United States Environmental Protection Agency Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory P.O. Box 15027 Las Vegas, NV 89114 TS-AMD-82073 January 1983 AEPA ACID deposition multispectral SCANNER SURVEY ADIRONDACK LAKES, NEW YORK Phase II prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Environmental Research Laboratory Corvallis, Ore. ------- TS-AMD-8 2073 January 1983 ACID DEPOSITION MULTISPECTRAL SCANNER SURVEY ADIRONDACK LAKES, NEW YORK Phase II by T. H. Mace Environmental Programs Lockheed Engineering and Management Services Company, Inc. Las Vegas, Nevada 89114 Contract No. 68-03-3049 Project Officer G. A. Shelton Advanced Monitoring Systems Division Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory Las Vegas, Nevada 89114 ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING SYSTEMS LABORATORY OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY LAS VEGAS, NEVADA 89114 ------- NOTICE This document has not been peer and administratively reviewed within EPA and is for internal Agency use and distribution only. ii ------- ABSTRACT During the spring of 1982, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Environ- mental Monitoring Systems Laboratory at Las Vegas, Nevada, conducted an aerial over- flight and multispectral analysis of a portion of Adirondack State Park, New York. The purpose of this flight was to correlate airborne multispectral scanner data and acid deposition-related water quality measurements during the period of spring freshet. This study was the second in a series, designed to determine the applica- bility of satellite remote sensing to characterize acid deposition effects in freshwater lakes. Water quality measurements of Secchi depth, pH, alkalinity, total suspended solids, chlorophyll a, conductivity, phaeophyton, and total organic carbon were pro- vided by Paul Smith's College and the Environmental Protection Agency's Environmental Research Laboratory at Corvallis, Oregon. A multiple linear regression procedure was used to relate the 10-channel multispectral scanner data to each of the water measurements. Total organic carbon and Secchi depth were found to have the best relationships with the scanner data. The remaining parameters possessed significant, weak linear relationships with the scanner data, however, this may be due to relatively limited ranges in their observed values. The results of this study confirm the observation of the first study, conducted in the fall of 1981, that the thematic mapper scanner aboard the Landsat-4 satellite may prove to be a useful tool in monitoring acid deposition effects in freshwater lakes. i ii ------- CONTENTS Abstract iii Figures iv Tables iv Introduction 1 Conclusions and Recommendations 5 Methodology 7 Results 12 References 26 Appendix Multispectral Scanner and Analysis System Characteristics 27 FIGURES Number Page 1 Location of the study area 8 2 Predicted vs observed log^Q Secchi depth 17 3 Predicted vs observed pH 18 4 Predicted vs observed alkalinity (peg/1) 19 5 Predicted vs observed logig total suspended solids (ppm) 20 6 Predicted vs observed conductivity (ymhos) 21 7 Predicted vs observed phaeophyton (mg/m3) 22 8 Predicted vs observed chlorophyll a (mg/m3) 23 9 Predicted vs observed total organic carbon (mg/1) 24 TABLES Number Page 1 Values of R2 for Several Data Transformations 12 2 Comparison of Standard Errors and Cp/P Ratios for Transformed and Untransformed Variables 13 3 Dependent Variable Summary Statistics 14 4 Correlation (R) Matrix Between Independent and Dependent Variables . . 14 5 Best Subset Multiple Linear Regression Comparison 15 iv ------- INTRODUCTION THE NATURE OF THE PROBLEM The effects of acid deposition on the environment are among the most pressing environmental issues facing the industrial countries. Atmospheric pollution, caused by fossil fuel combustion, is carried across state and national boundaries producing national as well as international environmental degredation. Scores of articles have been published outlining the possible effects of acid deposition on sensitive areas, and no attempt to reproduce them will be made here. It may, however, be useful to outline some of the effects suggested by the litera- ture . Generally, sulfur and nitrogen oxides are produced in the process of fossil fuel combustion. These oxides combine with other atmospheric constituents to produce sulfuric and nitric acids. Normally, these acids would be buffered by atmospheric carbon dioxide to produce a pH of approximately 5.6 in rain. However, the pH of rainfall throughout most of the eastern United States, for example, has been reported at about 4.0 (Galloway et_al., 1976). This acid deposition phenomenon has many effects. Among these effects are increased erosion of statuary and historic buildings, crop and forest productivity reduction, increased acidification and leaching of soils, and degredation of biota in lakes and streams. These effects are particularly severe in those areas of crystal- line bedrock and naturally acidic soils, where cation exchange capacity (buffering) is relatively low. Lakes and streams in these areas are very poorly buffered, and the plant and animal species reduction which results is severe. As the lakes become more acid, organic matter decomposition decreases. Leaf 1 ------- litter increases on the lake floor and a fungal mat may spread along the bottom. Additionally, magnesium and aluminum ions are liberated from the bottom sediments, increasing their concentrations in the lakes, while phosphorous decreases. The effect on biota is dramatic. The distribution and extent of macrophytes, phyto- plankton, aquatic invertebrates, and fish decreases markedly (Baalsrud et al., 1976). These effects have been severe in the Adirondack region of New York both in extent and rapidity of development. "A recent survey found that 51 percent of mountain lakes (217 lakes at an elevation above 600 m) have pH values below 5.0; 90 percent of these lakes contain no fish. In contrast, during the period 1929-1937, only 4 percent of these lakes had a pH under 5.0 or were devoid of fish" (Likens, 1976, p. 43). This rapid change in environmental conditions creates an environmental monitoring problem. At one extreme, investigators have suggested that water chemistry measurements should be made in lakes 5-10 times each year and during periods of limnological change (Dochinger and Seliga, 1976). However, which lakes should be sampled, and how can we optimize such a costly program? Remotely sensed measurements may provide a cost-effective environmental monitoring tool to reduce the number of water samples required for a regional monitoring program. Such programs have been successful in the past for lake trophic classification (Witzig and Whitehurst, 1981), and it is possible that digital analysis techniques may be applicable to the monitoring of acid rain effects as well. THE CURRENT STUDY Perspective This study represents the second of a series, designed to determine the applica- bility of satellite remote sensing to detect and characterize acid deposition effects in freshwater lakes. The first study was conducted on data gathered on an identical mission flown on October 13, 1981. 2 ------- Follow-on studies are planned to utilize the thematic mapper simulator aboard the NASA U-2 aircraft and, finally, the Thematic Mapper scanner aboard the Landsat-4 satellite. This multi-stage approach is designed to provide progressive development of an operational environmental monitoring tool, with the decision to proceed based on the results of each phase. The ultimate goal of these studies - taken together - is to develop a quality- assured data base (to include land cover and quantitative water quality maps) in a geographic information system (GIS). The GIS would be updated periodically, using satellite data, to provide baseline inventory as well as indications of environmental change. It is assumed that these data would be integrated with other graphically- based information to provide the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency with a compre- hensive view of acid rain effects. Scope There is ample evidence in the open literature to indicate that a variety of water quality parameters may be estimated directly from MSS imagery (Witzig and Whitehurst, 1981). It is the object of this study to determine if the effects of acid loading caused by freshet conditions could be detected by multivariate inter- pretation of multispectral scanner imagery. In the first of the series of studies, a portion of Adirondack State Park (see Figure 1) was imaged with the MSS during the fall of 1981. Statistically significant linear relationships were found between the MSS data and concurrent water quality measurements of Secchi depth, pH, alkalinity, total suspended solids, chlorophyll a, phaeophyton, and dissolved organic carbon. During the second study, the same area was imaged using identical systems, flight lines, and altitudes in the spring of 1982. Water measurements were made of Secchi depth, pH, alkalinity, total suspended solids, conductivity, chlorophyll a, phaeophyton, and total organic carbon. Best subsets multiple linear regression analysis was then used to relate the scanner data to the water measurements. Comparison of the results from these two studies should provide valuable information on the optimum timing of scanner overflights, with the possible limitation being that chlorophyll a, phaeophyton, and total suspended solids 3 ------- may exist in such low concentrations that small errors in laboratory analyses could produce relatively large errors in the regression analyses. Confirmation of the results from the first study, however, should provide sufficient evidence to indicate that the program is worth pursuing to the next platform (the U-2 aircraft and Thematic Mapper Simulator). 4 ------- CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONCLUSIONS Based on review of pertinent literature and the evidence produced by this study, it is concluded that: o Linear relationhsips exist between aircraft multispectral scanner data and water quality measurements. o Secchi depth and total organic carbon provided the best correlations with the multispectral scanner data. o Correlations between the multispectral data and pH and alkalinity show weak, linear relationships. o Spring sampling does not provide optimum results in conjunction with multispectral scanner flights. o A multivariate approach is necessary to quantitatively predict the measured parameters. o While the results of this study are not adequate to propose that these data be used in an operational monitoring program, the correlations are sufficiently good to justify continued research. o Potential gains from continuing this research include the development of an image-based geographic information system, synoptic maps of the current state of U.S. freshwater bodies, and a system for continued monitoring of lake acidification. 5 ------- RECOMMENDATIONS Based on the findings reported herein, the following recommendations are made: o The study should be continued using high-altitude Thematic Mapper Simulator data collected during peak lake productivity. o An "interior analysis" should be performed on the data already collected, to determine if there is a better subset of data points to be used in the regressions. o Water sampling should be conducted more nearly coincident with the overflights. o Judgement of validity of the regression model for predictive purposes should not be made on R2 alone, but should include Mallow's Cp, standard error, statistical significance, and signal-to-noise considerations as well. o Special attention should be placed on the distribution of sampling stations, to achieve the greatest range and most uniform distribution of water quality values possible. 6 ------- METHODOLOGY DATA ACQUISITION The multispectral data were acquired using a Daedalus DS-1260 multispectral scanner flown aboard an Aero Commander 680V aircraft from 0903 to 1031 EST on May 1, 1982. The flight altitude was approximately 6,400 meters (21,000 feet) above mean sea level (MSL). The average terrain level below the aircraft was approximately 600 meters (19,700 feet) MSL, yielding a nadir ground resolution element of approximately 14.5 by 14.5 meters. (More detailed information about the multispectral scanner may be found in the Appendix.) Four north-south flight lines provided continuous cover- age of the 97.5 by 25.0 kilometer study area (Figure 1). Additionally, simultaneous 9 by 9-inch aerial transparencies were collected using Kodak 2448 color reversal film. The camera used was a Wild RC-8 with a 152-mm (6-inch) focal length lens and a haze-correcting antivignetting filter. This produced stereo coverage of the study area at a nominal scale of 1:38,000. Water sampling of 56 stations at a depth of 1 meter was conducted by Paul Smith's College, New York over the period of May 3 through May 5, 198 2. Measurements of Secchi depth, pH, alkalinity, total suspended solids, conductivity, chlorophyll a, and phaeophyton were made by Paul Smith's College, and measurement of total organic carbon was made by the USEPA Environmental Research Laboratory at Corvallis, Oregon. A three-replicate procedure was used to provide precision data for the water quality parameters. DATA ANALYSIS The general data analysis approach used in this study was to relate the multispectral scanner data to the water quality parameters, one at a time, with a 7 ------- '////"'" Long. ADIRONDACK STUDY AREA PARK 20 SO 30 MILES Lake Ontario Rochestero OUtica SyracuseO [pBuffalo AlbanyO Lake Erie Finger Lakes New York Figure 1. Location of the study area. 8 ------- multiple linear regression technique. Best subsets multiple linear regression (Dixon, 1977) was used to quantify the relationships between the 10-channel multi- spectral data and the water measurements. Preprocessing and Signature Extraction Channels 1 through 10 of the multispectral scanner (0.38-1.10 ym) were decom- mutated from high density digital tape (HDDT) to computer compatible (CCT) format. Corrections were then made for scan line overscan and tangential distortion. No other preprocessing steps were undertaken. Channel 10 (0.92-1.10 pm) data were then displayed on the video screen of a COMTOL image processing system. Reference maps (1:62,500 scale USGS quadrangles) provided by Paul Smith's College were used to locate the sampling stations in the imagery. A five by five picture element (pixel) matrix of data was extracted from the MSS data set about the location of each water sample station. The means for each channel were calculated and converted to radiance values (expressed in yW/cm2-sr-nm). These mean radiance vectors for each sample station were then input to the Biomedical Computer Programs, P-Series statistics package (Dixon, 1977), program P9R (All Possible Subsets Multiple Linear Regression) for computation of the regression equations. Three of the 56 sampling stations were eliminated from the data extraction process because of the presence of lake ice. The stations eliminated were: 1) Honnedaga Lake, 2) Raquette Lake (Lonesone Bay), and 3) Raquette Lake (Sucker Brook). Data Transformations and Regression Analysis It has been suggested in the literature that transformations of the multi- spectral data improve the relationships between MSS data and the water sample data (Alfoldi and Munday, 1978). Several data transformations were included in the analysis. 9 ------- Chromaticity ratios were calculated for each channel. The chromaticity ratio follows the form of equation 1. Ri = Ch^Chi (1) i=l,10 Where: = the chromaticity ratio for channel (i) Ch^ = the radiance for channel (i) Also, adjacent-channel ratios of the form: Ri = Chi/Chi+1 (2) were calculated. The ratio Ch5/Ch10 was also included in this group. Other transformations included logarithms of the MSS and the water sample data, inverse transforms of the MSS data, and squares of the MSS data. The best subsets of MSS data were determined by minimizing Mallow's Cp. This procedure minimizes the effects of sampling error, producing a less biased estimate of the optimum subset of variables (Snedecor and Cochran, 1980). Criteria for Regression Evaluation In a benchmark article on the use of remote sensing data for water pollution studies, Whitlock, Kuo, and LeCroy (1982) suggest a series of criteria by which the multiple linear regression procedure may be evaluated. Most of their criteria are incorporated here. First of all, the scanner data must possess a sufficient signal-to-noise ratio to observe differences caused by changes in the optical response of the water. Daniel and Woods criteria (Ibid., p. 156), that the variance of the data exceed the scanner calibration lamp variance by a factor of 10, was adopted. The variance of the training sets was compared to the variance of the calibration lamp values. All channels except MSS channel 9 (0.80-0.89 iim) passed this test. Channel 9 failed the 10 ------- test by only a slight amount, and this was due to a relatively low range in the data, rather than noise in the system. Therefore, although it technically failed Daniel and Wood's criteria, channel 9 was included in the analysis. The remaining criteria are as follows: R2 - the variance about the dependent variable explained by the regression equation. This statistic varies between zero and one and is called the coefficieint of determination. Its value should approach one (100 percent of the variance explained). However, values of 0.7 or even slightly less may be usable. F - this statistic is used to compute the significance of the regression equation (i.e., the regression is linear in form and possesses a non-zero slope). It has been suggested that the F-value should exceed the critical F-value (at the 95 percent confidence level) by a factor four (Ibid., p. 166). It is the opinion of the author that the level of significance should be set at the 99.0 or 99.9 percent level and no multiplication factor should be used. SE - this is the standard error of the estimate, and is expressed in units of the dependent variable. Sixty-eight percent of the errors should fall within one standard error. Its value will be no better than the precision of the laboratory data, and the acceptable value depends heavily on how the remotely sensed measurements are to be used. In an ideal case, it would approach zero. 11 ------- RESULTS REGRESSION ANALYSIS Table 1 contains a list of R2 for each regression. In each case, the R2 was based on the "best subset" of variables chosen to minimize the Cp statistic. Therefore, there may have been higher R2 values with other regressions, but these represent the combinations with the least bias in the independent variables (the MSS radiance values). Total suspended solids and total organic carbon are represented by the abbreviations TSS and TOC, respectively, and all logarithms are to base 10. TABLE 1. VALUES OF R2 FOR SEVERAL DATA TRANSFORMATIONS MSS MSS log MSS Chromaticity Ratio log MSS MSS MSS vs vs vs vs vs vs Variable Variable Variable Variable log Variable Variable log Variable Secchi .622* .608* .608* .702* .615* .703* P« .462* .472* .499* .489* .475* .479* Alkalinity .366* .373* .362* - .365 - TSS .225 .225 .140 .272 .224 .286 Conductivity .452* .446* .594* .297 .423* .307 Phaeophyton .329 .326 .088 .340* .344 .330* Chlorophyll a .251* .268* .226 .127 .240 .214 TOC .577* .614* .564* .582* .576* .562* *Signif icant beyond the 0 .001 level (99.9 percent) by the F-test • Table 2 contains the standard error (S.E.) and Cp/P values for the untransformed (MSS versus variable) and the "best" transformed regressions. ( "Best" in this case means highest R2 .) 12 ------- TABLE 2. COMPARISON OF STANDARD ERRORS AND Cp/P RATIOS FOR UNTRANSFORMED AND TRANSFORMED VARIABLES Untransformed Transformed Cp/P S.E. Best Transformation Cp/P S.E. Secchi 0. 62 1. 223 m MSS vs. log Secchi 0. ,55 1.294 m PH 0. 60 0. 650 MSS Ratio vs. pH 0. 88 0.634 Alkalinity 0. 68 56 .126 peq/1 MSS Chromaticity vs. Alkalinity 0. ,82 55.825 peq/1 TSS 0. 14 0. 972 ppm MSS vs. log TSS -0. ,04 2.080 ppm Conductivity 0. 90 15 .280 pmhos MSS Ratio vs. Conductivity 0. .88 13.948 umhos Phaeophyton 0. 96 1. 377 mg/m3 log MSS vs. Phaeophyton 1. ,01 1.362 mg/m3 Chlorophyll a 0. 24 0. 416 mg/m3 MSS Chromaticity vs. Chlorophyll a -1, .55 0.411 mg/m3 TOC 0. 62 1. 222 mg/1 MSS Chromoticity vs. TOC 0, .73 1.180 mq/1 The summary statistics for the dependent variable data are presented in Table 3. Daniel and Woods criteria for relating the measurement error to the variance of measured values is also presented. Daniel and Woods ratio values of less than 3.16 indicate noisy measurements relative to the observed values. The coefficient of variation is also presented. This statistic varies between zero and one, represent- ing the magnitude of measurement error relative to the mean observation. The error analysis is missing for Secchi depth because replicate data were not provided. It is estimated that the measurement error for Secchi depth is between 0.5 and 1.0 m. Table 4 presents the correlation (R) matrix between independent and dependent variables. In addition to the multispectral scanner radiances for each channel, correlations were determined between pH and alkalinity and the remaining water quality variables. Table 5 compares the results of the fall study with the current (spring) study for untransformed data sets. The best subset of MSS channels is also listed. Conductivity and total organic carbon tests were not made in the fall study, and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) tests were not performed on the spring data. 13 ------- TABLE 3. DEPENDENT VARIABLE SUMMARY STATISTICS Mean Daniel Coefficient Smallest Largest Laboratory Standard and of Variable Mean Value Value Units Precision* Deviation Wood's Variation (y) (y) (y min) (y max) (arep.' (ff/°rep.* {arep./y) Secchi 3.74 1.00 13.00 m not avail. 1.87 - - pH 5.70 4.40 7.20 none 0.02 0.85 42.5 .004 Alkalinity 38.92 o GO • PO 1 245.10 peq/1 3.61 66.94 18.54 .093 TSS 1.45 0.1 0 4.20 ppm 0.34 1.06 3.12 .234 Conductivity 32.78 17.50 159.70 ymhos 0.55 19.81 36.01 .017 Phaeophyton 1.283 0.045 10.147 mg/m^ 0.209 1.562 7.27 .163 Chlorophyll a^ 0.345 0.000 2.162 mg/m^ 0.100 0.470 4.70 .290 TOC 5.8 2.0 10.0 mg/1 0.2 1.8 9.0 .034 •The sum of the standard deviations for the three-replicates divided by the number of sampling stations. TABLE 4. CORRELATION (R) MATRIX BETWEEN INDEPENDENT AND DEPENDENT VARIABLES Independent Variable Dependent Variable MSS Secchi pH Alkalinity TSS Conductivity Phaeophyton Chlorophyll a TOC 1 0.120 -0.1 12 -0.128 -0.053 -0.138 0.002 0.066 -0.135 2 0.106 -0.1 14 -0.1 40 -0.059 -0.132 -0.074 0.259 -0.172 3 0.119 -0.114 -0.110 -0.075 -0.105 -0.101 0.310 -0.192 4 0.1 21 -0.043 -0.051 -0.072 -0.072 -0.104 0.333 -0.204 5 0.065 0.024 0.009 -0.041 -0.003 -0.089 0.356 -0.153 6 -0.018 0.043 0.024 0.007 0.051 -0.076 0.384 -0.060 7 -0.063 0.037 0.041 0.048 0.1 35 -0.052 0.411 0.015 8 -0.078 -0.024 0.027 0.074 0.217 -0.037 0.396 0.059 9 -0.092 -0.020 0.050 0.109 0.300 -0.022 0.363 0.102 10 -0.138 -0.031 0.046 0.143 0.377 -0.029 0.289 0.167 Secchi -0.081 -0.110 TSS 0.279 0.322 Conductivity 0.517 0.716 Phaeophyton -0.045 0.078 Chlorophyll a 0.444 0.546 TOC 0.1 77 0.1 24 1 4 ------- TABLE 5. BEST SUBSET MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION COMPARISON Fall Spring R2 S.E. MSS Best Subset ChanneIs R2 S.E. MSS Best Subset Channels Secchi 0.796* 1.436 m 2,4,5,6,10 0.622* 1.223 m 1,2,4,5,6,9 pH 0.383* 0.593 1,2,3,5,9 0.462* 0.650 2,3,5,6 Alkalinity 0.309* 39.378 jieq/1 1,2,3,5,6,9 0.366* 56.126 weq/1 2,3,5,6,7 TSS 0.494* 0.935 ppm 2,7 0.225 0.972 ppm 1,2,3,5 Chlorophyll a 0.424* 1.649 mg/m3 2,7,10 0.251* 0.416 mg/m3 1,3 Conductivity - - - 0.452* 15.28 ymhos 4,5,6,10 Phaeophyton 0.502* 0.820 mg/m3 1,5,7 0.329 1.377 mg/m3 2,3,5,6,7,8,10 DOC 0.807* 0.824 mg/m3 1,2,4,7,9 - - - TOC 0.577* 1.22 mg/1 3,4,5,7,9 ~Significant regression beyond the 0.001 (99.9 percent) level by the F-test. 1 5 ------- Scatter plots of predicted versus observed values of the dependent variables for the best regressions from transformed variables (see Tables 1 and 2) are presented in Figures 2 through 9. Predicted values refer to those predicted for each point through the multiple linear regression model. Observed values refer to the laboratory measurements for the same points. DISCUSSION It is evident from the preceding tables and plots that linear relationships do exist between multispectral scanner data and a variety of acid deposition-related water quality parameters. It is also clear that these relationships are not as precise as we would wish them to be for predictive purposes. There is a great deal of variance present in the data. Techniques to reduce this variance must be found before an operational monitoring procedure is established. However, sufficiently significant relationships have been found between the scanner data and many of the water quality variables to encourage further research in this area. Improvements in the relationships found may be a question of timing. It is interesting to note, that the only improvements in R2 from the fall mission to the spring mission were related to pH and alkalinity, the only two variables having increased ranges from fall to spring. The effects of narrow ranges in the data may be seen in Tables 1, 2, and 3. Total suspended solids, phaeophyton, and chlorophyll a all had high variances with respect to the magnitude of the measurements. As one might expect, the R2 values (Table 1) were correspondingly low. Spring freshet does not appear to be the optimum time to measure these variables, due to their low con- centrations. Substantial improvement may be made by timing the overflight and water sampling to coincide with maximum productivity. This should allow the lakes to react to differences in pH and alkalinity caused by acid deposition and increase the range of related optical effects. 16 ------- a Log 5ECCHI OT O co a r- O f ) to I LJ-I o (_) H—-* a in a QC a- Q_ o cn a ru o o - o 0 —p 11 111111 11 l ll 11 n 111111 l 11 1111111111 i l| 1111111 11| 111111 H l| I M n 1111| 111 111111 11 11 111111[ 11111 i 111| n 11111 11 | 1111 nTTTj 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 OBSERVED 29-0EC-82 Figure 2. Predicted versus observed log^g Secchi depth (original values in m) . 17 ------- CO -| a UJ I— CJ I—I ~ LU QC Q_ OBSERVED 29-0EC-B2 Figure 3. Predicted versus observed pH. 18 ------- RLKRLINITY |rinin>i|iimnii|iMMiM»|MHinn|riifniinmnim|iiiftM»i|nnn»m'i -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 OBSERVED 29-DEC-82 Figure 4. Predicted versus observed alkalinity (peq/1). 19 ------- Log T.S.S. i i r i i i i i i [ i i i M i i i > | i i i i i i i i i | ii i i ii i i i | i i i i i ii i i'| i i i i i M n | 11 i i i i i i i i | i i i i i i i i i | i i i i i i i i i -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 OBSERVED 0.6 1.0 29-DEC-82 Figure 5. Predicted versus observed log^g total suspended solids (original values in ppm). 20 ------- CONDUCTIVITY pinnni |inmm| i 60 70 80 90 100 OBSERVED 110 120 130 140 i|iimiiiih 150 160 39-Dcc-ea Figure 6. Predicted versus observed conductivity (yrahos). 21 ------- PHREOPHTTON t 111 n 111111 1111 111 [ 1111111111111111111111111111111111111 ri 1111 ri 1111111 1111111111 11 1111 11 m 111 i 11 11111' 111111 01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 OBSERVED ?9-0EC-82 Figure 7. Predicted versus observed phaeophyton (mg/m3). 22 ------- CHLOROPHTLLa i t 11 ri i m 11 n 111 n n i n 11 n 11 |i 111H111| 111111111111 il 111M [ 11111 n r 1111111 n 111111 n n n |ll 111 n 11| M H H111| n'' i' i n ["' i' 11H111' 111 n * | n i n i ii f| i n 1111" |" 111" 111 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1. 1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 OBSERVED 29-0EC-82 Figure 8. Predicted versus observed chlorophyll a (mg/ra3). 23 ------- o _ T.O.C. II I II II 11 | I M I II M I |'M I I I I Ml | I I II I I I M | I I I Ml T M ]» I I II II t I | » I M M I II |» M M I M I | I M OBSERVED6 29-DEC-B2 Figure 9. Predicted versus observed total organic carbon (mg/1). 24 ------- The relationships may also be improved by a careful analysis of the points to be included in the regression. This may be illustrated by the scatter plot of conduc- tivity (Figure 6). The regression is dominated by only one point with a relatively high value. The decision whether or not to delete that point from the analysis has a relatively large effect on the results. For the other parameters, careful "interior analysis" of the data points could considerably improve the model. The current, as well as future, data sets should be examined, with particular attention to robust regression estimates (Huber, 1981), to determine the optimum set of points to be included in the regression computations. Despite some of the problems revealed by this study, and the one preceding it, the multispectral, regression-based approach appears to show promise as an eventual monitoring tool. Table 4 clearly demonstrates that univariate methods will not be adequate. It is not the absolute response, but the pattern of response which will reveal the relationship between the optical properties of water and its constituents. Moreover, the value of the synoptic view must not be minimized. An image-based geographic information system of acid precipitation effects would be of great value in acid deposition assessment and monitoring. Considering the potential for long-term gain, it is recommended that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency proceed with the next phase of this project. A mid- summer flight should be conducted consisting of a high-altitude U-2 platform and the Thematic Mapper Simulator. Multivariate analysis should be conducted by an inter- disciplinary team consisting of a remote sensing specialist, a statistician, and a limnologist to fully exploit the techniques described in this study. 25 ------- REFERENCES Alfoldi, T. T., and J. C. Munday. 1978. 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ASP, Falls Church, VA. :l-20. 26 ------- APPENDIX MULTISPECTRAL SCANNER AND ANALYSIS SYSTEM CHARACTERISTICS 27 ------- MSS WAVELENGTH BANDS Wavelength Channel Band Color/Spectrum 1 0.38-0.42pm New Ultraviolet 2 0.42-0.45pm Blue 3 0.45-0.50pm Blue 4 0.50-0.55pm Green 5 0.55-0.60pm Green 6 0.60-0.65pm Red 7 0.65-0.70pm Red 8 0.70-0.79pm Near Infrared 9 0.80-0.89pm Near Infrared 10 0.92-1.10pm Near Infrared 11 8.00-14.00pm Thermal Infrared 28 ------- MULTISPECTRAL SCANNER IMAGING CHARACTERISTICS (SIMPLIFIED) I0I41 FKU) Ot Ytm a DIRECTION OF SCAN GROUND RESOLUTION ELEMENT SCAN LINE 29 ------- MULTISPECTRAL SCANNER DATA PROCESSING Processing and analysis of multispectral scanner digital data is accomplished on the EMSL-LV Data Analysis System (DAS). The DAS (see attached figure) consists of a sensor tape playback unit, a high-speed digital computer, an interactive color TV display system, and an off-line film recorder. The functional steps in processing MSS digital data are summarized in the following diagram (MSS Data Processing - Simplified). The MSS sensor data must be preprocessed before image analysis can be initiated. Preprocessing entails converting the data into a digital format compatible with the DAS processing software. In addition, the data can be calibrated and geometric cor- rections applied to rectify scan line distortions. Primary data analysis and processing begin when software programs contained in the Image Analysis block are implemented. A variety of enhancement and classifi- cation procedures can be utilized by the image analyst. Single or multi-channel images, as well as enhanced and classified images can be viewed and analyzed on the color TV display. In addition, statistical parameters computed from the data can be extracted for detailed analysis. Hard copy records that can be generated at this stage in data processing include black and white film images, electrostatic paper plots from each MSS channel, and statistical printouts. Following Image Analysis, further processing is required before the final output product can be produced. Classified data is color-coded and enlargement/reduction factors are computed by the analyst. Optional programs in this phase include a geo- graphic rectification routine to match the image to selected UTM (Universal Trans- verse Mercator) map projection scales, and inputing image annotations. Final output products from the MSS processing includes hardcopy color and/or black and white film images (positive or negative), and electrostatic paper plots. The classified and/or enhanced images can also be viewed in color and black and white on the TV display. Again, statistics computed from the data can also be viewed on the display. Class statistics such as pixels per class, acres per class, or square miles per class are output in the form of tabulated data. 30 ------- MSS DATA PROCESSING (SIMPLIFIED) TV DISPLAY • COLOR / BtW IMAGE • STATISTICS HARD COPY IMAGE • COLOR / B & W FILM • ELECTROSTATIC PLOT DATA PRE-PROCESSING MSS SENSOR TAPE LINE PRINTER • STATISTICS TV DISPLAY • IMAGE • STATISTICS HARD COPY • B 4 W FILM • ELECTROSTATIC PLOTS • STATISTICS POST ANALYSIS PROCESSING • COLOR ASSIGNMENT • ANNOTATION OVERLAYS • RECTIFY TO MAP BASE IMAGE ANALYSIS • image enhancement • CLASSIFICATION 31 ------- |