EPA-340/l-73-001-b TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR REVIEW AND EVALUATION OF COMPLIANCE SCHEDULES FOR AIR POLLUTION SOURCES Supplemental Report On Financing Air Pollution Control rf=P ffr=P HfiraP ffr=P 191BM® HBH mi hdiim U. S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY OFFICE OF ENFORCEMENT AND GENERAL COUNSEL OFFICE OF GENERAL ENFORCEMENT DIVISION OF STATIONARY SOURCE ENFORCEMENT WASHINGTON, D. C. 20460 ------- EPA-340/l-73-001-b TECHNICAL GUJDE FOR REVIEW AND EVALUATION OF COMPLIANCE SCHEDULES FOR AIR POLLUTION SOURCES Supplemental Report On Financing Air Pollution Control by Research Triangle Institute Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711 Contract No. 68-02-0607, Task No. 5 EPA Project Officer: John W. Butler Prepared for ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY OFFICE OF ENFORCEMENT AND GENERAL COUNSEL OFFICE OF GENERAL ENFORCEMENT DIVISION OF STATIONARY SOURCE ENFORCEMENT WASHINGTON, D.C. 20460 November 1973 ------- The Enforcement Technical Guideline Series of reports is issued by the Office of Enforcement and General Counsel, Environmental Protection Agency, to assist the Regional Office in activities related to enforcement of implementation plans, new source emission standards, and hazardous emission standards to be developed under the Clean Air Act. Copies of Enforcement Technical Guideline reports are available - as supplies permit - from Division Stationary Source Enforcement, Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C. 20460 or may be obtained, for a nominal cost, from the National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22151. This report was furnished to the. Environmental Protection Agency by Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, in fulfillment of Contract No. 68-02-0607. The contents of this report are reproduced herein as received from the contractor. The opinions, findings, and conclusions expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Environmental Protection Agency. PUBLICATION NO. EPA-340/l-73-001-b ii ------- ACKNOWLEDGMENT This report was prepared for the Environmental Protection Agency by the Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina. The project was under the general direction of Mr. Harry L. Hamilton, Jr. and the report was written by Dr. David A. LeSourd. Valuable assistance was provided by Mr. Dennis Kulonda who served as a summer intern with the Institute under the sponsorship of the Triangle Universities Consortium on Air Pollution. Mr. John Butler was the Project Officer for the Environmental Protection Agency. The authors appreciate the many contributions made to this study by Mr. Butler and other members of the Division of Stationary Source Enforcement. iii ------- TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION PAGE 1 INTRODUCTION 1 2 SOURCES OF FUNDS 1 3 HOW FIRMS OBLIGATE FUNDS 5 4 SPECIAL PROBLEMS OF SMALL FIRMS 7 5 PUBLIC UTILITIES 8 6 MUNICIPALITIES 9 7 EFFECT OF TIGHT MONEY 10 iv ------- FINANCING AIR POLLUTION CONTROL SECTION 1 INTRODUCTION Evaluation of the air pollution control compliance schedule submitted by a firm to its regulatory authority will be based primarily on factors such as the availability of control equipment, the probable time required for system design for the specific production process, and the reasonableness of estimated construction time. An additional factor that may come into question is whether, or to what extent, a firm may find its ability to comply with control regulations constrained by the time requirements of internal financial management or of obtaining funds from investors. These special problems related to financing are discussed in this report, while the technical problems of compliance schedules are covered in a separate report, Technical Guide for Review and Evalustion of compliance Schedules for Air Pollution Sources (EPA-340/l-73-001-a). It is the broad conclusion of this study of the financing of compliance that, in general, financial problems will not cause delays in compliance for firms that are in sound financial condition. In the discussion that follows the variations of financial practices that affect the availability of funds for air pollution control are examined for large and small firms, complex corporation, public utilities, government-owned sources, and marginal firms. SECTION 2 SOURCES OF FUNDS Almost all of the investment funds for air pollution control are expected to come from regular business sources. These include issuance of stocks and bonds, long and short term bank loans, and internal operating capital. Limited amounts of credit may also be 1 ------- drawn from lending agencies such as the Small Business Administration. Government entities will finance through bond issues, short term notes, or by appropriation of tax revenues. Business firms, in most instances, will not issue new common or preferred stock to finance their pollution control investments. Stock issues are traditionally used to finance major acquisitions or to expand productive facilities. It is unlikely that most firms will choose to use equity capital unless they find such funds readily available from previously planned large equity issues that are essentially unrelated to their control investment needs. In some instances, where a company has chosen to build a new plant to replace an older one, or to modernize and revamp an old plant, equity capital is being used. In the cement industry, for example, compliance with control regulations is being accomplished by several firms at the same time that their production processes and facilities are being modernized by the construction of new plants. For some firms the need to provide controls has spurred more rapid modernization, accentuating a trend already in existence before the passage of the Clean Air Act of 1970. Such actions are part of long run company plans and should be well underway by this time. A company decision to use equity financing should have little significance for air pollution compliance scheduling. Bond financing, especially through industrial revenue bonds, is a major source of funds for larger corporations. Bond issues for this purpose will normally be in amounts over $1 million and the greater share of those for over $5 million. The bonds may be sold through competitive bidding (normally required for utilities), private placement arranged through an underwriter, or direct private placement with an institutional investor such as an insurance company. Although there are many differences in the procedures followed and the division of responsibilities for preparation of the issue for these forms of placement, there are no substantial differences in the time required. A bond issue can normally be prepared and marketed in 3 to 4 months. It appears that many corporations will choose to issue industrial revenue bonds in states where these are authorized. Industrial 2 ------- revenue bonds are tax exempt issues with interest rates significantly (2-3 or more percentage points) lower than comparable corporate bonds. They are issued by firms (or by state governments to provide funds for firms) under special state legislative authority that specifies the eligible uses for funds from these issues. Under present Federal law state governments are authorized to approve industrial revenue bond issues for pollution control investment and the Internal Revenue Service certifies the eligibility of the proposed investment for tax exemption. The process of issuing industrial revenue bonds requires two steps not involved in regular bond issues: approval by the State, and IRS certification. It appears that State approval is quickly available, but IRS certification can take three or more months to obtain, depending on the complexity of the controls involved and the ability of the firm's counsel to deal with the legal requirements. As experience with these procedures expands and the process becomes routine the required time may be expected to decrease. Prompt application for IRS approval can ensure that this factor does not delay application of controls. It appears that the use of industrial bonds by large corporations stems not from a need for financial assistance but simply from the fact that they are available and economical. Large firms with substantial power to influence the market prices for their products may reasonably expect to recoup most or all of the cost of air pollution control through higher prices. Their normal sources of investment funds, either internally generated or raised in the money market, would be adequate to the needs. By availing themselves of the industrial revenue bond option, however, they can realize substantial savings. Medium sized firms, which may need to borrow in the range of $500,000-$l,000,000 may also avail themselves of the savings to be had by using industrial revenue bonds. Firms with bond ratings of BBB or better may sell their bonds to municipal bond trusts or through direct placement to large lenders. Special arrangements will have to be worked out if small firms are to receive the benefits of interest savings through industrial 3 ------- revenue bonds. One method under consideration in several states is the so-called bond bank. Under this arrangement a State may issue a large tax exempt bond and use the proceeds to establish a "bank" from which small firms may borrow at advantageous interest rates to finance control investments. A similar plan that has been suggested is for a number of firms to pool their funds requirements, forming a consortium that would offer one large bond issue for sale. Most smaller firms will finance pollution control through bank credit. Inquiries to banks in major financial centers across the country revealed that despite the fact that pollution control investments generally do not generate added revenue, banks were quite willing to lend money for such projects to companies meeting normal credit standards. Bankers expressed a sense of community obligation to provide funds for such needs. Two banks contacted offered preferential interest rates for pollution control expenditures, i.e., firms would pay interest rates from 1/2 to 2 percentage points lower than would be charged for normal loans. A major bank in New York has even advertised its willingness to lend at preferential rates for pollution control and has lent 22 million dollars to landlords at these prime rates for the control of fossil fuel combustion sources where N.Y.C. enforcement has been stringent. Although the bank has additional funds allocated to finance other pollution control investment, it reports that there has not been much activity thus far. A similar lack of present demand for bank loans for pollution control was found in other major financial centers across the country. Many banks queried had little experience in loans specifically earmarked for pollution control expenditures. However, all indicated a willingness to lend money based on a solid balance sheet. It appears that few smaller firms have yet made attempts to finance pollution control expenditures, but one can conclude that, given general credit availability, smaller firms with good credit ratings should have no difficulty in procuring funds. Firms that are not financially sound are not likely to receive bank loans for pollution control or for any other capital expenditure. 4 ------- The Small Business Administration (SBA) is empowered to lend money to smaller firms for pollution control and they are willing to accept higher risk loans but could not comment as to the extent. In the final analysis, however, "the loan is given on the assumption that it will be repaid." The Small Business Association of New England (SBANE) has said that it expects the SBA to be the major source of funds for smaller business in New England. One other source of funds for control investment is retained profits. Some firms with relatively modest investment requirements will be able to avoid borrowing entirely, if they so choose. Their only problem, therefore, will be to manage their cash flow in such a way V as to be able to make the required outlays. SECTION 3 HOW FIRMS OBLIGATE FUNDS Assuming that investment funds are available, the next question is whether the internal procedures through which a firm budgets and appropriates funds may impair its ability to meet the schedule for compliance with air pollution controls. This study has uncovered no evidence that this would be so. It does appear that a good many firms may have to change their investment plans in ways they would prefer to avoid, but this is not to say that such changes cannot be accomplished within the times available under compliance schedules. Capital budgeting is usually done one to three years in advance in medium and large size corporations. These plans for investment expenditures are drawn by operating divisions, including subsidiaries in many instances, and consolidated in a corporate budget that is subject to approval by the board of directors. The budget is normally subject to review and revision on a monthly or quarterly basis by a budget or executive committee representing the directors and corporate officers. Recommendations for revisions are submitted by the operating units of the firm and adjusted to broader corporate policy by the 5 ------- committee. Actual commitment of funds and authorization of expenditures is accomplished by the corporate financial officers. The capital budget is a flexible long run plan subject to frequent revision and adaptation to short run neccesities. Faced with requirements for implementing air pollution controls by a specified date, corporations are capable of modifying their investment plans to accommodate these requirements. Not uncommonly, this may require postponement of other planned investment in order to stay below a desired ceiling on debt or to avoid an excessive cash flow. Internal management of investment and financial control is undoubted]y complex, but firms can obligate available funds and revise investment plans rapidly any time prior to the time when actual contractual commitments are made. In the compliance process discussed in the Technical Guide for Review and Evaluation of Compliance Schedules for Air Pollution Sources this step of obligation of funds comes after preliminary planning and up to 30 months before completion of control installations. It is difficult to conceive of a firm's financial management system that could not make the necessary decisions and provide the funds required within the time frames indicated for compliance. This conclusion should hold for small unincorporated firms as well as larger corporations and complex firms. The situation is much the same for governmental units required to comply with pollution controls, such as municipalities. As is indicated elsewhere, the primary problem for governments may be in getting authority to borrow required funds. Once this has been done and the loan or bond issue established, the funds can be obligated by action of the appropriate board or administrator. While government procedures are often somewhat more ponderous than their business counterparts, there does not appear to be any reason why government action to obligate available funds would delay compliance. 6 ------- SECTION 4 SPECIAL PROBLEMS OF SMALL FIRMS As indicated in this report, it is anticipated that small firms will be the ones that may have difficulty arranging funds for air pollution control investment and that they may be most adversely affected by the financial impact of control requirements. Several studies have been made of the extent to which air pollution control costs may be expected to cause small firms to go out of business. The Institute * of Public Administration reported that without some form of subsidy, as many as 350 gray iron foundries and 13 cement plants might be forced to close rather than assume abatement costs. Another study, by J. A. Commins and Associates is reported to Indicate that a number of the smallest firms in the asphalt batching, grain handling and milling, gray iron foundry, lime, and secondary nonferrous metal industries would be unable to finance air pollution control costs. That report recommends group buying of control equipment as a means of reducing the cost burden that may force small firms to close. Other problems also affect small firm financing. Firms that are both new and small may not have established credit sufficient for the investment required to meet control standards. Also small firms in widely dispersed and highly competitive industries may not be able to convince local banks that loan repayment is feasible. Such small firms cannot demonstrate ability to raise prices independently, although market prices may well rise as all firms in the industry incur increased costs for pollution control. Until the market reacts, however, local banks may not be convinced that individual firms will be able to recover control costs through higher prices and may be unwilling to make loans for control purposes. * Institute of Public Administration, Pollution Abatement and Unemployment: A Methodological Study. Washington, D. C., 1972, Chapter 5. ** "Group Buying to Reduce Air Pollution Costs for Small Plants," J.A. Commins and Associates. Summarized in Air/Water Pollution Reports, April 9, 1973, pp. 147-8. 7 ------- SECTION 5 PUBLIC UTILITIES Those outside the industry may wonder whether public utilities and other regulated firms would have special problems in connection with the financing of air pollution controls. The answer is that, in raising and obligating funds, their procedures are not essentially different from those of other corporations. It is true that they may be required by law to place their bond issues through open bids rather than by direct placement and the bond indentures may be somewhat more complex and restrictive, but on the other hand their bonds are frequently easier to sell because they are regulated and may be better able to sustain long run profits than some nonregulated firms. The problems of public utilities are connected with the determination of the extent to which pollution controls costs are represented in the rate base and similar problems covered by actions of the regulatory authorities, rather than in the financing of controls. There is frequently a substantial lag between the time that investments are made and the time that rate adjustments are completed. The utility must submit an application to the state and/or Federal regulatory body for new rates designed to provide the legal "fair rate of return." The proceedings require the submission of detailed data by the utility, lengthy examination of these data by the commission staff and, frequently, extended negotiations to determine the accuracy and applicability of specific items. Although the principle is well established that control costs may appropriately be included in calculating the cost base for rate determinations, these like all other costs are subject to audit and interpretation in the actual proceedings. To this extent, pollution control costs are not different from other utility costs as a basis for rate determination. The same procedural delays apply. 8 ------- SECTION 6 MUNICIPALITIES Municipalities that must install controls on municipally owned incinerators or steam-electric plants may experience difficulties that will not affect private corporations. These include both potential problems of budgeting and capital planning as well as funds acquisition. There are differences among municipalities, as well, depending on their size, relative wealth, and their financing history. It is difficult to generalize about municipal finance due to many influential factors including public attitudes, political structure, quality of management, present and past financial problems, variations in procedures and legal authorizations, and other structural, institutional, and historical aspects. Each municipality trends to be unique in some way. On the other hand, it is nearly impossible to use specific munici- palities as models for an analysis such as this without making a fairly comprehensive and, therefore, expensive .study of each. The following discussion, hopefully, is indicative of the problems involved in implementation of air pollution control, but not necessarily definitive. Many municipal facilities are operated by separate, quasi-independent departments or agencies, with power over their own finances separate from the general municipal budget and appropriation functions. Such an agency with a source of revenue, as for instance a municipal generating station, can issue revenue bonds and finance control investment much like a private utility. If, however, a facility such as an incinerator is run by a department subject to the general municipal financial controls, issuance of bonds or other borrowing for control investment may require approval of the legislative branch of city government. Such action is sometimes caught up in politics or enmeshed in other city problems with resulting unpredictable delays. If the planned municipal bond issue is to be of the general obligation type it may exceed the municipalities bond limit and require state action to raise the limit before the municipality 9 ------- can act. In some instances such bonds may require voter approval. In either case, substantial and unpredictable delays are possible. It is to be expected that municipalities that already have severe financial problems, as do so many, both large and small, will be those experiencing difficulty in complying with control requirements. SECTION 7 EFFECT OF TIGHT MONEY As this report was written (Summer 1973) it appeared that the current inflation and the attempts to control it would lead to a period of very tight credit and high interest rates, possibly lasting into 1974. Without attempting to forecast conditions in the money market it is, nevertheless, important to consider what the potential impact would be of sharply increased costs for pollution control equipment, construction, and capital acquisition, possibly accompanied by a shortage of investment funds. A tight money situation persisting through the period in which implementation of controls is required could mean that firms would have to borrow at higher interest rates and that their capital budgets, for other investments as well as for controls, would be significantly affected. It could also mean that some firms, which were marginally able to quality for loans, would not be able to satisfy lenders that they would be able to pay the higher interest. Such firms would then be refused loans. Finally, very tight money could result in some form of credit rationing by lenders, resulting in a certain number of firms that are not marginal borrowers still being unable to obtain sufficient funds. Increased interest costs will pose real problems for some firms. A doubling of interest rates over their 1972 levels could mean an Increase in the range of 5 to 20 percent in the average annual cost of controls for firms In various industries, depending on the relative significance of that cost compared to labor, power, and other annual 10 ------- cost elements. A somewhat larger number of firms therefore may be unable to stay in business and those that are viable will experience lower profits. This situation, in itself, will not affect the ability of firms to meet compliance schedules, although it may encourage some firms to delay compliance as long as possible. Those that face the probability of shutdown or merger may also seek delays through variances. This may be most significant in the gray iron, cement, asphalt, and coking industries where a number of firms are threatened even at lower costs. The potential problem of loan refusal is somewhat different. Those firms going the bond route will probably find buyers for bonds if the interest rate is high enough, especially where direct placement is the vehicle. The problem arises much more commonly for firms seeking bank loans. However, banks do not actually ration money among borrowers except in instances of extreme credit stringency. What does happen is that banks become more strict in their evaluation of prospective borrowers as the money supply tightens. Firms may be forced to shop around to find a bank that will lend to them. The poorer the credit rating of a firm the more difficulty it may have in finding a willing lender. During periods of tight money, each bank will tend to ration its available funds by being stricter in its loan requirements and turning down some applications it would have accepted when the market was easier. Thus marginal borrowers become subinarginal. These are probably the smaller and weaker firms in all industries. Data are not readily available, if they exist at all, with which to specify the numbers of firms in each industry that might fall in this category. It should be noted, also, that considerable pressure may be brought to bear on banks to supply funds for control investment. Such pressure is to be expected from banking authorities, air pollution control authorities, government executives, industry and labor organizations, and public opinions. The actions already taken by some banks to advertise special terns for control loans may be a reflection of their awareness of the public relations value of meeting this demand. 11 ------- Difficulties in finding a lender may cause some delays for specific firms, in arranging financing for their control investments. However, it seems most unlikely that this would lead to any serious inability to meet prescribed compliance schedules. 12 ------- |