ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF RCRA APPROACHES TO THE REGULATION OF GENERATORS OF SMALL VOLUMES OF HAZARDOUS WASTES PREPARED FOR: US. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY BY: TEMPLE, BARKER & SLOANE, INC. 33 HAYDEN AVENUE LEXINGTON, MASSACHUSETTS 02173 JANUARY 5, 1980 ------- ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF RCRA APPROACHES TO THE REGULATION OF GENERATORS OF SMALL VOLUMES OF HAZARDOUS WASTES PREPARED FOR: US. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY BY: TEMPLE, BARKER & SLOANE, INC. 33 HAYDEN AVENUE LEXINGTON, MASSACHUSETTS 02173 JANUARY 5, 1980 ------- CONTENTS Page PREFACE LIST OF TABLES LIST OF FIGURES AND EXHIBITS PART I. OVERVIEW Chapter 1. Introduction and Findings I—i Chapter 2. Methodology of the Study 1—31 PART II. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS ON SMALL VOLUME HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATORS Chapter 1. Characteristics of Small Volume Generators 11—2 Chapter 2. SICs Selected for Economic Impact Analysis 1 1—11 Chapter 3. Generator Tasks and Unit Costs of Compliance 11—15 Chapter 4. Evaluation of Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste—— Industry Impacts 11—28 PART III. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS ON STATE AND AGENCY STAFFS AND BUDGETS Chapter 1. Status of States’ Hazardous Waste Programs 111—2 Chapter 2. Projected State and Agency Expend- itures for RCRA Exclusive of Small Volume Generator Costs 11 1—8 Chapter 3. Tasks and Unit Costs to States and Agency for Regulation of Small Volume Generators 111—17 Chapter 4. Evaluation of Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste—- State and Agency Impacts 111—25 (continued) ------- CONTENTS (continued) Page PART IV. REGULATORY OPTION--EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE: RESPONSE TO CONSTRAINTS IN PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION Chapter 1. Phasing IV—3 Chapter 2. Technical and Administrative Modifications IV—9 PART V. APPENDICES Appendix A. Data Sources A—i Appendix B. Generator Compliance Strategies and Costs B—i Appendix C. State and Agency Regulatory Tasks and Costs C—i Appendix D. Waste Generation Rates D—i ------- PREFACE This draft report has been submitted to the U.S. Environ- mental Protection Agency in partial fulfillment of Contract Number 68—01-4778 by Temple, Barker & Sloane, Inc., 33 Hayden Avenue, Lexington, Massachusetts. The contributions of Hugh Holman, EPA Project Monitor, the staff in the State Programs group of EPA’s Office of Solid Waste, and Regional and State EPA offices proved to be invaluable. ------- LIST OF TABLES Table No. Page I—i Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Total One—Time Costs to Industry 1—8 1—2 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Percent and Number of Generators with Compliance Costs Greater than Two Percent of Sales 1—12 1—3 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Percent and Number of Generators with Compliance Costs Greater than Profits before Taxes 1—14 1—4 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——National One—Time Costs to the Agency: Small Volume Generator Notification 1—15 1—5 RCRA Baseline Costs to the States and EPA Regions 1—19 1—6 RCRA Baseline Funding to the States and EPA Regions for Selected Activities 1—20 1—7 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Estimated RCRA Program Costs for Fiscal Years 1981 Through 1985 at Selected Generator Exemption Levels 1—21 I—B Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste—-Estimated RCRA Program Shortfalls for Fiscal Years 1981 Through 1985 at Selected Generator Exemption Levels 1—25 1—9 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Per Ton Costs to the States and Agency of Regulation at 0 kg/mo Cutoff: Fiscal Years 1981 to 1985 1—26 1—10 Quantity-Based Phasing Option for All Generators of Less than 5,000 kg/mo and More than 100 kg/mo 1—29 ------- 2 Table No. Page 1 1—1 Estimated Number of Establishments and Waste Quantities for Establishments in Various Waste Generation Range Categories 11—4 11—2 Contributions of Selected SICs to the Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generation Picture 11—5 11—3 Relative Distribution of SICs by Profits and Sales 11—9 11—4 Number of Generators and Volumes of Wastes for Selected SICs 11—12 11—5 Characteristics of Industries Selected for Economic Impact Analysis 11—13 11—6 Estimated Percent Distribution of Small Quantity Waste Generators and Waste Quantities by Disposal Method 11—15 11—7 Estimated Total Number of Small Waste Generators and Waste Quantities by Disposal Method 11—16 11—8 Estimated Total Number of Small Quantity Waste Generators and Waste Quantities for Selected Disposal Methods 11—19 Small Volume Generator One—Time Administra- tive Costs 11—21 11—10 Small Volume Generator Annual Administrative Costs 11—22 11—11 Small Volume Generator Annual Technical Costs 11—24 11—12 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Total One—Time Costs to Industry 11—29 11—13 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Small Volume Generator Annual Costs for Selected SICs 11—34 11—14 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Percent and Number of Generators with Compliance Costs Greater than Two Percent of Sales 11—35 ------- 3 Table No. Page 11—15 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Percent and Number of Generators with Compliance Costs Greater than Profits before Taxes 11—36 11-16 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Projected National Impacts on Small Volume Generators at a Waste Quantity Exemption of 0 kg/mo Cutoff 11—40 1 1 1—1 State Legislation Applicable to Hazardous Waste Generators 111—6 111—2 Summary of Provisions in State Hazardous Waste Management Rules and Regulations 111—7 111—3 Annual State and Agency Costs for Regulating Large Volume Generators 11 1—11 111—4 RCRA Baseline Costs to the States and EPA Regions 111—12 111—5 RCRA Baseline Funding to the States and EPA Regions for Selected Activities 111—13 111—6 Exception Reports——State and Agency Resource Requirements 111—20 111—7 Costs to the States and Agency for Regulation of Small Volume Generators 111—23 111—8 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste—-National One—Time Costs to the Agency of Regulation: Small Volume Generator Noti- fication 111—26 111—9 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Annual Program Operation Costs to States and Agency for Alternative Enforcement Assumptions: Small Volume Generators 111—30 111—10 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Baseline Scenario and Alternative Authorization Scenarios 111—33 111—11 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——State and Agency Recurring Costs for Regulating Small Volume Generators Under Three Authorization Scenarios 111—33 ------- 4 Table No. Page 111—12 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Estimated RCRA Program Shortfalls for Fiscal Years 1981 Through 1985 at Selected Generator Exemption Levels 111-35 111—13 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Per Ton Costs to the States and Agency of Regulation at 0 kg/mo Cutoff: Fiscal Years 1981 to 1985 111—40 IV—1 Quantity—Based Phasing Option for All Generators of Less than 5,000 kg/mo IV—5 IV—2 Quantity—Based Phasing Option——Percent of Waste Quantities and Generators Controlled in RCRA Program IV-6 IV—3 Quantity—Based Phasing Option for All Generators of Less than 5,000 kg/mo and More than 100 kg/mo IV—8 IV—4 Quantity—Based Phasing Option——Percent of Waste Quantities and Generators Controlled in RCRA Program with a 100 kg/mo Cutoff in the Fifth Year IV-8 IV—5 Components of Recurring Compliance Costs Under Alternative Definitions of Establishments Exempted from Testing IV-i1 IV—6 Assumption of Duties: Annual Administrative and Testing Cost Savings IV—13 A—i Inflation Rates Used in Industry Impact Analysis to Project 1978 Sales A—6 B—i One—Time Administrative Costs to Industry B—3 B—2 Recurring Administrative Costs to Industry B—4 B—3 Transportation Cost Parameters for Small Volume Generators B—6 B—4 Estimated Hauling Costs for Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generators B—7 B—5 Generator Disposal Costs B—9 ------- 5 Table No. Page B—6 Estimated Total Number of Small Volume Waste Generators Using Non—Recycling Disposal Methods B—il B—7 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Projected Annual Compliance Costs to Small Volume Generators B—14 C—i State Program Development——Unit Manpower Requirements C—2 C—2 Unit Manpower and Cost Estimates for Small Volume Generator Regulatory Tasks C—6 C—3 Volume—Adjusted Estimates of Manpower and Budget Needs for Review of Exception Reports C—9 C-4 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Cumulative State and Agency Hazardous Waste Program Costs for Selected Exemption Levels for Fiscal Years 1981 Through 1985 C—15 D—l Generation Factors for the Calculation of Estimated Quantities of Hazardous Waste Generated by Manufacturing Industries D—3 D—2 Linear Correlation Between Employment and Waste Quantity D—4 D—3 Model and Worst Case Waste Generation Rates Corresponding to Percentile Sales D—12 ------- LIST OF FIGURES AND EXHIBITS Figure or Exhibit No. Page I—i National Hazardous Waste Generation Profile—— All Generators 1—5 1—2 National Hazardous Waste Generation Profile—— Small Volume Generators 1—6 1—3 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Recurring National Cost to Small Volume Generators 1-9 1—4 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste—-Marginal Recurring Cost to Small Volume Generators 1-10 1-5 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——National Recurring Costs to the States and Agency of Regulating Small Volume Generators 1—17 1-6 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——State and Agency Marginal Recurring Costs of Regulating Small Volume Generators 1—18 1—7 Fiscal Year 1981: RCRA Program Costs to the States and Agency 1—22 1—8 Fiscal Year 1982: RCRA Program Costs to the States and Agency 1—23 1—9 Fiscal Years 1983—1985: Total RCRA Program Costs to the States and Agency 1—24 1—10 Methodology for Estimation of Total Costs for Alternative Regulatory Options 1-33 11—1 Technical Compliance Alternatives for Generators of Hazardous Wastes 11—18 ------- 2 Figure or Exhibit No. Page 11—2 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Annual Costs per Generator 11—26 11—3 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of waste——Recurring National Cost to Industry by Functional Components——Small Volume Generators 11—30 11—4 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Recurring National Cost to Industry by Fixed and Variable Components—— Small Volume Generators 11—31 11—5 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——Generator Marginal Recurring Cost 11—32 1 11—1 Comparison of RCRA Baseline Costs to the States and Agency with Expected RCRA Funding Levels for Fiscal Years 1981 and 1982 111—14 111—2 Comparison of RCRA Baseline Costs to the States and Agency with Expected RCRA Funding Levels for Fiscal Years 1983 Through 1985 111—15 111-3 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——National Recurring Costs to the States and Agency of Regulating Small Volume Generators 111—28 111—4 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste——National Recurring Costs to the States and Agency for Program Operation by Function- al Components——Small Volume Generators 111—29 111—5 Regulatory Option: Exempti’on by Quantity of Waste——State and Agency Marginal Recurring Costs of Regulating Small Volume Generators 111-31 111-6 Fiscal Year 1981: RCRA Program Costs to the States and Agency 111—36 111—7 Fiscal Year 1982: RCRA Program Costs to the States and Agency 111—37 111—8 Fiscal Years 1983—1985: Total RCRA Program Costs to the States and Agency 111-38 ------- 3 Figure or Exhibit No. Page C-i EPA Manpower Needs for Review of Notification Documents C-8 C—2 State amd Agency Manpower Needs for Review of Generator Exception Reports c-io C—3 State and Agency Manpower Needs for Entry of Annual Report Data into ADP System C-i2 D—i Cumulative Distribution of Generators by Waste Generation Ranges for Selected SICs D—8 D—2 Cumulative Distribution of Generators by Waste Generation Ranges for All SICs D—ii D—3 Regulatory Option: Exemption by Quantity of Waste—-Annual Costs per Generator D—14 ------- Part I OVERVIEW Chapter 1 of this part presents a concise statement of findings and conclusions of the study of economic impacts of regulatory approaches to small volume generators. These are discussed within the framework of RCRA requirements for large volume generators, transporters, and operators of treatment, storage, and disposal facilities. Chapter 2 of this part presents the methodology of the economic analysis, as performed by EPA ’s economic consultants. ------- 1—2 Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION AND FINDINGS INTRODUCTION This report presents an analysis of the costs and economic impacts associated with implementing alternative regulatory ap- proaches to generators of small quantities of hazardous wastes under Subtitle C of the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA). On December 18, 1978, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed regulations for identification and listing of hazardous wastes and for treatment, storage, and disposal of hazardous wastes. Generators of less than 100 kilograms per month (kg/mo) were exempted from the proposed regulations pro- vided their wastes were disposed of in an approved waste dis- posal facility. However, the preamble to the proposed regula- tions drew attention to the importance of regulating generators of small quantities of wastes in a way that would balance the need to protect human health and the environment from the ad- verse effect of careless management of small quantities of hazardous wastes with the need to contain the administrative and economic burden of management within reasonable and prac- tical limits. The preamble suggested five general categories of adjust- ments to the regulations to account for the needs of small quantity generators. These were: • Varying the quantity threshold between large and small volume generators, • Relating the volume threshold to a considera- tion of the degree of hazard of particular wastes, • Exempting small volume generators from fed- eral regulations where they are regulated in an approved manner by state regulations, • Lessening the administrative and/or technical requirements applicable to small volume gen- erators, and • Phasing in the regulatory coverage of small volume generators over time. ------- 1—3 The definition of a small volume hazardous waste generator was based on a physical measure of the waste generated and not on the economic value of the product. Given this definition, two important regulatory issues are: (1) the determination of the threshold between large and small volume generators; and (2) the design of regulations applying to the latter. Regulatory requirements for small volume generators that are substantially similar to those for large volume generators might prove burden- some to both industry and to states administering the program. Conversely, substantially dissimilar regulatory requirements may give smaller establishments a competitive economic advantage. Consequently, the overall objective of this study of the costs and economic impacts of small volume hazardous waste generator regulations under RCRA was to assess the economic impacts of several alternative regulatory strategies. These strategies varied in both their regulatory requirements and in the number of plants covered. To accomplish this objective, EPA directed its economic consultants to emphasize three study areas: • Developing unit administrative and technical costs of compliance at the plant level for specific regulations; assessing industry im- pacts; and aggregating those data to arrive at a national estimate of costs and impacts. • Developing state and Agency program costs for regulatory options under consideration and comparing those costs to state and Agency needs for other parts of the RCRA program. • Identifying constraints in the system that would prohibit or hinder implementation of regulatory approaches; and examining ap- proaches that would provide regulatory relief. Parts II, III, and IV of this report, respectively, discuss these study areas in detail. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS It is estimated that approximately 762 thousand establish- ments in manufacturing, transportation, wholesale, and service industries could have to comply with RCRA Subtitle C generator ------- 1-4 regulations when disposing of their 61 million metric tons per year of waste. The national profile of these generators was developed by EPA’s technical contractor for this study and is shown in Figure i_i.1 Establishments generating more than 5,000 kilograms in any one month were determined in this study to be large volume gen- erators. 2 They account for 97.7 percent of the wastes and 5.3 percent of the establishments. The generators producing 5,000 kg/mo or less of hazardous wastes contribute 1.4 million metric tons per year (2.3 percent of the wastes) and the estab— lishments are estimated to number nearly 722,000 (94.7 percent of the total number of generators). Figure 1—2 also shows that generators contributing the smallest quantities on a per estab- lishment basis (0 to 100 kg/mo) account for a very high percent of generators. Specifically, generators producing less than 100 kg/mo of hazardous waste account for 74 percent of the generators, yet they contribute less than 0.3 percent of the total waste produced each year. The universe of generators can further be separated into manufacturing and non—manufacturing sectors. Among small volume generators, manufacturing industries account for 13 percent of all generators and 47 percent of the total waste, while non— manufacturing industries account for 87 percent of the genera- tors and 53 percent of the wastes. Most generators in the non— manufacturing sector produce very small quantities of waste—— 82 percent of that group are in the 0 to 100 kg/mo waste genera- tion range——while the distribution is more balanced in the man- ufacturing sector. The average waste generation rate for the small generators in the manufacturing sector is 576 kg/mo while in the non—manufacturing sector it is 98 kg/mo. 1 Tbe number of generators and waste quantities was based on criteria broader than the current RCRA Subtitle C lists. The technical contractor included waste streams that, in the future, may be designated as hazardous. Excluded from these estimates were retailers and waste oil generators. 2 The December 18, 1978, regulations (40 CFR Part 250, page 58946) proposed a 100 kg/mo cutoff as the exemption cutoff for small generators and referred to a suggested alternative cutoff level of 1,000 kg/mo. A 5,000 kg/mo generation rate for defining small generators was selected here to allow examination of even higher exemption cutoff levels. ------- Figure I—i NATIONAL HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATION PROFILE ALL GENERATORS I Thousands of Qimulative % Generators of Generators cumulative % of Hazardous Wastes from Millions of Metric Tons Per Year Generators 7618 685.6 609.4 533.2 . 100 90 80 70 . • I I I I I / S I I I I 100 90 70 80 . • • 61)7 54.6 42.5 48.5 457.1 60 / I I 60 36.4 38o.1 so / . I I 50 • 30.3 304.7 40 - I I I 40 24.3 228.5 30 I g I I I 30 18.2 152.4 - 20 I - I I I I 20 • 12.1 76.2 10 - I I / WASTE QUANTITY , I I 10 6.1 0 0 1,000 2,000 3.000 4,000 5 ,000 WASTE GENERATION RATE (kg/mo) ------- Figure 1—2 NATIONAL HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATION PROFILE SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS cumulative , , Cumulatsve % Thousands of of small of Hazardous Small Volume Volume Wastes From Millions of Generators Generators - Small Volume Metric Tons Generators Per Year 721.6 100 - 1ÔO 1.4 90 1.2 649.5 90 577.3 80 . 80 1.1 505.1 70 . 70 1.0 WASTE QUANTITY 433.0 60 60 0.8 I -I 360.9 50 50 0.7 288.6 40 0.6 216.5 30 30 0.4 144.3 20 20 0.3 72.2 10 . 10 0.1 0 __ I I I ___ 0 0 1 ,000 2,000 3.000 4,000 5,000 WASTE GENERATION RATE (kg/mo) ------- 1—7 The major contributing industries in the manufacturing sector, based on the quantity of wastes generated by small volume establishments, are SIC 35——machinery, except electrical; SIC 34——fabricated metal products; and SIC 27——printing and publish- ing. These three SICs contribute 58 percent of the generators and 47 percent of the waste quantity in the manufacturing sector. ‘ In the non—manufacturing sector, the major contributing SICs in terms of waste quantities are SIC 55——automotive dealers and gasoline service stations; and SIC 76——miscellaneous repair services. These two SICs account for just over 50 percent of the wastes. In terms of number of generators, two SICs account for more than 50 percent of the establishments though they con- tribute just 16 percent of the wastes. These are SIC 72—— personal services; and SIC 17——construction, special trade. The following sections present a summary of the economic impacts to small volume generators and regulators of one regu- latory option——exemption by quantity of wastes. ECONOMIC IMPACTS-—EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTES Industry Costs——Small Volume Generators National costs to industry will have both one—time and re- curring cost components. These costs will vary as the number of generators and quantity of wastes in the RCRA system vary. One—time costs including comparison to list, waste testing, notification and design of procedures, as shown in Table I—i, will reach a maximum of $71.4 million dollars (in constant 1978 dollars) as the quantity exemption is lowered to zero. The most important contribution to total one—time costs is the number of generators included at low quantity cutoffs. At a zero cutoff, 722,000 generators incur a relatively low average cost of approx- imately $100 each. At a cutoff of 2,000 kg/mo, the average cost per generator for the 11,300 small volume generators in the sys- tem is approximately $280. 3 Throughout this report industries are identified by SIC code. This Standard Industrial Classification system is maintained by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. ------- 1—8 Table I-i REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE TOTAL ONE-TIME COSTS TO INDUSTRY (millions of constant 1978 dollars) Total Cost per Task Quantity Waste Total NLmlber Cutoff Quantity Regulated of Generators Comparison Design of Total Cost ( kg/mo) ( thousand HT/yr) ( thousands) to List Testing Notification Procedures All Tasks 5,000 0 0 SO SO SO SO SO 2.000 474 11.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.2 3.2 1,000 753 26.8 1.3 2.0 0.9 2.8 7.0 500 949 49.8 2.1 2.0 1.6 5.1 10.8 100 1,248 158.5 4.3 2.0 3.8 10.5 20.6 0 1,388 721.6 15.6 2.0 15.1 38.7 71.4 Recurring costs, shown in Figure 1—3, include administra- tive and technical costs, and total as much as $719 million (in constant 1978 dollars) when the quantity exemption is lowered to 0 kg/mo. The major components of these costs are the admin- istrative tasks of comprehensive and sample testing of wastes and the technical tasks of hauling and disposal of wastes. The task of performing an annual comprehensive test is esti- mated to cost approximately $500 per generator at waste genera- tion quantity ranges below 5,000 kg/mo. The importance of this fixed cost relative to total compliance costs at the lower vol- ume ranges is demonstrated by the marginal cost of compliance per metric ton as the quantity cutoff is lowered. (Marginal cost analysis in this study shows the cost of regulating the tons of waste brought into the RCRA system as the quantity range is lowered, for example the cost to generators per ton of waste in the 500 to 1,000 kg/mo range as the cutoff moves from a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff to a 500 kg/mo cutoff.) Figure 1—3 shows that the national cost of compliance to generators at a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff is approximately $91 million for the 753,000 metric tons per year added to the system by generators in the 1,000 to 5,000 kg/mo range. That yields an average cost per ton of ap- proximately $121, as shown in Figure 1—4. Lowering the quantity cutoff to 500 kg/mo adds 196,000 metric tons to the system at an additional cost of $36 million or $184 per ton. A further de- crease in the cutoff to 100 kg/mo adds 300,000 metric tons at a total cost of $114 million or $380 per ton while setting the quantity cutoff at 0 kg/mo yields an average cost of about $3,400 per ton for the 140,000 metric tons added to the system. ------- Figure 1—3 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE RECURRING NATIONAL COST TO SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS (Constant 1978 Dollars) 99.74% 98.48% 700 719 ANNUAL COST (Millions of Dollars) 250 200 150- TESTING COST DISPOSAL COST HAULING COST ADMINISTRATIVE COST 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 100% VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 0 97.7% 99.26% 98.94% PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED ------- 1—10 MARGINAL cosi (Dollars Per Metric Ton) Figure 1—4 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE MARGINAL RECURRING COST TO SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS (Constant 1978 Dollars) 1000 900 $00 700 600 500 400 0 121 100 100% 500 99.74% VOLUME CUTOFF (ks/mo) 99.28% 1000 0 98.94% 97.70% CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED ------- I—li The costs of hauling and disposal shown in Figure 1—3 are based on the assumed availability of commercial haulers and off- site hazardous waste disposal facilities. No allowance has been made for the possibility that capacity may be constrained in both industries and haulers and disposers may be reluctant to take on the business of small quantity generators in a constrained market. The total national available capacity of off—site facilities to receive hazardous wastes is estimated to be approximately 25 per- cent less than the capacity required for the off—site disposal of hazardous wastes from large volume generators. Likewise, commer- cial hazardous waste haulers operate at close to 100 percent of capacity currently, and demand for their services is expected to increase as large volume generators discontinue their self—haul- ing activities rather than comply with stricter RCRA requirements for transporters. The implications of these potential shortfalls will be discussed in the following section on industry impacts. Industry Impacts One measure of the economic impacts of RCRA—induced compli- ance costs on particular industries is the ratio of these costs to industry sales. As in the Draft Economic Impact Analysis of 17 major industries, the small volume generator study classified an industry as experiencing high impact if compliance costs were estimated to be higher than 2 percent of sales, while percentages of 0.5 to 2.0 were defined as having moderate impacts. Table 1—2 lists the percent and number of plants on a na- tional basis that would incur impacts of more than 2 percent of sales. Based on a detailed analysis of nine industries, and projecting that analysis to the national profile, the following conclusions can be reached: • No impacts are anticipated among manufacturing industries, even at a quantity cutoff of 0 kg/mo. However, individual plants, in a limited number of cases, may experience higher than expected impacts. This distortion results from varying waste generation rates and, therefore, varying compliance costs among firms with the same sales volumes. ------- 1—12 • Among non—manufacturing industries, impacts are anticipated primarily among establishments with low annual sales volumes. At a quantity cutoff of 0 kg/mo, 45 percent of non—manufacturing establishments will have impacts greater than 2 percent of sales. Three industry groups will be particularly affected: ——Special trade contractors (SIC 17), especially plumbing, heating, air conditioning, painting, paperhanging, and decorating; ——Personal services (SIC 72), especially beauty parlors, barber shops, laundries, and funeral services; and -—Auto services (SICs 55 and 75), especially gasoline service stations, auto repair shops, and new and used car dealers. • Setting the quantity exemption at any level above O kg/mo greatly reduces the number of impacted establishments. Only Agricultural services (SIC 07) has impacts above a zero cutoff due to steeply rising waste generation rates that do not conform to those in other industries. These results con- firm that it is the fixed costs of participating in the hazardous waste system and not the variable costs of disposal that result in major impacts. Table 1-2 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PERCENT AND NUMBER OF GENERATORS WITH COMPLIANCE COSTS GREATER THAN NO PERCENT OF SALES SIC Description Volume Cutoff 0 kg/mo 100 kg/mo 500 kg/mo Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number 25 4,500 1 200 07 Agricultural Services 17 Special Trade Contractors 55 Auto Dea’ers and Service 72 Personal Services 73 BusIness Services 75 Auto Repair 76 Miscellaneous Repair 79 Recreational Services 38 7,000 61 92,000 7 12,000 67 12B,000 33 10,000 44 29,000 61 15,000 29 2,000 45 295.000 Total 1 4,500 0 200 ------- 1—13 Capacity constraints in the hauling and disposal industries may lead to increases in the rates small volume generators pay for these services. Increases would be relatively more burden- some to larger volume generators than smaller volume generators, as more of the recurring costs of compliance are comprised of hauling and disposal costs as the quantity of waste increases. Sensitivity analysis was performed to determine how high these costs would have to be before total compliance costs exceeded 2 percent of sales. For SICs showing no impacts in Table 1—2 at 100 kg/mo and 500 kg/mo, hauling and disposal costs would have to increase at least tenfold for compliance costs to exceed 2 percent of sales. A second way to assess the economic impacts of RCRA on establishments is by measuring the profitability rates before and after incurring compliance costs. Assuming that the costs of compliance are not passed through to customers in the form of price increases, negative profitability, and therefore a high likelihood of plant closures and job losses, would be experi- enced in several SICs. Table 1—3 shows the percent and number of plants on a na- tional basis that would incur negative profitability. The fol- lowing conclusions can be reached: • Impacts are likely to occur at a quantity cut- off of 0 kg/mo only. Above that level, no in- dustries would be vulnerable based on profits before tax. However, as with impacts based on sales, it is possible that some individual gen- erators in these industries may experience nega- tive profitability because of baseline profit- ability or waste generation rates that deviate from the mean for the industry as a whole. • In the manufacturing sector, no industries that currently have positive profitability would ex- perience negative profitability. Only SIC 3471—— plating and polishing——would show negative prof- itability, but available financial data indicate that pre—RCRA profits are already negative in that industry. • In the non—manufacturing sector, impacts range from a low of 8 percent of the generators in agricultural services (SIC 17) to a high of 58 percent in business services (SIC 73). ------- 1-14 Table 1-3 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PERCENT AND NUMBER OF GENERATORS WITh COMPLIANCE COSTS GREATER THAN PROFITS BEFORE TAXES (at quantity exeeption of 0 kg/mo) Generators SIC Description Percent Number 07 Agricultural Services 8—25 1,000—5,000 17 Special Trade Contractors 53 80.000 55 Auto Dealers and Service 14 24,000 72 Personal Services 34-52 65,000-99,000 73 Business Services 29-58 9,000—18,000 75 Auto Repair 32 21,000 76 MIscellaneous Repair 42-56 10,000-13,000 79 Recreational ServIces 9 1,000 Total 32—40 210,000—260,000 It is clear from Tables 1—2 and 1—3 that, among exposed non—manufacturing establishments, impacts are anticipated based on both sales and profits. The maximum impact, accounting for either criterion, will be about 48 percent, or 315,000 establish- ments. Closures are likely among candidate firms only if the costs of compliance cannot be passed through to customers. Price in- creases necessary for the median closure candidate firm to avoid closure are 7 to 8 percent. Several factors will affect the proportion of candidates that actually close, including: • Price elasticities, • Ease of entry and exit, and • National economic conditions. Demand for special trade contractors and personal services is closely tied to national economic conditions, and low capital requirements result in considerable ease of entry and exit among smaller establishments. In a recessionary economy, closures would be extremely likely, at least among the lower 25 percent of establishments in sales. Both incremental RCRA costs and economic conditions would be responsible for closures. In a healthy economy, establishments should be able to realize the necessary 7 to 8 percent price increases. In auto services, capital investments are greater and sensitivity to economic ------- I —15 conditions varies. Closures would be less likely among these establishments, but some closures would take place among firms with low profitability. State and Agency Costs National regulatory costs to states and the Agency will have both one time and recurring cost components. These costs will vary primarily as the number of generators in the RCRA system varies. One—time costs, shown in Table 1—4, will reach a maximum of $3.1 million (in constant 1978 dollars) as the quantity exemption is lowered to zero. The total cost for this task depends only on the number of generators in the system since the per generator cost is independent of the volume of waste produced. Table 1-4 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE NATIONAL ONE-TIME COSTS TO ThE AGENCY: SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR NOTIFICATION (constant 1978 dollars) Total Costs Volume Cutoff Number of (millions ( kg/nm J Generators of dollars ) 5,000 0 5 0 1,000 26,765 0.12 100 158,498 0.68 0 721,625 3.10 Recurring costs, shown in Figure 1—5, occur at the program operation and oversight levels and total as much as $25.5 mil- lion when the quantity exemption is lowered to 0 kg/mo. Costs which are determined by the number of generators in the system represent nearly 95 percent of the costs associated with regula- tion. Of these costs, the most dominant component is the cost of enforcement actions. Based on actual experience in several states that have well—developed hazardous waste management pro- grams, the likelihood of a generator requiring an enforcement action is about 3 percent. The large number of generators en- tering the system as the quantity exemption is lowered to 0 kg/mo ------- 1—16 has a dramatic impact on total enforcement costs, even at that relatively low rate of enforcement activity. As with industry costs, the marginal cost of regulating additional quantities of waste included in the RCRA system increases significantly at lower volume cutoffs. As the waste quantity cutoff decreases from 5,000 kg/mo to 1,000 kg/mo the cost to the states and Agency averages $1.29 per ton, as shown in Figure 1—6. Lowering the quantity cutoff to 500 kg/mo adds 196,000 metric tons to the system at a marginal cost of $4.23 per ton. Decreasing the cutoff to 100 kg/mo adds 300,000 met- ric tons at a marginal cost of $12.73. The most substantial increase in marginal cost occurs as the cutoff is lowered to 0 kg/mo. Including the additional 140,000 metric tons comes at a cost of $142 per ton. State and Agency Impacts A concern frequently expressed by the states and EPA is the availability of adequate resources for RCRA program imple- mentation. Therefore, it is appropriate to compare resource needs for regulating small volume generators at different exemp- tion quantity cutoffs with resource needs for other elements of the RCRA program. Table 1—5 presents projected total costs 4 for RCRA during the years 1981—1985, excluding state and Agency costs associated with small volume generator tasks. Costs are larger (in constant dollars) for the first two years than for later years due to pro- gram development and notification activities. Approximately two— thirds of the costs are associated with regulation of non—genera- tors, where the major cost item is permitting of existing treat- ment, storage, and disposal facilities (TSDFs), scheduled to be completed during the first six years of the program. 4 Costs shown in the tables and discussed in the text of this section on State and Agency Impacts are expressed in current dollars for the years 1981 through 1985 to demonstrate pro- jected funding and needs during the first five years of the program. ------- 1-17 ANNUAL COST (Millions of Dollars) Figure 1—5 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE NATIONAL RECURRING COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY OF REGULATING SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS’ (Constant 1978 Dollars) 25 15 - 10 5 500 1000 5000 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 100% 99.74% 9926% 98.94% 97.70% CUMULATiVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 1 Assumlng 37 jurisdiction apply for and receive authorization and EPA regional offices manage program In remaining 19 jurisdictIons. 20 25.5 PROGRAM OVERSIGHT COSTS PROGRAM OPERATION COSTS 5.6 1.8 0 100 1.0 0 ------- 1—18 Figure 1—6 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE STATE AND AGENCY MARGINAL RECURRING COSTS OF REGULATING SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS 1 (Constant 1978 Dollars) VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 99.74% 99.26% PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED MARGINAL COST (Dollars Per Metric Ton) 15 - PROGRAM OPERATION ENDS AT 133 PROGRAM OVERSIGHT _________ PROGRAM ________ OPERATION 12.73 100 100% ‘Aa.uming 37 19 juri.dictIot s. 98.94% jur .dIctions apply for and r.celvs authorization and EPA regional offices manag. program in remaining ------- 1—19 Table 1-5 RCRA BASELINE COSTS TO THE STATES AND EPA REGIONS 1 (millions of current dollars) Fiscal Year Program Component 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Program development S 3.6 S 3.9 S 0 S 0 S 0 Program oversight 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.6 Regulation of non- generators --Permitting 2 27.2 29.5 31.8 34.2 36.8 --Monitoring Activities 3 9.1 9.9 10.7 11.5 12.4 General program administration 12.2 13.2 14.2 15.3 16.5 Regulation of large volume generators 4 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.7 Total Baseline Cost $58.5 $63.2 $63.9 $68.7 $74.0 1 Assuming 37 jurisdictions apply for and receive authorization fn 1980 and EPA manages program in the remaining 19 jurisdictions. 2 Pennittlng of 25,100 existing TSDFs assumed to be completed in the first six years of program operation. 3 Enforceiient, surveillance, report review, lab services. 4 lncludes notification in first year. Based on current information, it is anticipated that Con- gress will appropriate $30 million yearly in fiscal years 1981 through 1985 toward financing of state hazardous waste programs and $15.3 million yearly toward financing of EPA regions’ man- agement of RCRA programs in unauthorized states and TSDF permit- ting support in all jurisdictions. Table 1—6 presents the ex- pected federal and state shares of future RCRA expenditures. The data are based on the assumptions that states will use fed- eral grant funds to finance all program development activities and that the remaining federal grant money allocated for state use will be matched with state funds on a 75:25 basis to finance program operation activities. A comparison of projected needs in Table 1—5 and projected resources in Table 1—6 shows that there could be shortfalls ranging from a low of $1.7 million in 1981 to a high of $16.0 million in 1985 without allowance for small volume generator resource requirements. ------- 1—20 Table 1—5 RCRA BASELINE FUNDING TO TIlE STATES AND EPA REGIONS FOR SELECTED ACTIVITIES 1 (mlfl Ions of current dollars) Fiscal Year Projected ExpendItures 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 EPA regional efforts 2 $18.0 $18.0 $18.0 $18.0 $18.0 Authorized state efforts • Progrmii development 3.6 3.9 0 0 0 • Program operation -—Federal share 26.4 26.1 30.0 30.0 30.0 --State share 8.8 8.7 10.0 10.0 10.0 • Total Expenditures $56.8 $56.7 558.0 $58.0 S58.O 1 Assuming 37 jurisdictions apply for and receive authorization In 1980 and EPA manages program in remainIng 19 jurisdIctions. 2 lncludes program operation In 19 unauthorized states, TSDF permit- ting support In all states and program oversight In 37 authorized states. As small volume generators are included in the analysis, shortfalls become more pronounced. Table 1-7 shows that set- ting the quantity exemption at 1,000 kg/mo adds additional bud- get needs of $1.4 million in 1981 and increases the costs of regulating generators by a third again over large volume gener- ator costs. At a 100 kg/mo cutoff, state and Agency program operation costs for small volume generators are $8.2 million in 1981. This cost is more than twice as large as the annual cost of regulating large volume generators who account for 97.7 percent of all haz- ardous waste. At a 0 kg/mo cutoff, state and Agency costs for regulating small volume generators total to $37.2 million in 1981. This cost, equal to 40 percent of the $95.7 million cost of all pro- gram expenditures combined, is approached only by the $27.2 mil- lion cost of permitting existing TSDFs. ------- 1—21 — Table 1-7 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE ESTIMATED RCRA PROGRAM COSTS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1981 THROUGH 1985 AT SELECTED GENERATOR EXEMPTION LEVELS (millions of current dollars) Generator Exenpt1on Fiscal Year Level ( kg/mo ) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 5,000* 58.5 63.2 63.9 68.7 74.0 1,000 59.9 64.6 65.4 70.3 75.7 500 61.1 65.7 66.6 71.6 77.2 100 66.7 71.1 72.4 77.9 83.9 0 95.7 99.1 102.6 110.4 118.9 WTotal baseline costs (see Table 1-5). Two assumptions are particularly germane to this analysis: • Regulatory agencies will attempt to carry out the RCRA program according to the full needs of the states and the full requirements of the pro- gram. • Only federal and regional funds and state matching funds are included in this presentation of avail- able resources. States perceiving a need for additional resources may choose to allocate addi- tional unmatched funds. Whatever the cutoff selected, the inclusion of small volume generators in the full RCRA program leads to even greater budget shortfalls than those estimated earlier. Figures 1—7 through 1-9 illustrate the total program needs as volume cutoffs range from 5,000 kg/mo to 0 kg/mo for fiscal years 1981 through 1985. As anticipated, state budget needs increase steadily, with the most dramatic shift in resource needs occurring at cutoffs below 100 kg/mo. To regulate the last 0.23 percent of wastes disposed by hazardous waste generators, the program would include an additional 570,000 generators who each contribute less than 100 kg/mo, and total program regulatory costs would have to in- crease by 40 percent. These needs can be translated to program ------- Figure I—i ANNUAL TOTAL COST (Millions of Dollars) 1981 Dollars FISCAL YEAR 1981: RCRA PROGRAM COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY’ (Current Dollars) LI 100 99.74 99.26 98.94 2000 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 98.48 PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED -j 97.70 ‘AssumIng 37 jurisdictions apply for and receive interim authorization and EPA regional offices manage program In remaIning 19 jurisdictions. ‘ LARGE VOLUME GENERATOR COSTS 2 NON—GENERATOR AND GENERAL ADMINISTRATION PROGRAM OVERSIGHT PROGRAM DEVELOPMEPIr SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS 2 56.8 54.8 3__0 2 l j j notification processing cosu. ------- ANNUAL TOTAL COST (Millions of Dollars) 1982 Dollars 99.1 59.4 56.7 Figure I—B FISCAL YEAR 1982: RCRA PROGRAM COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY’ (Current Dollars) V 100 99.74 99.26 98.94 Li ______________ 3000 VOLUME CUTOFF (kglmo) 98.48 PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 97.70 6.81 LARGE VOLUME GENERATOR COSTS NON—GENERATOR AND GENERAL ADMINISTRATION cOSTS PROGRAM OVERSIGHT PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT I I I I 1 Assuming 37 jurisdictions apply for and receive interim authorization and EPA regional offices manage program in remaining 19 jurisdictions. ------- Figure 1—9 FISCAL YEARS 1983—1985: TOTAL RCRA PROGRAM COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY’ 1985 1984 1983 DOOMS DolI.rs Dofta- , 118.9 - 110.4 1O2. - (Current Dollars) 74.0 - 68.7 -63.9 69.3 - 64.3 - 59.8 58.0 58.0 - — 58.0 - — — — 3.8 - 3.3 - 3.1 - ______ I .-•:•:•:•:•:-:•:•:-: :•:•:•: :•:•:•:•:•:•:•:•:•:•::•:•:: .: .: .: .19aa EXPENDITURES LEvEL: : :•:•:•:•:•:•:-:•: :•:•:•: .: : . :______________ ____ Ek EWd YUAE u veL:•:•: :-: -: -:•:•:•:•:•: :•:•:• : . .-. .,----::..: . : •E5ci’ iIiiIIiAEs L \Ei::::::::::::: :::::::::::::::: :iii: i:•;tiiii:iiiiii:iiiii z:•:i—i Ii : iii—i— :•: : : :: :•:•—t: : : :•: — i -: --t : i: :•: :::::•: :: :::• ::::::•: e&e -‘ LIJ• tU !:J L J t LARGE VOLUME J GENERATOR COSTS NON—GENERATOR AND GENERAL ADMINISTRATION COSTS i } PROGRAM OVERSIGHT 0 100 500 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) Ii 10099.74 99.26 98.94 98.48 PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 97.0 ANNUAL TOTAL WST (Millions of Dollars) VOLUME GENERATORS 1 Assuming 31 jurisdictions apply for and receive full authorization and EPA regional offices manage program in remaining 19 jurisdictions. ------- 1—25 shortfalls as shown in Table 1—8. In 1981 the cost of conducting the RCRA program without consideration for small volume genera- tors leads to a budget deficit of $1.7 million. That deficit increases to $16 million in 1985 due to the difference between escalated program costs and fixed levels of funding. The def- icit incurred by regulating generators at a 0 kg/mo cutoff is $38.9 million in 1981 and increases to $60.9 million in 1985. Intermediate cutoffs, between 5,000 kg/mo and 0 kg/mo, lead to corresponding budget deficits. Table 1-8 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE ESTIMATED RCRA PROGRAM SHORTFALLS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1981 THROUGH 1985 AT SELECTED GENERATOR EXEMPTION LEVELS (millions of current dollars per year) Generator Fiscal Year E enption Level 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 (kg/me) 5,000* 1.7 6.5 5.9 10.7 16.0 1,000 3.1 7.9 7.4 12.3 17.7 500 4.3 9.0 8.6 13.6 19.2 100 9.9 14.4 14.4 19.9 25.9 0 38.9 42.4 44.6 52.4 60.9 *Basellne shortfalls, before regulation of small volume generators. These observations suggest a need to examine more closely the relative cost—effectiveness of regulating small volume gen- erators. One method of accomplishing this is to compare the average per ton costs of regulation for the major components of program operation. Table 1—9 shows that the average per ton cost of regulating all small volume generators far exceeds the average costs of regulating TSDFs and large volume generators; the relative difference approaches one or two orders of magnitude. Recalling Figure 1—6, which shows the marginal Cost of regula- ting small volume generators, the $1.29 per ton cost of regula- ting even the largest (1,000—5,000 kg/mo) small volume generators still surpasses the average cost of regulating any other program component. ------- 1—26 Table 1-9 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PER TON COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY OF REGULATION AT 0 kg/mo CUTOFF: FISCAL YEARS 1981 TO 1985 (constant 1978 dollars) Program Operation Cost Metric Tons of Hazardous Wastes Total Annual Average per Ton Program Component Handled Annually Regulatory Cost Regulatory Cost Small Volume Generators 1,388,136 $24 million $17.29/MT Large Volume Generators 59,292,384 $2.6 million $O.045/MT Non-Generators: Transporters and T5DFs 59,292,384 $21.9 million $0.47/MT The average per ton costs of regulation need not be similar for each part of the program. However, given the constraints on state resource levels for the next five years, the analysis does argue that there should be a compelling reason for regulating small volume generators during the initial years of the program when their per ton costs of regulation far exceed the per ton costs of regulating other hazardous waste handling establish- ments. REGULATORY RELIEF The discussion in the preceding sections indicates that for the regulatory option of exemption by quantity of wastes total costs to industry are anticipated to be approximately $720 million per year for generators of less than 5,000 kg/mo, and that costs to the states and Agency for regulating these wastes would be approximately $25 million per year (in constant 1978 dollars). These costs result in major impacts in two areas: • Potential plant closures due to high costs to individual generators, especially those with low sales and waste volumes who would need to absorb high fixed costs of compliance, and, ------- 1—27 • Near—term constraints on state and Agency re- sources caused by the need to incorporate large numbers of generators into the hazardous waste system. In both cases described above, the effects of small volume generator regulations in the absence of some form of relief could prove counterproductive to the objectives of RCRA. For generators, the high cost of legally disposing of wastes may act as an incentive for illegal disposal. For the regulatory agencies, the requirement to control small volume generators could divert resources from higher priority problem areas among large volume generators and TSDFs. Consequently, regulatory relief measures should be considered which accomplish the following objectives: • Control the maximum amount of wastes in the early years, • Encourage administrative simplicity for regu- lators, • Allow adequate time for the states and Agency to implement regulations, • Allow flexibility for states and EPA regional offices to account for local conditions in implementing regulations, and • Avoid discriminatory effects within industries. Possible Relief Measures Relief measures can be designed to mitigate impacts on both generators and regulators. Generator impacts can be lessened by allowing alternative compliance strategies which avoid the high fixed cost of compliance while ensuring en- vironmentally sound hazardous waste disposal. State and EPA impacts result primarily from tasks such as enforcement and inspection, as well as from the administrative complexity of incorporating large numbers of generators into the RCRA system. Some of these impacts can be addressed primarily by phasing the introduction of these generators over a period of years. A cutoff established by quantity of waste or by industry group is the primary means of controlling the number of genera- tors in the RCRA system. Once this cutoff has been established, ------- T g, j. — _ phasing the introduction of generators into the hazardous waste system can be an effective means of alleviating impacts. Al- though phasing does not, in itself, diminish ultimate costs, a combination of a quantity exemption and phasing does provide several important benefits. The major benefits for generators would be to eliminate the expense of compliance for some genera- tors, postpone the expense of compliance for other generators, and lessen a tendency toward monopolistic pricing if demand for transportation and disposal facilities outpaces supply. Several important benefits to the regulators would be: • An opportunity to reduce the absolute number of generators in the system with minimal sacrifice in environmental control of the total quantity of wastes generated; • An ability to focus limited resources in the initial stages of the program on high—priority areas; • Time to develop adequate Subtitle C treatment, storage, and disposal facilities; • Time to develop administrative systems for monitoring and enforcing compliance; and • Time to hire and train staff adequate to handle large numbers of small volume generators. Table 1—10 presents the number of establishments, waste quantities, and industry and regulatory agency costs for a regulatory approach based on a quantity exemption of 100 kg/mo and a phasing period of five years. This program of regulatory relief would permanently exclude generators of less than 100 kg/mo from RCRA requirements and would include all other generators, within a manageable time frame, over the first five years of the program. Setting the first year cutoff at 5,000 kg/mo would immediately include 97.7 percent of all hazardous wastes generated but would bring just over 5 percent of all generators into the system. (The costs to large volume generators have been developed in separate studies and are not available here. The costs to the states and EPA for control of large volume generators are presented in Part III of this report.) ------- 1—29 Table 1-10 QUANTITY-BASED PHASING OPTION FOR ALL GENERATORS OF LESS THAN 5,000 kg/mo AND MORE THAN 100 kg/mo (constant 1978 dollars) Number of Small Annual Cost Volume Generators Cumulative (S mtll1on) Cumulative (000) Percent of Cutoff Percent of Establistinents Year ( kg/nm) Industry State Total Wastes Introduced Regulated Regulated 1 5,000 N.A. SO - 97.7% 0 0 5.3 2 2,000 S 54 1 $ 55 98.4 11.3 11.3 6.8 3 1,000 91 1 92 98.9 15.5 26.8 8.8 4 500 127 2 129 99.3 23.0 49.8 11.8 5 100 241 5 246 99.7 108.7 158.5 26.1 N.A. • Not available. *Cost for regulating generators of less than 5,000 kg/mo. As the cutoff is lowered to the quantity exemption level of 100 kg/mo, the RCRA program would cover 99.7 percent of all wastes and 26.1 percent of generators. Seventy—four percent of all generators would be excluded permanently from regulatory responsibility, though only 0.3 percent of hazardous wastes would not be tracked administratively. This approach is especially attractive when examining the small volume generators separate from larger volume generators. During the second year of the program 34 percent of the wastes from generators producing less than 5,000 kg/mo enter the system, yet only 1.6 percent of these generators are introduced. Dur- ing the third year, more than half the wastes are controlled, while the generators represent only 4 percent. These figures emphasize that states and EPA would be able to focus their resources on high—priority, larger volume generators. Economically, a quantity—based phasing approach could dis- criminate among generators within the same industry. In par- ticular, among generators in SICs whose waste generation rates are spread over a broad range of quantity categories, a quantity— based phasing option may place low volume generators at a com- petitive advantage to high volume generators. However, this study has shown that low volume generators are at a disadvantage due to the high fixed costs of the RCRA requirements. Therefore, implementing a combined quantity exemption and phasing approach would provide relief to nearly all the potentially impacted ------- 1-30 generators. A corollary to the advantage gained by low volume generators may be an incentive for generators to concentrate their wastes in order to fall below the quantity exemption. Disadvantages of a quantity—based phasing option, however, may be significant. Environmentally, it does not differentiate among categories of wastes. Consequently, although it covers a very large percentage of the quantity of wastes, it may leave unregulated until the later years certain important categories of wastes. Administratively, it may be difficult to enforce with respect to generators close to a quantity cutoff. The burden of determining whether a particular generator is or is not included under the cutoff for a given year will fall on the regulatory agencies, and may result in significant additional legal and administrative expenses. State and federal regulators may mitigate the administra- tive problems by requiring generators who are not yet in the system to keep records of disposal activities, including such information as quantities produced, characteristics of waste streams, collection and disposal methods, and destination of wastes. These records could be made available through an annual report or on request if questions arise regarding disposal practices. Other regulatory relief measures could be proposed as addi- tional data regarding characteristics of wastes become available. In the interim period, the approach proposed here is responsive to the RCRA objectives environmentally, administratively, and economically. ------- 1—31 Chapter 2 METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY GENERAL APPROACH The purpose of this study was to evaluate, from an economic standpoint, alternative approaches to regulation of hazardous wastes from small volume generators. As was explained in the preceding chapter, the regulatory approaches to be studied were: • Exemption by quantity of wastes, and • Exemption by classification and quantity of wastes. At this point in the study, the first regulatory approach has been studied. EPA directed its economic consultant to analyze this option in terms of: • Costs to and impacts on selected industries and upon industry in general, and • Costs to and impacts on state and Agency hazard- ous waste staffs and budgets. The cost analyses were based on the total costs of regulat- ing generators disposing of fewer than 5,000 kg/mo of hazardous wastes. EPA determined that this approach was appropriate in order to focus on those segments of the national generator popu- lation for whom regulatory alternatives to the full RCRA require- ments were a viable possibility. Generators disposing of 5,000 or more kg/mo of hazardous wastes would not be considered serious candidates for a management approach less stringent than that which was currently proposed. The impact analyses addressed incremental impacts. Industry impacts were determined for industries with small volume genera- tors. State and Agency impacts were assessed in terms of incre- mental effects on total RCRA program costs. Impacts on generators and regulators were further analyzed to determine the constraints to implementation of the option. Alternative responses to constraints were investigated. These included: • Phasing implementation of the program over a five—year period, and ------- 1—32 • Allowing administrative relief, especially in requirements for testing, reporting, and par- ticipating in the manifest system. ANALYTIC APPROACH--INDUSTRY, STATE, AND AGENCY COSTS The general methodology used to estimate industry, state, and Agency costs, as shown in Figure I—iC, may be conveniently divided into four steps: • Step I: Identification of option tasks and generator categories • Step II: Development of task unit costs and estimation of sizes of generator categories • Step III: Formulation of expected compliance strategies • Step IV: Computation of total and marginal costs The following paragraphs outline the key elements of this methodology. More specific information on the derivation of cost components may be found in Appendix B (Generator Compliance Tasks and Costs) and Appendix C (State and Agency Tasks and Costs). Appendix D provides detailed information on generator categories and waste generation rates. Step I: Identification of Option Tasks and Generator Categories Presently, one regulatory option——exemption by quantity of waste——was examined in depth to determine the specific mandatory obligations of generators and regulatory agencies. These re- sponsibilities were translated into compliance tasks required of generators and regulatory activities, expected of state and federal agencies. The regulatory option was reviewed to identify and further characterize the generator categories that would be covered. The exemption by quantity of waste distinguished between genera- tors on the basis of waste generation rate and altered the small volume and large volume generator populations by setting the regulatory cutoff at lower or higher waste generation rates. ------- 1—33 Figure 1-10 METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATION OF TOTAL COSTS FOR ALTERNATIVE REGULATORY OPTIONS Detailed Examination of Regulatory Option I Identification of generator categories Development of task unit costs 1 ’ __ Identification of industry compliance tasks and state and Agency regulatory activities Step I: Step II: Step III: Step IV: Estimation of the number of generators in each generator category Development of unit costs of compliance strategy (industry) and regulatory strategy (state and Agency) Estimation of the number of generators in each generator category choosing a particular cornpl i ance strategy Computation of total compliance cost to industry and regulatory costs to states and Agency for managing particular generator categories and all generator categories ------- 1—34 Step II: Development of Task Unit Costs and Estimation of Number of Generators Estimates of industry and regulatory agency unit resource requirements for specific tasks were obtained from EPA documents, RCRA studies prepared for EPA by its contractors, and from state and industry sources. These data sources have been documented in Appendix A, and their cost estimates are presented in Appen- dices B and C. Wherever possible, the economic analysis attempted to develop cost assumptions that would be consistent with those used in major EPA documents. For example, it was assumed that one out of every 24 manifested shipments would require an exception report to be filed with an authorized state regulatory agency; that was consistent with an assumption used in the EPA Reports Impact Analysis. ’ In this way, EPA has tried to ensure comparability of the results of the small volume generator study with results from related studies. However, some unit cost estimates were not necessarily the same as those used in earlier studies. One major point of de- parture was that the small generator industry cost estimates reflected the scale of operations of small generators relative to all generators. For example, the Draft Environmental Impact Statement 2 estimated that the average cost to generators for system design would be $925 per generator. This earlier anal- ysis was based on average expected costs for large volume gen- erators in manufacturing industries. It was determined that this estimate was too high for generators with less than 5,000 kg/mo of waste, and a more appropriate estimate was developed for the task of system design ranging from $50 to $400 per generator depending on the volume of wastes produced. This scaling technique was performed for a number of compliance activities. Another point of difference was the costing base for unit estimates. Many reports expressed unit costs on several bases—— for example, per generator, per report, per shipment, and per state. This study reported all unit costs on a per generator basis. The data and assumptions underlying the conversion of specific estimates are presented in Appendices B and C. 1 Reports Impact Analysis, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, Subtitle C——Hazardous Waste Management , Draft report, USEPA, March 1979. 2 Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976—— Draft Environmental Impact Statement , Volumes I and II, USEPA, January 1979. ------- 1—35 The technical contractor provided estimates of the number of generators in each generator category. The estimates are summarized in succeeding chapters of this report. The means by which these estimates were obtained, however, were not part of the economic study, but were reported completely in the com- panion technical study. 3 Step III: Formulation of Expected Compliance Strategies In each regulatory option, generators would incur a combi- nation of technical and administrative requirements. Generally, administrative requirements would be fixed, but technical dis- posal means could vary to a limited degree within a particular generator category. For example, generators regulated under full RCRA would be required to dispose of their hazardous wastes in a permitted Subtitle C facility, but generators would have a choice of actual disposal techniques including secure landfills, incineration facilities, deep injection wells, or other avail- able approved methods. The economic consultant, in cooperation with the technical contractor, estimated the proportion of gen- erators in each generator category that would choose each of the available disposal methods. After the compliance strategy for a regulatory option was determined, unit costs per generator for each task included in the compliance strategy were summed to yield a total cost per generator. This calculation was performed for industry costs and state costs. Step IV: Computation of Costs Using the compliance cost data developed in Step III and the generator population data developed in Step II, estimates were made of the total costs to industry, states, and EPA of one specific regulatory option. Using hazardous waste volume data provided by the technical contractor, the analysis computed the marginal cost per kilogram of hazardous waste regulated. This study examined the incremental costs and the im- pacts resulting from those costs under alternative regulatory approaches. Incremental costs refers to extra costs incurred 3 Tecbnical Environmental Impacts of Various Approaches for Regu- lating Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generators , TRW, Inc., December 10, 1979. ------- 1—36 in regulating small volume generators under the more demanding full RCRA requirements rather than the less stringent exemption approach. The convention within this report is to express total incremental costs as zero when all small volume generators are required to dispose of their wastes at a Subtitle D (4004) facil- ity; that is, when the exemption volume cutoff is 5,000 kg/mo. At the other end of the regulatory scale these smaller generators could be managed as strictly as the larger generators, that is, under full RCRA requirements. It is the difference between the national costs of these two regulatory extremes that is being presented here. Intermediate approaches are also presented to aid the decision makers in assessing the magnitude of costs associated with varying levels of environmental benefits. ANALYTIC APPROACH-- INDUSTRY IMPACTS Given the large number and variety of small volume gener- ators——more than 760,000 generators distributed over 100 groups of SIC codes are potentially affected——the analysis of industry impacts focused on two basic objectives: • To concentrate the major portion of the anal- ysis on industry segments that are most likely to be impacted, and • To assess representative impacts that would allow some projection to national impacts. To accomplish these objectives, this study analyzed four characteristics of all SICs that contain small volume generators. These included the number of establishments, volume and type of wastes, type of industry, and annual sales and profitability. Based on an analysis of these characteristics nationally, nine SICs were selected as representative of the more vulnerable industries. Physical and economic profiles were developed for the nine industries chosen for economic impact analysis. These profiles addressed the distribution of establishments by annual sales, the current profitability and operating characteristics of the industry, and future trends and conditions. The incremental costs of compliance with potential RCRA regulations were then applied to the physical and economic profiles of the nine industries. Impacts were assessed at the plant and industry levels, and projected to the national level. ------- 1—37 At the plant level, compliance costs were expressed as a percent of sales. In keeping with the Draft Environmental Impact Statement , a hurdle rate of 2 percent was used to categorize a plant as a high impact candidate with the understanding that plant closures and job losses are most likely to occur in the high impact segments. The economic analysis developed model case and worst case plant characteristics to which compliance costs could be applied. For a model case in the analysis of plant impacts, it was assumed that sales and volume of wastes were correlated——that is, that a plant in the 25th percentile in terms of sales has a waste generation rate in the 25th percentile. As is discussed in Appendix D, there is little evidence available to substantiate a direct correlation between wastes and sales at lower volume ranges. Consequently, sensitivity analysis was performed as- suming that an establishment has a waste generation rate larger than the rate that would correspond to it under a direct cor- relation assumption. The methodology for determining the worst case waste generation rate is discussed in Appendix D. Another indicator of likely plant closures and job losses is low profitability. The model case plants were used to assess closure possibilities in the nine industries, where closure candidates were defined as plants whose profits would become negative as a result of compliance with RCRA. Three factors determine status as a closure candidate: • High compliance costs, • Low annual sales, and • Low profitability. For those SICs where closure candidates were identified, the contribution of each of these factors was estimated. Sensitivity analysis was performed on the measure of profitability using the same methodology as in the sales analysis. The analysis was carried a step further for SICs where closure candidates were identified. For these industries, the price increase required for the median closure candidate firm to reach a positive profitability was computed. The likelihood of a price increase of this magnitude was then examined on the basis of the industry’s competitive and pricing structure and its future trends. For small volume generator firms, capital or one—time costs of compliance do not contribute a major component of costs. Consequently, an examination of the ability of individual firms ------- 1-38 to raise capital was not a critical aspect of the analysis. In some cases, however, cash flow difficulties or the availability of credit could hamper a plant’s operations, and these were con- sidered on the basis of available information in a qualitative manner. Because the nine selected SICs were characteristic of the national profile of small volume generators, impacts in selected SICs or portions of SIC5 could be projected to the national level. These impacts were stated in terms of the likelihood of plant closures and job losses as a result of high cost of sales and/or low profitability. ANALYTIC APPROACH—-STATE AND AGENCY IMPACTS Though it is important to present the incremental costs to the states and Agency for selected approaches to regulating small volume generators, it is equally important to contrast these incremental resource requirements with current hazardous waste control expenditures and with projected expenditures for other parts of the RCRA program. As it is likely that all RCRA activities will be competing for limited staff and funds, this comparison addresses the relative administrative and economic feasibility of selected approaches. To present this perspective on a national level, the study examined the relationships between: • Projected total hazardous waste control appro- priations and expenditures and budget needs for regulating small volume generators; and • Current and projected total hazardous waste staf- fing levels and staffing needs, and staffing needs for regulating small volume generators. In evaluating the costs of regulating small volume gener- ators, a major consideration was the impact of these costs on state and Agency hazardous waste control budgets. Substantial regulatory costs in this area may diminish the states’ willing- ness to accept responsibility for RCRA programs. The small generator economic study analyzed estimates that had been de- veloped by the Agency of total RCRA allocations, appropriations, and program needs. These were compared with expected small volume generator regulatory expenditures over a five—year time horizon. Potential budget shortfalls were identified and areas of uncertainty in the projections were identified. ------- 1—39 A persistent constraint in the RCRA program will be the availability of basic resources. Just as landfill capacity may initially be a constraint in industry compliance, so might the availability of qualified supervisory and technical personnel be a constraint on states’ initial regulatory capabilities. To quantify the likelihood of a staffing shortfall, this study compared expected national staffing needs for regulation of small volume generators with current and projected total staff- ing levels for control of hazardous waste. Consideration was given to the fact that a significant proportion of state man- power efforts is currently devoted to program development and could later be directed toward regulation of hazardous waste generators. When budget and staffing shortfalls were detected, a cost— effectiveness analysis was performed. The analysis compared the per ton costs of regulation for small volume generators, large volume generators, transporters, and TSDFs to determine the program component most demanding of limited state resources. Alternate Authorization Scenarios The state impact analysis assumed that 37 jurisdictions would apply for and receive full authorization in the near fu- ture. This assumption is based on the best available EPA information indicating that some rather than all jurisdictions are prepared to apply for authorization. The appropriate regional EPA offices would be responsible for implementing the RCRA program in those jurisdictions that do not apply for au- thorization. Therefore, a brief sensitivity analysis was per- formed to project state and Agency impacts under two alternate authorization scenarios. One scenario assumes that EPA is forced to take responsi- bility for hazardous waste management in all 56 jurisdictions. This serves as a “worst case” analysis in terms of potential EPA workload in regulating small volume generators. The second alternate scenario assumes that all states will apply for and receive authorization, and that the programs will interface with Agency activities through headquarters’ oversight respon- sibilities. ------- Part It tMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS ON SMALL VOLUME HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATORS The objective of this part of the study is to present a profile of small volume generators based on selected criteria for exemption from RCRA, and to develop and evaluate economic impacts on the generator populations of the alternative regu- latory approaches. Chapter 1 discusses physical and economic characteristics of small volume generators. Chapter 2 provides a detailed discussion of the industries selected for economic impact analysis. Chapter 3 presents tasks required of generators included in the RCRA program and the unit costs associated with those tasks, and Chapter 4 evaluates the impacts of one regulatory approach, that of exemption based on quantity of wastes. ------- 11—2 Chapter 1 CHARACTERISTICS OF SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS The establishments potentially affected by RCRA regulation of small volume generators cover a wide range of industries. Over 100 four—digit SIC codes or groups of SIC codes 1 in all major in- dustrial sectors contain small volume generators. 2 Given the wide distribution of small volume generators, their physical and economic characteristics differ widely. Further complicating the situation, the profile of small volume generators varies sub- stantially depending on the cutoffs used to define small volume generators. In the sections that follow, small volume generators will be described in terms of three critical characteristics: • Number of establishments and quantity of wastes, • Type of industry, and • Financial condition. These characteristics will subsequently serve as the rationale for selecting SICs for economic impact analysis. NUMBER OF ESTABLISHMENTS AND QUANTITY OF WASTES The technical contractor had primary responsibility in a companion part to this study for developing the composite profiles of small volume hazardous waste generators. The national composition of generators producing less than 5,000 1 Throughout this report industries are identified by SIC code. This Standard Industrial Classification system is maintained by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Census. 2 The proposed regulations anticipated an exemption cutoff of 100 kg/mo for small generators and referred to a suggested alternative cutoff level of 1,000 kg/mo. EPA selected a 5,000 kg/mo generation rate as an upper bound for defining small volume generators to allow examination of even higher ex- emption cutoffs. ------- 11—3 kg/mo of hazardous wastes was based on individual profiles of those SICs judged by the technical contractor to contain small generators. 3 Table I l—i presents these conclusions regarding the esti- mated number of generators and waste quantities in the United States. Nationally, the total quantity of wastes requiring disposal by 762,000 generators is approximately 61 million metric tons per year (MT/yr). Of this total, the 722,000 generators producing less than 5,000 kg/mo account for 2.3 percent of the total waste quantity produced, while generators producing 100 kg/mo or less account for 74 percent of the generator population and 0.23 percent of the total waste quantity. Overall, manufacturing SICs account for 58 million metric tons or 96 percent of the wastes while non—manufacturing SICs account for the remaining 2.5 million metric tons or 4 percent of the wastes. Conversely, non—manufacturing SICs make the largest contribution to national generator totals. Overall, 83 percent of the generators are in non—manufacturing indus- tries. The proportion in non—manufacturing industries is even more dramatic at the lower volume levels where the largest num- bers of generators are concentrated——92 percent of the gen- erators of less than 100 kg/mo are non—manufacturers. Above a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff over 74 percent of the generators are in manufacturing SICs. Based on the technical data, the average waste generation rates for generators below 5,000 kg/mo are 576 kg/mo in the manufacturing sector and 98 kg/mo in the non—manufacturing sector. Table 11—2 presents data on the estimated contributions of specific SICs to the total number of generators and quantity of wastes in this study. A few large SICs, concentrated in the lower volume ranges, dominate the national number of gen- erators. The four largest SICs account for nearly 69 percent of the generators but only 29 percent of the wastes. SIC 27—— Printers——is numerically the largest manufacturing SIC but it ranks eighth nationally in terms of number of generators, ac- counting for just over 3 percent of the generator population and 5 percent of the waste quantity. 3 Because of unique features of waste oils and waste oil gen- erators (large number of generators, fuel value of waste oil, existence of recycling industry), the Agency has excluded them from this study and will consider them separately. Thus, the profiles presented here are for t ’non—oil” hazardous wastes. ------- 11-4 Table Il—i ESTIMATED NUMBER OF ESTABLISHMENTS AND WASTE QUANTITIES FOR ESTABLISHMENTS IN VARIOUS WASTE GENERATION RANGE CATEGORIES Waste Generation Range (kg/mo ) Less than 100 100.1,000 1,000-5,000 More than 5,000 U.S. Total Non .Manufacturing SICs Establisimients Waste Quantity Percent Metric Percent Number Total Tons/Year Total 519,537 81.8 115.133 4.64 98,171 15.5 331,360 13.36 10,522 1.7 293,892 11.85 6,752 1.1 1,739,987 70.15 634,982 100 2,480,372 100 Source: TRW, Inc., Technical Enviromnental Impacts of Various Approaches for Regulating Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generators , December 10. 1979. U.S. Total Manufacturtng SICs Establisirents Waste Quantity Establislanents Waste Quantity Percent Metric Percent Percent Metric Percent Number Total Tons/Year Total Number Total Tons/Year Total 563,127 73.9 140.376 0.23 43,590 34.4 25,242 0.04 131,733 17.3 495,000 0.82 33,562 26.S 162,456 0.30 26,765 3.5 752,760 1.24 16,243 12.8 658,868 0.80 40,130 5.3 59.292,384 97.7 33,378 26.3 57,552,384 98.90 761,755 100 60,680,520 100 126,773 100 58,198,932 100 ------- 11—5 For most SICs the number of generators is the single most important determinant of both the SIC t s contribution to overall national costs and of SIC—specific impacts. As will be discussed in more detail in Chapter 3, fixed costs dominate generator com- pliance costs at the lower volume levels. For example, fixed costs account for 95 percent of total compliance costs of $850 for an average generator of less than 100 kg/mo. By way of con- trast, fixed costs are only 18 percent of total annual compliance costs for an average generator of 2,000 to 5,000 kg/mo. Above that level, the volume of waste becomes an increasingly sig- nificant determinant of total national costs and SIC—specific impacts. As a rule, costs for the non—manufacturing industries predominant in the lower volume ranges depend on the number of generators. For manufacturing SICs that are concentrated in the higher volume ranges, volume of wastes influences costs more strongly. Table 11-2 CONTRIBUTIONS OF SELECTED SICs TO THE SMALL VOLUME HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATION PICTURE Small Volume Generators Industry Manufacturing/ Non— Percent Waste Percent SIC Description Manufacturing* Number of Total ( MT/Yr) of Total 72 Personal Services NM 191,000 26.6 97,200 7.0 17 Construction-—Special Trade NM 152.000 21.1 26.400 1.9 55 Gas Service Stations NM 98,000 13.6 225,600 16.3 75 Automotive Repair NM 53,100 7.4 57,600 4.1 /3 Business Services NM 30,400 4.2 46,800 3.4 116 Miscellaneous Repair Services NM 24,300 3.4 154,800 11.2 82 Educational Services NM 23,300 3.2 13,200 1.0 Z7 Printing and Publishing N 22,800 3.2 69,600 5.0 0/ Horticultural Service NM 17,800 2.5 22,800 1.6 35 MachInery N 17,600 2.4 140,700 10.1 Other 90,000 12.5 533,300 38.4 Total 722,000 100.0% 1,388,000 100.0% Manufacturing, NM Non—manufacturing. In some SICs generators are concentrated within narrow waste generation ranges while in others there is a relatively wide dis- tribution among volume categories. The impacts of compliance may be different depending on the distribution of waste generation ------- 11—6 categories within an SIC. In industries that have all generators within a fairly narrow range, the cost of compliance as a percent of sales will be greater for economically smaller establishments. SICs that have wide distribution among waste generation categories will have a wider spread in compliance costs which may place estab- lishments with higher waste generation rates at a competitive dis- advantage. This situation will exist in particular if there is no correlation between waste generation and output——that is, if the cost of compliance per unit of output varies widely. The technical consultaiit developed SIC—specific profiles of waste generation by quantity ranges. 4 These data show that, in virtually all cases, the largest concentration by number of generators occurs in the 0—100 kg/mo range. However, the data can fluctuate widely. Overall, 37 percent of the SICs have less than a quarter of the establishments in any single waste generation category while 23 percent of the SICs have a concentration of more than three—quarters of their establish- ments in a single waste generation category. A breakdown of the concentration data by type of industry reveals marked contrasts. Among the 59 manufacturing SICs in TRW ’s study, only one SIC has more than half of the generators within a single waste generation category, while 36 SICs have less than 25 percent of the generators in a single category. Since, as has been noted, manufacturing SICs tend to have large waste volumes for which volume—related variable costs are an important component, the wide distribution of waste generation categories implies a broad range of compliance costs within a given industry. For non—manufacturing SICs, the picture is reversed, with nearly one—half of the SICs having concentra- tions of more than 75 percent of the establishments in a single waste generation range. This fact, coupled with the importance of fixed costs at the lower volume ranges, where non—manufactur- ing SICs predominate, means that compliance costs within non— manufacturing SICs will be relatively constant. In some cases, the types of wastes disposed will affect compliance costs more strongly than the volume of wastes. Small volume generators are expected, as a rule, to use off— site landfills for hazardous waste disposal. In a limited number of cases, establishments may choose sophisticated “me number of generators and quantity of wastes were reported for the following ranges (kg/mo): 0—100, 200—300, 300—400, 400—500, 500—600, 600—700, 700—800, 800—900, 900—1,000, 1,000—2,000, 2,000—5,000, over 5,000. ------- 11—7 incineration procedures. The cost of incineration of wastes with these characteristics can be 5 to 15 times as high as that of off—site landfill disposal. These costs and their impacts will be discussed more fully in later chapters. TYPE OF INDUSTRY One effect of extending RCRA to lower volume levels will be to extend its scope to a large number of non—manufacturing establishments. 5 The obvious differences between manufacturing and non—manufacturing SICs in terms of number of establishments, volumes of wastes, and concentrations in specific waste genera- tion categories have been discussed above. In this section some of the differences in economic characteristics between manufacturing and non—manufacturing industries will be discussed. Non—manufacturing industries are smaller than manufactur- ing industries in economic as well as in waste generation terms. The 70 industries examined as potential candidates for economic analysis were arrayed according to annual sales. Among these industries, 84 percent of the SIC codes with annual sales above the 75th percentile were in manufacturing industries while 68 percent of the SIC codes with annual sales below the 25th percentile were non—manufacturers (including the nine smallest). Although significant exceptions exist, manufacturing indus- tries have greater investments in plant and equipment per unit of sales than do non—manufacturing industries. The implication of the higher asset base in manufacturing industries is that there exists greater ease of entry and exit among non—manufacturing industries. Hence, the latter industries may be more volatile in their responses to increasing costs and changing economic conditions. Manufacturing establishments tend to employ more people than do non—manufacturing establishments. According to County Business Patterns, 6 66 percent of service establishments have one to four employees, while only 32 percent of the manufactur- ing firms fall within this range. 5 This study did not include retail establishments in the non— manufacturing sector as the December 1978 proposed regulations exempted retailers from the RCRA program. 6 County Business Patterns , U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1976, 1978. ------- 11—8 Other factors will also influence the responses of manu- facturing and non—manufacturing industries to incremental costs. These factors too may differ for the two types of industries. Price elasticities, for example, may not be determined by the same forces. Non—manufacturing industries are not as vulnerable to product substitution and foreign competition as are manufac- turing industries, yet they may be more dependent on economic conditions. Frequently, non—manufacturing industries provide services that persons and businesses postpone as economic con- ditions worsen. In addition, factors such as convenience and location may influence demand for non—manufacturing industries more strongly than price. SALES AND PROFITABILITY As was discussed above, fixed costs are a major component of the total cost of compliance at the lower waste generation ranges. Given these high fixed costs, the cost of compliance will constitute a larger percent of annual sales for establish- ments with low annual sales than for establishments with high annual sales. 7 The current profitability of individual establishments is also an important factor affecting economic impacts. Plant closures for establishments incurring the cost of hazardous waste management will depend on the ability of the enterprises to earn adequate profits. Clearly this ability will in great measure depend on the current profitability of the establish- ments, as well as on their ability to pass additional costs through to their customers. To determine both what SICs would be most heavily impacted based on compliance costs as a percent of sales and what SICs would be most likely to experience plant closures, the economic consultant arrayed 70 SICs in a matrix as illustrated in Table 11—3. Industries were located along the horizontal axis from left to right in order of increasing annual sales and on the vertical axis from bottom to top in order of increasing profitability. Industries were then separated into quartiles 7 mis relationship may also depend on the correlation between annual sales and waste generation rates. As noted in Appendix D, this correlation is uncertain at best. In non—manufacturing SICs, however, most establishments fall within narrow waste generation ranges. Among these establishments, impacts on those with low annual sales will be greater than those with high annual sales. ------- 11-9 Table 11-3 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF SICs 1 BY PROFITS AND SALES 2 7211(6)* 7221.7333* 7512(3) 2! 7542 i8O11 3544 3599 2421 3421( 3,5.9) 3442* ANNUAL SALES 3021(69) 3251 3494 3531(2) 3612(13,21) 3825 3841(3) 2 72 1* 2831(3,4) 2861(5,9) 3431(2) 3462 3533 3562 3573 3631(2,3,4,5,6) 3714 1 SICs 20—39 are manufacturing Industries; all others are non-manufacturing industries. 2 Based on 1978 Annual Statement Studies , Robert Morris Assoc., 1978. Selected for more detailed Study. uJ U- U- 0 7261 I j 4214 2522 2731’ 3273 3398 3444* 3451(2) 3465(6,9) 3496 3671(2,4,6,7 2514 3662 2761 3811 2841 3823 3321(2,4,5) 3944 3361(2,9) 3411 3433 3561(4,6,7,9) 3585 2253(4,7,8)’ 2451 2844 3711 3792 0781(2,3) 2371 1721* 2752* 4212 2791* 7538 3471(9) 3851 3993 5161 2541(2,9) 7391 2751* 8051(9) 3443* 3541(2,5) 2511 2515 3523 3645(6) 3861 4213 2033(4) 2231 2732* 2851 3651 1711’ 2789’ . j 1742’ 3271(2) 1752* 3995 1761* 4131 : 3 ’ C, — .1 0181,5191, 2261(2)’ 5261 5511 3295 7213 3441* 3731(2) - 3911 2272’ -— 2512 2821 2873(4) 5122 2252’ 5151 2435 5541’ 3111 3723 Lower Quartile (4) Upper Quartile (1) ------- 11—10 in order of both sales and profitability. Thus an industry in the top right corner would be in the first (highest) quartile in both sales and profits. An industry in the lower left corner would be in the fourth (lowest) quartile in both sales and profits. 8 The greatest impacts would be anticipated in the shaded area of the matrix in Table 11—3. Industries in the lower left corner would be most heavily impacted in terms of clo- sures resulting from inadequate profitability and low sales. Industries along the bottom of the matrix were considered likely to contain plants that might close on the basis of in- adequate profitability. In this area, however, it is neces- sary to differentiate the incremental effects of the regula- tion in causing closures from those of inadequate baseline profitability. Several industries, for example, had profits averaging less than 2 percent and it is likely that these industries would experience plant closures without RCRA. Costs of compliance will be the largest as a percent of annual sales for industries along the left hand side of the matrix. In this area, the cost of compliance may seriously diminish profits and result in plant closures or significant impacts even for establishments with a relatively high baseline profitability. It is among these plants that plant closures may be directly attributable to RCRA. The three characteristics of: number of establishments and volume of wastes, type of industry, and sales and profit- ability, were used in this chapter to develop a profile of small volume generators. In the following chapter, the use of these same characteristics to select the SICs that were analyzed in greater depth will be described. 8 Data were also available for approximately two—thirds of the industries on establishments with less than $250,000 in assets. (This generally included firms with sales and asset bases below the industry average as reported by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.) To test the representativeness of the original matrix for small firms, these establishments were also arrayed by sales and profits and divided into quartiles. The distribution of indus- tries in the matrix was very similar when all plants and when only small plants were considered. ------- h—h Chapter 2 SICs SELECTED FOR ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Several key factors were identified in the previous chapter that could be potential contributors to RCRA impacts on small volume generators. These are: • The large number of small, non—manufacturing firms that would be included in the RCRA pro- gram, especially if no quantity exemption were adopted; • The variability in waste generation rates, es- pecially among manufacturing firms and between manufacturing firms and non—manufacturing firms. Small but profitable firms with high waste generation rates could experience more severe impacts than similar firms with lower genera- tion rates; and • The high fixed costs of regulatory requirements, which would be particularly large relative to the sales and profits of small firms. In view of the variability in the characteristics of the small volume generators, it was necessary to focus the analysis of industry impacts on two basic objectives: • To assess representative impacts of potential regulations allowing some projection of na- tional impacts; and • To concentrate on industry sectors that are most likely to be impacted. With these objectives in mind, the economic consultant selected nine groups of SICs for economic analysis as representative of the salient features of the national small volume generator population. The nine selected groups are shown in Table 11—4 along with the numbers of generators and volumes of wastes in each group. These SICs account for 52 percent of the total number of generators in the nation, but they account for only 34 percent of the waste from generators of less than 5,000 kg/mo, indicating that the selection of SICs for analysis was somewhat biased toward numerically large but low volume industries. ------- 11—12 Table 11—5 illustrates the main features of the industries selected in terms of the characteristics of the small volume gen- erators discussed above. In general, the SICs selected are rep- resentative of all small volume generators. However, as with the bias toward low volume generators, the industries selected have sales and profitability rates that are generally in the lowest quartile according to one of the two indicators or they are below the median in both. Both these facts reflect the objective of focusing the economic analysis on the more heavily impacted sectors. Four manufacturing and five non—manufacturing industry groups were selected for analysis. Two of the non—manufacturing industries are heavily concentrated in the lower volume ranges as is characteristic of the non—manufacturing groups. The other three non—manufacturing industries had somewhat broader waste generation ranges to represent those non—manufacturing SICs where the generators are not heavily concentrated. Price elasticities among the non—manufacturing SICs are difficult to ascertain, but it appears that demands in SIC 07 (agricultural services) will be sensitive to substantial com- petition from within the industry and from substitutions from without as farmers may do the work themselves in lieu of paying higher prices. Demand in SIC 17 (special trade contractors) will depend more on general economic conditions than on prices. The photoprocessing industry, on the other hand, may be sensi- tive to both prices and general economic conditions. Histor- ically, demand for dry—cleaning services has varied with eco- nomic conditions, but price increases could reinforce current trends from commercial to coin—operated establishments. Table U-4 NUMBER OF GENERATORS AND VOLUMES OF WASTES FOR SELECTED SICs Total Number Waste of Small Quantity Volume (thousands SIC Description Generators of MTfyr ) O711,z1,29 Agricultural Services 3,235 22.008 1700 Special Trades Contractors 152,462 26.676 2231,225,226, 2272 Textiles-—Dyeing and Finishing 1,689 11.196 2700 PrInting 28,060 89.16 3440 Fabricated Metals 6.063 40.356 3471 Electroplating 2,470 9.864 5541 GasolIne Service Stations 127,985 188.652 7215,6 Dry Cleaning 40,404 3.452 7221, 7333, 7395 Photoprocessing 13,180 43.044 Total in Selected SICs 375,548 474.408 National Total 721,625 1388.136 Percent Selected 52. 0 34.2% ------- Table Il-S QIARACTERISTICS Of INDUSTRIES SELECTED FOR ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS Median Quartile Quartile Waste Price Other Sales/Profits Sales/Profits Generation Elasticity SIC Description Manufacturing Services Industry --All --Small Rate (kg/mo) of Demand 0711.21.29 Agricultural Services Z N.A. N.A. 900 High 1700 Special Trades Contractors 1 4/4 N.A./4a 10 Low 2231,224.225 2272 Textiles—-Dyeing and Finishing 1 2/3 N.A. 350 High 2700 Printing I 4/3 1/3 75 Low 3440 Fabricated Metals 1 2/4 1/4 100 High 3471 Electroplating 1 4/3 2/2 200 Low 5541 Gasoline Service Stations 1 1/4 1/4 75 High 7215(6) Dry Ceaning 1 4/1 4/1 50 Low 7395 Photoprocessing K 4/4 4/4 75 Moderate N.A. • Not available; 4 • lowest quartile, 1 — highest quartile. afor the small group, contractor sales figures are not coirçarable with those of other SICs. Source: 1978 Annual Statement Studies , Robert Morris Assoc. . 1978. ------- 11—14 The five manufacturing SICs have higher waste generation rates than do the non—manufacturing industries reflecting the higher waste volume characteristics of the manufacturing SICs. On the other hand, the manufacturing SICs selected have much smaller generator populations than do the non—manufacturing industries. None of the manufacturing SICs is heavily concen- trated in any single waste generation volume, although all of them have moderate concentrations in the 0—100 kg/mo category. Because of the greater variation in waste volumes, compliance costs for these SICs selected vary more widely. Two of the manufacturing SICs——textiles and fabricated metals——currently face strong foreign competition and have little price elasticity. Recent studies performed for EPA, on the other band, indicate that on a product— and region—specific basis, electroplaters have generally good pricing flexibility. In later chapters of this report, economic impacts on the nine industries discussed above will be examined. Although the industries were not selected as a statistically valid cross— section of small volume generators nationally (a random selection of industries would have been more appropriate for this purpose), they do represent types of vulnerable industries. Consequently, the results of this analysis will be most useful in assessing the types of impacts that might be anticipated in other similar industry sectors and in examining the reasons for these impacts. For example, the analysis can be used to examine the impacts that small non—manufacturing industries may incur based on the results of the study of special trades contractors and dry cleaners. On the basis of the national distribution of plants represented by the nine industries, it will also be possible to project, generally, impacts on other industries. ------- 11—15 Chapter 3 GENERATOR TASKS AND UNIT COSTS OF COMPLIANCE A range of technical and administrative tasks will be required of small volume generators under possible RCRA regula- tions. These tasks and their costs will be examined in this chapter. First, current disposal practices will be analyzed to determine a baseline cost of disposal. Following the discussion of current practices, technical compliance alternatives will be examined and their costs described. In the final section of this chapter, the costs of compliance with RCRA administrative requirements will be estimated by adjusting existing estimates for large volume generators to account for the circumstances of small volume generators. CURRENT DISPOSAL PRACTICES Table 11—6 illustrates the use of various disposal methods by small volume generators in the manufacturing SIC5. Approxi- mately 25 percent of the waste is disposed of on—site, and the remaining 75 percent is transported to off—site disposal facil- ities. Over 50 percent of these generators use landfill dis- posal, which accounts for 46 percent of the waste. Next to landfill, recycling is the most frequently used disposal method. Other disposal methods are less commonly used. The single most prevalent of the remaining methods is landspreading, which ac- counts for only 7 percent of the generators and 7 percent of the waste. Table 11-6 ESTIMATED PERCENT DISTRIBUTION OF SMALL QUANTITY WASTE GENERATORS AND WASTE QUANTITIES BY DISPOSAL METHOD (manufacturing SICs only) Generators Waste Quantity Disposal Method On—site Off-site Total On—site Off-site Total Landfill 2.9 48.4 51.3 3.4 42.4 45.8 Incineration 1.5 2.6 4.1 1.6 5.0 6.6 Lagoon 2.6 0.3 2.9 3.9 0.5 4.4 Deep-well injection 0.1 2.2 2.3 0.3 5.6 5.9 Landsoreading 5.8 1.2 7.0 5.0 2.1 7.1 Others 6.6 2.8 9.4 5.1 2.8 8.9 Recycle 2.6 20.4 23.0 2.3 19.0 21.3 Total (percent) 22.1 77.9 100.0 22.6 77.4 100.0 Source: TRW. Inc.. Technical Environmental Impacts of Various Approaches for Regulating Small Volume Generators , Decemoer 10, 1979. ------- 11—16 Among non—manufacturing SICs, off—site landfill disposal is virtually universal except for auto and truck service stations that recycle waste oil and medical facilities that incinerate infectious wastes. Consequently, when manufacturing and non— manufacturing industries are combined, the percent of genera- tors and wastes using landfill disposal rises dramatically. Table 11-7 depicts the use of various disposal methods by both manufacturing and non—manufacturing industries, and indicates that over 84 percent of all establishments would use landfill disposal and almost 65 percent of all wastes would be disposed of by landfill. Table 11—7 ESTIMATED TOTAL NUMBER OF SMALL WASTE GENERATORS AND WASTE QUANTITIES BY DISPOSAL METhOD (all SICs) Generators Waste Quantities Disposal Method Number Percent MT/yr Percent Landfill 690,000 84.2 1,104 63.0 Incineration 5,000 0.6 72 4.1 Lagoon 3,000 0.4 36 2.1 Deep-well injection 8.000 1.0 48 2.7 Landspread lng 11,000 1.3 60 3.4 Others 5,000 0.6 72 4.1 Recycle 99,000 12.1 360 20.5 Total 819,000 100.0% 1,752 100.0% Source: TRW, Inc. The percent of wastes disposed of in landfills is smaller than the percent of generators using landfill disposal. This condition reflects the fact that landfill disposal is more heavily utilized at the lower volume ranges. Virtually all generators of less than 100 kg/mo would use landfill disposal. On the other hand, among generators of more than 2,000 kg/mo, where manufacturing SICs are more prevalent, the percent of generators using the various forms of disposal would more closely reflect the distribution among disposal methods for manufacturing SICs. Except in the few states where hazardous waste manifests are currently required, existing administrative procedures for hazardous waste disposal are minimal. Some procedures exist, though they may be independent of state administrative require- ments. For example, contracts are entered into by generators and disposers for the disposal of a given amount of wastes with pickups at a particular frequency. ------- 11—17 Current disposal costs are difficult to determine precisely because of the large number and variety of hazardous waste gen- erators. The basic assumption has been made, however, that the average baseline cost for all generators is $8/MT——the cost of transporting to and disposing in a non—secure sanitary landfill.’ For some generators using more rudimentary disposal methods, this assumption may overstate current costs, while for others—— those using incineration, for example——it may understate current costs. These inaccuracies, however, are relatively insignifi- cant in view of the prevalence of small volume generators cur- rently using landfill disposal. TECHNICAL COMPLIANCE ALTERNATIVES Figure Il—i illustrates the technical compliance alterna- tives open to hazardous waste generators. Decisions to select various disposal methods are assumed to be made on a combination of technical and economic grounds. Wastes that can be recycled at a cost lower than the cost of compliance with RCRA will be recycled, thereby avoiding the administrative and technical costs of compliance. Among wastes that are disposed of under RCRA, the decision to select on— or off—site disposal will be made on economic grounds. Fixed costs of on—site disposal are bigh; therefore, significant economies of scale are available to large off-site facilities and to large volume on—site disposers. In the case of landfill disposal, for example, costs per metric ton decline as landfill capacity increases up to about 70,000 MT/yr. On—site disposal avoids transportation and administrative costs associated with RCRA compliance. Consequently, an individual generator will select on—site disposal in cases where the total cost of on—site disposal is less than combined costs of disposal, transportation, and administrative tasks at an off—site facility. The savings using off—site facilities rather than on—site facilities are sufficiently great for all small volume generators to use off—site disposal. Even a generator of 5,000 kg/mo has an annual waste volume of only 60 MT/yr-—less than 0.1 percent of the volume at which the cost per metric ton of landfill dis- posal levels off. This means that by using off—site disposal facilities, even the largest generators in this study will benefit from the substantial economies of scale available to off—site facilities. 1 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976——Draft Environmental Impact Statement , Volumes I and II, January 1979. ------- Figure lI—i TECHNICAL COMPLIANCE ALTERNATIVES FOR GENERATORS OF HAZARDOUS WASTES Recycle On—Site Disoosal Landfill Incineration Deep—well Injection L qoon Landsoread Other J.andf ill I Incineration Off—Site Disposal I Deep—well Injection Yes Yes No ‘ -I 03 No 1 Other ------- 11—19 It is anticipated, based on current practices, that three main methods of off—site disposal——landfill, incineration, and deep—well injection——will be utilized. (Lagooning and land— spreading are primarily on—site practices.) Recycling will continue to be an active practice and it is likely that the practice will grow as RCRA requirements encourage generators to find appropriate recycling programs. However, that analysis is beyond the scope of this study. As indicated by Table 11—8, future landfill disposal will be, by a significant margin, the most widely used disposal practice. If restrictions are placed on the types of substances that can be disposed of in a landfill, the percent of generators and wastes using this means of dis- posal will decrease. The use of incineration and deep—well injection will increase correspondingly, although deep—well injection will remain a more geographically restricted form of disposal than incineration. Table 1 1-8 ESTIMATED TOTAL NUMBER OF SMALL QUANTITY WASTE GENERATORS AND WASTE QUANTITIES FOR SELECTED DISPOSAL METHODS’ Generators Waste Quantities Qugnt ity Disposal Method 2 Number Percent ( 10 kg/yr) Percent Landfill 709,000 98.2 1,272 91 Incineration 5,000 0.7 72 5 Deep—well injectIon 8,000 1.1 48 4 Total 722,000 100.0% 1,392 100% 1 The estimates shown here do not include recycled wastes. 2 Other methods Include lagoon and landspreading. These will be included in the landfill category for the economic analysis. COSTS OF COMPLIANCE Costs of compliance with RCRA will consist of the technical costs of transporting and disposing of wastes as well as admin- istrative costs associated with testing requirements and report- ing. These costs will be discussed in the sections that follow. ------- 11—20 Administrative Costs Two general classes of administrative costs will be re- quired by RCRA——one—time costs of first entering the hazardous waste system and recurring costs of participating in that system. In addition, within both classes of administrative costs there are two further cost categories——testing costs and record—keeping and reporting costs. Both one—time and recurring costs have been developed by making adjustments to large volume generator costs presented in the Draft Economic Impact Analysis (EIA) and in the Reports Impact Analysis.(2,3 ) Because administrative costs or small volume generators frequently vary with the volume of wastes disposed, these costs will be presented below for each of the waste generation ranges used in the technical contrac— tor’s report. One—Time Costs Appendix B presents one—time costs developed in the EIA for 17,000 large volume generators. Two cost elements dominate one—time administrative costs for large volume generators——the costs of designing compliance systems at $927 per generator and the costs (for those generators electing to do so) of testing wastes to contest designation as a hazardous waste generator. (The latter cost, ranging from $455 to $1,000, may be both higher and more frequently incurred if a system of categories of wastes is introduced.) As Table 11—9 indicates, the economic contractor has adjusted significantly downward both cost components mentioned above for most small volume generators. It is estimated that even generators of 5,000 kg/mo will not be of sufficient size to require the more sophisticated compliance system assumed in the EIA. The Reports Impact Analysis attributes no cost to the design of procedures for generators other than the 17,000 covered by the EIA. It appears more reasonable to assume, however, that even small volume generators will spend a minimum of four hours becoming acquainted with RCRA requirements and that this cost will increase with waste volume and complexity. 2 Arthur D. Little, Inc., Draft Economic Impact Analysis: Sub- title C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 , January 1979. 3 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Reports Impact Analysis, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, Subtitle C——Hazardous Waste Management , Draft report, revised March 19, 1979. ------- 11—21 Table 11-9 SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR ONE-TIME ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS (per generator) (constant 1978 doflars) (bie-Time Administrative Tasks Quantity Testing/ Comparison of Notification Design of ( kg/mo) Documentation Wastes to List Applications Procedures Total Less than 100 - $20 $20 $ 50 S 90 lOOtoSOO 20 20 50 90 500 to 1,000 35 31 100 166 1,000 to 2,000 5455 - $1,000 35 31 100 621-1,166 2,000 to 5,000 $455 - $1,000 71 31 300 857-1,402 Testing costs will be the same for both large and small volume generators. Since small volume generators will have lower compliance costs, however, their expected benefit from successfully contesting designation as a hazardous waste generator will be less. Consequently, generators of less than 1,000 kg/mo are unlikely to go to the expense of testing while 10 percent of generators of more than that amount have been assumed to test their wastes; this rate is the same as that of large volume generators. It should be noted that among small volume generators, as among large volume generators, both the cost and the likelihood of testing will be greater if a system of waste categories is introduced. Recurring Costs The major components of large volume generator recurring administrative costs are the cost of supervising the manifest system and the cost of annual comprehensive waste testing and less extensive sample testing of each waste delivered to a disposal facility. Both these tests are required for disposal facilities under Section 3004 but their cost would be passed on to generators. These are shown in Appendix B and are based on the estimates presented in the EIA. Small volume generator costs, shown in Table 11—10, are analogous to those for large volume generators. The major cost item——comprehensive and sample testing——is approximately the same for both classes of generators. Small volume generators frequently have organic wastes such as solvents that require expensive testing procedures and they have less sophisticated ------- 11—22 waste segregation systems than do large volume generators. Combined wastes from small volume generators will, therefore, require complex tests. On the other hand, a large number of small volume generators will have single waste streams for which comparatively simple tests can be developed. In the ag- gregate, the differences between large and small volume generator testing costs are not sufficiently great to justify using dif- ferent costs for each waste quantity generation range. The other major large volume generator recurring admini- strative cost——manifest preparation and supervision——will be different for small volume generators. In the EIA separate costs were developed for continuing supervision of a manifest system and for preparation of individual manifests. This approach is appropriate in cases where manifests are fre- quently prepared and a continuing system is in place. Among small volume generators four to eight manifests will be prepared annually (96 percent of the generators at a zero cutoff will prepare four manifests annually). For these generators the approach used in the Reports Impact Analysis——assuming a higher cost per manifest but no supervision cost——is more appropriate. Technical Costs Technical costs will consist of the cost of transporting wastes to the disposal facility and the cost of disposing of wastes at that facility. The cost of transportation will be markedly different for small and large volume generators while the cost of disposal per unit volume (excluding the costs of testing discussed above) will depend only on the volume of waste disposal. Table 11-10 SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR ANNUAL ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS (per generator) (constant 1978 dollars) Quantity ( kg/mo ) Recurrinq Administrative Tasks Less than 100 100 to 500 500 to 1,000 1,000 to 2,000 2,000 to 5,000 Manifest Exception Reports Comprehensive Annual Annual Number of Annual Annual Total and Sample Reevaluation Number of Manifest Exception Exception Report Recurring Testing of EPA Lists Manifests Cost Reports Report Costs Cost Costs $680 680 680 680 800 $0 0 10 10 20 4 4 4 4 6 $24 .17 24 .17 24 .17 24 .17 36 .25 $9 9 9 9 13 $12 $725 12 725 12 735 12 735 24 893 ------- 11—23 Transportation Costs Transportation costs for small volume generators are pre- sented in Table Il—il. These costs were developed using the following assumptions: • All small volume generators will ship wastes in 55—gallon drums which will be picked up by trucks with a 30—drum capacity, • Round—trip distances to disposal facilities will average 200 miles, • Travel time between generators will be one— half hour, and • Loading time will vary depending on the number of barrels. Costs using these assumptions were developed on the basis of a model 30—drum flatbed truck used in an analysis for EPA of the impact of RCRA on the hazardous waste transportation industry. 4 Disposal Costs For the purpose of this analysis, it is assumed that all generators of less than 5,000 kg/mo would use off—site disposal facilities and that three disposal methods would be utilized—— secure landfill, incineration, and deep—well injection. Dis- posal costs using these methods relate exclusively to the volume of wastes. Costs for secure landfill disposal of hazardous wastes are based on a report recently prepared for the New England Regional Commission (NERCOM). 5 According to this report, the cost of landfill disposal decreases as landfill capacity increases, down to approximately $70/MT at a landfill with 70,000 MT/yr capacity. It is likely that off—site secure landfills would be built to these dimensions to make full use of possible economies of scale. 4 Artbur D. Little, Inc., Characterization of Hazardous Waste Transportation and Economic Impact Assessment of Hazardous Waste Transportation Regulations , EPA Contract No. 68—01—4381, August 1978. 5 Arthur D. Little, A Plan for Development of Hazardous Waste Management Facilities in the New England Region , Draft report, August 1979. ------- 11—24 Consequently, the cost of off—site landfill disposal is approx- imately $70/MT. 6 These costs, by quantity ranges, are shown in Table 11—11. Table 11-11 SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR ANNUAL TECHNICAL COSTS (per generator) (constant 1978 dollars) Recurring Technical Tasks Quantity ( kg/mo) Hauling Disposal Total Less than 100 S 107 S 16 S 123 100 to 500 174 223 397 500 to 1,000 323 558 881 1,000 to 2,000 582 1,116 1,690 2,000 to 5,000 1,262 2,604 3,866 Incineration and deep—well injection are the two other methods of off—site disposal determined to be commonly used by small volume generators. Future use of these methods of dis- posal by small volume generators is uncertain. Depending on the substances incinerated, costs of incineration per unit volume can be more than five times as high as costs of landfill disposal if removal efficiencies required by RCRA are to be obtained. Consequently, it is likely that only wastes which are explicitly excluded from landfills will be incinerated. Deep—well injection is outside the jurisdiction of RCRA as that practice is regulated under the Underground Injection Control program. The economic contractor determined industry disposal costs using two sets of assumptions. The first set involved all gen- erators now using landfill continuing to use that method and 40 percent of generators currently using incineration shifting to landfill disposal because of the high cost of incineration. The second set of assumptions involved no shifts from incineration to landfill disposal. Costs used in this study were based on a 40 percent shift from incineration to landfill. If no generators switch methods, national disposal costs will be $8.4 million higher——b percent of total disposal costs and 1 percent of total compliance costs. analysis assumes a perfect supply of capacity at off—site disposal facilities. To the extent that this supply is con- strained, the $70/MT cost may be a low estimate of post—RCRA disposal costs. ------- 11—25 TOTAL GENERATOR COMPLIANCE COSTS The previous sections of this chapter examined functional tasks and unit costs associated with RCRA requirements. Another way to look at generator compliance costs is by their fixed and variable components, where fixed costs are independent of the quantity of wastes controlled and variable components are depen- dent on the quantity. These are demonstrated in Figure 11—2 and discussed below. Administrative costs are primarily fixed costs and these dominate total costs at the lower volume cutoffs. For a gen- erator of 21 kg/mo (the average for generators of less than 100 kg/mo), fixed administrative expenses would be $725——con— tributing 85 percent of a generator’s total compliance costs of approximately $850. The major contributions to the fixed ad- ministrative expenses are the annual comprehensive testing of wastes costing $500 and the less extensive testing of wastes required each time a shipment is delivered to a disposal facility, costing $180 annually. 7 Variable administrative costs are relatively insignificant for industry. These costs can include the cost of preparing additional manifests if more than the required minimum of four annual shipments to a disposal facility are made. Variable administrative costs may also include the increased costs of record—keeping and supervision as waste streams become larger and more complex. Hauling costs vary more strongly with the volume of wastes generated than do administrative costs; however, these too have a fixed component that is dominant at the lower volume ranges. Fixed hauling costs are the minimum required for compliance with the regulations——pickup from the generator and delivery of one 55—gallon drum to the disposal facility every 90 days. This component of costs would constitute more than 50 percent of hauling costs for generators of less than 100 kg/mo. Beyond this point, the pro rata costs of a generator’s share of the 30—drum capacity of a truck become more important to total haul- ing costs. Since disposal costs are entirely dependent on the volume of wastes, these costs dominate other aspects of compliance at the higher volumes. For example, for a generator of 21 kg/mo, $6o per test a minimum of three times a year when wastes are delivered; once a year a comprehensive test substitutes for the less extensive tests. ------- 11—26 ANNUAL COST PER GENERATOR 5.000 4,000 3,000 1,000 Figure 11—2 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE ANNUAL COSTS PER GENERATOR (Constant 1978 Dollars) TOTAL COMPLIANCE COST VARIABLE COSTS OF TESTING. ADMINISTRATION AND HAULING / / // / / I . DISPOSAL COSTS 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3.500 WASTE GENERATION RATE (kg/mo) 4,000 4,500 5,000 S45 an adminsstrative cos and $88 pickup cost ------- 11—27 the cost of waste disposal in a secure landfill is 2 percent of the total cost, while for a generator of 3,500 kg/mo the cost of disposal in the same manner is 55 percent of total compliance. These tasks and unit costs per generator will provide the foundation for the discussion In the following chapter on in- dustry compliance costs and impacts for a specific regulatory option——exemption based on quantity of wastes. ------- 11—28 Chapter 4 EVALUATION OF REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE——INDUSTRY IMPACTS This chapter describes the effects on industry of the RCRA regulatory approach of exemption based on the quantity of wastes disposed. First, national costs will be presented as one—time and recurring costs, and the contribution of several cost com- ponents will be analyzed. The costs to the nine selected SICs will be assessed, and the impacts on those SICs will be examined. The chapter will then present national impacts based on a pro- jection of the impacts on selected SICs to the aggregate indus- trial profile. The final section of this chapter will highlight sensitivities and limits in the analysis. NATIONAL INDUSTRY COSTS National costs to industry will have both one—time and recurring cost components. These will be discussed below, with particular emphasis being placed on the variation in costs as the quantity of wastes in the RCRA system varies. One—Time Costs The major contributions to one—time costs to industry are comparison to the RCRA list, testing to contest designation as a hazardous waste generator, notification, and system set—up. 1 Table 11—12 illustrates total one—time costs as a function of the quantity exemption selected. These total costs are based on the unit costs presented in the preceding chapter. It is clear from this table that the single most important contribu- tion to total one—time costs is the number of generators included at low quantity cutoffs. At a zero cutoff, 722,000 generators incur a relatively low average one—time cost of approximately $100 each. At a cutoff of 2,000 kg/mo, the average cost per generator is $280, but the number of generators is only 11,300. LAithough it is estimated that 10 percent of generators in the waste quantity range of 1,000 kg/mo to 5,000 kg/mo will test their wastes, the analysis assumes that all generators will re- main in the system. This is a simplifying assumption for the purpose of presentation of impacts. ------- 11—29 Table 11-12 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE TOTAL ONE—TIME COSTS TO INDUSTRY (millions of constant 1978 dollars) Total Cost per Task Quantity Total Number Cutoff of Generators Comparison Design of Total Cost ( kg/mo) ( thousazids) to List Testing Notification Procedures All Tasks 5,000 0 50 SD SO SO SO 2,000 11.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 1.2 3.2 1,000 26.8 1.3 2.0 0.9 2.8 7.0 500 49.8 2.1 2.0 1.6 5.1 10.8 100 158.5 4.3 2.0 3.8 10.5 20.6 0 721.6 15.6 2.0 15.1 38.7 71.4 Recurring Costs Recurring industry costs, developed from unit costs pre- sented in Tables 11—10 and 11—11, are illustrated in Figures 11—3 and 11—4. As with unit costs, the most dramatic increase in costs occurs as the volume cutoff is lowered from 100 kg/mo to 0 kg/mo. The large number of generators entering the system and the contribution of fixed administrative costs to total costs account for this increase. The importance of fixed costs to total compliance costs at the lower volume ranges is reflected in the marginal cost of compliance per metric ton as the volume cutoff is lowered. 2 For example, the national cost of compliance at a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff is approximately $91 million for the 750,000 MT/yr added to the system by generators in the 1,000 to 5,000 kg/mo range. That yields an average cost per ton of $121. Moving from a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff to a 500 kg/mo cutoff would add $36 million, regu- lating an additional 196,000 metric tons at a cost of $184 per ton. A further decrease in the cutoff to 100 kg/mo adds 300,000 metric tons at a total cost of $114 million or $380 per ton. Moving from a 100 kg/mo cutoff to no quantity exemption (zero cutoff) would add $478 million, regulating an additional 140,400 metric tons at a cost of $3,400 per ton. The marginal costs per metric ton of moving from a 5,000 kg/mo cutoff to a zero cutoff are illustrated in Figure 11—5. stated in Part I of this report, marginal cost analysis shows the cost of regulating the additional tons of waste brought into the RCRA system as the quantity cutoff is lowered. ------- Figure 11—3 700 ANNUAL COST M llions of Dollars) 300 200 719 100% REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE RECURRING NATIONAL COST TO INDUSTRY BY FUNCTIONAL COMPONENTS 186 158 SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS (Constant 1978 Dollars) TESTING COST DISPOSAL COST HAULING COST ADMINISTRATIVE COST 127 : ::::: : j 91 1 11L1H 100 200 300 400 99.74% 9967% 99.46% 99.35% H L1H 500 700 800 VOLUME CU OFF (k1.no) 99.26% 99.19% 99.i % 99.06% 1 j 1 900 1000. 2000 99.0% 98.94% 98.48% 0 5000 97.7% ‘-4 0 140 118 0 54 CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED ------- Figure 11—4 700 ANNUAL COST (Md ons of Dollars) 300 200 L 100% REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE RECURRING NATIONAL COST TO INDUSTRY BY FIXED AND VARIABLE COMPONENTS SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS (Constant 1978 Dollars) VARIABLE COST 186 FIXED COST - __ __ iTi 2000 600 70.0 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 99.45% 99.35% 99.26% 99.19% 99.12% 99.06% 99.0% 98.94% 98.48% CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED FIXED COST ENDS AT 586 99.74% 99.57% 0 50u0 97.7% ------- Figure 11—5 4000 MARGINAL COST (Dollars Per Metric Ton) 0o. 2000 1000- 100% REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE GENERATOR MARGINAL RECURRING COST (Constant 1978 Dollars) 9974% 99.57% 99.45% 99.36% 99.26% 99.19% 99.12% 99.06% CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 200 300 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 112 2000 1000 990% 98.94% 9848% ------- 11—33 IMPACTS OF COMPLIANCE ON SELECTED INDUSTRIES This section delineates the impacts of compliance on the nine industries selected for economic impact analysis. The analysis will be presented for four quantity exemptions——O, 100, 500, and 1,000 kg/mo——to illustrate the variability of industry impacts as a function of the quantity exemption. Total costs for each industry will be described first. The percent of firms in each industry potentially incurring a compliance cost greater than 2 percent of sales will then be presented. On the basis of these compliance costs and on the basis of the profitability of firms in each SIC, the likelihood of plant closures will be examined. The sensitivity of the analysis to the model case assump- tions will be analyzed by identifying what waste generation rate would be necessary for impacts to occur in a given SIC and by assessing the likelihood of that waste generation rate on the basis of the methodology described in Appendix D. National Costs for Selected Industries National cost estimates for the nine industries studied, based on per generator costs of full compliance and generator profiles provided by the technical contractor, are depicted in Table 11—13. These costs include only the recurring annual costs for the firms in each SIC that are small volume generators. As shown in this table, the costs for the selected SICS, which include 52 percent of the generators and 34 percent of the wastes, account for 48 percent of the total national cost of small volume generator regulations at a zero cutoff and 18 percent of total national costs at a cutoff of 1,000 kg/mo. The disproportionately high percentage of total costs included at the zero cutoff results from the deliberate selection of several industries with large numbers of generators and high fixed compliance costs that are concentrated in the lowest waste generation range. I At a zero volume cutoff the costs presented in Table 11—13 constitute 0.04 to 1.5 percent of annual revenues for the nine SICs. Costs are greater than 0.5 percent of sales for photo— processing, laundries, and agricultural services. According to the definition used in the Draft Economic Impact Analysis these industries would incur a moderate impact. On an industry—wide basis the compliance costs as a percent of sales also indicate the increase in industry prices necessary for compliance costs to be fully passed through to customers. ------- 11—34 In the case of small volume generators, total industry costs as a percent of sales are not a particularly revealing measure of industry impacts. Total industry sales are dominated by a relatively small number of firms with high sales while, given high fixed compliance costs, impacts are likeliest to occur among the firms with the lowest annual sales. Conse- quently, to avoid understating actual impacts on the economi- cally smallest firms, several different methods to measure effects were developed. These are discussed in the following sections. Table 11—13 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR ANNUAL COSTS FOR SELECTED SICs (millions of constant 1978 dollars) Volume Cutoff (kg/mo) SIC Description 0 100 500 1,000 0711,21,29 Agricultural Services S 4.703 S 3.414 S2.516 S2.0O7 1700 Special Trade Contractors 130.2 1.72 1.08 0.86 2231,225,226,2272 Textiles 2.00 1.53 1.18 0.84 2700 Printing 30.55 13.15 8.74 5.98 3440 FabrIcated Metal Products 8.58 6.35 4.39 3.36 3471 Electroplating 2.87 1.87 .930 .56 5541 GasolIne Service Stations 118.81 57.40 1.82 0 7215,16 Laundries 35.55 7.55 1.27 0.30 7221,7333,7395 Pt%otoprocessing 14.63 7.68 4.10 2.75 Cost to Selected SICs 347.89 100.65 26.0 16.53 Percent of National Cost 48.3 41.6 20.3 18.0 Firms That Would Incur Costs Greater Than 2 Percent of Sales Table 11—14 shows the percent of plants that would incur costs of more than 2 percent of sales at selected quantity cut- offs. These percentages are based on the model case assumptions described in Appendix D and on distributions of SICs by annual sales derived from U.S. Census data. As shown in the table, impacts range from a low of 0 to a high of 62 percent of the establishments in SIC 7215 (laundries). ------- 11—35 Table 11-14 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PERCENT AND NUMBER OF GENERATORS WITH COMPLIANCE COSTS GREATER THAN TWO PERCENT OF SALES (for selected SICs) Volume Cutoff 0 kg/mo 100 kg/mo 500 kg/mo SIC DescriptIon Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number 0711,21,29 AgrIcultural Services 38% 7,000 25% 4,500 1% 200 1700 SpecIal Trade Contractors 61 92,000 - - 2231,225, Textiles — 226,2272 2700 Printing 3440 Fabricated Metal Products — 3471 Electroplating — 5541 GasolIne Service Stations 9 11,500 7215 LaundrIes 62 9,500 7216 Conrerclal Laundries 27 7,000 7221,7333, Photoprocessing 17 400 7395 No impacts greater than 2 percent of sales were detected in the manufacturing SICs despite the fact that the most vulner- able manufacturing SICs were selected for analysis. Impacts greater than 2 percent of sales were identified only among non—manufacturing SICs with very low annual sales and generally low waste generation rates. Only SIC 07 had impacts at volume cutoffs above zero. These were demonstrated at 100 kg/mo and 500 kg/mo due to SIC 07’s steeply rising waste generation rate. These results confirm that it is the fixed costs of participat- ing in the hazardous waste system and not the variable costs of disposal that result in the major impacts. As discussed earlier, the analysis assumed a direct rela- tionship between annual sales and waste generation. However, the results proved to be insensitive to the model case assump- tions. Using Sensitivity analysis, the economic consultant estimated the waste generation rates that would be necessary for compliance costs to exceed 2 percent of sales. This hurdle is exceeded by printers (SIC 27) if they have sales in the lower 50th percentile and a waste generation rate that is five times as great as the expected rate of 50 kg/mo. Electroplaters (SIC 3471) with sales in the lower 25th percentile may incur costs greater than 2 percent of sales if their waste generation rate exceeds the rate expected at the largest of the plants in the small volume generator group. ------- 11—36 Firms That Would Experience Negative Profitability A second way to assess the impacts of compliance costs on establishments is by measuring the profitability rates before and after incurring these costs. Table 11—15 shows the percent and number of plants in the selected SICs that would incur costs greater than the current profits before taxes. Assuming that the costs of compliance are not passed through to customers in the form of price increases, negative profitability would be experienced in several SICs but only at the zero cutoff. In the manufacturing sector, only SIC 3440 would be impacted, but financial data available for this study indicate that pre—RCRA profits are already negative in that industry. In the non— manufacturing sector, impacts range from a low of 3 percent of the generators in SIC 7216 to a high of 53 percent in SIC 17. Like other portions of the analysis, the analysis of plant profitability was not sensitive to the model case assumption. Necessary waste generation rates for costs to exceed profits were computed, and in all cases these rates were significantly above the rates expected at the largest plants in this study. Table 11—15 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PERCENT AND NUMBER OF GENERATORS WITH COMPLIANCE COSTS GREATER THAN PROFITS BEFORE TAXES (for selected SICs) Generators SIC Description Percent Nualber 0711,21,29 Agricultural Services 8—25 1,000—5,000 1700 SpecIal Trade Contractors 53 80,000 2231,225, TextIles 226,2272 2700 PrintIng 3440 FabrIcated Metal Products -- 3471 Electroplating — 5541 Gasoline Service Stations 14 23,000 7215 Laundries 14-43 2,200—6,500 7216 Conrierclal Laundries 3 750 7221,7333, Photoprocesslng 28 655 7395 ‘Impacts were seen at a volume cutoff of zero only. Above a zero cutoff, no generators would be Impacted based on profits before tax. “Baseline profItability Is negative for small establisMents in this SIC. ------- 11—37 Plant Closure Analysis Plants would be closure candidates if RCRA compliance costs, when not passed through to customers, would result in a negative profit rate. Based on the above analysis, the economic consultant identified these plants, computed the price increase necessary for the plants to reach a positive profit rate, and assessed the likelihood of plants to increase prices to the levels required. Three operating characteristics, singly or in combination, provide the environment for a firm to be a closure candidate. These include: • High compliance costs, • Low annual sales, and/or • Low profitability. The nine industries selected for detailed analysis illustrate these possible conditions: • Plants in the manufacturing SICs have estab- lishments with waste generation rates up to 5,000 kg/mo. The costs of compliance for the average establishment in the 2,000 to 5,000 kg/mo range is approximately $4,900 compared to $850 for the smallest generators. • Dry cleaners have generally adequate profit margins but low annual sales. • Special trade contractors, with low annual sales and low profit margins, are potentially impacted by both. Recalling the earlier table of the relative distribution of SICs by profits and sales (Table 11—3), it is clear that the strongest indicator of closure potential is the level of annual sales. The common characteristic among the industries with sales impacts and/or profitability impacts is low annual sales. The single exception is gasoline service stations (SIC 5541), but even that industry has a relatively large number of estab- lishments with low annual sales, and it is these that are the closure candidates. Closure potential in the dry cleaning industry results from low sales, despite a profit rate in the top quartile among small volume generators. Photofinishers and contractors ------- 11—38 have low profit rates as well as low sales, but there would be closure candidates in these industries even if profit rates were raised to the top quartile. Closure candidates also exist among small establishments in SIC 3441——fabricated structural steel. Baseline profitabil- ity for these establishments is —1.14 percent, indicating that closure candidates exist in the absence of hazardous waste regulations. Compliance with RCRA would lower the median profitability for these establishments even further. Highly localized markets for small establishments and intense foreign competition result in very limited pricing flexibility, and it is doubtful that establishments in this SIC could pass addi- tional costs through to customers. Consequently, closures are likely to result from RCRA requirements, but it is difficult to differentiate these closures from those resulting from the weak financial condition of the industry. Closures are likely among candidate firms only if the costs of compliance cannot be passed through to customers. Price increases necessary for the median closure candidate firm to avoid closure are 7 to 8 percent. The likelihood that price increases of this magnitude can be realized will vary from industry to industry. In general, since closure candidates requiring 7 to 8 percent increases in price are concentrated among the smallest establishments, compliance with RCRA will improve the competitive position of large establishments. For example, whereas a small establishment will need to raise its prices by 7 to 8 percent in order to maintain a positive profit rate, for a large establishment the same percent increase in prices will translate into an increase in profits of virtually that amount. Thus one effect of RCRA may be to foster concen- tration among larger firms in the heavily impacted industries. Demand for special trade contractors follows general eco- nomic conditions, and the feasibility of realizing an 8 percent price increase will depend on the condition of the national economy. With a vigorous economy and a high level of housing starts, an 8 percent price increase would not affect demand significantly. In a depressed economy, it is probable that an 8 percent price increase will cause many small contractors to go out of business, at least temporarily. Since there are low barriers to entry and exit in the industry, these contractors may re—enter once economic conditions improve. ------- 11—39 Demand for dry cleaning and photoprocessing services is influenced as much by location, convenience, and quality as by price. Both services also depend on general economic conditions in that as economic conditions worsen, individuals and businesses can dispense with them. Thus, price will be only one of a number of important factors influencing demand for these services. In addition to the above, two further factors influence the dry cleaning industry: first, price increases may reinforce an historical trend from commercial to coin—operated dry cleaners; second, the dry cleaning industry is highly energy—intensive and is already facing the prospect of price increases as a result of escalating energy prices. PROJECTION OF SIC IMPACTS TO NATIONAL IMPACTS Table 11—16 lists the results of the analysis of the percent and number of plants on a national basis that would incur impacts of more than 2 percent of sales and/or negative profitability. No impacts are anticipated among manufacturing SICs at a zero quantity cutoff as there was an absence of projected im- pacts among the most vulnerable SICs. It should be recognized that individual plants, in a limited number of cases, may ex- perience higher than expected impacts. This distortion results from varying waste generation rates and, therefore, varying compliance costs among firms with the same sales volumes. Dif- ferent generation rates may be the result of product or process differences or inefficient hazardous waste management practices. Plants in the latter category may be more capable of adjusting their waste generation rates than plants in the former category. Among non—manufacturing SICs, impacts are anticipated, based on sales and profits, primarily among establishments with low annual sales volumes. Based on Table 11—16, 45 percent of non—manufacturing SICs will have impacts greater than 2 percent of sales. Thirty—two to 40 percent will be closure candidates as a result of compliance costs that are greater than pre—tax profits. Most establishments will be impacted based on both criteria. The maximum impact, based on either criteria, will be 48 percent, or 315,000 establishments. ------- 11-40 Table 11-16 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PROJECTED NATIONAL IMPACTS ON SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS AT A WASTE QUANTITY EXEMPTION OF 0 kg/mo CUTOFF Basis of Impacts Costs Exceed 2 Percent Costs Exceed of Sales Baseline Profits Total Establishments Number Number SIC Description ( thousands) Percent ( thousands) Percent ( thousands ) 07 Horticultural Services 18 38 7 8—25 1-5 17 Special Services Contractors 152 61 92 53 80 55 Car Dealers and Service StatIons’ 164 7 12 14 24 72 Personal Services’ 191 67 128 34—52 65-99 73 Business Services 31 33 10 29—58 9-18 75 Auto Services 66 44 29 32 76 RepaIr Services 24 61 15 42-56 10-13 79 RecreatIonal Services 7 29 2 9 0.6 Total 653 45 295 32—40 210-260 ‘More service stations will have impacts based on low profits than on low sales. 2 Among the 191,000 establishments In Personal Services are 120,000 beauty parlors (SIC5 723,724) of whIch 100,000 have Impacts greater than 2 percent of sales and 60,000 to 89,000 have costs greater than profits before taxes. alncludes 50 percent of SIC 751 which has negative profits before tax nong smaller establishments. The largest number of potentially affected establishments are in three industry groups: • Special trade contractors (SIC 17), • Personal services (SIC 72), and • Auto services (SICs 55 and 75). SIC 17 consists of special trade contractors with various specialties. The largest group——53,000——is in SIC 1711, plumb- ing, heating, and air conditioning. The next largest group—— 29,000——is in SIC 1721, painting, paperhanging, and decorating. These generators have a higher waste generation rate than the other segments of this industry. SIC 72 consists of purveyors of various personal services. The largest groups of generators are in SICs 7231 and 7241, beauty parlors and barber shops, respectively, with a combined total of 120,000 generators. Other sectors that have large num- bers of generators are SIC 721, laundries, with 44,000 generators, and SIC 7261, funeral services, which has 14,500 generators. ------- 11—41 SICs 55 and 75 consist of automotive dealers and repair shops. The largest number of generators——128,000——are in SIC 5541, gasoline service stations. There are 49,000 generators in SIC 753, auto repair shops, and 36,000 generators in SIC 5511, new and used car dealers. Car washes and auto rental establishments have relatively few establishments in this industry. Several factors will affect the proportion of closure candidates that actually close because they are unable to realize the price increases of 7 to 8 percent that would be necessary for the average firms to have positive profit rates. Among these are: • Price elasticities, • Ease of entry and exit, and • National economic conditions. In SICs 17 and 72, demand for services is closely tied to national economic conditions, and low capital requirements result in considerable ease of entry and exit among smaller establishments. In a recessionary economy, closures would be extremely likely, at least among the lower 25 percent of establishments in sales. Both incremental RCRA costs and economic conditions would be responsible for closures. In a healthy economy, impacted establishments should be able to realize the necessary 7 to 8 percent price increases. In SICs 55 and 75, capital investments are greater and sensitivity to economic conditions varies. Closures would be less likely among these establishments, but some closures would take place among low profit establishments. LIMITS OF THE ANALYSIS The analysis described above is based on several important assumptions. In addition to the model plant assumption concern- ing waste correlation, assumptions made for this study concern: • Cost estimates for fixed and variable costs, and • Applicability of available financial data. In the following sections the sensitivity of the analysis to these assumptions will be discussed. ------- 11—42 Cost Estimates Cost estimates for small volume generators have been developed from previous estimates for large volume generators. Limited empirical data for small volume generators are available and estimates used for this study could overstate or understate overall costs. There are several sources of uncertainty: • Total costs and impacts reported here are de- pendent in large measure on the population of generators. The number of generators included in this analysis is the total number estimated by the technical contractor to produce poten- tially hazardous wastes. The actual number of generators may vary for several reasons: ——The technical contractor included a much broader spectrum of wastes as potentially hazardous than those designated as hazard- ous by EPA and appearing on the December 18, 1978, EPA list of hazardous wastes. In exercising this engineering and tech- nical judgment, the universe of hazardous waste generators defined by the contractor was more comprehensive than that of pre- viously compiled inventories. ——More generators will test their wastes than actually have hazardous wastes in order to determine that they should be excluded from the system. This will in- crease the one—time costs of comparison to the list and testing. ——Some generators who do not produce ha- zardous wastes but are uncertain of the components of their wastes may choose to enter the system rather than incur expen- sive testing costs. To the extent that this occurs, the regulated population will be larger than estimated. • The analysis was performed assuming landfill disposal for all wastes because precise data on the impacts of RCRA on establishments using recycling and incineration were not available. ------- 11—43 • Costs were developed on the assumption that hauling and disposal capacity will exist. To the extent that such capacity does not exist, excess demand may increase costs above the levels estimated. • Haulers and disposers may be reluctant to deal with small volume generators and may charge a premium to service them. The Draft Economic Impact Analysis , for example, states that large landfill operators would tend to charge small volume disposers higher prices. • Administrative costs for small volume generators, in particular the annual cost of testing, may differ from estimates reported here. Comprehen- sive testing Costs were assumed to average $500 as stated in the Draft Economic Impact Analysis . This cost could be lower for small volume gen- erators if their waste streams are less complex than are those of large volume generators. However, ADL recently estimated that comprehen- sive testing may cost as much as $750 to $2,000. As might be anticipated at the lower volume levels, the analysis is relatively insensitive to changes in the variable costs of hauling and disposal, but extremely sensitive to fixed administrative costs. For example, a $100 increase in the cost of landfill disposal (from $70 to $170 per metric ton) has only a 5 percent incremental effect on costs for an average generator of less than 100 kg/mo, but a $100 decrease in the cost of com- prehensive testing (from $500 to $400) decreases total generator costs by 12 percent. At the higher volume levels where variable costs are dominant, changes in disposal costs affect total costs much more significantly than changes in testing costs. For example, for a generator of 1,500 kg/mo, a doubling of disposal costs translates into a 41 percent increase in total costs while halving of testing costs results in only a 23 percent decrease in per generator costs. Therefore, to the extent that disposal costs are higher than estimated, they will affect the larger generators relatively more than the smaller generators. ------- 11-44 Representativeness of Available Financial Data Firms that would be candidates for closure are generally the firms within an industry that have lower annual sales. These data are weakest for the smallest firms within a given industry. Analyzing available data, the economic consultant determined that profitability figures were fairly consistent within an industry. Where possible in the analysis, profit rates were mapped to the appropriate annual sales figures. For the smallest plants in a given SIC, however, it was not possible to determine actual profit rates, and the rates for the smallest establishments available were used even though these establish- ments are larger than many of the plants in the SICs analyzed. The study approach assumed, therefore, that the profit- ability rate (expressed as a percent of sales) of very small establishments was similar to that of establishments that are only slightly smaller than average. This assumption may under- state the number of closure candidates in an industry because closure candidates were assumed to be firms whose post—RCRA profits would be less than zero. The sensitivities in the analysis will be explored fur- ther in Part IV. That part will focus on possible approaches to regulatory relief for small volume generators, especially in areas of program implementation for generators of waste quan- tities less than 100 kg/mo. ------- Part III IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS ON STATE AND AGENCY STAFFS AND BUDGETS The federal RCRA program was passed by Congress because of a growing awareness of the need for state and local agencies to draw on federal financial and technical assistance in the management of solid waste disposal. This section addresses those needs. It is presented in foui parts. Chapter 1 dis- cusses the status of state programs prior to the passage of RCRA and the activities of states during the initial period of RCRA program development. Chapter 2 presents a summary of state and Agency program development, operation, and oversight tasks required by RCRA for the regulation of large volume gen- erators, transporters, and treatment, storage, and disposal facilities. Chapter 3 discusses tasks and unit costs associ- ated with small volume generator regulations. Chapter 4 presents an evaluation of one specific regulatory option for small volume generation, that of exemption of generators by quantity of wastes produced. The option is then examined !ithin the framework of state and Agency program resource requirements for other parts of the RCRA program. ------- 111—2 Chapter 1 STATUS OF STATES’ HAZARDOUS WASTE PROGRAMS OVERVIEW Prior to the passage of RCRA, only a handful of states had addressed the problem of hazardous waste control through a well— defined regulatory strategy. The more common state approach was to handle hazardous waste disposal problems on a case—by— case basis under the broad authority of existing solid waste, public health, water resource, or environmental law. This approach was limited for several reasons. First, since explicit regulations or standards defining minimally acceptable disposal methods did not exist, both the public and the state regulatory agencies lacked common guidance as to appropriate disposal procedures. Second, since state agencies were often not given a clear directive to regulate hazardous wastes per Se, relatively few resources could be targeted to such problems, except in situations presenting imminent hazards to health. In recent years, states have been increasingly devoting resources to the development of programs that willbe similar in coverage and structure to the federal standard. EPA has been providing both funding and technical assistance in this effort to upgrade hazardous waste management systems nationwide. A brief overview of the current status of state hazardous waste management programs is provided in the following para- graphs. The discussions cover three areas: • Current state legislative authority, • Current state regulations and standards, and • Current state program resources. As will be seen, the states have already adopted a variety of regulatory approaches and mechanisms for controlling hazar- dous wastes. However, this heterogeneity in management strat- egies is rapidly undergoing change, with the states moving toward a more standardized and comprehensive level of control exemplified in the federal regulations. And, although some states have already implemented management programs comparable in coverage to the federal program, the major problem for all state programs is the availability of adequate resources. ------- 111—3 STATE LEGISLATIVE AUTHORITY OVER HAZARDOUS WASTES The legal authority through which hazardous wastes are controlled varies from state to state. Although some states regulate hazardous wastes through the authority directly granted in specific hazardous waste legislation, other states do so under the broad authority of solid waste law or by using implicit authority granted under existing public health, environmental protection, or natural resources law. The categories of hazardous wastes controlled vary from state to state. These variations can result from different def- initions of hazardous waste, or from specific statutory limita- tions. An example of the latter can be found in Michigan, where only off—site disposal practices are regulated. The administrative responsibilities for control of hazar- dous wastes may be vested in one or more state agencies. Some states, Minnesota for example, have delegated management author- ity to local governments. Since RCRA’s passage, 31 states and territories have adop- ted new hazardous waste legislation or have modified existing laws to encompass regulation of hazardous waste.’ Eleven states are relying on pre—RCRA hazardous waste authority to control hazardous wastes. 2 Eight states still have hazardous waste legislation pending approval by state legislatures. 3 Only eight jurisdictions do not possess some form of hazardous waste authority, though several of these are in the process of drafting enabling legislation. 4 1 New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont, New York, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, Maryland, District of Columbia, Alabama, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Illinois, Minnesota, Ohio, Wisconsin, Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Utah, California, Hawaii, and Oregon. 2 Arizona, Delaware, Idaho, Massachusetts, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia. 3 Connecticut, Maine, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wyoming; Ohio and Illinois have previous hazardous waste authority. 4 Alaska, Nevada, South Dakota, North Dakota, Colorado, Guam, American Samoa, and N. Mariana Islands. ------- 111—4 STATE HAZARDOUS WASTE REGULATIONS AND STANDARDS As is the case for legislative authority, states vary widely in their regulatory emphases, provisions, and overall coverage. States may concentrate their regulatory efforts on generators, transporters, or treatment, storage, and disposal facilities (TSDFs). Specific waste management elements incor- porated into state programs may or may not include: waste clas- sification schemes, permits, licenses, manifest systems, reports to the state, record—keeping, notification, groundwater and leachate monitoring, minimal construction or operating require- ments, fee systems, and post—closure requirements. According to an internal draft EPA document prepared in mid—1979, approximately half of the states and territories are awaiting the promulgation of the federal hazardous waste regula- tions before promulgating their own regulations. STATE HAZARDOUS WASTE MANAGEMENT PROGRAMS In January 1979, the General Accounting Office (GAO) re- leased a study showing that states currently lack the resources necessary to carry out the hazardous waste management require- ments of RCRA. 5 For the 26 states studied, the estimates of state officials indicated that, although these states’ fiscal year 1978 budgets totaled $5.1 million, yearly expenditures of $14.4 million would be necessary in order to implement controls similar to the federal requirements. This represents nearly a twofold increase over their 1978 spending levels. Using state budget information from the GAO report, the EPA 1978 Assessments, and other EPA background papers, this study estimated that 46 states and territories spent up to $7.3 million in fiscal year 1978 on hazardous waste control measures. These funds were applied to a variety of program tasks including: development of comprehensive hazardous waste legislation and regulations, identification and inspection of generators, trans- porters, and TSDFs; technical assistance to industry; design of data collection and management systems; staff hiring and train- ing; licensing of transporters and TSDFs; and initiation of enforcement proceedings against non—complying establishments. Hazardous Waste Management Programs Will Not Be Effective: Greater Efforts Are Needed , General Accounting Office, January 1979. ------- 111—5 As the states provided general rather than specific budget in- formation, it was not possible to determine the total resources devoted to each task. CURRENT REGULATORY COVERAGE OF HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATORS The most comprehensive information on states’ current reg- ulatory coverage of hazardous waste generators may be found in the Draft Environmental Impact Statement . This information, reproduced on the following page as Table 111—1, was gathered by the Agency in 1978 from state and EPA offices. As may be seen in the table, although legislative authority exists in one—quarter to one—half of the states for many of the basic RCRA requirements, only one—tenth to one—fifth of the states possessed the regulations and standards with which to implement this authority. The situation has improved since the time of the survey, but, even though states have passed more stringent generator legislation and regulations, their regula- tory programs continue to be in their beginning stages. Versar, in its 1978 review of state programs for hazard- ous and solid waste management, reports on 25 states representing either the top hazardous waste generating states or those states with well—established hazardous waste management activities. Versar concluded that RCRA programs are gaining momentum in the majority of states. However, most states lack a comprehensive program; the general provisions emphasize enforcement while generator provisions emphasize reporting and manifest system requirements. These conclusions are shown in Table 111—2. States are still gathering information on the identities and activities of hazardous waste generators. The GAO report indicated that 35 states had conducted or were in the process of conducting surveys. The technical contractor for the small generator study was able to obtain usable survey information from 20 states in its effort to compile a national database of plant—specific hazardous waste generation. At the present time, it is not clear whether small volume generator exemptions occur in states with operating hazardous waste management programs. Exemption by quantity of waste was not encountered in reviewing available state legislation and regulations, though it is possible that such exemptions may exist in practice where funding is limited. ------- 111—6 Table I l l-i STATE LEGISLATIOi ! APPLICABLE TO HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATORS P.T i1 .a .LI.s1 1.po tth tn.p.cltQn s 1.. A1a . . 1 (pruposud) ALaU 1 Anion. Li Cmiito rnLa ( 5? £ X 1 x Z x * x x x x Colo rado Conosottiwi Oslasans ruico .1 CoLosbl. Florida (propo.sd) I I x * 5.0 r11 ma lt Ida ho I llinois odL..oa I I I I I x I x I I I lo o n lanai. 5.o laiky L owLoIaoa mains i I i I I I ‘laryiaod lass achu os l l o tich i a . liananola (pruponsd) Ils aiuippi I I I * I I I I I I I I I I I li l i a n i cosa Isbrn.i. livid. l i v I I I I I 5 I I I I I I I I I losJsn..p 1 .Na .5ao Isv lark larch Carolina (prapsssd) lank lilac. I I I 1 I 7 I 1 I 1 I 1 I 1 I I Ohio Ikla Or. .o isonsyivinli ihod. l.iand I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I Sooth Cola. Saud Dakota .nnuhs, I. . .. Ida I I I I I I I I S I I I m I I I Zir in.i . 4.11 Vir!.L di .congi , , ,fur .ltr 1v Mzardavs w est. only. ____________ Source: Subt tle C, qesource Conservation and Recovery . ct of 1976——Oraft Environnmencai Impact Statement , I ______________________________ January LvIv. PD. irirornat-on presenteo ii nis ;a e was preoared by MITRE Corp., based on personal cols ’lunlc3tlon with representatives from state offices and t’ie Environmental 5 rotect ion 1 cency. ------- 111—7 The following chapter presents the specific program develop- ment, operation and oversight tasks, and costs that are required when a state applies for and receives authorization to carry out an approved RCRA program. Table 111—2 SUMMARY OF PROVISIONS IN STATE HAZARDOUS WASTE MANAGEMENT RULES AND REGULATIONS’ (25 states) Regulatory Tasks Record— Permit Manifest Inspect Keeping Reports Monitoring System System and Semple Enforcement General Provisions 2 3 2 0 0 4 11 Generator Provisions 8 13 1 7 15 5 1 ‘Includes draft regulations of two states (Arizona and Minnesota) expected to be adopted in 1979. Source: Status of State Prograns for Hazardous and Solid Waste Management, 1978. Annual State Report . Versar, Inc.. July 18, 1979. p. 18. ------- 111—8 Chapter 2 PROJECTED STATE AND AGENCY EXPENDITURES FOR RCRA EXCLUSIVE OF SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR COSTS This chapter presents estimates of the projected costs of RCRA to the states and EPA regional offices over the five— year period of 1981—1985, exclusive of the costs for regulating small volume generators. These baseline costs were developed assuming that 37 jurisdictions receive full authorization and that EPA regional offices operate the program in the remaining 19 jurisdictions. The estimates include expenditures for pro- gram development, operation, and oversight, and were developed on an aggregate level for: • Development of state hazardous waste programs, • Regulation of non—generators, i.e., transporters and treatment, storage, and disposal facilities, • Regulation of large volume generators, and • Implementation of general program administra- tive activities such as staff hiring and train- ing, technical assistance to industry, and coordination with other regulatory agencies. The Resource Requirement Summary , prepared by EPA in March of 1979, served as the basis for the majority of the costs pre- sented here. 1 Large volume generator regulatory costs, however, were developed using cost assumptions similar to those used in the small volume generator cost analysis. The following paragraphs present a general description of the RCRA program components and the method for computing the costs of these tasks. Originally developed in constant 1978 dollars, these program costs have been converted into current dollars and combined to project RCRA expenditures for fiscal years 1981 through 1985. Limits to this analysis are discussed at the end of the chapter. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Resource Requirement Summary on Implementation and Maintenance of Programs Authorized under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Subtitle C Programs , Draft report, revised March 3, 1979. ------- 111—9 PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT Based on information from the Resource Requirement Summary , the national cost of program development will be approximately $14.2 million. This total is based on resource needs for the following activities: • Developing or modifying hazardous waste legislative authority, • Developing and promulgating hazardous waste regulations and standards, • Conducting hazardous waste surveys, • Managing the public participation requirements of RCRA, and • Hiring and developing the necessary initial staff for program implementation. Based on data from EPA and EPA contractor reports, states were approximately one—quarter completed with program develop- ment at the end of 1978. Remaining costs of development, $10.7 million, were annualized over the 1979 to 1982 period to develop an annual development cost of $2.7 million. PROGRAM OVERSIGHT Current estimates from EPA indicate that $18 million will be available for Agency use in conducting RCRA hazardous waste program activities in fiscal year 1981. Of this amount, approxi- mately 15 percent, or $2.7 million, is expected to be used by EPA regional offices in conducting oversight functions in authorized states. In the first years of program operation, regional oversight will primarily consist of providing policy and technical guidance to state program offices, although some funds will be used in conducting inspection of major hazardous waste management faci- lities. As state programs mature, though, regional oversight will tend to shift to monitoring activities, such as review of state reports and programs. ------- 111—10 REGULATION OF NON-GENERATORS Using cost data from the Resource Requirement Summary and later EPA sources, this study estimated that the recurring costs of regulating transporters and treatment, storage, and disposal facilities will total to $27.9 million annually. The cost com- ponents for this estimate include: • Surveillance costs for transporters and treat- ment, storage, and disposal facilities, • Monitoring report review costs for treatment and disposal facilities, • Enforcement costs for transporters and treat- ment, storage, and disposal facilities, and • Permitting costs for existing treatment, storage, and disposal facilities. Permitting costs account for three—quarters of the annual cost of regulating non—generators for the first five years of pro- gram operation. Surveillance and enforcement costs represent less than a fifth of total expenditures in regulating non—generators. Current indications are that the bulk of the one—time costs of permitting are scheduled to occur over the next six years as existing facilities apply for permits. The most recent EPA estimates of the resource requirements for this activity reveal that it will take 6,030 man—years, at a cost of $125 million, to process permits for the existing 25,000 facilities. However, there is considerable uncertainty suri’ounding this estimate for two reasons: it may be impossible to accomplish this task within the six—year schedule; and the unit manpower requirements for permit processing may change as more complex facilities are constructed. GENERAL PROGRAM ADMINISTRATION It is estimated that general program administration ac- tivities will cost the states and Agency $9.4 million yearly. This cost was obtained using the unit cost estimates provided in the Resource Requirement Summary and includes: ------- 111—11 • Technical assistance, training, and education costs, • Staff maintenance costs, • Inter—agency coordination costs, • Data handling and processing costs, and • Support services costs. Support services costs account for half of these expenditures, while the remainder is distributed relatively evenly among the first four activities. REGULATION OF LARGE VOLUME GENERATORS Annual costs for regulation of large volume generators are expected to total $2.6 million. The unit cost assumptions used to develop this total are summarized in Table 111—3. The major components of large volume generator costs are for inspection and enforcement, which represent nearly 90 percent of total costs. Administrative activities account for approximately 12 percent of total costs of regulating large volume generators. Table 111—3 ANNUAL STATE AND AGENCY COSTS FOR REGULATING LARGE VOLUME GENERATORS (constant 1978 dollars) Task Task Unit Regulatory Task Frequency Cost • Review exception reports 1/generator/year S 6.00 • Enter annual reports into ADP 1/generator/year 1.95 • Inspect ion 1/generator/year 30.55 • Enforcement 3 percent of generators/year 27.30 $65.80 Large Volume Generator Population: 40,130 Regulatory Cost per Generator: $65.80 Total Annual Large Volume Generator Regulatory Cost: $2.6 million ------- 111—12 In addition to the tasks associated with the $2.6 million annually, during the first year of the program large volume generators will submit notifications to the EPA regional offices. The total cost to the Agency of processing large volume generator notifications will be $173,000, based on an average per document processing cost of $4.30. TOTAL BASELINE EXPENDITURES Table 111—4 presents total costs for RCRA over a five—year time horizon exclusive of the costs of regulating small genera- tors. Approximately two—thirds of the costs are associated with regulation of non—generators, where the major cost item is permitting of existing TSDFs. A fifth of total RCRA program costs involve general administrative activities. A relatively small share of total costs is required for regulation of large volume generators. Table 111-4 RCRA BASELINE COSTS TO THE STATES AND EPA REGIONS 1 (millions of current dollars) Fiscal Year Program Component 1981 1982 1983 1984 Program development S 3.6 S 3.9 S 0 S 0 S 0 I Program oversight 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.6 Regulation of non— generators ——PermItting 2 27.2 29.5 31.8 34.2 36.8 --Monitoring Activities 3 9.1 9.9 10.7 11.5 12.4 I General program administration 12.2 13.2 14.2 15.3 16.5 Regulation of large volume generators 4 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.7 Total Baseline Cost $58.5 $63.2 $63.9 $68.7 $74.0 1 Assuming 37 jurisdictions apply for and receive authorization in 1980 and EPA manages program in the romalning 19 jurisdictionsi 2 Permitting of 25,100 existing TSDFs assumed to be completed in the first six years of program operation. I 3 Enforcenent, surveiflance, report review, lab services. 4 lncludes notification in first year. ------- 111—13 Of the total federal funds appropriated for RCRA program needs in fiscal year 1981, $30 million will be distributed among the authorized states for program development and oper- ation, and $18 million will be used by the Agency in conducting program operation and oversight activities. Assuming this funding pattern will continue over the next five years, Table 111—5 presents the expected state and federal shares of future RCRA expenditures. The figures are based on the assumptions that states will use federal grant funds to finance all pro- gram development activities and that the remaining federal grant money will be matched with state funds on a 75:25 basis to finance program operation activities. States perceiving a need for additional resources may, of course, choose to allo- cate additional unmatched funds. Table 111—5 RCRA BASELINE FUNDING TO THE STATES AND EPA REGIONS FOR SELECTED ACTIVITIES’ (millions of current dollars) Fiscal Year Projected Expenditures 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 EPA regional efforts 2 $18.0 $18.0 $18.0 $18.0 $18.0 Authorized state efforts • Prograil development 3.6 3.9 0 0 0 • Progran operation ——Federal share 26.4 26.1 30.0 30.0 30.0 ——State share 8.8 8.7 10.0 10.0 10.0 • Total Expenditures $55.8 $56.7 $58.0 $58.0 $58.0 Assuming 37 jurisdictIons apply for and receive authorization in 1980 and EPA manages program In renamIng 19 jurisdIctions. 2 lncludes program operation In 19 unauthorized states, TSDF permit- ting support in all states and program oversight in 37 authorized states. I Figure 111—i compares the baseline costs of RCRA for fis- cal years 1981 and 1982 to the expected expenditure levels for these years. Figure 111—2 does the same for fiscal years 1983 through 1985. Shortfalls are indicated for all five years, with shortfalls of $1.7 million in fiscal year 1981 and $6.5 mil- lion in fiscal year 1982. Shortfalls become even greater in the following three years, totaling $5.9 million, $10.7 million, and $16.0 million in fiscal years 1983, 1984, and 1985, respec- tively. ------- 111—14 Figure Ill—i COMPARISON OF RCRA BASELINE COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY WITH EXPECTED RCRA FUNDING LEVELS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1981 AND 19821 (Current Dollars) 1982 1981 DOLLARS DOLLARS 63.2- 58.5 56.8 59.4- 54.8— 56.7 ———— 46.2— 42.6— 36.2 33.5 — 6.8 6.3- 3.9 3.8 0 0 LARGE VOLUME GENERATOR COSTS 2 GENERAL ADMINISTRATION COSTS L NON—GENERATOR COSTS PROGRAM OVERSIGHT COSTS PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT COSTS 1 As.umlng 37 juriedlctions apply for and receiv• interim authorization and EPA regional offices manage program in remaining 19 jurIsdictions. 1981, $0.2 million In notification procsulng coste are Incurred and included here. These coste are not incurred beyond 1981. ANNUAL COST (Millions of Curr.nt Dollars) 1981 EXPENDITURES LEVEL 1982 EXPENDITURES LEVEL I MO. ATOR TI V IT I ES 3 PERMITTING J I I 3 Enforcsment, surveillance, report reviews, lab services. ------- 111—15 Figure 111—2 COMPARISON OF RCRA BASELINE COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY WITH EXPECTED RCRA FUNDING LEVELS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1983 THROUGH 19851 (Current Dollars) ANNUAL COST (Millions of Current Dollars) 74.0 - 68.7 • 63.9 — 60.3- 64.3- 59.8— 68.0 58.0 ———— — 58.0 ———— — 52.8 49.0 — 45.6 — 40.4 - 37.5 — 34.9 — 3.6- 3.3 3.1 0 0 0 LARGE VOLUME GENERATOR COSTS GENERAL ADMINISTRATION COSTS NON—GENERATOR COSTS PROGRAM OVERSIGHT COSTS for and r.cive full auLnorizatiun and EPA r.gional off icas man.g. program in 1985 1984 1963 DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS I — — 1984 EXPENDITURES LEVEL E pI S . . .LE L • • • NOM— EN RAtbR :. MONITORINGATIITIES •iI PERMITTING. Auumlng 37 jurisdictions apply remainIng 19 jurIsdictions. surveIllance, report rsvssws, lab services. ------- 111—16 The bar—chart format used in Figures I l l—i and 111—2 does not imply a hierarchy of importance of program components. Where a national shortfall is shown, states will cut back on those activities considered least pressing from their specific environmental management perspective. Most likely, states will reduce their overall level of effort in all activities rather than sacrifice implementation of any specific program component. LIMITS TO THE ANALYSIS Several assumptions were employed in the baseline cost analysis, including: • 37 states will be fully authorized by 1983, • Full regulatory cpverage and enforcement will be implemented at the beginning of fiscal year 1981, and • The RCRA program will be carried out according to the full needs of the states and the full requirements of the program. These assumptions will overstate costs to the states and Agency in the program’s early years, since: • In fiscal years 1981 and 1982, states with interim authorization are unlikely to have the legal or regulatory authority to administer the full requirements of the federal RCRA pro- gram, and • There will be an initial regulatory “lag” as the states and Agency accumulate the necessary resources and information for full program man- agement. ------- 111—17 Chapter 3 TASKS AND UNIT COSTS TO STATES AND AGENCY FOR REGULATION OF SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS Following the brief period of program development in which states establish the legal and operational structure for carry- ing out RCRA, the extended period of program operation begins. The tasks of hazardous waste management are carried out either by an authorized state agency or by a regional EPA office in states that do not apply for or receive authorization. The regulatory tasks of program operation serve to identify hazard- ous waste—generating establishments, transporters, and TSDFs and to monitor their waste management activities. This study concentrates on the costs of program operation and oversight that are related to the regulation of small vol- ume generators. For the options studied, the key regulatory activities are: • Review of notification documents, • Review of exception reports, • Entry of annual reports into the regulatory automatic data processing (ADP) system, • Inspection of generator facilities, and • Enforcement against non—complying generators. Each of these program elements is discussed separately below. REVIEW OF NOTIFICATION DOCUMENTS All persons conducting hazardous waste activities are required to submit notification documents to an authorized regulatory agency. This requirement is clearly stated under Section 3010 of RCRA: “Not later than ninety days after promulgation or revision of regulations under Section 3001 identify- ing by its characteristics or listing any substance as hazardous waste subject to this subtitle, any person generating or transporting such substance . . ------- 111—18 shall file with the Administrator (or with states having authorized hazardous waste permit programs under Section 3006) a notification stating the location and general description of such activity and the identified or listed hazardous wastes handled by such person . . . •“ Certain generators are exempt from the notification re- quirement, including domestic establishments and, currently, establishments that dispose of fewer than 100 kg/mo of hazard- ous waste. Under the current RCRA timetable, notifications are to be submitted to EPA rather than to the states since it is unlikely that any state program will be authorized to receive notifications before notifications are due. Following review by the staff at the appropriate regional EPA office, the infor- mation in completed documents will be converted into computer— compatible formats and entered into the ADP system. Notification information includes the name, address, and principal activity of the establishment, description of the type(s) of hazardous waste activity conducted, and a description of the types of hazardous wastes handled. The information con- tained within these documents will constitute the initial regu- latory database on the identities and activities of hazardous waste generators. Later, as periodic reports are received from generators, the database will be expanded into a continuing, up—to—date summary of the generation, movement, and disposition of all hazardous waste handled within the country. Based on unit manpower estimates from the Reports Impact Analysis , this study estimated that the entire review and data entry process will take 25 minutes per “average’ t document re- ceived. 1 This estimate includes an allowance for incomplete or improperly completed documents. 2 The expected staffing mix for this program task is 10 percent supervisory personnel, 55 percent technical personnel, and 35 percent clerical personnel. Using annual salary levels of $27,000, $16,000, and $9,000 for sup- ervisory, technical, and clerical staff, respectively, the weighted average annual salary level for this task is $14,650 ‘U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Reports Impact Analysis, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, Subtitle C——Hazardous Waste Management , Draft report, revised March 19, 1979. properly completed document requires 20 minutes of “review and entry” time. An improperly completed document requires 35 minutes. Improperly completed documents are estimated to represent one—half of all documents originally received. ------- 111—19 per man—year. Assuming 230 man—days per man—year, 8 man—hours per man—day, and overhead costs of 30 percent of salary levels, this translates into a regulatory budget requirement of $4.30 per generator included in the system. REVIEW OF EXCEPTION REPORTS Under Section 3002(6) of RCRA, generators are required to submit periodic hazardous waste reports to the EPA Adminis- trator or to an authorized state agency. One such report is the exception report, required under Section 250.23O(a)(1), describing: • movements of all hazardous waste to permitted facilities, for which a signed original manifest has not been received from the permitted facility, within 45 days of the date of acceptance by the initial transporters.” 4 Required only for off—site shipments, such reports consist of a copy of the manifest for which the generator has not had confirmation of delivery and a cover letter describing efforts taken by the generator to locate the shipment. These reports, therefore, serve as warning indicators for detection of possi- ble cases of improper disposal. An exception report, when submitted to an authorized state agency or an EPA regional office in an unauthorized state, is reviewed by enforcement personnel to determine the probable status of the incomplete shipment. Two situations are possible: • The shipment has been received by the intended disposal facility, but the original of the manifest is late or has not yet been sent, or • The shipment has been lost in transport due to spills, illegal disposal, or other types of mis- management. 3 mese manpower conversion assumptions and overhead levels are used in computing unit costs throughout the regulatory cost analysis. ‘ Revised regulations, EPA Smoothing Committee Draft No. 1, September 4, 1979. ------- 111-20 The Reports Impact Analysis estimated that the review process will require an average of 30 minutes per report. This includes time to read the report, make phone calls to the transporter and intended disposal facility, and to decide on the probable disposition of the wastes. Cases of suspected illegal activity will be referred to enforcement, and the specifics of the incident will be entered into the ADP system. The Reports Impact Analysis also estimates the requisite staffing mix for this activity to consist of a 15/75/10 mix of supervisory, technical, and clerical personnel. Using the salary levels stated above, the weighted average salary level for this task is $16,950 per man—year. This translates into a cost of $6.00 per report reviewed. This report cost can be converted into a per generator cost on the basis of generator shipping frequencies and the likelihood that the manifest will be incomplete. The shipping frequencies assumed in this report were stated in the section on generator administrative tasks and costs. The annual probabilities are summarized in Table 111—6 below, as are the resource requirements for each gener- ator volume category. Table 111—6 EXCEPTION REPORTS-—STATE AND AGENCY RESOURCE KEQUIREMENTS (per generator) (constant 1978 dollars) Annual Generator Probabi1ity Annual Annual Volume of an Staffing Budget Category Exception Need Need Report ( man-minutes) ( dollars ) 0-2,000 .17 5 51.00 2,000-5,000 .25 7.5 1.50 Based on the assumption that one out of every 24 shipments will lead to an exception report. ENTRY OF ANNUAL REPORTS INTO ADP SYSTEM Another of the periodic reports required of all gener- ators is the annual report. This report, described in Section 250.230(a)(2) of the RCRA regulations, contains a summary of the hazardous waste types, quantities, and movements from each generator. As a group, these reports provide the states and ------- 111—21 Agency with yearly information on hazardous waste activity and disposition. These data are added to the original notification data to be compiled in a variety of status, planning, and over- sight reports. Following consultation with persons experienced in data entry costs, the study estimated that the task of reviewing these reports for completeness and entering them into the ADP system will require, on the average, 15 minutes per report. Since the report format is designed for an ADP system, pro- cessing the annual report is expected to be a mechanical pro- cess, quickly completed. A 10/0/90 staffing mix of supervis- ory, technical, and clerical personnel is assumed to be re- quired for this task. The weighted average salary level for one man—year of effort at this task is therefore $10,800 per man—year, or $1.95 per generator. INSPECTION A minimal inspection frequency has not been specified for states with authorized programs. Inspections are, however, an essential part of any regulatory program. They allow a state to check the validity of the self—reporting done by generators, and provide an opportunity for informal exchange of views on hazardous waste management. This report has assumed a per generator inspection fre- quency of one inspection every 10 years, an estimate obtained from the Resource Requirement Summary . It is likely that the states and Agency will not follow a rigid timetable of one inspection per facility every 10 years. Rather, generators will probably be inspected at a frequency proportional to the volume and relative toxicity of the waste disposed. However, this variance in inspection frequency cannot be quantified at the present time. Again, based on information from the Resource Requirement Summary , this report estimates that three inspections can be scheduled and conducted in one man—day. Combining data on expected inspection frequency and inspection time, an annual- ized estimate of per generator inspection time would be 0.27 man—hours per generator per year (based on one inspection every 10 years and 2.67 man—hours per inspection). The staffing mix for this program activity is expected to be a 15/65/20 mix of supervisory, technical, and clerical personnel. The weighted annual average salary level is therefore $16,250 per man—year, or $3.05 per generator per year. ------- 111—22 ENFORCEMENT Since the Agency has not yet finalized a national RCRA enforcement strategy, state and Agency officials having experi- ence in hazardous waste and NPDES enforcement activities were consulted to provide guidance in this area. State sources have emphasized that enforcement actions focus on serious in- cidents of non—compliance, that is, on chronic violators who have not responded to enforcement techniques such as mailing letters to notify a generator of an infraction or making infor- mal visits to non—complying generators to explain the need for and techniques of compliance. Most likely estimates of non—compliance that were provided to this study are summarized here. State sources suggested that as few as 1 percent and as many as 5 percent of all small volume generators would require enforcement actions, though the specific number would vary from state to state and would be about 3 percent for the average state. Additionally, states have estimated that an average of 10 days, and a range of five to 15 days, of case preparation and review are required by hazardous waste enforcement personnel for each case processed. This does not include time spent by attorneys in the state attorney general’s office in conducting prosecution, but does include time spent by hazardous waste program personnel in collecting evidence, documenting the facts of the case, comparing the present case facts with the available disposal history of the generator, and reviewing the case for legal sufficiency. This information can be converted into a unit resource requirement per generator regulated. That is, if 3 percent of all generators are expected to undergo serious enforcement action that requires 10 man—days of case preparation and review, then for the generator population considered the unit resource requirement for enforcement may be restated as 2.4 man—hours of effort per typical generator. The expected enforcement staffing mix is consistent with that assumed in the Resource Requirement Summary : 15 percent supervisory, 40 percent technical, 25 percent legal, and 20 per- cent clerical. Using salary levels of $27,000, $16,000, $16,000, and $9,000 for these staffing categories, the weighted average annual salary level for this task is $16,250, and the average per generator cost is $27.30. ------- 111—23 Table 111—7 shows that enforcement activity results in the largest recurring cost of program operation; the estimate of $27 is almost nine times the cost of the next most expensive program component (inspection) and over four times the combined costs of report review, annual report data entry, and inspection. The impact of the enforcement estimate will be discussed more fully in Chapter 4 of this section. Table 111-7 COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY FOR REGULATION OF SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS (per generator) (constant 1978 dollars) Regulatory Task Budget Requirement One-Time Cost Review notification $ 4.30 Annual Cost Review exception report S 1.00 - $3.00 Process annual report 1.95 Inspect 3.05 Enforce* 27.30 Total annual cost $33.30 - 535.30 Assianes 3 percent of generators require enforcement actions. PROGRAM OVERSIGHT In program oversight, state—managed hazardous waste pro- grams are monitored by the appropriate EPA regional office. Oversight activities include: review of state reports; inspec- tion of generators, transporters, and TSDFs; review of major facility permits; and annual review of state programs. Of these, the most significant monitoring activity relating to small volume generators will be inspection of generator facil- ities. Under Section 123.37 of the proposed Consolidated Permit regulations, the federal inspection frequency for non—major hazardous waste management facilities, generators, and trans- porters may be specified in the Memorandum of Agreement between EPA regional administrators and state program directors. Sec- tion 250.74 of the RCRA regulations establishes an upper limit to inspection of 10 percent of regulated establishments. ------- 111—24 The regional oversight costs developed in this report are based on a 10 percent inspection frequency and a unit manpower requirement of 2.67 man—hours per inspection. The expected task staffing mix and staff salary levels are those estimated for inspection activities conducted under program operation. On a per generator basis, the annual cost to EPA will be $3.05. ------- 111—25 Chapter 4 EVALUATION OF REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE—— STATE AND AGENCY IMPACTS This chapter examines the total costs and impacts result- ing from exempting generators from RCRA regulations based on the quantity of wastes produced. The exemption volume cutoffs studied range from 0 to 5,000 kg/mo, where a zero cutoff brings all generators into the RCRA Subtitle C program, and a 5,000 kg/mo cutoff excludes all generators in this study from the RCRA Subtitle C program. The first section of this chapter examines regulatory costs, reporting on the magnitude of resource needs at the state and Agency level as increasing numbers of small volume generators are managed under full RCRA requirements. The second section addresses impacts, discussing resource con- straints, cost—effectiveness issues, and implementation prob- lems that are likely to occur in a quantity—based regulatory option. NATIONAL COSTS Three major aspects of national regulatory costs will be addressed in this analysis: total costs, incremental costs, and the distribution of costs between the states and EPA. Total costs are further separated into one—time and recurring cost components. The cost analysis also examines the sensi- tivity of the projected national costs to major costing assump- tions used. The national costs of regulation are presented for a scenario in which 37 jurisdictions apply for and receive full authorization and EPA regional offices operate the program in the 19 unauthorized states. This represents a “most likely” scenario for cost estimation. However, due to the current un- certainty surrounding future authorization, alternative author- ization scenarios will be examined later in the analysis. ------- 111—26 Total Costs One—Time Costs In the first year of program operation, the Agency will incur the one—time cost of reviewing notification documents from small volume generators included in the full RCRA manage- ment system. Table 111—8 depicts this cost as a function of the volume cutoff selected. Table 111—8 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE NATIONAL ONE-TIME COSTS TO THE AGENCY OF REGULATION: SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR NOTIFICATION (constant 1978 dollars) Total Costs Volume Cutoff Number of (millions _____ Generators of dollars ) 5,000 0 S 0 1,000 26,765 0.12 100 158,498 0.68 0 721,625 3.10 Since the per generator cost to the Agency of reviewing notification documents is assumed to be the same for each generator regardless of the volume of waste produced, the total cost for this task depends only on the number of generators in the system. For example, the cost at a 0 kg/mo cutoff is 4.5 times greater than the cost at a 100 kg/mo cutoff because there are 4.5 times more generators in the system at a zero cutoff. Recurring Costs Recurring costs of regulation occur at the program opera- tion and oversight levels as the states and EPA monitor genera- tors’ compliance activities. For program operation, the recur- ring regulatory activities studied include: • Review of generator exception reports, • Entry of annual generator reports into the ADP system, • Periodic inspection of generator facilities, and ------- 111—27 • Enforcement action against non—complying generators. For program oversight, inspection of generator facilities in authorized states was determined to be the most significant regulatory activity for management of small volume generators. Figure 111—3 illustrates the annual costs of program oper- ation and oversight for various volume cutoffs. Overall, the costs of program operation are more than an order of magnitude higher than the costs of program oversight. More specifically, federal oversight costs represent 5 to 6 percent of total small volume generator regulatory costs. This figure is consistent with the proportion that oversight costs represent of total RCRA baseline program costs, i.e., 5 percent. Recurring costs of regulation are almost entirely deter- mined by the number of small volume generators included under full RCRA requirements. The only variable cost component asso- ciated with regulation of small volume generators is review of exception reports, where the volume of wastes determines the number of shipments to TSDFs, which then serves as an indicator for the number of exception reports. The task represents about 5 percent of total regulatory costs. Costs which are determined by the number of generators in the system, therefore, represent roughly 95 percent of the costs associated with regulation. Of these costs, the dominant com- ponent is the cost of enforcement action. Figure 111-4 shows that enforcement actions account for nearly 80 percent of the total recurring costs of program operation, while administrative and inspection activities contribute only 11 and 9 percent, respectively, of total program operation costs. As the projected national costs are most sensitive to the cost assumptions for enforcement actions, these will be exam- ined more closely. It was assumed that each generator respon- sible for an enforcement action would require the same effort by the regulator regardless of the volume of wastes produced. There is actually some room for variation in this assumption: it is expected that the extent of non—compliance will be greater for the smallest generators because the relative cost of com- pliance with full RCRA requirements is much higher. However, offsetting this is the expectation that the average time spent in preparing material for an enforcement action would be rela- tively less for smaller generators due to their more homogeneous waste streams and more limited options. These two expectations would offset each other to lead to a relatively constant en- forcement resource need per generator regulated. ------- 111—28 Figure 111—3 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE NATIONAL RECURRING COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY OF REGULATING SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS 1 ANNUAL COST (Millions of Dollars) 20 15 10 (Constant 1978 Dollars) VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 98.94% I _____ 5000 97.70% CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED tAa.uming 37 juriadictlons apply for and receive authorization and EPA regional offices manage program In remaining 19 juri.dictlons. PROGRAM OVERSIGHT COSTS PROGRAM OPERATION COSTS 5 0 100% 99.74% 500 1000 99.26% ------- (Constant 1978 Dollars) ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS INSPECTION COSTS ENFORCEMENT COSTS 111-29 Figure 111—4 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE NATIONAL RECURRING COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY FOR PROGRAM OPERATION BY FUNCTIONAL COMPONENTS SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS 1 CUMULATIVE PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 1 Auuming 37 juriadictlons apply for and receive authoi1z tion and EPA regIonal offices manage program in remaining 19 jurisdictions. 100% 0.9 wj 0 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/ 1000 mo) 5000 99.26% 98.48% 97.70% ANNUAL COST (Millions of Dollars) 20 15 5 0 10 500 99.74% ------- 111—30 The likelihood of a generator requiring an enforcement action was assumed to be 3 percent, based on discussions with several state regulators. The range in their estimates was 1 percent to 5 percent. Table 111—9 presents program oper- ation costs for regulation of small volume generators based on enforcement assumptions of 1 percent, 3 percent, and 5 per- cent. At a 0 kg/mo cutoff, a 2 percent increase in the enforce- ment assumption can raise total costs to $37 million per year, while a 2 percent decrease can lower total costs to $11 million per year, compared to the estimate of $24 million per year, assuming a 3 percent non—compliance rate. The states may be expected to exercise some discretion in enforcement in the initial years of program operation, owing to data scarcity, personnel shortages, and competing program pri- orities. Additional resources can be targeted to enforcement efforts when one—time tasks such as program development, noti- fication, and permitting are completed. Table 111—9 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE ANNUAL PROGRAM OPERATION COSTS TO STATES AND AGENCY FOR ALTERNATIVE ENFORCEMENT ASSUMPTIONS SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS (millions of constant 1978 dollars) Percentage Generator Non—Compliance Volume Cutoff ( kg/mo) 1 Percent 3 Percent 5 Percent 0 $11.0 $24.0 $37.0 100 2.5 5.3 8.1 1,000 0.4 0.9 1.4 Total regulatory costs are not as sensitive to other cost- ing assumptions in this analysis. For example, if the inspec- tion frequency for small volume generators is increased to once every five years rather than once every 10 years, total program operation costs increase only 10 percent. If exception reports are expected once every 12 shipments rather than once every 24 shipments, total program operation costs increase only 5 percent. Marginal Costs Another means of evaluating regulatory costs is to exam- ine the marginal costs of including increasing numbers of small volume generators in the Subtitle C program of RCRA. Figure 111—5 presents the incremental per ton costs of program operation and oversight for volume cutoffs ranging from 5,000 to 0 kg/mo. ------- Figure 111—5 MARGINAL COST (Dollars Per Metric Ton) 10 0 0 L 19.6 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE STATE AND AGENCY MARGINAL RECURRING COSTS OF REGULATING SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS’ (Constant 1978 Dollars) 99.74% 99.57% 99.45% 99.35% 99.26% 99.19% 99.12% 99.06% PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 99.0% 98.94% 98.48% PROGRAM OPERATION ENDS AT 133 20 ‘-4 ‘-I ‘ -4 100% VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) 2.0 0.9 1000 2000 ‘AssumEng 37 luriedictions y for and receive authorization and EPA mgianai oft Icas sianage program In remaining 19 jurledictions. ------- 111—32 As was true for the marginal per ton industry costs, the cost per additional ton of hazardous waste regulated increases significantly at lower volume cutoffs. As the waste quantity range decreases from 5,000 kg/mo to 100 kg/mo, the incremental costs for controlling the wastes increase from $1 per ton to $20 per ton. Furthermore, the marginal cost per ton of con- trolling the 0.23 percent of hazardous wastes contributed by the smallest generators, those generators in the 0 to 100 kg/mo category, amounts to $142 per metric ton. Authorization Scenarios Both the states and EPA share the regulatory responsibil- ity for implementation of RCRA. However, the total costs and the distribution of costs depend on the number of states apply- ing for and receiving authorization for Subtitle C program management. If all jurisdictions receive full authorization, then national costs will be composed of full program operation and oversight costs. If no state receives authorization, then EPA will be responsible for the national costs of program oper- ation, and no oversight costs will be incurred. Between these two extremes are situations in which some states apply for and receive authorization, EPA assumes national program operation responsibilities for the remaining states, and EPA oversees only the authorized state programs. Table 111—10 presents three authorization scenarios for the split of regulatory responsibilities between the states and EPA. The first scenario, representing a “most likely” authori- zation scenario, is based on current projections made within EPA’s Office of Solid Waste and shows 37 states receiving au- thorization and 9 jurisdictions having their Subtitle C pro- grams run by EPA. The second and third scenarios lead to maxi- mum regulatory costs to EPA and to the states, respectively. Table 111—11 shows the possible range in national regula- tory costs for these scenarios assuming volume cutoffs of 1,000, 100, and 0 kg/mo. National costs of regulation appear to be substantially the same across all scenarios for the same volume cutoff; the degree of variance is at most 9 percent be- tween scenarios II and III. Comparing scenarios II and III with scenario I, it can be seen that totaiprogram costs could be, at most, 6 percent lower or 3 percent higher than the costs estimated for the “most likely” authorization scenario. This reflects the relatively minor contribution of oversight activi- ties to total regulatory costs for small volume generators. However, what is important is the distribution of costs. EPA regional offices may be responsible for 8 to 100 percent of ------- 111—33 Table 1 1 1-10 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE BASELINE SCENARIO AND ALTERNATIVE AUTHORIZATION SCENARIOS Scenario Description 37 jurisdictions receive full authorization (baseline) and EPA manages hazardous waste prograiis in the renaming 19 jurisdictions II EPA manages hazardous waste progrens in 56 jurisdictions III 56 jurisdIctions receive full authorization Table 1 1 1—11 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE STATE AND AGENCY RECURRING COSTS FOR REGULATING SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS UNDER THREE AUTHORIZATION SCENARIOS (millions of constant 1978 dollars per year) Authorization Scenario Volume Cutoff ! 1! ILL 0 States: 15.89 States: 0 States: 24.05 EPA: 9.62 EPA: 24.05 EPA: 2.21 Total: 25.51 Total: 24.05 Total: 26.26 100 States: 3.50 States: 0 States: 5.30 EPA: 2.12 EPA: 5.30 EPA: 0.49 Total: 5.62 Total: 5.30 Total: 5.79 1,000 States: 0.61 States: 0 States: 0.92 EPA: 0.36 EPA: 0.92 EPA: 0.08 0.97 0.92 . 1.00 ------- 111—34 total costs for regulating small volume generators, with the current most likely estimate being 38 percent of total costs. STATE AND AGENCY IMPACT ANALYSIS This section presents an evaluation of the economic and management implications of including small volume generators in the RCRA hazardous waste control program. The analysis first compares resource needs for regulating small volume generators at different exemption quantity cutoffs with resource needs for the basic RCRA program. Following this is an examination of the extent of resource constraints for the complete RCRA program, particularly as a function of the generator waste quantity cutoff selected. The analysis concludes with a gen- eral consideration of the relative cost-effectiveness of regu- lating small volume generators. Resource Needs and Constraints At a 0 kg/mo cutoff, program operation and oversight costs for regulating small volume generators total to $25.5 million annually. This cost, equal to 57 percent of the cost of all other program expenditures combined, is approached only by the $20.9 million annual cost of permitting existing TSDFs. At a 100 kg/mo cutoff, state and Agency regulatory costs for small generators drop to $5.6 million per year. Although lower than permitting costs, this cost is over twice as large as the annual cost of regulating large volume generators which account for 97.7 percent of all hazardous waste. At a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff, small volume generator regula- tory costs are nearly $1 million per year. This represents 2 percent of all other program operation costs and one—third the cost of regulating large volume generators. Whatever the cutoff selected, if small volume generators are brought into the full RCRA hazardous waste management sys- tem, even greater budget shortfalls than those estimated ear— her can be expected. Table 111—12 shows the amount of the budget shortfalls expected, while Figures 111—6 through 111—8 illustrate the change in total program budget needs for volume cutoffs ranging from 0 to 5,000 kg/mo for fiscal years 1981 through 1985. ------- 111—35 Table 111-12 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE ESTIMATED RCRA PROGRM4 SHORTFALLS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1981 THROUGH 1985 AT SELECTED GENERATOR EXEMPTION LEVELS (millions of current dollars per year) Generator Fiscal Year Exenpt Ion Level 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 (kg/mo) — — — — 5,000 1.7 6.5 5.9 10.7 16.0 1.000 3.1 7.9 7.4 12.3 17.7 500 4.3 9.0 8.6 13.6 19.2 100 9.9 14.4 14.4 19.9 25.9 0 38.9 42.4 44.6 52.4 60.9 As can be expected, program budget needs increase steadily as lower cutoffs are contemplated, with the most dramatic shift in resource needs occurring at cutoffs below 100 kg/mo. In order to control wastes from small generators, states will have to decide on one or more of the following courses of action: • Obtain additional funding, either from in- creases in state appropriations or from the federal government, • Reduce regulatory efforts in other program activities by as much as 80 percent, or • Refuse to apply for authorization, shifting responsibility for administration of the program to EPA regional offices. This problem of resource constraints is even more acute when examined from the perspective of current state budget and manpower levels. Based on available information on recent levels of hazardous waste control expenditures and staffing levels in 46 states, the study determined that their combined hazardous waste expenditures for fiscal year 1978 totaled $7.3 million. Projecting these expenditure levels to national totals, it appears that a typical state in this group would have to increase its current level of expenditures by a factor of six just to meet the baseline costs of RCRA. A similar analysis was performed on the manpower levels for 30 states. These states currently have 191 persons on their hazardous waste staffs. Total national RCRA baseline ------- r ure 111—0 1981 Dollars 96.7 ANNUAL TOTAL COST (Millions of Dollars) FISCAL YEAR 1981: RCRA PROGRAM COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY’ (Current Dollars ) 58.5 56.8 54.8 0 100 500 1000 3000 LARGE VOLUME GENERATOR COSTS 2 NON-GENERATOR AND GENERAL ADMINISTRATION COSTS PROGRAM OVERSIGHT PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) I_I I 100 99.74 99.26 98.94 98.48 PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED 1 suming 37 jurlsdj iona apply for and receive Interim authorization and EPA regional offices manage program In remaining 19 jurIsdictions. SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS 2 6.3 3.6 I I I, 2000 I . : j I 4000 5000 -j 97.10 ales catf ocei 0151 ------- Figure Ill—i FISCAL YEAR 1982: RCRA PROGRAM COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY’ 1982 (Current Dollars) Dollars 99.1 ANNUAL TOTAL a: si (Millions of Dollars) VyUME GENERATORS _______________ _______ _______ _______ _______ ________________ GENE 1 L TS NON—GENERATOR AND GENERAL ADMINISTRATION COSTS r lw t — _1_ ______ f PROGRAM OVERSIGHT ‘ . , . . . PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) Li I I 100 99.14 99.26 99.94 98.48 PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED Assuming 31 Iurhdictlons apply for and receive Interim authorization and EPA regional offices manage program in remaining 19 jurisdictIons. ------- 1985 1984 1983 ! ? Uan Dollars Dollars 118.9 -110.4 ANNUAL TOTAL COST (Millions of Dollars) 74.0 69.3 — 68.7 - 64.3 68.0 102.( 58.0 - ___ _ 3.6 - 33 - 3.1 Figure 111—8 FISCAL YEARS 1983—1985: TOTAL RCRA PROGRAM COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY’ (Current Dollars) 4!’4+P ‘l+I’+M+ + M+M441 4 + 14+ 1983 EX ITURESLEV! - -- -- . _____ _____ _____ ____ _____ I g4 XI ENdIYUA L )EL .—.-.-.-. - - .. .-.-.-. .- . I iéos EXPENDITURES LEVEL - .&&J.-• t t g i t ‘!J/Lfl .rt LL* jr t -s L .5 .i ¶ ¶i I? V I I__ — I S_ ‘ ‘ I I ø 0 100 600 1000 2000 Li ____ 100 99.74 9926 98.94 98.48 3000 4000 5000 -J 97.0 VOLUME CUTOFF (kg/mo) - I PERCENTAGE OF ALL HAZARDOUS WASTES CONTROLLED SMALL VOLUME GENERATORS - 63.f - 59.8 58.0 I LARGE VOLUME I GENERATOR COSTS NON-GENERATOR AND GENERAL ADMINISTRATION COSTS PROGRAM OVERSIGHT ‘AssumIng 31 jurisdictions apply for and receive full authorization and EPA regional offices manage program In remaining 19 jurisdictions. ------- 111—39 resource needs will be 1,830 persons for fiscal years 1981-1982 and 1,100 persons for fiscal years 1983—1985. Projecting cur- rent manpower levels to national totals, it is estimated that a typical state in this group would need to increase its pro- gram personnel significantly, by a factor of seven, to cover baseline RCRA resource needs. Cost—Effectiveness of Regulating Small Volume Generators Two major points emerge from the analysis of the costs of regulating small volume generators: • There are not enough near—term federal and state resources to implement programs even with- out regulation of small volume generators; and • To regulate the last 0.23 percent of wastes dis- posed of by hazardous waste generators, the pro- gram would include an additional 570,000 genera- tors who each contribute less than 100 kg/mo, and total regulatory program costs would have to increase by 40 percent. These observations suggest a need to examine more closely the relative cost—effectiveness of regulating small volume gen- erators. One method of accomplishing this is to compare the average per ton cost of regulation for the major components of program operation. Table 111—13 compares the per ton costs of regulation for small volume generators to the per ton costs for large volume generators and non—generators.’ Clearly, the average per ton costs of regulating all small volume generators far exceed the average costs of regulating transporters, treatment, storage, and disposal facilities, and large volume generators——the relative difference approaches one or two orders of magnitude. Recalling Figure 111—5, which shows the incremental costs of regulating small volume generators, the 1 These average costs were obtained by dividing total annual regulatory costs for the program component by the total tonnage of hazardous wastes handled. ------- 111—40 Table 111—13 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE PER TON COSTS TO THE STATES AND AGENCY OF REGULATION AT 0 kg/mo CUTOFF: FISCAL YEARS 1981 TO 1985 (constant 1978 dollars) Program Operation Cost Metric Tons of Hazardous Wastes Total Annual Average per Ton Program Component Handled Annually Regulatory Cost Regulatory Cost ’ Small Volume Generators 1,388,136 S24 million $17.29/MT Large Volume Generators 59,292,384 $2.5 million SO.045/MT Non-Generators: Transporters and TSDFs 59,292,384 $27.9 million $0.47/FIT 1 Exclusive of one-time cost of processing notifications from large and small volume generators. $0.83 per ton cost of regulating even the largest (2,000—5,000 kg/mo) small volume generators still surpasses the average cost of regulating any other program component. The average per ton Costs of regulation need not be simi- lar for each part of the program. However, given the con- straints on state and Agency resource levels for the next five years, the analysis does argue that there should be a compelling reason for regulating small volume generators during the initial years of the program when their per ton costs of regulation far exceed the per ton costs of regulating other hazardous waste handling establishments. ------- Part IV REGULATORY OPTION—EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE: RESPONSE TO CONSTRAINTS IN PROGRAM IMPLEMENTATION The analysis in the preceding parts of this report indi- cates that for the regulatory option of exemption by quantity of wastes, total costs of approximately $720 million per year for generators with hazardous waste volumes of less than 5,000 kg/mo are anticipated, and that program operation costs to the states and Agency for regulating these wastes would be approximately $24 million per year. This part will examine possible measures to alleviate the impacts of these costs. Aside from a quantity cutoff which exempts a portion of the generator population, relief measures fall into two major categories——phasing which primarily alleviates impacts on the states and EPA, and modified technical and administrative requirements which primarily alle- viate impacts on generators. Types of phasing and possible modified requirements will be discussed in the following chapters after a brief recapitulation of the major impacts identified. MAJOR IMPACTS Major impacts resulting from potential regulation of small volume hazardous waste generators were identified in two areas: • Near—term constraints on state and EPA resources caused by the need to incorporate large numbers of generators into the hazardous waste system. • High costs to individual generators (in particular those with low sales and waste volumes) caused by the fixed costs of compliance with RCRA. In both cases described above, the effects of small volume generator regulations in the absence of some form of relief could prove counterproductive to the objectives of RCRA. For the regulatory agencies, the requirement to control small volume generators could divert resources from higher priority problem areas among large volume generators. For generators, the high cost of legally disposing of wastes may act as an incentive for illegal disposal. Consequently, effective relief measures should both relieve major economic impacts without sacrificing environmental quality and allow the RCRA system to operate efficiently in high—priority areas. ------- IV-2 POSSIBLE RELIEF MEASURES Relief measures can be designed to mitigate impacts on both regulators and generators. State and Agency impacts result primarily from tasks such as enforcement and inspection, as well as from the administrative complexity of incorporating large numbers of generators into the RCRA system. Some of the impacts can be addressed primarily by phasing the introduction of these generators over a period of years. Generator impacts can be lessened by allowing alternative compliance strategies which avoid the high fixed cost of compliance while ensuring environmentally sound hazardous waste disposal. In the discussion that follows, the advantages and dis- advantages of alternative approaches to regulatory relief will be described in terms of the degree to which they accomplish the following objectives: • Control of the maximum percentage of wastes in the early years; • Administrative simplicity for states and EPA; • Allowance of adequate time for states and EPA to implement regulations; • Flexibility for states and EPA to account for local conditions in implementing the regula— t ions; • Equalization of additional costs to states, Agency, and industry over the phasing—in period; and • Avoidance of discriminatory effects within industries. ------- IV—3 Chapter 1 PHASING The two largest RCRA regulatory costs are the costs of enforcement and inspection. These are largely level—of—effort costs that cannot be diminished significantly by modifying regulatory requirements. Regulatory administrative tasks, such as reviewing and processing reports, which depend on regulatory requirements, account for only about 10 percent of total pro- gram operation costs. Consequently, state and Agency impacts can be alleviated more effectively by controlling the number of generators entering the RCRA system than by altering regulatory requirements for those generators. A cutoff established by quantity or category of waste or by industry group is the primary means of controlling the number of generators in the RCRA system. Once this cutoff has been established, phasing the introduction of generators into the hazardous waste system can be an effective means of alleviating state and Agency impacts. Although phasing does not diminish ultimate RCRA program operation costs, it does provide several important benefits. Among these benefits are: • An ability to focus limited resources in the initial stages of the program on high—priority areas; • Time to develop adequate Subtitle C treatment, storage, and disposal facilities; • Time to develop administrative systems for monitoring and enforcing compliance; and • Time to hire and train staff adequate to handle large numbers of small volume generators. In addition .to these benefits to the states and Agency, an important benefit from the Agency’s perspective would be that by phasing the implementation of RCRA, the program could be made more manageable for the states. This would encourage more states to apply for authorization. Generator benefits from phasing would be less significant than state and Agency benefits. The major benefits for genera- tors would be to postpone the expense of compliance for some ------- IV- 4 generators and to lessen a tendency toward monopolistic pric- ing if demand for transportation and disposal facilities outpaces supply. Hazardous waste regulations can be phased in using several approaches including phasing by waste category, by industry group, or by quantity of waste. It is appropriate to evaluate only the approach of phasing by quantity of waste at this time for the following reasons: • The Agency does not have sufficient data at this time to define wastes from small volume generators by category or characteristic of waste. It is likely that these data will be available as a result of recordkeeping and reporting requirements of the RCRA program. In the interim, it would be inappropriate to set priorities for the regulation of small volume generators, who are mainly in non— manufacturing industries, based on the char- acteristics of wastes of large volume gen- erators who are predominately in manufacturing industries. • An industry—based phasing option was elimi- nated by EPA for environmental and economic reasons: ——Environmentally, this option would po- tentially exclude large quantities of wastes, produced by individual genera- tors, from the RCRA system during the early years of the program. ——Economically, this approach would create equity distinctions between industries. The federal program would be responsible for ordering specific industries to in- cur environmental compliance costs in advance of other industries. To the extent that competitive market conditions are hampered, as with product pricing, the RCRA program will have created in- equities. PHASING BY QUANTITY OF WASTE Table IV—l presents the number of .establishments, waste quantities, and industry and regulatory agency costs of a five—year phasing option on the basis of waste quantities. ------- IV- 5 Additional annual costs under this option are approximately equalized if cutoffs are established at 1,000 kg/mo initially, 100 kg/mo the second year, and zero at the end of the fifth year. A quantity—based approach to phasing has several environ- mental advantages. By definition, it introduces generators producing the largest quantities of wastes in the early years; and, hence, it covers more than 50 percent of the wastes pro- duced by small volume generators (less than 5,000 kg/mo) by the end of the first year and 90 percent by the end of the second year. In addition, since it introduces the less numerous large volume generators initially (only 4 percent of the small volume generators are covered at the end of the first year and 22 per- cent at the end of the second year), it allows regulatory agen- cies to focus their resources on high—priority large volume generators. Further perspective on the quantity—based phasing option is provided in Table IV—2. In the aggregate, small volume gen- erators contribute a very small percent of the total quantity of hazardous wastes yet contribute the overwhelmingly large number of generators. Phasing the small volume generators into the full RCRA program over a five—year period assures regulatory control over 98.9 percent of the wastes in the first year and 99.7 percent in the second year, while the generators in the full system are 8.8 percent and 26 percent in the respective years. Table IV—1 QUANTITY—BASED PHASING OPTION FOR ALL GENERATORS OF LESS THAN 5,000 kg/mo (constant 1978 dollars) Annual Program Operation Cost (S million) State Cutoff and Year ( kg/mo) Industry Agency Total Cumulative Percent of Wastes 1 1,000 2 100 3 4 5 0* $100 5 1 $101 N.jnber of Small Volume Generators (000) Introduced Regulated 54 250 5 255 90 405 12 417 560 18 578 67 Cumulative Percent of Establi shments Regulated 67 720 24 744 100 131 9 198 563 Reduce Cutoff to zero over a three-year period according to States own priorities. 2 100 761 ------- IV—6 Table [ V-2 QUANTITY-BASED PHASING OPTION PERCENT OF WASTE QUANTITIES AND GENERATORS CONTROLLED IN RCRA PROGRAM Cumulative Cumulative Cutoff Percent of Percent of Year ( kg/mo) Total Wastes All Establishments 1,000 98.9 8.8 2 100 99.7 26.0 I 5 0 100.0 100.0 *In year 1 generators producing over 5,000 kg/mo account for 97.7 percent of the waste quantities and 5.3 per- cent of the generators. The quantity—based phasing option also has administrative advantages. Its definition of establishments that are intro- duced into the system in the early years is simple, minimizing the likelihood of controversy regarding the definition of affect- ed generators. In addition, in the later years of the phasing period the option described above allows states and EPA regional offices flexibility to account for local conditions in the introduction of generators of less than 100 kg/mo. Additional annual costs for both regulatory agencies and industry are also spread out relatively evenly under the quantity—based phasing option. Industry costs are $100 million initially and increase by approximately $150 million each year thereafter. State and Agency costs are only $1 million initially (allowing regulators to focus their resources on other areas such as permitting of disposal facilities) and increase by approximately $6 million annually in subsequent years. Disadvantages of a quantity—based phasing option, however, may also be significant. Environmentally, it does not differen- tiate among categories of wastes. Consequently, although it covers a very large percentage of the volume of wastes, it may leave unregulated until the later years certain important categories of wastes. Administratively, it may be difficult to enforce with respect to generators close to a quantity cutoff. The burden of determining whether a particular generator is or is not included under the cutoff for a given month will fall on the regulatory agencies, and may result in significant additional legal and administrative expenses. Economically, a quantity— based phasing approach may discriminate among generators within ------- IV—7 the same industry. In particular among generators in SICs whose waste generation rates are spread over a broad range of quantity categories, a quantity—based phasing option may place low volume generators at a competitive advantage relative to high volume generators. A corollary to the advantage gained by low volume generators may be an incentive for generators to concentrate their wastes in order to fall below the quantity cutoff. CONCLUS IONS Through phasing, the states and Agency can maximize the effectiveness of their limited resources. As regulatory agen- cies gain in experience and trained personnel, their waste management programs can expand to include lower priority estab- lishments. However, the advisability of proceeding to a 0 kg/mo exemption level must be examined further. As was shown in the small volume generator cost analyses, the marginal per ton costs of control increase exponentially as smaller waste categories are included. The most dramatic cost increase occurs in regulating the smallest generators, whose per ton cost of compliance is $3,365, and who are managed at a cost of $146 per ton to the states and Agency. By adopting a phasing approach ending at 100 kg/mo rather than 0 kg/mo, 99.7 percent of all hazardous wastes can be man- aged in an environmentally sound manner at a total cost of $255 million per year. Tables IV—3 and IV—4 depict an alternative quantity-based phasing approach proceeding from a 5,000 kg/mo cutoff in the first year, to a 1,000 kg/mo cutoff in the third year, ending at a 100 kg/mo cutoff in the fifth year. This phasing strategy establishes immediate regulatory control over 100 percent of large volume generator wastes in the first year and includes 90 percent of small volume generator wastes by the fifth year. Total yearly cost savings over a zero cut- off approach are nearly $500 million: $470 million savings to industry, $19 million savings to the states and Agency. ------- IV- 8 Table P1-3 QUANTITY-BASED PHASING OPTION FOR ALL GENERATORS OF LESS THAN 5,000 kg/mo AND MORE THAN 100 kg/mo (constant 1918 dollars) Annual Program Cost Operation (S million) Number of Small Voliai,e Generators Cumulative State Cumulative (000) Percent of Cutoff and Percent of — Establishmentr Year (kg ) Industry Agency Total Wastes Introduced Regulated Regulated 1 5,000 $0 $0 $0 0 0 0 0 2 2,000 54 1 55 34 11.3 11.3 1.6 3 1,000 91 1 92 54 15.5 26.8 3.7 4 500 127 2 129 68 23.0 49.8 6.8 5 100 241 5 246 90 108.7 158.5 21.9 Table P1—4 QUANTITY-BASED PHASING OPTION PERCENT OF WASTE QUANTITIES AND GENERATORS CONTROLLED IN RCRA PROGRAM WITH A 100 kg/mo CUTOFF IN TIlE FIFTH YEAR Cumulative Cumulative Cutoff Percent of Percent of Year ( kg/mo) Total Wastes All Establlsflments 1 5,000 91.7 5.3 2 2.000 98.4 6.8 3 1,000 98.9 8.8 4 500 99.3 11.8 5 100 99.7 26.1 This general strategy does not preclude lowering the exemption cutoff to 0 kg/mo for the most hazardous wastes, either during the phasing—in period or afterward. It does, however, present regulators and industry with an acceptable timetable for resource planning purposes, as well as encourage most effective use of currently available resources. Moreover, it allows the Agency the time to investigate more fully the environmental and economic impacts of waste classification approaches. ------- IV-9 Chapter 2 TECHNICAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE MODIFICATIONS TESTING REQUIREMENTS The analysis in this report has indicated that major industry impacts result from the high fixed cost of compliance with RCRA. Virtually all impacts identified occur among low waste volume SICs. For generators in these SICs the cost of testing——consisting of $500 for an annual comprehensive test and $60 for a limited test of each waste shipment——constitutes 80 percent of the total cost of compliance. Consequently, impacts detected can be traced directly to the high fixed costs of testing. Since testing costs do not increase significantly with the volume of wastes disposed, their contribution to total costs of compliance among higher volume generators is less important. Testing requirements, therefore, are the logical focus for an effort to alleviate impacts among low waste volume generators. Moreover, waste streams among low volume generators may be more predictable and consistent across establishments than among higher volume manufacturing generators. Consequently, it may be possible to modify testing requirements without significant sacrifices in environmental protection.’ Two types of decisions are necessary in modifying testing requirements: • What establishments will be exempted from full testing requirements? • What testing requirements will exist for these establishments? Testing requirements can be modified in several ways. Some possibilities are: ‘At the present time, there are insufficient data to correlate the degree of environmental hazard with the nature and composi- tion of generator wastes; however, based on available data, it appears that most establishments in the same SIC will have simi— lar waste streams (e.g., perchloroethelyne from dry cleaners and solvents from painters). ------- IV— 10 • Require the $500 comprehensive test once when a generator initially enters the hazardous waste system and require only the $60 minimal test sub- sequently each time a shipment is made. • Permit generic comprehensive testing of wastes for specific industries (possibly through in- dustry trade associations) and require only sample testing of each shipment. • Maintain the industry generic testing require- ment but eliminate the sample testing require- ments at the landfill. Establishments exempted from full testing can be defined by volume cutoff, by industry, or by a combination of volume and industry. A 100 kg/mo cutoff would exempt most of the establishments seriously affected by the high fixed costs of compliance with RCRA. A more far—reaching 1,000 kg/mo cutoff would exempt 90 percent of the establishments while still subjecting 99 percent of the wastes to full testing requirements. Exemption by in- dustry categories would have the same environmental, administra- tive, and economic advantages as were described for phasing regulatory coverage by industry categories. For example, ex- emption of non—manufacturing industries would exempt 83 per- cent of establishments but less than 4 percent of the wastes. Table IV—5 depicts total national testing and non—testing components of compliance for potentially exempted categories of generators. In the following paragraphs, possible approaches to modified testing requirements will be examined as they would apply to three categories of potentially exempted establishments. Making the comprehensive test a one—time requirement and retaining other requirements unchanged would sacrifice the protection afforded by an annual comprehensive test. As shown in Table IV—5, savings in recurring costs of $248 to $307 mil- lion could be realized by eliminating the requirement for an annual comprehensive test. Recurring costs of compliance, however, would still be significant and a $248 to $307 million one—time cost of compliance would remain depending on the defi- nition of exempted establishments. In addition, maintaining the sample test would not alleviate administrative and technical burdens at disposal facilities. ------- ‘v—li Table IV-5 COMPONENTS OF RECURRING COMPLIANCE COSTS UNDER ALTERNATIVE DEFINITIONS OF ESTABLISHP NTS EXEMPTED FROM TESTING (millions of constant 1978 dollars per year) Generator Categories Considered for Testing Exemption < 100 kg/mo < 1,000 kg/mo Non-Manufacturing Total Industry Costs Without Exemption 720 720 720 Non-Exempted Requirements Costs* 336 247 292 Comprehensive Testing Costs for Potentially Exempted Establishments $248 $307 $277 Sample Testing Costs for Potentially Exempted EstablIshments 136 166 151 Sample Plus Comprehensive Testing Costs 384 473 428 *Includes non-testing costs for potentially exempted establishments and full RCRA costs for generators without testing exemption. By allowing a one—time, single comprehensive testing of wastes for an entire industry, it would be possible to eliminate the one—time cost of comprehensive testing for individual estab- lishments described above. The sacrifice in terms of environ- mental protection would be minimal provided that wastes are consistent across generators in a given industry. This situ- ation may exist among non—manufacturing SICs such as dry cleaners, beauty parlors, or contractors whose wastes do not vary from establishment to establishment. Manufacturing estab- lishments would be much more difficult to exempt from comprehen- sive testing requirements because waste characteristics among these establishments can vary significantly depending on the industrial process used. Allowing generic industry comprehensive testing and elimi- nating sample testing would virtually abolish testing costs for exempted establishments. In addition, administrative and tech- nical burdens on disposal facilities would be alleviated. Na- tional savings under this approach would amount to $384 to $473 million depending on the definition of exempted establishments, resulting in total recurring program costs to generators of $336 to $247 million. This approach, however, would depend strongly on proper labeling practices and responsible compliance by transporters. Improper labeling could interfere with or en- danger the efficient operation of the disposal facility. ------- IV— 12 ASSUMPTION OF DUTIES Another approach to administrative relief for generators and regulators would be to allow “assumption of duties” con- tracts between generators and transporters. Under this system, licensed transporters and permitted TSDFs would contract with generators to perform all or part of the generator duties spe- cified in Section 3002 of RCRA. Under contract, transporters or TSDFs would become independently liable for administrative, manifest, and reporting requirements. In addition, transporters would be encouraged to segregate wastes according to generating industries. Comprehensive and sample testing could then be required, not on each generator’s wastes, but on the combined wastes for a group of generators with similar wastes. For example, individual tests on percbloroethelyne arriving from 30 separate dry cleaners would not be required. Instead, a sample test on the entire waste shipment would suffice. For industry, the benefits from this option would result from economies in four tasks: • Comprehensive and sample testing, • Manifest preparation, • Annual report preparation, and • Exception report preparation. For the regulators, the expected economies would take the form of reduced resource needs for review of exception and annual reports. In estimating the potential for cost reduction in an assump- tion of duties option, unit costs were developed for tasks that could be contracted out at lower costs to transporters. The costs would be similar to those of large volume generators and transporters would allocate costs among their generator customers in proportion to their shipping frequency. Major assumptions used in the economic analysis are: • Seventy percent of all generators would adopt the assumption of duties option. • Each truckload would be composed of wastes of similar characteristics and would be described in a single manifest. ------- IV—13 • One annual report would be submitted to describe all wastes transported by a particular truck. Table IV—6 illustrates the potential for cost savings using assumption of duties at selected quantity cutoffs. Savings to states and Agency would be modest, at most 3 percent of total program operation costs, since assumption of duties does not affect enforcement and inspection costs. Savings to industry would be substantial. At a cutoff of 0 kg/mo, total industry costs would be reduced by 44 percent, or $316 million per year. Most of the savings are due to changes in the comprehensive and sample test procedure. Cost reductions would be greatest for the smallest generators since more generator shipments would be carried on a single truck. At quantity cutoffs at or above 1,700 kg/mo, each generator would require a full truckload for each shipment and therefore no economies of scale would be realized. Table IV-6 ASSUMPTION OF DUTIES: ANNUAL ADMINISTRATIVE AND TESTING COST SAVINGS 1 (millions of constant 1978 dollars) Industry State Volume Cutoff Sample Comprehensive Total and ( kg/mo) Administrative Testing Testing Industry Agency 0 21.6 78 216 316 0.71 (3)S (11)% (30)% (44)% (3)% 100 4.3 12 33 49 0.16 (1.8)% (5)% (13.6)% (20)% (3)S 1,000 0.7 0 0 0.7 0.044 (1)% (O)% (O)% (1)% (2)% 1 Assumes 70 percent of small volume generators will enter into assumption of duties agreenents with transporters. The major benefit of an assumption of duties approach would accrue to the generators in the form of substantial cost savings. This would provide a strong incentive to generators to participate in the RCRA program. Transporters and TSDF operators would benefit from this regulatory approach since their participation would foster the growth of their businesses. However, transporters would assume increased responsibility for assuring proper labeling and con- tainerization of wastes, and for assuring that wastes delivered ------- IV—14 to a TSDF were compatible. This shift in liability from gen- erators to transporters could lead to a crowding out of certain generators whose wastes were inconvenient for transporters to handle; for example: • If a generator had wastes whose characteristics were different from others in the geographic area, • If particular waste characteristics were the focus of community resistance to disposal at a local site, • If administrative procedures were more complex for certain shipments, or • If generators with similar wastes were widely separated from one another. Some measure of economic relief through assumption of duties contracts would accrue to state and Agency regulators, though there could be environmental sacrifices. The elimina- tion of exception and annual reports from generators could result in less effective program enforcement. Contamination problems might be difficult to trace to a particular generator or might go undetected for a longer period of time due to the less frequent reporting requirements. Furthermore, unless clear and comprehensive federal guidelines are developed, these con-. tracts may present legal enforcement difficulties, for example, in assigning liability for non—compliance with Section 3002 requirements, or in determining regulatory jurisdiction where contracts are drawn between generators and transporters of different states. In summary, the major appeal of an assumption of duties option lies in its potential for significantly reducing compli- ance costs for the most vulnerable generators. Regulatory costs for the states and Agency are not significantly diminished, and may even increase if monitoring and enforcement activities are stepped up to compensate for the elimination of exception and annual reports from contracting generators. ------- Part V APPEND ICES ------- Appendix A DATA SOURCES I. BIBLIOGRAPHY General Studies and Sources 1. “Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976, Public Law 94—580,” 94th Congress, 5. 2150, October 21, 1976. 2. “U.S. EPA Proposed Hazardous Waste Regulations and Guide- lines”: • Sections 3001, 3002, 3004; 43 FR 58946, December 18, 1978 - • Section 3006; 43 FR 4366, February 1, 1978 • Section 3010; 43 FR 29908, July 11, 1978 • Consolidated Permit Regulations, 44 FR 34244, June 14, 1979. 3. TRW, Inc., Technical Environmental Impacts of Various Approaches for Regulating Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generators , Volume I, December 10, 1979. 4. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Solid Waste, Reports Impact Analysis, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, Subtitle C——Hazardous Waste Management , Draft report, revised March 19, 1979. 5. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976——Draft Environmental Impact Statement , Volumes I and II, January 1979. Industry Studies 1. Arthur D. Little, Inc. (ADL), Characterization of Hazard- ous Waste Transportation and Economic Impact Assessment of Hazardous Waste Transportation Regulations , EPA Contract Number 68—01—4381, August 1978. ------- A— 2 2. Arthur D. Little, Inc., Draft Economic Impact Analysis: Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 , January 1979. 3. Arthur D. Little, Inc., A Plan for Development of Hazard— ous Waste Management Facilities in the New England Region , Draft report, August 1979. 4. Batte].le Columbus Laboratories, Cost of Compliance with Hazardous Waste Management Regulations , Draft report, May 1978. 5. Bank of America, “Service Stations,” Small Business Reporter , 1971. 6. Bank of America, “Coin—operated Laundries,” Small Business Reporter , 1979. 7. Chemical & Engineering News , “Photo Firm Achieves Zero Waste Discharge,” July 17, 1978. 8. Dun & Bradstreet Corporation, Expenses in Retail Business , 1977. 9. Eastman Kodak Corporation, Financial Statistics——1973 , 1974. 10. Energy Resources Co. Inc. (ERCO), Economic Impact Analysis of Hazardous Waste Management Regulations on Selected Generating Industries , Final report, Contract number 68— 01—4819, June 1979. 11. Financial Research Associates, Financial Studies of the Small Business , 1978. 12. Foster D. Snell, Inc., “Potential for Capacity Creation in the Hazardous Waste Management Service Industry,” Contract number 68—01—3266, August 1976. 13. MITRE Corporation, Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976——Draft Environmental Impact State- ment , Volumes I and II, prepared for U.S.—EPA, January 1979. 14. Modern Photography, Wolfman Report on the Photo Industry in the U.S. , New York, l9lB. 15. Photo Marketing Association, 1977—8 Cost of Doing Business Survey . ------- A— 3 16. Robert Morris Associates, ‘ 78 Annual Statement Studies , Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 1978. 17. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1972 Census of Construction Industries , issued March 1975. 18. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1972 Census of Manufacturing . 19. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1972 Census of Retail Trade . 20. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1972 Census of Selected Service Industries . 21. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1974 Census of Agriculture . 22. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1976 Annual Survey of Manufac- turers . 23. U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1977 Census of Manufacturers, Preliminary Reports . 24. U.S. Department of Commerce, “Photographic Studies,” Urban Business Profile , 1972. 25. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, County Business Patterns, 1976 , 1978. 26. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the U.S. , 1978. 27. U.S. Department of Commerce, Industry and Trade Administra- tion, 1979 U.S. Industrial Outlook , January 1979. 28. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Planning and Evaluation, Economic Analysis Division, Economic Analysis of Proposed Pretreatment Standards for Existing Sources of the Electroplating Point Source Category , December 1977, EPA—230/1—78—001. State Studies 1. The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., State Solid Waste—— Land Use , Washington, D.C., 1979. 2. Data Resources, Inc., Review of the U.S. Economy , August, 1979. ------- A—4 3. National Association of Attorneys General/Committee on the Office of Attorney General, Legislative Responses to the Disposal of Hazardous Wastes , Environmental Control Special Report, January 1979. 4. National Wildlife Federation, “State Background Papers (EPA Regions I, V, I v, X),” 1979. 5. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, “Smoothing Committee Draft No. 1——RCRA Hazardous Waste Regulations (Sections 3001—3004),” September 4, 1979. 6. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, EPA State Hazardous Waste Task Force, Draft Model Attorney General’s Statement , September 25, 1979. 7. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Solid Waste, FY ‘78 Assessments, 1979. 8. U.s. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Solid Waste, Resource Requirement Summary on Implementation and Maintenance of Programs Authorized under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Subtitle C Programs , Revised draft, March 3, 1979. 9. U.S. General Accounting Office, Hazardous Waste Manage- ment Programs Will Not Be Effective: Greater Efforts Are Needed , Report to Congress, January 23, 1979. 10. Versar, Inc., Status of State Programs for Hazardous and Solid Waste Management——1978 , Draft Annual State Report—— 1978, revised April 6, 1979, and Annual State Report-—1978, Final, Contract number 68—01—4767, July 18, 1979. II. ADDITIONAL INDUSTRY DATA SOURCES Financial data on industry segments containing small vol- ume generators were obtained from Robert Morris Associates’ (RMA) ‘ 78 Annual Statement Studies . In its role as the national as- sociation for bank loan and credit officers, RMA has developed composite financial profiles of small businesses, grouped by in- dustry type and firm size. Profiles consist of financial state- ment data and commonly used financial ratios. The 1978 profiles are based on 52,000 statements from 305 lines of business, in- cluding manufacturing, wholesaling, retailing, services, and Contracting. ------- A— 5 The Statement Studies provides the most comprehensive database available on small businesses. However, in using its profiles, several qualifications must be kept in mind: • Profiles were developed from establishments qualifying for bank loans. Hence, the weakest companies were excluded from the samples. • Accounting methods vary between industries and may sometimes vary within the same industry. However, RMA did attempt normalization of financial data. • The financial statements were not obtained through random sampling techniques. Rather, member banks submitted available statements from companies whose total assets were less than $50 million and whose fiscal years ended between June 30, 1977, and March 31, 1978. RMA statistics were compared with those reported in Finan- cial Research Associates’ Financial Studies of the Small Business and Dun and Bradstreet’s Expenses in Retail Business . Although different categories and statistics were utilized, there tended to be general agreement among these sources. Since RMA provided the most extensive coverage of small businesses’ financial characteristics, its data were utilized heavily. For SICs not covered by the Statement Studies or other sources, probable SIC profitability was inferred from a similar SIC or group of SICs. The widely accepted U.S. Census data were used in deter- mining size distribution of firms within an industry by re- ceipts. Since the most recent census data (1977) have not yet been published, data from the 1972 census were used, following adjustment, for six years of inflation. Inflation rates for 1972 through 1978 were taken from the 1978 Statistical Abstract of the United States published by the U.S. Bureau of the Census. Table A—i displays the rates used for the industry segments studied. ------- A—6 Table A-i INFLATION RATES USED IN INDUSTRY IMPACT ANALYSIS TO PROJECT 1978 SALES (Base Year: 1972) Textile Products and Apparel 1.38 Fabricated Structural Metal Products 1.79 Miscellaneous Metal Products 1.64 Photo Equ1pi nt and SupplIes 1.34 Services Except Household, Medical, and Transport All Conrodlties 1.53 All Services 1.55 III. ADDITIONAL STATE AND AGENCY DATA SOURCES Much recent information on the status of state legislation, regulations, and programs was acquired from the State Hazardous Waste Programs Office in the Office of Solid Waste in EPA. Of- ficials in this office provided the economic contractor with in—house working papers documenting current state authority and resources. These materials: • Identified state statutory authority, rules, and standards, • Summarized state progress in development of hazardous waste legislation and regulations, • Identified legislative and regulatory impedi- ments to state efforts in developing programs equivalent to the federal program, and • Provided a tentative determination of states’ probable acceptance of Subtitle C responsibil- ities. In addition, EPA files on state programs were opened to study researchers. Data in these files included: • State assessment and planning reports, • State grant application summaries, • Regional EPA office reports on state capabil- ities, and ------- A- 7 • An assortment of published material on hazard- ous waste program resource needs. Of particular use were the EPA Fiscal Year ‘78 Assessments documenting states’ and territories’ hazardous waste control expenditures and activities from October 1977 through September 1978. The extent of state progress in developing comprehensive hazardous waste authority and programs was further clarified through talks with state and Agency officials and with re- searchers working in this area. Agency staff in the Region I office proved particularly helpful in lending their expertise and experience throughout the project. These persons provided up—to—date information on state efforts as well as suggestions for research direction. Information on Agency policy and resources was also pro- vided to the economic contractor. -Zero base budgeting docu- ments, guidance and strategy papers, and meetings with EPA officials served as especially useful data sources. Estimates of enforcement needs in state programs were obtained from knowledgeable state and Agency officials. Study researchers spoke with state officials in: • California: Department of Health Services, Hazardous Materials Management Section • Texas: Department of Water Resources • Maryland: Water Resources and Environmental Health Administration • Illinois: Environmental Protection Agency, Division of Land/Noise Pollution and Division of Enforcement • New York: Nassau County Health Department, Bureau of Wastewater Management In addition, Agency enforcement staff at EPA headquarters and in the Region I office provided the economic contractor with general program enforcement estimates. ------- Appendix B GENERATOR COMPLIANCE STRATEGIES AND COSTS Recognizing the reduced scale of operations and the prac- ticable disposal techniques available to small volume generators of hazardous wastes, the study developed compliance strategies and unit costs appropriate to these establishments. Data pro- vided in previous and current RCRA industry studies were util- ized to develop compliance projections and estimates that were: • Consistent with costing assumptions used in related RCRA studies, and, • When appropriate, scaled for small volume generators to be representative of the costs and conditions these establishments would face in complying with full RCRA requirements. The following discussion presents the information bases and assumptions used in developing industry administrative and tech- nical costs. Since a chapter of this report (Part II, Chapter 3) discusses the general scaling and compliance strategy assumptions used, the discussion in this Appendix serves primarily as docu- mentation of the costs and data considered and the specific assumptions used in the cost analysis. ADMINISTRATIVE TASKS AND COSTS The administrative activities required of generators by RCRA are comprised of one—time and recurring tasks. One—time activ- ities include determination of generator status, generator no- tification, and design of compliance procedures; recurring activities include regular testing of wastes, participation in the manifest system, and reporting to the regulatory agencies. The costs of these activities are addressed for large volume generators in two major RCRA documents: • Draft Economic Impact Analysis (EIA), by ADL, and • Reports Impact Analysis (RIA), by EPA. The EIA served as the basis for testing, notification, and set—up costs while the RIA was used for reporting and manifest costs. - ------- B—2 One—time Administrative Costs Table B—i summarizes: (1) unit costs for one—time activ- ities developed in the EIA and RIA for generators disposing of greater than 100 kg/mo of hazardous wastes and (2) the small volume generator estimates developed for this analysis. Since generators’ wastes will undergo the same tests (when a generator does choose to test his wastes), testing costs will not vary as a function of waste quantity. However, due to their lower disposal frequency and less complex waste streams, smaller generators will experience relatively lower costs for other one—time activities. For example, small generators will incur fewer expenses in designing compliance procedures. Due to their low disposal frequency, small generators will have less need of formalized design changes in their general operating procedures. These generators will, however, expend some effort in reviewing RCRA literature and in providing for the waste documentation required under RCRA. Due to their less complex waste streams, costs for notification and for comparison of wastes to the EPA hazardous waste list will also be reduced, though not as significantly as design costs. Notification costs will remain relatively constant across generator size categories, while the costs of EPA list com- parison are assumed to decrease somewhat more for the lowest volume categories where waste streams remain relatively homogeneous. Recurring Administrative Costs Table B—2 presents estimates of recurring costs utilized in the RIA, EIA, and present studies. For the most part, the present study has relied on the RIA for manifest and reporting costs, while the EIA provided cost data for the remaining recurring compliance activities. In developing lower annual compliance costs for small volume generators, the small generator economic analysis has generally reduced the frequency of an activity’s occurrence rather than downscale the costs on a per item basis. For example, the preparation of exception reports and manifests has been assumed to cost the same on a per document basis, across all volume categories. Furthermore, the per test costs of comprehensive and sample testing will not vary for different volume categories. However, what will vary is the frequency of disposal, which will consequently affect the annual costs for these activities. ------- B-3 Table 9-1 ONE-TIME ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS TO INDUSTRY EIA Small Volume Generator ACTIVITY OPTION 61 OPTION C ’ RIA Economic Analysis • Testing of Wastes 5455 _ 11000 a 5105 _ 250 a (to contest desig— avg. $750 avg. $175 N.A. nation) • Waste Documentation -—Documentation of criteria testing $170 $170 N.A. -—Documentation of inventory 570 570 N.A. • Comparison of Wastes to EPA Lists $71 $71 N.A. S20—71 • Notification $31.50 $31.50 $31.50 520—31 • Design of Procedures -—Compliance systems design 5776 • 50 b $ 492 •5b SOC 550-300 -—Initial supervisory design cost $150 $150 N.A. — Not available. 1 Option B costs are for regulations similar to the proposed regulations. Option C costs are tar a less stringent level of regulation in which: (a) the characteristic for toxic wastes Is eliminated, (b) only generators above 1,000 kg/mo are regulated, (C) manifest requirements are simplified, and (d) the exception reporting requirement is eliminated. aADL assumes that 10 percent of the generators will test their wastes. bc 05 ts are based on costs for large volume manufacturers with complex waste streams. C 05 of system design assumed to apply only to generators examined in the ADI study. dme economic contractor assumes that generators of less than 1,000 kg/mo will not test their wastes while about 10 percent of the generators of more than 1,000 kg/mo will in- cur testing costs of $455 to $1,000. In projecting small volume generator disposal frequency, it is expected that generators will try to minimize compliance costs by consolidating disposal shipments as much as possible. This reduces both paper work and disposal costs. The minimum ------- B-4 Table 8-2 RECURRING ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS TO INDUSTRY Small Volume EIA Generator Economic ACTIVITY OPTION 6 OPTION C ’ RIA Analysis • Annual Re-evaluation of EPA List $35 $35 N/A 50—20 • Annual Cost of Exception Report Preparation S1O3 N/A 5 52b S9 i3c • Annual Report Prepar- ation $36 $36 536 512-24 • Supervision $45 0 d $300d $6 56 • Manifest Preparation (per manifest) $2.67 N/A • Manifest Storage and Filing S68 N/A N.A. negligible • Waste Testing at TSDF (per test) --Comprehensive ?;8 oo 5200:8 N.A. $500 S 1 540-80 540-80 N A 560 -— amP e avg. $60 avg. $60 N.A. not available, N/A not applicable. ‘OptIon 3 denotes a level of regulation similar to that currently proposed. Option C denotes a less stringent level of regulation. aE IA assumes a cost of $25.75 per report and four reports submitted annually. bRIA asstmies a cost of 551.50 per report, and that the generators not looked at by the ADL report will need to report an exception only once every two years, i.e., one out of 24 manifests will require an exception report. CAssumes one out of 24 manifests will require an exception report. dAssumed for large volume manufacturing generators with complex waste streams. elhree year retention time. - Off-s1te disposal costs. disposal frequency for any generator will be quarterly, since wastes accumulated for over 90 days necessitate generator re- classification as a storer and compliance to section 3004 and 3005 regulation. At the same time, generators will attempt to ship full truckloads of wastes to the disposal site in order to minimize fixed costs per shipment. Assuming 230 kg/55 gal— ion drum and 30 drums per disposal truck, generators producing less than 2,000 kg/mo of hazardous wastes can be expected to dispose of their wastes on a quarterly basis. For generators producing over 2,000 kg/mo of hazardous wastes, this study ------- B-5 assumes that these establishments will ship their wastes as soon as one full truckload is accumulated. Therefore, these generators will have an average disposal frequency of six times per year. These disposal frequencies determine the annual costs for manifests, exception reports, and sample testing. Manifest costs, estimated to be $6 per document, will range from $24 to $36 per generator. Exception reports are anticipated for one out of every 24 shipments at a cost of $52 per report, with annual per generator costs of $9 to $13. Sample testing costs, incurred with each shipment to a disposal facility, would range from $240 to $360 per generator, except that one sample test each year will likely be replaced by the annual comprehensive test. Hence, annual sampling costs are actually $180 to $300 per operator. Costs for annual report preparation are reduced due to the decreased number of shipment entries for smaller generators. For small generators, this study estimates preparation costs of $12 to $24. Like the one—time initial cost for comparison of wastes to the EPA list, re—evaluation costs for small generators are also expected to be less. Furthermore, it is expected that the smallest generators will spend a negligible amount of time on this task. Finally, all generators will take on the $500 average cost of comprehensive waste testing, since the TSDFs to which generator wastes are shipped will pass these costs back to their customers. TECHNICAL TASKS AND COSTS Technical compliance costs are comprised of expenditures for hauling and disposal, where hauling is done by a licensed transporter and disposal is at a permitted Subtitle C facility. These costs are higher for larger generators, who would tend to dispose of their greater waste quantities on a more frequent basis. Hauling Costs The ADL report, Characterization of Hazardous Waste Trans- portation , was the most comprehensive report available on trans- portation costs under RCRA. However, the information presented ------- B—6 was, in general, more applicable to determination of waste hauling costs for large volume generators than for small volume generators. Of the transport modes examined in the ADL report, the method most likely to be used in hauling wastes from small volume generators is the for—hire motor carrier. In particular, small bed—loading trucks are expected to be the preferred ve- hicle type for this function, since: • Bed—loading allows transport of a variety of non—compatible wastes packaged in separate drums, whereas tank units are restricted to transport of similar waste types, and • Small trucks will present fewer loading difficul- ties in urban areas, where many small generators are concentrated. Table B—3 presents transportation cost parameters used in this report for assessing future hauling costs for small gen- erators. The figures shown are derived primarily from estimates developed in the ADL report for the vehicle type shown. Table 9—3 TRANSPORTATION COST PARAIIETERS FOR SMN.L VOLUME GENERATORS • Transportation vehicle: straight bed truck with 20—foot bed, thirty 55-gallon drums: -—Capital cost: 524,000 ——Operating cost: (1) Fuel: 6 miles/gallon @ 51.00/gallon (2) Overhead: 20 percent of annual costs (3) Profit: 10 percent of annual costs • Vehicle driver: ——Work day: 8 hours/day, 5 oays/week -—Work year: 250 days/year I -—Salary, including fringe oenefits: 523,000 The ADL data were also used as the basis for the unit hauling costs shown in Table B—4. The assumptions on which these costs are based are as follows: (1) Annual number of shipments: minimum shipping frequency is four shipments per year; higher shipping frequencies occur upon accumulation of a full truckload. ------- B- 7 Table 8-4 ESTIMATED HAULING COSTS FOR SMALL VOLUME HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATORS (constant 1978 dollars) Annual Cost per Pickup Total Total Generator Average Annual Number (dollars) Annual Annual Annual Volume Waste Number of of Pickup Transport Hauling Category Volume Shipments Drums Fixed Variable Cost Cost Cost (kg/mo) (kg/mo per (per (per (doTli s per (dolTä i per (dolliFs per generator) generator) generator) generator) generator) generator) 0-100 21 4 4 16 6 88 19 107 100-200 150 4 8 16 6 88 38 126 200-300 250 4 13 16 6 88 62 150 300-400 350 4 18 16 12 112 86 198 400-500 450 4 23 16 12 112 110 222 500—600 550 4 29 16 12 112 139 251 600-700 650 4 34 16 18 136 163 299 700-800 750 4 39 16 18 136 187 323 800-900 850 4 44 16 24 160 211 371 900-1,000 950 4 50 16 24 160 240 400 1,000-2,000 1,500 4 78 16 36 208 374 582 2,000-5,000 3.500 6 183 16 48 384 878 1,262 (2) Annual number of drums: determined by establish- ment’s waste generation rate, with 230 kg/drum and a minimum of four drums/year. (3) Fixed cost per pickup: each generator shipment will absorb the cost of 30 minutes of travel time between generator pickups plus 10 minutes of time devoted to shipment inspection and documentation. The cost of this activity is at a $24/hour rate computed from the data presented in Table B—3. (4) Variable cost per pickup: this cost varies with the number of drums loaded per pickup. The relationship used in this report is as follows: ------- B-8 Waste Generation Drum Loading Time! Rate (kg/mo) Shipment (minutes ) 0—300 15 300—600 30 600—800 45 800—1,000 60 1,000—2,000 90 2,000—5,000 120 (5) Annual transport cost: this was estimated to be $4.80/drum, assuming: • Average round trip transport distance from generator location to TSDF——200 miles • Average truck speed——40 miles/hour • Average transport cost——$24/hour • Average truck unloading time——one hour at $24/hour. Disposal Costs In developing disposal costs for this study, efforts con- centrated on techniques that were appropriate for small volume generators. Capital—intensive on—site disposal methods such as landspreading and lagooning are techniques employed by the largest generators; small volume generators are far more likely to use off—site disposal methods, such as: • Landfills, • Incineration, and • Deep—well injection. • Landfills Disposal costs for sanitary and secure landfills were avail- able in several reports. However, as may be seen in Table B—5, the per ton estimates of disposal cost varied widely for secure landfill costs, ranging from $15 to $70 per ton. ------- B—9 Table B—S GENERATOR DISPOSAL COSTS (dollars per metric ton) Data Source Small Volume Type of Generator Facility EtA 1 NERCOM 2 Battelle 3 Economic Analysis • Landfill -—Sanitary sa M.A. N.A. 8 --Secured 15 _ 55 b 7 0 C 43 9 7d 70 • Incineration ——General 3 2 .1,1 03e N.A. N.A. 375 ——Non—halogenated liquids lOOt 479 77—11OJ 47 ——Halogenated liquids 324 100 _ 265 k 324 ——Halogenated solids 7411 741 M.A. • Not available. ‘Arthur 0. Little, Inc., Draft Economic Impact Analysis: Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 19Th, January 1979 . 2 Arthur 0. Little, Inc., A Plan for Development of Hazardous Waste Management Facilities in the New England Region , draft report, August 1979. 3 Battelle Columbus Laboratories, Cost of Compliance with Hazardous Waste Management Reaulations , draft report. May 1978. asanitary landfill without liner, leachate collection system, or monitoring and testing equipment. bAss s large volume generators will dispose of wastes in facilities sized greater than 70,000 MT/year, and small volume generators will dispose of their wastes in medium—sized facilities with higher per ton disposal costs. January 1977 dollars. cDouble liner (Design II) landfill with 50,000 Cu. meters/yr capacity. d8attelle Pathways III approach, weighted average cost of disposal for hazardous wastes, excluding mining and smelting wastes. eADL incineration costs were obtained from the Versar, Inc. report, ‘Alternatives for Hazardous Waste Management in the Inorganic Chemicals Industry.’ Draft report. January 1977. Average Pathways Level III incineration costs for those waste types which were not included In general cost estimates provided by Versar. 9 Cost for liquid burning incinerator with particulate control, 30,000 MI/yr capacity. hCost for liquid burning incinerator with chemical scrubber, 130,600 MT/yr capacity. 1 Cost for rotary kiln incinerator with afterburner and chemical scrubber, 21,100 MT/yr capacity. Average cost. kAverage cost. ------- B- 10 The small generator economic analysis utilized the $8/MT sanitary landfill disposal cost developed in the AOL Economic Impact Analysis to ensure overall cost consistency with AOL and other RCRA contractors’ assumptions. Since AOL has oversight responsibility for current RCRA studies, this estimate is considered the best available at the current time. Pope—Reid, the contractor responsible for providing tech- nical costs of compliance with RCRA disposal standards, has not yet released its report. Since the present report was scheduled for completion before these cost data were expected to become available, ADL advised using the NERCOM value of $70/MT to represent secure landfill disposal costs. The justification for this is as follows: Preliminary estimates by Pope—Reid indicate that its eventual estimate for disposal in a secure landfill will average close to $50 to $60/MT for all generators. For smaller generators, the average per ton cost of disposal will likely be higher, due to the technical and administrative inefficiencies inherent in handling very small shipments of hazardous wastes. Therefore, of the costs reviewed in Table B—5, the NERCOM figure of $70/MT appears to be the most reason- able estimate to apply in estimating small volume generators’ average costs of disposal in secure landfills. Incineration Depending on the process utilized and the waste inciner- ated, incineration costs can range from $32/MT to $1,103/MT. A weighted average per ton cost of future incineration was developed from AOL’s NERCOM figures since: • The Pope—Reid estimates are not yet available, and • The NERCOM figures offer the most current and generally applicable estimates of future incineration needs and costs. Of the 53 million gallons of wastes estimated to be incinerated annually in the New England area, AOL estimated that: • 48 percent of these wastes would go to liquid burning incinerators with particulate control, • 44 percent would be appropriately disposed of in rotary kilns, and ------- B-il • 8 percent would require use of a liquid burning incinerator with chemical scrubbers. In addition, the Economic Impact Analysis baseline cost of $100/MT was used to represent the current cost level for in- cinerating wastes. Again, this ensures cost consistency across current RCRA reports. Deep—well Injection Unit costs were not developed for this disposal method since the costs of compliance are a function of Underground Injection Control (UIC) regulatory requirements. A cost of disposal of zero dollars per metric ton was used to describe the RCRA portion of these costs. TECHNICAL COMPLIANCE STRATEGIES As was shown in Table 11—7, the technical contractor for the small generator analysis estimated that 84 percent of all small volume generators currently dispose of their wastes in landfills, 12 percent recycle their wastes, and the remaining 4 percent utilize landfarming, deep—well injection, incineration, lagooning, and other disposal means. Eliminating from considera- tion generators who recycle their wastes (since these establish- ments do not have to comply with the Subtitle C requirements of RCRA), it is clear from Table B—6 that, of the remaining 722,000 generators, over 95 percent rely on landfills for hazardous waste disposal. Table 8-6 ESTIMATED TOTAL NUMBER OF SMALL VOLUME WASTE GENERATORS USING NON-RECYCLING DISPOSAL METHODS Generators Waste Quantities Number Percent 106 kg/mo Percent landfill 690,000 95.6 92 79.3 Incineration 5,000 0.7 6 5.2 Lagoon 3,000 0.4 3 2.6 Deep-we 11 InJection 8,000 1.1 4 3.4 Land Spreading 11,000 1.5 5 4.3 Others 5,000 0.7 6 5.2 Total 722,000 100.0 116 100.0 ------- B- 12 These relative percentages for disposal methods may not hold when RCRA is implemented. First, it is not clear that lagooning will be a permissible method of disposal in the near future, since the Agency is currently contemplating a ban on this interim disposal method. Second, for small volume gen- erators, landfarming may cease to be an economically viable option due to the more stringent management requirements for this technique in RCRA. Third, small volume generators using “other” disposal methods may be using techniques not in keeping with the environmentally protective intentions of RCRA, and will likely turn to more acceptable methods when regulated. It has therefore been assumed that small volume generators currently using lagooning, landspreading, and other disposal methods will, under RCRA, eventually resort to disposal at a secure landfill. Moreover, generators currently utilizing sanitary landfills are also expected to use secure landfills for disposal when regulated under Subtitle C of RCRA. Hence, 98.2 percent of small volume generators and 91 percent of all small volume generators’ wastes are expected to turn to secure landfill disposal upon implementation of RCRA. Generators currently incinerating their hazardous wastes or injecting their wastes into deep disposal wells may or may not turn to secure landfills. In projecting national costs of future disposal, it is likely that, on the average, small volume generators will ex- perience an incremental per ton cost of disposal similar to the cost experienced by the typical small volume generator, i.e., a generator currently using a sanitary landfill and, under RCRA management, sending his wastes for disposal at a secure landfill. Hence, in computing disposal costs, all waste tonnage managed under Subtitle C was assumed to be disposed at an average incremental cost of $62/MT. In using this approach, the analysis of technical costs has overstated incremental per ton disposal costs for those generators using deep—well injection who will continue to use this method, and understated incremental per ton disposal costs for those generators using incineration who may turn to more complete combustion methods. If all generators currently using these methods were to continue utilizing the same type of dis- posal practice, then the analysis would have understated total disposal costs by, at most, 9 percent. The cost development presented in this report assumes that particular classes of hazardous wastes will not be banned from secure landfills. Were certain waste types, such as ------- B- 13 ignitables, or Toxic Organics Class I wastes, to be banned from landfills, it is not clear bow much this would increase disposal costs for small generators, since: • Data are not available for small volume generators’ waste quantities by waste type, and • It is not possible to predict the alternative disposal response of small volume generators to such a ban, i.e., use of incineration, deep—well injection, or recycling. Moreover, were the Agency or the states to ban certain waste types from landfills, it is likely that generators dis— posing of these wastes might also have to face more stringent administrative requirements, in light of the environmental hazard presented by these waste types. TOTAL COSTS Table B—7 presents total RCRA compliance costs. The na- tional costs of compliance with the administrative requirements of RCRA were computed by multiplying the number of generators in each volume category by the appropriate unit costs shown in Tables 11—9 and 11—10. National costs of compliance with the technical requirements of RCRA were computed by multiplying the expected hauling and disposal costs for the average generator in each volume category by the number of generators estimated for that category. 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(gill. — $11 is Isiit..I I .. o.p..i.i ------- Appendix C STATE AND AGENCY REGULATORY TASKS AND COSTS The purpose of this appendix is to explain, in detail, the derivation of the specific cost components used in the state and Agency cost analysis. This appendix begins by discussing the regulatory tasks considered in this analysis. Following this is a task—by—task discussion of the bases of the study’s unit resource requirements for state and Agency tasks. Con- cluding this section is a table documenting total RCRA program costs for fiscal years 1981 through 1985 at various generator exemption levels. REGULATORY TASKS EVALUATED Costs were presented for regulatory tasks in two major areas: (1) all RCRA program components except small volume generator regulatory tasks, and (2) small volume generator regulatory tasks. The former group will be discussed briefly. The latter group will be discussed in greater detail, since new information was developed by the study in this area, and the data became the foundation for the state and Agency impact analysis presented in this report. RCRA Program Components Except Small Volume Generator Tasks Four major areas were addressed in estimating the RCRA program baseline costs including: • Program development, • Non—generator regulatory activities, • General program administrative activities, and • Large volume generator regulatory activities. ------- C—2 The major reference document for baseline costs was the Agency’s Resource Requirements Summary, ’ issued in March 1979. Large volume generator costs are presented in Section III of this report; the remaining costs are presented here. Program Development Costs Table C—i STATE PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT--UNIT MANPOWER REQUIREMENTS* Unit Manpower Requirettent per State Small State Medium State Large State Activities ( man—years) ( man—years) ( man—years ) • Hazardous waste survey 2 3 4 • Develop or medify authorizing legislation 0.75 0.75 0.75 • Develop and promulgate rules and regulations and conduct public particIpation 3.25 3.40 3.50 • Staff hiring and development (per year) 1.0 1.0 1.5 *The RRS estimates that there are 20 small jurisdictions. 24 medIum—size jurisdictions, and 12 large jurisdictions. Total manpower needs for program development are 690 man—years of effort. However, approximately one—quarter of this effort was completed by the end of 1978. With 515 man—years of effort remaining for program development, and assuming a weighted average salary level of $16,000 per year (plus a 30 percent fringe benefit level), total remaining program development costs are $10.7 million. For those states in which the EPA regional office manages the RCRA program, program development funds are assumed to be used to supplement regional office staff and administrative resources. 1 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Resource Requirements Summary on Implementation and Maintenance of Programs Author- ized under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Subtitle C Programs , revised Draft, March 3, 1979. ------- C-3 Non—Generator Regulatory Costs • Transporters (N = 21,700) (1) Surveillance ( 21 ,700)(1/10 ) 230 = 9.4 man—years/year (2) Enforcement ( 21 ,700)(1/10)(iO ) 230 = 94 man—years/year Total cost = (103.4)($16,0 00)(1.30) = $2,200,000/year • Treatment, storage, and disposal facilities (N = 25,100)(20,050 = on—site; 5,025 = off—site) (1) Permitting 2 ( 20,05o)(58) + (955)015) + (4,070)(28 ) 230 = 6,030 man-years = 1,005 man—years/year over six years (2) Surveillance [ 5,025+ (1/2)(20,050)] [ 1 ] + [ (1/2)(2o,o5o)] [ 1/loI + ( 10,025)0/10 ) 1 3 3 230 = 68 man—years/year (3) Review of monitoring reports ( (20,050)(.5) + 1(5,025)]) * 4 C 10) (230) = 26.2 man—years/year 2 Permitting costs are based on the following Agency assumptions: (a) Six—year permitting period. (b) Major off—site facilities represent 19 percent of all off— site facilities. (c) Unit manpower requirements for permitting are as follows: (1) Major off-site facilities: one—half year per permit. (2) Minor off—site facilities: 28 man—days per permit. (3) On—site facilities: one—quarter year per permit. ------- C-4 (4) Enforcement [ (5,025) + (10,025)1 * (.1) * (10 ) 230 = 65.4 man—years/year (5) Laboratory services [ (10,025 + 5,025) * (1)1 + (10,025)(1/10 ) 230 = 70 man—years/year Total cost = (1,005 + 68 + 26 ÷ 65 + 70) = 1,234 *16K *1.3 $25, 700,000/year General Program Administrative Activities Small State Medium State Large State ( man—years) ( man—years) ( man—years ) 1. Technical assis- tance, training and education 1.0 1.5 2.0 2. Coordination with other agencies 0.5 0.5 0.5 3. Data handling and processing 0.5 1.0 2.0 4. Staff hiring and development 1.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 4.0 6.0 *20 *24 *12 60 + 96 + 72 Subtotal (228)($16,000)(1.30) $4.8 million/year ------- C- 5 5. Support services (a) Meeting costs: $0.1 million (b) Laboratory equipment: $30K*56/5 = $.03 million (c) Equipment and supply: $1OK*56 = $0.6 million (d) Surveillance safety equipment: $0.1 million (e) Consulting Costs: $30K*56 = $1.7 million (f) ADP costs: ($20K)(20) + ($35K)(24) + ($50K)(12) = $1.8 million Subtotal = $4.6 million/year Total = $9.4 million/year Small Volume Generator Tasks As was discussed in the methodology section of this report, unit costs were derived for those regulatory tasks whose costs clearly and directly varied with changes in the number of generators managed. For program operation, these tasks include: • Review of notification documents, • Review of generator exception reports, • Entry of generators’ annual reports into the ADP system, • Inspection, and • Enforcement actions. Development of Unit Manpower and Cost Estimates Table C—2 presents the unit manpower and cost estimates used in this report. These estimates are the economic bases from which “full RCRA” total regulatory costs were computed for small volume generators. It was not appropriate to develop unit estimates for regulatory activities directed toward generators who are ex- empted from RCRA by quantity of wastes for two reasons: • •These establishments have no administrative requirements necessitating state and Agency administrative activity. ------- C-6 • Since these establishments are outside the ju- risdiction of Subtitle C of RCRA, inspection and enforcement activities against such estab- lishments are likely to be the responsibility of the states’ Subtitle D programs. Major data sources for unit cost estimates included: • Resource Requirements Summary on Implementation and Maintenance of Programs Authorized under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Subtitle C Programs (revised March 2, 1979), prepared by the EPA Office of Solid Waste to estimate resource needs for regulatory agencies in carrying out the requirements of Subtitle C of RCRA; • Reports Impact Analysis (revised March 1979), prepared by the Agency to estimate in depth the cost impacts of the RCRA reporting requirements on industry, states, and the Agency; and • Information collected from states with currently operative hazardous waste programs. Table C-2 UNIT MANPOWER AND COST ESTIMATES FOR SMALL VOLUME GENERATOR REGULATORY TASKS Task Regulatory Manpower Requirement Staffing Budget Requirement 2 Activity ( per generator ) Mix 1 ( per generator ) • Review notification documents 25 minutes 10/55/35 S 4.30 • Review generator exception reports -—For generators disposing of fewer than 2,000 kg/mo 5 minutes/year 15/75/10 S 1.00/year -—For generators disposing of 2,000 to 5,000 kg/mo 7.5 minutes/year 15/75/10 S 1.50/year • Enter annual generator reports into AOP system 15 minutes/year 10/0/90 S 1.95/year • Inspection 16 minutes/year 15/65/20 S 3.05/year • Enforcement -—Assuming 3 percent non—compliance 144 minutes/year 15/65/20 527.30/year 1 Supervisory/profess lonal—technical/clerical personnel nix. 2 Thirty percent overhead in salary levels assumed. Constant 1978 dollars. ------- C-7 Wherever possible, the small generator study estimated manpower and cost requirements that would be in close agreement with those already presented in the first two reports mentioned above to facilitate comparison between the results of these related reports. In some cases, though, adjustments had to be made to downscale estimates that were more appropriate for larger volume generators than for the small volume generators examined in this study. Review of Notification Documents It is estimated that, on the average, 25 minutes of effort will be required to process a typical notification document. This task unit manpower requirement is based on the estimate presented in EPA’s Reports Impact Analysis (RIA). Although most of the cost subcomponents were addressed, the RIA cost analysis does omit costs for some subcomponents, specifically: mailing costs, key punching costs, and ADP systems operation costs (except for the cost of data entry). Exhibit C—]. displays the unit resource requirements estimated in the small generator study for this task. For the most part, the study estimate matches the RIA estimate. How- ever, some modifications have been made. These modifications are denoted in Exhibit C—i and explained below. First, the subtask of converting the information in a significant number of the completed notification documents into a common ADP format has been eliminated. The original premise of the RIA in including this subtask was that some authorized states would mail out their own versions of notification forms. These would eventually require conversion to the federal ADP format. However, since the regional EPA offices have currently been assigned the entire responsibility for notification, it is likely that a standardized federal format will be used nation- wide, eliminating the need for ADP conversion. Second, it is estimated that the subtask of key punching notification data into the ADP system will require five minutes of effort per document. Moreover, a staffing mix of 10 percent supervisory personnel and 90 percent clerical personnel is as- sumed for this subtask. Last, the small generator economic analysis has eliminated the ADP data entry cost of $450,000 estimated by the RIA. In fact, all ADP system operation costs have been excluded from this analysis. The effects of this omission will be discussed in the limits to the analysis. ------- C—8 Exhibit C-i EPA MANPOWER NEEDS FOR REVIEW OF NOTIFICATION DOCUMENTS Subt ask Staffing Subtask Mix Manpower (supervisory! Requirement professional! Subtask (per document) clerical) 1. For Correctly Completed Forms: • Mail Out Notification Form N.A. N.A. • Receive Notification Form Negligible N.A. • Check Form for Completeness 15 Minutes 10/80/10 • Mail Out Certification of Notification N.A. N.A. • Convert Relevant Information in Document into Common ADP Format N/A* N/A • Keypunch Relevant Information 5 Minutes* 10/0/90* • Enter Information into ADP System N.A.* N.A. • Generate ADP Reports N.A. N.A. • Manually File Notification Form 0.25 Minutes 5/0/95 Total 20.25 Minutes 10/60/30 2. For Incorrectly Completed Forms: • All Subtasks Expected for Correctly Completed Forms 20.25 Minutes 10/60/30 • Initial Check for Completeness 5 Minutes 10/80/10 • Request Additional Information from Establishment 5 Minutes 10/0/90 Total 30.25 Minutes 10/55/35 3. For the “Average” Form: Since correctly and incorrectly completed forms are each expected to represent half of all forms submitted, the average notification document is expected to require 25 minutes of review time, with a staffing mix of 10 percent supervisory personnel, 55 percent profes- sional personnel, and 35 percent clerical personnel. N.A. = Not available. N/A = Not applicable. * Small volume generator study modifications to RIA estimates. ------- C-9 In terms of unit manpower requirements, the net effect of these changes is zero. The RIA and small generator study manpower estimates are both 25 minutes of effort per hlaverageu document. Review of Generator Exception i eports The small generator study has used the RIA manpower estimate of 30 minutes for reviewing an average exception re- port. The derivation of this estimate is shown in Exhibit C—2. Although not all cost subcomponents have been estimated, the most critical (and most labor-intensive) component has been estimated. However, the above estimate must be combined with infor- mation on the average number of exception reports expected annually from the various generator categories. As was ex- plained in Appendix B, it was assumed that one out of every 24 shipments will exhibit a shipping irregularity requiring an exception report. The minimum shipping frequency is four shipments per year (due to the 90—day storage constraint), and the maximum shipping frequency is assumed to be six ship- ments per year for small volume generators. Table C—3 presents, for two general generator volume categories, the adjusted estimates of annual shipping fre- quencies, annual exception report probabilities, and an- nualized per generator regulatory manpower and budget needs for review of exception reports. Table C-3 VOLUME-ADJUSTED ESTIMATES OF MANPOWER AND BUDGET NEEDS FOR REVIEW OF EXCEPTION REPORTS Generator Shipments Annual per Generator Annualized Annualized Volume per Probability of an Unit Manpower Unit Budget 1 Category Year Exception Report Reguirenent Repuirenent < 2,000 kg/mo 4 .17 5.0 mlns/gen. S1.OO/gen. 2,000—5,000 kg/mo 6 .25 7.5 mlns/gen. $1.50/gen. 1 Constant 1978 dollars. ------- c-b Exhibit C-2 STATE AND AGENCY MANPOWER NEEDS FOR REVIEW OF GENERATOR EXCEPTION REPORTS Subt ask Staffing Subtask Mix Manpower (supervisory! Requirement professional! Subtask (per document) clerical) • Receive Exception Report Negligible N.A. • Review Report to Determine Whether Situation Requires Enforcement Action 30 Minutes 15/75/10 • Place Relevant Information into Common ADP Format Negligible N.A. • Keypunch Relevant Information N.A. N.A. • Enter Information into ADP System N.A. N.A. • Generate AOP Reports N.A. N.A. • Manually File Report 0.25 Minutes 5/0/95 Total 30.25 Minutes 15/75/10 N.A. = Not available. ------- c-li Entry of Annual Report Data into the ADP System The RIA provided very little substantive data on the unit resource requirements for the entry of the annual report into the ADP system. Though the RIA clearly presented the subtask report flow, only the cost of manually filing these reports was estimated. This study, therefore, estimated a unit manpower requirement for this task after consultation with persons ex- perienced in computer data entry costs. Exhibit C—3 presents estimates of staffing needs for the entry of annual report data into the state ADP system. The estimate of 15 minutes of staff time per report refers to the cost of key punching and checking the information submitted in the annual report. Since the annual report is formatted for easy information transferral into the ADP system, manpower needs for ADP conversion are nonexistent. However, key punching can re- quire a more extensive effort if the information is not clearly presented, e.g., barely legible, or improperly completed. No adjustments for this possibility have been made. Inspection Although not explicitly called for in the RCRA regulations for authorized state programs, inspection is, nonetheless, a vital constituent of a program with adequate enforcement. A regular surveillance schedule is essential for purposes of report verification. Moreover, these on—site inspections fre- quently serve as a means for informal technical assistance by regulatory officials. It has been estimated that, on the average, three on—site inspections can be completed and documented in one man—day of effort. The expected task staffing mix is 15 percent management personnel, 65 percent technical personnel, and 20 percent cler- ical personnel. These estimates are equivalent to those util- ized in EPA’s Resource Requirement Summary (RRS) for projecting manpower and budget needs for Subtitle C of RCRA as proposed earlier. ------- C- 12 Exhibit C-3 STATE AND AGENCY MANPOWER NEEDS FOR ENTRY OF ANNUAL REPORT DATA INTO ADP SYSTEM Subt ask Staffing Subtask Mix Manpower (supervisory/ Requirement professional! Subtask (per document) clerical) • Receive Annual Report Negligible N.A. • Place Relevant Information into Common ADP Format N/A N/A • Keypunch Relevant Information 15 Minutes 10/0/90 • Enter Information into ADP System N.A. N.A. • Generate ADP Reports N.A. N.A. • Manually File Report 0.25 Minutes 5/0/95 Total 15.25 Minutes 10/0/90 N.A. = Not available. N/A = Not applicable. ------- C- 13 Additionally, as was assumed in the RRS, the present study assumes an average inspection frequency of once per facility every 10 years. Regulatory agencies may choose to inspect large volume generators more frequently than small volume generators, or establishments disposing of one class of wastes more frequently than establishments disposing of similar volumes of another class of wastes, but no definite statement can be made as to how much more frequently. Therefore, the inspection frequency has been applied equally to all generators, regardless of generator category. In order to estimate the total staff required to maintain this inspection frequency, an annualized per generator inspec- tion manpower estimate was developed. This was calculated by multiplying the manpower requirement for a single completed inspection (2.67 man—hours) by the annual per generator prob- ability of an inspection (0.10). From this was obtained an annualized estimate of 0.267 man—hours per generator as an estimate of unit staffing needs for the task of inspection. Enforcement Actions Upon detection of non—compliance from field operations or through receipt of exception reports, the next step for a regu- latory agency is to attempt to remedy the situation. In most cases, non—complying establishments will initiate corrective action upon receipt of a letter from the state or Agency ex- plaining the nature of the detected violation. Sometimes, further state and operator interaction, in the form of on—site meetings or formal compliance conferences, is required before the violation can be corrected. In extreme cases, the regula- tory agency may have no recourse but to bring legal action against chronic offenders. Such enforcement actions can call upon a substantial por- tion of the program’s human resources. Since the RRS provided no estimate of enforcement resources required for generator regulation, a phone survey of enforcement activities was con- ducted for this study in five states with established hazardous waste control programs (California; Illinois; Maryland; Nassau County, New York; and Texas). Officials from each state pro— gram were asked to estimate: • The extent of serious non—compliance among generators, expressed as a percent of all reg- ulated hazardous waste—generating establish- ments, and ------- c—i 4 • The unit manpower needs for a typical enforce- ment action. Estimates of non—compliance ranged from 1 to 5 percent, with an average of 3 percent of all regulated establishments. Estimates of unit manpower needs ranged from 5 to 15 days, with an average of 10 days per typical enforcement action. This latter estimate includes the time spent in: • Gathering and documenting evidence of non- compliance, • Writing up the case facts and history for internal agency review, and • Assessing the legal sufficiency of the case. This analysis uses an average non—compliance estimate of 3 percent for projecting future enforcement needs. The staffing mix in this activity has been assumed to be that of the RRS: 15 percent supervisory personnel, 65 percent professional per- sonnel (technical and legal), and 20 percent clerical personnel. TOTAL RCRA PROGRAM COSTS: FISCAL YEARS 1981 THROUGH 1985 Table C—4 presents total state and Agency program costs for fiscal years 1981 through 1985. The data are presented first for all program activities exclusive of the regulation of small volume generators. To those program Costs are added the costs of bringing small volume generators into the system at volume cutoffs ranging from 5,000 kg/mo to 0 kg/mo. The cost analysis assumes that 37 jurisdictions receive interim authori- zation in 1981 and full authorization in 1983 and that EPA regional offices manage the program in the 19 unauthorized states. Permitting is projected to occur over a six—year period beginning in 1981. Costs originally developed in 1978 dollars were converted to current dollars using GNP price deflators from Data Resources, Inc. 3 3 Review of the U.S. Economy , Table 22.1, Data Resources, Inc., August 1979. ------- C- 15 Table C-4 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE CUMULATIVE STATE AND AGENCY HAZARDOUS WASTE PROGRAM COSTS FOR SELECTED EXEMPTION LEVELS FOR FISCAL YEARS 1981 THROUGH 1985 (millions of current dollars) 1 Fiscal Year Program Activity 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 Program Development 3.6 3.9 0 0 0 Program Oversight 6.3 6.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 Non—Generator and General Adminis- trative Costs 54.8 59.4 59.8 64.3 69.3 Large Volume Generator Costs 58.5 63.2 63.9 68.7 74.0 Small Volume Generator Costs at Cutoffs of (kg/mo): 5,000 58.5 63.2 63.9 68.7 74.0 2,000 59.1 63.8 64.5 69.4 14.7 1,000 59.9 64.6 65.4 70.3 75.7 900 60.1 64.7 65.5 70.4 75.9 800 60.2 64.8 65.7 70.6 76.1 700 60.5 65.2 66.0 71.0 76.5 600 60.7 65.3 66.2 71.1 76.6 500 61.1 65.7 66.6 71.6 77.2 400 61.6 66.2 67.1 72.2 77.7 300 62.3 66.9 67.9 73.0 78.7 200 63.8 68.3 69.4 74.6 80.3 100 66.7 71.1 72.4 77.9 83.9 0 95.7 99.1 102.6 110.4 118.9 Impllcit GNP price deflators obtained from Table 22.1 of Data Resources, Inc., August 1979, Review of the U.S. Economy : 1979: 9.0% 1980: 8.2% 1981: 8.2% 1982: 7.8% 1983: 7.2% 1984: 7.1% 1985: 7.1% (est.) ------- Appendix D WASTE GENERATION RATES The approach taken in this study in analyzing the potential industry impacts of small volume generator regulation has been to compare the costs of compliance to the annual sales and profitability at a particular plant. A portion of the cost of compliance depends on the volume of wastes. Consequently, it has been necessary to postulate a correlation between the volume of wastes generated and some measure of a plant’s eco- nomic size. This appendix addresses the relevance to this study of past efforts to develop such a relationship and it outlines the current approach to the waste correlation issue. RELEVANCE OF PAST STUDIES The most common methods for developing waste generation factors are based on the relationship between hazardous waste quantities generated and total employment in the establishment, number of production employees, quantity of product produced or value added. In previous studies, MITRE,’ TRW, 2 and ERCO attempted to determine this relationship empirically. This section will discuss the relevance of those efforts to the small volume generator population. MITRE Study The MITRE study used state and regional survey data to calculate average generation rates for each two—digit manu— facturing SIC. These factors were then correlated with U.S. Bureau of Census employment data to determine national generation rates (shown as calculated generation factor in ‘ Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 Draft Environmental Impact Statement, Volume I and Volume II , prepared by MITRE Corp. for U.S. EPA, January 1979. 2 Technical Environmental Impacts of Various Approaches for Regulating Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generators , Volume I, TRW, Inc., December 1979. 3 Economic Impact Analysis of Hazardous Waste Management Regulations on Selected Generating Industries , Energy Re- sources Co., Inc., June 1979. ------- D- 2 Table D—l). MITRE pointed out several problems with this methodology: • Definitions and criteria for hazardous waste included in the state surveys were not consis- tent. Though MITRE attempted to standardize the data, some discrepancies remained in the database. • State surveys concentrated on larger companies in industry groups rather than smaller compa- nies. MITRE concluded that larger companies would tend to produce less hazardous waste per employee than smaller companies due to economic scale in the production process. • Company—supplied data, though generally reli- able, contained some errors. Companies might be reluctant to provide data that could result in unwelcome regulatory policies or that could reveal proprietary information regarding pro- duction processes, volumes, or employment. Some firms might misinterpret the survey ques- tions or might be uninformed regarding the constituents of the waste streams. • Aggregation to two—digit SICs, due to lack of sufficient data at a more detailed level, grouped industries which may have had markedly different production processes and waste generation characteristics. • MITRE’s national generation factors overlooked the likelihood that establishments of different sizes might generate relatively different quantities of hazardous wastes per employee, and that regional variations might exist. However, MITRE lacked the necessary data to present results at a regional level. However, for the purposes of the present study, the largest problem with the MITRE data was that the generation factors were not applicable to small volume generators. MITRE pointed out that the state surveys concentrated on large firms almost entirely and included those firms that were thought to create large amounts of hazardous waste. ------- D— 3 Table D—1 GENERATION FACTORS FOR ThE CALCULATION OF ESTIMATED QUANTITIES OF HAZARDOUS WASTE GENERATED BY MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES (based on employment) Total Percent Calculated Number 1975 U.S. of U.S. SIC Generation of Employment Employment Employment Code Factor’ States ( thousands) ( thousands) Represented 20 0.19 6 279 1.528 18 22 0.17 4 16 870 2 23 0.11 1 (Md) 6 1.221 1 24 0.13 5 11 600 13 25 0.59 5 30 408 7 26 4.86 4 55 581 9 27 0.12 5 101 1.079 9 28 3.72 8 168 849 20 29 6.29 8 57 151 38 30 0.38 7 98 593 17 31 2.49 5 14 266 5 32 .2.34 7 89 593 15 33 3.49 8 189 1,098 17 34 1.27 8 250 1,398 21 35 2.35 8 445 1,979 22 36 0.13 7 349 1,533 23 37 0.59 7 179 1,599 11 33 0.13 6 85 1,915 4 39 0.64 5 54 422 13 Totals 2,591 18,684 14 (percent of national total) Metric tons/employee/year. Source: Subtitle C, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976. Draft Environmental Impact Statement, Appendices , January 1979, p. H—16. TRW Study The TRW analysis of the correlation between waste genera- tion rate and number of employees was based on its computerized state database of small volume generators (less than 5,000 kg/mo) and a few observations for large volume generators. ------- D-4 The entire database included responses to state surveys in 20 states and covered 90 two—digit, three—digit, or four—digit SICs. Of the more than 3,000 generator responses, only 170 provided employment data that could be correlated with waste generation data. These generators covered 11 SICs, as shown in Table D—2. Linear correlation analysis revealed discouraging results in ten SICs and highly significant correlation in one manufacturing SIC, metal heat testing (SIC 3398). Table 0—2 LINEAR CORRELATION BETWEEN EMPLOYMENT AND WASTE QUANTITY Critical Value Percentage** Calculated of r for Explained S nple Correlation Significant Variat Ion, SIC Size, n Coefficient, r Correlation Conclusion lOOr’ 282 26 0.275 0.388 No correlation 2891 6 0.14 0.811 No correlation 2893 7 —0.31 0.754 No correlation 3398 32 0.54 0.449 Highly signifIcant t 29.2 3479 12 -0.284 0.576 No correlation 355 16 0.186 0.497 No correlation 359 5 -0.49 0.878 No correlation 1662 32 0.341 0.349 No correlation 7218 18 0.339 0.468 No correlation 7391 4 0.57 0.950 No correlation 753 12 0.31 0.576 No correlation t lhese critical values are chosen to reject the hypothesis of no correlation at a significance level of 1 percent; all others shown are the 5 percent level. ** Percentage of the total variation of waste quantity that can be explained due to its linear correlation with number of employees. Source: Technical Environmental Impacts of Various Approaches for Regulating Small Volume Hazardous Waste Generators , Volume I, TRW, Inc., December 1979. TRW stated some concerns with the quality of the state database relative to its usefulness in this exercise: • Data varied widely from state to state due to differences in state survey methodologies, especially in definitions and criteria for hazardous waste and selection of specific facilities to be surveyed. ------- D— 5 • The number of establishments in an SIC covered by state data varied from a low of one to a high of 69. This represented a small frac- tion of total establishments in each SIC on a national basis. Even fewer establishments reported employment data. • Employment data were available from a few large states (New York, California, and Texas), and these might not be representative of other states or the national average. However, these were used to perform the linear correla- tion as no other data were available. ERCO Study The ERCO study of several major industries that generate hazardous waste included firms of all sizes and volumes of wastes. For each industry, ERCO defined a model and a worst case firm to assess economic impacts of RCRA regulations. The model firm was designed to be representative of the majority of firms within the industry from the standpoint of financial and technical characteristics. The worst case firm was repre- sentative of a potentially exposed firm due to its small size, poor financial condition, high waste generation rate, or some combination of these characteristics. Typical waste quantity volumes for model plants and worst case plants were estimated for each industry uniquely. For the electric utility industry, ERCO selected a 500—megawatt plant as its model plant size and used process engineering data developed in a TVA/EPA study that examined the specific volumes and components of wastes for a powerplant of that size. For the pulp and paper industry, ERCO based its analysis on an earlier ADL study that reported plant operating character- istics for all sectors of that diverse industry. Industry contacts on a plant—by—plant basis provided detailed informa- tion on process and waste stream quantities and constituents. ERCO’s model plant represented the industry average plant in the unbleached kraft linerboard sector, while the worst case plant represented a folding boxboard mill with lower than aver- age product per year and higher than average waste due to the addition of coal wastes. Again, ADL’s material balance data provided the necessary volumes for impact analysis. ------- D- 6 Waste quantities for gasoline service stations and automo- tive repair shops were estimated by ERCO based on discussions with station owners, industry personnel, and waste oil collec- tors. Both the model plant and worst case plant were assumed to generate the same amount of wastes, though the worst case plant was assumed to have lower sales. In its study of the drum reconditioning industry, ERCO surveyed firms to determine the average quantities of waste material to be disposed. ERCO concluded that there was a clear correlation between number of drums processed and generation of waste, unless the companies used different precleaning tech- niques. ERCO provided ranges in the order of plus and minus 60 percent for each estimate of waste quantity to reflect the variances in firm responses. Worst case analysis was performed by increasing the waste generation rate to a level well above the industry average. ERCO estimates of waste generation rates in other indus- tries that were analyzed in the same study were based on indus- try contacts and discussions with operators at large, medium, and small firms. Based on these discussions, generation rates were related to production process rather than to number of production employees or total employment in the establishment. None of the studies reviewed above produced a generally applicable empirical relationship between plant environment and waste generation for small volume generators in the manu- facturing sector. However, appropriate components of the studies cited above have been combined to develop a reasonable approximation of waste generation rates for the model plants in the SICs included in this study. CURRENT STUDY APPROACH The current study differs from the studies reviewed above in two major ways: • The small volume generator study is examining the impacts on relatively small firms in almost 100 SICs, whereas prior studies focused on large plants in about 20 manufacturing industries that produce large volumes of hazardous wastes. ------- D— 7 • As the small generator study encompasses a broad range of manufacturing and non—manufacturing industries, it was necessary to analyze selected industries which generally characterized the universe. Prior studies developed industry— specific results which were aggregated to pro- duce a complete profile of impacts of RCRA on approximately 95 percent of the wastes covered by RCRA. The remainder of this appendix will discuss how the present study approached the waste generation issue for small volume generators. It will examine, first, for what classes of SIC codes the waste generation issue is a problem and subse- quently outline the chosen study method for resolving the issue. Types of Industries Affected by Waste Correlation Waste correlation is an issue in an economic impact analy- sis because to the extent that establishments within an SIC generate different volumes of waste they are correspondingly subject to varying compliance costs. It becomes important, therefore, to relate the compliance cost a particular establish- ment will incur to its economic size. If waste volume and size are closely related, then larger establishments will have higher compliance costs. If they are not related, small establishments may have higher compliance costs than large establishments. Figure D—l illustrates the waste distribution by percent of generators for the SICs selected for economic analysis. For example, the figure shows that for SIC 3471——electroplaters—— about 40 percent of the establishments generate less than 100 kg/mo of wastes while 80 percent generate less than 5,000 kg/mo of wastes. Several conclusions can be drawn from the waste distribution illustrated in Figure D—1. ------- Figure D—1 CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF GENERATORS BY WASTE GENERATION RANGES FOR SELECTED SICs PERCENT OF 7221, 7333, 7396 70 60 3471 ELECTROPLATERS 50 , 6 ’ p / I / , / / / ..—.. .. 07110721,0729 ..- AGRICULTURAL SERVICES ,. .. ,‘ .—. .—. . - WASTE GENERATION RATE (kg/mo) ------- D-9 • The SICs characterized by waste distribution over a range of volume categories are: ——0711, 0721 Soil preparation, 0729 crop planting, and general services ——2231, 225 Textile dyeing and 226, 2272 finishing ——27 Printing ——3440 Fabricated metals ——3471 Electroplating ——5541 Service station ——7221, 7333, 7395 Photoprocessing In all these SICs no single waste category contains more than 40 percent of the genera- tors, and the remaining generators are dis- tributed over a broad waste generation range. • The SICs that are not characterized by a distri- bution over a broad range of waste categories are: ——17 Special trades contractors ——7215 Coin—operated dry cleaners ——7216 Commercial dry cleaners In SICs 17 and 7215, 100 and 94 percent of the establishments, respectively, are concentrated in the less than 200 kg/mo category; and in SIC 7216, 74 percent of the establishments generate less than 100 kg/mo, and 96 percent generate less than 500 kg/mo. Overall, the distributions in the SICs selected for further analysis parallel the national total where 73 percent of the generators fall into the less than 100 kg/mo category and 90 percent generate less than 1,000 kg/mo. The national profile ------- D— 10 is shown in Figure D—2 for manufacturing and non—manufacturing SICs. It is apparent from this figure that non—manufacturing firms have a more uniform and smaller generation rate than do manufacturing firms. Small Volume Generator Study Methodology The methodology selected for addressing the waste correla- tion problem varied depending on the industry analyzed. For the three SICs that were concentrated within a narrow waste generation range, the costs of compliance were assumed to be close enough for there not to be a significant cost di:fferential among establishments. The remaining SICs were examined on an industry—by—industry basis. Available data on two of the most affected industries—— service stations and soil preparation services——relate waste generation directly to indicators of economic activity. These indicators are number of oil filters changed in the case of service stations and number of crop dusting airplanes in the case of soil preparation and crop services. In these cases it has been assumed that economic size and waste generation are related. For the remaining four affected SICs there were no data available relating economic size and waste generation. As a model or average case, it was assumed that for these SIC5, as for the two discussed above, waste generation and economic size related directly. In this case a plant in, for example, the 25th percentile in sales would have a waste generation rate in the 25th percentile. The danger of this model case assumption is that it may underestimate impacts on plants that generate a volume of wastes out of proportion to their annual sales. To counteract this possibility, a worst case assumption was developed in which the waste volume a plant generates is expected not to be related to its sales. Rather, it was assumed that there is no relationship between waste volume and sales, and (for the worst case) that a plant always generates more wastes than the volume that would relate to its sales. If there is no relationship between wastes and sales, the expected value of a plant’s waste generation is the average of all plants. Thus, for electroplaters a plant with sales in the 25th percentile would generate not the 50 kg/mo in wastes that would correspond to the 25th percentile in wastes, but 330 kg/mo——the average of all plants. For larger plants above the 100 kg/mo category, the approach is somewhat different. ------- Figure D—2 CUMULATIVE PERCENT OF GENERATORS CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF GENERATORS BY WASTE GENERATION RANGES FOR ALL SICs • • NON—MANUFACTURING SICi — — — — — — — -—-- — — — — TOTAL FOR ALL SICi MANUFACTURING SIC. 300 400 500 600 700 800 000 1000 WASTE GENERATION RATE (kg/mo) 2000 3000 4000 6000 ------- D— 12 For example, a plant with sales in the 60th percentile would generate 350 kg/mo of waste if waste volume and sales related directly. Making the two assumptions that no correlation exists and that a plant always generates more wastes than cor- respond to its sales yields a worst case volume of 500 kg/mo. This is the average for all electroplating plants generating more than the 350 kg/mo that corresponds to sales in the 60th percentile. The above analysis was also applied for SIC 27——printers—— that are moderately affected by the waste generation issue. The remaining moderately affected category——photofinishing laboratories and portrait studios——was similar to service sta- tions and soil preparation services in that waste generation relates directly to economic activity——in this case square meters of film processed. Table D—3 lists the five SICs for which worst case sce- narios were developed with the model and worst case volumes corresponding to given percentiles in annual sales. Table 0-3 MODEL AND WORST CASE WASTE GENERATION RATES CORRESPONDING To PERCENTILE SALES Generation Rate Sales SIC Percentile Model Case Worst Case 2231,225,226 25 100 775 50 350 1,240 75 2,000 2,830 3441 25 50 740 50 150 1,110 75 750 2,080 3471 25 50 460 50 200 775 75 1,500 2,375 - 27 25 25 350 50 50 540 75 300 1,390 Economic Sensitivity The sensitivity of the analysis to the model case assump- tion depends both on the difference in volume between the model case and the worst case and on the additional costs that ------- D— 13 would be incurred as a result of this difference. Figure D—3 illustrates the contribution of fixed and variable components to per generator costs for generators in different volume cate- gories, assuming landfill disposal techniques. It is apparent from Figure D—3 that at the lower volume ranges the contribution of fixed costs to total generator costs is very large. In these volume ranges the cost differential between the model case and worst case is very small. At higher volume ranges, where the contribution of variable costs is greater, the analysis is more sensitive to the model and worst case assumptions. In this case, however, since annual sales are higher, the impact as a percent of sales diminishes. ------- D- 14 ANNUAL COST PER GEN ERATOR 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 1,500 Figure D—3 2,000 REGULATORY OPTION: EXEMPTION BY QUANTITY OF WASTE ANNUAL COSTS PER GENERATOR (Constant 1978 Dollars) TOTAL COMPLIANCE COST VARIABLE COSTS OF ‘TESTING, ADMINISTRATION, AND HAULING / / , // / / / / / / DISPOSAL COSTS FIXED TESTING COSTS 2.500 3,000 VOLUME OF WASTE (kg/mo) 3,500 4,000 4,500 6,000 $45 in administrative costs and $88 pickup cost. ------- |