United States
Environmental Protei
Agency
                          EPA/600/.
February 2008 | www.epa.gov
                Effects of CM
                         tic Invasive Specie
                and Implications for
                Management and Research
National Center for Environmental Asse

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                                                    EPA/600/R-08/014
                                                       February 2008
Effects of Climate Change on Aquatic Invasive Species and
        Implications for Management and Research
                National Center for Environmental Assessment
                   Office of Research and Development
                   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                        Washington, DC 20460

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                                     DISCLAIMER

       This document has been reviewed in accordance with U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency policy and approved for publication. Mention of trade names or commercial products
does not constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
                                      ABSTRACT

       Global change stressors, including climate change and variability and changes in land
use, are major drivers of ecosystem alterations. Invasive species, which are non-native species
that cause environmental or economic damages or human-health impacts, also contribute to
ecosystem changes. The interactions between stressors and invasive species, although not well
understood, may exacerbate the impacts of climate change on ecosystems, and likewise, climate
change may enable further invasions.  This report reviews available literature on climate-change
effects on aquatic invasive species (AIS) and examines state-level AIS management activities.
Data on management activities came from publicly available information, was analyzed with
respect to climate-change effects, and was reviewed by managers.  This report also analyzes state
and regional AIS management plans to determine their capacity to incorporate information on
changing conditions generally, and climate change specifically. Although there is no mandate
that directs states to consider climate change in AIS management plans, state managers can
consider predicted effects of climate change on prevention, control, and eradication in order to
manage natural resources effectively under changing climatic conditions. Further scientific
research and data collection are needed in order to equip managers with the tools and
information necessary to conduct effective AIS management in the face of climate change.
Preferred citation:
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). (2008) Effects of climate change for aquatic invasive species and
implications for management and research. National Center for Environmental Assessment, Washington, DC;
EPA/600/R-08/014. Available from the National Technical Information Service, Springfield, VA, and online at
http://www.epa.gov/ncea.
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                               CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES	vi
FOREWORD	vii
PREFACE	vviiiii
AUTHORS AND REVIEWERS	iix
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY	x

1.  INTRODUCTION	1-1
   1.1.  ORGANIZATION OF REPORT	1-1
   1.2.  GLOBAL CHANGE	1-2
   1.3.  INVASIVE SPECIES AND ECOSYSTEM IMPACTS	1-3
   1.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEM IMPACTS	1-6
   1.5.  CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON INVASIVE SPECIES	1-9
   1.6.  INTERACTING GLOBAL CHANGE STRESSORS	1-11
   1.7.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS	1-13
        1.7.1. Models to Assess Climate-Change Impacts on Species Distributions	1-13
        1.7.2. Models to Assess Invasive Species Distributions	1-15

2.  MANAGEMENT OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN A CHANGING
   CLIMATE	2-1
   2.1.  STATE MANAGERS' REPORTED CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	2-1
   2.2.  MANAGEMENT PLANS AS BLUEPRINTS FOR ACTION	2-3
   2.3.  RESEARCH RESULTS:  STATE PLANNING FOR CLIMATE CHANGE
        AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES	2-4
        2.3.1. Understanding and Incorporating Potential Impacts Resulting from
             Climate Change	2-6
        2.3.2. Capacity to Adapt Goals and Activities to Changing Conditions	2-7
        2.3.3. Monitoring Strategies	2-7
        2.3.4. Plan Revisions and Funding	2-9
        2.3.5. Adaptive Capacity in Regional Plans	2-9
        2.3.6. Conclusions about Adaptive Capacity as Illustrated in State and
             Regional Plans	2-10
   2.4.  ADAPTING STATE PROGRAMS, ACTIVITIES, AND PLANS TO
        INCORPORATE CLIMATE CHANGE CONSIDERATIONS	2-11
        2.4.1. Adapting Leadership and Coordination Activities	2-11
        2.4.2. Adapting Prevention Activities	2-12
        2.4.3. Adapting Early Detection and Rapid Response Activities	2-15
        2.4.4. Adapting Control and Management Activities	2-15
        2.4.5. Adapting Restoration Activities	2-16
        2.4.6. Adapting Information Management Activities	2-16
        2.4.7. Adapting Public Education Activities	2-17
   2.5.  EXAMPLE MANAGEMENT RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE	2-17
        2.5.1. Zebra Mussels	2-18
        2.5.2. Water Hyacinth	2-19

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                            CONTENTS (continued)
        2.5.3. Common Reed	2-20
        2.5.4. Green Crab	2-21

3.  INFORMATION AND RESEARCH NEEDS AND GAPS	3-1
   3.1.  INFORMATION NEEDS FOR STATE MANAGERS	3-1
        3.1.1. Information Needs for Effective Leadership and Coordination in a
             Changing Climate	3-1
        3.1.2. Information Needs for Effective Prevention Activities in a Changing
             Climate	3-2
             3.1.2.1.  Information Needs Related to Pathways	3-2
             3.1.2.2.  Information Needs Related to Prediction Models and Risk
                     Analyses	3-3
             3.1.2.3.  Information Needs Related to Monitoring	3-5
        3.1.3. Information Needs for Effective Early Detection and Rapid Response in
             a Changing Climate	3-5
        3.1.4. Information Needs for Effective Control and Management in a Changing
             Climate	3-6
        3.1.5. Information Needs for Effective Restoration in a Changing Climate	3-7
        3.1.6. Information Needs for Effective Information Management in a Changing
             Climate	3-7
        3.1.7. Information Needs for Effective Public Education in a Changing Climate	3-7
   3.2.  RESEARCH NEEDS ON AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES AND CLIMATE
        CHANGE	3-8
        3.2.1. Climate-Change Effects on Invasive Species	3-8
        3.2.2. Interacting Stressors	3-9

4.  CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND NEXT STEPS	4-1
   4.1.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE INTO AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES
        LEADERSHIP AND COORDINATION ACTIVITIES	4-2
   4.2.  IDENTIFYING AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES THREATS UNDER
        CHANGING CONDITIONS	4-2
   4.3.  IDENTIFYING VULNERABLE ECOSYSTEMS UNDER CHANGING
        CONDITIONS AND DESIGNING RESILIENT RESTORATION	4-3
   4.4.  IMPROVING CONTROL MEASURES UNDER CHANGING CONDITIONS	4-3
   4.5.  MANAGING INFORMATION UNDER CHANGING CONDITIONS	4-4
   4.6.  NEXT STEPS FOR RESEARCHERS AND MANAGERS	4-4

REFERENCES	R-l

APPENDIX A: AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES:
             50-STATE SUMMARY	A-l
                                      IV

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                         CONTENTS (continued)
APPENDIX B:  STATE AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
            SUMMARIES	B-l

APPENDIX C:  REGIONAL AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
            SUMMARIES	C-l

APPENDIX D:  COMPLETE CRITERIA AND SCORING FOR STATE PLAN
            CONSIDERATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND/OR CHANGING
            CONDITIONS	D-l

APPENDIX E:  MODELS FOR INVASIVE SPECIES INTRODUCTION,
            ESTABLISHMENT, SPREAD, AND INVASION	E-l

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                                  LIST OF TABLES


1 -1.  Summary of federal laws related to invasive species in aquatic ecosystems	1-4

2-1.  Consideration of climate change and/or provision for adaptation of strategies and
     actions under changing conditions in 25 AIS management plans	2-5

2-2.  Breakdown of which sections in AIS management plans account for changing
     conditions in goals and activities	2-8

2-3.  Percent of plans implicitly or explicitly accounting for changing conditions	2-9

2-4.  How seven regional plans account for changing conditions	2-10
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                                     FOREWORD


       Invasive species are a major issue ecologically and economically. Invasive species
threaten native species, sometimes to the point of extinction. The economic damages and losses
attributed to invasive species in the United States are sizable. In response to these issues, the
federal government coordinates research and other activities concerning invasive species through
the National Invasive Species Council (NISC) and the Aquatic Nuisance Species Task Force
(ANSTF). NISC has written and revised a national management plan that describes strategies for
prevention, early detection/rapid response, control, management,  coordination, education, and
research for federal agencies. The ANSTF has developed guidance for regions and states to
develop their own management plan and the Task Force reviews and approves these to distribute
additional funding. It is these activities that address management  actions on the ground that need
to incorporate climate change considerations. This report is a first step in addressing this need.
       Concerns about possible climate change effects are increasingly prevalent. The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency's Global Change Research Program (GCRP) in the Office of
Research and Development, National Center for Environmental Assessment, examines climate
change effects on aquatic ecosystems, water quality, human health, and air quality. The results of
assessments completed by the GCRP are intended to increase society's understanding of such
climate change effects and contribute to decision making that improves responses to
environmental challenges.
       This report deals with the interaction of climate change and aquatic invasive species
(AIS) and consequent effects on aquatic ecosystems. AIS are a concern to a variety of EPA
programs, interagency efforts (e.g. ANSTF),  state agencies, and other resource managers. This
report evaluates the combined effects of climate  change and AIS on aquatic ecosystem structure
and function and suggests potential paths forward that will increase our understanding of these
effects and improve AIS  management.
                                 Dr. Michael Slimak
                                 Associate Director of Ecology
                                 National Center for Environmental Assessment
                                 U.S. EPA, Office of Research and Development
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                                      PREFACE
       This report was prepared by the Environmental Law Institute (ELI) and the Global
Change Research Program in the National Center for Environmental Assessment (NCEA) of the
Office of Research and Development at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA).
It is intended for managers and scientists working with aquatic invasive species (AIS) to provide
them with information on the potential effects of climate change on AIS and strategies for
adapting their management to accommodate these environmental changes and to highlight
further research needs and gaps.  As a part of the information gathering for this report, U.S. EPA
convened two workshops with managers and scientists. The first workshop, held at the ELI
offices in Washington, DC in June 2006, focused on the current state of scientific understanding
of climate-change effects on AIS and on identifying research needs and gaps. The conclusions
from the first workshop led to two additional activities: (1) a review of state and regional AIS
management plans to identify adaptive capacity (i.e., their ability to adjust in response to climate
change) and (2) a second workshop to plan a series of review papers that addresses the
connections between climate change and invasive species and the resulting complexity. The
results from the review of management plans are a significant part of this report and serve as a
guide for how states and regional councils may begin to incorporate climate change information
into their planned activities for AIS management. The papers developed as a result of the second
workshop, also held at ELI in October 2006, will be published as a Special Section in the journal
Conservation Biology., expected June 2008.
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                            AUTHORS AND REVIEWERS

       The Global Change Assessment Staff, within the National Center for Environmental
Assessment (NCEA), Office of Research and Development, was responsible for the conception
and preparation of this report.  This document has been prepared by the Environmental Law
Institute in Washington, DC, under U.S. EPA Contract No. GS-10F-0330P.  Britta Bierwagen
served as the Technical Project Officer, providing overall direction and technical assistance, and
contributing as an author.

AUTHORS

Environmental Law Institute
Roxanne Thomas, Austin Kane, Kathryn Mengerink

U.S. EPA
Britta G. Bierwagen

REVIEWERS

       This report benefited greatly from the comments and suggestions of the following
reviewers.

U.S. EPA Reviewers
Joan Cabreza, Kristina McNyset, Gina Perovich, Paul Ringold, Christine Ruf

Other Reviewers
Pam Fuller  (U.S. Geological Survey), Brian Helmuth (University of South Carolina), John
Stachowicz (University of California, Davis)

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

       The authors thank the Global Change Assessment Staff in NCEA, particularly Susan
Julius, for their input and advice. We also thank all the reviewers in state invasive species
programs who corrected and augmented the information we collected for Appendix A. We very
much  appreciate their time and cooperation.  The members of both workshops, held in June and
October 2006 to discuss research needs and information gaps, also contributed greatly to the
content of this report and we thank them for their time, ideas, and suggestions throughout this
process.
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                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

       Global change stressors, including climate change and variability and land-use change,
are major drivers of changes in ecosystems.  Invasive species, or non-native species that cause
environmental or economic damages or impacts to human health, also cause significant changes
in ecosystems and to the services they provide.  The effects of climate change on invasive
species and their combined effects on ecosystems are not well understood, and these changes
vary regionally with climate and species traits. In some instances climate change may create
additional opportunities for invasion or create conditions unsuitable for certain invasive species.
Consequently, the magnitude of ecological, economic, and human-health impacts of invasive
species may increase, decrease, or remain the same.  The level of uncertainty about specific
effects of climate change is high,  yet a  necessary first step to address these effects is the
development of management strategies that incorporate existing climate-change information and
facilitate the addition of new information. In developing this report, we strove to identify the
research and management intersections that can jointly address climate change and aquatic
invasive species (AIS), thereby enabling effective prevention, control, and eradication under
changing conditions that states could apply to ecological problems specific to their regions.
       The literature review conducted for this report and summarized in the Introduction shows
that important progress has been made  in identifying climate-change effects on invasive species,
but in order to modify resource management activities we need a more detailed understanding of
effects on specific species and interactions of other stressors.  An analysis of existing AIS
management plans follows the Introduction.  This analysis assesses the capacity of states to
modify or adapt their management activities to account for climate-change effects.  The
assessment shows that most states currently do not explicitly consider climate change in their
AIS management plans; states are not currently mandated to do so.  But the assessment did show
that existing mechanisms in many state plans may be used to incorporate information about how
to adapt AIS management activities to  potential climate-change effects.  If states can adapt their
management activities, they will be more likely to maximize the effectiveness and efficiency of
their financial resources as environmental conditions change, while still meeting their AIS
management goals. In this respect, prevention activities may be the best way to improve
effectiveness and efficiency.
       Finally, this report compares information needs of AIS managers with current research to
determine where gaps exist. Overall, more information and research are needed on ways climate
change affects:

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   •   Most of the AIS management activities done by states,

   •   Each step in the invasion pathway (transportation, colonization, establishment, and
       spread),

   •   Invasive-species impacts (ecologic, economic, and human health),

   •   Specific invasive species and the ecosystems they invade, and

   •   Interacting stressors.

       These topics illustrate that much more information could be incorporated into decision
making. However, there are practical steps that states can take now to adapt AIS management
activities to the altered environmental conditions that are projected to exist due to climate
change. Initial steps are summarized into five recommendations:

   (1) Incorporate climate-change considerations into leadership and coordination activities
   (2) Identify new AIS threats as a result of climate change
   (3) Identify ecosystem vulnerabilities and improve methods to increase ecosystem resilience
   (4) Evaluate the efficacy of control mechanisms under changing conditions
   (5) Manage information systems to include considerations of changing conditions

       These are some of the areas where an understanding of the effects of climate change will
be important to our ability  to achieve stated management goals in the future.
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                                  1.  INTRODUCTION

1.1.  ORGANIZATION OF REPORT
       This report focuses on states' research and management needs.  The goal is to enable
states to perform effective prevention, control, and eradication of aquatic invasive species (AIS)
in a changing climate. Although numerous federal and international efforts are relevant to—and
are affected by—the concepts and recommendations discussed throughout the report, this report
focuses on state-level programs, plans, and activities because they play a significant role in on-
the-ground invasive-species prevention and management (ELI, 2002). Furthermore, states are
likely to play an important role in driving national policy on both invasive-species and climate-
change issues in the years to come.
       This report examines how climate change affects AIS using published information;
reviews state AIS plans and activities for existing capacity to incorporate climate-change
considerations into management tasks and strategies; discusses implications for resource
management, including informational and data needs; and recommends further research
directions based on this discussion.  It is divided into four sections and five appendices.  Section
1 presents the definition of global change and the United States Environmental Protection
Agency's (U.S.  EPA) approach to addressing global change; briefly describes current climate-
change projections and the potential effects that future climate will have on ecosystems;
describes the impacts that invasive species are having on the environment; and summarizes some
of the existing knowledge about how climate change affects invasive-species introduction,
establishment, and spread.
       Many states' AIS management activities and planned action items, as they are currently
structured and outlined in management plans, do not account for the projected effects of climate
change as there  is no legal mandate to do so. State agencies also have limited financial resources
and staff time to dedicate to AIS management activities.  The disconnect between invasive-
species management and potential climate-change effects may undermine efforts to achieve
stated ecosystem goals under changing conditions.  It should be noted that, for the purposes  of
this report, any modifications to management activities, plans, or programs because of climate-
change considerations is termed adaptation. Adapting AIS management plans and practices will
allow states to better prevent and control  AIS invasions under changing conditions and will
additionally maximize the effectiveness and efficiency of each state dollar spent on such
activities.
       In Section 2 we discuss how AIS  management may be affected by changes in climate and
make suggestions for modifying leadership and coordination activities, prevention strategies,
control efforts, and restoration to incorporate climate-change information. We give examples of
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several AIS that are current priorities for many states, the management practices that are used to
address these species, and the role that climate change may play in the introduction,
establishment, and spread of these species.
       A comparison of available information in the scientific literature with the
recommendations of Section 2 reveals that more scientific, multi-stressor, long-term studies are
necessary to understand more fully the interaction between climate change and invasive species
and more species-specific information are needed for improved resource management.
       Section 3 outlines the information needs and research gaps in our understanding of the
interactions between climate change and invasive species; Section 4 concludes with a discussion
of management needs for research and information to manage AIS better in the context of a
changing climate; the appendices focus on additional  information about AIS management and an
assessment of climate-change implications for AIS management plans.

1.2.  GLOBAL CHANGE
       Human activities have immense impact on the global environment, and these impacts will
continue if current trends persist (IPCC, 2007; MEA,  2005; Vitousek et al., 1997a). Human-
induced changes are currently the primary drivers of ecosystem changes (Vitousek et al., 1997b).
Global drivers of ecosystem change can include both  direct drivers (e.g., climate change, nutrient
pollution, land conversion that changes habitats, over exploitation, and invasive species) and
indirect drivers (e.g., demographic, economic, sociopolitical,  scientific, technological, cultural,
and religious) (Nelson, 2005). Invasive species also follow direct changes, such as invasive
species that exploit recently disturbed habitats (Didham et al., 2005). Of the direct drivers, the
terrestrial environment has been most affected by land conversion to other uses, often to
agricultural use (Nelson, 2005).  Overexploitation of fishing resources, pollution, and climate
change are examples of major drivers of change in marine ecosystems (Hughes et al., 2003;
Nelson, 2005). Primary drivers of change for freshwater ecosystems include modifications and
use of watersheds, human contamination of water resources, altered hydrology, and invasive
species (Vitousek, 1994; Nelson, 2005). Many assessments have recognized climate change as a
major driver of change that will play an  increasingly important role in the coming decades
(IPCC, 2007).
       Global change as defined by the U.S. Global Change Research Act of 1990 (GCRA),
global change "means changes in the global environment (including alterations in climate, land
productivity,  oceans or other water resources, atmospheric chemistry, and ecological systems)
that may alter the capacity  of the Earth to sustain life" (Public Law, 101-606 §2[3]).  In enacting
this law, Congress made the following findings, among  others:
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   •   "Industrial, agricultural, and other human activities, coupled with an expanding world
       population, are contributing to processes of global change that may significantly alter the
       Earth habitat within a few human generations," and
   •   "Such human-induced changes, in conjunction with natural fluctuations, may lead to
       significant global warming and thus alter world climate patterns and increase global sea
       levels.  Over the next century, these consequences could adversely affect world
       agricultural and marine production, coastal habitability, biological diversity, human
       health, and global economic and social well-being" (GCRA, §101 [a]).

       The U.S. EPA is one of several U.S. agencies and organizations that is conducting global
change research. The U.S. EPA's Global Change Research Program (GCRP) in the Office of
Research and Development is assessing the effects of global change on aquatic ecosystems and
their services in the context of other stressors and human dimensions in order to improve
society's ability to respond and adapt to the future consequences of global change. The GCRP
emphasizes the role of climate change, climate variability, and land-use change as global change
stressors. Increasingly, scientists and policy-makers have recognized invasive species as global
stressors because of their significant effect on ecosystems (Mooney and Hobbs, 2000; Vitousek
etal., 1997a).

1.3.  INVASIVE SPECIES AND ECOSYSTEM IMPACTS
       The movement of species into new areas is a natural phenomenon that has occurred
throughout evolutionary history (Tinner and Letter, 2001; Graham et al., 1996). In modern times
the movement of species has been augmented by humans operating in a globalized world.  In the
Great Lakes, for example, intense vessel traffic from international trade is the major vector for
introduction of non-native aquatic species.  This region has the highest known introduction rate
for freshwater ecosystems, with one new non-native species being discovered every 28 weeks
(Ricciardi, 2006). San Francisco Bay has the highest overall introduction rate as recorded from
1961 to 1995, with one new non-native species introduced every 14 weeks (Cohen and Carlton,
1998). The actual number of non-native species introduced into the U.S. is unknown.  Estimates
range from 6,600 since European settlement of the U.S. (Cox, 1999) to 50,000 species (Pimentel
et al., 2005).
       Non-native species (also  described as alien, exotic, or nonindigenous species) that are
intentionally or unintentionally released into new environments can become invasive species.
Executive Order 13112 (February 1999), which established the National Invasive Species
Council, defines an invasive species as a non-native species the introduction of which causes or
will likely cause harm to the economy, environment, or human health.  In addition to this
Executive Order, various federal laws relate specifically or are applicable to invasive species (see

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also ELI, 2002) (Table 1-1).  The degree of focus on invasive species prevention, control, and
management depends on the individual legislation.
       Table 1-1.  Summary of federal laws related to invasive species in aquatic
       ecosystems3
Legislation
Description of focus
Great Lakes Fish and
Wildlife Restoration Act
of2006
Amends Great Lakes Fish and Wildlife Restoration Act of 1990 to
further prevent intentional and unintentional introduction of sea
lamprey.
Salt Cedar and Russian
Olive Control
Demonstration Act (2006)
Initiates assessment and demonstration program to control salt cedar
and Russian olive.
Nutria Eradication and
Control Act (2003)
Provides assistance to eradicate or control nutria and restore
marshland.
Lacey Act of 1900;
amended in 1998
Prohibits import of specific injurious species.
Federal Insecticide,
Fungicide, and
Rodenticide Act of 1996
Regulates importation and distribution of substances, including
organisms, intended as pesticides, e.g., biocontrol agents.
National Invasive Species
Act of 1996
Prevention focuses on ballast water introductions, especially to
Great Lakes; authorizes research funding prevention and control;
encourages coordination through regional panels; encourages state,
interstate, and tribal invasive species management plans.
Nonindigenous Aquatic
Nuisance Prevention and
Control Act of 1990
Focuses on ballast water introductions to assess threats and control
methods; establishes Aquatic Nuisance Species Task Force;
establishes mechanism for approving state and regional aquatic
nuisance species (ANS) management plans and funding ANS
management activities.
Federal Noxious Weed
Act of 1974
Bans importation and transportation of noxious weeds into or
through U.S.
Additional information available from http://www.invasivespeciesinfo.gov/laws/publiclaws.shtml.


       Not all non-native species are harmful or will become invasive. For example, results
from studies prepared for the former Congressional Office of Technology Assessment show that
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approximately 8% of terrestrial non-native species, 31% of non-native insects, and 28% of non-
native fishes have had beneficial effects for humans and industry, such as species that provide
biocontrol or serve as a foundation for agriculture (OTA, 1993).  Further complicating the
definitions of invasive species are those species that are considered damaging in one area but
beneficial in another. The Asiatic clam (Corbicula flumined) is one such example; it invaded a
tidal marsh in the Potomac River in the late 1970s and increased water clarity to a level at which
submerged aquatic vegetation reappeared and various aquatic bird populations returned to the
area (Phelps, 1994). In other regions this AIS clogs intake pipes, damages industrial water
systems, and alters habitat. Only a small percentage of non-native species become invasive and
cause severe ecological and/or economic damage (OTA, 1993).  For those species that do
become invasive, their impacts can be devastating. Invasive species can threaten the very
existence of native species in the invaded environments (Clavero and Garcia-Berthou, 2005;
Novacek and Cleland, 2001; Mack et al., 2000). Invasive species are a major cause of
extinctions worldwide—48-62% offish extinctions (68% of North American fish extinctions),
50% of bird extinctions, and 48% of mammal extinctions (Clavero and Garcia-Berthou,  2005;
Harrison and Stiassny, 1999; Miller et al., 1989). It should be noted that invasive species are
generally not the only cause of these extinctions; invasive species are the sole cause for only 2 of
the 40 extinct fish taxa in North America (Miller et al., 1989).  In the U.S. alone, damage and
losses from invasive species are estimated at approximately $120 billion annually (Pimentel  et
al., 2005). Also, despite advances in understanding what makes  environments suitable for
invasion and determining characteristics of species capable of invasion, it is still difficult to
predict which species will become invasive (Richardson and Pysek,  2006; Kolar and Lodge,
2001; Lonsdale 1999; Rejmanek and Richardson, 1996).
       In this report we focus on AIS, including coastal, freshwater, wetland, and riparian
species that are already problematic in one or more states and have the potential to expand into
neighboring states as climatic conditions change.  Species can also become invasive when
introduced into areas with similar climates as their host climate, such as species from the Ponto-
Caspian regions to the Great Lakes. Thus, we rely on the definition from Executive Order 13112
that the species has economic, ecological, or human health impacts to be considered invasive.
However, because climate change has the potential to fundamentally change ecosystems, the way
in which environmental managers differentiate and define native, non-native, and invasive
species will also need to change in order to manage for changing threats.
       AIS can cause a wide range of ecological impacts, including loss of native biodiversity,
altered habitats, changes in water chemistry, altered biogeochemical processes, hydrological
modifications, and altered food webs (Dukes and Mooney, 2004; Ehrenfeld, 2003; Findlay et al.,
2003; Simon and Townsend,  2003; Eiswerth et al., 2000; Gordon, 1998).  Wetlands, including
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estuaries, are some of the most invaded habitats in the world (Zedler and Kercher, 2004; Cohen
and Carlton, 1998).  Some of the most notorious U.S. invaders are aquatic species such as the
zebra mussel, purple loosestrife, tamarisk, Asian carp, Caulerpa (marine green alga), and the
green crab. Section 1.4 describes the ecological impacts of some of these invaders and the
potential impacts of climate change on these species.

1.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEM IMPACTS
       The recently released Fourth Assessment Report Summary for Policymakers from the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a comprehensive synthesis of the
current state of climate change science and a discussion of the projected effects that climate
change will have in the coming decades and centuries (IPCC, 2007). Atmospheric carbon has
increased from 280 parts per million (ppm) in pre-industrial times to 379 ppm in 2005.  Other
greenhouse gases such as methane and nitrous oxide are also on the rise.  Warming is occurring
globally, as evidenced by increases in global mean air temperatures, global mean ocean
temperatures, melting of snow and ice in polar regions and high altitudes, and sea level rise
(IPCC, 2007).  The projected effects of climate change include warmer and fewer cold days and
nights over most land areas, warmer and more frequent hot days and nights over most land areas,
increased frequency of warm spells and heat waves over most land areas, increased frequency  of
heavy precipitation events over most areas, increase in areas affected by drought, increase in
intense tropical cyclone activity, and a rise in sea level (IPCC, 2007).  Figure 1-1 presents the
conceptual model of projected effects of climate change on aquatic ecosystems, interactions with
AIS, and adaptive management responses.  Some issues that are less well understood include
how precipitation, groundwater recharge, and streamflow will change as a result of climate
change (IPCC, 2001).
       In addition to the physical changes, climate change is altering ecosystems and species life
cycles. Changes include longer growing seasons in mid and high latitudes, shifts in species'
ranges towards the poles and higher altitudes, decline of some species, and changes in the
reproductive cycles of plants and animals that are cued by climate and seasons (Parmesan, 2006;
Root et al., 2003; Walther et al., 2002; IPCC, 2001). In the U.S., species restricted to southern
habitats may move north as milder winters allow overwintering. In other cases, less heat tolerant
species may decline in their southern ranges, allowing for new species to fill the niches left
behind (Aerts et al.,  2006). Thermal lake stratification regimes may also be affected by warming
water temperatures,  resulting in earlier mixing and phytoplankton blooms that may alter
zooplankton development.  Changes to timing of zooplankton reproduction and/or abundance
could favor certain species over others and have potential negative consequences for aquatic
ecosystems (Winder and Schindler, 2004a, b). Altered hydrological regimes will also favor
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                         Impacts of climate change on aquatic systems
                                       Altered
                                     stratification
                                       regimes
                                   Altere
                                 hydrologic
                                   regimes
                            Increased
                             salinity
                           Interactions with aquatic invasive species
              .,     ,      f I    Influence     H  Influence spread I Alter resilience of
              ATO-\- j  I-    I establishment of  H and distribution of I native habitats to
             AIS introductions •       . TCI       •        . TCI       •    . TCI .
                             •      AIS       •       AIS       •   AIS invasion
              Integrate climate
                  change
              parameters into
                  models
                                Adaptive management responses
Alter monitoring,
 prevention, and
EDRR strategies
Require initiation
 or alteration of
   control and
   restoration
   strategies
 Modify outreach
 and education to
anticipate changes
                                          Coordinate inter-
                                          agency adaptive
                                           responses and
                                            information
                                              systems
Figure 1-1. Climate change impacts on aquatic invasive species and possible
adaptive management responses.  Adapted from Rahel and Olden (2008).
                                          1-7

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some species over others. These changes may be particularly problematic for threatened and
endangered species, the habitats of which are dwindling (McLaughlin et al., 2002), or those with
limited dispersal capabilities if climate change makes their habitats unsuitable.  Climate changes
leading to increased rainfall or, conversely, drought may also shift invasive species ranges and
present new opportunities for invasion. Climate change will also contribute to selective
pressures on species, presumably leading to adaptive genetic changes that may influence species
success (Barrett, 2000).
       Some species do not require climate change to damage ecosystems, yet climate change
may exacerbate the damage they do cause.  Two examples of invasive species that alter the
invaded ecosystem even without climate change are the common carp (Cyprinus carpio) and salt
cedar (Tamarix ramosissima). The common carp decreases water quality and destroys viable
habitat for other desirable species while the drought tolerant and deep-rooted salt cedar
dominates riparian forests that were once dominated by cottonwoods and willows (Charles and
Dukes, 2007; Kolar and Lodge, 2000; Lite and Stromberg, 2005). Climate change may have
positive feedbacks for both of these invasive species if waters warm in the midwestern and
northern U.S. and if the southwestern U.S. experiences more frequent droughts, leading to an
increase in the amount of suitable habitat to invade (Seager et al., 2007; Kolar and Lodge,  2000).
This interaction between climate change and invasive species may intensify ecosystem effects
and possibly increase the spatial extent of these effects.
      As temperatures and precipitation patterns shift in response to climate change, species
ranges will also shift. A current example of a species shifting its range poleward and towards
higher altitudes is that of the mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonusponderosae).  Historically, the
range of the North American native mountain pine beetle has been limited due to climatic
conditions; cold temperatures at higher altitudes and latitudes prevented the beetle from
completing its life cycle in a single season (Logan and Powell, 2001).  With increased warming
at higher latitudes and altitudes the beetle is able to complete  a life cycle in one season, allowing
for range expansion, thus exposing new species of trees to pine beetle infestation and resulting in
epidemic breakouts  of the mountain pine beetles in existing and new environments (Carroll et al.,
2003; Logan and Powell, 2001). Although this is a terrestrial example, it illustrates two
important points:  (1) invasive species are already responding to climate  change and (2) native
species can become invasive when they spread into new locations as a result climate change
(Mueller and Hellmann, 2008). This underscores the  importance of considering climate-change
effects since species responses and overall impacts may not be limited to the current  set of
known AIS.
      Currently, most examples of species' range expansions in response to climate change are
terrestrial (see Parmesan, 2006; Root et al., 2003; Walther et al., 2002) although aquatic
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examples are increasing (Parmesan, 2006).  An example of an aquatic plant expanding into
higher altitudes is the threadleaf water-crowfoot (Ranunculus trichophyllus), which has invaded
previously non-vegetated lakes in the Himalayas, an invasion attributed to climate change
(Lacoul and Freedman, 2006).  Tropical aquatic snails are another example of species whose
ranges may expand under a changing climate. These snails are carriers of a specific genus of
trematodes or blood flukes native to tropical and sub-tropical regions of the world that cause the
disease schistosomiasis. These blood flukes could impact human health if these tropical aquatic
snails, move northward as temperatures warm and conditions become more humid (Tol, 2002).
While these aquatic species have not caused the types of damages attributed to mountain pine
beetles, the potential exists for other AIS to cause further or unforeseen ecological or economic
damages.

1.5.  CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON INVASIVE SPECIES
       Climate-change-induced alteration of ecosystem conditions can enable the spread of
invasive species through both range expansion and creation of habitats and conditions suitable
for newly introduced invasive species.  Altered conditions such as increased atmospheric carbon
dioxide, modified precipitation regimes, warming ocean and coastal currents, increased ambient
temperature, and altered nitrogen distribution can increase invasive species success in some
contexts (Ziska et al., 2007; Ziska, 2003a, b; McCarty, 2001; Dukes and Mooney, 1999).
Research on climate change and invasive species is limited; however, many studies on potential
climate-change impacts to aquatic systems and AIS exist, and several are  highlighted here.
       A number of scientific studies have examined whether increased atmospheric carbon
dioxide may enable invasions; however, because most attempts to predict invasions have been on
a small scale and knowledge of invasions is limited, predicting the effects of increased carbon
dioxide is uncertain. The effects of carbon dioxide enrichment in aquatic ecosystems, especially
with respect to AIS, are still much less well understood than in terrestrial  ecosystems, with the
exception of recent research on ocean acidification and consequences for  coral reef ecosystems
(Cao et al., 2007; Pelejero et al., 2005; Scavia et al., 2002). Research indicates that increased
carbon dioxide in ocean and freshwater environments may alter macro- and micro- algae and
plant dynamics (Feely et al., 2004). For example, Chen et al. (1994) found that increased carbon
dioxide may cause the invasive aquatic plant dioecious hydrilla (Hydrilla verticillatd) to increase
its growth rate at elevated temperatures (e.g., maximum effects of temperature on growth were
recorded at 25°C). Thus, as temperatures and carbon dioxide levels rise, hydrilla has the
potential to spread more rapidly within and outside of its current range. Weltzin et al. (2003)
examined how elevated carbon dioxide levels affect plant invasions in various ecosystems and
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concluded that increasing carbon dioxide levels will cause increases in resources, plant
production, soil moisture, and nitrogen uptake, all of which create favorable invasion conditions.
       Increased temperatures and altered precipitation regimes are likely to have larger effects
on AIS than increasing levels of carbon dioxide. One study of emergent macrophytes in lakes
showed that increased temperatures led to larger increases in biomass than increased carbon
dioxide levels (Ojala et al., 2002).  As in terrestrial environments, responses to carbon dioxide
may be species specific, but other environmental variables like water temperature and
hydrological regimes may be more important drivers in changing the establishment, spread, and
impact of AIS.
       Climate change is predicted to alter precipitation patterns, leading to droughts in some
areas and flooding in others due to increased storm intensity.  Knowledge of the effects of
climate variability, which also  causes droughts and floods, can offer some insights into how
ecosystems respond to the stress of altered hydrology (Shafroth et al., 2002). There is much
evidence in the invasive-species literature that ecosystem disturbances encourage pioneer
species, and many invasive species are pioneers (Byers, 2002; Schnitzler and Muller, 1998).
Thus, changes in precipitation  due to climate change may affect AIS establishment and dispersal.
Increased rainfall may allow for greater dispersal of upstream invasive species to downstream
habitats. Zedler and Kercher (2004) hypothesize that wetlands are highly vulnerable to invasions
because wetland invasive plant seeds are frequently dispersed by water.  Lonsdale (1993) finds
that flooding and rainfall are important factors affecting dispersal of the invasive weed Mimosa
pigra in Australia. The size of the area colonized related to the amount of rainfall in the previous
wet season, and the data suggest that seed dispersal by flotation is key to rapid wetlands
expansion.
       Increasing ocean temperatures also may enable new species invasions. Stachowicz et al.
(2002) compare recorded sessile invertebrate species recruitment and establishment with
temperature data. Their research shows that introduced ascidians (sea squirts) recruit earlier in
years with warmer winter water temperatures while the recruitment of native ascidians did not
significantly change with variation in winter water temperature. Because community
composition is often determined by which species settles first, introduced ascidians may out-
compete native ascidians as ocean temperatures warm. The authors also show that introduced
ascidians have higher growth rates than native species at high temperatures. The authors
conclude that rising mean winter water temperature is a stressor that may lead to increased
invasions by non-native species in New England. In addition, as coastal currents warm, species
may shift their ranges northward and become invasive in new areas. Barry et al. (1995)
examined data on intertidal invertebrate assemblages in California using records that span over
60 years.  These data show that near shore water temperatures increased by 0.75°C and summer
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temperatures increased by 2.2°C. Their study shows that southern invertebrate species increased
in abundance and expanded their ranges while northern species that were not tolerant of warmer
waters declined.  Some of this response, however, may be due to cyclical tidal fluctuations that
influence water temperatures (Denny and Paine, 1998).  Overall, the change in species
composition may be more species- and location-specific than a simple latitudinal response to
temperature (Helmuth et al., 2006).
       An example of a species that could move farther north as a result of warming waters is
the invasive mussel, Mytilus galloprovincialis. This blue mussel species has a higher tolerance
for warm water temperatures and increased salinity levels than the native blue mussel, Mytilus
trossulus, in California. Thus, M. galloprovincialis has replaced the native mussel along much
of the southern and central California coastline (Braby and Somero, 2006). The  native mussel
still dominates the northern coast of California as the invasive mussel is less tolerant of cold
water temperatures (Braby and Somero, 2006). However, as temperatures warm in the North
Pacific, M. galloprovincialis  could have the potential to expand its range northward.
       Dukes and Mooney (1999) also discuss increasing temperature in the context of climate
change and find that it enables species invasions under certain circumstances. Mandrak (1989)
examined 58 species to determine their potential to establish in the Great Lakes by comparing
characteristics of these potential invaders to 11 recent invaders. Of the 58 species studied, 27
could potentially establish if temperatures warm from climate change, while the  others could not.
McFarland and Barko (1999) examined the effects of increased water temperature on a
monoecious hydrilla, finding that the species is better adapted to higher temperatures than
previously shown in the scientific literature.  Populations of the common reed, Phragmites
australis, also increase with higher-than-average ambient air temperatures (Wilcox et al.,  2003).
Another effect of warming temperatures may be an increase in the number of sexual versus
asexual reproductive periods  for plant species, resulting in increased rates of spread. Diaz-
Am ela et al. (2007) linked the flowering cycles of a Mediterranean seagrass (Posidonia
oceanicd) to warming water temperatures. If these types of changes occur in AIS, they may lead
to further expansion and impacts.

1.6.  INTERACTING GLOBAL CHANGE STRESSORS
       Invasive species can be major ecosystem stressors, and their interaction with other global
change stressors  is not fully understood. Kolar and Lodge (2000) identify global change and
other anthropogenic stressors that increase the number or the impact of freshwater invasive
species: globalization of commerce (including shipping; bait, aquarium, and pond trade; and
aquaculture); waterway engineering (including canals and dams); land use changes (including
siltation, eutrophication, and water withdrawal); climate and atmospheric changes; and
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intentional stocking.  Carlton (2000) identifies a slightly different set of global change and
anthropogenic stressors affecting invasions in the oceans: overfishing, chemical pollution and
eutrophication, habitat destruction and fragmentation, biological invasions (facilitating other
invasions), and climate change.  In the Great Lakes, human activities linked to aquatic invasions
include clear-cutting and farming practices that increase sedimentation and water turbidity,
industrial pollution, urbanization, and overfishing (Glassner-Shwayder, 2000). These examples
show that there are many stressors interacting to facilitate the establishment and spread of
invasive species and to influence the magnitude of their impact. Climate change will interact
with existing stressors and may ameliorate or exacerbate their effects; however, little is known
about the change in magnitude of effects due to climate change.
       Although the above examples illustrate that there are many stressors interacting with
invasive species and climate change, land-use and land-cover changes remain the major global
stressors that affect these other stressors (Vitousek, 1994). Land-use change and the ecosystem
disturbances it causes can lead to more invasions (Hansen and Clevenger, 2005; Mack et al.,
2000).  Nutrient loading due to increased agriculture, intensification of agriculture, or urban
runoff can facilitate invasions of aquatic invasive plants (Lake and Leishman, 2004). Increased
development can lead to degradation of habitats, and some studies demonstrate that degraded
habitats are more prone to invasion than healthy environments (Mack et al., 2000).  Hobbs
(2000) discusses the complex nature of land-use changes and their effects on invasive species
and habitat invasibility.  Land-use changes include increased urbanization, deforestation,
ecosystem fragmentation, and altered agricultural practices (intensification and abandonment).
       Two additional major changes in recent history that can alter ecosystem dynamics are
increasing levels of human transformation and domination of ecosystems (Vitousek et al., 1997b)
and increasing transport of species leading to a breakdown of biogeographical barriers (Cohen
and Carlton, 1998). Hobbs (2000) describes the complex interrelationship between land-use
disturbances and invasions further. For example, land transformation (e.g., increased nutrient or
pollution runoff from conversion to agriculture  or urban development) can enhance invasion by
providing opportunities for establishment. Invasion, in turn, can drive land transformation (e.g.,
an invasive tree species can convert grassland into forest). These processes may feed back upon
each other to facilitate further alteration, possibly causing an "invasional meltdown," which leads
to an acceleration in the number of invasive species and impacts (Ricciardi, 2001; Simberloff
andVonHolle, 1999).
       Climate change will present a major stressor with which managers  and decision-makers
will need to be concerned, particularly in the context of interacting with other contributors to
species invasions.  However, scientific understanding  of the  complexity of invasions resulting
from climate change, and making predictions that incorporate this understanding, is not yet well
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developed. Indeed, one of the major challenges in investigating the interactive nature of climate
change stressors is the incredible complexity of biological systems.  Often, invasive species
models account for climate change factors in isolation because of the challenges of complexity.
For example, the most widely used models to predict invasibility may use temperature as the
primary component, but in future modification and development of models, scientists should
consider additional climate change parameters.

1.7.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS
       Models of invasive species introductions, distributions, spread, and establishment are key
tools for both understanding the invasive-species problem and designing effective prevention and
control techniques. Numerous types of models have been developed. In many cases, authors
recommend that invasive-species managers be  cognizant of specific factors (e.g., species
interactions, climatic factors, spread vectors) in ecosystem management. Some offer clear,
ready-to-use models and strategies for conservation managers. However, most models of species
invasion currently do not explicitly account for climate change; this represents  a research need
that is discussed in sections  3.2.1 and 3.2.2, primarily in that scientists need to begin to build
climate change variables and scenarios into these species invasion models. Initial steps include
integrating climate change-related parameters such as salinity variations, temperature changes,
and soil chemistry into these models and then examining future scenarios or projections.  The
outputs from models should help managers to better target and prioritize their prevention,
monitoring, early detection,  and rapid response programs under changing conditions.  This
section discusses some of the existing invasive-species distribution models and how climate-
change information may be  incorporated into them. Appendix E, Models for Invasive Species
Introduction, Establishment, Spread, and Invasion provides additional examples.

1.7.1. Models to Assess Climate-Change Impacts on Species Distributions
       Numerous ecological models have been developed to specifically address climate-change
impacts on species distributions, but these models generally are not applied to invasive species.
One of these types of models, the bioclimatic envelope model, is used to identify correlations
between species' distributions and climate-change factors to determine a species' climatic
boundaries. Based on this information, models predict how species' distributions may change
under predicted climate changes (Pearson and Dawson, 2003). Discriminant analysis is one
method that has been used to explicitly evaluate climate-change impacts on invasive species.
Mandrak (1989) uses discriminant function and principal component analyses to compare
ecological characteristics of possible invading species to recently invading species to determine
potential invaders' response to climate change  and found that nearly half of the potential species
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studied might invade in response to warmer temperatures.  Curnutt (2000) used multiple
discriminant analyses to identify connections between climate variables and plant distributions to
predict plant invasions.
       Ecological niche models also are used to predict potential species invasions.  Several
assumptions are fundamental to these models: (1) a species' distribution is limited by its
ecological niche, and (2) a species can only disperse to an area with similar ecological
characteristics (Peterson, 2003). One example of an ecological niche model is GARP (Genetic
Algorithm for Rule-set Production), which can incorporate temperature as one of its
environmental variables and has been used to predict invasive-species distributions (Kluza and
McNyset, 2005; Peterson and Vieglais, 2001; Stockwell and Peters, 1999; Stockwell and Noble,
1992). Since temperature can be included as a predictor of species distributions,  GARP can be
modified to reveal the influences of changing temperature over time. Authors of several studies
have used GARP to examine the potential effects of climate change on the distribution of
species, including those of the invasive Argentine ant and Limnopurna fortune!, a freshwater
mussel native to southeast Asia (Kluza and McNyset, 2005; Roura-Pascual  et al., 2004; Peterson
et al., 2002; Peterson and Vieglais, 2001). Underwood et al. (2004) developed a model using
GARP to predict the environmental niches of non-native species in Yosemite Valley, California,
using parameters of elevation, slope, and vegetation structure. Results demonstrate the
predictive potential of GARP for identifying potential invasion sites. The study concludes that
similar models can be developed for other national parks and that such models may increase
efficiency of field work and monitoring and decrease cost to managers (Underwood et al., 2004).
       Mechanistic approaches to modeling fundamental niches will provide additional
predictive power to current models because these approaches identify how the characteristics that
allow a species to survive (e.g., reproductive success, thermal tolerances, fitness requirements,
and mechanisms for acquiring energy) interact with a species' biophysical environment.  By also
integrating spatial and temporal climate information, these models can provide a better landscape
view of the elements of a species'  fundamental niche as well as how species distribution and
niche may change as climate changes.  Climatic variables of specific niches may  also be
integrated into GIS maps to allow  ecological managers to better visualize issues (Kearney and
Porter, 2004; Porter et al., 2002).
       The studies discussed above illustrate the potential usefulness of a variety of modeling
approaches in projecting potential  invasive species distributions under climate change.
Challenges remain in integrating climate-change projections and mechanisms of invasion,
particularly in aquatic ecosystems  and in translating model results into information useful to
managers and decision-makers.
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1.7.2. Models to Assess Invasive Species Distributions
       Most models that specifically address invasive species spread, distribution, and
establishment do not incorporate climate change variables; however, many of these models could
be modified to account for these changes. For example, diffusion models can be used to predict
species dispersal patterns over a range of habitats (Buchan and Padilla,  1999; Grosholz, 1996).
Factors that affect dispersion are important to the accuracy of these models; thus, they should
incorporate climate-change factors, such as increased water temperatures and carbon dioxide and
salinity levels, to determine how climate change may impact dispersal abilities and patterns. For
example, boater movements facilitate zebra mussel dispersal (Buchan and Padilla, 1999). As
temperatures stay warmer for longer periods of time and waterbodies remain ice-free for longer,
boat traffic may increase and move into new areas. Diffusion models will need to account for
these types of climate-induced changes in dispersal to ensure  their accuracy.
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 2.  MANAGEMENT OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN A CHANGING CLIMATE

2.1.  STATE MANAGERS' REPORTED CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
       Each of the 50 states conducts management actions that address AIS problems. Programs
and activities vary widely and may include research to assess current and future invasive threats
or identify pathways; detection of newly established species (e.g., monitoring, surveys,
inspection); import, introduction, or release requirements for species (e.g., permits and licenses);
transport and shipping requirements; quarantine; education and public awareness efforts; control
(e.g., biological, chemical, and manual); emergency response efforts; and restoration of degraded
areas to increase resilience against re-invasion.
       Many states have formed councils and developed management plans to organize and
guide priorities for action and/or have dedicated funding for formal programs to address AIS
problems. Other states conduct AIS management on a more ad hoc basis, under the purview of
broader agency authorities. For example, a state parks agency might work to eradicate invasive
species as part of the maintenance of a state-owned recreational area; a state wildlife agency
might seek to protect regulated fish and game species by preventing or controlling invasive
threats. In any case, each of the 50 states,  albeit to varying degrees, performs some form of AIS
management.
       In order to determine the information needed to allow state AIS managers to consider and
incorporate projected climate change effects into their programs, we inventoried AlS-related
management actions in all 50 states (see Appendix A:  Aquatic Invasive Species Programs and
Activities). Research entailed the review of publicly available documents, publications, and
online materials. For further clarification when appropriate, we discussed AIS programs,
research needs, and management strategies with AIS managers, scientists, and decision-makers.
Discussions during two workshops organized as a part of this effort also contributed to the
information on climate-change concerns.
       Results suggest that many managers and decision-makers are cognizant of the potential
impacts of climate change on invasive species and the effect this driver may have on the goals
and objectives  associated with existing activities and decisions. Reported concerns emphasize
how climate change will exacerbate existing problems, and how it may enhance conditions
suitable for invasive species not previously established. Following is a list of concerns reported
by states:
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   •   AIS range expansions

   •   Identification of species that are more likely to establish under changing conditions and
       modification of management priorities, accordingly

   •   Prediction and assessment of conditions that may lead to invasion (e.g., warmer
       temperatures, disturbed ecosystems and native species, increased nutrient availability,
       modified precipitation regimes, and erratic weather patterns)

   •   Overwintering capabilities for invasive species

   •   Increased propagule pressure and vectors

   •   Increased growth rates

   •   Unanticipated interactions between climate change and invasive species

   •   Effects of climate change on the success of control efforts

   •   Effects on ecosystem services from increased invasions (e.g., water supply, recreation,
       etc.)

       While state management staff generally recognizes that climate change is an important
issue, most states have not begun to incorporate climate-change information into their ongoing
AIS programs, activities, or plans; few programs make concrete decisions based upon projected
climate-change impacts. However, there is no specific guidance directing the inclusion of
climate-change considerations in state AIS programs or plans.  Additional challenges not
reported by states—which may also highlight the nascence of the issue for many state
managers—include, among others, the potential effects of changes in climate on control
methodologies and costs, management and authority, and communication of the problem to the
public.
       Although not every state operates a comprehensive AIS program, consideration of the
effects of climate change is still essential to the success of those management efforts that are
undertaken.  Because states' resources for invasive-species management are often scarce, they
should be used to support management activities that will prevent, control, and eradicate species
in as efficient a manner as possible. Incorporating climate-change information when planning
and implementing prevention, control, and eradication activities will help maintain the
manager's ability to successfully carry out these activities. Adopting an adaptive management
framework for AIS management practices will allow states to be better equipped to prevent and
control AIS invasions under changing conditions  and will also maximize the effectiveness and
efficiency of each state dollar spent on such activities.
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2.2. MANAGEMENT PLANS AS BLUEPRINTS FOR ACTION
       Congress passed the Nonindigenous Aquatic Nuisance Prevention and Control Act of
1990 (NANPCA) to address the national problem of AIS. Section 1204 of NANPCA allows
governors to submit management plans that identify areas and activities that would benefit from
technical, enforcement, or financial assistance in order to eliminate or reduce the environmental,
public health, and safety risks associated with AIS.  Once these management plans are approved
by the Aquatic Nuisance Species Task Force, states or regions are eligible to receive federal
funding to assist with prevention and control  activities. To date, 23 state AIS plans have been
approved by the Task Force and several states have plans in various stages of development
(MacLean, 2007). In FY 2006, Congress appropriated more than $1,075,000 of cost-share
funding for states to implement their plans.
       Management plans are often organized into the following categories of action:

   •   Leadership and coordination
   •   Prevention
   •   Early detection and rapid response (EDRR)
   •   Control and management
   •   Restoration
   •   Research
   •   Information management
   •   Education and public awareness

       In addition to inventorying AlS-related management actions for all 50 states (see
Appendix A, Aquatic Invasive Species Programs and Activities), we also reviewed completed
state and regional AIS management plans available at the time of the study and assessed how
they incorporate climate-change considerations specifically, as well as how they provide for
adaptation of strategies and actions under changing conditions more generally (see Appendix B,
State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries and Appendix C, Regional Aquatic
Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries).  Regional plans generally serve to coordinate
activities among states and their AIS management plans, while state plans outline more  specific
activities. Existing plans are in various stages of both development and implementation, and
some states operate a multitude of AIS management activities and programs in the absence  of a
plan. However, an assessment of state plans provides a logical starting point for understanding
how states are anticipating and responding to predicted effects of changes in climate.
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2.3.  RESEARCH RESULTS:  STATE PLANNING FOR CLIMATE CHANGE AND
    AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES
       In total, we reviewed 25 state plans (approved plans, plans pending approval, and draft
plans), including 23 AlS-specific plans and two general invasive species management plans with
a significant AIS focus.  Several other states are currently developing AIS management plans,
which we did not include in our review. We were also unable to include several recently
approved state plans as they were not available at the time of analysis, including California's,
Idaho's, and Rhode Island's plans. In addition to the 25 state plans, we reviewed seven regional
AIS plans.
       Table 2-1 summarizes how each state's plan (1) addresses potential impacts resulting
from climate change, (2) demonstrates capacity to adapt goals and activities to changing
conditions, (3) provides monitoring strategies, (4) includes plans for periodic revision and update
of the plan, and (5) describes funding sources/strategies for plan implementation. Within each
category, several more specific questions were examined (see Appendix D for the list of
questions under each category).  For each question we assigned scores from 0 to 3.  A score of 0
meant that a plan had no evidence of capacity to address a particular question or set of activities.
A score between 1  and 3 meant there was some level of capacity or  potential for that state to
incorporate and address information on and impacts from changing  conditions, including climate
change.
       Our assessment revealed that few plans incorporate climate change or the resultant
change of conditions (see Appendix D, Complete Criteria and Scoring for State Plan
Consideration of Climate Change and/or Changing Conditions for the full criteria and scoring).
The majority of state plans have management actions that, if conducted under different
environmental conditions, may prove less relevant, less efficient, or less successful than they are
under current conditions. However, some states, such as Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington,
recognize that conditions may change over time and have built considerations of changing
conditions into their management actions. In addition, many state plans contain measures to
periodically review and update management strategies and tasks, providing the opportunity to
review the robustness of management plans in light of climate change and to amend plans where
feasible.
       While most state plans do not mention climate change or changing conditions, our
assessment of these plans does reveal that states have some capacity to adapt their program or
activities (Table 2-1).  The assessment results represent a potential adaptive capacity across
different  parts of each of the state's program, which should make it  easier for managers and
decision-makers to address potential program vulnerabilities to climate change.  The scores from
answering each of the questions within each  of the five categories assessed (impacts from

                                          2-4

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       Table 2-1. Consideration of climate change and/or provision for adaptation of strategies and actions under
       changing conditions in 25 AIS management plans*.  Possible total score is 54.

Washington
Alaska
Hawaii
Kansas
Connecticut
Indiana
Louisiana
Missouri
Massachusetts
Maine
Montana
North Dakota
Oregon
Iowa
Wisconsin
Virginia
Arizona
Illinois
South Carolina
Ohio
Texas
Michigan
New York
Pennsylvania
Idaho
Understanding and
incorporating potential
impacts resulting from
climate change (out of 15
total points)
3
4
4
0
3
3
6
3
5
5
1
3
3
1
1
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
Capacity to adapt
goals and
activities (out of
24 total points)
3
4
3
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
Monitoring
strategies
(out of 9
total points)
6
5
6
6
2
3
3
6
3
1
0
2
0
3
3
0
3
2
1
1
5
3
3
0
0
Plan includes strategy
for updating and
incorporating new
information (out of 3
total points)
3
2
1
3
1
3
0
0
0
3
3
1
3
2
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
Plan identifies
dedicated funding
source for
implementation (out of
3 total points)
2
1
0
2
2
1
2
3
2
0
2
2
3
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
Score
17
16
14
14
12
12
12
12
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
7
6
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
1
*To view the complete set of criteria and scoring for each state, see Appendix D, Complete Criteria and Scoring for State Plan Consideration of Climate Change
and/or Changing Conditions.

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climate change, capacity to adapt goals and activities, monitoring strategies, plan updates, and
plan funding) were summed to give the category scores listed in Table 2-1.  Scores for each
question could range from 0 to 3, such that any score above 0 meant that some capacity existed
and the difference between a score of 1 and 3 was the degree to which this capacity was
explicitly acknowledged. Most states (92%) scored at least 1 in one or more of the five
categories assessed. These results also illustrate which aspects of state programs can be
modified more readily. For example, when scores are summed across states for each category
and normalized by the number of questions assessed in each category, most of the adaptive
capacity is in two categories, plan updates and plan funding. The ability of plans to be revised to
incorporate new information and the fact that states have sources of funding to accomplish goals
and activities show that plans could incorporate climate-change information and take steps to
modify goals and activities.  Monitoring strategies is the next category where state plans exhibit
substantial adaptive capacity. Relative to the other four categories,  the category describing goals
and activities currently shows the least amount of adaptive capacity.
       The highest scoring state was Washington with 17 points, though that still is less than
half of the possible 54 points. This plan has the highest score in our assessment in part because it
includes statements on the effects of climate on species boundaries, has a specific plan for using,
managing, and updating monitoring data, and includes a timeline or benchmarks for updating the
plan with new information.  For example, Washington's plan includes information on various
invasive species such as giant salvinia (Salvinia molesta) and water hyacinth (Eichornia
crassipes) that have temperature ranges that currently prevent them from invading the state—
information important for modifying prevention and monitoring activities in response to climate
change (Bierwagen et  al., 2008; Meacham, 2001)  (for detailed results on each state plan, see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries).

2.3.1.  Understanding and Incorporating Potential Impacts Resulting from Climate Change
       Only the Virginia state AIS management plan includes a discussion of climate change.
Overall, 84% of the plans assessed fail to even mention climate change.  However, most state
plans (76%) include information on temperature tolerances of species, and some (40%) include
discussions about the sensitivity of ecosystems to  changing conditions. These results indicate
areas where capacity exists in most states to begin to identify how these  species may respond as
climate changes at their current boundaries. None of the reviewed plans identify climate change
effects as potentially important research topics or mention the regional differences in projected
climate changes.
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2.3.2. Capacity to Adapt Goals and Activities to Changing Conditions
       Table 2-2 provides an assessment of the capacity of each state's plan - as it is currently
constituted - to adapt its goals and activities related to leadership and coordination, prevention,
EDRR, restoration, research, information management, and education and public awareness to
changing conditions.  Fewer than half of state plans (48%) mention changing conditions, and this
is generally implicit in the types of goals and strategies described that could be used to respond
to any changes in the environment, including climate change. No state plan that was examined
accounts for changing conditions in its restoration or information management goals and
strategies—two critical aspects of a comprehensive AIS management plan—though many plans
do express the need for research and data to inform management decisions under changing
conditions in the states' research goals and strategies. Of the plans that mention changing
conditions under 'Research,' 20% explicitly mention research into changing conditions (scores
of 2 or 3). Counting both implicit and explicit mention of changing conditions in these
categories shows slightly higher capacities across states although the research category still
dominates (Table 2-3).
       The goals and activities described by state plans in each of these sub-categories are likely
to be affected by climate change. For example, prevention activities will be challenged as
species move outside of known ranges. Modifications to how vectors and pathways are
monitored may be necessary to capture these effects. One approach may be integrated vector
management (Carlton and Ruiz, 2005). The integrated vector management framework
distinguishes cause, route, and vector for an invasion, including the biological and anthropogenic
dimensions. This breakdown into the components is useful for analyzing where climate change
may interact with vectors in order to formulate appropriate management responses.

2.3.3. Monitoring Strategies
       Although no plan includes a specific strategy for monitoring changing environmental
conditions, Maine's plan does note that climate change could be a cause for potential spread of
AIS and that the state will monitor climate conditions to provide early warning of new
populations (Dominie Consulting and Maine Interagency Task Force on Invasive Aquatic Plants
and Nuisance Species Technical Subcommittee, 2002).  Most plans, however, do have clear
strategies for using, managing, and updating monitoring data (80%).  These results show a high
capacity to modify activities associated with monitoring to include information on climate
change effects.
       While new information on more effective management methods can be incorporated into
many of the plans, climate change may pose additional challenges with respect to the spatial and
temporal scales of monitoring (Hellmann et al., 2008). Feedback from researchers to managers
                                          2-7

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        Table 2-2. Breakdown of which sections in AIS management plans account for changing conditions in goals and
        activities.3 Possible total score is 24.

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Sections in plans that account for changing conditions in goals and activities related to...b
...leadership and
coordination
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...prevention
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...EDRR
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...control and
management
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...restoration
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...research
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
...information
management
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...education
and public
awareness
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
aTo view the complete set of criteria and scoring for each state, see Appendix D.
 Scoring: 0 = none; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does not specify changing
conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and specifies associated goals and/or action items.

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                   Table 2-3. Percent of plans implicitly or explicitly
                   accounting for changing conditions
Plan chapter
Leadership and coordination
Prevention
EDRR
Control and management
Restoration
Research
Information management
Education and public awareness
Percent of plans
8%
16%
12%
4%
0%
40%
0%
12%
about changing conditions would be valuable in order to adapt management activities. Thus,
regional coordination, links between research and implementation, and decisions about the scale
of monitoring could be included in invasive species management plans to build on their existing
capacity.

2.3.4. Plan Revisions and Funding
       Most of the state plans include language about periodic revisions (64%), which indicates
a high capacity to include new information and update goals and activities.  Hawaii's plan even
recommends a regular update specifically to address and adapt to changing conditions (Shluker,
2003). Thus, state plan revisions may include information about climate change effects in the
future. Although only 16% of states reviewed specify a source for 100% of the required funding
for their actions (i.e., Missouri, Oregon, South Carolina, and Wisconsin), most state plans do
identify some funding associated with their goals and activities (64%). This identification of
funding indicates an overall high capacity for states to accomplish tasks in management plans.
Combined with periodic revisions, the allotment of funding demonstrates that many of these
states could accomplish activities that may ameliorate climate-change effects on their invasive
species programs.

2.3.5. Adaptive Capacity in Regional Plans
       Table 2-4 gives an overall score for how each regional plan addresses climate change and
demonstrates a capacity to adapt to changing condition.  The plans were scored using the same
scoring system set up for state AIS management plans and shown Table 2-1. One of the seven
regional AIS management plans, the Lake Champlain Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
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Plan, shows significant capacity to adapt to changing conditions. The plan scored significantly
higher than the other six regional plans, a score that reflects the inclusion of a strategy for
updating and managing monitoring data as well as regularly updating the plan.  In addition,
action items for EDRR, control, and management implicitly include climate-change
considerations. Other regions do not exhibit the same capacity; thus, incorporating information
on changing conditions, climate-change effects, and possible adaptive responses could greatly
increase the adaptive capacity of regional management plans.
       Table 2-4.  How seven regional plans account for changing conditions.
       Possible total score is 54.
Regional Plan
Lake Champlain Basin Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan
Midwest Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
Gulf of Mexico Aquatic Nuisance Species in the Gulf of Mexico: A Guide for Future
Action by the Gulf of Mexico Regional Panel and the Gulf States
Southeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
Western Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
Northeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
Great Lakes Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Nonindigenous Aquatic
Nuisance Species
Score
12
3
1
1
1
0
0
2.3.6. Conclusions about Adaptive Capacity as Illustrated in State and Regional Plans
       Our examination of 25 state plans' and seven regional plans' capacities to adapt to
changing conditions shows that few states and regions have developed strategies and associated
tasks that specifically address climate change or consider potential changes in environmental
conditions in general.  While this is not a surprising finding, since states and regions currently
are not mandated to consider climate-change effects and have limited resources for AIS
management activities, management plans could incorporate more strategies to increase a state's
or region's capacity to adapt to changing conditions. This analysis highlights that some capacity
exists to deal with the additional stressor of climate change, particularly through revisions of
management plans, the ability to fund specific activities, and the existing monitoring strategies.
These results provide managers and decision-makers with information on what aspects of
management plans can be readily revised to incorporate climate-change information and where
adaptive management approaches may be most beneficial.
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       The following sections summarize how state AIS management activities, including
leadership and coordination, prevention, control, restoration, and information management, may
be adapted to address the predicted effects of climate change.  The options presented are
intended as examples that managers and decision-makers can consider when modifying AIS
management plans to incorporate effects due to climate change.  To learn more about specific,
individual state and regional AIS management plans and how they can be revised to incorporate
climate considerations and adaptive management procedures, see Appendix B, State Aquatic
Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries, and Appendix C, Regional Aquatic Invasive
Species Management Plan Summaries.

2.4. ADAPTING STATE PROGRAMS, ACTIVITIES, AND PLANS TO INCORPORATE
    CLIMATE CHANGE CONSIDERATIONS
       In the sections below, we discuss how state programs, activities, and planned action items
related to each category of activity may be susceptible to the projected effects of climate change,
and we make recommendations for how management plans and strategies could be adapted to
account for and remain robust under changing conditions.

2.4.1. Adapting Leadership and Coordination Activities
       Coordination among federal, state, and local agencies, conservation organizations, and
key members of the private sector allows for comprehensive and complementary coverage and
implementation of state AIS plans and programs, as well as more efficient identification of
priority issues and concerns (ELI, 2002). To facilitate coordination and provide leadership on
AIS issues, many  states have established invasive species councils, working groups, or task
forces, and other states have invasive plant-, pest-, or AlS-specific councils (NISIC, 2006).
Many states have also hired state agency staff to coordinate state (or agency) management tasks
among agencies, conservation organizations, landowners, and other stakeholders.  Finally, state
AIS plans, often created under the leadership of a state council, play a fundamental role in
guiding state AIS  management strategies and management actions.
       As leaders in AIS management, invasive species councils at state and regional levels are
in an excellent position to begin to address climate change.  Councils may consider holding
meetings or workshops to (1) understand the scope of the climate-change problem and its
potential effects on AIS; (2) modify the design, if necessary, of current management actions and
plans to incorporate existing climate-change information; and (3) identify further informational
and leadership needs. For example, states and regions will need to know
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   •   how environmental conditions may change;

   •   which species may become threats under projected future conditions, including
       temperature tolerances of species;

   •   which systems may become vulnerable to invasion due to changes in temperature,
       nutrient availability, water quality or quantity, and/or changes in ecological community
       composition;

   •   how vectors will be influenced by changes in climate;

   •   how management actions, such as control methods, may be affected by changes in the
       environment; and

   •   what research is needed to better inform management strategies.

       State councils (or  agency staff in the absence of a council) would benefit from sharing
climate-related concerns and data with other states to address regional species of concern due to
shifts in climate. For example, neighboring states could be alerted to encroaching species,
changing vectors, and modified control strategies when possible.  Lists of potential invaders
could be created and distributed among neighboring states when possible. Regional councils
may also be useful in coordinating these activities.
       State councils may also play a role in coordinating cross-program integration for
strategies and tasks that involve more than one state agency or more than one division within
agencies, particularly those aspects that may involve multiple media.
       Not every state will have the resources to develop an organized, systematic approach to
address climate change. In these states, natural resource management and environmental
protection agency staff and coordinators may begin incorporating climate-change information by
reviewing current prevention, control, and eradication activities, as well as planned action items,
for their potential vulnerability to climate change; identifying information needs; and modifying
strategies where  feasible and when climate information is available from the growing body of
related literature or from knowledgeable practitioners and researchers.

2.4.2. Adapting Prevention Activities
       Prevention measures are implemented to avoid the introduction and establishment of
invasive species  and are widely recognized as the most effective and cost-efficient tools for
combating invasive species (Keller et al., 2007; Leung et al., 2002; NISC, 2001; Wittenberg and
Cock, 2001).  Addressing invasive species through prevention mechanisms such as early
detection and eradication  will be less costly over the long-term than post-entry maintenance and

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control activities that depend on continued commitment and resources as well as on development
of successful, targeted control mechanisms (Simberloff, 2003; Mack et al., 2000). Focusing on
post-entry activities also can result in a significant time lag between identification of the invasion
and implementation of control mechanisms—a delay that could result in extensive spread and
establishment of invasive species (Ruiz and Carlton, 2003). In addition, increased invasions by
numerous different species mean that various invasive-species management techniques are
needed, and with limited resources, only a fraction of these management actions can be
implemented (Ruiz and Carlton, 2003).  Thus, prevention activities are key tools for successfully
addressing invasive species, and states with limited resources may maximize the use of scarce
invasive-species dollars by investing in prevention efforts.
       Numerous strategies and measures may be used to prevent the establishment of
potentially harmful AIS, including mapping and/or surveys to identify and mitigate invasive
species threats, regulation of certain species (e.g., introduction, import, or release requirements),
quarantines, EDRR protocols and emergency powers to quickly identify and address new
infestations, and education to increase public awareness regarding particular species and/or
pathways. Another important prevention tool for invasive species managers is the Hazard
Analysis and Critical Control Points (HACCP) planning framework. As a part of the HACCP
planning process, natural resource managers identify potential invasive species and possible
points of entry that could result from management activities.  Managers also focus on specific
pathways and develop best management practices to prevent these species from being
introduced. This planning framework helps managers assess risk and make more strategic
decisions (USFWS, 2005).
       Many state AIS prevention efforts are specific to species that have been identified as
imminent threats' while other activities are focused on managing and responding to common
AIS pathways such as ballast water, recreational boating,  water gardening, or aquaculture. For
example, the New Hampshire Department of Environmental Service's Weed Watcher Program
trains volunteers to inspect recreational boats and other recreation-related gear to prevent
introduction of aquatic invasive plants. Often, states will  conduct a combination of prevention
measures to address species or pathways.  The Maryland Department of Natural Resources -
Fisheries Service, for example, seeks to prevent the spread of snakeheads by circulating posters
that ask anglers to kill and report all snakeheads, compiling regional data for captures in the
Potomac River, and annual monitoring that includes seine, electrofishing, and gillnet surveys.
Maine's Department of Environmental Protection and Department of Inland Fisheries and
Wildlife conduct aquatic invasive plant prevention along common pathways.  The agencies
jointly inspect watercraft, trailers, and outboard motors at or near the state borders and at boat
                                          2-13

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launching sites, regularly patrol waters and roads, and enforce violations such as launching a
boat or transporting a vehicle on public roads with plants attached.
       Prevention activities typically focus on species that are already known to cause impacts.
Climate change, however, may enhance environmental conditions for some species with the
following consequences: (1) new species are now able to survive in these locations, (2) known
invasive species expand their range into new territories, and (3) species that are currently not
considered invasive may become invasive and cause significant impacts. Monitoring and survey
efforts may be used to identify species  that are encroaching as a result of expanding ranges.
Monitoring efforts, as given in Figure 1-1, may need to be modified to focus on weakened or
changing ecosystems that are more vulnerable to invasion (Hellmann  et al., 2008).  As
temperatures warm, precipitation regimes fluctuate, and nutrient flows change, ecosystems may
lose their ability to support a diverse set of native species, becoming more vulnerable to invasion
as new resources become available; however, managers should not  assume that pristine,  species-
rich environments are immune to invasion (Melbourne et al., 2007;  Byers and Noonburg, 2003;
Davis et al.,  2000).
       Vectors also may be influenced by changes in climate and should be evaluated for their
ability to transmit species under changing conditions.  For example, seaways may remain open
for  longer periods during the year due to warming temperatures; thus, shipping and boating
traffic, a major vector for species such  as the zebra mussel, also may increase.  In addition,
completely new shipping routes may also open in polar waters due to  melting ice, which will
further increase boating and shipping traffic (Hellmann et al., 2008; Pyke et al., 2008). To begin
to address these concerns, pathway analysis and species prediction models should be modified to
include  climate change parameters.  States may need to alert inspection and border control
agencies to new invasive threats,  and related inspection priorities may need to be re-assessed in
light of these impending threats and pathways. Import/introduction/release requirements should
be based on  risk assessments that account for how changing conditions will affect the potential
for  an area to be invaded. Climate changes resulting in increased storm surge and flooding may
increase the  risk of species escape from aquaculture facilities. In light of these changes,
aquaculture  facilities may need to take  additional precautionary measures against escapes or
establishment (e.g., use only triploids, stock only one sex, or use sterile hybrids) or to use only
native species.  Finally, ongoing land and water management activities should be re-evaluated
for  their potential to provide new invasion pathways.  For example, waterway engineers could
examine passage between water bodies that were historically separated, create barriers to
passages, and consider AIS  spread before re-filling or reconnecting waterways (Rahel and Olden,
2008).
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2.4.3. Adapting Early Detection and Rapid Response Activities
       EDRR refers to efforts that identify and control or eradicate new infestations before they
reach severe levels. Because even the most effective barriers to entry will at some point be
breached, EDRR is an important element in preventing and controlling invasive species
problems. In addition to surveying and/or mapping to detect infestations, EDRR efforts may
include emergency powers for state agencies to implement control measures quickly and
restoration to decrease vulnerability to re-establishment of the invading species. Comprehensive
EDRR plans identify  participating and lead agencies, potential regulatory requirements for
control, and other EDRR protocols.
       The effectiveness of EDRR efforts may be improved by monitoring both for the
establishment of new infestations as well as for changing conditions in order to better predict
which systems may become vulnerable to invasion.  To address the potential effects of climate
change, continued and new monitoring will be necessary to update information systems with data
that allow evaluation  of those effects (Lee et al., 2008).  Adapting monitoring may mean
sampling at different temporal or spatial frequencies, or using different sampling techniques
(Hellmann et al., 2008). For  example, monitoring to detect range changes may require sampling
the distributional and altitudinal edges of species ranges.

2.4.4. Adapting Control and Management Activities
       Control and management measures vary widely among states and depend on the species
being targeted, the infested ecosystem,  availability of resources, and severity of the infestation,
among other factors.  Control techniques may be biological, chemical, manual, or mechanical, or
a combination thereof.  EDRR is an important element of an overall invasive species control
strategy (see Section 2.4.3. Adapting EDRR Activities).
       Changing conditions,  such as warmer waters, extreme weather events, salt water
intrusion, and/or changes in water chemistry, may affect the success of "tried and true"
biological, chemical,  or mechanical control measures.  To guard against ineffective control
measures, managers must be  aware of the conditions under which an introduced biocontrol
species may fail—or conditions under which they may thrive beyond control—and cross-
reference those parameters with projected changes in the ecosystem.  Changes in temperature
and precipitation may affect biocontrol and invasive species differently, either increasing or
decreasing the effectiveness of the biocontrol agent (van Asch and Visser, 2007; Stireman et al.,
2005; Bryant et al., 2002). For example, salt cedar leaf beetles (Diorhabda elongate) may be
less effective at controlling tamarisk (Tamarix ramosissima) in warmer temperatures, while the
alligatorweed flea beetle (Agasicles hygrophild) may become more effective in controlling
alligatorweed (Alternantheraphiloxeroides).  Similarly, herbicides and other chemical  control
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measures may also be affected by temperature, water chemistry, and other climate-related
changes in the ecosystem (Ziska et al., 1999).  Finally, mechanical control may no longer be
feasible when warmer winter temperatures allow invasive species to spread that are currently
limited by hard freezes or ice cover and occur in limited areas. A re-evaluation of appropriate
control measures may be necessary in order to make efficient use of state investments in AIS
management.

2.4.5. Adapting Restoration Activities
       Restoration of natural systems is critical to preventing re-introduction of an invasive
species once it has been eradicated or controlled.  Because healthy ecosystems can be less
vulnerable to invasion (Vitousek et al., 1996), restored ecosystems also may be less vulnerable to
future invasions, thus providing some insurance to investments in invasive species prevention,
EDRR, and other control measures.  One example of this use of restoration is Massachusetts'
Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan that calls for reintroducing native species as part of a
restoration program for lakes and ponds (Massachusetts Aquatic Invasive Species Working
Group, 2002).
       Given that climate change is expected to alter native species and habitats and other
ecosystem attributes, restoration designs should emphasize restoration of ecosystem processes
(e.g., sediment and nutrient transport, export of woody debris, river-floodplain connections) that
were originally disrupted and may have facilitated the establishment of AIS. Restoration
projects should include analyses of which native species may thrive in, or at least tolerate, future
climate-change conditions and avoid those species that may not be as well suited to future
conditions. Restoration plans that include the effects of sea level rise and the increased
occurrence of extreme weather events are likely to produce projects that remain effective under
future climates. For example, state coastal restorations are expected to be at risk from climate
change because water levels are critical in marsh restorations, and sea level rise could render
many current saltwater marsh restorations useless if this effect is not considered in plans. Based
on these factors, states may modify long-term restoration strategies in order to make habitats
more robust and less vulnerable to potential invasions as conditions change.

2.4.6. Adapting Information Management Activities
       No state has adopted a formal information management system that documents,
evaluates, and monitors impacts from invasive species (NISC, 2001).  State agencies that are
considering the development of an information management system will have to support rapid
and accurate discovery of data, correlate and synthesize  data from many sources, and present the
results of data synthesis that meets the needs of users.  In addition to data on species movement
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and establishment, information on ecosystem conditions—e.g., water temperatures, chemical
composition, and salinity levels, where applicable—should also be monitored and evaluated to
fully assess invasive-species threats in the context of a changing climate. Any existing or
planned information systems for AIS should incorporate information on climate change and its
effects on invasive species (Figure 1-1) and have the ability to be updated with monitoring
information in order to assess the  occurrence of effects (Lee et al., 2008). As more information
on effects of climate change on AIS becomes available, information systems will require the
capacity to be updated.  Then more targeted research may be done that can provide more specific
recommendations for AIS management in a changing climate (see also Section 3).

2.4.7. Adapting Public Education Activities
       Many states conduct public awareness campaigns to inform the public, decision-makers,
and other stakeholders about ways to prevent the introduction and spread of invasive species.
For example, Nevada's Lake Tahoe Basin Weed Coordinating Group posts signs and distributes
information to boaters on boat cleaning and disseminates flyers to alert them about potential AIS
spread.  Similarly, the Utah Department of Natural Resources' Division of Parks and Recreation
and Division of Wildlife Resources educate boat drivers from areas of known zebra mussel
infestations, encourage and fund boat washing, and inspect boats for infestations.  The programs
also post public alert signs at major recreational waters, include AlS-information inserts in boat
re-licensing packets, and print and distribute AIS brochures.
       Modifying outreach and education efforts to incorporate information about climate
change effects on AIS and their management is another possible management response presented
in Figure 1-1.  State AIS outreach campaigns can use their existing efforts to educate the public
about new invasive species threats due to climate change.

2.5. EXAMPLE MANAGEMENT RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE
       States conduct management activities that target a wide variety of AIS. Based on a
review of the state AIS management programs (see Appendix A, Aquatic Invasive Species
Programs and Activities:  50-State Summary), the following species were commonly reported as
problems (five or more states reported the species as a problem): Asian carp species such as
grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella\ zebra mussel (Dreissenapolymorpha),  water hyacinth
(Eichhornia crassipes), hydrilla (Hydrilla verticillatd), purple loosestrife (Lythrum salicaria),
Eurasian water milfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum\ common reed  (Phragmites australis\ curly leaf
pondweed (Potamogeton crispus), giant salvinia (Salvinia molesta), salt cedar (Tamarix
ramosissima),  and water chestnut (Trapa natans).
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       This section discusses four common AIS that are current priorities for many states,
including one marine species, and examines how climate change may affect these species.
Although many other species are also high priorities, many of the management activities and
potential responses to climate change may be transferable from these examples. Each example
illustrates how climate change can both positively and negatively affect current management and
control activities. Where the environment becomes less  suitable for AIS, their management will
be positively affected, and in areas experiencing new invasions, management will be negatively
affected in terms of impact and expense.  These species responses illustrate the need for
monitoring and the sharing of monitoring data in coordinated information systems nationally.
While the complexities and uncertainties associated with climate-change effects on AIS
underscore the need for monitoring, coordinating information resources, and engaging in further
research, state agencies can take some actions now to adapt AIS management to this additional
challenge using existing information.

2.5.1. Zebra Mussels
       The zebra mussel (Dreissenapolymorphd) population has expanded from its point of
introduction in the Great Lakes in 1988 to its current range that includes 473 lakes, the five Great
Lakes, and numerous rivers in 23 states, and most recently, it has been found in aquatic
ecosystems in Nevada (Benson and Raikow, 2007).  Zebra mussels form dense aggregates on
hard substrates, altering invaded ecosystems by consuming native phytoplankton and other
species in the water column and significantly reducing biomass. This adversely affects the
consumed species and also alters food web patterns and changes water properties by increasing
water clarity and light penetration. Often zebra mussels  settle in water supply pipes of industrial
and agricultural facilities, constricting flow and damaging equipment. Taken together, the zebra
mussel and the quagga mussel (Dreissena bugensis} (another Great Lakes invader that causes
similar impacts and that has a range that is expanding) are estimated to cause $1 billion in
damages and costs annually (Pimentel, 2003).
       Currently, there have been almost no successful mechanisms to selectively eradicate
zebra mussels once a population has been established in  a water body.1  Therefore, prevention is
the key tool to decreasing zebra mussel invasions. Zebra mussels spread by passive transport, in
ballast and bilge water, and by attachment to boat hulls and other equipment. Important
lrThe Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries eradicated zebra mussels from Millbrook Quarry by
injecting twice the amount of potassium needed to kill zebra mussels over a three week period in the winter of 2006,
four years after the first report of zebra mussels was submitted to the agency. For more information see: Virginia
Department of Game and Inland Fisheries. Millbrook Quarry zebra mussel eradication. Available online at
http://www.dgif.state.va.us/zebramussels/[accessed June 6, 2007].
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prevention measures include inspecting and washing boats and dumping live bait and bilge water
onto land. Because of the possibility of spread by recreational boaters and anglers, education
and outreach are also important prevention tools. The 100th Meridian Initiative is one example
of an interstate cooperative program that educates the public to prevent zebra mussel spread.
This organization posts signs and brochures along highways and at boat ramps to teach the
importance of cleaning and inspecting boats. Several states also have boat inspection sites, put
out news releases, give presentations, educate divers, and train port of entry personnel. Missouri
uses a variety of measures, such as installing Traveler Information  Stations to advise boaters to
clean their boats and working with bait  shops to spread their message.
       Freshwater lakes and streams in the northern U.S. may be available for recreation for
longer periods of the year because of increasing temperatures. This would, in turn, extend the
period of time during which recreational boaters and anglers could  disperse zebra mussels in the
northern U.S.  Educational efforts such  as those undertaken by the  100th Meridian Initiative may
increase in importance, especially in the northern U.S. regions that  are not yet infested with zebra
mussels.
       While higher latitudes and altitudes in the U.S. and Canada  may become more suitable
for zebra mussel invasion, habitats at the southern extent of its range may become less suitable.
As temperatures rise, so do metabolic rates in zebra mussels.  Unlike some species, zebra
mussels have little capacity for metabolic adjustment to temperature change (Alexander et al.,
1994).  As turbidity increases, zebra mussel oxygen consumption drops, which may be due to
increased undigestible particles clogging gills. Based on these results, Alexander et al. (1994)
hypothesized that the most stressful conditions for zebra mussels would be high temperature and
high turbidity conditions. Climate change may lead to these high temperature conditions in low
altitude and latitude rivers and lakes in the U.S., making these habitats less suitable for zebra
mussels; if these changes are combined with increased turbidity from altered precipitation and/or
land use patterns, conditions may become too stressful for zebra mussels in these habitats. In
addition, disturbances that result in die off of adults and decreased recruitment of 1-year old
juveniles have been shown to stabilize zebra mussel populations (Strayer and Malcom, 2006). If
changes in hydrology due to climate change include more intense flooding, this type of
population stabilization that limits population size may occur more frequently, versus a more
cyclic dynamic that can include very high densities. Management of more stable populations
may be  easier and impacts also may  be more stable (Strayer and Malcom, 2006).

2.5.2. Water Hyacinth
       Water hyacinth (Eichhornia crassipes) is a tropical aquatic  plant native to Brazil that has
invaded many countries (Charudattan, 2001). Considered one of the most problematic weeds in
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the world, it is highly invasive in southern states, Hawaii, and California (Ramey, 2001).  As a
floating weed, water hyacinth grows quickly, faster than any other saltwater, freshwater, or
terrestrial vascular aquatic plant (Masifwa et al., 2001; Toft et al., 2003). Forming thick mats,
water hyacinth rapidly over takes water bodies and significantly blocks water ways (Pimentel et
al., 2000; Charudattan, 2001).
       Control efforts are intensive and expensive. Florida spends $15 million a year to control
three aquatic invasive plants including water hyacinth (Charudattan, 2001). Florida also
mandated a coordinated control effort for water hyacinth including biochemical and chemical
control measures and surveys, which has been very successful at controlling water hyacinth.
Biocontrol methods involving weevil species also have proven successful in other parts of the
world including Lake Victoria, Africa. Prevention, early detection, and regional coordination are
critical for preventing aquatic weed invasions including water hyacinth (Charudattan, 2001).
       Though water hyacinth is relatively cold tolerant and can survive in open waters
(Charudattan, 2001), it cannot withstand winter temperatures in more northern states (Ramey,
2001). Climate-change impacts may enable both the spread and establishment of water hyacinth
within states as well as into more northern states.  Increased rainfall and hurricane intensity could
result in more frequent and intense flooding events, which can facilitate its dispersal (Michener
et al., 1997). Water hyacinth are able to survive these types of extreme events and can
reestablish and colonize both in up- and down-stream systems (Center  and Spencer, 1981). The
increased frequency and intensity of disturbance events may create unsuitable conditions for
native species, making ecosystems even more vulnerable to invasion by water hyacinth and
enabling its  spread.  Water hyacinth is already present as an annual colonizer in some northern
states, and warmer waters may enable and encourage its spread and establishment further north.
Of particular concern are  nurseries in northern states that sell water hyacinth for water gardens;
plant escapes are a common mechanism of spread (Charudattan, 2001). These nurseries may
become a viable pathway for water hyacinth as conditions in northern states become more
suitable for water hyacinth survival.

2.5.3. Common Reed
       Phragmites austmlis, the common reed, is prevalent on the Atlantic Coast and is rapidly
spreading westward and northward. It is native to some regions of the  U.S., but the invasive
strain is believed to have been introduced from Europe in the late 1800s (Blossey et al., 2002).  It
is most abundant on the Atlantic coast and is expanding in the Midwest. Wilcox et al. (2003)
mapped changes in Phragmites coverage between 1945 and 1999 by selecting nine different
years to examine using aerial photos from the Great Lakes region. GIS maps show that its
distribution expanded and contracted over that time period, but that it increased exponentially
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from 1995 to 1999.  Wilcox et al. (2003) hypothesize that expansion will continue quickly
through the Great Lakes.  In addition, Bertness et al. (2002) demonstrate that increased nitrogen
from shoreline development is facilitating expansion of Phragmites across New England salt
marshes.
       Phragmites control activities are important for wetland restoration projects.  Methods to
control Phragmites include biocontrol, flooding, non-specific herbicide control, cutting, and/or
burning (Ailstock et al., 2001). Most states carry out herbicide applications in conjunction with
other management techniques, such as mechanical removal, burning, or induced tidal flooding.
Ohio, Delaware, and Virginia have had success applying herbicides aerially, and other states are
considering this method.  Several states carry out herbicide control measures on private lands
through cost-sharing programs or through financial and technical assistance. Virginia has
mapped Phragmites distribution within the state and uses this information to prioritize control
and management actions.
       Climate change may affect Phragmites control. Phragmites can tolerate brackish but not
saline water (Asaeda et al., 2003), and therefore, sea level rise may help control this species and
increase restoration success of some coastal wetlands.  Areas predicted to be inundated by
saltwater and to experience increased frequency of saltwater intrusion due to climate change may
not be priority target areas for control actions. However, Phragmites populations also increase
with higher-than-average ambient air temperatures (Wilcox et al., 2003), and thus other wetland
areas may need to increase their control activities.

2.5.4. Green Crab
       Invasive species have been introduced into marine ecosystems via a variety of vectors:
ballast water and other shipping vectors;  pet, aquaculture, and aquarium releases/escapes;
opening of seaway canals between water bodies; and, to a lesser extent, research activities
(Fofonoff et al., 2003; Siguan, 2003).  The European green crab (Carcinus maenus) is a well-
known invasive predator on both the western and eastern U.S. coasts and in various coastal
regions of South Africa and Australia (Grosholz and Ruiz, 1996). The crustacean damages
coastal fisheries by consuming juvenile native bivalves (Glude, 1955; Walton et al., 2002; Floyd
and Williams, 2004).  It is difficult to control and manage green crab populations. Lafferty and
Kuris (1996) recommend developing and implementing biocontrol methods, although a
biocontrol agent is currently not available (ANSTF Green Crab Control Committee, 2002).
Maine has attempted physical control through fencing and manual control such as selective
harvests, but the state  has not been successful at controlling the green crab.  In Maine, winters
with below average temperatures have been the only thing that has succeeded in diminishing
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green crab populations (Dominie Consulting and Maine Interagency Task Force on Invasive
Aquatic Plants and Nuisance Species Technical Subcommittee, 2002).
       Warmer water temperatures due to climate change may thus cause further expansion and
establishment of green crabs in areas where they previously did not survive through the winter.
In addition, green crabs may spread and establish more easily in new areas as changes in climate
reduce native bivalve populations. Climate-change effects also may exacerbate the impacts of
green crabs to cause further habitat degradation.  For example, native populations of
commercially important clams (e.g., Mya arenaria, Nutricola tantilla, Nutricola confusa),
already stressed by green crabs and other invasive species, may not be able to withstand the
added stresses of climate-change effects, which include temperature changes, altered
precipitation regimes, and altered patterns of wind and water circulation (Kennedy et al., 2002).
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              3.  INFORMATION AND RESEARCH NEEDS AND GAPS

       A comparison of information available in the scientific literature with the needs of
decision-makers and state invasive-species managers reveals that there is a significant need for
scientific, multi-factor, long-term studies to more fully understand the interactions between
climate change and invasive species.  Also, some specific data needs could be addressed quickly
to enable managers to adapt AIS management practices for particular species and ecosystems in
a changing climate. Section 3.1 outlines the immediate information needs of invasive-species
managers to begin addressing the effects of climate change. Section 3.2 discusses scientific
research needed to develop a more comprehensive understanding of the interactions between
climate and invasive species under changing conditions.
       Information needs for managers were determined based on three sources:  (1) a synthesis
of comments from an U.S. EPA-sponsored meeting attended by researchers and state invasive-
species managers in June 2006, entitled "Assessing Gaps and Needs for Invasive Species
Management in a Changing Climate," (2) our 50-state inventory of AIS management programs
(see Appendix A:  Aquatic  Invasive Species Programs and  Activities) and activities, and (3) a
review of state and regional AIS management plans (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive
Species Management Plan Summaries and Appendix C, Regional Aquatic Invasive Species
Management Plan Summaries). Research needs on invasive species and climate change
interactions also are drawn  from the workshop and the 50-state inventory as well as from a
review of scientific literature on the effects of climate change on invasive species.

3.1. INFORMATION NEEDS FOR STATE MANAGERS
       This section summarizes the information needed by state AIS managers to adapt
management practices under changing conditions. Information needs are discussed according to
several corresponding chapters in the National Invasive Species Management Plan:  Leadership
and Coordination, Prevention, EDRR, Control and Management, Restoration, and Information
Management.

3.1.1. Information Needs  for Effective Leadership and Coordination in a Changing
      Climate
       Leadership and coordination within and among states and regions on invasive-species
and climate-change issues are essential both for improving  effectiveness of management efforts
and for increasing awareness and understanding of these issues more generally. The need for
better communication among states is a common concern among managers. For example,
managers in Georgia have identified a need for interstate communication to prevent people from
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traveling across borders with illegal invasive species.  This type of communication will be even
more important as conditions change.  Sharing information such as monitoring data among and
within states and regions will help improve prevention and early detection efforts. Invasive
species councils will be crucial to this effort; however, additional mechanisms and institutions
would facilitate leadership and coordination on climate change and AIS issues at both state and
regional levels.
       Information and research needs for leadership  and coordination under a changing climate
may include the following:

    •   Identify AIS and climate-change leaders in each state to promote the importance of
       considering  AIS and climate change together.

    •   Understand how other states are already cooperating  on climate-change or invasive-
       species issues by examining existing channels  (e.g., invasive-species councils) to share
       information  on AIS  and climate change and other mechanisms to facilitate the transfer of
       information  (e.g., regular meetings, workshops, distribution lists, databases).

    •   Identify which structures, institutions, and/or policies work best across agencies and
       allow flexibility under changing conditions (e.g., flexibility in numbers or types of people
       working on issues and flexibility within legal authorities).

    •   Understand the  consistencies and inconsistencies among states' laws that could affect the
       ability of states' agencies to cooperate both within and among states (e.g., problems and
       solutions affecting multiple media managed by different divisions or agencies).

    •   Prioritize invasive-species issues and concerns, in light of changing conditions.

    •   Identify existing, applicable adaptive management strategies that may guide state efforts
       to begin addressing  climate change considerations in AIS management.

3.1.2.  Information Needs  for Effective Prevention Activities in a Changing Climate
       Effective prevention methods are fundamental to stemming the tide of AIS. Prevention
strategies will need  to be adapted based on predicted and observed climate-change impacts.
Thus, managers will need climate information as it relates to pathways, prediction and risk
analyses, and monitoring.

3.1.2.1. Information Needs Related to Pathways
       States need information on how the effects of climate change (e.g., changes in
precipitation patterns and temperature) interact with vectors  and pathways of AIS transport.
Massachusetts, for example, is particularly concerned about  aquatic plants sold by nurseries that

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could escape and become established as water temperatures increase.  An understanding of this
interaction will help state AIS managers prioritize monitoring, inspection, education, and
regulatory efforts. However, identifying AIS pathways can be challenging, especially in light of
anticipated climate changes.  More information is needed to understand how vectors and
pathways are influenced by climate change, and this information needs to be shared among
states.
       Information needs for pathways and vectors under a changing climate may include the
following:


   •   Identify current priority pathways at state and regional levels and use existing
       environmental and biological data to identify how these pathways/vectors may change as
       temperatures and/or precipitation patterns change.

   •   Identify new pathways that will emerge under a range of potential climate-change
       conditions, including increased water temperatures, changes in precipitation, sea level
       rise, and changes in sea-ice cover.  The factors to consider will vary depending on state
       and region.

   •   Identify species that will become invasive as conditions change in order to help target
       pathway analyses. Use data and information from other states with similar habitats and
       ecosystem types to extrapolate potential new invaders.

       o  For example, extended warm temperatures in some areas due to climate change may
          result in an increase in recreational fishing, which could lead to a rise in boat traffic
          (an important AIS vector). Understanding the AIS implications of the emergence of
          these pathways, such as an increase in water hyacinth or zebra mussel introductions,
          and behavioral responses will be important information for managers adapting
          prevention and monitoring strategies.

   •   Determine how pathway/vector analyses can be modified to account for climate-change
       effects  (e.g., temperature, precipitation, and sea level changes) and provide accurate
       predictions.

   •   Incorporate climate change information into models and systems that predict changes in
       pathways and transfer mechanisms.

3.1.2.2. Information Needs Related to Prediction Models and Risk Analyses
       Besides understanding the interaction between climate change effects and vectors,
managers need to know how species and habitats will respond to climate change (e.g., range
expansion, ability for species to establish, habitat vulnerability to invasion).  By integrating
biological and  ecological data on AIS with different climate-change scenarios, such as warmer
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summer temperatures, altered precipitation regimes, earlier snowmelt, or increased carbon
dioxide levels, scientists and managers can improve risk analyses and prediction models.
       Information needs for prediction models and risk analyses under a changing climate may
include the following:


   •   Determine how existing invasive-species prediction models may be modified to
       incorporate climate-change data (e.g., water temperature, timing of precipitation,
       dissolved oxygen content, and sea level rise).  Specifically, it will be important to
       integrate known data about the biology of AIS into mechanistic, spatially-explicit models
       that include relevant climate-change parameters. Temporal and spatial scales of AIS
       spread and establishment will also need to be considered.

   •   Develop new models to improve predictions of species responses to climate changes in
       order to provide managers with some expectations for ecosystem changes.  Consider
       habitat alterations caused by  climate change, especially thresholds in aquatic habitats, and
       the interactions between species' adaptive capacities, their shifting climatic boundaries,
       and the shifting landscape that will lead to new potential distributions.

   •   Establish baseline datasets with information on existing AIS at state and regional levels
       in order to allow quantitative statistical analysis across climate-change scenarios.

   •   Identify AIS not yet found in northern  climates that have temperature tolerances that
       would allow them to overwinter as northern climates become milder (i.e., there is a need
       for information on temperature tolerances of species and on how these tolerances may
       change over time).

   •   Research how climate change may affect the conditions that may lead to invasion (e.g.,
       disturbed habitat, decreased native biodiversity, and altered light availability). Research
       will need to focus on both species  and  habitat characteristics.

       o  For example, two questions to  consider are, will increased intense weather events
          (e.g., hurricanes, floods)  lead to an increase in disturbed habitats that could facilitate
          invasion by AIS? and will certain AIS be more prone to invade these habitats than
          other AIS?

   •   Identify mechanisms to integrate climate change parameters (e.g., water temperature,
       dissolved oxygen content, sea level rise) into risk analyses to more accurately determine
       the threat of a species establishment and spread within an area.

   •   Assess the risk that non-native species currently allowed into the U.S. may become
       invasive and/or expand their  ranges in  response to climate change.  Coordination with
       other states and other types agencies will be important in addressing this need, because
       decisions about which species to allow are not always made by the same agencies that
       monitor and manage AIS.
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3.1.2.3. Information Needs Related to Monitoring
       Monitoring efforts will need to be adapted to ensure effective identification of potential
new AIS, as well as existing AIS present at low levels.  Collaborating with neighboring states to
share monitoring data may facilitate the process of identifying potential new AIS.
       Information needs for monitoring under a changing climate may include the following:


    •   Develop, establish, and fund strategically placed and comprehensive monitoring systems.

       o  Integrate or coordinate monitoring systems among states.

       o  Design monitoring systems to incorporate the potential effects of climate change,
          especially temperature and precipitation changes that influence climatic boundaries of
          AIS.

       o  Establish monitoring baselines to detect changes in both climate and AIS.

    •   Use research on encroaching  species, climate-change  effects on ecosystems, and new
       pathways that may emerge as a result of climate change to determine priority pathways,
       areas, and species to monitor.

       o  For example, if pathway monitoring efforts in a state focus primarily on aquatic plant
          imports, but recreational boating and fishing are expected to increase as temperatures
          stay warmer for longer periods, then monitoring efforts and techniques may need to
          be developed that focus on boat inspections and bait usage.

    •   Use information on how habitats and ecosystems will respond to climate change (i.e.,
       become more vulnerable to invasion) to help identify  priority areas for monitoring.

    •   Use information on how species ranges and distributions will respond to climate change
       (i.e., expanding ranges) to help identify priority areas  for monitoring.

    •   Modify monitoring methods to identify effects from climate change (e.g., temperature,
       precipitation, and sea level changes) and possibly distinguish between climate variability
       (e.g., drought cycles) and long-term climate change.

    •   Develop a core set of indicators for  state managers to  use when monitoring for AIS under
       changing conditions.

3.1.3. Information Needs for Effective Early Detection and Rapid Response in a Changing
      Climate
       Research to inform coordination and prevention also will help improve EDRR efforts
under climate change conditions. However, additional information  needs specific to EDRR also
exist:

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   •   Evaluate existing state EDRR capabilities (i.e., quarantine authority, emergency powers,
       and border control capacity) in order to determine effectiveness in addressing invasive
       threats resulting from changing conditions.

   •   Develop an effective EDRR system (if existing system is insufficient) that anticipates
       barriers and deals with them before any new species arrives, so response can be swift and
       effective. The system will need to include successful mechanisms for inspections and
       response. An EDRR system designed in this way will allow state agencies to detect
       potential invaders that may be more prevalent as  conditions change.

   •   Collect information on altered species ranges and/or pathways under climate change to
       help identify where to target early detection monitoring efforts.

   •   Ensure priority lists of AIS are updated regularly to reflect changes in species as
       conditions change.

   •   Develop rapid response protocols for species that are predicted to become more invasive
       under a changing climate.

3.1.4. Information Needs for Effective Control and Management in a Changing Climate
       Control and management practices also will need to  account for climate change to ensure
effective and successful control and eradication of AIS.  There is already growing recognition by
state managers of the need for more research on control methods and technologies for a wide
range of species, such as zebra mussels, Eurasian water milfoil, Phragmites, apple snails, etc.
Thus, as a part of the process to identify appropriate control techniques for specific species,
scientists and managers also should study how climate change may impact these  control
methods.
       Information needs for control and management under a changing climate  may include the
following:

   •   Research the performance of biological, chemical, and mechanical controls under various
       climatic conditions (e.g., increased temperatures, hydrology changes, and altered water
       chemistry).

   •   Determine which biological or chemical control methods will be most adaptable, or will
       remain robust, under climatic variability and change.

   •   Identify existing mechanical controls that adequately consider climate change.

   •   Develop guidelines on how climate change may affect different biocontrol species.
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3.1.5. Information Needs for Effective Restoration in a Changing Climate
       Managers also will need climate information to ensure restoration plans are adequately
designed to re-establish ecosystem processes and be successful over the long-term.  Information
needs for restoration under a changing climate may include the following:

   •   Research how best to restore ecosystem processes in invaded areas, such as sediment and
       nutrient transport and how restoration of these processes could be affected by climate
       change (e.g., how salinity, nutrient, and hydrological regime changes may impact the
       system's nutrient transport capabilities).

   •   Determine which species used in restoration projects will remain viable under future
       climatic conditions.

   •   Conduct studies to understand the types of feedbacks that may exist between climate
       change factors and invasibility so that restoration plans can adequately account for
       climate change conditions. For example, coastal marsh restoration is dependent on water
       levels.  With sea level rise, marsh restoration projects could be destroyed.

3.1.6. Information Needs for Effective Information Management in a Changing Climate
       An information system that documents, evaluates, and monitors AIS impacts is
imperative to prevention, early detection, and control efforts. An information management
system also must include distribution and establishment data, and correlate and synthesize data
from many sources. Various national information systems for tracking and organizing data on
invasive  species exist, including the Nonindigenous Species Database Network (NISbase) and
the Nonindigenous Aquatic Species (NAS) information resource. NISbase is working to bring
fragmented information on invasive species together into a single database that can be queried.
The NAS system focuses on AIS and will work with states to make sure  their specific needs are
met.  In moving forward with these systems, coordination states and other databases will be
important to ensure that the information systems meet the needs of all users, especially as
climatic conditions change. Climate-change data (e.g., water temperature, salinity levels, and
other hydrological parameters) will need to be included to make systems more robust and
accurate. Systems will need to be made dynamic and updatable to  reflect changes in species
distributions and establishment that may be caused by climate change (Lee et al., 2008).

3.1.7. Information Needs for Effective Public Education in a Changing Climate
       Public education activities will need to include information on climate change and its
likely effects on aquatic ecosystems and AIS. These activities could also be used to highlight
how  states are preparing to deal with these effects and what additional actions may be needed.
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3.2. RESEARCH NEEDS ON AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES AND CLIMATE
    CHANGE
       In Section 3.1 above, we discussed the immediate information and data needs of
conservation managers to begin addressing climate-change conditions. Below we address
broader scientific research needed to develop a more comprehensive understanding of the
interactions between climate and invasive species under changing conditions. These research
needs are derived from the literature review conducted to develop this report and also a synthesis
of the June 2006 workshop, "Assessing Gaps and Needs for Invasive Species Management in a
Changing Climate."  The workshop informed both this section on research needs, which are
directed towards the scientific community and represent more basic science needs, and the
previous  section (3.1) on information needs for managers, which are more immediate needs
representing more applied scientific questions.  The research needs in this section (3.2) are
necessarily broad in scope, demonstrating the paucity of information on climate-change and
invasive-species interactions.  For all research needs, however, climate-change data will be most
useful when it is tied to specific regions, and thus, to AIS that occur in those areas. For example,
research on the impacts of climate change in western North America projects that earlier
snowmelt due to increasing temperatures will impact stream flow (Stewart et al., 2004), an
impact that will be important when identifying how AIS may respond to climate change in that
region. However, regional climate-change modeling and smaller-scale projections of effects on
specific watersheds are at the current edge of scientific research; therefore, more detailed
assessments of effects on specific AIS in specific places is not yet possible.

3.2.1. Climate-Change Effects on Invasive Species
       Research is needed on  the effects of climate change on invasive species in all aspects of
the invasion pathway as discussed below.

   Pathways and Vectors
   •   Effects of climate change (e.g., water and air temperature changes, precipitation patterns,
       and sea level rise) on AIS pathways  and vectors, including new pathways and changes in
       existing  pathways.

   Establishment and Spread
   •   Ecosystem feedbacks between climate change and conditions favorable to AIS
       establishment and spread.

   •   Effects of climate change on current high priority invasive species, both positive and
       negative, in terms of changing distributions and impacts.
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   •   Effects of carbon dioxide on freshwater ecosystems and AIS.

   •   Effects of changing precipitation patterns, such as flood and drought frequencies, on AIS
       establishment, habitat availability, and spread.

   •   Effects of increasing temperature on AIS establishment, habitat availability, and spread.

   Ecosystem Susceptibility
   •   Climate-change effects on the susceptibility of aquatic ecosystems to invasion by AIS.

       o  For example, conduct studies to clarify the complex interactions among factors
          affecting species distribution and to determine whether climate change will increase
          susceptibility of habitats and regions to invasions, including assessment of positive
          interactions among non-native species and circumstances under which biodiversity
          may provide a barrier to invasions;

   •   Restoration and resilience effects on the susceptibility of ecosystems to invasion by AIS
       in the face of climate change.

   •   Studies of ecosystems recovering from disturbed states to understand the impacts of AIS
       on native species under changing climatic conditions.

   •   Climate-change effects on different types of coastal and ocean currents and resulting
       effects on the spread and distribution of AIS and their impacts to coastal ecosystems.

3.2.2. Interacting Stressors
       Additional research is needed on how other stressors (e.g., land-use change, overfishing,
and pollution) interact with climate change and on how these interactions affect invasive species,
including


   •   How other stressors (e.g., land-use change, overfishing, and pollution), climate change,
       and susceptibility to invasion are related.

   •   How increasing temperatures, water quality problems resulting from pollution,  and AIS
       may interact and the feedbacks that may occur among these factors.

   •   How changing precipitation patterns, water quality problems resulting from pollution,
       and AIS may interact and the feedbacks that may occur among these factors.

   •   How interactions between climate and land-use change may affect distribution, spread,
       establishment, and impacts of AIS.

   •   How development patterns may change under climate change and resulting effects on
       AIS.

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   •   How climate and overfishing impacts interact to affect AIS.

   •   How other factors (e.g., poor water quality) may facilitate the establishment and spread of
       AIS under climate change.

       Mack et al. (2000) note that research on just invasive species dates back only a few
decades, and more research is needed particularly on the epidemiology of invasive species so
that predictions may be more accurate. This information will also be important for
understanding how invasive species may respond to changing conditions. Dukes and Mooney
(1999) identify a need to study climate-change effects on invasive-species distribution, while
Byers (2002) suggests studying the impacts of non-native species on native species as the system
recovers from a disturbed state to more natural conditions. Overall, researchers conclude that we
still need to conduct a significant amount of research on invasive species and climate change in
order to address many of the information needs of managers.
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           4.  CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND NEXT STEPS

       Both invasive species and climate change are major ecosystem stressors.  Although not
well understood, particularly in aquatic ecosystems, the interaction of these stressors may
exacerbate the effects of each. In order to design and conduct effective AIS management, state
managers should put in motion efforts that will allow them to consider the projected effects of
climate change on AIS prevention, control, and eradication actions. This assessment of the
current status of climate in AIS management underscores the need to consider climate-change
effects in every part of AIS management plans and programs in order to address AIS threats
effectively.
       Incorporation of climate-change information is important for every state program with
AIS responsibility. Indeed, adapting AIS management practices will allow states to better
prevent and control AIS invasions under changing conditions, as well as maximize the
effectiveness and efficiency of each state dollar spent on AIS management activities.  However,
our review shows that, with few exceptions, states have not put in place adaptive management
strategies that incorporate climate-change information.  This result is not surprising since there
currently is no legislative mandate to consider climate change in these activities.  Our review
does highlight, however, that there is considerable capacity to adapt existing plans to include
climate-change information.  For example, most plans include provisions for revising and
updating the plan allowing new information to be incorporated, funding specific management
goals and activities, and implementing or modifying existing monitoring activities.
       Despite the lack of a legislative mandate, several states have taken or are taking steps to
consider climate change (e.g., Alaska, Arkansas, Kansas, Maine, and Wisconsin) (see Appendix
A, Aquatic Invasive Species Programs and Activities). For example, Arkansas is concerned
about the potential for water hyacinth to overwinter as water temperatures warm (see Appendix
A, Aquatic Invasive Species Programs and Activities), and the Arkansas Plant Board recently
added water hyacinth to the state's noxious weed and prohibited plant lists (Arkansas State Plant
Board, 2007).  Taking this step now to prevent water hyacinth introductions could help prevent
its future spread due to warmer conditions.
       For the majority of states not addressing climate change, a significant factor may be the
lack of reliable science-based information to inform AIS managers and decision-makers in
designing and implementing their plans, programs, and activities. Fortunately, many state plans
include research tasks that incorporate at least some capacity to examine changing conditions,
thus potentially reinforcing a hope for more information. In addition, the structure and substance
of some state plans suggest that managers are thinking about environmental change and may be
interested in including climate change more explicitly if enabled to do so cost-effectively.
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Scientific research, development of models and predictors, and data collection should be
conducted in order to provide managers with the tools and information they need to conduct
effective prevention, control, and eradication of AIS. Information needs include both immediate
data needs and long-term research to better understand the complex interactions between climate
change and aquatic invasions.
       Below we summarize five recommendations that are designed to maintain and improve
state AIS management programs and activities in a changing climate. For each recommendation,
it will be important for states to consider how to collect data, test hypotheses, and record results;
how to change their management plans; and how to coordinate action to move forward on each
recommendation. Using an adaptive-management framework will make these recommendations
easier to implement as states address climate change.

4.1. INCORPORATING CLIMATE INTO AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES
    LEADERSHIP AND COORDINATION ACTIVITIES
       Invasive-species councils, or lead state agencies in the absence of councils, can
incorporate climate considerations into their management plans.  This might be initiated by
conducting facilitated meetings and/or workshops to identify specific management strategies and
research needs to inform management strategies.  State councils also could work with one
another to share information on climate-related data across regions. Coordination and
information sharing among states will  also facilitate the implementation of activities that are
adapted to climate change effects.  State and federal agencies also could collaborate in areas such
as AIS data collection, specifically where the spatial scale of the biological and environmental
data needed by the federal government may be more efficiently collected by a state.  In turn, the
data provided to the federal government by states may be used in modeling scenarios that also
would benefit state AIS management efforts.

4.2. IDENTIFYING AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES THREATS UNDER CHANGING
    CONDITIONS
       In order to effectively prevent invasions that might result from or be influenced by
climate-change factors, a first step should be to identify specific AIS threats, including new
pathways and vectors, which may result as environmental conditions such as water and air
temperatures, precipitation patterns, or sea levels change. In implementing this step, the initial
focus should be placed on state priority AIS.  Coordination among states to share information on
species and pathways will aid in data collection and implementation of prevention activities.
State collaboration could be carried out through regular meetings between invasive-species
councils and/or agency AIS personnel.

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       Comprehensive monitoring systems that can detect new AIS, new impacts, and range
changes as a result of climate change must be developed, established, and funded. Ideally, these
systems should be accessible to managers within a state and among states to ensure
dissemination of important information. The systems should also be easy to update as more
information on AIS and climate change becomes available. Pathway analysis and species
prediction models also need to be modified and/or developed to address the multiple factors that
drive invasions. Models that incorporate predictions of changes in air temperature, water
temperature, precipitation, and sea level, may provide highly useful projections on changes in the
movement of species' range boundaries. In response, regulatory  requirements and education
efforts can be adjusted accordingly.  Each of these steps could benefit from additional research
that specifically addresses how current practices may need to change in light of climate change.

4.3.  IDENTIFYING VULNERABLE ECOSYSTEMS UNDER CHANGING
    CONDITIONS AND DESIGNING RESILIENT RESTORATION
       Effective AIS prevention efforts must include identification of ecosystems that may be
more vulnerable to invasion under changing environmental conditions. This effort should be
complemented by identification of key restoration opportunities.  Restoration of ecosystems is an
important aspect to comprehensive prevention strategies, as robust habitats are less vulnerable to
invasion.  For these reasons, restoration should be designed to thrive under, or at least withstand,
the changing temperatures, precipitation patterns, and sea level changes that are predicted to
result from climate change.  Both identifying vulnerable ecosystems and restoring ecosystems to
become less vulnerable are activities that would benefit from additional research that includes
climate change interactions. As a first step, states could begin collecting data on vulnerable
ecosystems and restoration techniques appropriate for these ecosystems;  if the data already exist,
these areas could be used to test restoration techniques in an adaptive-management framework.

4.4.  IMPROVING CONTROL MEASURES UNDER CHANGING CONDITIONS
       States should evaluate control measures for efficacy under the altered conditions that may
result from a changing climate and should adjust AIS management priorities and plans
accordingly. Biological, chemical, manual, and mechanical control methods may all be affected
by climate change. Managers will need to coordinate with  scientists to obtain any existing
information on different control methods and how climate-change effects, such as increased
temperatures and altered precipitation patterns, may affect their efficacy, so that states may be
better prepared to adapt their control programs. Because more research may be needed to
identify how climate change will affect control mechanisms, state managers will need to
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coordinate with scientists to ensure that research is focused on the most critical and vulnerable
control methods.

4.5.  MANAGING INFORMATION UNDER CHANGING CONDITIONS
       States designing AIS information management systems should include the capacity to
account for changing conditions by collecting and tracking climate change data (e.g., water
temperature, salinity levels, and water chemistry). Including this information will ensure
robustness and accuracy of information management systems under changing conditions.  States
also  should check existing  information systems such as NISbase and the NAS information
resource to prevent duplicative efforts and also to benefit from information already  collected.
States' managers also should take steps to ensure that the data collected by states is integrated
into these existing systems.

4.6.  NEXT STEPS FOR RESEARCHERS AND MANAGERS
       Although there is much to be done for states and their partners to begin to address  climate
change in AIS management, the importance of making a concerted movement is underscored by
the findings of this report.  State AIS managers have concrete needs for information and data; the
research community, including universities, government agencies, nongovernmental
organizations, and private groups, has capability to address these needs.  But specific financial
and programmatic support  for all of these activities does not now exist. However, even under the
current circumstances, states have some significant options for incorporating climate
considerations to a greater  extent into their current AIS efforts.
       An adaptive-management framework may be the most appropriate framework for states
to use to begin incorporating climate-change information into management plans and programs.
Adaptive management involves testing the effectiveness of different management methods.  This
testing will be important because of the high levels of uncertainty about specific temporal  and
spatial effects of climate change. In addition, coordinating research with state needs and
activities will ensure that the design and implementation of an adaptive-management framework
is effective at addressing and anticipating climate-change effects (Bierwagen et al.,  2008).
       An additional, important step for states is coordination among state and regional
invasive-species councils and  state agency personnel that manage AIS. This collaboration will
facilitate information sharing on various management activities that will likely be affected by
climate  change, including pathway identification, monitoring data,  and control mechanisms. In
addition, agency staff and AIS coordinators would receive valuable information from reviewing
current prevention, control, and eradication activities, as well as planned action items, for  their
potential vulnerability to climate change; identifying specific data and information needs;  and
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modifying current strategies where feasible and when climate information is available from the
growing body of scientific literature or from knowledgeable practitioners and researchers.
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                        APPENDIX A

AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES 50-STATE
                         SUMMARY
                            A-l

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                              CONTENTS
A.I.  METHODS	A-13

A.2.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     ALABAMA	A-14
     A.2.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-14
     A.2.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-14
     A.2.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-14
     A.2.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-14
     A.2.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-14
     A.2.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-15

A.3.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     ALASKA	A-16
     A.3.1.  STATUS OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT
            PLAN	A-16
     A.3.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS and ACTIVITIES	A-16
     A.3.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-17
     A.3.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-17
     A.3.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-17
     A.3.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-18

A.4.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     ARIZONA	A-19
     A.4.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-19
     A.4.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-19
     A.4.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE
            PERSONNEL	A-19
     A.4.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-20
     A.4.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-20
     A.4.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-20

A. 5.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     ARKANSAS	A-21
     A.5.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-21
     A.5.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-21
     A.5.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-21
     A.5.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-21
     A.5.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-21
     A.5.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-22

A.6.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     CALIFORNIA	A-23
     A.6.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-23

                                  A-2

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
     A.6.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-23
     A.6.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-23
     A.6.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-23
     A.6.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-24
     A.6.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-24

A.7.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     COLORADO	A-25
     A.7.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-25
     A.7.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-25
     A.7.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-26
     A.7.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-26
     A.7.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-26
     A.7.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-26

A. 8.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     CONNECTICUT	A-27
     A.8.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-27
     A.8.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-27
     A.8.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-29
     A.8.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-29
     A.8.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-29
     A.8.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-30

A.9.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     DELAWARE	A-31
     A.9.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-31
     A.9.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-31
     A.9.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-32
     A.9.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-32
     A.9.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-32
     A.9.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-32

A. 10. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     FLORIDA	A-33
     A.10.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-33
     A. 10.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-33
     A.10.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-34
     A.10.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-34
     A.10.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-34
     A.10.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-34
                                  A-3

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
A. 11.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      GEORGIA	A-35
      A.ll.l. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-35
      A. 11.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-35
      A.11.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-35
      A.I 1.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-35
      A.11.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-35
      A.I 1.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-36

A. 12.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      HAWAII	A-38
      A.12.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-38
      A. 12.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-38
      A.12.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-39
      A.12.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-39
      A.12.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-39
      A.12.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-39

A. 13.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN IDAHO ... A-41
      A.13.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-41
      A. 13.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-41
      A.13.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-42
      A.13.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-42
      A.13.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-42
      A.13.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-42

A. 14.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      ILLINOIS	A-43
      A.14.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-43
      A. 14.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-43
      A.14.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-44
      A.14.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-45
      A. 14.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-45
      A.14.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-45

A. 15.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      INDIANA	A-46
      A.15.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-46
      A. 15.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-46
      A.15.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-46
      A.15.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-47
      A.15.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-47
      A.15.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-47

                                  A-4

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
A. 16.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN IOWA	A-48
      A.16.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-48
      A. 16.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-48
      A.16.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-48
      A.16.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-48
      A.16.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-48
      A.16.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-48

A. 17.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      KANSAS	A-49
      A.17.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-49
      A. 17.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-49
      A.17.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-49
      A.17.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-49
      A. 17.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-49
      A.17.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-50

A. 18.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      KENTUCKY	A-51
      A.18.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-51
      A.18.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-51
      A.18.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-51
      A.18.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-52
      A.18.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-52
      A.18.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-52

A. 19.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      LOUISIANA	A-53
      A.19.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-53
      A. 19.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-53
      A.19.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-53
      A.19.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-53
      A.19.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-54
      A.19.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-54

A.20.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MAINE... A-55
      A.20.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-55
      A.20.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-55
      A.20.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-56
      A.20.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-56
      A.20.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-57
      A.20.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-57
                                  A-5

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
A.21.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      MARYLAND	A-58
      A.21.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-58
      A.21.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-58
      A.21.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-59
      A.21.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-59
      A.21.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-60
      A.21.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-60

A.22.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      MASSACHUSETTS	A-61
      A.22.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-61
      A.22.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-61
      A.22.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-62
      A.22.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-62
      A.22.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-62
      A.22.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-62

A.23.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      MICHIGAN	A-63
      A.23.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-63
      A.23.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-63
      A.23.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-63
      A.23.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-64
      A.23.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-64
      A.23.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-64

A.24.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      MINNESOTA	A-65
      A.24.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-65
      A.24.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-65
      A.24.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-65
      A.24.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-66
      A.24.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-66
      A.24.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-66

A.25.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      MISSISSIPPI	A-67
      A.25.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-67
      A.25.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-67
      A.25.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-67
      A.25.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-68
      A.25.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-68

                                  A-6

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
     A.25.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-68

A.26. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     MISSOURI	A-69
     A.26.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-69
     A.26.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-69
     A.26.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-70
     A.26.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-70
     A.26.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-70
     A.26.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-70

A.27. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     MONTANA	A-71
     A.27.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-71
     A.27.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-71
     A.27.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-71
     A.27 A. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-72
     A.27.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-72
     A.27.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-72

A.28. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     NEBRASKA	A-73
     A.28.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-73
     A.28.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-73
     A.28.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-74
     A.28.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-74
     A.28.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-74
     A.28.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-74

A.29. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     NEVADA	A-75
     A.29.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-75
     A.29.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-75
     A.29.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-76
     A.29.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-76
     A.29.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-76
     A.29.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-76

A.30. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEW
     HAMPSHIRE	A-77
     A.30.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-77
     A.30.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-77
                                  A-7

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
     A.30.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE
            PERSONNEL	A-78
     A.30.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-78
     A.30.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-78
     A.30.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-79

A.31. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEW
     JERSEY	A-80
     A.31.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-80
     A.31.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-80
     A.31.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE
            PERSONNEL	A-80
     A.31.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-80
     A.31.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-81
     A.31.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-81

A.32. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     NEW MEXICO	A-82
     A.32.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-82
     A.32.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-82
     A.32.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-83
     A.32.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-83
     A.32.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-83
     A.32.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-83

A.33. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEW
     YORK	A-85
     A.33.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-85
     A.33.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-85
     A.33.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-87
     A.33.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-87
     A.33.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-87
     A.33.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-88

A.34. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     NORTH CAROLINA	A-89
     A.34.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-89
     A.34.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-89
     A.34.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE
            PERSONNEL	A-90
     A.34.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-90
     A.34.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-90
     A.34.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS	A-90

                                  A-8

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
A.3 5.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      NORTH DAKOTA	A-91
      A.35.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-91
      A.35.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-91
      A.35.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-91
      A.35.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-91
      A.35.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-92
      A.35.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-92

A.36.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN OHIO	A-93
      A.36.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-93
      A.36.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-93
      A.36.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-93
      A.36.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-93
      A.36.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-93
      A.36.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-94

A.37.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      OKLAHOMA	A-95
      A.37.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-95
      A.37.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-95
      A.37.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-95
      A.37.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-95
      A.37.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-96
      A.37.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-96

A.3 8.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      OREGON	A-97
      A.38.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-97
      A.38.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-97
      A.38.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-97
      A.38.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-97
      A.38.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-97
      A.38.6. Research Needs	A-98

A.39.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      PENNSYLVANIA	A-99
      A.39.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-99
      A.39.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-99
      A.39.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-100
      A.39.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-100
      A.39.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-100
      A.39.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-100

                                  A-9

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
A.40.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      RHODE ISLAND	A-101
      A.40.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-101
      A.40.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-101
      A.40.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-101
      A.40.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-101
      A.40.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-101
      A.40.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-101

A.41.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      SOUTH CAROLINA	A-103
      A.41.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLANS	A-103
      A.41.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-103
      A.41.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE
            PERSONNEL	A-103
      A.41.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-103
      A.41.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-103
      A.41.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-104

A.42.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      SOUTH DAKOTA	A-105
      A.42.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-105
      A.42.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-105
      A.42.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-106
      A.42.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-106
      A.42.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-106
      A.42.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-106

A.43.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
      TENNESSEE	A-107
      A.43.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-107
      A.43.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-107
      A.43.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-108
      A.43.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-108
      A.43.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-108
      A.43.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-108

A.44.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN TEXAS . A-110
      A.44.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-110
      A.44.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-110
      A.44.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-110
      A.44.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-110
      A.44.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-110

                                 A-10

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
     A.44.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-lll

A.45.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN UTAH... A-113
     A.45.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-113
     A.45.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-113
     A.45.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-114
     A.45.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-114
     A.45.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-114
     A.45.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-114

A.46.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     VERMONT	A-115
     A.46.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-115
     A.46.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-115
     A.46.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-116
     A.46.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-117
     A.46.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-117
     A.46.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-117

A.47.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     VIRGINIA	A-118
     A.47.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-118
     A.47.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-118
     A.47.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-118
     A.47.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-118
     A.47.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-119
     A.47.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-119

A.48.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     WASHINGTON	A-120
     A.48.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-120
     A.48.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-120
     A.48.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-121
     A.48.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-121
     A.48.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-121
     A.48.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-122

A.49.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     WEST VIRGINIA	A-123
     A.49.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-123
     A.49.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-123
     A.49.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-124
     A.49.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-124

                                  A-ll

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                          CONTENTS (continued)
     A.49.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-124
     A.49.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-124

A.50. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     WISCONSIN	A-125
     A.50.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-125
     A.50.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-125
     A.50.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-126
     A.50.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-126
     A.50.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-126
     A.50.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-127

A. 51. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
     WYOMING	A-128
     A.51.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	A-128
     A.51.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES	A-128
     A.51.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS	A-128
     A.51.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS	A-128
     A.51.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED	A-128
     A.51.6. RESEARCH NEEDS	A-128
                                 A-12

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                                  A.l. METHODS

       We inventoried aquatic invasive species (AlS)-related management actions in all
50 states to determine what information may be needed to allow AIS managers to consider and
incorporate predicted global change impacts into their programs.  For each state, we documented
the status of AIS management plans, state programs and activities, climate change concerns,
climate change actions, and research activities and needs. We reviewed publicly available
documents, state agency publications, and online materials.  For further clarification, when
appropriate, staff from the Environmental Law Institute (ELI)-discussed AIS programs, research
needs,  and management strategies with AIS managers, scientists, and decision makers. Each
state summary was sent to both state agency and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency regional
staff for review and comment in November and December of 2006. Comments were vetted, and
summaries finalized, in January 2007.  Note—State plans generally refer to AIS as aquatic
nuisance species or ANS.
                                         A-13

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A.2. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN ALABAMA


A.2.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
Plan under development.


A.2.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •   Aquatic Plant Management Control Program, Alabama Department of
       Conservation and Natural Resources (AL DCNR), Division of Wildlife and
       Freshwater Fisheries (DWFF), and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Mobile District.
       The Program conducts surveys to determine presence of aquatic nuisance plants and
       control for aquatic nuisance plants using herbicides.

    •   Private Waters, AL DCNR, and DWFF.  The program provides technical guidance to
       private pond owners for aquatic invasive species (AIS) removal.

    •   Mobile Bay National Estuary Program, Alabama-Mississippi Rapid Assessment
       Team. This program conducts a 3-5-day surveys of all aquatic, invasive species present
       in the coastal waters of Alabama and Mississippi to establish a baseline. The program
       was launched in 2003 with 50 scientists surveying Mobile Bay and targeting the
       Mississippi Sound and adjacent waters. The 2004 survey was conducted by more than
       100 scientists from 26 organizations and constituted the largest rapid assessment of living
       resources ever held in the Gulf of Mexico.

A.2.3.   CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


    •   Alabama has experienced a lack of a cold winters in recent years, which may or may not
       be attributed to climate change. These warmer winters have allowed invasive plants and
       fish (e.g., Nile tilapia) to overwinter and to move further north.

A.2.4.   CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.2.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
       In determining where to undertake control work, the AL DCNR and DWFF look for
       areas with significant impacts to fisheries, as well as areas with detrimental impacts to
       boating access and angler usage. The identification of survey areas is based on prior
       existence of plant problems.  Areas with a history of plant problems are included, while
       areas with no past history of plant problems are excluded.
                                        A-14

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A.2.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   AIS management in Alabama needs more effective herbicides, with better long-term
       control.

   •   There is also a need for more information and an enhanced strategy for emergent control.

   •   In addition, AIS management would benefit from surveys conducted by experts on non-
       native species, as well as fund to secure these services.
                                         A-15

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 A.3.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN ALASKA


A.3.1.   STATUS OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Alaska's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was published in 2002
(see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.3.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Kenai Peninsula Cooperative Weed Management Area (CWMA), Homer Soil and
      Water Conservation District (SWCD), Alaska SWCD, Kenai SWCD.  The SWCDs
      have established an advisory board and listed priorities for the Weed Management Area.

   •  Noxious and Invasive Plant Program, Upper Susitna SWCD. This program targets
      the local airport to prevent the transport (airplanes, luggage, and shoes) and spread of
      Orange  hawkweed. Other activities include herbicide application and volunteer weed
      pulling in cooperation with the University of Alaska-Fairbanks' Cooperative Extension
      Service.

   •  Weed Ranking Program, Alaska Natural Heritage Program, University of Alaska,
      Anchorage, Environmental and Natural Resources Institute. The Alaska Natural
      Heritage Program, in cooperation with other federal and state agencies, developed the
      Weed Ranking Project, which lists and ranks non-native plant species.

   •  Alaska  Exotic Plant Information Clearing House (AK EPIC) Mapping Project,
      Alaska  Natural Heritage Program, University of Alaska, Anchorage, Environmental
      and Natural Resources Institute. The Alaska Natural Heritage Program also partners
      with the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Forest Service/State and Private Forestry
      Service, the National Park Service, and the U.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Science
      Center on the AK EPIC. The AK EPIC draws much of its information from surveys,
      encompasses data from CWMAs, and employs a rapid response program.

   •  Alaska  Committee for Noxious and Invasive Plants Management, University of
      Alaska, Fairbanks, Cooperative Extension Service. This committee was established in
      2003 to encourage and work towards a coordinated, statewide effort to prevent, manage,
      and increase the awareness of invasive  and noxious species.

   •  Alaska  Invasive Species Working Group. This group was formed in 2006 to work
      towards an all-taxa, statewide invasive  species cooperative effort. Members include
      state, federal, non-governmental organizations, and Alaska Native organizations. The
      group is currently working on an Alaska invasive species needs assessment.

   •  Northern Pike Education Program, Alaska Department of Fish and Game
      (AK DFG), Sport Fish Division.

                                        A-16

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   •   Kachemak Bay Research and Reserve Green Crab Community Monitoring
       Program, Prince William Sound Science Center, AK DFG, National Oceanic and
       Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and local communities. This program
       provides a protocol for schoolchildren to learn the biology of green crabs in order to do
       monitoring work.

A.3.3.   CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
   •   Alaska's aquatic invasive species (AIS) plan predicts an increase in invasive species as
       warmer temperatures allow for overwintering. Species of concern include:  the mitten
       crab, yellow perch, and walleyed pike.

   •   The state is conducting a risk assessment study for the Chinese mitten crab, because
       climate change will most likely result in the migration of this species to Alaska.

   •   Water temperatures have warmed to the point where shellfish could survive through the
       winter season, resulting in a shellfish outbreak.

   •   State officials are also concerned with species moving from one part of the state to
       another.

A.3.4.   CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
   •  Alaska's ANS Management Plan focuses on prevention and identification of the most
      prominent threats. The management plan recognizes that the southern areas with "warmer
      climate, more developed lands, more disturbed habitat, and better road access" are areas
      of particular concern. Alaska's ANS plan identifies ports with high traffic as posing
      greater risk.

   •  The Weed Ranking Project provides a way to prioritize work. The project ranks both non-
      native species present in the state and those species that are likely to invade Alaska due to
      climate change. A "climate match" program loosely associates species with one of
      Alaska's ecosystems (maritime, boreal, or arctic) to address these concerns.

A.3.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND  INFORMATION USED
   •   Regional Alaskan groups are monitoring for green crab and, where found, setting traps as
       a control method.

   •   Proposals for mapping and inventorying of reed canary grass have been developed.

   •   Research on the effects of rats on the ecosystem through local projects and case studies,
       including examining the effects of rats on intertidal invertebrates and soil composition
       and testing rodenticides is needed.

                                         A-17

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   •   State officials are inventorying all exotic plant species. This collection includes about
       130 species, of which approximately 20 are expected to be a problem. Of these 20, only
       a few are found in riparian areas.

   •   Statewide northern pike management plan, which was expected to be completed by the
       end of 2006 by AK DFG,  and the Upper Susitna/Copper River Pike Surveys to determine
       how widespread pike are in the area.

   •   Ballast water-related research will be funded in FY07/08 by NOAA Sea Grant and
       administered by AK DFG.

   •   Risk assessment for aquatic sea lice will be funded in FY07/08 by NOAA Sea Grant and
       administered by AK DFG.

   •   Ongoing shore zone mapping research will characterize the physical and biological
       attributes of each section of the shoreline.

   •   Activities also include ranking the invasiveness of non-native animals and fish.

A.3.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   New and improved pike control techniques are needed. Ideally, a piscicide would work
       best. Options to control pike are currently limited to netting and four approved chemicals
       (Rotenone, antimycin, TFM, and Bayluscide).

   •   Alaskan AIS management would benefit from the development of aquaculture systems
       that will prevent salmon escape.

   •   Additional knowledge about the speed at which green crabs are entering the state is
       needed.  In general, this species moves slowly, but officials must learn more about its
       migration in order to determine the scope of any potential problems.

   •   In order to address the migration of green crabs, Alaska needs to develop pheromones
       and trapping methods. Green crab trapping methods also require more in-depth research
       that addresses questions such as: Is it possible to develop techniques to trap them out
       completely? What are the best techniques for managing them at a low level, with
       compounds that will attract them quickly into traps?  Also, what is the  ideal type of trap?

   •   Research on the locations of green crabs could also provide the state with a better
       understanding of the species' different ecological needs.

   •   The mechanisms for how reed canary grass affects water quality need to be better
       understood.

   •   To prevent invasion of colonial tunicates, pathways need to be better understood.
                                         A-18

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A.4. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN ARIZONA


A.4.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Arizona's aquatic invasive species (AIS) management plan is under development (see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.4.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •   Invasive Species Council, Arizona Game and Fish Department (AZGFD), Arizona
       Department of Agriculture (DA). The council conducts a "Stop Aquatic Hitchhikers
       Program" and works with 100th Meridian, an initiative to stop the spread of zebra
       mussels, to inform watercraft operators/owners and marina operators to take proper
       precautions. The Council also conducts aquatic nuisance species (ANS) monitoring.

   •   Giant Salvinia Task Force (GSTF), U.S. Bureau of Land Management, U.S. Bureau
       of Reclamation, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), AZGFD, AZDA,
       California Department of Fish and Game, California Department of Food and
       Agriculture, Palo Verde Irrigation District, and 11 others. Each of the 20 weed
       management area  groups is responsible for implementing control efforts  at a particular
       region.  This particular Task Force has used intensive inventory, mechanical control, and
       herbicide application since 2001. Biocontrol (Salvinia weevils) was implemented in
       2004 and has been followed by supplemental releases. An early detection and rapid
       response program  is in place for invasive aquatic plants (e.g., a rapid response was
       undertaken recently for water hyacinth).  This AIS Program works closely with the
       International Boundary and Water Commission.

   •   Hydrilla Eradication, AZDA.  The AZDA and Arizona landowners continue treatment
       of two isolated populations of hydrilla in the Phoenix and Tucson areas as part of the
       regular enforcement of the state's noxious weed laws.

A.4.3.   CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE PERSONNEL

   •   It is generally accepted that climate has a relationship to the distribution of species,
       natural or introduced, and that the state needs to anticipate ecosystem changes as a result
       of changes in water temperature and environmental conditions.

   •   The Arizona State Wildlife Action Plan recognizes both climate change and invasive
       species as identified threats.  As plant populations increase heavily during the  summer,
       warmer temperatures due to climate change may generate more plant growth.
                                        A-19

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A.4.4.   CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS

   •   The "Stop Aquatic Hitchhikers Program" and the 100th Meridian both inform watercraft
       operators/owners and marina operators to take proper precautions against AIS.

A.4.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •   Animal and Plant Health Inspection Services has conducted a programmatic
       environmental assessment for the weevil.

   •   U.S. Department of Agriculture has used research carried out by the University of
       Arizona on new attempts at biocontrol and methods currently employed in other
       countries.

   •   USFWS, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, and AZGFD have sponsored preliminary
       investigations into genetic biocontrol. AZGFD and AZDA have also conducted some
       monitoring.

   •   The GSTF is monitoring the spread of giant salvinia and attempting to document
       efficacy.

A.4.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS

   •   Effective control methods for crayfish need to be developed. The University of Arizona
       is undertaking research into crayfish life histories in an effort to identify vulnerabilities
       for population control.

   •   Advantages and disadvantages of biological, mechanical, and chemical control options
       need to be determined for hydrilla,  salvinia,  and other aquatic nuisance plants.

   •   Information on how to coordinate activities of multiple state agencies with overlapping
       jurisdiction needs to be gathered.

   •   Research the effectiveness of weevils for biocontrol is needed, though this is hampered
       by a lack of funding.
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A.5. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN ARKANSAS


 A.5.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 Arkansas's aquatic invasive species (AIS) management plan is under development.

 A.5.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES

    •  Noxious Weed Programs (Purple Loosestrife, Giant Salvinia, and Water Hyacinth),
       Arkansas State Plant Board.  The board implements regulations pertaining to invasive
       species.

    •  Hydrilla Control, State of Arkansas in cooperation with the U.S. Army Corps of
       Engineers. At Lake Ouachita, officials are trying to reduce the infestation by providing
       grass carp as a biocontrol.

    •  Arkansas River Study, Arkansas Game and Fish Commission.  This study involves
       ongoing large river sampling of many species, including Asian carp.

 A.5.3.   CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
    •  Officials believe that new invasive species will survive the winter and persist in the state.
       Species already established may be allowed to spread into northern areas.

    •  Invasive species may enter the state as a result of increased interstate commerce and
       boating.

 A.5.4.   CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS

    •  Arkansas recently enacted regulations targeting water hyacinth due to overwintering
       concerns.

    •  Arkansas is formulating a state AIS management plan that will include measures that
       address warming air and water temperatures.

    •  Regulate the aquaculture industry.
 A.5.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

    •  Purple loosestrife and giant salvinia surveys are needed.

    •  Zebra mussels, hydrilla, and Asian carp need to be monitored and their occurrence and
       magnitude of infestation need to be documented.
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A.5.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   Information on the Asian carp, including its abundance, impacts, and pathways, is
       needed.

   •   Information on the zebra mussels, including its impacts and pathways, is needed.

   •   Information about species that may potentially enter the state as a result of interstate
       commerce is needed.
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A.6. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN CALIFORNIA


  A.6.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
  California Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan was approved in November 2007.


  A.6.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Aquatic Pest Control Program, California Department of Boating and Waterways
        (CADBW). This Program focuses on control of water hyacinth, Caulerpa taxifolia, and
        Egeria densa.  The CADBW also uses annual hyperspectral aerial survey to monitor
        changes in infestations over time.  The CADBW uses short- and long-term methods of
        water hyacinth control, involving chemical, mechanical, and biocontrol measures. The
        department also works with the California Department of Fish and Game on Caulerpa
        eradication efforts in southern California under the direction of the Southern California
        Caulerpa Action Team. Officials are also trying to educate aquarium owners on
        Caulerpa. The Egeria densa Control Program for the Delta focuses mainly on herbicide
        control.

     •  Hydrilla Eradication Program, California Department of Food and Agriculture,
        Integrated Pest Control Branch. The program conducts annual surveys and eradication
        efforts for hydrilla. Eradication consists of physical, biological, and chemical methods.

  A.6.3.   CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


     •  Aquarium owners may serve as vectors for Caulerpa spread.

     •  Increased interstate transport as a result of climate change, such as opening of previously
        frozen waterways, may enable spread of AIS.

  A.6.4.   CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
     •  Annual hyperspectral aerial survey should be used to monitor changes in infestations over
        time.

     •  Educate aquarium owners about Caulerpa.

     •  Implement prevention methods including quarantine regulations, inspection programs to
        ensure compliance with quarantine regulations, and border inspection stations to screen
        incoming traffic.

     •  Work to detect invasive species using insect traps, manual inspections for exotic weed
        species, and/or surveys to determine size and boundaries of population.
                                          A-23

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A.6.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   Annual hyperspectral aerial surveys are being used to monitor changes in infestations
       over time.

   •   Annual surveys for hydrilla are taking place.

   •   Invasions are being monitored with insect traps and manual inspections.


A.6.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Additional research on the biology/DNA of Caulerpa and how it would adapt in Southern
       California, as well as research on eradication methods is needed. Officials would also
       like to undertake greater surveillance.

   •   Additional outreach and public education regarding Caulerpa also is needed. Individuals
       (hobbyists) need to learn how to handle Caulerpa (it is important to teach people how to
       look out for it in the natural environment).
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A.7. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN COLORADO


 A.7.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 No plan available.


 A.7.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •   Aquatic Plants Management Program, Colorado Department of Agriculture
        (CODA).  The program operates several projects throughout the state. Work includes
        both manual removal and chemical treatments. Presently, the focus is on the Rio Grande
        Watershed, the upper part of the Colorado River, the North Platte River, the San Miguel
        River, and the Republican River watershed.  (The main coordinator for the San Miguel
        Project is The Nature Conservancy.) There are also control efforts under way for
        Siberian Elm, including mechanical removal, herbicide application, and cut stump
        treatment. There are plans to implement biocontrol for tamarisk as well.

    •   Biocontrol of Tamarisk, CODA. The Department's Insectary in Palisade, Colorado is
        the clearinghouse for the project. Officials are working in collaboration with U.S.
        Department of Agriculture and Colorado State University to release beetles in Colorado,
        Wyoming, South Dakota, Montana, Oregon, Kansas, and Idaho to control tamarisk.
        About 60,000 tamarisk leaf beetles have been released in seven states with additional
        releases planned. In August 2005, beetles were released at three Colorado sites: Adams,
        Mesa, and Yuma Counties.  In 2006, beetles were released at Dinosaur National
        Monument in Moffat County and several additional sites in Colorado and the West.

    •   Aquatic Animal Management Program, Department of Natural Resources, Division
        of Wildlife (CODW).  Major activities of CODW on aquatic invasive species (AIS)
        include: (1) angler education; (2) hatchery maintenance; (3) activities to detect location
        of New Zealand mud snails (NZMS); and (4) participation in the Western Regional Panel
        of the Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Task Force.  Colorado State Parks is cooperating
        with CODW by providing them with GIS/GPS training, ANS mapping access/support,
        and collaborating on various education projects, control methods, and statewide planning
        efforts.

    •   Eurasian Watermilfoil (EWM) activities, Colorado State Parks.  The Stewardship
        Section of Colorado State Parks is the central coordinator and GIS clearinghouse for
        EWM efforts in Colorado. The program is actively working towards several short- and
        long-term objectives that include coordination, mapping, data collection, grant writing,
        planning, early detection and rapid response, partnering with local universities on
        research, education campaigns, convening stakeholders, studying economic impacts, and
        implementation of boat washing stations.
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A.7.3.    CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •  Species that currently cannot overwinter in Colorado, such as giant salivinia or water
      hyacinth, may persist if climate changes occur and water temperatures increase.  This
      depends both on whether the water is hot or spring fed and on the location of the species
      within the state.

A.7.4.    CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
   •   Angler education program focuses on prevention through outreach, including posting
       angler alert signs at trout fishing locations and live fishing tackle stores.

   •   Hatchery maintenance program ensures that fish production units remain free of invasive
       species.

A.7.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •  Colorado is involved with the tamarisk biocontrol program. One of the first field sites
      used to test biocontrol beetles in North America was located near Pueblo, Colorado.  The
      CODA Insectary has been involved in the project for several years and has received a
      permit to store up to 1 million beetles for use in biocontrol  in 2005.

   •  Weed researchers in the state are studying AIS and the use  of biocontrol.  These
      researchers are collaborating with federal agencies such as  U.S. Geological Survey.

   •  Records on the location of newly discovered species are being maintained.


A.7.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS
(Numerous research needs, but none specifically provided.)
                                         A-26

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      A.8.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                   CONNECTICUT
A.8.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
        The Connecticut Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was approved in
2006 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a
general description of the Plan).


A.8.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Non-Native Invasive Plant Species Program, Connecticut Department of
      Environmental Protection (CT DEP).  The program conducts the following activities:
      (1) Rapid response and eradication of newly-introduced aquatic plants, including water
      chestnut (the CT DEP Fisheries Division and Wildlife Division and the Office of Long
      Island Sound are working with U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) to carry out
      eradication projects and surveys); (2) Restoration of coastal habitats, including
      Phragmites control in saltwater tidal marshes; and ^Implementation of a Rapid
      Response Plan for Hydrilla verticillata that was prepared by Wildlife Division staff.

   •  Invasive Plant Council (IPC). The IPC was established in 2003 under Connecticut state
      law.  Membership includes representatives from state agencies, universities, Invasive
      Plant Atlas of New England (IPANE), non-profit  conservation groups, and the
      Connecticut Nurseryman's Association.  To date,  a total of 81  non-native invasive plant
      species have been listed with prohibitions on importation, moving, sale, purchase,
      transplantation, cultivation, or distribution. The IPC is currently working on obtaining
      funding to create a non-native invasive plant program that will focus on early detection,
      rapid response,  education, and prevention.

   •  Wetlands Habitat and Mosquito Management  (WHAMM) Program, CT DEP,
      Wildlife Division. The control of Phragmites australis through herbicide application  has
      been a major component of recent wetland restoration efforts.  The WHAMM Program
      also plans to research new alternative herbicides for Phragmites control.

   •  Water Chestnut Harvesting Program, CT DEP, Fisheries Division and Wildlife
      Division, Office of Long Island Sound Programs, USFWS Connecticut River
      Coordinator's  Office (Connecticut River Fisheries Program).  The program conducts
      water chestnut management (surveys, removal, education) and monitoring for
      undiscovered water chestnut populations.

   •  Lakes Management Program, CT DEP, Bureau of Water Management, Division of
      Planning and Standards. The program conducts the following activities:  dredging of
      Silver Lake in Meriden/Berlin to hinder growth of Eurasian watermilfoil (EWM);
      funding to control variable watermilfoil in Bashan Lake with 2-4D; spot-treatment of
      EWM with limited amounts of herbicides; inventory and vegetation surveys of aquatic

                                        A-27

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invasive plants, including listing of management options; and partnerships with
communities to perform winter draw down, dredging, weed harvesting, and herbicide
use.

IPANE, New England Wild Flower Society, University of Connecticut, Silvio O.
Conte National Fish and Wildlife Refuge.  IPANE's mission is to create a
comprehensive, continually updated web-accessible database of invasive and potentially
invasive plants in New England. A network of professionals and trained volunteers will
update the database, which will facilitate education and research that will lead to a greater
understanding of invasive plant ecology and support informed conservation management.
An important focus of the project is the early detection of, and rapid response to, new
invasions.

Connecticut Sea Grant College Program, Sea Grant, University of Connecticut. The
program is working with Connecticut and New York agencies and organizations to
develop an ANS Management Plan for the Long Island Sound, working with CT DEP to
develop a state aquatic invasive species management plan, conducting outreach and
education, participating on the Northeast ANS regional panel,  and supporting research on
red alga (Grateloupia turuturu\ colonial tunicate (Didemnum sp\ baitworms, the
associated packing materials, and the economic impact of fouling organisms on marine
aquaculture operations.

The Silvio O. Conte National Fish and Wildlife Refuge Invasive Plant Control
Initiative. The Refuge developed an Invasive Plant Control Initiative in response to the
threat to natural diversity posed by invasive plant species. This initiative examines the
problem of freshwater invasive plants from a regional perspective and identifies tasks that
will enhance the capability within the region to address identified issues. Also, in
cooperation with a number of partners, the Refuge used a grant from the National Fish
and Wildlife Foundation to develop a strategic plan discussing the current invasive plant
situation, outlining future actions for the Connecticut River Watershed and Long Island
Sound, and recommending funding for high-priority invasive plant control projects in
1998. As part of the initiative, a partnership of federal, state, municipal, business, and
non-profit groups formed to control water chestnut, a recent invader to the watershed.
Components of the strategy include mechanical harvesting of the source population and
organizing volunteers to monitor water bodies for satellite populations within the
watershed and to hand-pull populations when found.

Research, Connecticut Agricultural Experiment Station (CTAES). CTAES is
researching control methods for nuisance aquatic plants, mapping their distribution and
documenting the water conditions in  which they are likely to occur. Studies are being
conducted on control with herbicides and the effects of these products on nontarget
plants. Water samples from treatment sites are being tested for herbicides to determine
how concentrations change with time, where the herbicide may migrate, and what
concentrations are necessary to achieve control with minimal impacts on desirable plants.
Water from nearby wells is often tested to determine if aquatic herbicides can
contaminate groundwater.  Studies on the effectiveness of mechanical removal by
different methods, including hydroraking and cutting, are also in progress.  Biocontrol

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       strategies, including studies on the distribution and preferences of the milfoil weevil
       (Euhrychiopsis lecontef) and a search for plant pathogens, are underway. A continuing
       statewide surveillance and mapping program of aquatic vegetation began in 2004. From
       2004-2006, 126 lakes, including small private ponds, have been surveyed using global
       positioning system technology and GIS.  Reference plants are being obtained from each
       water body and are being cataloged at CTAES herbaria and the University of
       Connecticut. Plant samples are also being frozen at -80°C for future molecular
       identification. Water chemistry and sediment data are being gathered from each lake to
       assess the preferences of nuisance plants and to determine the potential for  other lakes to
       become infested.

A.8.3.    CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS

   •   Residents release water  hyacinth and water lettuce from their water gardens into state
       waters. With a warming trend, these species could overwinter and set seed, although
       there is no evidence of overwintering yet.

   •   A longer growing season could cause water chestnut to sprout earlier, persist longer into
       the fall, and produce more seeds. Water chestnut produce seeds more than  once,
       flowering through the summer and fall before they start decomposing. A warmer climate
       would therefore make for a longer growing period. These plants might also grow faster
       with more light.

   •   There is a need for the development and update of lists of potential "new invaders."
       Early Detection and Rapid Response programs need to be developed and made
       operational for all taxonomic groups as the potential for new non-native invasive species
       may increase due to climatic changes.

A.8.4.    CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
   •   Coastal habitats are being restored (e.g., Phragmites control in saltwater tidal marshes).
       This restoration includes the re-establishment of tidal flows and the reintroduction of
       saltwater, both of which result in a gradual replacement of Phragmites by native
       vegetation.

A.8.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
       Phragmites control methods include restoring tidal flows, mowing, herbicide application,
       and herbicide application with mowing, before selecting the herbicide glyphosate.
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A.8.6.    RESEARCH NEEDS
       For aquatic plants, a better systematic survey of the location of aquatic species in the state
       is needed, including assessment in small private ponds and trials on effective control
       methods for ANS.

       For water chestnut, a better understanding of the following is needed: germination of
       seeds based on temperature (whether a very cold winter would cause more seeds than
       usual to germinate at once the following spring); salinity limits; and biocontrols.

       Because correct identification of species is critically important to determining rapid
       response plans, there is a need for the development and use of genetic markers that will
       allow for positive identifications.
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A.9. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN DELAWARE


 A.9.1.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 No plan available.


 A.9.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •   Survey and inventory of aquatic vegetation in Delaware ponds, Department of
        Natural Resources and Environmental Control (DNREC), Division of Fish and
        Wildlife.  This program has two components: (1) control of aquatic nuisance species in
        public ponds, and (2) survey and mapping of aquatic vegetation in public ponds (invasive
        and rare species). Species surveyed and mapped range from open water species to the
        emergent shoreline vegetation. The department uses the maps to calculate the acreage
        figures, which can be used to document the species changes over time.

    •   Delaware Landowner Incentive Program (DELIP), DNREC Division of Fish and
        Wildlife.  DELIP provides grant assistance to private landowners for habitat restoration,
        including invasive species control  projects.

    •   Phragmites Control Program, DNREC Division of Fish and Wildlife. The program
        uses helicopter application of herbicides to control Phragmites in  state wildlife areas and
        private lands (cost-share arrangement between landowners and the state).

    •   Technical assistance to pond owners, DNREC Division of Fish and Wildlife. The
        division provides assistance with invasive weed control, including recommendations on
        herbicides, manual control, or biocontrol, and dissemination of best management
        practices such as riparian buffer strips and nutrient control.

    •   Delaware Invasive Species Tracking System, Delaware Natural Heritage Program,
        Delaware Invasive Species Council, U.S. Geological Survey, Leetown Science
        Center. The system is a prototype for invasive species reporting  and tracking.  The goal
        is to develop an online tool for mapping and cataloging locations  of invasive species in
        the state.

    •   Wildlife Habitat Incentives Program, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
        Natural Resources Conservation Service, DNREC. This is a cost-share program for
        private landowners who control Phragmites on their property. The DNREC provides a
        share of the cost (30%) and conducts the spraying. The USDA and the landowner also
        provide shares of the cost (58% and 12%), respectively.

     •  Delaware River Invasive Plant Partnership, States of Delaware, New Jersey, New
        York, and Pennsylvania.
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A.9.3.   CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)


A.9.4.   CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS

   •  DNREC surveys and maps species ranging from open water to emergent shoreline
      vegetation. The department uses these maps to calculate the acreage figures, which can
      be used to document species changes over time.

A.9.5.   RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •  The Delaware Invasive Species Tracking System is being developed as an online tool for
      mapping and cataloging locations of invasive species within the State of Delaware.

   •  The DNREC conducts surveying and mapping of aquatic vegetation in the ponds to
      determine invasive and rare species.

A.9.6.   RESEARCH NEEDS

   •  Maps of areas with high populations of invasive species are needed.

   •  A watershed approach needs to be taken when working with landowners in order to better
      prevent invasive species spread.

   •  A database of effective control methods for invasive species is needed.
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A.10. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN FLORIDA


A.10.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
Florida published its Statewide Invasive Species Strategic Plan for Florida in 2003.


A.10.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •   Aquatic Plant Management Program, Florida Department of Environmental
       Protection (FDEP), Bureau of Invasive Plant Management. The program designs,
       funds, coordinates, and contracts invasive non-native aquatic plant control efforts in
       Florida's 1.25 million acres of public waters.

    •   Annual survey for new infestations, FDEP. Each year, 16 field biologists, each
       responsible for a particular region, conduct inventories in all 460 public water bodies
       (containing most of the state's surface water).

    •   Hydrilla maintenance control, FDEP.

    •   Plant management services, FDEP. Regional biologists are available to provide plant
       management services, such as consultation and guidance, to private and public
       landowners or managers.

    •   Aquatic invasive species (AIS) control, South  Florida Water Management District.
       This Approach to control includes weekly treatment schedules and water use restrictions
       for aquatic herbicides.

    •   Maintenance, Southwest  Florida Water Management District (SWFWMD). Aquatic
       plants including invasive species are controlled to maintain the flow capacity of flood
       control systems.

    •   Surface Water Improvement Program, SWFWMD  This restoration project is
       primarily geared towards preserving or restoring habitat and water quality. As part of
       restoring the  natural hydrology of certain wetlands, the district plants a number of upland
       and aquatic native plants and also manages invasive plants in estuarine areas and lakes.

    •   Mitigation Program, Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT)  and
       SWFWMD.  FDOT funds a wetland mitigation  program to compensate for road
       construction damage.  The program involves preservation and restoration of native
       habitats, including invasive plant management and replanting of native vegetation.

    •   Aquatic Plant Control (APC) Program, U.S. Army Corps, Jacksonville District.
       This is  a cost-share program with the state for control efforts in public water bodies.
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   •   Non-Native Fisheries Laboratory/Non-Native Fish Research Lab, Florida Fish and
       Wildlife Conservation Commission.  The Laboratory focuses its research on the
       34 non-native fish species that have reproducing populations in Florida.

A.10.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •   Climate change may cause more hurricanes, which decreases the likelihood for hydrilla
       to grow. Significant amounts of rain and floodwater hinder the growth of hydrilla due to
       the resulting reduction in sunlight.

   •   Many AIS live in southern Florida, and climate change could result in northward range
       expansions. If the species make it to the northern part of the peninsula, they eventually
       could move into other states.

A.10.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


   •   An annual inventory may allow the state to observe and understand changes in invasive
       species populations over time.

A.10.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   As of January 2003, the Non-Native Fish Research Lab is responsible for assessing the
       role of 32 exotic fishes with reproducing populations in Florida.  These fish include:  the
       introduced walking catfish and swamp eel from Southeast Asia, tilapia from Africa, the
       Mayan  cichlid from Central America, and the butterfly peacock from South America.

A.10.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
       Information that could improve the efficacy of herbicides and the timing of herbicide
       treatments is needed.

       Further investigation of selectivity issues is needed.  The SWFWMD tries to be as
       selective as possible in targeting invasive plants and protecting/promoting the recovery of
       native plant communities by adjusting the timing of herbicide treatments, application
       rates, and treatment techniques in order to maximize treatment selectivity.
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A.11. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN GEORGIA


 A.11.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 Plan under development.


 A.11.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •   Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) management activities, Georgia Department of
       Natural Resources (GADNR), Wildlife Resources Division, Fisheries Management.
       The department responds to problematic invasive species with monitoring, containment,
       and removal. Giant salvinia, a primary problem, is being controlled with chemical
       treatments.  Applesnail control and management includes surveys, destroying egg
       masses, and an applesnail task force was scheduled to be initiated in December 2005.

    •   Swamp eels management, GADNR, Wildlife Resources  Division, Fisheries
       Management; University of Georgia; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; and National
       Park Service.  Officials have been periodically surveying for the eel since its discovery
       in the late 1980s in artificial ponds at a nature center. The  surveys in these ponds have
       occurred  once a month since 2004. The next step will be to develop control
       recommendations.

    •   Flathead catfish control program.  In 2006 the Georgia legislature allocated funding to
       control and manage invasive flathead catfish in Georgia. The increase in funding allowed
       for a fishery's biologist and two fishery's technicians to be hired to work on eradication
       and control methodologies.

    •   Survey of lakes and reservoirs, Georgia Power (a regional utility), GADNR, Wildlife
       Resources Division, Fisheries Management.  Georgia Power surveys its lakes and
       reservoirs three or four times a year for aquatic invasive plants and applies spot
       treatments of herbicides when they are  found.  GADNR assists with these activities.

 A.11.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


    •   Climate change is a potential threat to applesnail control efforts.  If climate change results
       in warmer temperature at higher latitudes, the snail may have the potential to expand its
       habitat.

 A.11.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
 (None reported.)


 A.11.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
 (None reported.)

                                        A-35

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A.11.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
    •   Interstate communication to prevent travel across borders with illegal exotic species is
       needed.

    •   Access to taxonomists is needed to correctly identify and learn about species.l

    •   Official state program on invasive species that includes a systematic control approach and
       organized response needs to be developed.

    •   Better ways of communicating with the public about invasive species needs to be
       developed.

    •   More information about control and capture methods and the ecological impacts of
       invasive species needs to be collected.

    •   More herbicide options and ways to expedite the registration process for new herbicides
       need to explored.

    •   An investigation of the human dimension of AIS introductions (i.e., intentional actions
       such as aquarium dumping, stocking or relocation and unintentional  actions such as
       escapes of water garden species or use of invasives in landscaping and ornamental
       projects) needs to be conducted.

    •   The effectiveness of AIS outreach and education efforts as a means of modifying
       behavior (i.e., decreased releases and increased reporting) needs to be evaluated.

    •   Ecological and economic impacts of invasive non-native aquatic plant species  in Georgia
       needs to be evaluated.

    •   Biological or alternative control methods for flathead catfish in south Georgia  need to be
       identified.

    •   Efficacy of containment, control, or eradication activities for Asian swamp eels is
       needed.

    •   Early detection and surveillance plans coupled with response protocols should be
       developed.

    •   Database and GIS systems need to be developed with emphasis on interagency/interstate
       data sharing and user-friendly public access or report generating capabilities.

    •   Efficacy of channeled applesnail (CAS) control methods and techniques needs to be
       improved.
1 Since the research was completed for this analysis, the need for a database of taxonomists has been fulfilled (see
ANS Task Force Experts Database at http://www.anstaskforce. gov/experts/search.php').
                                           A-36

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•  CAS risk assessment and thermal and salinity tolerance studies need to be conducted.

•  Tilapia risk assessments and temperature and salinity tolerance research pertaining to
   culture activities need to be conducted.
                                       A-37

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A.12. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN HAWAII


A.12.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Hawaii completed its Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan in 2003 (see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.12.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  AIS Response Team, Hawaii Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR),
      Division of Aquatic Resources (DAR). The program team conducts the following
      activities (often in partnership with other agencies, universities, and organizations):
      surveying Lake Wilson for Salvinia molesta; controllingGorilla Ogo Algae, snowflake
      coral, and Actinodiscus sp.; mapping the distribution of invasive algae statewide;
      participating in hull fouling surveys of vessels traveling to the Northwest Hawaiian
      Islands Marine  Sanctuary.

   •  Coordinating Group for Alien Pest Species, multi-agency partnership. This
      coordinating body facilitates communication among agencies, conducts public outreach,
      and increases awareness through various media campaigns.  Eight public clean-up events
      have been coordinated to manually remove the invasive algae Gracilaria salicornia on
      Waikiki Beach.

   •  Invasive Species Committees (ISCs) for island-based rapid response.  The ISCs are
      voluntary partnerships of private groups, government agencies, non-profit organizations,
      and concerned individuals working to protect each island from the negative impacts
      caused by invasive species. The overall goal of the ISCs is to prevent, eradicate, or
      control priority incipient invasive plant and animal species that threaten Hawaii's most
      intact federal, state, and private conservation lands.  ISCs are are concerned with
      terrestrial alien species almost exclusively and are not involved in most AIS programs.

   •  Plant Quarantine Branch, Department of Agriculture, Plant Industry Division. This
      Division works with community groups that help to police the Central Oahu Lake by
      manually removing plants or by spot spraying using Aquamaster.

   •  Hawaiian Ecosystems at Risk, Hawaii Cooperative Studies Unit, U.S. Geological
      Survey (USGS).  This project provides Internet technology, methods, and information to
      decision makers, resource managers, and the general public to help support effective,
      science-based management of harmful non-native species in Hawaii and the Pacific.
      Currently this project is funded by the National Biological Information
      Infrastructure/Pacific Basin Information Node through USGS/Pacific Islands Ecosystem
      Research Center.
                                         A-38

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   •   AIS Advisory Group, DLNR, DAR. This council sets priorities in AIS management. It
       is composed of members of federal, state, and other organizations involved in AIS issues.

A. 12.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •   Climate change is linked to the increase in mosquito populations (which have an aquatic
       life stage), which reduces the population of local forest birds.

   •   Increased levels of greenhouse gases may negatively impact corals.  A recent study
       conducted by a coral reef biologist from the Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology found
       that coral does not produce as much calcium carbonate under increased levels of carbon
       dioxide, because higher levels of carbon dioxide can result in a decline in ocean pH,
       leading to more acidic conditions.

A. 12.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.12.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.12.6. RESEARCH NEEDS


   •  Implementation of effective quarantine methods for incoming organisms is needed.

   •  Hawaii AIS management would benefit from more efficient detection methods for the
      newest invasive species. There is also a need for a better understanding of species range,
      including whether or not ranges are expanding.  While officials have GIS capabilities, a
      staff shortage limits the number of people available to update range maps and do the field
      work.

   •   Information about how to smother the mushroom anemone is needed.

   •   Officials are developing a proposal for a literature review and research on effective
       control chemicals that will not harm  coral reefs.

   •   There is a need for mechanisms to predict incoming invasive species.

   •   There is a need for more information on control methods, including biocontrols.

   •   Technology on cleaning hulls easily and safely is needed.

   •   There is a need for information and technology for the control of aquaculture releases.
       While the supersucker is being tested on algae, it is not practical  for all areas, especially
       for shallower reefs.

                                         A-39

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There is a need for chemical control methods for applesnails, which escaped from
aquaculture ponds and invaded taro wetlands. The use of copper is too damaging.

More effective control methods for giant reed are needed. Glyphosate is not effective
enough. Arsenal™, a type of herbicide, is another option, but officials are unsure if it can
be used in water. They need to know more about the non-target effects. Giant reed is
harder to kill than many plants because of the depth of its root system.  Another problem
is locating existing populations. A developing method of thermal location would be very
helpful, but it is still in the developmental stage.

There is a need for better techniques for surveillance and detection. Officials rely
strongly on the general public to report unusual events.  Hiking groups and fishermen
report such events often, but, without this information, Hawaii would have no way to
know what is happening.  There are not enough staff to carry out surveillance.

Mechanisms to keep aquarium releases from occurring are needed.

There is a need for Salvinia moles ta, Pistia, and Eichhornia control and prevention.
                                   A-40

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 A. 13. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN IDAHO


A.13.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
Plan under development.


A.13.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES
       Noxious Weeds Program, Idaho State Department of Agriculture (ISDA),
       Cooperative Weed Management Area (CWMA).  CWMA is a distinguishable
       hydrologic, vegetative, or geographic zone based upon geography, weed infestations, and
       climatic or human-use patterns.  CWMAs are formed when the landowners and land
       managers of a given area come together and agree to work cooperatively to control
       weeds. Idaho has 40 CWMAs, which are part of the ISDA cost-share program (the
       majority of the funding comes from federal sources).  There are currently several cost-
       share participants that are working to deal with aquatic species in Idaho. The ISDA is
       responsible for administering the CWMA program in Idaho.

       Eurasian Watermilfoil (EWM) Control Program, ISDA. In response to the
       continuing economic and environmental crises created by EWM in Idaho's waters, the
       Idaho State Legislature appropriated $4 million to the ISDA for eradication and control
       of the aquatic weed.  The Legislature directed these funds to be expended over a 2-year
       period beginning July 1, 2006 and ending June 30, 2008.

       Invasive Species Council, Governor's Office. The Idaho Invasive Species Council was
       established by Idaho's Governor's Executive Order in 2001. This Council is carrying out
       an inventory of EWM and conducting a public awareness campaign for boaters. The
       Invasive Species Coordinator is housed within ISDA.

       EWM Task Force, Invasive Species Council. The EWM Task Force was formed in
       2002 to assist the Invasive Species Council in surveys and other EWM activities.  The
       major activities of the Task Force include:  (1) physically surveying all waters in the
       state; (2) developing a survey for all counties to prioritize actions and activities based on
       susceptibility factors; (3) engaging in multiple research projects with the University of
       Idaho (including research on control technologies); and (4) researching different
       herbicide combinations and exploring the use of new products.

       Purple Loosestrife Control Efforts, University of Idaho.  This program uses biocontrol
       for purple loosestrife. Also, outreach programs both distribute insects (-40,000
       distributed) and  educate land managers on how to use them.
                                         A-41

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A. 13.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS

   •   In conducting the initial assessment for the Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Action Plan,
       officials considered latitude, longitude, temperature bands, elevation, and rainfall.

A. 13.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)

A.13.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •   Idaho is carrying out genetic analysis of Myriophyllum species and potential hybrids
       within the state.

   •   Physical surveys and mapping are being conducted

   •   Surveys of the Northern Idaho Lake are being done to determine the densest areas of
       EWM.  These areas are then targeted with appropriate control methods. The less-dense
       areas are targeted by divers using hand-pulling techniques (removal of plants by the roots
       followed by vacuuming).

A.13.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS

   •   Information on biocontrol methods is needed. This may require visits to the country of
       origin to examine the species under consideration.

   •   Reliable and continual funding is needed.

   •   Effective controls based on population size and the presence of other species are needed.

   •   Information on both the economic and ecosystem-related effects of specific AIS is
       needed.

   •   An effective herbicide, with less environmental impact, that can be applied in smaller
       amounts is needed.  Researchers are currently looking for this type of herbicide.

   •   Bottom barriers are needed.  Researchers are assessing the duration of placement for
       effective control and the potential for growth of aquatic plants after sediments have
       settled  on the barriers.

   •   A soil-mix company that will recycle the milfoil into a soil mix is needed.

   •   Better ways need to be identified for more state partners to educate the public about why
       it is important to control EWM.  A national or statewide database that could provide up-
       to-date information on current research being done for each invasive species would also
       be helpful.

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A.14. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN ILLINOIS


A.14.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Illinois's State Comprehensive Management Plan for Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS)
was published in 1999 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan
Summaries for a general description of the Plan).


A.14.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •   Permanent Electric Dispersal Barrier, Illinois Department of Natural Resources
       (IDNR). This barrier was initially designed to stop the round goby but is now being used
       to target other fish such as the big head silver carp.

    •   Evaluation of Barriers, IDNR, Illinois Natural History Survey (INHS).  This program
       involves an evaluation of barriers to prevent the spread of bighead  carp into the Great
       Lakes. It has conducted an assessment of multiple barrier components, including sonic
       technology, bubble arrays, and hydro-acoustic generators.  INHS is also conducting field
       monitoring for the potential impacts of steel-hulled barges on movement offish across an
       electric barrier to prevent entry of invasive carp into Lake Michigan.

    •   Field Assessment of Electric Barrier in Chicago Sanitary and Ship Canal, IDNR-
       Fisheries.  IDNR is conducting monitoring of the existing electric  demonstration barrier,
       including stocking and subsequent monitoring of radio and acoustic tagged fish (common
       carp) near the electric dispersal barrier in order to determine if they can move back and
       forth across the barrier.

    •   Early Detection and Rapid Response Planning, IDNR, Fisheries. IDNR is developing
       rapid response strategies for the control of Asian carp in various situations at critical
       control points and has educated their biologists and law enforcement officers on
       identifying various aquatic invasive species (AIS). If they find a species that is either
       new to the Illinois or new to a particular waterway/area, they are to fill out a standardized
       form and report it. This option is also available for the public in northern Illinois to track
       the Asian carp. If a species is reported, detection is verified, then IDNR follows up with
       a rapid assessment.

    •   Bighead Carp Competition  Studies, IDNR, INHS. This program involves field
       monitoring and includes examining bighead carp competition with native filter feeding
       fish to assess the potential threat for Great Lakes fish (salmon and trout). IDNR is also
       examining bighead carp feeding on alewife and gizzard shad (food sources for salmon
       and trout).

    •   Intensified Field Monitoring for Asian carp, IDNR, Fisheries. This intensified field
       monitoring examines bighead and silver carp near Lockport and Brandon Road Pools at
       confluence of Des Plaines River.

                                         A-43

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   •   Upper Illinois River habitat mapping, IDNR, INKS.  INKS is conducting field
       monitoring to evaluate Asian carp habitat.

   •   Technical assistance for market development, IDNR, Fisheries, Illinois Department
       of Commerce and Economic Opportunity (DCEO). The harvest program provides
       technical assistance for required analytical data to establish markets for Asian carp.
       Illinois's DCEO has provided implementation costs for start-up and phase 1 of an
       intensified harvesting program.

   •   Contaminant analysis for market development, IDNR, INHS, University of Illinois.
       The program provides additional contaminant analysis for market development.

   •   Goby round-up/Carp Corral, a joint program with IDNR, U.S. Army Corps of
       Engineers, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, the Metropolitan Water Reclamation
       District.  The program monitors the spread and expansion of round goby and
       bighead/silver carp populations in the Illinois River System toward Lake Michigan.

   •   Eradication, IDNR. IDNR conducts eradication of Eurasian watermilfoil using
       Chemical- 2-4D and sonar.  The agency is also experimenting with treatment timing and
       dosage for better long-term effects.  A new project will target curlyleaf pondweed.

   •   Permanent Electric Dispersal Barrier, IDNR. An electric barrier has been
       implemented in the Chicago Sanitary and Ship Canal to deter the inter-basin transfer of
       invasive fish between the Great Lakes and Mississippi River. The barrier will be
       operated and funded by the IDNR upon completion; in the interim, the U.S. Army Corps
       of Engineers maintains management of the barrier.

A.14.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
       Climate change may have an indirect impact by allowing some species to expand into
       new ranges where they have not historically been found.  If certain regions warm up (or
       cool down), they may be colonized by species that were only marginally adapted to the
       warmer (or cooler) temperatures.

       Illinois's ANS Plan includes vectors that are exacerbated by climate change:

              As use of the Great Lakes intensified as a transport route for
              commerce, the rate of introduction of aquatic nuisance species also
              increased. More than one-third of the organisms have been
              introduced in the last 30 years, a surge coinciding with the opening
              of the St. Lawrence Seaway. Other human activities contributing
              to the transport and dispersal of aquatic nuisance species in the
              Great Lakes and inland state waters include the release of
              organisms from the ballast water of ships, transport and release
              from the bottoms of ships, movement or intentional release of
              aquaculture and sport fishery species along with their associated

                                         A-44

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             (free living and parasitic) organisms, release of organisms
             associated with pet industries or pest management practices,
             recreational boating, bait handling, water transport, and ornamental
             and landscape practices.

       See Illinois State Comprehensive Management Plan for Aquatic Nuisance Species
       (1999).

A.14.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)

A.14.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.14.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   Research on Asian carp is needed. IDNR needs a good understanding of their specific
       reproduction requirements, biomass and population estimates, preferred habitats, and the
       effects of competition with Great Lakes native fish. Officials would like to know how
       many invasive fish exist, their size, and where they are located, in order to better target
       them.

   •   Examination of the consistencies and inconsistencies between different state laws is
       needed.  Many  state laws are changing and, if the National AIS Act is passed, it will be
       important to know what the states are all doing in this area.
                                         A-45

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A.15. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN INDIANA


A.15.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Indiana's Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan was published in 2004 (see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.15.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Indiana Department of Natural Resources,
      (INDNR), Division of Fish and Wildlife. The Division is conducting treatment of
      Brazilian elodea in Griffy Lake, as well as a survey and development of an aquatic
      vegetation management plan. Whole-lake herbicide treatment began in 2006 and will
      continue in 2007. Access restrictions were implemented in the spring of 2006 to prevent
      the movement of Brazilian elodea to other waters. The Division is also conducting rapid
      response for hydrilla, first discovered in 2006 at Lake Manitou.  Response included an
      herbicide treatment and access restrictions in the fall of 2006. Large-scale aquatic
      herbicide treatments are planned for the spring of 2007.

   •  Lake and River Enhancement Program, INDNR Division of Fish and Wildlife. The
      Program provides grants to lake associations for the control of aquatic invasive plants.

   •  Yellow Perch Research, INDNR Division of Fish and Wildlife, Ball State University.
      Researchers examine the impacts of aquatic invasive species (AIS) such as zebra mussels
      and round goby on yellow perch and other native species in Lake Michigan.

   •  Management of sport fisheries, INDNR Division of Fish and Wildlife. The Division
      is responding to AIS' threats to sport fisheries through the following actions: (1)
      eradicating fishery altogether; (2) stocking predators; and (3) manipulating habitat (e.g.,
      lake drawdowns to reduce aquatic invasive fish and plants).

   •  Emergent aquatic plant control, INDNR Division of Nature Preserves. The Division
      is controlling purple loosestrife, Phragmites, and reed canary grass on Indiana's nature
      preserves. A purple loosestrife biocontrol program has been implemented using beetles
      on Nature Preserve properties as well as other areas that contain large areas of purple
      loosestrife.  Phragmites and reed canary grass have been sprayed with glyphosate-based
      herbicides, though the Division uses  some plant-specific herbicides for reed canary grass.
      The Division has also performed some herbicide control for the narrowleaf cattail and
      hybrid cattail, though there is some debate about whether narrowleaf cattail is native to
      North America.

A.15.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)

                                         A-46

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A.15.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.15.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.15.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
       Development of effective ballast water treatment technologies for the Great Lakes is
       needed.

       Research on biocontrol for Phragmites or reed canary grass needs to be conducted.  There
       is an active research program to develop biocontrol for Phragmites at Cornell University,
       but more research should be devoted to developing herbicides that are highly selective for
       these plants to reduce damage to non-target wetland plants.

       Further investigation of biocontrols for Eurasian watermilfoil, curlyleaf pondweed,
       hydrilla, and  Brazilian elodea is needed.

       Continued refinement of herbicides and timing of applications to reduce non-target plant
       damage is needed.
                                         A-47

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  A.16. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN IOWA

A.16.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Iowa's Plan for the Management of Aquatic Nuisance Species was published in 1999 (see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).

A.16.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES

   •  Iowa Invasive Species Working Group.  This group of federal, state, county,  and
      University staff hold regular meetings to discuss invasive species issues and plans.

A.16.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)

A.16.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)

A.16.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)

A.16.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS

   •  More information on the ways to control zebra mussels in the environment is needed.
   •  More information on Asian carp, including control methods, biological information about
      the species, and documentation of their impacts needs to be collected.
   •  Information on aquatic invasive species not yet found in northern climates that  are
      capable of surviving in colder climates  or that may expand their ranges due to climate
      changes needs to be gathered.
   •  Faster rapid-response systems need to be developed  and funding mechanisms to
      implement them need to be identified.
   •  Increased public awareness about invasive species is needed.
                                        A-48

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A.17. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN KANSAS


A.17.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Kansas completed its Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan in April 2005
(see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.17.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Plant Protection and Weed Control Program, Kansas Department of Agriculture.
      The agency has regulatory authority to deal with aquatic invasive weeds and conducts
      quarantines on purple loosestrife, tamarisk, and all federal noxious weeds, including the
      19 aquatic species.

   •  ANS Program, Kansas Department of Wildlife and Parks. The program is designed
      to protect residents of Kansas and aquatic resources from the effects of ANS. The
      program focuses on preventing the accidental introduction of new ANS, limiting the
      spread of existing aquatic invasive species (AIS), and controlling or eradicating AIS
      where environmentally and economically feasible. The intentional introduction of non-
      indigenous species for aquaculture, commercial, or recreational purposes is managed to
      insure that these beneficial introductions do not result in accidental AIS introductions.
      The Program also seeks to improve information sharing among those agencies
      responsible for regulation of intentional introductions.

A.17.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •  New AIS threats to Kansas's aquatic resources may emerge as a result of a shift in the
      climate.

A.17.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


   •  Kansas State officials consider climate change by communicating with colleagues to the
      north and south about species that are moving into the state and by comparing response
      activities.

A.17.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •  Boater movement surveys are being implemented.

   •  Risk assessments are being conducted.
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   •   Research on zebra mussels is being carried, specifically on movement via live-wells and
       bilges (veliger stage) and population dynamics.

A.17.6. RESEARCH NEEDS

   •   Research on the effects of AIS on water quality is needed.
   •   Research on Asian tapeworm presence is needed.
   •   Research on zebra mussel eradication techniques needs to be conducted.
   •   AIS vectors and exclusion techniques need to be identified.
   •   Research on effective public outreach tools and rapid response is needed.
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A.18. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN KENTUCKY


 A.18.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 Plan under development.


 A.18.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •   Integrated Roadside Vegetation Management Program, Kentucky Department of
        Highway, Roadside Branch.  Through herbicides and mowing, the program controls
        noxious weed species along highway rights-of-way.  Fertilization is also conducted to
        encourage rapid root growth of other plants.

     •   Control Program, Kentucky State Nature Preserves Commission, The Nature
        Conservancy and Northern Kentucky University. KNSPC works to systematically
        control and contain invasive plants within the nature preserve system statewide. Control
        mechanisms include cutting and removal as well as herbicide applications. Fire is also
        being tested as a tool to control the plants.

     •   Control Program, University of Kentucky/Lexington-Fayette Urban County
        Government (grant funds from the Columbus Advisory Board). The program
        removes invasive plants from Arboretum Park.

     •   Control program, Kentucky Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources (KDFWR).
        The Department controls populations of big head and silver carp by allowing commercial
        harvesting of the fish.

     •   Monitoring and research program, KDFWR. The Department is conducting research
        on cormorants to understand how they live, what they eat, and the impacts they have on
        habitats.

     •   University of Kentucky Invasive Species Initiative. The program, initiated in 2006, is
        using an interdisciplinary approach to monitor, model, prevent, mitigate, and eradicate
        aquatic and terrestrial invasive species in Kentucky.

     •   Tracy Farmer Center for the Environment at University of Kentucky. Using a
        hands-on approach, this youth outreach  program teaches students  about invasive species.
        They work to incorporate invasive species awareness into secondary school  science
        curriculums across the state.

 A.18.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
 (None reported.)
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A.18.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.18.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
   •   Research on how to limit fish populations, including bighead and silver carp is being
       conducted.

A.18.6. RESEARCH NEEDS

   •   More information on the commercial value and uses of big head and silver carp is
       needed.

   •   General research on the cormorant is needed.

   •   A Kentucky aquatic biodiversity database needs to be developed to track distribution of
       aquatic organisms (native and invasive) across the state.

   •   An assessment of aquatic invasive species impacts on endangered and threatened flora
       and fauna (especially mussels) and on fisheries is needed.

   •   Assessment of potential biocontrols  on native flora and fauna is needed.
                                        A-52

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A.19. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN LOUISIANA


 A.19.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
        Louisiana's State Management Plan for Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) was published in
 July 2005 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a
 general description of the Plan).


 A.19.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  The Louisiana Aquatic Invasive Species Task Force, chaired by the Louisiana
        Department of Wildlife and Fisheries (LDWF) and composed of state and federal
        agencies, stakeholders, and industry groups. The Task Force completed a draft AIS
        plan in 2005 and advises the Louisiana AIS Council, a permanent working partnership
        charged with implementation of the state AIS management plan.

     •  Aquatic Plant Control Fund.  The fund was created by the state legislature for the
        control of nuisance aquatic vegetation. At present, the fund is derived solely from an
        increase in boat trailer registration fees.

     •  Aquatic Plant Management Program, LDWF. This program maintains boating and
        fishing access through herbicide applications to nuisance aquatic vegetation.

     •  Aquatic Animals Management Program, LDWF. LDWF has posted a bounty on the
        tails of nutria.  The goal is to obtain 600,000 tails per year.  The Department is also
        monitoring to see if marshes are recovering.

     •  Outreach activities, conducted by many organizations that use some state funds in
        addition to other funds, including Louisiana Sea Grant College Program, Barataria-
        Terrebonne Estuary Program, and The Nature Conservancy, among others.
        Outreach is focused on target audiences (i.e., recreational fishers, water gardeners, and
        aquaculture groups) and elementary school children.

 A.19.3. CLIMATE CHANGE  CONCERNS
        Climate change will make conditions more suitable for some species and less suitable for
        other species.

        The state may experience land loss due to rising sea levels.
 A.19.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
 (None reported.)


                                         A-53

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A.19.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)

A.19.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS

   •  Satellite technology to determine the location of invasive species is needed.
                                      A-54

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 A.20. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MAINE


A.20.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Maine's Action Plan for Managing Invasive Aquatic Species: A Report to the Land and
Water Resources Council from the Interagency Task Force on Invasive Aquatic Plants and
Nuisance Species was published in October 2002 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive
Species Management Plan Summaries for a general description of the Plan).


A.20.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Invasive Aquatic Plant Prevention Program, Maine Department of Environmental
      Protection (ME DEP).  This program inspects watercraft, trailers, and outboard motors
      at or near the state borders and at boat launching sites for the presence of invasive aquatic
      plants.  The program also provides educational materials to the public and to watercraft
      owners on invasive aquatic plants and funds control work by some private lake
      associations. The Program is also conducting plant control work on three small lakes
      (one with populations of Eurasian watermilfoil, one with hydrilla, and one with curlyleaf
      pondweed) to try to prevent the spread of these plants to other water bodies. Finally, the
      agency is also undertaking plant removal on lakes with variable milfoil located close to
      boat ramps in order to reduce spread.

   •  Invasive Aquatic Plant Prevention Program, Maine Department of Inland Fisheries
      and Wildlife (MDIFW). MDIFW has a warden service to patrol waters and roads and
      enforce violations like launching a boat or transporting a vehicle on public roads with
      plants attached.

   •  Lake and River Protection  Sticker, ME DEP, MDIFW. As of 2002, all motorized
      watercraft on inland waters in Maine are required to display the Lake and River
      Protection Sticker ("Preserve Maine Waters"). No sticker is required for operating a boat
      in tidal  waters.  Motorized watercraft includes any boat with any type of motor, including
      canoes with electric motors and personal watercraft. Dedicated funds raised through this
      program are used to support Maine's prevention and early detection and rapid response
      efforts. Maine raises approximately $1 million a year through this program.

   •  Courtesy Boat Inspection Program, ME DEP. The program involves voluntary boat
      inspections that emphasize boat ramp inspection. Last year, there were 30,000
      inspections (10,000 more than in 2003).

   •  Early Detection, Invasive Plant Patrol Program, ME DEP. ME DEP contracts with
      the Volunteer Lake Monitoring Program, which, through the Maine Center for Invasive
      Aquatic Plants (MCIAP), conducts training programs for volunteers, state agency
      personnel, professionals, teachers, students, and others.  Since the program began in
      2001, nearly 1,400 individuals have been trained. The basic workshop teaches
      participants how to recognize the invasive plants on Maine's "eleven most unwanted" list

                                         A-55

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       and how to distinguish these invaders from the native species they resemble. A variety of
       advanced training opportunities is also offered.  The number of Maine water bodies being
       screened for the presence of invasive aquatic plants has increased several hundredfold
       since MCIAP began its training effort. Surveys conducted by volunteers now account for
       more than half of all surveys being conducted in the state.  Maine inspects watercraft,
       trailers, and outboard motors and provides educational materials to the public.  In order to
       decide which ramps to target, ME DEP conducts a rough risk assessment to determine
       which ramps are used most often.  The Department uses paid inspectors for the high-use
       hours, to keep any invasive plants from spreading. Officials have completed a
       vulnerability assessment (remotely, using GIS) to assist the analysis, examining the
       distance from infested water bodies to highways and whether infested water bodies are
       hydrologically connected to other water bodies.

   •   Draft Rapid Response Plan, ME DEP, MDIFW.  The Commissioners of the ME DEP
       and the MDIFW have agreed to direct their respective agencies' responses to new
       infestations of invasive aquatic species under the auspices of a single, coordinated rapid
       response plan.  Species covered by the 172-page plan include invasive plants and fish
       already in some Maine waters and other exotic organisms not yet established in Maine,
       such as zebra mussels.

   •   Integrated Pest Management Strategy (for purple loosestrife), Maine Department of
       Agriculture. This program works to avoid water drawdown and site disturbance during
       the growing season to avoid exposing mudflats where seeds can germinate. The program
       surveys all wetlands (at least every 3 years) to pinpoint infestations, and every year,
       stems at "active" wetland sites are sprayed with the herbicide glyphosate and counted at
       selected sampling sites. Park authorities are beginning to work with landowners on sites
       adjacent to park boundaries to enact similar preventative strategies.

A.20.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
   •   Maine's Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan states that"... with global
       climate change, [AIS] may spread even further as freshwater and ocean temperatures
       moderate."

A.20.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


   •   The AIS Management Plan has a category entitled "No Action at This Time" that
       emphasizes the need to "[l]earn more before acting" (p. 14).  The category lists climate
       change as an issue.  Specifically, the Plan states that:

             Maine's cold climate and ocean temperatures now limit warm
             water species. But warming temperatures and fluctuating weather
             patterns may in time be more favorable to their introduction.  At
             the same time, changing conditions may become less favorable for
             coldwater species, thus contributing to an overall shift toward

                                         A-56

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              warm water assemblages.  Taking the long view, Maine will
              monitor climatic conditions to provide early warning of potential
              infestations.

A.20.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   The state has recently completed a 2-year research project studying the relative
       effectiveness of different manual methods for controlling variable watermilfoil, as well as
       the viability of variable milfoil fragments under different conditions. This research will
       be continued in the future and will focus on the impacts of variable watermilfoil on native
       ecosystems.

   •   Students of one professor at the University of Maine at Farmington routinely are involved
       in invasive aquatic plant surveys,  assessments, and mapping projects in Maine, as well as
       research on fragment regeneration.

A.20.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
       Research need to be conducted to find a native organism that can function as a safe,
       effective biocontrol for variable watermilfoil.
                                          A-57

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A.21. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MARYLAND


  A.21.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
  No plan available.


  A.21.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Maryland Marsh Restoration/Nutria Project Partnership, led by Maryland
        Department of Natural Resources (MD DNR) and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
        (USFWS) in partnership with 24 additional federal, state, and private organizations.
        The project involves behavioral/population research, reproductive research, testing of
        trapping methods, population control strategies, and marsh restoration.

     •  Mute Swan Management, MD DNR, Wildlife and Heritage Service. MD DNR
        manages the mute swan population through (1) public outreach and education; (2)
        population management and resource protection (e.g., reducing recruitment by egg oiling,
        humane removal of adult swans, establishing Swan-Free Areas); (3) regulating the
        possession of mute swans; (4) relief of human safety and nuisance conflicts; and (5)
        population monitoring and research.

     •  Zebra Mussel Prevention, MD DNR. This program educates boaters and  divers about
        zebra mussels. The goal is to prevent mussels from becoming established in the state.

     •  Water Chestnut Harvesting, MD DNR, Division of Tidewater Ecosystem
        Assessment. Water chestnut, recently rediscovered in the Upper Chesapeake Bay, is
        pulled by hand during Submerged Aquatic Vegetation surveys.

     •  Snakehead Prevention, MD DNR, Fisheries Service.  The service seeks to prevent the
        spread of snakeheads by  conducting the following activities: circulating posters that ask
        anglers to kill and report all snakeheads; compiling regional data (database is maintained
        by the Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries [VDGIF]) for captures in the
        Potomoc River (these include MD  DNR, VDGIF, and public captures); and annual
        monitoring that includes  seine, electrofishing, and gillnet surveys.

     •  Snakehead Control and Management Plan, USFWS. The creation of the Snakehead
        Control and Management Plan is a collaborative effort among industry, non-
        governmental organizations (NGOs), state and federal agencies, and citizens. The goal is
        to create a management plan that identifies action items to guide agency activities and
        funding priorities, in addition to goals for industry, citizens, and NGOs. The plan will
        focus on control priorities for the Potomac/Northeast U.S. region, as well as general
        prevention, early detection and rapid response, research, and outreach/education priorities
        in other regions the snakehead could potentially invade.
                                           A-58

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   •   Purple Loosestrife Control, MD DNR. Maryland biologists will manually cull purple
       loosestrife if encountered in the field. The state has also used biocontrols for several
       years.

   •   Cooperative Giant Hogweed Eradication, MD DNR, Maryland Department of
       Agriculture (MDDA). MD DNR works to eradicate giant hogweed by using a
       combination of hand-pulling, herbicide application, burning, and bagging techniques each
       summer.

   •   Plant Pest Survey and Detection, MDDA, Plant Protection and Weed Management
       Section. No specific action.

   •   Phragmites Control Cost-Share Program, MD DNR, private citizens. This program
       supplies private landowners with herbicides for Phragmites control.  MD DNR or MDDA
       can apply the herbicides and bill landowners, or the landowner can use a private
       applicator.  Landowners incur any application costs.

   •   Aquatic Weed Control with Herbicides, MDDA, Plant Protection and Weed
       Management Section. MDDA staff consider timing, permitting, organism's effect on
       ecosystem, expense, and level of effort required for control in deciding which herbicides
       to use and when to use them.

   •   Chinese Mitten Crab Investigation, MD DNR. The MD DNR,  in cooperation with the
       Smithsonian Environmental Research Center, the USFWS, and NOAA has established a
       joint effort to evaluate the status of the Chinese mitten crab in Maryland.

A.21.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •   Climate change may affect the nutria problem.

   •   A rise in sea level may place additional stress on marshes, which are highly sensitive to
       changes in water level. Marsh resources, if any remain, will migrate landward. Marsh
       loss is caused by a combination of nutria and sea level rise and subsidence of the general
       terrain in the area.

   •   Significant warming may result in habitat changes, causing species such as the Bulls-Eye
       Snakehead, in Florida, to become an issue in Maryland.

A.21.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
       The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers will use an ongoing nutria study to implement a
       4-year marsh restoration project, potentially covering 150 acres of marsh in the
       Blackwater National Wildlife Refuge.  The Corps is using sediment spraying to raise the
       level of the marsh, which helps to restore the marsh grass.
                                         A-59

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A.21.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.21.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •  Research on nutria pheromonal attractants and weaknesses in reproductive biology is
      needed.

   •  Research on zebra mussels and their control techniques in lakes and rivers is needed.

   •  Species-specific fish control techniques are needed.

   •  Innovative control techniques for snakeheads that would allow officials to apply a lethal
      control need to be developed.

   •  Information on chemicals that would either attract fish or exclude them from areas needs
      to be collected.

   •  A contained area to study snakeheads in order to develop innovative techniques to  sample
      and control them is needed.

   •  Information on better Phragmites control methods, other than herbicides (e.g., biocontrol)
      needs to be collected.
                                         A-60

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     A.22. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                 MASSACHUSETTS
A.22.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Massachusetts's Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan was published in 2002 (see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.22.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Boat Ramp Monitor Program, Massachusetts Department of Conservation and
      Recreation (MA OCR), Office of Water Resources (OWR), Lakes and Ponds
      Program (LPP).  Boat ramp monitors are positioned at lakes and ponds statewide to
      inspect boats and ensure that no plant fragments are attached to the boat, trailer, or gear.
      Boaters are given informational brochures and asked to participate in a voluntary boat
      inspection and complete a survey. LPP posts aquatic invasive species  (AIS) posters in
      kiosks and metal reflective boat ramps at public access points to remind boaters to check
      their boats  and trailers before entering or leaving a water body.

   •  Weed Watchers Program, MA DCR, OWR, LPP. LPP schedules weed watcher
      training for any interested lake groups or associations. This program teaches groups how
      to check key areas  such as inlets, outlets, and shallow areas. The training also teaches
      volunteers how to eradicate species. This program is modeled after New Hampshire's
      weed watcher program.

   •  Multi-lingual Education, MA DCR, OWR, LPP, Massachusetts Office of Coastal
      Zone Management (MOCZM).  Lead by MOCZM with participation from LPP, this
      program developed multi-lingual brochures to distribute to specific groups (e.g.,
      participants in the seafood trade who are Chinese).

   •  Rapid Response Protocols, MA DCR, OWR, LPP.  MA DCR paid a contractor to
      develop rapid response protocols for new and unknown AIS.

   •  AIS Program, MOCZM. Recent projects by MOCZM include developing resources for
      early detection and rapid response to new invasions in Massachusetts,  developing a
      Website to provide a single outlet for AIS information and resources in the state, and
      developing a marine invasive species monitoring network. The monitoring network uses
      a standardized protocol and identification resources developed with funding by MOCZM.
      The Office partnered with Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Sea Grant to
      develop a centralized marine invasive species data management system, as well as
      Massachusetts Bays National Estuary Program in an effort to train citizens to monitor
      along the coast. MOCZM has also taken steps to establish memoranda of understanding
      with state agencies to coordinate management and has launched efforts to engage the
      seafood and pet-store industry.

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   •   Massachusetts Bays National Estuaries Program.  The Program coordinated the 2003
       rapid assessment survey of non-native and native marine species of floating dock
       communities with MIT Sea Grant.  Another rapid assessment is scheduled for summer
       2007.  This program has also sponsored research and developed publications  related to
       AIS.

   •   MIT Sea Grant Program.  This program is leading the development of a centralized
       marine invasive species data management system.  The database includes information
       from many groups, including volunteer monitors and divers. MIT Sea Grant  are also
       used to develop informational publications that help minimize new introductions through
       several vectors.

   •   Water Chestnut Eradication, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Silvio O. Conte
       National Fish and Wildlife Refuge, in partnership with a number of other groups.
       This program's control component consists of mechanical harvesting and some herbicide
       application around the edges of the water body. Participants hand pull the plant at six
       sites including Holyoke, Hadley, East Hampton, South Hadley, as well as a few sites in
       Connecticut. The plant is almost completely eradicated from sites where manual culling
       has been employed for the past 4 years.

   •   Giant Hogweed control, Massachusetts Department of Agricultural Resources,
       Division of Regulatory Services.

A.22.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •   As the climate warms, certain plants that pose problems in the south could move into
       Massachusetts. For example, water hyacinth, a problem in Virginia and other southern
       states, and which is being sold in nurseries for water gardens, is not yet considered a
       problem in the state.  If the climate warms up enough to allow water hyacinth to
       overwinter, it could be a threat. In contrast, water chestnut cannot be legally  possessed
       and is not traded in the marketplace.

A.22.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.22.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.22.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
(None reported.)
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A.23. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MICHIGAN


 A.23.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Michigan's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was published in 2002
 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
 description of the Plan).


 A.23.2.   AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  ANS Council, Michigan Department of Environmental Quality (MDEQ); Michigan
       Department of Natural Resources (MI DNR); Michigan Department of Agriculture
       (MDA); National Wildlife Federation; Michigan United Conservation Clubs;
       Michigan Education Association; Michigan State University, Department of
       Fisheries and Wildlife. The Council implements the ANS Management Plan and does
       planning and strategy for member agencies and associations.  As of 2006, council
       members are considering a rapid response plan.  The Council monitors aquatic invasive
       species (AIS) and promotes control, but not eradication (Michigan does not spend money
       to eradicate AIS where it is impossible). The Council also focuses on measures to
       prevent further introductions and spread of ANS.

     •  Invasive Species Advisory Council, MDEQ, Michigan Department of
       Transportation, MI DNR, MDA. The Council is responsible for overseeing all
       management of invasive species in the  state (aquatic and terrestrial).

     •  Education and Outreach, MDEQ Office of the Great Lakes. MDEQ officials conduct
       outreach on how to prevent the spread of ANS. The office also offers removal and
       control training for local governments,  conservation groups, citizens, and associations
       and issues permits for the use of chemicals for ANS removal.

     •  Status and Trends Surveys, MI DNR, Fisheries Division. When habitat biologists
       encounter AIS during their annual fish  Status and Trend Surveys, they kill and preserve it
       for later identification. Any recurrence is noted in the files.

     •  Purple Loosestrife Program, Michigan State University, Michigan Sea Grant
       College Program.  This program introduces biocontrol agents (natural insect enemies) to
       existing purple loosestrife  populations.

 A.23.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


     •  MDEQ is concerned about ANS expansion as waters warm. Hydrilla and water lettuce
       are overwintering in northern areas.
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A.23.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


   •   Officials are addressing the overwintering of hydrilla and water lettuce in northern areas
       with outreach and education efforts.

A.23.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
   •   The 2002 ANS Management Plan includes the following:  research on treatment of
       ballast water; surveys of purple loosestrife throughout Michigan; research on the
       practicality of pheromone use as a control for round goby; assessment of impacts of
       round gobies and collection of baseline data on ruffe; and testing for effects of zebra
       mussel on zoobenthos and the diet and growth of yellow perch.

A.23.6. RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   The 2002 ANS Management Plan includes the following:  (1) Preventing AIS
       introductions—including monitoring, data for rapid response, probabilities for
       establishment, hot list of potential AIS, boater and angler survey regarding
       implementation methods;  (2) Controlling AIS—including use of biocontrol, pesticides,
       physical control, social/political/economic acceptability of control, effectiveness and
       pathways; (3) Researching andmonitoring AISimpacts—including potential invasive
       risks of genetically modified aquatic plants and fish to Michigan's aquatic ecosystems
       and to aquaculture and sport fishing; and (4) Capacity-building—for AIS data and quality
       scientific research by promoting data availability and collaboration among agencies,
       researchers, and industry.

   •   Research on the impacts of controls is needed, especially chemical controls. Michigan
       officials aim to conduct a  long-term costs/benefits analysis and evaluate the
       environmental impacts of AIS.  The officials are interested in whether long-term studies
       will show the weevil beetle to be an effective  milfoil biocontrol, as well as the impacts of
       control methods on water  quality and ecosystem stability.
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A.24. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MINNESOTA


  A.24.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
  Plan under development.


  A.24.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Invasive Species Program, Minnesota Department of Agriculture. The Department
        issues an annual report that characterizes aquatic plants and wild animals, and the annual
        report provides fund allocation records for aquatic invasive species (AIS) activities
        through watercraft surcharges and a water recreation account. The Department also has
        educational requirements for terrestrial species.  The three primary goals of the program
        are to (1) prevent introductions, (2) prevent spread, and (3) reduce impacts.

     •  Eurasian Watermilfoil Management (EWM) Program, Minnesota Department of
        Natural Resources (MN DNR).  This program focuses on unintentional transport of
        milfoil on boat equipment and better cleaning of such equipment by performing four
        functions:  (1) monitoring milfoil growth; (2) coordinating with government agencies,
        special purpose districts, and lakeshore associations to prevent spread; (3) coordinating
        with the University of Minnesota and other facilities to study the use of biocontrols and
        herbicides; and (4) the allocation  of grants to potential partners working on lakes with
        public water access and  funds research on biocontrol.

     •  Purple Loosestrife Management Program, MN DNR. This program seeks to reduce
        the environmental effects of purple loosestrife by integrating chemical and biocontrol and
        cooperating with local, state, and  federal groups.

     •  Watercraft Inspection  Internships, MN DNR.  Between April and October, watercraft
        inspections are conducted at public water access sites on lakes and rivers infested with
        AIS.

  A.24.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


     •  Warmer climate species, which cannot currently survive in Minnesota, will eventually be
        able to survive  in the state.

     •  Warming could produce cooler and wetter springs, which would limit the growth of
        EWM. Historically, drought conditions caused the initial growth of watermilfoil.

     •  As temperatures warm over time, conifers may be replaced by oaks, followed by prairie
        grassland.  However, with invasive species, such as buckthorn, oaks may not be able to
        compete, which will throw off the natural cycle.
                                           A-65

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A.24.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.24.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   Technology to deter the spread of Asian carp is being implemented.
   •   Funding is being used to construct dispersal barriers for Asian carp.
   •   Weekly copper sulfate treatments to kill zebra mussels are being implemented.
   •   Public awareness and watercraft inspections are being conducted.
   •   Technical assistance for curlyleaf pondweed management projects is being offered.


A.24.6. RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Habitat recovery issues after eradication of an invasive  species need to be examined.

   •   A national framework or law on invasive species to deal with intrastate transportation,
       transportation on public roads, and interstate transpiration is needed.  The Lacey Act is
       not sufficient.

   •   States should be sharing more information on risk assessments.

   •   Information on effective herbicide and biocontrol methods is needed.

   •   A more comprehensive noxious weed list and a list of injurious wildlife need to be
       developed, as well as a list of federal experts that states can contact if they have questions
       on a particular issue.

   •   More studies on the effects of EWM need to be conducted.

   •   More information on long-term  impacts of invasive species on adjacent wildlife
       communities is needed.
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A.25. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MISSISSIPPI


  A.25.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
  Plan under development.


  A.25.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Control, Mississippi Department of Wildlife, Fisheries, and Parks. The Department
        chemically treats water hyacinth and common salvinia in Mississippi state park waters
        and fishing lakes and stocks grass carp and salvinia beetles.

     •  Monitoring and control, Mississippi Department of Agriculture and Commerce
        (MDAC), Bureau of Plant Industry, U.S. Department of Agriculture's Animal and
        Plant Health Inspection Service's (APHIS) Plant Protection and Quarantine (PPQ).
        MDAC is assisting APHIS PPQ to monitor and control an infestation of giant salvinia in
        a private lake.  Officials check the lake every 3 months and release salvinia weevils when
        necessary.

     •  Coastal Preserve Program (giant salvinia), Mississippi Department of Marine
        Resources (MDMR). Department officials are assessing the possible use of the salvinia
        weevil to control giant salvinia, which has emerged as an aquatic invasive species (AIS)
        in the area. Officials are also addressing tallow tree and cogongrass through active
        surveys for the species and the use of herbicides and mechanical removal  for control.

     •  Alabama-Mississippi Rapid Assessment Team.  State scientists conduct a 3-5 day
        survey of all AIS present in the coastal waters of Alabama and Mississippi to establish a
        baseline for further analysis.

  A.25.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


     •  A recent document from MDMR (Dale A. Diaz and Jeff Clark, Mississippi Department
        Of Marine Resources Efforts Related To Aquatic Invasive Species., Proceedings of the
        14th Biennial Coastal Zone Conference, New Orleans, Louisiana, July 2005), states that
        AIS "[are] a problem because there are many elements in place that make the state
        susceptible to aquatic invasions," including the following:  abundant pathways, such as
        commercial shipping, heavy recreational watercraft usage, aquaculture, and the
        ornamental plant trade industry; a subtropical climate with abundant aquatic habitat that
        is naturally hospitable to AIS; and increased coastal development, which can enhance the
        establishment of invasive species in areas where habitat has been altered.
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A.25.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


    •   The MDMR document (see CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS above) also states, "[the
       plan will] include sections on the pathways of introduction, education/outreach,
       prevention, control, eradication, restoration, early detection and rapid response for
       aquatic invasive species."  Mississippi will work with a regional panel to coordinate its
       activities, and the state will be involved in the Alabama-Mississippi Rapid Assessment
       Team.

A.25.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.25.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


    •   A database of taxonomists who can identify invasive species needs to be developed.2

    •   The use of the salvinia weevil and the potentially negative impacts of its introduction
       need to be assessed.

    •   More information on the potential long-term negative effects of control  methods is
       needed.

    •   More information and expertise on esoteric species is needed.
2Because the research was completed for this analysis, the need for a database of taxonomists has been fulfilled (see
ANS Task Force Experts Database at http://www.anstaskforce. gov/experts/search.php').
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A.26. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MISSOURI


 A.26.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Missouri's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was published in August
 2005 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a
 general description of the Plan).


 A.26.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     • Invasive Species Program, Missouri Department of Conservation (MDC), Fisheries
       Program.  The program provides public information, and officials are currently enacting
       the 2005 aquatic invasive species (AIS) Plan. In addition, regulations have been enacted
       recently that prohibit the use of live bighead and silver carp as bait, create a prohibited
       species list, and require registration for all sellers of live fish or crayfish as bait. The
       program is also in the process of developing regulations related to invasive species
       management (not yet approved).

     • Protect Our Waters Project, MDC, Resource Science Division. This project, outlined
       in the Missouri AIS Plan, involves joint work among inter-agency experts on invasive
       species.

     • Alternate use of redear sunfish for control of snails in aquaculture, MDC, Resource
       Science Division. The Division is evaluating the use of redear sunfish, as a substitute for
       Asian black carp, to control snails in aquaculture ponds.

     • Asian  carp heuristic modeling, MDC, Resource Science Division and University of
       New Orleans. The project is evaluating a modeling technique to predict the expansion of
       Asian carp in the Middle Mississippi River system and associated tributary streams.

     • Reeds Canarygrass Management, MDC, Resource Science Division. The Division is
       evaluating  control of Reeds Canarygrass in wetlands that uses a combination of
       mechanical and herbicide treatments.

     • Statewide  Crayfish Conservation and Management Program, MDC, Resource
       Science Division. This program has several components: (1) Systematic Monitoring
       Project—monitors invasions and seeks to set up a long-term monitoring project; (2)
       Consulting—encourages the public to use native species for sale food, or bait, advocates
       for the addition of the Australian and Rusty Crayfish to the prohibited species list, and
       works  with law enforcement officers to track invasive crayfish, particularly their
       transport to and from other states; (3) Stream resource management—researches inter-
       species breeding, competition for resources, takeovers of breeding grounds, etc.; (4)
       Education—produces videos, brochures, and articles and gives presentations to school
       groups; (5) Working with the bait industry—built a database of every bait shop in the
       state (about 400  shops) and found that 90 of these sell crayfish, working on a brochure

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       for the bait and culture industry that shows shops how to identify the five legal crayfish
       species; (6) Permits for species collection—issues permits, usually to teachers, with a
       requirement that species be released at the same location from which they were obtained.

    •  Zebra Mussel Educational Outreach and Monitoring, MDC, Policy Division. As part
       of the 100th Meridian Initiative, MDC conducts statewide outreach, including assistance
       to marine operators who inspect boats for zebra mussels, publication of articles about
       zebra mussels, supply of information at fairs, outdoor events, and hometown festivals.

    •  Invasive Species Management Program, Missouri Department of Natural
       Resources, Division of State Parks.

A.26.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS

   •   Missouri is concerned about the effects of climate change on invasive species in general.

   •   The state is concerned about increased movement of AIS through interstate commerce
       and recreation.

A.26.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS

   •   Missouri has instituted Traveler Information Stations, boat ramp signs, and public-private
       partnerships address pathways.

A.26.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •   Monitoring efforts to track zebra mussels are being implemented.

   •   Discussions of markets for Asian carp as pet food, oil, consumption, and private use are
       increasing.

   •   An ANS workshop on communication strategies for the 2007 North American Fish and
       Wildlife Conference in Portland, OR was developed.

A.26.6. RESEARCH NEEDS

   •   Information on the effects of crayfish on other aquatic species is needed.

   •   Methods to control crayfish are needed.

   •   Adequate monitoring and inventories in order to understand the full spectrum of
       biodiversity in streams are needed.

   •   Monitoring in order to gauge changes and detect species as soon as they appear needs to
       be conducted.
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A.27. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN MONTANA


 A.27.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Montana's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was published in 2002
 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
 description of the Plan).


 A.27.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Montana ANS Program, Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Parks. The
       primary goal of the Montana ANS Program is collaboration and coordination with other
       agencies and other states. The Program consists of five key areas:  coordination,
       education,  prevention and control, monitoring, and rapid response.  Within the program
       areas, various activities are being implemented:

       o  Education.  The program conducts education in schools, colleges, and universities,
           with specialized groups such as Trout Unlimited, and through fishing tournaments,
           radio stations, and boat launches.  The Program also has an education program for
           professionals. For example, firefighters are targeted because much of Montana's fire
           equipment is brought in from other states, which subsequently spreads ANS.

       o  Prevention and Control.  The program operates a boat inspection program.  This
           began in 2004, by targeting fishing tournaments on high use waters. In 2005, efforts
           expanded state-wide, with inspections at more high-use water areas and times.
           Officials  set up angler check stations at major tournaments and water bodies, where
           anglers must fill out a questionnaire about where they are launching their boats.
           Cleaning equipment is available to remove debris and sediment, if necessary, before
           launching. The program also checks for live bait from outside the  state and has a
           hatchery inspection program.

       o  Monitoring.  The monitoring program has inspected all major water bodies for
           invasive invertebrates and plants.  Additionally, a whirling disease distribution study
           has been underway for several years. Officials also test fish for diseases and map
           their spread. There is also an ongoing distribution  study of New Zealand Mud Snails,
           with plans to test all fishing  access sites. The resulting information is  entered into a
           national Internet database.

       o  Rapid Response.  Montana officials have a rapid response plan  in place for zebra
           mussels upon detection, with different plans based  on general scenarios. They are
           also mapping national statistics to identify and monitor the most likely areas where
           mussels might be introduced.

 A.27.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
 (None reported.)
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A.27.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.27.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
   •   Montana's aquatic invasive species (AIS) program researched the effectiveness of ANS
       Program outreach tools.

   •   The state's AIS program completed a specific study in 2006 to examine the effectiveness
       of Traveler Information Systems on public outreach.

   •   Montana's AIS program is conducting surveys annually to identify transport patterns
       within the state in order to help identify bodies of water at highest risk of introduction.

A.27.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
       Montana needs to undertake risk assessments for the establishment of other aquatic
       invasives within the state.  The state should determine which bodies of water are at
       highest risk of establishment and which species are most likely to become established.
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A.28. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEBRASKA


 A.28.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 No plan available.


 A.28.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Coordination, Nebraska Game and Parks Commission (NGPC), Fisheries Division.
       The Division conducts education and outreach, as well as some control for the common
       carp.

     •  Noxious Weed Program, Nebraska Department of Agriculture (NDA), Bureau of
       Plant Industry.  This Program conducts several activities: oversight of weed control
       superintendents around the state; training and education of personnel on the Nebraska
       Noxious Control  Act, infestations, and control methods; dissemination of information and
       educational campaigns; designation of noxious weeds and their control measures;
       collection of information from counties regarding presence of noxious weeds; and
       cooperation with federal and state agencies.

     •  Douglas County Noxious Weed Control Authority, Douglas County Environmental
       Services.

     •  Lancaster County Weed Control Program, Lancaster County Weed Control
       Authority.

     •  Lower Platte Weed Management Area, a partnership among the county weed
       control boards (Butler, Cass, Colfax, Dodge, Douglas, Lancaster, Platte, Sarpy,
       Saunders, Seward, and Washington), NGPC, NDA. This program surveys, and
       monitors for and  controls purple loosestrife in the Platte River Drainage.  Officials have
       surveyed nearly 100 miles of the Platte River and treated nearly 75% of the  infestations
       by chemical or insects releases.  Continued monitoring and control is planned.

     •  Twin Valley Weed Management Area (TVWMA), a partnership among the county
       weed control boards (Adams, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Furnas, Harlan, Kearney,
       Nuckolls, Thayer, and Webster counties), NDA, University of Nebraska Extension,
       and Board of Educational Lands and Funds. TVWMA facilitates coordination among
       land managers and landowners to identify and  manage noxious and invasive plant
       problems and conducts outreach and education.

     •  Nebraska Weed Control Association. This is a forum where superintendents can
       exchange information about noxious weeds.

     •  Adopt-A-Stream program, Nebraska Wildlife Federation.  This program teaches local
       volunteers how to conduct chemical and biological monitoring.
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A.28.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •  Increased drought caused by changes in climate may cause purple loosestrife and
      Phragmites populations to increase drastically.

   •  Warmer temperatures may affect some species, but not others.

A.28.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.28.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •  Nebraska is developing a strategy to eliminate or reduce purple loosestrife through the
      use of mechanical (digging), chemical (herbicides), or biological (insect) controls.

   •  Chemical experiments are being conducted on Phragmites by spraying habitat via
      helicopter over 80 acres along the river. Grazing cows and goats are also being used as a
      trial method to control Phragmites.

A.28.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •  Information about Asian carp is needed.

   •  Identification of native and non-native species is needed.

   •  New techniques for more effective or selective control and herbicides need to be
      developed.

   •  An understanding of where purple loosestrife seeds will be disseminated and where it
      may reappear is needed.

   •  More knowledge  about the anatomy and botany of invasive plants is needed.
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A.29. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEVADA


A.29.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
No plan available.


A.29.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Lake Tahoe Basin Weed Coordinating Group, Nevada Department of Agriculture
      and University of Nevada Cooperative Extension. The group conducts and/or
      encourages the following activities:  (1) Aquatic weed work at Lake Tahoe—the initial
      phase includes public education and outreach (posting signs and distributing information
      to boaters, asking for boat cleaning, and disseminating flyers at Forest Service
      leaseholders' homes to alert of potential spread); (2) Voluntary removal ofpondweedby
      landowners and managers (curlyleaf pondweed is on the Tahoe Priority Weeds List); (3)
      Eurasian milfoil control at the south end of the lake through mechanical weed removal
      and induced water temperature changes to prevent spread and growth of weed; and (4)
      Pilot project for weed removal—California Department of State Lands has spearheaded a
      pilot project to use diver-assisted weed removal at the south end of the lake. A Bureau of
      Reclamation grant will allow the work to continue and expand through 2010.  The use of
      bottom barriers is also being investigated.

   •  Control of tall whitetop and tamarisk, Nevada Department of Conservation and
      Natural Resources, Muddy River Regional Environmental Impact Alleviation
      Committee, Southern Nevada Water Authority, and others.  Nevada uses inmate
      labor crews to control tall whitetop and tamarisk. The strategy consists of mechanical
      control (cutting down plants with chainsaws) and herbicide application to stumps.  Many
      of the Nevada Cooperative Weed Management Areas (CWMAs) also participate in
      tamarisk and other aquatic invasive species removal.

   •  Biocontrol of tamarisk, University of Nevada-Reno, in cooperation with U.S.
      Department of Agriculture. The "Saltcedar Biological Control Consortium," a multi-
      agency and multi-partner effort that includes private interests  such as the Cattlemen's
      Association and conservation groups such as The Nature Conservancy, conducts tamarisk
      research, including a biocontrol project using weevils.

   •  Chemical removal of undesirable species, Nevada Department of Wildlife (NDOW).
      The Department removes some non-native game fish to perpetuate native species
      (cutthroat trout, bull trout, and other trout species) that are currently or potentially
      threatened or endangered. NDOW treats the water body for two consecutive years with
      piscicides and then restocks with native fish.

   •  Invasive Species Management Plans, NDOW, Wildlife Management Areas. Each
      Wildlife Management Area, established to protect habitats and biodiversity, is developing
      an Invasive Species Management Plan.  The department continues to work closely with
      CWMAs to control invasive weeds on state-owned Wildlife Management Areas.

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       Grazing, herbicidal spraying, and biocontrols have been implemented in many of the
       areas.

   •   Database of Invasive Plant Mapping Data, Nevada Natural Heritage Program.
       Nevada Natural Heritage Program, in cooperation with the Nevada Department of
       Agriculture, is creating a database management and mapping position to keep track of all
       of Nevada's Invasive Plant Mapping Data, including aquatic plants.  The data will be
       gathered by CWMAs and various agencies and organizations.

A.29.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •   Although weevils have effectively defoliated the tamarisk trees numerous times, they do
       not do well in southern Nevada. This may be linked to temperature,  since weevils may
       be heat-sensitive. Researchers may try to obtain more heat-tolerant weevils from their
       source location.

   •   Climate change could increase demand on water resources, and because invasive species
       (such as tamarisk) deplete the water supply, invasive species could become a greater
       problem as a result of climate change.

A.29.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.29.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.29.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS

   •   Cooperative Extension education and outreach need to be developed.

   •   A tamarisk-eating weevil that is effective in the south need to be identified.

   •   More effective herbicides for treating tall whitetop and tamarisk need to be developed.

   •   More information about the effect of chemicals on non-target species such as
       macroinvertebrates and their recovery needs to be gathered.

   •   More research on other biocontrols for invasive species needs to be conducted.
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     A.30. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                  NEW HAMPSHIRE
A.30.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
No plan available.


A.30.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •   New Hampshire Exotic Aquatic Plant Program, New Hampshire Department of
       Environmental Services (NHDES).  The primary purpose of the program is to "prevent
       the introduction and further dispersal of exotic aquatic weeds and to manage or eradicate
       exotic aquatic weed infestations in the surface waters of the state."  The program focuses
       on submerged exotic aquatic plants, including variable milfoil (Myriophyllum
       heterophyllum\ Eurasian watermilfoil (Myriophyllum spicatum\ fanwort (Cabomba
       caroliniand), Brazilian elodea (Egeria densa), Hydrilla  (Hydrilla verticillata), and water
       chestnut (Trapa natans), among other species. The program has five focus areas: (1)
       Prevention of new infestations; (2) Monitoring for early detection of new infestations to
       facilitate rapid control activities; (3) Control of new and established infestations; (4)
       Research towards new control methods with the goal of reducing or eliminating infested
       areas;  and (5) Regional cooperation. The program is funded through the collection of a
       $5 fee derived from New Hampshire boat registrations.  For each $5 collected, $4.50 is
       dedicated to tasks and projects associated with exotic aquatic plants. The program's
       establishing statutes also list 27 prohibited aquatic plants and associated species.

   •   Lake Host Program, NHDES and New Hampshire Lakes Association. The New
       Hampshire Lakes Association, under a grant appropriation from NHDES, hires summer
       staff to inspect aquatic recreational gear, such as boats, trailers, and personal water craft,
       for aquatic weeds at public access water sites across the state. Staff also distribute
       information and maps on exotic aquatic  plant infestations. If detected, aquatic invasive
       species are sent to NHDES, which posts an online notice.  The Lakes Association also
       educates boaters about self-inspections.

   •   Weed Watcher Program, NHDES. NHDES trains volunteers to monitor water bodies
       for any new growths of exotic aquatic plants. If volunteers find aquatic weeds, they cull
       them and send to NHDES. New infestations are assessed and removed using hand-
       culling, bottom barriers, or herbicides following the principles of Integrated Pest
       Management. As of 2006, NHDES monitoring activities included surveys of over 300
       lakes,  with over 600 trained Weed Watchers actively  monitoring water bodies across the
       state.

   •   Milfoil Control, Squam Lakes Association (SLA) and NHDES.  SLA organizes
       trained volunteers to conduct surveys, remove fragments, and pull rooted variable milfoil.
       Questionable specimens are sent to SLA for identification and NHDES is notified of new
       infestation sites. Control is possible, but eradication is not. Since the discovery of
       milfoil, SLA has been working with the  NHDES to develop management alternatives for
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       the infestations. An ad hoc milfoil task force has been formed between SLA, the marina
       operators, and SLA's consulting ecologist.  In 2006, NHDES granted research funds to
       Plymouth State University, which was working in partnership with SLA to conduct
       research projects in portions of Squam Lake.  Research examined the impacts of a 2,4-D
       herbicide treatment on the benthic fauna of the lake (including macroinvertebrates).

   •   Exotic Species Management, NHDES.  NHDES annually coordinates the management
       of exotic aquatic plants in 15-20 water bodies. Variable milfoil, and more recently,
       fanwort, are the two plants that are most often the target of these control practices.
       Control measures for new, small infestations include hand pulling or benthic barriers, and
       may include designation of a Restricted Use Area in the vicinity of the infestation.
       Larger, established infestations are usually controlled with herbicides.

   •   Milfoil Research (general and specific), NHDES.  (See RESEARCH ACTIVITIES
       AND INFORMATION USED below.)

A.30.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE PERSONNEL


   •   Many species that NHDES encounters are southern species from South America and
       Africa that have migrated northward and are surviving in this cooler climate. Plants may
       be adapting, or climate change may be lengthening the growing seasons. With recent
       mild winters, plants may have the opportunity to gain a foothold.  Plants of concern
       because of climate change include: giant salvinia, water hyacinth, and water lettuce.
       These are warm water southern species that can currently survive the summer, but not the
       winter.

A.30.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


   •   NHDES has just expanded the list of prohibited species to include a total of 27 plants.
       This was done to account for the northward migration of southern species.  NHDES
       hopes that by listing plants as prohibited, they will not be circulated in the state through
       the aquatic plant industry, thereby lessening their likelihood of introduction through that
       avenue.  Neighboring states to New Hampshire are also following suit.

A.30.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION  USED
       Specific strategies are being developed for aquatic herbicide use that incorporate plant
       phenology, water quality, and treatment timing for optimal, cost-effective, and selective
       control of variable milfoil.

       The plant and nematode communities, along the with water chemistry and sediment
       conditions, associated with variable milfoil in its native range and in New Hampshire
       lakes are being compared and characterized, and possible plant-nematode association for
       biocontrol of variable milfoil are being sought.

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   •   Effects of chemical and physical properties on variable milfoil are being evaluated, an
       effective monitoring tool is being developed, and optimal aquatic habitat for milfoil
       establishment and growth is being determined. Geophysical and vegetation surveys and
       water quality sampling also are being conducted, and data will be integrated.

   •   Lake attributes that influence distribution of native and non-native milfoils are being
       identified, and multivariate statistics and logistic regression are being used to determine
       whether invasive milfoil species are correlated with chemical, morphological, biological,
       and spatial characteristics of New Hampshire lakes. Results of this  study will identify
       classes of lakes that may be susceptible to invasion.

   •   The effects of water and sediment chemistry, sediment physical properties, number and
       size of contiguous wetlands, and watershed geology on variable milfoil abundance or
       presence/absence are being investigated.

   •   The Plant Replacement Program works to establish a native, non-nuisance assemblage
       dominated by low-growing species.  This effort involves both removal of the current
       dominant milfoil population over a target area early in the growing season and planting or
       seeding with the desired species.

   •   NHDES is studying the effectiveness of the herbicide 2-4D. NHDES did intensive GIS
       mapping of a lake and arranged 2-4D pellets in a consistent manner to target plants
       exactly where they are growing and to  ensure that the chemical goes directly to the
       plants. NHDES is monitoring to ensure effectiveness.

   •   NHDES partnered with Plymouth State University to conduct a research project on the
       effects of a 2-4D treatment on the chemistry, biology, and ecology of a small portion of
       Squam Lake. Data from pre- and post-herbicide treatment are included in the study.
       Data from this study were to be released in the fall of 2007.

A.30.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   Variable milfoil research is needed.

   •   Chemical and biocontrol methods are needed.
       The biology and ecology of plants and what makes them invasive, as well as the habitat
       characteristics that invasive plants favor need to be researched.
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A.31. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEW JERSEY


  A.31.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
        No plan available.


  A.31.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


      •  Liberty State Park Project:  Interior Restoration, New Jersey Department of
        Environmental Protection (NJDEP). This project derives from a legal settlement of a
        chromium case and restoration involves Phragmites control by tidal flushing. NJDEP
        eradicates the species by removing the soil from an area around the plant, uprooting the
        plant, and filling the holes with "clean" sand.

      •  Lower Cape May Meadows Environmental Restoration Project, NJDEP.  NJDEP
        controls Phragmites using fill and herbicides and controls purple loosestrife using beetles
        and tidal flushing.

      •  Partners for Fish and Wildlife Program: purple loosestrife control, U.S. Fish and
        Wildlife Service, New Jersey Department of Agriculture, NJDEP, Division of Fish
        and Wildlife, Endangered and Nongame Species Program. The Program controls
        purple loosestrife on private lands.

      •  New Jersey Invasive Species Council. The Council was created under a 2004 executive
        order to create a state invasive species management plan and to undertake a set of tasks to
        control and eradicate invasive species  in the state. Representatives on the Council come
        from the NJDEP, Department of Agriculture, Department of Transportation, Commerce
        and Economic Growth  Commission, conservation organizations, agricultural sector,
        nursery and landscape sectors, New Jersey Agricultural Invasive Species Council,
        academia, and the general public.

      •  Wetlands enhancement in the New Jersey Meadowlands, New Jersey Meadowlands
        Commission. Wetland enhancement projects for three sites in the New Jersey
        Meadowlands area include control and management of numerous invasive  species.

  A.31.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE PERSONNEL
  (None reported.)


  A.31.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
  (None reported.)
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A.31.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •  Standardized monitoring protocols for restoration projects are being established.

A.31.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
(None reported.)
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     A.32. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                   NEW MEXICO
A.32.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      New Mexico's Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan is currently under review by
the New Mexico Department of Game and Fish (NMDGF).


A.32.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Lower Rio Grande Salt Cedar Control Project, New Mexico Association of
      Conservation Districts. The project includes the following:  eradication efforts;
      development of management and native vegetation restoration plans; hearings to receive
      public input on the plans; aerial spraying by helicopter or ground application with prior
      public notice; and monitoring and evaluation of the effects of control on wildlife, water
      quality, vegetation, and soil health.

   •  Salt Cedar Task Force, New Mexico Environment Department.

   •  Strategy for Long-Term Management of Exotic Trees in Riparian Areas for New
      Mexico's Five River Systems, New Mexico Interagency Weed Action Group. Efforts
      include prevention, early detection and mapping, timely control, and adaptive
      management. Control includes manual removal, selective mechanical grubbing, low-
      volume basal bark herbicide application, cut-stump herbicide application, foliar herbicide
      application, and aerial herbicide  applications for Russian olive, salt cedar, and Siberian
      elm. This strategy encompasses ecosystem impacts, including stream bank stabilization,
      increased evapotranspiration, altered fire regimes, salt uptake, and decreased native
      biodiversity.

   •  Native Trout Management, NMDGF, U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest
      Service, National Park Service, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), New
      Mexico Interstate Stream Commission, and private groups. Together, these
      organizations seek to halt and/or reverse the invasion of non-native trout and its effects
      on native cutthroat trout. Most work involves managing non-native trout populations
      through electrofishing or by physical removal.  NMDGF also installs migration barriers
      to prevent the invasion of currently un-invaded streams. They also conduct chemical
      treatment and restoration of the gila trout, which is protected under both state and federal
      law.

   •  Whirling Disease Program, NMDGF, USFWS  The NMDGF has implemented a
      statewide monitoring program to track the status of whirling disease in infested and
      negative salmonid populations using GIS-based mapping.  The program also tests for
      presence of whirling disease in hatchery stock and in native and managed trout
      populations.
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   •   Golden Algae Monitoring Program, NMDGF. The NMDGF is conducting statewide
       monitoring of the golden algae to determine the effects of algal blooms on zooplankton,
       fish communities, and aquatic macroinvertebrates.  The measurement of physicochemical
       parameters will serve to develop predictors for blooms and toxic events and to prescribe
       management actions to maintain sport fisheries, native fish communities, and aquatic
       macroinvertebrates.

   •   San Juan River Non-native Fish Removal Program, NMDGF, USFWS, Bureau of
       Reclamation, Utah Division of Wildlife Resources  The Program, a collaborative
       efforts since 2001, restores the native fish of the San Juan River, including physical
       removal of non-native piscivores and common carp.

   •   Non-native Crayfish Survey, NMDGF. Since 1991, the NMDGF has been actively
       documenting the statewide occurrence of non-native crayfish.

   •   Zebra Mussel Monitoring, USFWS, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, New Mexico
       State Parks. Zebra mussel monitoring was initiated in 2005 at three state parks
       (Conchas Lake, Heron Lake, Elephant Butte)  and two sites on the Rio Chama.

   •   Chytrid Fungus Monitoring, NMDGF, Western New Mexico State University, Pisces
       Molecular (Boulder, CO).  Chytrid fungus infections, implicated in the decline of
       amphibians worldwide, are known to occur in four species of anurans and one
       salamander in New Mexico. Using molecular genetic techniques, collaborative efforts
       are ongoing to survey New Mexico for incidence of occurrence in other amphibian taxa.

A.32.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
   •   Climate change could have significant effects on native fish. An increase of even a few
       degrees in water temperature would lead to loss of habitat and species. Non-native trout
       with higher tolerance to warmer water temperatures and degraded water quality would be
       at an advantage.

A.32.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.32.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •   Statewide surveys for non-native crayfish are being conducted.

A.32.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
       The upper temperature tolerance offish, the impact of varying degrees of water quality
       on fish, the mechanisms through which non-native trout out-compete or displace native
       trout, and the native trout's life history characteristics need to be researched.
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•  The effects of piscicides on amphibians and mollusks, particularly the early life stages of
   tadpoles and aquatic insects, need to be studied in more detail.

•  A method for field detection of antimycin in streams needs to be developed.

•  Research on antimycin's persistence time in waters of different qualities is needed.

•  Statewide surveys for non-native crayfish should be continued in order to develop a
   database and to synthesize results for directing management strategies.

•  Research on the effects of non-native crayfish on aquatic ecosystems need to be
   conducted.

•  Influences of atmospheric conditions on golden algae blooms need to be investigated.

•  Statewide surveys of amphibians for chytrid fungus need to be expanded.
                                       A-84

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A.33. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN NEW YORK


 A.33.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
        New York's Nonindigenous Aquatic Species Comprehensive Management Plan was
 published in 1993 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan
 Summaries for a general description of the Plan).


 A.33.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •   New York State Invasive Species Task Force. The Task Force is composed of multiple
        state agencies and nongovernmental organizations and is jointly chaired by the New York
        Department of Environmental Conservation and the New York Department of
        Agriculture and Markets. The original function of the Task Force was to evaluate the
        spectrum of invasive species issues and to make recommendations to the legislature and
        Governor as to how the state should address the issue. The Task Force has completed
        this report and now works to implement the proposed recommendations.

     •   Purple Loosestrife Biocontrol Program, Cornell University, Ecology and
        Management of Invasive Plants Program.  The Program releases biocontrol insects at
        over 4,000 sites across the country.  It is trying to determine why treatment has succeeded
        in some areas and not others.

     •   Phragmites, water chestnut, Japanese knotweed biocontrol research, Cornell
        University, Ecology and Management of Invasive Plants Program. Scientists are
        researching biocontrol options.

     •   Lake Services Section, New York Department of Environmental Conservation
        (NYSDEC), Division of Water.  The Division provides local assistance grants for
        aquatic plant control.  It operates a volunteer program to teach plant identification and
        how to collect and submit samples, conducts plant research and surveys in Lake George,
        and engages in public outreach through conferences, lake association meetings, site visits,
        and management activities.

     •   NYSDEC, Division of Fish, Wildlife, and Marine Resources. The Division undertakes
        local management of aquatic invasive species (AIS) and is modifying regulations to
        prevent introduction of Chinese mitten crab.  It also has a program for hand-harvesting
        water chestnuts and monitoring AIS, such as round goby, spiny water fleas, and zebra
        mussels, and their effects (which includes the ecological effects of zebra mussels in eight
        Finger Lakes). Finally, the Division administers a $1 million grant program for AIS
        eradication projects.  (In FY2005, 32 grants were funded. The program will continue in
        FY 2006, but the funding will be shared with a terrestrial invasive species eradication
        grant program that is currently under development.)
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Sea Lamprey Control, NYSDEC, Bureau of Fisheries. The bureau undertakes sea
lamprey control using chemicals and migration barriers.

Monitoring Program: zebra mussels, quagga mussels, and round goby NYSDEC,
Bureau of Fisheries. The bureau monitors for Type E botulism and collects dead bodies.
Control is not feasible.

NYSDEC, Division of Fish, Wildlife, and Marine Resources, Region 5 and Region 6.
The Division protects ponds that are habitat for unique strains of native Adirondack
brook trout from species such as yellow perch.

Aquatic Plant Harvesting, Finger Lakes-Lake Ontario Watershed Protection
Alliance (FL-LOWPA). The Alliance conducts mechanical harvesting in multiple
counties at multiple sites for aquatic plants including Eurasian watermilfoil (EWM),
muskgrass, and water chestnut. Some county programs have volunteer training and
opportunities.

Invasive Species Initiative, FL-LOWPA, Hamilton County Soil and Water
Conservation District (SWCD). The District distributes educational materials,
including fact sheets, brochures, and signs, and is developing and encouraging volunteer
monitoring for invasive aquatic plants, which will provide assistance to several lake
associations.

Evaluating Alternative Control Strategies  for Invasive Aquatic Plants, FL-LOWPA,
Madison County Planning Department, in conjunction with SUNY Oneonta and
Cornell University. With the goal of formulating a control strategy, the group is
examining the impact offish communities on EWM herbivores.

Zebra Mussel Monitoring in Eaton Brook  Reservoir and Downstream Tributaries,
FL-LOWPA, Madison County Planning Department. These entities are monitoring
the zebra mussel population established in the reservoir, because it is a tributary to the
Susquehanna River which empties into the Chesapeake Bay where the zebra mussels are
not yet established.

Monitoring and Research, FL-LOWPA, Steuben County SWCD, in cooperation
with Cornell University Experimental Ponds Program. The District is conducting
research on the presence and impact of the European aquatic moth (an exotic species that
feeds on EWM).

The Milfoil Project (Weevil Control Program), Lake Bonaparte Conservation Club.
The Club is conducting milfoil control using  weevils.

Milfoil Control, Upper Saranac Lake Foundation. The town contracted with divers to
hand-cull milfoil in the Upper Saranac Lake.

Research, Cornell University, Research Ponds Facility. Researchers are monitoring
and managing aquatic plant communities throughout the northeast and New York State
                                  A-86

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       and demonstrating physical, biological, and chemical control methods for aquatic
       nuisance species.

   •   Research, Cornell University, Aquatic Research Facility.  Researchers are
       contributing to a 50+ year, long-term dataset on Oneida Lake, New York that includes
       information on invasives and an aquatic foodweb ranging from nutrients to top predators.
       An experimental facility examines foodweb impacts of New York invasives in research
       settings ranging from small-scale aquaria to large-scale mesocosms.

   •   Water Chestnut Control, State University of New York Oneonta Biological Field
       Station in cooperation with state agencies, nongovernmental organizations, and
       private stakeholders. Focus is on nutrient export associated with control activities.

   •   Japanese Knotweed Initiative, Delaware River Invasive Plant Partnership (DRIPP).
       DRIPP develops educational brochures and works with local community volunteer sites
       to provide best scientific guidelines and demonstration control sites (showcasing repeated
       cutting to keep knotweed under control and prevent it from spreading).

   •   Japanese Knotweed Study, New York City Department of Environmental
       Protection, in conjunction  with Green County SWCD.

   •   Delaware River Invasive Plant Partnership, States of Delaware, New Jersey, New
       York, and Pennsylvania.

A.33.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
   •   With climate change, purple loosestrife could move further north, where biocontrol
       insects may not survive. The range of plants and insects may shift and southern invasive
       species could move into New York.

   •   Water hyacinth is sold all over the state. Currently, it does not survive the winter in New
       York. However, this could change with climate change.

   •   Climate change could cause changes in the native vegetation and, depending on the rate
       at which that happens, could lead to more pest problems.

A.33.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.33.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
       Dynamics of decomposition for invasive weeds (Phragmites) and native cattails (Typha)
       are being compared in order to determine the benefit of restoration efforts.
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   •   The way in which nutrient level changes and exotic mussels affect the Lake Erie food
       web and the fish community are being examined.

   •   A genetic probing technique is being developed that will quickly screen water samples
       for zebra mussel veligers.

   •   The role of embayments and inshore areas as nursery grounds for alewife and other
       species is being examined.

   •   The influence of zebra mussels in metal cycling in freshwater ecosystems is being
       examined and whether zebra mussels may serve as bioindicators for the presence of toxic
       metals in freshwater systems is being investigated.

   •   The effects of zebra mussels on the spawning shoals of walleye and lake trout are being
       studied.

   •   Plots of Japanese knotweed are being treated and plotted in order to test three control
       methods: (1) repeated cutting; (2) herbicide injections; and (3) limited excavation with
       replanting.

   •   A non-herbicide approach for treatment of knotweed is being identified.

A.33.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   Plants not currently targeted for biocontrol, such as curlyleaf pondweed need to be
       researched.

   •   More information about how to restore wetlands after biocontrol need to be attained.

   •   Studies should be conducted to determine whether biocontrol organisms identified
       overseas are specific enough for the species that are being targeted in New York
       (Knotweed, Water Chestnut, and Phragmites) and whether these biocontrols can be
       introduced safely into North America.

   •   Economic and agricultural impacts of invasive species need to be demonstrated.

   •   Information on biocontrol (predators, pests, diseases) for sea lampreys and on how
       knotweed affects aquatic species needs to be attained.

   •   Research is need on mussel control methods, especially for the quagga mussel.
                                         A-88

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     A.34. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                 NORTH CAROLINA
A.34.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
No plan available.


A.34.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES
       Aquatic Weed Control Program, North Carolina Department of Environment and
       Natural Resources (NC DENR), Division of Water Resources. The Division removes
       invasive species through different on-the-ground methods:  (1) Physical control—water
       level manipulation, deepening near-shore areas; (2) Mechanical control—removal of
       weeds with hand tools; (3) Biocontrol—herbivorous fish or insects that attack specific
       weeds; and (4) Chemical control—herbicides approved by the U.S. Environmental
       Protection Agency for aquatic use. The Division assists local governments by:  Providing
       cost-share grants for qualifying projects (municipalities, counties, soil and water
       conservation districts, government agencies, and public utilities are eligible for
       assistance); Assessing sites and providing recommendations when control efforts are
       needed; and Identifying aquatic weed infestations.  The Division also assists the general
       public by providing free evaluations of aquatic weed problems in private waters and
       conducting public outreach and education on invasive aquatic weeds. The Division's
       species-specific work includes Salvinia—experimenting with the host-specific Brazilian
       weevil (Cyrtobagous salviniae) to control giant salvinia and herbicides; Hydrilla—
       control using sterile grass carp (only sterile "triploid" grass carp may be legally
       introduced into state waters); herbicides; water draw-downs; and mechanical removal;
       Alligatorweed—control using herbicides and flea beetles; Parrotfeather—control using
       triploid grass carp; Creeping water primrose—control using herbicides; Eurasian
       watermilfoil—biocontrol and herbicides. (Note—parrotfeather, water lettuce, and water
       hyacinth were added to NC DENR list of noxious aquatic weeds in 2006.

       Weed Regulatory Services, North Carolina Department of Agriculture and
       Consumer Services, Plant Industry Division, Plant Protection Section.  Giant
       salvinia-related work includes active surveys; physical removal; and experimentation
       with biocontrol (releasing salvinia weevils) in cooperation with the Giant Salvinia Task
       Force (GSTF). Lythrum salicaria (semi-aquatic) work includes surveys and physical and
       chemical removal. The Commissioner of Agriculture may also regulate the importation,
       sale, use, culture, collection, transportation, and distribution of a noxious aquatic weed as
       a plant pest under the General Statutes of North Carolina (see Chapter 106, Article 36).

       GSTF, a cooperative effort by state, local, and federal agencies and private
       landowners. The GSTF conducts the following activities:  (1) Uses chemical and
       biocontrols in areas where giant salvinia has established (herbicides account for 95% of
       control efforts);  (2) Surveys areas adjacent to infestation for evidence of giant salvinia
       establishment; (3) Responds to reports from around the state of giant salvinia

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       establishment. Within 24 hours of a call, the Task Force assesses the site and arranges
       for control treatments if salvinia is found.

   •   North Carolina State University Aquatic Weed Management Program. This
       program conducts research and outreach activities related to invasive plant management
       on aquatic and non-cropland sites. Activities include the following:  Evaluation of
       chemical, biological, physical, mechanical, and other methods of controlling invasive
       plants; Determination of biological and ecological characteristics of invasive plants that
       contribute to spread, establishment, and management; Dissemination of current
       information to managers, government employees, and others related to management of
       invasive plants; and Interaction with government agencies and private entities to improve
       management of invasive plants.

A.34.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE PERSONNEL
   •   Biocontrol is being used for alligatorweed works better in warmer winters.

   •   Water hyacinth is a problem only in the southeast corner of the state, but this is also the
       warmest region.

   •   Air and water temperature monitoring at some sites shows that giant salvinia is surviving
       at much colder temperatures than the literature reports.

A.34.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.34.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.34.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
       More information on the best way to control hydrilla is needed (herbicides vs. grass
       carp).

       More information needs to be collected on the biology and ecology of invasive species
       (i.e., seed longevity) that would help improve control methods.
                                         A-90

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     A.35. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                 NORTH DAKOTA
A.35.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      North Dakota's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was published in
2005 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a
general description of the Plan).


A.35.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Lake Oahe Salt Cedar Task Force and Lake Sakakawea Salt cedar Task Force.
      These Task Forces are federal, state, and local partnerships that conduct surveys along
      Yellowstone River and Lake Sakakawea. Thousands of acres have been surveyed and
      hundreds of acres have been treated. Early detection and rapid response is the policy of
      all agencies and organizations for combating salt cedar in the state. Because of this,
      infested acres have remained low due to the herbicide treatments.

   •  Western North Dakota Weed Management Group (encompasses the Little Missouri
      River from the South Dakota border to Lake Sakakawea, the Lake Sakakawea
      Saltcedar Task Force, and the recently formed Lake Oahe Saltcedar Task Force).

   •  Purple Loosestrife Weed Management Groups, county/state/federal agencies and
      private individuals  and organizations.  The Lower Sheyenne Purple Loosestrife Project
      has surveyed and treated the species in the Sheyenne River, from the Bald Hill Dam to
      the Red River through Fargo.  The project has also conducted plant exchanges (garden
      purple loosestrife for Liatrus), as well as developing, printing, and distributing
      informative table place mats, table tents, and invasive ornamentals brochures. These
      items have been snared and distributed statewide in an effort to control and prevent the
      spread of purple loosestrife and other ornamental invasives. The Souris River Purple
      Loosestrife Weed Management Group has surveyed and treated the species from Minot,
      ND to the Canadian Border. They have also had exchange programs.  Both working
      groups have also utilized biocontrol insects and actively surveyed for salt cedar while
      surveying and treating purple loosestrife.

A.35.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)


A.35.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)
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A.35.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.35.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
       The length of seed viability of salt cedar at northern latitudes and climates needs to be
       researched.  This information would be invaluable in making salt cedar management
       plans. Field observations by weed managers show that seed is viable much longer in  our
       colder climates than where prior seed viability research was conducted.

       Research on the mechanism of spread of salt cedar is needed. Anecdotal evidence points
       towards waterfowl and wind as being primary means of salt cedar spread. This research
       data would assist weed managers in concentrating their survey efforts and resources in
       those areas most likely to be infested.

       Research should be conducted on ability of ANS to be transported to North Dakota and
       the likelihood that they will become established in state waters.  The study should include
       a risk assessment based on pathways information, frequency of movement into the state,
       and suitable habitat availability.
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  A.36. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN OHIO


A.36.1. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Ohio's has a Comprehensive Management Plan for aquatic invasive species (AIS)
management (publication date not available) (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species
Management Plan Summaries for a general description of the Plan).


A.36.2. AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •   Aquatic Nuisance Species Program, Ohio Department of Natural Resources
       (ODNR), Division of Wildlife. The Division conducts control efforts for Phragmites,
       purple loosestrife (including biocontrol), reed canary grass, and flowering rush on its
       wildlife areas statewide. The Division is also developing a comprehensive AIS Web
       page and operates a monitoring program to survey for new AIS introductions as well as
       existing populations.

   •   Invasive Species Control and Management, ODNR, Division of Parks and
       Recreation. The Division engages in control of invasive species, including Phragmites,
       purple loosestrife, and milfoil. Control methods vary based on area, need, and funding
       and include herbicides for Phragmites and loosestrife (spraying Rodeo™ and mowing);
       disking certain dry areas to destroy roots and reseed with native marsh grasses; and water
       drawdown to flood out Phragmites (however, this can lead to invasions from exposed
       dirt).

   •   Invasive species control in state preserves, ODNR, Division of Natural Areas and
       Preserves. The Division has management plans for each site.  Each plan  has a policy
       statement regarding treatment of problematic non-native flora. Guidelines call for
       manual removal, burning, and herbicide treatment. Plans also  include provisions for
       monitoring and assessment to determine the extent of growth and nature of the
       disturbance. Plans are tailored to the specific preserve or area  and prescribe the treatment
       appropriate for each species depending upon the habitat type, extent of invasion, and
       management goals for the area.

A.36.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)


A.36.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.36.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)

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A.36.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Research should be conducted on control methods and the most up-to-date and effective
       information on how to control invasive plants. It is difficult to get an herbicide or a
       method that is selective enough to kill invasives, but not native plants.

   •   Restoration methods after applying herbicides are needed.

   •   The effectiveness of installing a rinsing station at lakes, the costs and benefits of
       installing stations, and how to effectively design stations need to be research.

   •   Research on the impacts of recreational boat flow and traffic is needed.

   •   An AIS rapid response plan needs to be developed to address new or expanding AIS
       species.

   •   Ohio's State Management Plan for AIS  needs to be revised to incorporate up-to-date
       information.
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A.37. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN OKLAHOMA


  A.37.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
  Plan under development.


  A.37.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Sport Fish Restoration Project, Oklahoma Department of Wildlife Conservation
        (ODWC), Fisheries Division (FD). The Division conducts monitoring and outreach.
        Outreach programs include posted signs to inform users of the presence of aquatic
        nuisance species such as white perch, zebra mussels, and hydrilla and explain how to
        avoid moving them from one body of water to the next. The Division also conducts
        native aquatic vegetation introductions in several reservoirs to improve nursery habitat
        for juvenile sport fishes.

     •  Oklahoma Golden Alga Response Team, ODWC FD. The Division is working to
        devise efficient and effective plans to respond to golden alga fish kills, as well as
        proactive solutions to potential golden alga blooms.

     •  Spring Creek Lakes Alligatorweed Biocontrol Program, ODWC FD. The Division is
        conducting biocontrol through the release of an alligatorweed flea beetle.

     •  Aquatic Vegetation Control, ODWC FD. The Division used grass carp to control
        vegetation in some of the state fishing lakes, as well as in some state fish hatcheries.
        Some municipalities have also used  grass carp to control vegetation in city-water-supply
        lakes. A recently formed multi-agency Hydrilla Task Force will address recent
        infestations of the exotic weed in three reservoirs.

     •  Oklahoma Zebra Mussel Task Force.  The  multi-agency team, which includes the
        ODWC FD, shares information on agency activities related to zebra mussel monitoring.
        The Division has developed Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Point (HAACP) plans
        to avoid spreading aquatic invasive species through hatchery and management activities.

  A.37.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


     •  Zebra mussels may be able to inhabit warmer environments successfully.
     •  Temperature changes may contribute to golden alga blooms.


  A.37.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
  (None reported.)
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A.37.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   After white perch were discovered in the Kaw Reservoir in 2000, the Division began a
       4-year research project to investigate the problem. Results showed white perch never
       reached high levels. Although reproductive success was high each year, recruitment of
       to-age-1 individuals was low. No adverse effects on other native fish species in Kaw
       Reservoir were identified during the research period.

   •   The ODWC has provided funding to Oklahoma State University for the following
       research projects:

       o  Determining the impacts of zebra mussels on biodiversity on selected rivers within
          the Tallgrass Prairie Ecoregion.

       o  Monitoring water quality parameters and alga abundance at Lake Texoma to
          determine triggers for golden alga blooms.

       o  Determining the toxicity of golden alga toxins to selected species of Lake Texoma
          fishes and what physical and biological parameters trigger toxin production.

A.37.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Controls for white perch, zebra mussels, and hydrilla are needed.

   •   Research on golden alga (prediction and eradication) is needed.

   •   Restoration is needed, including introduction of native aquatic plants in ponds, lakes, and
       reservoirs that contain a variety of herbivores (carp, turtles), fluctuating water levels, and
       turbidity issues.
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A.38. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN OREGON


A.38.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Oregon's Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan was published in 2001 (see
Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
description of the Plan).


A.38.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Invasive Species Council.  The Council focuses on preventing the new introductions of
      species, outreach and education programs, and coordinating all agencies involved in
      aquatic species management.

   •  Oregon Clean Safe Boating Program, Oregon State Marine Board (OSMB). The
      OSMB conducts a clean boating and invasive species awareness campaign. It develops
      brochures, illustrated panels, and demos of specimens for trade show exhibits. It
      maintains a Website and produces a newsletter that goes to every registered boater in the
      state. As of December 2006, OSMB is working on a Clean Marina Program that will
      develop an incentive to encourage good housekeeping, conduct training for law
      enforcement, and create best management practices for facilities development.

   •  Lake Lytle Milfoil Control Project, Oregon State Weed Board (OSWB).  The OSWB
      developed the Integrated Aquatic Vegetation Management Plan for Lake Lytle.  The
      plan's first year included application of aquatic herbicide Sonar, as well as pre- and post-
      treatment vegetation sampling, quality sampling, and an information/education
      component.

   •  Noxious Weed Program, Oregon Department of Agriculture.

A.38.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •  Climate change raises the question of whether working on aquatic invasive species is
      fruitless. Species will move because of changes in climate, which may be part of a
      natural cycle. Certain species in Oregon are more prevalent or less prevalent with El
      Nino and La Nina patterns, for example.

A.38.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.38.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)

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A.38.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •  More demographic information, e.g., the 100th Meridian Program is doing surveys on the
      mobility of boaters to determine where to erect signs, is needed

   •  Scientific information on how to best sanitize boats is needed.
                                         A-98

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     A.39. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                  PENNSYLVANIA
A.39.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Pennsylvania's Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan was published in
October 2006 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for
a general description of the Plan).


A.39.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Stream ReLeaf Program, Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
      (PA DEP).  PA DEP holds riparian plant identification classes for staff from regional
      offices, county conservation districts, and watershed groups.  The classes cover the
      importance of riparian buffers and restoration projects, as well as biodiversity and native
      and invasive plants.

   •  Delaware River Invasive Plant Partnership, States of Delaware, New Jersey, New
      York, and Pennsylvania.

   •  Zebra Mussel Control, private water suppliers.  The water suppliers apply chemicals,
      like chlorine, to intake screens on public water supplies to control zebra mussels.

   •  Pennsylvania Sea Grant. Sea Grant has conducted Hazard Analysis and Critical
      Control Point training for state and federal agencies and developed outreach materials on
      specific AIS, including materials for AIS prevention among boaters.

   •  Zebra Mussel Monitoring, PA DEP. PA DEP is tracking the distribution and spread of
      zebra mussels  in the Great Lakes region. The agency originally set up -170 monitoring
      stations across the state and alerts contacts for adjacent water bodies when there is a new
      discovery.

   •  Invasive plant species control, Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and
      Natural Resources (PA DCNR). PA DCNR controls invasive plant species on the lands
      and in the associated waters that it manages with systemic herbicides and mechanical and
      biocontrols.

   •  Pennsylvania Invasive Species Council. The Council, established by executive order in
      2004, advises the Governor on invasive species issues in Pennsylvania. The council is
      also charged with (1) Developing and implementing a comprehensive invasive species
      management plan for the state; (2) Providing guidance on the prevention and control of
      nonnative invasive species and rapid response to new infestations; and (3) Facilitating
      coordination among federal, regional, state, and local initiatives and organizations
      engaged in the management of nonnative invasive species. The Council  is comprised of
      seven state agencies and 10 at-large members.

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A.39.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)

A.39.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.39.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
   •   Pennsylvania Sea Grant has funded the following AIS research projects (more
       information available at http://pserie.psu.edu/seagrant/research/ais.htm):

       o  Round Goby (Neogobius melanostomus) Diet, Habitat Preference, and Reproductive
          Strategies in Presque Isle Bay

       o  Population Assessment of Rudd (Scardinius erythrophthalmus) in Presque Isle Bay,
          Lake Erie

       o  Distribution of the Invasive Red-Eared Slider Turtle (Trachemys scripta elegans) in
          the Lower Delaware River Basin

       o  A Benthic Survey of the Natural Lakes of Northwestern Pennsylvania

       o  Effect of Non-Native Mollusk Species on Common Map Turtles, Graptemys
          geographica_

       o  Impact of the Round Goby (Neogobius melanostomus) on Tributary Streams of Lake
          Erie

       o  A Sampling of Presque Isle Bay for the Exotic Cladoceran: Bythotrephes
          cederstroemi_

       o  Characterization of the Microplanktonic and Microbenthic Communities of Near-
          Shore Lake Erie

       o  Monitoring Zebra Mussel Invasion of Edinboro Lake, Conneauttee Creek, and French
          Creek

   •   Pennsylvania Sea Grant and partners conducted a pilot study on the distribution and
       sensory biology of the flathead catfish in order to develop strategies to prevent its spread.

A.39.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
       Economic impacts of AIS in Pennsylvania need to be examined.
       Species-specific control technologies are needed.

                                        A-100

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     A.40.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                 RHODE ISLAND
A.40.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
Plan under development.


A.40.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Mute Swan Management Program, Rhode Island Department of Environmental
      Management (RIDEM), Division of Fish and Wildlife. The Division identifies nests
      and destroys eggs by addling or puncturing them during the swan nesting season.

   •  Permit reviews for herbicide application, RIDEM Division of Fish and Wildlife,
      Rhode Island Department of Agriculture. RIDEM Division of Fish and Wildlife
      issues permits for landowners wishing to use chemical treatments to exterminate aquatic
      invasive species on private or public waters.

A.40.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •  Mute swans may expand their range because of climate change.

   •  Narragansett Bay ecosystem may respond to a warming trend, including changes in
      nutrient cycling.

A.40.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.40.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
   •  Two rapid assessment surveys (2001 and 2003) have taken place through the MIT Sea
      Grant.

   •  Several species-specific studies of aquatic invasives in Rhode Island have been
      conducted and are currently used by the research community. These studies are also used
      as baseline data for the state management plan.

A.40.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
      Public perception of swan euthanization and methods for public education and outreach
      to overcome public discontent should be researched.
                                       A-101

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Research on swan control methods is needed (e.g., capturing birds during molting season
when they cannot fly).

Better product information and data about the half lives of herbicides and the effect of
their residues is needed. It will be necessary to conduct assay tests to better determine
the effects of pesticides on water quality.

Further baseline studies are necessary for the bay ports of Providence, Quonset, and
Newport.

Baseline studies beyond rapid assessment survey floating dock studies, including those
that capture information on sub-tidal benthic and rocky intertidal communities, need to be
conducted.
                                   A-102

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     A.41. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                SOUTH CAROLINA
A.41.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLANS
No plan available.


A.41.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Aquatic Nuisance Species Program, South Carolina Department of Natural
      Resources (SCDNR), the South Carolina Aquatic Plant Management Council.
      SCDNR, in coordination with the Council, develops and implements an annual
      management plan for the state, which includes identification of problem areas, a
      management strategy for the problem areas, and a budget.  Management strategies
      include chemical controls, environmental controls (e.g., water draw-down in lakes,
      nutrient loading), surveys for invasive species, biocontrols, and mechanical harvesting.
      The annual management plan is submitted for a 30-day public review period in which all
      comments received are addressed and modifications are made to the plan.

   •  Analytical and Biological Services, Santee Cooper (South Carolina Public Service
      Authority, a quasi-public entity). Santee Cooper actively surveys for aquatic invasive
      plants on Lakes Marion and Moultrie. All control operations are approved by and
      coordinated through the state Aquatic Plant Management Plan. The Water Quality
      Monitoring Program tests the water for invasive species two or three times a week and
      conducts aerial aquatic plant surveys of the lake system annually. Control efforts for
      hydrilla include the stocking of sterile grass carp. For water hyacinth, herbicides are
      sprayed from a helicopter or airboats as needed.  For alligatorweed and water primrose,
      spot chemical treatments are applied as needed.

A.41.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS REPORTED BY STATE PERSONNEL


   •  Some plant species that are sensitive to cold weather, such as water hyacinth and water
      lettuce, have started to move north and  inland.

A.41.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.41.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)
                                       A-103

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A.41.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Statewide mapping of the range of invasive species or a "census" of invasive species
       need to be conducted, so that control programs can map their progress in controlling and
       eradicating pests.
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     A.42. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                  SOUTH DAKOTA
A.42.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
No plan available.


A.42.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •   South Dakota/Nebraska Purple Loosestrife Management Committee, Wildlife
       Management Institute, South Dakota Department of Agriculture (SDDA), and
       counties, federal agencies, local agencies, universities, and other South Dakota and
       Nebraska state agencies). The Committee developed a large-scale purple loosestrife
       biocontrol rearing and redistribution facility and several satellite locations that are being
       managed by local county weed and pest personnel. Control is conducted using purple
       loosestrife biocontrol beetles and aerial and ground spraying with Roundup™.

   •   Tamarisk Mapping, SDDA Office of Agricultural Services.  The Office of
       Agricultural Services conducts a mapping project and a cooperative management
       program for tamarisk control and, where possible, eradication.  There is a tamarisk task
       force for Lake Oahe. The Office has released biocontrol agents and placed Tamarisk on
       the South Dakota noxious weed list.

   •   Western Zebra Mussel Task Force, South Dakota Game Fish and Parks
       Department (SDGFP). The Department provides dock signage describing how boaters
       can prevent spread of zebra mussels and other aquatic exotics and is monitoring Lewis
       and Clark Lake. Education efforts focus on prevention.  Biologists and private citizens
       sample and monitor for zebra mussels.

   •   Western Regional Panel, SDGFP, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Regional Fisheries
       Program.  The Program has carried out a variety of activities:  (1) Hosted the Missouri
       River Basin/Lewis and Clark Bicentennial ANS workgroup meeting that discussed
       information/education and outreach strategies to prevent the introduction and spread of
       ANS in the Missouri River basin; (2) Revised bait regulations in the South Dakota
       Fishing Handbook to limit the type and amount of bait that may be transported into South
       Dakota (It is working on regulating the harvest of bait below Gavin's Point Dam on the
       Missouri River where Asian carp have become well-established.); (3) Continues work on
       the installation of at least two Traveler Information Systems (TIS) along the Missouri
       River. A TIS station would broadcast a message regarding aquatic nuisance species
       (ANS) and other topics of interest (boat ramp condition, Lewis and Clark events); (4)
      Installs ANS signs at boat ramps; (5) Works with an SDGFP information specialist to
       send out a mailing packet to all state resident fishing license holders (including
       information regarding ANS, ANS ID cards, adhesive tape measures with ANS prevention
       message, etc.); and (6) Researches and monitors Asian  Carp movement.
                                        A-105

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   •   Influence of an introduced diatom (Didymosphenia geminata) and directed control
       measures on the biological community composition of Rapid Creek, SDGFP. A
       study is currently being developed to examine the impact of Didymosphenia geminata on
       benthic and fish community composition of Rapid Creek below Pactola Dam. Research
       will also study the effects of control measures (localized nutrient enrichments) on
       Didymosphenia geminata distribution and overall stream biological community
       composition.

A.42.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
   •   Originally South Dakota did not think tamarisk could survive in warm temperatures, but
       it seems to be adapting.

   •   The state's 5-year drought has led to a severe increase in the population of tamarisk.
       When water shrinks back from the edge of lakes or rivers, tamarisk is able to grow in this
       habitat.

A.42.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.42.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)


A.42.6. RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   More on-the-ground surveying and more plant recognition capability are needed.

   •   Rise in mussel activity needs to be identified through monitoring efforts.

   •   Information should be distributed to those who use the state's water bodies.  Outreach
       and education is currently on a project-by-project basis due to lack of capacity.

   •   The biological impacts of curlyleaf pondweed on lake ecosystems need to be better
       understood.

   •   Targeted monitoring for ANS presence in lakes needs to be implemented throughout
       South Dakota.

   •   A rapid response strategy for ANS detection and management needs to be developed in
       South Dakota.

   •   An overall strategic plan for ANS needs to be developed, extending beyond the
       responsibilities of SDGFP. This overall plan should incorporate involvement from
       federal, state, local, and private interests throughout the state.

                                        A-106

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A.43. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN TENNESSEE


  A.43.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
  No plan available.


  A.43.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Aquatic plant management, Nickajack Reservoir, the Tennessee Valley Authority
        (TVA), Marion County.  Aquatic plants are managed along near-shore areas along
        developed shorelines, and they are controlled to maintain access lanes to open water.
        Management is primarily for hydrilla and in accordance with a stakeholder-developed
        plan that prescribes control methods including the use of herbicides in near-shore areas
        (with a state permit) and mechanical and manual culling.

     •  Aquatic plant management, Chickamauga Reservoir, the TVA and private
        homeowners.  Aquatic plants (spinyleaf naiad and other species) are managed along
        near-shore areas along developed shorelines, and they are controlled to maintain access
        lanes to open water in accordance with a stakeholder-developed plan that prescribes
        private shoreline property owners to use herbicides in near-shore areas (with a state
        permit)  and TVA to mechanically cull aquatic invasive plants.

     •  Monitoring and eradication, Obed Wild and Scenic River.  Authorities monitor for
        purple loosestrife and eradicate (through removal and chemical control),  chemical) as
        needed. They also monitor for exotic mussels, including zebra mussels.

     •  Fish monitoring,  University of Tennessee. The University is collecting fish for a
        project that involves mapping species communities in rivers and streams across
        Tennessee, including all non-native or invasive species.

     •  Eradication and restoration, Warner Parks (Metro Park System), Tennessee
        Department of Agriculture, Cumberland River Compact Association, Harpeth
        River Watershed Association, Natural Resources Conservation Service, Friends of
        Warner Park, and the Eagle Scouts. The group is conducting a restoration project
        along Harpers River, where heavy traffic causes riparian buffer damage.  Activities
        include  rebuilding the buffer, stopping mowing, fencing off the area,  removing invasives,
        and transplanting native species.  Monitoring, removing, and replanting will likely
        continue as needed.

     •  Monitoring and control, Metro Park System, Belmont University. Monitoring and
        manual  removal of garlic mustard plant is being conducted around the Shelby Bottoms
        section of the Cumberland River.
                                          A-107

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   •   Species removal and restoration, Great Smoky Mountains National Park, National
       Park Service, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Tennessee Wildlife Resources
       Agency, North Carolina Wildlife Resources Commission, Tennessee Department of
       Wildlife and Conservation, Trout Unlimited National, Federation of Fly Fishermen,
       and others. Rainbow trout populations in select stream segments above natural barriers
       are being removed with the fish toxicant antimycin or using backpack electrofishing.
       Monitoring continues for 1-2 years and then, if rainbow trout have not returned, brook
       trout (native) are reintroduced.

   •   Eradication, Big South Fork National Recreation Area. Riparian invasive plants are
       treated chemically.

   •   Eradication Program, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). The ORNL
       manages non-native invasive plants in the riparian zones of streams within the Oak Ridge
       Reservation.  Control methods include applying various herbicides, cutting, and mowing.
       Target species include privet, autumn olive, kudzu, lespedeza, princess tree, mimosa, and
       tree of heaven.  ORNL also monitors fish and aquatic invertebrates in the streams,
       recording abundance and distribution of native and non-native species.  The National
       Park Service and The Nature Conservancy conducted a complete vascular plant inventory
       at the park, which formed the basis of which species should be targeted for removal. The
       Tennessee Exotic Pest Plant Management Manual was also consulted.

A.43.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)

A.43.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.43.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   An investigation is being conducted on the effects that the western mosquito fish is
       having on efforts to reintroduce the barrens top minnow in Western Tennessee.
       Researchers want to determine the relationship between the two species and what they
       can do to alleviate some of the problems.

A.43.6. RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Research on the ozone effects on Barrens top minnow is needed.

   •   Research how the hemlock wooly adelgid affects native hemlock and fish populations
       should be continued.

   •   The state should assist the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in its effort to re-
       register antimycin.

                                        A-108

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•  More information on burning as a control method needs to be acquired.

•  More information on interactions between chemicals and other native animals/plants in
   the area needs to be collected.
                                      A-109

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 A.44. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN TEXAS


A.44.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
Plan under development.


A.44.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Golden Alga Task Force/Kills and Spills Team, Texas Parks and Wildlife
      Department (TPWD), Inland Fisheries.  The program responds to fish and wildlife
      kills and pollution incidents, minimizes environmental degradation, conducts
      compensation, repair, and restoration for environmental damage, and monitors golden
      alga levels.  The program also provides education on the relationship between water
      quality, habitat, and living organisms.

   •  Aquatic Habitat Enhancement Program, Nuisance Vegetation Control, Texas
      TPWD, Inland Fisheries.  This program focuses on the control of aquatic vegetation
      that affects the health and recreational use of TPWD-managed fish and wildlife
      resources.

   •  Texas Invasive Species Coordinating Committee, formed as of December 2006,
      involving eight state agencies. The goal of this multi-agency committee is to facilitate
      cooperation among state agencies and to help prevent, control, and manage invasive
      species.

A.44.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •  Warmer winters and lack of freezing winter temperatures may contribute to the
      persistence and spread of introduced invasive aquatic vegetation species such as water
      hyacinth, giant salvinia, and common salvinia.

A.44.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.44.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •  Research golden alga is being conducted, including

      o  using clay treatments to control golden alga blooms;

      o  determining the economic impacts of golden alga fish kills on the Possum Kingdom
          area;
                                       A-110

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       o  monitoring water quality during a bloom on Lake Whitney, examining genetics and
          developing diagnostic determinations for events using genetic markers;

       o  using barley straw to control outbreaks; and

       o  determining nutrient and water quality parameters that influence bloom and toxin
          formation.

   •   Research is being conducted on control of giant salvinia (Salvinia molesta) through the
       use of Cyrtobagous salviniae, a biocontrol agent.  Giant salvinia propagation,
       reproduction, and dispersal rates will be examined, as will the potential of Cyrtobagous
       salviniae in long-term control and management.

   •   Research is being conducted to evaluate the duration an extended summer and fall have
       on drawdown in BA Steinhagen Reservoir in East Texas and on how this drawdown
       affects aquatic  invasive vegetation.

   •   Grass carp is being tracked in Lake Austin, Lake Conroe, and the Rio Grande.

   •   Giant salvinia weevil is being evaluated in the Toledo Bend Reservoir and Lake Conroe.

   •   Impacts ofArundo donax on fishes of the Rio Grande are being evaluated.

   •   Research is taking place on applesnail (Pomacea spp.\ including the geographic range of
       the applesnail invasion in Southeast Texas and its taxonomy and ecology.

A.44.6. RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   Research needs to be conducted on golden alga control techniques and toxin production,
       analytical methods to define toxins; frequency and regularity of golden alga's occurrence;
       and effects of golden alga on the recruitment offish, soil conditions, runoff, and nutrient
       loading.

   •   Natural algaecide compounds need to be tested.

   •   Transferable methods to estimate the economic impacts offish kill events on
       communities need to be found.

   •   Research on the impact of drought on water hyacinth and hydrilla is needed.

   •   The physiology and pathways of the grass carp and how the grass carp relates to hydrilla
       control should be studied.

   •   Evapotranspiration rates forArundo donax and salt cedar, as compared to native
       vegetation rates, should be examined.
                                         A-lll

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•  The impacts ofArundo donax infestations on channelization and stream fishes need to be
   researched.

•  Remote sensing and acreage estimations need to be performed forArundo donax,
   salvinia, water hyacinth, waterlettuce, saltcedar, and other aquatic invasive vegetation.

•  The impacts of Eurasian watermilfoil weevils on Myriophyllum spicatum in the Rio
   Grande need to be evaluated.

•  Research on the applesnail infestations of Texas rice crops and native riparian vegetation
   needs to be conducted.

•  Chinese tallow control efforts need to be evaluated.

•  The impacts of grass carp on the Galveston Bay Ecosystem; the impacts ofArundo donax
   wasps on giant reed populations; and the conditions for hydrilla expansion should be
   researched.

•  Aquatic invasive species (AIS) should be monitored and tracked in freshwater and
   estuarine systems to facilitate early detection and rapid response.

•  Research needs to be conducted on the ecological, social, and economic impacts of
   emerging AIS in Texas's coastal watersheds, bays, and estuaries.
                                     A-112

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  A.45.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN UTAH


A.45.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
No plan available.


A.45.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES
       Monitoring Program, Utah Department of Natural Resources, Division of Parks and
       Recreation and Division of Wildlife Resources. The Program inventories 15-20 waters
       annually for zebra mussels, educates drivers of vehicles from areas of known zebra
       mussel infestations, encourages boat washing at the Division's expense, and inspects
       10% of boats for infestations.  The Program also posts public alert signs at major
       recreational waters, includes aquatic nuisance species (ANS) information inserts in boat
       re-licensing packets, and prints and distributes ANS brochures to major boating
       information centers, boat dealers, and sporting goods  outlets. New Zealand mud snail
       brochures have also been printed. The Program also surveys docks and buoys at the end
       of each summer season for signs of mussels, snails, and Eurasian watermilfoil. Finally,
       the Program maintains kiosks and posts information about anglers' responsibilities in
       keeping boats clean.

       Recovery Program, State of Colorado, State of Utah, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
       Colorado State University. The Program conducts research, removal, and relocation to
       area fishing ponds wherever appropriate and practical, as well as euthanization of
       invasive fish.

       Biosecurity Measures, Utah  Division of Wildlife Resources. Biosecurity measures
       have been standardized for all aquatic personnel within the Division who conduct surveys
       and sampling, so as to prevent the movement of ANS between habitats.

       Hatchery Monitoring, Utah  Division of Wildlife Resources. In addition to monitoring
       public and private waters for ANS, the Division has been actively engaged in monitoring
       state-owned hatcheries for ANS.  Whirling disease is  a particular concern as there have
       been three infected  hatcheries. Mammoth Creek Hatchery has been reconstructed and
       disinfected.  Reconstruction on Midway Hatchery began in the winter of 2007 and is
       scheduled to be completed in June 2008.  The Division also has submitted a proposal to
       construct sand filtration and UV exposure systems for water sources that feed into the
       Springville Hatchery.

       New Zealand Mud Snails Cooperative  Studies, Utah State University.  An on-going
       study at Utah State University is focusing on interactions between the New Zealand mud
       snail and trout in the Green River. Recent reports indicate that trout may help spread the
       snail.
                                        A-113

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A.45.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)

A.45.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)

A.45.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
(None reported.)

A.45.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS

   •  Research is needed on the New Zealand mud snail and on ways to prevent the spread of
      the zebra mussel.
                                     A-114

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A.46. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN VERMONT


 A.46.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 No plan available.


 A.46.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •  Aquatic Nuisance Control Program, Vermont Department of Environmental
       Conservation (VT DEC). The program's goal is "to prevent or reduce the
       environmental and socio-economic impacts of nuisance (primarily non-native) aquatic
       plant and animal species." The program's seven sub-programs include the following:

       o  The Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Watchers Program—includes training for
           interested volunteers to assist in early detection (species identification, lake searches,
           and communication of the status of nuisance species)

       o  The Purple Loosestrife Biocontrol Program—includes on-the-ground management
           and control activities such as introducing leaf-eating beetles (Galerucella spp.), a
           biocontrol; selecting sites; obtaining landowner permission; monitoring;  increasing
           public knowledge; raising and releasing beetles; and compiling and summarizing
           activities and findings

       o  The Water Chestnut Management Program—includes on-the-ground management
           and control activities such as mechanical harvesting, manual culling, surveying,
           education, and outreach

       o  The Eurasian Watermilfoil (EWM) Biocontrol Program—includes on-the-ground
           management and control activities such as weevil introductions and augmentations as
           a biocontrol agent for Eurasian watermilfoil

       o  The Grant-in-Aid Program—provides financial assistance to municipalities and
           agencies for the control of EWM, as well as ANS spread prevention, mechanical
           control of nuisance native plant populations, and management of purple loosestrife

       o  The permitting program for mechanical and chemical control of invasive species

       o  Spread prevention

    •  Alewife Monitoring, Vermont Department of Fish and Wildlife.  Since the discovery
       of this aquatic invasive fish species in Lake Champlain in 2004, monitoring  activities on
       Lake St. Catherine and downstream waters has ceased as has research on control or
       eradication measures. Instead, activities now focus on monitoring the spread and
       increase of alewife in Lake Champlain. Current emphasis is on aquatic invasive  species
       public education and outreach.
                                         A-115

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   •   Regulatory Development, VT Department of Fish and Wildlife, ANS Team. The VT
       Department of Fish and Wildlife ANS Team works to create new rules and regulations or
       amendments to existing rules and regulations that work to prevent or reduce the risk of
       aquatic exotic species introductions. In the past,  existing rules pertaining to the baitfish
       industry were revised and included the creation of a permitting program for the
       importation, harvesting, and  sale of baitfish. A baitfish identification booklet was also
       published. Currently, two regulations are being drafted—one pertains to general fish
       importation where the intent is to stock the fish and the second adopts prohibited,
       restricted, and unrestricted fish species lists and a permitting requirement on the
       importation offish species regardless of intent. This rule will also pertain to the
       aquarium trade.

   •   Public education and outreach, VT Department of Fish and Wildlife. Efforts to
       increase public awareness of exotic species issues, concerns, and risks are ongoing.
       Activities include work with the baitfish industry to write and adopt Hazard Analysis and
       Critical Control Point planning protocols into their daily operation.

   •   Sea Lamprey Control Program, VT Department of Fish and Wildlife, New York
       Department of Conservation, and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. The program uses a
       variety of methods to control sea lamprey, including trapping adults in smaller spawning
       streams, constructing and maintaining barriers  on certain streams to prevent sea lampreys
       from reaching spawning areas, and periodically using chemical lampricides to kill young
       sea lampreys in larger streams and rivers.

   •   Lake Champlain Zebra Mussel Monitoring Program, VT DEC and Lake
       Champlain Basin Program. Project activities include:  (I) Monitoring the distribution
       and abundance of zebra mussel larvae, juveniles, and adults; (2) Determining the
       occurrence of new colonization in Lake Champlain, tributaries, and inland lakes and
       incorporating this information into a database;  (3) Determining appropriate management
       responses and assessing the effectiveness of spread prevention or control measures;  (4)
       Informing the public., water treatment facility operators, and marina managers about
       zebra mussels so that appropriate spread prevention and control measures are taken; (5)
       Providing technical assistance on the design and operation of zebra mussel monitoring
       programs; (6) Documenting water quality parameters pertinent to zebra mussel survival;
       (7) Producing a report that documents the findings of the Lake Champlain Zebra Mussel
       Monitoring Program; and (8) Maintaining the Lake Champlain Zebra Mussel Monitoring
       Program Website.

   •   Lake Champlain Basin ANS Management Plan, VT DEC, New York Department of
       Environmental Conservation, in cooperation with state and federal agencies,
       regional bodies, and nongovernmental organizations.  The plan focuses on facilitating
       the coordination of ANS management efforts, providing opportunities for federal cost
       sharing, and implementation.

A.46.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
(None reported.)

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A.46.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.46.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •  Research continues to provide new non-chemical control methods to reduce reliance on
      lampricides.

A.46.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
   •   The current distribution of specific ANS and the impacts they have on ecosystems and
       native species needs to be researched.

   •   The economic impacts of ANS need to be determined.

   •   The reason Phragmites have appeared where beetles have reduced the presence of purple
       loosestrife needs to be identified.

   •   The impacts of ANS in other states and effectiveness of control programs needs to be
       researched.

   •   Monitoring needs to take place for new ANS.

   •   Sea lamprey control technology needs to be developed.

   •   The effectiveness of filtering to control plankton populations and of using pheromones to
       lure lampreys needs to be evaluated.

   •   The densities of zebra mussels throughout their life stages need to be monitored.
                                        A-117

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A.47. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN VIRGINIA


 A.47.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
       Virginia's Invasive Species Management Plan was published in 2005 (see Appendix B,
 State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general description of the
 Plan).


 A.47.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES

    •  Cooperative Project, Virginia Department of Conservation and Recreation
       (VA DCR) and Virginia Native Plant Society.  The project seeks to identify alien plant
       species that have the potential to become invasive; document threats; coordinate with
       other agencies and organizations to identify mutual concerns; develop solutions; and
       develop and implement sound practices for the control of invasive alien plants in natural
       areas.

    •  Snakehead Sampling (monitoring program), Virginia Department of Game and
       Inland Fisheries (VDGIF).  The program involves intensive sampling in one to two
       small creeks or streams.

    •  Legislation, Virginia Legislature.  The Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Act increased
       criminal and civil penalties and gave the Board authority to add additional AIS to the
       states list of Nonindigenous Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS). The law applies to any
       species with the potential to cause statewide impact.

    •  Phragmites Control, VA DCR, in  conjunction with VDGIF, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
       Service, The Nature Conservancy, National Park Service, U.S. Department of
       Defense, Virginia Institute of Marine Science. VA DCR has mapped the distribution
       of Phragmites and targets certain areas for control efforts, which include the aerial
       application of herbicides.

    •  Chinese Mitten Crab, VDGIF. The VDGIF has recommended that the Chinese mitten
       crab be added to the states list of Nonindigenous ANS.

 A.47.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
 (None reported.)

 A.47.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
 (None reported.)
                                        A-118

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A.47.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED

   •  Research on snakehead, including identifying sampling areas, testing sampling methods,
      and studying population genetics, is taking place.

   •  Phragmites distribution is being mapped.

A.47.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
       Pathways and incentives (e.g., how people introduce invasive species) need to be
       researched in order to educate the public and influence behavior.

       Research needs to be conducted on natural diseases or parasites for the snakehead, as
       well as methods to capture, control, and/or eliminate the species.

       Researching is needs on how different wildlife use Phragmites.
                                         A-119

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     A.48. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                   WASHINGTON
A.48.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
      Washington's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was published in
October 2001 (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for
a general description of the Plan).


A.48.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Aquatic Weeds Program, Washington Department of Ecology (Ecology).  The
      Department provides education, technical assistance, and financial assistance to
      governments and local lake groups to help them manage the problems caused by invasive
      non-native freshwater plants.  The Department offers grants as "seed" money to initiate
      freshwater invasive plant species eradication and control projects.  Several eradication
      and control strategies are used, including:  hand pulling and bottom barrier installation,
      aquatic herbicide treatment (2,4-D, fluridone, triclopyr, imazapyr, glyphosate, endothall,
      diquat), triploid grass carp, diver dredging, harvesting, rotovation, and water level
      drawdown.  Eurasian watermilfoil (EWM), Brazilian elodea, hydrilla, fragrant water lily,
      yellow flag iris, purple loosestrife, and many other state-listed noxious weeds are eligible
      for grant-funded projects.  As a result of this program, EWM has been eradicated from
      seven water bodies and many lake groups are keeping milfoil at such low populations that
      it no longer is posing a threat to recreation and the environment.  Ecology is also funding
      research into the impacts of aquatic herbicides on salmonids (University of Washington),
      conducting research on "test" lakes after herbicide treatment, and has an ongoing project
      on biocontrol for EWM (weevils).

   •  Prevention Program, Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife (WDFW). The
      Program focuses  on prevention activities for (1) ballast water, (2) recreational watercraft,
      and (3) aquatic plant and animal suppliers. The Recreational Watercraft Program
      (Bill 5679) puts a fee on recreational boats. The Aquatic Plant and Animal Suppliers
      Program classifies species into three categories:  Prohibited, Regulated, and Unregulated.
      Activities include sending enforcement officers to inspect pet stores and issue tickets to
      regulate the release of invasive species and regulating the importation of prohibited
      species. Washington has list of aquatic invasive species (AIS) that cannot be sold.

   •  Control programs, WDFW. This program focuses on controlling and eradicating
      invasive tunicates found in several locations around Puget Sound.

   •  Early Detection  and Rapid Response Program (EDRR), WDFW.  An EDRR Plan has
      been developed by the ANS Committee. A Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) is
      currently being drafted between all the natural resource agencies in the state that will be
      implementing the program. In the case of new species introduction, the MOA will
                                         A-120

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       designate a lead agency, the funding source, and the process for managing the new
       species.

   •   Invasive plant control programs, Washington Department of Agriculture. The
       Department leads the state's effort to monitor for and eradicate invasive Spartina
       infestations.  The WDFW and Department of Natural Resources also participate in this
       program. The Program also monitors other invasive plants including purple loosestrife
       and various non-native invasions of knotweed.  The Department also controls the
       introduction and spread of invasive plants and disease organisms through its quarantine
       program.

   •   State Noxious Weed Control Board. The Board lists state noxious weeds and works
       with local weed boards and landowners to control and eradicate invasive aquatic plants
       infesting private property.

   •   Puget Sound Action Team. The team's staff coordinates and supports a number of
       activities, including staffing the state Ballast Water Committee, and coordinating the
       state's response to eradicate invasive tunicates recently found in Puget Sound.  In 2006,
       the Governor and the Legislature provided emergency and supplemental funds to
       eradicate invasive non-native tunicates. In addition, the Action Team and its advisors on
       the Puget Sound Council develop a two-year plan and budget to protect and restore Puget
       Sound, including actions to prevent and control invasive aquatic plants and animals.  The
       plan and budget became part of the Governor's budget to fund activities in the Puget
       Sound basin.

   •   Invasive Species Council.  The 2006 Legislature created this policy level Council to
       coordinate among state agencies on aquatic and terrestrial invasive species issues.  The
       Office of the Interagency Committee staffs this Council. The Council will prepare a long
       range strategy for managing invasive species in the state.

A.48.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS

   •   Climate change will likely expand the range of some of AIS.


A.48.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.48.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
       Ecology is funding the University of Washington to conduct research into the sub-lethal
       impacts of aquatic herbicides on salmonids.

       Washington State University is conducting herbicide field trials for parrotfeather, yellow
       flag iris, and hairy willow-herb.

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A.48.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •  Information on the types of legislation that may be enacted and on possible funding
      sources. For example, a state that wants to take a pathway approach for recreational
      watercraft could benefit from a list of programmatic approaches and a list/summary of
      state laws, so that states can understand their options.
                                         A-122

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     A.49. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN
                                  WEST VIRGINIA
A.49.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
No plan available.


A.49.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


   •  Monitoring and Control, West Virginia Department of Agriculture (WVDA). The
      department surveys and maps hydrilla in selected locations and monitors a beetle released
      to combat the hemlock wooly adelgid.

   •  Control, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service, WVDA, and The
      Nature Conservancy (with grant funds from West Virginia Advisory Board)  The
      program focuses on control of non-native, invasive species.

   •  Appalachian Highlands Invasive Species Project, The Mountain Institute (with
      grant funds from West Virginia Advisory Board).  The project includes research,
      education, and a demonstration site to develop control methods that may then be used to
      grow native plants and restore the area.

   •  Monitoring, Control, and Eradication, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS),
      USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service, West Virginia Department of
      Forestry, West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection, West Virginia
      Division of Natural Resources (WV DNR), as well as county and city councils, local
      garden clubs, and volunteers.  The program identifies and monitors species, educates
      volunteers, and manages and eradicates purple loosestrife by spraying chemical
      herbicides.

   •  Control and Monitoring, WV DNR, USDA, and various states. The program breeds
      and releases Garacella Beetles, which act as a biocontrol for purple loosestrife. Data on
      breeding, release, plant counts, and spread is collected bi-annually.

   •  Monitoring, WV DNR (with grants from the USDA Cooperative Annual Pest
      Survey).  The program includes general monitoring and weed surveys of pest plants
      across the state. Field scouts are trained to search for the invasive species, which are then
      mapped.

   •  Monitoring, USFWS and WV DNR. The program conducts quantitative monitoring for
      zebra mussels and sampling to estimate biomass and populations.

   •  Monitoring and Research, WV DNR. The program maps the distribution of invasive
      crawfish in state rivers.
                                        A-123

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   •   Regulation, WV DNR.  The agency requires a permit to stock triploid grass carp in
       private ponds and any warm water species offish into public waters.


A.49.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS


   •   General concerns exist about the effects of climate change on species.


A.49.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
(None reported.)


A.49.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   Mapping and monitoring are being conducted.


A.49.6. RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Further development of control and eradication methods is needed.

   •   More specific information is needed on the distribution  of hydrilla in the state.

   •   Information needs to be collected on invasive plants (mile-a-minute, Japanese knotweed)
       and biocontrols.

   •   More effective plant mapping needs to be implemented.

   •   Agencies should cooperate more to pool information more effectively.

   •   Comprehensive ways to determine if a plant is invasive need to be identified.
                                        A-124

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A.50. SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN WISCONSIN


  A.50.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
        Wisconsin's Comprehensive Management Plan to Prevent Further Introductions and
  Control Existing Populations of Nonindigenous Aquatic Nuisance Species was published in 2003
  (see Appendix B, State Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan Summaries for a general
  description of the Plan).


  A.50.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


     •  Aquatic Plant Management Program, Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources
        (WDNR). The program seeks to control efforts for Eurasian watermilfoil (EWM) and
        curlyleaf pondweed through weed harvesting or spot chemical treatment, as well as some
        biocontrol for EWM.

     •  Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Program, WDNR.  The program conducts the
        following activities: (1) Watercraft Inspection, including the dissemination of
        information to anglers and boaters that identifies AIS and what precautions to take, visual
        inspection and demonstration of the proper steps to clean boats and equipment, and the
        installation of signs informing boaters of infestation status, state law, and steps to prevent
        spreading aquatic invasives; (2) Monitoring for zebra mussels (including collection of
        samples for veliger analyses and deployment of substrate samples), EWM (including
        inspection of watercraft or shorelines for invasive plants), spiny waterfleas, rusty
        crayfish, and curlyleaf pondweed; (3) Clean Boats, Clean Waters Volunteer Program (in
        cooperation with the University of Wisconsin-Extension and the Wisconsin Association
        of Lakes), which offers training on how to organize a watercraft inspection program, how
        to inspect boats and equipment, and how to interact with the public and encourages
        volunteers to help monitor for aquatic invasives; (4) Purple Loosestrife Biological
        Control (in cooperation with the University of Wisconsin-Extension), which is a citizen-
        based project that emphasizes the use of two beetle species for biocontrol, in combination
        with traditional methods, and conducts some mechanical harvesting and monitoring of
        impact; and (5) Information and Education (in cooperation with the University of
        Wisconsin-Extension and Wisconsin Sea  Grant), with a focus on working with resource
        professionals and citizens statewide to teach water users the  steps to prevent transporting
        aquatic invasives, as well as addressing aquarium pet release and water gardening
        (educational tools include brochures  and publications, watch cards and wild cards, public
        service announcements, and displays at parks, sport shows,  state fair, conventions and
        symposiums).

     •  Invasive Species Awareness Month (June), WDNR in cooperation with various
        nongovernmental organizations. Workshops, field trips, lectures, and work parties are
        held statewide in June as part of Invasive Species Awareness Month for Wisconsin.
        Activities include AIS displays with handouts and experts on site.

                                          A-125

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   •   Citizen Lake Monitoring Network (formerly Self-Help Citizen Lake Monitoring),
       WDNR, University of Wisconsin-Extension and Wisconsin Lakes Partnership. With
       over 1,200 trained citizen volunteers statewide, project goals are (1) to collect high
       quality data, (2) to educate and empower volunteers, and (3) to share data and
       knowledge. Volunteers learn to identify exotics and are the eyes for water biologists in
       helping to monitor the state's 15,081 lakes. Volunteers monitor for EWM, curlyleaf
       pondweed, purple loosestrife, rusty crayfish, zebra mussels, and waterfleas.

   •   Wisconsin Invasive Plants Reporting and Prevention Project, WDNR, University of
       Wisconsin, Wisconsin State Herbarium, and others. The initiative focuses on early
       detection and rapid response. Special public recognition is given to those who are among
       the first to find new invasive species in Wisconsin. In addition, collected specimens
       become part of the permanent collection of the Wisconsin State Herbarium.

   •   AIS Grants, WDNR.  This program awards grants to local municipalities, on a 50%
       cost-share basis, for AIS control, including prevention, eradication of pioneer
       populations, planning and education, and restoration.

A.50.3. CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
   •   Over the next century many species found in northern Illinois could survive in
       Wisconsin.  New species may take over with any shift in climate, particularly if native
       species cannot adapt.  Fish are especially vulnerable. For example, trout have a narrow
       tolerance range for temperature; if the temperature in headwater streams rises by three to
       five degrees, those trout may be threatened and niches may open up for AIS such as
       Asian carp.

A.50.4. CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS


   •   A professor at the Center for Limnology has been funded to study climate change
       impacts.

A.50.5. RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED


   •   Studies have been conducted on biocontrol (native beetles) for EWM.

   •   Pilot tests have been conducted on a dozen or more lakes to lessen the impact from AIS.

   •   Database management captures all monitoring data and watercraft inspection. Research
       on building a system is ongoing.

   •   Model predictions are being conducted to determine which lakes are more vulnerable to
       AIS.
                                         A-126

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A.50.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS


   •   Research is needed on hybrid watermilfoil.  WDNR has discovered a hybrid of EWM (a
       cross between Eurasian and northern milfoil) and associated implications regarding
       control methods. The effects of chemicals on the hybrid are not fully understood.
       Research on the physical identification of the hybrid strains would also be useful.
       Because hybrids closely resemble EWM, currently the only way to identify is through
       genotyping, which is very expensive.  Research on the origin of the hybrid would also
       assist in understanding how it is generated.

   •   Research is needed on infestation.  Determining how to predict which waters would be
       most vulnerable to infestations by AIS would help focus monitoring efforts. For
       instance, low calcium and Ph levels can hinder establishment and reproduction of zebra
       mussels.

   •   Research is needed on successful rapid response methods (i.e., trapping out crayfish to
       allow native species to rebound, control of rainbow smelt by dumping in more walleyes,
       and introducing bass to control  crayfish).
                                         A-127

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A.51.  SUMMARY OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT IN WYOMING


 A.51.1.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN
 No plan available.


 A.51.2.  AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES PROGRAMS AND ACTIVITIES


    •  Evaluation of the Efficiency and Efficacy of Non-Native Fish Eradication and
       Exclusion Techniques for Native Fish Restoration (2004-2005), Montana Fish,
       Wildlife, and Parks, Wyoming Game and Fish Department, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
       Service, Yellowstone National Park, Wild Fish Habitat Initiative. The project entails
       construction offish barriers to prevent passage of non-native trout (particularly Brook
       Trout), as well as chemical treatments using the pesticides Animiasin and Rotenone.

 A.51.3.  CLIMATE CHANGE CONCERNS
 (None reported.)


 A.51.4.  CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIONS
 (None reported.)


 A.51.5.  RESEARCH ACTIVITIES AND INFORMATION USED
 (None reported.)


 A.51.6.  RESEARCH NEEDS
 (None reported.)
                                       A-128

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                        APPENDIX B




STATE AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN SUMMARIES
                            B-l

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                                CONTENTS


LIST OF TABLES	B-10

B.I.   METHODS	B-12

B.2.   ALASKA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-14
      B.2.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF ALASKA'S PLAN	B-14
      B.2.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             ALASKA	B-14
      B.2.3.   THE ALASKA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-14
      B.2.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-15
             B.2.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-16
             B.2.4.2.  Prevention	B-16
             B.2.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-16
             B.2.4.4.  Research	B-16

B.3.   ARIZONA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-17
      B.3.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF ARIZONA'S PLAN	B-17
      B.3.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             ARIZONA	B-17
      B.3.3.   THE ARIZONA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-17
      B.3.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-17
             B.3.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-19
             B.3.4.2.  Prevention	B-19
             B.3.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-19
             B.3.4.4.  Research	B-19

B.4.   CONNECTICUT AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-20
      B.4.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF CONNECTICUT'S PLAN	B-20
      B.4.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             CONNECTICUT	B-20
      B.4.3.   THE CONNECTICUT PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-20
      B.4.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-21
             B.4.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-22
             B .4.4.2.  Prevention	B-22
             B.4.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-22
             B.4.4.4.  Research	B-22

B.5.   HAWAII AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-23
      B.5.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF HAWAIFS PLAN	B-23
                                    B-2

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                            CONTENTS (continued)
      B.5.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             HAWAII	B-23
      B.5.3.   THE HAWAII PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-23
      B.5.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-25
             B.5.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-25
             B.5.4.2.  Prevention	B-25
             B.5.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-25
             B.5.4.4.  Research	B-25

B.6.   IDAHO ACTION PLAN FOR INVASIVE SPECIES	B-26
      B.6.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF IDAHO'S PLAN	B-26
      B.6.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             IDAHO	B-26
      B.6.3.   THE IDAHO PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-26
      B.6.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-27
             B.6.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-28
             B.6.4.2.  Prevention	B-28
             B.6.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-28
             B.6.4.4.  Research	B-28

B.7.   ILLINOIS STATE COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-29
      B.7.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF ILLINOIS'S PL AN	B-29
      B.7.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             ILLINOIS	B-29
      B.7.3.   THE ILLINOIS PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-29
      B.7.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-30
             B.7.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-31
             B.7.4.2.  Prevention	B-31
             B.7.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-31
             B.7.4.4.  Research	B-31

B.8.   INDIANA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-32
      B.8.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF INDIANA'S PLAN	B-32
      B.8.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             INDIANA	B-32
      B.8.3.   THE INDIANA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-32
      B.8.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-33
             B.8.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-34
             B.8.4.2.  Prevention	B-34

                                    B-3

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                            CONTENTS (continued)
             B.8.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-34
             B.8.4.4.  Research	B-34

B.9.   PLAN FOR THE MANAGEMENT OF AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES IN
      IOWA	B-35
      B.9.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF IOWA'S PLAN	B-35
      B.9.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             IOWA	B-35
      B.9.3.   THE IOWA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-35
      B.9.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-37
             B.9.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	B-37
             B.9.4.2.  Prevention	B-37
             B.9.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-37
             B.9.4.4.  Research	B-37

B.10.  KANSAS AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-38
      B.10.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF KANS AS'S PL AN	B-38
      B. 10.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             KANSAS	B-38
      B.10.3.  THE KANSAS PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-39
      B.10.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-40
             B.10.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-40
             B. 10.4.2. Prevention	B-40
             B.10.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-40
             B.10.4.4. Research	B-40

B. 11.  STATE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
      LOUISIANA	B-41
      B.ll.l.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF LOUISIANA'S PLAN	B-41
      B. 11.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             LOUISIANA	B-41
      B. 11.3.  THE LOUISIANA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-42
      B.I 1.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-43
             B.11.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-43
             B.I 1.4.2. Prevention	B-43
             B.I 1.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-43
             B.I 1.4.4. Research	B-43

B. 12.  MAINE ACTION PLAN FOR MANAGING INVASIVE AQUATIC SPECIES	B-44
      B.12.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MAINE'S PLAN	B-44

                                    B-4

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                           CONTENTS (continued)
      B. 12.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             MAINE	B-44
      B. 12.3.  THE MAINE PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-44
      B.12.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-45
             B.12.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-46
             B.12.4.2. Prevention	B-46
             B.12.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-46
             B. 12.4.4. Research	B-46

B. 13.  MASSACHUSETTS AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-47
      B.13.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MASSACHUSETTS'S PLAN	B-47
      B. 13.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             MASSACHUSETTS	B-47
      B.13.3.  THE MASSACHUSETTS PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-47
      B.13.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-47
             B.13.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-48
             B.13.4.2. Prevention	B-49
             B.13.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-49
             B. 13.4.4. Research	B-49

B. 14.  MICHIGAN AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES STATE MANAGEMENT
      PLAN: UPDATE	B-50
      B.14.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MICHIGAN'S PLAN	B-50
      B. 14.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             MICHIGAN	B-50
      B. 14.3.  THE MICHIGAN PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-50
      B.14.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-52
             B.14.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-52
             B.14.4.2. Prevention	B-52
             B.14.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-52
             B. 14.4.4. Research	B-52

B.15.  MISSOURI AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-53
      B.15.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MISSOURI'S PL AN	B-53
      B. 15.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             MISSOURI	B-53
      B.15.3.  THE MISSOURI PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-53
      B.15.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-55
             B.15.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-55

                                    B-5

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                           CONTENTS (continued)
             B. 15.4.2. Prevention	B-55
             B.15.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-55
             B.15.4.4. Research	B-55

B.16.  MONTANA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-56
      B.16.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MONT ANA'S PLAN	B-56
      B. 16.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             MONTANA	B-56
      B.16.3.  THE MONTANA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-56
      B.16.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-57
             B.16.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-58
             B.16.4.2. Prevention	B-58
             B.16.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-58
             B.16.4.4. Research	B-58

B. 17.  NEW YORK NONINDIGENOUS AQUATIC SPECIES COMPREHENSIVE
      MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-59
      B.17.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF NEW YORK'S PLAN	B-59
      B. 17.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN NEW
             YORK	B-59
      B.17.3.  THE NEW YORK PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-59
      B.17.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-60
             B.17.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-61
             B. 17.4.2. Prevention	B-61
             B.17.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-61
             B.17.4.4. Research	B-61

B. 18.  NORTH DAKOTA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-62
      B.18.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF NORTH DAKOTA'S PLAN	B-62
      B. 18.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             NORTH DAKOTA	B-62
      B. 18.3.  THE NORTH DAKOTA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-62
      B.18.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-64
             B.18.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-64
             B. 18.4.2. Prevention	B-64
             B.18.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-64
             B.18.4.4. Research	B-64

B. 19.  OHIO COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR AQUATIC
      NUISANCE SPECIES	B-65

                                    B-6

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                           CONTENTS (continued)
      B.19.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF OHIO'S PLAN	B-65
      B. 19.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN OHIO....B-65
      B.19.3.  THE OHIO PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-65
      B.19.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-66
             B.19.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-67
             B.19.4.2. Prevention	B-67
             B.19.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-67
             B. 19.4.4. Research	B-67

B.20.  OREGON AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-68
      B.20.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF OREGON'S PLAN	B-68
      B.20.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             OREGON	B-68
      B.20.3.  THE OREGON PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-68
      B.20.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-69
             B.20.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-70
             B.20.4.2. Prevention	B-70
             B.20.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-70
             B.20.4.4. Research	B-70

B.21.  PENNSYLVANIA AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-71
      B.21.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF PENNSYLVANIA'S PLAN	B-71
      B.21.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             PENNSYLVANIA	B-71
      B.21.3.  THE PENNSYLVANIA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-71
      B.21.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-72
             B.21.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-73
             B.21.4.2. Prevention	B-73
             B.21.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-73
             B.21.4.4. Research	B-73

B.22.  SOUTH CAROLINA AQUATIC PLANT MANAGEMENT PLAN PART I
      AND  II	B-74
      B.22.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF SOUTH CAROLINA'S PLAN	B-74
      B.22.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             SOUTH CAROLINA	B-74
      B.22.3.  THE SOUTH CAROLINA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-74
      B.22.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-75
             B.22.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-76

                                    B-7

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                            CONTENTS (continued)
             B.22.4.2. Prevention	B-76
             B.22.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-76
             B.22.4.4. Research	B-76

B.23.  TEXAS STATE COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR AQUATIC
      NUISANCE SPECIES [DRAFT]	B-77
      B.23.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF TEXAS'S DRAFT PL AN	B-77
      B.23.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             TEXAS	B-77
      B.23.3.  THE TEXAS DRAFT PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-77
      B.23.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-78
             B.23.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-79
             B.23.4.2. Prevention	B-79
             B.23.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-79
             B.23.4.4. Research	B-79

B.24.  VIRGINIA INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN	B-80
      B.24.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF VIRGINIA'S PLAN	B-80
      B.24.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             VIRGINIA	B-80
      B.24.3.  THE VIRGINIA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
             CHANGE	B-80
      B.24.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-81
             B.24.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-82
             B.24.4.2. Prevention	B-82
             B.24.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-82
             B.24.4.4. Research	B-82

B.25.  WASHINGTON STATE AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT
      PLAN	B-83
      B.25.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF WASHINGTON'S PLAN	B-83
      B.25.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             WASHINGTON	B-83
      B.25.3.  THE WASHINGTON PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-83
      B.25.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-84
             B.25.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-85
             B.25.4.2. Prevention	B-85
             B.25.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-85
             B.25.4.4. Research	B-85
                                    B-8

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                           CONTENTS (continued)
B.26.  WISCONSIN COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN TO PREVENT
      FURTHER INTRODUCTIONS AND CONTROL EXISTING POPULATIONS
      OF AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES	B-86
      B.26.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF WISCONSIN'S PLAN	B-86
      B.26.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
             WISCONSIN	B-86
      B.26.3.  THE WISCONSIN PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
             CLIMATE CHANGE	B-87
      B.26.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	B-88
             B.26.4.1. Leadership and Coordination	B-88
             B.26.4.2. Prevention	B-88
             B.26.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management	B-88
             B.26.4.4. Research	B-88

REFERENCES	B-89
                                   B-9

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                                LIST OF TABLES






B-l   Assessment of the Alaska Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-15




B-2   Assessment of the Arizona Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-l 8




B-3   Assessment of the Connecticut Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-21




B-4   Assessment of the Hawaii Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-24




B-5   Assessment of the Idaho Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-27




B-6   Assessment of the Illinois Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-30




B-7   Assessment of the Indiana Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-33




B-8   Assessment of the Iowa Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-36




B-9   Assessment of the Kansas Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-39




B-10  Assessment of the Louisiana Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-42




B-ll  Assessment of the Maine Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-45




B-12  Assessment of the Massachusetts Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-48




B-l 3  Assessment of the Michigan Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-51




B-14  Assessment of the Missouri Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-54




B-15  Assessment of the Montana Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-57




B-l6  Assessment of the New York Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-60




B-l7  Assessment of the North Dakota Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-63




B-18  Assessment of the Ohio Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-66




B-19  Assessment of the Oregon Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-69




B-20  Assessment of the Pennsylvania Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-72




B-21  Assessment of the South Carolina Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-75




B-22  Assessment of the Texas Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-78





                                       B-10

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                           LIST OF TABLES (continued)






B-23  Assessment of the Virginia Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-81




B-24  Assessment of the Washington Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-84




B-25  Assessment of the Wisconsin Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan	B-87
                                       B-ll

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                                B.I.    METHODS

      We reviewed state aquatic invasive species (AIS) management plans, where available,
and assessed how the state addresses climate change specifically, as well as how they generally
provide for adaptation of strategies and actions under changing conditions.  There are a total of
25 state plans, including 23 AlS-specific plans and 2 general invasive species management plans
with a significant AIS focus.  As noted in Appendix A, as of 2007, several other states currently
are in the process of developing AIS management plans.  State plans generally refer to AIS as
aquatic nuisance species (ANS).  To maintain consistency with state plan language, this
appendix generally uses ANS as  a synonym for AIS. State plans examined include the
following:

   •  Alaska ANS Management Plan
   •  Arizona ANS Management Plan
   •  Connecticut ANS Management Plan
   •  Hawaii AIS Management Plan
   •  Idaho Action Plan for Invasive Species
   •  Illinois State Comprehensive Management Plan
   •  Indiana ANS Management Plan
   •  Iowa Plan for the Management of ANS in Iowa
   •  Kansas ANS Management Plan
   •  Louisiana State Management Plan for AIS in Louisiana
   •  Maine Action Plan for Managing Invasive Aquatic Species
   •  Massachusetts AIS Management Plan
   •  Michigan ANS State Management Plan
   •  Missouri ANS Management Plan
   •  Montana ANS Management Plan
   •  New York Non-indigenous Aquatic Species Comprehensive Management Plan
   •  North Dakota ANS Management Plan
                                        B-12

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   •  Ohio Comprehensive Management Plan for ANS
   •  Oregon ANS Management Plan
   •  Pennsylvania AIS Management Plan
   •  South Carolina Aquatic Plant Management Plan Part I and II
   •  Texas State Comprehensive Management Plan for ANS
   •  Virginia Invasive Species Management Plan
   •  Washington State ANS Management Plan
   •  Wisconsin Comprehensive Management Plan to Prevent Further Introductions and
      Control Existing Populations of AIS

      In summaries that follow, we also provide recommendations for revising the various
management plans to incorporate climate considerations and management strategies to adapt to
climate change; we list the recommendations for individual plan goals and strategies.
                                        B-13

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     B.2.    ALASKA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.2.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF ALASKA'S PLAN
       Alaska's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by the Alaska
Department of Fish and Game and released in October 2002 (available at
http://www.adfg.state.ak.us/special/invasive/ak_ansmp.pdf).  The Management Plan focuses on
prevention of new introductions and identification of and response to the highest invasive species
threats.  The Plan describes six goals to (1) coordinate ANS management within Alaska and
collaborate with other programs; (2) prevent new ANS introductions; (3) detect, monitor,
contain, reduce or eradicate ANS; (4) educate the public about ANS prevention and impact
reduction; (5) identify, develop, conduct, and disseminate research on Alaskan ANS concerns;
and (6) ensure that federal and state regulations promote ANS prevention and control. There are
Strategic Actions for each goal and a timetable to complete these actions.

B.2.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN ALASKA
       Climate models project temperature increases in the Arctic of 1.5 to 5°F (1 to 3°C) by
2030, and 5 to 18°F (3 to 10°C) by 2100, with higher magnitudes of warming in the north and in
the winter. Precipitation is projected to increase in most of Alaska, up to 20 to 25% in the north
and northwest; however, a 10%  decrease in precipitation is projected along the south coast
(Parson, 200la). Permafrost thawing is projected to accelerate. Continued loss of sea ice, with
year-round ice disappearing completely in one model by 2100, is also projected. Loss of sea ice
allows larger storm surges to develop, increasing erosion and coastal inundation (Parson, 200la).
       These climate-change effects may allow species once limited by Alaska's cold climate to
establish. Alaska's Management Plan identifies the green crab (Carcinus maenas) as one of the
state's highest potential invasive threats. Currently, though, the species is thought to be limited
from establishment in part due to cold water temperatures. Warming may allow this species'
range to expand to Alaska.  The melting permafrost may increase nutrient supply into aquatic
systems, increasing susceptibility to invasion by species previously limited by lack of nutrient
availability, such as the fish pathogen Whirling disease (Myxobolus cerebmlis), whose vectors
require a more nutrient-rich environment than the state's freshwater streams currently provide.

B.2.3.   THE ALASKA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-l summarizes how the Alaska ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although Alaska's Management Plan does
not specifically address climate  change, the Plan includes  descriptions of climate zones and
changing conditions that can affect ANS ranges.
                                         B-14

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        Table B-l.  Assessment of the Alaska Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
2
2
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
2
o
5
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of required
funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
1
16
 B.2.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        In light of the significant effects of climate change predicted for Alaska, the state may
 consider specifying climate change-related actions and strategies within the ANS Management
                                                B-15

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Plan.  Climate change-related data, criteria, and models could be incorporated into some of the
Strategic Actions outlined in the Management Plan.

B.2.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Strategic Action 2A1 calls for coordination and development of action plans for current
high priority species or pathways. The action item also calls for coordination on preparing risk
assessments to determine additional ANS priority threats. Because species' abilities to spread
are affected in part by climate, action plans should incorporate projected changes in water and air
temperatures in risk assessments.  Invasion pathways linked to human activities also may be
sensitive to climate change. For example, recreational boating may increase as the climate
warms, which will provide additional invasive species transport opportunities. Therefore, action
plans  addressing pathways should also incorporate information on climate-change effects.

B.2.4.2.   Prevention
       Strategic Action 2A3 recommends that Alaska prohibit,  control, or permit the importation
of non-native aquatic species based on their invasive potential.  Criteria used to identify
potentially invasive species should account for projected changes in temperature, nutrient
availability, hydrology, and other climate change-related ecological impacts that could modify
potential habitat for invasive species previously limited by these factors.

B.2.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategic Action 3A1, designed to detect, monitor, contain, reduce, or eradicate
populations of ANS as quickly as possible, calls for monitoring  waters vulnerable to new ANS
introductions and tracking existing populations' distributions. Considering climate change in
these  assessments may help determine which waters are vulnerable to species invasions.
Monitoring data from neighboring states may also allow state staff to track invasive species
spreading in response to climate change.

B.2.4.4.   Research
       Strategic Action 5A1 recommends an assessment of risks posed to human health,
ecosystems, and the economy by ANS introductions. The Management Plan recommends
characterizing resources and habitats containing ecological  communities that are highly sensitive
to invasion. Incorporating climate-change effects into these assessments may strengthen their
results.
                                          B-16

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     B.3.    ARIZONA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.3.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF ARIZONA'S PLAN
       Arizona's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by the
University of Arizona's Agriculture Department and released in May 2002; however, as of
December 2006, it has not been finalized or approved (available at
http://ag.arizona.edu/azaqua/extension/ANS/ArizonaPlan.htm).  The Arizona Invasive Species
Council has recommended development of an Invasive Species Management Plan, which will
include a chapter on ANS based on the draft ANS Plan described here. The Draft Plan aims to
improve coordination between ANS management programs and activities. The Draft Plan has
three main goals to: (1) prevent new ANS introductions; (2) limit the spread of established ANS
populations;  and (3) abate harmful impacts resulting from ANS infestations, and lists specific
actions related to these goals. The Draft Plan identifies seven priority ANS (zebra mussel,
hydrilla, Brazilian elodea, parrotfeather, purple loosestrife, giant salvinia, and water hyacinth)
and proposes management actions specific to these species.

B.3.2.   CLIMATE  CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN ARIZONA
       Temperatures  are  expected to rise as much as 5°F (3°C) in Southwestern United States
over the next 30 years, and precipitation is projected to decrease significantly by 2100 (Seager et
al., 2007).  Water resources are projected to become scarcer as the climate changes and the
demand on water supplies will increase as the population grows (Seager et al., 2007). This
decrease in water availability could favor more drought-tolerant invasive species such as
tamarisk. A  change in temperature and precipitation may also change the structure and
composition  of Arizona's sensitive ecosystems and native species (SRAG, 2000).  This change
could potentially benefit fast-growing, more tropical species such as water hyacinth.

B.3.3.   THE ARIZONA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-2 summarizes how the Arizona ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates  the projected effects of climate change. Arizona's Draft Plan does not specifically
address climate change, but does mention climatic boundaries of species and a few elements in
the Plan allow for changing conditions to be considered in the implementation of the Plan.

B.3.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Incorporating the  projected effects of climate change, such as increased water
temperatures and decreased water levels in the summer, on both native species' ability to survive
                                         B-17

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         Table B-2. Assessment of the Arizona Aquatic Nuisance Species
         Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0*
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of required
funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding
source for implementation

Total score:
0*
6
 * Arizona's Plan has not been formally approved and will be incorporated into the state's larger ANS plan, which is
  under development as of December 2006.
 and invasive species' ability to establish or expand, would make the Plan more robust.  The
 following Strategic Actions outlined in the Plan could incorporate climate change considerations.
                                                B-18

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B.3.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Strategic Action IA calls for coordination on developing state-specific and regional lists
of ANS that have the potential to spread to Arizona's waters. The Management Plan also calls
for coordination on identifying existing and potential transport pathways.  Task IE1 recommends
assessing these transport mechanisms and developing preventative action plans to interrupt
pathways. Because species' abilities to spread and become established also are affected by
climate, species lists should include aquatic invasive species (AIS) that could be influenced by
projected climate changes. Transport pathways linked to human activities that could be sensitive
to climate change also should be considered and assessed.  For example, recreational boating
may increase as climate warms (unless precipitation also decreases), which will provide
increased transport opportunities for primary species  of concern such as zebra mussels.

B.3.4.2.   Prevention
       Strategic Action ID recommends developing and maintaining a monitoring program for
early detection and prevention of AIS in uninfested watersheds.  Accounting for projected effects
of climate change, such as increased water temperatures and decreased water levels in the
summer, on both native species' ability to survive and invasive species' ability to become
established, could help state staff more effectively determine which watersheds may be more
vulnerable to invasion under a changing climate. Additionally, collecting information from
adjacent states may increase state staffs awareness of climate-related invasive species threats.

B.3.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       See Section 3.4.2.

B.3.4.4.   Research
       Strategic Action IF calls for collaboration among state and federal agencies and academic
institutions to study and evaluate potential management actions to limit spread of AIS.  This
assessment and evaluation could also  examine how management actions could be  adapted in the
context of a changing climate and the predicted impacts for Arizona.
                                          B-19

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  B.4.    CONNECTICUT AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.4.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF CONNECTICUT'S PLAN
       Connecticut's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by the
Connecticut ANS Working Group with public input (available at
http ://www. ctiwr.uconn.edu/Proj ANS/SubmittedMaterial2005/Material20060 l/ANS%20Plan%2
OFinal%20Draftl21905.pdf). The ANS Working Group is composed of state staff from the
Connecticut Department of Environmental Protection, Sea Grant College Program, and the
Connecticut Institute of Water Resources, as well as other state and regional partners.  The
Management Plan's primary goal is to establish a comprehensive strategy to minimize the
negative impacts of ANS to the state's ecology, economy, and public health.  Other goals relate
to preventive strategies based on monitoring and early-detection efforts. The Plan catalogues
and characterizes existing ANS, including their impacts and costs, and discusses the benefits of
planned introductions. Research, resource needs, management programs, and funding sources
are also described.

B.4.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
        CONNECTICUT
       Projected increases in annual surface temperatures in the Northeastern region of the
United States are projected to average 10°F (5.3°C) by 2070. Nearly all model simulations of
future precipitation show consistent increases in winter precipitation and no change to a decrease
in summer rainfall. By 2100, precipitation is projected to increase an average of 11 to 14% in
the winter.  Regional sea surface temperatures are projected  to increase in accordance with
regional air temperatures; these increasing temperatures have the potential to expand the range of
warm-water species northward and permit invasive species to spread into these waters, which
had previously been previously too cold to allow for invasive species' survival (Hayhoe et al.,
2007).

B.4.3.   THE CONNECTICUT PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
       Table B-3 summarizes how the Connecticut ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. While  Connecticut's Plan does not include
a strong focus on climate change, changing temperatures,  shifting winds and currents,  and the
climatic sensitivities of the region are briefly mentioned in relation to specific species or habitats.
Many of the research and management tasks stress the importance of carefully monitoring
changing conditions.

                                         B-20

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        Table B-3. Assessment of the Connecticut Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
1
1
1
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
1
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
1
1
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
1
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
12
B.4.4.    INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        While changing conditions are acknowledged, the full scope of effects resulting from
climate change is not explicitly addressed in the Plan's management strategies. For example, the
following Strategic Actions outlined in the Plan could incorporate climate change considerations.
                                                B-21

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B.4.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       The Management Plan's "Coordinate Beyond Connecticut" (5.1.C) section recognizes
that jurisdictional boundaries do not necessarily apply when managing ANS.  Strategies related
to regional coordination provide an excellent opportunity for information sharing about changing
conditions that could allow species to move between habitats.

B.4.4.2.   Prevention
       Objective 3 in Chapter 5 of the Management Plan outlines prevention actions. The Plan
recognizes that the most likely aquatic invasive species (AIS) introductions have already
occurred in other Northeast states. When identifying likely species to establish, effects of
climate change should be considered.

B.4.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       The keystone of the Connecticut ANS Plan relies on an expanded monitoring strategy
that will allow for the early detection of new infestations, as well as monitoring of existing ANS
populations. Monitoring strategies should incorporate climate change information in order to
detect species that may arrive in the state's habitats as a result of changing conditions.
Considering climate change may increase the effectiveness of early detection/rapid response
protocols. Furthermore, regional efforts may become more effective as states document AIS
populations, allowing species-specific, rapid response protocols to be developed.  Control of
existing ANS also may be more effective if changes in water temperature and precipitation
patterns are considered.

B.4.4.4.   Research
       Objective 7 in Chapter 5 of Conneticut's ANS Mangement Plan describes  a research
strategy that may be modified according to changes in ANS populations.  The effects of climate
change on Long Island Sound and the state's inland waterways and aquatic habitats should be
included as a research priority.  The Management Plan also requires the on-going designation of
priority species using "improved knowledge of ANS distribution and impacts." When
designating priorities, state staff should also consider climate-change effects on species
distributions.
                                          B-22

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      B.5.    HAWAII AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.5.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF HAWAII'S PLAN
       Hawaii's Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan was developed by the
Hawaii Invasive Species Council and the Department of Land and Natural Resources, Division
of Aquatic Resources and released in 2003 (available at
http://www.state.hi.us/dlnr/dar/pubs/ais_mgmt_plan_final.pdf). The goal of the Management
Plan is to minimize harmful impacts of AIS through prevention and management of their
introduction, expansion, and dispersal. The Plan identifies specific objectives to achieve this
goal, including improved coordination, early detection and rapid response, monitoring of existing
AIS, increased education and research, and effective laws promoting prevention and control.
The Management Plan includes a monitoring and evaluation program and an implementation
table that outlines responsible agencies and funding.

B.5.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN HAWAII
       The effects of climate change in the tropical Pacific Basin are expected to cause a gradual
warming of sea surface and air temperatures.  Climate models project possible increases of 2.5 to
5.5°F (1.4 to 3.1°C) between  2080 and 2099 (Christensen et al., 2007).  Model results project a
3% increase in precipitation in the Southern Pacific region.  Sea levels are expected to rise in the
Pacific Ocean, although the magnitude is uncertain (Christensen et al., 2007). Models project a
rise between 3.9 to 4.7 inches (10 to 12 cm) in the short term and 11.8 to 15.0 inches (30 to
38 cm) over the long term (PIRAG, 2001). Climate models also show a gradual increase in
tropical cyclone frequency  for islands in the Central and East-Central Pacific region (PIRAG,
2001).
       Hawaii contains 40%  of the United States's endangered species. Invasive species are one
of the major threats. For example, warming temperatures may allow mosquitoes to survive at
higher altitudes, pushing already threatened native forest birds to higher elevations and into
smaller ranges.  Coral species and coral reef-dependent species also may be impacted by climate
change and invasive species (Harvell et al., 1999).  Warming water temperatures are projected to
cause coral bleaching and increase the occurrence, the severity, and the spread of marine diseases
(Harvell et al., 2002; Jones  et al., 2004).  Diseases could further exacerbate these problems by
weakening ecosystems (Jones et al., 2004).

B.5.3.   THE HAWAII PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-4 summarizes how the Hawaii Aquatic Invasive Species Management Plan
addresses and incorporates  the projected effects of climate change. Although Hawaii's Plan does
                                         B-23

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not explicitly mention climate change, regular updates to address and adapt to changing
circumstances are planned, providing an opportunity to include climate change in future  drafts.
        Table B-4. Assessment of the Hawaii Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
2
2
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
 	^	^	J.		^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
3
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
1
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
14
                                                 B-24

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B.5.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Climate change is projected to have significant ecological effects in Hawaii, and
considering these effects may increase the effectiveness of actions and strategies outlined in the
Management Plan.  Climate change-related data, criteria, and models could be incorporated into
some of the Strategic Actions outlined in the Management Plan

B.5.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Strategies related to coordination provide an excellent opportunity for information
sharing about changing conditions that could allow species to move between habitats.

B.5.4.2.   Prevention
       Strategy 2B8 calls for identifying "ecologically sensitive" marine and inland waters that
have few or no AIS and determining and implementing precautionary actions. Areas not
previously considered may be vulnerable to AIS due to climate change effects such as warmer
waters, droughts or flooding, or sea level rise. For example, salt water intrusion from sea level
rise may harm freshwater ecosystems close to the coast and could allow salt tolerant AIS to
thrive and out-compete native species. Thus, climate change considerations should be taken into
account when identifying "ecologically sensitive"  areas.

B.5.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategies 3 A and 3B call for continuing current monitoring to improve understanding of
spatial and temporal distributions of existing species and detect new species. Monitoring should
be modified to address how climate change may affect AIS rates of spread in order to more
accurately predict distributions  and prevent their establishment.  Proactive monitoring will
increase the efficacy of early detection and rapid response. Strategy 4C recommends integrating
knowledge on control and management efforts from Hawaii  with national and international
information on specific species to develop long-term plans for containment and eradication.
State staff should consider how climate change effects (e.g., increased runoff, water temperature,
or drought, may impact the success of recommended control and eradication methods.

B.5.4.4.   Research
       Objective 6 recommends research on the economic impacts of AIS. Climate change
should be considered in this research. For example, if coral or fish diseases become more
prevalent due to warmer waters, decreasing coral reef abundance, Hawaii's tourism industry
could suffer.  Coral bleaching due to climate change could further exacerbate this impact.
                                          B-25

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              B.6.    IDAHO ACTION PLAN FOR INVASIVE SPECIES

B.6.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF IDAHO'S PLAN
       As of December 2006, Idaho's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was
under development; however, the state's Action Plan for Invasive Species includes extensive
information on ANS and is summarized here (available at
http://www.agri.state.id.us/Categories/Environment/InvasiveSpeciesCouncil/documents/Idaho%
27s%20Invasive%20Species%20Plan.pdf). The Management Plan, written by the Idaho
Invasive Species Council for Governor Kempthorne in 2005, identifies gaps in current state
management efforts and explains how these gaps may be addressed. The Management Plan
contains 22 actions to address 7 main management approaches, each with a long-term goal: (1)
Early intervention (2) Containment, control, and restoration; (3) Education and training; (4)
Research and technology transfer; (5) Assurance of adequate funding; (6) Creation of an
adequate, effective legal  structure; and (7) Coordination of existing programs. All proposed
actions have associated short-term goals, a measurable objective, and an implementation
timeline.

B.6.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN IDAHO
       Average warming in the Pacific Northwestern region of the United States is projected to
reach 3°F (1.7°C) by the 2020s and 5°F (2.8°C) by the 2050s. Annual precipitation projections
are less certain; projected precipitation levels range from a small decrease (7% or 2 inches) to a
slightly larger increase (13% or 4 inches). Heavier winter rainfall would increase soil saturation,
landslides, and winter flooding. The projected precipitation increases are expected to be
concentrated in winter, with decreases or smaller increases during summer; for this reason, even
the projections that show increases in annual precipitation show decreases in water availability
(Parson, 200Ib).
       As temperatures increase and water supplies decrease, aquatic invasive species (AIS)
such as salt cedar may gain an advantage over native, less tolerant  species. Idaho may
experience an increase in AIS transported by humans as air and water temperatures warm and
water-based recreation increases or is extended for longer periods throughout the year.

B.6.3.   THE IDAHO PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-5 summarizes how the Idaho Action Plan for Invasive Species addresses and
incorporates the predicted effects of climate change.  Idaho's Action Plan for Invasive Species
does not incorporate climate change impacts on its management actions.

                                         B-26

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        Table B-5. Assessment of the Idaho Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
1
B.6.4.    INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Considering the climate change effects predicted for the State of Idaho, it will be
important for the state to incorporate climate change into future revisions of its Invasive Species
Action Plan, as well as into the AIS Management Plan currently under development.  Climate
                                                B-27

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change-related data, criteria, and models could be incorporated into some aspects of the Idaho
Action Plan for Invasive Species.

B.6.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Strategies related to coordination provide an excellent opportunity for information
sharing about changing conditions that could allow species to move between habitats.

B.6.4.2.   Prevention
       Task 1 in the Early Interventions-Prevention, Early Detection and Rapid Response
Section, calls for the creation of lists of high-risk invasive species, or those species that have a
high probability of being introduced. Adding climate change considerations into the preparation
of these lists can help identify high-risk AIS for targeted prevention activities.

B.6.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Task 1 in the Early Interventions-Prevention, Early Detection and Rapid Response
Section also calls for the creation of a "red list" comprising species that pose the highest threat.
Warming waters and/or decreased water levels not only may influence ecosystem vulnerability,
allowing certain species invade and to become established, but also may allow for previously
limited invasive species' ranges to expand.  These possibilities should be considered in
developing a list of high-risk  species.  Additionally, collecting available monitoring data from
neighboring states may allow state staff to track invasive species that are spreading as a result of
climate change. This information will also be useful in developing a statewide system for early
detection and rapid response,  as described in Task 2.  The system will utilize scientific protocols
to determine the risks posed by invasive species.

B.6.4.4.   Research
       Task 1 under the Broadening Knowledge through Research and Technology Transfer
Section, calls for the identification and prioritization of invasive species research. The Plan
highlights species risk assessments to identify habitats susceptible to invasion and to assess
potential damages. Because some ecosystems may be more susceptible to invasions  as a result
of climate change, risk assessments would be more accurate if they consider the projected effects
of climate change.
                                          B-28

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       B.7.    ILLINOIS STATE COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.7.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF ILLINOIS'S PLAN
       Illinois's Management Plan was written by the Illinois Department of Natural Resources
and Illinois-Indiana Sea Grant in 1999 (available at
http://www.anstaskforce.gov/State%20Plans/ilansplan.pdf). The Management Plan has three
primary goals to prevent new aquatic invasive species (AIS) into the Great Lakes and Mississippi
River Basin, to limit the spread of established AIS, and to abate impacts by currently established
AIS. The Plan includes a list of AIS management tasks for state waters. In addition, arguing
that the costs of AIS to industry and resource production far outweigh the cost of conducting AIS
management, the Management Plan calls for the commitment of state staff and resources to
address AIS and implement prescribed management tasks.  However, the Management Plan
leaves specific budgeting for a future work plan.

B.7.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN ILLINOIS
       Temperatures are projected to increase by 5 to!0°F (2.8 to 5.5°C) in the Midwest region
throughout the 21st century.  Precipitation is expected to increase by approximately  10 to 30%
across the region.  Increasing temperatures are expected to increase evaporation, triggering a soil
moisture deficit, reduction in lake and river levels, and more drought-like conditions in much of
the region.  For smaller lakes and rivers, reduced flows are likely to intensify water  quality
issues.  In particular, eutrophication of lakes will likely increase due to increases in  excess
nutrient runoff from heavy precipitation events and warmer lake temperatures that stimulate
algae growth (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
       As water temperatures in lakes increase, significant changes in freshwater ecosystems
will occur.  For example, a  shift from cold-water fish species such as trout, to warmer water
species, like bass and catfish could take place. Warmer waters also may create an environment
that is more susceptible to invasions by non-native species (Easterling and Karl, 2001).

B.7.3.   THE ILLINOIS PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-6 summarizes how the Illinois's Management Plan addresses and incorporates
the projected effects of climate change. Illinois' Management Plan notes that habitat changes are
imminent and related to AIS, but it does not discuss climate change as a possible cause of
changes.  The Plan is designed to be generally adaptable in a changing environment and  allows
for continuous reassessment of strategies and actions.
                                         B-29

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        Table B-6. Assessment of the Illinois Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
1
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
1
1
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
6
B.7.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Illinois could strengthen its AIS strategy by incorporating climate change considerations
into regional planning goals and the development of a statewide database to record information
                                                 B-30

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on habitat.  Climate change-related data, criteria, and models could be incorporated into some
aspects of the Illinois State Comprehensive Management Plan.

B.7.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       The Nonindigenous Aquatic Nuisance Prevention and Control Act of 1990 calls for a
Great Lakes panel to convene and organize on AIS. The coordinated regional effort addresses
regional priorities, recommendations to the federal Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Task Force,
and additional federal communications and recommendations. However, the Illinois
Management Plan does not outline specific responsibilities for the state in this effort. Illinois and
the Great Lakes panel could bolster their efforts by communicating on the anticipated effects of
climate change, vectors and species potentially invasive as a result of changing conditions, as
well as management strategies adapted to account for changing conditions.

B.7.4.2.   Prevention
       The Illinois Management Plan's prevention strategies, outlined in Strategic Action 2-2,
focus on vectors and barriers to physical dispersal. Prevention strategies may need to be adapted
in light of fluctuating lake levels, water temperatures, increased vectors, and other changes
influenced by climate. These considerations will ensure the robustness of AIS prevention
management decisions and efficient use of scarce resources.

B.7.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Illinois has not yet developed an ED/RR protocol but has listed it as a requirement in the
state AIS Plan.  Changing conditions should be considered as the ED/RR system is developed in
order to increase the effectiveness of monitoring strategies for high priority species.
Furthermore, climate change may influence which species  are determined to be of high risk—
thus, climate change information should be considered in developing AIS  priority lists.

B.7.4.4.   Research
       The Illinois Management Plan sets more effective control strategies and better dispersal
barriers as research priorities. This research should include adapting management strategies to
address the anticipated effects of climate change.
                                          B-31

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     B.8.    INDIANA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.8.1.    GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF INDIANA'S PLAN
       The Indiana Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by the
Indiana Department of Natural Resources and posted in 2003 (available at
http://www.in.gov/dnr/invasivespecies/inansmanagementplan.html).  The Management Plan has
three main goals to (1) prevent aquatic invasive species (AIS) introductions, (2) limit the spread
of established AIS, and (3) reduce impacts of established AIS. The Plan also outlines strategies
for state and local government agencies and concerned community and research organizations to
control AIS infestations in a safe and effective manner.  No comprehensive survey of the AIS
populations in Indiana has been conducted to date, and so the Plan emphasizes building a
foundation of information as a priority.  Guiding principles for the Management Plan include
strong leadership, provision of resources and state staff, illustration of economic and
environmental damages due to AIS, and implementation at all levels of government.

B.8.2.    CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN INDIANA
       Temperatures are projected to increase by 5 to!0°F (2.8 to 5.5°C) in the Midwest region
throughout the 21st century. Precipitation is expected to increase by approximately  10 to 30%
across the region.  Increasing temperatures are expected to increase evaporation, triggering a soil
moisture deficit, reduction in lake and river levels, and more drought-like conditions in much of
the region.  For  smaller lakes and rivers, reduced flows are likely to intensify water quality
issues.  In particular, eutrophication of lakes will likely increase  due to increases in  excess
nutrient runoff from heavy precipitation events and warmer lake temperatures that stimulate
algae growth (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
       As water temperatures in lakes increase, significant changes in freshwater ecosystems
will occur.  For  example, a shift from cold-water fish species such as trout, to warmer water
species, like bass and catfish could take place. Warmer waters also may create an environment
that is more susceptible to invasions by non-native species (Easterling and Karl, 2001).

B.8.3.    THE INDIANA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-7  summarizes how the Indiana ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the predicted effects of climate change. The  Indiana Management Plan includes a
broad array of preventative actions, but it does not specifically address how climate change may
affect AIS or associated management strategies.
                                         B-32

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        Table B-7. Assessment of the Indiana Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
3
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
1
12
B.8.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Indiana could increase the effectiveness and robustness of its Plan by considering
anticipated changing conditions that may result from climate change in its AIS management
                                                 B-33

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strategies. Climate change-related data, criteria, and models could be incorporated into some
aspects of the Indiana ANS Management Plan.

B.8.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       The Management Plan calls for the establishment of consistent methods and priority lists
among states that trade regularly or that have overlapping watersheds. Climate change should be
a consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting
management practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.8.4.2.   Prevention
       Objective II. A. of the Plan discusses priority vectors for AIS. Climate change should be
a consideration in determining vectors and risks of AIS invasion.  Not only will species ranges
shift as a result of changing conditions, but vectors also may increase AIS dispersal indirectly.
For example, recreational boating may increase as the climate warms and waterways remain
open for longer periods.  AIS risk assessments should also consider anticipated effects of climate
change on species' life cycles and pathways in order to identify new species threats.  Finally,
Indiana's Management Plan emphasizes the importance of monitoring not only high-priority
species but also geographic areas at risk. Climate change data should be considered in
determining both species and locations at high risk of invasion.

B.8.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Objective III. A. of the Management Plan outlines the use of monitoring programs to
ensure that invasive species are properly detected, verified, and reported.  Because changing
water levels and  temperatures and precipitation patterns affect AIS's habitat ranges, climate
change information should be considered in developing monitoring strategies.

B.8.4.4.   Research
       Objective V.A. of the Management Plan describes the need for research on and
development of control methods for priority species. Control methods, particularly those using
biocontrol, should incorporate climate change information to ensure continued efficacy as
environmental conditions change.
                                          B-34

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B.9.    PLAN FOR THE MANAGEMENT OF AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES IN IOWA

  B.9.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF IOWA'S PLAN
        Iowa's Department of Natural Resources Eurasian Watermilfoil Program and the Iowa
  Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Special Task Force led the development of the Plan for the
  Management of ANS in Iowa (available at http://www.anstaskforce.gov/Iowa-ANS-Mangement-
  Plan.pdf).  The Management Plan was written to guide development of management actions for
  invasive species, as well as funding mechanisms for prevention, control, and abatement activities
  for state  agencies, local governments, and resource users. Iowa's Management Plan outlines
  three goals to (1) minimize aquatic invasive species (AIS) introductions, (2) limit the spread of
  established AIS, and (3) eradicate or control existing AIS to minimize impacts.  The
  Management Plan outlines specific objectives with Strategic Actions to accomplish these goals.
  The Management Plan also focuses on three priority AIS, but notes that, as the state AIS
  program evolves, it will incorporate more species.  The Plan also includes an implementation
  table and a program monitoring and evaluation table.

  B.9.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN IOWA
        Temperatures are projected to increase by 5 to 14°F (3 to 8°C) in the winter and 9 to 22°F
  (5 to 12°C) in the summer. These warmer temperatures will lead to earlier spring snowmelt,
  which, in combination with increased evaporation in the summer months, could lead to a
  decrease in surface and ground water availability. Although winter and spring precipitation is
  expected to increase by 30%, summer precipitation is expected to decrease by 10 to 35%—
  further impacting water supply. Less water could lead to drier soils and droughts in the summer
  months.  Flood control  capacity of wetlands and floodplains may also be degraded, which could
  result in  increased flooding in winter and spring months. Additional flooding in these seasons
  could cause increased sedimentation and pollution into Iowa's waters (Moser et al., 2004).
        As water temperatures warm, species currently limited by Iowa's winter temperatures,
  such as mosquito fish, may begin to invade the state. Other species established further south,
  such as the spotted gar, may begin to move northward in the Mississippi River (Moser et al.,
  2004). Eurasian watermilfoil, already a major problem in Iowa, could worsen under climate
  change conditions as this  species is tolerant of a wide range of conditions (Moser et al., 2004).

  B.9.3.   THE IOWA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
        Table B-8 summarizes how the Plan for the Management of ANS in Iowa addresses and
  incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although the Plan includes no specific

                                           B-35

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climate change considerations, it does include monitoring and prevention strategies, and climate
change considerations could be incorporated into the Strategic Actions outlined in the Plan.
        Table B-8. Assessment of the Iowa Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
                    <_;  <_;    ----  -    --	  -  ^, ______ _.__ 	^, _ _

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
8
                                                 B-36

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B.9.4.    INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Projected effects of climate changes can be incorporated into Iowa's Management Plan's
strategies and actions—monitoring and prevention strategies in particular. Including these
considerations will ensure that the Plan and its associated AIS management actions are effective
and efficient in the long term.

B.9.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Strategic Action 1 A3 calls for developing regional partnerships to evaluate regional AIS
threats and to coordinate management efforts.  Iowa could use this opportunity to work with
other states to determine what AIS are moving north as a result of climate change and what more
southern states are doing to prevent, control, and manage these AIS.  Strategic Action 5A1 also
calls for working with partners to share AIS distribution information based on each state's
monitoring efforts, which could also help to identify new AIS threats due to climate change.

B.9.4.2.   Prevention
       Strategic Action 2A2 calls for risk assessments to identify water bodies at high-risk of
AIS invasion.  An associated task recommends incorporating data on species' life histories and
habitat preferences. Water bodies may become more sensitive to specific AIS as water
temperatures rise or water levels decrease; thus, it will be important for state staff conducting
risk assessments to incorporate these considerations into the analysis. Similarly, Strategic
Action 5 A2 and associated Task 5 A2b call for designing a monitoring program to help limit the
spread of AIS. Understanding invasive threats in the context of climate change will ensure that
monitoring efforts target appropriate AIS and habitats.

B.9.4.3.   Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategic Action 6A3 calls for supporting research that identifies effective management
actions for successful AIS control  and eradication methods in Iowa.  Research must examine
how management actions should be adapted in the context of a changing climate and the
predicted impacts for the state. Task 6 A3 a also recommends identifying important data needed
to control and/or eradicate AIS in Iowa. Climate change data should be integrated as a part of
this research because climate change can impact the success of control and eradication methods.

B.9.4.4.   Research
       See Section 9.4.3.
                                          B-37

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     B.10.   KANSAS AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.10.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF KANSAS'S PLAN
      Kansas's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was developed by the
state's ANS committee with the Kansas Department of Wildlife and Parks taking the lead and
approved in 2005 (available at
http://www.kdwp.state.ks.us/news/fishing/aquatic_nuisance_species/ks_nuisance_species_plan).
The purpose of the Management Plan is to guide state agencies, local governments, public and
private organizations, and aquatic resource user groups in developing management strategies,
designing public awareness and educational materials, and prioritizing aquatic invasive species
(AIS) activities. The goals of the Plan are to prevent new introductions of AIS; to prevent the
dispersal of established AIS; to minimize effects of AIS; to educate aquatic users about AIS
risks; and to support research on AIS and develop systems to disseminate information. The
Management Plan outlines several management objectives to achieve these goals and includes a
discussion of existing problems with AIS; a summary of federal, regional, and state policies on
AIS; a list of non-indigenous species in Kansas; identification of priority AIS; and a discussion
of regional AIS threats.

B.10.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN KANSAS
      Climate models predict that average temperatures in Kansas increase by as much 3°F
(1.5°C) in the summer and 4°F (2°C) in the winter by 2030 (Covich et al., 1997). The increase
in summer temperatures and increased evaporation may lead to lower stream flows and lake
levels. Decreased water levels could affect biodiversity and lower flows and higher temperatures
in the summer could concentrate pollutant levels, further impacting aquatic habitats (Covich et
al., 1997).
      Climate change may negatively impact native species and allow invasive species' ranges
to expand across the Great Plains region (Joyce et al., 2001).  For example, purple loosestrife, a
priority species in Kansas's Management Plan, can withstand shallow flooding, which may
provide a competitive advantage over some native aquatic plants as flooding increases with
climate change (NPWRC, 2006). Zebra mussels, another priority  species, may also benefit from
warmer temperatures. Zebra mussels begin spawning when water temperatures warm to about
54°F (12°C) and continue spawning until water temperature drops  below this threshold (KDHE,
2007). Increasing temperatures may provide a longer spawning season for this species.
                                         B-38

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 B.10.3.  THE KANSAS PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
        Table B-9 summarizes how the Kansas ANS Management Plan addresses and
 incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although Kansas's Management Plan does
 not address climate change, it does stress the importance of researching the relationship between
 changing conditions and AIS invasion, establishment, and impacts.
        Table B-9. Assessment of the Kansas Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
                Aspects of plan that may incorporate climate change
Score
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to chanj
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing
ling conditions
; conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
o
6
o
6
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so	
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
  3
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of required
funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
14
                                              B-39

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B.10.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Given the predicted effects of climate change in the state, staff should consider climate
change in its AIS management strategies.  Climate change-related data,  criteria, and models
could be incorporated into some aspects of the Kansas ANS Management Plan.

B.10.4.1. Leadership and Coordination
       The Management Plan focuses on prevention and on priority species and identifies
collaboration and coordination as Objective 1. Climate change should be a consideration in
communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting management
practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.10.4.2. Prevention
       Strategic Action 2A1 calls for the identification of AIS that have the greatest potential to
establish in Kansas and the identification of existing and potential pathways that facilitate new
AIS introductions.  Including climate change considerations into assessments of invasive
potential could improve predictions of establishment and range expansions.  Strategic
Action 2A2 call for the establishment of approaches to facilitate legislative,  regulatory, and other
actions needed to prevent new AIS introductions and to promote rules that establish the state's
authority to control these introductions. The consideration of climate change effects could
improve these  prevention measures by helping identify species with high invasive potential

B.10.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategic Action 4A1 includes tasks on researching and developing control strategies
using the best available science and coordinating with other entities involved in AIS control.
Climate change data should be integrated as a part of this research because climate change can
impact the success of control and eradication methods, particularly the consideration of
biocontrol organisms.

B.10.4.4. Research
       Strategic Action 6A1 requires Kansas to support research that identifies, predicts, and
prioritizes potential AIS introductions.  Potential introductions are subject to the impacts of
climate change.  As temperatures, precipitation regimes, and nutrient availability change,
previously limited  AIS may be allowed to establish in the state.  Kansas could support research
to understand how changing conditions may influence AIS spread to guide prevention efforts.
                                          B-40

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  B.I 1.    STATE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
                                     LOUISIANA
B.11.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF LOUISIANA'S PLAN
       The State Management Plan for aquatic invasive species (AIS) in Louisiana was
developed by the Louisiana AIS Task Force, which is led by the Louisiana Department of
Wildlife and Fisheries (available at http://is.cbr.tulane.edu/docs IS/Louisiana-AIS-Mgt-
Plan.pdf). The Plan describes the nature and extent of the AIS problem in Louisiana and
proposes actions to minimize the negative impacts of AIS.  The Management Plan's goal is to
prevent and control the introduction of new non-native species into Louisiana, to control the
spread and impact of existing AIS, and to eradicate established AIS wherever possible. The
Management Plan outlines objectives to meet these goals and describes species of concern,
pathways of introduction, and existing authorities related to AIS. The Management Plan outlines
Strategic Actions and a monitoring and evaluation Plan.

B.11.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN LOUISIANA
       Climate model projections for the Southeastern region of the United States project a
5.5°F (3°C) increase in annual summer air temperatures and a 6.5°F (3.5°C) increase in winter
air temperatures. Mississippi River discharge is projected to increase with climate change,
which would most likely increase nutrient loads and water column stratification in the northern
Gulf of Mexico, exacerbating the problems of eutrophication and hypoxia (Mulholland et al.,
1997). Projections of precipitation changes are conflicting, with one major model predicting a
20% decrease in rainfall versus a 20% increase (LaCoast, 2003).  Though sea levels are expected
to rise, the precise rate of increase is uncertain.  Sea level rise could result in significant coastal
wetland loss, increasing open water areas and estuarine depths (Mulholland et al., 1997).
Wetland loss will reduce habitat for migratory birds, crayfish, sport fish, and other species.
       With rising temperatures and a potential decrease in precipitation, evaporation may also
increase, which could result in decreased  stream and lake water levels.  For example, Louisiana's
Management Plan notes that the zebra mussel is not as widespread in the lower Mississippi as it
is elsewhere in the country, in part due to the increased stream velocity in the spring that
prevents many zebra mussel veligers from attaching to hard substrates. Lower stream flows may
allow zebra mussels to become attached in the river and to establish larger communities.
                                         B-41

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B.11.3.  THE LOUISIANA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
          CHANGE
        Table B-10 summarizes how the State Management Plan for AIS in Louisiana addresses
and incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although Louisiana's Plan does not
specifically incorporate climate change, it does recognize that the state's wet, subtropical
climate, and long growing season, make it particularly sensitive to AIS invasion.
        Table B-10. Assessment of the Louisiana Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
3
3
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items	
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
-L iaii cu^uuina ±\ji ^Hanging ^unuiinjna 111 na iimjiiiiainjii manage
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies	|    0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items	
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so	
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
12
                                                B-42

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B.11.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Given the effects of climate change projected for Louisiana, staff should consider climate
change in its AIS management strategies.  Climate change-related data, criteria, and models
could be incorporated into some aspects of the State Management Plan for AIS in Louisiana.

B.ll.4.1. Leadership and Coordination
       State staff could incorporate climate considerations into the Management Plan's first
objective, coordination of AIS management activities or programs and collaboration with other
programs. Coordination with regional, national, and international efforts could involve
monitoring how climate change alters the range and spread of AIS to better guide prevention
efforts and communicating with neighboring regions to identify encroaching species ranges.

B.ll.4.2. Prevention
       Action 11 under Objective 2, which pertains to education on AIS  and pathways, calls for
support for the ongoing development of the Vulnerability Index for Invasive Species in
Southeastern Louisiana, a geographic information system (GlS)-based index and visualization of
vectors.  The Vulnerability Index currently is an educational tool but could help state staff
identify sensitive areas susceptible to invasion.  This Vulnerability Index could incorporate
projected changes affecting habitat, such as temperature and precipitation fluctuations, to
improve predictions.

B.ll.4.3. Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Action 3 under Objective 3, which relates to early detection/rapid response, calls for the
development of a "Big River" monitoring program to detect and assess AIS introductions, their
movement within the state, and potential for establishment.  Assessing species' potential for
establishment should account for projected changes in habitat that may occur as a result of
climate  change.  Action 9 under Objective 3 proposes the development of a GIS database of
invasive species ranges, habitats, and other relevant geographical data. The incorporation of
climate  change data into this database would inform any modeling based on these data.

B.ll.4.4. Research
       Although research is not a  specific objective in the Management Plan, research activities
are incorporated throughout,  particularly in the development of GIS-based tools, monitoring
programs, and modeling of range expansions. Incorporating climate change considerations into
these activities could improve their long-term efficacy and predictions.
                                          B-43

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 B.12.    MAINE ACTION PLAN FOR MANAGING INVASIVE AQUATIC SPECIES

B.12.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MAINE'S PLAN
      Maine's Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan was written by Dominie
Consulting and the technical subcommittee of the Interagency Task Force on Invasive Aquatic
Plans and Nuisance Species and published in October 2002 (available at
http://www.maine.gov/dep/blwq/topic/invasives/invplan02.pdf). The Management Plan
emphasizes prevention, followed by control and mitigation for AIS that cannot be prevented.
The Management Plan also includes education measures to improve AIS prevention and
management, as well as an Advisory List of AIS that identifies pathways and threats. Maine's
Plan places identified AIS in management categories that prioritize actions for species,
including: prevention and eradication, selective control and/or impact management, no action,
and dispute resolution. Specific management tasks and implementation timetables are included
in the Management Plan.

B.12.2.  CLIMATE  CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN MAINE
      Increases in annual air temperatures in the Northeastern region of the United States are
projected to average 9.5°F (5.3°C) by 2070. Nearly all model simulations of future precipitation
show increases in winter precipitation (11 to 14% by 2100) and no change to a decrease in
summer rainfall. Regional sea surface temperatures are anticipated to increase with regional air
temperatures; increasing temperatures have the potential to expand the range of warm water
species northward and permit AIS expansion into previously colder waters (Hayhoe et al., 2007).
      Maine's freshwater systems are relatively remote and currently face less of a threat from
AIS than do its marine ecosystems, which are linked to the Great Lakes via the Saint Lawrence
Seaway  and experience Gulf Stream currents.  As waters warm and ocean currents change with
climate change, Maine's fresh and marine waters could become more vulnerable to AIS. For
example, species that  cannot overwinter may become able to survive with warmer waters.  In
addition, species that previously never entered Maine's waters could now arrive in the state as
conditions change. Recreational boating also may increase with warmer temperatures thereby
introducing additional species not found in the state at this time, such as the water chestnut.

B.12.3.  THE MAINE PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
      Table B-l 1 summarizes how the Maine Action Plan for Managing Invasive Aquatic
Species incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  Maine's Plan acknowledges that
the spread of AIS can be accelerated by climate change; however, the Plan's prevention, control,
and monitoring strategies do not reflect this consideration.
                                         B-44

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        Table B-ll. Assessment of the Maine Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
1
2
2
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
1
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
9
B.12.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given the projected effects of climate change, especially warmer waters and sea level
rise, the Management Plan should include these effects in its strategies and tasks.  Climate
                                                 B-45

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change-related data, criteria, and models could be incorporated into some aspects of the Action
Plan for Managing Invasive Aquatic Species in Maine.

B.12.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       The Management Plan emphasizes prevention and priority species and identifies
leadership, coordination, and program monitoring as Objective 1. Climate change should be a
consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting
management practices to accommodate changing conditions. Strategy 2C recommends
informing key groups on how to prevent AIS introductions and spread.  The Management Plan
specifically notes that people associated with water craft transport or releasing species should be
targeted. Species transported by recreational or commercial boats or released through other
vectors may become increasingly able to survive in Maine as conditions change. Thus, it is
important to include this information in education and outreach materials and coordinate with
these groups.

B. 12.4.2.  Prevention
       The foundation of the Management Plan's AIS prevention strategy  is to determine which
species and pathways present the largest threat to Maine's aquatic resources. Although the
Management Plan recognized that climate change may impact pathways, the Plan does not
incorporate specific climate change considerations into its monitoring and prevention strategies.
Incorporating these considerations into AIS and pathway assessments may improve efficacy.

B. 12.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategy 4B1 calls for a more comprehensive and detailed approach to rapid response.
Considering how climate change may influence early detection and rapid response efforts could
influence the development of this approach. For example, a lake in Maine's northern forests that
was previously too cold for water chestnut to overwinter may warm enough to allow this AIS to
establish.  Considering climate change effects could improve survey methods for early detection.

B.12.4.4.  Research
       Strategy 5B1 calls for anticipating AIS impacts and researching and developing tools to
address them. Research on how climate change will affect established and potential AIS is
critical to successful prevention, control, and eradication efforts.
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B.13.   MASSACHUSETTS AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.13.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MASSACHUSETTS'S PLAN
       The Massachusetts Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan was created by the
Massachusetts AIS Working Group and released in 2002 (available at
http://www.mass.gov/czm/invasives/docs/invasive_species_plan.pdf).  The overarching goal is to
minimize impacts of AIS in both marine and freshwater environments.  The Plan relies on eight
objectives to accomplish these goals, including coordination, prevention of new introductions,
monitoring  new AIS and spread of established AIS, detection and eradication, control,
educations,  research, and identification of legislative needs. Massachusetts's Management Plan
outlines ninety-nine specific tasks and includes a budget to ensure these tasks are implemented.

B.13.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
        MASSACHUSETTS
       Increases in annual air temperatures in the Northeastern region of the United States are
projected to average  9.5°F (5.3°C) by 2070. Nearly all model simulations of future precipitation
show increases in winter precipitation (11 to 14% by 2100) and no change to a decrease in
summer rainfall. Regional sea surface temperatures are anticipated to increase with regional air
temperatures; increasing temperatures have the potential to expand the range of warm water
species northward and permit AIS expansion into previously colder waters (Hayhoe et al., 2007).
       State staff are concerned about the potential establishment of various aquatic plants,
including parrot feather, European frog-bit, and giant salvinia. These and other AIS  are moving
up the East  Coast;  however, they cannot currently survive Massachusetts's winter temperatures.
As waters warm, these species may be able to overwinter and establish in the state.

B.13.3.  THE MASSACHUSETTS PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
       Table B-12 summarizes how the Massachusetts AIS Management Plan addresses  and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although the Massachusetts Management
Plan does not explicitly mention climate change, it does address the importance of monitoring
for changing conditions.

B.13.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Massachusetts will experience various impacts from climate change and should
incorporate climate change concerns into its strategies and actions.  Climate change-related data,
criteria, and models could be incorporated into some aspects of the Massachusetts AIS
Management Plan.
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        Table B-12.  Assessment of the Massachusetts Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
1
3
1
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals anld strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but
does not specify changing conditions as part of their plurpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly,
and specifies associated goals and/or action itemsO
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = y
associated goals and/or action items
                                                                            yes, and specifies
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
                                                                                                0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding
source for implementation

Total score:
2
10
B.13.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
        The Management Plan identifies coordination as Objective 1.  Climate change should be
a consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting
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management practices to accommodate changing conditions.  Task 6C calls for developing
outreach materials with information on transport vectors. Information about how climate change
will affect these vectors  and specific AIS should be included so that people associated with these
vectors better understand the scope of the problem.

B. 13.4.2.  Prevention
       Objective 2 identifies prevention tasks associated with specific vectors. Information on
how climate change may affect these vectors could improve the efficacy of prevention programs.

B. 13.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Task 5B1 calls for an increase in research on effective biocontrol methods for AIS in
Massachusetts's waters.  Consideration of projected climate change impacts is necessary to
ensure these controls will remain effective. In addition, when developing a management
priorities list (Task 5C),  state staff should consider how climate change may affect the spread
and establishment of AIS to best target these management efforts. Task 5D4 calls for
reintroducing native species as part of a restoration program for lakes and ponds.  Given that
climate change can alter habitats, it will be important to consider how these effects will influence
native species and habitats and AIS. A restoration plan should focus on native species that can
thrive under or withstand climate change. These considerations may make habitats more robust
and less vulnerable to potential invasions as conditions change. Integrating this information into
a restoration plan/program also will make restoration activities more successful.

B.13.4.4.  Research
       Task 7A1 recommends that the Massachusetts's leading scientists and state staff
determine the state's research priorities.  This task provides an opportunity for these scientists
and state staff to include research on climate  change effects on AIS as  a part of the agenda.
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B.14.   MICHIGAN AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES STATE MANAGEMENT PLAN:
                                       UPDATE
 B.14.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MICHIGAN'S PLAN
       The Michigan Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was prepared by the
 Michigan Office of Great Lakes and the Department of Environmental Quality and was
 published in 2002 (available at http://www.deq.state.mi.us/documents/deq-ogl-
 ANSPlan2002.pdf). The Management Plan updates the state's 1996 Non-indigenous ANS State
 Management Plan. The Plan recommends three implementation actions to (1) coordinate
 policies and legislation to reduce ANS impacts, (2) develop materials and activities addressing
 prevention, control, monitoring, research and policy making, and (3) establish a collaborative
 network for ANS research and monitoring.  The Management Plan states that more work is
 needed to prevent and control ANS, but notes the progress made since the 1996 Plan. Many
 vectors could bring ANS into Michigan, and the Management Plan includes specific strategies to
 better address this issue.

 B.14.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN MICHIGAN
       Climate change models project that temperature increases over the next century could
 result in an earlier peak snow melt in the spring and higher evaporation rates in the summer
 months.  These factors  could lead to lower inland stream flow levels in the summer and reduced
 water flow into the upper Great Lakes. Lower water levels may impede shipping traffic and
 prevent more introductions through ballast water releases; however, changes in water flows also
 could alter native habitats making them more vulnerable to ANS (Magnuson et al., 1997).
       Certain ANS may shift their ranges in response to climate change. State staff are
 concerned about species such as the Asian carp finding their way into state waters. An electrical
 barrier in the canal separating the Mississippi River from Lake Michigan currently prevents the
 Asian carp from entering Michigan waters.  If water levels are altered by climate change, the
 efficacy of the barrier could be reduced, allowing the Asian carp to pass into state waters.

 B.14.3.  THE MICHIGAN PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
         CHANGE
       Table B-13 summarizes how the Michigan Plan addresses and incorporates the projected
 effects of climate change. The Michigan Management Plan recognizes the need to closely
 monitor state waters and carefully coordinate control activities and information sharing.  The
 Plan update also refers  to focusing prevention and management strategies on the most likely
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invaders.  Although the Management Plan does not include climate change considerations in its
strategies, its framework would allow for incorporation of this information.
        Table B-13. Assessment of the Michigan Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but
does not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specif:
associated goals and/or action items
les
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
       0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding
source for implementation

Total score:
0
4
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B.14.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Climate change will affect aquatic ecosystems in Michigan and any ANS Plans should
incorporate climate change into strategies and actions.  Climate change-related data, criteria, and
models could be incorporated into some aspects of the Michigan ANS Management Plan.

B.14.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Three of Michigan's borders are on the upper Great Lakes, and the state historically has
taken the lead on invasive species issues such as ballast water regulation.  Coordination with
other states in the region is a cornerstone of the Management Plan. Goal III on information and
education calls on Great Lakes regional policymakers and user groups to promote ANS
prevention and control programs. Associated Activity B calls for improving regional
coordination efforts. Michigan could support information sharing among states, especially on
observed effects of climate change on ANS to improve prevention and management efforts.

B.14.4.2.  Prevention
       Objective 3 under the Legislative and Policy Goal calls for the development of a risk
assessment process for potential and existing ANS. Activity C under this objective recommends
developing a list of waters where additional assistance and/or effort could help reduce the spread
of ANS. Because climate change will affect flows, water levels, dissolved oxygen content, and
nutrient cycling, it will be important to consider how these changes may impact the susceptibility
of high risk waters to ANS. Taking this information into consideration will  help state staff more
effectively target prevention activities.

B.14.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Objective 4 under the Legislative and Policy Goal recommends the development of a
regional ANS Rapid Response Team for areas with newly established ANS or areas threatened
by potential introductions.  Climate change may affect the ability of certain ANS to spread or
become established; thus, it will be important to consider these effects when designing a rapid
response plan.

B.14.4.4.  Research
       Activity F under Research and Monitoring Goal I calls for the development of a hot list
of potential ANS that includes their locations, characteristics, and invasion probability. Any list
of potential ANS should include climate change effects on the invasion pathway.
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    B.15.    MISSOURI AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.15.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MISSOURI'S PLAN
      Missouri's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was created by the
Missouri Department of Conservation in 2005 (available at
http://mdc.mo.gov/documents/nathis/exotic/ANSplan05.pdf). The Management Plan addresses
three phases of invasion: introduction, spread, and abatement of impacts.  The Plan outlines five
goals with associated objectives and tasks to (1) inform the community about ANS and enlist
their participation in halting introductions and spread; (2) collaborate on legislation development
to prevent ANS; (3) monitor ANS distributions and conduct research to restrict spread; (4)
develop and implement management to abate ANS impacts; and (5) abate ANS impacts.  The
Management Plan also includes an implementation table that identifies responsible agencies for
each task and funding needs.

B.15.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN MISSOURI
      Temperatures in the Great Plains region are projected to rise as much as 3°F (1.5°C) in
the summer and 4°F  (2°C) in the winter by 2030. However, even these relatively small changes
in temperature or precipitation (5 to 10% decline) could have significant effects on water quality,
particularly salinity,  and the availability of groundwater resources in the region (Covich et al.,
1997). With higher temperatures and evaporation  rates, stream and lake water levels may be
lower in the summer. A large decrease in water levels could lead to shift in salinity and
productivity in prairie pothole lakes and wetlands.  In streams any increases in water
temperatures, lowering of water levels, or increases in salinity will impact native fish species,
such as the Plains killifish (Fundulus zebrinus) (Covich et al., 1997).
      Warming  water temperatures not only impact native fish, but also may enable certain
ANS to survive and spread into areas where they currently cannot overwinter. For example, the
Management Plan notes that water hyacinth cannot withstand the cold winters of Missouri.
However, with warmer temperatures and  the species'  relatively wide temperature tolerance,
water hyacinth could become a problem in Missouri.  Dotted duckweed is already found in some
parts of Missouri, but it could also expand its range if temperatures warm throughout the state.

B.15.3.  THE MISSOURI PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
      Table B-14 summarizes how the Missouri ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the predicted effects of climate change. Although Missouri's Plan does not
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explicitly account for climate change or changing conditions, it does recognize that species are
influenced by climatic boundaries.
        Table B-14.  Assessment of the Missouri Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
3
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
                    <_;  <_;    ----  -    --	 -  ^, ______  _.__ 	^, _ _

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
3
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
3
12
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B.15.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Given the potential effects of climate change in Missouri, various goals and objectives,
and associated actions, may be less successful if climate change is not considered.  Specifically,
prevention and control efforts should consider climate change effects in order to better determine
ANS threats and appropriate control methods.

B.15.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Goals I and II address leadership, coordination, and communication about ANS issues.
Climate change should be a consideration in communication on encroaching species and
potential vectors and on adapting management practices to accommodate changing conditions.
Objective  IB calls for targeting education efforts at specific stakeholders and providing
information  on how ANS could harm resource of interest. Incorporating information on how
ANS and climate change may interact and affect resources of interest, such as fisheries, could
lead to a stronger response on the part of the public in regards to prevention efforts.

B.15.4.2.  Prevention
       Task IIA1  recommends continual review and revision of the state's Approved Aquatic
Species List to have a baseline for evaluating which species can be safely brought into the state.
The review should include an  evaluation of how climate change affects approved and proposed
species. Including this step may enable Missouri to maintain an effective prevention program.

B.15.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Careful consideration should be given to how changing conditions could affect control
methods when developing and implementing these strategies (Objective VB). Biocontrol
methods could become less effective under warmer temperatures or biocontrol agents could
become invasive as conditions change. Climate change may also affect ANS pathways. Warmer
temperatures may increase recreational use of waterways. This could increase the  possibility that
species such as hydrilla and the New Zealand mud snail would be transported into  or within the
state by boats, or that the rusty crayfish would be introduced through bait releases.

B.15.4.4.  Research
       Objective IIIB calls for conducting and supporting research on ANS life histories, habitat
use, potential effects on native species, and how they are transported and introduced into new
areas. This research should also include an  analysis of how climate change may affect each of
these factors. For example, ANS effects on native species could be exacerbated by warmer
waters that also damage a native species' habitat.
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    B.16.    MONTANA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.16.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF MONTANA'S PLAN
      Montana's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by the ANS
Technical Committee (available at http ://www. anstaskforce. gov/Montana-FINAL PL AN. pdf).
The goal of the Management Plan is to minimize ANS impacts through prevention and
management of introduction, population growth, and dispersal. The goal is supported by six
objectives to (1) coordinate and implement the Management Plan; (2) prevent ANS
introductions; (3) detect, monitor, and eradicate new ANS; (4) control and eradicate established
ANS; (5) communicate about ANS risks and impacts; and (6) increase and disseminate
knowledge of ANS.  The Management Plan includes implementation tables, expected funding,
and monitoring and evaluation  of the Plan's implementation.

B.16.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN MONTANA
      Temperatures in the Great Plains region are projected to rise as much as 3°F  (1.5°C) in
the summer and 4°F (2°C) in the winter by 2030.  However, even these relatively small changes
in temperature or precipitation  (5 to 10% decline) could have significant effects on water quality,
particularly salinity, and the availability of groundwater resources in the region (Covich et al.,
1997). With higher temperatures and evaporation rates, stream and lake water levels may be
lower in the summer. The warmer climate also could cause earlier snowmelt in the spring,
resulting in higher stream flows in the winter and spring and lower ones in the summer and fall.
A large decrease in water levels could lead to shift in salinity and productivity in prairie pothole
lakes and wetlands.
      Increased water temperatures can be an added stressor for fish, potentially resulting in
increased fish mortality from non-native bacterial fish pathogens, such asAeromonas
salmonicida, which already are present in some Montana watersheds.  The decline of native
salmonids may facilitate the spread of non-native fish such as bass and walleye (already present
in the state and used for sport fishing, but still under careful management to prevent spread).

B.16.3.  THE MONTANA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
      Table B-15 summarizes how the Montana ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates  the projected effects of climate change. The Management Plan does not specifically
address the effects of climate change on its management objectives, but some elements in the
Plan allow for changing conditions to be considered in implementation of the Plan.
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        Table B-15. Assessment of the Montana Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
1
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
9
B.16.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given the effects due to climate change projected for Montana, state staff might consider
incorporating information on these impacts into both implementation of the current Management
Plan and subsequent revisions to the Plan.
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B.16.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Strategy IB calls for participation in and support of regional, federal, and international
efforts to control ANS. In order to better anticipate and manage the expanding ranges of ANS,
regional efforts should be cognizant of and in communication about species' expanding ranges.

B.16.4.2.  Prevention
       Strategy 2A establishes the task of describing invasion pathways and identifying high-
risk water bodies. Analysis of invasion pathways should account for climate-sensitive vectors,
such as increased recreational boating and the impact of increased water temperature on the
health of native fish and the ability of non-native fish to establish new populations.

B.16.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control,  and Management
       Identification of high-risk water bodies might reflect the impacts on native and invasive
species of changes such as reduced lake water levels and decreased stream flows caused by
increased evaporation.  Strategy 2C, designed to prohibit, control, or permit the importation of
non-indigenous aquatic species based upon their invasive potential, requires research on the
invasive potential of aquatic plant species currently imported. This research should examine
currently permissible species' ability to persist in the expected conditions resulting from climate
change in order to obtain a complete assessment of invasive potential.

B.16.4.4.  Research
       Strategy 6B, which relates to research on management alternatives and their effects on
ANS and native species, calls for the investigation of the relationship between human-induced
disturbance of aquatic and riparian systems and ANS invasion, establishment, and impacts.  This
is an ideal opportunity for state staff to research the effects of climate change on the state's water
bodies and waterways and the influence of these changes on ANS invasions.
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 B.17.   NEW YORK NONINDIGENOUS AQUATIC SPECIES COMPREHENSIVE
                               MANAGEMENT PLAN
B.17.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF NEW YORK'S PLAN
      New York's Nonindigenous Aquatic Species (NAS) Comprehensive Management Plan
was written by the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation in 1993
(available at http://www.anstaskforce.gov/State%20Plans/NY%20Mgt%20Plan%201993.pdf).
The goals of the Management Plan are to prevent NAS from being introduced, to limit the spread
and impacts of NAS already present, and to educate the public on preventing introductions and
reducing impacts.  New York's Management Plan outlines the problems related to accomplishing
the goals and related actions to overcome these problems.  The Plan also includes
recommendations for implementation and an implementation schedule.

B.17.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN NEW YORK
      Projected increases in annual surface temperatures in the Northeastern region of the
United States are projected to average 10°F (5.3°C) by 2070. Nearly all model simulations of
future precipitation show consistent increases in winter precipitation and no change to a decrease
in summer rainfall. By 2100, precipitation is projected to increase an average of 11 to 14% in
the winter.  Regional sea surface temperatures are projected to increase in accordance with
regional air temperatures; these increasing temperatures have the potential to expand the range of
warm-water species northward and permit invasive species to spread into these waters, which
had previously been previously too cold to allow for invasive species' survival (Hayhoe et al.,
2007).
      Evaporation is likely to increase with warmer temperatures, resulting in lower river flow
and lower lake water levels in the summer and fall.  In general, New York is expected to
experience higher stream flow in the winter and spring and lower stream flow in the summer and
fall (Hayhoe et al., 2007). This may give a competitive advantage to the round goby, a
problematic aquatic invasive species in New York that can survive in degraded water conditions
(USACE, 2007).

B.17.3.  THE NEW YORK PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
      Table B-16 summarizes how the NAS Comprehensive Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  Although the Management Plan does not
incorporate climate change, it has strong provisions  for monitoring new introductions of NAS.
                                        B-59

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        Table B-16.  Assessment of the New York Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
 Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
 0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
 Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
 0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
 not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
 specifies associated goals and/or action items
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
 Monitoring strategies
 0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
 goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
0
 Revision
 0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
 benchmarks for doing so
 Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
 Funding
 0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
 required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
 required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
1
4
B.17.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given the projected effects of climate change for New York, consideration of these
effects in the Management Plan could increase the efficacy of NAS prevention and control.
Several goals and strategies outlined in the Plan could incorporate climate change considerations.
                                                B-60

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B.17.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Goal 4 addresses communication with the public and coordinating with relevant groups.
Climate change should be a consideration in communication on encroaching species and
potential vectors and on adapting management practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.17.4.2.  Prevention
       Goal 1 calls for the identification of aquatic organisms that could potentially have
adverse impacts in state waters, as well as the characteristics, habitat requirements, and potential
adverse impacts of these organisms. Assessment of adverse impacts should take into account the
changing conditions projected by climate change models, which may make systems more
vulnerable and/or exacerbate the effects of NAS. For example,  warmer water temperatures could
negatively impact native trout fisheries, allowing both NAS to become more easily established
and greater impacts on the ecosystem.

B.17.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Climate change considerations could also be incorporated into the Plan to strengthen
progress toward Goal 2, reducing the potential for NAS that have been introduced into state
waters to spread to uncolonized waters. This goal calls for monitoring colonized waters and
collecting data on NAS such as rate of growth, distribution, and impacts on native species.
These data are to be correlated with habitat data to develop predictive models of where and how
NAS introductions might occur and to develop strategies for preventing and controlling them.
These models could incorporate predicted habitat changes that may result from climate change to
better predict NAS introductions.

B.17.4.4.  Research
       The aim of Goal 3 is to provide information and management strategies related to
minimizing impacts from NAS. Development of alternative management strategies and risk
assessments of proposed introductions should consider climate change effects to ensure long-
term efficacy.
                                         B-61

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B.18.   NORTH DAKOTA AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.18.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF NORTH DAKOTA'S PLAN
      North Dakota's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by the
North Dakota Game and Fish Department (available at http://gf.nd.gov/fishing/docs/nd-ans-plan-
fnl-drft.pdf). The goal of the Management Plan is to prevent ANS impacts through seven
supporting objectives.  The objectives are to (1) coordinate ANS activities, (2) prevent
introductions, (3) detect new ANS and monitor existing populations, (4) educate the public to
prevent ANS spread, (5) control and eradicate established ANS, (6) inform policy makers about
ANS risks and impacts, and (7) increase ANS knowledge base.  North Dakota's Management
Plan includes a budget and time frame, regulatory needs, and prioritized Strategic Actions.

B.18.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN NORTH
        DAKOTA
      Temperatures in the Great Plains region are projected to rise as much as 3°F (1.5°C) in
the summer and 4°F (2°C) in the winter by 2030. However, even these relatively small changes
in temperature or precipitation (5 to 10% decline) could have significant effects on water quality,
particularly salinity, and groundwater availability (Covich et al., 1997). With higher
temperatures and evaporation rates, water levels may be lower in the summer, particularly in
prairie pothole lakes and wetlands.  The warmer climate also could cause earlier snowmelt,
resulting in higher stream flows in the winter and spring and lower ones in the summer and fall.
Increases in water temperatures, lower water levels, or increases in salinity may impact native
fish (Covich et al., 1997).
      The potentially significant changes in hydrology associated with rising temperatures
could make North Dakota's native species and habitats more vulnerable to invasive species.  For
example, salt cedar, an aquatic invasive species of concern already established in North Dakota,
is tolerant of dry conditions and could become a larger problem under climate change conditions
as it out-competes native plants for water.  Additionally, North Dakota's Management Plan
includes Whirling disease (Myxobolus cerebralis) as a significant invasive threat, which may
become more prevalent as a result of climate change, impacting salmon populations.

B.18.3.  THE NORTH DAKOTA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
      Table B-17 summarizes how the North Dakota ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected  effects of climate change. The Management Plan does not  specifically
address climate change in its objectives, but does describe management actions that are intended
                                         B-62

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to be adaptable to changing circumstances.  The Plan also recognizes that certain ANS currently
cannot survive in North Dakota due to cold temperatures.
        Table B-17.  Assessment of the North Dakota Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
2
1
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
 	^	^	J.		^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
1
1
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
1
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
9
                                                 B-63

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B.18.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Given the expected impacts of climate change in North Dakota, state staff should
consider climate change predictions in its Plan objectives, actions, and strategies to increase the
effectiveness of prevention and management efforts. For example, state staff could specifically
include predicted conditions resulting from climate change when determining ANS invasive
potential.

B.18.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Objective 1 addresses coordination about ANS issues. Climate change should be a
consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting
management practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.18.4.2.  Prevention
      A primary objective of the Management Plan is to prevent ANS. Associated actions call
for creating a list of potential problem ANS.  Additionally, Strategy 2A2 calls for conducting
risk analyses for each potential  ANS introduction pathway.  In determining potential ANS,
research should include species' ability to survive in the expected conditions resulting from
climate change in order to obtain a more complete assessment of invasive  potential.
Assessments should include responses to projected effects such as increased flooding, decreased
stream flows, and increased water temperatures. For example, ANS introductions from the
aquarium trade are a potential problem North Dakota; thus,  assessments could address the
aquarium fish species that are expected to thrive under the predicted temperature increases for
North Dakota's waters.

B.18.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategy 3A2 recommends conducting annual monitoring of high risk waters as a part of
implementing a monitoring and early detection program. Considering climate change in these
assessments may help  state staff determine which waters are most vulnerable to species
invasions.

B.18.4.4.  Research
       Objective 5 calls for controlling and eradicating pioneering and established ANS.  State
staff should conduct research to determine how different management strategies could be
impacted by temperature, precipitation, and water level changes,  and state staff should consider
climate change impacts on control and management methods in developing management plans.
                                         B-64

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B.19.   OHIO COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR AQUATIC NUISANCE
                                        SPECIES
 B.19.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF OHIO'S PLAN
        Ohio's Department of Natural Resources led the writing team that developed the
 Comprehensive Management Plan for Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) (available at
 http://www.anstaskforce.gov/State%20Plans/Ohio%20Comprehensive%20Management%20Plan
 .pdf). The Management Plan provides a framework for the state's future approach to ANS
 management and builds support for work plans in development and funding requests. The goal
 of the Management Plan is to decrease the rate of introductions that have increased since the St.
 Lawrence Seaway was established in 1960  and transportation levels in the Great Lakes sky-
 rocketed.  The Management Plan provides guidance on developing management actions to
 prevent, control, and limit the impacts of established and potential ANS in Ohio's inland waters.

 B.19.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN OHIO
        Temperatures are projected to increase by 5 to!0°F (2.8 to 5.5°C) in the northern portion
 of Midwest region throughout the 21st century. Precipitation is expected to increase by 10 to
 30% across the region.  Increasing temperatures can increase evaporation, causing soil moisture
 deficits, reduction in lake and river water levels, and more drought-like conditions. For smaller
 lakes and rivers, reduced flows are likely to intensify water quality issues. Eutrophication of
 lakes may increase due to increases in excess nutrient runoff from heavy precipitation events and
 warmer lake temperatures that stimulate algae growth (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
        As water temperatures in lakes increase, significant changes in freshwater ecosystems
 will occur, such as a shift from cold water fish species, such as trout, to warmer water species,
 like bass and catfish.  Warmer water temperatures would create an environment that is more
 susceptible to invasions by non-native species (Easterling and Karl, 2001).  If lake water levels
 decrease, more shoreline could become exposed, making this area vulnerable to purple
 loosestrife infestation, which destroys native habitats and can impact bird species.

 B.19.3.  THE OHIO PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
        Table B-18 summarizes how the Ohio Comprehensive Management Plan addresses and
 incorporates the projected effects of climate change. The Management Plan details Lake Erie's
 vulnerability to both habitat and trophic changes, as well as how this can lead to more invasive
 species. Although the Management Plan does not contain an implementation plan, it does have a
 framework that could be used to manage waters under a changing climate.
                                          B-65

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        Table B-18. Assessment of the Ohio Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J  	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
1
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
1
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
5
B.19.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Ohio is vulnerable to ANS, as well as to the effects of climate change.  Prevention and
monitoring efforts should consider climate change effects in order to better determine ANS
threats and ecosystem vulnerabilities.
                                                 B-66

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B.19.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Ohio has established a framework for successful ANS management that considers many
of the necessary contributing factors to ANS spread. It also calls for coordinating prevention and
control strategies. However, the data needed to help guide management actions within the
context of climate change are lacking.  A monitoring program that incorporates climate change
considerations and uses this information to help identify areas of Lake Erie and inland lakes that
are especially vulnerable to climate change will help the state properly allocate resources and
implement management strategies effectively.

B.19.4.2.  Prevention
       State staff is aware of Ohio's sensitive position within the Great Lakes region, and the
state is proactive in listing transport mechanisms that require regional attention in the Plan's
management actions section. For example, Ohio highlights transport mechanisms such as the
flushing of natural gas pipelines from northerly regions with water as a potential ANS pathway
that has not been fully documented. As climate change alters nutrient cycles and ecosystems,
aquatic habitats may become more vulnerable to ANS arriving through these pathways.

B.19.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       As the Management Plan notes, Lake Erie is the most vulnerable water body to ANS and
a potential vector for ANS.  Any established species in this area must be kept from spreading to
the rest of the state and to the Ohio River to control its widespread dispersal.  Monitoring how
habitats are affected by climate change can help target control strategies and ensure they are
successful.

B.19.4.4.  Research
       Strategic Action IA calls for researching the movement and transport of ANS on a global
scale. Incorporating climate change considerations into these analyses can help state staff better
predict potential introductions and effectively target prevention strategies.
                                          B-67

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     B.20.    OREGON AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.20.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF OREGON'S PLAN
       Oregon's Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was prepared in 2001 by
the Center for Lakes and Reservoirs at Portland State University with direction and participation
from state staff (available at http://www.clr.pdx.edu/publications/files/OR_ANS_Plan.pdf). The
goals of the Management Plan are to prevent and manage ANS introductions, population growth,
and spread to reduce impacts throughout the state. In support of these goals the Management
Plan outlines six objectives to (1) coordinate and implement the Plan; (2) prevent introductions;
(3) detect, monitor, and eradicate new ANS; (4) control established ANS; (5) inform about ANS
risks and impacts; and (6) increase and disseminate knowledge about ANS.  The Management
Plan includes an implementation table with a corresponding budget.

B.20.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN OREGON
       Average warming in the Pacific Northwest is projected to increase by 3°F (1.7°C) by the
2020s and 5°F (2.8°C) by the 2050s. Annual precipitation projections are less certain, ranging
from 7% or 2 inches (5cm) to a  13% or 4 inches (10cm). Heavier winter rainfall could increase
soil saturation, landslides, and winter flooding.  In addition, projected increases in mean sea level
may increase sediment erosion and redistribution on the open coast (Parson, 200Ib). Projected
precipitation increases will  be concentrated in winter, with decreases (or smaller increases) in
summer; for this reason, even the projections that show increases in annual precipitation show
decreases in water availability (Parson, 200Ib).
       Various invasive aquatic plants identified in the Plan, such as giant salvinia and  hydrilla,
destroy native fish habitat and alter water chemistry. These impacts will interact with warmer
water temperatures that also damage and reduce fish habitat. Additionally, as water levels
decrease in the summer, less water is available for domestic and agricultural purposes, as well as
for hydropower. Species such as zebra mussels may this problem by blocking intake pipes.

B.20.3.  THE OREGON PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-19 summarizes  how the Oregon ANS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. The ANS Management Plan does not
explicitly mention climate change; however, the Plan does convey that some ANS of concern
may not currently be a major threat to Oregon because of their climate tolerance. Additionally,
updates and revisions to the Plan should incorporate changing circumstances.
                                         B-68

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        Table B-19.  Assessment of the Oregon Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
3
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
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Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of required
funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
3
9
 B.20.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given the projected effects of climate change for Oregon, consideration of these effects
 in the Management Plan could increase the efficacy of ANS prevention and control.  Several
 goals and strategies outlined in the Plan could incorporate climate change considerations.
                                                 B-69

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B.20.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Strategy 1A calls for coordination between all ANS management programs and activities
within Oregon, which could incorporate climate change considerations. For example, the annual
symposium should discuss how management alternatives could incorporate climate change
effects.  Climate change information may also be incorporated into ANS assessment guidelines
and a prioritization scheme. For example, a species' ability to become established or spread
throughout the state may be affected by water temperatures, water chemistry, and water levels;
thus, how climate change will affect these factors should be considered in these processes.

B.20.4.2.  Prevention
       Strategic Action 2A2 recommends describing introduction pathways and identifying
high-risk water bodies.  In evaluating high-risk water bodies, climate change considerations
should be incorporated into the analysis. Water bodies that are currently unaffected by ANS due
to cooler temperatures may become vulnerable in the future as water temperature increases.
Integrating these considerations into the identification process may improve prevention efforts.

B.20.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategy 3 A calls for the implementation of a surveillance and early detection program.
Monitoring programs should incorporate climate change considerations in order to target areas
and water bodies that may become vulnerable to invasion. For example, the Plan identifies giant
salvinia as a potential threat to Oregon's waters. This plant is primarily transported by humans,
especially recreational boat users.  Based on the plant's biology, it should be able to survive
climatic conditions in western Oregon. However, in the face of climate change, this species
could perhaps become invasive in other regions as well. A monitoring program designed to
detect changes in ecosystem vulnerabilities will remain more effective at detecting new ANS.

B.20.4.4.  Research
       Strategy 6A calls for research in ANS impacts on native species.  Incorporating climate
change considerations into research will improve impact assessments and the development of
management strategies that remain effective under changing conditions.
                                         B-70

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 B.21.   PENNSYLVANIA AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.21.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF PENNSYLVANIA'S PLAN
       The Pennsylvania Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) Management Plan was written by the
AIS Management Plan Committee (AISMPC) for the Pennsylvania Invasive Species Council
(available at http://www.holstoncrisci.eom/Newsletter/docs/3/PAAISMP.pdf).  The goals of the
Management Plan are to prevent and manage the introduction and spread of AIS to minimize
negative impacts.  Eight objectives to meet these goals include (1) providing leadership and
coordination; (2) identifying and minimizing vectors of introductions; (3) detecting
introductions; (4) developing early detection/rapid response; (5) monitoring existing AIS; (6)
controlling and eradicating established AIS; (7) increasing AIS research; and (8) educating
people about AIS issues. Objectives have related strategies and actions, which are prioritized.
The Plan also includes evaluation  and revision strategies and an implementation table.

B.21.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN
        PENNSYLVANIA
       Projected increases in annual surface temperatures in the Northeastern region of the
United States are projected to average 10°F (5.3°C) by 2070. Nearly all model simulations of
future precipitation show consistent  increases in winter precipitation and no change to a decrease
in summer rainfall. By 2100, precipitation is projected to increase an average of 11 to 14% in
the winter (Hayhoe et al., 2007).
       Warming air and water temperatures, water level fluctuations, and water chemistry
changes could affect AIS establishment and spread.  According to the Plan, hydrilla currently is
found in three water bodies in Pennsylvania. As temperatures rise, recreation activities may
become more widespread and prolonged, which may result in more introductions of hydrilla into
other parts of the state.  Hydrilla forms thick mats that can block intake pipes, which could
hinder the provision of water. If climate change results in larger stream flows and altered water
chemistry, the European rudd fish may out-compete native species as it is a hardy species that
can survive in polluted waters.

B.21.3.  THE PENNSYLVANIA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
       Table B-20 summarizes  how the Pennsylvania AIS Management Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although the Management Plan does not
specifically address climate change,  it has strong provisions for developing and conducting risk
analyses to prevent introductions of  AIS.
                                         B-71

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        Table B-20. Assessment of the Pennsylvania Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
1
3
B.21.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given Pennsylvania's sensitivity to climate change impacts and the range of potential and
already established AIS, it is important for state staff to incorporate climate change
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considerations into the next version of their Management Plan. Climate change concerns could
be integrated into several strategies and actions of the current Management Plan.

B.21.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Strategic Action IC1 calls for partnering with states in the region to share data and
coordinate management activities to prevent AIS introductions.  By collecting information from
adjacent and southern states, state staff can better determine what species may spreading in
response to climate changes and be better prepared to implement a rapid response program.

B.21.4.2.  Prevention
       Strategy 2A and associated  Strategic Action 2A1 call for establishing a comprehensive
process to identify AIS of concern using scientific methods and research-based risk analysis.
Climate change data should be incorporated into these analyses.  For example, AIS that currently
are not established in Pennsylvania because they cannot overwinter may establish if temperatures
rise.  Additionally, recreational boat use and fishing may increase with warmer temperatures,
which could lead to increased AIS transport opportunities.

B.21.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategic Action 6B1 calls for cost-benefit analyses to prioritize AIS control activities for
species and sites.  Because control strategies can be sensitive to environmental conditions, cost-
benefit analyses should incorporate an evaluation of how warmer water temperatures or water
availability changes could influence the effectiveness and cost of control strategies.

B.21.4.4.  Research
       Strategy 7A calls for establishing and coordinating an AIS research network that can help
prioritize research needs and research and summarize effective control and management actions.
Incorporating climate change considerations into these research efforts can inform prioritizations
of AIS research needs and improve the development of management strategies that remain
effective under changing conditions.
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B.22.   SOUTH CAROLINA AQUATIC PLANT MANAGEMENT PLAN PART I AND II

  B.22.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF SOUTH CAROLINA'S PLAN
        South Carolina's Department of Natural Resources in cooperation with the state's
  Aquatic Plant Management Council develops an Aquatic Plant Management Plan each year
  (available at http://www. dnr. sc.gov/water/envaff/aquatic/plan.html).  The purpose of the 2006
  Management Plan is to protect the state's public waters from the adverse effects of aquatic plant
  populations. The 2006 Plan identifies five actions to (1) identify existing and potential aquatic
  plan problems; (2) determine appropriate control strategies;  (3) develop operational strategies to
  implement control; (4) seek funding for implementation; and (5) monitor results and determine
  needs for modification.  The Management Plan describes problems and specific control strategies
  actions for various aquatic nuisance plants to be implemented by water body.

  B.22.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN SOUTH
          CAROLINA
        Climate models project increases in annual summer air temperatures of 5.5°F (3°C) and
  winter air temperatures by 7°F (4°C) in the southeast.  Climate model results are less certain for
  precipitation, but general indications are that there may be a 10% increase in summer
  precipitation and a 5% increase in winter precipitation. While sea levels are expected to rise, the
  rate of increase is highly uncertain. Sea level rise could result in significant coastal wetland loss,
  increasing open water areas and estuarine depths (Mulholland et al., 1997).  The loss of coastal
  wetlands and marshes has the potential to reduce estuarine productivity because many estuarine
  species depend on wetlands as nursery areas and sources of organic matter (Mulholland et al.,
  1997).
        These climate change effects may also influence aquatic invasive species (AIS).  For
  example, the Bear Island Wilderness Management Area is a low-lying coastal wetland currently
  threatened by several aquatic plant species, including cutgrass and phragmites. If sea level rise
  results in increased coastal flooding, native species that cannot survive these conditions may be
  replaced by more tolerant invasive plants.

  B.22.3.  THE SOUTH CAROLINA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
          CHANGE
        Table B-21 summarizes how the South Carolina Aquatic Plant Management Plan
  addresses and incorporates the projected effects of climate change. South Carolina's Plan does
  not address climate change in its management and control strategies for aquatic nuisance plants.
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        Table B-21. Assessment of the South Carolina Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
1
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
3
6
B.22.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        The goals of South Carolina's Management Plan are limited to aquatic nuisance plants in
specific water bodies in the state. The Plan also does not include climate change considerations.
Additionally, the Plan lacks prevention, early detection, or monitoring strategies, and relies
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solely on control measures. Incorporating additional strategies and climate change
considerations into current control strategies could improve the Plan's effectiveness.

B.22.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       The Management Plan lacks leadership and coordination strategies to engage its
neighbors on the East Coast. Coordination with bordering states, especially those to the south,
could help state staff understand what species may be moving north as temperatures rise.
Climate change also could make coastal waters warmer, which would affect which AIS can
establish and spread.  Communicating with neighboring states will allow South Carolina to
prepare for these potential new AIS rather than respond once they are already established.

B.22.4.2.  Prevention
       The Management Plan does not include prevention strategies.  Because climate change
will alter habitats and affect both natural and human-induced methods of introduction,
prevention strategies  that incorporate climate change concerns can help to protect the state's
water bodies against new AIS introductions.

B.22.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Given that climate change will affect sea level rise, coastal erosion, depletion of water
quality, and  trends in the nutrient cycle in most of South Carolina's aquatic habitats, the
Management Plan's control strategies will need to take these changes into account to ensure they
remain effective. The Plan should also be expanded to incorporate other types of AIS,  and the
effect climate change may  have on them and their control strategies. Early detection/ rapid
response activities should be targeted on new pathways and AIS predicted to become problems
under changing conditions.

B.22.4.4.  Research
       Any  research  on control strategies should incorporate climate change considerations.
Climate change could affect control methods, particularly biocontrol,  potentially reducing  their
effectiveness or causing biocontrol agents themselves to become invasive.
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B.23.   TEXAS STATE COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR AQUATIC
                           NUISANCE SPECIES [DRAFT]

B.23.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF TEXAS'S DRAFT PLAN
       The draft Texas State Comprehensive Management Plan for Aquatic Nuisance Species
(ANS) was under review and awaiting approval by the Governor when this analysis was
conducted.  The Management Plan was written by the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department
(TPWD) (available at
http://www.tpwd.state.tx.us/publications/pwdpubs/media/pwd_pl_t3200_1221_draft.doc). The
Plan focuses on control and management of ANS that have already been introduced in Texas.
The Management Plan is outlines six primary goals to (1) coordinate ANS activities; (2) prevent
new introductions; (3) detect, monitor, contain, reduce, or eradicate ANS populations; (4)
educate people about preventing introductions and reducing impacts; (5) conduct and
disseminate research;  and (6) ensure regulations promote ANS prevention and control.  Strategic
actions and tasks are associated with each goal. A section on implementation lists specific tasks
for fiscal years 2006 and 2007.

B.23.2.  CLIMATE  CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN TEXAS
       The eastern region of Texas is predicted to experience an estimated increase of 4°F
(2.2°C) during the summer and 3.5°F  (2°C) in the winter. Precipitation projections are less
certain, but general indications are that there might be small changes in winter and substantial
increases in summer.  Evapotranspiration is projected to increase with rising temperatures,
resulting in drier soils and decreased runoff during the growing season (Mulholland et al., 1997).
       Increasing water temperatures and decreasing stream flow and groundwater levels may
damage native species and may benefit numerous ANS already in the state. For example, the
Management Plan notes that hydrilla and water hyacinth have caused great losses to irrigation
and drinking water in  a variety of areas. Increasing water temperatures will enhance the growth
potential of these more tropical ANS.  Salt cedar, also, is noted as a problem in the Management
Plan: Because salt cedar does well in drier conditions, it may  be able to out-compete native
plants as conditions become drier.

B.23.3.  THE TEXAS DRAFT PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
       Table B-22 summarizes how the draft Texas State Comprehensive Management Plan for
ANS addresses and incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  Texas's Plan does not
address climate change or changing conditions.
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        Table B-22. Assessment of the Texas Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
        Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J  	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
2
3
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
5
B.23.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given Texas's vulnerability to climate change and the impacts invasive species are
already having on water availability and flooding, the Management Plan should incorporate
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climate change concerns. Climate change considerations can be incorporated into several
Strategic Actions and Tasks.

B.23.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Goal 1 calls for coordination of all ANS activities.  Climate change should be a
consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting
management practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.23.4.2.  Prevention
       Various Tasks under Strategic Action 2A1, which calls for coordination to prevent ANS
introductions, should include climate change considerations.  For example, Task 2Alb
recommends conducting scientific risk assessments to determine priority actions for new ANS
threats and to revise earlier assessments.  Incorporating climate change information may allow
for a more accurate assessment of species' invasibility under changing conditions. Task 2Aid, e,
and f call for the TPWD to participate in national conferences; the Gulf of Mexico, Mississippi
River, and Western Regional ANS Panels; and the Gulf States Marine Fisheries Commission on
ANS issues. Incorporating data from other states and regions into risk analyses will make these
analyses more robust and will help track species that may be spreading into Texas.

B.23.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategic Action 3 Al calls for modifying existing monitoring programs to facilitate early
detection. These monitoring programs should incorporate information from risk analyses that
account for changes in climate to ensure that threats are adequately monitored.

B.23.4.4.  Research
       Goal 5 addresses research needs and incorporating climate change considerations into
research efforts can inform prioritizations of aquatic invasive species research needs,
identifications of habitats vulnerable to future invasions, and improve the development of
management strategies that remain effective under changing conditions.
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          B.24.   VIRGINIA INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

B.24.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF VIRGINIA'S PLAN
       The Virginia Invasive Species Management Plan includes a significant focus on aquatic
invasive species (AIS).  In accordance with the Virginia Invasive Species Act of 2003, the
Management Plan was written by the Virginia Invasive Species Council in cooperation with the
Council's Advisory Committee in 2005 (available at
http://www.anstaskforce.gov/State%20Plans/VISMP-fmal.pdf).  The Management Plan outlines
seven goals to (1) coordinate efforts; (2) prevent introductions; (3) strengthen and support an
early detection network; (4) develop rapid response capabilities; (5) control established invasive
species; (6) support or conduct research and risk assessments; and (7) provide information.
Under each goal, the Management Plan identifies strategies and needed actions. An
implementation table outlines responsible and cooperating agencies, time frames, and costs of
planned efforts.

B.24.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN VIRGINIA
       Temperatures in Virginia are expected to increase by 3 to 4°F (1.6 to 2.2°), depending on
the season.  With warmer temperatures, there will be less snow and more rain in the winter and
more evaporation in the summer, which may lead to lower stream flows and groundwater levels.
Algae and eutrophication may become more prevalent as waters warm. Increased precipitation
may increase flooding and run-off, which can lower oxygen levels and alter species composition.
Sea level rise could also result in habitat loss and salt water intrusion (Moore et al., 1997).
       Warmer water temperatures could facilitate the establishment and spread of AIS. For
example, the tropical plant hydrilla, found in five counties in central and eastern Virginia, may
spread into more western parts of the state as temperatures rise (NRCS, 2007).  Other species
that are found further south could also migrate to Virginia and successfully overwinter as air and
water temperatures increase. Additionally, AIS that have a wider tolerance for environmental
conditions, such as the northern snakehead, may out-compete native fish species and become
more widespread if water chemistry and temperatures are influenced by climate change.

B.24.3.  THE VIRGINIA PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table B-23 summarizes how the Virginia Invasive Species Management Plan addresses
and incorporates the projected effects of climate change. The Management Plan recognizes  that
climate changes may cause currently non-invasive but non-native species to become invasive.
The Plan also recognizes that species adapt to changing conditions.  However, the Plan does not
address climate change effects on its management actions.
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        Table B-23. Assessment of the Virginia Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
2
1
1
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
7
B.24.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Because Virginia will experience various effects from climate change, the Invasive
Species Management Plan should incorporate climate change considerations in its next revision,
or if the state chooses to develop an aquatic nuisance species (ANS) plan. The current
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Management Plan does mention climate change and its potential to affect species' invasiveness.
This demonstrates that state agencies may be unaware of the problem. In updating Virginia's
Management Plan, the state could further incorporate climate change in a variety of sections,
including the following.

B.24.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Goal 1  calls for coordination of invasive species activities.  Climate change should be a
consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on adapting
management practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.24.4.2.  Prevention
       Strategy 2.1 identifies pathway analysis and prioritization according to risk.  Climate
change may affect vectors and these considerations should be incorporated into analyses to
improve the effectiveness of prevention activities. Strategic Action 5.1.2 calls for developing
restoration plans to establish conditions more suitable for native species.  Restoration plans
should consider how climate change may affect native habitats and species to ensure that
restoration activities are effective. Restoring native habitats may lessen vulnerability to AIS and
restoration using species suited to a changing climate may improve resilience over time.

B.24.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Strategic Action 3.1.1 calls for surveying and evaluating current monitoring programs
and recommending ways to improve detection of invasive species.  Identifying how changes in
water temperature, water chemistry, and stream flow may influence invasion success will be
critical to developing effective monitoring and early detection and rapid response programs.

B.24.4.4.  Research
       Actions 6.1.1 and 6.1.2 recommend identifying priority research needs for invasive
species. Research priorities should include how climate change and invasive species will
interact, how this will affect native ecosystems, and how management strategies could be
modified to account for the effects of climate change.  Working with other states also will help
Virginia to identify species that could be moving  north.  This information should use used to
establish a process for assessing potential invasiveness of species that will likely be introduced,
as recommended in Action 6.2.4.
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B.25.   WASHINGTON STATE AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN

  B.25.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF WASHINGTON'S PLAN
         Washington's 2001 Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was written by
  the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife (WDFW) for the Aquatic Nuisance Species
  Committee (available at http://wdfw.wa.gov/fish/ans/2001ansplan.pdf) and is a revision to the
  1998 Management Plan. The 2001 Plan's goal is to implement a coordinated strategy that
  minimizes ANS introductions, stops ANS spread, and eradicates or controls ANS to a minimal
  level of impact. The 2001 Management Plan supports this goal through six objectives to (1)
  coordinate ANS management; (2) prevent new ANS introductions; (3) detect, monitor, control,
  or eradicate ANS; (4) educate people about preventing introductions and spread; (5) conduct
  research on priority species; and (6) adopt regulations that promote prevention and control.
  Implementation tables are included.

  B.25.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN WASHINGTON
         Average warming in the Pacific Northwest is projected to increase by 3°F (1.7°C) by the
  2020s and 5°F (2.8°C) by the 2050s.  Annual precipitation projections are less certain, ranging
  from 7% or 2 inches (5cm) to a 13% or 4 inches (10cm).  Precipitation increases will occur  in
  winter, with decreases (or smaller increases) in summer; for this reason, projections that show
  increases in annual precipitation also show decreases in water availability (Parson, 200Ib).  Sea
  level rise projects are greater for the Pacific than the Atlantic coast. Higher mean sea level  may
  increase sediment erosion and redistribution on the open coast (Parson, 200Ib).
         Climate change will cause continued changes in coastal and estuarine ecosystems through
  changes in runoff and increased water temperatures, potentially increasing ANS introductions.
  The warm decade of the 1980s, following the shift to warm-phase Pacific Decadal Oscillation in
  the late 1970s, was characterized by a rapid expansion of exotic cordgrass (Spartina) in Willapa
  Bay that threatened local species (Parson, 200 Ib).  Species tolerant of a wide range of water
  salinity and temperatures such as the Asian crab  could become a greater threat in estuaries and
  tidal areas as salt water intrudes into freshwater areas with sea level rise.

  B.25.3.   THE WASHINGTON PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
           CHANGE
         Table B-24 summarizes how Washington's ANS Management Plan addresses and
  incorporates the projected effects of climate change. Although the Management Plan does not
  explicitly mention climate change, it does recognize that certain species have climatic
  boundaries. Additionally, it offers extensive strategies for preventing and monitoring ANS.
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        Table B-24. Assessment of the Washington Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
3
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J 	J.	J.	^	"	—	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 	^	^	^	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
1
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
3
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
2
17
B.25.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Given the projected effects of climate change in Washington, the state's Management
Plan should incorporate climate change-related actions and strategies.  State staff could
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incorporate climate change-related data, criteria, and models in implementing the existing tasks
outlined in the Management Plan.

B.25.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       Objective 1 calls for coordination of invasive species activities.  Climate change should
be a consideration in communication on encroaching species and potential vectors and on
adapting management practices to accommodate changing conditions.

B.25.4.2.  Prevention
       Strategic Action 2A3 calls for prohibiting, controlling, and permitting non-native aquatic
species based on their invasive potential. Task 2A3a calls for the development of a screening
process to determine invasive potential.  This process should incorporate climate change
considerations.  For example, an ANS that cannot currently overwinter in the state may persist if
its water temperature tolerance range overlaps with projected temperature increases.

B.25.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Priorities for managing existing ANS (Strategic Action 3C2) should take climate change
effects into consideration. Species currently in Washington may spread and become a greater
problem with warmer water temperatures or salt water intrusion.

B.25.4.4.  Research
       Task 2A3d calls for the WDFW and the ANS Coordinating Committee to develop and
implement a process to identify threats to state waters, including threats from the spread of
existing ANS, and to assess the environmental risks associated with each threat.  The model
should incorporate how climate change impacts may exacerbate threats from ANS. For example,
water hyacinth could be better suited to survive in Washington if water temperatures become
warmer due to climate change. Impacts from water hyacinth could also compound impacts from
climate change. If climate change results in warmer summer temperatures and droughts, then
water availability could be reduced. Water hyacinth could further reduce water supply for both
domestic and industry uses by blocking intake pipes.
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  B.26.    WISCONSIN COMPREHENSIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN TO PREVENT
    FURTHER INTRODUCTIONS AND CONTROL EXISTING POPULATIONS OF
                           AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES

B.26.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF WISCONSIN'S PLAN
      The Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, the University of Wisconsin Sea Grant
program, and the Great Lakes Indian Fish and Wildlife Commission partnered to develop the
Wisconsin Comprehensive Management Plan, which was released in 2003 (available at
http://dnr.wi.gov/invasives/compstateansplanfmal0903.pdf). The major goals of the Wisconsin
Plan are Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) prevention, control, and abatement.  As of 2003, the
Great Lakes contained 163 exotic species offish, invertebrates, pathogens, and plant species.
The Management Plan outlines strategies to combat existing ANS as well as to protect inland
waters from similar threats. The Management Plan also acts as a funding proposal to the
national ANS Task Force.

B.26.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES IN  WISCONSIN
      Temperatures are projected to increase by 5 to!0°F (2.8 to 5.5°C) in the Midwest region
by 2100. Precipitation is expected to increase by approximately 10 to 30%. Increasing
temperatures are expected to increase evaporation, triggering a soil moisture deficit, reduction in
lake and river water levels, and diminished groundwater recharge. For smaller lakes and rivers,
reduced flows are likely to intensify water quality issues. In particular, eutrophication of lakes
will likely  increase due to increases in excess nutrient runoff from heavy precipitation events and
warmer  lake temperatures that stimulate algae growth (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
      As  water temperatures in lakes increase, significant changes in freshwater ecosystems
may occur. The zoogeographical boundary for fish species may shift north by 500 to 600
kilometers, leading to invasions by warmer water fishes and extirpations of colder water fishes
(Magnuson et al., 1997; Easterling and Karl, 2001). Temperature may limit the extent of zebra
mussel colonization and has thus far kept populations in Lake Superior small. During the
breeding season, when the water temperature is above 54°F (12°C), each mature female can
produce several hundred thousand eggs. The longer this period, the more successful colonization
will be.  With summer water temperatures increasing in northern lakes, the currently small
colonies may become more widespread (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
                                         B-86

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B.26.3.  THE WISCONSIN PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
          CHANGE
        Table B-25 summarizes how the Wisconsin Comprehensive Management Plan addresses
and incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  Although the Management Plan does
not explicitly address climate change, it does recognize monitoring and regularly updating
information on local and surrounding conditions as integral to successful ANS management.
        Table B-25. Assessment of the Wisconsin Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Management Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
1
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items	
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection/rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
-L iaii cu^uuina ±\ji ^Hanging ^unuiinjna 111 na iimjiiiiainjii manage
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies	|     0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items	
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so	
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
1
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
3
8
                                                B-87

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B.26.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Given the projected effects of climate change for Wisconsin, the Management Plan
should incorporate climate change considerations when revising the Plan to improve prevention
and management strategies.

B.26.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination
       The Management Plan describes that partnerships with interstate and international groups
will be formed to promote consistent regional approaches to aquatic invasive species (AIS)
management. Strategy IIE also calls for working with partners to improve coordination efforts
on AIS. Because a species'  ability to spread is affected in part by climate, state staff should
consider changes in water and air temperatures when assessing invasion threats and developing
management strategies.

B.26.4.2.  Prevention
       Goal I calls for the implementation of procedures and practices to prevent new
introductions of AIS into Lakes Michigan and Superior, the state's boundary waters, and inland
water systems.  The Management Plan focuses its prevention strategies on primary vectors
including the sale and distribution of bait, the aquaculture and aquarium industries, and ballast
water discharges. Warming waters, altered hydrology, and nutrient level changes may affect the
ability of certain aquarium species or bait fish to survive and become established in Wisconsin's
waters.  Incorporating these climate change considerations into prevention strategies may
improve their success.

B.26.4.3.  Early Detection/Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Goal II of the Management Plan calls for implementing of management strategies that
limit the spread of established AIS into uninfested waters.  State staff should consider how
control strategies may be affected by climate change and adjust them accordingly. For example,
current control methods for an AIS restricted to a small part of the state may be effective in
preventing its spread.  However, as water temperatures warm that AIS' invasive potential could
increase. Furthermore, monitoring should incorporate climate change considerations to ensure
that the  appropriate species and introduction points are targeted during early detection activities.

B.26.4.4.  Research
       The Management Plan does not specifically address research needs, except for ballast
water technologies. Any research on the invasion pathway and potential AIS should also
consider the implications of climate change on the pathway and species.
                                         B-88

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                                          REFERENCES
Christensen, JH; Hewitson, B; Busuioc, A; et al. (2007) Regional climate projections. In: Solomon, S; Qin, D;
Manning, M; et al., eds. Climate change 2007: the physical science basis.  Contribution of Working Group I to the
Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom:
Cambridge University Press; pp. 847-940.

Covich, AP; Fritz, SC; Lamb, PJ; et al.(1997) Potential effects of climate change on aquatic ecosystems of the Great
Plains of North America.  Hydrol Processes 11(8):993-1021

Easterling, DR; Karl, TR. (2001) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the midwestern
United States.  In: Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability
and change. Report for the US Global Change Research Program. National Assessment Synthesis Team.
Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press; pp. 167-188.  Available online at
http://www.gcrio.org/NationalAssessment/6MW.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

Harvell, CD; Kim, K; Burkholder, JM; et al. (1999) Emerging marine diseases-climate links and anthropogenic
factors.  Science 285(5433): 1505-1510.

Harvell, CD; Mitchell, CE; Ward, JR; et al. (2002) Climate warming and disease risks for terrestrial and marine
biota. Science 296(5576):2158-2162.

Hayhoe, K; Wake, CP; Huntington, TG; et al. (2007) Past and future changes in climate and hydological indicators
in the US Northeast.  Clim Dyn 28:381-407.

Jones, RJ; Bowyer, J; Hoegh-Guldberg, O; et al. (2004) Dynamics of a temperature-related coral disease outbreak.
Mar Ecol Prog Ser 281:63-77.

Joyce, LA; Ojima, D; Seielstaf, GA; et al. (2001) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the
Great Plains. In:  Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability and
change.  Report for the US Global Change Research Program. National Assessment Synthesis Team.  Cambridge,
United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press; pp. 191-217.  Available online at
http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/Library/nationalassessment/07GP.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

KDHE (Kansas Department of Health and Environment). Zebra mussel: their inevitable arrival in Kansas. Available
online at http://www.kdheks.gov/befs/download/zebra_mussel_article.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

LaCoast. (2003) Grappling with the unknown: how much of a change do climate models project?  Funded by the US
Coastal Planning, Protection and Restoration Act (CWPPRA). Available online at http
http://lacoast.gov/watermarks/2003-02/2howmuch/ [accessed May  1, 2007].

Magnuson, JJ; Webster, KE; Assel, RA; et al. (1997) Potential effects of climate changes on aquatic systems:
Laurentian Great Lakes and Precambrian  Shield Region. Hydrol Processes 11(8):825-871.

Moore, MV; Pace, ML; Mather, JR; etal. (1997) Potential effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the
New England/Mid-Atlantic Region. Hydrol Processes 11(8):925-947.

Moser, S; Hayhoe, K; Wander, M. (2004) Climate  change in the Hawkeye State: impacts on Iowa communities and
ecosystems. Union of Concerned Scientists; pp.16. Available online at
http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/clean_energy/Climate_Change_in_Iowa_-Long-_Final-
_and_Formatted.pdf.

Mulholland, PJ; Best, GR; Coutant, CC; et al. (1997) Effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the
south-eastern United States and the Gulf Coast of Mexico.  Hydrol Processes  11(8):949-970.

                                                B-89

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NPWRC (Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center). (2006) Species abstracts of highly disruptive exotic plants.
US Geological Survey. Available online at http://www.npwrc.usgs.gov/resource/plants/exoticab/index.htm
[accessed May 1,2007].

NRCS (Natural Resources Conservation Service). Plants profile.  US Department of Agriculture. Available online
at http://plants.usda.gov/java/county?state_name=Virginia&statefips=51&symbol=HYVE3 [accessed May 1, 2007].

Parson, EA. (200 la) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for Alaska. In: Climate change
impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. Report for the US
Global Change Research Program. National Assessment Synthesis Team.  Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge
University Press; pp. 283-312. Available online at
http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/Library/nationalassessment/10Alaska.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

Parson, EA. (200 Ib) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the Pacific Northwest. In: Climate
change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. Report for the
US Global Change Research Program. National Assessment Synthesis Team. Cambridge, United Kingdom:
Cambridge University Press; pp. 247-280.  Available online at
http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/Library/nationalassessment/09PNW.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

PIRAG (Pacific Island Regional Assessment Group). (2001) Pacific Islands Region. In: Preparing for a changing
climate: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. US Global Change Research Program;
pp. 2-24. Available online at http://www2.eastwestcenter.org/climate/assessment/ch2a.pdf [accessed May 2, 2007].

SRAG (Southwest Regional Assessment Group). (2000) Preparing for a changing climate: the potential
consequences of climate variability and change. Southwest.  US Global Change Research Program. Available
online at http://www.ispe.arizona.edu/research/swassess/report.html [accessed Apr. 30, 2007].

Seager, R; Ting, M; Held, I; et al. (2007) Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in
southwestern North America. Science 316(5828):1181-1184.

USAGE (United. States Army Corps of Engineers). Round Goby - Neogobius melanostomus.  Available online at
http://el.erdc.usace.army.mil/ansrp/neogobius_melanostomus.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].
                                                 B-90

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                           APPENDIX C




REGIONAL AQUATIC INVASIVE SPECIES MANAGEMENT PLAN SUMMARIES
                               C-l

-------
                                CONTENTS

LIST OF TABLES	C-5

C.I.   METHODS	C-6

C.2.   GREAT LAKES ACTION PLAN FOR THE PREVENTION AND
      CONTROL OF NON-INDIGENOUS AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES	C-7
      C.2.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE GREAT LAKES PLAN	C-7
      C.2.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE GREAT
            LAKES	C-7
      C.2.3.  THE GREAT LAKE PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
            CLIMATE CHANGE	C-7
      C.2.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-9
            C.2.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	C-9
            C.2.4.2.  Prevention	C-9
            C.2.4.3.  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                    Management	C-9
            C.2.4.4.  Research	C-9

C.3.   A GUIDE FOR FUTURE ACTION BY THE GULF OF MEXICO
      REGIONAL PANEL AND THE GULF STATES	C-10
      C.3.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO'S PLAN	C-10
      C.3.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE GULF
            OF MEXICO	C-10
      C.3.3.  THE GULF OF MEXICO PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
            CLIMATE CHANGE	C-10
      C.3.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-12
            C.3.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	C-12
            C.3.4.2.  Prevention	12
            C.3.4.3.  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                    Management	C-12
            C.3.4.4.  Research	C-12

C.4.   LAKE CHAMPLAIN BASIN AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES
      MANAGEMENT PLAN	C-13
      C.4.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN'S PLAN	C-13
      C.4.2.  CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN LAKE CHAMPLAIN	C-13
      C.4.3.  THE LAKE CHAMPLAIN PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION
            OF CLIMATE CHANGE	C-13
      C.4.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-15
            C.4.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	C-15
            C.4.4.2.  Prevention	C-15
            C.4.4.3.  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                    Management	C-15
            C.4.4.4.  Research	C-15

                                    C-2

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                           CONTENT (continued)
C.5.   MIDWEST REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN	C-16
      C.5.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE MIDWEST REGION'S PLAN	C-16
      C.5.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE
            MIDWEST REGION	C-16
      C.5.3.  THE MIDWEST REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
            CLIMATE CHANGE	C-16
      C.5.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-17
            C.5.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	C-18
            C.5.4.2.  Prevention	C-18
            C.5.4.3.  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                    Management	C-18
            C.5.4.4.  Research	C-18

C.6.   NORTHEAST REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN	C-19
      C.6.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE NORTHEAST REGION
            PLAN	C-19
      C.6.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE
            NORTHEAST REGION	C-19
      C.6.3.  THE NORTHEAST REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION
            OF CLIMATE CHANGE	C-19
      C.6.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-20
            C.6.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	C-21
            C.6.4.2.  Prevention	C-21
            C.6.4.3.  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                    Management	C-21
            C.6.4.4.  Research	C-21

C.7.   SOUTHEAST REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN	C-22
      C.7.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE SOUTHEAST REGION'S
            PLAN	C-22
      C.7.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE
            SOUTHEAST REGION	C-22
      C.7.3.  THE SOUTHEAST REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION
            OF CLIMATE CHANGE	C-22
      C.I A.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-24
            C.7.4.1.  Leadership and Coordination	C-24
            C.7.4.2.  Prevention	C-24
            C.7.4.3.  Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                    Management	C-24
            C.7.4.4.  Research	C-24

C.8.   WESTERN REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN	C-25
      C.8.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE WESTERN REGION'S PLAN	C-25

                                    C-3

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                            CONTENT (continued)
      C.8.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE
             WESTERN REGION	C-25
      C.8.3.   THE WESTERN REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION
             OF CLIMATE CHANGE	C-26
      C.8.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION	C-27
             C.8.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination	C-27
             C.8.4.2.   Prevention	C-27
             C.8.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and
                     Management	C-27
             C.8.4.4.   Research	C-27

REFERENCES	C-28
                                     C-4

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                                 LIST OF TABLES


C-l.  Assessment of the Great Lakes Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan	C-8

C-2.  Assessment of the Gulf of Mexico Aquatic Nuisance Species Guide for Future
     Action	C-ll

C-3.  Assessment of the Lake Champlain Basin Aquatic Nuisance Species Management
     Plan	C-14

C-4.  Assessment of the Midwest Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan	C-l 7

C-5.  Assessment of the Northeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan	C-20

C-6.  Assessment of the Southeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan	C-23

C-7.  Assessment of the Western Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan	C-26
                                        C-5

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                                  C.I. METHODS

       We reviewed regional aquatic invasive species (AIS) management plans, where available,
and assessed how regional AIS panels address climate change specifically, as well as how they
generally provide for adaptation of strategies and actions under changing conditions. There are a
total of seven regional plans.  Several regional plans refer to AIS as aquatic nuisance species
(ANS).  To maintain consistency with regional plan language, this appendix generally uses ANS
as a synonym for AIS.  Regional plans examined include the following:

   •   Great Lakes Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Non-indigenous Aquatic
       Nuisance Species
   •   Gulf of Mexico Aquatic Nuisance Species in the Gulf of Mexico: A Guide for Future
       Action by the Gulf of Mexico Regional Panel and the Gulf States
   •   Lake Champlain Basin Aquatic Nuisance Species Management Plan
   •   Midwest Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
   •   Northeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
   •   Southeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan
   •   Western Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan

       The following summaries also include ways to incorporate climate considerations and
adaptive management procedures into individual plan goals and strategies when revising the
action plans.
                                          C-6

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C.2.  GREAT LAKES ACTION PLAN FOR THE PREVENTION AND CONTROL OF
                 NON-INDIGENOUS AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES

C.2.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE GREAT LAKES PLAN
       The Great Lakes Action Plan was written by the Great Lakes Panel on Aquatic Nuisance
Species (ANS) (available at http://glc.org/ans/pubs.html).  The goals of the plan are to prevent
ANS introductions, limit ANS spread, and minimize impacts. In an addendum, the Action Plan
lists objectives and strategic actions designed to achieve these goals through management;
research and monitoring; and information, education, and collaboration.

C.2.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE GREAT LAKES
       Climate models project temperatures increases of 5 to!0°F (2.8 to 5.5°C) and
precipitation increases of 10 to 30%in the Midwest region by 2100 (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
Increasing temperatures are expected to increase evaporation, triggering a soil moisture deficit,
reduction in lake and river water levels, and diminished groundwater recharge.  Models project
lake level losses of up to 5 feet (1.5 meters) in the Great Lakes.  In smaller lakes and rivers,
increased evaporation will cause reduced flows, exacerbating water quality issues (Magnuson et
al., 1997; Easterling and Karl, 2001). Heavy precipitation events are also expected to increase,
washing nutrients and runoff from urban, agriculture, and construction sites into waterways
(Magnuson et al., 1997).
       Warmer water temperatures may make waterways more vulnerable to ANS invasions;
aquatic ecosystems in the Midwest may experience a shift from coldwater fish species such as
trout to warmer water species such as bass and catfish (Robillard and Fox, 2006; Jacobs et al.,
2001).  For example, the Lake Superior Lakewide Management Plan notes that environmental
conditions in the Lake Superior basin have prevented reproduction of zebra mussels to date, but
that mild weather in recent years has allowed reproduction to occur in the St. Louis estuary.  As
the climate in the region warms, conditions in the Lake Superior basin may be more amenable to
zebra mussel reproduction, allowing  the species to become established in the ecosystem
(U.S. EPA, 2000).

C.2.3.  THE GREAT LAKE PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
       CHANGE
       Table C-l summarizes how the Great Lakes Action Plan for the Prevention and Control
of Nonindigenous Aquatic Nuisance  Species addresses and incorporates the projected effects of
climate change.  The Great Lakes Plan does not address the effects of climate change or
                                         C-7

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changing environmental conditions in general in its recommendations, objectives, and/or
strategic actions.
        Table C-l.  Assessment of the Great Lakes Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Action Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
 	^	o	J	J.	J.	^	

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
                    <_;  <_;    -.-_ _     -_ -_ — _  ^, ______  _.__ 	^, _ _

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
0

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C.2.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Climate change will affect the Great Lakes region and its water resources throughout the
next decades. The ANS Action Plan should incorporate climate change effects so that
management activities can better respond to changing conditions and remain effective over time.
Several of the Strategic Actions listed in the Action Plan could incorporate climate change
considerations to adapt management activities in the Great Lakes region.

C.2.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Collaboration objectives call for inter-jurisdictional cooperation on prevention and
control measures, regulation,  and education efforts. Coordination on the regional level  offers the
opportunity for states to share information on climate-related ANS issues, including expanding
ANS ranges, changing conditions, and adapting management to reflect changing conditions.
These measures will not only help states collaboratively identify species of concern, but
incorporation of these measures also better prevents the establishment and spread of ANS.

C.2.4.2.   Prevention
       Management objectives call for the assessment and characterization of pathways for ANS
and the identification of high risk ANS.  Efforts to assess risk and develop species lists  should
account for the effect of climate change on ecosystem vulnerability to ANS invasion and
expanding species ranges and vectors.

C.2.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Several Strategic actions address ANS control. Climate change considerations should be
included in developing control strategies for the Great Lakes Region that remain effective over
time.

C.2.4.4.   Research
       Research objectives also call for the development of management strategies that address
ANS threats.  However, if ecosystem conditions change over time, management practices may
lose effectiveness. Research  should address changing conditions in order to better inform
management practices to ensure that they remain robust in the context of a changing climate.
                                          C-9

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  C.3. A GUIDE FOR FUTURE ACTION BY THE GULF OF MEXICO REGIONAL
                          PANEL AND THE GULF STATES
C.3.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO'S PLAN
       The Gulf of Mexico's 2003 Guide for Future Action examines the structure and activities
of the Gulf of Mexico Regional Panel (GMRP) and was developed by the Sea Grant Law Center
(available at http://www.olemiss.edu/orgs/SGLC/ANS.pdf). The Guide summarizes current
aquatic nuisance species (ANS) actions and offers recommendations for ANS management for
the individual Gulf States. It should be noted that the Regional Panel did not develop the Guide
and does not use the Guide as guidance. Actions are divided into the categories of coordination,
prevention, regulation, control and management, and enforcement and implementation.  The
Guide outlines recommended actions for each state to better address ANS threats and for the
GMRP to better support interstate cooperation and the development and implementation of
regional priorities.

C.3.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO
       Climate change projections for the Southeastern United States, including some Gulf of
Mexico states, vary; although most climate models project warming temperatures (Mearns et al.,
2003; NAST,  2001). Climate change models also project a 10 to 25% increase in precipitation
(Burkett et al., 2001; Mulholland et al., 1997). Increased temperatures will likely increase stress
on water quality. Waterbodies in the Southeast already receive pollution from agriculture, urban
areas, and mining. Increased precipitation and more frequent, extreme precipitation events will
flush more contaminated run-off into waterbodies, and higher temperatures will reduce dissolved
oxygen levels in water (Gibson et al., 2005; Jacobs et al., 2001).
       Increased precipitation will also likely lead to higher freshwater inflows into estuaries
and lower salinity, although  sea level rise could increase salinity levels (Mulholland et al., 1997).
The region's salt marshes will be particularly affected by sea level rise and other climate change
factors, leading to changes in salinity and nutrient availability (Burkett and Kusler, 2000).  These
ecosystem changes could provide more suitable conditions for ANS establishment and spread.

C.3.3.   THE GULF OF MEXICO PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
        CHANGE
       Table C-2 summarizes how Gulf of Mexico's Guide for Future Action addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. The recommendations in the Guide are
state-specific and generally focused on increasing state agency jurisdiction and resources, as
opposed to specific management tasks.  The Guide does not explicitly address climate change,

                                         C-10

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but it does support the use of monitoring programs to identify and track invasions, and therefore
offers opportunities to consider changing conditions.
        Table C-2. Assessment of the Gulf of Mexico Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Guide for Future Action
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
A AO.AA O.WVS U.J.113 A\JA VAACIAA£,AAA£, VWAAUALAWAAO AAA ALO JJA V WAAIAWAA £,\JCIAO O.AAU OLACILV£,AVO

Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
1
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
1
                                                 C-ll

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C.3.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       In light of the considerable impacts of climate change expected in the Gulf of Mexico
region, especially the effects of rising sea levels on coastal marshes, the GMRP should address
climate change in its future efforts to coordinate state management activities.  Several GMRP
actions listed in the Guide could incorporate climate change considerations to adapt management
activities in the Gulf of Mexico Region.

C.3.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       The Guide recommends that the GMRP issue policy statements to identify regional goals
and priorities, focus and direct state goals, and urge states to direct resources toward certain
activities in order to facilitate regional coordination. These regional goals and priorities should
address climate change.  Sharing effective management strategies may be very helpful for other
states experiencing similar impacts of changing conditions, such as sea level rise and effects on
regionally spread ANS such as salvinia and nutria.  The Guide also encourages states to develop
comprehensive ANS management plans.  The development of new plans offers the opportunity
incorporate the effects of climate change. Risk assessments of ANS threats based on the effects
of climate change and habitat restoration in climate change-impacted salt marshes, for example,
could be incorporated into these plans.

C.3.4.2.   Prevention
       The Guide also addresses states' assessments of ANS risks. The Guide recommends that
Florida establish a program for risk assessment, and that Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and
Texas establish "clean lists" of species allowed into the state. Assessment of the invasion risk
posed by a non-native species should take into account changing conditions that may.

C.3.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       The Guide suggests that the GMRP should develop model plans for early detection and
rapid response for states to incorporate into their individual plans.  These model plans provide an
opportunity to incorporate climate change considerations that can inform states on detecting new
ANS that might invade as environmental conditions change.

C.3.4.4.   Research
       The Guide describes on-going activities of the GMRP, including working group tasks.
These tasks include identifying research needs. Working groups should address climate change
effects as research needs that state ANS management plans should incorporate.
                                          C-12

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 C.4.  LAKE CHAMPLAIN BASIN AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES MANAGEMENT
                                       PLAN
C.4.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN'S PLAN
       The Lake Champlain Basin Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Management Plan was
approved in May 2000 (available at http://www.northeastans.org/pdf/lcbansplan2000.PDF). The
Management Plan was coordinated by the Vermont Department of Environmental Conservation
and the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation in cooperation with state
and federal agencies, lake groups, and the research communities in New York, Vermont, and
Quebec. The three goals of the plan are to prevent new introductions, limit ANS  spread into
uninfested waters, and abate ANS impacts. In order to accomplish these goals, the Management
Plan outlines six objectives to (1) coordinate plan implementation; (2) fill information gaps; (3)
select target ANS; (4) evaluate ANS management alternatives; (5) implement management
actions that eradicate and/or prevent the spread of ANS; and (6) increase awareness ANS issues.
Each objective has associated strategies and actions. The Management Plan also  describes ANS
problems in the Lake Champlain Basin, authorities and programs related to ANS  management,
and a list of priority actions  for implementation in the two years following the release of the
Plan.

C.4.2.  CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN LAKE CHAMPLAIN
       Climate change models project that minimum winter temperatures in the Northeast may
increase from 5 to 9.5°F (2.9 to 5.3°C) by 2100 (Hayhoe et al., 2007). Precipitation projections
range from increases of up to 30% in the summer to decreases or small changes in the winter
(Hayhoe et al., 2007).  These climatic changes are likely to increase water temperature, which
will affect dissolved oxygen levels and nutrient content (Hayhoe et al., 2007).
       The precipitation regime greatly influences the lake's ecosystem and changes to this
regime d could negatively affect habitat for lake species and facilitate the spread of ANS already
present in the Lake Champlain Basin. For example, the common reed (Phragmites australis) is
identified in the Management Plan as an ANS already established in the basin. Altered
conditions and habitat availability due to climate change may allow Phragmites to spread further.

CAS.  THE LAKE CHAMPLAIN PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
       CHANGE
       Table C-3 summarizes how the Lake Champlain Basin ANS Management Plan addresses
and incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  While the Management Plan does not
                                        C-13

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address climate change effects, it does include a monitoring strategy for ANS.  Furthermore, the
Plan's framework does present opportunities to introduce climate change considerations.
        Table C-3.  Assessment of the Lake Champlain Basin Aquatic Nuisance
        Species Management Plan
Aspects
of
plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
 Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
 0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
 Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
 0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
 not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
 specifies associated goals and/or action items
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
 Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
 Monitoring strategies
 0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
 goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
3
3
 Revision
 0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
 benchmarks for doing so
 Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
 Funding
 0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
 required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
 required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
1
12
                                                C-14

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C.4.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Climate change will affect the Lake Champlain Basin and its water resources throughout
the next decades.  The ANS Action Plan should incorporate climate change effects so that
management activities can better respond to changing conditions and remain effective over time.
Several of the Strategic Objectives listed in the Management Plan could incorporate climate
change considerations to adapt management activities in the Lake Champlain Basin.

C.4.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Objective A discusses coordination of plan implementation.  Strategies under this
Objective should include measures to coordinate among states on new ANS and range
expansions that may be due to climate change.

C.4.4.2.   Prevention
       Objective C calls for ANS staff to determine which ANS and pathways of introduction
should be targeted for management actions. In this prioritization process, state staff should
consider species' colonization potential and ecological impacts and how climate change may
affect these processes. Increased precipitation, for example,  may make habitat more suitable for
certain ANS, increasing their colonization potential. Increased precipitation could also make the
habitat less suitable for certain native species, allowing ANS to more easily become established.

C.4.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Objective D discusses evaluating management alternatives.  Strategies under this
Objective should consider how climate change  may alter the efficacy of some management
strategies. For example, biocontrol agents  may be affected by climate change, making them less
effective or possibly allowing the biocontrol agents themselves to become invasive.

C.4.4.4.   Research
       As part of the Management Plan's effort to fill information gaps (Objective B), Strategy
Bl calls for surveys of existing ANS within the Lake Champlain Basin, ANS with the potential
to enter the basin, and pathways of introduction. Research on species that could enter the basin
should consider how climate change effects may influence these species and provide
opportunities for species not yet considered a threat under current climate conditions.
                                         C-15

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     C.5. MIDWEST REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN

C.5.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE MIDWEST REGION'S PLAN
       The Midwest Region Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Action Plan is a product of the
ANS Regulations and Enforcement Workshop, held in Indianapolis, Indiana on December 12,
2004 (available at http://www.protectyourwaters.net/ansreport/MWActionPlan.pdf). The goal of
the Enforcement Workshop was to develop a regional assessment of ANS issues that can be
addressed through increased coordination and communication among entities in the region.  The
Action Plan identifies a list of highest priority issues for immediate action, including funding,
preventing new introductions and spread of ANS, early detection and rapid response,
coordination, research, and public education.  Each priority issue is accompanied by action items
at the regional level and a procedure for implementation.

C.5.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE MIDWEST REGION
       Climate models project temperatures increases of 5 to!0°F (2.8 to 5.5°C) and
precipitation increases of 10 to 30%in the Midwest region by 2100 (Easterling and Karl, 2001).
Increasing temperatures are expected to increase evaporation, triggering a soil moisture deficit,
reduction in lake and river water levels, and diminished groundwater recharge.  Models project
lake level losses of up to 5 feet (1.5 meters) in the Great Lakes.  In smaller lakes and rivers,
increased evaporation will cause reduced flows, exacerbating water quality issues (Magnuson et
al., 1997; Easterling and Karl, 2001). Heavy precipitation events are also expected to increase,
washing nutrients and runoff from urban, agriculture, and construction sites into waterways
(Magnuson et al., 1997).
       Warmer water temperatures may make waterways more vulnerable to ANS invasions;
aquatic ecosystems in the Midwest may experience a shift from coldwater fish species such as
trout to warmer water species such as bass and catfish (Robillard and Fox, 2006; Jacobs et al.,
2001).

C.5.3.  THE MIDWEST REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
       CHANGE
       Table C-4 summarizes how the Midwest Region ANS Action Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  While the Action Plan does not explicitly
address climate change, it does provide opportunity to increase attention to regional ANS issues,
which include changing conditions.
                                         C-16

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        Table C-4. Assessment of the Midwest Region Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Action Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
Plan accounts for changing
conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
conditions in its research goals and strategies
conditions in its information management goals and strategies
conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation (includes suggested funding sources)
Total score:
0
3
C.5.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Climate change will affect the Midwest region and its water resources throughout the
next decades.  The ANS Action Plan should incorporate climate change effects so that
management activities can better respond to changing conditions and remain effective over time.

                                              C-17

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Several of the Strategic Actions listed in the Action Plan could incorporate climate change
considerations to adapt management activities in the Midwest region.

C.5.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Issue 6 of the Action Plan addresses partnerships and coordination, including involving
external organizations such as nongovernmental organizations and industry in promoting ANS
policy and agendas.  These provisions call for expanding coordination and attention to regional
ANS issues. Coordination on the regional level offers the opportunity for states to share
information on climate-related ANS issues, including expanding ANS ranges, changing
conditions, and adapting management to address changing conditions.

C.5.4.2.   Prevention
       Issue 2 relates to preventing new introductions and the spread of ANS, including the
development of a method for evaluating species to determine whether they should be allowed to
enter a state or the country. Issue 9 involves coordinating and communicating regulated species
lists among the states and developing federal guidance for uniformity between states. Efforts to
assess risk and develop species lists could also account for the effect of climate change on
ecosystem vulnerability to ANS invasion and expanding species ranges and vectors.

C.5.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Issue 12 addresses developing tools for control and management of established ANS.
These tools should incorporate climate change effects to ensure long-term effectiveness.

C.5.4.4.   Research
       Issue 4 promotes the compilation and use of economic data to generate interest in, and
support for, ANS issues from sport fishing and hunting communities. This effort includes
researching ANS impacts, producing economic data on ANS impacts and educating
policymakers and the public. Analyses of ecologic and economic impacts from ANS should also
take climate change  effects into account and be communicated to the public.
                                         C-18

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   C.6.  NORTHEAST REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN

C.6.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE NORTHEAST REGION PLAN
       The Northeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Action Plan is based on the
results of the ANS Regulations and Enforcement Workshops held in Ocean City, Maryland and
Atlantic City, New Jersey in 2004 (available at
http://www.protectyourwaters.net/ansreport/NEActionPlan.pdf). The Enforcement Workshops
were coordinated by the Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies. The Action Plan, which
focuses on regional cooperation and coordination, identifies the following high priority issues:
funding for state and regional ANS management actions, coordination and communication of
ANS lists, development of mechanisms for tracking and controlling Internet sales and other
shipments, and development of ANS screening and risk assessment tools. Each priority issue is
accompanied by corresponding priority issues at the regional level and a process for
implementation.

C.6.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE NORTHEAST
       REGION
       Climate models project that minimum winter temperatures in the Northeast will increase
from 5 to 9.5°F (2.9 to 5.3°C) by  2099 depending on the model (Hayhoe et al., 2007).
Precipitation projections vary, ranging from increases of up to 30% in winter months by 2099 to
decreases or small changes in summer months (Hayhoe et al., 2007). Temperature and
precipitation changes are likely to increase water temperature in the region's waterbodies, which
will affect species survival, dissolved oxygen levels, and nutrient content (Hayhoe et al., 2007).
       Increased water temperatures may increase the region's susceptibility to invasion by
ANS. In Massachusetts, for example, water hyacinth may be limited in its establishment by its
inability to overwinter in the New England climate. However, as water temperatures increase,
water hyacinth communities that become established during the summer may be able to survive
the winter (Massachusetts Department of Natural Resources, 2003).

C.6.3.  THE NORTHEAST REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
       CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table C-5 summarizes how the Northeast Region ANS Action Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. The Northeast Region's Action Plan does
not address climate change effects or changing environmental conditions in general.
                                        C-19

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        Table C-5. Assessment of the Northeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Action Plan
Aspects
of
plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
0
C.6.4.  INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
        Climate change will affect the Northeast region and its water resources throughout the
next decades.  The ANS Action Plan should incorporate climate change effects so that
management activities can better respond to changing conditions and remain effective over time.

                                                C-20

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Several of the Strategic Actions listed in the Action Plan could incorporate climate change
considerations to adapt management activities in the Northeast region.

C.6.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Issue 2 involves improving regulation and enforcement through the coordination of
regulated species lists among states in the region. The Action Plan encourages states to develop
a shared methodology and scientific criteria for creating lists and to implement interstate
agreements on the development of regional restricted species lists. The development of list
criteria should include climate change information that affects ANS' invasive potential and
ecosystem alterations such as increased stream flows.

C.6.4.2.   Prevention
       Issue 4 addresses the improvement of ANS screening and risk assessment tools. Risk
assessment of ANS should also account for the Northeast's increased sensitivity to ANS invasion
as a result of climate change. Consideration of climate change effects could improve risk
determinations.

C.6.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       One of the actions under Issue 1 encourages the development of early detection and rapid
response plans for the states. These plans should also consider the effects from climate change
on ANS pathways, establishment and spread in order to develop plans that remain effective
under changing  environmental conditions.

C.6.4.4.   Research
       Appendix D encourages states in the region to develop support research that advances
control, eradication, monitoring, and prevention of ANS. These research initiatives should also
consider the effects of climate change on each of these activities to ensure that  implementation
plans are written to take changing conditions into account.
                                          C-21

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    C.7.  SOUTHEAST REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN

C.7.1.  GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE SOUTHEAST REGION'S PLAN
       The Southeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species (ANS) Action Plan is a product of the
ANS Regulations and Enforcement Workshop, held in Hilton Head, South Carolina in 2004
(available at http://www.protectyourwaters.net/ansreport/SEActionPlan.pdf). The resulting
Action Plan was coordinated by the International Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies.
The Action Plan identifies six issues for immediate action: (1) locate funding for ANS
management; (2) coordinate ANS lists among states; (3) describe regulatory authorities;  (4)
coordinate regional ANS management; (5) generate support from external organizations  by
developing economic impact information; and (6) enhance ANS detection and rapid response
capabilities. The issues are accompanied by priority actions and a step-by-step process for
implementation.

C.7.2.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE SOUTHEAST
       REGION
       Most climate change models project warmer temperatures in the Southeast and some
models project a 20% increase in precipitation (Burkett et al., 2001; Mulholland et al., 1997).
Pollution is already prevalent in waterbodies in the Southeast, and increased precipitation and
more frequent extreme precipitation events may flush more contaminated run-off into
waterbodies.  Higher temperatures will also reduce dissolved oxygen levels (Mulholland et al.,
1997).  Sea level rise is also projected for the region, leading to flooding and erosion, increasing
storm surges, coastal wetland loss that reduces habitat for cool water fisheries, and the
conversion of freshwater inflows into estuaries (Burkett et al., 2001; Mulholland et al., 1997).
       These ecosystem changes may benefit ANS that are more tolerant of poor water quality
than native species. In coastal regions, ANS may become established as freshwater areas
become increasingly saline. New conditions may also make native species more susceptible to
viral ANS.  Largemouth Bass Virus (LMBV) has been found in fish in Southeastern states. The
virus has a higher mortality rate in bass that are  living in stressful conditions, including warm-
water temperatures and poor water quality (Inendino et al., 2005; Grant et al., 2003).  As climate
change increases these two conditions, the region may experience LMBV-related fish kills.

C.7.3.  THE SOUTHEAST REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF
       CLIMATE CHANGE
       Table C-6 summarizes how the Southeast Region ANS Action Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change. While the Southeast Region's Action Plan

                                         C-22

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does not address climate change, it does provide opportunity to incorporate changing conditions
as they arise into its efforts to coordinate ANS management at the regional level.
        Table C-6.  Assessment of the Southeast Region Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Action Plan
Aspects of plan
that
may
incorporate
climate
change
Score
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
1
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
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Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
0
0
0
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
1
                                                 C-23

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C.I A.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       In light of the range of climate change effects expected in the Southeast region, especially
the effects of rising sea levels on coastal marshes, the Action Plan should address climate change
in its ANS management activities. Several actions in the Action Plan could incorporate climate
change considerations to adapt management activities in the Southeast Region.

C.7.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Issue 4 suggests regional ANS management coordination. This requires the identification
and discussion of differences among the states about which species are of highest concern.  Risks
are to be ranked to determine regional and state management strategies. Risks assessments that
consider the effects of changing conditions on ANS' invasive potential may account for ANS
threats more effectively.

C.7.4.2.   Prevention
       Although the Action Plan does not explicitly address prevention, Issue 2 in the Action
Plan calls for the coordination of ANS lists. The development of these lists should consider
climate change effects on species introductions and distributions, and coordination of lists will
ensure that species that may easily become established under changing conditions can be
addressed by neighboring states.

C.7.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Issue 6 encourages the enhancement of detection and rapid response capabilities. Species
detection systems should also consider the effects of climate change, in order to determine likely
vectors and vulnerable ecosystems.

C.7.4.4.   Research
       The Action Plan suggests that member agencies increase consistency among states by
developing screening and risk assessment tools. These efforts should be designed to account for
projected effects of climate change. Changing conditions are likely to influence the ability  of
ANS to become established, as well as ecosystem vulnerability to invasions.
                                          C-24

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     C.8. WESTERN REGION AQUATIC NUISANCE SPECIES ACTION PLAN

C.8.1.   GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE WESTERN REGION'S PLAN
       The Western Region Aquatic Nuisance Species Action Plan is based on discussions and
findings from the ANS Regulations and Enforcement Workshop, held in 2004 in Sun Valley,
Idaho (available at http://www.protectyourwaters.net/ansreportAVestActionPlan.pdf). The
Enforcement Workshop was coordinated by the International Association of Fish and Wildlife
Agencies. The resulting Action Plan identifies nine priority issues that address (1) funding ANS
management programs; (2) training enforcement officers on species identification; (3)
identifying entities to promote ANS policies; (4) developing screening and risk assessment tools;
(5) developing mechanisms to track and control internet sales; (6) developing rapid response
capabilities; (7) identifying a regional structure to address ANS; (8) developing ANS lists; and
(9) communicating about ANS laws. Each of these priority issues is accompanied by a list of
actions items.

C.8.2.   CLIMATE CHANGE AND INVASIVE SPECIES IN THE WESTERN REGION
       In the western states, climate change models project air temperature increases of 3 to 4°F
(1.6 to 2.2°C) by the 2030s and 8 to 11°F (4.4 to 6.1°C) by the 2090s (Parson et al., 2001). In
California annual temperatures may increase by 4 to 10°F (2.3 to 5.8°C) between 2070 and 2090
(Hayhoe et al., 2006).  Climate change models also project an increase in winter precipitation
and a decrease in summer precipitation, with an annual average precipitation increase from 10 to
30% (Parson et al., 2001), although California modeling predicts an annual decrease in
precipitation (Hayhoe et al., 2006).  These precipitation changes will lead to earlier melting of
snow pack, increased flooding in rain-fed rivers, and summer water shortages.  Climate change
models also project more extreme wet and dry years (Parson et al., 2001). Along the coast rising
sea levels threaten coastal wetlands and the species they support.
       Climate change may also facilitate the spread and establishment of aquatic invasive
species in the west. For example, water hyacinth in Washington is thought to be limited in its
ability to become established because of the state's cold winters (Washington Department of
Fish and Wildlife, 2001).  As increasing temperatures warm water bodies in the region, the
waters of Washington may be more  suitable to water hyacinth, allowing the plant to become
widely established.
                                         C-25

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C.8.3.  THE WESTERN REGION PLAN'S CURRENT INTEGRATION OF CLIMATE
         CHANGE
        Table C-7 summarizes how the Western Region ANS Action Plan addresses and
incorporates the projected effects of climate change.  The Action Plan does not address climate
change, but provides the opportunity to incorporate changing conditions into action items.
        Table C-7. Assessment of the Western Region Aquatic Nuisance Species
        Action Plan
                 Aspects of plan that may incorporate climate change
                                                                                               Score
Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting from climate change
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific examples
Plan specifically mentions climate change
Plan acknowledges climatic boundaries of species
Plan demonstrates understanding of species and/or ecosystem sensitivity to changing conditions
Plan identifies research on the potential effects of species responding to changing conditions
Plan acknowledges regional differences in expected climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions, but does
not specify changing conditions as part of their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items	
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its leadership and coordination goals and strategies
                                                                                                 0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its prevention goals and strategies
                                                                                                 0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its early detection and rapid response goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its control and management goals and strategies
                                                                                                 0
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its restoration goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its research goals and strategies
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its information management goals and strategies
± iaii cu^uuiua ±\ji ^naiiging ^\jiiuiu\jiia 111 na iimjiiiiainjii nianagv
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its education and public awareness goals and strategies	|    0
Monitoring strategies
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and specifies associated
goals and/or action items	
Plan includes strategy to monitor for changing conditions
Plan includes strategy to utilize monitoring data
Plan includes strategy for managing/updating monitoring data
Revision
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description; 3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or
benchmarks for doing so	
Plan includes strategy for updating and incorporating new information
                                                                                                 0
Funding
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding; 2 = a source is specified for a portion of the
required funding along with strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for 100% of
required funding
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for implementation
Total score:
0
1
                                                C-26

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C.8.4.   INCORPORATING CLIMATE CHANGE INFORMATION
       Climate change will affect the Western region and its water resources throughout the next
decades. The ANS Action Plan should incorporate climate change effects so that management
activities can better respond to changing conditions and remain effective over time. Several of
the Strategic Actions listed in the Action Plan could incorporate climate change considerations to
adapt management activities in the Western region.

C.8.4.1.   Leadership and Coordination
       Issue 7 of the Action Plan proposes enhancing the regional organizational structure for
addressing ANS, and Issue 8  proposes coordination of ANS lists among states and the
clarification of definitions for regulation and policy. States in the region could incorporate
climate change information into this structure by planning communication strategies and sharing
information on the regional effects of climate change, as well as changes in habitats and species
ranges.

C.8.4.2.   Prevention
       The Action Plan encourages the development of screening and risk assessment tools for
ANS identification and management (Issue 4). This includes the identification of groups of
species and ecosystems where the greatest threat exists and the prioritization of these risks.  Risk
assessment of ANS could also account for the projected effects of climate change. Changing
conditions may alter some habitats in favor of some ANS, thereby facilitating establishment.

C.8.4.3.   Early Detection and Rapid Response, Control, and Management
       Issue 6 of the Action Plan outlines the development of a regional rapid response strategy.
This section calls for more communication and cooperation among states and awareness of what
is happening in other states, the region, and the nation. Attention to how ecosystems may be
affected by climate change and how ANS are responding to changing conditions in other states
and regions can help western states be better prepared to address these effects.

C.8.4.4.   Research
       The Action Plan identifies the development of risk assessment and screening tools as a
need in Issue 4 and lists research as one of the specific actions. Risk assessments and screening
tools should incorporate climate change effects in order to provide more accurate analyses of
ANS threats.
                                          C-27

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                                           REFERENCES
Burkett, V; Kusler, J. (2000) Climate change: potential impacts and interactions in wetlands of the United States. J
Am Water Res Assoc 36(2):313-320.

Burkett, V; Ritschard, R; McNulty, S; et al. (2001) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the
southeastern United States. In: Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate
variability and change. Report for the Global Change Research Program. Cambridge, England: Cambridge
University Press; pp.  137-164. Available online at
http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/Library/nationalassessment/05SE.pdf.

Easterling, DR; Karl, TR. (2001) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the midwestern
United States.  In: Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability
and change. Report for the US Global Change Research Program. National Assessment Synthesis Team.
Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press; pp. 167-188. Available online at
http://www.gcrio.org/NationalAssessment/6MW.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

Gibson, CA; Meyer, JL; Poff, NL; et al. (2005) Flow regime alterations under changing climate in two river basins:
implications for freshwater ecosystems.  River Res Appl 21:849-864.

Grant, EC; Philipp, DP; Inendino, KR; et al. (2003) Effects of temperature on the susceptibility of largemouth bass
to largemouth bass virus. J Aquat Anim Health 15(3):215-220.

Hayhoe, K; Cayan, D; Field, CB;  et al. (2006) Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California.  Proc
Natl Acad Sci 101(34):12422-12427.

Hayhoe, K; Wake, CP; Huntington, TG; et al. (2007) Past and future changes in climate and hydrological indicators
in the US Northeast.  Clim Dyn 28:381-407.

Inendino, KR; Grant, EC; Philipp, DP; et al. (2005) Effects of factors related to water quality and population density
on the sensitivity of juvenile largemouth bass to mortality induced by viral infection. J Aquat Anim Health
17(4):304-314.

Jacobs, B; Adams, B; Gleick, P. (2001)  Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the water
resources of the United States. In: Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of
climate variability and change. Report for the Global Change Research Program. Cambridge, England: Cambridge
University Press; pp. 405^35. Available online at
http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/Library/nationalassessment/14Water.pdf.

Magnuson, JJ; Webster, KE; Assel, RA; et al. (1997) Potential effects of climate changes on aquatic  systems:
Laurentian Great Lakes and Precambrian Shield Region. Hydrol Processes 11(8):825-871.

Massachusetts Department of Natural Resources. (2003) Potential invader. Water hyacinth, an exotic aquatic plant.
(Eichhornia crassipes). Available online at
http://www.mass.gov/dcr/waterSupply/lakepond/factsheet/water%20hyacinth.pdf [accessed Apr. 26, 2007].

Mearns, LO; Giorgi, F., McDaniel, L., et al. (2003) Climate scenarios for the southeastern U.S. based on GCM and
regional model simulations.  Clim Change 60(l-2):7-35.

Mulholland, PJ; Best, GR; Coutant, CC; et al. (1997) Effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the
south-eastern United States and the Gulf Coast of Mexico.  Hydrol Processes 11(8):949-970.
                                                 C-28

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Parson, EA; Mote, PW; Hamlet, A; et al. (2001) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the
Pacific Northwest. In: Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential consequences of climate
variability and change. Report for the US Global Change Research Program. National Assessment Synthesis Team.
Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press; pp. 247-280. Available online at
http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/Library/nationalassessment/09PNW.pdf [accessed May 1, 2007].

Robillard, MM; Fox, MG. (2006) Historical changes in abundance and community structure of warmwater piscivore
communities associated with changes in water clarity, nutrients, and temperature. Can J Fish Aquat Sci
63(4):798-809.

National Assessment Synthesis Team (NAST). (2001) Climate change impacts on the United States: the potential
consequences of climate variability and change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge UK.

U.S. EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). (2000) Aquatic nuisance species. In: Lake Superior Lakewide
Management Plan; Chapter 10. Available online at
http://gleams.altarum.org/glwatershed/lamps/lakesuperior/2000/LS%20chapter%2010.pdf [accessed Apr. 26, 2007].

Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife. (2001) Aquatic nuisance species management plan. The Washington
Aquatic Nuisance Species Coordinating Committee.  Available online at
http://wdfw.wa.gov/fish/ans/2001ansplan.pdf [accessed Apr.  26, 2007].
                                                C-29

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                           APPENDIX D

COMPLETE CRITERIA AND SCORING FOR STATE PLAN CONSIDERATION OF
          CLIMATE CHANGE AND/OR CHANGING CONDITIONS
                               D-l

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       We reviewed state aquatic invasive species (AIS) management plans, where available,
and assessed how they address climate change specifically, as well as how they provide
generally for adaptation of management strategies and actions under changing conditions. In
total, we reviewed 25 state plans, including 23 AlS-specific plans and 2 general invasive species
management plans with a significant AIS focus. Categories of assessment include the following:

   (1) How the plan addresses potential impacts resulting from climate change
   (2) How the plan demonstrates capacity to adapt to changing conditions
   (3) How the plan provides monitoring strategies
   (4) Whether and to what extent the plan provides for periodic revision and update
   (5) Whether and to what extent the plan describes funding sources/strategies for plan
       implementation

       The sections below correspond to each assessment category, followed by a section
presenting each state plan's  summary score and rank among assessed states.
                                          D-2

-------
D.I. HOW THE PLAN ADDRESSES POTENTIAL IMPACTS RESULTING FROM
    CLIMATE CHANGE
      Table D-l. Understanding and incorporating potential impacts resulting
      from climate change
SCORING:
0 = no; 1 = briefly mentions; 2 = includes general discussion; 3 = includes quantitative info and/or specific
examples

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Plan
specifically
mentions
climate change
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
Plan
acknowledges
climatic
boundaries of
species
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
1
0
3
2
o
J
1
o
J
0
0
2
1
o
J
0
0
0
1
3
1
Plan
demonstrates
understanding of
species and/or
ecosystem
sensitivity to
changing
conditions
2
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Plan identifies
research on the
potential effects
of species
responding to
changing
conditions
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Plan
acknowledges
regional
differences in
expected
climate changes
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                    D-3

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D.2. HOW THE PLAN DEMONSTRATES CAPACITY TO ADAPT TO CHANGING CONDITIONS
      Table D-2. Capacity to adapt to changing conditions
SCORING:
0 = no; 1 = implicitly (i.e., includes goals and strategies that can be used to account for changing conditions but does not specify changing conditions as part of
their purpose); 2 = yes, explicitly, in passing; 3 = yes, explicitly, and specifies associated goals and/or action items

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Plan accounts for changing conditions in its goals and strategies for...
...leadership and
coordination
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...prevention
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...EDRR
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...control and
management
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...restoration
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...research
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
...information
management
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
...education and
public awareness
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0

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D.3. HOW THE PLAN PROVIDES MONITORING STRATEGIES
      Table D-3. Monitoring strategies
SCORING:
0 = no; 1 = yes, briefly mentions; 2 = yes, but unclear how information will be used; 3 = yes, and
specifies associated goals and/or action items

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Plan includes strategy
to monitor for
changing conditions
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Plan includes strategy
to utilize monitoring
data
2
3
1
3
0
1
3
3
3
3
0
3
3
3
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
3
Plan includes strategy
for managing/updating
monitoring data
o
5
0
1
3
0
1
0
0
o
J
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
o
J
0
o
J
0
                                     D-5

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D.4. WHETHER, AND TO WHAT EXTENT, THE PLAN PROVIDES FOR PERIODIC
    REVISION AND UPDATE
            Table D-4. Revision
SCORING:
0 = no; 1 = yes, in passing; 2 = yes, and includes qualitative description;
3 = yes, and includes timeline and/or benchmarks for doing so

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Plan includes strategy for updating and
incorporating new information
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
0
o
J
0
0
0
o
3
0
1
1
3
2
2
0
o
J
o
J
1
                                  D-6

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D.5. WHETHER, AND TO WHAT EXTENT, THE PLAN DESCRIBES FUNDING
    SOURCES/STRATEGIES FOR PLAN IMPLEMENTATION

           Table D-5. Funding
SCORING:
0 = no; 1 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding;
2 = a source is specified for a portion of the required funding along with
strategies for obtaining remaining funding; 3 = a source is specified for
100% of required funding

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Plan identifies dedicated funding source for
implementation
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0
2
0
3
2
1
2
0
3
1
3
0
0
2
3
                                 D-7

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     D.6. TOTAL SCORING
           The table below sums each state plan's total score for the 5 assessment categories and presents the plan's rank among the
     25 states.

           Table D-6. Total score and ranking for 25 state plans' consideration of climate change and/or provisions for
           adaptation of strategies and actions under changing conditions

Alaska
Arizona
Connecticut
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Missouri
Montana
New York
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin
Dl. Understanding and
incorporating potential
impacts resulting from
climate change
4
1
3
4
1
2
3
1
0
6
5
5
1
3
1
0
3
1
3
0
0
0
4
3
1
D2. Capacity
to adapt to
changing
conditions
4
2
4
3
0
2
2
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
D3.
Monitoring
strategies
5
3
2
6
0
2
3
3
6
3
1
3
3
6
0
3
2
1
0
0
1
5
0
6
3
D4. Plan includes
strategy for updating
and incorporating
new information
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
3
2
2
0
3
3
1
D5. Plan
identifies
dedicated funding
source for
implementation
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0
2
0
3
2
1
2
0
3
1
3
0
0
2
3
Total
Score
(D1-D5)
16
6
12
14
1
6
12
8
14
12
9
10
4
12
9
4
9
5
9
3
6
5
7
17
8
Rank
among
25 states
2
9
4
3
13
9
4
7
3
4
6
5
11
4
6
11
6
10
6
12
9
10
8
1
7
o
oo

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                            APPENDIX E

MODELS FOR INVASIVE SPECIES INTRODUCTION, ESTABLISHMENT, SPREAD,
                          AND INVASION
                                E-l

-------
        Models of invasive species introductions, distribution and spread, and establishment are

key tools for both understanding the invasive species problem and designing effective prevention

and control techniques.  Numerous types of models have been developed.  In many cases,

authors recommend that conservation managers be cognizant of specific factors (e.g., species

interactions, climatic factors, spread vectors) in ecosystem management.  Some authors offer

clear, ready-to-use models and strategies for conservation managers.  Table E-l below lists

examples of models used to predict species invasions.

        Although most invasive species' spread, distribution, and establishment models are not

designed specifically to incorporate climate change variables, several approaches have been

developed that do explicitly address climate change impacts on species distributions.  These

include bioclimatic envelope models,  discriminant analyses, and logistic regression analyses (see

table below—identified by an asterisk). Other modeling methods, such as ecological niche

modeling, could be modified to integrate climate change variables.



        Table E-l. Model and description


Comparative analysis. Ricciardi and Rasmussen (1998) use descriptive information to identify species with high
invasion and impact potential.  The three steps include (1) identifying donor regions and dispersal; (2) selecting
potential invaders based on biological traits; and (3) using invasion history.  The analysis identifies Corophium spp.,
Mysids, and Clupeonella caspia as possible Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River system invaders. The authors
recommend focusing on monitoring and applying described guidelines, and developing an accessible electronic
database of possible invaders.
Comparative analysis. Vermeij (1996) recommends an agenda for invasion biology. The author supports using a
model or approach that is more comparative and systematic that involves a framework of scientific questions that
need to be answered. The paper does not include a scientific study; thus, no results are provided. However, the
author recommends comparing factors involved in the invasion process (arrival, establishment, and integration),
participants, and outcomes at spatial and temporal scales. The author prefers multiple methodological approaches to
address invasion biology.
Simple diffusion model.  Buchan and Padilla (1999) use a simple diffusion model to predict zebra mussel spread by
(1) comparing current pattern of zebra mussel invasion with estimates of boater movements, and (2) diffusion model
data. The model can be used to estimate infrequent, long-distance boater movements to predict AIS invasion
probability. Simple diffusion models are mathematical models that use variables such as population growth and
density and velocity of the invasion front to predict temporal and spatial patterns.  The authors recommend
managers use the results to predict spread rates and patterns to use in developing management strategies for the
Great Lakes. Efforts to curb or stop spread should focus on high frequency long-distance paths such as areas with
high boating activity.
Diffusion. Vanderploeg et al. (2002) describe and predict dispersal patterns and ecological impacts of five invaders
in the Great Lakes. The authors synthesize laboratory data on the ecology of Ponto-Caspian invasive species, on the
patterns of dispersal, and on the impacts of the invasive species. This information is applied to areas of the Great
Lakes and used to generate case studies on change due to invasion, the causes of invasion, and future predictions.
The results show a mix of continuous and discontinuous dispersal. Hypothesized general attributes of invasive
species are valuable to predict successful invaders but not for determining impacts. The authors recommend that
additional research focus onbenthic food webs to understand the primary impact of invaders.
                                               E-2

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        Table E-l.  Model and description (continued)
Diffusion. Suarez et al. (2001) use a stratified diffusion model to reconstruct invasion dynamics of the Argentine
ant (Linepithema humile) because it uses more than one dispersal process. The authors use museum records,
personal surveys, literature, and unpublished communications at three different scales (worldwide, regional, and
local) to determine patterns of dispersal.  The authors find that human-induced "jump-dispersal" plays an important
role in invasion patterns after establishment. The authors recommend that control measures focus on new foci or
preventing new foci. They state that identifying the range of long-distance jump-dispersal will help future modeling
efforts, and reconstructing spatial scales of invasion dynamics may make strategies for management and eradication
more effective.
Reaction-diffusion model. Grosholz (1996) uses a reaction-diffusion model to highlight differences in invasions
between marine and terrestrial species describes population behavior at the population level.  Use of the model
requires the assumption of "random movement, continuous positive population growth, a homogenous environment,
and no taxis or interspecific interactions." It provides insights on invasions at a broader scale (not individual scale).
The results show that using data on one invasion may not be a good predictor of other conspecific invasions. The
author concludes that invasions may not accurately predict invasions for conspecifics and that diffusion models are
useful for predicting general invasion patterns but not for predicting spread rates for specific invasions.
Reaction-diffusion model. Lonsdale (1993) tests whether Skellam's model for area! spread describes Mimosa
pigra invasion and finds that it does not.  Skellam's model is continuous, deterministic, and requires users to assume
(1) population increasing exponentially; (2) diffusing outward randomly; and (3) normally distributed distribution.
The author finds that climatic conditions such as rainfall and flooding increase rate of spread.  The author concludes
that Skellam's model does not sufficiently describe the growth of M. pigra and that population dynamics of invasive
species are relatively simple.
Discrete event simulation. Hill et al. (1998) use a discrete event simulation model to determine the development
and colonization of the green alga Caulerpa taxifolia.  The model accounts for sensitive physical and biological
factors and assesses and predicts C. taxifolia propagation a various scales. In addition to simulating and predicting
expansion, the model produces GIS maps. The authors find that the simulation model is sound and reliable enough
to be partially valid, especially the element of the model that predicted unidentified C. taxifolia settlements. The
authors conclude that problems do exist with the model, but that with additional simulations at other sites, the model
will become more reliable.
Integrodifference Equation models and Integrodifference Matrix Population models. Neubert and Parker
(2004) review Integrodifference Equation (IDE) models to show how they can predict spread rates of invasive
species populations and Integrodifference Matrix Population (IMP) models to show how demographic and spatial
models can be combined. The authors find that IMPs are especially useful for classifying individuals by stage rather
than age, and IMPs are easy to use and analyze. The authors' primary conclusion is that IMPs are useful for
managers because the models can help them understand the likely results of various management alternatives for
invasive species.
Stochastic mathematical models.  Mollison (1986) describes how stochastic models (models with discrete
individuals) can be used to predict dispersal, establishment, spread, and persistence. He concludes that for species
arrival, the shape of dispersal and distribution are important; for establishment, high reproductive rates are
important; for spread population growth rate and mean dispersal distance are important; and for persistence, carrying
capacity is important.  Mollison recommends using stochastic models over deterministic and diffusion models for
modeling control zones to prevent spread of invasive species.
Discriminant analysis.* Curnutt (2000) uses multiple, discriminant analyses to determine correlation between
species distribution and climatic variables to predict plant species invasions. The model identifies areas in Australia,
Africa, and the Americas as areas that may harbor South Florida invasive species. The model functions to match
climate variables of a species native habitat to that of host habitat to predict invasions. The author concludes that
climatic-matching can be an important part of a multi-level management strategy and recommends that future
research focus on determining whether species live in similar habitats as the host region to which they are invasive.
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        Table E-l. Model and description (continued)
Discriminant analysis. Rejmanek and Richardson (1996) use a simple discriminant analysis to determine
predictors of invasiveness. The model uses 10 life-history characteristics of cultivated pine species and classifies
them as invasive characteristics or non-invasive characteristics. Results indicate three traits predict invasive species:
short juvenile period, short interval between large seed crops, and small seed mass.  The best predictor for
herbaceous plants is their latitudinal range.  The authors recommend this model as general screening tool for
detection of invasive, woody seed plants.
Discriminant function and principal component analyses.* Mandrak (1989) uses discriminant function analysis
(DFA) and principal components analysis (PCA) to compare the ecological characteristics of potential invasive
species to recently invading species to determine potential invaders' response to climate change.  The DFA uses a
covariance matrix, and the PCA uses a correlation matrix. Analyses show that 27 of the 58 possible invaders
(46.5%) are considered to be potential invaders of the lower and upper Great Lakes region. Eight potential invaders
are thermally restricted to the Lower Great Lakes region, however, under climate change, their spread could be
relatively swift. The author concludes that management practices such as stocking and rehabilitation implemented
to maintain cool and cold water fisheries may be altered by rapid increases of warmwater species.
Ecological niche modeling.  Peterson (2003) reviews techniques for ecological niche modeling, an approach that
requires the following assumptions: (1) species distribution is limited by its ecological  niche; and (2) a species can
only disperse to an area with similar ecological characteristics.  The results of the author's review indicate that the
ecological niche or geographic element of an invasion constrains the distribution potential of a  species. The author
concludes the potential contribution of ecological niche modeling on the prediction of the potential range of an
invasion has not been fully appreciated.  The author also notes that invasive  species  predictions can be integrated
with global change predictions.
Ecological niche modeling/Genetic algorithm for rule-set production. Peterson et al. (2003) use the genetic
algorithm for rule-set production (GARP) to model ecological niches of and predict the geographic distribution of
four North American invasive plants.  GARP models relate ecological traits  of areas where a species is located to
points sampled randomly from the rest of the test area to determine decision rules that best describe those traits
associated with the species' presence. Results show that ecological niche models based on the  native range of
species can predict invasions; thus, the authors conclude that GARP approach to modeling has  more precise
predictive power than other approaches.
Ecological niche model/GARP.  Underwood et al. (2004) developed a model using GARP to predict non-native
species' environmental niches in Yosemite Valley, considering elevation, slope, and vegetation structure. The
results demonstrate the predictive potential of GARP for identifying potential invasion sites. The authors conclude
that similar models can be developed for other national parks  and that such models may increase the  efficiency of
fieldwork and monitoring while decreasing cost to managers.
Ecological niche model/GARP.  Peterson and Vieglais (2001) outline a framework for developing projections of to
identify the risk of invasion by species from a specific region.  The authors describe the procedure for modeling
ecological niches, focusing on GARP and describe several tests of GARP's accuracy. The framework depends on
availability of biodiversity data.  The authors identify future possibilities for using GARP, including using models to
help create avoidance strategies based on what activities could result in invasions. They also note that it will be
important to work with scientists and managers that have valuable biodiversity data.
Bioclimate envelope model.* Pearson and Dawson (2003) review bioclimate envelope models, discuss limitations,
and propose that the model can be useful as a first approximation to understand climate impact on biodiversity.
Bioclimate envelope models consider only climate variables of a species range and no other factors that can affect
species' distributions. The authors state that it is not possible to accurately predict biogeographical responses to
climate change, but that bioclimate models may be the best available guide for making policy decisions.  The
authors recommend a hierarchical modeling framework with climate as a dominant factor on a  large, continental
scale and biotic factors dominant at micro-scales.
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        Table E-l.  Model and description (continued)
GIS. Haltuch and Berkman (2000) use multiple regression analysis to predict percent cover by zebra mussels. The
analysis incorporates (1) bathymetry, (2) sediment type, and (3) Side Scan Sonar data. The model indicates that
zebra mussels spread across soft substrates and transform soft substrates to hard substrates.  Mussels on soft
substrate may serve as a "positive feedback" for more mussels.  The authors conclude that this GIS modeling can be
used to predict spread of mussels onto soft substrates in other lakes and to examine species invasion dynamics and
impacts across landscapes.
GIS. Le Maitre et al. (1996) use GIS models to show how much water could be lost per year if plant invasions are
allowed to continue uncontrolled. Using this information, they develop a catchment management system. Five
processes modeled separately include: (1) fire occurrence, (2) spread and establishment of alien plants, (3) growth
between fire cycles, (4) rainfall to run off ratio, and (5) effects of biomass on stream flow.  The model shows that,
over a 100-year period, invasive plant species cover increases from 2.4% to 62.4%.  The authors recommend
removing invasive plant species to ensure water availability.
GIS. Wilcox et al. (2003) mapped Phragmites coverage over nine different years using aerial photos in Great Lakes
region.  The authors conduct spatial analysis of total area covered each year. They analyze abundance changes
using geometric or logarithmic growth equations. GIS maps show distribution was dynamic from 1945 to 1999 and
increased exponentially from 1995 to 1999.  The authors conclude that the rapid expansion of Phragmites is due to
decreased water levels in the Great Lakes, increased ambient air temperatures, and possibly natural and human-
induced disturbance. The authors predict that Phragmites will continue to expand at a high rate into the lower Great
Lakes coastal wetlands given the plant's level of invasiveness and predicted climate scenarios.
Regression analysis.  Ricciardi (2003) uses regression analysis on data from various zebra mussel (Dreissena
polymorpha) invasion sites to develop empirical models of zebra mussel impact. The analysis involves comparing
an invader's impacts in the different regions and ecosystems where it has been introduced to determine if the
invader's impacts are predictable in varying habitats. The author's results show that the zebra mussel impacts are
predictable across various areas and habitats. The author recommends correlating models that relate invader
abundance to physical environmental traits with models that relate invader impact to abundance.  Linking these
models to invasions will allow for predictions on which habitats will experience significant impacts from invasion,
and management decisions can be made accordingly.
Logistic regression analysis.* Collingham et al. (2000) use statistical models of presence/absence of three weed
species at coarse and fine scales.  The authors evaluated ability of model at one scale to predict distribution at larger
scale.  The results show some correspondence between environmental factors at different spatial scales.  The authors
recommend modeling species at more than one scale.  This is important for managers, because weed control happens
at a fine scale, but understanding processes on a larger scale is important for long-term management.  For example,
analyses show that climatic variables affect species' ranges; thus, range may be affected by future environmental
change.
Multiple logistic regression analysis. Goodwin et al. (1999) conducted a multiple, logistic regression analyses to
determine if the invasiveness of introduced species can be predicted based on widely available biological data.  The
analyses were conducted on 165 pairs of plant species originating from Europe, where one species in the pair has
invaded Canada and the other species has not (110 pairs were used in the multiple regression analysis and 55 pairs
were used to test predictive ability of the regression models). Three biological attributes were used in the analysis.
The authors found that geographic range of a species is a  successful predictor of invasiveness, while the biological
attributes tested are not. However, geographic range is likely correlated with biological traits. The authors conclude
that predicting invasions on a species-by-species level will not adequately deal with the accidental introduction of
species.
Regression and Akaike's information criteria.  Marchetti et al. (2004) use logistic regression to determine the
relationship between successful establishment and biological variables; multiple regression to evaluate the
relationship of a measure of spread and the average abundance of an invasive species with biological variables; and
Akaike's information criteria (AIC) as an unbiased estimate of the regression model fit.  The results show that
different characteristics favor different stages of invasion (e.g., establishment, spread). The authors find that human
preference affects invasion, and they recommended stopping the transport and release of non-native fish to prevent
invasions.
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        Table E-l.  Model and description (continued)
Spatially explicit, individual-based simulation. Higgins et al. (1996) use factorial design and simple linear
regression-factors ([1] adult fecundity, [2] dispersal ability, [3] time to reproductive maturity, [4] temporal
frequency of post-fire recruitment opportunities, and [5] fire survival by adults) to quantify interactions between
factors on spread rate ofPinus species. All but fire survival can significantly affect Pinus spread rates. Efforts need
to focus on obtaining empirical data for the four relevant factors. Authors conclude that it is important that factor
determination and model development are correlated to ensure that the model is designed to fit with the biological
processes it is modeling.
Taxonomic model. Lockwood (1999) uses bionomial probabilities to predict establishment success of avian
invaders. Specifically, the author creates a random estimation of the number of successful species per family using
bionomical distribution.  The results indicate (1) that some taxa are more likely to successfully establish themselves
than others and (2) that human action (e.g., importing certain species) obscures trait-based taxonomic patterns in
successful establishment. The author concludes that although the likelihood that transport can increase the amount
of introduced species, this does not affect the amount of species that actually become established.
Quantitative taxonomic model. Kolar and Lodge (2001) reviewed publications that use quantitative methods to
assess characteristics of introductions and of species that invade to document taxa-specific trends. The authors
review 16 publications that look at release event characteristics or species characteristics for plants (8) and animals
(8).  Using the literature, they evaluate characteristics of introductions associated with establishment and dispersal of
normative species and describe characteristics similar to species that invade. The results indicate that propagule
pressure is positively related to establishment success; and the region a species originated is significantly associated
with establishment success. The authors recommend that predictive models be broadened to include earlier stages of
invasion.
Quantitative taxonomic models. Kolar and Lodge (2002) predict establishment, spread, and impact of invasive
species in the Great Lakes, using quantitative, predictive risk assessment.  Specifically, the authors employ
discriminant analyses and categorical and regression tree analyses to identify traits of successful and failed invaders,
considering stages of invasion separately.  These two models also are used to assess the risk to the Great Lakes from
species introduced by various vectors. Results show that quantitative models and taxon, ecosystem, and invasion
stage specific data can be used for risk assessments and for guiding policy, education, and management efforts to
prevent future invasions. The authors recommend that the approach they use to assess risk be applied to various
aquatic and terrestrial plant and animal species.
Probability. Huston (2004) uses a dynamic equilibrium model of species diversity to address (1) the probability of
an invader's successful establishment and (2) the probability the invader will become dominant in the invaded
ecosystem. Productivity, disturbance, and environmental factors can be used to predict invasions. Areas with
minimal productivity are easily invaded. Productive, undisturbed, and very unproductive areas are seldom invaded;
the easiest areas to invade, establish, and impact are disturbed, productive areas.  The author recommends
understanding how the deviations in the landscape affect the probability and impact of invasions so that more
efficient and effective monitoring and control programs can be developed.
Demographic model. Bartell and Nair (2004) created a probabilistic risk assessment framework to evaluate the
possibility of solid wood packing material (SWPM) pest establishment.  The approach addresses (1) pest life history
traits, (2) suitable host availability and environmental factors that affect establishment, (3) population dynamics, and
(4) implications of uncertainty on estimates of risk and risk reduction. The results indicate that small increases in
effectiveness of treatment of SWPM can have significant  impact on reducing the risk of pest establishment. The
authors conclude that the methodology is a sound, transparent, and repeatable approach, and it can be used for
assessing the probability of establishment by invasive species.
"Tens" rule. Williamson and Fitter (1996) use the "tens" rule and exceptions to the rule to answer the question
"how might we explain [invaders]?"  The "tens rule" states that 1 in 10 imported species appears in the wild, 1 in 10
introduced species becomes established, and 1 in 10 established species becomes a pest.  Three sets of factors are
important for the tens rule and deviations of it: (1) propagule pressure, (2) factors allowing species to  survive, and
(3) factors determining local abundance. The authors conclude the "tens rule"  does describe much of what is known
and that a more exact algorithm could be developed. They recommend additional studies on early phases of
establishment, causes of death and how density affects these causes, and the distribution of species during dispersal.
                                                   E-6

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        Table E-l. Model and description (continued)
Screening system. Daehler and Carino (2000) tested three systems for their ability to screen for invasive species in
Hawaii: (1) The North American "decision tree," (2) The South African "linear series of five modules," and (3) The
Australian "49 questions." The North American and Australian screening systems had the best results for predicting
invasive species in Hawaii, and both need only minor changes to be used in new areas. The authors recommend
modifying the Australian screening systems for international use.
Multiple competing models.  Adams et al. (2003) use multiple competing models to test the association of invasive
bullfrogs with non-native fish.  Specifically, multiple competing models are used with field survey data to rank the
most important factors on bull frog distribution and abundance.  Data from field experiments were modeled using
logistic regression. The authors found that non-native fish facilitate survival of bullfrog tadpoles. The authors
recommend that users regard the fish as a "keystone invader" in ponds or lakes that were fishless.
Neutral landscape models. With (2004) uses a neutral landscape model (NLM) to determine how landscape
structures impact invasive species dispersal.  NLMs are based on percolation theory, which examines flows through
heterogeneous materials. The author finds that poor dispersers may spread more readily when the disturbance area
is large or concentrated in space.  Good dispersers may spread better with small and localized disturbance.  The
author recommends developing land management actions to control invasive species based on whether dispersal or
demography affects spread more.
Economic model.  Perrings (2002) creates a model of biological invasions based on fixed parameters (invasion rate,
restoration rate) and a variable control rate.  The model demonstrates that the higher the control rate, the lower the
proportion of space occupied by the invasive species. In cases where the system is not controllable or observable,
the author recommends control choices that reflect the precautionary approach.
Review of approaches to assessing invasive plants. Rejmanek (2000) provides a review of approaches: (1)
stochastic; (2) empirical taxon-specific; (3) biological characterization; (4) habitat compatibility; and (5)
experimental, which can be used to address three objectives:  (1) prevention/exclusion of invasive species; (2) early
detection and rapid response; and (3) control/containment/eradication. Descriptions of each approach, examples  of
its use, and how it can be used with the other approaches are included. The author concludes that the most  robust
predictions will be made using more than one approach at the same time, and he recommends that closer attention be
given to habitat-specific predictions.


*Model considers climate variables and/or climate change factors.
                                                   E-7

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