ReVA-MAIA Conference:
USING SCIENCE TO ASSESS
ENVIRONMENTAL VULNERABILITIES
ReV A-MAIA
May 13-15, 2003
Hilton Valley Forge
United States
I— \*~i\ Environmental Protection
Mam I	Agency

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ReVA MAIA Conference
Using Science to Assess Environmental Vulnerabilities
Hilton Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA
May 13 -15,2003
~ Agenda ~
Monday
May 12, 2003
4:00 - 6:00pm Conference Organizing Committee Meeting
5:00 - 9:00pm Registration Table
7:00 - 9:00pm Networking Dinner
Closed meeting
Grand Ballroom Foyer
Washington Suite A
List of Acronyms on page 15
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ReVA MA1A Conference
Tuesday	May 13, 2003
7:00 - 2:00 Registration	Grand Ballroom Foyer
7:00-8:30 Continental Breakfast	Grand Ballroom Foyer
8:30 - 8:45 Welcome, Overview and Goals of Conference
Donald S. Welsh, Regional Administrator, U.S. EPA, Region 3,
Philadelphia, PA
8:45 - 9:15 Invited Keynote Address	Grand Ballroom
Planning and Environmental Science: Closing the Gap
William R. Klein, A1CP, Director of Research, APA, Chicago, IL
Session One	Grand Ballroom
Assessing Current Impacts and Vulnerabilities
M. Patricia Bradley and Peter R. Claggett, Moderators
9:15 - 9:30 Introduction by M. Patricia Bradley
U.S. EPA, ORD, MAIA, Ft. Meade, MD
9:30 - 9:50 Regional-Scale Ground-Water Vulnerability Assessments in the
Mid-Atlantic Region Based on Statistical Probability Models
Earl A. Greene, USGS, Baltimore, MD
9:50 -10:10 Assessing Wetland Condition on a Watershed Basis in the Mid-Atlantic
Region Using Synoptic Land Cover Maps
Robert P. Brooks, Pennsylvania State University, Cooperative Wetlands Center,
University Park, PA
10:10 -10:30 Evaluating Shoreline Condition at Different Spatial Scales - Implications as
an Ecological Indicator
Marcia R. Berman, Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences, Gloucester Point, VA
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break
11:00 - 11:20 Using Regional Models to Assess the Relative Effects of Stressors on
Stream Ecological Integrity
Lester L. Yuan, U.S. EPA, ORD, Washington, DC
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ReVA MAIA Conference
11:20 - 11:40 Invasive Species: An Important Stressor in the Mid-Atlantic Area
Daniel A. Kluza, U.S. EPA, ORD, Washington, DC
11:40 - 12:00 Environmental Indicators for Water Quality and Aquatic Ecosystem
Management: Interviews of Government Officials in the Atlantic Slope
M. Jennison Kipp, Pennsylvania State University, Atlantic Slope Consortium,
University Park, PA
12:00 -2:00 Lunch - Ticket Required	Jefferson Room
Invited Speaker: Rochelle Araujo
U.S. EPA, Acting Associate Director for Ecology, ORD, NERL, Research
Triangle Park, NC
2:00 - 2:20 Identification of Lands Important for Protecting Water Quality and
Watershed Integrity in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed
Albert Todd, USDA, Forest Service, Northeastern Area State and Private
Forestry, Annapolis, MD
2:20 - 2:40 Landscape Ecological Assessment of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed
Ted Weber, Maryland Department of Natural Resources, Annapolis, MD
2:40 - 3:00 The Effect of Broad-Scale Habitat Condition on the Location and Quality
of Migratory Bird Pathways
Roger Tankersley, Jr., Tennessee Valley Authority, Norris, TN
3:00 - 3:20 SmartConservation™ - An Opportunity to Integrate ReVA/MAIA with a
'Bottom Up' Conservation Assessment Web-Tool
Clare Billett, Natural Lands Trust, Media, PA
3:20 - 3:50 Break
3:50 - 4:10 Exploring Connections Between Ecological Conditions and Human Health:
County-Level Aggregation for Maryland
John F. Paul, U.S. EPA, ORD, Research Triangle Park, NC
4:10 - 4:30 Connecting Socio-Economic Well-Being to Regional Scale Ecological
Assessments
Lisa A. Wainger, King & Associates, Solomons, MD
4:30 - 5:10 ReVA's Web-Based Application: A Tool to Facilitate Environmental
Decision-Making
Michael O'Cornell, Waratah Corporation, Durham, NC
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ReVA MA1A Conference
5:10 - 5:45 Moderated Discussion, Question and Answer Period
Facilitated by Kent Thornton, FTN Associates, Ltd., Little Rock, AR
6:00 - 8:00 Poster Session reception with cash bar and light hors d=oeuvres
Grand Ballroom Foyer
List of Posters on page ten
• • • Dinner on your own • • •
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ReVA MAIA Conference
Wednesday	May 14, 2003
7:00 - 2:00 Registration	Grand Ballroom Foyer
Session Two	Grand Ballroom
Forecasting Environmental Condition and Vulnerabilities
Elizabeth Smith and John F. Paul, Moderators
9:00 - 9:10 Introduction by Elizabeth Smith
U.S. EPA, ORD, ReVA Program, Research Triangle Park, NC
9:10 - 9:30 Modeling Heat and Air Quality Impacts of Changing Urban Land Uses and
Climate
Joyce E. Rosenthal, Columbia University, New York City, NY
9:30 - 9:50 Life-History Traits and Landscape Patterns: Predicting Population
Persistence in the Mid-Atlantic Region
Joshua L. Lawler, U.S. EPA, NRC, Corvallis, OR
9:50 -10:10 Vulnerability of Mid-Atlantic Forested Watersheds to Timber Harvest
Disturbance
Rex H. Schaberg, North Carolina State University, Department of Forestry,
Raleigh, NC
10:10 - 10:30 SmartConservation™: Automating a Conservation Value Assessment
Model for Southeast Pennsylvania
Robert M. Cheetham, Avencia, Inc., Philadelphia, PA
10:30- 11:00 Break
11:00 - 11:20 Scenario Analysis for the San Pedro River, Analyzing Hydrological
Consequences for a Future Environment
William Kepner, U.S. EPA, ORD, Las Vegas, NV
11:20 - 11:40 Environmental Influences on Genetic Diversity of Creek Chubs in the Mid-
Atlantic Region of the USA
Mark J. Bagley, U.S. EPA, Ecological Exposure Research Division, Cincinnati,
OH
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ReVA MA1A Conference
11:40 - 12:00 Assessing the Vulnerability of Resource Lands in the Chesapeake Bay
Watershed
Peter R. Claggett, USGS, Chesapeake Bay Program, Annapolis, MD
Claire A. Jantz, University of Maryland, Department of Geography, College
Park, MD
12:00 - 12:20 The Effect of Land-Cover Change on Nutrient Export Variance
James D. Wickham, U.S. EPA, ORD, Research Triangle Park, NC
12:20-2:00 Lunch: Ticket Required	Jefferson Room
Invited Speaker: Ann Bartuska
Executive Director, Invasive Species Initiative, The Nature Conservancy and
President, Ecological Society of America, Arlington, VA
2:00 - 2:30 Making a Difference: Climate Impacts Assessment and Advances in
Regional Resource Management
Joel D. Scheraga, U.S. EPA, ORD, Washington, DC
2:30 - 2:50 Urban Areas and Contributions to Regional Environmental Quality
Steward T. A. Pickett, Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY
2:50 - 3:10 Web Data Presentation and Analysis - Made Easy?
Intertwining Technology, Environmental Evaluation, and Culture
Cynthia Curtis, U.S. EPA, Region 5, Chicago, IL
3:10 - 3:30 A Site Prioritization Procedure for Monitoring Plots: Combining
Ecological and Social Criteria
Lome P. Bennett, University of Guelph, Department of Geography, Guelph,
Ontario, Canada
3:30 - 4:00 Break
4:00 - 4:20 Modeling and Multiobjective Risk Decision Tools for Assessment and
Management of Ecosystems
Benjamin F. Hobbs, John Hopkins University, Department of Geography and
Environmental Engineering, Baltimore, MD
4:20 - 4:40 Building a Regional Monitoring Framework: Integrating Local Programs
and the Ontario Niagara Escarpment Monitoring Program
Robert Milne, Wilfrid Laurier University, Department of Geography and
Environmental Studies, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
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ReVA MAIA Conference
4:40 - 5:00 Environmental Impacts of Dispersed Development from Federal
Infrastructure Projects
Mark T. Southerland, Versar, Inc., Columbia, MD
5:00-5:30 Moderated Discussion, Question and Answer Period
Facilitated by Kent Thornton, FTN Associates, Ltd., Little Rock, AR
• • • Dinner on your own • • •
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ReVA MAI A Conference
Thursday	May 15, 2003
Session Three	Grand Ballroom
Developing Management Strategies to Optimize the Future
Jeffrey Frithsen, Moderator
9:00 - 9:20 Introduction by Jeffrey Frithsen
U.S. EPA, ORD, Washington, DC
9:20 - 9:40 Sustainable Environment for Quality of Life (SEQL): Charlotte Region=s
Integrated Environmental Initiative
Eric Ginsburg, U.S. EPA, Emissions Monitoring and Analysis Division,
Research Triangle Park, NC
9:40 - 10:00 Sustainability Indicators as a Communicative Tool - Building Bridges in
Pennsylvania
Kathi K. Beratan, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences,
Duke University, Durham, NC
10:00 - 10:20 Strategic Partnership to Assess State-Level Vulnerabilities: Highlights of
the Maryland DNR - ReVA Cooperative Agreement
Bill Jenkins, Maryland Department of Natural Resources, Annapolis, MD
10:20 - 10:40 Criteria for Prioritization of Ecosystem Restoration
Barbara H. Wilson, Dynamac Corporation, Ada, OK
Eric E. Jorgensen, U.S. EPA, ORD, Ada, OK
10:40-11:10 Break
11:10 -11:30 Geospatial Data for Environmental Assessments and Vulnerability Studies
John M. Morgan, III, Towson University, Center for Geographic Information
Sciences, Towson, MD
11:30 - 11:50 Using the Mike 11 Hydrologic Model to Delineate Flood Prone Areas
in Smithfield, WV
Edward A. Watson, Canaan Valley Institute, Davis, WV
11:50- 12:10 The Mid-Atlantic Highlands Action Program: Transforming the Legacy
Jennifer Newland, Canaan Valley Institute, Davis, WV
12:10 - 12:30 Assessing the Effectiveness of Restoration Technologies
Elise A. Striz, U.S. EPA, ORD, Ada, OK
12:30-2:00	• • • Lunch on your own • • •
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ReVA MA1A Conference
Thursday	May 15, 2003
Session Four:	Grand Ballroom
Assessing and Responding to Environmental Vulnerability:
A Panel Discussion
2:00 - 4:00 Facilitated Panel Discussion
The panel speakers represent a variety of potential ReVA clientele and perspectives. Panel
questions will be generated from conference presentations and discussions, planning committee
requests and the audience. Please attend the panel discussion to hear a synthesis of what was
presented at the conference. Discussions may encompass technology tools and strategies to
improve environmental decision-making.
Panel speakers include:
Bill Jenkins Director, Watershed Management and Analysis Division, Maryland
Department of Natural Resources, Annapolis, MD
Vicki Binetti Associate Director, Office of Municipal Assistance, Region 3, U.S. EPA,
Philadelphia, PA
Clare Billett Landscape Conservation Program Manager, Natural Lands Trust, Media, PA
We look forward to your attendance and participation.
Panel Discussion Facilitated by Kent Thornton, FTN Associates, Ltd.
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ReVA MAI A Conference
Tuesday
May 13, 2003
List of Posters
6:00 - 8:00
Grand Ballroom Foyer
Linking Land Use to Larval Walleye Survival
Richard M. Anderson, NRC Research Associate, Baltimore, MD
Montgomery County, Maryland Uses Biological Monitoring to Better Understand and
Manage Watersheds
Brenda Ortigoza Bateman, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Rockville, MD
Innovative Environmental Education Contributes to Improved Management Practices in
the Mid-Atlantic
M. Patricia Bradley, U.S. EPA, ORD, MAI A, Ft. Meade, MD
Eric S. Walbeck, TPMC, Ft. Meade, MD
Key Messages from an Emergy Analysis of West Virginia
Daniel E. Campbell, U.S. EPA, ORD, Narragansett, RI
A Regional Perspective on Ambient Monitoring Reassessment and Analysis
Alice H. Chow, U.S. EPA, Region 3, Philadelphia, PA
Watersheds and Wetlands: Large-Scale Disturbances and Small Scale Responses
Charles Andrew Cole, Pennsylvania State University, Cooperative Wetlands Center, State
College, PA
Calvert County Maryland's Success at Controlling Sprawl
Robert Costanza, University of Vermont, School of Natural Resources, Burlington, VT
A Small Watershed Characterization, Classification, and Assessment for West Virginia
Utilizing EMAP Design and Tools
Naomi E. Detenbeck, U.S. EPA, ORD, Duluth, MN
June Bugs Invade Links: Pesticide Use Reduction with Geographic Information Systems
Jill A. Engle-Cox, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD
A Bayes Likelihood Information Theoretic Approach for the Exogenous Aggregation of
Regional Ground Water Quality Data
Barton R. Faulkner, U.S. EPA, ORD, Ada, OK
A Regional Approach to Projecting Land-Use Change and Resulting Ecological
Vulnerability
Laura E. Jackson, U.S. EPA, ORD, Research Triangle Park, NC
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ReVA MA1A Conference
Mapping and Modeling Land Use Change in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed: Utilizing
Impervious Surface Maps to Assess Environmental Vulnerabilities
Claire A. Jantz, University of Maryland, Department of Geography, College Park, MD
Selecting Vital Sign Indicators for the National Capitol Network
Marcus Koenen, National Park Service, Washington, DC
An Overview of Data Integration Methods for Regional Assessment
Nicholas W. Locantore, Waratah Corporation, Durham, NC
Can Landscape Characteristics of Watersheds Help Find Impaired Bottom Communities
in Estuaries?
Matthew C. Nicholson, U.S. EPA, ORD, Narragansett, RI
Strategic Planning and Indicators for Targeting Environmental Outcomes
Richard Paiste, U.S. EPA, Region 3, Philadelphia, PA
Impacts of Anthropogenic Nitrogen Deposition on Forest Carbon Sequestration and N
Dynamics in the Mid-Atlantic Region
Yude Pan, USDA, Forest Service, Newton Square, PA
Empirical, Geographically-Based Water Quality Criteria Development Using Conditional
Probabilities: A Proposed Approach with Application to Sediments in Mid-Atlantic
Streams
John F. Paul, U.S. EPA, ORD, Research Triangle Park, NC
Contaminant Exposure and Effects Terrestrial Vertebrates Database: Analysis for the
Northeast
Barnett A. Rattner, USGS, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, MD
Waquoit Bay Watershed Ecological Risk Assessment: Using Science to Support
Management
Victor B. Serveiss, U.S. EPA, ORD, Washington, DC
Watershed Planning and Restoration in an Urbanized County
Steven L. Stewart, Baltimore County, Maryland, Department of Environmental Protection and
Resource Management, Towson, MD
A Fuzzy Decision Analysis Method for Regional Environmental Assessment of the
Mid-Atlantic Region
Liem T. Tran, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Environmental Science, University
Park, PA
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ReVA MAI A Conference
An Integrated Framework for Uncertainty Analysis in Regional Environmental Assessment
Liem T. Tran, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Environmental Science, University
Park, PA
CrEAM: Getting the Best Ecosystems to Float to the Top
Mary L. White, U.S. EPA, Region 5, Chicago, IL
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ReVA MAIA Conference
Biosketches for Invited Speakers:
Donald Welsh
U.S. EPA
Regional Administrator, Region 3
Mr. Welsh returns to the Agency's Region 3 office where he worked as Chief of Government Affairs from
1991 to 1995 and Executive Assistant to the Regional Administrator from 1985 to 1991. He will manage
Agency programs in Delaware, the District of Columbia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West
Virginia. Mr. Welsh has been Deputy Secretary for State/Federal Relations of the Pennsylvania
Department of Environmental Protection since August 1997 and served as special assistant to the Secretary
for two years prior to that. In both jobs he was involved in direct relationships with the federal EPA. Mr.
Welsh is an alumnus of the University of Pennsylvania.
William R. Klein, AICP
American Planning Association
Director of Research
Mr. Klein joined the American Planning Association as research director in 1991. He directs a team of 18
research professionals in APA's Chicago office. Mr. Klein came to the field of community and regional
planning via an educational concentration in sociology, environmental psychology, and urban affairs. For
the first five years of his career, he was Director of Community Development for Local Government
Research Corporation (1969-74). LGR was a private research organization providing a wide variety of
research services to municipalities, councils of government, counties, regions, and state government. For
17 years (1974 to 1991), Mr. Klein served as Director of the Nantucket Planning & Economic
Development Commission, a regional planning agency of Massachusetts. His tenure there gave him a
unique opportunity to do comprehensive planning in a place that was often a leader in growth
management, economic development, land conservation, historic preservation, and affordable housing.
From 1990 to 1991 Mr. Klein was a Loeb Fellow in Advanced Environmental Studies at Harvard
University's Graduate School of Design. He holds a B.A. in liberal arts (sociology and anthropology) from
Colgate University (1969) and a master's degree in regional planning from Pennsylvania State University
(1971).
Ann Bartuska
Executive Director, Invasive Species Initiative
The Nature Conservancy
President, Ecological Society of America
Ms. Bartuska is Executive Director, Invasive Species Initiative for The Nature Conservancy (TNC). She is
an ecosystem ecologist with degrees from B.S. in Biology from Wilkes College in 1975, a M.S. in Botany
from Ohio University in 1977, and a Ph.D. in Biology from West Virginia University in 1981. She was a
research program manager at North Carolina State University for the National Acid Precipitation
Assessment Program (NAPAP) and has spent the last 14 years with the US Forest Service in positions
managing research, protecting our forest lands from insects and diseases, and overseeing the vegetation
management efforts of the FS. Prior to joining TNC, she was Director of Forest and Rangelands for the
Forest Service, responsible for the vegetation management activities of 192 million acres of public
land. She is active in the Ecological Society of America, serving as Vice-President for Public Affairs from
1996 - 1999, and became President-Elect in August, 2001.
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ReVA MAI A Conference
Conference Organizers
Elizabeth Smith
Patricia Bradley
Jeffrey Frithsen
Joseph Williams
Jennifer Newland
John F. Paul
Elise Striz
Ronald Landy
Peter Claggett
Sarah Voorhees
U.S. EPA, NERL, Research Triangle Park, NC
U.S. EPA, MAIA, Ft. Meade, MD
U.S. EPA, ORD, Washington, DC
U.S. EPA, Ground Water and Ecosystem Restoration Division,
ORD, NRMRL, OK
Canaan Valley Institute, Davis, WV
U.S. EPA, ORD, Research Triangle Park, NC
U.S. EPA, Ground Water and Ecosystem Restoration Division,
ORD, NRMRL, OK
U.S. EPA, ORD, Ft. Meade, MD
USGS, Chesapeake Bay Program, Annapolis, MD
TPMC, Scituate, MA
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ReVA MAI A Conference
List of Acronyms
AICP
American Institute of Certified Planners
APA
America Planning Association
EMAP
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program
MALA
Mid-Atlantic Integrated Assessment
NOAA
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
NERL
National Exposure Research Lab
NERS
Northeastern Research Station
NPS
National Park Service
NRMRL
National Risk Management Research Laboratory
NRC
National Research Council
OAR
Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research
ORD
Office of Research and Development
ReVA
Regional Vulnerability Assessment
TNC
The Nature Conservancy
TPMC
Technology Planning and Management Corporation
U.S. EPA
United States Environmental Protection Agency
USD A
United States Department of Agriculture
USGS
United States Geological Survey
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