Implementing Indicators
        Addendum
   DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION AT SOLEC 2002
          OCTOBER 2002

-------
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing Indicatoirs Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
              Table of Contents

              Nearshore and Open Water Indicators 	  1

                    Salmon and Trout (Indicator ID #8)
                    Preyfish Populations (Indicator ID #17)
                    Sea Lamprey (Indcator ID #18)
                    Contaminants in Young-of-the-Year Spottail Shiners (Indicator ID #114)

              Land and  Land Use Indicators	  20

                    Brownfield Redevelopment (Indicator ID #7006)
                    Green Planning Process (Indicator ID #7053)

              Human Health Indicators	  27

                    Contaminants in Edible Fish Tissue  (Indicator ID #4083)

              Societal Indicators	  30

                    Solid Waste Generation (Indicator ID #7060)
              Two indicators listed in the Implementing Indicators report were incorrectly categorized.
              Water Use  (Indicator ID #7056) and Energy Consumption (Indicators ID #7057) indicators
              are to be categorized with the Societal suite of indicators, not the Land and Land Use indica-
              tors.
              Draft Papers for SOLEC 2002 were prepared by:

              Biological Integrity - Douglas Dodge & Harvey Shear

              Proposed Changes to the Great Lakes Indicator Suite  - Nancy Stadler-Salt

              Implementing Indicators - Paul Bertram, Stacey Cherwaty & Nancy Stadler-Salt



SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing Indicatoirs Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     Near-shore & Open Water Indicators
               Salmon  and Trout
               Indicator ID #8

               Assessment: Mixed

               Purpose
               This  indicator  shows trends in populations of introduced trout and salmon species in the
               Great Lakes basin. These trends have been used to evaluate the resulting impact on native
               fish populations.

               Ecosystem Objective
               In order to manage  Great Lakes fisheries, a common fish community goal was developed for
               all management agencies;  "To secure fish communities, based on foundations of stable  self-
               sustaining stocks, supplemented by judicious plantings of hatchery-reared  fish, and provide
               from  these communities an optimum contribution of fish,  fishing opportunities and associ-
               ated benefits to meet needs identified by society for: wholesome food, recreation,  cultural
               heritage, employment and income, and a healthy aquatic ecosystem"  (GLFC, 1997).

               Each  lake has individual Fish Community Goals and Objectives (FCGO) for introduced
               trout  and salmon species, in order to establish harvest or yield targets consistent with FCGO
               for lake trout restoration, and in Lake Ontario, for Atlantic salmon restoration.

               Lake  Ontario (1999): Salmon and trout catch rates  in recreational fisheries continuing at
               early-1990s levels.
               Lake  Erie (1999 draft): Manage the eastern basin to provide sustainable harvests of valued
               fish species, including...lake trout, rainbow trout and other salmonines.
               Lake  Huron (1995): A diverse salmonine community that can sustain  an annual harvest of
               2.4 million kg with lake trout the dominant species and anadromous  (stream-spawning)
               species also having  a prominent place.
               Lake  Michigan: A diverse salmonine community capable of sustaining  an annual harvest of
               2.7 to 6.8 million kg (6 to 15 million  Ib), of which 20-25% is lake trout.
               Lake  Superior (1990): Achieve...an unspecified yield of other salmonine predators, while
               maintaining a predator/prey balance that allows normal growth of lake trout.

               Non-native salmonines have become a  prominent element in the  Great Lakes  ecosystem and
               an  important concept in Great Lakes fisheries management objectives.  The populations  of
               introduced salmonine species are managed to keep alewife abundance below levels  associated
               with  the suppression of native fishes, while avoiding wild oscillations  in predator-prey ratios
               and the undermining of the integrity of the ecosystem. In addition, they are also  responsible
               for a  substantial economic impact, through the creation of recreational fishing opportunities.

               State of the Ecosystem
               Non-native salmonine species are stocked in the Great Lakes  ecosystem for a dual purpose: 1)
               to exert a biological control over alewife and  rainbow smelt populations (both exotics) and 2)
               to develop a new recreational fishery (Rand and Stewart, 1998) after decimation of the  native
               top predator (lake trout) by the exotic, predaceous sea lamprey.

               Non-native salmonines  are used as a tool for alewife control. Alewives  are viewed as a nui-


SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
"Nearshone & Open Water Indicators
             sance in the system since they prey on the larvae of a variety of native fishes, including yellow
             perch and lake trout, and because when alewife become very abundant massive die-offs can
             occur that foul beaches used for recreation. In  addition, thiaminase in alewives also has been
             suggested to cause Early Mortality Syndrome (EMS)  in salmonines that consume alewife,
             which is a threat for lake trout rehabilitation prospects  in Lakes Michigan, Huron and
             Ontario, and Atlantic salmon restoration in Lake Ontario.
             A dramatic increase in stocking of non-native salmonines occurred in  the 1960s  and 1970s,
             which is now  augmented by natural reproduction.  It  is estimated from stocking  data that
             ^745 million non-native salmonines have been stocked in the Great Lakes basin between
             1966 and 1998 (Crawford, 2001).

             Figure 1 shows the total amount of non-native salmonine stocking occurring in the  Great
                             Total Non-native Salmonid Stocking in the Great Lakes (1966-1 998)
                 18,000,000
                 16,000,000
               ^ 14,000,000
               il 12,000,000
               o 10,000,000
               |  8,000,000
               |  6,000,000
               *•  4,000,000
                  2,000,000
                         0
                                                             Year
— • — Ontario
-•-Erie
—A — Huron
-•— Mchigan
-*— Superior
               Figure 1. Total non-native salmonine stocking in  the Great Lakes (1966-1998).
             Lakes basin from 1966-1998. From Figure 1 it is evident that Lake Michigan is the most
             heavily stocked lake, with a maximum stocking level in  1984 of 15,578,125 fish. In contrast
             Lake Erie has the lowest rates of stocking, with a maximum of 4,815,303 fish in  1977-
             Lakes Ontario, Huron and Superior all seem to display a similar trend in stocking, especially
             in recent years. Since the late 1980s,  the  number of non-native salmonines  stocked in the
             Great Lakes has been leveling off or slightly declining. This trend can be explained by stock-
             ing limits implemented in 1993  by fish managers to lower prey consumption by salmonine
             species by 50% in Lake  Ontario  (Schaner et al., 2001) and by the implementation of stock-
             ing ceilings  in Lakes Michigan and Huron, as alewife populations are vulnerable to excessive
             salmonine predation (Kocik  and  Jones, 1999).
                        SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum
for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                              Non-Native Salmonid Stocking by Species in the Great Lakes (1966-1998)
                       20,000,000
                       18,000,000
                       16,000,000
                       14,000,000
                       12,000,000
                       10,000,000
                        8,000,000
                        6,000,000
                        4,000,000
                        2,000,000
                               0
                                                                                                 -
                                                                 Year
                                 D Brown Trout
                                                 Chinook Salmon
DCoho Salmon
D Rainbow Trout
                   Figure 2. Non-native salmonine stocking by species in the  Great  Lakes  (1966-
                   1998).   Source: Crawford (2001)

                Figure 2 shows the non-native salmonine stocking by species in the Great Lakes basin from
                1966-1998.  It is evident from Figure  2 that chinook salmon represents the  most heavily
                stocked non-native salmonine in the Great Lakes basin over the study period, accounting  for
                ^45% of all  salmonine releases (Crawford, 2001). Chinook salmon are the least expensive of
                all non-native salmonines to rear, they also prey almost exclusively on alewife and  are thus,
                the backbone of stocking programs in alewife-infested lakes, such as Lakes Michigan, Huron
                and Ontario. Like other salmonines, chinook salmon are also stocked in order  to provide  an
                economically important sport fishery,  which is a need, identified  by society. While chinook
                salmon have the greatest prey demand of all stocked salmonines,  an estimated  76, 000 tones
                of alewife are consumed annually by all salmonine predators (Kocik and Jones,  1999).

                Future Pressures
                Many of these introduced  species are  reproducing successfully in  portions of the basin, and
                can be considered to be "naturalized"  components of the ecosystem.  Therefore, the question
                is no longer  whether non-native salmonines should be introduced, but rather how to deter-
                mine the appropriate abundance of salmonine species in this system.

                Rand  and Stewart (1998), suggest that predatory salmonines have the potential to create  a
                situation where  prey (alewife) is  limiting and ultimately predator survival is reduced. For
                example,  during  the 1990s, chinook salmon in Lake Michigan suffered dramatic declines due
                to high mortality and high prevalence of Bacterial Kidney Disease (BKD), when alewife was
                no longer abundant in the prey  fish community (Hansen and Holey,  2002). Therefore it  is
                evident that  chinook salmon are extremely vulnerable to  low alewife abundance. In  addition,
                it is  estimated that salmonine predators could have been  consuming as much as 53% of
                alewife biomass  in Lake Michigan annually (Brown et al.,  1999). While suppressing alewife
                populations,  managers must seek to avoid extreme "boom and  bust" predator and prey
                populations,  a condition not conducive to  biological  integrity. The current  adaptive manage-
                ment objective is to produce a predator/prey balance by  adhering to stocking ceilings estab-
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicatoins Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
              lished for each lake, based on assessment of forage species and naturally produced
              salmonines. Alewife populations in the Great Lakes have now become an object of fisheries
              management concern because of their importance as a forage base for salmonine sport fishery,
              and to some managers are no longer viewed as a nuisance (Kocik and Jones, 1999)- Conse-
              quently, with finite prey and habitat resources for salmonine production, each species will
              exist at some expense to others. To date there is no evidence that current levels of non-native
              salmonine stocking are an impediment to the restoration of native salmonines; however, there
              is no guarantee that this will continue to be the case in the  future.

              Future Activities
              Many of these salmonine species are still being  stocked  in order to maintain an adequate
              population  to suppress non-native  prey  species  (alewife) and for recreational fisheries. It still
              remains unknown  to what extent stocking of these species (where it  is still practiced) should
              continue in order to avoiding oscillations in the forage base  of the ecosystem.  More research
              needs to be conducted to determine the optimal number of non-native salmonines, to
              estimate abundance of naturally produced salmonine  species, to assess the abundance of
              forage species,  and to  better understand the role of non-native salmonines and exotic prey
              species in the Great Lakes Ecosystem. Fisheries  managers also find it difficult  to predict
              appropriate stocking levels in the Great  Lakes basin because  there is a delay before stocked
              salmon become significant consumers of alewife; meanwhile  alewife can suffer  severe die  offs
              in particularly  severe winters. Within a  natural  ecosystem, there will always  be limits to the
              level of stocking that can be adequately sustained,  and this level is based on the balance
              between bioenergetic demands of both predator and prey (Kocik and Jones, 1999). Chinook
              salmon will probably continue to be the most abundantly stocked salmonine  species  in  the
              basin, since they are inexpensive to  rear, feed heavily on alewife, and a highly  valued by
              recreational fishers. Fisheries managers should continue  to model, assess, and  practice adap-
              tive management with the ultimate objective being to meet  the "needs  identified by society".

              Further Work Necessary
              Data of both the number of stocked and naturally produced salmonines and of prey fish
              abundance  (alewife) needs to be continually maintained in order for fisheries  managers to
              stock judiciously in implementing  adaptive  management for predator/prey balance, for
              recreational fisheries, and for a healthy aquatic  ecosystem. This indicator should be reported
              frequently as salmonine  stocking is  a complex and dynamic  management intervention in the
              Great Lakes Ecosystem.

              Acknowledgments
              Author: Melissa  Greenwood, Environment Canada, Downsview,  ON.
              Stocking Data: Adapted from Crawford (2001). Primary source from the Great Lakes Fishery
              Commission fish stocking database (1966-1998) received from  Mark Holey (U.S. Fish and
              Wildlife Service), March 2000.  Also with the inclusion  of other additional sources.

              Sources
              Brown Jr., E.H., Busiahn, T.R., Jones, M.L., and Argyle, R.L.  (1999). Allocating Great  Lakes
              Forage Bases in Response to Multiple Demand. Great Lakes Fisheries Policy and Manage-
              ment: a Binational Perspective. Taylor, WW and Ferreri C.P (eds). East Lansing, MI, Michi-
              gan State University Press (www.msu.edu/unit/msupress): pp.  355-394
              Crawford, S.S. (2001). Salmonine Introductions  to the Laurentian Great Lakes: An Historical
                        SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               Review and Evaluation of Ecological Effects. Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and
               Aquatic Sciences. 132: 205 pp.

               GLFC - Great Lakes  Fishery Commission (2001). Strategic Vision of the Great Lakes Fishery
               Commission for the First Decade  of the New Millennium. Available  [online] www.glfc.org.
               [Accessed 2002, 08,  02]

               GLFC - Great Lakes  Fishery Commission.  (1997). A Joint Strategic Plan for Management of
               Great Lakes Fisheries, Ann Arbor,  MI.

               Hansen, M.J. and M.E.  Holey. 2002.  Ecological factors affecting the sustainability of
               chinook and coho salmon populations in the Great Lakes, especially Lake Michigan, pp.
               155-179 in Lynch, K.D., Jones, M.L.  and Taylor, WW  Sustaining North American salmon:
               Perspectives across regions and disciplines. American Fisheries Society Press, Bethesda, MD.

               Kocik, J.F., and Jones, M.L. (1999). Pacific Salmonines in the Great Lakes Basin. Great Lakes
               Fisheries Policy and Management:  a Binational Perspective. Taylor, W.W. and Ferreri C.P
               (eds). East Lansing, MI, Michigan State University Press (www.msu.edu/unit/msupress): pp
               455-489-

               Rand,  PS. and Steward D.J. (1998). Prey fish exploitation, salmonine production,  and
               pelagic food web efficiency in Lake Ontario. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 55: 318-327-

               Schaner, T, Bowlby, J.N., Daniels, M., Lantry, B.F. (2001). Lake Ontario Offshore Pelagic
               Fish Community. Lake Ontario Fish Communities and Fisheries: 2000 Annual Report of the
               Lake Ontario Management Unit,  pp 1.1-1.10.
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
              Preyfish Populations
              Indicator ID #17

              Assessment: Mixed  Deteriorating

              Purpose
              To  directly measure abundance and diversity of preyfish populations,  especially in relation to
              the stability of predator species necessary to maintain the biological integrity of each lake.

              Ecosystem Objective
              The importance  of preyfish populations to support healthy, productive populations  of
              predator fishes is recognized in the FCGOs for each lake.  For example, the fish community
              objectives for  Lake Michigan specify that in order to restore an ecologically balanced fish
              community, a diversity of prey species at population levels matched to primary production
              and predator demands  must be maintained.  This indicator also relates to  the 1997 Strategic
              Great Lakes Fisheries Management Plan Common Goal  Statement for Great Lakes fisheries
              agencies.

              The preyfish assemblage forms important  trophic links  in  the  aquatic ecosystem and consti-
              tute the  majority of the fish production in the Great Lakes.  Preyfish populations in each  of
              the lakes are currently monitored on an annual basis in  order to quantify the population
              dynamics of these important fish stocks leading to a better understanding of the processes
              that shape the fish community and to identify those characteristics critical  to each species.
              Populations of lake trout,  Pacific salmon, and other salmonids  in have been established as
              part of intensive  programs designed to rehabilitate (or develop new) game  fish populations
              and commercial fisheries.  These  economically valuable predator species sustain an increas-
              ingly demanding and highly valued fisheries and information  on their status is crucial.  In
              turn, these apex predators are sustained by forage fish populations.  In addition, the bloater
              and the lake herring, which are native species, and the rainbow smelt  are also directly impor-
              tant to the commercial fishing industry. Therefore, it is very important that the current
              status and estimated carrying capacity of the preyfish populations  be fully  understood in
              order to fully address (1)  lake trout restoration goals, (2) stocking projections, (3),  present
              levels of salmonid abundance and (4)  commercial fishing interests.

              Features
              The segment of the Great Lakes'  fish communities that we classify as  preyfish comprises
              species — including both pelagic  and benthic species — that prey on invertebrates  for their
              entire life history. As  adults, preyfish depend on diets of crustacean zooplankton and
              macroinvertebrates Diporeia and Mysis. This convention also supports the recognition of
              particle-size distribution theory and size-dependent ecological  processes.  Based on size-
              spectra theory, body size is an indicator of trophic level  and the smaller,  short-lived fish that
              constitute the planktivorous fish assemblage discussed here are a discernable trophic group of
              the food web.  At present, bloaters (Coregonus hoyi), lake herring (Coregonus artedi), rainbow
              smelt (Osmerus mordax), alewife  (Alosa pseudoharengus),  and deepwater sculpins
              (Myoxocephalus thompsoni), and to a lesser degree species like lake whitefish (Coregonus
              clupeaformis),  ninespine  stickleback (Pungitius pungitius)  and  slimy sculpin  (Cottus cognatus)
              constitute the bulk of the preyfish communities.
                         SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               In Lake Erie, the prey fish community is unique among the Great Lakes in that it is charac-
               terized by relatively high species diversity.  The prey fish community comprises primarily
               gizzard shad (Dorosoma cepedianum) and alewife (grouped as clupeids),  emerald (Notropis
               atherinoides) and spottail  shiners (TV.  hudsonius), silver chubs  (Hybopsis storeriana), trout-perch
               (Percopsis  omiscomaycus), round  gobies (Neogobius  melanostomus), and rainbow smelt (grouped
               as soft-rayed), and  age-0  yellow (Perca flavescens) and white perch (Morone americana), and
               white bass (M. chrysops) (grouped as spiny-rayed).

               State of the Ecosystem
               Lake Ontario:  Alewives  and to  a lesser degree rainbow smelt dominate  the preyfish popula-
               tion. Alewives declined  to a low level in 2002 after being driven to intermediate levels in
               2000-2001  by an exceptionally strong 1998 year  class and a strong 1999 year class; al-
               though alewives produced a weak year class in 2000, they produced a strong year class in
               2001.  Rainbow smelt were at record low levels in 2000-2002; a paucity of large individuals
               indicates heavy predation pressure. Alewife and rainbow smelt moved to deeper water in the
               early 1990s when zebra and quagga mussels colonized the lake and they remain in deeper
               water to this day.  Slimy sculpin populations declined coincident with the collapse of
               Diporeia and show no signs of returning to former levels of abundance.  No deepwater
               sculpins were caught in 2000-2001.  Assessment for Lake Ontario:  Mixed, deteriorating.

               Lake Erie: The prey fish community in all three basins of Lake Erie has shown declining
               trends.  In  the eastern basin, rainbow smelt have  shown declines  in abundance over the past
               two decades, although slight increases have occurred in the past  couple  years.  The declines
               have been attributed to lack of recruitment associated with expanding Driessenid coloniza-
               tion and reductions in productivity.  The western and central basins  also have shown declines
               in forage  fish abundance  associated with declines  in abundance of age-0 white perch and
               rainbow smelt, respectively.  The clupeid component of the  forage fish  community has
               shown no  overall trend in the past decade, although gizzard shad and alewife  abundance has
               been quite variable across the survey period. The biomass estimates for  western Lake Erie
               were based  on data from bottom trawl catches, data from acoustic trawl mensuration  gear,
               and depth strata extrapolations (0-6 m, and >6 m).   Assessment for Lake Erie: Mixed, deterio-
               rating.

               Lake Michigan:  In  recent years, alewife biomass has remained at consistently lower levels
               compared to the 1970-1980s.   Some  increase in abundance is noted with strong 1995 and
               1998 year classes, but the current low population levels  appear to be driven in large part by
               predation pressure.  Rainbow smelt have declined and remain at  lower  levels,  possibly due to
               predation.  Bloater biomass has declined steadily since 1990 and  is attributed  to  a lack of
               recruitment and slow growth.  Bloaters are expected to decline further,  but may rebound  as
               part of an anticipated natural cycle in abundance.  Sculpins remain at the same level of
               abundance and continue  to contribute a significant portion of the preyfish biomass.  No age-
               0 yellow perch were caught in 2001, indicating another failed year class in a series since
               1989-  Lake-wide biomass of Dreissenid mussels  increased between 1999 and 2001 (with
               the  quagga mussel  invasion just beginning) while Diporeia populations  continue  to decline.
               Assessment for Lake Michigan: Mixed,  deteriorating.

               Lake Huron:  Similar to Lake Michigan, the decline in bloater abundance has resulted in shift
               in an increased proportion of alewives in the preyfish community. The  changes in the
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               abundance and  age structure of the prey for salmon and trout to predominantly younger,
               smaller fish suggests that predation pressure is an important force in both alewife and rain-
               bow smelt populations.  Sculpin populations  have varied,  but have  been at lower levels in
               recent years.  No  sampling was conducted  in L. Huron in 2000 but was resumed in 2001.
               In 2001 bloater and  rainbow smelt continued to decline in importance while alewife contin-
               ued  to  increase  due in part to  a particularly strong 2001 year class. Alewife regained their
               position as the dominant preyfish species in Lake Huron, largely as  a result of a series of
               strong year classes since  1998.  Whitefish continue to decline from peak levels  in the mid
               1990s.  Overall, the  L. Huron fish community is dominated by non-native species, notably
               alewife.  Round gobies and Driessenid mussels are proliferating throughout the lake and
               increasing in abundance.  Assessment for Lake  Huron: Mixed, deteriorating.

               Lake Superior:  Over  the past  10-15 years,  prey fish  populations declined in total biomass
               when compared to the peak years in 1986, 1990, and 1994, a period when lake herring was
               the dominant prey fish species and wild lake  trout populations were starting to recover.
               Since the early 1980s, dynamics in the total biomass of prey fish has  been driven largely by
               variation in recruitment  of age-1 lake herring.  Strong year classes in  1984, 1989, and  1998
               were largely responsible  for peak lake herring biomass in 1986, 1990-1994, and 1999-
               Biomass of rainbow smelt,  the dominant prey fish during 1978-1984, has declined but has
               been relatively constant over the past  10 years.  Bloater biomass has nearly doubled since the
               early 1980s but like smelt, has been more constant than lake herring.  The rise and fall of
               total prey fish biomass over the period 1984-2001 reflects  the recovery  of wild lake trout
               stocks and resumption of commercial  harvest  of lake herring in Lake Superior.  Increases in
               prey fish populations are not likely without reductions in harvest by predators and commer-
               cial  fisherman.  Other species, notably sculpins, burbot,  and stickleback have declined  in
               abundance since the  recovery of wild  lake trout populations in the  mid-1980s.  Thus, the
               current state of the Lake Superior fish community appears to be largely the  result of the
               recovery of wild lake  trout stocks coupled with the resumption of human harvest of key prey
               species.  Assessment for Lake Superior: Mixed, improving.

               Future Pressures
               The influences of predation by salmon and trout on preyfish populations appear to  be
               common across  all lakes. Additional pressures from  Dreissena populations are apparent in
               Lakes Ontario, Erie,  and Michigan.   "Bottom-up" effects on the prey fishes have already
               been observed in Lake Ontario following the  dreissenid-linked collapse of Diporeia and are
               likely to become apparent in lakes  Michigan  and Huron as Dreissenids  expand and  Diporeia
               decline.  Furthermore, anecdotal observations in Lake Ontario indicate  that Mysis are declin-
               ing as Dreissenids proliferate in profundal  waters, suggesting that dynamics of prey fish
               populations in future years could  be driven by bottom-up rather than top-down effects in
               lakes Michigan, Huron,  and Ontario.

               Future Activities
               Recognition of significant predation effects on preyfish populations has resulted in recent
               salmon stocking cutbacks in Lakes Michigan, Huron, and Ontario.  However, even with a
               reduced population, alewives have  exhibited the ability to produce  strong year classes such
               that the continued judicious use of artificially propagated predators seems necessary to  avoid
               domination by alewife.  It should be noted that this  is not an option  in  Lake Superior since
               lake trout and salmon are largely lake-produced.  Potential "bottom-up"  effects on prey fishes


8                         SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               would be difficult in any attempt to mitigate owing to our inability to affect  changes — this
               scenario only reinforces the need to avoid further introductions of exotics into the Great Lake
               ecosystems.

               Further Work Necessary
               It has been advanced that  in order to restore an ecologically balanced  fish community, a
               diversity of prey species at population levels matched to primary production and predator
               demands must be maintained.  However, the current mix of native and naturalized prey and
               predator species, and the  contributions of artificially propagated predator species into the
               system confound any sense of balance in lakes other than Superior. The metrics of ecological
               balance as  the consequence of fish community structure are best defined through food-web
               interactions. It is through understanding the exchanges of trophic supply and demand that
               the fish community can be described quantitatively and ecological attributes such as balance
               can be better defined and  the limits inherent to the ecosystem realized.

               Continued monitoring of the fish communities and regular assessments of food habits of
               predators and prey fishes will be required to quantify the food-web dynamics  in the Great
               Lakes.  This recommendation is  especially supported by continued changes that are occur-
               ring not only  in the upper but also in the lower trophic levels.  Recognized sampling limita-
               tions of traditional capture techniques (bottom trawling) has  prompted the application of
               acoustic techniques as another means to estimate absolute abundance of prey  fishes in the
               Great Lakes. Though not an assessment panacea, hydro-acoustics has provided additional
               insights and has demonstrated utility in the estimates of preyfish biomass.

               It is obvious that protecting or reestablishing rare  or extirpated members of the once promi-
               nent  native prey fishes, most notably the various members of the  whitefish  family (Coregonus
               spp), should be a priority  in all the Great Lakes.  This recommendation would include the
               deepwater  cisco species and should be reflected in future indicator reports.  Lake Superior,
               whose preyfish assemblage is dominated by indigenous species and retains a full complement
               of ciscos, should be examined more closely  to better understand the trophic ecology of a
               more natural system.

               With the continuous nature of changes that seems to characterize the  prey  fishes, the appro-
               priate frequency to review  this indicator is on a 5-year basis.

               Acknowledgments
               This  report was compiled by Owen T Gorman, USGS  Great  Lakes Science  Center, Lake
               Superior Biological Station, Ashland,  WI; with contributions  from Robert O'Gorman and
               Randy W  Owens, USGS Great Lakes Science Center, Lake Ontario Biological Station,
               Oswego NY; Jean Adams,  Charles Madenjian and  Jeff Schaeffer, USGS Great  Lakes Science
               Center, Ann Arbor, ML; Mike Bur USGS Great Lakes Science Center, Lake Erie Biological
               Station, Sandusky, OH; and Jeffrey Tyson, Ohio Div. of Wildlife Sandusky  Fish Research
               Unit, Sandusky, OH.

               All preyfish trend figures are based on annual bottom trawl surveys performed by USGS
               Great Lakes Science Center, except the Lake Erie figure, which is from surveys conducted by
               the Ohio Division  of Wildlife and the Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources.
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                        o

-------
 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                             ]L. herring  BR. smelt DL. whitefish  • Bloater
               Figure 1.  Preyfish population trends in the Great  Lakes
10
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicatoirs Addendmoni
for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               Sea  Lamprey
               Indicator ID #18

               Assessment: Mixed Improving

               Purpose
               Estimates of the abundance of sea lampreys are presented as an indicator of the status of this
               invasive species and of the damage it causes to the fish communities and aquatic  ecosystems
               of the Great Lakes.  Populations of native top predator, lake trout, and other fishes are nega-
               tively affected by  mortality caused by sea lampreys.

               Ecosystem Objective
               The  1955 Convention of Great Lakes Fisheries created the  Great Lakes Fishery Commission
               (GLFC) "to formulate  and implement a comprehensive program for the purpose of eradicating or
               minimizing the sea lamprey populations in the Convention area". Under the Joint  Strategic Plan
               for Great Lakes Fisheries, lake committees, consisting of all fishery management agencies,
               have  established Fish Community Objectives (FCOs) for each of the lakes.  These FCOs  cite
               the need  for sea lamprey control to support objectives for the  fish community,  in particular,
               objectives for lake trout, the native top predator.  The FCOs include endpoints for sea
               lampreys  of varying specificity:

               Superior  (1990) - 50% reduction in parasitic-phase sea lamprey abundance by 2000, and a
               90%  reduction by 2010;
               Michigan (1995) - Suppress the sea lamprey to allow the achievement of other fish-community
               objectives;
               Huron (1995) - 75%  reduction in parasitic sea lamprey by the year 2000 and a 90% reduction
               by the year 2010 from present levels;
               Erie  (1999 draft) - sea lamprey are a pest species requiring control;
               Ontario (1999) -  Suppress sea lamprey to early-1990s  levels,  and maintaining marking rates  at
               <0.02 marks/lake  trout.

               State of the Ecosystem
               The first  complete round of stream treatments with  the lampricide TFM, as  early as I960 in
               Lake  Superior, successfully suppressed sea lampreys to less  than  10%  of their pre-control
               abundance all of the Great  Lakes.

               Mark and recapture estimates of the size of runs of sea lampreys migrating  up rivers  to spawn
               is used as a surrogate of the abundance  of parasites feeding in  the lakes during the previous
               year.  Estimates of individual spawning  runs in trappable streams are combined to estimate
               lake-wide abundance using  a new regression model that relates run size to  stream characteris-
               tics.   Sea lamprey spend one year in the lake after metamorphosing, so this indicator has a
               two-year lag in demonstrating the effects of control efforts.  Figure 1  presents these lake-wide
               estimates since 1980.

               Lake  Superior:  During the  past 20 years, populations have fluctuated but remain at levels
               less than  10% of peak abundance.  The FCO for sea lampreys was met in  1994 and 1995,
               but abundance has increased since 1995-  Recent  increased abundance estimates  have raised
               concern in all waters.  Marking rates have shown the  same pattern  of increase especially in


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                        \\

-------
"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
              some areas of Canadian waters.  Survival objectives for lake trout continue to be met but
              could be threatened if increases where to continue.  Abundance estimates for 2000 and 2001
              show a pattern of decline.    Stream treatments were increased during 2001 in response to
                                                              the observed trends.
               CD
               Q.
               E
              JD
               03
               CD
               to
               CD
               CO
               CD
               Q.
               O)
               CD
               Q.
               CO
              "5
               CD
               O
               CD
              T3
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
     0
                                       Superior
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
                                       Michigan
       OCMTtCOOOOCMTtCDOOO
       00  00 00 00 00  O)  O) O) O)  O)  O
       O)  O) O) O) O)  O)  O) O) O)  O)  O
500,000 n
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
     0
                     Huron/
100,000
 80,000
 60,000
 40,000
 20,000
     0
                    Erie
                           OCMTtCO
                           00 00  00 00
                                         OCMTtCDOOO
                    500,000
                    400,000
                    300,000
                    200,000
                    100,000
                   Ontario
                           OtMTftOOOOeMTl-tOOO
                           00  00  00 00 00  O)  O) O) O)  O)
                           O)  O)  O) O) O)  O)  O) O) O)  O)
                   Figure 1. Total annual abundance of sea
                   lamprey estimated during the spawning
                   migration.  Note the scale for Lake Erie is
                   1/5 larger than the other lakes.
Lake Michigan:  Over the majority of the
lake, populations have been  relatively
stable.  Marking rates on lake trout have
remained low for the period  and the
general FCOs are being met.  However, a
gradual increase in  the lake population is
continuing through 1999 and to  the
present.  This continuing trend suggests
sources of sea lampreys in Lake Michigan
itself rather than from Lake Huron as
previously believed. Stream treatments
were increased in 2001 including treat-
ment of previously untreated lentic areas.

Lake Huron:  Following the success of the
first full  round of stream treatments
during the late 1960s, sea lamprey
populations were suppressed to low levels
(<10%) through the 1970s.   During the
early 1980s,  populations increased in Lake
Huron, particularly the north.  This
increase continued  through to a peak in
abundance during  1993-  Through the
1990s Lake  Huron contained more sea
lamprey than all the other lakes com-
bined.  FCOs were not being achieved.
The Lake Huron Committee had  to
abandon its lake trout restoration objective
in the northern portion of the lake during
1995 because so few lake trout were
surviving attacks by sea lamprey to survive
to maturity. The St. Marys River was
identified as  the source of this increase.
The size of this connecting channel made
traditional treatment with the lampricide
TFM impractical.   A new integrated
control strategy including targeted appli-
cation  of a new bottom-release lampricide,
enhanced trapping  of spawning animals,
and sterile-male release was initiated  in
1997-  A decline in spawning-phase
abundance is predicted for 2001 as a
result of the  completion of the first full
                         SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum
                                                                    for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                      "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                round of lampricide spot treatments during 1999-  While a decline was observed in 2001,
                the population shows  considerable variation and the full effect of the control program will
                not be observed for another 2-4 years.

                Lake  Erie:  Following  the completion of the first full round of stream treatments in  1987, sea
                lamprey populations collapsed.   Lake trout survival wounding rates  declined and survival
                increased to levels sufficient to  meet the rehabilitation  objectives  in the eastern basin.   How-
                ever lamprey abundance has increased since the early 1990's to levels that threaten the lake
                trout success. A major assessment effort during 1998  indicated that the source of this
                increase  were several streams in which treatments had been deferred due to low water flows
                or concerns  for non-target  organisms.  These critical streams have been treated during  1999
                and 2000 and  sea lamprey abundance is predicted to decline  by 2002. The decline observed
                in 2001  might be a preliminary indication of success.

                Lake  Ontario:  Abundance  of spawning-phase sea lampreys has continued to decline to low
                levels  through  the 1990s.  The abundance of sea lampreys has remained stable during 2000-
                2001. The FCOs for sea lamprey abundance continues to be achieved, but lake trout  mark-
                ing rates have exceeded the target if only slightly during the last  two years.

                Future Pressures
                Since  parasitic-phase sea lampreys are at the top of the aquatic food chain and inflict high
                mortality on large piscivores, population control is essential for healthy fish communities.
                The potential for sea lampreys  to colonize  new locations is increased with improved water
                quality and removal of dams.  Increasing abundance in Lake Erie demonstrates how short
                lapses in control can result in rapid increases of abundance and that continued effective
                stream treatments are  necessary to overcome the reproductive potential of this invading
                species.

                As fish communities recover from the effects of lamprey predation or overfishing, there is
                evidence that the survival of parasitic sea lampreys increases due  to prey availability.  Better
                survival  means that there are more residual sea lamprey to cause  harm. Significant additional
                control efforts, like those on the St.  Marys River, may be necessary to maintain suppression.

                The GLFC has  a goal of reducing reliance  on  lampricides and increasing efforts to integrate
                other  control techniques, such  as the sterile-male-release-technique or the installation of
                barriers  to stop  the upstream migration of adults.  Pheromones that affect migration and
                mating have been discovered an offer exciting potential as new alternative controls.  The use
                of alternative controls is consistent with sound practices of integrated pest management,  but
                can put  additional  pressures on the ecosystem such as  limiting the passage of fish upstream
                of barriers.  Care must be taken in applying new alternatives or in reducing lampricide use to
                not allow sea lamprey abundance to increase.

                Future Actions
                The GLFC has increased stream treatments and lampricide applications  in response to
                increasing abundances. The GLFC continues to focus on research and development of
                alternative control strategies.  Computer models, driven by empirical data, are being used to
                best allocate treatment resources, and research is being conducted to better understand and
                manage  in the variability in sea lamprey populations.


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                        j =f

-------
  "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               Further Work Necessary
               Targeted increases in lampricide treatments are predicted to reduce sea lampreys to accept-
               able levels.  The effects of increased treatments will be observed in this indicator beginning in
               2003-  Discrepancies among estimates of different life-history stages need to be resolved.
               Efforts to identify all sources of sea lampreys need to continue.  In addition, research to
               better understand lamprey/prey interactions, the population dynamics of lampreys that
               survive control actions, and refinement alternative methods are all key to maintaining sea
               lamprey  at tolerable levels.

               Acknowledgments
               Author: Gavin Christie, Great Lakes Fishery Commission, Ann Arbor, MI.
1 A                        SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                    Nearshore & Open "Water Indicators
               Contaminants in Young-of-the-Year Spottail Shiners
               Indicator ID #114

               Assessment: Mixed Improving

               Purpose
               Fish are an important indicator of contaminant levels in a system because of the
               bioaccumulation of organochlorine chemicals and metals in their tissues.  Contaminants that
               are often undetectable in water may be detected in juvenile fish. Juvenile spottail shiner
               (Notropis hudsonius) was selected by Suns and Rees  (1978)  as the principal  biomonitor for
               assessing trends in contaminant levels in nearshore waters.  It is the preferred species for the
               following reasons:  it has limited range in the first year of life;  undifferentiated feeding habits
               in early stages; is important  as a forage fish; and is present  throughout the Great Lakes.  The
               position it holds in the food chain also  creates an important link for contaminant transfer to
               higher trophic levels.

               Ecosystem Objective
               To identify areas of concern and monitor contaminant trends over time for  the near shore
               waters of the Great Lakes.

               Concentrations of toxic contaminants in juvenile forage fish should not pose a risk to  fish-
               eating wildlife. The International Joint Commission's Aquatic  Life Guideline  (GLWQA
               1978) and the New York  State Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC)  Fish
               Flesh Criteria (Newell et al.  1987) for the protection of piscivorous wildlife are used as
               acceptable guidelines for this indicator.  Contaminants detected in forage fish and their
               respective guidelines are:  poly chlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), lOOng/g; dichlorodiphenyl
               trichloroethane and  breakdown  products (total DDT), 200ng/g; hexachlorocyclohexane,
               lOOng/g; hexachlorobenzene (HCB), 330ng/g; octachlorostyrene, 20ng/g;  chlordane
               (500ng/g); and mirex (5ng/g).  Since the mirex guideline is equal to the detection limit, if
               mirex is  detected,  the guideline  is exceeded.

               State of the Ecosystem
               In each of the Great Lakes,  PCB is the contaminant most frequently exceeding the guideline.
               Total DDT is often detected and although the guideline was exceeded in the past, currently
               concentrations are well below the guideline.  Mirex  is detected and exceeds the guideline
               only at Lake Ontario locations.  Other  contaminants listed above are not frequently detected,
               and at concentrations well below guidelines.

               Lake Erie: Trends  were examined for  four locations in Lake Erie: Big Creek, Leamington,
               Grand Pviver and Thunder Bay Beach.  Overall, the  trends  show higher concentrations of
               PCBs in the early  years with a steady decline over time. At Big Creek PCB concentrations
               were  high until 1986, usually exceeding 300ng/g.  After 1987, PCB concentrations have
               remained near the guideline of 100 ng/g.  At the Grand River, PCBs declined from a  high of
               I46ng/g in  1976  to less than the detection  limit (20n/g) in 1990.  At Thunder Bay  Beach
               the highest concentration  of PCBs was  in 1978 (l46ng/g).  After 1978,  PCB concentrations
               have  been less than the lOOng/g guideline.

               Total DDT concentrations at Lake Erie sites have been well below the guideline except at


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                      \ t

-------
  "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               Leamington where 183ng/g were reported in 1986. Maximum concentrations at other Lake
               Erie sites were found in the 1970s  and ranged from 38ng/g at Thunder Bay Beach to 75ng/g
               at Big Creek.
                                   PCB in Spottail Shiners from
                                        Leamington
                                             Year
                                  PCB in Spottail Shiners from Big
                                          Creek
                                            Year
                                  PCB in Spottail Shiners from the
                                         Grand PJver
                                200 T-
                             5 150
                             ut
                             I 100-H
                             0 50
                                 0



~n~

T





fl n rn rn rn rn
                                            Year
                                    PCB in Spottail Shiners from
                                       Thunder Bay Beach
                                             Year
                                        DDT in Spottail Shiners from
                                             Leamington
                                                                            Year
                                   Figure  1. PCB and Total DDT
                                   Levels in Juvenile Spottail
                                   Shiners from Four Locations in
                                   Lake Erie.  (The figures show
                                   mean concentrations plus
                                   standard  deviations.  The red
                                   line indicates the wildlife
                                   protection guideline.  When
                                   not detected, one half of the
                                   detection limit was  used to
                                   calculate  the mean concentra-
                                   tion.)
               Lake Huron: Trend data are available for two locations in Lake Huron: Collingwood Harbour
               and Nottawasaga River. At  Collingwood Harbour the highest  PCB concentrations were
               found when sampling commenced in  1987 (206ng/g).  Since  then, PCB concentrations have
               either  exceeded or fallen just below the guideline. At  the Nottawasaga River  the highest
               concentration of PCBs was in  1977 (90ng/g). Concentrations  declined to less than the
               detection limit by 1987- The highest concentration of total DDT at  Collingwood Harbour
               was found in 1987 (24ng/g).   At the Nottawasaga River, there has been a steady decline in
               total DDT since 1977 when concentrations  were!06ng/g.
16
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum
for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                   "Nearshore & Open "Water Indicators
PCB in Spottail Shiners from the
Nottawasaga River
~ 100 -


v 60 -
u "
Q- 20 -











T
H^


1977 1982



I







PI I— I I— I

1986 1987 1989 1990
Year

PCB in Spottail Shiners from
Collingwood Harbour

c
•=• 200 -
3 100 -
Q.

I
Q:n n n -
rnh

Year
- * fi
n n



                        Figure 2. PCB Levels in Juvenile Spottail Shiners from Two Locations in
                        Lake Huron.   (The figures show mean concentrations plus standard devia-
                        tions of PCBs.  When not detected, one half of the detection limit was
PC
200 -,

m
0 •
3 in Spottail Shiners from Mission
River


,
I I
1979 1980 1983 1984
Year
PCB in Spottail Shiners from Nipigon
Bay
I 5°
^ n ^ HH —
1979 1983 1984 1986 1990
PCB in Spottail Shiners from Jackfish
Bay
PCBs (ngfg))
200
S 150
^100
£ 50


r— i r^ ,— , ^
1979 983 1984 1986 1987
Year
PCB in Spottail Shiners from
Batchewana Bay

t:
-
Year
PCB in Spottail Shiners from Kam
River
100 -i 	
& 60 •
u 4°

1^ — i — f
ill
• . • . •
1979 1983 1984 1986 1988 1990 1999
Year
Total DDT (ppb)
DT n Spottail Shiners from Mission
River
J_

- 	 	 f^l 	 rV
1979 1980 1983 1984
DDT in Spottail Shiners fromNipigon
Bay
~ Rn
i: so
1- 40-
8 30-
£ 10-
i — i i


-i — i — i — i — i — i — -
1979 1983 1984 1986 990
Year
DDT in Spottail Shiners from Jackfish
Bay
15

i =•

| ' | ^ ! 	 ! .
TR FIR rTT
1979 1983 1984 1986 1987

DDT in Spottail Shiners from
Batchewana Bay
1,0
fc
£
n i^~\
\

1979 1983 1987 1989
Year
DDT in Spottail Shiners from Kam
River
s50'
fc 30
a 10.
12 o
—

A
zLt
1979 1983 1984 1986 1988 1990 1999
Year
               Lake Superior: Trend data were exam-
               ined for four locations in Lake Supe-
               rior: Mission River, Nipigon Bay,
               Jackfish Bay and Kam Pviver. Generally
               contaminant concentrations were low
               in all years and at all locations.   The
               highest PCB concentrations in Lake
               Superior were found at the Mission
               River in  1983 (139ng/g). All other
               analytical results were less than the
               guideline. Maximum concentrations
               for PCBs  at the Lake Superior sites
               were from 1983 and ranged from
               51ng/g at Nipigon Bay  to  89ng/g at
               Jackfish Bay. The highest concentra-
               tions of DDT were found in 1990 at
               Nipigon  Bay (66ng/g) and Kam River
               (37ng/g).

               Lake Ontario: Contaminant concen-
               trations from five locations were
               examined for trend analysis for Lake
               Ontario: Twelve Mile Creek,
               Burlington Beach, Bronte Creek,
               Credit River and the Humber River.

               PCBs, total DDT and mirex are
               generally higher at these (and other
               Lake Ontario) locations than elsewhere
               in the Great Lakes. Overall, PCBs at all  Figure 3- PCB and Total DDT Levels in Juvenile
               locations tended to be higher in the      Spottail Shiners from Five Locations in Lake
               early years, ranging from 3 to  30 times   Superior.  (The figures show mean  concentra-
               the guideline. The highest concentra-
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicatoins Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
  "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
               tions of PCBs were found at the Humber River in  1978 (2938ng/g). In recent years PCBs
               have generally ranged from  lOOng/g to 200ng/g.
               Mirex has exceeded the guideline intermittently at all five locations.  The maximum concen-
               tration was 37ng/g at the Credit River in 1992.  Since  1992,  mirex  has not been detected at
               any of these locations.

               Total DDT concentrations approached or exceeded the  guideline at all five locations in the
               1970s and on occasion  in the 1980s.  The maximum reported concentration was at the
               Humber River in  1978  when total  DDT was 443ng/g.  The typical concentration  of total
               DDT at all five  locations is  currently near 50 ng/g.
PCB in Spottail Shiners from
Twelve Mile Creek
~°> 1000 -


A*3


IffinTTlMfilfirllirrTlT w.
sf ,.<#• ,<# .# .<#•
Year
PCB in Spottail Shiners from Credit
River

~ 1000 J
8 500
"• o J

L
1 1 1 n n n n n fi _ n n n _
<#" ^ <#• <# <$? <#• <#
Year
PCBin Spottail Shiners from
Burlington Beach
1000 -, 	 	 ,
n 800-
? 600-
S 400-
£ 200-



i li
T; \\-r-m fT
fi nfflnHn™
Year
PCB in Spottail Shiners from Bronte
Creek

c _

"• o-
I
1 T
lUlT JU-Pj-fi-

\ \ \ \ "V
Year
PCE
4000 -,
~ 2000
g 1000-
iin Spottail Shiners from the
Humber River
T

T
flllflTTffn-fT 	 TT—w
Year
Mirex in Spottail Shiners from
Twe ve Mile Creek


•— ra

Year
Mirex n Spottail Shiners from the
Credit River

x ~ so 1 n
| !> 20 1 L 	 	

Year
Mirex in Spottail Shiners from
Burlington Beach
10 IT
° n T
6 ft yH
s^JHHE fttrnnrmj
Year
DDT in Spottail Shiners from
Twelve Mile Creek
200 i 	 1

<#> <*? <$? <#> #° <$>
Year
DDT in Spottail Shiners from the
Credit River
400 lT
300 T
H :.. n
a °>
« g 1 ntnwi'i — fffi — n —
Year

Figure 4. PCB, Mirex and Total DDT Levels
in Juvenile Spottail Shiners from Five Loca-
tions in Lake Ontario. (The figures show
mean concentrations plus standard deviations
of PCBs, total DDT and mirex. When not
detected, one half of the detection limit was
18
SOLEC 2oo2 - llnnpilenneinutuniig' llmudicautoirs AddendiunDn
for IDisciuissiomi, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                    "Nearshore & O|pemi Water htdtcators
               Future Activities
               Organochlorine  contaminants have declined in juvenile fish throughout the Great Lakes.
               Regular monitoring should continue  for all of these areas to determine  if levels are below
               wildlife protection guidelines. Analytical methods should be improved  to accommodate
               revised guidelines and to include  additional contaminants such as dioxins and furans, dioxin-
               like PCBs and poly-brominanted  diphenyl  ethers.  For Lake Superior, the historical data do
               not include  toxaphene concentrations. Since this contaminant is  responsible for most of the
               consumption advisories and restrictions on  sport fish from this lake (Scheider et al., 1998), it
               is recommended that analysis of this contaminant  be  included in any future biomonitoring
               studies in Lake Superior.

               Acknowledgments
               Author:  Emily Awad and Alan Hayton, Sport Fish Contaminant Monitoring Program,
               Ontario Ministry of Environment, Etobicoke, ON.
               Data:  Sport Fish Contaminant Monitoring Program, Ontario Ministry of Environment.

               Sources
               Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA).   1978.  Revised Great Lakes Water Qual-
               ity Agreement of 1978.  As amended by Protocol November 18, 1987-  International Joint
               Commission, Windsor, Ontario.

               Newell, A.J., D.W Johnson and L.K. Allen.  1987-  Niagara River Biota Contamination
               Project:  Fish Flesh criteria for Piscivorous Wildlife. Technical Report 87-3-  New York  State
               Department of Environmental Conservation, Albany,  New York.
               Scheider, WA., C. Cox, A. Hayton,  G.  Hitchin, A. Vaillancourt.  1998.  'Current Status and
               Temporal Trends in Concentrations of Persistent Toxic Substances in  Sport Fish and Juvenile
               Forage Fish  in the Canadian Waters of the  Great Lakes'.  Environmental Monitoring and
               Assessment.   53:  57-76.

               Suns, K. and Rees, G. 1978.  'Organochlorine Contaminant Residues  in Young-of-the-Year
               Spottail Shiners  from Lakes Ontario, Erie,  and St.  Clair'. /. Great Lakes Res. 4: 230-233-
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
    Land and Land Use Indicators
               Brownfields  Redevelopment
               Indicator ID #7006

               Assessment: Mixed Improving

               Purpose
               To assess the acreage of redeveloped brownfields, and to evaluate over time the rate at which
               society remediates and reuses former developed sites that have been degraded or abandoned.

               Ecosystem Objective
               The  goal of brownfields redevelopment is to remove threats of contamination associated with
               these properties  and to bring them back into productive use.  Remediation and redevelop-
               ment of brownfields results  in two types of ecosystem  improvements: 1) reduction or elimi-
               nation of environmental risks from contamination associated with these properties; and 2)
               reduction in pressure for open space conversion as previously developed properties are reused.

               State of the Ecosystem
               All eight Great Lakes states, Ontario and Quebec have programs  to promote remediation or
               "cleanup" and redevelopment of brownfields sites.   Several of the brownfields cleanup
               programs have been in place since the mid to late 1980s, but establishment of more compre-
               hensive brownfields programs that focus on remediation and redevelopment has occurred
               during the 1990s. Today, each of the Great Lakes states has a voluntary cleanup or environ-
               mental response program.  These programs offer a range of risk-based, site-specific back-
               ground and health cleanup standards  that are applied based on the specifics of the contami-
               nated property and its intended reuse.

               Efforts to track brownfields  redevelopment are uneven  among Great Lakes states and prov-
               inces.  Not all jurisdictions  track brownfields activities and methods vary where tracking does
               take  place. Most states track the amount of funding granted to voluntary remediated pro-
               grams or state brownfields cleanup programs, while some track the number of sites that have
               been  redeveloped. The overall number of sites  being addressed reflects the level of cleanup
               activity or  amount of financial support from each state, but does  not  necessary  reflect land
               renewal efforts (i.e.,  acres of land redeveloped).  Furthermore, states and provincial cleanup
               figures do  not necessarily reflect local brownfields remediation efforts and may  include
               revitalization of underutilized sites that are not considered  brownfields.   Where cleanups do
               not have formal reporting requirements, there is no information base  for tracking brownfield
               cleanups or redevelopment.  No Great Lakes state or province tracks acres of brownfields
               redeveloped, though several are beginning to track acres of brownfields remediated.

               Remediation  is a necessary precursor to redevelopment.  Remediation is  often used inter-
               changeably with "cleanup,"  though brownfields remediation does not always involve remov-
               ing or treating contaminants.  Many  remediation strategies utilize either engineering  or
               institutional controls (also known  as exposure controls) or  adaptive reuses techniques  that are
               designed to limit the spread of, or human exposure to, contaminants left in place.   In many
               cases, the cost of treatment or removal of contaminants would prohibit reuse of land.  To
               address  to  brownfields reuse, all Great Lakes states and provinces allow some contaminants to
               remain on site as long as the risks  of being exposed to  those contaminants are eliminated or
               reduced to acceptable levels.  Capping a site with clean soil or restricting the use of


2 O                       SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     Land and Land Use Indicators
               groundwater are examples of these "exposure controls"  and their use has been a major factor
               in advancing brownfields redevelopment.

               Information on acres of brownfields remediated from Illinois, Minnesota, New York, Ohio,
               Pennsylvania and Quebec indicate that a total of 33,389 acres  have been  remediated in these
               states and provinces alone, and approximately 4,600 acres have been remediated between
               2000-2002.  Available data from eight Great Lakes states and Quebec indicates that more
               than  16,714 brownfields sites have participated in  brownfields cleanup programs.  Redevel-
               opment is a criteria for eligibility under  many state brownfields cleanup programs.  Though
               there is inconsistent and inadequate data on acres of brownfields remediated and/or redevel-
               oped, available data indicate  that both brownfields cleanup and redevelopment efforts have
               risen  dramatically in the mid  1990s and steadily since 2000.  The increase is due to risk-
               based cleanup standards and the  widespread use of state liability relief mechanisms  that
               allow private parties to redevelopment, buy or sell properties without being liable for con-
               tamination they did not cause. Data also indicates that the majority of cleanups in the Great
               Lakes states and provinces  are occurring in older urbanized areas, many of which are located
               on the shoreline of the Great Lakes and in the basin.   Based on the available information, the
               state of brownfields redevelopment is mixed-improving.

               Future Pressures
               Poor land use planning and a market economy that encourages new development to occur on
               undeveloped land over urban  brownfields is a significant and ongoing pressure that  can be
               expected to continue.

               Programs to monitor and enforce of exposure controls are in their infancy. The lack of a
               means of tracking and verifying the effectiveness of exposure controls  present an ongoing
               pressure.

               Several Great  Lakes states allow brownfields redevelopment to  proceed without cleaning up
               contaminated groundwater as long as no one is going to use or come  into contact with that
               water. However, where migrating groundwater  plumes ultimately interface with surface
               waters, some surface water quality many continue to be at risk from brownfields  contamina-
               tion even where brownfields  have been pronounced "clean".

               Future Activities
               Programs to monitor and enforce controls  need to  be  fully developed and implemented.
               More research  is  needed to determine the  relationship between groundwater supplies  and
               Great Lakes surface waters and their tributaries.  Because brownfields  redevelopment results
               in both elimination of environmental risks from past contamination and reduction in pres-
               sure for open space conversion, data should be  collected  that will enable an  evaluation of each
               of these activities.

               Future Work Necessary
               Great Lakes states and provinces  have begun to  track brownfields remediation and or redevel-
               opment,  but the data is generally inconsistent or not available in ways that  are helpful to
               assess progress  toward  meeting the terms of the Great  Lakes Water Quality Agreement.
               Though some jurisdictions have  begun to  implement  web-based searchable applications for
               users  to query  the status of brownfields sites, consistency in data gathering  also presents
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
   Land and Land Use Indicators
               challenges for assessing progress in the  entire basin.   States  and provinces should develop
               common tracking methods and work with local jurisdictions incorporating local data to an
               online data bases that can be searched  by: 1) acres remediated; 2) mass of contamination
               removed or treated  (i.e., not requiring  an exposure control); 3) geographic location; 4)  level
               of urbanization;  and 5) type of reuse (i.e., commercial, residential, open, none, etc).

               Acknowledgment
               Author: Victor Pebbles and Kevin Yam, Great Lakes Commission, Ann Arbor, MI.
               Sources:  personal communication with Great Lakes State Brownfield/Voluntary Cleanup
               Program Managers.
2 2                       SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     Land and  Land Use Indicators
               Green  Planning  Process
               Indicator ID #7053

               Assessment:

               Purpose
               To assess the number of municipalities with environmental and resource conservation man-
               agement plans in place, and to infer the extent to which municipalities utilize environmental
               standards to guide their management decisions with respect to land planning, resource
               conservation, and natural area preservation. Given that not all  municipalities have planning
               departments, planning commissions, or zoning ordinances—much less "green" management
               plans—the number and percentage of municipalities with those features will also be docu-
               mented,  as will planning programs and statutes at the state and provincial level.

               Ecosystem Objective
               Planning processes to support sustainable development should  be adopted by all governmen-
               tal units in the Great Lakes Basin to minimize adverse  ecosystem impacts. This indicator
               supports Annex  13 of the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement. Progress toward this
               ecosystem objective falls into the "Mixed"  assessment category, as discussed further under
               Future Pressures.

               State of the Ecosystem
               An American Planning Association survey,  known as Planning for Smart Growth: 2002 State
               of the States, confirms that state planning reforms and smart growth measures  were top state
               concerns between 1999 and 2001 (http://www.planning.org/growingsmart/
               states2002.htm). Twelve U.S.  states, including Wisconsin and  Pennsylvania, are credited
               with implementing moderate  to substantial statewide comprehensive planning reforms.  New
               York is the only Great Lakes state among the  ten states that are strengthening local planning
               requirements or improving regional or local planning reforms already adopted. Illinois,
               Michigan, and Minnesota are among the fifteen states actively  pursuing their first major
               statewide smart growth  planning  reforms. Ohio  and Indiana are among the thirteen states
               that have not yet begun to pursue significant  statewide planning reforms.

               The report identifies  eight consistent trends in statewide planning reform. (1) Implementa-
               tion of planning reforms has been challenging. (2) Most successful  reforms have had a
               governor or legislator as a political champion.  (3) Linking reforms to  quality-of-life issues has
               been key. (4) Coalitions  and consensus have promoted  planning reforms.  (5) Reforms have
               sometimes lead to backlash.  (6) Task forces are often the starting point for planning reforms.
               (7) Some areas, particularly  in the West, have used ballot initiatives to initiate reforms. (8)
               Piecemeal reforms are politically more popular than comprehensive ones. While recognizing
               the hidden costs of unmanaged growth has spurred the revision of outdated planning and
               zoning laws, funding for implementation remains a problem.

               The following are some examples of data obtained from municipalities in parts of the U.S.
               Great Lakes Basin for this project. Summary data and graphs for larger portions of the Basin
               will be added to this  indicator report after it is analyzed. Crawford County, Pennsylvania, has
               a professional planning  office  and planning commission but no countywide zoning.  Its 2000
               comprehensive plan, which  replaces the 1973 version, reflects Pennsylvania's new "Growing


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                       2 >r

-------
   Land and Land Use Indicators
               Greener" policy. The plan addresses  a variety of green features, such as developing greenways
               and concentrating development near existing services and in clusters to preserve open space.
               Of the seven townships and  boroughs within the county that are at least partly within the
               Great Lakes Basin, none have planning departments or staff, four have planning commis-
               sions, but all have land use or comprehensive plans (most adopted between 1970 and 1981).
               Five have zoning ordinances  and enforcement officers and all have floodplain ordinances.
               Neighboring Erie  County is  served by the Erie Area Council of Governments,  which coordi-
               nates planning among the county, the City of Erie and 6 of the  26 townships  and boroughs
               that are at least partly in the Basin.  Only the City and County of Erie have planning depart-
               ments but all jurisdictions but one have planning commissions and all but  four have zoning
               and floodplain ordinances. All  have  land use or comprehensive plans, 13 of which have been
               adopted or revised in the last five years. Details on the  green features of the plans are  limited,
               but 7 address open space and growth focused near existing  services, while 14 have provisions
               for farmland protection and  23 address stormwater and erosion control.

               In the rural western Upper Peninsula (U.P.) of Michigan, the Western U.P.  Planning and
               Development Regional Commission recently surveyed the 72 local units of government in its
               6-county region regarding basic planning and zoning information. Of the  64  municipalities
               that responded, only 29 have planning commissions, 20 have land use or comprehensive
               plans, and 44 have zoning (49 counting the townships covered by the Keweenaw County
               ordinance).

               Future Pressures
               Sprawl is  no longer a problem limited to urban and suburban  areas, so the increased empha-
               sis on planning even in rural areas, where it has often been nearly nonexistent  until recently,
               is encouraging. Planning and zoning officials are  certainly taking  into account a variety of
               Best Management Practices  and regulatory  issues. Nonetheless, this indicator receives a
               "Mixed" assessment because  of the following limitations on progress, among others: too
               much lip service, too little a  priori enforcement, too few resources, and too great a willingness
               to make exemptions in the name  of development. For example, most watershed initiatives
               still  struggle  to influence local governmental planning processes and often don't receive line-
               item financing (though the soft money seems to  keep coming along).

               Future Activities
               The efforts of groups such as the American Planning Association  and its state affiliates and a
               variety of nonprofit organizations and educational institutions to provide resources and
               training for "smart growth"  and sustainable development are positive signs. State govern-
               ments are enacting laws and  developing programs in  these areas,  as well. Some states,  such as
               Wisconsin, now mandate comprehensive planning at the local level and encourage coordi-
               nated planning among neighboring communities through enabling legislation  and grant
               programs.

               Many communities  now encourage  local  residents, not just  appointed  planning commission-
               ers, to participate  in land use visioning sessions and reviews  of planning documents.  Increas-
               ingly, local units of government have websites with links to  planning and zoning  depart-
               ments and boards and sometimes with links to public documents, such as  comprehensive
               plans (or drafts for public review) and zoning ordinances, that  are available online. Some
               counties, such  as Cayuga in  New York, have encouraged  this trend by hosting  websites for


2 A                       SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion,  October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                     Land and  Land Use Indicators
               cities,  towns, and villages.

               Further Work Necessary
               The information presented here is from a preliminary analysis of parts of the Great Lakes
               Basin for which some planning and zoning information was either available on the Internet
               or provided by regional or county planning staff. A revised  report will be available in Novem-
               ber 2002. The most significant limitation on obtaining data for this  indicator  in  many areas
               of the Basin is the lack of regional  or statewide attempts to  gather information on the extent
               and quality of planning and  zoning processes at the local level. Such  information  would also
               be a first step toward coordinating efforts among jurisdictions, essential to achieving ecosys-
               tem-sensitive planning. Most regional  planning  agencies contacted for this project to date
               expressed interest  in having such data but did not have the  staff time or funding  required to
               compile  it.  Others are limited to transportation  planning activities only.
               This project developed spreadsheets to gather basic information about planning departments
               and commissions  or boards,  zoning ordinances and officials or boards to administer them,
               and comprehensive or master plans in place. Additional columns addressed particular "green"
               features of plans,  programs,  or ordinances, such  as cluster development, wellhead protection,
               mixed-use zoning, and environmental  corridors, and  purchase or transfer of development
               rights. The  spreadsheets were organized by state, regional planning agency (if applicable),
               county, and local  unit of government. It was hoped that regional planning agencies could
               either  fill out the  surveys themselves or refer them to the local units  of government, but the
               response was discouraging because most of them did  not have the information.  Some for-
               warded the  survey forms, but only one was filled out and returned.

               The most reliable means  of obtaining  data relevant to the green planning indicator, though a
               time-intensive one, appears to  be searching websites and following up for details  as  needed
               with the contact persons  listed. However, that method does not address municipalities that
               lack websites.  No  mention of planning and zoning on a website also  doesn't mean that they
               don't exist within the community. Another approach to data acquisition, also time intensive,
               is to survey a random sample of the local governments within the Basin and follow up as
               necessary to obtain the information. Although these limitations are likely to  persist to some
               degree, more information in  electronic form should be  available in the future as its value and
               the need for access to it become more apparent.

               Acknowledgments
               Author: Kristine Bradof,  GEM Center for Science  and Environmental Outreach,  Michigan
               Technological University; and James Cantrill, Professor of Communication and Performance
               Studies at Northern Michigan University and U.S. co-chair, Developing Sustainability
               Committee, Lake  Superior Work Group, Lake Superior Binational Program.

               Sources
               The following websites contain useful  information  on planning and  "smart growth": Ameri-
               can  Planning Association (http://www.planning.org/growingsmart/states2002.htm and
               http://www.planning.org/growingsmart/states.htm); Western New York Regional Informa-
               tion Network of the University at Buffalo (State  University  of New York, http://
               rin.buffalo.edu/s_envi/envi.html).  Nathan Zieziula of the Crawford  County (Pennsylvania)
               Planing Commission added details to the survey form, supplementing information from the
               Comprehensive Plan Phase II: Plan Elements for Crawford County, Pennsylvania 1997-2000


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators  Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                       2 K

-------
   Land and  Land Use Indicators
               (http://www.co.crawford.pa.us/Planning/ftp/comprehensiveplan.pdf) and other pages on
               www.co.crawford.pa.us. Eric Randall of the Erie County (Pennsylvania) Department of
               Planning filled out the planning survey and provided a listing of "Municipal Planning and
               Development Controls, Updated April 2002," which contains dates of comprehensive plans
               and zoning and stormwater management ordinances. Don Reitz of Allen County (Indiana)
               Department of Planning Services filled out the survey for the 25 local units of government in
               the Great Lakes Basin within the county. Mary Taddeucci provided information for the 6-
               counties served by the Western Upper Peninsula Planning and Development Regional
               Commission in Michigan.
2 6                      SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                         Human Health Indicators
               Contaminants  in Edible  Fish  Tissue
               Indicator ID # 4083

               Assessment: Mixed Improving

               Purpose
               Assess the historical trends of the edibility of fish in the Great Lakes using fish contaminant
               data and  a standardized fish advisory protocol.  The approach is illustrated using the  Great
               Lakes  protocol for  PCBs as the  standardized fish advisory benchmark applied to historical
               data to track trends in fish consumption advice.  US EPA GLNPO salmon fillet data  (Minne-
               sota DNR salmon  fillet  data for Lake  Superior) are used as  a starting point to demonstrate
               the approach.  Unfortunately data gaps and data variability with the GLNPO salmon fillet
               data do not allow  us to discern statistically significant trends.

               Ecosystem Objective
               Overall Human Health  Objective: The health of humans in the Great Lakes ecosystem
               should not be at risk from contaminants of human origin. Fish and wildlife in the Great
               Lakes  ecosystem  should  be safe  to eat; consumption should  not be limited by contaminants
               of human origin.

               Annex 2 of the GLWQA requires LaMPs to define "...the threat to human health posed by
               critical pollutants... including beneficial use impairments."

               State of the Ecosystem
               Since  the 1970's, there have been declines in many persistent bioaccumulative toxic (PBT)
               chemicals in the  Great  Lakes basin.  However, PBT chemicals, because of their ability to
               bioaccumulate and persist in the environment, continue to  be a significant concern.

               Fish Consumption Programs are well established in the Great Lakes.  States,  tribes, and the
               province of Ontario have extensive fish contaminant monitoring programs and issue advice to
               their residents about how much fish and which fish are safe to eat.  This advice ranges from
               recommendations to not eat any of a particular size of certain species from some water
               bodies, to recommending that people  can eat unlimited quantities of other species  and sizes.
               Advice from these agencies to limit consumption of fish is mainly due to levels of PCBs,
               mercury, chlordane, dioxin, and toxaphene in the fish.  The contaminants are listed by lake,
               in the following  table.
               Lake               Contaminants that Fish Advisories are based on in Canada and United States

               Superior           PCBs, mercury, toxaphene, chlordane, dioxin
               Huron             PCBs, mercury, dioxin, chlordane
               Michigan          PCBs, mercury, chlordane, dioxin
               Erie               PCBs, dioxin
               Ontario           PCBs, mercury, mirex
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
Human Health Indicators
                     PCBs in Lake Superior Coho Salmon
2-
I"
0.5-
Do not eat
One meal every two months
One meal per month
                                                1.9
                                                1.0
                    86  88  90  92
                               Year
                                      96  98  00
                                                                  PCBs in Lake Michigan Coho Salmon
2
I','
CO '
Do not eat
IOne meal every two months
I
nil
1
1
Cmeal mr month
\ 1 1
                                                                                                 1.9
                                                                                                 1.0
                                                                    Year
                      PCBs in Lake Huron Coho Salmon
2 •
1.5-
0.5-
Do not eat
One meal every two months
ill
One meal per month
ll
                    81 83 85 87 89  91  93 95 97
                                Year
                                                 1.9
                                                 1.0
                                                                 PCBs in Lake Ontario Coho Salmon
                                                             2.5
                                                               2 .
                                                            I'-5-!
                                                             0.5 -
                                                                                      Do not eat
                                                                       One meal every
                                                                       two months
                                                                        One meal per \
                                                                        month  I
                                                                                               7.9
                                                                                               1.0
                                                                  82  84  86  88 90  92  94  96 98
                                                                             Year
2
|
a
0.5-
Do not eat
One meal every two months
Mill
_ One meal per month
M...I
                                                     1.9
                                                     1.0
                   81  83 85  87 89  91  93 95  97 99
                                 Year
             PCBs in Lake Erie Coho Salmon           State, tribal and provincial governments
                                                provide information to consumers regarding
                                                consumption  of sport-caught fish. This
                                                information is not regulatory - its guidance,
                                                or advice.  Although some states  use the
                                                Federal commercial-fish guidelines for the
                                                acceptable level of contaminants  when
                                                giving advice  for eating sport caught fish,
                                                consumption  advice offered  by most agen-
                                                cies is based on human health risk. This
                                                approach involves interpretation  of studies
on health effects from exposure to contaminants.  Each state or province is  responsible for
developing fish  advisories for protecting the public from  pollutants in  fish and tailoring this
advice to meet the health needs of its citizens.  As a result, the  advice from  state  and provin-
cial programs is sometimes  different for the same lake and  species within that lake.

Future Pressures
Organochlorine contaminants in fish in the Great Lakes are generally decreasing.  As these
contaminants decline mercury will become a more important contaminant  of concern regard-
ing the edibility of fish.  Emerging contaminants, such as certain brominated flame retard-
ants, are increasing in the environment and causing concern.
                      SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum
                                                                           for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                       Human Health Indicators
               Screening studies on a larger suite of chemicals is needed. The health effects of multiple
               contaminants, including endocrine disrupters,  need to be addressed.

               Future Actions
               To protect human health, actions must continue to be implemented on a number of levels.
               Reductions and  monitoring of contaminant levels in environmental media and in human
               tissues is an activity in particular  need of support.  Health risk communication is  also a
               crucial component to protecting and promoting human health in the Great Lakes.

               There is a need  for surveillance to evaluate how much fish people eat and carry out
               biomonitoring to determine  actual tissue  levels, particularly within sensitive populations.

               Further Work Necessary
               1)  Evaluation of historical data:  the long-term fish contaminant monitoring data sets that
               have been assembled by several jurisdictions for different purposes need to be more effectively
               utilized.   Relationships need  to be developed that allow for comparison and combined use of
               existing data from the various sampling programs.  These data could be used in expanding
               this indicator to other contaminants and species and for supplementing the data used in this
               illustration.
               2) Coordination of future monitoring.
               3) Agreement on fish advisory health benchmarks for the contaminants that cause fish
               advisories in  the Great Lakes. Suggested starting points are: The  Great Lakes Protocol for
               PCBs, US EPA IRIS RfD for mercury, and Health Canada's TDI for toxaphene.

               Acknowledgments
               Authors: Sandy Hellman, USEPA Great Lakes National Program Office,  Chicago, IL and
               Patricia McCann, Minnesota Department of Health.
               Figure xx. Historical levels of PCBs in salmon from the Great Lakes shown with  correspond-
               ing meal advice per the "Protocol for a Uniform Great  Lakes Sport Fish Consumption Advi-
               sory"  (Blank indicates No Sampling).

               Source:  Great Lakes  National Program Office, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
       Societal Indicators
               Solid Waste Generation
               Indicator ID #7060

               Assessment:  Mixed

               Purpose
               To assess the amount of solid waste generated per capita in the Great Lakes basin (GLB), and
               to infer inefficiencies in human economic activity (i.e. wasted resources) and  the potential
               adverse impacts to human and ecosystem health.

               Ecosystem Objective
               Solid waste provides a measure of the inefficiency of human land based activities and the
               degree to which resources are wasted.  In order to promote sustainable development, the
               amount of solid waste generated in the basin needs to be assessed and ultimately reduced.
               Reducing volumes of solid waste are indicative of a  more efficient industrial ecology and a
               more conserving society. Reduced waste volumes are also  indicative of a reduction in con-
               tamination of land through landfilling and incineration and thus reduced stress on  the
               ecosystem.

               This indicator supports  Annex 12 of the Great Lake Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA)
                                                                           State of the Ecosystem
                                                                           Canada and the United States
                                                                           are among  the highest waste
                                                                           producers on Earth. How-
                                                                           ever,  both countries are
                                                                           working towards improve-
                                                                           ments in waste management
                                                                           by developing efficient
                                                                           strategies to reduce, prevent,
                                                                           reuse and recycle waste
                                                                           generation.
Tonnes/person
OOOOO-*-* ->->-> CO "b
-»-(
verage Per Capita Solid Waste Generation and Disposal in
Ontario, Indiana and Minnesota in the Great Lakes Basin
(Tonnes/person)

600 __— A 	 * 	 '*' * 	 •*
200

800-)— 5 	
400 ^ t t 	 1— t 	 « ^t__»_— »^ •-*-- ^»^

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Year
Dntario MSW — *— Indiana Disposal Facilities — »— Minnesota MSWG



               Figure 1.  Average Per Capita Solid Waste Generation and Disposal from a selection of
               municipalities in the Ontario,  Indiana and Minnesota portion of the Great Lakes basin
               (1991-2001).
               Source: IDEM — Indiana Department of Environmental Management. 2000 Summary of
               Indiana Solid Waste Facility Data Report. MOEA - Minnesota Office of Environmental
               Assistance. Report on 2000 SCORE Programs  report.

               Figure 1 displays the average per capita municipal solid  waste generation in a selection of
               some of the most populated municipalities in the Ontario portion of the Great Lakes basin
               during 1991-2001.  From  this data, it is evident that there is a continual decline of munici-
               pal solid waste generation from 1991 to present. 1991 had the highest  per capita generation
               at a value of 0.681. Per capita solid waste generation declined ^45%  in 2001 to a value of
               0.373- The rate of per capita municipal solid waste generation appears to have leveled off in
               the late 1990's. And it must be noted that the  apparent increase in per  capita generation  in
3°
SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum
for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                           Societal Indicators
               2000 may not be completely accurate since there was less data collected to obtain the average
               for 2000 as compared to 1999 and 2001. The  decline in per capita solid waste generation in
               the early 1990's can be attributed to the increased access to municipal curbside recycling,
               backyard and centralized composting programs in most Ontario municipalities.

               In addition, Figure 1 displays the average per capita municipal solid waste generation
               (MSWG) disposed  in Minnesota's counties of the Great  Lakes basin during 1991-2000. The
               data shows the amount of MSWG disposed declined slightly from 1991  to 1993, and then
               increased from  0.386 tonnes per  capita in  1994 to 0.436 tonnes per capita in 2000. The
               data suggests that these trends in MSWG are not significant despite growth in population
               over the same time period. The counties of Cook, Lake and Pine represent the highest in-
               crease of per capita SWG during  1993 to  2000. For example,  Cook County in 1993 in-
               creased  45% of the municipal SWG.

               Figure 1, also displays the average trends of the waste disposed per capita  (in tons) in Indiana
               by estimated county of origin in  a final disposal facility. The graphic shows a 21% increase in
               the per capita of non-hazardous waste  disposed between  1992  and 1998.  From  1998 to
               2000 there was a 4 % decrease of the amount disposed.

               The Illinois Environmental  Protection  Agency,  Bureau of Land, reported the projected
               disposal capacity of the solid waste in sanitary landfills for 2000. The regional waste disposed
               and  landfill capacity (in tons) for the Great Lake basin counties was  1.7 percent cubic yards.
               This area has a per capita capacity below of the state average. The municipal wastes generated
               and  recycled was 7-4 cubic  yards.

               The Michigan Department  of Environmental Quality (DEQ)  reports on data of total waste
               disposed in  Michigan landfills in per capita cubic yards from  1996 to 2001.  In  1996 the
               solid waste landfilled per capita was 3-76 cubic yards and in 2001 the value increased to
               4.84, showing a 32% increase of solid waste disposed in landfills.

               New York Department of Environmental Conservation provided the  State SWG data from
               1990 to 1998. The data reflects that the average of SWG in per capita from 1990 to  1998
               increased a 20% and decreased a 3% from 1995  to  1996. The New  York  statewide of reus-
               able tons  increased approximately 30% of the waste disposed.

               The Region 3 of the Environmental Protection Agency in Pennsylvania provided the daily
               per capita amount of Pennsylvania counties in the GLB of MSW generated. In 1998 the
               MSW generated for Crawford was 2.4  (pounds/person/day), 3-8 for Erie and 1.4 for Potter.
               The amount of MSW per capita  in 1999  for those counties increased, Crawford had 2.59,
               Erie 3-73 and Potter 2.64 daily per capita  generations. The Department of Environmental
               Protection (DEP) provided  the statewide MSW generation during 1988  to 2000 that
               increased 30%  of the waste disposed.

               The calculated  average per capita municipal waste landfilled in Wisconsin  in 2001 was  1.85
               tons, as reported by the Department of Natural Resources. The counties with the larger
               average  values are those located closer to the Lake Michigan. For example, Calumet average
               value is 4.87 tons per person, Dodge is 4.20, Green Lake is 12.11, Kenosha is 3-80 and
               Manitowoc  4.35 tons per person.


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                        rr I

-------
Societal Indicators
      The Ohio Environmental Protection Agency provided the residential and commercial solid
      waste management district landfill  generated, disposed and recycling data according to the
      88 counties, which are grouped into 52 single and multi-county districts. The Northeast
      District Office (NEDO) and the Northwest District  Office (NWDO) are districts that
      include the counties in the Great Lakes basin.  Figure 2, presents the average amount of the
      NEDO and NWDO residential and commercial solid waste management district (SWMD)
      generated, disposed and recycled for 1999 and 2000.  The  disposal value of solid  waste for
      NEDO increased 2%. The amount of GSW increased 3%  for NWDO over the same time
      period. The recycled amount increased 5% for NEWO and 17% for NWDO from 1999 to
      2000.
        Figure 2.  Ohio Counties
        Average  Per Capita Solid
        Waste Landfill facilities
        Generated, Disposed and
        Recycled in the Great
        Lakes Basin  (1999-
        2000).
        Source:  Ohio Environ-
        mental Protection
        Agency,  Division of Solid
        and Infectious Waste
        Management.
c
1 15°
g. 1.00
ol 0.50
0 0.00
)hio Average Per Capita Residential and Commercial Solid Waste
.andfill Facilities Generated, Disposed and Recycled in the Great
Lakes Basin (1999-2000)

tan
I I U^
1999
Year


	 1 	 1
2000
D NEDO WC Generated n NWDO R/C Generated • NEDO RIC Disposed
D NWDO R/C Disposed n NEDO R/C Recycled n NWDO R/C Recycled

      Reuse and recycling are opportunities to reduce solid waste levels. By looking at recycling
      and waste diversion in Ontario, both the tonnage of municipal solid waste diverted from
      disposal and the number of households with access to  recycling have increased in recent years
      (WDO, 2001c). Figure 3 shows the trends  in residential recycling tonnages in all of Ontario
      from 1992-2000 (WDO, 2001). From  this  figure it is evident that there has  been a  41%
      increase in the amount of residential recycling from 1992-2000,  which may be accounting
      for the reduced per capita  solid waste generation displayed in recent years in Ontario mu-
      nicipalities.
        Figure 3.  Residential
        Recycling Tonnages  in
        Ontario (1992-2000).
        Source: WDO - Ontario
        Waste Diversion Organi-
        zation (200Ic). Munici-
        pal 3Rs in Ontario:  2000
        Fact Sheet.
800-
§600-
Tonnes
o o c
Residential Recycling Tonnages in Ontario (1992-2000)





















—
	












1992 1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Year
                 SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum
for Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                           Societal Indicators
                Future Pressures
                The generation and management of solid waste raise important environmental, economic and
                social  issues for North Americans. It costs billions of dollars per year to dispose of such wastes
                and existing landfills are filling up fast. In addition, the generation of municipal  solid waste
                contributes to  soil and water contamination and even air pollution etc. It is estimated that
                far more residential  solid waste is being generated each year, but a greater proportion is being
                recovered for recycling and reuse.

                The state of the economy has a strong impact on consumption  and waste generation. Waste
                generation continued to increase through the 1990's as  economic  growth continued to be
                strong (US EPA, 2002). Much of this increase in waste  generation in the 1990's  was  due to
                the booming economy and many people found themselves with a large disposable income
                (US EPA,  2002). An economic growth results in  more products and materials being gener-
                ated. This  growth should send a message for a larger investment in source reduction activi-
                ties. Source reduction activities will help  to  save natural resources, it will reduce  the toxicity
                of wastes and it will also reduce costs  in  waste handling and will make businesses more
                efficient.

                Future Activities
                There  is a need to assess and determine which material  makes up the majority of the munici-
                pal solid waste that  is generated each  year. This will help  managers target waste reduction
                efforts towards limiting the amount of these products that make it through the waste stream.
                It would also  be interesting  to research how different waste reduction  techniques can produce
                differing trends in solid waste reduction.  For example, user pay, "PAYT" (pay as you throw
                away)  unit-based pricing, is  becoming a  more acceptable method for financing residential
                waste  management services and making households more  directly  responsible for their waste
                generation and disposal habits (WDO, 2001a). Bag limits on waste are usually a first step
                many  municipalities take in  order to make the transition to user pay systems easier. User pay
                programs have gained momentum across most of Canada with most growth occurring in  the
                mid to late 1990's.  Imposing these limits encourages homeowners  to  be more conscious  of
                the amount and type of waste generated  as they now associate a financial cost with their
                consumptive behavior.  It makes a homeowner personally responsible and encourages  alterna-
                tive waste  diversion  activities.

                Other examples are  an ambitious statewide  education campaign dedicated  to educate  the
                residents on the benefits of waste reduction  and to show them how solid waste can affect
                their own  health and the health of their  environment. A local government  waste  prevention
                program consisting of a network of counties and cities was organized to discuss and create
                methods to help in  waste reduction activities that would better protect the state's environ-
                ment and  public health. Developing methods for standardizing information and  for tracking
                waste will  aid in improving  the sharing of information and data statewide.
                Further Work  Necessary
                The province of Ontario has set a challenging task for the WDO to reach a 50% waste
                diversion.  Ontario residents  diverted at total of 29% of 1.23 million tones of their residential
                waste from disposal  in  1998. In order to achieve a 50% reduction in waste the following
                practices need  to be encouraged: increased financial support, expand provincial 3R regula-
                tions,  need to  change societal habits and behavior towards waste generation, need to invest
                more into  infrastructure and lastly, the adoption of waste  management user fees  (WDO,


SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                       =f =f

-------
        Societal Indicators
               2001B).

               To  report on this indicator in the future, data on waste diversion should be incorporated as
               well as waste generation. Looking at the changes in the amount of waste that  is removed from
               the waste stream can be used to infer how the behavior of society is changing with regards to
               wasting resources and sustainable development.

               During the process of collecting data from this indicator, it was found that most U.S. states
               and Ontario  municipalities compile and report on solid waste information in different
               formats.  Future work to organize a standardized method  of collecting, reporting and access-
               ing data for both the  Canadian and U.S. portions of the Great Lakes basin will aid in the
               future reporting of this indicator.

               Acknowledgments
               Authors: Martha I. Aviles-Quintero, USEPA - GLNPO, Chicago, IL and Melissa Green-
               wood, Environment Canada, Downsview ON.
               Ontario  data for the disposal of waste by province was obtained from Statistics Canada,
               Environmental Account and Statistics Division, and Demography Division (http://
               www.statcan.ca/start.html).
               Data collected  are based on the values obtained by  contacting the waste management depart-
               ments of Ontario municipalities around the Great Lakes Basin. For  any further details
               regarding specific municipalities, please contact Melissa Greenwood.
               The recycling data  collected from the  province of Ontario,  were adapted from the Municipal
               3Rs in Ontario: 2000 Fact Sheet, published by the  WDO -  Ontario Waste Diversion
               Organization (http:///www.wdo.on.ca).

               The United States data of municipal waste generated  per capita, average, landfill  capacity,
               disposed and recycled  waste were collected by contacting the  different State and Federal
               Agencies  managements departments and searching there  websites. Environmental Protection
               Agency Region 5 in Chicago, Pollution Prevention &  Program Initiatives Section provided
               the contact list for  the searching  values. Some data were adapted using  the counties on the
               Great Lakes basin and using the census-estimate populations  to calculate the  per  capita
               generation, disposed and  recycled.

               Illinois data of the  Waste  Disposed and Landfill Capacity per capita in cubic  yards by Region
               for 2000, was provided by the Illinois Environmental  Protection Agency (IEPA),  Bureau of
               Land. The Region 2 is the Chicago Metropolitan basin that included counties on the Great
               Lakes Basin.
                (http://www.epa.state.il.us)

               Indiana data of the Municipal solid waste per capita for 2001, was offered from Indiana
               Department of Environmental Management (IDEM).  Also, we used the 2000  Summary of
               Indiana Solid Waste Facility Data Report to calculate  the waste disposed per  capita. We used
               the census-estimate population for 1992-2000 by counties on the Great Lakes  Basin to
               obtain those values, (http://www.in.gov.idem/land/sw/index.html)

               Michigan data  of the total solid waste disposed in Michigan Landfills per capita in cubic
               yards for 1996-2001, was provided by Michigan Department of Environmental  Quality,


=T A                       SOLEC 2oo2 - Implementing' Indicators Addendum (Draft  for  Discussion, October 2oo2)

-------
                                                                                           Societal Indicators
               Waste Management Division. The report was used and adapted to calculate  the per capita
               amount using  the  census-estimated population  1996-2001.  (http://www.deq.state.mi.us)

               Minnesota data of the Municipal solid waste generation per capita for 1991-2000, was
               provided by Minnesota Office of Environmental  Assistance (MOEA). The SCORE report is a
               full report to the Legislature that the main components is to identify  and targeting source
               reduction, recycling, waste management and waste generation collected from all 87 counties
               in Minnesota,  (http://www.moea.state.mn.us)

               New  York data of the Solid waste generated and recycled in tones for 1990-1998, was
               provided by New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, Division of Solid
               and Hazardous Materials. The data was adapted  to obtain the per capita  generation with the
               census-estimate population per year, (http://www.dec.state.ny.us)

               Ohio data of Disposed and recycled generated solid waste per capita in landfills for each solid
               waste management district for 1999-2000, was provided by Ohio  Environmental Protection
               Agency, Division of Solid Waste and Infectious Waste Management. The  data of Northeast
               and Northwest district office was adapted by counties on the Great Lakes basins and  census-
               estimate data population per year, (http://www.epa.state.oh.us)

               Pennsylvania data of the Average per capita recycled generation rates was  provided by  Penn-
               sylvania Department of Environmental Protection, Bureau of Land  Recycling and Waste
               Management,  (http://www.dep.state.pa.us)

               Wisconsin data of municipal waste landfill tones capacity for 2001, was provided  by Wisconsin Depart-
               ment  of Natural Resources (DNR), Bureau of Waste Management,  (http://www.dnr.state.wi.us)
SO LEG 2oo2 - Implementing1 Indicators Addendum (Draft for Discussion, October 2oo2)                       =f e

-------