United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Office of Emergency
Remedial Response
Washington, DC 20460
EPA/540/X-91/002
April 1991
Superfund
Risk Assessment in Superfund:
A Primer
FIRST EDITION
September 1990

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9285.7-05
RISK ASSESSMENT IN SUPERFUND:
A PRIMER
FIRST EDITION
September 1990
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
Office of Emergency and Remedial Response
Toxics Integration Branch
An introduction to risk assessment for
Superfund Remedial Project Managers (RPMs) and
On-Scene Coordinators (OSCs)
Printed on Recycled Paper

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r

\

MAKING RISK ASSESSMENT


WORK FOR YOU


TOXICS INTEGRATION BRANCH
Hazardous Site Evaluation Division
Office of Emergency and Remedial Response
(OS-230)
202-475-9486
FTS 475-9486

V

J

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Risk Assessment in Superfund: Introduction
The major decisions made at a Superfund site can be distilled into answering these basic
questions:
•	Should something be done at this site?
•	What should be done?
•	When has enough been done?
The Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (known as
Superfund) is a law passed by Congress in 1980 and amended in 1986. Superfund allows the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to reduce the risks from hazardous chemical
wastes where the environment has been damaged. Written by EPA, the National Contingency
Plan (NCP) is the regulation to implement and carry out Superfund law such that it protects the
health of both people and the environment.
Different risk assessment approaches are applied in evaluating possible effects of
Superfund sites on human health and the environment. In the Superfund program, the
application of risk assessment to human health evaluation is well developed and standardized.
It is outlined in this primer. Neither EPA nor the Superfund program has one standardized
environmental evaluation methodology, because there are so many different aspects of the
environment -- individuals, species, ecosystems, natural resources, endangered species, etc. --
which may need to be evaluated. As a result, the Superfund program has identified resource
persons to be involved and an orderly process for environmental evaluation. This primer refers
the reader to the guidance for environmental evaluation (see appendix A), but it does not
provide details of the process. Regardless, the protection of the environment remains of
primary importance, along with the protection of human health, in the Superfund program.
i

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Part I
Risk Assessment in Superfund - An Overview
1-1

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EPA'S RISK PARADIGM
Risk

Risk

Risk
Assessment
	^
Management
	~
Communication
1-2

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To help answer the basic questions at Superfund sites, EPA
has chosen to use a structured methodology known as risk
assessment to decide what is "safe" or "protective." EPA has
chosen this common sense approach to assemble and organize
information on the toxicity (potential harmful health effects) of a
chemical and exposure (contact of an organism with a chemical)
of the individuals at or near a Superfund site. Managers at EPA
can then use the assembled information from the risk assessment
to make decisions to act ~ a process known as risk
management. The communication to EPA staff, as well as the
public, of the results of the risk assessment and decisions made
in the risk management process is known as risk
communication.
All programs within EPA use the risk assessment, risk
management, and risk communication paradigm in some manner.
The Superfund program has been a leader in applying it to site-
specific decisions. This primer illustrates this application.
1-3

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THE FOUR STEPS OF RISK
ASSESSMENT
Exposure
Assessment
Toxicity
Assessment
Data Collection
and Evaluation
Risk
Characterization
1-4

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Risk assessment for a Superfund site is a four-step process.
The first step, data collection and evaluation, identifies
contaminants present in the environmental media -- soil,
groundwater, surface water, air, fish, etc. ~ of the site.
The second step, toxicity assessment, uses the results of
years of research and testing of the effects of chemicals on the
health of people and animals to decide which of the contaminants
found on site might pose a health threat.
The third step, exposure assessment, defines which pathways
(e.g., using the groundwater for drinking and showering or eating
the fish) might bring the contaminants in contact with people.
The final step, risk characterization, brings the information from
the first three steps together to determine the potential severity of
health threats from the site.
1-5

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RISK ASSESSMENT IS...
A Structured Method Used to Evaluate Potential
Effects of Environmental Contaminants.
Residential
Area
Swamp
City (10 miles)
Stream
Woods
River
— Hill
Fields
1-6

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This primer shows risk assessment to be a particularly helpful
way to view the extent of a problem at a Superfund site.
1-7

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HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL
RISK ASSESSMENT
To inform:
•	Pre-remedial program
•	Removal program
•	Remedial program

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Those in the Superfund program usually talk about the
"baseline risk assessment" conducted during the remedial
investigation. In fact, risk assessment is useful to managers
throughout the Superfund process.
The Hazard Ranking System of the pre-remedial program is
structured by risk assessment principles. Risk assessment can
also help trigger removal actions, set preliminary remediation
goals, and determine when a site is "clean".
1-9

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BASIC QUESTIONS ANSWERED WITH
RISK INFORMATION

How bad is the site?
How bad could it become if
nothing is done?
Does the site warrant remedial
action?
How much should be
cleaned up for the site to
be o.k.?
What will be the result of
remedial action?
I-IO

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Here are some of the questions risk assessment can answer.
1-11

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RISK ASSESSMENT AND SUPERFUND
Remedial
Investigation
Preliminary
Assessment, Site
Inspection, Listing
Site Inspection
Remedial
Design/
Remedial
Action
(RD/RA)
Record
of
Decision
(ROD)
Selection
of
Remedy
Site
Discovery
HRS Scoring
NPL Listing
Project
Scoping
5 Year
Review
Feasibility
Study
Answers to Risk Questions Aid in
Risk Data Collected and Identified
hisk	Decision-making Process
Assessment
Conducted
1-12

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Most of the formal risk assessment activities occur after a site
is listed on the National Priorities List (NPL).
Major opportunities for risk assessment to help in site decision-
making include:
developing preliminary remediation goals during project
scoping and their modification during the feasibility
study (FS).
the baseline risk assessment during the remediation
investigation (Rl).
evaluating the effectiveness of remedial alternatives: in
the FS report, in the Record of Decision (ROD) to
relate target cleanup concentrations to health risks;
during remedial action to monitor progress toward
"acceptable risk"; and at deletion or five-year review of
the site.
1-13

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DEVELOPMENT OF PRELIMINARY
REMEDIATION GOALS
Future Land
Potential Exposure Points
ARARs
10 Point of Departure
i *
Target Cleanup Concentrations

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Risk assessment can provide a quick way to estimate risk-
based target clean-up concentrations for the site at the start of the
Rl, relying only on data used for NPL listing, a prediction of future
land use (residential or industrial), a standard set of exposure
factors in a look-up table, standard toxicity values, and a
calculator.
This allows consideration of possible risks from several
pathways of exposure to each chemical (e.g. people drinking
groundwater, kids eating dirt.)
It also allows explicit consideration of the "10"® point-of-
departure" (one in a million individual excess lifetime cancer risk)
called for in the National Contingency Plan (NCP) as a starting
point for remedial analysis.
Finally, it allows for a quick protectiveness check on possible
chemical-specific applicable or relevant and appropriate
requirements (ARARs) for a site. These are potential target
cleanup concentrations suggested by Federal or State laws.
1-15

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BASELINE RISK ASSESSMENT
Residential
Area
Farmlands
Swamp
ft/City (10 miles)
Woods
River
1-16

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The baseline risk assessment organizes the information from
the Rl to answer the questions shown. Part II of this primer
provides more detail how these steps are conducted.
The reasonable maximum exposure (RME) is called for in the
NCP and should provide a "rationally conservative" estimate of
exposures from the site.
1-17

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EFFECTIVENESS EVALUATION OF
REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES
1-18

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An effective remedy will:
. protect human health and the environment.
provide short-term effectiveness (acceptable risk during
the cleanup).
provide long-term effectiveness (risk assessment can
evaluate progress or completion of cleanup).
1-19

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MAKING RISK ASSESSMENT WORK
REAL TIME
Guidance & Training
¦

Real World
_Jseat
sidPo««
, w»"0	(—
Concerns
uuaiity Control
Cleanup
Concerns
1-20

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EPA Regional and Headquarters (D.C.) personnel share
responsibility for making risk assessment work.
The Superfund program is delegated to the Regions, and, of
course, the action takes place at the site. Regional or State staff
must plan, carry out, monitor, and evaluate actions at the site. Staff
in the Regions (we call them Regional Toxics Integration
Coordinators) assist site managers and Regional management in
using risk assessment in Superfund. Regional staff should also
maintain a quality control program for risk assessments at each site.
Staff at EPA Headquarters lead, usually with Regional
participation, the development of risk assessment guidance and
training, the provision of "rapid response" technical support, and
quality assurance of risk assessments.
Both Regional and Headquarters risk assessment programs
identify the need for new policies or research or testing to fill gaps in
knowledge.
Together, our goal is to improve and facilitate high quality and
nationally consistent risk assessment in the Superfund program.
1-21

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ENVIRONMENTAL EVALUATION MANUAL
Replaces (with Human Health Evaluation Manual)
Endangerment Assessment Handbook (1985)
Audience:
•	Remedial project managers
•	On-scene coordinators
Goals:
•	Establish a process
•	Involve experts
•	Assess and report consistently
1-22

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Here's the latest guidance for environmental (ecological)
evaluation at Superfund sites.
It's available from the Center for Environmental Research
Information (CERI) in Cincinnati, Ohio. To order, phone (513)
569-7562 (FTS 684-7562).
The order number is EPA/540/1-89/001.
1-23

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HUMAN HEALTH EVALUATION MANUAL
Replaces Superffund Public Health Evaluation
Manual (1986)
Replaces (with Environmental Evaluation Manual)
Endangerment Assessment Handbook (1985)
Audience:
•	Risk assessor
•	Risk assessment reviewer
Goals:
•	Be clear • Be specific
•	Be useful • Be used
1-24

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There's also new guidance for human health risk assessments.
Order EPA/540/1-89/002 from CERI.
1-25

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SUPERFUND TOOLS
HEALTH
ENVIRONMENT
Human Health
Evaluation Manual
(Part A) (1989)
Risk Assessment
Guidance For
Superfund
Environmental
Evaluation Manual
(1989)
Superfund
Exposure
Assessment
Manual (1988)
Integrated Risk
Information System
Health Effects Assessment
Summary Tables (quarterly)
Ecological Assessment
of Hazardous Waste Sites:
A Field and Laboratory
Reference (1989)
Guidance for Data Useability
in Risk Assessment
(1990)
1-26

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The two manuals we just described make up Risk Assessment
Guidance for Superfund (RAGS). Additional parts of RAGS,
addressing preliminary remediation goals (RAGS-Part B) and
Record of Decision (ROD) and post-ROD activities (RAGS-Part C),
will be published in Summer 1991.
The other risk assessment tools, documents and databases,
are aimed at risk assessors and risk assessment reviewers.
1-27

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WHERE DO I TURN FOR HELP?
OSCs...
Senior OSC
State
Environmental
Experts
r? [£(
osc*
Environmental
Response
Team (ERT)
1-28
^Technical Support
Centers
Technical
Assistance
Team (TAT)
National
Response Center
(NRC)

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Here are some folks who are available to help the on-scene
coordinator as he or she leads removal activities.
1-29

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WHERE DO I TURN FOR HELP?
RPMs...
Regional Biological
Technical Assistance
^Groups (BTAGs)/
Environmantal
rtoandAsMasi
Offic# (ECAO)

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Two sources of help for Remedial Project Managers (RPMs)
need additional explanation:
The BTAG is a group of environmental biology/natural
resource experts (employees of EPA, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, or States) organized in the Region to
provide environmental evaluation and review of
Superfund sites.
ECAO, an office within EPA's Office of Research and
Development, answers telephone or written inquiries for
technical health risk assessment support from RPMs,
OSCs, or Superfund risk assessors. The phone
number is (513) 569-7300 (FTS 684-7300).
1-31

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QUESTIONS?
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
1-32

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If you have questions about the use of risk assessment in the
Superfund program, call
Toxics Integration Branch
(202) 475-9486
FTS 475-9486
1-33

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Part II
Risk Assessment in Superfund - Some Details
n-i

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United States	Office of Emergency and EPA/540/1 -89/002
Environmental Protection Remedial Response	December 1989
Agency	Washington DC 20460
Superfund
Risk Assessment
Guidance for Superfund
Volume I
Human Health
Evaluation Manual
(Part A)
Interim Final

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This part of the risk assessment primer lays out the steps of
human health risk assessment as described in Risk Assessment
Guidance for Superfund: Volume I: Human Health Evaluation
Manual (Part A).
n-3

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HUMAN HEALTH RISK EVALUATION
ACTIVITIES IN THE RI/FS PROCESS
RI/FS
Stages
r
Project
Scoping
Site
C haracteriza t ion
(RD
RI/FS
Establishment of
Remedial Action
Objectives (FS)
Development &
Screening of
Alternatives (FS)
Detailed
Analysis of
Alternatives (FS)
Human
Health
| Risk
Evaluation
1Activities
Review data
collected in site
inspection
Review
sampling/data
collection plans
Formulate
preliminary
remediation goals
(RGs)
Determine level of
effort for baseline
risk assessment
RISK ASSESSMENT
Toxicity
Assessment
Data Collection
and Evaluation
1
Risk
Characterization
Exposure
Assessment
Refine
preliminary RGs
based on risk
assessment and
ARARs
Evaluate risk
of remedial
alternatives
]
n-4

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The baseline risk assessment of the Remedial Investigation
(Rl) is the central risk evaluation activity in the Superfund
program. It is a four-step risk assessment paradigm (data
evaluation, exposure assessment, toxicity assessment, risk
characterization) adapted from recommendations to EPA by a
committee of the National Academy of Sciences in 1983.
This four-step analysis or framework is used in each risk
evaluation step in the Superfund remedial program.
n-5

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HUMAN HEALTH EVALUATION MANUAL
Evaluation of Remedial
Alternatives (Part C)
Development of
Preliminary Remediation
Goals (Part B)
Baseline Risk
Assessment (Part A)
n-6

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Let's look at the baseline risk assessment as described in Part
A of RAGS.
n-7

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COLLECT DATA
Stream
Residential
Area
Swamp
Woods
— Hill -

Site
History
PA/SI/LSI
Scoping
Collections
Sampling
Strategy
City (10 miles)
River
Fields
Analytical
V. Methods
n-8

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To initiate the baseline risk assessment of the Rl, information
on site history and data gathered during the pre-remedial program
(PA/SI/LSI) or a recent site visit must be assembled and used to
guide the "scoping" of the remedial investigation.
A critical part of the scoping, in which the risk assessor or
Regional Toxics Integration Coordinator can assist greatly, is
identifying contaminants of significant toxicity- and all exposure
pathways of concern. In addition to the media paths - soil, air,
and drinking water -- other paths such as the eating of
contaminated food or recreation may be very important.
Knowing toxicity and exposures to be evaluated leads directly
to sampling strategy (e.g., identifying "hot spots," gathering
sufficient data for reasonable maximum exposure (RME)
determination), appropriate analytical methods (e.g., requesting
special analytical services for detection at low concentration), and
related data quality objectives (DQOs) for sampling and analysis.
n-9

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EVALUATE DATA
Spatial
Distribution
Detection
Frequency
Background
Concentrations
Lab
Data
40J
Data
Evaluation
Chemicals of
Potential Concern
14,000a
Detection
Limits
Laboratory
Blanks
Data
Qualifiers
n-io

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Evaluation of data, from lab or field analyses, identifies
chemicals of potential concern at the site.
Staff of the Environmental Services Division (ESD) of the
Region evaluate data from the Contract Laboratory Program (CLP)
and other sources against DQOs. ESD staff provide standard
laboratory reports for data from the CLP. These data often have
certain codes (e.g., J) to help their interpretation. Coded data are
not "bad" data; they are often extremely helpful to the risk
assessor. For example, a code may indicate the presence of a
chemical on site at a concentration below the sample quantitation
limit.
n-11

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ASSESS EXPOSURE
Residential
Area
Farmlands
City (10 miles)
Woods
•	Characterize Physical Setting;
•	Analyze Contaminant Releases;
•	Identify Potentially Exposed Populations;
•	Identify Potential Exposure Pathways;
•	Estimate Exposure Point Concentrations;
•	Estimate Contaminant Intake;
•	Integrate Exposure Assessement;
•	Highlight Uncertainties.	
n-12

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The exposure assessment looks for complete pathways of exposure to particular
types of people on or near the site. The activities of the people determine the exposure.
Exposure assessment follows the seven steps shown in the box below.
For our site, exposure paths shown in the circles seem important, and the risk
assessor chose them for detailed analysis:
•	Does the site contaminate the groundwater used for drinking and other
household activities by the residents across the stream from the site?
•	Has dust from the site contaminated yards so that children might eat it?
Will browsing game eat contaminated soils on plant roots?
•	Do runoff and groundwater discharges to the stream contaminate the river
(water or sediments) and make their way into fish, crops, or the city's
water supply and then into people?
•	Are some populations subjected to combined exposures of several
pathways, e.g., is a child across the stream eating the fish brought home
all summer by his brother?
The baseline risk assessment considers both present exposures and those that
might result from current or probable future land use, if no further cleanup action is
taken at the site.
n-13

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ASSESS EXPOSURE
Five Basic Variables Used to Estimate Intake
Exposure Point Concentrations:
Contact Rate:
11?
Exposure Frequency/Duration:
Body Weight:
9
Exposure Averaging Time:
9
Calendar
S M T W T F S
111

< ¦*-. i

9
~ ft?
n-i4

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For each exposure pathway, the risk assessor must decide
upon five basic variables to use in estimating intake. The first,
exposure point concentration, is unique to the site and path.
To achieve greater consistency in exposure assessment site-
to-site and across the country, the RAGS and other guidance
being developed recommend specific "default" values for most
other variables.
The risk assessor may still select a site-specific value rather
than a default, but that site-specific value should be explicitly
justified, and its impact described, in the risk assessment report.
n-15

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ASSESS EXPOSURE
Reasonable Maximum Exposure (RME)
Definition: Highest exposure that is reasonably
expected to occur at a site, considering
•	land use
•	intake variables
•	pathway combinations
Intent is to estimate a conservative exposure case
that is still within the range of possible exposures.
n-i6

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RME, introduced in the National Contingency Plan, is identified
and illustrated in the RAGS.
RMEs are estimated for individual exposure pathways to
generate a "conservative" case (i.e. exposure well above the
average case) that is still within the range of possible exposures.
Thus people at or near sites will be protected; cleanups will not
be driven by assumed exposures outside the range of possibility.
Risk assessors should consider RME under both current and
future land-use conditions.
The exposure point concentration used to calculate the RME
should be a conservative estimate of the arithmetic average. (The
RAGS suggests the 95 percent upper confidence limit.)
Calculations based on average and worst-case concentrations are
no longer recommended, although managers may still request
them as a type of uncertainty analysis.
n-17

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ASSESS TOXICITY
For chemicals of potential concern, what are...
Types of
Effects
• Carcinogenic
•	Developmental
•	Acute
•	Subchronic
•	Chronic (noncarcinogenic)
Qualitative
Factors?
•	Animal experiments
•	Human evidence
•	Weight of evidence (A,B,C)
•	Animal experiments
•	Human evidence
Quantitative
Factors?
•	Non-threshold effects
•	Animal to human
extrapolation
•	High to low dose
extrapolation
•	Threshold effects
•	Uncertainty factors
•	Animal to human extrapolation
•	High to low dose extrapolation
Toxicity
Values?
•	Slope factors
•	Units = (mg/kg/day)
•	Reference doses (RfDs)
•	Units = mg/kg/day
n-i8

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The risk assessor's answers to the questions listed above
determine the toxicity of each chemical found at the site.
Sources of information to answer the questions are identified
on the next page. When information is lacking, risk assessors
must make and explicitly justify professional judgement.
n-19

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ASSESS TOXICITY
Hierarchy of Toxicity Data Sources
Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables (HEAST)
•	Provides interim as well as verified RfDs and slope factors
•	Should be used only for chemicals not addressed in IRIS
Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS)
•	Provides verified reference doses (RfDs) and slope factors
•	Updated monthly
•	EPA's preferred source of toxicity information
Other EPA References
•	Do not necessarily provide verified RfDs and slope factors
•	Should be used only for chemicals not found or referenced in IRIS or HEAST
•	EPA's Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office must be contacted first
(513-569-7300; FTS 684-7300)
n-20

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Here are databases and resources for assessing the toxicity of
chemicals:
IRIS is EPA's primary reference source, reflecting
Agency-wide consensus.
HEAST is produced for the Superfund program to
complement IRIS and provide for accurate, timely
assessments. It is updated quarterly and provided to
Regional Toxics Integration Coordinators (RTICs) and
Superfund risk assessment contractors.
The Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office
(ECAO) provides consultation, review, and analysis.
Each Region has its own policy for referral of
Superfund risk assessment contractors to ECAO; the
RTICs know the policy.
n-21

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ASSESSING TOXICITY
CARCINOGENS
UNIT CANCER RISK
Linearized Multistage Model
(95% upper confidence limit)
Chemical A
Chemical B
RESPONSE
DOSE (mg/kg/day)
Models like the Linearized Multistage Model
transform high-dose data into low-dose estimates
n-22

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Toxicologists assess the carcinogenicity (cancer-causing
potential) of a substance by studying the effects (number and type
of tumors) of different doses (milligrams of substance applied per
kilogram of body weight per day), often on laboratory animals.
Doses that result in a sufficient number of tumors in a small
population of animals to be statistically significant are often much
higher than would occur at the concentration of a substance at a
Superfund site or somewhere else in the environment. Thus,
models are used to extrapolate effects from high (laboratory) dose
to low (environmental) dose. Our current understanding of
carcinogenicity suggests that even at very low doses, there is
some probability of response, i.e., there is no threshold.
n-23

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ASSESSING TOXICITY
EPA RISK ASSESSMENT GUIDELINES
FOR CARCINOGENS
1

Group A Human Carcinogen

Group B Probable Human Carcinogen

Group C Possible Human Carcinogen

Group D Not Classifiable
1 1



n-24

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In addition to estimating quanitative toxicity values for
carcinogens, toxicologists also make qualitative evaluations of the
sum total of all studies using a given substance. These are often
called weight-of-evidence classifications.
EPA has standardized this approach a five-class grouping.
In general, multiple well-designed studies, studies showing adverse
effects in several species of animals, and particularly for Group A,
evidence of adverse effects in humans provide greater weight-of-
evidence of carcinogenicity.
The Superfund risk assessor uses this classification in the risk
characterization discussion of the risk assessment.
n-25

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ASSESSING TOXICITY
NONCARCINOGENS
Rfd	NOAEL	DOSE
(mg/kg/day)
A Series of Decreasing Doses Finally
Elicits No Adverse Effects. A Safety Margin
is Applied to this No Adverse Effects Level
n-26

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Different doses of noncarcinogens also result in different
responses. In this case, though, there is a low dose for which
there is no observed adverse effect (NOAEL), i.e. there is a
threshold. To protect for uncertainties (e.g., applying the results of
animal studies to effects in humans) EPA divides the NOAEL dose
by one or more uncertainty factors (UF) to determine a Reference
Dose (RfD) that is probably safe.
n-27

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CHARACTERIZE RISK
Combine Toxicity and
Exposure
Assessments
For Mixtures and
Reasonably Anticipated
Multi-Media Exposures,
Assume Additivity
Characterize
Uncertainties
Clearly Present Risks]
and Uncertainties for
Risk Manager
n-28
Document
Results

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Once the exposure and toxicity assessments are complete, the
risk assessor must characterize the risks.
This step is crucial for communicating both to managers who
must decide what actions to take at the site, and to the public,
who may live at or near the site.
n-29

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CHARACTERIZE RISK
Example of Presentation of Relative Contribution of
Individual Chemicals to Exposure Pathway and Total
Cancer Risk Estimates
Nearby Resident Population
Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk < 3 x 10"4
W 10-1.
AC
w
a>
u
§ 10"* •
0
•
E
1	10"®
0
8 1.
x
111
&
i
10
-8 _
10--
10"
Bmzmw
CMonJan*
Pubic Water Supply
* 2 x 10"4 (B2)
Contaminated Fish
< 1 X1(T*(B2)
n-30

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A presentation to characterize risk from cancer-causing
chemicals might try to show:
sources of risk (water supply, fish)
risk from individual chemicals (benzene, chlordane)
how strong is the evidence for a chemical to cause
cancer in humans (B2, A)
that risks are probably less than the limits illustrated in
the graphic (upper-bound, <)
Excess lifetime carcinogen risks to individuals of less than 104
(1 in 10,000) do not require remedial actions at Superfund sites.
Actions may be taken to reduce risks below 10"4. If the baseline
risk assessment shows risks greater than 104 to individuals, then
initial clean-up target concentrations corresponding to 10"6 risk, the
"point of departure," are chosen.
n-3i

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CHARACTERIZE RISK
Example of Presentation of Relative Contribution of
Individual Chemicals to Exposure Pathway and Total
Hazard Index Estimates
Chronic Hazard Indax ¦ 0.6
e 0j6 _
n-32

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For chemicals which show non-cancer risks from chronic (long-
term) exposures, the risk assessor estimates a hazard index (HI).
His greater than 1 are a sign to the RPM to look closely at
possible need for remedial action. Risk assessors can advise the
RPM whether any His should be added to estimate risk.
n-33

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CHARACTERIZE RISK
Presenting Uncertainties
Physical
setting
Exposure
parameter
assumptions
Land use
Model applicability
and assumptions
Toxicity
values
Multiple
substances
7
n-34

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Characterization of risk requires presentation of uncertainties.
The items shown in the picture are some of the factors
contributing to uncertainty in risk characterization.
The risk assessor's job is to help the site manager and others
explore the uncertainties and the characterization.
n-35

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HUMAN HEALTH EVALUATION MANUAL
Baseline Risk
Assessment (Part A)
Development of
Preliminary Remediation
Goals (Part B)
Evaluation of Remedial
Alternatives (Part C)
n-36

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Risk assessment provides a means for developing preliminary
remediation goals.
n-37

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DEVELOP PRELIMINARY REMEDIATION
GOALS
Mixtures
Multi-Media
Carcinogenic
Risk
Assessment
"Model"
Noncarcinogenic
Target
•Risks"
otectiveness
Environmental
Concentrations
^ State
Standards
MCLGs
ARARs
AWQC
n-38

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The NCP directs that Applicable or Relevant and Appropriate
Requirements (of other Federal or State statutes) (ARARs) and
other readily available information be used to develop preliminary
remediation goals (PRGs), (i.e., first estimates of acceptable
concentrations of chemicals in environmental media at the site).
The Toxics Integration Branch is completing Part B of RAGS
to provide a very simple way to use risk assessment to determine
many PRGs as early as Rl scoping. PRGs would then be
confirmed or modified in later remedial steps.
n-39

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HUMAN HEALTH EVALUATION MANUAL
Baseline
Assessment (Part A)
Development of
Preliminary Remediation|
Goals (Part B)
Evaluation of Remedial
Alternatives (Part C)
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Risk assessment aids in evaluating remedial alternatives in the
Feasibility Study, ROD, during remedial action, and at the end of
cleanup (delisting) or at the continuing five-reviews.
Part C of RAGS, in preparation, will describe each of these
steps, each answering in its way,
"How clean is clean?"
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EVALUATE REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES
Residential
Area
Swamp
City (10 miles)
Woods
-River
Fields
Releases?
-Construction
-Planned
- Accidental
. Chemicals?
jr.
j]
Pathways?
Residual
Risks?
NCP 9 Criteria
1.	Overall protection of human health
and the environment
2.	Compliance with ARARs
Threshold
Criteria
3.	Long-term effectiveness and
permanence
4.	Reduction of toxicity, mobility,
or volume
5.	Short-term effectiveness
6.	Implementability
7.	Cost
Primary
Balancing
Criteria
8.	State Acceptance
9.	Community Acceptance
Modifying
Balancing
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Remedial alternatives are evaluated against nine criteria. The remedy
selected in the Record of Decision best satisfies the criteria. Risk assessment
can address several of these:
Overall protection of human health and the environment is a
threshold criterion that the selected remedy must satisfy. Risk
analysis for long-term and short-term effectiveness demonstrate this
"protectiveness."
A risk assessment that relates concentrations of chemicals expected
after remediation to residual risks remaining at the site provides a
measure of long-term effectiveness. This risk assessment should be
summarized in the decision summary of the ROD.
A remedy that presents no unacceptable risks during the remedial
action meets the short-term effectiveness criterion. Activities at the
site may release contaminants, create new pathways of exposure, or
even new chemicals. Risk assessment can evaluate these.
Every ROD should, at a minimum, identify the contaminants posing risks,
target concentrations for cleanup, points of compliance for cleanup in each
medium, and the risks that will remain after completion of the remedy if
cleanup goals are achieved.
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On paper, risk assessment is straightforward, logical, maybe
even easy. In practice, each site is unique, and data will be
lacking, uncertainties will require all involved to use professional
judgement, and the best justified and designed remedies will
behave in surprising ways. You can still apply risk assessment
methodology at any time (from the first site inspection to deletion)
you have data on toxicity and exposure to make a better,
reasoned decision.
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Appendix A
Risk Assessment Tools
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Ecological Assessment of Hazardous Waste Sites: A Field and
Laboratory Manual. March 1989. EPA/600/3-89/013. Available from
CERI.
Exposure Factors Handbook. July 1989. EPA/600/8-89-043. Available
from CERI.
Guidance for Data Useability in Risk Assessment. EPA/540/G-90/008.
Available from CERI.
Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables (HEAST). Limited copies
available for risk assessors from Toxics Integration Branch (202) 475-
9490 or FTS 475-9490.
Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS). Database access available
from IRIS User Support (513) 569-7254.
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Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund: Volume I: Human Health
Evaluation Manual (Part A). December 1989. EPA/540/1-89/002.
Available from CERI.
- - (Part B). In draft. Available from CERI Summer 1991.
-- (PartC). Indraft. Available from CERI Summer 1991.
Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund: Volume II: Environmental
Evaluation Manual. March 1989. EPA/540/1-89/001. Available from
CERI.
Superfund Exposure Assessment Manual. April 1988. EPA/540/1-88/001.
Available from CERI.
Center for Environmental Research Information (CERI)
26 W. Martin Luther King Drive
Cincinnati, Ohio 45268
(513) 569-7562
FTS 684-7562
"U.S. Gowommert PiWtng Office; 1981— 550434
A-3

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