SUSTAINABILITY
 RESEARCH STRATEGY
           DRAFT
        June 13,  2007
    Final version will be issued
    after receipt of final report
    of the Science Advisory Board
   and any subsequent revisions of
  Sustainability Research Strategy.
 OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                                  FOREWORD
The  mission  of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Office of Research and
Development  (ORD)  is  to  identify,  understand  and  solve  current  and  future
environmental problems. The Sustainability Research Strategy (SRS) tackles some of the
most pressing current  and future national  environmental  and development issues.  A
growing  population and expanding  economy present new challenges on how best to
protect human health and our natural resources. Science and technology are two key
elements in ensuring that people understand the full  implications of their actions and that
the best  possible decisions  are made by individuals,  industry,  and at  all levels  of
government.

ORD presents this  Sustainability Research Strategy to improve understanding  of the
earth's natural and man-made systems, assess threats to those systems, design and apply
innovative  and  cost-effective  industrial  practices,  and  develop  and  apply  new
technologies and decision support tools.

The  focus on Sustainability research recognizes the changing nature of environmental
problems society  faces today. While in the  past EPA operated as largely  a pollution
control  agency, today  its  programs  have  evolved to  address a  broader  set  of
environmental issues resulting from  population and economic  growth, energy  use,
agriculture, and industrial development.

EPA is one of the few regulatory agencies with a strong internal research capability. The
ability to directly link research and policy in one agency puts EPA and ORD in  a good
position to lead on environmental Sustainability. This Research Strategy recognizes that
system-wide impacts on society demand system-wide responses; it is thus an essential
linchpin in promoting and achieving sustainable  development at home and  around the
world.
George Gray
Assistant Administrator for Research and Development

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              ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                            ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We acknowledge and  thank  the  drafting team of  Gordon Evans,  Douglas Young,
Heriberto Cabezas, Michael Gonzalez, Frank Princiotta, Cynthia Gage, and Tim Johnson
(National Risk Management Research Laboratory); Diana Bauer and Julie Zimmerman
(National Center for Environmental Research); Anita Street (Office of Science Policy):
and Donna  Perla, Richard lovanna,  and Edward  Fallen  (Office  of  the  Assistant
Administrator) for preparing this Research Strategy.
       Gary J. Foley
       Director, National Center for Environmental Research

       Sally Gutierrez
       Director, National Risk Management Research Laboratory

       Alan D. Hecht
       Director, Sustainable Development

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              ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                           PEER REVIEW HISTORY

Peer review is an important component of developing a research strategy. The following
is the peer review history for this Research Strategy:

Office of Research and Development Science Council
September 7, 2005

EPA Science Policy Council
November 21,2005

External Peer Review
Science Advisory Board, June 13-15, 2006

       Environmental Engineering Committee Augmented for Sustainability
       Advisory
       Dr. Michael J. McFarland, Utah State University, Logan, UT, Chair

       Chartered Science Advisory Board (SAB) Members
       Mr. David Rejeski, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars,
       Washington, DC
       Dr. Thomas L. Theis, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL
       Dr. Valerie Thomas, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA

       Members of the Environmental Engineering Committee
       Dr. Viney Aneja, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
       Dr. John C. Crittenden, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
       Dr. David A. Dzombak, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA
       Dr. T. Taylor Eighmy, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH
       Dr. Joseph B. Hughes, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
       Dr. Michael Kavanaugh, Malcolm Pirnie, Inc., Emeryville, CA
       Dr. Catherine Koshland, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, C A
       Dr. Reid Lifset, Yale University, New Haven, CT
       Dr. William Mitsch, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
       Dr. Susan E. Powers, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY
       Dr. Mark Rood, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL
       Dr. John R. Smith, Alcoa Technical Center, Alcoa Center, PA

       Member of SAB Environmental Economics Advisory Committee
       Dr. Anna Alberini, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

Peer Review Coordinator
Ms. Kathleen White, Designated Federal Officer, EPA Science Advisory Board Staff,
       Washington, DC

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              ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                                 ACRONYMS
BOSC       Board of Scientific Counselors
BRIC        Brazil, Russia, India, and China
CNS         Collaborative Science and Technology Network for Sustainability
EDS         Environmental and Decision Sciences
EERS        Environmental Economics Research Strategy
GEOSS      Global Earth Observation System of Systems
IAC         Innovation Action Council
ISA         Integrated Systems Analysis
LCA         Life Cycle Assessment
MFA        Material Flow Analysis
MYP        Multi-Year Plan
NAS         National Academy of Sciences
NHEERL     National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory
NPD         National Program Director
NRMRL     National Risk Management Research Laboratory
NSF         National Science Foundation
ORD         Office of Research and Development
OSWER     Office of Solid Waster and Emergency Response
P2NT        Pollution Prevention and New Technology
P3           People, Prosperity, and Planet Student Design Program
RoE         Report on the Environment
RCC         Resource Conservation Challenge
SAB         Science Advisory Board
SRS         Sustainability Research Strategy
STS         Science and Technology for Sustainability

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              ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                            TABLE OF CONTENTS


                    Foreword	3

                    Peer Review History	4

                    Acronyms	5

                    Table of Contents	6

                    Executive Summary	7

Chapter 1            Introduction and Purpose	11
                    Describes the Strategy's organization and its national benefits

Chapter 2.           Rationale for the Strategy	16
                    Assesses the impact of selected future stressors and
                    justifies the need for sustainable use of resources

Chapter 3.           Definition and Scope	23
                    Defines an EPA context for sustainability

Chapter 4.           Six Research Themes	27
                    Defines six  sustainability research themes

Chapter 5            Research Objectives	41
                    Describes how ORD will organize its research activities

Chapter 6            Roadmap for Implementation	52
                    Describes ORD's roadmap for implementing the
                    Sustainability Research Program

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                             EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Chapter 1: Introduction and Purpose

Every  day we all make decisions that affect  our quality of life and  that of future
generations: these decisions together determine how sustainable our future will be. To
assist governments, businesses, communities, and individuals make sustainable  choices,
our Sustainable Research Strategy aims to better understand the earth as a natural system
and  to develop  models and tools that will support sustainable  decision-making. Our
Strategy incorporates both core research that advances fundamental understanding of key
biological, chemical,  and  physical processes  underlying environmental systems and
problem-driven research that targets specific environmental problems or customer needs.
The  Strategy draws  on and integrates across the many research programs within the
Office of Research and Development and focuses this research to support sustainable
decision-making.


Chapter 2: Rationale for the Strategy

A combination  of forces—including  unprecedented growth  in  population,  economy,
urbanization, and  energy use—is imposing new stresses on the earth's resources and
society's  ability  to  maintain or  improve  environmental  quality.  To permit  the
continuation of improved environmental protection, human health, and living standards,
our generation must move to  mitigate or prevent  the negative consequences that can
accompany  growing population  and  economy. The increasing stresses require  new
approaches to environmental protection that go beyond  end-of-pipe  control strategies
concerned principally  with pollutant emissions.  Based  on  our understanding that
environmental problems are rarely contained within a single resource area or geographic
area, we must develop  and  implement integrated and systems-based approaches to meet
society's needs today and ensure a more sustainable future.


Chapter 3: Definition  and  Scope

The  concept  of sustainable  development  marries  two  important  insights:  that
environmental protection does not preclude economic development and  that economic
development must be  ecologically viable now  and in  the  long  run. Sustainable
development,  which requires  an  integration  of economic, social, and  environmental
polices, cannot be achieved  by any single federal agency, for it relies on policy coherence
across  government agencies. EPA's contribution to  Sustainability is  to  protect human
health and the environment and this and future generations. Our Sustainability Research
Strategy  rests on the  recognition that  sustainable environmental outcomes must be
achieved  in a system-based and  multimedia context that focuses on the environment
without neglecting the roles of economic patterns and human behavior. This recognition

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
begets a fundamental  change in  research design: in a systems-based  approach,  the
traditional goals of achieving clean  air or water or protecting ecosystems and human
health can be fully understood only through a multimedia approach. EPA and its partners
will   develop  the  integrating  decision-support  tools  (models,  methodologies,  and
technologies) and  supporting data  and analysis that will guide decision-makers toward
environmental sustainability and sustainable development.
Chapter 4: Six Research Themes

Emphasizing an integrated and systems-based approach to achieving sustainability, we
focus on six broad research themes.

1.  Renewable Resource Systems: The  sustainability  of natural systems  is critical  to
protecting human health, supporting our economy, and maintaining our quality of life.
Sustainability demands that we determine how best to  obtain the benefits that renewable
resources provide, while considering the system-wide effects that  their use has on the
regenerative capacity of the entire system. Three of our Research Strategy aims are
especially relevant to renewable  resources: (1) defining clear measures of sustainable
renewable systems, (2) improving understanding  of ecosystem processes  and services,
and  (3)  developing  and applying  advanced systems models and tools  for decision-
making.

2. Non-Renewable Resource Systems: The extraction, processing, and use of fossil  fuels,
minerals, and other materials  are critical elements of our economic life.  Sustainability
calls for greater conservation and  efficient use of these non-renewable resources, as well
as greater  reliance on  renewable  energy,  development  of substitutes for toxic and
dangerous materials,  and  emphasis on management  of materials (thereby preventing
waste) rather than on disposal of waste products. Our Strategy seeks to promote more
sustainable management of non-renewable resource operations and to support the shift to
use of renewable resources.  Its research will include life cycle assessment and material
flow analysis;  application of  models that  will assess the regional impacts of various
energy sources  on emissions and air quality; and alternative chemicals and new industrial
methods. Climate change  research and assessment, a  major global sustainability  issue,
will continue to be a collaborative effort of many programs at EPA and other agencies.

3.  Long-Term  Chemical and  Biological Impacts: The  intergenerational  dimension  of
sustainability means that  society must be mindful of the  long-term  threat  posed by
chemical and biological impacts  on the environment. Improving our use  of materials,
shifting to environmentally preferable materials, and protecting human health all rely on
assessing and  eliminating  the long-term  impacts posed  by  harmful chemical and
biological materials.  Our research  will aim to develop alternate chemicals and new
industrial processes,  as well as decision-support tools for evaluating the environmental
dimensions of the new chemicals and processes. It will also employ  life cycle assessment
and material flow analysis to evaluate environmental releases from industrial systems and
from nanomaterials.

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4.  Human-Built Systems and Land Use: The growth  of urbanized areas over the  past
century has shown that human-built systems can significantly  harm  ecosystems  and
undermine their ability to provide critical services. This Strategy will include research on
such topics as sustainable building design and efficiency, management of urban systems,
life cycle assessment for building  design  and land use, and decision-support tools for
urban  land development and  revitalization. ORD scientists  and engineers will work
directly with key customers and stakeholders who can most benefit from our research
capabilities in these areas—such as those at state and local levels  responsible for myriad
decisions on urban development, land use, and provision of public  services.

5.  Economics and Human Behavior: Since the sustainable management of natural  and
man-made systems depends on human behavior and choice, our Strategy is closely linked
with research in economics and  behavioral  science, such as  developing ecosystem
valuation methods and analyzing the role of incentives in decision-making and the causes
of market failures. Research in this area is led by ORD's  Economics and Decision
Science Research Program, with which activities in this Sustainability Research Strategy
will be closely coordinated, as outlined in the implementation plan in Chapter 6.

6.  Information and Decision-Making: The establishment  of an information infrastructure
of Sustainability metrics and environmental monitoring is a necessary component on any
strategy advancing Sustainability. Our Strategy is closely linked  with  the Global Earth
Observation Systems of Systems (GEOSS) program, whose GEOSS vision is a future in
which  decisions and  actions are informed by coordinated, comprehensive, and sustained
earth observations and  information. GEOSS  will "take the pulse of the planet" by
compiling a  system of all  relevant databases (or  systems), thus revolutionizing  our
understanding of  how  earth  works.  Over  time,  GEOSS will  contribute greatly to
Sustainability by providing  important  scientific information for  sound  policy  and
decision-making in every sector of society.
Chapter 5: Research Objectives

The  five principle research  objectives of our  Strategy represent areas of strong ORD
competence.  Our  research  aims first to  advance  systems  understanding—to  better
comprehend the interconnections,  resilience, and  vulnerabilities over time of natural
systems, industrial systems, the built environment, and human society. Our research aims
to further develop  decision support tools to assist decision-makers.  A third key element
of our Strategy  is developing and applying new  technologies that will be needed to
develop  inherently  benign and  less resource-intensive  materials,  energy  sources,
processes, and products. Our research is committed  to collaborative  decision-making and
aims to develop an understanding of motivations  for decision-making and to develop
approaches to collaborative problem solving. Fifth  and finally, our  Strategy emphasizes
developing metrics and indicators to  measure and track  progress toward Sustainability
goals, to send early warning of potential problems  to decision-makers, and to highlight
opportunities for improvement

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Chapter 6: Roadmap for Implementation

Our  Sustainability  Research  Strategy  builds  on  ORD's  traditional  focus  on  risk
assessment and risk management and dovetails with EPA's commitment to stewardship
and  sustainable outcomes.  The Strategy  supports  shifts  by Program Offices toward
material  management,  green  chemistry,  urban and brownfield  revitalization,  and
ecosystem management. To implement this Strategy we will take these steps:

       •  Demonstrate the value of Sustainability research by identifying key priority
          national issues where application of  Sustainability approaches  can  be most
          effective in promoting sound and sustainable economic growth.

       •  Advance core Sustainability  research and development of new tools and
          methodologies by transitioning  the current Pollution Prevention and New
          Technologies (P2NT) research program into the Science and Technology for
          Sustainability (STS) Research Program.

       •  Leverage all ORD resources by  coordinating and integrating research  across
          ORD that  builds a  critical  knowledge  base for Sustainability,  such  as
          identifying  synergies, gaps  to be filled,  and high-priority emerging areas
          among existing research strategies.

       •  Leverage all EPA resources by coordinating and strengthening collaborations
          and  partnerships—with  EPA Program and Regional  Offices,  other federal
          agencies,  state and local  governments,  communities, industry,  nonprofit
          organizations, universities, and  international partners—that address critical
          Sustainability issues and stimulate broader  progress towards Sustainability in
          both research and implementation.
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                  CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE
       This chapter relates the Sustainability Research Strategy to the mission of the
       Office  of Research and  Development  and describes the Strategy's  goals,
       outcomes, and organization.
Sustainability and the ORD Mission

From the perspective  of the  Office  of Research  and Development,  the  science  of
Sustainability is developing the underlying knowledge base that allows decision-makers
to make sustainable choices. For natural resource managers, this means  how to manage
our natural resources to provide maximum services today and in the future. For urban
planners, this means how to build cost-effective and efficient urban systems that protect
both human health and the environment. For decision-makers in industry, this means how
to enhance economic growth while minimizing industry's footprint on the environment.
The science of Sustainability aims to anticipate problems and promote innovation. A 1997
National  Academy of Engineering report, The Industrial Implication for Environmental
Design and Management., suggests that the path to Sustainability "involves the creative
design of products, processes,  systems  and organizations,  and the implementation  of
smart management strategies that effectively harness technologies and ideas  to avoid
environmental problems before they arise."

ORD conducts cutting-edge research and fosters the use  of sound science and technology
to fulfill the Agency's mission of protecting human health and safeguarding the natural
environment. ORD research is a mix  of (1) core research that seeks to  advance
fundamental understanding of  key  biological,  chemical, and physical processes that
underlie environmental systems, and (2) problem-driven  research that focuses on specific
environmental problems  or  customer  needs.  The  Sustainability Research  Strategy
encompasses both core and problem-oriented research, aiming first at understanding
biological, physical, and chemical interactions through a systems approach, and  secondly
at developing effective models, tools, and metrics that enable decision-makers to achieve
sustainable outcomes.1

This important goal of helping society make good decisions was identified by  the 1998
House Committee on Science report, Unlocking Our Future:

       While acknowledging the continuing need for science and engineering in
       national security,  health  and the  economy, the challenges  we  face today
       cause us to propose that the scientific and engineering enterprise  ought to
       move toward center stage in a fourth role; that of helping society make
  National Research Council, Building a Foundation for Sound Environmental Decisions. Washington:
NAS Press, 1997.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
       good decisions. We believe this role for science will take on increasing
       importance, as we face difficult decisions related to the environment.2

Recent external reviews of two other ORD research programs have re-emphasized the
theme of this Congressional guidance. The 2005 reviews by ORD's Board of Scientific
Counselors  (BOSC) of the Ecological Research Program and Global Change Research
Program both emphasized  a need for activities that lead to "wise decision-making" and
that are "demand-driven and participatory."3

Purpose of the Strategy

Recognizing its responsibility to lead EPA in science applications for decision-making,
ORD management identified two objectives for this Research Strategy:

       •  Develop a crosscutting sustainability  research plan that will tie together the
          ORD Multi-Year Plans (MYP) that concern component parts of sustainability;
          and

       •  Develop a revised MYP for Pollution Prevention (P2),  entitled "Science and
          Technology for Sustainability," that  will identify new annual and long-term
          goals  and annual performance outcome measures to better focus pollution
          prevention and innovative technology on sustainability.

In moving  to  establish an integrated  sustainability research  program  across ORD,
management  recognizes  three  challenges:  (1)  defining  clear  and comprehensive
sustainability goals that are meaningful to EPA and which "connect the dots" among
existing  ORD research strategies, (2) initiating and leveraging  new activities  within a
limited  range of budget  options, and  (3)  overcoming a tradition  of media-specific
("stovepipe") approaches to environmental problems.

Through this Strategy, ORD aims to address these challenges by defining sustainability
within EPA and  identifying  research priorities  and management steps necessary  to
achieve  the dual national goals of  supporting  a growing  economy and  advancing
environmental protection.
2 Unlocking Our Future: Toward a New National Science Policy. House Committee on Science. September
24, 1998.
3 The BOSC Review of ORD Global Change Research Program (draft, December 13, 2005) noted:

       Two underlying themes have surfaced in the Program's approach to its work. The first is
       that its emphasis now and for the future should be on decision support—improving the
       ability of those who control actions to make wise choices in the face of global change
       through provisions of useful research and activities. The Subcommittee concludes that
       this is the right emphasis and that it should be a guiding star for the efforts of this
       Program. The second emphasis is on stakeholder involvement—being 'demand-driven'
       and participatory.
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Stakeholder Input and Strategy Goals and Outcomes

This Sustainability Research Strategy was derived from input gathered through internal
and external activities:

       •  Consultation with Regional and Program Offices on the types of research that
          can provide the greatest benefit to their programs,

       •  Recommendations of the EPA Science Advisory Board (SAB) and Board of
          Scientific Counselors (BOSC),

       •  Review of the Sustainability research literature and consultation with outside
          experts,

       •  Review of EPA-sponsored workshops related to Sustainability, and

       •  Review and consultation with  other  national  governments,  the  European
          Commission, and multilateral organizations.

Economic Benefits

The  economic benefits  of applying  sustainable  management practices for current and
future  energy construction, greenhouse gas  emissions,  material  and chemical  use,
ecosystems  services and health protection  are only now being fully appreciated.  One
illustrative  example (see  Chapter 4) is  that by  2030  new and  replacement building
development will amount to 204.1 billion square feet,  equal to almost 90  percent of the
built space that existed in 2000. All of this amounts to about $30 trillion in total  new
development (including infrastructure) that will occur between 2000 and 2030. A  new
focus on biofuels as an energy source will demand new infrastructure and transportation
systems in nearly all  ecozones of the United States.  Rebuilding  the  aging U.S. water
infrastructure will translate into billions  of dollars. EPA's Clean  Water and Drinking
Water  Infrastructure  Gap Analysis  (2002)4 estimated  that if  capital investment and
operations and maintenance remain at current levels, the potential funding shortfall for
drinking water and wastewater infrastructure could exceed $500 billion by 2020.

Aiming to  affect present and  future economic development and  encourage sound
taxpayer and public investment, the goals  of the Strategy include these:

       •  Improve understanding of  earth systems  to better protect human health,
          manage natural resources, and  design cost-effective and sustainable policies;

       •  Enable EPA, states, and communities to more  successfully envision, plan,
          develop, manage, and restore  their infrastructure and spaces so that human
4 www.epa.gov/waterinfrastructure/
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           health and quality of life, and the quality of air, water, and land are protected
           for the future; and

       •   Design, manufacture, and manage chemicals and materials so as to protect the
           environment and public health, prevent pollution, and conserve resources,
           while advancing global competitiveness and societal objectives.

Criteria for measuring the success of this Strategy and the companion ORD MYPs are
outlined in Goal V of the Draft 2006-11 EPA Strategic Plan. (See box: "Goal V")

                Goal V of the Draft EPA Strategic Plan for 2006-2011

Objective 5.4: Enhance Society's Capacity for Sustainability through Science and Research.
Conduct leading-edge, sound scientific research on pollution prevention, new technology
development, socioeconomics, sustainable systems, and decision-making tools. By 2011, the
products of this research will be independently recognized as providing critical and key evidence
in informing Agency polices and decisions and solving problems for the Agency and its partners
and stakeholders

Sub-objective 5.4.2: Conducting Research. Through 2011, conduct leading-edge, sound scientific
research on pollution prevention, new technology development, socioeconomics, sustainable
systems and decision-making tools. The products of this research will provide critical and key
evidence in informing Agency policies and decisions affecting the Agency programs in Goal 5, as
well as EPA partners and stakeholders.
Outline of Chapters

The Strategy's Chapter 2 forecasts the needs of future generations for clean air and water,
energy, land use,  and materials, and then considers those needs in light of population
increases,  economic growth,  and  trends  in consumption  of natural  resources and
degradation of natural systems.

Chapter 3 proposes a framework of Sustainability for EPA and identifies six integrating
research themes. Chapter 4 reviews these research themes and relates them  to EPA's
proposed Sustainability outcome goals.

Chapter 5 discusses the approaches needed to address the research questions. One of the
most  important  Strategy  components  will  be  developing  appropriate  metrics and
indicators that can track progress towards sustainable outcomes, complementing EPA's
Draft Report on the Environment5 Chapter 5 also presents a discussion of other scientific
approaches  and  the importance of collaborative efforts that will be used to address the
research questions.
5 www.epa.gov/indicators/roe
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Chapter 6 presents a roadmap for implementing this Sustainability Research Strategy,
including descriptions of how the research programs within EPA must evolve in order to
meet  the  future  needs  of environmental  protection   and  to  achieve  sustainable
environmental protection.
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                 CHAPTER 2.  RATIONALE FOR THE STRATEGY
       A  host of far-reaching, interrelated,  and complex  factors—such  as growing
       human populations, increases  in waste production,  growing energy demands,
       and land  development—are all contributing  to stresses on the earth's natural
       systems.  Protecting human health and safeguarding  the natural environment in
       the face of these stressors  is a national priority—and a daunting challenge.

       To meet  that challenge, EPA's Sustainability Research Strategy explores an
       integrated, scientific approach to defining and achieving Sustainability goals in six
       key  natural  resource  systems:  energy,  air,  water, materials,  land, and
       ecosystems.

       Given the breadth of existing ORD research  activities, this chapter explain the
       rationale for the new Strategy,  concluding that a more crosscutting and system-
       oriented  research  strategy is needed  to   address  existing  and  emerging
       environmental problems.
Externalities Affecting the Environment

Water,  air,  land,  and energy  research  are  all interrelated and affected by  a host of
externalities  related  to  economic  growth,  demographic  changes,  and  energy  use.
Economic growth is essential for maintaining social well-being;  how this  growth is
achieved determines a society's quality of life. Most countries have clearly learned that
sustainable environmental polices are an essential component of sound economic growth.
Research that supports this goal is thus an area of national priority.

As illustrated in Figures 2.1 and 2.2, world population and economic growth will expand
rapidly  during the coming decades. Global population is expected to increase by about 50
percent by 2050.
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                 ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                        Figure 2.1. World Population Projections
   10000
    9000 --
    8000 --
Population
(millio'flS?
• North America
D Oceania
D Europe
• Latin America
DChina & India
• Other Asia
    6000
       2000     2005     2010     2015     2020     2025     2030     2035     2040     2045     2050
        Source: United Nations Secretariat, "World Population Prospects." http://esa.un.org/unpp
                   Figure 2.2. Projected World Relative GDP Growth
   2.5 -
   0.5 -
    2000
           -Africa
           -Other Asia
           China & India
           -Latin America
           Europe
           -Oceania
           -North America
                  2005
                                2010
                                              2015
                                                            2020
                                                                          2025
                                                                                        2030
    Source: International Energy Agency, "World Energy Outlook 2002", www.worldenergyoutlook.org
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When EPA was founded in 1970, the U.S. population was just over 203 million; in 2006
it reached 300 million, reflecting a 35-year increase approaching 40 percent. This growth,
however, has not been distributed evenly. About one-third of the U.S. population resides
in the 17 Western states, which include seven of the nation's 10 fastest growing states.
Through 2030 the population of the Southwest is projected to increase as a proportion of
the U.S. population. The population increase has already greatly affected the allocation
and use of resources,  as approximately one acre of land becomes urbanized or otherwise
developed for each additional U.S. inhabitant. Many Western and Southwestern states
with rapidly  expanding population are also experiencing  urban expansion, increasing
energy  demand, and  diminishing water resources.6 The U.S. population is also aging,
thereby creating new needs  for health and human  services.  These changes  require a
heightened awareness of potential future  challenges, especially increasing  demand for
water and energy in much of the nation.

The global challenge of growth is also becoming apparent. Over the next 30 years, while
the U.S. GDP is  expected to double, the GDP in China  and India is  projected to
quadruple. By 2030 over 60 percent of the world's population will live in cities, many in
Africa,  Asia,  and Latin America, where the urban populations will grow from 1.9 to 3.9
billion people. Economic growth in the "BRIC"  countries (Brazil,  Russia, India, and
China) will significantly impact future global and trans-boundary environmental  issues.7
Together these changes will  place considerable stress on the earth's resources  and on
humanity's ability to  maintain or improve environmental quality. Unless steps are taken
to address the consequences of growing populations and economies, the resilience of the
global  ecosystem  will be  undermined. The challenge is  to  prevent  or  minimize  the
potential negative consequences.

Achieving Sustainability

This challenge means that achieving sustainable environmental outcomes must be a long-
term national  environmental goal. This  is a key goal of the new EPA report, Everyday
Choices: Opportunities for Environmental Stewardship, in which senior EPA managers
have identified sustainable outcomes  in six resource systems relevant to the Agency's
mission. The report is the  first explicit statement of EPA senior leadership focused on
recommendations for Sustainability  outcomes  that the nation  should seek. While much
more discussion and debate will be needed to refine these goals, the report's linkage of
stewardship with sustainable outcomes has set a direction for future policy development
and research.
6 Population data is taken from Water Availability in the Western United States. U.S. Geological Survey
Circular 1261 (2005).
7 Dreaming with  BRICS:  The Path to  2050. Goldman Sachs Economic Report #99. October 2003.
www.gs.com/insight/research/reports/report6.html
                                        18

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
               Table 2.1. Proposed Sustainable Outcome Measures
Natural Resource
Systems
Energy
Air
Water
Materials
Land
Ecosystems
Sustainable Outcomes
Generate clean energy and use it efficiently.
Sustain clean and healthy air.
Sustain water resources of quality and availability for desired uses.
Use materials carefully and shift to environmentally preferable
materials.
Support ecologically sensitive land management and development.
Protect and restore ecosystem functions, goods and services.
Source Everyday Choices: Opportunities for Environmental Stewardship, Innovation Action Council Report
to the Administrator, November 2005. www.epa.gov/innovation

Achieving these outcomes will also be greatly affected by the trends presented in Table
2.2. For example, growing population and GDP will significantly impact the six resource
systems. Population increases will affect how and where land is developed and thus the
viability of ecosystems. Population growth has historically led to increased use of energy,
water, and materials—and increased production of waste, leading to greater pollution of
air, water, and  land,  with associated negative consequences for ecosystems  and  human
health. Economic growth has usually required greater quantities of energy, materials, and
water from expanded agriculture  and industry,  leading to more waste, toxics,  and
pollution of air and  water. The  land  and thus  ecosystems change  as  materials are
extracted, goods produced, infrastructure built, and wastes disposed of.

EPA's 2003 Draft Report on the Environment outlined U.S. successes  in environmental
protection and  identified many remaining  challenges  and data gaps. Table 2.2 lists
examples of trends identified in this report for each of the six resource areas, revealing a
few  of the  many  potential  stresses  stemming from the expected  U.S. population and
economic  growth. Other potential impacts of stressors on the environment have been
identified through a  survey of EPA senior Program Officers and from external  future
studies.
                                        19

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
      Table 2.2. Potential Consequences of Growing U.S. Population and GDP
 Resource
        Current Trends1
 Consequences Projected over 20
               Years
 Energy
In the last 30 years energy
consumption has increased by 42%.
Between 1982 and 2001, NOx
emissions rose by 9%, primarily
from increased diesel fuel use.
Demand for petroleum, natural gas, and
coal each will increase by 25-40%.
Passenger miles driven and number of
road vehicles will increase by 30-40%.
CO2 emissions will grow by 28%.2
 Air
                133 million people live in areas with
                air quality not meeting NAAQ
                standards (indoor air pollution is
                associated with asthma  in children).
                                  Increased transportation demand will
                                  increase NAAQS exceedances.3
                                  Between 23 and 33 million additional
                                  housing units will be needed.3
 Water
               408 billion gallons of water per day
               are withdrawn.
               Excess nitrogen and phosphorus
               have degraded aquatic life in 2.5
               million acres of lakes and 84,000
               miles of rivers and streams.
                                  In some areas, existing water supplies
                                  will be inadequate to meet demands for
                                  people, cities, farms and the natural
                                  systems an biota.4
                                  Reduced water availability is projected
                                  to impede electric power plant growth.5
 Materials
               Per-capita MSW over the last
               decade has leveled at 4.5
               Ibs/person/day.
               Waste systems are managing
               growing quantities of toxic
               chemicals.
                                  Under "business as usual" scenarios, a
                                  24% projected increase in population
                                  will result in a comparable increase in
                                  total waste generation.3
 Land
               The pace of land development
               between 1992 and 1997 was more
               than 1.5 times the rate of the
               previous 10 years.
                                 About 10% of forested land is expected
                                 to be converted to urban and developed
                                 use.6
 Ecosystems
Coastal wetland area has decreased
by 8% since the 1950s.
One third of native species are at
risk.
Worldwide, flux of nitrogen to coastal
ecosystems will increase by 10-20%;
species extinction rates are projected to
be ten times higher than current rate.7
1 Extracted from the 2003 Draft Report on the Environment Technical Document. 2 Department of Energy
Annual Energy Outlook, 2004. 3 Extrapolated from trends. 4 Department of the Interior, Water 2025.5 Electric
Power Research Institute, 2001. 6 Climate Change Science Program, 2003. 7 United Nations, Millennium
Ecosystem Assessment, 2005.
Even as population and GDP impact a particular resource system, that system in turn
interacts with other areas in complex, dynamic, and interrelated ways. For example, since
1971 each 1% increase in worldwide GDP has resulted in a 0.64% increase in energy use.
Most of the energy has been produced from fossil fuels, so the increased energy use has
led to greater emissions  of air pollutants from the combustion of these fuels. Nearly half
of U.S. water withdrawals are used for cooling power plants and water is also used to
scrub air pollutants from flue gas; so increased energy use increases both demand for and
                                         20

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
pollution of  water. Extraction of fossil fuels from  the  earth  requires use of  more
materials, changes  the  surrounding  land,  and produces  more  wastes  (i.e. unwanted
"materials").  Finally, increased energy use  impacts ecosystems through  such factors as
silt run-off from energy extraction activities and the decline in water quality caused by
runoff from mining facilities.  Such "response" impacts are shown in the first row of
Table 2.3. Interactions like these demonstrate forcefully that a systems approach offers
the best strategy for understanding  environmental  impacts and  for  designing  cost-
effective and  sustainable policy responses.

                  Table 2.3. Linkages among Resource Systems
Resources
under Stress
Energy
(Increased
use)
Air
(Increased
pollutants)
Water
(Increased
pollutants)
Material
(Increased
use)

Land
(Increased
development)
Ecosystems
(Decreased
availability)
Potential Response to the Stressed Resource System
Energy



Increased
energy for
clean-up
Increased
energy for
clean-up
Increased
demand
(processing
energy)
Increased
demand

Increased
energy for
restoration
Air
Increased
pollutants




Transfer of
pollutants
from water
Increased
pollutants


Increased
pollutants

Reduced
natural
processing
capacity
Water
Increased
demand

Pollutant
deposition
from air



Increased
demand,
Increased
pollutants
Increased
pollutants,
Run-off
Reduced
natural
processing
capacity
Materials
Increased
extraction

Increased
demand,
Degradation
Increased
demand,
Degradation




Reduction
of resources

Reduced
renewable
resources
Land
Extraction
impacts

Waste
disposal

Waste
disposal

Extraction
impacts,
Waste
disposal



Erosion


Ecosystems
Extraction
impacts

Increased
negative
Impacts
Increased
negative
impacts
Increased
negative
impacts

Reduction of
resource




Sewerage provides another example  of interaction among resource areas. As shown in
Table 2.3, polluted sewer water requires energy for cleanup; air pollutants of methane
and nitrogen compounds are produced, and solid waste is generated and typically sent to
landfills. Finally, sewerage overflows can impact ecosystems. These examples illustrate
how a change in one resource area can negatively reverberate through other areas.

The Need for a Systems Approach

Ensuring continued improvement in environmental  quality  and in  the protection of
human health under these increasing  stresses requires new approaches. Fortunately, that
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
is not without precedent, as approaches to environmental  protection have evolved over
the decades to meet emerging challenges and the advance of science.

In its early  years, EPA developed "end-of-pipe"  strategies that targeted emissions of
pollutants from, for example, smokestacks or sewer lines. As these strategies matured,
new problems  were  recognized,  and  accordingly  were  met with new "upstream"
approaches,  such as waste minimization and pollution prevention.

As additional environmental  stressors became recognized, the evaluation and choice of
pollution control and mitigation options required  greater understanding of the  overall
context of problems. This led to the development of life  cycle  assessments, which
demonstrated that the vast majority of environmental problems are not contained within a
single resource area or within a single product's life cycle, but extend across multiple
areas and timeframes. It is now clear that a more integrated approach to environmental
protection is needed.

As  environmental protection has become  more  complex,  the Agency  has evolved,
moving from  point-source pollution controls associated  with particular industries to
larger  problems  of  regional emissions,  such  as  those  associated with agricultural
operations, urban transportation, and  emerging contaminants. Successfully meeting all of
these challenges—significant increases  in stressors,  impacts across  resource  areas,
emissions from  diffuse sources,  and emerging contaminants—will  require a continued
evolution in how environmental protection approaches Sustainability.

Is the problem of Sustainability urgent? Does it address the national interest? There is no
doubt that improving the health and  well being of people  today and in the future while
growing the economy  and protecting natural resources is a national priority.  Prudent
scientific management would suggest launching a program aimed at better understanding
the linkages among the six resource systems and aimed at developing effective means to
disseminate and apply the research results.
                                        22

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                     CHAPTER 3. DEFINITION AND SCOPE
ORD focuses its sustainability research portfolio on capturing and quantifying systems
dynamics, assessing and managing variability, and understanding resilience of systems
to stresses and disturbances, both expected and unexpected. Sustainability research is
an essential foundation that incorporates new research approaches with the established
foundation of ORD's existing research focused on individual media (land, air, and water).
Sustainability  research  will focus on  six  broad crosscutting  themes,  which  are
coordinated with ORD's economic and behavioral science research and global monitoring
programs.
Toward Sustainable Development

The  concept  of  sustainable   development  marries  two  important  insights:  that
environmental protection does  not preclude economic development and that economic
development should be ecologically viable.8 Sustainable development also addresses the
question of trade-offs between the welfare of people today and the welfare of people in
the future. In the words of the  1987 report, Our Common Future—better known as the
Brundtland Report—development is sustainable when it "meets the  needs of the present
without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."9

Sustainable development fosters policies that integrate  environmental,  economic, and
social values in decision-making. The National Environmental Protection Act (NEPA)—
drafted  in  1969 before EPA was established—provides that the federal government, in
partnership with the states, should "use all practicable means and measures ... to create
and maintain conditions under which man and nature can exist in productive harmony,
and fulfill the social, economic, and other requirements of present and future generations
of  Americans."  Federal  policies and actions  that  today promote  stewardship  and
collaborative problem solving  are  implementing the  NEPA provision. Subsequent
legislation and executive  orders have directed federal agencies to pursue sustainable
management of federal facilities and to measure and report on economic, environmental,
and social responsibilities of their operations.10 On January 24, 2007, President Bush
signed  Executive Order 13423, "Strengthening  Federal Environmental, Energy, and
Transportation  Management,"   that   sets goals  in   the  areas of  energy efficiency,
acquisitions,  renewable  energy, toxics reductions,  recycling, sustainable  buildings,
electronics stewardship, vehicle fleets,  and water conservation.  The  order explicitly
 Dan Esty, "A Term's Limits." Foreign Policy. September/October 2001, pg. 74-75.
9 World Commission on Environment and Development, Our Common Future. London: Oxford University
Press, 1987.
10 "Achieving Sustainability of Government Operations," LMI Research Institute Report IR 521 Rl.
September 2005
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
directs heads of federal agencies to implement sustainable practices in these areas, and
defines sustainable as meaning "to create and maintain conditions, under which humans
and nature can exist in productive harmony, that permit fulfilling the social, economic,
and  other requirements  of  present  and  future  generations  of Americans."11  The
Government  Accountability Office has  also  recently  assessed  the  role  that  federal
agencies are playing in complementing U.S. business goals of promoting global corporate
social responsibility.12

Environmental Sustainability

EPA has moved steadily over the past 36 years to ensure that its policies and programs
are responsive to changing environmental stresses.  U.S. environmental policies have
evolved  from  reliance on  laws  and  regulations requiring  only  compliance,  to  new
emphasis on  policies  and incentives that encourage industry  to go beyond compliance.
Growing  use  of market-based  economic  instruments,  voluntary  programs,   public
reporting by industry, and creative public-private partnerships are bringing a new era of
environmental management. But as former Administrator William K. Riley noted,

I don't think we will be able to say, in the popular phrase of the moment, that we
have attained a sustainable level  of development until we function in harmony
with these ecosystems, and learn to keep them productive ...  We are  not, nor
ought to be, fundamentally about reducing this effluent or  that  emission, but
rather about protecting the totality of the environment.13

The Brundtland Report recognized that environmental protection  is different from but
related   to  sustainable  development:  "Environmental  protection  and   sustainable
development must be an integral part of the mandates of all agencies of government, of
international   organizations,  and  of  major  private-sector  institutes."14   Sustainable
environmental policies are critical for achieving sustainable development. EPA and ORD
are in  position to lead those  policies  by developing a strong research  foundation that
contributes to policies supporting sustainable development.

This Strategy will promote environmental Sustainability by seeking outcomes that protect
and enhance the resilience of natural systems to environmental stress and that reduce the
industrial and urban burdens on the environment.

Sustainability Research
11 www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/01/20070124-2.html

12 Government Accountability  Office. Globalization: Numerous Federal Activities Complement U.S.
Business Global Corporate Social Responsibility Efforts. GAO-05—744. August 2005.

13 William K Reilly. Oral History Interview, "Ecosystem Management." EPA 202-K-95-002. September
1995. www.epa.gov/history/publications/reilly/21 .htm

14 World Commission on Environment and Development, pg. 311.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
The Strategy's definition of sustainability research can be clarified through an analogy
with  non-traditional  research  being conducted  in the  investment  and insurance
communities. Traditionally, these sectors allocated resources and managed risk with a
principle focus on short-term performance and  economic measures, ignoring a host of
external  social and environmental factors. Today they have a growing interest  in  the
impact of extra-financial issues on long-term risk and investment. For example Swiss Re,
the leading reinsurance firm, has asserted that "Unsustainable development increasingly
needs to be understood as having the potential to substantially change the risk landscape"
and has launched an extensive research program  on the early detection and assessment of
environmental and health risks.15

In the investment world, asset owners and managers have formed the Enhanced Analytics
Initiative, an international  consortium aimed at  encouraging better investment research,
especially research focused on "... the alignment  of management and board with long-
term company value, the quality of human resources management, risks associated with
governance  structure, the environment,  branding, corporate  ethics  and  stakeholder
relations."16

The insurance and  investment  sectors are  both promoting  "better  research for better
investment  decisions"—an approach  based on future  projections, capturing system
dynamics  and  points  of leverage,  and assessing  and  managing  variability  and
uncertainty.  EPA can learn and benefit from  such forward-looking,  system-oriented
research that broadens  the  application  of risk analysis to  reflect a wider range of
environmental and social issues.

ORD's  Sustainability Research  Strategy mirrors the expanded research goals of cutting-
edge  insurance  and  investment firms,  for sustainability research  similarly seeks  "to
promote more informed and sustainable decisions." Like the financial sectors, ORD must
project the impact of future economic and demographic changes on natural and man-
made systems to help decision-makers attain more sustainable  outcomes.17 Research in
the realms of insurance, investment, and environmental  protection  aims to  connect  the
dots to better understand how systems work and how they are affected by change. ORD
sustainability research  aims to  capture  system  dynamics,  manage  variability  and
uncertainty,  and  understand  system  resilience to  foreseen and  unforeseen  stresses.
Improved scientific understanding must be translated into useable outcomes. To do this,
15 Swiss Re, Sustainability Report 2004. Swiss Re has built an extensive research program around detection
and assessment of risks. Its SONAR research project (Systematic Observations of Notions Associated with
Risk) is an extensive data analysis and systems study that can detect risk signals too weak to show up on
the radar screen of a wider audience. See 2004 Report, page 9. www.swissre.com
16 The Initiative currently represents  companies with managing assets of more than US$1 trillion (See
www.enhancedanalytics.com/Fiesta/EDITORIAL/20060630/CommPresse/PR15_InvestecjoinsEAI_19050
6.pdf). Quote is from David Blood and Al Gore, "It is Essential that Investors Look to the Long Term,"
www. ft.com, July 6, 2005; Financial Times, July 7, 2005. Available at www.generationim.com/media/pdf-
ft-david-blood-al-gore-07-07-05.pdf.
17 "Shaping our Environmental Future: Foresight in the Office of Research and Development." In press
2007. After publication, will be available atwww.epa.gov/sustainability.
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              ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
EPA  and its  partners ill  develop integrating decision  support tools  (i.e.  models,
methodologies,  and technologies)  that produce the  data  and understanding  to  help
decision-makers  shift toward  practices promoting  environmental Sustainability and
ultimately sustainable development.

Emphasizing a systems approach to achieving  sustainable environmental management,
we focus on six broad research themes.

•  Renewable Resource Protection
•  Non-Renewable Resource Conservation
•  Long-Term Chemical and Biological Impacts
•  Human-Built Systems and Land Use
•  Economics and Human Behavior
•  Information and Decision-Making
                                       26

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                     CHAPTER 4. Six RESEARCH THEMES
To promote the integration of research across disciplines and existing ORD research
programs and to underscore the importance of a systems approach to future planning,
this chapter serves three important functions:
   •   It identifies priority research topics related to the six themes listed in Chapter 3
       and to the sustainable outcomes in Table 4.1.
   •   It identifies existing ORD and EPA research  programs that relate to the research
       questions (Table 4.2).
   •   It  describes  how  this  Research  Strategy  and the  focus  on  sustainable
       environmental outcomes advance ongoing EPA efforts.
Achieving any one of EPA's proposed sustainable outcome measures (shown in Table
4.1) will be a formidable challenge, for there are no technological "quick fixes" offering
simple solutions  or  approaches to achieving any of these outcomes.  Instead, research
across physical  science,  economics, social  science,  and  other disciplines  must be
combined in meaningful ways. In turn, the resulting  science must be made available to
decision-makers and integrated into effective public policy.
               Table 4.1. Proposed Sustainable Outcome Measures
Natural Resource
Systems
Energy
Air
Water
Materials
Land
Ecosystems
Sustainable Outcomes
Generate clean energy and use it efficiently.
Sustain clean and healthy air.
Sustain water resources of quality and availability for desired uses.
Use materials carefully and shift to environmentally preferable
materials.
Support ecologically sensitive land management and development.
Protect and restore ecosystem functions, goods and services.
Source Everyday Choices: Opportunities for Environmental Stewardship, Innovation Action Council Report
to the Administrator, November 2005. www.epa.gov/innovation
By itself, ORD can address only a small part of the overall research required to advance
sustainability, but it can partner with Program and Regional Offices and other federal and
state agencies and can use its research results, methods, and tools to assist clients both
inside and outside EPA in pursuing sustainable outcomes.
                                         27

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
    Table 4.2. Sustainability Research Themes Addressed by Multi-Year Plans

          X - Some association              XX - Strong association



National
Program
Director Area
Air


Global Change
& Mercury

Water Quality
Drinking Water
Human Health
Ecological
Risk
Pesticides,
Toxics, and
ECDs

(not an NPD
area)
Contaminated
Sites/
Resource
Conservation






Multi-Year Plan
Air Toxics
Particulate Matter
Tropospheric Ozone
Global Change


Mercury
Water Quality
Drinking Water
Human Health
Ecological Research

Endocrine Disrupters

Safe Pesticides
Toxics
Computational
Toxicology
Contaminated Sites
Hazardous Waste
Economics and Decision
Sciences



5 2
I
0) O
C If,
OL OL



X



XX


XX











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£1
£3
g if,
IS
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O 0)
"2. t£
X
X
X
X


X
















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08 o
"to Q.
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£ "5
o m






XX
X

XX
X

XX

XX
XX
XX


XX



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2± C
•5 «
^ E
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§ 2
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X UJ
X
X
X
XX




XX














08
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X
















XX


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X
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X
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XX

Table 4.2 shows the extent of existing ORD multi-year plans.  The following sections
discuss  how these  programs relate  to each other  and to the Sustainability  research
questions. An example of the possible integration (and leveraging of resources) among
existing  ORD  research  strategies—the  coordination  of  the  Sustainability  Research
Strategy and the Economics and Decision Sciences Strategy—is  illustrated in Figure 4.1
near the end of this chapter.
                                       28

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
1. Natural Resource Protection (Air, Water, Ecosystems)

The health and well-being of all societies depend on ecosystems and the services they
provide. Natural resources are an essential support for a nation's economy and quality of
life. Where natural systems are undermined, then the economic and social well-being of
people is threatened. This is true at local levels where the expansion of urbanized areas is
undermining the ecological  integrity of ecosystems  by bringing  about  declines  in
biological diversity, degradation of water quality, and loss of other ecological services. It
is also true at regional levels where unsustainable industry and urban development are
threatening the long-term health of great water bodies like the Chesapeake Bay and the
Great Lakes. And it is certainly true at global scales where widespread ecosystem loss
may affect global atmospheric processes and human health.

The natural resource basis is  a complex and dynamic system of plants, animals, and the
physical environment that interact with each another. Lessons learned over the years  on
different approaches and techniques for managing natural resource system, at both small
and large scales, demonstrate the need to better understand the resilience of a natural
                                                                       1 £
system to "tolerate disturbances while retaining its structure and function."   Achieving
Sustainability in managing natural systems therefore requires a better understanding of
the  complexity  of these systems,  including  their  critical  thresholds, resilience and
adaptability.

In a sustainable world, society greatly benefits from ecosystem services at all levels from
local flood control to global climate protection.  A critical test of society's ability to
sustainably manage its natural resource base is fast approaching. Our nation is committed
to making cellulosic ethanol (i.e., ethanol derived from fibrous, woody, and generally
inedible portions of plant matter) cost-competitive with corn-based ethanol by 2012 and
to replacing by  2030 at least 30 percent of the motor gasoline  demand of 2004. This
transition will  require  large  supplies of sustainable feedstock,  major feedstock and
conversion technology advances, large-scale integrated biorefinery demonstrations, and
massive new infrastructure development that will affect land use and  ecosystems. Given
these policy directions, it will be important for EPA  and ORD to assess how to produce,
harvest,  and deliver an estimated   1 billion dry  tons of cellulosic biomass  in  an
economically and environmentally sustainable  way.

None of these  challenges are new to EPA, which has made healthy communities and
ecosystems of its five  key  long-term  goals.  Existing EPA  programs extend from
protecting  existing ecosystems from risks posed by release  of harmful substances to
expanding and restoring ecosystems. Filling  gaps in  current EPA and federal agency
programs, the Sustainability  Research Strategy aims to sharpen the  focus on achieving
sustainable management of renewable resources by  aiming at three goals: (1) defining
clear measures  of  sustainable  renewable  systems, (2) improving understanding  of
18 Joseph Fiksel, "Designing Resilient, Sustainable Systems," Environmental Science & Technology. 37
(December 2003), 5330-5339.
                                        29

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
ecosystem processes and their impacts on human health, and (3) developing and applying
advanced systems models and tools to assist decision-makers.

Efforts to achieve the first goal are tied to building consensus within EPA on terms and
definitions. ORD is leading an EPA-wide effort to more clearly define outcome goals and
measures. Efforts to achieve the second goal depend on greater coordination of existing
efforts across ORD, EPA  Program  and  Regional  Offices, and universities.  Efforts  to
achieve the third goal depend on expanded in-house ORD research and on collaboration
with ORD customers and stakeholders.

Current  ORD  systems research  aims to  address  complex, long-term  environmental
problems in  ways that go beyond traditional compliance  and  pollution prevention
approaches to those that focus on sustainable outcomes. This effort builds on a growing
body of academic research that has demonstrated how the integrated assessment of a
sustainable system  cannot be accomplished by simply linking together a collection  of
domain-specific models. Research on the bio-complexity in large lake systems shows that
new modeling approaches are needed.19 Frontier interdisciplinary research in  EPA's
Science  to Achieve  Results  (STAR) program is exploring the  relationship  among
anthropogenic stressors within  ecosystems, changes in host and/or vector biodiversity,
and infectious disease transmission.20

This new research focuses on understanding the environmental  and social factors that
contribute to  biodiversity change, the population dynamics of animal reservoirs and
vectors  of  disease, biological mechanisms that influence  transmission of diseases  to
humans, and the processes by which  infectious diseases emerge and spread. Research on
the links between anthropogenic stressors, biodiversity, and infectious disease can have
an important  impact  on our view  of biodiversity, the services  provided by  natural
ecosystems, and how we  manage these resources  to  protect human  health and the
environment.

Priority Research Topics

•  Demonstrating and quantifying the value of ecosystem services (informing decision-
   makers) in environmental protection and human health

•  Understanding long-term chemical and biological interactions and cycles among air,
   land, and water resources and their impact on biodiversity (systems analysis)

•  Exploring  interactions among natural resource systems that may lead to unrecognized
   side effects of management initiatives, such as loss  of soil resilience due to over-
   harvesting of biomass (systems analysis)
19 See Conference Report on "Toward Sustainable Systems." Ohio State University, March 2-3, 2006.
20 See http://es.epa.gov/ncer/rfa/2007/2007_biodiversity_health.html
                                        30

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
    Modeling linkages between human-built and natural resource systems in terms of
    material and energy flows (systems analysis)

    Understanding the resilience and adaptability of ecosystems to change (resilience and
    vulnerability)

    Improving  understanding and quantification of natural  carrying  capacity  under
    various environmental conditions and human activity patterns (forecasting)

    Developing  early warning  signs  of  critical  system  overloads beyond  natural
    variability (forecasting)

    Identifying trends that have been and are expected to continue affecting ecological
    processes that sustain ecosystems (forecasting)

    Developing  future  regional  scenarios  and  models  integrating  land,  water,  and
    ecosystems to assess impact on ecosystem services (forecasting)
2. Non-Renewable Resource Conservation (Energy and Materials)

Each phase  of non-renewable  energy production  (exploration,  extraction, refining,
transporting,  and storing) and manufacturing affects the quality of air, the quality and
availability of water, global climate, short- and long-term use of land,  and resiliency of
ecosystems. For these resources and processes, sustainability requires  greater focus on
conservation and  enhanced use of renewable  energy,  greater emphasis on managing
materials rather than disposing  of waste products, and finding substitutes for toxic and
dangerous materials. The historic consequences  of unsustainable non-renewable resource
management are evident in landscape modification, growth of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere, and  climate change. Fossil fuel use, with its potential effects on  climate
change  and on environmental and human health, constitutes a vital  long-term global
sustainability  issues. EPA's role in addressing  climate change is prescribed  by the
interagency U.S.  Global Change Research Program  (USGCRP).21 Complementing this
interagency program, the Sustainability Research Strategy will promote more sustainable
management of nonrewable  resource operations and  enhance a shift to greater use of
renewable resources.

A new vision of how to sustainability manage nonrenewable resources  is needed. The
1997 National  Academy  of  Engineering  report,  The  Industrial  Implication for
Environmental Design  and Management,  suggests  that  the  path  to sustainability
"involves the creative design of products, processes,  systems and organizations,  and the
21 EPA's research role in the USGCRP is to assess the potential consequences of climate change for air and
water quality, ecosystems, and human health. This program seeks to improve the  scientific basis for
evaluating the risks and opportunities presented by global change in the context of other stressors. A suite
of EPA voluntary programs such as Climate Leaders develop industry strategies aimed at reducing the
overall emissions of greenhouse gases.

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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
implementation of smart management strategies that effectively harness technologies and
ideas to avoid environmental  problems before  they  arise."  In Grand Challenges  in
Environmental Sciences  (2001),  the National  Academy  of Sciences recommended
"developing] a quantitative understanding of the  global budget of materials widely used
by humanity and how the life cycles of these materials ... may be modified."22

These concerns prompted the Office of Solid Waste proposal  to shift its emphasis from
managing waste to managing materials, and the Office of Pesticides and Toxics' efforts
to reduce toxic chemical  use  through green  chemistry  and other new technologies.
Looking ahead, regulatory actions may further enhance a movement toward sustainable
resource management. Several directives of the European Union that target reductions of
hazardous materials  and toxics and promote recycling may serve to promote additional
research in use of alternative material, green  chemistry, and life cycle analysis.23

Consequently this Strategy will initially focus on core research methodologies, models,
technology, and technological processes that can help to assess the impacts of energy and
material use  on  the environment and to  identify  low-impact  and other sustainable
approaches to renewable resource management.

Priority Research Topics

Core functions:

•  How can life cycle assessment be made more efficient, reliable, and comprehensive
   so that it  will more effectively  inform  design  decisions  that le ad to reducing  or
   eliminating the use of non-renewable resources?

•  What innovative technologies or  processes can be developed  to  improve  the
   efficiency of non-renewable  resource consumption (e.g., closed-loop  recycling  or
   energy efficiency in manufacturing and consumer products)?

•  For  different sectors, what re-engineering processes can be designed to manage
   production and supply chains, reducing or eliminating the use of fossil fuels and other
   non-renewable resources?

•  How can  material flow  analysis and related methods provide better insight into
   opportunities for reducing or eliminating the use of non-renewable resources?

•  What tools can be used to operationalize the concept of industrial ecology, enabling
   systems-based understanding of energy and material flows?
22 EPA Science Advisory Board, Commentary on Industrial Ecology, 2002. Also SAB Review of Science
and Research Budgets for FY2006, March 30, 2006.

23 The Directives  are Restriction of Hazardous  Substances Directive (RoHS),  Waste Electical  and
Electronic Directive (WEEE), and Directive on Registration, Evaluation and Authorization of Chemicals
(REACH)
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007



Material Balance:

•  What are the patterns and driving forces of societal use of non-renewable resources?

•  How  can  global  scenarios  of  future  industrial  development  and  associated
   environmental implications be developed?

•  In what materials, products, places, and time-scales can we expect significant change
   in material and energy use or their impacts?

Energy:

•  What  opportunities exist to replace  non-renewable with renewable feedstocks and
   materials in an environmentally beneficial manner?

•  How can we ensure that societal shifts in material  use—such as from petroleum to
   renewable feedstocks  for  energy and materials—do not  lead  to unforeseen and
   unsustainable consequences?

•  What tools are needed to develop, test, and measure the life cycle of a full suite of
   energy  conversion  technologies  (using  renewable  and  non-renewable  energy
   sources)?
3. Long-Term  Chemical  and  Biological  Impacts  (Using Non-Toxic  Materials
Sustainably and Protecting Human Health)

The intergenerational dimension of Sustainability means that society must be particularly
mindful  of the long-term  threat posed  by chemical and biological  impacts on  the
environment.  Protecting environmental and human health from chemical toxicity  has
long been central to EPA's mission. The inability of the environment to assimilate certain
chemical compounds over time has  serious implications for Sustainability. A chemical
pollutant released to the environment at a rate greater than the environment's ability to
recycle, absorb,  or render  it harmless is considered  to  be persistent. Other chemical
compounds have  a tendency to concentrate in the tissues of living  organisms in  the
process of bioaccumulation. Chemicals  that are either  persistent or  bioaccumulative
increase  the  potential  for  adverse  effects on  human health  and/or the environment
because they can result in high levels of exposure. Chemicals that are both persistent and
bioaccumulative result in the highest levels of exposure and thus present the  greatest
challenge to Sustainability. Achieving sustainable outcomes will rely on prudent material
use and shifting to environmentally preferable materials in order to protect human health
by assessing and eliminating the long-term impacts of harmful chemical  and biological
materials.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
Research  on long-term chemical and biological  impacts (complementing research on
resource conservation) addresses two major areas: assessing chemical and  biological
impacts and substituting benign chemicals for toxic chemicals through green chemistry,
nanotechnology, genomics, and other new technologies. Achieving sustainable outcomes
will be aided by the enhanced ability offered by these technologies to detect and measure
chemicals  in humans  and  animals  and  to provide  new ways of  designing and
manipulating new materials.

ORD's work in computation toxicology—using the latest advances in  mathematical and
computer  modeling  and genomics to prioritize,  screen, and evaluate chemicals and
predict  potential  toxicities—offers great  potential  for  developing  more sustainable
products.24 ORD and other EPA  researchers are also  assessing the application  of
nanotechnology for developing more efficient and sustainable products. In a recent white
paper  on  nanotechnology,  assessing   the  risks  and  benefits  associated  with
nanotechnology, EPA  scientists  recommended that the Agency  "engage resources and
expertise to support  approaches that promote pollution prevention, sustainable resource
use,  and  good product  stewardship  in  the production  and use of  nanomaterials."25
Important new research efforts in ORD  and in EPA Program and Regional Offices are
evaluating the green production of nanomaterials, including a life cycle assessment of
nanomaterial production, and are developing decision support tools for  bench chemists to
evaluate the environmental  dimensions of new chemicals and production processes.

Key  sustainability research goals thus include further developing new  technologies that
reduce or  replace the use of toxic chemicals and measuring the potential environmental
effect of  these new technologies. The  research topics listed below  build on  ORD's
development of research aimed  at creating new catalysts to significantly improve the
environmental effects of chemical manufacturing, innovative reactors and intensification
techniques, and novel oxidation technologies that will allow the pulp and paper industry
to meet new emission regulations.

Priority Research Topics

•  Develop  and  apply  innovative  chemical  transformations  utilizing green and
   sustainable chemistry and engineering.

•  Improve  the yield, safety,  and  specificity  of chemical processes by identifying
   appropriate solvents,  controlling  thermal conditions and  purity, and  recovering
   process catalysts  or byproducts.

•  Formulate products that reduce waste and that are environmentally benign.

•  Develop  life cycle tools to  compare the total environmental impacts of products
   generated from different processing routes and conditions.
  See ORD, "A Framework for Computational Toxicology." EPA 600/R-03/065 November 2003
25 See www.epa.gov/osa/nanotech.htm
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
   Develop improved or accelerated methods for understanding the toxicology, kinetics,
   fate, and persistence of chemical substances.

   Develop and implement models for the efficient application of life cycle analysis
   methods to new products and technologies including nanomaterials, green chemistry,
   and engineering.

   Develop and implement systems-level methodologies and technologies for applying
   material flow analysis to complex industrial networks.

   Develop improved  methods for systems analysis of material flows that reflect the
   differences in health and environmental impacts of different substances.
4. Human-Built Systems and Land Use

In the past, little or no concern was given to how human-built systems might seriously
impair or destroy the natural infrastructure  and "ecosystem services" provided by the
infrastructure, such as the ability to absorb and break down pollutants, cleanse air and
water, and prevent flood and storm damage. However, the growth of urban populations
over the  last century  has  provided evidence  that human-built  systems  can cause
significant harm to ecosystems  and  to their ability to provide these critical services.
Building on undeveloped land  destroys and fragments habitat, displacing or eliminating
wildlife communities.

The  construction of impervious surfaces  such as roads  and rooftops leads to the
degradation  of water quality by increasing runoff volume, stream sedimentation and
water acidity, altering  regular  stream flow and watershed  hydrology,  and reducing
groundwater recharge. A one-acre parking lot produces a runoff volume almost 16 times
as great  as  would an undeveloped meadow  of the  same  size.  Achieving urban
sustainability is clearly a challenge being addressed by many programs of EPA and other
federal agencies. In this Strategy, research on urban sustainability and land use  focuses
on three  key areas:  building  design  and  efficiency,  urban  land revitalization,  and
sustainable management of urban systems.

Within urban  communities,  green building design is a crucial factor for sustainability
since account  for 65% of electricity consumption, 36%  of total energy use,  and  30% of
greenhouse  gas  emissions.  According to recent studies, in 2030 about  half of the
buildings  in which  Americans  live, work, and shop will have been built after 2000. In
2030, there will be  106.8 billion square feet of new development, about 46 percent more
built space than existed in 2000—a remarkable amount of construction to occur within 30
years. About  97.3  billion  square feet of existing  space will  be  replaced.  New and
replacement-related development will  amount  to  204.1  billion square feet, equal to
almost 90 percent of the  built space that existed in 2000. All of this amounts to about $30
trillion in total new development (including infrastructure) that will occur between 2000
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007


and 2030.26 Research in indoor environmental management underway in ORD's National
Risk Management  Research Laboratory (NRMRL) is already  well positioned to help
shape the design of future indoor engineering systems.

Research related to Built Environment and Land  Use, while primarily directed toward
sustainable land management, also serves to integrate nearly all of the sustainability goals
discussed in  Chapter 2. The operation of numerous  and  diverse human-built systems
(e.g.,  buildings, cities, water distribution,  energy, agriculture, and transportation) is
fundamentally  dependent on the health  of the natural  systems that provide critical
ecosystem services.

While broad in content, this theme focuses on land renewal and restoration, decision
support tools for urban land development, and life cycle assessments for land use and
building design. Research under this theme complements research described previously
under  Natural  Resource Protection. Key  elements of the implementing Science  and
Technology for Sustainability (STS) MYP will focus on environmental impact modeling,
including development  of  new  impact models  to  characterize land  use and  smog
formation, and  on collaborative partnerships with many government and non-government
partners to  directly apply  innovative  systems-based approaches to  urban  and  tribal
planning.

Direct ORD-supported research can address these immediate research questions:

•  What tools can decision-makers use  to assess the potential  impacts of land use,
   landscaping,  and   building  design  decisions  on  community   well-being   and
   environmental quality?

•  What levels and types of human activities  can be conducted within a given spatial
   area (such  as a watershed or ecosystem) without critically and adversely  altering
   biogeochemical cycles and ecosystem functioning?

•  What sustainability criteria should be developed to guide urban land development and
   future revitalization efforts?

•  What core  set of principles can best be used to guide  the design,  construction, and
   management of human  systems (such  as  land use,  buildings, and transportation
   systems)  in a manner that  protects natural systems  (such as  habitats) and  their
   properties (such as biodiversity) and functions?
26 Arthur C. Nelson, 2004, "Toward a New Metropolis: The Opportunity to Rebuild America."
Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Metropolitan Policy Program Survey Series. See
www.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/20041213_rebuildamerica.htm; and Arthur C. Nelson, 2006, "America
Circa 2030: The Boom to Come,'" Architect Magazine (October 15, 2006):
www.architectmagazine.com/industry-news.asp?sectionID=1006&articleID=385542
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
•  How do systems of land use, transportation, trade, and commerce contribute to the
   spread  of invasive species and exotic pathogens? What  actions can EPA take to
   manage this process?

•  What applications  of new  and emerging technologies can promote efficiencies in
   building design and restoration of contaminated sites?

•  What are the tradeoffs between resilience of the built environment (e.g., capacity to
   survive natural disasters) and ecological resilience?

The  growing enthusiasm for sustainability at state and local  levels presents  both  new
challenges  and opportunities for ORD research, which has the technical, monitoring, and
analytic capability to help decision-makers at all levels of government choose courses of
action that  will lead to achieving sustainable outcomes.27 For example,  since 1990, ORD
has been working with  the German Federal Ministry for Education  and  Research on
models of land restoration and development. Work under this bilateral agreement is  now
moving toward development of sustainability criteria for revitalization activities, and has
resulted in the Sustainable Management Approaches and Revitalization Tools (SMARTe)
program. SMARTe, which is now in beta testing, is an open-source, Web-based decision
support system  for developing and evaluating future  reuse  scenarios for potentially
contaminated land.28 SMARTe includes guidance and analysis  tools for all aspects of the
revitalization  process  including  planning and environmental, economic, and social
concerns.

The emphasis in this Strategy on developing decision support tools and helping decision-
makers make wise decisions challenges our scientists and engineers to work directly with
key customers and stakeholders who can most benefit from  ORD research capabilities. In
many ways, ORD's  ability  to identify  research  to inform  stewardship solutions is
intimately  tied to partnering and collaborating with state, local, and tribal  decision-
makers. An example is the Sustainable Environment for Quality of Life  (SEQL) program,
in which  ORD  is  a key  player, developing  scientific models  such  as  Regional
Vulnerability  Assessment (ReVA) to support  sustainable land   development. ORD's
research supports quantification of potential and actual impacts, including cross-sectoral
and cross-jurisdictional analyses and analyses of "what-if scenarios.

SEQL and similar projects are successful because of the available  suite of decision
support tools and the direct participation by ORD scientists in community meetings and
policy planning.  This direct involvement is essential for applying ORD  research to direct
use.  The BOSC  review of the Ecological Research  Program noted the  successful use of
ORD decision  support   tools,  emphasizing  that  further applications  "will  require
27 See Regional Summaries of State and Tribal Issues and Priorities for the 2006-2011 Strategic Plan
Revision, www.epa.gov/ocfopage/plan/regions/index.htm
28 See www.smarte.org/smarte/home/index.xml
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
commitment  of resources to technology  transfer  through both in-person  and online
training."29
5. Economics and Human Behavior

 The sustainable management of natural and man-made systems is in part a question of
choice and behavior.  For this reason,  economics and the behavioral sciences are key
elements in EPA's overall approach to implementing the goals of Everyday Choices and
achieving sustainable outcomes.  The  Office of Management  and Budget  (OMB) is
requiring more and better economic  analyses  as  essential components of  the policy
process used in EPA Program and Regional  Offices and in  other  federal  regulatory
agencies.

External reviews by the SAB and the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) have shaped
much of EPA's economic and behavioral research. For example, many recommendations
from the National Academy of Sciences report commissioned by EPA and the National
Science Foundation,  Decision-Making for  the Environment:   Social and Behavioral
Science Research Priorities,  have been  incorporated into   ORD's Environmental
Economics Research Strategy (EERS),  published in 2005. Economists are beginning to
address the  question  of environmental  Sustainability and human  carrying capacity as
central  factors  in economic development.30 Economists  and conservationists are  also
exploring ways to value ecosystem  services  and develop economic  incentives for
sustainable  behavior.  This is  an  important area for  research  since  "markets" for
ecosystem services do not generally exist. For example, owners of ecologically valuable
land can generate  more revenue from  traditional  land development  than by providing
ecological services. ORD-funded extramural research is also underway to understand
why individuals,  firms, and institutions behave as they do; what motivates them to
change  their behavior; and how government regulations, public information, corporate
reporting, and public pressures interact to generate public policy.

The Sustainability Research  Strategy  (SRS)  and the  EERS  research strategies are
complementary in approach and significantly contribute to EPA's  focus on stewardship
and Sustainability. The  SRS  presents  a framework  that highlights  research areas of
importance  to  support  a  forward-looking, integrated,  and preventive approach to
environmental protection. It guides the  integration of relevant research across ORD and
other  offices, as well as connections outside of EPA. On the other hand,  the EERS
presents a focused analysis of Agency research priorities in Economics and Decision
Sciences. EERS research priorities dovetail nicely with the SRS framework (see Chapter
6) and collectively can be used to address a number of important questions:
29 BOSC Review of Ecological Research Program. August 2005, pg. 18.

30 For rapporteur's summary and presenters' precis papers of the EPA-sponsored forum, "Sustainability,
Weil-Being,    and    Environment   Protection:    What's    an   Agency   to   Do?"    see
www.epa.gov/sustainability/econforum
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
•  What  factors  increase  or reduce  motivation  for  sustainable  behavior among
   individuals, firms,  and organizations? How can  we better integrate economic and
   ecological models  to  inform  environmentally sustainable decisions?  What is  the
   relationship  between  environmental  Sustainability  indicators and   measures  of
   economic value?

•  What are non-market  ecosystem services, what  is their  value, and what ongoing
   factors  are  affecting their  supply?  To  what  extent can human-produced capital
   substitute for natural capital?

•  How can economic instruments (e.g., trading schemes,  auctions, and  taxes) be
   devised which effectively incorporate society's concerns for Sustainability in resource
   allocation decisions?

•  What should be the role of intergenerational discounting in benefit-cost analysis?

•  How can ecological resilience  and the  potential for major unforeseen  events be
   incorporated in the selection and assessment of policy interventions?
6. Information and Decision-Making

The goal of developing Sustainability metrics builds on the research already conducted in
support of the EPA's Draft Report on the Environment (RoE). ORD researchers have
played a  significant role in identifying appropriate  indicators  and providing quality
control  in their development. Currently the RoE provides snapshots of the existing
environmental state. Metrics are defined in relation to clearly  stated questions such as,
"What are the conditions and current trends of surface waters?" and "What are the trends
in the ecological processes that sustain the nation's ecological systems?" As EPA moves
toward identifying a set of clearly articulated questions related to sustainable outcomes—
such as "How sustainable are the nation's water supplies?"—then research can focus on
identifying appropriate indicators and ensuring their quality.

The establishment of an information infrastructure is a necessary step on the path toward
Sustainability. This includes the development of Sustainability metrics and environmental
monitoring. Our strategy is therefore closely applied with the Global Earth Observation
Systems of Systems (GEOSS) program. The GEOSS vision  is  of a  future in which
decisions  and actions  are informed by coordinated,  comprehensive, and sustained earth
observations and information. GEOSS will "take the pulse of the planet" by compiling a
system of all relevant databases (or systems), thus revolutionizing our understanding of
how earth works. Over time, GEOSS will contribute greatly to Sustainability by providing
important  scientific  information  for  sound policy  and  decision-making.  EPA  is
contributing to GEOSS  through its leadership in both the international Group on Earth
Observations (GEO) and the  U.S.  Group  on Earth Observations (US GEO) and has
launched the FY2006 Advanced Monitoring Initiative (AMI).
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
One of the primary keys to promoting sustainability is defining  and communicating a
clear understanding of proposed outcomes.  In Everyday Choices,  EPA senior managers
identified sustainable outcomes in six resource areas relevant to EPA's mission (Table
4.1). The sustainability  goals in  energy, water,  air, land,  ecosystems, and  materials
provide an important starting point for discussion of appropriate sustainability goals and
how they should be measured. A clear next step is to define these goals and metrics in
sharper detail.

This strategy aims to establish a new set  of scientifically based sustainability indicators
that are readily comprehensible at multiple scales, relevant to decision-makers, and easily
accessible to the public.

ORD-supported research will address these research questions:

•   What are appropriate sustainability  goals for energy, water,  air, land, materials, and
    ecosystems?

•   What are the most appropriate trends, indicators,  and metrics to measure society's
    progress towards reaching sustainable outcomes?

•   What data are needed to construct sustainability indicators and metrics and how can
    the data be effectively and efficiently collected?

These questions will be addressed in two ways. First, we will review metrics currently in
use to  determine where  gaps exist.  A number of fairly simple  sustainability indicators
currently exist, and while these measures may inform the public on the general notion of
sustainability, they often  lack scientific vigor. If sustainability is to play a significant role
in future environmental policy debates, the process of establishing benchmark values and
measuring progress must be vastly  improved. The second track, in collaboration with
EPA partners and customers, will involve  research to identify new indicators and metrics
and apply them to problems in specific geographic regions, ecosystems,  and watersheds.
This work is expected to result in  a new  set  of well-defined metrics, protocols, and
software tools that  can be used by decision-makers. This direction of research will be a
major  element of ORD's  new Science and Technology for Sustainability Multi-Year
Plan.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
                                   CHAPTER 5.
                             RESEARCH OBJECTIVES
Our Research Strategy has five objectives:
   •   Systems  Understanding.  Understand the  interconnections,  resilience,  and
       vulnerabilities over  time  of  natural systems,  industrial  systems,  the built
       environment, and human society.
   •   Decision Support Tools. Design and develop scientific tools and models to assist
       decision-makers.
   •   Technologies. Identify and develop inherently benign and less resource-intensive
       materials, energy sources,  processes, products, and systems, particularly for
       emerging technologies.
   •   Collaborative  Decision-Making. Develop  an understanding  of motivations for
       decision-making and develop approaches to collaborative problem solving.
   •   Metrics and Indicators. Develop  metrics  and indicators to measure and track
       progress toward sustainability goals, to send early warning of potential problems
       to decision-makers,  and to highlight opportunities for improvement.

How these research objectives relate to customers and collaborators, as well as outcomes
is shown in the logic diagram of Figure 5.1. The research objectives (with dark shading
in the  figure)  are interrelated as  follows.  A  systems  understanding informs  the
development of  research in decision-support tools,  technologies,  and  collaborative
decision-making, which in turn informs policies and programs implemented by customers
and  collaborators, including business  and  industry, communities,  government, and
individuals. There are  two broad categories of metrics and indicators, illustrated by two
individual boxes in  the figure.  First,  customers and collaborators can use metrics and
indicators to inform their plans and decisions and measure their progress to their own
sustainability goals.  Second, at a larger scale, metrics and indicators can be used to assess
and measure overall (regional, national, or international) progress in resource areas and
environmental and human health (with lighter shading in Figure 5.1).  These larger-scale
metrics and indicators also  feed back to enable  adaptive understanding and research
needs in systems, decisions, technologies, and collaborative decision-making.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
            Figure 5.1. Logic Diagram Illustrating Research Approaches
     Systems
     Understanding

     Resilience
     Vulnerabilities
     Interconnectedness
     Scale
     Trends 8
     Transformations
     Links between Natural
      8 Built Environment
     Uncertainty
Resource
Sustainability
Outcomes

Water
Land
Air
Energy
Materials
Ecosystems
The research objectives are also related in Table 5.1 to the six research themes (defined in
Chapter  4). For example, life cycle assessment  (LCA) can inform understanding of a
product's  consumption  of  renewable and non-renewable  resources  and  associated
emissions  over the  product's  life cycle. Material  flow analysis  (MFA) and integrated
systems analysis (ISA) can be used to explore the possible implications of economy-wide
patterns of consumption of renewable or non-renewable resources. ISA can also be used
as a  communication  tool to  enable collaborative decision-making in  the context of
human-built Systems.  There are many relevant metrics and indicators in the theme areas,
ranging  from  indicators of ecosystem resilience  to Sustainability  indicators used  by
industry. The following sections further describe the various research objectives.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
   Table 5.1. Research Topics Addressing Sustainability Themes and Objectives

Renewable
Natural
Resource
Systems
Non-
Renewable
Natural
Resource
Systems
Long-term
chemical
and
biological
impacts
Human-
Built
Systems
Economics
and Human
Behavior
Information
and
Decision-
Making
System
Understanding
Ecosystem
resilience;
Limits on
resource
extraction rates


Understanding
interactions
between
human-built
systems and
natural cycles

Limits;
Measures of
resilience
Decision-
Support
Tools
LCA;
MFA;
ISAs
LCA;
MFA;
ISAs
Chemistry
design
tools;
Transport
models
Design
principles
Agent-
based
models

Technologies
Green
engineering
Green
engineering
Green
chemistry
Green
buildings;
Emerging
technologies

LCA
Collaborative
Decision-
Making



ISA,
Risk
assessment
models
Incentives and
trading
schemes
Understanding
value of
information
Metrics and
Indicators
Ecosystem
resilience;
Resource
extraction
rates
Material
intensity
Environmental
accumulation
of chemicals
Industrial
Sustainability
indicators


Systems Understanding

An underlying  understanding  of  complex  environmental-societal  systems  and  the
attributes and conditions that make them sustainable is the foundation of Sustainability
research.  Going beyond a traditional,  single-media, pollution-control and compliance-
enforcement approach, this Strategy recognizes that no environmental problems have a
single  cause. Application of  systems  research  has  the  potential to  break  down
longstanding single-media approaches to environmental management, an issue of concern
to EPA  since its inception.31 Describing, representing,  and/or designing sustainable
  When President Nixon proposed the creation of EPA in 1970, he recognized the interconnectedness of
the environment and the inherent cross-media nature of environmental protection. His plan to establish
EPA noted that, for pollution control purposes, "the environment must be perceived as a single, interrelated
                                         43

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                ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007


systems encompasses several important aspects:


•   Addressing scale in time and space


•   Capturing the dynamics of the system and of society's points of leverage or control
    over those dynamics


•   Representing an appropriate level of complexity


•   Managing variability and uncertainty


•   Capturing the various perspectives and desired Sustainability outcomes in important
    domains (e.g., ecological, economic, technological, legal, and organizational)


•   Understanding the vulnerability or resilience of the system  relative to  both foreseen
    and unforeseen  stressors and change.

A systems view can also strategically  inform both research and implementation. It can
identify barriers, point out gaps  or redundancy in activity, and inform prioritization of
existing or potential research and implementation in technology, decision-support tools,
and collaborative decision-making.



Technologies

Technology   and technological systems are  central for  achieving  sustainable use of
renewable and  non-renewable  natural  resources, as well as  for developing alternative
materials, chemicals,  processes,  and  products  that minimize or  eliminate long-term
chemical and biological impacts.

The underlying   scientific   research, development   of  designs  and applications,  technology
demonstration, and technology verification form a 10-year continuum as illustrated in Figure 5.2.

system"   (Reorganization   Plan    No.   3   of    1970,   July   9,    1970,    available    at
www.epa.gov/historv/org/origins/reorg.htmX EPA has struggled since then with how best to deal with the
environment as an integrated system. At the Agency's 15th anniversary in 1985,  Administrator Russell
Train expressed his concern with its  "compartmentalized nature" and resulting ineffectiveness in dealing
with pollutants, which "tend to move readily among air, water, and land." Similarly, Administrator Lee
Thomas stressed the need  for cross-media reviews so that "we  don't just transfer pollutants from one
medium to another." (See "Views from the Former Administrators," EPA Journal, November  1985,
available  at www.epa.gov/historv/topics/epa/15e.htm.') Administrator William  Reilly encouraged cross-
media approaches in the early 1990s by looking holistically at place-based issues, breaking down media
barriers for risk assessment, providing cross-media training for staff, and conducting joint pilot studies with
industry. Although EPA is today still organized along media lines, it recognizes the need to adequately
address the cross-media nature of environmental problems. Sustainability concepts will  help EPA break
down barriers to its single-media-based Program Offices and look more holistically and systematically  at
integrated environmental challenges.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
Various advisory bodies have argued that commercialization and  deployment of sustainable
technologies requires that the entire continuum be supported over  time. For example,  EPA's
National Advisory Committee for Environmental Policy and Technology Policy (NACEPT) has
strongly endorsed EPA's current technology and verification program and recommended that
EPA "should devote more attention and resources to those Agency programs that incorporate and
encourage sustainability as one of the goals or criteria for technology  development or
                         TO
implementation assistance."  The NACEPT  committee has been further charged by the EPA
Administrator to look at the issue of sustainability in more detail (in 2006-2007) and to make
additional recommendations.
                         Figure 5.2. Technology Continuum
     Research
     (3 years)
Proof of
Concept
(1 year)
Development
  (2 years)
Verification
(1-2 vears)
Commercialization/
   Deployment
    (2-3 years)
Several areas of technology research are particularly important.  The  fields of green
chemistry and green engineering address  the design of molecules, products, processes,
and  systems that (1) use safer chemicals and  materials; (2) use materials, water, and
energy  efficiently;  and/or  (3)  reduce the generation of waste at the  source.  Green
engineering and green chemistry are generally applied on  a product-by-product or a
process-by-process  basis.  While some of this technology  research is supported  by
industry, EPA  has  an important role  in  supporting  research that  underpins general
methodologies   or addresses  specific environmental  problems or emerging issues of
concern.

More  traditional  technologies  can also  support  progress  towards  sustainability.
Technologies that provide safe drinking  water and treat waste and storm water are prime
examples.  Aging  water  and  wastewater  infrastructure,  together  with  a growing
population,  require  the development  of new technologies  to provide cost-effective
32National  Advisory  Committee  for  Environmental  Policy  and Technology  Policy  (NACEPT),
Subcommittee on Environmental Technology, EPA Technology Programs and Intra-Agency Coordination,
EPA 100-R-06-004, May 2006.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
conveyance and treatment of drinking, waste, and storm water. In addition, the tightening
of water supplies in parts of the United  States and elsewhere in the world will require
water conservation and reuse technologies to provide abundant, clean water for human
consumption and the environment.  To achieve this, both current and new technologies
should be examined using a systems approach to assess their multi-media impacts over
the long term to insure that they are compatible with environmental Sustainability.

Technology and technological systems can also be looked at more broadly in time and
space.  An economy-wide understanding of material flow  systems, for example, can
illuminate, and hence  prioritize, opportunities for efficient pollution  prevention and
material use.  This could be particularly important  for materials that are potentially
deleterious to the environment and/or used in high volumes.

Understanding the economic, informational,  cultural, security-related, and other factors
that can influence the development and  adoption of new designs and technologies can
inform  research and development. In some cases these  factors also  relate to  industrial
organizational   approaches,  such  as  Total  Quality Management,  the adoption   of
environmental management systems, or supply-chain management.

Future scenarios can assist in envisioning potential implications of technological systems
that are emerging or undergoing transformation. Such systems are affected by  emerging
technologies (such as  nanotechnology),  potential  industrial transformations  (such  as
distributed  manufacturing),  and changing  consumption patterns.  Understanding   of
changes like these can inform research that enables the technological systems to support
Sustainability.
Decision-Making Tools

Many  types of tools and  analytical models can  inform decisions that contribute  to
environmental  Sustainability.  While  the primary  stimulus for model development is  to
improve scientific understanding within the scientific community, tools developed from
these models can enhance Sustainability in at least two ways: (1) by providing credible,
relevant,  and timely research results  that  inform EPA  policy  decisions, and (2) by
assisting individuals, businesses, communities,  and government to better  understand the
potential implications of their decisions,33 thus enhancing the likelihood that decisions
they make will be more environmentally sustainable..
33 As an example, EPA has adopted the MARKAL (for MARKet ALlocation) model to assess current and
future energy technology options. This comprehensive energy/economic model simulates a national,
regional, or state-level energy system by representing the interactions between resource supply, conversion
processes  (e.g., refineries and power plants), end-use technologies (e.g., classes of light-duty personal
vehicles or heat pumps), and demand for energy services (e.g., projected vehicle miles traveled or space
heating). ORD is using its MARKAL model to help the Air Quality Assessment segment of EPA's Global
Change Research Program develop and analyze scenarios of technological change in the transportation and
electric power sectors. The research aims to understand how technological evolution could impact future air
emissions  and to develop and provide an in-house energy/technology assessment capacity.
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Although assessing the impacts of future scenarios on environmental outcomes is a key
element of model development,34 no systematic analysis  evaluates  the potential  of
existing EPA  models and tools for sustainability   analysis.  EPA  models that offer
potential  for assessing  sustainable  outcomes  include  BASINS (Better  Assessment
Science Integrating Point & Nonpoint Sources) 3.1,  Air_Control_NET,  WASP (Water
Quality Analysis Simulation Program),  Smart  Growth  INDEX 2.0,  and  SGWATER
(Smart Growth Water).35

Environmental  models  may be descriptive  (describing  knowledge  about  specific
phenomena) or  prescriptive (informing a design or identifying a course of action). They
necessarily rely on data and information related to a wide variety of human activities:

•   transportation,  industry,  agriculture,  construction; protection  and consumption  of
    resources (water,  energy, materials, ecosystems, land, and air);

•   economics and characteristics of human behavior; and

•   natural phenomena such as weather patterns; and environmental conditions.

Important areas for research include the collection and  synthesis of required data and
information and the  incorporation into generalized models.  ORD will also assist other
collaborators and stakeholders in using models. The following paragraphs  explore several
types of analytical models that can lead to tools that are especially relevant to sustainable
decision-making.

Scenario  models advance the understanding of environmental  conditions over time
through integrated systems analysis. These models allow users to dynamically explore the
connection among choices over which society has some direct control (such as practices
in transportation,  energy, agriculture, and  industry), broad societal  trends (such  as
population and economic growth), and potential future environmental conditions.36 These
34 Two widely cited examples that link models and future planning are the 2002 "Willamette Alternates
Future   Analysis"   available   from  ORD/NHEERL   Western   Ecology  Research   Laboratory
(www.epa.gov/wed/pages/researchprojects.htm') and  the Sustainable Environment for  Quality  of Life
Program (SEQL) program. ORD is a key player in SEQL, developing scientific models such as ReVA to
support sustainable  land development. ORD's research supports quantification of potential and actual
impacts,  including cross-sectoral, cross-jurisdictional, and "what-if' analyses. SEQL and similar  projects
are successful because of the available suite of decision-support tools and the direct participation by ORD
scientists in community meetings and policy planning.

35 Some EPA models are not easily accessible online. BASINS,  Air_Control_NET  and WASP  are
described in EPA's Council for Regulatory Environmental Modeling (CREM) Models Knowledge Base at
http://cfpub.epa.gov/crem/knowledge_base/knowbase.cfm#overview;    INDEX   is   described   at
www.epa.gov/waterscience/basins   and  www.epa.gov/livablecommunities/pdf/l_Introduction_551.pdf.;
SGWATER is a stormwater evaluation methodology embedded in INDEX.

36 Community  Scale Air Quality Modeling (CMAQ) and Stream Water Quality Model (QUAL2K), both
developed at ORD's National Exposure Research Laboratory (NERL), are good examples of the scenario
modeling efforts that may assist in evaluating the impact of development patterns and industrial practices
on air and water quality.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
types of tools  and models  can help users to understand critical thresholds and explore
system response to abrupt  change.  They can also help diverse groups to communicate
about the future that they may desire and to develop means and strategies to achieve this
future.

Geographic-based analytical models such  as landscape simulators and urban growth
simulators enhance understanding of environmental stressors and conditions in space.
These models  are particularly useful for understanding the implications of land-use
decisions,  such  as transportation  planning,  location  of  buildings,  and  agricultural
practices. Geographic-based analytical models can be integrated with economic models
in powerful tools to inform  sustainable development.

Material flow-based models such as life cycle assessment and material flow analysis can
link the use and processing of materials  to potential implications for human health,
environmental  condition, and resource Sustainability. They can inform improvements in
the use of materials and design of products and also highlight opportunities for focused
policy  initiatives.  In  this  regard,  new methods  that  connect environmental impact
analyses to material flow analysis would be especially useful.37 Material flow-based tools
can  also be  tied to life cycle cost analysis or economic input-output  analysis so that
environmental  issues and costs can be seen in one view.38

Agent-based models offer insight into the implications of how the actions of individuals
add  up to organizational  or multi-organizational  behavior.  As overall organizational
behavior  may  contribute  to or detract  from  resource  Sustainability, the models can
illuminate policy opportunities to further motivate stewardship behaviors by individuals,
communities, industry, and  government.

The several varieties of models can be used in combination to develop powerful tools. All
of the models can also be used in the context of uncertainty, such as through Monte Carlo
simulations.
Collaborative Decision-Making

Developing effective, innovative polices that promote Sustainability  depends on having
an  understanding of the motivation for decision-making by businesses, communities,
government, and individuals. Such innovative policy approaches include combinations of
37 NRMRL has been developing a very practical life  cycle assessment tool that can aid scientists in
developing more sustainable chemicals. The GREENSCOPE (Gauging Reaction Effectiveness for the
Environmental Sustainability of Chemistries) indicator  model was created to evaluate and compare the
Sustainability of chemical processes. If this model is applied on a large scale, as in the chemical industry, it
can achieve sustainable outcomes.
38 OSWER has recommended that ORD examine proposed new methodologies for assessing environmental
impacts and provide guidance  on  appropriate support tools for policy-makers.  Although material flow
analysis is a valuable tool, its primary focus is on volumes and weights of materials. A clearer measure of
environmental impact of 3R (Reduce, Reuse, Recycle) programs is needed.
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incentives, market mechanisms, information and education, regulation, and collaborative
approaches.

In an industrial context, effective and innovative policies depend on an understanding of
the circumstances that encourage or discourage green product design and green supply
chain management,  and also on  an understanding of industrial supply-chain leverage
points that underlie potential improvements in sustainability outcomes.

Effective and innovative policies  targeting individuals  and households  depend  on an
understanding of the factors (such as cost, information, convenience, peer pressure, and
regulations) that encourage green consumption. Effective policies supporting sustainable
decision-making for communities and local governments depend on an understanding of
drivers  and hurdles  relating  to  the  layout  of  buildings  and  to the  design  and
implementation of transportation  and energy systems. Policies and approaches  can be
improved through better understanding how social groups may  make  innovative and
effective decisions.

Because moving towards sustainability often requires negotiation and cooperation among
stakeholders, collaborative approaches are particularly important. The related concepts of
collaborative problem  solving, cooperative conservation, and stewardship  encourage
stakeholders to come together to address common environmental issues.39

Scientists  and  scientific  research  can  enhance  and strengthen these  collaborative
approaches  in two ways: (1) social science research can add to an understanding of the
conditions under which collaborative approaches are effective; and  (2) scientists and
engineers can participate  with policy-  and  other  decision-makers in  collaborative
processes. These processes  can  also influence scientific direction by helping scientists to
refine the scientific questions  they ask  and  to more  effectively communicate their
research results.

EPA  supports programs designed  to  encourage  environmental  stewardship  through
collaboration at the  community and regional levels.  ORD's Collaborative Science and
Technology Network for Sustainability (CNS) (described in Chapter 6) is one of several
programs that focus on collaboration and sustainability-related issues.

Metrics and Indicators

Metrics and indicators enable EPA, other government agencies, businesses, communities,
and individuals to understand the nature and  degree of progress  being  made  towards
39 All three  concepts rely on strong scientific input to help decision-making achieve measurable and
sustainable outcomes. Former EPA Administrator Michael Leavitt and current Administrator Steve
Johnson have made collaborating problem solving an important element of EPA's governance agenda.
Similarly, the concept of collaborative conservation as outlined in the Executive Order of August 26, 2004
requires EPA and four other agencies to actively engage all stakeholders when implementing conservation
and environmental projects. Finally, EPA is promoting environmental stewardship—defined as shared
values and responsibilities among stakeholders for environmental protection.
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environmental  Sustainability. Metrics and  indicators enable us  to  measure  and track
progress toward societal Sustainability goals, send early warning of potential problems to
decision-makers, and  highlight opportunities  for improvement at local, regional,  and
global scales.  Effective  metrics  and  indicators  require  collecting, synthesizing,  and
communicating appropriate  data and information—which requires  understanding  both
what to measure and how to measure it.

Understanding what to measure draws on an understanding of the flows, stressors, and
changes  over which decision-makers have  control.  These flows,  stressors, and changes
can  also be linked to resilience, vulnerability, warning signals,  and limits to resource
Sustainability. Understanding how to  measure can require research in sensors and sensor
systems, statistical approaches to guide data collection and preliminary analysis, and data
mining and other information technology approaches.

Metrics  and indicators  are  applicable at  different scales. At the smallest scale are
indicators with a feedback rate that can enable real-time adjustment of consumption, such
as of electricity,  gasoline, or water for a household or industrial  facility. At the  largest
scale, indicators  describe the condition of the national or global environment. A  system
of connected indicators that collectively describe the condition of the overall system at a
local, regional, or global scale can inform effective decisions and strategies for moving
towards Sustainability.

To begin to develop  this multi-scaled system of  connected  indicators, this Research
Strategy tentatively  adopts the six proposed resource Sustainability  outcomes identified
and  defined  by senior EPA  managers  in  Everyday   Choices:  Opportunities  for
Environmental Stewardship listed in Chapter 2 of this document:

•   Air: Sustain clean and healthy air.

•   Ecosystems: Protect and restore ecosystems functions, goods and services.

•   Energy: Generate clean energy and use it efficiently.

•   Land: Support ecologically sensitive land management and development.

•   Materials: Use materials carefully and shift to environmentally preferable materials.

•   Water: Sustain water resources of quality and availability for desired use.40

These outcomes  are a starting point for  discussing and refining a set  of Sustainability
outcomes  and  organizing Sustainability  indicators.  ORD  is  leading  a cross-Agency
process that aims to refine and sharpen these desired outcomes at multiple scales and to
40 www.epa.gov/innovation. The outcomes are described more fully in Appendix D of the Technical Report
for Everyday Choices at www.epa.gov/innovation/pdf/techrpt.pdf
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assess whether currently available data and indicators are scientifically valid, useful, and
sufficient.

The indicators will build on and connect to the Draft Report on the Environment, which
employed indicators that are fundamental measures of environmental conditions. The
indicators being developed seek to go beyond the Draft RoE indicators in four ways:

       •  An expansion  from media and  ecosystems to  include resources such  as
          materials  and  energy  contributes  to an increased understanding of  the
          interactions between society and the environment.

       •  An increased focus on causal connections and correlations among  indicators
          will enable better understanding of systems and will highlight opportunities
          for improvement.

       •  A significant focus will  be  given to indicators that can inform decision-
          making, particularly at local and regional scales.

       •  The developed  indicators  may expand beyond the environment to social and
          economic dimensions.
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                                   CHAPTERS.
                        ROADMAP FOR IMPLEMENTATION
       This Research Strategy will be implemented in several steps:


       •   Demonstrate the value of sustainability research by identifying  key priority
           national issues where application of sustainability approaches can be most
           effective in promoting sound and sustainable economic growth.
       •   Transition the current Pollution Prevention and New Technologies (P2NT)
           research program into the Science  and Technology for Sustainability (STS)
           Research Program.
       •   Coordinate and  integrate research  across  ORD  that  builds a critical
           knowledge base for sustainability, such as by identifying synergies, gaps to
           be  filled,  and  high-priority  emerging areas  among existing  research
           strategies.
       •   Initiate and strengthen collaborations and  partnerships—with EPA Program
           and Regional Offices, other federal agencies, state and local governments,
           communities, industry, nonprofit organizations, universities, and international
           partners—that  address critical sustainability issues  and stimulate broader
           progress towards sustainability in both research and implementation.
ORD Organization and Multi-Year Plans

While the sustainability research focus is new for EPA, it complements ORD's traditional
focus on risk assessment and risk management. ORD organizes its research into a number
of media and cross-media Multi-Year Plans (MYP) as shown in Table 6.1. MYPs identify
long-term  goals  (LTG), annual  performance  goals (APGs),  and associated  annual
performance measures  (APMs) for a 5-year period.  MYPs  are intended to be  living
documents and are updated as needed to reflect the current state of the science, resource
availability, and Agency priorities. In ORD MYP are administered by National Program
Directors (NPDS) who serve as ORD scientific leads for each subject area.
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   Table 6.1. ORD Multi-Year Research Plans Organized by EPA Strategic Goals
EPA Strategic Goals
Goal 1: Air
Goal 2: Water
Goal 3: Land
Goal 4: Communities & Ecosystems
Goal 5: Compliance and Environmental
Stewardship
ORD Multi-Year Research Plans
Clean Air
Drinking Water
Water Quality
Land Preservation and Restoration
Ecological Research
Human Health
Human Health Risk Assessment
Global Change
Mercury
Endocrine Disrupters
Safe Pesticides/Safe Products
Science and Technology for Sustainability
Economics and Decision Science
This Research  Strategy is  designed to  guide all ORD research  programs and MYPs
toward  achieving  measurable  sustainable  outcomes.  Building on the  vision  of
environmental stewardship, this Strategy will engage in research activities that will study
the Sustainability of systems (e.g., ecological, technological, and human-built) from a life
cycle perspective.  The results of this effort can be adopted by EPA stakeholders and
partners: (1) Individuals  (via  consumer choices), (2)  Communities (via  ecosystem
protection and  infrastructure  planning and management), (3) Government (via facility
planning and management, technology demonstrations, policies and regulations), and (4)
Companies  (via  product  design,  supply chain  management,  facility  design,  and
management). ORD leadership on Sustainability complements and supports shifts by EPA
Program Offices toward material management and urban revitalization (OSWER), green
chemistry  (OPPTS),  sustainable  water  infrastructure  (OW), low-impact  urban
development (OPEI), and ecosystem and watershed management (OW).
Setting Priorities: Addressing National Issues

Addressing research prioritization within a broad subject area such as Sustainability is
challenging.  Because  this  Strategy  lays  out a  new  research  approach  for  ORD,
prioritization is especially difficult. In order to give ORD research planners in the various
MYPs more flexibility and autonomy in selecting priority research areas, this Strategy,
rather than directly identifying the priority areas, identifies guiding factors for selecting
research priorities. The individual MYPs and their National Program Directors (NPDs)
will more specifically identify their priority Sustainability research areas.41
  In reviewing this Strategy, the SAB panel made several recommendations on focus and priority:
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Five factors can guide selection of topics and design of programs under the MYPs:

       •   High impact. The MYPs must pursue research with high scientific impact that
           addresses  important  national   issues  relevant  to  achieving  sustainable
           outcomes.  The  development of knowledge in the theme areas  discussed in
           Chapters 3  and 4 must enable the long-term sustainability  outcomes of the
           resource systems discussed in Chapter 2 at a sufficiently large scale. Investing
           early to avoid or prevent problems is preferred.

       •   True  to EPA's  intramural and  extramural research capabilities.  ORD
           intramural  research capabilities  serve a  dual purpose of  directly meeting
           Program and Regional Office  research  needs and building capability for
           solving longer-term problems. Intramural programs can also serve as focal
           points  for  scientific  and  technical assistance  centers to assist  a variety of
           government  and  non-government stakeholders.  ORD  extramural  research
           programs,  such as the  Science  To Achieve Results (STAR) research grant
           program, can be used to explore new topical areas or research approaches and
           also to catalyze change in the broader national research communities. All of
           these capabilities can and should be drawn upon in an effective MYP.

       •   True to EPA 's role. ORD  should focus sustainability research in areas that are
           central  to  EPA's mission,  while  collaborating with  other agencies  and
           organizations in areas where missions intersect. For  example,  EPA  has a
           central research role of informing the long-term protection of water quality in
           watersheds, and it can collaborate with the Department of Energy to advance
           understanding   of the  environmental  implications  of emerging  energy
           technologies. An effective MYP will address both types of research.

       •   Leveraging results. Research  that ultimately influences design,  decision-
           making,  or policies leading to resource sustainability on a sufficiently large

    Recognizing that the Agency is poised to assume a global leadership  role in sustainability
    research, the Committee strongly recommends that,  in light of ORD's limited budget, the
    following parallel activities  be conducted immediately: (i) conduct core research on sustainability
    focusing on the development of defensible sustainability  metrics, and (ii) implement a small
    number of Agency-sponsored technology demonstration projects that provide  ORD with the
    opportunity to achieve significant visibility within the sustainability research arena. It is important
    that these demonstration projects move  away from waste/end-of-pipe approaches to  take  a
    broader, system-based perspective. Examples of such projects might include an assessment of (i)
    biofuels policies and options, which are topical and encompass a broad  range of  issues and
    potential impacts on emissions of greenhouse gases, agriculture, dependence on imports of fossil
    fuels, etc., and  may imply  a variety of economic incentives; (ii)  a  study of the hypoxic
    environment in the Gulf of Mexico or the Chesapeake Bay, and (iii) wastewater practices and
    infrastructure needs in regions and cities with accelerated population growth.
 The final SAB report will be posted at www.epa.gov/sab/panels/eec_adv_srs_myp.htm
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          scale is preferred. Leverage can occur through partnering in initial research or
          through transfer and diffusion of knowledge, methodologies, and approaches.

          In a systems context. Research should be within a systems context. This is true
          for research leading to  systems understanding but also for research leading,
          for example, to a decision-making tool that considers multimedia interactions
          within a geographic area or to a technology that enables reduction of life cycle
          energy use for a class of products (see Figure 5.1).
Balancing Research Needs

In general, research needs far exceed available resources. Declining federal budgets for
research and development require ORD to address conflicting needs and priorities and to
establish a balance across research portfolios. Each MYP  should consider each of the
following criteria in its research portfolio:

       •   As frequently emphasized by EPA's SAB, there  should be a balance between
          known  and emerging issues  and problems.  For example, because it is well
          known that energy and the environment will continue to be interconnected and
          linked to Sustainability, it is important that ORD continue to support research
          at the  nexus of  energy and the  environment. Nanotechnology, with  its
          environmental implications and  applications, is  an  example of an issue that
          EPA and ORD correctly identified as an emerging issue several years ago.

       •   A balance among short- and long-term projects is also necessary. Investing in
          shorter-term projects permits  more immediate demonstration of results, while
          wisely  selected longer-term projects can represent  valuable investments for
          the future.

       •   A balance is required between projects that are central  to EPA's domain (such
          as watershed protection) and those  that reside at the boundaries, such as the
          interplay between agriculture and the health of aquatic  ecosystems. In the case
          of issues  near the boundaries of EPA's  responsibilities, collaboration with
          other government agencies  or  private-sector  organizations  is particularly
          important.

       •   A balance is needed between research that  supports decision-making within
          EPA  Program and Regional  Offices  and research that supports decision-
          making in other local,  state, or federal government organizations and  in
          industry.

       •   And finally,  there should be a balance between projects that directly solve
          problems and those that aim to stimulate others by catalyzing or leading them.
          An example of the latter is investing in new branches of academic disciplines,
          such as  investing in green chemistry through an extramural research program.
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The Sustainability Research Roadmap:
1. Transition from Pollution Prevention to Sustainability

The first element in ORD's roadmap  towards Sustainability  is the transition  of the
existing Pollution  Prevention and New Technology (P2NT) MYP to a new Science and
Technology for Sustainability (STS) MYP. The restructured  program  gives greater
emphasis to key elements of Sustainability research, including green chemistry and green
engineering, systems studies, life cycle assessment, and technology verification.

The long-term goals  of the  new STS MYP are outcome-oriented, providing technical
support to broader regional and national Sustainability policies and initiatives (Figure 6.1)
  Figure 6.1. Long-Term Goals of Science and Technology for Sustainability MYP
         Conducting
         qualitative
        assessments
         of current
         trends and
           futures
         scenarios
                                LTG 1: Decision-makers
                                adopt ORD-identified and
                                 developed metrics to
                                 quantitatively assess
                               environmental systems for
                                     Sustainability
  LTG 2: Decision-makers
   adopt ORD-developed
  decision support tools and
  methodologies to promote
  environmental stewardship
and sustainable environmental
   management practices
                               LTG 3: Decision-makers
                              adopt innovative technologies
                              developed or verified by ORD
                                to solve environmental
                                problems, contributing to
                                 sustainable outcomes
  Provide
 support to
regional and
  national
Sustainability
policies and
  initiatives
To accomplish these goals, regular and continuous assessment of environmental trends is
needed,  as  well as  thoughtful  consideration  of likely  alternative future scenarios.
Together, these will inform the development of Sustainability metrics (LTG 1) that will
not only provide baseline information on the Sustainability of systems, but will also allow
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the measurement and tracking of progress in achieving sustainable outcomes. Information
gathered during the assessment of conditions and the development of metrics will provide
researchers with information critical for developing and implementing decision support
tools  (LTG 2) and  innovative  technologies (LTG  3) that will promote  sustainable
outcomes.

Supporting  the  central theme  of helping decision-makers make  better  and more
sustainable  decisions,  the  STS includes  two  grant programs  aimed  at  stimulating
technology development and putting existing sustainability ideas into practice.

The  People, Prosperity, and Planet  (P3)  student  sustainability  design competition
inspires and educates the next generation to research, design, and develop solutions to
sustainability challenges in areas such  as agriculture, materials  and chemicals, energy,
information technology, water, and the built environment. P3 students and their faculty
advisors quantify the benefits of their projects in the environmental, economic, and social
dimensions and advisors integrate the projects into their educational syllabi. Through the
P3 program, students learn to  work in a multidisciplinary  environment and to make
collaborative,  interdisciplinary  decisions.  By  integrating sustainability concepts into
higher education, P3 is helping to create a future workforce with an awareness  of the
impact of its work on the environment, economy, and society.

The Collaborative Science  and Technology Network for Sustainability (CNS) program
supports consortia of government and  non-government organizations  on high-impact
regional projects that explore and provide learning opportunities  for new approaches to
environmental protection that are systems-oriented, forward-looking, and preventive. The
CNS program is described in more detail below

2. Coordinating and Integrating Priority Research across ORD and EPA

The next element of the Sustainability Research Roadmap is coordinating and connecting
existing ORD  research programs. The resulting more integrated  research portfolio will
inform policy and decision-making and will illuminate further research  priorities  across
ORD  and the rest of EPA. The  first step in this process is identifying the synergies and
potential coordination among the other  research  strategies and MYPs (shown in Table
4.2) that will enhance EPA's research contribution to sustainability. A model of synergies
between the Sustainability Research Strategy (SRS) and the Environmental Economics
Research Strategy (EERS) is shown in Figure 6.2.

The EERS presents a focused analysis of Agency research  priorities in economics and
decision sciences, which are  supported  through  the Economics and Decision Sciences
(EDS) extramural research  program.  As shown, the identified EERS research priorities
dovetail nicely with the SRS integrated framework as outlined in Chapter 4.

The general intersection of behavioral science research and sustainability gives rise to the
last two of the six SRS  themes described in Chapter 4—Economics and Human Behavior
and Information and Decision-Making—which include five high-priority EDS research
topics presented in the EERS consultation process: Health Benefits Valuation, Ecological
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                ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007


Benefits Valuation,  Market Mechanisms  and Incentives, Environmental  Behavior and
Decision-Making, and Benefits of Information Disclosure.

These five  EERS topics will in  turn provide critical input  into  the  SRS research
objectives described in Chapter 5. The penultimate goal of this research coordination is to
provide the behavioral science research necessary  for developing environmental policies
that support sustainability outcomes and are cost-efficient over the long term.

                       Figure 6.2. Integration of EERS and SRS
                   Behavioral Sciences Research and Sustainability
       How individual, firm and institutional behavior enables/prevents sustainable outcomes
  SRS Themes
                       L
                 Economics & Human Behavior
  EERS topics
• Health Benefits Valuation: value of
mortality & morbidity risks associated with
pollution
• Ecological benefits valuation: eco-
system services value
* Market Mechanisms & Incentives:
effectiveness & potential of trading programs
                                   _r
                                       Information & Decision-Making
                                              1            I
* Environmental Behavior and Decision-
making: how consumers & producers meet
their environmental obligations under
mandatory/voluntary initiatives
• Benefits of environmental information
disclosure: how information disclosure
improves efficiency of decision-making
    SRS
  Objectives
   Economic Instruments: trading schemes
   & taxes
   Systems understanding through
   Integrated ecological-economic models
   Economic sustainability metrics for
   individuals, business, policy makers to:
    >  Make sustainable consumption
       decisions
    >  Determine the business case for
       sustainability
    >  Regulatory analysis (cost-benefit,
       cost-effectiveness analyses)
        Decision-support tools to help
        policy makers, corporate
        officials, engineers,
        local/regional planners identify
        and implement sustainable
        options
        Collaborative decision-making
 Cost efficient environmental policies & outcomes for US business and consumers
The behavioral science and sustainability programs cooperated to organize a December
2005 workshop that examined economic aspects of sustainability, and plan to cooperate
in  developing  future  CNS,   Market  Mechanisms,  and   Environmental  Behavior
solicitations. In addition, the programs  will coordinate with  each other in synthesizing
and communicating research results to support regional decision-making as part of this
collaborative  element  of  the  roadmap.  Finally,  the  EDS  program  will  contribute
knowledge and insight on organizational behavior  in the private sector that will inform
EPA interaction with businesses on sustainability, part of this roadmap element.

These examples illustrate collaboration that can be  applied to other research strategies as
well. The coordination and integration across research strategies will enable ORD and the
rest of the Agency to identify knowledge gaps and  to more effectively identify emerging
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
priorities. This  process  will  be ongoing,  proceeding from  the  prioritization factors
discussed earlier in this chapter.

3. Initiating and Strengthening Collaborations and Partnerships

The third element in ORD's roadmap towards Sustainability involves teamwork with a
wide range of collaborators and partners: EPA Program and Regional Offices, States, and
Local Governments; other federal agencies; universities; the business communities; and
international agencies and organizations.  After  some general considerations, this section
will explore each of these areas for ORD collaboration.

ORD is in a unique position to lead in Sustainability research and its connection to policy
and decision-making. As a science-based organization within a regulatory agency,  ORD
can (1) provide integrated  multimedia scientific information reflecting considerations
beyond single media for  more sustainable policies, (2)  provide strong input into  Agency
indicators of environmental Sustainability, and (3) collaborate with universities, nonprofit
organizations, businesses,  and  research organizations  in other  countries,  to better
understand Sustainability  and to identify knowledge gaps and emerging priorities.

A  draft report  to assist  meeting deliberations for the  SAB review of this Research
Strategy called for EPA leadership in Sustainability:

       There is  a need for,  and EPA should provide, leadership both internal to
       the  Agency and  external among the federal  agency family and  other
       organizations.  ...  EPA has an opportunity to coordinate and lead in the
       definition of environmental Sustainability and in the use of related research
       products  that will influence how other federal agencies and  organizations
       move forward with their Sustainability programs.42

In  implementing this Research Strategy,  ORD will make external collaboration and
partnering with stakeholders and customers a key element of its management approaches.

As  a science-based organization, ORD faces the critical challenge of finding effective
ways  to deliver its research products to  decision-makers and to  work with them to
translate research into  practical  outcomes. ORD initiated its Collaborative Science and
Technology Network for  Sustainability (CNS) program (described below) on the premise
that sustainable  outcomes would best be  achieved by  collaborative problem solving in
which  scientists and  decision-makers together assess and understand implications of
policy  choices.  In achieving Sustainability, ORD scientists must strive to be both good
scientists and good communicators.

3.a. Collaboration with EPA Program and Regional Offices, States, and Local
Governments
 : www.epa.gov/sab/pdf/sustainability _for_chartered_boardjan_18_07.pdf
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Program Offices: ORD research has traditionally served to address specific issues raised
by EPA Program Offices. ORD NPDs are responsible for  coordinating with Program
Offices to identify critical research gaps. EPA Program Offices have identified a number
of sustainability-related research questions that are now being reflected in existing MYPs
and in the new Science and Technology for Sustainability MYP. Many of these Program
Office activities reflect applications of Sustainability research supported by  ORD and
defined in this  Strategy,  including  a focus on  systems or multimedia  approaches,
sustainable design, system resilience, and  collaborative and community-based problem
solving.

The challenge ahead is to coordinate research that may involve several Program Offices
and NPDs. One example illustrates how the common goal of Sustainability is reflected in
Program Offices and MYPs around the research theme of human-built systems and land
use. Table 6.2 identifies a number of key Agency programs related to the common goal
of a sustainable built environment.

            Table 6.2. EPA Programs Related to the Built Environment
Media, EPA Programs, and
Program Offices1
Land: Smart Growth (OPEI)
Land: SMARTe (ORD)
Land: Brownfield Revitalization
(OSWER)
Land: Environmentally
Responsible Redevelopment and
Reuse (ER3 (OECA)
Water: Sustainable Water
Infrastructure (OW)
Water; WaterSense (OW)
Water: National Pollution
Discharge Elimination System
(OW)
Energy Use: Energy Star (OAR)
Air: Air Toxics Strategy (OAR)
Air: Community-Based Air
Quality Programs (OAR)
Program Objectives
Help design low-impact and green communities through
sharing best practices and promoting 10 development
principles.
With Web-based decision support tool, help developers
evaluate future reuse options for a site or area.
Revitalize contaminated sites to be economically
productive.
Use enforcement and incentives to promote sustainable
development of contaminated sites.
Better manage utilities, full-cost pricing, efficient water use,
and watershed approaches.
Help conserve water for future generations by providing
information on products and programs that save water
without sacrificing performance.
Control water pollution by green infrastructure and
regulating point sources that discharge pollutants into
waters of the United States.
Evaluate and test energy efficiency of products in more
than 50 categories; provide information on green building
design and energy efficiency.
Identify and monitor urban air toxics from stationary,
mobile, and indoor sources.
Support air toxics projects in about 30 communities across
the nation, helping inform and empower citizens to make
local decisions concerning the health of their communities.
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
Indoor Air: Indoor Environment
Management Research (ORD)
Climate: Climate Impact
Assessment Research (ORD)
Develop better understanding of the relationship among
indoor air quality (IAQ) and emissions sources, heating,
ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems, and air-
cleaning devices.
Integrate remote and ground-based data and dozens of
models to assess potential impacts of climate change.
 OPEI: Office of Policy, Economics, and Innovation; ORD: Office of Research and Development; OSWER:
Office of Solid Waste and Emergency Response; OECA: Office of Enforcement and Compliance Assistance;
OW: Office of Water; OAR: Office of Air and Radiation.

Achieving  sustainability in the built environment is clearly a national challenge that is
being addressed by many programs of EPA that cut across program offices and strategic
goals.  These programs include building design  and energy  efficiency, urban  land
revitalization, smart growth, management of urban systems and  water infrastructure, and
improving  air quality. ORD's challenge is to help define the underlying research needed
to support  these programs and work to provide the integration across Program Offices
and MYPs.

ORD  has also begun working with Program  and Regional Offices to identify indicators
that define  and measure trends related to the sustainability outcomes identified in Chapter
2.  The  emergence of the  focus on  sustainability  outcomes reflects  the evolution  of
thought in EPA on how best to address mission responsibilities.  This new effort is linked
to EPA's Report on the Environment and its Draft Strategic Plan 2007-2012.
Regional Offices: Committed to working closely with EPA Regional Offices, ORD has
created the positions of Regional Science Liaisons in each region. Many Regional Offices
have identified sustainability-related issues as major priorities. The  existing Regional
Applied Research Effort (RARE) program provides the regions with near-term research
on priority, region-specific science needs and improves collaboration among regions and
ORD laboratories  and centers. Each year ORD provides  funding for each Region to
develop a research topic, which is then submitted to a specific ORD laboratory or center
as an extramural research proposal. Once approved, the research is conducted as a joint
effort, with ORD researchers and regional staff working together to meet region-specific
needs.

RARE provides a means to address a  number of  sustainability issues. Past RARE
research topics have touched upon all aspects of environmental sciences, from human
health concerns to ecological effects of various pollutants.  The  RARE program also
supports  Regional Science  Topic  Workshops  which  aim to  improve cross-Agency
understanding of science issues and to develop a network of EPA  scientists working on
selected topics. These programs provide sound foundations for those who will continue to
exchange  information on  science  topics as  the Agency  moves  forward  in planning
education, research, and risk management programs.
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Several national  issues relevant  to  all EPA regions offer special potential  for ORD
cooperation with Regional Offices. Two of the most often cited national issues that affect
regions in  different ways,  are energy  generation and use and  ecosystem management.
National attention to issues like geochemical life cycles (e.g., nitrates) involves complex
interactions across regions.  ORD's  implementation  of the  Sustainability  Research
Strategy points to a need for stronger  coordination across EPA regions on key national
issues.

State  and Local Governments:   ORD  recognizes that many  critical  decisions  on
Sustainability—such as urban growth and development, ecosystem protection, water and
energy use, and human health—are  made at state and local levels. In addressing these
areas,  decision-makers  must anticipate potential  social  and environmental  conditions
(future scenarios) and work to integrate media  (air, water, and land) impacts through a
systems approach.

To better understand such high-priority  regional  Sustainability  issues, ORD and the
Office of Policy, Economics, and Innovation (OPEI) have initiated  outreach to state,
local, and  tribal  governments.  This interaction will enable ORD to contribute to the
identification and scientific understanding of the longer-term  societal  issues that will
likely affect EPA's mission responsibilities at regional and national levels. ORD will also
be  able  to contribute  possible  solutions and  management  options in the form  of
technologies, decision-making tools, and collaborative problem solving.

The CNS program is a  significant part of ORD's strategy to support  the application of
science to local  and regional decision-making in pursuit of Sustainability.  Table 6.3
shows the projects and collaborators funded through the first CNS solicitation.
                      Table 6.3. Projects and Partners of the
         Collaborative Science and Technology Network for Sustainability
Project
Moving Toward Sustainable
Manufacturing Through Efficient
Materials and Energy Use
Multi-Objective Decision Model
for Urban Water Use: Planning
for a Regional Water Reuse
Ordinance
Ecological Sustainability in
Rapidly Urbanizing Watersheds:
Evaluating Strategies Designed
to Mitigate Impacts on Stream
Ecosystems
Using Market Forces to
Implement Sustainable
Grantee
Northeast Waste
Management
Officials'
Association
Illinois Institute of
Technology
University of
Maryland - College
Park
City of Portland,
Energy Office
Partners and Collaborators
Commonwealth of Massachusetts
State of Illinois, City of Chicago, Fox
Metro Water Reclamation District
Montgomery County, USGS
Portland State University, University of
Oregon, Willamette Partnership
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
 Stormwater Management
 Sustainable Sandhills:
 Development a Plan for
 Regional Sustainability
Sustainable
Sandhills
State of North Carolina, Sandhills Area
Land Trust, Base Closure and
Realignment Regional Task Force,
Southeast Regional Partnership for
Planning and Sustainability, National
Association of Counties
 Sustainability of Land Use in
 Puerto Rico
Universidad
Metropolitana
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, US
Forest Service, Puerto Rico Planning
Society
 Transforming Office Parks Into
 Transit Villages
The San Francisco
Foundation
Community
Initiative Funds
Hacienda Business Parks Owners
Association, Cambridge Systematics,
Inc, Oracle
 Industrial Ecology, Pollution
 Prevention and the New
 York/New Jersey Harbor
New York
Academy of
Sciences
Rutgers University, Manhattan
College, General Electric, State of New
Jersey, State of New York, Columbia
University, Port Authority of New York
and New Jersey, New York City,
Natural Resources Defense Council,
Hudson River Foundation
 Harnessing the Hydrologic
 Disturbance Regime: Sustaining
 Multiple Benefits in Large River
 Floodplains in the Pacific
 Northwest
Oregon State
University
University of Oregon, Willamette
Partnership, State of Oregon, City of
Eugene, City of Corvallis, City of
Albany, USDA, US Fish and Wildlife
Service, National Marine Fisheries
Service
 Bringing Global Thinking to
 Local Sustainability Efforts: A
 Collaborative Project for the
 Boston Metropolitan Region
Tellus Institute
(Boston) Metropolitan Area Planning
Council, The Boston Foundation,
Commonwealth of Massachusetts
 Integrating Water Supply
 Management and Ecological
 Flow Water Requirements
The Nature
Conservancy
Tellus Institute, Tufts University, State
of Connecticut
 Cuyahoga Sustainability
 Network
University of
Maryland Baltimore
County
Cleveland State University, University
of Iowa, Kent State University, Chagrin
River Watershed Partners, Euclid
Creek Watershed Council, West Creek
Preservation Committee
 Framework for Sustainable
 Watershed Management
Delaware River
Basin Commission
Monroe County, State of Pennsylvania,
USGS, Brodhead Watershed
Association
CNS  grantees draw  on decision-making tools derived from  analytical models and on
collaborative approaches to practical problem solving that support progress at a regional
scale towards the Sustainability outcomes identified in Chapter 2.

The CNS-supported  Sustainable Sandhills project in North Carolina is a model of such
integrated decision-making for sustainable outcomes: a non-profit institution (Sustainable
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               ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
Sandhills) is serving as a convener for the U.S. Army, the state of North Carolina, and
dozens of local and state communities; and EPA's Region 4 is collaborating with ORD
ecologists and state of North Carolina scientists to develop a set of analytical decision-
support tools derived from geographic information linked to ecological models and future
scenarios. The goal is an effective regional plan that meets long-term community goals
and is cost-effective, environmentally sound, and sustainable.

The  Sustainable  Sandhills  example   reflects  a  general  strategy  of  integrating  and
synthesizing knowledge  generated across various research programs inside and outside of
EPA to more effectively address sustainability-related questions at the regional level. This
example  illustrates how  regional projects can serve as integrating mechanisms for ORD
research  strategies. Regional  projects  like this  may assist ORD to identify  additional
important core  research questions  and  to prioritize needs  in developing fundamental
research methods.

Lessons learned from the CNS program will be  shared with regions and communities that
work with  EPA through other programs,  such as  Community Action for a Renewed
Environment (CARE), Environmental Justice Collaborative Grants, Targeted Watershed
Grants, and  Brownfields  Technical Assistance.
3.b. Interagency Collaboration

While EPA is the lead federal agency in environmental compliance and enforcement, its
overall and environmental research budgets are small relative to the federal government
as a whole. In energy, transportation, agricultural management, and other areas, EPA
supports and complements  other federal lead  agencies. A national goal of sustainable
development can only be achieved through integrated and coherent polices across federal
agencies.

In implementing this Strategy, ORD will build on  existing partnerships and seek new
collaborations with other federal agencies.43 In 2004, ORD partnered with the Office of
the Federal Environmental Executive (OFEE) to organize a  Sustainability  workshop
among federal agencies. The workshop, which  revealed a wealth of federal activities but
a paucity of coordination and policy coherence among the activities, led to the creation of
a Stewardship and Sustainability Council organized by OFEE and EPA. ORD intends to
continue working with OFEE to coordinate and integrate Sustainability efforts with other
federal  agencies and to  pursue  interagency  collaboration that links research  and
application. Areas  of mission focus and supported research among federal agencies
corresponding to the six Sustainability outcomes from Chapter 2 are shown in Table 6.4,
which highlights opportunities for interagency collaboration and coordination.
43 The Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP), which coordinates science and technology in
federal agencies, has focused on a number of macro research and technology issues including industrial
innovation, competitiveness, and nanotechnology. Extensive interagency coordination also focuses on
climate  change assessment and  research, earth observations and GOESS, and ocean sciences.  Water
availability and quality and ecosystem services are emerging issues under interagency discussion.
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              ORD Sustainability Research Strategy- Internal Draft: June 13, 2007
 Table 6.4. Opportunities for Research or Program Collaboration across Agencies,
                        by Sustainability Resource Area
                X - some opportunity
XX - strong opportunity

DOD
DOE
DOI
EPA
NASA
NOAA
NSF
USDA
DOT
Air

X

XX
XX
XX
X

XX
Ecosystems
X

XX
XX


XX


Energy
X
XX

X


X

X
Land
XX

XX
XX


X
XX
XX
Materials
X

XX
X


XX
X

Water


XX
XX

XX
XX
X

One example of federal interagency cooperation is the emergence of partnerships on
sustainable land management. USDA and DOI's U.S.  Geological Survey each support
research related to land management and development.  DOD's Department of the Army
is increasingly focusing on its stewardship of land on and around military bases. DOI and
USDA's Forest Service are partnering in activities related to healthy forests, ecological
services and  management. New partnerships are also emerging around the issue of
biofuels and energy conversion.  DOE and USDA co-chair the Biomass Research and
Development Board (which also includes DOI, DOT, EPA, OSTP, and OFEE) mandated
by the Energy  Policy Act 2005 and are leading efforts  to develop  a comprehensive
Federal Biofuels Work Plan which will define an overall  interagency biomass strategy
incorporating topics such as feedstock, conversion technology, biofuel infrastructure, and
communication, education  and outreach. Sustainability-related objectives are emphasized
in  the Energy Policy Act, which directs the Secretaries of Agriculture and Energy, in
consultation with the EPA  Administrator and heads of other appropriate departments and
agencies, to direct research and development toward "a  diversity of sustainable domestic
sources of biomass for conversion to biobased fuels  and biobased products" and "to
maximize the environmental, economic, and social benefits of production  of biobased
fuels  and  biobased products  on a  large  scale  through life-cycle  economic  and
environmental analysis and other means."

3.c. University Collaboration

University  communities are  embracing Sustainability in facility operations, community
development, and  academic programs. With  endowments  and local  funds,  many
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universities have created new academic  centers for  sustainability  systems sciences,
resilience,  green  design,  and green chemistry. Many joint  programs  exist  between
business schools and environmental programs.

ORD has developed strong  ties with the university community through its  extramural
STAR research grants (including CNS) and fellowship programs. ORD's P3  student
sustainability  design competition and its engineering curriculum benchmarking project
are catalyzing leadership within academia. Going beyond these grant-related activities,
ORD aims to foster closer ties among universities, ORD laboratories, and  other EPA
Program and  Regional Offices to boost research on  current  environmental problems,
potential future problems, and sustainable solutions. Toward this goal, ORD began in
2006 to conduct  visits  to major university sustainability research centers  to  discuss
coordination and collaboration on emerging research issues. ORD aims to partner with
many  more  academic centers  to ensure  that  scientific  advances are translated  into
practical management approaches. By interacting  with universities and  investing in
research and education, EPA can support the development and refinement of academic
fields that contribute to sustainability.44

3.d. Collaboration with the Business Community

Recognizing that business leadership  and decisions taken by industry  have a strong
influence on progress towards sustainability,  ORD  is pursing a two-fold strategy with
private industry: (1) EPA engages in a broad conversation with the business community
to collectively and strategically identify and address sustainability-related problems; (2)
Drawing on knowledge gained from the EDS research program, EPA will analyze  and
document the business case  for sustainability, bringing a better understanding of short-
and long-term business motivation to inform EPA programs.45

3.e. International Collaboration46

Five years after the 2002 World  Summit on  Sustainable Development (WSSD), many
developed  and  developing  nations, United  Nations  agencies,  and non-government
organizations  are aggressively pursuing sustainable development objectives. The WSSD
launched hundreds  of Partnerships  for Sustainability  among governments and non-
government organizations to address a broad range of sustainability issues.  Significant
44 EPA's Smart Growth Program has made the greening of universities and their surrounding communities
a priority issue.
45 These ORD activities complement EPA's traditional regulatory and voluntary programs. The Agency has
more than 65 voluntary programs that encourage business to move beyond complying with environmental
laws to implement sustainable operations. Programs such as Performance Track operate at the facility level
while others, such as the Sectors Program, work across whole industrial sectors. EPA's Climate Leadership
program aims at voluntary reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. The High Production Volume Challenge
Program aims to provide the public with information on many high-volume chemicals. These and many
other programs are part of EPA's efforts to advance environmental stewardship and sustainable outcomes.
46 Links to many of these international programs and research strategies  are  available  at EPA's
Sustainability Web site: www.epa.gov/sustainability/international.htm
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science and technology cooperation and agreements are underway within the OECD and
among the  G8 nations.  The  G8  2003  Science  and  Technology  for  Sustainable
Development Action Plan focuses on areas that are central to EPA: coordination of global
observation systems through the Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS);
cleaner,  more  efficient, and  sustainable  energy  use;  agricultural productivity  and
Sustainability; and biodiversity conservation.

Several European Union (EU) member countries  have also  developed their  own
Sustainability research strategies. The newly launched EU 7th Research  Framework
(2007-2013) supports  basic research in several areas related to  sustainable development
including sustainable health care, sustainable  production and management of biological
resources, sustainable production and consumption  patterns, sustainable transport and
energy systems and  greenhouse gas reductions,  and  technology development  and
verification.

ORD intends to take advantage of the increasing global interest in Sustainability to pursue
international partnerships to support Sustainability research and the achievement of the
Millennium Development Goals. ORD has begun to expand its collaboration with the
European Commission (EC) in areas that support the research identified in Chapter 4.
These  areas  include  environmental  and  Sustainability  indicators,  uncertainty  in
environmental  models,  development  of decision  support  tools  and  environmental
technologies, nanotechnology uses,  and sustainable chemistry. In October  2006,  EPA
signed an agreement for research collaboration with China. A February 2007 agreement
signed by EPA and the EU Director General for Research has launched a  cooperative
research  and  eco-informatics program that  provides a new framework  for cooperation
between the EPA and several EC directorates.
Implementing the Sustainability Research Strategy for a Sustainable Future

Advances in science and technology form a foundation that can lead to a wide array of
opportunities for advancing towards a sustainable future:

       •  Science and technology can enable communities, nations, and industries to
          measure, monitor, and characterize pollutants and environmental conditions.

       •  Models and data analysis techniques—ranging from chemical design tools
          based  on computational toxicology to  material flow  analysis—can  help
          society to better understand environmental conditions, their underlying social
          and economic causes, and their effects on human health.

       •  Technological advances—such  as those achieved in green  chemistry  and
          engineering—can enable society  to use resources more efficiently and to
          prevent or reduce pollution and the associated risks to human health and the
          environment.
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       •  Futures analysis can assist society to better anticipate and prepare for potential
          social and economic changes—such as the predicted industrial transformation
          growing out  of the  convergence  of nanotechnology, biotechnology,  and
          information technology—and resulting environmental changes.

       •  Finally,  science and  technology can  help to develop  tools for supporting
          decision-making that advances the protection of human health and the natural
          environment now and for future generations.

In short, this Sustainability Research Strategy serves our society's environmental needs in
ways that also  support our economy and our  society. The potential  long-term national
benefits from pursuing the research identified in the Sustainability Research Strategy are
clear and compelling:

       •  It will enable communities  and  regions to envision, plan, and manage their
          natural and built environments so that materials and energy are conserved and
          the quality of air and water protected while economic  and social needs are
          met.

       •  It will enable industry and consumers to benefit from advances in scientific
          understanding  and technology  so that resources are conserved  and the
          environment  and  public  health are  protected  while  economic and  social
          objectives are met.

       •  It will give EPA and the nation more options to protect human health and the
          environment  for future generations, informed by an improved understanding
          of systems in the natural and built environments.
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