EPA-450/3-74-003-g VEHICLE BEHAVIOR IN AND AROUN ) COMPLEX SOURCES AND RELATED COMPLEX SOURCE CHARACTERISTICS VOLUME VII RECREATIONAL AREAS U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Air and Water Programs Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711 ------- EPA-450/3-74-003-g VEHICLE BEHAVIOR IN AND AROUND COMPLEX SOURCES AND RELATED COMPLEX SOURCE CHARACTERISTICS VOLUME VII RECREATIONAL AREAS by Scott D. Thayer Geomet, Inc. 50 Monroe Street Rockville, Maryland 20850 Contract No. 68-02-1094 Task Order No. 3 EPA Project Officer: Edwin Meyer Prepared for ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY Office of Air and Water Programs Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711 November 1973 ------- This report is issued by the Environmental Protection Agency to report technical data of interest to a limited number of readers. Copies are available free of charge to Federal employees, current contractors and grantees, and nonprofit organizations - as supplies permit - from the Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park , North Carolina 27711, or from the National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22151. This report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by Geomet, Inc. , 50 Monroe Street, Rockville, Maryland, in fulfillment of Contract No. 68-02-1094. The contents of this report are reproduced herein as received from Geomet, Inc. , The opinions, findings, and conclus elusions expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Environmental Protection Agency. Mention of company or product names is not to be considered as an endorsement by the Environmental Protection Agency. Publication No. EPA-450/3-74-003-g li ------- CONTENTS Page List of Figures iv List of Tables v Sections I Conclusions 1 II Recommendations 2 III Introduction 3 IV Characteristics of Recreational Areas 7 V Recreational Area Parameters 15 VI Traffic Parameters 27 VII Analysis 33 VIII Results 37 IX References and General Information Sources 49 APPENDIX A A-l APPENDIX B B-l iii ------- FIGURES No. Page 1 Generalized Methodology 38 2 Generalized Methodology Applied to Recreational Areas 40 3 Isopleths (m sec"^) of Mean Summer Wind Speed Averaged 44 through Afternoon Mixing Layer 2 4 Isopleths (m x 10 ) of Mean Summer Afternoon Mixing Heights 45 iv ------- No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 TABLES Paae National Parks Listed in Rank Order of Total Attendance 9 for 1972 All Types of Areas Administered by the National Park System 10 (Including National Parks - Table 1) Listed in Rank Order of Attendance for 1972 (The Highest 37 out of 248 Reporting) The Top Fifteen State Park Systems Ranked by Total 12 Attendance for 1970 For the Five States With the Highest Annual Recreational 13 Attendance, the Ranking of all Recreational Areas with Attendance over One Million in Calendar 1972 (Ohio Data For Fiscal 1973) Average Monthly Visitation Pattern, National Park Service, 17 1972 Load Factors and Average Visits Per Day in Peak Visitation 18 Month 1961, 1970, and 1971 Hourly Distribution by Percent of Total Weekend Trips to all 20 State Parks Vehicle Exhaust Emissions at Idle in Grams Per Minute 29 Example Queue Calculation when Gate Capacity is Exceeded 35 Key to Stability Categories (after Turner 1970) 42 v ------- SECTION I CONCLUSIONS 1. A general methodology has been developed which permits relating parameters descriptive of traffic behavior associated with developments (complex sources) to the available descriptive characteristics of the complexes themselves. These relationships are subsequently to be used by the sponsor to develop guidance for relating the complex's characteristics to air quality. 2. The methodology has been successfully applied to the last (recreational areas) of seven types of complexes, with quantitative results presented in this task report. -1- ------- SECTION II RECOMMENDATIONS It is recommended that, as planned, the project officer employ this methodology to develop guidance for relating the traffic characteristics of recreational areas to typical and peak air pollution concentrations. -2- ------- SECTION III INTRODUCTION OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE The ability to estimate traffic characteristics for proposed developments and the resulting effects on air quality is an important prerequisite for promulgating State Implementation Plans which adequately address themselves to the maintenance of NAAQS. Prior to estimating the impact of a develop- ment (complex source) on air quality, it is necessary that traffic charac- teristics associated with the source be identified and related to parameters of the development which can be readily identified by the developer a priori. The purpose of this study is to identify traffic characteristics associated with specified varieties of complex sources and to relate these characteristics to readily identifiable parameters of the complexes. The end product of this task will then be used to develop an Air Pollution Technical Document which will provide guidance to enable control agencies to relate readily identifiable characteristics of complex sources to air quality. The work is being performed in seven sub-tasks. Each sub-task is devoted to examining vehicle behavior and its relationship to readily obtainable parameters associated with a different variety of complex source. The seven categories of complex sources are: 1. Shopping centers (Report EF-263) 2. Sports complexes (stadiums) (Report EF-265) 3. Amusement parks (Report EF-268) 4. Major highways (Report EF-267) 5. Recreational areas (e.g., State and National Parks) - The present report 6. Parking lots (e.g., Municipal) (Report EF-266) 7. Airports (Report EF-264) -3- ------- This, the seventh task report, describes the methodology developed, and the analysis and results of its application to recreational areas. APPROACH Due to internal constraints, the sponsor has been forced to impose a tight schedule on this project, permitting only two to three weeks for the analysis and reporting of each sub-task. Accordingly, the employment of readily available traffic design information for each type of complex has been suggested as the general approach. The approach was designed to permit the development of answers to the following questions posed by the sponsor, using available traffic design and behavior data, and available data on parameters of the complex: 1. How much area is allotted or occupied by a single motor vehicle? 2. How much or what percentage of the land occupied by the complex source (and the source's parking facilities) can potentially be occupied by vehicles? What is the usual percentage? 3. What portion of the vehicles within the complex are likely to be running at any given time during a 1-hour period? During an 8-hour period? We are interested in both peak and typical circumstances here. 4. What is the typical and worst case (slowest) vehicle speed over 1-hour and 8-hour periods? 5. How are moving and parked vehicles distributed within the complex property? (e.g., uniformly?) 6. What are the design parameters for each type of complex which are likely to be known by the prospective developer beforehand? 7. Which ones of the design parameters in number 6 can be most success- fully related to traffic and emissions generated by the complex? What is the best estimate for relationships between readily obtainable parameters and emissions? 8. What are the relationships of parking "lot" design to parking densities and vehicle circulation? What represents a typical design and/or a design which has highest parking densities, lowest vehicle speeds, longest vehicle operating times? 9. What meteorological conditions (i.e., atmospheric dilutive capacity) are likely to occur during periods of peak use? What use level is likely to occur during periods of worst meteorology (i.e., atmospheric dilutive capacity?). -4- ------- The technical approach developed and implemented in this report consists of first structuring a methodology for describing engine operating modes which considers both the principal modes in automobile operation in and around complexes, and the emission significance of each mode. In our analysis this leads to an important emphasis on engine operating time, with only secondary significance attached to operating speed and distance. For the complex being studied, an analysis is made of the typical movements of vehicles, and their movements under conditions of congestion, caused by peak traffic loads or by awkward design elements of the complex, or both. This highlights the traffic operational modes which have greatest effect on running times, and assists in defining the elements or parameters of the complex which influence these running times most. The running times in critical modes are found to be dependent on the usage rate of the complex as a percent of capacity. In addition, absolute values of usage as a function of time are needed as direct input for estimating emissions. Therefore, data on usage patterns of the complex by season, day of the week, and hour of the day are collected and related to capacity parameters. The results are- used in two important ways: 1. To develop quantitative relationships between running times and various percent-usage parameters; and 2. To provide general usage patterns from which the usage pattern for a complex of interest can be inferred, if no measured data are available. Basic parametric values are then derived which define typical base line running times and use rates; these are used both to provide a point of departure for the peak case calculations, and as input to the estimate of typical conditions. For any parameter of capacity (e.g., parking, entrance, exit), resulting increases in running time for each mode are estimated as they may be functions of the exceedance of that capacity. The base running time is then used in conjunction with typical use rates to generate typical combinations of running times and numbers of vehicles running. Finally, peak (1-hour and 8-hour) use rates are compared to capacities in order to calculate, using the above derived functionalities, the associated peak values of number of vehicles running, and running times. -5- ------- It may often be possible, in addition, to develop and provide qualitative guidelines which can provide further insight into factors which may aggravate or alleviate congestion. These are provided separately from the quantitative relationships. Finally, the meteorological conditions associated with the occurrence of the peak "(vehicle number) (running time)" values are defined; in addition, periods of the most adverse meteorological conditions are determined, and the use rate data examined to determine associated use rates and running times. The methodology described above is considered to be completely general, and to apply to all the complex sources of concern here, with the exception of "major highway" case cited in Section III titled Objective and Scope. That special case is recognized in the work statement as an unusual one requiring different treatment in the context of the other six sources, and is in fact treated in a totally different manner in that report (No. EF-267). The remainder of this report covers special considerations required in the case of recreational areas, and describes the implementation of this methodology for these complexes, and the results obtained. Public recreational areas are the subject of extensive attention by federal, state and local administration, and are the subject of study and research by these agencies, and by other professionals in the fields of recreation, and the associated use rate, traffic and parking problems. Most of the data analyzed and presented in this study were obtained from the National Park Service (NPS), the National Recreation and Park Association (NRPA) (especially its National Conference on State Parks branch), and selected State Park Departments. -6- ------- SECTION IV CHARACTERISTICS OF RECREATIONAL AREAS Recreational areas are extremely varied in type, purpose, size, administrative control source, and degree of patronage (variously called number of visits, visitations or attendance). A certain amount of sorting has therefore been done in the available data to attempt to focus on those which appear to represent the largest degree of automotive traffic annually, and generally focussed in the smaller sized of total areas. The following material discusses some of the general aspects of recreational areas which are relevant to the traffic and parking problems. Federal departments which are concerned with recreational areas in some way include Agriculture, Commerce, Defense, HEW, HUD, Interior, Labor, r Transportation and Treasury. In addition, eleven independent federal agencies are concerned, as well as all fifty states (at various levels), and a very large number of agencies at the local level. In order to render the problem more manageable, and to attempt to concentrate on the larger manifestations of the problem, the task statement elaborated on the term "Recreational Areas" by adding the parenthetical phrase "State and National Parks". Our analysis has convinced us that this is a proper approach - that it encompasses the principal area types which should be of concern, and defines an approach which should be applicable to any type of recreational area which might require analysis. As will be seen in Section V on Recreational Area Parameters, the data on annual attendance represents information which is widely available, has potential for a variety of uses, and helps define, at least in part, the magnitude of the potential traffic and parking problem. It is of note to -7- ------- add that recreational professionals typically use conversion factors for going from person-counts to vehicle-counts, and vice versa; for example a factor frequently encountered in the recreation areas of most importance here is of the order of 3.5 persons per vehicle. The data which follow are taken variously from statistics for the calendar and fiscal 1970, 1971 and 1972, selected either from 1970 for completeness for intercomparison, or from the later years for timeliness. For calendar 1972 there were 297 areas administered by the National Park System; of these, 248 reported visits totalling 211,621,100. Of the 297 areas, the majority (67%) were National Monuments (82), National Historical Sites (57), National Parks (38), and National Memorials (21). The remainder are divided among 19 other categories. The 37 reporting National Parks account for 53,953,900 (25.5%) of the total reported visits. In Tables 1 and 2 are shown the visitation and acreage data associated with all reporting National Parks (Table 1), and all reporting areas of any type in the National Park System (Table 2). In each case the areas are ranked in order of total annual visitations for 1972. The acreage data are included because, very broadly, the largest visitations coupled with the smallest areas represent the potentially more severe problems. The National Park (NP) Data from Table 1 are repeated in Table 2 in the appropriate ranking (note that the Great Smoky Mountains NP ranks first in Table 1, and fifth in Table 2). Fifteen of the Table 1 entries, through Glacier NP, appear in Table 2; the remainder variously include National Military Parks, Parkways, National Historical Parks, National Seashores, National Recreation Areas, and the like. The total of the visits listed in Table 2 represents 66.6% of all visits reported in the system. It should be noted, however, that the National Parkways are more appropriately included in the category of Major Highways, reported in No. EF-267 in this series. The state park system is easiest considered, at least initially, in the context of the most complete published data, that compiled by the NPRA for calendar 1970 (subsequent reference is made to fiscal and calendar 1972 data obtained directly from selected state park departments). For all fifty states a total attendance of 484,189,207 is reported. The -8- ------- Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Table 1. NATIONAL PARKS LISTED IN RANK ORDER OF TOTAL ATTENDANCE FOR 1972 Name Acreage 1972 Attendance Gt. Smoky Mts. 516,626 8,040,600 Piatt 912 4,257,100 Olympi c 896,599 3,031,700 Grand Teton 310,443 3,002,200 Hot Springs 3,535 2,738,300 Grand Canyon 673,575 2,698,300 Acadia 41,642 2,654,400 Rocky Mountain 262,191 2,519,600 Shenandoah 193,537 2,304,100 Yoseraite 761,320 2,266,600 Ye1 lowstone 2,221,773 2,251,700 Mammoth Cave 51,354 1,872,900 Everglades 1,400,533 1 ,773,300 Mt. Rainier 241,992 1,682,400 Glacier 1,013,101 1,392,200 Hawaii Volcanoes 229,616 1,389,100 Petrified Forest 94,189 1,229,000 Kings Canyon 460,331 1,058,000 Wind Cave 28,059 992,900 Zion 147,035 970,200 Sequoia 386,863 869,600 Carlsbad 46,753 856,100 Crater Lake 160,290 594,300 North Cascades 505,000 552,300 Mesa Verde 52,074 547,900 Lassen 106,934 505,900 Mt. McKinley 1,939,493 306,000 Haleakala 27,283 305,500 Big Bend 708,221 290,200 Virgin Islands 14,419 281,600 Capitol Reef 241,671 272,000 Arches 73,234 225,500 Redwood 56,201 104,300 Canyonlands 337,258 60,800 Guadalupe Mts. 81,u,7 39,200 Isle Royal 539,341 16,100 Bryce Canyon 36,010 2,000 53,953,900 -9- ------- Table 2. ALL TYPES OF AREAS ADMINISTERED BY THE NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM (INCLUDING NATIONAL PARKS - TABLE 1) LISTED IN RANK ORDER OF ATTENDANCE FOR 1972 (THE HIGHEST 37 OUT OF 248 REPORTING). Rank Name Acreage 1972 Attendance 1 Chickamauga/Chattanooga NMP 8,113 14,078,700 2 Blue Ridge Parkway 94,749 13,729,700 3 Natchez Trace Parkway 45,298 13,397,800 4 Colonial Nat11. Hist. Park 9,430 8,529,300 5* Great Smoky Mts. NP 516,626 8,040,600 6 Kennesaw Mt. Nat'l. Satt. Pk. 3,683 6,286,200 7 Cape Cod NS 44,600 4,972,300 8 Lake Mead NRA 1,936,978 4,888,600 9* Piatt NP 912 4,257,100 10 GW Mem. Parkway 7,142 3,605,300 11 Ozark NSR 72,101 3,289,700 12* Olympic NP 869,599 3,031,700 13* Grand Teton NP 310,443 3,002,200 14 Petersburg NB 2,731 2,964,900 15* Hot Springs NP 3,535 2,738,300 16* Grand Canyon NP 673,575 2,698,300 17* Acadia NP 41,642 2,654,400 18 Jefferson NEM NHS 91 2,613,400 19 Gettysburg NC 21 2,609,100 20 Independence NHP 22 2,553,300 21* Rocky Mt. NP 262,191 2,519,600 22* Shenandoah NP 193,537 2,304,100 (incl. Skyline Dr.) 23* Yosemite NP 761,320 2,266,600 24* Yellowstone NP 2,221,773 2,251 ,700 25 Lincoln Memorial 164 1,989,100 26 Mount Rushmore Nat'l. Mem. 1,278 1,911,600 27* Mammoth Cave NP 51,354 1,872,900 28 Cape Hatteras NS 28,500 1,783,700 29* Everglades NP 1,400,533 1,773,300 30 Assateague Island NS 39,630 1,698,600 31* Mount Rainier NP 241,992 1,682,400 32 Gettysburg NMP 3,409 1,682,300 33 Washington Monument 106 1,613,500 34 Lake Meredith NRA 41,097 1,494,200 35 Cabrillo NM 123 1,422,100 36 White House 18 1,412,800 37* Glacier NP 1,013,101 1,392,200 * National Park (NP) data repeated from Table 1. -10- ------- comparable 1970 figure for the National Park System is 172,004,600. This comparison of between 2.5 and 3 to one between total state and total national is reported as characteristic over the years. What must be borne in mind, however, is that a very much larger number of areas is administered by the states (3,425 compared to 281 in 1970); the national total acreage is much larger (8,554,919 for the state park areas in 1970 compared to 30,050,867 for the national system in 1971). Since our eventual interest is in individual parks with large attendance, we did an approximate weeding out to identify at least some of these in the state systems. First the states were ranked by total attendance at all state parks for 1970 (NRPA), with the results for the top 15 given in Table 3. The individual state agencies for the top-ranked five were con- tacted directly, and queried as to the identification and attendance figures for all recreation areas in their systems having over one million in attendance. These data are for calendar or fiscal 1972, as indicated, and are given in Table 4. We thus see that attendance at selected major state recreational areas rank with the higher attended areas in the national system (Table 2). The intent of this exercise is to establish the order of magnitude of the annual attendance data situation for both national and state recreational areas, and to use this information as a basis for the subsequent analysis. As part of the general discussion on recreational areas, it is important to point out some general trends in park planning, especially transportation systems planning, of which we have been made aware in our discussions with transportation professionals of the National Park Service. First, there is a strong awareness within the service of highway access and parking problems which exist in some of the present park system areas, such as Mount Rushmore National Memorial and Assateaque Island National Seashore. Active programs are under way to attempt to relieve these problems by various remedial measures, such as parking at a distance and busing to the area. -11- ------- Table 3. THE TOP FIFTEEN STATE PARK SYSTEMS RANKED BY TOTAL ATTENDANCE FOR 1970 Rank State Acreage No. of Areas 1970 Attendance 1 New York* 2,927,982 258 49,513,173 2 Cal ifornia 762,073 173 43,984,980 3 Ohio 138,020 56 32,626,896 4 Pennsylvania 273,450 202 31,457,581 5 Illinois 280.078 90 24,005,419 6 Kentucky 30,185 40 23,746,795 7 Oregon 80,707 221 22,952,384 8 Michigan 204,991 76 20,492,151 9 Washington 76,514 151 19,641,923 10 Oklahoma 88,224 67 17,659,932 11 Texas 71,433 70 14,721,063 12 Missouri 75,380 55 14,539,415 13 Iowa 34,906 80 11,415,918 14 Tennessee 48,445 29 10,683,096 15 Wisconsin 108,000 60 9,897,559 1 Percent of Total for all States: 71.8% * o New York Office of Parks and Recreation 247,887 204 45,239,970 New York Department of Environmental 2,653,095 54 4,273,203 Conservation (Division of Lands and Forests) -12- ------- Table 4. FOR THE FIVE STATES WITH THE HIGHEST ANNUAL RECREATIONAL ATTENDANCE, THE RANKING OF ALL RECREATIONAL AREAS WITH ATTENDANCE OVER ONE MILLION IN CALENDAR 1972 (OHIO DATA FOR FISCAL 1973). State Rank Area 1972 Attendance New York 1 Jones Beach 12,079,000 2 Niagara Reservation 3,804,000 3 Allegheny State Park 1 ,123,000 California 1 Pismo State Beach 3,224,984 2 San Mateo Coast State Beaches 2,480,764 (seven beach areas) 3 Folsom Lake State Park 1,944,464 4 Bolsa Chica State Park 1,748,021 5 Huntington State Beach 1,567,413 6 Morro Bay State Park 1,488,495 7 Anza-Borrego State Park 1 ,123,262 8 Humboldt Redwoods State Park 1,023,244 Ohio 1 Hues ton Woods State Park 2,681,785 2 Grand Lake St. Mary's State Park 2,227,306 3 Pymatuning State Park 2,056,384 4 Rocky Forks State Park 1,968,755 5 East Harbor State Park 1 ,680,119 6 Salt Forks State Park 1 ,538,178 7 Mohican State Park 1,364,043 8 Mosquito State Park 1,344,798 9 Deer Creek State Park 1 ,331 ,078 10 Delaware State Park 1,301,934 11 Dillon State Park 1,092,529 12 Indian Lake State Park 1,058,832 Penrisyl vania 1 Pymatuning State Park 4,536,778 2 Presque Isle State Park 3,019,298 3 Prince Gallitzin State Park 1,702,292 4 Marine State Park 1 ,330,137 5 Cook Forest State Park 1,113,488 6 Independence Mai 1 1,044,606 11linois 1 Illinois Beach State Park 1,511,164 2 Rock Cut State Park 1 ,202,448 3 Giant City State Park 1,114,963 4 Eldon Hazlett/So. Shore Conser. Area 1,044,735 5 Mississippi Palisades State Park 1,013,479 -13- ------- In addition, a new Alternate Transportation System Program for the NPS received an appropriation for studies of various areas of the system to determine the suitability and feasibility of implementing innovative approaches to solving transportation problems. Detailed information has been developed for 21 areas, and studies have been begun on some of them; additional funds have been appropriated to operate transportation systems now existing in eleven areas. In general terms the alternate systems attempt to replace the use of private vehicles with public transportation of a variety of types; such system development and use would be expected to include planning study of the air quality impact, which would presumably be significantly less than that of the replaced vehicles. The one proviso we would offer is as follows: if the alternate system involves a shift of the vehicle and parking activity to a place removed from the recreational area (as some do), then that new site should be examined for its vehicular pollution potential. This analyses is addressed to vehicular access to, and use of, the facility and/or its parking areas, wherever they may be located. -14- ------- SECTION V RECREATIONAL AREA PARAMETERS The important parameters in characterizing recreational area traffic patterns are attendance rates and temporal - daily, weekly and seasonal - variations in attendance. Recreational traffic and parking planners are urged by specialists in the field to take into account: seasonal weekend patterns of peak parking; turnover (average time for people to participate or watch and then leave in their cars); avai labi 1i ty of multiple-use areas and other parking areas or fields to handle overflow; relationship between the size and capacity of the recreation facility and of its proposed parking area(s); any proximity to a large urban center with its attendant demand; capacity of highway access to the area and peak hours of highway loading; any available mass transit; 'and employee parking needs. Quoting further from the NRPA's "Parking for Recreation": "The quantitative determination of parking needs is rarely a simple matter of finding out how many drivers will want to park at a proposed facility at a given time. Building for maximum demand generally results in astronomical waste. Even in the design of modern expressways which are so vital to the economic life of our nation, no attempt is made to accommodate the highesi peaks of demand. Generally, we design to satisfy the traffic that can be expected in the so-called 30th highest hour of the design year for the road. This means that for those 29 hours during the year in which traffic is still heavier than in the 30th highest, congestion of a most uncomfortable nature is frankly and calmly anticipated and planned for. To do otherwise would involve construction of the most improbably extravagant scope. ------- The formulae for fixing recreational parking demand which are given in this text are empirical and must be applied with due consideration of local geography, social mores and habits, and economics. Two plus two do not always equal four. The most careful computation may be provided by time to have been in error. If the planner is fated to err, it should be on the side of economy. If a compelling demand for expansion of facilities is demonstrated, it is generally feasible to get the funds to satisfy it. On the other hand, nothing is more embarrasing politically than an underpatronized facility. Choose a site which will permit expansion, plan so as to be able to accommodate it, but build conservatively." Extensive examples of attendance have been given in Section IV for most of the largest state and national parks (in terms of annual attendance), and the presumption is made that estimates of these figures will be generated in the natural course of development of any large new recreational area (or a significant expansion of an existing area). The opening of a new section in an existing area is a frequently encountered process of expansion of a park system to allow for increased use. SEASONAL ATTENDANCE Average variation in seasonal attendance in the National Park System is seen in Table 5. Attendance, or visitation, is concentrated in the summer months, with June, July and August accounting for 42% of the total. Adding May and September increases this figure to 61%. The pattern holds in general for most parks, and is probably a good represen- tation for state parks as well. However, some significant variations occur such as certain southern areas (e.g., Everglades NP) or where fall color tours cause a second peak in October (e.g., Shenandoah NP). Variations for the National Parks are exemplified in Table 6, which employs the concept of the monthly peak load factor, which is defined in this case -16- ------- as the ratio of the peak to the average attendance. Thus if all twelve months' visits were identical in number the load factor for each would be one; if all visits occurred in one month, that month would have the maximum possible peak value of twelve. Thus, the larger the load factor, the more concentrated is public use in a short period. The appendix contains monthly percentage use values for all areas in the National Park System. Table 5. AVERAGE MONTHLY VISITATION PATTERN, NATIONAL PARK SERVICE, 1972 Month Percent of Total Attendance January February March Apri 1 May June 3 4 6 8 9 12 16 14 10 8 5 5 July August September October November December -17- ------- Table 6. LOAD FACTORS AND AVERAGE VISITS PER DAY IN PEAK VISITATION MONTH 1961, 1970, AND 1971 1961 19 70 1971 Peak Visitation Honth Load Factor 1/ Average Dally 2/ Peak Vlsitation Month Load Factor \J Ave rage Dally 2/ Peak Visitation Month toad Factor 1/ Average Dally Acadia Arches Big Bead Bryce Cany mi July September August July 2.9 i.e 1.7 2.9 12,097 46} 406 2,087 August June April July 2.8 2.5 1.7 2.9 21,231 1,223 f*27 2,723 August July April August 3.1 2.1 1.7 2.6 20,169 1,158 1,189 2,677 Canyonlanda Capitol Reef Carlsbad Caverns Crater Lake September July August 1.7 2.6 3.6 620 4,117 4,007 June August July August 3.1 2.8 2.7 3.6 2SB 1,681 5,258 5,141 April July July August 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.5 326 1,606 5,727 5.227 Everglades Clacler Grand Canyon JJ/ Grand Teton February July July AugU3t 1.5 4.8 2.5 3.6 2,433 9,542 8,482 14,596 January July July July 1.8 4.5 2.5 3.9 6,254 14,991 15,438 35,301 February August July July 1.7 4.1 3.B 3.8 6,413 14,394 15,146 33,816 Cieat Sjnoky Mountains Guadalupe Mountains Haleakala Hawaii Volcanoes July August July 2.7 1.7 1.9 35,068 305 3,838 July August September 2.4 1.6 1.5 43.049 865 3.355 July July August August 2.6 2.4 1.7 2.0 49.233 177 1,177 5,319 Hot Springs Isle Royale Kings Canyon Lassen Volcanic July August July August 2.5 5.2 2.8 3.6 5,920 90 5,722 4,511 July August August August 1.9 5.8 2.8 3.4 10,490 223 7.548 4,231 July August August August 1.7 4.8 2.8 3.3 11,651 205 6,662 4,028 Karaoth Cave Mesa Verde Mount HcKlnley 4/ Mount Rainier August August July July 2.4 3.4 4.6 2.9 3,391 2,096 214 12,409 August July July August 2.3 3.3 5.8 2.B 10,534 4,704 716 14,608 July August July August 1.9 3.3 3.9 3.2 8,825 4,551 609 15,004 Korth Cascades Olyaplc Petrified Forest Piatt August July July 3.3 2.6 2.9 13,524 4,716 9,241 August August July July 2.5 3.0 2.8 2.1 1 .991 18,584 6,665 9,071 August August Jul} June 3.0 2.8 3.0 2.0 1,766 14,113 8,585 22.815 Redwood 5t Rocky Mountain Sequoia Sfc.enandoav August July August 4.4 2.6 2.2 18,009 4,132 11,670 August August A"gU3t 3.5 2.8 2.1 22.194 6,587 13,3?2 August August July July 3.4 2.7 2.1 339 22,725 6,410 13,538 Virgin Islands Wind Cave Yellowstone Yosealte July July July July 1.5 2.6 4.3 2.7 124 4,827 17,777 8 ,75B March August July August 1.5 2.6 4.0 2.3 524 7,0 50 24,877 13,866 August August July July 1 4 2.7 3.9 2.3 923 7,849 22.3B5 15,263 Zion August 2.3 3,745 August 2.4 5,815 July 2.4 6.326 (See following page for Footnotes to Table fi) ------- FOOTNOTES TO TABLE 6 1/ Load factor - Total visits in peak visitation month divided by average monthly visitation. 2/ Average daily - Average number of visits per day in peak visitation month. 3/ The 1970 data for Grand Canyon National Park reflect corrections submitted to the Washington Office in 1971. The corrections are not reflected in the monthly public use reports for 1970 and 1971. 4/ The completion of the Anchorage-Fairbanks Highway in the Fall of 1971 generated a large increase in off season travel to Mount McKinley National Park. Consequently, the load factor for 1971 is distorted and does not necessarily reflect the true seasonal travel pattern for Mount McKinley National Park. 5/ Redwood National Park began their visitation data series in July 1971 and a load factor could not be calculated on a twelve month base. -19- ------- ATTENDANCE BY [ OF WEEK AND HOUR OF DAY In broad terms, 3 highest values of attendance will occur on weekends, with a tendency of the maxima to be arrivals by midday Saturday and/or Sunday, and departures late those same days. This is a broad generality, however, which applies primarily to day trips to those areas noted for swimming, picnicking and scenic driving, and to others as well. These activities are characteristic of many of the highly attended areas. Atten- dance patterns should be defined for any proposed new or expanded development. Typical total one day travel trips to park areas, as distributed over a week- end, are shown in Table 7. Appendix B presents a number of additional data sets which are considered typical of weekday and hourly traffic for recrea- tional areas in Missouri. These data may be combined with average expected durations of stay (4 hours is frequently cited as a typical value), to convert entrance times (visits or attendance) to exit times to obtain the combinations of entrances and exits as functions of time of day. Table 7. HOURLY DISTRIBUTION BY PERCENT OF TOTAL WEEKEND TRIPS TO ALL STATE PARKS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL TRIPS TIME OF DAY ' FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY 8-9 1 13 0.74 9-10 1.47 2 98- 10-11 2.87 7.22 11-12 2 85 10 86 12-1 2 53 12 57 1-2 2.79 11.11 2-3 2 85 9 98 3-4 2 03 641 4-5 1.15 1.78 4 30 5-6 1.38 1 49 2 22 6-7 1 57 1 36 0 09 7-8 1.59 0 82 0.05 8-9 1 17 0.49 0.02 PARKING FACILITIES The quotation from "Parking for Recreation" given in the beginning of this section gives some general principles of parking for recreational areas. More specific indications are given in the following material, most of which is extracted from that document. Depending on the landscaping employed, parking for such areas will usually consist of from one to a number of separated areas providing space for cars at the rate of from 110 to 150 cars per acre of parking area. -20- ------- There are two basic ways, plus two variations on them, to arrange parking at a recreation center. Parking may be centralized as in Plan A. It may be dispersed as in Plan B to provide parking fields at each different type of recreational facility within the larger recreation center. It may be handled as a combination of the first two plans as in Plan C, or it may be dispersed and allowed to overflow as in Plan D. 1 _ ¦ . V 1 ;c 'h V/; . ' ; PLAY V 4 _ ^ \ / AREAS ("X / / c 0 L F P 1 C N 1 C K 1 N G }> Plan A Centralized parking is least costly of all parking schemes. . . . . * ." .8 . * .e ; * a . .c; .h . ; PLAY A R E A S P 1 C N 1 P ' /" GOLF h L n C K < N G 1¦ Plan B Parking at each facility is more convenient for uses but more difficult to operate. ------- PLAY AREAS a. .c-.-h . / P 1 C N 1 C K 1 N G C3 ,-s GOLF Plan C Parking for one specialized facility is often necessary. CO? LH Plan D Adjacent overflow grass or gravel areas will take care of peak days. It is better to under build than to over build, particularly if there is more than average space available. -22- ------- Planners of small recreation centers, which often have only one facility, will have no trouble selecting the right approach to parking; namely, the centralized parking area that provides all the parking necessary. But in large recreation centers, parking schemes and parking needs can be complex. The various alternatives for parking layouts should be studied carefully before deciding how to arrange the areas and how much of them should be paved. A. Centralized Parking In centralized parking, the overflow of parking traffic from one type of recreation is absorbed by available parking space allocated to other types of recreation that are not drawing large crowds at the same time. This consideration can be very important in construction costs. If the parking area is to be paved, a central parking field will be a good deal cheaper than multiple fields because it can be smaller than the sum of the areas of the multiple fields, when designed for peak capacity. In a centralized parking lot, serving combined facilities in the recreation center, all the visitors can park quickly without searching for a parking area that would otherwise be' serving their particular recreational interest. But the big central field's drawbacks are: 1) its often forbidding and awkward appearance in the over-all landscape; and 2) the problem it presents in moving people from their cars to recreation. If the distance from car to recreation is long, the walk will be arduous and will make the recreational facility much less attractive. Solving the problem by operating buses from parking to recreation at some distance is an alternative that works in special cases. For instance, buses have been used in a number of ski areas in the National Park System where parking fields near the ski lifts were not practical because of the steep and mountainous terrain. Cut and fill earthwork and blasting bedrock at the base of the lifts would have been far to expensive. In cases like this, the facility usually supplies enough buses to handle near-peak capacity crowds, plus parking space for buses and drivers. Bus fees should ordinarily pay for their operation. -23- ------- B. Total Capacity Paved Parking at Each Facility In large recreational centers, where activities may be widely separated, the public will not only appreciate but will pay for the opportunity to park close to the activity they are interested in. The diagram above (B) illustrates such an arrangement - a parking field for each facility, adequate to accomodate peak parking demands. In a big recreation area, various activities may often be one-half mile from each other, and separate parking fields are a better answer - for a number of different activities - than bus service from a central field. At New York City's Jones' Beach, which stretches along the Atlantic for six miles, a number of separate parking fields are provided to handle this great length. The Overlook fields there, right back of the beach and with a good view of the ocean, fill up first. The larger parking fields which are considered less desirable because of their distance from the beaches fill up last. Several small fields are less obtrusive in the landscape than one large field, but they have three drawbacks: 1) they are harder to control; 2) they cost more to build; and j) they can make finding a parking space on a busy day a lot more troublesome for people who are not familiar with parking patterns at that particular facility. Carrying picnic baskets and beach chairs and watching youngsters to and from a large central field is drudgery whether a big distance between car and recreation is covered by walking or on a crowded bus. However, as pointed out above, construction, maintenance, and operation can be much more expensive in multiple parking fields (especially if they are paved) than they are in a central parking field. C. Combined Centralized and Single Facility Parking Only the largest recreation centers will use the huge scope of Plan B, individual parking fields at each facility; and smaller centers will normally use the centralized field. Recreation centers in between may combine the two schemes for the most effective solution to their parking problems. In this case a central field for most of the facilities will have all the -24- ------- advantages mentioned in A. But where one or two facilities, like a golf course a mile away from the central parking field, need their own space for parking, they should have them. The extra cost of decentralization in such instances can easily be offset by parking or other fees paid by appreciative vis tors who won't have to walk a mile. D. Overflow Parking at Each Facility When parking for a big recreation center is clearly handled best by a number of fields, one at each type of recreation, the planner must decide whether to provide peak capacity paved parking areas or smaller paved areas with provision for overflow cars on turf or gravel surfaced fields. Peak capacity of a parking field is equal to the number of cars bringing the maximum number of people to the facility on a peak day, at the peak hour, plus 10%. The 10% will provide space for turnover as visitors come and go during the peak hour. The field will be filled on only a few days of the year, so it seldom makes sense to pave all the area. Paved areas can provide parking for normal days and good level turf or gravel will handle overflow on peak days. Overflow areas like this can' cut initial construction costs, but they may increase maintenance and operating costs since on peak days extra personnel will have to control and supervise parking in the overflow areas, unless they are permanently staked out and marked. Actually, an overflow area need not be turf or gravel, it can be a paved Softball diamond, for instance, or the winter storage area of a marina which is almost empty during the sailing season. Multiple use overflow areas like this, however, are often not very practical; usually, just at the time that the area is needed for parking, the greatest demand for the same area for recreation occurs. -25- ------- SITE FACTORS There is an obvious relationship between the parking area and its approaches. The traffic generated by a recreation area can be determined and roads designed to move a given number of cars in a given length of time. The rate of speed at which cars will be going will be low. Tighter curves, steeper grades, and reduced sight distances, which are not possible on high-speed roadways, are adequate and satisfactory, at least to a degree. With such criteria the road can be designed to follow existing terrain more closely, eliminating excessive cut and fill. Even though earthmoving on a large scale is one of the least expensive unit costs in a construction project, the alternatives to extensive grading should be studied. In rough terrain smaller parking fields arranged on a series of terraces may be a better solution. It is desirable in parking design to balance cut and fill and avoid the need to borrow or remove earth, increasing total cost. However, a balance is rarely struck. The location of parking areas often has a greater effect on the total design of the recreation cen.ter than decisions relating to other elements in the design. A parking site should be evaluated and selected with the following requirements in mind. Existing topography must permit construction without excessive difficulty or cost, still permuting ready access to the recreation area. The parking area may be the logical place to give visitors a general view of the entire development. A careful study of topographic maps, aerial photographs, and reconnaissance on foot are necessary before any decision can be made. ACCESS Finally, relative ease of access to and exit from the area and its parking facilities is as important to recreational areas as it is to all the other complex sources studied, to prevent congestion and the consequent extensive idling times which can generate excessive emissions. -26- ------- SECTION VI TRAFFIC PARAMETERS The methodology for describing traffic movement associated with this complex source, as outlined in Section VII, requires estimates of the average running time for the vehicles in the recreational area, arid the volume of such traffic. Traffic parameters which should be used to develop these two values are discussed in this section. PARAMETERS TO ESTABLISH TRAFFIC VOLUMES Expected annual attendance is a figure to be expected from a developer; further, the estimated number of persons entering and leaving the recreational area by hour may be submitted by the developer, or estimated from related data such as that in this report. This data is converted to hourly traffic volume by dividing by average vehicle occupancy. Although this procedure for estimating traffic volume places much emphasis on a traffic parameter which is not very precise, it is a procedure which is used by recreational specialists to estimate expected traffic volume for a variety of purposes. An attempt should certainly be made to obtain an average vehicle occupancy (A.V.O.) value specifically for each park reviewed, and possibly even different values for particular times of the day or week. The figure most commonly used in recreational area statistics is in the order of 3.5 persons per vehicle, although in special cases the estimate may deviate significantly from that. This method of estimating traffic volume assumes that everyone arrives at the park by automobile. If this assumption is incorrect, the number of persons using other modes of transportation should be subtracted from the total attendance before calculating the estimated traffic volumes. -27- ------- PARAMETERS TO ESTABLISH RUNNING TIMES Concept of Emissions per Unit Time In the immediate vicinity of recreational areas, maximum vehicle speeds rarely exceed 10 or 15mph, and average speeds are much lower.* The usual procedure for estimating motor vehicle emissions as a function of vehicle speed is not very accurate at these low speeds due to: a. Difficulty in estimating average operating speed; and b. Variation in observed emission rates per mile with slight change in average operating speed. For recreational areas, analysis shows that traffic operations and their related emissions are better considered in units of time (grams/minute) rather than units of distance (grams/mile), for the following reasons: 1. The variations in emission per unit time at different speeds are relatively insignificant at the lowest speeds;** and 2. Traffic movement in the vicinity of a recreational area can be described more accurately and more easily in terms of minutes of running time than in terms of average speed, particularly when engine idling can predominate during congested periods. Values for automotive pollutant emissions for 1972 in grams/minute at idle are available from A Study of Emissions from Light Duty Vehicles in Six Cities. They are summarized in Table 8. These test data compare well with emission factors calculated from the current edition of AP-42, when converted to grams/minute at various speeds and then extrapolated to zero speed. * If, access roads are up to several miles or more in length, and relatively uncurved and level, steady-state speeds in those portions may be higher - see "Approach" and "Departure" discussion. ** Less than 10 percent increase in CO and hydrocarbon emissions per minute from idle to 15mph. -28- ------- Table 8. VEHICLE EXHAUST EMISSIONS AT IDLE IN GRAMS PER MINUTE* Pollutant Emissions, gm/min Carbon monoxide 16.19 Hydrocarbons 1.34 Oxides of Nitrogen 0.11 * These values do not include emissions due to the cold start of engines or from evaporation of gasoline at the end of a trip ("hot soak"). If subsequent investigation of the relative magnitude of these emissions, compared to the totals generated by the methodology of 'this report, indicates that they are significant, appropriate values for each cold start and hot soak can be inserted as the total emissions for the start and stop modes, respectively. Since data for cold start and hot soak emissions would be reported per occurrence, there is no need to deter- mine an associated running time or emission period for the modes. In applying the recommended procedure of emission estimation, total emissions from the amusement park at any time would be the product of the number of vehicles, times average vehicle running time, times the appropriate emission factor from Table 8. ETotai = M (RT) w*ere V = Traffic volume during period of concern RT = Average running time, minutes EF = Emission factor, grams/minute. Operational Modes at Recreational Areas For purposes of analysis, traffic movement in the vicinity of a recreational area has been divided into the same eight operational modes that were specified for shopping centers, airports, and sports stadiums. These are summarized below. The schematic figures given in Section V show how and where these modes would apply. -29- ------- Approach (A)* - The time or distance along the immediate access road during which traffic movement is affected by vehicles entering or leaving the park. Entrance (I) - Waiting and service (entrance) time at the entranceway to the parking facility. Movement in (MI) - Driving time or distance to the designated parking space (with supervised parking). This also includes waiting time in a queue within the parking area, or driving time to an overflow parking facility. Stop (S) - Parking of the vehicle and shutoff of the engine. Start (ST) - Starting of the engine and egress from the parking space. Movement out (MO) - Driving time or distance from the parking space to the preferred exitway. Exit (E) - Movement through the exitway, including waiting time in a queue. Departure (D)* - The time or distance along the immediate access road that movement continues to be influenced by traffic from the recreational area. The average running time in each of these modes can be quantified for a specific recreational area, or section of a recreational area, as a function # of its physical dimensions, geographic layout, traffic control procedures, and traffic volume. * For cases where the approach or departure may involve several minutes at higher steady-state speeds, the following 1972 emissions-per-minute data may be used: Emissions per minute (gm/min) at steady-state speeds of: Pollutant 20mph 30mph 40mph CO 16 17 18 HC 1.4 1.5 1.9 N0X 0.3 1.0 2.5 -30- ------- Base Running Time There is an average minimum vehicle running time for each recreational area that is associated with periods of low or zero traffic congestion. This concept of a minimum or base running time is important because it usually is the most common operating condition at the area and because at most areas it is expected to be exceeded only during periods of relatively high traffic volume if at all. The base running time can be estimated from a plan of the recreational area, its parking facilities, and its access roads, with an additional knowledge of its traffic control procedures and probable driving patterns. Relationship Between Running Time and Traffic Volume As traffic volume increases, running times may become longer due to congestion. Some of the constraints to movement that may contribute to the longer running times are: o Queues at parking and information booths, in the active parking area as cars move into their assigned parking spaces, and at other temporary or permanent traffic control points. 9 Queues created as vehicles attempt to exit onto access roads. Identification of Potential Critical Modes at Recreational Areas Examination of the eight operational modes that were identified indicates that running times in some modes should generally be relatively constant, but that times in others may increase under peak attendance/traffic conditions. For recreational areas, the three modes whose times may be greatly affected by traffic congestion, in order of decreasing impact, are: 1. Entrance 2. Exit 3. Movement in Time in the entrance mode may be affected by the collection of fees and/or the giving out of brochures as the vehicles enter parking lots at recreational areas. -31- ------- Movement time into a parking space is a function of the maximum parking rate that can be accomplished by park employees as they direct traffic within the lot. If traffic flow into the lot is controlled by a ticket or other gate, running times in the parking lot should not increase much with increased traffic. However, sizeable queues may form during these periods in free parking lots. Time in the "movement in" mode expands incrementally when the main parking lot is filled and incoming traffic must all drive an additional distance to an overflow lot. Exit time for a vehicle in a parking lot is a function of the egress capacity of the lot. As this is approached or exceeded, running time increases. Waiting times in the resulting queues contribute significantly to total running times. Exit queue lengths are moderate compared to those for the entrance mode because of the departure of vehicles over a longer period of time. -32- ------- SECTION VII ANALYSIS In this section, three analyses are developed for converting available data into vehicle running times and numbers of vehicles running. The final step of combining all these intermediate results into a quantitative description of recreational area traffic behavior is then treated in Section VIII, Results. ENTRANCE OR PARKING TIME Time spent entering a parking lot or waiting to be directed to a parking space is a function of the rate at which vehicles are attempting to enter the lot, the number of entrance lines, and the average time required for service at the entrance (fee*, brochure). Running time can be quantified with data on these three parameters by use of a methodology employing queueing theory. The hourly inflow rate is obtained from the projected traffic distribution pattern for the area. Average service time per vehicle ranges from about 0.10 minute, where parking is free or the fee is collected after the vehicle has parked, to 0.25 minutes in cases where there may be slow attendants, or a poor entrance configuration. This value is difficult to predict from design data, since it is much more closely related to operational features of the parking facility. Estimates of running times for the entrance mode cannot be precise, especially considering the available input data. The equations employed here for waiting time in queue result from assumptions that vehicles are reaching the gate randomly over the time increment of concern, and are passing through the gate randomly. Errors in the estimates by use of these equations are thought to be relatively low. -33- ------- For periods when traffic flow is less than gate capacity, the average running time (in minutes) in a queue is given by the equation: RT = b i "d' , where a = utilization factor = (vehicle inflow rate, veh/min) (b) (no. of entrance lines) b = average service time, min. For these periods when traffic flow exceeds gate capacity (a>1.0), the queue continues to build during each time increment by the amount that traffic volume exceeds capacity. Average running time for this situation can best be estimated by the tabular calculation procedure exemplified in Table 9. The procedure is illustrated with data for a two-hour peak traffic period (3:00p.m. - 5:00p.m.) with vehicles existing as shown in column 2, four entrance lanes, and an average service time of 0.1 minute. EXIT TIME Since visitors usually leave the recreational area over a period of a number of hours, 1t 1s unusual for congestion and excessive queueing to occur at the parking lot exits or on the access roads. However, if inadequate exit capacity for peak crowds is expected on special occasions, the queueing theory equation or tabular method presented above may also be used to estimate running times in the exit mode. Generally, it is more direct to describe the exit constraint in terms of gate capacity rather than average service time. The "b" factor in the equation can still be easily quantified, since it is the average outflow time per vehicle or the number of exit gates divided by the total gate capacity in vehicles per minute. -34- ------- Table 9. EXAMPLE QUEUE CALCULATION WHEN GATE CAPACITY IS EXCEEDED 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Time Period Enteri ng Traffic Vehicles N at End nav. Starting Ending Volume Serviced AN of Period RT, Min. col. 3- col. 4+ col. 5+col. 5' (b) (col. 6) 2 Divided by No. of gates col. 2 col. 5' (line above) 2:30 3:00 900 1200 - - - (use equation) 3:00 3:30 1220 1200 + 20 20 10 .25 3:30 4:00 1400 1200 + 200 220 120 3.0 4:00 4:30 1600 1200 + 400 620 420 10.5 4:30 5:00 1400 1200 + 200 820 720 18.0 5:00 5:30 1100 1200 - 100 720 770 19.25 5:30 6:00 980 1200 - 220 500 610 15.25 6:00 6:30 750 1200 - 440 60 280 7.0 N = queue length, in cars RT = average running time, in minutes = (av. inflow time per vehicle, min.) (av. queue length) ------- "MOVEMENT-IN" TIME Running time spent in reaching a parking space increases as a function of the number of vehicles already in the parking area, since the later arrivals must find their way to the more remote sections of the lot. The average running time in this mode for a day, then, should be proportional to the daily attendance. Actual values for a particular recreational area are estimated from driving distances as determined from a plan of the parking area. For parking lots with no entrance booth, a queue may form at the point of active parking during periods of high inflow, rather than at the entranceway. However, the same queueing theory equation is still applicable. The largest increase in running time for the "movement-in" mode occurs when the capacity of the main parking lot 1s exceeded and incoming cars must be diverted to an auxiliary or overflow area. Therefore, some quantitative analysis of number of parking vehicles at any time of the day is desirable. Vehicle accumulation can be derived from the hourly data on arrival and departure of visitors, or arrivals plus average stay-times. After these data have been converted to equivalent inflow/outflow of traffic, the number of vehicles in the parking lot at any time 1s the cumulative difference between these two hourly values. At the time of day on a peak attendance day when the estimated number of vehicles in the parking area exceeds the primary parking capacity, then running time is Incrementally increased by an amount that accounts for driving time to the overflow lot, plus any additional delays associated this movement. -36- ------- SECTION VIII RESULTS METHODOLOGY In general terms, the methodology proceeds as described in the next two paragraphs which follow. It should be emphasized that this description is of the technique, shown schematically in Figure 1, in its most general form, which provides the starting for each or the seven types of complexes investigated. Differences in implementation from this general approach arose for each of the other six complexes, but the methodology for recrea- tional areas follows the general approach closely with few exceptions. Starting from the physical, geographic, and demographic characteristics of the complex, relationships are established for estimating typical and peak traffic volumes. The concept of operational traffic modes is used to generate best estimates of average running times for cars. The typical traffic volumes and base running times provide the description of typical conditions. The parameters of the complex which significantly and adversely impact traffic behavior are also defined. Quantitative relationships are proposed or estimated for the controlling parameters of the complex with respect to excess running times in critical traffic operating modes. These, in turn, are superimposed on the base running times to generate peak running times. The peak running times are then associated with peak traffic volumes to create the required information on peak traffic conditions. -37- ------- Exceedance /Characteristic \ -[ Parameters }- V of Complex J Trip Generation Analysis Peak Trip generation Values Traffic Modal Analysis / Exceedance ] V Values J Exceedance Depen- Typical Trip Jeneration Values Peak Values of Number of "*jCars Running, am Base Running Time Peak Running Times Base Running Time /V eak Values of Numbers of pars Running, and| Peak Running Times Typical Valued of Numbers of |Cars Running, and] Base Running Times Figure 1. GENERALIZED METHODOLOGY -38- ------- In the case of recreational areas, as shown in Figure 2, the methodology proceeds from basic information about a given area (see Section V), via traffic behavior data and traffic volume projections (see Section VI), to generate estimates of peak and typical numbers of vehicles and associated i running times by hour of the day. Typical and peak one-hour and eight-hour periods, required end products, can then be extracted from this information. The specifics of the procedure are presented below. First, the attendance patterns associated with typical and peak days at the area are delineated. These may be provided, or derived using an annual total estimate and the seasonal, daily and hourly average data of Section V and.the Appendixes. These are converted into number of vehicles entering and leaving the park per hour by dividing numbers of visitors by their respective average vehicle occupancies. Running times in the eight operating modes are then determined. A schematic diagram similar to those in Section V may be help- ful in analyzing the operating modes at the area under different traffic volume situations. If the schematic is approximately to scale for the parking area and access roads, it enables estimates of the base running times in each mode to be made.* » The access roads to most large recreation areas are on park property, so running times in the approach and departure modes are influenced only by traffic to and from the area and by the configuration of the access road. Running times in the stop and the start modes are probably always very low--the value of 0.1 minute used in the first task report is still appropriate here. Running times in the entrance and exit modes are estimated by the procedures presented in Section VII, as functions of the traffic volume and entrance and exit gate capacities. Movement into a parking space is primarily related to the size of the facility until the lot becomes filled. Thus the traffic volume estimates must be used in conjunction with parking lot capacity to determine whether capacity is exceeded during peak periods, and hence the number of vehicles that will have an additional running time to an overflow parking area. Time for movement out appears to be primarily a function of parking lot size, and relatively constant for all attendance rates. * If a large recreational area is served by widely scattered parking lots (i.e., is divided into major sections), and served by separated access roads, then the sections may be analyzed separately, depending on sizes and distances. -39- ------- Characteristic of Recreational Areas Traffic perationa Mode Analysis Base Running Time Parking Capacity Analys is Peak Trip Generation Values Typical Trip Gen- eration ValilPS Gate Exceedance Parking Lot Gate Capacity Peak Running Times Parking Exceedance Gate Capacity Analysis Parking Spaces Schematic Layout Trip Seneration Analysis Exceedance Analyses Peak Values of dumber of Cars Running and Running Times Typical Values of Number of Cars Running and Running Times Figure 1. GENERALIZED METHODOLOGY APPLIED TO RECREATIONAL AREAS -40- ------- The base running time is combined with the typical traffic volume to provide the required values of total vehicles running and base running times. For the peak case, diurnal variations of traffic must be examined to select the peak hour and eight hours. In summary, the two main concerns for a recreation area are for adequate parking lot entrance capacity and adequate parking spaces, or an efficient menas of directing and moving incoming traffic to an overflow parking area. GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION Most of the running times, and hence emissions, from a recreational area can usually be considered as being distributed fairly uniformly over the parking areas during typical operating periods (base running times). Some concentration of vehicles may occur in the vicinity of the parking lot entrance line. The added emissions attributed to this particular line may be determined from the breakdown of running times by mode for a typical period. It may also be desirable to simulate access road traffic as a separate line source, depending on the orientation of the road (especially if straight away from the area) and the distance of expected effect. Under peak traffic conditions, the running time in the entrance mode may be increased, and the need to consider the entrance line as a special source is accentuated. The area over which the other running times are distributed may also increase, due to the utilization of secondary parking areas. METEOROLOGICAL ASPECTS The meteorological characteristics which most importantly affect atmospheric dilutive capacity are mixing height, wind speed and atmospheric stability. A convenient summary of mixing height and wind speed characteristics which affect air pollution potential is given in the Office of Air Programs Publication No. AP-101 (Holzworth 1972). Atmospheric stability may be determined in terms of cloud cover, solar radiation and wind speed by a method proposed by Pasquill and shown in Table 10. For ground level sources, such as automobiles at recreational areas, the ground level con- centrations, both in the vicinity and downwind of the sources will be ------- Table 10. KEY TO STABILITY CATEGORIES (after Turner 1970) Day Night Surface Wind Speed (at 10 m), m sec"1 Incoming Solar Radiation Thinly Overcast or >_ 4/8 Low Cloud < 3/8 Cloud Strong Moderate Slight <2 A A-B B 2-3 A-B B C E F 3-5 B B-C C D E 5-6 C C-D D D D >6 C C D D D The neutral class, D, should be assumed for overcast conditions during day or night. NOTE: Class A is the most unstable, class F the most stable class. Night refers to the period from 1-hour before sunset to 1-hour after sunrise. Note that the neutral class, D, can be assumed for overcast conditions during day or night, regardless of wind speed. "Strong" incoming solar radiation corresponds to a solar altitude greater than 60° with clear skies; ''slight" insolation corresponds to a solar altitude from 15° to 35° with clear skies. Table 170, Solar Altitude and Azimuth, in the Smithsonian Meteorological Tables (List 1951) can be used in determining the solar altitude. Cloudiness will decrease incoming solar radiation and should be considered along with solar altitude in determining solar radiation. Incoming radiation that would be strong with clear skies can be expected to be reduced to moderate with broken (5/8 to 7/8 cloud cover) middle clouds and to slight with broken low clouds. -42- ------- inversely proportional to wind speed and mixing height and directly pro- portional to atmospheric stability (i.e., the more stable the atmosphere, the higher the concentration). Peak use of most recreational areas occurs during summer, with the highest days of the week usually being on the weekend. The peak hour use generally occurs during the early afternoon (somewhere from noon to 2p.m.). The peak eight-hour period is generally 11a.m. to 7p.m. Holzworth (1972) has mixing height and wind speed figures which are directly applicable to summer afternoon conditions for locations in the contiguous United States, and these may be used directly (Figures 3 and 4). For the weekend mid- day peak, atmospheric stability classes B, C, and D may occur with classes C and D being the most prevalent. The period when meteorological conditions are least favorable for diluting pollutants is the period when recreational areas are essentially not in use, or at least have very little traffic. This would be from very late in the evening until a few hours after sunrise. It is most often during this period that mixing heights are lowest, wind speeds are lowest, and atmospheric stability is greatest. QUALITATIVE GUIDELINES In addition to the quantitative guidelines developed above, the review of recreational areas as complex emission sources should also include the following considerations which are not presently reducible to quantitative terms: 1. Since the layouts of recreational areas can frequently be modified comparatively easily, to accommodate larger crowds or to alleviate traffic problems, the amount of space available for expansion or modifications should be defined. Specifically, the ease with which parking capacity and access roads can be expanded and improved should be established. 2. The appropriate and adequate use of signs and markers to direct motorists throughout the vehicular areas is important, since many of the guests are tourists visiting the recreational area for the first time. -43- ------- Figure 3. ISflPLETHS (m sec"1) OF MEAN SUMMER WIND SPEED AVERAGED THROUGH AFTERNOON MIXING LAYER ------- Figure 4. ISOPLETHS (mxlO2) OF MEAN SUMMER AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS ------- 3. The developer should demonstrate an effort to optimize traffic circulation patterns in the park by such methods as: No left turn movements across the main access roads Maximum use of one-way and divided streets Markings that separate parking lot entrance lanes from through traffic lanes, where appropriate Prohibition of on-street parking within the area. 4. In addition to the employees normally assigned to parking and traffic control, the area's security personnel should be available to assist in these areas during peak periods. THE NINE QUESTIONS While the specific information called for by the task work statement has been provided in Sections V through VIII, the nine questions spelled out as part of the work statement warrant specific response. This is given here, with the questions abbreviated. 1. Area alloted to or occupied by a single vehicle? 110 to 150 vehicles per acre of parking lot. 2. Percentage of land and parking spaces potentially occupied by vehicles? The usual percentage? Varies widely depending on area size, use rate, and nature of recreation. 3. Typical and peak values (absolute or fractional) of vehicles running for one- and eight-hour periods? See Section V and Appendixes. 4. Typical and worst case (slowest) vehicle speeds? In the context of our approach, this question is only relevant to analysis of the "Major Highway" complex source task. It is dealt with in that task report. 5. Vehicle distribution within the complex? See subheading entitled Geographic Distribution in Section VIII. 6. Design parameters of the complex likely to be known beforehand? See Section V, Recreational Area Parameters. 7. Design parameters in question (6) which can be most successfully related to traffic, and hence emissions? See Sections V through VII. -46- ------- 8. Relationships of parking lot design to parking densities and vehicle circulation? What is typical design? Design with highest parking densities, lowest vehicle speeds, longest vehicle operating times? To the extent to which these questions are relevant to our methodology, they are answered in Section V. 9. Methodological conditions likely to occur during peak use? Use level during periods of worst meteorology? See the subheading entitled Meteorological Aspects in Section VIII. -47- ------- SECTION IX REFERENCES and General Information Sources Compilation of Air Pollution Emission Factors. Environmental Protection Agency Publication No. AP-42, Second Edition. April 1973. Automobile Exhaust Emission Surveillance: A Summary. Prepared for EPA by Calspan Corp. EPA Publication No. APTD-1544. May 1973. Travel to the National Parks: Statistics on Summer Season and Peak Month Visition. Special Report No. 1, Office of Long Range Planning and New Program Development, Statistical Analysis, National Park Service. April 1972. Public Use of the National Parks: A statistical report, 1960-1970. Division of Statistical Analysis, National Park Service. September 1971. Public Use of the National Parks, 1971-1972. Statistical Analysis, National Park Service, December 1972. Public Use Load Factors. Branch of Statistics Analysis, National Park Service. October 1965. Monthly Percentages of 1966 Visit Totals. Branch of Statistics Analysis, National Park Service. September 1967, Public Use of the National Park System: Fiscal Year Report 1973. National Park Service. July 1973. National Parks and Landmarks. National Park Service. January 1972. Recreation and Park Yearbook. National Recreation and Park Association. 1966. State Park Statistics 1970. National Conference on State Parks, National Recreation and Park Association. August 1971. Parking for Recreation. National Recreation and Park Association. May 1965. -49- ------- Traffic Attraction of Rural Outdoor Recreation Areas. National Cooperative Highway Research Program Report 44. Highway Research Board, NRC, NAS-NAE. 1967. A Logical and Systematic Design Technique for Park Planning. B.J. Niemann, Jr., and W.H. Tishler, Parks and Recreation (the Official Publication of the National Recreation and Park Association). May 1968. Alternative Transportation Systems Program. National Park Service. October 1973. Weekend Recreational Travel Patterns. G.E. Maring. Office of Highway Planning, Federal Highway Administration. 1970. Personal Communication with the State Park Departments of New York, California, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Illinois. November 1973. -50- ------- Table A-l CLASSES OF AREAS IN THE NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM Code CL 3CC rtf Al*Q3 No. of Areas Administered loo OI Aica Dec. 1970 Dec. 1960 NB National Battlefields 5 1 NBP National Battlefield Parks 4 3 NBS National Battlefield Sites 3 5 NC National Cemeteries 10 10 NHS National Historic Sites 52 28 NHP National Historical Parks 13 9 NL National Lakeshores 4 - NMera National Memorials 19 17 NMemP National Memorial Park 1 1 NMP National Military Parks 11 11 NM National Monuments 85 80 NP National Parks 35 30 National Parkways 5 5 NRA National Recreation Areas 13 4 NS National Seashores 7 1 NSR National Scenic Riverways 3 - NST National Scenic Trails 1 - National Scientific Reserve 1 - Historic Area 1 - International Park 1 - National Capital Parks 1 1 White House 1 1 Parks - Other 5 2 Total 209 A-l ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM - Area J fin Feb Abraham Lincoln Birthplace NHS 1.1 1.6 Acadia NP .G .6 Adams NHS .1 .1 Andrew Johnson NHS 3*4 4.3 Antietam NBS 2.0 2.6 Appomattox NHP 1.4 1.6 Arches NP 1.4 1.3 Arkansas Post NMem 54.5 6.6 Aztec Ruins NM 1.5 l.G Badlands NM 1.0 1.1 Bandclier NM .8 2.1 Battleground NC 4.1 4.1 Bent's Old Fort NHS 2.1 3.6 Big Bend NP 6.4 5.6 Big Hole Battlefield NB Black Canyon NM .5 .4 Blue Ridge Parkway 1.6 .6 Booker T Washington NM 4.0 5.0 Brices Crossroads NBS .4 4.0 Bryce Canyon NP .3 .3 Buck Island Reef NM 7.8 9.1 Cabrillo NM 10.1 7.9 Canyon de Chelly NM 3.0 2.5 '"anyon lands ,NP .4 .2 PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - War Apr Max Jvm Jul 2.5 .9 .1 6.0 5.4 3.5 7.1 6.9 8.4 15.7 11.3 15.3 24.5 23.2 20.4 7.1 6.7 4.3 8.7 10.2 8.5 11.8 18.4 9.4 11.4 11.2 13.8 13.4 12.2 19.2 2.4 8.8 2.8 8.1 6.6 5.0 12.1 6.6 6.6 17.1 11.2 16.0 19.5 8.4 25.4 1.5 4.3 8.1 2.1 7.8 8.1 4.8 11.2 13.2 15.7 15.2 14 .2 29. C 17.5 9.5 7.7 6.8 7.3 11.1 12.3 7.6 7.0 12.3 11.8 19.0 18.4 12.8 29.5 1.3 4.0 7.2 2.1 6.3 6.3 5.7 9.0 12.6 14.5 13.2 11.3 29.7 18.9 15.3 8.5 .9 11.6 9.6 2.8 9.9 12.0 6.7 6.8 12.0 20.7 7.8 10.7 27.3 8.6 6.6 3.2 1.8 7.1 8.1 6.6 7.4 10.1 24.0' 7.4 13.5 15.5 11.7 15.8 14.9 Aug Peo Oct Wr»y 25.2 6.9 5.5 n 1 1.8 23.5 12.1 7.9 6.0 1.1 22.9 13.7 14.2 .9 .1 12.0 7.1 9.3 6.0 5.4 11.1 8.1 9.0 6.1 2.3 20.8 8.0 7.7 4.0 1.3 10.0 9.9 5.6 2.3 1.0 5.0 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.3 24.8 8.2 5.4 3.0 1.6 28.0 6.6 4.5 1.9 1.3 21.8 7.7 6.6 3 3 1.6 11.5 7.5 6.8 4.1 8.e 19.4 6.6 3.5 3.6 3.4 12.3 7.9 5.4 7.1 5.1 30.4 13.9 29.0 12.9 4.6 .9 .2 ic.e 9.5 13.7 4.7 2.0 14.3 8.3 8.5 4.3 3.0 13.4 8.0 8.0 8.0 5.3 25.8 9.8 4.2 1.0 .3 8.8 5.9 6.1 8.1 9.5 11.6 7.8 7.0 6.5 8.9 16.5 10.3 6.9 5.4 2.9 13.6 12.3 8.1 2.1 .4 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL P^RK SYSTEM - Area Jan Feb *Cape Cod NS 1.3 1.6 "Cape Hatteras NS 2.0 2.4 Capitol Reef NM 1.2 1.3 < Capulin Mountain NM 1.8 1.2 Carlsbad Caverns NP 2.4 2.5 Casa Grande Runins NM 0.1 11.2 Castillo de San Marcos NM 4.2 5.4 Cedar Breaks NM 1.1 1.1 Chaco Canyon NM 4.4 4.3 Chalmette NHP 8.8 5.7 Chickamauga - Chattanooga NMP 4.0 4.0 Chiricahua NM 3.0 4.G Christiansted NHS 4.4 6.0 City of Refuge NHP 5.6 6.6 Colonial NHP 3.9 5.0 Colorado NM 3.8 3.7 Coronado NMem 6.0 5.9 Coulee Dam NRA .5 .8 Cowpens NBS 4.2 4.2 Crater Lake NP .5 .8 Craters of the Moon NM .1 .5 Cumberland Gap NHP 1.4 2.3 Custer Battlefield NM .7 1.0 Custis-Lee Mansion 2.2 2.8 PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS Mar Apr 2.2 2.9 3.9 4.7 3.5 5.7 2.4 4.6 3.1 5.0 9.8 11.3 7.8 9.8 - .8 .4 C.6 9.5 .3 8.9 5.6 7.2 7.9 10.7 12.0 ID.3 7.2 4.4 8.2 8.7 3.8 6.5 7.5 10.1 2.4 3.2 4.2 4.2 1.0 2.2 1.1 2.4 3.0 5.4 1.5 2.3 5.2 15.2 Jun 3.9 7.9 8.1 10.7 15.4 24.2 7.5 6.0 5.9 15.8 18.9 6.9 .6.1 2.8 11.0 12.7 15.1 9.7 7.9 8.5 10.0 9.0 12.9 10.7 9.5 7.7 9.6 7.1 0.6 10.2 7.8 10.3 6.6 12.1 8.9 16.1 8.5 0.5 4.8 14.3 5.7 17.0 8.5 15.2 6.9 1G.7 11.2 11.7 Jul Aug 25.1 29.9 22.7 22.1 16.8 15.9 23.6 23.7 24.9 20.9 7.5 8.8 19.0 16.9 26.7 25.2 12.2 1C.0 10.9 10.2 15.6 14.9 14.0 13.2 9.4 9.6 12.9 14.1 10.4 12.1 13.1 15.2 9.6 9.e 30.3 23.7 12.8 12.8 27.1 29.9 23.0 20.1 15.2 22.2 24.8 25.7 15.2 18.3 SfT> Oct 11.3 8.4 10.5 5.2 5.3 0.3 7.7 6.0 6.3 5.5 3.8 v.e 4.0 15.4 8.3 3.6 10.2 7.5 6.4 8.4 7.7 3.8 7.3 6.4 3.7 8.C 8.9 6.5 8.1 9.4 12.0 9.4 ,10.1 11.2 9.1 3.8 12.8 12.9 11.3 12.8 3.7 3.4 9.7 10.7 5.9 10.1 4.2 6.1 N'ov D»c 1.8 1.3 3.2 1.9 2.4 1.9 3.8 2.3 3.2 3.3 8.4 6.2 ,4.0 6.5 .6 .2 6.0 4.7 7.8 5.6 6.0 5.6 6.3 4.1 11.3 9.3 7.6 8.2 7.8 5.2 4.5 5.7 7.0 -7.3 1.7 .8 7.7 6.4 1.3 .S 1.2 .4 4.1 2.3 2.6 .3 3.9 1.6 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM - MONTHLY PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - Area Jan Feb Var AST l&L Jun Jul ahs Sep Oct T-'ov Pre Death Valley NM 8.1 9.7 10. S 15.5 5.4 4.9 3.4 3.8 4.8 8.2 14.1 11.1 DeSoto NMem 8.9 9.3 22.3 9.0 5.1 7.2 6.0' 5.9 4.3 5.2 7.2 8.2 Devils Postpile NM 12.5 30.4 39.2 17.7 Devi 1 s Tower NM .6 .2 .9 1.0 5.G 18.5 23.7 29.5 9.3 4.2 1.2 .3 Dinosaur NM .6 .4 1.0 2.9 7.1 10.4 24.3 27.1 10.4 4.0 1.6 .9 Edison NHS 3.0 7.9 9.3 11.1 10.-1 9.5 11.8 11.2 5.0 7.7 8.5 4.0 Effigy Mounds NM 2.1 2.9 4.2 3.0 9.2 11.2 16.5 19.0 10.7 13.7 1.4 1.0 El Morro NM 1.1 1.6 3.2 8.G 10.8 14.2 17.5 19.7 7.2 8.4 4.8 2.4 Everglades NP 10.2 12.0 12.9 12.7 7.G 6.4 6.8 6.3 4.9 4.7 6.7 9.0 Federal Hall NMem 2.8 7.0 9.1 9.1 9.6 0.4 9.1 12.3 8.9 8.1 8.4 7.0 Flaming Gorge NRA 1.4 1.7 3.0 6.3 14.4 12.9 23.0 15.2 11.7 5.9 3.1 1.3 Fort Caroline NMem 6.G 0.0 11.2 10.4- 7.0 0.4 12.3 7.9 5.8 7.7 6.9 5.S Fort Clatsop NMem 1.5 2.3 3.0 5.9 8.5 14.5 22.3 25.5 7.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 Fort Davis NHS 4.0 3.7 5.9 7.3 8.7 13.1 16.2 rs.4 0.0 5.9 6.2 5.0 Fort Donelson NC 4.9 5.3 7.3 0.0 9.3 10.7 11.3 9.3 8.8 9.0 7.3 7.2 Fort Frederica NM 3.9 3.0 G.2 0.0 7.4 12.9 17.2 15.4 7.2 6.5 5.C 5.9 Fort Jefferson NM 13.0 17.0 14.0 7.3 6.1 5.0 ' 2.8 0.4 2.9 3.3 10.5 13.1 Fort Laramie NHS 1.3 1.2 2.2 3.1 7.2 16.1 23.6 29 .8 7.4 4.3 «.«*! 1.2 Fort Matanzas NM 5.4 5.9 7.6 8.4 7.5 11.3 16.6 14.3 5.9 5.9 5.3 5.5 Fort McHenry NM 4.G 5.1 7.0 9.6 13.5 8.7 12.7 15.2 9.5 5.7 5.1 2.7 Fort Necessity NB .1 .1 .4 3.2 9.G 12.1 25.5 25.9 10.1 10.7 2.4 n 0. ort Pulaski NM 4.7 4.8 7.4 9.2 8.5 11.6 13.3 12.2 8.0 7.0 7.5 5.5 ort Raleigh NHS 1.1 1.1 1.1 3.9 4.9 21.9 27.7 22.0 10.7 3.2 1.3 .7 ort Smith NHS 5.0 3.4 5.2 5.2 e.o 16.1 .15.4 17.3 8.0 6.8 5.3 3.3 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK Area Jan Frb Fort Sumter NM 1.7 2.1 Fort Union NM 2.7 2.9 Fort Vancouver NHS 3.1 3.2 Fredericksburg & Spotsylvania NMP 5.9 4.0 General Grant NMem 1.9 5.0 George Washington Birthplace NM 2.5 2.7 George Washington Carver NM 2.4 2.8 George Washington Parkway .0 1.8 Gettysburg NMP .8 1.7 Gila Cliff Dwellings NM .1 .6 Glacier NP .1 Glacier Bay NM 1.7 1.4 Glen Canyon NRA Z.Z 1.7 Gran Quivira NM 2.2 3.8 Grand Canyon NM T *» .3 Grand Canyon NP 1.8 1.3 Grand Portage NM .1 .1 Grand Teton NP .1 .2 Great Sand Dunes NM .4 .4 Great Smoky Mountains NP 1.8 1.4 Guilford Courthouse NMP 4.6 4.6 Haleakala NP 10.3 6.4 Hampton NHS 2.4 4.3 Harpers Ferry NHP 3.4 4.0 MONTHLY PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - Var Apr 4.6 11.8 4.6 7.5 4.3 9.0 7.7 9.8 5.9 11.3 5.7 9.8 5.5 3.5 3.6 8.1 11.7 10.4 .2 .2 1.2 2.9 .4 1.9 3.4 8.0 9.8 7.3 9.8 9.0 2.9 .1 .3 5.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.8 8.3 2.3 5.0 8.2 6.7 6.7 5.7 7.5 12.8 7.9 May Jun 9.7 21.4 9.0 14.0 11.1 7.3 9.8 10.3 9.6 9.9 12.6 13.4 12.9' 11.1 13.5 12.4 10.D 11.3 5.3 4.2 6.3 20.3 12.3 20.9 11.9 8.6 13.2 16.3 13.1 14.6 6.9 5.0 4.9 18.0 11.0 17.5 11.5 7.1 12.5 16.2 14.5 11.8 5.3 10.7 15.0 12.3 11.0 10.5 Jul Aup; 15.4 18.9 10.4 13.3 30.4 8.4 10.6 12.6 15.3 13.3 14.0 14.4 12.5 12.7 11.4 20.2 15.9 19.4 29.5 19.3 30.1 34.1 23.9 20.0 15.7 15.3 15.4 13.1 11.5 16.3 20.3 21.3 23.7 30.4 30.9 23.1 23.3 23.7 22.6 20.3 11.9 12.3 10.5 12.5 7.6 9.5 13.1 12.6 SfO Oct 5.4 3.9 8.0 7.2 4.4 6.S 8.0 7.9 7.7 8.2 8.2 8.3 7.4 16.3 11.2 11.3 3.3 8.5 10.3 4.4 9.1 .3 7.1 .4 10.0 8.1 11.4 6.3 9.0 9.6 11.1 6.0 13.4 * V 10.2 3.7 9.0 3.7 8.6 10.7 6.3 7.0 8.5 7.2 7.0 9.3 9.3 12.6 ?.'ov Dec 3.2 1.9 4.6 2.1 o. 3 4. o 6.3 6.4 6.0 3.3 7.8 3.2 4.3 2.0 3.7 1.1 3.7 1.7 4.3 1.3 .1 2.0 1.6 4.9 2.2 5.5 2.2 3.2 3.2 2.3 1.3 .4 .1 2.4 .2 1.5 .3 3.3 1.9 6.3 4.6 7.2 7.0 7.1 5.3 5.7 3.5 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM - MONTHLY PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - Area Jan Feb Mar Apr May Juo Jul Ml f* St»o Oct ifpy Hawaii Volcanoes NP 6.5 6.3 6.6 8.3 8.3 8.9 10.6 12.0 8.3 8.1 7.1 e.o Home of Franklin D. Roosevelt NHS .9 1.3 2.2 6.8 10.2 11.7 19.7 21.6 10.5 9.7 2.6 1.0 Homestead NM 3.5 3.5 4.7 5.2 11.6 12.5 14.0' IS.5 10.2 9.4 3.2 3.0 Hopewell Village NHS .8 .7 2.4 5.1 10.7 8.5 23.3 21.5 9.5 11.0 5.0 1.1 Horseshoe Bend NMP 2.9 4.8 8.3 8.4 10.5 13.5 12.7 13.9 8.6 S. 5 5.5 2.4 Hot Springs NP 4.2 5.0 7.6 8.5 8.4 11.3 13.9 11.8 8.7 8.4 7.0 4.3 House where Lincoln Died 1.7 3.3 4.1 12.5 7.5 10.2 13.7 19.4 7.5 7.1 6.9 5.3 Hovenweep NM 1.0 .4 '1.5 8.1 11.4 15.5 20.2 20.3 10.0 7.0 2.9 .3 Independence NHP 2.3 4.5 5.0 9.0 11.1 11.7 13.5 1G.2 7.2 7.9 6.S 4.3 Isle Royal NP 1.6 12.2 30.2 44.1 3.7 Jefferson National Expansion Memorial NHS 9.7 6.4 6.9 7.0 11.5 16.1 1G.5 10.3 6.3 5.1 3.1 1.6 Jewel Cave NM 20.6 37.5 30.0 3.3 Joshua Tree NM 8.4 7.3 11.1 21.8 8.6 - 0.0 '1.4 3.7 4.2 5.7 10.2 6.0 Katmai NM 4.0 23.3 32.0 29.1 7.S 3.4 Kennesaw Mountain NBP 4.6 5.6 9.4 9.7 ¦ 10.2 14.3 14.1 y.7 4.3 S. 2 5.5 4.0 Kings Canyon IMP 1.5 1.3 l.C 3.5 0.3 13.8 22.1 21.5 12.3 5.9 3.1 4.7 Kings Mountain NMP 2.9 3.5 6.3 9.7 11.1 12.1 15.2 13.2 7.5 9.0 5.4 4.2 Lake Mead NRA 5.0 5.7 7.9 13.6 10.4 12.4 9.9 8.1 7.S 7.2 7.2 4.3 Lassen Volcanic NP 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.7 4.9 14.0 23.3 20.9 13.3 4.3 1.2 2.4 Lava Beds NM 1.4 2.0 2.0 4.2 6.4 11.1 17.4 20.0 15.0 11.4 4.5 3.0 Lehman Caves NM .3 .4 1.1 7.1 8.5 14.2 20.5 22.0 10.3 5.1 1.9 .5 Lemon NRA .1 .7 .8 5,5- 9.0 21. S 24.0 23.7 7.8 5.3 1.3 O *- 1incoln Boyhood NMem .4 .6 1.3 3.3 8.5 10.9 22.1 30.2 8.3 8.9 3.1 2.5 incoln Memorial 1.0 2.7 4.3 14.7 11.5 12.4 -16.5 16.5 6.9 5.3 5.2 3.0 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK Area .Tfln Feb Mammoth Cave NP 3.3 3.3 Manassas NBP 3.0 3.2 Mesa Verde NP .3 .3 Minute Man NHP 1*5 1.6 Montezuma Castle NM 3.5 4.0 Moore House Moores Creek NMP 3.3 5.4 Morristown NHP 3.6 4.7 Mound City Group NM 1.3 1.5 Mount McKinley NP ! *1 Mount Rainier NP 1*2 2.0 Mount Rushmore NMem *3 .3 Mui r Woods NM 5.1 5.0 Natchez Trace Parkway 6.0 5.7 National Capital Parks 1.0 1.2 Natural Bridges NM .1 .3 Navajo NM 2.0 1.3 Ocmulgee NM 6.1 7.2 Olympic NP 2.3 3.2 Oregon Caves NM .1 «3 Organ Pipe Cactus NM 9.4 9.3 Padre Island NS 4.0 4.6 Pea Ridge NMP 2.0 2.3 Pecos NM 1.0 1.3 - MONTHLY PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - ?/ar Apr 4.5 7.8 5.0 8.0 .9 2.3 3.2 13.7 6.5 10.8 8.6 7.5 11.6 5.3 7.4 4.1 6.4 .2 .1 1.5 2.9 .6 1.1 6.0 7.7 7.3 8.1 3.0 13.6 1.5 4.9 5.1 9.5 9.1 13.1 4.2 6.7 .4 1.4 8.1 7.3 5.2 C.2 3.4 6.3 2.7 2.5 ?'<\y Jun 7.7 10.7 6.3 10.2 11.3 10.7 8.5 7.7 9.5 11.4 9.9 10.2 15.1 DO.3 13.4 10.6 10.5 11.3 1.3 5.7 4.8 14.9 11.4 18.1 6.9 9.0 10.3 9.7 7.3 13.6 13.6 12.6 10.7 19.4 17.1 10.5 6.2 2.3 9.4 10.9 13.6 8.9 9.0 8.6 6.2 16.5 16.1 14.3 Jul Aug 14.9 21.4 15.7 16.2 26.5 20.7 15.1 19.5 13.7 13.6 10.4 12.1 11.7 0.2 11.7 12.4 15.7 17.8 51.1 27.0 22.1 22.3 30.7 31.0 14.4 15.3 9.9 9.5 17.9 15.5 15.4 13.1 "12.9 11.1 10.1 8.5 17.6 28.2 29.1 30.S C.5 0.7 14.6 13.1 14.4 17.6 24.4 24.5 Sep Oct 9.9 6.7 3.2 9.0 10.4 Z.5 8.6 10.4 8.9 9.9 8.3 6.3 10.5 0.9 10.3 10.5 11.2 5.0 .2 15.1 7.7 0.7 2.7 9.9 9.3 8.3 9.0 7.9 7.2 13.3 10.2 7.9 7.7 6.6 C.3 11.1 3.6 10.7 2.4 6.2 7.3 10.3 5.4 0.1 13.3 9.0 7.7 T'oy TVc 6.1 3.5 6.4 1.2 1.1 .5 4.7 1.3 6.7 4.0 5.3 3.6 9.9 4.1 3.4 2.2 .1 .1 5.5 2.0 .3 .4 5.4 4.6 S.7 8.1 3.5 5.5 1.9 .9 6.2 3.0 6.5 4.3 3.7 2.3 .5 .1 9.4 8.9 5.4 4.5 5.2 2.3 2.7 3.o (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM - Area Jan Feb Perry's Victory NM Petersburg NB 4.1 4.9 Petrified Forest NP 2.4 2.2 « Pinnacles NM 5.5 14.7 Pipe Spring NM 1.7 1.9 Pipestone NM .3 .3 Piatt NP 2.9 3.2 Point Reyes NS 4.5 6.1 Rainbow Bridge NM .2 .3 Richmond NBP 4.5 5.0 Rocky Mountain NP 1.3 1.2 Russell Cave NM 1.8 2.9 Sagamore Hill NHS 1.2 3.6 Saguaro NHS 9.3 12.0 Salem Maritime NHS 1.5 2.8 San Juan NHP 8.5 8.8 Sanford NRA 2.0 2.4 Saratoga NHP .3 .5 Scotts B1uff NM 2.2 2.3 Sequoia NP 2.0 2.0 Shadow Mountain NRA .2 .1 Shenandoah NP 1.6 1.6 Shiloh NMP 2.G 3.9 Sitka NM 3.3 2.8 PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - Mar ajbt 5.4 3.5 .2 8.0 4.8 10.6 3.9 .9 10.3 13.2 2.5 5.4 6.1 1.3 6.7 8.4 13.1 8.7 1.1 5.3 10.6 1.3 8.1 4.1 10.9 3.4 8.2 12. 6 6.8 10.7 G.3 2.5 10.0 8.2 5.1 5.1 2.2 .3 5.0 3.9 1.2 3.0 7.0 3.7 6.0 9.5 10.8 May Jun 4.1 15.3 8.6 12.5 6.0 20.0 13.1 9.7 13.7 13.8 7.5 22.4 13.'3 17.4 9.7 8.2 18.7 10.9 10.3 10.2 3.3 15.5 *10.6 13.9 10 .'3 11.9 6.3 5.7 7.8 9.5 6.8 11.9 14.3 10.3 11.4 14.3 8*4 14.4 7.7 14.1 7.3 14.9 8.6 11.9 13.2 11.G 9.G 13.0 Jul Aug 30.7 12. 0' 22.9 36.9 11.5 21.4 7.3 14.5 25.5 7.1 17.2 20.2 18.4 12.3 10.4 14.2 9.3 1] .5 11.7 29.3 17.8 13.9 29.3 19.1 15.7 6.9 21.1 16.9 7.4 24.2 9.7 16.1 21.3 8.1 10.2 19.6 10.1 21.1 25.G 20.1 22.4 32.5 17.5 17.7 15.1 17.5 13.1 14.1 Sen Oct 13 .1 11.9 7.0 1.2 11.8 5.0 6.3 10.0 10.1 5.7 6.1 4.7 7.7 11.1 13.6 4.7 11.0 9.3 7.7 10.5 7.3 7.7 3.7 7.0 8.1 6.5 9.7 9.4 7.1 6.2 4.4 11.4 9.2 6.0 6.4 8.3 9.2 12.0 10.0 7.3 5.1 3.6 9.9 7.1 11.3 16.5 7.8 8.3 Nov Dec 2.9 5.7 2.7 2.0 5.6 2.9 2.2 1.1 3.4 1.7 3.C 2.5 6.9 4.9 2.7 .1 6.1 3.7 1.2 1.4 3.3 l.S 7.9 2.3 7.2 7.6 4.7 1.3 7.2 8.0 6.5 5.5 5.4 .5 3.9 2.8 3.1 3.9 2.0 .7 3.C l.S 4.4 2.1 4.1 3.4 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM - MONTHLY PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - Area Jan Feb Mar A^r ' Vay . Jul Oct ?>' r»v Dec Statue of Liberty NM .3 1.5 2.9 9.4 9.9 13.7 19.0 21.0 8.0 6.5 5.0 2.3 Stones River NB o.G 5.5 4.2 6.3 6.5 12.9 14.6 15.1 9.0 11.3 .6.2 4.4 Sunset Crater NM 2.0 1.8 4.4 e.7 9.4 16.7 19.0 17.6 C.9. 5.2 3.3 2.9 Theodore Roosevelt Memorial NMemP .7 .0 1.7 3.0 8.4 20.8 30.2 21.2 5.0 3.4 2.8 1.4 Theodore Roosevelt Birthplace NHS 4.3 8.1 13.0 11.7 9.4 8.7 7.6 9.5 4.0 7.6 11.0 4.4 Thomas Jefferson Memorial 1.1 2.0 5.2 23.0 13.0 10.7 11.6 14.7 5.3 6.0 4.7 2.2 Timpanogos Cave NM 1.7 1.9 2.4 3.4 11.1 13.2 20.9 21.1 15.1 6.5 1.2 1.6 Tonto NM 11.1 12.7 1G.8 14.4 6.8 6.8 5.9 4.4 4.2 4.8 5.1 6.2 Tumacacori NM 9.2 11.5 10.7 9.8 5.4 7.6 9.5 8.0 4.4 5«o 7.1 10.7 Tupelo NB 2.5 1.0 4.0 8.9 2.8 10.5 12.5 33.0 7.3 9.2 4.9 2.7 Tuzigoot NM 2.3 2.2 3.5 9.6 9.0 12.3 13.6 15.1 9.7 9.4 7.4 4.3 Vanderbilt Mansion NHS 1.1 i.e 2.1 C.2 10.1 12.7 20.0 19 .7 11.1 10.1 3.5 1.3 Vicksburg NMP 4.9 5.6 0.1 8.0 8.6 11.9 12.7 1G.0 7.2 6.0 5.2 5.o Virgin Islands NP 7.8 7.7 10.2 8.4 7.0 8.3 3.2 8.4 G.2 9.4 9.4 8.2 Walnut Canyon NM 1.0 1.5 3.4 7.0 7.9 18.4 21.8 10.2 6.1 6.5 3.2 1.6 Whiskeytown NRA 1.7 2.9 2.7 6.5 12.1 21.4 .19.6 15.6 9.0 3.8 2.4 1.7 White House 1.7 2.1 4.8 16.7 12.4 11.7 13.7 14.2 6.9 6.0 4.9 3.4 White Sands NM 3.9 4.4 7.6 12.5 9.4 11.9 14.9 14.0 6.8 5.6 4.4 4.2 Whitman Mission NHS 3.1 4.9 5.9 9.3 12.2 12.5 14.9 12.3 8.6 8.1 4.2 3.4 Wind Cave NP 1.4 1. c 3.0 3.3 5.8 13.4 27.5 24.7 9.7 5.0 2.0 2.0 Wright Brothers NM .4 .9 1.4 3.6 5.2 10.5 22.3 23.8 6.7 3.9 1.8 1.0 Wupatki NM 2.4 1.9 4.7 9.4 10.2 18.7 17.9 17.2 8.1 3.8 3.1 1.8 Yellowstone NP .1 .0 .1 .4 3.7 17.6 33.4 31.0 10.6 2.2 r% .0 Yosemite NP 1.4 1.5 1.4 3.7 8.6 14.3 21.2 20.7 10.7 9.0 4.0 2.8 (continued) ------- Table A-2. NATIONAL PARK SYSTEM - MONTHLY PERCENTAGE OF 1966 VISIT TOTALS - Area Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul ahjs Sen Oct N'ov Dec Yucca House NM Zion NP 3.0 1 .G 4.1 1.7 12.3 2.3 13.8 S.O 6.1 9.0 7.1 10.9 13.3 21.6 18.4 20.4 15.3 10.2 3.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 .0 1.5 National Park System 2.7 2.8 4.4 7.8 8.8 13.0 18.1 17.7 8.6 7.4 4.5 3.3 I O Note: The sum of monthly percentages may not equal one hundred due to rounding. (concluded) ------- 100 co LU CD 5 75 C£ OC zs o o o 50 C_J £ 25 D. STA. 5120 Near Baenell Dam on Lake of the Ozarks (us 5U) 4% _El*_ 14% s M T W T F S DAYS 82% I I I I. 100 75- 50 - 25 - STA.8070 At Table Rock Lake (SR 13) 5% 3% 3% va* rm+ m 0% r 2% 1 ET-* 17% I 60% P V V> i V' M T W T F S S DAYS 100 CO LU O 2 75 en ce => o C_3 O STA. 8130 50 ~ c_> £ 25 a. Near Bull Shoals Lake and Table Rock Lake (US 65) 7% I I I I I I 8% ¦ ¦ ^ 85% I I M T W T F S S DAYS Figure B-l. DAY OF OCCURRENCE OF 100 HIGHEST HOURS OF THE YEAR B-l ------- 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Fit AUG 11 AUG 10 THURS AUG 8 J I I I I I L J L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 HOUR jre B-2. HOURLY TRAFFIC PATTERN FOR TYPICAL SUMMER WEEK STATION 5120 NEAR BAGNELL (US 54) ------- 400 300 275 250 225 20° 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Fig AUG 11 - SAT AUG 10 FRI AUG 9 MON AUG 5 TUES AUG 6 WED AUG 7 THURS AUG 8 \v 3*7/;1: t .'SJ2 i i i i i i i ¦ ' 1 ' ' ' 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 HOUR re R-T. HHIIRLY TRAFFIC PATTERN FOR A TYPICAL SUMMER WEEK STA. 8070 AT TABLE ROCK LANE (SR 13) ------- IIIIMMIHII SUN AUG 11 SAT AUG 10 m AUG 9 MON AUG 5 TUES AUG 6 WED AUG 7 THURS AUG 8 \ J 1 I L ' ' L JL ± _L J. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 HOUR Figure B-4. HOURLY TRAFFIC PATTERN FOR A TYPICAL SUMMER WEEK STA. 8130 SERVES BULL SHOALS AND TABLE ROCK LAKES (US 65) ------- TECHNICAL REPORT DATA (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing) 1 REPORT NO 2 EPA-450/3-74-003-g 3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSIOI*NO 4 TITLE AND SUBTITLE i/ehicle Behavior In arid Around Complex Sources and delated Complex Source Characteristics Volume VII - Recreational Areas 6 REPORT DATE November 1973 (Date of issue) 6 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE 7 AUTHOR(S) Scott D. Thayer S PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO 9 PERFORMING ORG'VNIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS Geomet, Inc. 50 Monroe Street Rockville, MD 20850 10 PROGRAM ELEMENT NO 11 CONTRACT/GRANT NO 68-02-1094 12 SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADORESS Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711 13 TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED Final 14 SPONSORING AGENCY CODE 15 SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 16 ABSTRACT A general methodology is presented for relating parameters of traffic behavior in recreational areas, including vehicle running time and traffic volume, to more readily available characteristics of the areas, including attendance rates, temporal variations in attendance and parking capacity and design. Such relationships are to be used to relate recreational area characteristics to air nuality. 17. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS a DESCRIPTORS b IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS c COSATI Field/Group Air pollution, parks, urban planning, urban development, urban transportation, trans- portation management, transportation models land use, regional planning, vehicular traffic, traffic engineering, highway planning Indirect sources Indirect source review J 13 B 18 DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT Release unlimited 19 SECURITY CLASS (This Report) Unclassified 21 NO OF PAGES 68 20 SECURITY CLASS (Thispage) Unclassified 22 PRICE EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73) -B-5- ------- INSTRUCTIONS 1. REPORT NUMBER Insert the EPA report number as it appears on the cover of the publication 2. LEAVE BLANK 3. RECIPIENTS ACCESSION NUMBER Reserved for use by each report recipient 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Title should indicate clearly and briefly the subject coverage of the report, and be displayed prominently. 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