NATIONAL
 ESTUARY
 PROGRAM
RESPONDING  TO  CLIMATE  CHANGE
Natural resources in the Delaware Estuary are certain to be affected by climate change, and the Partnership for the Delaware Estuary (PDE) is working to
meet the adverse effects head on. The PDE has partnered with the U.S. EPA to begin developing a climate adaptation strategy as one of six national pilots
taking part in the Climate Ready Estuaries Initiative. PDE plans to work with collaborators in the watershed to start evaluating the vulnerability of example
resources that are likely to be most at risk.
The climate adaptation strategy will also furnish recommendations about how to prioritize what can and should be done to monitor and protect the most valuable and vulnerable
features. The goal is to provide new guidance on monitoring and management actions and policies that may help sustain maximum "natural capital" for life-sustaining natural
resources in the Delaware Estuary.

THE NATIONAL  ESTUARY PROGRAM IN ACTION                             Partnership for the Delaware  Estuary
PDE's first step in its climate ad-
aptation project is to work with
partners to assess the vulner-
ability and adaptation needs for
up to three critical "case study"
resources in the Estuary: tidal
wetlands, drinking water, and bi-
valve shellfish.  Each case study
will  include specific activities
such as inventorying potential
climate impacts to the case study
resources, performing data gap
analyses and  risk assessment
for case study resources, pri-
oritizing concerns relative to the
degree of potential risk, outlining
an "early detection" monitoring
framework to watch for warning
                                                                                        signs of key response variables
                                                                                        and thresholds, and identifying
                                                                                        management actions  to help
                                                                                        mitigate for  potential climate
                                                                                        impacts.

                                                                                        These natural resources were
                                                                                        selected because they are im-
                                                                                        portant for the vitality of both
                                                                                        people and the environment and
                                                                                        because current scientific judg-
                                                                                        ment suggests that they may be
                                                                                        particularly at risk from climate
                                                                                        changes  because of threats
                                                                                        imposed by  increased salinity
                                                                                        and sea levels. Extensive tidal
                                                                                        marshes line much of the Dela-
                                                                                        ware Estuary where they play
 EFFECTIVE
                   EFFICIENT
ADAPTIVE
COLLABORATIVE

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                                 a pivotal role in preserving wa-
                                 ter quality, preventing flooding,
                                 and supporting fish and wildlife
                                 species. Currently, the health of
                                 these tidal marshes appears to
                                 be compromised over much of
                                 the region.

                                 Tidal marsh extent and condition
                                 are affected by sea level, salinity,
                                 temperature, freshwater  inputs,
                                 sediment supply, tidal flooding,
                                 and the  physical  characteris-
                                 tics of  the landscape. Climate
                                 change is expected to lead to in-
                                 creased storm energy, increased
                                 rates of sea level  and salinity
                                 rise, decreased sediment supply,
                                 and increased erosion. Freshwa-
                                 ter and estuarine bivalves  are
                                 excellent indicators  of ecosys-
                                 tem conditions. Where they  are
                                 still  abundant they also furnish
                                 important  ecosystem  services
                                 by forming  complex  habitats,
                                 stabilizing  the  bottom, and  fil-
                                 tering water. A few species  are
commercially  important,  such
as oysters, which still support a
multimillion-dollar  industry de-
spite being depleted in numbers.
Understandably, bivalve shellfish
are living resources having high
natural capital value in the Dela-
ware  Estuary. The geographic
scope of the climate adaptation
project will include the Delaware
Estuary and its watershed.

PDE is creating a Climate Change
Workgroup in association with its
Science and Technical Advisory
Committee and plans to release
a  Climate  Adaptation  Report
on  the vulnerability,   monitor-
ing needs, and potential actions
that can be taken to sustain the
"natural capital" associated with
the three case studies.

Visitwww.delawareestuary.org
to learn  more  about this and
other Partnership efforts.
EPA's National Estuary  Program
(NEP) is a unique and successful
coastal watershed-based program
established  in  1987 under the
Clean  Water Act Amendments.
The NEP involves the public and
collaborates with partners to pro-
tect, restore, and maintain the wa-
ter quality and ecological integrity
of 28 estuaries of national signifi-
cance located in 18 coastal states
and Puerto Rico.

For more information about the
NEP  go to  www.epa.gov/owow/
estuaries.
The NEP:  Implementing the Clean Water Act in ways that are  Effective, Efficient, Adaptive, and Collaborative.
                                                                             EPA-842F09001

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