JANUARY  1977            AMC7010.T0108E-CR


          OFF-HIGHWAY MOBILE  SOURCE

               EMISSION INVENTORY

             100%  COMPLETION REPORT
                 Prepared for

       Environmental Protection Agency

      Office of Air and Water Management

   Office of Air Quality Planning Standards

Research Triangle Park, North Carolina  27711



                      by

                 F.E. Littman

                   K.M. Isam
              Rockwell International

              Atomics International Division
              Air Monitoring Center
              11640 Administration Dr.
              Creve Coeur, MO  63141

-------
                                                               AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                           TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                      PAGE

     ABSTRACT                                                           1

1.0  INTRODUCTION                                                       2

2.0  OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES                                            3
     2.1   ESTIMATION OF OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES IN USE                  3
     2.2   ASSUMPTIONS PERTAINING TO TYPICAL ENGINE SIZE,  TYPE,
          AND ANNUAL MILEAGE                                            4
     2.3   OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLE EMISSION FACTORS                       6
     2.4   EMISSIONS PER COUNTY DUE TO OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES           6
     2.5   GRID ELEMENT EMISSIONS                                        8

3.0  LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS                               10

4.0  CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS                                  15

5.0  INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT                                              20

6.0  FARM EQUIPMENT                                                    26

7.0  OUTBOARD MOTORBOATS                                               30

8.0  TEMPORAL APPORTIONMENT                                            36

9.0  SUMMARY                                                           37

     REFERENCES                                                        39
                                    -i-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                  TABLES
                                                                       PAGE
TABLE 1    MOTORCYCLE REGISTRATIONS, TOTAL MOTORCYCLES AND OFF-HIGHWAY
          MOTORCYCLES PER COUNTY                                         4

TABLE 2   ANNUAL MILEAGE AND POPULATION DISTRIBUTION FOR MOTORCYCLES
          AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL                                          5

TABLE 3   OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLE EMISSION FACTORS                        7

TABLE 4   OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLE EMISSIONS PER COUNTY                    7

TABLE 5   COUNTY POPULATIONS                                             9

TABLE 6   SAMPLE CALCULATION DATA, OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES               9

TABLE 7   EMISSION FACTORS FOR LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT                12

TABLE 8   EMISSIONS AND ONE-UNIT HOUSING STRUCTURES PER COUNTY          13

TABLE 9   DATA FOR SAMPLE LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS
          CALCULATION                                                   14

TABLE 10  ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY POPULATIONS, USAGE,
          RATED HORSEPOWER, AND SERVICE LIFE                            16

TABLE 11  ESTIMATED NATIONAL CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS           16

TABLE 12  CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS PER COUNTY                   18

TABLE 13  CONSTRUCTION ACREAGE PER COUNTY                               18

TABLE 14  DATA FOR SAMPLE CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS
          CALCULATION                                                   19

TABLE 15  NATIONAL POPULATION, RATED POWER, AND ANNUAL USAGE OF
          HEAVY-DUTY AND LIGHT-DUTY INDUSTRIAL ENGINES                  20

TABLE 16  RECOMMENDED EMISSION FACTORS FOR INDUSTRIAL ENGINES           21

TABLE 17  NATIONAL TOTALS OF EMISSIONS FROM INDUSTRIAL ENGINES          21

TABLE 18  INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT COUNTY APPORTIONMENT DATA                23
                                     -ii-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                                                       PAGE


TABLE 19  INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS PER COUNTY                     24

TABLE 20  INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT SAMPLE CALCULATION DATA                  25

TABLE 21  FARM EQUIPMENT ANNUAL USAGE ESTIMATES                         26

TABLE 22  RECOMMENDED EMISSION FACTORS FOR FARM EQUIPMENT               28

TABLE 23  FARM EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS PER COUNTY                           28

TABLE 24  FARM ACREAGE PER COUNTY                                       29

TABLE 25  DATA FOR SAMPLE CALCULATION OF FARM EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS
          FROM A GRID ELEMENT                                           29

TABLE 26  OUTBOARD EMISSION FACTORS (KG/UNIT HR.)                       33

TABLE 27  OUTBOARD REGISTRATIONS PER COUNTY                             33

TABLE 28  STATE OUTBOARD EMISSIONS IN THE AQCR                          34

TABLE 29  OUTBOARD EMISSIONS AND NAVIGABLE SURFACE WATER PER COUNTY     34

TABLE 30  DATA FOR SAMPLE CALCULATION OF GRID EMISSIONS                 35
                                     -iii-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                 FIGURES





                                                                       PAGE






FIGURE 1    SAMPLE/FORTRAN PROGRAM                                       38
                                     -IV-

-------
                                                               AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                ABSTRACT

     Six categories of mobile off-highway sources of pollution  have  been
analyzed, and emissions of HC, CO,  NOX>  SOX and Particulates  have  been  cal-
culated with the aid of a computer  for all  the 1,989 grid  squares  comprising
the St. Louis AQCR.  Equipment categories included were motorcycles,  lawn  and
garden equipment, industrial  equipment,  construction equipment,  farm equipment
and outboard motorboats.   Emissions contributed by each category were treated
separately.
                                    -1-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                           1.0  INTRODUCTION

     The purpose of the off-highway mobile source emission  inventory was to
calculate emissions for the Metropolitan St. Louis Air Quality Control  Region
(AQCR 070) of a variety of unregulated sources with a spatial  resolution corre-
sponding to grid elements1.  An EPA methodology for determining the criteria
pollutant emissions of such sources was used as a guide2.   Six equipment
categories were dealt with:  motorcycles, lawn and garden equipment, construc-
tion equipment, industrial equipment, farm equipment, and outboard motorboats.
Problems were encountered, some significant, in the application of the method-
ology.  Departures from it were made where necessary for optimum utilization of
available data.  Simplifying assumptions pertaining to area distribution of
equipment populations and usage were used to make calculations possible which
generally inadequate data would have otherwise prohibited.
     The procedures involved in arriving at grid element emission values have
been described in detail, all deviations from the recommended methodology noted
and explained.  This was not, and could not be (considering the quality of
existing data on the different machine types) a rigorous computation of off-
highway emissions.  Instead, this inventory has been an attempt to determine the
order of magnitude of emissions at the grid level within the limitations imposed
by the nature of the subject.
                                      -2-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                      2.0  OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES

2.1  ESTIMATION OF OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES IN USE
     Among the contributors to off-highway emissions are those motorcycles
specially designed for off-road use.  This means the so-called "trail bikes",
"dirt bikes", and "mini-bikes", whose popularity has burgeoned in the last few
years.  The primary problem with assessing the emissions impact of these vehicles
was that of accurately determining the number in use in a given area.  There is
no registration requirement for off-highway motorcycles in either Illinois or
Missouri.  Thus, it was assumed for this emission inventory that the number used
off the highway was equal to the number of unregistered motorcycles.
     The estimate for unregistered motorcycles cited in Reference 2 is 15% of
the total motorcycle population of the St. Louis AQCR.   An approximation of
total motorcycles per county was obtained by augmenting the number of county
registrations utilizing this percentage.  Thus,
(1)  Total County Motorcycles = County Registrations =  County Registrations
                                       I -.I a                    .ob
Off-highway motorcycles in a county were calculated by  taking 15% of total
county motorcycles, or

(2)  Off-Highway Motorcycles Per County = .15 x Total County Motorcycles
                                           lc;  County Registrations
                                          •n          .85
                                        = .18 x County  Registrations

The number of motorcycles registered per county was available from References
3 and 4 for Missouri and Illinois, respectively.  This  number together with the
calculated number of total and off-highway motorcycles  per county appears in.
Table 1.
     It is recognized that some registered motorcycles  were used both on and
off the highway.  However the 15% estimate is of limited accuracy, and for this
reason dual-use cases were eliminated from consideration in the inventory.
                                     -3-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                TABLE  1
                        MOTORCYCLE REGISTRATIONS,
        TOTAL MOTORCYCLES AND OFF-HIGHWAY  MOTORCYCLES PER  COUNTY
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
COUNTY I.D.
4300
4280
6900
4680
2280
4160
1680
1440
5180
6460
0520
7920
REGISTRATIONS
15,567
7,263
5,071
6,129
3,019
3,263
1,673
721
552
999
506
300
TOTAL MOTORCYCLES
(including
unregistered)
18,314
8,545
5,966
7,211
3,552
3,839
1,968
848
649
1,175
595
353
OFF-HIGHWAY
MOTORCYCLES
[unregistered)
2,747
1,282
895
1,082
533
576
295
127
97
176
89
53
2.2  ASSUMPTIONS PERTAINING TO TYPICAL ENGINE SIZE,  TYPE,  AND ANNUAL  MILEAGE
     To facilitate the computation of emissions,  a "typical"  off-highway motor-
cycle was defined.  The characterization required an average  value,  based on
representative sampling, for each of three parameters:
     1)  engine size (engine displacement in cubic centimeters)
     2)  engine type (2-stroke or 4-stroke and population  distribution between
         2-stroke and 4-stroke)
     3)  annual mileage
     No quantitative information on these parameters was available which was
strictly applicable to off-highway motorcycles -  only general statistics
describing the national motorcycle population as  a whole.   A combination of the
                                    -4-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
general statistics and qualitative information pertaining specifically to "trail
bikes" provided the basis for the assumed parameter values.   A departure from
the recommended methodology7 was required at this point as it provided only for
total motorcycle emissions, and no technique for isolating off-highway emissions
from the rest was discussed.
     Statistical information utilized in assigning values is contained in
Table 2*.   The data contained in it refer to the national motorcycle population.
It was felt the most straightforward method to assign a single parametric value
was to determine the size range in which off-highway motorcycles belong, and
then use the values for annual  mileage and distribution which correspond to the
particular range.  By taking this approach extensive manipulation of data of
somewhat limited applicability was avoided.

                                TABLE  22
               ANNUAL  MILEAGE AND  POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
                 FOR MOTORCYCLES AT THE  NATIONAL  LEVEL
ENGINE SIZE
90cc or less
90-191cc
191-290cc
over 290cc
ANNUAL MILEAGE
750
1400
2100
3000
RATIO OF 2-STROKE TO 4-STROKE
2-STROKE
11
19
8
13
4-STROKE
9
8
3
29
     Motorcycles were grouped according to engine displacement5'6 as follows:

     1)  under lOOcc - almost exclusively mini-bikes
     2)  lOOcc - strictly dirt-bikes and trail bikes
     3)  125cc - by far "the biggest class of all... considered somewhat small
         for safe street riding... strictly for dirt and competition riding."
     4)  175cc - "this class is primarily for the dual-purpose and dirt-riding
         enthusiast".  Second only to the 125cc category for off-highway use.
                                    -5-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
     5)  250cc- - the weight factor rules out "the big...  cycles  displacing
         over 250cc's,  as well  as the overweight 250s"  for  off-road  use.   An
         extremely small  number of motorcycles  displacing 250cc  and  above are
         used by an elite group of serious racing enthusiasts.

     As this analysis of different motorcycle sizes revealed,  the 90-190cc
range was the most appropriate range within which the "typical"  off-highway
motorcycle would fall.   From Table 2,'then, the corresponding  annual mileage
was assumed to be 1400; 2-stroke and 4-stroke motorcycles were assumed  to be
distributed in a 19 : 8 ratio respectively.

2.3  OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLE EMISSION FACTORS
     Recommended emission factors2 are shown in Table 3.  Separate emission
factors for 2-stroke and 4-stroke engines were available.  Since it  was assumed
that the two different types of engines occurred in a 19 :  8 ratio,  a composite
emission factor was computed by combining the two factors in a weighted average
(Table 3) as, for example:

(3)  SOX Off-Highway Emission Factor, kg/mile =

          (.040 x 10"3 kg/mile x 19) + (.023 x 10"3 kg/mile x  8)
                                  19 + 8

                                                     =  .035 x  10"3 kg/mile SOY
                                                                             A
2.4  EMISSIONS PER COUNTY DUE TO OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES
     To calculate county emissions a modified version of the equation used in
the recommended methodology2 was used to compute off-highway emissions  instead
of total motorcycle emissions.  Thus,

(4)  County Emissions, kg/yr = Off-Highway Motorcycles  in County
              x Emission Factor, kg/mile x 1400 miles/yr

where 1400 miles/year is the assumed average value for annual  mileage.   Off-
highway motorcycle emissions per county appear in Table 4.   For example the
emissions of SOX in Franklin County have been calculated as:

                                    -6-

-------
                                                               AMC7010.T0108E-CR
(5)  County Emissions,  kg/yr = 295 x (.035  x  10"3  kg/mile)  x  (1400 miles/yr)
                             = 14.5 kg/yr

where 295 is from Table 1  and .035 x 10"3 kg/mile  is  the  factor for  SOX  from
Table 3.
                               TABLE 3
                OFF-HIGHWAY  MOTORCYCLE EMISSION  FACTORS
ENGINE TYPE
2-Stroke
4-Stroke


Weighted Composite
(2-Stroke & 4-Stroke
combined in a 19:8
ratio)

KG/MILE OF EMISSIONS x 10"3
HC
24.0
4.0
18.0
CO
32.4
39.6
34.5
NOX
0.06
0.36
0.148
PART
0.33
0.04
0.244
sox
0.040
0.023
0.035
NOTE: These factors allow for evaporative hydrocarbon
emissions.
                                TABLE  4
              OFF-HIGHWAY  MOTORCYCLE EMISSIONS  PER  COUNTY
COUNTY
St. Louis County (4300)
St. Louis City (4280)
St. Clair (6900)
Madison (4680)
Jefferson (2280)
St. Charles (4160)
Franklin (1680)
Clinton (1440)
Monroe (5180)
Randolph (6460)
Bond (0520)
Washington (7920)
EMISSIONS, KG/YR x 103
HC
69.2
32.3
22.6
27.3
13.4
14.5
7.43
3.20
2.44
4.44
2.24
1.34
CO
133
61.9
43.2
52.3
25.7
27.8
14.2
6.13
4.69
8.50
4.30
2.56
NO,
.569
.266
.185
.224
.110
.119
.061
.026
.020
.037
.018
.011
PART
.938
.438
.306
.370
.182
.197
.101
.043
.033
.060
.030
.018
sox
.135
.063
.044
.053
.026
.028
.0145
.0062
.0057
.0086
.0044
.0026
                                    -7-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
 2.5  GRID ELEMENT EMISSIONS
     Knowing county emissions, grid element emissions were calculated according
 to the relation:

 (6)  Grid Element Emissions, kg/yr = County Emissions, kg/yr x Grid Population—

 This relation expresses the direct proportionality assumed between motorcycle
 emissions and population as recommended in Reference 2.
     Two more assumptions are implicit in this approach; first, that unregistered
 motorcycles are distributed uniformly over the counties, and second that their
 usage is also uniformly distributed over the counties, in proportion to county
 population.  While assumption (1) may be realistic, assumption (2) is not, but
 no better way is readily available.
     For an illustration of the calculation of grid element emission, SOV
                                                                        A
 emissions from grid #1 have been calculated from data in Table 6.

 (7)  Grid Element Emissions of SO.,, kg/yr = 14.5 x J/^cq
       (Grid #1 - off-highway motorcycles) = 0.254 kg/yr

     A computer tabulation is available7, which lists all 1989 grid elements
 in increasing numberical order, and across from each grid number is printed the
 identification number of the county in which the grid falls, the grid element
 population, housing units in the grid, and other useful statistics.  Grid number,
 county I.D. number, and grid populations were the items used from this printout
 for the motorcycle emission inventory.  Table 1 includes the SAROAD county
 identification numbers, for the purpose of computer identification.
     Due to the large number of grid elements and the five separate calculations
of emissions of the five primary pollutants required for each grid element or
 square,  it was found advantageous to write a computer program in FORTRAN that
would process the available data and yield grid element emissions  from off-
highway motorcycles.
                                    -8-

-------
                                         AMC7010.T0108E-CR
        TABLE 5
   COUNTY POPULATIONS
COUNTY I.D. NO.
4300
4280
6900
4680
2280
4160
1680
1440
5180
6460
0520
7920
COUNTY NAME
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
POPULATION
996,515
578,493
309,777
230,290
102,223
101,713
60,459
29,538
21,193
32,289
14,014
13,852
        TABLE 6
SAMPLE CALCULATION DATA
OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES
VARIABLE
Grid Element Number
Pollutant
County
County Emissions
(Off -Highway)
County Population
Grid Element Population
VALUE
1
sox
Franklin (1680)
14.5 kg/yr
60,459
1059
SOURCE OF VALUE
Specified
Specified
Reference 7
Table 4
Table 5
Reference 7
             -9-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CK
                3.0  LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS

     The lawn and garden category includes several  types of equipment,  in par-
ticular riding mowers, walking mowers,  garden tractors,  and motor tillers.
Snowthrowers have not been included in  the inventory for two reasons.   First,
they represent only a very small  percentage of lawn and  garden equipment, and
second, they are rarely used more than  two or three times per year in  the
St. Louis AQCR.
     As for the four types of equipment which were  considered, the walking mower
is by far the most common, comprising approximately 75%  of total  equipment units,
with riding mowers the next highest at  only 9%.8 Garden tractors and  motor till-
ers account for even less, approximately 5% of total units in each case.8  Two
types of engines occur as a rule, either 2-stroke or 4-stroke, and they make up
6% and 94% of small utility engines respectively.8   So-called "typical" horse-
power ratings for them are based on population estimates of walking mowers,
garden tractors, etc., coupled with a knowledge of  the engine types found most
frequently to occur in a particular application. Thus,  the 2-stroke is rated on
the average at 3.0 horsepower, and the  4-stroke at  3.5 horsepower.2
     To be sure, there are still  certain difficulties involved in trying to de-
termine the number of small utility engines in use  and precisely how and where
those engines are being used.  No registration data exists and there is no truly
adequate sales or production information available.  Furthermore, no reliable
distribution statistics as to type and  size of engines in use have been compiled.
In spite of these obstacles, estimates  have been made which provide sufficient
groundwork for an emissions inventory with grid element  resolution.  But it must
be added that with present limited information, emission figures at the grid
level are only approximations, meant solely to give an idea of the order of
magnitude of emissions per grid resulting from the  off-highway mobile  sources
under consideration.
     More encouraging are the emission  factors which have been derived for small
utility engines.  A variety of engines  of the type  used  in lawn and garden equip-
ment have been tested in the laboratory and their emissions measured accurately

                                     -10-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
under different loads.2  Some such engines have even been tested,  albeit on a
limited basis, while oeprating under normal work-loads in the field, exhausts
being collected in bags or constant-volume samplers during the grass-cutting
or other characteristic operation.  So, as might be expected, the  emission fac-
tors for such mobile sources are quite reliable as long as operating conditions
are taken into account.  As is natural, simulated operations and actual  field
operations can be at variance with one another, and the human factor will  always
yield different operating patterns.  Hence, while emission factors may be good,
it is in the application of them that caution must be exercised.  Recommended
emission factors for lawn and garden equipment are in Table 72.
     A few assumptions were made in deriving and applying the factors in Table
7 which bear mentioning here.  They pertain to the seasonal nature and variation
with climate of equipment usage.  In Reference 2, it was assumed that national
mean operating days per year amounted to 213, and the average usage time for the
nation as a whole was 50 hours per year.  The average number of freeze-free days
(or equivalently mean operating days) per year in the St. Louis area is  190 + 40;
so 190 was used as a county mean.9  (The 190 day figure is more recent than the
205 day figure used in the recommended methodology.2)  It was assumed that there
were 2.7 million 2-stroke engines and 50.2 million 4-stroke engines,2 and using
the emission factors in Table 7 in conjunction with the 50 hour usage figure
national emissions (kg/yr) were calculated for each of the primary pollutants.
Emissions were apportioned to the twelve AQCR 070 counties on the  basis  of
housing units per county.  The total number of one-unit housing structures in
the nation was assumed to be 46.8 million.
     This brings up an important point about the significance of housing struc-
tures in the inventory.  A direct relationship was assumed between one-unit
housing structures in a given area and the number of small utility engines in
use in that area, on the strength of the excellent agreement between the two
found in the U.S. Census publications.  Since housing units and engines  can be
assumed to be directly proportional, a knowledge of housing structures per grid
makes possible grid-element apportionment of emissions on this basis.
                                     -11-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                TABLE 7
             EMISSION FACTORS FOR LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT
UNITS
G/HR

KG/YR

ENGINE TYPE
2-STROKE
4-STROKE
2-STROKE
4-STROKE
EMISSION FACTORS
HC
300
37
15
1.8
CO
660
380
33
19
N0y
2.1
4.2
0.01
0.21
PART
9.4
0.6
0.47
0.03
sox
0.8
0.5
0.04
0.02
          NOTE:  These factors allow for evaporative hydrocarbon emissions.

     Of course, this is oversimplifying the matter somewhat,  since a certain
number of lawnmowers, tillers, etc., are used in commercial  application.   There
are additional small utility engines arising from households  with two or more
pieces of lawn and garden equipment.  Whether these "extra"  engines are offset
by the households which have only electric equipment is uncertain.  To obtain
a more accurate inventory, it would have been necessary to locate each commercial
organization and obtain information on the utilization of ground maintenance
equipment.  A survey of households with more than one piece  of lawn and garden
machinery would have been necessary, too.  Finally, an inventory of households
with electric lawn mowers, edgers, and the like would have had to be made.
Since this was felt to be very impractical, it was decided the best course to
follow was assumption of a one-to-one correspondence between  one-unit housing
structures and small utility engines.
     The value of the one-to-one relation becomes apparent in the equation used
to calculate lawn and garden equipment emissions at the county level:
(8)  County Emissions, kg/yr = National Emissions, kg/yr
                               County One-Unit Housing Structures
                               National One-Unit Housing Structures
                               County Mean Operating Days
                             x           213
     where county mean operating days = 190 for the St. Louis AQCR.9
                                    -12-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
     The national emissions total  was calculated utilizing  the  emission  factors
in Table 7 which are in kg/yr.   As previously mentioned  it  was  assumed that  2.7
million 2-stroke engines and 50.2  million 4-stroke  engines  were used  nationally.
Thus for CO emissions,  for example,

(9)  National Emissions of CO = 2-stroke emissions  +  4-stroke emissions
                              = (33 kg/yr x  2.7  x 106) + (19 kg/yr  x  50.2 x  106)
                              = 1.043 x 109  kg/yr

Then to calculate county emissions of CO, from Madison County for instance,  we
have after substituting the proper values into equation  8:

(10) County Emissions,  kg/yr =  1.043 x 109 kg/yr x  65»533      x ™0
                                                   46.8  x 10b    ^M
                             =  1.303 x 106 kg/yr of CO

In Table 8 emissions for all  AQCR  070 counties are  shown (in units  of 103 kg/yr).
                                TABLE  8
          EMISSIONS AND ONE-UNIT HOUSING  STRUCTURES PER COUNTY
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
I.D.
NO.
4300
4280
6900
4680
2280
4160
1680
1440
5180
6460
0520
7920
ONE UNIT
HOUSING
STRUCTURES
235,202
81,784
68,769
65,533
27,593
21,631
15,882
7,788
5,383
8,624
4,490
4,848
EMISSIONS 103 kg/yr
HC
586
204
171
163
68.8
53.9
39.6
19.4
13.4
21.5
11.2
12.1
CO
4675
1625
1367
1303
549
430
316
155
107
171
89.3
96.4
NO,
47.4
16.5
13.9
13.2
5.6
4.36
3.20
1.57
1.08
1.74
.90
.98
PART
12.4
4.33
3.64
3.47
1.46
1.14
.84
.41
.28
.46
.24
.26
soY
4.99
1.73
1.46
1.37
.58
.46
.34
.17
.11
.18
.95
.102
                                    -13-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
     Once emissions per county are known,  emissions  per grid  square  follow
from the relation
(11) Grid  El«nt  Emissions,  kg/yr -
                                                ^1 t^'Sres   *  Bounty  EM,,,.n,
     Grid one-unit structures were available  from Reference  7.   County  one-unit
structures, found in Reference 2,  have been  included  in  Table 8.

                                TABLE 9
               DATA FOR SAMPLE LAWN AND GARDEN  EQUIPMENT
                         EMISSIONS CALCULATION
   VARIABLE
                                  VALUE
 SOURCE
Pollutant
Grid Element
Grid Element One-Unit
Structures
County
County One-Unit Structures
County Emissions
                                 CO
                                 281

                                 68
                                 Madison  (4680)
                                 65,533
                                 1303  x 106  kg/yr
Specified
Specified

Reference 7
Table 8 (or Ref. 7)
Table 8
Table 8
     To better illustrate the procedure, emissions of CO from grid element #281
will be calculated here.   The necessary data has been assembled in Table 9 for
convenience.
(12)  Grid Element  Emissions,  kg/yr  of  CO =
                Grid  #281
                                              6
                                                     (1.303 x 10  kg/yr)
                                         = 1.35 x 10  kg/yr

Lawn and garden equipment emissions from all  grids have been calculated with the
aid of a Fortran program.
                                     -14-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                 4.0  CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS

     Construction equipment types considered in the inventory are listed
in Table 10, along with estimated populations,  usage, and rated horsepower.
Since few data are available on either sales or population of the various
machines estimates were heavily relied upon.  Some machines,  like tracklaying
tractors, wheel loaders, and scrapers are better represented  in the literature
than others.  The major sources of data on construction equipment are general-
ized national figures on units shipped per year, annual usage, total  horse-
power in use, load factors, and duty cycles10.   Specific population data by
machine type and manufacturer, or engine type are not available2.
     Composite emission factors for the ten construction categories were
developed, assuming a distribution for each category composed of test engines
in the same combination10.  These factors were meant to reflect not only the
composition of population by size and type of engine, but the typical duty or
operating cycles as well.  Taken together with the estimates  in Table 10 of
machinery population, etc., the factors were used to calculate national  emis-
sions of construction equipment10.  The results are shown in  Table 11.
     In arriving at the numbers in Table 11, three assumptions supplemented
the estimates in Table 10.  First, construction equipment life (in years),
found by dividing service life (in hours) by usage (in hours/year), could be
used along with typical annual shipments to estimate the number of units in
service, or population.  Second, emissions from construction  engines could be
estimated by combining the results of a number of laboratory  tests.  Third,
engine operating cycles could be deduced from manufacturers'  operating data
to a reasonable approximation.  The tests took evaporative hydrocarbon emis-
sions into account.
     National emissions were apportioned to the states of Illinois and Missouri
by construction volume (in dollars) according to the relation:

(13) State Emissions, kg/yr = (National Emissions, kg/yr)
                              (State Construction Volume)
                              (National Construction Volume)

                                   -15-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                TABLE 10

          ESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY POPULATIONS, USAGE,
                  RATED HORSEPOWER, AND SERVICE LIFE10
Equipment Type
Tracklaying Tractors
Track! aying Loaders
Motor Graders
Scrapers
Off-highway Trucks
Wheel Loaders
Wheel Tractors
Rollers
Wheel Dozers
General Purpose
Population
197,000
86,000
95,300
27,000
20,800
134,000
437,000
81 ,600
2,700
100,000
Usaqe, hr/vr
1050
1100
830
2000
2000
1140
740
740
2000
1000
Horsepower
120
65
90
475
400
130
75
75
300
120
Service Life, hr
10,000
10,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
—
                                TABLE 11
         ESTIMATED NATIONAL CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS10
                                         EMISSIONS IN KG/YR x 10C
Fuel
Diesel
Gasoline
Total
HC
72
56
128
CO
220
1100
1320
NOX
820
36
856
PART
63
2.2
65.2
sox
65
1.6
66.6
     Dollar volume of construction was available only at the national  and state
levels so could not be used for a more refined distribution of emissions.  Con-
struction acreage was known for the St.  Louis AQCR counties.   State construction
was not known, making it impossible to determine the county percentages of
state construction.  Consequently emissions were allocated to the counties by
population.  This represented the least desirable method but is the only viable
                                   -16-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CK
alternative since state and county populations were both known quantities.
Population can be considered to be a sufficiently reliable indicator of ongoing
construction, there being an approximately proportional  relationship between the
two.  State emissions were then apportioned to the counties by the relation.

(14) County Emissions, kg/yr = State Emissions, kg/yr x Cstate Population

     Emissions contributed by construction equipment to each of the twelve
counties under consideration are shown in Table 12.  Homebuilding and other
light construction emissions were taken to be negligible compared to contracted
construction jobs in the county apportionment computations.  Also, construction
expenditures in heavy construction, and highway and bridge construction were
weighted by a factor of 3 relative to building construction.
     Using the values for county emissions set forth in Table 12, grid element
emissions were calculated.  Although the methodology by Hare2 suggests appor-
tionment of county emissions to the grid elements by population, a different
approach was taken for the present inventory.  Recently, a computer tabulation
has become available,11 which assigns to each of the grid elements a value for
construction acreage.  This makes it possible to use it rather than population
to allocate emissions to the individual grid elements as follows:

(15) Grid Elenent Emissions, kg/yr -

                                   x (County Emissions, kg/yr)

     It was assumed  that the areas experiencing construction  had remained more
or  less the same since the time when construction acreage allotments were made.
Construction acreage per county may be found in Table 13.
     As an example of the calculation, emissions of NOX from  Grid Number 61
have been calculated.  Pertinent data for  the calculation are  in Table  14.
 (16)  Grid  Element Emissions,  kg/yr =      3        *  (4.51 x 105 kg/yr)
                                   = 4.94 x 104  kg/yr

As with  the other off-highway  categories calculation for the 1989 AQCR grid
squares  was accomplished  through  the aid of a Fortran program.
                                     -17-

-------
                                                  AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                  TABLE 12
CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS PER COUNTY2
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
I.D. NO.
4300
4280
6900
4680
2280
4160
1680
1440
5180
6460
0520
7920
EMISSIONS, 103 kg/yr
HC
689
451
175
154
76.3
67.5
40.1
17.4
11.6
19.2
8.60
8.46
CO
7,100
4,650
1,810
1,580
787
696
413
180
120
198
88.7
87.3
NOX
4,610
3,010
1,170
1,030
510
451
268
116
77.6
128
57.5
56.6
PART
351
230
89.3
78.2
38.9
34.4
20.4
8.87
5.91
9.78
4.38
4.31
sox
358
234
91.2
79.9
39.7
35.1
20.8
9.06
6.03
9.99
4.48
4.40
                  TABLE 13
      CONSTRUCTION ACREAGE PER COUNTY11
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
I.D. NO.
4300
4280
6900
4680
2280
4160
1680
1440
5180
6460
0520
7920
TOTAL CONSTRUCTION ACREAGE
4,789
292
1,718
1,535
1,178
1,416
431
302
196
339
175
93
                      -18-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T010KL-CU
                       5.0  INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT

      Fork  lifts, motorized utility carts, small tractors and wheel loaders,
quarrying  machinery, portable generators, and any other fuel consuming mobile
equipment  used at industrial plants or in the performance of industrial oper-
ations, all fall within the scope of the industrial equipment category.  In
general their engines may be divided into two broad categories - small utility
engines similar to those used in lawn and garden, or heavy-duty engines.
      Determination of engine population and size distributions has been accom-
plished by studying shipment and production statistics for small utility and
heavy-duty industrial engines10.  Obtaining accurate estimates involved separa-
tion  of locomotive engines and so-called "miscellaneous four-stroke small utility
engines" from the available statistics.  Pertinent estimates for heavy-duty
engines may be found in Table 15.  Service life of light-duty industrial gasoline
engines was assumed to be 600 hours and annual usage 100 hours on the average10.

                               TABLE 1510
         NATIONAL POPULATION, RATED POWER, AND ANNUAL USAGE OF
             HEAVY-DUTY AND LIGHT-DUTY INDUSTRIAL ENGINES
HORSEPOWER
Diesel 125
Gasoline (Heavy-duty) 55
Gasoline (Light-duty) 3.86
USAGE, HR/YR
600
300
100
POPULATION
417,000
990,000
5,800,000
     There are no really typical duty cycles (fractions of operating time spent
in various rpm or speed ranges) for industrial  engines since applications are
so diverse.  For heavy-duty gasoline and diesel engines a "general purpose
industrial" cycle has been proposed10 using special  weighting factors corre-
sponding to more than twenty different operating modes.  Composite emission
factors were devised to represent the variety of models on the market.   They
were based on the weighted emissions of twelve  test  engines.  No attempt at a
rigorous correlation with population was made due to the general lack of
specificity characteristic of available statistics10.

                                     -20-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
     Light-duty engine emission factors  were developed along  similar  lines.
Recommended emission factors for the industrial  category are  presented  in  Table
16.   National  emissions from industrial  engines  have been computed  using  the
information in Tables 15 and 16.  Resulting annual  totals are in Table  17.

                                TABLE 16
          RECOMMENDED EMISSION FACTORS FOR INDUSTRIAL ENGINES2

ENGINE TYPE
Heavy-Duty Diesel
Heavy-Duty Gasoline
Light-Duty Gasoline

UNITS
g/hp. hr.
g/hp. hr.
g/hr.
EMISSION FACTORS
HC
1.12
6.68
29.2
CO
3.03
199
386
NOX
14.0
5.16
7.68
PART
1.00
0.327
0.68
sox
0.931
0.268
0.60
     NOTE:  Allowance for evaporative hydrocarbon emissions was incorporated
            into these factors.
                                TABLE 1710
          NATIONAL TOTALS OF EMISSIONS FROM INDUSTRIAL ENGINES
ENGINE TYPE
Heavy-Duty Diesel
Heavy-Duty Gasoline
Light-Duty Gasoline
TOTALS
EMISSIONS, 106 kg/yr
HC
35.0
109.1
16.9
161.0
CO
94.8
3,251
133
3,478.8
NO,
437.9
84.3
4.5
526.7
PART
31.3
5.34
.39
37.03
sox
29.1
4.37
.35
33.82
                                    -21-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
     A method has been developed2 to apportion national emission estimates
directly to counties using the relation

(17) County Emissions, kg/yr = (National Emissions, kg/yr)
                               (County Total of A + B + C)
                               (National Total of A + B +C)
     where A = value added by manufacturing establishments
           B = sales of wholesale trade establishments, and
           C = value of shipments and receipts of mineral  industries

Quantities A, B, and C are considered to be reliable indicators of industrial
activity.  Their sum is proportional (directly, to a good  approximation) to
industrial equipment usage.  Values for A, B, and C obtained from Reference 12
are in Table 18, and emissions per county computed with these values may be
found in Table 19.
     The final step was the apportionment of county emissions to all the
grid elements.  Because industrial equipment would, by definition, only be
found at industrial plants, a listing of those grid squares  containing such
plants along with the number of plants contained in each provided the basis
for apportioning emissions.
     Using References 13, 14, and 15 a listing of all the  industrial plants
in AQCR 070 was compiled including the grid elements or squares in which these
194 plants were located.  Total grid squares with industrial  plants in them
numbered 150.  The number of industrial plants (190) represents the most
complete tabulation available in the most recent Regional  Air Pollution Study
(RAPS) emission inventory.   Admittedly, some industrial plants have not been
accounted for.  Nonetheless, apportionment of emissions to grid elements on
the strength of this data was felt to produce the most accurate results.
                                    -22-

-------
                                                           AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                           TABLE 18



        INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT COUNTY APPORTIONMENT DATA
County
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
MILLIONS OF DOLLARS (1972)
A (= value added)
$
1,285.8
1,793.5
267.3
645.2
66.4
44.8
56.0
17.1
0.9
30.3
13.2
2.3
B (= wholesale sales)
$
3,065.356
4,518.156
519.297
229.629
17.333
33.644
25.699
17.391
12.829
14.394
14.583
15.643
C (= minerals)
$
9.8
0.7
0.0
2.8
3.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
18.4
0.0
2.8
U.S. TOTALS, $     261,983.8
459,475.967
25,848.7
                               -23-

-------
                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                TABLE 19



INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS  PER COUNTY
County
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
EMISSIONS, 103 kq/yr
HC
940
1,360
169
188
16.9
18.0
4.53
7.44
2.96
13.6
5.99
4.48
CO
20,316
29,396
3,653
4,070
365
390
119
161
64
294
129
96.7
NOX
1,950
4,451
553
616
55.3
59.0
18.1
24.3
9.7
44.5
19.6
14.6
PART
216
313
38.9
43
3.89
4.14
1.27
1.71
.68
31.3
1.37
1.03
sox
198
286
35.5
39.6
3.55
3.79
1.16
1.56
.62
2.85
1.26
.94
                    -24-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
County emissions were apportioned by the equation

(18) Grid Element Emissions, kg/yr = (County Emissions,  kg/yr)
                                      Grid Industrial  Plants)
                                      County Industrial  Plants)

As an illustration, the emissions of SOX from grid #1008 have  been calculated.
Essential data are presented in Table 20.
                                                     o           o
(19) Grid Element Emissions, kg/yr of SOY = (286 x 10  kg/yr)  x
                              31
                grid #1008
= 1.85 x
                     kg/yr
Emissions from all grid elements were calculated with the aid of a computer.
     There are certain limitations on the accuracy of this and other industrial
emissions calculations.  Most severe is the necessity of starting with national
totals and making successive apportionments from them.  National totals are good
estimates only and must be considered in that light.   This point source listing
has been updated with the latest RAPS emission inventory data.
                                TABLE 20
              INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT SAMPLE CALCULATION DATA
     VARIABLE
VALUE
               SOURCE
Pollutant
Grid Element
Grid Industrial Plants
County
County Industrial Plants
County Emissions
sox
1008
St. Louis City (4280)
  31
286 x 103
               Specified
               Specified
               Plant Listing
               Reference 7
               RAPS emission inventories
               Table 19
                                    -25-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                          6.0  FARM EQUIPMENT
     Among the equipment types used on farms which were taken into consider-
ation in this inventory were farm tractors, garden tractors used on farms,
and self-propelled combines, forage harvesters, and balers.  In addition,
irrigation pump engines ("miscellaneous heavy-duty"), and the auxiliary
engines ("miscellaneous light-duty") used on some of the larger machinery
were considered.  Extensive information on both the production and population
of such equipment was available, a great deal on tractors in particular.
However, a breakdown in terms of size and types of engines used in the current
population did not exist, requiring that estimates be made.
     Much effort has been expended in the development of emission factors for
farm machinery by C. T. Hare10 and others.  A detailed population and usage
analysis of farm tractors and other related equipment preceded emission factor
computation.  Annual usage rates were estimated from either survey data
(available for tractors) or consideration of the fact that the usage of special-
purpose farm machinery was dictated by the crop acreage for which it was needed.
Annual usage estimates of the various equipment types are presented in Table 21,
along with typical horsepower ratings and load factors.

                                TABLE 21
                 FARM EQUIPMENT ANNUAL USAGE ESTIMATES10
TYPE OF EQUIPMENT
Diesel Tractor
Gasoline Tractor
Self-propelled Combine
Pull Combine
Balers
Forage Harvesters
Miscellaneous Heavy-duty
Miscellaneous Light-duty
ESTIMATE ANNUAL
USAGE, (HRS)
490
291
73
52
24
120
50
50
HORSEPOWER
80.2
40.9
110.0
25.0
40.0
140.0
30.0
3.5
LOAD
FACTOR
0.57
0.57
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.40
                                    -26-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
     Test engines on which much data had been gathered were assumed to represent
each field application.   For each engine a typical  duty or operating cycle
(estimated from manufacturers operating data and field operation data) was
assumed, composite load factors were derived, and finally emission factors
were computed.  Resulting emission factors in kg/hr are in Table 22.
     To calculate emissions from farm equipment, the following relationship
was used for this inventory:

(20) County Emissions, kg/yr = £ (Equipment Population)
                             x (Annual Usage) x (Emission Factor kg/yr)

where the summation was taken over the equipment type used.  Specific data
on equipment populations per county were available from Reference 16.  This
data in conjunction with annual usage, emission factors (kg/yr) from Tables
21 and 22, made  it possible to arrive at emissions per county (presented in
Table 23.
     In apportioning county emissions to grid elements, the following rela-
tion was used:

(21) Grid Element, kg/yr =  (County Emissions, kg/yr)
                            (Farm Acreage in Grid)
                         x  (County Farm Acreage)

     County farm acreage is presented in Table 24.  Acreage per grid element
is available  from Reference 11.  As explained therein, farm acreage was allo-
cated to grid squares by means of land use maps and aerial photographs.
     To exemplify the grid-apportionment procedure, the emissions of CO from
Grid #1 have  been calculated.  All necessary data are  gathered  in Table 25.

(22) Grid Element Emissions, kg/yr of CO = 2.08 x 106  kg/yr x   79*499

                                         = 8.3 x 104  kg/yr

As with all other categories under consideration, emissions of  the  five cri-
teria pollutants have been  calculated with the aid of  a computer.
                                    -27-

-------
                                                           AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                           TABLE 22
       RECOMMENDED EMISSION FACTORS FOR FARM EQUIPMENT2
TYPE OF EQUIPMENT
Diesel Tractor
Gasoline Tractor
Self-propelled Combine
Pull Combine
Balers
Forage Harvesters
Miscellaneous Heavy-duty
Miscellaneous Light-duty
EMISSION FACTORS. KG/HR
HC
0.078
0.208
0.300
0.116
0.183
0.122
0.082
0.029
CO
0.154
3.34
6.37
2.83
4.53
0.297
1.73
0.363
NO,
0.429
0.155
0.408
0.068
0.108
0.657
0.112
0.007
PART
0.059
0.009
0.054
0.005
0.008
0.110
0.015
0.001
sox
0.040
0.006
0.034
0.004
0.006
0.067
0.009
0.001
Allowance made for evaporative hydrocarbon emission.
                          TABLE  23
              FARM  EQUIPMENT  EMISSIONS  PER  COUNTY2
COUNTY

St. Louis County
Cf 1 nui ^ Ci tw
O 1* • LLfUld l»l Ljr
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington

HC
68.3


225
268
75.8
160
180
179
134
175
118
181
EMISSION,
CO
803


2,690
3,190
885
1,900
2,080
2,110
1,600
2,080
1,410
2,180
103 KG/YR
NOX
114


376
448
127
268
305
309
224
296
199
306

PART
13.3


44.6
53.0
15.0
31.7
36.1
37.3
26.5
35.2
23.7
36.6

S0x
8.8


29.4
35.0
9.9
20.9
23.8
24.5
35.0
23.2
15.6
24.1
                               -28-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                               TABLE 24
                        FARM ACREAGE PER COUNTY11
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
FARM ACREAGE
37,542
-0-
213,772
188,815
29,712
12,147
79,490
192,865
111,714
165,034
130,252
212,114
                                TABLE 25
                     DATA FOR SAMPLE CALCULATION  OF
              FARM EQUIPMENT EMISSIONS FROM A GRID ELEMENT
     VARIABLE
     VALUE
    SOURCE
Pollutant
Grid Element
Farm Acreage in Grid
County
County Farm Acreage
County Emissions
    CO
     1
  3172
Franklin (1680)
79,490
2.08 x 106 kg/yr
Specified
Specified
Reference 11
Ref. 11 or Ref. 5
Table 24
Table 23
                                    -29-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                        7.0  OUTBOARD MOTORBOATS

     This part of the off-highway inventory included boats powered by outboard
engines and used on the St. Louis AQCR waterways.  For the sake of brevity the
boats were termed "outboards".  Emission factors for the engines used in the
boating applications were developed from the study of a limited number of test
engines in the laboratory1?
     Simulation of outboard engine performance was hindered somewhat by the
complexity of the real-life operating conditions.  Engine exhaust outlets are
normally below water, but if the boat is bobbing on the water surface, expecially
if the water is rough, it is possible for some exhaust to be released in sporadic
bursts directly into the atmosphere.  While bubbling through water a certain por-
tion of the exhaust pollutants are removed and therefore do not reach the atmos-
phere.  The extent of the scrubbing process is highly dependent on water turbu-
lence, and in a more subtle way on the chemical composition of the water itself.
Crude simulation of this bubbling process has been attempted by researchers and
measurements made to determine the extent of pollutant removal.  Their test re-
sults played an important role in emission factor development.  Direct emission
to the atmosphere of pollutants has not been allowed for in the emission factors
recommended in the Reference 2 methodology and used in this inventory.  The emis-
sion factors are presented in Table 26.   They represent the best-researched fac-
tors available.  Note that the factor for particulates is zero; all particulates
are removed in the water.
     To determine emissions from a given area it was necessary to use emission
factors in conjunction with usage and population data.  Population data was in
the form of boat registrations.  For Missouri, Reference 3 provided separate
figures for motorboats and boat motors per county.   These two figures were added
with the assumption that the total would be a reasonable representation of total
outboards per county.   This was done for two reasons:   First, when motorboats are
sold they invariably come with an engine, thus boat and motor would be registered
as one unit.   Since outboards are the most abundant of motorboats, this is a good
partial  count of them.   Second, although a certain  number of outboard engines
registered individually may be sitting idle in storage sheds, perhaps only

                                     -30-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
infrequently used, there are very likely an equal  number of  unregistered out-
boards in use during the boating season.  Therefore boat motor registration
could very well represent additional  outboards, and were added to motorboat
registrations with this in mind.
     For Illinois the only registration statistics kept are  in terms of "cer-
tified watercraft per county".   It was assumed that this number equalled out-
boards per county.  Any watercraft which were not outboards  (e.g. inboard motor-
boats) would be offset by those outboards which were unregistered.   The end
result would be an approximation of the actual number in use.   Boat totals for
the twelve AQCR 070 counties are in Table 27.
     The remaining factor considered before area emissions could be analyzed
was outboard usage.  Those boats registered in a county are  not necessarily
used in that county.  In fact,  many boats registered in the  St. Louis AQCR are
not only used outside the counties they were registered in,  but outside the
AQCR as well.  As a consequence, the calculated emissions are  likely to be on
the higher side.  Because the majority of Missouri residents use their boats
primarily in Missouri, and Illinois residents in the state of  Illinois, it was
decided to first calculate emission totals of the criteria pollutants contributed
by all motorboats registered in all counties within AQCR 070 in each state.
State emissions were calculated by the following relation:

(23) Motorboat Emissions in AQCR by state
                                    = (State Motorboat Registrations in AQCR)
                                    x (Emission Factors, kg/unit yr.)

Using the data in Tables 26 and 27 in (23) yielded the values  for state
emissions which comprise Table 28.
     The next step was to allocate state emissions to the 12 counties in the
St. Louis Region.  Emissions were apportioned according to the amount of nav-
igable water area in each county.  This method was chosen because navigable sur-
face waters determined boat usage in a county.  Recreational suitability of the
water also plays a role; however no statistics were available on the popularity

                                    -31-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
of the different waterways.  Apportionment to counties was accomplished via the
relation.

(24) County Emissions, kg/yr = AQCR/State Emissions
                               County Surface Mater
                               AQCR/State Surface Water

where "AQCR/State Emissions" and "AQCR/State Surface Water" totals were for the
St. Louis AQCR in each state, and "Surface Water" means navigable surface water
area.  Outboard emissions per county appear in Table 29 along with the surface
water data used to calculate them.
     As the final step, emissions at the grid level were calculated (with the
aid of a computer) using the relation

(25) Grid Element Emissions, kg/yr = County Emissions, kg/yr
                                     Grid Surface Water
                                     County Surface Water

     Again it was assumed that boat usage was directly proportional to navigable
water area.  To illustrate the calculation, the emission of HC from grid #1019
were calculated.   Necessary data are collected in Table 30.

(26) Grid Element Emissions of HC, kg/yr = (2.964 x 106 kg/yr)
                                      (1 km2)
                                      (90.7 km2)
                                    = 3.26 x 104 kg/yr

Surface water area per grid square was determined by drawing the waterways
onto the grid system and estimating as accurately as possible the percentage
of a grid covered by water.  Specific waterways considered to have sufficient
boating activity for inventory purposes were:
     a.  Mississippi River               d.  Alton Lake
     b.  Missouri River                  e.  Carlysle Lake
     c.  Meramec River                   f.  Lake St. Louis
                                     -32-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
 HC
0.769
                                TABLE 26
                OUTBOARD EMISSION FACTORS (KG/UNIT HR.)
      CO
     2.28
           NOX
          .0045
        sox
       .0044
PART
 0
     NOTE:   Evaporative hydrocarbon emissions have not been  measured  and are
            not reflected by these factors.
 HC
53.83
KG PER UNIT-YEAR (ASSUMING 70 HRS/YR OVER OPERATION)

                                                   SO
  CO
159.6
 NOX
.315
                                                     X
                                                  .308
                                TABLE 27
                    OUTBOARD REGISTRATIONS PER COUNTY
MISSOURI3
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
TOTAL
REGISTERED
OUTBOARDS
62,768
16,013
11,607
10,779
5,837

107,004
ILLINOIS18
COUNTY
Bond
Clinton
Madison
Monroe
Randolph
St. Clair
Washington
TOTAL
REGISTERED
OUTBOARDS
506
1,166
8,489
685
1,523
7,923
483
20,775
                                   -33-

-------
                        TABLE 28
          STATE OUTBOARD EMISSIONS IN THE AQCR
                      (KG/YR x 106)
                                                         AMC7010.T0108E-CK

Missouri
Illinois
HC
5.759
1.112
CO
17.07
3.315
NOX
.0337
.00654
sox
.0329
.00639
                        TABLE 29
OUTBOARD EMISSIONS AND NAVIGABLE SURFACE  WATER  PER COUNTY
COUNTY
St. Louis County
St. Louis City
St. Clair
Madison
Jefferson
St. Charles
Franklin
Clinton
Monroe
Randolph
Bond
Washington
SURFACE WATER2
KM2
45.6
9.8
5.7
32.8
8.8
90.7
21.5
99.5
23.6
31.6
7.8
1.6
EMISSIONS, 103 KG/YR
HC
1,490.0
321.8
31.54
179.2
288.0
2,964.0
703.1
550.5
130.5
174.9
43.0
8.602
CO
4,418
953.8
310.1
594.2
853
8,786
2,083
1,632
386.8
518.6
127.5
25.5
NOX
8.723
1.883
.1846
1.049
1.685
17.34
4.114
3.222
.7634
1.024
.2517
.0503
S°x
8.528
1.841
.1805
1.025
1.648
16.96
4.022
3.149
.7464
1.001
.2461
.0492
                            -34-

-------
                                                                AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                                TABLE 30
             DATA FOR SAMPLE CALCULATION OF GRID  EMISSIONS
     VARIABLE
    VALUE
                   SOURCE
Pollutant
Grid Element
County
County Emissions
County Surface Water
Grid Surface Water
HC
1019
St. Charles (4160)
2.964 x 10
90.7 km2
1  km2
          6
kg/yr
Specified
Specified
Reference 5
Table 29
Table 29
Map with grid overlay
                                   -35-

-------
                                                               AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                      8.0  TEMPORAL APPORTIONMENT

     Annual emission totals of the several off-highway mobile source types
had to be temporally distributed over the year to reflect diurnal and seasonal
variation of usage.  To accomplish this end each equipment category was assigned
an annual operating pattern which was felt to most closely approximate real-
life use during a calendar year.  The operating patterns assumed were as
follows:

1.   Off-highway motorcycles      March through October     9 AM - 7 PM
2.   Lawn and garden equipment    April through September   9 AM - 7 PM
3.   Construction equipment       March through October     6 AM - 6 PM
4.   Industrial equipment         Year round                8 AM - 6 PM
5.   Farm equipment               March through October     5 AM - 7 PM
6.   Outborad motors              April through September   9 AM - 7 PM

     All the days in the month were included, no distinction being made for
weekends.  Total yearly operating hours were found by multiplying together
operating hours per day, operating days per month, and operating months per
year.  Then the annual emissions total was divided by yearly operating hours
to give emissions per hour.
                                    -36-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CK
                              9.0  SUMMARY

     Emissions of criteria pollutants for each of the six types of off-highway
sources have been calculated for each grid square in the St.  Louis AQCR.   The
methodology has been described,  with any departure from the methodology reported
in EPA-450/3-75-002 justified.   Most of the data which formed the basis of the
inventory was two years old, and many assumptions on equipment populations and
usage were made where data were  not available.
     A Fortran program has been  prepared in order to compute emissions from the
nearly 2,000 grid squares for each of the six equipment types.  Sample calculations
for each category showed that the magnitude of emissions from off-highway mobile
sources is by no means insignificant at the grid element level (see sample in
Figure 1).
                                     -37-

-------
                                              AMC7010.T0108E-CR
M-CYCL OFF HIWAY MOTORCYCLES
LWN&GDN LAWN & GARDEN EQUIPMENT
FRM EQ FARM EQUIPMENT
CONSTR CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT
IND EQ INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT
OUTBD OUTBOARD MOTORS
UNITS KG/YR
3RID POLT
1 HC
CO
NCX
FART
SOX
2 HC
CO
NOX
r'ftfvT
sex
3 HC
CO
NOX
PART
SOX
4 HC
CO
HOX
r l"*K T
SGX
.5 HC
CO
NCX
r'.lRT
30X
6 nC
CO
NOX
FART
sex
7 HC
CO
NOX
PART
sex
3 HC
CO
NQX
PAKi
SOX
M-CfCL
8.6717+01
1 .6oO t+02
7.0311-01
1.1718+00
2.5390-01
8.4603+01
1.6197+02
6.3597-01
1.1433+00
2. 4771-01
t. 3729+02
2.6282+02
1.11314-00
1.8j5.:+00
4.0197-01
2.3740+01
4.9277+01
2.0871-01
J. 4733-01
-,•.••-364-02
6.9774+01
1 .3353+02
5.6573-01
9.42d7-01
2.042'P-Ol
3.4323+01
6.5710+01
2.783.3-01
4.638'J-Ol
1.0051-01
3/432B-I-01
6V..371!3+01
2.733-.5-01
4.639»-01
1.005.1-01
3.432H+01
6.5718+01
2.7833-01
4.638V-01
1.0051-O1
LUN&GDN
4.7226+02
3.6794+03
3. 6140+01
9.7593+00
2.4679+00
4.5435+02
3.5437+03
3.6734+01
9.3995+CO
2.3769+00
7.1818+02
5.5953*03
5.8000+01
1. 4841 -rO 1
3.7530+00
1.3275+02
1.0343-1-03
1.0721+01
2.7-134+00
6. 9373-O1
4.0044+02
3.1198+03
3.2340+01
8.2751+00
2.0926+00
1.7410+02
1.3564+03
1.4061+01
3.5979+00
9. 0981-01
1.7410+02
1.3564+03
1.4061+01
3.5979+00
9.0981-01
1.7410+02
1. 3564+03
1.4061+01
3.5979+00
9.0981-01
FRM £0
7.1641-J-03
8.3016+04
1.2173+04
1.4408r03
9.4990+02
7.1G41+03
8.3016+04
1.2173+04
1 .4408t03
9.4990+02
7.1841+03
8.3016+04
1.2173+04
1.4408+03
9.4990+02
1.7960+03
2.0754+04
3.0433+03
3.6020+02
2. 374/ +02
1.7960+03
2.0754+04
3.04331-03
3.6020+02
2.3747+02
1.7960+03
2.0754+04
3.0433+03
3.6020+02
2.3747+02
1.7960+03
2.0754+04
3.04334-03
3.6020+02
2.3747+02
1.7960+03
2.0754+04
3.0433+03
3.6020+02
2.3747+02
CONSTR
1.3690+03
1.4099+04
9.1491+03
6.9642+02
7.1008+02
1.4248+03
1.46751-04
9.5225+03
7.2485+02
7.3906+02
1 .4523+03
1.4962+04
9.7092+03
7.3906+02
7.5355+02
2.1419+02
2.2060+03
1.4315+03
1.0896+02
1.1110+02
4.2338+02
4.4120+03
2.8630+03
2.1793+02
2.2220+02
4.2338+02
4.4120+03
2.8630+03
2.1793+02
2.2220+02
4.2338+02
4.4120+03
2.8630+03
2.1793+02
2.2220+02
4.2838+02
4.4120+03
2.8630+03
2.1793+02
2.2220+02
IND EQ
0.0000
0 . 0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000 .
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
2.8312+02
7.4375+03
1.1312+03
7.9375+01
7.2500+01
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
o.ooco
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000 '
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
o.ooco
o.ooco
0.0000
o.ccoo
0.0000
OUTBD
c.cooo
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
o.oroo
0.0300
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
5.3770+03
1.5930+04
3.1462+01
0.0000
3.0759+01
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
o.cooc
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
o.ooco
0.0000
TOTAL
9.1120+03
1.0096+05
2.1361-1-04
2.1482+03
1.6627+03
9.1484+03
1.0140+05
2.1733+04
2.1762+03
1. 6916+03
9.7754+03
1.1127+05
2.3073+04
2.2759+03
1.7801+03
7.5457+03
3.9974+04
4.5171f03
4.7226+02
3.8010+02
2.6946+03
2.3419+04
5.9391+03
5.8733+02
4.al97+02
2.4328+03
2.6588+04
5.9206+03
5.8219+02
4.6069+02
2.4328+03
2.6588+O4
5.9206+03
5.8219+02
4. 6069+02
2.4323+03
2.6598+04
5.9206+03
5.8219+02
4.6069+02
FIGURE 1   -  SAMPLE/FORTRAN  PROGRAM
                  -38-

-------
                                                               AMC7010.T0108E-CR
                               REFERENCES

1.   Haws, Richard C., & Paddock, Richard E., The Regional Air Pollution
     Study (RAPS) Grid System, Research Triangle Institute EPA-450/3-76-021,
     Dec. 1975.
2.   Hare, Charles T., Methodology for Estimating Emissions From Off-Highway
     Mobile Sources for the RAPS Program EPA 450/3-75-002, October 1974.
3.   Missouri Department of Revenue Vehicles Per County as of 12/31/75.
4.   Illinois Department of Revenue 1974 Motorcycle Population Per County.
5.   Clampett, Robert, The Motorcycle Handbook.  Fawcett Publications, Inc.
     Greenwich, Connecticut - 1975.
6.   Richmond, Douglas, Your Trail Bike.  H. P. Books, Tuscon, Arizona - 1972.
7.   Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc.  Residential  and Commercial
     Area Source Emission Inventory Methodology for the Regional  Air Pollution
     Study EPA-450/3-75-078 September 1975.
8.   Hare, C. T. and K. J.  Springer, Exhaust Emissions From Uncontrolled
     Vehicles and Related Equipment Using Internal  Combustion  Engines - Part 4
     Small Air-Cooled Spark Ignition Utility Engines, Environmental Protection
     Agency Contract EHS 70-108, May 1973.
9.   Local Climatological  Data, Annual Summary With Comparative Data -
     St. Louis, Missouri.   U.  S. Department of Commerce.   National  Oceanic
     and Atmospheric Administration Environmental  Data Service.   1973.
10.  Hare, C. T. and K. J.  Springer.   Exhaust Emissions From Uncontrolled
     Vehicles and Related Equipment Using Internal  Combustion  Engines -
     Part 5 Heavy-Duty Farm, Construction,  and Industrial  Engines.
     Environmental Protection  Agency Contract EHS  70-108  October  1973.
11.  Cowherd, Chatten, and  Guenther,  Christine.   Development of a Methodology
     and Emission Inventory For Fugitive Dust For  The Regional  Air Pollution
     Study EPA-450/3-76-006 January 1976.
                                   -39-

-------
                                                                 AMC7010.T0108E-CR
12.  City and County Data Book, 1972.
13.  National Emission Data System Point Source Listing.   Missouri  and
     Illinois Printout.   EPA 1973.
14.  Missouri Emission Inventory Printout 1973.
15.  Illinois EPA Emission Inventory 1974.
16.  1969 Census of Agriculture, Volume I -  Area Reports.   U.  S.  Department
     of Commerce 1972.
17.  Hare, C. T. and K.  J. Springer.  Exhaust Emissions From Uncontrolled
     Vehicles and Related Equipment Using Internal  Combustion  Engines  -
     Part 2 Outborad Motors.   EPA Contract EHS 70-108 January  1973.
18.  Illinois Department of Conservation.  Total  Valid Watercraft Per  County
     1975.
                                    -40-

-------