United States         Air and Radiation        EPA420-R-02-012
           Environmental Protection                  March 2002
           Agency                        M6.PM.001
vvEPA    MOBILE6.1
           Emission Factor Model
           Technical Description
           DRAFT
                                   yŁu Printed on Recycled
                                   Paper

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                                                         EPA420-R-02-012
                                                              March 2002
    MOBILE6.1  Particulate Emission Factor Model
                    Technical Description

                              DRAFT

                           M6.PM.001
                            Edward L. Glover
                           Mitch Cumberworth
                     Assessment and Standards Division
                   Office of Transportation and Air Quality
                    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                               NOTICE

  This technical report does not necessarily represent final EPA decisions or positions.
It is intended to present technical analysis of issues using data that are currently available.
       The purpose in the release of such reports is to facilitate the exchange of
     technical information and to inform the public of technical developments which
      may form the basis for a final EPA decision, position, or regulatory action.

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1.   Introduction

     Since 1995,  EPA has  made available the PART5 model, a Fortran
program that estimates particulate air pollution emissions of in-
use gasoline-fueled and diesel-fueled highway motor vehicles.  It
calculates particle emission factors in grams per mile (g/mi) for
on-road automobiles,  trucks, and motorcycles,  for particle sizes of
1-10  microns.    The  particulate  matter  (PM)   estimates  include
emission factors  for exhaust particulate, brakewear, and tirewear.
The PART5 model is now outdated.

     The MOBILE6.0 model  is  the  most recent EPA  emission factor
model.   It  calculates average  in-use fleet  emission  factors for
three criteria pollutants: hydrocarbons (HC),  carbon monoxide  (CO) ,
and oxides of  nitrogen  (NOx).  These  emission  estimates  are made
for gas,  diesel  and natural gas  fueled  cars,   trucks, buses and
motorcycles  for   calendar years  1952  through 2050.  The  model
calculates emission  factors  under  a  wide variety  of  conditions
affecting  in-use emission  levels,   e.g.,  ambient  temperatures,
average traffic speeds,  etc.

     The MOBILE and  PARTS models have been used by EPA and other
organizations  in  a  variety  of  applications.    These   include
evaluations of highway mobile source control  strategies by state,
local  and  regional  planning agencies;  emission  inventories and
control strategies for State Implementation Plans under the Clean
Air  Act;   transportation  plans   and  conformity analyzes  by
metropolitan  planning  organizations  and  state  transportation
departments;   environmental   impact   statements   by   industry
investigators; and academic research efforts.

     This document describes the methodology and algorithms used to
combine the  PARTS  and MOBILE6.0  models to produce an integrated
MOBILE6.2 model.    This new model  produces the same estimates for
HC, CO  and  NOx emission  as MOBILE6.0,  but it  also can  estimate
particulate emission factors like  the PARTS model.  The MOBILE6.2
particulate  emission estimates differ  somewhat  from the  PARTS
estimates.  The principal reasons for these differences are changes
in vehicle registration and technology distributions between PARTS
and MOBILE6  and the fact that some basic particulate emission rates
for future model years have been updated  in  MOBILE6.2  to reflect
recent rulemakings.

2.   Overview of MOBILES.2 Features

     The MOBILE6.2 model  offers several advantages relative to the
separate  MOBILE6.0   and  PARTS  models.    First,   the  combination
eliminates significant duplication  of technical material between
the two models. For instance, both models  contain many of  the same
data parameters relating  to vehicle  activity and use.  Both models
also  have  very  similar  input  requirements  and  produce  similar

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output.  Second, combining  the  two  models  aids  users who are now
given a single,  consistent interface for both functions, and allows
EPA to support  one  consistent  computer model product rather than
two.  Combining PART5  and MOBILE6.0  was a prominent recommendation
of  Modeling MOBILE SOURCE  Emissions,  the  National Academy  of
Science Research Council's  review of MOBILE.  This panel concluded
that the process of emission inventory modeling could be improved
by creating a new model or  suite of integrated  models that could
produce emission factor estimates for a wider range of pollutants
and conditions.

     The objective of  the MOBILE6.2  project  was to produce, in the
relatively  short  term,   a  combined  model  that  reflects  EPA
particulate emission  modeling done  for recent  vehicle  emission
control rulemakings.   The  project  takes  into account the   fuel
sulfur level  reductions  that are now mandated,  and  new vehicle
emission standards.

     The project was also originally intended to take into account
particulate test data that  have  become  available since PART5 was
produced,  including in-use  testing  by EPA  and other parties. EPA
has concluded,  however, that these data are  insufficient to update
the basic particulate  emission rates at this time.

     The foundation of MOBILE6.2  is,  therefore,  the basic mobile
source particulate emission rates from the PART5 PM model and from
EPA rulemaking modeling sources.   These  sources are supported by a
large body of engine and vehicle certification test results.

     An additional feature  of MOBILE6.2  is that it allows the user
to enter alternative basic exhaust particulate rates  into the model
as a function of vehicle class,  model year, catalyst technology,
and vehicle age.  Also, deterioration estimates  as  a function of
mileage can now be added.  This will allow a  sophisticated user to
model a specific fleet and perform more complex modeling exercises
if they can supply defensible particulate emission factors.

     Section 3 describes the way PART5 and MOBILE6.0 were combined
to produce MOBILE6.2 and the new features added.   Here is a brief
summary of these updates:

2.1  Base Emission  Rates    - The base emission  rates  for most
     vehicle classes  and  model  years are  unchanged  from PART5.
     However,   the  basic  emission  rates   for  heavy-duty  diesel
     vehicles were  updated  in MOBILE6.2 to  reflect  the  emission
     factors  modeled   in  EPA's  2007   Heavy-Duty Diesel  Vehicle
     Rulemaking effort. As  a  result MOBILE6.2 predicts that 2007
     and later model year diesel  heavy-duty vehicles will meet a
     0.01 g/bhp-hr  certification standard if low sulfur  fuel  is
     used.  The basic  PM emission rates for light-duty and heavy-
     duty gasoline vehicles  were  updated to  assume compliance with


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     EPA's Tier2 vehicle rulemaking  requirements in 2004, and with
     the 2005 heavy-duty gasoline vehicle rulemaking,  if low sulfur
     fuel is used.
2.2  Sulfate Particulate and Gaseous S02 Emission Factors - PART5's
     calculation of sulphate particulate  and  gaseous S02  exhaust
     emissions were restructured to account for the sulfur levels
     of gasoline and diesel fuel, while  still using the same basic
     algorithms as PART5.  This feature of the program now allows
     the user to model the effects of different fuels and changes
     in EPA fuel regulations.


2.3  Ammonia Emission Factors   -   MOBILE6.2 adds  the  ability to
     estimate exhaust emissions of ammonia.   These estimates are
     based on the emission rates and calculation methods described
     in   EPA   Report    Number   EPA/AA/CTAB/PA/81-20,   entitled
     "Determination of   a Range  of  Concern   for  Mobile  Source
     Emissions of Ammonia".   While this report  dates  from 1981, we
     are not aware of a better or significantly  different basis for
     such calculations.

2.4  ZEVs  - MOBILE6.2 allows the user to model  the effects of zero
     emitting vehicles on particulate emissions whereas PART5 did
     not  have   this  capability.     In  MOBILE6.2  the  exhaust
     particulate emission factors  are  assumed to be zero for ZEVs.
     However, their tire and brake wear emissions are  assumed to be
     the same as gasoline-fueled vehicles.

2.5  Natural Gas Vehicles (NGVs)

     PART5 did not contain exhaust particulate emission estimates
     for  NGVs.  MOBILE6.2 assumes  that  the exhaust  particulate
     emissions of NGVs  are  the same  as gasoline-fueled vehicles
     operating on very low sulfur fuel.  This  assumption is based
     on comparisons between NGV and  gasoline  vehicle hydrocarbon
     emission test results.   These test results,  provided by the
     NGV  industry  (See  EPA  report EPA420-R-01-033)  suggest  that
     NGVs  generally  have equivalent  or lower  emissions  than
     gasoline  vehicles.     Based  on  the   similarity  between
     hydrocarbon and particulate emission formation,  the  general
     assumption of rough equivalence  between  these vehicle types
     was extended to their particulate emission factors. The tire
     and brake wear emissions of NGVs are assumed to be the same as
     gasoline-fueled vehicles.

     Further  improvements to  the  estimation  of  mobile  source
particulate emissions  will be made in the course of the longer term
effort to produce a new generation of mobile source air pollution
models  (MOVES).   The MOVES  model is  intended to  implement  the


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recommendations of the  National  Academy of Science.   It  will  be
based on an extensive database of  emission measurements made during
actual operation of in-use vehicles  and will  provide  a framework
for allocating emission estimates to much smaller geographic areas
and time periods.
3 .   Technical  Description
3.1  Definitions

     The MOBILE6.2 model reports separate PM emission factors for
twenty-eight vehicle  classes covering  model  years  1952  through
2050.  The PM and PM-related pollutants are:
OCARBON
ECARBON
Sulfate
Lead
The  organic  carbon  portion  of  diesel  exhaust
particulate emissions.   It  was denoted  as  SOF  in
the PARTS model.

The elemental  carbon and  residual carbon portion of
diesel vehicle exhaust particulate.  It was denoted
as RCP in the PART5 model.

The sulfate particulate emissions.  These are based
directly on the sulfur content of the fuel.

The lead  particulate emissions.   These  are based
directly on the quantity of  lead in the automotive
fuel.    Like PART5,  MOBILE6.2 model  assumes  that
post  1975 model  year vehicles  and  all  calendar
years  subseqent  to  1991 are free  from lead  PM
emissions.
Total Exhaust Diesel PM
               OCARBON + ECARBON + Sulfate + Lead
               In MOBILE6.2,  Total  Exhaust Diesel PM is calculated
               by  the  model  and  then  apportioned  to the  four
               reported constituents: OCARBON,  ECARBON,  Sulfate,
               and Lead.
GASPM
The sum of the organic and elemental carbon portion
and any residual  carbon portion of gasoline vehicle
exhaust particulate.
Total Exhaust Gasoline PM     =    GASPM + Sulfate + Lead

               In MOBILE6.2,  Total Exhaust Gasoline PM is the sum
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               of  three  constituents  GASPM,  Sulfate  and  Lead
               emissions.
NH3
Ammonia emission  factors.   These  are new  to the
MOBILE6 and PART5  model  series.    Ammonia  is  a
gaseous  pollutant   that  is  converted   in  the
atmosphere   to   an  ammonium  based  particulate
emission.    Only the  gaseous  emissions which are
directly  emitted  from  a  vehicle  tailpipe  are
reported by  MOBILE6.2. The model  does not contain
any  algorithms  pertaining  to the  conversion  of
gaseous emissions to particulate  emissions.  These
reactions  and their effects are calculated in other
EPA models.
BRAKE
Particulate emission factors from Brake wear.
TIRE
Particulate emission factors from Tire wear.
S02
Gaseous Sulfur Dioxide  Emissions.  These are based
directly on the fuel sulfur content.
     The emission  factors listed above  are reported  by vehicle
type. The 28 vehicle types are listed and described in Table 3.1.
They are the same classifications used  in  MOBILE6.0.   This is an
expansion from the  twelve vehicle classifications  that the PART5
model used,  but each PART5 vehicle  class corresponds  directly to
one or to a group of MOBILE6.2 vehicle classes.
Table 3.1
MOBILE6 Vehicle Classifications

Number
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
MOBILE6
Abbreviation
LDGV
LDGT1
LDGT2
LDGT3
LDGT4
HDGV2b
HDGV3
HDGV4
HDGV5

Description
Light-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (Passenger Cars)
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks 1 (0-6,000 Ibs. GVWR, 0-3,750 Ibs. LVW)
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks 2 (0-6,001 Ibs. GVWR, 3,751-5750 Ibs. LVW)
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks 3 (6,001-8500 Ibs. GVWR, 0-5750 Ibs. ALVW)
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks 4 (6,001-8500 Ibs. GVWR, 5,751 and greater
Ibs. ALVW)
Class 2b Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (8501-10,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 3 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (10,001-14,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 4 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (14,001-16,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 5 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (16,001-19,500 Ibs. GVWR)

PARTS
Abbreviation
LDGV
LDGT1
LDGT1
LDGT2
LDGT2
HDGV
HDGV
HDGV
HDGV
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10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
HDGV6
HDGV7
HDGVSa
HDGVSb
LDDV
LDDT12
HDDV2b
HDDV3
HDDV4
HDDV5
HDDV6
HDDV7
HDDVSa
HDDVSb
MC
HDGB
HDDBT
HDDBS
LDDT34
Class 6 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (19,501-26,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 7 Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (26,001-33,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 8a Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (33,001-60,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 8b Heavy-Duty Gasoline Vehicles (>60,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Light-Duty Diesel Vehicles (Passenger Cars)
Light-Duty Diesel Trucks land 2 (0-6,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 2b Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (8501-10,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 3 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (10,001-14,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 4 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (14,001-16,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 5 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (16,001-19,500 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 6 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (19,501-26,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 7 Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (26,001-33,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 8a Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (33,001-60,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Class 8b Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles (>60,000 Ibs. GVWR)
Motorcycles (Gasoline)
Gasoline Buses (School, Transit and Urban)
Diesel Transit and Urban Buses
Diesel School Buses
Light-Duty Diesel Trucks 3 and 4 (6,001-8,500 Ibs. GVWR)
HDGV
HDGV
HDGV
HDGV
LDDV
LDDT
2BHDDV
LHDDV
LHDDV
MHDDV
MHDDV
MHDDV
HHDDV
HHDDV
MC
BUSES
BUSES
BUSES
LDDT
3.2       Calculation of Particulate Emission Constituents

3.2.1     Calculation of Organic Carbon (OCARBON) Emissions
     The pollutant type called OCARBON  in MOBILE6.2 was formerly
called  Soluble  Organic Fraction  (SOF)  in  PART5.   This  type  of
particulate emission  is generally  a  complex mixture  of  organic
chemical matter that  is  attached  to  the  'carbon'  core  of  the
particle.   As  the  former name  implies,  it  is soluble  in some
organic solvents.  The name  was changed  to  OCARBON in the model
because it  was felt that the former name  (soluble organic fraction)
was less precise and misleading  (i.e.,  soluble  in which solvent?
and the  output  is  in  terms  of  grams  per mile  not  a  fraction or
percentage).

     Other than  the name change, no changes from  PART5 were made in
the definition  of  the  pollutant,  or in  the values of OCARBON-
related parameters in  the  associated  calculation algorithm.  The
algorithm and data parameters presented  here  are used to model all
diesel  vehicle  classes for  all  model  years.   Due  to  a  lack  of
consistent and reliable data,  gasoline vehicle particulate emission
factors  are  not broken  out  into  OCARBON  and  ECARBON,  but  are
reported as GASPM.

     For  diesel  vehicles,  the  organic  carbon  emissions  are
calculated by first subtracting  the sulfate  and  lead emission
factors from the total exhaust PM emission factor.  The remainder
is then multiplied  by the organic carbon  fractions  (OCFRAC)  to
produce the OCARBON  emission  factor.  The  values of OCFRAC are the
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same as in the PART5 model.
in Equation Eqn 3.1.
                   The  algorithm is shown mathematically
OCARBON
     [Exh PM - Sulfate - Lead]  * OCFRAC
   Eqn 3.1
     The values of  OCFRAC are a function of the vehicle class.
following values were taken directly from PART5.
                                                    The
Vehicle Class Number

14
15
28
16
17 and 18
19,20,21, 26 and 27
22 and 23
                    Vehicle Type

                    LDDV
                    LDDT1,  LDDT2
                    LDDT3,  LDDT4
                    2b
                    3 and 4
                    5 through 7, buses
                    8a and 8b
OCFRAC

0.18
0.50
0.48
0.51
0.51
0.44
0.24
3.2.2
Calculation of Elemental Carbon (ECARBON) Emissions
     The pollutant  type  called  ECARBON  or  elemental  carbon  in
MOBILE6.2 was  formerly  called Remaining  Carbon  Portion (RCP)  in
PARTS.  As  the former name implies it  is the  'elemental carbon'
portion of the particulate after all other constituents have been
removed.  Other than  the  name  change  no changes  were made in the
definition of the  pollutant.   The algorithm presented here is used
to model all diesel  vehicle classes  for  all model years.  Gasoline
vehicle  particulate  emission  factors  are not  broken  out  into
OCARBON and ECARBON, but are  reported  only as the sum GASPM.   The
elemental  carbon  emissions  are  calculated by  subtracting  the
sulfate,  lead  and   OCARBON   emissions   from  the  total  Exhaust
Particulate Emission factor.  The algorithm is shown mathematically
in Equation 3.2.
ECARBON = [total diesel exhaust PM - Sulfate -
                           OCARBON - lead]
                                                Eqn 3.2
3.2.3
Calculation of LEAD Emissions
     The lead emission factors are based directly on the quantity
of lead in the automotive fuel.  The model assumes that all post-
1975 model  year vehicles  that were  not  tampered  with  and  all

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calendar years subsequent to 1991  are  free from lead PM emissions.
The  algorithm  and  data  coefficients  used  to  calculate  LEAD
emissions are  the same  as  those  used in  the PART5 model.   The
frequency of leaded fuel  tampering effects (rates of tampering) are
the  same  as those used  in  MOBILE6.0.   The  PART5  documentation
contains a  thorough  explanation of these calculations.    [DRAFT
User's Guide to PART5: A Program for Calculating Particle Emissions
from Motor Vehicles  - EPA-AA-AQAB-94-2,  pp 48-52.]


3.2.4     Calculation of BRAKE-WEAR Emissions

     The PM brake wear emission factor was not updated from PART5.
[See PART5 User Guide page 63.]  The brake wear emission factor is
assumed to be the same  for all vehicle classes in the model.  It is
set equal to:

BRAKE     =    0.0128 * PSBRK                             Eqn 3.3

where
     PSBRK =   The fraction of particles  less  than or equal to the
               particle size cutoff


3.2.5     Calculation of TIRE-WEAR Emissions

     The tire wear emission factor in units of grams per mile was
not  updated from  PART5.    It  is  given  by equation  3.4.   This
equation is used for all vehicle classes and model years.

TIRE =    0.002 * PSTIRE * WHEELS                         Eqn 3.4

where
     TIRE is the emission factor in grams per mile
     PSTIRE is the fraction of particles  less  than or equal to the
     particle size cutoff.
     WHEELS is the number of wheels on a vehicle class.

     The value of 0.002 is the  emission rate of airborne particles
from tire wear  [taken  from Compilation  of  Air Pollutant Emission
Factors, Volume 2, : Stationary  Point and Area Sources.  EPA (AP-42,
4th Edition) ] .

     The tire wear emission factors are the same as those used in
PART5 with  one exception.   In MOBILE6.2,  number of wheels  on a
School Bus has been increased to 6  from 4 (the analogous brakewear
number does not change because the number of brake disks or drums
is not increased by the addition of two wheels).


3.2.6     Calculation of Sulfate and Gaseous Sulfur Dioxide


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          Emissions

     The methodology  for  calculating sulfate and  gaseous sulfur
dioxide emissions (S02)  is based on  PART5.  [See PART5 User Guide -
EPA-AA-AQAB-94-2 pp 50 to  60].   PART5 did not have user inputs for
gasoline or diesel fuel sulfur levels.  MOBILE6.2 has user-supplied
fuel sulfur  levels  and has extended  the PART5 algorithm to use
them.

     The overall methodology for calculating  sulfate particulate
and S02 emissions in MOBILE6.2  is based on the principal of sulfur
conservation  and mass  balance.    This  means  that  the  sulfur
contained in the gasoline  or diesel fuel  must be  equal  on a mass
basis to the sulfur leaving in the  exhaust  stream as sulfate and
gaseous S02 emissions.  The proportion of the fuel sulfur that is
converted to either sulfate or gaseous S02 emissions is discussed
below.
3.2.6.1   Calculation of Gasoline Vehicle Sulfate Emissions

     The  gasoline  vehicle  sulfate  emissions  are  a  function  of
catalyst availability, catalyst type,  air injection availability,
speed and vehicle  fuel  economy.   The  calculations  require three
parameters:   the  basic  sulfate  emission  rates (which  depend  on
speed),   the  technology  weighting factors  (air injection type,
catalyst  type,  etc.), and  the  fuel economy  values.    The basic
sulfate emission factors (Table 3.4 Sulfate Emission values)  were
taken from the  PART5 model, and are not  updated for MOBILE6.2.  The
vehicle  fleet  technology  weighting  factors  were  taken  from
MOBILE6.0 and are slightly different than those used in PART5.  The
fuel economy values were also taken from the MOBILE6.0 model,  and
are slightly different than those used in PART5.


Basic Sulfate Emission Factors

     The basic gasoline vehicle  sulfate  emission  factors for all
model year gasoline vehicles are shown in Tables 3.2 and 3.3.  All
emission  factors   except   the  Sulfate  emission  slope  (sulfate
emissions versus fuel sulfur level) were taken from PART5  [See
PART5 user guide].   The  sulfate emission factors are a function of
catalyst type,  air  injection type and average speed  bin.  Two speed
bins  are shown in the  table:  19.6 MPH and  34.8 MPH.  Sulfate
emission  levels at intermediate  speeds are calculated  by linear
interpolation between these two speeds. Speeds below 19.6 MPH are
considered to be 19.6 MPH and speeds above 34.8 are considered to
be 34.8 for  this purpose.

     The tables contain  two columns of  emission values.  The first
value is the sulfate  emission factor in  grams  per  mile at a fuel


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sulfur level of 340 ppm sulfur (0.034 wt%).   This value was taken
from PART5 and represents  the  fuel  sulfur level of the underlying
emission tests for all gasoline vehicles. The  second  'slope' value
is the sulfate emission rate as a function of the fuel sulfur level
in units of  [grams/mile  ]  per  ppm Sulfur.   These were calculated
from a linear interpolation of  the 340 ppm sulfur point, and the 0
ppm sulfur point.   Logically, the  0  ppm gasoline fuel sulfur level
will produce zero sulfate emissions.

     As a result of the Tier2 rulemaking for 2004 and later model
years, the 340 ppm fuel sulfur level is no longer representative of
in-use vehicle fuel for these model  year  vehicles.  Thus, the base
sulfate   emission  factors  used  in   pre-Tier2  vehicles   are
unrepresentative as well.  Unfortunately,  there is also no new test
data  at  a lower  sulfur  fuel  level  such as  30  ppm in  which to
develop new  sulfate  emission factors.   To overcome  this  lack of
representative  data,  the  pre-2004 model  year sulfate  emission
factors were  ratioed down to  the 30  ppm sulfur level  using the
'Slopes'  in Table  3.2  (also  shown in Table  3.3).  These resulting
sulfate levels based on 30 ppm fuel sulfur and shown in Table 3.3
then become the basis for  the  2004  and  later  model year gasoline
vehicles rather than the sulfate emission factors  shown  in Table 3-
2 .

     In the MOBILE6.2 model the gasoline sulfur effects in Tables
3-2 and  3-3  are extrapolated  linearly  to  a maximum of  1000 ppm
gasoline fuel  sulfur levels  (600  ppm maximum  sulfur in gasoline
fuel for 2000 and  later model years).  (The linear sulfur function
was used  because  no data were  available to develop  any other
functional response.) This approximation has only a minimal impact
on MOBILE6.2's total exhaust PM emission estimates.
Table 3-2
Gasoline Vehicle Sulfate Emission Factors
thru Model year 2003
Technology
Type
Non Catalyst
Ox Cat/No Air
3W Cat/No Air
Ox Cat / Air
Speed BIN
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
Sulfate
Emission (g/mi)
@340 ppm Sulfur
0.002
0.005
0.005
0.016
Sulfate
Emission
(g/mi*ppm S)
SLOPE
5.882e-6
1.471e-5
1.4716-5
4.706e-5
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3W Cat/ Air
Non Catalyst
Ox Cat/No Air
3W Cat/No Air
Ox Cat / Air
3W Cat / Air
< 19.6 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
0.016
0.001
0.005
0.001
0.020
0.025
4.7066-5
2 .941e-6
1.471e-5
2 .941e-6
5.882e-5
7.353e-5
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Table 3-3
Gasoline Vehicle Sulfate Emission Factors
Model Years 2004 and Later
Technology
Type
Non Catalyst
Ox Cat/No Air
3W Cat/No Air
Ox Cat / Air
3W Cat / Air
Non Catalyst
Ox Cat/No Air
3W Cat/No Air
Ox Cat / Air
3W Cat / Air
Speed BIN
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
< 19.6 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
> 34.8 MPH
Sulfate
Emission (g/mi)
@30 ppm Sulfur
0.0002
0.0004
0.0004
0.0014
0.0014
0.0001
0.0004
0.0001
0.0018
0.0022
Sulfate
Emission
(g/mi*ppm S)
SLOPE
5.882e-6
1.471e-5
1.471e-5
4.7066-5
4.7066-5
2 .941e-6
1.4716-5
2 .941e-6
5.882e-5
7.3536-5
Gasoline Sulfate Emission Technology Weighting Factors

     The gasoline sulfate emission factors  shown  in Tables 3.2 and
3.3 by technology type are combined into a composite all technology
factor based on the technology weighting factors already present in
the MOBILE6.0 model.   Equation 3.5 is  the general equation used to
calculate these.
Sulfate
SUM[EF(i)  * Frac(i)]
Eqn 3.5
Where EF(i)  are the sulfate emission factors in Table 3-2 dn 3-3,
Frac(i)   are  the  technology  fractions,  and  indexing  by  'i'
represents summation  over the technology  categories  and MOBILE6
vehicle speed  bins.   The  technology fractions are  functions  of
vehicle type and model year that are  calculated in MOBILE6.2 based
on vehicle technology distributions already present in MOBILE6.0.
The technology fraction  topic is discussed  in detail in EPA report
M6.FLT.008A.
3.2.6.2   Calculation of Gasoline Vehicle S02 Emissions

     The  model  assumes   that  all  of  the  sulfur  in  the  fuel  is
                               -13-

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exhausted either  as  sulfate emissions or  gaseous  sulfur dioxide
emissions (S02).   Thus,  once the  sulfate emissions are calculated,
the remaining sulfur in the fuel is considered to be exhaust S02.

     The  first  step  in  this calculation is  to  determine  the
fraction of the gasoline fuel sulfur that  is converted to sulfate
emissions (DCNVRT) .  This is done by using the gasoline fuel sulfur
relationship from PART5 shown in Equation  3.6.   A value of DCNVRT
is calculated for each of the technology and speed groups.

DCNVRT = Sulfate * FE / [UNITS *  (l.+WATER) *  FDNSTY *SWGHT ]        Eqn 3.6

Where:

DCNVRT - percent of sulfur in the fuel that is directly converted
to sulfate.
Sulfate -  is  the  direct sulfate emission  factor of  a vehicle in
g/mi calculated from Table 3.4a or Table 3.4b.
WATER - is the constant 1.2857 (see PART5  User Guide).
FDNSTY  -  is  the  fuel  density.   It  is a  constant value  of 6.09
Ib/gal.
FE - is the fuel  economy  in miles  per gallon.  (These values come
from MOBILE6) .   They  are  a  function  of   model year  and vehicle
class.
SWGHT - is the weight  percent of  sulfur in  the  fuel.   (i.e., 0.034
= 340 ppm gasoline fuel sulfur).

UNITS  -  is  the constant 13.6078.   This  is the  units conversion
factor. Calculated by (453.592   *  3)/100.   Where 453.592  is the
number of grams  in a pound, 3 is the weight  ratio of S04 to sulfur,
and the 100 is to correct for the weight percent of sulfur.

     The  gaseous  S02  emissions  are  calculated as  in  PARTS  by
plugging the values of DCNVRT into the S02 emission equation (Eqn
3.7), and solving for S02 for each technology and speed group.

S02 = UNITS#2 * FDNSTY * SWGHT * (I. - DCNVRT)  / FE       Eqn 3.7

Where:

UNITS#2  =  9.072.    This  is  the   units   #2   conversion  factor.
Calculated by  (453.592 * 2)/100.   Where  453.592  is  the number of
grams in a pound,  2 is the weight ratio of S02 to sulfur, and the
100 is to correct for the weight percent of sulfur.

     The  final  composite S02 emission  factor is calculated  by
weighing together the  individual  technology and speed S02 emission
factors.  The same weighting factors are used for both Sulfate and
S02 emissions.

                               -14-

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Mathematically, it is shown in Equation 3.8.

Composite S02  =    SUM[S02(i) * Frac(i)]                  Eqn 3.8


Where S02(i)  are the emission factors calculated in the gaseous S02
Equation X, Frac(i) are the technology fractions, and indexing by
i represents that  the  summation  is  over the technology types and
MOBILE6 speed bins.

3.2.6.3   Gasoline  Vehicle   Sulfate   and  S02  Emission  Sample
          Calculation

     This section  provides a  sample calculation for the gasoline
fueled vehicle sulfate and S02 emission factors for two technology
and  speed  groups   (no  weighting factors  will  be  used) .    It  is
provided to give  the  reader  a feel for the  relative  size of the
Sulfate and gaseous S02 emission factors.

Sulfate emission conversion:
Speed Bin > 34.8 MPH

DCNVRT = Sulfate * FE / [UNITS * (l.+WATER) *  FDNSTY *SWGHT ]

DCNVRT    =     (0.001 g/mi *  25 mile/gal)  /
                [ 13.6078 * (1+1.2857) * 6.09 Ib/gal * 0.034%

DCNVRT    =    0.00384 or 0.39% for the 3-way catalyst no air pump
               group.

DCNVRT    =    0.0970  or  9.70% for  the 3-way  catalyst  with air
               pump group.

Gaseous S02 Emissions:

S02 = UNITS#2 * FDNSTY * SWGHT * (1. - DCNVRT)  / FE

S02  =    9.072 *   6.09 Ib/gal * 0.034% *  (1-0.00384) / 25

S02  =    0.0748 g/mi for the 3-way catalyst no air pump group at
          340 ppm gasoline fuel sulfur.


3.2.6.4   Calculation of Diesel Vehicle Sulfate Emissions

     The diesel vehicle  sulfate emissions are  a  function of the
basic user supplied diesel fuel sulfur  level  (a required input for
PM emission calculation in MOBILE6.2),  and the  diesel vehicle fuel
economy values.  The fuel economy values currently in use for the

                               -15-

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for diesel vehicles  were taken from the  MOBILE6  emission model.
Future  versions of  the  MOBILE6  model  (Version MOBILE6.3)  may
contain updated  fuel economy estimates  and allow user  input of
alternative values.

     Sulfate emissions are calculated for diesel fueled vehicles in
MOBILE6.2 by using Equation 3.9.
Sulfate = UNITS * (1.+WATER)*DFDNSTY*DWGHT*DCNVRT / FE    Eqn 3.9

     Where:

Sulfate is the direct sulfate emission factor of a vehicle in g/mi.
WATER is the constant 1.2857.
DFDNSTY is the constant 7.11 Ib/gal.
FE is the fuel economy  in miles  per  gallon.  (These values are to
come from MOBILE6).  They are a function of model year and vehicle
class.
DWGHT weight percent of  sulfur in the fuel.  (i.e.,  0.050 = 500 ppm
diesel fuel  sulfur).
DCNVRT percent of sulfur in the fuel  that  is directly converted to
sulfate. MOBILE6.2  retrains  the  2% value of  this  parameter from
PARTS.
UNITS is the constant 13.6078.
     Sulfate emissions for diesel vehicles are calculated using the
assumption from PARTS  that 2 percent of the sulfur in the diesel is
converted  into  sulfate  compounds,  and  the  remaining sulfur  is
converted to S02 compounds.
3.2.6.5   Calculation of Diesel Vehicle Gaseous S02 Emissions

     The diesel vehicle gaseous S02 emissions are calculated using
equation 3.10.  The methodology assumes  that the 98 percent of the
fuel  sulfur  is  converted  to  gaseous  S02 emissions.    Like  the
calculation for the diesel vehicle sulfate emissions, the gaseous
S02 emissions are  a  function  of user input  fuel  sulfur level and
the vehicle fuel economies.

S02 = UNITS#2 * FDNSTY * SWGHT * (1.  - DCNVRT)  / FE      Eqn 3.10
3.2.6.6   Diesel Sulfate Emissions on Vehicles with Particulate


                               -16-

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          Trap Technology

     It is anticipated that future technology needed to meet strict
particulate matter  standards  for diesel vehicles  in  model years
2007 and later will  include particulate traps.  Such traps may take
a variety of designs; however,  the basic principle  is for the trap
to collect virtually all of the particulate matter present in the
exhaust stream,  and  to either burn it off at high temperature or to
otherwise remove it from the  exhaust  stream.   Currently,  no data
exist as to efficiency of this process nor  do any sulfate emission
factor  data  exist  to  suggest the  magnitude of  such  emissions.
Thus, the model will set in calendar years 2007 and later, a very
low base  diesel  fuel  sulfur  level  of  10  ppm as  required in the
Heavy-Duty 2007 Rule,  and continue to predict that, fleet-wide,  2
percent of this fuel stream is emitted as sulfate emissions.
3.2.7     Calculation of Total Exhaust PM Emissions

3.2.7.1   Diesel Vehicles

          Total Exh PM Calculation

     The general equation for total exhaust particulate emissions
is shown in Eqn 3.10b.   It  includes  OCARBON,  ECARBON and Sulfate
emissions.   Calculation details on these sub-components have been
previously discussed in Sections 3.2.6.1 through 3.2.6.6.

     Total Exh PM   = OCARBON + ECARBON + Sulfate       Eqn 3.1Ob


     The default  total  exhaust particulate  emission  rates  are
represented as a linear function with respect  to mileage.  For the
light-duty diesel  vehicles  the rates  were taken  from  the  PART5
model (See  EPA report EPA-AA-AQAB-94-2).  The default total exhaust
particulate parameters for  heavy-duty  diesel  vehicles are also a
linear function, and are shown in the MOBILE6.0 technical support
materials - see EPA reports M6.HDE.001,  M6.HDE.002,  and M6.HDE.004.
They can also be found in the  support materials section of the EPA
2007 heavy-duty rule making docket.

     The  total exhaust  PM  emission  rates  in  MOBILE6.2 are  a
function of vehicle class (all diesel classes can have a separate
emission factor),  model  year  (1950  -  2020+), and mileage.   The
mileage relationship is linear with a zero mile emission level,  two
possible slopes and a  user  supplied  inflection  point between  the
two slopes (Equation 3.11).
                               -17-

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Exh PM = ZML + DETl*mileagel + DET2(mileage2-mileagel)  Eqn 3.11a


     The default values  of these parameters are  provided in the
Excel    Spreadsheets    PMDIES_ZML.xls,    PMDIES_DETl.xls    and
PMDIES_DET2.xls.  Examination of the heavy-duty emission rates in
these spreadsheets shows  that in virtually all cases the zero mile
emission level is assumed to be the certification standard, and the
deterioration rates with respect to mileage are zero.


          Total Exh PM Size Correction Factors

     The total  exhaust  PM emission  factors  are  computed  on the
basis of the entire amount of PM material that is collected on an
EPA test filter during the  emission tests.  This is referred to as
PM30.  Exh PM calculated in Eqn 3.11a is in terms of PM30.

     For use in the MOBILE6.2 model, the particulate emissions must
be converted from PM30 terms into particulate size terms that can
range from PM1 to PM10.   The general equation for any size in the
range of 1  micron to 10 microns  (x)  for this  transformation is
given in Eqn 3.lib.

Exh PM(x) =    Exh PM(30) * SIZE CF                    Eqn 3.lib


     This value is not allowed to exceed the certification standard
applicable  to future  years if future rulemakings  are being modeled.

     The values for  the  SIZE CF  used  in Eqn 3. lib are  shown in
Table 3.4.    Correction  factors  are  provided  for  the  range  of
pollutant type, vehicle/fuel  classes and particle sizes.   Linear
interpolation should be  used  to calculate  correction  factors for
particle sizes between those listed in the Table.
                               -18-

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                                    Table 3.4
      Fraction of Particles Less than or Equal to the Particle Size Cutoff

Vehicle Type/                    Particle Size        Fraction of Particles less than or
Particulate Component           Cutoff (PSO        Equal to the Particle Size Cutoff
Gasoline vehicles using                   10.0                       0.64
leaded fuel/ Lead, Carbon                  2.0                       0.43
                                         0.2                       0.23

Gasoline vehicles with catalyst,            10.0                       0.97
using unleaded fuel/Lead, Carbon           2.0                       0.89
                                         0.2                       0.87

Gasoline vehicles without a                10.0                       0.90
catalyst, using unleaded fuel/               2.0                       0.66
Lead, Carbon                             0.2                       0.42

Diesel vehicles/Exhaust PM              10.0                       1.00
                                         2.5                       0.92
                                         2.0                       0.90
                                         1.0                       0.86

All vehicles/Brake-wear                  10.0                       0.98
                                         7.0                       0.90
                                         4.7                       0.82
                                         1.1                       0.16
                                         0.43                      0.09

All vehicles/Tire-wear                   10.0                       1.00
                                         0.10                      0.01
                                         -19-

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          Calculation of OCARBON and ECARBON

     The total exhaust particulate  emission  factor corrected for
particulate  size  (Exh  PM)  calculated  in  Equation  3.lib  is
substituted into Equations 3.12  and  3.13  (rewrites of Equation 3.1
and  3.2  where  lead  is  zero  for diesel  vehicles)  to  calculate
OCARBON and  ECARBON emission factors.   The  appropriate  sulfate
emission  factors   corrected   for  particulate  size   are  also
substituted  into   the   two  equations  to   account   for  these
constituents.   The  sulfate emission factor  is  the "base" diesel
fuel sulfur level  'Sulfate [b] ' .  For pre-2007  model  years this base
level is  500 ppm sulfur.   For  2007+ it  is  8 ppm  sulfur.  It is
subtracted from the OCARBON and ECARBON emission factors
CJDCARBON = [C_EXH_PM - Sulfate[b]]  * OCFRAC             Eqn 3.12

C_ECARBON = [C_EXH_PM - Sulfate[b]  - OCARBON]             Eqn 3.13


3.2.7.2   Gasoline Vehicles

     The  GASPM  emission  factors  are supplied  as a  function  of
vehicle class,  catalyst technology,  model year  (1950 - 2020+),  and
mileage.   The  mileage  relationship is linear  with a  zero mile
emission level,  two possible slopes  and a user supplied inflection
point between the two slopes (Equation 3.14).   The default values
of   these  parameters   are  provided   in  Excel   Spreadsheets
PMGAS_ZML.xls,  PMGAS_DET1.xls and PMGAS_DET2.xls.

GASPM = ZML + DETl*mileagel + DET2(mileage2-mileagel)     Eqn 3.14

     The   default   particulate   parameters    (zero   mile   and
deterioration rates)  are  taken  from PARTS  values for  gasoline
vehicles  (See EPA report  EPA-AA-AQAB-94-2) .  As a result,  in all
cases the deterioration rates DET1 and DET2  are  assumed to be zero.

     The  sulfate  emission  factors  for  gasoline  vehicles  are
calculated according to the equations discussed  in  Section 3.2.6.1.
The  calculated   sulfate emission  factor  is  based on  the  user
specified fuel  sulfur level [i] rather than on the "base" level at
which original emission factor testing was done.  The lead emission
factors are calculated according to  the algorithm  referenced  in
Section 3.2.3.     They are a function of  technology,  model year,
existence of tampering and calendar year.   They cannot be changed
by the user.

     The Exhaust PM  emission factor for  gasoline  vehicles is  the
sum of the GASPM, sulfate and lead emission factors, and is shown
mathematically in Equation 3.15.


                               -20-

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Exhaust PM (gas vehicles) = GASPM + sulfate[i]  + lead    Eqn 3.15

     Like the diesel vehicles, the Exhaust PM emission factor for
gasoline vehicles is compared against  the certification standard
level  and  capped at  this  level  if it  exceeds  it.    This  will
typically not happen except  in the case  of the 2004+ Tier2 emission
vehicles which have stringent PM standards.

     The Total Exhaust  PM emissions  for gasoline vehicles are also
adjusted for particle  size using  a  particle  size  distribution
function.    These  particle   size  correction  factors  are  taken
directly from  PART5  and are  tabulated in the  PART5  User Guide.
Mathematically, the calculation is shown in Equation 3.16.

Total Exhaust PM    = Exhaust PM * Particle Size Corr    Eqn 3.16
3.3       Ammonia Emission Calculations

3.3.1     Ammonia Emission Factors

     The MOBILE6.2  model  calculates a composite,  FTP  test based
(composite running  and  start  emissions)  gaseous ammonia emission
factor for all  vehicle  types  and model years.   The base ammonia
emission factors built into the MOBILE6.2 model were taken from the
EPA  report  EPA/AA/CTAB/PA/81-20  "Determination  of a Range  of
Concern for Mobile  Source Emissions of Ammonia" by Robert Garbe,
August, 1981.   They can also  be  found  in  SAE  paper 830987.  They
were selected  for use in MOBILE6.2 because of their  established use
in EPA's National Trends modeling for many years, and a  lack of new
ammonia emission test results.   Because  the  emission factors are
about  20 years  old,  a  literature search  was  conducted to verify
that  they  are   still  representative  of  current   vehicles.    A
description of this literature search is contained in Appendix A.

     The ammonia emission factor values used in the  MOBILE6.2 model
are shown in Table 3.5.   All units are milligrams per mile.
                            Table 3.5
   Ammonia Emission Factors by Vehicle Class and Catalyst Type
                  Intercept  Values  in Regression
               (all UNITS are Milligrams per Mile)
MOBILE 6
Vehicle Types
All
Non
Catalyst
Ox
Catalyst
3 -Way
Catalyst
                               -21-

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1-5 (LDG)
24 (MC)
6 - 13, 25
(HDG)
14, 15, 28
(LDD)
16 - 23, 26, 27
(HDD)

11.265
mg/mi
45.062
mg/mi
6.759
mg/mi
27.037
mg/mi
11.265
mg/mi




15.128
mg/mi




101.711
mg/mi




LDG are the light-duty gasoline vehicles
MC is the motorcycle class
HDG are the heavy-duty gas vehicles
LDD are the light-duty diesel vehicles
HDD are the heavy-duty diesel vehicles.
     Based  on  the  literature  search,  EPA  concluded  that  these
numbers are  in the  same  general range  as  the limited  FTP test
results, and thus are appropriate for use in MOBILE6.2.  However,
there is substantial variation  in ammonia measurements and ammonia
is likely a function of sulfur level,  test cycle  (FTP versus US06),
advancing  catalyst   technology,  and   other  factors.    Additional
research is recommended on this topic.

     The  gaseous  ammonia  emission  factors  are  reported by  the
MOBILE6.2 model in the particulate section because gaseous ammonia
reacts with sulfates and/or nitrates  to form ammonium sulfate and
ammonium nitrate in the atmosphere.   These ammonium compounds are
classified  as  particulate  emissions.     The   MOBILE6.2  model
calculates and reports only the gaseous emissions emitted directly
from  a vehicle  tailpipe.   It  makes  no  attempt  to model  the
atmospheric chemistry of ammonia conversion to other ammonium based
compounds or estimate the direct emissions from ammonium compounds.
These  types of  calculation are left  to   atmospheric  chemistry
models.
3.4  Indirect Sulfate Emission Calculations
     In addition to the direct sulfate emission factors discussed
above,  the previous  model (PARTS)  estimated  an  indirect sulfate
emission factor by assuming that a fraction of the gaseous sulfur
                               -22-

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dioxide emissions are later converted  in the atmosphere to sulfate
material.  Based on ambient sulfur and sulfate measurements in 11
cities,  EPA  estimated that 12 percent  of all gaseous  sulfur is
converted to sulfate.

     During the update process for MOBILE6.2 it was decided to drop
this calculation  from the model  and  not  report an  estimate  for
indirect  sulfate emission production.  The  reasoning  for  this
decision  is  that  the  MOBILE6.X series  of  models  are  vehicle
emission models  not  atmospheric  models.   They are best  used  for
estimating emission  factors for  pollutants  directly  emitted from
vehicles through pathways such as exhaust, evaporation,  brake  and
tire,  and  engine draft  (PCV),  rather than  atmospheric  chemical
reactions.
3.5  Fugitive Dust Emission Calculations

     MOBILE6.2 does  not  include estimates of  fugitive  road dust
emissions.    These  will  be covered by  a  simple calculation tool
being developed separately by EPA's Office of Air Quality Planning
and  Standards (OAQPS) .    They  were  removed  from  the  MOBILE6.2
because  the  new  tool is  available  and  because MOBILE6  cannot
properly account for the facility / roadway type - unpaved roads.
Since dust emissions  on  an unpaved road are  usually considerably
higher than  on a paved  road,  the  issue of paved versus unpaved
roads is critical in  any modeling  or discussion of  fugitive dust
emissions.
                               -23-

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4.   Results from the  MOBILES.2 Model
     Some limited and preliminary results from the MOBILE6.2 model
are shown at the end  of  this  document,  and  are  discussed in this
section.
4.1  Emissions Versus Calendar Year

     The  results  are  shown  in a  series of  Figures  (Figures  1
through  15) .     They  are  shown  in terms  of total  particulate
emissions  (TOTEX),  total carbon emissions from  gasoline  vehicles
(GASPM),  sulfate emissions  and lead emissions.  All of the results
in these  figures are  shown as a function of  calendar  year.   The
results are also shown  for individual  vehicles  types:  light-duty
gasoline vehicles,  light-duty  truck class 4 vehicles,  heavy-duty
gasoline vehicles,  light-heavy, medium-heavy,  and heavy-heavy duty
diesel vehicles and transit diesel buses. The emission results in
all  of the  figures   are  the  average  emission  levels for  each
calendar year from  1970 through 2020. A calendar year includes the
weighted average emission result of the previous 25 model years.

     With  the  exception of the Ammonia  results, all  the  figures
were constructed as comparisons of the MOBILE6.2 and PARTS emission
results.

     Figures  1  through 4  show the results from  the  light-duty
gasoline  vehicles.    Figure  1 shows  the  TOTEX  (total  exhaust
particulate emission)  results  from both  MOBILE6.2  and  PART5.   As
can be seen from the figure, only relatively small differences are
observed. The differences occur mostly in the pre-1980 years and in
the post 1996 calendar years.   In the  early  years they are caused
by differences  in underlying  methodology of  modeling misfueling
and  tampering effects  on  lead particulate  emission  in  between
MOBILE6 and PART5.   They are not due to changes  in the basic  lead
emission factors.   The  differences  in  the later  years  are due to
different  fuel  sulfur levels  that create differences  in  sulfate
emission  factors.    The PART5 model  does  not  allow  alternate
gasoline  fuel  sulfur  levels  to  be modeled  and fixes this  fuel
parameter  at  343  ppm.    However, the  MOBILE6.2  model  allows
alternative sulfur  levels to be modeled.  The fuel sulfur level was
set at 30  ppm for  all  2000  and  later  calendar years.   Figure 3
illustrates  the impact of  different  fuel  sulfur  levels on  the
sulfate  emission  factors.    Once  the  different  lead  and sulfur
influences are removed,  the carbon particulate emission (GASPM) is


                               -24-

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shown to be very  similar between  MOBILE6.2  and PART5 (see Figure
2) .

     Figures 5 and 6  show the average TOTEX results for light-duty
gas truck class 4 and heavy-duty gas trucks for the MOBILE6.2 and
PART5 models.   As for  the  light-duty vehicles  (i.e.  cars),  the
results for MOBILE6.2 and PART5 for the trucks are relatively close
for most calendar years.  The  differences  for  the light-duty gas
trucks can explained  in  terms of truck size  and  different fleet and
technology distributions between the two models. For  instance, the
figure shows  the  results  for  a light-duty gas truck class  4  in
MOBILE6.2, but an average result for light-duty gas truck class 3
and 4 for PART5 (PART5 did not separate class 3 and 4 trucks).

     The heavy-duty gas truck result comparison shows differences
that are mostly technology related (different fleet phase-ins for
fuel injected, air injection and catalyst technology) for emission
in the 1990 through  2005 calendar years, and  EPA Tier2 standards
related effects for the 2008 and later calendar years.

     Figures 7 through 10 show the TOTEX comparisons for the diesel
vehicles.   For heavy-heavy duty  vehicles  there are only slight
differences,  but  for  most   vehicle   classes  there   are  some
significant  differences.    The   differences   arise  because  the
MOBILE6.2 model follows  the analysis done to support the EPA heavy-
duty diesel  2007  rule.   In general,  the  MOBILE6.2 results  are
higher  than  those  predicted  by  the  PART5  model   (this  is
particularly  true  for  the  transit buses - see Figure 10) .   An
exception  is  the  2007  and  later  model  years  which reflect  the
implementation of  the new stringent 2007 diesel  rule.  The effects
of this rule were not accounted for in the  PART5 model.

     Figure 11 compares the MOBILE6.2 and PART5 model results for
sulfate emissions on  heavy-heavy  duty diesel  trucks.   The PART5
curves are the default emission results that cannot be modified by
the user.   They typically are based on very  high diesel fuel sulfur
levels of 2500  ppm,  and then a lower level  of  500 ppm  sulfur for
all 1993  and later model years.  The MOBILE6.2 results are based on
500 ppm sulfur  for pre-2007 calendar  years  and 8  ppm diesel fuel
sulfur for 2007 and later calendar years.  Note  that the MOBILE6.2
and PARTS sulfate  curves agree  when the fuel sulfur levels are the
same at 500 ppm.  If  all the calendar-year MOBILE6.2 runs had been
done at the same fuel sulfur levels as the  PARTS runs,  the curves
would agree for all calendar years.  Instead, alternate fuel sulfur
levels were modeled,  and shown in Figure 11,  to  compare the effects
of fuel sulfur  between  the  two models,  and to  show the effect  of
different diesel fuel sulfur level on sulfate emissions.
                               -25-

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     Figure 12 shows the Ammonia  emission factors as a function of
calendar year and vehicle class.  As  can be  observed,  the diesel
emission factors  are not a  function of  calendar year,  but  the
gasoline vehicle factors are.   The gasoline vehicles show a rising
and then a  flattening curve of ammonia as calendar year progresses.
This rising curve  is due to the fact  that modern fuel injection and
3-way catalyst technology has a greater tendency to produce ammonia
than the older non  catalyst or oxygenated  only  catalyst equipped
vehicles.  The flattening aspect of  the curve reflects the almost
complete penetration of fuel injected and 3-way catalyst vehicles
into the fleet.

     Figure  13  compares the MOBILE6.2  and PART5  exhaust carbon
particulate  emissions  for motorcycles.   The figure  shows  close
agreement  between  MOBILE6.2  and PART5.    In both  figures  the
emissions start out at  fairly high levels in the 1970s and drop to
considerably lower levels in the  1990  and beyond due to technology
improvements.
     Figure  14  compares the  MOBILE6.2  and PART5  exhaust  carbon
emissions for light-duty diesel  vehicles.  The figure shows fairly
good agreement between the models with similar overall trends.  The
models diverge  after 2007  because of  the  incorporation  of  the
effects of 2007  diesel rule on the MOBILE6.2 emission factors and
the lack of such effect in PART5.  The PART5  graph shows an unusual
'dip and increase'  in  emission factors in the 1980 to 1989 calendar
years. This effect  is  not due to rising general emission factors in
the  model,   but   changing   registration  distributions  between
individual model years.   For example, in the calendar years where
the emission rate is increasing the overall LDDV fleet is getting
older  (new model years  are replacing older vehicles at  a  slower
rate).

     Figure  15  compares the  MOBILE6.2  and PART5  exhaust  carbon
particulate emissions  for light-duty diesel trucks.  This figure is
analogous to  Figure 14 for  the  LDDVs.   It  also  shows  fairly good
agreement between  the models with  similar  overall trends.   The
models diverge  after  2007  because of the effects  of  2007  diesel
rule on the MOBILE6.2  emission factors and the lack of such effect
in PART5.
4.2  Emissions Versus Model Year

     Figure 16  (the  only figure based  on model year  instead of
calendar year)  presents Total Exhaust particulate emissions versus
model year for the 8B heavy-duty diesel vehicles in calendar year
2010.  These results show the basic emission factor for 8B diesel

                               -26-

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vehicles for each individual model year prior to the application of
weighting  factors and  correction  factors.   In  comparison,  the
results  shown  in  Section  4.1  are  by  calendar  year where  each
calendar year is  a weighted average  of the emission factors from
the previous 25 model years.

     The results in Figure 16 show that the 8B and other heavy-duty
diesel vehicle  basic  emission factors are NOT precisely the same as
those  from PART5.   The differences  in Figure  16  occur because
different  emission factors were used  to  model  heavy-duty diesel
vehicles  in  the  EPA 2007  Heavy-Duty  Rulemaking  effort  than  in
PART5.   The differences  are most  notable  in  model years  1984
through 1989 where the new MOBILE6.2 emission factors now include
the  effects of  deterioration  of  particulate  emissions  versus
vehicle odometer. Also,  the MOBILE6.2 particulate emission factors
for the 2007  and  later model years are lower than the corresponding
PART5 emission factors due to the effects of the 2007 rulemaking.
                               -27-

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                           Appendix A

          Literature  Search  on  Vehicle Ammonia  Emissions

     The ammonia emission factors used in the MOBILE6.2 model are
based on a 1981 EPA study which tested only limited numbers of 3-
way catalyst vehicles.   Thus, as part of the MOBILE6.2 update, EPA
did a  literature search to  determine  if other  ammonia  emission
estimates  were  available,  and  to  determine   if  the  MOBILE6.2
estimates based on this study were appropriate.

    Recent  studies  on  vehicle  ammonia  emissions  by  various
researchers have suggested that gaseous exhaust ammonia emissions
may be  dependent on  catalyst  type, vehicle  operation  and  fuel
sulfur levels.  The 1981 study does take different catalyst types
into account  (although,  the 1981 3-way catalyst may not reflect
modern technology).   However, it did not address ammonia emissions
as a  function of vehicle operation  or  fuel sulfur  levels.  As a
result,  the ammonia emission factors  in the MOBILE6.2 model may be
only partially representative of modern vehicles.

Various Studies

1989 Volkswagon Study  -  Several gasoline and diesel vehicles were
studied using the FTP test.  The gasoline sulfur level was 330 ppm.
Non-catalyst  gasoline  vehicles reported  results of  3.52  mg/mi,
diesel vehicles 1.88 mg/mi and 3-way catalyst vehicles 137.4 mg/mi.

Preliminary CE-CERT Work in Calendar Year  2000  -  Seven  vehicles
tested so far over  three different  fuel sulfur  levels  (324 ppm and
30 ppm and California reformulated fuel) .  The vehicles were a 1991
Dodge, a 1997 Ford,  a 2001 Buick, a 1999 Ford Tierl, a 2001 Suzuki
NLEV,  a 1999 GM Sonoma TLEV, a 2000 Ford Winstar ULEV.  All were 3-
way catalyst technology.
Table A-l
CE-CERT Vehicle Test Results of Ammonia Emissions

Vehicle
1991 Dodge
1997 Ford
2001 Buick*
1999 Ford*
FTP
30 ppm
Sulfur
118 mg/mi
38 mg/mi

70 mg/mi
324 ppm
Sulfur
86 mg/mi
5 mg/mi


US06
30 ppm
Sulfur
210 mg/mi
237 mg/mi
160 mg/mi
242 mg/mi
324 ppm
Sulfur
161 mg/mi
146 mg/mi


                               -28-

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2001 Suzuki*
1999 GM*
2000 Ford*

12 mg/mi
73 mg/mi



415 mg/mi
82 mg/mi
307 mg/mi



* Tested on California Reformulated Fuel rather than the fuels
with the specified sulfur levels of 30 and 324 ppm.
ORD National Risk Management Research Laboratory Work  - One 1993
Chevrolet Lumina (3-way catalyst) was tested over various driving
conditions (FTP,  steady state, hard acceleration,  partial and major
enrichment, and some  on road data) .  The FTP ammonia emissions were
about 30 mg/mi.  This  is  lower  than other studies.   However,  the
hard acceleration results  were 282 mg/mi,  and the major enrichment
results were 2,450 mg/mi.


G. Cass  Work - California  Institute of Technology  -  These were
roadway tunnel studies  in  Los Angeles in 1998.   The results were 98
mg/mi ammonia for the fleet as a whole.  116 mg/mi for LDGV.


A. Kean Work  - Lawrence Berkeley Labs  - A San Francisco Bay area
tunnel study in 1999.  Results 79 mg/mi overall fleet result.

M. Baum Work  -  Oak Crest  Institute of  Science,  CA.   - They used
remote sensing measurements.  Emissions were measured  from vehicles
during acceleration  in parking  lots and  freeway ramps.   Results
showed very high emissions.   The  results are available only in ppm
(78.6 ppm average). 66% of the ammonia emissions are emitted by 10%
of the fleet.   M-85  fueled vehicles had slightly higher ammonia
emissions.

Future Work  - EPA Office  of  Research and Development studies,  CE-
CERT under  EPA cooperative  agreement,  and CRC  testing project.
Future focus will be on determining fuel effects, and how ammonia
emissions change as NOx emissions are controlled.
                            Appendix  B

                            References


EPA-AA-AQAB-94-2  "Draft User's  Guide  to  PARTS:  A  Program  for
                               -29-

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Calculating Particle Emissions  from  Motor Vehicles",    February,
1995.

Garbe, Robert, EPA/AA/CTAB/PA/81-20  "Determination of a Range of
Concern for Mobile Source Emissions of Ammonia", August, 1981.
EPA 2007 Heavy-Duty Diesel Rulemaking Docket.
                               -30-

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0.30
                           Figure 1


      Total Exhaust PM10 Emissions from MOBILE6.1 and
                      PARTS  forLDGVs
                                                        •MOBILE6.2
                                                        -PARTS
0.00 -l-r
   1970  1975 1980  1985  1990  1995  2000 2005  2010  2015  2020
                        Calendar Year
                             -31-

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  0.14

  0.12

  0.10

I 0.08
W 0.06
<
O
  0.04
  0.02
  0.00
                             Figure 2

               MOBILE6.1 GASPM Emissions Versus
               PARTS Carbon Emissions for LDGVs
     1970  1975  1980  1985 1990  1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                          Calendar Year
                                -32-

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0.012
                           Figure 3

       Comparison of MOBILE6.1 and PARTS SULFATE
                    Emissions for LDGVs
0.000
                                                    -0-MOBILE6.2
                                                    -m- PARTS
   1970  1975  1980  1985  1990 1995  2000 2005  2010  2015  2020
                      CALENDAR YEAR
                            -33-

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                           Figure 4

    Comparison of MOBILE6.1 and PARTS LEAD Emissions
                         for LDGVs
0.16
0.00
   1970 1975  1980  1985  1990  1995 2000  2005  2010 2015  2020
                     CALENDAR YEAR
                            -34-

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0.25
0.00
                          Figure 5

      GASPM Emissions from LDGT4 in MOBILE6.1 and
                      LDGT2 in PARTS
   1970 1975  1980  1985  1990  1995 2000  2005 2010  2015  2020
                     CALENDAR YEAR
                            -35-

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                           Figure 6

       MOBILE6.1 and PARTS GASPM from Heavy-Duty
                      Gasoline Vehicles
0.25
                                                         •MOBILE6.2
                                                         PARTS
0.00
   1970  1975  1980 1985  1990  1995  2000  2005  2010 2015  2020

                        Calendar Year
                             -36-

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                            Figure 7


     MOBILE6.1 and PARTS Total Exhaust PM10 Emissions
             from 2B Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles
0.70
                                                      -0-MOBILE6.2
                                                      -m- PARTS
0.00
   1970  1975  1980  1985  1990  1995 2000  2005  2010  2015 2020
                      CALENDAR YEAR
                             -37-

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                        Figure 8


  MOBILE6.1 and PARTS Total Exhaust PM10 Emissions
        from Medium Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles
                                                  -0-MOBILE6.2
                                                  -•- PARTS
1970  1975 1980  1985  1990  1995 2000  2005  2010 2015  2020
                    Calendar Year
                          -38-

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                       Figure 9

     Comparison of MOBILE6.1 and PARTS TOTAL
     EXHAUST PM10 for Heavy-Heavy Duty Diesels
                                                -0-MOBILE6.2
                                                -m- PARTS
1970  1975  1980  1985  1990  1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                  CALENDAR YEAR
                         -39-

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                            Figure 10
     MOBILE6.1 and PARTS Total Exhaust PM10 Emissions from
                        Urban Diesel Buses
3.50
3.00
0.00
                                                             •MOBILE6.2
                                                             - PARTS
   1970  1975  1980  1985  1990  1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                          Calendar Year
                                -40-

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  0.30
  0.25
  0.20
"3)
  0.15
w
  0.10
  0.05
  0.00
                             Figure 11

          MOBILE6.1 and PARTS SULFATE Emissions for
                             HHDDVs
000000°0oooooooooooo
                                                     •MOBILE6.2
                                                      PARTS
     1970  1975  1980  1985  1990 1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                         CALENDAR YEAR
                                -41-

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                             Figure 12
                Ammonia Emissions from MOBILE6.1
0.12
                           ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
0.00
   1970   1975  1980  1985   1990  1995  2000   2005  2010  2015   2020
                            Calendar Year
                                -42-

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                       Figure 13
    MOBILE6.1 and PARTS GASPM from Motorcycles
1970  1975  1980  1985  1990  1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                      Calendar Year
                          -43-

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                           Figure 14
     MOBILE6.1 and PARTS Carbon Emissions from LDDV
0.80
                                                          •MOBILE6.2
                                                          • PARTS
0.00
   1970  1975  1980  1985  1990 1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                        Calendar Year
                              -44-

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                          Figure 15
     MOBILES.1 and PARTS Carbon Emissions for LDDT3,4
                   and LDDT (Respectively)
0.80
                                                        •MOBILE6.2
                                                        •PARTS
0.00
   1970  1975 1980  1985  1990  1995 2000  2005  2010  2015 2020

                       Calendar Year
                             -45-

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2.25
0.00
                          Figure 16
        PM10 Emission Factors for 8B Diesel Vehicles
                    In Calendar Year 2010
  1980     1985    1990     1995    2000    2005    2010    2015

                          Model Year
                             -46-

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