U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION   AGENCY
                         EPA
                                  SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
                                        from the
                                       forthcoming
                                    Technical Report 56
                                    "Nutrient Enrichment
                                          and
                                    Control  Requirements
                                         in the
                                    Upper Chesapeake Bay"
MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION-III   6th and Walnut Streets, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19106

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EPA-903/9-73-002-a
                                                    SUMMARY AND  CONCLUSIONS
                                                           from the
                                                          forthcoming
                                                      Technical Report 56
                                                      "Nutrient  Enrichment
                                                              and
                                                      Control Requirements
                                                             in  the
                                                      Upper Chesapeake Bay"
                             Annapolis Field Office
                                   Region  III
                          Environmental Protection Agency

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EPA-903/9-73-002-a
                               Annapolis Field Office
                                     Region III
                           Environmental Protection Agency
                               SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
                                      from the
                                     forthcoming
                                 Technical Report 56
                     'Nutrient Enrichment and Control Requirements
                                       in the
                                Upper Chesapeake Bay"
                                     Leo J.  Clark
                                  Daniel K.  Donnelly
                                  Orterio  Villa, Jr.
                                      August 1973

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                           ABSTRACT
     The upper portions of the Chesapeake Bay and its tidal  tributaries
are currently suffering from an insidious eutrophication problem as
evidenced by the increased frequency and persistence of undesirable
algal blooms and the dramatic changes in the Bay's natural  flora which
have recently been experienced.  Water quality monitoring data collected
between 1968 and 1971 have shown an upward trend in phosphorus levels
and indicated that inorganic nitrogen may presently be the growth rate-
limiting nutrient since it is almost nonexistent during peak bloom
conditions.  Moreover, utilizing a combination of historical field data
and laboratory data to estimate biological uptake requirements led to
the conclusion that phosphorus was being recycled at least twice during
the algal growing season in the upper Chesapeake Bay.

     In order to limit the maximum algal standing crop to 40 yg/1
chlorophyll a_, it was determined that total phosphorus and inorganic
nitrogen concentrations should not exceed 0.12 mg/1 (P04) and 0.8 mg/1,
respectively.  The achievement of these concentrations necessitates
the institution of a considerable abatement program in the two areas
responsible for most of the nutrient contributions to the upper Chesa-
peake Bay, namely the Susquehanna River Basin and the Baltimore metro
area.  A quasi-verified dynamic estuary water quality model  was used
to ascertain the maximum allowable phosphorus and nitrogen loadings
from both areas to maintain the aforementioned criteria for three
different Susquehanna flow conditions (10,000, 30,000 and 50,000 cfs).

     For the two lower flow conditions a 70 percent reduction in the
existing phosphorus load would be required from both the Susquehanna
Basin and the Baltimore area.  During the high flow condition a
reduction of over 90 percent of the point source discharges in the
Susquehanna must be realized to achieve the phosphorus criterion.
Nitrogen is considerably less manageable in the Susquehanna Basin
than phosphorus, especially during higher flow periods.  Nitrogen
control may be a feasible alternative under extremely dry weather
conditions, but concentrated slugs of nitrogen associated with storm
water runoff would undoubtedly contravene the criterion because of
the Bay's exceptionally long flushing time.

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                             PREFACE

     This report is intended to serve as  an interim document
for disseminating the Annapolis Field Office's technical  information
on the upper Chesapeake Bay.  The report  presents a series of
conclusions and graphically displayed supportive data relevant
to the current eutrophication problem in  the upper Bay.   The authors
hope to have a full report elaborating on these findings
completed in the near future.

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                                                                     1
     The Annapolis Field Office of the U.  S.  Environmental  Protection
Agency initiated a routine water quality monitoring program in the
upper Chesapeake Bay during 1968 in order to  evaluate the effects
of a wastewater discharge from the proposed Anne Arundel  County
Sandy Point Sewage Treatment Plant (STP) near Annapolis,  Maryland.
This monitoring effort has continued to the present time  and has
expanded in scope to include the following objectives:   investigation
of recent trends resulting in the present eutrophic state of the
upper Bay;  delineation of major nutrient inputs to the upper Bay;
mathematical model development to establish allowable loadings for
these inputs under varying flow conditions so as not to exceed a  given
algal bloom condition;  compilation of sufficient statistically
valid data which would allow management decisions to be made in
accordance with desired objectives.  Results  of AFO studies and related
data collected by other interested agencies are summarized as follows:
          1)  The Susquehanna River is the major contributor of
              freshwater to the upper Chesapeake Bay and  is the
              primary factor influencing the  Bay's salinity regime
              and inorganic silt load.  The Susquehanna exhibits  a
              classical hydrograph of high spring flows,  often
              exceeding 100,000 cfs, and flows of 10,000  cfs or
              less during the summer and fall months.
          2)  The net advective velocities and travel times throughout
              the upper Chesapeake Bay system vary directly with
              Susquehanna River flows.  The theoretical times required

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    for a particle of water leaving the Susquehanna
    River to reach the vicinity of Annapolis, Md., a
    distance of approximately 32 miles, based upon a "plug
    flow" analysis are given below for several sustained
    flow conditions:
    Susquehanna Flow               Travel  Times
          (cfs)                      (days)
          10,000                      125
          30,000                       40
          50,000                       25
         100,000                       12
3)  Sampling data collected from six transects (A through F)
    along the Chesapeake Bay between the entrance to Baltimore
    Harbor and the Severn River (see Basin Map in Appendix)
    indicated that nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations
    within each transect were relatively uniform, both
    laterally and vertically, and spatial  differences from
    one transect to the next were generally small.  Spatial
    concentration gradients between these transects were
    more pronounced for chlorophyll due to the effects of
    wind and tide action causing blooms to occur as discrete
    patches rather than as a uniform mixture.
4)  Compositing all of the transect data collected since
    1968 revealed the following:

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a)  Maximum concentrations of total  phosphorus
    (as POJ exceeded 0.2 mg/1  during the late
    summer and fall periods of 1969, 1970 and
    1971.  Minimum concentrations (0.08 - 0.12 mg/1)
    were consistently found during the spring.
    Total phosphorus concentrations  in the upper
    Chesapeake Bay have generally shown an
    upward trend from 1968 to 1971.
b)  Inorganic phosphorus concentrations during the
    period 1969 to 1971 varied from about 0.04 mg/1
    to 0.18 mg/1.  Temporal variations in concentration
    paralleled those observed for total phosphorus
    with only slight differences in phasing noted.
c)  Spatial differences in total phosphorus
    concentrations were not extreme in the upper
    Chesapeake Bay.  Summer data collected from
    1969, 1970 and 1971 generally showed concentrations
    increasing between the Sassafras River and
    Baltimore Harbor and  remaining  relatively high
    downstream of  Baltimore Harbor.
d)  Total nitrogen  (TKN + NOg) and  inorganic  nitrogen
    (NH-, +  NOJ concentrations varied  from 0.5 mg/1
    to  1.2  mg/1 and  from  0.05 mg/1  to  1.0 mg/1,
    respectively,  during  the study  period.   Both
    parameters exhibited  similar seasonal variations

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    with maximum concentrations observed in the
    winter and spring and minimum values in the
    summer.
e)  Of the two components comprising inorganic
    nitrogen, the nitrate form was predominant
    (0.6 mg/1 vs. 0.3 mg/1 ammonia nitrogen)
    during algal non-bloom periods while both
    were minimal during peak bloom periods. This,
    coupled with the fact that the Susquehanna
    River water entering the Bay is highly nitrified
    (refer to table on page 10), would appear to
    indicate that (1) the nitrification reaction
    (NHv+NOg) is comparatively insignificant in the
    Bay and (2) inorganic nitrogen may be the algal
    growth rate-limiting nutrient at the present
    time.
f)  Organic nitrogen levels were greatest (0.4 -
    0.5 mg/1) during periods of maximum algal
    blooms.   Background amounts (0.1 - 0.2 mg/1)
    of refractory organic nitrogen compounds were
    continuously present throughout the upper Bay.
g)  Meither total  nor inorganic nitrogen exhibited
    a  clearly defined upward trend between 1968 and
    1971, however, adequate data were not available
    to establish the critical  pre-bloom concentrations

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    of these parameters  during  the  period  Dec.  1970  -
    April  1971.
h)  Summer concentrations  of inorganic  nitrogen in
    the upper Chesapeake Bay showed a substantial
    decrease between the Sassafras  River and  Bush
    River.  During the maximum  bloom periods  of 1971
    a continued, but more gradual,  decrease  in
    concentrations were observed between Bush River
    and Annapolis whereas prior years with lower
    bloom intensities showed a  rise in  inorganic
    nitrogen opposite Baltimore Harbor.
i)  Both maximum and average chlorophyll concentrations
    measured in the upper Chesapeake Bay under  summer
    conditions have showed a significant rise between
    1968 and 1971 as indicated  in the following table:
    Year           Max Chloro          Avg Chloro
                   Tyg/T)
    1968            50                  37
    1969            50                  30
    1970            60                  50
    1971           188                 100
j)  During the critical bloom years of 1970 and 1971
    drastic increases in chlorophyll were observed
    in the Bay opposite Baltimore Harbor; maximum
    chlorophyll levels persisted for approximately

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             5 miles longitudinally and then decreased
             sharply between the Magothy and Severn Rivers.
5)  There have been subtle but important changes  in the
    biological conditions of the upper Chesapeake Bay area
    which should be recognized and which may add  support
    to several conclusions drawn strictly from chemical
    data.
         a)   Tidal  portions of upper Bay tributaries such as
             the Sassafras, Bohemia, Elk and Northeast Rivers
             have been experiencing a change in flora which
             is probably indicative of accelerated eutrophi-
             cation.  During the early 1960's sizeable blooms
             of water chestnut and subsequently Eurasian
             water milfoil were observed in these areas on
             several occasions.  By 1968 a succession from
             green to blue-green algae had already occurred.
             Extensive blue-green algal  blooms composed of
             Anacystis, Anabaena and Oscillatoria now inhabit
             many portions of the Sassafras, Elk  and Northeast
             Rivers with increasing frequency, intensity
             and duration.
         b)   The upper portions of the Bay proper including
             both mesohaline and freshwater areas have recently
             experienced a dramatic disappearance of the
             normal rooted aquatic plants.  This  may have serious

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    repercussions as a prelude to further adverse
    biological  successions.   Moreover,  these rooted
    plants have served as a  nutrient "trap"  especially
    in areas such as the Susquehanna flats.   Without
    their biological utilization of nutrients, greater
    proportions of nutrients will be available to
    the undesirable forms of algae if inputs remain
    the same.
c)  Ecological  trends in the Bay's upper tributaries
    have closely paralleled  those documented for the
    Potomac Estuary.  A similar process is probably
    underway in the upper Chesapeake Bay itself.  Visual
    observations of profuse  algal blooms are being
    recorded with greater frequency and persistance
    and corroborate  the rising trends  shown by the
    chlorophyll data previously presented.  Of
    major importance is the  fact that the recent
    elevated levels of chlorophyll are  in part due
    to increasing standing crops of undesirable
    blue-green forms of algae.
         While chlorophyll may not be the ideal
    indicator for assessing  the standing crop of
    algal communities, it is nevertheless one of the
    few effective tools currently available which
    allows us to develop rational nutrient
    limitations.

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                                                           8

6)  Evaluation of pertinent data collected at each station
    within the six transects indicated that maximum chlorophyll
    levels were accompanied by low concentrations of inorganic
    nitrogen and phosphorus.  Conversely, high concentrations
    of these nutrients were noted when chlorophyll levels
    were relatively low.
7)  Based upon a euphotic zone with a depth of 15 feet and
                               q  3
    a total volume of 25.5 x 10 ft  between transects
    A and F, and the elemental composition analysis performed
    on algal cells from the Potomac Estuary, the following
    zonal nitrogen and phosphorus loads would theoretically
    be required to yield the indicated bloom concentration,
    as measured by chlorophyll a_, assuming complete utilization
    by the cells and no re-cycling of the nutrients:
(ug/i)
30
40
50
100
(Ibs)
140,000
190,000
240,000
475,000
(Ibs)
500,000
650,000
800,000
1,600,000
 8)   Historical  field  data  collected by AFO  and  the Chesapeake
     Biological  Institute  (CBI) were utilized to estimate
     nutrient  losses that  may  have  resulted  from biological
     uptake  by the  algal cells.   Loading  differences  for
     inorganic nitrogen  and phosphorus measured  in the
     Chesapeake Bay zone between  transects A and F during

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    pre-bloom and peak-bloom conditions (the difference
    representing nutrient uptake) are summarized in the
    table below:
                        Inorganic         Inorganic

1965*
1968
1969
1970
1971
(yg/D
40
37
30
50
100
(Ibs)
150,000
**
150,000
250,000
400,000
(Ibs)
1,400,000
1,400,000
1,000,000
1,800,000
**
     *   CBI  data
     **   Inadequate  data  to establish  pre-bloom  loading
         condition
 9)   A comparison of the  data  shown  in the  previous  two  tables
     reveals a  favorable  agreement between  phosphorus  loads
     required to yield  a  given bloom as estimated  from
     laboratory and  historical  field data.   In the case  of
     nitrogen,  however, loadings  determined from field data
     were consistently  double  those  derived from the
     laboratory elemental  analysis data.
10)   This over-utilization of  nitrogen coupled with:
     (1) the fact  that  measured increases  in organic
     nitrogen from  pre-bloom to peak-bloom periods confirmed
     laboratory estimates of inorganic nitrogen  uptake
     requirements  to support such blooms  and (2) the extremely

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                                                           10
     low phosphorus  loss  rates  in  the  upper  Chesapeake  Bay
     as  estimated  by two  independent methods reinforces  the
     argument espoused  by Dr.  Donald Pritchard  of  the
     Chesapeake Bay  Institute,  that phosphorus  was being
     recycled at least  twice  during the  algal growing season.
11)  A considerable  quantity  of nitrogen and phosphorus  data
     has been collected from  the Susquehanna River at
     Conowingo Dam between 1969 and 1972.   Several regression
     analyses were performed  wi.th  this data  in  an  attempt to
     relate nutrient loadings with streamflow.   The results
     of these regression analyses, all of which were
     statistically valid, are presented in the  following table:
       Susq
       Flow     TPO,     Inorg P    TN.      Inorg N
       TcTs)   -— ..... - ........ Ibs/day
      10,000     7,500    3,500    80,000    58,000    40,000
      50,000    50,000   30,000   400,000   300,000   250,000
     100,000   120,000   75,000   800,000   600,000   530,000

12)  Based on the above loadings it can be concluded that
     the Susquehanna water was highly nitrified and that the
     inorganic fractions represented an appreciable proportion
     of the total nitrogen and phosphorus at all flows.
13)  Regression analyses performed separately with the 1969
     and 1971 total nitrogen and phosphorus data revealed
     distinct loading increases for both parameters during the

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                                                         11
    two year period.  A comparison of these Susquehanna
    loadings is given in the table below:
    Flow        Total Phosphorus      Total Nitrogen
    (cfs)           (Ibs/day)             (Ibs/day)
                    1969      1971        1969      1971
      10,000       6,500     8,500      75,000    82,000
      50,000      60,000     75,000     370,000   420,000
    100,000     150,000    190,000     750,000   850,000
14)  An attempt was  made to  compare predicted nutrient
    loadings for Susquehanna River inputs with those
    loadings actually observed  in a  finite  volume of the
    Chesapeake Bay  between  transects A and  F during the 3 year
    study  period.   This nutrient accountability analysis was
    based  upon appropriate  travel and displacement times
    along  the  upper Bay for successive parcels of Susquehanna
    water.  The following  conclusions were  drawn from  this
    analysis:
          a)  The average measured total  phosphorus load was
             about  400,000 Ibs  whereas the  average expected
             load  from  the Susquehanna was  500,000 Ibs.
             Comparable values  for inorganic phosphorus were
             240,000 and 280,000 Ibs respectively.
          b)  The average total  nitrogen  load measured  in
             the Bay was 2,000,000 Ibs whereas the average
             expected load from the  Susquehanna was 4,000,000

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                                                 12
    Ibs.   Comparable values  for inorganic nitrogen
    were  1,000,000 and 3,000,000 Ibs  respectively.
c)  The expected total phosphorus loading in the
    Bay was a function of Susquehanna River flow
    and varied from about 350,000 Ibs (0 6,000 cfs)
    to 600,000 Ibs (@ 100,000 cfs).   Inorganic
    phosphorus behaved in a  similar fashion, but
    varied between 150,000 and 400,000 Ibs.
    Comparable ranges for both parameters were
    observed in the Bay during the study period.
d)  The expected total and inorganic nitrogen
    loadings in the Bay (4,000,000 and 3,000,000
    Ibs respectively) were constant regardless of
    Susquehanna flow.  The increased daily loadings
    during high flow periods were completely
    negated by the shorter displacement times.
e)  Phosphorus appears to behave more conservatively
    than nitrogen on an annual basis since approximately
    80-90 percent of the Susquehanna phosphorus
    contribution was actually measured in the
    Bay whereas less than 50 percent of the
    nitrogen load was accounted for.  Phosphorus
    accountability exceeded 100 percent on several
    occasions during the low flow summer and fall
    periods and reached a minimum (65 percent) during
    high flow periods.  These extremes would

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                                                           13
              indicate (1)  the  presence  of an  additional
              phosphorus  source and  (2)  the effects  of greater
              silt loads  and increased  phosphorus  adsorption
              and deposition rates  generally accompanying  high
              flows.
15)   The following table  delineates  average phosphorus loadings
     from the Baltimore Metro Area  based upon  a  combination
     of Maryland Environmental  Service  (MES) data*,
     information contained  in the Federal  industrial permit
     applications, and actual sampling  data:

     Source              Flow           Total  Phosphorus
                         TmgcT)           (Ibs/day as  P04)
     Municipal            20                  4,000
     Industrial          750                 35,000
     Other               —                  1,000
     Totals              770                 40,000

16)   The following table presents a similar delineation
     of total and inorganic nitrogen loadings in the
     Baltimore Metro Area utilizing the same data sources:
    *Published in report entitled "Water Quality Management
     Plan for Patapsco and Back River Basins"

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(Ibs/day)
5,000
65,000
5,000
75,000
(Ibs/day)
3,000
54,000
3,000
60,000
                                                          14
     Source       Flow   Total  Nitrogen    Inorganic Nitrogen
                 (mgd)
     Municipal     20'
     Industrial   750
     Other
     Totals       770
17)   Water quality data collected  by  MES  were  used to  eval-
     uate nutrient and chlorophyll  distributions  in  the main
     channel  of Baltimore Harbor during the summer growing season.
     In general, the  nitrogen and  phosphorus concentrations
     measured in the  Harbor were greater than  concentrations
     observed in adjacent reaches  of the Chesapeake  Bay and
     reflected the sizable loadings currently  discharged from
     various municipal and industrial sources.  Specifically  -
          a)  Total phosphorus concentrations  in the inner Harbor
              varied between 0.4 and 0.6 mg/1.  The  outer Harbor
              exhibited relatively constant although somewhat
              lower (0.25 - 0.35 mg/1) phosphorus levels.
          b)  Total nitrogen and inorganic nitrogen  concen-
              trations in the Baltimore Harbor above Sparrows
              Point averaged about 1.75 mg/1 and 1.0 mg/1,
              respectively.  Near the mouth of the Harbor,
              concentrations decreased to  about 1.0 mg/1 and
              0.5  mg/1,  respectively.
          c)  Maximum  chlorophyll levels (70  - 100 yg/1) were
              measured between  Sparrows Point and the  Chesapeake

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                                                          15
              Bay.   Chlorophyll  values  ranging  from about
              60 to 80 ug/1  were measured  in  other  portions
              of the Harbor.
18)  Average phosphorus concentrations  found  across the  mouth
     of Baltimore Harbor were  consistently 0.04 mg/1  higher
     than concentrations found in the adjacent  open Bay.   A
     similar comparison performed for inorganic nitrogen also
     indicated that concentrations at the  mouth of  Baltimore
     Harbor were consistently  higher than  comparable data
     from the Bay proper.
19)  Considering the following - (1) that  nitrogen  and espe-
     cially phosphorus loadings to Baltimore  Harbor are  quite
     high, actually exceeding  Susquehanna  loadings  to the  Bay
     during low flow periods,  (2) a considerable body of data
     shows consistently higher levels of these  nutrients in
     the outer Harbor than in  nearby areas of the Bay, (3) the
     possibility of recycling  of nutrients from the grossly
     contaminated bottom sediments in Baltimore Harbor and
     (4) the significant exchange characteristics between the
     Harbor and Bay - it appears reasonable to  surmise that
     the Harbor adversely affects the waters  of the Bay.  Any
     nutrient management program undertaken for the protection of
     the upper Chesapeake Bay must include adequate control  not
     only of discharges  in the Susquehanna Basin but from the
     Baltimore Metro Area as well.

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                                                           16
20)  In order to limit the algal  standing crop to 40 ug/1
     chlorophyll a_, an acceptable bloom condition based upon
     historical  observations in the Chesapeake Bay and adopted
     criteria for the Potomac Estuary, total  inorganic phosphorus
     and nitrogen loadings in the euphotic zone between
     transects A and F should not exceed 200,000 Ibs. and
     1,400,000 Ibs. respectively.  Converting these loadings
     to equivalent concentrations yields the  following -
                   Phosphorus - 0.12 mg/1 as  PO.
                   Nitrogen - 0.8 mg/1
     These limiting nutrient levels were derived from
     historical  field data, model simulation  studies and
     correlations with nutrient-phytoplankton relationships
     developed for the Potomac Estuary.
21)  The EPA Dynamic Estuary Water Quality Model has been
     adapted to the Chesapeake Bay and its tidal tributaries
     upstream from Annapolis, Md. with a network comprised
     of 74 junctions and 88 channels.  The model proved
     capable of simulating the hydrodynamic behavior of
     the upper Bay as evidenced by the accurate predictions
     of average tidal ranges and phasing at several USC
     & GS stations.
22)  A review of the available field data indicated
     three steady state simulation periods with different

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                                                           17
     flow and algal  bloom characteristics  as  shown  below:
     Period             Susq  Flow      Chlorophyll
                        (cfs)            (yg/D
     May - July, 1970   23,000           50
     Aug - Oct, 1970    10,000           30
     April - May, 1971   50,000           20
23)  Salinity data collected  during two of these  flow
     periods (10,000 and 50,000 cfs)  were  used  to calibrate
     and verify the advection and dispersion  components  of
     the model.  The model was then used to simulate total
     phosphorus and inorganic nitrogen distributions for
     determination of loss or uptake  rates.  In addition,  one
     simulation was made during the high bloom  period in an
     attempt to mathematically link chlorophyll with inorganic
     nitrogen.  The results of these  model studies are summarized
     as follows:
          a)  The model  accurately simulated  total  phosphorus
              during the Aug  - Oct (1970)  and April - May (1971)
              periods when loss rates of 0.008 and 0.015/day,
              respectively, were assumed.   The  increased rate
              during the latter period probably resulted from
              the greater adsorption  and deposition potential
              of the higher Susquehanna flow.  Both rates were,
              however, much lower than expected.
          b)  Inorganic nitrogen was  also accurately simulated
              on two separate occasions contingent upon the

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                                                           18
              proper  selection  of  uptake  rates  for  first order
              kinetics.  The  rates  obtained  from  the model
              (0.055  and 0.010/day)  appeared to be  highly
              dependent  upon  existing  chlorophyll levels.
          c)   For the high  bloom period of 1970 and using
              the uptake rate of 0.055/day for  inorganic
              nitrogen,  the model  satisfactorily  simulated
              the chlorophyll distribution observed in  the
              Chesapeake Bay.   Since the  model  assumed  an
              immediate  growth  response corresponding to
              any loss of  inorganic nitrogen, phasing differences
              between observed  and predicted profiles did
              exist;  however, total  masses compared
              favorably.
24)  Following calibration  and  limited verification,  the
     Dynamic  Estuary  Model  was  used to perform  a  series of
     alternative runs for  determining allowable total
     phosphorus and inorganic nitrogen loadings from  the
     Susquehanna River and  the  Baltimore  Metro  Area to
     achieve  the previously indicated nutrient  criteria
     throughout the upper  Chesapeake Bay. The  results
     obtained from these model  runs for three different
     Susquehanna flow conditions (10,000, 30,000  and
     50,000 cfs) are  presented  in  the tables following.

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                                                                   19
Bait. Metro Area
  20,000 Ibs/day
  10,000 Ibs/day
   5,000 Ibs/day
                          Allowable Loadings
                              Phosphorus   (P04)
                       (Susq.  Flow = 10,000 cfs)
       Susq.  Basin
  3200 Ibs/day (.06  mg/1)
  7000 Ibs/day (.13  mg/1)
(not a viable alternative)
                       (Susq.  Flow = 30,000 cfs)
Bait. Metro Area
  20,000 Ibs/day
  10,000 Ibs/day
   5,000 Ibs/day
       Susq.  Basin
 16,000 Ibs/day (.10  mg/1)
 21,500 Ibs/day (.135 mg/1)
 23,000 Ibs/day (.145 mg/1)
                       (Susq.  Flow =  50,000 cfs)
Bait.  Metro Area
  20,000 Ibs/day
  10,000 Ibs/day
   5,000 Ibs/day
       Susq.  Basin
 35,000 Ibs/day (.13  mg/1)
 36,000 Ibs/day (.135 mg/1)
 38,000 Ibs/day (.14  mg/1)

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                                                                   20
Bait.  Metro Area
  40,000 Ibs/day
  30,000 Ibs/day
  20,000 Ibs/day
                          Allowable Loadings
                               Nitrogen
                       (Susq.  Flow = 10,000 cfs)
       Susq. Basin
 32,000 Ibs/day (.60 mg/1)
 35,000 Ibs/day (.66 mg/1)
 39,000 Ibs/day (.73 mg/1)
                       (Susq.  Flow = 30,000 cfs)
Bait.  Metro Area
  40,000 Ibs/day
  30,000 Ibs/day
  20,000 Ibs/day
       Susq. Basin
103,350 Ibs/day (.65 mg/1)
111,300 Ibs/day (.70 mg/1)
119,250 Ibs/day (.75 mg/1)
                       (Susq.  Flow = 50,000 cfs)
Bait.  Metro Area
  40,000 Ibs/day
  30,000 Ibs/day
  20,000 Ibs/day
       Susq. Basin
186,000 Ibs/day (.69 mg/1)
194,000 Ibs/day (.72 mg/1)
200,000 Ibs/day (.75 mg/1)

-------
                                                           21
     It should be noted that the Baltimore loadings  were not
     predicated on the protection of Baltimore  Harbor waters,
     otherwise more stringent loadings  would probably have
     been required.
25)  In view of the uncertainty in defining the various
     reactions responsible for conversion of organic forms
     of phosphorus to inorganic forms (and vice versa);
     the almost immediate utilization of regenerated phosphorus
     by phytoplankton as hypothesized by Dr. Pritchard and
     somewhat substantiated by data presented in this
     report; and the low apparent loss  rate for phosphorus,
     allowable phosphorus loadings from the Susquehanna  Basin
     and the Baltimore area were developed for total and
     not inorganic phosphorus.
26)  Inorganic nitrogen was treated as  a conservative
     parameter in all of the model production runs.   Since
     the criteria, hence the allowable  loadings, apply
     primarily during pre-bloom periods this appeared to be
     a reasonable assumption.
27)  There was insufficient field data  available to calibrate
     or verify adequately the mathematical model for a
     Susquehanna River flow of 100,000 cfs and the effects
     of this extreme flow condition on  the nutrient distri-
     bution in the upper Chesapeake Bay could not be
     properly evaluated.

-------
                                                           22
28)  Special  model  runs were prepared to investigate the
     effects  of the Sandy Point STP discharge on  the
     phosphorus concentrations in nearby areas of the
     Chesapeake Bay.  Assuming present plant design capacity
     (4.2 mgd - wastewater flow;  40,000 - population served)
     and the  realization of adequate phosphorus control  in the
     Susquehanna Basin and the Baltimore area, the model  runs
     demonstrated that the effects of the Sandy Point STP
     discharge would be minor and the phosphorus  criteria in the
     Chesapeake Bay could still be achieved for either Susquehanna
     River flow.  Any future expansion of this facility,
     however, would require a thorough investigation to determine
     the necessity for and extent of nutrient removal.
29)  As stated previously, it is quite possible that inorganic
     nitrogen is presently the rate-limiting nutrient in the
     upper Chesapeake Bay, however, it is reasonable to
     expect that phosphorus can be made the rate-limiting
     nutrient if adequate control measures are instituted.
     Phosphorus is more manageable in the Susquehanna Basin
     than nitrogen, especially during higher flow periods.
     Nitrogen control may be a feasible alternative under
     normal dry weather conditions, but concentrated slugs of
     nitrogen occurrina from natural runoff durina short-term
     localized storms would probably cause the maximum
     allowable nitrogen concentrations previously established

-------
                                                      23
     to be exceeded during the long  retention periods
     resulting from slow net seaward transport.
30)  A mass balance analysis was  performed on all  nutrient
     data collected in the lower  Susquehanna Basin from
     June 1971 to June 1972.  The results obtained from
     this analysis were used to estimate the degree of
     controllability of nitrogen  and phosphorus  during
     various seasons and flow conditions.  For the three
     Susquehanna flows investigated, the following tables
     depict the effects of different reductions  of all point
     source discharges on the river loadings at  Conowingo:
                   Est. Total             Est. Inorganic
     % Reduction   Phosphorus Load        Nitrogen Load
                     (Ibs/day)(Ibs/day)
                          10.000  cfs
          0             8,300                  57,000
         50             5,700                  53,000
         70             4,600                  50,000
         90             3,800                  47,000
                          30.000 cfs
          0            27,100                 187,500
         50            23,000                 183,500
         70            21,500                 182,500
         90            20,000                 180,000
                          50,000 cfs
          0            46,000                 309,000
         50            41,000                 305,000
         70            40,000                 303,000
         90            38,500                 301,000

-------
                                                      24
31)  Assuming sustained Susquehanna  River flows  of 10,000
     and 30,000 cfs and utilizing the previous  two tables,
     a reduction in the existing phosphorus load from both
     the point source discharges in  the lower Susquehanna
     Basin and the Baltimore area of 70 percent  will  be
     required to achieve the 0.12 mg/1  total  phosphorus
     concentration limit in the Chesapeake Bay.   If a
     sustained flow of 50,000 cfs is assumed, it is
     doubtful whether this criteria  can be attained
     unless over a 90 percent reduction at each  of the
     point source discharges in the  lower Susquehanna
     Basin and the Baltimore area is realized.   It is
     important to recognize that the Susquehanna River
     becomes increasingly significant in terms  of a
     phosphorus management program during higher flow
     periods, especially for protection of the  extreme
     upper reaches of the Bay.  Unfortunately,  the
     controllable percentage of the  phosphorus  load in
     the Susquehanna Basin decreases dramatically for
     such flow periods.

-------
APPENDIX

-------
       UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
                       CONOWINGO
                         DAM
  Al — SAMPLING STATION
BALTIMORE
  ANNAPOLIS

-------
                       HYDROGRAPH
          SUSQUEHANNA   RIVER  AT  CONOWINGO  DAM
                          ( 1968- 1971)
150
140
130 —
120 —
 10
100
 90 —
 80 —
 70
 60 —
 50  —
 40 —
 30 —
 20 —
10 —
                                              u1
                                            r
                                                     1
                                                              53ISM
           1968
                        1969
                                       1970
                                                    I97I

-------
                    CROSS SECTIONAL AREAS
                      UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
                           (CBI  DATA)
o
LU
QC
  100 -
   90 -
   80 -
   70 -
   60 -
   50 -
   40 -
   30 -
   20 H
   10 -
                      A
       —I	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
     0  2  4   6   8  10  12  14  'P  18  2r  22  24  26  28  3C 32  34 36
                       MILES BELOV SUSQ.RIVER

-------
ADVECTIVE  VELOCITIES vs. SUSQUEHANNA RIVER FLOW

               UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
      O
      O
e. u -
18 -

16 -
~. l4 ~
u
<
12 -
1-
O
q
d '0 -

UJ
g 0.8 -
h-
u
UJ
0
< 06 -



04 -


02 -

00 -
O

20QOOOcfs








lOQOOOcfs


75,000efs




50,000 eft


30,000 efs

10000 cfs










O
0
O
c>
0
O

O
O
?
oo
O








1 1 1 1 I 1 I I I I 1 1 1 1 1 1
02 46 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32
            MILES  BELOW SUSQUEHANNA RIVER

-------
           TRAVEL TIMES vs. SUSQUEHANNA RIVER FLOW
                      UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
i
UJ
  120 -
  no -
  100 -
   90 -
   80 -
   70 -
   60 -
   50 -
   40 -
   30 -
   20 -
   10 -
                                               28  30  32  34  36
10  12  14  16  18  20  22

   MILES BELOW SUSQ. RIVER

-------
TEMPORAL   PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTION



           UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY


                 TRANSECT  A

           {AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
1.50 —





1.40 —





1.30 —





1.20 —





1.10 —





1.00 —





.90 —





.80 —





 .70 —





.60 —





.50 —





.40 —





.30 —





.20 —





 .10 —





  0 —
         LEGEND
           	  Pi
                                       I I I I I I I I I I
       1971
                        n
      1968
                  11111 M 1111
                      1969
T
                          iS3£55^32i5Sti
                          iu-S^S-iT^ulOZQ
                                                       -. M 5 ? a z
                                                       < b> < i < 3
                                                       -) b. 2 < S ->
1970

-------
      TEMPORAL   PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTION


                 UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY

                       TRANSECT  B
                 (AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
o>
e
I 50 —|




1.40 '




I 30 -




1.20 -




 1.10 -




1.00 -




 90 —




 80 —




 .70 —




 .60 —




 .50 —




 .40 -




 .30 —




 .20 -




 .10 —
               LEGEND


                 	  TP04


                 	p,
     zoj<*o:>ziOQ.*~:>u
     -><OZa
            1968
                    I II II II I I II
                      1969
                                             u < a. <
                                            > u. 2 < 2
            >Z_i(3Q.t->u
            'DDDUJUOUJ
             -i -> < 
                                                          < CL <
                                                         iu Z < I
1970
1971

-------
      TEMPORAL  PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTION


                 UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY

                       TRANSECT  C

                 (AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
  1.50 —
  1.40 -
  1.30 -
  1.20 —
  1. 10 —
  1.00 —
  .90 —
o>
  .80 —
   .70 —
  .60 —
  .50 —
  .40 -
  .30 —
  .20 —
   .10 —
LEGEND


        TPO4


  	  Pi
       JKs
       -> u. 2 < 2 -> => « Ho
           1968
        1969
1970
                            < S 5 a S 3 => 3>" y o
                                 --
1971
                    Z Z
                    < uj < Q. < D
                    -1 u. Z < 2 ->

-------
TEMPORAL   PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTION
           UPPER CHESAPEAKE  BAY
                 TRANSECT  D
           (AVERAGE DATA FOR  TRANSECT)
1.50 —


1.40 -

1.30 -

1.20 —

1.10 -


1.00 -

.90 —

.80 -

.70 —

.60 —

.50 —

.40 -

.30 —

.20 -


 .10 —
          LEGEND
                  TP04
                  Pi
ZcoQ:cr>z_jOaf->L>
->tf S4S->->
                  3 £ Z < Z
                  -> -> < 5?5Z-iOo;J->u
                                   1970
                                                   zim 25 oe>; 2
                                                    u. Z < Z ->
                 1971

-------
      TEMPORAL  PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTION


                 UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY

                       TRANSECT  E
                 (AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
  1.50 —I
  140
 1.30
  1.20 —
  1.10
  1.00 —
  .90 —
  .80 —
en
E
  .70 —
  .60 —
  .50
  .40 —
  .30
  .20
   10
               LEGEND
TP04


Pi
                                                   TT
Z O> "^ 0: > 2 -J G Q- *~ > U

-> u. Z < Z -> -i < t/1 O Z O



     1968
    i o o i	
    i O Z Q ^ u.
                                                        ZCD 5 a > 2
                                                        < w 2 a 5 D
                                                        -> u. s < 2 -,
                        1969
             1970
1971

-------
       TEMPORAL   PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTION

                  UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY

                        TRANSECT   F
                  (AVERAGE  DATA FOR  TRANSECT)
  1.50
  1.40 —
  1.30 —
  1.20 —
  1.10
  .00 —
  .90 —
en
6
  .80
   .70 —
   .60 —
  .50 —
  .40 —i
  .30 —I
  .20 —'
   .10 —^
LEGEND


        TP04


  	  P,
            1968
    Zala:C£>z_iOa.>->o
    u.ZOza


         1969
Za>z-i!=>a.'->u
ujUOW
~>u.Z=!<«iozo

    1971
                                                           Z a "• K i 2
                                                           < uj < o.< D
                                                           -> u. Z < Z ->

-------
          TOTAL   PHOSPHORUS  CONCENTRATIONS


                    UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY

                (AVERAGE  DATA  FOR  ALL   TRANSECTS)
 .40 -i
  .36 -
  .32 -
  .28 -
S
df
Q.
I- .16 H
   12 -
  .08 -
  .04 -
  .00
                 z' a> 2 ? S :
                 < ui < CL < :
                  u. I < 2
          1968
1969
S~><*nO2o



   1970
                          i a i- > o
                          > UI U O UI
                          ! 
-------
       INORGANIC   PHOSPHORUS  CONCENTRATIONS

                    UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY
               (AVERAGE  DATA  FOR ALL  TRANSECTS)
  40 -i
  .36 -
  .32 -
  .28 -
-.24-
O
a
3 .20 -
  .16 H
  .12 -
  08 -
  .04 -
  .00
1968
->il5-><>nO±a

    1969
1970
                                           1971
                                                  z o 5 a: % z
                                                  T u! 2 « * T

-------
                           SPATIAL  PHOSPHORUS DISTRIBUTIONS
                                    UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
                    JULY -SEPT, 1969

                    JULY . 1970

                    JULY - AUG. , 1971
    .3 -
en
E
o
a
.2 -
-I-      -1-      -I-      -1-      -T-
12       16      20      24      28
       MILES BELOW SUSQ. RIVER
                                                                      T~
                                                                      32
T
4
-r
 8
                                                                          36
40

-------
       TEMPORAL   NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION


                 UPPER CHESAPEAKE  BAY

                       TRANSECT  A

                 (AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
en
E
150 —





140 -





1.30 -





1.20 —





1.10 -





1.00 -





.90 —





.80 —





.70 —





.60 •





.50 —





40 -





.30 —





.20 —





.10 —
               LEGEND






                       NO2+ N03


                  	 NH3
            1968
                       -      -
                     . 2 < 2->->u.Z->u
                                                     UO u
                                                       Zaio; a: > z
                                                       < uj < Q. < D
                                                       -i u. Z < 2 ->
1971

-------
       TEMPORAL   NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION


                  UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY

                        TRANSECT  B

                  (AVERAGE DATA  FOR TRANSECT)
 1.50 —I
  1.40 —
  30
  1.20
  1.10
  1.00
  .90 —
  .80
o>
£
  .70
  .60
  .50 —
  .40
  .30 —
   20
   10
                LEGEND
                        TKN
                        NH3
                             NO
5S$2;Sl^S;o§t!
-^!l-vz_ii;)a-(->u
[o.<*)D^ujoOui
: O
) u} U O ui
! i/l O Z O
                                              < w
                                              -> u. Z <
                                      1970
                                            1971

-------
     TEMPORAL   NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION

                UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY
                      TRANSECT  C
                (AVERAGE DATA  FOR TRANSECT)
1.50 —I
1.40 —
1.30
1.20
 1.10 —
1.00 —
 .90 —
 .80 —
 .70
 .60 —
 50 —
 .40
 .30 —
 .20 —
  10
  0
              LEGEND
                      TKN
                          N0
                	NH3
      > o
      i a
                                           z'z-iOo:t->
                                                     O u
                                                      ~
        ± m a: ir > z
        < u < Q. < D
        ->£ Z < Z -i
          1968
1969
                                   1970
1971

-------
     TEMPORAL   NITROGEN   DISTRIBUTION



               UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY


                     TRANSECT  D

               (AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
1.50 —I
1.40 —
1.30
1.20 —
 .10
1.00 —
 .90
 .80
 .70 —
 .60 —
 .50 —
 .40
 .30 —
 .20 —
 .10
             LEGEND
TKN




NO2 + NO3
               	NH3
          1968
3 z 3 § u o o u
E T -> < I/i o zo



1969
                                  1970
                         1971

-------
      TEMPORAL   NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION


               UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY

                     TRANSECT  E

               (AVERAGE DATA FOR  TRANSECT)
1.50 —
1.40 —
1.30
1.20 —
1.10 —
1.00 —
.90 —
 .80
 .70 —I
 .60 —
 50 —
 .40 —
.30 —
 .20 —
 .10 —
             LEGEND
TKN


NO2+ NO3


NH3
                                     _    ^


                                    > < K1 O Z O
                                           MINIMI
                        .
                    -) u. 2 < 2
    • £• > o

    i o z o
                    TTTTTT

                    z oi a: cr > z
                     u. Z < 2 -i
          1966
 1969
1970
1971

-------
        TEMPORAL   NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION



                  UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY


                        TRANSECT  F

                  (AVERAGE DATA  FOR  TRANSECT)
  .50 —I
  1.40 —
  1.30 —
  1.20 —
   1.10 —
  1.00 —
   .90 —
N.

(T>
   .80 —
   .70 —
   .60 —
   .50 —
   .40 —
   .30 —
   .20 —
   .10 —
                LEGEND
                 TKN



                 NO2 + NO3



                 NH3
TTT1 MINT


|B5£5|^3£GSti
->u.3u.3<3->-> i)

               3 UJ O O uj

               < 1/1 o z o
        z a> a tf > 2

        < UJ < 0- "^ 3
        TU. 3 <3 -.
1970
1971

-------
              TOTAL  NITROGEN  CONCENTRATIONS

                     UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY

                          (AVERAGE  DATA)
  1.50 —




  1.40 -




  1.30 —




  1.20 —




  1.10 —




  1.00 —





  .90 —




  .80 —


S.


E  .70 —





  .60 —




  .50 —




  .40 -




  .30 —




  .20 —




   .10 -
z o
<« u:
            1968
                1969
1970
               i a i- > o
               i ui U O Ul
               : m o z a
                                                      Z m "j K •> z
                                                      < u < a. < 3
                                                      T u. Z < 2 ->
                                               1971

-------
           INORGANIC  NITROGEN CONCENTRATIONS

                    UPPER   CHESAPEAKE   BAY

                         (AVERAGE  DATA)
  1.50 —i
  1.40 —
  1.30
  1.20 —
   1.10 —
N
  1.00 —
   .90 —
   .80 —
   .70 —
   .60 —
   .50 —
   .40 —
   .30 —
   .20 —
   JO
 I I M M

 . _j O a t- >
                                    TTT
irar>z_,Oa.i-> o
 < m o
     O u
     Z 0
                              2 m 5 n
                              < ui < i •
< S < o- < 3
T u! z < z -i
1969
                1970
                                              1971

-------
s
en
1.50 -





1.40 —





1.30 —





1.20 -





1.10 -





1.00 -





.90 -





.80 —





.70 —





.60 —





.50 —





.40 -





.30 -





.20 —





 .10 -
        TOTAL  KJELDAHL  NITROGEN  CONCENTRATIONS

                     UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY

                          (AVERAGE DATA)
     ZajJ^JZjOa^gU

     -> u? 3<2->-»<OZa


         1968
                   1 1 1 1 1
                         1 1 1 1 1


                         _i ^ °- •" >O
                         D^UJU Ouj
                         -i<'flO zo
1969
                               1 ] 1 1 1  ]
19^0

                                              1971

-------
       AMMONIA NITROGEN CONCENTRATIONS
                UPPER  CHESAPEAKE   BAY
                    (AVERAGE DATA)
1.0 -i

.9 -

.8 -

.7 -

.6 -

.5-

.4 -

.3-

.2 -
 0
                t > z 5 o  > o
       1 1
                                             rf UJ 4 ^ 4 -^
       1968
1969
1970
1971

-------
  1.50 —i
  1.40 —
  1.30
  1.20 —
  MO —
  1.00 —
   .90 —
            NITRATE NITROGEN  CONCENTRATIONS

                     UPPER   CHESAPEAKE   BAY

                          (AVERAGE  DATA)
N
en
E
  .80 —
   .70 —
   .60 —
  .50 —
  .40
  .30 —
   .20 —
   .10 —
    0
Z a> S ? 5 z -" 2<* ^ £ U
            1968
Zo><£cr>z_ioli:i"; > o
SUJL) OUJ
                 1969
: I- > o
I O O Ld
i O z o
                 1970
        1971
                                                       zm 5 a > z
                                                       ^ UJ ^ "• ^ D
                                                       nil X <« XT

-------
                         SPATIAL  INORGANIC NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION
                                      UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
                     JUNE - SEPT, 1969
                     JULY,  1970
                     JUNE - AUG. 1971
     .6 -
(71
E
o
cr
O
     .4 -
     .2 -
—I
40
~T
8
~r~      ~~r~      ~~r~     ~r~
12       16      20       24
       MILES  BELOW SUSQ. RIVER
~T~
28
—r~
32
                                                                                 36

-------
                   CHLOROPHYLL   a.  CONCENTRATIONS
0>
150 —





140 —





130 —





120 —





II 0 —





100 —





90 —





80 —





70 —





60 -





50 —





40 —





30 —





20 —





10 —
        o
      I 1 .1 I I I I IJ I
1968
                        I I I I I I I 1 .1 I I
                    1969
                                      1970
                                         :«>-zj«£l">o
                                         ; a. < D o^ujU o»*j
                                         ; < z -» -> < *« o z o
1971
                                                         z m « oc >•
                                                         < Ul 
-------
    140 -i
                            SPATIAL CHLOROPHYLL  DISTRIBUTION

                                    UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
    120 -
                JUNE - SEPT. 1969

                JULY,  1970

                JUNE - AUG , 1971
    100 -
x
    80 -
o
cc
o
_J
I
o
60 -
    40 -
    20 -
                                                                      —r~

                                                                       32       36
          T

           4
8
T-      -i-      T~      ~T-

12      16      20      24

       MILES BELOW SUSQ. RIVER
28
                                                                40

-------
  180-1


  170-


  160-


  150-


  140-


  130-


  120 -

N.

S4 no-
I

°l 100-


> 90-
I
Q.
O 80-
cr
O

I
u

  60-


  50-


  40-


  30-


  20-


  10-


   o-
     INORGANIC  PHOSPHORUS   vs  CHLOROPHYLL  a

                 UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
                 (1969-1971  TRANSECT  DATA)
T^—T-^T^T-^T   T   ~r   T
.02    .04    .06    .08    .10     .12    .14     .16
                    INORGANIC  PHOSPHORUS - mg/l
                                                     IB
.20
                                                                .22
24

-------
 180-

 170 -

 160-

 150-

 140 -

 130-

 120-
\
? 110-
i
°'ioo -
_l
^9
I
O 80-
cr
O
- 70-
U
 60 -

 50-

 40-

 30 -

 20-

  10 -

  0
       INORGANIC  NITROGEN  vs  CHLOROPHYLL  a.
             UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY
                (1969-1971 TRANSECT  DATA)
-r~r~~r~r~T~^~r~^~r~r~T~   ~r   ~r
.08     16    .24    .32    .40    48    .56   .64
                    INORGANIC NITROGEN - mg/l
                                                  72
.80
.88
.96

-------
             PHOSPHORUS  AND  NITROGEN LOADINGS
                        UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
                     BETWEEN TRANSECTS  A & F
                         (volume =  45 x I09 ft3)
                     TOTAL NITROGEN
               	INORGANIC NITROGEN
                      TOTAL PHOSPHORUS (asPO4)
                     INORGANIC PHOSPHORUS  ( as P04)
CO
o
4000 -


3600 -


3200 -


2800 -


2400


2000 -


1600 -


1200 -


 800 -


 400 -
          I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I M I I I I I I
          z «
          < UJ
          -
                             I I I I I I I I
        I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
                                   | a. i- > Olz «B«  u. Z <
                                                    i o z o
                   Z»$«$Z
                    S! z < z T
              1968
                     1969
1970
                                                 1971

-------
100-
80-
 60-
40-
 20-
                        TEMPORAL  PHOSPHORUS and CHLOROPHYLL  TRENDS
                            CHESAPEAKE BAY BETWEEN TRANSECTS  A  and  F
                                          (CBI  and AFO  DATA)
    	TOTAL P (as PO4)

    	 INORG P (as PO4)

    	 CHLOROPHYLL  a
 .2-
 .15-
.05-
  \/
11111111111111111 1111 111 11) 1111111111111 111111111111 11111111 1111111111111
|isiilli!l*l#8iS!li3igii*fS^
    1966       1967        1868        1969         1970         1971
I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
I I I I I I I I I I I
                                  I | | I I I I I I I I
       1950
                 1951
                           1064
                                     1965

-------
120-1
    100-
    80-
o>   60-
1
    40-
    20-
                               TEMPORAL  NITROGEN and  CHLOROPHYLL  TRENDS

                                  CHESAPEAKE  BAY BETWEEN TRANSECTS  A  and  F

                                                 (CBI  and AFO DATA)
                             	 NO2+ NO3 (asN)


                             	INORG N  (asN)


                             	 CHLOROPHYLL a
    .80-
    .60-
    .40-
    .20-
           I 950
                      1951
                                I 964
                                        I I I I I I I I I I I
                                           1965
                                                      1966
                                                                1967
                                                                           1968
                                                                                                >-i*Oat-'>"ll-«I'«>-l!l1'a|-'>o
                                                                                                Sl?3B8!a5es!sl?il8lg

                                                                                                1970        1971

-------
0
                   NUTRIENT- CHLOROPHYLL  RELATIONSHIPS
                              UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
   0 LAB DATA /INORGANIC
   X FIELD DATA    N & P
       _D DATA- ORGANIC N
                                                   ASSUMPTIONS:
                                                   I. EUPHOTIC DEPTH = 15 ft. (25.5 x I09H3)
                                                   2. .045 MG C/ug  CHLORO RATIOS:
                                                   3. .010 MG N/>jg CHLORO
                                                   4. .003 MG PO4 /ug CHLORO
10
20
30
                                                                                120
                                    CHLOROPHYLL a

-------
                         REGRESSION  ANALYSIS
                   TOTAL  PHOSPHORUS  LOAD vs  FLOW
                    SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER at  CONOWINGO
                                (1969-72 DATA)
1000.000 -i
 100.000-
  IB
 -0
  I
  -t
 o
 a
  10.000-
   \JOOO -\	
     1,000
                    CORRELATION
                    »-- 28.10**
                    D. F. -- 95
                                                        COEF. r 0.94
 1 I
10.000
100.000
 1 ' I
IX)00.000
                                  FLOW - cfs

-------
                   REGRESSION  ANALYSIS
          INORGANIC  PHOSPHORUS LOAD vs FLOW
              SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER at CONOWINGO
                          (1969-72 DATA)
  i .000,000 ^
    100.000-
-a   10.000
I
CL
     1.000-
            CORRELATION COEF. r 0.89
            I -- 18.78**
            D. F. - 90
      100'
       1.000,000
                 I1
100.000           10.000
     FLOW - cfs
1,000

-------
                   REGRESSION  ANALYSIS

               TOTAL NITROGEN LOAD vs FLOW

          SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT CONOWINGO,  MARYLAND
                          (1969-1972  DATA)
10,000,000 -i
 1,000,000 -
  5-
  I
 z
  100,000 -
   10,000
                       CORRELATION COEF. = 0.96

                       t = 31.60* '

                       D.F = 90
       IjOOO
I I  I I I     ~T
   10,000
1—I I I  I I I
       100,000
T	1	1
   500,000
                             FLOW - cfs

-------
                  REGRESSION  ANALYSIS

       TOTAL  INORGANIC  NITROGEN  LOAD  vs  FLOW

          SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT CONOWINGO, MARYLAND
                         (1969-1972  DATA)
10,000,000 -i
 IjOOO.OOO -
  100,000 -
   10,000
                                             CORRELATION COEF. = 0.95

                                             t = 28.52* '

                                             D.F = 87
i	r
      IjOOO
II  I I I
   10,000
I  I I I I I
    100,000
                                                            500,000
                            FLOW -cfs

-------
                   REGRESSION  ANALYSIS

        TOTAL  KJELDAHL  NITROGEN  LOAD  vs FLOW

          SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT CONOWINGO, MARYLAND
                         (1969-1972  DATA)
10,000,000 -i
 1,000,000 -
  •n
 -Q
  100,000 -
   10,000
                                              CORRELATION COEF = 0.86

                                              t = 16.47' *

                                              D.F. - 94
      1,000
10,000
                                  I   I   i
i
    100,000
                                                            SOOjOOO
                            FLOW -cfs

-------
                   REGRESSION   ANALYSIS

            NITRATE  NITROGEN   LOAD  vs   FLOW
          SUSQUEHANNA RIVER  AT CONOWINGO, MARYLAND
                         (1969-1972 DATA)
10,000,000 -i
 1,000,000 -
 O
 Z
  100,000 -
   10,000
      1,000
                         CORRELATION COEF. - 0.93

                         t = 23.54**

                         D.F = 91
1  I I I II
     10,000
1	1  I I I I I
      100,000
-I—I
 500,000
                            FLOW - cfs

-------
                            REGRESSION  ANALYSIS
                    TOTAL PHOSPHORUS  LOAD  VS  FLOW
                    SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER  a* CONOWINGO
                             ( 1969 and  1971  DATA)
1,000,000 -i
 100.000 -
 X
 a
 -o

 «0
 -O
 o
 a
  10.000 -
  1.000
              1969 DATA

             Correlation  Coef =0.98

             "t"  =   23.42 **
             D. F. =   27
 1971   DATA

Correlation  Cocf = 0.90

"I"   =  8.94 * *

D. F.   =  21
                                                       (1969 DATA)
     1,000
-I—I—I—I—I—]—

      10,000
                                          -i	F	r
                                                  100,000
                                                           I.OOO.OC
                                    FLOW- cfs

-------
                             REGRESSION  ANALYSIS

                       TOTAL  NITROGEN LOAD VS FLOW

                     SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER  a* CONOWINGO

                             (1969 and  1971 DATA)
10000000-1
1000.000 -
 X
 a
 100.000-
 10.000-
             1969 DATA


            Correlation  Cotf = 0.93

            "»" = 11.80 '*

            D. F. = 24
 1971  DATA

Correlation  Cotf

"»" = 6.72

D. F. = 21
     1.000
              ~n—
              \ojaoo
                                                           (1969 DATA)
                                                            -i—i—» i  i
                                                100.000
                                                                      ijooaooo
                                   FLOW- cfs

-------
MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
I TRANSECTS I
6 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 20 DATE
i 1 1 1 i i ill i __l 	 1 	 1 	 1 	 1 	 L_

OEC, 1967

JAN 1-31 (I8,000cf>)

JAN 1-31 (IftOOOcfi

FEB 2- 6 IIOQOOOch)

ceo 7
FEB 2-6 (lOaOOOcl.) t(^Q


JAN 1-31 (laOOOcf.)

FEB 2-6 IIOQOOOcd)

FEB 2-6 (IOO.OOOcf.1 FEB 7-11 ISQOOOcf.)

rsaoJol', rEB,2-29(,aooocf,,

-II FEB 12-29 MAR 1-18 (IBflOOcM
cfs) (I8,000cfil

MAR 19-31 (lOOOOOcftl

MARI9-3I (I00,000cf»

APRIL 1-12 (50,000c(s)

APRIL 13-MAY 13 (2QOOOcd)

MAY 14 - 28 (60,000e<>)



JUNE 7 -JULY

APRILI-12 (SaOOOcfi)

APRIL 13 -MAY 13 (2QOOOc(i)

MAYI4-28BQOOOc(5)

MAY 29 -JUNE 6 (100.000 cfO

JUNE 7 -JULY 6 (40.000 cfi)

6 (40DOOcftl JULY 7-31 02POOef»)


1/31/68

2/6/68

2/11/68

2/29/68

3/18/68

3/31/68

4/12/68

5/13/68

5/28/68

6/6/68

7/6/68

7/31/68

                                                                  m
                                                                  r~

                                                                  §

                                                                  m
                                                              C  H

                                                              •8  °
                                                              m  (/>
                                                                   O
                                                           -  O
                                                           (O
                                                               m
                                                               CD

-------
                   MILES   BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER
    TRANSECTS                                                                      _.__

36   34  32   30   28   26   24  22   20   IB   16   14   12   10   8    6   4    20   LtfML
  SEPT 1-30 IKOOOcW
     ii		1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	L
         JUNE 7 - JULY 6 (4Q000cfi)
                                         JULY 7-3l02000c(i)      AUG 1 - 31 (6000cfi)
  JUNE 7- JULYS WQDOOcfJ
                         JULY 7-31  AUGI-31
                                                     SEPT 1-30 04000eW
JUNE 7- JULY 6


 (40.000 cfi)
   JULY7-3I AUGI-31


   ll2jQOOif.l|l5000cM
                                 SEPT l-30(l4,OOOcM
                                                            OCT 1-31 (7XX30cf.l
   JULY  7-31

   (I2.000c(»)
AUGI-31

BOOOcfi)
SEPT 1-31  I OCTI-31


(I4.000efi)  I TOOOcM |
                                                   NOV 1-18 (20.000cf»)
                                                    NOV 19-22 (lOOjOOOch)
    NOV 19 -22

    1100,000 cf»)
                                  NOV 23 -DEC 15   (45.000 eU)
    NOV 23- DEC 15

       (45.000 cfi)
                                       DEC 16- JAN 31  (20,000 cdl
        DECI6-JAN3I  (20jOOOcfs)
                                                   FEB 1-12 (40,000cf»l
  OECI6-JAN3I


  ( 20.000 eh)
             FEB 1-12 (40.000cfs)
                                           FEB 13-MARCH 23    (15,000 cdl
    FEB 1-12

    (40,000 cfi)
                FEB 13 -MARCH 23


                   (15.000 cfi)
                                    MARCH 24-31 (TCtOOOcfs)
  FEB 13 - MARCH 23(l5jOOOefi)   MARCH  24-31 (70,000cf»)
                                                           APRIL 1 - 6 (4QOOOcU )
             MARCH 24 -31 (TQOOOcfi)
                                 APRIL 1-6
                                                   APRIL  7-10  (95.000cf»)
                                                                                    8/31/68
                                                                                    9/30/68
                                                                                     10/31/68
                                                                                   11/18/68
                                                                                     M/22/6B
                                                                                   13/15/68
                                                                                     2/12/69
                                                                                   3/23/69
                                                                        3/31/69
                                                                                     4/6/69
                                                                                     4/10/69
                                                                                                                m
                                                                                                                m
      O
      c/>

c    d
5    O
                                                                                         i   2   ^

                                                                                         OD   m   ^
                                                                                          i    <£   m
                                                                                         —   ^   xD
                                                                                         53   13   >

                                                                                         =   5   fi
                                                                                                          CD
                                                                                                              m

-------
                   MILES   BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER
36  34  32  30   28  26  24   22  20   18   16   14   12   10   8   6    4   2    0  DATE
     i     i    i     i    i    i     i    i    i     i    i     i    i    I    i    i    i
     APRIL 7-10
     (95,000 cf»)
                             APRIL 11-30 (SO.OOOcfi)
      APRIL II -30
       (50,000 cd)
                              MAY  1 - 31 (33.000cdl
        MAY 1-31 !33,OOOcW
                                                JUNE 1 -30 (IftOOOcfi)
    MAY 1-31 (33,000cfs)        JUNE I-30 (l9DOOcfi)
                                                          JULY  1-22 OOOOOcfi)
     JUNE 1-30 (IQOOOcfi)
         JULY 1-22
         (10,000 cfi)
                                              JULY 23 - AUG 10  (28.000 .(• )
    JUNE  1-30    JULY 1-22
     1 19,000 ch)    (lOQOOcfs)
               JULY 23-AUG 10 (28,000 c
                                                         AUG 11-31 (I3.000cfi)
        JULY 1-22
        (IO.OOOA)
JULY 23-AUG 10 I28,000cf>)
                            AUG II -31 (I3,000c(»)
                                                SEPT  1-31 (6,000cf»)
        JULY 23 - AUG 10 (28,000cfi)
                                                         OCTLNOV8   (6.000c,,.
        AUG 11-31
        (13,000 cW
SEPTI-3l|OClN08
(6000ti
                                    NOV9-3I OaOOOeW
  AUG 11-31
  (3,000 ch)
SEPI-3IOCI
I6j000c« ;6,
              NOV 9-31 UO.OOOcfi)
                                           DEC 1 - 10 I IB.OOOcfj)
    NOV 9 -31 (30flOOcf.)
                                                DEC ll-22(50XX)OcM
     OECII-22(50,OOOcfi)
                                           DEC23-FEB2(20^00cf»)
                                                                       4/31/69
                                                                        5/31/69
                                                                                   6/31/69
                                                                        7/22/69
                                                                        8/10/69
                                                                         /  /
                                                                        8/31/69
                                                                        9/3,/69
                                                                                   11/8/69
                                                                  11/31/69
                                                                  12/10/69
                                                                                   12/22/69
                                                                                   2/2/70
                                                                                             m
                                                                                             •o
                                                                                             O
                                                                                       c    d
                                                                                       "0    Z
                                                                                       m    (/>
                                                                                       O
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                                                                                       sS

-------
               MILES   BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
36  34  32  30  28  26  24 22  20  18  16   14  12   10  8   6   4   2   0  DATE
1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1

DEC23-FEB2
(20.000 cfi)

FEB 3-14 (lOOjOOOcfi)

FEB 15-28
(40.000 cfil

FEB 3 -14 (lOOjOOOcf.)

FEB l5-28(40,000cfi)

MAR 1 -27 (40.000cf>)

MAR28-APRILI9 (ISO.OOOcft)

MARCH 28 - APRIL 19
(150.000 cfil

APRIL 20-31 (BSOOOcli)

MAY 1-15(40000

MAY 16-31 (40.00C

JUNE 1-30(20000

JUNE l-30(2QOOOch) JUL

JUNE 1-30 I-3II20C
(20,OOOcM JULY ' 3l(2a°

JULY 1 -31 (20.000cfi

APR 20-31 (88,000cfi)

MAY l-l5(40000cfi)

cM MAY l6-3l(40jOOOcf»)

cfj JUNE 1 -30 (20.000cfs)

cfi) JUUT 1 -31 (20,000 cfi)

Y -31 <20.000cf>) AUG 1-31 UOjOOOcM

00 cb) AUG 1 -31 liaOOOchl SEPT 1 -30 (ftOOOchl

) *!oflOOc«' SEPT ' -3° (&.000ef »l OCT 1-15 (8,000 cfil



2/14/70

2/28/70

3/27/70

4/19/70

4/31/70

5/15/70

5/31/70

6/30/70

7/31/70

8/31/70

9/30/70

10/15/70

                                                                                       m
                                                                                  c   H

                                                                                  ₯   O
                                                                                  T>   Z
                                                                               5  ?
                                                                               s  s   $
                                                                               i  to   m


                                                                               9  *   >
                                                                               "*«  m   £*
                                                                                  m   co
                                                                                       to

-------
MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
6 34 32 30 28 26
24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
i i i i I I I 1 1 J 	 L
(XT l-l5(6jOOOcf>)
AUG 1-31 SEP 1-30 j
(10,000 M BjDOOril

OCTI6- NOV 13 I30.000cfi)

NOV l4-22(IOO,OOOcf>)

NOV 23 - DEC 13 (40,000cfi)

DEC 14 -31 (ASOOOcf

DEC 14-31
,45.000 cf,, JAN1-'7

JAN 1-17 JAN 18 -
(35)000 eft ) (18,001

OCT 16 -NOV 13 I30,000cli)

NOV '14 - 22 (lOO.OOOcfi)

NOV 23 -DEC 13 (AO.OOOcd)

1 DEC 14-31 (45£00cfi>

>) JAN 1-17 (35jOOOcl>)

(35000c(>) JANI8-FEBI3 (I8,000cfsl

rEB l3 FEB !4-2l(80X)OOeft)
)cfs)

FEB2I-MAR6 (I60,000cf.)

FEB2I - MAR 6 (160000


f,) MAR 7-16 <70,000cf.)

MAR 17- 23(135 ,000cf»)
-
MAR 17-23 (I35OOOC


f,| MAR 23 -APR 4 (50,000c(»)

APR 5-20 leOOOOcfil

DATE

11/13/70

11/22/70

12/13/70

12/31/70

1/17/71

2/13/71

2/21/71

3/6/71

3/16/71

3/23/71

4/4/71

4/20/71

                                                                 33
                                                                 m
                                                                  m
                                                              c   d
                                                              ~o   o
                                                              "O   Z
                                                              m   en
                                                              3J

                                                                  O

                                                              O   ^

                                                              m
                                                                  5
                                                                  c



                                                                  CO

-------
MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
16 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 42 0
, i i i i i 	 1 	 1 	 1 	 1

APR 5-20(80,OOOcf.)

APR 20 -MAY 8 (40,000cfs)

APR 20 -MAY 8 MA₯g_|9
(40jOOOcf»)

MAY 9 -19 (60.000 c(») "35000

MAY 9-19 MAY 20-31
BQOOOcf.) (35.000efjJ

MAY 20-31 JUNE 1-2
(35/DOOcf.) (ISiQOOef.)

MAY 20-31 JUNE 1 -30 JULY 1
135000*1 Il5,000cfs) (7500

JUNE 1-30 JUiyi-3l| AUGI
( 15,000 ef») <7500cw| (25.OCK

JUNEH30 JULY 1-31 AUG 1-10 AUG
(I5000A) fTSOOcfs) (25000cft) (BO

AUG M-SPI4J SEPT 15-30 OCT 1-2
(SjDOOcM 1 IIAjOOOcW (9XX»c(

SEPTI5-30 OCT 1-261
(I4j000ch) (9jOOOch) |

APR 21 - MAY 8 (40.000c(.)

MAY 9-19 (60,000cf>)

OOcfi) MAY 20-31 (35jOOOcf»)

~31 JUNE 1-30 (ISjOOOef.)

JUNE l-30«5000ef») JULY 1-31 (7.500eftl

0 JULY 1-31 AUGI-IO(25jOOOef»)
CZ500cfid

•31 AUG 1 - 10
AUG||_SEpT|4 (^QQjf,)
:f»l I25000cfi)

-10 AUG II -SEPT 14 SEPTI5-30(>4,OOOA)
MI) laooocdi

II-SPM SEPT ,5 -30 OCT 1-26 MOOO.W
OOcb) (I4,000cl.)

* OCT27-NOV29(l7X)OOcfi)
>)

MOV 29 (I7,000cf.) NOV 30- DEC 7 1 35COO cfs)

NOV30-DEC7
(35,000 ef>)
DEC 8-l6(l05,OOOcf>)

DATE

5/8/71

5/19/71

5/31/71

6/30/71

7/31/71

8/10/71

9/14/71

9/30/71

10/26/71

11/29/71

12/7/71

12/16/71

                                                                m
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                                                         IS
                                                         OD  m   ^
                                                          i   {£   m

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                                                         =  5   R
                                                             ^
                                                             m   w
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                                                                 m
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-------
                                                          PHOSPHORUS  RELATIONSHIPS
                                                     SUSQUEHANNA RIVER -  CHESAPEAKE BAY
  Date
04/22/68
05/22/68
06/24/68
07/09/68
09/04/68
10/23/68
12/04/68

03/06/69
05/22/69
06/18/69
07/09/69
09/03/69
12/17/69

02/18/70
03/30/70
05/20/70
06/11/70
07/07/70
08/10/70
10/06/70
11/11/70

04/19/71
05/17/71
06/16/71
07/13/71
08/17/71
10/13/71
                  CHESAPEAKE BAY BETWEEN TRANSECTS A & F
                              (45 x 10* ft3)
                                                     SUSQUEHANNA RIVER  AT  CONOWINGO
TP
(mg/1)
.09
. 09
. 11
. 11
. 10
. 13
.09
.12
.09
. 14
. 17
. 20
.13
.16
. 15
. 11
. 14
. 17
. 20
. 23
.17
.10
.14
. 14
.21
. 20
. 21
TP
(103 Ibs)
252.7
252.7
308.9
308.9
280.9
365.0
252.7
337.0
252.7
393.1
477.4
561.6
365.0
449.3
421.2
308.9
393.1
477.4
561.6
645.8
477.4
280.9
393.1
393.1
589.7
561.6
589.7
 Approximate Averages:  400

 Approx  Av  (Feb-June):  340
 Approx  Av  (July-Dec):  460

 Approximate Ranges:   250-600
  Pi
(mg/1)
   Pi
(103  Ibs)
.06
.08
.12
.13
.05
.03
.08
.08
.14
.18
.15
.05
.04
.04
.07
.06
.09
168.5
224.6
337.0
365.0
140.4
84.2
224.6
224.6
393.1
505.4
421.2
140.4
112.3
112.3
196.6
168.5
252.7
           240

           170
           290

        100-500

Flow at
Conowingo*
(cfs)
100,000
50,000
100,000
70 ,000
40,000
40,000
20 ,000
20,000
50 ,000
40 ,000
33,000
19,000
6,000
100,000
40 ,000
88,000
40,000
40,000
20,000
20,000
10,000
80 ,000
60,000
50,000
60,000
35,000
15,000
45,000
60 ,000
30 ,000
Days
Required to
Fill Volume
(45 x 109 ft3)
5.2
10.4
5.2
7.6
13.0
13.0
26.0
26.0
10.4
13.0
15.8
27.4
86.8
5.2
13.0
5.9
13.0
13.0
26.0
26.0
52.1
6.5
8.7
10.4
8.7
14.9
34.7



Daily TP
Load at
Conowingo
(Ibs/day)
117,000
50 ,000
1 1 7 ,000
76 ,000
39 ,000
39 ,000
1 7 ,000
1 7 ,000
50 ,000
39 ,000
31 ,000
16,000
4,000
1 1 7 ,000
39 ,000
100,000
39 ,000
39 ,000
17,000
1 7 ,000
7,500
90,000
63,000
50,000
63,000
33,000
12,000



Expected
TP Load in
Volume
(103 Ibs)
608.4
520.0
608.4
577.6
507.0
507.0
442.0
442.0
520.0
507.0
489.8
438.4
347.2
608.4
507.0
590.0
507.0
507.0
442.0
442.0
390.8
585.0
548.1
520.0
548.1
491.7
416.4
500
540
470
Daily Pi
Load at
Conowingo
(Ibs/day)










17,000
8,100
1,700
75,000
22,000
63,000
22 ,000
22 ,000
8,700
8,700
3,400
56 ,000
38,000
30 ,000
38,000
18,000
5,900



Expected
Pi Load
in Volume
(103 Ibs)










268.6
221.9
147.6
390.0
286.0
371.7
286.0
286.0
226.2
226.2
177.1
364.0
330.6
312.0
330.6
268.2
204.7
280
330
240
                     6,000-100,000
                                                              350-600
150-400
 *A1lowing for appropriate  lag  time  between  Conowingo  & Bay Transects

-------
                                                            NITROGEN RELATIONSHIPS
          CHESAPEAKE BAY BETWEEN TRANSECTS A & F
                       (45 x 109 ft3)
                 SUSQUEHANNA RIVER  - CHESAPEAKE  BAY

                                                 SUSQUEHANNA RIVER AT CONOWINGO
Date

04/22/68
05/22/68
06/24/68
07/09/68
08/12/68
09/04/68
12/04/68
03/06/69
05/22/69
06/18/69
07/09/69
09/03/69
12/17/69
02/18/70
03/30/70
05/20/70
06/11/70
07/07/70
08/10/70
10/06/70
11/11/70
04/19/71
05/17/71
06/16/71
07/13/71
08/17/71
10/13/71
TN
(mg/1)
1.22
.83
.83
.69
.60
.61
.70
.53
.85
.51
.53
.59
.72
1.17
1.21
.98
.60
.63
.65
.72
.82
.77
.94
.70
.50
.62
.62
Approximate Averages
Approx Av
Approx Av
(Jun-Oct):
(Nov-May):
TN
(103 Ibs)
3,425.8
2,330.6
2,330.6
1,937.5
1,684.8
1,712.9
1,965.6
1,488.2
2,386.8
1,432.1
1,488.2
1,656.7
2,021.8
3,285.4
3,397.7
2,751.8
1,684.8
1,769.0
1,825.2
2,021.8
2,302.6
2,162.2
2,639.5
1,965.6
1,404.0
1,741.0
1,741.0
:2,000
1,700
2,500
TIN
(mg/1 )









.23
.29
.18
.59
.94
.99
.62
.34
.15
.06
.37
.75
.70
.53
.12
.23
.06
.25



TIN
(103 Ibs)









645.8
814.3
505.4
1,656.7
1,656.7
2,780.0
1,741.0
954.7
421.2
168.5
1,039.0
2,106.0
1,965.6
1,488.2
337.0
645.8
168.5
702.0
1,000
600
1,900

Flow at
Conowi ngo*
(cfs)
100,000
50,000
100,000
70,000
40,000
40,000
20,000
20,000
50,000
40,000
33,000
19,000
6,000
100,000
40,000
88 ,000
40,000
40,000
20,000
20,000
10,000
80 ,000
60,000
50,000
60,000
35,000
15,000
45,000
40 ,000
50 ,000
Days
Required to
Fill Volume
(45 x 109 ft3)
5.2
10.4
5.2
7.6
13.0
13.0
26.0
26.0
10.4
13.0
15.8
27.4
86.8
5.2
13.0
5.9
13.0
13.0
26.0
26.0
52.1
6.5
8.7
10.4
8.7
14.9
34.7



Daily TN
Load at
Conowi ngo
(Ibs/day)
790 ,000
400 ,000
790 ,000
560,000
320,000
320,000
160,000
160,000
400,000
320,000
265,000
155,000
50,000
790,000
320,000
690 ,000
320,000
320,000
160,000
160,000
81 ,000
630,000
480 ,000
400,000
480 ,000
280 ,000
1 20 ,000



Expected
TN Load in
Volume
(103 Ibs)
4,108.0
4,160.0
4,108.0
4,256.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,187.0
4,247.0
4,340.0
4,108.0
4,160.0
4,071.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,160.0
4,220.0
4,095.0
4,176.0
4,160.0
4,176.0
4,172.0
4,164.0
4,000
4,000
4,000
Daily TIN
Load at
Conowi ngo
(Ibs/day)









235,000
195,000
110,000
34,000
600,000
235,000
520 ,000
235,000
235,000
116,000
116,000
57,000
480 ,000
360 ,000
295 ,000
360 ,000
205 ,000
87 ,000



Expected
TIN Load
in Volume
(103 Ibs)









3,055.0
3,081.0
3,014.0
2,951.0
3,120.0
3,055.0
3,068.0
3,055.0
3,055.0
3,016.0
3,016.0
2,970.0
3,120.0
3,132.0
3,068.0
3,132.0
3,054.0
3,019.0
3,000
3,000
3,000
Approximate Ranges: 1,400-3,400
200-2,700
6,000-100,000
*Allowing for appropriate lag time between Conowingo & Bay Transects

-------
        TOTAL  NITROGEN & PHOSPHORUS  LOADINGS
  CHESAPEAKE BAY BETWEEN TRANSECTS  A  and  F (45 x I0*fl»)
           28 - 37  MILES BELOW SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
                    ESTIMATED N LOAD FROM SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
             	ESTIMATED P LOAD FROM SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
                    OBSERVED  LOADS
n
 O
4000-

3600-

3200-

2800-

2400'

2000'

1600'

1200-

800-

400-

  0
        1968
                      1969
                             1870
                                           1971

-------
                            SPATIAL  PHOSPHORUS  DISTRIBUTIONS
                                       BALTIMORE  HARBOR
                                    MAIN CHANNEL STATIONS
                                           (MES DATA)
     .6 -i
     .5 -
     .4 -
     .3 -
O
O-
      .2 -
                      JULY-AUG. 1971

                      JULY-AUG. 1970
                       T
                        2
T
 3
~r
 4
T
 5
~T
 6
T
 7
10
                                     MILES FROM CHESAPEAKE BAY

-------
                           SPATIAL NITROGEN  DISTRIBUTION

                                    BALTIMORE   HARBOR

                                   MAIN  CHANNEL  STATIONS

                                          (MES DATA)


                          LEGEND
  2.5 -i
  2.0 -
TOTAL  NITROGEN  (JULY - AUG.. 1971)

TOTAL  NITROGEN  (JULY-AUG., 1970)

INORGANIC  NITROGEN  (JULY - AUG..1971)

INORGANIC  NITROGEN  (JULY-AUG.. 1970)
  1.5 -
S,
o>
  1.0 -
   .5 -
                                           J_
                                                      _L
                                                                                T
                                                                                 9
              T
               3
  —I—
   456


MILES FROM CHESAPEAKE BAY
T
 7
~r
 8
10

-------
                            SPATIAL  CHLOROPHYLL  DISTRIBUTION
                                      BALTIMORE  HARBOR
                                   MAIN  CHANNEL STATIONS
                                          (MES DATA)
                 JULY-AUG. 1971

                 JULY-AUG. 1970
    100 -i
    80 -
    60 -
o
tr
O
o
    40 -
    20 -
                               3
5
6
7
                                    MILES FROM CHESAPEAKE BAY
8
!0

-------
 COMPARISON OF  TOTAL PHOSPHORUS CONCENTRATIONS
                            IN
              TRANSECTS WITHIN CHESAPEAKE BAY
                           AND
       TRANSECT  ACROSS MOUTH OF BALTIMORE  HARBOR
                 AVERAGE TPO4 IN BAY
           	AVERAGE TP04 AT MOUTH OF BALTIMORE HARBOR
en
E
.28


.24


.20 -


.16 -


.12 -


.08


.04
       .1 1.1 .1 IJ>I
          1968
                  1969
                               1970
                                      1971

-------
COMPARISON OF INORGANIC  NITROGEN  CONCENTRATIONS
                            IN
             TRANSECTS WITHIN  CHESAPEAKE BAY
                           AND
       TRANSECT  ACROSS MOUTH OF BALTIMORE  HARBOR
                 AVERAGE INORG. N IN BAY
  1.20 -


  1.10 -


  1.00 -


  .90 -


  .80 -


  .70 -


  .60 -


  .50 -


  .40 -


  .30 -


  .20 -


  .10 -


   0
           	AVERAGE INORG. N AT MOUTH OF BALTIMORE HARBOR
                                              -
J 1.1.1 IJ
                                                T^Z < Z T
      1 1 .1 .1 U
.1 .1
M j.i
                      i o o.
                     1969
.1 .1 .1 .1 IJVI .1^-1 .1 .1 .
                 1970
                                       Ou
                         1971

-------
                               TIDAL  DATA
                                   FOR
                         HYDRAULIC VERIFICATION
                          Upper Chesapeake Bay
                      Actual   Predicted  Actual Phasing  Predicted Phasing
Station     Junction  Range   Range      (H.W.)  (L.W.)  (H.W.)     (L.W.)
                       	(ft.)	(minutes)	
Susq. River at    7    1.7      2.0       +330    +372   +354       +408
Havre de Grace
Pooles Island
Baltimore
Fort McHenry
Sandy Point
Charleston
Northeast River
Tol Chester Beach
Love Point,
Chester River
Susq. River at
34
53
70
10
47
62
5
1.
1.
0.
1.
1.
1.
2.
2
1
8
9
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
.3
.2
.9
.1
.2
.1
.2
+179
+128
+43
+346
+144
+105
+ 368
+185
+146
+51
+374
+158
+106
+ 434
+186
+126
+54
+ 354
+ 168
+ 114
+ 366
+192
+114
+42
+ 396
+ 168
+ 102
+ 432
Port Deposit

-------
  14 -
  12 -
  10 -
£-  8 -
<
i/)
   6 -
   4 -
   2 -
   0
        LONGITUDINAL   SALINITY   PROFILES
                UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
      LEGEND
	10/6/70  (OBSERVED)
	  8/10/70  (OBSERVED)
—  10/6/70  (PREDICTED)
     0
12       16      20      24      28
   MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER
                                                    32
                                                                            36       40

-------
  14 —i
     LONGITUDINAL    SALINITY   PROFILES

            UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
   12-
   10-
  LEGEND



5/17/71 (OBSERVED)

4/19/71  (OBSERVED)

5/17/71  (PREDICTED)
   Q 	
>-
K

Z
   6-
   4 -
   2-
                            12       16      20      24      28

                               MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER
                                                32
                                                                                  40

-------
                             LONGITUDINAL PHOSPHORUS  PROFILES
                                    UPPER CHESAPEAKE  BAY
                                       (SUSQ. FLOW =  10,000 cfs)
                    8/10/70 (OBSERVED)

                    10/6/70 (OBSERVED)

                    10/6/70 (PREDICTED)

                    DECAY RATE=0.008/day
a>
e
o
a
     .3-
     .2-
               4
                       8
I
12
                                        16
20
24
28
32
                                  MILES BELOW SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
 I
36
 I
40

-------
                              LONGITUDINAL PHOSPHORUS PROFILES
                                     UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
                                        (SUSQ. FLOW = 50,000 cfs)
    0.6-1
    0.5-
4/19/71 (OBSERVED)

5/17/71 (OBSERVED)

5/17/71 (PREDICTED)

DECAY RATE = 0.01 5/day
    0.4 -
 a>
 e
o
a.
    0.3 -
    0.2-
    0.1 -
    oo
                         I
                        8
            I
            12
I
16
 I
20
                                                          24
                                              28
                                  32
 I
36
                                                                                             40
                                   MILES BELOW SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER

-------
0.0
               LONGITUDINAL   INORGANIC  NITROGEN PROFILES
                             UPPER  CHESAPEAKE  BAY
                            (SUSQUEHANNA  FLOW = 23,000 cfs)

                                                  LEGEND

                                         	   5/20/70  (OBSERVED)
                                                 7/7/70   (OBSERVED)
                                         	•	   7/7/70   (PREDICTED)
                                            DECAY  RATE = 0.055/day
   0
12       16      20       24      28
  MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
                                                                32
                                                      40

-------
                  LONGITUDINAL   INORGANIC  NITROGEN PROFILES
                                UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY
                               (SUSQUEHANNA FLOW = 50,000 cfs)
  1.2 -i
                      LEGEND
                     4/19/71 (OBSERVED)
  1.0 -
X

,§ 0.8 -
5
o
  0.6 -
o
z
g 0.4-1
O
  0.2 -
                     4/17/71 (OBSERVED)

               -.	   5/17/71 (PREDICTED)
                DECAY  RATE  = O.OIO/day
                                                                                      ~t
                                                                                      4O
  0.0
                                  T
T
T
                      8
                                ~r
12       16       20       24      28
  MILES  BELOW  SUSQUEHANNA  RIVER
                                                                      32
                                    36

-------
      EFFECT OF  CHLOROPHYLL
                 ON
DECAY RATE  OF  INORGANIC  NITROGEN
        UPPER  CHESAPEAKE BAY
(BASED ON MATHEMATICAL   MODEL  SIMULATIONS)
          CHLOROPHYLL  o_   (/ug/D

-------
                        LONGITUDINAL  CHLOROPHYLL PROFILES

                                 UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY

                                  (SUSQ. FLOW = 23,000 cfs)
                     LEGEND


                    5/20/70 (OBSERVED)


                    7/7/70 (OBSERVED)


                    7/7/70 (PREDICTED)
80 —i
60-
40-
20-
                           ~T
                            12
                                T
~T
 16
             20       24       28


MILES BELOW SUSQUEHANNA RIVER
                                     ~T
                                      32
36
        40

-------