EPA-904/9-78-010 CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA AIR QUALITY MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND ANALYSIS ANNEX: ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY REGION IV 345 COURTLAND STREET ATLANTA, GEORGIA 30308 ------- EPA 904/9-78-010 CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA AIR QUALITY MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND ANALYSIS ANNEX: ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS CONTRACT NO. 68-02-1380 TASK ORDER 12 Submitted to U. S. Environmental Protection Agency- Region IV, 345 Courtland Street Atlanta, Georgia 30308 Submitted by Engineering-Science 7903 Westpark Drive McLean, Virginia 22102 r .crfio® ^ kgenc} June 13, 1978 ------- TECHNICAL REPORT DATA (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing) 1. REPORT NO. EPA 904/9-78-010 2. 3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO. . TITLE AND SUBTITLE Charleston, South Carolina Air Quality Maintenance Planning and Analysis:Annex: Analysis of Industrial Prpcess Fugitive Emissions 5. REPORT DATE June 13. 1978 6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION COOE 7. AUTHOR(S) Glenn T. Reed 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO. 9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND AODRESS Engineering-Science 7903 Westpark Drive McLean, Virginia 22102 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO. Task Order 12 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO. 68-02-1380 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Region IV, 345 Courtland Street Atlanta, Georgia 30308 13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED 14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE 15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 6. ABSTRACT In a report published earlier (EPA 904/9-77-013), the results of air quality dispersion modeling for Charleston, South Carolina were presented. To improve these results, additional modeling was done using data for industrial process fugitive par- ticulate emissions. Including these emission estimates was shown to significantly improve the modeling results. Sensitivity analysis of the emissions estimates was used to obtain a probable range of emissions estimates. The Air Quality Display Model (AQDM) was the model used. 7. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS a. DESCRIPTORS b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS c. COSATI Field/Group I Air Pollution Air Quality Maintenance Suspended Particulates Air Quality Modeling Fugitive Emissions 18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT Release Unlimited 19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report) Unclassified 21. NO. OF PAGES I 11 20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage) Unclassified 22. PRICE 1 EPA Form 2220-1 (R«v. 4-77) previous edition is obsolete i ------- INSTRUCTIONS 1. REPORT NUMBER Insert the EPA report number as it appears on the cover of the publication. 2. LEAVE BLANK 3. RECIPIENTS ACCESSION NUMBER Reserved for use by each report recipient. 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Title should indicate clearly and briefly the subject coverage of the report, and be displayed prominently. Set subtitle, if used, in smaller type or otherwise subordinate it to main title. 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EPA Form 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77) (Revers.) ------- TABLE OF CONTENTS Page ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS 1 EMISSIONS i INITIAL MODELING RESULTS 4 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 7 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 9 LIST OF TABLES TABLE 1 INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS IN CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA 2 TABLE 2 SOURCE CONTRIBUTIONS TO MONITORING SITES FROM FUGITIVE EMISSIONS 5 TABLE 3 SOURCE CONTRIBUTION TO MONITORING STATIONS FROM SELECTED SOURCE TYPES 6 TABLE 4 RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSES 8 ii ------- ANNEX ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS In an earlier effort, area and point sources of particulate emissions in Charleston, South Carolina were modeled using Air Quality Display Model (AQDM). Seven monitoring sites were used in this earlier analysis to calibrate the model. Predicted air quality compared well with observed TSP concentrations at all but two of these monitoring sites: Meeting Street - Pittsburgh Avenue and State Ports Authority. A major conclusion of that effort was that these two sites were being influenced by substantial low level sources near each site* An inspection program was undertaken to identify and quantify fugitive emissions from industrial sources that might be responsible for high TSP concentrations at these two sites. EMISSIONS The inspection reports from this effort were reviewed to identify sources and emissions not included in the original modeling effort. Reports were available for the W. R. Grace Co., Koppers Co., Etiwan Fertilizer, Ford's Redi-Mix, Bird & Sons, Airco Alloys, State Ports Authority ( a grain elevator not previously included in the point source inventory), Charleston Naval Shipyard, and Westvaco. Estimates of fugitive emissions were included in the reports for W. R. Grace Co., Koppers Co., Airco Alloys, and Westvaco. For the other plants, fugitive emission sources were identified and process throughputs given. Emission factors from Technical Guidance for Control of Industrial Process Fugitive Emissions (EPA Publication No. 450/3-77-010) were used to estimate emissions from these sources. A summary of emissions by plant and by source is given in Table 1. In addition, a 100 ton per year area source northwest of the Meeting Street - Pittsburgh Avenue site was modeled to obtain possible contributions from unpaved roads in that area upon the monitor. 1 ------- TABLE 1 INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS IN CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA PLANT SOURCE EMISSIONS (TONS/YEAR) W. R. Grace Co." Koppers Co." Etiwan Fertilizer Ford's Redi-Mix Swift Agricultural Chemicals Birds & Sons Airco Alloys Loading NSP Screening NSP Conveying and storing NSP Second loading NSP Bagging NSP Bulk loading NSP Yard traffic Total Lumber milling Yard traffic Total Unloading fertilizer ^ Screening and bagging Total Storage piles Yard traffic Total Open Emission Sources Ore unloading Ore storage Crushing, batching & delivery to the furnace Product screening ESP dust disposal Total Building Vent Emission Sources Tapping Pouring & cooling Slag storate Bed breaking Total 11 2 1 5 4 8 0.6 31.6 10 10 16 16 29 29 20 79 39 4 16 158 33 127 13 4_ 181 2 ------- TABLE 1 (CONTINUED^ INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSIONS IN CHARLESTON. SOUTH CAROLINA PLANT SOURCE EMISSIONS (TONS/YEAR) State Ports Authority (Grain Elevator) Charleston Naval Shipyard Westvaco^" Elevated Sources Grain cleaning & screening Grain drying Transfer & conveying Total Ground Level Sources Truck unloading Railcar unloading Ship loading Rail loading Vehicle movement Yard traffic Total Dowtherm headers" Spray dryers. Yard traffic Total 142 58 57 257 78 22 209 9 12 42 372 1.5 16 7 24.5 Emissions estimates from "Source Inspections in Selected Region IV Non- Attainment Areas to Determine Capabilities of Reducing TSP Emissions". 2 3 4 5 6 No estimates made because of lack of data. Plant shut down. Estimated using throughputs from inspection reports and emission factors from Technical Guidance for Control of Industrial Process Fugitive Emissions (EPA-450/3-77-010). Should be included in point source inventory. Estimate not based on best emission factor. Using a better factor, the estimate would be less than 1 ton per year. 3 ------- INITIAL MODELING RESULTS These industrial process fugitive particulate emissions (IPFPE) were modeled using AQDM. The contributions from IPFPE were manually added to contributions from previously modeled emissions. The same meteorological data as used before were used to model these sources. The emissions at Airco were divided into open and building vent emissions. The emissions from the grain elevator at the State Ports Authority were divided into ground level emissions and elevated emissions. A release height of 100 ft. was used for the building vent emissions at Alloy and the elevated emissions at the State Ports Authority grain elevator. The release height used for the other sources was 10 feet unless similar sources in the point source inventory had higher heights. The additional emissions at Westvaco were not included because most of these emissions were from Dowtherm heaters and spray driers which should be included in the point source inventory. The estimate of yard traffic emissions at Westvaco (7 tons per year) was determined using the unpaved road emission factor even though all plant roads are paved. An independent estimate, using an emission factor developed for paved roads, was 0.38 tons per year. Because of this discrepancy, yard emissions at Westvaco were not modeled. An area of one (1.0) square kilometers was assigned to each fugitive source except that an area of two (2.0) square kilometers was used for the unpaved roads northwest of the Meeting Street - Pittsburgh Avenue site. Table 2 gives the concentration at each monitoring site which could be attributable to fugitive emission sources. The contributions range from 3 3 1 yg/m to 24 yg/m . In order to compare these contributions to those from other types of sources, see Table 3. A regression analysis was performed for the new modeling results. The resulting linear regression equation was: Y = -10.872 + 1.959X o The correlation index (R ) was 0.827. This equation represents an improve- ment over the original regression equation in that the Y-intercept was 4 ------- TABLE ? SOURCE CONTRIBUTIONS TO MONITORING SITES FROM FUGITIVE EMISSIONS1 (MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER) INDUSTRIAL PROCESS FUGITIVE EMISSION SOURCES MONITORING STATION W. R. GRACE KOPPERS BIRD ETIWAN & SONS AIRCO OPEN BLDG. GRND. SPA ELEV. UNPVD. RDS. TOTAL Bushy Park 0.1 - - 0.3 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 2.9 Charleston Health Dept. 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 3.7 James Island 0.1 - 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 2.1 Mount Pleasant - - - 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 Jenkins Street 0.1 - 0.1 0.3 0.4 3.9 2.6 0.2 7.7 Meeting St.- Pitts. Ave. 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 5.0 3.1 1.2 0.8 3.1 14.5 State Ports Authority 0.1 - 0.1 0.4 0.4 18.6 3.7 0.2 23.5 All values are annual arithmetic averages. ------- TABLE 3 SOURCE CONTRIBUTION TO MONITORING STATIONS FROM SELECTED SOURCE TYPES1 (MICROGRAMS PER CUBIC METER) ON TYPES OF SOURCES OBSERVED FUGITIVE POINT AND UNPAVED2 PAVED2 MONITORING STATIONS CONCENTRATIONS SOURCES AREA SRCS ROADS ROADS Bushy Park 48 3 27 16 3 Charleston Health Dept. 53 4 40 15 9 James Island 48 2 29 15 4 Mount Pleasant 37 1 23 14 2 Jenkins Street 57 8 40 15 6 Meeting St.-Pitts. Ave. 106 15 51 14 8 State Ports Authority 90 24 53 16 6 1 All values are annual arithmetic averages. 2 The emissions for paved and unpaved roads were adjusted. ------- reduced and the slope was brought nearer to 1.00. Yet, the results are still unsatisfactory because of the negative Y-intercept and the large slope. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS The emissions estimates for industrial process fugitive emissions are far from exact. Most of the emission factors are rated D or E on a scale of A-E with E being the least accurate factors. In addition, known fugitive emission sources, such as yard traffic, are still missing from the inventory. Thus, there is considerable latitude for testing the sensitivity of the TSP concentrations predicted by^AQDM to revisions in the industrial process fugitive emission estimates. Similar analyses have proven useful in the past for adjusting emission estimates for paved and unpaved roads. Usually, such adjustments can significantly improve calibration results. Because of the significant gradient in predicted concentrations between the various monitoring stations, it was felt that a sensitivity analysis might provide some useful insights into the TSP attainment problem in Charleston. A number of regression analyses were performed with varying multipliers of fugitive emissions estimates. Table A-4 shows the results of these analyses. As can be seen from this table, the regression coefficients can be significantly improved if the fugitive emission estimates are increased. In this case, quadrupling the emissions at Airco may be unsupportable based upon the inspection reports because reasonable emission factors appear to have been used. Yet, these estimates still do not include emissions from yard traffic. In the original effort, no emissions for unpaved roads were estimated for this area. The 100 tons per year used in this modeling exercise was an arbitrary value. No data exists to indicate that the emissions from unpaved roads could not be 400 tons per year. For the grain elevator, the emissions were calculated using emission factors in the middle of the broad range of factors. Were one to use the highest values in the range, the emissions estimates would be doubled. Although it appears reason- able that the actual emissions could be greater than those estimated, there is no conclusive evidence that they are. 7 ------- TABLE 4 RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSES ANALYSIS CONDITION Double all fugitive emission estimates Triple all fugitive emission estimates Multiply all fugitive emission estimates by a factor of 2.5 Double only the emissions for Airco and the unpaved roads near Meeting St.-Pitts. Ave. Triple only the emissions for Airco and the unpaved roads near Meeting St.-Pitts. Ave. Triple the emissions for Airco and the unpaved roads near Meeting St.- Pitts. Ave. and double the emissions from the SPA grain elevator Quadruple the emissions for Airco and the unpaved roads near Meeting St.- Pitts. Ave. and double the emissions from the SPA grain elevator CORRELATION Y-INTERCEPT SLOPE INDEX 9.007 1.175 0.839 18.470 0.821 0.826 14.482 0.967 0.839 -5.266 1.699 0.916 1.916 1.428 0.927 8.934 1.137 0.920 10.962 1.041 0.964 8 ------- CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS The following conclusions can be drawn from this analysis of industrial process fugitive emissions in Charleston, South Carolina: 1. Substantial improvements in calibration can be achieved by including estimates of industrial process fugitive emissions. 2. The TSP nonattainment problem in Charleston is limited to an area near the monitoring sites at Meeting Street and Pittsburgh Avenue and at the State Ports Authority. The violations may be primarily due to indistrial process fugitive emissions in the area. Yet, these emissions still are not adequately quantified. (The recommendations for quantifying these emissions which were given in the earlier report are still the best approach.) 3. If certain assumptions are made concerning the emission levels of certain fugitive sources, the AQDM can be calibrated for Charleston, South Carolina. Based upon these conclusions, it is recommended that DHEC continue to investi- gate methods for controlling industrial process fugitive emissions in Charles- ton. Further efforts to quantify these fugitive emissions could also prove useful to DHEC. Nothing in this analysis contradicts the earlier conclusions and recommendations. 9 ------- |