(.033)
0.075
(.022)
0.096
(.045)
0.063
(.021)
SD
0.160
0.145
0.169
0.242
0.183
Pbel.o mg/cm3
BIAS
0.246
(.150)
-0.001
(.150)
0.037
(.054)
-0.152
(.059)
0.020
(.047)
SD
0.601
0.367
0.421
0.242
0.406
Table 6-50.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Metal:   Control Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
65
12
77
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm3)
BIAS
0.011
(.018)
-0.141
(.057)
-0.013
(.018)
SD
0.145
0.197
0.154
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm3)
BIAS
0.129
(.028)
0.022
(.056)
0.112
(.025)
SD
0.226
0.193
0.221
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.245
(.053)
0.003
(.123)
0.208
( .049)
SD
0.429
0.425
0.429
                                                   6-90

-------
    Machines 1 and 2  also differed within Philadelphia,
primarily with respect to the variance parameters c and d,  but
Machine 2 observations were also more concentrated toward lower
ICP measurements.  Fitting models with ICP measurements
restricted to less than 1.0 mg/cm2  gave a  chi-square  statistic
with a p-value of about 3 percent comparing the two machines.
This moderately significant result does not point to a large
machine difference, however,  and pooling across factors did not
appear to be problematical.

    Table 6-50 summarizes the control block data.  Apparent
differences between the two machines must take into account the
small sample size  (N = 12)  for Machine 2,  and the consequently
large standard errors.  Pooled and within-machine SD estimates at
0;.0 mg/cm2 show agreement between control  blocks  and  model
estimates, but the model indicates additional variability as the
lead level increases.

    6.4.4.1.5 Lead Analyzer K-shell on Plaster

    There were 222 observations of the Lead Analyzer K-shell on
plaster, 4 of which were removed as outliers (80260,  80262,
80773, and 81255), leaving 218 observations for analysis.
Readings were made with Machine 1 164 times, 98 in Denver and 66
in Philadelphia.  Readings with Machine 2 were made 54 times, all
in Philadelphia.

    Figure 6-7 shows  the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and  laboratory error in ICP measurements.   It
should be noted that  the reading at the highest ICP measurement
was not unduly influential, because the large estimated SD
weighed it down in model estimation.  The model appears to fit
the data well, except  at the observation having the highest  ICP
measurement.

    Table 6-51 gives  the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.   City effects within Machine 1 are indicated
primarily in the SD  estimates, with Philadelphia estimates lower
than those for Denver.  The p-value of the  corresponding chi-
square statistic is  about 0.5 percent.  Results for the pooled
city data give an  indication of how the instrument performed
under a broader range of conditions.  Comparing Machines 1 and 2
on the Philadelphia  data produced a chi-square statistic with a
p-value greater than 10 percent.  There is  little to suggest  that
a machine effect exists in these data.
                               6-91

-------
             Lead Analyzer (K) on plaster, N = 218: response modeling
.o
jea
u
•o
CO
•§
                                ICP
               Lead Analyzer (K) on plaster, N = 218: SD modeling
                                ICP
            Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer  K-shell  on
            plaster.   Solid  lines are model estimates.   Dashed
            lines   are   nonparametric   (monotone   regression)
            estimates.
Figure 6-7
                             6-92

-------
Table 6-51. Lead Analyzer K-shell on Plaster:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1 ,
Philadelphia
Machine 1, Denver and
Philadelphia
Machine 2 ,
Philadelphia
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
98
66
164
54
218
MODEL PARAMETERS
a.
0.038
(.020)
-0.045
(.032)
0.022
(.016)
0.060
(.030)
0.030
(.014)
b
0.903
(.085)
0.968
(.087)
0.862
(.053)
0.839
(.094)
0.861
(.045)
c
0.024
(.004)
0.011
(.005)
0.020
(.003)
0.015
(.005)
0.019
(.002)
d
0.082
(.043)
0.016
(.032)
0.038
(.019)
0.048
(.040)
0.037
(.016)
Pb«0 . 0 ing /cm2
BIAS
0.038
(.020)
-0.045
(.032)
0.022
(.016)
0.060
(.030)
0.030
(.014)
3D
0.156
0.107
0.142
0.123
0.139
Pbol.O mg/cm3
BIAS
-0.060
(.077)
-0.077
(.062)
-0.116
(.045)
-0.101
(.075)
-0.109
(.038)
SD
0.326
0.167
0.241
0.250
0.238
Table 6-52.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Plaster:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
57
12
69
BAKE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.023
(.012)
-0.043
(.034)
-0.027
(.011)
SD
0.088
0.119
0.093
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.040
( .026)
0.080
(.065)
0.047
(.024)
SD
0.193
0.226
0.198
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.212
(.060)
0.387
(.080)
0.242
(.052)
SD
0.456
0.276
0.432
                                                   6-93

-------
     Table 6-52 gives the control block data summary.  Positive
bias is detectable at 3.53 mg/cm2,  but not at lower levels.  With
model parameter Jb = 0.861  (.045), the estimated bias from  the
model is negative at higher lead levels.

     Both the model and control block SD  estimates suggest
greater variability as the lead level increases.

     6.4.4.1.6 Lead Analyzer K-shell on Wood

     There were 355 observations of the Lead Analyzer K-shell on
wood, 4 of which were designated as outliers  (80014, 80207,
80218, and 80311) and removed, leaving 351 observations for
analysis.  Readings on Machine 1 were made 339 times, 299  in
Denver and 40 in Philadelphia.  Readings  on Machine 2 were made
12 times, all in Philadelphia.  There were too few Machine 2 data
for separate model fitting.

     Figure 6-8 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the  combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
nonparametric estimate indicates a flatter response than the
model, and the problem appears to reside  in the model estimate.
This occurred because of the tight clustering of ICP measurements
at very low levels, where XRF variability was also low.  These
readings essentially determined the model response, because
readings at higher ICP levels were less numerous, and the
nonconstant SD suggested in the bottom frame of Figure 6-8 caused
the higher ICP observations to be downweighted.

     Table 6-53 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  The slope parameters  (Jb) are all significantly greater
than 1, reflecting what is apparent in Figure 6-8.   They  imply
that the XRF measurements become increasingly positively biased
as the lead level increases.  The same can be seen in the  control
block data summary shown in Table 6-54, although not to the same
extent.

     A chi-square test of the Denver versus the Philadelphia
parameter estimates on Machine 1 was highly significant  (p-value
less than 0.01 percent), due mainly to the difference in the
estimates of c:  0.007  (.001) Denver versus 0.001  (.001)
Philadelphia.  Restricting the test to response function
parameters a. and b, however, gave an insignificant result.  The
two cities had different ranges of ICP measurements, which may
partly explain the disagreement in the model parameters.   Almost
no change resulted when Machine 2 data were pooled with those for

                               6-94

-------
   •a
   I
   en
                 Lead Analyzer (K) on wood, N = 351: response modeling
       18
       16
       14
    C  17
    .2
    "5
    1  10
    •o
                                   ICP
                   Lead Analyzer (K) on wood, N = 351: SD modeling
        8
                        10
                15
20
25
30
                                   ICP
35
Figure 6-8
Model Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer K-shell on
wood.    Solid  lines  are  model  estimates.    Dashed
lines  are   nonpararaetric   (monotone  regression)
estimates.
                                 6-95

-------
Table 6-53.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Wood:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1 , Denver
Machine 1, Philadelphia
Machine 1, combined
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
299
40
339
351
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.013
(.007)
0.013
(.016)
0.013
(.007)
0.013
(.007)
b
1.250
(.053)
1.359
(.085)
1.269
(.046)
1.266
(.044)
c
0.007
(.001)
0.001
(.001)
0.006
(.001)
0.007
(.001)
d
0.198
(.042)
0.157
(.053)
0.187
(.035)
0.180
(.033)
Pb-0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.013
(.007)
0.013
(.016)
0.013
(.007)
0.013
(.007)
SD
0.083
0.030
0.082
0.080
Pbal.O mg/cm2
BIAS
0.263
(.051)
0.372
(.080)
0.282
(.044)
0.278
(.042)
SD
0.452
0.398
0.440
0.432
Table 6-54.  Lead Analyzer K-shell on Wood:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
63
12
75
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm3)
BIAS
-0.001
(.004)
-0.002
(.011)
-0.001
(.004)
SD
0.031
0.037
0.032
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cma)
BIAS
0.034
(.022)
0.072
(.050)
0.040
(.020)
SD
0.177
0.173
0.176
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.219
(.058)
0.270
(.128)
0.227
(.053)
SD
0.459
0.443
0.456
                                                   6-96

-------
Machine  1.  The pooled estimates (N = 351)  indicate how this
instrument performed under a broader range of conditions on wood
substrates.

     6.4.4.1.7 Lead Analyzer K-shell:  Summary of Analysis

     The Lead Analyzer K-shell exhibited little difference in
performance across  substrates.  For lead levels in the 0.0 mg/cm2
to 1.0 mg/cm2 range, the bias  was minimal.  At  the 0.0  mg/cm2
lead level the SD estimates from the model and the control block
data were similar.   At higher lead levels,  the estimates from the
model generally exceeded those from the control block data, which
may reflect the influence  of non-instrumental sources of
variation.  Differences between the two machines used in the full
study did not appear to be an important factor.  City effects
were harder to detect,  because the distributions of ICP
measurements in Denver and Philadelphia field samples were
markedly different.   There were no indications of city effects,
however, to indicate that  the data should not be pooled across
cities.

     6.4.4.2   Results for Lead Analyzer L-shell

     Readings for the Lead Analyzer L-shell were taken with the
same instruments as the K-shell, described in the previous
section.  Two machines (1  and 2) were used by one operator (A) .
Machine  1 was used  in both Denver and Philadelphia; Machine 2 was
used in  Philadelphia only.  Machine and city effects could be
analyzed on some substrates, but it was not possible to attribute
effects  to the operator.

     6.4.4.2.1 Lead Analyzer L-shell on Brick

     There were 93  observations of the Lead Analyzer L-shell on
brick, one of which was designated as an outlier  (80908) and
removed  from the analysis.  Readings on Machine 1 were made 86
times, 80 in Denver and 6  in Philadelphia.   Readings on Machine 2
were made only 6 times,  all in Philadelphia.

     Figure 6-9 shows response and SD components of the estimated
model before provision for the combined effect of spatial
variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  There were
no samples with ICP measurements between 0.8042 mg/cm2  and 4.6567
mg/cm2,  and most of  the data were at  lower  ICP  levels.   The
model, especially the response, does not appear to be valid
across the entire ICP range.  The only XRF readings above 1.0
mg/cm2 occurred at the two highest  ICP measurements.

                               6-97

-------
    It.
    OS
    X
 3


2.5


 2


1.5


 1


0.5


 0
       -0.5
          0
                   Lead Analyzer (L) on brick, N = 92:  response modeling
                  10
15
20
25
30
                                     ICP
                     Lead Analyzer (L) on brick, N = 92:  SD modeling
                                     ICP
35
Figure 6-9
         Model Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer  L-shell on
         brick.    Solid  lines are model estimates.   Dashed
         lines  are   nonparametric   (monotone  regression)
         estimates.
                                  6-98

-------
     Table  6-55  gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models  to the data.   The inclusion of Philadelphia data did not
seem to affect the  results significantly.   Restriction of the
analysis to ICP  measurements less than 1.0 mg/cm2 (a loss of 20
observations)  produced a large difference in the estimated model
parameters,  with the slope Jb increasing from 0.036  (.006) on the
full data to 0.226  (.031)  on the restricted data.  The latter
suggests a  "one  fifth the actual lead level" response that was
seen in many of  the L-shell analyses.  Consequently, bias was not
a problem at 0.0 mg/cm2 but was very prominent  at 1.0 mg/cm2.

     Table  6-56  presents a summary of the control block data,
where the situation was very different.  The bias was small and
did not appear to change greatly up to 1.02 mg/cm2,  but  became
prominent at 3.53 mg/cm2,  although not  of  the magnitude  suggested
by the  model.  The  field sample data exhibited more variability
near 0.0 mg/cm2,   but  limitation of the  analysis to ICP
measurements less than 1.0 mg/cm2  makes it difficult to  compare
model estimates  and control block summary statistics at higher
lead levels.

     6.4.4.2.2 Lead Analyzer L-shell on Concrete

     There  were  218 observations of the Lead Analyzer L-shell on
concrete, one of which was designated as an outlier  (81234),
leaving 217 observations for analysis.   Readings on Machine 1
were made 178 times,  98 in Denver and 80 in Philadelphia.
Readings on Machine 2 were made 39 times,  all in Philadelphia.

     Figure 6-10 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model  before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
linear  response  does not appear to have global validity in
describing  the XRF-ICP relationship, although it may be
reasonable  for ICP  measurements no larger than about 1.5 mg/cm2.
Restriction to ICP  levels less than 1.0 mg/cm2,  however,  changed
both of the estimated model components very little, due to the
downweighting implied by the SD component at high ICP
measurements.  Figure 6-11 shows the ICP-restricted model
components.   The nonparametric estimate suggests that the
response is possibly nonlinear at lower lead levels.  In any
case, the XRF readings appear to show no responsiveness to
increases in the lead level for ICP measurements greater than 2.0
mg/cm2.  Only  one XRF reading  exceeded  1.0 mg/cm2, and this
occurred at the  lower end of the ICP range represented in the
data.
                              6-99

-------
Table 6-55.  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on Brick:  Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1, Denver and
Philadelphia
Machines 1 and 2
Machines 1 and 2
(ICP < 1)
SAMPLE
SIZE
eo
86
92
72
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0,028
(.005)
0.035
(.007)
0.038
(.007)
0.009
(.007)
b
0.039
(.007)
0.036
(.006)
0.036
(.006)
0.226
(.031)
c
0.001
(.0003)
0.003
(.0006)
0.001
(.001)
0.018
(.0004)
d
0.0004
(.0002)
0.0004
(.0002)
0.0004
(.0002)
-0-
Pb«0 . 0 mg/cma
BIAS
0.028
(.005)
0.035
(.007)
0.038
(.007)
0.009
(.007)
3D
0.038
0.057
0.032
0.043
Pb»1.0 mg/cma
BIAS
-0.932
(.007)
-0.928
(.008)
-0.926
(.008)
-0.765
(.030)
SD
0.044
0.060
0.037
0.043
Table 6-56. Lead Analyzer L-shell  on Brick:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
51
12
63
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.024
(.003)
0.02
(.003)
0.019
(.002)
SD
0.019
0.011
0.018
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm1}
BIAS
0.031
(.006)
-0.021
(.013)
0.021
(.005)
SD
0.042
0.044
0.043
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm1)
BIAS
-0.841
(.008)
-0.931
(.017)
-0.858
(.008)
SD
0.060
0.060
0.060
                                                   6-100

-------
Lead Analyzer (L) on concrete, N = 217: response modeling
                    ICP
  Lead Analyzer (L) on concrete, N = 217: SD modeling
                    ICP
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead Analyzer  L-shell on
concrete.  Solid lines are model estimates.   Dashed
lines   are   nonparatnetric   (monotone  regression)
estimates.
Figure 6-10
                 6-101

-------
                   Lead Analyzer (L) on concrete, N = 190: response modeling
        0.15 -
     u.
     cc
     X
        0.05 -
       -0.05
           0     0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6   0.7    0.8    0.9     1
        0.12
         0.1
     S  0.08
                                       ICP

                     Lead Analyzer (L) on concrete, N = 190: SD modeling
     u
     •a
     CO
     •a
        0.06
        0.04
        0.02
                 i      r
                                                          i      i
                0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6   0.7    0.8    0.9


                                       ICP
Figure 6-11
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer  L-shell  on

drywall.   Solid lines are model  estimates.   Dashed

lines   are   nonparametric   (monotone   regression)

estimates.
                                   6-102

-------
    Table 6-57  gives  the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  Differences between cities (Denver versus Philadelphia
within Machine 1)  and  machines (Machines 1 versus 2 within
Philadelphia) were discerned with chi-square tests, both having
p-values less than 0.01 percent.   In spite of possible
confounding with the lead level,  and poor model fit, a similar
city effect was  seen on other substrates, notably metal and
plaster.

    The control block data (Table 6-58) did not bear out machine
differences to nearly  the same degree.   While the control block
data exhibited little  bias at 1.02 mg/cm2,  the field sample  data
and model estimates derived from them suggest otherwise.  One
conclusion that  can be drawn is that the Lead Analyzer L-shell
performed differently  on the painted samples than on the control
blocks.

    6.4.4.2.3 Lead Analyzer L-shell on Drywall

    There were  113 observations of the Lead Analyzer L-shell on
drywall, none of which were designated as outliers.  All of the
readings were made by  Machine 1:   105 in Denver and 8 in
Philadelphia.

    Figure 6-12 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model  before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and  laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
appear  to fit the data well, although the limited ICP range  (no
ICP measurements greater than 1.0 mg/cm2 were observed on
drywall) makes this conclusion hard to extrapolate to higher lead
levels.

    Table 6-59  gives  the results of fitting XRF measurement
models  to the full data, and to Denver data alone.  Inclusion of
the Philadelphia data  degraded the fit of the model to a small
degree.

    Estimates at the  1.0 mg/cm2  lead level are presented,  but
none of the ICP  measurements in the full study were as large as
this.   Bias and  SD estimates from the model agree with those from
the control blocks (Table 6-60) at 0.0 mg/cm2, but usage of the
instrument on painted  surfaces under field conditions would not
appear  likely to replicate the bias figures reported for the
control block data at  higher lead levels.
                              6-103

-------
Table 6-57.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell on Concrete:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1,
Philadelphia
Machine 1, combined
Machine 2,
Philadelphia
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
98
80
17B
39
217
,, ,,.,.. .—.^a-BE ,——==================
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.0003
(.001)
0.023
(.003)
0.008
(.002)
0.016
(.004)
0.009
(.001)
b
0.297
(.036)
0.109
(.013)
0.174
(.015)
0;049
(.012)
0.152
(.012)
c
0.00001
(.00001)
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0001
(.0001)
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0001
(.0002)
d
0.049
(.014)
0.003
(.001)
0.012
(.003)
0.0003
(.0004)
0.010
(.002)
Pb-0.0
BIAS
0.0003
(.001)
0.023
(.003)
0.008
(.002)
0.016
(.004)
0.009
(.001)
mg/cm1
SD
0.003
0.014
0.011
0.014
0.011
Pb-1.0
BIAS
-0.702
(.032)
-0.869
(.010)
-0.818
(.014)
-0.935
(.009)
-0.840
(.011)
mg/cma
3D
0.222
0.056
0.109
0.021
0.099
                                                  6-104

-------
Table 6-58.  Lead Analyzer- L-shell on Concrete:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
65
12
77
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.003
(.001)
-0.010
(.002)
0.001
(.001)
SD
0.011
0.006
0.010
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.055
(.014)
-0.012
(.006)
0.045
(.012)
SD
0.109
0.020
0.101
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.812
(.009)
-0.911
(.012)
-0.827
(.008)
SD
0.075
0.043
0.071
                                                   6-105

-------
              Lead Analyzer (L) on drywall, N = 113: response modeling
  -0.05
           0.1    0.2   0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9     1

                                  ICP
                Lead Analyzer (L) on drywall, N = 113:  SD modeling
    c
    o
   0.2

   0.18

   0.16


   °'14

   0.12
"B  0.08
to

"  0.06

   0.04

   0.02

     0
      0     0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6   0.7    0.8    0.9

                                  ICP
              Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on
              metal.    Solid  lines are model  estimates.   Dashed
              lines   are   nonparametric    (monotone   regression)
              estimates.
Figure 6-12.
                               6-106

-------
Table 6-59. Lead Analyzer L-shell on Drywall:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1 , Denver
and Philadelphia
SAMPLE
SIZE
105
113
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.008
(.0004)
-0.006
(.001)
b
0.353
(.028)
0.302
(.029)
c
0.0000
(.0000)
0.0000
(.0000)
d
0.040
(.009)
0.029
(.008)
Pb=0 .0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.008
(.0004)
-0.006
(.001)
SD
0.002
0.006
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.655
(.028)
-0.704
(.029)
SD
0.200
0.172
Table 6-60.  Lead Analyzer L-shell on Drywall:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 1
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
57
6
63
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.003
(.001)
-0.015
( .002)
-0.004
(.001)
SD
0.009
0.004
0.009
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.058
(.005)
-0.002
(.007)
0.052
(.005)
SD
0.038
0.017
0.037
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.765
(.007)
-0.872
(.018)
-0.775
(.007)
SD
0.053
0.043
0.053
                                                   6-107

-------
     6.4.4.2.4 Lead Analyzer L-shell on Metal

     There were 189 observations of the Lead Analyzer L-shell on
metal, none of which were designated as outliers.  Readings on
Machine 1 were made 141 times, 62 in Denver and 79 in
Philadelphia.  All 48 readings on Machine 2 were made in
Philadelphia.

     Figure 6-13 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
model and nonparametric responses appear to agree, especially for
ICP measurements below 2.0 mg/cm2.   Most  of the readings above
2.0 mg/cm2 were made  with Machine 1.

     Table 6-61 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  The higher slopes obtained on Denver  (0.499) versus
Philadelphia (0.198)  data on Machine 1 are noteworthy because of
the similarity to what was seen on concrete and plaster.
Comparing Machines 1 and 2 on the Philadelphia data with the ICP
range restriction on both models did not produce a significant
chi-square statistic when only the response parameters a and Jb
were considered.

     Table 6-62 gives the control block data summary, which
indicates little bias for lead levels as high as 1.02 mg/cm2.
Unlike other substrates, Figure 6-13 does indicate that a number
of field sample XRF readings exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2 where the ICP
measurement did as well, but the predominant indication is to the
contrary.  The higher SD estimates from the model at 1.0 mg/cm2
suggest non-instrumental sources of variability that may have
degraded both the response and the SD.

     6.4.4.2.5 Lead Analyzer L-shell on Plaster

     There were 222 observations of the Lead Analyzer L-shell on
plaster, none of which were designated as outliers.  Readings on
Machine 1 were made 168 times, 101 in Denver and 67 in
Philadelphia.  Readings on Machine 2 were made 54 times, all in
Philadelphia.

     The top of Figure 6-14 is a scatterplot of XRF and ICP
measurements for all data.  In no case was an XRF reading as
large as 1.0 mg/cm2 observed.   The 9 XRF measurements with ICP
measurements larger than 5.0 mg/cm2  are seen to be very low.  The
same unit in Denver,  nearly one hundred years old, produced these
readings.  The bottom scatterplot restricts ICP measurements to

                              6-108

-------
                  Lead Analyzer (L) on metal, N = 189: response modeling
     b
     05
     X
     n
     .

1.8


1.6


1.4





 1


0.8


0.6


0.4


0.2


 0.
          0
                                     ICP

                    Lead Analyzer (L) on metal, N = 189: SD modeling
                                     ICP
Figure 6-13
        Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Lead  Analyzer L-shell  on
        plaster.  Solid lines  are model estimates.   Dashed
        lines   are   nonparametric    (monotone   regression)
        estimates.
                                 6-109

-------
Table 6-61.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell on Metal:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
Machine 1,
Philadelphia
Machine 1, combined
Machine 1 (ICP < 1)
Machine 2, Phila.
(ICP < 1)
Machines 1 and 2 (ICP
< 1)
SAMPLE
SIZE
62
79
141
101
44
145
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.007
(.002)
0.014
(.002)
0.014
(.002)
0.013
(.002)
0.019
(.008)
0.013
(.002)
b
0.499
(.087)
0.198
(.022)
0.230
(-024)
0.264
(.036)
0.103
(.038)
0.196
(.023)
c
0.00009
(.000)
0.00002
(.00002)
0.0002
( .0001)
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0002
(.0002)
0.0002
(.00006)
d
0.281
(.043)
0.029
(.006)
0.043
(.008)
0.054
(.015)
0.013
(.005)
0.032
(.007)
PbaO.O mg/cm2
BIAS
0.004
(.002)
0.014
(.002)
0.014
(.002)
0.013
(.002)
0.019
(.008)
0.013
(.002)
SD
0.010
0.004
0.015
0.014
0.014
0.015
Pb«1.0 mg/cm1
BIAS
-0.493
(.087)
-0.788
(.022)
-0.757
(.023)
-0.724
(.030)
-0.878
(.030)
-0.790
(.022)
SD
0.530
0.169
0.209
0.232
0.113
0.179
Table 6-62.  Lead Analyzer  L-shell on Metal:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
65
12
77
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.005
(.000)
-0.001
(.002)
0.004
(.000)
SD
0.004
0.007
0.004
RED NIST SRM
(1,02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.041
(.008)
-0.011
(.006)
0.033
(.007)
SD
0.068
0.020
0.063
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.817
(.021)
-0.904
(.013)
-0.831
(.018)
SD
0.169
0.044
0.157
                                                  6-110

-------
 0.7 r


 0.6


 0.5


 0.4
               Lead Analyzer (L) on plaster:  full data (N = 222)
                 10
                                 15
20
                                ICP
25
30
35
 0.71—


 0.6-


 0.5-


 0.4-


 0.3-


 0.2-


 0.1 -.
           Lead Analyzer (L) on plaster: ICP less than 5.0 (N = 213)
-0.1
            0.5
                                        1.5

                                        ICP
                    2.5
40
Figure  6-14
         Lead Analyzer L- shell  on plaster:   Scatterplots for
         the full and restricted  ICP ranges.
                            6-111

-------
                    Lead Analyzer (L) on plaster, N = 213: response modeling
                                      ICP
                     Lead Analyzer (L) on plaster, N = 213: SD modeling
Figure 6-15
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on
plaster.   Solid  lines are model estimates.  Dashed
lines   are   nonparametric   (monotone   regression)
estimates.
                                  6-112

-------
less than 5.0 mg/ctn2,  and it shows an increasing relationship.
Applying this restriction to model estimation better described
the performance of the instrument at 0.0 mg/cm2 and at 1.0
mg/cm2.   Figure 6-15  shows response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in  ICP measurements.
There were no field samples on plaster with ICP readings between
3.0 mg/cm2  and 5.0 mg/cm2, which explains  the  labeling  of  the
horizontal axes.  Both model components appear to agree with
their nonparametric analogues, primarily at the lower  end of the
ICP scale.

     Table 6-63 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  A city effect is apparent on Machine  1, with  Denver
having a slope of 0.313  (.031) and Philadelphia a slope of  0.087
 (.020).  The resulting chi-square has a p-value of  less than 0.01
percent.  This same type of city effect  (larger Denver slope) was
also seen on metal and concrete.  An effect due to  machines
within Philadelphia can also be discerned  with a chi-square test
 {p-value less than 1 percent), which mainly reflects  the
influence of parameters a and c, relating  to  instrument
performance at  0.0 mg/cm2.  Figure 6-16, which shows scatterplots
for the two machines using  the Philadelphia data only,  reveals
different performance characteristics corresponding to the
machines.

     Table 6-64 gives the control block data  summary.   Bias and
SD estimates varied noticeably between  the control  block  and the
model estimates.  The control block  data summary suggests little
bias at 1.02 mg/cm2,  contrary to what the  model estimates imply.

     6.4.4.2.6  Lead Analyzer  L-shell  on Wood

     There were 355 observations  of  the Lead  Analyzer L-shell  on
 wood, one of which was designated as  an outlier (81316)  and
 removed  from  the  analysis.   Readings  on Machine 1  were made 342
 times, 303 in  Denver  and 39 in Philadelphia.   Readings on Machine
 2 were made 12  times, all in Philadelphia. There  were too few
 Machine  2 data for separate model  fitting.

     Figure 6-17  shows the  response  and SD components of the
 estimated model before provision  for the combined  effect of
 spatial  variation and laboratory  error in ICP measurements.   The
 response  function does not  agree  very well with the nonparametric
 estimate.  The instrument appears to have responded to increases
 in the  lead  level only up to a  certain point,  above which the
 response flattened out.   XRF readings less than 1.0 mg/cm2 were

                               6-113

-------
Table 6-63.  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on Plaster:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1, Denver
(ICP < 5)
Machine 1, Phi la.
{ICP < 5)
Machine 1 , combined
(ICP < 5)
Machine 2 (ICP < 5)
Machines 1 and 2
(ICP < 5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
92
67
159
54
213
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.001
(.001)
0.038
(.008)
0.000
(.001)
0.017
(.004)
0.002
( .001)
b
0.313
(.031)
0.087
(.020)
0.243
(.017)
0.065
(.013)
0.201
(.014)
o
0.0000
(.0000)
0.001
(.0003)
0.0000
(.0000)
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0001
(.0000)
d
0.046
(.010)
0.001
(.001)
0.025
(.004)
0.001
(.001)
0.019
(.003)
PboO . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.001
(.001)
0.038
(.008)
0.000
(.001)
0.017
( .004}
0.002
(.001)
SD
0.004
0.032
0.005
0.014
0.008
Pbsl.O mg/cm*
BIAS
-0.688
(.031)
-0.876
(.020)
-0.756
.(.016)
-0.918
(.011)
-0.797
(.014)
SD
0.215
0.044
0.159
0.035
0.138
Table 6-64. Lead Analyzer L-shell on Plaster:   Control  Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
57
12
69
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.005
(.001)
-0.008
(.001)
0.003
(.001)
SD
0.009
0.005
0.009
RED NIST 3RM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.051
(.005)
0.001
(.006)
0.042
(.004)
SD
0.036
0.022
0.034
YELLOW MIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm1)
BIAS
-0.792
(.010)
-0.919
(.012)
-0.814
(.008)
SD
0.073
0.042
0.069
                                                   6-114

-------
 0.25
 0.2
0.15
 0.1
 0.05
-0.05
 0.25
 0.2
 0.15
 0.1
 0.05
-0.05
              Lead Analyzer (L) on plaster in Philadelphia: Machine 1
        .  .«
        • •
              0.5
                                          1.5
                                   ICP
2.5
              Lead Analyzer (L) on plaster in Philadelphia: Machine 2
            " • *
            -'  ••
              0.5
                                          1.5



                                         ICP
2.5
            Lead Analyzer L-shell  on  plaster  in Philadelphia

            Machine 1  vs  Machine  2.
Figure 6-16,
                               6-115

-------
    tu
    OS
    X
    c
    o
    u

    •a
    CB
                  Lead Analyzer (L) on wood, N = 354: response modeling
                                    ICP
                   Lead Analyzer (L) on wood, N = 354: SD modeling
                        10
                15
20
25
30
                                    ICP
35
Figure  6-17
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  Lead Analyzer  L-shell  on
wood.   Solid  lines are  model estimates.   Dashed
lines   are   nonparametric   (monotone   regression)
estimates.
                                 6-116

-------
obtained  at  lead  levels higher than 10.0 mg/cm2.   Restriction  of
the  ICP range  to  under 5.0 mg/cm2 did  a  better  job of  capturing
the  limited  responsiveness.

    Table 6-65 gives  the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the  data.  A strong city effect was evident within
Machine 1, and as seen with several other substrates,  a higher
slope coefficient Jb  was obtained for Denver compared to
Philadelphia data.   The difference is highly statistically
significant, and  hard  to regard as spurious.  Readings obtained
on the field samples in both cities, however, showed much less
responsiveness to the  lead level than seen on the control blocks
(Table 6-66),  where  the estimated bias is remarkably low at 1.02
mg/cm2.

    6.4.4.2.7 Lead  Analyzer L-shell:  Summary of Analysis

    The  Lead  Analyzer L-shell did not differ markedly in its
performance  across substrates, which was reflected both in the
field sample and  control block data.  The performance of this
instrument on  the field samples, however, diverged from its
performance  on the control blocks in important respects.  The
control block  data found little or no bias at lead levels as high
as 1.0 mg/cm2,  but the  model  estimates suggest  that the
instrument is  under-responsive to the lead level, ensuring that
its  readings became  increasingly negatively biased as the lead
level increased.   Readings less than 1.0 mg/cm2 were obtained  on
field samples  with ICP measurements greater than 10.0 mg/cm2 on
all  substrates except  drywall and metal, for which no such ICP
measurements were obtained in the full study.  At the 3.53 mg/cm2
lead level,  the control block data also suggest that the
instrument exhibited substantial negative bias, but of a lower
magnitude than estimated with the models.

    The  fact  that samples with higher lead levels more often
occurred  in  Denver than in Philadelphia may explain the intercity
differences  that  appear on four of the six substrates with the
model.  Results for  pooled city data give an indication of how
the  instrument performed under a broader range of conditions than
were present in any  one of the two cities alone.

    6.4.4.3  Results for MAP-3 K-shell

    MAP-3 readings  were taken by three different machines, each
with a different  operator.  The machines were grouped into two
field classifications   (Class I and Class II), so that each
sampled location  had two MAP-3 readings.  Class I represented an

                              6-117

-------
Table 6-65.  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on Wood:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 1 , Denver
(ICP < 5)
Machine 1, Phila.
(ICP < 5)
Machine 1, combined
(ICP < 5)
Machines 1 and 2
(ICP < 5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
287
38
325
337
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.020
(.001)
0.034
(.010)
-0.019
(.001)
-0.019
(.001)
b
0.303
(.018)
0.089
(.017)
0.289
(.017)
0.279
(.016)
C
0.0001
(.0000)
0.003
(.001)
0.0002
(.0000)
0.0002
(.0000)
d
0.029
(.005)
0.001
(.001)
0.035
(.005)
0.034
(.005)
Pb»0.0
BIAS
-0.020
(.001)
0.034
(.016)
-0.019
(.001)
-0.019
(.001)
»g/ cm2
SO
0.011
'0.055
0.012
0.012
Pb-1.0
BIAS
-0.717
(.017)
-0.877
(.017)
-0.730
(.017)
-0.740
(.016)
ing/ cm2
SD
0.171
0.063
0.188
0.184
Table 6-66.  Lead Analyzer L-shell  on  Wood:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 1
Machine 2
Machines 1 and 2
SAMPLE
SIZE
63
12
75
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.020
(.003)
-0.042
(.003)
-0.023
(.002)
SD
0.020
0.009
0.019
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.055
(.008)
-0.000
(.006)
0.046
(.007)
SD
0.065
0.020
0.061
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
-0.764
(.019)
-0.844
(.013)
-0.777
(.016)
SD
0.151
0.045
0.140
                                                  6-118

-------
entire set of readings across all locations,  as did Class II.
The machines and their operators are designated as follows:

     Machine 10 (Operator C): Denver and Philadelphia,  Class I
     Machine 11 (Operator D): Denver,  Class II
     Machine 12 (Operator E): Philadelphia, Class II

     Data from the Louisville pilot study were not used,  because
the nominal time of measurement was different, and because the
instrument in the pilot study did not display negative values,
unlike the full study.  Data from the full study using nominal 60
second ("specials")  and 240 second ("special-specials")  reading
also were not used in the present analysis.

     Machine 10 was the only Class I instrument:  it was used at
all Denver and Philadelphia locations.  Machines 11 and 12
together comprised Class II,  which represented a second set of
measurements at the same locations where Machine 10 was used.
The issue of statistical dependence between Machines 10 and 11,
and between Machines 10 and 12 thus arises, as explained in
section 6.4.8.3.  On the other hand,  repeated measurement at the
same locations affords the use of matched pairs methods,  which in
many ways are preferable as a means of testing for machine or
operator effects.

     Separating operator from machine effects was, however,
impossible because of the association of machines with operators.
Reference to a machine should always be understood to be a
reference to a machine-operator pair,  unless indicated otherwise.

     6.4.4.3.1 MAP-3 K-shell on Brick

     There were 185 observations of the MAP-3 K-shell on brick,
none of which were designated as outliers.  For Class I,  readings
on Machine 10 were made 93 times:  81 in Denver and 12 in
Philadelphia.  For Class II,  readings on Machine 11 (Denver) were
made 80 times, and on Machine 12  (Philadelphia) 12 times.

     Matched pairs analysis:   Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

(1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 80 Denver sites
     where both made readings.  There were no cases where the two
     machines read exactly the same.   On 43 occasions Machine 10
     read higher than Machine 11, which is not an unusual
     occurrence under a 50-50 chance hypothesis.
                              6-119

-------
 (2)   Machines 10  and 12 were  compared on  12  common Philadelphia
      sites.   There were no  cases  of  equality,  and 6 of the 12
      sites had higher Machine 10  readings.   This is not unusual
      if  either machine has  a  50 percent chance of reading higher
      than the other.  Thus, machine  effects  are not indicated.

      Figure  6-18  shows the  response  and SD components of the
estimated model before provision  for the  combined effect of
spatial  variation and laboratory  error in ICP  measurements.  The
nonparametric response function  (dashed line)  indicates a
flattening out at higher  lead levels.  Since there was a large
gap in ICP measurements between 0.8042 mg/cm2 and 4.6567 mg/cm2
where a  change in the relationship may have  occurred, it is
difficult to accurately predict how  the instrument would perform
at 1.0 mg/cm2.  The SD component appears to agree with the
nonparametric estimate reasonably well for ICP measurements below
5 . 0 mg/cm2.

      Table 6-67 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to Machines 10, 11,  and pooled.  There  were too few data
to fit a separate model to  the Machine 12 data.  Pooling took
into  account the  dependence between  Class I  and Class II
instruments,  and  the standard errors indicated are conservative
estimates.   Both  machines exhibited  high  negative bias even in
the absence  of lead.  The control block data summary  (Table 6-68)
also  appears to confirm this.  The SD estimates at 0.0 mg/cm2
from  the model and the control blocks are close, but two of the
machines even exhibited decreasing variability on the control
blocks with  increasing lead levels.

      6.4.4.3.2 MAP-3 K-shell  on Concrete

      There were 436 observations  of  the MAP-3  K-shell on
concrete, none of which were  designated as outliers.  For Class
I, readings  on Machine 10 were made  218 times:  98 in Denver and
120 in Philadelphia.  For Class II,  readings were made on Machine
11  (Denver)  98 times, and on  Machine 12  (Philadelphia) 120 times.

      Matched pairs analysis:   Two matched pairs comparisons were
made  on  the  data:

 (1)   Machines 10  and 11 were  compared on  the 98 common Denver
      sites.   There were no  cases  where the two machines read
      exactly the  same.  On  54 of  the sites Machine 10 read higher
      than Machine 11, and the resulting sign test indicates that
      this is not  unusual  under a  50-50 chance  hypothesis.
                               6-120

-------
   u,
   05
   X
                   MAP-3 (K) on brick, N = 185: response modeling
                                  ICP

                     MAP-3 (K) on brick, N = 185: SD modeling
                                  ICP
Figure 6-18
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 K-shell  on brick.
Solid  lines are model estimates.   Dashed lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-121

-------
Table 6-67.  MAP-3 K-shell on Brick:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
93
80
185
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.554
(.092)
-0.616
(.134)
-0.599
(.079)
b
0.818
(.065)
0.769
(.063)
0.797
(.045)
c
0.581
(.098)
1.025
(.191)
0.857
(.103)
d
0.013
(.022)
0.011
(.019)
0.012
(.014)
PbaO.O ing/ cm*
BIAS
-0.554
(.092)
-0.616
(.134)
-0.599
(.079)
SO
0.762
1 . 012
0.926
Pb«1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.733
(0.080)
-0.847
(.120)
-0.802
(,081)
SD
0.771
1.018
0.932
Table 6-68.  MAP-3 K-shell on Brick:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
30
30
120
BARB
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.931
(.085)
-1.494
(.166)
-1.377
(.110)
-1.183
(.065)
SD
0.655
0.909
0.603
0.715
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cma)
BIAS
0.075
(.077)
-0.224
(.119)
-0.104
(.110)
-0.045
(.056)
SD
0.600
0.651
0.604
0.614
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
-0.019
(.065)
-0.254
(.087)
-0.372
(.196)
-0.166
(.063)
SD
0.507
0.474
1.073
0.686
                                                  6-122

-------
(2)  Machines  10  and  12  were compared on the 120 common
    Philadelphia sites.   There were no cases of equal
    measurements,  and on 80 sites Machine 10 read higher than
    Machine 12.   This is not compatible with the 50-50 chance
    hypothesis:   the p-value of the sign test is about 0.04
    percent,  suggesting that Machine 12 read systematically
    lower  than Machine  10,  and possibly lower than Machine 11 as
    well.

    Figure 6-19  shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
components  appear to  be  in agreement with the nonparametric
estimates.

    Table  6-69 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the  data.   Machines 11 and 12 have very similar model
parameter estimates that are not statistically significantly
different when compared  with a chi-square test:  the p-value
exceeds 40  percent.   Splitting Machine 10 into Denver and
Philadelphia data was revealing, because the difference in
intercepts  (-0.779 Denver and -0.413 Philadelphia) may be the
reason behind  the significant sign test described in  (2) above.
The  resulting  chi-square statistic has a p-value of about 0.5
percent.  In other words,  the effect may be due to factors
associated  with the city,  instead of the machine.

    Table  6-70 gives the control block data summary.  Bias in
the  control block data at 0.0 mg/cm2 was higher than indicated in
the  model fits controlling for city and machine.  The bias
declined on the control  blocks at the two higher lead levels, and
to a much lesser  extent  in the models.  SD estimates from the
model are higher  than on the control blocks, which may indicate
the  presence of non-instrumental sources of variability.

    6.4.4.3.3 MAP-3  K-shell on Drywall

    There  were 226 observations of the MAP-3 K-shell on drywall,
4 of which  were designated as outliers  (Machine 10:  80343,
80345; Machine 11:  80332,  80345), leaving 222 observations for
analysis.   For Class  I,  readings on Machine 10 were made 111
times:  103 in Denver and 8 in Philadelphia.  For Class II,
leadings on Machine 11  (Denver) were made 103 times and on
Machine 12  (Philadelphia)  8 times.
                              6-123

-------
     c
    _o
    "^
    _C8

     u
    •a
     ea
    •a

     CO
    55
                    MAP-3 (K) on concrete, N = 436: response modeling
                                     ICP

                      MAP-3 (K) on concrete, N = 436:  SD modeling
          0
                     8


                    ICP
10
12
14
16
Figure 6-19.
Model Diagnostic Plots, MAP-3 K-shell on concrete.

Solid lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                  6-124

-------
Table 6-69.  MAP-3  K-shell  on Concretes ' Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10,
Philadelphia
Machine 10, combined
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11, and
12
SAMPLE
SIZE
98
120
218
98
120
436
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.779
(.083)
-0.413
(.089)
-0.590
(.062)
-0.722
(.124)
-0.766
(.115)
-0.661
(.072)
b
1.225
(.161)
1.156
(.150)
1.264
(.123)
1.106
(.152)
1.253
(.192)
1.212
(.123)
c
0.506
(.082)
0.575
(.076)
0.563
(.060)
1.163
(.192)
0.974
(.127)
0.807
(.085)
d
0.308
(.152)
-0-
0.229
(.097)
0.178
(.126)
-0-
0.182
(.094)
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm*
BIAS
-0.779
(.083)
-0.413
(.089)
-0.590
(.062)
-0.722
(.124)
-0.766
(.115)
-0.661
(.072)
SD
0.711
0.758
0.751
1.078
0.987
0.899
Pb=1.0 mg/cma
BIAS
-0.554
(.150)
-0.257
(.150)
-0.325
(.108)
-0.616
(.165)
-0.513
(.151)
-0.449
(.097)
3D
0.902
0.758
0.890
1.158
0.987
0.995
                                                  6-125

-------
Table 6-70.  MAP-3  K-shell  on  Concrete:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
38
34
144
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-1.008
(.076)
-1.366
(.091)
-1.409
(.125)
-1.197
(.054)
SD
0.643
0.564
0.726
0.644
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.097
(.075)
-0.174
(.103)
-0.373
(.132)
-0.183
(.056)
SD
0.633
0.636
0.771
0.669
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.149
(.057)
-0.085
(.086)
-0.116
(.081)
-0.124
(.041)
SD
0.486
0.533
0.472
0.496
                                                  6-126

-------
     Matched pairs analysis:  Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

(1)   Machines 10 and 11 were compared on 102 Denver sites of
     common measurement.  On 43 sites Machine 10 read higher than
     Machine 11 (there were no ties), which is a plausible
     outcome under a 50-50 chance hypothesis.  But the
     differences were correlated with the ICP measurement (the
     Spearman rank correlation is 0.3), which suggests that
     Machine 10 read higher than Machine 11 as the lead level
     increased.

(2)   Machines 10 and 11 were compared on 8 common Philadelphia
     sites, of which 2 had a higher Machine 10 reading (there
     were no ties).   The p-value is 28.8 percent, again a
     plausible outcome under a 50-50 chance hypothesis.

     Figure 6-20 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
components appear to fit the data reasonably well, and both agree
with the nonparametric estimates.  Since no ICP measurement
exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2  on drywall,  extrapolation of the model to
higher lead levels appears to be tenuous.

     Table 6-71 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to Machines 10 and 11 separately, and pooled.  The slope
parameters b of the two machines  (1.267 Machine 10 versus 0.378
Machine 11) confirm what was found in the matched pairs analysis,
and explain the bias estimates at 1.0 mg/cm2.   A machine  effect
may have been present, in which case the pooled estimates would
not be indicative of how a particular machine performed.

     Table 6-72 gives the control block data summary.  There is
no apparent difference between Machines 10 and 11, contrary to
what is suggested in the field sample data  (i.e., data from
readings on painted housing components).  Since operator
intervention differed somewhat between usage of the instrument in
the field samples and on the control blocks, the possibility of
assigning what appears to be machine effects to the operator
needs to be considered.  Machine  10 exhibited greater similarity
in performance on the control blocks and on painted samples than
did the other instruments.  Bias  is not indicated as a
significant phenomenon except at  higher levels of lead.
                              6-127

-------
                MAP-3 (K) on drywall, N = 222: response modeling
     0     0.1   0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6   0.7    0.8    0.9     1
                                 ICP
                  MAP-3 (K) on diywaD, N = 222: SD modeling
   0.48
   0.46
   0.44
a
_o

I  0.42
•a
G
a
Vi
    0.4
   0.38
   0.36
   0.34
           0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4
                                       0.5

                                      ICP
0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9
             Model Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 K-shell  on  drywall.
             Solid lines are  model estimates.  Dashed lines  are
             nonparametric  {monotone  regression)  estimates.
Figure 6-20.
                              6-128

-------
Table 6-71. MAP-3 K-shell on Drywall:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
111
103
222
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.058
(.036)
0.112
( .044)
0.014
( .040)
b
1.267
(.215)
0.388
(.212)
0.863
(.209)
c
0.105
(.015)
0.144
(.021)
0.141
(.018)
d
-0-
-0-
-0-
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.058
(.036)
0.112
( .044)
0.014
(.040)
SD
0.324
0.380
0.375
Pb=1.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.209
(.199)
-0.500
(.193)
-0.123
(.042)
SD
0.324
0.380
0.375
Table 6-72.  MAP-3 K-shell on Drywall:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
34
26
120
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.082
(.030)
-0.115
(.056)
-0.115
(.058)
-0.099
(.025)
SD
0.235
0.324
0.297
0.276
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.008
(.040)
0.015
(.050)
0.134
(.086)
0.037
(.031)
SD
0.307
0.293
0.439
0.336
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.247
(.046)
-0.147
( .060)
-0.244
( .082)
-0.218
(.033)
SD
0.353
0.348
0.419
0.367
                                                   6-129

-------
     6.4.4.3.4 MAP-3 K-shell on Metal

     There were 378 observations of the MAP-3 K-shell on metal, 3
of which were designated as outliers (Machine 10:  81348; Machine
12:  81348, 81944), leaving 375 observations for analysis.  For
Class I, readings on Machine 10 were made 188 times:  62 in
Denver and 126 in Philadelphia.  For Class II, readings were made
on Machine 11 (Denver)  62 times and on Machine 12 (Philadelphia)
125 times.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

(1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on 62 Denver sites where
     readings on both were made.  There were no cases of tied
     values, and on 34 sites Machine 10 had a higher reading than
     Machine 11.  This is very plausible under a 50-50 chance
     hypothesis.  The differences were not highly correlated with
     the ICP measurement.

(2)  Machines 10 and 12 were compared on 125 Philadelphia sites
     of common measurement.  On 66 of these sites Machine 10 had
     the higher reading, with no tied measurements,  which
     likewise is a plausible outcome assuming no machine effects.
     The sign test therefore does not indicate that a machine
     effect was present.

     Figure 6-21 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
seem to explain the data in an adequate fashion in the lower ICP
range, although flattening of the nonparametric response is
apparent at higher ICP measurements.  The scatterplot in the
first graph reveals an observation at ICP = 2.63 mg/cm2 and XRF =
-1.253 mg/cm2 that is unusual  with respect to the general pattern
of the data.  This observation had sample ID number 81636, and
its XRF reading was made by Machine 12.  Although this
observation did not meet the outlier criterion developed in
section 6.3, it barely failed to do so.  This observation was
deleted from subsequent analyses.

     Table 6-73 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the field sample data.  There is a moderate indication
of a city effect comparing Denver to Philadelphia on Machine 10
(the chi-square p-value is approximately 0.25 percent).

     Table 6-74 gives the control block data summary.  Estimates

                              6-130

-------
                    MAP-3 (K) on metal, N = 375: response modeling
                                    ICP
                      MAP-3 (K) on metal, N = 375: SD modeling
                                    ICP
Figure 6-21
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3  K-shell  on metal.
Solid  lines are model estimates.   Dashed lines are
nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-131

-------
Table 6-73.  MAP-3  K-shell on Metal:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10,
Philadelphia
Machine 10, combined
Machine 11
Machine 12
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
62
125
188
62
125
374
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.395
(.060)
0.233
(.040)
0.311
(.034)
0.381
(.068)
0.292
(.055)
0.328
(.039)
b
1.388
(.158)
1.162
(.077)
1.144
(.064)
1.285
(.113)
1.024
(.101)
1.098
(.071)
c
0.149
(.031)
0.069
(.014)
0.109
(.014)
0.198
(.040)
0.140
(.030)
0.140
(.019)
d
0.188
(.126)
0.124
(.044)
0.122
(.038)
-0-
0.245
(.085)
0.159
(.049)
PbaO.O mg/cin2
BIAS
0.395
(.060)
0.233
(.040)
0.311
(.034)
0.381
(.068)
0.292
(.055)
0.328
(.039)
SD
0.386
'0.264
0.330
0.445
0.374
0.374
Pbal . 0 mg/cmj
BIAS
0.783
(.147)
0.395
(.059)
0.455
(.057)
0.666
(.110)
0.316
(.098)
0.421
(.052)
SD
0.581
0.440
0.481
0.445
0.620
0.547
                                                  6-132

-------
Table 6-74.  MAP—3 K-shell  on Metal:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
74
40
34
148
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.245
(.025)
0.177
(.032)
0.254
(.037)
0.229
(.017)
SD
0.213
0.204
0.215
0.211
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm1}
BIAS
0.153
(.026)
0.262
(.045)
0.138
(.041)
0.179
(.020)
SD
0.228
0.283
0.242
0.247
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.149
(.036)
-0.244
(.106)
-0.257
(.091)
-0.199
(.039)
SD
0.301
0.668
0.531
0.479
                                                  6-133

-------
of the SD at 1.02 mg/cm2  are  lower  than the model  would indicate,
which was possibly due to non-instrumental factors that affected
variability in instrument readings.  Bias estimates at 0.0 mg/cm2
are similar between the control block and field sample data, but
decreasing in the control blocks to a noticeable degree with
increasing lead levels, which is not seen in the model estimates.

     6.4.4.3.5 MAP-3 K-shell on Plaster

     There were 444 observations of the MAP-3 K-shell on plaster,
one of which was designated as an outlier (Machine 10:  80262)
and removed, leaving 443 observations for analysis.  For Class I,
readings on Machine 10 were made 221 times:   100 in Denver and
121 in Philadelphia.  For Class II, readings on Machine 11
(Denver) were made 101 times, and on Machine 12 (Philadelphia)
121 times.

     Matched pairs analysis:   Two matched pairs comparisons can
be made with the data:

(1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 100 Denver sites
     where readings on both were available.   On 67 of these,
     Machine 10 read higher than Machine 11 (no ties) .  The
     resulting p-value of the sign test is less than 0.2 percent,
     suggesting that Machine 10 read higher than Machine 11.  It
     should be noted, moreover, that Machine 10 read higher than
     Machine 11 on each of the 11 sites having the highest ICP
     measurements, 9 of which were greater than 5.0 mg/cm2.

(2)  Machines 10 and 12 were compared on the 121 Philadelphia
     sites of common measurement.  On 69 of these Machine 10 had
     the larger reading  (no ties),  which is not unusual under a
     50-50 chance hypotheses, where 60.5 such occurrences are
     expected.  It should be noted that the largest ICP
     measurement of these sites was only 2.64 mg/cm2,  so that the
     possibility of an effect at higher lead levels cannot be
     ruled out.

     Figure 6-22 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
components agree reasonably well with nonparametric estimates at
lower lead levels.  Usage of the model to infer instrument
performance characteristics at lower lead levels appears to be
justified.
                              6-134

-------
   .
    u
   T3
   2
   55
14


12


10


 8


 6


 4


 2
                   MAP-3 (K) on plaster, N = 443: response modeling
                                   ICP
                     MAP-3 (K) on plaster, N = 443:  SD modeling
                      10
                      15
20

ICP
25
30
35
40
Figure 6-22
         Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3  K-shell  on plaster.
         Solid  lines are model estimates.  Dashed lines are
         nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-135

-------
     Table 6-75 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  City effects within Machine 10 are indicated
especially in the intercept terms  (-0.421 Denver versus -0.825
Philadelphia),  and the resulting chi-square test comparing the
four parameters is highly significant.  Machine 11, which was
used only in Denver, also has a higher intercept term  (-0.550)
than Machine 12 (-0.975), which was used only in Philadelphia.
The highest ICP readings were obtained in Denver, in a building
that was nearly a century old.  This may explain both the city
effect and the machine effect (within Denver) that was exhibited
only on field, samples with high ICP measurements.

     Table 6-76 gives a summary of the control block data.  Bias
at 1.02 mg/cm2  and at 3.53  mg/cm2 appeared to be similar, but was
much larger at 0.0 mg/cm2.   Bias inferred from the model is
likewise negative and significant, but not reflecting the same
level of discrepancy between low and high lead levels seen in the
control block data.  The SD estimates do not appear to increase
on the control blocks with the lead level.  The SD estimates from
the model are larger, which may reflect non-instrumental sources
of variability.

     6.4.4.3.6 MAP-3 K-she11 on Wood

     There were 698 observations of the MAP-3 K-shell on wood, 9
of which were designated as outliers  (Machine 10:  80014, 80207,
80218, 80311, 80720; Machine 11:  80218, 80323, 80541, 80720),
leaving 689 observations for analysis.  For Class I, readings on
Machine 10 were made 344 times: 292 in Denver and 52 in
Philadelphia.  For Class II, readings on Machine 11 (Denver) were
made 293 times, and on Machine 12  (Philadelphia) 52 times.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

(1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 289 Denver sites
     where paired readings were available.  On 153 occasions
     Machine 10 had the higher reading, with one tie.   Under a
     50-50 hypothesis this is a very plausible outcome.  There is
     no indication that the differences between Machine 10 and 11
     readings were related to the ICP measurement, and therefore
     no machine effect is apparent.

(2)  Machines 10 and 12 were compared on the 52 Philadelphia
     sites of common measurement.  On 24 occasions Machine 10 had
     the higher reading, with no ties.  This is a very plausible
     outcome if no machine effect is assumed, and there is no

                              6-136

-------
Table 6-75.  MAP-3  K-shell  on  Plaster:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10,
Philadelphia
Machine 10, combined
Machine 11
Machine 12
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
100
121
221
101
121
443
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.421
(.092)
-0.825
(.077)
-0.602
(.058)
-0.550
(.115)
-0.975
(.099)
-0.684
(.065)
b
1.153
(.149)
1.404
(.157)
1.163
(.105)
1.041
(.119)
1.266
(.179)
1.137
(.102)
c
0.675
(.113)
0.312
(.045)
0.493
(.052)
1.098
(.175)
0.568
(.083)
0.657
(.069)
d
0.175
(.157)
0.066
(.088)
0.117
(.074)
0.046
(.057)
0.043
(.132)
0.094
(.067)
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm3
BIAS
-0.421
(.092)
-0.825
(.077)
-0.602
(.058)
-0.550
(.115)
-0.975
(.099)
-0.684
(.065)
SD
0.821
0.559
0.702
1.048
0.754
0.811
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.268
(.149)
-0.421
(.114)
-0.438
(.090)
-0.509
(.139)
-0.709
(.160)
-0.547
(.091)
SD
0.922
0.615
0.781
1.070
0.782
0.867
                                                  6-137

-------
Table 6-76.  MAP-3  K-shell on Plaster:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
68
34
34
136
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm1)
BIAS
-1.295
(.070)
-1.431
(.149)
-1.500
(.118)
-1.380
(.059)
SD
0.579
0.871
0.688
0.689
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cma)
BIAS
-0.296
(.073)
-0.289
(.081)
-0.570
(.101)
-0.636
(.049)
SD
0.600
0.472
0.591
0.569
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.360
(.064)
-0.354
(.094)
-0.402
(.091)
-0.369
(.046)
SD
0.530
0.548
0.532
0.535
                                                  6-138

-------
     indication that the differences were related to the measured
     lead levels.

     Figure 6-23 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial  variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
nonparametrie response estimate suggests a flattening out at
higher lead levels,  but the model appears to fit the data well in
the lower ICP range.  The same appears to be true for the
estimated SD.

     Table 6-77 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the field sample data.  Comparing Denver and
Philadelphia within Machine 10 reveals an apparent city effect
(the chi-square p-value is less than 0.01 percent), seen
especially in the estimated slope parameters (1.275 in Denver
versus 1.948 in Philadelphia).  But the maximum ICP measurement
for the  Philadelphia sites was only 7.2333 mg/cm2,  which makes
the comparison questionable.

     Table 6-78 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machine  effects were not evident, and the bias at 0.0 mg/cm2 was
lower on wood than on other substrates.  This agrees with the
model estimates, but the bias inferred from the model increases
and becomes positive at 1.0 mg/cm2.   SD estimates  from the model
are larger than those obtained from the control block data,
suggesting the possibility of non-instrumental sources of
variability.

     6.4.4.3.7 MAP-3 K-shell:   Summary of Analysis

     The MAP-3 K-shell performed differently according to the
substrate.   On brick, concrete and plaster, the instrument
exhibited substantial negative bias on the control blocks at 0.0
mg/cm2,  which  became less  pronounced as  the lead level increased.
Negative bias was prominent on these three substrates in the
field sample data as well, but the bias did not follow the
pattern  seen on the control blocks.  The instrument exhibited
positive bias on metal in the field sample data, which was also
reflected in the control block data except at the 3.53 mg/cm2
lead level.  The low order of bias exhibited on wood and drywall
on the field samples was matched on the control blocks at 0.0
mg/cm2,  but not  at higher  lead levels for wood.

     SD  estimates from the models typically exceeded those
obtained from control block data, especially with increasing lead
levels.   Larger SD estimates from the model suggest the presence

                              6-139

-------
    X
    .0
    _

    u
    •o

    "2
    CO
    •O
                    MAP-3 (K) on wood, N = 689: response modeling
                                   ICP

                      MAP-3 (K) on wood, N = 689: SD modeling
                                   ICP
Figure  6-23.
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,   MAP-3  K-shell  on  wood.

Solid  lines are model  estimates.   Dashed  lines are

nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-140

-------
Table 6-77.  MAP-3  K-shell  on Wood:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10,
Philadelphia
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
292
52
344
292
52
689
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.023
(.034)
-0.273
(.089)
-0.045
(.033)
-0.039
(.035)
-0.246
(.140)
-0.052
(.036)
b
1.275
(.063)
1.948
(.170)
1.427
(.065)
1.256
(.052)
1.792
(.230)
1.410
(.063)
c
0.208
(.021)
0.102
(.039)
0.202
(.020)
0.279
(.027)
0.276
(.088)
0.239
(.025)
d
0.089
(.036)
0.460
(.174)
0.194
(.050)
0.002
( .028)
0.721
(.250)
0.203
(.051)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
-0.023
(.034)
-0.273
(.089)
-0.044
(.033)
-0.039
(.035)
-0.246
(.140)
-0.052
(.036)
SD
0.456
0.320
0.449
0.528
0.525
0.488
Pb=1.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.252
(.058)
0.675
(.136)
0.383
(.058)
0.217
(.050)
0.546
(.174)
0.358
(.057)
SD
0.545
0.750
0.629
0.530
0.999
0.665
                                                  6-141

-------
Table 6-78.  MAP-3  K-shell on Wood:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
38
34
144
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.270
(.027)
-0.327
(.044)
-0.203
(.041)
-0.269
(.020)
SD
0.228
0.269
0.242
0.243
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2}
BIAS
-0.139
(.029)
-0.168
(.033)
-0.107
(.043)
-0.139
(.020)
SD
0.250
0.202
0.250
0.238
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm1)
BIAS
-0.402
(.046)
-0.340
(.056)
-0.471
(.115)
-0.402
(.038)
SD
0.390
0.348
0.670
0.462
                                                  6-142

-------
of non-instrumental  factors that may have contributed to the
variability of  readings with this instrument.

     City effects  were indicated, especially at high lead levels.
Effects  attributed to machines,  or more properly to machine-
operator pairings  since a different operator used each of the
three machines  in  the study,  can be discerned on certain
substrates (concrete,  drywall,  and plaster)  with the sign test.
Machine  effects are  less strongly indicated in both the model
estimates and the  control block data summaries.

     6.4.4.4   Results for MAP-3 L-shell

     Data for the  MAP-3 were taken with three different
instruments,  each  with a different operator.  The machines and
their operators are  designated as follows:

     Machine 10 (Operator C):  Denver and Philadelphia, Class I
     Machine 11 (Operator D):  Denver, Class II
     Machine 12 (Operator E):  Philadelphia,  Class II

     Data from  the Louisville pilot study were not used because
the time of measurement was different,  and because the MAP-3 in
Louisville did  not produce negative readings,  unlike the full
study.  Data from  the full study using 60 second  ("specials") and
240 second ("special-specials")  readings were also not used in
the analyses reported in this section.

     There were two  different field classifications for this
instrument, which  are designated here as Class I and Class II.
Machine 10 was  the only Class I instrument:   it was used at all
Denver and Philadelphia locations.  Machines 11 and 12 together
comprised Class II,  which represented a second set of
measurements at the  same locations where Machine 10 was used.

     Separating operator and machine effects was not possible
because of the  association of machines with operators.  Reference
to a machine should  always be understood to be a reference to a
machine-operator pair, unless indicated otherwise.

     6.4.4.4.1  MAP-3 L-shell on Brick

     There were 185  observations of the MAP-3 L-shell on brick,  2
of which were designated as outliers (Machine 10:  80908; Machine
11:  80038), leaving 183 observations in the analysis.  For Class
I, readings on Machine 10 were made 92 times:  80 in Denver and
12 in Philadelphia.   For Class II, readings on Machine 11

                              6-143

-------
(Denver) were made 79 times and on Machine 12 (Philadelphia)  12
times.

     Matched pairs analysis:   Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

(1)   Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 78 Denver sites
     where both made readings.  On 57 of these sites Machine 10
     had a higher reading than Machine 11, with no ties.  Machine
     10 read higher an unusually large number of times:  the sign
     test has a p-value of less than 0.01 percent.  The Spearman
     rank correlation of the differences with the ICP
     measurements at the 78 sites was 0.311, which suggests that
     the effect was greater at higher lead levels.

(2)   Machines 10 and 12 were compared on the 12 Philadelphia
     sites of common measurement.  On 11 of these sites Machine
     10 had a higher reading than Machine 12.  This is very
     unlikely under a 50-50 chance hypothesis:  the p-value of
     the sign test is 0.64 percent.

     Figure 6-24 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
model appears to fit the data reasonably well, especially at
lower lead levels.  XRF readings less than 1.0 mg/cm2 were
observed 7 times on field samples with ICP measurements greater
than 10.0 mg/cm2.

     Table 6-79 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Pooling across instruments may not be
advisable due to the results of the matched pairs analysis.
Table 6-80 gives a summary of the control block data.  It is
interesting to note that bias estimates in Tables 6-79 and 6-80
for Machine 10 are higher than those for Machines 11 and 12,
which is consistent with the results of the matched pairs
analysis.  But there is very little congruity between the two
tables, which is a common pattern across the range of L-shell
instruments.  The control block data suggest that the instrument
on average read even higher than the true lead level at 1.02
mg/cm2,  which is not  inferred from the field sample  data.   Bias
in the control block results showed a negative-positive-negative
pattern as the lead level increased, which may suggest a
nonlinear responsiveness to lead.  The performance of the
instrument on painted samples was very nonresponsive to changes
in the lead level.
                              6-144

-------
                  MAP-3 (L) on brick, N = 183:  response modeling
   t,
   &
   X
                                  ICP
                    MAP-3 (L) on brick, N = 183: SD modeling
                                  ICP
Figure 6-24.   Model Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3  L-shell  on  brick.
               Solid lines are  model estimates.  Dashed lines are
               nonparametric  (monotone regression) estimates.
                                6-145

-------
Table 6-79.  MAP-3 L-shell on Brick:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10, combined
Machine 11
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
80
92
79
183
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.060
(.031)
0.034
(.028)
0.025
(.030)
0.012
(.029)
b
0.098
(.012)
0.102
(.012)
0.112
(.019)
0.109
(.016)
c
0.056
(.010)
0.056
(.010)
0.048
(.010)
0.055
(.010)
d
0.0009
(.001)
0.0009
(.001)
0.004
(.002)
0.003
(.002)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.060
(.031)
0.034
(.028)
0.025
(.030)
0.012
(.029)
SD
0.237
0.237
0.219
0.235
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.842
(.030)
-0.864
(.228)
-0.863
(.027)
-0.880
(.029)
SD
0.239
0.239
0.228
0.241
Table 6-80. MAP-3 L-shell on Brick:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
30
30
120
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.173
(.009)
-0.205
(.023)
-0.250
(.010)
-0.200
(.008)
SD
0.069
0.124
0.055
0.083
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.197
(.011)
0.188
(.015)
0.104
(.025)
0.172
(.009)
SD
0.087
0.081
0.139
0.101
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.142
(.018)
-0.165
(.035)
-0.223
(.132)
-0.168
(.035)
SD
0.142
0.189
0.723
0.386
                                                   6-146

-------
     6.4.4.4.2  MAP-3  L-shell on  Concrete

     There  were 436 observations of  the MAP-3  L-shell on
concrete, 3 of  which  were designated as outliers (Machine 10:
80058;  Machine  11:  80938;  Machine  12:   81234),  leaving 433
observations for analysis.   For  Class I,  readings on Machine 10
were  made 216 times:   97  in Denver  and 119 in Philadelphia.  For
Class II, readings  on Machine 11 (Denver)  were made 97 times and
on Machine  12 (Philadelphia)  120 times.

     Matched pairs  analysis:  Two matched pairs comparisons were
made  on the data:

(1)   Machines 10 and  11 were compared on 96 Denver sites of
     common measurement.   On 67  of  these sites Machine 10 had the
     larger reading,  with no ties.   This result is very unlikely
     under  a 50-50  chance hypothesis:  the sign test has a p-
     value  of about 0.01  percent.  It thus appears that Machine
     10 tended  to give higher readings than Machine 11.  There
     was a  moderate rank  correlation of 0.25 between the
     difference in readings and  the ICP measurements, suggesting
     that the difference  became  larger as the lead level
     increased.

(2)  Machines 10 and 12 were compared on 119 Philadelphia sites
     of common  measurement.  On  100 of these sites Machine 10 had
     the larger reading,  again with no ties.  Such an occurrence
     is practically impossible under a 50-50 chance hypothesis.
     It appears that  Machine 10  read systematically higher than
     Machine 12, with little association between the difference
     in measurements  and  the lead level.

     Figure 6-25 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
response does not agree well with the nonparametric estimate for
ICP levels  above 2.0 mg/cm2.   The SD component appears to agree
with the nonparametric estimate  if attention is restricted to
lower ICP levels.  XRF readings  less than 1.0 mg/cm2 were
observed at ICP levels higher than 10.0 mg/cm2.   Below 10.0
mg/cm2,  almost  all  XRF readings  were less than 1.0 mg/cm2.

     Table  6-81 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  A city effect appears to exist, which can be
seen by comparing Denver and Philadelphia within Machine 10. It
was especially apparent in the estimated slope parameters  (0.373
Denver versus 0.167 Philadelphia),  and it is notable that Machine

                              6-147

-------
                   MAP-3 (L) on concrete, N = 433: response modeling
                                    ICP
                     MAP-3 (L) on concrete, N = 433:  SD modeling
Figure  6-25,
Model  Diagnostic  Plots, MAP-3  L-shell on concrete.
Solid  lines are model estimates.   Dashed lines are
nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-148

-------
Table 6-81.  MAP-3  L-shell on Concrete:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10,
Philadelphia
Machine 10, combined
Machine 11
Machine 12
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
97
119
216
97
120
433
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.098
(.013)
-0.130
(.001)
-0.117
(.008)
-0.130
(.012)
-0.195
(.010)
-0.141
(.008)
b
0.373
(.066)
0.167
(.025)
0.225
(.025)
0.319
(.059)
0.138
(.023)
0.201
(.025)
c
0.009
(.002)
0.004
(.001)
0.008
(.001)
0.009
(.002)
0.006
(.001)
0.008
(.001)
d
0.055
(.026)
0.004
(.002)
0.018
(.006)
0.044
(.021)
0.003
(.003)
0.019
(.007)
Pb=0.0 mg/cma
BIAS
-0.098
(.013)
-0.130
(.001)
-0.117
(.008)
-0.130
(.012)
-0.195
(.010)
-0.141
(.008)
SD
0.095
0.063
0.087
0.094
0.075
0.090
Pb=1.0 mg/cms
BIAS
-0.725
( .060)
-0.963
(.022)
-0.892
(.022)
-0.812
(.055)
-1.057
(.018)
-0.940
( .022)
SD
0.253
0.089
0.161
0.230
0.093
0.163
                                                  6-149

-------
Table 6-82.  MAP-3  L-shell  on  Concrete:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
38
34
144
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.193
(.006)
-0.229
(.027)
-0,249
(.010)
-0.216
(.008)
SD
0.047
0.166
0.057
0.096
RED MIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm3)
BIAS
0.202
(.009)
0.178
(.009)
0.141
(.016)
0.181
(.006)
SD
0.077
0.058
0.093
0.077
YELLOW HIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.060
(.016)
-0.131
(,029)
-0.084
(.041)
-0.085
(.015)
SD
0.138
0.181
0.241
0.178
                                                  6-150

-------
11  (Denver) versus Machine 12  (Philadelphia)  also shows that
Denver had the higher  slope.   This pattern was common across the
L-shell instruments  on certain substrates, in particular brick.

    Table 6-82 gives  a summary of the control block data.   The
estimates of bias suggest  that the instrument was able to
accurately measure the level of lead,  even overestimating the
lead level at 1.02 mg/cm2.  No  such performance was  observed on
the field samples, where under-responsiveness to the level  of
lead in paint was the  rule.  The negative-positive-negative
pattern in the bias  estimates  appearing in the control block
summary may suggest  nonlinear  responsiveness to lead.

    6.4.4.4.3 MAP-3 L-shell on Drywall

    There were 226  observations of the MAP-3 L-shell on drywall,
2 of which were designated as  outliers (Machine 10:   80227;
Machine 11:  80332), leaving 224 observations for analysis.  For
Class I, readings on Machine 10 were made 112 times:  104 in
Denver and 8 in Philadelphia.   For Class II,  readings on Machine
11  (Denver) were made  104  times, and on Machine 12  (Philadelphia)
8 times.

    Matched pairs analysis:   Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

 (1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 103 Denver sites of
    common measurement.  On only 31 occasions did Machine 10
    read higher than  Machine  11, with no ties.  The sign test
    has a p-value of  less than 0.1 percent,  which suggests a
    tendency for Machine  10 to read lower than Machine 11.
    There was no apparent relationship of this tendency to the
    ICP measurement,  but  no  ICP measurements in excess of 1.0
    mg/cm2 were available on  drywall.

 (2)  Machines 10 and 12 were  compared on the 8 Philadelphia sites
    of common measurement:  Machine 10 had the higher reading on
    3 occasions, with no  ties.  There is no indication that the
    two machines systematically differed in their readings.

    Figure 6-26 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and  laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
seem to provide a reasonable  fit, and are close to the
nonparametric estimates.  Extrapolation to a lead level as high
as  1.0 mg/cm2 is, however, difficult  due  to the restricted  range
of  ICP measurements  represented in the data.

                              6-151

-------
                    MAP-3 (L) on diywall, N = 224: response modeling
    u.
    &
    X
         0    0.1    0.2    0.3   0.4    0.5    0.6   0.7    0.8    0.9    1

                                     ICP
                      MAP-3 (L) on drywall, N = 224: SD modeling
       0.35
                                      0.5    0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9
Figure 6-26.
Model  Diagnostic  Plots, MAP-3 L-shell  on drywall.
Solid  lines are model  estimates.  Dashed lines are
nonparametric  (monotone regression) estimates.
                                  6-152

-------
    Table 6-83 gives  the  results  of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  It  was  not  possible to detect instrument or
city effects given the limited data at factor level detail,  but
the inclusion of the Philadelphia  data did not appear to affect
the results substantially.

    Table 6-84 gives  a  summary  of the control block data.   Bias
estimates at 0.0 mg/cm2 agree between  the  control  block  and  model
results.  The larger model SD estimates may reflect non-
instrumental sources of  variability.  At higher lead levels,
however, the agreement in  bias estimates no longer holds.  The
negative-positive-negative pattern seen in the control block bias
as the lead level increases  suggests a nonlinear responsiveness
to lead.

    6.4.4.4.4 MAP-3 L-shell on  Metal

    There were 378 observations of the MAP-3 L-shell on metal,
of which 7 were designated as outliers (Machine 10:  81210,
81350, 81355; Machine  12:  81210,  81348,  81350, 81355),  leaving
371 observations for analysis.   For Class I, readings on Machine
10 were made 186 times:   62  in Denver and 124 in Philadelphia.
For Class II, readings on  Machine  11  (Denver) were made 62 times,
and on Machine 12  (Philadelphia)  123 times.

    Matched pairs analysis:  Two  matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

(1)  Machines 10 and 11  were compared on the 62 Denver sites
    where both made readings.   Machine 10 had a higher reading
    than Machine 11 on  39 of these sites, with one tie.  The
    resulting sign test has a p-value of about 5 percent, which
    suggest that Machine  10 may be prone to reading higher than
    Machine 11.

(2)  Machines 10 and 12  were compared on the 123 Philadelphia
    sites common to both.  Machine 10 had the higher reading 60
    times, which is plausible under a 50-50 chance hypothesis.

    Figure 6-27 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and  laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
seem to fit the data reasonably  well, and agree with the
nonparametric estimates  especially in the lower ICP range.
                              6-153

-------
Table 6-83.  MAP-3 L-shell on Drywall:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
112
104
224
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.123
(.005)
-0.097
(.005)
-0.115
(.005)
b
0.508
(.067)
0.441
(.066)
0.498
(.060)
c
0.002
(.0002)
0.002
(.0003)
0.002
(.0003)
d
0.064
(.024)
0.059
(.023)
0.059
(.021)
PbaO.O mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.123
(.005)
-0.097
(.005)
-0.115
(.005)
SD
0.039
0.041
0.046
Pbal.O mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.615
(.064)
-0.656
(.063)
-0.616
(.058)
SD
0.255
0.247
0.247
Table 6-84.  MAP-3 L-shell on Drywall:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
34
26
120
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.120
(.003)
-0.096
(.004)
-0.125
(.004)
-0.114
(.002)
SD
0.022
0.023
0.020
0.022
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cmz)
BIAS
0.151
(.008)
0.169
(.011)
0.234
(.073)
0.174
(.017)
SD
0.065
0.066
0.374
0.182
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
-0.173
(.022)
-0.215
(.021)
-0.149
(.035)
-0.180
(.015)
SD
0.169
0.122
0.177
0.159
                                                   6-154

-------
                   MAP-3 (L) on metal, N = 371: response modeling
    c
    .o
    .

    u
    •o

    •o
    1-4
    
-------
     Table 6-85 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Comparing Denver and Philadelphia within
Machine 10 revealed a city effect much like the one seen on other
substrates with this instrument.  The slope for Denver (0.457)
was higher than that for Philadelphia (0.256), and a chi-square
test on all 4 model parameters has a p-value of less than 0.01
percent.

     Pooling data across the two cities did not appear to be
advisable.  Comparing Machines 10 and 11 within Denver revealed a
difference in the intercept terms that may explain the mildly
significant sign test result.

     Table 6-86 gives a summary of the control block data.  It
does not reveal major differences in the bias between the
machines.  A negative-positive-negative pattern in the bias,
common to all substrates, is apparent as the lead level
increases.  Little bias is suggested at 1.02 mg/cm2,  which is  a
very different conclusion than drawn from the field sample data.
The field sample performance of the instrument was much less
responsive to changes in the lead level than indicated by the
control block data summary.

     6.4.4.4.5 MAP-3 L-shell on Plaster

     There were 444 observations of the MAP-3 L-shell on plaster,
none of which were designated as outliers.  For Class I, readings
on Machine 10 were made 222 times:  101 in Denver and 121 in
Philadelphia.  For Class II, readings on Machine 11  (Denver) were
made 101 times, and on Machine 12  (Philadelphia) 121 times.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Two matched pairs comparisons were
made on the data:

 (1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 101 Denver sites
     where both made readings.  Machine 10 read higher than
     Machine 1-1 at 66 of these sites, with no ties.  The
     resulting sign test has a p-value of about 0.3 percent,
     suggesting that Machine 10 read higher than Machine 11.  At
     the 10 sites where the ICP measurement was greater than  2.0
     mg/cm2,  Machine 10 had the higher reading 9 times,  which
     suggests that the machine effect became prominent at higher
     lead levels.

 (2)  Machines 10 and 12 were compared on the 121 Philadelphia
     sites of common measurement.  Machine 10 read higher than
     Machine 12 100 times, with one tie, which is a highly

                              6-156

-------
Table 6-S5.  MAP-3  L-ahell  on  Metal:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
Machine 10,
Philadelphia
Machine 10, combined
Machine 11
Machine 12
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12)
SAMPLE
SIZE
62
124
186
62
123
371
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.309
(.077)
-0.101
(.020)
0.054
(.038)
0.252
(.067)
-0.109
(.025)
0.044
(.037)
b
0.457
(.138)
0.256
(.041)
0.284
(.056)
0.458
(.123)
0.240
(.043)
0.269
(.055)
c
0.250
(.051)
0.014
(.003)
0.145
(.019)
0.191
(.040)
0.027
(.005)
0.133
(.018)
d
0.125
(.088)
0.047
(.010)
0.080
(.025)
0.100
(.073)
0.042
(.011)
0.076
(.024)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.309
(.077)
-0.101
(.020)
0.054
(.038)
0.252
(.067)
-0.109
(.025)
0.044
(.037)
SD
0.500
0.119
0.381
0.437
0.165
0.364
Pb=1.0 mg/cm1
BIAS
-0.234
(.126)
-0.845
(.031)
-0.662
(.047)
-0.290
(.111)
-0.868
(.032)
-0.687
(.045)
SD
0.613
0.247
0.475
0.540
0.263
0.467
                                                  6-157

-------
Table 6-86.  MAP-3  L-shell  on Metal:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
74
40
34
148
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.124
(.005)
-0.155
(.026)
-0.119
(.006)
-0.131
(.008)
SD
0.042
0.165
0.035
0.092
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cma)
BIAS
0.040
(.007)
0.073
(.010)
-0.002
(.011)
0.039
(.005)
SD
0.063
0.063
0.064
0.063
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.384
(.017)
-0.416
(.092)
-0.427
(.074)
-0.402
(.031)
SD
0.144
0.581
0.431
0.379
                                                   6-158

-------
     significant  result  under the sign test.  In particular, all
     12  sites  where  the  ICP measurement was greater than 1.0
     mg/cm2 had higher Machine 10 readings.

     Figure  6-28  shows the  response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial  variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
There were no  XRF readings  above 1.0 mg/cm2  in spite of  the
presence of  very  high ICP measurements.  It is clear that the
observations with ICP levels greater than 5. 0 mg/cm2 were not
well  described by this model.  These data were obtained from the
same  century-old  unit in Denver.  Restriction of the data to ICP
levels less  than  5.0 mg/cm2  is suggested  if  inference to lower
lead  levels  is desired.   Figure  6-29 shows the model components
for the  restricted data,  and the fit appears to be reasonable.
There were no  field  samples with ICP levels between 3.0 mg/cm2
and 5.0  mg/cm2 on plaster, which explains the  labeling of the
horizontal axes.

     Table 6-87 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the  data.   The differences between cities  (within
Machine  10)  and between  machines are seen primarily in the slope
parameters b,  which  measure how  responsive the instrument was to
changes  in the lead  level.   Comparing Denver and Philadelphia
within Machine 10 gave a chi-square statistic with a p-value of
less  than 0.5  percent, which is  highly significant. Again, slope
parameters obtained  with Denver  data were higher than those for
Philadelphia data, a pattern that was seen across substrates.

     Table 6-88 gives a  summary  of  the control block data.
Differences  between  machines were not evident, and bias was not
nearly of the  magnitude  seen in  the model estimates obtained from
the field sample  data.   A negative-positive-negative pattern in
the bias as  the lead level  increases, seen in all substrates, may
indicate a nonlinear response.

     6.4.4.4.6 MAP-3 L-shell on  Wood

     There were 698  observations of the MAP-3 L-shell on wood,
one of which was  designated as an outlier (Machine 11:  80653),
leaving  697  observations for analysis.  For Class I, readings on
Machine  10 were made 349 times,  297 in Denver and 52 in
Philadelphia.  For Class II, readings on Machine 11  (Denver) were
made  296 times, and  on Machine 12 (Philadelphia) 52 times.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Two matched pairs comparisons were
made  on  the  data:

                              6-159

-------
                    MAP-3 (L) on plaster, N = 444: response modeling
    tu
    05
    X
     c
     o

     T5

     u
     •u

     •a
     C8
     •a

     I
     V)
                                    ICP

                      MAP-3 (L) on plaster, N = 444:  SD modeling
Figure  6-28
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3  L-shell  on plaster.

Solid  lines are  model estimates.  Dashed lines  are

nonparametric  (monotone regression) estimates.
                                 6-160

-------
    U,
    fi
 1

0.8

0.6

0.4




 0

-0.2

-0.4

-0.6
                    MAP-3 (L) on plaster, N = 426: response modeling
                  0.5        1         1.5        2

                                    ICP
                      MAP-3 (L) on plaster, N = 426:  SD modeling
                                                2.5
                                     ICP
Figure 6-29
         Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3  L-shell  on  plaster
         with ICP restricted to less  than 3.0 mg/cm2.  Solid
         lines   are  model   estimates.     Dashed   lines  are
         nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-161

-------
Table 6-87.  MAP-3  L-shell  on  Plaster:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
(ICP < 5)
Machine 10,
Philadelphia (ICP < 5}
Machine 10, combined
(ICP < 5)
Machine 11 (ICP < 5)
Machine 12 (ICP < 5)
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12) (ICP < 5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
92
121
213
92
121
426
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.123
(.013)
-0.108
(.011)
-0.112
(.009)
-0.112
(.014)
-0.180
(.011)
-0.123
(.010)
b
0.416
(.079)
0.144
(.027)
0.200
(.030)
0.270
(.064)
0.170
(.026)
0.169
(.029)
c
0.007
(.002)
0.005
(.001)
0.007
(.001)
0.010
(.002)
0.000
(.001)
0.008
(.001)
d
0.070
( .044)
0.005
(.004)
0.019
(.008)
0.024
(.015)
0.004
(.003)
0.015
(.007)
Fb«0 . 0 mg/cm1
BIAS
-0.123
(.013)
-0.108
(.011)
-0.112
(.009)
-0.112
(.014)
-0.180
(.011)
-0.123
(.010)
3D
0.084
0.073
0.081
0.100
0.077
0.091
Pbal.O mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.708
(.072)
-0.964
(.020)
-0.911
(.025)
-0.842
(.057)
-1.010
(.019)
-0.955
(.024)
SD
0.276
0.100
0.161
0.185
0.099
0.152
                                                   6-162

-------
Table 6-88. MAP-3 L-sliell on Plaster:  Control Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
68
34
34
136
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm1 )
BIAS
-0.177
(.066)
-0.198
(.017)
-0.186
(.049)
-0.184
(.013)
SD
0.046
0.097
0.284
0.153
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.190
(.009)
0.188
(.015)
0.146
(.012)
0.178
(.007)
SD
0.074
0.087
0.068
0.076
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.121
(.021)
-0 .185
(.037)
-0.125
(.034)
-0.138
(.016)
SD
0.173
0.218
0.200
0.192
                                                   6-163

-------
 (1)  Machines 10 and 11 were compared on the 295 Denver sites of
     common measurement.  Machine 10 had the higher reading 157
     times, with 2 ties, which is a plausible outcome under a
     50-50 chance hypothesis.

 (2)  Machines 10 and 12 were compared on the 52 Philadelphia
     sites of common measurement.  Machine 10 had the higher
     reading 26 times, with no ties, again a plausible outcome if
     no machine effect is present.

     Figure 6-30 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
nonparametric response estimate is clearly flatter than the model
estimate at higher lead levels.  XRF readings below 1.0 mg/cm2
were observed at ICP levels higher than 20.0 mg/cm2.   Restriction
of the analysis to data with ICP measurements less than 5.0
mg/cm2  should better  describe the performance of the  instrument
at lower lead levels.  Figure 6-31 shows the estimated model
components on the restricted data,  and the fit appears to be
adequate for inferring instrument performance.

     Table 6-89 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Comparing parameter estimates for different
instruments within the same city did not show evidence of a
machine effect, as the matched pairs analysis indicated.  There
did appear to be a city effect, with Denver having higher slope
estimates  (parameter Jb) than Philadelphia, a pattern that was
seen across substrates.  Comparing the two cities within Machine
10 gave a chi-square statistic with a p-value of less than 0.01
percent.  Results for the combined city data give an indication
of how the instrument performed on wood substrates under a
broader range of conditions.

     Table 6-90 gives a summary of the control block data,  and
the conclusions are the same as with the other substrates.   The
control block data gave a picture of instrument performance that
was not duplicated on the field samples.  The negative-positive-
negative pattern in the bias as the lead level increases may be
indicative of a nonlinear response.

     6.4.4.4.7 MAP-3 L-shell:  Summary of Analysis

     Like other L-shell instruments, the MAP-3 L-shell did not
perform the same on painted samples as on the control blocks.
Bias was of a much lower order of magnitude on the control
blocks, and all substrates showed a negative-positive-negative

                              6-164

-------
   X
   _o
   o
   •o
   1
   •a
   2
   55
       -2
                   MAP-3 (L) on wood, N = 697: response modeling
                       10
15
20
25
30
                                  ICP
                    MAP-3 (L) on wood, N = 697: SD modeling
                                  ICP
35
Figure 6-30.    Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  MAP-3  L-shell  on  wood.
                Solid lines are model estimates.   Dashed  lines are
                nonparametric  (monotone regression) estimates.
                                6-165

-------
       -0.5
       1.6
    c
    _o
    _

    O
    •o
    CO
    •a
       1.2
0.8


0.6


0.4


0.2


 0
                    MAP-3 (L) on wood, N = 663: response modeling

               "1	!	\
         0    0.5
         0    0.5
                                    ICP
                      MAP-3 (L) on wood, N = 663: SD modeling
                  1.5
2.5
                                    ICP
3.5
4.5
Figure 6-31.
         Model Diagnostic Plots,  MAP-3 L-shell on wood with
         ICP  restricted  to  less  than  5.0  mg/cm2 .    Solid
         lines  are  model  estimates.     Dashed  lines  are
         nonparametric (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-166

-------
Table 6-89.  MAP-3  L-shell  on Wood:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 10, Denver
(ICP < 5)
Machine 10,
Philadelphia (ICP < 5)
Machine 10, combined
(ICP < 5)
Machine 11 (ICP < 5)
Machine 12 (ICP < 5)
All Machines (10, 11,
and 12) (ICP < 5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
281
51
332
280
51
663
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.087
(.008)
-0.067
(.032)
-0.084
(.008)
-0.074
(.007)
-0.051
(.036)
-0.079
(.008)
b
0.542
(.038)
0.213
(.036)
0.454
(.031)
0.467
(.032)
0.165
(.047)
0.425
(.030)
c
0.009
(.001)
0.019
(.005)
0.009
(.001)
0.007
(.001)
0.022
(.006)
0.008
(.001)
d
0.076
(.018)
0.004
(.004)
0.071
(.015)
0.056
(.014)
0.015
(.007)
0.068
(.014)
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.087
(.008)
-0.067
(.032)
-0.084
(.008)
-0.074
(.007)
-0.051
(.036)
-0.078
(.008)
SD
0.092
0.138
0.095
0.086
0.147
0.092
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.545
(.035)
-0.854
(.025)
-0.630
(.028)
-0.607
(.030)
-0.886
(.032)
-0.653
( .027)
SD
0.292
0.152
0.282
0.253
0.192
0.276
                                                  6-167

-------
Table 6-90.  MAP-3  L-shell on Wood:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 10
Machine 11
Machine 12
Machines 10, 11,
and 12
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
38
34
144
BARE
(0.0 mg/cmj)
BIAS
-0.180
<.002)
-0.161
{ .004)
-0.171
(.003)
-0.216
(.008)
SD
0.020
0.024
0.018
0.020
RED MIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.103
(.009)
0.120
(.008)
0.042
(.057)
0.181
( .006)
SD
0.073
0.052
0.335
0.172
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.239
(.021)
-0.298
(.039)
-0.279
(.115)
-0.085
(.015)
SD
0.180
0.242
0. 671
0.370
                                                  6-168

-------
pattern in the bias with increasing lead levels, which may
indicate a nonlinear response to the lead level.  The usage of
the instrument on the field samples exhibited much less
responsiveness to changes in the lead level.

     The instrument frequently made readings below 1.0 mg/cm2
when the ICP measurement was higher than 10.0 mg/cm2.   This
occurred on all substrates except drywall and metal, for which no
field samples with ICP measurements greater than 10.0 mg/cm2 were
present in the full study.  On plaster, all MAP-3 L-shell
readings were less than 1.0 mg/cm2 on the  9 samples with ICP
measurements greater than 5.0 mg/cm2.

     Both machine  (or operator) and city effects were evident in
the field sample data.  City effects were indicated, since the
slope parameter jb estimated for Denver was about twice as large
as it was for Philadelphia.  This suggests that the instrument
was less responsive to changes in the lead level in Philadelphia
compared to Denver, which may be indicative of  factors such as
paint mass or paint thickness in the field samples.  Machine
effects were reflected in the intercept parameter a, except for
plaster, where the slope parameter explains the difference
between Machines 10 and 11 restricted to the same Denver sites.
Differences in both intercepts and slopes were  indicated between
cities on metal substrates, which may reflect differences in
building materials, age and thickness of paint, or other factors
that distinguished cities in the study.

     6.4.4.5   Results for Microlead I

     The Microlead I revision 4  (also referred  to as the ML I) is
a K-shell instrument.  Data were obtained on 5  machines by 4
different operators, from both the full and pilot studies.  These
are described as follows:
     Machine 20  (Operator  G)

     Machine 21  (Operators E, H)

     Machine 22  (Operator  E)

     Machine 23  (Operator  H)

     Machine 24  (Operator  F)
Denver and Philadelphia,
Class I
Denver and Philadelphia
Class II
Denver only,
Class II
Philadelphia only,
Class II
Louisville only,
unclassed
                               6-169

-------
     The partial crossing of operators,  cities, and instruments
allowed limited assessment of these factors controlling for the
others, depending on the availability of data.  Field
classifications (Class I and Class II)  applied to only the full
study, where paired comparisons were made,  and the problem of
statistical dependence arose.  Cities are sometimes referred to
by their first letters for the sake of brevity.

     6.4.4.5.1 Microlead I on Brick

     There were 186 observations of the Microlead I on brick,
none of which were designated as outliers.   The breakdown by
machines,  operators, and cities was as follows:

     Machine 20:    Operator G     93 total (81 D, 93 P)
     Machine 21:    Operator E     58 total (all D)
                    Operator H      2 total (all P)
     Machine 22:    Operator E     23 total (all D)
     Machine 23:    Operator H     10 total (all P)

     No observations on brick substrates were obtained in the
Louisville pilot study.

     Matched pairs analysis:  A number of sign tests were
performed on matched pairs:

(1)  Machine 20 (Operator G) was compared to Machine 21 (Operator
     E) on 58 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a lower reading 37 times, with 3 ties.  The sign test
     has a p-value of about 1.5 percent, indicating a possible
     machine or operator effect.  Machine 20 gave a lower reading
     on all 21 samples with ICP measurements greater than 1.0
     mg/cm2,  which indicates that  the effect was manifest  at
     higher lead levels.

(2)  Machine 20 (Operator G) was compared to Machine 22 (Operator
     E) on 23 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading 7 times, with 2 ties.  This is a
     plausible result with the sign test (p-value in excess of 10
     percent).  Since the highest ICP measurement was only 0.0079
     mg/cm2,  it cannot be determined if  this conclusion held at
     higher lead levels.

(3)  Machine 20 (Operator G) was compared to Machine 23 (Operator
     H) on 10 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20 gave a higher reading 6 times, with 1 tie.  This again is
     a plausible result with the sign test.  But since the

                              6-170

-------
     highest ICP measurement was 0.7094 mg/cm2,  it  is not known
     if an effect at higher lead levels may have existed.

     Operator E using Machines 21 and 22 permits comparison of
the two machines with a Fisher's exact test using the results of
(2)  and (3).   The test does not find that the pattern of positive
and negative differences with respect to Machine 21 is
significantly different from that of Machine 22.  A machine
effect controlling for operator and city was therefore not found.

     Figure 6-32 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
model does not appear to fit the data well over the entire ICP
range,  and restriction to ICP measurements less than 1.0 mg/cm2
may be more revealing.  This is shown in Figure 6-33.  The model
response is very flat, and the nonparametric estimate even more
so.   For ICP measurements less than 1.0 mg/cm2,  there was little
response to change in the lead level, but at higher lead levels
(greater than 5.0 mg/cm2)  the  response was obviously higher.
What happened in between is hard to tell because of a lack of
data.

     Fitting the XRF measurement model to the data was
inappropriate, given the lack of responsiveness at lower lead
levels and the poor model fit at higher lead levels.  Performance
at 0.0 mg/cm2  was  inferred by  taking averages and standard
deviations for ICP measurements less than 0.02 mg/cm2,  and at 1.0
mg/cm2  for ICP between 0.02 mg/cm2 and  1.0 mg/cm2.  Results are
reported in Table 6-91.  Table 6-92 is a summary of the control
block data.

     There is some agreement between the control block results
and the models in the SD estimates, but little else.  Table 6-92
suggests large positive bias for Machines 21, 22 and 23 that
diminished as the lead level increases, and a negative bias for
Machine 20 that became worse as the lead level increased.  A
similar pattern was not seen on the field samples.

     6.4.4.5.2 Microlead I on Concrete

     There were 444 observations of the Microlead I on concrete,
none of which were designated as outliers.  The breakdown by
machines, operators, and cities is as follows:
                              6-171

-------
     OS
     X
                  Microlead I revision 4 on brick, N = 186: response modeling
                                     ICP
                   Microlead I revision 4 on brick, N = 186: SD modeling
                                     ICP
Figure  6-32
Model   Diagnostic  Plots,  Microlead  I  on  brick.
Solid  lines are model estimates.   Dashed lines are
nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-172

-------
                 Microlead I revision 4 on brick, N = 143: response modeling
   Pu


   X
      -0.5 •-
               0.1     0.2     0.3    0.4     0.5    0.6     0.7    0.8     0.9



                                     ICP

                   Microlead I revision 4 on brick, N = 143: SD modeling
       0.7
      0.65
       0.6
   I  0.55
   to
       0.5
U
•a

•E
a
"O

c  0.45
   3
   en
       0.4
      0.35
       0.;
               0.1    0.2     0.3    0.4     0.5    0.6     0.7    0.8     0.9



                                     ICP
Figure  6-33.
              Model Diagnostic  Plots,  Microlead  I on  brick  with

              ICP  restricted  to  less  than  0.9  mg/cm2 .    Solid

              lines  are  model  estimates.     Dashed  lines  are

              nonparametric  (monotone  regression) estimates.
                                   6-173

-------
Table 6-91.  Microlead I on Brick:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 20 {ICP < 1)
Machine 21 (ICP < 1)
Machine 22 (ICP < 1)
All Machines (20, 21,
22, and 23) (ICP < 1)
SAMPLE
SIZE
71
38
23
143
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
--
--
--
--
b
-_
--
--
--
c
--
--
--
_.
d
--
--
--
--
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.077
(.102)
0.133
(.294)
0.030
(.110)
0.103
(.101)
SD
0.593
0.720
0.530
0.583
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.366
(.084)
-0.300
(.104)
-
-0.333
(.154)
SD
0.509
0.586
-
0.552
                                                  6-174

-------
Table 6-92.  Microlead I on Brick:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 21, 22,
and 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
21
14
26
61
BARE
(0.0 mg/cmj)
BIAS
-0.103
(.084)
0.509
(.098)
0.407
(.204)
0.469
(.055)
0.469
(.062)
SO
0.653
0.449
0.763
0.280
0.484
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.307
( .079)
0.537
(.086)
0.380
(.156)
0.415
(.051)
0.449
(.051)
SD
0.613
0.396
0.584
0.258
0.399
YELLOW NIST SRM
{3.53 mg/W)
BIAS
-0.707
(.096)
0.208
(.129)
0.134
(.176)
-0.080
(.072)
0.068
(.067)
SD
0.740
0.591
0.659
0.365
0.525
                                                  6-175

-------
     Machine 20:    Operator G     218 total  (98 D, 120 P)
     Machine 21:    Operator E      67 total  (all D)
                    Operator H      15 total  (all P)
     Machine 22:    Operator E      31 total  (all D)
     Machine 23:    Operator H     105 total  (all P)
     Machine 24:    Operator F       8 total  (all L)

     Matched pairs analysis:  A number of sign tests were
performed on matched pairs:

 (1)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 21 (Operator
     E) on 67 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading 8 times, with 3 ties.  The sign test
     has a p-value of less than 0.01 percent, strongly indicating
     a possible, machine or operator effect where Machine 20 read
     lower than Machine 21.

 (2)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 21 (Operator
     H) on 15 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20 gave a higher reading 11 times, with no ties.  This is a
     plausible result with the sign test  (p-value in excess of 10
     percent).

 (3)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 22 (Operator
     E) on 31 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading only 5 times, with 3 ties.  This
     result is highly significant with the sign test, and
     suggests that Machine 20 gave lower readings than Machine
     22.

 (4)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 23 (Operator
     H) on 105 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20 gave a higher reading 73 times, with 7 ties, which is a
     highly significant result with the sign test  (p-value of
     about 0.01 percent), suggesting that Machine 20 tended to
     give higher readings than Machine 23.  Again, it must be
     emphasized that this result cannot separate the effect of
     the operator from that of the machine.

     The two comparisons of Machine 20 with Machine 21 under
different operators for Machine 21 suggests either an operator or
a city effect.  The Fisher's exact test on the 2 by 2 table based
on the information in (1) and (2) was used to explore this
further.  The test has a p-value of less than 0.01 percent.  The
possibility that what are indicated as machine effects are in
fact due to operators or cities therefore cannot be ruled out.
Given the strong possibility of effects of either kind, the small

                              6-176

-------
quantity of Louisville data was not used in the analysis.

     Figure 6-34 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
fit appears to be reasonable for the purposes of making inference
at lower lead levels.

     Table 6-93 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  The slopes  (parameter Jb) of the estimated models are all
similar,  but differences are evident in the intercepts  (parameter
a) , which appears to account for machine or operator effects
found in the matched pairs analysis.  Comparing Denver and
Philadelphia within Machine 20 indicated a city effect with a
highly significant chi-square p-value (less than .01 percent).
The difference in the intercepts, -0.030 (.065) in Denver and
0.589  (.064) in Philadelphia, appeared to be the reason.  The
ordering of machines suggested by the sign tests, Machine 20 less
than Machine 21 in Denver, and less than Machine 22 but greater
than Machine 23 in Philadelphia, was also reflected in the
intercepts.

     Table 6-94 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machine 22 stood out as giving the highest readings, followed by
20, 23, and 21.  Estimates of the SD increased with the lead
level, as did the model estimates.  Non-instrumental sources of
variability may be reflected in the higher SD estimates obtained
with the model.

     6.4.4.5.3 Microlead I on Drywall

     There were 237 observations of the Microlead I on concrete,
4 of which were designated as outliers  (Machines 20 and 21:
80343 and 80345), leaving 233 observations for analysis.  The
breakdown by machines, operators, and cities was as follows:

     Machine 20:    Operator G     111 total  (103 D, 8 P)
     Machine 21:    Operator E      32 total  (all D)
     Machine 22:    Operator E      71 total  (all D)
     Machine 23:    Operator H       8 total  (all P)
     Machine 24:    Operator F      11 total  (all L)

     Matched pairs analysis:  A number of sign tests were
performed on matched pairs:

 (1)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     E) on 32 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20

                              6-177

-------
               Microlead I revision 4 on concrete, N = 444: response modeling
    tu
    a!
    X
    .o
    «-•
    _ea

    U
    •a
    a
    T3


    2
    (35
                                    ICP

                 Microlead I revision 4 on concrete, N = 444: SD modeling
Figure 6-34.    Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Microlead  I on concrete.

                 Solid  lines are model  estimates.  Dashed lines are

                 nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                  6-178

-------
Table 6-93.  Microlead  I on Concrete:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 20, Denver
Machine 20,
Philadelphia
Machine 20, combined
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
98
120
218
82
31
105
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.030
(.060)
0.589
(.064)
0.283
(.051)
0.670
(.093)
0.892
(.251)
0.110
( .070)
b
1.022
(.126)
0.868
(.110)
1.094
(.106)
0.925
(.109)
1.337
(.455)
1.043
(.158)
c
0.313
(.051)
0.295
(.039)
0.375
(.041)
0.524
(.094)
1.547
(.423)
0.233
(.033)
d
0.188
(.104)
-0-
0.143
(.071)
0.111
(.068)
0.166
(.455)
-0-
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.030
(.066)
0.589
(.064)
0.283
(.051)
0.670
(.093)
0.892
(.251)
0.110
(.070)
SD
0.559
0.543
0.613
0.724
1.244
0.483
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.008
(.100)
0.457
(.100)
0.377
(.092)
0.595
(.121)
1.230
(.415)
0.152
(.116)
SD
0.708
0.543
0.720
0.790
1.309
0.483
                                                  6-179

-------
Table 6-94.  Microlead I on Concrete:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 21, 22,
and 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
24
18
30
72
BARE
(0.0 mg/c»J)
BIAS
0.636
(.060)
0.145
(.070)
1.428
(.117)
0.397
(.057)
0.571
(.044)
SD
0.513
0.344
0.494
0.314
0.376
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.822
(.074)
0.247
(.092)
1.586
(.160)
0.537
(.074)
0.702
(.059)
SD
0.629
0.451
0.677
0.407
0.500
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.314
(.072)
0.004
(.222)
1.237
(.174)
-0.020
(.072)
0.302
(.091)
SD
0.612
1.090
0.736
0.396
0.772
                                                  6-180

-------
     gave a higher reading 11 times, with 1 tie.  This result is
     plausible under a hypothesis of no machine or operator
     effects.

(2)   Machine 20 (Operator G) was compared to Machine 22 (Operator
     E)  on 71  Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading only 5 times, with no ties.  The
     resulting sign test is very highly significant (p-value less
     than 0.01 percent), suggesting that Machine 20
     systematically read lower than Machine 22.

(3)   Machine 20 (Operator G) was compared to Machine 23 (Operator
     H)  on 8 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20  gave a higher reading 3 times, with 2 ties.  This is not
     an  unusual outcome if no machine or operator effects were to
     exist.  The highest ICP measurement for these 8 sites was
     only 0.0079 mg/cm2.

     One Fisher's exact test is of interest.  It is possible to
compare  Machines 21 and 22 within operator  (E) and city (Denver)
using the information in (1) and (2) above.  The resulting p-
value for the  2 by 2 table is about 0.1 percent, which suggests
that Machine 22 read higher than Machine 21, or that site-
specific effects within Denver were present.

     Figure 6-35 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial  variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
model response appears to agree with the nonparametric estimate,
and there is no indication that variability increases with the
lead level, although the absence of ICP readings greater than 1.0
mg/cm2 on drywall  must  be noted.

     Table 6-95 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.   Although the slope parameters appear to differ greatly,
account  needs  to be taken of the standard errors.  For Machine
22,  the  slope  of 2.128 has a standard error of 0.548, and a 95
percent  confidence interval created by subtracting and adding
three (or even two) times the standard error places it in the
range of the other estimates.  The difference between Machines 20
and 22 that gave the highly significant sign test was reflected
in the intercepts:  0.004 for Machine 20 and 0.658 for Machine
22.

     Table 6-96 gives a summary of the control block data.  A
similar  effect is seen for Machines 20 and 22:  Machine 22 had
the higher bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  and the difference between them is

                              6-181

-------
                 Microlead I revision 4 on drywall, N = 233: response modeling
    U<
          0    0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6   0.7    0.8    0.9
        0.6
        0.5
    I  °'4

    jea

     u
    •0
                                      ICP

                   Microlead I revision 4 on drywall, N = 233: SD modeling
        0.3
     ca
    •o

     ca
    55   0.2
        0.1
                I      I
          0.    0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4
0.5



ICP
0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9
Figure 6-35.    Model  Diagnostic  Plots,   Microlead  I  on  drywall.

                  Solid  lines  are model  estimates.   Dashed lines are

                  nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                   6-182

-------
Table 6-95.  Microlead I  on  Drywall:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machines 20, 21, 23,
and 24
SAMPLE
SIZE
111
32
71
162
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.004
(.039)
0.202
(.074)
0.658
(.077)
0.023
(.031)
b
1.179
(.225)
0.959
(.223)
2.128
(.548)
1.194
(.175)
c
0.119
(.017)
0.123
(.031)
0.285
(.049)
0.115
(.013)
d
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
Pb=0.0 ing/ cm2
BIAS
0.004
(.039)
0.202
(.074)
0.658
(.077)
0.023
(.031)
SD
0.345
0.351
0.534
0.338
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.183
(.208)
0.162
(.193)
1.787
(.509)
0.217
(.162)
SD
0.345
0.351
0.534
0.338
                                                  6-183

-------
Table 6-96.  Microlead I on Drywall:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 21, 22,
and 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
16
20
24
60
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.615
(.054)
0.138
(.055)
-0.055
(.087)
0.017
(.044)
0.025
(.037)
SD
0.418
0.219
0.387
0.214
0.285
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 ing/ cm1)
BIAS
-0.558
(.056)
0.099
(.086)
0.180
(.056)
0.076
(.059)
0.117
(.038)
SD
0.435
0.345
0.251
0.287
0.292
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.718
. (.046)
0.107
(.099)
0.105
(.097)
0.245
(.052)
0.162
(.046)
SD
0.356
0.396
0.432
0.254
0.360
                                                   6-184

-------
about 0.6.   But an even larger effect for Machines 20 and 21
would have  been anticipated, and the biases generally did not
agree with  the model estimates.   This follows not only from the
model, but  is borne out graphically as well,  suggesting that the
instruments performed differently on the field samples than on
the control blocks.  SD estimates from both sets of data were
fairly close.

     6.4.4.5.4 Hicrolead I on Metal

     There  were 406 observations of the Microlead I on metal, 4
of which were designated as outliers  (Machine 20:  81348, 81710,
81953; Machine 23: 81348), leaving 402 observations for analysis.
The breakdown by machines, operators, and cities was as follows:

     Machine 20:    Operator G     186 total  (62 D, 124 P)
     Machine 21:    Operator E      35 total  (all D)
                    Operator H      16 total  (all P)
     Machine 22:    Operator E      27 total  (all D)
     Machine 23:    Operator H     110 total  (all P)
     Machine 24:    Operator F      28 total  (all L)

     Matched pairs analysis:  A number of sign tests were
performed on matched pairs:

 (1)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     E) on 35 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading 32 times, with no ties.  The sign test
     has a p-value of less than 0.01 percent, suggesting that
     Machine 20 read higher than Machine 21 in Denver with these
     operators.

 (2)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     H) on 15 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20 gave a higher reading 14 times, with no ties.  The sign
     test has a p-value of about 0.05 percent, again suggesting a
     significant effect.

 (3)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 22  (Operator
     E) on 27 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading 6 times, with 3 ties.  The  sign test
     has a p-value of about 2.5 percent, which suggests that
     Machine 20 may have been prone to reading lower than Machine
     22 under these measurement circumstances.

 (4)  Machine 20  (Operator G) was compared to Machine 23  (Operator
     H) on 109 sites of common measurement.  Machine 20 gave a

                              6-185

-------
     higher reading 84 times,  with 6 ties.  The sign test has a
     p-value of less than 0.01 percent, strongly suggesting that
     an effect existed.

     Several Fisher's exact tests are of note.  Comparing
Machines 21 and 22 for Operator E in Denver using the information
in  (1) and  (3) gives a 2 by 2  table with a p-value of less than
0.01 percent.  It appears that Machine 21 read lower than Machine
22.  Comparing Operator E and  Operator H within Machine 21 using
the information in (1) and (2) gives a Fisher's exact test with a
p-value of nearly 100 percent.  While these.tests do not
constitute evidence that the operators affected the performance
of this machine, the sample sizes were also small.

     Figure 6-36 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
response seems to be well modeled for ICP levels less than about
3.0 mg/cm2,  above  which the nonparametric estimate suggests a
flattening of the response.  The SD also seems to be well modeled
up to about 2.0 mg/cm2,  where  it  closely agrees with the
nonparametric estimate.

     Table 6-97 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  The ordering of the machines suggested by the sign tests
is evident in intercept terms:  Machine 22 highest  (1.080),
followed by Machine 20  (0.351), Machine 21  (-0.381) and Machine
23  (0.415).  The slopes are all similar, and not far from 1.0,
which was typical for the K-shell instruments evaluated.
Splitting Machine 20 readings  by city revealed a significant
difference, reflected primarily in the intercepts:  0.607  (.085)
in Denver, and 0.207  (.083)  in Philadelphia.  This particular
machine was suspected of having experienced a problem on metal
control blocks in Philadelphia, and the apparent city effect may
simply be a reflection of the  same problem.

     Table 6-98 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machine 20, which as noted above experienced performance problems
on the control blocks, had results that are clearly out of line
with the other machines.  The  bias estimates again suggest that
Machine 22 read higher than Machines 21 or 23.  Only Machine 23,
however, showed agreement with the model estimates of bias.  The
model SD estimates were higher than for the control blocks, which
may suggest non-instrumental sources of variability.
                              6-186

-------
            Microlead I revision 4 on metal, N = 402: response modeling
_ea
u
ca
•O
I
                                ICP
               Microlead I revision 4 on metal, N = 402: SD modeling
            Model  Diagnostic   Plots,  Microlead   I  on  metal.
            Solid lines are model estimates.   Dashed lines are
            nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
Figure 6-36
                             6-187

-------
Table 6-97.  Microlead I on Metal:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 20, Denver
Machine 20,
Philadelphia
Machine 20, combined
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machine 24
SAMPLE
SIZE
62
124
186
51
71
110
28
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.607
(.085)
0.207
(.083)
0.351
(.060)
-0.381
(.130)
1.080
(.175)
-0.415
(.057)
0.217
(.182)
b
1.158
(.131)
1.074
(.067)
1.100
(.075)
1.207
(.199)
1.281
(.271)
1.241
(.093)
0.950
(.202)
c
0.305
(.059)
0.473
(.071)
0.380
(.053)
0.536
(.117)
0.653
(.184)
0.134
(.030)
0.523
(.145)
d
-0-
-0-
0.088
(.050)
0.089
(.091)
-0-
0.163
(.067)
-0-
Pb=0 . 0 ing/ cm2
BIAS
0.607
(.085)
0.207
(.083)
0.351
(.060)
-0.381
(.130)
1.080
(.175)
-0.415
(.057)
0.217
(.182)
SD
0.552
0.688
0.617
0.732
0.808
0.366
0.723
Pb=1.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.765
(.120)
0.281
(.070)
0.451
(.065)
-0.174
(.169)
1.361
(.255)
-0.174
(.072)
0.167
(.164)
SD
0.552
0.688
0.684
0.790
0.808
0.545
0.723
                                                  6-188

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Table 6-98.  Microlead  I on Metal:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 21, 22,
and 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
74
24
21
30
75
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
2.247
(.278)
-0.817
(.052)
-0.348
(.072)
-0.430
(.040)
-0.336
(.031)
3D
2.390
0.257
0.330
0.222
0.266
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.995
(.249)
-0.841
(.043)
0.266
(.128)
-0.397
(.042)
-0.353
(.042)
SD
2.142
0.213
0.588
0.232
0.363
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.773
(.266)
-0.455
(.056)
0.441
(.251)
0.017
(.051)
-0.015
(.075)
SD
2.291
0.275
1.152
0.280
0.652
                                                  6-189

-------
     6.4.4.5.5 Microlead I on Plaster

     There were 463 observations of the Microlead I on plaster, 4
of which were designated as outliers (Machines 20 and 22:  80260
and 80262), leaving 459 observations for analysis.  The breakdown
by machines, operators, and cities was as follows:

     Machine 20:    Operator G     220 total  (99 D, 121 P)
     Machine 21:    Operator E      54 total  (all D)
                    Operator H      18 total  (all P)
     Machine 22:    Operator E      44 total  (all D)
     Machine 23:    Operator H     103 total  (all P)
     Machine' 24:    Operator F      20 total  (all L)

     Matched pairs analysis:   A number of sign tests were
performed on matched pairs:

(1)  Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     E) on 54 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading 24 times, with 5 ties.  This would be
     a very plausible result if no machine or operator effects
     were present.

(2)  Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     H) on 18 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20 gave a higher reading only 3 times, with 1 tie.  This is
     a moderately unlikely result under a 50-50 chance
     hypothesis:  the p-value of the sign test is approximately
     1. 56 percent.

(3)  Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 22  (Operator
     E) on 46 sites of common measurement.  Machine 20 gave a
     higher reading 24 times, with 2 ties, which is a likely
     result if there were no machine or operator effects.

(4)  Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 23  (Operator
     H) on 103 sites of common measurement.  Machine 20 gave a
     higher reading 28 times, with 10 ties.  The sign test has a
     p-value of about 0.02 percent, which suggests that Machine
     20 was prone to reading less than Machine 23, or that the
     effect may be due to the difference in operators.

     Comparing Machines 21 and 22 for Operator E using results
from (1) and  (3) does not give a significant Fisher's exact test,
nor does comparison of Machines 21 and 23 for Operator H using
(2) and (4) .  A comparison of Operator E and Operator H within
Machine 21 using results from  (1) and  (2) has a p-value of about

                              6-190

-------
2 percent,  which is moderately significant, but may suggest city
as opposed to operator effects.

     Figure 6-37 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect' of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
agreement between the model and the nonparametric estimates
appears to be good at ICP levels less than about 20.0 mg/cm2.

     Table 6-99 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Although the machine slopes (parameter Jb)
range from 0.765 to 1.211, the large standard errors suggest that
this may not be a true distinguishing feature.  The intercepts
 (parameter a) show Machine 23 as the only standout, and appear to
confirm the sign test result noted above.  Overall, however, the
intercepts do not vary greatly across machines.  A city effect
was not prominent on this substrate.  Splitting Machine 20 into
Denver and Philadelphia and fitting separate models to each gave
intercept estimates of -0.092  (.072) for Denver and 0.013 (.055)
for Philadelphia.

     Table 6-100 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machine 21 stands out as having given lower readings than the
other machines, and its corresponding bias estimates are
consistent with those obtained from the model.  The high positive
bias for Machine 22 suggested in the control block data, however,
was not replicated in the field sample data.  Machine 22, unlike
the other machines, also gave markedly different SD estimates in
the two sets of results, in contrast to the other machines
considered.

     6.4.4.5.6 Microlead I on Wood

     There were 739 observations of the Microlead I on wood, 8 of
which were designated as outliers  (Machines 20 and 21:  80207 and
 80218; Machines 20 and 22:  80720; Machine 20 only:  80323 and
 81723), leaving 731 observations for analysis.  The breakdown by
machines, operators, and cities was as follows:

     Machine 20:    Operator G     348 total  (297 D, 51 P)
     Machine 21:    Operator E     126 total  (all D)
                    Operator H       4 total  (all P)
     Machine 22:    Operator E     172 total  (all D)
     Machine 23:    Operator H      48 total  (all P)
     Machine 24:    Operator F      33 total  (all L)
                              6-191

-------
    tt,
    _C3

    U
    •o
    Cd
    •o

    I
18


16


14


12


10


 8


 6


 4


 2
         0
                 Microlead I revision 4 on plaster, N = 459: response modeling
                                     ICP

                   Microlead I revision 4 on plaster, N = 459: SD modeling
               10
15
 20


ICP
25
30
35
40
Figure  6-37.    Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  Microlead  I  on  plaster.
                 Solid  lines are model  estimates.  Dashed  lines are
                 nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                  6-192

-------
Table 6-99.  Microlead I  on  Plaster:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 20, Denver
Machine 20,
Philadelphia
Machine 20, combined
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 20, 21, 23,
and 24
SAMPLE
SIZE
99
121
220
72
44
103
415
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.092
(.072)
0.013
(.055)
-0.043
(.043)
-0.035
(.097)
-0.081
(.167)
0.217
(.069)
0.010
(.049)
b
0.950
(.124)
0.903
(.117)
0.945
(.083)
1.211
(.147)
0.765
(.480)
0.793
(.181)
1.068
(.086)
c
0.396
(.064)
0.152
(.023)
0.260
(.027)
0.435
(.089)
1.026
(.214)
0.137
(.026)
0.265
(.034)
d
0.123
(.084)
0.058
(.059)
0.081
(.042)
0.216
(.133)
-0-
0.145
(.116)
0.118
(.049)
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.092
(.072)
0.013
(.055)
-0.043
(.043)
-0.035
(.097)
-0.081
(.167)
0.217
(.069)
0.010
(.049)
SD
0.630
0.390
0.510
0.660
1.013
0.370
0.550
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.141
(.121)
-0.084
(.110)
-0.098
(.070)
0.177
(.139)
-0.316
(.433)
0.010
(.131)
0.061
(.073)
SD
0.721
0.458
0.584
0.807
1.013
0.531
0.641
                                                  6-193

-------
Table 6-100.
Microlead I on Plaster:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 21, 22,
and 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
66
20
16
30
66
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.512
(.062)
0.055
(.148)
1.125
(.125)
0.350
(.060)
0.448
(.060)
SD
0.505
0.663
0.501
0.327
0.491
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.510
(.085)
0.090
(.120)
1.018
(.158)
0.287
(.054)
0.404
(.058)
SD
0.687
0.535
0.632
0.298
0.472
YELLOW MIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.258
(.077)
-0.240
(.132)
1.214
(.150)
0.170
(.065)
0.299
(.061)
SD
0.625
0.588
0.601
0.356
0.500
                                                  6-194

-------
     Matched pairs analysis:   A number of sign tests were
performed on matched pairs:

(1)   Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     E)  on 126 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading 29 times,  with 7 ties.  The
     probability that this could happen under a 50-50 chance
     hypothesis is nearly zero,  suggesting that Machine 20 was
     prone to reading lower than Machine 21 with these operators.

(2)   Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 21  (Operator
     H)  on 4 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20  gave a higher reading 0 times, with no ties.  The sample
     size is too small, however, to draw conclusions from this,
     except to note that it is consistent with the finding in
     (1) -

(3)   Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 22  (Operator
     E)  on 171 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 20
     gave a higher reading only 41 times, with 8 ties.  The sign
     test has a p-value that is nearly zero percent, strongly
     suggesting the existence of an effect due to machine or
     operator.

(4)   Machine 20 (Operator G)  was compared to Machine 23  (Operator
     H)  on 47 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     20  gave a higher reading only 11 times, with no ties.  The
     sign test has a p-value of about 0.02 percent, which
     suggests that Machine 20 gave lower readings than Machine 23
     with these operators.

     None of the Fisher's exact tests for operator effects within
machines, or machine effects within operators give significant
results.

     Figure 6-38 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
model appears to agree with the nonparametric estimates  for ICP
levels less than about 5.0 mg/cm2,  beyond which the nonparametric
response estimate suggests a flattening out.  The model  should be
adequate for drawing inferences about instrument performance at
lower lead levels, where greater interest is focused.

     Table 6-101 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  The differences between machines, in
particular those indicated in the matched pairs  analysis, are

                              6-195

-------
                Microlead I revision 4 on wood, N = 731: response modeling
                                    ICP
                  Microlead I revision 4 on wood, N = 731:  SD modeling
                                    ICP
Figure  6-38
Model Diagnostic  Plots, Microlead I on wood.   Solid
lines   are  model  estimates.     Dashed  lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-196

-------
Table 6-101.
                  Microlead  I on Wood:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 20, Denver
Machine 20,
Philadelphia
Machine 20, combined
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machine 24
SAMPLE
SIZE
297
51
348
130
172
48
33
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.074
(.048)
0.042
(.238)
0.001
(.045)
0.505
(.078)
0.601
(.075)
0.329
(.132)
0.341
(.161)
b
1.106
(.059)
1.441
(.228)
1.424
(.087)
1.391
(.121)
1.139
(.073)
1.415
(.160)
1.059
(.061)
c
0.427
(.044)
1.113
(.243)
0.389
(.040)
0.439
(.067)
0.689
(.085)
0.250
(.069)
0.334
(.138)
d
0.047
(.027)
-0-
0.448
(.105)
0.135
(.073)
0.036
(.030)
0.053
(.054)
-0-
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.074
(.048)
0.042
(.238)
0.001
(.045)
0.505
(.078)
0.601
(.075)
0.329
(.132)
0.341
(.161)
SD
0.654
1.055
0.624
0.663
0.831
0.500
0.578
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.180
(.055)
0.483
(.230)
0.425
(.078)
0.896
(.105)
0.740
(.081)
0.743
(-104)
0.400
(.139)
SD
0.689
1.055
0.915
0.758
0.851
0.550
0.578
                                                  6-197

-------
Table 6-102.
Microlead I on Wood:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 20
Machine 21
Machine 22
Machine 23
Machines 21, 22,
and 23
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
22
22
30
74
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.571
(.245)
-0.218
(.050)
0.482
(.065)
0.170
(.045)
0.147
(.031)
SD
2.076
0.236
0.307
0.248
0.264
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.472
(.266)
-0.052
(.053)
0.539
(.101)
0.097
(.042)
0.184
(.038)
SD
2.254
0.248
0.473
0.229
0.325
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.966
(.222)
-0.098
(.063)
0.552
(.220)
0.407
(.048)
0.300
(.070)
SD
1.886
0.343
1.030
0.260
0.606
                                                  6-198

-------
reflected in the  intercept terms (parameter a).   Model estimates
for Machine  24  {Louisville pilot)  are much in line with the
estimates for Machines 21 and 23.

     Table 6-102  gives a summary of the control block data.  As
for metal, results  for Machine 20  on wood may reflect a problem
that does not accurately indicate  its performance.  Of the
remainder,

     Machine 21 stands out as having given low readings, and
Machine  22 stands out  as having given high readings.  Machine 21
in particular did not  exhibit comparable performance on the
control  blocks and  on  the field samples.  Machine 22 had the
highest  SD estimates (excluding Machine 20),  which is a pattern
that appeared across substrates in both the control blocks and
the model estimates.

     6.4.4.5.7 Microlead I:  Summary of Analysis

     The multiplicity  of machines,  operators and cities made it
difficult to fully  assess their effects, which is necessary if a
description  of how  the Microlead I performed on painted surfaces
under practical conditions is desired.  An attempt to do so using
matched  pairs, Fisher's exact tests, and tests on estimated model
parameters revealed effects on every substrate, with the possible
exception of brick.  Effects distinguishing Denver and
Philadelphia with the  same operator using the same machine
surfaced on  concrete and metal.  Effects due to machine (or
operator) found Machine 22 reading higher than the others on
drywall, metal and  wood.

     Machine 20 read lower than the others on concrete, drywall
and wood. Machine  22  readings were also the most variable on
several  substrates,  and this tendency was further confirmed in
the control  block data.

     Results from both the field sample and control block data
suggest  that the  instrument was proportionately responsive  (Jb
approximately equal to 1.0) to the lead level.  These data also
suggest  bias that was  prominent and variable across machines.
This bias appeared  to  be an "add on" effect that might be removed
through  subtraction if its numerical value were known.  But the
bias levels  did not appear to agree between the control blocks
and the  field sample data.  Machine 22 on plaster, for instance,
had a bias estimated at 1.125 mg/cm2 at a lead level of 0.0
mg/cm2 in the control  blocks,  but  the same estimate from the
model was -0.081  mg/cm2.   SD estimates were closer in line,

                              6-199

-------
suggesting only a small to moderate increase in variability with
the use of the instrument on the field samples, due possibly to
non-instrumental factors.

     6.4.4.6   Results for X-MET 880

     The X-MET 880 is an L-shell instrument that was used in both
the pilot and full studies.  In the pilot, however, a different
and newer radioactive source was used, as explained in section
6.4.1.1.1, which raised the issue of comparability with the full
study.  For this reason the Louisville pilot data were not
combined with those from the full study.  Separate model
estimates were obtained for the pilot data on metal, and
nonparametric estimates were derived for plaster and wood in
order to bear out the difference in the performance of the X-MET
880 between the pilot and full studies.

     Only one machine was used in the full study, designated as
Machine 50.  Two operators used the instrument in the full study.
Operator K used the machine in Denver and in Philadelphia, and
Operator J used the machine in Denver only.  A different machine,
Machine 51, was used in the pilot study, and it had a different
operator  (I).

     6.4.4.6.1 X-MET 880 on Brick

     There were 93 observations of the X-MET 880 on brick, one of
which was designated as an outlier  (80908), leaving 92
observations for analysis.  Operator K made 69 of these readings,
57 in Denver and 12 in Philadelphia.  Operator J made 23
readings, all in Denver.

     Figure 6-39 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
There is, in reality, very little response of the instrument to
changes in the ICP measurement, as the narrow range of the
vertical scale of the top graph alone would indicate.  None of
the readings with the instrument exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2.   The
nonparametric estimate is itself flat for ICP measurements as
high as 10.0 mg/cm2,  and it is clear that there was little or
nothing to be gained by  fitting a detailed model to these data.

     Table 6-103 gives a statistical summary of the field sample
data that helps to shed  light on instrument performance at lead
levels of 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0 mg/cm2.  Estimates  at  0.0 mg/cm2 are
the average and SD of the XRF reading for ICP measurements less

                              6-200

-------
     X
       0.14
       0.12
        0.1
     -
     •? 0.08
     u
     13
     .§ 0.06
     c
       0.04
       0.02
                     X-MET 880 on brick, N = 90: response modeling
                                     ICP
                       X-MET 880 on brick, N = 90: SD modeling
                            10
                      15
                                     ICP
20
25
30
Figure 6-39
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  X-MET  880 on brick.   Solid
lines   are  model   estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone  regression) estimates.
                                 6-201

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Table 6-103.
X-MET 880 on Brick:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 50, Operator K
Machine 50, Operator J
Machine 50, combined
SAMPLE
SIZE
49
23
72
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
--
--
--
b
--
--
--
c
--
--
--
d
--
...
--
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.041
(.005)
0.030
(.0003)
0.033
(.002)
SD
0.017
0.002
0.011
Pb=l . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.741
(.015)
--
-0.741
(.015)
SD
0.094
--
0.094
Table 6-104,       X-MET 880  on  Brick:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 50
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.052
(.003)
SD
0.023
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm3)
BIAS
0.082
(.005)
SD
0.042
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.298
(.021)
SD
0.165
                                                  6-202

-------
than 0.05 mg/cm2,  and  those  at  1.0  mg/cm2 are for TCP
measurements between 0.05 mg/cm2  and 1.0  mg/cm2.  Strong negative
bias with increasing lead levels is indicated,  which agrees with
Figure 6-39.  An increase in variability with the lead level is
also indicated for Operator K,  but since Operator J made no
readings at ICP measurements above 0.0079 mg/cm2,  a similar
conclusion cannot be drawn for this operator.

     Table 6-104 gives a summary of the control block data on the
same machine.  Increasing SD estimates with the lead level were
apparent, but the bias figures suggest that the instrument
overestimated the true level of lead, completely contrary to what
was found on the field samples with this instrument.

     6.4.4.6.2 X-MET 880 on Concrete

     There were 218 observations of the X-MET 880 on concrete, 3
of which were designated as outliers  (80938, 80945 and 81234),
leaving 215 observations for analysis.  Operator K made 188 of
these readings, 69 in Denver and 119 in Philadelphia.  Operator J
made 27 readings, all in Denver.

     Figure 6-40 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
nonparametric response estimate indicates a flattening effect for
ICP levels greater than about 2.0 mg/cm2.   Only one XRF reading
exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2,  and this was not at  a higher ICP
measurement.  The SD estimates are in close agreement up to this
point as well.  Fitting the model only to data where the ICP
measurement is less than 2.0 mg/cm2 appears reasonable if
inference to lower lead levels is desired.  Figure 6-41 shows the
model components on the restricted ICP range.

     Table 6-105 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.   It should be noted that a significant city
effect was apparent in the Operator K readings:  the slope for
the Denver data was 0.221  (.036) and for the Philadelphia data
0.034  (.006).  The chi-square test has a p-value of less than
0.01 percent.  This type of city effect, where the Denver  slope
was higher than for Philadelphia, appeared not only on several
other substrates with the X-MET  880 but was observed on all of
the L-shell instruments evaluated.  But even with  the higher
slope in Denver, the  instrument was under-responsive to changes
in the lead level, and became progressively more negatively
biased as the lead level increased.
                              6-203

-------
                   X-MET 880 on concrete, N = 215: response modeling
     x
                                   ICP
                     X-MET 880 on concrete, N = 215: SD modeling
Figure 6-40.    Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  X-MET  880  on  concrete.
                Solid lines are model  estimates.   Dashed lines are
                nonparametric (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                6-204

-------
                    X-MET 880 on concrete, N = 197: response modeling
    ft,
          0    0.2    0.4   0.6    0.8
                           1.2    1.4    1.6   1.8
                                     ICP
                      X-MET 880 on concrete, N = 197: SD modeling
       0.14
       0.12
        0.1
    _o
    'E a08
    •a
    •H
    .§ 0.06
     c
     re

       0.04
       0.02
         0
                           i      r
                           i	I
          0    0.2    0.4   0.6    0.8     1     1.2    1.4    1.6    1.8    2

                                      ICP
Figure 6-41.
Model Diagnostic Plots, X-MET 880 on concrete with
ICP  restricted  to  less  than  2.0  mg/cra2 .    Solid
lines  are  model  estimates.     Dashed  lines   are
nonpararaetric (monotone regression) estimates.
                                  6-205

-------
Table 6-105.
X-MET 880 on Concrete:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 50, Operator
K, Denver (ICP < 2)
Machine 50, Operator
K, Phila. (ICP < 2)
Machine 50, Operator K
{ICP < 2)
Machine 50, combined
{ICP < 2)
SAMPLE
SIZE
56
117
173
197
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.049
(.006)
0.042
(.002)
0.046
(.003)
0.045
(.003)
b
0.221
(.036)
0.034
(.006)
0.055
(.016)
0.064
(.013)
c
0.001
(.0002)
0.0001
(.0000)
0.001
(.0001)
0.001
(.0001)
d
-0-
0.0008
(.0003)
0.003
(.002)
0.004
(.002)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.049
(.006)
0.042
(.002)
0.046
(.003)
0.045
(.003)
SD
0.035
0.011
0.027
0.027
Pb=1.0 mg/cm1
BIAS
-0.730
(.034)
-0.924
(.005)
-0.899
(.013)
-0.890
(.011)
SD
0.035
0.030
0.058
0.067
Table 6-106.
X-MET 880 on Concrete:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 50
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.025
(.000)
SD
0.002
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.053
(.005)
SD
0.039
YELLOW HIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2}
BIAS
0.177
(.016)
SD
0.135
                                                   6-206

-------
     Table  6-106 gives a summary of the control block data.  A
bias  problem,  to the extent that one exists,  was one of
overestimating the true lead level.  Thus the instrument
performed very differently on the control blocks and on the field
samples.  The  SD estimates were comparable at 1.0 mg/cm2.   The
higher  model estimates at 0.0 mg/cm2  reflect  additional
variability, due possibly to non-instrumental factors.

     6.4.4.6.3 X-MET 880 on Drywall

     There  were 113 observations of the X-MET 880 on drywall, of
which 2 were designated as outliers  (80227 and 80935), leaving
111 observations for analysis.  Operator K made 37 of these
readings, 29 in Denver and 8 in Philadelphia.  Operator J made 74
readings, all  in Denver.

     Figure 6-42 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
appear  to agree reasonably well with the nonparametric estimates.
No ICP  measurement in excess of 1.0 mg/cm2 was observed on
drywall on  the field samples.

     Table  6-107 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models  to the  data.  There were insufficient data to give
separate  results by city, but it is clear that the slope obtained
for Operator K  (0.245) reflected a predominance of Denver  data.
Bias  became substantially negative as the lead level increased
because the slopes are much less than 1.0.  Table 6-108 gives a
summary of  the control block data, which even shows a positive
bias  at 3.53 mg/cm2.   Performance of the instrument on control
blocks  was  not reflected in the field sample data.

     6.4.4.6.4 X-MET 880 on Metal

     There  were 175 observations of the X-MET 880 on metal, none
of which  were  designated as outliers.  Operator K made 160
readings, 38 in Denver and 122 in Philadelphia.  Operator  J made
15 readings, all in Denver.

     Figure 6-43 shows the response and SD components  of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
Although  there were instances where the XRF reading was close to
the ICP measurement at higher levels, this was more  the exception
                              6-207

-------
                    X-MET 880 on drywall, N = 111: response modeling
      0.35
       0.3-
    X
         0    0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6    0.7    0.8   0.9     1
       0.14
                    ICP
     X-MET 880 on drywall, N = 111: SD modeling
         ~i	1	1	r
Figure  6-42
Model   Diagnostic  Plots,   X-MET  880   on  drywall.
Solid  lines  are model  estimates.   Dashed lines  are
nonparametric (monotone regression) estimates.
                                  6-208

-------
Table 6-107.
X-MET 880 on Drywall:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 50, Operator K
Machine 50, Operator J
Machine 50, combined
SAMPLE
SIZE
37
74
111
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.040
(.003)
0.036
(.002)
0.038
(.002)
b
0.245
(.044)
0.211
(.038)
0.223
(.031)
c
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0002
(.0003)
d
0.007
(.007)
0.021
(.009)
0.018
(.006)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.040
(.003)
0.036
(.002)
0.038
(.002)
SD
0.014
0.013
0.013
Pb=1.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
-0.714
(.042)
-0.753
(.037)
-0.739
(.030)
SD
0.082
0.147
0.133
Table 6-108.
X-MET 880 on Drywall:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 50
SAMPLE
SIZE
60
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.035
(.000)
SD
0.002
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.041
(.005)
SD
0.040
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm3)
BIAS
0.260
(.016)
SD
0.125
                                                   6-209

-------
        2.5
    g
        0.5t
                    X-MET 880 on metal, N = 175: response modeling
                                   ICP
                      X-MET 880 on metal, N = 175:  SD modeling
                                    ICP
Figure  6-43.    Model  Diagnostic Plots,  X-MET  880  on metal.   Solid
                lines  are   model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
                nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-210

-------
than the  rule.   The  model appears to fit the data well relative
to the  nonparametric estimates.   In contrast, Figure 6-44 shows
that the  pilot  data  exhibited more responsiveness to the lead
level,  especially in the lower ICP range.

     Table  6-109 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models  to the data.   The model was also fit to the Louisville
pilot data.   The Louisville model reveals the highest slope of
any model fit to data from the X-MET 880 (0.795), accounting for
its relatively  small bias at 1.0 mg/cm2  (-0.126).

     Separate city estimation for Operator K revealed a city
effect  that was common across many of the L-shell analyses.  The
slope in  Denver was  higher (0.286 versus 0.103), as was the
intercept (0.207 versus 0.060).   A chi-sguare test on the 4
estimated model parameters has a p-value of less than 0.01
percent.  Figure 6-45 reveals the dichotomy in performance,
restricted  to a narrow ICP range of under 0.5 mg/cm2.   The
Philadelphia data were essentially oblivious to changes in the
lead level.   The slope in the Denver model was larger, yet there
was still substantial bias at higher lead levels.

     Since  there are no control block data for the X-MET  880 on
bare metal,  Table 6-110 presents a summary for red and yellow
NIST SRM  only.   As with other substrates, almost no bias was
indicated at either  of the two lead levels, which did not
correspond  to the performance of the instrument on the field
samples.

     6.4.4.6.5  X-MET 880 on Plaster

     There  were 222  observations of the X-MET 880 on plaster, 3
of which  were designated as outliers (80075, 81340 and 81342),
leaving 219 observations for analysis.  Operator K made 173 of
these readings, 54 in Denver and 119 in Philadelphia.  Operator J
made 46 readings, all in Denver.

     Figure 6-46 shows a scatterplot of the XRF readings  over the
entire  ICP  range, and over the range restricted to ICP
measurements less than 5.0 mg/cm2.   There were no ICP readings
between 3.0 mg/cm2 and 5.0 mg/cm2.   Restricting  the  ICP  range for
model fitting was reasonable for inference at lower lead  levels
in this case.  It is worth noting that in no instance was  an XRF
reading above 1.0 mg/cm2 obtained.
                              6-211

-------
                  X-MET 880 on metal in Louisville, N = 28: response estimation
         2.5
         0.5
             *•  :   •
           0     0.5
            1.5
2.5
3.5
                                       ICP
                    X-MET 880 on metal in Louisville, N = 28:  SD estimation
        0.35
         0.3-
        0.25-
         0.2-
        0.15 -
         0.1
        0.05
           0     0.5     1     1.5
                          2.5
             3.5
4.5
             4.5
Figure 6-44.
Nonparametric  estimates  for X-MET  880 on Metal in
Louisville.      Dashed    lines   are  nonparametric
 (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                   6-212

-------
Table 6-109.
X-MET 880 on Metal:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 50, Operator
K; Denver
Machine 50, Operator
K, Philadelphia
Machine 50, Operator K
Machine 50, combined
Machine 51, Operator I
SAMPLE
SIZE
38
122
160
175
28
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.207
(.038)
0.060
(.008)
0.101
(.018)
0.112
(.017)
0.080
(.079)
b
0.286
(.096)
0.103
(.023)
0.122
(.033)
0.120
(.032)
0.795
(.114)
c
0.038
(.010)
0.001
(.0003)
0.017
(.003)
0.020
(.003)
0.077
( .027)
d
0.050
(.037)
0.020
(.004)
0.036
(.008)
0.037
(.008)
-0-
PbaO.O mg/cm1
BIAS
0.207
(.038)
0.060
( .008)
0.101
(.018)
0.112
(.017)
0.080
(.079)
SD
0.195
0.038
0.131
0.141
0.278
Pbsl.O mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.507
(.088)
-0 .837
(.018)
-0.777
(.027)
-0.769
(.026)
-0.126
(.082)
SD
0.296
0. 145
0.230
0.238
0.278
                                                  6-213

-------




t,
cs
X










Li,






0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3

0.2

0.1
°(
X-MET 880 on metal: Operator K in Denver
	 1 	 1 	 1 \ i \ i i i
•
-
•
L




.
f
1
• i
»
•
w •
• •
•"*'••
f.
I 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 !




) 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5
ICP
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2

0.1
°,
X-MET 880 on metal: Operator K in Philadelphia
1 1 ! I 1 i 1 1 '
-
-
-
-
.
" : •. ' '
. ..'•*.. .• '.. • ." • " •/.. •:• * - •'.:
• 0 •* • » • •• «
i i i t i i i t i








1
!
i
3 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5
ICP
Figure 6-45.
X-MET 880 on metal with Operator K:
Philadelphia.
Denver versus
                              6-214

-------
Table 6-110.
X-MET 880 on Metal:  Control Block summary.
DEVICE
Machine 50
SAMPLE
SIZE
77
BARE
(0.0 ing/ cm2}
BIAS
--
SD
--
RED NIST SRH
(1.02 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.054
(.005)
SD
0.046
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.037
(.021)
SD
0.183
                                                  6-215

-------
        0.7
        0.6
        0.5
        0.4
     X
         0.7


         0.6


         0.5


         0.4


         0.3


         0.2


         0.1


          0
                         X-MET 880 on plaster: full data (N = 219)
                         10
               15
20
                                        ICP
25
30
35
                      X-MET 880 on plaster: ICP less than 5.0 (N = 210)
           0
  0.5
1.5

ICP
             2.5
40
Figure 6-46.
X-MET  880  on  plaster:   Scatterplots for  the  full
and restricted ICP  ranges.
                                    6-216

-------
     Figure 6-47 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
appear to be reasonably close to the nonparametric estimates,
supporting the use of the model for making inferences at lower
lead levels.

     Figure 6-48 gives nonparametric graphical estimates for the
Louisville pilot data, using Machine 51 and a different
radioactive source.  It is difficult to tell how this machine
would have performed at a lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2,  due to a lack
of data at lead levels near 1.0 mg/cm2.   Unlike the full study,
there were no instances in the pilot where a sample with an  ICP
measurement in excess of 1.0 mg/cm2 was classified by the X-MET
880 as having a lead level below 1.0 mg/cm2.

     Table 6-111 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Separate models fit to the Operator K
readings by city yielded, as with other substrates and  L-shell
instruments, evidence of a city effect, with Denver having the
higher of the two slopes  (Jb) .  The difference in parameters  is
highly significant under a chi-square test.  But the Operator J
readings, which were made only in Denver, had a higher  slope than
the Denver readings made by Operator K  (0.373 versus 0.160),
which was marginally significant given the size of the  standard
errors of these estimates.  In all cases the tendency was  for the
instrument to underestimate the true lead level to a substantial
degree in the full study.

     Table  6-112 gives a summary of the control block  data.  The
SD estimates are close to those obtained from  fitting  the  model
to the combined field sample data.  The control block  data did
not reflect the bias of the model  estimates, however.   At  3.53
mg/cm2 of lead,  the control block data even suggested a positive
bias.

     6.4.4.6.6 X-MET  880 on Wood

     There  were 353 observations of the X-MET  880  on wood,  2 of
which were  designated as outliers  (80518 and  81316), leaving 351
observations for analysis.  Operator K made 172  of  these
readings,  121 in Denver and 51  in  Philadelphia.   Operator J made
the remaining 179  readings, all  in Denver.

     Figure 6-49 shows the  response and  SD  components  of the
estimated  model before provision  for the  combined effect of
spatial  variation  and laboratory  error in  ICP  measurements.  The

                               6-217

-------
                    X-MET 880 on plaster, N = 210: response modeling
    05
    X
       0.7
       0.6
       0.5-
       0.4-
       0.3-
       0-2-  ..
                                    ICP
                     X-MET 880 on plaster, N = 210: SD modeling
    .
    u
    •a
    a
    •a
       0.3
      0.25
       0.2
      0.15
    £  0.1
      0.05
                  0.5
                    1.5

                    ICP
2.5
Figure 6-47,
Model   Diagnostic  Plots,   X-MET   880  on   plaster.
Splid  lines  are model  estimates.   Dashed  lines are
nonparametric (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                  6-218

-------
            X-MET 880 on plaster in Louisville, N = 20: response estimation
   2.5
   1.5
fa
&
X
   0.5
fa
        0.8



        0.7



        0.6



        0.5






        0.3



        0.2



        0.1



         0
      0
                                  ICP

              X-MET 880 on plaster in Louisville, N = 20:  SD estimation
                                       3


                                      ICP
             Nonparametric   estimates  for  the   X-MET  880   on
             Plaster.   Dashed lines  are nonparametrie (monotone
             regression)  estimates.
Figure 6-48
                               6-219

-------
Table 6-111.
X-MET 880 on Plaster:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 50, Operator
K, Denver (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operator
K, Phila. (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operator
K (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operator
J (ICP<5)
Machine 50, combined
(ICP<5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
45
119
164
46
210
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.038
(.004)
0.055
(.003)
0.053
(.003)
0.036
(.003)
0.048
(.003)
b
0.160
( .040)
0.027
(.004)
0.037
(.011)
0.373
(.079)
0.072
(.013)
c
0.0001
(.0001)
0.0004
(.0001)
0.0005
(.0001)
0.0001
(.0001)
0.0005
(.0001)
d
0.028
(.009)
-0-
0.002
(.0009)
0.103
(.044)
0.006
(.002)
Pb«=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.038
(.004)
0.055
(.003)
0.053
(.003)
0.036
(.003)
0.048
(.002)
SD
0.009
0.021
0.022
0.010
0.022
Pb=l . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.803
(.038)
-0.918
(.004)
-0.910
(.008)
-0.591
(.070)
-0.880
(.011)
SD
0.168
0.021
0.050
0.321
0.083
Table 6-112.
X-MET 880 on Plaster:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 50
SAMPLE
SIZE
65
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.033
(.000)
SD
0.002
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.041
(.010)
SD
0.082
YELLOW MIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.247
(.036)
SD
0.291
                                                   6-220

-------
   Cu
   OS
   X
   .0
   _
   u
    ea
   T3
                   X-MET 880 on wood, N = 351: response modeling
                                   ICP
                     X-MET 880 on wood, N = 351: SD modeling
                        10
                15
20
25
                                   ICP
30
35
Figure 6-49.
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  X-MET  880  on wood.   Solid
lines   are  model   estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone  regression) estimates.
                                 6-221

-------
model fails to explain the data well at ICP levels above 5.0
mg/cm2,  which was true,  generally,  across the L-shell
instruments.  Restriction to a lower ICP range  was necessary for
the model to produce reasonable estimates of instrument
performance at lower lead levels.  Although XRF readings above
1.0 mg/cm2 were obtained on  a  number of  sampled  locations, a
reading of this magnitude was not assured,  even with lead levels
as high as 10.0 mg/cm2.

     Figure 6-50 shows nonparametric estimates  for the Louisville
pilot data.  A cluster of zero readings at  the  lower ICP scale
made it difficult to fit the XRF measurement model to these data.
Compared to Machine 50 in the full study,  Machine 51 in the pilot
was clearly more responsive to the level of lead in paint, and it
never gave a reading below 1.0 mg/cm2 when  the  ICP measurement
exceeded this level.  The response is clearly nonlinear and
gradually flattens out at higher ICP levels, but the bias remains
relatively small for ICP levels as large as 4.0 mg/cm2.

     Table 6-113 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data, with restriction to ICP levels less than 5.0
mg/cm2.   These results  repeat  patterns  seen across substrates
with the X-MET 880, and across L-shell instruments as well.
Denver data, for both Operators K and J, gave higher slope
estimates than Philadelphia data.

     Comparing Denver and Philadelphia within Operator K by means
of a chi-square test gives a p-value of about 0.5 percent.  The
slope estimate of 0.408  (.051) obtained for Operator J readings
is higher than the 0.209  (.023) obtained for Operator K readings
in Denver, a highly significant difference.  Both city and
operator effects were therefore indicated by the estimated
models.

     Table 6-114 gives a summary of the control block data.  Bias
is not indicated as a problem on the control blocks.  The SD
estimates are lower in the control blocks compared to those
derived from the model, which may reflect non-instrumental
sources of variability.

     6.4.4.6.7 X-MET 880:  Summary of Analysis

     The X-MET 880 performed like other L-shell instruments that
were evaluated in the full study.  Under even the best of
circumstances, responsiveness of the instrument to changes  in the
lead level fell short, which explains the increase in the bias as
the lead level increased.  This behavior was not reflected  in the

                              6-222

-------
0
8
7
6
fc 5
OS
* 4
3
2
1
n<
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2
1.5
[I*
OS
X
1
0.5

_
(

X-MET 880 on wood in Louisville, N = 33: response estimation
i i i i i i i ••
-
• . .--'
r.
/ •
_ -- •
i
< •
/-* . -
^-;* i i i i i t i
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ICP
X-MET 880 on wood in Louisville, N = 33: SD estimation
1 1 1 ! 1 1 1
-

-

t
I 1 1 I 1 1 1
) 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 1
ICP









6









6

Figure 6-50
Nonparametric estimates for the X-MET 880 on Wood.
Dashed    lines    are    nonparametric     (monotone
regression) estimates.
                              6-223

-------
Table 6-113.
X-MET 880 on Wood:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 50, Operator
K, Denver (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operator
K, Phila. (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operator
K (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operator
J (ICP<5)
Machine 50, Operators
K and J (ICP<5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
113
50
163
171
334
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.034
(.002)
0.042
(.006)
0.035
(.002)
0.044
(.003)
0.042
(.003)
b
0.209
(.023)
0.078
(.020)
0.163
(.018)
0.408
(.051)
0.259
(.025)
c
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0005
(.00001)
0.0002
(.0001)
0.0007
(.002)
0.0006
(.0001)
d
0.019
(.005)
0.014
(.004)
0.023
(.005)
0.177
(.045)
0.083
(.014)
PboQ.O mg/cm2
BIAS
0.034
(.002)
0.042
(.006)
0.035
(.002)
0.044
(.003)
0.042
(.003)
SD
0.013
0.023
0.013
0.026
0.024
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.758
(.022)
-0.879
(.019)
-0.802
(.017)
-0.547
(.050)
-0.699
(.024)
SD
0.137
0.122
0.152
0.422
0.289
Table 6-114.
X-MET 880 on Wood:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 50
SAMPLE
SIZE
72
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.035
(.000)
SD
0.004
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.060
(.006)
SD
0.047
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.061
(.022)
SD
0.185
                                                  6-224

-------
control blocks, which implies that their usefulness as a baseline
for practical measurement situations was questionable.  On all
substrates except wood and metal, the control blocks even showed
a positive bias at a lead level of 3.53 mg/cm2.

     Several factors affected the performance of the X-MET 880 on
the field samples.  City effects, consistent across substrates,
suggest that the XRF readings were affected by factors aside from
the true lead level, the generic substrate type (wood, plaster,
etc.),  operator effects, and instrumental error.  An effect due
to operators was also evident.

     The performance of the X-MET 880 in the pilot study, using a
different machine, operator, and radioactive source, was markedly
different from the full study.   The instrument responded more
sharply at lower lead levels, its bias was lower,  and it was more
certain to give readings above 1.0 mg/cm2 in the presence of  high
lead levels.

     6.4.4.7   Results for XK-3

     The XK-3 is a K-shell instrument that was used in both the
pilot and full studies.  In the full study there were two field
classifications  (Class I and Class II), allowing paired
comparisons to be made.  Three different machines and three
different operators were used,  which are described as follows:

     Machine 30  (Operator M)       Denver (I) and
                                   Philadelphia(II)
     Machine 31  (Operator L)       Denver (II) and Louisville
     Machine 32  (Operators M & N)  Philadelphia (II)

     The XK-3 only read a maximum of 10 mg/cm2:  values
potentially higher than this were truncated to the maximum value.
To avoid problems with truncation, analyses were conducted on
restricted ICP ranges as necessary to eliminate or reduce the
frequency of these readings.  The partial crossing of machines,
operators, and cities allowed limited assessment of these factors
controlling for the others, depending on the availability of
data.  Cities are at times referred to by their first letters for
the sake of brevity.

     6.4.4.7.1 XK-3 on Brick

     There were 186 observations of the XK-3 on brick, one of
which was designated as an outlier  (Machine 30:  80750), leaving
                              6-225

-------
185 observations for analysis.  Breakdown of the data by
machines, cities and operators was as follows:

     Machine 30:    Operator M      92 total  (80 D,  12 P)
     Machine 31:    Operator L      81 total  (all D)
     Machine 32:    Operator M       2 total  (all P)
                    Operator N      10 total  (all P)

     No observations on brick substrates were obtained in the
Louisville pilot study.  Upper truncation of the XRF readings at
10.0 mg/cm2 was observed at  9  locations,  the  lowest  TCP
measurement of which was 10.7203 mg/cm2.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Several sign tests were performed
on matched pairs arising from the field classifications:

 (1)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 31  (Operator
     L) on 80 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 30
     gave a higher reading 53 times, with 5 ties.  The sign test
     has a p-value of about 0.04 percent, suggesting a
     significant effect where Machine 30 reads higher than
     Machine 31.  The difference in measurements has a Spearman
     rank correlation of about -0.3 with the ICP measurement,
     suggesting that the effect was seen at lower lead levels.

 (2)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32  (Operator
     N) on 10 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.   Machine
     30 gave a higher reading only 1 time, with no ties.   The
     sign test has a p-value of about 2 percent, making this a
     moderately strong indication that a machine effect existed.

 (3)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32  (Operator
     M) on 2 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  On both
     sites Machine 30 gave a higher reading.  The sample size was
     not large enough to reach conclusions about machine effects,
     but the result was moderately incompatible with the sign
     test in (2), with the same machines but a different Machine
     31 operator.  The Fisher's exact test has a p-value of 4.4
     percent.  An effect, if one existed, may be due to the
     operator.

     To avoid the truncation problem in model fitting, only data
for which the ICP measurement is less than 10.0 mg/cm2 were used,
which resulted in the loss of 32 observations.  Figure 6-51 shows
the response and SD components of the estimated model before
provision for the combined effect of spatial variation and
laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The nonparametric response

                              6-226

-------
        10
       2.5
    _
    "2
    a
    •a

    I
    CO
       1.5
       0.5
      XK-3 on brick, N = 153: response modeling

          i	1	1	1	1	
                                                     T	T
                                    ICP

                        XK-3 on brick, N = 153: SD modeling
                    j	i
                                     5



                                    ICP
                                                10
Figure 6-51
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  XK-3 on brick.   Solid lines

are    model   estimates.       Dashed    lines   are

nonparametric  (monotone regression) estimates.
                                 6-227

-------
is much flatter in the lower ICP range  than  the model would
indicate.  Further restriction to ICP measurements below 1.0
mg/cm2 would appear to better  describe instrument performance at
lower lead levels.

     Table 6-115 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models for Machines 30,  31,  and combined.  The intercept
estimates for Machine 30 (1.001)  and Machine 31 (0.472)  bear out
the machine effect detected with the sign  test (1) .   Table 6-116
gives a summary of the control block data.   Machine 30 read
higher than Machine 31 on the  control blocks,  as it did on the
field samples, but Machine 32  had still  higher readings.  Strong
positive bias, and a slope of  about 1.0  in response to changes  in
the lead level, are indicated  in both sets of results.

     6.4.4.7.2 XK-3 on Concrete

     There were 444 observations of the  XK-3 on concrete,  none  of
which were designated as outliers.   Breakdown of the data by
machines, cities and operators was as follows:

     Machine 30:    Operator M     218  total (98 D,  120 P)
     Machine 31:    Operator L     106  total (98 D,  8 L)
     Machine 32:    Operator M      15  total (all P)
                    Operator N     105  total (all P)

     Upper truncation of the XRF readings  at 10.0 mg/cm2 was
observed at 5 locations, the lowest ICP  measurement of which was
10.2428 mg/cm2.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Several sign tests were performed
on matched pairs arising from  the field  classifications:

(1)   Machine 30 (Operator M) was compared  to Machine 31 (Operator
     L) on 98 Denver sites of  common measurement.  Machine 30
     gave a higher reading 53  times, with  10 ties.   The sign test
     has a p-value of about 7  percent,  which does not suggest a
     significant effect.  All  ICP measurements were below 0.7
     mg/cm2  in this comparison.

(2)   Machine 30 (Operator M) was compared  to Machine 32 (Operator
     N) on 105 Philadelphia sites of common  measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading  only 17 times, with 1 tie.  The
     sign test has a p-value of less than  0.01 percent,  making
     this strong evidence that Machine  30  read less than Machine
     32,  or that an operator effect existed.
                              6-228

-------
Table 6-115.
XK-3 on Brick:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 30 (ICP<1)
Machine 31 (ICP<1)
Machines 30, 31, and
32 (ICP<1)
SAMPLE
SIZE
71
60
143
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
1.001
(.090)
0.472
(.056)
0.861
(.064)
b
1.328
(.355)
1.181
(.242)
1.016
(.251)
c
0.350
(.060)
0.102
(.022)
0.359
(.043)
d
-0-
-0-
-0-
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
1.001
(.090)
0.472
(.056)
0.861
(.064)
SD
0.591
0.320
0.600
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
1.329
(.320)
0.653
(.210)
0.877
(.218)
SD
0.591
0.320
0.600
Table 6-116.
XK-3 on Brick:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
Machine 32
Machines 30, 31,
and 32
SAMPLE
SIZE
58
30
28
116
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.912
(.044)
0.733
(.049)
1.339
(.072)
0.969
(.031)
SD
0.335
0.271
0.382
0.332
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.099
(.060)
0.710
(.040)
1.501
(.085)
1.096
(.038)
SD
0.460
0.217
0.451
0.409
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.370
(.089)
0.290
(.069)
1.256
(.127)
0.563
(.057)
SD
0.678
0.377
0.671
0.613
                                                   6-229

-------
(3)  Machine 30 (Operator M)  was compared to Machine  32 (Operator
     M) on 15 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading 10 times,  with 1  tie.   This is not
     strong evidence of a machine effect under  the  sign test.

     An operator effect may be suggested by the results of (2)
and  (3), since a Fisher's exact test has a p-value  of less than
0.01 percent.  Thus, the difference between Machines  30 and 32
may reflect operator as opposed to machine effects.

     Figure 6-52 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Only
data for ICP levels less than 10.0 mg/cm2 were used in order to
avoid the problem with upper truncation.  The nonparametric
response suggests a flattening effect for ICP measurements larger
than about 1.0 mg/cm2.   Further restriction  of the data to ICP
measurements less than 1.0 mg/cm2  was  employed in order to obtain
model estimates and to describe instrument performance at lower
ICP levels.

     Table 6-117 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models, by machine.  Machine 30 data produced different intercept
estimates when analyzed by city:  0.947 (.089)  in Denver, and
1.305  (.086) in Philadelphia.  The difference is slightly less
than 3 standard errors in magnitude, a marginally significant
result.  Since the operator in both cities was  the  same, the
possible existence of city effects should be considered.  The
intercepts also bring out differences between machines that were
reflected in the sign test.  Machine 32 stood out as  having an
especially large bias.  Since the slopes (Jb) are all  within 3
standard errors of being equal to 1.0, the instrument appeared to
respond proportionately to the lead level.

     Table 6-118 gives a summary of the control block data.  The
same ordering of the machines suggested in the  field  sample data
(Machine 32 bigger than 30 bigger than 31) was  reflected  in the
control blocks as well.  The SD estimates were  generally  lower
from the control block data than from the field sample data.

     6.4.4.7.3 XK-3 on Drywall

     There were 237 observations of the XK-3 on drywall,  2 of
which were designated as outliers  (80332 and 80345) ,  leaving 235
observations for analysis.  Breakdown of the data by machines,
cities and operators was as follows:
                              6-230

-------
                 XK-3 on concrete, N = 436: response modeling
X
_C3


 U
•O
 CO
 •a
 c
                                ICP

                   XK-3 on concrete, N = 436:  SD modeling
            Model  Diagnostic Plots,  XK-3  on  concrete.   Solid

            lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are

            nonparametric  (monotone regression} estimates.
Figure 6-52.
                             6-231

-------
Table 6-117.
XK-3 on Concrete:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 30, Denver
(ICP < 1)
Machine 30,
Philadelphia (ICP < 1)
Machine 30, Combined
(ICP < 1)
Machine 31 (ICP < 1)
Machine 32 (ICP < 1)
SAMPLE
SIZE
79
112
191
79
97
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.947
(.089)
1.305
(.086)
1.083
(.063)
0.660
(.036)
1.837
(.080)
b I =
1.137
(.622)
1.337
(.246)
1.668
(.227)
0.570
(.254)
1.732
(.244)
0.440
(.071)
0.335
(.047)
0.404
(.043)
0.718
(.017)
0.258
(.039)
d
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
Pb-0 . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.947
(.089)
1.305
(.086)
1.083
(.063)
0.660
(.036)
1.837
(.193)
SD
0.663
0.579
0.636
0.847
0.508
Pbnl . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
1.084
(.587)
1.642
(.210)
1.751
( .200)
0.230
(.237)
2.569
(.193)
SD
0.663
0.579
0.636
0.847
0.508
                                                  6-232

-------
Table 6-118.
XK-3 on Concrete:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
Machine 32
Machines 30, 31,
and 32
SAMPLE
SIZE
70
38
32
140
BARE
(0.0 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.804
(.056)
0.582
(.039)
1.456
(.079)
0.893
(.035)
SD
0.470
0.238
0.446
0.414
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.860
(.073)
0.638
(.043)
1.746
(.073)
1.002
(.042)
SD
0.610
0.266
0.416
0.496
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.516
(.108)
0.275
(.056)
1.286
(.102)
0.626
(.061)
SD
0.901
0.346
0.577
0.718
                                                  6-233

-------
     Machine 30:    Operator M     112 total (104 D,  8 P)
     Machine 31:    Operator L     115 total (104 D,  11 L)
     Machine 32:    Operator M       0 total
                    Operator N       8 total (all P)

     Upper truncation of the XRF readings at 10.0 mg/cm2 was  not
observed, which was most likely due to the fact that  none of the
ICP measurements were above 1.0 mg/cm2 on drywall.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Several sign tests were performed
on matched pairs arising from the field classifications:

(1)  Machine 30 (Operator M) was compared to Machine  31 (Operator
     L) on 103 Denver sites of common measurement. Machine 30
     gave a higher reading only 8 times,  with 3 ties.  The sign
     test has a p-value of almost zero percent, which strongly
     suggests a significant effect,  with Machine 31 giving higher
     readings.

(2)  Machine 30 (Operator M) was compared to Machine  32 (Operator
     N) on 8 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30 did not give a higher reading on any of these, with no
     ties.  The sign test has a p-value of 0.39 percent,  which
     suggests that Machine 30 read less than Machine  32.

     Figure 6-53 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  Both
components appear to agree well with the nonparametric estimates.
Table 6-119 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement models
to the data by machine.  The lower Machine 30 readings were
reflected in a lower intercept estimate (-0.327) relative to that
of Machine 31 (0.245).

     Table 6-120 gives a summary of the control block data.
Again, both Machines 31 and 32 read higher than Machine 30.  For
both Machines 30 and 31, however, higher bias estimates were
obtained from the control block data than from the model.  The  SD
estimates are comparable at 0.0 mg/cm2, but  the model estimates
are larger at 1.0 mg/cm2,  where the  limited  ICP range may not
make these estimates reliable.

     6.4.4.7.4 XK-3 on Metal

     There were 406 observations of the XK-3 on metal, 2 of which
were designated as outliers (Machine 30:   80407; Machine 32:
81840) , leaving 404 observations for analysis.  Breakdown of the

                              6-234

-------
                  XK-3 on drywall, N = 235: response modeling
[tc
&
X
_
u
•o
 a
1
    0.6
    0.5
    0.4
    0.3
           0    0.1    0.2   0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9     1

                                       ICP
                          XK-3 on drywall, N = 235: SD modeling
              	1	1	1	;	1      i      i
    0.2
    0.1
     0
                                                    n	r
      0    0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9     1

                                  ICP
           Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  XK-3  on drywall.    Solid
           lines   are  model   estimates.     Dashed  lines  are
           nonparametric  (monotone  regression) estimates.
Figure  6-53.
                             6-235

-------
Table 6-119.
XK-3 on Drywall:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
SAMPLE
SIZE
112
104
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.327
(.040)
0.245
(.025)
b
1.234
(.254)
0.939
(.191)
c
0.127
(.019)
0.043
(.007)
d
0.189
(.363)
.257
(.186)
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.327
(.040)
0.245
(.025)
3D
0.356
0.206
Pbal.O mg/cm2
BIAS
-0.093
(.236)
0.184
( .180)
SD
0.562
0.547
Table 6-120.
XK-3 on Drywall:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
Machine 32
Machines 30, 31,
and 32
SAMPLE
SIZE
58
35
24
117
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.038
(.047)
0.397
(.031)
0.325
(.075)
0.167
(.029)
SD
0.359
0.182
0.367
0.319
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.233
(.062)
0.617
(.030)
0.880
(.129)
0.481
(.042)
SD
0.475
0.180
0.633
0.451
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.630
(.047)
0.919
(.062)
0.862
(.097)
0.764
(.036)
SD
0.360
0.367
0.477
0.389
                                                  6-236

-------
data by machines, cities and operators was as follows:

     Machine 30:    Operator M     187 total (61 D, 126 P)
     Machine 31:    Operator L      90 total (62 D, 28 L)
     Machine 32:    Operator M      16 total (all P)
                    Operator N     111 total (all P)

     Upper truncation of the XRF readings at 10.0 mg/cm2 was
observed at only 1 location, having an ICP measurement of 2.0723
mg/cm2.   Since  this  truncated reading was not unusual  with
respect to other (non-truncated) readings with similar ICP
measurements, it was included in the analysis.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Several sign tests were performed
on matched pairs arising from the field classifications:

(1)   Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 31 (Operator
     L)  on 61 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 30
     gave a higher reading 14 times, with no ties.  The sign test
     has a p-value of less than 0.01 percent, suggesting an
     effect where Machine 31 read higher than Machine 30.

(2)   Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32 (Operator
     M)  on 16 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading 6 times, with no ties.  This result
     is plausible under a hypothesis of no machine or operator
     effects.

(3)   Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32 (Operator
     N)  on 110 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading only 12 times, with 1 tie.  The
     sign test was highly significant, having a p-value of less
     than 0.01 percent, and it appears that Machine 32 read
     higher than Machine 30.

     The possibility that the significant sign test obtained in
(3)  may be due to non-machine factors was explored with a
Fisher's exact test.  This was done by creating a contingency
table with the results in (2) and  (3), which refer to the same
pair of machines, but different pairs of operators.  The Fisher's
exact test has a p-value of about 1.2 percent,  which is small but
not suggestive of a rare occurrence.  This result does, however,
give evidence that at least some of the apparent difference
between Machines 30 and 32 may be due to the use of different
operators, or to differences in the painted samples themselves.
                              6-237

-------
     Figure 6-54 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
There is agreement with the nonparametric response estimate for
ICP measurements as high as 3.0 mg/cm2,  above  which the
nonparametric estimate suggests a flatter response.  The SD
estimates appear to be in close agreement up to that point as
well.

     Table 6-121 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  The data were restricted to ICP measurements
less than 5.0 mg/cm2,  which resulted  in  the  exclusion of only 4
readings.  Machine 30 was split by city (Denver and
Philadelphia) ,  and a significant difference can be seen in the
estimated intercepts  (0.661 Denver versus 0.264 Philadelphia).  A
chi-square test on the four model parameters gave a p-value that
is less than 0.01 percent, mainly due to the intercepts.  A
similar split of Machine 31 into Denver and Louisville results
likewise found a significant city effect,  due once again mainly
to the intercept terms.  The operator was the same in both
intercity comparisons.  Comparing intercept estimates for
Machines 30 versus 31  (Denver) , and Machines 30 versus 32
 (Philadelphia)  corroborated the results of the matched pairs
analysis in  (1) and (3) .  The model was not fit to data from all
machines combined, due to the incongruity in performance between
machines.

     Table 6-122 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machine 30 once again was seen to read lower than Machines 31 and
32 at 0.0 mg/cm2 and at 1.02  mg/cm2, with the difference
narrowing as the lead level increases.  Machine 31 was also seen
to have the lowest SD estimates on the control blocks, which was
reflected in the model estimates.  Machine 32 appeared to perform
similarly in both measurement settings,  but with a larger SD on
painted samples, which was possibly due to non-instrumental
sources of variability.

     6.4.4.7.5 XK-3 on Plaster

     There were 462 observations of the XK-3 on plaster, 1 of
which was designated as an outlier (Machine 31:  80031), leaving
461 observations for analysis.   Breakdown of the data by
machines,  cities and operators was as follows:

     Machine 30:    Operator M     221 total  (100 D, 121 P)
     Machine 31:    Operator L     119 total  (99 D, 20 L)
     Machine 32:    Operator M      18 total  (all P)

                              6-238

-------
                       XK-3 on metal, N = 404:  response modeling
     X
      .
      u
      •a
      •T3
      a

      
-------
Table 6-121.
XK-3 on Metal:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 30, Denver
(ICP < 5)
Machine 30, Phila.
(ICP < 5)
Machine 30,
combined (ICP < 5)
Machine 31, Denver
(ICP < 5)
Machine 31,
Louisville (ICP<5)
Machine 32, Phila.
(ICP < 5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
61
124
185
62
28
125
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.661
(.103)
0.264
(.059)
0.451
(.058)
1.090
(.057)
0.505
(.188)
1.480
(.089)
b
1.648
(.397)
1.545
(.148)
1.405
(.140)
1.521
(.142)
1.869
(.258)
1.205
(.162)
c
0.412
(.093)
0.112
(.025)
0.267
(.037)
0.135
(.029)
0.484
(.148)
0.368
(.069)
d
2.234
(1.131)
0.750
(.173)
0.852
(.192)
0.105
(.106)
-0-
0.615
(.185)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.661
(.103)
0.264
(.059)
0.451
(.058)
1.090
(.057)
0.505
(.188)
1.480
(.089)
SD
0.642
0.335
0.517
0.367
0.696
0.607
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
1.309
(.376)
0.809
(.118)
0.856
(.118)
1.611
(.132)
1.374
(.194)
1.685
(.124)
SD
1.627
0.929
1.058
0.490
0.696
0.992
                                                  6-240

-------
Table 6-122.
XK-3 on Metal:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
Machine 32
Machines 30, 31,
and 32
SAMPLE
SIZE
73
40
33
146
BARE
(0.0 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.792
(.053)
1.400
(.031)
1.451
(.059)
1.099
(.031)
SD
0.456
0.196
0.337
0.375
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.133
(.065)
1.523
(.037)
1.595
(.085)
1.344
(.039)
SD
0.557
0.234
0.487
0.474
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.971
(.082)
1.845
(.081)
1.876
(.114)
1. 915
(.053)
SD
0.701
0.515
0.654
0. 645
                                                   6-241

-------
                    Operator N     103 total  (all P)

     Upper truncation of the XRF readings at 10.0 mg/cm2 was
observed at 13 locations, where the lowest ICP measurement was
8.7783 mg/cm2.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Several sign tests were performed
on matched pairs arising from the field classifications:

 (1)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 31  (Operator
     L) on 99 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine 30
     gave a higher reading 41 times, with 15 ties.  The sign test
     does not suggest that a machine effect existed.

 (2)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32  (Operator
     M) on 18 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading only 2 times, with no ties.  The
     sign test has a p-value of about 0.07 percent, which
     suggests that an effect where Machine 32 read higher than
     Machine 30 may have existed.

 (3)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32  (Operator
     N) on 103 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading only 9 times, with 2 ties.  The
     sign test is highly significant, having a p-value of less
     than 0.01 percent, and it appears that Machine 32 read
     higher than Machine 30.

     Results from  (2) and  {3} are very similar in spite of the
different Machine 32 operators.  A Fisher's exact test
corroborated this, having a p-value that is close to 100 percent.
Although this does not definitively rule out operator effects, it
points to a machine effect as the more plausible explanation.

     Figure 6-55 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
data were restricted to ICP measurements less than 10.0 mg/cm2 to
avoid truncated XRF measurements.  Both model components appear
to agree with the nonparametric estimates, except for divergence
in the SD estimates above 2.0 mg/cm2.

     Table 6-123 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  The small number of Machine 31 data from
Louisville were not used, in order to facilitate comparison of
results obtained from Denver and Philadelphia data.  Machine 30,
split into Denver and Philadelphia, may have exhibited a city

                              6-242

-------
                      XK-3 on plaster, N = 449: response modeling
    X
                                    ICP
                        XK-3 on plaster, N = 449: SD modeling
    C/3
                                    ICP
Figure 6-55
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  XK-3 on plaster.   Solid
lines   are  model  estimates.    Dashed  lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone regression) estimates.
                                 6-243

-------
Table 6-123.
XK-3 on Plaster:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 30, Denver
(ICP < 10)
Machine 30, Phila.
(ICP < 10)
Machine 30, combined
(ICP < 10)
Machine 31, Denver
(ICP < 10}
Machine 32, Phila.
(ICP < 10)
SAMPLE
SIZE
94
121
215
93
121
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.381
(.068)
0.729
(.065)
0.535
(.049)
0.382
(.046)
1.675
(.075)
b
0.797
(.239)
0.935
(.122)
1.035
(.112)
0.835
(.078)
0.952
(.164)
c
0.283
(.049)
0.244
(.037)
0.298
(.035)
0.163
(.025)
0.272
(.041)
d
0.374
(.319)
0.022
(.066)
0.103
( .098)
-0-
0.141
(.098)
PbsO.O mg/cma
BIAS
0.381
(.068)
0.729
(.065)
0.538
(.049)
0.382
(.046)
1.675
(.075)
SD
0.532
0.494
0.546
0.404
0.521
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.179
(.212)
0.663
(.088)
0 .571
(.091)
0.217
(.076)
1.627
(.120)
SD
0.810
0.516
0.633
0.404
0.645
                                                  6-244

-------
effect,  seen mainly in the intercept estimates (0.381 Denver,
0.729 Philadelphia), for which the difference is highly
statistically significant.  The high intercept for Machine 32
appears to explain the results of the sign tests indicated in (2)
and (3)  above.  The SD estimates are similar across machines at
both lead levels indicated.  The model was not fit to data
combined across machines because of the different intercept
estimates.

     Table 6-124 gives a summary of the control block data.  Once
again, Machine 32 stands out as reading much higher than Machines
30 and 31. With the exception of Machine 30, the SD estimates are
a little lower in the control block data summary than in the
model estimates.

     6.4.4.7.6 XK-3 on Wood

     There were 743 observations of the XK-3 on wood, 1 of which
was designated as an outlier  (Machine 30:  80030), leaving 742
observations for analysis.  Breakdown of the data by machines,
cities and operators was as follows:

     Machine 30:    Operator M     354 total  (302 D, 52 P)
     Machine 31:    Operator L     336 total  (303 D, 33 L)
     Machine 32:    Operator M       4 total  (all P)
                    Operator N      48 total  (all P)

     Upper truncation of the XRF readings at 10.0 mg/cm2 was
observed at 30 locations, where the lowest ICP measurement was
8.2867 mg/cm2.

     Matched pairs analysis:  Several sign tests were performed
on matched pairs arising from the field classifications:

 (1)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 31  (Operator
     L) on 302 Denver sites of common measurement.  Machine  30
     gave a higher reading only 52 times, with 28 ties.  This
     result is highly significant under a sign test  (the p-value
     is nearly zero), suggesting that Machine 30 read lower  than
     Machine 31.

 (2)  Machine 30  (Operator M) was compared to Machine 32  (Operator
     M) on 4 Philadelphia sites of  common measurement.  Machine
     30 gave a higher reading 2 times, with no ties, which  is a
     very typical result  in the absence of a machine effect, but
     with too small a sample  size to make a firm conclusion.
                               6-245

-------
Table 6-124.
XK-3 on Plaster:  Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
Machine 32
Machines 30, 31,
and 32
SAMPLE
SIZE
64
32
32
128
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.784
(.073)
0.519
(.043)
1.247
(.086)
0.834
(.044)
SD
0.584
0.244
0.489
0.496
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS j SD
0.685
(.110)
0 .589
<.055)
1.368
(.095)
0.832
(.062)
0.881
0.309
0.538
0.698
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm*)
BIAS
0.512
(.064)
0.495
(.054)
1.470
(.121)
0.747
(.046)
SD
0.510
0.305
0.683
0.519
                                                  6-246

-------
(3)   Machine 30 (Operator M)  was compared to Machine 32 (Operator
     N)  on 48 Philadelphia sites of common measurement.  Machine
     30  gave a higher reading only 5 times, with 1 tie.  The sign
     test is highly significant, having a p-value of less than
     0.01 percent,  and it appears that Machine 32 read higher
     than Machine 30.

     Figure 6-56 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial  variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  A
restriction of the data to ICP measurements less than 10.0 mg/cm2
was enforced to avoid truncated XRF measurements.  The model and
nonparametric estimates show close agreement at lower ICP levels,
with a flattening of the response at higher lead levels suggested
by the nonparametric estimate.

     Table 6-125 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  It is noteworthy that city effects do not
appear in the intercept (parameter a) estimates as they did on
other substrates.   This is true both for Machine 30  (Denver and
Philadelphia) and Machine 31  (Denver and Louisville).  Slope
(parameter b) estimates greater than 1.0 are consistently
indicated, but the over-responsiveness to changes in the lead
level that this might suggest should be weighed in light of the
flattening of the response indicated by the nonparametric
estimate in Figure 6-56.  The model was not fit to data combined
across machines, because of the presence of substantial machine
effects.  The bias estimates for Machine 30 are lower than those
for Machines 31 and 32, which corroborates the sign test results
reported in  (1) and (3).

     Table 6-126 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machines 31 and 32 were both found to read higher than Machine
30,  but  the effect was much smaller than that seen on other
substrates.  Still, the differences in bias estimates are
significant, and consistent with conclusions drawn from both the
sign tests and the modeling exercises.  All three instruments
showed progressively increasing bias on the control blocks as the
lead level increased.   The SD estimates in the control block
summary also tend to increase with the lead level, which was
corroborated on painted samples as well.  The SD estimates
obtained from the model are substantially larger, most notably
for Machine 32 at the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead level.   Machines 30 and 31
exhibited agreement in performance on the control blocks and on
painted samples with respect to bias.
                              6-247

-------
                       XK-3 on wood, N = 712: response modeling
                                    ICP
                         XK-3 on wood, N = 712: SD modeling
Figure  6-56.    Model Diagnostic Plots,  XK-3 on wood.   Solid lines
                are   model   estimates.       Dashed   lines   are
                nonparametric (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                6-248

-------
Table 6-125.
XK-3 on Wood:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 30, Denver
(ICP < 10)
Machine 30, Phila.
(ICP < 10)
Machine 30, combined
(ICP < 10)
Machine 31, Denver
(ICP < 10)
Machine 31, Louisville
(ICP < 10)
Machine 32, Phila.
(ICP < 10)
SAMPLE
SIZE
290
52
342
291
27
52
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
-0.061
(.038)
0.021
(.072)
-0.065
(.035)
0.339
(.024)
0.326
(.128)
0.933
(.135)
b
1.366
(.074)
1.369
(.163)
1.418
(.073)
1.426
(.069)
1.036
(.096)
1.294
(.249)
c
0.264
(.028)
0.062
(.025)
0.236
(.024)
0.098
(.013)
0.193
(.083)
0.238
(.093)
d
0.177
(.060)
0.542
(.177)
0.235
(.064)
0.099
(.058)
0.046
(.040)
1.090
(.377)
Pb=0,0 mg/cmj
BIAS
-0.061
(.038)
0.021
(.072)
-0.065
(.035)
0.339
(.024)
0.326
(.128)
0.933
(.135)
SD
0.513
0.249
0.486
0.313
0.439
0.488
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.305
(.067)
0.389
(.135)
0.352
(.064)
0.765
(.062)
0.362
(.121)
1.227
(.197)
SD
0.664
0.777
0.686
0.444
0.489
1.152
                                                  6-249

-------
Table 6-126.
XK-3 on Wood:   Control  Block  Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 30
Machine 31
Machine 32
Machines 30, 31,
and 32
SAMPLE
SIZE
70
38
33
141
BARE
(0.0 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.114
(.059)
0.426
(.031)
0.315
(.053)
0.245
(.033)
SD
0.492
0.188
0.307
0.391
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.281
(.061)
0.627
(.035)
0.759
(.072)
0.486
(.036)
SD
0.508
0.213
0.413
0.425
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cms)
BIAS
0.840
(.084)
1.049
(.071)
0.822
(.109)
0.892
(.053)
SD
0.704
0.438
0.626
0.625
                                                  6-250

-------
     6.4.4.7.7 XK-3:  Summary of Analysis

     The XK-3 resembled the other K-shell instruments used in the
study,  in that bias was indicated in the intercept terms of the
models.  Slope estimates greater than 1.0 were often obtained,
which may be due, in part, to the inability of the model to
capture a flattening out of the response indicated by the
nonparametric estimates on several substrates.  The result is
that bias estimates at the 1.0 mg/cm2  lead level  obtained with
the model are typically larger than at 0.0 mg/cm2,  which is a
pattern that appears in the control block estimates as well.
Bias estimates varied substantially between machines, and
possibly between operators or cities.   City effects reflect, to a
certain extent, different distributions of lead levels in paint,
as well as other differences that may affect XRF instrument
performance.  The bias was usually positive across substrates and
machines, which was reflected both in the estimated models and
the control block data summary.

     One effect that did appear to generalize across substrates
is that Machine 32 read higher than the other two machines used
in the full study.  Machine 30 read higher than Machine 31 on
brick and concrete, but the opposite was true on drywall, metal
and wood.  The ordering of machines with respect to bias is
consistently reflected in the sign tests, model estimates, and
control block summary statistics.  The XK-3 was distinguished
from the other instruments in its similarity between the control
block and painted sample data in this respect.

     6.4.4.8   Results for XL

     The XL is an L-shell instrument that was used in the  full,
but not the pilot study.  The instrument that was evaluated was a
prototype, which was superseded by a commercial version of the XL
subsequent to the conclusion of the study.  Three different
machines were used by 2 different operators, as indicated below:

     Machine 40  (Operator J)            Denver
     Machine 41  (Operators K and J)     Denver
     Machine 42  (Operator J)            Philadelphia

     The XL truncated its measurements on the lower end at 0.0
mg/cm2,  so that it did not give negative readings.   It also
truncated on the higher end at 5.0 mg/cm2.  Since XL readings had
only one decimal place, it was not unusual for XL readings to
have a predominance of zeros at lower lead levels.
                               6-251

-------
     The XRF measurement model did not effectively describe
certain aspects of the performance of the XL,  in particular the
bias at 1.0 mg/cm2.   For this  reason,  the estimates  of  bias at
1.0 mg/cm2 presented in the  tables  for all substrates,  except
drywall, are nonparametric estimates, based on monotone
regression.  Nonparametric estimates for drywall are not
reported, because the lack of ICP readings at  or above 1.0 mg/cm2
did not allow reliable estimates to be obtained.  Although
monotone regression did not account for spatial variation and
laboratory error in ICP measurements, the effect of this is
believed to be small on the bias estimates.   The nonparametric
bias estimates were therefore judged to be better indicators of
instrument performance at a lead level of 1.0  mg/cm2 than  those
obtained from the model.  Standard error estimates reported for
the bias at 1.0 mg/cm2 were  obtained  using the  bootstrap
technique.  The SD estimates reported at both 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0
mg/cm2,  however,  were derived  from  the model.

     The outlier analysis of section 6.3 excluded the XL,  because
its truncation made it difficult to apply the  same methodology
for defining outliers used with the other instruments.

     6.4.4.8.1 XL on Brick

     There were 93 observations of the XL on brick.  They were
broken down by machine and operator as indicated below:

     Machine 40:    Operator J      41 total (all Denver)
     Machine 41:    Operator K      21 total (all Denver)
                    Operator J      19 total (all Denver)
     Machine 42:    Operator J      12 total (all Philadelphia)

     Lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2 occurred 17 times,  the
highest ICP measurement of which was 0.1942 mg/cm2.   Upper
truncation at 5.0 mg/cm2 occurred 3 times, the  lowest ICP
measurement of which was 27.206 mg/cm2.

     Figure 6-57 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
data were restricted to ICP measurements less than 25.0 mg/cm2 to
avoid problems with upper truncation, which reduced the sample
size to 90.  While the agreement between the model and
nonparametric estimates appears to be good,  the nonparametric
estimate suggests much less bias near ICP = 1.0 mg/cm2  than the
model.   This may be near a point of transition in the response
function of the instrument.

                              6-252

-------
      tu
      OS
      X
      c
      JO

      _ra

      u
      •a
      ea
      •a
4.5



 4



3.5



 3



2.5



 2



1.5



 1



0.5
          0
          0
                         XL on brick, N = 90: response modeling
                                     ICP

                          XL on brick, N = 90: SD modeling
                        10
15
20
25
                                     ICP
Figure 6-57
       Model Diagnostic Plots,  XL  on brick.   Solid lines

       are    model    estimates.       Dashed   lines   are

       nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-253

-------
     It would not,  however, appear correct to infer that
unbiasedness was a characteristic of the instrument on brick, as
readings below 1.0 mg/cm2 were  observed on 3  of  the 16  samples
where the ICP measurement exceeded 10.0 mg/cm2.   All 16 of these
readings were made by Operator K, using Machine 41, at the same
address in Denver.

Table 6-127 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement models
to the data, and nonparametric estimates of the bias at the 1.0
mg/cm2 lead level.  The model was not  fit  to  Machine 40 data
separately, because the largest corresponding ICP measurement was
only 0.8042 mg/cm2, and the readings only  assumed 5 distinct
values.  A separate model was not fit  to Machine 42, because only
12 readings were available.  The slope estimates  (parameter Jb)
suggest a responsiveness  on the order  of about one fifth to
changes in the lead level,  which although typical of L-shell
instruments, may be misleading except  at low lead levels.

     The nonparametric bias estimate for Machine 41 at 1.0 mg/cm2
was -0.337 mg/cm2,  which  is smaller  in magnitude than the model
would imply (-.748 mg/cm2) .   The standard  error  of the
nonparametric estimate (0.188 mg/cm2)  is large relative to the
magnitude of the estimate,  which is due to the effect of the jump
in the nonparametric response function near the 1.0 mg/cm2 ICP
level.  The instrument may have been more responsive to lead at
1.0 mg/cm2 than indicated by the model,  but the  responsiveness
flattened out at higher lead levels.

     Table 6-128 gives a summary of the control block data.
Differences between machines are evident in the bias estimates.
Machine 42 had very small,  positive bias on the control blocks at
the three lead levels, but the bias was negative and substantial
at 3.53 mg/cm2 for  Machines 40  and 41.   Since the same  operator
(J) used Machines 40 and 42 in this controlled measurement
setting, the different bias estimates point to a machine effect.
The nonparametric estimates suggest much greater negative bias at
1.0 mg/cm2 using the  instrument on painted samples than on the
control blocks.

     Biases exhibited on the control blocks at 0.0 mg/cm2 were
consistent with readings obtained on painted samples with respect
to the frequency of zero readings at low lead levels.  At sample
locations with ICP measurements  less than  0.1 mg/cm2, only 4 out
of 24 readings with Machine 40 were zeros, compared  to 6 out  of
10 with Machine 41, and 4 out of 8 with Machine 42.  The lower
frequency of zero readings with  Machine 40 corresponds to the
higher bias estimate obtained for this machine on  the  control

                              6-254

-------
Table 6-127.
XL on Brick:  Model Estimates:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 41 (ICP < 25)
Machines 40, 41, 42
(ICP < 25)
SAMPLE
SIZE
37
90
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.038
(.016)
0.109
(.016)
b
0.214
(.041)
0.183
(.033)
c
0.003
(.002)
0.016
(.003)
d
.025
(.012)
0.018
(.008)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.038
(.016)
0.109
(.016)
SD
0.056
0.126
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS"
-0.337
(.188)
-0.403
(.219)
SD
0.167
0.183
a Nonparametric estimates reported. Standard error estimates obtained by bootstrapping.
Table 6-128.
XL on Brick:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 40
Machine 41
Machine 42
Machines 40, 41,
and 42
SAMPLE
SIZE
14
17
30
61
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.293
(.041)
0.100
(.024)
0.070
(.014)
0.130
(.013)
SD
0.154
0.100
0.075
0.104
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.044
(.025)
-0.085
(.031)
0.097
(.008)
0.034
(.011)
SD
0.093
0.127
0.046
0.086
YELLOW MIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.501
(.088)
-0.401
(.143)
0.047
(.059)
-0.204
(.053)
SD
0.329
0.588
0.321
0.414
                                                   6-255

-------
blocks at 0.0 trig/cm2.

     6.4.4.8.2 XL on Concrete

     There were 217 observations of the XL on concrete.  They
were broken down by machine and operator as indicated below:

     Machine 40:    Operator J      23 total  (all Denver)
     Machine 41:    Operator K      25 total  (all Denver)
                    Operator J      49 total  (all Denver)
     Machine 42:    Operator J     120 total  (all Philadelphia)

     Lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2  occurred 50  times,  the
highest ICP measurement of which was 0.3572 mg/cm2.   Upper
truncation at 5.0 mg/cm2 occurred 1  time,  with a corresponding
ICP measurement of 13.4071 mg/cm2.

     Figure 6-58 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
data were restricted to ICP measurements less than 10.0 mg/cm2 to
avoid upper truncation, leaving 213 observations for analysis
 (there were no samples with ICP measurements between 8.0 mg/cm2
and 10.0 mg/cm2).   The  nonparametric response flattens  for ICP
levels above 1.0 mg/cm2.   It  also suggests that  the  bias near a
lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2 was  lower than indicated by the model.

     Table 6-129 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models, and nonparametric estimates of the bias at 1.0 mg/cm2.
Like the results for brick, it is difficult to infer from the
model the bias of the instrument at 1.0 mg/cm2,  because of a
possible change in the response relationship near that level of
lead.  The nonparametric estimates of the bias at 1.0 mg/cm2 are
lower than those from the model, and appear to give the more
accurate reflection of bias at that lead level.

     The reported levels of bias are more characteristic of some
of the K-shell instruments than the other L-shell instruments
that were evaluated in the study.  Like the other L-shell
instruments, however, the response of the XL flattens out at
higher lead levels, with low readings frequently obtained on
samples with high ICP measurements.  Of the 16 samples with ICP
measurements greater than 3.0 mg/cm2,  6 had readings below 1.0
mg/cm2  with  the  XL, although none of these occurred  at  ICP levels
greater than 5.0 mg/cm2.
                              6-256

-------
                       XL on concrete, N = 213: response modeling
      tL,
                                     ICP
                         XL on concrete, N = 213: SD modeling
         2.5
      c
      .2
      .2  1-5
      u
      T3
      "2
      ca
         0.5
                                      4

                                      ICP
Figure 6-58
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,   XL  on  concrete.    Solid
lines   are  model   estimates.     Dashed   lines  are
nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                 6-257

-------
Table 6-129.
XL on Concrete:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 41 (ICP < 10)
Machine 42 {ICP < 10)
Machines 40, 41, and
42 (ICP < 10)
SAMPLE
SIZE
70
120
213
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.039
(.006)
0,054
(.013)
0.066
(.009)
b
0.493
(.080)
0.376
(.044)
0.391
(.035)
c
0.003
(.001)
0.007
( .001}
0.008
(.001)
d
0.095
(.042)
0.038
(.011)
0.051
(.013)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.039
(.008)
0.054
(.013)
0.066
(.009)
SD
0.050
0.083
0.091
Pb=l . 0 mg/cma
BIAS*
-0.378
(.085)
-0.191
(.092)
-0.150
(.068)
SD
0.312
0.211
0.244
a Nonparametric estimates reported. Standard error estimates obtained by bootstrapping.
                                                  6-258

-------
     Table 6-130 gives a summary of the control block data.  The
estimated bias at 1.02 mg/cm2 is  small  for all  three machines,
but for Machine 40 the bias is  significant and positive at 0.0
mg/cm2,  and  significant  and negative  at 3.53  mg/cm2.  Since
Operator J used Machines 40 and 42 on the control blocks, the
difference in bias estimates indicates a machine effect.  Further
evidence of this was seen on painted samples.  None of the
readings with Machine 40 were zeros,  even on the 13 locations
where the ICP measurement was less than 0.1 mg/cm2.   Machine 41
gave zero readings on 27 of 45, and Machine 42 on 18 of 32
locations where the ICP measurement was less than 0.1 mg/cm2.

     6.4.4.8.3 XL on Drywall

     There were 113 observations of the XL on drywall.  They were
broken down by machine and operator as indicated below:

     Machine 40:    Operator J      37 total (all Denver)
     Machine 41:    Operator K      17 total (all Denver)
                    Operator J      51 total (all Denver)
     Machine 42:    Operator J       8 total (all Philadelphia)

     Lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2 occurred 53 times,  the
highest ICP measurement of which was 0.9049 mg/cm2.   Upper
truncation at 5.0 mg/cm2 was  not  observed, possibly due to the
fact that none of the ICP measurements exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2 on
drywall.

     Figure 6-59 shows the response and SD components of  the
estimated model before provision for the  combined effect  of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
model and nonparametric response estimates appear to be  close,
but given the limited ICP range of these  data, it is hard to
expect this agreement to persist at higher ICP measurements.
Stratification of the XRF readings at values 0.1 apart  is clearly
evident in the scatterplot.

     Table 6-131 gives the results of  fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Reliable nonparametric  estimates of  the bias
at 1.0 mg/cm2 could not given due to the restricted ICP range.
The same is true of the model, considering that on  other
substrates, disparity between model and nonparametric response
estimates emerged at about the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead level.  Although
the model estimates of the bias  are given, they are mainly
indicative of the under-responsiveness of the  instrument  to lead
levels below 1.0 mg/cm2.  Machine 40 does not have separate
estimates because all but  2 of the corresponding ICP measurements

                               6-259

-------
Table 6-130.
XL on Concrete:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 40
Machine 41
Machine 42
Machines 40, 41,
and 42
SAMPLE
SIZE
21
20
35
76
BARE
(0.0 ing/ cm2)
BIAS
0.438
(.034)
0.035
(.011)
0.040
(.011)
0.149
(.011)
SD
0.156
0.049
0.065
0.096
RED NIST SRH
(1.02 mg/cmj)
BIAS
0.018
(.020)
-0.035
(.033)
0.111
(.015)
0.047
(.013)
3D
0.092
0.150
0.090
0.109
YELLOW NIST SRH
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.640
( .092)
-0.215
(.166)
0.076
(.044)
-0.198
(.054)
SD
0.421
0.742
0.261
0.473
                                                   6-260

-------
0.9-
0.8-
0.7-
0.6
0.5-
0.4-
0.3-
0.2
0.1
 V
     u
    •a
     CO
    •o
     ca
       0.45
        0.4
       0.35
        0.3
       0.25
        0.2
       0.15
                        XL on drywall, N = 113:  response modeling
               0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4    0.5    0.6    0-7    0.8    0.9
                                       ICP
                          XL on drywall, N = 113: SD modeling
                                                          \      TT
               0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4
                               0.5
                               ICP
0.6    0.7    0.8    0.9
Figure  6-59.    Model Diagnostic Plots, XL on drywall.   Solid lines
                 are   model    estimates.        Dashed    lines   are
                 nonparametric  (monotone  regression)  estimates.
                                   6-261

-------
Table 6-131.
XL on Drywall:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 41
Machines 40, 41, and
42
SAMPLE
SIZE
68
113
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.014
(.009)
0.082
(.019)
b
0.423
(.083)
0.289
(.109)
c
0.002
(.001)
0.029
(.004)
d
0.068
(.031)
0.027
(.035)
Pb=0.0 mg/cm3
BIAS
0.014
(.009)
0.082
(.019)
SD
0.049
0.169
Pb=1.0 mg/cm5
BIAS
-0.564
(.077)
-0.629
(.101)
SD
0.266
0.238
                                                  6-262

-------
were less  than 0.06 mg/cm2.   There  were  too few data to give
separate estimates for Machine 42.

     Little bias is inferred for Machine 41 at 0.0 mg/cm2 from
the model,  which is in contrast to the control block data summary
given in Table 6-132.   Machines 40 and 41 both exhibited large
positive bias in the absence of lead on the control blocks.  The
large bias for Machine 40 at 0.0 mg/cm2  (1.082)  estimated from
the control block data was not confirmed in the data from painted
samples, but it was substantial nonetheless:  the 21 readings
made by Machine 40 on painted samples with ICP measurements less
than 0.005 mg/cm2  had  an  average of 0.238  mg/cm2.  The
scatterplot in Figure 6-59 shows that a number of relatively high
XRF readings,  all made with Machine 40,  were obtained at very low
ICP levels.   At 1.02 mg/cm2  the control  block data suggest that
Machines 40 and 41 exhibited very little bias, and that the bias
for both machines became substantially negative at 3.53 mg/cm2.
Machine 42,  by contrast,  exhibited bias of a small order that
changed very little with the lead level.  The different bias
estimates  for Machines 40 and 42 are noteworthy, because both
machines were used by the same operator (J), indicating a
possible machine effect.

     The control block summary shows a pattern where the SD
estimates  are smaller at 1.02 mg/cm2 than  at 0.0 mg/cm2.  All
three machines evaluated in the study exhibited this pattern.  A
similar pattern was also evident in the field sample data
obtained with Machine 40.  The 21 readings with Machine 40 on
samples with ICP measurements less than 0.005 mg/cm2 had an SD of
0.307 mg/cm2, while  the 16 readings on samples with ICP
measurements between 0.005 mg/cm2 and 0.5  mg/cm2 had an SD of
only 0.093.   A similar analysis with Machines 41 and 42 was not
conducted,  because of the lack of data at low ICP levels.  These
patterns,  present in both the control block and the field sample
data,  suggest that XL readings were more variable at very low
lead levels that at somewhat higher levels.

     With  Machine 40,  only 12 of the 35 field sample readings for
ICP measurements less than 0.1 mg/cm2 were zeros,  compared to 30
of 43 with Machine 41.  These results are consistent with the
conclusion from the control block data that Machine 40 read
systematically higher than Machine 41 at low lead levels.

     6.4.4.8.4 XL on Metal

     There were 189 observations of the XL on metal.  To avoid
problems with upper truncation, only the 187 observations with

                              6-263

-------
Table 6-132.
XL on Drywall:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 40
Machine 41
Machine 42
Machines 40, 41,
and 42
SAMPLE
SIZE
17
19
26
62
BARE
(0.0 mg/cms)
BIAS
1.082
(.131)
0.484
(.139)
0.154
(.052)
0.510
(.059)
3D
0.539
0.604
0.263
0.468
RED HIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm7)
BIAS
-0.002
(.023}
-0.073
( .039)
0.118
(.010)
0.027
(.014)
SD
0.095
0.171
0.050
0.112
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.642
(.101)
-0.583
(.160)
0.124
(.050)
-0.303
(.060)
SD
0.415
0.698
0.257
0.473
                                                  6-264

-------
ICP measurements  less than 5.0 tug/cm2 were used in the analysis.
They were  broken  down by machine and operator as follows:

     Machine  40:     Operator J      28 total (all Denver)
     Machine  41:     Operator K      18 total (all Denver)
                    Operator J      16 total (all Denver)
     Machine  42:     Operator J     125 total (all Philadelphia)

     Lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2 occurred 32 times, the
highest  ICP measurement of which was 2.0836 rag/cm2.   Upper
truncation at 5.0 mg/cm2  occurred 3 times, the  lowest ICP
measurement of which was 4.4758 mg/cm2.

     Figure 6-60  shows the response and SD components of the
estimated  model before provision for the  combined effect of
spatial  variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
Although the  model and nonparametric response estimates appear to
be close,  the nonparametric estimate has  a sharp increase near
1.0 mg/cm2.    The  instrument was possibly not as biased at that
lead level as the model would indicate.   The scatterplot itself
suggests that the instrument more  frequently gave higher readings
when the lead level exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2.   Readings less than 1.0
mg/cm2 occurred on only 2 of 16  field samples where the ICP
measurement was greater than 3.0 mg/cm2.

     Table 6-133  gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models,  and nonparametric bias estimates  at the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead
level.   The higher intercept for Machine  40  (0.163) is consistent
with the finding  on other substrates that this machine read
higher  than the others at low lead levels.  Differences  in the
slope parameters  b may reflect the inability of the model to
capture the transition in instrument performance at higher lead
levels.  The  nonparametric bias estimates at 1.0 mg/cm2,  however,
are not substantially different from those obtained from the
model for  Machine 40  (-.481 mg/cm2) and Machine 41 (-.625
mg/cm2)  .   Machine  42 reveals the greatest discrepancy between the
model (-.331  mg/cm2)  and nonparametric (.517 mg/cm2)  estimates.
The'estimated standard error  (.294) of the nonparametric estimate
also is large, which reflects the  apparent jump in the
nonparametric response function near the  1.0 mg/cm2 lead level.

     Table 6-134  presents the control block data summary.  The
only prominent machine effect is the large negative bias at 3.53
mg/cm2 estimated  for Machine 40.  Since Operator J used both
Machines 40 and 42, the difference in bias estimates  at  this  lead
level points  to a machine effect.  Machine 40  had the largest
bias at 0.0 mg/cm2 across machines on both the control blocks and

                              6-265

-------
                        XL on metal, N = 187: response modeling
           0    0.5
                                     ICP


                          XL on metal, N = 187:  SD modeling
         2.5
      c
      o
      u
      •a
      a
      •a

      £0
         1.5
         0.5
           0    0.5    1
          1.5
2.5



ICP
3.5
4.5
Figure  6-60
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  XL on  metal.   Solid  lines

are    model   estimates.       Dashed   lines    are

nonparametric  (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                 6-266

-------
Table 6-133.
                 XL on Metal:  Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 40 (ICP < 5)
Machine 41 (ICP < 5)
Machine 42 (ICP < 5)
Machines 40, 41, and
42 (ICP < 5)
SAMPLE
SIZE
28
34
125
187
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.163
(.044)
0.031
(.032)
0.054
(.024)
0.074
(.017)
b
0.357
(.104)
0.345
(.048)
0.616
(.064)
0.546
(.050)
c
0.038
(.012)
0.025
(.008)
0.015
(.003)
0.020
(.003)
d
0.040
(.032)
-0-
0.141
(.029)
0.132
(.025)
PbsO.O ing /cm2
BIAS
0.163
( .044)
0.031
(.032)
0.054
(.024)
0.074
(.017)
SD
0.196
0.158
0.124
0.141
Pbsl.O mg/cm2
BIAS"
-0.480
(.131)
-0.623
(.070)
0.517
(.294)
-0.100
(.230)
SD
0.280
0.158
0.396
0.389
* Nonparametric estimates reported. Standard error estimates obtained by bootstrapping.
                                                  6-267

-------
Table 6-134.
XL on Metal:   Control Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 40
Machine 41
Machine 42
Machines 40, 41,
and 42
IB ARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
20
25
41
86
0.055
(.011)
0.004
(.004)
0.020
(.006)
0.023
( .004)
SD
0.051
0.020
0.040
0.039
RED NIST SRM
(1.02 mg/cm2)
BIAS
0.035
(.017)
-0.044
(.036)
0.085
(.010)
0.036
(.012)
SD
0.076
0.181
0.063
0.113
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.515
(.100)
-0.166
(.137)
0.111
(.037)
-0.115
(.049)
SD
0.449
0.686
0.238
0.457
                                                  6-268

-------
in the model  estimates,  although the magnitude of the bias was
small in both cases.

    A closer look at  the field sample data would also anticipate
a higher Machine  40 bias at low lead levels.  Only 6 of the 18
Machine 40 readings at ICP measurements less than 0.1 mg/cm2 were
zeros, compared to 16  out of 20 for Machine 41.  The average of
the 18 Machine 40 readings was 0.178, which is higher than the
control block estimate of the bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  but consistent
with the model estimate.

    For all  three machines, the control block summary shows
little bias at the 0.0 mg/cm2  and 1.02  mg/cm2 lead levels, and SD
estimates that increase with the lead level.  While this pattern
is typical for other  instruments evaluated in the study, it is  in
contrast to the pattern exhibited by the XL on drywall, plaster,
and less uniformly on  brick and concrete, where the SD  (and bias)
actually was  smaller  at 1.02 mg/cm2 than  at 0.0 mg/cm2.  The
field sample  data for  Machine 40, however, did give evidence of
the pattern seen  on other substrates:  the 10 readings at samples
with ICP measurements  less than 0.005 mg/cm2 had an SD of  0.245
mg/cm2,  while  the 11 readings  at  samples  with ICP measurements
between 0.005 mg/cm2 and 0.5 mg/cm2 had an  SD of only  0.083.
Model estimates,  which did not allow SD estimates to decrease
with the lead level,  could not detect this pattern.

    6.4.4.8.5 XL on  Plaster

    There were 222 observations of the XL on plaster.  They were
broken down by machine and operator as indicated below:

    Machine  40:    Operator J      88 total  (all Denver)
    Machine  41:    Operator K      13 total  (all Denver)
                   Operator J       0 total
    Machine  42:    Operator J     121 total  (all Philadelphia)

    Lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2 occurred 25 times, the
highest ICP measurement of which was 1.0387 mg/cm2.   Upper
truncation at 5.0 mg/cm2 was not  observed on plaster.

    Although there were 6 locations with  ICP measurements above
10.0 mg/cm2,   upper truncation of  the XL at 5.0 was not observed.
These locations were  in the same unit, in  Denver, which was built
in 1890.  All of  the  L-shell instruments,  including the XL, gave
low readings  at these locations.   In fact,  5 of the  6 readings
were less than 1.0 mg/cm2.   The two locations with the highest
ICP measurements, at  20.4 mg/cm2  and 37.3 mg/cm2,  had XL readings

                              6-269

-------
of 0.5 mg/cm2.   Restriction of the ICP range to under 5. 0  mg/cm2
was employed to obtain model estimates and to infer instrument
performance at lower lead levels.  There were no field samples
with ICP measurements between 3.0 mg/cm2  and 5.0 mg/cm2.

     Figure 6-61 shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
Agreement with the nonparametric estimates appears to be good,
except that the nonparametric estimate suggests a higher response
when the ICP measurement exceeded 1.0 mg/cm2.   As seen on  other
substrates, the responsiveness of the XL appeared to change near
the 1. 0 mg/cm2 lead level.

     Table 6-135 gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models.  Results for Machine 41 were not given because of
insufficient data.  Nonparametric estimates are reported for the
bias at 1.0 mg/cm2.    Unlike other substrates,  Machine 40  did not
stand out as having significantly greater bias than Machine 42 at
0.0 mg/cm2.   Both machines exhibited substantial negative  bias as
the lead level increased.  The estimate of the bias at 1.0 mg/cm2
for Machine 40 obtained  from the model (-.453 mg/cm2)  is close to
the nonparametric estimate  (-.481 rag/cm2) .   The estimates  for
Machine 42  (-.501 mg/cm2 model,  -.255 mg/cm2 nonparametric)
exhibit greater disparity.

     Table 6-136 gives a summary of the control block data.
Machine 40 was substantially biased  (1.850) at 0.0 mg/cm2,  but
there was no evidence of this in the  field sample data.  Of the
46 Machine 40 measurements at ICP measurements less than 0.1
mg/cm2,  the average XL reading was only 0.135,  which contradicts
the control block finding.  Readings  of 0.0 mg/cm2 were made on
14 of the 46 field samples with Machine 40, compared to 4  of 10
with Machine 42, which gives  little indication of a machine
effect.  The control block data summary indicates a generally
constant bias for Machine 42  as the lead level  increased,  while
Machines 40 and 41 exhibited  substantial negative bias at  3.53
mg/cm2.   Standard deviation estimates obtained from the control
block data are lower at  1.02 mg/cm2 than at 0.0 mg/cm2 and  3.53
mg/cm2 with all three machines.

     6.4.4.8.6 XL on Wood

     There were 355 observations of the XL on wood.  To avoid
problems with upper truncation, the 343 observations with  ICP
measurements less than 10.0 mg/cm2 were used in the analysis.
They were broken down by machine and  operator  as  follows:

                              6-270

-------
                       XL on plaster, N = 213: response modeling
                                     ICP
                         XL on plaster, N = 213: SD modeling
        0.5

       0.45

        0.4

     g 0.35
     a
     '§  0.3
     •a

     1 0.25
     •a
     C3
     M  0.2

       0.15

        0.1

       0.05
          0
  0.5
1.5

ICP
2.5
Figure 6-61.
Model  Diagnostic Plots,  XL on plaster.  Solid lines
are    model    estimates.       Dashed   lines   are
nonparametric (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                 6-271

-------
Table 6-135.
XL on Plaster:   Model Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 40, ICP < 5
Machine 42, ICP < 5
Machines 40 and 42,
ICP < 5
SAMPLE
SIZE
88
121
209
MODEL PARAMETERS
a
0.097
(.022)
0.048
(.011)
0.081
(.011)
b
0.450
(.127)
0.451
(.042)
0.405
(.037)
c
0.015
(.002)
0.002
(.001)
0.010
(.001)
d
-0-
0.040
(.010)
0.017
(.007)
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm2
BIAS
0.097
(.022)
0.048
(.011)
0.081
(.011)
SD
0.123
0.046
0.101
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
BIAS"
-0.481
(.101)
-0.255
(.090)
-0.257
(.072)
SD
0.123
0.205
0.164
a Nonparametric estimates reported. Standard error estimates obtained by bootstrapping.
Table 6-136.
XL on Plaster:   Control  Block Summary.
DEVICE
Machine 40
Machine 41
Machine 42
Machines 40, 41,
and 42
SAMPLE
SIZE
20
13
40
73
BARE
(0.0 mg/cm2)
BIAS
1.850
(.169)
0.723
(.294)
0.258
(.050)
0.777
(.074)
SD
0.756
1.062
0.319
0.636
RED MIST SRM
(1.02 rag/cm2)
BIAS
0.035
(.021)
-0.020
(.042)
0.120
(.009)
0.072
(.011)
SD
0.095
0.153
0.059
0.092
YELLOW NIST SRM
(3.53 mg/cm2)
BIAS
-0.550
(.121)
-0.299
(.216)
0.118
(.045)
-0.140
(.056)
SD
0.540
0.778
0.282
0.477
                                                  6-272

-------
     Machine 40:     Operator J     151 total  (all Denver)
     Machine 41:     Operator K      51 total  (all Denver)
                    Operator J      89 total  (all Denver)
     Machine 42:     Operator J      52 total  (all Philadelphia)

     Lower truncation at 0.0 mg/cm2  occurred 121 times,  the
highest ICP measurement of which was 5.0579 mg/cm2.   Upper
truncation at 5.0 mg/cm2 occurred 8  times,  the lowest ICP
measurement of which was 11.2525 mg/cm2.

     Figure 6-62  shows the response and SD components of the
estimated model before provision for the combined effect of
spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.  The
data were restricted to ICP measurements less than 10.0 mg/cm2 to
avoid problems with upper truncation.  The model and
nonparametric estimates appear to agree for ICP levels as  large
as 2.0 mg/cm2,  above  which the nonparametric response appears
flatter.

     An important feature that is not apparent  in Figure 6-62  is
the predominance  of zero readings at low lead levels.  All 41
readings with Machine 41 corresponding to ICP measurements less
than 0.067 mg/cm2 were zeros.   Of the 152  readings with ICP
measurements less than 0.1 mg/cm2,  51 of 55 Machine 41 readings
were zeros, as were all 8 readings with Machine 42, and 49 of  89
readings with Machine 40.  The predominance of  zero readings at
low ICP measurements, with Machine 41 especially, was observed
more often on wood than on other substrates.  This phenomenon
posed a problem for model fitting, because the  apparent standard
deviation at lead levels close to 0.0 mg/cm2 is essentially zero
for Machine 41.  For this reason, only data in  the ICP range 0.1
mg/cm2  to 10.0 mg/cm2 were used to obtain model  estimates.

     Table 6-137  gives the results of fitting XRF measurement
models to the data.  Nonparametric estimates of the bias are
reported for the  1.0 mg/cm2 lead level.   Bias and SD estimates at
0.0 mg/cm2 reported for Machines 40  and 41 are sample means and
standard deviations for the data restricted to  ICP measurements
less than 0.1 mg/cm2.   The model estimates are reported for
Machine 42, because of the lack of data in the  restricted  range.
Machine 40 exhibited low bias at 1.0 mg/cm2 that was comparable
to some of the K-shell instruments.  The high slope parameter
(.830)  for Machine 40 is consistent with the  low nonparametric
bias estimate.  The bias exhibited by Machines  41 and 42 was
substantial and negative.  The XL gave readings less than  1.0
mg/cm2  with Machines  41 and 42 on 5  sample locations with ICP
measurements greater than 5.0 mg/cm2.

                              6-273

-------
                       XL on wood, N = 343: response modeling
                                   ICP
                         XL on wood, N = 343: SD modeling
     .o
     «-*
     .05
     u
     •o
     CO
     T3

     I
     c/3
                                   ICP
Figure  6-62
Model  Diagnostic  Plots,  XL on  wood.   Solid  lines
are    model   estimates.       Dashed   lines    are
nonparametric (monotone regression)  estimates.
                                6-274

-------
Table 6-137.
                  XL on Wood:   Model  Estimates.
DEVICE
Machine 40
(0.1
-------
     Table 6-138 gives a summary of the control block data.  The
zero SD estimates for Machines 41 and 42 at 0.0 mg/cm2 reflect
the fact that all of the readings for these two machines on bare
substrate were zeros.  Like the field sample data,  this
predominance of zero readings on the wood control blocks was not
exhibited on other substrates.  The fact that zero readings were
less prevalent with Machine 40 on the control blocks, which was
also the case on the field samples, points to a machine  effect,
since the same operator (J) used both Machines 40 and 42.
Machine 42 exhibited increasing, but not substantial bias as the
lead level increased, while the bias for Machines 40 and 41
became increasingly negative and substantial.

     It is possible to see a mild operator effect within Machine
41, which was the only machine used by two operators.  Figure
6-63 gives XRF-ICP scatterplots for the two operators of this
machine.  The scatterplot for Operator J suggests a greater slope
(responsiveness to change in the lead level)  than that for
Operator K.  The possibility that other factors, such as paint
thickness, may explain the apparent operator difference  cannot be
dismissed.

     6.4.4.8.7 XL:  Summary of Analysis

     The model did not adequately capture certain aspects of the
performance of the XL prototype.  This is demonstrated
graphically in Figures 6-57, 6-58, and 6-60,  where the
nonparametric response at the 1.0 mg/cm2 ICP  level  is appreciably
higher than the model response.  The nonparametric estimates
indicate less bias than the model at the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead level.
Although the nonparametric estimates did not account for the
combined effect of spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP
measurements, it is highly unlikely that provision for it would
change this conclusion.   On brick, concrete, metal and plaster,
the response of the instrument seemed to change at or near a lead
level of 1.0 mg/cm2.

     The XL produced readings on the field samples near the 1.0
mg/cm2 ICP level that had less bias than readings from the other
L-shell instruments evaluated.  This finding agrees with the
classification results presented in section 6.5, which show that
the XL gave higher readings than the other L-shell instruments at
lead levels above 1.0 mg/cm2.   But like the other L-shell
instruments, the XL was also capable of giving readings less than
1.0 mg/cm2 at ICP measurements in excess of 10.0 mg/cm2.  Of the
38 instances where the ICP measurement exceeded 10.0 mg/cm2,  2  of
the XL readings were below 0.4 mg/cm2,  and 1  was equal to 0.4

                              6-276

-------
                          XL on wood, Machine 41:  Operator J
        2.5
     it,
        1.5-
        0.5 -
                                      ICP
                          XL on wood, Machine 41: Operator K
        2.5
        1.5
        0.5
                                      ICP
Figure 6-63.
XL  on  Wood,  Operators K  versus J  scatterplots on
MACHINE  41.
                                  6-277

-------
mg/cm2.   The corresponding sample locations usually were found in
older buildings, with thick layers of paint.  The K-shell
instruments were more consistent in giving readings above 1,0
mg/cm2 in the presence of high lead levels.

     Machine  effects are an important factor to consider in
evaluating the performance of the XL.  These effects were
apparent  in  (1) the model and nonparametric estimates derived
from'the  field sample data;  (2) the frequency of zero readings at
very low  (less than 0.1 mg/cm2)  ICP measurements;  (3)  the control
block data summary statistics.  All three sets of results point
to Machine 40 as giving higher readings than either Machines 41
or 42 for lead levels less than 1.0 mg/cm2.  Machine 40 also
produced  fewer zero readings at low lead levels on painted
samples than  the other two machines.  The same operator  (J) used
both Machines 40 and 42 in the study, including on the control
blocks where  lead  levels and other factors that may have affected
performance were controlled.  It therefore is reasonable to
attribute the higher Machine 40 readings to a machine effect.
This does not rule out the possibility that other effects, such
as those  attributable to operators or related to the field
samples,  were present in conjunction with those attributable to
machines.

     On drywall and plaster, a pattern is present in the SD
estimates obtained from the control block data, where the SD is
substantially larger at 0.0 mg/cm2 than at 1.02 mg/cm2.  A large
positive  bias at 0.0 mg/cm2 can also be seen where this pattern
is present.   It was possible to reproduce the same pattern
directly  for  the field sample data obtained with Machine 40 on
several substrates, for which there were ample readings at very
low ICP measurements.  Standard deviations were computed for
field sample  readings with ICP measurements less than 0.005
mg/cm2,  and for readings with ICP measurements  between 0.005
mg/cm2 and 0.5 mg/cm2.  On all substrates except wood, Machine  40
had a higher  SD estimate for the lower ICP range.  A similar
pattern was not seen in Machine 41 data taken on painted samples.
This result suggest that, for certain XL machines or operators,
readings  at very low or zero lead levels were more variable than
at somewhat higher lead levels.

     6.4.5     Use of the First XRF Reading Versus the Average of
               Three Readings

     In the full study, three successive, nominal 15-second
readings were made with each XRF instrument, at each sampled
location.  In section 6.5 it is demonstrated that the use of the

                              6-278

-------
average of three readings did not significantly improve the
classification accuracy obtained by using the first reading
alone.   The purpose of this section is to elaborate on this
finding in the context of the XRF measurement model,  and to
explain why using the average of three readings was not found to
substantially reduce the variability of XRF measurements on
painted surfaces under field conditions.

     Basic statistical reasoning suggests that the average of
three readings should be more accurate than one reading, since
the standard error of the average is smaller than the standard
deviation of one reading.  If the successive readings are
statistically independent,  the standard deviation of the average
is approximately 0.58 (one divided by the square root of 3) times
the standard deviation of one reading.  In practice,  however,
this level of improvement was demonstrably absent.  In section
6.4.5.1 it is shown that the standard deviation of the average
was usually at least 0.70 times the standard deviation of one
reading,  and in some cases 1.00 times  (no improvement) when the
lead level was 1.0 mg/cm2 or greater.

     Further analyses suggest two reasons why the average of
three readings fell short of the performance suggested by the
0.58 multiplier.  The first is that the assumption of
independence was  not valid, with the possible exception of the
MAP-3 K-shell. Estimated correlations between successive readings
on the control blocks revealed, with the exception of the MAP-3,
that successive readings were dependent to a substantial degree.
The information obtained from three successive  (but dependent)
readings was less than if the readings were independent.  The
estimated correlations are presented in section 6.4.5.2, where
this issue is discussed in more detail.

     The second, and possibly more important reason why averaging
three readings did not yield a large reduction in variability, is
the existence of non-instrumental sources of variability, that
replication cannot diminish.  Factors associated neither with the
level of lead in paint nor the instrument contributed to
variation in XRF readings.   In section 6.4.5.3, a nonparametric
residual analysis demonstrates that the K-shell instruments were
moderately intercorrelated, with above-average readings from the
MAP-3 associated with above-average readings from the Microlead
I, for example.  The same was also true for the L-shell
instruments.  These results suggest that instruments of the same
shell were sensitized to factors other than lead that were
associated with the sample locations.
                              6-279

-------
     Using the triplicate measurements from the full study and
the correlations obtained in section 6.4.5.2,  it was possible to
partition the observed XRF variability into instrumental and non-
instrumental components.   This was done on the K-shell
instruments for metal and wood substrates,  and the results are
presented in section 6.4.5.4.  It is demonstrated that non-
instrumental sources of variability were substantial, and
exceeded instrumental variability as the lead level increased.

     6.4.5.1   XRF Estimation With the Average of Three Readings

     Section 6.4.2 describes the XRF measurement model that was
applied to the first regular paint reading.  The same model was
also applied to the average of three readings.  Estimated
standard deviations at lead levels of 0.0 mg/cm2 and 1.0  mg/cm2
can be compared to similar quantities obtained using only the
first reading.  Tables 6-139 through 6-146 give estimated
standard deviations by machine for each instrument, resulting
from the model.  Results for bias are not presented, because they
were not noticeably affected by the change in number of readings.

     The ratios reported in the tables are the standard
deviations of the average divided by the standard deviations of
the first XRF reading.  Ratios close to, or in some cases larger
than one due to sampling variability, indicate little or no
accuracy gain from using the average of three readings.  A ratio
of 0.58 corresponds to the reduction in variability that would be
obtained if the three readings were independent, and if only
instrumental error contributed to the variability of XRF readings
at a fixed level of lead.  Table 6-147 is a summary of the
information in Tables 6-139 through 6-146,  obtained by pooling
data across substrates and machines.

     The MAP-3 K-shell (Table 6-141) exhibited the greatest
improvement with the use of three, as opposed to one reading.
Still, the standard deviation ratios were larger than 0.58, and
some were substantially larger.  The L-shell instruments  (Tables
6-140, 6-142, 6-144, and 6-146) benefitted the least from using
three measurements.  The ratios for both the K- and L-shell
instruments usually increased as the lead level increased from
0.0 mg/cm2  to 1.0  mg/cm2, where they often became close to or
even exceeded 1.0. Correct classification of sites having high
lead levels improved only minimally with the use of three
averaged readings, as demonstrated in section 6.5.

     The results presented in Table 6-139 through 6-146
demonstrate that taking three successive readings at a fixed

                              6-280

-------
Table 6-139.
Change in Standard Deviations:  One Versus Three  Paint
Readings for Lead Analyzer K-shell.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.167
0.113
0.127
0.076
0.169
0.242
0.142
0.123
0.082
THREE
0.173
0.072
0.080
0.048
0.148
0.164
0.145
0.071
0.067
RATIO
1.04
0.63
0.63
0.62
0.87
0.68
1.03
0.58
0.82
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.226
0.366
0.328
0.354
0.421
0.242
0.241
0.250
0.440
THREE
0.220
0.369
0.182
0.300
0.387
0.164
0.223
0.328
0.429
RATIO
0.97
1.01
0.56
0.84
0.92
0.68
0.93
1.31
0.98
Table 6-140.
Change in Standard Deviations:  One Versus Three Paint
Readings for Lead Analyzer L-shell.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.057
0.011
0.014
0.006
0.014
0.005
0.014
0.012
THREE
0.059
0.012
0.013
0.007
0.012
0.006
0.008
0.012
RATIO
1.04
1.09
0.93
1.08
0.87
1.04
0.58
1.00
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm:
ONE
0.060
0.109
0.021
0.172
0.232
0.159
0.035
0.188
THREE
0.061
0.104
0.021
0.167
0.245
0.179
0.044
0.205
RATIO
1.02
0.95
1.00
0.97
1.06
1.13
1.26
1.09
 location did not,  typically, realize  the gain anticipated for
 three independent readings under variable sampling conditions.
 The following  three sections explain  why this occurred.

     6.4.5.2    Dependence of Successive XRF Measurements

     One reason why the average of  three successive XRF readings
 did not yield  a large improvement is  that the three successive
 readings were  substantially correlated.  Obtaining an unusually
 high first  reading made it more likely that the second reading
 would also  be  high, and similarly for the third reading.  Three
 successive  readings were therefore  less informative than three
                               6-281

-------
Table 6-141.
Change in Standard Deviations:
Readings for MAP-3 K-shell.
           One Versus Three Paint
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
12
10
11
12
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.762
1.012
0.751
1.078
0.987
0.324
0.380
0.330
0.445
0.374
0.702
1.048
0.754
0.449
0.528
0.525
THREE
0.524
0.685
0.469
0.788
0.613
0.206
0.283
0.245
0.343
0.245
0.513
0.658
0.482
0.375
0.497
0.393
RATIO
0.69
0.68
0.62
0.73
0.62
0.64
0.74
0.74
0.77
0.66
0.73
0.63
0.64
0.84
0.94
0.75
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.771
1.018
0.890
1.158
0.987
0.324
0.380
0.481
0.445
0.620
0.781
1.070
0.782
0.629
0.530
0.999
THREE
0.547
0.694
0.714
0.893
0.613
0.206
0.283
0.388
0.349
0.451
0.608
0.774
0.555
0.586
0.498
0.780
RATIO
0.71
0.68
0.80
0.77
0.62
0.64
0.74
0.81
0.78
0.73
0.78
0.72
0.71
0.93
0.94
0.78
 independent  readings.

 The average  of  the  correlations  between first and second, first
 and third, and  second  and third  readings determines the reduction
 in variability  gained  by using the  average of three successive
 readings, as opposed to  using only  the first.  For three
 independent  readings,  the correlations are each equal to zero,
 and the standard deviation of the average is (1/3) °'5 = 0.58 times
 as large as  the standard deviation  of one reading.  Generally,
 the standard deviation of the average of three readings is the
 square root  of  the  quantity one-third plus two-thirds times the
 average correlation multiplied by the standard deviation of a
 single reading:
     SD
       three
[1/3 + 2-C/3]
                             0.5
SD0
For example, suppose  that  the  first  and second readings have  a
correlation of  0.28,  the first and third readings 0.23, and the
second and third readings  0.21.   The average of the three
correlations is C  = 0.24,  and  the multiplier is

     [1/3 + 2- (0.24)/3]°-5  = 0.70,
which is equivalent to the  statement  that the ratio of SD
                                                          three
                                               to
                               6-282

-------
Table 6-142.
Change in Standard Deviations:
Readings for MAP-3 L-shell.
                                          One Versus Three Paint
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
12
10
11
12
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.237
0.219
0.087
0.094
0.075
0.039
0.041
0.381
0.437
0.165
0.081
0.100
0.077
0.095
0.086
0.147
THREE
0.229
0.238
0.066
0.114
0.058
0.029
0.059
0.384
0.428
0.122
0.065
0.086
0.065
0.085
0.086
0.158
RATIO
0.97
1.09
0.76
1.21
0.77
0.74
1.44
1.01
0.98
0.74
0.80
0.86
0.84
0.89
1.00
1.07
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.239
0.228
0.161
0.230
0.093
0.255
0.247
0.475
0.540
0.263
0.161
0.185
0.099
0.282
0.253
0.192
THREE
0.231
0.246
0.170
0.221
0.080
0.232
0.379
0.478
0.533
0.232
0.163
0.194
0.090
0.300
0.301
0.166
RATIO
0.97
1.08
1.06
0.96
0.86
0.91
1.53
1.01
0.99
0.88
1.01
1.05
0.91
1.06
1.19
0.86
SD^  is  equal to 0.70.   This is more than the  0.58  multiplier
that  would apply if the three readings were independent.   In
fact, a  multiplier of 0.70 suggests that three successive (but
correlated)  readings have approximately the same information as
two independent (uncorrelated) readings with the same instrument.

Table 6-148 reports average correlations for the eight XRF
instrument types estimated from the control block data.
Triplicate XRF readings were used  to estimate the correlations
between  the first and second, first and third, and second and
third readings.  The advantage of  using the control block data
instead  of the field sample data is that the lead levels were
fixed at known values on the control blocks, which removed a
potential source of spurious correlation.   SD ratios were
calculated from the correlations in the same manner as the above
example, and are alternatives to the estimates presented in
Tables 6-139 through 6-147.

Only the MAP-3 K-shell gave nearly uncorrelated successive
readings.  The L-shell instruments produced more highly
correlated readings than the K-shell instruments.  The MAP-3 L-
shell, however, had correlations more  similar to the K-shell
instruments than to the other L-shell  instruments.  The L-shell
instruments had higher correlations at 0.0  mg/cm2 than at higher
                               6-283

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Table 6-143.
Change in Standard Deviations:
Readings for Microlead I.
One Versus Three Paint
SUBSTRATE
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
20 (Den)
20 (Phi)
21
22
23
20
21
22
20
21
22
23
24
20
21
22
23
20
21
22
23
24
Pb = 0.0 jng/cm2
ONE
0.559
0.543
0.724
1.244
0.483
0.345
0.351
0.534
0.617
0.732
0.808
0.366
0.723
0.510
0.660
1.013
0.370
0.624
0.663
0.831
0.500
0.578
THREE
0.370
0.386
0.635
1.306
0.346
0.235
0.244
0.538
0.563
0.685
0.850
0.223
0.691
0.350
0.484
0.579
0.322
0.499
0.602
0.800
0.419
0.568
RATIO
0.66
. 0.71
0.88
1.05
0.72
0.68
0.70
1.01
0.91
0.94
1.05
0.61
0.96
0.69
0.73
0.57
0.87
0.80
0.91
0.96
0.84
0.98
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.708
0.543
0.790
1.309
0.483
0.345
0.351
0.534
0.684
0.790
0.808
0.545
0.723
0.584
0.807
1.013
0.531
0.915
0.758
0.851
0.550
0.578
THREE
0.549
0.488
0.706
1.306
0.607
0.387
0.395
0.538
0.630
0.744
0.850
0.467
0.691
0.448
0.670
0.579
0.415
0.867
0.740
0.835
0.645
0.568
RATIO
0.78
0.90
0.89
1.00
1.26
1.12
1.13
1.01
0.92
0.94
1.05
0.86
0.96
0.77
0.83
0.57
0.78
0.95
0.98
0.98
1.17
0.98
Table 6-144.
Change in Standard Deviations:
Readings for X-MET 880.
One Versus Three Paint
SUBSTRATE
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
50
50
50
51
50
50
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.027
0.013
0.141
0.278
0.022
0.024
THREE
0.027
0.013
0.141
0.260
0.022
0.022
RATIO
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.94
1.00
0.90
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.067
0.133
0.238
0.278
0.083
0.289
THREE
0.066
0.134
0.237
0.260
0.082
0.296
RATIO
0.99
1.01
1.00
0.94
0.99
1.02
                                    6-284

-------
Table  6-145.
Change in Standard Deviations:
Readings for XK-3.
One Versus Three Paint
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
30
31
30
31
32
30
31
30
32
30
31
32
30
31
32
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.591
0.320
0.636
0.847
0.508
0.356
0.206
0.517
0.607
0.546
0.404
0.521
0.486
0.313
0.488
THREE
0.493
0.173
0.506
0.255
0.478
0.203
0.182
0.435
0.465
0.474
0.359
0.352
0.376
0.269
0.304
RATIO
0.83
0.54
0.80
0.30
0.94
0.57
0.88
0.84
0.77
0.87
0.89
0.68
0.77
0.86
0.62
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.591
0.320
0.636
0.847
0.508
0.562
0.547
1.058
0.992
0.633
0.404
0.645
0.686
0.444
1.152
THREE
0.493
0.719
0.506
0.255
0.478
0.845
0.361
0.962
0.912
0.547
0.360
0.452
0.679
0.503
1.010
RATIO
0.83
2.25
0.80
0.30
0.94
1.50
0.66
0.91
0.92
0.86
0.89
0.70
0.99
1.13
0.88
Table  6-146.
Change in Standard Deviations:
Readings for XL.
One Versus Three Paint
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NO.
41
41
42
41
40
41
42
40
42
40
41
42
Pb = 0.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.056
0.050
0.083
0.049
0.196
0.158
0.124
0.123
0.046
0.120
0.123
0.119
THREE
0.043
0.044
0.066
0.058
0.192
0.107
0.110
0.095
0.039
0.088
0.052
0.097
RATIO
0.77
0.88
0.80
1.18
0.98
0.68
0.89
0.77
0.85
0.73
0.42
0.82
Pb = 1.0 mg/cm2
ONE
0.167
0.312
0.211
0.266
0.280
0.158
0.396
0.123
0.205
0.276
0.243
0.325
THREE
0.176
0.349
0.200
0.225
0.278
0.107
0.391
0.095
0.182
0.271
0.217
0.305
RATIO
1.05
1.12
0.95
0.85
0.99
0.68
0.99
0.77
0.89
0.99
0.89
0.94
                                    6-285

-------
Table 6-147.
Standard Deviation (SD) Ratios, Pooled by Instrument.
Instrument
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
Pb=0 . 0 mg/cm2
SD Ratio
0.84
1.02
0.71
0.98
0.86
0.98
0.77
0.79
Pb=1.0 mg/cm2
SD Ratio
0.95
1.06
0.78
1.05
0.93
1.01
0.93
0.96
levels of lead.  The high correlation for the XL at 0.0 mg/cm2
may be explained by the fact that it often gave three successive
zero readings at lower lead levels, due to its lower truncation
property.

The SD ratios reported in Table 6-148 are generally smaller  than
those reported in Table 6-147.  Since a smaller ratio implies  a
greater reduction in variability using the average of three
readings, XRF readings on the field samples (the data used to
derive Table 6-147) were affected by sources of variability  that
averaging did not reduce, and that were absent from XRF readings
on the control blocks.  Thus, correlations between successive
readings alone did not account for the small reduction in
standard deviations obtained from the XRF measurement model,
implying the existence of non-instrumental factors that affected
XRF variability.

6.4.5.3   Correlation of XRF Readings Across Instruments

Non-instrumental factors that affected the variability of XRF
readings were associated with the locations at which measurements
were made.  Non-instrumental factors have the potential to affect
readings made with all instruments at a given location, although
the impact can vary with the instrument.  If several instruments
are affected in a similar manner, these factors may be detectable
as correlations across instrument readings.

Correlations across instruments were estimated using the
nonparametric standardized residuals defined in section 6.3.   The
nonparametric standardized residuals were obtained by subtracting
                              6-286

-------
Table 6-148.
                  Correlations  for Successive Readings, Estimated From the Control Block Data.
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer K-shell
Lead Analyzer L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
1255
1245
1206
1202
636
1145
1179
1305
BARE
0.0 mg/cm2
0.12
0.96
0.05
0.46
0.32
0.97
0.33
0.96
RED NIST SRM
1.02 mg/cm2
0.12
0.73
-0.06
0.13
0.41
0.83
0.42
0.74
YELLOW NIST
SRM
3 . 53 mg/cm2
0.34
0.77
0.06
0.14
0.31
0.84
0.36
0.83
AVERAGE
0.19
0.82
0.02
0.24
0.34
0.88
0.37
0.85
SD
RATIO
0.68
0.94
0.59
0.70
0.75
0.96
0.76
0.95
                                                  6-287

-------
from the XRF readings a nonparametric estimate of their mean
relationship with the ICP measurements,  and dividing the
differences by a nonparametric estimate of the standard
deviation.  The resulting quantities can be viewed as the XRF
readings with their dependence on the ICP-measured lead level
separated out.  Thus, although the nature of an XRF-ICP
relationship changed substantially across instruments and
substrates, the nonparametric standardized residuals exhibited
comparable behavior, and their derivation did not require the use
of a model.

     The 8 measurement modes, obtained from the 6 instruments and
2 shells, were grouped into 12 field classifications.   Each
field classification represented a full set of XRF measurements
on all sample locations.  Since each sample location had 12
associated XRF readings, it was possible to calculate the 12 by
12 correlation matrix of nonparametric standardized residuals.
This was done for 333 sample locations on wood substrates.  The
correlations are presented graphically in Figures 6-64 through
6-75.  The K-shell instruments are shown with dark shading, and
the L-shell instruments with light shading.  The Lead Analyzer
and two MAP-3 instrument field classes,  which made measurements
using both shells, are shown side by side.

     The correlations exhibit an interesting pattern:  the
K-shell instruments were more correlated with other K-shell
instruments than with the L-shell instruments, and similarly for
the L-shell instruments.   The Lead Analyzer K-shell, for
instance, exhibited higher correlations with other K-shell
instruments than with its own L-shell, as did the MAP-3.  The XL
and Lead Analyzer L-shell exhibited weaker correlations than the
other two L-shell instruments, but both were more correlated with
L-shell than with K-shell instruments.

     The process that was used to derive the residuals eliminated
the contribution of the ICP-measured lead levels to the
correlations.  Instrumental variability, which by definition is
independent across different machines at a fixed level of lead,
was likewise not a contributing factor to the correlations.
Therefore,  the substantial correlations that these residuals
exhibited across instruments reflect the influence of non-
instrumental factors, related to the locations where instrument
readings were made,  that contributed to XRF performance.  These
non-instrumental factors affected the performance of the K-shell
and L-shell instruments in different ways.
                              6-288

-------
    1 -r
   0.8 --
   0.6 --
   0.4
   0.2 -
                             0.469
         0.371
             0.273    0.264
                          0.191
                                   0.436
                                0.203
                                          0.397
                                      0.311
                                                   -O.047
       X-MET880 XK-30)   XK-3(IT)  MAP-3(I) MAP-3(IT)   Lead  Microlead Microlead
                                        Analyzer  1(1)     I(IT)
   -0.2 -
Figure  6-64.    XL:    Correlation of  nonparametric  standardized
                 residuals with other instruments.   Substrate=WOOD
1 -
0.8 -
0.6 -
0.4 -
0.2 -
0 -
-0.2 -
0.371

0.008
XL XK-3(I)
0.758 °'7
ITT7T
:
0.087
„__. 0.046
i
i
0.116
78
"
m
: :
:
0.055J
93

BE K-Shell
SI L-Shell
0.081
XK-3(I1) MAP-3(I) MAP-3(IT) Lead Microlead Microlead
Analyzer I (I) I (II)
Figure 6-65.    X-MET   880:      Correlation   of   nonparametric
                 standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
                 Substrate=WOOD
                                6-289

-------
     1

    0.9

    0.8

    0.7

    0.6

    0.5

    0.4
   0.392
                       0.415
                           0.35
                                              0.328
                                                     0.187
         XL   X-METS80  XK-3 (II) MAP-3 (I) MAP-3 (II)   Lead   Microlead Microlead
                                        Analyzer   I (I)    I (II)
Figure 6-66.
XK-3    (I) :       Correlation    of   nonparametric
standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
Substrate=WOOD
         XL  X-MET880  XK-3(1)  MAP-3 (1) MAP-3 (II)  Lead   Microlead Microlead
                                        Analyzer   1 (I)    100
Figure 6-67.    XK-3    (II):       Correlation   of   nonparametric
                 standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
                 Substrate=WOOD
                                6-290

-------
            X-MET  XK-3(1) XK-3(1I) MAP-3 (1) MAP-3 (11) Lead Microlead Microlead
             880                        Analyzer  1(1)   1(11)
Figure 6-68.    MAP-3  (I)  K-shell:   Correlation of  nonparametric
                standardized residuals  with  other  instruments.
                Substrate=WOOD.
1 -
0.9 -
0.8 -
0.7
0.6 -
0.5 -

0.4 -
0.3 -

0.2 -
0.1 -



0.758


- 0.469
























0.772






0.223

0.102
0.022

1
1

H XL-Shell

°-425 M L-Shell



0.147
BO OS3
0.061
•
: i . i i
XL X-MET XK-3(I) XK-3(II) MAP-3 (1) MAP-3 (II) Lead Microlead Microlead
880
Analyzer 1 (1) 1 (11)
Figure 6-69.    MAP-3  (I)  L-shell:   Correlation  of  nonparametric
                standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
                Substrate=WOOD
                              6-291

-------
    1 --

   0.9 --

   0.8 --

   0.7

   0.6 -

   0.5 --

   0.4

   0.3 --

   02.--

   0.1 -

    0 --
                                               0.562
                              0.517
                  0.303   0.304
         0.203
                                         0.436
                                      0.315
                                10.167
               0.116
                                                     0.408
         XL   X-MtT  XK-3(I) XK-3{II) MAP-3 (I) MAP-3 (II) Lead  Microlead Microlead
              880                         Analyzer  1(1)    I (IT)
Figure 6-70.    MAP-3  (II)  K-shell:   Correlation of  nonparametric
                 standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
                 Substrate=WOOD.
1 -
0.9 -
0.8 -


0.7-
0.6
0.5 -
0.4 -

0.3 -
0.2
0.1 -




0.778 0.772




0.436






XL






] 1
1
i


j


0.144 0.15
m 0.077 |j|
m
I H!



05 K-Shell
°'426 H L-Shell

0.315
HHHfE
0.195
Iffif 0.145

|H HH 0.095

1 . . ml , 1
X-MET XK-3(1) XX-3(11) MAP-3 (I) MAP-3 (11) Lead Microlcad Microlcad
880 Analyzer 1(1) 1(1')
Figure 6-71.
                 MAP-3  (II)  L-shell:   Correlation of  nonparametric
                 standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
                 Substrate=WOOD
                                6-292

-------
         XL   X-MfcT  XK-3(I)  XK-3(II) MAP-3 (I) MAP-3 (II) Lead  Microlead Microlead
              880                          Analyzer  1(1)    I (IT)
Figure  6-72.    Lead   Analyzer    K-shell:       Correlation   of
                 nonparametric  standardized  residuals  with  other
                 instruments.   Substrate=WOOD.
     1 -r
    0.8 -r
    0.6
    0.4 --
    0.2 --
     0 --
    -0.2-1-
               0.493
         0.397
         XL   X-MET  XK-3(I) XK-3(II) MAP-3 (I) MAP-3 (II)  Lead  Microlead Microlead
               880                         Analyzer   1(1)   I (IT)
Figure 6-73.    Lead   Analyzer    L-shell:       Correlation   of
                 nonparametric  standardized  residuals  with  other
                 instruments.  Substrate=WOOD
                                 6-293

-------
         XL  X-MET880  XK-30)  XK-3(II) MAP-SO) MAP-3 (II)   Lead   Microlead
                                               Analyzer   I (11)
Figure 6-74.    Microlead  I  (I):    Correlation  of  nonparametric
                 standardized  residuals  with  other  instruments.
                 Substrate=WOOD.
     1 T
    0.8 -
    0.6 T
    0.4 --
    02 -
    -0.2 -
                                       0.408
                                 0.322
          -0.047,   -O.01
                    0.187
          ililiiiii
         XL   X-MET880 XK-3(I)   XK-3(U) MAP-3 (1) MAP-3 (11)   Lead   Microlcad
                                               Analyzer   1(1)
Figure 6-75.    Microlead  I  (II):   Correlation  of nonparametric
                 standardized residuals  with  other   instruments.
                 Substrate=WOOD.
                                6-294

-------
     Repeated readings at the same location with the same
instrument repeated the realization of location-specific factors
that  affected XRF performance.   Therefore,  averaging repeated
readings did not reduce the variability that these factors
imparted to XRF measurements.   The MAP-3 K-shell, for instance,
was clearly correlated with the other K-shell instruments, which
suggests that non-instrumental  factors contributed significantly
to the  variability of its readings on painted surfaces under
field conditions.   Although it  was established in section 6.4.5.2
that  its three successive readings were essentially uncorrelated,
using the average of three readings instead of the first could
not achieve a commensurate reduction in variability, as seen in
Table 6-141.

     6.4.5.4   Separating Instrumental and Non-instrumental
               Variability

     Separation of instrumental and non-instrumental components
of variability in XRF measurements illustrates the relative
contribution of each component  to total variability.  This was
done  explicitly with the full study data.  The triplicate
measurements taken at each sample location were used to estimate
the SD  due to instrumental factors, taking into account the
correlations presented in Table 6-148.  Estimation of the XRF-ICP
relationship was used to estimate the full SD due to both
instrumental and non-instrumental factors.   The SD due to non-
instrumental factors was estimated by taking the square root of
the full SD squared minus the instrumental SD squared.  In cases
where,  due to small sample variability, the estimated
instrumental SD exceeded the estimated full SD, the non-
instrumental SD estimate was set to zero.

     Figures 6-76 through 6-83  illustrate the effect of
separation with the four K-shell instruments, on metal and wood
substrates.  The solid line in each graph shows the full SD for a
single  reading, as a function of the ICP level  (mg/cm2) .   The
full  SD was estimated using monotone regression of the first XRF
reading against the ICP measurement.  The dashed line shows the
instrumental SD, which was estimated using monotone regression on
the variances calculated from the three readings at each sample
location, and then taking the square root.   Since the variances
based on three readings were underestimates of the true
variances, they were adjusted upward using the correlations in
Table 6-148.
                              6-295

-------
0 9
0 8

0.7
o °'6
•+-•
o
'I 0.5
T3
o 0.4
TJ
0
 0.3

0.2
0.1
C
Lead Analyzer, K-shell on metal, N = 188

/
/ '"*
/.-.-.- i i
// ' \^ / i
n \
/; \ /
//
ii / \
/' '' 'N
/

r — — —
/
/

.u t
!'!'•-: i
.! i i
li r-
1
* 1 1 1 t 1 1
) 1 23456:
ICP (MG/CM2)
Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD









7
Figure 6-76.
XRF variability:   instrumental  versus  non-instrumental components
Analyzer K-shell on metal.
Lead
                                          6-296

-------

3C
.D
3
C
O 0 (-
•^ 2.5
o
0)
Standard d
ui ro
1
i

0.5

C
MAP-3, K-shell on wood, N = 344

L 	
/' X
//
r- I
f 	 _J :
/: ,'

/


) 5 10 15 20 25 30 3
ICP (MG/CM2)
Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD












5
Figure 6-77
XRF variability:   instrumental versus  non-instrumental components.
Analyzer K-shell on wood.
Lead
                                           6-297

-------
1


0.8
c
0
Is 0-6
OJ
•o
T3
O
? 0.4
D
(/)

0.2
n
u
C
j
MAP-3, K-shell on metal, N = 188

/ 	
//' 'V
/ •'
/ 1
/.''"' \ '
II
It
1 i
1 i
1 1
1 '
;
1 1 -'
i /
:
1 r 	
	 1 •
r_T 	 .'
1. _ J
1 1 1 1 1 1
) 1 2 3 4 5 6 ~t
ICP (MG/CM2)
Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD









7
Figure 6-78.
XRF variability:  instrumental  versus non-instrumental components.
shell on metal.
MAP-3 K-
                                          6-298

-------
A
3c
.0
3
c
§ 2.5
o
>
^ 2
i_
D
o 1.5
GO
1
I

0.5
n
u
C
MAP-3, K-shell on wood, N = 344

/. 	 	
// 	 	 \
/' *
/' N
A '*
it
n
Ij I
•_T I :
r '
r 	

-II x
/'

-TL— '
1 1 1 1 1 1
) 5 10 15 20 25 30 3
ICP (MG/CM2)
Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD












5
Figure 6-79.
XRF variability:  instrumental versus  non-instrumental components.
shell on wood.
MAP-3 K-
                                           6-299

-------
          c
          O
          f

          0)
T>

O

C
O

CO
              0.6
              0.5
     0.4
              0.3
              0.2
              0.1
                0
                   i
                 0
                             ML I  Revision 4 on metal, N =  62
                             	1	1	
                     0.5
1
1.5
2.5
                                                ICP (MG/CM2)
                  Solid line = Full SD,  Dashed line = Instrumental SD,  Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD
Figure  6-80.
       XRF  variability:    instrumental  versus  non-instrumental components,
       Revision 4 on metal.
                                                  ML-1
                                                6-300

-------
o
f.






1.5


o
'>
\ '
o
C
0
O-J
(/I
n ^
Vy. J
A
U
C

ML 1 Revision 4 on wood, N = 297
i i i i i i









/
fj
/ 1
J........
I

i i i i i i
) 5 10 15 20 25 30 3
ICP (MG/CM2)
Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD


















5

Figure 6-81.
XRF   variability:
Microlead I on wood.
instrumental  versus   non-instrumental  components
                                           6-301

-------
          c
          ,0
          v^
          .2
          •2
          o
          T3
          c
          D
          •4->
          in
              3.5
              2.5
1.5
              0.5
                0
                 0
                                           XK-3 on metal, N =  187
             1
                                                ICP (MG/CM2)

                 Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed
                                                     Non-instrumental SD
Figure  6-82.
  XRF variability:

  metal.
instrumental versus non-instrumental components.   XK-3 on
                                                6-302

-------
1 fi


1.4

1 9

c
•- 1
•*-> '
O
0)
08
~o
0
c
o 0.6
CO
Oyl
.4
0.2
0
C
<
XK-3 on wood, N = 342
i i i i i i i i
/
/ .-'"
..'•'
' 	 ! /

1
_t 	 , 	 ;

i
i
I i
Hi"1
i
-TJ 	 •
) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 £
ICP (MG/CM2)
Solid line = Full SD, Dashed line = Instrumental SD, Dot-dashed = Non-instrumental SD
















)

Figure 6-83.
XRF variability:  instrumental versus non-instrumental components.
wood for ICP less than 10 mg/cm2.
XK-3 on
                                          6-303

-------
     The dot-dashed line shows the non-instrumental SD.  The non-
instrumental SD was estimated as zero over a narrow ICP range for
the Lead Analyzer (Figures 6-76 and 6-77)  where the estimated
instrumental SD exceeded the estimated full SD, as explained
above.

     The full SD estimates are not the same as those presented in
section 6.4.4, because they were not derived from the XRF
measurement model, which takes into account the combined effect
of spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements.
The relationship of XRF to ICP measurements, unlike the
relationship of XRF measurements to the true lead level, was
directly observable, and gave an approximate basis upon which the
change in response to the lead level of the different components
of variability could be expressed.

     Usually, the non-instrumental components of variability were
larger than the instrumental components, especially at higher
levels of lead.  These figures demonstrate that non-instrumental
sources of variability, which were not reduced by taking repeated
readings at the same place, dominated the XRF measurement error
process as the lead level in the paint increased.  Combined with
the high instrumental correlation between successive readings
observed for all instruments with the exception of the MAP-3,
repeated readings can be expected to result in only a modest
improvement in the precision of measurement.  As an example,
suppose that the instrumental and non-instrumental SDs are each
equal to 0.7 mg/cm2,  and that the average  correlation between
successive readings is 0.35.  This is a fairly typical case.
Then the full SD of a single reading is (0.72 + 0.72)0-5 = 0.99
mg/cm2.   The full SD of the average of three readings taken at a
single location is  [0.72 + 0.72- (1/3 + 0.35/3 + 0.35/3)]0-5 = 0.88
mg/cm2,  a reduction of only 11 percent.

     6.4.5.5   Conclusions

     Sections 6.4.5.2 through 6.4.5.4 illustrate in different,
but related ways, that using the average of three successive XRF
readings did not substantially reduce the variability compared to
using only the first reading.  This is the result seen from
fitting the XRF measurement model to the average, and comparing
SD estimates with those from fitting the model to the first
reading.  There are two distinct reasons for this:   (1)
successive readings were not independent,  except possibly for the
MAP-3 K-shell; (2) instrumental variability, which is the only
kind that can be reduced by taking repeated measurements, was not
the only kind that was exhibited.  Non-instrumental sources of

                              6-304

-------
variability, which were specific to the sample locations,  were
substantial and dominated instrumental variability as the level
of lead in paint increased.

     Most instruments exhibited little or no improvement using
the average of three readings.  Improvements, when realized, were
typically less than expected from three independent readings
taken under variable field conditions.  The ability of an XRF
instrument to correctly classify the lead level in paint with
respect to the 1.0 mg/cm2  federal  standard would therefore  not  be
expected to improve appreciably by taking the average of three
readings.

     6.4.6     Correction of XRF Measurements for Bias

     The analyses presented in section 6.4.4 demonstrate that
every XRF instrument, with the exception of the Lead Analyzer
K-shell, was prone to exhibit bias on at least some substrates,
or under certain conditions.   The L-shell instruments were
generally under-responsive to the level of lead in paint:   an
increase in the lead level by a certain amount led to a smaller
increase in the expected XRF reading.  This under-responsiveness
is reflected in model slope estimates that were less than 1.0,
leading to negative bias that became more prominent as the lead
level increased.  The K-shell instruments, by contrast, usually
had slope estimates near 1.0, and exhibited bias mainly as "add-
on" effects that are indicated by intercept estimates that
differed significantly from 0.0.  These effects varied markedly
between different machines of the same instrument type, between
substrates, and possibly between other factors such as operators,
substrate or paint composition.

     The use of XRF readings taken on NIST SRM films, with known
lead levels, was considered as a means for correcting bias in the
regular measurements.  Readings on NIST SRM films over control
blocks were made at the beginning and end of testing in each
unit, and whenever the substrate changed, at lead levels of 1.02
mg/cm2 (red)  and 3.53 mg/cm2  (yellow), and also on the bare
control block.  In the full study, paint was removed from the
substrate at sampled locations, and readings were made with the
red NIST SRM film placed over the bare substrate.

     Three strategies for bias correction using red NIST SRM
readings were considered.   Each used the average of three nominal
15-second readings on the red NIST SRM film as a single
measurement:
                              6-305

-------
(1)   Control correction used the red NIST SRM measurements for
     beginning, continuing, and end of day control blocks to
     calculate a correction factor specific to the unit and the
     substrate.  The average of these measurements minus 1.02
     mg/cm2 was used to correct the regular XRF measurements  made
     in the same unit on the same substrate.  For example, if the
     average of the red NIST SRM measurements on metal control
     blocks in a particular unit was 1.54 mg/cm2,  the  correction
     factor was 1.54 - 1.02 = 0.52 mg/cm2.   A regular  XRF reading
     of 4.77 mg/cm2 on metal substrate in the same unit would be
     corrected to read 4.77 - 0.52 = 4.25 mg/cm2.

(2)   Full correction used the red NIST SRM measurements at each
     bared sampled location to correct the regular XRF readings
     individually.  Unlike control correction, full correction
     had the potential to reflect site-specific attributes.  It
     was, however, a destructive and labor-intensive procedure,
     and is considered here for the sake of comparison.  Full
     correction is not a practical field procedure.

(3)   Red NIST SRM average correction was a compromise between
     control block and full correction.  The red NIST SRM
     measurements at each bared sample locations were averaged by
     unit and substrate to calculate the correction factors.

     As described, red NIST SRM average correction requires the
same physical effort as full correction, and is therefore not
practical for field use.  It was considered because of its
similarity to a more practical method that has been proposed,
which consists of randomly selecting at most three locations per
unit for a given substrate, removing the paint,  and making red
NIST SRM readings over the bare substrate.  There is no
appreciable difference between the two methods in their ability
to reduce bias, the distinction being that the red NIST SRM
average correction factor is based on a potentially larger
sample, and should therefore contribute less variability to the
corrected XRF measurements than the randomized procedure.

     Tables 6-149 through 6-156 show the effects of bias
correction, by machine and substrate, for the eight types of XRF
instruments considered in the full study.  It is immediately
apparent that none of the three correction methods were effective
on the L-shell readings.  This is not surprising, because the
corrections are additive in nature, while the bias of the L-shell
instruments consisted primarily in deficient responsiveness to
the  lead level.  Only the K-shell instruments stood to benefit
from the three techniques that were considered.

                              6-306

-------
Table 6-149.
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on Lead Analyzer,  K-shell.
b(0) = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  b(l)  = bias  at  1.0  mg/cm2.
Model Estimates of Bias:
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
XRF
CODE
NUMBER
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm2)
NONE
b(0)
0.080
0.010
0.066
-0.018
0.075
0.096
0.022
0.060
0.013
b(l)
-0.219
-0.016
-0.069
0.178
0.037
-0.152
-0.116
-0.101
0.282
CONTROL
b(0)
-0.100
-0.054
-0.039
-0.095
-0.018
-0.019
-0.060
-0.128
-0.049
b(l)
-0.416
-0.032
-0.121
0.015
0.022
-0.194
-0.133
-0.243
0.229
FULL
b(0)
0.003
-0.017
0.017
-0.106
-0.023
0.104
-0.041
0 . 020
-0.057
b(l)
-0.325
-0.018
-0.138
0.143
-0.001
-0.136
-0.009
-0.118
0.120
RED NIST AVERAGE
b(0)
-0.004
-0.026
0.020
-0.129
-0.076
0.085
-0.046
0.005
-0.090
b(l)
-0.312
-0.040
-0.123
0.188
-0.005
-0.121
-0.059
-0.097
0.141
                                                   6-307

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Table 6-150.
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on Lead Analyzer, L-shell.  Model Estimates of Bias:
b(0) = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  b(l)  = bias  at  1.0  mg/cm2.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
XRF
CODE
NUMBER
1
1
2
1
1
2
I
2
1
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm3}
NONE
b(0)
0.035
0.008
0.016
-0.006
0.013
0.019
0.000
0.017
-0.019
b(l)
-0.928
-0.818
-0.935
-0.704
-0.724
-0.878
-0.756
-0.918
-0.730
CONTROL
b(0)
-0.003
-0.020
0.011
-0.047
-0.031
-0.024
-0.039
0.007
-0.062
b(l)
-0.963
-0.921
-0.978
-0.659
-0.826
-0.867
-0.872
-0.907
-0.789
FULL
b(0)
0.043
0.042
0.063
-0.023
0.050
0.157
0.027
0.058
-0.020
b(l)
-0.920
-0.893
-0.909
-0.595
-0.825
-0.907
-0.826
-0.856
-0.776
RED NIST AVERAGE
b(0)
0.043
0.044
0.061
-0.022
0.050
0.101
0.034
0.061
-0.017
b(l)
-0.919
-0.898
-0.906
-0.611
-0.826
-0.797
-0.846
-0.863
-0.767
                                                   6-308

-------
Table 6-151.
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on MAP-3, K-shell.
b(0) = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  b(l)  = bias at l.O mg/cm2.
Model Estimates of Bias:
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NUMBER
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
12
10
11
12
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm2)
NONE
b(0)
-0.554
-0.616
-0.590
-0.722
-0.766
-0.058
0.112
0.311
0.381
0.292
-0.602
-0.550
-0.975
-0.044
-0.039
-0.246
b(l)
-0.733
-0.847
-0.325
-0.616
-0.513
0.209
-0.500
0.455
0.666
0.316
-0.438
-0.509
-0.709
0.383
0.217
0.546
CONTROL
b(0)
-0.515
-0.396
-0.540
-0.359
-0.378
-0.112
0.036
0.171
0.114
0.178
-0.291
-0.059
-0.413
0.048
0.102
-0.177
b(l)
-0.698
-0.631
-0.241
-0.277
-0.015
0.039
-0.563
0.319
0.423
0.223
-0.169
0.008
-0.119
0.445
0.347
0.653
FULL
b(0)
-0.775
-0.879
-0.641
-0.786
-0.562
-0.219
-0.150
0.022
0.058
0.074
-0.617
-0.602
-0.731
-0.134
-0.252
-0.324
b(l)
-0.997
-1.131
-0.463
-0.863
-0.229
0.258
-0.374
0.094
0.147
-0.005
-0.394
-0.498
-0.452
0.066
-0.098
0.123
RED NIST AVERAGE
b(0)
-0.787
-0.887
-0.671
-0.854
-0.549
-0.254
-0.169
-0.058
-0.037
-0.023
-0.597
-0.593
-0.712
-0.255
-0.338
-0.610
b(l)
-1.002
-1.143
-0.442
-0.834
-0.247
0.215
-0.416
0.095
0.271
0.002
-0.457
-0.532
-0.478
0.087
-0.101
0.168
                                                   6-309

-------
Table 6-152,
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on MAP-3,  L-shell.
b(0) = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  b(l)  =  bias  at  1.0 mg/cm2.
Model Estimates of Bias:
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NUMBER
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
10
11
12
10
11
12
10
11
12
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm2)
NONE
b(0)
0.034
0.025
-0.117
-0.130
-0.195
-0.123
-0.097
0.054
0.252
-0.109
-0.112
-0.112
-0.180
-0.084
-0.074
-0.051
b(l)
-0.864
-0.863
-0.892
-0.812
-1.057
-0.615
-0.656
-0.662
-0.290
-0.868
-0.911
-0.842
-1.010
-0.630
-0.607
-0.886
CONTROL
b(0)
-0.158
-0.157
-0.334
-0.318
-0.333
-0.284
-0.275
0.015
0.178
-0.115
-0.313
-0.273
-0.305
-0.176
-0.211
-0.143
b(l)
-1.052
-1.046
-1.095
-1.021
-1.209
-0.786
-0.789
-0.702
-0.361
-0.878
-1.093
-1.063
-1.156
-0.733
-0.751
-0.971
FULL
b(0)
-0.227
-0.189
-0.339
-0.255
-0.331
-0.313
-0.277
-0.090
0.063
-0.156
-0.333
-0.261
-0.327
-0.275
-0.262
-0.190
b(l)
-1.131
-1.084
-1.127
-1.074
-1.188
-0.711
-0.799
-0.791
-0.632
-0.868
-1.174
-0.956
-1.155
-0.864
-0.830
-1.037
RED NIST AVERAGE
b(0)
-0.228
-0.191
-0.344
-0.294
-0.328
-0.310
-0.289
-0.099
0.006
-0.126
-0.328
-0.257
-0.331
-0.294
-0.274
-0.211
b(l)
-1.131
-1.083
-1.125
-0.971
-1.187
-0.724
-0.729
-0.790
-0.565
-0.891
-1.186
-0.980
-1.150
-0.853
-0.819
-1.033
                                                   6-310

-------
Table 6-153,
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on the Microlead I.
b(0) = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  b(l)  = bias  at  1.0 mg/cm2.
                                                                         Model Estimates of Bias:
SUBSTRATE
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF CODE
NUMBER
20 (Den)
20 (Phi)
21
22
23
20
21
22
20
21
22
23
20
21
22
23
20
21
22
23
CORRECTION METHOD (results in ing /cm2)
NONE
b(0)
-0.030
0.589
0.670
0.892
0.110
0.004
0.202
0.658
0.351
-0.381
1.080
-0.415
-0.043
-0.035
-0.081
0.217
0.001
0.505
0.601
0.329
b(l)
-0.008
0.457
0.595
1.230
0.152
0.183
0.162
1.787
0.451
-0.174
1.361
-0.174
-0. 098
0.177
-0.316
0.010
0.425
0.896
0.740
0.743
CONTROL
b{0)
-0.649
-0.426
0.231
-0.653
-0.369
0.384
0.084
0.464
-1.946
0.399
0.748
0.043
-0.513
0.001
-1.263
-0.175
-0.490
0.598
-0.033
0.106
b{l)
-0.671
-0.520
0.198
-0.457
-0.350
0.450
-0.161
1.562
-2.307
0.664
1.038
0.256
-0.625
0.092
-1.073
-0.393
-0.424
0.968
0.115
0.830
FULL
b(0)
0.248
0.253
-0.237
0.067
-0.036
-0.061
0.035
-0.229
0.084
-0.020
-0.242
-0.225
0.110
0.046
-0.173
0.012
-0.028
0.015
-0.104
-0.047
b(l)
0.085
0.068
-0.366
0.301
0.162
-0.194
0.189
-0.386
0.057
-0.299
-0.178
0.037
0.121
0.040
0.199
-0.097
0.071
0.067
-0.062
0.115
RED NIST AVERAGE
b(0)
0.174
0.228
-0.267
-0.009
0.014
-0.145
0.053
-0.330
-0.133
-0.238
-0.283
-0.266
0.120
0.017
-0.250
0.036
-0.172
-0.108
-0.159
-0.448
b(l)
0.101
0.107
-0.388
0.438
0.061
0.083
0.102
-0.321
0.040
-0.119
-0.095
-0.024
0.050
0.051
-0.325
-0.135
0.087
0.072
-0.063
0.167
                                                   6-311

-------
Table 6-154.
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on the X-MET 880.  Model Estimates of Bias;
b(0) = bias at 0.0 trig/cm2,  b(l)  = bias  at 1.0 mg/cm2.
SUBSTRATE
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
XRF
CODE
NUMBER
50
50
50
50
50
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm2)
NONE
b(0)
0.045
0.038
0.112
0 .048
0.042
b(l)
-0.890
-0.739
-0.769
-0. 880
-0.699
CONTROL
b(0)
0.002
-0.007
0.066
0.119
-0.031
b(l)
-0.909
-0.894
-0.799
-0.838
-0.826
FULL
b(0)
0.002
-0.034
0.036
0.004
-0.031
b(l)
-0.883
-0.851
-0.815
-0.809
-0.772
RED NZST
b(0)
0.001
-0.024
0.004
0.014
-0.031
AVERAGE
b(l)
-0.909
-0.918
-0.867
-0.885
-0.821
                                                    6-312

-------
Table 6-155,
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on the XK-3.  Model Estimates of Bias:
b(0) = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2,  b(l)  = bias  at 1.0 mg/cm2.
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF CODE
NUMBER
30
31
30
31
32
30
31
30
31 (Den)
32
30
31
32
30
31
32
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm3)
NONE
b(0)
1.001
0.472
1.083
0.660
1.837
-0.327
0.245
0.451
1.090
1.480
0.538
0.382
1.675
-0.065
0.339
0.933
b(l)
1.329
0.653
1.751
0.230
2.569
-0.093
0.184
0.856
1.611
1.685
0.571
0.217
1.627
0.352
0.765
1.227
CONTROL
b(0)
0.100
-0.269
0.559
0.049
0.150
-0.392
-0.285
-0.617
-0.467
-0.043
-0.210
-0.095
0.355
-0.476
-0.276
0.285
b(l)
0.097
-0.031
0.725
-0.628
0.680
-0.097
-0.589
-0.047
0.081
0.073
-0.128
-0.249
0.162
0.044
0.153
0.565
FULL
b(0)
0.110
-0.057
0.382
0.122
0.255
-0.243
-0.083
-0.029
-0.138
-0.055
0.030
-0.080
0.454
-0.136
-0.093
0.287
b(l)
0.320
-0.307
0.076
-0.652
0.453
-0.209
-0.219
0.186
0.166
0.015
-0.073
-0.172
0.260
0.095
0.227
0.438
RED NIST AVERAGE
b(0)
0.167
-0.100
0.286
0.100
0.159
-0.259
-0.124
-0.193
-0.226
-0.120
0.012
-0.068
0.434
-0.250
-0.120
0.195
b{l)
0.074
-0.101
0.262
-0.644
0.691
-0.069
-0.024
0.247
0.297
0.041
-0.074
-0.222
0.286
0.146
0.273
0.430
                                                   6-313

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Table 6-156.
Effect of Bias Correction Methods on the XL.   Model  Estimates  of Bias:
b(0)  = bias at 0.0 mg/cm2; nonparametric  estimates of b(l) = bias at 1.0 mg/cm
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Metal
Metal
Plaster
Plaster
Wood
Wood
Wood
XRF
CODE
NUMBER
41
41
42
41
40
41
42
40
42
40
41
42
CORRECTION METHOD (results in mg/cm2)
NONE
b(0)
0,038
0.039
0. 054
0.014
0.163
0.031
0.054
0.097
0. 048
0.080b
0.022"
0 , 092
b(l)'
-0.337
-0.378
-0.191
-0.564
-0.480
-0.623
0.517
-0.481
-0.255
-0.044
-0.363
-0.483
CONTROL
b{0)
0.107
0.042
-0.062
0.032
0.112
0.052
-0.043
0.021
-0.087
0.056b
0.058b
0.006
b(D*
-0.276
-0.384
-0.259
-0.657
-0.494
-0.599
0.451
-0.614
-0.408
-0.042
-0.330
-0.563
FULL
b(0)
0.119
0.112
-0.033
0.160
0.186
0.060
-0.005
0.166
-0.049
0.073"
0.218"
0.032
b(l)'
-0.284
-0.349
-0.280
-0.357
-0.522
-0.527
0.453
-0.447
-0.337
0.001
-0.276
-0.577
RED NIST
b(0)
0.104
0.105
-0.023
0.163
0.188
0.057
-0.019
0.160
-0.051
0.078"
0.187"
0.013
AVERAOE
b(l)'
-0.275
-0.379
-0.292
-0.378
-0.516
-0.562
0.461
-0.405
-0.354
-0.011
-0.283
-0.560
• Nonparametric estimates reported, except for drywall, for which model estimates are reported
b Estimates based on sample averages for ICP measurements less than 0.1 mg/cm2
                                                   6-314

-------
     The Lead Analyzer K-shell (Table 6-149) exhibited little
bias without correction, and was neither helped nor harmed
appreciably with correction.  The MAP-3 K-shell (Table 6-151)
exhibited large negative bias on brick, concrete and plaster, and
large positive bias on metal and wood, at a lead level of 1.0
mg/cm2.   Control  correction was most  effective  on  plaster,  mildly
beneficial on concrete and metal, and not effective on the other
three substrates.  Full correction was beneficial on metal and
wood, especially at a lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2.  Red NIST SRM
average correction mirrored the performance of full correction.

     The Microlead I (Table 6-153) exhibited bias on all
substrates  (with the possible exception of plaster), that varied
by machine.  The bias was usually positive at a lead level of 1.0
mg/cm2.   Control  correction did not  reduce the  estimated bias,
but both full and red NIST SRM .average corrections did reduce the
bias across both machines and substrates.  A reduction of
positive bias should help to decrease the frequency of
misclassifying paint as over a 1.0 mg/cm2 threshold when the true
paint level is less than that amount.

     The XK-3 (Table 6-155) exhibited high, positive bias that
varied more between machines than between substrates.  Control
correction was generally effective in reducing the bias,
sometimes substantially.  The reduction of high, positive bias
should help to reduce the misclassification of paint with low
lead levels.  Both full and red NIST SRM average correction
reduced the estimated bias to a similar extent.

     Control correction appeared to benefit the XK-3, and the
MAP-3 K-shell on painted metal and plaster surfaces.  Full and
red NIST SRM average correction performed similarly for the MAP-3
K-shell, Microlead I and XK-3, and appeared to benefit the
Microlead I, XK-3, and, on metal and wood, the MAP-3 K-shell.

     One aspect of the comparison that was omitted from the
analysis is the effect that bias correction had on the
variability of XRF measurements.  The quantities used in control
block and red NIST SRM average correction were sample averages
that introduced both additional variability and dependence across
readings on the same substrate-unit pair.  Accounting for these
factors in deriving valid estimates of variability was made
difficult by the substitution of ICP measurements for true lead
levels.  Ignoring the combined effect of spatial variation and
laboratory error in ICP measurements, experience with generalized
least squares regression showed that the standard deviations of
the corrected XRF readings were sometimes substantially larger

                              6-315

-------
than those of the uncorrected readings.   Cases where bias
correction appeared to have minimal effect were possibly worsened
by the increase in variability.   Although this issue was not
fully explored, it should be considered if the use of a bias
correction methodology is contemplated.

     6.4.7     XRF Measurement Accuracy;  Conclusions

     The analyses presented in section 6.4 were aimed at
addressing the following two study objectives:

•    To characterize the performance (precision and accuracy) of
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions;

•    To evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from the material or substrate underlying the paint.

The six XRF instruments evaluated in the full study on two
different shells  (K and L) gave eight instrument-she11 groupings.
In section 6.4.4, the accuracy of XRF readings for each of the
eight groupings was considered separately, by substrate.  Data
from the full study established that the K-shell and L-shell
instruments shared important similarities within, but not between
these classes.

     The K-shell instruments were distinguished from the L-shell
instruments primarily by their responsiveness to the lead level
in paint under field conditions.  Responsiveness refers to the
property that changes in the lead level are reflected in changes
of similar magnitude in XRF readings.  Even K-shell instruments
that exhibited substantial bias did not exhibit much change in
the bias as the lead level changed.  The L-shell instruments, by
contrast, were under-responsive to the lead level, although
certain qualifications apply to the XL,  which are summarized
below.  This ensured that, typically, the L-shell instruments
became progressively more biased as the lead level increased.
Control block readings for L-shell instruments did not, however,
exhibit under-responsive behavior, and created a very different
impression of the accuracy of these instruments than what was
realized under field conditions.

     A factor that was not considered in the analyses is the mass
of the paint samples,  which affected the performance of the
L-shell instruments to a significant degree.  The reason for not
including paint mass in the analyses is explained in section
6.4.8.1.1.   The L-shell instruments were less responsive to
changes in the lead level on heavier than on lighter samples, an

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effect that was not seen with the K-shell instruments.   This
factor may explain some of the discrepancy between the
performance of the L-shell instruments on the field samples and
on the control blocks,  and it may also explain the emergence of
certain other factors (e.g.  city)  that were confounded  with paint
mass to various degrees.

     The following is a brief description of each of the
instrument-shell groupings:

(1)   Lead Analyzer K-shell:   This performance of the K-shell of
     this instrument had a number of important distinguishing
     features.  It exhibited the least bias across a wide range
     of lead levels over all of the instruments, K-shell and
     L-shell.   The magnitude of the bias was typically  less than
     0 .1 mg/cm2  at  the  0 . 0 mg/cm2 lead level.  At 1. 0 mg/cm2 the
     bias was a little larger, but usually less than 0.3 mg/cm2.
     The variability of its readings,  as measured by the standard
     deviation (SD),  was the lowest among all K-shell
     instruments.   Estimates of the SD were typically in the 0.1
     to 0.2 mg/cm2  range  at  0.0  mg/cm2, and  0.2 to  0.4 mg/cm2 at
     the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead level.  The performance of this
     instrument was also the most stable across substrates of all
     K-shell instruments.

     Only two Lead Analyzer machines were used by the same
     operator, which made it difficult to assess the stability of
     its performance with respect to machine differences.  There
     was, however,  no evidence that the machines performed
     differently,  or that a pronounced difference existed between
     their use in Denver and Philadelphia.

(2)   Lead Analyzer L-shell;   The performance of the L-shell of
     this instrument was typical of the L-shell instruments
     evaluated in the study.  It was minimally biased and
     exhibited low variability when lead was absent, but it was
     under-responsive to the lead level as the amount of lead
     increased.   At the 1.0 mg/cm2  lead  level,  bias on  the order
     of -0.7 mg/cm2 to  -0.9  mg/cm2 was exhibited with this
     instrument on all substrates.   Control block readings,
     however,  only became noticeably biased at 3.53 mg/cm2.   Both
     the control block and field sample data indicated a
     flattening of the response at lead levels not much greater
     than 1.0 mg/cm2, with  increases  in  the lead level  beyond
     that point reflected in minimal or even no change  in the XRF
     readings, on average.   Readings less than 1.0 mg/cm2 were
     obtained on field samples with ICP measurements greater than

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     10.0 mg/cm2 on all substrates for which such samples were
     represented in the full study.

     The Lead Analyzer L-shell was moderately  more  responsive to
     the lead level in Denver than in Philadelphia,  and the bias
     estimates at 1.0 mg/cm2 obtained for Denver readings were
     consequently lower.   Building or substrate characteristics
     that distinguish these two cities may have played a role,
     and may also shed light on the  disparity  in performance of
     this instrument on the field samples  and  on the control
     blocks.

(3)   MAP-3 K-shell:  The K-shell of  this instrument exhibited
     prominent negative bias, both on the  field samples and on
     the control blocks,  on brick, concrete and plaster
     substrates.   On these substrates the  bias was  estimated at
     about -0.5 from the field sample data,  with somewhat higher
     or low bias estimates attributed to specific machines or
     operators.  On metal, the bias  was positive and increased
     with the lead level.  At a lead level of  1.0 mg/cm2, the
     bias on metal and wood was about 0.4,  which again does not
     account for machine or operator differences.   The control
     block data gave estimates of the bias that were negative and
     larger in magnitude than those  obtained from the field
     sample data on brick, concrete,  and plaster.   On metal the
     control block data,  like the field sample data,  indicated
     positive bias.  The MAP-3 K-shell had SD  estimates in the
     0.4 to 0.8 range at 0.0 mg/cm2,  and 10 to  20 percent larger
     at a lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2.

     Three different MAP-3 machines  were used  in the study, each
     by a different operator.  It was therefore not possible to
     separate machine from operator  effects.   On several
     substrates differences between  the performance of the
     machines or operators were discerned,  which could possibly
     be attributable as well to effects associated  with non-lead
     factors in the paint samples.   The control block data did
     not exhibit large differences between the machines.  The
     benefit of correcting MAP-3 K-shell readings with the
     control block data was seen on  concrete,  metal and plaster,
     but not on the other substrates.   Red NIST SRM average
     correction was effective on metal and wood.

(4)   MAP-3 L-shell:   The performance of the L-shell of the MAP-3
     resembled that of the other L-shell instruments.  It was
     minimally biased in the absence of lead,  although it was
     somewhat more variable than the other L-shell  instruments,

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    with SD estimates in the range 0.1 to 0.4.  At increasing
    levels of lead the instrument was under-responsive, to the
    effect that the bias became negative and progressively
    larger in magnitude.  At a lead level of 1.0 mg/cm2 the bias
    was about -0.6 in Denver, and -0.8 to -1.0 in Philadelphia.
    Variability of the measurements also increased slightly as
    the lead level increased.

    The MAP-3 L-shell failed almost completely to indicate the
    presence of high levels of lead.  This was true especially
    of plaster substrates, on which highly leaded paint was
    found in an old house in Denver.  None of the L-shell
    instruments were able to accurately measure the lead levels
    in the samples taken.  A more general city effect was also
    seen, with the instrument exhibiting greater responsiveness
    to lead in Denver than in Philadelphia across a number of
    substrates, the problem with plaster notwithstanding.

(5)  Microlead I revision 4:  The Microlead I exhibited prominent
    bias that was usually positive.  The Microlead I, like all
    of the K-shell instruments, was responsive to lead,
    suggesting that the bias remained relatively constant over a
    wide range of lead levels. The Microlead I had SD estimates
    in the 0.4 to 0.8 range at 0.0 mg/cm2 of lead that increased
    slightly as the lead level increased.

    Five different Microlead I machines were used by four
    different operators, with some crossing between machines and
    operators. These factors, together with substrate and city,
    substantially affected the bias exhibited by the Microlead I
    on the field samples, to the extent that broad
    generalizations about bias having practical value are
    difficult to make.  Both field sample and control block data
    exhibited bias, but there was little congruity between the
    two measurement situations in this respect.  Consistent
    differences between machines and/or operators were detected
    across substrates on the field samples.  Differences between
    machines were also evident in the control block data, but
    the pattern did not match that seen in the field sample
    data.  Consequently, there was no indication that the
    control block data could be effectively used to reduce bias.
    Full and red NIST SRM average corrections did, however,
    appear to be effective across machines and substrates with
    this instrument.

(6)  X-MET 880:  The performance of this L-shell instrument was
    similar to that of other L-shell instruments in the full

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    study.  Its most important attribute was its under-
    responsiveness to lead on the field samples, which ensured
    that readings of the X-MET 880 were more biased at higher
    lead levels.  A significant difference was evident in the
    responsiveness of the instrument between Denver and
    Philadelphia.  Although the X-MET 880 was more responsive in
    Denver, the bias remained large, at nearly -0.5 when the
    true lead level was 1.0 mg/cm2.   The Louisville pilot study
    evaluated the X-MET 880 with a different radioactive source,
    and found the instrument to be much more responsive than in
    the full study.  On metal, the bias estimated from the
    Louisville data was on the order of -0.2 at 1.0 mg/cm2,
    which was unusually small for the L-shell instruments that
    were evaluated in the study.  The X-MET 880 exhibited
    minimal bias on the control blocks, as did the other L-shell
    instruments.

    Only one X-MET 880 machine was used in the full study, by
    two different operators.  Both operator and city effects
    were evident in the full study field sample data.  These
    effects were exhibited in the responsiveness of the machine
    to the lead present in paint.

(7)  XK-3:  This K-shell instrument exhibited substantial
    positive bias on both the field samples and the control
    blocks, and the bias increased moderately with the lead
    level in both measurement situations.  The bias varied
    markedly between both substrates and machines.  On brick,
    concrete, metal, and plaster the XK-3 was prone to exhibit
    bias as large as 1.0 or more.  Bias was exhibited to a
    lesser extent on drywall and wood.  Unlike the other bias-
    prone K-shell instruments, the XK-3 showed congruity in
    performance between the control blocks and field samples, to
    the extent that using the control blocks to correct for bias
    had demonstrable merit.  Full and red NIST SRM average
    correction also were effective in reducing bias, with
    performance that was similar to control correction.  The
    XK-3 had SD estimates in the 0.4 to 0.8 range at 0.0 mg/cm2,
    that increased moderately as the lead level increased.

    Three XK-3 machines were used by three different operators
    in the full study, with limited crossing of machines and
    operators.  Prominent effects due to machines or operators
    emerged, which were consistent across substrates.  The
    control block data reflected similar patterns when
    summarized by machines within substrates.
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(8)  XL:  This L-shell  instrument  was  different from the  other
    L-shell instruments  in several  important  respects.   The  XL
    truncated its  readings at  0.0 and at  5.0,  and many readings
    of 0.0 were obtained at low lead  levels as a result.   The XL
    was more responsive  than other  L-shell  instruments at  lead
    levels near 1.0  mg/cm2.  Like all L-shell  instruments that
    were evaluated,  however, the  XL was capable of giving  very
    low readings at  high lead  levels,  in  which respect the
    instrument failed  to match the  performance of the K-shell
    instruments that were evaluated.

    Three XL machines  were used by  two operators, with limited
    crossing between machines  and operators.   Machine or
    possibly operator  effects  emerged from  the field sample
    data, and were exhibited in the control block data as  well.

    Although the performance of the Lead  Analyzer K-shell
clearly distinguished itself, the  use  of  its two machines by  the
same operator may have  given it an advantage with respect to  the
other K-shell machines, where operator effects (or machine
effects that are truly operator effects)  were  exhibited.   It  is
still noteworthy that the low-bias,  low-SD performance of the
Lead Analyzer was consistent across  substrates, and between
machines.

    The other K-shell  instruments exhibited prominent bias.   The
consequences of bias  for  classifying painted locations as above
or below 1.0 mg/cm2 are different  depending on whether the  bias
is positive or negative.   In the full  study,  the distribution of
lead levels, as indicated by ICP measurements, was heavily  skewed
toward the lower end, with lead levels at  most locations  below
1.0 mg/cm2.  Levels above 1.0 mg/cm2 were highly dispersed.   A
negative XRF bias on  the  order  exhibited by  the MAP-3 does  not
affect the correct  classification  of locations with low  lead
levels, and with a  high dispersion in  lead levels above  1.0
mg/cm2, only marginally diminishes the correct classification
rate of those above.   From a classification  point of view,  only
lead levels slightly  higher than 1.0 mg/cm2 are adversely
affected by small  to  moderate negative bias.   Positive bias of
the kind exhibited  by the Microlead I  and XK-3, on the other
hand, has  generally worse implications for similar reasons.

    The L-shell  instruments were  negatively biased to a
substantial degree, with the possible  exception of the XL,  and
the X-MET  880 under certain conditions.  Even at high lead
levels,  the L-shell instruments in the full  study often failed to
give readings greater than 1.0  mg/cm2.

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     6.4.8     Details and Statistical Methodology

     The purpose of this section is to provide details on the
data used in describing XRF instrument performance,  and the
development of the XRF measurement model,  which made provision
for the combined effect of spatial variation and laboratory error
in ICP measurements on the assessment of XRF instrument
performance.

     6.4.8.1   Non-Lead Factors that Affect XRF Performance

     The readings obtained from an XRF instrument may depend on
factors in addition to the level of lead present at the sample
locations.  These non-lead factors include

  •  the substrate underlying the painted surface;
  •  pipes, ducts, wires, screening, and other materials
     underlying the substrate;
  •  the operator of the instrument;
  •  the machine  (usually distinguished by serial number);
  •  battery, source age, and source type;
  •  location or temporal effects that vary in an aggregate way,
     and are associated with a unit or a city.

     Describing how these non-lead factors affected XRF
performance in the full study is important for understanding how
an XRF instrument can be expected to perform in practice.

     Because the study was not a factorial experiment with
respect to these and perhaps other factors that affect XRF
performance, it was not usually possible to discretely separate
each effect from the others.   Moreover, they were confounded to
varying degrees with the lead levels at the sampled locations.
For example, two machines would be difficult to compare if one
were applied mainly to painted surfaces having low lead levels,
and the other to painted surfaces having high lead levels.

     In spite of this, an attempt to control for factors that
affect XRF performance was made.  Analyses are presented
separately by substrate for each instrument.  Within each
substrate analyses are presented by machine, and at finer levels
of detail  (operator within machine, city within operator within
machine, etc.) where possible.

     City effects, when recognized, refer to factors associated
with the units that were sampled in the three cities.  Age and
the mass of paint samples are examples of factors that may have

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affected XRF  instrument  performance,  and that were known to vary
across  field  samples  grouped by city.   There were usually too few
data to meaningfully  ascribe effects  at this low level of detail
absent  the confounding effects of other factors.  City effects
may comprise  a  range  of  circumstances that are normally
encountered in  practical testing, in  which case combining data
across  cities would give a useful indication of instrument
performance under varying conditions.

    The opportunity  for detailed analysis varied by the
instrument.   For example,  the X-MET 880 readings were all made on
the same machine, making inter-machine comparisons impossible.
While the MAP-3 readings were made on three different machines, a
different operator  was used for each,  making it impossible to
tell if observed differences were due to the operator, the
machine, or both.   On some instruments a limited crossing of
operators with  machines  produced too  few data to draw useful
inferences.   The Microlead I readings, by contrast, gave insight
into operator within  machine, machine within operator, and city
within  operator within machine effects on several substrates.

    Pooling  data across factors is desirable for reaching
general conclusions about the performance of an instrument on a
substrate type, to  account for varying practical conditions, and
to give sample  size strength to estimates.  Where pronounced
effects due to  operator  or machine were indicated, however, the
wisdom  of such  pooling is questionable, since the pooled results
may not reflect the performance of any one machine, operated by
any one person. Pooled  estimates are reported, except where
doing so clearly would have failed to reflect how the instrument
performed in  practice.

     6.4.8.1.1.    Paint Mass as an Explanatory Factor

     It was found  that the masses of paint samples affected the
performance of  all  L-shell instruments evaluated in the study.
On heavier paint samples, the L-shell instruments were
significantly less  responsive to the lead level than on lighter
samples.  When  paint  mass was included as an additional
explanatory variable  in  models fit to wood substrate data,
however, the  L-shell  instruments were still found to remain
highly  under-responsive  to lead.  By contrast, paint mass did not
affect  the performance of the K-shell instruments to an
appreciable degree.

     Paint mass, which was considered as a surrogate for
thickness, was  confounded with other factors, such as the city

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from which field samples were obtained.   On wood substrates,  for
example,  the Philadelphia samples had a  significantly higher
average paint mass than the Denver samples.  This fact reinforces
the need for caution when attempting to  ascribe apparent
differences to factors that were not controlled in the full
study.

     An objective underlying the analyses presented in this
chapter was to explain how XRF instruments performed at fixed
lead levels, under practical conditions.   Lead level was
distinguished from other factors, such as paint mass,  machine and
operator, by its designation as the explanatory (or independent)
variable in the analyses.  The other factors were regarded as
covariates, representing conditions under which the relationship
of XRF readings to the lead level may vary.

     The inclusion of covariates in the  analyses has the effect
of reducing the apparent variability of  XRF readings.   Whether
this reduction in variability is appropriate in describing the
performance of an XRF instrument depends on the appropriateness
of regarding the covariates as "fixed" under practical
conditions.  Machines and operators were treated as covariates
where it was possible to do so, because  the additional
variability in XRF measurements arising from the use of different
machines or operators in the study would not be realized in
situations where one operator used one machine.  Paint mass,  like
the level of paint itself, is not a controllable factor in
nondestructive testing.  Thus, the variability that paint mass
imparted to XRF measurements in the study was considered an
aspect of the performance of an XRF instrument.

     6.4.8.2   Statistical Description of XRF Performance

     This section, which contains 8 parts, describes the
methodology and reasoning used to derive the XRF measurement
model, which takes into account the fact that the lead levels
were only approximately known in the form of laboratory ICP
measurements.  At the beginning of section 6.4, it was explained
that ICP measurements were imperfect substitutes for the true
lead levels, because of spatial variation, and laboratory error.
A sharply defined relationship between a set of XRF readings and
true lead levels may appear less so when the true lead levels are
replaced by estimates.  An objective in describing the
performance of an XRF instrument was to develop a statistical
methodology that provided reliable estimates with respect to true
lead levels, although the ICP measurements themselves were used.
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     The development  of  a model  that explains how XRF readings
were  related  to  the true levels  of lead in paint is presented in
three stages.  First,  a  model  is described which does not take
the imperfect substitution of  ICP measurements for true lead
levels into account.   Second,  the impact of this imprecision on
assessing  the performance of an  XRF instrument is considered.
Third,  and finally, a modification of the model that accounts for
this  imprecision is presented.

     6.4.8.2.1 A Model for the Relationship of XRF to ICP
              Measurements

     The discussion in section 6.4.2.1 suggests that, as an
approximation, a linear  response model, with a standard deviation
(SD)  that  increases with the lead level, was a reasonable choice
for describing XRF readings as a function of the ICP level.  The
SD should  increase in such a way that it remains positive even in
the absence of lead,  as  measured by the ICP level.  A simple
specification that incorporates  these features has the following
form:

     XRF   =   a + b-(ICP)  + e  + r- (ICP)
     Var(e)   =  c,  Var(r)   =  d,

where e and 7 represent  independent normal random variables.  The
mean  response of XRF  at  a fixed  ICP level is a linear function of
ICP given  by  the expression a  +  b- (ICP) .  The variance of XRF at
a fixed ICP level is  a linear  function of ICP squared, given by
the expression c + d-(ICP)2, where  c is the variance of e and d
is the variance  of r.  The SD, which is the square root of the
variance,  approaches  the form  of a linear function of ICP as ICP
increases.  For  ICP = 0.0 mg/cm2,  the SD of XRF readings is equal
to the square root of c,  while at ICP = 2.0 mg/cm2,  for instance,
the SD is  given  by the square  root of c + 4-d.

     6.4.8.2.2 Sources of XRF  Variability

     The terms e and  r in the  model allow for fluctuation of XRF
measurements  around a "mean response" value for a fixed level of
lead,  as represented  by  the ICP  measurement.  These fluctuations
occurred for  a number of reasons, the most obvious of which was
instrumental  error.   Repeated  XRF measurement under identical
conditions did not typically produce identical readings.  This
was clearly seen in the  control  block data.  Repeated measurement
on the field  samples  at  different locations having approximately
the same lead levels  exhibited not only instrumental error, but
fluctuations  due to location-specific factors that are less well

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understood.  A detailed discussion of this issue can be found in
section 6.4.5.3.

     Combining data across machines, operators, or cities often
increased the SD estimates for an instrument.   Variability due to
the pooling of nonhomogeneous data is not characteristic of
instrument readings obtained by a single human operator using a
single machine at a single place.  This again highlights the fact
that care must be exercised in combining data across factors.  To
some extent, however, such combination was unavoidable.

     6.4.8.2.3 Nonparametric Estimation Based on Monotone
               Regression

     It was possible to derive nonparametric estimates of the
mean XRF response to the ICP level, and the standard deviation of
XRF readings as a function of the ICP level, without resorting to
a strictly specified model.

     The following two assumptions formed the basis for the
derivation of nonparametric estimates: (1) On average, XRF
readings did not decrease as the lead level, as measured by ICP,
increased;  (2) The SD of XRF readings also did not decrease as
the ICP level increased.

     These assumptions also underlie the derivation of the
nonparametric standardized residuals, used both to identify XRF
outliers  {section 3.2.5) and to calculate correlations between
XRF instrument readings  (section 3.2.4.3).  Monotone regression
was the technique used to derive nonparametric estimates that
were consistent with the assumptions.  Like regular linear
regression, monotone regression sought to minimize the sum of
squared errors between the actual XRF readings and the estimated
mean XRF reading at the observed ICP measurements.  But rather
than enforcing a constraint that the mean XRF reading be a linear
function of the ICP level, the only requirement was that larger
ICP measurements could not result in smaller estimates.

     Monotone regression is the solution to a quadratic
programming problem, and is obtained with the "pool adjacent
violators"  (PAY) algorithm.  The solution takes the form of a
step function, formed by averaging data over subgroups in a way
that the averages do not decrease.  Although a monotone
regression cannot be "smooth" in appearance, it will approximate
the true mean response if the sample is large, and if the true
mean response is itself a nondecreasing function.  A full
treatment of monotone regression can be found in Barlow,

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Bartholomew, Bremner, Brunk  [8] .

     Nondecreasing  (as a function of the TCP level)  SD estimates
for XRF readings were also obtained using monotone regression.
First, the monotone regression estimates described above were
subtracted from the XRF readings, and the differences squared.
Then, monotone regression was applied to the squared differences.
The square root of the monotone regression using squared
differences was the nonparametric estimate.

     The SD estimate, like the estimated mean response, becomes
unbiased as the sample size increases, provided that the two
assumptions stated above are valid.

     6.4.8.2.4 The Effect of Substituting ICP Measurements for
               the True Lead Levels

     The XRF-ICP relationship was not the same as the
relationship between XRF measurements and the true levels of
lead.  This is because the ICP measurements only estimated the
true level of lead in paint.  Estimates of bias and variability
obtained from the observable XRF-ICP relationship give an
imperfect picture of how XRF measurements responded to the lead
level in the study.

     Deriving estimates of bias and variability was difficult for
two reasons.  The first reason is that the variability exhibited
by XRF instruments with respect to the lead level was
nonconstant.  The second is that  the combined spatial variation
and laboratory error in ICP measurements had approximately a log-
normal distribution, while XRF deviations from the mean response
appeared to be normal, or at least symmetric.  Standard
techniques developed for the errors-in-variables problem in
regression are not applicable to phenomena of this kind.  One
generalization that does appear to hold is that SD estimates
obtained from an XRF-ICP relationship overestimated the true
variability present in the corresponding XRF-true lead
relationship.

     6.4.8.2.5      The Magnitude of Spatial Variation and
                    Laboratory Error in ICP Measurements

     Estimates of the magnitude of laboratory error, expressed as
standard deviations of the natural logarithm of the ICP level,
are presented for ICP laboratory duplicates in section 4.3.1.
Estimates for field duplicates, presented  in section 4.3.2,
reflect laboratory  error and spatial variation combined.

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Estimates are produced separately by city,  and by the six
different substrates encountered.  The distance between field
duplicates was approximately 9 inches in Denver and Philadelphia,
and 2 inches in Louisville.  For Denver and Philadelphia, field
duplicate standard deviations were larger than those for
laboratory duplicates.

     The full study, however, maintained a distance averaging
about 4 inches between the locations of XRF measurement and ICP
paint sample removal.  For Philadelphia and Denver, interpolation
was used to impute standard deviations at 4 inches.  For
Louisville, where interpolation was not possible,  the standard
deviation was extrapolated to a distance of 4 inches in a manner
similar to the change observed in Denver and Philadelphia.  Using
the results presented in Tables 4-16 and 4-23,  plausible SD
values on the logarithmic scale are approximately 0.3 in Denver,
and 0.2 in Philadelphia and Louisville.

     6.4.8.2.6 The Impact of Substituting ICP Measurements for
               True Lead Levels:  Simulations

     A simulation experiment was conducted to assess the
consequences of not accounting for imprecision caused by
substituting ICP measurements for the true lead levels.  The
"true" model linking XRF to the lead level used the following
specification, which is described in section 6.4.8.2.1:

     XRF  =  a + b- {Pb)  + e + T (Pb)
     Var(e)  =  c,  Var(r)  =  d,

with a = 0, Jb = 1.2, c = 0.01, and d = 0.30.  This model is based
on behavior exhibited by several of the K-shell instruments on
wood substrates.  Nonconstant XRF variability is a notable
feature of the model, because d is large relative to c.  Since Pb
(the true lead level) was not observable, a model component
linking ICP to Pb is also part of the simulation model.  It takes
the form

     logr(ICP)   =  log(Pb)  + 6,

where log refers to the natural logarithm.   The term 6 is a
normally distributed error having mean equal to 0.0 and SD taken
at the five values 0.1 through 0.5 in the experiment.  Both
normal and uniform random variates were generated to simulate
log(Pb) ,  with mean equal to -2.16 and SD equal to 2.72, and a
sample size of N = 300.   These values again were typical of wood
substrate analyses.  Estimation of the model parameters was based

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on the 300 pairs of  (ICP, XRF) measurements randomly generated
according to the model.  The method of estimation was normal
maximum likelihood, which treated the ICP measurements as if they
were the true lead levels.

     Table 6-157 gives the results of the simulation experiment,
based on 100 replications at each of five error SD levels.  In
addition, 100 replications were conducted with no random error
relating ICP to Pb.  This was done to determine the comparable
normal maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters for the
case where the ICP measurements are regarded as the true lead
levels.

     As the error SD increased with both normal and uniform
distributions of log(Pb), bias increased in the estimated model
parameters Jb  (the slope) , and to a greater extent in d (the
nonconstant variance component).  The intercept term a and the
baseline variance c were, however, affected very little.   The
bias tended to overstate the slope in the XRF-Pb relationship to
a small extent, but overstated the variability in a way that
became more severe as the lead level increased.  Little
difference is seen between results obtained for the normal and
uniform cases.

     Since error SD imputations were in the 0.2 to 0.3 range, the
results of this experiment suggest that a failure to account for
such error could make an XRF instrument appear to perform worse
than it does.  With log-normally distributed lead levels for
instance, and an error SD of 0.2, the XRF SD at a lead level of
1.0 mg/cm2 should be close to the square root of 0.010 +  0.373  or
.619 mg/cm2,  compared to a true SD of 0.557 mg/cm2  (the square
root of 0.01 + 0.30).  With an error SD of 0.3, the XRF SD
diverged even more, centering near 0.7 mg/cm2.

     In this experiment, the main consequence of failing to
account for the imprecise substitution of ICP measurements for
true lead levels was an overstatement of the SD of XRF
measurements, especially at higher lead levels, with bias in the
mean response a less prominent phenomenon.  Bias in the slope
parameter b is a well-known consequence of regression with errors
in the independent variables, and there is an extensive
statistical literature that deals with this problem.  Results
from the literature, however, assume that variability of the
dependent variable remains constant as a function of the
independent variable, which was not true in the example presented
above.
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Table 6-157.
Simulation Results (Based on 100 Replications),  to Assess
the Effect of Spatial Variability and Laboratory Error in
ICP Measurements on Model Estimates.
losr(pb)
DISTRIBUTION
Normal
Uniform
TKUiS
VALUE
a=0.00
Jb=1.20
c=0 . 01
d=0.30
a=0.00
Jb=1.20
c=0.01
d=0.30
ERROR SD
0.0
-.0003
1.1948
.0097
.3034
-.0011
1.1992
.0099
.2978
0.1
-.0007
1.2046
.0097
.3197
-.0003
1.2044
.0100
.3163
0.2
-.0001
1.2060
.0100
.3772
.0006
1.2150
.0101
.3731
0.3
.0016
1.2194
.0103
.4702
.0012
1.2257
.0101
.4778
0.4
.0023
1.2374
.0102
.6288
.0033
1.2485
.0100
.6522
0.5
.0066
1.2412
.0104
.8179
.0021
1.2925
.0101
.8946
     An objective  of  the study was to obtain accurate
descriptions  of  XRF instrument performance,  with respect  to fixed
levels of  lead in  painted surfaces.   In order to meet this
objective,  it was  necessary to develop a methodology that
recognized both  the imprecise substitution of ICP measurements
for true lead levels,  and the nature of the relationship  between
XRF measurements,  ICP measurements,  and the true levels of  lead
in paint.

     6.4.8.2.7 The XRF Measurement Model

     The following model fully describes the XRF-true lead
relationship  in  the presence of spatial variation and laboratory
error in ICP  measurements:

     XRF   =  a + Jb- (Pb)  + e + T (Pb)
     logr(ICP)  =  logr(Pb)  + 6,
     Var(e)   =   c,  Var(r)   =  d,   Var(5)  = a62.

     The terms e,  T and 6 are normally distributed random
variables  having zero means and variances as indicated.   The true
lead Pb is  unobservable,  and is assumed to have a log-normal
distribution  with  unknown mean and variance.  Since ICP is
observable, the  mean  and variance  of Pb is estimable, given
knowledge  of  o6.
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     Estimates of the model parameters a,  Jb,  c and d based on XRF
and ICP can be derived using maximum likelihood.  This requires
expression of the joint density of XRF and ICP, which is an
integral that does not have a closed form.  To implement maximum
likelihood requires the use of numerical integration.  It was
found that using Riemann sums with 200 equally spaced
subintervals achieved a reasonable compromise between accuracy
and computational speed to make maximum likelihood practicable.
Using 1000 subintervals increased numerical accuracy very little
but did increase the computational time substantially in a
limited number of cases where it was tried.  Newton-Raphson
iteration normally provided convergence in less than ten
iterations depending on the starting values supplied.  The
maximum likelihood estimates have approximately normal
distributions in large samples.  The matrix of second derivatives
used in the Newton-Raphson iterations allows standard error
estimates of the model parameters to be derived.

     A small simulation exercise was conducted to determine how
well maximum likelihood can estimate the model of the previous
section.

     Ten simulations with log-normal Pb and ab = 0.2 produced
average estimates a = .006, Jb = 1.090, c = .010 and d =  .278.
The slope Jb produced the greatest divergence between the
estimator and the true value of the parameter  (here, equal to
1.2),  but variation in the simulated estimates may explain the
divergence.  The XRF variability parameter estimate d appears to
have overcome the effect of error caused by substituting ICP for
Pb, shown in Table 6-157.

     Although the maximum likelihood method as developed is not
designed to work with uniformly distributed log(P~b) , ten
simulations show that it not only seems to work well but that it
might even work a little better than in the normal case.  The
average estimates were a = -.003, b = 1.251, c =  .010 and d =
.297.   This result is noteworthy, because it indicates that
maximum likelihood is not highly sensitive to misspecification of
the log(Pb) distribution, which is important because departures
from normality can be expected.

     6.4.8.2.8 Model Limitations

     The purpose of the XRF measurement model was to describe, in
an approximate way, the behavior of XRF readings  in the presence
of varying lead levels in paint.  The eight instrument classes
did not all exhibit similar performance, and performance varied

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markedly with the substrate.  The model did a good job describing
XRF behavior on certain substrates, but not on others.  When a
poor model fit was obtained, it could have been for one of
several observable reasons:

     1.   A small group of data stood out as different from the
          rest.
     2.   The XRF-true lead relationship either was not linear,
          or was linear over a restricted range of lead levels.
          This was usually true for the L-shell instruments,
          especially on substrates where high ICP measurements
          were present.
     3.   XRF readings were truncated, or constrained not to read
          above or below certain values.  Two of the instruments
          evaluated in the full study produced truncated
          readings.  The XK-3 did not read above 10 mg/cm2.   The
          XL did not read below 0 mg/cm2 or above  5  mg/cm2.

     Data anomalies, aside from outliers that were formally
identified and removed from the analyses, consisted of near
outliers, or isolated groups of data for which it was not
possible to tell if the data were unusual, or if the relationship
itself may have changed.  In the former case, discretion was used
in deciding whether or not the anomalies should be removed.  In
the latter case, and where the global validity of the model was
doubtful, analyses on restricted ICP ranges were conducted.

     Truncation of XRF readings, especially at the upper end, can
make an otherwise linear XRF-true lead relationship take on a
nonlinear character.  Upper end truncation of the XK-3 and XL
instruments was usually seen at ICP measurements much larger than
1.0 mg/cm2.   A model that  accounted both for truncation,  and the
combined effect of spatial variation and laboratory error in ICP
measurements, would be complex, and reap very little benefit in
describing performance at lower lead levels where interest was
primarily focused.  Instead, restriction of the data to an ICP
range where upper end truncation was infrequent was used to fit
the XRF measurement model.  Truncation of the XL at 0.0 mg/cm2
appeared to have little effect on the linearity of the
relationship in the low ICP range, except on wood substrates,
where truncated zero readings predominated at ICP levels below
0 .1 mg/cm2.
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     6.4.8.3   The Analysis of Field Classified Data

     Two sets of readings, with different machines and operators,
were made at each sampled location with the MAP-3, Microlead I,
and XK-3.  For these instruments it was possible to assign
machines and operators to two field classifications.  Direct
comparisons between certain machines, operators, and cities were
made without the need for fitting models, or accounting for the
substitution of ICP measurements for true lead levels.  On the
other hand, pooling data across field classifications needed to
take into account the fact that location-specific sources of
variability in XRF readings introduced dependence between the two
sets of measurements.

     6.4.8.3.1 Analyses Based on Matched Pairs

     If two machines of the same instrument model produce XRF
readings at the same location, there is a 50-50 chance that one
machine will read higher than the other if the machines are
indistinguishable in their performance.  A simple technique for
testing this hypothesis is the sign  test, which depends only on
the sign (positive or negative) of the difference in readings.
To illustrate, suppose that in 20 readings on common locations,
Machine 1 gave higher readings than Machine 2 on 19 occasions.
The p-value, or probability that one machine will produce a
higher reader than the other on at least 19 occasions assuming
that the 50-50 chance hypothesis is correct, is calculated to be
2- (19 + 1)  • (0.5)20, which  is less than 40 in one million.  This
is not a very likely occurrence, suggesting that Machine 1
systematically produced higher readings than Machine 2.

     For large sample sizes a normal approximation was used to
estimate the p-value.  Tied readings  (zero differences) were
handled with a conditional sign test, using the remaining cases.
Correlations of the differences between field classified readings
and ICP measurements were calculated to determine if the
performance of the two machines relative to each other changed
with the lead level.

     Comparisons between machines, operators or cities that are
not directly matched were sometimes made using Fisher's exact
test for 2 by 2 contingency tables.  This test required the use
of a third machine-operator as a point of common reference.  This
can be useful for finding effects of one factor within another,
and is illustrated in the following  example.  Operator E of the
Microlead  I used two different machines  (21 and 22) in Denver,
matched against Operator G using a third machine  (20).  On metal

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substrates Machine 20 was matched against Machine 21 35 times, of
which 3 had a higher Machine 20 reading.   Machine 20 was matched
against Machine 22 24 times (removing ties),  and 18 had a higher
Machine 20 reading.  These results can be presented in a 2 by 2
contingency table as follows:

Machines 20 vs 21
Machines 20 vs 22
Machine 20 smaller
32
6
Machine 20 larger
3
18
     The resulting chi-square statistic for the 2 by 2 table is
27.4, which has a p-value of less than one in ten-thousand,
suggesting either that Machine 21 read systematically higher than
Machine 22, or that some other factor came into play.  Since the
sample locations within Denver are non-overlapping in the two
comparisons described above, differences in paint samples between
units in Denver, for example, may be the reason for the
significant chi-square statistic.

     6.4.8.3.2 Combining Across Field Classifications

     When it is appropriate to do so, pooling data across
instruments, operators, and cities is desirable.   Pooling within
field classifications, which avoids the combination of paired
measurements, is straightforward.  But, combining paired
measurements across field classifications introduces the problem
of dependence.  The effect of this is difficult to determine on
estimates obtained with the XRF measurement model, which assumes
that observations are independent.

     The problem was avoided by first pooling within field
classifications, estimating model parameters,  and then averaging
the estimates across field classifications.  Conservative
standard error estimates were obtained using the "triangle
inequality", which states that the standard error of the sum of
two estimators is no greater than the sum of the individual
standard errors.
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     6.5  Comparison of Different Types of XRF Measurements Using
          Classification Results

     This section compares classifications of XRF measurements to
classifications of the ICP measurements measured in mg/cm2  lead.
The purpose of this analysis is to examine the accuracy of XRF
instruments relative to the ICP measurement and to compare the
different types of XRF measurements and addresses the following
study objectives:

  •  to characterize the performance  (precision and accuracy)  or
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions
  •  to evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from material (the substrate) underlying the paint
  •  to evaluate field quality assurance and control methods.

     Both the ICP measurement and the XRF measurement were
compared by classifying them against the 1.0 mg/cm2  lead federal
standard.  Note that "XRF measurement" is a term used for general
discussion purposes.   In each subsection where a specific
classification analysis is discussed, the XRF measurement will be
defined as either a single reading, a single reading corrected
for substrate bias, an average of three readings, or an average
of three readings corrected for substrate bias.  Due to the large
number of tables presented in this section, tables showing
results are not intermingled with text, but instead, tables
referenced in a given subsection appear after the text for that
subsection.

     The previous section of this chapter provided a detailed
model-based examination of XRF instrument behavior.   Among its
findings were that 1) a single reading taken at a sampling
location provided almost as much information as an average of
three readings taken at that same location, 2) XRF instruments'
behavior is influenced by substrate, 3) substrate correction is
beneficial in selected cases, 4) the K-shell instruments behave
differently from the L-shell instruments, and, 5) XRF instruments
may be positively or negatively biased depending on the
substrate.  The classification results presented in this section
provide empirical evidence in support of these findings.
However, these results apply only to the set of sampling
locations tested in this study.  Another set of locations with
significantly different lead levels than the tested locations
might provide different results, even if the same instruments
were used.  Other paint characteristics, such as thicker paint,
could also provide different results.
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     Outliers were not omitted from this analysis.

     6.5.1     XRF and ICP Measurement Classification Rules

     Both the primary sample ICP measurement and the XRF
measurement were classified at each sampling location.  For all
results provided here, the ICP measurements were always
classified using the 1.0 mg/cm2  lead federal  standard.   That is,
a ICP measurement was classified:

  POSITIVE     if the ICP measurement  was 1.0 mg/cm2  lead or
               greater;

  NEGATIVE     if the ICP measurement  was less than 1.0 mg/cm2
               lead.

     For a given analysis, the XRF measurements were classified
using one of two methods.  The first method classified an XRF
measurement either positive or negative and the second method
added an inconclusive classification.   The first method
classified the XRF measurements the same way that the ICP
measurement was classified as shown above.  That is,  an XRF
measurement was classified using the following rules:

  POSITIVE     if the XRF measurement  was 1.0 mg/cm2  lead or
               greater;

  NEGATIVE     if the XRF measurement  was less than 1.0 mg/cm2
               lead.

     The second method added an inconclusive range in the
classification.  An XRF measurement could be classified
inconclusive if it fell within a range bounded above and below by
pre-specified values.  A measurement above the upper bound was
classified positive, and one below the lower bound, negative.
For this analysis, two sets of bounds  were applied.  One set of
bounds had an upper bound equal to 1.6 mg/cm2 and a lower bound
equal to 0.4 mg/cm2.   The other  set had 1.3  mg/cm2 and 0.7 mg/cm2
as upper and lower bounds.  Specifically, an XRF measurement was
classified negative, positive, or inconclusive using the
following rules:

  POSITIVE     if the XRF measurement  was 1.6 (or 1.3) mg/cm2 or
               greater,

  NEGATIVE     if the XRF measurement  was 0.4 {or 0.7) mg/cm2 or
               less, and

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  INCONCLUSIVE if the XRF measurements were greater than 0.4 (or
               0.7)  mg/cm2 and less  than 1.6  (or  1.3)  mg/cm2.

     Once the ICP and XRF measurements were classified at each
sampling location, the classifications were compared.  Several
outcomes are possible.  Three outcomes, the false negative, false
positive, and inconclusive outcomes are presented in detail in
this section to describe the behavior of the XRF instruments.
For this analysis, rates or percentages were computed for these
outcomes.  A false negative for an XRF measurement is defined as
an XRF measurement classified negative that was taken from a
sampling location that had a corresponding ICP measurement
classified as positive.  A false positive is, conversely, a
sampling location with an XRF measurement classified positive and
an ICP measurement classified as negative.

     Other data presented in the tables in this section are the
XRF measurement sample sizes that were classified and compared to
the ICP measurement.  The sample sizes depend on the number of
instruments collecting data, variations in the data collection
protocol, and missing data, all of which were described in
section 6.1.  Three of the XRF instruments represented in this
study, the MAP-3, the Microlead I revision 4 (ML I), and the
XK-3, each had two different instruments operating at the same
time in Denver and Philadelphia.  As a result,  these three
instruments had two results for each sampling location in Denver
and Philadelphia.  For this analysis, results were obtained for
these three XRF instruments by combining all measurements from
each pair of instruments prior to computing the misclassification
and inconclusive rates.  The other XRF instruments were
represented in this study by a single instrument at a time, and
thus, only one measurement per sampling location was available.
The sample size for those instruments that had two different
instruments operating at the same time was approximately double
the sample size for the other instruments.

     Sampling locations from the XRF instruments that had both
K-shell and L-shell measurements were further classified into a
K-shell and an L-shell instrument, for purposes of analysis.
Applying this methodology resulted in eight XRF categories, four
K-shell instruments and four L-shell instruments which are
presented in the tables in this section.
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     6.5.2     Classification Results Without an Inconclusive
               Range

     6.5.2.1   Standard XRF Measurements

     The first set of tables presented are results for the first
standard paint reading as defined in the first section of this
chapter.  Table 6-158 shows the overall false positive and false
negative percentages for the eight XRF instruments based on the
first standard paint measurements.  In Table 6-158, overall the
Lead Analyzer K-shell had the lowest misclassification rates.
Among all instruments, only the MAP-3 and Lead Analyzer had both
misclassification rates less than 10%, but both rates associated
with the Lead Analyzer were less than those associated with the
MAP-3.  Also, among the K-shell instruments, the Lead Analyzer
had the lowest false positive rate.  Two other K-shell
instruments, the Microlead I and the XK-3, have a lower false
negative rate, but the false positive rates for these two
instruments were 20.3% and 39.7%, respectively.  Excluding the
Lead Analyzer and the MAP-3, the other XRF instruments had at
least one misclassif ication rate greater than 20%, ranging from
20.3% to 89.1%.

     Tables 6-159 and 6-160 show the same information for four
categories of ICP measurements.  These two tables indicate where
the misclassification errors are occurring relative to the ICP
measurement.  For all sampling locations with ICP measurements
less than 0.1964 mg/cm2  (the median of the 1,290  ICP
measurements), Table 6-159 shows a difference between the L-shell
and K-shell instruments.  Overall, the false positive rates for
the L-shell instruments range from 0.0% to 0.8% and the for the
K-shell instruments the false positive rates range from 1.0% to
64.2%.  Comparisons between L-shell and K-shell instruments from
sampling locations with results in the median ICP measurement to
1.0 mg/cm2 range  show greater differences.   In this ICP
measurement range, the false positive rates for the L-shell
instruments range from 0.0% to 1.0% and the for the K-shell
instruments the false positive rates range from 6.6% to 64.2%.

     In contrast, a different relationship between the L-shell
and K-shell instruments is shown in Table 6-160.   For all
sampling locations with ICP measurements greater than or equal to
1.0 mg/cm2 lead but  less than 0.24891  (the 90th percentile of the
1,290 ICP measurements), Table 6-160 shows that false negative
rates for the L-shell instruments range from 50.8% to 96.6% and
the for the K-shell instruments the false negative rates range
from 4.1% to 12.0%.   From sampling locations with results greater

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than the 90th percentile, the table shows  that  false negative
rates for the L-shell instruments range from 31.4% to 82.2% and
the for the K-shell instruments the false negative rates range
from 0.0% to 4.0%.  Thus, comparisons of these two tables
illustrates differences between the K-shell and L-shell
instruments.  The higher misclassification errors for the K-shell
instruments occur at lower ICP measurements shown in Table 6-159.
This is in contrast to the L-shell instruments which have higher
misclassification errors from locations with higher ICP
measurements shown in Table 6-160.

     The information in Tables 6-158 and 6-159 is presented
graphically in Figures 6-84 through 6-91, for each XRF instrument
classification.  In these figures, each horizontal bar in the
graphs corresponds to one of the four ICP measurement categories
shown in Tables 6-159 and 6-160.  The top bar, labeled "high
neg", represents XRF data collected at sampling locations with
corresponding ICP measurement less than the ICP measurement
median (0.1964 mg/cm2) .   The next bar down ("low neg")  represents
XRF data collected at sampling locations with corresponding ICP
measurement equal to or greater than the ICP measurement median
(0.1964 mg/cm2)  but less than 1.0 mg/cm2  lead  standard.  The
third bar from the top  ("low pos") represents XRF data from
sampling locations equal to or greater than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead but
less than the ICP measurement 90th percentile,  2.4891 mg/cm2.
Finally,  the bottom bar  ("high pos") represents XRF data from
sampling locations equal to and greater than the 90th percentile.
Overall frequency and percent of sampling locations by ICP
measurement category is given in the figures as "FREQ." and
"PCT.", respectively.

     Each bar is divided into "AGREE"  (no shading) categories and
"DISAGREE"  (black shading) categories.  A sampling location is
categorized as agree if the XRF measurement provides the same
classification of the sampling location relative to the 1.0
mg/cm2 lead standard as does the ICP measurement.   In other
words, the classification provided when the XRF measurement and
ICP measurement agree.  A sampling location is categorized as
disagree if the XRF measurement, or first standard paint reading
in this case, provides a different classification of the sampling
location relative to the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead standard than does the
classification provided by the ICP measurement.  That is, a
sampling location is categorized as disagree  if the XRF
measurement is greater than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead and the ICP
measurement is less than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead or vice versa.
                              6-339

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     Figures 6-84 through 6-91 clearly illustrate the differences
between K-shell and L-shell instruments.   Most of the time the
K-shell instruments' first standard paint readings where able to
correctly classify the high levels of lead whereas those from the
L-shell instruments had high false negative rates for high levels
of lead.  This can be observed in Figures 6-84 through 6-91 by
comparing the disagree categories (black shading) that occurred
on the bottom two bars.  The L-shell instruments show a greater
frequency of false negative results {a greater amount of black
shading) than do the K-shell instruments.

     To further illustrate differences between K-shell and
L-shell instrument results, a nonparametric statistic was
computed to measure the amount of agreement between two XRF
instruments.  First, the first standard paint readings were
classified negative or positive relative to the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead
standard as described above.  Next,  the results from one
instrument were cross-tabulated against the results of another
instrument and computed from each cross-tabulation result was an
agreement statistic, K [13] , which was used to compare the one
XRF instrument to another.  The agreement statistic was computed
for all pairs of XRF instruments with first standard paint
readings from sampling locations with corresponding ICP
measurement greater or equal to its 90th percentile  (2.4891
mg/cm2)  and the results are given in Table  6-161.   The Microlead
I did not have any negative classifications for its first
standard paint readings from sampling locations used in this
analysis.

     Interpreting K depends on its sign and magnitude.  The sign
measures agreement or disagreement.   For example, a +1.0
indicates total agreement and a -0.17 indicates disagreement but
less than total disagreement.  Herein lies the limitation of the
agreement statistic, K.  The interpretation of K does not allow
quantitative measures of the relative amounts of agreement or
disagreement.  However, differences can be observed by comparing
the K-shell instruments to L-shell instruments using the K
statistics provided in Table 6-161.   The K statistics computed
between one K-shell instrument and another K-shell instrument
were an order of magnitude greater than the K statistics computed
from a K-shell and L-shell instrument pairing.  Similar results
can be observed by comparing results from the pairing of two
L-shell instruments to the results from a K-shell and L-shell
instrument pairing.   Therefore,  Table 6-161 provides additional
evidence that the first standard paint readings were similar
among K-shell instruments and dissimilar from L-shell instruments
and vice versa.   However,  one K-shell instrument, the XK-3,

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showed differences from the other K-shell instruments.  The XK-3
had negative agreement statistics computed for the other K-shell
instruments whereas all of the agreement statistics for the other
K-shell instruments among each other, except for the XK-3, were
positive.

     Tables 6-162 through 6-169 provide the misclassification
rates for each XRF classification by substrate.  Results were
fairly consistent across all substrates for the Lead Analyzer.
The results for the other instruments were more variable by
substrate.

     6.5.2.2   First Standard Paint Reading Versus Average of
               Three Readings

     The averages of the three standard paint readings at a
sampling location were classified.  Table 6-170 is analogous to
Table 6-158 except that it provides results for the average of
the three paint readings.  Likewise, Tables 6-171 through 6-178
provide the same information for the eight XRF classifications by
substrate.

     For the K-shell instruments the error percentages  (false
positive and false negative) are the same in one case, slightly
larger for the average in one case, and slightly smaller for the
average in six cases.  For the L-shell instruments the error
percentages are the same in three cases, while the average is
slightly superior in the remaining cases.  In no case, either for
K- or L-shell instruments, does the average represent a
significant improvement over the first standard paint reading.
In particular, cases where the error rate was high,  (the false
negative rates for the L-shell instruments and false positive
rates for the Microlead I and XK-3), the error rates were only
very minimally improved by use of the average of three readings.

     Comparisons by substrate were made by comparing Tables 6-162
through 6-169 to Tables 6-171 through 6-178.  For the four
K-shell instruments, there are a total of 44 error percentages
when broken down by substrate.  In 26 cases, the error
percentages for the average are smaller, in seven cases they are
larger, and in 11 cases no change occurred between the average
and the error percentages for the first standard paint readings.
For the L-shell instruments, 32 cases are the same, 10 show the
average as better, and two show the  first standard paint reading
as better.  In no case was any improvement of the average over
the first standard paint reading significant.  For example, there
are 31 error rates exceeding 10%; of these, only two were reduced

                              6-341

-------
below 10% by use of the average,  and both improvements were small
(11.1 % versus 10.2% false negative rates for the Lead Analyzer
K-shell on concrete and 7.4% versus 6.8%  false negative rates for
the Microlead I on plaster).

     The conclusion from examining these  classification results
is that, although use of the average of three 15-second readings
may result in more accurate classification of paint than the use
of only a single reading, the likelihood  of improvement is small.
In any case, improvement was always too small to be of practical
significance.  Thus, it appears that the  additional effort
involved in taking three 15-second readings at a sampling
location versus only one is not justified by an increase in the
accuracy of classification of paint.  Experience in the field in
this study suggests that approximately 50% of on-site time is
spent taking XRF readings.  Thus,  reducing the number of readings
from three to one would reduce inspection time in the field on
the order of 33%.

     The conclusion that there is very little difference in the
accuracy of paint classification between  a single reading and the
average of three readings is somewhat paradoxical.   The
expectation that the average will perform much better than a
single reading is based on the statistical fact that the variance
of the average of three independent readings is one-third the
variance of a single reading, so that the average is much more
precise than a single reading.  This expectation is not borne out
by the XRF data for two reasons.   First,  for most instruments,
successive readings taken at the same point are positively
correlated, so that the independence assumption is violated.
Thus, the gain in precision from taking repeated readings is
generally much less than if the readings  were independent.
Second, taking repeated readings and averaging them reduces only
the component of variability due solely to the performance of the
instrument  ("instrumental variability").   As shown in section
6.4, the study data demonstrates clearly  that there are
additional sources of variability in XRF  readings that are
generally at least as large as the instrumental component.
Taking repeated readings cannot reduce the impact of these
additional sources of variation.   The additional variation is due
to location-specific factors such as paint and substrate
composition.  Much greater detail on this issue can be found in
section 6.4 of this chapter.  However, another discussion
comparing a single reading to an average  of three readings with
the addition of the inconclusive range is found in section
6.5.3.3.
                              6-342

-------
     6.5.2.3   Impact of Correcting for Substrate Bias

     The tables given in the last two sections that break down
results by substrate (Tables 6-162 through 6-169 and 6-171
through 6-178)  illustrate the effect that the underlying
substrate can have on classifying XRF measurments.   The next set
of tables provide error percentages for XRF readings after they
have been corrected for substrate bias.  A single XRF reading was
"corrected" by subtracting a known offset value.  For this
analysis, the first standard paint reading at a sampling location
was corrected.   There are three types of corrections as defined
in section 6.1:

          • control correction
          • full correction
          • red NIST SRM average correction.

     Discussions comparing a single reading to corrected readings
are found in this section.  Discussions comparing a single
reading to corrected readings with the addition of the
inconclusive classification are found in section 6.5.3.3.

     6.5.2.3.1 Impact of Control Correction

     The first standard paint readings were "control corrected"
by subtracting the average of all the initial and end red NIST
SRM control block measurements in the dwelling, minus 1.02
mg/cm2.  Table  6-179 shows the overall false positive and false
negative percentages for the eight XRF instruments based on  the
first  standard paint reading control corrected  for all  locations.
Tables  6-180 and 6-181  show the same information for four
categories of  ICP measurements.  Tables  6-182 through 6-189  break
down the results for the first standard  paint measurement by
substrate.

     Table  6-179 shows  that for the L-shell instruments, control
correction  is  ineffective since false  negative  rates remained
high.   For  the Lead Analyzer K-shell,  there was little  impact;
the  false positive rate decreased  slightly and  the  false negative
rate increased slightly.  Similarly  for  the MAP-3  K-shell;  the
false  positive rate  increased  slightly and the  false negative
rate decreased slightly.  However,  a high  false positive  rate on
metal  and  high false negative  rates  on concrete and plaster were
 all  reduced by control  correction  as  shown in Tables  6-164  and
 6-184.   For the  Microlead I,  control  correction was ineffective;
 the  false  negative  rate increased  five fold to  18.3%  and  the
 false  positive rate  decreased to  12.5%.   The  increase  in  the

                               6-343

-------
false negative rate was due to the high false negative rates on
concrete, metal, and plaster shown in-Table 6-186.  For the XK-3,
high false positive rates were reduced, but at the expense of a
substantial increases in the false negative rates for metal,
plaster, and wood as shown in Table 6-188.

     The results shown in Tables 6-180 and 6-181 are analogous to
the results shown in Tables 6-159 and 6-160.  Comparisons of
Table 6-159 to Table 6-180 show that the control correction
greatly improved the XK-3 performance in the ICP measurement
range 0.0 to 0.1964 mg/cm2 (the ICP measurement  median)  and
showed substantial improvement in the ICP measurement range
0.1964 to 1.0 mg/cm2 lead.   The Microlead I showed some
improvement in the 0.0 to 0.1964 mg/cm2 range.   However,
comparisons of the results in Table 6-160 with those in Table
6-181 show that the false negative rate for the Microlead I
increased for ICP measurements equal to or greater than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.

     6.5.2.3.2 Impact of Full Correction

     The first standard paint reading was  "fully corrected" by
subtracting the average of the three standard red NIST SRM
readings taken at the same location, minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   Table
6-190 shows overall error rates by instrument for the first
standard paint reading fully corrected.  Tables 6-191 through
6-198 break down the information by substrate.

     For the L-shell instruments, full correction was ineffective
since false negative rates still remain high.  Similarly, for the
Lead Analyzer K-shell, there was little impact;  error rates were
low before correction and decrease slightly after correction.
For the MAP-3 K-shell, full correction was effective on some
substrates.  High false negative rates on concrete and plaster
were not reduced by full correction but false positive rates on
metal and wood were substantially reduced as shown in Tables
6-164 and 6-193.  For the XK-3, full correction was effective;
false positive rates were substantially reduced without an
unacceptable increase in false negative rates.  It must, of
course,  be remembered that full correction is never a practical
field procedure.

     6.5.2.3.3 Impact of Red NIST SRM Average Correction

     The first standard paint readings were corrected using red
NIST SRM average correction.  This was done by subtracting from
the first standard paint reading, the corresponding substrate

                              6-344

-------
average of all red NIST SRM readings taken at the  sample
locations in the dwelling,  minus 1.02 rag/cm2.   Table 6-199  shows
overall error rates  by instrument for the first standard paint
reading red NIST SRM average corrected.  Tables 6-200  through
6-207 break down the information by substrate.  The  impact was
very similar to full correction.
Table 6-158.
First Standard Paint Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L- shell
Micro-lead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L- shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L- shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
3.1
0.0
8.0
0.9
20.3
0.0
39.7
0.5
% False
Negative
5.9
89.1
8.3
69.7
3.8
87.1
3.6
41.8
                               6-345

-------
Table 6-159.
False Positive Results for First Standard Paint Readings
Without an Inconclusive Range,  Categorized by Their
Corresponding ICP Measurement Above and Below the 0.1964
mg/cm2  Median  of  the  1,290  ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
608
362
608
362
1,209
723
1,209
723
1,252
754
596
361
1,251
754
607
362
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cm2)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
% False
Positive
1.0
6.6
0.0
0.0
4.6
13.6
0.8
1.0
15.8
27.7
0.0
0.0
24.9
64.2
0.2
1.1
                                   6-346

-------
Table 6-160.
False Negative Results for First Standard Paint Readings
Without an Inconclusive Range Categorized by Their
Corresponding ICP Measurement Above and Below the 2.4891
mg/cm2 90th Percentile of the 1,290 ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
118
102
118
102
233
202
233
202
240
229
116
101
242
231
118
102
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cm2)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - co)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
% False
Negative
9.3
2.0
96.6
80.4
12.0
4.0
77.7
60.4
7.5
0.0
91.4
82.2
4.1
3.0
50.8
31.4
                                     6-347

-------
       LEAD  ANALYZER   K-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
   high neg

    1ow neg

    low pos

   high pos
            O
r— l - 1

11
1 - 1 - •

22
                                              33
1 - 1 - 1

44
                                                  FREQ .

                                                    6O8

                                                    362


                                                    118


                                                    1O2
                                              PCT .

                                             51 .09


                                             3O .42


                                              9 . 92


                                              8 .57
                                                                     55
                                      PERCENT
                         XRF
             J Agree
                                                        Di sagr ee
           high  neg=CO ,  median}
            low  POS=C!.O mg/cm2,  9Oth SStile}
               ICP  Categories

                           low neg=Cmedi an ,  l.O  mg/cnr
                          high pos = £9Oth  £tile,  °°^)
Figure 6-84.   Bar  chart  of classifications  by  laboratory  ICP categories  for  Lead
               Analyzer K-shell, no  inconclusive range.
                                         6-348

-------
       LEAD  ANALYZER
                         L
-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg

    low neg

    1ow pos

   high pos
            O
                       1 1
                        22          33

                            PERCENT
                                                              FREQ .

                                                                608


                                                                362

                                                                1 18


                                                                102
                                           PCT .

                                          51 .09


                                          3O .42

                                           9 . 92

                                           8 . 57
                                                          44
                                                           55
                         XRF
                           Agree
                                      ICP Categories
                  Di sagr ee
high neg=CO, median}
 low pos = [l.O tng/cm2, 9Oth  9Stile)
                                                   low  neg=nmedian, l.O ing/ ctn
                                                  high  pos = [9Oth 96tile, «.}
Figure 6-85.
     Bar  chart  of  classifications  by  laboratory  ICP categories  for  Lead
     Analyzer L-shell, no inconclusive  range.
                                          6-349

-------
               MAP-3  K-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg


    low neg


    low pos


   high pos
            O
1—i—'
1 1
                         XRF
22          33

    PERCENT
                                                          1 i '
                                                          44
                                                  FREQ .

                                                   12O9


                                                    723


                                                    233


                                                    2O2
                                              PCT ,

                                             51 , OS


                                             3O . 54


                                              9 . 84


                                              8 .53
                                                                      55
             J Agree
                     Di sagree
                                      ICP  Categories
           high  neg=CO,  median}
            low  pos = [l.O mg/cm2, 9Oth 961 i 1 e
                            low  neg = t^medi an ,  1 .O mg/ctn2}
                           high  pos = [9Oth  9Stile, ~)
Figure 6-86.   Bar  chart  of classifications by  laboratory ICP categories  for MAP-3 K-
               shell, no  inconclusive  range.
                                          6-350

-------
               MAP-3  L-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high nee

    low neg


    1ow pos


   high pos
            O
                                                 FREQ.

                                                  1209


                                                   723


                                                   233


                                                   2O2
                                              PCT .

                                             5 1 . OS


                                             3O . 54


                                              9 . 84


                                              8 . 53
1 1
22          33

    PERCENT
                       44
55
                         XRF
             H Agree
                                                        Di sagree
                                      IGP  Categories

           high  neg = QO,  median}                   low neg=Cmedian,  i.o rug/cm2)
            low  pos=[l.O mg/cmz ,  9Oth 96tile}     high pos = [9Oth 96tile, «5
Figure 6-87.   Bar chart  of classifications by  laboratory ICP categories  for  MAP-3 L-
               shell, no  inconclusive  range.
                                          6-351

-------
         MICROLEAD   I   K-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg


    low neg


    low pos


   hi gh pos
            o
       I
                                                              FREQ .

                                                               1252


                                                                754


                                                                24O


                                                                229
 PCT .

50 .59


3O .46


 9 . 7O


 9 .25
                       11
                   22          33

                       PERCENT
                                                           55
                         XRF
                     H Agree
                           ICP Categories

high neg = Q O, median^                    low  neg=Qmedian,  l.O ing/ cm'
 low pos = £l,O mg/crnz, 9Oth 96tile)
                                                 high
                                          = [;9Oth %t i 1 e ,
Figure 6-88.
Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory ICP categories for Microlead
I, no inconclusive range.
                                         6-352

-------
           X-MET   880   L-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg

    low neg

    low pos

   hi gh pos
            O
                       1 1
22          33

    PERCENT
                                                         44
                         XRF
   Agree
Di sagree
                                     FREQ .

                                       596


                                       361

                                       1 16

                                       101
                         PCT .

                        5O . 77

                        30 . 75

                         9 . 88

                         8 . 6O
                                   55
          high  neg=[O,  median}
           low  pos = [l,O mg/cm2 ,  9Oth  9Stile)
   ICP Categories
                low  neg=Cmedian,  l.O  mg/cm2}
               high  pos = C9Oth  961 i 1 e ,  ~}
Figure 6-89.   Bar chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories for X-MET 880,
               no inconclusive range.
                                         6-353

-------
                XK-3  K-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg

    low neg

    low pos

   high pos
                       1—i—'
                       11
                         XRF
                   22          33

                       PERCENT
                                           44
                                                         FREQ .

                                                          1251

                                                           754

                                                           242

                                                           231
                         PCT.

                        50 .48

                        3O .43

                         9 . 77

                         9 . 32
              55
                     J Agree
Di sagree
                                     ICP Categories
           high  neg = [|O,  median}
            low  pos = [l.O mg/cmz ,  9Oth 961 i 1 e
                                   low neg=Cmedian,  l.O rng/cm2}
                                  high pos = [9Oth 961 i 1 e , <*O
Figure 6-90.
Bar chart  of  classifications by laboratory  ICP categories for XK-3,  no
inconclusive range.
                                         6-354

-------
        ICP

   high neg

    1ow neg

    low pos

   high pos
            O
                  XL   L-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
                       1—i—'
                       1 1
                                   T
                                               "T
                                   22          33

                                      PERCENT
                         XRF
                          J Agree
                                                              FREQ ,

                                                                607


                                                                362

                                                                1 18

                                                                1O2
                         PCT ,

                        51 . 05


                        3O .AS


                         9 . 92


                         8 .58
Di sagree
high neg = QO, median}
 low pos=[l.O rag/cm2 , 9Oth  96tile)
                                      ICP Categories

                                                  low neg=C medi an ,  l.O ing/cm2}
                                                 high pos = C9Oth  95tile, ~)
Figure 6-91.   Bar  chart of  classifications by  laboratory  ICP  categories  for  XL,  no
               inconclusive  range.
                                          6-355

-------
Table 6-161.  Agreement Statistic,  K,  For All Pairs of  XRF  Readings Taken At Testing Locations From Which the ICP
             Measurement in mg/cm2 Units  Was Greater To or Equal to the 90th percentile of all 1,290 Testing Locations.
Lead Lead MAP-3 MAP-3 MAP-3 MAP-3 ML I*
Anal Anal (I) (II) (I) (n) (I)
K L K K L L
Lead Analyzer K 1.00 0.01 0.66 0.27 0.01 0.01
Lead Analyzer L 1.00 0.01 0.03 0.53 0.56
MAP-3 (I) K 1.00 0.48 0.03 0.03
MAP-3 (II) K 1.00 0.05 0.08
MAP-3 (I) L 1.00 0.92
MAP-3 (II) L 1.00
ML I (I)
ML I (II)
X-MET


ML I* X-MET
(II) 880
0.00
0.94
0.01
0.03
0.48
0.51
-
-
880 1.00
XK-3 (I)
XK-3
XK-3
(I)
-0
0
-0
0
-0
0
-
-
0
1
(II)
.03
.02
.03
.16
.01
.05


.02
.00

XK-3
(ID
-0
-0
-0
-0
-0
-0
-
-
-0
-0
1
.02
.06
.02
.04
.06
.06


.06
.03
.00
XL
* The Microlead I did not have any negative classifications for
analysis.
the sampling locations
used
XL
0
0
0
0
0
0
-
-
0
-0
-0
1
.02
.20
.08
. 06
.48
.45


.18
.02
.06
.00
in this
                                                       6-356

-------
Table 6-162.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
2.8
1.6
1.8
3.4
1.0
6.3
3.1
% False
Negative
0.0
11.1
naa
6.8
3.8
5.9
5.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-163.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
90.5
96.3
naa
81.8
100.0
87.3
89.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-357

-------
Table 6-164.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First standard Paint
Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
4.2
5.8
3.5
19.3
2.3
10.6
8.0
% False
Negative
0.0
24.1
naa
1.1
21.2
5.5
8.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-165.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.4
5.2
0.0
0.2
0.9
% False
Negative
28.6
85.2
naa
60.2
100.0
70.4
69.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-358

-------
Table 6-166.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
22.2
25.5
17.9
18.8
9.7
26.2
20.3
% False
Negative
2.4
1.8
naa
2.2
10.2
3.6
3.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-167.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
96.3
naa
69.8
100.0
89.0
87.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-359

-------
Table 6-168.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint  Reading
Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
52.8
66.2
5.1
57.3
45.9
16.5
39.7
% False
Negative
2.4
1.8
naa
5.4
1.7
4.0
3.6
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than l.O
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-169.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint  Reading  Without
an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.0
0.8
0.5
% False
Negative
23.8
40.7
naa
29.6
57.7
47.1
41.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-360

-------
Table 6-170.
Standard Paint  Average Without an Inconclusive Range.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
2.5
0.0
6.0
0.8
18.2
0.0
40.1
0.4
% False
Negative
5.9
89.1
7.4
68.7
2.3
86.6
3.0
43.2
                                    6-361

-------
Table 6-171.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint
Average Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.1
1.0
5.1
2.5
% False
Negative
0.0
7.4
naa
6.8
7.7
5.9
5.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-172.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint
Average Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
90.5
96.3
naa
81.8
100.0
87.3
89.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-362

-------
Table 6-173.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
2.8
1.8
3.1
13.8
1.5
10.2
6.0
% False
Negative
0.0
22.2
naa
1.1
26.9
2.5
7.4
a Not available since drywall TCP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-174.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.2
0.0
0.0
0.8
% False
Negative
26.2
83.3
naa
59.1
100.0
69.8
68.7
9 Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-363

-------
Table 6-175.
Microlead I by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
18.1
19.6
20.3
18.2
5.7
26.2
18.2
% False
Negative
0.0
1.8
naa
1.1
6.8
2.3
2.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-176.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
96.3
naa
69.8
100.0
88.0
86.6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                   6-364

-------
Table 6-177.
XK-3 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
53.5
69.6
4.2
57.0
48.6
13.9
40.1
% False
Negative
2.4
0.0
naa
4.3
3.4
3.1
3.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
rag/cm2 lead.
Table 6-178.
XL by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.8
0.4
% False
Negative
23.8
59.3
naa
25.0
65.4
45.1
43.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-365

-------
Table 6-179.
First Standard Paint Reading Control Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L- shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L- shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L- shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
2.3
0.0
10.2
0.8
12.5
0.0
11.3
0.5
% False
Negative
7.3
90.0
5.7
73.8
18.3
88.5
10.6
45.5
                                    6-366

-------
Table 6-180.
False Positive Results for First Standard Paint Readings
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range, Categorized
by Their Corresponding ICP Measurement Above and Below the
0.1964 mg/cm2  Median of  the  1,290 ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
608
362
608
362
1,209
723
1,209
723
1,252
754
596
361
1,251
754
607
362
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cm2)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
% False
Positive
0.5
5.2
0.0
0.0
6.2
17.0
0.7
0.8
9.5
17.4
0.0
0.0
5.1
21.5
0.2
1,1
                                     6-367

-------
Table 6-181.
False Negative Results for First Standard Paint Readings
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range Categorized
by Their Corresponding ICP Measurement Above and Below the
2.4891 mg/cm2  90th Percentile of the 1,290 ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
118
102
118
102
233
202
233
202
240
229
116
101
242
231
118
102
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cms)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - co)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
% False
Negative
11.9
2.0
96.6
82.4
8.2
3.0
81.5
64.9
27.1
9.2
93.1
83.2
12.8
8.2
56.8
32.4
                                    6-368

-------
Table 6-182.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive
Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.1
0.5
4.7
2.3
% False
Negative
0.0
14 .8
naa
6.8
7.7
6.9
7.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
rag/cm2 lead.
Table 6-183.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive
Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
90.5
96.3
naa
84.1
100.0
88.2
90.0
a Not available since drywall TCP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-369

-------
Table G-184.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First  Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
7.7
9.7
3.1
12.1
12.2
12.0
10.2
% False
Negative
0.0
16.7
naa
1.1
11.5
4.5
5.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-185.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the  First  Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.2
0.0
0.0
0.8
% False
Negative
33.3
85.2
naa
62.5
100.0
77.4
73.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-370

-------
Table 6-186.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
16.0
6.7
16.5
13.7
6.2
18.0
12.5
% False
Negative
2.4
28.6
naa
31.5
27.1
10.9
18.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-187.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
90.5
96.3
naa
72.1
100.0
90.0
88.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-371

-------
Table 6-188.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Control Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
9.0
24.2
0.8
9.2
13.9
6.2
11.3
% False
Negative
2.4
3.6
naa
20.7
13.6
8.9
10.6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-189.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint  Reading Control
Corrected Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.0
0.8
0.5
% False
Negative
23.8
48.1
naa
31.8
69.2
49.0
45.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead .
                                    6-372

-------
Table 6-190.
First Standard Paint Fully Corrected Reading Without an
Inconclusive Range.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,366
2,366
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,187
% False
Positive
1.9
0.0
4.8
0.4
9.4
0.0
10.1
0.5
% False
Negative
6.8
86.8
10.8
78.4
10.0
88.9
9.9
43.4
                                    6-373

-------
Table 6-191.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Fully Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
2.8
1.6
0.9
2.8
0.0
3.2
1.9
% False
Negative
0.0
7.4
naa
6.8
11.5
6.9
6.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-192.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Fully Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
96.3
naa
72.7
100.0
87.3
86.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead .
                                    6-374

-------
Table 6-193.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Fully Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
435
226
378
444
698
2,366
% False
Positive
2.8
8.4
1.3
5.5
4.1
4.2
4.8
% False
Negative
2.4
24.1
naa
2.3
23.1
9.5
10.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-194.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Fully Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
435
226
378
444
698
2,366
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.4
% False
Negative
50.0
87.0
naa
64.8
100.0
'82.4
78.4
a Not available since drywall ICP. measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-375

-------
Table 6-195.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
11.8
15.2
1.7
10.5
8.9
7.7
9.4
% False
Negative
0.0
14.3
naa
8.7
8.5
11.8
10.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-196.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
100.0
naa
76.7
100.0
89.0
88.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-376

-------
Table 6-197.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
10.4
16.2
2.1
11.1
12.4
6.6
10.1
% False
Negative
2.4
10.7
naa
16.3
8.5
8.9
9.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-198.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Fully Corrected
Reading Without an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
216
113
188
222
355
1,187
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.0
0.8
0.5
% False
Negative
23.8
51.9
naa
30.2
61.5
46.1
43 .4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-377

-------
Table 6-199.
First Standard Paint Reading Red NIST Average  Corrected
Without an Inconclusive Range.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
' Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
1.9
0.0
4.6
0.3
9.1
0.0
10.6
0.5
% False
Negative
7.7
88.2
9.7
77.9
9.0
89.4
9.9
42.7
                                    6-378

-------
Table 6-200.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
2.8
1.0
1.8
1.4
0.5
3.6
1.9
% False
Negative
0.0
11.1
naa
9.1
3.8
8.8
7.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-201.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
96.3
naa
79.5
100.0
87.3
88.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-379

-------
Table 6-202.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
2.1
6.5
2.2
4.8
3.1
6.0
4.6
% False
Negative
2.4
20.4
naa
1.1
21.2
9.0
9.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-203.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
% False
Negative
50.0
87.0
naa
63.6
100.0
81.9
77.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-380

-------
Table 6-204.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an
Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
12.5
12.1
2.5
8.9
8.7
9.2
9.1
% False
Negative
0.0
16.1
naa
5.4
8.5
10.5
9.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-205.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Without an Inconclusive
Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
96.3
naa
79.1
100.0
90.0
89.4
3 Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-381

-------
Table 6-206.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First  Standard Paint  Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected Without  an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
11.1
18.0
2.1
11.1
11.9
7.3
10.6
% False
Negative
2 .4
7.1
naa
18.5
13.6
7.6
9.9
• Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-207.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint  Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected Without  an Inconclusive Range.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.0
0.8
0.5
% False
Negative
23.8
55.6
naa
27.3
69.2
43.1
42.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-382

-------
     6.5.3     Impact of An Inconclusive Range With a 1.6 ma/cm2
               Upper Bound and a 0.4 mg/cm2 Lower Bound

     All of the error percentage tables given above were results
from classifying XRF measurements as negative or positive.  This
section and the next section present results from classifying XRF
measurements as negative, positive, or inconclusive.  In this
section, an XRF measurement was classified positive if the XRF
measurement was 1.6 mg/cm2 or greater,  negative  if the XRF
measurement was 0.4 mg/cm2 or less,  and in the  inconclusive range
if the XRF measurement was between 0 .4 and 1. 6 mg/cm2.   As noted
above, an "XRF measurement" is a term used for general discussion
purposes.  In each subsection below where a specific
classification analysis is discussed,  the XRF measurement will be
defined as either a single reading, a single reading corrected
for substrate bias, an average of three readings, or an average
of three readings corrected for substrate bias.

     €.5.3.1   First Standard Paint Readings With an  (0.4 - 1.6
               mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     Table 6-208 shows overall error rates by instrument for the
first standard paint reading using the  (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)
inconclusive range.  Tables 6-209 and 6-210 provide the same
information for four ICP measurement categories and Tables 6-211
through 6-218 provide the same information by substrate.

     In Table 6-208, the Lead Analyzer K-shell had the lowest
false positive and false negative rates  (0.5% and 1.4%,
respectively) for those instruments with both misclassification
rates (the false positive and false negative percentages) less
than 10%.  The MAP-3 K-shell had both misclassification rates
under 4%.  The Microlead I also had low misclassification rates
with a 7.5% false positive rate and a 1.1% false negative rate.
The XL had a somewhat higher false negative rate  (11.4%) and a
very low false positive rate  (0.1%).  All other instruments had
at least one misclassification rate greater than 20% ranging from
the 21.8% false positive rate for the XK-3 to the 66.4% false
negative rate from the X-MET 880.

     Comparisons of Table 6-208 to Table 6-158 shows that the
addition of the inconclusive range substantially reduces the
error percentages in all cases.  However, the Lead Analyzer
L-shell, the MAP-3 L-shell, the X-MET 880, and the XK-3
instruments still had at least one error rate greater than 20%.
Two XRF instruments had inconclusive percentages less than 10%:
the Lead Analyzer L-shell and the X-MET 880, but, both of these

                              6-383

-------
instruments had false negative rates greater than 65%.
Furthermore, Table 6-217 shows that XK-3 instrument's results on
concrete, metal, and plaster substrates had false positive rates
greater than 26%.

     Tables 6-209 and 6-210 show the same information as Table
6-208 but for four categories of ICP measurements and Figures
6-92 through 6-99 graphically illustrates the same information.
These two tables indicate where the misclassification errors are
occurring relative to the ICP measurement.  Tables 6-209 and
6-210 are analogous to Tables 6-159 and 6-160 with the addition
of the inconclusive range.  Tables 6-209 and 6-210 show
differences between K-shell instruments and L-shell instruments
by comparing the percent in the inconclusive range.  In Table
6-209, the  inconclusive percentages for the L-shell instruments
were all five percent or less except for the XL which had 10.5%
of its first standard paint readings in the higher ICP range
classified  as inconclusive.  This is in contrast to the K-shell
instruments that had inconclusive rates greater than 35% in the
ICP measurement category bounded by the ICP measurement median
and 1.0 mg/cm2 lead.   Figures 6-92  through 6-99  clearly
illustrate  this difference.  For example, in the bottom two bars,
the L-shell instruments a greater percentage of inconclusive and
disagree results than did the K-shell instruments.

     6.5.3.2   Average of Three Standard XRF Readings With an
                (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     Table  6-219 shows overall error rates by instrument for the
average of  three first standard paint readings using the {0.4 -
1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.   Comparisons of  Table 6-219  and
Table 6-208 show that for the K-shell instruments the error
percentages  (false positive and false negative)  are the same in
two cases and slightly smaller for the average in six cases.  The
error percentages for the L-shell instruments are the same in six
cases, while the average is slightly smaller the remaining two
cases.  In  no case, either for K- or L-shell instruments, does
the average represent a significant improvement over the first
standard paint reading.  In particular, in cases where the error
rate was high, the false negative for the L-shell instruments and
false positive for the XK-3, only very minimal improvement
occurred by use of the average of three readings.

     Tables 6-211 through 6-218 break down the results for the
first standard paint reading by substrate.  Tables 6-220 through
6-227 are the companion tables for the average of three readings.
For the four K-shell instruments, there are a total of 44 error

                              6-384

-------
percentages when broken down by substrate.  In 22 cases,  the
error percentages for the average are smaller, in 20 cases there
is no difference between the average and the first standard paint
reading error percentages, and in two cases the error percentages
are higher for the average.  For the L-shell instruments,  35
cases are the same, four cases show the average as lower,  and
five cases show the average as higher.  In no case was any
improvement of the average over the first standard paint reading
very great.  For example, there are 24 error rates exceeding 10%;
of these, only four were reduced below 10% by use of the average,
and all of the improvements were small.  For the MAP-3, 11.1 %
and 11.5% false negative rates on concrete and plaster for the
first standard paint reading were reduced to 9.3% and 9.6%.  On
wood, an XL false negative rate of 13.7% was reduced to 7.8% and
a Microlead I false positive rate of 12.3 was reduced to 10.4%.

     The conclusion from examining these classification results
is the same as given above.  That is, although use of the average
of three 15-second readings may result in a more accurate
classification of paint than use of only a single reading, the
improvement is usually minimal and not of practical significance.
Thus, it appears that the additional effort involved in taking
three 15-second readings at a sampling location versus only one
is not justified by an increase the accuracy of classification of
paint.

     6.5.3.3   Standard XRF Readings Control Corrected With an
                (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     The first standard paint reading was "control corrected" by
subtracting the average of the initial and ending red NIST SRM
control block readings in the dwelling, minus 1.02 mg/cm2.  Table
6-228 shows overall error rates by instrument for the first
standard paint control corrected readings using the  (0.4  - 1.6
mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.  This table should be compared to
Table 6-208, which shows the same information for the first
standard paint  [uncorrected] reading.  For the MAP-3 K-shell and
the Lead Analyzer K-shell, both error rates were low before and
after correction, so the procedure again  had  little impact.  For
the XK-3, control correction reduces the  false positive rate from
21.8% to 3.5% with only a  small increase  in the false negative
rate, from 1.1% to 4.0%.   For the Microlead I, the  false  positive
rate was decreased from 7.5% to 4.9%, but at  the expense  of an
increase in the false negative rate  from  1.1% to 12.4%.   The
performance of the XK-3 was improved by control correction, while
that of the Microlead I was worsened by control correction.  The
L-shell instruments showed no improvement.  Overall, then,

                              6-385

-------
control correction did not improve the performance of L-shell
instruments.   Thus,  the impact of control correction appears to
be instrument-specific, so that no general recommendation on its
use can be made.

     Tables 6-229 and 6-230 provide the same information by ICP
measurement category.  Tables 6-209 and 6-210 are the companion
tables for the first standard [uncorrected]  reading with a  (0.4 -
1.6 mg/cm2) inconclusive  range.

     Tables 6-231 through 6-238 break down the control corrected
error rates by substrate for the eight instruments, and are to be
compared to Tables 6-211 through 6-218 for the first standard
paint  [uncorrected]  reading.  For the L-shell instruments, the
same picture emerges as from the overall data.  False negative
rates by substrate remain high after correction.  In the case of
the XL, correction has a substantial negative impact on concrete.
For the Lead Analyzer K-shell, error rates by substrate were low
without correction and remain so after correction, confirming
that the procedure has little impact.  For the MAP-3 K-shell,
false positive rates by substrate were generally increased
slightly with a corresponding decrease in false negative rate.
However, the false negative rates for concrete and plaster shown
in Table 6-213 were above 10% before correction  {11.1% and
11.5%), and were reduced by correction (to 7.4% and 5.8%) as
shown in Table 6-233.  Thus, on an individual substrate basis,
control correction has merit for the MAP-3 K-shell.  For the
XK-3, four of the substrates have high false positive rates which
were dramatically reduced by control correction.  However, the
false negative rate on metal was increased sharply, from 0 to
15.2%.  Thus, on a substrate-specific basis, control correction
usually improves accuracy for the XK-3, but not always.  For the
Microlead I,  metal and plaster have very high false negative
rates after control correction, which outweighs the modest
reductions in false positive rates.  Thus, substrate-specific
analyses generally confirm the overall results, except that some
positive impact of control correction for the MAP-3 K-shell was
indicated, while the approach appears somewhat less effective for
the XK-3 than indicated by the overall data.

     6.5.3.4   Standard XRF Readings Fully Corrected With an  (0.4
               - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     For this analysis, the first standard paint reading was
"fully corrected" by subtracting the average of the three
standard red NIST SRM readings taken from the same sampling
location,  minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   Table 6-239 shows overall error

                              6-386

-------
rates by instrument for the first standard paint fully corrected
readings using the  (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.   This
table should be compared to Table 6-208, which shows the same
information for the first standard paint [uncorrected]  reading.
Tables 6-240 through 6-247 provide the same information by
substrate category.  Tables 6-211 through 6-218 are the companion
tables for the first standard  [uncorrected]  reading with a  (0.4 -
1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.  Full correction was effective in
reducing error rates the Microlead I and the XK-3 and on wood and
metal substrates for the MAP-3«

     6.5.3.5   Standard XRF Readings Red NIST SRM Average
               Corrected With,  an  {0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive
               Range

     The first standard paint  reading was "red NIST SRM average
corrected" by subtracting the  corresponding substrate average of
all red NIST SRM reading taken at each sampling location in the
dwelling, minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   Table 6-248 shows overall error
rates by instrument.  Tables 6-249 through 6-256 break down the
information by substrate.  This method of correction provided
results similar to  full correction.
                                                               .2
     6.5.4     Impact of An Inconclusive Range With a 1.3 mq/cm
               Upper Bound and a 0.7 ma/cm2 Lower Bound

     In this section, an alternative inconclusive  range was used
to classify the XRF readings  as negative, positive, or
inconclusive.  The previous section defined  the  inconclusive
range as having a 1.6 mg/cm2 upper bound and a 0.4 mg/cm2  lower
bound.  This section defines  the inconclusive range as having  a
1.3 mg/cm2 upper bound and a 0.7 mg/cm2 lower bound,  and will be
referred to as the alternate  inconclusive range.   The impact of
the alternate inconclusive range can be assessed by comparing  the
results in this section to the results presented in the previous
section.
                               6-387

-------
Table 6-208.
First Standard Paint Reading With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.5
0.0
2.3
0.0
7.5
0.0
21.8
0.1
% False
Negative
1.4
65.5
3.7
36.8
1.1
66.4
1.1
11.4
%
Inconc lus i ve
18.1
6.1
23.4
12.2
30.3
6.8
35.1
15.3
                                    6-388

-------
Table 6-209.
False Positive Results for First Standard Paint Readings
With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6
mg/cm2,  Categorized by Their Corresponding ICP Measurement
Above and Below the 0.19S4 mg/cm2 Median of the 1,290 ICP
Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
608
362
608
362
1,209
783
1,209
723
1,252
754
596
361
1,251
754
607
362
JCP Measurement Range
{mg/cm2)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[ 0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
% False
Positive
0.2
1.1
0.0
0.0
1.6
3.5
0.0
0.0
5.6
10.7
0.0
0.0
9.9
41.5
0.0
0.3
%
Inconclusive
4.6
40.3
0.3
1.4
19.3
37.1
4.1
4.4
28.4
45.0
1.5
3.0
39.9
42.7
3.0
10.5
                                     6-389

-------
Table 6-210.
False Negative Results for First  Standard Paint Readings
With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6
mg/cm2 Categorized by Their Corresponding  ICP Measurement
Above and Below the 2.4891 mg/cm2  90th Percentile of the
1,290 ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L- shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L- shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L- shell
Sample
Size
118
102
118
102
233
202
233
202
240
229
116
101
242
231
118
102
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cm2)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - »)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th fctile - o>)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
% False
Negative
1,7
1.0
69.5
60.8
4.7
2.5
44 .6
27.7
2.1
0.0
68.1
64.4
2.1
0.0
13.6
8.8
%
Inconclusive
33.9
1.0
30.5
28.4
21.5
2.0
47.2
48. 5
22.1
1.3
31.0
23.8
13.6
6.9
69.5
43.1
                                    6-390

-------
       LEAD  ANALYZER   K-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg


    1ow neg


    1ow pos


   high pos
            O
          XRF
high
 low
                       1 1
                        T	1—t	1	.	1	.	,	.	1	1	1	r

                        22          33

                            PERCENT
                                                              FREQ .

                                                                 6O8


                                                                 362


                                                                 1 IS


                                                                 1O2
                                                               PCT .

                                                              5 1 . O9


                                                              30 ,42


                                                               9 . 92


                                                               8 , 57
                                                          44
                                                                      55
          H Agree
                                             Di sagree
                                      ICP Categories
                                          KXXXXXXX Inconclusive
= t;O, median}
= Cl,O mg/cm2
                       9Oth  95tile5
                                                   low  neg = [ med i an ,  l.O mg/cm2}
                                                  high  pos = [9Oth  96 1 ± 1 e ,  ~^
Figure 6-92.   Bar  chart  of  classifications  by laboratory  ICP  categories  for  Lead
               Analyzer K-shell, with an inconclusive range bounded by 0 . 4 mg/cm2 and 1.6
               mg/cm2.
                                          6-391

-------
       LEAD  ANALYZER   L-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
        TCP

   high neg


    low neg

    low pos

   high pos
            O
          XRF
                       11
                   1  i •
                   22
                                                          FREQ .

                                                            6O8


                                                            362


                                                            1 18


                                                            1O2
                                                                      PCT .

                                                                     5 1 . O9


                                                                     30 .42


                                                                      9 . 92


                                                                      8 . 57
                                                                      55
                                      PERCENT
                     J Agree
                              Di sagree
                                      ICP Categories
                                                 fcxxxxxxx Inconclusive
           high  neg=QO, median}
low
          mg/ctn
                                 9Oth
 low neg=[median,  1.O  mg/cm2)
high pos = [9Oth 96tile,  <~}
Figure 6-93.
Bar  chart  of classifications by  laboratory  ICP  categories  for Lead
Analyzer L-shell, with an inconclusive range bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and  1.6
mg/cm2.
                                          6-392

-------
        ICP
   high neg

    low nee

    1ow pos

   high pos
            O
          XRF
               MAP-3   K-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
                                    T
                                               T
                                                     FREQ .
                                                      12O9

                                                       723

                                                       233

                                                       2O2
                                     PCT .
                                    51 . OS

                                    30 .54

                                     9 . 84

                                     8 .53
                       1 1
              22          33
                  PERCENT
                                                                       55
J Agree
Di sagree
KXXXXXXfl  Inconclusive
                                      ICP Categories
           high neg=[0, median}                    low neg=[median,  l.O  rng/cm2}
            low pos=[l.O mg/cmz, 9Oth  96tile}      high pos = C9Oth 95tile,  ~5
Figure 6-94.   Bar  chart of classifications by laboratory ICP categories  for MAP-3 K-
               shell,  with an inconclusive  range bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
                                          6-393

-------
        ICP

   high neg

    low neg

    low pos

   high pos
            O
          XRF
               MAP-3  L-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
                                                    FREQ.

                                                     12O9


                                                      723


                                                      233


                                                      202
                                              PCT .

                                             51 .08


                                             30 .54


                                              9 . 84


                                              8 .53
  1 1
22          33

    PERCENT
                                                          44
                                                                     55
J Agree
          Di sagree
                                      ICP Categories
                                                                   Inconclusive
           high  neg=QO,  median)
            low  pos=[l.O mg/cm2,  9Oth 9Stile)
                             low neg = (] medi an ,  1 . O mg/cm2}
                            high pos = [9Oth  95tile,  ~5
Figure 6-95.   Bar  chart of  classifications  by laboratory  ICP  categories for  MAP-3
               L-shell, with an inconclusive range  bounded by  0.4  mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
                                          6-394

-------
         MIGROLEAD  I   K-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
        ICP

   high neg


    1ow neg


    low pos


   high pos
            O
          XRF
                                   T
                                               T
  1 1
22          33

    PERCENT
1 i '
44
                                                    FREQ .

                                                     1252


                                                      754


                                                      24O


                                                      229
                                                 55
                                              PCT .

                                             5O ,59


                                             3O . 46


                                              9 . 7O


                                              9 .25
II Agree
           high  neg=QO,  median)
            low  pos=£l.O
                                      ICP Categories
                                                                   Inconclusive
                             low neg = Qniedian,  l.O
                            high pos = [9Oth  96t i 1 e ,
Figure 6-96.   Bar chart of  classifications by laboratory ICP categories  for  Microlead
               I, with an inconclusive range  bounded  by 0.4  mg/cm2 and  1.6 mg/cm2.
                                         6-395

-------
           X-MET   880   L-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
        1CP
          XRF
                                   22          33

                                      PERCENT
                                                    FREQ .

                                                      596


                                                      361


                                                      116


                                                      101
                                                 55
                                    PCT .

                                   50 . 77


                                   3O . 75


                                    9 . 88


                                    8 . 6O
D Agree
Di sagree
                                      ICP Categories
                                                                   Inconclusive
           high  neg=EO,  median)
            low  pos = [l.O mg/cm2 ,  9Oth 961 i 1 e
                              low  neg = Q medi an ,  l.O mg/cin2)
                             high  pos = [9Oth  9Stile, o»)
Figure 6-97.   Bar chart of  classifications by laboratory ICP categories for X-MET 880,
               with an  inconclusive  range bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
                                          6-396

-------
        TCP
            o
          XRF
                XK-3   K-SHELL   CLASSIFICATIONS
             ~T

             1 1
          J Agree
                                                                          FREQ .
                                                                        PCT .

                                                                       SO .48

                                                                       3O .43


                                                                        9.77


                                                                        9 , 32
22          33

    PERCENT
                                                           44
                     55
          Di sagree
                                       IGP  Categories
high neg = r.O,  median}
 low pos = Cl.O mg/cffl2,  9Oth
                                         i 1 e
 low
high
                                                              KKXXXXXH  Inconclusive
                        t]median,  l.O mg/cin2}
                               95-tile, «>}
Figure 6-98.    Bar chart of classifications  by laboratory ICP categories for XK-3, with
                an inconclusive range bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
                                           6-397

-------
         IGP
   high  neg
    low  neg

    low  pos

   high  pos
            O
          XRF
                   XL   L-SHELL  CLASSIFICATIONS
  1—I—>
  11
                                    ~T
                                                T
                                   22          33
                                       PERCENT
J Agree
           high neg=QO, median)
            low pos = Cl.O mg/cm2
            Di sagree
     ICP Categories
                  low
9Oth 95tile)      high
                                                     FREQ .
                                                       6O7

                                                       362

                                                       1 18

                                                       1O2
                                                 PCT .
                                                51 . OS

                                                3O .45

                                                 9 . 92

                                                 8 . 58
                         44
         55
KXXXXXXX Inconclusive
                                      Qmedian,  l.O  ing/ cm
                                      [I9Oth  «tile,  =0)
Figure 6-99.   Bar  chart of  classifications by laboratory ICP categories for XL,  with an
               inconclusive  range bounded by  0.4  mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2.
                                          6-398

-------
Table 6-211.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2  and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
% False
Negative
0.0
0.0
naa
0.0
0.0
2.9
1.4
%
Inconclusive
16.1
17.4
9.8
25.4
14.4
20.0
18.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-212.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
38.1
88.9
naa
54.5
88.5
63.7
65.5
%
Inconclusive
11.8
1.4
0.0
10.1
1.4
10.1
6.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-399

-------
Table 6-213.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1. 6 mg/cm2.
S libs tr ate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.7
2.6
1.3
1.7
1.3
4.0
2.3
% False
Negative
0.0
11.1
naa
1.1
11.5
1.5
3.7
%
Inconclusive
14.6
15.1
21.7
48.4
14.2
23.9
23.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-214.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
19.0
38.9
naa
38.6
71.2
30.2
36.8
%
Inconclusive
16.8
6.4
1.8
21.4
3.6
18.5
12.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-400

-------
Table 6-215.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
3.5
9.8
5.1
8.3
1.5
12.3
7.5
% False
Negative
0.0
1.8
naa
1.1
1.7
0.9
1.1
%
Inconclusive
32.3
38.7
32.5
25.9
30.7
26.4
30.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-216.
X-Met 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
61.9
77.8
naa
55.8
92.3
62.0
66.4
%
Inconc lus i ve
8.6
2.8
0.0
15.4
0.9
10.5
6.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-401

-------
Table 6-217.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading With
an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
19.4
44.8
0.4
31.2
26.6
5.6
21.8
% False
Negative
2.4
0.0
naa
0.0
1.7
1.3
1.1
%
Inconclusive
49.5
38.7
18.6
44.8
40.0
26.2
35.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than l.O
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-218.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading With an
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
9.5
7.4
naa
9.1
11.5
13.7
11.4
%
Inconclusive
9.7
13.4
6.2
15.3
11.3
23.4
15.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-402

-------
Table 6-219.
Standard Paint Average With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by
0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.5
0.0
1.5
0.0
6.2
0.0
21.1
0.1
% False
Negative
0.9
65.5
3.0
37.7
0.2
66.4
1.1
9.1
%
Inconclusive
19.2
6.2
20.0
12.0
36.0
6.6
37.4
16.6
                                    6-403

-------
Table 6-220.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint
Average With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.8
0.5
% False
Negative
0.0
0.0
naa
0.0
0.0
2.0
0.9
%
Inconclusive
14.0
19.3
9.7
29.1
16.7
19.7
19.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-221.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint
Average With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
38.1
85.2
naa
54.5
88.5
64.7
65.5
%
Inconclusive
11.8
1.8
0.0
10.1
1.8
10.1
6.2
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-404

-------
Table 6-222.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 rag/cm2  and  1.6
ing/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.7
1.1
0.9
1.4
0.5
3.2
1.5
% False
Negative
0.0
9.3
naa
1.1
9.6
1.0
3.0
%
Inconc lus i ve
7.6
9.4
15.9
52.9
11.0
19.1
20.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-223.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and  1.6
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
19.1
46.3
naa
38.6
73.1
29.7
37.7
%
Inconclusive
16.8
5.7
1.3
21.2
3.7
18.9
12.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-405

-------
Table 6-224.
Microlead I by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With
an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
3.5
5.7
6.8
6.7
1.5
10.4
6.2
% False
Negative
0.0
0.0
naa
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.2
%
Inconclusive
36.6
48.9
34.2
30.8
35.9
31.8
36.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-225.
X-Met 880 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With
an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
61.9
77.8
naa
55.8
92.3
62.0
66.4
%
Inconc lus i ve
8.6
2.8
0.0
14.9
0.9
9.9
6.6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-406

-------
Table 6-226.
XK-3 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With an
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
745
2,478
% False
Positive
16.8
46.7
0.0
27.7
25.3
5.0
21.1
% False
Negative
2.4
0.0
naa
0.0
1.7
1.3
1.1
%
Inconclus i ve
57.0
41.2
17.7
47.5
44.2
26.9
37.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-227.
XL by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With an
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
4.8
7.4
naa
9.1
19.2
7.8
9.1
%
Inconclus i ve
14.0
12.4
6.2
18.0
10.4
26.2
16.6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-407

-------
Table 6-228.
First Standard Paint Control  Corrected With an  Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L- shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L- shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L- shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.4
0.0
2.8
0.0
4.9
0.0
3.5
0.1
% False
Negative
1.8
68.6
2.3
45.5
12.4
71.4
4.0
11.8
%
Inconclusive
18.1
5.1
27.3
9.7
24.0
5.0
25.1
15.7
                                    6-408

-------
Table 6-229.
False Positive Results for First Standard Paint Readings
Control Corrected With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
rag/cm2  and  1.6 mg/cm2, Categorized by Their Corresponding
ICP Measurement Above and Below the 0.1964 mg/cm2  Median of
the 1,290 ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
608
362
608
362
1,209
723
1,209
723
1,252
753
596
361
1,253
754
608
362
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cm2)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
[0 - median)
[median - 1.0)
% False
Positive
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.0
2.1
4.1
0.0
0.0
3.8
6.8
0.0
0.0
1.6
6.8
0.0
0.3
%
Inconclusive
4.1
40.3
0.0
0.8
22.7
44.0
3.1
2.1
22.9
31.9
0.5
1.9
15.2
46.2
2.8
11.9
                                    6-409

-------
Table 6-230.
False Negative Results for First Standard Paint Readings
Control Corrected With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2 Categorized by Their Corresponding ICP
Measurement Above and Below the 2.4891 mg/cra2  90th Percentile
of the 1,290 ICP Measurements.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
118
102
118
102
233
202
233
202
240
229
116
101
242
231
118
102
ICP Measurement Range
(mg/cm2)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - co)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - CD)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
[1.0 - 90th %tile)
[90th %tile - oo)
% False
Negative
1.7
2.0
72.9
63.7
2.6
2.0
52.4
37.6
17.5
7.0
73.3
69.3
2.9
5.2
15.3
7.8
%
Inconclusive
36.4
1.0
27.1
25.5
20.6
3.0
41.2
40.1
25.4
3.1
25.9
18.8
31.8
3.5
69.5
44.1
                                    6-410

-------
Table 6-231.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Control Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.8
0.4
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
0.0
0.0
2.9
1.8
%
Inconclusive
5.4
18.8
8.0
27.0
17.6
19.7
18.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-232.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Control Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
33.3
88.9
naa
56.8
92.3
69.6
68.6
%
Inconclusive
12.9
1.4
0.0
9.0
0.9
7.6
5.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-411

-------
Table 6-233.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Control Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded
by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
1.4
3.7
1.3
1.4
1.8
5.0
2.8
% False
Negative
0.0
7.4
naa
1.1
5.8
1.0
2.3
%
Xnconc lus i ve
18.4
21.1
20.4
40.5
27.3
28.8
27.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-234.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Control Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded
by 0 .4 mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
19.0
57.4
naa
40.9
96.2
36.7
45.5
%
Inconc lus i ve
14.1
4.4
0.4
19.3
0.5
15.6
9.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-412

-------
Table 6-235.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Control Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded
by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1. 6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
2.1
2.1
6.0
6.4
2.5
8.3
4.9
% False
Negative
0.0
8.9
naa
29.3
16.9
7.3
12.4
%
Inconclusive
27.4
17.1
43.0
27.1
18.4
23.1
24.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-236.
X-Met 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Control
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
61.9
88.9
naa
55.8
96.2
69.0
71.4
%
Inconclusive
6.5
1.4
0.0
12.6
0.5
7.6
5.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-413

-------
Table 6-237.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Control
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2  and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
1.4
9.0
0.0
3.2
3.5
1.9
3.5
% False
Negative
2.4
0.0
naa
15.2
1.7
1.3
4.0
%
Inconclusive
19.4
43.7
8.0
19.2
33.1
19.2
25.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than l . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-238.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Control
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
9.5
14.8
naa
9.1
11.5
12.7
11.8
%
Inconclusive
9.7
12.9
7.1
15.3
10.8
25.1
15.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-414

-------
Table 6-239.
First Standard Paint Fully Corrected With an Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2  and  1.6  mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,366
2,366
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,187
% False
Positive
0.2
0.0
1.6
0.0
2.1
0.0
2.2
0.1
% False
Negative
2.3
61.4
4.6
54.0
1.9
71.9
4.7
10.0
%
Inconclusive
19.3
6.8
19.7
8.2
30.3
4.9
27.6
18.7
                                    6-415

-------
Table 6-240.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint
Fully Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded
by 0.4 mg/cm2  and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
4.5
0.0
2.0
2.3
%
Inconclusive
12.9
17.9
8.0
29.1
20.7
19.4
19.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-241.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint
Fully Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded
by 0.4 mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
38.1
81.5
naa
40.9
88.5
62.8
61.4
%
Inconclusive
11.8
2.3
0.0
13.8
1.4
10.1
6.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-416

-------
Table 6-242.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
435
226
378
444
698
2,366
% False
Positive
1.4
4.5
0.9
0.7
1.3
0.6
1.6
% False
Negative
0.0
13.0
naa
1.1
11.5
3.0
4.6
%
Inconclus ive
7.0
16.3
15.0
31.2
17.3
22.1
19.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-243.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
435
226
378
444
698
2,366
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
28.8
63.0
naa
44.3
90.4
51.8
54.0
%
Inconclusive
13.0
4.6
0.0
17.2
1.8
11.0
8.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-417

-------
Table 6-244.
Microlead I by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
2.8
4.4
0.0
3.2
0.5
1.9
2.1
% False
Negative
0.0
1.8
naa
2.2
3.4
1.8
1.9
%
Inconc lus i ve
27.4
36.7
18.1
28.8
38.0
27.1
30.3
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead .
Table 6-245.
X-Met 880 by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully
Corrected Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4
mg/cm2 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
61.9
85.2
naa
65.1
96.2
67.0
71.9
%
Inconc lus i ve
6.5
1.8
0.0
9.1
0.5
8.5
4.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-418

-------
Table 6-246.
XK-3 by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully Corrected
Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 rag/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
1.4
3.9
0.0
2.5
2.5
1,8
2.2
% False
Negative
2.4
3.6
naa
13.0
3.4
2.2
4.7
%
Inconclusive
24.7
39.4
8.9
29.1
36.1
21.3
27.6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
ing/ cm2 lead.
Table 6-247.
XL by Substrate for First Standard Paint Fully Corrected
Reading With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 mg/cm2 and
1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
216
113
188
222
355
1,187
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
0.0
7.4
naa
9.3
11.5
12.8
10.0
%
Inconclusive
11.8
14.1
15.9
16.0
15.3
27.9
18.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-419

-------
Table 6-248.
First Standard Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average  Corrected
With an Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6  mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.3
0.0
1.1
0.0
3.1
0.0
2.3
0.1
% False
Negative
3.2
62.7
3.9
51.3
2.1
71.4
4.2
10.5
%
Inconc lus i ve
18.5
6.5
17.8
8.3
26.9
5.0
25.4
17.5
                                    6-420

-------
Table 6-249.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
6.8
0.0
2.9
3.2
%
Inconclusive
8.6
18.8
9.7
24.9
21.2
18.6
18.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-250.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
23.8
88.9
naa
40.9
92.3
65.7
62.7
%
Inconclus i ve
15.1
1.4
0.0
13.2
0.9
9.3
6.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-421

-------
Table 6-251.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
1.4
1.8
0.9
0.0
1.0
1.4
1.1
% False
Negative
0.0
13.0
naa
1.1
9.6
2.0
3.9
%
Inconclusive
7.6
16.5
12.4
30.2
15.5
17.8
17.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-252.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
26.2
61.1
naa
46.6
92.3
45.2
51.3
%
Inconclusive
13.5
3.7
0.4
15.9
0.9
12.9
8.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-422

-------
Table 6-253.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
2.8
2.8
1.3
4.5
1.5
4.6
3.1
% False
Negative
0.0
3.6
naa
1.1
3.4
2.3
2.1
%
Inconclusive
23.7
36.3
14.3
22.7
36.7
22.2
26.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-254.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
61.9
85.2
naa
58.1
96.2
69.0
71.4
%
Inconclusive
6.5
1.8
0.0
10.9
0.5
8.2
5.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-423

-------
Table 6-255.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
2.8
3.6
0.0
2.9
1.7
2.5
2.3
% False
Negative
2.4
3.6
naa
12.0
1.7
2.2
4.2
%
Inconc lus i ve
21.0
37.6
8.0
24.6
35.9
18.6
25.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-256.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
0.0
7.4
naa
9.1
11.5
13.7
10.5
%
Inconclusive
12.9
13.4
12.4
15.9
12.6
26.8
17.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-424

-------
     6.5.4.1   First Standard XRF Readings With an Alternate  (0.7
               - 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     Table 6-257 shows overall error rates by instrument for the
first standard paint reading using the  (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)
inconclusive range.  Comparisons to Table 6-208, which shows
overall error rates by instrument for the first standard paint
reading using the  (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range,  were
made to examine differences between the two methods for
classifying results using two different inconclusive ranges.

     All but two of the sixteen error percentages in Table 6-257
are larger than those in Table 6-208.  The exceptions that
remained unchanged were the zero percent false positive results
for the Lead Analyzer L-shell and X-MET 880.  All of the false
negative rate increases for the L-shell instruments were
substantial including an increase from 11.4% to 29.5% for the XL.

     All inconclusive rates in Table 6-258 decreased from those
in Table 6-208.  The largest of the inconclusive percentages for
the L-shell instruments was attributable to the XL which had 5.9%
of its results classified as inconclusive.  For the K-shell
instruments, inconclusive percentages ranged from 6.0% for the
Lead Analyzer to 17.0% for the XK-3.

     Similar comparative results are shown in Tables 6-258
through 6-265 which provide results for the first standard paint
reading by substrate.  Tables 6-211 and 6-218 are the companion
tables for classifying the first standard paint reading with a
(0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive  range.

     Table 6-158 is useful for making comparisons to Table 6-257.
Table 6-158 displays results for the first standard paint reading
without an inconclusive range.  Comparing Table 6-257 to Table
6-158 shows that the results described for XRF classification
without an inconclusive range in Table 6-158 are reflected in
Table 6-257.  That is,  the false negative rates for the L-shell
instruments are high in both tables and the error percentages for
the K-shell instruments are similar in the two tables, although
lower in Table 6-257.  Using the alternate inconclusive range,
Table 6-258 shows that the Lead Analyzer K-shell instrument has
all error rates below five percent and inconclusive rates ranging
from 3.5% on drywall to 9.6% on wood with an overall rate of
6.0%.  Table 6-260 shows that the MAP-3 K-shell instrument has
all error rates below ten percent except for two false positive
rates:  13.0% on concrete and 15.4% on plaster.  The inconclusive
percentages for the MAP-3 range from 6.0% on brick to 25.4% on

                              6-425

-------
metal with an overall inconclusive rate of 11.1%.  Table 6-262
shows that all of the false negative rates for the Microlead I
were low but its false positive rates range from 3.0% on plaster
to 19.3% on wood and its inconclusive rates range from 10.8% on
wood to 19.4% on concrete.  Similarly, the XK-3 has low false
negative rates on all substrates but its false positive and
inconclusive rates were high.  Table 6-264 shows that the overall
false positive rate for the XK-3 was 29.4% and over the
individual substrates it ranged from 1.3% on drywall to 55.7% on
concrete.  The inconclusive rates for the XK-3 range from 6.8% on
drywall to 25.4% on metal.

     6.5.4.2   Average of Three Standard XRF Readings With an
               Alternate  (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     The average of the three standard paint readings at a
sampling location were classified using the (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)
alternate inconclusive range.  Table 6-266 shows overall error
rates by instrument.  Comparisons to Table 6-219, which shows
overall error rates by instrument for the standard paint average
using the (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range,  were made to
examine differences between the two methods for classifying the
average of three readings using different inconclusive ranges.

     All inconclusive rates shown in Table 6-266 decreased from
those shown in Table 6-219.  The Lead Analyzer K-shell and the
MAP-3 K-shell instruments have all overall rates (error rates and
inconclusive rates) less than 10%.  The other two K-shell
instruments, the Microlead I and XK-3, have 13.6 and 18.8%
inconclusive rates and 10.4% and 29.0% false positive rates,
respectively.

     Similar comparative results are shown in Tables 6-267
through 6-274 which provide results by substrate.  Tables 6-220
and 6-226 are the companion tables for the  (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)
inconclusive range.

     6.5.4.3   Standard XRF Readings Control Corrected With an
               Alternate  (0.7- 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive Range

     The first standard paint reading was "control corrected" by
subtracting the average of all the initial and ending red NIST
SRM control block readings in the dwelling, minus 1.02 mg/cm2.
Table 6-275 shows overall error rates by instrument for the first
standard paint control corrected readings using the  (0.7  - 1.3
mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.   This table should be compared to
Table 6-228, which shows the same information for the first

                              6-426

-------
standard paint control corrected reading using the (0.4 - 1.6
mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.

     All but two of the sixteen error percentages shown in Table
6-275 are larger than those in Table 6-228.   The exceptions that
remained unchanged were the zero percent false positive results
for the Lead Analyzer L-shell and X-MET 880.   Again,  all of the
false negative rate increases for the L-shell instruments were
substantial including an increase from 11.8%  to 28.6% for the XL.
The false positive rates show relatively small differences
between the two tables.

     Tables 6-276 through 6-283 display the  control corrected
error rates by substrate for the eight instruments, and are to be
compared to Tables 6-231 through 6-238 which  applied the (0.4 -
1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.

     6.5.4.4   Standard XRF Readings Fully Corrected With an  (0.7
               - 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive  Range

     Table 6-284 shows overall error rates by instrument for the
first standard paint fully corrected readings using the (0.7 -
1.3 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.   This table should be compared to
Table 6-239, which shows the same information for the results
classified using the (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive  range.
Tables 6-285 through 6-292 provide the results by substrate
categories for the  (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range and
Tables 6-240 through 6-247 are the companion  tables for the  (0.4
- 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive range.

     Again, similarities and differences noted in the last two
sections apply here when comparing the results in Table 6-284 to
Table 6-239.  However,  the results in Table  6-284 show that
K-shell instruments have error rates less than ten percent for
either false positive or false negative while maintaining
inconclusive percentages near ten percent.  The largest
inconclusive percentage was for the Microlead I which had 13.8%
of its results classified as inconclusive.

     6.5.4.5   Standard XRF Readings Red NIST SRM Average
               Corrected With an (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)  Inconclusive
               Range

     For this analysis, the first standard paint reading was  "red
NIST SRM average corrected".  Table 6-293 shows overall error
rates by instrument using the (0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2)  inconclusive
range.  Tables 6-294 through 6-301 display the information by

                              6-427

-------
substrate.   Table 6-248 provides similar information for results
classified using the (0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2)  inconclusive  range  and
the comparative tables by substrate are Tables 6-249 through
6-256.

     All but three of the sixteen error percentages shown in
Table 6-293 are larger than those in Table 6-248.  The exceptions
that remained unchanged were the zero percent false positive
results for the Lead Analyzer L-shell and X-MET 880 and the 0.1%
false positive rate for the XL.  Again, all of the false negative
rate increases for the L-shell instruments were substantial
including an increase from 10.5% to 25.5% for the XL.  Similarly,
the false positive rate increases were small.

     The results in Table 6-293 show that K-shell instruments
have error rates less than ten percent while maintaining
inconclusive percentages near ten percent.  The largest
inconclusive percentage was for the XK-3 which had 11.9% of its
results classified as inconclusive.  The results shown in Table
6-293 show that, for the K-shell instruments, the inconclusive
rates decreased noticeably compared to those in Table 6-248 and
that there were relatively small increases in the error rates.

     Tables 6-285, 6-287, 6-289, and 6-291 show results by
substrate for the K-shell instruments.  Misclassification rates
for the K-shell instruments were relatively consistent across
substrates with three exceptions.  The exceptions were the false
negative rates for the MAP-3 K-shell on concrete and plaster and
the false negative rate for the XK-3 on metal.
                              6-428

-------
Table 6-257.
First Standard Paint Reading With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
1.2
0.0
4.1
0.3
12.3
0.0
29.6
0.2
% False
Negative
2.7
83.6
4.6
58.6
2.1
82.5
1.7
29.5
%
Inconclusive
6.0
1.5
11.1
5.1
14.5
2.0
17.0
5.9
                                     6-429

-------
Table 6-258.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between
0.7 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
1.8
0.7
0.5
2.4
1.2
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
4.5
3.8
3.9
2.7
%
Inconc lus i ve
4.3
3.7
3.5
6.3
4.1
9.6
6.0
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-259.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between
0.7 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
65.9
100.0
84.3
83.6
%
Inconclus ive
1.1
0.9
0.0
4.8
0.0
1.7
1.5
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-430

-------
Table 6-260.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
2.1
3.9
1.8
6.2
2.0
6.2
4.1
% False
Negative
0.0
13.0
naa
1.1
15.4
2.0
4.6
%
Inconclusive
6.0
8.0
8.8
25.4
6.5
10.3
11.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-261.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.7
0.0
0.0
0.3
% False
Negative
26.2
66.7
naa
53.4
98.1
55.3
58.6
%
Inconclus ive
4.9
2.5
0.4
9.5
0.2
8.9
5.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-431

-------
Table 6-262.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
11.1
15.5
9.7
11.1
3.0
19.3
12.3
% False
Negative
0.0
1.8
naa
2.2
5.1
1.8
2.1
%
Inconc lus i ve
15.1
19.4
14.8
15.0
14.9
10.8
14.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-263.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
65.1
100.0
82.0
82.5
%
Inconclusive
1.1
0.9
0.0
6.9
0.0
2.5
2.0
" Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead .
                                    6-432

-------
Table 6-264.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading With
an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
32.6
55.7
1.3
41.4
35.2
10.6
29.6
% False
Negative
2.4
0.0
naa
2.2
1.7
1.8
1.7
%
Inconclus ive
24.7
20.7
6.8
25.4
19.9
9.8
17.0
a Not available since drywall TCP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-265.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.2
% False
Negative
23.8
25.9
naa
20.5
46.2
31.4
29.5
%
Inconclusive
1.1
6.0
2.7
4.2
4.1
10.1
5.9
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-433

-------
Table 6-266.
Standard Paint Average With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.8
0.0
2.6
0.3
10.4
0.0
29.0
0.3
% False
Negative
3.2
83.6
3.7
57.9
1.1
82.5
1.7
26.4
%
Inconclusive
7.0
1.6
8.7
5.0
13.6
2.0
18.8
6.8
                                    6-434

-------
Table 6-267.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint
Average With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.0
0.5
2.0
0.8
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
2.3
3.9
3.9
3.2
%
Inconclusive
5.4
3.2
6.2
9.5
5.0
9.9
7.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-268.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint
Average With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7
mg/cm2 and 1. 3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
65.9
100.0
84.3
83.6
%
Inconclusive
1.1
0.9
0.0
4.8
0.5
1.7
1.6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-435

-------
Table 6-269.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2
and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
1.4
1.3
0.9
3.8
0.8
5.6
2.6
% False
Negative
0.0
13.0
naa
1.1
11.5
1.0
3.7
%
Inconclus ive
3.8
3.4
3.5
24.6
5.0
8.6
8.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-270.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average
With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2
and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
% False
Negative
26.2
70.4
naa
53.4
94.2
53.8
57.9
%
Inconclusive
5.4
2.1
0.0
8.5
0.7
9.2
5.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-436

-------
Table 6-271.
Microlead I by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With
an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 tug/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
8.3
10.3
11.4
10.8
1.7
17.0
10.4
% False
Negative
0.0
0.0
naa
0.0
3.4
1.4
1.1
%
Inconc lus i ve
14.5
19.4
14.3
11.1
11.7
12.3
13 .6
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-272.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With
an Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1, 174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
65.1
100.0
82.0
82.5
%
Inconclusive
l.l
0.9
0.0
6.9
0.0
2.5
2.0
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-437

-------
Table 6-273.
XK-3 by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
33.3
57.0
0.9
40.4
34.2
8.9
29.0
% False
Negative
2.4
0.0
naa
2.2
1.7
1.8
1.7
%
Inconclus i ve
28.0
23.0
7.6
26.1
24.0
10.4
18.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-274.
XL by Substrate for the Standard Paint Average With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Between 0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.4
0.3
% False
Negative
23.8
25.9
naa
18.2
34.6
28.4
26.4
%
Inconc lus i ve
0.0
6.0
2.7
5.3
5.4
12.1
6.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-438

-------
Table 6-275.
First Standard Paint Reading Control Corrected With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.9
0.0
5.2
0.2
8.4
0.0
6.5
0.2
% False
Negative
4.5
84.5
3.7
64.1
14.5
85.3
6.8
28.6
%
Inconc lus i ve
6.2
1.3
11.8
4.4
11.1
1.4
12.4
6.7
                                    6-439

-------
Table 6-276.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0. 7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.9
0.7
0.5
1.6
0.9
% False
Negative
0.0
7.4
naa
6.8
3.8
3.9
4.5
%
Inconclusive
3.2
2.8
2.7
6.9
5.4
10.4
6.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-277.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and  1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
65.9
100.0
86.3
84.5
%
Inconclusive
1.1
0.9
0.0
4.8
0.0
1.1
1.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-440

-------
Table 6-278.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 tng/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
5.6
6.0
1.3
3.8
4.1
8.0
5.2
% False
Negative
0.0
13.0
naa
1.1
7.7
2.0
3.7
%
Inconclusive
7.6
8.5
8.0
18.8
14.9
10.5
11.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-279.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
% False
Negative
26.2
83.3
naa
52.3
100.0
62.8
64.1
%
Inconclusive
8.1
0.7
0.4
10.1
0.0
6.9
4.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-441

-------
Table 6-280.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and  1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
9.7
4.4
9.3
7.6
4.7
13.9
8.4
% False
Negative
0.0
17.9
naa
30.4
23.7
7.3
14.5
%
Inconclus i ve
11.8
8.3
21.5
13.1
7.6
10.3
11.1
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
rag/cm2 lead.
Table 6-281.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and  1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
67.4
100.0
87.0
85.3
%
Inconc lus ive
1.1
0.9
0.0
5.1
0.0
1.1
1.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-442

-------
Table 6-282.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Control Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
4.9
15.7
0.0
5.4
7.4
2.9
6.5
% False
Negative
2.4
3.6
naa
17.4
10.2
3.1
6.8
%
Inconclusive
9.7
20.0
4.2
9.9
15.2
10.8
12.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-283.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Control
Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by
0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.2
% False
Negative
23.8
25.9
naa
20.5
50.0
28.4
28.6
%
Inconclusive
1.1
6.5
3.5
4.2
4.1
12.4
6.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-443

-------
Table 6-284.
First Standard Paint Reading Fully Corrected With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,366
2,366
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,187
% False
Positive
0.5
0.0
2.5
0.1
4.2
0.0
5.0
0.1
% False
Negative
3.6
82.3
7.8
67.6
4.7
85.7
6.3
26.0
%
Inconc lus i ve
6.2
1.8
8.2
3.9
13.8
1.3
12.3
7.2
                                    6-444

-------
Table 6-285.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Fully Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and  1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2
0.5
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
6.8
3.8
2.9
3.6
%
Inconclusive
4.3
5.0
2.7
6.3
5.9
8.7
6.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-286.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Fully Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and  1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
76.2
92.6
naa
61.4
100.0
85.3
82.3
%
Inconclusive
3.2
0.9
0.0
6.3
0.0
1.4
1.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-445

-------
Table 6-287.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Fully Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
435
226
378
444
698
2,366
% False
Positive
2.1
5.2
0.9
1.7
2.0
2.0
2.5
% False
Negative
2.4
20.4
naa
l.l
19.2
5.5
7.8
%
Inconclusive
1.6
9.2
3.1
13.5
6.8
9.2
8.2
' Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-288.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Fully Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
435
226
378
444
698
2,366
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
31.0
85.2
naa
53.4
98.1
68.8
67.6
%
Inconc lus i ve
9.2
0.9
0.0
8.2
0.5
5.6
3.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-446

-------
Table 6-289.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Fully Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0. 7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
4.9
8.8
0.8
4.8
2.2
3.5
4.2
% False
Negative
0.0
3.6
naa
4.3
3.4
6.4
4.7
%
Inconclusive
16.1
17.3
6.8
12.8
17.9
11.2
13.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-290.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Fully Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range
Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
69.8
100.0
87.0
85.7
%
Inconclusive
1.1
0.9
0.0
5.1
0.0
0.8
1.3
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-447

-------
Table 6-291.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Fully
Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by
0 .7 mg/cm2  and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
6.3
8.5
0.0
5.4
5.5
3.9
5.0
% False
Negative
2.4
5.4
naa
14.1
5.1
4.5
6.3
%
Inconclusive
9.7
19.1
3.8
11.8
17.1
9.0
12.3
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-292.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Fully
Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by
0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
216
113
188
222
355
1,187
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
19.0
33.3
naa
18.6
42.3
24.5
26.0
%
Inconclusive
1.1
6.5
3.5
6.4
5.4
11.8
7.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-448

-------
Table 6-293.
First Standard Paint Red NIST SRM Average Corrected Reading
With an Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2
and 1.3 mg/cm2.
XRF
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-Met 880
L-shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L-shell
Sample
Size
1,190
1,190
2,367
2,367
2,475
1,174
2,478
1,189
% False
Positive
0.7
0.0
2.6
0.1
4.9
0.0
5,5
0.1
% False
Negative
4.1
82.3
7.4
66.0
5.3
84.8
6.6
25.5
%
Inconclusive
5.7
1.7
6.8
4.2
11.7
1.5
11.9
7.4
                                    6-449

-------
Table 6-294.
Lead Analyzer K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.7
0.5
1.2
0.7
% False
Negative
0.0
3.7
naa
6.8
3.8
3.9
4.1
%
Inconclusive
3.2
4.1
3.5
5.8
4.5
8.7
5.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-295.
Lead Analyzer L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard
Paint Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an
Alternative Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3
mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
189
222
355
1,190
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
61.4
100.0
83.3
82.3
%
Inconclusive
1.1
0.9
0.0
5.3
0.0
2.0
1.7
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-450

-------
Table 6-296.
MAP-3 K-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
1.4
3.9
1.8
1.7
2.0
3.2
2.6
% False
Negative
0.0
18.5
naa
1.1
19.2
5.5
7.4
%
Inconclus ive
3.2
7.1
2.7
11.6
6.1
6.6
6.8
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1 . 0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-297.
MAP-3 L-shell by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
185
436
226
378
444
698
2,367
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
28.6
83.3
naa
53.4
98.1
66.3
66.0
%
Inconc lus ive
9.7
0.7
0.4
9.0
0.2
6.2
4.2
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-451

-------
Table 6-298.
Microlead I by Substrate for the First Standard Paint
Reading Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
463
739
2,475
% False
Positive
4.2
5.2
1.3
5.7
3.7
6.9
4.9
% False
Negative
0.0
10.7
naa
l.l
5.1
6.8
5.3
%
Inconclus ive
14.0
16.0
5.5
9.4
16.0
9.1
11.7
* Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-299.
X-MET 880 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading
Red NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative
Inconclusive Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
218
113
175
222
353
1,174
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
% False
Negative
85.7
92.6
naa
67.4
100.0
86.0
84.8
%
Inconclusive
1.1
0.9
0.0
5.7
0.0
1.4
1.5
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                    6-452

-------
Table 6-300.
XK-3 by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2  and 1.3  mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
186
444
237
406
462
743
2,478
% False
Positive
6.3
10.1
0.0
5.1
5.5
4.8
5.5
% False
Negative
2.4
3.6
naa
15.2
6.8
4.5
6.6
%
Inconclus i ve
8.6
16.9
4.6
11.8
18.0
8.2
11.9
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
Table 6-301.
XL by Substrate for the First Standard Paint Reading Red
NIST SRM Average Corrected With an Alternative Inconclusive
Range Bounded by 0.7 mg/cm2 and 1.3 mg/cm2.
Substrate
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Overall
Sample
Size
93
217
113
189
222
355
1,189
% False
Positive
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.0
0.0
0.1
% False
Negative
23.8
33.3
naa
18.2
46.2
21.6
25.5
%
Inconclusive
1.1
6.5
3.5
6.9
4.5
13.0
7.4
a Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0
mg/cm2 lead.
                                     6-453

-------
     6.5.5     The Effect of Spatial Variation and Laboratory
               Error in ICP Measurements on XRF Classification
               Rates

     The false positive and false negative rates presented in
Tables 6-158 through 6-301 did not account for the fact that ICP
measurement was not a perfect substitute for the true lead level.
At the beginning of section 6.4,  it was explained that the
substitution was subject to both spatial variation and laboratory-
error.  Chapter 4 elaborates more fully on both types of
imprecision.

     A simulation experiment was conducted to assess the effect
that the substitution might have had on the reported
classification rates.  For each of the 48 combinations of XRF
instrument type with substrate, random errors were introduced to
the ICP measurements obtained in the study.  This created sets of
"new" ICP measurements, treating the original ICP measurements as
if they were true lead levels.  A new ICP measurement was
generated by adding a normally distributed random error with mean
zero and SD = 0.3 to the logarithm of an original ICP
measurement, and exponentiating.   The choice of 0.3 for the SD
reasonably reflects the size of the combined effect of spatial
variation and laboratory error in ICP measurements, as
demonstrated in section 6.4.8.2.5.  A total of 1000 new ICP
measurements for each instrument-substrate combination were
generated in this manner.  False positive and false negative
rates for each of these samples were computed, based on the first
uncorrected nominal 15-second XRF readings observed in the study.
This experiment was similar to one conducted for classifications
using lead test kit data, reported in section 5.1.1.

     Table 6-302 summarizes the results of the experiment.  The
sample false positive  (FP) and false negative rates (FN),  the
means of the 1000 simulated values, and ranges consisting of the
2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of  the  simulated values  are
presented.  It is apparent that the introduction of random errors
did not markedly affect the classification rates.  False negative
rates exhibited greater variability than did false positive
rates, which was due at least in part to the fact that the sample
sizes for ICP measurements greater than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead were much
smaller than for ICP measurements below this value.  In no case
would a substantially different conclusion about the
classification ability of an XRF instrument be reached based on
the simulation results.  A similar conclusion may be reached
concerning the use of the FP and FN rates reported in Tables
6-211 through 6-301 as substitutes for rates based on the
unobservable true lead levels.

                              6-454

-------
Table 6-302. Simulation Study Percentage  Results  of  the Effect of Spatial Variation
             and Laboratory Error in ICP  Measurements on Reported False Positive and
             False Negative Rates for XRF Instruments.
XRF
INSTRUMENT
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
FALSE POSITIVE RESULTS
FP%"
3
2
2
3
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
6
4
19
2
11
0
0
0
5
0
0
MEAN%b
3
1
2
4
2
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
6
3
19
3
12
0
0
0
5
0
1
95%
INTERVALC
1.4, 4.1
0.5, 2.6
0.9, 1.8
2.1, 5.4
1.0, 3.0
6.3, 10.3
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
3.5, 5.5
5.0, 6.5
2.7, 3.6
17.1, 20.8
2.3, 3.8
10.6, 14.3
0.0, 1.4
0.0, 0.0
0.4, 0.5
3.8, 5.9
0.0, 0.0
0.2, 1.2
FALSE NEGATIVE RESULTS
FN%d
0
11
naf
7
4
6
91
96
na£
82
100
87
0
24
na£
1
21
6
29
85
na£
60
100
70
MEAN%*
1
15
na£
12
6
8
91
97
na£
83
100
87
2
27
na£
4
22
7
30
86
na£
61
100
70
95%
INTERVAL1
0.0, 4.8
7.7, 21.9
na£
6.7, 18.0
0.0, 13.8
4.4, 10.7
90.0, 91.3
96.2, 96.9
na£
81.0, 84.3
100, 100
85.9, 87.5
0.0, 8.7
21.2, 33.3
na£
1.1, 8.3
15.2, 29.3
4.7, 9.9
28.6, 34.8
84.6, 87.5
na£
57.3, 64.3
100, 100
67.9, 72.0
1 Rounded false positive percent reported in Tables 6-162 through 6-165.
b Simulation false positive percent.
c Simulation 95% coverage interval.
d Rounded false negative percent reported in Tables 6-162 through 6-165.
e Simulation false negative percent.
£ Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0 mg/cm lead.
                                       6-455

-------
Table 6-302  (cent). Simulation Study Percentage Results of the Effect  of  Spatial
                   Variation and Laboratory Error in ICP Measurements on Reported
                   False Positive and False Negative Rates for XRF Instruments.
XRF
INSTRUMENT
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
SUBSTRATE
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Brick
Concrete
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
FALSE POSITIVE RESULTS
FP%"
22
26
18
19
10
26
0
0
0
0
0
0
53
66
5
57
46
17
0
1
1
1
0
1
MEAN%b
22
25
18
19
10
28
0
0
0
0
0
0
53
66
5
57
46
18
0 .
1
1
1
0
2
95%
INTERVAL'
21.1, 22.9
24.3, 26.3
17.2, 18.0
17.3, 20.3
9.5, 11.3
26.0, 29.1
0.0, 1.4
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 1.5
0.0, 0.0
0.0, 0.0
51.4, 52.9
65.3, 66.6
3.5, 5.1
55.9, 57.8
45.8, 47.1
16.6, 19.9
0.0, 1.4
0.0, 1.6
0.9, 0.9
0.0, 2.1
0.0, 1.0
0.4, 2.7
FALSE NEGATIVE RESULTS
FN%a
2
2
na£
2
10
4
86
96
na£
70
100
89
2
2
na£
5
2
4
24
41
na£
30
58
47
MEANV
4
4
naf
6
11
5
86
97
na£
72
100
89
2
2
na£
6
3
5
26
46
na£
34
58
47
95%
INTERVAL0
0.0, 10.4
0.0, 8.3
na£
2.3, 10.8
5.7, 16.9
2.8, 6.5
85.7, 90.0
96.2, 97.0
na£
69.0, 75.0
100, 100
87.8, 89.3
0.0, 6.5
1.5, 4.8
na£
4.3, 8.2
0.0, 7.3
3.3, 7.3
23.8, 30.4
40.0, 51.7
na£
27.9, 38.3
52.2, 63.0
43.5, 50.5
• Rounded false positive percent reported in Tables 6-166 through 6-169.
b Simulation false positive percent.
c Simulation 95% coverage interval .
d Rounded false negative percent reported in Tables 6-166 through 6-169.
e Simulation false negative percent,
f Not available since drywall ICP measurements were all less than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead.
                                       6-456

-------
     6.5.6     Summary of Classification Results

     Presented in this section were classification results for
the set of sampling locations tested in this study.  Another set
of locations with significantly different lead levels than the
tested locations might provide different results, even if the
same instruments were used.   The classification results provided
empirical evidence that classifying the K-shell XRF instrument
results against the federal  standard of 1.0 mg/cm2  lead without
an inconclusive range, and with substrate correction if needed,
produced low classification error rates, no greater than 11%
overall, that is, averaged for all substrates.  However, error
rates on particular substrates could be substantially higher than
the overall rates.   These results provided further evidence of
differences between the K- and L-shell instruments.  All L-shell
instruments had high false negative rates and low false positive
rates when classifying against the 1.0 mg/cm2  lead  standard
without an inconclusive range.  The overall false negative rate
for the XL was 41.8%, and the other L-shell instruments had
higher false negative rates.  The XL had a low false positive
rate of 0.5%, which was typical for an L-shell instrument.
Substrate correction did not significantly improve these results
for the L-shell instruments.

     The Lead Analyzer and MAP-3 had overall misclassification
rates less than 10% compared to the 1.0 mg/cm2 lead federal
standard without substrate correction.  For some K-shell
instruments, error rates were reduced when readings were
corrected for substrate bias.  For the Microlead I and XK-3,
overall classification error rates were reduced to 10% or less by
full and red NIST SRM average correction methods.  Control
correction produced mixed results:  for the XK-3, overall error
rates were about 11% or less, but, the false positive rate on
concrete was greater than 24% and the false negative rate on
metal was greater than 20%.   Control correction did not improve
the error rates for the Microlead I.  The MAP-3 K-shell had its
high false positive rate on metal and high false negative rates
on concrete and plaster reduced by control correction.

     The classification results showed that using an inconclusive
range provided satisfactory results for K-shell instruments, but,
false negative rates remained high for the L-shell instruments.
Results showed that the K-shell XRF instruments provided
satisfactory classification results using an inconclusive range
between 0.4 and 1.6 mg/cm2 and correcting for  substrate biases in
XRF readings if needed.  With the exception of the XK-3 false
positive rates, all error rates for the K-shell XRF instruments

                              6-457

-------
were below 10%.   On individual substrates, most error rates were
still below 10%.  The exceptions were:  false negative rates for
the MAP-3 on concrete and plaster; the Microlead I false positive
rate on wood; and, false positive rates for the XK-3 on brick,
concrete, metal, and plaster.  These false positive rates for the
XK-3 were dramatically reduced by substrate correction.

     When the inconclusive range was narrowed to 0.7 to 1.3
mg/cm2,  percentages in the inconclusive range were  reduced by at
least 50% for all instruments compared to the 0.4 - 1.6 mg/cm2
inconclusive range.  Observed changes in the error rates coupled
with this dramatic decrease in percentages in the inconclusive
range indicates that a balance needs to be struck between error
rates and the inconclusive range, which determines the number of
paint-chip samples requiring laboratory confirmation.

     The K-shell instruments continued to provide error rates
near ten percent using the 0.7 - 1.3 mg/cm2 range.   The Microlead
I and the XK-3 both needed substrate correction to achieve false
positive rates near ten percent.  On individual substrates, error
rates were generally below 10%.  The exceptions were the false
negative rate for the MAP-3 on concrete; and the false negative
rate for the XK-3 on metal.  The results for the Microlead I were
substantially improved by full correction.

     With the exception of the XL, classifying L-shell instrument
results using either inconclusive range provided very high false
negative rates,  reflecting the large negative biases exhibited by
these instruments.  False positive rates were very low for all
L-shell instruments.  Using the 0.4 to 1.6 mg/cm2 inconclusive
range, the XL had a false negative rate of approximately 11% and
a false positive rate of 0.1%.  However, the instrument still
provided readings below 0.4 mg/cm2 on a number of samples with
lead levels in excess of 10.0 mg/cm2,  which were classified as
false negative.   With the narrower inconclusive range of 0.7 to
1.3 mg/cm2,  the  XL had an  overall false negative rate of 28.6%
and a 0.2% false positive rate.

     Classification results in this section show that a single
XRF reading at a point provided almost as much information as an
average of three XRF readings at the same point.  When paint
samples were classified with or without the use of an
inconclusive range, there was very little difference in the error
rates (false positive and false negative) for the average of
three 15-second readings versus a single 15-second reading.  For
example, when classifying results using the 0.4 to 1.6 mg/cm2
inconclusive range, the overall error percentages for the K-shell

                              6-458

-------
XRF instruments were the same in two cases and slightly lower for
the average in six cases.  For L-shell instruments, the error
percentages were the same in six cases and slightly lower for the
average in two cases.  Thus, the small improvement in
classification accuracy did not justify the additional time and
expense of taking three repeat readings at the same point.   This
remained true when substrate corrected readings and different
inconclusive ranges were considered.
                               6-459

-------
     6.6  EFFECTS RELATED TO CHANGING FROM ONE SUBSTRATE TO
          ANOTHER

     It has been hypothesized that an XRF device may operate
erratically when a change has been made from one substrate to
another.  To study the effect of changing from one substrate to
another, the laboratory ICP results measured in mg/cm2 were
paired with the standard first paint readings made on each sample
location over the painted surface.  This analysis addresses the
following study objectives:

   •  to characterize the performance (precision and accuracy) or
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions
   •  to evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from material  (the substrate) underlying the paint
   •  to investigate XRF measurements that were very different
     than their corresponding laboratory results.

     Differences between the XRF reading on paint and the
laboratory ICP result  (measured in mg/cm2)  were  computed for each
sample location.  These differences were used to examine the
hypothesis that the XRF instruments behaved erratically after
changing from one substrate to another.  A description of the
analysis and results follows.

     If the XRF instruments behaved erratically when changing
substrate, one would expect differences (that is, XRF reading
minus ICP result differences) computed from the first sampling
location on the new substrate to differ systematically from the
subsequent differences on the same substrate.  Erratic behavior
would be detected if the observed incidence of extreme
differences  (maxima or minima) on the first reading of a new
substrate were higher than the expected incidence of extremes.
Section 6.1 and Tables 6-5 and 6-6 describe the substrates for
each dwelling and the order in which testing on substrates was
done.  In Tables 6-5 and 6-6, the "Number of Substrate Changes"
values are the number of opportunities from which extremes per
substrate per dwelling were tabulated.

     Tables 6-303 through 6-308 provide a count of the number of
maxima and minima per dwelling that occurred on the first
standard paint reading on a substrate.   Also found in the tables
are the number of days an XRF instrument tested in Denver,
Philadelphia, and Louisville, and the total number of daily
extreme values that occurred for the first regular paint reading
minus laboratory ICP differences.  Standard data as defined in
section 6.1 were used for this analysis.

                              6-460

-------
Table 6-303.
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on BRICK, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum Values,
and the Total Number of Extreme Values that Occurred for the
First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP Differences.
XRF INSTRUMENT


Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-MET 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
FIELD
CODE
NO.
na
na
I

II

I

II

I
II

na

I
II

na

THREE
CITIES?

no
no
no

no

no

no

yes
no

no

yes
no

no

NO. OF
DWELLINGS

11
11
11

11

11

11

11
11

11

11
11

11

NO. OF
MINIMUM
VALUES
1
0
0

1

1

0

0
1

0

2
0

0

NO. OF
MAXIMUM
VALUES
0
1
1

0

0

0

0
0

0

0
0

0

TOTAL
NO.
EXTREME
1
1
1

1

1

0

0
1

0

2
0

0

     The total  number of daily extreme values  observed for each
instrument and  substrate in these tables was evaluated using a
statistical model.   The field classification of  the XRF
instruments was used to insure independence of readings between
sampling locations.   Assume that the number of testing locations
for a substrate in  a housing unit is Nj.   If extreme values are
equally likely  to occur at every location, the probability that
an extreme  (maximum or minimum) occurs on the  first reading is
2/N.j.   The expected  number of  extreme values,   M,  for an
instrument on a substrate is then found by summing the quantities
2/N.j over all units  tested by  the instrument.   Further,  under the
independence  assumption, the variance of the number of extremes
is found by summing the quantity  (2/Nj)*(l - 2/N.j) over all units
tested.  The  square root of this quantity, S,  is the standard
                               6-461

-------
Table 6-304.
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on CONCRETE, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum
Values, and the Total Number of Extreme Values that Occurred
for the First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences.
XRF INSTRUMENT


Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
K-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-MET 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
FIELD
CODE
NO.
na
na
I

II

I

II

I
II

na

I
II

na

THREE
CITIES?

no
no
no

no

no

no

yes
no

no

yes
no

no

NO. OF
DWELLINGS

17
17
17

17

17

17

19
17

17

19
17

17

NO. OF
MINIMUM
VALUES
1
2
2

2

2

2

0
2

2

2
1

1

NO. OF
MAXIMUM
VALUES
1
3
1

2

2

2

2
1

4

2
1

1

TOTAL
NO.
EXTREME
2
5
3

4

4

4

2
3

6

4
2

2

deviation of the  number of extremes.

     Approximate  statistical tests of significance for the
observed number of  extremes can be constructed using the
quantities M and  S.   For example, under the  asymptotic normality
assumption, the 95th percentile of the number of extremes is
given by M + 1.645*3.   If the observed number of extremes exceeds
this, then there  is significant evidence,  at the 0.05 level, that
the number of extremes for the first reading is elevated above
what would be expected by chance.  There are 72 combinations of
instrument and substrate represented in Tables 6-303 through
6-308.  Thus, to  achieve an overall significance level of 0.05,  a
significance level  of  0.05 -=- 72 = 0.0007 should be used for each
                               6-462

-------
Table 6-305.
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on DRYWALL, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum
Values, and the Total Number of Extreme Values that Occurred
for the First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences.
XRF INSTRUMENT


Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP- 3
K- shell
MAP- 3
K- shell
MAP- 3
L- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-MET 880
L-shell
XK-3
K- shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L-shell
FIELD
CODE
NO.
na
na
I

II

I

II

I
IX

na

I
II

na

THREE
CITIES?

no
no
no

no

no

no

yes
no

no

yes
no

no

NO. OF
DWELLINGS

11
11
11

11

11

11

13
11

11

13
11

11

NO. OF
MINIMUM
VALUES
0
0
1

0

0

0

2
0

0

1
0

0

NO. OF
MAXIMUM
VALUES
1
0
0

1

2

1

1
1

2

2
1

1

TOTAL
NO.
EXTREME
1
0
1

1

2

1

3
1

2

3
1

1

individual  instrument and substrate combination.   The calculated
limit  for the number of extremes is then  M +  3.2*S.  Table 6-309
shows  the critical limits for obtaining an overall significance
level  of  0.05 for two cases.  The first is for XRF instruments
which  tested in all three cities; the  second  is for Denver and
Philadelphia combined, that is, excluding Louisville.  Note that
in the tables,  the XRF instruments are classified according to
the  field classification.  This classification was necessary  in
order  to  maintain the assumption that  extreme values are equally
likely to occur on any reading within  a group of readings.  If we
had  used  the classifications of eight  XRF instruments defined
previously  in this report, this assumption would have been
violated.
                                6-463

-------
Table 6-306.
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on METAL, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum Values,
and the Total Number of Extreme Values that Occurred for the
First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP Differences.
XRF INSTRUMENT


Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-MET 880
L-shell
XK-3
K- shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L-shell
FIELD
CODE
NO.
na
na
I

II

I

II

I
II

na

I
II

na

THREE
CITIES?

no
no
no

no

no

no

yes
no

no

yes
no

no

NO. OF
DWELLINGS

18
18
18

18

18

18

20
18

18

20
18

18

NO. OF
MINIMUM
VALUES
2
4
3

3

4

4

3
2

3

3
3

2

NO. OF
MAXIMUM
VALUES
2
2
3

4

3

2

3
2

1

2
4

3

TOTAL
NO.
EXTREME
4
6
6

7

7

6

6
4

4

5
7

5

     The total  number of  extreme values from all  three cities for
the Microlead I revision  4  and XK-3 instruments was  compared to
the three city  critical limits provided in Table  6-309.   As
described in section  6.1, the Microlead I and XK-3 were used in
all three cities.   These  instruments were given the  field
designation "I" and are so  designated in the tables  in this
section.  Extreme values  for all other XRF instruments were
compared to the two city  (Denver and Philadelphia) critical
limits provided in  Table  6-309.   Comparisons of Tables 6-303
through 6-308 to Table 6-309 shows that none of the  total number
of extreme values exceeded  the critical limits.   Hence,  since
there is no statistically significant evidence, at the overall
0.05 level, the incidence of extreme values recorded on the first
reading of a substrate is not unusually high.  Thus,  there is no
                               6-464

-------
Table 6-307.
Counts of the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on PLASTER, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum
Values, and the Total Number of Extreme Values that Occurred
for the First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP
Differences.
XRF INSTRUMENT


Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
Microlead I
K-shell
X-MET 880
L-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XK-3
K-shell
XL
L-shell
FIELD
CODE
NO.
na
na
I

II

I

II

I
II

na

I
II

na

THREE
CITIES?

no
no
no

no

no

no

yes
no

no

yes
no

no

NO. OF
DWELLINGS

14
14
14

14

14

14

16
14

14

16
14

14

NO. OF
MINIMUM
VALUES
2
3
2

1

1

2

1
2

3

2
1

1

NO. OF
MAXIMUM
VALUES
0
1
1

1

0

0

1
0

0

1
1

3

TOTAL
NO.
EXTREME
2
4
3

2

1

2

2
2

3

3
2

4

statistically significant evidence  of  erratic behavior of the
first reading on a substrate.

However,  observations of Tables 6-303  through 6-308 indicate that
a higher  incidence of extremes occurred more often on metal and
wood substrates.   Although this suggests the possibility of
increased erratic behavior on the first reading for metal and
wood, the evidence is weak.  First,  as previously explained, the
results are  not significant using an overall significance level
of 0.05.   Second, the statistical model is approximate, in that
it assumes that extremes are equally likely to occur on any
reading.   The testing order could invalidate this assumption in
some cases.   For example, if the higher lead levels were tested
                               6-465

-------
Table 6-308.
Counts of  the Number of Dwellings an XRF Instrument Tested
on WOOD, the Number of Dwelling Maximum and Minimum Values,
and the Total Number of Extreme Values that Occurred  for the
First Paint Reading Minus Laboratory ICP Differences.
XRF INSTRUMENT


Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
K- shell
MAP-3
L-shell
MAP-3
L-shell
Microlead I
K- shell
Microlead I
K- shell
X-MET 880
L-shell
XK-3
K- shell
XK-3
K- shell
XL
L-shell
FIELD
CODE
HO.
na
na
I

II

I

II

I
II

na

I
II

na

THREE
CITIES?

no
no
no

no

no

no

yes
no

no

yes
no

no

NO. OF
DWELLINGS

17
17
17

17

17

17

19
17

17

19
17

17

NO. OF
MINIMUM
VALUES
3
4
0

2

2

2

2
0

3

0
1

3

NO. OF
MAXIMUM
VALUES
4
1
4

4

1

0

5
5

1

4
5

1

TOTAL
NO.
EXTREME
7
5
4

6

3

2

7
5

4

4
6

4

Table 6-309.
Critical Values for the Observed Number of Extreme Absolute
XRF minus ICP Differences for XRF Readings Taken at the
First Sampling Location Tested  for a Given Substrate.
OVERALL 0.05
SIGNIFICANCE
LEVEL
Three Cities
Denver &
Philadelphia
SUBSTRATE
Brick
3.5
3.5
Concrete
8.3
6.7
Drywall
5.9
4.4
Metal
9.3
8.7
Plaster
6.7
5.9
Wood
8.8
8.3
earlier,  then extreme  differences between XRF and ICP would be
more likely early in the testing.
                                   6-466

-------
     6.7  DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS FOR "SPECIAL" AND NON-STANDARD
          DATA

     The first section of this chapter described XRF data and
categorized the data as standard,  control,  special, and non-
standard data.  This section provides summary statistics for
"special" and non-standard data that include the number of
readings, mean, median, maximum, minimum,  25th percentile, and
75th percentile and addresses the following study objectives:

  •  to characterize the performance (precision and accuracy) or
     portable XRF instruments under field conditions
  •  to evaluate the effect on XRF performance of interference
     from material (the substrate)  underlying the paint
  •  to investigate XRF measurements that were very different
     than their corresponding laboratory results
  •  to evaluate field quality assurance and control methods.

     Due to the large number of tables presented in this section,
the organization of this section is a departure from normal.  For
this section only, most tables are not intermingled with text,
but instead, all tables referenced in a given subsection that
provide summary statistics were placed after the text for that
subsection.

     For this analysis, eight distinct XRF classifications were
analyzed as if they were a separate XRF instrument:

          •    Lead Analyzer K-shell
          •    Lead Analyzer L-shell
          •    MAP-3 K-shell
          •    MAP-3 L-shell
          •    Microlead I  (K-shell)
          •    X-MET 880  (L-shell)
          •    XK-3  (K-shell)
          •    XL  (L-Shell)

     6.7.1     Summary Statistics for "Special" Data

     This section provides summary statistics for the "special"
data for the eight classifications of XRF instruments.  For  an
in-depth discussion of "special" data refer to section  6.1.
There are two types of "special" data: "special" readings and
"special-special" readings.  "Special-special" locations were
used in Denver and Philadelphia by the MAP-3 instruments only.
The data collection protocol at "special" locations depended upon
the XRF instrument type and whether data were being collected for

                              6-467

-------
the pilot study or the full study and affected the number of
readings and nominal reading times.  These differences provide a
method for examining instrument readings relative to the number
of readings and nominal reading times.   The information to make
these comparisons is provided in the tables below.

     The next seven tables contain summary statistics for
"special" data in the full study and standard data collected at
"special" locations in the full study.   Tables 6-310 through
6-313 provide summary statistics for the "special" readings taken
in Denver and Philadelphia.  Tables 6-310,  6-311, and 6-612
provide results for all instruments except the MAP-3.  The
"special" data results for the MAP-3 are provided separately from
the other XRF results in Table 6-313 since the "special" data
collection protocol used by the MAP-3 was unique.  Tables 6-314,
6-315, and 6-316 are for making comparisons to the tables of
"special" data and show results of standard data that was
collected only at "special" locations.   Table 6-314 provides
summary statistics for the MAP-3 of standard data collected at
"special" and "special-special" locations and will be useful for
making comparisons to Table 6-313.  Table 6-315 provides summary
statistics for the first red NIST SRM reading taken from
"special" locations in the full study minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   Table
6-316 provides summary statistics for the first standard paint
fully corrected reading at "special" locations in the full study.
Tables 6-315 and 6-316 will be useful for making comparisons to
Tables 6-310, 6-311, and 6-312.

     Comparisons of Table 6-313 to 6-314 show that the extended
nominal reading times did not greatly affect the result as shown
by comparing the "PAINT" or "NIST" between the two tables or by
comparing the "Bare" results in Table 6-313 to "Paint-ICP" or
"NIST-1.02" results in Table 6-314.  Further evidence is given by
the results of paired Student's t tests which were performed to
determine if the longer nominal reading times significantly
affected the outcome.  The "special" data were paired with
nominal 15-second readings and also nominal 60-second readings
were paired with nominal 240-second readings.  Twenty-four t
statistics were computed for each instrument by shell
classification for all possible pairs.   Using an overall
significance level of 0.002 (0.05 -=- 24 = 0.002), no statistically
significant results were found for readings made on paint or for
readings made on paint compared to readings made on the bare
substrate.   Similar results were found comparing the readings
made on the bare substrate to those made on the bare substrates
covered with the red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM minus 1.02 mg/cm2 and
for comparing the "special" readings taken on the bare substrates

                              6-468

-------
covered with the red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST  SRM to  the (standard)
readings taken on the bare substrates covered with the red (1.02
mg/cm2)  NIST SRM at  "special"  locations.   Therefore,  the  longer
60-second and 240-second nominal reading times made by the MAP-3
at "special" locations appeared to have little effect on the
outcome compared to the nominal 15-second reading.

     The bare substrate "special" readings in Tables 6-310 to
6-312 were consistent with the bare results given in Table 6-315.
However, results in Tables 6-310 to 6-312 were not as consistent
as the results shown in Table 6-316, which are the results for
the first standard paint readings minus the appropriate ICP
measurement in mg/cm2 taken from "special" locations.   This could
be due in part to the lead levels found in the paint.

     The next five tables provide summary statistics for
"special" data collected in Louisville.   Tables 6-317 through
6-321 provide summary statistics for the  "special" readings taken
in Louisville by the MAP-3 K-shell, MAP-3 L-shell, Microlead I,
X-MET 880, and XK-3, respectively.  The results given in these
tables are very similar to readings taken at "special" locations
using a different data collection protocol.  That is, the
non-special means were not significantly different from the
"special" means computed for readings taken at the same
locations.  This was observed in Tables 6-322 and 6-323.  These
tables provide results for the  (pilot) standard data for the
first paint reading and the first red NIST SRM reading for all
instruments.
                              6-469

-------
Table 6-310.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm3 Units of the First Bare Substrate Reading
("Special" Data)  For All XRF Instrument Types Except  the MAP-3.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
299
299
601a
255b
596
301
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.073
0.013
0.395
0.048
0.636
0.101
MAXIMUM
1.700
0.970
4.500
1.444
4.000
1.200
MINIMUM
-0.300
-0.051
-1.600
0.022
-1.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.020
-o.ooe
-0.200
0.028
0.200
0.000
MEDIAN
0.030
0.000
0.200
0.033
0.500
0.000
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.100
0.016
0.700
0.039
1.000
0.100
* One Microlead I reading was omitted from this analysis due to known instrument problems and two
additional readings were made.
b Forty seven sampling locations composed of metal substrates are missing.
                                                   6-470

-------
Table 6-311.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Second Bare Substrate Reading
("Special" Data)  For All XRF Instrument Types  Except  the MAP-3.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
299
299
600a
255b
596
301
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.066
0.013
0.413
0.047
0.653
0.108
MAXIMUM
2.100
0.970
4.600
1.355
3 .400
1.600
MINIMUM
-0.300
-0.053
-2.300
0.022
-1.200
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.030
-0.009
-0.100
0.028
0.100
0.000
MEDIAN
0.020
0.000
0.200
0.033
0.500
0.000
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.090
0.016
0.700
0.039
1.100
0.100
a One Microlead I reading was omitted from this analysis due to known instrument
problems and one additional reading was made.
b Forty seven sampling locations composed of metal substrates are missing.
                                                   6-471

-------
Table 6-312.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in trig/cm2 Units of  the Third Bare Substrate Reading
("Special" Data)  For All XRF Instrument Types Except the MAP-3.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
299
299
599*
255"
596
301
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.067
0.013
0.402
0.046
0.628
0.113
MAXIMUM
2.500
0.970
4.600
1.092
3.600
1.300
MINIMUM
-0.300
-0.055
-2.800
0.022
-1.000
0.000
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.030
-0.008
-0.300
0.028
0.100
0.000
MEDIAN
0.020
0.000
0.200
0.033
0.500
0.100
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.090
0.016
0.900
0.039
1.000
0.100
a One Microlead I reading was omitted from this analysis due to known instrument problems.
b Forty seven sampling locations composed of metal substrates are missing.
                                                   6-472

-------
Table 6-313.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in rag/cm2 Units  of  the  "Special" Readings  for  the MAP-3  for  the
Full Study on the Painted Surface,  the Bare Substrates Covered With the Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM
Film,  and the Bare Substrates.
SHELL
K-shell
L-shell
TYPE OF
SPECIAL*
Special
(60-sec. )
"Special-
special"
{240-sec. )
Special
(60-sec. }
"Special-
special "
(240-sec.)
READING
SURFACE
Paint
NIST
Bare
Paint
NIST
Bare
Paint
NIST
Bare
Paint
NIST
Bare
NUMBER OF
READINGS
601b
601b
600
162
162
0
601b
601b
600
162
162
0
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.843
1.128
-0.448
0.691
1.151
na
0.139
1.207
-0.031
0.081
1.201
na
MAXIMUM
23.760
4.041
2.950
14.222
2,911
na
5.098
1.776
2.414
2.445
1.691
na
MINIMUM
-2.929
-0.381
-2.834
-2.601
0.193
na
-1.129
-0.401
-1.234
-0.265
0.391
na
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.486
0.849
-1.129
-0.640
0.910
na
-0.135
1.149
-0.175
-0.138
1.149
na
MEDIAN
0.008
1.112
-0.295
-0.042
1.095
na
-0.060
1.207
-0.138
-0.080
1.205
na
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.840
1.347
0.187
0.804
1.312
na
0.132
1.271
-0.085
0.089
1.263
na
a Nominal reading times are shown in parenthesis.
b One additional reading was taken at a "special" location.
                                                         6-473

-------
Table 6-314.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  For  Standard Readings  for the MAP-3 at  the
"Special" and "Special-Special" Full Study Locations Taken on the Painted Surface,  the  Bare Substrates
Covered With the Red {1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST  SRM Film,  the  Painted Surface Minus  Its Corresponding
Laboratory Result in mg/cm2  From Each  Sampling  Location, and  the Red NIST  SRM Film Minus  1.02 mg/cm
For Nominal 15-Second Readings.
SHELL
K
L
TYPE OF
LOCATION

Special
"Special
-special"
Special
"Special
-special"
READING
Paint
NIST
Paint- ICP
NIST-1.02
Paint
NIST
Paint-ICP
NIST-1.02
Paint
NIST
Paint-ICP
NIST-1.02
Paint
NIST
Paint-ICP
NIST-1.02
NUMBER OF
READINGS
600
600
600
600
162
162
162
162
600
600
600
600
162
162
162
162
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.8997
1.223
-0.214
0.203
0.660
1.283
-0.232
0.263
0.138
1.189
-0.973
0.169
0.076
1.189
-0.816
0.169
MAXIMUM
25.369
3.983
12.371
2.963
12.884
3.695
2.641
2.675
5.129
1.694
1.523
0.674
2.534
1.694
0.746
0.674
MINIMUM
-4.439
-0.855
-13.231
-1.875
-4.439
-0.292
-4.453
-1.312
-1.275
-0.983
-26.257
-2.003
-1.109
-0.404
-13.870
-1.424
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.385
0.858
-0.702
-0.163
-0.612
0.989
-0.816
-0.031 j
-0.127
1.126
-0.527
0.106
-0.132
1.113
-0.492
0.093
MEDIAN
0.107
1.160
-0.163
0.140
0. 019
1.299
-0.166
0.279
-0.050
1.207
-0.232
0.187
-0.058
1.201
-0.226
0.181
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.888
1.559
0.338
0.539
0.830
1.614
0.401
0.594
-0.150
1.300
-0.130
0.279
0.107
1.299
-0.130
0.279
                                                         6-474

-------
Table 6-315.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units for First Standard Red NIST SRM Reading Minus 1.02
mg/cm2  for  All  XRF Instrument Types Except the MAP-3 at Full Study  "Special" and "Special-special"
Locations Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
302
302
601
301
602
301
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.077
-0.026
0.427
0.076
0.699
-0.001
MAXIMUM
2.280
0.270
26.480
0.460
3.280
0.780
MINIMUM
-1.020
-1.010
-1.620
-0.073
-1.020
-0.420
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.120
-0.040
-0.220
0.029
0.180
-0.120
MEDIAN
0.080
-0.005
0.280
0.071
0.580
-0.020
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.180
0.030
0.680
0.109
1.080
0.080
                                                         6-475

-------
Table 6-316.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units for First Standard Paint Reading Minus the
Laboratory Result in mg/cm2  For All XRF  Instrument Types Except the MAP-3 at Full Study "Special" and
Special-Special Locations Only.
XRF TYPE
Lead Analyzer K- shell
Lead Analyzer L- shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
XL
NUMBER OF
READINGS
302
302
601
295
602
301
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
-0.127
-0.999
0.206
-0.966
0.512
-0.711
MAXIMUM
5.002
0.176
7.858
0.579
7.928
2.040
MINIMUM
-15.783
-28.353
-12.383
-27.577
-20.583
-25.583
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.093
-0.470
-0.218
-0.403
0.098
-0.271
MEDIAN
-0.003
-0.142
0.174
-0.101
0.598
-0.038
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.089
-0.019
0.727
0.024
1.258
0.019
                                                         6-476

-------
Table 6-317.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Paint and Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM
Readings ("Special" Data) For MAP-3 K-shell in Louisville Only.
READING
First Paint
Second Paint
Third Paint
First Red NIST SRM
Second Red NIST SRM
Third Red NIST SRM
NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
26
26
26
26
26
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.865
2.096
1.713
1.504
1.592
1.661
MAXIMUM
5.873
8.515
6.455
3.210
2.777
5.784
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.434
0.000
0.258
25th
PERCENTILE
0.441
0.308
0.000
0.904
1.349
1.065
MEDIAN
1.468
1.357
1.009
1.481
1.680
1.449
75TH
PERCENTILE
2.935
3.407
2.704
1.946
1.982
1.954
Table 6-318.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Paint and Red (1.02 mg/cm2}  NIST SRM
Readings  ("Special" Data) For MAP-3 L-shell  in Louisville Only.
READING
First Paint
Second Paint
Third Paint
First Red NIST SRM
Second Red NIST SRM
Third Red NIST SRM
NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
26
26
26
26
26
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.384
0.417
0.409
1.366
1.360
1.296
MAXIMUM
2.977
3.210
3 .072
2.026
2.012
1.870
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.892
0.804
0.576
25th
PERCENTILE
0.000
0.000
0.000
1.156
1.165
1.108
MEDIAN
0.000
0.000
0.000
1.380
1.354
1.328
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.189
0.286
0.225
1.522
1.608
1.461
                                                         6-477

-------
Table 6-319.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Paint and Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM
Readings ("Special" Data) For Microlead I in Louisville Only.
READING
First Paint
Second Paint
Third Paint
Fourth Paint
First Red NIST SRM
Second Red NIST SRM
Third Red NIST SRM
Fourth Red NIST SRM
NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.608
1.654
1.654
1.700
1.361
1.335
1.438
1.554
MAXIMUM
5.600
6.000
5.500
5.700
3.100
3.100
3.100
3.500
MINIMUM
-0.600
-0.600
-0.600
-1.000
0.100
0.300
0.400
0.700
25th
PERCENTILE
0.000
0.100
0.000
0.000
0.700
0.800
0.900
1.000
MEDIAN
0.900
1.050
1.000
1.100
1.400
1.200
1.300
1.450
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.500
3.600
3.600
3.900
1.700
1.800
2.000
1.900
Table 6-320.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Paint and Red (1.02 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM
Readings  ("Special" Data) For X-MET 880 in Louisville Only.
READING
First Paint
Second Paint
Third Paint
Fourth Paint
First Red NIST SRM
Second Red NIST SRM
Third Red NIST SRM

NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
0
0
0
26
0
0
0
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.995
na
na
na
1.143
na
na
na
MAXIMUM
4.973
na
na
na
2.478
na
na
na
MINIMUM
0.000
na
na
na
0.130
na
na
na
25th
PERCENTILE
0.143
na
na
na
1.084
na
na
na
MEDIAN
0.337
na
na
na
1.124
na
na
na
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.286
na
na
na
1.171
na
na
na
                                                          6-478

-------
Table 6-321.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units  of  the  Paint  and  Red  (1.02 mg/cm2) NIST SRM
Readings ("Special" Data) For XK-3 in Louisville Only.
READING
First Paint
Second Paint
Third Paint
Fourth Paint
First Red NIST SRM
Second Red NIST SRM
Third Red NIST SRM
Fourth Red NIST SRM
NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.738
1.754
1.677
1.573
1.427
1.438
1.346
1.435
MAXIMUM
6.000
6.000
5.800
5.600
3.700
3.700
3.100
3.200
MINIMUM
-0.300
-0.600
-0.600
-0.500
0.400
0.400
0.400
0.400
25th
PERCENTILE
0.200
0.300
0.300
0.100
0.900
1.000
0.800
0.900
MEDIAN
0.850
1.000
0.950
0.750
1.300
1.350
1.350
1.400
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.000
2.500
2.400
2.900
1.800
1.900
1.700
1.700
                                                         6-479

-------
Table 6-322.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units  For First  Paint  Reading (Standard)  data  for  All
XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study "Special" Locations Only.
XRP TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
26
26
26
26
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.842
0.411
1.619
0.966
1.692
MAXIMUM
6.571
3.109
5.500
4.947
6.500
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
-0.400
0.000
-0.200
25th
PERCENTILE
0.015
0.000
0.300
0.113
0.200
MEDIAN
1.146
0.000
0.850
0.280
0.950
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.629
0.303
3.400
1.248
2.500
Table 6-323.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  For First  Red NIST SRM Reading (Standard)  data for
All XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study "Special" Locations Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K- shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
26
26
26
26
26
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.452
1.298
1.438
1.130
1.458
MAXIMUM
3.001
1.910
3.500
2.548
3.800
MINIMUM
0.824
0.000
0.100
0.879
0.400
25th
PERCENTILE
1.184
1.109
1.000
0.997
1.100
MEDIAN
1.250
1.345
1.400
1.072
1.400
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.647
1.485
1.800
1.127
1.600
                                                         6-480

-------
     6.7.2     Summary Statistics for Non-Standard Data

     This section provides summary statistics for the non-
standard data that were collected by the eight classifications of
XRF instruments.  For an in depth discussion of non-standard data
refer to section 6.1.  Non-standard data are XRF readings that
were taken for the pilot study that are not directly comparable
with data collected in the full study and are composed of too few
data to make parameter estimations using model based procedures.
However, comparisons based on summary statistics can be made.
Non-standard data are:

     •    XRF readings made by the MAP-3 in Louisville.
     •    XRF readings made by the X-MET 880 in Louisville.
     •    Variability XRF readings taken on the sampling
          locations that followed a change in substrate in
          Louisville.   (See chapter 3, section 5.2.4 for a
          detailed explanation of variability XRF readings).
     •    XRF readings taken on the bare concrete substrates
          covered by the yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM film in
          Louisville.

     The summary statistics shown in Tables 6-324 and  6-325 are
for XRF readings taken by the MAP-3 and X-MET 880 in Louisville,
respectively.  These data were collected during the pilot study.
The data obtained by the X-MET 880 in the pilot study  consisted
of only 100 sampling locations.  Sufficient data, however, was
collected from locations composed of metal and wood by the X-MET
880 in Louisville to allow limited analyses to be performed.
These data were analyzed separately from the Denver and
Philadelphia data and are presented in section 6.4.

     The next six tables, 6-326  through 6-331, provide summary
statistics of the variability readings.   In Louisville,
variability readings were taken  on the first sampling  location
after a change in substrate had  occurred.  These  reading were
taken to examine if  the XRF instruments behaved erratically when
changing from one substrate to another.  Variability readings
were an additional five repetitions of readings using  the  same
data collection protocol as was  used when the readings were  first
taken at that same sampling location.  Thus, at each sampling
location after  a change in substrate had  occurred,  a total  of  six
repetitions of  readings were taken using  the same data collection
protocol.  The  latter  five were  designated as variability
readings.
                               6-481

-------
     All four participating XRF instruments were used to take the
five repetitions of variability readings.   Since, in Louisville,
a change in substrate occurred eight times, there were forty
(eight sampling locations times five repetitions) applications of
variability readings taken per XRF instrument.   However, the
Microlead I only took variability readings at seven of the
sampling locations after a change in substrate had occurred.
Tables 6-326 through 6-328 show the results for all variability
readings taken on the painted surface of the sampling location.
Tables 6-329 through 6-331 show the results for all variability
readings taken on the red NIST SRM film that had been placed on
the bare substrate area of the sampling location.

     To make comparisons, results from standard readings taken at
variability locations in the full study are shown in the next two
tables.  Tables 6-332 and 6-333 provide summary statistics for
the first standard paint and the first standard red NIST SRM
readings taken at variability locations, respectively.

     The summary statistics for all XRF instrument types show
that the standard paint readings taken prior to the variability
readings at the same locations were very consistent with the mean
of the five variability  (first-paint) readings shown in Table
6-326.  Similarly, the same is true for the readings taken on the
bare substrate covered with the red NIST SRM film.  The Microlead
I, the X-MET 880, and the XK-3 instruments also show very
consistent results when comparing the second and third paint
readings to the variability reading means.  (The MAP-3 made only
one paint reading per sampling location except for "special"
readings.)  Specifically, the results shown in Table 6-332 are
very consistent with results shown in Tables 6-326, 6-327, and
6-328 as are the results shown in Table 6-333 compared to Tables
6-329, 6-330, and 6-331.  This implies that the instruments
remained in control after a change of substrate occurred and that
significant variability did not occur, at least when testing was
performed on like substrate components grouped together as was
done in this study.

     Table 6-334 provides results from collecting readings on
concrete substrate in Louisville.  According to the data
collection protocol used in Louisville, several additional
readings were made if the substrate was concrete.  These
additional readings were made on yellow (3.53 mg/cm2)  NIST SRM
film over bare concrete substrate.  Table 6-334 provides summary
statistics for each type of reading minus 3.53 mg/cm2.   For the
MAP-3 K-shell,  the "special" results are consistently greater
than the 60-second or variability results.  This same

                              6-482

-------
relationship was not present for the MAP-3 L-shell.   The results
for the Microlead I and X-MET 880 were consistent across data
types.   The XK-3 displayed differences across data types.

     To make comparisons to standard data results, results from
standard readings taken at locations composed of concrete in
Louisville are shown in the next four tables.  Tables 6-335 and
6-336 provide summary statistics for the first paint and red NIST
SRM reading taken at concrete locations in Louisville,
respectively.  Tables 6-337 provides summary statistics for the
first standard paint reading minus the corresponding laboratory
result in mg/cm2 at concrete substrate locations in  Louisville.
Table 6-338 provides summary statistics for the first red NIST
SRM reading taken from "special" locations in the pilot study
minus 1.02 mg/cm2.   Of  these four tables,  the first  standard red
NIST SRM results in Table 6-338 provide the most informative
comparison with the results for readings taken using the yellow
NIST SRM in Table 6-334.
                               6-483

-------
Table 6-324.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of  the MAP-3  Paint and Red (1.02
mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Readings (Non-standard)  in Louisville  Only.
DATA
SOURCE
K-shell
L-shell
Laboratory
READING
Paint
NIST
Paint
NIST
Paint
NUMBER OF
READINGS
100
100
100
100
100
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
2.728
1.560
0.744
1.3679
1.9324
MAXIMUM
21.277
3.958
6.204
2.508
14.047
MINIMUM
0.000
0.200
0.000
0.000
0.0001
25th
PERCENTILE
0.019
1.182
0.000
1.134
0.128
MEDIAN
0.872
1.500
0.000
1.402
0.388
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.598
1.836
0.685
1.563
2.555
Table 6-325.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the  X-MET 880  Non-Standard
Readings, Louisville Only.
READING
First Paint
Second Paint
Third Paint
First NIST SRM
Second NIST SRM
Third NIST SRM
Laboratory
NUMBER OF
READINGS
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.303
1.299
1.292
1.213
1.196
1.184
1.9324
MAXIMUM
8.065
8.177
8.200
3.093
2.758
2.651
14.047
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.879
0.902
0.800
0.0001
25th
PERCENTILE
0.095
0.121
0.096
1.045
1.036
1. 047
0.128
MEDIAN
0.301
0.306
0.275
1.134
1.112
1. 130
0.388
75TH
PERCENTILE
2.035
2.003
2.097
1.228
1.202
1.203
2.555
                                                   6-484

-------
Table 6-326.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the  First  Variability Paint  Reading
(Non-Standard Data)  For All XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
40
40
35
40
40
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.685
0.209
1.683
0.687
1.220
MAXIMUM
5.933
0.944
5.900
2.636
4.900
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
-0.700
0.000
-0.700
25th
PERCENTILE
0.000
0.000
0.200
0.036
0.000
MEDIAN
0.622
0.000
0.700
0.210
0.400
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.134
0.372
4.200
1.226
2.350
Table 6-327.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of  the  Second Variability  Paint
Reading (Non-Standard Data) For All XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
35
40
40
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
1.654
0.682
1.330
MAXIMUM
na
na
5.600
2.522
4.700
MINIMUM
na
na
-0.500
0.000
-0.800
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
0.000
0.024
0.100
MEDIAN
na
na
0.600
0.171
0.550
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
4.700
1.268
2.650
                                                   6-485

-------
Table 6-328.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the  Third Variability Paint  Reading
{Non-Standard Data)  For All XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
35
40
40
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
1.737
0.684
1.268
MAXIMUM
na
na
5.600
2.444
4.600
MINIMUM
na
na
-0.800
0.000
-0.400
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
0.200
0.042
0.100
MEDIAN
na
na
0.900
0.223
0.450
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
4.800
1.269
2.700
Table 6-329.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the First Variability Red (1.02
mg/cm3}  NIST SRM Reading (Non-Standard)  For All  XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
40
40
35
40
40
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.320
1.332
1.289
1.132
1.283
MAXIMUM
2.326
1.687
1.900
1.392
3.800
MINIMUM
0.301
1.055
0.400
0.909
0.600
25th
PERCENTILE
0.959
1.213
1.000
1.058
1.000
MEDIAN
1.217
1.342
1.300
1.145
1.200
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.715
1.429
1.600
1.213
1.450
                                                   6-486

-------
Table 6-330.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the Second Variability Red (1.02
mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Reading (Non-Standard)  For All  XRF Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
Microlead I
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
35
40
40
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
1.180
1.122
1.243
MAXIMUM
na
na
2.300
1.466
2.000
MINIMUM
na
na
0.000
0.915
0.200
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
0.900
1.025
0.900
MEDIAN
na
na
1.200
1.136
1.200
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
1.500
1.194
1.650
Table 6-331.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of the Third Variability Red (1.02
mg/cm2)  NIST SRM Reading (Non-Standard)  For All  XRF  Instrument Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
0
0
35
40
40
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
na
na
1.140
1.145
1.143
MAXIMUM
na
na
2.200
1.342
2.200
MINIMUM
na
na
-0.400
0.819
0.400
25th
PERCENTILE
na
na
0.600
1.063
0.900
MEDIAN
na
na
1.200
1.156
1.000
75TH
PERCENTILE
na
na
1.500
1.216
1.300
                                                   6-487

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Table 6-332.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the First Standard Paint Reading at
Variability Locations For All XRF Instrument Types.
XRP TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
8
8
7
8
8
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.653
0.208
1.786
0.678
1.300
MAXIMUM
5.369
0.861
5.600
2.457
4.500
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
-0.400
0.000
-0.100
25TH
PERCENTILE
0.010
0.000
0.100
0.022
0.150
MEDIAN
0.386
0.003
0.700
0.188
0.550
75TH
PERCENTILE
3.532
0.400
5.100
1.276
2.300
Table 6-333.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units of the First Standard Red NIST SRM
Reading at Variability Locations For All XRF Instrument  Types.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
8
8
7
8
8
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.411
1.340
1.400
1.112
1.288
MAXIMUM
2.345
1.594
2.400
1.247
1.900
MINIMUM
0.824
1.121
0.700
0.943
0.800
25TH
PERCENTILE
1.018
1.296
0.900
1.051
1.000
MEDIAN
1.185
1.316
1.500
1.133
1.200
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.856
1.392
1.800
1.168
1.600
                                                   6-488

-------
Table 6-334.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2 Units  of  the Yellow  (3.53 mg/cm2) NIST SRM Readings
minus 3.53 mg/cm2  (Non-Standard)  on Concrete in  Louisville Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP- 3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
DATA TYPE
60-seconda
Specialb
Variability*
60 -second*
Special"
Variability"
15 -second0
Special"
Variability"
15-second
Special"
Variability8
15 -second0
Special"
Variability"
NUMBER OF
MEASUREMENTS
8
6
10
8
6
10
24
8
30
24
2
30
24
8
30
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.066
0.578
0.165
-0.101
0.189
0.346
-0.167
-0.030
-0.150
0.483
0.565
0.580
-0.730
-0.292
-0.403
MAXIMUM
0.639
1.100
0.739
0.544
0.665
0.985
0.570
0.370
0.570
1.035
0.575
0.904
0.070
0.170
0.470
MINIMUM
-2.017
0.132
-0.498
-2.254
-0.069
-0.158
-1.030
-0.830
-1.130
0.077
0.555
0.220
-1.230
-0.730
-1.230
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.002
0.163
0.086
-0.351
0.007
-0.072
-0.430
-0.230
-0.430
0.357
0.555
0.423
-1.030
-0.630
-0.630
MEDIAN
0.191
0.545
0.151
0.354
0.069
0.248
-0.130
0.120
-0.030
0.443
0.565
0.583
-0.730
-0.180
-0.430
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.541
0.982
0.372
0.450
0.396
0.777
0.170
0.220
0.170
0.658
0.575
0.692
-0.430
-0.080
-0.130
a One 60 -second reading.
b Average of three 15-second readings.
c One 15-second reading.
d Average of four 15-second readings.
                                                         6-489

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Table 6-335.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units  For  First  Paint  Reading  (Standard)  Data  for  All
XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study Concrete Locations Only.
XRP TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
8
8
8
8
8
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.754
0.540
1.188
0.542
0.563
MAXIMUM
3.480
3.915
4.000
2.027
2.500
MINIMUM
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.079
-0.700
25th
PERCENTILE
0.000
0.000
0.500
0.111
0.100
MEDIAN
0.025
0.005
0.700
0.289
0.300
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.252
0.196
1.500
0.715
0.950
Table 6-336.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units  For First  Red (1.02  mg/cm2) NIST SRM Reading
(Standard) Data For All XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study Concrete Locations Only.
XRP TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
8
8
8
8
8
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
1.583
1.242
1.525
1.092
0.988
MAXIMUM
3.958
1.578
2.100
1.224
1.600
MINIMUM
0.554
0.686
0.900
0.971
0.700
25th
PERCENTILE
0.953
1.146
1.200
1.047
0.700
MEDIAN
1.370
1.301
1.600
1.072
0.950
75TH
PERCENTILE
1.754
1.390
1.800
1.153
1.150
                                                         6-490

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Table 6-337.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units For First  Paint  Reading (Standard)  Data Corrected
by ICP For All XRF Instrument Types at Pilot Study Concrete Locations Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
8
8
8
8
8
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
-0.164
-0.378
0.270
-0.376
-0.355
MAXIMUM
-0.036
0.371
0.764
0.094
0.143
MINIMUM
-0.433
-2.324
-0.334
-1.589
-1.044
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.222
-0.251
-0.082
-0.804
-0.835
MEDIAN
-0.138
-0.239
0.397
0.001
-0.192
75TH
PERCENTILE
-0.061
-0.047
0.550
0.047
0.057
Table 6-338.
Summary Statistics of Lead Measured in mg/cm2  Units  For First  Red NIST  SRM Reading  (Standard)  Data
Minus 1.02 mg/cm2 For All  XRF Instrument  Types at  Pilot Study  Concrete  Locations  Only.
XRF TYPE
MAP-3 K-shell
MAP-3 L-shell
Microlead I
X-MET 880
XK-3
NUMBER OF
READINGS
8
8
8
8
8
ARITHMETIC
MEAN
0.563
0.222
0.505
0.072
-0.033
MAXIMUM
2.938
0.558
1.080
0.204
0.580
MINIMUM
-0.466
-0.334
-0.120
-0.049
-0.320
25th
PERCENTILE
-0.067
0.126
0.180
0.027
-0.320
MEDIAN
0.350
0.281
0.580
0.052
-0.070
75TH
PERCENTILE
0.734
0.370
0.780
0.133
0.130
                                                         6-491

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Chapter 7 Summary;  Data Quality Assurance and Quality Control

 •    Four types of errors were investigated.

          Monitor/Operator errors,
          Data Entry errors,
          Programming errors, and
          "Other" errors.
     Several  quality  control  methods  and  systems  were
     employed  to  assure the  quality of  the field data.
     These were:

          Data Entry Systems,
          Exploratory Data Analysis,
          Captured Data Comparisons,
          Double Data Entry, and
          100 Percent Verification.
     Three error  rates were computed.   The first is  the
     error rate found  through  the  compare  procedure using
     captured  data,  the  second  is the  error rate found
     through  double data entry,  and  the third  is   the
     residual error rate  remaining in the  data  sets after
     double  data  entry   and  captured data  comparison
     procedures were completed,  that is, after  completion
     of all QC steps.

          The overall  compare procedure error rate is:
               XRF Standard and Non-Standard data:  1.96%,
               XRF Control data:   2.00%.

          The overall  double data  entry error rate is:
               All XRF data:   0.41%.

          The overall  residual data entry  error rate is:
               Sample  definition data:  0.07%,
               Test kit data:  0.10%,
               XRF Standard and Non-Standard data:  0.04%,
               XRF Control data:   0.011%.


     Laboratory system audits,  performance  audits, and data
     audits were performed by the Senior Quality Assurance
     Officer  (QAO) for the program who is independent  from
     the   laboratory   operation  with  respect   to   line
     management   of   the   laboratory.      An  additional
     evaluation  of  the analytical activity was performed
     separately by EPA.

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7  DATA QUALITY ASSURANCE AND QUALITY CONTROL

   7.1   QUALITY ASSURANCE AND QUALITY CONTROL PROCEDURES

   Quality control (QC) procedures were employed throughout the
data management process to assure the quality of the field data.
Five data sets were created.  The common variable shared by all
five data sets and used to map data between data sets is the
sample identification number.  Ideally, each analysis data set
contains at least one record for each sample identification
number.  The names of the analysis data sets that were created, a
brief description of each, and the numbers of records and
variables per record included in them are given in Table 7-1.

   7.2   ERROR IDENTIFICATION

   Although many measures were taken during field work and data
management to minimize the occurrence of errors in the study
data, it is impossible to completely eliminate all errors.
Several types of errors were possible.  These error types are
identified below.

   Monitor/Operator errors:  These are errors that occurred
   during the actual testing process when incorrect data was
   recorded.  For QC discussions, an operator either performs
   test kit testing or operates an XRF.  A monitor is the XRF
   monitor.  Examples are:  transposition of numbers by operator
   or monitor, adding extra decimal places to the reading of a
   single decimal place XRF, failure to record data, or reversal
   of the XRF reading sign.  These errors occur in the Test Kit,
   XRF, and XRF Control data sets.

   Data Entry errors:  These are errors made by the data entry
   personnel when entering the data.  Examples include number
   transposition, entering the wrong data point, misplacement of
   the decimal point, and failure to enter data which results in
   missing data.  Such errors occur more often in the XRF and XRF
   Control data sets due to the more complicated data (i.e.,
   multiple decimal XRF readings) and larger amounts of data.

   Programming errors:  These are errors which occur during or
   are the direct result of errors in data transfer or analysis.
   Examples may be XRF or test kit record mis-identification.
                               7-1

-------
Table 7-1.
   Data Set Descriptions.
DATA SET
SAMPLE
DEFINITION
TEST KIT
XRF
XRF
CONTROL
LABORATORY
CONTENTS
Sample location and substrate
information
Test kit data
Standard and "special" XRF data
excluding control data
Initial, continuing, and ending XRF
control data
Laboratory ICP paint chip analysis
results
NUMBER OF:
RECORDS
1,314
7,185
15,836
5,594
1,314
VARIABLES
PER RECORD
13
7
21
18
18
    "Other" errors:  "Other" errors are errors that cannot be
    attributed to a specific cause.  An example of this type of
    error would be if a device reacted to the heat of direct
    sunlight and recorded extreme measurements.  This error is
    only present in the XRF and XRF Control data sets.
   7.3
QUALITY CONTROL METHODS AND SYSTEMS
   7.3.1 Data Entry Systems

   Quality control began with data entry.  The data entry
personnel used a menu-driven data entry software that provides
the ability to develop specific data entry regimes.  Screens
resembling the data forms were designed to facilitate the data
entry process and reduce errors.  The data entry software also
performs simple data entry error checks, such as limiting numeric
variables to an assigned range, thus identifying data entry
errors before the information is written to a data file.  The
user can sort and list records to identify inconsistent data, and
has easy access to individual records for updating or editing in
the event that an error is identified.  Output from this data
entry software were flat files storing data from Philadelphia,
Denver, and Louisville separately.

   Output from data entry along with the disk files provided by
the laboratory were input into statistical analysis software
programs that created the analysis data sets.
                               7-2

-------
   7.3.2 Exploratory Data Analysis

   Exploratory data analysis methods,  derived from the pilot
study, were applied to the Sample Definition,  Test Kit,  XRF, and
XRF Control data sets.  These techniques were used to identify
data errors of large magnitude within these four data sets.   Data
errors of smaller magnitude were identified through other means
discussed later in this chapter.  Data errors found included data
entry errors, monitor errors, operator errors,  programming
errors, and  "other" errors.  The techniques applied included
data sorts and tabulations, frequency tables,  and outlier
analysis using summary statistics and graphics.

   Data sorts and tabulations help to point out possible data
entry, operator/monitor, and "other" errors.  Data sorts were
performed on the data sets before any other QC was performed.
Data sorts rearrange the observations according to the values of
a specific variable.  After the sort,  observations out of order
or which exceeded specified ranges were flagged as possible data
errors.  For example, a sort of the difference between the test
kit start time and end time was used to identify errors present
in the start and end times.  Sorts were performed on the
following variables:

   •  Time (both start and end times)
   •  Testing date
   •  The difference between test kit start time and end
      time
   •  Test kit sampler or XRF operator
   •  Test kit identification codes
   •  XRF device identification codes.

   Frequency tables were a useful means for providing counts of
categorized data and were applied to the data sets.  Also,
frequency counts by values of a variable show error.  Count
discrepancies indicated that the type of error could be an
operator/monitor errors or data entry errors.  For example,  the
number of results categorized by substrate should be equal for
all test kits.  Other examples of frequency counts performed for
test kit categorizations and, in similar fashion, for the XRF
results are listed below.

      Substrates by test kit
      Identification number by unit
      Substrate by address
      XRF device by operator
      Test kit by tester
      XRF readings per device
                               7-3

-------
   Once frequency counts were completed and verified, outlier
data point identification was performed on the Test Kit and XRF
data sets.  A description of the methodology follows.  Specific
groups of XRF and test kit data were created.  The arithmetic
means and sample standard deviations were computed for each
grouping.  Next, any data point greater than three standard
deviations from its corresponding group mean was flagged as a
possible error.  These data points were then verified against
copies of the original data sheets for accuracy.  This
methodology was applied to variables stored in the Test Kit, XRF
and XRF Control data sets and was especially useful in
identifying monitor/operator and "other" errors.  Most of the
errors identified at this stage were large in magnitude.   Smaller
errors were identified through other means, discussed later in
this chapter.

   Graphical analyses provided a visual method for detecting data
errors.  Scatter plots applied summary statistics and were
designed to detect large errors by comparing XRF readings taken
at the same sampling location.  These plots were created for
specific groups of XRF readings from both the XRF and XRF Control
data sets.  For each city by XRF device by operator combination,
scatter plots were generated which compared readings performed at
common sampling locations.  At each sampling location, several
XRF readings were made.  Typically, three readings were performed
on the painted surface (designated here as paint 1, paint 2, and
paint 3, respectively).  Likewise, three XRF readings taken on
the red NIST standard and on the bare substrate are designated
red 1, red 2, red 3, bare 1, bare 2, and bare 3, respectively.
Each axis on the scatter plots measures a reading taken at a
sampling location.  Scatter plots were created by matching pairs
of readings.  For example, the vertical axis measured the paint 1
readings and the horizontal axis measured the paint 2 readings.
The regression of the two variables where the vertical axis
measures the dependent variable was drawn with the 99% confidence
limits on the individual predicted values.  Any data point
outside of the 99% confidence limit was researched.  Scatter
plots were created for each city by XRF by operator combination
for the pairs of readings given below.

      paint 1 vs paint 2
      paint 1 vs paint 3
      red 1 vs red 2
      red 1 vs red 3
      bare 1 vs bare 2
      bare 1 vs bare 3
                               7-4

-------
   Scatter plots of the average initial control readings versus
the average end control readings were developed using the same
city by XRF device by operator combinations as described above.

   When researching data flagged as possible errors,  all data was
compared to copies of the original data sheets and information
provided by the operators.  Corrections were made where needed.

   7.3.3 Captured Data Comparisons

   Once the aforementioned exploratory data analysis had been
completed, comparisons of the already entered data versus the
captured data files provided by the XRF operators were performed
using programs written in statistical analysis software.
Comparisons were performed using XRF and XRF Control data sets.
Captured data comparisons are a unique method for identifying and
obtaining missing data and identifying data entry errors, monitor
errors, and operator errors.  In a few instances, the captured
data gave indication that a machine error had occurred.  All
types of discrepancies found during captured data comparison are
discussed in the Error Rates section.  The captured data
comparison methodology is described below.

   Data disks storing Denver and Philadelphia data were received
from operators of the two MAP-3 instruments  (MAP-3 (I) and MAP-3
(II)), the X-MET 880, and the Lead Analyzer.  No data disk were
available from any of the  Louisville XRF operators.  Complete
data were present from Philadelphia.  However, several of the XRF
operators did not provide data  for all of the addresses in
Denver.  The X-MET 880 data logger was inoperative during testing
of buildings B, I, J, and portions of building H.  Also, the
second MAP-3 operator did not provide data from all of buildings
C and D, and portions of building B data.  Some data was also
missing because the MAP-3 devices in Denver  stored all negative
readings as 0.000 mg/cm2 rather than the actual negative value as
displayed to the operator.  This problem did not occur during
testing in Philadelphia because both MAP-3 devices had been
modified to store negative values, however,  many negative
readings were incorrectly stored as 0.000 mg/cm2 in the Denver
captured data files.  The number of Denver readings incorrectly
stored as a result of this phenomenon  is shown in Table  7-2.

   Since each XRF device  has its own method  for data  storage,  a
more detailed description is given below.

   •  The MAP-3 devices stored  the data in the form of  a tabular
      listing which  included ID number, component structure,
      sample number  (1-3  for the three paint readings,  4-6  for
      the three red  NIST  readings), K-shell  reading,  L-shell
      reading,  soil  reading, reading length  in seconds,  and date
       (Figure  7-1).

                                7-5

-------
Table 7-2.    Number of Negative Readings Incorrectly Stored in the MAP-3
            Denver Captured Data Files.
DEVICE
MAP-3 (I) K-shell
MAP-3 (I) L-shell
MAP-3 (II) K-shell
MAP-3 (II) L-shell
DATA TYPE
Standard and Special
1167
1531
710
847
Control
751
969
541
619
   •  The Lead Analyzer stored data in the form of text.  The
      captured data files included the date, time of reading,
      operator entered substrate sequence number, L-shell
      reading, and K-shell reading.  Figure 7-2 provides an
      example.  The substrate sequence number denotes the
      sample's placement within the current substrate.  For
      example, the first wood sample within a house would be
      labeled 1W.  Each wood sample after that would be
      sequentially labeled 2W, 3W, etc.  If the next substrate"
      present in that house was drywall, the first drywall sample
      would be labeled ID, with the next samples sequentially
      labeled 2D, 3D, etc.  The substrate sequence number was
      used in place of the identification number.

   •  The X-MET 880 also stored the data in the form of text,
      similar to the Lead Analyzer.  The captured data from the
      Denver X-MET 880 included the sampling location
      identification number, operator input substrate mode, date,
      time of reading, length of reading, and reading result
      measured in mg/cm2.  The operator entered one of four
      substrate modes depending upon the underlying substrate  of
      the sample.  Figure 7-3 provides an example.  The captured
      data collected in Philadelphia contained the same
      information, but without an identification number.

   To complete the comparison procedure, the captured data files
passed through three stages of processing.  Because of the
differing storage formats of the files, the files were modified
from their original form.  This is the first stage of captured
data processing.  This was done by modifying the captured data
files with a FORTRAN program that would arrange the data into  one
common file format.

   Output from the FORTRAN program consisted of eight files, one
for each instrument by Denver and Philadelphia combination.
These files entered the second processing stage.  The purpose  of
the second stage is to properly order records in the captured
data files so that the individual data items can be compared to

                               7-6

-------
        Application:Pb-IN-PAINT           Q015 4-JULY-1993
        Meas Time:  12-OCT-1993  14:17:38
        ID: <43M>
        (    )  (      )
                        Value       Std.  dev.
               PbL       0.580052       0.0146903 mg/cm^2
               PbK        2.24696        0.257504 mg/cm*2

        Application:Pb-IN-PAINT           Q015 4-JULY-1993
        Meas Time:  12-OCT-1993  14:18:32
        ID: <44M>
        (    )  (      )
                        Value       Std.  dev.
               PbL        1.01137       0.0191814 mg/cm^2
               PbK        1.45181        0.214201 mg/cm*2

        Application:Pb-IN-PAINT           Q015 4-JULY-1993
        Meas Time:  12-OCT-1993  14:19:13
        ID: <45M>
        (    )  (      )
                        Value       Std.  dev.
               PbL        1.01945       0.0192311 mg/cmA2
               PbK       0.568510        0.174674 mg/cm*2

        Application:Pb-IN-PAINT           Q015 4-JULY-1993
        Meas Time:  12-OCT-1993  14:19:50
        ID: <46M>
        (    )  (      )
                        Value       Std.  dev.
               PbL        1.02456       0.0192766 mg/cm"2
               PbK       0.790094        0.188462 mg/cm^2

        Application:Pb-IN-PAINT           Q015 4-JULY-1993
        Meas Time:  12-OCT-1993  14:20:55
        ID: <47M>
        (    )  (      )
                        Value       Std.  dev.
               PbL       0.119683      0.00678722 mg/cm*2
               PbK        2.83148        0.288397 mg/cmA2
Figure  7-2.  Example  of the Lead  Analyzer data  storage method.


those of the data  set during stage three.  A description of  the
second  processing  stage follows.

   Along with the  expected information, the captured data  files
also contained extra data such as additional readings, incorrect
readings (for example, taken with the wrong NIST standard, taken
on the  wrong surface, etc.), and the operator's calibration
readings.  In a very few cases,  unexplained text appeared  in
place of readings.   Before the captured data and the previously
entered data could be compared,  it was necessary to manually edit
and remove extra data from each  of the eight files.  To
accomplish this, each file was compared with the data set.   After
each pass of the comparison procedure, records were identified

                                 7-7

-------
      MODEL 3 ?
      MODEL 3 ? 2
      OLD ASSAY MODEL PBDRYPLAST
      MEASURING TIME 15 ? 16

      > 41
      WHAT?
       (MODEL 2: PBDRYPLAST)  DATE: 05.08.93 TIME:  10-05-10
      MEASURING: PROBE 6 TYPE DOPS (A)
                   16 SECONDS
      ASSAYS :PB 3.694
       (MODEL 2: PBDRYPLAST)  DATE: 05.08.93 TIME:  10-05-38
      MEASURING: PROBE 6 TYPE DOPS (A)
                   16 SECONDS
      ASSAYS :PB 3.766
       (MODEL 2: PBDRYPLAST)  DATE: 05.08.93  TIME:  10-06-06
      MEASURING: PROBE 6 TYPE DOPS (A)
                   16 SECONDS
      ASSAYS :PB 3.712
Figure  7-3.  Example of the X-MET 880 data storage method.


for output.   These records were output because they belonged to a
group of mismatched records.  Records became mismatched when, for
example, missing or extra data was present in the captured data
files.  Those records output were visually compared with the
project data sheets and adjustments made where necessary.   In
most cases,  the reason for the mismatch was that an extra reading
had been performed (for example, one or two additional readings
per identification number) or readings were not saved to the
captured data file.  Frequently there were comments from the
operator on  the field data sheet explaining the presence of extra
readings.  Additional readings were only used when  operator
comments indicated the original reading was incorrectly tested.
For each mismatch,  the problem was corrected so that the order of
records would be properly matched.

   Next, the captured data files entered the third  and final
stage of processing.   In this stage, the comparison procedure was
again performed,  but  instead of comparing the order in which
readings occur,  individual data items were compared.  A
description  of the final processing stage follows.

   For  each  XRF device,  XRF readings were compared  for
observations with matching identification data  (eg. ,
identification number,  sample number, etc.), and to be considered

                                7-8

-------
ID#

355
355
355
355
355
355
356
356
356
356
356
356
357
357
357
357
357
357
358
358
358
358
358
358
359
359
359
359
359
359
359
Comp Sample*
Struct
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
K-Shell L-Shell
mg/cm"^ mg/cmA2
0.
0.
0.
1.
1.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
1.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
1.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
1.
0.
0.
1.
0.
0.
0.
0.
1.
000
000
000
129
642
891
000
000
000
959
065
982
170
000
000
158
221
873
000
000
000
822
364
814
000
006
000
368
384
633
216
0.
0.
0.
1.
1.
1.
0.
0.
0.
1.
1.
1.
0.
0.
0.
1.
1.
1.
0.
0.
0.
1.
1.
1.
0.
0.
0.
0.
1.
1.
1.
000
003
000
224
354
306
050
000
025
286
281
207
000
000
000
215
331
221
040
000
000
189
373
219
450
397
400
367
401
454
351
Pb-Soil Time Date
ppm seconds
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Figure 7-1. Example of the MAP-3 data storage method.


a match the data set had to exactly match the captured data.  Any
readings which did not match the captured data were researched
against copies of the original field data sheets, documented and
corrected if needed.  However, it was found that in most
instances the Lead Analyzer captured data and both Denver MAP-3
captured data files did not exactly match the data set.

   As a result of their storage of negative values as 0.000
mg/cm2,  no  negative MAP-3  data set  readings  from Denver  matched
their captured data counterparts.  To contend with this, the
compare code converted all negative data_set readings to 0.000
mg/cm2,  eliminating the  mismatch during  the  compare procedure,
but not guaranteeing error free data.  For example:  if a
negative reading was incorrectly recorded or entered as another
negative reading, it would still exactly match the captured data
reading because they would both be compared as 0.000 mg/cm2.
Only if the negative reading was incorrectly recorded as a
positive reading, or incorrectly entered as a positive reading
would it be identified as an error through the compare procedure.
Again, data from the MAP-3 devices used in Philadelphia did not
present this problem.
                               7-9

-------
   In addition to the MAP-3 data storage problem, the Lead
Analyzer also presented a data storage problem.  In many cases
throughout Denver and Philadelphia testing, the Lead Analyzer had
rounded the actual value of the reading when it was displayed to
the operator, but stored the complete reading in the captured
data.  As a result, the compare procedure identified a majority
of readings as mismatched data.  To prevent this, the comparison
procedure for the Lead Analyzer was changed so that the data set
value had to be at least ± 0.05 mg/cm2 different  from the
captured data value to be considered a mismatch.   This method was
useful for identifying significant discrepancies between the
captured data and data sets, however, small discrepancies of
magnitude less than 0.05 mg/cm2 were not identified through this
process.

   All types of discrepancies found during captured data
comparison are discussed in the Error Rates section.

   7.3.4 Double Data Entry

   Double data entry comparisons were performed on the XRF data
set for the XL, XK-3, and Microlead I XRF devices, because
captured data were not available for comparison.   Double data
entry comparisons were also performed on the XRF data from those
buildings missing data in the MAP-3 and X-MET 880 captured data
files from Denver.

   Double data entry was performed at the same time, but
independent of the captured data comparison process.  Data entry
personnel entered the XRF instrument, sample identification
number, and XRF readings into a data base.  The resulting file
was input into a statistical analysis software program and
compared with the original XRF data set.  Discrepancies between
the two data sets were researched.  Data entry errors were the
only discrepancy types identifiable through double data entry
comparisons.  All types of discrepancies found during double data
entry comparison are discussed in the Error Rates section.

   7.3.5 100 Percent Verification

   For some study data, every item of every record was compared
to copies of the original data sheets.  This procedure will be
referred to as 100% verification and was performed for the
following:

   •  Sample Definition data set
   •  Louisville test kit and XRF data
   •  XRF Control data set

   100% verification was done for the Sample Definition data set,
XRF Control data set,  and Louisville test kit and XRF data
because it reduced data errors while remaining time efficient due

                               7-10

-------
to the size of these data sets.  100% verification can identify
only data entry errors.

   7.4   ERROR RATES

   Three different error rates were computed.   The first is the
error rate found through the compare procedure using the captured
data.  The second is the error rate found through double data
entry.  The third is the residual error rate remaining in the
data sets even after double data entry and captured data
comparison procedures were completed, that is, after completion
of all QC steps.  Whenever possible, error rates have been broken
down to individual test kits or XRF instruments.  These three
error rates are summarized below.

   It is important to note that all data error rates were
computed on the basis of data items, not records.  By
convenience,  all samples were randomly selected using records as
the sampling unit.  However, each record contains between 8 and
21 data items, depending upon the data set from which it was
retrieved.  The formula for computing the error rate is the
number of data item errors divided by the number of data items in
the sample.  Data items were used instead of records as the basis
for computing error rates because an error rate computed in this
manner is more indicative of the true error rate than an error
rate computed on the basis of records.  This is supported by the
random occurrence of the errors by item and that multiple errors
in a single record are rare.  For example, one datum in error on
a record does not cause the remaining record data items to be in
error.

   7.4.1 Comparison Discrepancies

   After comparisons had been completed using captured data and
double data entry, there were three types of discrepancies
identified.  All of the identified discrepancies described below
were corrected.

   1)  Monitor/Operator errors:  These are errors that occur
   during the actual testing process.  Such errors encompass
   transposition of numbers by operator or monitor, adding extra
   decimal places to the reading of a single decimal place XRF,
   failure to record the necessary data, etc.

   2)  Data Entry errors:  These are errors made by the data
   entry personnel when entering the data.  They include number
   transposition, entering the wrong data point, misplacement of
   the decimal point, etc.  Data entry errors are the only
   discrepancy type identified by double data entry comparisons.

   3)  Undetermined Discrepancies:  Some discrepancies which were
   identified by the captured data comparison could not be

                               7-11

-------
   attributed to a specific cause.  The cause of the discrepancy
   cannot be determined but it is known that they are not data
   entry errors.  The cause could be an "other" error, or a
   monitor/operator error.  Due to the nature of this
   discrepancy, it was not possible to determine whether the
   captured data was correct or whether the field data sheet was
   correct.  In the event of a undetermined discrepancy, the
   value on the field data sheet was not changed.

   Error rates for data within the XRF data set  {standard and
"special" XRF measurements) determined through the captured data
compare process are shown in Table 7-3.  The error rates are
.categorized by discrepancy type for each XRF.  Table 7-4 contains
error rates computed through captured data comparisons for data
from the XRF control data set.  Data entry error rates for data
from the XRF data set from those devices without captured data
were determined through the double data entry process and are
shown in Table 7-5.  Note that the data entry error rates are
much lower than the monitor/operator error rates computed from
captured data comparisons.  Total error rates for the XRF data
set are displayed in Table 7-6 and are categorized by discrepancy
type.  Table 7-7 contains the error rates categorized by
discrepancy type for the XRF control data set.

   The magnitude of the three types of errors/discrepancies
identified by comparing the captured data files to the data sets
is given in Tables 7-8 through 7-10.  Computed for each
identified error/discrepancy was the difference and absolute
difference between the value found in the data set and the value
found in the captured data file.  Table 7-8 provides the sample
size, arithmetic mean, sample standard deviation, minimum, 25th
percentile, median, 75th percentile and maximum of XRF standard
and "special" measurements for each type of discrepancy.  Tables
7-9 and 7-10 display the same summary statistics as Table 7-8,
but for the XRF control data set and the two data sets combined,
respectively.  A frequency plot of the absolute difference
categorized by magnitude of the difference is provided in Figure
7-4.  Each category represents the number of discrepancies with
absolute differences within a 0.2 mg/cm2 range.   In Figure 7-4,
the categories are labeled by their corresponding range midpoint
except for the category labeled "2.0+".  The range for this
category are all absolute differences greater than 1.8 mg/cm2.
The range for the smallest category includes all values less than
0.2 mg/cm2.

   7.4.2 Residual Error Rates

   After data entry,  exploratory data analysis, captured data
comparisons,  double data entry comparisons, and 100% verification
were completed, random samples of each analysis data set were
selected for visual verification against copies of the field data
sheets.   A stratified sampling scheme was used to randomly select

                              7-12

-------
Table 7-3.    Error Rates from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
            Comparison Procedure of XRF Standard and "Special" Readings.
            Errors are Listed for each Discrepancy Type.
DEVICE

Lead Analyzer
K- she 11


Lead Analyzer
L-shell


MAP- 3 (I) K- shell


MAP-3 (I) L-shell


MAP-3 (II) K-shell


MAP-3 (II) L-shell


X-Met 880

TOTAL
SAMPLE
SIZE

7,986


7,986


8,038


8,043


6,363


6,363


6,163

50, 942
DISCREPANCY TYPE
Mon . /Oper Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon. /Oper. Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy

NO. OF
ERRORS
35
45
20
22
15
3
66
66
16
72
38
36
155
20
71
213
14
33
35
43
1
1,019
% ERROR
RATE
0.44
0.56
0.25
0.28
0.19
0.04
0.82
0.82
0.20
0.90
0.47
0.45
2.44
0.31
1.12
3.35
0.22
0.52
0.57
0.70
0.02
2.00
10% of the  total number of records  from each data set.  The  data
were stratified by city and XRF  device or test kit.  This  process
resulted  in samples that will be referred to as the 10% random
sample.   Code was written in statistical analysis software to
perform the random selection process.   Estimates of the residual
data entry  error rates were made from the 10% random sample.

   Only the residual data entry  error rate can be estimated.
However,  we would expect that monitor/operator errors  in the
                                7-13

-------
Table 7-4.    Error Rates from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
            Comparison Procedure of XRF Control Readings.  Error Rates are
            Listed for each Discrepancy Type.
DEVICE
Lead Analyzer
K- shell
Lead Analyzer
L- shell
MAP- 3 (I) K- shell
MAP-3 (I) L-shell
MAP-3 (II) K-shell
MAP-3 (II) L-shell
X-MET 880
TOTAL
SAMPLE
SIZE
3,807
3,807
5,037
5,032
3,881
3,881
2,590
28,035
DISCREPANCY TYPE
Mon . Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon. /Oper. Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
Mon. /Oper. Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy

NO. OF
ERRORS
22
4
35
4
0
5
30
13
7
36
11
24
107
20
38
141
14
28
6
4
0
549
% ERROR
RATE
0.58
0.11
0.92
0.11
0.00
0.13
0.60
0.26
0.14
0.72
0.22
0.48
2.76
0.52
0.98
3.63
0.36
0.72
0.23
0.15
0.00
1.96
instruments without captured data  (XL, X-MET 880, and Microlead
I) to occur less frequently than those instruments with captured
data.  This is  due to the fact that the captured data instruments
have multiple decimal place readings while those instruments
without captured data have single decimal place readings.   Of the
monitor/operator errors identified through captured  data
comparisons,  50.53 percent occurred in the decimal  numbers to
the right of the first decimal place.  Also, five of the seven
errors found through 10% random verification occurred in the
                                7-14

-------
Table 7-5.    Data Entry Error Rates from Denver and Philadelphia Double Data
              Entry Comparison Procedure Categorized by Device.
DEVICE
MAP-3 (II) K-shell
MAP-3 (II) L-shell
Microlead I (I)
Microlead I (II)
X-MET 880
XK-3 (I)
XK-3 (II)
XL
TOTAL
SAMPLE SIZE
1,547
1,547
9,252
9,266
9,273
9,239
9,266
9,273
51,684
NO. OF ERRORS
9
13
44
24
25
52
39
25
212
% ERROR RATE
0.58
0.84
0.48
0.26
0.27
0.56
0.42
0.27
0.41
Table 7-6.    Error Rates from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
              Comparison Procedure for 50,942 XRF Standard and "Special1
              Readings Listed by Discrepancy Type.
DISCREPANCY TYPE
Mon . /Oper . Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
All Types Combined
CAPTURED DATA
NO. OF ERRORS
598
241
180
1,019
% ERROR RATE
1.17
0.47
0.35
2.00
Table 7-7.    Error Rates  from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
              Comparison Procedure for 28,035 XRF Control Readings Listed by
              Discrepancy  Type.
DISCREPANCY TYPE
Mon. /Oper. Error
Data Entry Error
Undetermined Discrepancy
All Types Combined
CAPTURED DATA
NO. OF ERRORS
346
66
137
549
% ERROR RATE
1.23
0.24
0.49
1.96
                                     7-15

-------
Table 7-8.    Summary Statistics  from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
            Comparison Procedure of XRF Standard and "Special" Measurements
            Listed by Discrepancy Type.
STATISTIC
Difference
mg/cm2
Absolute
Difference
mg/cm2
Sample Size
Mean
STD Deviation
Minimum
25th Percentile
Median
75th Percentile
Maximum
Sample Size
Mean
STD Deviation
Minimum
25th Percentile
Median
75th Percentile
Maximum
MON./OPER.
ERROR
598
0.026
0.773
-3.796
-0.072
0.001
0.133
6.108
598
0.381
0.673
0.001
0.008
0.100
0.500
6.108
DATA ENTRY
ERROR
226
-0.004
0.605
-3.000
-0.104
-0.005
0.089
3.322
226
0.322
0.512
0.000
0.029
0.090
0.375
3.322
UNDETERMINED
DISCREPANCY
180
0.307
0.866
-3.374
0.020
0.133
0.866
2.622
180
0.615
0.682
0.001
0.098
0.344
1.076
3.374
readings of XRFs  with multiple decimal numbers.  The  other two
errors occurred in  data  fields other than XRF reading results.  No
errors were found in  readings from 10% random samples of XRF
instruments that  output  only a single decimal number.

   7.4.2.1  Residual  Data  Entry Error Rates

   The residual data  entry error rates for the four data sets
{Laboratory data  set  QC  is discussed in section  7.5)  are
summarized below.

   •  One error was found  out of 1,424 data items  in  the 10%
      random sample of the Sample Definition data  set equalling a
      data entry  error rate of 0.07 percent.

   •  The data entry  error rate computed from the  10% sample of
      the Test kit data  set is five errors in 5,020 data items
      equaling 0.10 percent.
                               7-16

-------
Table 7-9.    Summary Statistics from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
            Comparison Procedure of XRF Control Readings Listed by
            Discrepancy Type.
STATISTIC
Difference
ing /cm2
Absolute
Difference
mg/cm2
Sample Size
Mean
STD Deviation
Minimum
25th Percentile
Median
75th Percentile
Maximum
Sample Size
Mean
STD Deviation
Minimum
25th Percentile
Median
75th Percentile
Maximum
MON./OPER.
ERROR
346
0.021
0.897
-3.000
-0.100
0.001
0.180
5.984
34S
0.457
0.773
0.000
0.009
0.153
0.600
5.984
DATA ENTRY
ERROR
66
-0.038
0.881
-6.174
-0.050
0.000
0.060
1.412
66
0.348
0.809
0.000
0.020
0.052
0.481
6.174
UNDETERMINED
DISCREPANCY
137
-0.499
7.655
-73.664
-0.041
0.100
0.642
3.409
137
1.481
7.526
0.001
0.100
0.241
0.918
73.664
      Data entry error rates for the XRF data set are shown  in
      Table 7-11.  In this sample, 75 records from Denver and 44
      records from Philadelphia were randomly selected
      independently for each XRF device.  Note that the  third and
      fourth columns of Table 7-11 describe errors concerning the
      actual reading values, whereas the fifth and sixth columns
      comprise errors in other variables such as date, time,
      operator,  etc.  The percent error rates for each error type
      were computed using that portion of the 'Total Number  of
      Items' composed only of data items from the variables
      associated with that error type.  The '% Overall Rate' is
      computed using the 'No. of XRF Errors' over the  'Total
      Number of Items'.  Notice that four out of five of the XRF
      reading errors occur in the Lead Analyzer readings.  These
      four were not observed during the captured data comparison
      process because they fell within the ± 0.05 mg/cm2
      allowance for rounding.
                                7-17

-------
Table 7-10.
Summary Statistics from Denver and Philadelphia Captured Data
Comparison Procedure of XRF Standard,  "Special" and Control
Readings Listed by Discrepancy Type.
STATISTIC
Difference
mg/cm2
Absolute
Difference
mg/cm2
Sample Size
Mean
STD Deviation
Minimum
25th Percentile
Median
75th Percentile
Maximum
Sample Size
Mean
STD Deviation
Minimum
25th Percentile
Median
75th Percentile
Maximum
MON./OPER.
ERROR
944
0.024
0.820
-3.796
-0.080
0.001
0.151
6.108
944
0.409
0.712
0.000
0.008
0.100
0.529
6.108
DATA ENTRY
ERROR
292
-0.011
0.676
-6.174
-0.081
-0.005
0.081
3.322
292
0.328
0.591
0.000
0.027
0.081
0.400
6.174
UNDETERMINED
DISCREPANCY
317
-0. 041
5.080
-73.664
-0.005
0.105
0.690
3.409
317
0.989
4.982
0.001
0.100
0.271
1.000
73.664
   •  Even though the XRF Control data set had 100% verification
      performed,  a 10% random sample was still selected  for
      residual  error rate determination.  One error was  found in
      the XRF Control data set.   With 9,443 items in the sample
      the resulting error rate was 0.011% for the XRF  Control
      data set.

   7.5   RESULTS  OF LABORATORY AUDITS

   An evaluation  of the laboratory analysis activity was
performed by the  Senior Quality Assurance Officer  (QAO)  for the
program who is  independent from the laboratory operation with
respect to line management of the laboratory.  The evaluation
procedures and  results,  including system audits, performance
audits, and data  audits are discussed in sections 7.5.1,  7.5.2,
and 7.5.3.  An  audit is a systematic evaluation to determine the
quality of the  operational function.
                               7-18

-------
            NUMBER OF DISCREPANCIES
           Horizontal axis measures the magnitude of the discrepancy
       Number
         900
         800 -




         700 -




         600 -




         500 -




         400 -




         300 -




         200 -




         100 -
              \
               C


               ±





            TYPE
000011111

357913579

  Absolute  Difference Midpoints
               Monitor/Operator
                     Data Entry
                        Unknown
2

:
Figure 7-4.  Frequency  plot  of the absolute  differences  of  the
            errors  found through  the Denver  and Philadelphia
            captured data comparison process.
                            7-19

-------
Table 7-H.    Residual Data Entry Error Rates and Counts  in  the XRF NORM Data Set.
DEVICE
Lead Analyzer
K-shell
Lead Analyzer
L-shell
MAP-3 K-shell
(I)
MAP-3 L-shell
(I)
MAP-3 K-shell
(II)
MAP-3 L-shell
(ID
Microlead (I)
Microlead (II)
X-MET 880
XK-3 (I)
XK-3 (II)
XL
TOTAL
TOTAL
NUMBER OF
ITEMS
1,613
1,616
1,547
1,541
1,536
1,540
1,644
1,681
1,613
1,628
1,634
1,646
19,239
No. XRF
ERRORS
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
% XRF
ERROR
RATE
0.13
0.38
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
No. OTHER
ERRORS
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
% OTHER
ERROR
RATE
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.12
0.12
0.02
TOTAL NO.
ERRORS
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
% OVERALL
RATE
0.06
0.19
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.06
0.04
                                                   7-20

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   An additional evaluation of the analytical activity was
performed separately by EPA.  Results of these audits are
presented in section 7.5.4.

   7.5.1 System Audit

   The system audit for this work was a qualitative examination
of the facility and the conduct of the analytical task which is
all the work required to analyze samples.   Requirements for the
facility and the conduct of the analytical task are different and
therefore, a separate inspection was performed for each.  The
results of the system audits are given below.

   7.5.1.1  Facility Inspection

   Facility inspections at the laboratory are performed on a
quarterly basis.  The items covered in the facility inspection
were the equipment, sample and standards storage, and documen-
tation.  The facility was found to be adequately maintained.  The
equipment necessary for the operation of the facility was
available and in operational condition.  Calibration and
maintenance of the equipment were documented in instrumental log
books and were found to be current.  No systematic problems were
seen with the facility or with the equipment and the associated
documentation for the equipment.

   7.5.1.2  Analytical Task

   The system audit of the analytical task was conducted in
August, 1993.  The areas inspected during the audit were
personnel qualifications, sample control,  sample preparation
techniques (on samples similar to those to be analyzed for this
work), and Standard Operating Procedures.   A detailed listing of
items checked during a system audit is presented in Table 7-12.
A separate inspection of the homogenization technique used for
the paint chips was conducted during the initial testing in April
1993.  No systematic problems were observed during this audit.

   7.5.2 Performance Audit

   Three Performance Evaluation Samples (PESs) were prepared for
each sample preparation batch.  The PESs were prepared by the
project sample custodian using a National Institute of Standards
and Technology  (NIST) Standard Reference Material  (SRM) and two
American Industrial Hygiene Association (AIHA) materials as
discussed in section 3.2.2.  The lead levels were determined
through round robin testing performed under the Environmental

                               7-21

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Table 7-12.    Table of Items Checked During the Laboratory  System Audit.
                   Category
         Items Checked
       Personnel
Qualifications
Safety—Chemical Hygiene Plan
Training
       Facilities
Adequacy
Housekeeping
Maintenance
Safety
Security
       Equipment
Adequacy
Maintenance
Safety
Security
Standard Operating Procedures
       Sample Control
Personnel
Equipment
Facilities
Standard Operating Procedures
        Sample Preparation
Personnel
Equipment
Facilities
Standard Operating Procedures
        Instrumental Measurement
Personnel
Equipment
Facilities
Standard Operating Procedures
       Data Collection—Validation and
         Verification
Personnel
Equipment
Facilities
Standard Operating Procedures
       Standard Operating Procedures
Corporate
Department
Section
Project Specific
       Documentation
Personnel—Qualifications and
  Training
Facilities SOPs
Equipment SOPs
Data—Samples, Standards, and
  Quality Control Collection
  Validation and Verification
  Archival
       Sample Handling as Defined by
       the Quality Assurance Project
       and Work Plans
Collection
Preparation
Analysis
Storage
Disposal
                                    7-22

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Lead Proficiency Analytical Testing (ELPAT)  Program.  The NIST
SRM No. 1579a containing 11.995% lead was used as a high, lead-
level reference material.   The same ELPAT material was used for
the two PESs in each batch.  Four different ELPAT lead
concentrations used during the study were 0.2007%, 0.3809%,
3.218%, and 9.5536%.

   The results of the blind samples are reported in
section 4.4.2.2 Figures 4-30, 4-31, and 4-32.   Results, in terms
of the data quality objectives, are discussed in section 2.2.4.
One control situation with the NIST SRM, which did not meet the
accuracy objectives at the start of the Philadelphia sample
analyses,  was found during a data audit and is discussed in
section 7.5.3.

   7.5.3 Data Audit

   The data audit is a qualitative and a quantitative evaluation
of the documentation and procedures associated with the
measurements to verify that the resulting data are of known and
acceptable quality.  The analytical data were audited using the
criteria given in Table 2-18 for the instrumental quality control
and Table 2-16 for the method performance.  Both tables can be
found in the design elaboration section of the report, section
3.3.2.  Selected data in 100% of the instrumental measurement
batches were audited.  The instrumental measurement batches
consisted of one or more sample preparation batches.  Analyses
within each instrumental measurement batch were randomly selected
following the American National Standard Sampling Procedures by
Attributes, MIL-STD-105-D.  These sampling procedures specify the
number of analyses in each instrumental measurement batch that
must be sampled to guarantee that the fraction of unacceptable
analyses in the batch is less than 5% at the 95% confidence
level.  Acceptability of an analysis is defined as per data and
measurement quality objectives defined in the study plans.
Randomly selected analytical results from each instrumental
measurement batch were followed through the analytical process to
evaluate the data generation and reporting system for systematic
problems and to follow the audit trail.  This procedure starts
with the reported data and back calculates this number to the
original raw data output  (instrument response).   Then the sample
is tracked through each step of the analytical process, as
documented in the notebook and other analytical records, to the
instrumental measurement.   The raw data and documentation for the
analysis process includes but is not limited to the weighing
records, the laboratory notebook entries, instrumental output,
and summary tables containing final calculated data.

                               7-23

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   Of the 3,765 ICP measurements in this study,  approximately 18%
of the analytical results in 26 instrumental measurement batches
were audited.  The audits found that the data folder format
provided a systematic means for ensuring a complete audit trail.
The audit of the analytical results found no systematic problems
in sample preparation, instrumental measurement,  or generation of
the analytical data.

   The data audit for the full study data included a 100% check
of data for 270 randomly selected paint sample results from the
full study.  From this check,  a total of 9 random errors were
detected and corrected prior to releasing the data for further
statistical analysis testing.

   Only one systematic error was found during the data auditing
process, as noted in section 7.5.2, where the low recoveries
resulted in a control situation in specific sample preparation
batches for the NIST blind PESs that indicated a systemic
problem.  The change in control posture for these sample
preparation batches was investigated, resulting in no
explanation.  To evaluate if the low recoveries had an effect on
the field sample results in these sample preparation batches,
experiments were performed as discussed in sections 4.4.2.2.1 and
4.4.2.2.2.  The statistical evaluation of the results from these
experiments indicated that the results from the questionable
sample preparation batches are consistent with those of
acceptable sample preparation batches, therefore, a systematic
problem is unlikely.

   7.5.4 Results of EPA Audits

   Several audits were conducted on study activities both in the
field and the laboratory by the EPA work assignment manager.
These audits included the evaluation of the field training
conducted for the test kit operators and the performance of field
test kit supervisors overseeing the operators.  A system audit on
laboratory operations was conducted during the initial analysis
of sample preparation and instrumental measurement batches
associated with the full study.  Data audits conducted included
the evaluation of laboratory data values associated with 75 final
sample results.  These audits included the review of over 700
values tracing the raw sample data and the associated quality
control sample values affiliated with the final results through
the system to the final reported data.  No errors were revealed
in the data audits.
                              7-24

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8.    BIBLIOGRAPHY


[1]   Title X--Residential Lead-Based Paint  Hazard Reduction Act of
     1992, Public Law 102-550.

[2]   United States  Department  of Housing  and Urban  Develpment
     (1990),  "Lead-Based  Paint:   Interim  Guidelines  for Hazard
     Identification and Abatement  in Public  and Indian Housing",
     Office of  Public and Indian Housing, Washington DC  20410.

[3]   Williams,  E.E.,  Binstock, D.A., O'Rourke, J.A.,  Grohse, P.M,
     and Gutknecht,  W.F.,  (Draft 1992,  revised September 1994),
     "Evaluation of Procedures  for  Measuring Lead  in Paint, Soil
     and  Dust   Utilizing  Hot  Plate  and  Microwave-Based  Acid
     Extractions and Atomic Absorption and by Inductively Coupled
     Plasma Emission Spectrometry",  RTI/RTP, North Carolina, EPA
     Contract No. 68-02-4550, EPA No. 600/R-94/147.

[4]   Lide, David R. , Editor-in-Chief, CRC Handbook of  Chemistry and
     Physics,  74th Edition, 1993-94.

[5]   United States  Department  of Housing  and Urban  Develpment
     (1992),  "Lead-Based  Paint:   Interim  Guidelines  for Hazard
     Identification and Abatement  in Public  and Indian Housing",
     unpublished revision of chapter 4.

[6]   Pella, P.A., McKnight,  M.,  Murphy,  K.E.,  Vocke, R.D.,  Byrd,
     E.,  DeVoe,  J.R.,  Kane, J.S.,  Lagergren,  E.S.,  Schiller, S.B.,
     and Marlow,  A.F.,  "NIST  SRM 2579 Lead Paint Films for Portable
     X-Ray Fluorescence  Analyzers",  Lead  Poisoning:   Exposure,
     Abatement,  Regulation, Breen, J.J., and Stroup, C.R., Editors,
     CRC Press,  1995.

[7]   Chatterjee, S.,  and Price, B.  (1977),  Regression Analysis by
     Example, New York: John Wiley.

[8]   Barlow,  R.E., Bartholomew,  D.J., Bremner, J.M.,  and Brunk,
     H.D.  (1972), Statistical Inference under Order Restrictions,
     New York:   John Wiley.

[9]   Stefanski,  L.A.  and Carroll, R.L. (1990) , "Structural Logistic
     Regression   Measurement   Error   Models,"    Contemporary
     Mathematics, 112, 115-127.

[10]  Whittemore, A.S. and Keller,  J.B.  (1988),  "Approximations for
     Regression with Covariate Measurement  Error,"  Journal of the
     American Statistical Association, 83,  1057-1066.

[11]  Stefanski,  L.A.  (1989) ,  "Correcting Data for Measurement Error
     in Generalized Linear Models," Communications in Statistics,
     Part A--Theory and Methods, 5, 1715-1733.

                                  8-1

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[12]  Warrington Inc.,  "Microlead I  Revision  4  Instruction Guide",
     2113  Wells Branch Parkway,  Suite  6700,  Austin,  Texas 78728.

[13]  Bishop,  Y.M.M.,  Fienberg,  S.E.,  and Holland,  P.W.  (1975),
     Discrete  Multivariate   Analysis:   Theory   and   Practice,
     Cambridge:  MIT Press.
                                 8-2

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9.
GLOSSARY
The terms presented in this glossary are defined specifically for
this report and are not intended as universal definitions for
these terms across other projects or work.  Defined terms that
appear within definitions for other terms are presented in
italics.
area units
              Expression of the lead level as the mass of
              lead in the specimen divided by the area of
              the specimen.  The units were reported in
              milligrams per centimeter squared  (mg/cm2) .
bare substrate
              A building component targeted for testing that
              had been scraped clean of paint.
baseline
probability
(rate) of
positives,
negatives
              For a lead testing method, the baseline
              probability (rate) of positives is the
              probability of a positive result in the
              absence of lead in paint.   The
              .baseline probability (rate) of negatives is
              the probability of a negative result in the
              presence of maximal lead content.
batching
              See sample batching.
beginning
control block
reading
              A quality control XRF reading performed on a
              control JblocJc at the beginning of a testing
              day.
bias
              The systematic tendency of a measurement
              process to either underestimate or
              overestimate the quantity of interest.  Bias
              and variability together describe the accuracy
              and precision of the process, respectively.
bias
correction
              A method for removing the bias present in an
              XRF measurement.  The three methods considered
              in the study were control correction, full
              correction, and red NIST SRM averaged
              correction.
                               9-1

-------
blind
reference
material
A paint sample originating from the National
Institute of Standards and Technology  (NIST)
that has a precisely known level of lead.
These samples were submitted for analysis
along with other field samples in a manner
blind to the laboratory personnel performing
the analysis.
blind
performance
material
A paint sample originating from the American
Industrial Hygiene Association (AIHA) that has
a level of lead determined from round robin
analysis.  These samples were submitted for
analysis along with other field samples in a
manner blind to the laboratory personnel
performing the analysis.
bootstrap
A statistical technique for estimating the
Mas, standard error, or other attributes of
an estimator, which entails randomly recycling
the sample data through computer simulation.
classification
Designation of a specimen as having a high or
low lead level relative to a fixed criterion,
such as the 1.0 mg/cm2  federal  standard;  or,
in the case of test Jtits, the visual
observation of a colored chemical reaction
indicating the presence of lead.  The
classification is negative (positive) if a low
(high) lead level is indicated.
chemical test
kit
see test kit
clock time
The total time that elapsed during the
observation of a single XRF reading.
confidence
interval
An estimated range of values in which the
quantity of interest lies.  A 95% confidence
interval covers the quantity of interest 95
percent of the time.
continuing
control block
readings
A quality control XRF reading made on a
control block covered by a NIST SRM film
during the testing day whenever a substrate
change occurred.
                               9-2

-------
control block
readings
Any of the quality control XRF readings made
on a control bloefc either covered or not
covered by NIST SRM films.  Readings may be
taken 1)  at the beginning of the day, 2) at
the end of the day, or 3) whenever a substrate
change occurred.
control
average
reading
The average of a set of control block
readings, made by a specific XRF instrument on
a specific substrate type within a dwelling-.
control block
A sample designed for the purpose of XRF
quality control, constructed from one of the
following commonly encountered substrate
materials:  brick, concrete, drywall, metal,
plaster, and wood.
control
correction
Bias correction of an XRF measurement,
obtained by subtracting from it the control
average reading computed for its common
substrate and dwelling minus the lead level of
the red NIST SRM film  (1.02 mg/cm2) .
control XRF
data
XRF readings made on control blocks for the
purpose of quality control.
dead time
The time that elapsed in making a single XRF
reading when the detector was not actively
accumulating X-rays for producing a lead
result.
detection
limit
A modification of the instrumental detection
limit  (IDL), specific to a paint-chip sample,
that accounts for sample preparation
parameters  involving dilution, mass, and
collected sample area.
digestion
See hot-plate digestion.
digestion
blank
 See method blank.
                                9-3

-------
DL
See detection limit.
dwelling
A unit or pair of units targeted for testing.
ending control
block reading
A quality control XRF reading performed on a
control JblocJfc at the end of a testing day.
endpoint
effect
In nonparametric estimation of a response
function,  the phenomenon whereby the function
exhibits greater variability and/or Mas near
an upper or lower endpoint of its domain.
enhanced
logistic
regression
model
The model that was used to estimate the
operating characteristic (OC) curves of the
test Jfcits.
false negative
An erroneous negative classification obtained
by a lead testing method such as a test Jcit or
an XRF instrument; i.e., for which a positive
classification is indicated by the true lead
level.
false positive
An erroneous positive classification obtained
by a lead testing method such as a test kit or
an XRF instrument; i.e., for which a negative
classification is indicated by the true lead
level.
field blank
A paint collection container that was taken to
the field, not used to hold a paint sample,
but designated to be analyzed for lead as an
assessment of potential lead contamination
resulting from field collection and sample
transport activities.
field
classification
One of two designations made for measurements
made with three of the XRF instruments
evaluated in the full study (MAP-3, Microlead
1, and XK-3),  where two machines made readings
at each sampling location.   The two field
classifications were denoted I and II, and
were used for scheduling and data
identification purposes.

            9-4

-------
field
duplicate
A second paint-chip sample taken at a sampling
location within the same proximity as the
primary sample.
field sample
A paint-chip sample collected in the field.
Also used as a synonym for sampling location.
fifty percent
point
For a lead testing method, the level of lead
at which there is a 50% probability that a
positive result is obtained.
first paint
reading
The first of a possible series of paint
readings comprising an XRF measurement at a
standard location.
full study
The portion of the activity described in this
report that took place from July through
October 1993 in Denver and Philadelphia.
full
correction
Bias correction of an XRF measurement,
obtained by subtracting from it the red NIST
SRM average reading at the same sampling
location minus the lead level of the red NIST
SRM film (1.02 mg/cm2) .
homogenization
See sample homogenization.
hot-plate
digestion
A sample preparation method for paint-chip
samples that used heat from hot-plates to
facilitate dissolution of the sample.  The
batch size varied from one to approximately 40
paint-chip samples.
ICP or ICP-AES
A laboratory instrument, inductively coupled
plasma atomic emission spectrometer, used to
make lead measurements on prepared samples.
ICP
instrumental
error
Error in measuring the true lead level of a
specimen that is attributable to the ICP
instrument used for that purpose.
IDL
See instrumental detection limit.

            9-5

-------
instrumental
analysis QC
sample
A laboratory quality control sample that
contains known levels of lead and other
analytes.  These samples were processed during
the same time period as the prepared field
samples for the purpose of evaluating adequate
laboratory instrument operation.
instrumental
detection
limit
Three  (3) times the standard deviation of a
minimum of 5 replicate TCP measurements
obtained from a 0.1 /zg/mL lead standard
measured during the processing of a given
instrumental analysis batch.  All TCP results
below this limit were identified as non-
detectable .
instrumental
analysis batch
A group of digested paint-chip samples that
were analyzed together in a sequential manner
following calibration of the JCP instrument.
The batch size varied from one to
approximately 200 digested paint-chip samples
K-shell
reading
An XRF reading that originates from emission
lines that correspond to the X-ray
fluorescence transitions from the K electron
orbital of the lead atom.
L-shell
reading
An XRF reading that originates from emission
lines that correspond to the X-ray
fluorescence transitions from the L electron
orbital of the lead atom.
laboratory
duplicate
A second portion of a single field sample
prepared and analyzed for lead.
laboratory
error
A source of measurement error in ICP analysis,
arising from preparation of a sample in the
laboratory prior to lead measurement by an ICP
instrument or by the ICP instrument itself.
Possible sources of laboratory error include
variation in subsampling, incomplete
nomogenization, incomplete digestion, handling
of the digestate prior to ICP analysis, and
instrumental measurement.
                               9-6

-------
laboratory QC
sample
See instrumental analysis QC sample.
LBP
Lead-based paint or leaded paint.
live time
The time that elapsed in making a single XRF
reading while the detector was actively
accumulating X-rays for producing a lead
result.
measurement
error
For an instrument,  laboratory or other
procedure, measurement error is the
measurement obtained minus the true value of
the quantity of interest.  An unbiased
procedure is considered more accurate
(precise) than another if its measurement
errors have a smaller standard deviation (SD).
method blank
A sample preparation guality control sample
that is processed in the same manner as field
sample except that no sample is placed into
the digestion vessel.   These samples were
placed into hatches of field samples at the
beginning of the sample preparation process to
determine the extent of the potential lead
contamination originating from laboratory
handling processes.
microwave
digestion
A sample preparation method for paint-chip
samples that uses microwave energy to
facilitate dissolution of the sample.
model
A mathematical (functional)  relationship that
relates a response to a measurable independent
variable or set of variables.
model fit
model
parameters
Refers to the ability of a model to correctly
predict a response from a known independent
variable or set of variables.

Mathematical elements which together comprise
a model.
                               9-7

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monotone
regression
A nonparametric method for estimating the
response function of one variable with respect
to another, that minimizes the sum of squared
errors under the constraint that the estimated
response be a non-decz-easingr function.
negative
classification
(result)
See classification.
NIST SRM film
One of the paint film samples, SRM 2579 lead-
based paint films, originating from the
National Institute of Standards and Technology
(NIST) that have precisely known levels of
lead.  The films are layers of paint with
known lead content sandwiched between two
layers of plastic.  Two of the five films
within SRM 2579 were used in the study.  This
included the red NIST SRM film containing lead
at 1.02 mg/cm2 and the yellow NIST SRM film
containing lead at 3.53 mg/cm2.
nominal
reading time
An XRF instrument surface exposure and x-ray
data collection time that is based on a new,
non-decayed, radiation source.
non-decreasing
function
In mathematics, a function of one variable
that has the property that larger values of
the variable do not result in smaller values
of the function.
non-detectable
Refers to a lead level, as measured by TCP,
that is below the instrumental detection limit
(IDL).
non-standard
XRF data
XRF data that were collected using measurement
protocols, or under conditions, that differed
from those typically used.
nonparametric
Refers to statistical procedures that do not
depend on the formulation of a model, and that
have validity over a wide range of conditions.
                               9-8

-------
nonparametrie
response
The monotone regression of a set of XRF
readings with respect to ICP measurements,
used as an approximation to the mean XRF
readings expressed as a function of the true
lead level.
nonparametrie
SD
The square root of the monotone regression,
with respect to ICP measurements, of the
squared differences between a set of XRF
readings and the nonparametrie response, used
as an approximation to the standard deviation
(SD) of XRF readings expressed as a function
of the true lead level.
nonparametrie
atandardi zed
residuals
A set of XRF readings minus the estimated
nonparametrie response, divided by the
nonparametrie SJD .   These " transformed" XRF
readings exhibit little or no dependence on
the lead level.
operating
characteristic
(OC) curve
The probability of an event  (e.g., a positive
result with a test kit) expressed as a
function of the lead level.
outlier
A data value that is unusual with respect to
other data observed under apparently similar
conditions.  An outlier may represent
erroneous data, or measurement conditions that
are actually dissimilar.
outlier
criterion
A mathematical rule or procedure that is used
to identify outliers.
over-
responsive
See responsive.
paint average
reading
The average of three paint readings comprising
an XRF measurement at a standard sampling
location.
paint reading
Any of the XRF readings taken on the painted
surface during an XRF measurement at a
standard location.
                                9-9

-------
percent by
weight units
Expression of the lead level as the ratio of
the mass of lead in the specimen (grams) to
the total mass of the specimen (grams),
reported as a percentage.
pilot study
The portion of the activity described in this
report that took place in Louisville, Kentucky
in March and April 1990.
positive
classification
(result)
See classification.
primary sample
The first paint-chip sample collected from a
sampling location.
QC
An abbreviation for quality control.
reading time
A single open-shutter XRF instrument event,
including exposure of the painted surface with
energy from the XRF instrument radiation
source; emission of X-rays from fluorescence
transitions within lead atoms residing in the
painted surface; counting of the X-rays
received at the detector,- electronic
processing of the detector signals; and
displaying a lead-area value result in mg/cm2.
One lead result was produced from each XRF
reading.
real time
The total time that elapsed in making a single
XRF reading.  Synonymous with clock time.
red NIST SRM
One of the NIST SRM 2579 lead-based paint
films that contains 1.02 mg/cm2  of  lead.   See
NIST SRM film.
                              9-10

-------
red NIST SRM
average
reading
The average of the bare substrate red NIST SRM
film covered XRF readings taken during an XRF
measurement at a specific standard location.
Consists of the average of the first, second,
and third bare substrate red NIST SRM film
covered XRF readings for a specific XRF
instrument.
red NIST SRM
averaged
correction
Bias correction of an XRF measurement,
obtained by subtracting from it the average of
red NIST SRM average readings obtained at
sampling locations in the same unit and of the
same substrate type, minus the lead level of
the x-ed NIST SRM film  (1.02 mg/cm2) .
response,
response
function
The average  (mean) XRF reading expressed as a
function of  the lead level.
responsive
An XRF instrument is responsive if a unit
change in the lead level results in a unit
change in the average XRF reading.  It is
under-responsive if less, and over-responsive
if more than a unit change  in average XRF
reading results.
running mean
An estimate of  the  relationship between two
variables, obtained by averaging the values of
one variable  corresponding  to  the other
variable  taking on  nearly constant values.
SD
See standard deviation.
SE
See standard error.
SRM
sample
batching
An  abbreviation  for  standard reference
material.   See NIST  SRM film.


The grouping  of  paint-chip samples  for
simultaneous  processing in a laboratory
procedure.
                               9-11

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sample
homogenization
The act of grinding samples into a powder-like
form to permit subsampling in a uniform and
representative manner.
sample
preparation QC
sample
A quality control sample placed into a batch
of samples at the beginning of the sample
preparation process.
sampling
location
A specific location on a painted substrate
within a unit where lead testing was
performed.  The sampling location covered the
entire template.
sign test
A statistical test based on the number of
times an event was observed in a sample, under
the hypothesis that the event occurred with a
50 percent probability each time.  Observing
the event many more, or many fewer times than
one-half the sample size constitutes evidence
against the hypothesis.
spatial
variation
The difference in true lead levels between
painted areas within the same template:   (1)
for field duplicates, the difference is
between the two paint-chip samples;  (2) for
test Jkit and XRF instrument analyses, the
difference is between the primary sample and
where measurements were made on the painted
surface.
special data
XRF data that were collected using special
readings.
special
measurement
A specified set of special readings taken at a
special sampling location.
special
reading
An XRF reading taken with a MAP-3 XRF
instrument using a nominal reading time of 60
seconds at a special sampling location.
special
sampling
location
A sampling location that was specifically
designated to receive additional XRF
measurements with a nominal reading time of  60
seconds.
                               9-12

-------
special-
special data
XRF data that were collected using special-
special readings.
special-
special
measurement
A specified set of special-special readings
taken at a special-special sampling location
special-
special
reading
An XRF reading taken with a MAP-3 XRF
instrument using a nominal reading time of 240
seconds at a special-special sampling
location.
special-
special
sampling
location
A sampling- location that was specifically
designated to receive additional XRF
measurements with a nominal reading time of
240 seconds.
standard data
XRF data that were collected using standard
readings.
standard
deviation
(SD), of a
population
A measure of variability in a population  (or
process) from which data are obtained,
quantified by the square root of the expected
squared difference between the the value
obtained from the population and the
population mean.  An SD is equal to zero  if
and only if the population  (or process)
generates the same value every time, i.e., if
it does not vary.
standard
deviation
(SD), of a
sample
A measure of variability in a sample of data,
quantified by the square root of the average
squared difference between the sample values
and the sample mean.  A sample SD  is equal to
zero if and only if all sample data have the
same value.  If the sample was obtained in a
manner that is representative of a population
or process, the sample SD can serve as an
estimator of the population SD.
standard error
(SE)
A measure of variability applied  to an
estimator, which is the analog of the standard
deviation (SD; applied to  a population.
                               9-13

-------
standard
measurement
A specified set of standard readings taken at
a standard sampling location.
standard
reading
An XRF reading taken with a nominal reading
time of 15 seconds at a standard sampling
location.
standard
sampling
location
A sampling location that was designated to
receive XRF measurements with a nominal
reading time of 15-seconds.
subsampling
That portion of a homogenized sample that is
used in the laboratory procedure for analysis
with an TCP instrument.
substrate
The building material that lies under the
paint.
substrate type
The type of building material that lies under
the paint. All substrate types in the study
were classified as one of the following:
brick, concrete, drywall, metal,  plaster, or
wood.
template
A marking design used to physically mark the
sampling locations within each dwelling.
test kit
A set of chemicals and other supplies that are
packaged together with instructions for use in
making lead measurements on painted surfaces.
testing
location
A specific location on a painted substrate
within a unit where lead testing is performed.
The testing location covers the entire
template.  Synonymous with sampling location.
threshold
probability
The probability of a positive result when the
true lead level in paint is 1.0 mg/cm2.
true lead
level
The actual lead level in a paint specimem or
sample.
                               9-14

-------
under-
responsive
See responsive.
unit
An unoccupied structure that is used to house
a person or family.  May be all or a portion
of a single structure.
variability
Fluctuation in data generated under similar
conditions.  Bias and variability together
describe the accuracy and precision of a
measurement process, respectively.  A commonly
used measure of variability is the standard
deviation (3D).
variability
location
Louisville sampling locations which were
selected to take additional XRF readings.
Variability locations occurred immediately
following a substrate change.
variance
Of a random variable or a collection of data,
the standard deviation squared.  Of an
estimator, the standard error squared.
XRF
X-ray fluoresence
XRF instrument
A portable lead detection instrument that
detects fluoresced x-rays from lead. These
instruments contain a radioactive source to
induce lead to emit x-rays for detection.
XRF
measurement
A specified set of XRF readings taken at a
sampling location.
XRF
measurement
model
The model that was used to describe the
relationship between XRF readings and the true
lead level in paint.  Estimation was performed
using the observable TCP measurements, taking
into account the combined effect of spatial
variation and laboratory error.
XRF reading
A  lead measurement collected from a surface
using an XRF instrument operating under a
specified nominal reading time.

            9-15

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yellow NIST        One of the NIST SRM 2579 lead-based paint
SRM                films that contains 3.53 mg/cm2  of  lead.   See
                   NIST SRM film.
                               9-16

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                 TABLE OF CONTENTS FOR APPENDICES

INTRODUCTION AND CLARIFICATIONS  	  ii
SUMMARY OF PROTOCOL DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE PILOT AND FULL
STUDIES	iv

Appendix A     Selection of measurement and sampling
               location	A-l
Appendix B     Measurement protocols for XRF testing  .  .  .   . B-l
Appendix Bm    Modifications to measurement protocols
               for XRF testing   	Bm-1
Appendix C     Measurement protocols for spot test kits  .  .   . C-l
Appendix Cm    Modifications to measurement protocols
               for spot test kits	Cm-1
Appendix D     Collection of paint chip samples  	 D-l
Appendix Dm    Modifications to collection of paint
               chip samples	Dm-1
Appendix E     Generation of total field sample weights  and
               homogenization of paint chip samples  	 E-l
Appendix F     Preparation of paint chip samples for
               subsequent atomic spectrometry Lead
               analysis	F-l
Appendix G     Standard test protocol for the analysis of
               digested samples for Lead by inductively
               coupled plasma-atomic emission spectroscopy
               (ICP-AES), flame atomic absorption (FAAS) ,
               or graphite furnace atomic absorption (GFAAS)
               techniques	G-l
Appendix H     Protocol for packaging and shipping of
               samples from the field	H-l
Appendix I     Glassware/plasticware cleaning procedure  .  .   . 1-1
Appendix J     Acid bath cleaning procedures   	J-l

Appendix AA    Selection of measurement and sampling
               location	AA-1
Appendix BB    Measurement protocols for XRF testing  . .  .   BB-1
Appendix CC    Measurement protocols for spot test kits  .  .   CC-1
Appendix DD    Collection of paint chip samples  	   DD-1
Appendix EE    Weighing, homogenization and digestion of
               homogenized paint chip samples for subsequent
               atomic spectrometry Lead analysis   	   EE-1
Appendix FF    Standard test protocol for the analysis of
               digested samples for Lead by inductively
               coupled plasma-atomic emission spectroscopy
               (ICP-AES) , flame atomic absorption (FAAS) ,
               or graphite furnace atomic absorption (GFAAS)
               techniques	FF-l
Appendix GG    Protocol for packaging and shipping of
               samples from the field	GG-1
Appendix HH    Glassware/plasticware cleaning procedure . .  HH-1
Appendix II    Acid bath cleaning procedures   	II-1
Appendix AAA   Laboratory Sample Preparation Experiments  .  AAA-1

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INTRODUCTION AND CLARIFICATIONS

The appendices presented in this volume contain the following
three types of information:

     •    Protocols and procedures used for the performance of
          the full study, represented using single letter
          designations A through J.
     •    Protocols and procedures used for the performance of
          the pilot study, represented using double letter
          designations AA through II.
     •    Laboratory sample preparation experiments represented
          using the triple letter designation of AAA.

Some modifications to planned protocols were made during the
performance of the studies.  Modifications  to the full study
affected three appendices: Appendix B,  Appendix C, and Appendix
D.  Modifications to full study protocols are presented
immediately following each of these corresponding Appendices and
are further identified by addition of an "m" to the appropriate
Appendix letter designations.  Modifications to pilot study
protocols have been incorporated into the pilot study appendices
and are differentiated from planned protocols through the use of
footnotes.

The term "dried paint sample" has been converted to "paint chip
sample" throughout these appendices.  These two terms are
synonymous and were interspersed throughout the original planned
protocols used for these studies.   The conversion of the two
terms to a single term has been made to improve the readability
of this document.

Portions of the protocols or entire protocols have not been
reproduced in these Appendices because copyright and proprietary
information considerations.  Protocols not  present in these
Appendices are summarized Table A-l below.

-------
Table A-l. Summary of Appendix Protocol Information not
present
INFORMATION NOT PRESENT
Appendix C and Appendix
CC: Manufacturer printed
test procedures only
Appendix I and Appendix HH
Appendix J and Appendix II
REASON FOR DELETION
Copyright considerations
Proprietary information
Proprietary information
111

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SUMMARY OF PROTOCOL DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE PILOT AND  FULL
STUDIES

      Some protocol  changes were made  between the  pilot  and  full
studies.  These changes  are discussed in detail in the  design
section of Volume  II.  A summary of these  changes are presented
in Table A-2  below.
 TABLE A-2.   SUMMARY OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROTOCOLS FOR PILOT AND FULL
             STUDIES.
 PROTOCOL
               APPENDIX
                LETTER
             FULL
             STUDY
PILOT
STUDY
                            DESCRIPTION OF PRIMARY DIFFERENCES
 Selection
 of
 Sampling
 Locations
 AA
• Some changes in the  format of the sampling
template were made between the full and pilot
studies. See Figures 1-1 and 1-2 in Volume II
of this report.

• For the full study,  the substrate order for
XRF testing was  metal, wood, brick, drywall,
concrete, and plaster.  For the pilot, the
substrate order  for XRF testing was wood,
drywall, plaster,  concrete, and metal.

• For the full study,  the starting substrate
during XRF testing was varied among units and
fixed for a specific unit for all instruments.
For the pilot,  the starting substrate during
XRF testing was  the same among all units and
for all instruments.

• For the full study,  relative positions on a
given sampling location tested by a given test
kit operator was randomized by assignment of
specific test kit to specific positions.  For
the pilot,  relative testing positions were
indirectly determined  by staggering the
starting sequence.

• For full study,  prefix "S" barcode labels
were used to identify  field duplicate samples.
For the pilot, a "DUP" suffix was added to the
sample ID to identify  field duplicate samples.

• For full study,  a "Sample Locations Data
Form" was used to identify testing areas.  For
the pilot,  a marked up drawing of a floor-plan
was used to identify testing areas.
                                    IV

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TABLE A-2.  SUMMARY OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROTOCOLS FOR PILOT AND FULL
            STUDIES.
PROTOCOL
             APPENDIX
               LETTER
           FULL
           STUDY
      PILOT
      STUDY
                           DESCRIPTION OF PRIMARY DIFFERENCES
XRF
Testing
B
       BB
• Some changes in reading times and replicates were
made between the full and pilot studies.   See
Tables 4-5 and 4-6 in Volume II of this report.

• For full study, control block measurements were
made using both the red (3.53 mg/cm2) and yellow
(1.02 mg/cm2) NIST standard films.  For the pilot,
only the concrete control block was measured using
both red and yellow NIST standard films.

• For full study, NIST standard film covered
substrate measurements were made at all sampling
locations using the yellow  (1.02 mg/cm2)  film.  For
the pilot, additional NIST standard film covered
substrate measurements were made at the concrete
sampling locations using the red  (3.53 mg/cm2)
film.

• For the full study, measurements at special
sample locations and on control blocks included
bare substrate testing  (no NIST films).  For the
pilot, bare substrate testing was not performed.

• For the full study, QC variability checks were
not performed. For the pilot,  these checks were
performed.

• For the full study, special measurements were
performed on days separate  from standard
measurements.  For the pilot, special measurements
were performed during standard measurement days.

• For the full study using  the ML-1, performance  of
replicate measurements using a single trigger  pull
was formalized into the protocol.  For the pilot,
the same procedure for the ML-1 was used.  However,
it was not formalized within the written protocols.

• For the full study, "coverage" and  "density"
values were collected for the XL and ML-1
instruments respectively as presented in Note  2.
For the pilot, specific instructions  for collection
of this information was not provided.  However,
some density values were collected for the ML-Is.

• Field data recording  forms were changed to
reflect changes  in protocols between  the full  and
pilot studies.	^^^^^^^
                                       v

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TABLE A-2.  SUMMARY OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROTOCOLS  FOR PILOT AND FULL
            STUDIES.
PROTOCOL
SUMMARY
               APPENDIX
                LETTER
             FULL
            STUDY
PILOT
STUDY
       DESCRIPTION OF PRIMARY DIFFERENCES
Test Kits
Testing
 CC
• For the full study using the Lead Detective kit,
a cotton swab was used to deliver reagent to the
testing surface. For the pilot,  a plastic stirring
rod or toothpick was used for delivery of reagent
to the testing surface.

• For the full study using the Lead Detective kit,
the paint chip removed during notching of the test
surface was retained an used for further testing
if testing results were negative or doubtful.   For
the pilot, this procedure was not included in the
protocols.

• For the full study using the Lead Alert kit
(labeled "F"),  paint was exposed using a sanding
method and testing was performed on the resulting
dust.  For the pilot,  paint was exposed using a
notch method and testing was performed on the
exposed paint layers.

• For the full study using the Lead Alert kit
(labeled "F") and the Lead Alert All-in-One kit
(labeled "B"),  the indicator mixing time was
reduced from that used in the pilot to reflect
changes in kit instruction sets supplied from the
manufacturer.

• For the full study using the Lead Alert kit
(labeled "F") and the Lead Alert All-in-One kit
(labeled "B") ,  one drop of each reagent was used
during QC checks during the full study.  For the
pilot two drops of each reagent were used during
QC checks.

• For the full study using the Lead Alert All-in-
One kit (labeled "B"),  the importance of cleaning
the coring tool between samples was formalized
into the protocols.   For the pilot,  importance of
cleaning the coring tool was emphasized during
training.

• Field data recording forms were changed between
the full and pilot studies.   Full study forms were
simplified by removing information blocks that
were not needed.  In addition,  shaded blocks were
added to full study forms for use in reporting
shading from gray to black for kits that used
sodium sulfide.
                                      VI

-------
TABLE A-2. SUMMARY OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN PROTOCOLS FOR PILOT AND FULL
STUDIES .
PROTOCOL
SUMMARY
Collection of
Paint Chip
Samples
Weighing,
Homogenization
and
Preparation of
Paint Chip
Samples
ICP-AES
Analysis of
Prepared Paint
Chip Samples
Packaging and
Shipping of
Paint Chip
Samples
Glassware
Cleaning
Acid Bath
Cleaning
APPENDIX
LETTER
FULL
STUDY
D
E
F
G
H
I
PILOT
STUDY
DD
EE
and
FF
GG
HH
II
JJ
DESCRIPTION OF PRIMARY DIFFERENCES
• Full study protocols contained more
detailed descriptions on paint removal
methods than that contained in the pilot
protocols .
• Field data recording forms were changed
between the full and pilot studies. Full
study forms were simplified by removing
information blocks that were not needed.
• For full study, determination of total
collected sample weight preceded sample
homogenization. For the pilot, sample
homogenization preceded determination of
total collected sample weight.
• There were no differences between full and
pilot studies.
• There were no differences between full and
pilot studies .
• There were no differences between full and
pilot studies.
• There were no differences between full and
pilot studies.
VI1

-------
                   APPENDIX A

             FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
SELECTION OF MEASUREMENT AND  SAMPLING LOCATIONS
                      A-l

-------
SELECTION OF MEASUREMENT AND SAMPLING LOCATIONS

1. 0  SUMMARY

Selection of interior and exterior sampling sites will be made
from as many painted substrate types as can be found in the test
structure (metal, wood, brick, drywall, concrete, and plaster).

The Field Team Leader  (field statistician, provided by David C.
Cox & Associates) will be responsible for all selection and
marking of measurement and sampling locations.  The DCC&A Field
Team Leader will also assist the MRI supervisor during the course
of  the field sampling efforts.

The Field Team Leader will be responsible for attaching the
correct bar-code sets to each location.  The bar codes will be
removed by the various samplers and applied to the individual's
test results data form at the time the test is performed.

The Team Leader will numerically order the sampling locations so
that all locations with the same substrate material will be
tested sequentially by the XRF instruments.  The order in which
the substrates are tested will be:  metal, wood, brick, drywall,
concrete, and plaster.  This ensures the maximum number of
transitions between light and dense materials in order to best
simulate transitions that are likely to be encountered under
testing more commonly to be encountered during routine LBP
investigations.  For each unit, the starting substrate for XRF
testing will be fixed.  This starting point will be determined on
a random or judgmental basis.  The order of XRF testing for
beginning and end-of-day control block measurements will be the
same for all units  (metal, wood, brick, drywall, concrete, and
plaster).

Test kit operators will not follow the same testing order as the
XRFs and will be instructed to test all locations within a room.
The relative position on a given location tested by a given test
kit operator will be randomized by assignment of specific test
kits to specific positions.
2.0  DETAILED MARKING PROCEDURE

     1.   Obtain or create a rough floor plan of the targeted
          structure.

     2 .   Perform a review of available Lead testing data and
          summarize to .aid in selection of sampling locations.


                               A-3

-------
     This is anticipated to  be performed prior to on-site
     selection and marking activities.

3.    Perform a walk through  of each unit as  an aid to
     selecting locations.  Make  notes on a copy of the floor
     plan as needed for later marking of locations.

4.    Perform location selections.  For each  location
     selected, mark the sampling locations using an
     indelible marking pen and attach bar code labels  as
     follows:

     a.    Draw an outline of the testing location,  which
          includes separate  boxes  for XRF testing,  paint
          chip sample collection,  and test kit measurements.
          A typical testing  location will be a rectangle
          approximately 4 in high  by 14 in long.   The
          rectangle will include two squares approximately
          4 in by 4 in the left  and center portions of the
          rectangle,  and six smaller rectangles 4 in high by
          1 in wide in the right portion of  the rectangle.
          In addition,  for those locations targeted for a
          side-by-side samples,  an approximately 2 in  x 2 in
          square will be drawn at  one end of the rectangle.
          For components where a 4 in x 14 in rectangle
          cannot be obtained, the  field statistician will
          exercise judgment  in defining a comparable
          sampling area. There  will be six  smaller
          rectangles for test kits and five  test kits  in the
          study.  The sixth  rectangle will be used for
          contingencies.

     b.    Divide the middle  large  squares into four
          individual 2 in x  2 in squares using the marking
          pen.  Indicate with an arrow pointing to one of
          the small squares  that portion to  be sampled by
          the paint chip collectors for a regular paint chip
          sample.   For those locations targeted for a  side-
          by-side sample, the independent approximately 2 in
          x 2 in square drawn at one end of  the rectangle
          will be used for collection of this extra paint
          chip sample.

     c.    Mark the six rectangles  approximately 4 in high by
          1 in wide with the codes A-E to designate test kit
          position assignments   (the supervisor will assign
          each test kit with a letter to follow for
          determining testing position).


                         A-4

-------
          d.   Attach a resealable plastic bag containing a
               minimum of  30 bar code labels matching the
               location ID number in the vicinity of the marked
               area.  Use  duct tape and a staple gun  (if needed)
               to properly secure the bag.  If the location is an
               exterior location, then attach the bag to inside
               the nearest inside area and write a note
               describing  the placement of the bag next to the
               marked testing location.

               For locations that are targeted for side-by-side
               paint samples,  attach a second resealable plastic
               bag containing a minimum of 12 bar code labels
               matching the location ID number combined with a
               preceding "S" in the vicinity of the marked area.
               Attach these in the vicinity of the first bag of
               bar code labels containing location ID numbers.

          e.   Mark, in large print, the location number in two
               places around the location area.

          f.   Mark the location with any other needed indicator,
               such as "SPECIAL," "SPECIAL-SPECIAL," or "ARCHIVE"
               to indicate additional testing requirements to
               this location.

          g.   On the floor plan, indicate the position of the
               sampling location  (and its number).

     5.   After completing the location marking activity,  review
          each location and compile a comprehensive list of all
          locations within the unit.

     6.   Make copies of floor plans with identified locations
          and the comprehensive listing for all supervisors and
          testers.
3.0  NUMBERING SYSTEM

Two sets of bar-code numbers will be used.  The first type is for
use on XRF data forms, test kit data forms, and regular paint
chip sample containers and data forms.  The second type is for
use on side-by-side paint chip sample containers and data forms.
Both sets will contain the same five digit numbers starting with
80001.  The second set will differ from the first by inclusion of
a preceding "S."  Each unit will be assigned a range of 100
numbers for marking locations.


                               A-5

-------
Bar code labels with identical ID numbers  will  be  pre-loaded into
plastic bags and sorted into folders prior to shipment  to the
field.  Sorting bar codes into separate  folders and placing them
in consecutive order will ease marking activities.
                               A-6

-------
Date
Substrate Code: M=Metal, V

Sampl(
Testing Sit
V=Wood, B=B
3 Locations Data Form
e
paae of


rick, D=Drywall, C=Concrete, P=Plaster
Use for Testing Complete Column i
Tester or XRF Monitor (Printed Nam
Circle Test Performed:
Test Kit Code: A, B, C, D, E Paint Collect
e)

on XRFs: Scitec, PGT, Warrington, TN, Niton, Outokumpu

:• Sample ID (Bar code)








Room








Substrate
Code








Description








Testing
Complete?








93-38 SEV dewaltfrmG 070683

-------
              APPENDIX B

        FULL  STUDY PROTOCOLS:
MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS  FOR XRF  TESTING
                  B-l

-------
              MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS FOR XRF TESTING


1.0  SUMMARY

NOTE;  READ ENTIRE APPENDIX B BEFORE DOING ANY WORK!!

This document describes the standard protocol for collecting XRF
measurement data on painted surfaces and corresponding substrate
surfaces.  This document also includes instructions for recording
the measurements and making QC checks for XRF instruments
participating in this study.

In general, XRF operators will be requested to make measurements
according to their manufacturers' general operating procedures.
In situations where this study protocol  (contained in this
Appendix) differs dramatically from the manufacturers' protocol,
or when this study protocol cannot be followed because of
operational limitations, the XRF operator is required to discuss
the situation with the acting MRI field supervisor to resolve the
problems.  It is the responsibility of the XRF monitor to record
as much information as possible about the operation of a given
XRF instrument during this full field study.

Any deviations from this protocol must be agreed to by the acting
MRI field supervisor and fully documented before implementing the
deviation.  In any case, each XRF must be operated in a
consistent manner throughout this study.


2.0  MATERIALS AND EQUIPMENT

     •    Portable field XRF instrument with any extra required
          supporting equipment.   (To be provided by XRF
          contractor.)

     •    One set of NIST paint films for each XRF instrument
           (SRM 2579); contains five films of different Lead
          levels.   (To be provided by XRF contractor.)

     •    Dosimeter badges; one for each XRF operator and one for
          each individual working within the same unit where XRF
          testing takes place.   (Operator badges will be provided
          by XRF contractor, badges for monitors and supervisors
          hired by DCC&A will be provided by DCC&A, and badges
          for MRI personnel will be provided by MRI) .
                               B-3

-------
          Reporting forms; see exemplars in this protocol  (to be
          provided by MRI.)

          Adhesive labels or bar-code labels for identifying
          samples.   (To be provided by MRI; will be available at
          each sampling location.)

          Waterproof  (indelible) permanent marking pen.   (To be
          provided by MRI; will be available at site.)

          Watch, clock, or other equivalent timepiece.   (Each
          team member in the field will be required to have a
          timepiece for reporting the sampling times on the data
          forms.)

          Device(s) to measure temperature and relative humidity.
           (To be provided by MRI; will be available at site and
          operated by the acting MRI field supervisor or designee
          at a frequency deemed necessary to gather supplemental
          information during testing activities).

          Pre-moistened wipes for cleaning of tools, hands, etc.
           (To be provided by MRI; will be available at site.)

          QC test blocks, each approximately 4 in x 4 in.  The
          thicknesses given are approximate: 3A in. wood  (pine),
          2 in concrete  (with aggregate), 1/2 in sheet rock, 20 to
          25 gauge metal, and 1 in plaster.  A full set of
          labelled QC test blocks will be prepared by MRI and
          placed in unit.

          One 12-in thick Styrofoam block for supporting QC test
          blocks under measurement.   (To be provided and labelled
          by MRI; will be available at site.)
3 . 0  MEASUREMENT PROCEDURES

     AN ORDERED LIST OF MEASUREMENTS SPECIFIC FOR EACH UNIT WILL
     BE PROVIDED BY THE SUPERVISOR FOR EACH UNIT.  TESTERS MUST
     FOLLOW THAT ORDER EXACTLY.

The starting point for each unit will be based on a specific
substrate type  (metal, wood, brick, sheetrock, concrete, or
plaster).   Units will be assigned different substrates for
initiation of testing, but testing will always follow the same
substrate order.  The substrate starting point will be fixed  for
                               B-4

-------
a given unit and will be indicated on the testing order
instructions provided by the supervisor.

The general order of testing is metal -=» wood -» brick -> sheetrock
-» concrete -» plaster.  An example of the general work plan,
testing order, and measurements for a unit targeted to beginning
with brick is given below:

1.   Receive beginning-of-day instructions from MRI field
     supervisor

2.   Perform initial manufacturer's calibration checks

3.   Perform additional manufacturer's calibration checks at
     intervals as required by the manufacturer's specifications

4.   Perform beginning-of-day control block measurements (all six
     blocks).

5a.  Perform continuing drift check on brick control block.

5b.  Perform measurements on all brick substrates, including
     standard measurements and any required special location
     measurements.

5c.  Perform continuing drift check on brick control block.

6a.  Perform continuing drift check on sheetrock control block.

6b.  Perform measurements on all sheetrock substrates, including
     standard measurements and any required special location
     measurements.

6c.  Perform continuing drift check on sheetrock control block.

7a.  Perform continuing drift check on concrete control block.

7b.  Perform measurements on all concrete substrates, including
     standard measurements and any required special location
     measurements.

7c.  Perform continuing drift check on concrete control block.

8a.  Perform continuing drift check on plaster control block.

8b.  Perform measurements on all plaster substrates, including
     standard measurements and any required special location
     measurements.


                               B-5

-------
8c.   Perform continuing  drift  check  on  plaster control block.

9a.   Perform continuing  drift  check  on  metal control block.

9b.   Perform measurements  on all metal  substrates,  including
     standard measurements and any required special location
     measurements.

9c.   Perform continuing  drift  check  on  metal control block.

lOa.  Perform continuing  drift  check  on  wood control block.

lOb.  Perform measurements  on all wood substrates,  including
     standard measurements and any required special location
     measurements.

lOc.  Perform continuing  drift  check  on  wood control block.

11.   Perform end-of-day  control block measurements  (all six
     blocks).

12.   Review data forms for completeness and transfer all data
     forms to the MRI field supervisor.  Receive end-of-day
     instructions from MRI field  supervisor.


3.1  BEGINNING OF ALL XRF TESTING AT A  SITE PROCEDURE

XRF operators and data monitors will receive detailed overview
instructions from the acting MRI  field  supervisor on the first
XRF testing day that will  include  the following topics:

•    General safety instructions

•    Definitions: housing units,  testing locations, measurements,
     sampling time

•    Specific site issues  and  description of marked locations and
     what markings signify

•    Use of testing location listings and order of performing
     measurements

•    Use of each data form and placement of bar codes and other
     data on forms

•    Responsibilities of XRF operators  to call out all readings
     real-time

                               B-6

-------
     Responsibilities of monitors to record all data real-time
     and use verbal feedback to verify data value.  (No reading
     is to be discarded; however more data can be taken if
     insisted on by the XRF operator.)

     Completion of the "XRF Instrument Information" form (See
     exemplar p. B-13)

     Responsibilities of monitors to periodically observe the
     actual instrument readout (particularly for recording both K
     and L shell data).

     Definition of 15-sec reading:  15 sec is based on a new
     radiation source.  XRF operators will be instructed to
     compensate for source age as needed to give radiation flux
     equivalent to a  15-sec exposure with a new source.
3.2  BEGINNING OF EACH DAY ON-SITE PROCEDURES

The XRF operator and data monitor will receive initial
instructions from the acting MRI field supervisor at the
beginning of each testing day.  Items will generally include a
brief overview of those listed under Section 3.1. plus any
additional items that are dictated by variable field conditions.

Two types of XRF testing days will be performed:  a "standard"
measurement day and a "special" measurement day.  All XRF
instruments will perform the "standard" measurements day of
testing.  Only the Scitec instruments will perform the "special"
measurements day  (in addition to the "standard" measurements
day) .

At the beginning of each type of measurements day at a given
unit, the XRF operator will perform tests and instrument checks
that are required by the manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the
instrument for taking Lead measurements.  The XRF operator must
inform the data monitor that a manufacturer-recommended procedure
is being performed, and the name and nature of the procedure.
The data monitor will record the time and nature of all such
manufacturer-recommended procedures in the "Comments" column of
the "Control Blocks" form.

The XRF operator will perform XRF "standard" measurements as
follows:

•    BEGINNING-OF-DAY control block measurements, as described in
     Section 3.3.


                               B-7

-------
•    STANDARD location measurements  in  the  order listed on unit
     list received from acting MRI supervisor.   STANDARD
     measurements are described in Section  3.4.

•    CONTINUING DRIFT CHECK substrate transition measurements
     each time the substrate changes, as  described in
     Section 3.6.

•    END-OF-DAY control block measurements  as  described in
     Section 3.3.

The Scitec XRF operators will perform XRF "special" measurements
as follows:

•    BEGINNING-OF-DAY control block  measurements as described in
     Section 3.3.

•    SPECIAL location measurements in the order listed on unit
     list received from the acting MRI  supervisor.  SPECIAL
     measurements are described in Section  3.5.

•    END-OF-DAY control block measurements  as  described in
     Section 3.3.

NOTE:     No continuing drift checks are  preformed during
          "special" day testing.
3.3  CONTROL BLOCK MEASUREMENTS-BEGINNING-  AND END-OF-DAY

At the beginning and end of each day,  each  XRF operator will
perform a set of measurements on six control blocks with two of
the NIST SRM 2579 standards (red,  1.02 mg/cm2;  and  yellow,
3.53 mg/cm2)  and with no NIST  standard.  These  calibration checks
will be carried out for the XRF instruments using sets of six
substrate blocks (metal, wood, brick,  drywall,  concrete, and
plaster) .   One set of these blocks will be  placed in each unit
for use by the testers making measurements  in that unit.  Before
the start of testing in each unit, one measurement will be taken
on each block with each of the three NIST films designated above.
Data from these beginning and end drift check measurements will
be recorded on the "XRF QC DATA: CONTROL BLOCKS" form.  A step-
by-step description is provided below:

At the beginning of each testing day,  before starting testing in
any unit perform the following procedures:
                               B-8

-------
1.   For each new "XRF QC DATA:  CONTROL BLOCKS" form needed,
     complete the header of the  form (see exemplar p.  B-14).

2.   Fill in the columns for each control block measurement taken
     and "time of measurement,"  "test block type," and "NIST std
     film used."

3.   Perform whatever normal instrument checks are required by
     the XRF manufacturer to prepare the instrument for taking
     Lead measurements.  Inform  the data monitor what the
     procedure is and why it is  being done.  The data monitor
     will write this information in the "Comments" column on the
     "XRF QC DATA: CONTROL BLOCKS" form.

4.   Perform NIST/test block measurements for two NIST films and
     the base control block.  Place the test blocks, one at a
     time, in the center of the  Styrofoam support block.  For the
     two measurements requiring  the NIST standard films, center
     the appropriate NIST film on the test block and place the
     XRF probe to take readings  through the NIST film into the
     center of the control block.  Perform the measurements in
     the following order.

     a.   Metal—Center the metal test block on the Styrofoam
          support.  Center the yellow NIST film on the metal test
          block and perform one  measurement  (three nominal 15-sec
          read cycles).  Then perform one measurement using the
          red NIST film, followed by the bare control block.
          Call out the value after each reading.  The monitor
          will write each read cycle value on the "XRF QC DATA-
          CONTROL BLOCKS" form,   verbally verifying the value
          written.  The monitor will record other information in
          the  "Comments" column.

     b.   Wood—Center the wood test block on the Styrofoam
          support.  Center the yellow NIST film on the wood test
          block and perform one measurement  (three nominal 15-sec
          read cycles).  Then perform one measurement using the
          red NIST film, followed by the bare control block.
          Call out the value after each reading.  The monitor
          will write each read cycle value on the "XRF QC DATA-
          CONTROL BLOCKS" form,   verbally verifying the value
          written.  The monitor will record other information in
          the  "Comment s" column.

     c.   Brick—Center  the brick test block on the  Styrofoam
          support.  Center the yellow NIST film on  the brick test
          block and perform one measurement  (three  nominal 15-sec


                               B-9

-------
          read cycles).   Then perform one measurement using the
          red NIST film,  followed by the bare control block.
          Call out the  value after each reading.   The monitor
          will write each read cycle value on the "XRF QC DATA-
          CONTROL BLOCKS" form,   verbally verifying the value
          written.  The monitor will record other information in
          the "Comments"  column.

     d.   Sheetrock—Center the sheetrock test block on the
          Styrofoam support.  Center the yellow NIST film on the
          sheetrock test block and perform one measurement (three
          nominal 15-sec read cycles).   Then perform one
          measurement using the red NIST film,  followed by the
          bare control  block.  Call out the value after each
          reading.  The monitor will write each read cycle value
          on the "XRF QC DATA-CONTROL BLOCKS" form,   verbally
          verifying the value written.   The monitor will record
          other information in the "Comments" column.

     e.   Concrete—Center the concrete test block on the
          Styrofoam support.  Center the yellow NIST film on the
          concrete test block and perform one measurement (three
          nominal 15-sec read cycles).   Then perform one
          measurement using the red NIST film,  followed by the
          bare control  block.  Call out the value after each
          reading.  The monitor will write each read cycle value
          on the "XRF QC DATA - CONTROL BLOCKS" form,  verbally
          verifying the value written.   The monitor will record
          other information in the "Comments" column.

     f.   Plaster—Center the plaster test block on the Styrofoam
          support.  Center the yellow NIST film on the plaster
          test block and perform one measurement (three nominal
          15-sec read cycles).  Then perform one measurement
          using the red NIST film, followed by the bare control
          block.  Call  out the value after each reading.  The
          monitor will  write each read cycle value on the "XRF QC
          DATA-CONTROL BLOCKS" form,  verbally verifying the
          value written.   The monitor will record other
          information in the "Comments" column.

At the end of the testing day (regardless of whether all
locations in a given unit were completed)  perform all of the
above control block measurements exactly as they were performed
at the beginning of the day.
                              B-10

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3.4  PROCEDURE FOR STANDARD MEASUREMENTS AT EACH SAMPLING
     LOCATION

     For each instrument, one standard measurement will consist
of three  consecutive nominal 15 -sec readings on the paint
followed by three consecutive nominal 15 -sec readings on the bare
substrate covered with the red NIST standard (1.02 mg/cm2) .   At
each sampling location perform the following steps:

1.   For each new "XRF TEST DATA - STANDARD MEASUREMENTS" form
     needed, complete the header of the form (see exemplar p.
     B-15) .

2.   Affix the sampling location/identification bar code in the
     correct box on the "XRF TEST DATA - STANDARD MEASUREMENTS . "
     These bar code labels should be present in close proximity
     to the sampling location marked by the field team leader
      (see Note 1) .  If a bar code label is not available, write
     in the sampling location number written at the location.

     NOTE 1:   The sampling location will be marked in advance by
               the field team leader using a dark colored marking
               pen.  The marking will be in the form of squares
               and rectangles with letters.  The painted surface
               location to be used for XRF measurements will be
               the largest painted square, approximately 4 in x
               4 in.  The exposed substrate surface location to
               be used for XRF measurements will be the largest
               exposed area present at the sampling location.

3 .   Perform the normal  instrument checks required by  the
     manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking
     Lead measurements.  Inform the data monitor what  the
     procedure is and why it is being done .  The data  monitor
     will write this information  in the  "Comments" column.
4 .   Perform measurements on the painted and exposed surfaces  as
      follows  (See Note 2) :

     a.   Perform a  "measurement"  (three nominal  15 -sec  readings)
          on the painted surface  at the  sampling  location.   Call
          out the value  after each reading.  The monitor will
          write  each read cycle value on the  "XRF  TEST DATA  -
          STANDARD MEASUREMENTS," verbally verifying the value
          written.  The  monitor will record  other  information  in
          the  "Comments" column.
      b.    Perform a "measurement"  (three  nominal  15 -sec     ^
           cycles)  on the exposed substrate surface  covered with
                               B-ll

-------
          the 1.02 mg/cm2  NIST standard film (red)  at the
          sampling location (see Note 3).

     c.   If the location  is market as a "special"  location, then
          perform a "measurement" (three nominal 15-sec read
          cycles) on the exposed substrate surface (bare, with NO
          NIST film).   Call out the value after each reading.
          The monitor will write each read cycle value on the
          "XRF TEST DATA - STANDARD MEASUREMENTS,"  verbally
          verifying the value written.  The monitor will record
          other information in the "Comments" column.  DO NOT DO
          THIS STEP FOR THE Scitec.

     NOTE 2:   For the ML-1, the three readings will be obtained
               with a single pull of the instrument's trigger.
               The readout corresponding to each "beep" of the
               instrument  will be recorded.  For other XRF
               instruments that can take multiple read cycles
               using a single trigger pull event, perform
               replicate read cycles in this manner recording
               each transient read cycle value.  In addition, any
               special operations performed during measurement
               (such as use of a reset button for PGT) must be
               noted in the "Comments" column of data forms.  For
               the NITON XRF,  record the "coverage" value in the
               "Comments"  column.  The "density" value for the
               ML-1 will be recorded in the "Comments" column.

     NOTE 3:   If difficulties are encountered holding the NIST
               film against the substrate surface,  try using a
               small piece of masking tape to hold it in place.
               Be sure the tape is placed such that it adheres
               only to areas outside the marked location.
3.5  PROCEDURE FOR SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS

Two additional sets of measurements,  called "Special" and
"Special-Special" measurements,  will be carried out at selected
sampling locations for each substrate.   The special measurements
will be used to test alternative protocols for the instruments on
a case-by-case basis.   "Special" measurements are in addition to
standard measurements and are only being performed by the Scitec
XRF instruments on a separate testing day.

     Procedure for performing a  "Special" measurement is as
follows:
                              B-12

-------
1.   For each new "XRF TEST DATA - SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS" form
     needed, complete the header of the form.   (See exemplar p.
     B-16)

2.   Affix the sampling location/identification bar code in the
     correct box on the "XRF TEST DATA - SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS."
     These bar code labels should be present in close proximity
     to the sampling location marked by the field team leader
     (see Note 1).   If a bar code label is not available, write
     in the sampling location number written at the location.

     NOTE 1:   The "SPECIAL" AND "SPECIAL-SPECIAL" sampling
               location will be marked in advance by the field
               team leader using a dark colored marking pen.  The
               words "SPECIAL" AND "SPECIAL-SPECIAL" will be
               marked on these locations to signify the testing
               required.

3.   Perform the normal instrument checks required by the
     manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking
     Lead measurements.  Inform the data monitor what the
     procedure is and why it is being done.  The data monitor
     will write this information in the "Comments" column of the
     form.

4.   Perform SPECIAL measurements on the painted and exposed
     surfaces as follows  (See Note 2):

     a.   The Scitec MAP will perform one nominal 60-sec reading
           (Test Mode) on the painted surface  (this corresponds to
          the TEST mode of the Scitec}.  Call out the value after
          reading.  The monitor will write the read cycle value
          on the "XRF SPECIAL LOCATIONS DATA FORM," verbally
          verifying the value written.  The monitor will record
          other information in the "Comments" column.  The XRF
          Monitor will record the nominal time of 60 sec in the
           "Approx. Sampling Time  (Sec.)" column.

     b.   Perform the same measurement as described in the
          previous step  (a) except on the bare substrate covered
          by the red NIST film  (1.02 mg/cm2)  as opposed to the
          painted surface  (see Note 3).

     c.   Perform the same measurement as described in the
          previous step  (a) except on the bare substrate  (with NO
          NIST film) as opposed to the painted surface.
                               B-13

-------
IF the location is marked as a "SPECIAL-SPECIAL" location, first
perform the "SPECIAL" measurement (described above) .   Then
perform the "SPECIAL-SPECIAL" measurements listed below,
recording the results of the "SPECIAL-SPECIAL" readings using a
new row of the same "XRF TEST DATA -  SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS" form.

Procedure for performing a "Special-Special" measurement is as
follows:

1.   For each new "XRF TEST DATA - SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS" form
     needed, complete the header of the form  (see exemplar p.
     B-16) .

2.   Affix the sampling location/identification bar code in the
     correct box on the "XRF TEST DATA - SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS."
     These bar code labels should be  present in close proximity
     to the sampling location marked  by the field team leader
      (see Note 1) .  If a bar code label is not available, write
     in the sampling location number  written at the location.

3.   Perform whatever normal instrument checks are required by
     the manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for
     taking Lead measurements.  Inform the data monitor what the
     procedure is and why it is being done.  The data monitor
     will write this information in the "Comments" column of the
     form.

4 .   Perform SPECIAL-SPECIAL measurements on the painted and
     exposed surfaces as follows (See Notes 2 and 4) :

     a.   The Scitec MAP will perform one nominal 240-second
          reading (confirm mode) on the painted surface  (this
          corresponds to the CONFIRM mode of the Scitec) .  Call
          out the value after readings.  The monitor will write
          the read cycle value on the "XRF SPECIAL LOCATIONS DATA
          FORM," verbally verifying the value written.  The
          monitor will record other information in the "Comments"
          column.  The XRF Monitor will record the nominal time
          of 240 sec. in the "Approx. Sampling Time (Sec.)"
          column.

     b.   Perform the same measurement as described in the
          previous step (a) except on the bare substrate covered
          by the red NIST film  (1.02  mg/cm2)  as opposed to the
          painted surface  (see Note 3) .
                              B-14

-------
     NOTE 4:   No measurements using the nominal 240-sec reading
               (CONFIRM mode)  will be taken on the bare
               substrate.
3.5  PROCEDURES FOR CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS

Continuing drift checks are performed when the location substrate
changes from one type to another.  The first metal-continuing
drift check measurement is performed immediately following the
beginning-of-day control block measurements and before the first
painted metal location is measured.  NO continuing drift checks
are to be performed on the "special" measurement day by the
Scitec instruments.

If the surface substrate is of a different type than the previous
location.
then perform the following measurements:

1.   For each new "XRF TEST DATA - CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS" form
     needed, complete the header of the form  (see exemplar, p.
     B-17)

2.   Perform two measurements each using two NIST standard films
     and one measurement on the bare control block (three nominal
     15-sec readings with the  yellow NIST film, red NIST, and no
     NIST film in that order) on the test block corresponding to
     the substrate just completed.  Call out the value after
     reading.  The monitor will write the read cycle value on the
     "XRF TEST DATA-CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS" form,  verbally
     verifying the value written.  The monitor will record other
     information in the  "Comments" column.

3.   Perform two measurements each using two NIST standard films
     and one measurement on the bare control block (three nominal
     15-sec readings with the yellow  NIST film, red NIST, and no
     NIST film in that order) on the test block corresponding to
     the NEXT substrate to be tested.  Call out the value after
     reading.  The monitor will write the read cycle value on the
     "XRF DATA - CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS" form, verbally
     verifying the value written.  The monitor will record other
     information in the "Comments" column.

     For example, after completing the beginning-of-day test
     block readings, perform the continuing drift check
     measurements on the metal test block, then proceed to test
     all metal substrates in the unit as listed.  After
     completion of all painted metal substrate locations, repeat


                               B-15

-------
     the continuing drift check measurements on the metal test
     block,  then perform the continuing drift check measurements
     on the wood test block.  Next,  repeat for all wood
     locations, etc.  Consult the test-order list received from
     the supervisor AND FOLLOW THAT ORDER EXACTLY.

3.6  END-OF-DAY ACTIVITIES

XRF operator and monitor will ascertain that all form headers are
completed, including the appropriate pagination.  Paginate the
forms of the same type in chronological order for that day of
testing only starting with page 1.  XRF operator and monitor will
verify that all required locations and required  measurements at
each location have been made.  Verification will be performed by
reviewing the data forms and adding a check mark to each location
on the test-order list provided by the supervisor for each data
entry found on the data forms.   Transfer of XRF data forms to the
acting MRI field supervisor will be made at the end of each day.
The acting MRI field supervisor will check the data forms for
completeness and conduct other end-of-day activities before
releasing workers for the day.
                              B-16

-------
                  XRF Instrument Information
Date
Testing Site
Testing Dates




Contractor
Manufacturer




Model No.
XRF Operator (Printed Name)




XRF Operator (Signature)	
Serial No.
Source Material
Source Age or Date



Detector Type	
Approximate Open Shutter Sampling Time Used (Sec.)
Comments:
                                                            63-17 SEV dcwdt frm C 060BB3

-------
XRF Test Data - Standard Measurements Page 	 of 	
Date Manufacturer
XRF Operator (Printed name)

Location ID
(Bar code)






XRF Field Monitor (Printed name)

Time of
Measurement






XRF Shell
(Korl)






Paint Surface
• Reading*



















Substrate + NIST Red,
1, 02 mg/cm* Readings



















Substrate Only Readings
(Special Locations Only)


















.Comments







-------
Date
XRF Test Data — Special Measurements for Scltechi
Manufacturer
XRF Operator (Printed name)

Location ID
(Bar code)






Page „ ot

XRF Field Monitor (Printed name)

Time of
Measurement






Approx. Sampling
Time (Sec.)






XRF Shell
(KorL)






Paint Surface .
Reading*







Substrate + MIST Red,
1, 02 mg/cm2 Readings







Substrate Only
Readings






Comments






93-38  SEV dewaltlrmE 070193

-------
XRF QC Data: Control Blocks
Date Manufacturer
XRF Operator (Printed name) XRF Field Monitor (Printed name)
Test Block Type: M=Metal, W=Wood, B=Brick, D=Drywall, C=Concrete, P=Plaster
Test Block
Type






Time of
Measurement






XRF Shell
(KorL)






Readings
Yellow, 3.53 mg/cm2


















Bed, 1.02 mg/cm»


















NoNISTStd,


















Comments






93-38  SEV dowaltttrnF 070193

-------
XRF Test Data - Continuing Drift Checks
Date Manufacturer
Paqe of

XRF Operator (Printed name) XRF Field Monitor (Printed name)
Test Block Type: M=Metal, W=Wood, B=Brick, D=Drywall, C=Concrete, P= Plaster
Test Block
Type






Time of
Measurement






XRF Shell
(KorL)






Readings
Yellow, 3.53 mg/cml


















RedJ.tttmg/em1


















No NIST Std.


















Comments






93-38 SEV dewaltlrmA 070103

-------
              APPENDIX Bm

MODIFICATIONS TO FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
 MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS FOR XRF TESTING
                 Bm-1

-------
Bm-2

-------
MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no.
Modification
no.
Effective
date
Modification
type
Portion of
work
affected
Description
B
1 of 4
August 2, 1993
Addition to appendix
Denver and Philadelphia
A summary of XRF testing was generated by EPA
for both Denver and Philadelphia immediately
preceding initiation of XRF testing in Denver.
The summary was used as a tool to aid in
training of field personnel for XRF
measurements .
XRF SUMMARY
     On "regular sampling" days, all instruments will be operated
     so that a measurement is defined as the average of three
     readings of approximately 15 sec with the shutter open with
     a fresh source.  -One slight exception to this is the
     Warrington ML-1 instrument, which will be operated so that a
     single trigger pull will result in three beeps, signifying
     that three readings have been taken.  All  instruments
     except type TN Lead Analyzer and the Outokumpu X-MET 880 can
     automatically adjust for source age.  The TN Lead Analyzer
     and the Outokumpu X-MET 880 will be adjusted for source age
     by setting the time the shutter is open to somewhat more
     than 15 sec.

     On regular sampling days, all instruments will perform the
     beginning and end of day drift checks, the continuing drift
     checks, and measurements on all the sampling areas.  At the
     sampling areas not marked SPECIAL or SPECIAL-SPECIAL,
     measurements will be taken on the painted area designated
     for XRF and the scraped area covered by the NIST 1.02
     standard.  For all instruments except the MAP-3s, at the
     SPECIAL and SPECIAL-SPECIAL locations, measurements will be
     taken on the painted area designated for the XRF, the
     scraped area covered by the NIST 1.02 standard, and the
                               Bm-3

-------
     scraped area without any standard.   For the  MAP-3s,  at the
     SPECIAL and SPECIAL-SPECIAL locations,  measurements  will be
     taken on the painted area designated for the XRF  and the
     scraped area covered by the NIST 1.02 standard.   The order
     of measurements at the sample locations will be:   painted
     area, NIST standard over painted area,  and  (if  applicable) ,
     bare substrate.

3.    The MAP-3S (and only the MAP-3S)  have been designated for
     "special" sampling days.   On special sampling days,
     measurements will be taken for the  beginning and  end of day
     drift checks using three SCREEN mode readings to  define a
     measurement,  measurements will be taken at the  SPECIAL and
     SPECIAL-SPECIAL locations using the TEST mode of  the MAP-3,
     and measurements will be taken at SPECIAL-SPECIAL locations
     with THE CONFIRM mode of the MAP-3.   At the  SPECIAL  and
     SPECIAL-SPECIAL locations, measurements will be made with
     the TEST mode on the painted area,  the scraped  area  covered
     by the NIST 1.02 standards, and the scraped  substrate area
     without any standard, in that order.  At the SPECIAL-SPECIAL
     locations, measurements in the CONFIRM mode  will  be  made on
     the painted area and the scraped substrate area covered by
     the NIST 1.02 standard, in that order.   At SPECIAL-SPECIAL
     locations, TEST measurements will be done before  CONFIRM
     measurements.

4.    For each house, a starting substrate will be selected.  An
     order of substrates will be designated for the  study, and
     sampling at that house will follow  the order established by
     the starting substrate and the study order of substrates.

5.    The beginning and end of day drift  checks will  follow the
     order of substrates designated for  the study.   This  will be
     a constant that does not change from house to house.  Within
     each substrate, the order of standards will  be:   3.52, 1.02,
     bare.

6.    For continuing drift checks, the order of standards  will be
     3.52, 1.02, bare.
                              Bm-4

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                     MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no.
B
Modification
no.
2 of 4
Effective
date
August 2, 1993
Modification
type
Addition and changes to Appendix
Portion of
work
affected
Denver and Philadelphia
Description
Note 4 added to appendix to clarify performance
control block measurements during special
testing days.  All other following note
references changed as a result of addition of
note 4 as shown below:

• Add "(See note 4} " after "separate testing
day." located at the end of the first paragraph
under subsection 3.5, page B-12:

• Insert the following after the above addition
located at the end of the first paragraph under
subsection 3.5, page B-12:

  NOTE 4: Perform control block measurements in
          the same manner as that described in
          Section 3.3  (i.e., use 3 nominal 15-s
          read cycles, not the 60-s or 240-s
          read cycles).

• Change " (see Note  1) " to " (see Note 5) "
located under item 2 on page B-12.

• Change "NOTE 1:" to  "NOTE 5:" located  under
item 2 on page B-12.

• Change "(See Notes 2 and 4)" to  "(see  Notes 5
and 6)" located under  item 4 on page B-13.

• Change "NOTE 4:" to  "NOTE 6:" located  under
item 4 on page B-14.           	
                              Bm-5

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                     MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no.
B
Modification
no.
3 of 4
Effective
date
September 1,  1993
Modification
type
Replacement of pages in Appendix
Portion of
work
affected
Philadelphia only
Description
Replacement 3 of the original XRF data forms
with 4 forms as follows:

• Original:"XRF Instrument Information" form.
Replace with 2 forms:"Initial—XRF Instrument
Information" form and "Daily—XRF Instrument
Information" form as attached
• Original:"XRF QC Data:  Control Blocks" form.
Replace with:"XRF QC Data: Control Blocks" form
as attached
• Original:"XRF Test Data: Continuing Drift
Checks" form.  Replace with:"XRF Test Data:
Continuing Drift Checks"  form as attached
                             Bm-6

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                  Initial - XRF Instrument Information
Date
Testing Site
Testing Dates




Contractor
Manufacturer




Model No.
XRF Operator (Printed Name)



XRF Operator (Signature)	
Serial No.
Source Material
Source Age or Date




Detector Type	
Approximate Open Shutter Sampling Time Used (Sec.)
Comments:
                                                            tl-37 DEOHO dtord 1 0*0793

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                 Daily-XRF Instrument Information
Date
Contractor
Manufacturer




Model No.	




Serial No.
XRF Operator (Printed Name)



XRF Operator (Signature)	
Approximate Open Shutter Sampling Time Used (Sec.)
Comments:
                                                         t3-37 DEOBO fcort

-------
XRF Test Data — Continuing Drift Checks
Date Manufacturer House ID
Paqe of

XRF Operator (Printed name) XRF Field Monitor (Printed name)
Test Block Type: M=Metal, W=Wood, B=Brick, D=Drywall, C=Concrete, P=Plaster
Test Block
Typo






Time of
Measurement






XRF Shell
(KorL)






Readings
Yellow, 3.53 mg/cm*


















Red, 1,02 tng/tm1


















NoNISTStd.


















Comments






03-37 DEBORD debord 3 090793

-------
1 	 ______ __ 	 -" 	
XRF QC Data: Control Blocks
Date Manufacturer House ID
Rape of

XRF Operator (Printed name) XRF Field Monitor (Printed name)
Test Block Type: M=Metal, W=Wood, B=Brick, D=Drywall, C=Concrete, P=Plaster
Test Block
Tyf»






Time of
Measurement






XRF Shell
(KorL)






Readings
Yellow, 3.53 mg/cm1


















Red, 1.02 mg/cm1


















No NIST Std.


















Comments






03-37 DEBORD debold 4 090793

-------
MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no .
Modification
no.
Effective
date
Modification
type
Portion of
work
affected
Description
B
4 of 4
October 1, 1993
Addition to Appendix
Philadelphia only
A XRF testing handout was generated for field
testing in Denver and Philadelphia. This
handout consisted of a testing schedule and
selected pages from the QAPjP (Chapters 9, 10,
and Appendix B) . For Philadelphia, an
additional summary of Appendix B titled "XRF
TESTING REMINDERS" was generated and
incorporated into the handout . The 1 page
summary is attached and is hereby presented as
an addition to Appendix B.
Bm-11

-------
                 XRF TESTING REMINDERS
Measure and record in the Daily Information Data form Daily
the actual reading cycle times for each XRF instrument.
Check the reading time against that expected for a source
age.  If the readings are other than expected contact the
general supervisor for a decision on corrective action.

FOR THE WARRINGTON:  Record the density data in the comments
column of the data forms.  It is desirable to record this
for all locations during the painted surface only readings.
However, at a minimum, record the coverage index data for
all the substrate transition points (i.e.,  record the
density value for the last and first location of a given
substrate).

FOR THE NITON:  Record the coverage index data in the
comments column of the data forms.   It is desirable to
record this for all locations during the painted surface
only readings.  However, at a minimum, record the coverage
index data for all the substrate transition points (i.e.,
record the density value for the last and first location of
a given substrate).

For SPECIAL measurements (Scitec only):

     Note that all modes of the Scitec are used during the
     SPECIAL measurement days (Screen, Test,  and Confirm) .
     Perform Control Block Measurements using 3 nominal 15-
     sec read cycles.
     Perform Control Block Measurements only at the
     beginning and end of day regardless of whether than
     more than one unit is tested in that day (Philadelphia
     only).
     Be sure to perform End-of-Day (EOD)  measurements on the
     same control blocks as those used for Beginning-of-Day
     (BOD) measurements (i.e., go back to the BOD control
     blocks to perform the EOD measurements) .   Do not move
     the control blocks from the unit and general location
     established for control block testing.
                         Bm-12

-------
               APPENDIX C

          FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS  FOR  SPOT TEST KITS
                   C-l

-------
C-2

-------
            MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS  FOR  SPOT TEST KITS


1.0  SUMMARY

This appendix describes the field protocols for using commercial
test kits for testing in situ painted surfaces for Lead content.
The chemistry and instructions vary from kit to kit but basic
steps common to all kits are:

•    Select the area or item to be tested;

•    Prepare the test kit reagents;

•    Perform the quality control test included in the package;

•    Clean the surface to be tested;

•    Expose all layers of the paint by sanding or cutting; and

•    Test the paint.

The actual test methods involve reaction of Lead in the paint
with the active reagent(s) in the test kit to produce a color
change, a precipitate, or both.  Methods of reacting the Lead
with the reagents vary and include:

•    Swabbing in situ with a reagent-soaked applicator;

•    Pressing a reagent-soaked pad to the in situ surface for a
     specified length of time;

•    Adding drops of one or more solutions to the in situ paint;

•    Removal of a paint chip or dust to a vial to which reagents
     are added to produce the precipitate or color change; and

•    Removal of a paint chip and applying test reagents to all
     surfaces and edges of the paint chip.


2.0  MATERIALS AND EQUIPMENT

Materials and equipment needs vary  from kit-to-kit.  Equipment
and supplies are listed under the  individual kit protocols.
                               C-3

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3.0  TEST KITS SELECTED FOR THE STUDY

The four commercially available Lead test kits selected for
inclusion in this study are listed in Table C-l.   In addition to
the kits listed in Table C-l,  a licensed Lead inspector will be
contracted to perform Lead testing with the Massachusetts state-
approved sulfide reagents and procedures.  The protocol for the
Lead inspector will be the state-approved protocol included in
this Appendix, Section 4.5.
Table C-l. LEAD TEST KITS TARGETED FOR USE IN THE FULL STUDY
MANUFACTURER
ENZONE
Frandon/Pace
Innovative
Synthesis
HybriVet Systems
MA State Protocol
KIT NAME
Lead Zone
Lead Alert
(All-in-One)
Lead
Detective
Lead Check
NA
CODE
LETTER
A
B
C
D
E
TEST
Proprietary
Rhodi z ona t e
Sodium
Sulfide
Rhodizonate
Sodium
Sulfide
KIT METHOD
CHOSEN
Reagent -
impregnated pad
Core sample
paint chip
Apply reagent
to notch or
paint chip
Reagent -
impregnated
swabs
Apply reagent
to notch or
paint chip
4.0  TESTING PAINTED SURFACES FOR LEAD

In order to provide a reasonably uniform comparison of methods
for this study, differences among the kit instructions preclude
use of only the package-insert instructions for training and
testing.  For purposes of this study, instructions supplied by
the manufacturers were edited to conform to the six steps listed
above in the Appendix C Summary (Section 1.0).

          NOTE FOR ALL TEST KITS:   If a new test kit is opened
          for use, properly discard any chemicals or reagents
          from previously used test kits and make fresh from the
          new kit.
                               C-4

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4.1  ENZONE "Lead Zone" (PROPRIETARY CHEMICAL COMPOSITION)

     This kit is designated with the code letter A.

4.1.1     List of Supplies Needed for Testing One Housing Unit
          Containing up to 75 Locations

  1       Plastic tote to carry supplies
  1       Clipboard
  1       Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor
  1       "Completed Testing" Checklist for the unit being tested
  1       "Lead Zone" WA57 field testing protocol
  1 pad   Test Kit Results Recording Form  (will be several pages)
  2       Ball point pens
  2 boxes Baby wipes
  1 bag   Disposable plastic gloves  (100 pr per bag)
  1       Flashlight
  1       50-mL dropping bottle full of ASTM Type I water
  1 pair  Scissors
  1 box   Resealable plastic bags, 1 gt.  (20/box)
  2       Trash bags
  1 roll  Duct tape
  17 kits "Lead Zone" test kits—enough to  perform 100 tests
  1       Stopwatch
  1       Watch or other time piece


4.1.2  Performing the Lead Zone Tests

Perform Lead testing in a safe manner as  instructed in the
training class.

  1. Obtain the "Lead Zone"  test kits, data  recording forms, and
     other supplies in the above list from the  field supervisor.

  2. Obtain instructions  (starting point,  other) from the field
     supervisor.

  3. Fill out the header information on  the  test form.

  4. Find the location to be tested  according  to instructions
     received from the field supervisor.   The  location map will
     be provided by the supervisor,  or  alternately, may  be posted
     in the dwelling.

  5. Remove one bar code label  corresponding to the sampling
     location from the strips held  inside the  plastic bag
                                C-5

-------
   attached to the test location and affix it in the  bar code
   column on the results recording form.

6.  Open one Lead Zone Kit and prepare the  test kit  pads.   Be
   careful not to contaminate the test pads or painted surfaces
   with Lead from the test spots on the verification  card
   enclosed in the package.  Open additional kits as  needed.

   a.    Use scissors to cut each of the two Lead Zone Test Pads
        into three equal sized pieces,  creating six smaller
        Lead Zone test pads.

   b.    Store the cut test pad pieces in a resealable plastic
        bag.  Remove one at a time as needed.

7.  Perform the quality control (QC)  test before the first
   location is tested and after each negative result  to verify
   that the test reagents are working as listed below:

   a.    Remove one test pad piece from the resealable plastic
        bag.

   b.    Moisten the test pad with a few drops of ASTM Type I
        water  {an orange color may develop when the pad is
        moistened.  The orange color is due to the  reagents and
        is not a positive test for Lead).

   c.    Press the moistened pad against one of the  test dots on
        the verification card.  Hold the pad against  the
        surface for up to 2 min.

   d.    If a pink to purple color develops on the test dot or
        pad  (or both), the reagents are working correctly.  If
        no color develops on the test dot  within the  2 min,
        consult the supervisor.

   e.    Dispose of the used pad in the trash bag.

8.  Clean the surface to be tested by wiping with a  baby wipe.

9.  Expose all layers of the paint by cutting through  all paint
   layers down to the substrate.  Use the  bevelled V-cut  (as
   taught in the training class.)  Do not  cut into the
   substrates.  If the substrate is cut,  then make  a  new V-
   notch for testing.   (Be sure to make the V-notch such that
   the paint layers are highly exposed. Use of a shallow V is
   preferable to a deep V.)
                             C-6

-------
10.      Test the exposed paint layers as listed below:

   a.   Remove one cut test pad piece from the plastic bag.

   b.   Moisten the test pad with a few drops of ASTM Type I
        water.

   c.   Press the moistened pad against the exposed paint
        layers.  Hold for up to 2 min.

   d.   If a pink to purple color develops in any of the paint
        layers or on the test pad within the 2 min, the test is
        positive for Lead.

   e.   Dispose of the used test pad in the trash bag.

11.      Record the test results as positive or negative on the
        data form—a positive result is an observed change in
        color on pad, or on any of the exposed paint layers
        from the original color to a pink or purple color.  Use
        a flashlight if needed for observation.  Record any
        comments on the test form in the appropriate columns.

12.      Cover the tested spot with  a small piece of duct tape
        to conceal the results from the next tester.

13 .      Test the remaining locations in the structure as
        instructed by the supervisor.  Follow steps 5 through
        13 until all locations in the structure have been
        tested.  Six tests may be performed with each Lead Zone
        kit.  Use the verification cards prior to the first
        test in the structure and after any negative tests to
        verify that the moistened pad is working correctly.  As
        long as positive tests are being obtained, it is not
        necessary to use the verification card for each kit
        opened.  If a moistened pad does not produce a pink
        color on the test dot, consult the supervisor.

14.     At the end of the testing day, perform the following:

   a.   Check all test results recording forms for
        completeness.

   b.   Use the  "Completed Testing" Checklist to verify testing
        of all locations within the housing unit.  If one is
        found to be missing, return and perform testing on it.
                              C-7

-------
     c.    Return the completed checklist,  data forms,  all
          supplies,  and remaining test  kits to the supervisor.

A photocopy of the Lead Zone Lead Test  Kit instructions provided
with the test kit is shown in Figure C-l.
                               C-8

-------
  Lead Zone Test Kit-package insert copy removed because
  of copyright considerations.

            Figure C-l was presented on 1 page.

  (Insert  from packages obtained in June 1993 from Enzone
  Corporation,  College Point, NY 11356)
Figure C-l.  Photocopy of Lead Zone Test Kit instructions,
                            C-9

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4.2  FRANDON/PACE LEAD ALERT ALL-IN-ONE (RHODIZONATE)

     This kit is designated with the code letter B.

4.2.1     List of Supplies Needed for Testing One Housing Unit
          Containing up to 75 Locations

  1       Plastic tote to carry supplies
  1       Clipboard
  1       Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor
  1       "Completed Testing" Checklist for the unit being tested
  1       "Lead-Alert" All-in-One WA57 field testing protocol
  1 pad   Test Kit Results Recording Form (will be several pages)
  2       Ball point pens
  2 boxes Baby wipes
  1 bag   Disposable plastic gloves (100 pr per bag)
  1       Flashlight
  1       50-mL dropping bottle full of ASTM Type I water
  1 pair  Scissors
  1 box   Resealable plastic bags, 1 qt. (20/box)
  2       Trash bags
  1 roll  Duct tape
  1 kit   "Lead-Alert" All-In-One test kits—enough to perform 100
          tests
  1       Circular boring tool and cleaning brush
  1       Stopwatch
  1       Watch or other time piece
  2 boxes Kimwipes
4.2.2     Performing the "Lead-Alert" All-in-One Test

The Frandon Lead Alert All-in-One kit offers the user three
different methods of sampling for Lead,  two of which are also
offered in the "Homeowners" kit.  For purposes of this study, we
are only interested in total Lead content of a given sample.
Therefore, only one of the three—removal of a paint sample using
the "coring technique"—will be used.

  1. Obtain the "Lead-Alert" All-in-One test kits, data recording
     forms, and other supplies listed above from the field
     supervisor.

  2. Obtain instructions (starting point, other) from the field
     supervisor.

  3. Prepare a new batch of indicating solution at the beginning
     of each day of testing as listed below:


                               C-10

-------
   a.   Remove red cap and clear dropper insert from the bottle
        labelled "Indicating Solution."  Be careful not to
        spill the contents.

   b.   Take the tablet from the foil wrapper and drop it into
        the indicating solution bottle.  Replace dropper
        insert .•

   c.   Shake the bottle for 60 to 70 sec.  Allow to stand for
        an additional minute.  Shake again for 30 sec.  Reagent
        is ready for use.  When testing has been interrupted
        for 15 min, shake the indicating solution bottle
        vigorously for 5 to 10 sec before resuming testing
        (shaking the solution bottle should be performed
        periodically during the testing day) .

4. Perform a Quality Control  (QC) Test on the freshly made
   indicating solution as listed below:

   a.   Remove the QC test sheet from its bag and apply 1 drop
        of Leaching Solution to the center of an unused test
        circle.   Let it sit for 10 sec.

   b.   Add one drop of Indicating Solution to the same circle
        (do not touch the dropper to any surface).

   c.   A pink to rose/red color is a positive test, indicating
        that the reagents are performing correctly.  Record the
        QC test results in the "Comments" column of data form
        for the first sample location to be tested for the day.
        If the test is negative, replace cap on red top bottle
        and shake for an additional 60 sec.  Repeat the QC
        test.  If test is still negative, mark the reagent
        bottles as bad with a marking pen and consult the
        supervisor.  Under these conditions, the supervisor
        will generally request that you go back to step 3 using
        a new reagent from a new test kit and test kit.

5. Fill out the header information on the data recording form.

6. Find the first location to be tested according to
   instructions received from the field supervisor.  The
   location map will be provided by the supervisor, or
   alternately,  may be posted in the dwelling.

7. Remove one bar code label corresponding to the sampling
   location from the strips held inside the plastic bag
                             C-ll

-------
   attached to the test location and affix it  in  the  bar code
   column on the results recording form.

8.  Clean the test area with a pre-moistened wipe.

9.  Perform the Coring Test for Total Lead.

   a.   Remove one of the adhesive-backed collection  papers and
        fold it in half.  Apply the paper directly underneath
        the area to be tested as shown in the  package
        instructions.

   b.   Using the circular coring tool,  cut down  into the
        surface  (use a drilling type motion to aid in cutting
        through all layers of paint).    Scrape the paint inside
        the circle onto the paper.  Be sure to remove all
        layers of paint.  Do not cut into the  substrate.  If
        the substrate is cut, start over.

   c.   Transfer the paint from the paper to a plastic vial.
        Grind up the paint for about 10 sec using a new plastic
        rod for each sample  (Lead paint grinds easily whereas
        Latex-based paint will be harder to grind).

   d.   Add three drops of Leaching Solution to the vial (do
        not touch the dropper to the vial or contents)  and
        grind the contents for another 10 sec. Let the vial
        sit for 20 sec.

   e.   Add three drops of Indicating Solution to the tip of a
        fresh applicator  (always use a fresh applicator tip for
        each sample and do not touch the applicator or any
        other surface with the dropper) ,  then  touch the surface
        of the liquid in the plastic vial with the tip of the
        applicator.

   f.   Observe for color changes on the applicator.   A pink to
        rose/red color indicates a positive test.

10.     Record the results on the data recording  form and enter
        any comments in the appropriate columns.

11.     Cover the completed test with duct tape to conceal the
        results from the next tester.

12.     Clean the coring tool with a dry paper tissue followed
        by the brush before proceeding to the  next location.
        EXTREMELY IMPORTANT:  THE CORING TOOL  MUST BE CLEANED
                            C-12

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          AFTER COLLECTING EACH SAMPLE.   If the coring tool
          becomes dull, see the supervisor to have it sharpened.
  13 .      Test the remaining locations in the structure as
          instructed by the supervisor.  Follow steps 5 through
          12 until all locations in the structure have been
          tested.

  14.      At the end of the testing day, perform the following:

     a.   Check all test results recording forms for
          completeness.

     b.   Use the "Completed Testing" Checklist to verify testing
          of all locations within the housing unit.  If one is
          found to be missing, return and perform testing on it.

     c.   Return the completed checklist, data forms, all
          supplies, and remaining test kits to the supervisor.

A photocopy of the package instructions is shown in Figure C-2.
                               C-13

-------
    Frandon  Lead Alert All  In One Kit—test  kit  package
    insert copy removed because of copyright
    considerations.

             Figure C-2  was presented on 4 pages.

    (Insert  from packages obtained in June  1993 from Pace
    Environs,  207 Rutherglen Drive, Gary, NC  27511)
Figure C-2.  Photocopy of Frandon Lead-Alert Kit instructions.
                             C-14

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4.3  LEAD DETECTIVE  (Sodium Sulfide)

     This kit is designated with  the code letter C.

4.3.1     List of Supplies Needed for Testing One Housing Unit
          Containing up to 75 Locations

  1       Plastic tote to carry supplies
  1       Clipboard
  1       Map of dwelling and/or  instructions from supervisor
  1       "Completed Testing" Checklist for the unit being tested
  1       "Lead Detective" WA57 field testing protocol
  1 pad   Test Kit Results Recording Form  (several pages)
  2       Ball point pens
  2 boxes Baby wipes
  1 bag   Disposable plastic gloves  (100 pr per bag)
  1       Flashlight
  1       50-mL dropping bottle full of ASTM Type I water
  1 pair  Scissors
  1 box   Resealable plastic bags, 1 qt.  (20/box)
  2       Trash bags
  1 roll  Duct tape
  1 kit   "Lead-Detective" test kit-approximately 100 tests
  1       Magnifying glass
  1 roll  Waxed paper
  1       Stopwatch
  1       Watch or other time piece
  1 box   round toothpicks
4.3.2 Performing the Lead Detective Tests

The "Lead Detective" kit detects Lead  (and other heavy metals)  by
reacting with the Lead to form a black insoluble precipitate of
Lead sulfide.  Perform Lead testing in a safe manner as
instructed in the training class including wearing of safety
glasses at all times and wearing of leather gloves during cutting
or scraping activities.  Wear disposable gloves when using this
and any other sodium sulfide test kit.  The package instructions
included with the Lead Detective are contained in a 33-page
instruction booklet.  A photocopy of this booklet is included in
this Appendix C as an attachment.

  1. Obtain the "Lead Detective" test kits, data recording forms,
     and supplies from the field supervisor.

  2. Obtain sample location instructions (starting point,  other)
     from the field supervisor.


                               C-15

-------
3. Fill out the header information on the data recording form.
4.  Prepare a new batch of reagents at the beginning of each day
   of testing as listed below:

   a.   Carefully add the contents of the kit water bottle to
        the bottle containing the  sodium sulfide crystals.

   b.   Screw on the dropper cap and shake vigorously for 5 min
        or until the crystals are  dissolved.   Do not use the
        reagent until the crystals are totally dissolved.

5.  Perform the quality control  check on the freshly prepared
   sodium sulfide solution.

   a.   Remove a quality control strip (or the paint chip) from
        the plastic bag.

   b.   While holding the strip in the forceps,  add a drop of
        the sodium sulfide solution to the strip.

   d.   If black coloring appears,  the QC test is positive,
        indicating the reagents are working.   Record the
        results in the "Comments"  column of the data recording
        form.  If a black color does not appear, mark the
        reagent bottles as bad with a marking pen and consult
        the supervisor.  Under these conditions, the supervisor
        will generally request  that you go back to step 4 using
        a new reagent from a new test kit and repeat the test.

6.  Find the location to be tested  according to instructions
   received from the field supervisor.  The location map will
   be provided by the supervisor,  or alternately,  may be posted
   in the dwelling.

7.  Remove one bar code label corresponding to the sampling
   location from the strips held inside the plastic bag
   attached to the test location and affix it in the bar code
   column on the results recording form.

8.  Clean the surface of the test location with a pre-moistened
   wipe.

9.  Cut through all layers of the paint down to the substrate
   with a bevelled V-notch.   Save  the paint chip removed from
   the notch on a clean, waxed paper square.
                            C-16

-------
  10.     Add a drop of the  sodium sulfide  solution  to  the notch,
         being careful not  to  drip the  reagent  on the  surfaces
         below or  adjacent  to  the test  notch.   Use  a toothpick
         as needed to direct the  solution  into  the  notch.  Use a
         flashlight and/  or magnifying  glass  if needed to
         observe the paint  for changes  in  color.  A black or
         gray color is a  positive test  for Lead.  Circle the box
         in the Comments  column that  comes closest  to  matching
         the color observed.

  11.     If the test is negative  or doubtful, apply a  drop of
         the test  reagent to the  front,  back, and edges of the
         retained  paint chip from the notch.  Use a flashlight
         if needed to observe  the paint for changes in color.  A
         black or  gray color is a positive test for Lead.
         Circle the box in  the Comments column  that comes
         closest to matching the  color  observed.  Indicate use
         of the retained  chip  by  writing "chip" in  the Comments
         column.

  12.     Record the results on the data form and any  comments  in
         the appropriate  columns.  Be sure to designate whether
         the recorded results  are for the notched surface or the
         removed paint chip.

  13.     Cover the completed test spot  with a small piece of
         duct tape to conceal  the results from  the  next tester.

  14.     Test the  remaining locations in the structure as
         instructed by the  supervisor.   Follow  steps  6 through
         14 until  all locations in the  structure have been
         tested.

  15.     At the  end of the  testing day, perform the following:

     a.   Check  all test  results recording forms for
         completeness.

     b.   Use  the  "Completed Testing"  Checklist  to verify  testing
         of all  locations within the housing unit.   If one  is
          found  to  be  missing,  return and perform testing  on it.

     c.   Return the  completed checklist, data forms,  all
          supplies, and  remaining test kits to the supervisor.

The "Lead Detective"  instructions in the kit consists of a 33-
page booklet.   A photocopy of the test kit operating instructions
portion of  this  booklet  is shown  in Figure C-3.

                               C-17

-------
Lead Detective Lead Paint Detection Kit—package insert
copy removed because of copyright considerations.

          Figure  C-3  was  presented  on  7  pages.

(Insert from packages obtained in June 1993 from
Innovative Synthesis Corporation, 1425 Beacon Street,
Newton, MA 02168)
Figure C-3.  Photocopy of "Lead Detective" instructions
                          C-18

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4.4  LEAD CHECK SWABS
4.4.1
  1
  1
  1
  1
  1
  1
   This kit is designated with the code letter D.

        List of Supplies Needed for Testing One Housing Unit
        Containing up to 75 Locations

        Plastic tote to carry supplies
        Clipboard
        Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor
        "Completed Testing" Checklist for the unit being tested
        "Lead Check Swabs" WA57 field testing protocol
  pad   Test Kit Results Recording Form (several pages)
2       Ball point pens
2 boxes Baby wipes
1 bag   Disposable plastic gloves  (100 pr per bag)
1       Flashlight
2       Trash bags
1 roll  Duct tape
100     "Lead Check" swabs and several control cards
100     Disposable 10-mL beakers
1       Pliers
1       Stopwatch
1       Watch or other time piece
1       Razor knife holder
75-100  Disposable razor blades
75-100  Cotton-tipped swabs
1 bottl Vinegar
4.4.2 Performing the Lead Check Test

The "Lead Check" swabs contain rhodizonate, which reacts with
Lead to form a pink to red color.  Perform Lead testing in a safe
manner as instructed in the training class.

  1. Obtain the "Lead Check" rhodizonate test swabs, data
     recording forms, and supplies from the field supervisor.

  2. Obtain instructions  (starting point, other) from the field
     supervisor.

  3. Fill out the header information on the data recording form.
     Measure and record temperature, relative humidity, and other
     required information.

  4. Find the location to be tested according to instructions
     received from the field supervisor.  The location map will
                               C-19

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   be provided by the supervisor,  or  alternately,  may be posted
   in the dwelling.

5.  Remove one bar code label  corresponding to  the  sampling
   location from the strips held  inside  the plastic bag
   attached to the test location  and  affix it  in the bar code
   column on the results recording form.

6.  Clean the test surface with a  pre-moistened wipe.

7.  Cut a beveled V notch through  all  paint layers  down to the
   substrate.

8.  Check for leachable pink or red paint.   Moisten a clean,
   unused cotton-tipped swab  with vinegar  and  rub  the swab in
   the notch.  If the tip turns pink  or  red from vinegar only,
   make a comment in the Comments column and continue on with
   test.

9.  Remove one "Lead Check" swab and reseal the package.

10.     With the swab pointing up,  squeeze points  A and B to
        crush the internal glass  ampules (use  pliers to perform
        this task if needed).

11.     With the swab pointing down,  shake the swab twice,  then
        gently squeeze it until the yellow liquid  appears on
        the swab tip.

12.     While gently squeezing, rub the  swab tip on the test
        area for 30 sec.

13.     Observe swab tip for  coloration.   Use  a flashlight to
        read the results. Pink to red indicates positive test
        for Lead.  Orange plus pink is also positive for Lead.

   IF a positive result is obtained,  THEN

   a.   Tape a plastic disposable beaker,  using duct tape,  over
        the tested notch.

   b.   Record the results in the appropriate  box  on the form.

   IF no color change is observed within 2 min,  THEN

   a.   Touch the swab to one of  the  dots  on the Lead
        confirmation card.
                            C-20

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     If  no color develops on the QC dot,  discard the swab and
     retest the paint layers with a new swab (steps 8 through
     12) .

     If  color develops on the QC dot,  tape a plastic disposable
     beaker,  using duct tape, over the tested notch and proceed
     to  the next spot.  Record the time and return to re-observe
     this  spot in 30 min.  If no color change has occurred,  cover
     and return to check the paint after another 30 min.  If,
     after 1 hr, no color has developed,  the spot tested negative
     for Lead.  Record all observations,  subsequent examinations,
     and other comments on the data form.  Pink to red is
     positive for Lead.  If an orange color develops, orange is
     positive for barium, not positive for Lead.

  14 .      Test the remaining locations in the structure as
          instructed by the supervisor.  Follow steps 4 through
          13 until all locations in the structure have been
          tested.  Do not reuse any of the swabs, even if no
          color change was observed.  As long as positive tests
          are being obtained on the painted surfaces and
          underlying layers, there is no need to perform the Lead
          confirmation test on the test confirmation card.

  15.      At the end of the testing day, perform the following:

     a.    Check all test results recording forms for
          completeness.

     b.    Use the  "Completed Testing" Checklist to verify testing
          of all locations within the housing unit.  If one is
          found to be missing, return and perform testing on it.

     c.    Return the  completed checklist, data  forms, all
          supplies, and remaining test kits to  the supervisor.

A photocopy of  the  "Lead Check" Swabs Test Kit  package
instructions  is shown  in Figure C-4.
                               C-21

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     Lead Check Swabs—test kit package insert copy removed
     because of copyright considerations.

               Figure  C-4  was  presented on  2  pages.

     (Insert from packages obtained in June 1993 from
     Hybrivet Systems, Inc., P.O. Box 1210, Framingham, MA
     01701)
Figure C-4.  Photocopy of Lead Check Swabs Test Kit instructions.
                              C-22

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4.5  MASSACHUSETTS SODIUM SULFIDE TEST

     This test is designated with the code letter E.

A licensed lead inspector, qualified by the state of
Massachusetts, will perform this test according to the protocols
in Attachment 2 of this Appendix.  The Massachusetts professional
will provide all of their supplies and equipment with the
exception of the data recording forms and masking tape, according
to the following protocol:

     Perform Lead testing in a safe manner as instructed in the
     training class, including wearing safety glasses at all
     times and wearing leather gloves and respirator during
     cutting or scraping activities.  Wear disposable gloves when
     using this and any other sodium sulfide test kit.

  1. Obtain the data recording forms, masking tape, pre-moistened
     wipes, and other supplies from the field supervisor.

  2. Obtain instructions  (starting point, other) from the field
     supervisor.

  3. Fill out the header  information on the data recording form.

  4. Find the location to be tested according to instructions
     received from the field supervisor.  The location map will
     be provided by the supervisor, or alternately, may be posted
     in the dwelling.

  5. Remove one bar code  label corresponding to the sampling
     location from the strips held inside the plastic bag
     attached to the test location and affix it in  the bar code
     column on the results recording form.

  6. Clean the test surface with a pre-moistened wipe.

  7. Perform the test according to the Massachusetts protocol.

  8. Record the results in the appropriate box on the  data
     recording form.  Record all observations, subsequent
     examinations, and other comments in the data form.

  9. Cover the completed  test with a small piece of duct tape  to
     conceal the results  from the next tester.
                               C-23

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10.      Test the remaining locations in the structure as
        instructed by the supervisor.   Follow steps 4 through 9
        until all locations in the structure have been tested.

11.      At the end of the testing day perform the following:

   a.    Check all test results recording forms for
        completeness.

   b.    Use the "Completed Testing"  Checklist to verify testing
        of all locations within the  housing unit.  If one is
        found to be missing,  return  and perform testing on it.

   c.    Return the completed checklist,  data forms, all
        supplies, and remaining test kits to the supervisor.

   A photocopy of the general Massachusetts protocol is shown
   in Figure C-5.
                            C-24

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   General Massachusetts Protocol removed because of
   copyright considerations.

             Figure C-5 was presented on 5  pages.

   (Obtained in March  1993  from the  State of
   Massachusetts.)
Figure C-5.  Photocopy of the General Massachusetts Protocol
                             C-25

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C-26

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               APPENDIX Cm

 MODIFICATIONS TO FULL  STUDY PROTOCOLS:
MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS FOR SPOT TEST KITS
                   Cm-1

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Cm-2

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MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no .
Modification
no.
Effective
date
Modification
type
Portion of
work
affected
Description
C
l of 2
July 14, 1993
Addition to Appendix
Denver and Philadelphia
Addition of protocols for performance
kit assigned to the letter "F". This
is shown on pages Cm-4 through Cm-9.
of a test
addition
Cm-3

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The Lead Alert "Homeowner" Kit  (Product 1040) will be included in
the study.  The sanding technique described in the kit's
instructions will be used to test layers of paint until either
(1) a positive result is obtained, or  (2)  the bottom layer of
paint is tested.  This test kit will be assigned letter "F" for
identification purposes in the study.  A detailed protocol
following the instructions in the kit follows.

Each location marked off for sampling will include 6 4-in. by 1-
in. rectangles for test kit applications.   A letter representing
each test kit will be randomly assigned to each of the 6
rectangles at each location.  Rectangles marked with letter F
will be designated for testing by the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit
(Product 1040).

Testing with the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit using the sanding
technique is expected to take approximately four times longer
than the other kits.  Therefore, for each house, the test kit
operator assigned to the Lead Alert sanding technique for that
house will be asked to apply the kit only at the locations marked
"Special."   (One-fourth of the locations in each house will be
marked "Special.")  It is expected that the operator of the Lead
Alert Homeowner Kit will be able to complete testing at the
"Special" locations in the day and one-half allocated for testing
at each house.

If the test kit operator for the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit is able
to complete the "Special" locations ahead of schedule, the
operator will alternate between the substrates in the house as
follows:  (1) first regular location for each of metal, wood,
brick, drywall, concrete, and plaster; (2)  second regular
location for each of metal, wood, brick,  drywall, concrete, and
plaster;  (3) third regular location for each substrate, and so on
until available time for the unit is exhausted or until all
regular substrates are tested.  The starting substrate for the
regular locations will change for each unit.  The supervisor will
issue instructions for each unit to the tester applying the Lead
Alert sanding technique test.

Because the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit will be used with the
sanding technique, contamination avoidance is especially
important.  Contamination avoidance techniques will include the
following:

1.   During the marking phase, attempts will be made to avoid
placing one location directly over another.
                               Cm-4

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2.   Operators of the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit will attempt to
sand so as to minimize the spreading of paint dust.  Where
possible, paper or collection receptacles will be used to catch
the dust.

3.   Where possible, operators of the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit
will apply the kit within the bottom most 2-in. of the rectangle
assigned to the kit  (on a horizontal template) and all other
operators will use the top most 2-in.  On vertical templates, the
Lead Alert operator will use the left most 2-in. and all other
operators will use the right most 2-in.  On unusual locations
which do not fit a standard template, the immediate supervisor
for the house will give directions to the operators.

4.   All operators will be told of the importance of wiping
rectangles before applying the kits.  Wipes should be firm enough
to remove surface dust, but not so firm as to remove paint.

5.   Operators of the Lead Alert Homeowner Kit will be instructed
to dispose of all sand paper properly and to clean their hands
 (preferably with soap and water, but baby-wipes may be used  if
running water and soap are not available) before applying the
test at  the next location.

6.   Paint chip collectors will wipe the area for paint chip
collection before collecting paint chip samples.  Paint chip
collectors will wipe the area for XRF testing before moving  to
the next location.

7.   To  the extent possible, the Lead Check tester and the Lead
Alert Sanding Technique tester will be on different teams.

List of  Supplies Needed for Testing One Housing Unit Containing
up to 75 Locations  (one-fourth designated as  "Special.")

1              Plastic tote to carry supplies
1              Clipboard
1              Map of dwelling and/or  instructions  from
1              supervisor
1              "Completed Testing" Checklist  for the unit being
1 pad          tested
2              Lead  Alert  (Product 1040) WA57  field testing
2 boxes        protocol
1 bag          Test  Kit Results Recording Form  (will be several
1              pages)
1 pair         Ball  point pens
 1 box          Baby  wipes
 2              Disposable plastic gloves  (100 pr per bag)


                               Cm-5

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1 roll         Flashlight
1 kit          Scissors
1 box          Resealable plastic bags, 1 qt.  (20/box)
               Trash bags
1 box          Duct tape
               "Lead Alert" test kit (Product  1040)  and extra
               sandpaper
               Kimwipes
Performing the "Lead Alert" Sanding Technique

1.   Obtain the Lead Alert Product 1040 test kit,  data recording
forms, and other supplies listed above from the field supervisor,

2.   Obtain instructions (starting point,  check list of
locations, other)  from the field supervisor.

3.   Prepare a new batch of indicating solution at the beginning
of each day of testing as instructed in the package instructions

     a.  Remove red cap and clear dropper insert from the bottle
labelled "Indicating Solution."  Be careful not to spill the
contents.

     b.  Take the tablet from the foil wrapper and drop it into
the indicating solution bottle.  Replace the dropper insert.
     c.  Shake the bottle for 60 to 70 sec.  Allow to stand for
an additional minute.  Shake again for 30 sec.   Reagent is ready
for use.  When testing has been interrupted for 15 min, shake the
indicating solution bottle vigorously for 5 to 10 sec before
resuming testing (shaking the solution bottle should be performed
periodically during the testing day).

4.    Perform a Quality Control (QC) Test on the freshly made
indicating solution as listed below:

     a.  Remove the QC test sheet from its bag and apply 1 drop
of  Leaching solution to the center of an unused test circle.  Let
it  sit for 10 sec.

     b.  Add one drop of Indicating Solution to the same circle
(do not touch the dropper to any surface).
                               Cm-6

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     c.  A pink to rose/red color is a positive test, indicating
that the reagents are performing correctly.  Record the QC test
results in the "Comments" column of the data form for the first
location to be tested for the day.  If the test is negative,
replace cap on red top bottle and shake for an additional 60  sec.
Repeat the AC test.  If test is still negative, mark the reagent
bottles as bad with a marking pen and consult the supervisor.
Under these conditions, the supervisor will generally request
that you go back to.step 3 using a new reagent from a new test
kit.

5.   Fill out the header information on the data recording form.

6.   Find the first location to be tested according to
instructions received from the field supervisor.  The location
map will be provided by the supervisor, or alternately, may be
posted in the dwelling.

7.   Remove one bar code label corresponding to the sampling
location from the strips held inside the plastic bag attached to
the test location and affix it in the bar code column on the
results recording form.

8.   Clean the test area with a pre-moistened wipe.

9.   Perform the sanding test according to the following
instructions:

10.  Take a clean paper square and tape it to the wall directly
underneath the test rectangle.  This paper will catch the paint
particles loosened by the sand paper.

11.  Proceed with testing, following instructions given below:

"Underlying layers of paint:  If the surface layer of paint is
not positive for lead then all other layers should be tested
until either a positive is obtained for the underlying surface
(substrate) which has been painted  (wood, brick, etc.) is
reached.  Layers of paint may be tested individually or several
at a time.  After sanding, follow specific instructions as listed
under Particles of paint, metal, dust, etc. below.

NOTE:     Sulfates present in plaster, dust, or stucco may
          interfere with the color development in test
          procedures.  Care should be  taken not to sand through
          into these substrates during testing.  Drywall contains
          gypsum.  Care should be taken not to penetrate the
          fiber layer  (paper) of drywall.  If, however, plaster;


                               Cm-7

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          gypsum; or stucco is exposed during testing and that
          test is positive,  it is a valid test.   Lead in paint
          for residential use was banned in the  USA in 1978.  If
          the test result is negative and your home was built
          prior to 1978-80 we recommend that a sample of all
          layers of paint from that test site be taken and sent
          to a qualified laboratory for further  analysis.

Particles of paint, metal, dust,  etc.:

     a.  Apply two drops of leaching solution to applicator tip.

     b.  Pick up a very small amount of fine particles of the
material to be tested (such as sanded paint,  ground paint chips,
paint dust, house dust,  or dust from vacuum cleaner bag)  on the
moistened applicator tip.

     c.   Apply one more drop of leaching solution over the
particles on the applicator tip.   Wait 30 seconds.

     d.  Apply two drops of indicating solution  to the applicator
tip and watch for color change.  Interpret the results as
follows:

           (1)  Positive result - The appearance  of a pinkish to
rose/red color.  Leachable lead has been detected.

           (2)  Negative result - The appearance  of a yellow stain
that fades away within a few minutes.  No leachable lead has been
detected.

NOTE:     The appearance of an orange color that doesn't turn
          pinkish, or a yellow color that does not fade after a
          few minutes may indicate the presence  of barium that is
          often used as an extender in paint. This is also to be
          interpreted as a negative for lead."

12.  Interpret the results.   A pink to rose/red  color is positive
for lead.  A yellow stain is negative for lead.

13.  Record the results on the test kit results  form.  Some
locations will have sufficient layers of paint to require the
sanding test to be performed in several steps; other locations
can be completed in only one or two sanding steps.

     i.  If the test was positive,  STOP testing  at this location,
and proceed to the next location.
                              Ctn-8

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     ii.   If the test was negative,  proceed with the sanding
technique.   Continue testing until a positive test is obtained,
or until  the bottom most layer of paint has been tested.
Remember  that some locations will have sufficient layers  of paint
to require  the sanding test to be performed in several steps;
other locations can be completed in only one or two sanding
steps.

NOTE:    Whenever a pink or red paint color is encountered, look
          at the applicator tip after rubbing the paint with
          leaching solution but before adding the indicating
          solution.  The leaching solution may leach the  natural
         pink or red color from some paints thus leading to a
          false positive for lead.  If the leaching solution
          leaches pink or red from the paint, record this
          information in the "Comments" column for that location,
          and consult the supervisor.

14.   Cover  the completed test with duct tape to conceal the
results from the next tester.

15.   Test the remaining locations in the structure as instructed
by the supervisor.  Follow steps 6 through 14 until all locations
have been tested.

16.   At the end of the testing day,  perform the following:

     a.  Check all test results recording forms for completeness.

     b.  Use the "Completed Testing" Checklist to verify testing
of all locations within the housing unit.   If any are found to be
missing,  return and perform testing.

     c.  Return the completed checklist, data forms, all
supplies, and remaining test kits to the supervisor.
                               Cm-9

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                     MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no.
Modification
no.
2 of 2
Effective
date
July 14,  1993
Modification
type   	
Change to Appendix
Portion of
work
affected
Denver and Philadelphia
Description
Change of a step to include use of cotton swab
for delivering sodium sulfide reagent to test
surface when using the Lead Detective Test Kit.

• Replace step 10 located on page B-15 with the
following:

10.  Add a drop or two of the sodium sulfide
     solution to a cotton swab, being careful
     not to touch the swab to the reagent
     container.  Rub the swab tip on the test
     area for 30 sec.  Observe test surface for
     coloration.  Use a flashlight and/ or
     magnifying glass if needed to observe the
     paint for changes in color.  A black or
     gray color is a positive test for Lead.
     Circle the box in the Comments column that
     comes closest to matching the color
     observed.
                             Cm-10

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                  APPENDIX D

             FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS
COLLECTION OF PAINT  CHIP SAMPLES IN AND AROUND
       BUILDINGS AND RELATED STRUCTURES
                      D-l

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D-2

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         COLLECTION OF PAINT  CHIP  SAMPLES  IN AND AROUND
                BUILDINGS AND RELATED  STRUCTURES
SUMMARY
This document describes the standard protocol for obtaining a
single paint chip sample from a painted substrate.  This standard
also includes instructions for sample storage and transport
requirements.
MATERIALS AND EQUIPMENT
 ITEM
No. per pair of
collectors
 Safety goggles
 Leather gloves
 Disposable gloves
 Respirator with
 organic vapor
 filters
 Razor blade holder
 Razor blades
 Wood chisel
 Hammer
 White paper, 8.5 x
 11
 Masking tape
 Duct tape
 Marking pens
 Clip board with
 timepiece
 "Paint Chip
 Collection" data
 forms
 Sample containers
 (plastic centrifuge
 tubes, plastic
 resealable bags)
 Resealable plastic
 bags
2 + 1 extra
2 pair
1 bag 100 pair
2 - one fitted to
each collector

2+1 extra
25
2
1
300 sheets

20 rolls, 1-inch
8 rolls, 2-inch
6
2+1 extra

Enough for 300
samples

a minimum of  300
tubes
a minimum of  300  1
qt bags
                               D-3

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 ITEM
            No.  per pair of
            collectors
 Extra shipping
 container for paint
 chip samples
 Trouble lights and
 spare bulbs or
 equivalent lighting
 Extension cords
 Power generator
 Pocket knife
 Metal marking
 template
 Heat gun
 Replacement heat gun
 element
 Tool pouch with belt
 Fire extinguisher
 Note:
Other items
200 ft.
1 at site
2+1 extra
2

2
2

1 per tester
2 at site, (1 for
each team, in each
unit during paint
chip collection)
as needed.
COLLECTION PROCEDURE

At each sampling location, perform the following steps (See
Note 1):
     NOTE 1: A regular sample will be collected at all locations.
     Some locations will require collection of an additional
     sample called a side-by-side sample.   Locations that require
     a side-by-side sample are identified by the presence of an
     individual 2 in x 2 in square placed at one end of the
     marked location.  For locations having a side-by-side
     sample, follow steps 1 through 9 below for collection of the
     regular sample first.  After completing this sample
     collection, collect the side-by-side sample using the same
     procedure using different bar code number as described in
     step 2.

1.   For each new "Paint Chip Collection Reporting" form needed
     (see attached),  complete the header of the form.
                               D-4

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2.   Record the sampling location/identification (ID)  on an open
     line of the " Paint Chip Collection Reporting" data form as
     follows:

     FOR REGULAR SAMPLES: Use the bar code labels that correspond
     to the specific sampling location (NO PRECEDING LETTERS).
     Collection of regular samples is done from inside the
     middle, large square that is divided into four individual
     2 in x 2 in squares.  The sample to be collected is
     indicated by the arrow to a specific 2 in x 2 in square.
     The bar code labels should be present in close proximity to
     the sampling location marked by the field team leader.

     FOR SIDE-BY-SIDE SAMPLES: Use the bar code labels that
     correspond to the specific sampling location preceded by an
     "S."  Collection of side-by-side samples is done from the
     individual 2 in x 2 in square placed at one end of the
     marked location.  The bar code labels should be present in
     close proximity to the sampling location marked by the field
     team leader.

3.   Affix an ID label to the outside of the container into which
     the sample is to be placed, and ensure that the label
     adheres well.  Place 11 extra identical labels into a l-qt
     resealable plastic bag which will hold the paint collection
     container when sampling is complete.

4.   Place the 5 cm x 5 cm template over the sampling site and
     hold firmly; tape can be used to hold template in position.
     Using a cutting tool and the template as a guide, score the
     perimeter of the area to be removed.  If it is impractical
     to use the template, the score can be made using the outside
     edge of the template as a guide.  The area scored using the
     alternative method should be approximately equivalent to the
     area scored when using the inside of the template.  Avoid
     using pencil or pen to mark the sample outline.

5.   Affix a closed bottom paper funnel  (or other appropriate
     collection shape) made from a clean white sheet of paper or
     equivalent collection device directly below the sampling
     location.  The collection device should be located as close
     as possible to the sampling site but should not interfere
     with the removal procedure.

6.   PRIMARY PAINT REMOVAL METHOD: Using a heat gun, heat the
     sample area.  Extreme caution should be exercised when using
     the heat gun.  Be sure to have a fire extinguisher nearby
     during heat gun use.  Do not overheat the sample area, heat


                               D-5

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     only until  the paint  becomes soft  and supple.   If  working in
     teams of  two persons,  have  one collector heat  the  area while
     the  other removes  the sample with  a  paint scrapper.   Remove
     all  paint down to  the bare  substrate.   If the  paint  does not
     become soft and supple in a minute or two,  discontinue the
     use  of heat and try the alternative  paint removal  method.
     If the paint is accidentally burned  by the heat gun,  then
     contact the supervisor for  selection of a new  sample to
     collect.

     Avoid the inclusion of the  substrate in the collection
     device.  If substrate does  fall into the collection  device,
     remove only that substrate  which can be easily removed
     without losing any of the paint sample.   Do not remove any
     substrate which cannot be separated  from the paint sample.
     The  laboratory will remove  extraneous substrate if possible,
     under laboratory conditions.

     ALTERNATIVE PAINT  REMOVAL METHOD:  Using the appropriate
     cutting tool for a particular substrate or condition of the
     sample site, begin removing the paint from the substrate.
     If possible peel the  paint  off of  the substrate by sliding
     the  blade along the score and underneath the paint.   Remove
     all  paint down to  the bare  substrate.

     In areas  where extreme difficulty  is experienced in  removing
     the  paint sample,  consult with the field supervisor  for
     advice.

7.   Transfer  the collected paint sample  to the sample  container
     and  seal.  Exercise care to ensure that all paint  taken from
     the  recorded area  is  placed into the sample container.  Use
     the  Styrofoam holder  that comes with the sample containers
     to aid in holding  the container during transfer.

8.   Carefully and accurately measure the sampling  area
     dimensions.  Do not attempt to calculate areas in  the field.
     Record the  data and dimensions including units used  (e.g.,
     5.1  cm x  5.0 cm) on the "Paint Chip  Collection Reporting"
     data form using a  permanent marker.   Try to use only
     centimeters for recording data. Avoid making  measurement
     in inches.   Any irregularities or  problems which arise in
     the  process, should be noted in the  Comments column  of the
     form.

9.   Seal the  container and place it into the plastic bag
     containing  the 11  extra bar code labels identical  to the one
     on the paint collection container.  Store the  samples in a


                              D-6

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     safe place during sampling until shipment can be made back
     to the laboratory.  Return all completed "Paint Chip
     Collection Reporting" forms and samples by the end of each
     sampling day to the field supervisor.
SUBSTRATE CLEARING PROCEDURE

At each sampling location, after collection of all paint chip
samples,  clear an area down to the substrate for later XRF
testing as follows:

     Enlarge the exposed substrate area made during paint chip
     collection of regular samples to a minimum of 4 in x 4 in
     using the same general cutting and scraping methods followed
     for paint chip collection  (See Note 2).  Avoid pitting or
     significantly damaging the substrate surface.  This area
     will be used by XRF testers for taking substrate
     measurements.

     NOTE 2: For some locations, a full 4 in x 4 in area may not
     be possible.  For these locations, make the largest exposed
     area possible up to the desired 4 in x 4 in exposed surface.
                               D-7

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                      Paint Chip Collection Reporting Form
                                                                      page	of
Date
Field Sampler (Printed name)
    Sample ID (Bar code)
Dimensions of Area
Sampled (cm x cm)
Comments
                                                                          93-38 SEV (XwalMrmG 070193

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                  APPENDIX Dm

    MODIFICATIONS  TO  FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
COLLECTION OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES IN AND AROUND
       BUILDINGS AND  RELATED STRUCTURES
                      Dm-1

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Dm-2

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MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no.
Modification
no.
Effective
date
Modification
type
Portion of
work
affected
Description
D
1 of 2
September 18, 1993
Addition to Appendix
Philadelphia
A Paint Collection handout was generated for
both Denver and Philadelphia field work to aid
in training of field personnel. This handout
consisted of a testing schedule and selected
pages from the QAPjP (Chapters 9, 10, and
Appendix D) . For Philadelphia, an additional
summary of Appendix D titled "PAINT COLLECTION
REMINDERS" was generated and incorporated into
the handout . The 1 page summary is attached
and is hereby presented as an addition to
Appendix D.
Dm-3

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                    PAINT COLLECTION REMINDERS


•    BE AWARE OF THE FIRE EXTINGUISHER LOCATION AT ALL TIMES.

•    BE SURE TO COLLECT FIELD BLANKS  (ONE PER UNIT):

     1)   Pull one empty centrifuge tube from a package of tubes
          being used for each unit sampled.

     2)   Label the empty centrifuge tube using a permanent
          marking pen as follows:

               For RUBY TERRACE building use

               RUBY BLK #     where # is equal to the unit number
                              (1A, IB, 3A,  or 3B).

               For 54TH DRIVE building use

               54TH BLK #     where # is equal to the unit number
                              (1A, IB, 3A,  or 3B).

     3)   Fill in a line on the data form that corresponds to
          taking the field blank.

     4)   Package and ship along with other paint samples.

•    BE SURE TO MEASURE AND RECORD THE AREA SAMPLED IMMEDIATELY
     AFTER COLLECTING EACH SAMPLE.

•    ON WOOD SUBSTRATES, SCRAPE WITH GRAIN NOT ACROSS GRAIN.

•    STRESS THE USE OF LESS STRENGTH AND MORE CAREFUL PAINT
     COLLECTION TO AVOID SUBSTRATE INCLUSION AND PRODUCTION OF
     SMOOTH SCRAPED SURFACES.

•    BE SURE TO SCRAPE THE ENLARGED EXPOSED SUBSTRATE AREAS TO
     THE SAME DEGREE AS THE AREA WHERE PAINT COLLECTION WAS
     PERFORMED (DON'T LEAVE THE LOCATION UNTIL THE AREA SCRAPED
     FOR LATER XRF MEASUREMENTS LOOKS THE SAME AS THE PAINT
     SAMPLED AREA.)
                               Dm-4

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                     MODIFICATION SUMMARY
Appendix no.
D
Modification
no.
2 of 2
Effective
date
September 20, 1993
Modification
type
Change to previous modification to Appendix
Portion of
work
affected
Philadelphia
Description
Labeling of field blanks was changed.

• Replace step 2, under the second bullet of
the "PAINT COLLECTION REMINDERS" with the
following:

2)   Label the empty centrifuge tube using a
     permanent marking pen as a field blank and
     place the marked tube along with others
     collected from the unit undergoing active
     sampling.  The sample receiving personnel
     at the laboratory will assign a unique
     barcode number to field blank samples for
     laboratory processing.  The sample
     receiving personnel at the laboratory will
     also document ID assignments used for the
     field blanks for tracking and reporting
     purposes.           	
                              Dm-5

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               APPENDIX  E

          FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
GENERATION OF TOTAL FIELD SAMPLE WEIGHTS
AND HOMOGENIZATION OF  PAINT CHIP SAMPLES
                   E-l

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E-2

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             GENERATION OF TOTAL FIELD  SAMPLE WEIGHTS
             AND HOMOGENIZATION OF  PAINT  CHIP SAMPLES

1.0  SUMMARY

Paint chip samples (chips,  powder,  etc.)  are weighed and
homogenized to prepare them  for digestion using a subsample of
the original collected sample.  The total weight data is used to
determine the correction factors needed to convert a lead result
obtained from a homogenized subsample to the lead result of the
entire sample collected in the field.  This permits calculation
and reporting of lead data on a rag/cm2 basis under conditions
when the entire sample collected in the field is not digested for
analysis.
2.0  APPARATUS

2.1  Instrumentation

•    Analytical balance; suitable for weighing samples to
     ±0.0001 grams.


2.2  Glassware, and Supplies

•    Resealable plastic centrifuge tubes, 50-mL
•    Plastic rods with flat or round faces for breaking up paint
     chip samples
•    Dry ice


2.3  Reagents

•    ASTM Type I water  (D 1193)


3.1  WEIGHING PROCEDURE

1.    Don a new, clean pair of vinyl gloves.

2.    Label a new, clean centrifuge tube with lid with the sample
     ID number.

3.    Label the lid of the original sample container with the
     sample ID number using an indelible marking pen.  Allow the
     ink to dry.
                               E-3

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4.   Wipe off the outside of the paint sample container with a
     clean laboratory paper wipe to remove any foreign material
     or oils.  Using an analytical balance shown to be operating
     within normal calibration specifications,  weigh the sample
     container with lid containing the entire paint sample.
     Record the total paint sample plus container weight (and if
     provided, the area sampled)  in a laboratory data form,
     notebook, or equivalent recording device.

5.   Transfer the remaining paint sample into a new,  clean,
     labeled centrifuge tube by carefully pouring the contents of
     the original sample container into the new tube.   Use a
     clean glass rod to assist in the transfer as needed.   Seal
     the new tube and store for archival use.

6.   Remove any remaining sample powder from the original  sample
     container and lid  (received from the field)  by rinsing with
     ASTM Type I water.  Set the container aside and allow it to
     dry at room temperature.

7.   After the original sample container has completely dried,
     reweigh the container with lid and record the empty
     container weight.

8.   Determine the total field sample weight by subtracting the
     empty container weight from the total paint sample plus
     container weight generated in step 3.
3.2  HOMOGENIZATION PROCEDURE

1.   Don a new, clean pair of vinyl gloves to perform sample
     handling.

2.   Remove any large amounts of substrate that may be present in
     the sample.  Exercise care when removing substrate to avoid
     any paint losses.  Leaving substrate in the sample is
     preferred over paint chip loss.  If required,   use a clean
     safety razor blade or equivalent tool to aid in substrate
     removal.

3.   Immerse the bottom portion of sample container into a
     container containing dry ice.  The depth of the container
     should be sufficient to cover all paint present within the
     sample container.
                               E-4

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4.    Allow the paint chip sample to freeze for a minimum of
     10 min.  Add more dry ice as needed to freeze the paint chip
     sample.

5.    Using a clean plastic rod or other appropriate clean tool,
     breakup the frozen paint chip sample inside the sample
     container into a fine powder.  Samples or sample portions
     that resist homogenization should be noted in laboratory
     records.

6.    After completing breakup of the sample, tap off any powder
     remaining on the tool used for breaking up the paint chips
     back into the sample container.

7.    Seal the container and roll for about a minute or two to mix
     the samples.  Rolling can be done by hand or by using
     automated equipment.
                                E-5

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E-6

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                    APPENDIX F

              FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
PREPARATION OF  PAINT CHIP SAMPLES FOR SUBSEQUENT
        ATOMIC SPECTROMETRY LEAD  ANALYSIS
                        F-l

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F-2

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        PREPARATION OF  PAINT  CHIP  SAMPLES  FOR SUBSEQUENT
                ATOMIC SPECTROMETRY LEAD ANALYSIS

1.0  SUMMARY

Lead in paint chip samples (chips,  powder,  etc.) is solubilized
by extraction with nitric acid and hydrogen peroxide facilitated
by heat after sample homogenization.  The lead content of the
digested sample is then in a form ready for measurement by Atomic
Spectrometry.  This procedure is similar to NIOSH Method 7082.
Modifications have been made to convert this air particulate
method to a method appropriate for processing paint chip samples.
2.0  APPARATUS

2.1  Instrumentation

•    Electric hot plate; suitable for operation at temperatures
     up to at least 100°C as measured by a thermometer inside a
     solution-filled container placed on the surface of the hot
     plate.


2.2  Glassware and Supplies

•    150-mL or 250-mL beakers  (borosilicate glass) equipped with
     watch glass covers
     Class A borosilicate 250-mL volumetric flasks
     Class A borosilicate volumetric pipets; volume as needed
     50-mL or 100-mL linear polyethylene tubes or bottles with
     caps
     Borosilicate or plastic funnels
     Glass rods and appropriate devices for breaking up paint
     chip samples


2.3  Reagents

•    Concentrated nitric acid  (16.0 M HN03) ;  spectrographic grade
     or equivalent
•    Nitric acid, 10%  (v/v):  Add 100-mL concentrated HN03 to
     500 mL ASTM Type  I water and dilute to 1 L
•    Hydrogen peroxide, 30% H202  (w/w);  ACS reagent  grade
•    ASTM Type I water  (D 1193)
                                F-3

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3.0  PROCEDURE

3 .1  WEIGHING OF SUBSAMPLES

For  each homogenized sample, weigh into beakers for sample
digestion as described below:

1.   Weigh a sub-sample of homogenized paint from the contents of
      the sample container into a tared beaker labeled with the
      sample ID.  Weigh approximately 0.5 grams to 0.0001 grams.

 2.    Record the sub-sample weight (and if provided,  the area
      sampled) in a laboratory data form, notebook,  or equivalent
      recording device.


 3.2  SAMPLE DIGESTION

 For each sample weighed into beakers,  plus any QC samples,
 perform digestion as described below:

 1.   Wet the sample with about 2 to 3  mL of water from a squirt
      bottle filled with ASTM Type I water.

 2.   Add 7.5 mL of concentrated HN03 and 2.5  mL 30% H2O2,  and
      cover with a watch glass.

 3.   Gently reflux on a hot plate for about 15 min (See Note 1) .
 4.   Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
      until the sample volume is reduced to about 1 to 2 mL (See
      Note 2) .

 5.   Replace the watch glass and remove the beaker containing
      sample from the hot plate and allow it to cool (See Note 3)

      NOTE 1:   The original NIOSH method called for temperatures
                of 140°C as based on the use of digitally
                programmable hot-plates, which measure the
                temperature on the inside of the hot plate head.
                Temperature drops of 40° to 50°C are not unusual
                between the inside of the hot plate head and the
                temperature actually experienced by the sample
                solution.  The temperatures of sample solution
                should be between 85° to 100°C to prevent
                spattering of the solution.  Monitor solution
                temperature on the hot plate by placing a


                                F-4

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     NOTE 2:
     NOTE 3:
           thermometer in a flask or beaker  filled with  water
           during digestion activities.

           The  original NIOSH method calls for  evaporation
           until  most  of the acid has been evaporated.
           However,  in order to avoid potential losses caused
           by sample splattering at  low  volumes, the method
           has  been  modified to specifically leave some
           solution  remaining in the digestion  vessels.
           Reduction volumes given are approximate and can be
           dependent on the sample size  and  beaker size  used
           for  preparation.   Volumes should  be  reduced to as
           low  a  level as comfortably possible  without
           causing sampling splattering  or complete drying
           out  of the  sample.

           Cooling the sample is performed to avoid potential
           splattering losses and resulting  safety hazards
           caused by addition of reagents to a  partially
           digested  hot sample during subsequent processing
           steps.  Samples do not have to be cooled
           completely  to room temperature for safe further
           processing  of paint chip  samples.  However, the
           operator  must be aware that the potential for
           splattering losses and resulting  safety hazards
           increases with increasing temperature of the
           sample digest.
6.


7.

8.



9.


10.


11.

12.
Add 5 mL of concentrated HNO3
cover with a watch glass.
and 2.5 mL 30% H2O2/ and re-
Gent ly reflux on a hot plate  for  about 15 min  (see Note 1).

Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
until the sample volume is reduced to about 1 to 2 mL  (see
Note 2) .

Replace the watch glass and remove the beaker containing
sample from the hot plate and allow it to cool (see Note 3).

Add 5 mL of concentrated HNO3  and 2.5 mL 30%  H202,  and re-
cover with a watch glass.

Gently reflux on a hot plate  for  about 15 min  (see Note 1).

Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
until the sample volume is reduced to about 1 to 2 mL  (see
Note 2) .
                               F-5

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13.   Replace the watch glass  and remove  the beaker containing
     sample from the hot plate  and allow it to cool (see Note 3) .

14.   Rinse the watch glass  and  beaker walls with 3 to 5 mL of 10%
     HNO3  into  the beaker.

15.   Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
     until the sample volume  is reduced  to about 1 to 2 mL (see
     Note 2).

16.   Replace the watch glass  and cool to room temperature.

17.   Add 1 mL concentrate HN03  to the residue;  swirl to dissolve
     soluble species.

18.   Use a wash bottle filled with ASTM  Type I water,  rinse the
     beaker walls and underside of the watch glass with Type I
     water into the beaker.

19.   Quantitatively transfer  the digested sample into a 250-mL
     volumetric flask using several rinses with ASTM Type I water
     (see Note 4) .   A plastic or glass funnel should be used to
     avoid spillage during  transfer from the beaker to the
     volumetric flask.

20.   Dilute to volume with  ASTM Type I water and mix thoroughly.
     The sample digest contains approximately 1% (v/v)  HNO3.

21.   Portions used for analysis must be  filtered or centrifuged
     prior to instrumental  measurement to remove undissolved
     material.  Instrumental  measurement should be performed
     using calibration standards that are matched to the same
     approximate acid levels  as those in sample digest aliquot
     analyzed for analyte content.

     NOTE 4:   Due to potential losses during filtration, it is
               recommended  to filter samples after dilution to
               final volume.  Additional volume consumed by
               undissolved  material will not cause any
               significant  bias.
                               F-6

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                      APPENDIX G

                 FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
      STANDARD TEST PROTOCOL FOR THE  ANALYSIS  OF
             DIGESTED SAMPLES FOR  LEAD  BY
      INDUCTIVELY COUPLED PLASMA-ATOMIC EMISSION
                SPECTROSCOPY (ICP-AES),
          FLAME ATOMIC ABSORPTION  (FAAS),  OR
GRAPHITE FURNACE ATOMIC ABSORPTION (GFAAS) TECHNIQUES
                          G-l

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G-2

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             STANDARD  TEST  PROTOCOL  FOR THE ANALYSIS
                       OF DIGESTED SAMPLES
                           FOR LEAD BY
            INDUCTIVELY COUPLED PLASMA-ATOMIC  EMISSION
                     SPECTROSCOPY (ICP-AES),
                FLAME  ATOMIC ABSORPTION (FAAS),  OR
      GRAPHITE FURNACE ATOMIC ABSORPTION (GFAAS) TECHNIQUES
1.0  SUMMARY

A sample digestate is analyzed for Lead content using  ICP-AES,
Flame-AAS, or Graphite Furnace-AAS techniques.  Instrumental
Quality Control samples are analyzed along with sample digestates
to assure adequate instrumental performance.  This procedure is
similar to SW-846 Method 6010.  It is equivalent to the draft
procedure currently under consideration in ASTM Subcommittee
E06.23.
2 .0  DEFINITIONS

2.1  Digestion - The sample preparation process which will
     solubilize targeted analytes present in the sample and
     results in an acidified aqueous solution called the
     digestate.

2.2  Digestate - An acidified aqueous solution which results
     from performing sample preparation  (digestion)
     activities.  Lead measurements are made using this
     solution.

2.3  Batch - A group of field with QC samples which are
     processed together using the same reagents and
     equipment.

2.4  Serial Dilution -  A method of producing a less
     concentrated solution through one or more consecutive
     dilution steps.  Dilution step for a standard or sample
     is performed by volumetrically placing a small aliquot
     of a higher concentrated solution into a volumetric
     flask and diluting to volume with water containing the
     same acid levels as found in original sample
     digestates.

2.5  Method Blank - A digestate which reflects the maximum
     treatment given any one sample within a sample batch
     except that it has no sample initially placed into the


                               G-3

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     digestion vessel (the same reagents and processing
     conditions which are applied to field samples within a
     batch are also applied to the method blank).   Analysis
     results from method blanks provide information on the
     level of potential contamination experienced by samples
     processed within the batch.

2.6  No-Spiked Sample - A portion of a homogenized sample
     which was targeted for addition of analyte but which is
     not fortified with all the target analytes before
     sample preparation.  A method blank serves as a
     no-spike sample in cases where samples cannot be
     uniformly split as described in Section 2.7.   Analysis
     results for this sample is used to correct for native
     analyte levels in the spiked and spiked duplicate
     samples.

2.7  Spiked Sample and Spiked Duplicate Sample - Two
     portions of a homogenized sample which were targeted
     for addition of analyte and are fortified with all the
     target analytes before preparation.  In cases where
     samples cannot be uniformly split  (such as paint chip
     samples taken for Lead per area determinations, a
     method blank can be used in place of the homogenized
     sample split.  Use of a method blank for a spiked
     sample should be referred to as a "spiked method blank"
     or "spiked method blank duplicate."   Analysis results
     for these samples are used to provide information on
     accuracy and precision of the overall analysis process.

2.8  Analysis Run - A period of measurement time on a given
     instrument during which data is calculated from a
     single calibration curve (or single set of curves).
     Re-calibration of a given instrument produces a new
     analysis run.

2.9  Instrumental QC Standards - Solutions analyzed during
     an instrumental analysis run which provide information
     on measurement performance during the instrumental
     analysis portion of the overall Lead measurement
     process.

2.10 Semi-quantitative Screen - An analysis run which is
     performed on highly diluted sample digestates for the
     purpose of determining the approximate analyte level in
     the digest.  This analysis run is generally performed
     without inserting Instrumental QC standards except for
     calibration standards.  Data from this run are used for
                               G-4

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     determining serial dilution requirements for sample
     digestates to keep them within the linear range of the
     instrument .

2.11 Quantitative Analysis - An analysis run on sample
     digestates (or serial dilutions of sample digestates)
     which includes Instrumental QC standards.  Data from
     this run are used to calculate and report final Lead
     analysis results.

2.12 Initial Calibration Blank  (ICB) - A standard solution
     which contains no analyte and is used for initial
     calibration and zeroing instrument response.  The ICB
     must be matrix matched to acid content present in
     sample digestates .  The ICB must be measured during
     calibration and after calibration.  The measured value
     is to be less than five times the instrumental
     detection limit.

2.13 Calibration Standards - Standard solutions used to
     calibrate instrument.    Calibration Standards must be
     matrix matched to acid content present in sample
     digestates and must be measured prior to measuring any
     sample digestates .

2.14 Initial Calibration Verification  (ICV) - A standard
     solution (or set of solutions) used to verify
     calibration standard levels.  Concentration of analyte
     to be near mid-range of linear curve, which is made
     from a stock solution having a different manufacturer
     or manufacturer lot identification than the calibration
     standards.   The ICV must be matrix matched to acid
     content present in sample digestates.  The ICV must be
     measured after calibration and before measuring any
     sample digestates .  The measured value to fall within
          of known value.
2.15 Interference Check Standard  (ICS) - A standard solution
     (or set of solutions) used for ICP-AES to verify
     accurate analyte response in the presence of possible
     spectral interferences from other analytes present in
     samples.  The concentration of analyte to be less than
     25% of the highest calibration standard, concentrations
     of interferant will be 200 ^g/Ml of Al ,  Ca, Fe, and Mg.
     The ICS must be matrix matched to acid content present
     in sample digestates.  The ICS must be analyzed at
     least twice, once before, and once after all sample
                               G-5

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     digestates.  The measured analyte value is expected to
     be within ±20% of known value.

2.16 Continuing Calibration Verification (CCV) - A standard
     solution  (or set of solutions) used to verify freedom
     from excessive instrumental drift.  The concentration
     to be near mid-range of linear curve.   The CCV must be
     matrix matched to acid content present in sample
     digestates.  The CCV must be analyzed before and after
     all sample digestates and at a frequency not less than
     every ten sample digestates.  The measured value to
     fall within ±10% of known value for ICP-AES or FAAS
     (±20% for GFAA), run once for every 10 samples.

2.17 Continuing Calibration Blank  (CCB) -  A standard
     solution which has no analyte and is used to verify
     blank response and freedom from carryover.  The CCB
     must be analyzed after the CCV and after the ICS.  The
     measured value is to be less than five times the
     instrumental detection limit.
3.0  APPARATUS AND MATERIALS

3.1  Analytical Instrumentation

     3.1.1  Inductively Coupled Plasma-Atomic Emission
Spectrometer  (ICP-AES) - Either sequential or simultaneous,
capable of measuring at least one of the primary ICP Lead
emission lines.  Emission line used must be demonstrated to have
freedom from common major interferants such as Al, Ca, Fe, and Mg
or the ability to correct for these interferants.

     3.1.2  Flame Atomic Absorption Spectrometer  (FAAS) -
Equipped with an air-acetylene burner head, Lead hollow cathode
lamp or equivalent, and capable of making Lead absorption
measurements at the 283.3-nm absorption line.

          NOTE: The 283.3-nm line is preferred over the 217-nm
          line because of the increased noise levels commonly
          observed at the 217-nm line for FAAS and GFAAS.

     3.1.3  Graphite Furnace Atomic Absorption Spectrometer
(GFAAS) - Equipped with background correction, Lead hollow
cathode lamp or equivalent and capable of making Lead absorption
measurements at the 283.3-nm absorption line.
                               G-6

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3.2  Gases

     Grades specified by manufacturer of the instrument employed.

     3.2.1  Compressed air and acetylene for FAAS.

     3.2.2  Compressed or liquid argon for ICP-AES and GFAAS.

     3.2.3  Minimum of two-stage regulation of all gases.


3.3  Glassware and Miscellaneous Supplies

     3.3.1  Vinyl gloves, powderless.

     3.3.2  Micro-pipettors with disposable plastic tips, sizes
needed to make reagent additions, and spiking standards.  In
general, the following sizes should be readily available:  1- to
5-mL adjustable, 1,000 fj.li, 500 /zL, 250 /zL, and 100 ^L.

     3.3.3  Volumetric flasks, sizes needed to make, calibration
standards, serial dilutions, and Instrumental QC standards.


4.0  Reagents

     4.1  Nitric acid, concentrated; reagent grade

     4.2  Water—Unless otherwise indicated, references to water
shall be understood to mean reagent water as defined by Type 1 of
Specification D1193  (ASTM Type I Water:  Minimum resistance of
16.67 megohm-cm, or equivalent).

     4.3  Calibration stock solution, 100 ^tg/mL of Pb in dilute
nitric acid or equivalent  (such as a multi-element stock
containing Pb).

     4.4  Check standard stock solution  (for ICV) , 100 /xg/mL of
Pb in dilute nitric acid or equivalent.  Must be sourced from a
different lot number  (or manufacturer) than the Calibration stock
solution  (7.3) .

     4.5  Interferant stock solution  (for ICS; ICP-AES only),
10,000 /zg/mL of Al, Ca, Fe, and Mg in dilute nitric acid or
equivalent.


5.0  PROCEDURE


                               G-7

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     5.1  Laboratory Records—Record all reagent sources (lot
numbers) used for sample preparation in a laboratory notebook.
Record any inadvertent deviations,  unusual happenings,  or
observations on a real-time basis as samples are processed.  Use
these records to add supplement Lead data when reporting results.

     5.2  Instrumental Setup

     5.2.1  FAAS/GFAAS -  Set the FAAS or GFAAS spectrometer up
for the analysis of Lead at 283.3 nm,  according to the
instructions given by the manufacturer.  Be sure to allow at
least a 30-min warmup of the hollow cathode lamp prior to
starting calibration and analysis.

     5.2.2  ICP-AES - Set the ICP spectrometer up for the
analysis of Lead at a primary Lead emission line (such as
220.2 nm), according to the instructions given by the
manufacturer.  Be sure to allow at least a 30-min warmup of the
system prior to starting calibration and analysis.

     5.3  Preparation of Calibration and Instrumental QC
Standards

     5.3.1  Calibration Standards - Prepare a series of
calibration standards covering the linear range of the
instrumentation.  Prepare these standards using serial dilution
from the calibration stock solutions.   Prepare these standards
using the same final nitric acid concentration present in the
sample digestates.  Also prepare an Initial Calibration Blank
(ICB) as defined in Section 3 and Table F-l.

          NOTE: For FAAS/GFAAS prepare a minimum of three
          calibration standards plus the ICB for performing
          calibration of the instrument.  ICP-AES can be
          performed using one high calibration standard and an
          ICB.  However, more are generally preferred.

     5.3.2  Instrumental QC Standards - Prepare Instrumental QC
standards as summarized in Table F-l using serial dilution from
the required stock solutions.  Prepare these standards using the
same final nitric acid concentration present in the sample
digestates.

          NOTE: The ICV is used to assess the accuracy of the
          calibration standards.  Therefore,  it must be made from
          a different original source of stock solution than the
          stock used to make the calibration standards.  Use of a
                               G-8

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          different serial dilution of the same original stock is
          not acceptable.

     5.4  Calibration and Instrumental Measurement - Perform
calibration and quantitative Lead measurement of sample
digestates and instrumental QC samples in the sequential order
outlined in Table F-2.

          NOTE:  Performance of a semi-quantitative screen prior
          to quantitative analysis for sample digests containing
          unknown levels of Lead generally recommended.  The
          purpose of this screen is to determine serial dilution
          requirements of each digestate needed to keep the
          instrumental response within the calibration curve.
          During a semi-quantitative screen all digestates are
          diluted to a constant large value (l-to-100 for
          ICP/FAAS and l-to-1000 for GFAAS).   The instrument is
          calibrated and diluted digestates are analyzed without
          inserting the instrumental QC used for a Quantitative
          analysis run.  Data from this screen are reviewed to
          calculate the optimum serial dilution needed for each
          digestate.  No sample data can be reported for any
          analvte value not falling within the calibration range.
          Therefore, the optimum dilution is one which achieves
          the maximum Lead response which is still within the
          calibration curve.  For ICP-AES, levels of possible
          interferants (Al, Ca, Fe, and Mg) also may have to be
          considered in order to make interference corrections.
          For ICP-AES, digestates must be sufficiently diluted to
          assure that levels of possible interferants such as Al,
          Ca, Fe, and Mg are at or below the levels present in
          the ICS.

     5.5  Instrumental QC Evaluation and Corrective Action -
Examine the data generated from the analysis of calibration
standards and Instrumental QC standards.  Evaluate the analysis
run using the criteria shown in Table F-l.  Failure to achieve
the specifications shown in Table F-l will require corrective
action to be performed as described below:

     5.5.1  ICB, Calibration Standards, or ICV - Failure to meet
specifications for these Instrumental QC standards requires
complete re-calibration.   Sample digestates cannot be measured
under these conditions.  It is recommended that standards be re-
prepared prior to re-calibration.

     5.5.2  High Calibration Standard Re-run - Failure to meet
specifications for this Instrumental QC standard requires


                               G-9

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complete re-calibration.  Sample digestates cannot be measured
under these conditions.  It is recommended that standard range be
reduced prior to re-calibration.

     5.5.3  ICS - Failure to meet specifications for these
Instrumental QC standards requires reanalysis of the standard
until specifications are met.  Sample digestates cannot be
measured under these conditions.  Re-preparation of the standard
prior to reanalysis is recommended under these conditions.
Continued failure of the ICS may require interference correction
investigation or changing of instrument parameters.  Consult the
manufacturer's recommendations under these conditions.  Any
change in instrument parameters must be accompanied by re-
calibration.  If measured aliquots of sample digestates can be
shown not to contain interferants as high as those recommended
for the ICS making, then the interference levels in the ICS can
be lowered.  Such changes must be documented in laboratory
records with data supporting the justification for the change.
All measurements on sample digests must be bracketed by an ICS
which meets specifications (called a "passing" ICS) .  Failure to
meet specifications on the ICS run after the sample digestates
requires rerunning of all sample digestates since the last
passing ICS was measured.  Since the ICS only is required to be
analyzed twice, much data could be lost if the analytical run
were long and the second ICS failed specifications.  This is good
reason for including periodic analysis of the ICS as shown in
Table F-2.

     5.5.4  CCV - Failure to meet specifications for these
Instrumental QC standards indicates excessive instrumental drift.
Sample digestates cannot be measured under these conditions and
any sample digestates measured since the last passing CCV must be
reanalyzed.  This situation requires either reanalysis of the
standard until specifications are met or re-calibration.  All
measurements on sample digests must be bracketed by an CCV which
meets specifications.

     5.5.5  CCB - Failure to meet specifications for these
Instrumental QC standards indicates the presence of possible
instrumental carryover or baseline shift.  Such a failure will
have the most impact on sample digestates at the lower end of the
calibration curve.  The first corrective action is to reanalyze
the CCB.  If the CCB passes,  then the rinse time between the
samples should be increased and the analysis continued.  If the
instrument response is still elevated and has not significantly
changed, then the instrument can be re-zeroed followed by a
CCV-CCB and reanalysis of all samples since the last passing CCB
which are within 5 times the response of the failed CCB.


                               G-10

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6.0  CALCULATIONS

For FAAS/GFAAS :  Prepare a calibration curve to convert
instrument response  (absorbance) to concentration  (/xg/mL) using a
linear regression fit.  Convert all instrumental measurements on
instrumental QC standards and sample digests to Lead
concentration  (£tg/mL) using the calibration curve.

     NOTE:  Some instruments will automatically prepare a
     calibration curve based on a linear regression fit.

For ICP-AES: All modern ICPs automatically prepare a calibration
curve to convert instrumental responses  (emission intensity) to
concentration
                               G-ll

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TABLE G-l. SUMMARY OF LABORATORY INSTRUMENTAL MEASUREMENT  QC STANDARDS
 Name
                Use
                    Specification
  ICB  -
  Initial
  Calibration
  Blank
Used for initial
calibration and
zeroing
instrument
response.
Calibration Standard which contains no
lead.
Must be measured during calibration and
after calibration.
Measured value to be less than 5 times
the IDL.
  Calibration
  Standards
Used to Calibrate
instrument.

The high standard
re-run is used to
check for
response
linearity.
Acid content must be approximately the
same as that in the sample digests.
Must be measured prior to measuring any
sample digests.
Correlation Coefficient of ^0.995, as
measured using linear regression on
instrument response(y) versus
concentration(x).
The highest level Calibration standard
must be measured after calibration. The
measured value to fall within ,+10% of
known value.
  ICV -
  Initial
  Calibration
  Verification
Used to verify
calibration
standard levels.
Concentration of lead to be near the
middle of calibration curve. It is made
from a stock solution having a different
manufacturer or manufacturer lot
identification than the calibration
standards.
Must be measured after calibration and
before measuring any sample digests.
Measured value to fall within +.10% of
known value.
  ICS -
  Interference
  Check
  Standard
Used to verify
accurate lead
response in the
presence of
possible spectral
interferences
from other
analytes present
in samples.	
Concentration of lead to be less  than
25% of the highest calibration  standard,
concentrations of interferant are 200
fig/mL of Al, Ca, Fe, and Mg.
Must be analyzed at least twice,  once
before and once after all sample
digestates.
Measured lead value to fall within ±20%
of known value.
  CCV -
  Continuing
  Calibration
  Verification
Used to verify
freedom from
excessive
instrumental
drift.
Concentration to be near  the middle of
the calibration curve.
Must be analyzed before and after all
sample digestates and at  a frequency not
less than once every ten  samples.
Measured value to fall within  ±10% of
known value.
  CCB -
  Continuing
  Calibration
  Blank
Used to verify
blank response
and freedom from
carryover.
Calibration Standard which  contains no
lead.
Must be analyzed after each CCV and each
ICS.
Measured value to be less than 5 times
the instrumental detection  limit.
                                     G-12

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TABLE G-2. EXAMPLE OF A TYPICAL ANALYSIS ORDER FOR MEASUREMENT
Run Order No.
(relative)
l
2-4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Sample ID
ICB
low, med,
high
ICB
ICV
high
standard
CCB
ICS
CCB
CCV
CCB
Comments
Calibration Blank
Calibration Standards
Calibration Blank
made from different stock,
level is near mid-point of
curve
Calibration Standard
Same as Calibration Blank
Interference Check Standard
Carryover Check
Drift Check, same as near
midpoint calibration standard
Carryover check
Instrument
Calibration
Calibration
Verification
Linearity
Check
Interferant
check for
ICP only
Continuing
Calibration
Verification
*** start repeating cycle of samples -Instrumental QC here ***
13-22
23-24
25-34
35-36
37-38
Sample IDs
CCV
CCB
Sample IDs
ICS
CCB
CCV
CCB
Sample digestates
Drift Check +
Carryover Check
Sample digestates
Interferant Check +
Carryover Check
Drift Check +
Carryover Check
Max. of 10
samples
See run
# 11-12
Max. of 10
samples
See run
# 9-10
See run
# 11-12
*** end repeating cycle of samples-QC standards here ***
G-13

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                          APPENDIX H

                    FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
PROTOCOL FOR PACKAGING AND SHIPPING OF SAMPLES FROM THE FIELD
                             H-l

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H-2

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         PROTOCOL FOR  PACKAGING AND SHIPPING OF SAMPLES
1.0  INTRODUCTION

Collection and analysis of paint chip samples as specified by the
QAPjP will require packaging and shipping of samples from
sampling sites.  The field team will be responsible for packaging
and shipping the samples from each sampling site to the Sample
Custodian at MRI.   The following are protocols for packaging and
shipping samples from the field.
2.0  SAMPLE PACKAGING PROTOCOL

The field team is responsible for preparing the samples for
shipment back to MRI.   Samples that are collected will be shipped
on a routine basis by the acting field supervisor.  The same
shipping container that was used to ship sample collection
containers to the field will generally be used to ship them back
to MRI.  All sampling materials will be packaged in accordance
with Department of Transportation  (DOT) regulations.  The field
team will include copies of the field sampling forms with the
samples to identify the contents of the shipping containers.  The
original field sampling forms will be held by the field
supervisor and, ultimately, hand carried to MRI.  Do not send
original copies of sample data forms or other important records
with the samples.
3.0  SAMPLE SHIPPING METHODS

All samples will be shipped to MRI via Federal Express Economy
Distribution Service in accordance with DOT shipping regulations.
The MRI field team will be responsible for making the shipping
arrangement with the local Federal Express office.  Pre-printed
Federal Express Air Bills can be obtained from the MRI Shipping
and Receiving Department.  All Federal Express shipments will use
the standard Federal Express Air Bill.  For further details,
consult with MRI's S & R Department.
                               H-3

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H-4

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                   APPENDIX  I

              FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
    GLASSWARE/PLASTICWARE  CLEANING PROCEDURE
INFORMATION NOT PRESENT  :  PROPRIETARY  INFORMATION
                       1-1

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                    APPENDIX J

              FULL STUDY PROTOCOLS:
          ACID BATH CLEANING  PROCEDURES
INFORMATION NOT PRESENT  : PROPRIETARY  INFORMATION
                        J-l

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                  APPENDIX AA

             PILOT STUDY PROTOCOLS:
SELECTION OF MEASUREMENT AND SAMPLING  LOCATIONS
                      AA-1

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AA-2

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         SELECTION OF MEASUREMENT AND SAMPLING LOCATIONS

1.0  INITIAL SURVEY

Selection of interior and exterior sampling sites will be made
from as many painted substrate types as can be found in the test
structure (wood, plaster, drywall, brick, steel, masonry).

The field team Leader (field statistician, provided by David C.
Cox & Associates) will be responsible for drawing a rough floor
plan of the targeted structure, selecting and marking the
sampling locations within the structure, indicating the sampling
locations on the floor plan, making a backup copy of the floor
plan, and posting the floor plan for use by other field crew
personnel.

The field team Leader will be responsible for drawing a rough
plan of the exterior of the structure, selecting and marking
exterior sampling locations, indicating the exterior sampling
locations on the drawings, making a backup copy of the drawings,
and posting the exterior drawings for use by other field crew
personnel.  The David C. Cox & Associates field team Leader will
also assist the MRI supervisor during the course of the field
sampling efforts.

Sampling locations corresponding to those portrayed on the
drawings will be outlined on the sampling location with marking
pen.  A typical testing location will be a rectangle
approximately 4 inches high by 14 inches long as shown in Figure
A-l.  The rectangle will be divided into 2 squares approximately
4 inches by 4 inches, and 6 rectangles approximately 4 inches
high by 1 inch wide.  The field team Leader will mark one of the
4-inch squares with an "X" for use in XRF paint surface
measurements, and the other 4-inch square with an "L" for use in
side by side paint chip collection.  In addition, the "L" square
will be subdivided into 4 smaller squares.  Two of these squares
will be marked with arrows to denote sub-squares to be sampled.
The 6 smaller rectangles will be marked with an "S" to designate
use for test-kit sampling.  For components where a. 4" x 14"
rectangle cannot be obtained, the field statistician will
exercise judgement in defining a comparable sampling area.   Wood
trim/baseboard/mantles,  brickwork, metal trim and beams, and
other such narrow, or otherwise irregular surfaces must be marked
for sampling on a case-by-case basis.
                              AA-3

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             Appro x. 14"
                                                                       Approx.
                                                                         4"
Testing Location
S = Spot Test Kit Location

X = XRF Testing Location

L = Paint Chip Samples
    (arrows denote subsquares to be sampled)

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The field team Leader will be responsible for attaching the
correct bar-code set corresponding to each location.   The bar
codes will be removed by the various samplers and applied to the
individual's test results data form at the time the test is
performed.  The team Leader will attempt to numerically order the
sampling locations so that all locations with the same substrate
material will be tested sequentially by the XRF instruments.  The
order in which the substrates are tested in the pilot will be:
wood, drywall, plaster, concrete, and metal.  This ensures that
denser substrates will be tested towards the end of the day in
order to minimize operational problems with the XRF instruments.
Test kit operators will follow a staggered starting sequence so
that the 6 kits will not always be tested in the same order.
                               AA-5

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             APPENDIX BB

        PILOT STUDY PROTOCOLS:
MEASUREMENT  PROTOCOLS FOR XRF TESTING
                 BB-1

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              MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS FOR XRF TESTING
1.0  SUMMARY

This document describes the standard protocol for collecting XRF
measurement data on painted surfaces and corresponding substrate
surfaces.  This standard also includes instructions for recording
the measurements,  making QC checks and data release requirements
for two different classes of instruments:  Direct Readers and
Spectrum Analyzers.
2.0  MATERIALS AND EQUIPMENT

    •   Portable field XRF instrument with any extra required
        supporting equipment.   (To be provided by XRF
        contractor.)
    •   One set of NIST paint  films (SRM 2579) ; contains 5 films
        of different  Lead levels.   (To be provided by XRF
        contractor.)
    •   Reporting forms;  see attached. (To be provided by MRI.)
    •   Dosimeter Badges;  one  for  each XRF operator and one for
        each individual working within the same unit where XRF
        testing takes place.   (Operator badge to be provided by
        XRF contractor,   MRI will  provide any other needed
        badges).
    •   Adhesive labels or barcode labels for identifying
        samples.  (To be provided  by MRI, will be available at
        each sampling location.)
    •   Waterproof (indelible)  permanent marking pen. (To be
        provided by MRI,  will  be available at site.)
    •   Watch, clock  or other  equivalent timepiece.  (Each member
        in the field  will  be required to have a timepiece for
        reporting the sampling times on the data forms.)
    •   Sling Psychrometer;  or equivalent for room temperature
        and relative  humidity  measurements. (To be provided by
        MRI,  will be  available at  site.)
    •   Pre-moistened wipes for cleaning of tools or hands. (To
        be provided by MRI,  will be available at site.)
    •   QC test blocks,  each approximately 4"x4", loaded on
        wheeled type  carrier;  thicknesses are approximate: 3/4"
        wood (pine) ,  2"  concrete (with aggregate),  1/2"  sheet
        rock,  20-25 gauge  metal, 1" plaster and 12" thick
        styrofoam block.  (To be provided and numbered by MRI,
        will  be available  at site.)
                              BB-2

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    •   One 12" thick styrofoam block for holding QC test blocks
        under measurement. (To be provided and numbered by MRI,
        will be available at site.)

3.0  MEASUREMENT PROCEDURES FOR DIRECT READERS

3.1  BEGINNING OF EACH DAY ON SITE PROCEDURES

At the beginning of the sampling day at a given site, perform
whatever tests and instrument checks are required by the
manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking Lead
measurements.  In addition, perform the initial drift check
determinations procedure as described in Section 3.4.1.


3.2  PROCEDURE FOR NORMAL MEASUREMENTS AT EACH SAMPLING LOCATION

At each sampling location perform the following steps:

1.   For each new "XRF DATA-DIRECT READERS" form needed (see
    attached), complete the header of the form.

2.   Record the sampling location/identification  (ID) on an open
    line of the form.  Use barcode labels corresponding to the
    specific sampling location whenever possible.  These barcode
    labels should be present in close proximity to the sampling
    location marked by the field team leader  (see Note 1) .

3.   Perform whatever normal instrument checks are required by the
    manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking
    Lead measurements.

4.   Perform 3 read cycles each on two surfaces as follows:

    •   Perform 3 read cycles on the painted surface at the
        sampling location.  Record each read cycle on the "XRF
        DATA-DIRECT READERS" form along with the other
        information requested on the form.

    •   Perform 3 read cycles on the exposed substrate surface
        covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard film  (red) at
        the sampling location.  Record each read cycle on the
        "XRF DATA-DIRECT READERS" form along with the other
        information requested on the form.
                               BB-3

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    IF the exposed substrate is concrete,

    THEN perform 3 additional read cycles  on the exposed
    substrate as follows:

    •   Perform 3 read cycles on the exposed substrate surface
        covered with the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST  standard film at the
        sampling location.  Record each read cycle on the "XRF
        DATA-DIRECT READERS" form along with the other informa-
        tion requested on the form.

    NOTE:   The sampling location will be  marked in advance by
            the field team leader using a  dark colored marking
            pen.  The marking will be in the form of squares and
            rectangles with letters.  The  painted surface
            location to be used for XRF measurements will be
            indicated with an "X" placed adjacent to a large
            square or rectangle.   The exposed substrate surface
            location to be used for XRF measurements will be the
            largest exposed area present at the sampling
            location.

5.   Special location requirements:

    IF, during testing activities, the following conditions
exist:

    •   The location is marked as a "SPECIAL" location;

    THEN perform the SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS  as described in the
    Section 3.3

6.   Continuing QC drift check requirements:

    IF, during testing activities, the following conditions
exist:

    •   The surface substrate is of a different type than the
        previous location.

    THEN perform the CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS as described in the
    Section 3.4.2
                              BB-4

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7.   End of day QC drift check requirements:

    IF, during testing activities, the following conditions
exist:

    •   All surfaces to be measured in a given day have been
        completed (end of sampling day);

    THEN perform the END OF DAY DRIFT CHECKS as described in the
    Section 3.4.1

8.   QC variability check requirements:

    IF, during testing activities, the following conditions
exist:

    •   The surface substrate is of a different type than the
        previous location;

    THEN perform a QC VARIABILITY CHECK as described in the
    Section 3.5
3.3  PROCEDURE FOR SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS AT SPECIFIC SAMPLING
LOCATIONS

At specially marked sampling locations perform the following
steps:

1.  For each new "XRF DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-DIRECT READERS"
    form needed (see attached), complete the header of the form.

2.  Record the sampling location/identification  (ID) on an open
    line of the form.  Use barcode labels corresponding to the
    specific sampling location when ever possible.  These barcode
    labels should be present in close proximity to the sampling
    location marked by the field team leader.

3.  Perform what ever normal instrument checks are required by
    the manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for
    taking Lead measurements.

4.  Perform 4 read cycles each on two surfaces  (total of 8
    readings) as follows:

    •   Perform 4 read cycles on the painted surface at the
        sampling location. Record each read cycle on the "XRF
                               BE-5

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        DATA SPECIAL LOCATIONS-DIRECT READERS" form along with
        the other information requested on the form.

    •   Perform 4 read cycles on the exposed substrate surface
        covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard film  (red) at
        the sampling location.  Record each read cycle on the
        "XRF DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-DIRECT READERS" form along
        with the other information requested on the form.

IF the exposed substrate is concrete,

    THEN perform 4 additional read cycles on the exposed
    substrate as follows:

    •   Perform 4 read cycles on the exposed substrate surface
        covered with the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST standard film at the
        sampling location.  Record each read cycle on the "XRF
        DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-DIRECT READERS" form along with
        the other information requested on the form.

    NOTE:   The special sampling locations will be marked in
            advance by the field team leader using a dark colored
            marking pen.  The word "SPECIAL" in addition to
            squares and rectangles will be present at the
            location.
3.4  QC DRIFT CHECK PROCEDURES

3.4.1  INITIAL AND END OF DAY DRIFT CHECK DETERMINATIONS

At the beginning and end of sampling day, the instrument response
on several test surfaces must be determined for use as a
reference point to monitor instrumental drift.  Make this
determination as described below:

1.  Complete the header of a new "XRF QC DATA: INITIAL\END DRIFT
    CHECK-DIRECT READERS" form.

2.  Perform and record room temperature and humidity measurements
    in the same general vicinity as intended for the first
    sampling location.

3.  Determine the reading of the XRF instrument for a NIST
    standard film placed on each of six test blocks as described
    below:
                              BB-6

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    Perform 9 read cycles on each test block  (total of 54
    readings) as follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick  (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film  (red) on the block.  Perform 3 sets of 3
        read cycles each down through the film and record each
        reading on the  "XRF QC DATA: INITIAL\END DRIFT CHECK-
        DIRECT READERS" form.

    Perform 9 additional read cycles on the concrete test block
    as follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick  (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film on the block.  Perform 3 sets of 3 read
        cycles each down through the film and record each reading
        on the "XRF QC  DATA: INITIAL\END DRIFT CHECK-DIRECT
        READERS" form.

3.4.2  CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS PROCEDURES

Perform continuing drift checks as described below:

1.  For each new "XRF QC DATA: CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS-DIRECT
    READERS" form needed, complete the header of the form.

2.  Perform and record  room temperature and humidity measurements
    in the same general vicinity as intended for the first
    sampling location.

3.  Determine the reading of the XRF instrument for a NIST
    standard film placed on one test block as described below:

    Use the test block  that represents the closest match to the
    new sample location.  Perform 3 read cycles on the selected
    test block as follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick  (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film  (red) on the block.  Perform 3 read cycles
        down through the film and record each reading on the "XRF
        QC DATA: CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS-DIRECT READERS" form.
                               BB-7

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    IF the selected test block is concrete,

    THEN perform 3 additional read cycles on the test block as
    follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick  (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.   Place the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film on the block.   Perform 3 read cycles down
        through the film and record each reading on the "XRF QC
        DATA: CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS-DIRECT READERS" form.
3.5  QC VARIABILITY CHECK PROCEDURES

Perform a QC VARIABILITY CHECK as follows:

1.  Repeat the normal testing measurements  at each location as
    described in section 3.2 step 4. five more times for a total
    of 6 separate Lead tests on both the painted and substrate
    surfaces at that location.

    Record the data on the "XRF DATA-DIRECT READERS" form by
    using the open lines directly below (in sequence) the
    original test data for that sampling location.  Fill in the
    "Location ID" using a pen (use arrow or ") to indicate the
    same ID number as above whenever possible (avoid using up
    barcode labels for the QC variability checks).

    Mark the "Comments" column with a "QC-VC" to indicate that
    the data on that line is a QC variability check for the
    location.
4.0  MEASUREMENT PROCEDURES FOR SPECTRUM ANALYZERS

4.1  BEGINNING OF EACH DAY ON SITE PROCEDURES

At the beginning of the sampling day at a given site, perform
whatever tests and instrument checks are required by the
manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking Lead
measurements.  In addition,  perform the initial drift check
determinations procedure as described in Section 4.4.1.
                              BB-8

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4.2  PROCEDURE FOR NORMAL MEASUREMENTS AT EACH SAMPLING LOCATION

At each sampling location perform the following steps:

1.  For each new "XRF DATA-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form needed (see
    attached),  complete the header of the form.

2.  Record the sampling location/identification  (ID) on an open
    line of the form.  Use barcode labels corresponding to the
    specific sampling location whenever possible.  These barcode
    labels should be present in close proximity to the sampling
    location marked by the field team leader.

3.  Perform whatever normal instrument checks are required by the
    manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking
    Lead measurements.

4.  Perform 1 measurement each on two surfaces  (total of 2
    measurements) as follows:

    •   Perform 1 test mode reading on the painted surface at the
        sampling location.  Record the data on the  "XRF DATA-
        SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form along with the other information
        requested on the form.

    •   Perform 1 test mode reading on the exposed substrate
        surface covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard film
         (red) at the sampling location.  Record the data on the
        "XRF DATA-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form along with the other
        information requested on the form.

    IF the exposed substrate is concrete.

    THEN perform 1 additional reading on the exposed  substrate as
    follows:

    •   Perform 1 test mode reading on the exposed  substrate
        surface covered with the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST standard film
        at the sampling location.  Record the  data  on the "XRF
        DATA-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form along with the  other
        information requested on the form.

    NOTE:    The sampling location will be marked in advance by
             the field team leader using a dark colored marking
             pen.  The marking will be in the  form of  squares  and
             rectangles with letters.  The painted surface
             location to be used for XRF measurements  will be
             indicated with an  "X" placed adjacent to  a large


                               BB-9

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            square or rectangle.   The exposed substrate surface
            location to be used for XRF measurements will be the
            largest exposed area present at the sampling
            location.

5 .   Special Location requirements:

    IF,  during testing activities, the following conditions
    exist:

    •   The location is marked as a "SPECIAL" location;

    THEN perform the SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS as described in the
    Section 4.3

6.   Continuing QC Drift Check requirements:

    IF,  during testing activities, the following conditions
    exist:

    •   The surface substrate is of a different type than the
        previous location.

    THEN perform the CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS as described in the
    Section 4.4.2

7.   End of Day QC Drift Check requirements:

    IF,  during testing activities, the following conditions
    exist:

    •   All surfaces to be measured in a given day have been
        completed (end of sampling day) ;

    THEN perform the END OF DAY DRIFT CHECKS as described in the
    Section 4.4.1

8.   QC Variability Check requirements:

    IF,  during testing activities, the following conditions
    exist:

    •   The surface substrate is of a different type than the
        previous location;

    THEN perform a QC VARIABILITY CHECK as described in the
    Section 4.5
                              BB-10

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4.3 PROCEDURE FOR SPECIAL MEASUREMENTS AT SPECIFIC SAMPLING
    LOCATIONS

At each sampling location perform the following steps:

1.  For each new "XRF DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS"
    form needed  (see attached),  complete the header of the form.

2.  Record the sampling location/identification (ID)  on an open
    line of the form.  Use barcode labels corresponding to the
    specific sampling location whenever possible.   These barcode
    labels should be present in close proximity to the sampling
    location marked by the field team leader.

3.  Perform whatever normal instrument checks are required by the
    manufacturer of the XRF to prepare the instrument for taking
    Lead measurements.

4.  Perform 3 measurements each on two surfaces (total of 6
    measurements) as follows:

    •   Perform 3 test mode readings on the painted surface at
        the sampling location.  Record each reading on the "XRF
        DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form along
        with the other information requested on the form.

    •   Perform 3 test mode readings on the exposed substrate
        surface covered with the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST standard film
        (red) at the sampling location.  Record each reading on
        the "XRF DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form
        along with the other information requested on the form.

    IF the exposed substrate is concrete,

    THEN perform 3 additional measurements on the exposed
    substrate as follows:

    •   Perform 3 test mode readings on the exposed substrate
        surface covered with the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST standard film
        at the sampling location.  Record each reading on the
        "XRF DATA, SPECIAL LOCATIONS-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form
        along with the other information requested on the form.

    NOTE:   The special sampling locations will be marked in
            advance by the field team leader using a dark colored
            marking pen.  The word "SPECIAL" in addition to
            squares and rectangles will be present at the
            location.


                              BB-11

-------
4.4  QC DRIFT CHECK PROCEDURES

4.4.1  INITIAL AND END OF DAY DRIFT CHECK DETERMINATIONS

At the beginning and end of sampling day,  the instrument
response on several test surfaces must be determined for use as a
reference point to monitor instrumental drift.  Make this
determination as described below:

1.  Complete the header of a new "XRF QC DATA: INITIAL\END DRIFT
    CHECK-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form.

2.  Perform and record room temperature and humidity measurements
    in the same general vicinity as intended for the first
    sampling location.

3.  Determine the reading of the XRF instrument for a NIST
    standard film placed on each of five test blocks as described
    below:

    Perform 3 measurements on each test block  (total of 15
    readings) as follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film (red) on the block.  Perform 3 test mode
        readings down through the film and record each reading on
        the "XRF QC DATA: INITIAL\END DRIFT CHECK-SPECTRUM
        ANALYZERS" form.

    Perform 3 additional measurements on the concrete test block
    as follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film on the block.  Perform 3 test mode reads
        down through the film and record each reading on the "XRF
        QC DATA: INITIAL\END DRIFT CHECK-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS"
        form.
4.4.2  CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS PROCEDURES

Perform continuing drift checks as described below:

1.  For each new "XRF QC DATA: CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS-SPECTRUM
    ANALYZERS" form needed,  complete the header of the form.


                              BB-12

-------
2.   Perform and record room temperature and humidity measurements
    in the same general vicinity as intended for the first
    sampling location.

3.   Determine the reading of the XRF instrument for a NIST
    standard film placed on one test block as described below:

    Use the test block that represents the closest match to the
    new sample location.  Perform 1 measurements on the selected
    test block as follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 1.02 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film  (red) on the block.  Perform 1 test mode
        reading down through the film and record the data on the
        "XRF QC DATA: CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS"
        form.

    IF the selected test block is concrete,

    THEN perform 1 additional measurement on the test block as
    follows:

    •   Place the QC test block on a 12" thick (nominal
        thickness) styrofoam block.  Place the 3.53 mg/cm2 NIST
        standard film on the block.  Perform 1 test mode reading
        down through the film and record the data on the "XRF QC
        DATA: CONTINUING DRIFT CHECKS-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form.

4.5  QC VARIABILITY CHECK PROCEDURES

Perform a QC VARIABILITY CHECK as follows:

1.   Repeat the normal testing measurements at each location as
    described in section 4.2 step 4. five more times for a total
    of 6 separate Lead tests on both the painted and substrate
    surfaces at that location.

    Record the data on the "XRF DATA-SPECTRUM ANALYZERS" form by
    using the open lines directly below  (in sequence) the
    original test data for that sampling location.  Fill in the
    "Location ID" using a pen (use arrow or ") to indicate the
    same ID number as above whenever possible  (avoid using up
    barcode labels for the QC variability checks).

    Mark the "Comments" column with a "QC-VC" to indicate that
    the data on that line is a QC variability check for the
    location.

                              BB-13

-------
XRF Data - Spectrum Analyzers
Date House No.
Field Sampler (printed nai
Manufacturer
ne)

Model No.
Source Type Source SN
Surface Types: P=Plaster, S=Wall Board, W=
Location ID
(Barcode)






Surface
Type






(•Surface
Flat?(Y/N)






=Wood, B=Brick, C=Cc
Time of
Meaiurement






Sampling
Time (Sec)
60
60
60
60
60
60
Field £
Serial No.
Detector 7
increte, M=
Paint Surface
Reading*






Jampler (signature)
Vpe
Metal
NIST Std.
Film Uted






Substrate + NIST
Readings






F
Batter
Detec
NIST Std.
Film Uted






>aqe of

V Info
torSN

Substrate + NIST
Readings






Comments







-------
XRF QC Data: Initial/End Drift Check - Spectrum Analyzers
Date Site Initial Temp. End Temp. Initial RH End RH
Field Sampler (printed narr
Manufacturer
ie) Field Sampler (signature)
Model No. Serial No.
Source Type Source SN Detector Type
Battery Info
Detector SN
Test Block Type: S=Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete, M=Metal
Time of
Measurement






Test Block
Type






Sampling
Time (Sec)
60
60
60
60
60
60
NISTStd.
Film Used






Beginning of Day Readings
Set
1






Set
2






Set
3






End of Day Readings
Set
1






Set
2






Set
3






Comments






03-5 SEV dewalt Irm 4 030593

-------
XRF QC Data: Continuing Drift Check - Spectrum Analyzers
Date Site
Field Sampler (printed narr
Manufacturer
ie)
Model No.
Source Type Source SN
Test Block Type: S=Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete,
Tlmeof
Measurement





Test Block
; Typo





Sampling
Time (Sec)
60
60
60
60
60
NISTStd.
Him Used





Readings





Temperature





Field Sampler (sianature)
Serial
Detect
M=Melal
Relative
Humtdty





No. Battery Info
or Type Detector SN

Comments





93-5 SEV Aswan Irm B 031193

-------
Date House
Field Sampler (printed name)
Manufacturer
XRF Data - Direct Readers
No.
Paae of

Field Sampler (signature)
Model No. Serial No.
Source Type Source SN
Battery Info
Detector Type Detector SN
Surface Types: P=Plaster, S=Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete, M=Metal
Location ID
(Barcode)






Surface
Type






It Surface
Flat? (Y/N)






Time of
Measurement






Sampling
Time (Sec)
15
15
15
15
15
15
Paint Surface
Readings


















NIST Std.
.Film Used






Substrate + NIST
Readings


















NIST Std.
Rim Used






Substrate 4 NIST
Readings


















Comments






93-5 SEV dewsN Irm 1 030593

-------
XRF QC Data: Initial/End Dri
Date Site Initial Temp.
Field Sampler (printed name) F
Manufacturer
Model No. Serfs
Source Type Source SN Dete
Test Block Type: S-Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete, M=MeI
Time of
Measurement






Test Block
;.;.Typ«jy;;.






Sampling
Time (Sec)
15
15
15
15
15
15
NISTStd.
Film Used






Beginning of Day Readings
Set


















Set
2


















Set
3


















ft Check
End Temp
;ield Samp
ilNo.
ctor Type
al
; - Direct Readers
>. Initial RH End RH
tier (signal
ure)
Battery Info
Detector SN

End of Day Readings
Set
1


















Set
2


















Set
3


















Comments






£3-5 SEV dewall Irm 3 030593

-------
XRF QC Data: Continuing Drift Check - Direct Readers
Date Site
Field Sampler (printed name)
Manufacturer
Model No.
Source Type Source SN
Test Block Type: S=Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete,
Time of
Measurement





Test Block
Type





Sampling
Time (Sec)
15
15
15
15
15
NISTStd.
Film Used





Readings















Temperature





Field Sampler (signature)
Serial No. Battery Info
Detecl
M=Metal
Relative
Humldty





or Type Detector SN

Comments





93-5 SEV d«wa« frm 7 031193

-------
               APPENDIX CC

         PILOT  STUDY PROTOCOLS:
MEASUREMENT  PROTOCOLS FOR SPOT TEST KITS
                   CC-1

-------
            MEASUREMENT PROTOCOLS FOR SPOT TEST KITS

1.0  SUMMARY

This appendix describes the pilot protocols  which will be used
with commercial test kits for testing in situ painted surfaces
for Lead content.  The chemistry and instructions vary from kit
to kit but basic steps common to all kits are:

    1.  Select the area or item to be tested,
    2.  Prepare the test kit reagents,
    3.  Perform the quality control test included in the package,
    4.  Clean the surface to be tested,
    5.  Expose all layers of the paint by sanding or cutting,
    6.  Test the paint,
    7.  Record results of test, and
    8.  Hide tested surface from next tester.

The actual test methods involve reaction of  Lead in the paint
with the active reagent (s) in the test kit to produce a color
change, a precipitate, or both.  Methods of  reacting the Lead
with the reagents vary and include:

    •   Swabbing in situ with a reagent soaked applicator
    •   Pressing a reagent-impregnated pad to the in situ
        surface      for a specified length  of time
    •   Adding drops of one or more solutions to the in situ
        paint
    •   Removal of paint chip or dust to a vial to which reagents
        are added to produce the precipitate or color change

1.1  MATERIALS AND EQUIPMENT

Materials and equipment needs vary from kit-to-kit.  Equipment
and supplies are listed under the individual kit protocols.
1.2  TEST KITS SELECTED FOR THE STUDY

Five Lead test kits have been selected for inclusion in the Pilot
Study.  Table CC-1 lists the kits by manufacturer along with
summary information. In addition to the kits listed in Table CC-
1, a Massachusetts licensed Lead inspector will be contracted to
perform Lead testing with the Massachusetts state-approved
sulfide reagents and procedures.  The protocol for the Lead
inspector will be the state-approved protocol.  Although the
Massachusetts protocol is not physically incorporated in this
QAPjP, it is incorporated by reference.


                               CC-2

-------
       TABLE CC-1.
LEAD TEST KITS TARGETED FOR USE IN THE
   PILOT AND FULL STUDY
MANUFACTURER
ENZONE
Frandon/Pace
Frandon/Pace
HybriVet
Systems
Innovative
Synthesis
KIT NAME
Lead- Zone
Lead Alert
Lead Alert
Lead Check
Lead Detective
TEST
Proprietary
Rhodizonate
Rhodizonate
Rhodizonate
Sodium Sulfide
KIT METHOD
CHOSEN
Reagent -
impregnated
pad
Home -owner
in-situ
notched paint
layers
Professional-
core sample
paint chip
Reagent -
impregnated
swabs
Drop reagent
into notched
paint layers
2.0  TESTING PAINTED SURFACES FOR LEAD

In order to provide a reasonably uniform comparison of methods
for this study, differences among the kit instructions preclude
use of only the package-insert instructions for training and
testing.  For purposes of this Pilot Study, instructions supplied
by the manufacturers were edited to conform to the eight steps
listed above in the Appendix CC Summary.
2.1  ENZONE "LEAD-ZONE" (PROPRIETARY CHEMICAL COMPOSITION)

2.1.1  List of Supplies

    Clipboard,
    Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor,
    "Lead-Zone" WA57 field testing protocol,
    Test Kit Results Recording Form (will be several pages),
    Ball point pens  (2),
    Box of wet-wipes (200),
    Disposable gloves  (100 pr),
    Lighted magnifying glass or other light source with
    magnifying glass,
                               CC-3

-------
    Extension cord,
    50 mL ASTM Type  I  water  in  dropping  bottle,
    Scissors,
    Resealable plastic bags,
    Trash bag,
    Duct tape,
    17 "Lead-Zone" test kits -- enough to  perform 100  tests,
    Stopwatch,  and
    Watch or other time piece.
2.1.2  Performing the Lead Zone  Tests

Perform Lead testing in  a  safe manner  as  instructed in the
training class including wearing of plastic  gloves  and safety
glasses at all time,  and leather gloves with respirator during
cutting or scraping activities.

    1.   Obtain the "Lead-Zone" test kits,  data recording forms,
        and supplies in  the above list of supplies  from the field
        supervisor.

    2.   Obtain sampling  location instructions (starting point,
        other)  from the  field supervisor.

    3.   Fill out the header information on the data recording
        form.

    4.   Find the first location  to be  tested according to
        instructions received from the field supervisor.  The
        location map will  be provided  by  the supervisor, or
        alternately,  may be posted in  the dwelling.

    5.   Remove one barcode from  the strip attached  to the test
        location and affix it in the barcode column on the data
        recording form.

    6.   Prepare the test kit reagents.  Take care not to
        contaminate the  test pads or painted surfaces with Lead
        from the test spots on the verification card enclosed in
        the package!

        a.   Use scissors to cut  each of the  2 Lead  Zone Test Pads
            into 3 equal sized pieces, creating 6 smaller Lead
            zone test pads.
        b.   Store the test pad pieces  in  a resealable plastic bag
            until needed.
                              CC-4

-------
7.   Perform the quality control  (QC)  test contained in the
    kit before the first location is tested and after each
    negative result to verify that the test reagents are
    working.

    a.  Remove one test pad piece from the plastic bag
    b.  Moisten the test pad with a few drops of ASTM Type I
        water
    c.  Press the moistened pad against one of the test dots
        on the verification card.  Hold the pad against the
        surface for two minutes.  IF a pink to purple color
        develops on the test dot or pad  (or both) the
        reagents are working correctly.  If not, consult
        supervisor.

8.   Clean the surface to be tested by wiping with a pre-
    moistened wipe.

9.   Expose all layers of the paint by cutting through all
    paint layers down to the substrate.  Use the bevelled V-
    cut as taught in the training class.

    a.  Record observations of native colors of paint layers
        before testing.
    b.  Record substrate type  {e.g. wallboard, plaster, wood,
        metal, brick, masonry)

10. Test the exposed paint layers:

    a.  Remove one test pad piece from the plastic bag
    b.  Moisten the test pad with a few  drops of ASTM Type I
        water
    c.  Press the moistened pad  against  the exposed paint
        layers.  Hold for two minutes.   IF a pink to purple
        color develops in any of the paint layers, or on the
        test pad, the test is positive for Lead.  If not,
        then the test is negative for Lead.

11. Record the test results -- color observed on pad, color
    observed in any of the paint layers  and any  comments on
    the test form  in the appropriate columns  (use the lighted
    magnifying glass or equivalent to  inspect for native and
    reagent-developed colors).

12. Cover the tested spot with duct tape to conceal the
    results from the next tester.
                           CC-5

-------
    13.  Test  the  remaining  locations  in  the structure  as
        instructed by the supervisor.  Follow  steps  5  through 13
        until all locations in the  structure have  been tested.
        Record the temperature and  relative humidity within the
        building  at the beginning,  end,  and during the middle of
        the day.   Use the comments  column of the most  current
        test kit  data recording form  to  record this  information.
        Six tests may be performed  with  each Lead-Zone kit.  Use
        the verification cards prior  to  the first  test in the
        structure and after any negative tests to  verify  that the
        reagents  are working correctly.  As long as  positive
        tests are being obtained, it  is  not necessary  to  use the
        verification card for each  kit opened.  IF  the  test does
        not work  on the painted surface  (sampling  location),
        consult the supervisor.

    14.  At the end of the testing day, check the test  results
        recording form for  completeness.  Return the completed
        form and  all supplies and remaining test kits  to  the
        supervisor.

Figure CC-1 is a  photocopy  of the Lead-Zone Lead Test  Kit
instructions provided with  the test kit.
                                > c
                                — o

-------
 Lead Zone Test Kit—package insert copy removed because of
 copyright considerations.

            Figure CC-1 was presented on 1 page.

 (Insert from packages obtained in March  1993 from Enzone
 Corporation, College Point, NY 11356)
Figure CC-1.  Photocopy of Lead Zone Test Kit instructions
                            CC-7

-------
2.2  FRANDON/PACE LEAD ALERT (RHODIZONATE)

2.2.1  List of Supplies

    Clipboard,
    Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor,
    "Lead-Alert" WA57 field testing protocol,
    Test Kit Results Recording Form (will be several pages),
    Ball point pens (2),
    Box of wet-wipes  (200),
    Disposable gloves (100 pr) ,
    Lighted magnifying glass or other light source with
    magnifying glass,
    Extension cord,
    Resealable plastic bags,
    Trash bag,
    Duct tape,
    Scissors,
    "Lead-Alert" homeowner test kits -- enough to perform 100
    tests,
    Stopwatch, and
    Watch or other time piece.

2.2.2  Performing the "Lead-Alert" Test

Perform Lead testing in a safe manner as instructed in the
training class.  Although two types of tests can be performed
with the Frandon Lead Alert Kit including wearing of plastic
gloves and safety glasses at all times, and leather gloves with
respirator during cutting or scraping activities-- a Surface test
and an Underlying Layers test-only the Underlying Layers Test
will be performed in this study.

    1.  Obtain the "Lead-Alert" test kits,  data recording forms,
        and supplies from the field supervisor.

    2.  Obtain sample location instructions (starting point,
        other) from the field supervisor.

    3.  Fill out the header information on the data recording
        form.

    4.  Find the first location to be tested according to
        instructions received from the field supervisor.  The
        location map will be provided by the supervisor, or  .
        alternately,  may be posted in the dwelling.
                              CO 8

-------
5.   Remove one barcode from the strip attached to the test
    location and affix it in the barcode column on the data
    recording form.

6.   Prepare the indicating solution:

    a.  Remove red cap from plastic bottle labelled
        "Indicating Solution."
    b.  Carefully remove the dropper insert by
        rolling/twisting it to the side.
    c.  Open the tablet container and place only one tablet
        into the solution.
    d.  Replace the dropper insert and the red cap and shake
        the bottle for one minute.  Allow the bottle to stand
        for approximately five minutes and then shake it
        again until the solution turns yellow.  The tablet
        will not be completely dissolved.  This is normal.

7.   Clean the test area with a pre-moistened wipe.

8.   Perform a Positive Control Test  (before the first test of
    the day and after each negative test on painted test
    areas in the structure)

    a.  Apply two drops of Leaching Solution and two drops of
        Indicating solution to a cotton tipped applicator or
        test paper (avoid touching the dropper to any
        surface).
    b.  Press the cotton tip or test paper on an unused test
        circle for 10-15 seconds
    c.  Add two drops of Indicating Solution to the
        applicator or test paper.  Do not touch the dropper
        to the applicator.
    d.  Interpret the results.  Use the lighted magnifying
        glass or equivalent to observe the color change.  A
        pinkish to rose/red color is a positive test,
        indicating that the reagents are performing
        correctly.  IF reagents are not performing correctly
        consult the supervisor.  Record the results in the
        comments column of the data reporting form.

9.   Perform the underlying layers test:

    a.  Cut through all layers of the paint down to the
        substrate with a bevelled V-notcha.   Record native
        paint layer colors, substrate type (wallboard,
        plaster, wood, brick, metal, masonry) in appropriate
        blocks.


                           CC-9

-------
        b.   Apply two drops of Leaching Solution to a cotton
            tipped applicator or  test  paper
        c.   Rub the cotton tip or test paper on the exposed paint
            layers for 10-15 seconds.
        d.   Add two drops of Indicating Solution to the
            applicator or test paper.  Do not touch the dropper to
            the applicator.
        e.   Interpret the results.  Use the lighted magnifying
            glass or equivalent to observe  the color change.
            Pinkish to rose/red color  on the paint layers and/or
            the cotton tip  (or test paper)  is a positive test for
            Lead.

    10.  Record the results on the data form with any comments in
        the appropriate columns.

    11.  Cover the completed test  spot  with  duct tape to conceal
        the results from the next tester.

    12.  Test the remaining locations in the structure as
        instructed by the supervisor.   Follow steps 5 through 12
        until all locations in the structure have been tested.
        Record the temperature and relative humidity within the
        building at the beginning,  end,  and during the middle of
        the day.  Use the comments column of the most current
        test kit data results form to  record this information.
        Use the Positive Control  Strips only prior to the first
        test in the structure and after any negative tests to
        verify that the reagents  are working correctly.  After
        the initial Positive Control Strip  test, it is not
        necessary to use the control strips with each kit opened
        as long as positive tests are  being obtained on the
        painted surfaces and underlying layers.  IF the test does
        not work on the painted surface (sampling location),
        consult the supervisor.

    13.  At the end of the testing day,  check the test results
        recording form for completeness.  Return the completed
        form and all supplies and remaining test kit to the
        supervisor.

Figure CC-2 is a photocopy of the Frandon Lead-Alert kit
instructions.
    These protocols  include  formalized modifications made the to
    protocols shown  in the QAPjP,  Revision No.  0,  dated March 15,
    1993
                              CC-10

-------
   Frandon Lead Alert Kit package insert copy removed
   because of copyright considerations.

             Figure CC-2 was presented on 4 pages.

   (Insert from packages obtained in March 1993 from Pace
   Environs, 207 Rutherglen Drive, Gary, NC 27511)
Figure CC-2.  Photocopy of Frandon Lead-Alert Kit instructions
                             CC-11

-------
2.3  FRANDON/PACE LEAD ALERT ALL-IN-ONE (RHODIZONATE)

2.3.1  List of Supplies

    Clipboard,
    Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor,
    "Lead-Alert" All-in-One WA57 field testing protocol,
    Test Kit Results Recording Form (will  be several pages),
    Ball point pens (2),
    Box of wet-wipes (200) ,
    Disposable gloves  (100 pr),
    Lighted magnifying glass or other light  source with
    magnifying glass,
    Extension cord,
    Resealable plastic bags,
    Trash bag,
    Duct tape,
    Scissors,
    "Lead-Alert" All-In-One test kits -- enough to perform 100
    tests, and
    Stopwatch.


2.3.2  Performing the "Lead-Alert"  All-In-One Test

The Lead-Alert All-In-One kit contains three tests.  Only one of
the three -- removal of a paint chip and testing in the supplied
vials -- will be performed in this  study.

    1.  Obtain the "Lead-Alert"  All-in-One test kits, data
        recording forms,  and supplies from the field supervisor.

    2.  Obtain instructions (starting point, other) from the
        field supervisor.

    3.  Fill out the header information on the data recording
        form.

    4.  Find the first location to  be tested according to
        instructions received from  the field supervisor.  The
        location map will be provided by the supervisor, or
        alternately,  may be posted  in the  dwelling.

    5.  Remove one barcode from the strip  attached to the test
        location and affix it in the barcode column on the data
        recording form.
                              CC-12

-------
6.  Prepare the indicating solution:

    a.  Remove red cap from plastic bottle labelled
        "Indicating Solution."
    b.  Carefully remove the dropper insert by
        rolling/twisting it to the side.
    c.  Open the tablet container and place only one tablet
        into the solution.
    d.  Replace the dropper insert and the red cap and shake
        the bottle for one minute.  Allow the bottle to stand
        for five minutes and then shake it again until the
        solution turns yellow.  The tablet will not be
        completely dissolved.  This is normal.
7.  Clean the test area with a pre-moistened wipe.

8.  Perform a Positive Control Test {before the first test of
    the day and after each negative test on painted test
    areas in the structure).

    a.  Apply two drops of Leaching Solution and two drops of
        Indicating solution to a cotton tipped applicator or
        test paper  (do not touch the dropper to any surface).
    b.  Press the cotton tip or test paper on an unused test
        circle for 10-15 seconds
    c.  Add two drops of Indicating Solution to the
        applicator or test paper {do not touch the dropper to
        any surface).
    d.  Interpret the results.  Use the lighted magnifying
        glass or equivalent to observe the color change.  A
        pinkish to rose/red color is a positive test,
        indicating that the reagents are performing
        correctly.   IF the reagents are not performing
        correctly consult the supervisor.  Record the results
        in the comments column of the data form.

9.  Perform the Paint Chip Test

    a.  Remove one of the adhesive backed collection papers
        and fold it  in half.  Apply the paper close to the
        area to be tested as shown in the package
        instructions.
    b.  Using the circular boring tool, cut down into the
        surface.  Scrape the paint inside the circle onto the
        paper.  Be sure to remove all layers of paint.
    c.  Transfer the paint from the paper to a plastic vial.
        Grind up the paint with a plastic rod for about 10


                          CC-13

-------
            seconds (Lead paint grinds easily whereas Latex based
            paint will be harder to grind).
        d.  Add 3 drops of Leaching Solution to the vial (do not
            touch the dropper to the vial or contents)  and grind
            the contents for another 10 seconds.  Let the vial
            sit for 20 seconds.
        e.  Add 3 drops of Indicating Solution to the tip of an
            applicator (do not touch the applicator or any other
            surface with the dropper), then touch the surface of
            the liquid in the plastic vial with the tip of the
            applicator.
        f.  Interpret the results.   Use the lighted magnifying
            glass or equivalent to observe the color changes.
            Pinkish to rose red color on the applicator tip is a
            positive test for Lead.

    10. Record the results on the data form with any comments in
        the appropriate columns.

    11. Cover the completed test spot with duct tape to conceal
        the results from the next tester.

    12. Test the remaining locations in the structure as
        instructed by the supervisor.   Follow steps 5 through 12
        until all locations in the structure have been tested.
        Record the temperature and relative humidity within the
        building at the beginning,  end, and during the middle of
        the day.  Use the Positive Control Strips only prior to
        the first test in the structure and after any negative
        tests to verify that the reagents are working correctly.
        After the initial Positive Control Strip test,  it is not
        necessary to use the control strips with each kit opened
        as long as positive tests are being obtained on the
        painted surfaces and underlying layers.  IP the test does
        not work on the painted surface  (sampling location),
        consult the supervisor.

    13. At the end of the testing day, check the data recording
        form for completeness.  Return the completed form and all
        supplies and remaining test kits to the supervisor.

A photocopy of the package instructions is shown in Figure CC-3.
                              CC-14

-------
    Frandon Lead Alert Kit package insert copy removed
    because of copyright considerations.

              Figure CC-3 was presented on 4 pages.

    (Insert from packages obtained in March 1993 from Pace
    Environs,  207 Rutherglen Drive,  Gary, NC 27511)
Figure CC-3.    Photocopy of Frandon Lead-Alert All-in-One Kit
                instructions.
                              CC-15

-------
2.4  LEAD DETECTIVE (Sodium Sulfide)

2.4.1  List of Supplies

    Clipboard,
    Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor,
    "Lead-Detective" WA57 field testing protocol,
    Test Kit Results Recording Form (will be several pages),
    Ball point pens (2),
    Box of wet-wipes (200),
    Disposable gloves (100 pr),
    Disposable beakers,  10 mL,
    Lighted magnifying glass or other light source with
    magnifying glass,
    Extension cord,
    Resealable plastic bags,
    Trash bag,
    Duct tape,
    Scissors,
    One "Lead-Detective"  test kit,
    Stopwatch, and
    Watch or other time piece.

2.4.2  Performing the Lead Detective  Tests

The Lead Detective kit detects Lead (and other heavy metals) by
reacting with the Lead to form a black insoluble precipitate of
Lead sulfide.  Perform Lead testing in a safe manner as
instructed in the training class including wearing of plastic
gloves and safety glasses at all times,  and leather gloves with
respirator during cutting or scraping activities.  The package
instructions included with the Lead Detective are contained in a
33-page instruction booklet.   A photocopy of this booklet is
included in this Appendix CC as an  attachment.

    1.  Obtain the "Lead-Detective" test kits,  data recording
        forms, and supplies from the  field supervisor.

    2.  Obtain sample location instructions (starting point,
        other) from the field supervisor.

    3.  Fill out the header information on the test form.

    4.  Find the first location to  be tested according to
        instructions received from  the field supervisor.  The
        location map will be provided by the supervisor, or
        alternately,  may  be posted  in the dwelling.
                              CC-16

-------
5.  Remove one barcode  from the strip attached to the test
    location and affix  it  in the barcode column on the data
    recording form.

6.  Carefully add the contents of the kit water bottle to the
    bottle containing the  sodium sulfide crystals.  Screw on
    the dropper cap and shake vigorously for 5 minutes or
    until the crystals  are dissolved.

7.  Perform the quality control check.

    a.  Remove a quality control strip  (or the paint chip)
        from the plastic bag

    b.  While holding the  strip in the forceps, Add a few
        drops of the sodium sulfide solution to the strip.

    c.  IF black coloring  appears, the QC test is positive
        and the reagents are working.  Record the results in
        the comments column of the data report form.  IF a
        black color does not appear, do not use the kit for
        testing.  Consult  the supervisor.

8.  Clean the surface of the test location with a pre-
    moistened wipe.

9.  Cut through all layers of the paint down to the substrate
    with a bevelled V-notch.

10. Add a few drops of  the sodium sulfide solution to the
    notch, being very careful not to drip the reagent on the
    surfaces below or adjacent to the test spot.  Use a
    plastic stirring rod or toothpick as needed to direct the
    solution into the notch3.

11. Use the lighted magnifying glass or equivalent to observe
    the paint for changes.  A black or gray color is a
    positive test for Lead.

12. Record the results  on  the data form with any comments in
    the appropriate columns.

13. Cover the completed test spot with duct tape to conceal
    the results from the next tester.
These protocols include formalized modifications made the to
protocols shown in the QAPjP, Revision No. 0, dated March 15,
1993
                          CC-17

-------
14.  Test the remaining locations in the structure as
    instructed by the  supervisor.   Follow steps 5 through 14
    until all locations in the  structure have been tested.
    Record the temperature and  relative humidity within the
    building at the beginning,  end,  and during the middle of
    the day.  Use the  comments  column of the most current
    testing data results form to record this information.
    One Lead Detective kit should be sufficient to test one
    structure (approximately 100 tests)   Test the QC strip in
    the kit only prior to the first test in the structure and
    after any negative tests to verify that the reagents are
    working correctly.   After the initial Positive Control
    Strip test,  it is  not necessary to use the control strips
    with each kit opened as long as positive tests are being
    obtained on the painted surfaces and underlying layers.
    IF the test does not work on the paint surface (sampling
    location), consult the supervisor.

15.  At the end of the  testing day,  check the test results
    recording form for completeness.  Return the completed
    form and all supplies and remaining test kits to the
    supervisor.
                          CC-18

-------
    Lead Detective Lead Paint Detection Kit-booklet: package
    insert copy removed because of copyright  considerations.

       Attachment  to Appendix CC was  presented on 20 pages.

    (Insert from packages obtained in March 1993  from
    Innovative Synthesis Corporation, 1425 Beacon Street,
    Newton, MA 02168)
Appendix CC Attachment. The Lead Detective, Lead Paint Detection
                        Kit (booklet)
                              CC-19

-------
2.5  LEAD CHECK SWABS

2.5.1  List of Supplies

    Clipboard
    Map of dwelling and/or instructions from supervisor,
    "Lead-Check'-' swabs WA57 field testing protocol,
    Test Kit Results Recording Form (will be several pages),
    Ball point pens (2),
    Box of wet-wipes (200),
    Disposable gloves  (100 pr) ,
    Lighted magnifying glass or other light source with
    magnifying glass,
    Extension cord,
    Resealable plastic bags,
    Trash bag,
    Duct tape,
    Scissors,
    100 "Lead Check" swabs and several control cards,
    Stopwatch, and
    Watch or other time piece.
2.5.1  Performing the Lead Check Test

The Lead Check Swabs contain rhodizonate which reacts with Lead
to form a pink to red color.  Perform Lead testing in a safe
manner as instructed in the training class including wearing of
plastic gloves and safety glasses at all time, and leather gloves
with respirator during cutting or scraping activities.

    1.  Obtain the "Lead-Check" rhodizonate test swabs, data
        recording forms, and supplies from the field supervisor.

    2.  Obtain sample location instructions (starting point,
        other) from the field supervisor.

    3.  Fill out the header information on the data recording
        form.

    4.  Find the first location to be tested according to
        instructions received from the field supervisor.  The
        location map will be provided by the supervisor, or
        alternately, may be posted in the dwelling.

    5.  Remove one barcode from the strip attached to the test
        location and affix it in the barcode column on the data
        recording form.


                              CC-20

-------
6.  Clean the test surface with a wet-wipe.

7.  Cut a beveled V notch through all paint layers down to
    the substrate.  Use the lighted magnifying glass to
    examine the paint layers revealed in the notch and record
    native paint colors and substrate information.

8.  Remove one Lead Check Swab and reseal the package.

9.  With the swab pointing up, squeeze points A and B to
    crush the internal glass ampoules .

10. With the swab pointing down, shake the swab twice, then
    gently squeeze it until the yellow liquid appears on the
    Swab tip.

11. While gently squeezing, rub the Swab tip on the test area
    for 30 seconds.

12. Observe Swab tip for coloration.  Use the lighted
    magnifying glass or equivalent to read the results.  Pink
    to red indicates positive test for Lead.

13. Record the results in the appropriate box on the data
    form.

    IF  the test is positive for Lead,  tape a plastic
    disposable beaker over the tested notch to conceal the
    test result from the next tester.  IF no color change is
    observed within 2 minutes, touch the swab to one of the
    dots on the Lead confirmation card.  IF no color develops
    on the QC dot,  discard the swab and retest the paint
    layers (steps 8 through 13).  IF color develops on the QC
    dot,  tape a plastic disposable beaker over the tested
    notch and go on to the next spot.  Record the time and
    return to re-observe this spot in approximately 30
    minutes and if still no color change, cover and return to
    check the paint after approximately another 30 minute
    time period.  IF,  after 1 hour,  no color has developed,
    the spot tested negative for Lead.   Record all
    observations,  subsequent examinations,  and other comments
    in the data form.

14. Test the remaining locations in the structure as
    instructed by the supervisor.   Follow steps 5 through 14
    until all locations in the structure have been tested.
    Record the temperature and relative humidity within the
    building at the beginning, end,  and during the middle of


                          CC-21

-------
        the day.   Use the comments column of the most current
        test kit  data results  form to record this information.
        Do not reuse any of the  Swabs,  even if no color change
        was observed.  As long as  positive tests are being
        obtained on the painted  surfaces  and underlying layers,
        there is  no need to perform the Lead confirmation test on
        the test  confirmation  card.   IF the test does not work on
        the painted surface (sampling location),  consult the
        supervisor.

A photocopy of the Lead Check  Swabs Test  Kit package instructions
is shown in Figure CC-4.
                              CC-22

-------
Lead Check Swabs—test kit package insert copy removed
because of copyright considerations.

          Figure CC-4 was presented on 2 pages.

(Insert from packages obtained in March 1993 from
Hybrivet Systems, Inc., P.O. Box 1210, Framingham, MA
01701)
                           CC-23

-------
Date
Spot Test Kit Rep
House No. Initi
Field Sampler (printed name)
Name of Test Kit


ortinc
alTem
Field
Serie
j Results Form page 	 of 	
perature Initial RH
Sampler (signal
il/Lot No.
ure)

Surface Types: P=Plaster, S=Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete, M=Metal
Location ID (Barcode)






Surface
Typo






Paint
Surface
Color






Is the
Surface Flat?
(Y/N)






Start
Time






Testing Results
time of
Obs.






Color






LBP Determination-
(Y/N or Level)






Tape
Cover?
(Y/N)






Comments
(place during day temp. And RH data In this column)






93-7SEVd«waltlrm10031193

-------
                  APPENDIX DD

            PILOT STUDY PROTOCOLS:
COLLECTION OF PAINT CHIP  SAMPLES IN AND AROUND
       BUILDINGS AND RELATED STRUCTURES
                      DD-1

-------
         COLLECTION OF PAINT  CHIP SAMPLES  IN AND AROUND
                BUILDINGS AND RELATED STRUCTURES
SUMMARY

This document describes the standard protocol for obtaining a
single paint chip sample from a painted substrate.  This standard
also includes instructions for sample storage and transport
requirements.
MATERIALS AND EQUIPMENT
TABLE DD. EQUIPMENT- SUPPLIES LIST FOR COLLECTION OF
PAINT CHIP SAMPLES
ITEM
Safety goggles
Disposable gloves
Respirator with HEPA filters
Single-edged razor blades
Razor blade holder
Cold chisels
Hammer
Wax Paper
OR
clean white paper, 8.5 x 11
Masking tape
Duct tape
Marking pens
Pencils
Pencil sharpener
Clip board
Recording forms
Sample containers {plastic
centrifuge tubes, plastic
resealable bags)
NUMBER
I/tester + 1 extra
150 pair/tester
I/tester
150/tester
I/tester + 1 extra
several, various blade
widths in duplicate
I/tester
150/tester
5 rolls, 1-inch
5 rolls, 2-inch
3/tester
3/tester
1 at site
I/tester + 1 extra
Enough for 250 samples
250
                              DD-2

-------
TABLE DD. EQUIPMENT -SUPPLIES LIST FOR COLLECTION OF
PAINT CHIP SAMPLES
ITEM
Resealable bags for sample
containers
Extra shipping container for
paint chip samples
Trouble lights and spare bulbs
Extension cords
Magnifying glass with light
source or lighted magnifying
glass
Power generator
Small plane
Pocket knife
Wire brush
Coarse soft bristle brush
Heat gun
Replacement heat gun element
Metal paint chip collection
tray
Tool pouch with belt
Face shield
Fire extinguisher
NUMBER
250
3
3
200 ft.
I/tester
1 at site
I/tester
2/tester + 1 extra
I/tester
2/tester
I/tester
I/tester
I/tester
I/tester
1 at site
2 at site
Note: Other items as needed.
PROCEDURES

At each sampling location perform the following steps:

1.  For each new "Paint Sampling Record" form needed  (see
    attached), complete the header of the form.

2.  Record the sampling location/identification  (ID) on an open
    line of the form.  Use barcode labels corresponding to the
    specific sampling location when ever possible. These barcode
                               DD-3

-------
    labels should be  present  in close  proximity to the sampling
    location marked by the  field team  leader.

4.  Complete "Surface Type","Paint  Surface Color"  and "Is Surface
    Flat" sections of the Paint Chip Collection Reporting form.
    Any irregularities should be noted in the  Comments column.
    The "Area Sampled with  Units" column should be completed
    after the sample  has been taken and can be accurately
    measured.

5.  Affix an ID label to the  outside of the container into which
    the sample is to  be placed,  and ensure that the label adheres
    well.  If barcode labels  are present at the sampling site,
    then affix 2 extra identical labels to the outside of the
    container for later use by the  laboratory.

6.  Don a pair of new vinyl gloves  for removal of  each paint
    sample for the laboratory.

7.  Place the template (nominally 5 cm x 5 cm  inside dimensions)
    over the sampling site  and hold firmly,  tape can be used to
    hold template in  position.   Do  not place tape  over adjacent
    areas marked for  sampling.   Using  a cutting tool and the
    template as a guide, score the  perimeter of the area to be
    removed. If it is impractical to use the template,  the score
    can be made using a metal ruler as a guide.  The area scored
    using the alternative method should be approximately
    equivalent to the area  scored when using the template.  Avoid
    using pencil or pen to  mark the sample outline.

8.  Affix a tray,  paper funnel or equivalent collection device
    directly below the sampling location.   The collection device
    should be located as close as possible to  the  sampling site
    but should not interfere  with the  removal  procedure.  If a
    paper funnel is used, either fold  and tape closed the bottom
    of the funnel or  affix  a  labeled open sampling container to
    the bottom of the funnel  in a manner that  will result in
    collection of the paint directly into the  container. The
    collection device should  be firmly secured to  avoid being
    upset.

9.  Using the appropriate cutting tool for a particular substrate
    or condition of the sample site, begin removing the paint
    from the substrate. If  possible peel the paint off of the
    substrate by sliding the  blade  along the score and underneath
    the paint.   Remove all  paint down  to the bare  substrate.
                              DD-4

-------
    Avoid the inclusion of the substrate in the collection
    device.  If substrate does fall into the collection device,
    remove only that substrate which can be easily removed
    without losing any of the paint sample.  Do not remove any
    substrate which cannot be separated from the paint sample.
    The laboratory will remove extraneous substrate if possible,
    under laboratory conditions.

    If problems are encountered in removing the paint sample,
    other tools may be used.  The use of a heat gun may
    facilitate the removal process.  Extreme caution should be
    exercised when using the heat gun.  Do not overheat the
    sample area, heat only until the paint becomes soft and
    supple.  If the paint does not become soft and supple in a
    minute or two, discontinue the use of heat and try another
    means to remove the sample.

    In areas where extreme difficulty is experienced in removing
    the paint sample, consult with the field supervisor for
    advice.

10. If sample is not directly collected in the sample container
    using the funnel approach, transfer the collected paint
    sample to the sample container and seal.   Exercise care to
    insure that all paint taken from the recorded area is placed
    into the sample container.

    If the funnel procedure was used, make sure all of the sample
    is in the collection container.  Seal the container.

11. Carefully and accurately measure the sampling area
    dimensions.  Do not attempt to calculate areas in the field.
    Record the dimensions including units used (e.g., 2" x 2" or
    5 cm x 5 cm) on the sampling container using a permanent
    marker.  Try and use only centimeters for recording data.
    Avoid making measurement in inches.  Also,  enter the
    dimensions  (including the units used)  on the "Paint Chip
    Collection" Reporting form in the column "Area Sampled with
    Units."  Any irregularities or problems which arise in the
    process, should be noted in the Comments column.

12. Seal the container.

13. Wrap tape around the container lid rim to ensure that the
    container remains sealed.  Place sample container into a
    resealable plastic bag and seal.   Place the sample container
    and bag into another resealable plastic bag and seal.
                               DD-5

-------
14.  Generate a duplicate  paint  chip  sample  immediately adjacent
    to the first sample site, using  the  same procedure used to
    obtain the first sample. The preparations of  the sample
    container remains unchanged except for  the addition of the
    duplicate designation "DUP" to the sampling container and use
    of the "DUP" row on the reporting form.   Irregularities and
    problems should be noted in the  Comments column.

15.  Enlarge the exposed substrate area made during paint chip
    collection to a minimum of  4" by 4"  using the same general
    cutting and scraping  methods followed for paint chip
    collection.  Avoid pitting  or significantly damaging the
    substrate surface. This area will be used by XRF testers for
    taking substrate measurements.

    NOTE: For some locations,   a full 4"x 4" area may not be
    possible.  For these  locations,  make the largest exposed area
    possible up to the desired  4"x 4" exposed surface.

16.  Remove and dispose of the vinyl  gloves,  paper funnels, tape
    or other used disposable equipment prior to moving to the
    next sampling location.  Avoid cross-contamination of samples
    by carefully cleaning all sampling and  collection tools
    between each sample taken.  Use  pre-moistened wipes for this
    purpose.

17.  Store the samples in  a safe place during sampling until
    shipment can be made  back to the laboratory.   Turn over all
    completed "Paint Chip Collection Reporting" forms by the end
    of each sampling day  to the field supervisor.  Ensure that a
    copy of the form is made and placed  into the  box used for
    shipment back to the  laboratory.
                              DD-6

-------
Paint Chip Collection Reporting Form
page of
Date House No.

Field Sampler {printed name)
Field Sampler (signature)

Surface Types: P=Plaster, S=Wall Board, W=Wood, B=Brick, C=Concrete, M=Metal
Location ID (Barcode)








Surface
Type








Paint
Surface
Color








Sub-
Sample
NoT .
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
Original
Dup
is the
Surface Rat?
OfTN)
















Area Sampled
with Units
















Comments
















93-7 SEV dewa« frm 11 031193

-------
                       APPENDIX EEa

                  PILOT STUDY PROTOCOLS:
     PREPARATION OF PAINT CHIP SAMPLES FOR SUBSEQUENT
            ATOMIC SPECTROMETRY LEAD ANALYSIS
Protocols shown in this appendix include  formalized
modifications made the to protocols shown in the QAPjP,
Revision No. 0, dated March 15, 1993
                           EE-1

-------
        PREPARATION OF PAINT  CHIP SAMPLES  FOR  SUBSEQUENT
                ATOMIC SPECTROMETRY LEAD ANALYSIS

1.0  SUMMARY

Lead in paint chip samples (chips,  powder,  etc.)  is solubilized
by extraction with nitric acid and hydrogen peroxide facilitated
by heat after sample homogenization.  The lead content of the
digested sample is then in a form ready for measurement by Atomic
Spectrometry.  This procedure is similar to NIOSH Method 7082.
Modifications have been made to convert this air particulate
method to a method appropriate for processing paint chip samples.
2.0  APPARATUS

2.1  Instrumentation

•   Electric hot plate; suitable for operation at temperatures up
    to at least 100°C as measured by a thermometer inside a
    solution filled container placed on the surface of the hot
    plate.

2.2  Glassware, and Supplies

•   150 mL or 250 mL beakers {borosilicate glass) equipped with
    watch glass covers.
    Class A borosilicate 250 mL volumetric flasks.
    Class A borosilicate volumetric pipets; volume as needed.
    50 mL or 100 mL linear polyethylene tubes or bottles with
    caps.
    Borosilicate or plastic funnels.
    Glass rods and appropriate devices for breaking up paint chip
    samples.

2.3  Reagents

•   Concentrated nitric acid (16.0 M HN03) ;  spectrographic grade
    or equivalent.
•   Nitric acid, 10% (v/v) :   Add 100 mL concentrated HNO3 to 500
    mL ASTM Type I water and dilute to 1 L.
•   Hydrogen peroxide,  30% H2O2  (w/w); ACS reagent grade.
•   ASTM Type I water  (D 1193).
                               EE-2

-------
3.0  SAMPLE PREPARATION

3.1  SAMPLE HOMOGENIZATION

For each field sample, homogenize the paint chips inside the
original sample container as described below.

1.  Don a new clean pair of vinyl gloves to perform sample
    handling.

2.  Remove any large amounts of substrate which may be present in
    the sample.  Exercise care when removing substrate to avoid
    any paint losses.  Leaving substrate in the sample is
    preferred over paint chip loss.  If required,  use a clean
    safety razor blade or equivalent tool to aid in substrate
    removal.

3.  Immerse the bottom portion of sample container into a
    container containing dry ice.  The depth of the container
    should be sufficient to cover all paint present within the
    sample container.

4.  Allow the paint chip sample to freeze for a minimum of 10
    minutes.  Add more dry ice as needed to freeze the paint chip
    sample.

5.  Using a clean glass rod or other appropriate clean tool,
    breakup the frozen paint chip sample inside the sample
    container into a fine powder.  Samples or sample portions
    that resist homogenization should be noted in laboratory
    records.

6.  After completing breakup of the sample, tap off any powder
    remaining on the tool used for breaking up the paint chips
    back into the sample container.

7.  Seal the container and roll for about a minute or two to mix
    the samples.  Rolling can be done by hand or using automated
    equipment.

3.2  WEIGHING PROCEDURE

For each sample, determine the total  field sample weight, and
weigh out a  subsample  for digestion as  described below:

1.  Don a new clean pair of vinyl  gloves.
                               EE-3

-------
2.  Label a clean beaker for use in digesting the sample and a
    new clean centrifuge tube with lid.

3.  Wipe off the outside of the paint sample container with a
    clean laboratory paper wipe to remove any foreign material or
    oils.  Using an analytical balance shown to be operating
    within normal calibration specifications, weigh the sample
    container containing the entire homogenized paint sample.
    Record the total paint sample plus container weight (and if
    provided, the area sampled)  in a laboratory data form,
    notebook or equivalent recording device.

4.  Weigh a sub-sample of homogenized paint from the contents of
    the sample container into a tared beaker labeled with the
    sample ID.  Weigh approximately 0.5  grams to 0.0001 grams.
    Record the sub-sample weight (and if provided, the area
    sampled) in a laboratory data form,  notebook or equivalent
    recording device.

5.  Transfer the remaining homogenized paint sample into a new
    clean labeled centrifuge tube by carefully pouring the
    contents of the original sample container into the new tube.
    Use a clean glass rod to assist in the transfer as needed.
    Seal the new tube an store for archival use.

6.  Remove any remaining sample powder from the original sample
    container (from the field)  by rinsing with ASTM Type I water.
    Set the container aside and allow it to dry at room
    temperature.

7.  After the original sample container  has completely dried, re-
    weigh the container and record the empty container weight.

8.  Determine the total field sample weight by subtracting the
    empty container weight from the total paint sample plus
    container weight generated in step 3.
3.3  SAMPLE DIGESTION

For each sample weighed into beakers,  plus any QC samples,
perform digestion as described below:

1.  Wet the sample with about 2-3 mL of water from a squirt
    bottle filled with ASTM Type I water.

2.  Add 7.5 mL of concentrated HN03  and 2.5 mL  30%  H2O2, and cover
    with a watch glass.


                              EE-4

-------
Gently  reflux  on a hot plate for about  15 minutes  (See Note
1) -

Remove  the watch glass and evaporate gently on  a hot plate
until the sample volume is reduced to about 1-2 mL  (See Note
2) .

Replace the watch glass and remove the  beaker containing
sample  from the hot plate and allow it  to cool  (See Note 3).

NOTE 1: The original NIOSH method called for temperatures of
        140°C  as based on the use of digitally programmable
        hot-plates which measure the temperature on the
        inside of the hot plate head.   A temperature drops of
        40-50°C are not unusual between the inside of the hot
        plate  head and the temperature  actually experienced
        by the sample solution.  The temperatures of sample
        solution should be between 85-100°C to prevent
        spattering of the solution. Monitor solution
        temperature on the hot plate by placing a thermometer
        in a flask or beaker filled with water during
        digestion activities.

NOTE 2: The original NIOSH method calls for evaporation until
        most of the acid has been evaporated.  However, in
        order  to avoid potential losses caused by sample
        splattering at low volumes, the method has been
        modified to specifically leave  some solution
        remaining in the digestion vessels. Reduction volumes
        given  are approximate and can be dependent on the
        sample size and beaker size used for preparation.
        Volumes should be reduced to as low a level as
        comfortably possible without causing sampling
        splattering or complete drying  out of the sample.

NOTE 3: Cooling the sample is performed to avoid potential
        splattering losses and resulting safety hazards
        caused by addition of reagents  to a partially
        digested hot sample during subsequent processing
        steps.  Samples do not have to be cooled completely
        to room temperature for safe further processing of
        paint  chip samples.  However, the operator must be
        aware  that the potential for splattering losses and
        resulting safety hazards increases with increasing
        temperature of the sample digest.
Add 5 mL of concentrated HNO3
cover with a watch glass.
and 2.5 mL 30% H202, and re-
                           EE-5

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7.  Gently reflux on a hot plate for about 15 minutes  (See Note
    1) .

8.  Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
    until the sample volume is reduced to about 1-2 mL  (See Note
    2) .

9.  Replace the watch glass and remove the beaker containing
    sample from the hot plate and allow it to cool (See Note 3).

10. Add 5 mL of concentrated HN03   and 2.5  mL 30%  H202/  and re-
    cover with a watch glass.

11. Gently reflux on a hot plate for about 15 minutes  (See Note
    1) .

12. Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
    until the sample volume is reduced to about 1-2 mL  (See Note
    2) .

13. Replace the watch glass and remove the beaker containing
    sample from the hot plate and allow it to cool (See Note 3).

14. Rinse the watch glass and beaker walls with 3 to 5 mL of 10%
    HNO3  into the  beaker.

15. Remove the watch glass and evaporate gently on a hot plate
    until the sample volume is reduced to about 1-2 mL  (See Note
    2) .

16. Replace the watch glass and cool to room temperature.

17. Add 1 mL concentrate HNO3 to the residue;  swirl to  dissolve
    soluble species.

18. Use a wash bottle filled with ASTM Type I water, rinse the
    beaker walls and underside of the watch glass with Type I
    water into the beaker.

19. Quantitatively transfer the digested sample into a 250-mL
    volumetric flask using several rinses with ASTM Type I water
    (See Note 4).   A plastic or glass funnel should be used to
    avoid spillage during transfer from the beaker to the
    volumetric flask.

20. Dilute to volume with ASTM Type I water and mix thoroughly.
    The sample digest'contains approximately 1 %  (v/v)  HN03.
                              EE-6

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21. Portions used for analysis must be filtered or centrifuged
    prior to instrumental measurement to remove undissolved
    material.   Instrumental measurement should be performed using
    calibration standards that are matched to the same
    approximate acid levels as those in sample digest aliquot
    analyzed for analyte content.

    NOTE 4: Due to potential losses during filtration, it is
            recommended to filter samples after dilution to final
            volume.  Additional volume consumed by undissolved
            material will not cause any significant bias.
                                EE-7

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                      APPENDIX FF

                PILOT STUDY PROTOCOLS:
       STANDARD TEST PROTOCOL FOR THE ANALYSIS
           OF DIGESTED  SAMPLES FOR LEAD BY
        INDUCTIVELY  COUPLED PLASMA (ICP-AES) ,
          FLAME ATOMIC ABSORPTION (FAAS) ,  OR
GRAPHITE FURNACE ATOMIC ABSORPTION (GFAAS) TECHNIQUES
                         FF-1

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             STANDARD TEST PROTOCOL FOR THE ANALYSIS
                 OF DIGESTED SAMPLES FOR LEAD BY
              INDUCTIVELY COUPLED PLASMA (ICP-AES),
                FLAME ATOMIC ABSORPTION  (FAAS), OR
      GRAPHITE FURNACE ATOMIC ABSORPTION (GFAAS)  TECHNIQUES
1.0  SUMMARY

A sample digestate is analyzed for Lead content using  ICP-AES,
Flame-AAS, or Graphite Furnace-AAS techniques.  Instrumental
Quality Control samples are analyzed along with sample digestates
to assure adequate instrumental performance.   This procedure is
similar to SW-846 Method 6010.  It is equivalent to the draft
procedure currently under consideration in ASTM Subcommittee
E06.23.
2.0  DEFINITIONS

2.1  Digestion - The sample preparation process which will
     solubilize targeted analytes present in the sample and
     results in an acidified aqueous solution called the
     digestate.

2.2  Digestate - An acidified aqueous solution which results
     from performing sample preparation (digestion)
     activities.  Lead measurements are made using this
     solution.

2.3  Batch - A group of field or QC samples which are
     processed together using the same reagents and
     equipment.

2.4  Serial Dilution -  A method of producing a less
     concentrated solution through one or more consecutive
     dilution steps. Dilution step for a standard or sample
     is performed by volumetrically placing a small aliquot
     of a higher concentrated solution into a volumetric
     flask and diluting to volume with water containing the
     same acid levels as found in original sample
     digestates.

2.5  Method Blank - A digestate which reflects the maximum
     treatment given any one sample within a sample batch
     except that it has no sample initially placed into the
     digestion vessel." (The same reagents and processing
     conditions which are applied to field samples within a


                               FF-2

-------
     batch are also applied to the method blank.)  Analysis
     results from method blanks provide information on the
     level of potential contamination experienced by samples
     processed within the batch.

2.6  No-Spiked Sample - A portion of a homogenized sample
     which was targeted for addition of analyte but which is
     not fortified with all the target analytes before
     sample preparation.  A method blank serves as a no-
     spike sample in cases where samples cannot be uniformly
     split as described in section 2.7.  Analysis results
     for this sample is used to correct for native analyte
     levels in the spiked and spiked duplicate samples.

2.7  Spiked Sample and Spiked Duplicate Sample - Two
     portions of a homogenized sample which were targeted
     for addition of analyte and are fortified with all the
     target analytes before preparation.  In cases where
     samples cannot be uniformly split  (such as paint chip
     samples taken for Lead per area determinations, a
     method blank can be used in place of the homogenized
     sample split.  Use of a method blank for a spiked
     sample should be referred to as a "spiked method blank"
     or "spiked method blank duplicate".   Analysis results
     for these samples are used to provide information on
     accuracy and precision of the overall analysis process.

2.8  Analysis Run - A period of measurement time on a given
     instrument during which data is calculated from a
     single calibration curve (or single set of curves).
     Re-calibration of a given instrument produces a new
     analysis run.

2.9  Instrumental QC Standards - Solutions analyzed during
     an instrumental analysis run which provide information
     on measurement performance during the instrumental
     analysis portion of the overall Lead measurement
     process.

2.10 Semi-quantitative Screen - An analysis run which is
     performed on highly diluted sample digestates for the
     purpose of determining the approximate analyte level in
     the digest.   This analysis run is generally performed
     without inserting Instrumental QC standards except for
     calibration standards.   Data from this run are used for
     determining serial dilution requirements for sample
     digestates to keep them within the linear range of the
     instrument.
                               FF-3

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2.11 Quantitative Analysis - An analysis run on sample
     digestates  (or serial dilutions of sample digest ates)
     which includes Instrumental QC standards .   Data from
     this run are used to calculate and report final Lead
     analysis results.

2.12 Initial Calibration Blank  (ICB) - A Standard solution
     which contains no analyte and is used for initial
     calibration and zeroing instrument response.  The ICB
     must be matrix matched to acid content present in
     sample digestates.  The ICB must be measured during
     calibration and after calibration.  The measured value
     is to be less than 5 times the instrumental detection
     limit.

2.13 Calibration Standards - Standard solutions used to
     Calibrate instrument.  Calibration Standards must be
     matrix matched to acid content present in sample
     digestates and must be measured prior to measuring any
     sample digestates.

2.14 Initial Calibration Verification  (ICV) - A Standard
     solution (or set of solutions) used to verify
     calibration standard levels. Concentration of analyte
     to be near mid-range of linear curve which is made from
     a stock solution having a different manufacturer or
     manufacturer lot identification than the calibration
     standards.  The ICV must be matrix matched to acid
     content present in sample digestates. The ICV must be
     measured after calibration and before measuring any
     sample digestates. The measured value to fall within
          of known value.
2.15 Interference Check Standard (ICS)  - A standard solution
     (or set of solutions) used for ICP-AES to verify
     accurate analyte response in the presence of possible
     spectral interferences from other analytes present in
     samples.  The concentration of analyte to be less than
     25% of the highest calibration standard,  concentrations
     of interferant will be 200 /ig/Ml of Al,  Ca, Fe, and Mg.
     The ICS must be matrix matched to acid content present
     in sample digestates.  The ICS must be analyzed at
     least twice, once before and once after all sample
     digestates.  The measured analyte value is expected to
     be within ±20% of known value.

2.16 Continuing Calibration Verification (CCV) - A standard
     solution (or set of solutions) used to verify freedom


                               FF-4

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     from excessive instrumental drift.   The concentration
     to be near mid-range of linear curve.  The CCV must be
     matrix matched to acid content present in sample
     digestates.  The CCV must be analyzed before and after
     all sample digestates and at a frequency not less than
     every ten sample digestates.  The measured value to
     fall within ±10% of known value for ICP-AES or FAAS
     (±20% for GFAA) ,  run once for every 10 samples.

2.17 Continuing Calibration Blank  (CCB)  -  A standard
     solution which has no analyte and is used to verify
     blank response and freedom from carryover.  The CCB
     must be analyzed after the CCV and after the ICS.  The
     measured value is to be less than 5 times the
     instrumental detection limit.
3 . 0  APPARATUS AND MATERIALS

3.1  Analytical Instrumentation

    3.1.1  Inductively Coupled Plasma Atomic Emission
Spectrometer  (ICP-AES) - Either sequential or simultaneous
capable of measuring at least one of the primary ICP Lead
emission lines.  Emission line used must be demonstrated to have
freedom from common major interferants such as Al,  Ca, Fe and Mg
or the ability to correct for these interferants.

    3.1.2  Flame Atomic Absorption Spectrometer (FAAS)  - Equipped
with an air-acetylene burner head, Lead hollow cathode lamp or
equivalent and capable of making Lead absorption measurements at
the 283.3nm absorption line.

    NOTE: The 283.3nm line is preferred over the 217nm line
    because of the increased noise levels commonly observed at
    the 217nm line for FAAS and GFAAS.

    3.1.3  Graphite Furnace Atomic Absorption Spectrometer
 (GFAAS) - Equipped with background correction, Lead hollow
cathode lamp or equivalent and capable of making Lead absorption
measurements at the 283.3nm absorption line.
3.2  Gases

    Grades specified by manufacturer of the instrument employed.

    3.2.1  Compressed air and acetylene for FAAS.


                               FF-5

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    3.2.2  Compressed or liquid argon for ICP-AES and GFAAS.

    3.2.3  Minimum of two stage regulation of all gases.


3.3  Glassware and Miscellaneous Supplies

    3.3.1  Vinyl Gloves ,  Powderless .

    3.3.2  Micro-pipettors with Disposable Plastic Tips, sizes
needed to make reagent additions, and spiking standards.   In
general, the following sizes should be readily available:  l-5mL
adjustable, 1000/zL, SOOpiL, 250ML, and 100/iL.
    3.3.3  Volumetric Flasks,  sizes needed to make, calibration
standards, serial dilutions and Instrumental QC standards.
4 . 0  Reagents

    4.1  Nitric acid,  concentrated; reagent grade

    4.2  Water—Unless otherwise indicated, references to water
shall be understood to mean reagent water as defined by  Type  1 of
Specification D1193 .  (ASTM Type I Water:  Minimum resistance  of
16.67 megohm-cm, or equivalent.)

    4.3  Calibration stock solution,  lOO/zg/mL of Pb in dilute
nitric acid or equivalent  (such as a multi-element stock
containing Pb) .

    4.4  Check standard stock solution (for ICV) , 100/xg/mL of Pb
in dilute nitric acid or equivalent.   Must be sourced  from a
different lot number  (or manufacturer) than the Calibration stock
solution (7.3) .

    4.5  Interferant stock solution (for ICS; ICP-AES only),
10000/zg/mL of Al, Ca,  Fe, and Mg in dilute nitric acid or
equivalent .


5 . 0  Procedure

    5.1  LaJboratory .Records—Record all reagent sources  (lot
numbers)  used for sample preparation in a laboratory notebook.
Record any inadvertent deviations, unusual happenings or
observations on a real-time basis as samples are processed.   Use
these records to add supplement Lead data when reporting results.


                               FF-6

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    5.2  Instrumental Setup

    5.2.1  FAAS/GFAAS -  Set the FAAS or GFAAS spectrometer up
for the analysis  of Lead at 283.3nm according to the instructions
given by the manufacturer.  Be  sure to allow at least a 30 minute
warmup of the hollow cathode lamp prior to starting calibration
and analysis.

    5.2.2  ICP-AES - Set the ICP spectrometer up for the analysis
of Lead at a primary Lead emission line  (such as 220.2nm)
according to the  instructions given by the manufacturer.  Be sure
to allow at least a 30 minute warmup of the system prior to
starting calibration and analysis.

    5.3  Preparation of Calibration and Instrumental QC Standards

    5.3.1  Calibration Standards - Prepare a series of
calibration standards covering  the linear range of the
instrumentation.  Prepare these standards using serial dilution
from the calibration stock solutions.  Prepare these standards
using the same final nitric acid concentration present in the
sample digestates. Also prepare an Initial Calibration Blank
(ICB)  as defined  in section 3 and Table FF-1.

        NOTE: For FAAS/GFAAS prepare a minimum of 3 calibration
        standards plus the ICB  for performing calibration of the
        instrument. ICP-AES can be performed using one high
        calibration standard and an ICB.  However, more are
        generally preferred.

    5.3.2  Instrumental QC Standards - Prepare Instrumental QC
standards as summarized in Table FF-1 using serial dilution from
the required stock solutions.   Prepare these standards using the
same final nitric acid concentration present in the sample
digestates.

        NOTE: The ICV is used to assess the accuracy of the
        calibration standards.  Therefore, it must be made from a
        different original source of stock solution than the
        stock used to make the  calibration standards.  Use of a
        different serial dilution of the same original stock is
        not acceptable.

    5.4  Calibration and Instrumental Measurement - Perform
calibration and quantitative Lead measurement of sample
digestates and instrumental QC  samples in the sequential order
outlined in Table FF-2.
                               FF-7

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        NOTE:  Performance of a Semi-quantitative screen prior to
        quantitative analysis for sample digests containing
        unknown levels of Lead generally recommended.  The
        purpose of this screen is to determine serial dilution
        requirements of each digestate needed to keep the
        instrumental response within the calibration curve.
        During a semi-quantitative screen all digestates are
        diluted to a constant large value (l-to-100 for ICP/FAAS
        and l-to-1000 for GFAAS) .  The instrument is calibrated
        and diluted digestates are analyzed without inserting the
        instrumental QC used for a Quantitative analysis run.
        Data from this screen are reviewed to calculate the
        optimum serial dilution needed for each digestate.  No
        sample data can be reported for any analyte value not
        falling within the calibration range.  Therefore, the
        optimum dilution is one which achieves the maximum Lead
        response which is still within the calibration curve.
        For ICP-AES, levels of possible interferants (Al, Ca, Fe
        and Mg) may have to also be considered in order to make
        interference corrections.  For ICP-AES, digestates must be
        sufficiently diluted to assure that levels of possible
        interferants such as Al,  Ca,  Fe and Mg are at or below
        the levels present in the ICS.

    5.5  Instrumental QC Evaluation and Corrective Action -
Examine the data generated from the analysis of calibration
standards and Instrumental QC standards.  Evaluate the analysis
run using the criteria shown in Table FF-1.   Failure to achieve
the specifications shown in Table FF-1 will require corrective
action to be performed as described below:

    5.5.1  ICE,  Calibration standards,  or ICV -  Failure to meet
specifications for these Instrumental QC standards requires
complete re-calibration.  Sample digestates cannot be measured
under these conditions. It is recommended that standards be re-
prepared prior to re-calibration.

    5.5.2  High Calibration Standard Re-run - Failure to meet
specifications for this Instrumental QC standard requires
complete re-calibration.  Sample digestates cannot be measured
under these conditions. It is recommended that standard range be
reduced prior to re-calibration.

    5.5.3  ICS -  Failure to meet specifications  for these
Instrumental QC standards requires re-analysis of the standard
until specifications are met.  Sample digestates cannot be
measured under these"conditions.   Re-preparation of the standard
prior to re-analysis is recommended under these conditions.


                              FF-8

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Continued failure of the  ICS may  require  interference correction
investigation or changing of instrument parameters.  Consult the
manufacturers recommendations under  these conditions.  Any change
in instrument parameters  must be  accompanied by re-calibration.
If measured aliquots of sample  digestates can be shown not to
contain interferants as high as those  recommended for the ICS
making, then the interference levels in the ICS can be lowered.
Such changes must be documented in laboratory records with data
supporting the justification for  the change. All measurements on
sample digests must be bracketed  by  an ICS which meets
specifications  (called a  "passing" ICS).  Failure to meet
specifications on the ICS run after  the sample digestates
requires re-running of all sample digestates since the last
passing ICS was measured.  Since  the ICS only is required to be
analyzed twice, much data could be lost if the analytical run
were long and the second  ICS failed  specifications.  This is good
reason for including periodic analysis of the ICS as shown in
Table FF-2.

    5.5.4   CCV - Failure  to meet  specifications for these
Instrumental QC standards indicates  excessive instrumental drift.
Sample digestates cannot  be measured under these conditions and
any sample digestates measured  since the last passing CCV must be
reanalyzed.  This situation requires either re-analysis of the
standard until specifications are met  or re-calibration.  All
measurements on sample digests  must  be bracketed by an CCV which
meets specifications.

    5.5.5   CCB - Failure  to meet  specifications for these
Instrumental QC standards indicates  the presence of possible
instrumental carryover or baseline shift.  Such a failure will
have the most impact on sample  digestates at the lower end of the
calibration curve.  The first corrective action is to re-analyze
the CCB.  If the CCB passes, then the  rinse time between the
samples should be increased and the  analysis continued. If the
instrument response is still elevated  and has not significantly
changed, then the instrument can  be  re-zeroed followed by a CCV-
CCB and re-analysis of all samples since the last passing CCB
which are  within 5 times  the response  of the failed CCB.
6.0  Calculations

For FAAS/GFAAS :  Prepare a calibration curve to convert
instrument response  (absorbance) to concentration  (/*g/mL) using a
linear regression fit.  Convert all instrumental measurements on
instrumental QC standards and sample digests to Lead
concentration  (^tg/mL) using the calibration curve.


                               FF-9

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    NOTE:   Some instruments will automatically prepare a
    calibration curve  based on a linear regression fit.

For ICP-AES: All modern ICPs automatically prepare a calibration
curve to convert instrumental responses (emission intensity) to
concentration  (/ig/g) .
                             FF-10

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 TABLE FF-1. SUMMARY OF LABORATORY INSTRUMENTAL MEASUREMENT QC STANDARDS
Name
               Use
                                   Specification
ICE  -
Initial
Calibration
Blank
Used for initial
calibration and
zeroing
instrument
response.
Calibration Standard which contains no
lead.
Must be measured during calibration and
after calibration.
Measured value to be less than 5 times
the IDL.
Calibration
Standards
Used to Calibrate
instrument.

The high standard
re-run is used to
check for
response
linearity.
Acid content must be approximately the
same as that in the sample digests.
Must be measured prior to measuring any
sample digests.
Correlation Coefficient of .>0.995, as
measured using linear regression on
instrument response(y) versus
concentration(x).
The highest level Calibration standard
must be measured after calibration. The
measured value to fall within +10% of
known value.
ICV -
Initial
Calibration
Verification
Used to verify
calibration
standard levels.
Concentration of lead to be near the
middle of calibration curve. It is made
from a stock solution having a different
manufacturer or manufacturer lot
identification than the calibration
standards.
Must be measured after calibration and
before measuring any sample digests.
Measured value to fall within +10% of
known value.
ICS -
Interference
Check
Standard
Used to verify
accurate lead
response in the
presence of
possible spectral
interferences
from other
analytes present
in samples.	
Concentration of lead to be less than
25% of the highest calibration standard,
concentrations of interferant are 200
/zg/mL of Al, Ca, Fe, and Mg.
Must be analyzed at least twice, once
before and once after all sample
digestates.
Measured lead value to fall within ±20%
of known value.
CCV -
Continuing
Calibration
Verification
Used to verify
freedom from
excessive
instrumental
drift.
Concentration to be near the middle of
the calibration curve.
Must be analyzed before and after all
sample digestates and at a frequency not
less than once every ten samples.
Measured value to fall within ±10% of
known value.
CCB -
Continuing
Calibration
Blank
Used to verify
blank response
and freedom from
carryover.
Calibration Standard which contains no
lead.
Must be analyzed after each CCV and each
ICS.
Measured value to be less than 5 times
the instrumental detection limit.
                                   FF-11

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TABLE FF-2.  EXAMPLE OF A TYPICAL ANALYSIS ORDER FOR MEASUREMENT
Run Order No.
(relative)
1
2-4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Sample ID
ICB
low, med,
high
ICB
ICV
high
standard
CCB
ICS
CCB
CCV
CCB
Comments
Calibration Blank
Calibration Standards
Calibration Blank
made from different stock,
level is near mid-point of
curve
Calibration Standard
Same as Calibration Blank
Interference Check Standard
Carryover Check
Drift Check, same as near
midpoint calibration standard
Carryover check
Instrument
Calibration
Calibration
Verification
Linearity
Check
Interferant
check for
ICP only
Continuing
Calibration
Verification
*** start repeating cycle of samples- Instrumental QC here ***
13-22
23-24
25-34
35-36
37-38
Sample IDs
CCV
CCB
Sample IDs
ICS
CCB
CCV
CCB
Sample digestates
Drift Check +
Carryover Check
Sample digestates
Interferant Check +
Carryover Check
Drift Check +
Carryover Check
Max. of 10
samples
See run
# 11-12
Max. of 10
samples
See run
# 9-10
See run
# 11-12
*** end repeating cycle of samples-QC standards here ***
                             FF-12

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                  APPENDIX GG

            PILOT STUDY PROTOCOLS:
PROTOCOL FOR PACKAGING AND SHIPPING OF SAMPLES
                     GG-1

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          PROTOCOL FOR PACKAGING AND SHIPPING OF SAMPLES
1.0  INTRODUCTION

Collection and analysis of paint chip samples as specified by the
QAPjP will require packaging and shipping of samples from
sampling sites.  The field team will be  responsible for packag-
ing and shipping the samples from each sampling site to the
Sample Custodian at MRI.   The following are protocols for
packaging and shipping samples from the field.
2.0  SAMPLE PACKAGING PROTOCOL

The field team is responsible for preparing the samples for
shipment back to MRI.  Samples that are collected will be shipped
at the end of each sampling day.   The same shipping container
that was used to ship sample collection containers to the field
will be used to ship them back to MRI.   All sampling materials
will be packaged in accordance with Department of Transportation
(DOT)  regulations.  The field team will include copies of the
field sampling forms with the samples to identify the contents of
the shipping containers.   The original  field sampling forms will
be held by the field supervisor and ultimately hand carried back
to MRI.  Do not send original copies of sample data forms or
other important records with the samples.
3.0  SAMPLE SHIPPING METHODS

All samples will be shipped to MRI via Federal Express Economy
Distribution Service in accordance with DOT shipping regulations.
The MRI field team will be responsible making the shipping ar-
rangement with the local Federal Express Office.   Pre-printed
Federal Express Air Bills can be obtained from the MRI Shipping
and Receiving Department.  All Federal Express shipments will use
the standard Federal Express Air Bill.  For further details
consult with MRI's S & R Department.
                              GG-2

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                   APPENDIX HH

             PILOT STUDY  PROTOCOLS:
    GLASSWARE/PLASTICWARE CLEANING PROCEDURE
INFORMATION NOT PRESENT  :  PROPRIETARY INFORMATION
                       HH-1

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                    APPENDIX II

              PILOT STUDY  PROTOCOLS:
          ACID  BATH CLEANING PROCEDURES
INFORMATION NOT PRESENT : PROPRIETARY INFORMATION
                        II-l

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               APPENDIX AAA
LABORATORY SAMPLE  PREPARATION EXPERIMENTS
                   AAA-1

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            LABORATORY SAMPLE PREPARATION EXPERIMENTS

1.0   Introduc tion

   At the initiation of this study,  a draft EPA report [3] ,
indicated that a NIOSH method 7082 would be an acceptable sample
preparation method for the study since it was shown to produce
high lead recoveries from paint samples.   NIOSH method 7082  is
designed to prepare and analyze air filter samples for analysis
of a wide  variety of inorganic components that also included
lead.  Because it is specifically written for air filter samples,
modifications to NIOSH 7082 are required to make it applicable to
processing paint chip samples.   Based on the EPA report,  this
method with appropriate modifications,  was selected to digest
paint samples for this study.

   Prior to initiation of laboratory analysis on collected field
samples, a set of four experiments were conducted for the
following three reasons:

   1.    To familiarize the laboratory with the modified NIOSH
         method 7082.
   2.    To assure that the modifications to the method were
         appropriate.
   3.    To determine the appropriate sample mass that could be
         processed using the modified NIOSH method 7082.

   A discussion of the four experiments,  referred to as Tests 1,
2, 3 and 4,  performed on account of the three reasons listed
above,  are presented in this appendix.   Since the laboratory
targeted for the paint analysis activities in this study had a
great deal of experience using EPA SW846 method 3050, a commonly
used sample preparation procedure for the analysis of metals in
solid samples, this method was used in these experiments to
provide a basis of comparison to the selected modified NIOSH
method 7082.

   These experiments were not intended to be an exhaustive
comparison study for determining the optimal sample preparation
of paint chips for lead analysis.  Rather,  the experiments were
used to familiarize the laboratory with the modified NIOSH method
7082 and to identify any obvious factors that could affect lead
recoveries from paint samples.

1.1   General Experimental Approach

   Two general design elements were included into each of the
four experiments:  (1) Use of paint sample materials well


                              AAA-2

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characterized for lead concentrations,  and (2)  Use  of  sample
aliquots of variable mass.   Each of these general design elements
are discussed in the following subsections 1.1.1 and 1.1.2.

1.1.1 Use of Paint Sample Materials with Known  Lead
      Concentrations

   Paint sample materials well characterized for lead
concentrations were included in the experiments to  evaluate  the
sample preparation procedures by measuring lead recoveries.
National Institute of Standards and Technology  (NIST),  standard
reference material  (SRM) No.  1579a  lead-based paint,  11.995
percent lead by weight, was  included in all four experiments for
two reasons.  First, NIST SRM No. 1579a was the only lead based
paint material available that had a certified lead  concentration.
Second, difficulties in obtaining lead  recoveries from this
material had been reported by a few persons1 which made  it a
good material to differentiate between  rigorous and marginal
methods, i.e., sample preparation methods that  could obtain  good
recoveries from this material would provide increased  confidence
that high lead recoveries would be  obtained from collected paint
chip samples.

   In addition to NIST SRM No.  1579a, paint performance
evaluation samples, from rounds 02  and  03 prepared  for the
American Industrial Hygiene  Association (AIHA)  Environmental Lead
Proficiency Analytical Testing (ELPAT)  program, were included in
two of the experiments.  The ELPAT  samples were included to
provide additional lead recovery data on which  to differentiate
between the methods being examined  during the experimentation.

1.1.2 Use of Sample Aliquots of Variable Mass

   Sample preparation methods are sample size limited  because
procedures include fixed amounts of acidic reagents and
extraction volumes.  For a given matrix using a specific method,
it is expected that, above a given  sample mass, analyte
recoveries would be poor.  Collection of a large surface area,
approximately 25 cm2, was incorporated  as a study design element
to aid in reducing variation caused by  potential spatial lead
variations as discussed in section  3.2.2.1 and  collection error.
Therefore, average total collected  sample mass was  expected  to be
high which would require sample homogenization  and  subsampling to
obtain a sample mass that could be  effectively  prepared for  lead
analysis in the laboratory.   As a consequence,  the  effect of
    Personal communications between Midwest Research Institute in Kansas
City, MO and NIOSH in Cincinnati, OK and EPA/ORD in Research Triangle Park, NC
                              AAA-3

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sample mass was investigated during all experiments to determine
the mass limits of the tested procedures.

2.0   Discussion of Experimental Results

   The first two experiments included investigations using two
different hot-plate type extraction sample preparation methods,
EPA SW846 method 3050 and a modified NIOSH method 7082,  while the
later two focused on refining procedures only for the selected
method, modified NIOSH method 7082.  Instrumental lead
measurements for all four experiments were conducted using ICP-
AES.

2.1   Discussion of Test 1

   The purpose of Test 1 was to compare the two selected hot-
plate digestion (extraction)  methods by examining the lead
recoveries from NIST SRM No.  1579a and ELPAT samples.  A summary
of the two extraction methods used in Test 1 are shown in Table
AAA-1.  The modifications to NIOSH 7082,  as shown in the table,
were made to convert this air filter sample method to a method
that is applicable for processing paint chip samples.

   Test 1 included a set of triplicate extractions for three  (3)
different nominal sample masses ranging from 0.5 to 5 grams for
NIST SRM No. 1579a and 0.5 to 1 gram for ELPAT samples.   This set
of samples was prepared by a single technician using SW846 method
3050 within a single sample preparation batch to minimize any
potential between batch effects.  This entire set was duplicated
by a second technician using the modified NIOSH method 7082 as
summarized in Table AAA-2.

   The following conclusions are suggested from the Test 1
results presented in Tables AAA-3 and AAA-4:

(1)    Results from ELPAT samples, shown in Table AAA-3,  are
      erratic with mean lead recoveries ranging from 77.3% to
      100.8% and relative standard deviations ranging from 0.6%
      to 29.2% across both hot-plate extraction methods over the
      0.5 to 1 gram mass range.
                              AAA-4

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Table AAA-1. Summary of Modifications made to Methods for Test 1.
Sample
Extraction
Method
EPA SW846 method
3050 with HC1
option
NIOSH method
7082
Modification, to Method
None.
References to use 140°C hot-plates were
replaced with temperatures of 85-100°C.
References for evaporation to dryness
were replaced by evaporation to near
dryness .
For nominal sample mass <1 gram: increase
total concentrated nitric acid volume
from 6 to 9 mL and increase final
dilution volume from 10 to 100 mL.
For nominal sample mass al gram:
increase total concentrated nitric acid
levels from 6 to 18 mL and increase final
dilution volume from 10 to 200 mL.
Reason for
Modi f ication

To avoid
potential
losses
caused by
spattering
To allow for
increased
sample mass
Table AAA-2.
Summary of Design Parameters for Test
Method"
SW846-B
NIOSH- C
Sample Type"
NIST
ELPAT
NIST
ELPAT
Nominal Sample
Mass (grams)
0.5, 1, 5
0.5, 1
0.5, 1, 5
0.5, 1
No. of Replicates
at Each Mass
3
3
3
3
a SW846-B = method SW846 method 3050 performed by technician B
NIOSH-C = modified NIOSH method 7082 performed by technician C
b NIST = SRM No. 1579a, lead level of 11.995%
ELPAT = performance samples from round 1, samples 3 and 4,
reference values given as 0.7026% and 5.4744%
respectively, triplicate samples were from either sample 3
or sample 4 .
 (2)   Results  from NIST  SRM 1579a,  shown in Table AAA-4, are also
      erratic  with mean  lead recoveries ranging from 54.6% to
      82.8%  and  relative standard deviations ranging from 9.0% to
      49.0%  across both  hot-plate extraction methods over the 0.5
      to 1 gram  mass  range.

 (3)   Results  for the nominal 5 gram mass showed very low lead
      recoveries ranging from 8.7% to 21.1%, strongly suggesting
      that neither extraction procedure was capable of extracting
      lead from  a sample mass of 5 grams.
                               AAA-5

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Table AAA-3.
Summary Results for Test 1:  The Effect of Lead Recovery from
ELPAT Samples at Variable Sample Mass using SW846 method 3050
and modified NIOSH method 7082.
Nominal
Sample
Mass*
(grams)
0.5
1
Lead Recovery Results for ELPAT Samples
SW846 method 3050
Person
Code"
B
B
Mean
Recovery0
82.2%
99.0%
Relative
Standard
Deviation11
13.5%
0.6%
modified NIOSE method 7082
Person
Codeb
C
C
Mean
Recovery0
100.8%
77.3%
Relative
Standard
Deviation4
12.8%
29.2%
* Actual sample mass was within ±25% of the nominal sample mass.
b Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians.
c Mean of three replicates .
d [(standard deviation of three replicates) / (mean recovery)] (100)
Table AAA-4.
Summary Results for Test 1:  The Effect of Lead Recovery from
NIST SRM 1579a at Variable Sample Mass using SW846 method
3050 and modified NIOSH method 7082.
Nominal
Sample
Mass*
(grams)
0.5
1
5
Lead Recovery Results for NIST SRM 157 9a
SW846 method 3050
Person
Code"
B
B
B
Mean
Recovery0
64.4%
80.9%
21.1%
Relative
Standard
Deviation"
49.0%
9.0%
18.0%
modified NIOSH method 7082
Person
Codeb
C
C
C
Mean
Recovery0
82.8%
54.6%
8.7%
Relative
Standard
Deviation*1
36.0%
33.5%
23.0%
a Actual sample mass was within ±10% of the nominal sample mass .
b Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians .
c Mean of three replicates.
d [(standard deviation of three replicates) / (mean recovery)] (100)
   Because of the inconsistent  results obtained from Test  1,
decisions  were made to modify the  two extraction methods with the
aim of  improving lead recoveries.   The modifications made  to the
methods are shown in Table AAA-5.

2.2   Discussion of Test 2

   The  purpose of Test 2 was to compare the  two selected hot-
plate digestion (extraction) methods after modification by
examining  the lead recoveries from NIST SRM  No. 1579a.  A  summary
of the  two extraction procedures used in Test  2 are shown  in
Table AAA-5.
                                AAA-6

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   The effect of variation in sample mass on lead recovery was
examined more carefully in Test 2 than in Test 1.   Test 2
included a set of triplicate extractions for four (4)  different
nominal sample masses ranging from 1 to 4 grams for NIST SRM No.
1579a.  This set of samples was prepared by a single technician
using the modified SW846 method 3050 within a single sample
preparation batch to minimize any potential between batch
effects.  This entire set was duplicated by a second technician
and a third technician using the modified SW846 method 3050 and
the modified NIOSH method 7082, respectively as summarized in
Table AAA-6.   The replication of the sample set using the same
extraction method, modified SW846 method 3050, was done to help
rule out a potential technician processing problem which was
proposed as a potential cause of the inconsistent results
obtained in Test 1 for this commonly used method of sample
preparation.

   The following conclusions are suggested from the Test 2
results presented in Table AAA-7:

(1)   Mean recoveries of lead in NIST SRM 1579a extracted by
      modified SW846 method 3050 and the modified NIOSH method
      7082 decreased with increases in sample mass.

(2)   Lower lead recoveries for the modified SW846 method 3050
      were a result of the sample preparation methodology and not
      a technician processing problem since the two technicians
      using the same procedure obtained similar results.

(3)   Lead recovery using the modified NIOSH method 7082 for the
      nominal 1 and 2 gram sample mass was higher than for the
      modified SW846 method 3050 at 98.6% and 79.8% compared to
      76.3%, 89.3% and 56.1%, 58.8%, respectively.

(4)   Precision of the lead recovery was also better using the
      modified NIOSH method 7082 for the nominal 1 and 2 gram
      sample mass than for the modified SW846 method 3050 as
      measured by the relative standard deviations at 3.0% and
      3.5% compared to 19.7%, 4.1% and 8.4%,  17.9%, respectively.
                               AAA-7

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Table AAA-5.
Summary of Modifications made to Methods for
Tests 2,  3, and 4.
Sample
Extraction
Method
EPA SW846
method 3050
(Test 2 only)
NIOSH method
7082
Modification to Method
For nominal sample mass a2 gram: 2.5 fold
increase in reagents and final dilution
volume .
References to use 140°C hot-plates were
replaced with temperatures of 85-100°C.
References for evaporation to dryness were
replaced by evaporation to near dryness .
Increased total concentrated nitric acid
volumes from 6 to 22.5 mL, increased total
hydrogen peroxide volumes from 3 to 7 . 5 mL
and increase final dilution volume from 10
to 250 mL.
Reason for
Modification
To allow for
the increased
sample mass
To avoid
potential
losses caused
by spattering
To allow for
the increased
sample mass .
Table AAA-6.
Summary of Design Parameters for Test 2.
Method*
SW846-A
SW846-B
NIOSH-D
Sample Typeb
NIST
NIST
NIST
Nominal Sample
Mass (grams)
1, 2, 3, 4
1. 2, 3, 4
1, 2, 3, 4
No. of Replicates at
Each Mass
3
3
3
a SW846-A = modified SW846 method 3050 performed by technician A
SW846-B = modified SW846 method 3050 performed by technician B
NIOSH-D = modified NIOSH method 7082 performed by technician D
b NIST = SRM No. 1579a, lead level of 11.995%
                                    AAA-8

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Table AAA-7.
        Summary Results for Test 2: The Effect of Lead Recovery from
        NIST SRM 1579a at Variable Sample Mass using modified SW846
        method 3050 and modified NIOSH method 7082
Nominal
Sample
Mass*
(grams)
1
2
3
4
Lead Recovery Results for NIST SRM 1579a
modified SW846 method 3050
Person
Code*
A
B
A
B
A
B
A
B
Mean
Recoveryc
76.3%
89.3%
56.1%
58.8%
23.7%
44.3%
29.9%
27.6%
Relative
Standard
Deviation*
19.7%
4.1%
8.4%
17.9%
26.6%
37.2%
10.0%
20.3%
modified NIOSH method 7082
Person
Code*
D
D
D
D
Mean
Recovery0
98.6%
79.8%
48.1%
34.8%
Relative
Standard
Deviation3
3.0%
3.5%
2.7%
2.6%
a Actual sample mass was within ±12% of the nominal sample mass.
b Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians.
c Mean of three replicates.
d [(standard deviation of three replicates) / (mean recovery)] (100)
   Based on the conclusions  presented above,  the modified NIOSH
method 7082 appeared to be adequate for use in this study as
compared to EPA SW846 method 3050.   Further experiments, Tests 3
and 4, were performed without including SW846 method 3050 and
were used to determine the appropriate sample mass for the
modified NIOSH method 7082.
2.3
Discussion of Test 3
   The purpose of Test  3 was  to determine the appropriate sample
mass for the modified NIOSH method 7082 by examining the lead
recoveries from NIST SRM No.  1579a and ELPAT samples.  A summary
of the modified NIOSH method  7082 used in Test 3 is shown in
Table AAA-5.

   Test 3 included a set of triplicate extractions for five  (5)
different nominal sample masses ranging from 0.25 to 1.25 grams
for NIST SRM No. 1579a  as  summarized in Table AAA-8.  This set of
samples was prepared by a  single technician using the modified
NIOSH method 7082 within a single sample preparation batch to
minimize any potential  between-batch effects.  This entire set
was duplicated by a second technician and a third technician to
provide multiple data sets on the effect of sample mass on lead
recovery using the modified NIOSH method 7082 and to identify
differences in recoveries  associated with individual technicians.
                               AAA-9

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Table AAA-8.
Summary of Design Parameters for Test 3.
Method*
NIOSH-A
NIOSH-B
NIOSH-D
Sample Type"
NIST
NIST
NIST
Nominal Sample
Mass (grams)
0.25, 0.5,
0.75, 1, 1.25
0.25, 0.5,
0.75, 1, 1.25
0.25, 0.5,
0.75, 1, 1.25
No. of Replicates
at Each Mass
3
3
3
a NIOSH-B = modified method 7082 performed by technician A
NIOSH-D = modified method 7082 performed by technician B
NIOSH-A = modified method 7082 performed by technician D
b NIST = SRM No. 1579a, lead level of 11.995%
   The following conclusions are suggested from the Test  3
results presented in Table AAA-9:

(1)   Mean recoveries of lead in NIST SRM 1579a extracted by  the
      modified NIOSH method 7082 decreased with increases in
      sample mass.  This conclusion is consistent with results
      from Test 2.
(2)   Lead recoveries for the 0.25 gram sample mass gave  the
      highest lead recoveries for all three technicians ranging
      from 99.0% to 100.3%.
(3)   Lead recoveries for the 0.25 gram and 0.5 gram sample
      masswere above the 90% level for all three technicians
      ranging from 92.8% to 100.3%.
(4)   For two out of three technicians, lead recoveries for the
      0.75 gram sample mass dropped below 80% at 74.4% and 75.4%
      compared to 94.6%, respectively.
(5)   Lead recoveries for the 1.0 and 1.25 gram sample mass gave
      the lowest lead recoveries for all three technicians
      ranging from 50.2% to 87.9%.
(6)   Precision of the lead recovery, as measured by the  relative
      standard deviations from triplicate samples, was below  15%
      for all three technicians at all sample masses, ranging
      from 0.6% to 13.0%, with one exception at 49.6%.

   Data presented above suggest that sample mass should not
exceed 0.5 grams.
                              AAA-10

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Table AAA-9.
Summary Results for Test 3: The Effect of Lead Recovery from
NIST SRM 1579a at Variable Sample Mass using modified NIOSH
method 7082.
a
Nominal
Sample Mass
(grams)
0.25
0.5
0.75
1.0
1.25
Lead Recovery Results for NIST SRM 1579a
modified NIOSH method 7082
b
Person Code
A
B
D
A
B
D
A
B
D
A
B
D
A
B
D
c
Mean Recovery
100.3%
99.0%
99.6%
92.8%
97.9%
93.7%
75.4%
94.6%
74.4%
68.9%
87.9%
83.9%
56.6%
73.7%
50.2%
d
Relative Standard Deviation
0.4%
3.1%
2.2%
13.0%
0.6%
1.6%
8.9%
8.8%
7.1%
5.7%
10.5%
49.6%
6.0%
8.1%
10.6%
a Actual sample mass was within ±10% of the nominal sample mass.
b Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians.
c Mean of three replicates
d [(standard deviation of three replicates) / (mean recovery)] (100)
                                    AAA-11

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2.4   Discussion of Test 4

   The purpose of Test 4 was to examine  the extraction efficiency
for the 0.5 and 0.25 gram sample mass  using the modified NIOSH
method 7082 in more detail than Test 3.   Because the contribution
to variability from sample inhomogeneity increases with
decreasing aliquot mass,  as discussed  in subsection 3.3.1.2.3,
use of a 0.5 gram mass is more desirable than a 0.25 gram sample
mass even though data from Test 3 show that the 0.25 gram mass
produces the highest lead recoveries from the NIST SRM No. 1579a.
Data from Test 3 suggests that a 0.5 gram aliquot should provide
lead recoveries greater than 90% from  field samples assuming that
recovery from field samples is at least  as high as that from NIST
SRM No. 1579a.  Test 4 was performed to  provide additional
confidence that the use of the 0.5 gram  sample mass would achieve
high recovery of lead from field samples.

   Test 4 included a set of duplicate  extractions for 10
homogenized field samples at two (2) different nominal sample
masses, 0.25 gram and 0.5 gram as summarized in Table AAA-10.  In
addition, one extraction for NIST SRM  No.  1579a at 0.25 gram mass
and duplicate extractions for ELPAT samples at the 0.5 gram mass
were included to assess the processing control for the sample
set.   This set of samples was prepared  by a single technician
using the modified NIOSH method 7082 within a single sample
preparation batch to minimize any potential between-batch
effects.  A similar set was prepared by  a second technician using
a different set of 10 homogenized field  samples to generate
additional data.  A different set of field samples was required
due to limits in the total mass of sample material available for
individual samples.

   The following conclusions are suggested from the Test 4
results presented in Tables AAA-11, AAA-12 and AAA-13:

(1)    Recoveries greater than 90% suggest efficient extraction
      occurred in each batch using the modified NIOSH method 7082
      for the NIST SRM No.  1579a and ELPAT samples at the 0.25
      gram and 0.5 gram sample mass, consistent with the
      recoveries observed in Test 3 for  the extraction of 0.25
      gram and 0.5 gram NIST SRM No. 1579a.
(2)    There is no significant difference in variability between
      pairs of samples weighing 0.25 grams and pairs weighing 0.5
      grams.   The root-mean-square relative percent difference
      between duplicates weighing 0.25 grams in Table AAA-12 is
      21.9% as compared to 25.9% for duplicates weighing 0.5
      grams.   The difference is not statistically significant.
                             AAA-12

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!3)   Variability between laboratory duplicate samples,  as
     measured by relative % differences in lead results for
     subsamples  taken from the same homogenized parent  sample,
     is  inconsistent.   Relative % differences between like
     sample  masses and between different samples masses ranged
     from 0.1% to 47.5% and 0.2 and 66.2%,  respectively.
                              AAA-13

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Table AAA-10.    Summary of Design Parameters  for  Test  4.
Method*
NIOSH-B
NIOSH-D
Sample Type13
NIST
ELPAT
10 FIELD SAMPLES
NIST
ELPAT
10 FIELD SAMPLES
Nominal Sample
Mass (grams)
0.25, 0.5
0.25
0.25, 0.5
0.25, 0.5
0.25
0.25, 0.5
No. of Replicates
at Each Mass
1
2
2
1
2
2
• NIOSH-B = modified method 7082 performed by technician B
NIOSH-D = modified method 7082 performed by technician D
b NIST = SRM No. 1579a, lead level of 11.995%
ELPAT = samples from round 1, sample 2, reference value of 0.5568%
FIELD SAMPLES = field samples from Louisville
Table AAA-11.
Summary Results for Test 4:  The  Effect of Lead Recovery from
NIST SRM 1579a and ELPAT samples at  Variable Sample Mass
using modified NIOSH method  7082.
Nominal
Sample Mass*
(grams)
0.25
0.5
Lead Recovery Results using modified NIOSH method 7082
NIST SRM No. 157 9a
Person Codec
B
D
B
D
Lead Recovery
97.9%
nad
93.0%
91.0%
ELPAT*
Person Codec
B
D
B
D
Lead Recovery
100.9%
94.1%
95.7%
93.9%
nae
nae
* Actual sample mass was within ±13% of the nominal sample mass.
B ELPAT samples from round 1, sample 2, reference value of 0.5568%
e Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians .
d Not available, sample was inadvertently missed by technician.
e Not available - not planned for extraction at this mass because of
insufficient material
                                   AAA-14

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Table AAA-12.
Summary Results for Test 4:  The Effect of Lead Results  from
Filed Samples at Variable Sample Mass using modified NIOSH
method 7082 Performed by Technician Ba,
Field Sample
ID No.
905545
905541
905533
905597
905604
905524
905605
905564
905592
905501
Nominal
Sample
Massb
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
Mean Lead
Results
(mg/g) c
3.884
3.804
3.384
6.735
1.709
na£
1.962
1.864
2.038
1.949
4.249
4.266
1.495
1.644
131.213
137.033
21.672
31.556
67.722
89.186
Relative %
Difference
between same
Mass*
1.2
24.6
43.5
44.2
33.7
naf
4.9
0.7
0.1
0.4
1.3
0.4
33.7
26.5
16.9
23.1
8.0
46.9
16.0
5.1
Relative %
Difference
between different
Mass*
2.1
66.2
na£
5.1
4.5
0.4
9.5
4.3
37.1
27.4
a Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians.
b Actual sample mass was within ±13% of the nominal sample mass.
c Mean of two replicates
d Absolute value calculated using the following:
{mq/a of 1st duplicate - rnq/q for 2nd duplicate) (100)
(mean mg/g for both duplicates)
e Absolute value calculated using the following:
(mean mq/a for 0.25q - mean mq/q for 0 . 5q) (100)
(mean mg/g for both 0.25g and 0.5g)
£ na = not available, sample was inadvertently spilled
by a technician.
                                   AAA-15

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Table AAA-13.
Summary Results for Test 4:  The Effect of  Lead Results  from
Filed Samples at Variable Sample Mass using modified NIOSH
method 7082 Performed by Technician Da.
Field Sample
ID No.
905591
905593
905507
905527
905528
905587
905531
905521
905523
905590
Nominal
Sample
Mass"
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
Mean Lead
Results
(mg/g) c
2.253
2.418
1.255
1.324
4.224
4.215
3.380
3.504
44.385
48.468
63.907
40.253
2.275
2.663
38.138
42.845
32.319
37.360
34.178
48.429
Relative %
Difference
Between Same
Mass*
30.8
3.1
5.7
0.1
19.7
21.0
4.2
8.2
4.9
0.5
40.3
17.3
3.4
4.5
27.2
8.9
1.2
3.6
47.5
8.4
Relative %
Difference
Between Different
Mass"
7.1
5.3
0.2
3.6
8.8
45.4
15.7
11.6
14.5
34.5
* Codes represent preparation of samples by specific technicians.
6 Actual sample mass was within ±13% of the nominal sample mass.
c Mean of two replicates
" Absolute value calculated using the following:
(mq/q of 1st duplicate - mq/q for 2nd duplicate) (100)
(mean mg/g for both duplicates)
e Absolute value calculated using the following:
(mean mq/a for 0.25q - mean mq/q for 0.5q) (100)
(mean mg/g for both 0.25g and 0.5g)

                                   AAA-16

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Inconsistencies are suspected to be a result of matrix variations
and sample homogeneity variations among the field samples.

   Based on the conclusions obtained from Tests 3 and 4 combined
with the logical assumption that the contribution to variability
from sample inhomogeneity increases with decreasing aliquot mass,
a decision was made to limit sample aliquots to a nominal 0.5
gram sample mass for processing paint chip samples using the
modified NIOSH method 7082 summarized in Table AAA-5.  If a
homogenized individual paint chip sample was less than 0.5 gram,
then all of the sample was extracted.  Otherwise, a nominal 0.5
gram subsample was extracted.
                               AAA-17

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50272-101
  REPORT DOCUMENTATION
             PAGE
1. REPORT NO.
        EPA 747-R-95-002b
3. Recipient's Accession No.
 4. Title and Subtitle
         A FIELD TEST OF LEAD-BASED PAINT TESTING TECHNOLOGIES-
         TECHNICAL REPORT
                                                                                       5. Report Date
                                                                                               May 1995
 7. Author(s)
         Cox, D.C.; Dewalt, F.G.; Haugen, M.M.; Koyak, R.A.; Schmehl, R.L.
                                                                                       8. Performing Organization Rept. No.
 9. Performing Organization Name and Address

        QuanTech, Inc.
        1911 North Fort Myer Drive, Suite 1000
        Rosslyn, Virginia 22209
                                                     10. Project/Task/Work Unit No.
                     Midwest Research Institute
                 &   425 Volker Boulevard
                     Kansas City, Missouri  64110
11. Contract (C) or Grant (G) No.

        68-DO-0137
 12. Sponsoring Organization Name and Address

        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
        Office of Pollution, Pesticides and Toxic Substances
        Washington, DC  20460
                                                     13. Type of Report & Period Covered

                                                             Technical Report
                                                     14.
 15. Supplementary Notes
        In addition to the authors listed above, the following key staff members were major contributors to the
        study:  Paul Constant, Donna Nichols, Jack Balsinger, Nancy Friederich, and John Jones of Midwest
        Research Institute; and Connie Reese of QuanTech.
 16. Abstract (Limit:  200 words)

        A large field study was conducted to compare three methods commonly used to test for lead in paint:
        portable X-ray fluorescence (XRF) instruments, lead paint test kits, and laboratory analysis of paint
        chip samples. Laboratory analysis is considered to be the most accurate of the three methods and was
        the benchmark for comparisons. The study concludes that use of K-shell XRFs, with laboratory
        confirmation of readings designated as inconclusive and with correction of substrate biases where
        appropriate, is an acceptable way to classify painted architectural components versus  the federal
        threshold of 1.0 mg/cm2.  The study concludes that test kits  should not be used to test for lead in  paint.
        No test kit in the study achieved low rates of both false positive and false negative results.  Some  kits
        yielded a positive result at low levels of lead. Other kits were prone to a negative result when lead in
        paint was above the federal thresholds of 1.0 mg/cm2 and 0.5% by weight.
 17. Document Analysis a. Descriptors

        Lead-based paint, lead-based paint testing, comparability study, field evaluation, recommendations for testing
        for lead in paint

        b. Identifiers/Open-Ended Terms

        X-ray fluorescence instrument, XRF instrument, portable XRF, lead paint test kit, chemical test kit, test kit,
        inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectrometry, ICP-AES, ICP


        c. COSATI Field/Group
 18. Availability Statement
                                     19. Security Class (This Report)
                                            Unclassified
                                                                       20. Security Class (This Page)
                                                                              Unclassified
           21. No. of Pages
                    1156
                                                                                                   22. Price
(See ANSI-Z39 18)
                                                              OPTIONAL FORM 272 (4-77)
                                                                     (Formerly NTIS-35)
                                                                 Department of Commerce

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