NATIONAL  PESTICIDE  SURVEY
FUTURE ANALYSES AND RESEARCH

-------
                           NATIONAL PESTICIDE SURVEY
                         FUTURE ANALYSES AND RESEARCH

      The Phase II analysis  identified  several  topics and  issues that the
Agency could undertake  to evaluate  further   Issues are presented in four
major categories  (A) Survey  Design  and  Analysis,  (B) Laboratory Methods, (C)
Data Collection and Field Assessments,  and  (D)  Statistical Analysis.

(A) Survey Design and Analysis:

      1.    NFS stratification variables did not  perform as anticipated.
            Several research areas  could provide  useful guidance for States
            and Regions.  Development is required of better collection
            methods, databases, and ground water  sensitivity measures would
            provide better data on  pesticide use  and sensitivity

      2     Develop guidance for future state surveys of this type on survey
            design, including tradeoffs between stratification, precision
            requirements, and analytic  methods.

      3.    Analyze aggregated databases such as  RFF and NFERC/TVA with
            respect to  questionnaire items that were designed to obtain
            essentially the  same information    Correlations can be reviewed
            between aggregated data and questionnaire data and between
            aggregated  data  and manufacturers'   data.

      4.    Evaluate FRDS as a frame for future studies, and obtain additional
            information pertaining  to Community Water Systems,  including data
            on populations,  mixing of water from  different sources,  and
            grouping of wells.

(B) Laboratory Methods:

      1.    Review NFS chromatograms (primary and secondary,  and particularly
            Methods 1 and 3) to try to model the data differently

            i.     Perform evaluation of chromatograms for all NFS primary and
                  secondary columns to assess the full concentration
                  distribution for analytes that were detected at any level.

            ii.   Perform evaluation of chromatograms for spiked samples to
                  characterize the precision associated with analyte
                  concentrations at various levels.

      2.    Prepare statistical guidance for EPA laboratories for reporting
            data without MRLs.

C) Data Collection and Field Assessments:

      1.    Resample NFS sites where pesticide  detections occurred and
            characterize recharge areas.

      2     Carry out site-specific soil profiles at NFS sites  where pesticide
            detections occurred.

-------
3 Carry out time-series analysis for a select number of wells to
examine annual and seasonal effects.
(D) Statistical Methods.
1. Develop statistical methods, including Bayesian methods, for
combining the information contained in other state surveys and the
Pesticides in Ground Water Database
2 Develop diagnositic statistics for methods of logistic regression
analysis of survey data (i.e., SUDAAN needs to be substantially
improved to be useful).
3. Analyze effects of Survey weights:
i. Compare weighted results using Taylor linearization (SUDAAN)
to resampling techniques (WESVAR)
ii. Develop Bayesian methods for analyzing the Survey data

-------