DRAFT FOR REVIEW
 NOVEMBER2000

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State of the Lakes Ecosystem Conference 2000
              Implementing Indicators

           Draft for Discussion at SOLEC 2000
                          Assembled by:

                         Nancy Stadler-Salt
                        Environment Canada
                   Office of the Regional Science Advisor
                        867 Lakeshore Rd.
                      Burlington, ON  L7R 4A6
                            Canada
                       nancy.stadler-salt@ec.gc.ca

                          Paul Bertram
                United States Environmental Protection Agency
                   Great Lakes National Program Office
                        77 West Jackson Blvd.
                        Chicago, IL 60604
                             USA
                        bertram.paul@epa.gov
                        October 2000

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SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Discussion, October 2ooo)

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    Table  of Contents
    Introduction	1

    Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Walleye [and Hexagenia] - SOLEC Indicator #9	 2
    [Walleye and] Hexagenia - SOLEC Indicator #9	4
    Preyfish Populations - SOLEC Indicator#17	6
    Spawning-Phase Sea Lamprey Abundance- SOLEC Indicator #18	 10
    Native Unionid Mussels - SOLEC Indicator #68	 13
    Lake Trout  [and Scud (Diporeia hoyi)] - SOLEC Indicator #93	 16
    [Lake Trout and] Scud (Diporeia hoyi) - SOLEC Indicator #93	 18
    Deformities, Eroded Fins, Lesions and Tumours (DELT) in Nearshore Fish - SOLEC Indicator #101	 20
    Phytoplankton Populations - SOLEC Indicator#109	22
    Phosphorus Concentrations and Loadings - SOLEC Indicator #111 	 24
    Contaminants in Colonial Nesting Waterbirds - SOLEC Indicator #115	 27
    Zooplankton Populations - SOLEC Indicator #116	 29
    Atmospheric Deposition ofToxic Chemicals - SOLEC Indicator #117	31
    Toxic Chemical Concentrations in Offshore Waters - SOLEC Indicator #118	34

    Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Amphibian Diversity and Abundance - SOLEC Indicator #4504	 37
    Contaminants in Snapping Turtle Eggs - SOLEC Indicator #4506	40
    Wetland-Dependent Bird Diversity and Abundance - SOLEC Indicator #4507	43
    Coastal Wetland Area by Type-SOLEC Indicator #4510	45
    Effect ofWater Level Fluctuations - SOLEC Indicator #4861 	48

    Nearshore Terrestrial Indicators
    Area, Quality and Protection of Alvar Communities - SOLEC Indicator #8129 (in part)	 52
    Extent of Hardened Shoreline - SOLEC Indicator #8131 	 54
    Contaminants Affecting Productivity of Bald Eagles - SOLEC Indicator #8135	 56
    Population Monitoring and Contaminants affecting the American Otter - SOLEC Indicator #8147	 59

    Land Use Indicators
    Urban Density-SOLEC Indicator #7000	 61
    Brownfields Redevelopment - SOLEC Indicator #7006 	63
    Mass Transportation - SOLEC Indicator #7012	65
    Sustainable Agricultural Practices - SOLEC Indicator #7028	67

    Human Health Indicators
    E. coli and Fecal Coliform in Recreational Waters - SOLEC Indicator #4081	70
    Chemical Contaminants in Edible Fish Tissue - SOLEC Indicator #4083	73
    Drinking Water Quality-SOLEC Indicator #4175 	75
    Air Quality-SOLEC Indicator #4176	79

    Societal Indicators
    Economic Prosperity- SOLEC Indicator #7043	 83
    Water Use - SOLEC Indicator #7056	 87
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Discussion, October 2ooo)

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Unbounded Indicators
Acid Rain - SOLEC Indicator #9000	 89

Under Construction	92
Exotic Species Introduced into the Great Lakes - SOLEC Indicator #9002	 93

APPENDIX 1 — BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE INDICATORS LIST	 101
APPENDIX 2 — RELEVANCIES (OR ALTERNATE INDICATOR GROUPINGS) 	 109
                                 SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Discussion, October 2ooo)

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           State of the  Lakes  Ecosystem Conference 2000  -
                                 Implementing  Indicators
    Introduction

    This report is a collection of summary reports on [25]
    Great Lakes environmental indicators.  Its purpose is to
    provide SOLEC participants an advanced look at the
    status of Great Lakes ecosystem components based on the
    suite of 80 indicators proposed at SOLEC 1998.

    Each indicator report was authored by one or more
    people who are familiar with the subject area and data
    sources. Acknowledgments are included in each  report.
    SOLEC organizers provided the authors with guidelines
    for the preparation of the report. The indicator reports
    have been reformatted to a common page layout style,
    but the content has not been edited. These indicator
    reports should be considered DRAFT - for SOLEC
    Review.

    These indicators will be presented and discussed  at
    SOLEC 2000. Participants will have opportunities to
    provide additional data or data sources, contribute overall
    assessments about the status of the Great Lakes,  and
    debate implications of the indicators and assessments for
    environmental management. Based on the information
    in these indicators, on feedback and analyses received at
    SOLEC 2000, and on additional information obtained
    after SOLEC 2000, a State of the Great Lakes 2001
    report will be prepared which will contain both the final
    indicator summary reports and assessments of Great
    Lakes ecosystem components based on the indicators.

    The indicators in this report are grouped according to
    the SOLEC categories of nearshore and offshore open
    waters, coastal wetlands, nearshore terrestrial (including
    land use), human health,  and unbounded. Other
    groupings are equally valid, depending on the perspective
    of the user. A table is included in Appendix A of this
    report that lists all the SOLEC indicators and identifies
    to which of several alternate groupings each indicator is
    relevant. Previous versions of this table have appeared in
    the State of the Great Lakes 1999 report and in the
    Selection of Indicators for Great Lakes Basin Ecosystem
    Health - Version 4.

    This is the first attempt to assemble data and to  present
    summary assessments for the SOLEC indicators. Not all
the SOLEC indicators are included in this report.
Several reasons are possible for SOLEC indicators to be
absent from this report:

••     The data exist but they were not retrieved and
       summarized by the time this report was
       assembled and printed. These indicator
       summaries should be available for distribution at
       SOLEC 2000.

••     The data exist, but they were not accessible to
       indicator authors within the constraints of time
       and personnel available. The information might
       be available for the State of the Great Lakes
       2001 report, but not for consideration at
       SOLEC 2000.

••     The required data have not been collected.
       Changes to existing monitoring programs or the
       initiation of new monitoring programs are
       needed to collect and analyze the data.

••     The indicator is still under development. More
       research and/or testing is needed before the
       indicator can be implemented.

Also, not all indicators presented here are complete.
Some have data for selected geographic areas, but not for
all the Great  Lakes.  Some present only part of the data
that are proposed for a complete indicator.

Over the next several years, more of the SOLEC
indicators will be phased in. Monitoring programs will
be adjusted, information management systems put into
place, and research and testing completed to refine the
indicators. Meanwhile, readers are encouraged to assist
in the biennial assessment of the Great Lakes by reading
the indicator reports and providing constructive feedback
on their content, format, data, conclusions and
implications for management.

For further details of the indicator development process
and of previous SOLEC conferences can be found on the
web at: http://www.on.ec.gc.ca/solec/ and
http://www.epa.gov/glnpo/solec/
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

   Walleye [and Hexagenia]
   SOLEC Indicator #9
   Purpose
   Trends in walleye fishery yields indicate changes in overall
   fish community structure, the health of percids, and the
   stability and resiliency of the Great Lakes aquatic ecosys-
   tem.

   Ecosystem Objective
   Protection, enhancement, and restoration of historically
   important, mesotrophic habitats that support walleye as
   the top fish predator are necessary for stable, balanced,
   and productive elements of the Great Lakes ecosystem.

   State of the Ecosystem
   Reductions in phosphorus loadings during the 1970s
   substantially improved spawning and nursery habitat for
   many fish species in the Great Lakes. Improved
   mesotrophic habitats (i.e., western Lake  Erie, Bay of
   Quinte, Saginaw Bay, and Green Bay), along with
   interagency fishery management programs that increased
   adult survival, led to a dramatic recovery of walleyes in
   many areas of the Great Lakes, especially in Lake  Erie.
   High water levels also may have played a major role in the
   recovery. Fishery endpoints, established  for these areas by
   Lake Committees within the Great Lakes Fishery Com-
   mission, were attained or exceeded in nearly all areas by
   the mid-1980s and then declined during the 1990s.
   Total yields were highest in Lake Erie (averaged nearly
   4,800 kilotons, 1975-1999), intermediate in Lakes
   Huron and Ontario (<300 kilotons in  all years), and
   lowest in Lakes Michigan and Superior (<10 kilotons).
   Declines in the 1990s were likely related to shifts in
   environmental states (i.e., from mesotrophic to less
   favorable oligotrophic conditions), changing fisheries,
   and, perhaps in the case of Lake Erie, a population
   naturally coming into  balance with its  prey base.  The
   effects of exotic species on the food web  or on walleye
   behavior (increased water clarity can limit daytime
   feeding) also may have been a contributing factor. In
   general, walleye yields  tended to peak during periods of
   ideal environmental conditions (mid-1980s) and remain
   substantially improved from levels of the 1970s.

   Future Pressures
   Natural, self-sustaining walleye populations require
   adequate spawning and nursery habitats. In the Great
   Lakes, these habitats lie in tributary streams and
   nearshore reefs, wetlands, and embayments. Loss of these
   habitats is the primary concern for future health of
walleye populations. Environmental factors that alter
water level, water temperature, water clarity, and flow
(currents) can substantially affect nearshore habitats.
Thus, global warming and its subsequent effects on
temperature and precipitation in the Great Lakes basin
may become increasingly important determinants of
walleye health.  Exotic species, like zebra mussels, ruffe,
and round gobies may disrupt the efficiency of energy
transfer through the food web, potentially affecting
growth and survival of walleye.  Moreover, alterations in
the food web can affect environmental characteristics (like
water clarity), which can in turn affect fishery catches of
walleye. Human disturbance of tributary and nearshore
habitats through activities  like dredging, diking, farming,
and filling of wetlands will continue to pose threats to all
fish species that require these habitats for reproduction.

Future Activities
Research is needed to further identify critical reproduc-
tive habitats and how they are being affected by environ-
mental and anthropogenic disturbances.  This informa-
tion is crucial to develop management plans that carefully
balance human demands with ecosystem health. Annual
harvest assessments should be continued for walleye
fisheries in all areas and should be reported in a standard
unit (pounds).

Further Work Necessary
Fishery yields can serve as appropriate indicators of
walleye health but need to  include all types of fisheries
(i.e., recreational, commercial, tribal) in the areas of
interest. Yield assessments are lacking for some fisheries
or in some years for most of the areas. Moreover,
measurement units are not standardized among fishery
types  (i.e., commercial fisheries are measured in pounds
while recreational fisheries are measured in numbers),
which means additional conversions are necessary and
may introduce errors. Therefore, trends in yields across
time (years) are probably better indicators than absolute
values within any year, assuming that any introduced bias
is relatively constant over time.  It may be useful to also
compile index net survey estimates of relative abundance
from all areas (where available) to augment the yield data.

Sources
Fishery harvest data were obtained from Tom Stewart
(Lake Ontario-OMNR), Tom Eckhart (Lake Ontario -
NYDEC), Karen Wright (Upper Lakes tribal data-
                                        SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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                                                                                 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    COTFMA),Dave
    Fielder (Lake Huron-
    MDNR), Terry
    Lychwyck (Green
    Bay-WDNR),
    various annual
    OMNRandODNR
    Lake Erie fisheries
    reports, and the
    GLFC commercial
    fishery data base.
    Gene Emond
    (ODNR) collated
    data into a standard-
    ized form.  Fishery
    data should not be
    used for purposes
    outside of this
    document without
    first contacting the
    agencies that col-
    lected them.

    Acknowledgments
    Author: Roger
    Knight, Ohio
    Department of
    Natural Resources,
    OH.
 Lake Erie Walleye Harvest
             Year
Lake Huron Walleye Harvest
            Year
LakeOntario Walleye Harvest
                                             Year
                               Lake Michigan Walleye Harvest
                           S
                           o
                                  D Tribal
                                  D Sport
                                  • Commercial
                                              Year
        Lake Superior, Walleye
                Harvest
                                           76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
                                                         Year
      Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron
           Walleye Harvest
   200
   180
   160
in  14°
is
=   80
^   60
    40
    20
                                               D Tribal
                                               D Sport
                                               • Commercial
                                            76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97
                                                         Year
    Bay of Quinte Walleye Harvest
                                                                                         Year
                                            Green Bay, Lake Michigan
                                                 Walleye Harvest
                                                                D Tribal
                                                                D Sport
                                                                • Commercial
                                                                            76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98
                                                                                          Year
                          FCGOs
                          Lake Huron: 0.7 million kg
                          Lake Michigan: 0.1 to 0.2 million kg
                          Lake Erie: sustainable harvests in all basins
                          Achievement of these targets will require healthy walleye stocks in each lake.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

   [Walleye and] Hexagenia
   SOLEC Indicator #9
       6000
   Purpose
   The distribution, abundance, and  annual production
   of the burrowing mayfly Hexagenia in mesotrophic
   Great Lakes habitat is measured directly and used as
   the indicator. Hexagenia is proposed for use as  an
   indicator of ecosystem health because it is intolerant of
   pollution and is thus a good reflection of water and
   lakebed sediment quality in  mesotrophic  Great Lakes
   habitats, where it was historically the dominant, large,
   benthic invertebrate and an important item on the diets
   of many valuable fishes.

   Ecosystem Objective
   Historically productive Great Lakes mesotrophic habitats
   like western Lake Erie; the Bay of Quinte, Lake Ontario;
   Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron; and Green Bay, Lake Michi-
   gan, should be restored and maintained
   as balanced, stable, and productive
   elements of the Great Lakes ecosystem
   with Hexagenia as the dominant, large,
   benthic invertebrate.
   State of the Ecosystem
   Major declines in the abundance of
   Hexagenia and low abundance or
   absence in some Great Lakes habitats
   where they were historically abundant
   have been linked to eutrophication and
   low dissolved oxygen in bottom waters
   and to pollution of sediments by metals
   and petroleum products. For example,
   Hexagenia was abundant in the western
   and central  basins basins of Lake Erie in
   the 1930s and 1940s but an extensive
   mortality occurred in  1953 in the
   eastern portion of the western basin.
   The population there recovered in
   1954, but extinction followed  through-
   out the western and central basins  by
   the early 1960s. Improvements in water
   and sediment quality in historical
   Hexagenia habitat following the imposi-
   tion of pollution controls in the 1960s
   were not immediately followed by the
   recovery of Hexagenia populations.
   However, there is now evidence of the
   beginnings of recovery of Hexagenia in
   Green Bay, Lake Michigan, and full
                   recovery of the population in western Lake Erie is
                   predicted to occur in 2000, indicating the health of these
                   mesotrophic habitats is improving substantially. Most of
                   Lake St. Clair and portions of the Upper Great Lakes
                   Connecting Channels support populations of Hexagenia
                   with the highest biomass and production measured
                   anywhere in North America (Fig. 1). In sharp contrast,
                   Hexagenia has been extirpated in polluted portions of
                   these same Great Lakes waters and no recovery is pres-
                   ently evident.

                   The recovery of Hexagenia in western Lake Erie is a
                   signal event, which shows clearly that properly imple-
                   mented pollution controls can bring about the recovery
                   of a major Great Lakes mesotrophic ecosystem. With its
                   full recovery, the Hexagenia population in western Lake
                      500       1000       1500       2000
                          Biomass (mg dry weight/m2)
Figure 1. Mean annual biomass and production of Hexagenia populations in
North America.
Biomass values >500 (production values > about 1000) represent populations
from unpolluted portions of Lake St. Clair, the St. Marys River, and eastern
Lake Superior. Lower values represent populations from polluted areas else-
where in the Upper Great Lakes Connecting Channels and populations from
polluted and clean habitats elsewhere in North America.
(Source: T A. Edsall, unpublished data.)
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Erie will probably reclaim its functional status as a
    primary agent in sediment bioturbation and as a trophic
    integrator directly linking the detrital energy resource to
    fish, and particularly the economically valuable percid
    community. The recovery of the Hexagenia population in
    western Lake Erie also helps remind us of one outstand-
    ing public outreach feature associated with using
    Hexagenia as an indicator of ecosystem health—the
    massive swarms of winged adults that are typical of
    healthy, productive Hexagenia populations in areas of
    historical abundance in the Great Lakes. These swarms
    will be highly visible to the public who can use them to
    judge the success of water pollution control programs and
    the health of Great Lakes mesotrophic ecosystems.

    Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
    The virtual extinction and delayed recovery of the
    Hexagenia population in western Lake Erie was  attributed
    to the widespread, periodic occurrence of anoxic bottom
    waters resulting from nutrient inputs in sewage and
    runoff from agricultural lands, and to toxic pollutants,
    including oil and heavy metals, which accumulated and
    persisted in the lakebed sediments. Most point source
    inputs are now controlled, but in-place pollutants in
    lakebed sediments appear to be a problem in some areas.
    Paved surface runoff and combined sewer overflows also
    pose a major problem in some urban areas. Phosphorus
    loadings still exceed guideline levels in some portions of
    the Great Lakes and loadings may increase as the human
    population  in the Great Lakes basin grows.

    The effects  of exotic species on  Hexagenia and its useful-
    ness as an indicator of ecosystem health are unknown and
    may be problematic. It has been postulated that the
    colonization of the western basin by the zebra mussel
    (Dreissena polymorpha) and the  recovery of Hexagenia are
    linked causally, but no specific mechanism has yet been
    proposed. Support for zebra mussel as a major factor in
    the recovery of Hexagenia in the western basin is perhaps
    eroded by the fact that Saginaw Bay,  Lake Huron, is also
    heavily colonized by the zebra mussel, but the Hexagenia.
    population  there, which collapsed in  1955-1956, still has
    not shown signs of recovery.

    Future Actions
    Regulate point sources and non-point sources of
    pollution in the basin to improve and maintain Great
    Lakes water and sediment quality consistent with the
    environmental requirements of healthy, productive
    populations of Hexagenia. Continue development and
    application of technology and practices designed to
                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
remediate lakebed and riverbed sediments in AOCs and
critical Hexagenia habitat areas that have problem levels
of persistent, in-place pollutants.

Further Work Needed
Develop a monitoring program and baseline data for
Hexagenia populations in all major, historical, Great
Lakes mesotrophic habitats so that changes in ecosystem
health can be monitored and reported, management
strategies evaluated and improved, and corrective actions
taken to improve ecosystem health and to judge progress
toward reaching interim and long term targets and goals.
Conduct studies needed to describe the interactions
between Hexagenia and introduced aquatic species and
the effect of those species, if any,  on the utility of
Hexagenia as an indicator of ecosystem health.

Acknowledgments
Author: Thomas Edsall, US Geological Survey, Biological
Resources Division, Ann Arbor, MI.
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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

   Preyfish Populations
   SOLEC Indicator #17
   Purpose
   To directly measure the abundance and diversity of
   preyfish populations, especially in relation to the stability
   of predator species necessary to maintain the biological
   integrity of each lake.

   Ecosystem Objective
   The importance of preyfish populations to support
   healthy, productive populations of predator fishes is
   recognized in the FCGOs for each lake. As example, the
   fish community objectives for Lake Michigan specify that
   in order to restore an ecologically balanced fish commu-
   nity, a diversity of prey species at population levels
   matched to primary production and predator demands
   must be maintained.  This indicator also relates to the
   1997 Strategic Great Lakes Fisheries Management Plan
   Common Goal Statement for Great Lakes fisheries
   agencies.

   This assemblage of fishes form important trophic links in
   the aquatic ecosystem and constitute the majority of the
   fish production in the Great Lakes. Preyfish populations
   in each of the lakes is currently monitored on an annual
   basis in order to quantify the population dynamics of
   these important fish stocks leading to a better under-
   standing of the processes that shape the fish  community
   and to identify those characteristics critical to each
   species.  Populations of lake trout, Pacific salmon, and
   other salmonids in have  been established as part of
   intensive programs designed to rehabilitate (or develop
   new) game fish populations. These valuable  predator
   species sustain an increasingly demanding and highly
   valued fisheries and information on their status is crucial.
   In turn, these apex predators are sustained by forage fish
   populations.  In addition, the bloater and the lake her-
   ring, native species, and  the rainbow smelt are also
   directly important to the commercial fishing industry.
   Therefore, it is very important, based on (1) lake trout
   restoration goals,  (2) stocking projections, (3), present
   levels of salmonid abundance and (4) commercial fishing
   interests, that the  current status and estimated carrying
   capacity of the fish populations be fully understood.

   State of the Ecosystem
   The segment  of the Great Lakes' fish communities that
   we classify as preyfish comprises species that, as mature
   adults, prey essentially on zooplankton.  Those species
   that depend on diets of invertebrates, typically crustacean
zooplankton, for their entire life history are those fish
considered in this section — including both pelagic and
benthic species.  This convention also supports the
recognition of particle-size distribution theory and size-
dependent ecological processes. Based on size-spectra
theory, body size is an indicator of trophic level and the
smaller, short-lived fish that constitute the planktivorous
fish assemblage discussed here are a discernable trophic
group of the food web. At present, bloaters (Coregonus
hoyi), lake herring (Coregonus artedi), rainbow smelt
(Osmerus mordax), alewife (Alosapseudoharengus), and
deepwater sculpins (Myoxocephalus thompsoni), and to a
lesser degree species like ninespine sticklebacks (Pungitius
pungitius) and slimy sculpins (Cottus cognatus) constitute
the bulk of the preyfish communities.

In Lake Erie, the prey fish community is unique among
the Great Lakes in that it is characterized by relatively
high species diversity. The prey fish community com-
prises primarily gizzard shad (Dorosoma cepedianum) and
alewife (clupeids), emerald (Notropis atherinoides) and
spottail shiners (TV. hudsonius), silver chubs (Hybopsis
storeriana), trout-perch (Percopsis omiscomaycus), round
gobies (Neogobius melanostomus), and rainbow smelt (soft-
rayed), and age-0 yellow (Perca flavescens)  and white perch
(Morone americana), and white bass (M. chrysops)(sp'my-
rayed).

Lake Michigan —
Alewives remain at consistently lower levels as compared
to previous years. Some increase in abundance is noted
with strong 1995 and 1998 year classes, but the current
low population levels appear to be driven in large part by
predation pressure.  Rainbow smelt have declined and
remain at lower levels, possibly due to predation. Bloater
biomass continues to decline due to lack of recruitment
and slow growth. Bloaters are expected to decline
further, but may rebound as part of an anticipated natural
cycle in abundance.  Sculpins remain at the same level of
abundance and continue to contribute a significant
portion of the preyfish biomass.

Lake Huron —
Similar to Lake Michigan, the decline in bloater abun-
dance has resulted in shift in an increased proportion of
alewives in the preyfish community. The changes in the
abundance and age structure of the prey for salmon and
trout  to predominantly younger, smaller fish suggests that
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                                                                                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
         25
           1978198019821984198619881990199219941996199i
             19791981 19831985198719891991 199319951997
                                                                         Rainbow smelt
                                                                                isc
                                                                              1990    1992    1994

                                                                                         Year
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 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    predation pressure is an important force in both alewife
    and rainbow smelt populations. Sculpin populations have
    varied, but have been at lower levels in recent years.

    Lake Ontario —
    Alewives and to a lesser degree rainbow smelt dominate
    the preyfish population. Alewives remain at same low
    level; though this species has exhibited a strong 1998 year
    class.  Rainbow smelt show some increase due to influ-
    ence of 1996 year class, but the paucity of large individu-
    als indicates heavy predation. Overall, shifts to deeper
    water have been noted in fish distributions and may be
    related to establishment of Dreissena. Sculpin
    populations have declined and remained at low levels in
    since 1990.

    Lake Superior —
    Lake herring populations have declined recently to be less
    dominant  in the preyfish community.  Lake herring
    biomass is controlled by production of young, which  is
    mediated by environment rather than parental stock size.
    In contrast, rainbow smelt biomass has remained low and
    is likely controlled by predation from trout and salmon.
    Continued low forage biomass will result in declining
    growth and survival rates of trout and salmon. Sculpins
    remain at low but consistent levels of abundance.

    Lake Erie —
    Recently, the prey fish community in all three basins of
    Lake Erie has shown declining trends.  In the eastern
    basin, rainbow smelt have shown significant declines in
    abundance coupled with alternate year high abundance
    pattern, as well as declines in growth rate over the past
    several years. These declines have been attributed to lack
    of recruitment  associated with Driessenid colonization
    and reductions in productivity. The western and central
    basins also have shown declines in forage fish abundance
    associated with declines in abundance of age-0 white
    perch and  rainbow smelt.  The clupeid component of the
    forage fish community has shown no overall trend in the
    past decade, although gizzard shad and alewife abundance
    has been quite variable across the survey period.

    Future Pressures
    The influences of predation by salmon and trout on
    preyfish populations appear to be common across all
    lakes.  Additional pressures from Dreissena populations
    are apparent in Lake Ontario and Lake Erie, and "bottom
    up"  effects on the prey fishes may be expected from a
    dramatic decline recently observed in Diporeia
    populations in  Lake Michigan as well as newly expanded
    populations of Dreissena in this lake.
                       Future Activities
                       Recognition of significant predation effects on preyfish
                       populations has resulted in recent salmon stocking
                       cutbacks in Lakes Michigan, Huron, and Ontario.
                       However, even at lower populations, alewives have
                       exhibited the ability to produce strong year classes such
                       that the continued judicious use of artificially propagated
                       predators seems necessary to avoid domination by the
                       alewife.  It should be noted that this is not an option in
                       Lake Superior since lake trout and salmon are largely
                       lake-produced. Potential "bottom up" effects on prey
                       fishes would be difficult in any attempt to mitigate
                       owing to our inability to affect changes — this scenario
                       only reinforces the need to avoid further introductions of
                       exotics into the Great Lake ecosystems.

                       Further Work Necessary
                       It has been advanced that in order to restore an ecologi-
                       cally balanced fish community, a diversity of prey species
                       at population levels matched to primary production and
                       predator demands must be maintained.  However, the
                       current mix of native and naturalized prey and predator
                       species, and the contributions of artificially propagated
                       predator species into the system confounds any sense of
                       balance.  The metrics of ecological balance as the conse-
                       quence offish community structure are best defined
                       through food-web interactions.  It is through under-
                       standing the exchanges of trophic supply and demand
                       that the fish community can be  described quantitatively
                       and ecological attributes such as balance be better defined
                       and the limits inherent to the ecosystem realized.

                       Continued monitoring of the fish communities and
                       regular assessments  of food habits of predators and prey
                       fishes will be required to quantify the food-web dynamics
                       in the Great Lakes.  This recommendation is especially
                       supported by continued changes that are occurring not
                       only in the upper but also in the lower trophic levels.
                       Recognized sampling limitations of traditional capture
                       techniques has prompted the application of acoustic
                       techniques as another means to estimate absolute abun-
                       dance of prey fishes in the Great Lakes. Though not an
                       assessment panacea, acoustics has provided additional
                       insights and has demonstrated utility in the estimates of
                       preyfish biomass.

                       It is obvious that protecting or reestablishing rare or
                       extirpated members of the once prominent native prey
                        fishes, most notably the various members of the white-
                       fish family (Coregonus spp), should be a priority in all the
                       Great Lakes. This recommendation would include the
8
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                                                                              "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
deepwater cisco species and should be reflected in future
indicator reports.

With the continuous nature of changes that seems to
characterize the prey fishes, the appropriate frequency to
review this indicator is on a 5-year basis.

Acknowledgements
Author: Guy W. Fleischer, USGS Great Lakes Science
Center, Ann Arbor, MI.
Contributions from Robert O'Gorman and Randy W.
Owens, USGS Great Lakes Science Center, Lake Ontario
Biological Station, Oswego NY, Charles Madenjian, Gary
Curtis, RayArgyle and Jeff Schaeffer, USGS Great Lakes
Science Center, Ann Arbor, MI, and Charles Bronte and
Mike Hoff, USGS Great Lakes Science Center, Lake
Superior Biological Station, Ashland, WL, and Jeffrey
Tyson, Ohio Div. of Wildlife Sandusky Fish Research
Unit, Sandusky, OH.

All preyfish trend figures are based on annual bottom
trawl surveys performed by USGS Great Lakes Science
Center, except Lake Erie, which is from surveys con-
ducted by the Ohio Division of Wildlife.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                                                                               o

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 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    Spawning-Phase Sea Lamprey Abundance
    SOLEC Indicator #18
    Purpose
    This indicator estimates the abundance of sea lampreys in
    the Great Lakes, which has a direct impact on the
    structure of the fish community and health of the aquatic
    ecosystem. In particular, populations of large, native,
    predatory fishes are negatively affected by mortality
    caused by sea lampreys.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The 1955 Convention of Great Lakes Fisheries created
    the Great Lakes Fishery Commission (GLFC) "to formu-
    late and implement a comprehensive program for the purpose
    of eradicating or minimizing the sea lamprey populations in
    the Convention area". Under the Joint Strategic Plan for
    Great  Lakes Fisheries, lake committees, consisting of all
    fishery management agencies, have established Fish
    Community Objectives  (FCOs) for each of the lakes.
    These FCOs cite the need for sea lamprey control to
    support objectives for the fish community,  in particular,
    objectives for lake trout,  the native top predator. The
    FCOs include endpoints for sea lampreys of varying
    specificity:
    Superior (1990) - 50% reduction in parasitic-phase sea
    lamprey abundance by 2000, and a 90% reduction by
    2010;
    Michigan (1995) - Suppress the sea lamprey to allow the
    achievement of other fish-community objectives;
    Huron (1995) - 75% reduction in parasitic sea lamprey by
    the year 2000 and a 90% reduction by the year 2010 from
    Erie (1999 draft) - Sea lamprey are a pest species requiring
    control;
    Ontario (1999) - Suppress sea lamprey to early-1990s levels,
    and maintaining marking rates at <. 02 marks/lake trout.

    State of the Ecosystem
    The first complete round of stream treatments with the
    lampricide TFM resulted in early success in most all of
    the Great Lakes. Measures of spawning-phase
    populations showed a reduction to less than 10% of their
    pre-control abundance in Lakes Superior, Michigan,
    Huron, Erie, and Ontario.

    The numbers of sea lamprey migrating up rivers to spawn
    provides an indicator of the abundance of parasites
    feeding in the lakes during the previous year. Estimates
    of individual spawning runs are used to estimate lake-
    wide abundance from a new regression model that relates
                       run size to stream characteristics.  Figure 1 presents
                       these lake-wide estimates for the past 20 years.

                       Lake Superior:  During the past 20 years, populations
                       have fluctuated but remain at levels less than 10% of peak
                       abundance.  The FCO for sea lampreys was met in 1994
                       and 1995, but abundance has increased since 1995-
                       Recent increased abundance estimates have raised concern
                       in all waters. Marking rates have not shown the same
                       relatively large increase except in some areas of Canadian
                       waters.  Survival objectives for lake trout continue to be
                       met but may be threatened if these increases persist.

                       Lake Michigan: Over the majority of the lake,
                       populations have been relatively stable. Marking rates on
                       lake trout have  remained low for the period and the
                       general FCOs are being met. However, a gradual increase
                       in the lake population is continuing through the present.
                       This change is due to increases in the north caused by an
                       expansion of the large population in Lake Huron into
                       Lake Michigan.

                       Lake Huron: Following the success of the first full round
                       of stream treatments during the late 1960s, sea lamprey
                       populations were suppressed to low levels (<10%)
                       through the 1970s. During the early 1980s, populations
                       increased in Lake Huron, particularly the north. This
                       increase continued through to a peak in abundance
                       during 1993- Through the 1990s Lake Huron contained
                       more sea lamprey than all the other lakes combined.
                       FCOs were not being achieved. The Lake Huron Com-
                       mittee had to abandon its lake trout restoration objective
                       in the northern portion of the lake during 1995 because
                       so few lake trout were surviving attacks by sea lamprey to
                       survive to maturity. The St. Marys Pviver was identified
                       as the source of this increase. The size of this connecting
                       channel made traditional treatment with the lampricide
                       TFM impractical. A new integrated control strategy
                       including targeted application of a new bottom-release
                       lampricide, enhanced trapping of spawning animals, and
                       sterile-male release was initiated in 1997- A decline in
                       spawning-phase abundance is predicted for 2001 as a
                       result of the completion of the first full round of
                       lampricide spot treatments during 1999-

                       Lake Erie: Following the completion of the first full
                       round of stream treatments in 1987, sea lamprey
                       populations collapsed. Lake trout survival wounding
10
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500,000 |
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
e
0
a
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
c
c
c
500,000 -
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
c
a
a
100,000 -,
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
e
0
a
500,000 -
400,000
300,000
200,000 -
100,000 i
0
c
01
0
Figure 1.
Superior

JL
'V-^^V
) 00 00 00 00 O) O) O)
> 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0) 0)

Michigan


^— , XX—. ^x — ^^
9 00 00 00 00 0> O) O)
1) O) 0> O) O) O) O) O)




w
0> 0>
0> 0>




-^^
0> 0>
0> 0>
Huron yi
^/^v^/w^
CM *±  o>
o> o>
Erie*
) 00 00 00 00 O) O) O)
> O) O) O) O) O) O) O)
0> 0>
0> 0>
Ontario
•^^-^__
1 00 00 00 00 O) O) O)
i O) O) O) O) O) O) O)
0> 0>
0> 0>
Total annual abundance of sea
lamprey estimated during the spawning
migration. Note the scale for Lake
1/5 larger than the other lakes.
Erie is

                                                                                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                                                                 rates declined and survival increased to levels sufficient to
                                                                 meet the rehabilitation objectives in the eastern basin.
                                                                 However lamprey abundance has increased since the early
                                                                 1990's to levels that threaten the lake trout success. A
                                                                 major assessment effort during 1998 indicated that the
                                                                 source of this increase were several streams in which
                                                                 treatments had been deferred due to low water flows or
                                                                 concerns for non-target organisms.  These critical streams
                                                                 have been treated during 1999 and 2000 and sea lamprey
                                                                 abundance is predicted to decline by 2002.

                                                                 Lake Ontario: Abundance of spawning-phase sea lam-
                                                                 preys has continued to decline to low levels through the
                                                                 1990s.  The FCOs for both sea lamprey abundance and
                                                                 lake trout marking  continue to be achieved.

                                                                 Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
                                                                 Since parasitic-phase sea lampreys are at the top of the
                                                                 aquatic food chain and inflict high mortality on large
                                                                 piscivores, population control is  essential for healthy fish
                                                                 communities.  As water quality  improves so does the
                                                                 potential for sea lampreys to colonize new locations.
                                                                 Increasing abundance in Lake Erie demonstrates how
                                                                 short lapses in control can result  in rapid increases of
                                                                 abundance and that continued effective stream treatments
                                                                 are necessary to overcome the reproductive potential of
                                                                 this invading species.

                                                                 As fish communities recover from the effects of lamprey
                                                                 predation or overfishing, there is evidence that the
                                                                 survival of parasitic sea lampreys increases due to prey
                                                                 availability.  Better survival means that there are more
                                                                 residual sea lamprey to cause harm.  Significant additional
                                                                 control efforts, like those on  the St. Marys River, may be
                                                                 necessary to maintain suppression.

                                                                 The GLFC has a goal of reducing reliance on lampricides
                                                                 and increasing efforts to integrate other  control tech-
                                                                 niques, such as the sterile-male-release-technique or the
                                                                 installation of barriers to stop the upstream migration of
                                                                 adults.  This philosophy is consistent with sound prac-
                                                                 tices of integrated pest management, but can put addi-
                                                                 tional pressures on  the ecosystem such as limiting the
                                                                 passage offish upstream of barriers.  Care must be taken
                                                                 in applying new alternatives or in reducing lampricide use
                                                                 to not allow sea lamprey abundance to increase.

                                                                 Future Actions
                                                                 The GLFC continues to focus on research and develop-
                                                                 ment of alternative control strategies including new meth-
                                                                      J                       o          o
                                                                 ods like the use ofpheromones to disrupt migration and
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
   spawning. Computer models, driven by empirical data, are
   being used to best allocate treatment resources, and research
   is being conducted to better understand the variability in
   sea lamprey population.

   Further Work Necessary
   Targeted lampricide treatments are predicted to reduce
   sea lamprey to acceptable levels in Lakes Huron and Erie.
   The sources of increases in Lake Superior need to be
   identified and dealt with.  Continuing improvements in
   monitoring sea lamprey populations will ensure control is
   applied  where it is most needed. In addition, research to
   better understand lamprey/prey interactions, the popula-
   tion dynamics of lampreys that survive control actions,
   and refinement alternative methods are all key to main-
   taining sea lamprey at tolerable levels.

   Acknowledgments
   Author: Gavin Christie, Great Lakes Fishery Commis-
   sion, Ann Arbor, MI.
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Native Unionid Mussels
    SOLEC Indicator #68
                                                                                      "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Purpose
    Unionids are of unique ecological value, functioning as
    natural biological filters, providing food for fish and
    wildlife, and indicators of good water quality. As our
    largest freshwater invertebrate, they are key players in the
    movement of organic and inorganic particulate matter
    between the water column and the sediment. Unionid
    mussels are long-lived, relatively sedentary animals, which
    are highly sensitive to habitat degradation, organic,
    inorganic, and metal pollutants, and bio fouling by zebra
    mussels. Thus, unionid distribution and abundance
    patterns provide a rapid assessment tool indicating the
    general health of the aquatic ecosystem. Since native
    mussel shell have historically formed the backbone of
    museum invertebrate collections, more historical data
    exists for freshwater unionids than for any other group of
    aquatic invertebrates, with many records available from
    even before the 1860's.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The ultimate goal is to  identify, protect and enhance
    critical unionid populations and key habitats to ensure
    the future survival of these animals, particularly the
    endangered and threatened species in the Great Lakes,
    their tributaries and connecting channels. This goal
    relates to the IJC Desired Outcome 6: Biological com-
    munity integrity and diversity. The diversity  of native
    invertebrate fauna should be maintained in order to
    stabilize ecosystem habitats throughout the Great Lakes
    drainage basin.

    A number of federal-and state/province listed species are
    found in the Great Lakes within both Canadian and
    United States jurisdictions. In Canada, the northern
    riffleshell (Epioblasma torulosa rangiana), rayed bean
    (Villosa fab alls), and the wavy-rayed lampmussel
    (Lampsilisfasciola) have been designated as federally
    endangered and the first two species are provincially
    endangered (L.fasciolawas designated as threatened in
    Ontario).The mudpuppy mussel (Simpsonaias
    ambigua)and the snuffbox (Epioblasma triquetra)a.K under
    evaluation and will likely be designated as endangered in
    2001. In the United States, a number of mussels are state
    and federally listed within the Great Lakes watershed,
    including the clubshell  (Pleurobema clava), fat pocketbook
    (Potamilus capax), northern riffleshell (E.  torulosa
    rangiana), and the white catspaw (Epioblasma obliquata
    perobliqua).
State of the Ecosystem
Unionid mussels are the most endangered animals in
North America. Approximately 70% of all North Ameri-
can species are state/province or federally listed as endan-
gered or threatened.  Most unionid populations in the
Great Lakes and associated watersheds have declined as a
result of decades of habitat alteration such as dredging,
urbanization, increased sedimentation, shoreline
armoring, changes in fish distribution, and the in action
of chemical pollutants in the water column and
sediments.

The introduction of zebra mussels into the Great Lakes
has led to  the rapid extirpation of unionids in many
areas. Unionid species diversity and density has severely
declined in the open waters of Lake Erie, the Detroit
River, and Lake St. Clair since the arrival of zebra
mussels in the mid-1980s. Densities have dropped from
an average of 16 individuals/square meter to  less than 1
(Figure 1). Many sites contain no live unionids at all.
Unionid mortality results both from biofouling and food
resource competition and drastic declines in populations
often occur within two years of the initial dreissenid
invasion.

While unionids have been extirpated in many areas due
to zebra mussel induced mortality, some remnant
populations have survived in certain habitats. Healthy
and diverse communities were recently discovered in lake
Erie in nearshore areas with firm substrates (Schloesser et
al. 1997),  in soft sediments associated with coastal
marshes (Nichols and Amberg 1999), and in a coastal
marsh in the St. Clair River delta (Mackie et al. 2000).
The protective mechanisms in these shallow lake zones
vary. In wetland areas, unionids often escape  extirpation
by burrowing in the soft sediments and suffocating
biofouling zebra mussels. Wave action may also play a key
role in preventing permanent zebra mussel colonization.

Since zebra mussels have a planktonic larval stage (veliger)
which requires an average of 20-30 days to develop into a
benthic stage, rivers and streams have limited coloniza-
tion potential. Such areas can provide natural refugia to
unionid populations. Regulated streams and  rivers, those
containing reservoirs, may not provide refugia.  Reser-
voirs with water retention times great than 20-30 days
will allow  veligers to develop and settle, after which the
impounded populations will seed downstream reaches on
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                                            1961
                                                                                          1972
                                                 • 14
                                              1982
                            1991
    Figure 1. Abundance of freshwater mussels (numbers/m2) collected in 1961, 1972, 1982 and 1991 from 17 sites in the
    western basin of Lake Erie.
    Source: Nalepa et al. (1991) and Schloesser and Nalepa (1994).
   an annual basis.  It is vital to prevent the introduction of
   zebra mussels into these reservoirs.

   Future Pressures
   Zebra mussel expansion is the main threat facing
   unionids in the Great Lakes drainage basin. Zebra
   mussels are now found in all the Great Lakes, and in
   many associated water bodies. As of the year 2000, 180
   inland lakes in the region were known to be colonized by
   zebra mussels. Most of these infested lakes, 130,are
   located in Michigan. Other exotics may also negatively
   affect unionid survival through the reduction of native
   fish fauna. Unionid reproductive cycles contain a para-
   sitic larval stage requiring specific fish hosts.  Exotic fish
   such as the European ruffe and the round goby are known
   to totally displace native fish, thus causing the functional
   extinction of local unionid populations.
Continuing changes in land-use, with increasing urban
sprawl, development of factory farms, and elevated use of
herbicides to remove aquatic vegetation from lakes for
recreational purposes will continue to have a negative
impact on unionid populations in the future.

Future Activities
Unionid populations need to be self-sustaining wherever
practical throughout their historic range in the Great
Lakes, and associated major riverine habitats, including
the connecting channels.

1.   The first activity needed is to prevent the further
    introduction of exotic species into the Great Lakes.

2.   The second critical activity is to prevent the further
    inland expansion of exotic species such as zebra
                                        SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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        mussels, European ruffe, and round gobies. Over-
        land expansion of these exotics can be minimized
        through greater emphasis on education of water user
        groups.

    Future Work Necessary
    1.   Review and compile information on existing surveys
        of all watersheds.
    2.   Determine the present distribution and abundance of
        unionid populations in key watersheds using stand-
        ardized sampling techniques.
    3-   Target known populations of endangered and threat-
        ened species for inventory, habitat analysis, and yearly
        monitoring of habitat changes.
    4.   Existing unionid refugia found in zebra mussel areas
        need to be documented and protected from future
        disturbance.
    5.   Legislative and educational efforts throughout
        Canada and the United States need to be imple-
        mented to protect river systems from zebra mussel
        colonization in order to protect critical unionid
        populations that might be key to future restoration
        efforts. Without self-sustaining river populations,
        reestablishing lake populations will not be possible.
    6.   Consolidate in an easily accessible format databases
        on unionid distribution and abundance. Such
        information can be gleaned from various museum
        collections as demonstrated by the work done on the
        Canadian side of the lower Great Lakes basin. This
        data needs to be centralized, electronically accessible,
        and GPS integrated to maximize its usability as a
        management and environmental assessment tool to
        resource managers and regulatory agencies. Once the
        database has been collated, habitat-specific popula-
        tion models can be developed to  determine popula-
        tion health, reproductive output, and species-richness
        within various watersheds leading to the develop-
        ment of criteria to assess habitat  and population
        status.
    7-   Standardize sampling efforts and measures.  Several
        different methods are used for surveying unionid
        populations. These methods need to be standardized
        and a consistent protocol developed. Such standardi-
        zation is already under discussion by the Freshwater
        Mollusk Conservation Society. Their protocols
        should be considered for recommendation and
        implementation. Use of non-lethal methods for
        determining the health status of unionids, such as the
        use of glycogen levels, or other physiological analyses,
        needs to be recommended.
                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
Sources
Naimo T, E. Damschen, R. Rada, E. Monroe. 1998.
Nonlethal evaluation of the physiological health of
unionid mussels: methods for biopsy and glycogen
analysis.  Journal of the North American Benthological
Society. 17(1):121-128.

Mackie G, D. Zanatta, J. Smith, J. Di Male, S. Seton.
2000. Toward developing strategies for re-habilitating/re-
establishing Unionidae populations in southwestern
Ontario. Report for National Water Research Institute,
Canada Centre for Inland Waters, Burlington, Ontario,
Canada.  136pp.

NalepaT, B. Manny, J. Roth, S. Mozley, D. Schloesser.
1991 Long-term decline in freshwater mussels (Bivalvia:
Unionidae) of the western basin of Lake Erie. Journal of
Great Lakes Research. 17(2):2l4-219-

Nichols S., and J. Amberg. 1999- Co-existence of zebra
mussels and freshwater unionids; population dynamics of
Leptodea fragilis in a coastal wetland infested with zebra
mussels.  Canadian Journal of Zoology. 77(3):423-432.

Schloesser D. andT Nalepa.  1994. Dramatic decline of
unionid bivalves in offshore waters of western Lake Erie
after infestation by the zebra mussel, Dreissena
polymorpha.  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences. 51(10):2234-2242.

Schloesser D., R. Smithee, G. Longton, and W Kovalak.
1997- Zebra mussel induced mortality of unionids in
firm substrata of western Lake Erie and a habitat for
survival.  American Malacological Bulleting 14:67-74.

Acknowledgements
Authors: S. Jerrine Nichols, USGS Great Lakes Science
Centre, Ann Arbor, MI and Janice Smith, Environment
Canada,  Burlington, ON.
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 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    Lake Trout [and Scud (Diporeia hoy/)]
    SOLEC Indicator #93
    Purpose
    This indicator will track the status and trends in lake
    trout and it will be used to infer the basic structure of
    cold water predator and prey communities, and the
    general health of the ecosystem. Lake trout historically
    were the principal salmonine predator in all the Great
    Lakes, and maintained predatory control on native and
    introduced prey fishes.  Populations in all the Great
    Lakes, with the exception of Lake Erie, supported large
    food- and sport fisheries, that were integral to the
    economies of lake-shore communities. By the late 1950s,
    sea lamprey predation and overfishing extirpated lake
    trout throughout most  of the Great Lakes with remnant
    stocks in Lake Superior, and a few sites in Lake Huron
    surviving.  Intensive management through control of
    fisheries, reductions in sea lamprey, and stocking of
    hatchery-reared fish have restored standing stocks in all
    the  Great Lakes. Full restoration will not be achieved
    until natural reproduction is established and maintained,
    and to date only Lake Superior has that distinction.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Self-sustainability through the establishment of naturally
    reproducing populations the goal of the lake trout
    restoration program in  all the Great Lakes. Target fishery
    yields based on natural reproduction are articulated for
    each lake, except Lake Ontario. These approximate
    historical production or lower yields that recognize and
    accommodate stocked and naturalized non-native
    salmonines.  These targets are 4 million pounds from
    Lake Superior, 2.5 million pounds from Lake Michigan,
    2 millions pounds from Lake Huron, and 110,000 Ibs
    from Lake Erie.  Lake Ontario has no specified fishery
    yield, but instead states an interim  objective of 0.5-1.0
    million adult fish with females 7-5 years old and able to
    produce 100,000 yearling recruits annually through
    natural reproduction. Regulatory controls on the fisheries
    generally preclude measures to attainment yield
    objectives, even in Lake Superior were self-sustaining
    populations predominate. Interagency cooperative stock
    assessment programs are carried out annually in each lake
    to measure changes in relative abundance, size and age
    structure, survival, and  extent of natural reproduction.
    The measures are just now being compared to historical
    surrogate measures were possible to gauge the extent  of
    restoration, especially in Lakes Michigan and Superior.
                        State of the Ecosystem
                        Lake trout stock sizes have dramatically increased in all
                        the Great Lakes shortly after the initiation of sea lamprey
                        control, stocking, and harvest control. Natural
                        reproduction is now wide spread in Lake Superior, for
                        both nearshore and offshore stocks, and stocking has
                        been discontinued throughout most of the lake.
                        Densities of wild fish have exceeded that of hatchery-
                        reared fish since the mid 1980s.  Recent comparisons
                        with historical data indicate that lake trout densities are
                        now at or exceed those measured during 1929-43 (the
                        pre-lamprey period).  Unfortunately natural reproduction
                        is at very low levels or non-existent in the rest of the
                        Great Lakes, therefore populations in these waters are
                        maintained solely by stocking. Populations there are
                        large enough to support tightly regulated sport and
                        commercial fisheries.

                        Potential Limitations to Restoration
                        Several potential causes for the lack of natural
                        reproduction have been proposed. Predation on newly
                        hatched lake trout larvae by native and non-native
                        predators is thought to prevent significant recruitment,
                        especially in Lakes Michigan,  Erie, and Ontario. In Lake
                        Huron, excessive sea lamprey predation results in few fish
                        reaching sexual maturity, hence there are inadequate
                        parental stock sizes. Hatchery-reared  fish appear unable
                        to select suitable substrate  for egg deposition, and recent
                        evidence from Lake Superior suggests that these fish are
                        50% less reproductively efficient compared to wild lake
                        trout. Historically, many morphotypes were present that
                        were uniquely adapted to specific habitats. That genetic
                        diversity is lacking in the strains of hatchery-reared fish
                        stocked, and may be contributing to the lack of
                        colonization of certain areas.  Early mortality syndrome
                        (EMS) has been identified as a significant bottleneck to
                        lake trout restoration. EMS of larvae though to be due
                        to thiamine deficiencies as the result of the parental diet
                        of alewives, which contain thaiminase, a thiamine-
                        degrading enzyme.

                        Future Actions
                        Because of the uncertainty of the bottlenecks to
                        reproduction, several research priorities have been
                        identified (Eshenroder et al. 1999). These include 1)
                        Evaluate the performance of stocking  early-life history
                        stages of lake  trout as imprinting to natal areas likely
                        occurs sometime between the egg and fry stage; 2)
16
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                                                                                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Promote the reintroduction
    of a full range of Great Lakes
    phenotypes (principally
    found only in Lake
    Superior), and assess their
    reproductive performance; 3)
    Develop a predictive model
    for thiamine/thiaminase
    transfer between forage fishes
    and lake trout; 4) Determine
    how fetch, water depth, and
    interstitial depth interact to
    limit survival of lake trout
    embryos; and 5) Assess
    biotic effects of predation in
    fish communities altered by
    exotics, and unbalanced
    predator/prey ratios.

    Sources
    Eshenroder, R. L., Peck, J.
    W. , and Olver, C. H. 1999-
    Research priorities for lake
    trout rehabilitation in the
    Great Lakes: a 15-year
    retrospective. Great Lakes
    Fish. Comm. Tech. Rp. 64.

    Acknowledgments
    Author: Charles Bronte,
    U.S. Fish and Wildlife
    Service, Green Bay, WI
    Contributions by James
    Bence, Michigan State
    University, East Lansing,
    MI, Donald Einhouse, New
    York Department of
    Environmental
    Conservation, Dunkirk, NY,
    and Robert O'Gorman, U.S.
    Geological Survey, Oswego,
    NY.
C
.g
1,
(f>
J§
E
g
CD
 LO
 CD
 O)
 CO
 A
                                 Lake Superior
                                                       Hatchery-reared
       1984
       35  -
       30  -
       25  -
       20  -
       15  -
       10  -
           \
         5  -
         0
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
                 1970
                           1975
                                     1980      1985
                                     Lake Erie
                                                         1990
                                                                   1995
                                        1992      1994
                                    Lake Ontario
                                            1996
                                              1998
                                             1980    1982    1984    1986
                                                                         1988    1990
                                                                              Year
                                                                                       1992    1994    1996
                                                                                                            1998
                                   Figure 1.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                                                  17

-------
 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    [Lake Trout and] Scud (Diporeia hoyt)
    SOLEC Indicator #93
    Purpose
    This indicator provides a measure of the biological
    integrity of the offshore regions of the Great Lakes and
    consists of assessing the abundance of the  benthic
    macro invertebrate Diporeia.  This glacial-marine relict
    is the most abundant benthic organism in cold,
    offshore regions (> 30 m) of each of the lakes.  It is
    present, but less abundant  in nearshore regions of the
    open lake basins, and is naturally absent from shallow,
    warm bays, basins, and river mouths.  Diporeia occurs
    in the  upper  few centimeters of bottom sediment and
    feeds on algal material that freshly settles  to the
    bottom from  the water column (i.e. mostly diatoms).  In
    turn, it is fed  upon by most all species offish. In par-
    ticular, Diporeia is fed upon by many forage fish species,
    and these species serve as prey for the larger piscivores
    such as trout and salmon. For example, sculpin feed
    almost  exclusively upon Diporeia, and sculpin are fed
    upon by lake  trout. Thus, Diporeia is an important
    pathway by which energy is  cycled through the ecosys-
    tem, and a key component in the food web of offshore
    regions. The  importance of this organism is recognized
    in the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (Supple-
    ment to Annex 1 — Specific  Objectives).

    Ecosystem Objective
    The ecosystem goal is to maintain a healthy, stable
    population of Diporeia in offshore regions of the main
    basins of the Great Lakes, and to maintain at least a
    presence in nearshore regions. On a broad scale, abun-
    dances  are directly related to the amount of food settling
    to the bottom, and population trends reflect the overall
    productivity of the ecosystem. Abundances can also vary
    somewhat relative to shifts in predation pressure from
    changing fish populations. In nearshore regions, this
    species is sensitive to local sources of pollution.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Populations of Diporeia are currently in the state of
    dramatic decline in portions of Lakes Michigan,
    Ontario, and eastern Lake  Erie.  Populations appear to
    be stable in Lake Superior, while data are currently not
    available to assess long-term trends in Lake Huron. In
    the first three Lakes, abundances have decreased in both
    nearshore and offshore areas over the past 10 years, and
    large areas are now nearly devoid of this organism. Areas
    where Diporeia is known to  be rare or absent include the
    southeastern portion of Lake Michigan from Chicago to
                        Grand Haven at water depths < 70 m (Figure 1), all of
                        Lake Ontario at depths < 70 m except for some areas
                        along the northern shoreline, and all of the eastern basin
                        of Lake Erie.  In other areas of Lakes Michigan and
                        Ontario, Diporeia is still present, but abundances have
                        decreased by one-half or more.  Spatial patterns of these
                        declines coincided with the introduction and rapid spread
                        of the zebra mussel, Dreissenapolymorpha, and the quagga
                        mussel, Dreissena bugensis. These species were introduced
                        into the Great Lakes in the late 1980s via the ballast
                        water of ocean-going ships. Reasons for the negative
                        response of Diporeia to these mussel species are not
                        entirely clear. At least one initial hypothesis was that
                        dreissenid mussels were outcompeting Diporeia for
                        available food. That is, large mussel populations were
                        filtering food material before it reached the bottom,
                        thereby decreasing amounts available to Diporeia.  More
                        recent evidence suggests that the reason for the decline is
                        more complex than a simple decline in food: \) Diporeia
                        is completely absent from areas where food is still settling
                        to the bottom and there are no local populations of
                        mussels; 2) the physiological condition of individual
                        animals show no sign of food deprivation even though
                        population numbers are decreasing; 3) rates of decline are
                        greatest in depositional areas; these are areas with the
                        highest amounts of settling food.

                        Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
                        As populations of dreissenid mussels continue to expand,
                        it may be expected that populations of Diporeia will
                        continue to decline. In the open lakes, mussels  tend to
                        be most abundant at water depths of 30-50 m.  This is
                        the same depth interval where Diporeia has historically
                        been most abundant, and forage fish populations are at
                        their highest.

                        Future Actions
                        Because of its key role in the food web of offshore
                        regions of the Great Lakes, trends in Diporeia
                        populations should be closely monitored. In particular,
                        efforts should be made to document the continued
                        decline in Lakes Michigan and Ontario, and to assess the
                        status of the population in Lake Huron.  Continued
                        monitoring will not only provide information on the
                        extent of the decline, but also provide a better under-
                        standing of linkages to dreissenid populations. In
                        addition, impacts on  the offshore food web need to be
                        further examined. While recent evidence suggests that
18
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    fish species most dependent upon Diporeia as a food
    source are affected directly, secondary impacts on other,
    alternate prey items and other fish species are a real
    possibility.

    Further Work Necessary
    Because of the rapid rate at which Diporeia is declining
    and its significance to the food web, agencies committed
    to documenting trends should report data in a timely
                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

manner. The population decline has a defined natural
pattern, and studies of food web impacts should be
spatially well coordinated.

Acknowledgments
Author: Thomas Nalepa, National Oceanic and Atmos-
pheric Administration, GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI.
                                           Diporeia
                                          uskeqon
                                         ..Grand Hav&n
                                           .ugatuck
            Waukegan
                                         South Haven
                                       St. Jos&ph
               Chicago A*
                                 Michigan City
                                                        12     15
                                   Density (No. m* x103)

      Figure 1. Density (no. m~2 x 103) of Diporeia in the southern basin of Lake Michigan
      between 1980 and 1998. Note recent declines in the southeastern portion of the basin.
      (Source: Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, NOAA)
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     19

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 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    Deformities, Eroded Fins, Lesions and Tumours (DELT) in Nearshore Fish
    SOLEC Indicator #101
    Purpose
    This indicator (101)  will assess the prevalence of
    external anomalies in nearshore fish.  It will be used to
    infer areas where fish are exposed to contaminated
    sediments within the Great Lakes.  The presence of
    contaminated sediments at Areas of Concern  (AOCs)
    has  been correlated with an increased  incidence of
    anomalies in  benthic fish species (brown  bullhead and
    white suckers), that may be associated with specific
    families of chemicals.

    Ecosystem Objective
    As a result of clean-up  efforts some AOCs that histori-
    cally have had a high incidence offish with  external
    anomalies currently, now show fewer abnormalities.
    Using an index based on prevalence of external anomalies
    will help identify nearshore areas that have populations of
    benthic fish exposed to contaminated sediments, and will
    help assess the recovery of AOCs following remediation.
    Thus the objective is to help restoration and protection
    of beneficial uses in Areas of Concern or in open lake
    waters, including beneficial use (iv) Fish tumors or other
    deformities (GLWQA, Annex 2). This indicator
    also supports Annex 12 of the GLWQA.
    State of the Ecosystem
    Elevated incidence of liver tumors (histopathologi-
    cally verified neoplastic growths) were frequently
    identified during the past two decades. These
    elevated frequencies of liver tumors have been shown
    to be useful indicators of beneficial use impairment
    of Great Lakes aquatic habitat. External raised
    growths (sometime as histopathologicaly verified
    tumors on the body or lips), such as papillomas,
    may also be useful as an indicator. Field and labora-
    tory studies have correlated chemical carcinogens
    found in sediments at some AOCs in Lakes Erie,
    Michigan, and Huron with an elevated incidence of
    liver and external tumors.  Other external anomalies
    may also be used  to assess beneficial use impairment;
    however, they must be carefully evaluated. An
    external lesion index will provide a tool for follow-
    ing trends in fish  population health that can be
    easily used by resource managers or by community-
    based monitoring programs.
                       a metric for the Index of Biological Integrity (IBI) and
                       has been successfully used for inland waters (Sanders et al
                       1999). All species offish  are used to compile the DELT
                       index, not just benthic species or mature fish. Although
                       the DELT index looks at the entire fish community, its
                       inclusion of all species and age groups lessens its discrimi-
                       natory power in distinguishing among levels of contami-
                       nant exposure in fish from various tributaries .

                       ELF Index — The  external lesion frequency (ELF)
                       index is being developed as  a single species, mature
                       fish estimate  of contaminant exposure.  Brown
                       bullhead  have been used  to  develop the index, since
                       they are the most frequently used  benthic  indicator
                       species in the southern Great Lakes and they have
                       been recommended by the IJC as the key indicator
                       species (IJC 1989).   The most  common external
                       anomalies found in bullhead over the last twenty years
                       (Figure 1) are raised Growths (RG on the body  (B)  or
                       lips (L) — often called tumors), focal discoloration
                       (FD, called melanistic spots), and stubbed or shortened/
                       missing barbels (SB).
                                                                  Lake Erie - External Anomalies
                Figure 1. External anomalies on brown bullhead collected from
                1980s through 2000. DF- deformities, FN-fm erosion, LE-
                lesions, RG-B-raised growth-body, SB-stubbed barbell, FD-focal
                discoloration, and RG-L — raised growth-lip.
    DELT Index — The deformities, eroded fins, lesions,
    and tumors (DELT) index (Ohio EPA) was developed as
                       Using some of these external anomalies we have recently
                       examined bullhead populations in several Lake Erie
                       contaminated tributaries and a reference site. Knobbed
2o
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    barbels have not been as consistently reported in the
    historical database, but also appears to be a useful param-
    eter. Preliminary findings indicate that single anomalies
    occurring at >0.4 per fish or multiple anomalies occurring
    at greater than O.8 per fish would indicate possible
    impairment (Figure 2). More research is needed to define
    this index and demonstrate correlation to the exposure
    levels offish populations to contaminants.

    Future Pressures
    As the Great Lakes AOCs and the tributaries may con-
    tinue to remain in a degraded condition, exposure of the
    fish populations to contaminated sediments will continue
    to cause elevated incidence of external anomalies.

    Future Activities
    Additional remediation to clean-up contaminated
    sediments will help to reduce rates of external anomalies.
    The external anomalies index, particularly for bullheads
    and white suckers, will help  follow trends in fish health to
    help address any current AOCs that may be eligible for
    delisting. (IJC Delisting criteria, see IJC 1996)

    Future Work Necessary
    The single benthic species indicator has the potential in
    defining habitats that are heavily polluted. Joint U.S.-
    Canada studies over a gradient of polluted to pristine
    Great Lakes habitats using standardized methodology to
    design an external survey for both bullhead and white
    sucker would help create a common index useful as an
                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
indicator of ecosystem health.

Sources
This indicator was prepared using information from:
Edsall, T, and M. Charlton. 1997- Nearshore waters
of the Great Lakes.  State of the Lakes Ecosystem
Conference '96 Background Paper.  ISBN 0-662-
26031-7-

International Joint Commission. 1989- Guidance on
characterization of toxic substances problems in areas of
concern in the Great Lakes Basin. Report of the Great
Lakes Water Quality Board. Windsor, ON, Canada.

International Joint Commission. 1996. Indicators to
evaluate progress under the Great Lakes Water Quality
Agreement.  Indicators for Evaluation Task Force.
ISBN 1-895058-85-3-

Sanders, R.E., R.T. Miltner, C.O Yoder, and E.T
Rankin. 1999- The use of external deformities, erosion,
lesion, and tumors (DELT anomalies) in fish assem-
blages for characterizing aquatic resources: a case study
if seven Ohio streams. In: Assessing the Sustainability
and Biological Integrity of Water Resources using Fish
Communities. CRC Press. 225-246.

Acknowledgements
Authors: Stephen B. Smith, US Geological Survey,
Biological Resources Division,  Reston, VA, and Paul C.
                               Baumann, US Geo-
                               logical Survey, Biologi-
                               cal Resources Divi-
                               sion, Columbus, OH.
Brown Bullhead Abnormalities per Fish


5*
c
3 1.5
LJ_
1




1
rrfl
ill £in ^
























EL

• KB
GSB

E E § 8 iS K 1
1 1 g" g" * & 1
2 I ° ° 3 ° f
Site:Year
Figure 2. External lesion frequency for brown bullheads in Lake Erie, 1999-2000. OWC-Old
Woman Creek-reference, Guy- Cuyahoga River. RG-raised growth, KB-knobbed barbells, SB-
stubbed barbels.
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 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    Phytoplankton Populations
    SOLEC Indicator #109
    Purpose
    This indicator involves the direct measurement of
    phytoplankton species composition, biomass,  and
    primary productivity in the Great Lakes, and  indi-
    rectly assesses the impact  of nutrient/contaminant
    enrichment and invasive exotic predators on the
    microbial food-web of the Great Lakes.  It assumes
    that phytoplankton populations respond in tractable,
    quantifiable ways  to anthropogenic inputs  of both
    nutrients and contaminants.  Therefore, inferences can
    be made about system perturbations through  the
    assessment of phytoplankton community size  and
    structure and productivity.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Desired objectives are phytoplankton biomass size and
    structure indicative of oligotrophic conditions (i.e. a
    state of low biological  productivity, as is generally
    found in the cold open waters of large lakes) for Lakes
    Superior, Huron and Michigan; and of mesotrophic
    conditions for  Lakes Erie and Ontario.  In addition,
    algal biomass should be maintained below  that of a
    nuisance condition in Lakes Erie and Ontario, and in
    bays and in other areas wherever they occur. There are
    currently no guidelines in place to  define what criteria
    should be used to  assess whether or not these  desired
    states  have been achieved.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Given the substantial gaps in existing data, trends in
    phytoplankton biomass and community composition
    can only be assessed with  caution.  Records for the
    three basins of Lake Erie suggest that substantial
    reductions in summer phytoplankton standing crops
    occurred in the late 1980's in  the  eastern  basin, and in
    the early 1990's for the central and western basins.
    The considerable  variability of the data, however,
    preclude assessments of potential changes in commu-
    nity composition.  In general, phytoplankton
    biovolume in Lake Michigan was lower in the 1990s
    than in the 1980's, though again  considerable
    interannual variability and gaps in  the data preclude
    definitive conclusions.  The timing of these declines  in
    phytoplankton biomass suggest  the possible impact of
    zebra mussles in Lake Erie, and perhaps also Lake
    Michigan.  No trends  are apparent in phytoplankton
    biovolume in Lakes Huron or Ontario; while only a
    single year of data exists for Lake Superior.  Data on
                       primary productivity is no longer being collected.

                       No assessment of "ecosystem health" is currently
                       possible on the basis of phytoplankton community
                       data,  since reference criteria and endpoints have yet to
                       be developed.

                       Future  Pressures on the Ecosystem
                       The two most important potential sources of future
                       pressures on the phytoplankton community are
                       changes in nutrient loadings and  continued introduc-
                       tions/expansions of exotic species.   Increases in nutri-
                       ents can be expected to  result in increases in primary
                       productivity, which is not currently being measured,
                       and possibly also in increases in phytoplankton
                       biomass.  In addition, increases in phosphorus concen-
                       trations might result in  shifts in phytoplankton
                       community composition away from diatoms and
                       towards other taxa.  Continued expansion of zebra
                       mussel  populations might be expected to result in
                       reductions in overall phytoplankton biomass, and
                       perhaps also in  a shift in species composition, al-
                       though these potential effects are  not clearly under-
                       stood.  It is unclear what effects, if any, might be
                       brought about by changes in the  zooplankton com-
                       munity.

                       Future  Actions
                       The effects  of increases in nutrient concentrations tend
                       to become apparent in nearshore areas before offshore
                       areas.  The  addition of nearshore monitoring to the
                       existing offshore monitoring program might therefore
                       be advisable.  Given the greater heterogeneity of the
                       nearshore environment,  any such  sampling program
                       would need to be carefully thought out, and an
                       adequate number of sampling  stations included to
                       enable  trends to be discerned.

                       Further Work Necessary
                       A highly detailed record of phytoplankton biomass
                       and community structure has  accumulated,  and
                       continues to be generated, through regular monitoring
                       efforts.  However, a substantial amount of this data is
                       either inaccessible or unusable due to problems with
                       data storage  and processing.  It is  essential that current
                       gaps in the  data be filled where in fact that data exists.

                       In spite of this  database, the interpretation  of this  data
22
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    currently remains problematical. While the use of
    phytoplankton data to assess "ecosystem health" is con-
    ceptually attractive, there is currently no objective,
    quantitative mechanism for doing so. Reliance upon
    literature values for nutrient tolerances or indicator status
    of individual species is not recommended, since the
    unusual physical regime of the Great Lakes makes it likely
    that responses of individual species to their chemical
    environment in the Great Lakes will vary in fundamental
    ways from those in other lakes.  Therefore, there is an
    urgent need for the development of an objective, quanti-
    fiable index specific to the Great Lakes to permit use of
    phytoplankton data in the assessment of "ecosystem
    health".
                   I Near-shore & Open Water Indicators
Acknowledgements
Authors: Richard P. Barbiero, DynCorp I&ET, Alexan-
dria, VA, and Marc L. Tuchman, US Environmental
Protection Agency, Great Lakes National Program Office,
Chicago, IL.
                                                                                        Other
                                                                                        Dinolage Nates
                                                                                        C'jjanophytes
    Figure 1. Trends in phytoplankton biovolume (gm/m3) and community composition in the Great Lakes 1983-1998
    (Summer, Open Lake, Epilimnion)  (Blank indicates no data).
    (Source: Great Lakes National Program Office, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency)
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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

   Phosphorus Concentrations and Loadings
   SOLEC Indicator #111
   Purpose
   This indicator assesses total phosphorus levels in the
   Great Lakes, and it is used to support the evaluation of
   trophic status and food web dynamics in the Great Lakes.
   Phosphorus is an essential element for all organisms and
   is often the limiting factor for aquatic plant growth in
   the Great Lakes. Although phosphorus occurs naturally,
   the historical problems caused by elevated levels have
   originated from man-made sources. Phosphate detergent
   use, sewage treatment plant effluent, agricultural and
   industrial sources have released large amounts into the
   Lakes.

   Ecosystem Objective
   The goals of phosphorus control are to maintain an
   oligotrophic state in Lakes Superior, Huron and Michi-
   gan; to maintain algal biomass below that of a nuisance
   condition in Lakes Erie and Ontario; and to eliminate
   algal nuisance in bays and in other areas wherever they
   occur (GLWQA Annex 3). Maximum annual phosphorus
   loadings to the  Great Lakes that would allow achievement
   of these objectives are listed in the GLWQA.

   The expected concentration of total phosphorus in the
   open waters of each lake, if the maximum annual loads
   are maintained, are listed in the  following table:
   Superior
   Huron
   Michigan
   Erie - Western Basin
   Erie - Central Basin
   Erie - Eastern Basin
   Ontario
Lake Phosphorus Guideline
         Mg/L
          5
          5
          7
         15
         10
         10
         10
   State of the Ecosystem
   Strong efforts begun in the 1970s to reduce phosphorus
   loadings have been successful in maintaining or reducing
   nutrient concentrations in the Lakes, although high
   concentrations still occur locally in some embayments and
   harbours. Phosphorus loads have decreased in part due
   to changes in agricultural practices (e.g., conservation
   tillage and integrated crop management), promotion of
   phosphorus-free detergents, and improvements made to
   sewage treatment plants and sewer systems.
Average concentrations in the open waters of Lakes
Superior, Michigan, Huron, and Ontario are at or below
expected levels. Concentrations in all three basins of
Lake Erie exceed phosphorus guidelines and recent data
suggest an increasing trend (Figure 1). In Lake Erie,
approximately 75% of the stations sampled exceeded the
recommended guideline. In Lakes Ontario and Huron,
although almost all offshore waters meet the desired
guideline, some offshore and nearshore areas and
embayments experience elevated levels (Figure 2) which
could promote nuisance algae growths such as the at-
tached green algae, Cladophora.

Summarizing the information into an indicator is too
subjective until the specifics regarding the metric have
been defined.

Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
The trend toward increasing phosphorus concentrations
in Lake Erie may be an early warning that the  current
control measures are no longer sufficient. Even if current
phosphorus controls are maintained, additional loadings
can be expected. Increasing numbers of people living
along the Lakes will exert increasing demands  on existing
sewage treatment facilities, possibly contributing to
increasing phosphorus loads.

Future Actions
Because of its key role in productivity and food web
dynamics of the Great Lakes, phosphorus concentrations
continue to be watched by environmental and fishery
agencies. Future activities that are likely to be needed
include assessing the capacity and operation of present
and future sewage treatment plants in the context of
increasing human populations being served. Additional
upgrades in construction or operations may be required.

Further Work Necessary
The analysis of phosphorus concentrations in the Great
Lakes is ongoing and reliable.  However, a coordinated
enhanced Great Lakes monitoring program is required
with agreement on specifics such as analytical and field
methodologies, sampling locations, inclusion of nearshore
and embayment sites, determination of the indicator
metric and  its complimentary subjective index.

A binationally coordinated effort to compute phosphorus
loads to the Great Lakes, or at least Lake Erie, is also
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    required. Loading estimates for the Great Lakes have not
    been computed since 1991 in all lakes except Erie, which
    has loadings information up to  1994. An evaluation of
    non-point and point source monitoring programs and the
    adequacy of the resulting data to calculate annual loads by
    source category will be required. Otherwise, the loadings
    component of this SOLEC indicator will remain unre-
    ported, and changes in the different sources of phospho-
    rus to the Lakes may go undetected.
                         "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

     Acknowledgments
     Authors: Scott Painter, Environment Canada, Environ-
     mental Conservation Branch, Burlington, ON, and
     Glenn Warren, US Environmental Protection Agency,
     Great Lakes National Programs Office, Chicago, IL
                                 Superior
Huron
Total Phosphorus Trends
in the Great Lakes
1970 to 2000
                                                                                        Ontario
     Figure 1.  Total Phosphorus Trends in the Great Lakes 1971-2000 (Spring, Open Lake, Surface) (Blank indicates No
     Sampling).
     (Source: Environmental Conservation Branch, Environment Canada and Great Lakes National Program Office, U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency)
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                                                                        •  Pass
                                                                        •  Fail
                                                                   <»--
  Total Phosphorus Concentrations
  compared to Guidelines
  Figure 2. Total phosphorus concentrations in the Great Lakes for the most recent year data were available in each lake.
  (Source: Environmental Conservation Branch, Environment Canada)
                               SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "Novembeir 2ooo)

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    Contaminants in Colonial Nesting Waterbirds
    SOLEC Indicator #115
                                                                                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Purpose
    This indicator will assess current chemical concentration
    levels and trends as well as ecological and physiological
    endpoints in  representative colonial waterbirds (gulls,
    terns, cormorants and/or herons). These features will be
    used to infer and measure the impact of contaminants on
    the health, i.e. the physiology and breeding characteris-
    tics, of the waterbird populations.  This indicator is
    important because colonial waterbirds are the top of the
    aquatic food web predators in the Great Lakes ecosystem
    and they are very visible and well known to the public.
    They bioaccumulate contaminants to the greatest concen-
    tration of any trophic level organism and they breed on
    all the Great Lakes. Thus, they are a very cost efficient
    monitoring system and allow easy inter-lake comparisons.
    The current Herring Gull Egg Monitoring program is the
    longest continuous-running annual wildlife contaminants
    monitoring program in the world (1974-present). It
    determines concentrations of up to 20 organochlorines,
    65 PCB congeners and 53 PCDD and PCDF congeners.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The objective of monitoring colonial waterbirds on the
    Great Lakes is to discover the point when there is no
    difference in contaminant levels and related biological
    endpoints between birds on and off the Great Lakes.
    When colonial waterbirds from the Great Lakes do not
    differ in chemical and biological parameters from birds
    off the Great  Lakes, e.g. birds in northern Saskatchewan
    or the Maritimes, then our clean-up objective will have
    been reached.

    State of the Ecosystem
    The Herring Gull Egg Monitoring Program has provided
    researchers and managers with a powerful tool to evaluate
    change in contaminant concentrations in Great Lakes
    wildlife for more than  25 years. The extreme longevity of
    the egg database makes it possible to calculate temporal
    trends in contaminant concentration in wildlife and to
    look for significant changes within those trends. Con-
    taminant "hot spots" for wildlife have been identified  by
    testing for spatial patterns. The database shows that most
    contaminants in gull eggs have declined  a minimum of
    50% and many have declined more than 90% since the
    program began in 1974. Presently it shows that in more
    than 70% of cases, contaminants levels are decreasing  as
    fast or faster than they did in the past. In less than 20%
    of cases, the rate of decline has slowed in recent years.
Spatially, gull eggs from Lake Ontario and the St. Law-
rence River continue to have the greatest levels of mirex
and dioxin (2,3,7,8 TCDD), those from the upper lakes
have the greatest levels of dieldrin and heptachlor epox-
ide, those from Lake Michigan have the greatest levels of
DDE and those from Lake Michigan and the Detroit
Pviver-Western Lake Erie area have the greatest levels of
PCBs.

In terms of gross ecological effects of contaminants on
colonial waterbirds,  e.g. eggshell thinning, failed repro-
ductive success and population declines, most species
seem to have recovered. Populations of most species have
increased over what  they were 25-30 years ago. Interest-
ingly, Double-crested Cormorants, whose population
levels have increased more than 400-fold, have been
shown  to still be exhibiting some  shell thinning. Al-
though the gross effects appear to have subsided, there
are many other subtle, mostly physiological and genetic
endpoints that are being measured now that were not in
earlier years. For example, porphyrins, retinoids and
germline minisatellite DNA mutations have been found
to correlate with contaminant levels in Herring Gulls.
However, the bottom line is that  the colonial waterbirds
of the Great Lakes are much healthier than they were
during the 1970s.

Future Pressures
Future pressures for this indicator include  all sources of
contaminants which reach the Great Lakes. This includes
those that are already well known, e.g. re-suspension of
sediments, as in western Lake Erie, and atmospheric
inputs, such as PCBs in Lake Superior as well as less
known ones, e.g. underground leaks from landfill sites.

Future Activities
The annual collection and analysis of Herring Gull eggs
from 15 sites on both sides of the Great Lakes and  the
assessment of that species' reproductive success is a
permanent part of the CWS Great Lakes surveillance
activities. Likewise, so is the regular monitoring of
population levels of most of the colonial waterbird
species.; the  plan is to continue these procedures. Re-
search work  on improving and expanding the Herring
Gull Egg Monitoring program is  done on a more oppor-
tunistic, less predictable basis (see below, Further Work
Necessary).
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Further Work Necessary
    We have learned much about interpreting the Herring
    Gull egg contaminants data from associated research
    studies. However, much of this work is done on an
    opportunistic basis, when funds are available. Several
    research activities should be incorporated into routine
    monitoring, e.g. tracking  ofporphyria, vitamin A
    deficiencies and evaluation of the avian immune
    system. Likewise, more research should focus on new
    areas, e.g. the impact of endocrine disrupting sub-
    stances and factors regulating chemically-induced
    genetic mutations.

    Acknowledgements
    Author: D.V. Chip Weseloh, Canadian Wildlife
    Service, Environment Canada,  Downsview, ON.
    Thanks to other past and  present
    staff at CWS-Ontario Region
    (Burlington and Downsview), as
    well as staff at the CWS National
    Wildlife Research Centre  (Hull,
    Que.)  and wildlife biologists Ray
    Faber,  Ralph Morris, Jim  Quinn,
    Jihn Ryder, Brian Ratcliff and Keith
    Grasman for egg collections, prepa-
    ration, analysis and data manage-
    ment over the 27 years of this
    project.
                        DDE in Herring Gull Eggs, Toronto Harbour, 1974-1999
                   Figure 1. Temporal trends.
                         PCBs in Great Lakes Herring Gull Eggs, 1999

                                                                           Colonies (arranged Wto E)
                                                          Figure 2. Spatial trends.
                                                                Double-crested Cormorant nests (breeding pairs) in
                                                                           Lake Ontario, 1979-2000
                                                            25000-

                                                            22500-

                                                            20000-

                                                            17500-

                                                            15000-

                                                            12500-

                                                            10000-

                                                            7500-

                                                            5000-

                                                            2500-
                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /

                        /
                         L
ml"
                                                          Figure 3. Population trends.
28
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Zooplankton Populations
    SOLEC Indicator #116

    Purpose
    This indicator directly measures changes in commu-
    nity composition, mean individual size and biomass of
    zooplankton populations in the Great Lakes basin, and
    indirectly measures zooplankton production as well as
    changes in food-web dynamics due to changes in
    vertebrate or invertebrate  predation; changes in system
    productivity,  and changes in the type  and  intensity of
    predation and in the energy transfer within a system.
    Suggested metrics include zooplankton mean length,
    the ratio of calanoid to  cladoceran and cyclopoid
    curstaceans, and zooplankton biomass.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Ultimately, analysis of this indicator should provide
    information on the biological integrity of the Great
    Lakes, and lead to the support of a healthy and diverse
    fishery.  However, the relationship between these objec-
    tives and the suggested metrics have not been fully
    worked out, and no specific criteria have yet been identi-
    fied for these metrics.

    A mean individual size of 0.8 mm has been suggested as
    "optimal" for zooplankton  communities sampled with a
    153 |lm mesh net, although the meaning of deviations
    from this objective,  and the universality of this objective
    remain unclear. In particular, questions regarding its
    applicability to dreissenid impacted systems have been
    raised.

    In general, calanoid/cladoceran+cyclopoid  ratios tend
    to  increase with decreasing nutrient enrichment.
    Therefore high ratios are  desirable.  As with individual
    mean size, though,  clear objectives have not presently
    been defined.

    State of the Ecosystem
    The most recent available data (1998) suggests that
    mean individual lengths of offshore zooplankton
    populations in the  three upper lakes and the central
    basin of Lake Erie exceed  the objective of 0.8 (Fig. 1),
    suggesting a fish community characterized by a high
    piscivore/planktivore ratio.  Mean individual lengths
    of zooplankton populations in the western and eastern
    basins of Lake Erie,  as well as most sites in Lake Ontario,
    were substantially below this objective.  Interquartile
    ranges for most lakes (considering the three basins of
    Lake Erie separately) were generally on the order of 0.1 -
                099
                                    *    ce» cl1
                            1=1
       SU    Ml   HU
                                              ON
                                   ER
Figure 1. Average individual mean length of zooplankton
for the five Great Lakes. Lake Erie is divided into
western, central and eastern basins.  Length estimates
were generated from data collected with 153|lm mesh net
tows to a depth of 100 m or the bottom of the water
column, whichever was shallower. Numbers indicates
arithmetic averages.
(Source: US Environmental Protection Agency, Great
Lakes National Program Office, August, 1998.)
0.2 mm, although Lake Ontario was substantially greater.
Historical data from the eastern basin of Lake Erie, from
1985 to 1998, indicate a fair amount of interannual
variability, with values from offshore sites ranging from
about 0.5  to 0.85 (Fig. 2). As noted above, interpreta-
tion of these data are currently problematic.
1.00

0.80.
 g  0.40J
    0.20.
 _
 o.
         EASTERN LAKE ERIE
                              Objective (Mills etal. 1987)
      1984   1986  1988  1990  1992  1994   1996  1998
                        Year
Figure 2. Trend in Jun27-Sep30 mean zooplankton
length: NYDEC data (circles) collected with 153-um
mesh net, DFO data (diamonds) converted from 64-um
to 153-um mesh equivalent. Open symbols = offshore,
solid symbols = nearshore (<12 m). 1985-1988 are
means+/- 1 S.E.
(Source: Johannsson et al. 1999)
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    The ratio of calanoids to cladocerans and cyclopoids
    showed a clear relationship with trophic state. The
    average value for the oligotrophic Lake Superior was at
    least four times as high as that for any other lake, while
    Lakes Michigan and Huron and the eastern basin of Lake
    Erie were also high (Fig. 3). The western basin of Lake
    Erie and Lake Ontario were identically low, while the
    central basin of Lake Erie had an intermediate value.
    Historical comparisons of this metric are difficult to
    make because most historical data on zooplankton
    populations in the Great Lakes seems to have been
    generated using shallow (20 m) tows.  Calanoid copepods
    tend to be deep  living organisms; therefore the use of
    data generated from shallow tows would tend  to contrib-
    ute a strong bias to this metric. This problem is largely
    avoided in Lake Erie, particularly in the western and
    central basins, where most sites are shallower than 20 m.
    Comparisons in those two  basins have shown a statisti-
    cally significant increase in the ratio of calanoids to
    cladocerans and cyclopoids between 1970 and  1983-
    1987, with this increase sustained throughout the 1990's,
    and in fact up to the present. A similar increase was seen
    in the eastern basin, although some of these data were
    generated from shallow tows, and are therefore subject to
    doubt.
                       tsf •) "f-g
                      ,«i  ^  **
                                   I
                      D.2!
vii	Flu
                                                 •:) 34
                                                 BT^*KH,
                                                  OFT
    Figure 3. Ratio of biomass of calanoid copepods to that
    of cladocerans and cyclopoid copepods for the five Great
    Lakes. Data as in Fig. 1; Boxes as in Fig. 1.  Numbers
    indicates arithmetic averages
    Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
    The zooplankton community might be expected to
    respond to changes in nutrient concentrations in the
    lakes, although the potential magnitude of such "bottom
    up" effects are not well understood. The most immediate
    potential threat to the zooplankton communities of the
Great Lakes is posed by invasive species.  An exotic
predatory cladoceran, Bythotrephes cedarstroemii, has
already been in the lakes for over ten years, and is sus-
pected to have had a major impact on zooplankton
community structure.  A second predatory cladoceran,
Cercopagispengoi, was  first noted in Lake Ontario in
1998, and is expected  to spread to the other lakes.  In
addition, the continued proliferation of dreissenid
populations can be expected to impact zooplankton
communities both directly through the alteration of the
structure of the phytoplankton community, upon which
many zooplankton depend for food.

Future Actions
Continued monitoring of the offshore zooplankton
communities of the Great Lakes is critical, particularly
considering the current expansion of the range of the
exotic cladoceran Cercopagis and the probability of future
invasive zooplankton and fish species.

Further Work Necessary
Currently the most critical need is for the development of
quantitative, objective criteria that can be applied to the
zooplankton indicator. The applicability of current
metrics to the Great Lakes is largely unknown, as are the
limits that would correspond to acceptable ecosystem
health.

The implementation of a long term monitoring program
on the Canadian side is also desirable, to  expand both the
spatial and  the temporal coverage currently provided by
American efforts. Since the use of various indices is
dependent  to a large extent upon the sampling methods
employed,  coordination between of these two programs,
both with regard to sampling dates and locations, and
especially with regard to methods, would be highly
recommended.

Sources
Johannsson, O.E., C. Dumitru, and D.M. Graham.
1999-  Examination of zooplankton mean length for use
in an index offish community structure and its applica-
tion in Lake Erie. J. Great Lakes Res. 25:179-186).

Acknowledgements
Authors: Richard P Barbiero, DynCorp  I&ET, Alexan-
dria, VA USA, Marc L. Tuchman, US Environmental
Protection Agency, Great  Lakes National  Program Office,
Chicago IL, and Ora Johannsson, Fisheries and Oceans
Canada, Burlington, ON.
30
                  SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
    Atmospheric Deposition of Toxic Chemicals
    SOLEC Indicator #117
Purpose
To estimate the annual average loadings of
priority toxic chemicals from the atmosphere
to the Great Lakes and to determine tempo-
ral trends in contaminant concentrations.
This information will be used to aid in the
assessment of potential impacts of toxic
chemicals from atmospheric deposition on
human health and the Great Lakes aquatic
ecosystem, as well as to track the progress of
various Great Lakes programs toward virtual
elimination of toxics from the Great Lakes.

Ecosystem Objective
The Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement
(GLWQA) and the Binational Strategy both
state the virtual elimination of toxic sub-
stances to the Great Lakes as an objective. Additionally,
GLWQA General Objective (d) states  that the Great
Lakes should be free from materials  entering the water as
a result of human activity that will produce  conditions
that are toxic to human, animal, or  aquatic  life.

State of the Ecosystem
The Integrated Atmospheric Deposition Network
(IADN) consists of five master sampling sites, one near
each of the Great Lakes, and several satellite stations.
This joint United States-Canadian project has been in
operation since 1990, and since that time, thousands of
measurements  of the concentrations of poly chlorinated
biphenyls (PCBs), pesticides, trace metals, and polycyclic
aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) have been made  at these
sites. These concentrations cover the atmospheric gas
and particle phases and precipitation. These
data have been interpreted in terms  of tempo-
ral trends and in terms of loadings to the
Lakes.  The data set is large, and thus, only
selected data will be presented here.

For gas-phase total PCBs (EPCB), the Lake
Erie site consistently shows relatively elevated
concentrations compared to the other  Lakes;
see  Figure 1. For all sites, the trend over
time is generally down with half-lives on the
order of 3-6 years. The relatively elevated
concentrations for Lake Erie are not surpris-
ing given the proximity of the sampling  site
to the city of Buffalo, New York.  Although




t
* -oo
y
5
100-

Figure 1. Ann




LJ
1991
Ui



,
I
1
il





99
Hve




,
2
rage






Con




\
19
centn




t\
93
itior




-

so




If
1
n



1

99
"otal PCBs in




f *
4 19
Gas-phase

d Superior
d Michigan
QErie
• Huron
d Ontario

ill
95 1996
                                                               not shown, it is interesting to point out that ZPCB
                                                               concentrations at a satellite site in downtown Chicago are
                                                               about a factor of 10 higher that at the other more remote
                                                               sites.

                                                               For gas-phase a- and y-HCH (EHCH), the concentra-
                                                               tion trend is uniformly down at all sites, and the concen-
                                                               tration of EHCH seems to have reached a new steady
                                                               value of about 50-100 pg/m3; see Figure 2. It is impor-
                                                               tant to remember that y-HCH (lindane) is a pesticide,
                                                               and it is still used as a seed treatment in the United States
                                                               and Canada. Thus, these atmospheric concentrations
                                                               may represent this current  source, and they may not
                                                               decrease further until this source is eliminated.
Figure 2. Annual Average Concentrations of Total HCHs in Gas-phase


^

%.
d 3°°"
o
0 200
100-
0



T



_U
fl




T

JL
±


d Superior
• Michigan
QErie
• Huron
d Ontario






••.rfj--A 	
Til Ti fl' fflln PTrn

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996










SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

   Benzo[X]pyrene is produced by the incomplete combus-
   tion of almost any fuel and is carcinogenic. Figure 3
   shows the annual average particle-phase concentrations of
   BaP.  The concentrations of BaP are relatively high at
   Lakes Erie and Ontario, sites near major population
   centers, and the concentrations are relatively unchanged as
   a function of time at all sites.
Figure 3. Annual Average Concentrations of B[a]P in Particle-phase
80 -
| 60 -
_a
<3 40 -
20 -




i


n

•
T
r±l




j
T


J
I




'
D Superior
• Michigan
DErie
• Huron
D Ontario
I

J
i

r -I
-1-
1
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
ft


1996
   As an example of the precipitation data, Figure 4 shows
   the concentrations of dieldrin from 1991 to 1996.
   Historically, the concentrations at Lakes Michigan and
   Erie were higher than at the other sites, possibly because
   of agricultural uses near these two locations. With the
   exception of Lake Huron in 1996,  the concentrations are
   generally unchanged or decreasing slightly.
Figure 4. Annual Average Concentrations of Dieldrin in Precipitation
1.3 -
1.0 -
3"
"3>
c
. 0.8 -
u
c
o
o
0.5 -
0.3 -



t
1991



1






1
_ r-


1 r


1992 1993
J


^Superior
^Michigan
QErie
• Huron
^Ontario



tflf


.,
1
1994 1995

If


11
r


1
1996
The concentrations of lead in the particle-phase are
shown in Figure 5- Historically, the concentration of
lead at Lake Erie was higher than at the other sites,
possibly because of urban effects at this location, which is
near Buffalo. The concentrations are generally unchanged
at most of the other sites.

    The loadings from the atmosphere for EPCB,
    EHCH, and BaP are given in Figure 6; a negative-
    going bar indicates that the lake is vaporizing the
    compound to the atmosphere. A missing bar in
    Figure 6 indicates that the loading could not be
    calculated — not that the loading was zero.  The
    most important message from these data is that the
    absolute values of the loadings are generally getting
    smaller, which indicates that the lake water and the
    air above  it are getting closer to being in equilib-
    rium. A report on the atmospheric loadings of these
    compounds to the Great Lakes has recently been
    published. To receive a copy, please contact one of
    the agencies listed at the end of this report.

    Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
    Pressure on the Lakes from atmospheric loadings of
    toxic compounds is likely to continue for some
    unknown time into the future. Possible exceptions
are pesticides that are no longer in use; these compounds
are likely to become virtually undetectable by the middle
of this century. Because the sources of PCBs and PAHs
are likely to continue, the concentrations of these com-
pounds in the atmosphere near the Great Lakes will
decrease slowly, if at all.

Future activities
In terms of the agricultural chemicals, such as HCH,
    further restrictions on the use of these compounds
    may be warranted.  In terms  of the PAH, further
    controls on the emissions of large- and small-scale
    combustion systems may induce a decline in the
    input of these compounds to the Great Lakes'
    atmosphere.  In terms of the PCBs, most of the
    controllable sources of these compounds have been
    eliminated. The remaining sources are likely to be
    diffuse terrestrial sources located in urban areas.
    Regulatory mechanisms to control these sources do
    not exist.  Voluntary pollution prevention activities,
    such as those advocated by the Binational Strategy,
    and technology-based pollution controls can aid in
    reducing the amounts of toxic chemicals deposited to
    the Great  Lakes. Efforts to achieve reductions in use
    and emissions of toxics worldwide through interna-
                                        SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    tional assistance and negotiations should also be sup-
    ported.

    Future work necessary
    The Integrated Atmospheric Deposition Network
    (IADN) should continue. Only through the repetitive,
    long-term monitoring of the atmosphere will it become
    clear if regulations aimed at reducing the input of these
    toxic organic compounds into the Great Lakes have been
    effective.

    For additional information
    (or for a copy of the latest IADN loadings report)
    contact:
                    "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
Air Quality Research Branch
Environment Canada
4905 Dufferin Street,
Toronto, ON M3H 5T4
Canada

Atmospheric Programs Manager
Great Lakes National Program Office
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
77 West Jackson Boulevard, G-17J
Chicago, IL 60604
U.S.A.

Acknowledgements
Ron Hites and Ilora Basu at Indiana University prepared
this report on behalf of the IADN Steering Committee.

8000-
co~
en
&_
d
8
4000-
o-


Figure 5.

£

•

Annual Average Concentrations of Lead in Particle-phase

I
1992







=F



-


1993







i-
1 fl
1994 1995

•
n
n
•
n


Superior
Michigan
Erie
Huron
Ontario



1996


Figure 6. Loading
BaP
•\ snn
IOUU
ra
in
o> n
c u
nj cnn
_l
•innn
- IUUU
s of Total PCBs, Total
to the Great Lakes


-,


u
n
n
I
92


1E

J
93


L

-loUU

III
u 'LJ-ILTu
E94 1995 1996

•

HCH
s, and
DPCB, Sup.
• HCH, Sup.
DBaP, Sup
DPCB, Mich.
• HCH, Mich.
DBaP, Mich.
• PCB, Erie
• HCH, Erie
• BaP, Erie

SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicatoins (Diraft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                    33

-------
 "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

    Toxic Chemical Concentrations in Offshore Waters
    SOLEC Indicator #118
    Purpose
    This indicator reports the concentration of priority
    toxic chemicals in offshore waters, and by comparison
    to protection for aquatic life and human health criteria
    infer the potential for impacts on the health of the
    Great Lakes  aquatic ecosystem. As well, the indicator
    can  be used  to infer the progress of virtual elimination
    programs.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The Great Lakes should be free from materials enter-
    ing the water as a result of human  activity that will
    produce conditions that are toxic or harmful to hu-
    man, animal, or aquatic life (GLWQA, Article III(d)).

    State of the  Ecosystem
    Many toxic chemicals are present in the Great Lakes.
    As a result of various ecosystem health assessments, a
    comparatively small number have been identified as
                       "critical pollutants". Even so, it is impractical to summa-
                       rize the spatial and temporal trends of them all within the
                       current context. Examples of only a few have been
                       provided for illustration. In collating the available infor-
                       mation, what became apparent were the difficulties in
                       attempting to summarize different sources of information
                       collected using different sampling and analytical methods
                       at different locations at different times. Differences were
                       impossible to resolve. For the parties to report on an on-
                       going basis, a monitoring program with consistent
                       protocols would have to be the primary source of the
                       historically available information as well as a commitment
                       to maintain such a program. For these reasons, a single
                       source of information was used to illustrate spatial and
                       temporal trends: Environment Canada's open lake and
                       interconnecting channels monitoring program, on-going
                       since 1986 using consistent methodologies throughout
                       the various programs.
                                                               Dieldrin Concentrations
                                                                   Legend   ng/L
                                                                    •      Missing
                                                                   O     ND
                                                                   •         <0.10
                                                                          0.10-0.15
                                                                          0.15-0.20
                                                                          0.20 - 0.25
                                                                   ®     0.25 +
                                                              »  •

                                                              '  *•
                                                                         ;.•;. »Y
       Figure 1. Spatial Dieldrin patterns in the Great Lakes (Spring 1997 or 1998, Surface) and annual most likely
       estimated averages for the interconnecting channels from 1986 to 1998. Units = ng/L
       (Source: Environmental Conservation Branch, Environment Canada)
34
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    Organochlorines, several of which are on various "critical
    pollutant" lists, have and are still declining in the Great
    Lakes in response to management efforts. Spatial concen-
    tration patterns illustrate the ubiquitous nature for some,
    meanwhile, the influence of localized source(s) for others.

    Organochlorine pesticides such as Lindane and Dieldrin
    (Figure 1) are observed at all open lake stations and
    connecting channels sites at relatively similar concentra-
    tions, although the lower lakes still appear to have local
    influences, probably historically contaminated soils or
    sediments. Concentrations throughout the Great Lakes
    have decreased by - 50% between 1986 and 1996 and are
    still declining. Dieldrin exceeds the most sensitive water
    quality criterion for the protection of human consumers
    offish by a factor of 250 times.
    Hexachlorobenzene, octachlorostyrene, and mirex exem-
    plify organochlorines whose presence is due to historical
    localized sources. Consequently, their occurrence in the
    environment is isolated to specific locations in the Great
    Lakes basin.  Concentrations of all three in the Niagara
    River have decreased by more than 50% between 1986
    and 1996. Both HCB and  mirex continue to exceed their
    most stringent criteria for the protection of human
    consumers offish by a factor of 2 and 7, respectively.

    Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are another
    class of critical pollutants. Some PAHs appear to be
    increasing in concentration and spatial patterns suggest
    localized sources. For example, comparisons of upstream/
    downstream concentrations over time suggest increasing
    inputs from localized sources in the Niagara River (Figure
    2). In contrast decreasing concentrations are observed at
    the outflow of Lake Ontario.
                     "Nearshore & Open Water Indicators

Targeted monitoring to identify and trackdown local
sources should be considered for those chemicals whose
ambient environmental distribution suggests localized
influences.

The research community in the Great Lakes basin is
actively pursuing the emerging chemicals issue. The
monitoring community will need to incorporate the
results of these activities in planning future monitoring
programs in the Great Lakes basin.

Further Work Necessary
Environment Canada conducts routine toxic contami-
nant monitoring in the Great Lakes. However, a coordi-
nated binational enhanced monitoring program is re-
quired with agreement on specifics such as analytical and
field methodologies, sampling locations, inclusion of
connecting channel, nearshore and embayment sites. An
agreed upon approach for summarizing and reporting the
indicator will also be required given that many chemicals
and locations have  unique  stories to tell.

Acknowledgments
Author: Scott Painter, Environment Canada, Environ-
mental Conservation Branch, Burlington, ON.
    Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
    Management efforts to control inputs of organochlorines
    have resulted in decreasing concentrations in the Great
    Lakes, however, sources for some still exist.

    The increase in some PAH concentrations in localized
    areas should be reviewed and analyzed in more detail. The
    ecosystem impact is unknown.

    Chemicals such as endocrine disrupting chemicals, in-use
    pesticides, and pharmaceuticals are emerging issues.

    Future Actions
    Efforts such as those underway in the Great Lakes
    Binational Toxics Strategy need to be maintained to
    identify and control the remaining sources.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     35

-------
"Nearshore & Open Water Indicators
                                                            Fluoranthene Concentrations
                                                                  Leqend  nq/L

                                                 ••


Missing
ND
    <0.50
0.50-1.00
1.00-1.50
1.50-2.00
2.00-2.50
2.50 +
                                                                                        h  iiihlii  i
 Figure 2.  Spatial fluoranthene patterns in the Great Lakes (Spring 1997 or 1998, Surface) and annual most likely
 estimated averages for the interconnecting channels from 1986 to 1998. Units = ng/L
 (Source: Environmental Conservation Branch, Environment Canada)
                                     SOLEC 2ooo - llnnpilenneinutuniig' llmudicautoirs (Diraift for Review, "Novennber 2ooo)

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    Amphibian Diversity and Abundance
    SOLEC Indicator #4504
                                                                                             (Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Purpose
    Assessments of the species composition and relative
    abundance of calling frogs and toads are used to help
    infer the condition of Great Lakes basin marshes  (i.e.
    wetlands dominated by non-woody emergent plants).
    A high proportion of the Great Lakes  basin's amphib-
    ian  species inhabit wetlands during part of their life
    cycle, and many of the species at risk in the basin are
    associated with wetlands.  Similarly, there  is growing
    international concern about declines of amphibian
    populations and an apparent increase in rates of
    deformities.  Because frogs  and toads are relatively
    sedentary, have semi-permeable skin, and breed in and
    adjacent to aquatic systems, they are likely to be  more
    sensitive to, and indicative of, local sources of contami-
    nation to  wetlands than most other vertebrates.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The objective is to ensure healthy breeding
    populations of Great Lakes wetland amphibians by
    sustaining the necessary quantity and quality of
    wetland habitat.

    State of the Ecosystem
    From 1995  through  1999,  11 frog and two  toad
    species were recorded by Marsh Monitoring Program
    (MMP) participants  surveying  354 routes  across  the
    Great Lakes basin.   Spring Peeper was  the most
    frequently detected species  (Table 1) and,  as indicated
    by an average calling code of 2.5, was  frequently
    recorded in  full chorus (Call Level Code 3) where it
    was encountered. Green Frog was detected in more
    than half of station years and the average calling code
    indicates this species was usually recorded  as Call
    Level 1.  Gray Treefrog, American Toad and Northern
    Leopard Frog were also common, being recorded  in
    more than one-third of all station years. Gray Treefrog
    was recorded with the second highest average calling
    code (1.9), indicating that  MMP observers usually
    heard several individuals with some overlapping calls.
    Bullfrog, Chorus  Frog and Wood Frog were detected
    in approximately one-quarter of station years. Five
    species were detected infrequently by MMP surveyors
    and were recorded in less than three percent of station
    years.

    With only five years  of data collected across the Great
    Lakes basin, the MMP is still quite young  as a moni-
toring program. Trends in amphibian occurrence were
assessed for the eight species commonly detected on
MMP routes.  For each species, a trend was assessed
first on  a route-by-route basis in terms of the annual
proportion of stations with each species present. These
*
\
]

Species Name
Spring Peeper
Green Frog
Gray Treefrog
American Toad
N. Leopard Frog
Bullfrog
Chorus Frog
Wood Frog
Pickerel Frog
Fowler's Frog
Mink Frog
Blanchard's Cricket Frog
Cope's Gray Treefrog
% station-years
present*
69.0
56.6
37.9
36.9
32.6
26.6
25.4
18.7
2.4
1.4
1.3
0.9
0.9
Average
calling code
2.5
1.3
1.9
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.7
1.5
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.3

MMP survey stations monitored for multiple years considered as
ndividual samples
Table 1. Frequency of occurrence and average Call Level
Gode for amphibian species detected inside Great Lakes basin
V1MP stations, 1995 through 1999- Average calling codes are
Dased upon the three level call code standard for all MMP
imphibian surveys; surveyors record Code 1 (little overlap
imong calls, numbers of individuals can be determined),
Gode 2 (some overlap, numbers can be estimated) or Code 3
(much overlap, too numerous to be estimated).
route level trends were then combined for an overall
assessment of trend for each species. Although some
trends were suggested for species such as American Toad
and Bullfrog, only the declining trend for Chorus Frog
could be resolved with sufficient statistical confidence
(i.e. confidence limits  do not encompass zero) (Figure 1).
Although long-term (1950s to 1990s) losses of Chorus
Frog have been recorded in the St. Lawrence Pviver valley
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     37

-------
Coastal Wetland! Indicators
              American Toad
               -2.0 (-W, US)
  Bullfrog
 W [-2,2, 5.2}
 Chorus Frog
 -7,9 (-11.4, -4.2)
Green Frog
0.2 1-2.6,12)
               Grey Treefrog
                -2.2 (-5J, U)
Leopard Frog
 1.7 (-14 4.7)
Spring Peeper
 U (-1.8, 4.3)
Wood Frog
1.2 (-1.8, 4,4)
    Q.
    O
   Q_
                    1997   1998
                                                                  1995   1996   1997
                                                                                               1995   1996   1997
                                                              Year
   Figure 1. Annual indices of calling amphibian occurrence on MMP routes within the Great Lakes basin, 1995 to 1999-
   Indices are based on the annual proportion of survey stations with each species present and are defined relative to 1999
   values; vertical bars indicate 95% confidence limits around annual indices. The estimated annual percent change (trend) is
   indicated for each species and the associated lower and upper extremes of 95% confidence limits are enclosed in parentheses.
   just outside the Great Lakes basin, this species is known
   to have population fluctuations, and even regional
   extinctions, over short time periods due to natural factors
   such as differences in annual weather conditions (Diagle,
   1997). Additional survey and other (e.g.  remote sensing)
   data and detailed analyses will be required to understand
   how the trends observed for Chorus Frog and other
   amphibian species relate to changes in Great Lakes
   wetland habitat conditions.

   These data will serve as baseline data with which to
   compare future survey results and will help provide an
   understanding of the status and distribution of calling
   frogs and toads in Great Lakes' wetlands.  Anecdotal and
   research evidence suggests that wide variations in the
   occurrence of many amphibian species at a given site is a
   natural and ongoing phenomenon. These variations are
   apparent for many of the amphibian species recorded by
   MMP volunteers during the past five years. Additional
   years of data will help reveal whether these observed
   patterns (e.g. decline in Chorus Frog station occupancy)
   continue.  Further data are required to conclude whether
   Great Lakes wetlands are successfully sustaining amphib-
   ian populations.
                     Future Pressures
                     Current pressures on wetland amphibians will likely
                     continue. Many coastal and inland Great Lakes wetlands
                     are at the lowest elevations in watersheds that support
                     very intensive industrial, agricultural and residential
                     development. Habitat loss and deterioration remain the
                     predominant threat to Great Lakes amphibian
                     populations. More subtle impacts such as water level
                     stabilization, sedimentation,  contaminant and nutrient
                     inputs, and the invasion of exotic plants and animals
                     continue to degrade wetlands across the region.

                     Future Activities
                     Because of the sensitivity of amphibians to their sur-
                     rounding environment and the growing international
                     concern about their populations, amphibians in the Great
                     Lakes basin and elsewhere continue to be the focus of
                     monitoring activities.  Wherever possible, efforts should
                     be made to maintain wetland habitats and adjacent
                     uplands. Apart from habitat loss,  there is also a need to
                     address impacts that are detrimental to wetland health
                     such as inputs of toxic chemicals, nutrients and
                     sediments.  Restoration programs are underway for many
                     degraded wetland areas through the work of local citizens,
                     organizations and governments. Although significant
                     progress has been made in this area, further wetland
                     conservation and restoration efforts are needed.
                                        SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                             (Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Further Work Necessary
    Monitoring of amphibian species will continue in
    marshes across the Great Lakes basin through the MMP
    Continued monitoring of at least 100 routes through
    2006 is projected to provide good resolution for several
    of the amphibians recorded by the MME Recruitment
    and retention of program participants will therefore
    continue to be a high priority, especially in coastal
    wetlands.  Further work is necessary to establish
    endpoints for amphibian diversity and abundance.
    Additional monitoring and other (e.g. remote sensing)
    data and more detailed analyses are required to examine
    trends in relation to wetland habitat characteristics and at
    basinwide, lake  basin and other spatial scales.  Current
    monitoring is adapted for large geographic scales, work is
    currently underway to help refine assessments of bird
    communities at single sites; additional amphibian work
    may follow. Assessments of the relationships among
    station occupancy, calling codes and relative abundance
    estimates, amphibian population parameters, and critical
    environmental factors are needed.

    Although more  frequent updates are possible, reporting
    trend estimates  every five or six years is most appropriate
    for this indicator. A variety of efforts are underway to
    enhance reporting breadth and efficiency.

    Sources
    Diagle, C.  1997- Distribution and Abundance of the
    Chorus Frog, Pseudacris triseriata, in Quebec. In Am-
    phibians in Decline:  Canadian Studies of a Global
    Problem (D. M. Green, ed.).  The Society for the Study
    of Amphibians and Reptiles, Saint Louis, Missouri.

    Acknowledgements
    Author: Russ Weeber, Bird Studies Canada, Port Rowen,
    ON.
    The Marsh Monitoring Program is delivered by Bird
    Studies Canada in partnership with  Environment Cana-
    da's Canadian Wildlife Service and with significant
    support from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agen-
    cy's Great Lakes National Program Office and Lake Erie
    Team. The contributions of all Marsh Monitoring Pro-
    gram staff and volunteers are gratefully acknowledged.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
 Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Contaminants in Snapping Turtle Eggs
    SOLEC Indicator #4506
    Purpose
    This  indicator measures the concentrations of persist-
    ent contaminants in the eggs of Common Snapping
    Turtles living  in wetlands of the Great Lakes basin in
    order to provide an indirect measure of  foodweb
    contamination and its effects on  wetland wildlife.

    Methods
    The persistent contaminants measured in Snapping
    Turtle eggs include 59  non-ortho polychlorinated
    biphenyl (PCB) congeners, six  ortho PCB congeners
    (ortho PCB congeners are more toxic than non-ortho
    PCB  congeners), 20 organochlorine pesticides (includ-
    ing DDT  and mirex) and their metabolites, 14
    polychlorinated dioxins (PCDD) and  22 furans
    (PCDF) and mercury  Eggs were collected from the
    nest and either analyzed for contaminants or incu-
    bated  artificially to determine  hatching success,
    deformity  rates of hatched turtles, and rates of
    unhatched eggs.  Generally, eggs  were collected from
    1981  to 1991 on the Canadian side of the Lakes at
    four sites on Lake Ontario (Cootes Paradise/Hamilton
    Harbour, Lynde Creek, Cranberry Marsh and Trent
    Pviver), two sites on Lake Erie (Big Creek Marsh/Long
    Point and Rondeau Provincial Park), one site on the St.
    Lawrence River (Akwesasne)  and one reference site at
    Lake Sasajewun, an inland lake at Algonquin Provincial
    Park.
                       tions in Snapping Turtle eggs suggested as endpoints are
                       concentrations found in eggs from Big Creek Marsh,
                       Lake Erie which showed no significant difference in
                       hatching rates and deformity rates as compared to the
                       reference site, Lake Sasajewun, Algonquin Park.  The
                       following endpoints for mean wet weight concentrations
                       in Snapping Turtle eggs should not be exceeded:

                       Toxic Equivalents = 158.3 ug/g
                       Total  polychlorinated biphenyls (PCB) =  0.338 ug/g
                       Total polychlorinated dibenzo dioxins (PCDD) =1.0 pg/g
                       Total polychlorinated dibenzo furans (PCDF) = 3-0 pg/g
                       pp'DDE (metabolite of DDT) = 0.05 ug/g
                       mirex = 0.0014  ug/g

                       State  of the Ecosystem
                       Snapping Turtles are ideal candidates  as indicators of
                       wetland health due to their sedentary nature,  their
                       ability to accumulate  high levels of contaminants over
                       their long life-span and their position  as  top  predators
                       in the food chain. Contaminant levels measured in
                       Snapping Turtle eggs are indicative of contaminant levels
                       found in the turtle's diet (about 1/3 fish, 1/3 plants and
                       1/3 other items including invertebrates and to a lesser
                       degree smaller turtles, birds and snakes). Snapping Turtle
                       eggs collected at two Lake Ontario sites (Cootes Paradise
                       and Lynde Creek) had the highest PCDD concentrations
                       (notably 2,3,7,8-TCDD;  Figure 1) and number of
    Snapping Turtle eggs have also
    been collected for contaminant
    analyses for most years from 1992
    to 1999 at most of the study sites
    listed above.  However, these data
    have not yet been statistically
    analyzed and will not be discussed
    at this time.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The ecosystem  objective is to
    protect wetland wildlife, especially
    long-lived species like the Snap-
    ping Turtle, from the effects of
    contamination which may include
    impaired embryonic develop-
    ment.

    The mean wet weight  concentra-
Dioxin
mn

 OU
LU
I 40-
&
0 -
and Furan Concentrations (1984;1989; 1990)

~



•Jl Li
%
=0

Q_ cS
B
8

• 2378-T

D 1°378

D 12367

• 23478-
-i
• 12478-
' 	

*m tfll ^J _ . ND
$ ' -S -s a „ ' s ' 1 i
10 £ ro S!^ So-!
2 OgE ^ rag - ziOT.a,
K™ I," *2 " J " ^ 1™ ^^
SJ= g ™ £ s
0 o H -1 J3
Nate :2378-TCDFmeasLred but not detected h any site; ND = No Conpoun ds detected

CDD

PnCDD
3-HxCDD

PnCDF

PnCDF








Figure 1. Dioxin and furan concentrations (1984; 1989/90) in Snapping Turtle
eggs at Canadian Great Lakes study sites
(Source: Bishop
andGendron, 1998).

40
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    detectable PCDF congeners (twenty versus six at all other
    sites). Eggs from Cranberry Marsh (Lake Ontario) had
    similar levels of PCBs (Figure 2) and organochlorines
    (not shown) compared to Lake Erie sites but higher
    concentrations and a greater number of PCDD and
    PCDF congeners were detected at this site relative to
    Lake Erie sites (Figure 1). Eggs from Akwesasne con-
    tained the highest level of PCBs relative to all other sites
    (Figure 2).

    Temporal trends for contaminants indicate that for eggs
    at two Lake Ontario sites (Cootes Paradise and Lynde
    Creek), levels of PCBs and DDE (not shown) increased
    significantly from 1984 to 1990/91 (Figure 2).  Impor-
    tantly, levels of PCDDs (including 2,3,7,8-TCDD) and
    PCDFs decreased significantly at Cootes Paradise from
    1984  to 1989 (Figure 1). At Lake Erie and the reference
    lake sites, decreasing or stable levels of contaminants in
    eggs were reported from 1984 to 1991-
                Mean Sum PCB Concentrations (1981-1991)
1 -
1 •? -
m O
j| £
Q.
^
0.






J

rfl \\
K! Si TJ 16 t" _ S
2 S =2 5 w 5
§ 2 j o £ S i
"A! 2 S =




n „•
01 -e = =
= 0 S ^ a, I
ra a. -a a ^5
i =5 J S
D1981
• 1984
D1988
D1989
• 1990
• 1991
*1981 -0.1
1988-0.0
1989-0.0
                                                                 I
     Figure 2.  Mean sum PCB concentrations (1981-1991) in Snapping Turtle eggs at
     Canadian Great Lakes study sites and one inland reference site.
     (Source: Bishop and Gendron, 1998).
                             | (Coastal Wetland Indicators
Future Pressures
High contaminant levels associated with eggs of Lake
Ontario turtles may be due, in part, to a diet of migra-
tory Lake Ontario fish, including carp and other large
long-lived fish species.  Similarly, low contaminant levels
observed in Lake Erie eggs may be due to a more diversi-
fied diet of less contaminated smaller fish and other local
diet items.  Continuing contaminant exposures in Lake
Ontario and St. Lawrence River Snapping Turtles will
likely only be alleviated through natural biological loss of
persistent chemicals from the environment (e.g. sedimen-
tation) and further reductions of atmospheric, point and
non-point source loadings  into the Lake Ontario and St.
Lawrence River ecosystems.

Future Activities
Similar to other SOLEC coastal wetland indicators, this
indicator is currently being reviewed by the Canadian
Wildlife Service (CWS) and the SOLEC coastal wetlands
core group. For CWS, this program is still in its experi-
                     mental stages and further analyses
                     of the data are required to deter-
                     mine whether this indicator will
                     be adopted as part of ongoing
                     wildlife monitoring activities. A
                     new binational Great Lakes coastal
                     wetland indicator consortium,
                     supported  by the U.S. Environ-
                     mental Protection Agency, will also
                     evaluate the suitability of this
                     indicator in assessing coastal
                     wetland health.  Pending further
                     consideration, analyses of contami-
                     nant levels in Snapping Turtle eggs
                     at selected  study sites and studies
                     of rates of abnormal development
                     may continue in future years as
                     part of a long-term strategy for
                     monitoring foodweb contamina-
                     tion and its effects on wetland
                     wildlife.
    Bishop et al. (1991) have demonstrated that eggs with
    the highest contaminant levels also show the poorest
    developmental success.  Rates of abnormal development
    of Snapping Turtle eggs from (1986-1991) were highest
    at all four Lake Ontario sites compared to all other sites
    studied (Figure 3). Rates were similar between the one
    Lake Erie site sampled (Long Point) and the reference
    inland lake.
Further Work Necessary
In order to use this indicator at a basin-wide scale,
additional monitoring sites need to be established at
representative sites in the United  States and the upper
Great Lakes. Evaluation of other biological endpoints
such as disruption of hormone levels and development of
secondary sexual characteristics in Snapping Turtles would
also be of value.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     41

-------
Coastal Wetland Indicators
   The effects of contaminants on the Great Lakes ecosys-
   tem, including wetlands, have been studied for many
   years.  The parties to the Great Lakes Water Quality
   Agreement (U.S. and Canada) are committed to the
   virtual elimination of discharge associated with any or all
   persistent toxic substances.

   Sources
   Bishop, C.A., Brooks, R.J., Carey, J.H., Ng, P,
   Norstrom, R.J. and Lean, D.R.S. 1991- The case for a
   cause-effect linkage between environmental contamina-
   tion and development in eggs of the Common Snapping
   Turtle (Chelydra serpentina) from  Ontario, Canada. J.
   Toxicol. Environ. Health 33:  512-547-
Bishop, C.A. and Gendron, A.D. 1998. Reptiles and
amphibians: shy and sensitive vertebrates of the Great
Lakes basin and St. Lawrence River. Environ. Monit.
Assess. 53: 225-244.

Acknowledgments
Author: Kim Hughes, Canadian Wildlife Service, Envi-
ronment Canada, Downsview, ON.
Contributions from Christine Bishop, Ph.D., Canadian
Wildlife Service, Environment Canada, R.J. Brooks,
Ph.D., University of Guelph, Canadian Wildlife Service -
National Wildlife Research Centre and Peggy Ng, York
University.
Rates of Abnormal Development of Snapping Turtle Eggs

100 -i
80 -
S 60 "
I 40-
20 -
0 -
(1986- 1991)

(rates of deformed hatchlings plus unhatched eggs)



^^^
n
1 I 1 I I

II I I I I I I I I_H I *
t £ « 5 ^ 1
| 2 | | £ Stl
o | | o |
986
987
988
989
990
991

Lake Ontario St. Lawrence Lake Erie Reference
River Lake
^ Arrow indicates mean abnormality rate for Lake Sasajewun (1986-1989) = 6%
Figure 3. Rates of abnormal development (i.e., rates of deformed hatchlings plus
unhatched eggs) of Snapping Turtle eggs (1986-1991) at Canadian Great Lakes study sites
and one inland reference site.
(Source: Bishop and Gendron, 1998)
                                      SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 IndiLcatoirs (Diraft for Review, "Novembeir 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                             (Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Wetland-Dependent Bird Diversity and Abundance
    SOLEC Indicator #4507
    Purpose
    Assessments of the diversity and abundance of
    wetland-dependent birds in the Great Lakes basin are
    used to evaluate the  health and function of wetlands.
    Breeding birds are valuable components of Great Lakes
    wetlands and rely on the physical, chemical and
    biological health of their habitats.  Because these
    relationships are particularly strong during  the breed-
    ing season, the presence and abundance of breeding
    individuals can provide a source of information on
    wetland status and trends.  When long-term monitor-
    ing data are combined with an analysis of habitat
    characteristics, trends in species abundance and
    diversity can contribute to  an assessment of the ability
    of Great Lakes coastal wetlands to support birds and
    other wetland-dependent wildlife.  Populations of
    several wetland-dependent birds are at risk due to the
    continuing loss and  degradation of their habitats.

    Geographically extensive and long-term surveys of
    wetland-dependent birds are possible through the
    coordination of skilled volunteer naturalists in the appli-
    cation of standardized monitoring protocols. Information
    on the abundance, distribution and  diversity of marsh
    birds provides needed measures of their population
    trends, and with their habitat associations, can contribute
    to more effective, long-term conservation strategies.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The objective is to ensure healthy breeding populations
    of Great Lakes wetland-dependent birds by sustaining the
    necessary quantity and quality of wetland habitat.

    State of the Ecosystem
    From 1995 through 1999, 53 species of birds that use
    marshes (wetlands dominated by non-woody emergent
    plants) for feeding, nesting or both were recorded by
    Marsh Monitoring Program (MMP) volunteers at 322
    routes throughout the Great Lakes basin. Among the
    bird species that typically feed in the air above marshes,
    Tree Swallow and Barn Swallow were the two most
    common. Red-winged Blackbird was the most com-
    monly recorded marsh nesting species, followed by
    Swamp Sparrow, Common Yellowthroat and Marsh
    Wren. Individual bird species varied considerably in their
    distribution among lake basins; patterns likely influenced
    by differences in species geographic range and variation
    among basins in sampled wetland habitat characteristics
such as permanency, size, and dominant vegetation type.

With only five years of data collected across the Great
Lakes basin, the MMP  is still quite young as a moni-
toring program.  Bird species occurrence  and num-
bers, and  their activity and likelihood  of being ob-
served, vary naturally among years and within seasons.
Although  results  are still preliminary,  trends are
presented  for several birds recorded on Great Lakes MMP
routes (Figure  la,b).  Population indices and trends (i.e.
average annual percent change in population index) are
presented  for species with statistically significant trends
between 1995  and 1999- Species with significant basin-
wide declines were Pied-billed Grebe, Blue-winged Teal,
American  Coot, undifferentiated Common Moorhen/
American  Coot, and Black Tern (Figure  la). Although
declines for Tree Swallow and Red-winged Blackbird were
not quite statistically significant, trends  for these species
are also presented because they are particularly widespread
and common marsh nesting birds. Statistically signifi-
cant basin-wide increases were observed  for Canada
Goose, Mallard, Chimney Swift, Northern Rough-
winged Swallow, Common Yellowthroat and Common
Crackle (Figure Ib). Each of the declining species de-
pends upon wetlands for breeding but, because they use
wetland habitats almost exclusively, the Pied-billed Grebe,
American  Coot, Common Moorhen, and Black Tern are
particularly dependent on the availability of healthy
wetlands.  Although declines in these wetland specialists
and increases in some wetland edge and generalist species
(e.g. Common Yellowthroat and Canada Goose) suggest
trends in wetland habitat conditions, additional years of
data and more  detailed analyses are required to under-
stand how these patterns relate to trends in Great Lakes
wetland functions.

Future Pressures
Future pressures  on wetland-dependent birds  will
likely include  continuing loss and degradation of
important breeding  habitats  through wetland  loss,
water level stabilization, sedimentation, contaminant
and nutrient inputs, and the invasion  of exotic plants
and animals.

Future Activities
Wherever possible, efforts should be made to maintain
high quality wetland habitats and adjacent upland
areas. In addition to loss, there is a need to address
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     43

-------
 Coastal Wetland! Indicators

    impacts that are detrimental to wetland health such as
    water level stabilization, invasive  species and inputs of
    toxic chemicals, nutrients and sediments.  Restoration
    programs are underway for  many degraded wetland
    areas  through the work of local  citizens, organizations
    and  governments.  Although significant progress has
    been  made, further conservation  and restoration work
    is needed.
                                                              munities at single sites. Assessments of the relationships
                                                              among count indices, bird population parameters, and
                                                              critical environmental factors are needed.

                                                              Although more frequent updates  are possible, report-
                                                              ing trend estimates every five  or six years is  most
                                                              appropriate for this indicator.   A variety of efforts are
                                                              underway to enhance reporting breadth  and efficiency.
                                    Pied-bled Grebe
                                     -tui-m, isi
Further Work Necessary
Monitoring of wetland-dependent bird species will
continue across the Great Lakes basin through the
MMP Continued monitoring of at least 100 routes
through  2006 is projected to  provide good resolution
for most of the  wetland-dependent birds recorded by
the MME  Recruitment and retention of program
participants will therefore continue to be a high priority,
particularly in coastal wetlands.  Further work is neces-
sary to establish
endpoints for bird
diversity and abun-
dance. Additional
monitoring and other
(e.g. remote sensing)
data and more de-
tailed analyses are
required to examine
trends in relation to
wetland habitat
characteristics at
basinwide, lake basin
and other spatial
scales. Current
monitoring is adapted
for large geographic
scales, work is cur-
rently underway to
help refine assess-
    ments of bird corn-
                                                                  Acknowledgements
                                                                  Author: Russ Weeber, Bird Studies Canada, Port Rowen,
                                                                  ON. The Marsh Monitoring Program is delivered by Bird
                                                                  Studies in partnership with Environment Canadas Canadian
                                                                  Wildlife Service and with significant support from the U.S.
                                                                  Environmental Protection Agency's Great Lakes National
                                                                  Program Office and Lake Erie Team. The contributions of all
                                                                  Marsh Monitoring Program staff and volunteers are gratefully
                                                                  acknowledged.
                                                                               B
Blue-winged Teal
 -13.! [-SH.-O.S)
Canada Goose
 2C.2 (4.9^7.7)
 Mallard
29.2 (17.0,42.5)
                                                           moorhen/coat
                           Chimney Swift
                            15.6 (1.7,31.8)
                                                                                                       N. Rough-winged Swallow
                                                                           I  -

                                                                           I  "
                                                           Tree Swallow
                                                                                   Common YelMhroat
                                                                                                         Common Gracfcle
                                                              1987   199B  19E
                                                                                   1996  1997
                                                                                                1999  1999   1996   1997  1993   1999
                                                                                                  Year
                                               id-winged Blackbird
                                                 -a (-suit)
                                               1996   1997
                                                  Year
    Figure 1:  Annual population indices of a) declining and b) increasing marsh nesting and aerial foraging bird species detected
    on Great Lakes basin MMP routes, 1995 through 1999- Population indices are based on counts of individuals inside the
    MMP station boundary and are defined relative to 1999 values; vertical bars indicate 95% confidence limits around annual
    indices. The estimated annual percent change (trend) are indicated for each species and the associated lower and upper
    extremes of 95% confidence limits are enclosed in parentheses.
44
                                      SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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                                                                                             (Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Coastal Wetland Area by Type
    SOLEC Indicator #4510

    Please note -figures 2 & 3 for this indicator are unavailable at this time
    Purpose
    The purpose of this indicator is to examine and better
    understand periodic changes in area of coastal wetland
    types, taking into account natural variations. The area
    indicator needs to  be  evaluated in terms  of wetland
    quality by looking at  both change in areal  extent and
    change within wetlands,  in concert with other indica-
    tors.

    Coastal wetlands include a range of habitats from bogs
    and treed swamps  to  emergent  marshes.  They also
    have many configurations.  Being open to  the lake,
    some are more susceptible to the influence of lake level
    changes than others which may be  behind barrier
    beaches.  Given the tremendous natural  variation that
    can occur in both quality and area as a result of
    fluctuating  water levels (e.g., Lake St.  Clair wetlands
    change in size by up  to 300 percent depending on
    water levels), this factor is paramount  in the interpre-
    tation of trends in wetland area.  For example,  recent
    low water levels have  moved wetland vegetation
    lakeward (where bottom topography is suitable),
    shrinking some and increasing  others in  addition to
    exposing many mudflats.  Yet when the  waters rise
    again, through exposure  during the low  water period,
    the seedbank may  result  in a reinvigoration of wetland
    vegetation.

    Ecosystem  Objective
    The ecosystem objective  is to reverse the trend toward
    loss and degradation of Great Lakes coastal wetlands,
    ensuring adequate  representation of wetland types
    across their  historical  range.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Wetlands continue to be lost and degraded, yet the
    ability to track and determine the extent and rate of
    this loss in a standardized way  is not yet feasible. The
    need to  know the location, type and area of Great
    Lakes coastal wetlands has been identified  by a
    number of individuals, groups  and  agencies for many
    years in order to understand the rate and distribution
    of the changes and track  conservation efforts. For
    example, in preparation for SOLEC '96, the possibil-
    ity of pulling together a map of Great  Lakes coastal
    wetlands was thoroughly investigated and  was  deter-
mined to be unfeasible at that time.  In addition to
distribution, the health and status of remaining Great
Lakes coastal wetlands, continues to be unknown.

A number of approaches to establish  a baseline and
determine trends in wetland area have been and will
continue to be considered.  Unfortunately, none of
these exactly match the method outlined for this
indicator at SOLEC '98.  It is hoped that a new Great
Lakes wetlands indicators consortium, which is sup-
ported by the US Environmental Protection Agency,
will  debate the merits of various indicators and ap-
proaches,  including wetland area.

In the meantime, many efforts have been initiated  to
estimate wetland area. For example,  on  the Canadian
side  of the basin, development of the Ontario Coastal
Wetland Atlas provides the  most comprehensive and
current data base of Ontario Great  Lakes wetlands.  It
includes a relatively complete,  spatially referenced
map and data base of Canada's Great Lakes coastal
wetlands present as of the mid-1980s.  It consolidates
and  enhances information from a variety of sources
including:  Ontario  Ministry of Natural  Resources'
(OMNR) wetland evaluations, Environment Canada's
Environmental Sensitivity Atlases, Natural Heritage
Information Centre,  OMNR's  Natural Areas Database
and  other site specific studies.

Adding up the area of individual wetlands from the
Ontario Atlas will provide an initial estimate of total
Canadian  Great Lakes coastal wetland area.  Unfortu-
nately, this is unlikely to be a method which is re-
peated since it  is labour intensive, expensive, and
covers a very large geographic area.  Therefore,  it does
not represent the baseline for a trend, rather it pro-
vides a very useful point-in-time reference which aids
in the selection of representative sites for monitoring
area and other indicators, and  improves  understanding
of wetland change.

The Wetland Inventory for Research  and Education
Network (WIRENET), which was  based on a  similar,
but less extensive process than the Atlas, including
mid-1980s wetland evaluations, provides an on-line
map of Ontario coastal wetlands at:
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     45

-------
 Coastal Wetland Indicators
    www.on.ec.gc.ca/glimr/wirenet/. WIRENET was used in
    the work on coastal wetland biodiversity investment areas
    for SOLEC '98.

    Other methods to look at trends in coastal wetland area
    rely on remotely sensed data. For example, the U.S. Fish
    and Wildlife Service published the National Wetland
    Inventory (NWI) in 1982, based on the analysis of aerial
    photographs with ground-truthing. The NWI includes
    delineated wetland types  using the system of Cowardin et
    al. (1979). Updates are to be prepared every 10 years
    with the first one in 1990 and the 2000 update due soon.
    Updates are based  on a statistical sampling of wetlands,
    not on a full set of aerial photos. The NWI, although
    very useful, does not specifically identify coastal wetlands.

    In Canada, trends in wetland  area, vegetation commu-
    nities  and  adjacent land uses have been mapped and
    digitized for eight coastal wetlands for seven different
    years between 1934 and 1995- These  data are based
    on air  photo  interpretation and include the following
    wetlands: Lake St. Clair marshes, Big Creek-Holiday
    Beach, Rondeau  Bay North Shore, Turkey Point,
    Oshawa Second Marsh,  Presqu'ile Marsh, Dunnville
    Marsh and  Long Point (see Fig. 1).  There are plans to
    add additional wetlands to this "Trends Through
                                                     Time" database in order to increase the representativeness
                                                     of the sites selected for the basin.  Plans are also
                                                     underway to investigate the potential to use these sites to
                                                     indicate and interpret change (Fig. 2) and status of
                                                     coastal wetlands at a basinwide scale (Fig.  3).

                                                     Numerous research efforts are underway to assess the use
                                                     of remote sensing technologies, and in some cases com-
                                                     bine the results of satellite remote sensing, aerial photog-
                                                     raphy and field work to document recent wetland loss. It
                                                     is hoped that in the future, remote sensing will be used
                                                     to provide an overview and facilitate a binational map of
                                                     Great Lakes coastal wetlands as well as to establish a
                                                     consistent methodology for tracking and anticipating
                                                     change and facilitate faster updates and better tracking of
                                                     wetland change in areas of high land-use change.

                                                     Future Pressures
                                                     There are many stressors which have and continue to
                                                     contribute to the loss and degradation of coastal wetland
                                                     area. These include:  filling, dredging and draining for
                                                     conversion to other uses such as urban, agricultural,
                                                     marina, and cottage development; shoreline modification;
                                                     water level regulation; sediment and nutrient loading
                                                     from watersheds; adjacent landuse; invasive species,
                                                     particularly exotics; and climate variability and change.
                                           Oshawa Second Marsh
                                                     Toronto®
                                                                             ~esqu  He
                                                                             Marsh
                            Turkey Point \^
                                            ^^
                      Lake St. Clair Marshes
1.
 Holiday Beach
                                                Dunnville Marsh
                                                           ® Buffalo
                                               Point
             * Big Creek-
                              Rondeau Bay
                              North Shore
          Figure 1. Location of eight coastal wetlands for "Trends Through Time" database.
46
                             SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                             (Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Many of these stressors require direct human action to
    implement, and thus, with proper consideration of the
    impacts, can be reduced. The natural dynamics of
    wetlands must be understood. Global climate variability
    and change have the potential to amplify the dynamics by
    reducing water levels in the Lakes in addition to changing
    seasonal storm intensity and frequency, water level
    fluctuations and temperature.

    Because of growing concerns around water quality and
    supply, which are key Great Lakes conservation issues,
    and the role of wetlands in flood attenuation, nutrient
    cycling and sediment trapping, wetland  changes will
    continue to be  monitored  closely.

    Future Activities
    There are activities  underway on many fronts and  at
    many scales to conserve remaining wetlands. These
    include: improving legislation, policies and permitting
    processes; communication and  outreach  activities to
    promote good stewardship; habitat and  biodiversity
    protection programs; habitat rehabilitation  programs;
    watershed stewardship; and research.  One example
    includes the current review of the Water Level  Regula-
    tion Plan  for Lake Ontario. In determining revisions
    to the plan, this review will consider wetlands, fisher-
    ies and other environmental and emerging issues along
    with the traditional interests of hydropower, commer-
    cial navigation and shoreline property owners.

    Being able to track,  document and anticipate changes
    in coastal wetland area, distribution  and diversity  will
    direct wetland conservation to prevent the loss  of key
    areas and  maintain  and sustain hydrologic function in
    the Great Lakes basin.

    Further Work Necessary
    The difficult decisions on how to address human-
    induced stressors  causing wetlands loss have  been
    considered for some time.  A better understanding of
    wetland function  will help  to assess exactly what is
    being lost. An educated public is  critical to ensuring
    that wise decisions about the stewardship of the Great
    Lakes basin  ecosystem are made.  Better  platforms  for
    getting understandable information to the public  are
    needed.

    As mentioned previously, it is  hoped that a  new
    binational Great Lakes coastal wetland indicator
    consortium will wrestle with all of the difficult issues
    with respect to the most appropriate, implementable
method for tracking trends in area as well as the fre-
quency with which it is monitored and reported, in order
to establish the best technique.

Acknowledgments
Authors: Lesley Dunn, Canadian Wildlife Service,
Environment Canada, Downsview, ON and Laurie
Maynard, Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment
Canada, Guelph, ON.
Contributions from Doug Forder, Canadian Wildlife
Service, Environment Canada, Duane Heaton, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Linda Mortsch,
Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada,
Nancy Patterson, Canadian Wildlife Service, Environ-
ment Canada and Brian Potter, Ontario Ministry of
Natural Resources.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     47

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Coastal Wetland! Indicators

   Effect ofWater Level Fluctuations
   SOLEC Indicator #4861
   Purpose
   The purpose of this indicator is to  examine the historic
   water levels  in all of the Great Lakes, and compare
   these  levels and their  effects on wetlands with post-
   regulated levels in Lakes  Superior and Ontario, where
   water levels  have  been regulated since about 1914 and
   1959, respectively. Naturally  fluctuating water  levels
   are known to be  essential for  maintaining the ecologi-
   cal health of Great Lakes shoreline  ecosystems, espe-
   cially coastal wetlands. Thus,  comparing the hydrol-
   ogy of the Lakes serves as an indicator of degradation
   caused by the artificial alteration of the naturally
   fluctuating hydrological  cycle. Furthermore, water
   level fluctuations  can  be  used  to examine effects on
   wetland vegetation communities over time as well as aid
   in interpreting estimates of coastal wetland area, especially
   in those Great Lakes for which water levels are not
   regulated.

   Ecosystem Objective
   The ecosystem objective is to maintain the diverse array
                                                         of Great Lakes coastal wetlands by allowing, as closely as
                                                         is possible, the natural seasonal and long-term fluctua-
                                                         tions of Great Lakes water levels. Great Lakes shoreline
                                                         ecosystems are dependent upon natural disturbance
                                                         processes, such as water level fluctuations, if they are to
                                                         function as dynamic systems. Naturally fluctuating water
                                                         levels create ever-changing conditions along the Great
                                                         Lakes shoreline, and the biological communities that
                                                         populate these coastal wetlands have responded to these
                                                         dynamic changes with rich and diverse assemblages of
                                                         species.

                                                         State of the Ecosystem
                                                         Water levels in the Great Lakes have been measured since
                                                         1860, but even 140 years is a relatively short period of
                                                         time when assessing the hydrological history of the Lakes.
                                                         Sediment investigations conducted recently by
                                                         Thompson and Baedke on the Lake Michigan-Huron
                                                         system indicate quasi-periodic lake level fluctuations
                                                         (Figure 1), both in period and amplitude, on an average
                                                         of about 160 years, but ranging from 120 - 200 years.
c
O   |7f! 5
W—»
co
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LU
                        •           upper
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                                v
                                                                                                      fcfffi
                                                                                                      •-»
                                                                                                            m
                                                                                                            CD
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                                                                                                      584   =5
                                                                                                      It -'4
                              SCO    1COO    1500    2000    25CO    30CO    350C
                                            Calendar              1950
                                                                                    
-------
    Within this 160-year period, there also appear to be sub-
    fluctuations of approximately 33 years. Therefore, to
    assess water level fluctuations and wetland trends, it is
    necessary to look at long-term data.

    Because Lake Superior is at the upper end of the water-
    shed, the fluctuations have less amplitude than the other
    Lakes. Lake Ontario (Figure 2), at the lower end of the
    watershed, more clearly shows these quasi-periodic
    fluctuations and the almost complete elimination of the
    high and low levels since the Lake level began to be
    regulated in 1959, and more rigorously since 1976. For
    example, the 1986 high level that was observed in the
    other Lakes was eliminated from Lake Ontario. The level
    in Lake Ontario after 1959 contrasts that Lake Michigan-
    Huron (Figure 3),  which shows the more characteristic
    high and low water levels.
                                                | (Coastal Wetland Indicators
                    Seasonal water level fluctuations result in higher summer
                    water levels and lower winter levels. Additionally, the
                    often unstable summer water levels ensure a varied
                    hydrology for the diverse plants species inhabiting coastal
                    wetlands. Without the seasonal variation, the wetland
                    zone would be much narrower and less diverse. Even very
                    short-term fluctuations resulting from changes in wind
                    direction and barometric pressure can substantially alter
                    the area inundated, and thus, the coastal wetland commu-
                    nity.

                    Long-term water level fluctuations, of course, have an
                    impact over a longer period of time. During periods of
                    high water, there is a die-off of shrubs, cattails, and other
                    woody or emergent species that cannot tolerate long
                    periods of increased depth of inundation. At the same
                    time, there is an expansion of aquatic communities,
                                       Lake Ontario Actual  Level
                6677
                0505
0   0   1
050
111111111111111112
999999999999999990
122334455667788990
505050505050505050
      Figure 2.
    The significance of seasonal and long-term water level
    fluctuations  on coastal wetlands is perhaps best
    explained in  terms of the vegetation, which, in addition
    to its own diverse composition, provides the substrate,
    food, cover, and habitat for many other species depend-
    ent on coastal wetlands.
                    notably submergents, into the newly inundated area. As
                    the water levels recede, seeds buried in the sediments
                    germinate and vegetate this newly exposed zone, while
                    the aquatic communities recede outward back into the
                    Lake. During periods of low water, woody plants and
                    emergents expand again to reclaim their former area as
                    aquatic communities establish themselves further outward
                    into the Lake.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                                        49

-------
 Coastal Wetland! Indicators

    The long-term high-low fluctuation puts natural stress on
    coastal wetlands, but is vital in maintaining wetland
    diversity. It is the mid-zone of coastal wetlands that
    harbours the greatest biodiversity. Under more stable
    water levels, coastal wetlands occupy narrower zones along
    the Lakes and are considerably less diverse, as the more
    dominant species, such as cattails, take over to the
    detriment of those less able to compete under a stable
    water regime. This is characteristic of many of the coastal
    wetlands of Lake Ontario, where water levels  are regu-
    lated.

    Future Pressures
    Future pressures on the ecosystem include additional
    withdrawals or diversions of water from the Lakes, or
    additional regulation or smoothing of the high and low
    water levels. These potential future pressures will require
    direct human intervention to implement, and thus, with
    proper consideration of the impacts,
    can be prevented. The more insidious impact could be
    due to global climate variability and change. The quasi-
    periodic fluctuations of water levels are the result of
    climatic effects, and global climate change has the poten-
    tial to  greatly alter the water levels in the Lakes.
                       Future Activities
                       A new reference study is planned for Lake Ontario to
                       develop a more ecologically compatible plan for water
                       level regulation. With this work, there is hope that Lake
                       Ontario's coastal wetlands will benefit from a better plan
                       for managing Lake water levels.

                       Continued monitoring of water levels in all of the Great
                       Lakes is vital to understanding coastal wetland dynamics
                       and the  ability to assess wetland health on a large scale.
                       Fluctuations in water levels are the driving force behind
                       coastal wetland biodiversity and overall wetland health.
                       Their effects on wetland ecosystems must be recognized
                       and monitored throughout the Great Lakes basin in both
                       regulated and unregulated Lakes.

                       Further Work Necessary
                       The difficult decisions on how to address human-induced
                       global climate change extend far beyond the bounds of
                       Great Lakes coastal wetlands, but this could be a major
                       cause of lowered water levels in the Lakes in future years.

                       Also, an educated public is critical to  ensuring wise
                       decisions about the stewardship of the Great Lakes Basin
                       ecosystem, and better platforms to getting understandable
                       information to the public are needed.
                               Lake Michigan-Huron Actual  Levels
             175.5
                  11111111111111111111111111112
                  88888888999999999999999999990
                  66778899001122334455667788990
                  05050505050505050505050505050
  Figure 3.
50
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                          (Coastal Wetland Indicators
    Because Lake level fluctuations occur over long quasi-
    periodic fluctuations, modification of this indicator is
    necessary from that presented at SOLEC in 1998.

    Acknowledgments
    Author: Duane Heaton, U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, Chicago, IL.
    Contributions from Douglas A. Wilcox, Ph.D., U.S.
    Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division, Todd
    A. Thompson, Ph.D., Indiana Geological Survey, and
    Steve J. Baedke, Ph.D., James Madison University.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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"Nearshore Terrestrial Indicators |
   Area, Quality and Protection of Alvar Communities
   SOLEC Indicator #8129 (in part)
   Purpose
   This indicator assesses the status of one of the 12
   special lakeshore communities identified within the
   nearshore terrestrial area.   Alvar communities are
   naturally open habitats occurring on flat limestone
   bedrock.  They have a distinctive set of plant species
   and vegetative associations, and include many species
   of plants, molluscs, and invertebrates that are rare
   elsewhere in the basin.  All 15 types of alvars and
   associated habitats occurring in the Great Lakes-St.
   Lawrence basin are globally imperiled or rare.
   Ecosystem Objective
   Conservation of alvar communities relates to IJC
   Desired Outcome 6: Biological Community Integrity
   and Diversity.  A four-year study of Great Lakes alvars
   completed in 1998 (the International Alvar Conserva-
   tion Initiative - IACI) evaluated conservation targets
   for alvar communities,  and concluded that essentially
   all of the  existing viable occurrences should be  main-
   tained, since all types are below the minimum thresh-
   old of 30-60 viable examples.  As well as conserving
   these  ecologically distinct communities,  this target
   would protect populations of dozens of globally
   significant and  disjunct species. A few species, such as
   Lakeside Daisy (Hymenoxis herbacea) and the beetle
   Chlaenius p. purpuricollis, have nearly  all  of their global
   occurrences within  Great Lakes alvar sites.

   State  of the Ecosystem
   Alvar  habitats have likely always been sparsely  distrib-
   uted,  but  more than 90% of their original extent has
   been destroyed or substantially degraded by agricul-
   ture and other  human uses.  Approximately 64% of
   the remaining alvar area occurs within Ontario, with
   about 16% in New York State, 15%  in Michigan, 4%
   in Ohio, and smaller areas in Wisconsin  and Quebec.

   Data from the IACI and state/provincial alvar studies was
   screened and updated to identify viable  community
   occurrences. Just over 2/3 of known Great Lakes alvars
   occur close to the shoreline, with all or a substantial
   portion  of their area within 1  km of the shore.

   Note  that  typically several different community types
   occur within each alvar site.

No. of alvar sites
No. of community
occurrences
Alvar acreage
Total in Basin
82
204
28,475
Nearshore
52
138
20,009
Among the 15 community types documented, six types
show a strong association (over 80% of their acreage)
with nearshore settings. Four types have less than half of
their occurrences in nearshore settings.

The current  status of all nearshore alvar  communities
was evaluated by  considering current  land ownership
and the type and  severity of threats to their integrity.
As shown in the figure, less than  l/5th of the
nearshore alvar  acreage is currently fully protected,
while over 3/5th is at high risk.
             Protection Status 2000
               Nearshore Alvar Acreage
       Limited 11.9%
                            Partly 9.1%
    At High Risk 60.2%
                                     Fully 18.8%
The degree of protection for nearshore alvar communities
varies considerably among jurisdictions. For example,
Michigan has 66% of its nearshore alvar acreage in the
Fully Protected category, while Ontario has only 7%. In
part, this is a reflection of the much larger total shoreline
acreage in Ontario, as shown in the following figure.
(Other states have too few nearshore sites to  allow
comparison).

Each alvar community occurrence has been assigned an
"EO rank" to reflect its relative quality and condition. A
                                        SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
           Comparison of Acreage Protected
            Nearshore Alvars: Ontario and Michigan
          16000-
       o
       g  6000
       ^  4000
          2000
            0
                     Ontario

              At High Risk
              Partly Protected
        r
    Michigan

Limited
Fully Protected
    and B-ranks are considered viable, while C-ranks are
    marginal.  As shown in the following figure, protection
    efforts to secure alvars have clearly focused on the best
    quality sites.
            Protection of High Quality Alvars
                       Nearshore Alvars
                           AB         B
                             EO Rank
         BC&C
               Partly Protected
Fully Protected
    Pressure on the Ecosystem
    Nearshore alvar communities are most frequently threat-
    ened by habitat fragmentation and loss, trails and off-road
    vehicles, resource extraction uses such as quarrying or
    logging, and adjacent land uses such as residential subdi-
    visions.  Less frequent threats include grazing or deer
    browsing, plant collecting for bonsai or other hobbies,
    and invasion by exotic plants such as European Buck-
    thorn and Dog-strangling Vine.

    Recent Progress
    Documentation of the extent and quality of alvars
    through the IACI has been a major step forward, and has
    stimulated much greater public awareness and conserva-
    tion activity for these habitats.  Over the past  two  years,
    a total of 10 securement projects has resulted in protec-
                                                   | "Near-shore Terrestrial Indicators |
                            tion of at least 5289-5 acres of alvars across the Great
                            Lakes basin, with 3344.5 acres of that within the
                            nearshore area. Most of the secured nearshore area is
                            through land acquisition, but 56 acres on Pelee Island
                            (ON) are through a conservation easement, and 1.5 acres
                            on Kelleys Island (OH) are through State dedication of a
                            nature reserve. These projects have increased the area of
                            protected alvar dramatically in a short time.
1998
2000-
Protected
Percen
Nearshore Alvar 1998-2000
tage Fully or Partly Protected

/ n
111 ;


/ > }
28| )

^

^^


Future Actions
Because of the large number of significant alvar commu-
nities at risk, particularly in Ontario, their status should
be closely watched to ensure that they are not lost. A re-
assessment of their status every 2-3 years would be
appropriate. Major bi-national projects hold great
promise for further progress, since alvars are a Great
Lakes resource, but most of the unprotected area is
within Ontario. Projects could usefully be modelled after
the 1999 Manitoulin Island (ON) acquisition of 17,000
acres, which took place through a cooperative project of
The Nature Conservancy of Canada, The Nature Con-
servancy, Federation of Ontario Naturalists, and Ontario
Ministry of Natural Resources.

For Further Information
A baseline database of both nearshore and basin-wide
alvar occurrences has been developed, along with an
analysis report: Status of Great Lakes Alvars 2000. Results
from the IACI are summarized in Conserving Great Lakes
Alvars (1999), available from The Nature Conservancy
Great Lakes Program Office in Chicago.

Acknowledgments
Authors: Ron Reid, Bobolink Enterprises, Washago,
ON, and Heather Potter, The Nature Conservancy,
Chicago, IL
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                                                  53

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 "Nearshore Terras trial Indicators |
    Extent of Hardened Shoreline
    SOLEC Indicator #8131
    Purpose
    This indicator assesses the extent of hardened shore-
    line through construction of sheet piling, rip rap, or
    other erosion control structures.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Shoreline  conditions should be healthy to support
    aquatic and terrestrial plant and animal life,  including
    the rarest  species.

    Anthropogenic hardening of the shorelines not only
    directly destroys natural  features  and  biological
    communities, it also has  a more subtle but still devas-
    tating impact. Many of the biological communities
    along the  Great Lakes are dependent  upon the trans-
    port of shoreline sediment by lake currents. Altering
    the transport  of sediment disrupts the balance  of
    accretion and erosion of  materials carried along the
    shoreline by wave action  and lake currents. The
    resulting loss  of sediment replenishment can intensify
    the effects of erosion, causing  ecological and  economic
    impacts. Erosion of sand spits and other barriers
    allows increased exposure and loss of  coastal  wetlands.
    Dune formations can be  lost or reduced due  to lack of
    adequate nourishment of new sand  to replace sand
    that is carried away. Increased erosion also causes
    property damage to shoreline properties.

    State of the Ecosystem
    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
    tion  (NOAA) Medium Resolution  digital Shorelines
    dataset was compiled between 1988 and  1992. It
    contains data on both the Canadian and U.S.  shore-
    lines,  using aerial photography from 1979 for the state
    of Michigan and from  1987-1989 for the rest of the
    basin.

    From this  dataset,  shoreline hardening has been
    categorized for each Lake and connecting channel.
    Table 1 indicates the percentages of shorelines in each
    of these categories. The St. Clair, Detroit, and  Niagara
    Rivers have a higher percentage of their shorelines
    hardened than anywhere  else in the basin. Of the
    Lakes themselves, Lake Erie has  the highest percentage
    of its shoreline hardened, and Lakes Huron and
    Superior have the lowest.

    In 1999, Environment Canada assessed change in the
                       extent of shoreline hardening along about 22 kilometers
                       of the Canadian side of the St. Clair River from 1991-
                       1992 to  1999- Over the 8-year period, an additional 5-5
                       kilometers (32 percent) of the shoreline had been hard-
                       ened. This is clearly not representative of the overall
                       basin, as the St. Clair River is a narrow shipping channel
                       with high volumes of Great Lakes traffic. This area also
                       has experienced significant development along its shore-
                       lines, and many property owners are hardening the
                       shoreline to reduce the impacts of erosion.

                       Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
                       Shoreline hardening is not  generally reversible, so once
                       a section of shoreline has been hardened,  it can be
                       considered a permanent feature.  As  such,  the current
                       state  of shoreline  hardening likely represents the best
                       condition that can be expected in the future.

                       Pressure will continue to harden additional stretches
                       of shoreline, especially during periods of high  lake
                       levels. This additional hardening in  turn will starve
                       the downcurrent areas of sediment to replenish that
                       which eroded away, causing further  erosion and
                       further incentive for additional hardening. Thus,  a
                       cycle of shoreline  hardening can progress along the
                       shoreline.

                       The future pressures on the ecosystem resulting from
                       existing  hardening will almost certainly continue,  and
                       additional hardening is likely in  the future. The
                       uncertainly is whether the rate can be  reduced and
                       ultimately halted.  In addition to the economic costs,
                       the ecological costs are of concern, particularly the
                       further lost or degradation  of coastal wetlands and
                       sand  dunes.

                       Future Actions
                       Shoreline hardening can be controversial,  even liti-
                       gious, when one property owner hardens  a stretch of
                       shoreline that may increase erosion of an adjacent
                       property. The ecological impacts are not only  difficult
                       to quantify as a monetary equivalent,  but  difficult to
                       perceive  without an understanding of sediment
                       transport along  the lakeshores. The importance of the
                       ecological process  of sediment transport needs to  be
                       better understood as an incentive to reduce new
                       shoreline hardening. An educated public  is critical to
                       ensuring wise decisions about the  stewardship of the
54
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    Great Lakes basin ecosystem, and better platforms for
    getting understandable information to the public is
    needed.

    Further Work Necessary
    It is possible that  more recent aerial photography of
    the shoreline will  be interpreted to show more recently
    hardened shorelines. Once more recent data provides
    information on  hardened areas, updates may only be
    necessary basinwide every 10 years, with monitoring of
    high-risk areas every 5 years.
                       | "Near-shore Terrestrial Indicators |
Acknowledgments
Authors: John Schneider, US Environmental Protection
Agency, Great Lakes National Program Office, Chicago,
IL, Duane Heaton, US Environmental Protection
Agency, Great Lakes National Program Office, Chicago,
IL, and Harold Leadlay, Environment Canada, Environ-
mental Emergencies Section, Downsview, ON
Lake/Connecting
Channel
Lake Superior
St. Marys River
Lake Huron
Lake Michigan
St. Clair River
Lake St. Clair
Detroit River
Lake Erie
Niagara River
Lake Ontario
St. Lawrence Seaway
All 5 Lakes
All Connecting Channels
Entire Basin
70-100%
Hardened
(%)
3.1
2.9
1.5
8.6
69.3
11.3
47.2
20.4
44.3
10.2
12.6
5.7
15.4
7.6
40-70%
Hardened
(%)
1.1
1.6
1.0
2.9
24.9
25.8
22.6
11.3
8.8
6.3
9.3
2.8
11.5
4.6
15-40%
Hardened
(%)
3.0
7.5
4.5
30.3
2.1
11.8
8.0
16.9
16.7
18.6
17.2
10.6
14.0
11.3
0-15%
Hardened
(%)
89.4
81.3
91.6
57.5
3.6
50.7
22.2
49.1
29.3
57.2
54.7
78.3
54.4
73.5
Non-
structural
Modifications
(%)
0.03
1.6
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
1.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.3
0.5
Unclassified
(%)
3.4
5.1
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
0.9
7.7
6.2
2.0
4.4
2.5
Total
Shoreline
(km)
5,080
707
6,366
2,713
100
629
244
1,608
184
1,772
2,571
17,539
4,436
21,974
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                    55

-------
"Nearshore Terras trial Indicators |
   Contaminants Affecting Productivity of Bald Eagles
   SOLEC Indicator #8135
   Purpose
   The indicator assesses the number of fledged young,
   number of developmental deformities, and the concentra-
   tions of organic and heavy metal contamination in bald
   eagle eggs, blood, and feathers. The data will be used to
   infer the potential for harm to other wildlife and human
   health through the consumption of contaminated fish.
NOAEC concentrations for PCBs were 4.0 mg/kg and
2.7 mg/kg for p,p'-DDE.

The number of developmental deformities observed has
increased over time. This may be due to the lesser
importance of the egg shell  thinning related to p,p-DDE
as a negative impact to the ability of eagles to reproduce.
   Ecosystem Objective
   This indicator supports monitoring of progress
   under the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement
   for several of the Annexes. Under Annex 2, it
   will track progress under the Remedial Action
   Plans (PvAPs) and Lakewide Management Plans
   (LaMPs) for several of the beneficial use impair-
   ments including effects on wildlife habitat,
   presence of developmental deformities, and
   degradation of wildlife populations. Under
   Annex 12, concentrations of persistent toxic
   substances within the tissues of a top-level
   predator of the Great Lakes will be tracked, and
   trends can be drawn. Under Annex 13, pollution
   from non-point sources will also be tracked since
   many pairs of eagles nest in areas away from
   point sources of pollution.

   State of the Ecosystem
   The Great Lakes ecosystem may be slowly
   recovering, based on the current measures used
   for the bald eagle. These are: 1) Concentrations
   of DDT Complex, PCB, PCDD, PCDF and
   other organic contaminants and mercury and
   other heavy metals in Bald Eagle eggs, blood, and
   feathers; 2) number of fledged young produced;
   and 3) number of developmental deformities.

   Based on the first year of the Michigan
   Biosentinel Eagle Project, the concentrations of
   p,p-DDE, Total PCBs, and mercury in blood
   plasma and feathers of nestling bald eagles are
   either stable, or declining from concentrations
   observed in the late 1980s and early 1990s.
   While the majority (>95%) of egg concentrations
   are still greater than NOAECs  for PCBs and p,p'-
   DDE, in a few, isolated shorelines, they have
   been below the NOAECs (Figures 1 and 2). No
   trends are apparent for the entire Great Lakes
   population of bald eagles in either analysis.  The
Total PCB
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
19
, ppm, fresh wt.
•
•
•
•
•
• •
• »
* •
• •
•
: •
,!«! '
. • * . .
• . 5 •
.;.;••• .
.

65 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Figure 1. Concentrations of Total PCBs, mg/kg, fresh wet weight
in unhatched bald eagle eggs collected from the Great Lakes, 1968-
1995-
(Source: Bowerman et al. 1998)
pp'-DDE
50
40-
30
20
10-
o-
19
, ppm, fresh wt.
'
'
.
• •""••"
. :!=:•:
.......

65 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Figure 2. Concentrations of p,p'-DDE, mg/kg, fresh wet weight
in unhatched bald eagle eggs collected from the Great Lakes,
1968-1995-
(Source: Bowerman et al. 1998).
                                      SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    No developmental deformities have been observed since
    1995 in nestling eagles, however, the effort to visit nests
    along the shorelines of the Great Lakes has also declined
    with the state of Michigan being the sole exception.

    The number of nestling eagles fledged from nests along
    the shorelines of the Great Lakes has steadily increased
    from 6 in  1977 to over 200 in 2000. Eagles nesting
    along Lake Erie and along the Wisconsin shoreline of
    Lake Superior have been consistently above the 1.0 young
    per occupied nest criteria for the past few years.  Other
    areas of Lakes Superior, and the entirety of Lakes Michi-
    gan and Huron, have not attained this level. In 2000, the
    first record of a nesting pair of bald eagles along the
    shoreline of Lake Ontario was observed. One young
    fledged and an unhatched egg was collected by Peter Nye
    of New York DEC.  The approximate areas of the Great
    Lakes shorelines that have nesting eagles is shown in
    Figure 3-
                                                | "Near-shore Terrestrial Indicators |
                         eagles along the lakeshores is important for mitigation of
                         the other stressors. Education of the public on how to
                         interact with eagles during the critical periods of their
                         reproductive cycle, when solitude is necessary, is another,
                         continuing means of mitigation.  Use of risk assessment
                         and environmental impact analysis is critical prior to loss
                         of barrier dams along Great Lakes tributaries, to ensure
                         that fish-dependent wildlife are not negatively impacted
                         should fish passage be implemented.

                         Further Work Necessary
                         Under the Clean Michigan Initiative, Michigan DEQhas
                         increased its surveillance and monitoring of bald eagles,
                         to determine trends in concentrations of persistent toxic
                         substances. Michigan, will therefore, maintain a
                         statewide eagle survey which can also be used for a
                         baseline for other regions of the Great Lakes. The state
                         of Ohio and the Province of Ontario have stopped
                         banding nestling eagles along Lake Erie in recent years,
    Future Pressures
    The current and future pressures
    on nesting eagles of the Great
    Lakes ecosystem are:  1) the
    continued exposure, through food
    chain mechanisms, to environ-
    mental pollutants and their
    detrimental effects on reproduc-
    tion; 2) other human related
    pressures on nesting eagles due to
    disturbances near nest sites; 3) in
    some areas  of the Great Lakes,
    food availability plays some role in
    productivity; 4) loss of habitat
    due to development;  5) for eagles
    nesting above barrier dams, the
    potential for fish passage of
    contaminated Great Lakes fishes;
    and, 6) potential increases in
    mortality due to loss  of protection
    after delisting from the U.S.
    Endangered Species list.

    Future Activities
    Progress toward elimination of
    sources and inputs to the lakes of
    persistent toxic substances would
    mitigate the first pressure. Man-
    agement plans for nesting, roost-
    ing, and perching habitat for
                   SUPERIOR  o  J
                  ,==     '     \
o
                                                                      st,
                                                                        Kver.
      WISCON3 N

                                                  /':'
                         INDANA  •• i
                                     OHIO
Figure 3. Approximate nesting locations of bald eagles along the Great Lakes shore-
lines, 2000.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                                              57

-------
"Nearshore Terras trial Indicators |
   but they have both maintained their eagle nesting sur-
   veys. A periodic sampling for contaminant trends should
   be undertaken specifically for reporting under this Indica-
   tor. To improve monitoring under this indicator we need
   to cover the Canadian regions of Lakes Huron and
   Superior better and include them in monitoring activi-
   ties. Wisconsin maintains its eagle surveys and banding
   activities, however, decreased funding may threaten their
   program. A comprehensive, Basin-wide database of bald
   eagle nesting, contaminant, and productivity data de-
   signed for this Indicator needs to be completed. This will
   both improve access to data and allow for better interpre-
   tation of these data.  In addition, the early 1990s survey
   of the entire Great Lakes shoreline to determine the
   amount and locations of potential nesting habitat should
   be repeated to document the state of this habitat and
   potential threats. The appropriate reporting frequency for
   SOLEC should be biannually

   Sources
   Data for Figures 1 and 2 from Bowerman, W.W., D.A.
   Best,TG. Grubb, G.M. Zimmerman, and J.P Giesy.
   1998. Trends of contaminants and effects for bald eagles
   of the Great Lakes Basin. Environmental Monitoring
   and Assessment 53 (1): 197-212.
   Data regarding bald eagle locations (Figure 3) from
   Bowerman 1993, Lake Erie and Lake Superior LaMPs,
   and for Lake Ontario, Peter Nye, NYDEC.

   Acknowledgments
   Authors: William Bowerman, Clemson University, David
   Best, U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, and Michael
   Gilbertson, International Joint Commission.
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                       "Near-shore Terrestrial Indicators
    Population Monitoring and Contaminants affecting the American Otter
    SOLEC Indicator #8147
    Purpose
    To directly measure the contaminant concentrations
    found in American otter populations within the Great
    Lakes basin and to indirectly measure the health of Great
    Lakes habitat, progress in Great Lakes ecosystem
    management, and/or concentrations of contaminants
    present in the Great Lakes. Importantly, as a society we
    have a moral responsibility to sustain healthy populations
    of American otter in the Great Lakes/St. Lawrence basin.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The importance of the American otter as a bio-sentinel is
    related to IJC Desired Outcomes 6: Biological
    Community Integrity and Diversity, and 7: Virtual
    Elimination of Inputs of Persistent Toxic Chemicals.
    Secondly, American otter populations in the upper Great
    Lakes should be maintained, and restored as sustainable
    populations in all Great Lakes coastal zones, lower Lake
    Michigan, western Lake Ontario, and Lake Erie
    watersheds and shorelines.  Lastly,  Great Lakes shoreline
    and watershed populations of American otter should have
    an annual mean production of > 2 young/adult female;
    and concentrations of heavy metal and organic
contaminants should be less than the NOAEL found in
tissue sample from mink as compared to otter tissue
samples.

State of Great Lakes Otter
In a review of general population indices of State and
Provincial otter population data indicates primary areas
of population suppression still exist in western Lake
Ontario watersheds, southern Lake Huron watersheds,
lower Lake Michigan and most Lake Erie watersheds.
Most coastal shoreline areas have more suppressed
populations than interior zones and Great Lakes drainage
populations.

Data provided from New York DEC and Ontario MNR
suggests that otter are almost absent in western Lake
Ontario.   Areas of otter population suppression are
directly related with human population centers and
subsequent habitat loss, except for some  coastal areas.
Little statistically viable population data exists for the
Great Lakes populations, and all suggested population
levels were determined from coarse population assessment
methods (see table below).
State/Province
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Michigan
Illinois
Indiana
Ohio
Pennsylvania
New York
Ontario
Spatial data that
includes Great Lakes
drainages (method)
yes (registration, aerial
surveys)
yes (registration,
research)
yes (registration,
research)
yes, minimal
(presence/absence,
surveys, model)
yes (presence/absence,
surveys, model)
yes (presence/absence,
surveys, model)
yes (minimal)
yes (registration,
research)
yes, trapper surveys
Visible
Coastal
Data
limited
limited
yes
no
no
no
no
no
no
Minimum
Spatial Scale
30 mi2
variable, Deer
Management
Unit
1 mi2
variable,
watershed
variable,
watershed
variable,
watershed
variable
variable, town,
county, wildlife
management
unit, watershed
variable
Reproductive
Data
yes, limited
yes, mandatory,
every three years
yes, voluntary
about 100
carcasses annually
yes, limited
yes, limited
yes, limited
yes, limited
yes (historic),
limited, voluntary
yes, limited
Minimum Spatial
Scale Data Linked to
Reproductive Data
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
no
Restoration
no
no
no
recent
recent
recent
recent
occurring
no
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing- IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                    59

-------
 "Nearshore Terras trial Indicators |
    Future Pressures
    American otters are a direct link to organic and heavy
    metal concentrations in the food chain. It is a more
    sedentary species and subsequently synthesizes
    contaminants from smaller areas.  Contaminants are a
    potential and existing problem for many otter
    populations on the Great Lakes. Globally indications of
    contaminant problems have been noted by decreased
    population levels, morphological abnormalities (i.e
    decreased baculum length) and decline in fecundity.
    Changes  in the species population and range are also
    representative of anthropogenic riverine and lacustrine
    habitat alterations.

    Future Actions
    Michigan and Wisconsin have indicated a need for an
    independent survey using aerial survey methods to index
    otter populations in their respective jurisdictions.
    Minnesota has already started aerial population surveys
    for otter.  Subsequently, some presence absence data may
    be available for Great Lakes watersheds and coastal
    populations. In addition, if the surveys are conducted
    annually  the trend data may become useful.

    There was agreement among  resource managers on the
    merits of aerial surveys methods to index otter
    populations. The method is appropriate in areas with
    adequate snow cover. However, the need for habitat
    suitability studies in advance  of such surveys is necessary
    prior to conducting useful aerial surveys.
    New York DEC, Ohio DNR, Federal jurisdictions and
    Tribes on Great Lakes coasts  indicated strong needs for
    future contaminant work on  American otter.

    Funding  is needed by all jurisdictions to do habitat,
    contaminant and aerial survey work.

    Further Work Necessary
    All state and provincial jurisdictions use different
    population assessment methods making comparisons
    difficult.  Most jurisdictions  use survey methods to
    determine populations on a large regional scale. Most
    coarse methods were developed to  assure that trapping is
    not limiting populations and that otter are adequately
    surviving and reproducing in their jurisdiction. There is
    little work done on finer spatial scales for using otter a
    barometer of ecosystem heath.

    All State and Provincial jurisdictions only marginally
    index Great Lakes watershed  populations by presence
    absence surveys, track surveys, observations,  trapper
                        surveys, population models, aerial surveys, and trapper
                        registration data.

                        Michigan has the most useful spatial data that can index
                        their Great Lakes coastal populations due to registration
                        of trapped animals to a point of kill accuracy of 1  mi2.
                        However, other population measures of health such as
                        reproductive rates, age and morphological measures are
                        not tied to spatial data in any jurisdiction, but are pooled
                        together for the entire areas. If carcasses are collected for
                        necropsy the samples are usually too small to accurately
                        define health of Great Lakes otter. Subsequently, there is
                        a large need to encourage resource management agencies
                        to stream line data for targeted population and
                        contaminant research on Great Lakes otter populations,
                        especially in coastal zones.

                        Acknowledgments
                        Author: Thomas  C.J. Doolittle, Bad River Tribe of Lake
                        Superior Chippewa Indians, Odanah, WI.
60
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    Urban Density
    SOLEC Indicator #7000
                                                                                                    Land
                                              Indicators
    Purpose
    This indicator measures human population density
    and indirectly measures the degree of inefficient land
    use and urban sprawl for communities in the Great
    Lakes Basin.  The number  of people that inhabit a
    community relative to its size is an indicator of the
    economic efficiency of that community based on the
    existence of 'economies of  scale' associated with high
    density development.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Increasing  urban density promotes economic viability
    and the pursuit  of sustainable development,  which are
    generally accepted goals  for society.  These objectives
    are threatened when population growth  is concen-
    trated such that  urban development does not occur at
    the expense of wetland and other  natural resources,
    through expansions of urban sprawl.  High density
    growth is an alternative to  urban sprawl.

    State of the Ecosystem
    There are marked differences around  the Great  Lakes
    Basin is communities'  urban densities.   Initial research
    results  indicates  that there  appears to be differences
    between  Canadian and US communities, although
    other factors, such as ongoing 'rust belt' US  popula-
    tion declines, may be partly responsible  for the statis-
    tical differences  in urban densities.

    Figure  1  below illustrates the urban densities among
    the larger more  established urban  cities of Toronto,
    Ontario and  Cuyahoga County, Ohio (which includes
    Cleveland) and the two smaller communities of the
5.00 -,
£
.* / nn
o
(/) c Q nn
S. *
~o //f o nn
3
3 1 nn
o n-uu
.c
n nn

Urban Density (1998-99)
	 4..ZQ 	




To



irr 1-87

nfiQ I


ronto'99 - Cuyahoga'98 - Niagara NY'98 - Niagara Ont'99
Regional Municipality of Niagara, Ontario and Niagara
County, New York.

In addition, there are significant differences  in the
sizes of these municipalities. The two Toronto  and the
Regional Municipality of Niagara  in Ontario are,
respectively, twice the size in population than
Cuyahoga County,  Ohio  and  Niagara County, New
York. Further, Toronto is part of a larger urban
developed area, known as the  Greater Toronto Area
which in total has an urban density that is closer to
Cuyahoga County.

The Canadian Province of Ontario, unlike most  Great
Lakes US states, has influenced  urban growth with a
highly centralized planning system, which employs  clear
provincial planning policies, guidelines and performance
indicators.  However, those policies have shifted  over the
last decade towards encouraging greater suburban expan-
sion through urban sprawl, including provisions for
expansion into 'prime' agricultural lands.

Trends over the  last ten years  indicate that population
densities  are increasing in both of the Canadian
communities sampled and stable to declining in the
US communities.  Increased new suburban low-
density development in the US communities,  simulta-
neous with declining populations  is exacerbating the
fall in densities.   While the Canadian communities are
experiencing increasing densities, there is on-going
low-density suburban pressure,  particularly for the
Greater Toronto Area.
                                                                               There are corresponding significant
                                                                               relationships between urban density and
                                                                               other indicators of land use, such as
                                                                               urban transit. This indicates that urban
                                                                               efficiency and the development of sus-
                                                                               tainable communities may be causally
                                                                               linked to the degree of urban population
                                                                               concentration.
      Figure 1. Urban densities in four Great Lakes urban communities.
                                                                               Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
                                                                               Apparent trends toward increasing urban
                                                                               densities in Ontario, notwithstanding,
                                                                               urban sprawl continues to place pressure
                                                                               on economic as well as environmental
                                                                               resources in Great Lakes basin communi-
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
Land Use Indicators |
   ties.  Continued low density development throughout the
   basin may have significant irreversible negative implica-
   tions for the Great Lakes ecosystem.

   Future Action
   There exists, in most Great  Lakes communities, the
   potential for increased use of brownfields and other
   underutilized areas within the existing developed sections
   of urban communities. Road, water and sewer and other
   infrastructure, typically is already in place to make this
   (re-) development economically viable and to conserve
   resources from being expended to clear land and install
   new infrastructure. Urban concentration policies at all
   levels of government that promote increased urban
   density are essential for this  to happen.

   Further Work Necessary
   Additional research is required to survey other communi-
   ties around the Great Lakes  basin to determine the extent
   of current  knowledge on community urban densities.
   Also, there is a need to further understand the broader
   economic  and environmental significance of different
   urban densities around the basin and the fuller implica-
   tions of declining and increasing densities. There is also a
   need to set standards for collecting and reporting on land
   use data, including urban  density. Finally, governments at
   all levels should join public interest groups and academic
   institutions in this research to broaden its appeal and
   understanding.

   Sources
   Rivers  Consulting and J. Barr Consulting.  "State of the
   Lakes Ecosystem Conference — Land Use Indicators
   Project".  Unpublished report Environment Canada.
   July 30, 2000.

   Acknowledgments
   Authors: Ray  River,  Rivers Consulting, Campbellville,
   ON, and John Barr, Burlington, ON.
                                        SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
                                                                                                   Land
                                             Indicators
    Brownfields Redevelopment
    SOLEC Indicator #7006

    Purpose
    To assess the acreage of redeveloped brownfields, and
    to evaluate over time the rate at which  society reha-
    bilitates and reuses former developed sites that have
    been degraded or abandoned.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The goal of brownfields redevelopment  is  to remove
    threats of contamination associated with these proper-
    ties and bring them back into productive  use.
    Remediation and redevelopment of brownfields results
    in two types of ecosystem improvements:  1) reduction
    or elimination of environmental risks from contamina-
    tion associated with these properties; and 2) reduction
    in pressure for open space conversion as previously
    developed properties are reused.

    State of the Ecosystem
    All eight Great Lakes states, Ontario and Quebec have
    programs to promote remediation or "cleanup" and
    redevelopment of brownfields sites. Several of the
    brownfields cleanup programs have been in place since
    the mid to late 1980s, but establishment of more
    comprehensive brownfields programs that focus on
    remediation and redevelopment has occurred  during
    the 1990s.  Today, each of the Great Lake states has a
    voluntary cleanup or environmental response program
    that offers a range of risk-based, site specific back-
    ground and health cleanup standards  that are applied
    based  on the specifics of the contaminated property.

    Efforts to track brownfields  redevelopment are uneven
    among Great Lakes jurisdictions.  Not all jurisdictions
    track brownfields activities and methods vary where
    tracking does take place. More fundamentally, there is
    no single definition for  brownfields. Most states track
    the number sites remediated through the state
    brownfields or cleanup program and some also track
    the number sites that  have been redeveloped.  How-
    ever, the  size of brownfields  varies greatly so the
    number of sites is not an effective indicator for assess-
    ing land  renewal efforts. The overall number of sites
    being  addressed does say something about the level of
    cleanup activity,  but this becomes problematic when
    there are several  different programs that address
    brownfields, but not brownfields  alone. Where clean-
    ups do not have formal reporting requirements, so
there is no information base for tracking brownfield
cleanups or redevelopment. No Great Lakes state or
province tracks acres of brownfields redeveloped, though
several are beginning to track acres of brownfields
remediated.

Remediation is a necessary precursor to redevelop-
ment. Remediation is often used interchangeably with
"clean-up," though brownfields  remediation  does not
always involve removing all contaminants from the
sites. Remediation includes, removal, treatment and
exposure controls. In many cases,  the cost of truly
cleaning up (i.e., treating) or removing the contami-
nants would  prohibit redevelopment or reuse. To
address  this obstacle to  brownfields reuse,  all Great
Lakes states and provinces allow some  contaminants to
remain on site as long as the risks of being exposed to
those contaminants are  eliminated or reduced to
acceptable levels. Capping a site with clean soil, or
restricting the use of groundwater are examples of
these "exposure controls" and their use has been a
major factor  in advancing brownfields redevelopment.

Information on acres of brownfields remediated from
Illinois, Minnesota, New York, and Pennsylvania
indicates that a total of 28,789 acres of brownfields
have been remediated in these jurisdictions alone.
Available data from six Great Lakes states indicates
that more than 8,662 brownfield sites have partici-
pated in brownfields cleanup programs. Redevelop-
ment is a criteria for eligibility under many state
brownfields cleanup programs. Where local
brownfields cleaned up  and redevelopment efforts are
independent  of state/provincial funding or oversight,
redevelopment activities  may go  underreported at the
state/provincial level. Though  there is  inconsistent and
inadequate data  on acres of brownfields remediated
and/or redeveloped, available data indicate that both
brownfields cleanup and redevelopment efforts have
risen dramatically since the mid  1990's with the new
wave of risk-based cleanup standards and widespread
use of state liability relief mechanisms  that allow
private parties to redevelop, buy  or sell property
without being held liable for contamination  they did
not cause. Data  also indicates that the majority of
cleanups in Great Lakes states and provinces  are
occurring  in  older urbanized areas, many of which are
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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 Land
Indicators
    located on the Great Lakes and in the basin. Based on
    this information, the state of brownfields redevelopment
    is good and improving.

    Future Pressures
    Some debate has occurred regarding the long-term
    effectiveness of exposure controls.  One could conclude
    that as long as the  controls are monitored  and en-
    forced, there will be no  unacceptable risks to human
    health or the environment from their use.  However,
    there are no Great  Lakes state or federal programs in
    place to ensure long-term  monitoring and enforcement
    of exposure controls. Also, cleanup standards based  on
    risks to human health may not be appropriate for
    brownfields cleanup that results in habitat creation/
    enhancement.

    Several Great Lakes states  allow brownfields  redevelop-
    ment to proceed without cleaning up contaminated
    groundwater as long as no one is going to  use or come
    into contact with that water. However, where migrat-
    ing groundwater plumes ultimately interface with
    surface waters, some surface water quality  may con-
    tinue to be at  risk  from  brownfields contamination
    even where brownfields  have been pronounced  "clean."

    Land use and economic  policies that encourage new
    development to occur outside already developed areas
    over urban brownfields is an ongoing pressure that can
    be expected to continue.

    Future Activities
    Exposure controls need to be monitored and enforced
    over the medium and long-term.  Federal and state
    agencies need to agree as to which level of government
    is best-suited for this task. More research may be
    needed to determine the relationship between
    groundwater supplies and  Great Lakes surface waters
    and their tributaries. Because brownfields  redevelop-
    ment results in both elimination of environmental
    risks from past contamination and reduction in pres-
    sure for open space conversion, data should be col-
    lected that will enable an evaluation of each  of these
    activities.

    Future Work Necessary
    Great Lakes states and provinces have begun to  track
    brownfields remediation and/or redevelopment, but
    the data is generally not available  or  searchable  in ways
    that are helpful to  assess progress  toward meeting the
    terms of the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement.
                                                     Consistency in data gathering also presents challenges for
                                                     assessing progress in the basin overall. States and prov-
                                                     inces should share ideas and work with local jurisdictions
                                                     to develop consistent tracking mechanisms and build
                                                     shared online data bases on brownfields redevelopment
                                                     that can be searched by: 1) environmental remediation
                                                     (acres remediated or mass (i.e., pounds) of contamination
                                                     remediated); 2) mass of contamination removed or
                                                     treated (i.e., not requiring an exposure control); 3)
                                                     geographic location; 4) level of urbanization; and 5) type
                                                     of reuse (i.e., commercial, residential, open space, none,
                                                     etc).

                                                     Sources
                                                     Personal communication: Great Lakes State
                                                     Brownfield/Voluntary Cleanup  Program Managers;
                                                     Publications:  Evaluation of Effectiveness:  Pennsylvania
                                                     Land Recycling and Environmental Remediation Stand-
                                                     ards Act, January, 2000; Indiana Voluntary
                                                     Remediation Program Statistics  Web Page; Illinois, Site
                                                     Remediation Program 1999 Annual Report; Wisconsin
                                                     Remediation and Redevelopment Biennial Reports,  1997
                                                     and 1999', Wisconsin  Bureau of Remediation and
                                                     Redevelopment Tracking System (online).

                                                     Acknowledgments
                                                     Author: Victoria Pebbles, Great Lakes Commission,
                                                     Ann  Arbour, MI
64
                             SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Mass Transportation
    SOLEC Indicator #7012
                                                                                                     Land
                                              Indicators
    Purpose
    This indicator directly measures  the percentage of
    daily commuters that use public transportation or
    other alternatives to the  private car and indirectly
    measures the stress to the Great  Lakes  ecosystem
    caused by the use of the private motor vehicle and its
    resulting high resource utilization and  creation of
    pollution.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Current use of the private automobile  for commuting
    in the  largely low density urban sprawl communities
    of the  Great  Lakes basin is very inefficient. Reliance
    on the private automobile has encouraged the develop-
    ment of expansive roadways and  parking areas to
    accommodate the automobile. Extensive use of the
    automobile has led to significant ecosystem problems
    including air pollution, high  personal and public costs
    associated with the automobile, and loss of leisure,
    work or other time due to traffic congestion.  The
    ecosystem objective involves responding to Annex 1, 3
    and 15 of the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement.

    State of the Ecosystem
    There  are marked differences  among the Great Lakes
    Basin communities' in automobile usage for commut-
    ing.  Initial research results indicates that there also
    appear to be differences  between Canadian and US
    communities. Figure 1  below illustrates the  percent-
    age of daily commuters (for all purposes over 24 hours
    a day)  that use alternatives to the private  automobile
    to commute  to work, play, etc. in four communities
°,
40.00 -i
s
**— m

3 ^ 10.00 -
^ 0.00
To
fo Commuters Using Alternate to Auto Transportation
(1990-1996)
32700

11.70
699
I I
10.00

ronto'96 - Cuyahoga'91 - Niagara NY'90 - Niagara

Ont
96
      Figure 1.  Percentage of Commuters using Alternatives to Automobiles in Selected
      Communities
surveyed in the basin. Among the larger more established
urban cities ofToronto, Ontario and Cuyahoga County,
Ohio (which includes Cleveland) alternatives are higher
than in the more lightly populated and smaller communi-
ties of the Regional Municipality of Niagara, Ontario and
Niagara County, New York.

There is a direct relationship between public transpor-
tation and the degree  of urban density.  The commu-
nity with the  highest concentration of population also
had  the highest  rate of non-auto commuting and
public  transit  usage.  This relationship was pro-
nounced in  Toronto where higher density also facili-
tated greater use of bicycling and walking among
urban commuters.

However, the biggest differences are with public trans-
portation. Figure 2  illustrates how the densely populated
community  ofToronto has by far the greatest urban
commuting  rates In addition, there are significant
differences in the sizes of these municipalities.

Trends for non-automobile urban commuting in
Toronto  have  been  relatively static over the last decade.

Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
Population has been increasing on the Canadian
portion of the Great Lakes basin, although urban
transportation has been relatively constant  over the
last decade.  The result has been increasing traffic
gridlock and increasing air pollution.  Recent  develop-
ment pressure has been towards  low density urban
                     sprawl making public transporta-
                     tion use more difficult, since low
                     density development in not
                     conducive to mass transportation.
                     Future Action
                     There exists, in most Great Lakes
                     communities, the potential for
                     increased use of public transporta-
                     tion and other means of non-auto
                     commuting. Development of the
                     urban form, urban density and an
                     effective and cost-effective public
                     transportation infrastructure are
                     the keys to improving transit rates
                     throughout the basin.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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 Land Use Indicators
25 -1
- on
(/) ^U
c
ro
o: IK
H 1&
° 10
a, TU -

= 5
S? 5
0 -
% 24 Hour Public Transit Usage (1990-1996)
	 22 	 1









6

'2. '2. I
Toronto'96 - Cuyahoga'96 - Niagara NY'90 - Niagara Ont'96
     Figure 2. Percentage of Commuters Using Public Transit
    Further Work Necessary
    Additional research is required to survey other communi-
    ties around the Great Lakes basin to better understand
    the relationship between rates of non-auto commuting
    and urban density, the effectiveness and cost effectiveness
    of public transportation, and the impact of alternate types
    of urban form. There is also  a need to set standards for
    collecting and reporting on land use data, including urban
    density Finally, governments at all levels should join
    public interest groups and academic institutions in this
    research to broaden its appeal and understanding.

    Sources
    Rivers Consulting and J. Barr Consulting. "State of the
    Lakes Ecosystem Conference — Land Use Indicators
    Project". Unpublished report Environment Canada. July
    30, 2000.

    Acknowledgments
    Authors: Ray Rivers, Rivers Consulting, Campbellville,
    ON,  and John Barr, Burlington, ON.
66
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Sustainable Agricultural Practices
    SOLEC Indicator #7028
                                                                                                   Land
                                             Indicators
    Purpose
    To assess the number of Environmental and Conserva-
    tion farm plans and  environmentally friendly practices
    in place; such as integrated pest management to
    reduce the potential  adverse impacts of pesticides,
    conservation tillage and other soil preservation prac-
    tices to reduce energy consumption, prevent ground
    and surface water contamination, and achieve sustain-
    able natural resources.

    Ecosystem Objective
    This indicator supports Annex 2, 3, 12 and 13  of the
    GLWQA The objective is the sound use and manage-
    ment  of soil, water,  air, plant, and animal resources to
    prevent degradation. The process integrates natural
    resource, economic, and social considerations to meet
    private and public needs. The goals  are to create a
    healthy and productive land base that  sustains food
    and fiber, functioning watersheds and  natural systems,
    enhances the environment and  improves the rural
    landscape.

    State  of the Ecosystem
    Agriculture accounts  for 35 present  of the land  area of
    the Great Lakes basin and dominates the southern
    portion of the basin. In the past excessive tillage and
    intensive crop rotations  led to soil erosion and result-
    ing sedimentation of major tributaries.  Inadequate
    land management practices contributed to 63  million
    tons of soil eroded annually by the  1980's. Ontario
    estimated it's costs  of soil erosion and  nutrient/
    pesticide losses at $68 million annually.  Agriculture is
    a major user of pesticides with an annual use of
    26,000  tons. These practices led to  a decline of soil
    organic matter. Recently there has been  increasing
    cooperation with the farm community  on Great Lakes
    water  quality management programs. Today's conser-
    vation systems have reduced  the rates of U.S. soil
    erosion  by 38 percent in the last few decades. The
    adoption of more environmentally responsible prac-
    tices has helped to replenish carbon in  the soils back
    to 60  percent of turn-of-the century levels.

    Both  the Ontario Ministry  of Agriculture, Food  and
    Rural  Affairs (OMAFRA) and the USDA's Natural
    Resources Conservation Service  (NRCS)  provide
    conservation planning advice, technical assistance and
    incentives to  farm clients and rural  landowners.
Clients develop and implement conservation plans to
protect, conserve, and  enhance natural resources that
harmonize productivity, business objectives  and the
environment. Successful implementation of conserva-
tion planning depends upon the voluntary participa-
tion of clients.

The Ontario Environmental Farm Plan (EFP) encour-
ages farmers to develop action plans and adopt envi-
ronmentally responsible technologies through the
Ontario Farm Environmental  Coalition (OFEC)
workshops delivered in partnership with OMAFRA.
Recently, with the technical assistance of OMAFRA,
OFEC released a Nutrient Management Planning
Strategy and accompanying software to enable  farmers
to develop individualized  nutrient management plans.

USDA's voluntary Environmental Quality Incentives
Program provides technical, educational, and financial
assistance to landowners that install conservation
systems. The Conservation Reserve Program allows
landowners to converts environmentally sensitive
acreage to vegetative cover. States may add funds to
target critical areas under  the Conservation Reserve
Enhancement Program and the Wetlands Reserve
Program is a voluntary program to restore wetlands.

Future Pressures
The trend towards increasing farm size and  concentra-
tion of livestock will change the  face of agriculture  in
the basin. Development pressure  from the urban areas
may increase the conflict between rural and urban
landowners. This  can include higher taxes, traffic
congestion, flooding and pollution.  By urbanizing
farmland we  may limit future options to deal with
social,  economic,  food  security and environmental
problems.

Future Actions
Ontario is  developing  a Best Management Practices
(BMP) book on Riparian Buffers, and a Livestock
Operations Standards Act. Food  Systems 2000, started
in 1987, set a target of reducing agricultural pesticides
by 50 percent while maintaining effective pest  control,
and  competitive, sustainable farms. Partnerships
between  agriculture  and municipalities include
incentives for BMP's to reduce phosphorus loading
and  protect rural water quality.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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 Land Use Indicators |
   The US Clean Water Action Plan of 1998 calls for USDA
   and the Environmental Protection Agency to cooperate
   further on soil erosion control, wetland restoration, and
   reduction of pollution from farm animal operations.
   National goals are to install 2 million miles of buffers
   along riparian corridors by 2002 and increase wetlands by
   100,000 acres annually by 2005- Under the 1999 EPA/
   USDA Unified National Strategy for Animal Feeding
   Operation (AFO) all AFO's will have nutrient manage-
   ment plans implemented by 2009-
                   Sources
                   This indicator was prepared using information from:
                   Great Lakes Commission. 1996. An Agricultural Profile
                   of the Great Lakes Basin.

                   International Joint Commission. 1998. Ninth Biennial
                   Report on the Great Lakes.

                   Natural Resources Conservation Service. 1999- NRCS
                   Performance and Results Measurement System.

                   Acknowledgments
                   Authors: Roger Nanney, US Natural Resources Conserva-
                   tion Service, Chicago, IL, and Peter Roberts, Ontario
                   Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs, Guelph,
                   ON.
                 Conservation  Systems  Planned
                         Total Acres -  Cropland
                              Fiscal Year 2000
                               [  •"; US Gi'tat
                                 ^ states
                               planntJ
                               I   | 0-5000
                                                                    15000-25000
                                                                    25000-1*0000
   Figure 1. Annual U.S. Conservation Systems Planned for FY 2000.
   (Source: USDA, NRCS, Performance and Results Measurement System)
68
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2000)

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                                                                                                             Land Use Indicators
                                                                 Farm Acreage Managed by EFP Participants
                                                                                                       Under 10%   I   I
                                                                                                       10%-29.9%  |	1
                                                                                                       30%-49.9%  |	1
                                                                                                       Over 50%   I	1
                                   As of April 1999
                                                                  All Ontario Statistics

                                                               Number of farms - over 15,000 (27%)
                                                               Acreage managed by:
                                                                EFP workshop participants - 4.4M acres (31.7%)
                                                                Farmers with peer reviewed EFP action plans - 2.7 M acres (19.9%)
                   Sources: Ontario Soil & Crop Improvement Association, April 1999, 1997 Ontario farm registration database, 1996 Census of Agriculture
    Figure 2.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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 Human Health Indicators
    E. coli and Fecal Coliform in Recreational Waters
    SOLEC Indicator #4081
    Purpose
    To assess E. coli and fecal coliform contamination levels in
    nearshore recreational waters, acting as a surrogate
    indicator for other pathogen types and to infer potential
    harm to human health through body contact with
    nearshore recreational waters.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Waters should be safe for recreational use.  Waters used
    for recreational activities involving body contact should
    be substantially free from pathogens, including bacteria,
    parasites, and viruses, that may harm human health. This
    indicator supports Annexes 1, 2 and 13 of the GLWQA.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Beach water quality is monitored using two methods:
    counts of either E. coli and/or fecal coliforms (FC) in
    recreational waters measured as number of organisms per
    volume of water (e.g., FC/ml). When the bacteria
    standards are exceeded, local authorities may restrict
    swimming or issue advisories of unsafe water.

    Frequency of beach postings at specific locations are
    reported annually and become the basis for determining
    the risk for safe recreational use, i.e., the percent of swim
    season individual beach waters
    have not been closed or restricted
    due to bacterial contamination
    and/or other environmental
    condition, including pre-emptive
    swimming closings based on past
    experience. Not all advisories,
    however, are due to bacterial
    contamination.
                         open most of the season, and only a relatively few were
                         closed 10 days or more (Figure 2).

                         Survey reports of U.S. breach closings or advisories
                         during the 1999 season show that 76.7% of the
                         respondents had some form of monitoring in use and
                         that 65-2% were open for the entire 1999 season (Figure
                         3). Several factors may have influenced the apparent
                         increase in percentage of beach closings in 1998
                         compared with 1998. 1) Fewer beach managers
                         responded to survey questionnaires in 1999, and of those
                         beaches that were reported, not all had been included in
                         the 1998 data. Therefore, the underlying population of
                         beaches were not exactly the same between years. 2)
                         More beach managers were using E. coli testing in 1999
                         than in 1998.  E coli is a more sensitive indicator of
                         public health risks for swimmers, and it gives more
                         consistent results. Its increased use as an indicator of
                         bacterial contamination of swimming water is expected
                         to result in more frequent swimming advisories to
                         protect public health. 3). A change in accounting the
                         number of beach advisory days in 1999 resulted in
                         reports of beaches closed for two or three days  in
                         circumstances that would have been tallied as one or two
                         days in 1998.
    Survey reports of U.S. beach
    advisories during the 1998
    swimming season (June, July,
    August) show that 81.2% of the
    respondents has some form of
    monitoring in use, and 78.4%
    were open for the entire 1998
    season. Results were similar for
    Canadian beaches where 78% of
    the reported beaches were open the entire season (Figure
    1).  The distribution of the number of beaches for which
    advisories were issued for one,  two, three, etc., days
    during the 1998 season shows that most beaches were
        United States
 Total Number of Beaches 389
                       Canada
           Total Number of Beaches 218
                        14
                   23
D 100%
D 95% -
  99%
rj 90%-
  94%
• <90%
                                                    170
Figure 1. Percentage of Great Lakes beaches open for swimming (June-August 1998)
                         Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
                         Future growth of cities will increase the demands made
                         on sewage treatment plant capacities, increasing the
7°
 SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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                                                                                             Human Health Indicators
United States
30 1 3°5






0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 .. 47 92
Advisory and Closed Days
n Low Risk • n Modei
Figure 2. Great Lakes swimming advisories anc
170
o m
0 «
* -o
i
z
E in
=
z - P n
0 3 6 9 12
•ate Risk
1 closings 1998.
Canada






*
5 18212429323538 .. 6063
Advisory and Closed Days
• High Risk
    probability of release of untreated effluent. An increase in
    resort/vacation areas utilizing private systems, such as
    septic fields and cess pools, will likely increase undetected
    releases of inadequately treated waste. There is an
    uncertainty of available funding to carry-out beach
    monitoring and sanitary system capacity.

    Future Activities
    The experiences of the beach managers in the
    metropolitan areas of Chicago and Toronto have
    demonstrated two important elements to successful beach
    operations: active beach management, and
    communicating public health risks.

    Beaches must be actively managed to provide benefits to
    the maximum number of users while minimizing
                      potential risks to human health. Management may
                      include infrastructure design such as groins, piers or
                      revetments, and it may include daily (or more frequent)
                      maintenance such as raking, trash pick-up, pet
                      restrictions, and warnings to avoid the splash zone.
                      Beaches may remain open for use even while under a
                      swimming advisory.

                      Communicating public health risks may involve multiple
                      forms of communication, including news media,
                      telephone hot line, electronic web sites, posted notices at
                      the beach, flags (such as used for storm warnings), and
                      lifeguards. The message should be clear and consistent,
                      i.e., "Swim" or "Don't Swim." Accurate information is
                      needed, based on one objective standard, delivered by
                      credible spokespersons.
                   1998
        Total Number of Beaches 389
                     1999
          Total Number of Beaches 287
                               14
                    305
n 100%
n 95% -
  99%
rj 90%-
  94%
• <90%
187
      Figure 3. Percentage of U.S. Great Lakes beaches open for swimming (June-August).
Further Work Necessary
To fully implement this
indicator, and to ensure the
maximum enjoyment of
Great Lakes beaches by the
greatest number of people
with the minimum risks to
human health from
exposure to bacterial
contamination, the
following elements are
required:
••  Universal adoption and
application of E. coli testing
and standards. All beaches
should follow uniform
protocols.
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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Human Health Indicators
   ••      Development of rapid E. coli testing procedures
           that would allow beach managers to receive
           results within two hours of sampling water at
           beaches. Such data would facilitate real-time
           decisions concerning advisories to protect human
           health.
   ••      Frequent application of a rapid E. coli testing
           procedure. Because the procedure is quick,
           multiple testing can be performed during the
           swimming day, and swimming advisories
           adjusted as needed.
   ••      Universal reporting of beach advisories. All
           beaches on the Great Lakes shoreline should
           participate, and reporting should be timely and
           complete.

   Acknowledgments
   The following personnel contributed data, analysis, or
   reporting expertise to this indicator:
   David Rockwell, Paul Bertram, and Wade Jacobson (SEE
   Program), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Great
   Lakes National Program Office, Chicago, Illinois.
   Richard Whitman, U.S.  Geological Survey, Lake
   Michigan Ecological Research Station, Porter, Indiana.
   Marcia Jimenez, City of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.
   Duncan Boyd and Mary Wilson, Ontario Ministry of
   Environment, Environmental Monitoring and Reporting
   Branch, Toronto, Ontario.
   Peter Gauthier, City of Toronto, Environmental Health
   Services, Toronto, Ontario.
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Chemical Contaminants in Edible Fish Tissue
    SOLEC Indicator #4083
                                                                                              Human Health Indicators
    Purpose
    Assess the historical trends of the edibility of fish in the
    Great Lakes using fish contaminant data and a
    standardized fish advisory protocol. The approach is
    illustrated using the Great Lakes protocol for PCBs as the
    standardized fish advisory benchmark applied  to
    historical data to track trends in fish consumption advice.
    US EPA GLNPO salmon fillet data and MOE data are
    used as a starting point to demonstrate the approach.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Overall Human Health Objective: The health  of humans
    in the Great Lakes ecosystem should not be at risk from
    contaminants of human origin.
    Fish and wildlife in the Great Lakes ecosystem should be
    safe to eat; consumption should not be limited by
    contaminants of human origin.

    Annex 2 of the GLWQA requires LaMPs to define ".. .the
    threat to human health posed by critical
    pollutants.. .including beneficial use impairments."

    State of the Ecosystem
    Since the 1970s, there have been declines in many
    persistent bioaccumulative toxic (PBT) chemicals in the
    Great Lakes basin. However, PBT chemicals, because of
    their ability to bioaccumulate and persist in the
    environment, continue to be a significant concern.

    Fish Consumption Programs  are well established in the
    Great Lakes.  States, tribes, and the province of Ontario
    have extensive fish contaminant monitoring programs
    and issue advice to their residents about how much fish
    and which fish are safe to eat. This advice ranges from
    recommendations to not eat any of a particular size of
    certain species from some water bodies, to
    recommending that people can eat  unlimited quantities
    of other species  and sizes. Advice from these agencies to
    limit consumption offish is mainly due to levels of
    PCBs, mercury, chlordane, dioxin,  and toxaphene in the
    fish.  The contaminants are listed by lake, in the
    following table.
Lake           Contaminants that Fish Advisories are
               based on in Canada and the United
               States
Superior

Huron

Michigan
Erie
Ontario
PCBs, mercury, toxaphene, chlordane,
dioxin
PCBs, mercury, dioxin, chlordane,
toxaphene
PCBs, mercury, chlordane, dioxin
PCBs, dioxin, mercury
PCBs, mercury, mirex, toxaphene,
dioxin
State, tribal and provincial governments provide
information to consumers regarding consumption of
sport-caught fish. This information is not regulatory -
its guidance, or advice. Although some states use the
Federal commercial-fish guidelines for the acceptable level
of contaminants when giving advice for eating sport
caught fish, consumption advice offered by most  agencies
is based  on human health risk. This approach involves
interpretation of studies on health effects from exposure
to contaminants.  Each state or province is responsible
for developing fish advisories for protecting the public
from pollutants in fish and tailoring this advice to meet
the health needs of its citizens.  As a result, the advice
from state and provincial programs is sometimes  different
for the same lake and species within that lake.

Future Pressures
Organochlorine contaminants in fish in the Great Lakes
are generally decreasing. As these contaminants decline
mercury will become a more important contaminant of
concern regarding the edibility offish.

Screening studies on a larger suite of chemicals is  needed.
The health effects of multiple contaminants, including
endocrine disrupters, need to be addressed.

Future Actions
To protect human health, actions must continue  to be
implemented on a number of levels. Reductions  and
monitoring of contaminant levels in environmental media
and in human  tissues is an activity in particular need of
support. Health risk communication is also a crucial
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     73

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 Human Health Indicators

    component to protecting and promoting human health in
    the Great Lakes.
    There is a need for surveillance to evaluate how much fish
    people eat and carry out biomonitoring to determine
    actual tissue levels, particularly within sensitive
    populations.

    Further Work Necessary
    1) Evaluation of historical data:  the long-term fish
    contaminant monitoring data sets that have been
    assembled by several jurisdictions for different purposes
    need to be more effectively utilized. Relationships need
    to be developed that allow for comparison and combined
    use of existing data from the various sampling programs.
    These data could be used in expanding this indicator to
    other contaminants and species and for supplementing
    the data used in this illustration.
    2) Coordination of future monitoring.
    3) Agreement on fish advisory health benchmarks for the
    contaminants that cause fish advisories in the Great
    Lakes.  Suggested starting points are: The  Great Lakes
    Protocol  for PCBs, US EPA IRIS RfD for mercury and
    Health Canada's TDI for toxaphene.

    Acknowledgments
    Authors:  Patricia McCann, Minnesota Department of
    Health, and Sandy Hellman,  U.S. EPA, Great Lakes
    National  Program Office.
                   PCBs in Lake Superior Coho Salmon




One meal per week
Unlimited
Consumption
                                              .05
                          90  92   94
                             Year
                                                                               PCBs in Lake Michigan Coho Salmon
                                                                          2                            jrDO NOT EAT
                                                      Unlimited consumption
                                     PCBs in Lake Huron Coho Salmon
Q.
m
£0.5 -
8
One meal every two months
• One meal per month
i i
| M i
1 II One meal per week 1
1 84 87 90 93 96
Year





1. 0 2

\
Unlimited
consumption
                                        PCBs in Lake Erie Coho Salmon
                                                                       £• 0.8 -
                                                                       Q.
                                                                       e 0.6.
                                                                       m
                                                                       £0.4J

                                                                         0.2

                                                                          0
                                        One meal every two months
                                                One meal per month
                                                            a
0.2

0.05
                                                                              82  841  86  88  90  92   94  96
                                                                                          Year
                                                                           One meal per week
                                                                                                 Unlimited consumption
                                                                                PCBs in Lake Ontario Coho Salmon
                                                                                       DO NOT EAT
                                                                                        One meal every two months
                                                                                               One meal
                                                                                               per month I
                                                                             82   84   86
                                                                             One meal per week
                                                                                            90   92

                                                                                                 i
                                                                                                              1.9
                                                                                                              1.0
                                                                                                    94  96
                                                                                                 Unlimited consumption
74
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Drinking Water Quality
    SOLEC Indicator #4 175
                                                                                            Human Health Indicators
    Purpose
    This indicator evaluates the chemical and microbiological
    contaminant levels in drinking water. It also assesses the
    potential for human exposure to drinking water contami-
    nants and the efficacy of policies and technologies to
    ensure safe drinking water. Lastly, it evaluates the
    suitability of the Great Lakes as a source of drinking
    water. In order to effectively rate the health of the Lakes,
    this indicator focuses on the raw water as it flows into
    the water treatment plants, while also highlighting the
    concerns of the consumer by looking at such factors as
    exceeding the established drinking water standards of
    pathogens, taste and odor in treated water.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The desired objective for this  indicator is that all treated
    drinking water should be safe  to drink and free from
    chemical and microbiological contaminants (GLWQA
    Annexes 1,2,12 and 16). Water entering drinking water
    plants should be of high quality and have minimum levels
    of contaminants as is possible prior to treatment. There-
    fore, high quality source water is an integral part of this
    drinking water objective.

    State of the Ecosystem
    There are many facets of drinking water.  This report will
    focus on six of those factors (Figure 1). The presence of
    pollutants in distributed water, as well as water from river
                       -=S9-
                    c
                Tas
lemical
                   Biological
:e  and
          /*
Odor
I
and groundwater sources will not be examined in this
report.

A focus on raw water will reflect the state of the lake
waters at the treatment plant intakes, while an examina-
tion of exceeding the established drinking water standards
of taste, odor and pathogens in treated water will address
some  concerns of the consumer. A market basket ap-
proach was used to select the water treatment plants that
would represent the  state of this indicator.  At present
there  are 22 sites (Figure 2). While these sites are meant
to be  representative of the 5 Great Lakes, they cannot
suggest a comprehensive state of the ecosystem. This
year, the sites are focused on lake water intakes. In future
years,  the goal will be to incorporate tributaries and
ground water sources of drinking water, as well as a
greater number of water treatment plants for a more
complete view of the status of treatable drinking water in
the Great Lakes basin.

The parameters used to evaluate the state of drinking
water  in the Great Lakes encompass both microbiological
and chemical contaminants. As was suggested at the
1999  Drinking Water Workshop sponsored jointly by
SOLEC and the International Joint Commission, most
of these parameters were examined in the raw water.
Taste  and odor, however, are most accurately measured in
treated water. Additionally, there are no raw water
       regulations for these parameters. Therefore,
       methods of analysis vary.

       The chemical parameters chosen were atrazine,
       nitrate and nitrite. These chemicals are seasonal
       and flow dependent. While minimal levels of
       atrazine, nitrate, and nitrite were detected in raw
       water, monthly averages and maximums fell below
       the federal regulations for treated water. There-
       fore, prior to treatment,  contaminant levels in the
       Great Lakes water are less than maximum con-
       taminant levels at these 22 sites as determined by
       plant monthly averages and maximums. How-
       ever, it should be noted that although atrazine
       seasonally enters the lakes by way of tributaries,
       this pattern was not detected at the 22 intakes
       included here.
      Figure 1.  Drinking Water Cube, six factors are highlighted on
      the cube face
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                                                           75

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 Human Health Indicators
                                                              ^jfQswego
     Figure 2.  The 22 U.S. and Canadian water treatment plants.
    Turbidity was chosen as a parameter for its correlation
    with potential microbial problems.  Turbidity itself is not
    an indication of possible health hazards. Incoming
    turbidity, however, can reveal trends about possible
    microbiological and other contaminants.  High turbidity
    often coincides with a higher content of microbiological
    organisms.  This trend, however, was not analyzed for
    this indicator report. Turbidity values vary depending on
    location and lake (Figure 3).  There are no raw water
    maximum levels for  turbidity because once in the filtra-
    tion plant, it can be  corrected.  However, by being aware
    of seasonal fluctuations, the treatment plants can adjust
    treatment for optimal removal of microbial contaminants.
                                The level of organic matter can be determined
                                by examining Total Organic Carbon (TOC) or
                                Total Dissolved Carbon (DOC). U.S. sites
                                consistently test for TOC while Canadian sites
                                test DOC. In the U.S., ifTOC is less than 2.0
                                mg/L in both raw and treated water, water
                                treatment plants can bypass certain additional
                                treatments. The Canadian DOC for maximum
                                level of DOC is 5-0 mg/L. The DOC concen-
                                trations in raw water at the Canadian sites were
                                fairly low, as was TOC at the majority of U.S.
                                sites. There were no  treated water violations.

                                Taste and odor is a complex indicator. While it
                                is an extremely important indicator to consum-
                                ers, it is also difficult to quantitatively measure.
                                There is no consistent test that is universally
                                used among water treatment plants. Three
                       possible ways to test taste and  odor in treated water are
                       the measurement of threshold  odor, taste and odor
                       panels, and the Geosmin and MIB methods that measure
                       for the presence of odorous algae. Additionally, not all of
                       the chosen water treatment sites had taste and odor data
                       readily available. This indicator was evaluated for August
                       1999 at the six sites where data were available.  Increased
                       odor problems are  usually associated with increased water
                       temperatures. Therefore, August is usually the month of
                       greatest odor problems. There were minimal problems
                       with taste and odor at the six water treatment facilities
                       that reported this parameter (Table 1).

•*"*• -i c; -,
ID 1b
I-
^- -in
IU
+*
s 5
D
c
1999 Turbidity
83.25
172 18.4 18.1 313 85.35

I
*,«t, on v
•tfp* o^
jM v^
4 >
< k Maximum
Minimum
. < >
1 * Average
T
I I I I I I \-9—\-9—\—&
cX°
v^6
Figure 3. This graph represents the fluctuations that occur in raw water turbidity in the course of a single year.
Values are based on monthly averages. Due to this, the graph is representative of possible fluctuation ranges but not
conclusive of the exact turbidity for 1999-


76
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2000)

-------
Water Treatment
Plant
Belleville
Chicago
Green Bay
London
Milwaukee
Thunder Bay
August 1999 Taste and Odour
Of the two August samples available, both had
distinct odours, but not very strong
100% taste/odour non-detected
100% taste/odour non-detected
90% taste/odour non-detected
100% taste/odour non-detected
100% taste/odour non-detected
    The microbiological indicators suggested are total colif-
    orm, Escherischia coli, Giardia lambalia, and
    Cryptosporidium parvum.  The methods of analyzing
    water for Giardia lambalia and Cryptosporidium parvum
    are not the most reliable at this time but it is suggested
    that these remain indicators as better methods become
    available. Escherischia coli is only tested when distributed
    water tests positive for total coliform.  Total coliform is
    probably the best choice for a microbial indicator at this
    time because it is the most uniformly tested of the
    pathogens.  It is a required test in the U.S and Canada.
    An examination of the Safe Drinking Water Information
    System (SDWIS) of the U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency and the consumer confidence reports for the U.S.
    sites indicate that there have been no total coliform
    exceedences for the last ten years. The maximum con-
    taminant level exceedences reported by SDWIS were
    sampled after the treated water entered the  distribution
    systems.  If there are no exceedences in the  distributed
    water, it can be inferred that there were no  exceedences in
    the treated water. While the total coliform data were
    available for the Canadian sites, there presently is no
    user-friendly method for exceedence interpretation
    comparable to the U.S. consumer confidence reports. As
    of October 2000, however, Canadian  treatment plants
    will also be required to produce this type of report.
    These reports are required for U.S. sites.

    Use of the consumer confidence reports is extremely
    important.  The data are presented in a more user-
    friendly method that is more appropriate for the needs of
    the SOLEC indicator. The reports are required to state
    if there have been any maximum contaminant levels or
    detections.  They are not  required to report on raw water
    data, with the exception of Cryptosporidium parvum.

    The health of the Great Lakes, as determined by these
    drinking water parameters at these 22 sites, is fairly good.
                                                                                               Human Health Indicators

                                                                               Chemical contaminants are consistently
                                                                               tested to be at minimal levels even prior
                                                                               to treatment.  Additionally, violations of
                                                                               these chemical and microbial parameters
                                                                               are extremely rare. The risk of human
                                                                               exposure to contaminants is low.  The
                                                                               quality of drinking water as  it leaves the
                                                                               water treatment plants is good. The
                                                                               quality of water delivered, however, can
                                                                               vary due to the possibility of contami-
                                                                               nants entering the distribution system.
              Continuing Pressures
There are many pressures being placed on the sources of
drinking water. Land use and agricultural runoff can
negatively affect the raw water. Additionally, increases in
both algal presence and water temperatures can produce
"offensive" taste and odor. Byproducts of the drinking
water disinfection process cause concern for some con-
sumers. Lastly, aging distribution systems can affect the
quality of already treated  drinking water.

Future Activities
It is important to focus on protection  of the source
water.  As an indicator of high  quality  drinking water, the
state of raw water is pertinent.  While the ability of the
water treatment plants to treat drinking water is quite
high, source water protection lowers the cost of treat-
ment for the water plants. Analysis of raw water can
reflect the actual health of the Great Lakes by using the
methods already performed by the water systems.

Further Work Necessary
Unfortunately, analyzing drinking water trends basin-wide
is a fairly daunting task.  Due to unconformity in report-
ing and database management  methods, it is difficult to
create a cohesive report on this indicator.  Additionally,
the lack of electronic storage for historical data can hinder
analysis of the basin-wider trends. As more treatment
plants consistently report on similar tests and implement
electronic data storage, these problems should be mini-
mized.

The parameters chosen are actively used in some treat-
ment plants  while in others they currently are being
worked into the system.  The parameters for drinking
water need to be based on water standards presently
available so the data are possible to obtain and interpret
as a SOLEC indicator. While consumer confidence
reports can evaluate treated water detections and viola-
tions, a better  method of data collection and interpreta-
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                      77

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Human Health Indicators
   tion for the extensive amount of raw water information
   should be established. Continual evaluation of these
   parameters and their relevance to both ecosystem and
   human health needs to be maintained. They should
   answer the concerns of both the water manager and the
   concerned consumer.  The number of sites used to study
   the trends should be increased and these sites should be
   expanded to include both tributary sites and groundwater
   sites.

   Acknowledgements
   This report was assembled by Molly Madden (Environ-
   mental Careers Organization), with the assistance of Rod
   Holme (American Water Works Association), Pat
   Lachmaniuk (Ontario Ministry of Environment),Tom
   Murphy (U.S. EPA, Region 5), and Paul Bertram (U.S.
   EPA, GLNPO). Additional thanks is due to the water
   treatment plant operators and managers who submitted
   the requested data.
                                      SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Air Quality
    SOLEC Indicator #4176
                                                                                              Human Health Indicators
    Purpose
    To monitor the air quality in the Great Lakes ecosystem,
    and to infer the potential impact of air quality on human
    health in the Great Lakes Basin.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Air should be safe to breathe.  Air quality in the Great
    Lakes ecosystem should be protected in areas where it is
    relatively good, and improved in areas where it is de-
    graded.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Overall, there has been significant progress in reducing air
    pollution in the Great Lakes Basin. For most substances
    of interest, both emissions  and ambient concentrations
    have decreased over the last ten years or more. However,
    progress has not been uniform and differences in weather
    from one year to the next complicate analysis of ambient
    trends. Ozone can be particularly elevated during hot
    summers. Drought conditions result in more fugitive
    dust emissions from roads and fields, increasing the
    ambient levels of particulate matter.

    In general, there has been significant progress with urban/
    local pollutants over the past decade or more, though
    somewhat less in recent years, with a few remaining
    problem districts. There are still short periods each year
    during which regional pollutants (primarily ozone and
    fine particulate and related pollutants - collectively termed
    smog) reach levels of concern, essentially in southern and
    eastern portions of the basin.

    For the purposes of this discussion, the pollutants can be
    divided into urban (or local) and regional pollutants.  For
    regional pollutants, transport is a significant issue, from
    hundreds of kilometres to the scale of the globe;  forma-
    tion from other pollutants, both natural and man-made,
    can also be important. Unless otherwise stated,  references
    to the U.S. or Canada in this discussion refers to the
    respective portions of the Great Lakes Basin. Latest
    published air quality data is for 1997 (Canada - Ontario)
    and 1999 (U.S.).

    Urban/Local Pollutants
    Carbon Monoxide (CO):  In the U.S., CO ambient levels
    have decreased approximately 46% over 1989-1998, and
    there are no CO non-attainment areas. Nationally, U.S.
    emissions decreased 36% 1990-1999, Over Canada, there
has been a 30-40% reduction in composite site concen-
tration over 1988-1997, and there has been no violation
of ambient criteria from 1992-1997- Emissions have
decreased 17% since 1988, but mostly over 1988-92
with newer vehicle emission standards.

Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2): Over Canada, average ambient
NO2 levels remained relatively constant through the
1990's, but with no ambient criteria exceedances in
1997- Emissions  (of NOx: the family of nitrogen
oxides) decreased 25% from  1988-94 but have since been
relatively constant. In the U.S., ambient concentrations
have decreased 7% 1989-98, but remain unchanged in
the Lake Michigan area. There are currently no NO2
non-attainment areas. For the U.S. as a whole, emissions
(of NOx) have increased by 1% over twenty years (to
1999).

Sulphur Dioxide (SO2): over the U.S., ambient concen-
trations have decreased 43%, with 6 non-attainment
regions in the U.S. National emission were reduced 21%
(1990-99). Canadian ambient levels show only a slight
decrease in the 1990's, with two violations of the one-
hour criteria in 1997 (Windsor and Sudbury).  Emissions
decreased 78% from 1977-97), but have increased
slightly from 1995-7 with increasing economic activity,
though remain below the target emission limit.

Lead: U.S. concentrations decreased 48% 1989-98, and
there are no nonattainment areas in the Great Lakes
region.  Similar improvements in Canada have followed
with the usage of unleaded gasoline, with only isolated
exceedances of ambient criteria near industrial sites.

Total Reduced Sulphur (TRS): this family of compounds is
of concern in Canada due to odour problems, normally
near industrial or pulpmill sources. Ambient concentra-
tions are significantly lower than in 1988-90, paralleling
emission reductions, though there is little trend in recent
years. There are still periods above the ambient criteria
near a few centres.

Particulate Matter: the U.S. Standard addresses PM10
(diameter 10 microns or less): ambient concentrations in
the U.S. have decreased 20%, with six nonattainment
areas in  the Great Lakes region.  National emissions
decreased 16% (1990-99). Canadian objectives have
focused on Total Suspended Particulate matter (TSP),
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     79

-------
 Human Health Indicators
    though there is an interim Ontario PM10 objective
    (50ug/m3). There are still short periods withTSP levels
    above the objective.  Emissions decreased from 1988-92,
    but have not decreased since. Six of the eleven ambient
    PM10 monitors (all in urban areas) showed exceedances
    of the interim objective in 1997, and, based on limited
    data little evident of a trend  in ambient levels (1991-7).
    Both PM10 andTSP affect locations relatively close to
    pollutant sources.

    Regional Pollutants
    Ground-Level Ozone (O3)'- this is almost entirely a
    secondary pollutant, which forms from reactions of
    precursors (VOC - volatile organic compounds, and
    NOx, oxides of nitrogen) under sunshine; it is a problem
    pollutant over broad areas of the Great Lakes Basin,
    largely excluding Lake Superior. National assessments
    find some uneven improvement in peak levels, but with
    indications that average levels may be increasing on a
                       global scale (NARSTO report). Local circulations around
                       the Great Lakes can exacerbate the problem: high levels
                       are found in provincial parks near Lakes Huron and Erie,
                       and western Michigan is strongly impacted by transport
                       across Lake Michigan from Chicago.  In the U.S., high
                       1-hour concentrations have decreased 4% from  1989-98,
                       and there are five non-attainment areas in the region.
                       VOC emissions have decreased 20% and NOx emissions
                       have increased 2% from 1989-98. In Canada, there has
                       been little trend in the number of exceedances of the
                       ozone objective in the 1990s, and mean annual levels
                       increase. Man-made VOC emissions have decreased
                       about 15% since 1988; NOx emissions have been
                       constant since 1995-

                       PM2.5'- this fraction of particulate matter (diameter 2.5u
                       or less) is of health concern as it can penetrate deeply into
                       the lung, in contrast to larger particles.  It is a secondary
                       pollutant, produced from both natural and man-made
    Figure 1. Regional meteorologically adjusted trends (%/yr) in 1-hr averaged O3 in the northern United States and southern
    Canada using cluster analysis (1980-93 data - NARSTO, 2000)
80
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
    precursors. In Canada, there systematic monitoring has
    begun quite recently, but available data indicate that
    many locations in Southern Ontario will exceed the
    recently endorsed standard of 30ug/m3 (24-hour aver-
    age).  In the U.S., there are not enough years of data
    from the recently-established reference-method network
    to determine trends, but it appears that there may be
    many areas which do not attain the new U.S. standard.

    Air Toxics:  this term captures a large number of pollut-
    ants that, based on the toxicity and likelihood for expo-
    sure, have potential to harm human health (e.g. cancer)
    or adverse environmental and ecological effect. Some of
    these are of local importance, near to sources, while
    others may be  transported  over long distances. Monitor-
    ing is difficult  and expensive, and usually limited in
    scope: usually such toxics are present only at trace levels.
    In both Canada and the U.S., efforts focus on minimiz-
    ing emissions.  In the U.S. the Clean Air Act targets a
    75% reduction in cancer "incidence", and "substantial"
    reduction in non-cancer risks. The maximum available
    control technology (MACT) program has set toxic
    emission standards for about 50  source categories;
    another nine standards have been proposed.  In Canada
    key toxics such as benzene, mercury, dioxins, and furans
    are the subject of ratified and proposed new standards,
    and voluntary  reduction efforts.  Some ambient trends
    have been found: in the U.S. concentrations of benzene
    and toluene have shown significant decreases from 1993-
    8, notably in the Lake Michigan region due to the use of
    reformulated gasoline. Styrene has also shown a signifi-
    cant decrease (1996-98).

    Emissions are being tracked through the National Pollut-
    ant Release Inventory (NPRI - Canada) and the U.S.
    National Toxics Inventory  (NTI). NTI data indicate that
    national U.S. toxic emissions have dropped 23 per  cent
    between 1990-96, though  emission estimates are subject
    to modification, and the trends is different for different
    compounds. In Canada, NPRI information includes
    information on significant voluntary reductions in toxic
    emissions through the ARET (Accelerated Reduction/
    Elimination of Toxics) program.

    Future Pressures
    Continued population growth and associated urban
    sprawl are threatening to offset emission reduction  efforts
    and better control technologies, both through increased
    car-travel and energy consumption.

    The changing climate may affect the frequency of weather
                              Human Health Indicators

conditions conducive to high ambient concentrations of
many pollutants. There is also increasing evidence of
changes to the atmosphere as a whole: average ground-
level ozone concentrations may be increasing on a global
scale.

Continuing health research is both broadening the
number of toxics, and producing evidence that existing
standards should be lowered. There is epidemiologic
evidence of health effects from ozone or fine particulates
down at or below levels previously previously considered
to be background or "natural" levels of 30-50 ppb (daily
            20
                 30   40   SO   «0    70   80
                  Ambient ozone eomewitnrtlcm*
                  (ppb. 1 -Kr mm., tjiggnd 1 dny>
                                                 J
                                                  100
Figure 2.  Association of respiratory admissions to Ontario
hospitals with ozone pollution. National Air Quality
Objectives for Ground-Level Ozone: Science Assessment.
maximum hourly values - see figure).

Future Activities
Major pollution reduction efforts continue in both U.S
and Canada.  In Canada, new ambient standards for
particulate matter and ozone have been endorsed, to be
attained by 2010. This will involve updates at the
Federal level and at the provincial level (Ontario Anti-
Smog Action Plan). Toxics are also addressed at  both
level.  The Canadian Environmental Protection Act
(CEPA) was recently amended.  In the U.S., new, more
protective ambient air standards have been promulgated
for ozone and particulate matter. MACT (Maximum
Available Control Technology) standards continue to be
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                      8l

-------
Human Health Indicators
   promulgated for sources of toxic air pollution.

   At the international level, annexes to the U.S.-Canada Air
   Quality Agreement are in discussion, to cover pollutants
   such as ozone. Efforts to reduce toxic pollutants will
   continue under NAFTA and through UN-ECE
   protocols.

   Future Work Necessary
   PM2.5 networks will continue to develop in both coun-
   tries, to determine ambient levels, trends, and consequent
   reduction measures. Review of standards or objectives
   will continue to consider new information.  The U.S. is
   considering deployment of a national toxic monitoring
   network.

   Limitations
   It must be emphasized that this indicator report does not
   consider indoor air quality, or allergens. The monitoring
   networks are urban-focused, and are considered deficient
   for toxic pollutants.

   Sources
   Air Quality in Ontario 1997- Ontario Ministry of Envi-
   ronment. Queen's Printer for Ontario, 1999-

   Latest Findings on National Air Quality: 1999 Status and
   Trends, http://www.epa.gov/airprogm/oar/aqtrnd98/
   index.html. Office of Air Quality Planning  and Stand-
   ards, EPA, 2000.

   National Air Quality and Emission Trends Report, 1998.
   Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Environ-
   mental Protection Service. EPA,  1999-

   National Pollution Release Inventory: National Overview
   1998. http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/npri/. Environment
   Canada, 2000.

   An Assessment ofTropospheric Ozone: A North American
   Perspective. http://www.cgenv.com/Narsto/.  NARSTO,
   2000.

   National Ambient Air Quality Objectives for Ground-Level
   Ozone: Science Assessment Document. Federal-Provincial
   Working Group on Air Quality Objectives and Guide-
   lines. Environment Canada, 1999-
Acknowledgements
Authors: Fred Conway, Environment Canada, Meteoro-
logical Services of Canada, Downsview, ON and Joseph
Chung, US Environmental Protection Agency, Air
Division, Chicago, IL.
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Economic Prosperity
    SOLEC Indicator #7043
                                                                                                   I  Societal Indicators
    Purpose
    To assess the unemployment rates within the Great Lakes
    basin, and, when used in association with other Societal
    indicators, to infer the capacity for society in the Great
    Lakes region to make decisions that will benefit the Great
    Lakes ecosystem. Unemployment, as a single economic
    measure, can generally describe an economy's condition.
    A healthy economy, one characterized by low or falling
    unemployment rates, translates into increased business
    and government (tax) revenues as well as overall personal
    income. During periods of low unemployment, (i.e.
    economic well-being) public support for environmental
    initiatives  by government agencies and elected officials
    may also be increased.

    Ecosystem Objective
    Human economic prosperity is a goal of all governments
    and humans are part of the ecosystem. Full employment,
    or achieving the lowest economically sustainable
    unemployment level possible, is a goal for all economies.
    A level of unemployment under 5% is considered full
    employment.

    State of the Ecosystem
    By most measures, the binational Great Lakes regional
    economy is healthy.  However, current low
    unemployment has strained labor markets which, if
    sustained,  could affect the region's economic future. This
    situation has been building for a decade.  The
    unemployment rate for the Great Lakes states dipped
    below the  U.S. average in 1991 and remained there
    during the 1990s.  In fact, for the Great Lakes states
    collectively, unemployment is at a 30 year low.  Canadian
    and Ontario economic recoveries unfolded later in the
    U.S. but have now nearly caught up.

    During the 1980s, demographers and labor analysts
    predicted tighter labor markets for the 1990s.  The
    reasons cited were a reduction in baby-boom entrants to
    the work force and leveling off of female work force
    participation. These factors coupled with a dramatic
    restructuring of the region's important manufacturing
    sector and greater cross-border trade has virtually
    eliminated out-migration of people seeking work and has
    moved the underemployed into better paying, full-time
    positions.

    Both sides of the border reflect a manufacturing intensity
greater than their national economies. The Great Lakes
states represent about 27% of national output in
manufacturing whereas Ontario is twice as large. The
earlier tough times for manufacturing when global
competition roared onto the scene forced regional firms
and industry clusters to rationalize unproductive plant
and trim workforces.  Lean production was adopted with
more emphasis on technology and just-in-time inventory
systems became standard. The manufacturing sector has
many cross-border linkages particularly for the auto
industry. About half of the billion dollar-a-day U.S.-
Canada trade is tied to  the Great  Lakes states with
Ontario as the most prominent province in this
relationship.

Future Pressures
Low unemployment rates can result in difficulty in
worker recruitment, possible job training consequences,
increased use of overtime, and wage inflation. A "worker
market" may also increase mobility from job-to-job and
place-to-place. Other factors may add to job mobility
such as job matching information technology and more
uniform skill standards. On the other hand, as workers
age as they are in the Great Lakes region, job mobility
rates usually trend downward.

National and regional economies entail complex
interactions among goods and service sectors. These
sectors and industry clusters are also subject to overall
business cycles. When an industry or related cluster of
businesses are relatively concentrated in a region or place,
cyclical economic trends may have industry and
geographic consequences. For example, in northwest
Indiana, with its several integrated steel mills, tens of
thousands of steel workers lost their jobs in the 1980s.
This industry's restructuring period was partly brought
on by overseas competition and a recession.  The
economic and social fabric of area communities was torn
apart and recovery is still underway.

The  1990's have shown that good economic times
translate into high levels of consumer spending and home
buying. These activities are presumed to increase
pressures on the ecosystem through household and
business waste generation, increased air pollution
particularly from transportation sources and accelerated
land use changes. Residential development is the largest
category of land use change and its environmental
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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Societal Indicators
   impacts are widely recognized.

   Future Activities
   Business cycles happen but enlightened monetary policy
   can delay onset of recessionary periods and dampen them
   as well. Measures that promote economic diversification
   should be encouraged and particularly for places where
   the local economy is not diversified. With respect to
   workers, unemployment insurance, job training and
   placement are traditional methods to mitigate effects of
   unemployment. Land use change can be better managed
   through coordinated planning within and across
   municipal jurisdictions. Efforts to revitalize urban areas
   in conjunction with open space and farmland protection
   can redirect some growth.
Further Work Necessary
The unemployment rate as a measure of economic
prosperity should be reevaluated for use in the SOLEC
process. Its connection to general economic prosperity is
acknowledged but it is not precise enough to account for
ecosystem impacts, however indirect they may be.
Employment differs from place to place irrespective of
hydrologic boundaries and even political jurisdictions. It
may hold promise as one of several economic prosperity
measures, but may be more useful if linked directly to tax
revenue generation and household attitudes regarding
environmental protection through government action.
   Case Study - Ontario
   In recent years labour market conditions have improved, resulting in a falling unemployment rate. Around the peak of the
   last recession (November 1992), 592,600 people were unemployed in Ontario (10.7% of the labour force).  However, by
   1999 the unemployment rate had dropped to 6.3%, its lowest level since 1990.

   These figures represent the official unemployment rates published each month by Statistics Canada.  They are based on the
   number of persons who were without work and both available for work and actively looking for work. The hidden
   unemployed include discouraged workers who gave up looking for work and who would therefore be counted as not in the
   labour force.

   In addition to the official unemployment rate, Statistics Canada publishes from time to time a set of supplementary
   measures of unemployment to illustrate additional dimensions of labour market behaviour.  For instance, Statistics Canada
   has published a supplementary unemployment rate for the Province of Ontario since 1997- The supplementary
   unemployment rate includes the official unemployment rate plus discouraged searchers, plus waiting group (recall, replies,
   long-term  future starts), plus involuntary part-timers (in full-time equivalents). Over the period 1997 to 1999, the average
   official unemployment rate was 7-3%, for comparison purposes the average supplementary unemployment rate was 10.4%.

   A similar comparison can be made based on gender.  The average official unemployment rate, for males in the Province of
   Ontario, over the period 1997 to 1999 was 7-2%, and the average supplementary unemployment rate was 9-4%. In the
   case of females, the average official unemployment rate and average supplementary unemployment rate, over the same period
   as above, were 7-4% and 11.4%, respectively. In the case of females, there appears to be a higher number of females in
   involuntary part-time positions.

   The official unemployment rate does not capture the total number of individuals who experienced unemployment at some
   point of the year. In contrast, a one-year point reference period would capture this number.  According to an Autumn
   2000 Perspectives article, annual rates in general, tend to be almost double the monthly rates, whether individual- or family-
   based. For instance, the individual unemployment rate for Canada based on a one-year reference period was 17-3% in
   1997- The rate based on a one week reference period (the official unemployment rate), was 9-1%. In 1999, the official
   unemployment rate for both sexes, in Ontario, was 6.3%, an estimate of the one-year reference number, for the same year,
   based on a doubling of the official rate would be approximately 12.6%. Therefore, almost 1 in 8 people in the labour force
   were unemployed at one point in the year.

   In Table 1, official unemployment rates, for the period 1987 to 1999, are provided for the Province of Ontario, as well as
   Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) within the Province. A comparison of the CMA versus Provincial unemployment rates
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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                                                                                                 I Societal Indicators
    reveals that over the 1987 to 1999 period, the CMAs of Sudbury, Oshawa, St. Catharines-Niagara, Windsor and Thunder
    Bay have more often had unemployment rates greater than the provincial average. For the most part, the increases in
    unemployment rates over this period have been a consequence of declines in employment in the manufacturing sector, as
    well as the resource sector in the case of Sudbury CMA.

Ontario
Ottawa-Hull
Sudbury
Oshawa
Toronto
Hamilton
St. Catharines-
Niagara
London
Windsor
Kitchener
Thunder Bay
1987
6.1
7.4
11.4
6.3
4.5
6.4
9.5
7.1
9.0
5.8
8.4
1988
5.1
5.2
9.8
5.5
3.8
5.8
6.3
4.7
7.7
5.3
6.3
1989
5.1
6.1
7.9
4.0
4.0
5.0
7.2
4.3
8.1
4.8
5.5
1990
6.2
5.9
8.0
6.5
5.2
6.2
7.0
5.9
8.8
6.4
7.7
1991
9.5
7.3
10.1
9.5
9.5
9.9
11.2
7.8
12.4
9.4
9.4
1992
10.7
8.6
11.7
11.7
11.2
10.5
12.5
8.7
12.6
9.4
10.1
1993
10.9
8.5
10.5
11.5
11.4
11.6
14.2
8.9
11.6
9.0
11.5
1994
9.6
8.2
10.4
9.7
10.4
8.2
10.7
7.7
9.0
6.6
10.8
1995
8.7
9.6
8.9
8.7
8.6
6.4
9.0
8.0
8.5
7.9
8.1
1996
9.0
8.4
9.8
9.7
9.1
7.4
9.1
8.8
8.5
8.3
9.1
1997
8.4
8.9
9.1
8.0
8.0
6.4
9.9
7.7
9.1
7.4
9.1
1998
7.2
7.1
11.0
7.3
7.0
5.2
7.6
6.1
8.7
6.5
9.0
1999
6.3
6.5
9.8
5.9
6.1
4.9
6.9
6.7
6.5
5.7
7.8
Source: Statistics Canada. (2000). Labour Force Historical Review 1999. Cat. 71F0004XCB.
    A breakdown of employment by sector, in the Province of Ontario, over the period 1987 to 1999, reveals a shift in
    employment from the goods-producing sector to the services-producing sector. In 1987, 32% of all employed persons in
    Ontario were employed in the goods-producing sector, versus 68% in the services-producing sector.  In that same year,
    persons employed in the manufacturing sector accounted for 66% of all persons employed in the goods-producing sector.

    By 1992, the height of the last recession, those employed in the goods-producing sector accounted for 27-3% of all persons
    employed in Ontario, a decline of 4.7% or 212,600 jobs from 1987 employment levels. During this same year, the
    services-producing sector accounted for 72.7% of all employed.  A decline in those employed in the manufacturing sector
    accompanied the  decline in the goods-producing sector. In 1992, those employed in the manufacturing sector accounted for
    63-1% of total employment in the goods producing sector, a decline of approximately 3% or 40,566 jobs from 1987
    employment levels.

    In 1999, the breakdown of employment between the goods-producing sector and the services-producing sector was
    unchanged from 1992 percentages. The recorded levels of employment in the manufacturing sector have increased in each
    year since 1993- By 1999, those employed in the manufacturing sector accounted for 67-6% of all goods-producing jobs.

    In 1999 the increase in foreign demand for Canadian made products has spurred employment in the computer and
    electronic parts sector, which in part have positively effected employment in the manufacturing sector.  In 1999, the
    manufacturing sector in Ontario reported  gains in employment of an additional 59,700 jobs. In addition to high-tech
    manufacturing, the automotive sector has experienced an increased labour market in part due to a strong  U.S. economy.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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Societal Indicators
   A comparison of 1999 versus 1987 labour market numbers for the Province of Ontario reveals that the size of the labour
   market in the goods-producing sector has declined by 0.1%, at the same time the services-producing sector has experienced
   an increase of 24.3%- In 1993, employment in the manufacturing sector in Ontario was at its lowest level, just 79% of the
   reported 1987 level.

   Over the period 1997 to 1999, in the Province of Ontario, the growth in permanent and temporary employment in the
   goods-producing sector was 11.5% and 9-8%, respectively.  For purposes of comparison, over the same period, the growth
   in permanent and temporary employment in the services-producing sector was reported at 4.8% and 15-7%, respectively.
   In  addition, in 1999 the average hourly wage rate for the manufacturing sector, the largest sector within the goods-
   producing sector, was $17-79, while in the trade sector, the largest sector within the services-producing sector, the average
   hourly wage rate was $12.99- Consequently, the shift from goods-producing employment to services-producing
   employment has resulted in more temporary positions, as well as a decline in the average hourly wage rate for those
   individuals forced out of the goods-producing sector and into the services-producing sector.

   The unemployment rate may not be an appropriate stand alone indicator of the aggregate state of the economy or the
   economic prosperity of the population. It is not that the unemployment number is wrong; rather it may be asking too
   much of a single measure to measure economic prosperity, especially when dramatic demographic changes have occurred in
   the labour force. The discussion above has demonstrated that the unemployment rate may underestimate the degree of
   hardship and loss in the population. The possibility of reduced hardship during periods of low unemployment may be
   unsupported, as the unemployed may be looking for temporary jobs. For these reasons additional indicators such as
   poverty rate, demand on social services, income inequality, high school dropouts, low-weight births,  and so on, may be
   better indicators in measuring the economic prosperity of the Great Lakes region.
   Sources
   Statistics Canada. (2000). Historical Labour Force
   Statistics 1999- Cat. 71-201-XPB. Ottawa, Canada.
   Statistics Canada. (2000). Labour Force Historical
   Review 1999- Cat. 71F0004XCB. Ottawa, Canada.
   Sussman D. (2000). "Unemployment Kaleidoscope." In:
   Perspectives, Statistics Canada. Autumn 2000, Vol. 12,
   no. 3- Cat. 75-001-XPE. Ottawa, Canada.

   Acknowledgements
   Authors: Steve Thorp, Great Lakes Commission, Ann
   Arbor, MI, Tom Muir, Environment Canada, Burlington,
   ON and Mike Zegarac, Environment Canada,
   Burlington, ON.
                                      SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Water Use
    SOLEC Indicator #7056
                                                                                                    I  Societal Indicators
    Purpose
    This indicator directly measures the amount of water
    used by residents of the Great Lakes basin and indirectly
    measures the stress to the Great Lakes ecosystem caused
    by the extraction of this water and the generation of
    wastewater pollution.

    Ecosystem Objective
    High rates of water use are associated with a number of
    environmental problems. For example, groundwater
    depletion can result from high water use in combination
    with high rates of population growth.  Also, there is a
    strong correlation between water use and the quality of
    wastewater released from sanitary sewage treatment
    plants. This indicator supports Annex 8 of the Great
    Lakes Water Quality Agreement.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Generally, there are not great differences among the  Great
    Lakes Basin communities' in terms of water use, although
    the Regional Municipality of Niagara, Ontario appears to
    be using more per capita than the other municipalities
    sampled.  Figure 1  below illustrates the sample results of
    water usage rates from four municipalities in the basin.
    The larger urban communities ofToronto, Ontario  and
    Cuyahoga (including Cleveland), Ohio exhibited similar
    water use patterns per capita. The largely rural commu-
    nity of Niagara County, New York had the lowest per
    capita water usage rates of the sample, although a bias
                                 Water Use (1991 -1999)
       £
       'o.
       re
       O
       *  i
250.00

   ).00
was possible since there were a small number of residents
that were using ground water, thus deflating the water
use numbers.

The Regional Municipality of Niagara had significantly
higher water use rates than the other municipalities,
almost 50 cubic meters per capita more.  Initial research
results indicates that there also appear to be differences
between Canadian and US communities. Additional
research is needed to better appreciate the differences
among these communities in their rates of water use.
The sample of the four Great Lakes communities did not
indicate any apparent linkages between urban density, for
example, and water use rates.

Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
While water is essential to life, water use is a stressor to
the ecosystem.  Minimizing the amount of water that
humans use, at rates more consistent with those in other
places, such as European cities, for example would reduce
stress  on the ecosystem.  Further, there  is a positive
relationship between the amount of water used and the
quantity and quality of wastewater discharged.

As Great Lakes populations grow, there will be increasing
demand for water for all purposes.  In addition, there is
expected to be a decline in the availability of water and
lower water levels for the Great Lakes as a result of longer
term global climate change.
                                                                        236.82
             150.00
       2  <
       -s  £  100.00
       S  Q.
       D
       o
               50.00
                0.00









1 R5 9f















1R1 R7
















165 7C





,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,j







_»u
-------
 Societal Indicators
    equitable access to water while rationalizing use.

    Further Work Necessary
    Additional research would be beneficial in a number of
    areas. First of all, there is a need to better understand the
    relationship between water use and urban form. Al-
    though the sample information was not sufficient to draw
    any conclusions about any relationship that might exist it
    should be expected that there is a relationship between
    population density and water use.  The existence of any
    such relationship could be explored through a broad
    survey other communities in the Great Lakes basin and
    an exploration of water use in these communities over
    various time periods.

    Second, as with other developing land use indicators,
    there is also a need to set standards for collecting and
    reporting on water use data. Third, governments at all
    levels should join public interest groups and academic
    institutions in this research to broaden its appeal and
    understanding.  Fourth, there are opportunities inherent
    in researching water use to better understand the relation-
    ship between water use and wastewater generation,
    between the demand for water and its pricing, and
    between water use an technological innovation.

    Finally, the initial survey results of communities in the
    Great Lakes basin is apparently inconclusive with respect
    to size of community or urban density and rate of water
    use.  The role of this indicator in land use decisions needs
    to be explored.  It is possible that it might best serve as a
    basin-wide, rather than a community indicator of land
    use and human/societal activity.

    Sources
    Rivers Consulting and J. Barr Consulting. "State of the
    Lakes Ecosystem Conference — Land  Use Indicators
    Project". Unpublished report — prepared for Environ-
    ment Canada. July 30, 2000.

    Rivers, Ray, Linda Mortsch and Ian Burton. The Eco-
    nomics of Climate Change: The Economics of aWater
    Adaptation Strategy. Canadian Society for Ecological
    Economics - Second Biennial Meeting, McMaster Uni-
    versity, Hamilton, Ontario. October 6-7, 1997-

    Steve Thorp, Ray Rivers and Victoria Pebbles. Impacts of
    Changing Land Use: State of the Lakes Ecosystem
    Conference '96. Environment Canada/USEPA. Windsor
    Ontario, November 1996.
                       Rivers, Ray and Don Tate. Full Cost Water Pricing and
                       the Environment: Commission for Environmental
                       Cooperation (North American Free Trade Agreement)
                       Joint Public Advisory Committee - 1996 Public Hear-
                       ings. Montreal PQ. 1996.

                       Acknowledgments
                       Authors: Ray Rivers, Rivers Consulting, Campbellville,
                       ON and John Barr, Burlington, ON.
88
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Acid Rain
    SOLEC Indicator #9000
                                                                                                  Unbounded Indicators
    Purpose
    To assess the pH levels in precipitation and critical
    loadings of sulphate to the Great Lakes basin, and to
    infer the efficacy of policies to reduce sulphur and
    nitrogen acidic compounds released to the atmosphere.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The 1991 Canada/U.S. Air Quality Agreement pledges
    the two nations to reduce the emissions of acidifying
    compounds by approximately 40% relative to 1980
    levels. The 1998 Canada-Wide Strategy for Post 2000
    intends to further reduce emissions to the point where
    deposition containing these compounds does not
    adversely impact aquatic and terrestrial biotic systems.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Acid rain, more properly called "acidic deposition", is
    caused when two common air pollutants  (sulphur
    dioxide—SO2 and nitrogen oxide—NOx) are released to
    the atmosphere, react and mix with high altitude water
    droplets and return to the earth as acidic rain, snow, fog
    or dust. These pollutants can be carried over long
    distances by prevailing winds, creating acidic
    precipitation far from the original source of the problem.
    Environmental damage typically occurs where local soils
    and/or bedrock do  not effectively neutralize the acid.

    Lakes and rivers have been acidified by acid rain causing
    the disappearance of many species offish, invertebrates
    and plants. Not all lakes exposed to acid rain become
    acidified however. Lakes located in terrain that is rich in
    calcium carbonate (e.g. on limestone bedrock) are able to
    neutralize acidic deposition. Much of the acidic
    precipitation in North America falls in areas around and
    including the Great Lakes basin. Northern Lakes Huron,
    Superior and Michigan, their tributaries and associated
    small inland lakes are located on the geological feature
    known as the Canadian Shield. The Shield is primarily
    composed of granitic bedrock and soils that cannot easily
    neutralize acid, thereby resulting in acidification of many
    of the small lakes (many of which are in norther
    Ontario). The five Great Lakes are so large that acid
    precipitation has little effect on them directly. Impacts are
    mainly felt on vegetation and on inland lakes.

    Sulphur dioxide emissions come from a variety of
    sources. Most common releases of SO2 in Canada are a
    byproduct of industrial processes, notably metal smelting.
In the United States, electrical utilities constitute the
largest emissions source (Figure 1). The primary source of
NO emissions in both countries is the combustion of
    X
fuels in motor vehicles.
    Canada
  Canadian Total:
  2.7 million tonnes
  3.0 million short tons
 United States
            Transportation
                4%
                                       Transportation
                                           5%
    U.S. Total:
    16.8 million tonnes
    18.6 million short tons
Figure 1. Sources of Sulphur Dioxide Emissions in
Canada and the U.S. (1995)
Future Pressures
Figure 2 illustrates the trends in SO2 emission levels in
Canada and the United States measured from 1980 to
1995 and predicted from 1995 to 2010. U.S. levels are
expected to decrease by approximately one-third by 2000
and by up to 40% by 2010. Canadian levels dropped
54% from 1980 to 1994 and thereafter are expected to
remain at approximately current levels. Despite these
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     89

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 Unbounded Indicators
         30
         25-
     .2 °
     « «
       1 10
          5-
                                   -+-
25

20
             1960    1965   1990   1995   2X0   2X5   2310
                               Year
                      -•- Total -0- US. -A- Canada
             Emissions after 1995 are estimates
             Canadan errissions data are prelirrinary

    Figure 2. Past and Predicted Sulphur Dioxide Emissions in Canada,
    the U.S. and Combined.
    efforts, rain is still too acidic throughout most of the
    Great Lakes region.

    Figure 3 compares wet sulphate deposition over eastern
    North America between two five-year periods, 1980-84
    and 1991-95 in kilograms sulphate per hectare per year.
    In response to  the decline in SO2 emissions, deposition
    decreased between the two periods. If SO2 emissions
    remain relatively constant after the year 2000, as
    predicted (Figure 2), it is unlikely that sulphate
    deposition will change in the coming decade. The
    predicted sulphate deposition exceedances of critical loads
                             for 2010 in Canada are seen in Figure 4.

                             Pressures will continue to grow as the population
                             within and outside the basin increases, causing
                             increased demands on electrical utility companies,
                             resources and an increased number of motor
                             vehicles. Considering this, reducing nitrogen
                             deposition is becoming more and more important,
                             as its contribution to acidification may soon
                             outweigh the benefits gained from reductions in
                             sulphur dioxide emissions.

                             Future Activities
                             The effects of acid rain can be seen far from the
                             source and so the governments of Canada and the
                             United States are working together to reduce  acid
                             emissions. The 1991 Canada/United States Air
                             Quality Agreement addresses transboundary
                             pollution. To date, this agreement has focussed on
                             acidifying pollutants and significant steps have been
                             made in the reduction of SO2 emissions. However,
                             further progress in the reduction of acidifying
                             substances is required.
                             The 1998 Canada-Wide Acid Rain Strategy for Post-
                        2000 provides a framework for further actions, such as
                        establishing new sulphur dioxide emission reduction
                        targets in Ontario, Quebec and other provinces.

                        Further Work Necessary
                        While North American SO2 emissions and sulphate
                        deposition levels in the Great Lakes basin have declined
                        over the past 10 to 15 years, many acidified lakes do not
                        show recovery (increase in water pH or alkalinity).
                        Empirical evidence suggests that there are a number of
                        factors acting to delay or limit the recovery response, e.g.
                        increasing importance of nitrogen-based acidification, soil
                                «( fliilfihfitfl dft-poittian lor
                                •Eastern North America
                                  Legend faita iw y«rj
                                             1961-1-15 five-yjs* mean
                                             *
-------
                                                                                               Unbounded Indicators
    depletion of base cations, mobilization of stored sulphur,
    climatic influences, etc.  Further work is needed to
    quantify the additional reduction in deposition needed to
    overcome these limitations and to accurately predict the
    recovery rate.

    Acknowledgments
    Authors: Dean S. Jeffries, National Water Research
    Institute, Environment Canada, Burlington, ON and
    Robert Vet, Meteorological Service of Canada,
    Environment Canada, Downsview, ON.
                                                                            1
15
10
5
                                                                            Uo
                              Figure 4. Predicted 2010 Sulphate Deposition Exceedances of
                              Critical Loads
SO LEG 2ooo - Implementing' IndiLcatoins (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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minder Construction |

   Under Construction

   The SOLEC indicator process is an open process, a
   process that also needs to be flexible enough to revise,
   remove or add indicators as conditions warrant. Addi-
   tionally, the process needs to be able to correct over-
   sights.

   Since SOLEC 98 one frequent comment has been that
   the suite of indicators lacks a basinwide indicator to
   assess the status and potential impact of non-native
   species. In response to this, SOLEC organizers are
   proposing the addition of an Exotic Species indicator
   (ID# 9002). Although we do not know have an indicator
   descriptor for Exotic Species, an example indicator report
   for aquatic exotic species is included here. At some point
   the indicator report will expand to the terrestrial portion
   of the Great Lakes ecosystem.

   Please provide comments to Paul Bertram or Nancy
   Stadler-Salt on:
   1. Whether this indicator should be included in the
   SOLEC suite of basinwide ecosystem indicators;
   2. What features need to be included in the indicator;
   and/or
   3-  Provide additional data for the indicator report.
                                       SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)

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    Exotic Species Introduced into the Great Lakes
    SOLEC Indicator #9002
                                                                                                   minder Construction
    Purpose
    This indicator reports introductions of aquatic organisms
    not naturally occurring in the Great Lakes, and is used to
    assess the status of biotic communities in these freshwa-
    ter ecosystems.  Human activities associated with ship-
    ping, canals, deliberate release (authorized and not), and
    aquaculture are responsible for virtually all new species in
    the Great Lakes. Reporting new species will highlight
    the need for more effective safeguards to prevent the
    introduction and establishment of new non-indigenous
    species.

    Ecosystem Objective
    The purpose of the U.S. and Canada Water Quality
    Agreement is, in part, to restore and maintain the
    biological integrity of the waters of the Great Lakes
    ecosystem, that  is, at a minimum to prevent extinctions
    and unauthorized introductions. Nearly 10% of the non-
    native species introduced in the Great Lakes have had a
    significant impact on ecosystem health, a percentage
    consistent with findings in the United Kingdom and the
    Hudson River of North America. In particular and most
    recently, live fish and invertebrates in ballast water
    discharges into the Great Lakes have been demonstrated
    to constitute a threat to the ecosystem.

    State of the Ecosystem
    Authorized and accidental introduction of new species by
    government agencies are managed through consultation
    and procedural agreements under A Joint Strategic Plan for
    Management of Great Lakes,  1981. Since this agreement,
    new sport fish related introductions have not become
    established in the Great Lakes.

    The identification of ship ballast water as a  major vector
    transporting unwanted organisms into the Great Lakes
    has motivated control efforts.  In 1989, Canada intro-
    duced voluntary ballast exchange, as recommended by the
    International Joint Commission and Great Lakes Fishery
    Commission in the wake of Eurasian ruffe and zebra
    introductions. In 1990, the United States Congress
    passed the Aquatic Nuisance Control and Prevention Act
    (followed by the Non-Indigenous Species Act) and by
    May of 1993, the first and only ballast management
    regulations in the world was adopted. Since the manda-
    tory ballast exchange policy  in the Great Lakes was
    initiated, new species associated with shipping activities
    have been identified and non-reproducing 'indicator
species' such as the European Flounder are still reported.
Consequently, current ballast water management strate-
gies are not sufficiently protective against future Great
Lakes invasions.

Future Pressures on the Ecosystem
World trends in global trade will increase the number of
potential donor regions importing into the Great Lakes
basin, thereby elevating the risk that new species will gain
access to the Great Lakes.  New diversions of water into
the Great Lakes would also increase the risk of new
invasive species.  Fast-growing aquaculture industries,
such as fish farming, live food, and garden ponds, will
seek to satisfy their clients' desire for novelty.  Changes in
water quality, temperature, and, indeed, the previous
introduction  of key species from outside may make the
Great Lakes more hospitable for the establishment of new
invaders.

Future Actions
Researchers are seeking to better understand the contri-
butions  of various vectors and donor regions, the recep-
tivity of the Great Lakes Ecosystem, and the biology of
new invaders, in order to recommend improved safe-
guards that will reduce the invasion risk of new biological
pollutants in the Great Lakes.

Further Work Necessary
To restore and maintain the biological integrity of the
Great Lakes, it is essential that vectors be closely moni-
tored and effective safeguards introduced and adjusted as
necessary.

Acknowledgments
Authors: Edward L. Mills, Department of Natural
Resources, Cornell University, Bridgeport, NY and
Margaret Dochoda, Great Lakes Fishery Commission,
Ann Arbor, MI.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                     93

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Table 1.  Origin, date and location of first sighting, and entry mechanism(s) for non-indigenous aquatic fauna of the Great Lakes
Taxon
Fish
Petromyzontidae
Clupeidae

Cyprinidae





Cobitidae
Ictaluridae
Osmeridae
Salmonidae






Poeciliidae
Gasterosteidae
Percichthyidae
Centrarchidae


Percidae
Gobiidae

Species

Petromyzon marinus
Alosa pseudoharengus
Alosa aestivalis
Carassius auratus

Cyprinus carpio
Notropis buchanani
Phenacobius mirabilis
Scardinius erythrophthalmus
Misgurnus anguillicaudatus
Notums insignis
Osmems mordax
Oncorhynchus gorbuscha
Oncorhynchus kisutch
Oncorhynchus nerka
Oncorhynchus tshawytscha
Oncorhynchus mykiss
Salmo trutta

Gambusia affmis
Apeltes quadracus
Morone americana
Enneacanthus gloriosus
Lepomis humilis
Lepomis microlophus
Gymnocephalus cernuus
Neogobius melanostomus
Proterorhinus marmoratus
Common Name

sea lamprey
alewife
blueback herring
goldfish

common carp
ghost shiner
suckermouth minnow
rudd
oriental weatherfish
margined madtom
rainbow smelt
pink salmon
coho salmon
kokanee
Chinook salmon
rainbow trout
brown trout

western mosquitofish
fourspine stickleback
white perch
bluespotted sunfish
orangespotted sunfish
redear sunfish
ruffe
round goby
tubenose goby
Origin

Atlantic
Atlantic
Atlantic
Asia

Asia
Mississippi
Mississippi
Eurasia
Asia
Atlantic
Atlantic
Pacific
Pacific
Pacific
Pacific
Pacific
Eurasia

Mississippi
Atlantic
Atlantic
Altantic
Mississippi
Southern U.S.
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Date

1830s
1873
1978
<1878

1879
1979
1950
1989
1939
1928
1912
1956
1933
1950
1873
1876
1883

1923
1986
1950
1971
1929
1928
1986
1990
1990
Location

Lake Ontario
Lake Ontario
Mohawk River
widespread

widespread
Thames River
Ohio
Lake Ontario
Shiawassee River
Oswego River
Crystal Lake
Current River
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario
all lakes but Superior
Lake Huron
Lakes Ontario
and Michigan
Cook Co., Illinois
Thunder Bay
Cross Lake
Jamesville Res.
Lake St. Mary's
Inland Indiana
St. Louis River
St. Clair River
St. Clair River
Mechanism

C, S(F)
C, R(F)
C
R(D), R(AQ)
R(F), R(A)
R(D)
R(F)
C, R(F)
R(F)
R(A)
C, R(F)
R(D)
R(A)
R(D)
R(D)
R(D)
R(D)
R(A)
R(D)
R(D)
S(BW)
C
R(AQ), R(F)
C
R(D)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
Mechanism codes:  Deliberate release R(D); Unintentional release R(I); Aquarium release R(AQ); Cultivation release R(C); Fish release R(F); Accidental release R(A);
Ballast water S(BW); Solid ballast S(SB); Fouling S(F); Canals (C); Railroads and Highways (RH)
    SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators
for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
Table 1 (Continued). Origin, date and location of first sighting, and entry mechanism(s) for non-indigenous aquatic fauna of the Great Lakes
Taxon
Mollusks
Valvatidae
Viviparidae



Hydrobiidae
Bithyniidae
Hydrobiidae
Pleuroceridae
Lymnaeidae
Sphaeriidae

Corbiculidae
Dreissenidae

Unionidae
Crustaceans
Cladocera


Copepoda


Amphipoda

Oligochaetes
Naididae
Tubificidae

Species

Valvata piscinalis
Cipangopaludina
chinensis malleata
Cipangopaludina japonica
Vivipams georgianus
Potamopyrgus antipodarum
Bithynia tentaculata
Gillia altilis
Elimia virginica
Radix auricularia
Sphaerium corneum
Pisidium amnicum
Corbicula fluminea
Dreissena polymorpha
Dreissena bugensis
Lasmigona subviridis

Bythotrephes cederstroemi
Eubosmina coregoni
Cercopagis pengoi
Eurytemora affmis
Skistodiaptomus pallidus
Argulus j aponicus
Gamm arm fasciatus
Echinogammarus ischnus

Ripistes parasita
Branchiura sowerbyi
Phallodrilus aquaedulcis
Common Name

European valve snail
Oriental mystery snail


banded mystery snail
New Zealand mud snail
faucet snail
snail
snail
European ear snail
European fingernail clam
greater European pea clam
Asiatic clam
zebra mussel
quagga mussel
mussel

spiny water flea
water flea
fish hook flea
calanoid copepod
calanoid copepod
parasitic copepod
gammarid amphipod
gammarid amphipod

oligochaete
oligochaete
oligochaete
Origin

Eurasia
Asia

Asia
Mississippi
New Zealand
Eurasia
Atlantic
Atlantic
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Asia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Atlantic

Eurasia
Eurasia
Ponto-Caspian
widespread
Mississippi
Asia
Atlantic
Ponto-Caspian

Eurasia
Asia
Eurasia
Date

1897
1931

1940s
<1906
1991
1871
1918
1860
1901
1952
1897
1980
1988
1991
<1959

1984
1966
1998
1958
1967
<1988
<1940
1995

1980
1951
1983
Location

Lake Ontario
Niagara River

Lake Erie
Lake Michigan
Lake Ontario
Lake Michigan
Oneida Lake
Erie Canal
Chicago
Rice Lake
Genesee
Lake Erie
Lake St. Clair
Lake Ontario
Erie Canal

Lake Huron
Lake Michigan
Lake Ontario
Lake Ontario
Lake Ontario
Lake Michigan
Unknown
Detroit River

North Channel
Kalamazoo River
Niagara River
Mechanism

S(SB)
R(AQ)

R(D)
R(AQ)
S(BW)
S(SB), R(D)
C
c
R(AQ), R(A)
Unknown
S(SB)
R(A), R(AQ), R(F)
S(BW)
S(BW)
C

S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
R(A), R(F)
R(F), R(AQ)
S(BW), S(SB)
S(BW)

S(BW)
R(A)
S(BW)
Mechanism codes: Deliberate release R(D); Unintentional release R(I); Aquarium release R(AQ); Cultivation release R(C); Fish release R(F); Accidental release R(A);
Ballast water S(BW); Solid ballast S(SB); Fouling S(F); Canals (C); Railroads and Highways (RH)
    SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators
for Review, "November 2ooo)
95

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Table 1 (Continued). Origin, date and location of first sighting, and entry mechanism(s) for non-indigenous aquatic fauna of the Great Lakes

Taxon	Species	Common Name	Origin	
                                                           Date  Location
                                                          Mechanism
Other invertebrates
Platyhelminthes     Dugesia polychroa
Hydrozoa          Cordylophora caspia
                   Craspedacusta sowerbyi
Insecta             Acentropus niveus
                   Tanysphyms lemnae
Disease pathogens
Bacteria           Aeromonas salmonicida
Protozoa           Glugea hertwigi
                   Myxobolus cerebralis
Present but not established
Grapsidae          Eriocheir sinensis
Pleuronectidae      Platyichthys flesus
Questionable
Cambaridae        Oronectes msticus
flatworm
hydroid
freshwater jellyfish
aquatic moth
aquatic weevil

furunculosis
microsporidian parasite
salmonid whirling disease

Chinese mitten crab
European flounder

Rusty crayfish
Eurasia
Unknown
Asia
Eurasia
Eurasia

Unknown
Eurasia
Unknown

northern China
ne Atl. Ocean; Black Sea

Ohio River basin
 1968  Lake Ontario           S(BW)
 1956  Lake Erie              R(A)
 1933  Lake Erie              R(A)
 1950  Lake Ontario, Erie      R(A)
<1943 Unknown              Unknown

<1902 Unknown              R(F)
 1960  Lake Erie              R(F)
 1968  Ohio                  R(F)

 1965  Detroit River           BW
 1974  Lake Erie              BW

 1960  Wisconsin             bait
Mechanism codes: Deliberate release R(D); Unintentional release R(I); Aquarium release R(AQ); Cultivation release R(C); Fish release R(F); Accidental release R(A);
Ballast water S(BW); Solid ballast S(SB); Fouling S(F); Canals (C); Railroads and Highways (RH)
    SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators
    for Review, "November 2ooo)

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Table 2.  Origin, date and location of first sighting, and entry mechanism(s) for non-indigenous aquatic plants and algae of the Great Lakes
Taxon
Algae
Chlorophyceae


Chrysophyceae
Bacillariophyceae

















Phaeophyceae

Rhodophyceae

Submerged Plants
Marsileaceae
Cabombaceae
Brassicaceae
Species

Enteromorpha intestinalis
Enteromorpha prolifera
Nitellopsis obtusa
Hymenomonas roseola
Actinocyclus normanii
fo. subsalsa
Biddulphia laevis
Cyclotella atomus
Chaetoceros honii
Skeletonema potamos
Skeletonema subsalsum
Stephana discus binderanus
Stephanodiscus subtilis
Thalassiosira guillardii
Thalassiosira lacustris
Thalassiosira pseudonana
Thalassiosira weissflogii
Thalassiosira baltica
Diatoma ehrenbergii
Cyclotella criptica
Cyclotella pseudostelligera
Cyclotella woltereki
Sphacelaria fluviatilis
Sphacelaria lacustris
Bangia atropurpurea
Chroodactylon ramosum

Marsilea quadrifolia
Cabomba caroliniana
Rorippa nasturtium aquaticum
Common Name

green alga
green alga
green alga
coccolithophorid
diatom

diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
diatom
brown alga
brown alga
red alga
red alga

European water clover
fanwort
water cress
Origin

Atlantic
Atlantic
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia

widespread
widespread
unknown
widespread
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
widespread
widespread
widespread
widespread
7
widespread
widespread
widespread
widespread
Asia
unknown
widespread
Atlantic

Eurasia
Southern U.S.
Eurasia
Date

1926
1979
1983
1975
1938

1978
1964
1978
1963
1973
1938
1946
1973
<1978
1973
1962
7
1930s
1964
1946
1964
1975
1975
1964
1964

<1925
1935
1847
Location

Wolf Creek (O)
Lake St. Clair
Lake St. Clair
Lake Huron
Lake Ontario

Lake Michigan
LakeMichigan
Lake Huron
Toledo, Ohio (E)
Sandusky Bay (E)
Lake Michigan
Lake Michigan
Sandusky Bay (E)
Lake Erie
Ohio (E)
Detroit River
7
Lake Michigan
Lake Michigan
Lake Michigan
Lake Michigan
Gull Lake (M)
Lake Michigan
Lake Erie
Lake Erie

Cayuga Lake (O)
Kimble Lake (M)
Niagara Falls (O)
Mechanism

R(A)
Unknown
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)

S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
S(BW)
R(AQ), R(A)
S(BW)
S(BW), S(F)
S(BW)

R(D)
R(AQ), R(A)
R(C)
Mechanism codes:  Deliberate release R(D); Unintentional release R(I); Aquarium release R(AQ); Cultivation release R(C); Fish release R(F); Accidental release R(A);
Ballast water S(BW); Solid ballast S(SB); Fouling S(F); Canals (C); Railroads and Highways (RH)
 SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators
for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
Table 2 (Continued). Origin, date and location of first sighting, and entry mechanism(s) for non-indigenous aquatic plants and algae of the Great Lakes
Taxon
Haloragaceae
Trapaceae
Menyanthaceae
Hydrocharitaceae
Potamogetonaceae
Najadaceae

Marsh Plants
Chenopodiaceae
Caryophyllaceae
Polygonaceae




Brassicaceae
Primulaceae

Lythraceae
Onagraceae


Apiaceae
Solanaceae
Boraginaceae
Lamiaceae




Scrophulariaceae
Species
Myriophyllum spicatum
Trapa natans
Nymphoides peltata
Hydrocharis morsus-ranae
Potamogeton crispus
Najas marina
Najas minor

Chenopodium glaucum
Stellaria aquatica
Polygonum caespitosum
var. longisetum
Polygonum persicaria
Rumex longifolius
Rumex obtusifolius
Rorippa sylvestris
Lysimachia nummularia
Lysimachia vulgaris
Lythrum salicaria
Epilobium hirsutum
Epilobium parviflorum

Conium maculatum
Solanum dulcamara
Myosotis scorpioides
Lycopus asper
Lycopus europaeus
Mentha gentilis
Mentha piperita
Mentha spicata
Veronica beccabunga
Common Name
Eurasian watermilfoil
water chestnut
yellow floating heart
European frog-bit
curly pondweed
spiny naiad
minor naiad

oak leaved goose foot
giant chickweed
bristly lady's thumb

lady's thumb
yard dock
bitter dock
creeping yellow cress
moneywort
garden loosestrife
purple loosestrife
great hairy willow herb
small flowered
hairy willow herb
poison hemlock
bittersweet nightshade
true forget-me-not
western water horehound
European water horehound
creeping whorled mint
peppermint
spearmint
European brooklime
Origin
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia

Eurasia
Eurasia
Asia

Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia

Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Mississippi
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Date
1952
<1959
1930
1972
1879
1864
1932

1867
1894
1960

<1843
1901
<1840
1884
1882
1913
1869
1874
1966

<1843
<1843
1886
1892
1903
1915
<1843
<1843
1915
Location
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario (t)
Conneaut River (E)
Lake Ontario
Keuka Lake (O)
Onondaga Lake (O)
Lake Cardinal (E)

Onondaga Lake (O)
Lake St. Clair
Ohio (E)

widespread
Isle Royale (S)
widespread
Rochester, NY (O)
central NY (O)
central NY (O)
Ithaca, NY (O)
Ithaca, NY (O)
Benzie Co., MI (M)

widespread
widespread
central NY (O)
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario
central NY (O)
widespread
widespread
Monroe Co., NY (O)
Mechanism
R(AQ), S(F)
R(A), R(AQ)
R(A)
R(AQ), R(D), S(F)
R(D), R(F)
S(SB)
R(D)

RH
unknown
unknown

unknown
R(C)
unknown
S(SB)
R(C)
R(C)
C, S(SB)
R(A), S(SB)
unknown

R(C)
R(C)
R(C)
R(A)
S(SB)
R(C)
R(C)
R(C)
S(SB)
Mechanism codes: Deliberate release R(D); Unintentional release R(I); Aquarium release R(AQ); Cultivation release R(C); Fish release R(F); Accidental release R(A);
Ballast water S(BW); Solid ballast S(SB); Fouling S(F); Canals (C); Railroads and Highways (RH)
 SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators
for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
Table 2 (Continued). Origin, date and location of first sighting, and entry mechanism(s) for non-indigenous aquatic plants and algae of the Great Lakes
Taxon
Asteraceae







Butomaceae
Balsaminaceae
Juncaceae


Cyperaceae


Poaceae





Sparganiaceae
Typhaceae
Iridaceae
Shoreline Trees
Betulaceae
Salicaceae


Rhamnaceae
Species
Cirsium palustre
Pluchea odorata
var. succulenta
var. purpurescens
Solidago sempervirens
Sonchus arvensis
Sonchus arvensis
var. glabrescens
Butomus umbellatus
Impatiens glandulifera
Juncus compressus
Juncus gerardii
Juncus inflexus
Cat-ex acutiformis
Carex disticha
Carexflacca
Agrostis gigantea
Alopecurus geniculatus
Echinochloa crusgalli
Glyceria maxima
Poa trivialis
Puccinellia distans
Sparganium glomeratum
Typha angustifolia
Iris pseudacorus
and Shrubs
Alnus glutinosa
Salix alba
Salix fragilis
Salix pur pur ea
Rhamnus frangula
Common Name
marsh thistle

salt-marsh fleabane
salt-marsh fleabane
seaside goldenrod
field sow thistle

smooth field sow thistle
flowering rush
Indian balsam
flattened rush
black-grass rush
rush
swamp sedge
sedge
sedge
redtop
water foxtail
barnyard grass
reed sweet-grass
rough-stalked meadow grass
weeping alkali grass
bur reed
narrow leaved cattail
yellow flag

black alder
white willow
crack willow
purple willow
glossy buckthorn
Origin
Eurasia

Atlantic
Atlantic
Atlantic
Eurasia

Eurasia
Eurasia
Asia
Eurasia
Atlantic
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia

Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Eurasia
Date
<1950

<1950
1916
1969
1865

1902
<1930
1912
<1895
1862
1922
1951
1866
1896
1884
1882
<1843
1940
<1843
1893
1936
1880s
1886

<1913
<1886
<1886
<1886
<1913
Location
Lake Superior

central NY (O)
Lake Erie (t)
Chicago (M)
central NY

Ohio (E)
Detroit River (E)
Port Huron (H)
Cayuga Lake (O)
Chicago
central, NY
St. Joseph Lake (M)
Belleville, Ontario (O)
Detroit River
Ontario (S)
Lake Erie
widespread
Lake Ontario
widespread
Montezuma, NY (O)
Lake Superior
central NY (O)
Ithaca, NY (O)

widespread
widespread
widespread
widespread
Ontario
Mechanism
unknown

unknown
R(A)
R(A)
R(A)

R(A)
S(SB)
R(C)
R(A)
S(SB)
unknown
unknown
S(SB)
unknown
R(C)
R(C)
R(C), S(SB)
R(C), S(SB)
R(C), S(SB)
S(SB), RH
unknown
C, R(A)
R(C)

R(C)
R(C)
R(C)
R(C)
R(C)
Mechanism codes: Deliberate release R(D); Unintentional release R(I); Aquarium release R(AQ); Cultivation release R(C); Fish release R(F); Accidental release R(A);
Ballast water S(BW); Solid ballast S(SB); Fouling S(F); Canals (C); Railroads and Highways (RH)
 SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators
for Review, "November 2ooo)

-------
1OO                                   SOLEC 2ooo - Hmplemeinutibniig- Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2ooo))

-------
   APPENDIX   1   —  BRIEF  DESCRIPTION   OF  THE   INDICATORS

   LIST

   Note: The numbers following the indicator name are a means of identifying the indicator in the electronic database.

   Open and Nearshore Waters Indicators

   State Indicators
   Fish Habitat (Indicator #6)
           This indicator will assess the quality and amount of aquatic habitat in the Great Lakes ecosystem, and it will be used to infer
           progress in rehabilitating degraded habitat and associated aquatic communities.

   Salmon and Trout (Indicator #8)
           This indicator will show trends in populations of introduced trout and salmon populations, and it will be used to evaluate the
           potential impacts on native trout and salmon populations and the preyfish populations that support them.

   Walleye and Hexagenia (Indicator #9)
           This indicator will show the status and trends in walleye and Hexagenia populations, and it will be used to infer the basic
           structure of warm-coolwater predator and prey communities, the health of percid populations, and the health of the Great
           Lakes ecosystem.

   Preyfish Populations (Indicator #17)
           This indicator will assess the abundance and diversity of preyfish populations, and it will be used to infer the stability of
           predator species necessary to maintain the biological integrity of each lake.

   Native Unionid Mussels (Indicator #68)
           This indicator will assess the population status of native Unionid populations, and it will be used to infer the impact of the
           invading Dreissenid mussel on the Unionid mussel.

   Lake Trout and Scud (Diporeia hoyi) (Indicator #93)
           This indicator will show the status and trends in lake trout and D. hoyi populations, and it will be used to infer the basic
           structure of coldwater predator and prey communities and the general health of the ecosystem.

   Deformities, Eroded Fins, Lesions and Tumors in Nearshore Fish (Indicator #101)
           This indicator will assess the combination of deformities, eroded fins, lesions and tumors (DELT index) in nearshore fish, and
           it will be used to infer areas of degraded habitat within the Great Lakes.

   Benthos Diversity and Abundance (Indicator #104)
           This indicator will assess species diversity and abundance in the aquatic oligochaete community, and it will be used to infer
           the relative health of the benthic community.

   Phytoplankton Populations (Indicator #109)
           This indicator will assess the species and size composition of phytoplankton populations in the Great Lakes, and it will be
           used to infer the impact of nutrient enrichment, contamination and invasive exotic predators on the Great Lakes ecosystem.

   Zooplankton Populations (Indicator #116)
           This indicator will assess characteristics of the zooplankton community, and it will be used over time to infer changes in
           vertebrate  or invertebrate predation, system productivity, energy transfer within the Great Lakes, or other food web dynamics.

   Sediment Available  for Coastal Nourishment (Indicator #8142)  (formerly called Stream  Flow and Sediment Discharge) - also a
   Nearshore Terrestrial indicator
           This indicator will assess the amount of water and suspended sediment entering the Great Lakes through major tributaries
           and connecting  channels, and it will be used to estimate the amount of sediment available for transport to nourish coastal
           ecosystems.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Braift for Review, "November 2ooo))                                       101

-------
   Pressure Indicators
   Sea Lamprey (Indicator #18)
            This indicator will estimate sea lamprey abundance and assess their impact on other fish populations in the Great Lakes.

   Phosphorus Concentrations and Loadings (Indicator #111)
            This indicator will assess the total phosphorus levels in the Great Lakes, and it will be used to support the evaluation of
            trophic status and food web dynamics in the Great Lakes.

   Contaminants in Young-of-the-Year Spottail Shiners (Indicator #114)
            This indicator will assess the levels of PBT chemicals in young-of-the-year spottail shiners, and it will be used to infer local
            areas of elevated contaminant levels and potential harm to fish-eating wildlife.

   Contaminants in Colonial Nesting Waterbirds (Indicator #115)
            This indicator will assess chemical concentration levels in a representative colonial waterbird, and it will be used to infer the
            impact of these  contaminants on colonial waterbird physiology and population characteristics.

   Atmospheric Deposition  of Toxic Chemicals (Indicator #117)
            This indicator will estimate the annual average loadings of priority toxic chemicals from the atmosphere to the Great Lakes,
            and it will be used to infer potential impacts of toxic  chemicals from atmospheric deposition on the Great Lakes aquatic
            ecosystem, as well as to infer the progress of various Great Lakes programs toward virtual elimination of toxics from the Great
            Lakes.

   Toxic Chemical Concentrations in Offshore Waters (Indicator #118)
            This indicator will assess the concentration of priority toxic chemicals in offshore waters, and it will be used to infer the
            potential impacts of toxic chemicals on the Great Lakes aquatic ecosystem, as well as to infer the progress of various Great
            Lakes programs toward virtual elimination of toxics from the Great Lakes.

   Concentrations of Contaminants in Sediment Cores (Indicator #119)
            This indicator will assess the concentrations of IJC priority toxic chemicals in sediments, and it will be used to infer potential
            harm to aquatic ecosystems by contaminated sediments, as well as to infer the progress of various Great Lakes programs
            toward virtual elimination of toxics from the Great Lakes.

   Contaminant Exchanges  between Media: Air to Water and Water to Sediment (Indicator #120)
            This indicator will estimate the loadings of IJC priority pollutants to the Great Lakes, and it will be used to infer the potential
            harm these contaminants pose to human, animal and aquatic life within the Great Lakes, as well as to infer the progress of
            various Great Lakes programs toward virtual elimination of toxics from the Great Lakes.

   Wastewater Pollution (Indicator #7059)
            This indicator will assess the loadings of wastewater pollutants discharged into the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used to
            infer inefficiencies in human economic activity (i.e., wasted resources) and the potential adverse impacts to human and
            ecosystem health.


   Coastal Wetland Indicators

   State Indicators
   Coastal Wetland Invertebrate Community Health (Indicator #4501)
            This indicator will assess the diversity of the invertebrate community, especially aquatic insects, and it will  be used to infer
            habitat suitability and  biological integrity of Great Lakes coastal wetlands.

   Coastal Wetland Fish Community Health (Indicator #4502)
            This indicator will assess the fish community diversity, and it will be used to infer habitat suitability for Great Lakes coastal
            wetland fish communities.
1O2                                         SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review,

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    Deformities, Eroded Fins, Lesions and Tumours (DELT) in Coastal Wetland Fish (Indicator #4503)
            This indicator will assess the combination of deformities, eroded fins, lesions and tumors (DELT index) in coastal wetlands,
            and it will be used to infer ecosystem health of Great Lakes coastal wetlands.

    Amphibian Diversity and Abundance (Indicator #4504)
            This indicator will assess the species composition and relative abundance of frogs and toads, and it will be used to infer the
            condition of coastal wetland habitat as it relates to the health of this ecologically important component of wetland
            communities.

    Wetland-Dependent Bird Diversity and Abundance (Indicator #4507)
            This indicator will assess the wetland bird species composition and relative abundance, and it will be used to infer  the
            condition of coastal wetland habitat as it relates to the health of this ecologically and culturally important component of
            wetland communities.

    Coastal Wetland Area by Type (Indicator #4510)
            This indicator will assess the periodic changes in area (particularly losses) of coastal wetland types, taking into account natural
            variations.

    Presence, Abundance and Expansion of Invasive Plants (Indicator #4513)
            This indicator will assess the decline of vegetative diversity associated with an increase in the presence, abundance, and
            expansion of invasive plants, and it will be used as a surrogate measure of the quality of coastal wetlands which are impacted
            by coastal manipulation or input of sediments.

    Pressure Indicators
    Contaminants in Snapping Turtle Eggs (Indicator #4506)
            This indicator will assess the accumulation of organochlorine chemicals and mercury in snapping turtle eggs, and it may be
            used to infer the extent of organochlorine chemicals and mercury in food webs of Great Lakes coastal wetlands.

    Sediment Flowing into Coastal Wetlands (Indicator #4516)
            This indicator will assess the sediment load to coastal wetlands and its potential impact on wetland health.

    Nitrate and Total Phosphorus Into Coastal Wetlands (Indicator #4860)
            This indicator will assess the amount of nitrate and total phosphorus flowing into Great Lakes coastal wetlands, and it will be
            used to infer the human influence on nutrient levels in the wetlands.

    Effect of Water Level Fluctuations (Indicator #4861) - also a Nearshore Terrestrial indicator
            This indicator will assess the lake level trends that may significantly affect components of wetland and nearshore terrestrial
            ecosystems, and it will be used to infer the effect of water level regulation on emergent wetland extent.

    Human Activity (Response) Indicators
    Gain in Restored Coastal Wetland Area by Type (Indicator #4511)
            This indicator will assess the amount of restored wetland area, and it will be used to infer the success of conservation and
            rehabilitation efforts.


    Nearshore Terrestrial Indicators  (within 1 kilometer of shore)

    State Indicators
    Indicators related to habitats:
    Extent and Quality of Nearshore Natural Land Cover (Indicator #8136)
            This indicator will assess the amount of natural land cover that falls within 1 km of the shoreline,  and it will be used to infer
            the potential impact of artificial coastal structures, including  primary and secondary home development, on the extent and
            quality of nearshore terrestrial ecosystems in the Great Lakes.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Braift for Review, "November 2ooo))                                         1OJ

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Indicators related to health and stability of ecological communities/species:
Area, Quality, and Protection of Special Lakeshore Communities (Indicator #8129)
         This indicator will assess the changes in area and quality of the twelve special lakeshore communities, and it will be used to
         infer the success of management activities associated with the protection of some of the most ecologically significant habitats
         in the Great Lakes terrestrial nearshore.

Nearshore Land Use (Indicator #8132)
         This indicator will assess the types and extent of major land uses within 1 km from shore, and it will be used to identify real
         or potential impacts of land use on significant natural features or processes, particularly on the twelve special lakeshore
         communities.

Nearshore Species Diversity and Stability (Indicator #8137)
         This indicator will assess the composition and abundance of plant and wildlife species over time within the nearshore area,
         and it will be used to infer adverse effects on the nearshore terrestrial ecosystem due to stresses such as climate change and/or
         increasing land  use intensity.

Pressure Indicators
Indicators related to physical stressors:
Effects of Water Level Fluctuations (Indicator #4861) -  also a Coastal Wetland indicator
         This indicator will assess the lake level trends that may significantly affect components of wetland and nearshore terrestrial
         ecosystems, and it will be used to infer the effect of water level regulation on emergent wetland extent.

Extent of Hardened Shoreline (Indicator #8131)
         This indicator will assess the amount of shoreline habitat altered by the construction of shore protection, and it will be used to
         infer the potential harm to aquatic life in the nearshore as a result of conditions (e.g., shoreline erosion) created by habitat
         alteration.

Artificial Coastal Structures (Indicator #8146)
         This indicator will assess the number of artificial coastal structures on the Great Lakes, and it will be used to infer potential
         harm to coastal habitat by disruption of sand transport.

Indicators related to biological stressors:
Nearshore Plant and Animal Problem Species (Indicator #8134)
         This indicator will assess the type and abundance of plant and wildlife problem species in landscapes bordering the Great
         Lakes, and it will be used to identify the  potential for disruption of nearshore ecological processes and communities.

Indicators related to chemical stressors:
Contaminants Affecting Productivity of Bald Eagles (Indicator #8135)
         This indicator will assess the number of fledged young, number of developmental deformities, and the concentrations of
         organic and heavy metal contamination in Bald Eagle eggs, blood, and feathers.  The data will be used to infer the potential
         for harm to other wildlife and human health through the consumption of contaminated fish.

Contaminants Affecting the American Otter (Indicator #8147)
         This indicator will assess the contaminant concentrations found in American otter populations within the Great Lakes basin,
         and it will be used to infer the presence and severity of contaminants in the aquatic food web  of the  Great Lakes.

Human Activity (Response) Indicators
Community / Species Plans (Indicator #8139)
         This indicator will assess the number of plans that are needed, developed, and implemented to protect, maintain or restore
         high quality, natural nearshore communities and federally listed endangered, threatened, and vulnerable species.  This
         indicator will be used  to infer the degree of human stewardship toward these communities and species.

Shoreline Management Under Integrated Management Plans (Indicator #8141)
         This indicator will assess the amount of Great Lakes shoreline managed under an integrated management plan, and it will be
         used to infer the degree of stewardship of shoreline processes and habitat.
                                          SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2

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    Protected Nearshore Areas (Indicator #8149)
            This indicator will assess the kilometers/miles of shoreline in six classes of protective status. This information will be used to
            infer the preservation and restoration of habitat and biodiversity, the protection of adjacent nearshore waters from physical
            disturbance and undesirable inputs (nutrients and toxics), and the preservation of essential habitat links in the migration
            (lifecycle) of birds and butterflies.


    Land Use Indicators

    State Indicators
    Urban Density (Indicator #7000)
            This indicator will assess the human population density in the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used to infer the degree of
            inefficient land use and  urban sprawl for communities in the Great Lakes ecosystem.

    Habitat Adjacent to Coastal Wetlands  (Indicator #7055)
            This indicator will provide  an index of the quality of adjoining upland habitat which can have a major effect on wetland
            biota, many of which require upland habitat for part of their life cycle.

    Habitat Fragmentation (Indicator #8114)
            This indicator will assess the amount and distribution  of natural habitat remaining within Great Lakes ecoregions, and it will
            be used to infer the effect of human land uses such as housing, agriculture, flood control, and recreation on habitat needed to
            support fish and wildlife species.

    Pressure Indicators
    Land Conversion (Indicator #7002)
            This indicator will assess the changes in land use within the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used to infer the potential
            impact of land conversion on Great Lakes ecosystem health.

    Mass Transportation (Indicator #7012)
            This indicator will assess the percentage of commuters using public transportation, and it will be used to infer the stress to the
            Great Lakes ecosystem caused by the use of the private motor vehicle and its resulting  high resource utilization and pollution
            creation.

    Human Activity (Response) Indicators
    Brownfield Redevelopment (Indicator  #7006)
            This indicator will assess the acreage of redeveloped brownfields, and it will be used over time to evaluate the rate at which
            society rehabilitates and reuses former developed land sites that have been degraded by poor use.

    Sustainable Agricultural Practices (Indicator #7028)
            This indicator will assess the number of Environmental and Conservation farm plans, and it will be used to infer
            environmentally friendly practices in place, such as integrated pest management to reduce the unnecessary use of pesticides,
            zero tillage and other soil preservation practices to reduce energy consumption, and prevention of ground and surface water
            contamination.

    Green Planning Process (Indicator #7053)
            This indicator will assess the number of municipalities with environmental and resource conservation management plans in
            place, and it will be used to infer the extent to which municipalities utilize environmental standards to guide their
            management decisions with respect to land planning, resource conservation, and natural area preservation.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Braift for Review, "November 2ooo))                                         105

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   Human Health Indicators

   State Indicators
   Geographic Patterns and Trends in Disease Incidence (Indicator #4179)
            This indicator will assess geographical and temporal patterns in disease incidences in the Great Lakes basin population, and it
            will also be used to identify areas where further investigation of the exposure and effects of environmental pollutants on
            human health is needed.

   Pressure Indicators
   Indicators of Exposure
   Contaminants in Recreational Fish (Indicator #0113)
            This indicator will assess the levels of PBT chemicals in fish, and it will be used to infer the potential harm to human health
            through consumption of contaminated fish.

   E. coli and Fecal Coliform Levels in Nearshore Recreational Waters (Indicator #4081)
            This indicator will assess fecal coliform contaminant levels in nearshore recreational waters, acting as a surrogate indicator for
            other pathogen types, and it will be  used to infer potential harm to human health through body contact with nearshore
            recreational waters.

   Contaminants in Edible Fish Tissue (Indicator #4083)
            This indicator will assess the concentration of persistent, bioaccumulating, toxic (PBT) chemicals in Great Lakes fish, and it
            will be used to infer the potential exposure of humans to PBT chemicals through consumption of Great Lakes fish caught via
            sport and subsistence fishing.

   Chemical Contaminant Intake From Air, Water, Soil and Food (Indicator #4088)
            This indicator will estimate the daily intake of PBT chemicals from all sources, and it will be used to evaluate the potential
            harm to human health and the efficacy of policies  and technology intended to reduce PBT chemicals.

   Drinking Water Quality (Indicator #4175)
            This indicator will assess the chemical and microbial contaminant levels in drinking water, and it will be used to evaluate the
            potential for human exposure to drinking water contaminants and the efficacy of policies and technologies to ensure safe
            drinking water.

   Air Quality (Indicator #4176)
            This indicator will monitor the air quality in the Great Lakes ecosystem, and it will be used to infer the potential impact of air
            quality on human health in the Great Lakes basin.

   Chemical Contaminants in Human Tissue (Indicator #4177)
            This indicator will assess the concentration of PBT chemicals in human tissues, and it will be used to infer the efficacy of
            policies and technology to reduce PBT chemicals in the Great Lakes ecosystem.

   Radionuclides (Indicator #4178)
            This indicator will assess the concentrations of artificial radionuclides  in cow's milk, surface water, drinking water, and air,
            and it will be  used to estimate the potential for human exposure to artificial radionuclides.


   Societal Indicators

   State Indicators
   Aesthetics (Indicator #7042)
            This indicator will assess the amount of waste and decay around human activities in the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used
            to infer the degree to which human  activities are conducted  in an efficient and ordered fashion consistent with ecosystem
            harmony and integrity.
1O6                                         SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review,

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    Economic Prosperity (Indicator #7043)
            This indicator will assess the unemployment rates within the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used in association with other
            Societal indicators to infer the capacity for society in the Great Lakes region to make decisions that will benefit the Great
            Lakes ecosystem.

    Pressure Indicators
    Water Withdrawal (Indicator #7056)
            This indicator will assess the amount of water used in the Great Lakes basin per capita, and it will be used to infer the amount
            of wastewater generated and the demand for resources to pump and treat water.

    Energy Consumption (Indicator #7057)
            This indicator will assess the amount of energy consumed in the Great Lakes basin per capita, and it will be used to infer the
            demand for resource use, the creation of waste and pollution, and stress on the ecosystem.

    Solid Waste Generation (Indicator #7060)
            This indicator will assess the amount of solid waste generated per  capita in the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used to infer
            inefficiencies in human economic activity (i.e.,  wasted resources) and the  potential adverse impacts to human and ecosystem
            health.

    Human Activity (Response) Indicators
    Capacities of Sustainable Landscape Partnerships (Indicator #3509) - unreviewed
            This indicator assesses the organizational capacities required of local coalitions to act as full partners in ecosystem
            management initiatives. It includes the enumeration of public-private partnerships relating to the pursuit of sustainable
            ecosystems through environmental management, staff, and annual budgets.

    Organizational Richness of Sustainable Landscape Partnerships (Indicator #3510)  - unreviewed
            This indicator assesses the diversity of membership and expertise included in partnerships. Horizontal integration is a
            description of the diversity of partnerships required to address local issues, and vertical integration is the description of federal
            and state/provincial involvement in place-based initiatives as full partners.

    Integration of Ecosystem Management Principles Across Landscapes (Indicator #3511) -  unreviewed
            This indicator describes the extent to which federal, state/provincial, and  regional governments and agencies have endorsed
            and adopted ecosystem management guiding principles in place-based resource management programs.

    Integration of Sustainability Principles Across Landscapes (Indicator #3512) - unreviewed
            This indicator describes the extent to which federal, state/provincial, and  regional governments and agencies have endorsed
            and adopted sustainability guiding principles in place-based resource management programs.

    Citizen/Community Place-Based Stewardship Activities  (Indicator #3513)  - unreviewed
            Community activities that focus on local landscapes/ecosystems provide a fertile context for the growth of the stewardship
            ethic and the establishment of a "a sense of place." This indicator, or suite of indicators, will reflect the number, vitality and
            effectiveness of citizen and community stewardship activities.

    Financial Resources Allocated to Great Lakes Programs (Indicator #8140)
            This indicator will assess the amount of dollars spent annually on  Great Lakes programs, and it will be used to infer the
            responsiveness of Great Lakes programs through annual funding focused  on research, monitoring, restoration,  and protection
            of Great Lakes ecosystems by federal and state/provincial agencies and non-governmental organizations.


    Unbounded Indicators

    State Indicators
    Breeding Bird Diversity and Abundance (Indicator #8150)
            This indicator will assess the status  of breeding bird populations and communities, and it will be used to infer the health of
            breeding bird habitat in the Great Lakes basin.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Braift for Review, "November 2ooo))

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   Threatened Species (Indicator #8161)
            This indicator will assess the number, extent and viability of threatened species, which are key components of biodiversity in
            the Great Lakes basin, and it will be used to infer the integrity of ecological processes and systems (e.g., sand accretion,
            hydrologic regime) within Great Lakes habitats.

   Pressure Indicators
   Global Warming: Number of Extreme Storms (Indicator #4519)
            This indicator will assess the number of "extreme storms" each year, and it will be used to infer the potential impact on
            ecological components of the Great Lakes of increased numbers of severe storms due to climate change.

   Global Warming: First Emergence of Water Lilies in Coastal Wetlands (Indicator #4857)
            This indicator will assess the change over time in first emergence dates of water lilies in coastal wetlands as a sentinel of
            climate change affecting the Great Lakes.

   Global Warming: Ice Duration on the Great Lakes (Indicator #4858)
            This indicator will assess the temperature and accompanying physical changes to each lake over time, and it will be used to
            infer potential impact of climate change on wetlands.

   Acid Rain (Indicator #9000)
            This indicator will assess the pH levels in precipitation and critical loadings of sulphate to the Great  Lakes basin, and it will be
            used to infer the efficacy of policies to reduce sulphur and nitrogen acidic compounds released to the atmosphere.
1O8                                         SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review,

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    APPENDIX 2 — RELEVANCIES (OR ALTERNATE INDICATOR GROUPINGS)
    The SOLEC list of indicators was developed according to
    the categories of open and nearshore waters, coastal
    wetlands, nearshore terrestrial, human health, land use,
    societal and unbounded. These groupings are convenient
    for SOLEC reporting, but they represent only one of
    many ways to organize information about the Great
    Lakes. Depending on the user's perspective, other
    groupings will be more convenient or will provide insight
    to aspects of the Great Lakes that differ from the SOLEC
    groupings.

    Each of the proposed SOLEC indicators has been
    evaluated by the Indicators Group for relevance to several
    other organizational categories, and the results are
    displayed in the attached table. The categories include;

    ••      Indicator Type. Based on the State-Pressure-
           Human Activity model, each SOLEC indicator
           has been  assigned to the appropriate category.
           Measurements of contaminants in an
           environmental compartment are considered a
           pressure on the ecosystem rather than a
           measurement of a state condition. There are
           currently 28 State, 37 Pressure and 15 Human
           Activity indicators proposed.

    ••      Environmental Compartments. This category
           sorts the  SOLEC indicators by media, i.e., air
           (6), water (14), land (14), sediments (4), biota
           (21), fish (13), and humans (14). Fish have
           been separated from biota as a special case.

    ••      Issues. Environmental management decisions
           often reflect an attempt to address an issue rather
           than a medium or geographic location.  Specific
           issues that SOLEC indicators support include
           toxic contaminants (29), nutrients (12), exotic
           species (8), habitat (28), climate  change  (4), and
           stewardship (11).

    ••      GLWQA Annexes. Several of the annexes of the
           GLWQA include monitoring and reporting
           requirements. The proposed SOLEC indicators
           currently address 10 of the  17 annexes. Annex
           11  (Monitoring) is supported if an indicator
           supports  any of the other annexes, and Annex 2
           (LaMPs and RAPs) is supported if the indicators
           address any of the Beneficial Use  Impairments.
••      GLWQA Beneficial Use Impairments. Under
        Annex 2 of the GLWQA, fourteen Beneficial Use
        Impairments are listed for consideration by
        Lakewide Management Plans and Remedial
        Action Plans. The SOLEC indicators address to
        some extent 11 of the 14 listed use impairments.

••      IJC Desired Outcomes. The IJC listed nine
        Desired Outcomes in its report Indicators to
        Evalutate Progress under the Great Lakes Water
        Quality Agreement (1996).   SOLEC indicators
        address to some extent all nine Desired
        Outcomes. The many indicators with relevance
        to the outcomes of Biological Community
        Integrity and Diversity, and Physical
        Environment Integrity  (including habitat)  reflect
        SOLEC's emphasis on the  biotic components of
        the Great Lakes ecosystem.

••      Great Lakes Fish Community Objectives.   A
        series offish community objectives have been
        released or are being developed for each of the
        Great Lakes with the support of the Great Lakes
        Fishery Commission. Some SOLEC indicators
        specifically reflect the state offish communities,
        and others address related habitat issues.

To facilitate cross referencing of the SOLEC indicators to
the alternate categories,  a section has been added to each
indicator description (Appendix 1)  that lists all the
applicable categories. This matrix of alternate groupings
of SOLEC indicators is  also being incorporated into the
SOLEC indicators database.  Users will be able to
retrieve the list of indicators associated with any of the
sorting categories.

While the SOLEC indicators are intended to meet the
criteria of necessary, sufficient and feasible for SOLEC
reporting, no  attempt has been made to evaluate the
adequacy of the subset of SOLEC indicators that are
relevant to any of the alternate organizing categories from
the perspective of other users.  For example, LaMPs and
RAPs are expected to require a greater level of detail and
geographic specificity to assess Beneficial Use
Impairments than will be provided  by the proposed
SOLEC indicators. Suggestions and comments on the
relevance of the SOLEC indicators to these or other
alternate categories are encouraged.
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing' Indicators (Draft for Review, "November 2ooo)
                                                   109

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ID#

Indicator
Name

Indicator
Type
_0)
"03
55
Nearshore and Open Waters Indicators
6
8
g
17
18
68
93
101
104
109
111
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
7059
8142
Fish Habitat
Salmon and Trout
Walleye and Hexagenia
Preyfish Populations
Sea Lamprey
Native Unionid Mussels
Lake Trout and Scud (Diporeia hoyi)
Deformities, Eroded Fins, Lesions and Tumors
(DELT) in Nearshore Fish
Benthos Diversity and Abundance
Phytoplankton Populations
Phosphorus Concentrations and Loadings
Contaminants In Young-of-the-Year Spottail
Shiners
Contaminants in Colonial Nesting Waterbirds
Zooplankton Populations
Atmospheric Deposition of Toxic Chemicals
Toxic Chemical Concentrations in Offshore
Waters
Concentrations of Contaminants in Sediments
Cores
Contaminant Exchanges Between Media: Air to
Water, and Water to Sediment
Wastewater Pollution
Sediment Available for Coastal Nurishment
Coastal Wetland Indicators
4501
4502
4503
4504
4506
4507
4510
4511
4513
4516
Coastal Wetland Invertebrate Community
Health
Coastal Wetland Fish Community Health
Deformities, Eroded Fins, Lesions and Tumors
(DELT) in Coastal Wetland Fish
Amphibian Diversity and Abundance
Contaminants in Snapping Turtle Eggs
Wetland-Dependent Bird Diversity and
Abundance
Coastal Wetland Area by Type
Gain in Restored Coastal Wetland Area by Type
Presence, Abundance & Expansion of Invasive
Plants
Sediment Flowing Into Coastal Wetlands
X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X
X



X





X

X
X
X
X

X
X

X

Pressure





X





X
X
X

X
X
X
X
X






X




X
Human Activity





























X


Environmental
Compartments
3















X


X













£

X









X



X
X

X
X
X







X
X

X
•o
c
.3




























X
X


Sediments

















X
X

X










X
Biota (excluding fish & humans)



X


X
X

X
X


X
X







X


X
X
X


X

.n
(f)
\L

X
X
X
X
X

X
X



X










X
X







Humans
































Great Lakes
Issues
Contaminants & Pathogens


X
X
X


X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X




X

X





Nutrients


X
X
X


X

X
X
X


X




X












Exotics


X
X
X
X
X
X


X



X








X






X

Habitat

X
X
X
X


X

X










X

X
X

X

X
X
X
X
X
Climate Change
































Stewardship





























X


SOLEC
G
Open Waters

X
X
X
X
X
X
X

X
X
X

X
X
X
X
X
X













Nearshore Waters

X
X
X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X


X
X
X
X











Coastal Wetlands

X




X


X

X










X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
ouoino
Nearshore Terrestrial




















X









X
X
8
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.3
































s1
Human Health
































Societal
































Unbounded
































GLWQA
A
1 Spec Objctvs







X



X
X
X


X

X
X






X




X
2LaMPs/RAPs/BUIs

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
o
X
X
o

X

X
X

X
X
X


X
X
X
X
X
nnex2
3 Phosphorus










X
X







X












4 Oil - Vessels
































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w
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SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2
110

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GLWQA Annex
(con'd)
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X














8 Facilities
































9 Contingency Plan
































10 Hazard. Poll. List
































11 Monitoring

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
12 Pers. Toxic Subs.








X



X
X

X
X
X
X
X




X

X





13 Non-point Sources











X










X
X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X
14 Contam. Sed's

















X
X













15 Airborne Toxic Subs.















X


X













16 Groundwater
































0)
&
=3
w
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X


X





X







IJC Desired Outcomes

1 Fishability

































2 Swimmability

































3 Drinkability

































w
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5 Economic Viability

































e
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X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X







X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X


p
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X



X
X

X
X
X
X
X




X

X






8 Excess Phos.










X
X







X













9 Physical Env. Integ.

X


















X

X
X

X

X
X
X

X
GLFC
Ob
Ontario

X
X
X
X
X

X
























0)
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X

X
X
X

X



X

X


















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c
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X
X
X
X

X
























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X
X

X
X

X
























o
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X
X

X
X

X
























Beneficial Use Impairments

1 F&W Consumption

































D)
C
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3 F&W Pop's


X
X
X
X

X





X









X

X

X





f»
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X















X








5 Deformities/Reprod.













X



















6 Benthos



X


X
X

X







X




X










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X







X













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X





















10 Beach Closings

































1 1 Aesthetics











X







X













12 Ag./lndust. Costs

































c
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X
X


X


















14 F&W Habitat

X


















X


X

X

X
X
X
X
X


n>
03
£

17
16
17
17
14
10
19
10
12
13
18
10
14
11
11
8
13
14
14
10

10
12
12
10
9
10
11
12
11
12
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2
111

-------
ID#

4860
4861
Indicator
Name

Nitrate and Total Phosphorus Into Coastal
Wetlands
Effect of Water Level Fluctuations
Nearshore Terrestrial Indicators3
8129
8131
8132
8134
8135
8136
8137
8139
8141
8146
8147
8149
Area, Quality, and Protection of Lakeshore
Communities
Extent of Hardened Shoreline
Nearshore Land Use
Nearshore Plant and Animal Problem Species
Contaminants Affecting Productivity of Bald
Eagles
Extent and Quality of Nearshore Natural Land
Cover
Nearshore Species Diversity and Stability
Community / Species Plans
Shoreline Managed Under Integrated
Management Plans
Artificial Coastal Structures
Contaminants Affecting the American Otter
Protected Nearshore Areas
Land Use Indicators
7000
7002
7006
7012
7028
7053
7055
8114
Urban Density
Land Conversion
Brownfield Redevelopment
Mass Transportation
Sustainable Agricultural Practices
Green Planning Process
Habitat Adjacent to Coastal Wetlands
Habitat Fragmentation
Human Health Indicators
113
4081
4083
4088
4175
4176
4177
4178
Contaminants in Recreational Fish
£. co// and Fecal Coliform Levels in Nearshore
Recreational Waters
Contaminants in Edible Fish Tissue
Chemical Contaminant Intake from Air, Water,
Soil and Food
Drinking Water Quality
Air Quality
Chemical Contaminants in Human Tissue
Radionuclides
Indicator
Type
_0)
"03
55



X

X


X
X






X





X
X









Pressure
X
X


X

X
X




X
X



X

X





X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Human Activity










X
X


X



X

X
X











Environmental
Compartments
3



















X










X

X
£
X
X



















X




X


X


X
•o
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.3



X
X
X


X


X
X

X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X









Sediments

































Biota (excluding fish & humans)



X


X
X

X
X


X












X





X
.n
(f)
\L

























X

X





Humans




























X


X

Great Lakes
Issues
Contaminants & Pathogens







X





X











X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Nutrients
X




























X



Exotics






X


X























Habitat

X

X
X
X
X

X



X

X







X
X









Climate Change

X

















X













Stewardship



X






X
X


X



X
X
X
X











SOLEC
G
Open Waters







X

















X

X

X



Nearshore Waters







X




X












X
X
X

X



Coastal Wetlands
X
X











X








X










ouoino
Nearshore Terrestrial

X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X







X










8
•a
c
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X
X





X




X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X









s1
Human Health

























X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Societal










X
X


X






X











Unbounded

































GLWQA
A
1 Spec Objctvs













X











X
X
X

X
X
X
X
2LaMPs/RAPs/BUIs
X
X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X


X
X
X





X

X
X

X
X
X

X
o


nnex2
3 Phosphorus
X



















X












4 Oil - Vessels

































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SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2
112

-------
GLWQA Annex
(con'd)
c
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8 Facilities

































9 Contingency Plan

































10 Hazard. Poll. List

































11 Monitoring
X
X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X


X
X
X


X

X
X

X


X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
12 Pers. Toxic Subs.







X





X






X




X

X
X
X

X

13 Non-point Sources
X
















X


X
X
X



X



X


14 Contam. Sed's

































15 Airborne Toxic Subs.



















X










X


16 Groundwater





























X



0)
&
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f-~

X




X
X





X

















X
X
IJC Desired Outcomes

1 Fishability

























X

X






2 Swimmability


























X







3 Drinkability





























X




w
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X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X

5 Economic Viability


































e
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X

X

X
X
X
X
X
X


X
X








X

X

X






P
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X











X

X
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8 Excess Phos.
X



















X













9 Physical Env. Integ.

X

X
X
X
X

X



X

X

X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X









GLFC
Ob
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X

X





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X





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X





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X

X





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X

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Beneficial Use Impairments

1 F&W Consumption

























X

X






D)
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3 F&W Pop's






X
X

X



X




















f»
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X





X




















6 Benthos


































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X



















X













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X







1 1 Aesthetics


































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X

X
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X











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10
12

11
9
10
12
14
9
8
6
6
9
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11

4
6
5
9
13
8
11
8

20
13
20
8
15
10
10
10
SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2

-------
ID#

4179
Indicator
Name

Geographic Patterns and Trends in Disease
Incidence
Societal Indicators
3509
3510
3511
3512
3513
7042
7043
7056
7057
7060
8140
Capacities of Sustainable Landscape
Partnerships
Organizational Richness of Sustainable
Landscape Partnerships
Integration of Ecosystem Management
Principles Across Landscapes
Integration of Sustainability Principles Across
Landscapes
Citizen/Community Place-Based Stewardship
Activities
Aesthetics
Economic Prosperity
Water Withdrawal
Energy Consumption
Solid Waste Generation
Financial Resources Allocated to Great Lakes
Programs
Unbounded Indicators
4519
4857
4858
8150
8161
9000
9002
79



Climate Change: Number of Extreme Storms
Climate Change: First Emergence of Water Lily
Blossoms in Coastal Wetlands
Climate Change: Ice Duration on the Great
Lakes
Breeding Bird Diversity and Abundance
Threatened Species
Acid Rain
Exotic Species
COUNT
Indicator
Type
_0)
"03
55
X






X
X








X
X


30
Pressure









X
X
X


X
X
X


X
X
36
Human Activity


X
X
X
X
X





X








13
Environmental
Compartments
3










X
X


X




X

9
£









X






X


X

19
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X







X

19
1 Bold X designates the primary SOLEC Grouping for each indicator
Sediments





















4

Biota (excluding fish & humans)















X

X
X

X
24

.n
(f)
\L


















X

X
14

Humans
X

X
X
X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X








13

Great Lakes
Issues
Contaminants & Pathogens











X







X

29

Nutrients





















11

Exotics


















X

X
14

Habitat

















X
X


27

Climate Change










X
X


X
X
X




7

Stewardship


X
X
X
X
X
X

X
X
X
X








19

SOLEC
G
Open Waters
















X




21

Nearshore Waters
















X




24

Coastal Wetlands














X
X
X




21

ouoino
Nearshore Terrestrial














X






18

8
•a
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X
X










13

s1
Human Health
X




















9

Societal


X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X








15

Unbounded














X
X
X
X
X
X
X
7

2 o = Some LaMPs /RAPs are incorporating these measures into their plans even though the indicators do not have an associated BUI
GLWQA
A
1 Spec Objctvs



















X

18


2 LaMPs/ RAPs / BUIs







X









X
X


49


nnex2
3 Phosphorus





















5


3 #8142 Sediment Available for Coastal Nurishment and #4861 Water Level Fluctuations are also co-grouped with Nearshore Terrestrial Indicators
4 Oil - Vessels





















0



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0



SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((Draft for Review, "November 2
114

-------
GLWQA Annex
(con'd)
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0



9 Contingency Plan





















0



10 Hazard. Poll. List





















0



11 Monitoring







X









X
X
X

58



12 Pers. Toxic Subs.











X









19



13 Non-point Sources





















17



14 Contam. Sed's





















2



15 Airborne Toxic Subs.










X








X

6



16 Groundwater





















1



0)
&
=3
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f-~
X

















X


11



IJC Desired Outcomes

1 Fishability





















2




2 Swimmability





















1




3 Drinkability





















1




w
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9




5 Economic Viability








X












1




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X
X


37




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17




8 Excess Phos.





















5




9 Physical Env. Integ.














X

X
X
X
X

30



GLFC
Ob
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8



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9



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c
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8



Michigan





















7



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Beneficial Use Impairments

1 F&W Consumption





















2




D)
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0




3 F&W Pop's

















X
X


15




f»
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2




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3




6 Benthos





















6




D)
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4




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2




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1




1 1 Aesthetics







X













3




12 Ag./lndust. Costs





















0




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X
X


22





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5

4
4
4
4
4
7
3
6
8
10
4

7
5
8
10
13
10
5




SOLEC 2ooo - Implementing1 Indicators ((IDiraJft for Review, "Noveirnber 2'
115

-------