Critical Scientific
Research Needs Assessment
              for the
  Gulf of Mexico Program
                Prepared by:
  Research Subcommittee of the Monitoring, Modeling and Research Committee
          for the Gulf of Mexico Program Office
       U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
          Gulf of Mexico Program Office
           Mail Code: EPA/GMPO
         Stennis Space Center, MS 39529

-------
                                       CONTENTS

   Notice	i
   Abstract	ii
   Executive Summary	iv
   1.   Introduction	  1
Approach
   2.   Major Health and Environmental Focus Areas	  2
   3.   GMP Focus Teams	  2
   4.   GMP Research Sub-Committee	  2
   5.   Major Environmental Issues and Topics	  3
   6.   Technical Expert Panels	3
   7.   Research Priorities forthe Gulf	  4
   8.   Inventory of Currentand Future Research	  6
   9.   References	6
Critical Research Needs Assessment
   10.  Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area- Estuarine Hypoxia Research Topic	6
   11.  Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area - Coastal Hypoxia Research Topic 	14
   12.  Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area - Harmful Algal Blooms
         in the Gulf of Mexico Research Topic	17
   13.  Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area - Atmospheric Deposition Research Topic	21
   14.  Habitat Focus Area - Emergent Coastal Wetlands Research Topic	29
   15.  Habitat Focus Area - Seagrasses Research Topic  	33
   16.  Public Health Focus Area - Biotic Pathogens Research Topic	36
   17.  Public Health Focus Area - Toxic  Substances Research Topic	38
   18.  Invasive Species Focus Area - Invasive Species Research Topic	  41
Appendices
   Appendix A.
      Research Subcommittee Members	46

-------
                                   NOTICE

This document was prepared by the Research Subcommittee of the Gulf of Mexico
Program's Monitoring, Modeling, and Research Committee (MMRC) with the assistance
of numerous technical experts, primarily from universities in the Gulf of Mexico Region
of the U.S. and from federal agencies with responsibility for the Gulf of Mexico.  The
MMRC is a subcommittee of the Gulf of Mexico Policy Review Board, a chartered
Federal Advisory Committee to the Administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency.  This document has been reviewed by the members of the MMRC and the
Focus Teams of the Gulf of Mexico Program. While there will always be controversy
concerning opinions regarding priority research needs, the reader is reminded that teams
of practicing, technical experts, with detailed knowledge of the subject matter, provided
the  recommendations contained herein.

The primary goal of this document is to identify critical research needs in areas of interest
to the Gulf of Mexico Program. Its sole purpose is to provide information to assist
federal, state, and private funding organizations, particularly partners of the Gulf of
Mexico Program, to develop research plans that support scientific needs of the Program.
It is not intended as a stand-alone document to be used by a single agency as a research or
budget document.
DISCLAIMER: This report and recommendations have been written as a part of the
activities of the Gulf of Mexico Program Policy Review Board, a federal advisory
committee providing external policy information and advice to the Administrator and
other officials of the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The Board is
structured to provide balanced, expert assessment of issues related to  the water quality
and living resources of the Gulf of Mexico ecosystem.

This report has not been review for approval by the EPA and,  hence, its contents and
recommendations do not necessarily represent the views and policies of the EPA, nor of
other agencies in the Executive Branch of the federal government, nor does mention of
trade names or commercial products constitute a recommendation for use.

-------
                                  ABSTRACT
This Critical Research Needs Assessment describes the approach used by the Gulf of
Mexico Program to define the major environmental issues/problems of the Gulf of
Mexico and to determine the major scientific uncertainties that prevent a complete and
reliable definition of the problems and their causes. Research to solve these
uncertainties, and the scientific products (reports, methods, data, models) needed to
support environmental decisions in nine important issue areas are described.
                                        11

-------
                                    Executive Summary


   The Gulf of Mexico is an ecologically, economically rich ecosystem that is increasingly impacted by
physical, chemical, and biological stresses directly related to human activity.  The health and
environmental problems, and their causes, in the Gulf are numerous, complex, and often interconnected
and the financial and technical resources required to understand and solve them are limited.  In response,
the Gulf of Mexico Program (GMP) is working to facilitate the protection and restoration of its coastal
habitats, sustain living resources, protect human health and the food supply, and ensure the recreational
use of Gulf shores, beaches and waters in ways that are consistent with the economic well-being of the
region.

        In an effort to understand and solve the most important health/environmental problems in the
Gulf Coastal Zone, the GMP has formed four Focus Teams to address those problems: Nutrient
Enrichment, Habitat, Public Health and Invasive Species. In addition, the GMP organized the Monitoring,
Modeling and Research Committee (MMRC) as an operational committee to provide advice, identify
requirements, and coordinate monitoring, modeling, and research efforts in  the GMP. In coordination
with the MMRC, nine panels of scientific experts from Gulf State and Federal agencies have identified
critical scientific research that is needed to understand and address environmental and public health issues
facing the Gulf of Mexico Ecosystem.

    The nine panels of experts provided the scientific expertise to create the Critical Scientific Research
Needs Assessment for the Gulf of Mexico Program.  This document describes critical research needs
required to understand major health and environmental issues  in the Gulf of Mexico Region and to lay the
foundation for future initiatives to address those needs.  Issues and objectives identified by the nine panels
include:

I.  Nutrient Enrichment - Estuarine Hypoxia

A.    Determine the importance  of  anthropogenic  versus  "natural"  processes  in  the  formation of
      hypoxia/anoxia in Gulf estuaries.
        1.  What evidence suggests that hypoxia occurs naturally in Gulf estuaries?
        2.  Determine the roles physical processes have in the onset of hypoxia.
        3.  Determine which nutrients, or combinations, are most strongly  linked as contributing factors
           to anoxia.
        4.  Determine how anthropogenic sources vs. natural sources of dissolved organic matter affect
           the magnitude and species composition of algal production.
        5.  Determine the relative roles of external vs. internal, re-cycling nutrient supplies in
           maintaining primary production.
B.    Develop an  index that will improve  the  assessment of "estuarine susceptibility"  to  nutrient
      enrichment for Gulf of Mexico estuaries.
        1.  What are the most useful classification systems and their levels of predictability?
        2.  Are there biochemical early warning indicators of impending hypoxia formation?
        3.  Determine  what environmental conditions are useful in predicting the intensity, frequency,
           duration, and physical extent of hypoxia.
C.    Determine how the frequency,  duration and intensity of hypoxia/anoxia events affect estuarine
      biological communities.
        1.  What migratory species are at greatest risk to life  cycle completion due to hypoxia events?
        2.  Are macro-fauna community biomass and structure indicative of conditions favoring
           hypoxia?
                                               in

-------
       3.    Determine if there is a relationship between occurrence of hypoxia and changes in the food
           web between benthic organisms and planktonic grazers.
D.    If estuarine hypoxia is a problem in the Gulf of Mexico, determine what management practices
      would have the greatest effect in minimizing these conditions.
        1.  What are the relative effects of nutrient loading, nutrient ratios, bathymetric modification,
           regulation of freshwater input, etc., on hypoxia/anoxia in Gulf estuaries?
E.    Develop a quantitative assessment of estuarine hypoxia/anoxia for Gulf estuaries.
        1.  Define the critical information/data required to assess the extent of hypoxia in Gulf estuaries.
       2.  Define the major uncertainties associated with available data to characterize the frequency,
           duration, extent, and intensity of hypoxia in Gulf estuaries.

II. Nutrient Enrichment - Coastal Hypoxia

A.    Determine the past, current, and potential impacts of hypoxia on commercially and economically
      important species and ecosystem.
        1.  Conduct a retrospective analysis based on sediment cores and existing data bases.
       2.  Effects of other factors that affect the ecological health and fisheries of the Northern Gulf of
           Mexico.
B.     Define the  dynamics  and timing  of transport of N (nitrogen) and other  nutrients  from the
       landscape into streams and coastal waters.
C.     Develop innovative  demonstration  projects, watershed partnerships, and adaptive  management
       practices.
        1.  Define geographic location and design criteria for wetlands and other strategies for effective
           nitrate reduction.
       2.  Determine the influence of on-farm practices on transport of N and other nutrients into
           streams.
       3.  Develop better methods to intercept agriculture nutrients between the  fields and ground water
           and adjacent streams.
       4.  Describe the effectiveness of current and potential policies and actions to reduce nutrient loss
           on a basin scale.

III. Nutrient Enrichment - Harmful Algal Blooms (HABS)

A.    Develop a catalog of investigators/facilities that  are capable of and willing to provide analyses  of
      Gulf of Mexico HAB samples, as well as provide assistance to event response efforts.
B.    Develop and enhance satellite and aircraft remote sensing capabilities to monitor and track blooms
      at local and regional scales.
C.    Develop economic impact figures for Gymnodinium breve red tides.
D.    Assess cyanotoxin accumulation in higher trophic level species and threats to human and animal
      health and  determine  the  roles of nutrient enrichment and  managed freshwater flow  in bloom
      development.
E.    Develop guidelines for siting mariculture facilities in coastal waters that incorporate hydrographic
      conditions, water quality data, rearing practices, and historical HAB events.

F.    Identify  HAB species in ballast sediment in ships from Gulf of Mexico ports.
                                               IV

-------
IV. Atmospheric Deposition

A.    Quantify atmospheric N deposition (oxidized, reduced, and dissolved organic N) to the Mississippi-
      Atchafalaya River Basin, estuaries and their watersheds, and the waters of the Gulf of Mexico.
        1.  Identify and fill data gaps in ambient monitoring for wet and dry N deposition.
               a.  Assess the applicability of available data to assess contribution of atmospherically
                  deposited N. Identify data gaps.
               b.  Evaluate the feasibility of expanding wet deposition measurements to include organic
                  N or a surrogate.
               c.  Collect basic monitoring data within the Gulf coastal land area for wet deposition of
                  N using National Atmospheric Deposition Program/National Trends Network
                  (NADP/NTN) protocols.
               d.  Increase dry deposition measurements in the Mississippi Basin to supplement
                  NADP/NTN and Clean Air Status and Trends Network (CASTNet) programs.
        2.   Collect atmospheric chemistry and meteorological data to validate locally the dry deposition
            inferential model and to calibrate a synoptic-scale transport model.
               a.  Improve methods of estimating dry deposition of nutrient gasses  and aerosols directly
                  over water surfaces.
               b.  Review the availability of weather data to satisfy the level of modeling precision
                  desired for coastal processes.
               c.  Access the adequacy of sampling rate and frequency of wet and dry deposition
                  observations.
B.    Assess the role that increases in human and domestic animal population densities in the Mississippi
      River Basin and states that border the Gulf of Mexico may have on direct and indirect atmospheric
      N. deposition to the Gulf of Mexico and its estuaries.
        1.  Quantify the range of effect of nutrient deposition from urban, agricultural and industrialized
           regions.
               a.  Investigate the availability of emissions inventories.
               b.  Improve the emission inventory for ammonia.
               c.  Examine the urban plume  influence  on total nutrient deposition, particularly direct
                  deposition, to Gulf waters through intensive, event-based wet deposition studies
                  coupled with dry deposition measurements.
C.    Investigate the  significance of the land-sea-air interface in estimating total deposition amounts.
        1.  Quantify the interactions of reactive N species with sea salt and the recirculation effect of the
           land/sea breeze and the warm Gulf of Mexico waters.
               a.  Quantify the influence of sea salt aerosols on dry deposition estimates through co-
                  located measurements of particulate size distribution/chemical composition and trace
                  gas concentrations of oxidized N compounds.
               b.  Investigate the role of land and sea breezes on nutrient wet and dry deposition along
                  the Gulf Coast and over near-shore water.

V. Habitat - Emergent Coastal Wetlands

A.    Evaluate the success of coastal  emergent  wetland restoration approaches,  emphasizing  re-
      constructing ecological functions.
        1.  Conduct long-term studies to determine the success of emergent wetland  restoration with
           respect to ecological values.

-------
       2.  Assess the effects of large scale freshwater diversions on emergent wetlands and adjacent
           sub-tidal systems and fishery species.
       3.  Determine the potential for Gulf-wide, standardized, rapid assessment protocols of wetland
           function, loss, and restoration success.
B.    Evaluate innovative means for performing successful restoration.
       1.  Develop innovative and/or low-cost techniques of restoration and assessments of optimal
           configuration.
C.    Determine the status, structure, and function of coastal wetland systems and  develop  tools to
      evaluate these systems over large spatial and temporal scales.
       1.  Conduct spatial scale studies of the relationships among wetland systems linked
           hydrologically and by common faunal use.
       2.  Develop and apply remote sensing and GIS tools for assessing long-term change in emergent
           wetlands.
       3.  Conduct population and community dynamics studies to determine how these systems
           function and change over time and to document ecological factors underlying long-term
           changes.
D.    Determine habitat linkages of coastal wetland and attendant estuarine systems.
       1.  Quantify the linkages among emergent wetlands, submerged systems, and fisheries.
E.    Determine effects of disturbance (human and natural)  on productivity and longevity of coastal
      wetland systems.
       1.  Conduct studies of plant-herbivore/parasite/disease/contaminant disturbance relationships and
           effects on productivity, reproduction/colonization, wetland loss, and habitat value of
           emergent wetland type.
F.    Determine the effects and interactions among biogeochemical factors and environmental stressors
      on emergent wetland systems and habitat utilization.
       1.  Analyze the effects of biogeochemical factors and soil features on wetland species and on
           species-species interactions.

VI. Habitat - Seagrasses

A.    Assess the ecological status (areal and temporal extent) and condition  of seagrasses in the Gulf of
      Mexico and change overtime.
       1.  Quantify and map current seagrass acreage.
       2.  Identify indicators that best describe quality of seagrass beds and  are appropriate for long-
           term monitoring and assessment.
       3.  Define the monitoring and assessment protocols and sampling designs to routinely monitor
           seagrass beds.
B.    Identify factors which determine establishment and persistence of seagrasses.
       1.  Quantify and map geological and historical seagrass acreage to determine quantity and
           locations of declines.
       2.  Determine cause-effect relationships and describe stress thresholds for effects.
       3.  Correlate seagrass condition with sources to determine cause-effect hypotheses.
       4.  Document major destruction caused by biological stressors and determine cause(s),
           including eractions with anthropogenic stressors.
       5.  Define water column and sediment characteristics required for establishment of seagrasses in
           areas to be restored.
                                               VI

-------
       6.  Document and monitor restoration success rates of existing and new seagrass planting
           technologies.
C.  Determine the critical factors  which determine natural  structural and functional  characteristics of
    seagrass habitats.
       1.  Determine if and how habitat function (e.g., fish and shellfish utilization) differs in and
           among different species and densities of Submerged Aquatic Vegetation (SAV).
       2.  Determine the relationships among primary and secondary productivity and  landscape
           features.
VII. Human Health - Pathogens
A.    Pathogen Indicators
       1.  Are the current indicator recommendations adequate or are new indicators better at
           predicting disease outcomes in human beings?
       2.  Is there a single indicator which could be used for both recreational and shellfish purposes
           that would adequately protect the public?
       3.  Is there a method available to rapidly detect the indicator of interest?
       4.  Is there a difference in the risk of disease related to exposure from human vs. non-human
           sources of indicator organisms?
B.    Pathogenic Organisms
       1.  What organisms may be present at levels that would cause disease endpoint  in humans when
           indicator levels are acceptable?
       2.  Is there a method available to rapidly detect the organism of interest?
C.    Pathogen Source Tracking
       1.  What are the best methodologies to use to conduct source tracing?
       2.  Of the methodologies identified above, what is the minimum dataset necessary to construct a
           valid library of sources?
       3.  To what geographic extent can a bacterial library be applied?
VIII. Human Health - Toxic Substances
A.    Characterization of Mercury and other toxic compound levels in aquatic species
IX. Invasive Species
A.    Risk Analysis
       1.  What methods, data, and models are required to assess the risk of trade pathways and trade
           partner sources associated with invasive species introductions?
B.    Prevention of new introductions
       1.  Determine preventive strategies and  develop model control mechanisms.
       2.  Develop risk assessments for potential and initial presence of invasive aquatic species.
       3.  Inventory  Gulf marine waters for invasive species.
C.    Reducing the spread of established invasive species populations
       1.  Develop basin-specific and Gulf-wide databases to pinpoint and track invasions and spread of
           invasive aquatic species.
       2.  Conduct a status and trends analysis of aquatic and terrestrial invasive species.
       3.  Develop monitoring protocols for incorporation into existing water quality monitoring to
           identify presence of invasive species.
       4.  Inventory  Gulf marine waters for invasive species.
                                               vn

-------
D.    Ballast water - management and treatment
        1.  What methods, data, and models are required to assess the risk of ballast water pathways and
           trade partner sources associated with invasive species introductions?
        2.  Develop mechanisms to ensure that open ocean exchanges have been performed.
        3.  Develop mechanisms to regulate ballast water discharge.
        4.  Refine methods/procedures for monitoring compliance of ballast exchange in the Gulf.
        5.  Characterize biological contents of ballast discharges in major ports.
        6.  Establish a long-term database of shipping activities in Gulf ports.
        7.  Determine the effectiveness of ballast water exchange in killing or removing organisms in
           ballast water and sediments.
        8.  Determine the effectiveness of ballast water exchange in preventing the establishment of
           reproducing, self-sustaining populations of invasive species.
        9.  Determine the effectiveness of alternate compliance technologies in killing or removing
           ballast organisms and preventing established populations  of invasive aquatic species.
E.    Ballast Water - ecosystem effects
        1.  What methods, data, and models are required to assess the risk of ballast water pathways and
           trade partner sources associated with invasive species introductions?
        2.  Determine the ecosystem vulnerability to invasive species of the Gulf ports and adjacent
           inland waters.
        3.  Determine similar vulnerabilities for aquaculture and water  garden imports, handling
           organisms and preventing established populations of invasive  aquatic species.
F.    Shrimp viruses
        1.  Develop best management practices to identify and control shrimp viruses during delivery of
           seafood.
        2.  Develop simple probes to determine the presence/absence of shrimp viruses.
        3.  Establish a monitoring protocol/program to test for the presence of virus in wild
           shrimp populations.
                                              Vlll

-------
1.  Introduction

   The Gulf of Mexico (Gulf) comprises
approximately 600,000 square miles of
ecologically and economically rich,
interconnected ecosystems which are
increasingly impacted by physical, chemical,
and biological stresses directly related to
human activity. Anthropogenic pollutants
enter the Gulf waters primarily through the
coastal watersheds. The Mississippi River
Drainage Basin, which encompasses
approximately two-thirds of the contiguous
U.S., is the largest watershed influencing the
Gulf. Atmospheric deposition serves as an
additional source of pollutants to Gulf waters.
Environmental problems are magnified by the
relatively closed circulation of the Gulf and
the numerous and sensitive habitats which
border it.
   General signs of diminishing
environmental quality include debris on
shorelines, beach closures, reduced water
clarity and quality, fish consumption
advisories, shellfish bed closures, and fishing
bans.  More quantitative evidence of
environmental degradation was provided by
monitoring of the Louisiana Province (Rio
Grande, TX to Anclote  Key, FL) estuaries
during 1991-94. This effort determined that
25±6% of sediments in the province displayed
poor biological conditions, measured by
benthic community structure, and 14±7% of
the area was characterized by poor water
clarity, the presence of marine debris, and
elevated levels offish tissue contaminants
(Macauley et al. 1999). Based on this
assessment as well as data provided by the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, the U.S. Geological Survey,
and the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the
overall condition of the Gulf Coast was
described as "fair to poor" (USEPA 2001).
   There is concern that increased human use
of the watersheds and waters of the  Gulf is
affecting the overall quality of this important,
large marine ecosystem. The population of
the coastal counties of the Gulf has
experienced significant growth. Between
1990 and 2000, there was a 16.6% increase -
1,300,958 more people  - in the Gulf coastal
counties. With these  rapidly growing
demands on the natural resources, we must
develop a better understanding of the
environmental problems and their causes so
that practical and effective
management/control alternatives can be
developed, assessed, and implemented in a
timely and credible fashion. These concerns
led to the creation of the Gulf of Mexico
Program (GMP). The GMP's goals are to
"facilitate the protection and restoration of the
coastal marine waters of the Gulf and  its
coastal natural habitats; to sustain living
resources; to protect human health and the
food supply; and to ensure the recreational use
of Gulf shores, beaches and waters in  ways
consistent with the economic well-being of
the region."
   This document describes the critical
research needs required to understand major
health and environmental issues in the Gulf,
determine their cause(s), and to support
environmental decisions in nine areas. The
issues, related scientific uncertainties, and
relevant research priorities are presented to
assist federal, state, private, and public
members of the GMP to incorporate these
research needs in their annual research
planning and budgeting exercises. This is  not
a stand-alone research planning or budget
document.
   The Research Needs Assessment was
created in partnership with EPA's Office of
Research and Development (ORD), other
Federal Agencies, the five Gulf States, and
key stakeholders across the Gulf. The
research identified reinforces a number of  the
critical needs identified in both the EPA,
ORD Strategic Plan and Specific Research
Plans. However, unlike  EPA's Plans, this
document focuses on key issues and
information  gaps for the Gulf of Mexico
ecosystem. While many of the Gulf needs
overlap with national needs identified by
EPA, this document identifies needs that are
unique to the Gulf that fall under the purview
of other Federal agencies as well as  EPA.
   The ultimate objective of this effort is to
encourage and assist those organizations and
institutions responsible for conducting
environmental research to focus on the needs
of the Gulf of Mexico ecosystem and to
support those needs where possible. An
important secondary objective is to assist Gulf
scientists in  preparing research proposals that
support the critical scientific needs.

-------
2.  Major Health and Environmental
    Focus Areas
   The health and environmental problems,
and their causes, in the Gulf are numerous,
complex, and often interconnected and the
financial and technical resources required to
understand and solve them are limited.  For
these reasons, the GMP has focused its
available resources toward understanding and
solving the most important
health/environmental problems of the Gulf
coastal zone. The following health and
environmental  Focus Areas and related
objectives were identified as most important:
   Nutrient Enrichment - to facilitate
successful actions that will, through their
combined  effect, make advances toward
protecting the waters of the Gulf from the
deleterious effects of nutrient enrichment
from all contributing sources and thereby
enhance biodiversity, aesthetics, recreational
opportunities, and economic benefits.
   Habitat - to identify and champion
candidate actions and/or projects that prevent,
slow, stop or reverse losses of important Gulf
habitats, enhance/restore the functions and
values of degraded Gulf habitats, or protect
rare or otherwise noteworthy Gulf habitats.
   Public Health - to facilitate actions to
reduce illnesses resulting from consumption
of seafood harvested from the  Gulf or from
contact with its waters.
   Invasive  Species - to facilitate actions to
reduce potential impacts on human health,
important Gulf fisheries, and the economy of
the Gulf region resulting from the
introduction of undesirable, invasive
organisms.

3.  GMP Focus Teams
   Four Focus Teams, one for each of the
above Focus Areas, were organized to: (a)
Identify major  health/environmental problems
related to their respective Focus Areas; (b)
Define goals that, if accomplished, will assist
measurably in fully understanding and
correcting these problems; (c)  Describe
critical methods, data, or models needed to
accomplish these goals; (d) Periodically
evaluate alternative solutions to the problems
as new data and information are generated;
and (e) Recommend management practices to
solve specific problems. Focus Team
members include technical representatives
from state and federal organizations,
university scientists, public organizations and
citizen groups, and industry.
   The Focus Teams identify and annually
update long-term objectives and annual
performance goals required to understand and
solve health and environmental problems of
the Gulf related to their Focus Areas.  Once
endorsed by the GMP Policy Review Board,
these goals and milestones provide direction
to the Research Sub-Committee for
recommending research priorities for the
GMP.

4.  GMP Research Subcommittee
   The GMP organized the Monitoring,
Modeling, and Research Committee (MMRC)
as an operational committee to provide
advice, identify requirements, and coordinate
efforts on monitoring, modeling, and research
issues for the GMP.  The MMRC provides a
forum for regular interaction among members
of the monitoring, modeling, and research
community to assist the GMP, especially its
four Focus Teams, in the application of
monitoring data, models, and research
findings to support scientific assessments and
decision-making  in response to key health and
environmental problems of the Gulf
ecosystem. Three subcommittees, Monitoring,
Modeling, and Research, were organized
under the MMRC.
   The Research Subcommittee of the
MMRC works with the Focus Teams and
assists in:
1. Defining priority research needs to
   substantially increase our
   understanding of major health and
   environmental problems of the Gulf
   Ecosystem, determine cause(s), and
   identify and assess environmental
   management/control  options/remedies.
2. Communicating these needs to  the
   research community;

3. Identifying and communicating  past,
   current, and planned research activities
   in other programs that may meet these
   needs;

4.  Seeking support from GMP Partners to
    meet GMP research needs;

-------
5.  Integrating research results to support
    comprehensive assessments;

6.  Recommending major research
    milestones to the Focus Teams that
    will substantially increase our
    understanding of a health or
    environmental problem, its causes,
    and/or possible remedies;

7.  Reviewing and ranking proposed
    applied research and assessment
    projects for GMP funding; and

8.  Performing peer scientific review of
    technical products produced and
    published by the GMP.

   Membership includes senior technical
representatives from federal, state,
business/industry, and Gulf state universities
with responsibility for, or interests in, the
Gulf. Technical capabilities of the
subcommittee were buttressed by including
the co-chairs of Expert Panels (see description
below) as members and, through them,
linking to technical experts in the Gulf.
(Please see Appendix A for the names and
parent organizations of the GMP Research
Sub-Committee members).

5.  Major Environmental  Issues and
    Topics

   Since the technical breadth of the Focus
Areas is very broad, in most instances, the
Research Subcommittee identified several
specific Research Topics within each area for
detailed study. For example, the Nutrient
Enrichment Focus Area was subdivided into
four Research Topics - Estuarine Hypoxia,
Coastal Hypoxia, Harmful Algal Blooms, and
Atmospheric Deposition (of nutrients); the
Habit Focus Area was subdivided into
Emergent Coastal Wetlands and Seagrasses;
and Public Health was subdivided into
Pathogens and Toxic Substances.  The
Invasive Species Focus Area was not
subdivided.

   The Research Subcommittee reviewed
reports from previous efforts, e.g., the May
1993 Gulf of Mexico Marine Research Plan
(Gulf of Mexico Marine Research Program,
1993), to further characterize the research
requirements for each Focus Area/Issue. The
Subcommittee also reviewed the research
planning efforts of the cooperating federal and
state partners to identify candidate research
needs.  The Focus Teams and the Research
Subcommittee confirmed the importance of
these Research Topics, using criteria to assess
the magnitude of potential health &
environmental effects such as:

1.    Known or potential severity to human
     health or ecological health,

2.    Time scale over which the effect
     might occur,

3.    Ease with which the effect could be
     reversed,

4.    Level of human or ecological
     organization impacted (e.g.,
     individuals, populations,
     communities), and

5.    Geographic scale of the effect.

   Through this process, nine Research
Topics (Table  1) were identified as important
and have become the organizing themes
around which Technical Expert Panels were
organized and  research/assessment objectives
and research priorities developed.

6.   Technical Expert Panels

   Each Technical Expert Panel consisted of
recognized subject matter experts,  primarily
from Gulf states, and was co-led by one  state
and one federal expert (see Research Topics
which follow for names and affiliations of
expert panel representatives). The Expert
Panels were asked to describe the problem
area(s) related to each Research Topic and to
assess the state of the science regarding our
understanding of each problem, its causes,
and options for addressing  each problem.
Then, identify the major unknowns requiring
research to provide the science or tools
needed by environmental managers to assess,
understand, or take action to address the
problems. Finally, identify the major, related,
scientific uncertainties as testable scientific

-------
hypotheses or scientific questions, and rank
them (research needs) according to the
magnitude of uncertainty they would resolve.
This effort led to a well defined description of
the research priorities for the Gulf Ecosystem.
(Note: research needs were not prioritized for
all research topics)

   The specific research requirements to
address these unknowns were identified and
prioritized, in part, on the following factors:

1.  Breadth of applicability of the
    research,

2.  Extent to which the research will
    facilitate or improve risk assessment or
    risk management,

3.  Size of the anticipated user community
    for the proposed research product,

4.  Degree to which the problems,
    source(s), and risk(s) have been
    characterized to develop risk
    management options,

5.  Existence and acceptability of
    available  risk management options,

6.  Degree to which new or improved
    technical  solutions might prevent or
    mitigate the risk efficiently, cost-
    effectively, and  in a manner acceptable
    to stakeholders;  and

7.  Potential for research collaboration
    among the GMP Partners.

The desire was to provide sufficient level of
detail in defining research needs to enable the
GMP to solicit research support from partner
members. This was a major responsibility of
the Expert Panels, working with the respective
focus teams.

7.  Research Priorities for the Gulf
   The Expert Panels were guided by the
following approach to identify and describe
the Research Priorities for the Gulf:
1.  Define the research priorities in terms
    of the strategic goals of the GMP
    (Protect public health and the food
    supply; Maintain and improve Gulf
    habitats that support living resources;
    and Maintain and enhance the
    sustainability of Gulf living resources)
    and the important health and
    environmental issues that were
    identified as the focus for achieving
    those goals.  The GMP had identified
    four Focus Areas (Habitat,  Nutrient
    Enrichment, Human Health, and
    Invasive Species). Nine Research
    Topics were identified as high priority
    in meeting the GMP strategic goals.

2.  For each Research Topic, describe the
    most important objectives related to
    meeting the strategic goals of the
    GMP.

3.  For each objective, define the major
    uncertainties in fully understanding the
    problem(s), conducting  hazard
    assessments, and recommending
    remedial actions to correct the
    problem(s).

4.  Describe the ongoing and planned
    research that addresses, at least in part,
    the major uncertainties.

5.  Identify the unmet research needs
    (major uncertainties that are not
    adequately resolved by ongoing or
    planned research).

The research priorities that have been
identified in FY2003 for each of the nine
Research Topics follow in the research
needs sections below. Each section is
organized using a format that corresponds
to the steps mentioned above and presents
the un-met research needs for that
Research Topic. These research needs
should be considered by Gulf
environmental organizations as important
projects for funding support. It is
anticipated that these un-met research
needs will also be used by the GMP
Partners and the research community as
guidance for developing their research
programs for the Gulf Ecosystem.

-------
          Table 1. Gulf of Mexico Focus Areas and Research Topics

Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area
Goals and Objectives of Focus Team: Protect the waters of the Gulf from the
deleterious effects of nutrient enrichment, from all contributing sources, and thereby
enhance biodiversity and aesthetic, recreational and economic benefits.

Research Topic 1: Estuarine Hypoxia
Research Topic 2: Coastal Hypoxia
Research Topic 3: Harmful Algal Blooms
Research Topic 4: Atmospheric Deposition

Habitat Focus Area
Goals and Objectives of Focus Team: Identify and champion candidate actions and/or
projects that prevent, slow, stop or reverse losses of important Gulf habitats;
enhance/restore the functions and values of degraded Gulf habitats; or protect rare or
otherwise noteworthy Gulf habitats.	

Research Topic 5: Emergent Coastal Wetlands
Research Topic 6: Seagrasses

Public Health Focus Area
Goals and Objectives of Focus Team: Facilitate actions to reduce human illnesses
resulting from: consuming fecal pathogens in shellfish, consuming naturally-occurring
pathogens in shellfish, consuming marine biotoxins in shellfish, non-consumptive
exposure to marine biotoxins, exposure to pathogens through recreational  contact, and
exposure to toxic  substances in Gulf seafood.

Research Topic 7: Public Health - Pathogens
Research Topic 8: Public Health - Toxic Substances

Invasive  Species Focus Area
Goals and Objectives of Focus Team: Facilitate actions to reduce potential impacts to
human health, important Gulf fisheries, and the economy of the Gulf region resulting
from the introduction of undesirable, invasive organisms.

Research Topic 9: Invasive Species

-------
8.  Inventory of Current and Future
    Research

   Two parallel approaches will be pursued to
define which of the research needs are being
effectively addressed by current research
activities or planned, budgeted research to be
initiated in 1-3 years. The first approach will
be accomplished by the Research Sub-
Committee who will provide a comprehensive
update of this needs assessment document an
updated review of the research needs every
five years. A second approach is through
maintenance of a public database of ongoing
and planned research in the Gulf region
(
             ) developed by the Mississippi-
Alabama Sea Grant Consortium.  Information
regarding research in the four Focus Areas
(Nutrient Enrichment, Habitat, Public Health,
and Invasive Species), requested from
scientific organizations and university
departments, include: Project Title, Agency/
Organization, Points-of-Contact, Researchers,
Starting and Ending Dates, Mission, Update.
This database is updated on an annual basis.
Collectively, these two approaches should
identify the majority of the current and
planned research relevant to the selected
Focus Areas of the  GMP.

9.  References
   Culliton, T.J., M.A. Warren, T.R
   Goodspeed, D.G. Remer, C.M.
   Blackwell, and J.J. McDonough, III.
   1990.  50 Years of Population Change
   along  the Nation's Coasts, 1960-2010.
   U.S. Department of Commerce,
   National Oceanic and Atmospheric
   Administration, National Ocean
   Service, Silver Spring, MD. 41 p.
   Gulf of Mexico  Regional Marine
   Research Program, 1993, Gulf of
   Mexico Marine  Research Plan 1992-
   1996,  Corpus Christi, Texas.
   Macauley, J.M., J.K. Summers, and
   V.D. Engle.  1999.  Estimating the
   Ecological Condition of the Estuaries
   of the Gulf of Mexico. Environmental
   Monitoring and Assessment 57: 59-83,
   1999.
   USEPA,  1999.  Ecological Condition
   of Estuaries in the Gulf of Mexico.
   EPA 620-R-98-004. U.S.
   Environmental Protection Agency,
   Office of Research and Development,
   National Health and Environmental
   Effects Research Laboratory, Gulf
   Ecology Division, Gulf Breeze, Florida.
   USEPA, 2001. National Coastal
   Condition Report. U.S. Environmental
   Protection Agency, Office of Research
   and Development and Office of Water.
   EPA-620/R-01/005. Washington, D.C.

10.   Nutrient Enrichment Focus
      Area -Estuarine Hypoxia
      Research Topic

                            :  Over one-
half of the estuaries in the Gulf of Mexico
(Gulf) exhibit moderate to severe dissolved
oxygen depletion (hypoxia/anoxia), one of the
key indicators of'ecosystem health'. While
anthropogenic nutrient over-enrichment is
perceived to be a primary cause of
hypoxia/anoxia, the estuaries of the Gulf
display significant diversity in freshwater
discharge, residence time, and stratification
which impart varying susceptibility to nutrient
loading that confound a simple cause and
effect relationship.
   Overview and Importance.  Over the past
several decades there has been increased
concern about the negative effects of
anthropogenic nutrient over-enrichment on
estuarine and coastal ecosystems, a process
often referred to as 'eutrophication'.  While
there is evidence that estuarine eutrophication
is widespread in United States (82 of 122
estuaries were found to exhibit moderate to
high levels eutrophication: Bricker et al.
1999), there are large differences in: (1) the
sources of nutrients, (2) the biological
responses to and indicators of nutrient over-
enrichment, and (3) the degree of
susceptibility to nutrient over-enrichment, for
different estuaries.
   While historically both point and non-
point sources of nutrients have been important
contributors to anthropogenic nutrient inputs
to estuaries, a large percentage of point source
nutrient inputs (e.g. municipal and industrial
discharges) have been regulated considerably
over the past 30 years. During this time,
however, non-point source nutrient inputs
(e.g. agriculture, atmospheric and septic tank

-------
inputs) have increased in most watersheds,
particularly for nitrogen (N). As a result, both
the concentration and loading of nutrients has
increased in many systems.
   Unlike many other anthropogenic
pollutants (e.g. organic contaminants and
metals), the negative effects of nutrient over-
enrichment can not be measured in terms of
increased body burden or LD-50s, Lethal
Dose-50, of indicator organisms.  As a result,
the expression of eutrophication is assessed
indirectly, most often by quantifying one or
more of the following factors: (1) chlorophyll-
a concentration, (2) epiphyte overgrowth of
seagrasses, (3) nuisance macroalgae density,
(4) loss of submerged aquatic vegetation, (5)
the presence of nuisance/toxic algae, and (6)
the presence of hypoxic/anoxic conditions
(Brickeretal. 1999). However, such
assessments are often compromised by the
fact there is a great natural variance between
different estuaries.  For example, nuisance
macroalgae (potential "weed" species, e.g.,
Cladophora and Ulva) are often naturally
occurring but can rapidly increase biomass
production following nutrient enrichment. In
cool-temperate estuaries on the coast of
Maine large brown algae (i.e., kelps such as
Laminaria) provide important habitats while
estuaries along the Gulf coast have naturally
had varying densities of seagrasses,
independent of the degree of anthropogenic
nutrient loading to which they have been
exposed.
   In addition, the susceptibility of estuarine
ecosystems to nutrient over-enrichment is in a
large part regulated by the physical,
geomorphologic and latitudinal characteristics
of the estuary. For example, freshwater
residence time, vertical salinity/density
stratification, bottom depth and topography
and seasonal temperature patterns will all
affect the response(s) of an estuarine
ecosystem to nutrient inputs (Pennock et al.
1999). As a result, ecosystem production and
'health' may be positively or negatively
affected by the same level of nutrient loading,
depending on the susceptibility of the system
to loading. For example, Nixon (1980)
observed a general pattern of increase in
estuarine production with increasing
freshwater input. In contrast, increased
nutrient loading to the Chesapeake Bay and
the Louisiana-Texas coast have been
associated with negative food web alterations
and hypoxic/anoxic events (Officer 1984;
Rabalais et al. 1994).


Depending on the estuarine characterization
scheme used, the Gulf contains between 32
(Bianchi et al. 1999) and 37 (Bricker et al.
1999) estuaries. One of the striking features
of these estuaries is their diversity in
geomorphologic (Schroeder and Wiseman
1999), physical (Solis and Powell 1999) and
biogeochemical (McKee and Baskaran 1999;
Turner and Rabalais 1999; Pennock et al.
1999; Twilley et al. 1999) characteristics.  Of
particular importance to hypoxia is the broad
variability among Gulf estuaries in total
nitrogen loading rates (1-5000 mM m-2 y-1;
Turner and Rabalais 1999), vertical salinity
stratification (vertically well-mixed to >10 ppt
change over a 0.5 m depth in the water
column; Schroeder and Wiseman 1999), and
freshwater residence time (3-350 days; Solis
and Powell 1999).  As a result of these factors
and the warm-temperate climate that supports
high metabolic rates year-round, the potential
for the formation of hypoxic/anoxic bottom
waters is great.
   Several studies provide assessments of
estuarine hypoxia in the Gulf (Whitledge
1985; Rabalais 1992; Bricker et al. 1999;
Ritter and Montagna 1999). Each of these
studies found significant summertime bottom
oxygen depletion in numerous estuaries.
Interestingly, however, is the fact that there is
not a strong congruence between the
conclusions drawn  for many of the estuaries
in the different assessments. These
differences may at times result from changes
in these systems during the 15-year range
between these assessments; however, it is also
apparent that the lack of quantifiable data
analyzed over similar spatial and temporal
scales has contributed to these differences.
             During our panel discussions,
the Technical Expert Panel (TEP)
acknowledged the importance of

-------
'hypoxia/anoxia' as a regulator of 'ecosystem
health' and as an indicator of nutrient over-
enrichment in estuaries of the  Gulf.  We
were, however, surprised by the lack of
congruence from the several Gulf-wide
assessments of hypoxia over the past 20 years.
We believe that this variance is due in large
part to the fact that these assessments were
frequently based on a 'presence/absence'
scheme rather than quantifiable data sets that
were spatially and temporally robust.  It is
also clear that the large range  of
geomorphologic and physical  characteristics
in Gulf estuaries will result in different factors
being dominant forcing functions in different
estuaries.
   The TEP also expressed concern that the
presence of hypoxia/anoxia is frequently
taken, a priori, as an indicator of degradation
in estuarine 'ecosystem health' when, in fact,
conditions in many Gulf estuaries (e.g. low
tidal energy, strong vertical stratification and
warm temperatures) are conducive to oxygen
depletion even in the absence  of increased
anthropogenic nutrient loading.  This problem
is made more acute by the fact that oxygen
saturation values during the summer are often
near the accepted level of concern (5 mg/1)
established for cool-temperate estuaries of the
Atlantic and Pacific coasts. In addition, the
panel felt that the well-documented and
widespread occurrence of hypoxia/anoxia in
the  Mississippi River Plume has diluted
efforts to understand and manage the effects
of nutrients on the health of Gulf estuaries,
despite the fact that a large percentage  of the
population lives in close proximity to these
systems.
   As a result, there was strong consensus
that protocols/techniques must be developed
that can distinguish between 'natural' and
anthropogenic hypoxia/anoxia events and be
able to quantify 'nutrient susceptibility' for
Gulf estuaries. For example, continuous
monitoring instruments may provide
increased temporal sampling while at the
same time furnishing information on predawn
oxygen concentration and day/night
variability that might prove to be valuable
'indicator' parameters.

                        : These discussions
led  to a consensus on the following research
needs.
1.   Develop a quantitative assessment of
    estuarine hypoxia/anoxia for the Gulf
    that provides a spatially and
    temporally robust framework
    describing hypoxia/anoxia in these
    systems.
a.   What information is needed to better
    assess the extent of hypoxia in Gulf
    estuaries?
b.   What are the major uncertainties
    associated with available data to
    characterize the frequency, duration,
    extent, and intensity of hypoxia in Gulf
    estuaries?
c.   How should hypoxia be defined for the
     range of estuarine types in the Gulf?
d.   What are the most appropriate measures
     of dissolved oxygen, e.g., absolute
     concentration or a measure of
     saturation?
2.   Develop an index that will improve the
    assessment of 'estuarine susceptibility'
    to nutrient enrichment for Gulf
    estuaries.  In addition to 'nutrient
    loading', this index must incorporate
    the roles of residence time, vertical
    stratification and other physical
    factors.
a.   What are the most useful classification
    systems (e.g., flushing/stratification-
    based, geomorphologically-based,
    etc...) across the spectrum of Gulf
    estuaries that reduce variability in
    assessment of hypoxia susceptibility?
b.   What is the level of predictability of the
     various classification systems?
c.   What might be a cascading  suite (e.g.
     change in phytoplankton community
     dominance, development of macro-
     algal blooms,  etc...) of early biotic-
     based warning indicators of hypoxia
     formation?
d   Are  there   any   biochemical  early
     warning  indicators  of   impending
     hypoxia formation?
e.   Assess the evidence that characterizes
     the   occurrence   and  magnitude  of
     predawn  hypoxia  conditions  in  Gulf
     estuaries?
f   Does predawn  hypoxia tend to occur
    regularlyunder a suite of similar
    environmental  conditions?

-------
g.  Does the pattern in the variability of
    hypoxia at smaller scales predict the
    intensity, frequency, duration, and
    physical extent of hypoxia at larger
    scales?

3. Determine the importance of
    anthropogenic versus 'natural'
    processes in the formation of
    hypoxia/anoxia in Gulf estuaries.

a.  What is the evidence that hypoxia
    occurred or continues to occur naturally
    in Gulf estuaries?

b.  What roles do physical processes play in
    the onset of hypoxia, e.g., water
    circulation, residence times, freshwater
    inflow, and stratification?

c.  Which nutrients or combinations are
    most strongly linked as a contributing
    factor (s) to hypoxia?

d.  How do anthropogenic sources (e.g.,
    wastewater treatment plant effluent) vs
    natural allochthonous and
    autochthonous dissolved organic matter
    affect the magnitude and species
    composition of algal production with
    potential effects on hypoxia; e.g., the
    more phytoplankton organic matter
    passed up the food web through the
    copepod-to-fish pathway would leave
    lessor amounts available to the
    microbial loop to effect a greater level
    ofhypoxia?

e.  Under what conditions might bacteria
    out-compete autotrophic phytoplankton
    for nutrients and thereby limit increased
    in situ organic carbon formation by
    photosynthesis?

f   Which estuaries provide the potential for
    documenting  sedimentary paleo-redox
    conditions?

g.  What is the relative role of
    allochthonous organic matter
    contributing directly to BOD?

h.  What are the relative roles of external
    nutrient supplies versus internal
    recycling to maintain primary
    production?
i.   Are there conditions (e.g. turbid or
    blackwater systems) where light
    limitation serves to increase or decrease
    hypoxia formation?
j.   Just because an estuary has a naturally-
    low DO concentration, due to high
    temperature and salinity, does not mean
    that wasteloads are not a
    problem/concern. Low natural DO
    solubility means the assimilative
    capacity for pollutants is low, so
    wasteloads should be limited more than
    for receiving waters with naturally
    higher DO solubility.  More research
    needs to be done on the implications of
    naturally-low DO solubility due to high
    temperature and salinity for managing
    wasteloads (including nutrients).
Cautionary note: For Objectives # 2 & #3 it is
important to note that it is desirable to
consider the relative change in spatial area
and duration as indicators of change where
appropriate, particularly in contrast to merely
presence or absence.
4.  Assess how the frequency, duration
    and intensity of hypoxia/anoxia events
    affect biological communities across
    the broad gradient of Gulf estuaries.
a.   Which migratory species are at greatest
    risk to life cycle completion because of
    hypoxia formation? Do these vary with
    the 'type/class' of estuary?
b.  Can macrofauna community biomass
    and structure serve as an indicator of
    conditions favoring hypoxia?
c.  Is there a relationship between the
    occurrence of hypoxia and changes in
    the food web between benthic organisms
    (e.g. oysters) and planktonic grazers
    (e.g. jellies, zooplankton and fish)?
5.  If estuarine hypoxia is a problem in
    Gulf estuaries, determine what
    management practices would have the
    greatest effect in minimizing these
    conditions.
a.  What are the relative effects of nutrient
    loading, nutrient ratios, bathymetric
    modification (e.g., dredging), regulation
    of freshwater input, etc. on
    hypoxia/anoxia in Gulf estuaries?

-------
b.  What are the anticipated effects of
    climate change on estuarine hypoxia in
    the Gulf?

                     : All of the research
priorities have relevance for natural resource
decision makers. Team members recommend
that all research objectives be given
consideration as resources become available
but recognize that resources will likely limit
implementation of the full suite of objectives.
Therefore, several objectives are especially
important for earliest consideration.  The
following objectives were selected from the
list with a brief rationale for their early
inclusion in a research program designed to
reduce critical uncertainties and improve risk
management decisions regarding Gulf
estuarine hypoxia.
#3. Determine the importance of
anthropogenic versus 'natural' processes in
the formation of hypoxia/anoxia in Gulf
estuaries. This objective is singled out
because it is critical to determine early in the
decision process which estuaries possibly
experienced hypoxia naturally.  This could
influence the level of expectations and nature
and extent of any management actions
designed to reduce hypoxia through
management activities. Although the
objective does not list the possibility of past
management actions that may have reduced
the frequency, duration, and magnitude of
hypoxia that occurred naturally, that
possibility exists, especially for smaller
estuaries where intervention through
engineering efforts may have occurred, e.g.,
opening or deepening channels at the passes
to the open Gulf waters.  The converse is also
important to know-Did any earlier
management efforts to reduce hypoxia
exacerbate this problem?
#2. Develop an index that will improve the
assessment of 'estuarine susceptibility' to
nutrient enrichment for Gulf estuaries. This
objective ranks very high. Development of a
Gulf estuarine 'susceptibility index' would
help decision makers determine where to
focus remediation resources and protect
estuaries that are presently minimally
ecologically impaired.
#4. Assess how the frequency, duration, and
intensity of hypoxia/anoxia events affects
biological communities across the broad
gradient of Gulf estuaries.  One of the first
questions frequently asked by various
stakeholders is the "so-what question" - so
the estuary experiences hypoxia, does it affect
negatively recreational and commercial
species or other aesthetic values that have
important economic value? The biological
connection must be made to hypoxia
regarding various land use activities that
cause an increase  in hypoxia, especially
anthropogenic increases over naturally
occurring hypoxia. For example, although
submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) had
markedly declined in Chesapeake Bay by the
time of initiation of the Chesapeake Bay
Program in 1977,  stakeholders wanted to
know whether the decline was to any degree a
natural event. This question stimulated early
work on collection of sediment cores and
biostratigraphy to determine if the SAV
decline had an earlier antecedent.
We consider Research Objective # 5 to be in a
virtual tie with Objective # 4.  The rationale is
that an evaluation of the relative effects from
different "sources" of nutrients contributing to
hypoxia would allow those estuaries where
the characterization has been completed to
more effectively move forward in addressing
the source issue without waiting.

Milestones for Research Program
Implementation and Integration:
1. Workshop on Estuarine Hypoxia.  A
  workshop is needed to assess the
  feasibility of developing a provisional
  classification system that would
  facilitate determination of the power of
  extrapolation of hypoxia-based research
  findings across one or more Gulf
  estuarine systems. The assumption is
  made that resources to implement a
  Gulf-wide estuarine research hypoxia
  program are limited and the utility of
  extrapolation of research findings would
  be well received by decision makers and
  scientists. The most robust framework
  or model for assessment of extrapolation
  lies in the ability to develop a
  'susceptibility index' for Gulf estuaries.
  However, that effort may require several
  years to develop and field verify the
  scientific robustness and predictability
  of such a framework as it may require
  the passage of natural events, e.g., major
                                           10

-------
  freshets, droughts, to adequately
  confirmpredictions. We recommend
  that:
 a. As soon as resources become available,
 hold workshop and produce report within 2
 months of workshop on estuarine
 classification/extrapolation relative to
 hypoxia research questions. Approaches
 to estuarine classification and
 susceptibility are discussed in Chapter 6-
 What Determines Susceptibility to
 Nutrient Over-Enrichment?, In: National
 Research Council. 2000.  Clean Coastal
 Waters-Understanding and Reducing the
 Effects of Nutrient Pollution, National
 Academy Press, Washington, B.C.
 b. Develop criteria at the Workshop for
 which estuaries will receive priority study
 regarding hypoxia.  Examples of criteria
 might include: serve as critical nurseries
 for highest number of endangered species,
 highest secondary biological productivity
 per unit area with greatest economic value,
 most unique system within a class, highest
 likelihood of success in reducing hypoxia,
 and least impaired now but most
 vulnerable  estuary to an increase in
 hypoxia because of future demographics
 and land use. Criteria development for this
 activity should involve scientists and
 resource managers. The final priority
 should be made by managers with two to
 three scientists present as resource
 individuals to answer technical questions.
2. Plan for Assessment of Hypoxia in Gulf
  Estuaries.  To maintain program integrity
  in the face of budget uncertainties, it is
  important to perform the following
  activities.  In parallel to the criteria
  workshop described above, another
  workshop is needed to prepare a
  research, modeling, and monitoring plan
  to integrate experimental research,
  ambient empirical research and
  monitoring and modeling, events of
  opportunity, e.g., freshet effects on
  strength of hypoxia vs nutrient loading,
  and long-term monitoring, e.g., data
  buoys, satellites, fixed wing aircraft
  with environmental sensors.  These
  efforts should be integrated into a
  research management framework for
  candidate  estuaries where hypothesis-
  focused research will be conducted. We
  recommend that:
  a. As soon as resources become available,
  hold a workshop to assess research,
  modeling, and monitoring activities being
  conducted or planned to be initiated by
  various Federal, State environmental
  agencies, universities and private
  organizations  for relevance to the Gulf
  estuarine hypoxia program. Correlate
  findings from this assessment with
  management information and data needs to
  determine if and where largest data-gaps
  occur in candidate estuaries.
  b. Develop a plan to fill data gaps that are
  identified at the assessment workshop.
Note of caution: Analyses described above
will involve nutrient budgets. However, the
accuracy and precision of such budgets,
whether existing or to  be developed, should be
evaluated in terms of component
uncertainties. Budgets with high
uncertainties can be misleading. Expensive
resource management decisions often require
more  than so-called "back of the envelop"
budget estimates.
3. Data Management Plan for Hypoxia in
  Gulf Estuaries. Develop a database
  management plan for Gulf estuarine
  hypoxia research that includes metadata.
  This plan should be web-accessible and
  completed by fall 2001.

References
   Bianchi, et al. (1999) Biogeochemistry
   of Gulf of Mexico e stuarie s:
   Implications for Management, pp.  407-
   421. In:  T.S. Bianchi,  J.R. Pennock,
   and RR Twilley [Ed],
   Biogeochemistry of Gulf of Mexico
   Estuaries. John Wiley & Sons.
   Bricker, S.B., C.G. Clement, D.E.
   Pirhalla, S.P. Orlando, and D.R.G.
   Farrow. (1999) National estuarine
   eutrophication assessment: Effects of
   nutrient enrichment in the nation's
   estuaries. NOAA, National Ocean
   Service.
   McKee, B.A., and M. Baskaran
   (1999) Sedimentary Processes in Gulf
   of Mexico Estuaries,  p. 63-85. In:  T.S.
   Bianchi,  J.R. Pennock, and R.R.
   Twilley [Ed], Biogeochemistry of Gulf
                                           11

-------
of Mexico Estuaries. John Wiley &
Sons.
Nixon, S.  (1980) Fresh water inputs
and estuarine productivity. In: National
Symposium on Freshwater Inflow to
Estuaries.  1,  p. 31-57.  San Antonio,
Officer, C.B., R.B. Biggs, J.L. Taft,
E.L. Cronin, M.A. Tyler, and W.R.
Boynton. (1984) Chesapeake Bay
anoxia: Origin, development, and
significance. Science, p. 22 - 27.
Pennock, J.R., J.N. Boyer, J.A.
Herrera-Silveira, R.L. Iverson, T.
Whitledge, B. Mortazavi, and F.A.
Comin. (1999)  Nutrient behavior and
phytoplankton production in Gulf of
Mexico estuaries, p. 109-162. In: T. S.
Bianchi,  J. R. Pennock, and R. R.
Twilley [Ed], Biogeochemistry of Gulf
of Mexico Estuaries. John Wiley &
Sons.
Rabalais, N.N.  (1992)  An Updated
Summary of Status and Trends in
Indicators of Nutrient Enrichment in
the Gulf of Mexico. U.S. EPA, Office
of Water  and Gulf of Mexico Program,
EPA/800-R-92-004,421p.
Rabalais, N.N., J. Wiseman, W. J., and
R.E. Turner. (1994) Comparison of
continuous records of near-bottom
dissolved oxygen from the hypoxia
zone along the Louisiana coast.
Estuaries 17: 850-861.
Ritter, C. and P. A. Montagna. 1999.
Seasonal  hypoxia and models of
benthic response in a Texas bay.
Estuaries 22: 7-20.
Solis, R.S., and G. Powell  (1999)
Hydrography, mixing characteristics
and residence times of Gulf of Mexico
estuaries, p.  29-61. In: T.S. Bianchi,
J.R. Pennock, and R.R. Twilley [Ed],
Biogeochemistry of Gulf of Mexico
Estuaries. John Wiley & Sons.
Schroeder, W.W., and J. Wiseman, W.
J. (1999) Geology and
Hydrodynamics of Gulf of Mexico
Estuaries./?.  3-28. In: T.S. Bianchi,
J.R. Pennock, and RR  Twilley [Ed],
Biogeochemistry of Gulf of Mexico
Estuaries. John Wiley & Sons.
Turner, RE., and N.N. Rabalais  (1999)
Suspended Particulate and Dissolved
   Nutrient Loadings to Gulf of Mexico
   Estuaries, p. 89-107. In:  T.S. Bianchi,
   J.R. Pennock, and RR Twilley [Ed],
   Biogeochemistry of Gulf of Mexico
   Estuaries. John Wiley & Sons.
   Whitledge, T.E. (1985) Nationwide
   review of oxygen depletion and
   eutrophication in estuarine and coastal
   waters. No.  BNL 37144.  U. S. Dept.
   of Energy.

Nutrient Focus Team Co-Chairs
    Ms. Larinda Tervelt
    Gulf of Mexico Program, MS
     (228) 688-1033
    [                           ]
    Mr. Robert Fisher
    NCASI, NC
    (919)558-1989
Expert Panel Members:

    David A. Flemer, Ph.D. (Federal Co-
    Lead)
    U.S. EPA Office of Water
    Health and Ecological Criteria Division
    MC: 4304
    Ariel Rios Bldg.
    Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
    Washington, DC 20460
    Phone:(202)260-0619
    Fax: (202)260-1036
    Email: flemer.david(g),epa.gov

    Jonathan R. Pennock, Ph.D. (State Co-
    Lead)
    Chair, University Programs
    Dauphin Island Sea Lab
    IGlBienvilleBlvd.
    Dauphin Island, AL  36528
    Phone:  (334)861-7531
    Fax:  (334)861-7540
    Email: jpennock@disl.org

    Thomas S. Bianchi, Ph.D.
    Institute for Earth and Ecosystem
    Sciences
    Dept. of E.E. Biology
    310DinwiddieHall
    Tulane University
    New Orleans, LA 701 18-5698
    Phone:  (504)865-5191
    Fax:  (504)862-8706
                                       12

-------
Email:  tbianchi(g),mailhotulane.edu

Joseph N. Boyer, Ph.D.
SE Environmental Research Program
Florida International University
Miami, FL 33199
Phone: (305)348-4076
Fax: (305)348-4096
Email:  boverj (gjfiu.edu

Paul R. Carlson, Jr., Ph.D.
Florida Marine Research Institute
100 Eight Avenue, SE
St. Petersburg, FL  33701
Phone: (813)896-8626  Ext. 4104
Fax: (813)823-0166
Email:  paul.carlson(gfwc.state.fl.us

Quay Dortch, Ph.D.
LUMCON
8124 Highway 5 6
Chauvin, LA 70344
Phone:(504)851-2800
Fax:(504)851-2874
Email:  qdortch(glumcon.edu

Kenneth H. Dunton, Ph.D
UTMSI
750 Channel  View Dr.
Port Aransas, TX 78373-1267
Phone: (512)749-6744
Fax: (512)749-6777
Email:  dunton(gutmsi .zo.utexas.edu

Daniel Farrow
NOSHQTR Route: N/SP3
Building:  SSMC4  RM: 9431
1305 East West Hwy
Silver Spring MD 20910-3281
Phone: (301)713-3000  ext.156
Fax: (301)713-4384
Email:  dan.farrow(gnoaa. gov

Holly Greening
Senior Scientist
Tampa Bay Estuary Program
1008thAve. S.E.
St. Petersburg, FL  33701
Phone: (727)893-2765
Fax: (727)893-2767
Email:  hgreening@tbep.org

Richard Iverson, Ph.D.
Florida State  University
Dept. of Oceanography
Tallahassee, FL 32306-3048
Phone: (850)644-1730
Fax: (850)644-2581
Email:  iverson@ocean.fsu.edu

Cynthia Moncreiff, Ph.D.
USM - Institute of Marine Sciences
GCRL - P.O. Box 7000
703 East Beach Drive
Ocean Springs, MS  39566-7000
Phone: (228)872-4260
Fax: (228)872-4204
Email:  cvnthia.moncreiff@usm.edu

Paul Montagna, Ph.D
University of Texas at Austin
Marine Science Institute
750 Channel View Dr.
Port Aransas, TX 78373-1267
Phone: (361)749-6779
Fax: (361)749-6777
Email:  paul(gutmsi.utexas.edu

Christine Ritter, Ph.D.
Texas Bays and Estuaries Program
Texas Water Development Board
P.O Box 13231
Austin, TX 78711-3231
Phone: (512)936-0820
Fax: (512)936-0816
Email:  Christine.ritter(gtwdb.state.tx.us

David A. Tomasko, Ph.D.
SWFWMD
7601 Highway 301
Tampa, FL  33637
Phone: (813) 985-7481 Ext. 2206
Fax: (813)987-6747
Email:
dave .tomasko(gswfwmd.state .fl.us

Robert R. Twilley, Ph.D.
Dept. of Biology
P.O. Box 42451
University of Southwestern Louisiana
Lafayette, LA 70504
Phone: (318)482-6146
Fax: (318)482-5834
Email:
                                    13

-------
 11.  Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area -
     Coastal Hypoxia Research Topic
 Note: In recognition of the extensive past
 efforts in assessing the scientific knowledge
 and uncertainties related to coastal hypoxia
 conducted by the Committee on Environment
 and Natural Resources (CENR), and for
 consistency, the materials contained in this
 research needs document were abstracted
from  "An Integrated Assessment of HYPOXIA
 in the Northern Gulf of Mexico" (CENR,
 2000). Reference should be made to this and
 referenced predecessor documents for greater
 detail.
                            : The largest
 hypoxic zone in U.S. coastal waters is located
 in the northern Gulf of Mexico on the
 Louisiana/Texas continental shelf. The
 affected area, about the size of the state of
 New Jersey, has increased since regular
 measurements began in 1985.  Hypoxic
 waters are distributed from shallow depths
 near shore (4-6 meters) to as deep as 60
 meters and are most prevalent from late spring
 through late summer.  Hypoxia occurs mostly
 in the lower water column but encompasses as
 much as the lower half to two-thirds of the
 water column.

                           :  The shallow
 continental shelf area of the Gulf affected by
 hypoxia shows signs of hypoxia-related stress,
 including low abundance offish and shrimp
 and distinctly different benthic communities.
 While the ecological effects of this hypoxic
 zone are not well understood, potential
 impacts could include a precipitous decline in
 ecologically and commercially important fish
 and shellfish species.
    Research results strongly indicate that
 hypoxic conditions in the northern Gulf of
 Mexico are caused primarily by excess
 nutrients delivered to Gulf waters from the
 Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB)
 in combination with stratification of Gulf
 waters. Improvements in farming practices,
 riparian and wetland restoration, and river-
 flow management may mitigate hypoxia in
 the Gulf but current factors (e.g., population
 growth and food production) which drive
 hypoxia are projected to  intensify.

                   : While a great deal of
 research and monitoring  results were
incorporated in the CENR Integrated
Assessment (CENR, 2000), uncertainties
remain in the scientific analyses regarding the
nature of the problem, its cause(s), and
effective remedial actions.  It is recommended
that a comprehensive program of monitoring,
interpretation, modeling, and research be
coupled with development  and application of
nutrient management strategies.
   An effective research strategy is integral to
an adaptive management framework.
Coordinated research efforts improve
monitoring designs, support the interpretation
of monitoring output, and increase the
predictive power of models and other
assessment tools used in the management
process. For large and complex systems such
as the MARB and the northern Gulf of
Mexico, monitoring and research should be
integrated using holistic models that simulate
our understanding of how the overall system
functions and how management practices can
be most effectively implemented. River
monitoring data should  be integrated with
offshore ecological and oceanographic data on
appropriate time scales. An effective
modeling framework would include models
that simulate:
1. transport   and  transformation   of
   nutrients (nitrogen, phosphorus, and
   silica)   from  natural,   urban,  and
   agricultural  landscapes  to  ground
   water and surface waters;
2. inputs  and outputs of nutrient  flow
   throughout the landscape to  improve
   estimates of nutrient mass balances;
3. biogeochemical  cycling   and  water
   quality effects of  those  nutrients  on
   river ecosystems within the drainage
   basin;
4. oceanographic  and  climatic influences
   on those nutrients and  their impacts on
   Gulf productivity  as  they  leave the
   Mississippi-Atchafalaya River system;
5. impacts of increased nutrient flux  on
   productivity in the northern  Gulf of
   Mexico    ecosystem,     including
   commercially    and    recreationally
   important fisheries; and
6. three-dimensional     coupling     of
   biological  and physical processes  in
   the Gulf ecosystem influenced by the
   Mississippi River discharge.
                                           14

-------
Research Needs for the Gulf of Mexico:

   Research needs fall into two categories: (1)
immediate priorities that are essential for
designing near-term management actions, and
(2) longer-term priorities that fill critical gaps
in understanding as well as guide efforts to
mitigate and control the effects of hypoxia
and excess nutrients.

Immediate Research Priorities

1. Past, current, and potential impacts of
  hypoxia on both commercially and
  economically important species and
  ecosystems

a.   retrospective analysis based on sediment
    cores and existing data bases

b.   better understanding of the effects  of
    other factors that affect the ecological
    health and fisheries of the Northern Gulf
    of Mexico

2.   Dynamics and timing of transport of
    nitrogen and other nutrients from the
    landscape  into streams  and  coastal
    waters

3.   Geographic   location   and   design
    criteria   for  wetlands  and  other
    strategies  (e.g.,  riparian  zones)  for
    effective nitrate reduction

4.   Influence  of  on-farm  practices  on
    transport  of  nitrogen  and  other
    nutrients into streams

5.   Better methods to intercept agriculture
    nutrients   between   the  fields  and
    ground water and adjacent streams

6.   Effectiveness of current and potential
    policies and actions to reduce nutrient
    loss on a basin scale.

Longer-Term Research Priorities

1.   Nutrient cycling and  carbon dynamics
    across the MARB and relationship of
    site-specific   actions  to  Basin-scale
    effects

2   Characterize    mineralization    and
    immobilization processes  to  better
    understand the amount and forms of
    nitrogen in the soil  reservoir and to
    develop   strategies    to    minimize
    leaching of nitrate into streams

3.  Quantify denitrification and nutrient
    retention rates in streams and in Gulf
    sediments  and  compare   to   that
    achieved  in   riparian  zones   and
    wetlands

4.  Relationships among  nutrient fluxes,
    nutrient ratios, and nutrient cycling on
    the  continental shelf  of the Gulf of
    Mexico

5.  Amount    and    composition    of
    atmospherically deposited nitrogen in
    the Gulf

6.  Relationship    between    large-scale
    climate patterns and impacts on river
    flows,   nutrient   flux,   and   flow
    dynamics on the continental shelf

7.  Role of flood prevention and control
    methods  in  retaining  nitrogen within
    the MARB

8.  Better  understand nutrient  cycling in
    the  deltaic  plain to  guide  potential
    changes in land management activities

9.  Aggregated    analysis    of   direct
    (drinking   water   protection)   and
    indirect  (recreational   improvements)
    improvements in water quality for the
    MARB, as a whole.

10. Potential economic effects of hypoxia
    on the  ecology of the Gulf, including
    impacts    to    biodiversity    and
    nonmarket-valued  ecosystem  goods
    and services.

11. Better  estimates  of   the   economic
    benefits to agricultural producers from
    reduced fertilizer use  and  to society
    from    nitrogen   management   or
    reduction strategies

References:

CENR.  2000. Integrated Assessment of
Hypoxia in the Northern Gulf of Mexico.
National Science and Technology Council
Committee on Environment and Natural
Resources,  Washington, B.C.
                                           15

-------
Nutrient Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Ms. Larinda Tervelt
    Gulf of Mexico Program, MS
    (228) 688-1033
    Mr. Robert Fisher
    NCASI, NC
    (919)558-1989
    [                       ]
Expert Panel Members:

Coastal Hypoxia Expert Panel Co-Leads

    Dr. Don Scavia
    Senior Scientist
    Office of NOS, NOAA, MD
    (301) 713-3060 ext.  130
    [                   ]
    Dr. Nancy Rabalais
    Louisiana University Marine Consortium
    LA
    (504)851-2836
    [                    ]
   The CENR commissioned six research
teams to critically evaluate various aspects of
Gulf coastal hypoxia and analyze and
summarize technical information regarding
the problem and its cause(s). The CENR, "An
Integrated Assessment of Hypoxia in the
Northern Gulf of Mexico," drew heavily from
the results of their collective efforts.  The
research teams and their members are listed
below.

Characterization of Hypoxia

   Nancy N. Rabalais,
    Louisiana Universities Marine
   Consortium
   R.  Eugene Turner, Louisiana State
   University
   Dubravko Justic, Louisiana State
   University
   Quay Dortch,
    Louisiana Universities Marine
   Consortium
   William J. Wiseman, Jr.,
    Louisiana State University

Ecological and Economic Consequences of
Hypoxia
   Robert J. Diaz,
     Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences
   Andrew Solow,
     Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

Flux and Sources of Nutrients in the
Mississippi-Atchafalaya River Basin

   Donald A. Goolsby, U.S. Geological
   Survey
   William A. Battaglin, U.S. Geological
   Survey
   Gregory B. Lawrence, U.S. Geological
   Survey
   Richard S. Artz, National Oceanic and
   Atmospheric Administration
   Brent T. Aulenbach, U.S. Geological
   Survey
   Richard P. Hooper, U.S. Geological
   Survey
   Dennis R. Keeney,
     Leopold Center for Sustainable
   Agriculture
   Gary J. Stensland, Illinois ,State Water
   Survey

Effects of Reducing Nutrient Loads
toSurface Waters within  the Mississippi
River Basin and Gulf of Mexico

   Patrick L. Brezonik, University of
   Minnesota
   Victor J. Bierman, Jr., Limno-Tech, Inc.
   James Anderson, University of Minnesota
   John Barko, Waterways Experiment
   Station,
     U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
   Mark Dortch, Waterways Experiment
   Station,
     U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
   Lorin Hatch, University of Minnesota
   Gary L. Hitchcock, University of Miami
   Dennis Keene, Iowa State University
   David Mulla, University of Minnesota
   Val Smith, University of Kansas
   Clive Walker, Blackland Research Center
   Terry Whitledge, University of Alaska
   William J. Wiseman, Jr.,
     Louisiana State University

Reducing Nutrient Loads, Especially
Nitrate-Nitrogen, to Surface Water,
Ground Water, and the Gulf of Mexico

   William J. Mitsch, The Ohio State
   University
                                          16

-------
   John W. Day, Jr., Louisiana State
   University
   J. Wendall Gilliam,
     North Carolina State University
   Peter M. Groffman,
     Institute of Ecosystem Studies
   Donald L. Hey, The Wetlands Initiative
   Gyles W. Randall, University of
   Minnesota
   Naiming Wang, The Ohio State University

   Evaluation of Economic Costs and
   Benefits of Methods for Reducing Nutrient
   Loads to the Gulf of Mexico
   Otto C. Doering, Purdue University
   Francisco Diaz-Hermelo, Purdue
   University
   Crystal Howard, Purdue University
   Ralph Heimlich,
     Economic Research Service, U.S.D.A.
   Fred Hitzhusen, The Ohio State University
   Richard Kazmierczak,
     Louisiana State University
   John Lee, Purdue University
   Larry Libby, The Ohio State University
   Walter Milon, University of Florida
   Tony Prato, University of Missouri
   Marc Ribaudo,
     Economic Research Service, U.S.D.A.

12. Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area -
    Harmful Algal Blooms Research
    Topic

                            : Harmful
Algal Blooms (HABs) are now common
events in the Gulf of Mexico (Gulf) and
worldwide. HABs have  caused large-scale
aquatic mortalities, altered coastal ecosystem
structure and function, impacted coastal
economies, and threatened human health.
Although knowledge concerning HABs in
freshwater, estuarine, and marine ecosystems
has increased over the last several years,
scientific uncertainties regarding many
aspects of HABs continues to hinder attempts
to develop and implement effective
management programs for the multitude of
problems associated with these species and
their toxins.

   The expansion of HABs and their impacts
in coastal waters of the Gulf, U.S., and
worldwide over the last  two to three decades
has been well documented (Hallegraeff, 1993;
Anderson, 1995; Steidinger et al., 1999).
Realization of the scope of the problem is
reflected in the growing number of
publications on various aspects of HABs, in
the number of local, national and international
meetings, conferences, and workshops, in the
development of Federal and State funding
initiatives, and more recently in passage into
law of the Harmful Algal Bloom and Hypoxia
Research and Control Act of 1998.

   During any particular year, one or more
HAB events are likely to occur in Gulf
freshwater, estuarine, or marine waters. More
than 60 known toxic or potentially toxic
microalgal species, including the Texas brown
tide species, are known to exist in Gulf
waters, but currently the effects of only a few
species are the most visible and real threat to
human health, aquatic resources, and coastal
economies (Dortch et al., 1999;  Steidinger et
al., 1999). Yet, since we know little  about the
biological and physicochemical factors or
ecological conditions that promote blooms of
some toxic species and not others, there is a
growing need for studies on several  other
species and toxins that pose emerging risks
(i.e., toxins in drinking water sources) and
dozens of other  species which are not current
threats but which might create toxic blooms
under certain conditions.

   By far the most problematic species is the
red tide dinoflagellate, Karenia brevis, which
produces brevetoxin and causes neurotoxic
shellfish poisoning  (NSP). Brevetoxin has
long been implicated as a causative factor in
mass mortalities offish, birds, and marine
mammals, yet the effects of acute and chronic
exposure to brevetoxin on reproduction and
population dynamics of the affected species
are largely unknown. Risks to human health
are associated with ingestion of contaminated
seafood, direct contact with seawater, and
inhalation of aerosols. Economic losses from
K. brevis blooms are difficult to assess
accurately, but have been estimated  at
approximately $15 to 25 million per event in
some areas.

   In contrast to the Gulf-wide threat of K.
brevis blooms and NSP, other HAB  species
and their toxins  currently are more localized
problems. These include Pseudo-nitzschia and
                                           17

-------
domoic acid in Louisiana, okadaic acid in
Louisiana and Alabama, and the emerging
threat of cyanobacterial hepatotoxins in lakes
and freshwater impoundments Louisiana,
Florida, and probably the other Gulf states as
well. Pfiesteria-related events along the
Atlantic coast during the 1990's emphasized
the need for better information on the
occurrence and distribution of Pfiesterict-like
species in the Gulf and on environmental or
ecological conditions that may promote toxic
events. Finally, increasing numbers of
mariculture facilities and their products may
be at risk from toxic outbreaks in the
facilities, and in some cases these operations
may increase the incidence and severity of
some, but not all F£ABs, depending on the
location, hydrographic conditions and rearing
practices.
   The research needs are recommended with
consideration to existing research underway,
particularly the substantial financial support
provided by the Ecology of Harmful Algal
Blooms,  ECOHAB-Florida program. Dr.
Karen Steidinger, Florida Marine Research
Institute, FMRI, St. Petersburg, FL is the
Principal Investigator of this research effort
which incorporates numerous technical
experts and HAB-related research topics.

   The reader is referenced to a national HAB
research plan prepared by the National Sea
Grant College Program entitled, "Prevention,
Control and Mitigation of Harmful Algal
Blooms."  It is available at

There are  similarities and differences in
research needs compared with information
presented  here.  Differences are largely due to
a national versus a regional focus.

Major Gulf Research Needs and
Objectives:

Estuarine  and Marine HABs

1.  Develop a list of HAB
    investigator/facility expertise and
    capabilities. Identify those facilities
    capable of, and willing to provide
    analyses of Gulf of Mexico, GOM,
    samples, such as toxin  analysis,
    species identification, etc. (include
    cost per sample and number of
    samples willing to analyze, and how
    frequently), as well as provide
    assistance to event response efforts.
2.  Develop the capabilities for routine
    monitoring of HABs and
    environmental condition.
a.  Develop standardized monitoring
    designs and protocols to determine the
    distribution and abundance of specific
    HAB species.
b.  Develop standardized monitoring
    designs and protocols to detect bloom
    initiation, development, movement, and
    termination to determine environmental
    and ecological conditions, and to protect
    public health.
c.  Develop and/or enhance state-by-state
    contingency plans and training for rapid
    response to HAB events.
d.  Develop reliable and rapid chemical (or
    other non-mouse) assays for HAB toxins
    for use in field monitoring.
e.  Develop and enhance satellite and
    aircraft remote sensing capabilities to
    monitor and track blooms  at local to
    regional scales.
f   Develop an integrated web-based forum
    for sharing of HAB monitoring data in a
    standardized format.
3.  Develop the capabilities to predict the
    occurrence of HABs
a.  Establish clonal cultures of HAB
    species from different geographic
    areas around the GOM in order to
    characterize:
• toxin profiles, other bioactive
  compounds, and effects of
  environmental conditions on toxin
  production.
• morphological variation, physiological
  tolerances, nutritional requirements, and
  responses to environmental conditions.
• life history stages and genetic strain
  variability in order to evaluate the source
  of inoculum for blooms and
  reoccurrence of blooms.
b.  Develop methods, models, and data to
    determine the onset and movement of
    HABs, and potential linkages (direct and
    indirect) between anthropogenic
    activities (i.e., nutrient enrichment,
    water diversions, land use practices,
    etc.), natural conditions and HAB
    occurrence.
                                           18

-------
c.   Develop long-term monitoring programs
    which describe changing  conditions in
    the Gulf offshore in order to understand
    changes in the Gulf which precede HAB
    development.
4.  Develop      epidemiological      and
    epizootiological   studies  to   assess
    exposure  to  and  acute  and chronic
    effects of algal toxins on public health
    and aquatic animals.
a.   Develop standardized methods to
    identify toxins and toxin metabolites in
    humans and aquatic animals, including
    dead animals.
b.   Develop acute and chronic dose-
    response relationships for humans and
    aquatic animals exposed to algal toxins
    in order to provide
    scientifically defensible guidance levels
    for protection of human and animal
    health.
c.   Determine effects of toxin-induced
    mortalities on reproduction and
    population dynamics  of affected species,
    including mortalities  of eggs and larvae.
d.   Determine effects of toxins on
    physiological function of different
    species, including effects on
    reproductive capability (sperm and egg
    production).
5.  Determine the fate and effects of algal
    toxins in aquatic environments,
    including water, sediment, air, and
    food webs.
a.   Develop standardized extraction,
    detection, and quantification protocols
    for algal toxins and metabolites in water,
    sediment, and animal tissue.
b.   Assess accumulation  and degradation on
    algal toxins in water,  sediment and
    animal tissue.
c.   Develop suggested methodology for
    evaluating impacts on biological
    communities in affected areas over the
    short-term following  HAB events.
6.   Evaluate the effects and effectiveness
    of potential mitigation, control, and
    prevention strategies to reduce
    ecological and public health impacts of
    HABs, and evaluate possible
    relationships to nutrient water quality
    standards development.
7.   Continue and enhance public
    information and outreach programs.
a.   Develop or enhance the use of the
    Internet for public information and data
    reporting.
b.   Encourage and support States to foster
    appropriate public awareness.
c.   Improve effectiveness of
    communication with media.
Toxic Cyanobacteria
1.   Develop standardized monitoring
    designs and protocols to assess the
    distribution of toxic and nontoxic
    cyanobacteria strains in surface waters.
2.  Develop epidemiological studies to
    assess public health risks associated
    with cyanotoxin-contaminated
    drinking water.
3.  Determine whether aquatic animal
    mortalities in lakes heavily impacted
    by toxic cyanobacteria were caused by
    cyanotoxins.
4.  Assess cyanotoxin accumulation in
    higher trophic level species and threats
    to human and animal health.
5.  Determine the roles of nutrient
    enrichment and managed freshwater
    flow in bloom development.
6.  Determine the fate and effect of
    cyanobacteria toxins from the source
    to the finishing water at the plant to
    the faucet in the private residence.
Mariculture
1.  Develop guidelines for siting
    mariculture facilities in coastal waters
    that incorporates hydrographic
    conditions, water quality data, rearing
    practices, historical HAB events.
2.  Develop monitoring guidelines for
    mariculture facilities that incorporates
    HAB information and water quality
    criteria.
3.  Develop practical, cost efficient
    contingency plans to control or
    mitigate HABs should they occur in
    mariculture facilities.
Strategic Products:
1.  A list of laboratories capable of
    identifying and responding to a HAB
    events.
2.  Training on sampling methodology and
    identification of harmful algae.
3.  Quantitative information on the biology
    of HAB species.
4.  Capabilities for real time tracking of
    HABs.
                                            19

-------
5. A decision tree for state and local
    responses to HAB events.
6. Effective communication with the
    public and media about harmful algal
    blooms.
7. Predictive numerical model(s) of HAB
    initiation and transport.
8. Quantitative assessment(s) of HAB
    toxin effects on ecosystems, aquatic
    animals, and public health.
9.   Practical, cost-effective management
    strategies to reduce or prevent HAB
    occurrences protect public health.
10.  Management strategies aimed at
    reducing HAB events, reducing
    product loss, and thus increasing
    economic output at mariculture
    facilities.

References:
   Anderson, D.M. (Ed) 1995. ECOHAB,
   The Ecology and Oceanography of
   Harmful Algal Blooms: A National
   Research Agenda. Woods Hole
   Oceanographic Institution, Woods
   Hole, 66 pp.
   Dortch, Q., M.L. Parsons, N.N.
   Rabalais, and R.E. Turner. 1999. What
   is the threat of harmful algal blooms in
   Louisiana coastal waters? In,
   Proceedings of Recent Research in
   Coastal Louisiana: Natural System
   Function and Response to Human
   Influences.
   Hallegraeff, G.M. 1993. A review of
   harmful algal blooms and their apparent
   global increase. Phycologia 32:  79-99.
   Steidinger, K.A., J.H. Landsberg, C.R.
   Tomas, and J.W. Burns 1999. Harmful
   Algal Blooms in Florida. Harmful
   Algal Bloom Task Force Technical
   Advisory Group of the Florida Harmful
   Algal Bloom Task Force, 61 pp.
Nutrient Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Ms. Larinda Tervelt
    Gulf of Mexico Program, MS
    (228) 688-1033
    Mr. Robert Fisher
    NCASI, NC
    (919)558-1989
Harmful Algal Blooms Technical Expert
Panel

    Dr. Richard Greene (Federal Co-Lead)
    U.S. EPA
    National Health and Environmental
    Effects Research Laboratory
    Gulf Ecology Division
    1 Sabine Island Dr.
    Gulf Breeze, FL 32561
    TEL: 850-934-2497
    FAX: 850-934-2401
    email: greene.rickigjepa.gov

    Dr. Karen Steidinger (State Co-Lead)
    Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
    Commission
    Florida Marine Research Institute
    1008thAve, SE
    St. Petersburg, FL 3 3 701
    TEL: 727-896-8626
    FAX: 727-896-0166
    email: Karen.Steidingerigjfwc.state.fl.us

    Dr. Robert Dickey
    Gulf Coast Seafood Laboratory
    U.S. Food and Drug Administration
    Dauphin Island, AL 36528
    TEL: 334-694-4480 ext 249
    FAX: 334-694-4477
    email: RWD(gicfsan.fda.gov

    Dr. Jonathan Pennock
    Dauphin Island Sea Lab
    IGlBienvilleBlvd
    Dauphin Island, AL 36528
    TEL: 334-861-7531
    FAX: 334-861-7540
    email: jpennock(g),disl.org

    Dr. Cindy Moncreiff
    Institute of Marine Sciences
    Gulf Coast Research Laboratory
    The University of Southern Mississippi
    703 East Beach Dr.
    Ocean Springs, MS 39566
    TEL: 228-872-4260
    FAX: 228-872-4204
    email: cynthia.moncreiffgiusm.edu

    Dr. Quay Dortch
    Louisiana Universities Marine
    Consortium
    8124 Highway 5 6
                                         20

-------
    Chauvin, LA 70344
    TEL: 504-851-2800
    FAX: 504-851-2874
    email: qdortchigjlumcon.edu

    Dr. Tracy Villareal
    Marine Science Institute
    The University of Texas
    750 Channel View Dr.
    Port Aransas, TX 78373
    TEL: 361-749-6732
    FAX: 361-749-6777
    email: tracv(giutmsi .utexas .edu

    Mr. Dave Buzan
    Texas Parks and Wildlife Department
    4200 Smith School Road
    Austin, TX 78744
    TEL: 512-912-7013
    FAX: 512-707-1358
    email: david.buzan@tpwd.state .tx.us

    Dr. John Ramsdell
    Marine Biotoxins Program
    Charleston Laboratory
    NOAA National Ocean Service
    221 Fort Johnson Road
    Charleston,  SC 29412
    TEL: 843-762-8510
    FAX: 843-762-5535
    email: John.ramsdell@noaa.gov

13. Nutrient Enrichment Focus Area -
    Atmospheric Deposition Research
    Topic

                            : The
Mississippi and Atchafalaya Rivers carry to
the Gulf of Mexico each year 0.95 million
metric tons of nitrate nitrogen in waters
drained from the Mississippi River Basin.
Every summer this nutrient load is thought to
cause the development of a hypoxic zone the
size of the State of New Jersey in the northern
Gulf of Mexico (Goolsby, 2000). Moreover,
continued population growth around the
perimeter of the Gulf of Mexico has
intensified the nutrient loading at the coastline
where eruptions of harmful algal blooms and
the threat of human pathogens pose a
recurring public and environmental health
problem. Atmospheric deposition has been
recognized as a source of nutrients in the
estuaries and coastal waters of the United
States (NRC, 2000). Nitrogen loadings are
due to both direct deposition to the water
surface and indirectly from deposition to and
subsequent transport from the watersheds
associated with these water bodies, and may
contribute up to 24% of the total nitrogen
discharged by the Mississippi River to the
Gulf of Mexico (Goolsby, 2000).  The
complexity inherent in understanding the
multimedia nature of the air/water/land
interfaces has made quantifying this  source of
water quality impairment a significant
research challenge.

                           : The coastal
zone of the Gulf of Mexico is endowed  with
immensely productive habitats whose
ecological functions enhance all of the Gulfs
wildlife and fishery resources and provide
important aesthetic and tourism opportunities.
Impairment of the water quality is largely
associated with nutrient over-enrichment,
leading ultimately to the hypoxia events
observed in the coastal zone of the Gulf of
Mexico and possibly to harmful algal blooms.
The contribution of the atmosphere to this
over-enrichment has been estimated  for many
of the coastal estuaries (Castro et al,  2000)
and estimates range from 15% to 40% of the
total nutrient load.
   Nationally, wet deposition is generally
well characterized through monitoring data
gathered by the National Atmospheric
Deposition Program (NADP). (Lynch et al.,
2000).  Wet deposition is typically a source of
nitrogen to the nutrient pool with nitrate (NO3'
), ammonium (NH4+) and organic forms
(poorly identified) providing the bulk of the
species present. Dry deposition across the
United States is not as well characterized as
wet. The measurement of the amount of dry
deposition is technically challenging and it is
more difficult to spatially interpolate these
measurements as they are land-use (location)
specific.  Relatively fewer sites across the
U.S. regularly monitor for dry deposition,
compared to the many sites monitoring wet
deposition. Regional estimates of dry
deposition are typically model-derived and
verified from point observations.  The
nitrogen  compounds may be either gas or
aerosol and are comprised of the same
nitrogen species found in wet deposition.
                                          21

-------
   Deposition occurring directly to the water
surface of estuaries and near-coastal waters
may be estimated from air or rainwater
nutrient concentration measurements
transformed through chemical transport,
meteorological, or observational models.
Deposition occurring on the watersheds
associated with each estuary can also
contribute to the nutrient load affecting the
estuary's waters. The deposition to the
watershed surface can be estimated by the
same methods used to determine direct
deposition to the water.  Once on the
watershed, the deposited nutrients enter into
biogeochemical cycles and become part of the
non-point source load reaching the water
bodies.  The contribution from non-point
source loads to the loading in the receiving
water bodies is generally assessed using
watershed models (NRC, 2000). Improved
estimates of nutrient loading from
atmospheric deposition will, of course, be
evaluated in comparison to other pathways of
nutrient loading which affect the northern
Gulf, its near shore waters, and estuaries.
   The distribution of nitrogen species in the
lower atmosphere can be defined in terms of
three steps on temporal or spatial scales; three
terms will be used in this paper as follows.
First, the local scale of 0.1 km to 100 km or a
temporal scale of ~1 day; for example, urban
nitrogen oxide (NO) concentrations decay
within tens of km or less than one day (though
nitrates and other reaction products may
persist for several days.) A regional scale of
100 km to 1,000 km or a temporal scale of
days to one week; for example some nitrates
or ammonium sulfate aerosols atmospheric
gradients decay over this scale. [Some
references,  e.g. Seinfeld  and Pandis, 1998,
may consider regional scale to extend for
weeks.]  The third scale of interest is the
synoptic scale of 1,000 km to 5,000 km and
its corresponding temporal scale of weeks.
(A larger scale,  "global"  generally applies to
trace materials which especially persistent in
the atmosphere and can be carried more than
5,000 km or 10,000 km for a year,  or possibly
longer.  However, for nutrient chemicals in
sufficient quantities for direct eutrophic
effects, the global scale generally does not
apply.)
                             :  The four
goals reflect information considered
necessary to achieve the overall goal of
quantifying the contribution from atmospheric
deposition to the Mississippi-Atachafalaya
River Basin, estuaries and watersheds along
the U.S. coast of the Gulf of Mexico and the
northern Gulf waters to better assess total
nutrient loads associated with Gulf hypoxic
and anoxic events. Milestones  characterize
areas of scientific uncertainty that need to be
resolved before a particular goal can be
achieved.  Research Needs describe individual
research tasks that must be completed to
resolve the scientific uncertainties expressed
in by the Milestones.

   Goal 1. Improve our ability to quantify
   the atmospheric nitrogen deposition, in
   terms of oxidized nitrogen, reduced
   nitrogen and dissolved organic
   nitrogen, to the Mississippi-
   Atachafalaya River Basin (MARB), to
   estuaries  along the Gulf of Mexico and
   their watersheds, and to the  waters of
   the Gulf of Mexico,  especially the
   northern waters near the U.S.
   Atmospheric nitrogen deposition by
   indirect (to watershed) and direct (to
   water surface) pathways contributes
   20% to 30% of the total nitrogen flux to
   the northern Gulf of Mexico, with the
   majority coming from indirect
   deposition to the MARB.

   Milestone (a): Identify and fill gaps in
   ambient monitoring  for wet  and dry
   nitrogen deposition with emphasis first
   on adequate wet deposition  coverage,
   second on ambient concentration
   coverage (inorganic  species),  third on
   dry deposition inferential modeling
   coverage, and fourth, for dry deposition
   micrometeorological measurements.
Research Needs:
1. Assess the applicability and limitations
  of available data from National
  Atmospheric Deposition
  Program/National Trends Network,
  NADP/NTN, Atmospheric Integrated
  Research Monitoring Network,
  AIRMON (wet and dry), Clean Air
  Status and Trends Network,  CASTNet,
  Interagency Monitoring of Protected
                                           22

-------
  Visual Environments, IMPROVE and
  other networks (to be identified) which
  operate with standard methods and
  protocols in order to assess the
  contribution of atmospheric deposition
  in the northern Gulf of Mexico. The
  assessment should address data gaps
  specific to the Gulf of Mexico in
  relation to developing improved
  estimates of nutrient deposition for all
  three areas of concern: the Gulf hypoxic
  zone and MARB, harmful algal blooms,
  and eutrophic effects in individual
  estuaries.
2. Evaluate the feasibility of expanding
  wet deposition measurements to include
  organic nitrogen or an appropriate
  surrogate. (This will be dependent on
  advances in basic research on organic
  nitrogen in the gas phase, in rainfall and
  in aerosols,  and defining the methods
  and specific protocols for environmental
  measurements.)
3. Gather basic monitoring data focused on
  coastal land areas of the Gulf for wet
  deposition of nutrients using
  NADP/NTN protocols. Support
  addition of NADP sites to the Gulf
  coastal area, including National Estuary
  Programs, and supplemented by
  additional sites on coastal islands and
  piers where  possible. The addition of
  several sites around the U.S. border of
  the Gulf will provide geographic data
  that is currently missing from the
  national NADP/NTN data sets. Some
  Gulf coastal sites can remain long-term
  members of NADP/NTN, while short-
  term sites should operate for at least 2 or
  3 years.  Evaluate the need for and
  location of additional monitoring sites in
  relation to local as well as regional
  concerns for eutrophic effects. Assess
  the utility of a hierarchy of site
  selections to ensure that the largest sets
  of observations are associated with the
  most regionally representative sites.
4. Increase dry deposition measurements
  in the Mississippi Basin to supplement
  NADP/NTN and CASTNet programs. A
  few additional dry deposition sites,
  particularly  in the western area of the
  Mississippi  Basin, with some  spread to
  north and south, will address (at least
  partially) the uncertainty in the ratio of
  wet to dry deposition, and provide field
  checks on national-scale models of
  atmospheric deposition. CASTNet-like
  sites with a nutrient-only analysis list
  may be sufficient and offer cost savings.
  (See the basic suite of measurements in
  (6) just below, in this Milestone.) Site
  selection and network operation
  activities should incorporate research
  insights gained from co-located inter-
  comparisons of dry deposition rates, as
  calculated by existing inferential
  methods used in the monitoring
  networks and by state-of-the-art
  micrometeorological techniques.
5. Develop monitoring in open waters of
  the northern Gulf for wet deposition of
  nutrients using NADP/NTN protocols:
  install a small number of sites on
  platforms or buoys, and if possible,
  coordinate site locations to  enhance
  ongoing Gulf water circulation and
  weather modeling to provide basic data
  that is currently completely absent.
  (Note that monitoring at buoys or other
  isolated sites must be designed to
  minimize interference from birds, and
  possible impacts on the data must be
  evaluated. Studies in marshes have
  shown this to be a serious concern.)  If
  the GMP can assertively pursue and
  obtain support for such sites, via
  cooperation with Federal, State, or
  commercial entities, then such sites
  should be considered for use also as
  "super-sites".
6.  It is critical that some dry deposition
  monitoring sites be established in the
  coastal zone, once research
  methodologies are refined to adequately
  account for perturbations to dry
  deposition induced by sea salt aerosols.
  Or, where dry deposition measurement
  sites are not feasible (due to site
  limitations or funding inadequacies),
  high-quality measurements should be
  undertaken for ambient air
  concentrations of inorganic gases and
  aerosols. (A basic suite of inorganic
  measurements should include: nitric
  acid, particulate nitrate, ammonia,
  particulate ammonium, sulfate, sodium,
  and chloride.) Such ambient
                                           23

-------
  concentration data can provide valuable
  information for verification of
  atmospheric deposition models.
7. Obtain ambient concentration
  measurements of inorganic species over
  Gulf of Mexico waters, for the suite of
  gases and particles in (6), above. Such
  data can be combined with suitable
  meteorological data to develop standard
  estimation methods to assess dry
  deposition rates to the Gulf waters.

   Milestone (b):  Collect atmospheric
   chemistry and meteorological data of
   sufficient quality, frequency and detail
   to validate, on a local scale, the dry
   nitrogen deposition inferential model,
   to support meta-analysis of regional
   atmospheric deposition trends, and to
   calibrate  a synoptic scale transport
   model to  achieve the desired tolerances
   in the tested hypotheses.

Research Needs:

1. Improve methods of estimating dry
  deposition of nutrient gases and aerosols
  directly to water surfaces in estuaries
  and near-coastal, northern Gulf waters.
  Establishing deposition velocities over
  open-water areas is a basic research
  need, and should address daytime and
  nighttime  conditions in relation to Gulf
  parameters of temperature, humidity,
  warm waters, etc. Updated techniques
  or model factors will help fill a
  fundamental gap in knowledge and in
  methodologies to calculate dry
  deposition of nutrients on all US coasts.
  The  research may focus on basic
  atmospheric processes, but should be
  translated into updated methods -
  whether for sampling ambient gases and
  aerosols or modifications in measuring
  micrometeorology at the deposition
  sites.
2. Review the availability of weather data
  (wind speed and direction, air and water
  temperatures, rainfall, etc.). Ensure that
  there are adequate data reporting
  stations to satisfy the level of modeling
  precision desired for coastal processes
  such as land/sea breezes and sea salt
  influences.
3.  Assess the adequacy of sampling rate
  and frequency of wet and dry deposition
  observations. For example, many
  current monitoring networks operate on
  a weekly basis, while, for dry deposition
  events, a frequency of greater that
  diurnal may be necessary to prevent
  biases arising from covariance of
  pollutant concentrations and deposition
  velocities, or to capture land/sea breeze
  effects.
4. Characterize organic nitrogen, both in
  ambient concentrations, and in wet and
  dry deposition over terrestrial and
  coastal environments and over the
  northern Gulf near-shore open water.
  Fundamental studies on the definitions,
  methods and time scales of monitoring,
  and methods of chemical analysis for
  organic nitrogen are needed before
  general field monitoring can begin.
  Developing estimates  for organic
  nitrogen in deposition will be important
  in the following areas. Studies over
  land areas will be important in modeling
  multi-compartment nitrogen fluxes in
  the Mississippi River Basin.  Studies
  over coastal-land and near-shore water
  areas will be important in modeling the
  influences of organic nitrogen on algal
  blooms and consequent water clarity
  and oxygen demand in estuaries.  Some
  existing studies indicate that organic
  nitrogen may be as much as 25% of
  total nitrogen deposition to near shore
  waters, so it should be considered in
  direct deposition of nutrients to the
  hypoxic zone and up-current areas.
5. Develop improved parameterizations of
  ammonia dry deposition to various
  landscape and vegetation surfaces
  relative to North American conditions
  (recent research has been done in
  Europe). Also research the existence of
  a compensation point  (point at which
  the ammonia flux reverses direction) for
  vegetation typical of Gulf coast
  ecosystems.

   Milestone (c):  Improve atmospheric
   nitrogen deposition estimates from
   conventional monitoring techniques by
   at developing selected network sites
                                           24

-------
   (super-sites) at which would be
   deployed: co-located, state-of-the-art
   monitoring equipment and techniques
   to address measurement uncertainties
   or suspected weaknesses.

Research Needs:

1. Establish modeling protocols and
  methodologies to extrapolate landscape-
  specific point measurements of dry
  deposition rates to  regionally
  representative estimates.  That is, dry
  deposition velocities are determined for
  the specific surface/land-use at each
  study site, so correctly combining
  numerous measurements and
  extrapolating to larger geographic  scales
  will require improvements in
  techniques.
2. Further develop the multi-layer and
  similar inferential models to include
  size-segregated particle deposition and
  size-dependent sea salt influences.
3. Coordinate studies on atmospherically
  deposited nitrogen species with studies
  on the formation of "red tides" or
  similar blooms of harmful algae or
  bacteria. Provide data on nitrogen
  species and deposition rates to marine
  biologists involved in coastal ecological
  research whether in large-scale field
  studies or in mesocosm experiments,
  etc.
4. Assess the importance of nitrogen
  evasion (movements of all nitrogen
  compounds from the water into the air)
  as a component of the overall nutrient
  mass balance in northern Gulf waters.
  (This information will be important for
  Research Need (4) in Milestone (d),
  below.)

   Milestone (d):  Couple atmospheric
   with hydrogeological modeling in the
   Mississippi River  Basin to simulate the
   biological, chemical and physical
   processing of nitrogen including the
   directional, biologically active (fixed)
   nitrogen flux at the land/water, land/air,
   and air/water interfaces. The goal of
   this modeling effort would be to
   develop a synoptic-scale spatially
   allocated relationship between a non-
   point source load on the watershed and
   a delivered load to the receiving waters.
   Similarly, couple Gulf hydrologic
   models with atmospheric exchange
   information, and with coastal and
   estuarine circulations.

Research Needs:

1. Coordinate research aspects of
  atmospheric deposition with the
  Monitoring and the Modeling
  Subcommittees within EPA's Gulf of
  Mexico Program.
2. Assess the performance of
  meteorological models that serve as the
  basis for estimates of the distribution of
  both wet and dry deposition over the
  Gulf.
3. Support studies aimed at reducing air
  quality model uncertainties. Modeling
  is the principal tool for assessment and
  policy development and consequently it
  is important to understand the
  limitations and minimize the
  uncertainties associated with the
  models.
4. Extend Gulf circulation models to
  include not only mass exchange with the
  atmosphere but also with estuary waters
  and subsurface offshore discharges.
  Assess the mechanisms for translating
  deposition to both the water surface and
  associated watersheds to an actual load
  in the Gulf estuaries and associated
  coastal ocean. The transport or
  exchanges of nutrients or harmful algal
  bloom organisms may be significant,
  and the waterborne influences among a
  series of adjacent estuaries, or between
  the estuaries and the Gulf hypoxic zone
  need to be assessed in relation to the
  relative importance of atmospheric
  deposition.
5. Assess the importance of model domain
  boundaries. Air sources outside of the
  continental U.S. may be contributing to
  the air component of the nutrient load
  reaching the northern Gulf. Portions of
  Mexico and Central American counties
  may be contained in the "airshed" for
  the northern Gulf, but may not be
  explicitly included in model domains
                                           25

-------
  developed for assessments within the
  U.S.
6. Link Gulf water circulation and water
  quality models at various geographic
  scales with atmospheric circulation
  models, relating climatic data to the
  movements of Gulf waters and to the
  biologic cycles.  How far "up-current"
  in Gulf waters, for example, will
  atmospheric deposition of nutrients have
  an influence on the hypoxic zone, in
  addition to direct deposition to the
  waters in the hypoxic-zone area. Over
  what time and spatial scales will
  deposited nutrients have influence on
  red tides and related phenomena?
7. After achieving progress in items (5)
  and (6) just above, consider whether
  models or other synoptic evaluations of
  the entire Gulf of Mexico and its
  watersheds are needed to understand
  water quality conditions in the northern
  Gulf and specifically in the hypoxic
  zone.
   Goal 2. Assess the role that increases in
human and domestic  animal population
densities in the Mississippi River Basin and in
States that border the Gulf of Mexico may
have on the direct and indirect atmospheric
nitrogen deposition to the Gulf of Mexico and
estuaries along the Gulf.

   Milestone (a):  Quantify the range of
effect of nutrient deposition which arises from
regions of urban and  industrial development,
and intensive agriculture. These  regions can
contribute more than  average nutrient
deposition to a significant geographical area
downwind. Current deposition monitoring
sites are generally located to sample "average"
conditions, and relying  only on such average
data can result in significant underestimation
of total deposition.

Research Needs:

1. Investigate the availability of emissions
  inventories. Many of these are
  developed in association with air quality
  modeling for compliance with the
  National Ambient Air Quality
  Standards. However, not all of the
  potential airborne nutrients are managed
  in these efforts, particularly ammonia.
2.  Improve the emission inventory for
  ammonia. Quantify the annual net flux
  of atmospheric ammonia from various
  ammonia emission sources (for
  example, crops, synthetic fertilizers,
  automobiles, and livestock facilities).
3. Examine the "urban plume influence"
  on total nutrient deposition, especially
  direct deposition to northern Gulf
  Waters through intensive,  event-based
  wet deposition studies coupled with dry
  deposition measurements and mobile
  platform (aircraft and ships)
  chemical/meteorological measurements.
  Assess the results and methods of this
  approach as recently utilized in Lake
  Michigan and  Chesapeake Bay.  Without
  such information, the typical approach
  to monitor deposition away from urban
  or industrial regions can result in
  underestimating total deposition. (A
  year-around site in the northern  Gulf
  waters is not required, provided ship
  and/or aircraft-based studies can be
  arranged at more than one season for a
  few years.)
4. Study the ambient concentrations and
  the wet and dry deposition of ammonia
  plumes from large livestock facilities.
  This activity will assist in  designing
  monitoring networks to accurately
  assess  the nitrogen deposition from
  these sources which are among the
  major sources  in the MARB. (Evaluate
  these sources in comparison to
  agricultural lands receiving intensive
  fertilizer applications - see Research
  Need (2) just above in this Milestone.)
5. Conduct regional modeling of nitrogen
  compounds transport, dispersion,
  transformation and deposition to
  determine the  relative importance of
  local emissions versus regional scale
  transport of nitrogen to coastal
  watersheds and estuaries. Construct
  airsheds for selected watersheds, based
  on models.
6. Model the changes in atmospheric
  nitrogen deposition with changes in land
  use practices to assess the  importance of
  atmospheric deposition as  part of the
  "non-point load" which actually reaches
  rivers.  Such studies would probably be
  geographically specific to  several
                                           26

-------
  geologic/climatic regions within the
  overall Mississippi River Basin.
7. Analyze trends in atmospheric
  deposition at regional and synoptic
  scales to evaluate the efficacy of
  nitrogen reduction strategies being
  installed under the national Clean Air
  Act or other legislative initiatives.

   Goal 3. Assess the significance of the
land-sea-air interface in estimating total
deposition amounts. Two coastal phenomena,
land/sea breezes and sea salt effects on
aerosols, will influence deposition rates,
especially dry deposition, sufficiently that
simple extrapolation of measurements made
inland to the coastal zone and near-shore
waters would result in significant errors in
estimating total deposition to estuaries, near-
coastal watersheds and near-shore Gulf
waters.

   Milestone (a):  Quantify the interactions
of reactive nitrogen species with sea salt and
the recirculation effect of the land/sea breeze
and the warm Gulf waters that together
promote higher nitrogen deposition rates
along the coastlines of the northern Gulf of
Mexico.

Research Needs:

1. Quantify the  influence of sea salt
  aerosols on dry deposition estimates
  through co-located measurements of
  particle size distribution/chemical
  composition and trace gas
  concentrations of oxidized nitrogen
  compounds. The third generation gas
  and aerosol partitioning models
  (Aerosol Inorganics Model, for
  example) can predict not only the
  species phase but particle size mode, but
  should be validated with data obtained
  from the U.S. Gulf coastal lands and
  near-shore open water environments.
  Some current work is being pursued in
  connection with the Chesapeake Bay
  program and at Tampa Bay Estuary
  Program, but this work needs to be
  coordinated with additional studies, and
  evaluated for possible use throughout
  Gulf coastal areas.
2. Investigate with field studies the role of
  land and sea breezes on nutrient wet and
  dry deposition along the U.S. Gulf
  Coast and over near-shore waters. This
  will probably require samples being
  taken at least twice per day.  A full year
  of sampling may not be necessary, but
  seasonal effects should be studied.
  Nutrient transport and deposition on
  land and sea breezes is a fundamental
  gap in knowledge and in methodologies
  on all US coasts. Investigations of
  land/sea breeze dynamics should be
  coupled with studies of urban plume
  impacts to account for urban plume
  transport, chemical transformation, and
  recirculation phenomena, and should
  incorporate coupled chemical and
  micrometeorological measurements,
  including the deployment of vertical
  wind profilers, and where possible,
  coordinated aircraft-based chemical
  measurements.

   Goal 4. Quantify the atmospheric nitrogen
deposition, in terms of oxidized nitrogen,
reduced nitrogen and dissolved organic
nitrogen, to the Mississippi- Atachafalaya
River Basin (MARB), U.S. estuaries along the
Gulf of Mexico and their watersheds, and the
waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Research Needs:

1. Gather, index, and periodically analyze
  public documents which address
  research, monitoring, or modeling of
  atmospheric deposition in the Gulf of
  Mexico region and the MARB.
  Actively contact all U.S. Gulf National
  Estuary Programs, and NOAA, EPA
  laboratories, Marine Fisheries Service
  studies, and Federal and State parks and
  wildlife reserves in the Gulf region, and
  also canvas universities and independent
  laboratories (e.g. Mote Marine Lab in
  Florida)  in the Gulf states to  obtain
  documents and reports of studies.
2. Actively collect copies of data sets of
  past and ongoing studies of atmospheric
  deposition which were/are performed in
  the Gulf region and Mississippi River
  Basin with EPA or NOAA support or
  coordination. Assist transfer of these to
                                           27

-------
  EPA's central program to archive and
  maintain data sets of environmental
  measurements.
3. Conduct studies on atmospheric
  deposition to the U.S. Gulf Coast
  estuaries and their watersheds, evaluate
  recent studies on atmospheric deposition
  and refine the atmospheric deposition
  components in the MARB nitrogen
  loading calculations by Goolsby, et al.
  (1999).
4. Seek support for developing or applying
  synoptic-scale analysis methods
  including modeling and meta-analyses
  to combined data sets from several local
  or regional programs.
5. Coordinate with international activities
  in research on nutrient loading (from all
  pathways), especially with countries
  around the entire Gulf of Mexico.
   Goal 5. The findings from research and
monitoring should be summarized and
interpreted concerning the sources, impacts
and relative importance of atmospheric
deposition to coastal water quality, and  active
programs supported to distribute and share the
information with resource managers and with
the general public, as well as with researchers.

Research Needs:

1. Collate, analyze and interpret data and
  other information on the sources,
  impacts and relative importance of the
  atmospheric deposition to coastal water
  quality, as collected by this program and
  others in the northern Gulf region, for
  distribution to resource managers and to
  researchers.
2. Establish and maintain regular and
  active coordination with EPA's
  Chesapeake  Bay Program and Great
  Lakes National Program concerning
  atmospheric deposition studies,
  findings, and plans.  Coordinate with
  atmospheric deposition studies  and
  monitoring in the U.S. Gulf Coast
  region being carried out under US
  National Park Service and National
  Wildlife Refuge support, as well as
  other Federal and State programs.
  Where possible, obtain detailed
  knowledge of the data sets as well as of
  reports or summary information.
References:

   Castro, M.S., C.T. Driscoll, T.E.
   Jordan, W.G. Reay, W.R. Boynton,
   S.P., Seitzinger, R.V. Styles and J.E.
   Cable, In Press. "Contribution of
   Atmospheric Deposition to the Total
   Nitrogen Loads to Thirty-four Estuaries
   on the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts of the
   United States". In Nitrogen Loading in
   Coastal Water Bodies: An Atmospheric
   Perspective. R.M. Valigura, M.S.
   Castro, H.Greening, T. Meyers, H.
   Paerl, and R. E. Turner (eds). Coastal
   and Estuarine Studies Volume 57,
   American Geophysical Union,
   Washington, D.C.
   National Research Council, Committee
   on the Causes and Management of
   Coastal Eutrophication, R.W. Howarth,
   Chair. (2000) Coastal Ocean  Waters.
   Understanding and Reducing the
   Effectsof Nutrient Pollution, National
   Academy Press, Washington, B.C., 405
   Pgs.
   Goolsby, D. A. (2000) Mississippi
   Basin Nitrogen Flux Believed to Cause
   Gulf Hypoxia, EOS Transactions, July
   18,2000,81:321-327
   Lynch, James A., Van C. Bowersox,
   and Jeffrey W. Grimm, (2000).  Acid
   Rain Reduced in Eastern United States.
   Environ. Sci. Technol. 34, 940-949.
   Seinfeld, J. H. and Pandis, S. N. (1998).
   Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics:
   From Air Pollution to Climate Change,
   John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1326
   Pgs.

Nutrient Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Ms. Larinda Tervelt
    Gulf of Mexico Program, MS
    (228) 688-1033
    Mr. Robert Fisher
    NCASI, NC
    (919)558-1989
                                          28

-------
Expert Panel Members:

    Dr. John M. Ackermann, Federal Co-
    Lead
    US EPA
    6 IForsyth Street, SW
    Atlanta, GA 30303
    Phone:  (404)562-9063
    FAX: (404) 562-9010 or 9066
    E-mail:  ackermann.john(g),epa.gov

    Dr. John Sherwell, State Co-Lead
    MDDNR
    Tawes Building B-3
    Annapolis, MD 21401
    Phone:  (410)260-8667
    FAX:  (410)260-8670
    E-mail: jsherwelligidnr.state.md.us

    Dr. Robin Dennis
    US EPA, (MD-80)
    Atmospheric Modeling
    Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
    Phone:(919)541-2870
    FAX: (919)  541-1379
    E-mail:  rdennis(gihpcc.epa.gov

    Dr. Robert A. Duce
    Depts. of Oceanography and
    Atmospheric Sciences
    Texas A&M University
    TAMU-3146
    College Station, TX 77843
    Phone:  (979)845-5756
    FAX: (979)  862-8978
    E-mail:  rduce@ocean .tamu.edu

    Ms. Holly Greening
    Tampa Bay Estuary Program
    Mail Station I-l/NEP
    100 8th Avenue, S.E.
    St. Petersburg, FL 3 3 701
    Phone: (727) 893-2765
    FAX: (727)  893-2767
    E-mail:  hgreening(g),tbep.org

    Dr. Kurt Gustafson
    Sarasota Bay National Estuary Program
    5333 N. Tamiami Trail, Suite #104
    Sarasota, FL 34234
    Phone:
    FAX: (941)359-85846
    E-mail:  ••!•••    . •• •.
    Dr. Noreen Poor
    College of Public Health
    University of South Florida
    Tampa Campus
    Tampa, FL 33612
    Phone:(813)974-8144
    FAX: (813) 974-4986
    E-mail:  npooriglcoml .med.usf.edu

14. Habitat  Focus Area - Emergent
    Coastal Wetlands Research Topic

   •f •  ••-.;..:.;•••• ..; ..;. •. :;'-.•..,;-. T: The
importance of coastal emergent wetlands in
terms of productivity, faunal habitat, and
protection from storms is well known. Loss
and degradation of coastal emergent wetlands
are occurring at an alarming rate. In the Gulf
of Mexico (Gulf), there are  1,317,900 ha of
coastal emergent wetlands (Johnston et al.
1995). Loss rates vary from state to state  and
are highest in Louisiana where rates have
been reported as 65 B 93 km^ yr  (Barras et
al. 1994, Day et al.  1999). The loss in
Louisiana alone translates into 80% total
national loss of coastal wetlands (Boesch et
al. 1994).  Losses result from both natural and
anthropogenic sources. Some known or
suspected causes of loss are sea level rise,
dredge and fill, salt water intrusion with
effects compounded by canal construction,
subsidence, a lack of sediments and/or
nutrients depending on location. For some
areas, including coastal Louisiana where there
is both the most wetlands and the highest loss
rates, high loss rates are projected to continue
for decades. Not only does this result in loss
of marsh area per se, but also results in loss of
habitat for myriad animals, critical reductions
in  primary productivity and thus detrital input
to  estuaries and near shore marine areas, a
loss in protection from storm surge, and
numerous other known wetland functions.
   As a result, the health and sustainability of
our coastal emergent marshes and mangrove
forests, and the estuaries coupled to them in
the Gulf region are at significant risk.
Consequently, there has been an increasing
emphasis on habitat restoration in all regions
of the Gulf coastal zone, including the most
recent attempts to address the mammoth
problems in Louisiana through the Coastal
Wetlands Planning, Protection, and
Restoration Act (CWPPRA) and Coast 2050
                                          29

-------
activities. The CWPPRA projects authorized
over the first eight years are anticipated to
create, restore, or protect 28,329 ha of marsh
during their 20-year life spans.  When
combined with other restoration projects
developed under the Water Resources
Development Act, only 23% of the projected
50-year marsh loss may be prevented. If the
current land loss rates continue unabated, by
the year 2050 coastal Louisiana is estimated
to lose an additional 263,000 ha of marsh and
swamp even with current restoration efforts
(Louisiana Coastal Wetlands Conservation
and Restoration Task Force, LCWCRTF and
Wetlands Conservation and Wetlands
Conservation and Restoration Authority,
WCRA 1998).

                           :  However,
there is not a sufficient  scientific
understanding of the nature and function of
emergent coastal wetlands to allow
unequivocal and accurate decisions by
scientists and managers in many restoration or
other management cases. This point is clearly
demonstrated by the unexpected recent
dieback of huge expanses of salt marsh in
Louisiana. During the summer of 2000, some
17,000 ac of marsh died with only stubble or
mud flat left and an additional 100,000 ac
appeared to be dying or severely stressed (La
Coast fact sheet). Most  of this was centered in
the Barataria-Terrebonne estuary system but
dead or stressed marsh was reported in
western parts  of the  state and even in Texas
south of Galveston Island. While the event is
likely associated with the recent extreme
drought conditions, studies over the summer
have not been able to pinpoint the cause (s).
Further studies are planned and discussions of
the possible need for large scale restoration
projects are underway.
   Research is required to quantify the extent
and nature of these critical wetland
ecosystems, the abiotic  and biotic factors
influencing their structure and function, and
the effects of disturbance and invasive
species. In order to  sustain these systems,
research is also needed  in the fields of
emergent marsh restoration and assessment.
The research needs listed below should be
regarded as applying to coastal marshes of
various types  (such as salt, brackish, fresh,
and flotant) and mangrove ecosystems.
               : The research needs listed
below best address the objectives and sub-
objectives, and will provide a more complete
understanding of the ecosystems and thus
allow more rapid and complete evaluation of
unanticipated problems that arise in the future.

   Research Goals. In order to address the
Gulf management objectives articulated
above, we have developed six broad goals and
list critical research topics that address gaps in
knowledge for the goals. Each of these goals,
and the research topic areas under them, are
intended to assist in attaining the following
overall goal:  To develop a research program
that enhances the links of science to natural
resources management and land-use planning
for Gulf emergent wetlands.

   Research Goal 1. Understand the status,
structure, and function of coastal wetland
systems and develop tools to evaluate these
systems over large spatial and temporal
scales.
1.  Conduct landscape scale investigations
   on the relationships among adjacent
   wetland systems linked hydrologically
   and by common faunal use. This will
   likely necessitate further development
   of remote sensing and GIS tools into the
   study of emergent wetlands.
2.  Develop and  apply more fully aerial
   photography, remote sensing, and GIS
   tools for the assessment of long-term
   change  in the emergent wetland
   landscapes throughout the Gulf.
3.  Conduct long-term observational and
   experimental field studies on emergent
   wetland population and community
   dynamics. Such studies are required to
   enhance our understanding of how these
   systems function and change over time;
   as well  as for documenting the
   ecological factors underlying long-term
   changes.

   Research Goal 2. Understand the habitat
linkages of coastal wetland and attendant
estuarine systems.
1.  Initiate  studies designed to quantify the
   linkages among emergent wetlands,
   submerged systems, and fisheries. This
   will include more complete work on
                                           30

-------
  detrital production, decomposition,
  export, and trophic linkages, as well as,
  direct use of habitats by juveniles of
  fishery species.
2. Initiate Gulf-wide investigations (i.e.,
  across state and national boarders) into
  the use of emergent wetlands by
  migratory species (e.g., birds, natant
  fauna). Baseline data from such studies
  are needed to measure trends in the
  habitat function of emergent wetlands.
3. Improve our understanding of the
  distribution and habitat requirements of
  early-life stages of fishery species that
  utilize emergent wetlands.

   Research Goal 3. Understand the
influences of and interactions among
biogeochemical factors and environmental
stressors on emergent wetland systems and
habitat utilization; including short-and-long-
term temporal cycles and fluxes and inter- and
intra-year differences in wetland diversity,
productivity, and stability.
1. Analyze fully the separate and
  combined effects of various
  biogeochemical factors (e.g., salinity,
  sulfide, nutrients, etc.) and soil  features
  on different wetland species and on
  species-species interactions. This will
  also be required for an understanding of
  long-term wetland change.
2. Determine the effects of elevated carbon
  dioxide on the different emergent
  coastal wetland ecosystem structure,
  productivity, succession, and rates of
  carbon sequestration.
3. Evaluate the effects of pollutants such
  as oil and mercury on emergent
  wetlands where such pollutants occur.
4. Further quantify the ability of emergent
  wetlands to absorb and naturally-
  detoxify various contaminants.

   Research Goal 4. Assess  effects of and
develop predictive models of disturbance
(human and natural) on the productivity and
longevity of coastal wetland systems.
1. Conduct studies of plant-
  herbivore/parasite/disease disturbance
  relationships and document their effects
  on productivity,
  reproduction/colonization, emergent
  wetland loss, and habitat value of
  various emergent wetland types.
2. Initiate Gulf-wide assessments of
  eustatic sea level rise, subsidence, etc.
  and their individual and combined
  effects on wetland loss rates. Enhance
  modeling techniques to permit better
  predictions of future trends and to
  identify and rank geographic areas
  where restoration may be needed
3. Analyze the causes and ecological
  consequences (to productivity, genetic
  diversity, erosion, habitat value, etc.) of
  the die-off in Spartina alterniflora and
  possibly other emergent wetland species
  recorded in recent years in various
  portions of the Gulf.
4. Document the effects of invasive plant
  species (such as Phragmites and
  Tamarix) and animal species (such as
  nutria) on emergent coastal wetlands;
  and develop predictive models of the
  spread of invasive species and their
  likely long-term ecological and
  economic consequences in the Gulf
  region.
5. Initiate a program for assessing the
  potential for introduced species to
  become invasive and to have adverse
  ecological  effects.

   Research Goal 5: Develop research
programs to evaluate the success of coastal
emergent wetland restoration approaches,
especially emphasizing the importance of
reconstructing ecological functions; and,
evaluate innovative means for conducting
successful restoration.
1. Perform long-term studies on the
  success of emergent wetland restoration.
  Evaluations of plant survival,
  productivity, genetic diversity, species
  succession, habitat use, fisheries value,
  functional equivalencies, soil
  development, etc. are needed to justify
  continued large monetary expenditures
  on wetland restoration/creation.
2. Initiate further research on innovative
  and/or low-cost techniques of emergent
  wetland restoration and assessments of
  optimal configuration.
3. Assess the effects of large scale
  freshwater diversions on emergent

-------
  wetlands and adjacent subtidal systems
  and fishery species.
4. Determine the potential for Gulf-wide,
  standardized, rapid assessment protocols
  of wetland function, loss, and
  restoration success.

   Research Goal 6: Evaluate the utility of
various indicators of ecosystem vitality or
change.  Determine the utility of such
indicators in decision support systems.
1. Development of Gulf-wide databases
  and models for use in developing
  natural resource decision making
  systems.
2. Conduct research aimed at developing
  indicators of emergent wetland
  condition (extent and health).

References:

   Barras, J. A., P. E. Bourgeois, and L. R.
   Handley. 1994. Land loss in coastal
   Louisiana, 1956-1990.  U.S. Geological
   Survey, National Wetlands Research
   Center Open File Report 94-01. 4 pp.
   10 color prints.
   Boesch,  D. F., M. N. Josselyn, A. J.
   Mehta, J. T. Morris, W. K. Nuttle, C.
   A. Simenstad, and D. J. P. Swift. 1994.
   Scientific assessment of coastal
   wetland  loss, restoration, and
   management in Louisiana. Journal of
   Coastal Research Special Issue No. 20.
   Day, J. W., G. P. Shaffer, L. D. Britsch,
   D. J.  Reed, S.  R. Hawes, and D.
   Cahoon. 1999. Pattern and process of
   land loss in the Louisiana coastal zone:
   An analysis of spatial and temporal
   patterns  of wetland habitat change. Pp
   193 B 202. In, L. P. Rozas, J. A.
   Nyman,  C. E.  Proffitt, N. N. Rabalais,
   D. J.  Reed, and R. E. Turner (editors).
   Proceedings:  Recent Research in
   Coastal Louisiana:  Natural System
   Function and Response to Human
   Influence. Publ. By Louisiana Sea
   Grant College Program.
   Johnston, J.B., M.C. Watzin, J.A.
   Barras, and L.R Handley. 1995. Gulf
   of Mexico Coastal Wetlands: Case
   Studies of Loss Trends. In: LaRoe,
   E.T., etal. (eds.) Our Living Resources:
   a Report to the Nation on the
   Distribution, Abundance, and Health of
   U.S. Plants, Animals, and Ecosystems.
   U.S. Department of the Interior,
   National Biological Service,
   Washington, D.C. p. 269-272.
   Louisiana Coastal Wetlands
   Conservation and Restoration Task
   Force and the Wetlands Conservation
   and Restoration Authority (LCWCRTF
   andWCRA).  1998. Coast 2050:
   Toward a Sustainable Coastal
   Louisiana. Baton Rouge, LA:
   Louisiana Department of Natural
   Resources.  161 pp.

Habitat Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Ms. Diane Altsman
    Gulf of Mexico Program Office, MS
    (228)688-1033
    altsman .diane (giepa. gov

    Dr. James Johnston
    USGS NWRC, LA
    (337) 266-8556
    jimmy iohnston(g),usgs.gov

Expert Panel Members:

    C. Edward Proffitt, Ph.D., Federal Co-
    Lead
    USGS B National Wetlands Research
    Center
    700 Cajundome Blvd.
    Lafayette, LA 70506
    Phone: 337-266-8509
    E-mail:  edward_proffirt(g),usgs.gov

    Gregory D. Steyer, State Co-Lead
    Louisiana Department of Natural
    Resources
    Coastal Restoration Division
    P.O. Box 94396
    Baton Rouge, LA 70804-9396
    Phone: 225-342-1452
    Fax: 225-342-6801
    E-Mail: gregs(gidnr.state.la.us

    Keith A. Edwards, Ph.D.
    Louisiana Environmental Research
    Center
    McNeese State University
    P.O. 90220
    Lake Charles, LA 70609
                                          32

-------
    337475-5257
    keith(gjmail.mcneese.edu

    Dan Moulton, Ph.D.
    Texas Parks and Wildlife Dept.
    3000 So. IH-35, Suite 320
    Austin, TX  78704
    512912-7036
    dan.moulton(gitpwd.state .tx.us

    Mike Shirley, Ph.D.
    Rookery Bay National Estuarine
    Research Reserve
    300 Tower Rd.
    Naples, FL 34113
    941417-6310
    Michael. Shirlev(gidep. state. fl .us

    Judy P. Stout, Ph.D.
    Associate Vice President, Academic
    Affairs
    University of South Alabama
    Admin 300
    Mobile, AL 36688-0002
    334460-6261
    j stout@usamail .usouthal.edu

    Irv A. Mendelsshon, Ph.D.
    Wetland  Biogeochemistry Institute
    Center for Coastal, Energy, and
       Environmental Resources
    Louisiana State University
    Baton Rouge, LA 70803-7511
    504 388-6425
    imendeligjlsu.edu

    Lawrence P. Rozas, Ph.D.
    NOAA- National Marine Fisheries
    Service
    Southeast Fisheries Science Center
    4700 Ave. U
    Galveston, TX 77551-5997
    Lawrence .Rozasigjnoaa.gov

    William  Streever, Ph.D.
    USAGE Waterways Experiment Station
    CEERD-ER-W
    3909 Halls Ferry Rd.
    Vicksburg, MS  39180
    601 634-2942
    STREEVWig) wes .army .mil

15. Habitat Focus Area - Seagrasses
       Research Topic
   /TM->- ,'••! ..w-v/.:,•:;;•:^,': Seagrass habitat loss
ranges from 20% to 100% over the last 50
years for most estuaries in the northern Gulf
of Mexico (Gulf). (Handley)  Most of the
seagrass acreage loss can be attributed to
widespread deterioration of water quality,
including light attenuation, increased water
motion and human disturbances.
   (h :.vv;;.-.-<.'.,',-!..,' ..•j;-,'i-...".-,v.';r:.': The coastal
zone of the Gulf is endowed with immensely
productive habitats whose ecological
functions enhance all of the Gulfs wildlife
and fishery resources.  Seagrass communities
are among the richest and most productive
ecosystems in the world. They protect and
improve water quality, provide shoreline
stabilization, and are important habitats for
nursery and cover for an array offish, birds,
shellfish  and other wildlife. Collectively,
seagrasses provide shelter and sustenance for
a variety  of fishes, and invertebrates,
including the young of many commercially
and recreationally important stocks. In
addition,  seagrasses are the sole food of one
waterfowl species (the redhead, Aythya
americana) and important foraging habitat for
several other waterfowl species, sea turtles
and manatees. The diversity and amount of
biomass produced in or dependent upon
seagrass beds are enormous. Submergent
seagrasses occupy over 323,760 hectares
(800,000 acres) within the estuaries and
shallow near-coastal waters of the Gulf
(Iverson and Bittaker, 1986). Approximately
95 percent of this acreage is in Florida and
Texas where seagrasses occupy about 20
percent of the bay bottoms (Thayer and
Ustach, 1981). Although often considered
continuous around the Gulfs entire periphery,
a combination of low salinity, high turbidity
and wave energy, and human disturbances
results in only scattered patches of seagrass,
mostly in bays from the Florida panhandle to
Laguna Madre, Texas.
   The distribution of seagrass beds is limited
by light attenuation, high wave energy and
human disturbances. Two primary factors
affecting light attenuation are depth and
turbidity. Increased depth, resulting from
subsidence, limits the occurrence and density
of seagrass beds. Activities which increase
water turbidity, such as dredging, and
alterations in coastal watersheds that lead to
increased runoff have caused losses in
                                          33

-------
seagrasses. Decreases in light reaching
seagrasses because of the stimulation of
growth of phytoplankton, epiphytes and
macroalgae resulting from nutrient
enrichment have causes even more
widespread losses of seagrasses.   Lewis, et
al. (1985) noted that Tampa Bay had lost
about 80 percent of its original seagrass beds
by 1982. The sea grass beds which remain in
Tampa Bay, and other bays and nearshore
areas, are stressed and impacted by human
activities (Zieman and Zieman, 1989).  For
example, propeller scars, prominent in many
sea grass meadows, may take years to heal by
revegetation. In Laguna Madre, seagrasses
have undergone large changes in species
composition as well as losses in area because
of human impacts. Decreases in seagrass
acreage can also be attributed to disease.
(Mass Mortality of the tropical seagrass
Thalassia testudinum in Florida Bay (USA)
Mar Ecology Program Ser 71:297-299.)  M.B.
Roblee, T.R. Barber, P.R. Carlson, Jr., M.J.
Durako, J.W. Fourqurean, L.K. Muehlstein,
D.Porter, L.A. Yarbro, and J.C.D.  Zeeman.
1991.
Major Gulf Research Objectives and
Actions:
1. Assess the ecological status in  terms  of
  areal and temporal extent and quality  of
  seagrasses and  determine  the  trend  in
  extent and quality.
 a. Quantify  and map  current seagrass
 acreage in Gulf Coastal Waters.
 b. Identify  indicators  that  best describe
 "quality"   of  seagrass   beds  and  are
 appropriate for small- (a seagrass bed, an
 estuary) and large-scale (biogeographical
 region,  state,   Gulf)   monitoring   and
 assessment activities.
   •  What is the range of expected values
   for seagrass indicators?
   •   What  is the natural variability  of
   these indicators?
   •  What spatial and temporal scales are
   needed  to accurately establish  values
   for these indicators?
 c. Describe    the    rapid   assessment
 techniques and sample designs that can be
 used to routinely monitor seagrass beds at
 various spatial scales.
2. Identify  the  factors  which determine
  establishment   and   persistence    of
  seagrasses.
 a. Identify   water   quality  and  other
 guidelines    (e.g.,     nutrients,    light,
 chlorophyll  a)  that  will  protect   and
 preserve Gulf seagrasses.
   • Quantify and map the geological and
   historical seagrass acreage to determine
   quantity and locations of declines.
   • Conduct field and laboratory studies
   to document cause-effects relationships
   and  describe  stress  thresholds   for
   effects.
       Quantify the  sources  of human-
   induced declines of seagrass habitats in
   the  Gulf and correlate with  seagrass
   bed  condition to  develop hypotheses
   regarding cause.
   •  Document "significant" destruction
   caused by biological stressors; identify
   biotic agents; and define anthropogenic
   interactions, if any.
 b. Determine   if   interactions  among
 stressors limit persistence (or growth) of
 seagrasses in  areas  that meet  minimum
 light requirements.
 c. Define the water column  and sediment
 characteristics  required for  establishment
 of seagrasses in areas to be restored.
 d. Document  and   monitor  restoration
 success rates of existing and new seagrass
 planting technologies.
3. Determine  the  critical  factors  which
  determine    natural   structural   and
  functional  characteristics  of  seagrass
  habitats.
 a. Determine  the   relationships  among
 primary  and  secondary productivity  and
 landscape   features    (e.g.,   patch   vs
 continuous   habitat,   large   vs   small
 habitats), location within an estuary,  and
 association with adjacent habitats.
 b. Determine if and how habitat function
 (e.g., fish and  shellfish utilization) differs
 among different species  and densities of
 Submerged  Aquatic  Vegetation,  SAV,
 including  seagrasses, macro algae,  and
 other aquatic plants.

Major Deliverables:
Report on Status and Trends of Seagrasses
in the Gulf	2004
Protocols for Mapping and Monitoring
Seagrasses	2002
                                           34

-------
Water Quality Guidelines (Nutrient, Light,
Chlorophyll) to Protect and Preserve
Seagrass Beds
Water Quality and Sediment Characteristics
Required for Successful Establishment of
Seagrasses

References:

   Handley,  Lawrence   R.,   Seagrass
   Distribution in  the Northern  Gulf of
   Mexico  (visited  September 3, 2002)
   .
   Iverson, R.L.,  and H.F. Bittaker.  1986.
   Seagrass Distribution and  Abundance
   in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico Coastal
   Waters.   Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci.
   22:577-602.
   Thayer,  G.W., and J. F. Ustach.  1981.
   Gulf of Mexico Wetlands:  Value, State
   of Knowledge and Research Needs.  In:
   Proceedings   of  a  Symposium  on
   Environmental Research Needs in  the
   Gulf of Mexico, Key  Biscayne, FL,
   May  1981.    National Oceanic  and
   Atmospheric          Administration,
   Washington, DC.
   Lewis,   R.R.  Ill,  J.  Durako,  M.D.
   Moffler,  and   RC.  Phillips.    1985.
   Seagrass Meadows  of Tampa Bay - A
   Review.  In:  Proceedings, Tampa Bay
   Area Scientific Information Symposium.
   S.F. Treat, J.L. Simon, RR. Lewis  III,
   and R.L. Whitman, Jr. (eds.) May 1982.
   Florida  Sea Grant Report No. 65,  pp.
   210-246.
   Zieman, J.C. and R.T. Zieman.  1989.
   The Ecology of the Seagrass Meadows
   of the  West  Coast  of Florida:    A
   Community Profile.   U.S. Fish and
   Wildlife  Service,  Washington, DC.
   Biological Report 85 (7.25), 155 pp.

Habitat Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Ms. Diane Altsman
    Gulf of Mexico Program Office, MS
    Phone:228-688-1033
    Email: altsman.diane@epa.gov

    Dr. James Johnston
    USGS NWRC, LA
    Phone:337-266-8556
    Email: jimmy iohnston(g),usgs.gov

Expert Panel Members:

    Chris Onuf, USGS, Federal Co-Lead
    Biological Resources Division
    National Wetlands Research Center
    Campus Box 339
    6300 Ocean Drive
    Corpus Christi, Texas  78412
    Phone:361-985-6266
    Fax: (361) 985-6268
    E-mail:  , ;

    Ken Haddad, State Co-Lead
    Florida Marine Research Institute
    100 8th Avenue, SE
    St. Petersburg, Florida  3370
    Phone: (727) 896-8626
    FAX: (727) 823-0166
    E- mail: Haddad  K(gidep.state.fl.us

    Michael Beck
    The Nature Conservancy
    88 First  Street,  Suite 600
    San Francisco,  California  94105
    Phone: (415) 904-9930
    Fax: (415) 904-9935
    E-mail: mbeck(gitnc.org

    Ken Dunton
    The University of Texas at Austin
    Marine Science Institute
    750 Channel View Drive
    Port Aransas, TX 78373-5015
    Phone: (361) 749-6744
    Fax: (361) 749-6777
    E-mail:  duntonigjutmsi.utexas.edu

    Virginia Engle
    Environmental  Protection Agency
    1 Sabine Island Drive
    Gulf Breeze, FL 32561
    Phone:  (850)934-9354
    Fax: (850)934-9201
    E-mail:  engle.virginia@epa.gov

    Larry Handley
    National Wetlands Research Center
    U.S. Geological Survey
    700 Cajundome Boulevard
    Lafayette, LA 70506-3152
    Phone:  (318)266-8556
                                         35

-------
Fax: (318)266-8616
E-mail: larry  handlev(giusgs.gov

Ken Heck
University of Alabama
Dauphin Island Sea Lab
101 Bienville Boulevard
Dauphin Island, AL 36528
Phone: (334)861-2141
Fax: (334)861-4646
E-mail: kheck(gidisl.org

William Kruczynski
USEPA
National Marine Sanctuary Office
P.O. Box 500368
Marathon, Florida  33050
Phone:  (305)743-0537
Fax: (305)743-3304
email: kruczynski.bill(giepa.gov

Carole Mclvor, Ph.D.
USGS
S. Florida Ecosystem Study Group
Phone: (305)3486845
email: carole  mcivor(g),usgs.gov

Cynthia Moncreiff
Gulf Coast Research Laboratory
703 East Beach Drive (39564)
P. O. Box 7000
Ocean Springs, MS 39566-7000
Phone: (228) 872-4260 or 4201
Fax: (228)872-4204
email: Cvnthia.MoncreiffSiusm.edu

Mike Porrier
University of New Orleans
New Orleans, Louisiana
Warren Pulich, Jr.
Texas Parks & Wildlife
Resource Protection Division
3000 South IH-35, suite 320
Austin, TX 78704-6536
Phone: (512)912-7014
Fax:(512)707-1358
E-mail: warren.pulich(gitpwd.state.tx.us

Pete Sheridan
NOAA/NMFS Galveston Laboratory
4700 Avenue U
Galveston, Texas  77551
Phone: (409)766-3524
16.
Fax: (409)766-3508
E-mail: pete.sheridanigjnoaa.gov

Dave Tomasko
Tampa Service Office
7601 U.S. Hwy. 301
Tampa, Fl 33637-6759
Phone: (800) 836-0797 ext. 2206
Fax: (813)987-6747
E-mail:
dave .tomasko(g)swfwmd.state .fl.us

Kim Yates
USGS
Coastal Marine Geology
600 4th Street South
St. Petersburg, Florida 33701
Phone: (727) 803-8747 x3059
E-mail: kyatesigiusgs.gov

Public Health Focus Area - Biotic
Pathogens  Research Topic
   <',',••'••,,• r.V',1/,."; .••/'<•.••,';•• /•'•"••:.•':•/;••>,';•: Coastal and
shoreline development, inefficient waste
water treatment facilities, animal feedlot
operations, and urban runoff and improper
disposal of human waste from boats all
contribute to fecal contamination of our
Nation's waters.  Humans who swim and
recreate in water contaminated with fecal
pollution are at an increased risk of
contracting gastrointestinal disease;
respiratory, ear, eye, and skin infections;
meningitis; and hepatitis. Humans who
consumer fish and shellfish from these waters
are also susceptible to a wide range of
organisms with variety of outcomes including
mild to severe gastroenteritis, septicemia and
in extreme cases, death.

   ?Viv',"i'.i>"' ..-;v,7 /:;i:.'i>:-.:•.:••'; The objective
of this document is to present areas in which
research is needed to assist in either
identifying the causative organism  in disease
outbreaks or decreasing the incidence of
disease related to exposure to biotic
pathogens.  The document is broken down by
topic area and provides a brief explanation as
to the importance of each area.
1. Pathogen Indicators
   Indicator organism(s) are a fundamental
monitoring tool used to measure both changes
environmental (water) quality or conditions
                                      36

-------
and the presence/absence of hard to detect in
target (pathogenic) organisms. An indicator
organism acts as a representation of the
presence/absence of a pathogenic organism
surviving under similar physical, chemical
and nutrient conditions.  For fecal
contamination, indicator organisms must: 1)
be consistently and exclusively associated
with the intestinal sources of the pathogenic
organism, 2) occur in greater numbers than
the pathogen, 3) be more resistant to
environmental stresses and persist for a
greater length of time than the pathogen, 4)
not proliferate to any great extent in the
environment, and 5) yield a simple reliable
and inexpensive method for detection,
enumeration, and identification of the
indicator organism.  Indicator bacteria are
usually harmless, more plentiful and easier to
detect than pathogens.
   EPA and FDA currently have conflicting
standards for similar bodies of water. EPA
published Ambient Water Quality Criteria for
Bacteria - 1986, which recommended the use
of E. coli and enterococci to replace fecal
coliforms as the recreational water quality
indicator organisms.  Fecal coliform bacteria
are used as an indicator to monitor shellfish
harvesting waters through the National
Shellfish Sanitation Program (NSSP). Also,
there is a concern that the risk associated with
pathogen indicators from nonhuman sources
may not be the same as that from human
sources.  Given these points, there are several
research questions that need to be answered.
These include:
  a. Are the current indicator
  recommendations adequate or are new
  indicators better at predicting disease
  outcomes in human beings?  Research in
  this area should be focused at the
  epidemiological association  between the
  indicator and disease outcomes.
  b.  Is there a single indicator which could
  be used for both recreational and shellfish
  purposes that would adequately protect the
  public? Research should be focused on
  providing sufficient evidence that a single
  indicator organism could adequately
  protect the public from disease due to
  recreational contact and shellfish
  consumption.
  c. Is there a method available to rapidly
  detect the indicator of interest?  Water
  quality and shellfish agencies must be able
  to detect the indicator quickly to
  adequately protect the public.  Methods
  which can accurately enumerate the
  indicator in less than 24 hours  should be
  the goal of any research into this arena.
  d. Is there a difference in the risk of
  disease related to exposure from human vs.
  nonhuman sources of indicator organisms?
  Current data in this area is inconclusive.
  Research in this area should attempt to
  determine if there is a difference in the
  disease outcomes due to various sources of
  these organisms and routes of exposure.
2. Pathogenic Organisms
   While the indicator organisms identified
above serve as a good tool for identifying the
presence of pathogenic organisms, some
organisms either a) do not associate with the
indicator or b) are accumulated over time in
finfish/shellfish tissues.  Therefore, it would
be of interest to have methods available for
these types of organisms to provide an
additional level of protection for the public.
  a. What organisms may be present at
  levels that would cause disease endpoint in
  humans when indicator levels are
  acceptable? The Gulf of Mexico Program
  Public Health Focus Team has already
  identified Norwalk virus as one of the
  agents of concern. Research in this  area
  should focus not only on the organisms
  themselves but also on the dose of the
  organism that would be necessary to evoke
  a disease response.
  b. Is there a method available to rapidly
  detect the organism of interest?
  Cultivation and detection of some
  organisms can be quite difficult given the
  requirements of the organism and/or the
  matrix from which the  organism is being
  extracted i.e. shellfish tissue. Research in
  this area should be focused toward rapid
  and accurate detection of the causative
  organisms identified above.
3. Pathogen Source Tracking
   Identification of fecal bacteria sources is
necessary  for accurate interpretation of the
indicators. Non-point source runoff from
forests, pasturelands, and urban areas can
carry the fecal material of domestic and feral
animals into recreational waters.  Animal and
waterfowl have been recorded as the cause of
a beach advisories and closings. As
                                            37

-------
regulatory agencies move towards conducting
Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) for
many of these waterbodies, it would be of
interest to identify the true source of the
bacteria so that adequate reduction strategies
can be targeted to an area.
   a.   What are the best methodologies to
use to conduct source tracing?  Currently,
source tracing methodologies include
ribotyping and restriction patterning.
Research should focus on which
methodologies produce consistent and
specific results.
   b.   Of the methodologies identified
above, what is the  minimum dataset necessary
to construct a valid library of sources?  All
methodologies require that representative
animals in the watershed be sampled to
assemble a library of bacterial types
associated with each animal. Research should
be focused on the actual number of animals of
a given species that need to be sampled to
give a valid representation of the microbial
flora associated with that species.
   c.   To what geographic extent can a
bacterial library be applied? Once a library is
constructed, it would be of interest to know
where such a library can be applied so that
reconstruction would not be necessary.
Research should focus on the variability of
microbial flora in animal species within a
watershed, in adjoining watersheds, and
elsewhere to resolve this question.
Public Health Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Dr. Fredrick Kopfler
    Gulf of Mexico Program Office, MS
    Phone:228-688-2712
    E-mail: kopfler.fredigiepa.gov

    Thomas Herrington
    FDA, MS
    Phone: 228-688-7941
    E-mail: herrington.tom(g),epa.gov

Expert Panel Co-Leaders:

    Joel Hansel, Federal Co-Chair
    EPA REGION 4
    Atlanta Federal Building 15TH Floor
    6 IForsyth Street SW
    Atlanta, GA 30303-8960
    Phone: 404-562-9274
 Fax: 404-562-9224
 Email: hansel.joel(giepa.gov

 Jeff Lotz, State Co-Chair
 Associate Professor
 Department of Coastal Sciences
 University of Southern Mississippi
   Gulf Coast Research Laboratory
 P.O. Box 7000
 Ocean Springs, MS 39566
 Phone: 228-872-4247
 Fax: 228-872-4204
 email: j eff.lotzigjusm. edu

 Tom Herrington
 FDA
 Building 1103, Room 202
 Stennis Space Center, MS 39529
 Phone: 601-688-7940
 Fax:  601-688-2709
 Email:
 (Washington)
 Email: bigtom2@bellsouth.net (Home)

 Angela Ruple
 National Marine Fisheries Service
 P.O. Drawer 1207
 Pascagoula, MS 39567
 Phone:  228-762-7402 ext. 312
 Fax: 228-769-9200
 Email: aruple@triton.pas.nmfs.gov

 Carol Dorsey
 Alabama Dept. of Public Health
 757 Museum Drive
 Mobile, AL 36608
 Phone:  (251)344-6049
 Fax:(251)344-6895
 Email: caroldorsev@adeph.state.al.us

Dr. Joan Rose
University of South Florida
Department of Marine Science
Mail Code MSL119
140 Seventh Avenue
St. Petersburg, FL  33701
Phone:(727)553-1130
Fax:(727)553-1189
Email:
                                          38

-------
17. Public Health Focus Area - Toxic
    Substances Research Topic

                     : Amount of toxic
substances and chemical compounds entering
the environment in the recent years decreased
significantly due to the great effort of
established federal, state and local programs.
However, as reported reductions of chemical
releases continue, the presence of new and
more persistent toxic substances rises a
concern today. The Toxic Release  Inventory
data lists more then 600 chemicals and
chemical categories, many of them are
carcinogens, reproductive or developmental
toxicants.
   The coastal region of the Gulf of Mexico
has experienced rapid economic and, as a
result, development growth. The industrial,
municipal, and agricultural activities
associated with this development contribute
toxic substances to Gulf waters from
operations, permitted discharges, stormwater
runoff, and accidental releases. According to
Toxic Release Inventory data  (TRI 1998-
1999) all five Gulf of Mexico  states are listed
in the top 25 states nationally for total
chemical emissions to the environment. The
Gulf of Mexico region has more permitted
point sources of pollution than any other
region in the US (USDOC 1990), and some of
the industrial and municipal facilities
discharge wastes directly into the waters of
the Gulf or the surrounding estuaries (Weber
et al. 1992). This direct exposure to hazardous
wastes is a problem particularly in estuarine
and other protected coastal areas where waste
inputs are usually concentrated and where the
dispersion and dilution, which occur rapidly
in the open ocean, are delayed by restricted
interchange with general oceanic circulation.
As persistence and concentrations  increase,
certain elemental contaminants, synthetic
organic compounds, nutrients, and other
substances contained in wastes may reach
levels, which can cause undesirable
environmental effects.
   There are two basic ways by which
chemical contaminants can affect marine
resources: 1) by directly affecting the exposed
organism's health and survival, and 2)
contaminating fisheries resources that other
species, including humans, may consume.
   Fish and shellfish consumption is
generally the major route of human exposure
to toxic chemicals from the Gulf system. The
effects of many single toxic compounds are
fairly well established, however,
bioaccumulation rates vary significantly for
different contaminants and for different
organisms. It is difficult to establish the
potential degree of human health hazard
posed by their presence in seafood, the form
in which they exist, and the impact of other
coexisting chemical agents. The health effects
of exposure to complex chemical mixtures
and repeat intermittent exposures needs to be
studied.
   To provide credible and balanced guidance
for protecting the valuable  resources of the
Gulf of Mexico, there is a need to carefully
and clearly determine which of the biological
effects in our coastal waterways are due to
contaminants, and their relative importance.
Such information, combined with the
knowledge of the levels at which
contaminants have toxic effects in biota, is
crucial in providing rational guidelines for
establishing sediment and water quality
standards, and for setting criteria for natural
resource damage assessment and subsequent
restoration of degraded habitats. It is
important that research and scientific
assessment is integrated with policy and
regulatory activities to design and  implement
a comprehensive strategy for managing and
protecting the Gulf of Mexico resources.
                  : Identify appropriate
approaches to reduce, control, and where
possible, eliminate the adverse impacts to
human health and the environment from toxic
substances and pesticides in the Gulf of
Mexico area.

Major Gulf of Mexico research objectives
and actions:
   The following addressed research
objectives are identified with decreasing
priority.
1. Evaluate existing databases and promote
  development of valid methods of data
  collection and analysis.
 a. Identify the contaminants of concern
 with the most  significant potential for
 impact on human health and the
                                           39

-------
 environment to assist state and local
 governments in making risk management
 decisions,
 b. Incorporate background information
 into a toxic contaminants database to allow
 assessing the extent and severity of
 contamination; including quantifiable
 information about sources of
 contamination, surface water discharge,
 atmospheric deposition,
 c. Verify valid methodology and
 procedures for sampling and analysis to
 ensure adequate precision, accuracy and
 consistency to allow comparisons across
 the Gulf, including proper QA/QC
 documentation to allow correct evaluation,
 (priority: medium)
 d. Review and develop criteria to evaluate
 existing toxicity data with documentation
 of organism's size, age, sex, physiological
 stage of development and tissue type, and
 to prepare an inventory report, (priority:
 low)
2. Characterize factors, which support
  exposure identification and risk
  assessment.
 a. Characterize chemical-specific risks to
 provide a guidance to state health agencies
 and Industry, and justify regulatory or site-
 specific decisions,
 b. Improve existing models of prediction
 of environmental fate, duration and
 route(s) of exposure to chemical
 contaminants to ensure appropriate
 implementation of a risk assessment
 c. Identify effects of repeated exposure of
 an individual organism/ target population
 to contaminant with respect to level of
 health hazard posed to a consumer from
 the consumption of Gulf seafood,
 d. Establish baseline values for chemical
 residues and dose- responses to be able to
 identify problems promptly and to support
 assessment of ecosystem-level effects and
 public health risks caused by exposure to
 multiple toxic substances,
 e. Include in an experimental design
 physical, chemical and biological factors
 to determine mean baseline values and to
 understand toxicity changes with the
 seasonal  variability associated with those
 parameters.

References:
   Department of Commerce 1990,
   Estuaries of the United States: Vital
   Statistics of a National Resource Base.
   NOAA, National Ocean Service
   Toxics Release Inventory, 1998 and
   1999
   Weber M., Townsend R.T., Bierce R.
   1992, Environmental Quality in the
   Gulf of Mexico: A Citizen's Guide.
   Center for Marine Conservation.
   Washington DC

Toxic Substances Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Barbara Montwill, Federal Co-Chair
    U.S. FDA, Washington, D.C.
    CFSAN, Office of Seafood
    200 "C" Street,  S.W.
    Washington, D.C. 20204
    202-418-3158
    Email: barbara.montwill(g),cfsan.fda.gov

    Henry Folmar, State Co-Chair
    Mississippi Department of
      Environmental Quality
    Office of Pollution Control Laboratory
    1542 Old Whitfield Road
    Pearl, MS 39208
    601-664-3910
    Email: Henry folmarigjdeq.state.ms.us

Expert Panel Members

    Brian Cain
    U.S. Fish and Wildlife Services
    17629 El Camino  Real, Suite211
    Houston, TX 77058
    Phone:281-286-8282
    Email: Brian  Cain(gjfws.gov

    Peter Chapman, Ph.D.
    US EPA Environmental Effects
    Research Laboratory
    Gulf Ecology Division
    Sabine Island Drive
    Glf Breeze, FL  32561
    Phone: 850-934-9261
    Email: Chapman.Peter(giepamail.epa.gov

    Julia  S. Lytle, Ph.D.
    The University  of Southern Mississippi
    Gulf Coast Research Lab Campus
    P.O. Box 7000
    Ocean Springs,  MS 39564
                                          40

-------
     Phone: 228-872-4265
     Email: julia.rytle(giusm.edu

     Richard Pierce, Ph.D.
     Mote Marine Laboratory
     1600 Thompson Parkway
     Sarasota, FL 34236
     Phone: 941-388-4441
     Email: rich@mote.org

     Terry L. Wade, Ph.D.
     Texas A&M University
     Environmental Science, Geochemical
     and Environmental Research Group
     833 Graham Road
     College Station, Texas 77845
     TAMU Mail Stop 3149
     Phone: 979-862-2323 EXT  134
     Fax: 979-862-2361
     Email: terry(gigerg.tamu.edu

GMPResearch Topics
18. Invasive Species Focus Area - Invasive
Species Research Topic
   Note: In recognition of the extensive past
efforts in assessing the scientific knowledge
and uncertainties related to Invasive Species
conducted by the Characterization Report
Workgroup, as ad-hoc working subcommittee
of the Gulf of Mexico Program Invasive
Species Focus Team, and for consistency, the
materials contained in this research needs
document were abstracted from "An Initial
Survey of Invasive Aquatic Species Issues in
the Gulf of Mexico Region ". Reference
should be made to this and referenced
predecessor documents for greater detail.

                          : The
transformation of the natural environment and
worldwide transport of people and cargo have
facilitated the introduction of invasive species
at a rate that overshadows natural rates of
species movement (OTA 1993, Mack et al.
2000). It's been estimated that about 50,000
invasive plant, animal, and microbial species
have been introduced into the U.S. (Pimentel
et al. 1999) and, of these, over 6,500 have
established populations (Williams & Meffe
1999). Only a subset of these established
invasive  species directly threaten the diversity
or abundance of native species or the
ecological sustainability of occupied
ecosystems. It's been estimated that the
overall economic loss due to invasive species
is more than $138 billion per year (Pimentel
etal. 1999).
   A subtropical climate and abundant
aquatic habitats make the Gulf region
naturally hospitable to invasive aquatic
species (Devine 1998, Cox 1999).  The region
is even more vulnerable to invasive aquatic
species due to the magnitude and variety of
introduction pathways created by, for
example, i) large numbers of people, vessels,
and airplanes, and large volumes of cargo,
coming through multiple large-scale,
international ports and airports, ii) year-round,
cross-state recreational boating, fishing, and
other aquatic recreational activities, iii) the
Gulf Intracoastal Waterway and Mississippi
River, which provide the 5 Gulf states with an
aquatic connection to more than half of the 48
states in the continental U.S. and iv)
substantial horticultural and aquarium trade
industries import, breed, grow-out, and
warehouse a large variety of invasive aquatic
species. Once established in large aquatic
ecosystems, eradication of aquatic invasive
species is almost impossible (Howells 1999,
Benson 2000).

                        : Aquatic invasive
species directly threaten native species and
ecosystems and regional and national
economic systems. Ecological impacts can
include i) loss of or declines in native species
due to competition for food and space,
predation, habitat alterations, and the
introduction of diseases and parasites, ii)
changes in ecosystem structure and function,
iii) rearrangement of tropic relations, or iv)
genetic effects through hybridization and
interbreeding (Mills et al. 1994, Williams and
Meffe  1999, Benson, 2000).
   In March 2000, the Research
Subcommittee of the GMP Monitoring,
Modeling, and Research Committee, assisted
by the Invasive Species Focus Team Co-
Chairs, defined the Priority Research
Questions for the GMP's Invasive  Species
Focus Area. These Priority Research
Questions were further refined by the ISFT,
which served as the Expert Panel, in June
2000.
                                           41

-------
1.  What methods, data, or models are
required to assess the potential human
health and/or ecological risks associated
with invasive species introductions?
 a. What predictive associations/models
 are required to assess species and
 source locations that pose a high risk to
 Gulf waters?
 b. What laboratory and field methods,
 data, and models are required to assess
 both human health and ecological risks
 associated with introductions of
 invasive species?
2.  What is the ecological and economic
extent and effects of invasive species in
the Gulf?
 a. What invasive species are present in
 the Gulf  and what are their economic,
 human health, and ecological effects?
 b. What methods, models, and data are
 required to detect and track subsequent
 invasions and spread of invasive
 species in Gulf watersheds and Gulf-
 wide?
3.  What invasive species are transported
to  and released into Gulf ports from ship
ballast?
 a. What methods are needed to monitor
 compliance of ballast exchange in the
 Gulf of Mexico?
 b. What are the characteristics of
 biological (taxa and quantity)
 contamination of ballast discharges into
 major Gulf ports?
 c. What is the anticipated 10-year
 shipping forecast for Gulf ports?
 d. What methods are needed to detect
 unknown species in ballast water
 released into the Gulf, or to monitor
 for worst case scenarios like human
 pathogens and/or plant pathogens?
 e. What are the ecological
 vulnerabilities, associated with invasive
 species, of particular Gulf areas subject
 to shipping pressures?
4.  What are the ecological risks  associated
with the introduction of invasive viruses
into Gulf waters from aquaculture and
seafood processing? At the same time,
what are the risks associated with viruses
that enter aquaculture facilities from a
variety of sources, including stocked
shrimp, processing wastes carried into
ponds by birds, etc.
   a.  What simple biological/chemical
   indicators are required to determine the
   presence/absence of shrimp viruses in
   environmental samples?
   b.  What biological indicators are
   required to routinely monitor for the
   presence of viruses in wild populations
   of commercially important species?
   c.  What are the chemical and biological
   characteristics of effluent from aquaculture
   and seafood processing plants that might
   affect the Gulf, or other areas receiving
   aquaculture products?
  5. What technologies might prevent and/or
  control invasive species introductions?
   a.  What techniques are effective in the
   shipboard treatment of ballast water?
   b.  What are the best management/treatment
   practices to identify and control the release of
   shrimp viruses and other microorganisms
   from aquaculture and  seafood processing
   plants, or to other areas receiving aquaculture
   products?
   The following specific research needs
were defined by the ISFT Co-Chairs, and
refined by the ISFT in June 2000. They are
organized by generic topic areas, and listed
without regard to priority.
  1. Risk Analysis
   a.  Determine what methods, data, or
   models are required to assess the risk of
   trade pathways and trade partner
   sources associated with invasive
   species introductions.
  2. Prevention of New Introductions
   a.  Determine preventive strategies and
   develop model control mechanisms.
   b.  Develop risk assessments for
   potential and initial presence of
   invasive aquatic  species.
   c.  Inventory Gulf marine waters for
   invasive species.
  3. Reducing the Spread of Established
  Populations
   a.  Develop basin specific  and Gulfwide
quantitative databases to pinpoint and track
invasions and spread of invasive aquatic
species.
   b.  Conduct a Gulfwide status and trends
analysis on invasive species (aquatic and
terrestrial) to include, but not limited to,
species, geographic distribution, habitat
                                          42

-------
types(s) invaded, impacts, rate of spread,
modes of spread, environmental requirements,
etc.
   c.  Develop monitoring protocols that can
be incorporated into existing water quality
monitoring to identify presence of unknown
species or changes in ecology that might be
attributed to an introduction. Data would be
made available for local follow-up or agency
follow-up, as appropriate.
   d.  Inventory Gulf marine waters for
invasive species.
  4. Ballast Water: Management and
  Treatment
   a.  Determine levels of research activity
   on ballast water treatment
   b.  Determine what methods, data, or
   models are  required to assess the risk of
   ballast water pathways and trade
   partner sources associated with
   invasive species introductions.
   c.  Develop mechanisms to ensure that
   open ocean exchanges have been
   performed (a USCG research project).
   d.  Develop mechanisms to regulate
   ballast water discharge.  Refine
   methods/procedures for monitoring
   compliance of ballast exchange in the
   Gulf of Mexico.
   e.  Characterize biological contents
   (taxa, levels) of ballast discharges in
   major ports.
   f  Establish a long-term  database (10+
   years) of shipping activities of Gulf
   Ports.
   g.  Determine the effectiveness of
   ballast water exchange (90 percent for
   commercial vessels  and 2 times for
   military vessels) in achieving percent
   kill or removal of organisms in the
   ballast water column and sediments.
   h.  Determine the effectiveness of
   ballast water exchange (90 percent for
   commercial vessels  and 2 times for
   military vessels) in preventing the
   establishment of reproducing, self-
   sustaining populations of invasive
   aquatic organisms. The research
   question here is what critical population
   densities are needed for a successful
   invasion (establishment).
   i. Determine the effectiveness of
   alternate compliance technologies
   (ballast water treatments) in achieving
   percent kill or removal of ballast
   organisms and in the prevention of
   established populations of invasive
   aquatic species.
  5. Ballast Water: Ecosystem Effects
   a.  Determine what methods, data, or
   models are required to assess the risk of
   ballast water pathways and trade
   partner sources associated with species
   introductions.
   b. Determine the ecosystem
   vulnerability to invasive aquatic species
   of the major Gulf ports and adjacent
   inland waters. (This might be done by
   comparing environmental parameters of
   Gulf ports with those of the primary
   foreign ports of origin (ports where
   ballast is collected) for the majority of
   shipping at each Gulf port destination.)
   c.  Determine similar vulnerabilities for
   aquaculture and water garden imports,
   handling, marketing, etc. through the
   Gulf region.
  6. Shrimp Viruses
   a.  Develop and test Best Management
   Practices (BMP) for identification and
   control of shrimp viruses during the
   delivery of seafood.
   b.  Develop simple probe(s) for
   determining the presence/absence of
   shrimp viruses.
   c.  Establish a monitoring program/protocol
   to test for the presence of virus in wild
   shrimp populations.
   d.  While the research needs represent a
   broad area of research, those related to
   shrimp viruses and ballast water, the first
   two primary topics related to the Gulf of
   Mexico Program's Invasive Species issue
   area, are of greatest importance.
Major Deliverables: (None specified)

References:

   "An Initial Survey of Invasive Aquatic
   Species Issues in the Gulf of Mexico
   Region," Non-indigenous Species Focus
   Team, Gulf of Mexico Program, Working
   Draft  Version 3.0, May 21, 2001.
   [EPA855-R-00-03, September, 2000].
   Benson, A.J.  2000.  Documenting Over a
   Century of Aquatic Introductions in the
   United States.  In: Claudi, R. and J.H.
   Leach (eds.) 2000. Nonindigenous
                                           43

-------
   Freshwater Organisms:  Vectors, Biology,
   and Impacts. Lewis Publishers, Boca
   Raton, Florida. Chapter 1, pp. 1-31.
   Cox, G.W. 1999. Alien Species in North
   America and Hawaii:  Impacts on Natural
   Systems. Island Press, Washington, B.C.
   Devine, R.S.  1998. Alien Invasion:
   America's Battle with Non-Native Animals
   and Plants. National Geographic Society,
   Washington, D.C.
   Howells, R.G.  1999. Guide to
   identification of Harmful and Potentially
   Harmful Fishes, Shellfishes and Aquatic
   Plants Prohibited in Texas. A publication
   of Texas Parks & Wildlife Department,
   Austin, Texas.  Special publication number
   PWD BK T3200-376 (11/99).
   Mills, E.L., J.R. Chrisman, and K.T.
   Holeck.  The Role of Canals in the Spread
   of Nonindigenous Species in North
   America. In:  Claudi, R. and  J.H. Leach
   (eds.) 2000. Nonindigenous Freshwater
   Organisms: Vectors Biology and Impacts.
   Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton, Florida.
   OTA (Office of Technology Assessment),
   United States Congress.  1993. Harmful
   Nonindigenous Species in the United
   States. Washington, D.C.  391pp.
   Pimentel, D.L. Lach, R. Zuniga, and D.
   Morrison.  1999. Environmental and
   economic costs associated with non-
   indigenous species in the United States. A
   publication of the College of Agriculture
   and Life Sciences, Cornell University,
   Ithaca, New York.  June 12, 1999.
   Williams, J.D. and O.K.  Meffe.  1999.
   Status and Trends of the Nation's
   Biological Resources.  Volume 1. Chapter
   "Factors Affecting Biological Resources-
   Nonindigeous Species".  Pages 117-129.

Invasive Species Focus Team Co-Chairs:

    Dr. Herb Kumpf
    NOAA/NMFS, FL
    (850)234-6541
     herb.kumpfgjnoaa.gov

    Mr. Bill Holland
    Gulf of Mexico Program, MS
    (228) 688-3912
Expert Panel Members: Expert Panel
Members have not been identified.

    Herb Kumpf (Federal Co-Lead)
    NOAA, NMFS
    Panama City Laboratory,
    3500 Delwood Beach Road
    Panama City, FL 32408
    Phone: (850)234-6541
    Fax:  (850)235-3559
    E-mail:  herb.kumpfginoaa.gov

The Characterization Report Workgroup
Members for "An Initial  Survey of Invasive
Aquatic Species in the Gulf of Mexico Region
included:
    Marilyn Barrett-O'Leary, Louisiana Sea
    Grant Program
    Henry Folmar, Mississippi Department of
    Environmental Quality
    Pam Fuller, U.S. Geological Survey
    Bill Holland, Gulf of Mexico Program
    Herb Kumpf, National Marine Fisheries
    Service
    Ron Lukens, Gulf States Marine
    Fisheries Commission
    Dan Roberts, Florida Fish and
    Wildlife Conservation Commission
                                         44

-------
APPENDIX A. RESEARCH SUB-COMMITTEE MEMBERS
ORGANIZATIONAL REPRESENTATIVES
Amone, Robert
Naval Research Lab., MS
Baynham, Linda
Governor's Ocean Studies,
LA
Carlton, John
Dept. Env. Mgmt., AL
Costa-Pierce, Barry *
Gulf Coast Research Lab.,
MS
Crozier, George
Dauphin Island Sea Lab.,
AL
Dagg, Michael
LA Universities Marine
Consortium
Deegen, Fred
Dept. of Marine Resources,
MS
Dyer, Norman
US EPA, Region 6
Ferry, Roland
US EPA, Region 4
Finch, Terry
DuPont White Pigment and
Mineral Products
Grimes, Jay
Gulf Coast Research Lab.,
MS
Haddad, Ken
Fl Marine Research
Institute, FL
Jones, Ken
Texas A&M University-
Galveston
Kindinger, Jack
U.S. Geological Survey, FL
Kumpf, Herb
Natl. Marine Fisheries
Service,
FL
Leming, Thomas
Natl. Marine Fisheries
Service,
MS
Longley William
TX Water Development
Board
Marcus, Nancy
Florida State University, FL
Matsumoto, Junji
Texas Water Development
Board
McKinney, Larry
TX Parks & Wildlife
Department
Montagna, Paul
U. TX Marine Sciences
Institute

Osgood, Kenric
NOAA Coastal Oceans
Programs
Powell, Gary
TX Water Development
Board
Raab, Daniel
Dupont Agri. Products, TX
Robertson, Andy
National Ocean Service,
MD
Roscigno, Pasquale
Department of Interior, LA
St. Pe, Kerry
Nicholls State University,
LA
Turner, Elizabeth
Coastal Oceans Program,
MD
Villareal, Tracy
The University of Texas
Wiesenberg, Denis
Gulf Coast Research Lab.,
MS
Wilhour, Raymond **
EPA, FL

* State Co-Chair of Research Sub-Committee
** Federal Co-Chair of Research Sub-Committee
                               45

-------
APPENDIX A. RESEARCH SUB-COMMITTEE MEMBERS
TECHNICAL EXPERT REPRESENTATIVES
Invasive Species
Kumpf, Herb
Natl. Marine Fisheries
Service, FL
Estuarine Hypoxia
Flemer, David
EPA, D.C.
Pennock, Jonathan
University of Alabama
Coastal Hvpoxia
Scavia, Don
NOAA, MD
Rabalais, Nancy
Louisiana U. Marine
HarmfuVNuisance
Algal Blooms
Greene, Rick
EPA, FL
Steidinger, Karen
FL Marine Research
Institute
Atmospheric Deposition
Ackermann, John
EPA, GA
Sherwell, John
Dept. Natural Resources,
MD
Emergent Coastal
Wetlands
Proffitt, Ed
USGS/BRD, LA
Steyer, Greg
LA Dept. of Natural
Resources
Seagrasses
Onuff, Chris
USGS/BRD, TX
Haddad, Ken
Florida Marine Research
Institute
Public Health - Pathogens
Hansel, Joel
EPA, GA
Lotz, Jeff
Gulf Coast Research Lab.,
MS
Public Health - Toxic
Substances
Montwill, Barbara
U.S. FDA, Washington,
D.C.
Folmar, Henry
DEQ, MS
 Consortium
                               46

-------
                Gulf of Mexico Program Office
                     EPA-855-R-03-003
                  http: //www. epa. go v/gmpo
                         May 2003
EPA-855-R-03-003
May 2003

-------