Real Estate for Regulators An Inside View of the Real Estate Transaction and the Impact of Liability Sponsored by Office of Brownfields and Land Revitalization Rev. 5-08 ------- EPA Table of Contents Section I: Course Objectives and Agenda Course Instructors Section II: Presentation Slides Section III: Presentation Graphs Section IV: Breakout Exercise #1 Section V: Breakout Exercise #2 Section VI: Breakout Exercise #3 Section VII. Resources Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites ------- Section I ------- Section I Course Objectives Agenda Course Instructors ------- aEPA Real Estate for Regulators: An inside view of the Real Estate Transaction and the Impact of Liability Course Objective To help participants develop an in-depth understanding of the development process and the impact of environmental issues. • The Course Goals are To: • Provide an in-depth knowledge of the real estate development and finance process • Apply environmental decision-making to real development situations • Improve skills in negotiating environmental agreements with developers by better understanding the developers perspective • Analyze real estate transactions and how environmental liability is managed Real Estate 300 Course Description/Outline Page 1 ------- EPA Course Outline Day I 8:30 a.m. Registration 8:45 Overview Purpose and goals of course 9:00 Module I: Seed Capital to Cashing Out: How Finance drives the Development Deal Real Estate 101 Revisited The Role of the Developer Different Perspectives What is a Proforma’ Introduction to Leverage Financing Phases Sources and Uses Schedule The Deal Structure Types of Developers/Development Upside down Properties Small, Large, Tough & Ugly Environmental Value Pyramid Environmental Impact on the Deal 10:45 Break 11:00 Module II: Market Analysis: How the Pros and Locals Decide What to Build The Real Estate Cycle What is a Market Analysis? Different Kinds of Studies The Market Analysis Process and Market Data What drives demand? Supply influences The Reuse Assessment Development cycles Recession or market turn-downs Development in the Southeast vs. the rest of the Nation 12:00 Lunch Real Estate 300 Course Description/Outline Page 2 ------- EPA 1:00 p.m. Module Ill: The Planning Process: Highest and Best Use vs. What will be Permitted? Highest and Best Use- How a Developer Analyzes a site Planning and Zoning• Protecting the Community’s interest Master Plans, Subdivisions, Variances Zoning Analysis - what is regulated locally? Characteristics of a Well Planned Site Mixed use zoning/overlay districts/dealing with local officials The Smart Code What are the regulatory Steps to Site Plan Approval? The Tasks required before the Site Plan is developed 2:00 Module IV: Deal Structure: The Real Estate Transaction with Gerald Pouncey, Esq. Deal Structure Alternatives Leasing-interim uses Options, purchase and sale agreements The effect of Finance on deal structure Settlement documents Case Study Examples Sources of funding- Public/private Types of real estate and their influence on the deal Transaction Components Development rights and agreements Documentation provided to banks and other financial sources/regulatory agencies Title insurance/title commitments Letters of credit Trusts 4:00 Adjourn Real Estate 300 Course Description/Outline Page 3 ------- a’ Day II 8:30 a.m. Coffee and registration 8:45 Module V: Deal Structure Continued: The Impact of Liability Where are the Risks Impact of Risk on Deals Deal breakers Risk is notjust Environmental Risk Management Approach Environmental Risk Management Which Risks concern developers? Risks and the Redevelopment Cycle: short, medium and long-term risks Risk Allocation Risk Transfer Risk Reduction Addressing the Liabilities- including windfall liens Institutional and Engineering Controls Case Study Example 10:15 Break 10:30 Exercise 1: You have found the property: What is the best use of the site? 11:00 Exercise 2: You decided to move forward. Review the environmental information and develop a risk management plan for your project. 11:45 Exercise 3: Your Closing is Scheduled: The Bank is threatening to Pull the Loan! Solve it! 12:00 p.m. Lunch 2:30 Group Discussion- Putting the Deal Together 3:00 Module VI: Financing the Deal- Sustainability and Project Finance The Impact of Time on the deal Sources of Funds Revisited Cashing Out The Role of Institutional Owners Options for Cashing Out Institutional Controls and Permanent Finance Sustainability 3:30 Adjourn Real Estate 300 Course Description/Outline Page 4 ------- EPA Course Instructors Michael B. Taylor, President, Vita Nuova LLC taylor@vitanuova net (203) 270-3413 www.vitanuova.net Mr Taylor is a leading strategist in implementing redevelopment at brownfields, RCRA and Superfund sites. He is an expert in public-private partnerships for redevelopment as well as in developing strategies to get highly-encumbered properties back to the market. He works in some of the toughest areas of the country, including small rural areas, inner city environmental justice neighborhoods and some of the most contaminated sites in the country. Mr Taylor chaired the ASTM task group for the National Standard on Sustainable Brownfields Redevelopment. He has trained over 800 state and federal regulators in real estate and redevelopment of contaminated properties and contributed to national brownfields and superfund redevelopment policy. He was a graduate Rockefeller fellow at Yale University. where he studied Environmental Science, Public Policy and Ethics He graduated Cum Laude in Urban Planning and Economics from Roanoke College. He recently co-taught a course in Land Use and Environmental Decision-making at Columbia School of Law. Barry Hersh Mr Hersh is one of the leading Brownfields developers in the country, having managed the acquisition and redevelopment of over $200mm in environmentally-impacted properties nationwide. His experience in the development field includes over 25 years in various positions including Development Director for a municipality. Executive Director of a Community Development Corporation, and senior development official for a Fortune 150 corporation. He has served as a leader of dozens of community design workshops and charrettes including waterfront restoration projects, corporate parks, and housing sites Over the past 5 years Mr Hersh has, in partnership with Vita Nuova, taught real estate redevelopment to over one thousand USEPA and state regulatory staff members Mr Hersh has led brownfield and waterfront community design workshops throughout North America and in Europe He is currently an Adjunct Associate Professor at the City University of New York, and has lectured at many other univeristies and organizations Mr. Hersh is a leader in the development and planning fields, serving in numerous industry leadership capacities He was the first chair of the Developers’ Group for the National Brownfields Association, Chair; Finance Committee of The Waterfront Center, Board Member, Partnership for Sustainable Brownfields Redevelopment, and is a member of the Urban Land Institute, NAIOP, and the American Institute of Certified Planners. Thomas Schruben Thomas Schruben has had an extensive career in managing environmental risk, first as a consulting engineer, then as a regulator with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, followed by nearly ten years in the environmental insurance industry. He is nationally known for his extensive knowledge in identifying, quantifying and managing of environmental risks. Mr. Schruben has developed wide expertise in federal and State environmental regulatory programs including ha ardous waste listing, Real Estate 300 Section I Page 5 ------- EPA radioactive waste management, above ground tanks, underground tanks, Superfund, RCRA remediatiori and Brownfields redevelopment. Mr. Schruben currently consults on environmental risk management, redevelopment opportunities, insurance recoveries for redevelopers, non profits, property owners, Facility operators and State clean up funds. He also consults with federal and State environmental regulators on minimizing environmental risk through redevelopment and technical policy changes to stimulate long term control of environmental risk. Mr. Schruben was instrumental in the establishment of national ASTM standards for environmental risk management. He developed technical symposia for the Air and Waste Management Association and is a featured speaker at national conferences and seminars on insurance and environmental issues. Mr. Schruben obtained a B S degree in Civil Engineering from New Mexico State University Real Estate 300 Section I Page 6 ------- Section II ------- Section I I Presentation Slides ------- Course Objectives • To help participants develop an in-depth understanding of the development process and the impact of environmental issues. • The goals are to: provide an in-depth knowiedee of the real estate deve opmere and finance process • appi environmental de sion-rnaking to real developqnent situations • improve skills in negotiating environmental agreements with developers by better understanding the developers perspect;ve • analyze real estate transactions and how environmental liability is managed Course Outline • Modules • I: Seed Capital to Cashing Out • Ii: Market Analysis • 111: The Reuse Process • IV: Deai Structure • V: Deal Structure Continued: The Impact of Liability • VI: Financing the Deal • Breakout Sessions • Group Exercise 1: Determining the best use • Group Exercise #2: Developing a risk management plan • Group Exercise 3: Bank is threateninq to puU the loan 6EPA Real Estate for Regulators: I An Inside View of the Real Estate Transaction and the Impact of Liability June 3-4, 2008 Atlanta, GA Real Estate For Regulators Section Il — Page 1 ------- odule I From Seed Capital to Cashing Out: How Finance Drives the Development Deal ------- MODULE 1 • From Seed Capital to Cashing Out: How finance drives the development deal? Real Estate 100 Revisited • The Development Model • Pre-Development • Idea, Refinement, Due Diligence • Securing the Deal • Contract Negotiation, Formal Commitment • Development • Construction, Completion and Formal Opening • Management • Property, Asset and Portfolio Management Environmental Value Pyramid • Real Estate/Environmental Value Pyramid Real Estate value exceeds remedlatloi cost Upside down projects 6EPA F Mer inal,,// Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 2 ------- Two Perspectives • Different perspectives on same property • Shared terminology; different meanings • Risk • Due Diligence • Time • Residential • Need to communicate effectively a &EPA r Engaging Developers : A Risky Business Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 3 ------- MONEY” Who is the Real Developer ? • Developer Adds Value Equity: • must have money at risk • Ownership: • must have control of site • FEnancing: • must have financial capability to complete project • Tenant/User: • must have tenant or capacity to attract tenant/user The Role(s) of the Developer Planner Promoter Negotiator Anaiyst Creator Promoter Provider Borrower Negotiator Promoter Employer Client Manager 6EPA r User s Public Gov/Neighbors Financial Entities Development Team Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 4 ------- Types of Developers/Developments • Residential • K. Hovn-3r1 rl • Toil Brothers • Retail • Mills Cotporat on • Taulman Centers •BGI • Office • Mack-Call • Tishman-Spever • Mixed use • Related Companies • Avalon Bay • Build to suit/ Industrial • ussc Co. Developers • Buyers of Contaminated Real Estate • Private Equity Purchasers • Spedafty Development Companies • Local Industrial Dev&opers • Conversion Specialists- from industrial to commerc Ial or to retail/residential/mixed use What is a Proforma? A statement that represents the probable future net operating income of an investment property. This could also be called an: Operating or Cash Flow Statement Income & Expense Analysis APOD (Annual Property Operating Data) 6EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 5 ------- EPA • Improvements 284,000 ft’ industrial building • Site Location Sarasota, Florida along 1 75 • Size * 84 acres • Historic Use • Manufacturing Examp ar o ’1 DI • Redevelopment Plan: • Renovate existing building for office and light industilal use • Frontage.to be restaurants, botei and highway orienteii retail • Back acreage to be big box retail or distribution Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 6 ------- Example: Sarasota • Acquisition Deal: • Acquire and and building for $10 miflion • $3 million remediation • Seller provided with insurance-backed indemnification • Seller achieved appraised value rernediation costs Example: Sarasota Exit Strategy: a Improve groundwater treatment system to reduce cleanup time to under five years a Sell retail and industrial parcels when clean a Lease existing building • Refinance or sell when fully occupied 6EPA Example: Sarasota II • Environmental Issues: • Active RCRA, HSWA permits and consent order • Groundwater & SO contamination on and offsite • 45 acre TCE plume • Removing Stigma Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 7 ------- EPA • Finance 101 Acqu non Cost • Land • Attorneys • Insurance • Development Cos • Hard xsts • Soft Costs • Leverage • Capitalization Rate Introduction to leverage EPro$.ctC! . Ace.Isitlm. SG* Costs, d Costs, RmsdllIor Carry Costs Toil Pro sct Costs ul 5100,0 (X) Nat Op.rs6nq Incosos (1101) Gross Opsiating EitpflS 5 Nat Op .rating flconrs $10,000. Cait on Cali Op.ralng RSim NOtPro )sct Costs $1C000/$100 ,000 10% L.v.roq.20% Dosn (Eq ty of $20,000). éô%Mor ($80,000)M 6% Gross V ome $14000 Eop.n s ss N iC i iF1on $ 200 Ls .d n Nut Ccol FIoWE ity $5,2 $20.000 26% Pr*ol Valu. and CapNuIlzalon NOVC.p Rut. Prc sct Si. Viii. $10 ,00Q 10 Sarasota Prolorma •n = ‘----“ is,M1,IioPW $&Mji* $100000 Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 8 ------- &EPA Value and Cap Rates Value (V) = Net Operating Income (NO! ) Capitalization Rate (R) $1,000,000 = 5120.000 12 % $1,500,000 = 5120,000 8% $ 857,143 = $120,000 14% Value and Cap Rate 0 • Rate for typical property types • Downtown office 8 5% • Suburban Office 9 1% • Industnal 8.9% • Research & Development 9 2% • Apartments 8.5% • Full-service Hotel 9 8% • Limited-service hotel 111% • Community Shopping Center 9 1% • Regional Mall 8.5% Value (V) = Net Operating Income (NOl ) Capitalization Rate (R) Example. $12,500,000 (V) $Q0J (f 1O ) 8% Capitalization Revisited 100,000 sf Office building Gross Rent $30 /sf 10 floors - 10,000 sf each Opel Expense $20/sf NO! = $10/sf • Tenant for I fir wants deal or 528/sf NOl would be $8/sf • It remaining floors were rented at $30/st that lowers the annuai NOl by $20,000 - tiom S 1,000,000 to 980,000 Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 9 ------- 6EPA .e2* Example: Sarasota fl SP.$ISPuF M. u__a impact of .1...1u.. .. .nvironmen a Increases and Delay I2at’. .. - . The r mcdiation costs 52,000.000 - ‘ ‘‘ - more and ‘ ei. sr ua. o tmated to tak 2 t1 l years lonqer l u _ A l _I ’ — I c , .. .e1. s i las Example: Sarasota — . .._...... ““ ‘ “ • What if the msD.,,n, u remediatuon takes longer • What if the market softens u_,.. ,. . .- _ , , •,u_ • Rental rate drops • - 1* 11w to $15 sr from 1BPSF. Th capitalization rate on aIe rises to 9 5% from 6 5% Financing Sources and Uses • Sources ‘ , . — and uses - i.. . s.._ Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 10 ------- 6EPA Pl IC 1 I i 1 vi t Mo lIflOQIW Si n 1 fmanang taken mat :I The Deal Structure I I eeI4. Soti Co, .eifliona PJUI85C(J ri n r Otitil Rtistnjcturttd Some Unconventonal firmnang taken out II How Finance Drives Deals Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 11 tJ i E’ ra Deal Is sold Major Wall St tim purchases den Permtinont f tnancu t9 - all cash taken out of the deal ------- odule2 Market Analysis—How the Pros and Locals Decide What to Build ------- &EPA • Market Analysis - How the Pros and Locals Decide What to Build MODULE 2 II The Real Estate Cycle Recovery t Peak 4 Trau Downturn Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 12 ------- Market Analysis and Feasibility • Who will be the end-user • What price will end-user pay • The impactof stigma • Predevelopment marketing • Build-to-Suit What is a Market Analysis • The purpose of a market analysis is to identify opportunities for growth and development within the market. • Three key questions should be answered by the study: 1. Will there be users to rent or buy the proposed product? 2. How quickly and at what rent or price will the proposed project be absorbed in the market? 3 How night the oroject be planned or marketed t make it more cornpetiti e in its market? Who Uses a Market Analysis i _ •. . t . 6EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 13 ------- Different Kinds of Studies • What are the different kinds of studies? • Studies that focus on the market include: • Analysis of local economies • Market analysis • Marketability analysis • Studies that focus on individual decisions include: • Feasibility analysis: Most often related to financial feasibility. • Investment Analysis: Evaluates a specific property as a potential investment. Market Analysis Process • Identify objectives • Determine methodology What data is available • How is data measured • Collect data • Primary • Secondary • Analyze data • Growth trend analysis • Supply I demand analyes • Draw conclusions ‘Market Dath< - How to Find it • Pnmary • Drive by look at the area • Interview - talk with people • Secondary Data • Professional / Trade Organizations • Brokerage community • Census data Town / County records • Government agencies • Chamber of Commerce • Data Vendors 6EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 14 ------- 6EPA What Drives Demand? • Apartments • # of households, ace, income, inrerest rates, affordability, apartment rents, housing prices • Office • t mpiovment in ndustries wiLt a Piiçjh perccntaçjt of office woricers ( ttornuvs, accountants, engineers, r surance, etc.) • Warehouse • C p cyrnent in ndustries tti use warehouses (wholesaling, trucking. distribution, assembly, etc.) • Retail heusehoid income, age gender, population, s ze and Lastes/preferences a... tj C*a*•.i , Sa accurate land use picture 1 I • Vacancy rates • Interest rates/availability of financing • Age and quality of existing stock • Construction costs • Land costs Was w e us’ iiiiIiIIlIIii Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 15 ------- &EPA Property types that have longer construction times have more severe cycles Construction Time 6-18 months 18-24 months 18-24 months 24-48 months • Apartments • Si urban garden walk-up • Urban mid, high-rise • Office • Ssturban low-rise • Csoniid,highrrse Reta • Strip/stand-alone 6-12 months • Neghborhood/communfty 12-24 months • Enclosed malls 36-48 months Warehouse • Suburban, single level 6-12 months . Site Assets and Constraints Reuse Assessment • Property features • Topography, natural features • Property location and access • Relation to highways and traffic patterns • Relationship in region • Stigma — not just environmental • Environmental constraints II • Property Charactenstics • Acreage • Topography • Existing improvements • Infrastructure • Zoning • Physical setting • Property features • Property location and Access • Nerghbonng land use and municipal development plans Ownership and Use • Current and historical of past uses • Ownership • Current owner or purchaser preferences and plans I Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 16 ------- 6EPA • Economic Synergies Economic trends Reuse Assessment • Growing industries • Changing markets • Demographic trends • Popu$ation thanges and patterns • Opportunities for public/private partnerships • Available incentives and programs • Real Estate Market Land Use Matrix — A..t - 1oc io iNiigs it — wer — A,IjtIe P r Rj tr Land U ,. 0 0 K. U d mdus0K. Rind G_ !P W * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * F Develop Land Use Scenarios II Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 17 ------- 6EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 18 ------- Market Reports • Geographic Focus • National trends • Major urban markets • Related suburbs • Data • Vacancy rates • Rental rates • Market activity, absorption • Construction activity • Outlook • Property types • Office • Warehouse • Multi -family • Single family • Industrial • Retail The Economic Picture Metro Atlanta Office Market • Metro Atlanta Office Market 1Q 2008 • Vacancy rates steady • Reduced activity; leasing has leveled off • Net absorption fell a Strong population growth spurs continued construction Nø EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 19 ------- 6EPA Metro Atlanta Office Market Metro Atlanta Industrial Market • Industrial Market 1Q 2008 • Decreased level of activity • Steady leasing; lower sales New construction primarily outside submarkets Metro Atlanta Industrial Market L r U • * 1* “ . _ 4 .’ t . * I P ‘% . * * * • 4% w :% * M* *c_ ** ? JINI *.* .* •_ , .sø: U’ ._ø* *t a* ‘. . II t ** * cj _ • _, * * k I *- 1II A UI 1U WSI4 D V* , I SI1SI III3t ‘1k’. 4 M U I1 — •‘ l* v* UN.IM tL &WW k • Atlanta Office Market 1Q 2008 1 F F1• ‘F h 4 U’ Oflcm Vac .ncy R**b U ‘& o. e o( the D; t , by Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 20 ------- 6EPA Southeast Retail Marke • Snapshot of the Southeast Retail Market 2008 • Atlanta subur ban retail continues to expand • Columbia developers are struggling • Greenville-Spartanbi rg major projects or’ hoid • Jacksonville land pnces are stable • Miami Soi.tl’ Beach remains strong • Mobile retail market hds stabilized, limited growtl • Nashville has mirirnal new constrr ction • Orlando inline shop space has 5lowed • Richmord has 3 7 million s’ coming online • Tampa’s new retail is being developed on a pre- leased basis Warehouse Space • Snapshot of Southeast Warehouse Market 2008 • Atlanta vacancy above the U S average • Broward County absorbed nearly 500,000 sf • Charicston multimodal logistics project in works • Greenville-SpartanbLrg attractive for distnbution • Jacksonville-la’port terminal expansions continue • Miami continued demand for warehouse space • Memphis has neariv 3 3 million sf ft of new space • Mobile container terminal openirg next summei • Nashville warehouse sector remains in high demand ‘C” ‘-4 Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 21 ------- odule3 The Planning Process: Highest and Best Use vs. What will be Permitted ------- • The Planning Process: Highest and Best Use vs. What will be Permitted? MODULE 3 Conceiving the Project • Highest and best use Mixed use/commercial/residential • Reuse Assessment • Developers start with the current planning and zoning • Historic use patterns • Want to build what the market wants • Creativity • • • 3 Alternatives for Selling the Property 1. Sell the property to investors who would then lease it out. 2. Sell the property for a redevelopment into residential condominiums, 3. Sell the property to an end user. a. &EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 22 ------- 6EPA Determining Highest and Best Use 1. Sell to investors • Cu’ ent Market Rerts are I0/sqLIare foot • Current Opeiatl9g Uxpei’ses a c $3/sq foot • Annt ,al Net Opernting Incom Gross Rents (30,000 Sf x $10/sf) $300,000 Operating Expenses (30,000 Sf x $3/sf) 90.000 Net Operating Income (NOl) $210,000 • How much is that income stream worth? Determining Highest and Best Use 2. Sell for redevelopment into condos • Cost of Development $39,836 ,000 • Acquisition $ 2,000,000 • Other Costs $37,836,000 • Proceeds From Sale ($250/sf x 180,000sf) $45,000,000 - Potential Profit $ 5,164,000 Determining Highest and Best Use 3. Sell to an End User Two offers were secured from end users • $2,600,000 - $2,700,000 • Costs to present owner. • move to another location for $400,000 • pay a brokerage commission of $100,000 • Net Proceeds $2,200,000 Selling the property to the end user is therefore the highest and best use ‘ ‘-S 9-, SM .. Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 23 ------- Planning • How can planning help? • remove impediments • create value in site • gain buy-in • make best use of site assets • create new assets EPA I- • Planning Strategies • Assemble Parcels • Make use of natural features/resources • Parcel Site • Create synergies between sites • Create transportation assets \‘ t A • Environmental: topography, geology, water, wetlands, soils, vegetation • Use Categories: residential, commercial, industrial, institutional • Intensity: density, size, setbacks • Character: historic, design • Access: transportation, visibility • Legal: Ownership, restrictions, property rights, zoning II Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 24 ------- Land Use in general, there is a Planning Department with decision making guided through: - Planning Commission made up of local representatives, usually advisory to a City Council and Boards Zoning Variances: - Board of Appeals aka Board of Adjustments handles variances where zoning presents a financial hardship 6EPA r 1 Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 25 ------- EPA a - — • Conventk iaI Zonkig • .k ’4. •.- ! - Transect Zoning Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 26 ------- &EPA Real Estate For Regulators After 4 A. 44 Shopfront & Awning Section II — Page 27 ------- GEPA Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 28 ------- Before the Site Plan • Conduct site analysis Physical Attributes and Constraints • topography • physical access to site • site relationship to region • subsurface geology • wetlands • utilities • Obtain current survey to use as engineering base ‘-4 Zoning Analysis • Conduct zoning analysis • review zoning code • permitted uses • area and buik regulations • perform build-out analysis • Identify potential zoning amendments or revisions • Identify required permits and approvals • Requirements vary state to state, county to county and town to town Site Plan Design • Site planning is multi-phase process • Many iterations are completed as the plan goes through the approval and permitting process • What is included in a site plan? • Site Layout Grading & Utilities • Landscape & lighting • Storm water management • Wetlands delineation, if applicable ,_ (\ Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 29 &EPA ------- 6EPA Required Approvals and Special Permits • Approvals • Situ Plan AJ)prcraal (oCal Planninu Bciard 3r COmmbcIQfl) • Su dr son Appic,vei (local Plernirg Boa d o Coi miss ot-) • onng Arnendmen (local Zorlng f3oaid of Appeals) • Spetia bSe pstnl (loca ZBA) • Fnvironrnent i lrpoct M lycis arlc 1 ipprova (Lcad auorr’s — local p am ng oodrd or Stjiti envuronm€n sl rt’gulatuTy • Potential Required Permits • Water Supp Perm I Stat Or cot fl DO’l Or a e envlronrnenel regu atoly agencY) • Was ewater I 1e3:mert System DecmI (Sza c or couI’t’: DOll or state env ronmenta recu atory agenq,) • Storm water Porrnt (State en ’. ’ rorinertta regu a.crv aoenq ) • W. tlar ’ds pr’rnirts (State W l idc cm r. USACOF ‘emit) a; Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 30 ------- odule4 Deal Structure: The Real State Transaction ------- MODULE 4 • Deal Structure: The Real Estate Transaction Deal Structure 9. • Buyer! Seller Agreements • Informal • Term Sheet • Formal • Option • Purchase and Sale Agreement (Deposit) • Letters of Confidentiality Addressing Liability Protection • Contractual/Private Mechanisms • Regulatory assurances • Environmental insurance • Institutional controls 6EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section 11—Page 31 ------- Financing Phases • Land Acquisition • Special terms for contaminated sites • Purchase money mortgages/joint venture • Construction • Including remediation • Permanent Sources of Capital Debt ncing Phases High/Medium Risk Meditrn Risk flWZ23fWW flf- flg ow Risk - Co!w. t w.k 6EPA r • Addressing Liability Protection: Contractual/Private Mechanisms • Preliminary & Pre-closing Agreements • Representations & Warranties • Indemnifications • Environmental Covenants • Allocating Financial Risk Land Construction Peffnanent Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 32 ------- 6EPA Settlement Documents I Purchase and Sale agreement 2 DeposIt Escrow Agreement 3 Environmental Escrow and Remediation Agreement a Legal Description of Property b Copy of Trenuter Act Form III Filing C Initial Environmental Rmilediatlon Plan d Copy of Indemnily Agreement e Purchaser’s Proposal for Environmental insurance I Purchaser’s Proposal for Pollution Uability Insurance q Descnption of Environmental Worli h Copy of Latter of Credrl I Copy of EnvsoScience Consultants Contract I Indemnity Agreement a Nat Worth Letter — Ancona b Net Worth Letter — Javelo c Net Worth Letter - Sutton 5 CertifIcate of Conversion 6 Warranty Deed 7 Conveyance lax Stalements a Stale b Local 8 Assignment of Leases Settlement Documents (cont’d) 9 FIRPTA Affidavit 10 Oosirig Statement 11 Seter’s Axtides of Organization 12 Seller’s Consent so Actien 13 Seller’s Celillcate of Legal Existence II Certificate of Legal huistence for Seller’s Managing Member 15 Purdiatars LLC Operalirig Agreement ie Purchaser’s Consent and Resolution I Purchaser’s Certificate of Legal Esistence 18 Survey 19 Owner’S Affidavit 20 Affidavit re Targetedi 21 Phase Il/Ill Environmental Assessment 22 Tenant Estoppels 23 Landlord EstopSel 24 List of Estoppels Delivered in January 20004 25 Notices to Tenants 26 DEP’s Post•Clonng Adurowledgement of Form III Filing 27 DEP’s Post’Oosin Revocation of Convent Order No WC 1501 Example: Cleveland I Cleveland Deal Stnicture Corporate Owner • wanted to sell quickly • already had remediation plan • low price • correctly perceived no big upside opportunity Financial Structure • pre-arranged funding sourCes • included conventional mortgage and mezzanine debt • resulting in 95% leverage Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 33 ------- Example: Cleveland • Environmental liability structure • PRP group led by corporate owner kept soil and water contamination responsibility but used Ohio brownfields program including area-wide groundwater plan. • Buyer responsible for above ground” remediation, included asbestos, lead and wood block flooring. • Both turned out somewhat more expected than projected — but not extraordinary. • Buyer has Pollution Legal Liability insurance. • Both cleanups done in 4 years as required by contract 9. EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 34 ------- 6EPA • Site Location Cleveland, Ohio, East Side. within 2 r. II • Size & Improvements • 57 acres • 758,000 - 3 buildings • Historic Use • Manufacturing, warehousing • I building having small office component Environmental Issues • Lead paint/dust, asbestos • Subsurface solvents, metals. PCB’s. hydrocarbons • Asbestos in underground tunnel system The Strategy: • Favorable tax treatment • Assistance on remediation • Met with neighbors • Security • Renamed Nottingham Business Park • Marketed through broker Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 35 ------- 6EPA Example: Cleveland Acquisition Purchase as is $500,000 solt COStS 1; a legal. etc 5100.000 600,000 Probable remediatlon costs .tbo o ground 5700.000 borne ground 700 000 General fis.up costs primmsi landscaping $2 Q .QQ 250 000 Environmental Insurance cost of premium S 75 000 75.000 cc buf t ,cIi & 6aen $1. 5OO Example: Cleveland Rohabbing good building. $10.51 s160,000 51.600 000 51,600,000 Carrying conic acquisition 1 yr 7% 42 000 other Syenr at 7t i 91.875 teacing comm s .v ..s. ,.i , 160.000 293,875 R.I b iog.M n tttg $L 875 Total project costs escludtng bldgs I & Example: Cleveland Total value of project excluding bidgs I & 2 Not uf buildIng 3 net rentel of $4/sf (i60 000 vs $4)— S 640000 capital value of vol — 5640.000 — $ 4 571.429 cap rate 14% morgtn between total costs and total value 154571.429 $3 518987) S 1.05244? p Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 36 ------- 6EPA Example: Cleveland • Baggage In Deal • Not unusual to have components that do riot work • Building #1 440.000 sf • Short term NOl of 5190 000 • Retnediatiori costs S350.000 • Other asperises $200 000 • Annual carrying costs 5200.000 • Budding #2 180,000sf High bays • Sold in Year 4 $750,000 • Remediatlon costs $350 000 • Carrying coit -4 yrs $360,000 • Plus brokerage Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 37 ------- odule5 Deal Structure: The Impact of Liability .1 ------- 6EPA • Deal Structure: The Impact of Liability MODULE 5 11 Developers • Buyers of Contaminated Real Estate • Pnvate Equity Purchasers • Specialty Development Companies • Local Industrial Developers • Conversion Specialists- from industrial to commercial or to retail/residential/mixed use The Upside Down Property Acquisition cost + Environmental cleanup costs ÷ Other environmental liabilities Value of the Site Clean + site development + taxes and liens ÷ Soft costs/marketing/planning Value of the Development Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 38 ------- EPA Small, Large, Tough, Isolated and Ugly • Location, Location, Location • A contaminated site in a good location is relatively easy • Ris¼ issues are more manageable when tt’e market analysis is positive. What happens when the market analysis is bordeiline? • How can redevelopment at occur on marginally or negatively valued properties’ • What strategies can be used to create value’ Risk Management • Every developer approaches risk in their own way. • How does the developer identifles, controls and transfers risk ri the development of contaminated property • Caution: Developers may not manage risks in the same way as regulators Liability is considered a risk Where in the Process are the Risks? • Purchase Phase • Quantifying Remedrabon costs • understanding reaulatory pathway • Can be insured’ • Can lea) sbi wQr • Building Phase • Unknowns • Tin’irq uncertainty • Cost over runs • Exposure • Improcer disposa • Regulatory change • Permanent Financing • No further act’on • Change ii regulatory prcces . • Impact o’ ns ituflonai COfl•jOl s • Moniionng costs • Role of insurance i, t .s a Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 39 ------- Risk Management Approach • Risk Management Approach Proper sequencing of: • Risk identification • Risk control • Risk transfer ‘-4) Environmental Risk Management Which Risks Concern Developers? • Cost over runs • Deveopers like to piecict the costs early and s a be ow their early cost astirnates • Time delays • 1 l tn proleLt i delayed • interost on loans accumulate, • loan covenants lall into violation, • construaion seasons dose, • CorIStnJCt’on matenal pnccs increase • Legal entanglements • LiaDlity arising from nature of coptamiriatron • Multip e 1-ederdi, State and Lrxal reqjr-ernents • Land use restrictions 6EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 40 ------- EPA Which Risks Concern Developers? • Existing Property and title encumbrances • Lnvestor and Bdnk 5 ivord popertles thdL have e nsting t tie pro,f ems • Stigma and its relative — liability potential • developers m y go beyond ceen up iequirem ’its to minimize either or both stiqm a- potsnti3l liab ity from wntdrnndnLs • Unidentified or Changed Regulatory Requirements • Cause delays a d unanticipated costs Risk Allocation • Contracts can allocate risk amongst the parties in any number of ways • An indemnification is only as good as the financial backing • Banks and lenders are more sophisticated in their review of indemnirications • This increases the capital needed • The government sometimes takes on risk Contract Negotiation: Addressing Liability Protection • Government Assurances • Comfort ietterb • PPAs • Involvemenc in the Deal • Windidli Lien • Allocating Risk Under Superfund • Consent Decrees • Prospective Purc aser Agreements • Comfort Lptters • Contanhulated Aaufer Potty • Lender Liobul ty Amendnienc Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 41 ------- 6EPA Risk Transfer • Types of insurance • Small projects are not always worth insurance • Developer can negotiate for large policies • Who gets coverage? • Selleis, buyers, municipalities, development authoi ities • When is insurance appropnate’ Risk Transfer • The large print granteth and the fine pint taketh away • How to review coverage arid terms • Financing insurance as part of the project cost • The cost of the insurance is added Into the pro forma for the project • Who pays for the Insurance? • It’s all part of the deal 0’ The Process: Contract Negotiation • Environmental Insurance policies can be used stand alone or supplement an indemnity agreement • Third-party bodily injuly and property damage • Remedial action costs • Legai defense expense • Business interruption and Costs of project delay • Remedial action cost cap or stop bos • Coiiaterai value or secured oeditor ioss • Environmental condition(s) at third party disposal sites resuiting from wastes generated at property Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 42 ------- Risk Reduction Developers need to know ASAP what their legal liabilities are and how they can protect themselves in the deal. Must factor costs of liability protection into pro forma • Risk —Reward Contract Case Study I EPA F 0 I I Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 43 ------- EPA The Balance Sheet • Former ball bearing plant • Appraised Value- $4.7 mil. • Potential Remedlatlon - $3 to 6 mu. Cost • 70% leased! breakeven • No Interest from Commercial Market Risk Management Historical Consent Orders — • Contaminated Property Transfer • Hustoncal contamination costs exceed property value • Owner’s goal - liquidation - property and the future environmental responsibilities • Remediation will take 10+ years Property Disposition Strategy Manage the environmental risk by selling • Find prospective purchasers willing to complete the environmental work • Establish the current environmental conditions • Clarify sellers objectives and to present those objectives to prospective purchasers. • Evaluate prospective purchasers • Negotiate purchase and sale contract Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 44 ------- Purchase and Sale Contract Remediation plan included: • Transferring existing consent orders • Meeting State Transfer Act requirements • Developing clean up plans • Conducting the clean up and post clean up monitoring • Pursuing responsible parties Terms to Ensure Success Manage environmental nsk with: • Contractual guarantees, • Obligations, • Indemnities, • Representations and warranties; • Establishing a remediation fund; • Financial incentives and penalties; • Insurance; and • Continuing progress review. How Do You Know It Will Work? Testing contractual terms under a variety of scenarios Continue to monitor progress 6EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 45 ------- Suc cess! So far so good... • Developer took over regulatory obligations • Developer and seller cooperated on remediation plan • Developer improved cash flow • Developer located remediation funds 6EPA II ieäköutäseStudy S Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 46 ------- Development Areas Midville Enterprise Market Analysis • Site Characteristics • Site Details: • Size: 30 acres • Current Zoning: CD-4 • Location • Intersection of Midville Beltway and Major Arterial road • In northwestern neighborhood - to the north of central business district...mix residential and commercial • Transportation • Major interstate loop cirdes city, most heavily traveled highway in Midville • Light rail station located onsite • 8minutestodowntown • 2 Bus Lines to downtown and to neighborhoods North &EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section H — Page 47 ------- 6EPA r Midville Enterprise Market Analysis 4 Major Universities I, • Geographic Location • Major Metropolitan City • Midwestern United States a Population • 335,5000 • 20% growth since 2000 census • City Attributes • Served by two largest highways a International Airport Midville Enterprise Market Analysis • Psychographic Groups New BegInnings • 1Md. 35. 529w Woo .. 00010 • Rs .( . .o . — No. rnwablarn oso. ©ww Grey Power • Oo l& $1 .00 Woo,,. • Ho.,. oo.*g .Obo,b.ab 0+0 _ ‘9 —. o0+ 0 ,.Nolala ,I • Cob, .o.o. , ., —, • Population Data income Midville Enterprise Market Analysis a $69,800 Median Family Income • This is 66% growth from 1990 • Highest MFI in the State Population Growth a 13,301 new residents from 2004 to 2005 • 20% growth since 2000 • Population expected to increase by 55.9% by 2030 Population Density • Currently 2.67 persons per acre • Expected to grow to 4.6 persons per acre by 2030 Young Influentials bso.doo , ,oyA o ,L 9,Iohaaa+ 1.o5.. ab 10 10 0 0 Subiatan Sprawl td . 25 41. 190.00+0, . . M .0+oo. Do... • Jog,. Pla ’d 1000+10. o+1. , —, o.a Home Sweet Home 0900 110+100010. lo.d 10 110 1S. G01 lb Boy TV lab, 5.009010.9010 ,,w+1s.. .101010 bod. 5 . . *510 o.lbjoNo II Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 48 ------- 6EPA Midville Enterprise Market Analysis • Employment • Employment • 3.8% Unen ployrnent • has fallen by 1.6% since 2003 • Employers • State Government is the largest employer • Technology is the largest growing industry and has the largest growth in employment • 4 major universities and colleges are located within the Midville metro area • Growth • In 2004 49 major companies anno inced new operations or expansion in Midville. • This growth is expected to add 1906 jobs in 2005 Permitted Uses • Retail Sales • Wholesale or showro • Commercial Office • Hotels, Motels • Commercial Office • Governmental auildIngsj l Midville Planning Considerations • Development Area 20% Circulat on 15% Open Space • t 5% Maximum Coverage • Bulk Limits • Retail • max 20,000 sf per acre • Commercial Office • max 20,000 sf per acre • V’larehouse/ Industrial • max 15,000 sf per acre • Residential • max 15 dwelling units per acre S CD -4 S I L • Warehouse • Light Manufacturing • Multi-family Residential Real Estate For Regulators Section II— Page 49 ------- Midville Planning Considerations • Parking Spaces Required Residential — 1 per unit • Retail — 4 for every 1000 Sf • Office 4 for every 1000sf • Warehouse/Industrial 2 per 1000 Sf • Height • Retail: 2 story max • Commercial Office: 2 story max • Warehouse/Industrial: 1 story max • Residential: 3 story max Midville Redevelopment Alternative EPA I- Characteristics of a Well Planned Site Open Space / —TOO Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 50 ------- Midville Redevelopment Scheme A Scheme A Pro Forma • A 20,000,000 asking price • High density mixed use live-work-shop development • Adaptive reuse of the existing building with new stories added • Area 1: open space • Area 2: 86400 st resider.ta space • Area 3: • Renovated space = 248,000 sf retail; 89,000 sf industrial • New cor ruction = 138,800sf retail; 11,800 Sf office • Area 4: 8640() si residential • Area 5 13000 sf office; 354,S00 si residential • Area 6: 54,400 sf retail; 25Z,800 f Cffic ; 36,000 Sf residentlal • Cash on Cash Return of 33.62% EPA r Midville Redevelopment Scheme B Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 51 ------- Scheme B Pro Forma • A 20,000,000 asking price • Predominantly residential • Existing building demolished • Area 1: 154,800 sf residentia’ • Area 2: 163,200 sf residential • Area 3: 172,800 sf residentia • Area 4: 86,400 sf residential • Area 5: 165,600 sf retafi; 481,200 sf residential • Area 6: 115,200 sf retail; 307,200 sf residential • Cash on Cash Return of 10.75% Midville Redevelopment Scheme C Scheme C Pro Forma • A 20,000,000 asking price • High density mixed use commercial development • Adaptive reuse of the existing building with new stories added a Area 1: • Area 2: • Area 3: 57,600 sf retail with 57,600 sf office 25,600 sf retail with 25.600 sf office 89,000 sf industrial; 163,700 sf retail; 84,300 sf office • Area 4: 86,400 Sf retaii with 86,400 sf office • Area 5:173,400 sf retail with 173.400 sf office • Area 6: 58,400 sf retail with 58,400 sf office Cash on Cash Return of 52. 7 0% 6EPA r Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 52 ------- BREAKOUT EXERCISE #1 Plan the Redevelopment • Deds on: Can this development make money given what you now know? • Review the alternatives Schemes A, B, C • Review the pro formas for Schemes A, B, C • Apply what you have learned to pick an option • Report on what option you chose + why (2 mm) 6EPA Environmental Impact Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 53 ------- BREAKOUT EXERCISE #2 Liability and Risk • Discuss specific liability and risks that need to be addressed prior to closing on the site • Identify potential alternatives to address the identified liabilities and risks • Develop a risk management plan to address the identified liability and risks BREAKOUT EXERCISE #3 Dealing With The Unexpected • Discuss potential alternatives to keep the light rail station on track • Develop a plan to address the concerns of the bank and Regional Transit Authority V Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 54 6EPA ------- odule 6 Financing the Deal: Sustainability and Project Finance ------- MODULE 6 • Financing the Deal — Sustainability and Project Finance Impact of Time on the Deal .2 Year Development Schedule Yea, 0 1 2 Total Purchase PrIce (1,000,000) (1,000,000) Cash Flow (500,000) 200,000 (300,000) Sale PrIce 2,000,000 2,000,000 Cash Flow (1,000,000) (500,000) 2,200,000 100.000 Rewni or lnvuutmnt 48.7% RR 28.4% Impact of Time on the Deal . What happens when it takes longer Year 0 1 2 3 4 Purchase Price (1,000.000) Cash Flow • . (500,000) 200,000 Sets PrIce 2.000.000 Cash Flow (1,000,000) (500.000) 2,200,000 Rh 13.1% EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section H — Page 55 ------- Sources of Funds Revisited — — a _ I n_ , U- iitafl an. aM z- I : ij :;; S TW SSST. rrn s ’ risn Options for Cashing Out • Sell and pay capital gains • Refinance debt and pay no taxes Cashing Out ft quisltion Purchase Pnce S 9,000000 Insur , Attianeys. etc 200000 Hard Costs Remeduatuon 300.000 Rehab of Existing Bldg (210 ,000w X’S S 151s 1) $ 4,050,000 Roads & Utilities 200,000 Soft Costs kchltects, Land Use 650,000 Real Estate &okers IQQ.QQQ 8% aS acculsuflon costs(2yrs) 1,472.000 10% of all other costs (lyr) 530,000 Carr’,ing Costs Total Pro3ect Costs 2002000 5 16 . 502 ,000 Real Estate For Regulators . Section II — Page 56 S 9.200,000 4550,000 750,000 &EPA ------- &EPA Cashing Out Value: Gross Income (270,000sf x $18/sf) $4,860,000 Operati Expenses ($10 59sf) Net Operating Income (NOl) $2,000,000 Sale Pnce = NOl/Cap. Rate $2 MM/8 5% $23.5 MM Project Cost i6.5 MM Potential Profit on SaleS $7 MM Should the Developer Sell’ Is There Another Option’ NOI/ Debt Coverage = Cash Available for Debt Service 2.0 MM/i 2 = 1 65 MM Cashing Out Interest rate of 6.0%, 25 year amortization penod Maximum achievable mortgage= $21.3 MM $16.5 MM S21.3 MM Total CostS Total Mortgage Equity in Property $0 Cash Taken Out of Deal $5.2 MM The Role of Institutional Owners • Institutional Owners • REIT5 (Real Estate Investment Trusts) • Pension Funds • Insurance Companies • Common Elements • Long term time frame (10 years or more) • Well capitalized • Professionally Managed Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 57 ------- Institutional Controls and Permanent Financing • Does the Control place a burden on the lender in the event of foreclosure? • Does the Control limit resale options in the future? • Is the Control communicated to all stakeholders? • Is the Control easily modified based on changed conditions? a... Institutional Controls • Administrative or legal mechanisms used to protect public health and the environment • Control exposure • On-going remediation • Change in Ownership • Change in use • New standards • New conditions Institutional Controls • Pnvate Controls • Deed restrictions * Restrictive covenants • Easements • Regulatory Controls • Zoning • Permitting a Consent orders • Administrative orders • Environmental Covenants 6EPA Real Estate For Regulators Section H — Page 58 ------- I * Property Life Cycle Process 3 H.’ St k.h Id. Industrlalizabon’ ‘ ‘ TIms q I C ,rrent Cnndsto Putws Cond b Orgstat Condttion 6EPA I fT i’i j’.’ [ 1 L’ TiT i] ‘The best form of InstItutional control Is a financially-sound redevelopment.” Barry Hersh Real Estate For Regulators Section II — Page 59 ------- Section III ------- Section I I I Presentation Graphs ------- a’ * Presentation Graphs - Finance 101-Sarasota Proforma Category Item Amount Purchase Price (Appraised value - remediation cost) $10,200,000 Insurance, Attorneys $200,000 Total Acquisition Cost $10,400,000 Hard Costs Remediation $3,000,000 Rehabilitation of Existing Building 270,000 SF @ $15 PSF $4,050,000 Subdivision Roads and Utilities $2,200,000 Soft Costs Architects, Engineers, Land Use Attorneys $937,500 Real Estate Brokers $300,000 Carrying Costs 8 % of Acquisition Cost for two years $1,664,000 10% of all other costs, average one year $1,048,750 Total Development Costs $13,200,250 Total Project Costs $23,600,250 Project Sale Price Upon Completion Sale price of existing building Income 270,000 SF @ $18 PSF $4,860,000 Expenses $2,860,000 Net Operating Income $2,000,000 Capitalization Rate 8 5% Sale Price $23,529,412 Land Sales 50 acres @ $250,000/acre $12,500,000 Total Sale Price of Project $36,029.4 12 Net Profit (Total Sale Price of Project - Total Project Costs) $12,429,162 Cash on Cash return 52.67% Simple annual return over two years 26.33% Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section ill Page 1 ------- * Presentation Graphs - Introduction to Leverage Project Costs Acquisition. Soft Costs. Hard Costs, Remediation, Carry Costs Total Project Costs of $100000 Net Operating Income (NO I) Gross Income $14,000 Operating Expenses ($4,000) Net Operating Income $10,000 Cash on Cash Operating Return NOl/Project Costs $10 ,000/$100 ,000 10% Leverage: 20% Down (Equity of $20,000), 80% Mortgage ($80,000) at 6% Gross Income $14,000 Expenses (S4.000) Debt Service (Carry) $4800 Net Cash Flow $5,200 Leveraged Return Net Cash Flow/Equity $5 200/$20,0O0 26% Project Value and Capitalization NOl/Cap Rate = Project Sale Value $10 ,000/.10 $100,000 Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section III Page 2 ------- EPA Presentation Graphs - Sarasota: Pro Forma Impact of Cost Increases Category Item Cost Costs Acquisition Purchase Price $10,200,000 Appraised value minus remediation costs Insurance, Attorneys $200,000 Total Acquisition Cost $10,400,000 Development Costs Remediation $5,000,000 Two yrs and 67% more Rehabilitation of Existing Building 270,000 sf at $15/sf $4,050,000 Subdivision Roads and Utilities $2,200,000 Soft Costs: Architects, Engineers Land Use Attorneys $937,500 Real Estate Brokers $300,000 Cost of Carry $5,825,500 8 % of Acq for four years 10 % of all other costs, average 2 years Total Development Costs $18,313,000 Total Projects Costs $28,713,000 Project Value Upon Completion Value Value of existing Building at sale 270,000 sf © $18 = $4,860,000 NOl = $2,000,000 Cap rate 8.5% $23,529,412 Land Sales 50 acres © 250,000/acre $12,500,000 Total Value of Project $36,029,412 Cash on Cash return $7,316,412 25.48% Annual return over 2 years 12.74% Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section III Page 3 ------- EPA Presentation Graphs - Sarasota: Pro Forma when the Market Softens Category Item Cost Costs Acquisition Purchase Price $10,200,000 Appraised value minus remediation costs Insurance, Attorneys $200,000 Total Acquisition Cost $10,400,000 Development Costs Remediation $5,000,000 Two yrs and 67% more Rehabilitation of Existing Building 270,000 sf at $15/sf $4,050,000 Subdivision Roads and Utilities $2,200,000 Soft Costs: Architects, Engineers Land Use Attorneys $937,500 Real Estate Brokers $300,000 Cost of Carry $5,825,500 8 % of Acq for four years 10 % of all other costs, average 2 years Total Development Costs $18,313,000 Total Projects Costs $28.71 3,000 Project Value Upon Completion Value Value of existing Building at sale 270,000 sf c $15 = $4,050,000 NOl $2,000,000 Cap rate 9.5% $21,052,632 Land Sales 50 acres @ 200,000/acre $10,000,000 Total Value of Project $31,052,632 Cash on Cash return $2,339,632 8.15% Annual return over 2 years 4.07% Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section III. Page 4 ------- EPA Presentation Graphs - Financing Sources and Uses Phase Buy Build Build Finance Sell Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 For the Years Ending Dec.2000 Dec.2001 Dec.2002 Dec-2003 Dec-2004 Sources Of Capital Net Operating Gains 1.500.000 1.500.000 Debt Funding Proceeds 5.000.000 5.000.000 12.000.000 Equity Contributions 2.000.000 1 500.000 2,200,000 Net Proceeds from Sale 20.000,000 Defined Sources Of Capital 2,000,000 6,500,000 7.200,000 13,500.000 21,500,000 Required Equity Contributions - - - Total Sources Of Capital $2,000,000 $6,500,000 $7,200,000 $13,500,000 $21,600,000 Uses Of Capital Property Purchase Price 2.000,000 Total Debt Service 500,000 500,000 1.200,000 1.200.000 Tenant improvements 200,000 Leasing Commissions 500.000 Construction and Remediation Costs 6.000.000 6.000.000 Capital Costs & Reserves 20,000 20.000 Retirement & Penalties 10.000.000 12,000,000 Defined Uses Of Capital 2,000,000 6.500,000 7.200.000 11,220,000 13.220,000 Available Cash Flow 2,280,000 8.280,000 Total Uses Of Capital $2,000,000 $6,500,000 $7,200,000 $13,500,000 $21,500,000 Money Taken Out 10,560,000 Money Invested 5,700.000 Profit 4,860,000 Rate ol Return (overall) 85 26% Cash Flow - Equity (2,000,000) (1,500,000) (2,200.000) 2.280.000 8.280,000 Rate of Return (per year. time adjusted) 24 53% Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IllS Page 5 ------- Presentation Graphs - Who Uses a Market Analysis TABLE 1 1 Market Analysis Users and Their Obiectives Objectives Lenders Partners Developers Builders Architects Designers Buyers/ Sellers Property Managers Promotion and initial x marketing efforts. Conimunication with x x local politicians and decision makers for project approval; outreach to land Use and comrnLlnity g upc Employment and x x x relocation of corporate rcnantsib ii yers. Inv estment strategies or x N financing efforts. Project planning and x x x design 1 lang-term. cash flow proicccJons x x x x and financial analysis for investor pro1 tabiliry and kndcr risk assess meat. Due diligence, multiple x x x x levels of review. Managc.nicnr of completed x projects—tenant matters and maintenance. Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section III Page 6 ------- Section IV ------- Section I V Breakout Exercise #1 ------- EPA Group Breakout Exercise #1 Exercise #1: Plan the Development • Plan the Redevelopment • Decision: Can this development make money given what you now know? • Review the alternatives — Schemes A, B, C • Review the pro formas — for Schemes A, B, C • Apply what you have learned to pick an option • Report on what option you chose + why (2 mm) Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 1 ------- EPA Exercise #1: Plan the Development In this exercise, participants should review the case study that follows. The site has been divided into six development areas which contain different characteristics. Three redevelopment schemes have been provided for the site. Each scheme includes redevelopment variations for the six parcel areas Pro formas have also been provided for each of the schemes. Based upon the information provided, breakout groups will choose their preferred redevelopment scheme. Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 2 ------- EPA Case Study MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE The project is located in the northern valley of a second tier metropolitan area located in the interior United States The property has historically been used for manufacturing and associated activities The site was originally developed in 1954 by Brown and Richardson International and operated until 1995. During its operation. BRI manufactured autographic registers, billing machines, knockdown plated furniture, music stands, and other metal stampings The property is bordered on the east by Sixth Street, a multi-lane roadway. A mix of commercial, industrial and office uses are located along Sixth Street West of the property are residential properties. The property is bordered on the south by the Beltway. South of the highway are large clusters of residential properties. Site Address: Sixth Street at the intersection with Beltway Site acreage: Total site is 30 acres Property layout: One tax parcel with interior roads Current zoning: CD-4 Commercial District Improvements: A 350,000 sf manufacturing building is located in the center of the parcel Site Assets: A light transit station is located on the eastern side of the property along Sixth Street Purchase Price: The asking price for the property is $20,000,000. Geographic Location The Midville Enterprise Site is located approximately 4 5 miles from the Central Business District on the northern edge of the metropolitan beltway at the intersection of Sixth Street. The metropolitan area has these characteristics: • Metropolitan City • Population of approximately 335,500 • 20% growth since 2000 census • The city is served by a major beltway and interstate • A light rail passenger train system connects the Central Business District with outlying areas • An international airport is located within the city limits • 4 Major Universities Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 3 ------- EPA MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE CASE STUDY Development Areas The site is separated into SIX development areas by interior roadways. Approximately 90% of the site IS currently covered by building or pavement. Development Area 1: Development Area 1 includes bituminous concrete parking lots and a former waste storage area Development Area 2: Development Areas 2 contains bituminous concrete parking lots previously used to serve the manufacturing plant Development Area 3: Development Area 3 contains the main manufacturing plant which includes a 350,000 square foot concrete block and masonry building The building is in relatively good condition. An asbestos survey identified both friable and non-friable asbestos in floor tile and in the DEVELOPMENT ZONES 1 —6 mastic under floor tile and carpet in the office area and in insulation on water and steam lines boiler equipment. Abatement of these materials must occur prior to renovation or demolition of the building. Costs related to this building will be the responsibility of the developer. The estimated cost of asbestos abatement is $400,000 Development Area 4: Development Area 4 contains bituminous concrete parking lots previously used to serve the manufacturing plant Development Area 5 Area 5 currently contains a 5,000 square foot office/warehouse building that will be demolished prior to sale Costs for this demolition will be borne by the seller Historically, this area has contained various smaller support buildings, as well as manufacturing staging areas, and parking facilities A wastewater treatment facility was previously located in this development area. Development Area 6: Development Area 6 contains bituminous concrete parking lots previously used to serve the manufacturing plant Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 4 ------- MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE CASE STUDY Development Data Population Data • Population as of 2005 was 335,512 • 13,301 new residents from 2004 to 2005 • 20% growth since 2000 • Population expected to increase by 55.9% by 2030 • Population Density • Currently 2.67 persons per acre • Expected to grow to 4 6 persons per acre by 2030 • Income • $69,800 Median Family Income • This is 66% growth from 1990 • Highest MFI in the State • Education 91% of people 25+ years were high school graduates and 50% had a bachelors degree or higher. Employment • 3 8% Unemployment • State Government is the largest employer • Technology is the largest growing industry • 4 major universities and colleges are located within the Midville metro area • In 2004 49 major companies announced new operations or expansion in Midville • Economic growth is expected to add 1906 jobs in 2006. Transportation The city has excellent accessibility from most areas due to the Beltway, a circular highway which rings the city Midville Enterprise Site can be reached from the southern section of the city via the Beltway in approximately 20 minutes. The Midville Enterprise Site is also located between two major local arterial highways that run North/South through the city. These local highways also provide easy and direct transportation to the suburbs. Sixth Street is also served by two major bus lines the lead north to adjacent neighborhood and south to the city center A light rail system is located along Sixth Street, providing passenger and light cargo transportation A station is located on Development Area 6 on the site. The International Airport is served by 11 airlines as well as a number of commuter airlines. The airport has more than 260 daily scheduled departures, providing ample opportunity for business travel and shipping The airport also includes a U.S. Customs Service office and operations for 25 freight companies Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 5 ------- EPA Zoning and Planning Data The Midville Enterprise Site sits on a lot that is zoned as (CD-4) Commercial District. The permitted uses for this zoning classification are as follows: • Retail sales including shopping center • Wholesale or showroom, including auto sales • Hotel, Motel or restaurant • Commercial Office • Government or Public Buildings • Light manufacturing, including printing or publishing, medical and dental laboratories. • Trades (carpentry, plumping other trades) • Warehousing and distribution • Buffer Commercial District, including mixed use multi-family residential. Maximum uses allowed as-of-right : • Office space of 20,000 sf/acre or less with a 3 story maximum • Retail space of 20,000 sf/acre or less with a 3 story maximum • Residential space as multi-family at 20 dwelling units per acre with a 6 story maximum • Industrial space of 15,000 sf/acre single story only, and a minimum of 200 buffer between adjacent uses (not including parking) • Office, retail and residential uses can be combined, but may not exceed the most restrictive requirement per use, i.e., first floor could be retail, second floor could be office (totaling a maximum of 6 stories), and one story of residential above that for a total of 3 stories. Parking Requirements : Zoning regulations dictate the quantity of parking required for each use. Overlapping of parking spaces may be allowed in mixed use developments if parking activities occur at different times of day. However such requests must be approved during the site plan approval process. • Residential uses require one space per developable unit, or 5 spaces per 10,000 sf of space • Retail uses require 40 spaces per 10,000 sf of space • Industrial requires 20 spaces per 10,000 Sf • Office requires 40 spaces per 10,000 sf Real Estate Market Information 2000 — 2004, which has Residential : $1,800 / mo • There has been a 18% increase in housing units constructed between been slightly below population growth • Monthly homeowner costs, for people with mortgages, were $1,503. • Single family housing units account for the greatest sales activity. • Rental units are attractive to young couples, retirees and professionals seeking second residence close to metropolitan center. • Average lease rates for upscale residential townhouses and apartment units (2,000 sf) are $1,750/mo. Retail : $15.50/sf • Retail sales were in excess of $7.8 billion, up from $7.2 billion in the previous year -v Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 6 ------- EPA • Retail sales in the vicinity of the property accounts for 58% of all retail sales in the County. • Retail vacancy rates average to 5.8 percent -- the highest it has been since at least 1997. • Last year was among the busiest for retail developers, who built almost 3.2 million square feet of shops in multi-tenant centers larger than 15,000 square feet throughout the Metro Area. • Average lease rates for retail property rose slightly to $15.5/sf. Office : $18.00 / Sf • Office vacancy rates dropped to 14 2 percent in the second quarter -- the lowest it has been since 2002. • The office market has struggled since the economy took a hit in the early 2000s • The office vacancy rate was 6.5 percent five years ago. but when companies cut back, the vacancy rate began a nine-quarter climb before peaking at 16.5 percent. • New construction plans include: • a five-story, 204000-square-foot office building is to begin construction in 2006. • a six-story 50,000 sf building should open before October. • a 100,500-square-foot office building, the first of five planned buildings. • Average quoted rents rose to $18 36 /sf in the second quarter, the highest the average has been in almost two years. Warehouse/Industrial $5.50 / sf • Warehouse/industrial vacancy rate fell for the third consecutive quarter, to 18.9 percent -- the lowest it has been in almost two years. It’s down from 22.3 percent a year ago. • The regional average quoted rent rose for the first time since 2003, up 8 cents to $5 49/sf Development Assumptions Current Construction Costs per Square Foot Re-Use New Construction Retail $50 Retail $60 Office $80 Office $100 Industrial $30 Industrial $50 Residential $60 Residential $75 Demolition $25 Sf Parking $1,200 space Other Financial Assumption Soft Costs are 20% of Hard Costs Carrying Period for Development is 24 months Interest Rate on Carrying Cost is 8.5% Vacancy rate is 5% Capitalization Rate is 8% Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 7 ------- MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE CASE STUDY Redevelopment Scheme A • Scheme A features a high density mixed use live- work-shop development. • The redevelopment incorporates an adaptive reuse of the existing manufacturing building with additional stories added to the building • A portion of the existing building is opened up to create a new interior road for better circulation • New construction of multi- story buildings takes place on the other development areas. • Scheme A incorporates development of the following space • Development Area 1 open space • Development Area 2: 86.400 sI residential space • Development Area 3: o Renovated space = 248,000 sf retail, 89.000 sf industrial o New construction = 138.800 sf retail, 11.800 Sf office • Development Area 4. 86,400 sf residential • Development Area 5: 136,000 sf office, 354.800 sI residential • Development Area 6 54,400 sf retail, 252,800 sf office. 36,000 sf residential Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 8 ------- DevelopmentscherneAProForma - — PROJECT COSTS Purchase Price Hard Costs $20,000,000 Square feet 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 0 Parking Spots. 0 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 1) Square feetl 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 86,400 Parking Spots 43 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 2) p en A Existing Building Asbestos Removal abatement of materials in building Demolition Square feet! 01 Renovation Costs Retail Industrial Office Residential Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Square feet 248,000 Square feet 89,000 Square feet 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 138,800 Square feetj 0 Square feetl 44,800 Square feetL 0 Parking Spots 2,084 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 3) Square feetl 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 0 Square feet 86,400 Parking spotsl 86 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 4) $400,000 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $50 Cost/sf $30 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 $400,000 $0 $12,400,000 $2,670,000 $0 $0 Development Area I New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking r vprn tA 2 New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/unit $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $75 Cost/unit $1,200 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $6,480,000 $51,600 New Construction $0 $6,531,600 $30,778,800 $6,583,200 Development Area 4 - New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Cost/sf $60 Cost/sf $50 Cost/sf $100 Cost/sf $0 Cost/unit $1,200 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $75 Cost/unit $1,200 $8,328,000 $0 $4,480,000 $0 $2,500,800 $0 $0 $0 $6,480,000 $103,200 Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV - Page 9 ------- [ Development Area 5 New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Square feet O Square feet___________ Square feet 1 136,000 Square feet 1 354,800 Parking Spotsj 1,103 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 5) Cost/sf $62] Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $100 Cost/sf $75 Cost/sf $1,200 $3,264,000 $0 $25,280,000 $2,700,000 $979,200 through 6 _____ Soft Costs % of hard costs 20% CARRY COSTS Purchase Pnce Months Rate $20,000,000 24 8 50% $3,400,000 $27,400,682 Soft + Hard Costs Months Rate $141,180,480 24 8 50% $24,000,682 pTALDEVELOPMENTCoSTs _________ $188,581,162 PROJECT VALUE Industrial Sq Feet 89,000 ___________ Office Sq Feet 433,600 ___________ Retail Use Sq Feet 441,200 __________ Residential per 2000 563,600 ___________ djusted Net Operating Income $20, 158J91 PROJECT VALUE COMPLETED AND OCCUPIED $251,984,888 111111. . I1iiiI II1ITI 3,4o3 Cash on Cash Return 33.62% rDev e l 6 New Construction Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $0 Cost/sf $100 Cost/sf $75 Cost/unit $1,200 $0 $0 $13,600,000 $26,610,000 $1,323,600 Square feet! 54,400 Square feet 0 Square feet 252,800 Square feet 1 36,000 Square feetl 816 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 6) $41,533,600 $32,223,200 $23,530,080 Net Operating Income $$Isf_________ $$Isf $18.00 $$ /sf $15.50 $$Isf $21,600.00 Net Operating Income Less Vacancy 5% $489,500 $7,804,800 $6,838,600 $6,086,880 $21,219,780 $1,060,989 Capitalization Rate 8.00% Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV - Page 10 ------- EPA MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE CASE STUDY Redevelopment Scheme B • Scheme B features a predominantly residential development. • The redevelopment requires demolition of the existing building. • New construction of multi-story buildings takes place on all development areas • Scheme B incorporates development of the following space. • Development Area 1: 154,800 sf residential • Development Area 2: 163,200 sI residential • Development Area 3 172,800 sf residential • Development Area 4. 86,400 sI residential • Development Area 5: 165,600 sf retail: 481,200 sf residential • Development Area 6: 115.200 sf retail: 307,200 sf residential Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 11 ------- rbeveiopment Scheme B Pro Forma PROJECT COSTS Purchase Price $20,000,000 Hard Costs i Areii2]_ 2] 112] New Construction ___________ ____________ Retail Square feetf 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Industrial Square feetL_ 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Residential Square feet 154,800 Cost/sf $75 $11,610,000 Parking Parking Spots 77 Costlunit $1,200 $92,400 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 1) $11,702,400 [ Development Area 2 New Construction ___________ ____________ Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Residential Square feet 163,200 Cost/sf $75 $12,240,000 Parking Parking Spots 109 Cost/unit $1,200 $130,800 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 2) $12,370,800 Development Area 3 Existing BuildIng ___________ Asbestos Removal abatement of matenals in building $400,000 $400,000 Demolition Square feetl 347,0001 Cost /sf $25 $8,675,000 Renovation Costs ___________ ____________ Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 New Construction ___________ ____________ Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Residential Square feet 172800 Cost/sf $75 $12,960,000 Parking Parking Spots 230 Cost/unit $1,200 $276,000 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 3) $22,311,000 New Construction ___________ ____________ Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Residential Square feet 86.400 Cost/sf $75 $6,480.000 Parking Parking Spots 58 Cost/unit $1,200 $69,600 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 4) $6,549,600 Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV - Page 12 ------- Square feet 165600 Square feet 0 , Square feet ________ Square feet 481 .200j Parking Spots 969; Total Hard Costs (Development Area 5) Square feet 115,200j Square feet _____ 0 Square feet _________ Square feet’ - 307,2001 Square feet _____ 6541 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 6) Total Hard Costs for Development Areas 1 through 6 $129,203,400 Soft Costs % of hard costs 20% $25,840,680 TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COSTS PROJECT VALUE Purchase Pnce Months Rate Soft + Hard Costs Months Rate Net Operating Income Less Vacancy 5% $19,100,880 $955,044 $204,801,574 Capitalization Rate Adjusted Net Operating Income $18,145,836 8.00% PROJECT VALUE COMPLETED AND OCCUPIED PROFIT Cash on Cash Return $226,822,950 $22,021,376 1075% Development Area 5 New Construction Development Area 6 New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Cost/sf _____ $50 Cost/sf $0 Cost /s f 1 ______ Cost/sf $75’ Cost/unit $1,200 CostIsf $6O Cost/sf _________ Cost/sf! $0 Cost/sIt $75 1 Cost/sf j $1,200 $8,280,000 $0 $0 $36,090,000 $1,162,800 $6,912,000 $0 $0 $23,040,000 $764,800 $45,532,800 $30,736,800 CARRY COSTS $29,757,494 Net Operating Income $20,000,000 24 1 85O%j $155,044,080 r 24 1 850% ’ ssisf _____ sooo: $$ / sf 1 ___________ $$/sf $15501 $$/sf 1 $21,60000 $3,400,000 $26,357,494 $0 $0 $4,352,400 $14,748,480 Industnal Sq Feet Office Sq Feet Retail Use Sq Feet Residential Use psf 280,800’ L 1,365 ,6 Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites S ctión IV - Page 13 ------- EPA MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE CASE STUDY Redevelopment Scheme C • Scheme C features a high density mixed use commercial development • The redevelopment incorporates an adaptive reuse of the existing manufacturing building with additional stories added to the building. • A portion of the existing building is opened up to create a new interior road for better circulation. • New construction of multi- story buildings takes place on all other development areas • Scheme C incorporates development of the following space. • Development Area 1. 57.600 sf retail with 57.600 sf office • Development Area 2 25,600 sI retail with 25,600 sf office • Development Area 3 89.000 sf industrial, 163,700 sf retail, 84,300 sf office • Development Area 4: 86,400 sI retail with 86.400 sf office • Development Area 5 173,400 sf retail with 173,400 sf office • Development Area 6: 58.400 sf retail with 58,400 sf office Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV— Page 14 ------- LDeveiopment Scheme C Pro Forma ____ J PROJECT COSTS Purchase Price $20,000,000 Hard Costs [ Devei pn iiAr a I - - New Construction __________ __________ Retail Square feet 57,600 Cost/sf [ _ $60 $3,456,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet __57,600 Cost/sf $100 $5,760,000 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Parking Parking Spots 461 Cost/unit $1,200 $553,200 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 1) $9,769,200 IDev&opmontArea2 ___ New Construction __________ __________ Retail Square feet 25,600 Cost/sf $60 $1,536,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 25,600 Cost/sf $100 $2,560,000 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Parking Parking Spots 205 Cost/unit $1,200 $246,000 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 2) $4,342,000 [ I nientAr i3 - Existing Building ______ Asbestos Removal abatement of matenals in building r1400,000 $400,000 Demolition Square feet ö1 Cost/sf $0 $0 Renovation Costs __________ __________ Retail Square feet 163,199j Cost/sf $50 $8,185,000 Industrial Square feet 89,000 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 84,300 Cost/sf $80 $6,744,000 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 New Construction -______ _______ RetaIl Square feet [ 178,600’ Cost/sf [ $60 $10,716,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $ Ot $0 Office Square feet 168,600 Cost/sf $10 ] $16,860,000 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf__________ $0 Parking Parking Spots 3,454 Cost/unit $1,200J $4,144,800 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 3) $47,049,800 Development Area 4 I New Construction ___________ __________ Retail Square feet 86 ,402j Cost/sf $60 $5,184,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Office Square feet 86,400 Cost/sf $100 $8,640,000 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $0 $0 Parking Parkin9 Spots 691 Cost/unit $1,200 $829,200 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 4) $14,653,200 Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV - Page 15 ------- iDevelopment Area 5 _____— New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Square feetj 173,4001 Square teet [ 01 Square feeti 173,400 Square feetL____0: Parking Spots 1.387 ! Total Hard Costs (Development Area 5) Square feet — Square feet 0 Square feet - — 58,4001 Square feet 01 Square feet 4671 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 6) Tolal H Costsi mifA Tiiii gh 6 Soft Costs % of hard costs - - 20% $23,025,400 CARRY COSTS Purchase Pnce Months Rate $20,000,000 I 24 850% $3,400,000 $26,885,908 Soft + Hard Costs $138,152,400 $23.485.908 Months 24 Rate 8 50% TOTAL DEVELOPMENT costs ___ ____ _____ $18 38,3o PROJECT VALUE Adjusted Net Operating income ______ _______________$22,604,538 Capitalization Rate PROJECT VALUE COMPLETED AND OCCUPIED 8.00% $282,556,719 PRoFIT — ______——- --— ——- - . -- - — __ _ Cash on Cash Return 52 70% Development Area 6 New Construction Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking Cost/sf $60 Cost/sf - $0 Cost/sf $100 Cost/sf -— $0 Cost/unit $1,200 Cost/sf $601 Cost/sf $Oj Cost/sf - _ t901 Cost/sf $0j Cost/sf $1,2iö ] $10,404,000 $0 $17,340,000 $0 $1,664,400 $3,504,000 $0 $5,840,000 $0 $560,400 $29,408,400 $9,904,400 Net Operating Income Industnal Sq Feet - 89,00& Office SqFeet [ __654,300 Retail Use Sq Feet 743.7001 Residential Use psi 0) $$ /sf - $5 501 $$/sf $18001 $$ / Sf $15 50j $$ /sf $0 001 $489,500 $11,777,400 $11,527,350 $0 Net Operating Income Less Vacancy 5% $23,794,250 $1,189,713 Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Section IV - Page 16 ------- Section V ------- Section V Breakout Exercise #2 ------- a’ Environmental Constraints MIDVILLE ENTERPRISE SITE CASE STUDY Brown & Richardson International (BRI) initially developed the site in 1954 and operated until 1985 when the company filed for bankruptcy. The property was abandoned by BRI in 1990 and has been in the arrears for taxes for the past 10 years. The City of Midvale received a USEPA Brownfield’s grant in 1995. A phase I site investigation was conducted in 1996 in anticipation of a sale of the property. The investigation identified potential areas of concern on the property Additional investigations were conducted on the property to determine the distribution of chemicals of concern on the property. The City is considering foreclosing on the tax lien and putting out an RFQ in order to encourage development. However, you are considering purchasing the property from the bankruptcy trustee. The site encompasses 30 acres, divided into six areas for purposes of redevelopment The manufacturing operations were conducted in a 350,000 square foot concrete block and masonry building located in the central portion of the site, designated as Area 3. A wastewater treatment facility and several small support buildings were located in the northeastern portion of the site to the east of the manufacturing facility, designated as Area 5 Operations conducted within the building included metal fabrication and preparation, metal plating, metal painting, and packaging and shipping. Metal fabrication and preparation was performed in the northeast corner of the building with the plating area located to the immediate southeast of the metal fabrication and preparation area The painting area was located to the immediate southeast of the plating area A machine shop was also located adjacent to metal fabrication and preparation area. Plating operations included chrome and nickel plating and a limited amount of cadmium plating Several below-grade concrete neutralization and process tanks were used in the manufacturing processes Packaging and shipping operations were conducted in the southeastern portion of the building The chemicals handled on the site included plating solutions, acids, chlorinated degreasers, paints, paint thinners and petroleum-based oils In addition, hydraulic, lubricating and cutting oils containing PCB were used until 1970 Raw materials and waste chemicals were stored inside the building. Plating sludge, waste chemicals and oils were stored in drums and tanks in an area to the northwest of the manufacturing building prior to disposal, designated as Area 1. Effluent from the process operations was discharged to the wastewater treatment plant. Treated wastewater was discharged to surface impoundments and evaporation ponds Accumulated sludge was periodically removed from the ponds and disposed off-site. An environmental site investigation conducted on the site identified potential sources of chemicals of concern at the former wastewater treatment facility ponds and impoundments, the waste storage area to the west of the manufacturing building, and the manufacturing process areas within the manufacturing building. The wastewater treatment system has been removed and the former impoundments and ponds have been leveled. Drums and waste materials in the former waste storage area have also been removed The environmental site investigation did not identify potential sources of chemicals of concern on areas designated as Area 2, Area 4, and Area 6. Groundwater and soil samples were collected from the identified source areas to determine the presence of chemicals of concern at the former manufacturing building, the waste water treatment facility and the drum and waste storage area Concentrations of chemicals of concern were compared to regulatory screening levels for residential and non-residential use Based on this and subsequent investigations conducted to determine the distribution of chemicals of concern, concentrations of chemicals of concern were identified in soil and ground water on the property and in groundwater underlying the interstate off of the property to the south Initial cost estimates for cleanup of the ------- EPA property and underlying groundwater to a non-restricted use ranged from $30,000,000 to $40,000,000 depending on the status of the building on the property lithe building were to remain, cleanup of soil underlying the building would require demolition and replacement of the floor and utilities increasing costs to $40,000,000. If the building were to be demolished, cleanup costs were estimated to be $30,000,000 Subsequent evaluations conducted to determine potential future uses for the property divided the property into five potential redevelopment areas. Considering these parcels and potential residential and/or non-residential land use, concentrations of chemicals of concern above residential and non- residential screening levels were identified in soil and ground water on areas designated as Area 1. Area 3, and Area 5. Concentrations of chemicals of concern above the screening levels were not identified in soil or groundwater samples collected on areas designated as Area 2 and Area 4. Chemicals of concern in groundwater were also present under the northern portion of Area 6 Hydrogeologic data collected during the investigation indicated that depth to groundwater underlying the site ranges from 20 to 30 feet below the ground surface with a gradient to the south Based on analytical results collected over the past three years, the distribution of chemicals of concern in groundwater appears to be stabilized and further migration is not anticipated. The investigations identified concentrations of chemicals of concern above the screening levels as follows• • Area 3: Concentrations of metals including chromium in soil underlying the former process areas in the building on the former manufacturing building encompassing approximately 100.000 square feet to an average depth of 5 feet based on a residential use (—18,500 cubic yards) and 75,000 square feet to an average depth of 2 feet based on a non-residential use (—5600 cubic yards). • Area 1: Concentrations of volatile organic and semi-volatile organic chemicals and metals in soil underlying the former waste storage area encompassing an area of approximately 150,000 square feet to an average depth of 5 feet based on a residential use (—27.800 cubic yards) and 150,000 square feet to an average depth of 3 feet based on a non-residential use (—16,700 cubic yards). • Area 5: Concentrations of volatile organic and semi-volatile organic chemicals and metals including chromium in soil underlying the former wastewater treatment facility encompassing approximately 70,000 square feet to an average depth of 8 feet based on a residential use (—20,700 cubic yards) and 70,000 square feet to an average depth of 5 feet based on a non- residential use (—13,000 cubic yards) • Area 1: Concentrations of metals and volatile organic chemicals including toluene and trichloroethylene (ICE) in groundwater underlay the waste storage area. The distribution of chemicals of concern in groundwater from this area extends under the interstate to the south of the site. The distribution of concentrations of chemicals of concern in groundwater above the drinking water screening levels encompasses a surface area of approximately 200.000 square feet with approximately 100,000 square feet expected to be off-site. Concentrations of chemicals of concern in groundwater are above screening levels for indoor air (determined in accordance with the USEPA Draft Guidance for Evaluating the Vapor Intrusion to Indoor Air Pathway from Groundwater and Soils) in the area of highest concentrations of chemicals of concern encompasses a surface area of approximately 60,000 square feet. Concentrations of chemicals of concern underlying area west of the interstate are below the screening levels for indoor air determined in accordance with the USEPA Draft Guidance for Evaluating the Vapor Intrusion to Indoor Air Pathway from Groundwater and Soils ------- a’ Area 5 and 6: Concentrations of metals and volatile organic chemicals including toluene and TCE in groundwater underlay the former wastewater treatment facility. The distribution of chemicals of concern in groundwater related to this area extends to the area designated as Area 6 The distribution of concentrations of chemicals of concern in groundwater above the drinking water screening levels encompasses a surface area of approximately 150,000 square feet Concentrations of chemicals of concern in groundwater are above screening levels for indoor air (determined in accordance with the USEPA Draft Guidance for Evaluating the Vapor Intrusion to Indoor Air Pathway from Groundwater and Soils) in the area of highest concentrations of chemicals of concern encompasses a surface area of approximately 45,000 square feet. Concentrations of chemicals of concern underlying Area 6 are below the screening levels for indoor air. Revised cost estimates were developed based on anticipated future land uses associated with redevelopment of the property. Cost estimates for groundwater cleanup were developed on the assumption of meeting the selected standards at the property boundary. Two cleanup scenarios were developed for groundwater. In the first case, groundwater cleanup was assumed to be conducted to achieve drinking water standards at the property boundary or the boundary of the development area In the second case, groundwater cleanup was assumed to be conducted to achieve standards for volatilization from groundwater to indoor at the property boundary or the boundary of the development area. Cost estimates for soil cleanup were based on the more stringent standard for direct contact with soil or volatilization from soil to indoor air. ------- EPA Scheme A Remedial Action Plans Based on the proposed redevelopment the following remedial action plan has been developed for the site: Area 1: A RCRA type cap has been proposed for this area to isolated concentrations of volatile organic and semi-volatile organic chemicals and metals in soil underlying the former waste storage area from the proposed recreational users of the area. Estimated costs for the cap are $765,000 for installation and $150,000 for maintenance and monitoring In addition, a groundwater remedial action system has been proposed to address off-site migration of chemicals of concern in groundwater. Due to residential properties to the west of the site, the groundwater system is designed to achieve residential indoor air screening levels at the property boundary. Estimated costs for the groundwater remedial action system are $2,200,000 for installation, $1,600,000 for eight years of operation and monitoring, and $100,000 for decommissioning of the system. Area 2: No remedial action is anticipated in this area Area 3: Since the building will remain, the floor of the building will act as a cap to isolate concentrations of metals for future occupants of the building No remedial action costs are expected for this area. Area 4: No remedial action is anticipated in this area. Area 5: Construction activities are estimated to excavate approximately 1000 cubic yards of soil containing concentrations of chemicais of concern in this area Estimated costs for excavation and removal of this soil are $625,000. A vapor barrier is also proposed to be placed under the buildings in this area to isolated vapors in soil from the future occupants of the proposed buildings. The estimated costs for the vapor barriers are $98,890 for installation and $89,900 for monitoring and maintenance. In addition, a groundwater monitoring has been proposed to verify that the current distribution of chemicals of concern has stabilized and to monitoring for longer term natural attenuation. Estimated cost for the groundwater monitoring is $64,000. Area 6: No remedial action is anticipated in this area Implementation of the remedial action plan will require the implementation of restrictive use controls and long term operation and maintenance agreements ------- Development Scheme A Pro Forma PROJECT COSTS Purchase Price $20,000,000 Installation Maintenance Remedlation Costs For Project Soil Area I $765,000 $150,000 Soil Area 3 $0 $0 Soil Area 5 $348,890 $89,900 Groundwater Area I $2,200,000 $1,700,000 Groundwater Area 5 - $0 $64,000 Total for Remediation L $3,313,890 $2,003,900 Hard Costs CD I 7eir New ConstructIon Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $75 $0 Parking Parking Spots 0 Cost/unit $1,200 $0 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 1) $0 Development Area 2 New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 86.400 Cost/sf $75 $6,480,000 Parking Parking Spots 43 Cost/unit $1,200 $51,600 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 2) $6,531,600 Development Area 3 Existing Building Asbestos Removal abatement of matenats in building $400,000 $400000 Demolition Square feet 0 Cost/sf $25 $0 Renovation Costs Retail Square feet 248,000 Cost/sf $50 $12,400,000 Industrial Square feet 89,000 Cost/sf $30 $2,670,000 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $80 $0 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 New Construction Retail Square feet 138,800 Cost/sf $60 $8,328,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 44,800 Cost/sf $100 $4,480,000 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $75 $0 Parking Parking Spots 2,084 Cost/unit $1,200 $2,500,800 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 3) $30,778,800 Development Area 4 - New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 86.400 Cost/sf $75 $6,480,000 Parking Parking Spots 86 Cost/unit $1,200 $103,200 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 4) $6,583,200 [ bevelopment Area 5 New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 136,000 Cost/sf $100 $13,600,000 ------- a’ Residential Square feet 354,800 Cost/sf $75 $26,610,000 Parking Parking Spots 1103 Cost/unit $1,200 $1,323,600 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 5) $41,533,600 Development Area 6 New Construction Retail Square feet 54,400 Cost/sf $60 $3,264,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 252,800 Cost/sf $100 $25,280,000 Residential Square feet 36.000 Cost/sf $75 $2,700,000 Parking Square feet 816 Cost/unit $1,200 $979,200 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 6) $32,223,200 Total Hard Costs for Development Areas I through 6 $117,650,400 Soft Costs % of hard costs and remediatuon costs 20% $24,192,858 CARRY COSTS $28,076,715 Purchase Pnce $20,000,000 $3,400,000 Months 24 Rate 8 50% Soft + Hard Costs + Remeduation $145,157,148 $24.676,715 Months 24 Rate 8 50% TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COSTS $193,233,863 PROJECT VALUE Net Operating Income lndustnal Sq Feet 89,000 $$ 1sf $5 50 $489,500 Office Sq Feet 433.600 $$ /sf $1800 $7,804,800 Retail Use Sq Ft 441,200 $$ /sf $15 50 $6,838,600 Residential per 2000sf 563.600 $$ / Sf $21,600 00 $6,086,880 Net Operating Income $21,219,780 Less Vacancy 5% $1,060,989 Less Long Term Remediatuon Operating Expenses $2.003.900 Less Environmental Insurance $0 Adjusted Net Operating Income $18,154,891 Capitalization Rate 8.00% PROJECT VALUE COMPLETED AND OCCUPIED $226,936,138 PROFIT $33,702,274 Cash on Cash Return 17 44% ------- EPA Scheme B Remedial Action Plans Based on the proposed redevelopment the following remedial action plan has been developed for the site• Area 1: A RCRA type cap has been proposed for the portion of this area identified as open/recreational space to isolated concentrations of volatile organic and semi-volatile organic chemicals and metals in soil underlying the former waste storage area from the proposed recreational users of the area. Estimated costs for the cap are $510,000 for installation and $100,000 for maintenance and monitoring. A vapor barrier is also proposed to be placed under the building in this area to isolated vapors in soil from the future occupants of the proposed buildings The estimated costs for the vapor barriers are $56,760 for installation and $51,600 for monitoring and maintenance. In addition, a groundwater remedial action system has been proposed to address off-site migration of chemicals of concern in groundwater. Due to residential properties to the west of the site, the groundwater system is designed to achieve residential indoor air screening levels at the property boundary. Estimated costs for the groundwater remedial action system are $2,200,000 for installation, $1,600,000 for eight years of operation and monitoring, and $100,000 for decommissioning of the system. Area 2: No remedial action is anticipated in this area Area 3: Construction activities are estimated to excavate approximately 1500 cubic yards of soil containing concentrations of chemicals of concern in this area Estimated costs for excavation and removal of this soil are $375,000. Area 4: No remedial action is anticipated in this area. Area 5: Construction activities are estimated to excavate approximately 1000 cubic yards of soil containing concentrations of chemicals of concern in this area. Estimated costs for excavation and removal of this soil are $250,000 A vapor barrier is also proposed to be placed under the buildings in this area to isolated vapors in soil from the future occupants of the proposed buildings. The estimated costsfor the vapor barriers are $44,000 for installation and $40,000 for monitoring and maintenance In addition, a groundwater monitoring has been proposed to verify that the current distribution of chemicals of concern has stabilized and to monitoring for longer term natural attenuation Estimated cost for the groundwater monitoring is $64,000 Area 6: No remedial action is anticipated in this area. Implementation of the remedial action plan will require the implementation of restrictive use controls and long term operation and maintenance agreements ------- Development Scheme B Pro Forma PROJECT COSTS Purchase Price $20,000,000 Installation Maintenance Remediation Costs For Project Soil Area I $566,760 $151,600 Soil Area 3 $375,000 $0 Soil Area 5 $669,000 $40,000 Groundwater Area 1 $2,200,000 $1,700,000 Groundwater Area 5 $0 $64,000 Total for Remediation - $3 81O,760 _$1, 5!,6J ! Hard Costs Development Am t — New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 154,800 Cost /sf $75 $11,610,000 Parking Parking Spots 77 Cost/unit $1,200 $92,400 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 1) $11,702,400 Development Area 2 - New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 163,200 Cost/sf $75 $12,240,000 Parking Parking Spots 109 Cost/unit $1,200 $130,800 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 2) $12,370,800 Existing Building Asbestos Removal abatement of matenals in building $400,000 $400,000 Demolition Square feet 347,000 Cost/sf $25 $8,675,000 Renovation Costs Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $30 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $80 $0 Residential Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf 860 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 172,800 Cost/sf $75 $12,960,000 Parking Parking Spots 230 Cost/unit $1,200 $276,000 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 3) $22,311,000 ------- EPA I Deveipprnent Area 4 New Construction Retail Square feet 0 Cost/sf $60 $0 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 86,400 Cost/sf $75 $6,480,000 Parking Parking Spots 58 Cost/unit $1,200 $69,600 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 4) $6,549,600 rpe!eiopm!ntA!e!5_, New Construction _______________ ______________ Retail Square feet 165.600 - Cost/sf $50 $8.280.000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf $501 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 481.200 Cost/sf $75 $36,090,000 Parking Parking Spots 969 Cost/unit $1,200 $1,162,800 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 5) $45,532,800 [ Deve loprnentArea6 New Construction Retail Square feet L____ 115.200 Cost/sf - $60 $6,912,000 Industrial Square feet 0 Cost/sf -- $50 $0 Office Square feet 0 Cost/sf $100 $0 Residential Square feet 307.200 Cost/sf $75 $23,040,000 Parking Square feet 654 Cost/unit $1,200 $784,800 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 6) $30,736,800 Total HaT Co orDeyolopmentAreaslthrough6 - -- - $129,203,400 I Soft Costs % of hard costs and remediation costs 20% $26,602,832 CARRY COSTS $30,534,889 Purchase Pnce $20,000,000 $3,400,000 Months 24 Rate 8 50% Soft + Hard Costs + Remediahon $159,616,992 $27,134,889 Months 24 Rate 8 50% —— ____ - $210,151,881 ------- 1% PROJECT VALUE Industnal Sq Feet 0 Office Sq Feet 0 Retail Use Sq Feet ( 280,800 Residential per 2000 sf 1,365,600 $$Ist —- $ 5 1 $$Isf $1800 $$/sf $1550 $$Isf $21,600 00 Net Operating Income Less Vacancy 5% Less Long Term Remediatuon Operating Expenses Less Environmental Insurance $19,100,880 $955,044 LI__ $1,955,600 $0 Capitalization Rate iIT iI 1iII .111 I11iII iuji ,i 6] 8.00% PROJECT VALUE COMPLETED AND OCCUPIED PROFIT $202,377,950 . 77mq 1 Net Operating Income $0 $0 $4,352,400 $14,748,480 Cash on Cash Return .3 70% ------- EPA Scheme C Remedial Action Plans Based on the proposed redevelopment the following remedial action plan has been developed for the site. Area 1: A RCRA type cap has been proposed for the portion of this area identified as open/recreational space to isolated concentrations of volatile organic and semi-volatile organic chemicals and metals in soil underlying the former waste storage area from the proposed recreational users of the area. Estimated costs for the cap are $510,000 for installation and $100,000 for maintenance and monitoring. A vapor barrier is also proposed to be placed under the building in this area to isolated vapors in soil from the future occupants of the proposed buildings. The estimated costs for the vapor barrier are $63,360 for installation and $57,600 for monitoring and maintenance. In addition, a groundwater remedial action system has been proposed to address off-site migration of chemicals of concern in groundwater. Due to residential properties to the west of the site, the groundwater system is designed to achieve residential indoor air screening levels at the property boundary. Estimated costs for the groundwater remedial action system are $2,200,000 for installation, $1,600,000 for eight years of operation and monitoring, and $100,000 for decommissioning of the system Area 2: No remedial action is anticipated in this area. Area 3: Since the building will remain, the floor of the building will act as a cap to isolate concentrations of metals for future occupants of the building No remedial action costs are expected for this area. Area 4: No remedial action is anticipated in this area. Area 5: Construction activities are estimated to excavate approximately 1000 cubic yards of soil containing concentrations of chemicals of concern in this area Estimated costs for excavation and removal of this soil are $625,000. A vapor barrier is also proposed to be placed under the buildings in this area to isolated vapors in soil from the future occupants of the proposed buildings. The estimated cost for the vapor barriers is $44,000 for installation and $40,000 for monitoring and maintenance In addition, a groundwater monitoring has been proposed to verify that the current distribution of chemicals of concern has stabilized and to monitoring for longer term natural attenuation Estimated cost for the groundwater monitoring is $64,000. Area 6: No remedial action is anticipated in this area Implementation of the remedial action plan will require the implementation of restrictive use controls and long term operation and maintenance agreements. ------- Development Scheme C Pro Forma PROJECT COSTS Purchase Price Remediation Costs For Project Soil Area I Soil Area 3 Soil Area 5 Development Area I -. New Construction _________ Retail Square feet 57,600 Industrial Square feet 0 Office Square feet 57,600 Residential Square feet - __0_ Parking Parking Spots 4 j• , Total Hard Costs (Development Area 1) Development Area 2 New Construction Retail Square feet 25,600 Industrial Square feet 0 Office Square feet 25,600 Residential Square feet 0 Parking Parking Spots 205 . Total Hard Costs (Development Area 2) Development Area 3 Existing Building Asbestos Removal abatement of matenals in building Demolition Square feet 0 Renovation Costs ____________ Retail Square feet _______ Industrial Square feet ______ Office Square feet Residential Square feet New Construction _____________ Groundwater Area I Groundwater Area 5 Total for Rernediation $400,000 $0 $8,185,000 $0 $6,744,000 $0 $20,000,000 I Hard Costs Installation Maintenance $573,360 $157,600 SLI_.. ..__!!.. $294,000 $2,200,000 $0 $40,000 $1,700,000 $64,000 Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/unit Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/unit $60 $50 $100 $75 $1,200 $60 $50 $100 $75 $1,200 I $3,067,360 $1,961,600 $3,456,000 $0 $5,760,000 $0 $553,200 $9,769,200 $1,536,000 $0 $2,560,00D SD $246,000 $4,342,000 $400,000 Cost/sf $25 I 163,700 Cost/sf 89,000 Cost/sf 84,300 Cost/sf 0 Cost/sf Retail Industrial Office Residential Parking $50J L $01 $8O I $50I $60 $50 $100 1 $1,200 Square feet 178,600 Square feet 0 Square feet 168,600 Square feet 0 Parking Spots 3,454 Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/unit $10,716,000 $0 $16,860,000 $0 $4,144,800 ------- Total Hard Costs (Development Area 3) Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/sf Cost/unit Cost/sf $60 Cost/sf _____$50 Cost/sf $100 Cost/sf $75 Cost/unit $1,200 Cost/sf $60 Cost/sf $50 Cost/sf _____$100 Cost/sf $75 Cost/unit $1.200 $5,184,000 $0 $8,640,000 $0 $829,200 $47,049,800 $14,653,200 $29,408,400 $9,904,400 EPA Development Area 4 New Construction ___________ Retail Square feet 86,400 Industrial Square feet 0 Office Square feet — 86,400 Residential Square feet - 0 Parking Parking Spots 691 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 4) [ Dey p ?M L5 - New Construction Retail Square feet 173,400 $10,404,000 Industrial Square feet 0 _____ $0 Office Square feet 173,400 _________ $17,340,000 Residential Square feet 0 __________ $0 Parking Parking Spots 1,387 __________ $1,664,400 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 5) Development Area 6_. New Construction ___________ __________ Retail Square feet ‘ 58.400 __________ $3,504,000 Industrial Square feet ________ 0 $0 Office Square feet 58.400 _____ $5,840,000 Residential Square feet 0 $0 Parking Square feet 467 $560,400 Total Hard Costs (Development Area 6) $115,127,000’ Purchase Pnce Months Rate rTOTALDEVELOPMENTCOSTS - $189 i] Soft Costs % of hard costs and remediat on costs CARRY COSTS $20,000,000 24 850% Soft + Hard Costs + Remediation $141,833,232 Months 24 Rate 8.50% 20% $3,400,000 $24.1 11,649 $23,638,872 $27,511,649 $50 $100 $75 $1,200 ------- EPA PROJECT VALUE Net Operating Income lndustnal Sq Feet 89.000 $$ I sf $5 50 $489,500 Office Sq Feet 654,300 $$lsf $1800 $11,777.400 Retail Use Sq Feet 743,700 $$ 1sf $1550 $11,527,350 Residential per 2000 sf 0 $$ I sf $21,600 00 $0 Net Operating Income $23,794,250 Less Vacancy 5% $1,189,713 Less Long Term Remeduation Operating Expenses $1,961,600 Less Environmental Insurance $0 AdjustedNetOpera gincome __$ ,6 42,93 Capitalization Rate 8.00% PROJECT VALUE COMPLETED AND OCCUPIED $258,036,719 L!RPL _ _______________ _____ ____ ____ _________ ___ Cash on Cash Return 36.28% ------- Breakout Exercise #2: Liability and Risk Break Out Exercise 2 • Discuss specific liability and risks that need to be addressed prior to closing on the site • Identify potential alternatives to address the identified liabilities and risks • Develop a risk management plan to address the identified liability and risks Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Exercise 2 ------- Breakout Exercise #2: Liability and Risk A cleanup approach that maximizes the sustainability of the redevelopment has been developed The cleanup plan includes the use of institutional controls in the form of restrictions on the type of activities and land use acceptable on the site, engineering controls in the form of vapor barriers under buildings and a cap, and a long-term groundwater treatment system is proposed. Each of these actions will require some form of control to insure that they are operated and maintained in accordance with the remedial action plan In this exercise, discuss your plan for addressing short, medium and long-term risk issues as part of the deal completion phase of the project. This includes addressing risk and regulatory hurdles and defining strategies for ensuring long-term sustainability of the cleanup. Prepare your case for presentation to the bank Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Exercise 2 ------- Section V1 ------- Section VI Breakout Exercise #3 ------- EPA Unknown Environmental Constraints A light rail station is to be constructed on Area 6 adjacent to Sixth Street The development of this light rail station is considered a necessary component of the overall redevelopment. An arrangement has been made to transfer the portion of Area 6 needed for the light rail station to the Regional Transit Authority. As noted previously, potential sources of chemicals of concern were not identified in this area during the environmental investigations. Groundwater containing chemicals of concern associated with the former wastewater treatment plant on Area 5. however, was identified in the northern portion of Area 6 including a portion of the land to be transferred to the Regional Transit Authority. This environmental condition was determined not to be significant to the development of the light rail station. The Regional Transit Authority has agreed to move forward with the light rail station contingent upon the results of a geotechnical investigation to evaluate the structural stability of the soil and to support the engineering for the new station. Further, the Regional Transit Authority has insisted that they be protected from potential liability associated with the presence of chemicals of concern in groundwater underlying the land for the station and remediation of the groundwater During the geotechnical investigation, metal and other debris, as well as, chemical odors and stained soil, were observed in a number of soil borings Additional environmental investigations conducted to determine the potential source and distribution of these odors and debris have identified a former land fill area consisting of construction and industrial waste. Concentrations of volatile organic and semi-volatile organic chemicals and metals have been identified in soil encompassing approximately 40,000 cubic yards based on a residential use and 30,000 cubic yards based on a non-residential use Concentrations of metals and volatile organic chemicals in groundwater underlay the proposed light rail station are below the screening levels for indoor air determined in accordance with the USEPA Draft Guidance for Evaluating the Vapor Intrusion to Indoor Air Pathway from Groundwater and Soils. In addition, to the environmental issues associated with the discovery of the former landfill area, the structural capabilities of the soil mixed with the debris from the former landfill has been determined to be inadequate for the construction of the light rail station. Approximately 10000 cubic yards of soil and debris will need to be removed and replaced with an engineered fill prior to construction of the light rail station Cost to excavate and dispose of the excavated soil and replace the fill with an engineered fill is estimated to be $3,000,000. In addition to soil and debris containing chemicals of concern to be removed for construction of the light rail station, approximately 20,000 cubic yards of impacted material will remain on the land to be transferred to the Regional Transit Authority. The estimated cost to excavate and dispose of all the impacted soil and debris is $10,000,000. The Regional Transit Authority is now threatening to pull out of the redevelopment and locate the light rail station at an alternate location away from the site. They are concerned about the potential incremental costs to construct the light rail station and potential liability associated with owning a property with environmentally impacted soil remaining in place The bank is not willing to increase the financing already approved for the project. In addition, the bank is threateningto withdraw the financing if the light rail station is not built ------- Breakout Exercise #3: Dealing with the Unexpected Break Out Exercise 3 • Discuss potential alternatives to keep the light rail station on track • Develop a plan to address the concerns of the bank and Regional Transit Authority Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Exercise 3 ------- Breakout Exercise #3: Dealing with the Unexpected Without the light rail station, the redevelopment is in jeopardy. The bank is not willing to increase the financing and threatening to pull the financing if the light rail station is not built. The Regional Transit Authority is not willing to take ownership of the land with an existing environmental condition There are two questions that need to be answered: 1) How can the construction of the light rail station move forward without exposing the Regional Transit Authority to future liability and risk; 2) How can the additional costs be handled to satisfy the bank. Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites Exercise 3 ------- Section VII ------- Section VII Resources ------- Section VII: Resources Sample Terms of Sale to Provide Incentives to Buyer to Perform and to Protect Seller from Failure of Buyer to Perform Ensuring that the Funds for Remediation are Available Buyer will place $$ into a trust or other fund such as a finite risk insurance contract to cover the upper end of the expected costs of site assessment, remedial action plan development and regulatory review expenses. Once the remediation plan is approved by the DEP (or an LEP has developed a remediation plan): 1. the Buyer will re estimate the clean up cost, and 2. the Buyer will increase the amount in the trust fund to the estimated cost of remediation, and 3. the Buyer will purchase an insurance product (or add to the trust fund) an amount to cover cost overruns of 2 times the estimated cost of remediation. If buyer resells the property within 5 years of buying the property, the Seller shall return 30% of the net profits (purchase price - buyers remediation expenses not covered by trust fund - buyer’s capital improvement expenses - sales expenses) from the sale to the Seller. If Buyer fails to: 1. Get an approved remedial action plan or a VCA agreement within 5 years and does not increase the trust fund, or 2. If the Buyer fails to complete the remediation within 2 years following the estimated time to complete the remediation, then the Buyer is in default and the Seller has the right, but not the obligation to 1. use the trust fund to conduct further remediation, or 2. use the Seller’s own funds to conduct remediation and recover against the Buyer, or 3. foreclose on the property, retaking ownership. Encouraging the Buyer to Replace Seller on Consent Decree The Seller and Buyer will cooperate during the period prior to the closing date to assess the site and establish an agreed Voluntary Remediation strategy. This ------- strategy will be presented to CTDEP for their approval 60 days (30 days minimum) prior to the date of closing. Buyer must make best efforts to get CTDEP to change the consent order from Seller to the buyer’s name. Cost savings from the fund will be shared between buyer and seller: 1. 80% buyer, 20% seller if the buyer is able to assume responsibility for the consent order; 2. 50% buyer, 50% seller if the seller remains responsible for the consent order. The funds to be distributed when remediation is complete (no further action letter or LSP sign off and Seller agreement) If Buyer fails to make best efforts to get CTDEP to change the consent order from Seller to the buyer’s name within 5 years then the Buyer is in default and the Seller has the right, but not the obligation to 1. use the trust fund to petition CTDEP to change the consent order, or 2. use the Seller’s own funds to petition CTDEP to change the consent order, or 3. foreclose on the property, retaking ownership. Encouraging Buyer to Complete Remediation If buyer is unable to get CTDEP to approve a remedial action plan (or a VCA agreement) within 5 years, the buyer will, at their own expense: 1. re estimate the cost of remediation and obtain insurance to two times the remedial cost estimate, or 2. alternatively, increase the trust fund to an amount equal to two times the revised remedial cost estimate, the resulting trust fund will not be less than 1.5 times the original level. Buyer is to manage the remediation efforts. Cost savings from the fund will be shared between buyer and seller. 1. 80% buyer, 20% seller if the buyer is able to assume responsibility for the consent order; 2. 50% buyer, 50% seller if the seller remains responsible for the consent order. The funds to be distributed when remediation is complete (no further action letter or LSP sign off and Seller agreement) If Buyer fails to: 1. Get an approved remedial action plan or a VCA agreement within 5 years and does not increase the trust fund, or ------- 2. If the Buyer fails to complete the remediation within 2 years following the estimated time to complete the remediation, then the Buyer is in default and the Seller has the right, but not the obligation to 1. use the trust fund to conduct further remediation, or 2. foreclose on the property, retaking ownership. Encourage Buyer to Pursue Recovery from Responsible Party If Seller pursues Responsible Party for cost recovery for 5 years or until DEP transfers responsibility for the consent order to the buyer, whichever comes first, thereafter the buyer assumes seller’s recovery rights and pursues recoveries from Responsible Party. Recoveries from Responsible Party, after reasonable attorney fees will be shared between buyer and seller - 90% seller, 10% buyer if settlement made before seller transfers recovery rights to the buyer; 50% seller, 50% if settlement occurs after the seller transfers recovery rights to the buyer. If Buyer assumes seller’s recovery rights and pursues recoveries from Responsible Party, recoveries from Responsible Party, will be shared between buyer and seller. The seller will receive the lesser of: 50% of the net recovery (after reasonable attorney fees) or 30% of the gross recovery. Ensuring that Seller Receives an Appropriate Price for the Property The Seller and Buyer will cooperate during the period prior to the closing date to assess the site and establish an agreed reasonable worst case estimated cost of remediation. The Buyer will conduct site assessment activities prior to the close of the sale that meets the goals of listed in the offer of sale and as approved by Seller. Buyer will pay Seller at closing the agreed value of the property minus the reasonable worst case estimated cost of remediation. Once the remediation plan is approved by the DEP or the LSP has developed a remediation plan: 1. the Buyer will re estimate the clean up cost, and 2. the Buyer will increase the amount in the trust fund to the estimated cost of remediation, and 3. the Buyer will purchase an insurance product (or add to the trust fund) an amount to cover cost overruns of 2 times the estimated cost of remediation, and 4. The Buyer will pay the Seller 50% of the difference between the reasonable worst case estimate that was made prior to the date of closing and the sum of: a. the Buyers investigation and remediation expenses to date, and ------- b. the new estimate of the cost of remediation, and c. the cost of cost cap and environmental liability insurance (or 15% of the amount in the trust fund if no insurance is purchased). ------- EPA I. Web Sites for Key Liability Risk Guidance • Due Diligence Criteria that trigger most federal liability protections: All Appropriate Inquiry Proposed Regulations: 70 Fed Reg 66070. November 1, 2005 www epa gov/brownfields website contains federal rule, summary and comparison to Interim Standard ASTME 1527-00 • Qualifications for Environmental Professionals who conduct all appropriate inquiries for federal protections: www epa . gov/brownfiolds website also contains summary and comparison with prior ASTM qualifications • Guidance on requirements to qualify for federal protections under CERCLA Amendments of 2002 Brownfields Law) Interim Guidance Regarding Criteria Landowners Must Meet in Order to Quality for Bona Fide Prospective Purchaser, Contiguous Property Owner, or Innocent Landowner Limitations on CERCLA Liability (Common Elements) - (3/6/03). Provides general guidance on the common elements of the landowner liability protections. http : //www.epa . gov/compliance/resources/policies/cleanup/superfund/common-elem-guide. pdf • Common Elements Guidance Reference Sheet - (3/6/03) Reference sheet highlights the main points made in EPA ’s March 2003 “Interim Guidance Regarding Criteria Landowners Must Meet in Order to Quality for the Bona Fide Prospective Purchaser, Contiguous Property Owner, or Innocent Landowner Limitations on CERCLA Liability http : / /www epa gov/compliance/resources/policies/cleanup/superfund/common-elem-ref pdf • General Guidance on Brownfuelds Liability Risks Brownfields Handbook How to Manage Federal Environmental Liability Risks - (11/1/02). Brownfields Handbook provides a compilation of tools and a discussion of how to use them in evaluating the benefits of reusing a brownfields property. http //www epa gov/compliance/resources/publicationsfcleanup/brownhields/handbooklbfhbkcmp • Institutional Controls as a means of controlling environmental risks Institutional Controls: A Citizen’s Guide to Understanding Institutional Controls at Superfund. Brownhields . Federal Facilities, Underground Storage Tank, and Resource Conservation and Recovery Act Cleanups - (2/1/05) Fact Sheet provides community members with general information about the role of institutional controls (ICs) in Superfund, Brownfields, Federal Facilities, Underground Storage Tanks (UST) and Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) cleanups occurring in their neighborhoods. http / /www.epa . gov/superfund/actionhic/guide/citguide.pdf EPA maintains a website on current issues concerning institutional controls at: ------- EPA www.epa .gov/superfund/actionhic/ • Land Use and Institutional Controls 12-20-2005 “Provides links to information about land use and institutional controls.” URL: http: / /www epa govfbrownfields/tools/tti lucs. htm • Instruments Used to Control Liability Risks: 1. Comfort Letters: EPA - Policy on the Issuance of Comfort/Status Letters (05-08-2006) http: //wvwsi epa gov/Compliance/resources/policies/cleanup/superfund/com 2. Prospective Purchaser Agreements Guidance on Agreements with Prospective Purchasers of Contaminated Property (5/24/95) and attachment Model Prospective Purchaser Agreement (Revised 10/1/99) Bona Fide Prospective Purchasers and the New Amendments to CERCLA - (5/31/02). Provides discussion describing when, primarily because of significant public health, EPA will consider providing a prospective purchaser with a covenant not to sue now that the Brownhields Amendments are law http //epa.gov/compliance/resources/policies/cleanup/superfund/bonf-pp-cercla-mem. pdf 3. Covenants Not to Sue Bona Fide Prospective Purchasers and the New Amendments to CERCIA - (5/31/02) Provides discussion describing when, primarily because of significant public health, EPA will consider providing a prospective purchaser with a covenant not to sue now that the Brownhield’s Amendments are law http .//epa.gov/compliance/resources/policies/cleanup/superfund/bonf-pp-cercla-mem .pdf 4 Ready for Reuse Determinations “Guidance for Preparing Superfund Ready for Reuse Determinations” provides information needed to make and document RfR Determinations and the nature of the evaluations EPA will conduct in preparing RIR Determinations A fact sheet on the RfR guidance is also available from the Superfund program web site. 5. Insuring Federal Liability Protection through compliance with State Voluntary Cleanup Program: Memoranda of Agreement (MOAs) on State Voluntary Cleanup Programs (VCPs) 12-20-2005 “List of Memoranda of Agreement on State Voluntary Cleanup Programs” http://www.epa.govfbrownfields/html-doc/statemoa htm 6. Map of States with Memoranda of Agreement on State Voluntary Cleanup Programsi 2-20-2005 “This is a map of states with memoranda of agreement on state voluntary cleanup programs” http.//www.epa gov/brownhields/html-doc/usmoamap.htm 7 Memorandum Re: Interim Approaches for Regional Relations with State Voluntary Cleanup Programsl2-20-2005. “This memorandum sets out the baseline criteria which EPA will employ to evaluate the adequacy of State voluntary cleanup programs.” http.//www.epa gov/brownfields/htm -doc/vcp htrn 8. Windfall Liens ------- Interim Enforcement Discretion Policy Concerning Windfall Liens Under Section 107(r) of CERCLA - (7/16/03) This memorandum discusses EPA and DOJ interim policy implementation of the new CERCLA 107(r) windfall lien provision contained in the 2002 Brownfielcis Amendments www.epa .gov/compliancelresources/policies/cleanup/superfund/interim-winclfall-lien pdf II. Web-based Resources Archived Internet Seminar: Real Estate Finance Basics littp . / /www clu - in org/conf/tio/refinancebasics 050906 / This 2-hour mini-course is a concentrated introduction to the core concepts of real estate finance and development These concepts are also covered in greater depth in the “Real Estate 100’ class, Anatomy of a Real Estate Development: What Government Regulators Need to Know about Real Estate Development The course is targeted for attendees that have not attended Real Estate 100 and would like to successfully participate in the R J Estate 200 class. Real Estate Development and Contaminated Sites. Achieving Success in Today’s Regulatory Environment Topics include market analysis and feasibility, the financing of environmentally challenged properties, the impact of leverage, and property valuation techniques III. Recommended Text Mike E. Miles, Gayle Berens and Marc Weiss Real Estate DeveIopment Principles and Process Third Edition, (Washington D.C Urban Land Institute, 2000) Joshua Kahr, Michael C. Thomsett Real Estate Market Valuation and Analysis ISBN: 0-471 -65526-0 Wiley, October 2005 This in-depth look at the core tools of real estate valuation will show you how to analyze the real estate market and assess the financial feasibility of a project. Many people go with their instincts or past experience when reviewing the financials and fail to utilize the useful data and analytical tools available in this field. Get the analytical data and tools you need to assess the financial feasibility of any project. The companion CD-ROM includes vital data so you can to see how household income, population, and crime are shaping the real estate landscape ------- Retail Market Trends North America Grubb & Ellis Research Lummer 2008 ( rubh E11is® Property Solutions Worldwide Contents Introduction 1 Shopping Center Rental Rates Pad Site Sales Prices 2 State of the Market—A Conversation with Michael Dee 3—4 Premium Urban Rental Rates . . .5 Metro Spotlight 6—7 Retail Market Trends is a newsletter published annually by Grubb & Ellis Company. To obtain additional copies or other Grubb & Ellis publications, please contact: Robert Bach Senior Vice President, Chief Economist Phone: 312.698.6754 Erin O’Leary Manager, Affiliate Research Services 312.698.6789 Grubb & Ellis Company 1551 N Tustin Avenue Suite 200 Santa Ana, CA 92705 E-mail: research@grubb-ellis.com Internet: www.grubb-elUs.com For more information on Canadian narkets, please visit Avison Young at www.avisonyoung.com or contact Sherman DeSouza at 416.673.4039 or sdesouza@ay-on.com. The SHyer Lining Do you really want to read another article describing how challenging the coming year is going to be for shopping center landlords and tenants? Just in case you do, we cover that inside—foreclosures, gas prices, high debt levels, credit squeeze, job losses, the “R” word and, of course, retail leasing market conditions. But there is a sil- There are three reasons to expect the slowdown to .be short and shallow. ver lining: There are three reasons to expect the slowdown, recession or whatever you call it, to be short and shallow. First, the Federal Reserve has been throwing everything plus the kitchen sink at the credit squeeze to get banks lending again, including aggressively cutting interest rates, unprecedented lending to investment banks and stepping in to keep Bear Stearns from collapsing. In short, the Fed has our back. Second, the rest of the world continues to grow, boosting U.S. exports thanks to the weak dollar, which will add a percentage point of growth to gross domestic product this year. And third, corporate debt levels are low (unlike consumer debt), so there is reason to think that layoffs and cuts to capital spending might be less severe than the 2001 recession. A shorter recession, if it comes to pass, would result in fewer layoffs, putting a floor under consumer spending. ------- Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 Rental Rates, In-line Shop Space Note: Rental rate data refer to in-line shop space in grocery-anchored center, 3,000- square-foot national credit tenant, newly developing suburban trade area, first genera- ton space, white-box build-out. Rates are per square foot. quoted on an annual, triple net basis. Canadian data, courtesy of Avison Young, use the exchange rate of $1 Canadian = $1 US. Pad Site Prices Note: Sales price data refer to 1-acre pad site (vacant land) suitable for a bank. restaurant, drug store, etc.; mall-adjacent, newly developing suburban trade area. Sales prices are per square foot. Canadian data, courtesy of Avison Young, use the exchange rate of $1 Canadian $1 US. New York San Franasco Orange County San Jose Toronto, Canada Washington, DC San Diego Chicago O I+ F%PO Riverside-San Bern. Los Angeles Calgary, Canada Las Ve” Portland Vancouver, Canada Boston Bozeman. MT - ittsburgh Orlando Sacramentc’ Detroit 1 AJbuquerqu€ Jacksonville Mobile • New Jersey San Antonio Dallas-Fort W rth Austin Houston Atlanta Nashville Tampa Boise, ID Columbus, OH Denver Kansas City Regina, Can d Fr cnn St lruii Cincinn Columbia, S Kalispell, MT South P ” Montreal, Canada Omaha Winnipeg, 4homa C’ fl IA,ur e Richmond Phoenix Portland New Jersey Chicago Sacramento Denver Nashville South Bend Tampa Grand Rapkis Houston Pittsburgh Dallas-Fort Worth Regina, Canada Austin San Antonio Fresno lndianapolit Jacksonville Atlanta Albuquerque Kansas City Omah Detroit St Louis Winnipeg, Canada Cincinnati Greenville Mobile Des ” Cleveland Columbus, OH Columbia, SC (- ,_I_____, ,_ 1. : I i i , . ._._._.j I i JI 1 1 — 10 20 30 40 50 60 Few such properties ava able — — Washington, DC Boston Orange County Los Angeles Miami San Jose Vancouver, Canada Riverside-San Bern. Calgary, Canada Las Vegas (I.I. J Miam Oakland + San P ” >. C a E 0 C.) 0 w -o 2 8 (.4 0 j l Kalispell, MT f Ainr , r ,rjic 10 Boise, ID Wchita Oklahoma City Montreal, Canada New York San Francisco Toronto, Canath $0 2 ------- Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 State of the Market In the following inter- view, Michael Dee, Senior Vice President, National Director of Retail, Grubb & Ellis Company, shares his views on the indus- try and his outlook for the future. What’s the outlook for leasing activity compared with last year? Have we hit bottom yet or is there more weakness ahead? We are seeing slower leasing activity compared with last year across every mar- ket, especially unanchored centers in sec- ndary and tertiary markets. Activity has Allen off sharply for mom-and-pop stores and smaller chain tenants. It’s not all doom and gloom, but it’s a big change from last year. We haven’t hit bottom yet. The bal- ance of this year will be challenged, and the outlook for 2009 is fuzzy. Knowing how far in advance retailers develop their expansion plans, I wouldn’t be surprised if the slowness extends into the first half of 2009. Retailers will tailor their expansion plans for next year based on this year’s sales, which will be sluggish. Has the media over-hyped distress in the retail market? Is the media having an impact on leasing activity? No. The downturn is real and not a prod- uct of over-reporting. The decline in leas- ing activity goes hand in hand with real problems in the economy. Retailers are going into bankruptcy, closing stores and caling back expansion plans. When you Lee Starbucks closing 100 stores, that’s a tell-tale sign from one of the most aggres- sive retailers out there. FedEx Kinko’s plans to add 60 stores this year compared with around 500 in the last two years combined. Pier 1 Imports is closing down. Retailer after retailer is struggling, and it’s tough out there. What types of retailers are expanding this year, and what types are standing pat or contracting? Anything linked to the housing market is weak, particularly home improvement and furniture. Blockbuster has been cutting back for a long time, focusing on reloca- tions, closures and renegotiating leases. Casual dining outlets are feeling the pain as are some clothing stores such as Banana Republic and Gap. Shopping center developers are having trouble get- ting retailers to commit to planned cen- ters, which affects their financing options. Jewelry store sales are down, but I recently visited a gold and silver jewelry exchange store, which pays cash for old jewelry. It was my first visit to one of these (not as a customer, I should add), and the store was mobbed. People were lined up just to talk with someone, trying to get cash for their jewelry. I believe this is a sign of the times, unfortunately. On the expansion side of the equation, discounters will see continued growth in the next 18 months. Kohl’s, TJ Maxx, Target and Wal-Mart are expanding cau- The Economic Story: Mixed Signals 3 ------- Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 State of the Market (continued) tiously. That’s a direct correlation with the economy in which we find ourselves, Consumers want quality name brands but at a perceived discount. Service oriented retailers will do well, an example being Jackson Hewitt Tax Service, which is embarking on a major expansion cam- paign in new markets. Cellular and acces- sory stores are steady. Fitness centers such as LA Fitness and Gold’s Gym are expanding, as are day spas. People seem to want to pamper themselves and stay in shape despite the slow economy, or maybe they just want to escape their problems. Healthcare-related tenants including urgent care clinics, dentists, chi- ropractors and optical services are fairly immune to economic cycles. They like the convenience, visibility, parking and access ‘hat come with a good retail center, and landlords welcome them since they often have good credit, bring a steady flow of customers and are willing to sign longer term leases. What are the most interesting new retail concepts that you see? In the current economic cycle, retailers are not out there testing new concepts. There are always exceptions such as Tesco’s Fresh & Easy markets, but even there the company has delayed the rollout of new stores. We will see more new concepts when the economy returns to health. Will certain regions of the U.S. or certain markets perform better than others this year? What markets and regions do you see lagging behind? It’s a coastal phenomenon. The markets .that were so strong on the East and West ‘coasts have been hit the hardest, such as. Southern California and Florida. I put Arizona in that category although it is obviously not on the coast. Retailers who were busy on the coasts are now looking for opportunities in Texas, the Carolinas and a few other areas. How will the following types of retail cen- ters perform in the slower market that is forecasted for this year? Which ones will suffer, and which ones will hold their own? 1. In-town retailing including downtown projects, gentrifying in-town neighborhoods and infill developments? Slow. Many urban mixed-use projects are having trouble filling their ground floor retail space. Poor design sometimes plays a role particularly in rela- tion to parking, but the main issue is that condo development and sales have fallen through the floor, which has at least tem- porarily delayed the addition of new house- holds to these trade areas. 2. Ethnically oriented retailers? Pretty good. Ethnic populations continue to grow, particularly Hispanic, and retailers targeting this segment will do well in the long term. 3. Malls? Slow. They have reinvented themselves with food courts, movies and open-air lifestyle wings, but they are experiencing slower sales. Occupancy costs for malls are always higher, and cost-conscious retailers will take a hard look at opening stores in centers with high occupancy costs, particularly if they can find competitive open-air centers. 4. Department stores? Slow, even for the likes of Kohl’s, Target and J.C. Penney, which had been the standouts. Sears and Macy’s are having a tough time. Upscale department stores such as Nordstrom, which should in theory be holding up well, also are seeing sales fall in the current market. 5. Lifestyle centers? Steady. This contin- ues to be an attractive product type for developers and consumers especially in temperate climates. These centers are not setting any records in the current market but are faring better than some. Lifestyle centers can offer lower rental rates to attract mall tenants. However, some lifestyle centers have gotten ahead of the residential growth curve, which has now stalled, leaving them with partially formed trade areas. 6. Grocery-anchored neighborhood cen- ters? Steady. They are not immune to mar- ket cycles but tend to fare better because grocery stores bring foot traffic on a consis- tent basis. Many centers have done a good job of integrating service-oriented retailers. Those in mature trade areas will outperform those on the urban fnnge where residential development has halted. 7. Unanchored strip centers? Struggling. Mom-and-pop retailers who would consid- er opening a third or fourth outlet in better times are holding back this year. What does the shopping center invest- ment landscape look like, and where will it be within a year? It’s challenging because the credit mar- kets remain dysfunctional. Shopping cen- ters have gotten a bad rap due to the struggling housing market and slower consumer spending. These are real, but some investors with cash to spend are hoping to get shopping centers at a dis- count. We haven’t seen much of that yet because we haven’t seen many dis- tressed sales, but that could be changing if the economy softens further and lenders remain tight-fisted. 4 ------- Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 Rental Rates, Premier Urban Shop Space Note: Rental rate data refer to premier retail space ocated in oi near downtown except in predominanty suburban markets, 3,000-square-foot naflonal credit tenant, white-box build-out. Rates are per square foot, quoted on an annual, triple net basis. Canadian data, courtesy of Avison Young, use the exchange rate of Si Canadian Si US. New York: Fifth Avenue (48th —59th) Los Angeles: Rodeo Drive San Francisco: Union Square Chicago: Michigan Ave. at Oak St. San Jose: Westfield Valley Fair Toronto, Canada: Bloor St. West Vancouver, Canada: Robson St. Boston: Newbury St. Montreal, Canada: St. Catherine’s St. W. Miami: South Beach (Collins Ave—Lincoln Rd.) Washington, DC: Gallery Place, 7th and F Str Seattle: Olive to University, from 4th to 7th Philadelphia: Walnut Baltimore: Annapolis San Diego: Horton Gaslamp Orange County: Irvine Spectrum Riverside-San Bern.: Rancho Cucamonga Calgary, Canada: 17th Ave. SW. Oakland: Downtown Walnut Creek, N. Main St. Las Vegas: Summerlin Portland: Pearl District San Antonio: Riverwalk Denver: Lower Downtown Kansas City: Country Club Plaza New Jersey: Ridgewood: Englewood Phoenix: Downtown Scottsdale St. Louis: Clayton/Brentwood/Frontenac Sacramento: Downtown Plaza Atlanta: Midtown Nashville: Downtown Austin: Downtown Albuquerque: Cottonwood Fresno: North Fresno/River Park Orlando: Downtown Dallas-Fort Worth: UptownNictory Pittsburgh: South Side Cincinnati: Fountain Square Houston: Uptown/Galleria area Tampa: New Tampa Boise, ID: Karcher Interchange Columbus, OH: Arena District Indianapolis: Wholesale District Cleveland: E. 4th St. Des Moines: West Glen Richmond: Downtown Bozeman, MT: Downtown Colorado Springs: Downtown Columbia, SC: Vista Jacksonville: Metro South Kalispell, MT: Downtown Winnipeg, Canada: Polo Park/St.James Regina, Canada: Victoria Ave. E. Minneapolis: Minneapolis Downtown Omaha: Downtown South Bend: University Park area Greenville: Downtown Grand Rapids: Downtown Oklahoma City: Bricktown Detroit: Fox Theatre Area Wichita: Old Town $0 I I I I : I I I I 50 100 150 200 2 x, .vv 350 3 -V a) 5 ------- Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA! PACIFIC NORTHWEST Fresno: Retailers are hesitant to expand during .. 2008. Landlords are more willing to negotiate con- cessions especially for a strong tenant willing to IY sign a five-year lease... Oakland-East Bay: Retail remains strong in Downtown Walnut Creek. Mixed-use developments have come to a screeching halt, except in urban locations... Portland: New major developments include Cascade Station and several smaller centers in Vancouver... Sacramento: Suburban development is slowing to a crawl. The longer and deeper the hous- ing slump goes, the greater the effect on the local retail market... San Francisco: Retail sales have softened, but the hotel and restaurant sectors are performing well given the weak U.S. dollar and strong tourist trade... San Jose-Silicon Valley: Shopping center vacancy remains fairly low, but softening consumer spending will negatively impact retailers, pushing vacancy up and rental rates down... Seattle: The core premier downtown retail market continues to thrive with vacancy around 1%. No significant deliveries of retail space are scheduled. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA! PACIFIC SOUTHWEST Los Angeles: The retail market has remained very healthy, and select submarkets have experienced substantial rental rate increases. Depending on the scope and depth of the recession, the market may be able to “ride it out”... Orange County: Increased vacancy is mak- ing landlords more willing to negotiate on rents and concessions. Tenants continue to take down space in the best centers, though the velocity of demand has cooled off from last year... Riverside- San Bernardino: With home foreclosures among the highest in the nation, the market is adding fewer new residents and less dis- posable income. Mid-tier luxury retailers will experience reduced sales volume in cities to the west... San Diego: High incomes, stable employment levels and high barriers to entry have kept national retailers interested in San Diego. Overall vacancy less than 5% has kept property values high. MOUNTAIN/SOUTHWEST Albuquerque: Activity should be especially strong in the South Valley, Rio Rancho, West Mesa and Far North East Heights areas... Boise: This year will see rent adjustments primarily in unanchored strip centers, as well as concessions on TIs and abated rent from landlords... Bozeman: The retail market is expand- ing with the addition of new tenants like Rosauers Supermarket, ‘F , Sportsman’s Warehouse, Office Depot, IHOP, Linens n’ Things, and Bed Bath & Beyond... Colorado Springs: The market will be sta- ble unless the downturn is protracted... Denver: Economic funda- mentals remain solid thanks to continued job and population growth projected for the region. Urban rents are increasing due to a large volume of infill construction with high asking rates... Kalispell: A large mall totaling 750,000 square feet is planned, resulting in a retail market shift from the central part of town to the north... Las Vegas: With national tenants reducing the number of planned openings, it is the most challenging market seen in recent years... Phoenix: Healthy tenant demand continues along with near-record construction levels. In-migration remains strong though job growth was down in 2007. TEXAS/GREAT PLAINS Austin: As more mixed-use developments come online such as the Domain Mueller Austin and Crestview Station these will help ease problems like gndlock insufficient parking and high gas pnces Dallas Fort Worth Strong demographic and employment fundamentals are supporting growth, keeping occu- pancy rates stable. The retail sector will maintain its vitality, largely due to pre-leased construction... Des Moines: Aviva will build a new 360,000-square-foot campus next to the Wells Fargo corporate cam- pus on the south side of Jordan Creek Town Center... Houston: There is an overabundance of new construction with over 12 million square feet of retail development underway. Many of the stores scheduled to open in the coming months were in the pipeline before the housing market began to weaken... Kansas City: The tremen- dous amount of retail development over the past few years has increased competition for tenants and prevented noticeable rent growth... Oklahoma City: National retailers have paused or com- pletely halted expansion in the local market... Omaha: The market is beginning to see a rise in the vacancy rate primarily due to softening in the small shops segment... San Antonio: With more than 4.7 mil- lion square feet of new retail space under construction, vacancy will likely increase because absorption will take awhile to catch up... St. Louis: Although many retailers are slowing their expansion plans, many are looking at how they can improve their portfolios through repositioning, relocating or expanding existing locations... Wichita: Job growth, record-low unemployment levels and a stable residential market will attract retail and restaurant tenants to Wichita. Due to a recently overbuilt strip center market, plenty of Class A, move-in-ready spaces are available for tenants: 6 ------- Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY Chicago: Retailers are freezing their budgets. P’ Landlords offering well located space are more accommodating to tenants whom they might have passed over when the market was stronger Cincinnati: Declining demand, store closures and the delivery of new space already in the construction pipeline will lead to slightly higher vacancy rates. Competitive pressure will push asking rents lower, while new development will proceed cautiously... Cleveland: Retailers that had been expanding are taking a breather, except for new locations that were already committed. Several new projects are expected to get underway in traditionally underserved perimeter counties that have seen a significant growth in population... Columbus: The local slowdown is mainly attributed to limited compa- fly expansion plans as well as a number of large corporate cut- backs... Detroit: The continued success of sporting venues and the completion of three major casinos are generating more foot traffic downtown... Grand Rapids/West Michigan: With limited new con- - struction, tenants will be scrambling to fill what space is available... Indianapolis: Hamilton Town Center, a 950,000-square-foot lifestyle center, opens its first phase in May, which may impact the venerable stleton Square Mall area... Minneapolis-St. Paul: Many retail . nters are waiting on significant pre-leasing prior to breaking ground... South Bend: Open-air lifestyle centers continue to expand throughout St. Joseph County. NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC Baltimore: As construction costs remain high, the attitude has shifted from “if you build it, they will come” to “wait and see.” Maryland is a beneficiary of the Base Realignment and Closures (BRAC) which is relocating thousands of jobs to the state, keeping optimism high.. Boston: A number of overseas funds have recently purchased retail buildings in central Boston. Several million square feet of urban and suburban retail development is coming online over the next 24 months... New Jersey: A slumping housing market combined with turmoil in the credit markets, a weakening labor market and volatile energy prices are overshadowing New Jersey consumers... New York City: Expect the market to soften as foreign, chain-store and big-box retailers pull back on their store requirements because of a weak U.S. economy... Philadelphia: A rise in local unemployment rates coupled with deteriorating consumer confidence levels have put the brakes on he steady rise in rents that retail space had enjoyed over the past t years... Pittsburgh: Entertainment and restaurant venues are expected to benefit from a planned new hockey arena in the CBD for the Pittsburgh Penguins and the first slots casino built on the North Shore of the CBD/Fringe area... Washington, DC: New projects still command higher rents due to construction costs. The region has not been affected as dramatically as other parts of the U.S. SOUTHEAST Atlanta Suburban retail markets continue to expand with steady rental rate growth occumng as new development spreads north Rehabbed cen ters are commanding rates on par with new con- struction... Columbia: Developers are struggling to get financing for land to continue expanding... Greenville- Spartanburg: Several major projects have been put on hold due to financing issues, although the market is faring relatively well amid the national economic downtum... Jacksonville: Land prices are stable in most areas with a slight increase in the main trade areas of the county... Miami: South Beach remains strong with support from inter- national tourism. Tenants are showing greater caution in expanding and evaluating the economics of their leases... Mobile: The retail market has stabilized following three years of steady expansion. Growth is expected to resume in response to ongoing economic development initiatives... Nashville: With minimal new construction being completed, vacancy is expected to level out... Orlando: Inline shop space activity has slowed in all but the hottest submarkets. Many owners have begun offering incentives, especially in second generation space... Richmond: Another 3.7 million square feet of retail space will be delivered over the next year... Tampa: The retail market is expected to slow in tandem with the economy. New retail development will be built on a pre-leased basis and in established submarkets. CANADA Calgary: Close to 5.5 million square feet of new retail space is planned for delivery between 2008 and 2011... Montreal: The low unemployment rate is fueling consumer spending and contributing to strong retail sales. Falling vacancy rates are accompanied by an increase in rental rates... Regina: Retail growth continues in east and northwest Regina. Substantial new retail devel- opment also is planned in southwest Regina... Toronto: Many U.S.- based retailers, lacking confidence in domestic markets, are looking to Toronto as a possible new market to be tapped in 2008... Vancouver: The retail rental market continues to drive on despite the high Canadian dollar. Supply shortages are expected throughout the balance of 2008... Winnipeg: Retail vacancy levels recently achieved a 17-year low despite more than 3 million square feet of power centre development over the past few years. The economic slowdown and mortgage crisis south of the border combined with high construction costs is expected to dampen power centre development. 7 ------- Grubb & Ellis Office Locations at tnhèG Sn Retail Market Trends Summer 2008 • (3rubhuEllis. Property Solutions Worldwide Ga S S _ f l ‘“4 •’ . # ‘ ? • — RI a- ‘ ‘NJ MD DE ‘fl \ ‘. * 5s04 - ‘ a 0160.08.174. ti £U JO ijiutjU S tiuib ¼Uui4Jauuy ------- Warehouse Market Trends North America Grubb & Ellis Research 1 hird Quarter 2007 • Property Solutions Worldwide Contents The Bottom Line 1 Vacancy Rates 2 Commentary 3-4 Rental Rates 5 Metro Spotlight 6-7 Warehouse Market Trends is a newsletter published semi-annually by Grubb & Ellis Company. To obtain additional copies or other Grubb & Ellis publications, please contact: Robert Bach Senior Vice President Phone: 312.698.6754 Grubb & Ellis Company 500 West Monroe Street Suite 2800 Chicago, IL 60661 E-mail: research@grubb-ellis.com Internet: www.grubb-ellis.com For more information on Canadian markets, please visit Avison Young at www.avisonyoung.com or contact Sherman DeSouza at 416.673.4039 or sdesouza@ay-on,com. Market in Balance 10% — 8.5 8.4 8.0 8.2 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.8 I I I I 9%-: The Bottom Line U.S. Warehouse Vacancy Rate The market for warehouse/distribution space has been remarkably stable for the past five quarters with vacancy shifting by less than 10 basis points. Construction activity continues to creep higher every quarter, but absorp- tion of space has kept pace thanks to a number of factors: very strong imports, still-healthy corporate profits, retail sales that have held up rea- sonably well despite the housing crash, and the ongoing re-engineering of supply chains, often with the assistance of third-party logistics companies. Expect demand for space to remain moderate over the next few quarters, with little overbuilding and broadly stable rental rates. 8% 7% I I I I I I I I I Q3105 Q4/05 01/06 02/06 03/06 04/06 Q1107 02/07 03/07 © 2007 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 Total Market Vacancy Rates Note: Vacancy data refer to warehouse/distribution buildings with size thresholds ranging from 5,000 square feet in smaller markets to 25,000 square feet in larger markets. Inventory includes multi-tenant, single-tenant and owner-occupied space. Canadian data are courtesy of Avison Young. Calgary, Canada Edmonton, Canada Vancouver, Canada Los Angeles Kalispefi, MT Bozeman, MT Fresno Oakland-East Bay Regina, Canada Wichita Bakersfield Winnipeg, Canada Orange Co., CA Austin Orlando Riverside-San Bernardino Minneapolis-St. Paul Portland, OR Houston Toronto, Canada Tampa Bay New Jersey, Southern Lincoln, NE Boise, ID Madison Albuquerque Omaha San Jose Las Vegas Miami Montreal, Canada Denver BrowardCo., FL Milwaukee Long Island San Antonio Phoenix Columbia, SC Halifax, Canada Kansas City Norfolk South Bend, IN Colorado Springs St. Louis Jacksonville Delaware Washington, DC Seattle Dallas-Fort Worth Greensboro-Winston Salem Nashville Chicago Reno-Sparks Charleston, SC Philadelphia New Jersey, No. & Central Grand Rapids Mobile San Diego Cincinnati Indianapolis Palm Beach Co., FL Baltimore Charlotte Columbus, OH Cleveland Greenville, SC Sacramento Pittsburgh Boston Atlanta Detroit Raleigh Richmond Kalamazoo, MI Memphis Oklahoma City 0 / I0 4 8 2 12 © 2007 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 Commentary Is Real Estate Ready for Logistics? By Linda G Tresslar Managing Director, Strategic Consulting, Grubb & Ellis Company Great changes have been afoot in the areas of supply chain management and logistics over the past decade. The flow of commodities and manufactured goods worldwide has grown exponentially, fueling quantum leaps in infrastructure improvements to keep pace with glob- al demand. But has the industrial real estate marketplace in the U.S. kept pace? Do we even know what we don’t know, to paraphrase a recent popular quote? While you can no longer pick up any news print without becoming aware of the increasingly global nature of our economy, there has been ‘tie focus until recently of the role that the industrial real estate market needs to play in this evolving market of global logistics. The key unknown is whether real estate can respond to become part of the successful supply chain con- tinuum or will it be an antiquated part of the process? Developing economies have the advantage of having to respond to real estate requirements with a relatively blank slate, while more developed economies in Europe and the U.S. are faced with free market responses and lots of exist- ing real estate product that may or may not meet current user requirements. If other aspects of the supply chain con- Warehouse Market Terms and Definitions tinuum, such as rail and other transport modes are forced to find ways to circumvent and minimize real estate use, how will this impact the long-term health of our industrial real estate markets? A key part of the answer lies in being able to gauge whether our existing industrial real estate product is sufficient to meet the changing dynamics of the global supply chain. If not, how do we determine the optimal real estate solutions? The markets that are poised from a physical location perspective to provide optimal real estate solutions will prove to be the Ion g4erm winners. Global Infrastructure—Global Traffic Jams Ports, waterways, rail and trucks—all aspects of the logistics continuum are going though major growing pains throughout the world. The flow of goods is driven by global dynamics and there is no turning back. This is true for the U.S. indus- trial real estate market as well. We have seen the inflow of imports increase steadily over the past decade (up from $500 million to over $1.8 billion between 1990 and 2006), putting pressure on existing ports and railways which have long lead times to respond to increases in demand. We have not added any new ports or major rail systems during this time. Ports are stressed to capacity for the most part. Certain key markets in the U.S., like the greater Chicago industrial market, are experiencing sig- nificant supply chain delays, causing inventory gridlock and increased supply chain costs, as goods are backlogged waiting for the transition from rail to other end-market modes of transporta- tion. The current logistics answer for some is to travel all the way around the tip of South America to reach the East Coast. This may not appear to make any sense, yet in some cases, this route shaves days (money) off the sup- ply chain cost and speeds end market delivery. Inventory: Warehouse/distribution inventory includes all multi-tenant, single tenant and owner-occupied buildings at least 10,000 square feet. Construction Type: Speculative (“spec”) construction is designed to attract tenants likely to be in the market when the project is leasing. Build-to-suit construction is designed for a specific tenant. Physical Features: Warehouse/distribution buildings typically have office build outs of 5 to 10 percent, clear heights of 16 feet and up, typical bay depths of up to 400 feet, typical suite sizes of 25,000 square feet and up, and dock-high loading. Vacancy and Availability: The vacancy rate is the amount of physically vacant space divided by the inventory. The availability rate is the amount of space available for lease divided by the inventory. Net Absorption: The net change in physically occupied space over a period of time. sking Rent: This is the dollar amount asked by landlords for available space expressed in dollars per square 3ot per year in most parts of the country and dollars per square foot per month in areas of California and selected other markets. Warehouse rents are expressed as triple net where all costs including, but not limited to, real estate taxes, insurance and common area maintenance are borne by the tenant on a pro rata basis. Average Weighted Asking Rent: An average market rent where the asking rent for each building in the market is weighted by the amount of available space in the building. 3 © 2007 Grubb & Ellis company ------- Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 commentary (continued) What can the real estate market do to alleviate these costly traffic jams? It will require building the appropriate type of real estate in the optimal locations should it not exist today, and with speed to market pressures of these users, can it be built fast enough or will they be forced to accept inferior solutions? The markets that are poised from a physical loca- tion perspective to provide optimal real estate solutions will prove to be the long-term winners, given that they are pro- viding market responsive solutions. You Have to Have a Place to Put It—How Is Real Estate Responding? New industrial warehouse product is being built in key logis- tics markets throughout the U.S. that can meet the needs of the new breed of supply chain users. But is this product being built fast enough and in the right places to effectively ‘neet the challenges presented by the current global supply hain dynamics? And how does one measure the supply / demand equilibrium? Do our previous methods provide reli- able measures of market health and suitability for the user? A key step, which this warehouse report provides, is to focus attention specifically on the warehouse inventory in a market and its relative health. Then one can begin to assess whether the market also exhibits the key market attributes that will ensure its ability to meet future global supply chain requirements, not just for the real estate attributes but for other aspects including transportation, etc. For most of the time that industrial real estate has been for- mally tracked as an asset class, it has been measured and tracked market by market on a square footage basis. The only cost factors measured have been real estate, rents and other real estate related operating costs, not any other sup- ply chain related market costs. We have focused on the amount of ‘space:in a market, the age of overall inventory and how fast it is absorbed. Not until fairly recently have market measures begun to focus on industrial space based )fl its usage type. Ceiling height, cross docking, and other physical attributes that are essential to logistics users of warehouse have not been identified and tracked in most markets, leaving potential users without the ability to gauge a market’s capacity and strength relative to their specific use requirements. How much of U.S. industrial real estate is built to handle the new requirements of supply chain and logis- tics? And how much existing warehouse product is suitable to these needs? Are we asking the right questions before building industrial product these days? Developers will pay close attention to a user’s specifications, but how often do they delve deep enough to understand how they may be able to improve supply chain dynamics that the user may not even be considering or be aware of. How Do We Know If Real Estate Is Ready? With the market for industrial real estate continuing to shift toward logistic and supply chain driven manufacturing and warehousing, it is time to move our methods for measuring the health and capacity of industrial real estate ma particu- lar market or region based on the new demands of this growing user base. The increase in volume and speed of goods flow has spurred the ongoing development of inter- modal facilities throughout the United States, responding to the need to combine, in a physical place, the confluence of rail, air or water transport to warehouse to truck for continua- tion of supply chain dynamics. Yet, we do not typically seg- ment a market’s industrial real estate to track intermodal, separate from warehouse; We also do not monitor other aspects of a market that are directly linked with real estate in the global supply chain, such as transportation costs, drayage costs, to give users a more complete picture of the relative viability of a market’s industrial real estate product. Until the real estate industry begins to develop not only product specifically geared to improving global supply chain dynamics, but compelling means of measuring and monitor- ing its relative market health, the industry will not be able effectively benefit from the significant shifts afoot in the glob- al economy and its attendant supply chain. © 2007 Grubb & Ellis company 4 ------- Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 Asking Rental Rates Note: Rental rate data refer to space that is available on the market at the end of the quarter. Rates are per square foot, quoted on a triple net basis. Rates for each building are weighted by the amount of available space within the building. Canadian data are courtesy of Avison Young. Canadian rental rates are in U.S. dollars using the exchange rate of $1 Canadian $O.958361 US. MARKET: WAREHOUSE-DISTRIBUTION WTD. RENT Long Island Palm Beach Co., FL Broward Co., FL Bozeman, MT Austin Washington, DC Las Vegas Oran eCo., CA San Diego Kalispell, MT Los Angeles Edmonton, Canada Vancouver, Canada Miami Calgary, Canada Halifax, Canada Albuquerque Phoenix San Jose Boise, ID Orlando Tampa Bay Toronto, Canada Oakland-East Bay Sacramento New Jersey, No. & Central Montreal, Canada Boston Colorado Springs Seattle Norfolk .verside-San Bernardino Regina, Canada Baltimore Houston Portland, OR Minneapolis-St. Paul Bakersfield Winnipeg, Canada New Jersey, Southern Indianapolis St. Louis Delaware Philadelphia Charleston, SC ________________________________________ Pittsburgh Chicago Denver ___________________________________ Raleigh San Antonio __________________________________ Detroit Omaha Reno-Sparks Jacksonville Mobile Milwaukee Fresno ____________________ Dallas-Fort Worth __________________________________ Wichita ________________________________________ Charlotte ______________________________________ Madison _____________________________________ Columbia, SC _________________________________ Atlanta ____________________________________ Nashville Richmond _______________ Cleveland _______________ South Bend, IN ______________ Cincinnati ________________ Oklahoma City Grand Rapids Greensboro-Winston Salem _______________________________ Kalamazoo, Ml Kansas Ci Greenville, S Memphis Columbus, OH Lincoln, NE - 2 4 8 10 5 © 2007 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 Metro Spotlight NORTHERN CALIFORNIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST Fresno: Unique to the Central Valley are cold stor- age and packing facilities along with cotton gins, warehouses and indus- trial zoned land set in rural areas. A number of facilities are currently on the market for sale with non-agricultural users looking at purchas- ing and converting the properties... Oakland-East Bay: Over 431,000 square feet of absorption dropped the warehouse vacancy rate in the 1-80/1-880 corridor by 70 basis points to 2.8 percent. San Leandro and Emeryville drove the market this quarter... Portland: Increasing rental rates are luring speculative developers back into the market. Land values and sales have picked up significantiy in the last 12-18 months... Sacramento: Absorption of warehouse space totaled 380,000 square feet this quarter... San Jose-Silicon Valley: Despite the credit squeeze, most companies are moving forward with their growth and expansion plans... Seattle: Asking rents for warehouse space in Kent have remained at their recent peak. Rents in prime submarkets will inch up even as new construction is delivered. ____________ Bakersfield: Demand _______________ has decreased slightly, but _______________ lease rates are stable... Los Angeles: Vacancy is at an historic low. The warehousing and wholesale trade sectors are driving the mar- ket... Orange County: Proximity to the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach are spurring demand, but lease opportunities for large tenants are nearly nonexistent... Riverside-San Bernardino: Willing to pay a premium to be closer to the Los Angeles ports, many large distribution users west of 1-15 are signing lease renewals rather than tI J L. ULJjL i . . .L SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA moving east, near 1-215, for lower rents. Large tenants seeking to locate in the western sub- markets are hard pressed to find spaces in excess of 100,000 square feet... San Diego: The credit squeeze resulted in a slight softening of asking rates and sales prices. MOUNTAIN! SOUTHWEST Albuquerque: Spec construction is gradually increasing, but very little of it is warehouse space... Boise: The availability of new warehouse space has decreased, placing landlords in a stronger position... Bozeman: Absorption of new warehouse product has slowed with the downturn of construction related companies... Colorado Springs: The market is seeing moderate leasing activity... Denver: Overall industrial vacancy rates moved lower this quarter in a majority of submarkets. But in the major warehousing submarkets, users are being cau- tious in their expansion plans or actually down- sizing in some cases... Kalispell: With few properties available, warehouse space is quickly absorbed... Las Vegas: Blue Diamond Center and Arroyo North, both of which have plans for expansion, will help meet the high demand for warehouse product in the Southwest submar- ket... Phoenix: Construction is at record lev- els, driven by distribution product in Southwest Phoenix. Overall net absorption has been lack- luster so far this year... Reno: New big-box spec space is attracting moderate interest. TEXAS! GREAT PLAINS Austin: Warehouse prod- uct absorbed 231,000 square feet this quarter, pushing vacancy down by 70 basis points to 3.9 percent... Dallas-Fort Worth: Demand for warehouse space has been robust this year, trailing only the booming Riverside-San Bernardino market east of Los Angeles... Houston: Warehouse space absorbed an astonishing 2.5 million square feet in the third quarter, pushing the yearly total to nearly 5.1 million square feet. The robust demand is due to increased activity at the Port of Houston and the booming energy industry, which is forcing oilfield service companies to expand or relocate to the area... Kansas City: The market is poised to take on a more important role for regional and national distribu- tion companies with the development of two multi-modal rail yards in Gardner, Kan. and Grandview, Mo... Lincoln: Quoted rates have been sliding for the past four quarters... Oklahoma City: Tenant and investor interest is strong. Buildings for sale of any size are hard to find... Omaha: Year-to-date absorption of warehouse space has been strong at nearly 700.000 square feet... San Antonio: Warehouse properties absorbed nearly 300,000 square feet in the third quarter, pushing vacancy lower by 20 basis points... St. Louis: Several spec warehouse projects were completed and entered the market vacant in the third quarter, causing a slight dip in rental rates... Wichita: Global demand for aircraft has pushed vacancy sharply lower over the past year. GREAT LAKES! OHIO VALLEY Chicago: The 12.5 mile 1-355 extension will open in November, making Will County even more attrac- tive for mega-distribution projects. Will County is the primary location for international contain- er shipments in the Chicago area due to the BNSF Intermodal Center in Elwood... Cincinnati: Leasing activity is healthy, though net absorption of warehouse space is slightly in the red this year... Cleveland: Tenants will have several new options when 1 million square feet of spec space is delivered over the next six months. This will keep rents down for existing and redeveloped product... Columbus: Spec development is strong in © 2007 Grubb & Ellis Company 6 ------- Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 1 etro Spotlight (continued) the Licking submarket, particularly Etna, and the Southeast submarket surrounding the Rickenbacker intermodal facility... Detroit: Cost cutting in the automotive industry has pushed warehouse absorption into the red year-to-date by 560,000 square feet... Grand Rapids/West Michigan: The market has slowed, though year-to-date absorption of warehouse space, about 821,000 square feet, is running slightly ahead of the same period last year... Indianapolis: Bulk distribution nd logistics facilities are in demand, along with midsize buildings. Plainfield remains the hub of activity... Kalamazoo: Leasing activi- ty picked up in the third quarter... Milwaukee: The market saw modest rent gains and lower vacancy this quarter... Minneapolis: Some key properties with sig- nificant absorption this quarter include IGH flistribution Center in Inver Grove Heights and in Distribution Center II in Eagan... South Bend: Although the warehouse mar- ket in the South Bend area is quite small, areas of northwest Indiana in closer proximity to Chicago offer excellent potential for a multi- modal inland port development. NORTHEAST! MID-ATLANTIC Baltimore More than 715,000 square feetwas leased in the third quarter by Restoration Hardware, Solo Cup, Time Critical Freight and Delsey Luggage Inc. in the BWI Area/Route 1 and Harford County submarkets, pushing vacancy lower... Boston: The warehouse market saw negative absorption of 365,000 square feet in the third quarter, giving back part of the nearly 1.4 million square feet absorbed over the prior three quarters... Long Island: Though not j ig distribution market, asking rental rates warehouse space are the highest in North America... New Jersey: The warehouse mar- ket has been manic-depressive in recent quar- ters, swinging between large negative and posi- tive absorption totals. Nearly 6.2 million square feet is in the construction pipeline... Philadelphia: The market posted its healthi- est quarter this year, absorbing nearly 3 million square feet of warehouse space. Demand was robust in the Northeastem Pennsylvania submar- ket... Pittsburgh: Along the Route 576 Findlay Connector, the signage has been installed for West Port, the 1,000 acre develop- ment at Exit 4, and the water and sewer installa- tion is on schedule for a spring 2008 delivery. This could help put western Pennsylvania on the logistics map... Washington, DC: Dulles International Airport is a magnet for bulk distribu- tion space. A number of leases have been signed along the Route 28 Corridor, which pro- vides direct access to the airport. I SOUTHEAST Atlanta: Vacancy remains several percentage points above the U.S. average, though moderating con- struction activity should help the market recover... Broward County: The warehouse market absorbed nearly 500,000 square feet this quarter... Charleston: A subsidiary of Dubai International announced its intention to pur- chase 1,300 acres near Orangeburg, S.C. for development of a multimodal logistics project. The site is near the proposed Jasper, S.C. port expansion, which will be far larger than the Charleston or Savannah ports and will be run jointly by the states of South Carolina and Georgia... Greenville-Spartanburg: Adidas is consolidating distribution operations from three states to a new 1.9 million-square- foot facility in Spartanburg, which will be com- pleted in 2009. The combination of available land and decent interstate access makes the region attractive for the development of other distribution facilities... Jacksonville: Jaxport Terminal expansions continue to bolster demand for space... Miami: Strong demand for warehouse space drove absorption above 1.2 million square feet year-to-date... Memphis: Nearly 1.3 million square feet of new space has been delivered this year with an additional 2 mil- lion under construction... Mobile: Mobile Container Terminal opening next summer will offer an improved option for shippers to reach the Midwest and Southeast... Nashville: The warehouse sector remains in high demand, absorbing almost 1 million square feet year-to- date... Orlando: The market is growing as a distribution hub for Florida, absorbing nearly 1.9 million square feet of warehouse space in the third quarter alone... Palm Beach County: Absorption was negative for the third quarter and also year-to-date, though asking rent for ware- house space is up by double digits over the past four quarters... Raleigh-Durham: Companies related to housing construction have leased a lot of warehouse space since 2005, making the sector susceptible to a slowdown... Richmond: An agreement was finalized by Liberty Property Trust with a distribution tenant for a 100.000-square-foot build-to-suit near the airport. Several other large users are in the mar- ket kicking the tires... Tampa: Warehouse rents dipped in the third quarter, but not enough to seriously dent the landlord’s market. CANADA (courtesy of Avison Young) Calgary: Warehouse • vacancy is tied with Edmonton for the lowest — __ ________ rate in North America... Edmonton: Several new developments are nearing completion, providing some options for users... Halifax: Construction has been vibrant this year... Montreal: Vacancy and rental rates remained stable in the third quarter... Regina: National and international firms are targeting distribution facilities in Saskatchewan... Toronto: The supply of vacant land is constrict- ing... Vancouver: Warehouse space is in very short supply... Winnipeg: Most new development taking place within the City boundary is situated in the Southwest. 7 © 2007 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Grubb & Ellis Office Locations Warehouse Market Trends Third Quarter 2007 • © 2007 Grubb & Ellis Company Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third party sources and has not been independently verified by Grubb & Ellis. Grubb & Ellis makes no warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof. Property Solutions Worldwide ------- Richard Bowers & Co: 01 2008 Atlanta office market report Absorption rates nearly double compared to Qi 2007; quoted rental rates up $.55 Qi 2008 summary Atlanta (April 9, 2008) — The 2008 calendar year started strong for the Atlanta office market, posting positive absorption of 376,152 square feet, nearly double the 190.362 from Qi 2007. Urban submarkets absorbed 161,209 square feet, led by Midtown with 129,031 fol towed by downtown with 53,791. Buckhead suffered negative absorption of 21,613 square feet. Suburban submarkets had positive absorption of 214,943 square feet; 125,756 square feet in the 1-285/GA - 400 submarket, 113,656 in Decatur, and 105,569 in the Georgia 400 North submarkets. Average rental rates across all Atlanta submarkets increased modestly from $21.15 in the fourth quarter of 2007 to $21.43 in the first quarter of 2008, supporting previous predictions by Richard Bowers & Co., that rental rates should increase by as much as $1 per square foot over 2008. The average rental rate for the urban corridor is $24.05 per square foot compared to the suburbs at $20.11 per square foot, nearly a $4.00 per square foot differential. With no new deliveries of commercial office space in the quarter, vacancy rates decreased slightly from 15.33 percent in Q4 2007 to 15.04 percent in QI 2008. However, five new Buckhead office towers under construction total 2,465,771 square feet and will be delivered over the next three years: Sovereign in 2008 with 496,921 square feet; Terminus 200 in 2009 with 564,850 square feet; Two Alliance Center in 2009 with 493,000 square feet; 3630 Peachtree in 2009 with 425,000 square feet; and Phipps Tower in 2010 with 486,000 square feet. Because of all the new office and other commercial and residential development, traffic congestion will certainly become more pronounced in Buckhead due to the small number of major roads and limited expressway accessibility. Existing office buildings afford excellent values and concessions compared to new office towers, many of which are priced at or above $30.00 per rentable square foot. Notwithstanding, new buildings also offer concessions and excellent tenant improvement allowances. Because of higher gasoline prices and longer commutes, a number of major companies are also considering locations that offer public transportation, favoring the urban corridor and particularly Downtown, ------- a submarket with excellent values and lower rental rates than the other urban submarkets, Midtown and Buckhead. The outlook for the remainder of the year is moderately optimistic, despite some space being returned to the market by AT&T and others, a number of tenants who have reduced space or gone out of business, and additional subleasing availability. Atlanta is still the second-fastest growing U.S. city in terms of population, with the world’s busiest airport, and it will continue to perform relatively well, particularly with limited new deliveries and with several out-of-town users considering Atlanta for major relocations. About Richard Bowers & Co: Founded in 1980, Richard Bowers & Co. is Atlanta ‘s premier local commercial real estate firm. The firm engages in leasing and sales of office, industrial, retail, land and investment properties. Online at www. richardbowcrs.coin . ------- RICHARD BOWERS & CO. 04/04/08 QUARTERLY OFFICE REPORT Categ: Urban/Suburban Market Analysis Summary 1st Quarter 2008 1st Quarter 2008 1st Quarter 2007 Year to Date Absorption 376,152 190,362 1st Quarter’s Absorption 376,152 190,362 Total Existing Square Feet 130,046,429 128,105,358 Total Available Square Feet 19,565,208 20,842,050 Percent Of Total Space Vacant 15.04% 16.27% Average Quoted Rental Rate $21.43 $20.88 Space Delivered YTD - Square Feet 0 100,788 (Does not include net losses) Net Absorption 2008 Total Available Square Feet : Midtown 129,031 1-75/1-285 3,155,107 I-285/GA-400 125,756 Downtown 2,945,718 Decatur 113,656 I-285/GA-400 2,848,508 GA-400 North 105,569 Midtown 2,066,274 Downtown 53,791 GA-400 North 1,838,390 Total Existing Square Feet: Submarket Occupancy Rate I-285/GA-400 21,980,673 1-75 Corridor 93.43% 1-75/1-285 18,639,466 Decatur 91.83% Downtown 17,059,337 1-285/1-85/Northiake 91.31% GA-400 North 15,153,001 NE Expressway - South 88.52% Midtown 13,713,498 GA-400 North 87.87% Average Quoted Rental Rate BuckheadILeno $26.33 Midtown $25.44 I -285/GA-400 $22.69 Downtown $21.23 1-75/1-285 $21.19 ------- Urban Downtown Midtown BuckheadlLenox Urban Totals Suburban Airport/South Decatur GA-400 North I-20W/Greenbriar I-285/GA-400 1-285/1-85/Northiake I-285E/Stone Mm 1-75 Corridor 1-75/ 1-285 I-75N/MariettalJF NE Expressway-North NE Expressway-South Peachtree Corners Suburban Totals Total/W. Averages Total Sq.Ft . 17,059,337 13,713,498 12,798,170 43,571,005 2,960,322 1,141,165 15,153,001 321,053 21,980,673 4,480,184 403,932 1,127,333 18,639,466 3,094,873 4,501,115 4,663,151 8,009,156 86,475,424 130,046,429 Vacant Sq. Ft . 2,945,718 2,066,274 1,637,458 6 ,649,450 644,882 93,226 1,838,390 53,827 2,848,508 835,862 35,118 74,062 3,155,107 482,589 1,014,170 535,098 1,304,919 12,915,758 Totals By Submarket 1st Quarter 2008 Occupancy Rate 82.73% 84.93% 87.2 1% 84.74% 78.22% 91.83% 87.87% 83.23% 87.04% 81.34% 91.3 1% 93.43% 83.07% 84.41% 77.47% 88.52% 83.7 1% 85.06% 19,565,208 84.96% Absorption This Otr 53,791 129,031 ( 21,613) 161,209 (47,528) 113,656 105,569 505 125,756 (9,876) (58,038) 20,100 6,847 (29,397) 26,486 (50,584) 11,447 214,943 Absorption YTD 53,791 129,031 ( 21,613) 161 .209 (47,528) 113,656 105,569 505 125,756 (9,876) (58,038) 20,100 6,847 (29,397) 26,486 (50,584) 11,447 214,943 Avg. Rent Rate $21.23 $25.44 $26.33 $24.05 $16.49 $20.24 $19.47 $14.31 $22.69 $17.63 $13.61 $22.23 $21.19 $18.83 $18.44 $ 18.45 $17.13 $20.11 376,152 376,152 $21.43 Area Map Area Boundaries 1. Downtown 2. Midtown 3. Buckhead/Lenox 4. 1-75 Corridor 5. 1-75/1-285 6. 1-75N/MariettalJohnson Ferry 7. 1-20 W/Greenbriar 8. Airport/South 9. 1-285 E/Stone Mountain 10.Decatur 11. 1-285/1-85/Northlake 12. NE Expressway-South 13. NE Expressway-North 14. Peachtree Corners 15. I-285/GA-400 16. GA-400 North Atlanta Office Market: Comparison by Submarkets Richard Bowers & Co. www.richardbowers.com 404-816-1600 ------- Class “A” Average Vacant Occupancy Rental Rata Rata Vacant Occupancy SoFt Rate Urban Corridor Downtown Midtown BuckheadlLenox Urban Totals/Averages Suburban Airport/South Decatur GA-400 North l-20WlGreenbriar l-285 1GA-400 l-285 1 1-85fNorihlake I-2S5EIStone Mtn 1-75 Corridor 1-7511-285 l-75N/Marietta/JF NE Expressway-North NE Expressway-South Peachtree Corners Suburban Totals/Averages Totals & Averages 9,168.016 1.493,503 83 71% $2262 9.677.960 1.595.885 83 51% $27 90 8.002.167 960.676 8799% $2842 26,848.143 4.050.064 84.91% $26.25 757.469 219.525 7102% $1983 405,038 31.857 92 13% $23 14 11,183,564 1,256,086 8877% $2048 0 0 n/a n/a 14.545.701 1.707.721 8826% $2448 522.357 104.486 8000% $1984 54.681 25,153 5400% $2080 212,000 0 10000% $3000 12.308,332 1.956,923 84 10% $23 II 1.558.599 211.779 8641% $2065 2.869,722 638.971 77 73% $1999 474,436 27,319 94 24% $2181 2.285.643 189.956 91 69% $1989 47,l 77,542 6.369.776 86.50% $22.41 74,025.685 10,419,840 85.92% $23.80 Total Comparison by Sub-Market, continued Class “B” Total EL Vacant Occupancy _ft Rate Average Rental Rate Class “C” Total Sci Ft Average Rental Rate 6,687.357 3.217.018 4.546.070 14,450.445 1.320531 292.172 657.158 2.269,861 8025% 90 92% 85.54% 84.29% $1996 $2024 $2306 $21.00 1.141.470 736.127 3.949,437 53.000 86.368 61.369 577.304 8,480 92 43% 91 66% 85 38% 8400% $1599 $1865 $1661 $23 25 6.202.092 2.247.830 220.668 840.033 791.336 466.532 5,265 65,779 87 24% 7925% 97 61% 92 17% $1998 $17 58 $1272 $2049 5,648,873 1,168.356 1.599.569 3,728,385 5.091.185 1,036.684 206.982 372.017 481,554 883.812 81 65% 82 28% 7674% 87 08% 8264% $17 74 $1757 $15.69 $1838 $1639 32,627,025 5,043,482 84.54% $17.78 47,077,470 7,313,343 84.47% $18.77 1.203,964 81&520 249.933 2,272,417 131.684 178.217 19.624 329,525 8906% 7823% 92 15% 85.50% $1771 $1685 $1905 $17.55 1,061,383 0 20.000 268.053 338,989 0 5.000 45,347 6806% n/a 7500% 83 08% $1466 nit $17 00 $1254 1.232,880 1,709.997 128,583 75,300 349.451 264.844 4.700 8,283 71 66% 8451% 96 34% 8900% $15 34 $1700 $1208 $1969 682,261 367.918 31.824 460,330 632.328 161.500 63,828 3,182 26,225 231.151 76 33% 82 65% 90 00% 94 30% 63 44% $1504 $1509 $1700 $1559 $1312 6,670,857 1,502.500 77.48% $15.31 8,943,274 1,832,025 79.52% $15.88 Richard Bo ser, & (.0. sichardboner .co,n 404-816-1600 ------- SOUTHEAST SNAPSHOT. OCTOBER 2007 Southeast Real Estate Business Magazine Atlanta Retail Market When looking at Atlanta’s retail sector, mixed-use continues to be the biggest trend, and it is having an effect on both urban and suburban areas. In urban areas, a lack of land has forced developers to use land for the highest and best use, causing many to go vertical Cousin’s Terminus development, featuring high-rise towers offering residential, office and retail space, in Buckhead at the corner of Peachtree and Piedmont roads is transforming one of the key intersections in the city with its mix of office. residential and retail components However, the most exciting retail project in Buckhead. and perhaps in the entire Atlanta area, is The Streets of Buckhead Ben Carter’s $1 2 billion visionary project will turn the former Buckhead Village area — once ground zero of Atlanta nightlife — into an 800,000-square-foot mixed-use mecca, with high-end shopping believed to rival Rodeo Drive in Beverly Hills and Madison Avenue in New York City The project recently broke ground with the demolition of Ci’s Landing. once one of Atlanta’s favorite watering holes Moving south along Peachtree is Midtown, one of the hottest retail markets in the city Midtown encourages people to walk, so it is no wonder that it has become the epicenter for the live/work/play concept With its mix of street-front restaurants and shops below office and condominium towers, the area attracts pedestrian traffic 7 days a week The new Atlantic Station development has given the Atlanta market a new retail destination, arid it has become the project to which others seek to be compared Midtown also has the distinction of being selected as the home of Donald Trump’s first Atlanta project. Trump Towers Located at the corner of 15th and West Peachtree streets, the $300 million development will feature two condominium towers and luxury retail Downtown, the mixed-use story us best illustrated by Allen Plaza. Barry Real Estate’s $1 5 billion project that, when complete. will encompass 200,000 square feet of retail and restaurants along with its office and residential components The project has brought life to a formerly underutilized part of the submarket, and features a restaurant. French American Brasserie. that has quickly earned itself a place among the city’s other fine dining establishments In addition, Barry is in talks with Publix to bring a grocery store to the project, which would be the first major retailer to come to the Central Business District in a long while Moving north, one of suburban Atlanta’s most exciting projects is Prospect Park in Alpharetta, Georgia Thomas Enterprises’ 64-acre mixed-use property will offer upscale luxury in a suburban location The project’s retail component is The Forum Collection, 770.000 square feet of high-end. open-air retail that will become a destination for north Fulton County residents who once needed to drive into Buckhead to take advantage of luxury shopping It will also bring a much needed multiplex cinema to the area along with a spa and a Jazz and supper Club, among other entertainment features In addition to Prospect Park. Vickery in Forsyth County is one of the best examples of suburban live/work/play in a dense residential market north of Atlanta With growth to the north, south, east and west, the Atlanta retail landscape is large enough to accommodate a variety of players Companies such as Sembler. Cousins, Inland. Thomas Enterprises and Ben Carter Properties are dominating the scene with high-profile projects. while new retailers are continuing to find a foothold in the Atlanta market QSR5. or quick- service restaurants, seem to be expanding so rapidly. it is hard to keep track of those entering the market Raving Brands. with its flagship. Moe’s. has set the standard in the city, however, there are a number of others gaining ground Rising Roll. 5 Guys Burgers. FROOTS. Jittery Joe’s and Rita’s Ice, to name but a few, have brought some interesting new concepts to the Atlanta marketplace Both H Mart and Grand Mart are catering to the Hispanic and Asian markets. primarily in the Gwinnett County area Occupancy rates vary REITs seem to be at 93 percent to 97 percent occupancy, grocery-anchored centers hover between 88 to 93 percent occupancy, while shadow strips and independents are running 10 to 20 percent lower Independent strip centers without national brands are having trouble attracting credit worthy tenants Looking toward the future, the Georgia Highway 400/north Fulton County market will continue to be strong. with retail growth in the Cumming area Midtown and Buckhead continue to thrive with residential condominiums and restaurants catering to both working singles and empty nesters Having no geographic boundaries. Atlanta’s growth will continue in all directions, with what was once thought of as the ‘hinterlands’ ripe for affordable housing. thus, ensuring the adage that residential drives retail continues to prove true — Jeff McMullen is with Richard Bowers & Company in Atlanta ------- SOUTHEAST SNAPSHOT. OCTOBER 2006 Southeast Real Estate Business Magazine Atlanta Industrial Market Demand for Atlanta industrial space has grown during the past 2 years and this year has been no exception with tenants taking down more than 3 3 million square feet of space by mid-year The demand has prompted speculative construction. which is currently more than 11 million square feet And as those projects are starting to deliver, the vacancy rate has inched up to 14 4 percent Activity was strong across almost all submarkets. with two experiencing notable activity The most active submarket in Atlanta is the Northeast, which has seen a glut of large leases signed during the past year Significant tenants include The Home Depot , Spectrum Brands Inc Reckitt Benckiser. Global Equipment Co and Anderson Merchandising Demand for space in the Northeast is being matched by 3 2 million square feet currently under construction The other submarket with significant activity is Airport/South Atlanta This submarket currently has almost 6 5 million square feet under construction and nearly 1 5 million square feet has been occupied this year Just recently. Kimberly-Clark leased 1 3 million square feet from Oakmont Industrial Group and IDI announced plans to develop a 950.000-square-foot center to be named The Southside Industrial Park Business Center Investment in Atlanta’s industrial market will be robust during the remainder of this year During second quarter. investors spent in excess of $638 million on Atlanta industrial properties The new bulk buildings with long-term credit leases are producing low cap rates and high prices per square foot In addition, older multi-tenant portfolios are attractive, however, they obtain lower prices due to typically high vacancy and obsolete functionality One of the most notable deals was the portfolio sale of a 14-building, 2 8 million-square-foot portfolio by MK Management/Kuniansky Holdings to Crow Holdings for $109 7 million Another significant portfolio deal was the sale of Northwoods Business Park and Franklin Forest Business Park. totaling 900.791 square feet First Industrial sold the office properties for $71 7 million Throughout last year, developers combed Atlanta and its surrounding areas in search of land for industrial development This trend will continue as Atlanta is a linchpin in the country’s logistics network, largely due to its inter-modal capabilities. low cost basis and reputation as the southeastern distribution hub Further, import activity in Savannah is expected to increase by 20 percent before 2010 Also, the logistics trend of maximizing distribution efficiency by consolidating into larger and more modern facilities will continue Although demand in Atlanta’s industrial market is strong. it is being matched by equally robust construction This equilibrium is causing vacancy to stabilize around 14 percent and will keep leasing opportunities readily available for tenants searching the market As rental rates stabilize somewhat, concessions will linger throughout the year For lease rates to increase and for concessions to subside, vacancy must slide closer to the 10 percent mark — Kevin Fairris is the director of Grubb & Ellis’ national client services group in Atlanta ------- RICHARD BOWERS & Co. FIRST QuARTER 2008 RKETREPORT The Richard Bowers & Co. First Quarter Office Market Report reflects an ongoing positive outlook despite serious economic concerns in oil and food price increases, money markets, financing of residential real estate and retail real estate sales. First quarter absorption was 376,152 square feet. The five leading submarkets in quarterly absorption were Midtown, l-285/GA-400, Decatur, GA-400 North, and Downtown. Average rental rates increased from $21.15 per square foot at year- end 2007 to $21.43 in 2008’s first quarter, while occupancy levels increased from 84.67 percent to 84.96 percent during the same period. No new buildings delivered in the first quarter. Urban corridor activity is continuing favorably with two submarkets, Midtown and Downtown, among Atlanta’s top five in quarterly absorption. The average rental rate for the urban corridor is $24.05 per square foot as compared to the suburbs at $20.11 per square foot, nearly a $4.00 per square foot differential. Notwithstanding, the suburbs recorded 214,943 square feet of positive absorption in the first quarter, compared to 161,209 square feet along the urban corridor. Occupancy levels in the suburbs are slightly higher than the urban corridor at 85.06 percent as compared to 84.74 percent. Limited new deliveries will occur in 2008: 496,921 square feet along the urban corridor in one building, The Sovereign at 3344 Peachtree Road; and 1,163,850 square feet in nine smaller buildings in the uburbs. The Buckhead/Lenox submarket is experiencing tremendous office activity; five new office towers are under construction. Other significant development in this submarket consists of new high-rise residential structures, hotels, and additional retail space, including the St. Regis Hotel and residential condominiums at West Paces Ferry and the Mansion Hotel and residential condominiums at Peachtree and Stratford. New retail development includes the ground-floor retail at many of the new high-rise developments. The new Streets of Buckhead development by Ben Carter will add 500,000 square feet of retail space as well as a 300,000 square foot office tower. The five new Buckhead office towers under construction total 2,465,771 square feet and will be delivered over the next three years: Sovereign in 2008 with 496,921 square feet; Terminus 200 in 2009 with 564,850 square feet; Two Alliance Center in 2009 with 493,000 square feet; 3630 Peachtree in 2009 with 425,000 square feet; and Phipps Tower in 2010 with 486,000 square feet. Because of all the new office and other commercial and residential development, traffic congestion will certainly become more pronounced in Buckhead, particularly because of the small number of major roads and limited expressway accessibility. The office market still affords excellent values, particularly for creditworthy tenants who are willing to sign long-term leases. The leading submarkets in square footage availability, the 1-75/1-285 submarket with 3,155,107 square feet available and Downtown with 2,945,718 square feet, provide excellent opportunities. Other submarkets with major square footage availability, the l-285/GA-400 submarket at 2,848,508 square feet, Midtown at 2,066,274 square eet, and the GA-400 North submarket at 1,838,390 square feet, ll offer excellent values. Notwithstanding, given current economic conditions, outstanding opportunities remain throughout all submarkets. Furthermore, growth in rental rates has been relatively stagnant over the last seven years. First quarter 2001 average rental rates were at $21.59 per square foot as compared to first quarter 2008 rental rates at $21.43 per square foot, despite seven years of increases in operating C o 7.oc C ( 0 C) (0 > Total Square Feet: Vacant Square Feet: Percent Occupied: Absorption for Quarter: Average Rental Rates: Space Delivered YTD*: Class “A” Avg. Rental Rate: 130,046,429 19,565,208 84.96% 376,152 $21.43 0 METRO ATLANTA OFFICE MARKET SUMMARY I ST QUARTER 2008 16.Oc’ I5.O’ I L I .coo . . ! # , ‘ ATLANTA’S To FIVE RANKING SUBMARKETS NetAbsorDtion 1st Quarter 2008: Total Available Sauare Feet : Midtown 129,031 l-285/GA-400 125,756 Decatur 113,656 GA-400 North 105,569 Downtown 53,791 Total Existing Sauare Feet : I-285/GA-400 1-75/1-285 Downtown GA-400 North Midtown 21,980,673 18,639,466 17,059,337 15,153,001 13,713,498 Averaae Quoted Rental Rate : Buckhead/Lenox $26.33 Midtown l-285/GA-400 Downtown 1-75/1-285 $25.44 $22.69 $21.23 $21.19 1-75/1-285 Downtown l-285/GA-400 Midtown GA-400 North 3,155,107 2,945,718 2,848,508 2,066,274 1,838,390 Submarket Occuoancv Rate : 1-75 Corridor NE Expressway-South l-285E/Stone Mountain l-285/GA-400 Buckhead/Lenox 93.43% 91 .83% 91 .31% 88.52% 87.87% OFFICE MARKET SNAPSHOT - Excludes Net Losses ------- expenses and taxes. Certain other major national office markets have had significant increases in rental rates over the last five years, some higher than our average rental rates, particularly in New York, Boston, Washington, D.C., and San Francisco, among )thers. Existing office buildings afford excellent values and concessions as compared to new office towers, many of which are priced at or above $30.00 per rentable square foot. Notwithstanding, new buildings also offer concessions and excellent tenant improvement allowances. Because of higher gasoline prices and longer commutes, a number of major companies are also considering locations that offer public transportation, favoring the urban corridor and particularly Downtown, a submarket with excellent values and lower rental rates than the other urban submarkets, Midtown and Buckhead. The outlook for the remainder of the year is moderately optimistic. despite some space being returned to the market by AT&T and others, a number of tenants who have reduced space or gone out of business, and additional subleasing availability. Atlanta is still the second-fastest growing US city in terms of population, with the world’s busiest airport, and it will continue to perform relatively well, particularly with limited new deliveries and with several out- of-town users considering Atlanta for major relocations. 82.73% 84.93% 87.21% 84.74% URBAN CORRIDOR SUBMARKETS 1 Downtown 2 3 Midtown Buckhead / Lenox OFFICE TOTALS By SUBMARKET Urban Downtown Midtown 3uckhead/Lenox Urban Totals Suburban Airport/South Decatur GA-400 North l-20W/Greenbriar l-285/GA-400 l-285/l-85/Northlake l-285E/Stone Mtn 1-75 Corridor 1-75/1-285 l-75N/Marietta/Johnson F NE Expressway-North NE Expressway-South Peachtree Corners Suburban Totals Total/Wgt. Averaaes Total Sq. Ft . Vacant Occupancy Sq.Ft . Absorption This Qtr . 53,791 129,031 (21,613) Absorption Year to Date 53,791 129,031 (21,613) Avg. Rent $21 .23 $25.44 $26.33 17,059,337 13,713,498 12,798,170 2,945,718 2,066,274 1,637,458 43,571,005 6,649,450 2,960,322 1,141,165 15,153,001 321,053 644,882 93,226 1,838,390 53,827 78.22% 91.83% 87.87% 83.23% (47,528) 113,656 105,569 505 (47,528) 113,656 105,569 505 $16.49 $20.24 $19.47 $14.31 21,980,673 4,480,184 403,932 1,127,333 2,848,508 835,862 35,118 74,062 87.04% 81.34% 91.31% 93.43% 125,756 (9,876) (58,038) 20,100 125,756 (9,876) (58,038) 20,100 $22.69 $17.63 $13.61 $22.23 18,639,466 3,094,873 4,501,115 4,663,151 8,009,156 3,155,107 482,589 1,014,170 535,098 1,304,919 83.07% 84.41% 77.47% 88.52% 83.71% 6,847 (29,397) 26,486 (50,584) 11,447 6,847 (29,397) 26,486 (50,584) 11,447 $21.19 $18.83 $18.44 $18.45 $17.13 86,475,424 130,046,429 12,915,758 19,565,208 85.06% 84.96% 214,943 376,152 214,943 376,152 $20.11 $21.43 SUBURBAN SUBMARKETS 4 Airport I South 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Decatur GA-400 North l-20WlGreenbriar 1-285 E / Stone Mountain 1-285 I GA-400 1-285 / 1-85 / Northlake 1-75 Corridor l-75NlMarietta/Johnson Ferry 1-7511-285 NE Expressway-North NE Expressway-South Peachtree Corners 161,209 161,209 $24.05 Richard Bowers & IC N VISIT US AT - WWW.RICHARDBOWERS.COM W U K L U W I 0 E 260 PEACHTREE STREET • SUITE 2400 ‘ATLANTA, GEORGIA 30303 . PHONE: 404-816-1600 • FAX: 404-880-0077 METRO ATLANTA SUBMARKETS ------- Industrial Market Trends Atlanta . Grubb & Ellis Research First Quarter 2008 “Wait and See” Syndrome Dominates First Quarter Executive Summary The Atlanta industrial market forged ahead despite a decreased level of activity during the first quarter. New leasing activity could be characterized as consistent but at a lower level than throughout most of 2007. A broad based fear of “pulling the trigger” on new space in the midst of a slowing economy generally has decision makers holding out for more positive signs of an economic upturn. In some cases, corporate directives are filtering down to local markets, creating a temporary “freeze” on spending. This has been interpreted as a sign of companies protecting the bottom line rather than struggling to remain profitable. Despite this reduced level of activity the industrial market shows positive absorption activity and reduced vacancy levels. Development Highlights Several significant projects were announced or broke ground during the first quarter, many of which were located well outside Metro Atlanta submarkets. In Jackson County IDI broke ground on Jefferson Distribution Center, a planned five building business park to contain approximately 2.8 million square feet. Newell Rubbermaid also announced early in the year it would build an 800,000-square-foot distribution center in Union City. This move will come as part of a larger initiative by Newell Rubbermaid to 17.3% 12.4% 12 4 - n n 11.4% n 101% n n • Grubb&Ellis® Property Solutions Worldwide Contents Executive Summary 1 Development Highlights . . .1-2 Leasing Activity 2 Sales 2-3 Forecast 3 u*W is a newsletter published quarterly by Grubb & Ellis Company. To obtain additional copies or other Grubb & Ellis publications, please contact: 1 W ir Research Manager E-mail: dan.wagner grubb-ellis.com Grubb & Ellis Company 3424 Peachtree Road, NE, 8th Floor Atlanta, GA 30326 Internet: www.grubb-ellis.com 180% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 3 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.C . . ‘ — 8 8. . ‘ S c 1 C L ‘- ‘0 8 ‘I, ( &c . 5 8 ‘ . “ j ii i• • • ‘ 8 2 o c 3 U, ‘ 8 . S U) t c 0 ( Vacancy Rate by Submarket’ * All Classes of Space © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- industrial Market Trends First Quarter 2008 consolidate its network of distribution facilities. Further south in Macon, lDl acquired approximately 250 acres for a logistics hub. From this location goods can be delivered to most major southeast metro areas within one business day. Macon was also chosen by Kumho Tires for a massive facility that will bring about 450 jobs to the state by the fall of 2009. Construction is slated to begin in the spring of this year. Kia Motors decision to build a new plant in West Point also led to at least one supplier choosing to locate nearby. Daehan Solution will build a 160,000-square- foot manufacturing plant in Harris County and create approximately 300 jobs in the process. Leasing Activity Leasing activity has been steady in large footprint first generation warehouse and distribution buildings as companies consolidate operations and centralize large scale operations. Carlisle Tire & Wheel signed a 676,000 square foot lease at Interstate South in McDonough and will combine some of its operations into this new space once completed. Another large deal that took place during the first quarter involved Harman Consumer Group inking a five year lease for 305,000 square feet at Majestic Airport Center II. Small to mid-sized industrial users have been reluctant to commit to new space and the “wait and see” mentality among business leaders has put a damper on significant new leasing activity. In the Fulton Industrial submarket, Viking SupplyNet, a sprinkler system manufacturer, signed a five year, 39,000 square foot lease at 800 Westlake Parkway. Another mid to large-sized tenant, Scientific Games, subleased 80,000 square feet from Alcoa in Alpharetta and will use the facility for its shipping and receiving operations. In South Atlanta, TNT Parts, Incorporated leased 70,000 square feet at 3000 South Corporate Parkway. Sa s First quarter sales activity slowed but significant transactions took place in the historically active submarkets of Northeast, Northwest and Airport/North Clayton. Research Analyst Nor eastJR5 Conidor andrea.frankIin@grubb-eI s.com WP Carey purchased a cold storage facility from Schwan FOod Company Sara HIH for $25 million. Schwan Foods will in turn lease freezer space in the facility. Database Coordinator sara.hiI!©grubb-eUis.com First Industrial bolstered its industrial inventory with the purchase of 596 Valentine Industrial Parkway, an 850,000-square-foot cross dock facility Graphic Designer frances, scar lette@grubb-eflis.com in Pendergrass. i i 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company 2 ------- ndustriaI Market Trends First Quarter 2008 Eugenia Investments acquired 2395 Pleasantdale Road in January for $5.5 million. The 97,000 square foot facility is currently 93 percent leased. Micromeretics purchased a 137,190-square-foot warehouse at 4356 Communications Drive for $4,300,000, or 31.34 per square foot. PJrport/South Mans Sealy & Company, Incorporated purchased 1040 Southern Road in March for $6,312,400, or $30.09 per square foot. The 210,000-square-foot warehouse is fully occupied. Northwest Capital Commercial Investments Incorporated acquired Barrett Distribution Center in Cobb County for $10,420,252, or $64.14 per square foot from Margolias Realty Group. National Envelope Corporation sold 1325 Highlands Ridge Road, a 103,000-square-foot warehouse, for $4.9 million to Pannattoni Investments LLC. Compass Chemical International purchased the 50,000-square-foot 5544 Oakdale Drive for $3,000,000, or $60 per square foot. Forecast Diminished leasing activity is an indicator that tenants are generally holding out for definitive signs of an economic upturn. As tenants delay the decision making process, pent-up demand is building and should result in increased activity down the road. At the moment landlords are sharpening their pencils and offering concessions to retain credit tenants. In some cases landlords have been willing to buy out the last year or more of lease obligations for newly signed tenants. Mid-sized industrial product in the 40,000 to 150,000 range has been most affected by the lack of activity and all indications point to this trend continuing through the end of 2008. 3 © 2006 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Industrial Market Snapshot Atlanta First Quarter 2008 By Submarket (All Property Types) AtrportlNosth Clayton Carmttlonfl-20W Central Atlanta Chattahoochee Industrial Fulton lndustnalll-20W North Central/GA 400 Comdor Northeastll-85 Comdor Northwestll-75 Comdor Snapfingerll .20E South Atlanta Stone Mountatn Suburban Total Totals By Property Typo (All Submarliets) Total (1) SF 14.193,461 1.770,760 17,942,767 75.443.386 26,583,673 85,962,105 25,236,041 96,388.747 56,544,013 31 .462,333 125,730,756 28.334.262 586,190,304 586,190,304 Vacant (2) SF 2,560.216 85,800 1,155,348 6,897,723 1,527,554 10,698.688 2,872,720 11,923,235 4,997,273 3,162,444 18.215,279 1,737.209 65,833,489 65,833,489 Vacant% 173% 48% 64% 91% 57% 124% 114% 12.4% 88% 101% 145% 61% 11.2% 11.2% Under ConsU SF 109,850 1,632.012 306,177 2,262.694 350,368 194,994 465,549 5,321,644 5,321,644 (3 Asking Rent (4) WHIDIst R&DlFlex $375 $233 $461 $479 $495 $284 $592 $388 $4.57 $371 $299 $451 $3.66 $3.66 $824 $515 $7.65 $648 $4.64 $883 $758 $8.86 $556 $510 $643 $7.32 $7.32 Asking Rent General Industrial 34,244,064 1,630.256 48% $401 R&DlFlex 61,324,831 7,244,047 118% $7.32 WarehouselDistnbutian 490,621,409 56.959,186 11 6% $366 5,321,644 Totals 586,190,304 85,833,489 11.2% 5,321,644 $4.11 (1) Inventory includes multi-tenant, single-tenant and owner-occupied buildings with at least 10.000 sq ft (2) Vacant space includes both vacant direcl and vacant sublease space (3) Space under construction includes speculative and build-to-suit for lease projects and owner-built projects (4) Asking rates a, per square foot per year. triple net Rates for each building are weighted by the amount of available space within the building •Grubb & Ellis statistics are audited annually and may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly end final year-end figures Industrial Market Terms and Definitions lentcsy Industrial Inventory includes all multi-tenant, single tenant and owner-occupied buildings at least 10.000 square feet Construction Type Speculative (“spec”) construction is designed to attract tenants likely to be in the market when the project is leasing Build-to-suit construction is designed for a specific tenant Indi fr l odu 1 fpe& industnal buildings are categorized as warehouse/distribution, general industrial, R&D/flex and incubator based on their physical charactenstics including percent office build-out, clear height, typical bay depth, typical suite size, type of loading and typical uses ensy and Avallebliltyt The vacancy rate is the amount of physically vacant space divided by the inventory The availability rate is the amount of space available for lease divided by the inventory Aaldrig Rest The dollar amount asked by landlords for available space expressed in dollars per square loot per year in most parts of the country and dollars per square foot per month in areas of California and selected other markets lndustnal rents are expressed as tnple net where all costs including, but not limited to, real estate taxes, insurance and common area maintenance are borne by the tenant on a pro rats basis Avs eWe ttedAeIth’ig Rent An average market rent where the asking rent for each building in the market is weighted by the amount of available space in the building • G’” ibb E11 © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company - — Some of ihe data in this report has been gathered from third party sources and has not been independently venfied Property Solutions Worldwide by Grubb & Ellis Grubb & Ellis makes no warranties or representalions as to the completeness or accuracy thereof ------- • Property Solutions Worldwide Contents Overview Market Activity Construction Update .1 Outlook 3 Construction Watch Market Snapshot Atlanta Office Market Trends is a newsletter published quarterly by Grubb & Ellis Company. To obtain additional copies or other Grubb & Ellis publications, please contact: Dan Wagner Research Manager E-mail: dan.wagner grubb-elIis.com Grubb & Ellis Company 3424 Peachtree Road, NE, 8th Floor Atlanta, GA 30326 Phone: 770.552.2474 Internet: www.grubb.ellis.com .5 Construction Increases Despite Stalled Absorption Overview The Metro Atlanta office market exhibited reduced leasing activity during the first quarter of 2008 - not an unexpected result of economic forces impacting space requirements for tenants in the marketplace. The lingering drought, stagnating housing market, tightening lending standards and increasing cost of energy have placed downward pressure on many sectors of the economy. However, Metro Atlanta’s fundamentals remain strong and have counter- acted some of the negative effects of an economy in flux with continued increases in employment, personal income growth and strong consumer spending. Additionally, Metro Atlanta ranked 2nd in the nation in population growth over the last year and added approximately 55,000 new jobs during the same period. The positive job growth is particularly important as it is directly correlated to office space demand and may also stem potential negative absorption. 22% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% 10/06 20/06 30/06 40/06 4Q/06 20/07 30/07 40/07 10/08 Office Vacancy Rate* * All Classes of Space © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Office Market Trends First Quarter 2008 Market Activity Despite some significant new deals executed, overall net absorption fell during the first quarter with approximately 280,000 square feet worth of net occupancy losses. The majority of the loss was experienced in the Central Perimeter and Midtown submarkets and to a lesser degree in Buckhead. Homebanc Mortgage filed bankruptcy in August of 2007 and recently vacated its 160,000 square foot space at 2002 Perimeter Summit. Additionally, Central Perimeter took a direct blow when AT&T Wireless announced it would move out of its 300,000 square foot space at Glenridge Highlands Two and relocate to Lenox Park in Buckhead. Office Net Absorption * All Classes of Space Atlanta Office Market Trends Contributors Andrea Franklin Reserach Analyst andrea.frank lin©grubb -ellis.com Frances Scariette Graphic Designer frances.scarlette grubb-ellis.com The majority of the recently emptied space has yet to be backfilled, but there is light at the end of the tunnel in the form of prospects rumored to be in the hunt for new space. Among them are software giant Oracle Corporation, which is said to be looking for approximately 100,000 square feet of space, and AutoTrader.com, which could take up to 500,000 square feet. Additionally, the Reznick Group recently helped reduce vacancy at 2002 Perimeter Summit by expanding into an additional 25,000 square feet. The FIRE (Finance, Insurance & Real Estate) rich Midtown and Downtown office environments essentially canceled out each other’s quarterly absorption with Midtown losing 200,000 square feet and Downtown absorbing 191,000 square feet. Cousins’ 191 Peachtree Tower continued its successful run signing Deloitte to a 260,000 square foot renewal and expansion deal and bringing the tower to 87 percent leased. Newmark Southern Region recently announced it will occupy 21,000 square feet in the 201 17th Street building at Atlantic Station in Midtown. A bit further north, IT Services Firm Wipro Technologies signed a 30,000 square foot lease at Piedmont Center 14. There are a good number of tenants seeking space in Buckhead and more favorable rates may appear as an abundance of new space delivers to the market over the next two years. The North Fulton office submarket market posted negative overall net absorption activity in the first quarter, with occupancy losses totaling 45,000 square feet. Despite the overall negative activity, the Class A sector of the market posted positive absorption of 132,000 square feet - a vast improvement over fourth quarter’s net occupancy loss of 175,000 square feet. Asking rental rates for Class A space in North Fulton are averaging $20.67 per 2 S E 1Q/07 2Q/07 30/07 40/07 10/08 © 2008 Grubb & Ellis company ------- ffice Market Trends First Quarter 2008 square foot, which is roughly $1.50 per square foot less than the Metro Atlanta average, making this submarket attractive to companies seeking a suburban office environment. Recent activity in North Fulton includes International Environmental Management Inc. inking a 19,000 square foot deal at the Northwinds V building and Gresham Smith and Partners renewing for 10,000 square feet at Georgia 400 Center II. Construction Update Buckhead is “bucking” the trend of reduced development activity in the face of slow growth with nearly two million square feet under construction. Projects such as Tishman Speyer’s Two Alliance Center and the office component of Regent Partners 3344 Peachtree are competing for tenancy, to the likely detriment of older Class A and upper B properties which inevitably lose their luster once new product delivers. Additionally, Crescent Resources is adding to the building boom and recently broke ground on Phipps Tower, a 475,000-square-foot project located on the Buckhead Loop. The redevelopment of Buckhead Village will add another 300,000 square feet into the mix with the Buckhead Esplanade building complemented by high-end retail and residential properties. Further south, the Daniel Company’s 12th & Midtown building will add 789,000 square feet to the office inventory and will include a 400 room hotel and 60,000 square feet of retail space. Atlantic Station is also active this quarter with continued construction of 271 17th street, which is slated to deliver nearly 300,000 square feet. Approximately half of the building is already committed. In North Fulton, Jones Lang LaSalle has two projects under construction totaling 360,000 square feet, and there are several smaller Class B projects under development or slated to begin construction in the coming weeks. Outlook Leasing activity has leveled off, but it could be worse. The race to secure tenancy for new office towers in the Buckhead and Midtown submarkets will likely benefit tenants in the marketplace in the form of free rent. Despite this factor decision makers appear to be in a “wait and see” mode. Metro Atlanta’s near-term demand will remain low until this cycle breaks - how and when it breaks remains to be seen. Metro Atlanta needs consistent positive job growth paired with a bit more time for recovery in the lending and financial markets to trigger demand for new space. 4.281.580 3.786.017 3.907.171 3. j2 3,817,102 — Available Office Sublease Space * All Classes of Space 5.000 . . . . . . 4.000,000 3.000.000. 2,000.000. 1.000,000 1Q/07 20/07 30/07 4Q/07 10/08 3 © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Office Market Trends First Quarter 2008 150,000 O2.6 4 100,000 33,698 36,416 50,000 0 0 2,976 3,216 8.514 13,154_ 0 — Ii 1( ° ’ (2,724) (50,000) (52,500) (45,508) e 2 (100,000) (107,191) (150,000) (200,000) “ (191,774) (250,000) 122 1 g) (0 ) c J •a f 9 ; p QI 2008 Net Absorption By Submarket *Class A Space 2,400,000 -- _____________________________________________________________ 1,900,000 1.323,274 1,400,000 900,000 406,772 255,978 400,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o 75,000 77,142 (100,000) .. ,. 2 - — ‘ , QI 2008 Under Construction By Submarket *All Classes of Space © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company 4 ------- Office Market Trends First Quarter 2008 Nationwide coverage delivered through the Grubb & Ellis system. Construction Watch First Quarter 2008 New Speculative Development New Build-to-Suit Development New Owner Occupied Development Under Preleased Completed Completed Construction % This Qtr YTD CBD - - 10,923 10,923 Suburban 4,091,215 29.5% 400,160 400,160 Total 4,091,215 29.5% 411,083 411,083 Under Completed Completed Construction This Qtr YTD - - - 354,953 - - 354,953 - - Under Completed Completed Construction This Qtr. YTD - - - 171,251 10,000 10,000 171,251 10,000 10,000 5 ‘C H a © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company ------- Office Market Snapshot Atlanta First Quarter 2008 C lassA 81.269,287 14,031.763 173% (149543) (149.543) 3,760.237 504,123 2,555.199 ClasaB 61.442,392 9.248.716 180% (198.246) (198.246) 330.978 - 1.075.298 Class C 5,759,461 1,308,517 243% 67,890 87.890 - - 146,960 Telals 138,471.140 24,678,996 17.8% (279,899) (279,899) 4,091,215 504,123 3,177,457 (1) Inventory includes multi-tenant and single tenant buildings with at least 20,000 sq ft (2) Vacant space includes both vacant direct and vacant sublease space (3) Space under construction includes speculative and build-to-suit for lease projects (4) Asking rates are per square foot per year full service Rates for each building are weighted by the size of the building Gn.,bb & Ellis statistics are audited annually and may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly and final year-end figures Office Market Terms and Definitions Inventory: Office inventory includes all multi-tenant and single tenant buildings at least 20,000 square feel Owner-occupied, government and medical buildings are not included ConstructIon Type Speculative (spec) construction is designed to attract tenants likely to be in the market when the project is leasing Build-to-suit construction is designed for a specific tenant Office Building Classifications. Grubb & Ellis adheres to the BOMA guidelines Class A properties are the most prestigious buildings competing for premier office users with rents above average for the area Class B properties compete for a wide range of users with rents in I he average range for the area Class C buildings compete for tenants requinng functional space at rents below the area average Vacancy and Availability. The vacancy rate is the amount of physically vacant space divided by the inventory The availability rate is the amount of space available for lease divided by the inventory Net Absorption The net change in physically occupied space over a penod of time Asking Rent: The dollar amount asked by landlords for available space expressed in dollars per square foot per year in most parts of the country and dollars per square foot per month in areas of California and selected other markets Office rents are reported as full service where all costs of operation are paid by the landlord up to a base year or expense stop Average Weighted Asking Rent: An average market rent where the asking rent for each building in the market is weighted by the building size • 6’” ‘bb Elli © 2008 Grubb & Ellis Company £ ___ £ Some of the data in this report has bean gathered from third party sources and has not been independently vented by Grubb 6 Eliis Property Solutions Worldwide Grubb 8 Eitis metres no warranties or representations as to the compieteness or accuracy thereof BySubmarket (All Classes) CBD Total Total (I) Vacant (2) SF SF 17,432.875 3613,949 207% Net Absoisillon Vacant ¶1. Current Qtr Year To Date 17,432,875 3,613,949 20.7% Under CansL (3) SF 191,765 191,765 191,765 191,765 Asklne Rent (4) Class A Class B Ai rpoltlSouth Atlanta Budthead Central Penmeter CumbeilandlGafena Decalar East Cobb 1.20 EastlConyers 1-20 WestlDouglaedle Manafla lKermesaw Midtown NE 1-85 Inside 1-285 NE 115 Outside l-285lGeinnett $2298 $2188 - $22.96 $21.88 255.978 1,953,049 3,984,416 754,728 189% 12,984,293 1,942,160 150% 22,561,351 3,374,487 150% 20,095,991 4,043,496 201% 1,452,552 216,446 149% 498,848 53,881 108% 680,553 128.649 189% 487,097 43,260 89% 2.180.931 386,008 168% 14,160,404 2,664,341 188% 6,546,942 724.119 111% 7,461,293 1,844,429 247% 6.442.377 1,260,175 196% 17,513.626 2,961,175 169% 3,101,584 6t4,765 198% 886,097 72,928 82% 121 ,038,265 21,065,047 17.4% 67,835 67,835 (95,907) (95.907) (354,493) (354.493) 13,865 13,865 20,560 20,560 61,117 61,117 (21,502) (21,502) (6,844) (6,844) (200,066) (200,986) (13,177) (13,177) 127,097 127,097 (58,049) (58.049) (45,508) (45.508) 50,939 50,939 (7,531) (7,531) (471,664) (471,664) NororssnlPeachtree Corners Nets FuftonlForsyIh NoittsakeiStone Mountain Nalthside Dnvall-75 Suburban Total 75,000 1,323,274 $2135 $1822 $2855 $2198 $2399 $1931 $2266 $1760 $2448 $2025 - $1836 $2250 $1819 - $2450 $2124 $1854 $2808 $2042 $1929 $1857 $2062 $1843 $2035 $1681 $2067 $1889 $1975 $1731 - $1927 $24.30 $18.88 Totals 77,142 406,772 By Class (All Subnia,kets) 138,471,140 24,678,996 17.8% 4,091,215 (279,899) (219,899) 4,091,215 $24.06 $19.09 Available for Sublease CBD Subuiban ------- EPA.56F O 243 Addressing Long-Term Stewardship: Hi hft hts fro r the F e d In 2004, EPA formed the Long-Term Stewardship (LTS) Task Force to evaluate the current state of long- term stewardship across its various waste cleanup programs. The Task Force included representatives from each of EPA’s cleanup programs, including the Superfund, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA), Underground Storage Tanks (UST), Brownfields, Federal facilities, and enforcement programs, and state cleanup programs. The Task Force identified and addressed a variety of challenges facing EPA and its partners responsible for ensuring the implementation, oversight and enforcement of LTS. These challenges generally fall into the following six categories: • Roles and Responsibilities • Institutional Controls • Engineering Controls • LTS Costs • LTS Funding and Resources • Information Management Within these categories, the Task Force identified recommendations to address the challenges most seri- ously affecting federal, state, tribal and local governments at LTS sites. The results of the Task Force’s ef- fort are documented in its report Long-Term Stewardship: Ensuring Environmental Site Cleanups Remain Protective Over Time (available at http://www.epa.gov/oswer/Iandrevitalization/publications.htm). The purpose of this fact sheet is to build upon the LTS Task Force efforts by highlighting LTS projects that address the challenges identified by the Task Force. This fact sheet is the first in a series intended to cre- ate awareness of LTS issues and approaches to addressing LTS challenges. The fact sheet highlights the following projects: • Mississippi Department of Environmental Quality Brownfields Program IC Information Sharing Project • National City’s Land Use Control Implementation Plan • Missouri Department of Natural Resources’ Long Term Stewardship and IC Tracking System ------- Aississippi Department of Environmental Quality Brownfields Program IC Information Sharing Project The State of Mississippi’s Department of Environmental Quality (MDEQ) developed an information sharing system to improve the state response program; specifically to increase access to and the usefulness of the public record. There are two components to this system: (1) a Geospatial Pilot Project using Google Earth, and (2) an Excel Spreadsheet with links to deed notices and survey plats in Adobe PDF format. Simplicity and ease of use are emphasized. In the wake of Hurricane Katrina, DEQ applied for and received a CERCLA 104(k) Brownfields grant to identify brownfields in communities on the Gulf Coast for consideration early in the rebuilding process. Using approximately 10 percent of the grant the staff of the Groundwater Assessment and Remediation Division (GARD) of MDEQ cre- ated a Google Earth coverage map for the Mississippi Gulf Coast that includes pertinent information about sites that may have environ- mental conditions for consideration prior to rebuilding. The coverage includes MDEQ’s existing brownfields inventory of CERCLNUnc0n- trolled Sites, Underground Storage Tank Sites, Agency Interests, Above Ground Storage Tank sites, Pest Control Sites and Dry Cleaners. Some of the data were collected from within MDEQ while other data were collected from the Mississippi Department of Agriculture and Commerce (e.g., Above Ground Storage Tank Sites), from city directories (e.g., Dry Cleaners and Pest Control Sites), and EPA. The Google Earth Coverage, identified as a link entitled “GIS,” can be found at http://www.brownfields.ms under the Announcements section. EPA Section 128(a) Brownfield funding is being utilized to maintain and enhance the coverage with plans to take the project statewide in the near future after roles and responsibilities are clearly defined. ie second component of the system involves MDEQ’s existing brownfields inventory (http://list.brownfields.ms). Using EPA Section .28(a) Brownfield funding, MDEQ maintains this simple excel spreadsheet of pertinent information about sites in Mississippi. The IC component involves links to Deed Notices and Survey Plats for sites with institutional controls in place. The link is a PDF file of the Deed Notice identifying the Activity and Use Limitations (AULs) for the site and a map (e.g., survey plat) identifying the area within the property where the AULs apply. MDEQ identified a number of challenges in both maintaining and utilizing the system. First, because the Google Earth Coverage includes data that are not directly controlled by the GARD staff, data quality, roles and responsibilities are issues that must be considered. MDEQ is considering a wiki” philosophy with the Google Earth Coverage. In other words, the Google Earth Coverage would rely on interested stakeholders to be a part of the continuous improvement of the system with an understanding that errors are expected and will be ad- dressed on an ongoing basis. Second, bringing the knowledge of these tools down to the local level (e.g., construction companies, local public works directors/employees, local government, water well drillers, etc.), particularly in a mostly rural state requires a tremendous amount of outreach and education, requiring additional resources. Finally, as the number of sites using ICs grows, so do the responsibili- ties for MDEQ, particularly relating to awareness through the years. For more information on Mississippi’s online access to ICs, con- tact Trey Hess at Mississippi’s Department of Environmental Quality at TreyHess@deq.state.ms.us or 601.961.5654. T P (nefore — Lcnqs ‘ommerckl aundr riroperty boto ’e cIear p and rec.evek oment n Tupe’o. M ssiss pp (Photo cou; esv of Mi. s;ssspoi Depa 7ent of Environmeotal Quaiity} BOTTOM — F a’ Park nas deed nohc st ng a n t es that are not aHowed on tne riroperty (Photo COWIC$V of M:ss ’ss pp Department ofEnmentaiOual’t 11 1 _ tI ------- National City, California is addressing issues of long-term stewardship to ensure properties with ICs are identified early on in the development process. The city is doing this through the development of a Land Use Control Implementation Plan (LUCIP) and by tying permitting activities to LTS. As efforts to address LTS continue, the city has made great progress since drafting the LUCIP in 2005. The city recognized the need to define, communicate and formalize LTS roles and responsibilities through the development of a LUCIP. EPA approved National City’s proposal to use 10 percent, or $20000, of its 2005 EPA Assessment grant to develop the LUCIP. The city met with regulatory agencies, including the California Department of Toxic Substances Control (DTSC), San Diego County and the State Water Resources Control Board to define LTS roles and responsibilities for each. The basic roles and responsibilities remain the same with the regulatory agencies responsible for selecting, implementing, monitoring and enforcing the institutional and engineering controls on a property, while the city takes a more proactive approach to communicate regulatory actions on properties to applicants. As part of the LUCIP, National City intends to tie its permitting system to LTS activities. The initial plan was to require the applicant to apply for a permit on a property with ICs or [ Cs and then the regulatory agency would designate its approval by completing an approval form. Although the agencies were enthusiastic about the concept to tie US to permitting, the State Water Resources Control Board did not have the staff or money to do the additional work required to undertake this new lC/ [ C permitting approval process. T 0 address funding at the city level, National City is paying for the analysis of the fee structure for building and other permitting fees to 3velop a LUCIP fee (expected to be minimal) that will cover the cost of additional city US responsibilities. Once an appropriate LUCIP fee is identified and implemented, the city plans to tie its electronic city parcel map—which contains regulatory information including the regulatory agency involved at each applicable property—to the permitting process so each applicant is aware of Cs or [ Cs. The city included regulatory information on its parcel map by using EPA Assessment grant funds to hire a consultant to go through hard copy notebooks and files to identify properties with regulatory actions. The city is also working on a strategy to standardize how lCs are recorded and has developed a Web site, the Brownftelds Redevelop- ment Environmental Information System (BREIS), to allow easy access to environmental and redevelopment-related information, includ- ing ICs within National City (www.naaonalcitybreis.org). For more information on National City’s LTS work contact Patricia Beard, National City’s Redevelop- ment Manager at PBeard@ci.national-cityca.us or 619336.4255. TOP (bek.rt” Fora& rr3e i ss nq at. to w ;k g yard ‘and n Na io ’ C tv, aU .wri (PhotQ i .;o ii.esy of NationL CIty) BOTTOM Re derirq he . )atew y project, orr ereai reje t V h ate) restauront ana ceed r rL tn.r’ dua tc U e aLr . of ra :drJoLa; mat.ena )s rerfl . onsde rR&do;in j co inesy of NatIonal CL?y) iational City’s Land Use Control Implementation Plan ------- Missouri Department of Natural Resources’ Long Term Stewardship and IC Tracking System The State of Missouri Department of Natural Resources (DNR) can share IC and [ C data with EPA’s comprehensive Institutional Control Tracking System (ICTS) due to the assistance of a component added to its existing Superfund/Brownfields project management data system SMARS (Site Management and Reporting System). DNR designed its LTS database within SMARS with a utility to export long-term stewardship data to federal, state and local partners who are looking for information on sites where contamination remains after the remedy is com- plete. Funding for the US data sharing project was received from EPA in Superfund and Brownfield grants. SMARS currently houses LTS information for Superfund, Federal Facility, Brownfields Voluntary Cleanup Program (BVCP) and Missouri’s other state response programs. The LTS component of SMARS includes housing IC information for Missouri’s Storage Tanks Sites. Missouri’s cleanup programs use a range of institutional controls to affect long-term stewardship. These include maintaining ground water protection areas, restrictive covenants with a monitoring contract, listing on the Registry of Confirmed Abandoned or Uncontrolled Hazardous Waste Disposal Sites in Missouri, deed notices, and ground water protection areas. The engineering controls in place and requiring monitoring range from large structures, such as the disposal cell at the Weldon Spring Superfund site, and ground water pump and treatment operations, as well as fences, caps, signs and other typical physical controls. Approximately 550 statewide sites are cur- rently being tracked in the LTS database, although many more sites are suspected to be applicable and have not yet been added. The LTS data in SMARS are entered and maintained by DNR’s environmental project managers. DNR plans an initiative in 2008 to provide this information to its local government partners to ensure the online LTS information is available to a wide public audience. In 2006, Missouri DNR conducted an evaluation of its strengths and weaknesses related to LTS. The study took a comprehensive look . the department’s LTS responsibilities and the resources available. The objective was to help the department judge how well it met iose responsibilities for sites with ICs/ECs and to develop a set of recommendations to address areas requiring improvement. This study was developed to ensure that the responsibilities that are inherent in risk-based cleanups are addressed. Failures of ECs and lCs were reported around the country and Missouri sought to address the issue proactively. To accomplish this, all program areas were reviewed to see what processes were in place to ensure that stewardship was effective for sites with ICs and [ Cs, and that all sites with an envi- ronmental legacy were covered by some LTS process. The study was published in a report entitled “Missouri Long Term Stewardship: Current Practices and Future Recommendations.” Subsequent to the completion of this report, the department convened a work group to study the report’s nine major recommendations and prepare action plans to address and implement them. The report estimated that the cost to implement all of the recommendations to improve statewide LTS processes could range from $500,000 to $900,000 per year with an addition of up to 10 full time staff. DNR is currently developing action plans to address five of the LTS recommendations. One recommendation has been partially realized as the Missouri legislature passed environmental covenant legislation during its 2007 session. For more information and/or a copy of the report on the sta- (us of Missouri’s L TS data sharing project, contact Robert Stout at Missouri’s Department of National Resources at Robert.Stout@dnr.mo.gov or 573.751.7402. TOP (Lk ) Fc .wrher z nd w .3st’ in Snnn eld. M ss’.ur pr court s nr A tj . sour; OepE nn ?ent of iva urai Re, o i i;e > BC)TTO 1 (af; ) .K) Jan VaU ’y k. a r tw us’ (x)ve anI i .nibi;s th -trt _ n of dOy . .u hnc n of th ’ frr e quarry where rnath , ne ocUvitv b’: U . {flO (Photo cooaesv of Ct ’ 0! Spn,igflelci. 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