EPA Decision  on Texas Request for
Waiver of  Portion of  Renewable  Fuel
Standard (RFS)
Background
   •  The Governor of the State of Texas requested a fifty percent waiver of the
      national volume requirements for the renewable fuel standard (RFS or RFS
      mandate) on April 25, 2008 (read the Letter to EPA Administrator Johnson
      from Governor Perry),

   •  On May 22, 2008, EPA provided notice of the Texas request and invited
      public comment on all issues relevant to making a decision on Texas' request,

   •  EPA's public written comment period on Texas' waiver request closed on
      June 23, 2008. Although EPA's Air Docket (where comments are deposited
      into an electronic docket system available at regulations.gov - with the
      docket identifier number EPA-HQ-OAR-2008-0380) is continuing to process
      submitted comments it appears that approximately 15,000
      comments were submitted,

   •  EPA issued a news release from Administrator Johnson on July 22, 2008,
      stating that the Administrator was confident that a decision on the Texas
      waiver request would be made in early August,

   •  The renewable fuel program was adopted in the Energy Policy Act of 2005,
      and was recently expanded in the Energy and Independence Security Act of
      2007. This program requires gasoline to contain a specified volume of renew
      able fuel,

   •  Section 211 (o)(7) of the Clean Air Act allows the Administrator of EPA,
      in consultation with the Secretaries of Agriculture and Energy, to waive the
      requirements of the national renewable fuel standard, in whole or in  part,
United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
                                 Office of Transportation and Air Quality
                                                   EPA420-F-08-029
                                                       August 2008

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      if the Administrator determines, after public notice and opportunity for public comment,
      that implementation of the RFS requirements would severely harm the economy or
      environment of a State, a region, or the United States.

   •  EPA is denying Texas' waiver request because the evidence in this case does not support
      a determination that implementation of the RFS mandate during the time period at issue
      (September 1,  2008, through August 31, 2009) would severely harm the economy of a
      State, region, or the United States.

   •  In this decision EPA is also setting forth the Agency's general expectations for future
      waiver requests, including the types of information and analysis that should accompany
      a waiver request.
Basis of EPA's Denial of Texas'Waiver Request
   •  EPA is authorized to grant Texas' waiver request if EPA determines that implementation
      of the RFS mandate would severely harm the economy of a State, region, or the United
      States.

   •  EPA interpreted the waiver provision as providing only narrow waiver authority:
             o     EPA would have to determine that the implementation of the mandate
                   itself would severely harm the economy; it is not enough to determine
                   that implementation of RFS would contribute to such harm;
             o     EPA would also have to find that there is a generally high degree of
                   confidence that the RFS is severely harming the economy; and
             o     This requirement calls for a high threshold for the nature and degree of
                   harm that would support the issuance of a waiver based on "severe harm"
                   to the economy of a State, region, or the United States.

   •  EPA examined a wide variety of evidence, including modeling of the impact that a
      waiver would have on ethanol use, corn prices, food prices, and fuel prices. EPA
      also looked at empirical evidence, such as the current price for renewable fuel credits,
      called RINs, which are used to demonstrate compliance with the RFS mandate.

   •  EPA determined that the weight of all of the evidence indicates that implementation of
      the RFS would have no significant impact in the relevant time frame (the 2008/2009
      corn season), and the most likely result is that a waiver would have no impact on
      ethanol production volumes in the relevant time frame, and therefore no impact on
      corn, food, or fuel prices.

   •  EPA also determined that the evidence also indicates that even if the RFS mandate
      were to have an impact on the economy during the 2008/2009 corn marketing year,
      it would not be of a nature or magnitude that could be characterized as severe. Even in
      the modeled scenarios where a waiver of the RFS mandate might reduce the
      production  of ethanol, the resulting decrease in corn prices is  anticipated to be
      small (on average $0.30 per bushel of corn), and there would be an accompanying

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   small increase in the price of fuel (on average $0.01 per gallon in fuel costs). The
   average increase in corn prices in all modeled scenarios, including scenarios where the
   RFS mandate would and would not have an impact, was $0.07 per bushel of corn.
   Such levels of potential impacts from the RFS program do not satisfy the high
   threshold of harm to the economy to be considered severe.

•  EPA's decision is based on the facts of this case, and applied the evidence to the narrow
   criteria for a waiver. EPA found that the evidence did not support a determination that
   the criteria for a waiver had been met, and denied the waiver.

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