DRAFT
          SUW1ARY OF NATIONAL ASSESSMENT
         OF THE URBAN PARTICIPATE PROBLEM
                Distributed At

       Air Programs Regional Office Workshop
              Southern Pines, N.C.

                August 3-6, 1976
       (This represents a portion of the
       draft final report on  the 14 city
       TSP study conducted by GCA Corp.
       for OAQPS)
               Thompson G. Pace
               Project Officer

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                                CONTENTS



                                                                     Page




List of Figures                                                      iv




List of Tables                                                       vi




Acknowledgments                                                      vii




Sections




I      Introduction                                                  *




           General Conclusions                                       !




           Study Approach                                            4




           Organization of the Study Report                          5




II     General Findings of the Study                                 6




           Study City Analysis                                       6




           Study of Factors Affecting Attainment                     26




III    Assessment of Factors Affecting Attainment                    32




           Background and Large-Scale Considerations                 34




           Particulates From Traditional Sources                     51




           Particulates From Nontraditional Sources                  62




           Monitoring Considerations                                 77




           Relative Contributions of Various Factors                 103




 IV      Summary                                                       i08



           Problem Assessment                                        108
                                  ii

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                         CONTENTS (continued)


Sections                                                             Page


           Attainment Factors Identified in City Studies             108


           Control Strategy Options                                  113


           Framework for Control Strategy Prioritization             119


V      Recommendations                                               122


           Recommendations for Emission Control Efforts              123


           Recommendations Concerning Air Quality Management
           Planning                                                  128


           Issues Concerning NAAQS Review                            130
 (Please note  -  The  Draft  Final  Report on the 14-city Suspended
  Particulate  study  entitled  "Volume  I - National Assessment of
  the Particulate  Problem"  contains Appendices A through G which
  support the  following  material.)

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                            LIST OF FIGURES

No.                                                                  Page

1      Geographical Distribution of 14 Study Cities                  7

2      Schematic Relationship Among Five Major Factors               31

3      Average TSP, Levels by Neighborhood Type                      33

4      Composite Annual Geometric Mean TSP Levels at Nonurban
       NASN Sites From 1970 Through 1973 (ug/m3)                     48

5      Annual. Geometric Mean Sulfate and Nitrate Levels at Non-
       urban NASN Sites- 1974                                        50

6      Average Estimated Contributions to Nonurban Levels in the
       East, Midwest, West                                           52

7      Relationship Between City Wide Average TSP Levels and
       Traditional Source Emission Density                           55

8      Traditional Source Increments in Different Site Types         63

9      The Range and Average Lead Concentrations Found at
       Monitoring Sites                                              71

10     Average and Range of TSP Loadings Due to Tire Wear at
       Different Monitoring Site Classifications                     73

11     Nontraditional Source Increments at Different Site Types      73

12     Range of Heights in Typical Hi-Vol Installations              85

13     Duration of Rainfall Effectiveness in Reducing TSP Levels
       at Two Birmingham Sites                                       94

14     Relationship Between TSP Concentrations and Wind Speed at
       Three Selected Sites in Birmingham on Days With 48-Hour
       Precipitation Amounts <_ 0.02 Inches                           97
                                  iv

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                         LIST  OF  FIGURES  (continued)

No.                                                                  Page

15     Relative Effect of Annual  Precipitation on Annual TSP Level
       in a Hypothetical Urban Area                                  101

16     Summary of  Average Impact  of Major  Contributors to TSP
       Levels                                                        105

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                            LIST OF TABLES

No.                                                                  Page

1      Population and Physical Setting of Case Study Cities          9

2      Study Cities by Their Dispersion and Industralization
       Characteristics                                               10

3      Summary of Sites Exceeding Air Quality Standards              11

4      Source and Emissions Characterization of Study Cities         12

5      Composite Summary of Microscopic Analysis In 14 Cities,
       yg/m3                                                         24

6      Estimates of Average Filter Loadings by Site Classification   25

7      Composite Summary of Particle Size by Components              25

8      Estimates of Particles Smaller Than 20 urn Radius Emitted
       Into or Formed in the Atmosphere  (106 Metric Tons/Year)       37

9      Nonurban Levels of Sulfates and Nitrates in the 14 Study
       Cities                                                        43

10     Urban and Nonurban Levels of Sulfates and Nitrates in the
       14 Study Cities                                               46

11     Approximate Impact (In wg/m3} of  Vehicular Traffic on
       Adjacent Hi-Vol Sites                                         67

12     General Monitoring Objectives                                 79

13     Average TSP Concentrations by Neighborhood Type               83

14     Variation in Monitor Height Among the  14 Cities               86

 15    Number  of  Sites With an Estimated Impact of  Local
       Influences,  by Neighborhood Classification                    88

 16     Control Priorities                                           121
                                 vi

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                            ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Numerous persons and organizations have made significant contributions to
this overall study effort,  and GCA/Technology Division wishes to sincerely
acknowledge their participation.   On-going project supervision has been
received from Thompson G. Pace, Project Officer, of EPA's Control Programs
Development Division.  Professional staff members of the EPA Regional
Offices and of the state and local agencies responsible for the case study
cities have been uniformly cooperative and helpful.

Specific thanks are due to Dr. William E. Wilson and Ronald K. Patterson
of the Environmental Sciences Research Laboratory, for sharing the results
of their field research in several cities; to Dr. David S. Shearer and
Dr. Richard J. Thompson of the Environmental Monitoring and Support
Laboratory, for their analytical support; to Gerald Gipson of the Monitoring
and Data Analysis Division for providing modeling results in several cities;
and to David Dunbar, Edward J. Lillis, John D. Bachmann, and the staff of
the Monitoring and Reports Branch for their on-going review and advice.
                                  vii

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                              SECTION I
                             INTRODUCTION

This report presents the results of a study conducted under the auspices
of the Control Programs Development Division of EPA's Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards.  Its overall purpose was to assess the national
particulate problem, based on case studies in 14 major urban areas, with
emphasis on identifying the factors involved in the attainment or non-
attainment of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for total
suspended particulates (TSP).  The study was intended to improve technical
understanding of the TSP problem, to provide specific guidance to the states
in TSP problem analysis and control strategy formulation, and to develop
recommendations for EPA concerning future program direction and research
needs.  Consequently, this document is directed primarily at those managers
and air quality planning specialists at EPA and the various state and local
air pollution control agencies who are concerned with the development of
TSP control programs.

GENERAL CONCLUSIONS

The study identified five factors that affect attainment and maintenance of
the total suspended particulate  (TSP) ambient standards.  These are con-
ceptually grouped as follows:  three general categories of  sources that
contribute  to the TSP loading at any given point, and two factors that act
to modify the ambient levels measured.  The three major categories of par-
ticulates are emissions from traditional sources, emissions from nontradi-
tional sources, and natural and  transported particulates.  The two modi-
fying factors are meteorology and monitoring network configuration and
siting.

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Traditional sources are those sources that have historically been of con-
cern to the air pollution control community.   Fuel combustion sources,
solid waste disposal operations, and industrial process emissions, includ-
ing both stack emissions and fugitive emissions, comprise this segment.
Particulate emissions from traditional sources were found to be decreasing
in relative significance as the quantities of such emissions are reduced.
In spite of this, however, they are still the dominant problem in some
urban areas with much heavy industry.  The traditional sources that remain
the greatest problem are the primary metals and mineral products industries,
as well as fugitive emissions from all traditional sources.

Nontraditional sources include particulate sources that have not been con-
trolled under existing State Implementation Plans or have been controlled
inadequately.  Particulate auto exhaust emissions, rcentrainment of road
dust, fugitive dust emissions from construction and demolition operations,
dust from unpaved areas and other urban activities comprise this  segment.
A principal finding of the study was that particulates from these sources
have prevented most urban areas from attaining  the ambient  standards at  all
sites, and that, unless controlled, they will continue to do  so.  Given  the
current downward trend in traditional  source emissions, particulate matter
from nontraditional sources will pose  the greater  problem  in  the  on-going
maintenance of the ambient standards.

Natural and transported particulates consist of those  large-scale influences
that are  the  contributors to what  is frequently called "background."   The
long-range transport of both primary and  secondary particulates,  as well as
naturally occurring particulates, are  included  in this portion.   Often these
particulate levels are  inadequately  considered  in air  quality planning,  al-
 though  their  inclusion  is essential  for  accurate quantitative planning.
Such planning may  well  include  regional  scale  strategies for reducing  the
 impact  of  these  sources on  ambient levels.

Meteorological factors  were  identified as a  partial  determinant of the
 magnitude  of  ambient  particulate  levels.   For  example, precipitation can

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significantly affect annual average TSP concentration; a variation of as
much as 20 ug/m3 is seen over the normal range of precipitation values.
Although not a factor subject to control, the variations in meteorological
effects over time and in different locations must be considered in air
quality management planning.  The results of this study's analyses will
help in doing this more quantitatively.

Network configuration and hi-vol siting affect the perception of particulate
levels.  Variations in siting practice and network configuration make com-
parisons of values between cities and neighborhoods difficult.  These varia-
tions frequently distort the overall picture and constrain problem identifica-
tion and subsequent strategy development which is essential for attainment/
maintenance.  Most of these variations are, however, within the general
guidelines for monitor siting prescribed by EPA.

This study also addressed the methodological problem of quantifying  the
relative contributions of the various source types and categories.   It is
concluded that, at present, no single analytical technique, or any ap-
parent combination, can be simply and routinely applied to a variety of
situations to provide a reliable, unbiased determination of the nature or
origin of the collected particles.  It is possible to use microscopic and
other monitoring and analytical techniques in concert to provide compre-
hensive particle identification analyses.  However, the requisite analytical
sophistication and cost constrain their use for widespread screening-level
studies.  Their utility is primarily in more precise  study of already well-
structured problems.

The study identified a number of needs for Increased  emphases and program
re-directions.  From a national perspective, two major overall control and
research needs emerge:
    •   The  regional-scale burden of transported and  secondary
        particulates, especially sulfates, must be reduced.
    •   A broadly  supported  control effort directed at urban re-
        entrained  dust and  similar nontraditional particulate
        sources will be required in order  to meet the present
        particulate standard.

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STUDY APPROACH

The overall approach to the study involved the identification of those
factors influencing the attainment or nonattainment of the standards, the
assessment of their significance on a national basis, and the development
of a recommended action program for EPA and the state and local control
agencies.

The primary source of new Information for this national assessment was a
series of case studies in 14 major urban AQCR's.  These studies involved
analyzing, for each urban area, the air quality and emission data on TSP,
meteorological data from the National Weather Service, the control regula-
tions in the State Implementation Plans, planning materials maintained by
EPA, and published technical articles or reference materials.  Each city
case study also involved a field visit to the city to conduct detailed
inspections of most of the TSP monitoring sites in the area.

Although the primary purpose of the study was not to produce new analytical
data, several specific analyses were performed.  Selected hi-vol filters
from each of the 14 case study cities were analyzed by optical microscopic
techniques to provide information on the types and sources of the particles
collected.  Some of these filters were reanalyzed for quality control by
the same or other microscopists and laboratories; others were analyzed by
EPA for metals and nonmetallic inorganic ions by standard NASN analytical
procedures.  EPA provided information from special field studies in  two of
the study cities, including wind directional monitoring, diurnal variations
in elemental composition, and particle sizing data.  Data resulting  from
all these analyses are compiled in Volume II of this report, and discussion
of the results is included in this volume or in the  individual city  volumes
as appropriate.

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ORGANIZATION OF THE STUDY REPORT


This document is Volume I of the final study report, which consists
overall of 16 separately bound volumes.  It summarizes the data from
the other volumes and should be considered the primary product of

the study.  Volume II summarizes the analytical data developed during
the study, and Volumes III through XVI are the working documents com-
piled for discussion purposes for each individual city.  The subject of

each volume is listed below:

    Volume    I - National Assessment of the Participate Problem
    Volume   II - Particle Characterization
    Volume  III - Denver
    Volume   IV - Birmingham
    Volume    V - Baltimore
    Volume   VI - Philadelphia
    Volume  VII - Washington
    Volume VIII - Chattanooga
    Volume   IX - Oklahoma City
    Volume    X - Seattle
    Volume   XI - Cincinnati
    Volume  XII - Cleveland
    Volume XIII - San Francisco
    Volume  XIV - Miami
    Volume   XV - St. Louis
    Volume  XVI - Providence


The remainder of Volume I is organized as follows:

    •   Section II - Presents the general findings of the study.
        Summarizes the findings in each individual case study city
        and Identifies the components of the five major factors
        influencing TSP levels.

    •   Section III - Presents the overall national assessment of
        the significance of each of the five factors.  Places in
        perspective the components of each of these factors and
        quantifies their relative contributions to air quality.

    •   Section IV - Summarizes problem assessment techniques, the
        attainment factors identified in the city studies, and the
        implications of the study for control strategy development.

    •   Section V - Provides the detailed recommendations.

    •   Appendices - Various supportive and reference materials.

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                              SECTION II
                    GENERAL FINDINGS OF THE STUDY

The individual reviews of the TSP attainment situation in the 14 study
cities provided a wide range of general findings.  Some of these find-
ings are specific to individual cities, and others are generally
applicable throughout the study cities.  The analysis of these findings
among the different cities serves as the basis for an interpretation
of TSP attainment nationwide.  This section summarizes the general
findings from the city case studies (reported in Volumes III to XVI)
and identifies the major factors affecting the TSP attainment problem.

STUDY CITY ANALYSIS

Selection Process

The 14 cities (AQCRs) used in the case studies were selected to repre-
sent a cross section of urban areas.  Such factors as proximity to
bodies of water, topography, meteorology, degree and type of industri-
alization, fuel usage, and air quality levels were considered.  As
shown in Figure 1, the study cities are dispersed around the contiguous
48 states, with many located in the East where a large portion of the
population and industry of the United States is  concentrated.  In nature
and density, they range from the old industrial  cities of the east
coast to the newer, less congested cities of the plains and west coast,
and they include a cross section of the climatological regimes of the
nation.  The cities range  in size from Philadelphia, the nation's

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                                                                           PROVIDENCE
                                                                        PHILADELPHIA
                                                                       BALTIMORE
Figure  1.   Geographical distribution of  14  study cities

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fourth largest urban area, to Chattanooga,  a  small  industrial city in
the southern mountains.  Basic statistics on  population,  topography,
and employment for each of the 14 cities are  presented  in Table 1.

Two of the major factors that are important in understanding the po-
tential for a TSP problem are the industrial  nature and dispersion
characteristics of an area.  The industrial nature  indicates the general
level of emissions from major point sources,  while  the  diapers ion
characteristics dictate the degree to which these emissions affect am-
bient levels of particulates; Table 2 lists the 14  cities classified
according to the possible combinations of these two characteristics.
Considered under the category of dispersion characteristics are non-
urban particulate levels, extremes in rainfall, sea breezes, and topo-
graphy.  Therefore, cities such as Miami, San Francisco, and Providence,
which are dominated by their proximity to the ocean, offer good disper-
sion qualities; cities with ventilation dominated by valley topography
(Chattanooga, Birmingham, and Denver) are considered to have adverse
dispersion characteristics.  Industrialization was  a judgmental catego-
rization based upon the level of employment in the  manufacturing sector,
the nature of the manufacturing, and the density of emissions.

Table 3 summarizes air quality and Table 4 characterizes sources and
emissions for the 14 cities, which are grouped by industrialization
categories.  Other tables and figures giving characteristics of the
cities are included in Appendix A.

Methodology of City Visits

The core of the city case studies was one or more field visits  to each
city.  Prior to visiting  each study city, a variety of data summaries

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               Table 1.   POPULATION AND PHYSICAL SETTING OF CASE  STUDY CITIES
Urban area
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Washington, D.C.
Cleveland
St. Louis
Baltimore
Seattle
Miami
Cincinnati
Denver
Providence
Oklahoma City
Birninghsa
Chattanooga
1970 population
AQCR
5, 635,406
6,639,949
2,862,912
3,383,879
2,476,757
2,078,379
1,937,371
2,435,089
1,660.495
1,252.007
1,502.601
783.403
1,045.599
689.494
Rank*
in U.S.
4
6
8
9
10
14
17
18
21
24
30
42
43
96
Central
city/county
1,948,609
715,674
756,510
1,721,300
622,236
905 ,759
1,156,633
1,267,792
924,018
514.678
560,261
526,805
644,991
255,064
Population density
par iq. ml.
SMSA
1357
1254
429
1329
547
917
337
621
644
366
1347
300
272
307
Central
city /county
15.116
15.904
12,402
9,893
10,201
11,613
- 6,350
9,763
5,780
5,418
9,896
579
3,785
2.284
Physical setting
Large bodies
of water
Delaware River
Ocean, S.F. Bay
PotonBc River
Lake Erie
Miaslssipl River
Patapsco River,
Baltimore Harbor
Puget Sound
Ocean; Everglades
Ohio River
—
Narragansect Bay
-
-
-
Topography
Slightly rolling
Significant hills
Slightly rolling
Flat; river valley
Slightly rolling
Slightly rolling
Significant hills
and valleys
Flat
River valley, sig-
nificant hills
Mountains to west;
rolling to east;
river valley
Slightly rolling
Flat
Valley between sig-
nificant hills
Valley between
sharp ridges
Manufacturing
employment (AQCR)
Magnitude,
thousands
603
347
53
484
279
184
139
144
195
99
201
44
92
128
Percent
of total
34.1
24 4
7 2
36.1
35.1
29.3
26.7
10.5
37.7
20.8
44.2
19.0
31.1
52.6
Saaed on Urbanised Area population.

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Table 2.  STUDY CITIES BY THEIR DISPERSION AND
          INDUSTRIALIZATION CHARACTERISTICS
Industrialization
Light
Moderate
Heavy
Dispersion characteristics
Favorable
Miami
San Francisco
Providence

Moderate
Oklahoma City
Washington, D.C.
Seattle
Baltimore
Cleveland
Cincinnati
Philadelphia
St. Louis
Adverse

Chattanooga
Denver
Birmingham

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                 Table 3.  SUMMARY OF  SITES EXCEEDING AIR QUALITY STANDARDS




City
Heavily
industrialized
Cleveland
Birmingham
Philadelphia
Baltimore
St. Lou la
Cincinnati
Moderately
industrialized
Chattanooga
Denver
Seattle
Providence
Lightly
Industrialized
Washington, D.C
Oklahoma City
Miami
San Francisco


Total no.
of eites
with complete
1974 data


25
13
10
29
31
25


12
22
10
21


9
14
17
17
Annual standard
No. sites exceeding
standard


Primary,
75 ng/m3


12
11
7
9
15
8


5
14
2
1


2
5
2
0

Secondary,
60 ug/m5


21
11
9
14
26
21


5
21
4
5


5
6
7
2


Highest
geometric mean,
ug/in3


175
144
122
134
158
130


101
131
105
88


102
107
66
74
24 -hour standard
No. sites exceeding
standard


Primary,
260 ng/o3


6
7
4
6
13
0


1
13
2
0


9
5
2
3

Secondary,
150 ng/n.3


15
U
8
14
3
7


7
22
5
1


9
13
8
10

% total obs.
> standard

Primary


4.7
NA
NA
0.9
1.1
0.1


0.9
NA
0.3
0


2.2
0.7
NA
0.2
Secondary


17.6
NAa
**o
7.6
8.7
4.2


6.9
NA
0.8
0.8


NA
5.5
NA
1.3


Highest
value ,
Mg/in3


534
499
624
NA
NA
296


434
565
320
173


527
NA
NA
2S6
*NA - Row data  not available  in format appropriate for summary.

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                Table  4.  SOURCE AND  EMISSIONS CHARACTERIZATION OF  STUDY  CITIES
City
Heavily industrialized
Cleveland


B iriiingham
Philadelphia

Baltimore

St. Louis


Cincinnati


Moderately industrialized
Chattanooga

Denver
Seattle
Providence

Lightly industrialized
Washington, D.C.
Oklahoma Cltv
Miami
San Francisco
Major point
sources

Steel mills, utilities,
chemicals

Steel nills, cement
Refineries, coking.
smelting, chemicals
Steel mills, incinerators

Coking, steel mills.
grain handling

Utilities, manufacturing



Foundries, cement.
minerals
Utilities
Manufacturing
I- 1 ility, foundries


I'tUlty
Itllities, grain, asphalt
Minerals
Minerals, chemicals
Predominant fuels
Residential

Gas


Cas
Oil

Gas, oil

Gas


Gas



Electricity

Cas
on
Oil


Gas
Gas
Electricity
Gas
Industrial

Gas, coal


Gae
as
Oil, gas

Oil

Gas


Gas, coal



Cas

Cas
Oil
Oil


Caa, oil
Gas
Cas, oil
Cas
Traditional
sources,
emission
density
TPY/sq. mile

333

MIR
j &O
243

240

411


133



68

60
37
30


92
J
30
60
Compliance cements

About 1/3 of major sources in compliance,
smaller sources (including incinerators)
unknown
compliance about half complete
Most sources to compliance

Moat sources In compliance, a few under
plans for compliance
Most sources thought to be In compliance,
Missouri's compliance determination Is
not stringent
Many sources In compliance, rest (Includ-
ing several large sources) expected with!
2 years

Most source) (n compliance

Most sources in compliance
Most sources thought to be in compliance
Compliance status not certain - many
seea to be In compliance

Most sources in compliance
Most sources in compliance
Most sources in compliance
Most sources in compliance
Those fuels i-hose usage IB greater than 1/3 of local Bcu's.

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and analyses were prepared and studied,  using data on air quality,
emissions, and compliance that were provided by the Project Officer
from EPA's AEROS data banks.   Air quality and emission data were
studied for patterns and trends,  both temporal and geographic.  Emis-
sion and compliance data were used to consider patterns of enforcement
and compliance.

The primary purpose of the field  visits  was to study in detail the
hi-vol monitoring network and to  gain a  degree of understanding about
the overall nature of the study city and the general patterns of land
use, such as the relationships among industrial and residential areas.
During the field visit, the study team also consulted with technical
staff members from the appropriate pollution control agency concerning
those areas where the EPA data base was  incomplete or anomalous, and a
member of the agency staff usually accompanied the visiting team on
the monitoring site study visits.  Additional efforts during the study
visits in some cities involved seeking data on traffic volumes, street
cleaning practices, etc., as appropriate to the particulate air pol-
lution problem in the city.  In most cases, historical hi-vol filters
from agency files were also selected and brought back for analysis.

Following the field visit, the monitoring site information was reviewed
and compiled into an overall site classification analysis.  Other in-
formation and data obtained were integrated with that previously avail-
able, and an overall assessment concerning  the factors affecting attain-
ment was  formed.  The data summaries, analyses, and conclusions relat-
ing primarily to a single city were  then compiled  into a working docu-
ment for  each of the study cities; these documents comprise Volumes  III
through XVI of this report.
                                 13

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City Study Findings

The results and findings of the city case studies are quite varied in
detail and in breadth of applicability.  Those specifically relevant to
only the individual city are presented in the separate volume for that
city.  Those that are of significance for the overall conclusions of
the study are summarized here.  Appendix A presents tabular summaries
of other data relevant to the various study cities.

Baltimore - A heavily industrialized city, Baltimore has had an inten-
sive pollution control program since the mid-1960s.  This has contri-
                  3
buted to a 50 ug/m  decrease in the annual average at the center-city
NASN site over this time.  Nonetheless, the annual primary standard is
still exceeded at nine sites, mostly in the center city and harbor in-
dustrial areas.  Under vigorous enforcement of very stringent regulations,
most of the city's major industries and the municipal incinerators have
reduced their emissions an average 70 percent; on the other hand, emis-
sions from the iron and steel industry, which comprise 85 percent of
the total point source emissions  in the metropolitan area, have been
reduced only  15 percent.  One steel mill clearly contributes to TSP
problems at several industrial sites; however, at the industrial  site
                                         3
with the highest annual average  (134 ng/m ), local fugitive dust  emis-
sions also make a  significant contribution to the elevated  levels.
Three or four sites located  in the urban center  appear to be above  the
standard without any  particular  local  source influence.  Part of  this
urban increment  is probably  due  to the use of oil  for residential space
heating, one  category of  source which  is not closely  regulated; however,
much of  the TSF measured  at  these sites must simply be attributed to
the dense  level of activity  in the urban area.   TSP  levels  at the center
city site  are further elevated by immediately adjacent expressway
construction.

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Birmingham - The improvement in air quality has been substantial in
Birmingham, but still only two suburban sampling sites met the annual
primary standard in 1974.  Values have fallen from around 300 to 145
    O
^g/m  at the most polluted industrial site, and commercial and other
industrial sites have shown similar decreases of roughly 50 percent.
Four industrial sites reported 1974 annual geometric means over 125
    •j
fig/ro  because of proximity to the predominant steel industry and the
associated coking and foundry operations, which account for the bulk of
point source emissions.  Stringent regulations and vigorous enforcement
have resulted through 1974 in about half the emission reduction ultimate-
ly expected, with the balance anticipated over the next 2 years as com-
pliance plans are completed.  The general effect of dense urban activity
on TSP levels is not seen clearly in Birmingham because of the much
larger industrial process contribution, but may well be a problem for
future consideration.

Chattanooga - A moderately industrialized city, Chattanooga has also
experienced a significant decline in TSP levels due to a trend away
from the use of coal and, more recently, to vigorous control of indus-
trial emissions.  However, five of twelve sites, all in industrial or
commercial  locations, continue to exceed the annual primary standard
with annual means between 80 and 101 ug/m  .  Of these, two are affected
significantly by local industrial sources - a quarry and a cement
plant - and the others by general downtown commercial activity or major
traffic arteries.  An overall difficulty relates to adverse topography
and meteorology; particularly stringent emission control for both in-
dustrial and fugitive sources will be needed to meet the standards
under the adverse dispersion conditions prevalent  in Chattanooga.

Cincinnati  - The TSP trend has been downward since the mid-1960s, with
the NASN center-city site experiencing a 70 ^g/m  decrease in its annual
average.  The major industries - transportation equipment, fabricated
metals, paper, chemicals, and a small power plant  - have made large
                                 15

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reductions in particulate emissions, primarily by  switching from coal to
natural gas or otherwise reducing fuel combustion  emissions.  Nonetheless,
seven sites still exceeded the annual primary standard in 1974 at loca-
tions in the central business district (CBD) and the industrial valley,
with one site measuring 130 ug/m  as an annual average.  All sources are
expected to come into compliance over the next 2 years, during which
time further reductions are expected.  However, full compliance may not
result in standards attainment because fugitive emissions and fugitive
dust are likely to remain a significant source of particulates at several
sites in the CBD and industrial areas unless control measures are taken.

Cleveland - Although there has been a fairly steady decrease in ambient
TSP  levels since the early 1960s, 1974 levels at 12 of 25 sites in the
county violate the annual primary standard.  The city  is large and heavi-
ly industrialized, with an emission density of 335 tons per year per
square mile, and has the highest annual average TSP levels of the cities
studied  (175 ug/m ).  Primary metals, fabricated metal products, ma-
chinery  and .transportation equipment are the predominant industries and,
along with the utilities, the largest sources of particulate emissions.
Control  efforts have resulted in substantial emission  reductions by a
few  problem  sources, but overall they have not been effective.  Most
sources  are  either not  under compliance schedules, not meeting  conditions
of their variances, or not under agency surveillance at all.  While other
factors  may  very well become apparent as the massive  industrial  contri-
bution  is  reduced,  it seems clear  that the  predominant reason  for non-
attainment in Cleveland  is the  current lack of  control of  industrial
emissions.   These  include not only major point  sources but  also industrial
fugitive emissions  and  the vehicle-entrained  fugitive  dust  emissions
associated with  industrial areas.

Denver  - In  contrast  to most other areas studied,  the  Denver  AQCR has
shown no definitive trends  in TSP  levels during the past  6 years.   Des-
pite its low level  of  industrialization, Denver has had TSP concentrations
                                  16

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well above the annual standards since levels were initially monitored
in 1957.  In the long term, Denver County has shown approximately a 20
percent improvement in its air quality since 1965.  However, in 1974
only one out of 22 sites, a site located in a rural area, met the secon-
dary standard; 14 of the sites exceeded the primary standard.  This
general lack of attainment of the standards has been commonly attributed,
in part, to the arid climate which allows easy reentrainment of fugitive
                                        3
dust.  The highest annual mean (131 ug/m ) was recorded at a site ob-
viously influenced by fugitive dust, where 36 percent of the observations
were above the secondary 24-hour standard and 14 percent were above the
primary 24-hour standard.  The impact of both fugitive dust and tradi-
tional industrial source emissions is spread throughout the region be-
cause of the poor ventilation and topographic characteristics of the
region.  In addition, an inadequate data base, from which the initial
implementation planning was done, has contributed to the problem of
attainment- in the region.  Several emission inventories have been com-
piled for the region over the years, but the lack of consistency be-
tween these inventories has prevented the determination of emission
trends.  Despite the problem of appropriate emission data, major sources
are assumed to be generally in compliance with the regulations and the
state agency is now pursuing fugitive dust sources.

Miami - The highest ambient TSP levels in Miami have been fluctuating
near the standards for several years.  The area is generally free of
major TSP point sources; the largest emitters are stone and gravel
quarrying operations.  During  1974, two sites failed to meet the primary
                                                               3
standard.  The higher, with an annual geometric mean of 86 ng/m  , was
located in a light industrial-commercial area, on a major arterial high-
way, with an auto junkyard and a variety of other unpaved fugitive dust
sources in the immediate vicinity.  The other site was at a highway  in-
tersection in a rural area, near a major aggregation of cement plant
operations.  A special study conducted by the Dade County agency indi-
cated, however, that the cause of the high levels was not the cement
                                  17

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plants themselves, but rather the reentrainment by traffic of material
spilled on the highway by the sizable number of trucks turning at the
intersection.

Because of the general lack of point source emissions, the relative
homogeneity of the area, and particularly the consistency of the monitor
heights, Miami provided a good opportunity to study that portion of
urban ISP levels that appears to result from aggregate urban activity.
Two measures of urban activity were found to correlate well with the TSP
values at the various sites:  traffic volumes and the proportion of ad-
jacent land used for streets and parking.

Oklahoma City - An institutional, light-industrial city where gas is
the predominant fuel, Oklahoma City nonetheless has five of 14 sites
where the annual primary standard is exceeded.  TSP levels at the NASN
site show only a slight downward trend over time, reflecting the low
density of readily-controlled industrial sources and the inability to
comprehensively control fugitive dust.  The high levels at the sites
over the standard can be attributed in part to either significant traffic
exposure, adjacent construction, or (at three of the sites in the cen-
ter city) a combination of central business district traffic and urban
renewal activity.  The dry climate and high winds tend to maximize
natural entrainment of dusts, but the urban pollution problem is not
primarily due to participates from the surrounding rural area.

Philadelphia - Air quality has been steadily improving in the city;
annual average TSP concentrations at the NASN site are down over 100
ug/m  since 1957.  However, the annual primary standard was met at only
three of the 10 monitors operating throughout 1974.  Of these three
monitors, all in residential areas of the city, only one met the secon-
dary annual standard with a value of 59 ug/m .  The large improvements
in air quality have been directly paralleled by reductions in the inven-
toried emissions due to stringent controls on industry (fabricated metals,
                                 18

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machinery, electrical equipment, petroleum) and large incinerators,
phasing out of small incinerators and coal burning, and fuel switching
in power plants.  The lack of attainment of the standards, despite
stringent regulations and effective enforcement, reflects the generally
high level of TSP entering the city from outlying industrial activity
(40 to 50 ug/m3) and the activity associated with an urban environ-
ment, including space heating and vehicular traffic.  Small residen-
tial boilers have not been under any control other than visible emis-
sion regulations.  Vehicular traffic was shown to contribute up to
50 ug/m3 to the measured levels of TSP for monitors close to the street.
In addition, fugitive emissions from stockpiled materials and a grain-
handling operation were believed to be major influences on the monitor
with the highest annual mean (122 ug/m ).

Providence - A downward trend in TSP concentrations has been occurring
since the mid-1960s, and only one sampling site exceeded the annual
primary standard in  1974.  A utility, municipal incinerators, and  some
industrial processes - primary metals, fabricated metal products and
electrical equipment - are the  largest point sources of particulate
emissions.  Fuel switching and  the closing of  incinerators are apparent-
ly responsible  for the emission reductions and  the corresponding air
quality improvement, although the compliance status of a number of sources
is unknown.  The one site which exceeded  the annual primary  standard
                          3
with an average of 88 ^g/m  is  excessively  influenced by  a major express-
way  immediately adjacent.  Oil-fired space heating  is a significant
source category which has not received much attention  in  light of  the
general standards attainment.   Some  portion of  the  overall  favorable
picture may be  due to a generally high average  sampler height compared
to other  cities and  to relatively good dispersion  characteristics.

St.  Louis  - The TSP  trend has been downward since  the mid-1960s with
the  NASN  site experiencing a decrease of  80 ng/m   in  its  annual  geometric
mean.  Fifteen  sites, however,  violated  the annual  primary  standard  in
                                 19

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1974.  Transportation equipment, primary metal,  fabricated metal pro-
ducts, and machinery industries are the largest  sources of particulate
emissions, and fuel switching and industrial process controls have
accounted for much of the emission reductions.   The majority of the
sources in the Missouri portion of the AQCR are  believed by the local
agencies to be in compliance; however, the St. Louis City and County
regulations are among the least stringent of those studied.  The
Illinois portion is less advanced in terms of degree of compliance, be-
cause control efforts started later, but it should become comparable to
Missouri by maintaining its program of stringent regulations and
strict enforcement.  The fact that high TSP concentrations are still
being experienced despite the presumed general compliance  indicates that
other factors are important.  These include the  relatively weak regu-
lations and the lack of source testing as a method for compliance de-
termination in Missouri, as well as the general  tendency of dense cen-
ter-city sites to be systematically higher due to urban activity.

San Francisco - San Francisco is the one study city that met the annual
primary standards during 1974.  Despite its large population and gen-
erally dense urbanization, the San Francisco AQCR has never had a
serious problem with particulates, due largely to the very clean back-
ground air it receives from over the Pacific Ocean and the low level of
heavy industrial activity.  Air quality trends at the San Francisco
                                                3                       3
NASN site have shown a decrease of about 20 ^g/m  from a high of 73 ug/m
in 1957.  This decrease of over 30 percent in above background levels
is comparable to the trends reported  for emission reductions.  These
emission reductions occurred in part  (pre-1970)  because of extensive
fuel switching by the residential sector from coal and oil to gas and
electricity and (since 1969) because  of controls on industrial processes
and burning of materials.  These controls are no more stringent than the
average found in the cities studied,  but their success is maximized by
an extensive, computerized enforcement program conducted by the Bay Area
Pollution Control District.  In addition, regulations have been revised
                                 20

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over time as data indicate that more stringent controls are feasible
and warranted.  The combination of the above factors and the low level
of emissions (170 tons/day for the entire AQCR) meant that only two
monitors out of 17 exceeded the annual secondary standard, and no mo-
nitors violated either the 24-hour or annual primary standards.  The
                                        3
highest annual geometric mean of 74 p.g/m  was measured at a station
highly influenced by fugitive dust.  This monitor and many others in
the network are often subject to poor ventilation conditions because
of the valley topography; even so, the 24-hour secondary standard was
exceeded less than 1 percent of the time in 1974.

Seattle - While it also has the advantage of being a west coast city,
unencumbered with TSP transport from other areas, Seattle is further
inland than San Francisco and significant industry is concentrated in
a valley adjoining the city.  However, the higher level of annual pre-
cipitation helps keep the TSP concentrations down around those measured
in the San Francisco area.  Air quality levels have shown fairly steady
downward trends over the years with a 50 ^ig/m  decrease in the annual
average at the NASN site since 1957.  Of the 30 sites in the AQCR, the
annual primary air quality standard was exceeded at two stations and
the annual secondary standard was exceeded at another three sites.  The
                                      3
highest concentrations (60 to 105 |ag/m ) occur in the industrial valley
and the lowest levels (35 jag/m ) in the residential areas out of the
valley.  Estimates of emissions indicate that most traditional source
sectors - industrial processes, fuel combustion, solid waste disposal -
have had some reductions contributing to a 40 percent overall reduction
in inventoried emissions since 1969.  These changes in emissions since
1969 have not been reflected in the air quality, which has seen in-
creasing TSP levels in 1973 and 1974.  The regulations under which pro-
cess sources are controlled were found to be much less stringent than
those normally applied; further major reductions could be expected if
controls were brought up to the average stringency seen in other cities.
Fugitive dust due to vehicular traffic has also been cited as one of
                                 21

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the problems in the industrial valley.  The monitor with the highest
                     3
annual mean (105 ug/m ) is located approximately 25 feet back from a
heavily traveled road; a location 100 yards back from the road has
levels about 40 percent lower.

Washington. D.C. - While Washington has never had the major TSP problem
of other cities because of its nonindustrial nature, two sites in the
city exceeded the annual primary standard in 1974.  There has been a
slight downward trend since the early 1960s as coal use decreased and
higher grade fuels were substituted, but two center-city sites con-
tinued to exceed the primary standard in 1974.  Control regulations are
stringent, and large emission reductions have resulted from the closing
of incinerators and fuel switching; most sources seem to be in com-
pliance.  The cause of nonattainment at the two center-city sites is a
mixture of urban activities.  Demolition and construction associated
with urban renewal was prevalent for several years, and has been more
recently supplemented by construction of the METRO transit system.
In comparison with other cities, traffic would appear to be an expected
problem.  However, any clear demonstration of that influence is pre-
cluded by the extreme heterogeneity of monitoring site locations, with
almost all monitors located very high, very remote from the traffic,
or both.

Particle Characterization

As mentioned in Section I, optical microscopic examination was undertaken
on selected hi-vol filters from each city.  The filters were selected
from several representative sites in each city and the results were sub-
jected to quality control checks.  A summary of the filter analyses and
the results of the quality control are presented in Appendix B of this
volume, and a more detailed presentation is included in Volume II of
this report.
                                 22

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In Table 5, the microscopy results for each city have been averaged by
the generic type of material present.  These composite results show the
highest percentage component to be mineral matter.  Sources of mineral
matter include windblown soil, reentrained dust from streets, fugitive
dust from construction and demolition, and such industrial sources aa
primary metals and mineral products industries and material storage
piles.  Appendix B gives a more detailed breakout of these components.
The higher values for mineral matter in Denver and Oklahoma City support
the theory that fugitive dust sources are particularly important in arid
areas.

It should be emphasized that the optical microscope does not allow iden-
tification of particles smaller than about 1 urn, so the analytical data
is representative of only the supermicron portion of the particulate.
Therefore, in applying the component percentages, it was assumed that
15 percent of the mass is invisible to the microscopist.  Table 6 shows
the results- of this procedure as applied to a categorization  of the
components by site type for all sites studied in  the 14 cities.  All
filters analyzed were selected from days with average or greater loadings.

Particle Size — The average particle  size  for each of the major visible
components is presented in Table 7.   In general,  mineral constituents
had the smallest particle size, and biological  materials and  rubber  the
largest.   The differences between  sizes reported  for the aggregate  cate-
gories and the subcategories  is not  significant.  Although  the average
size  of the mineral fraction,  8 ^m,  is consistent with  the  average  sizes
of the principal components,  the average  size reported  for  combustion
products,  5 um,  is noticeably lower  than  the average size  of  the  individ-
ual components within that  group.  This is because  the  filters on which
sizing of  the  individual components was done are  not necessarily  the
same  filters  that  comprise  the aggregate  combustion  products  group.   For
some  filters  the size range was reported  only  for the combustion  products
group as a whole because  the  individual components  comprised less  than
                                 23

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          Table 5.  COMPOSITE SUMMARY OF MICROSCOPIC ANALYSIS IN 14 CITIES, Percent
City
Heavily
industrialized
Cleveland
Birmingham3
Philadelphia3
Baltimore3
St. Louis
Cincinnati
Moderately
industrialized
Chattanooga
Denver
Seattle
Providence
lightly
industrialized
Washington, D.C.
Oklahoma City
Miamib
San Francisco
All cities
Minerals
Average


51
66
64
69
75
51


36
81
60
64


70
88
79
52
65
Range


28-85
14-90
6-93
52-88
21-99
24-88


3-96
62-97
30-96
28-92


39-87
63-99
75-83
29-73
3-99
Combustion
products
Average


40
22
33
25
21
44


35
7
27
22


23
8
9
29
25
Range


10-70
2-86
6-89
11-61
1-79
9-84


8-78
1-19
1-62
4-68


5-49
1-31
7-12
10-50
1-89
Biological
material
Average


1
2
1
3
<1
1


16
1
3
1


5
<1

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Table 6.  ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE FILTER LOADINGS BY SITE CLASSIFICATION

Components
Mineral
Combustion products
Biological material
Misc. (mostly rubber)
Assumed < 1 urn
Total
3
Average loading , tig/rn
Commercial
64
27
2
9
19
120
Residential
51
19
3
5
14
92
Industrial
87
42
3
9
25
166
Undeveloped
66
6
<1
<1
13
86
     Table 7.  COMPOSITE SUMMARY OF PARTICLE SIZE BY COMPONENTS
Component
Minerals
Quartz
Calcite
Hematite
Combustion Products
Oil soot
Coal soot
Glassy fly ash
Biological Material
Pollen
Rubber
Average
size, p.m
( 8)
11
9
3
( 5)
13
30
12
(24)
35
(43)
Average size
range , urn

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5 percent of the observed particulate.   The average  size of the biological
material is quite large but understandable in terms  of its  source and
aerodynamic shape.  The very large average particle  size reported for
rubber, however, is somewhat harder to understand.   The generation of
large rubber particles by mechanical abrasion is easily understood, but
it is difficult to explain how such large particles  can be transported
over substantial horizontal or vertical distances.

Quality Control — The reader is cautioned to review Appendix B regarding
the results of quality control procedures used in the microscopic examina-
tion.  Briefly, it was found that the replicability of the results of
analyses of individual samples varied considerably with some results quite
far apart.  However, the compositing of results from many filters to ob-
tain average results minimizes any systematic bias among microscopists
and laboratories.

SUMMARY OF FACTORS AFFECTING ATTAINMENT

The purpose of  the city case studies was  to  identify and study the various
 factors, problems, and issues concerned with attaining  the TSP standards
as they were experienced in each  city.  Since the 14 cities cover a broad
range of city characteristics and hence represent a variety of situations
with respect to TSP air quality and its determinants, analyses of the
 factors  in  the  various cities can be drawn  together for an overall assess-
ment of  the TSP attainment situation in the  study cities and, by extrapo-
 lation,  throughout  the nation.

Following  the analyses of  the study cities,  a number  of factors were
 identified  as significant  for standards attainment.  Many  of  these had
 been  first  identified in  the preliminary  literature review and were  then
 followed up in  the  city  studies;  a  few  others were  identified in  the
 course  of  one or  more of  the city studies.   The  principal  issues are
 listed  below, grouped into five major categories  that  will subsequently
 provide a  framework for  the more  detailed discussions  in Section III.

                                  26

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Large Scale Influences


Large scale influences include those factors that dominate an area much
larger than the urban areas being studied.   They include natural,  trans-

ported, and secondary particulates.   The differing influences of these

factors in various urban areas can cause significant differences in the

ability to control the local TSP problem.  Their effect on urban levels

is generally estimated by measuring air quality in nonurban areas.  The

average nonurban particulate level for the 14 study cities is between
              3                                               3
25 and 30 ug/m ; however, values ranged from less than 15 tig/m  on the
                             3
west coast to roughly 35 ug/m  in the metropolitan northeast.  The three

major large scale factors are described below:

    •   Natural particulates — A major factor that can have signifi-
        cant impact on standards attainment is the magnitude of the
        natural TSP level in the incoming air masses.  The west coast
        cities benefit from having a very low (global) particulate
        level, while cities in the central plains or the east have
        additional continental contributions.

    •   Transported primary particulates — Cities in the eastern
        metropolitan complex have the further problem of manmade
        particulates being transported from neighboring urban areas
        without space for adequate dilution.  Therefore, these cities
        have an impaired capability for managing their own air
        quality.

    •   Secondary particulates — Levels of particulates such as sul-
        fates, nitrates, ammonium, and some organic compounds, which
        are generally believed to be formed as secondary particulates,
        indicate again that cities in the east are receiving increased
        TSP levels from other areas.  These particulates are formed
        both in transport and locally from sources not traditionally
        controlled in TSP standard attainment strategies.
Traditional Source Factors


Much of the problem of standards attainment in several of the 14 study

cities is attributable to emissions from those sources — industrial pro-

cesses, fuel combustion, incineration — that have traditionally been

considered subject to pollution control efforts.  Cities with heavy
                                 27

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industrial activity were found to have citywide TSP  levels  averaging from

10 to 50 ng/m  above the levels in cities with  little or no industry;
sites particularly close to heavy industrial activity averaged up to

25 ug/m  higher than other industrial sites.  Specific nonattainment

factors related to traditional source emissions include the following:

    •   Industrial emissions — In several cities,  widespread in-
        dustrial emissions were obviously the major  share of the
        overall urban problem; in other cities  more  isolated in-
        dustrial emission problems were responsible  for local non-
        attainment.  The most apparent problems were the steel
        industry, with associated coking and foundry operations,
        and the various minerals handling industries, such as
        cement and asphalt plants and stone and gravel quarries.

    •   Fugitive emissions — Several sites, generally near indus-
        trial areas, were significantly affected by fugitive emis-
        sions from such sources as materials stockpiles, coal load-
        ing operations, blast furnace slips, rock crushing and
        loading, and similar uncontained industrial processes.

    •   Fuel oil combustion — In several cities there was concern
        over the degree of impact from oil combustion.  In coastal
        cities, oil is frequently used for space heating, and the
        smaller residential oil burners are typically not controlled
        as pollution sources.  In midwestern cities where coal is
        used significantly, even very major oil-fired combustion
        units, such as utility boilers, may be ignored as sources
        because they are cleaner than equivalent coal-fired units.

    •   Fuel use trends — One positive influence on standards attain-
        ment in several cities is the on-going trend  toward cleaner
        fuels, especially the shift from  coal to gas  in small units.
        This is a  continuation of a trend spanning many years, fueled
        by factors of convenience and economic affluence.

    •   Lack of effective control — In at least one  instance, a  major
        factor in  failing to attain the  standards is  the overall  lack
        of any effective control program  or enforcement effort.

    •   Lack of adequate time for control — In some  instances,  failure
        to meet the  standards is due  to having insufficient time since
        the inception of control efforts  for even an  outstanding con-
        trol program to cope with a major TSF  problem.

    •   Inadequate regulations — In  some  cases, relatively  nonstringent
        regulations  inhibit meeting  the  standards by requiring  less  re-
        duction in emissions  than  is  necessary  to meet  the  standards.
                                   28

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        Inadequate compliance  determination — In  most  of  the  study
        areas,  the process  of  verifying  that  a source  is  in com-
        pliance and remains so appears to be  somewhat  haphazard.
        Most agencies have  less firm knowledge on such matters  than
        seems desirable.

        Inadequate data base — In some cases, planning for air  quality
        management and standards attainment  is inhibited  by the lack
        of an adequate data base.  Usually involving emissions  rather
        than air quality data, this lack can be so extreme in some
        cases that it must  be  construed  as a  major misunderstanding
        as to the nature of the TSF problem being faced.
Nontraditional Factors


Even with the nonurban, large scale particulate concentrations and the

emissions from traditional sources taken into consideration, analysis of

many of the monitoring sites in the 14 study cities indicated that other

factors, not traditionally considered, were producing TSP levels that were
                       3
typically 25 to 30 ug/m  higher than expected.  Such levels could often

be attributed to specific sources such as construction activity or local-
ized fugitive dust emissions, but in many cases the elevated concentra-
tions were simply the result of the intense level of activity in urban

areas.  Specific factors identified include:

    •   Localized fugitive dust emissions — A number of sites in
        various cities were prevented from attaining the standard
        at least in part by emissions from bare unvegetated lots,
        unpaved parking areas and roadways, heavily traveled ex-
        pressways, and similar local sources of entrained dust.

    •   General urban activity — In most cities, ambient TSP levels
        in the densest part of the city are higher than elsewhere
        with no single, obvious reason.  This effect influences at-
        tainment at a number of commercial and dense residential
        sites in almost every city.  The best immediate presumption
        is that this contribution represents the combined, well-
        mixed influence of higher levels of traffic , building con-
        struction, pedestrian activity, and other types of urban
        activity that tend to be greater in the more dense central
        part of the city.
                                 29

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    •   Construction activity — Several  sites, often center city com-
        mercial sites, were hindered in  meeting the standard by dust
        entrained from construction sites  of various types, including
        urban renewal, small building construction, and highway and
        subway construction.


In addition to the above factors, which  are all related to sources of

particulate emissions, other factors were  found to affect  the  real or

apparent TSP problem.  As discussed in the selection of the cities,  the
meteorology and climatology of a region  can help  to aggravate  or amelio-

rate the TSF problem; the dispersion characteristics and  precipitation

levels are the most prominent influences.   The design  of  the monitoring

network configuration and the actual placement of monitors are also  im-
portant in conceptualizing what the TSP  situation is.   The general  find-

ings from the city studies for these factors  are  summarized below.


Meteorology and Climatology
        Dispersion conditions — The overall pollutant dispersion
        characteristics can have significant effects in either direc-
        tion; in the southern mountain area, the attainment is clearly
        more difficult because of adverse meteorology and topography,
        whereas in the coastal and great plains areas the opposite is
        true.

        Precipitation — Frequent, significant precipitation is ap-
        parently a help in attaining standards, while arid condi-
        tions are a detriment.
Monitoring  Considerations
         Inappropriate  sampler heights — One of the more common prob-
         lems with hi-vol network design is the question of consistent,
         appropriate  sampler heights.  If the hi-vols are strikingly
         higher  or lower than typical, the recorded TSP levels will be
         artificially decreased or elevated in comparison to other
         cities.  Similarly, if there are striking height differences
         within  one urban area, there will be difficulties in adequately
         planning for standards attainment and in accurately assessing
         progress.
                                 30

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    9   Network design — As  the TSP levels vary from monitor to moni-
        tor, and generally around the city, it is  important to ensure
        that those areas of  maximum TSP concentration are monitored.
        Some cities located  monitors with the help of extensive model-
        ing efforts, while others picked convenient locations.


Figure 2 is a schematic sketch of the interrelationship  of these five
major groups of factors.  It is intended as a minemonic  device to em-
phasize that three of the  factors are actual components  of the particu-
late matter, while the other two are distorting influences.
                            TRADITIONAL
                              SOURCES
                                       NONTRADITIONAL
                                           SOURCES
                   LARGE-SCALE
                    INFLUENCES
                         MONITOR   SITING
      Figure 2.   Schematic relationship  among  five major factors
                                31

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                            SECTION III
            ASSESSMENT OF FACTORS AFFECTING ATTAINMENT

This section assesses the significance of the five major factors identified
with respect to the attainment or nonattainment of the ambient standards.
For ease of readership, much of the more extensive analytical and discus-
sion material has been collected into appendices,  of which this section
can be considered a summary.

Since the air quality standard makes no distinction among particulates
from various sources, it is not possible to ascribe nonattainment to any
particular source or source category, other than to the extent that the
source or source category contributes to the measured ISP levels at the
point in question.  Consequently, the assessment of the contributions from
the various factors can be seen as the determination of the contributions
of the various factors to an overall typical TSP concentration.  This
viewpoint, along with a determination of how the various factors affect
variations in TSP levels, provides a useful discussion framework, which
is used throughout this section.  The large number of monitoring sites
(154) visited and studied throughout the country provide a unique opportunity
for developing an understanding of the individual factors affecting the
measured TSP levels.  From an analysis of the data, the city characteristics,
and the monitoring site locations, the components of the TSP at different
types of sites were estimated.

The most obvious difference among sites  is  the nature of the neighborhood
in which they are located.  Figure 3 shows  the average of the annual con-
centrations at all the sites  in the 14 study cities varied by the primary
                                 32

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   ISO
10

 E
   100
 UJ
 u
    50
a.
(A
             RESIDENTIAL
COMMERCIAL
INDUSTRIAL
        Figure  3.  Average TSP levels by neighborhood type
                             33

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neighborhood classification of residential,  commercial, and  industrial.
Residential neighborhoods generally had TSP  concentrations in the  range
                •j
of 50 to 70 ug/m ; monitors at commercial sites  recorded  a wider range of
                                          3
values, principally between 60 and 110 pig/m  ;  and industrial neighborhoods
                                                             3
had the highest TSP levels, averaging between  80 and 150  ng/m .

To explain not only why these TSP levels are what they are but also why
they vary as they do, the analyses conducted in  this study drew upon the
general findings from the city studies discussed in Section  II.  These
findings identified major topics of concern  for  assessment of the  TSP
standards attainment problem on a nationwide basis:  large  scale consider-
ations, traditional sources, nontraditional  sources, monitoring considera-
tions, and meteorology/climatology.  This categorization structures the
following discussion, which summarizes the findings of the  cross-city
analyses presented in the appendices.

BACKGROUND AND LARGE-SCALE CONSIDERATIONS

In reviewing the  literature, and in considering the wide range of typical
air quality levels over  different parts of the country,  it  is apparent
that there is a significant portion of TSP levels that varies over a geo-
graphical scale much larger than any one or even a few AQCRs.  On an over-
all average basis, the  levels  of TSP measured in nonurban areas represent
the concentration of particulates in the air masses before they arrive in
an urban area; hence the wide  range of nonurban values implies  that com-
parable cities, located in different portions of the country, would require
different degrees of control  to attain and maintain the ambient standards.
Therefore, quantitative air quality planning requires an understanding of
these  levels and  how and why  they occur.

Terminology

Variously,  particulates either measured  in  or presumed to originate  in
nonurban areas  beyond  the  jurisdiction  of local  or  state agencies  have

                                  34

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previously been labelled in one way or another under the heading "back-
ground."  The usage of the term, however,  when examined carefully,  is  found
to entail a number of somewhat different concepts.   The official concept
of background is defined in the Requirements for Preparation, Adoption,
and Subraittal of Implementation Plans (40 CFR 51.13):
    For purposes of developing a control strategy,  background con-
    centration shall be taken into consideration with respect to
    particulate matter.  As used in this subpart, 'background con-
    centration* is that portion of the measured ambient levels of
    particulate matter that cannot be reduced by controlling emis-
    sions from manmade sources; 'background concentration* shall be
    determined by reference to measured ambient levels of partic-
    ulate matter in nonurban areas.

Unfortunately, this definition reflects to some extent the prevalent varia-
tion in usage of the word "background," and hence contradictory usage of
the term continues.  Under the first part of the last sentence, in which
background is defined as the uncontrollable portion of TSP, EPA regulations
provide for rollback calculations to ascertain the degree of emission
control necessary for the attainment of the air quality standards.   The
rollback formula:

                                  ,    ambient - standard
                reduction required = ambient . background

tacitly assumes that the background level is a lower limit below which the
ambient concentration cannot be reduced.  On the other hand, in air quality
modeling efforts, the background  is frequently defined as the difference
between the measured concentrations and the calculated concentrations
which  includes  into background any source not included  in the inventory
used.  In still other circumstances, an agency may  choose to regard as
"background"  any TSP coming across the boundary  into their jurisdiction,
regardless of whether that jurisdiction extends appropriately into nonurban
areas.
                                  35

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Contradiction in the usage of the term background also  arises  from  the
latter part of the above citation referring to the actual  measurement of
background.  Following that concept, the background levels most  often used
in air quality reflect measurements of the ambient air  quality in some  re-
mote rural area; this may possibly be within the county, AQCR, or state,
depending upon the jurisdiction of the planning agency; or may be very  far
away.  Where possible, these measurements are made upwind  of the prevailing
flow of air so as not to sample the particulate contribution of the area.
However, what these remote monitors are actually measuring is  not neces-
sarily an uncontrollable or nonmanmade level of TSP. Rather,  these mea-
surements simply reflect the particulate concentrations coming into the
urban area, including not only the natural, uncontrollable particulates
but also man's contribution to the nonurban particulate levels; these lat-
ter include emissions in rural areas, particles transported from distant
urban areas, and secondary particulates.

To avoid confusion with previous use of the term background, the term
nonurban particulate will be used in this report to refer to the latter
part of  the EPA definition presented above; i.e., the TSP concentration
determined by measuring the ambient  levels of particulate matter in non-
urban areas.  The major components  of nonurban particulates are listed
below:
    •    Natural particulate — TSP contributed solely by natural pro-
         cesses and  thus truly uncontrollable; includes a  global con-
         tribution,  which  includes both  primary and  secondary  par-
         ticles, and a continental contribution,  primarily  from wind
         erosion of  soil.
    •    Transported particulate  - TSP  levels  that arise due to emis-
         sions  from  man's  activities in  "upwind"  urban  and  industrial
         areas;  includes both primary and  secondary  particulates  trans-
         ported  from one area to  another.
     •    Local  influences  — TSP measured at nonurban monitors  that  is
         contributed by  emissions in rural areas  (dirt  roads,  agri-
         cultural  tilling,  space  heating,  rural  industrial sources)
         and  affected by the  actual  placement  of  the monitor  (reen-
         trained  dust,  small  town activity).
                                  36

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Because the term background has also connoted TSP that cannot be explained
through modeling efforts and TSP that cannot be controlled through control
of primary particulate sources, the excess of secondary particulates mea-
sured in urban areas over the levels measured in nonurban areas will also
be considered under this topic.

Natural Particulates
The emission and formation of particulates from natural sources result in
low concentrations of ambient particulates that have always existed, re-
gardless of man's influence.  The most important of the natural sources of
particulates are soil and rock debris, forest fires, plants, volcanoes and
ocean salt spray; in addition, natural sources can emit gaseous pollutants
which can react to form particulates.  As shown by the estimates in Table 8,
particulate emissions from natural sources and particulate formation from
naturally occurring precursors far outweigh the contribution of manmade
sources on a global scale.

Table 8.  ESTIMATES OF PARTICLES SMALLER THAN 20 um RADIUS EMITTED INTO
          OR FORMED IN THE ATMOSPHERE  (106 metric tons/year)
Man-made
Particles from direct emissions
Particles formed from gaseous emissions
Sulfate from S02
Nitrate from NOX
Organics from hydrocarbons
Natural
Soil and rock debris
Forest fires and slash-burning debris
Sea salt
Volcanic debris
Particles formed from gaseous emissions
Sulfate from H2S
Ammonium salts from NHj
Nitrate from NOl^
Organics from hydrocarbons
Total
185 - 415





773 - 2200









958 - 2615

10 - 90

130 - 200
30 - 35
15 - 90

100 - 500
3 - 150
300
25 - 150

130 - 200
80 - 270
60 - 430
75 - 20Q

                                  37

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Of the natural sources of particulate emissions,  sea salt is probably the
largest emission source, but its greatest effect  on TSP concentration
occurs over the oceans; its contribution to TSP levels extends over land
only a short distance.  Over land, wind-entrained soil dust is the largest
direct source of particulate emissions.  Gaseous  emissions from natural
sources are scavenged through various chemical reactions and result in the
production of significant quantities of aerosol materials over a broad area.
Volcanic emissions can vary greatly from year to  year but usually do not
contribute a large proportion of the natural particulate emissions.  The
contribution of forest fires can only be estimated roughly at present;
though it appears small in Table  8, it may be considerably more important
with respect to air quality since such fires are frequently adjacent to
urban areas.  Pollens, spores, and bacteria are an insignificant fraction
of the total emissions.

The primary distinction between the sources of natural particulates with
respect  to TSP levels  is simply their  location and to  some  extent the
effective emission height and particle size.  Generally,  the natural par-
ticulate levels can be thought of as contributions fr_ni  two types of
sources:  global  sources and continental sources.  Global particulates
arise  from the heated  emissions from volcanoes and,  to a  lesser extent,
forest fires, and from secondary  particulates  formed from natural gaseous
emissions; these  emissions are characteristically  in the  submicron range.
Sea salt is also  often referred to as  a  global particulate.  Continental
sources  are wind  erosion of  rocks and  soil;  pollens  and  spores; and  (over-
lapping  global  particulates)  forest  fires  and  secondary  particulates,
especially hydrocarbons  from plant exudations.

The contribution  from  global  sources is  considered relatively  constant  across
the North American  continent  in the range  of  1 to  5  pg/m3;  for TSP strategy
planning,  the contribution  from continental  sources  is much more  important
than  that  from  global  sources.  Continental  particulate  levels are much higher
and  they vary across  the continent.  For example,  in the Great Plains  region
of  the United States,  wind  erosion of  soil is  estimated  to  produce a larger
mass  of  particulates  than  all other  sources  in the nation and  results  in high
dust  concentrations over large  areas.   Most  duststorms occur  in  the  spring

                                 38

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but air pollution from duststorms can be a problem in other seasons as well.
The rainfall and soil erosiveness of an area are also influential with
respect to the frequency and severity of duststorms.

Transported Particulates

The term transport refers to the movement of particulates over a greater
distance than normally considered for dispersion modeling used for air
quality planning.  Transported particulates include primary particles,
which are emitted directly into the air and secondary particles, which are
formed from reactions of gases in the atmosphere.  While natural particu-
lates can also be transported considerable distances, this discussion of
transported particulates is meant to center on particulates that originate
from man's activities.

Transported Primary  Particulates — The  transport of primary particulates
may be divided into  two classes — short-range and  long-range.  Long-range
transport occurs when  the  particulates  are mixed into an air mass and
travel several hundred kilometers or more without  any removal mechanisms
such as washout  or rainout.  This phenomenon of transport  is directly  re-
lated  to meteorology because it  requires a  stable  air mass moving  across
the country.  An interesting case study of  the  transport of a particular
air mass  is described  in Appendix C.   This  study demonstrates how  long-
range  transport  can  produce abnormally high values of particulates over
short  periods, causing violations of the  24-hour standards.  The degree
to which  it affects  annual means is  related to  the frequency of  such
occurrences.

Short-range  transport  refers to  the transport of  particulates over less
distance, ranging from a  few to  about 100 kilometers.   It  is primarily
concerned with  the movement  of particulates across planning area bound-
aries;  i.e.,  from the  jurisdiction  of one air pollution control  agency
 into  the  jurisdiction  of  another.   This problem has  been recognized in
 the  guidelines  for the classification of  areas  with  respect to  deteriora-
 tion  of  the  air  quality.   For  instance, an AQCR cannot  be  designated
Class  III (degradation up to the air quality standards) if such  a desig-
 nation will  also result  in degradation of the air  quality  of an AQCR
 designated  Class I (minimum degradation).
                                 39

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Obviously, short-range transport of primary particulates  is  of  principal
concern in areas which have adjoining urban areas  with insufficient  rural
areas between to allow for removal or dispersion of the pollutants.   Such
is the situation in the northeast where the air may sweep up past Balti-
more, Washington, and Philadelphia into New York and up to Boston.  In
the study of Providence under this effort, high values of particulates,
even in the less developed areas of the AQCR,  were most often associated
with winds from the direction of New York City.  Meteorology is a com-
plicating factor in this analysis because of variations in windspeed and
rainfall with changing wind direction.  However, it is likely that such
conditions do exist.

Over even a smaller scale, transported primary particulates are important
whenever air crosses from one region that is completely autonomous into
another area that has separate control.  Such a situation was found in
Philadelphia in the course of this study.  The Philadelphia Air Manage-
ment Services has complete responsibility in Philadelphia County, while
the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Resources
has responsibility for the counties surrounding Philadelphia.  Since the
entire County of Philadelphia can be considered urbanized, the most re-
mote site in the network is one located in a lightly dense residential
neighborhood near the border of Philadelphia and Montgomery Counties.
This site had an annual mean of 59 ug/m  in 1974, implying that there
were virtually no means of avoiding violating at least the secondary
annual standard as the air passed over the city.  Another site, in a
more industrialized corner of the county but also near the industrial-
ized areas of Delaware County in Pennsylvania and Gloucester County in
New Jersey, had an annual mean  of 94 ng/m  .  The value at this site is
especially important since it is in the southwest corner of Philadelphia
County, the direction from which most of the air crossing the county
would come.
                                  40

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Transported Secondary Particulate — As mentioned previously, secondary
particulates are the products of chemical reactions occurring in the at-
mosphere.  They can initiate In the gas phase or as a result of reactions
between gases and already existing particles.  They are a major source of
the ubiquitous Aitken nuclei, or homogenous nucleation centers, that are
essential for most of the condensation processes that take place in the
atmosphere.  They are also a prime component of urban smog.

Composition — The main ingredients in the formation of secondary particu-
lates are sunlight and gases such as sulfur dioxide, ammonia, nitric oxide,
water vapor, and hydrocarbons, which enter the atmosphere from both natural
and manmade sources.  Secondary particulates range in size from molecular
clusters with diameters on the order of 0.005 urn to particles with diam-
                                                                       2-4
eters as large as several micrometers.  Field studies of urban aerosols
have shown that the highest concentration of secondary particulates is
usually  in the range 0.01 to 1.0 jam.  The concentration of particles in this
size range can vary directly with intensity of sunlight and  concentration
of ozone.

The principal factors governing distribution by size over the respective
rates of particulate formation and removal.  The smallest particles,
which are created constantly during the daylight hours, coagulate  into
larger particles.  The overall life cycle of secondary particulates is
difficult to determine; estimates range from 1 week to 40 days.5   In the
end, the particles are either removed from the atmosphere by precipita-
tion or  dry deposition.  During this period, however, they may be
transported vast distances from the source of the  gaseous precursors.

Found in both urban and rural areas, secondary particulates  are in general
composed of three types of chemical compounds — sulfates, organics, and
nitrates - which are briefly discussed below.
    Sulfates.  Sulfates are ubiquitous.  A large fraction of the
    global aerosol is ammonium sulfate  (NH^^SO^..  Sulfates  such
    as sulfuric acid  O^SO), which is found in most urban aerosols,
                                  41

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    result from the reaction of 803 and water.   The sulfate salts,
    such as PbSO^, in turn, derive from the reactions of compounds
    such as ammonia or metallic oxides with sulfuric acid droplets.

    Organics.  The second major constituent of secondary particulates
    is produced by the reaction of hydrocarbons with oxidants (e.g.,
    NC>2, 03) in the atmosphere to produce peroxide radicals.  Through
    a series of chain reactions, these radicals eventually form large
    organic molecules which condense to form droplets or solid particles.

    Primary sources of hydrocarbons in urban areas are automobile ex-
    haust and industrial effluents.    In some rural areas, hydro-
    carbon emissions from natural sources may be significant.  Ter-
    penes are an example of such emissions; many terpenes are highly
    unsaturated, and in some cases they can even be oxidized in the
    dark by reaction with 02.  The particulates formed by oxidation
    of these organic vapors are sometimes the cause of the haze ob-
    served in rural areas.

    Nitrates.  Nitrogen oxides emitted into the air can be oxidized
    and react with water to form nitric acid in either vapor or drop-
    let form.  From this form, nitrates are created through reactions
    with gaseous or solid species.


Air quality impact — Secondary particulates can occur both over a long
period of transport and apparently also fairly quickl., in an urban area.
As with primary particulates, secondary particulates can be important

over both short-range and long-range transport.  The long-range transport
study in Appendix C found sulfate levels three times higher than normal;

shorter transport of secondary particulates is known to contribute to

high levels in the northeast.
Annual levels of sulfates and nitrates for nonurban areas near each of
the 14 study cities are given in Table 9.  Average values for each of

the industrialization classifications, for the cities in the east (of
the Mississippi River) versus the west, and for the cities in the north

(heating degree days more than 4000/year) versus the south, have been

calculated.  While the heavily industrialized cities have the highest
nonurban levels of secondary particulates, this division apparently re-
sults from the geographic location of the cities.  The highest levels
within each category of industrialization occur in cities east of the
                                  42

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Table 9.  NONURBAN
          NITRATES
LEVELS OF SULFATES AND
IN THE 14 STUDY CITIES3
Cities
Heavily
industrialized
Cleveland
Birmingham
Philadelphia
Baltimore
St. Louis
Cincinnati
Average
Moderately
industrialized
Chattanooga
Denver
Seattle
Providence
Average
Lightly
industrialized
Washington, D.C.
Oklahoma City
Miami
San Francisco
Average
East
West
North
South
Nonurban levels
504
10
7
10
8
6
11
8.7
6
2
3
7
4.5
8
3
5
2
4.5
8
3.2
7.2
4.6
N03
1
1
1
1
1
1
1.0
2
0
0
1
0.8
1
1
1
0
0.76
1.11
0.4
0.78
1.0
Total
11
8
11
9
7
12
9.7
8
2
3
8
5.3
9
4
6
2
5.25
9.11
3.6
6.0
5.6
     Best estimate averages based upon
   composite values of available NASN data.
                 43

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Mississippi, where the density of industrialization is greatest, and also
in the northern cities, where space heating is more important.  In the
two dichotomous breakdowns - north versus south,  east versus west - the
impact of geographic location on the nonurban values is obvious.  A logical
extrapolation of these data would be that nonurban secondary particulates
are highest in the northeast and lowest in the southwest.

Other Factors

As mentioned previously, two other factors are important when considering
nonurban TSP levels and the use of such levels in air quality planning.
Nonurban levels can reflect local influences that are not of concern when
planning control strategies for an urban area because the particulate mat-
ter is not actually carried into the urban area.   At the same time, se-
condary particulatet formed locally in an urban area are not accounted
for in nonurban monitoring, and therefore, these urban secondary excess
levels are not appropriately incorporated in traditional air quality
planning.

Local Rural Influences - Local influences on nonurban levels can be tradi-
tional emissions such as from local space heating and rural industrial
activity; but, more likely, these local influences are artifacts of the
monitor placement so that the TSP levels are subject to reentrainment
from dirt roads, agricultural tilling, or natural wind erosion.  Similarly,
TSP levels reported as nonurban levels may be from monitors located in
small, rural towns; these monitors would also be measuring the particulates
generated by man's activities (traditional and nontraditional sources) in
the town.

Emissions from dirt roads in the major counties in the study AQCRs are
discussed later under the topic of Nontraditional Sources.  That analysis
suggests that the current inventories for dirt roads provides an exaggerated
picture of the importance of unpaved rural roads to  the air quality in an
urban area.  The current inventories suggest that emission levels due  to

                                 44

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dirt roads in urban counties are usually much higher than the total tradi-
tional source emission levels in urban areas.  Obviously the air quality
impact from these sources is not equivalent to that from traditional sources;
otherwise, the TSP concentrations in rural areas would be expected to reach
or exceed those in urban areas.

Similar findings apply to the inventoried emissions for agricultural tillings.
While the emissions from tilling were never as great as those from dirt roads
in the 14 AQCR's studied, in some areas the levels are quite high; e.g., in
the San Francisco Bay Area AQCR, emissions due to tilling are inventoried at
almost 190,000 tons per year.  Since tilling does not occur throughout the
year but only at certain seasons, any impact from tilling would be expected
to be short-term, perhaps causing elevated levels for a month at a time.

Urban Secondary Excess - Secondary particulates formed in the urban area
as a result of local emission sources have been ignored in control strate-
gies applied to air quality planning; i.e., control of TSP concentrations
has been approached solely by reducing directly emitted particulates.  Pre-
sumably, the amount of secondary particulate formed is related  to the
amount of precursors, so that higher levels  of secondary particulates may
be expected to be  found in  the more industrialized  regions.  For sulfates,
the amount of space heating with fuels high  in sulfur may be important in
winter.

Because of the different control approaches  that are open to an individual
air pollution control agency, it is helpful  to separate out the secondary
particulates formed within  the jurisdiction  of the  agency from  those  formed
in  transport to the region.  The annual  levels of  sulfates and  nitrates  for
urban and nonurban areas in each of the  14 study cities are  given  in  Table
10  and averages have been calculated  for the same  breakdowns given  in
Table 9.  The data in Table 10 demonstrate that  air entering the city is
the predominant  factor  in determining  the sulfate  levels  in  a city  but  that
nitrate  levels can increase by a factor  of three in the  city.   Since
                                   45

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Table 10.  URBAN AND NONURBAN LEVELS OF SULFATES AND
           NITRATES  IN THE 14 STUDY CITIES3
Cit les
HeavtU
Industrial izcd
Cleveland
Birmlnt,tian
Philadelphia
Bait inpre
St. Louis
Clnc.ini.il i
Average
Moderately
induslrullred
Chattanoof A
Denver
Seattle
Providence
Average
Lightly
industrial j:ed
Va«ihi 1 1,1 PI . n C
Okla'iom?. Cstt
Kiani
San Frareiscr
A jera-ic
East
West
Nor en
South
Nonurban levels
SOi

10
7
1C
6
6
1<
E 7

6
•»
3
7
- 5


e
3
5
2
- 3
B
1
-> 2
- 6
N03

1
1
1
1
1
1
1 0

2
0
0
1
0 6


1
1
1
I1
'. 74
i .:
' -
' " r
1 0
Total

11
s
11
9
7
12
9 i

B
-
3
e
5 3


9
6
6
2
5.35
0 11
; t
e
5 f.
Grban levels
S04

10
16
14
10
12
12
12 0

11
5
7
9
S.O


12
3
3
S
6 25
1C 7o
•• 4
K. 1
2 0
M>3

3
3
6
3
3
3
3.2

2
3
2
2
2.3


3
j
1
2
7.0
: 67
: L
2 £
5 9
Total

13
17
IB
13
15
15


13
8
9
11
10 3


\'j
5
b
7
S 25
13 —
e s
li fi
5 "•
Urban excess
S04

0
7
6
2
6
i


S
3
4
2
3.3


'.
t\
r
3
1 7;
2 75
: 2
: r-
3 •'
N03

2
2
3
2
2
2


0
3
2
1
1 5


2
!
C
2
1 23
'. 5i
2 0
2 11
1 C
Total

2
9
7
6
8
3


S
8
6
3
5.0


£
1

S
3 0
4 33
5 2
5.C
4 0
                            va.uef "•"
                        46

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sulfates are the predominant  secondary  pollutant,  the average increase in
secondary participates is on  the order  of 60 to 70 percent.  As may be
expected, the largest increases (urban  excesses)  are seen in the highly
industrialized areas where secondary particulate levels inside the city
average 6 ug/m  above those in the nonurban setting; lightly industrialized
areas have half of this increase.  On the whole,  cities may have concentra-
                           3
tions elevated 5 to 15 vig/m  due solely to sulfates and nitrates.  Two
important points concerning Tables 9 and 10 are that some sulfates may
be directly emitted as primary particulate, and secondary organics may also
be significant, but adequate measurements were not available.

National Assessment

As has been shown above, particulate levels exist which are beyond the
control of individual state and local air pollution control agencies.
These levels of TSP enter the  jurisdiction of an agency along, with the
air mass that,  is carrying them.  The particulates entering a  region may
be the result  of a facility a  few miles upwind of the  jurisdiction, of
another city 50 km away, of sources generating precursors  to  secondary
pollutants hundreds of miles  from the region,  or of natural nonurban  sources
such as  sea  salt, pollen, and  wind-driven  dust.  While the smaller scale
transport problems may often be adequately handled  by  cooperation between
adjoining state and local agencies  or by EPA regional  office  intervention,
the larger scale  influences either  cannot  be controlled or need direction
and planning on the national  level.  These larger  scale problems are
addressed below.

The concentration of  particulates  in rural areas  of the country has been
monitored  for  many  years as  part of the National Air  Surveillance  Network
 (NASN).  Figure 4  presents composites of values  reported  at various mmurban
NASN sites  from 1970 through  1973.  The data  in  this figure indicate  the
wide range  of  annual  means being reported.   In addition to the problem of
 transported  primary  and  secondary  particulates,  some of the range  in  TSP
values  is  expected to be due  to inconsistent  and,  in some cases, poor

                                  47

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oo
          HAWAII
                       Figure 4.  Composite annual geometric mean TSP  levels at  nonurban NASN
                                  sites from 1970 through  1973  (ng/m3)

-------
monitor siting.   For instance, the high values reported at the monitors
on the west coast (California and Oregon),  which would be expected to have
values half of those reported based upon global and continental particulate
levels, are recorded by monitors located on the ground.  As discussed later
under reentrainment, such low siting is expected to result in highly exag-
                                          o
gerated values.   The high value of 58 yg/m  reported in Indiana is due to
a nearby power plant influencing the levels in the rural area.

The impact that transported secondary particulates have on these nonurban
sites can be seen in Figure 5, which presents the nonurban sulfate and
nitrate levels for 1974.  Almost no nitrates and very little sulfates are
found in the western part of the country, yet secondary particulates con-
sistently add more than 5 yg/m  to the TSP loading at nonurban sites east
of the Mississippi River.  These data reiterate the findings of the 14 city
case studies:  secondary particulates in nonurban areas can add significantly
to the TSP burden on cities in the east arid northeast.

The transported primary particulates cannot be so easily addressed on the
national scale for several reasons.  One reason is that the density of non-
urban NASN monitors is too low to provide adequate information on the change
of TSP levels between major urban areas.  Such an analysis would have to
include monitors operated by state and local agencies  in order to be close
to the density of monitors needed, and these data were not available on a
nationwide or even regionwide basis.  Therefore, the conclusions on trans-
ported primary particulates must stand solely on the earlier discussion and
the analysi.s provided in Appendix C.

Another problem already mentioned, monitor height, not only means  that
transport  cannot be accurately  determined but also brings  many of  the
reported  nonurban values  into question.  Most  of  the  monitors in  the non-
urban network apparently  are  located at  heights below 10 feet, with many
of  them in the 3  to  6  foot  range.  Such  monitors  are  more likely  to  be
influenced by nearby disturbances  than by any  particulates being  transported
into  the  region.

                                   49

-------
Ul
o
                                                                    Q-SULFATE


                                                                    £]- NITRATE (>
                           Figure 5. Annual  geometric mean sulfate and nitrate  levels  at

                                     nonurban NASN sites — 1974

-------
Despite these problems.,  some estimate of  the variations in the nonurban
levels can be made from  the findings of this study.   Figure 6 provides a
conceptualized diagram of the contributions to nonurban levels as one moves
across the country.  Global particulates are assumed to be constant across
the country.  Continental particulate is lowest on the west coast, where
the land area has not had a chance to contribute significantly, and highest
in the midwest due to the high winds and more arid conditions.  The
occurrence of some off-the-ocean air masses is felt to bring down the con-
tinental contribution a little in the east.

Transported secondary particulates contribute only a few micrograms in the
west and midwest.  However, in the east,  nonurban levels of secondary par-
ticulates are averaging around 10 ug/m .   Although the long-range transport
case study presented in Appendix C is for Oklahoma City, the impact of
transported primary particulates on annual TSP levels in the west and mid-
west is felt to be minimal.  In the east where cities are more concentrated,
                                                                         2
transported primary particulates are more serious, averaging about 5 ug/m
on an annual basis throughout the east but potentially much higher in the
congested northeast.

On top of all these contributions, another  few micrograms have been added
to reflect the local influences occurring on a large scale basis in the
rural areas  (space heating, traffic, agricultural activity, etc.).  This
additional level does not include immediate impacts from nearby sources
(power plants, roads) or from possible reentrained dust due to low monitor
height.

PARTICULATES FROM TRADITIONAL SOURCES

The most obvious of the many factors affecting attainment of  the TSP
standards are  the  particulate emissions  from  three major  categories of
pollution sources  — fuel combustion,  industrial  processes, and solid  waste
disposal  operations.  These three  source categories have  long been con-
sidered  significant  pollution problems,  and have traditionally been  the

                                   51

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Ul
                            40
                         ro   30
                          E
                          z
                          o
                         u
                         z
                         o
                         a.
                         en
                             20
10
            LOCAL
TRANSPORTED

 SECONDARY
                                       CONTINENTAL
                                         GLOBAL
                                         WEST
                               LOCAL
                            TRANSPORTED

                             SECONDARY
                            CONTINENTAL
                               GLOBAL
                              MIDWEST
                                                 LOCAL



                                              TRANSPORTED

                                                PRIMARY
                                              TRANSPORTED

                                               SECONDARY
                                     CONTINENTAL
                                                                             GLOBAL
                                        EAST
                              Figure 6.   Average estimated contributions to nonurban

                                         levels in the East, Midwest, West

-------
primary concern of air pollution control efforts;  consequently,  they have
been labeled "traditional sources" for purposes of this study.   This sec-
tLon summarizes the assessment made of the significance of traditional
source emissions as a factor in the nonattainment  of the TSP standards;
Appendix 0 presents summaries of the data assembled and the analyses made
to develop the assessment.

In general, the impact of traditional sources on nonattainment depends
very heavily on the nature of the urban area in question.  The 14 case
study areas included both cities where traditional sources totally dominate
the picture and cities where they are not now, and probably never were,  a
major share of the problem.  Based on analysis of aggregate emission in-
ventories, emission densities, and compliance trends, it is possible to
summarize the impact of traditional sources in the 14 case study areas
as follows:
    I.    Three areas, all heavily industrialized, still have a
          major problem with traditional sources;
    II.   Three areas have reduced emissions from traditional
          sources to the point where they are no longer totally
          dominant, although continuing further reduction and
          on-going surveillance is still required;
    III.  Four areas have reduced formerly moderate levels of
          traditional source emissions  (mostly from fuel use
          for heating and light industry) to near insignificance;
    IV.   In four areas, traditional sources probably never
          were a serious problem.

While these specific proportions are not necessarily reflected in the
overall national picture, there are certainly a number  of urban areas
throughout  the country in each of these categories.

A comparison was also made of the emission parameters  leading to this
classification with air quality levels  in the various  urban areas,  expressed
as city wide average TSP concentrations.  With adjustments made  for  differ-
ing nonurban levels and secondary particulates, essentially no difference

                                  53

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in typical air quality between the third and fourth categories listed
above was indicated, with the average for both groups  being 35 ug/m3 above
nonurban levels (Denver was excluded as an anomaly).   This approximates
the contribution of nontraditional sources as discussed later.  The three
heavily-industrialized cities still dominated by traditional source emis-
sions had an average city wide ISP level of 66 ug/m above nonurban, sug-
                          3
gesting that about 30 ug/m  is the maximum potential city wide reduction,
even with very stringent traditional source control.   The three cities
(category II) that have made significant but as yet incomplete traditional
source reductions averaged 48 pg/m  above nonurban levels, suggesting  that
                            o
there is still 10 to 15 pg/m  of traditional source influence on city  wide
averages which could be reduced somewhat with further  control of traditional
sources.  Figure 7 displays the relationship between emission density  and
air quality, and illustrates the clustering of the study cities into the
categories.  It is important to remind the reader that these results must
be interpreted as only semi-quantitative and extrapolated with care.  Al-
though it is believed they provide a good national aggregate assessment of
the role of  traditional sources, this analysis does average over different
neighborhoods and over vastly different cities with significaly different
sources and  control programs, and meteorology.

With respect to the three major categories of traditional sources - fuel
combustion,  industrial processes, and solid waste disposal -  the relative
contributions also varied significantly with the nature of the different
urban areas.  The fuel combustion contribution to inventoried emissions
ranged from  less than 20 percent in clean-fuel, industrialized areas to
well over 90 percent in totally nonindustrial areas, with industrial
processes accounting for most of the balance.  Solid waste disposal emis-
sions were generally less than 5 percent.

Fuel Combustion

The magnitude  of  fuel  combustion emissions  depends  primarily  on  the amounts
and  types  of fuels  burned,  but  the  degree to which  they  are or  can be  con-
trolled  primarily  depends  on the installation  size —  point  sources and
                                  54

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10
 o>
 =1
 CC
 <
 o
 z
 o
 u
 LU
 CO

 CO

 Q.
 in
 m
 cc
 Q.
 in
 UJ
 o
     90
     80
 co
 to
 UJ
 u

 £   70

 z
 —CATEGORY HI
       0        100      20O      30O      4OO       500      6OO

           TRADITIONAL  SOURCE  EMISSION  DENSITY, tons/yeor/sq mile


    Figure 7.  Relationship between city wide average  TSP  levels and

               traditional source emission  density
                                  55

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area sources - and sometimes on the type of source - electric power,  in-
dustrial or residential.  The overall pattern of the fuel combustion emis-
sions was generally as would be expected, with greater emissions in areas
where coal and heavy oil are more prevalent, and in areas where major
electric power or industrial combustion sources remain uncontrolled.
Substantial further reductions in particulates from these sources are
expected under present regulatory plans.  In addition, there is a signi-
ficant range in the stringency of emission regulations applied to combustion
sources, so that in many areas there is room for further reductions by
tightening the standards.

One particular aspect of fuel combustion emissions control to which the
study sought an answer is the question of residential space heating.   The
use of coal in residential units has declined almost to the point of in-
significance, but in coastal cities the use of oil (rather than gas) is
common, and is likely to remain so.  Since small oil burners are generally
controlled only through visible emissions enforcement, if at all, the
degree to which they might contribute to the TSP probls_.n is an important
open question.  In the cities selected for the study, it proved impossible
to separate the extensive residential use of oil from other fuel use and
industrial sources by means of the air quality and emission data analysis
techniques primarily used.  However, it did prove possible to make a rough
estimate of the impact from heating oil based on the microscopic analysis
of hi-vol filters from the various cities.  Composited results for each
city, while subject to significant caution in interpretation, did indicate
elevated levels of oil soot in those cities -Providence, Washington,
Seattle, and Baltimore — where they would logically be expected.  An
approximate comparison of these results with those in the other cities
                                                             •i
suggests a contribution  to TSP levels of no more than 5 yg/m  .  While
this is a small portion  of the typical urban levels of 75 to  100 ug/m  »
it is a significantly larger portion of  the 30 to 35 yg/m   "working range"
between typical nonurban levels and  the  secondary standard.
                                   56

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Industrial Processes

The second major category of traditionally considered pollution sources
are industrial process losses,  as distinguished from emissions from in-
dustrial fuel combustion emissions.  Process emissions are divided into
stack emissions and fugitive emissions, the latter being those indirect
emissions from doors, windows,  etc., material storage piles, or other
outside activity on the plant property.  Historically, primary concern
has been directed at stack emissions, which are more easily identified,
quantified, and controlled, and have, in the past, been the major sources
of particulate emissions from industry.

Stack Emissions — The degree of the process emission problem is dependent
on the industrialization of the area in question.  In the heavy industrial
cities where control of process sources is still being pursued, these
sources, along with industrial fuel use, dominate the air pollution picture.
In those industrial cities where emissions from process sources have
been generally controlled, they tend to remain roughly half the total
inventory.  The process weight regulations concerning stack emissions from
process losses are not amenable to significant tightening, and further
reductions of inventoried emissions will generally need to come from en-
forcement of existing regulations, adoption of tighter regulations for
specific types of sources, and control of fugitive emissions.  The industry
categories that continue to pose the greatest stack emissions problem are
the primary metals and minerals processing industries.

Fugitive Emissions - Fugitive industrial emissions have been traditionally
recognized, but only minor control efforts have been pursued to date.  In
many operations, especially where dry materials handling is prominent,
emissions are generated in processes both inside and outside of plant
facilities, but on plant property, which are either ignored or insuffi-
ciently controlled so that significant particulate emissions are generated.
For industrial processes that operate outdoors, such as coke ovens and rock
crushing operations at quarries, these pollutants are directly emitted to

                                  57

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the ambient air.  Even when such processes are enclosed,  the  pollutants
emitted into the working environment may escape to the atmosphere through
windows, doors, roof ventilators, or even unsealed cracks in  walls.   In
either case, those pollutants that enter the outside ambient  air have been
defined as fugitive emissions.

Fugitive emissions result from a wide variety of circumstances,  including
poor operation or maintenance of process equipment.  For example, fugitive
emissions can be the result of leakage from warped doors on coke ovens as
well as the oven charging operation itself.  Storage piles and handling
operations for sand and gravel, coal, grain, and other materials that are
kept in the open can become fugitive sources when a strong wind blows over
them.  Similarly, dirt and gravel parking lots and roadways on industrial
property can become major sources of particulates due to either wind
erosion or traffic.

Fugitive emissions have generally been assumed to be small in comparison
to stack" emissions.  However, with stack emissions coming under controls
that may provide up to 99 percent reduction, the relative importance of
fugitive emissions has been growing, and they may now comprise
a significant  portion of nationwide emissions.  For example,  EPA has
estimated  that  total fugitive emissions of particulate from electric arc
furnace charging can be 5 to  50  times the amount of the stack emissions
emitted downstream of the control device.

Even if the quantity of fugitive emissions from a process is  small in
comparison with the stack emissions, the low height at which they are
typically  emitted means that very little dilution occurs and fairly high
ambient levels  are created.  Consequently, even though adequate emission
estimates  are  lacking, fugitive  emissions appear to be a significant and
increasing problem.  A very rough estimate based on comparing TSP levels
at various monitoring sites  (see Appendix D)  suggests  their  aggregate
impact in  industrial neighborhoods is typically on the order of 25 pg/m  .
                                 58

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Reduction of fugitive emissions will likely require a new approach to
regulatory control of such emissions.  Currently, regulations for control
of fugitive emissions are of three general types:  nonspecific nuisance
regulations, quantitative property-line regulations, and regulations that
prescribe specific control measures in specific circumstances.  The
majority of regulations in the country are of the first type, defining
dust as a nuisance and often requiring "reasonable precautions" to pre-
vent emissions.  While flexible and capable of being strong enforcement
tools, such regulations have not in fact proven effective on an overall
basis.  The other two types can be more effective, though clearly not
without serious enforcement efforts.  Property-line regulations in par-
ticular require enforcement and measurement techniques that are even
more difficult than those required for stack emission sources.  Although
both alternative types are apparently somewhat better than nuisance reg-
ulations, there were only limited areas where they are used, and no areas
where an extensive, effective control effort was underway.

Solid Waste Disposal

Of the several methods of solid waste disposal, Incineration and open
burning have traditionally been the most common in urban areas and, there-
fore, the most significant sources of partlculate emissions.  Under pres-
sure from pollution regulations, however, the larger point sources of
solid waste disposal emissions, municipal incinerators and large Indus-
trial installations have been controlled or replaced, while the smaller
residential and commercial incinerators and open burning in dumps are
typically tightly regulated and often banned.  With the continuing trend
toward landfills, recycling, and the use of combustible rubbish as a
fuel supplement, solid waste disposal is expected to continue to decline
in significance as a factor in attaining the NAAQS.
                               59

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Surveillance', Compliance and.Enforcement Programs

An integral part of the impact that emissions from traditional sources
may have on standards attainment is involved with the nature and effec-
tiveness of the pollution control effort applied to them.  Since fuel
combustion, industrial processes and solid waste disposal have long been
viewed as important sources  of particulate emissions, maintaining sur-
veillance over these traditional sources and enforcing regulations concern-
ing them have been major activities of many control agencies since their
inception.  The nature of the control programs varies significantly, in-
volving various combinations of source registration, permit systems, in-
spections, and so on.

The achievements of surveillance and enforcement programs depend on the
matching of enforcement activities to the nature of the particulate emis-
sion  problem.  Among the 14  cities, the largest actual reductions in
emissions from traditional sources have been achieved in those cities
where surveillance and enforcement programs are comprehensive and vigorous.
The activities of such programs generally included the following:  constant
surveillance and patrols, frequent inspections of problem sources, a gen-
eral  knowledge of all of the traditional sources, rigorous compliance
determination, prompt action when a violation or upset occurs, issuance
of compliance orders that are  strict yet reasonably attainable in the
opinion of an appeals board, and strict enforcement of compliance schedules,

The  stringency of the regulations being applied  is obviously  important  in
determining  the reductions  in  particulate emissions actually  obtained.
Study findings indicate, however, that somewhat more  important are  the
enforceability of the regulations, the strictness of  the enforcement, and
especially the manner in which compliance is determined.  The enforce-
ability of regulations affects the ease and speed with which  emissions
are  controlled, and  is Influenced by the types of regulations in effect.
                                   60

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For example, in dealing with numerous small incinerators, a standard
specifying certain types of equipment is much easier to enforce than an
emission standard which requires monitoring; in dealing with coke ovens,
an efficient standard is one that specifies maintenance and operating
conditions; in dealing with fugitive emissions, a source-specific regula-
tion is more effective than a general nuisance regulation.  The enforce-
ability of regulations is also related to the institutional channels through
which any hearings and appeals proceed.  Enforcement is more effective and
more efficient when control activities and enforcement proceedings are
conducted by the same governmental level — or at least by well-coordinated
and geographically proximate agencies.

Another important concern is the matter of compliance determination.  It
is not at all clear that reports of full or near compliance actually mean
that all or most traditional sources are in compliance with the regulations.
While it was not a major purpose of the present study, some understanding
of the methods used for compliance determination was obtained during dis-
cussions of overall compliance status.  Only a few of the agencies conduct
or require actual stack tests and then not on a routine basis.  More
commonly, compliance determination is done on the basis of walk-through
inspections and theoretical calculations based on process loads, emission
factors, control efficiency specifications, and similar data.  While this
type of compliance determination is appropriate for some  sources and control
measures when done by well-trained agency personnel, it Is equally  inap-
propriate  for other, more complex sources with untried control technology,
particularly when performed by relatively inexperienced agency personnel.

Air Quality Impact

A primary objective of the study was to develop an understanding of the
impact that traditional sources have on TSP levels.  Specifically,  it is
important to place traditional sources in a proper perspective with res-
pect to the problem of standards attainment.  The type of analysis based
                                  61

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on citywide levels that was presented in Figure 7  is adequate for a broad,
general perspective; however, a more careful analysis involving individual
monitoring sites was also undertaken in order to provide a more detailed
and comprehensive picture.  This effort, involving over 150 hi-vol sites,
considered in detail the nature of the site neighborhoods and the air quality
levels recorded, and has provided an overall perspective which is used
throughout this section to structure the summary discussion.  Figure 8
indicates the quantitative impacts in various types of neighborhoods
estimated to result from traditional source emissions.  The figure estimates
the impact at residential, commercial, and industrial sites in cities with
two different levels of traditional source prominence, following the
grouping presented in Figure 7.  The higher portion of the bars represent
the three cities where traditional sources are still dominant (Category I),
and the lower portion the cities where significant control has taken place
(Category II); in the other two categories, where traditional sources are
largely absent or controlled, no apparent impact was seen.  With respect to
other parameters, such as meteorology, the estimates should be viewed as
representing a hypothetical average city.  The traditional sources in a
heavily industrialized, not yet controlled city add  10 yg/m3 at a typical
residential site, 19 ug/m3 at a commercial site, and about 70 ng/m3 at an
industrial site.  Roughly, about 20 ug/m3 of the latter may be attributed
to  fugitive sources.

PARTICULATES FROM NONTRADITIONAL SOURCES

The above discussion focused on sources traditionally considered for con-
trol of ambient levels of particulate matter;  i.e.,  sources which are
generally stationary point sources, or  fugitive emissions.  These tradi-
tional sources were shown to cause  levels of TSP that were  far in excess
of  the national ambient air  quality standards.  However,  even  in cities
where TSP emissions froft traditional  sources are relatively  smJtll,  city-
wide averages are 30 pg/m^ or more  above nonurban levels, and  the secon-
dary annual standard is being violated.  Monitors in apparently  clean
                                   62

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    75 r
    50
z
Ui
o;
u
Q.

10
    25
                                                           nt
              RESIDENTIAL
COMMERCIAL
INDUSTRIAL
        Figure 8.  Traditional source increments in different

                   sice types
                                 63

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areas of a city or in smaller, nonindustrial cities  have measured  high
TSP concentrations which cannot be explained by modeling with tradi-
tional source emissions or which fail to decrease as expected under
controls of the State Implementation Plans.   These findings indicate
that a certain level of particulate in cities is caused by the concen-
trated activity in an urban area.  These activities  are here collec-
tively designated "nontraditional" sources;  i.e., those sources not
traditionally considered in air pollution control strategies.

Nontraditional sources of particulates may be divided into two categories.
One category consists of obvious, distinct sources of emissions that have
not been normally considered as sources; these include construction
and demolition activities, emissions from tailpipes, and tire wear.  The
other category refers to the more general problem of activity in the
city and the characteristics of the urban setting that allow particulates
to become entrained or reentrained.

Before  the discussion of these categories, two terms merit differen-
tiation:  fugitive emissions and fugitive dust emissions.  Both refer
to general, nonstack emissions of particulates.  However,  fugitive  emis-
sions  (included under traditional sources) result from  industrial-related
operations and escape to the  atmosphere  through windows, doors, and vents
rather  than through a primary  exhaust system.  Fugitive dust emissions,
on the  other hand, are  generally related to natural  or  man-associated
dusts  (particulate only) that  become airborne  due to the forces of  wind,
man's  activity, or both.   Fugitive  dust  emissions include  windblown par-
ticulate matter from paved and unpaved  roads,  tilled farm lands,  and  ex-
posed  surface  areas at  construction sites.  Natural  dusts  that become
airborne  during dust storms are  also included  as  fugitive dusts.

Estimates  of  emissions  from nontraditional  sources  in several  comprehen-
sive reports  tend to indicate that  the  total level  of particulates from
several of  these  activities are an  order of  magnitude larger than those
 from traditional  sources.   This study did not  include any major effort

                                  64

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to develop additional emission factors;  rather,  it concentrated on a re-
view of the previously published literature plus analysis of air quality
data collected to determine the impact of such sources on ambient TSP.
Appendix E provides the detailed results of much of this analysis, the
following discussion summarizes the findings.

Reentrained Participates

In an urban area, particulate matter accumulates on the various city sur-
faces due to fallout, and especially heavy loads on streets can result
from dirt and mud carryout from unpaved parking lots and roads, spillage
from trucks, and sand and salt applied for snow control.  This particulate
matter can then become entrained and at least temporarily suspended in the
ambient air due to wind erosion or man's activities disturbing the surface.

Natural Reentrainment - Natural reentrainment of particulates occurs when
wind is strong enough to lift particulates from the surface.  Due to the
mechanics of wind erosion, such movement is more likely to be initiated
in an urban area where hard, flat surfaces are exposed to the sweeping
action of the wind.  Based upon the analysis presented in Appendix F of
this report and other literature, winds above 10 to 12 miles per hour are
likely to be contributing to the TSP levels.  Above this speed, the re-
entrained dust maintains the TSP level above what would be projected based
upon the balanced dilution effect of the ventilation accompanying the
wind.  Therefore, the analysis in Appendix F indicates that the overall
impact neither increases or decreases the daily TSP levels.  However,
cleaner surfaces (determined by comparisons after rainfall) did allow
the dilution effect  to reduce levels further than when the wind was blow-
ing over dirtier surfaces  (measured on days before which there was no
rainfall).

Vehicular-induced Reentrainment - The most important contribution to re-
entrainment caused by man  in an urban area is the disruption of  surface
                                  65

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dust by motor vehicle activity.  The wheels of the vehicles not only
Impart kinetic energy to particles on the road but also grind up the
larger, nonsuspendible particles into smaller ones and break up the co-
hesive bonds of the .dust.  Such activity in an urban area occurs primarily
on paved roads with additional local impacts expected due to dirt and
gravel roads and parking lots.  The amount of particulate reentrained by
motor vehicles is directly related to the amount of dirt on the road,
its suspendibility (sand versus dust), the speed of the vehicles, and
the level of activity (often expressed as ADT - average daily traffic).

Vehicular activity on paved roads - The data gathered in the course of
this study provided several opportunities for making estimates of the
impact of vehicular-induced reentrainment by comparisons of comparable
monitoring sites.  The best data were the result of special studies that
had been or were being conducted by the local agencies to determine for
themselves the Impact of traffic on the measured TSP levels.  Generally,
this was done by monitoring in one location but at either different
heights or distances from the road, or both.  The analyses of these data
for each city are given in the individual city reports and the cross-city
analysis is provided in Appendix E.

The findings from these data indicated that there was a direct relationship
between the daily TSP concentrations and average daily level of traffic (ADT)
and an inverse relationship between TSP and the distance of the monitor from
the traffic, measured by the slant distance  ( SD = «J(height)  +  (distance) J.
A comparison of the ADT/SD to the TSP concentration implied that a linear
relationship could be assumed to exist with good correlation.

As is discussed more extensively in Appendix E, this relationship between
ADT and slant distance has a significant Impact on the interpretation of
TSP levels measured by a hi-vol anywhere near a street with significant traf-
fic.  The data assembled in this study were not quite adequate to support
development of a quantitative relationship suitable for accurate calculations;
                                  66

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however, it Is possible to provide rough estimates of the impact of ve-
hicular traffic on nearby hi-vols.  The data in Table -11 are meant to
provide approximate values suitable for identifying sites with potential
problems and roughly judging the magnitude of the problem.

             Table 11.  APPROXIMATE IMPACT (IN yg/m3) OF
                        VEHICULAR TRAFFIC ON NEARBY
                        HI-VOL SITES

Traffic
volume ,
(ADT)
1,000
5,000
10,000
30,000
Slant distance of hi-vol from street
(feet)
20
5
25
50
100
50
2
10
20
50
100
—
5
10
25
150
—
3
7
15
Vehicular activity on unpaved areas - In many urban areas dirt or gravel
roads and parking lots are used by individual establishments or  in indus-
trial areas because of the expense of adequate paving.   These areas can
be sources of dirt for carryout to paved areas and may  also serve as areas
for naturally reentrained dust.  In addition, vehicular activity on these
areas can bring about man-induced reentrainment.

A comparison of the published emissions from unpaved  roads with  those  of
traditional emissions is given in Appendix  E for  those  central counties
analyzed in the course of this study.  That analysis  implies  that the
unpaved road emissions in counties which are not  totally urbanized can
be 10 to over 30  times the emissions  from traditional sources.   Even in
urbanized areas,  where unpaved roads  are not common,  the fugitive dust
from unpaved roads may be over 10 percent of the  traditional  emissions
in the county.
                                 67

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Based on the discussion on reentrainment from paved roads,  which indicates
that the impact of fugitive dust from vehicular activity decreases quickly
with distance, it is felt that these numbers are inappropriate for direct
use in air quality planning.  If these fugitive dust emissions are treated
the same as traditional emissions and used in rollback or dispersion model-
Ing calculations, there would be excessive, undeserved emphasis placed on
these sources and a potential deemphasis of the control of traditional
sources.  While these amounts of particulate may be temporarily reentrained
due to vehicular activity, they are not suspended for any length of time.
If they were, the rural areas of counties would be expected to have TSP
levels as high as those found in the cities; such is obviously not the
case.  Therefore, the use, if any, of these numbers would have to be li-
mited to Inputs to models which adequately reflect the deposition and
other removal of the particulates.

Specific Urban Sources

Certain activities in urban areas have not been considered major contribu-
tors to the TSP levels and therefore have received little attention in
the formulation of control strategies for particulates.  Yet these sources
may be considered true emission sources because the particulates arise
directly as a result of the individual activity rather than as a by-
product, and several recent studies have suggested that these sources
may be having more of an impact than previously thought.  Of particular
interest in a crowded urban area are transportation sources - the tailpipe
emissions from automobiles and the emission of rubber due to tire wear.
In addition, construction/demolition activities that are constantly
occurring in cities add to the total TSP levels measured.  Each of these
sources is discussed below.

Transportation Sources - Although particulates from the transportation
sector have been inventoried, they have seldom been regulated except
through ordinances prohibiting smoking vehicles and Federal restrictions
                                 68

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on aircraft.  Controls on motor vehicles have centered around emissions
of carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and hydrocarbons, which are one to
two orders of magnitude greater than emissions of particulates.  In ad-
dition, particu lates from the transportation sector have generally been
assumed to be insignificant when compared with emissions from traditional
sources.  However, as emissions from traditional sources have been reduced
under implementation planning, their proportionate contribution to the TSP
problem has been reduced so that particulates from the transportation
sector have become increasingly more important.

Tailpipe emissions — Attempts to separate out the contribution of motor
vehicles to the total TSP measured have centered around the use of lead
as a tracer element.  In most urban environments where lead, copper, and
zinc smelters, grey iron foundries, or other major point sources of lead
are not prevalent, ambient lead levels are assumed to be due almost en-
tirely to vehicular activity.  Therefore, if the ratio of TSP emissions
from tailpipes to the suspended lead emissions is known, the ambient levels
of lead can be multiplied by this ratio to provide the ambient TSP con-
tribution due to total tailpipe emissions.  Based on  several studies re-
viewed in Appendix E, this ratio may be assumed to range from 3 to 5 de-
pending upon the vehicle type and age mix.

Ambient lead levels are routinely measured in major cities through anal-
ysis of NASN filters, and many state and local agencies also perform their
own studies for lead.  (California has an air quality standard for lead of
1.50 ug/m3 for a monthly average.)  Ambient lead levels contained in the
National Aerometric Data Bank (MADE) indicate average annual concentra-
                                3                                        3
tions ranging from 0.5 to 2 ug/m  with a few cities measuring 3 to 4
These lead data suggest that tailpipe emissions are contributing from 1
          3
to 20 ug/m  to the total participate levels measured.  Data collected from
the individual cities studied under this effort indicate lead values in the
                                                         3
middle range of those reported above; i.e., around 1 ng/tn  .  Therefore,
it may be assumed that tailpipe emissions are generally contributing 3 to
      3
5 _Lg/m  to the ambient levels.
                                69

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Special sampling studies conducted by EPA in Miami and St.  Louis as  part
of this study provided data on particle sizes by elemental  composition.
Results in both cities indicated that the lead particles being sampled
are extremely small.  Only a small percentage are greater than 4 pm in
diameter, and the largest percentage was collected in the last impactor
stage, implying the particles had an effective aerodynamic  diameter  of
less than 0.25 urn.  This small diameter means that the lead would be dis-
persed and transported much as a gas with very little fallout with distance.
Therefore, it may be expected to be measured at rooftop levels or even in
more remote areas.

As part of this special study conducted by EPA in Miami, 2-hour elemental
concentrations were compared with the hourly traffic counts for 1 week.
These data illustrated the expected relationship of increasing lead con-
                               3
centration (as high as 4.6 ug/m  for a 2-hour average) with increasing
traffic, especially in the early morning when rush-hour traffic started  and
before mixing height and wind speed increases caused a drop in lead
concentration.

A compilation of all the sites for which some lead data were available
provided 49 monitors from six cities (Baltimore, Miami, Oklahoma City,
Philadelphia, San Francisco, Washington) with annual average lead concen-
trations as well as individual filter analyses from several sites in the
other cities discussed above.  Those monitors with annual data were grouped
according to their site classifications and then averaged to provide a
mean concentration.  Because the monitoring sites had a wide range of
local influences affecting the measured lead levels, Figure 9 presents
not only the mean values for each of the site classifications but also
the range of values found.  Since there were only four monitoring sites
each for the classification of rural and industrial, these averages and
ranges may not be representative of situations found in other cities.
                                70

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    2.2

    2.0

K>   1-8



 2  1.4
 £

 %  L2
 UJ
 z  1.0
 o
 o
 Q  O.8
 UJ
 -1  O.6

    O.4

    0.2

      0
       SITES)
                 COMMERCIAL
                  (28 SITES)
                          RESIDENTIAL
                          (13 SITES)
                                   RURAL
                                   (4 SITES)
Figure 9.  The range and average  lead concentrations
          found at monitoring  sites
                      71

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Tire wear -  Aside from direct tailpipe emissions and reentrainment dust,
automobiles are known to generate particulates simply from the deteriora-
tion of the body and parts.  Rust, corrosion, and friction of one part on
another are all known sources.  However, their magnitude is small compared
with the wear that is seen on tires.  In the U.S., an estimated 660,000
tons of tire-tread are worn away each year.  Since over half of all vehicle-
miles traveled (VMT) is in urban areas, approximately 350,000 tons of rub-
ber are added to the urban environment every year.  Considering the size
and widespread nature of this source, its impact on air quality warrants
study.

Although filters were selected from each city for microscopic analysis,
neither the selection of a few filters nor the accuracy of the microscopy
were believed to be sufficient to characterize the cities.  However,  the
numerous filters from among the cities were considered to be adequate for
averaging contributions according to the various classifications  for  the
monitoring sites.

By using the percentage contribution of rubber tire  fragments to  the  total
visible loading on  the hi-vol filter  (diameter >  1 pm) and assuming ap-
proximately 85 percent of  the loading was visible, average rubber  load-
ings can be calculated for each site  type.   These average values,  along
with the range of values observed,  are  plotted in Figure  10.  This figure
shows  that co-mercial sites,  generally  most  esposed  to  traffic,  have
the highest contribution of rubber  while undeveloped or rural  sites
barely measure any  rubber.

In  the course of  the  careful  evaluation of  the monitoring network in  each
city,  monitoring  sites were  also  rated  on  the basis  of  local influences,
including  paved  roads.   Sites with  ar. expected paved road influence (10
in  all)  had  rubber  concentrations twice as high  as  sites  for which no such
influence  had  been  noted  - 9.9  and  4.9 ug/m3 respectively.
                                72

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10




 =1

 
 o
 
T RURAL
f_(5 SITES)
      Figure  10.  Average and range of TSP  loadings due to tire wear

                 at different monitoring site classifications
                                  73

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The values found for rubber in the course of this study are several times
what were expected based on the literature reviewed.   The reason for this
discrepancy is not apparent.  This experiment may have been better formu-
lated than previous ones to give a good cross-section of values, or the
high levels may be an artifact of the monitoring site and filter selection.
Currently, however, there is no reason to doubt the validity of these
data.

Of some interest in planning for control is the particle size distribution
of the rubber.  As shown in Table 7, the average size range of the rubber
tire fragments  (13 to 135 urn) is much larger than that of any other par-
ticulate identified.  Some particles were found to be 200 urn in length.
Normally, such  large particles are not considered suspendible for any
length of time  and are  too large to be of concern for respiratory effects.
Despite their size, however, no difference was discernible in average con-
centrations of  rubber by monitor height.  Several monitors 50 to 100 feet
                                                                3
above ground level measured levels of rubber in the  5 to 15 ug/m  range
while other, lower monitors recorded no rubber.

Construction/Demolition - The movement of materials  associated with con-
struction and demolition activities usually  results  in  the emission of
particulates into  the ambient air.  Major demolition programs, whether
using a ball and crane  or blasting  (low-yield), will emit particulates
up  to a height  equal  to that of  the building being removed.  Construction
involves much more movement of materials  continuously  for periods of
several months  to  over  a year.   Emissions are  generated by a wide variety
of  operations over the  duration  of  the construction, including  land
clearing, blasting,  ground  excavation, and  on-site traffice, as well as
the construction  of  the facility itself.

The study  findings in Appendix E illustrate that  construction  activity
does have  an  impact  on  very local TSP  levels but  that  the  effect  is  not
readily  predictable.   Construction  will  generally elevate  concentrations
downwind  from the site for  distances  up  to  a mile;  the amount  of  increase
                                74

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is related to the level of activity, type of activity, distance from the
activity, and control measures employed.   Monitors within half a mile of
construction may have annual geometric means 10 to 15 yg/ra3 higher than
normal.  Therefore, if 10 percent of the monitors in an urban area are
near construction activity, the calculated citywide average TSP level
would he 1 to 2 yg/m3 higher than otherwise expected.

These measured impacts are much less than would be expected based on a simple
interpretation of the emission levels developed for each county  (see Appendix
E).  Obviously, the use of those emission levels must be restricted to input
into modeling programs which adequately account for the fallout and depo-
sition of particles.  Development of new emission factors to reflect the
type and degree of activity and any control measures would be more ap-
propriate than the use of the existing factors.

National Assessment

While  the above discussions have not covered all topics possible under
the heading of nontraditional sources, they did center on those  sources
that have been identified as probable major influences.  From  these
sources alone it is evident that there are contributions to the  total
TSP levels simply  from man's activity and that the contributions are  the
highest  in an urban area where man's activity is greatest.  Similarly,
the closer to the  activity, the larger the impact.   These variations
have been addressed above for each  of the sources, but an overall
combined assessment  is needed to indicate the extent  of  the total
impact of nontraditional  sources on TSP  levels, and  thereby on the
problem  of attaining  standards.

Because  of the range  of TSP levels  that  may be contributed by the various
nontraditional sources, it  is not possible  to  identify at  this stage  either
the exact  impact at  any monitoring  site  or  even  the  average impact  in any
one city.  Such  a  determination would require  extensive  data  and modeling,

-------
most of which are not available.  Rather, the intent is to provide a mea-
sure of the range of impacts that may reasonably be expected in most sit-
uations and an understanding of the relative importance of nontraditional
sources for standards attainment on a national basis.  Therefore, this
conclusion should not be taken as sufficient to preclude detailed analysis
in each city but as guidance to the development of national priorities for
further planning measures.

The average and range of TSP levels attributed to tailpipe emissions and
tire wear were given in the, above analyses by site type.  Recognizing
that ranges of values varied in different cities, average contributions
can still be calculated.   Tailpipe emissions provided an average  level
of TSP  in industrial and commercial areas of 4 to 5  yg/m  and approximate-
ly 3 ug/m3  in residential  areas.  Tire wear added rubber concentrations
of 6 ug/m3  at industrial sites, 9 ug/m3  at commercial sites» and  3  ug/m3
at residential  sites.

Construction activity  is more  difficult  to present  on an  average  basis
because of  the  wide range  of  possibilities  that  may occur.   Some  cities
have construction underway at  individual, widely dispersed  locations
which  are not  close to monitoring  sites, while  others may have  similar
activity but  close to  one  or  more  monitoring sites.  Levels of  TSP  due  to
construction  are expected  to  range  between  0 and 15 ug/m ;  the  closer
 the monitor,  the greater the  impact.   If only one or two monitors out of
 a network of  20 are near construction activity,  a citywide average will
 only  be affected by 1 to 2 pg/m3 annual geometric mean.  However, in some
 cities major construction programs such as  urban renewal and subways are
 going on in concentrated areas of the city.   These activities are apparently
 causing higher-than-normal values at a large number of nearby monitors and
 will provide elevated average values in the commercial section of the city.

 While construction is obviously a localized source, the reentrainment
 problem exists wherever there are roads and traffic.   Since the  level
                                 76

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of reentrained matter could not be exactly determined through microscopy
or elemental analyses, as with rubber and tailpipe emissions respectively,
other measures were necessary.  By calculating the excess levels at resi-
dential, commercial, and industrial sites that could not be explained
after accounting for nonurban levels and traditional sources, the total
nontraditional impact on the annual geometric mean TSP levels averaged
around 20 to 25 ug/m3 at residential sites and 30 to 35 ug/m  at commer-
cial and industrial sites.  By subtracting the above levels estimated to
be due to tirewear, tailpipe emissions, and construction, the average re-
                                                  3
entrainment contribution was approximately 20 pg/m  at industrial moni-
tors, 18 yg/m3 at commercial monitors, and 14 ug/m  at residential moni-
tors.   (The higher  levels at industrial monitros are likely the result of
dirtier roads  in the  area.)  These levels of TSP were compared with  those
calculated  in  specific  studies  in Miami and Providence, by using  the dis-
tribution of monitor  siting situations and the expected impact of reentrain-
ment at each  site,  and  also with projected reentrainment  levels based  on
published reports of  the  ratio  of  tailpipe TSP to  reentrainment TSP.   The
same order  of  magnitude was found  in all  cases.

Figure  11 indicates the quantitative impacts  on TSP levels  of each of  the
nontraditional sources  considered  above  in various types  of  neighborhoods.
As has  been stressed  throughout this discussion,  these  are  only average
values  and  a wide  range of values  can be  expected  when  comparing  particular
 situations.

 MONITORING  CONSIDERATIONS

 The monitoring of  ambient TSP levels is not  a causative factor in the at-
 tainment of standards in the same sense as high nonurban levels or emis-
 sions from either  traditional or nontraditional sources.   However, network
 configuration and  station siting do affect the extent to which measured
 levels are representative.  These factors also affect the overall quality
 and usefulness of  the data base needed for both air quality planning and
 verifying attainment.

                                   77

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   40 r
   30  -
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This section compares current EPA guidance on monitoring, as found in
OAQPS Guideline No. 1.2-012, with the actual network configurations and
siting practices found during visits to more than 150 monitoring sites.
It contains an analysis of the effects of the variations in networks and
siting on measured levels and thus on standards attainment, and an anal-
ysis of the impact of deviations from EPA guidelines.

Monitoring Objectives

Table 12 from the EPA monitoring guideline document lists the objectives
that have been commonly used in designing current networks.  Basically
these are the outgrowth of the original NASN objective of surveying typical
pollutant levels, with some recent additions in the areas of planning and
enforcement.  Conspicuously missing from the list, however, other than
under the general rubric of research, is any concept of monitoring to
determine the nature of the air pollution problem in a given area or the
identity and location of sources having an  impact in a particular situation.

              Table 12.  GENERAL MONITORING OBJECTIVES
•    Provide data  for research
•    Provide data  for air quality planning efforts
•    Provide data  for emergency episode prevention
•    Monitor time  trends and patterns
•    Monitor source compliance with regulations
•    Ascertain attainment and maintenance of NAAQS  (population  exposure)
•    Determine impact of  specific  proposed or  constructed facilities  on
     ambient concentration
•    Provide data  to  support enforcement  actions
                                  79

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Monitoring Guidelines

The current EPA monitoring guidelines define a general structure for
discussion and planning network monitoring objectives, emphasizing the
need to design the network to meet well-defined objectives and data needs.
They prescribe the general size of monitoring effort required, emphasizing
that this must be adjusted to suit local conditions.  More specifically
concerning hi-vol placement, the guidelines recommend a horizontal clear-
ance of at least 2 meters and a height range of 2 to 15 meters; this lat-
ter permits placement at any height from essentially ground level to
about 50 feet.

Network Configuration

The concept of network configuration involves the number of monitoring
sites and their geographic distribution over the area of concern.   It in-
cludes "both the concept of selecting patterns of sites and areas of cities
over distances of several miles and the concept of  selecting neighborhoods
over distances of a  few city blocks.

Configuration Problems -  In general, the monitoring networks  studied  in
the 14 cities did not have major problems with overall configuration.
However, two problems of  some concern in several of the cities  do warrant
further discussion.  These problems were the  general  lack of  stations to
measure incoming air mass concentrations and  the lack of clearly defined
industrial area monitors  in several  cities.

The widespread  lack of  relatively  remote stations  is  to some  extent a
matter of  policy and agency jursidiction as well as a matter  of network
design.   For  only  a very  few  of the  urban  areas  studied was  there  an  ap-
propriate  station  to measure  the TSP loadings of incoming  air masses.
Previously operated nonurban sites have been  abandoned  in  two areas,
while  in  many they never  existed.   When necessary  for air quality planning,
                                  80

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a TSP concentration in incoming air is typically just assumed, usually
based on the NASN nonurban sites, which are frequently not appropriately
near.

This lack of adequate nonurban data is not yet a serious problem in major
industrialized urban areas, where ambient levels typically exceed the
standards substantially, so that precise knowledge of incoming levels is
not yet necessary.  However, it will no doubt become increasingly proble-
matic as ambient levels approach the standards, and as improvements in
air quality require increasingly precise planning.  In those study areas
where levels are nearer the standards, particularly those areas
where traditional sources are not dominant, there is already a planning
problem resulting from the lack of precise knowledge of the transition in
levels from remote through suburban into urban areas.  This problem is
of additional concern in regions of the country where we find significant
levels of secondary pollutants of generally unknown origin.

The second area in which there were some problems with network configura-
tion is the matter of sites in industrial areas.  In some of the heavily
industrialized urban areas studied, there were clearly defined industrial
sites, located either within the industrial area or along the margins be-
tween industrial and residential areas.  At these sites, there was no
real question about the air quality influence of the industrial areas
and operations, and the trend or lack of trend in industrial emissions
was clear,  In other areas, however, the sites best described as industrial
were not in fact located in or representative of the most uniformly dense
industrial areas, but rather were often influenced primarily by one nearby
industrial source.  Consequently, the air quality impact of the city's in-
dustrial areas is not clearly monitored, and the effects of control efforts
are not readily seen.  The reason for these problems is primarily the
nature of the industrial areas themselves.  In the areas that are well
monitored, the industrial activities are typically iron and steel mills
and associated metallurgical operations, usually located in large, con-
tiguous, readily identifiable areas.  In contrast, the poorly monitored

                                 81

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areas are in long, narrow riverside flood plains  and  contain much more
heterogeneous industrial activity, with extensive warehousing, truck and
rail terminals mixed in.  Another somewhat similar problem is the matter
of agency jurisdiction.  Not accidentally, major  industries are frequently
located just beyond city boundaries, either in smaller satellite munici-
palities or in unincorporated areas, and hence tend to escape thorough
coverage in a network  focused upon the responsibilities of a city agency.
This is clearly a difficulty occurring in Philadelphia, where a major
heavy industrial area  extends from the edge of the city along the river-
front in adjacent counties and into adjacent states.

Air Quality Patterns — Based on site visits, over 150 hi-vol sites were
classified as nonurban, residential, commercial,  or industrial on the
basis of the principal impact on air quality, rather than strictly on
location; that is, a site in a residential neighborhood that received a
major impact from an adjoining industrial area was categorized as indus-
trial rather than residential.  A consistent pattern appeared when the sites
were grouped by the four neighborhood types.  In  each urban area, the
average air quality levels were lowest in the residential neighborhoods and
highest at the industrial sites.  Table 13 compares average concentrations
by site type after those sites that are unduly affected by nearby sources
(in addition to an areawide influence) were removed from the data base.
Not surprisingly, industrial sites were systematically higher; traditional
sources have long been recognized as a major source of air pollution.  How-
ever, it is also  important to note  that commercial sites were similarly
higher.  This is because the potential for automotive-related pollutants
(such as exhaust  particles, rubber  tire particles, and other types of
reentrained street dust) is greater in commercial areas than in  residential
areas due to increased vehicle miles traveled  (VMT).
                                  82

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              Table 13.  AVERAGE TSP CONCENTRATIONS BY
                         NEIGHBORHOOD TYPE
Cities
Category I
Cleveland
Birmingham
St. Louis
Average
Category II
Philadelphia
Baltimore
Cincinnati
Average
Category III
Chattanooga
Denver
Seattle
Providence
Average
v/o Denver
Category IV
Washington, D.C.
Oklahoma City
Miami
San Francisco
Average
No. of
sites
studied

11
13
22

10
9
12

8
6
7
8

9
14
13
11

Geonetrlc mean TSP concentration
above nonurban levels,
ug/m3
Residential

45
35
29
36
26
30
24
27
20
48
21
18
27
20
17
26
24
24
23
Commercial

86
56
41
61
48
40
36
41
42
81
33
29
46
35
30
49
36
31
37
Industrial

113
88
74
92
58
71
66
65
54
96
62
None
71
58
None
None
None
None
None
Because ambient air quality levels in different types of neighborhoods
show such distinct differences,  it is important to consider network con-
figuration, especially the representation of industrial neighborhoods, in
any comparison of air quality between cities.   Failure to do so might very
well result in faulty conclusions about the effectiveness of regulations,
the relative contributions of source  categories,  or any other objective
of the comparison.
                                 83

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Station Siting

The selection of the actual site for placement  of the hi-vol is  a major
consideration.  As a matter of historical practice,  siting decisions have
usually been made on the basis of more practical  matters,  such as building
access, security, power availability, and so on.   However, the principal
factors to consider on a technical basis are the  effects of height and
distance from the street, and any nearby sources  of  particulates.

Height Effects - The primary problem with siting  is  the height of the hi-
vol above the ground or street level,  the height issue is difficult be-
cause the traditional practice is to put hi-vols  on  rooftops, while the
more recent view of some is that the health-oriented spirit of the Clean
Air Act should mandate placement near the breathing  zone.

Typically, hi-vol heights range from ground level to the  top of many-story
buildings; Figure 12 illustrates three points on  this .'ange:  a
low-level (6 foot) site type routinely used in Birmingham; an unusually
high site — the "Food Circus" building in Seattle at 70 feet; and a more
typical site — a one-story fire station in Oklahoma  City.   In general,
sites of all these varieties are present in each  network,  but on an overall
basis there is a significant difference among cities in the average height
of the hi-vols.  Table 14 shows the variations in monitor  height among
the 14 cities.  Clearly, variation is significant.

The distance of the hi-vol back from the nearest  street is often re-
lated to the vertical height because of the relationship  of general build-
ing size and neighborhood type.  The typical central business district
(CBD) site on a tall building will be both vertically higher and horizon-
tally nearer to the street than a residential site,  which may well be on
a one-story building but is more likely to be set back from the street a
significant distance.  Distance back from the street is clearly a some-
what more flexible parameter than height, as the  hi-vols  can usually be
                                  84

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      (a) Low-level site  (Birmingham)
     (b) Elevated site (Seattle)
     (a) Sites of typical height (Oklahoma City)
Figure 12.   Range of heights in typical hi-vol installations
                           85

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moved about on a rooftop.  The analyses of dust reentrainment from streets
in Appendix E found that there was some evidence that TSP levels were more
affected by variations in height than by distance back from the street.

      Table 14.   VARIATION IN MONITOR HEIGHT AMONG THE 14 CITIES
Cities
Heavily
industrialized
Cleveland
Birmingham
Philadelphia
Baltimore
St. Louis
Moderately
industrialized
Cincinnati
Chattanooga
Denver
Seattle
Providence
Lightly
industrialized
Washington, O.C.
Oklahoma City
Miami
San Francisco
Height of
monitors , feet
Mean


37
10
14
31
38


29
21
30
34
56


33
17
20
30
Median


25
6
13
30
19


25
19
23
20
49


28
15
18
18
The original decision in  favor of placing hi-vols on rooftops rather than
at street level, first made  in establishing the NASN in the early 1950s,
considered the fact that  such siting would minimize the measurement of
particulate matter reentrained from the ground.  (The other significant
reasons were concern over vandalism and the fact that ground-level sites
are hard to find in the CBD.)  The fact that these original monitors were
deliberately placed where measurement of reentrained particles would be
minimized emphasizes the  changing concept of the TSP problem.  Today
                                  86

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low-level,  reentrainment-type  emission  sources are  seen by many  cities
as the reason that they cannot meet  the ambient  standards, but in the
1950s they were considered by  most as extraneous interferences,  not pol-
lution sources; the pollution  sources were the heavy industries and the
large fuel combustion operations.  Consequently, appropriate siting of
hi-vols is still an issue today,  and the  inconsistencies, both among sites
within an urban area and among networks in different urban areas, continue
to hamper not only careful data analysis  but also problem definition.

Impact of Nearby Sources — The exact placement  of a hi-vol with respect to
other types of sources can also have a  significant impact on the levels
measured.  This is particularly true at sites that are at all proximate
to low-level dust eattainment  sources ,  such as  unpaved parking lots or
roads, construction activity,  sources  of fugitive emissions, and indus-
trial sources with much settleable particulate or low-level emission
points.  The sites visited in the study were classified as to whether any
nearby source had an undue influence on the measured levels; Table 15
summarizes the number and type of sites with nearby sources.  It is ap-
parent from the table that a significant fraction of the hi-vols in most
of the cities are influenced by nearby sources,  and significant changes
in concentrations at these sites  are dependent on controlling the nearby
source.  In many cases, the source is  nontraditional or is related to
fugitive dust.

Only three residential sites had  special local impacts, but in the commer-
cial and industrial categories such influences were common.  Ten of the 60
commercial sites had local impacts,  even when a fairly  stringent definition
of undue influence was used.  For example, since so many  commercial sites
had an obvious impact from traffic,  such an influence was  labeled an undue
effect only if the monitor was either unusually low and close to the street
 (as in Figure  12(a)) or affected by a major street, as  in the case of
samplers adjacent to expressways.  Construction, a cause  of special
local  impacts  at  three sites  in 1974,  was  identified only if  it
                                 87

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                   Table 15.
00
00
NUMBER OF SITES WITH AN ESTIMATED IMPACT OF LOCAL INFLUENCES,
BY NEIGHBORHOOD CLASSIFICATION

Total number of sites visited
Number with some apparent degree of
local impact
Number with degree of impact judged
major
Number with "undue" impact in context
of neighborhood definition
Average TSP levels at sites without
"undue" impact
Typical increment at sites with
"undue" impact
Residential
39
10
3

3
60 Mg/uH
15 yg/ra3
Commercial
60
36
10

10
78 ug/m3
25 ug/m3
Industrial
41
24
21

0
110 ug/m3
-
Undeveloped
14
0
0

0
-
-
Total
154
70
34

13
-
—

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was Immediately adjacent to the site (within one or two blocks) and if
the impact on air quality levels was apparent.

The 41 industrial sites presented a different situation.  As initially
classified, essentially all the industrial sites had impacts from nearby
unpaved roadways, parking areas, trucking terminals, and other fugitive
dust sources.  Consequently, it was deemed appropriate to include these
impacts in the basic concept of an industrial neighborhood, and no in-
dustrial sites were classified as having undue impacts.  Some sites in
commercial neighborhoods, however, were so classified on the basis of
undue impacts from isolated industrial sources.

Air Quality Patterns — Approximate impacts of nearby sources of various
types were estimated and are summarized in Appendix G.  Also determined
were the impacts, of sources of fugitive emissions, generally identified
as being in the  immediate vicinity of the monitor; these impacts were
discussed  in the section on traditional sources.

The typical effect on air quality levels at sites with  significant impact
                                               3
from nearby sources can easily be 20 to 25 ng/m  .  This represents an in-
crease of  at least 30 percent over the typical levels recorded at commer-
cial neighborhood sites in  the 14 study cities.  Data at specific sites
can vary substantially from these average values, depending on the prox-
imity of the source to the  site.

Comparison of Actual Siting to Guidelines - The  general conclusion regarding
siting of  the monitors visited is that they are  altogether too loosely
placed with  respect to both height and horizontal placement.   However,  they
are generally within the height  range specified  in  the  EPA guidance ma-
terial, which  recommends sites less  than  50 feet high,  and provides only
qualitative  cautions concerning  horizontal placement.   Thus,  it  is con-
cluded that  more definitive guidance is needed,  particularly  on  height  and
proximity  to nearby sources,  such as paved roads.
                                  89

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Operating Frequency and Schedule

Designing the frequency and scheduling aspects of  TSP network operations
is generally a matter of balancing the precision desired  or  required  in
the resultant annual mean with any necessary resource restraints.   These
decisions are not generally a major problem in designing  a network and
the matter of operating schedules was not found to be, in and of itself,
a significant factor relative to standards attainment.  Common practice
in the networks studied was to sample on a systematic schedule every 6th
day, following recommended EPA guidance; this is  generally adequate to
produce acceptable estimates of the annual mean and the frequency of vio-
lations of the 24-hour standard.

The only significant interaction between hi-vol operating frequency and
the problems  of standards attainment is a matter of having enough data to
provide adequate knowledge of the air pollution problem to be dealt with.
As an example, the analyses of meteorological parameters and TSP levels
in Section III and Appendix F, conducted to investigate the impact of
urban fugitive dust  influences, were dependent on having essentially daily
hi-vol data available;  in  other urban areas where similar detailed anal-
yses would have been important  for  judging  the cause  of the TSP problem,
data gathered on  the standard every-6-days  schedule  proved  to be completely
inadequate  for a  proper  analysis.   This  is  believed  to be a  fairly common
failing  because  the  very nature of  particulates from urban  activity  makes
the problem closely  interrelated  with meteorology.   Since the problems of
fugitive dust emissions, resuspension  of material  from the  roadway,  etc.,
are increasingly being blamed  for failure  to  attain  the  standards,  in-
creased  sampling frequency should appropriately be a part of agencies'
attempts to  define this problem adequately for planning  purposes.

 Summary

The degree  to which monitoring considerations influence  the attainment of
 standards is philosophically difficult to assess.  The matter of network

                                   90

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configuration,  or neighborhood selection,  is  difficult because there are
no clear criteria for defining proper configuration; it would necessarily
be a function of the purpose of the monitoring.   The matter of individual
site placement is philosophically difficult because it gets into the vague
area of defining the dividing point between "ambient" air, where the
standards should be met, and source-oriented monitoring sites.

Network Configuration — The selection of neighborhoods for monitoring re-
flects a difficult tradeoff between the various monitoring objectives.
Selecting residential neighborhoods will provide better population-exposure
coverage but will likely result in lower values than selecting commercial
neighborhoods.  Industrial sites, in turn, will have higher values than
commercial sites, but will provide necessary information on the progress
of  traditional source control.  One obvious conclusion relating to net-
work configuration is that the latitude air pollution control agencies
necessarily have in the design of their networks can easily affect the
number of sites in the  jurisdiction  that attain the standards.  However,
this is a concern over  the relative balance between residential, commer-
cial and industrial sites in  the network, which doesn't necessarily relate
to  the overall effect of the  control program on the aggregate exposure of
the population.  One obvious  approach to this, which  is simple at least  in
theory, is to designate smaller subnetworks for various purposes, each of
which might have a different  balance of sites.

Hi-vol Siting - For certain specific sites,  the difference between attain-
 ing and exceeding  the  standard is  very  clearly attributable  to the  special
 influence of  some nearby source.   Philosophically,  this situation could  be
 viewed either of two ways.  It  could be called a sampler  siting anomaly,
which  should be resolved by moving  the hi-vol or redesignating it a  source-
 oriented research  station.  Alternatively,  it could be viewed as a  site
 receiving an  impact  from a  pollution source  which,  though possibly  temporary
 or  of  a  fugitive dust  nature, is  still  something  that should be controlled.
 Which  of these  two  interpretations is appropriate  depends on the precise
 nature of  the  site in  question.   Since  public access has  been presumed by

                                   91

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EPA to be the criterion for defining ambient  air,  the  key parameter  is  the
extent to which the public has access to the  site  in question.   The  inter-
pretation of public access may prove difficult, however.  For instance,  the
Dyer Street site in Providence, which exceeds the  standard  because of  the
impact of an expressway, is located on a parcel of right-of-way  land imme-
diately adjacent to the expressway.  While the public  technically and
legally has access to the parcel, as a practical matter  the general  public
has no reason to go there, and in fact there  appears  to  be  no significant
pedestrian volume.

In assessing the overall impact of undue influences from local sources,
the important factor is the proportion of sites falling  in  each of  these
two categories.  Based on the site visits and the  above  philosophy  on
interpretation of public access, the significant majority of cases  appear
to be situations where the source should be controlled,  and the instances
of true monitoring anomalies which should be  corrected are  a small  minority.

In a position somewhat between these latter two situations  is the group
of sites that have significant but temporary local influences, usually
construction.  These are  to a certain-"degree clearly controllable fugitive
dust problems; because of  their  transitory nature, however, some portion
of the impact must be written off as an anomaly.

Another obvious conclusion is  that,  because nearby sources do affect mea-
sured air  quality  considerably,  the  siting practices of the agency  can
significantly affect the  number  of sites  indicating violations.  Consid-
eration of the  siting  practices  of the agency is  thus a necessary pre-
requisite  to comparing air quality values between cities.

METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY

General Considerations

In determining which AQCRs have met  or  are likely to  meet  the  national
particulate standards  and which, if  any,  are not, it  is important  to  keep
                                  92

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in perspective the role of meteorology  and  climatology.   As part of this
goal, the following discussion summarizes the impact of  certain meteorological
variables and meteorological conditions on  TSP levels in as quantitative a
fashion as appears reasonable at  the present time.

The principal effects to be considered  are  discussed at  length in Appen-
dix F where the range of conditions experienced by  the 14 study cities is
analyzed.  A brief discussion of  these  findings follows.

Precipitation - The effect of precipitation is twofold:   (1) it cleanses
the atmosphere by capturing particles within the cloud  (rainout) and by
the washout of particles below the clouds;  and (2)  it suppresses fugitive
dust.  Precipitation is very effective in reducing TSP  levels in areas
with high concentrations which have resulted from either industrial or
fugitive dust sources, and average concentrations decrease steadily with
increasing 48-hour precipitation amounts in these areas.  The effect of
precipitation is greatest on the day it occurs and lasts an average
of about 2 days.  In the city case studies of high-concentration areas,
concentrations measured during the last half of a 48-hour period with
precipitation _>_ 0.25 inch averaged approximately half of concentrations
measured during 48-hour periods with negligible precipitation.  Concentra-
tions at typical  urban sites  (excluding  clean  residential areas) on days
with measurable precipitation were about 75 to 85 percent of average
values for the site and time of year.

Figure 13 presents a graphical summary of the  findings  at two sites in
one of the study cities when different levels  of 24-hour precipitation  are
used to classify a day as one with precipitation.  Under one analysis,  any
day with measurable precipitation  (0.01  inch) was considered to have had
precipitation; in a second analysis, only days with  at  least 0.25  inch  of
precipitation were considered as days with  precipitation.   Figure  13  shows
that, on the average, TSP levels remain  depressed the day after  rain  at
North Birmingham; at Downtown Birmingham the  levels  return  to near normal
more quickly.  The effect of rainfall  of different  intensities  is  shown by

                                  93

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            1.50

            140

            I3O

            1.20

            1.10

            1.00

        O   0.90

        5   0.80

            0.70

            0.60
                                  >0-OI IN.
T«6)
                       I      2       3       4       5  OR  MORE
                      NUMBER OF DAYS  AFTER  PRECIPITATION
         o) NORTH  BIRMINGHAM
                                                  OOI IN.
                       I       2      3      4      5  OR  MORE
                       NUMBER  OF DAYS AFTER   PRECIPITATION
         b) DOWNTOWN BIRMINGHAM
Figure 13.   Duration of  rainfall effectiveness  in reducing TSP
              levels at  two Birmingham  sites

-------
the difference between the  two  curves  for  each  site.   The  occurrence of
the peak average ratio at 4 days  after precipitation at North Birmingham
reflects a few very high ratios apparently associated with periods  of
dry, light-wind, poor-dispersion  conditions lasting for several days.

Wind Speed — The effect of  wind speed is also twofold.  First, as the
speed of the wind increases, the  effective volume of air available  for
dilution increases.  Thus,  for constant source strengths, downwind  con-
centrations are inversely proportional to wind  speed.  However, in  the case
of particulates, total emissions  are  not invariant with wind speed  since
the wind is the agent by which soil and dust particles are naturally en-
trained.  The amount of fugitive  dust entrained depends on the moisture
content and nature of the soil (or dust) and the wind speed.  At speeds
below 10 to 15 miles per hour, however, the amount is basically negligible
even under dry conditions.   At greater average speeds, and  particularly
under gusty conditions, fugitive contributions can be substantial.   Wind
speed also indirectly contributes to  fugitive emissions by  increasing
the rate of evaporation, and hence speeds  the drying of the soil and dust
particles.

Specific analyses on the effect of wind speed were conducted  in four of  the
study cities  using  24-hour  average TSP  concentrations and daily average
airport wind  speeds.  One  of these (Birmingham)  is heavily  industrialized,
two (Chattanooga and Denver) are moderately industrialized, and  one
 (Oklahoma  City) is  lightly industrialized.   Birmingham and  Chattanooga
have above-average precipitation and  low average wind speeds,  Denver has
little  precipitation and below-average wind  speeds,  and Oklahoma City
has nearly average amounts of  precipitation and high average wind  speeds.

The results  of these studies  showed  that  the dilution effect of  wind
 speed was noticeable below speeds  of about 10  miles  per hour in  industrial
 areas where  major  contributions  were made from point sources. At  higher
wind  speeds and in  nonindustrial urban  areas, average TSP levels did  not
appear  to be  related to wind speed.   It was not  possible  to

                                  95

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discover to what extent this invariance with wind  speed  resulted  from an
interplay between dilution and wind-induced fugitive  dust  contributions.
However, the findings in Birmingham apparently  indicate  some  reentrainment
of particulates at high wind speeds.  As shown  in  Figure 14,  the  average
concentration decreases with increasing wind speed for speeds up  to about
8 knots and then remains essentially constant.   Furthermore,  the  decrease
of average concentration with wind speed, as shown by the dashed  line, is
approximately linear from 2 to 8 knots, as would be expected  if dilution
were the controlling influence.  The change in slope  shown at 2.5 knots
can be attributed to stagnation conditions at  very low wind speeds.  While
the curve for North Birmingham reflects the same relationship as  that
for Downtown Birmingham, the average concentration at Mountain Brook ap-
pears to be invariant with wind speed.  This difference  may be explained
by the availability of particles for reentrainment being very low in the
residential areas.  The  industrial  site, being in a dirtier area, has a
larger amount of particulate that can be reentrained.

Stability and Stagnation - The stability of the air,  c-  measured by  the
change of temperature with height,  controls the rate of vertical turbulent
diffusion and the mixing depth.  It therefore is a measure of  the dilution
power of the atmosphere  in  the vertical.   The diurnal variation  of wind
speed caused by the  vertical  transfer  of momentum  is closely related to
the  diurnal variation  in stability.  Stagnating air masses permit  the
accumulation of pollutants and  the  development of  stable  transport  patterns,

While no special attempt was  made  during  this study  to  isolate the  effects
of  stability or stagnation  periods  on TSP  levels,  several general  state-
ments  can  be made.   First,  the  highest 24-hour  concentrations  are  observed
during  stagnating conditions  since  by definition  these  are periods  with
very low wind  speeds and inversion conditions  over at least  a  24-hour
 period.   Under  these conditions,  concentrations are  typically  about two
 or  two  and a half times the average values for  the site and  time of year,
 and the 24-hour standards are most likely to  be exceeded.  In the more
 polluted areas, levels may be increased 100 yg/m3 or more.  For  that

                                  96

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               IO
                  490
                  400
                  350
                  300
                o
VO
                  250
                  200
                   ISO
                   100
                   50
                                   NORTH BIRMINGHAM
                                     (INDUSTRIAL)
                                              *» NORTH BIRMINGHAM
                                              or DOWNTOWN  BIRMINGHAM
                                              • «MT. BROOK
  DOWNTOWN BIRMINGHAM
-  (COMMERCIAL)
                                                       ••^

                           MT. BROOK (BACKGROUND/RESIDENTIAL)
                           JL
          JL
JL
JL
     JL
JL
5678
 WIND SPEED, knots
                                                                          10
                                                         II
                                          12
                                          15    14
                           Figure 14.
                Relationship between TSP  concentrations and
                wind speed at three selected sites in
                Birmingham on days  with 48-hour precipita-
                tion amounts < 0.02 inches

-------
part of the country with the maximum number  of  stagnations  (14),  stagnations
occur on an average of 3.8 percent of the days  in  a  year.   If  on  these  days
the average concentration is 2.3 times the annual  mean,  the increase  in
the annual mean due to the stagnation days is approximately 5  percent.

Temperature — Temperature, and seasonal temperature  patterns,  are the best
single indicators of space heating requirements, and hence  correlate  with
particulate emissions from these sources.  Emissions from city to city
for the same number of degree days will vary with the type  of  fuel burned.
Temperature also plays a part in fugitive dust  emissions by affecting the
evaporation rate of water and by its influence  on the growth of vegetation.

The impact of temperature (using heating and cooling degree days) was in-
vestigated in each city and the results are reported in the individual
volume for the city.  Comparisons among the  various  cities  were made
using a regression analysis, reported later  in  this  section.  (Also see
Appendix F.)

Wind Direction — On a local scale, the wind direction determines the polar
distribution of pollutants around their  sources, and hence is requisite to
the understanding of source-receptor relationships and the design of source-
specific sampling networks.  On a regional scale, the TSP concentration
in the air mass entering an urban area is determined by the past history
of the air mass, which is best estimated by trajectory calculations;
wind direction roses can also be helpful.  While wind direction-
pollution roses were calculated and  reported in many of the city volumes,
trajectory analysis was done for only one case; that analysis is given in
Appendix C.

Solar Radiation — In addition to being the driving energy  source for
weather systems, solar radiation relates  to particulate emissions through
temperature, evaporation, and plant  growth.  Solar radiation  can also
                                   98

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increase the ambient TSP levels  by providing the requisite energy for  the
conversion of gases to secondary participates.

Combined Impact of Meteorology

Multiple regression analysis was used to estimate the effects of annual'
variations in meteorological parameters over the 5-year period from 1970
to 1974 on the annual mean TSP levels in the study cities.  The three
meteorological parameters initially considered as Independent variables
were precipitation, temperature (heating degree days), and wind speed.
After initial calculations, plus reflection on the apparent lack of
short-term correlation between wind speed and TSP level except in in-
dustrial areas, it was decided to exclude wind speed from the analysis.
Allowance for a linear trend was made by designating 1970 as year 1,
1971 as year 2, and so on.

In the analysis, each site type average in each city was treated as a
separate observation.  Dummy variables were used to permit different
intercepts for the several cities and the three site types, while the
meteorological effects were estimated based on data from all cities.
This approach  in effect assumes that the meteorological parameters operate
in roughly the same manner  throughout the country, which  is clearly neither
an obvious nor a trivial assumption.  Previous analyses that permitted  the
meteorological effects  to differ  from city  to city did indicate  that  the
effects found  in the  various cities were quite  similar in magnitude, and
it is on this  basis that  the assumption was made.

The resulting  equation was:
                      TSP  = C - 2.9Y -  0.43P +  2.5T
                                                       3
where TSP =  annual  geometric mean concentration in fig/m
                            3
        C =  constant  in ug/m
        Y =  year,  1  to  5
        P =  annual  precipitation  in  inches
        T =  heating degree  days in thousands.
                                  99

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The implication of the general regression equation is that within the
                                                                      3
study cities concentrations have been lowering at the rate of 2.9 ug/m
per year over the last 5 years, that an increase of 1 inch in annual pre-
                                                        3
cipitation decreases the mean concentration by 0.43 ug/m , and that an in-
crease in heating degree days of 1000 increases the mean concentration by
        3
2.5 ug/m .

This result can be used to get some feel for the magnitude of the effects
of annual changes in precipitation and temperature on TSP levels.  Examin-
ation of the variations in precipitation and temperature over the 5-year
period in each of the 14 study cities showed that the smallest range in
precipitation (6 inches) occurred in St. Louis while the greatest range
(27 inches) occurred in both Chattanooga and Providence.  The minimum
range for heating degree days was 188 in Miami and the maximum range was
1189 in Cleveland.  The implied differences in TSP levels resulting from
                                                            3
these annual variations in precipitation range from 2.6 ug/m  in St. Louis
            3
to 11.6 ug/m  in Chattanooga and Providence, and the differences resulting
                                                           3
from variations in heating requirements range from 0.5 ug/m  in Miami to
        3
3.0 ug/m  in Cleveland.

Although conclusions based on this equation must be considered tentative,
the relationship provides a ready means for comparing precipitation and
heating demand effects throughout the country.  For example, the results
of applying the equation to the climatological precipitation pattern
(Figure F-20) can be displayed as the relative effect of differences in
total annual precipitation on the annual TSP level, as has been done in
Figure 15.  In this figure a precipitation rate of about 35 inches a year
corresponds to the "0" relative effect isopleth.  The maximum geographical
                                                                          3
difference in the annual mean shown by the figure is approximately 35 ug/m
                     3
(from -25 to +10 ug/m ).

The use of the relationship between heating degree days and TSP  level in
conjunction with the geographical distribution of degree days shown  in
Figure F-27 suggests a maximum contribution to the annual mean from  space

                                100

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   -25
 -25
+ 5
      Figure 15.   Relative effect of annual precipitation on annual  TSP level
                  in a hypothetical urban area.   (Estimated from regression
                  equation, p.  99)

-------
heating of 25 pg/m3.  The spatial variation in degree days found in the
western United States has been drastically smoothed out in Figure 7-21,

so attention should really be focused on the area east of the Rockies.
The effect of space heating on TSP levels ranges from about 5 wg/m3 in
the southern tier of states to 22 vg/m3 in the most norther states.  Again,
this is an attempt to generalize the effect of space heating using data

from a mix of cities with widely different fuel usage characteristics,  and
the results therefore are not necessarily appropriate for any specific city.


Conclusions


Low TSP levels are to be expected in a ''standard" urban area if it is
located in a generally flat, well-exposed topographical setting where:

    •   Entering air is clean (i.e., nonurban levels are low).

    •   Annual precipitation is high and distributed throughout
        all months of the year.  (Moderate amounts of precipita-
        tion roughly every third day are very effective in cleans-
        ing the atmosphere and in suppressing fugitiv dust.)

    •   Wind speeds are not extreme.   (Light winds minimize dilu-
        tion, and strong gusty winds generate fugitive dust under
        dry conditions).

    •   Daytime mixing depths are high and the frequency of low-
        level inversions is low.  (This combination maximizes
        periods of good vertical daytime dispersion and minimizes
        periods of poor nighttime dispersion.)

    •   Space heating demands are minimal.  (With a standard mix
        of fuels, space heating emissions are proportional to
        degree days.)

    •   High-pressure weather systems  do not stagnate.   (Stagnant
        anticyclones with accompanying light winds, a persistent
        subsidence inversion, and nocturnal surface-based  inver-
        sions lead to accumulated high TSP concentrations  and vio-
        lations of the 24-hour standards.)

    •   The frequency and character of winter precipitation is  such
        that street sanding is rarely, if ever, required.  (On  the
        other hand, snow cover is highly effective in eliminating
        fugitive dust.)
                                 102

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Conversely,  high TSP concentrations are to  be  expected  in a "standard"
urban area if air entering the city already contains  a  substantial par-
ticulate loading, and if the location is sheltered with resulting poor
ventilation, has a cold, dry climate, and experiences frequent stagnant
high-pressure systems.

Because of complex interrelationships among meteorological parameters and
the generation, transport, dispersion, and  depletion of airborne particu-
lates, however, it must be recognized that  a single parameter may bring
about opposing effects and, further, that certain meteorological param-
eters tend to be linked by the nature of typical weather systems:  fast
moving air dilutes and transports pollutants readily but also increases
evaporation, thus hastening the drying of soil and settled particulates,
and as a consequence the air stream may entrain particulates from the
dried surfaces; high temperatures increase  evaporation, but also encourage
the growth of vegetation and eliminate the  need for space heating; snow
and ice eliminate fugitive dust emissions from most surfaces, but may re-
sult in the need for extensive street sanding and hence ultimately be
responsible for an increase in urban fugitive dust emissions.

While it is possible to make certain judgments based on what are believed
to be the major effects of precipitation, heating degree days, and stag-
nation periods as done above, only a rigorous statistical analysis can
properly assess the effects of meteorological and climatological param-
eters on nationwide urban TSP levels.  Such a study was beyond the scope
of the present effort, and any serious attempt to assign a TSP pollution
potential rating to individual AQCRs should await the  completion of  such
an analysis.

RELATIVE CONTRIBUTIONS OF VARIOUS FACTORS

By way of summary,  the  following discussion considers  the  overall average
ambient TSP  level and divides it into  portions considered  representative
of the influences of the various major  factors discussed  in  this  section.

                                 103

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Such an analysis is essentially a mnemonic device,  averaging over many
important variables.  Consequently, it should not be  interpreted  quanti-
tatively with respect to any particular site or urban area;  a discussion
concerning how these results may be particularized  to specific conditions
is presented in Appendix G.

The contributions to the overall particulate level  at any point have been
classified as coming from three major categories — emissions from tradi-
tional sources, emissions from nontraditional sources, and nonurban
particulates.  In addition, two major categories of modifying influences
were identified - meteorological factors and monitoring considerations.
The rough qualitative impact of these factors was  suggested in the sketch
in Figure 2 in Section II.  The following quantification of those factors
is built around Figure 16.

Nonurban Levels — The most basic contribution to the total is roughly
30 ug/m  of natural and transported particulates.   As discussed above,
and as seen in the small bar chart to the side in Figu i 16, this level
varies significantly among various regions of the continent.  The low west
                            •>
coast level of about 15 ug/m  represents the favorable situation of being
located on the ocean and receiving air with essentially globally averaged
natural TSP levels.  The mid-continent level of about 25 ug/m3 includes a
10 ug/m3 increments, representing a slight increase in secondary par-
ticulates (1 to 2 ug/m3) and a major contribution from the natural par-
ticulates accumulated as the air mass passes over the broad, relatively
dry, western portion of the continent.

The northeastern nonurban  levels then contain a further 10  p.g/m   incre-
ment, which consists of two major  pieces.  A significant increase in  trans-
ported secondary particulates,  the precise source of which  is not thoroughly
proven, is a large  share  of the  increment.  The other share  is attributed
to transported primary  particulates  from the major urban concentrations
of the midwest and  northeast.
                                  104

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       120
       liO
       too
        90
        80
     Z
     o
z
Ul
o

§
u

a.
in
        60
              INOU9T   COHU
                           MCS
        50
        40
   10
                                      UNDUE
                                 O  u

                                 E  S

                                 §  §
                                 oe  M
                                      I  s
                                       O
                                         3
                                      if


                                      II
                                                   RES
                                                         COMM   INDU9T
              CAST   HIOMXT   WEST
Figure  16.  Summary of average impact of  major contributors

             to  TSP levels
                              105

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Emissions From Nontraditional Sources - The  general  types  of  nontraditional
sources identified as important are essentially the  substance of  human ac-
tivity in urban areas.  They occur in every  urban area and hence  are seen
as more basic than the traditional sources,  which are  of only minor  concern
in at least some urban areas.  The overall contribution from  such sources,
however, differs significantly among different  neighborhoods  within  a single
urban area, as seen in the small bar chart in Figure 16.   This contribution,
which consists primarily of the effects of tailpipe  emissions, tire  wear,
                                             •1
and road dust reentrainment, is about 20 ug/m  in residential areas  and
about 30 vg/m  in commercial and industrial  areas, the difference being
the greater level of traffic.  The proportion of residential  versus
other sites considered in averaging over the other two categories is a
matter of abstract philosophy; an average of roughly 25 ug/m3 has been
selected for use in the figure.

Emissions From Traditional Sources - The third major contributor to am-
bient levels~ traditional sources—varies dramatically not only
with neighborhood type but also with the general industrial nature of
the city.  As was seen in Figure 8, the impact  of traditional sources
                             3            3
can range up to about 10 ug/m  and 30 ug/m  at residential and commercial
                                     3
sites respectively, and up to 50 ug/m  at industrial sites.  This latter
figure reflects the inclusion of fugitive emissions  from industrial
sources, but the contribution of truck traffic and similar industry-
related emissions has been included with nontraditional sources.  Roughly
averaging over various neighborhood types and over the spectrum of non-
                                                           3
industrial to heavily industrial cities, a value of  25 ng/m   has been  in-
cluded in Figure 16.
                        3
This addition of 25 ug/m  is  the same as  the contribution  from nontra-
ditional sources; thus on a  nationwide basis, the two  categories are
roughly equivalent.  However, it must be kept in mind  that the differences
among cities affects this balance significantly.
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Modifying Factors - The two major categories of modifying factors are not
so readily represented graphically.   Meteorological and climatological
factors primarily can increase or decrease the average levels depending on
the various regions of the country.   Quantitatively, the effect is fairly
commonly about 5 ug/m3, and in some areas 10 yg/m3.

The influence of monitoring considerations comes primarily in distorting
comparisons of measured levels among neighborhoods and cities.  However,
the aggregate nationwide average of undue influence from nearby sources
                       2
can add a very few vig/m  to the total, as Indicated in Figure 16.
                                 107

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                               SECTION IV
                                 SUMMARY

This section summarizes the findings of the study,  including the study
approach to general problem assessment, the attainment factors identified,
the assessment of these factors, the control options available, and
their applicability and priority for control.

PROBLEM ASSESSMENT

This study approached the national particulate problem with many of the
same tools an individual air quality planner would use to approach an
assessment of the problem in a particular urban area.  It utilized air
quality data analysis, emissions data and modeling, and analytical particle
identification; these, along with special monitoring studies, are the
techniques with which a TSP problem at any level is studied.  However, the
results of this study are intended to provide general information on a
national scale rather than urban-scale planning information for the
14 study cities or any others.  While the individual air quality
planner will hopefully find the results useful, they are not intended to
solve any specific problems in specific urban areas.  Rather,  the results
provide an additional component of technical information which will need
to be integrated and assessed in conjunction with local knowledge.

ATTAINMENT FACTORS IDENTIFIED IN CITY STUDIES

The  purpose  of  the city  case studies was to  identify and study  the various
factors, problems, and issues concerned with attaining  the  TSP  standards
as  they were experienced in each city.  Since the 14 cities  cover a broad

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range of city characteristics and hence represent a variety of situations
with respect to TSP air quality and its determinants,  analyses of the
factors in the various cities can be drawn together for an overall assess-
ment of the TSP attainment situation in the study cities and, by extrap-
olation, throughout the nation.

Following the analyses of the study cities, a number of factors were
identified as significant for standards attainment.  Many of these had
been first identified in the preliminary literature review and were then
followed up in the city studies; a few others were identified in the course
of one or more of the city studies.  These issues are listed below, grouped
into categories that provide a framework for discussions.

Traditional Factors

Air  pollution programs have traditionally been oriented toward the control
of fuel combustion, process emissions and incineration.  Such control
programs have resulted in substantial reductions in emissions and corres-
ponding improvements in air quality in many of the 14 study  cities.

While all of the cities studied have ongoing control programs for tradi-
tional  sources, there were differences both in the amount  of  traditional
source  influence and in the success of the program:
     •   Three cities still have  significant problems with  traditional3
        sources.  Citywide air quality averages  are typically 30  tig/m
        higher than they are  in  similar cities with light  emissions from
        industry and fuel combustion.
     •   Three cities have had heavy industrial sources  and problems, but
        have made major improvements in air quality.  They still, however,
        have citywide averages  typically  10 to 15  ug/m3 higher  than
        similar cities with  light  emissions.  There is  some  potential
         for  improvement in air quality in  these  cities  by  further reduc-
        tion of traditional  sources.
     •   Four cities have had  moderate emissions  problems and have them
        well under control.   These cities  must control  nontraditional
        sources to make further,  substantial  improvements  in air  quality.

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    •   Four cities never had problems with traditional  sources,  except
        fuel combustion for heating and power generation.   Further im-
        provements must come from control of nontraditional sources.

The major sources still presenting problems with attainment of standards
are in the primary metals and minerals industries.   Of primary con-
cern are the fugitive emissions which are not confined and do not come
from a stack or vent.  These emissions have substantial impact on air
quality; sites which were influenced by fugitive emissions averaged
       3
25 ng/m  higher than industrial sites affected by stack emissions only.
This is partly due to the typically low level emission point and poor
potential for dispersion.  Another problem is that of area source fuel
                                                                      3
combustion; fuel oil is estimated to contribute on the order of 5 ug/m
to citywide averages in some cities.  A similar order of impact is realized
from the many small  (minor) sources if these sources are generally con-
trolled.

Major program considerations which were determined to be a factor in
traditional source impact are the assurance of compliance with existing
regulations and, in  some cases,  the stringency of those regulations.   This
will be discussed  further under  control alternatives.

Nontraditional Factors

While many  cities  have realized  substantial  improvements  in air quality,
few cities  have all  sites below  the primary  standard and  fewer still  have
all sites below the  secondary standard.  This is due to the  impact of
factors which have not been traditionally addressed by the air pollution
programs, such as  reentrained dust, tire wear particles,  dust  from con-
struction,  and automotive  exhaust  emissions.  The impact  of  all  such
general urban activity varies  from a  typical impact of 20 to  25  yg/m3 in
residential areas  to a typical  impact of 30  to  35 pg/m3 in commercial and
industrial  areas;  the citywide  contribution  is  about  30 yg/m3.   The  com-
ponents of  this  contribution are discussed below.
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   •   Reentrained dust— The impact was found to vary with the
       traffic flow and  inversely to the height and distance
       of  the monitor from the street.  The average impact on
       residential monitors is estimated at 10 to  15 ug/m3
       and 15 to  20 ^g/m3 at commercial and industrial sites
       respectively.  The composition of this component is
       mostly mineral matter.

   •   Tire rubber particles— This component of nontraditional
       particulates is even more variable with neighbor-
       hoods.  Typical impacts of 2 to 5, 5 to 10  and 3 to
       7  ug/m3 were found at residential, commercial and  In-
       dustrial sites, respectively.  Sites located par-
       ticularly  near heavy traffic averaged twice the levels
       at  other sites.
                                        3
   •   Construction — Impacts of 15 ug/m  are common only if the
       construction is close  to the monitoring site.  Cities with
        typical  levels of construction have citywide  impacts  on
        the order  of 1 to 3 ug/m3.

   •   Automotive exhaust — This varies somewhat with neighborhoods^
       with concentrations of 3 ug/m3 in residential and  4 to 5 ug/m
        in commercial and industrial areas.  This estimate is  for  the
        primary  particulate only and is  generally about  20 to  25 percent
        lead.
Large Scale Factors


Large scale factors are the combined influences of particulate matter

that dominate an area much larger than the urban areas being studied.

They include natural particulates and transported primary and secondary

particulates.  These factors,  in affecting the TSP levels in an urban area,

can cause significant differences in the controllability of the TSP
problem.  Their effect on urban levels is generally estimated by measuring

air quality in nonurban areas.  The average nonurban particulate level
                                                 3
for the 14 study cities is between 25 and 30 ug/m ; however, values ranged

from less than 15 ug/m  on the west coast to over 35 ug/m  in the densely

metropolitan east.


Transported secondary particulates make up a significant portion of non-

urban levels.  Nonurban sulfate and nitrate levels range from very low


                                111

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                                         3
in the midwest and west to around 10 ug/m  in the northeast.   Total

urban secondary levels vary up to around 15 ug/m  in the north and east.


Other Related Factors


In addition to the above factors, which are to varying degrees related to

sources of emissions, other factors were found to affect the real or

apparent TSF problem.  As discussed in the selection of the cities, the

meteorology and climatology of a region can help to aggravate or ameliorate

the TSP problem; the dispersion characteristics and precipitation levels

are the most prominent influences.  The design of the monitoring network

and the actual placement of monitors is also important in conceptualizing

what the TSP situation is.  The general findings from the city studies

for these factors are summarized below.

    •   Monitoring considerations — The siting practice of the control
        agency has considerable impact on the air quality levels and
        number of violations recorded.  For example, 10 of the 60
        commercial sites visited had local impacts fro_. nearby sources.
        With one exception, all these sites violated the primary annual
        standard.  Also, since industrial neighborhoods were shown to
        have substantially higher TSP levels, the proximity of monitors
        to industrial neighborhoods is an important variable.  A specific
        relationship was found in the study between average daily traffic
        (ADT) at a site, the slant distance of the monitor from  the
        street, and  air quality levels.  For example, based on approximate
        calculations, a monitor 100 feet  (slant  distance) from a busy
        street  (10,000 ADT) might be influenced  by the reentrained dust,
        tire wear and exhaust by 10 ng/m3.  This  same relationship shows
        an impact of 40 to 45 (jg/nr* if the monitor is only 25 feet from
        the street.

    •   Meteorology  — The study found precipitation to be an extremely
        important variable; a yearly increase in  rainfall of 1 inch can
        cause decreases in citywide annual averages of 0.4 ng/nH.  It
        also concluded  that average windspeeds above  10 miles per hour
        could cause  some resuspension of  dust.   The effect on air quality
        would depend upon the gustiness of the wind and the condition of
        the soil.
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CONTROL STRATEGY OPTIONS

The development of a control strategy for the attainment and maintenance
of the ambient particulate standards must depend on accurate identifica-
tion of the sources responsible for the particulate problem.  Once this
identification has been established, the available control measures can
be defined, evaluated, and combined into an aggregate control strategy
which is appropriate and effective.  The major single conclusion of the
study is that the control measures traditionally directed at pollution
sources are not going to be adequate in many cases, and that other, more
novel control measures directed at nontraditional sources and sources con-
tributing to nonurban levels must also be considered.

Proposing detailed control strategies or priorities for specific situa-
tions is beyond the scope of this study.  Such a process must necessarily
involve the addition of significant quantities of local knowledge.  None-
theless, two points should be mentioned briefly.  The first involves the
relative emphasis on the three main contributions to urban  TSP.  If
traditional sources still contribute the major share of TSP in an area,
they are clearly  the most appropriate segment to attack.  Potential over-
all reductions  in emissions of 75 percent or more may be expected  in those
cases where sources are not yet stringently controlled.  In every  city,
industrial or otherwise, the nontraditional sources present a more dif-
ficult  target,  with reductions of 50 percent or less probable even from
truly extensive control efforts.  The nonurban  contributions, which are a
major  influence in at  least the nonindustrial cities, are  the worst in the
sense of being  essentially  intractable  at a  state  and local scale.  The
priorities for  control must consider these general  differences.  The
second  point  to remember when  selecting among strategies is that  there are
a number of considerations  other  than  simply mass  particulate reduction.
For  instance, under  the Clean  Air  Act mandate to protect public  health,
strategies that attack smaller particles or  toxic  materials are  preferable
to those that attack inert  windblown dust; similarly, strategies  that
impact  the more populated regions of a  city  should take priority  over
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those that would affect fewer people.   When evaluating control alter-
natives, economic factors, social disruption,  and enforceability must
also be considered.

Keeping in mind the need for individual consideration in each area
violating the TSP standards, the following discussion lists the types of
control measures generally considered appropriate for each of the various
sources of particulates included in the three major categories previously
outlined.

Control Measures Directed at Traditional Sources

The general pattern of control technology applicable to traditional
sources is well established; the open questions are primarily those of
application.  In this sense, it is appropriate to subdivide the category
of traditional sources into  four subcategories:
    •   Major point sources
    •   Smaller point sources
    •   Fugitive emission sources
    •   Fuel combustion area sources.

Stack  Emissions  -  With  some differences  in  emphasis,  the  control  measures
available for  both major  and smaller  point  sources  are  similar.
     •    Obtain compliance with regulations  -  existing efforts to
         bring  sources into compliance must  continue,  and  must be
         extended  in those areas  where current efforts are
         incomplete.
     •    Tighten compliance determination and  surveillance pro-
         cedures -  one area of significant difference  by size of
         source;  major sources should  be  stack tested  at least
         annually,  smaller sources inspected frequently under a
         tight  surveillance system.
     •    Tighten regulation stringency -  after considering carefully
         the local  need for tighter  traditional source control:

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        —   Upgrade  regulations  for  selected  major  sources
            and  smaller  sources  to at  least require the best
            control  technology reasonably  available (not
            necessarily  RACT  as  currently  promulgated).
        —   Incineration can  be  completely banned  in favor
            of landfilling or shredding for power  generation.
        —   Process  losses covered under a general process
            weight regulation can be further  restricted by
            adopting regulations specific  to  individual
            problem  industries.

Fugitive Emissions - Aside from  the  major  concerns of improved surveil-
lance and enforcement,  specific  measures for  reducing fugitive emissions
from traditional sources include special regulations beyond simple
nuisance or "reasonable  precaution"  regulations:
    •   Quantitative or  visible  emission standards at
        property lines
    •   Operating and maintenance standards  for specific
        processes
        —   Covering storage  piles
        —   Enclosing materials  handling equipment
        —   Paving roadways and  loading and parking areas

Area Source Fuel Combustion - Though difficult to effectively control be-
cause of their large numbers, there is a real possibility of reducing
emissions from such sources,  if  the need warrants,  through measures
such as the following:
    •   Design standards  for new boilers
    •   Maintenance of oil boilers
    •   Prohibition of coal use
    •   Inspection and maintenance of small oil
        burners
                                115

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Control Measures Directed at Nontraditional Sources

After agencies have taken the appropriate steps to controlling traditional
sources, and in areas where traditional sources have never been the major
problem, control strategies for the attainment of the TSF standards may
have to consider control of those nontraditional sources discussed in
Section III.  Implicit in the very label "nontraditional" is the concept
that these sources have not had control measures directed at them.  How-
ever, control of these sources is not so much a matter that is beyond
reach technically as it is a matter of using measures that are costly
or hard to justify or, in many cases, simply measures that are not normally
seen as pollution control measures.  Examples of these types of measures
are listed below for the three major categories of such sources:
    •   Motor vehicle exhaust
    •   Fugitive dust from construction and demolition operations
    •   Reentrainment of particles from roadway surfaces.

Motor Vehicle Exhaust - In urban areas where tailpipe emissions are
found to be contributing 5 to 10 ng/m  to the total suspended particu-
late loading,  it may be necessary to consider their control.  The
available control measures  for  lowering tailpipe emissions are:
    •   Reduce lead in gasoline
    •   Reduce VMT totals in area
    •   Reduce emission per mile through inspection and maintenance.

Construction/Demolition and Other Fugitive Dust Sources - The control
of dust from construction and demolition activities and similar acti-
vities is most often approached through the use of nuisance or reason-
able precaution regulations much as is the case with fugitive emissions
More specific control measures that can be applied include:
    •   Watering construction site and demolition rubble
    •   Chemical soil stabilization
    •   Use of sequential blasting demolition.
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Reentrained particulates - The majority of such participates are street
duet entrained by traffic; control measures include both preventive

measures and street cleaning:

    •   Control of dust deposition - A viable approach to controlling
        reentrained particulates is reducing the amount of particulate
        matter available for rcentrainment; control measures include:

        —   Fallout - The fallout  level will decrease automatically
            with control of traditional source emissions.

        —   Carryout - Dirt and mud carryout from unpaved
            roads and parking lost can be reduced by require-
            ments for paving or stabilization of these
            areas.

        —   Spillage - The loading on streets due to spillage from
            trucks is easily regulated against, but enforcement may
            be a problem.  Regulations that require specific equip-
            ment on trucks would probably be an improvement.

        —   Tirewear Particulates - Reduction in the amount of
            rubber tire particles could be effected by VMT re-
            duction or by designing and requiring tires with better
            wear characteristics.

        —   Sanding - Because of the obvious hazard of slippery
            roads, sanding and salting operations will obviously
            continue.  Analysis of the efficiency of sanding may
            result in procedures that apply less sand more ef-
            fectively; however, systematic road cleaning after
            sanding operations would be more appropriate.

    •   Street cleaning to remove deposited material - Since it is
        not possible to prevent all deposition of particles on a
        paved surface, an alternative or auxiliary approach to con-
        trol of particle reentrainment is to remove the particles
        from the surface.  Control measures include:

        —   Street  cleaning
            o   Rotating broom sweepers
            o   Regenerative  air  blast  sweepers

            o   Vacuum street  cleaners
        —   Street  flushing with  water.
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Control Measures Directed at Transported Primary and Secondary Participates

A complicating factor in any standards attainment strategy development is
the concentration of TSP in the incoming air mass.  When such concentra-
tions approach or exceed the standards, there is little if anything that
an agency can do to meet the standards unless the controls are also pur-
sued for this incoming (nonurban) TSP.  Obviously, there are really no
appropriate measures for the contribution of natural sources to these TSP
levels; however, those particulates directly attributed to man's activi-
ties are, to varying degrees, controllable.  In certain cases attention
directed toward control of these sources may be more profitable than non-
traditional control techniques.

Transported Primary aarticulates - Those particulates that are emitted
directly as primary particulates and are then transported from one area
to another can be controlled through conventional traditional source
regulations.  The difficulty arises in the development of regionwide con-
trol strategies in which one area may need to limit its emissions more
severely than necessary to simply meet the standards in that area because
of the  impact on a neighboring  area.  Such regionwide planning may be
immediately possible on a statewide basis or may  require  interstate and
inter-EPA region cooperation.

Secondary Particulates - Much the same thing can  be said  for secondary
particulates except that many of the secondary  particulates are formed  in
transport over much longer distances than would normally  be of concern
for primary particulates.  Therefore,  these control strategies must seek
national direction rather than  state or  interstate  cooperation.  However,
secondary particulates that  are locally  formed  can  presumably be locally
controlled.  As indicated in Section III, urban excess  secondary particu-
                    o
lates may add 5 ug/m  to  levels in  the city and these particulates could
be controlled once the appropriate  precursor relationships  are known.
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FRAMEWORK FOR CONTROL STRATEGY PRIORITIZATION

The institution of control measures must be preceded by the careful
prioritization of available options.  This section suggests a framework
for evaluating control options as a function of the scale of the problem.
There are significant differences in the general prevalence of the three
major factors — traditional sources, nontraditional sources, and large-
scale consideration - and thus the applicability of their associated con-
trol options, when dealing with problems of different geographical scales.
Consequently, priorities for instituting control options are best made
within this context of differing scales.

Concept of Scale

A  general assessment of the relative scale of  impact of the factors affect-
ing attainment can be made.  It is helpful to  think of TSP problems as
affecting either  a relatively  small area  (neighborhood), and entire urban
area or many  urban areas  in a  general region (intercity).  These are dis-
cussed below.
    •   Neighborhood scale - TSP problems  over areas a  few blocks
         in size  occur even in  the  urban areas  with relatively  low
         citywide  levels;  typically measured  by only one hi-vol,
         these problems are often caused by a relatively  local
         source,  frequently a  small industry  or fugitive dust source.
    •    Urban scale  - In  some  urban areas,  the TSP problem is  to a
         large extent citywide  (in  addition to  neighborhood hot spots),
         and  is  less  likely to  be due  to a relatively  few  identifi-
         able  sources as  on the neighborhood  scale.
    •    Intercity scale  - In  some  portions of  the  country,  there  is
         a  general regional TSP problem  that  transcends  any individual
         urban area  or AQCR.
Within any particular area,  it is  very  possible to have problems  in all
 three  of these  scales simultaneously.   Nonetheless, the overall control
 approach to  each can be  generally  independent  and  in  fact,  problems of
 certain  types typically  occur  primarily in one geographic  scale.   For
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example, nontraditional sources typically cause  mostly neighborhood
problems, while traditional sources may more likely cause urban-scale
problems.

Priorities of Instituting Control Options

The previous sections have delineated various control measures that could
be instituted by agencies and suggested the general scale of applicability
of different factors affecting attainment and their associated control
measures.  This section suggests the specific categories of sources for
which control measures could be applied to reduce particulate concentra-
tions at each level or scale.  The source categories into which the many
types of air quality problems have been generalized are as follows:
    Traditional
        Major sources
        Small sources
        Fugitive emissions
        Area source fuel combustion
    Nontraditional
        Resuspended dust from roadways
        Fugitive dust from construction and demolition
        Auto tailpipe emissions
    Large scale
        Transported primary particulates
        Transported secondary particulate
        Urban secondary excess
The following matrix (Table 16) summarizes the priorities for adopting
control measures for these categories of sources as a function of the
scale of the problem.
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Table 16.  CONTROL PRIORITIES
Order of
priority
1
2
3
Regional scale of problem
Neighborhood
Fugitive emissions
Reen trained dust
Fugitive dust/
construction
Small sources
Area source fuel
combustion
Auto tailpipe
Urban secondary
excess
Major sources
Urban
Lightly
industrialized
Reentrainment dust
Auto tailpipe
Area source fuel
combustion
Urban secondary
Small excess
sources
Fugitive dust/
construction
Major sources
Heavily
industrialized
Major sources
Urban secondary
Small excess
sources
Fugitive emis-
sions
Reentrained dust
Auto tailpipe
Area source fuel
combustion
Fugitive dust/
construction
Intercity
Major sources
Transported primary
Transported
secondary
Small sources
Area source fuel
combustion
Fugitive emissions
Reentrained dust
Fugitive dust
Auto tailpipe

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                              SECTION V
                            RECOMMENDATIONS

The broad scope of this study provided an opportunity for an evaluation of
the control practices to date, an assessment of the controls that are
needed in the future, and an understanding of the obstacles that are pre-
venting the attainment and maintenance of the NAAQS for TSP.  Based on
these findings, numerous recommendations have been formulated.  The recom-
mendations cover a wide range of topics and are directed at various
audiences both inside and outside of EPA.  Some of these recommendations
are readily apparent from this study and are, in fact, called out separately,
as in Appendix G.  Others are the result of integrating all the findings
and analyses conducted over the course of the study.

The recommendations provided below run the full gamut of considerations.
They are organized by first presenting specific recommendations for emis-
sion control efforts, then more general recommendations concerning the
major upgrading of quantitative air quality management planning, and finally
recommendations regarding the current review and further development of  the
NAAQS for TSP.

In general, all of these recommendations recognize the need to provide ap-
propriate justification for any new major control approach  that must be
adopted.  Equally important is the demonstration that proposed control
programs will  result in the necessary improvements in air quality.
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RECOMMENDATIONS FOR EMISSION CONTROL EFFORTS


The following recommendations are grouped for convenience into three

groups corresponding to the three major components of urban TSP levels as
discussed previously— traditional particulate sources, nontraditional

sources, and nonurban particulate levels.


Control of Traditional Sources


All urban areas do not require an equivalent degree of traditional source

control.  The first set of recommendations presents control efforts con-

sidered appropriate for major industrialized urban areas having an apparent
TSP problem primarily associated with emissions from major fuel combustion,
industrial process and solid waste operations.  The second and third set

of recommendations are directed at all urban areas, both those that are
heavily industrialized and  those that have only a moderate to light amount
of industry and area-wide combustion of  oil or coal.   Such a breakdown
presumes that most of  the effective programs will already meet the  first

set of recommendations for  local control planning.  However, additional

control may still be needed  under large  scale planning efforts as dis-

cussed later.

     1.  Control of Major Point  Sources

        a.  Limitations on  emissions from  fuel-burning installations
            of all  sizes should be  tightened  considerably.   There  is
            a factor of at  least A  between the  typical regulation  and
            the most stringent, yet workable, regulation;  while  very
            stringent  requirements  are likely not  required in many
            urban  areas,  in major  industrial areas they  are  clearly
            needed.

        b.  Emission  limitations applicable to  major oil-burning in-
             stallations  should  be  defined  separately, and more  strin-
             gently,  than  those  applicable  to coal combustion.   A single,
             uniform combustion  regulation  that  was designed  to  permit
             some  coal  combustion will  unavoidably permit relatively
             poorly controlled residual oil combustion, simply because
             of the inherently different emissions potential of  the
             two  fuels.  There is no need for this, nor for the  atti-
             tude  that  coal-to-oil  conversion should be seen as a total
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       abatement of  the  source; oil-fired sources can and
       should be controlled.

    c.  All major combustion  sources that have undergone coal-
       to-oil conversion should be tested.  There are significant
       differences  in  effectiveness when control devices de-
       signed for coal fly ash are utilized on oil-fired units,
       yet it appears  not uncommon for the original percent-
       efficiency figures to be utilized in calculating emissions
       levels.

    d.  Emissions from  industrial process losses should be
       regulated on the  basis of industry-specific restrictions.
       The present  common practice of utilizing a general  process-
       weight curve  necessarily means that relatively-easy-to-
       control  processes will only be required to meet such
       standards as are  appropriate for the more difficult to con-
       trol  ones.   Major processes in any given area should be
       regulated with  a  specific emission limitation economically
       and technologically  tailored to that industry.

    e.  Compliance determination procedures in general should  be
       significantly strengthened, primarily by increased  use
       of source  casting and source surveillance.  In general,
       the degree of assurance of  stated control efficiencies,
       etc., appears to  be  less rigorous than needed to provide
       good  quantitative compliance knowledge.  WMle it  is not
       recommended  that  all sources be physically  tested,  it  is
       believed that a much greater level of testing  is needed
       than  is  now  practiced.  All large sources and all  unique
       sources  should  be tested on compliance attainment  and  at
       intervals  thereafter, either by agency personnel or by an
       approved independent testing organization.  Reliance on
       routine  engineering  calculations  should be  permitted only
       for  the  simplest, most  routine  situations.  Source tests
       should take  care  to  include not only stack  emissions but
       fugitive emissions from processes.  Systematically and
       randomly scheduled visits  should  be made with  schedules
       depending upon the source  size, history of  complaints  and
       problems,  and compliance  status.

2.  Control of Fugitive Emissions

    a.   EPA should  develop and  make available an accurate  me-
        thodology for inventorying the  emissions  and  estimating
        the air quality impact in the vicinity of  isolated sources
        of fugitive emissions,  such as  quarries  and rock-crushing
        operations.   In order to  include  such emissions  in air
        quality management planning, more adequate  information must
        be developed.

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    b.   In every heavily-industrialized  area,  the  cognizant
        state  and  local agencies should  conduct, and EPA  should
        support, a major  survey effort to  identify and  inventory
        fugitive emission sources.   Such surveys should Include
        field  monitoring,  extensive  inspections of industrial
        premises,  and  the rough estimation of  emission  quantities.
        While  fugitive emissions from generally-isolated  indus-
        trial  operations  (such as  quarries)  are relatively easy
        to identify, if not  quantify, it is not easy to define
        the  degree to  which  fugitive emissions from dense heavy
        industrial areas  are a problem.  Consequently,  a  serious
        effort to  define  the nature  and  magnitude  of the  problem
        is required prior to dealing with  it.

    c.   Regulations applicable to  fugitive emissions  from indus-
        trial  property should be strengthened  by the itemization.
        of specific control  measures where possible and by the
        institution of property-line air quality limitations
        where  required by the complexity of the area or the  In-
        dustrial operations  involved.  It  is anticipated  that  in
        cases  of clear-cut,  obvious  sources it will be  more  ex-
        peditious  for  the control  agency to identify and  specify
        the  required control measures.   In contrast,  in more com-
        plex situations  such as a  major  iron and steel  facility,  it
        is anticipated that  it will  be more expeditious to require
        the  source to  conduct property-line monitoring  and be
        responsible for  the  identification and implementation  of
        control measures  on  their  own property so  long  as the
        control measures  required  as a result  of property line
        monitoring are no less stringent than otherwise would  be
        required.

3.   Control  of Small Point Sources and Areawide  Fuel  Combustion

    a.   State  and  local  agencies should  reassess  their  point source
        cutoff to  ensure  that a major percentage  of their traditional
        source inventory  is  receiving individual  attention.   Arbitrary
        cutoff points  of  25, 50,  100 tons/year are often  used  to
        define point and  area sources.   Commonly,  those cities that
        have significantly reduced the emissions  from major  point
        sources have used a high cutoff  point.  As the emissions  have
        been reduced,  smaller sources are  now of  concern  and should
        be considered  individually for modeling,  compliance, and
        enforcement purposes.

    b.   Regulations governing the  allowable emissions from small
        combustion units should be promulgated or, if  already
        promulgated, reviewed to_ reflect current  fuel usage, fuel
        availability,  and control  technology.   Many jurisdictions
        do not control small combustion  units or  allow emissions
        higher than"necessary  for  a well-maintained unit.
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        c.   Small incinerators should be banned  or  should  have  permits
            required to ensure proper control and burning  under
            favorable meteorological conditions.


Control of Nontraditional Sources


In contrast to the control of more conventional sources, which is primarily
a problem in industrialized areas, the management  of particulates arising

from urban activity is likely to be required in essentially all urban areas

of any size.  However, nontraditional sources are  not such a well-defined
problem as to permit immediate and detailed control strategy planning.
Rather, no major national attack on such particulate sources is considered

appropriate for implementation until a variety of  preparatory steps have
been taken.  Consequently, the following recommendations concern prepara-

tion for, rather than actual  implementation of, the control of urban

activity sources.

        Control of  Urban Activity  Sources

        a.  EPA should develop appropriate methodologies  for inven-
            torying emissions from nontraditonal sources  in urban
            areas and  support their proper utilization by  state  and
            local agencies.   To  the extent possible  these  inventories
            will take  into account particle  size and  spatial and tem-
            poral emission rates.

        b.  EPA  should develop and provide  to  the  states  a diffusion
            model which  adequately takes into  account particle size,
            small  scale  diffusion, and  the  deposition characteristics
            of  the  inventoried emissions.   Both short-term (24-hour)
            and  long-term (annual) averaging models  are needed which
            allow  for variations in parameters  including  precipita-
            tion,  ground cover,  particulate loadings on roads  (fluc-
            tuating with street  cleaning,  precipitation,  sanding opera-
            tions), wind speed,  etc.

         c.  EPA should develop  and implement a major effort  aimed at
            providing,  in 1 to  2 years' time, information on the costs
            and effectiveness of control measures  potentially appli-
             cable to urban reentrainment.   The effectiveness,  and to
             some extent the cost, should be considered  in light of
             the potential for public acceptance and ease  of implemen-
             tation.  Cross-media environmental impacts should also be
             addressed; e.g., street flushing for  reentrainment control.
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            EPA should develop and  implement a public  education
            effort  aimed  at  developing recognition,  on the part
            of appropriate bodies of public opinion  and appropri-
            ate government agencies, that  such nontraditional
            sources are of significance with respect to air quality
            and are a legitimate subject of environmental concern.
Control of Large Scale Influences  -  Additional  reductions in TSP levels
can be expected if precursors  of secondary  particulates are controlled,

not only within an urban area, but also  "upwind" of cities.  Other con-

tributions from "upwind" sources can arrive directly via transport.   Plan-

ning measures to control these contributions require national direction

for implementation, but will result  in a more equitable distribution of

the stringency of control measures.


    1.  Control of Secondary Particulates


        a.  EPA should continue efforts  to  develop and document the
            mechanisms of formation  and  models for the prediction of
            secondary particulate  levels, especially sulfates and
            organics, on both the  meso-  and macroscale.  The effects
            of precipitation on scavenging  of precursors, stagnating
            air conditions, insolation,  thermal radiation, etc.,
            should be adequately considered.

        b.  State and local agencies should take into account the
            formation of secondary particulates in their formulation
            of control strategies  for TSP.   The urban excess of
            secondary particulates must be  either consciously in-
            cluded in the TSP level  that is considered uncontroll-
            able, thereby requiring further restrictions on tradi-
            tional sources, or should be addressed through the con-
            trol of the emission of precursor pollutants.

        c.  EPA should not permit  the use of supplementary control
            strategies or tall stacks to satisfy immediately local
            air quality needs since the result may be to increase
            levels of secondary particulates at sites remote from
            the source.  Because of the continental scale and vari-
            ability of meteorology,  it is not likely that such con-
            trols techniques would be permitted anywhere in the
            country.  In fact, additional SOX controls may be needed
            at some sites to help solve the TSP problem elsewhere.
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   2.   Transport  and  Primary  Particulates

        a.   States should  require  air  quality planning  to be done
            on as  large a  regional scale as is necessary to reach
            into an area not  impacted  by transport.  Where an auton-
            OTDOUS  local agency has control over only a  small pare  of
            a problem  area they should have their authority extended,
            through a  contract with the state, a regional compact, or
            some other arrangement.

        b.   EPA should support research efforts directed at the  better
            understanding  of  short- and long-range  transported particu-
            lates.  Long-range transport under specific meteorological
            conditions that contribute to excessive TSP levels and
            cause  violations  of the 24-hour standards could become
            predictable so that appropriate measures could be  taken.
            Short-range transport  needs better documentation and anal-
            ysis so that the  intercity contributions to high TSP levels,
            leading primarily to violations of the  annual standard,
            can be considered for  air  quality planning. Comprehensive
            inter-EPA regional planning may be necessary for TSP
            control.
RECOMMENDATIONS CONCERNING AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT PLANNING


The second broad area of recommendations concerns improving the states'

ability to accurately and quantitatively develop plans for the attainment

and subsequent maintenance of the ambient standards.   As has been noted,

the general failure of the SIPs to attain the standards despite signifi-

cant emission reductions is in part due to inadequate data bases and, to

a less extent, to inadequate planning methodologies.   This area is thus

very fruitful for action, particularly short-term EPA action.


    1 .  Development of Improved Data Bases

        a.  EPA should support data gathering efforts and computer-
            ized systems by state/locals which are compatible with
            NEDS and SAROAD~A number of major changes and expan-
            sions in NEDS and SAROAD are currently underway, and it
            is essential that these receive continued support.  The
            fundamental concept of a joint federal/state/local pol-
            lution control system depends on consistent, accurate,
            up-to-date bases readily available to all.
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   b.   EPA should provide a greatly expanded normrban ambient
        TSP data base, either through their own monitoring ef-
        forts or by encouraging and utilizing such monitors run
        by the states.There is a need for a clear understand-
        Ing of the variation in ambient levels as one moves from
        remote nonurban areas through more proximate areas into
        suburban areas, as well as a need for more detailed data
        on the differences in levels between various portions of
        the continent.  Current networks need to be reviewed for
        appropriateness, completeness, and possible local influ-
        ences as discussed below.

   c.   EPA should conduct a study, based on existing nonurban
        sites, concerning the effect of height and distance on
        measured levels at such sites.  Because of the long
        history of many of these sites, dating back to the ear-
        liest years of the NASN, they have apparently never been
        studied carefully from a siting viewpoint, and in fact
        many  are apparently placed very close to  the ground.
        Since they must of necessity provide data  to be  extrap-
        olated over scales of hundreds of miles,  it should be well-
        determined to what extent  they reflect air masses on  that
        large scale,  and to what extent very  local impacts may be
        important.  The evaluation of the current  network should
        be conducted  with the point of establishing consistently
        sited monitors  (height and neighborhood)  and any changes
        in  the siting should be documented  through concurrent
        sampling  for  a period of time.

    d.   EPA should provide  improved, more specific, network de-
        sign and monitor siting  guidelines  for  TSP monitoring
        in  urban  areas.  Although  the study cities visited were
        all  major cities with active  control  programs  and were
        all  meeting  the minimum  monitoring  requirements, an  un-
        fortunate number of  circumstances arose where  the  data
        from these networks  was  inadequate  to meet relatively
        simple  analysis needs.   Emphases  in the recommended  ef-
        fort should  include  the  minimization of local  effects
        at  sites,  the development  of  inter-urban site  standard-
        ization,  and  the  encouragement  of increased monitoring
        frequency  for problem diagnosis  purposes*  The number
        of sites  required  for  an area should not be based on an
        arbitrary formula  but  should  be determined by  the need
        to understand the  full  complexities of the TSP problem.

2.  Development  of  Improved Planning Tools

    a.  EPA should  promote Increased use by state and local agen-
        cies of special studies  as planning tools.  These studies
        would be directed  at providing analytical procedures and
        control development tailored to the particular TSP
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           situation and topographical, meteorological, industrial,
           and social-economic characteristics of a region through
           coordination with other environmental and regional plan-
           ning  efforts.

       b.  State and local agencies responsible for emission inven-
           tory  maintenance should reevaluate previous years' emis-
           sion  inventories to make them compatible with those in-
           ventories currently being used.  A basic understanding
           of how  the  emissions situation has changed in the past
           and the resulting impact on air quality provides the
           soundest basis for future planning.

       c.  EPA should  support the development of the microscale dis-
           persion models that are required to adequately cope with
           the potential need to control vehicular traffic in urban
           settings as a TSP control measure.  At the present, the
           quantitative consideration of such matters is limited  to
           the type of empirical data analysis performed herein.
           While essential for many purposes, this type of treat-
           ment  does not allow for the consideration of hypothetical
           alternatives, as is necessary for control strategy
           formulation.

       d.  EPA should  develop both the conceptual framework and  the
           requisite computer software needed to utilize long-distance
           air mass trajectory modeling as an air quality management
            tool  available  to  the stages.  As increasing refinement of
           control strategies is necessary, concern with background
            transport,  regional-scale secondary particulates, and
           other large-scale considerations will become increasingly
            important.

        e.  EPA should  develop and promulgate at  least  informally  guide-
            lines for  the use  of particulate analysis by microscopy and
           other analytical methods.  The need to identify  sources of
           particulate matter will very likely result  in an  increase
            in this work, and  a mechanism  is needed  to  assemble  and make
            available  experience with  the  various approaches.

        f.   EPA  should  assess  and  provide  information  to states  on hard-
           ware  available  for and design  of special  field  studies.


ISSUES CONCERNING NAAQS REVIEW


The nature of the control measures mentioned above with respect  especially
to many of the "nontraditional"  sources  of  particulates and large-scale

problems will significantly modify  the nature  of  many  pollution  control


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programs.   Implementation of some of the control measures will necessarily
extend the scope of control programs into areas of municipal services that
have not traditionally been involved in pollution control, and which will

necessarily be costly.  Consequently, they will no doubt require extended

discussion and justification, not only in the eyes of public opinion,

elected officials, and municipal executives, but also in the eyes of many

personnel within the air pollution control community itself.


An important element in future planning concerns the actual standards them-

selves.  The NAAQS are currently being reviewed by the National Academy of

Sciences for appropriateness and completeness.  While the purpose of this
TSP attainment study did not involve addressing the need for standards re-
view or the ongoing review by the NAS, five specific issues became apparent

in the course of this study.  These are listed below with the hope that they

will be considered in the review of the standards for TSP.


    1.  Particle Size - At present, the particulate standard is based
        on the total mass of particulate matter suspended in the air;
        there is no concern with particle size, save that the particles
        be small enough to remain suspended.   (Or actually, just to  re-
        main suspended long enough  to reach the hi-vol,  the proximity of
        which thus becomes crucial.)  Because  the health effects of  par-
        ticles of various sizes differ significantly, and because the
        size distribution of particles from various source  types differs
        significantly, any standard, whether an emission standard or es-
        pecially an ambient air standard, that fails to  recognize such
        differences is unavoidably  seen as oversimplified.

    2.  Particle Toxicity - Differential toxicity among  particles of
        various chemical nature is  an issue very  like that  of particle
        size.  Known, obvious differences, such as  the distinction be-
        tween inorganic soil materials and organic  coal  tar derivatives,
        are not Included in the basis for the  present ambient standard,
        except implicitly through the selection of  epidemiological
        evidence  to support the standard.  This unavoidably contributes
        to the general impression that  the  standard  is oversimplified
        in letting important factors "average  out."  The composition of
        the total particulates  is already coming  under review due to
        recent concerns about toxic pollutants.
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Monitoring Specifications - At present,  neither the NAAQS them-
selves nor the specified Federal Reference Method address the
question of how hi-vol monitors should be placed relative to
the sources of the particulate matter.  While "common sense"
has probably been adequate in distinguishing between ambient
and source-oriented situations in the case of major point
sources, it is clearly not so in the case of such low-level
dispersed sources as street dust reentrainment.  In order to
be seen as appropriately precise in this area, the standards
should at least take note of the effects of height and distance
from a source such as a street by specifying a reference point
where the standard applies and defining relationships by which
data from other points could be adjusted.

Time Scale of Standards - At present, the necessary recognition
of differing averaging times is handled by having standards for
both short-term and long-term (annual) averages, and this is
generally considered adequate.  However, there are some phenom-
ena that operate on a longer-time period and tend to indicate
a desirability in considering longer-term values as well, such
as perhaps 5-year running averages.   Such an approach would
offer one way of resolving the difficulties in handling such
features as meteorologically good and bad years  in air quality
planning.  It would also help in rationalizing the situation
caused by several-year temporary phenomena, such as major con-
struction, which presently are viewed as anomalies, causing
standards' violations that can be ignored because they are
temporary.

Spatial Averaging - Similar to the problem of monitoring speci-
fications is the concern over the Clean Air Act  requirement
that each and every area of a city meet the air  quality
standards.  It can generally be assumed that every city has at
least one corner which can not meet  the standards even though
the current monitoring network indicates no violations.  In the
same manner, monitors may be placed  so as to  ignore the problem.
Average TSP levels within a certain  area up to a set height may
be more appropriate.
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