vvEPA
              United States
              Environmental Protection
              Agency
              Office of Policy
              Planning and Evaluation
              Washington DC 20460
EPA 230-09/88-038
September 1988
The  Municipal Sector Study

Impacts  of Environmental
Regulations  on
Municipalities
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                 MUNICIPAL  SECTOR  STUDY
IMPACTS OF ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS ON MUNICIPALITIES
                                Prepared for

             Sector Study Steering Committee,  Robert Wayland (Chair)
                      U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                             401 M Street, S.W.
                           Washington, D.C. 20460
                              September 1988
                                    by

                       Jasbinder Singh (Project Manager)
                         Raffael Stein, Sanjay Chandra

                      Policy Planning  & Evaluation,  Inc.
                       8521 Leesburg Pike,  Suite  310
                           Vienna, Virginia 22180
                                    &
                                Brett Snyder

                           Office of Policy Analysis
                     U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency

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                      ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
    Policy  Planning & Evaluation,  Inc.,  wishes  to acknowledge  and
express its appreciation  to the  people  who  provided valuable assistance
and information  for  conducting this study.   We  thank the  Program Offices
in  EPA for  providing us  with  data on  the  costs  of environmental
regulations and programs. Our sincere appreciation goes  to the hundreds
of municipal officials across the United  States  who  sent  us extensive
information on their  financial  systems  and  helped  us  compile  our
fnancial database.

    We would also like to thank Mr.  Philip Dearborn,  who provided PP&E
with  expert  advice on municipal  finance  from  time  to time, and  who
helped develop  the computer model used  in this study. Finally,  we wish
to express our  sincere thanks to Messrs Robert Wayland and Ralph Luken
of EPA's  Office  of  Policy  Planning and  Evaluation,  whose untiring
efforts and valuable  guidance  were  instrumental in producing this
report.

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                                   TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                    Page  No.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 	         i
  I.   INTRODUCTION	        I -1
      A.   PURPOSE OF THE STUDY	        I -1
      B.   LOCAL  GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES/COSTS TO HOUSEHOLDS..        1-4
      C.   UNDERSTANDING  FINANCING  MECHANISMS 	        1-8
      D.   ORGANIZATION OF THE  REPORT	        1-10
 II.   METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY	        11 -1
      A.   GENERAL METHODOLOGY	        11 -1
          1.  Development  of  Financial Database	        II-l
          2.  Development  of Cost Database  	        II-3
          3.  Determination of  Weighted Average  Costs  	        II-4
          4.  Development  of the MUNFIN Model  	        II-4
          5.  Determination of  Impacts of Regulations  	        II-5
      B.   CRITERIA  FOR DETERMINING  IMPACTS	        11 - 5
          1.  User Charge  Impacts	        II-7
          2.  Ability to Raise  Capital 	        II-7
              a. Ability to Issue Revenue Bonds  in  the
                   Long  Term	        11 - 8
              b. Ability to Issue Revenue Bonds  in  the
                 Short Term	        II-9
              c. Ability to Issue General Obligation  Bonds  ...        II-9
      C.   DESCRIPTION OF REGULATIONS  	        11-11
          1.  Drinking Water Regulations  	        11-11
          2.  Sewer System Regulations 	        11-12
          3.  Solid Waste  Regulations  	        11-13
          4.  Miscellaneous Regulations 	        11-14
III.   IMPACTS OF THE  ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS                   III-l
      A.   COSTS  OF REGULATIONS  	       III-l
      B.   IMPACTS  OF  THE  REGULATIONS	       III-4
          1.  Impacts   on  User  Charges	       III-5
          2.  Impacts  on  Financial  Health  of  Cities	       111-12
              a. Ability to Issue Revenue Bonds  in  the
                  Long Term	       111 -14

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                     TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued)

                                                                   Page No.
       B.  IMPACTS OF  THE REGULATIONS  (Cont'd)
              b. Ability to  Issue  Revenue Bonds in the
                  Short  Term	       111-18
              c. Failure of  Municipalities to Issue
                  General Obligation Bonds 	       111-21
IV.     LIMITATIONS OF  THE STUDY	        IV-1
       A. VALIDITY OF  THE  SAMPLE  OF CITIES		        IV-1
       B. ADJUSTMENTS  IN FINANCIAL CONDITIONS	        IV-1
       C. CONSUMER  WILLINGNESS AND  FINANCIAL ABILITY	        IV-2
       D. LIMITED  AVAILABILITY  OF  INFORMATION 	        IV-4
       E. ENVIRONMENTAL  SERVICES  PROVIDED  BY
            PRIVATE  ORGANIZATIONS  	        IV-4
       F.  CONSTRAINTS ON LOCAL GOVERNMENT DEBT FINANCING	        IV-5
           1. Tax  and Expenditure Restrictions	        IV-5
           2.  The  1986  Reform Act	        IV-6
           3. Infrastructure Outlays	        IV-7
       G. BOND  ISSUING PROCESS 	       IV-10
V.     POLICY CONSIDERATIONS 	        V-l
       A.  PUBLIC EDUCATION  INITIATIVES 	        V-l
       B.  TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE INITIATIVES 	        V-l
           1.  Technical  Assistance 	        V-l
           2. Public partnerships  	        v~2
           3. Regionalizations   	        V-2
       C.  FINANIAL  INITIATIVES 	        V-3
           1. Reform of  Existing Rate Structures 	        V-3
           2.  Development  Taxes 	        V-3
           3. Special  Revenue  Districts	        V-4
           4. Enterprise Fund  Management	        V-4
           5. Direct  Financial Assistance   	        V-4
       D.  OTHER  ACTIONS  	        V-5
           1.  Extended Compliance  Schedules	        V-5
           2. Privatization	        V-5
       E.  ADDITIONAL  RESEARCH	        V-6
APPENDICES

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                               LIST  OF  TABLES

                                                                   Page  No.

Table 1       Potential Cumulative  Impact  of  Environmental
              Regulations  -  Percent  Increase  in Household
              User Charges  	        iii

Table 2       Potential Increase  in  Annual User Charge Due
              to  Environmental  Regulations	          v

Table 3       Potential Impact  of  EPA  Regulations  on the
              Ability of Water  and  Sewer Systems to  Issue
              Revenue Bonds/Obtain Bank  Loans in the Long Term       vii

Table 4       Potential Impact  of  EPA  Regulations  on the
              Ability of Municipalities  to Issue General
              Obligation Bonds/Obtain Bank  Loans	         ix

Table III-l   Number of Municipalities Potentially Affected by
              Drinking Water  Regulations	        III-2

Table III-2   Potential Weighted Average Capital and O&M Costs
              for Additional  EPA  Regulations	        III-3

Table III-3   Potential Cumulative  Impact  of  Environmental
              Regulations  -  Percent  Increase  in Household
              User Charges  	        III-7

Table III-4   Potential Cumulative  Impact  of  Environmental
              Regulations  -  Post-Regulatory  User  Charges
              As Percent of  Household  Income	         III-8

Table III-5   Potential Increase  in  Annual User Charge Due
              To Environmental  Regulations	        III-ll

Table III-6   Potential Impact  of  Drinking Water Regulations-
              Post-Regulatory User  Charges as Percent of
              Household Income	        111-15

Table III-7   Potential Impact  of  Wastewater  Regulations-
              Post-Regulatory User  Charges as Percent
              of Household  Income	        111-16

Table III-8   Potential Impact  of  EPA  Regulations  on the
              Ability of Water  and  Sewer Systems to  Issue
              Revenue Bonds/Obtain Bank  Loans in the Long Term       111-17

Table III-9   Potential Impact  of  EPA  Regulations  on the
              Ability of Sewer  and Water Systems to  Issue
              Revenue Bonds/Obtain Bank  Loans in the Short  Term      111-20

Table 111-10  Potential Impact  of  EPA  Regulations  on the
              Ability of Municipalities  to Issue General
              Obligation Bonds/Obtain Bank  Loans	        111-22

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                        LIST OF TABLES (CONTD/
                                                                    Page  No.
Table III-ll  Potential  Impact of Miscellaneous  and  Solid
              Waste Regulations on the Ability of  Cities  to
              Issue General  Obligation Bonds/Bank  Loans	

Table IV-1    Three National Needs Studies:  Comparison
              of Annual  Capital  Investment Requirements	

Table IV-2    Three National Needs Studies:  Comparison
              of Annual  Capital  Investment  Shortfalls	


                           LIST  OF FIGURES


FIGURE 1      Current and Potential Additional Average  Annual
              Household Costs for Environmental  Services 	

FIGURE 1-1    List of Regulations Considered  in  the  Municipal
              Sector Study 	

FIGURE 1-2    Distribution of Municipal  Expenditures
              for  Services  in  1985-86	

FIGURE 1-3    Current   Average   Household   Costs
              for  Environmental  Services	

FIGURE 1-4    Variation in the Cost of Drinking
              Water Services	

FIGURE II-l   General Methodology for Calculating  Impacts
              of Regulations,	

FIGURE III-l  Current and Potential Additional Average  Annual
              Household Costs for Environmental  Services	
111-24
 IV-I
   IV
  1-2
  1-5
  1-6
  1-7
 II-2
111-10

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                            EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY

A.   IMPACTS

    Today,  Federal and  state agencies  charged with  establishing  new
 standards of  safety,  health and  environmental  protection  are redefining
 what  constitutes adequate qualities  of   community  services.   New
 environmental regulations will require that  stricter standards be met by
 suppliers of  drinking water, sewage treatment, and  other  environmental
 services. Most  environmental services are  now operated and  managed by
 local  government authorities (e.g.,  cities,  towns,  counties) .  As  a
 result,  local governments will  be responsible  for  meeting  the stricter
 standards.    The magnitude  and timing  of the additional investments in
 environmental protection  have  raised questions  about the ability of
 municipalities to achieve these  new levels of performance.

    This study examined the  impacts of 22 environmental regulations  that
 municipalities will have  to comply with  in  the near future.   The  study
 calculated the increases  in user  charges per household, and the ability
 of municipalities to raise needed capital by issuing revenue and general
 obligation bonds  -- the  two principal  means of obtaining capital.  The
 evaluation of the results must  take  into  account  two qualifications.
 First,   some  of  the  cost  information  is  preliminary,   because many
 regulations are under development.  The  regulatory  options  and the ways
 to alleviate  the  impacts  of the  regulations  are under  discussion within
 EPA.    The  discussions could lead to results different from those  found
 in this study.   Second,  some of  the regulations will  go  into effect in
 four or five  years and the municipalities appear to have  sufficient  lead
 time to adjust  their  financial  conditions and plan  future  debt  issues.
 The severity  of  impact will  depend on their  willingness,  foresight,  and
 ability to make  needed adjustments.

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    The results  of  the analysis,  based  on  an examination of  the
financial  conditions of  270 municipalities,  suggest the  following:

    1. USER CHARGE IMPACTS

        Small  communities with  populations of fewer  than 2,500
    will experience the  largest user charge increases.   About 20%
    of these communities will experience  cost increases of more
    than 100%  (Table 1) .   The user charges  of  35%  of the  cities in
    this  category will  increase by  50 to 100 percent.  Of the
    cities in the other four categories no city  will  experience
    rate  increases  of more than  100%, and up to 20% of the cities
    will  experience  user charge   increases   of  between  50 and
    100%.  Thus, the small communities  will  experience the  largest
    rate shock  resulting  from the regulations.

       The  environmental expenditures  of  small communities will
    increase from  about 1.3% to more  than 2.0% of the average
    gross  household income   (Figure  1) .    This  translates into
    increased  outlays   of   $170 per   household  per   year  for
    communities with  populations of fewer  than 2,500  (Table 2).
    Residents  in the  largest city size category will  have to
    increase their outlays by  a  little less than 0.5%  of the
    household  income,   but the dollar increase will be  about the
    same  ($160).  The corresponding increases   for other city size
    categories  are much  less — between $70 and $90.

       Depending on  the city size category,   drinking  water and
    wastewater  regulations could contribute significantly to the
    cumulative  household burden.    Water  and wastewater  user
    charges  in  communities with populations of fewer  than 2,500
    will increase by  about  $40 - $45 respectively, or,  in other
    words, these two groups  of regulations  will contribute about
    50% of  the  increase   in  user  charges   for  the  smallest
    communities.  Drinking water  regulations will  increase user
                                  11

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                                  TABLE  1

        POTENTIAL CUMULATIVE  IMPACT  OF ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS
             PERCENT INCREASE IN  HOUSEHOLD USER  CHARGES

Municipality Number
Size of
Category Municipalities
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of Municipalities in the

Increase as percent of current
0- 50% 50 - 100%
45%* 351
90 10
80 20
100 0
80 20
56 29
83 15
Category

charges
> 100%
20%
0
0
0
0
15
2
* This  means  that 45% of the municipalities  in  the 0  -  2,500 category
  will  experience an increase in user charges in the range of 0 - 50%
  above the current  charges.
                                   111

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                 FIGURE  1.   CURRENT AND POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL AVERAGE ANNUAL
                                HOUSEHOLD COSTS  FOR ENVIRONMENTAL  SERVICES
                                   (PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME)
      o
      t
      w
      V)
      I
      *
      *•
      z
      w
      u
                 0-2.5 K    2.5 K - 10 K  10 K - SO K  50 K - 230 1C    >2SOK    NAT'l AVG.
                                       ciTr si?r  CATraowrs
                            CL*REWT CMAHCES                 1V\1 AOOTIONAL CMABCES
           TOO
           COO -
           500 -
                                     (DOUXtS PER HOUSEHOLD)
           3OO
           200 -
           100
                 0-2.5 K    2.5 K - 10 K   10 K - SO K  SO K - 250 K     > 250 K     NAT'I AVG.
                                       CITY SIZE CATEGORIES
                      V/\  CURRENT! CHARGES                  IX\l  ADOITIONAL CHARGES
Source   :  PP&E's Municipal  Database
                                             IV

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                                                   TABLE 2

         POTENTIAL  INCREASE  IN ANNUAL  USER CHARGE  DUE  TO ENVIRONMENTAL  REGULATIONS
                                         (Dollars Per  Household)
Municipality
Size
Category
0 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 250,000
Over 250,000
Number
of
Municipalities
26,315
6,279
2,694
463
59

Drinking
Wastewater Water
$ 45* $ 40
20 15
20 5
20 10
60 15
Types of
Solid
Waste
$ 26
23
32
28
51
Regulations
Miscellaneous
$ 59
32
23
12
34

Cumulative
$ 170
90
80
70
160
* User  charge  increases have been calculated using weighted average  costs  of  new  regulations.
  The costs  that a municipality may incur  will depend on the regulations it has to comply with.

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charges  of  other   communities  by  only  $5  to  $15  per
household.    The wastewater regulations, on the  other hand,
will  increase  the user charges by  about  $60  in  cities with
populations  larger  than  250,000   and  by  about  $20  in
cities  in  the 2,500 to  250 , 000-population categories.
2.  ABIT-TTy Qp ^QVl'HH AND
    TO ISSUE REVENUE BONDS

    Water and sewer systems raise the capital  needed to comply
with environmental  regulations by  pledging future revenues as
security for the loans.   Some of  the water and  sewer systems
may not be  able to issue revenue  bonds  or obtain bank loans
because the  post-regulatory  user charges will  be  very high
when  compared  to  the  income  of  their  customers.  Three
thresholds -- 1.0%,  1.25% and 2.0% -- of  the gross household
income have been used as criteria  for determining the ability
of each  utility system to issue  revenue bonds  in  the long
run.    Because   households  in   approximately    95%   of
municipalities  pay less than 1.25% of the  gross  household
income,  the  impacts are  discussed using  the  lower  two
thresholds.

    On a nation-wide basis  between 9% and 21% of the systems
may find  it difficult  to  issue  revenue  bonds in  the  long
run.   About 26% of the water and  sewer systems in the fewer-
than-2, 500-person  category,   and between  4%  and 11% of  the
systems  in the other  four  categories  may  have  difficulty
issuing revenue bonds in the long term,  if  the threshold of
1.0% is used as the evaluation  criterion  (Table 3) .   On the
other hand,  if  a threshold of 1.25% is used as the criterion,
approximately  12%  of the systems in the fewer-than-2 , 500-
person category and up to 3%  in the other categories may not
be able to issue revenue bonds in the long run. Hence,  water
and sewage systems in communities with populations of  fewer
                              VI

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                                   TABLE   3
    POTENTIAL  IMPACT OF EPA REGULATIONS ON THE  ABILITY OF WATER AND SEWER

     SYSTEMS TO  ISSUE  REVENUE BONDS/ OBTAIN BANK LOANS  IN THE LONG TERM*
Municipality
Size Number of
Category Municipalities
0- 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Systems
Percent of Population
Percent of Systems Which May Fail to
Issue Revenue Bonds In the Long Term *
User
>1.0%
Charge / Household
>1.25%
26% (5 ***) 12% (2)
8 (2)
7 (3)
4 (4)
11 (4)
21 (4)
9 (4)
2 (1)
2 (1)
0 (0)
3 (0)
9 (2)
3 (1)
Income
>2.0%
2% (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
1 (0)
1 (0)
*    A water system or a sewer system fails to issue revenue bonds  in  the
     long term when each individual system fails the user charge  threshold
     of 1.0%,  1.25% or 2.0%.

**   Small communities generally do not issue revenue bonds; instead,  they
     get bank loans that are  backed by  user charges.  The criteria  used  in
     the above tests are applicable to small communities.

*** Percent of systems exceeding  thresholds  prior  to  complying with new
    regulations  (Numbers within parentheses  are  baseline failures).
                                    VII

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than 2,500 and greater  than 250,000 will be most affected by
the new regulations.   Those  systems that cannot  issue revenue
bonds  may have  to  ask communities  supporting them to raise
capital by means of  general  obligation bonds.

3.  ABILITY OF CITIES TO ISSUE GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS

    Cities also  obtain long-term capital by  pledging their
full faith and taxing powers.  The ability of a city to issue
general obligation bonds  (or obtain bank loans that have the
backing of  the taxing  powers)is  evaluated in  this  study by
examining the  ratios  of debt service (after regulations take
effect)  to municipal  revenues,  and  debt  service  to  market
value  of  taxable property.    If both  ratios exceed  their
respective thresholds,  the city is considered unable to issue
general obligation bonds.
    Cities with populations  of more than 50,000  do  not fail
the test  (Table 4) .  This  means that  large cities will have no
economic difficulty in issuing general obligation  debt. Even
if their water and sewer  systems  are unable to issue revenue
bonds, these cities have  sufficient  income and a tax base that
will  enable them to obtain the required capital.   The picture
is less favorable  for small cities.   Between 20 and 30 percent
of cities  with populations  under 2,500  fail this  test  and
therefore  may  not be able to obtain money from  the capital
markets.    The  inability  of  water or sewer systems  to  issue
revenue bonds in  the long  term does not affect the capacity of
supporting communities to  issue general obligation bonds or to
obtain bank  loans by pledging their full faith and  credit.
Difficulties  arise  mainly  because  of  the  inability  of
financially weak municipalities to finance the requirements of
the solid waste and miscellaneous  regulations.
                             Vlll

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                                          TABLE  4


      POTENTIAL IMPACT  OF EPA  REGULATIONS ON  THE ABILITY  OF MUNICIPALITIES

               TO  ISSUE GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS/OBTAIN  BANK LOANS*
Municipality Number
Size
Category
0 - 2,
2,500 - 10
10,000 - 50
of
Municipalities
500 26,315
,000 6,279
,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,
Percent
Percent
000 59
of Municipalities
of Population
Percent Of Municipalities Which
G.O. Bonds/Obtain Bank Loans In
Test I ***
21% (8 ****)
4 (3)
2 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
16 (7)
3 (2)
May Fail To Issue
Each Category **
Test II
30% (12)
9 (9)
6 (6)
0 (0)
0 (0)
24 (11)
6 (5)
* Small  communities  generally do not issue general obligation  bonds;  instead they
  get bank loans that are backed by the full faith and taxing  powers  of  the
  municipalities.   The criteria used to determine G.O. bond failure are  applicable
  to small and large communities.

** A user charge/income threshold of 1.0% and results of  the  long  term revenue bond
   test were used to conduct this analysis.   Results  obtained with 1.25%  and  2.0%
   thresholds  were virtually identical  to those shown here.

***  Test I: (a) Annual  Debt  Service > 0.2     and    (b)  Annual Debt Service >, 0.008
                Municipal Revenues                      Market  Value of
                                                        Taxable Property

    Test II: (a) Annual Debt Service  > 0.15    and    (b)  Annual Debt Service > 0.006
                Municipal Revenues                      Market  Value of
                                                        Taxable Property

**** Numbers within parentheses are  baseline  failures.
                                          IX

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B.  POLICY CONSIDERATIONS

    The EPA could undertake  the  following actions to support
communities'  efforts  to  comply  with  environmental regulations:

    •   Public education programs may be expanded to  make
        people  aware  of  the  benefits  of  investing  in
        environmental  protection,  and to  increase their
        willingness  to  pay  for  the  higher  quality  of
        environmental  services.

    •   Community outreach  programs  could  be expanded  to
        help  small  cities understand the requirements  of
        numerous  new laws,  and help  develop  plans   for
        obtaining  needed  capital  in  order   to  reduce
        financial  impacts.

    •   Technical assistance  programs  could  be provided
        either in the  form  of  guidance --  such  as  sharing
        scientific,  technical,  or management information  --
        or   technical  services  --   such  as   supplying
        laboratory or engineering services.

    •   Direct financial  assistance in the form of either
        grants or loans for communities  that  cannot  afford
        the  services in the  long  run may  be provided  by
        state governments.

    •   Additional  research should  be  conducted to  identify
        the characteristics of small  communities that  have
        difficulty   in   financing   and   affording   new
        environmental  controls.
                                   x

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If certain  environmental regulations  do not seem
reasonable from cost or environmental risk points-
of-view,  exemptions from strict compliance deadlines
and technical  requirements  may be given,  to the
extent  permitted by law.
                          XI

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                           1.  INTRODUCTION
A.   PURPOSE OF THE  STUDY

    Today,  Federal  and state agencies  charged with establishing  new
standards of safety,  health, and environmental  protection are redefining
what  constitutes  adequate qualities  of  community  services.   New
environmental  regulations  will require  that  additional  measures  to
protect  public health and  the  environment be  taken by suppliers  of
drinking water,  sewage treatment,   and other environmental services.
Most  environmental  services  are  now  operated and  managed by local
government authorities  (e. g., cities, towns,  counties).   As a  result,
local  governments  will  be  responsible  for  meeting the stricter
standards.    The magnitude  and timing of the  additional environmental
investments have raised questions about  the  ability of municipalities  to
achieve  these  new levels of performance.

    This Municipal  Sector Study report has been prepared in  response  to
the EPA Administrator's request  for  an assessment of the combined
impacts  of   recent  and  forthcoming   environmental  regulations  on
municipalities.   The  Administrator's  request arose from the concern that
the EPA's regulatory review  process  focuses on only one regulation  at a
time.   When  examined  individually,  the  impact of  each  individual
regulation may  be  negligible,  but  the  cumulative  impact of multiple
regulations   may   impose  an   excessive   financial  burden   on
municipalities.    Indeed,  during  the  last few years  the  number  of
environmental  regulations that  apply to municipalities has increased
rapidly.

    This study  reviwed 39  major regulations  that  municipalities may
have  to  comply with in the near future (Figure 1-1).   Estimates  of
capital,  operating  and administrative costs were  available for  only  22
of these  regulations.    The  cost   information for  the  remaining  16
regulations was  not  available either  because it  is too early to  decide
                                  1-1

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FIGURE  1-1.   LIST  OF REGULATIONS CONSIDERED  IN THE MUNICIPAL SECTOR STUDY
REGULATIONS WITH  COST DATA
                                                            REGULATION STATUS
A.  Drinking  Water
         Inorganic  Compounds  (lOCs)
         Synthetic  Organic  Compounds  (SOCs)
         Volatile  Organic Compounds  (VOCS)
         Fluorides
         Lead  and Copper  Corrosion  Control
         Lead  and Copper MCL
         Coliform Monitoring
         Surface  Water Treatment  Rule:  Filtered
         Surface  Water Treatment  Rule:  Unfiltered
         Radionuclides
         Disinfection
                                                              In Development
                                                              In Development
                                                              Promulgated
                                                              Promulgated
                                                              Proposed
                                                              Proposed
                                                              Proposed
                                                              Proposed
                                                              Proposed
                                                              In Development
                                                              In Development
B.  Wastewater  Treatment
    1.   Secondary  Treatment of  Municipal  Wastewater
    2.   Pretreatment  Requirements
    3.   Sewage  Sludge Disposal  --  Technical
             Regulations  for Use  and  Disposal
                                                              Promulgated
                                                              Promulgated
                                                              In  Development
C.   Solid Waste  Disposal
    1.  Municipal  Landfill  Subtitle D  Criteria
    2.  Municipal  Waste  Combusters-Air  Standards
    3.  Municipal  Waste  Combusters-Ash  Standards
                                                              Proposed
                                                              In  Development
                                                              In  Development
D.   Miscellaneous  Regulations
    1.  Underground  Storage  Tanks  -  Technical  Standards
    2.  Underground  Storage  Tanks  -  Financial  Standards
    3.  Stormwater  Management
    4.  Asbestos  in  Schools  Rule
    5.  SARA  Title  III Requirements
                                                              In  Development
                                                              Promulgated
                                                              In  Development
                                                              Promulgated
                                                              Promulgated
                                  1-2

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FIGURE  1-1.   LIST OF  REGULATIONS  CONSIDERED IN  THE  MUNICIPAL SECTOR  STUDY
  (contd.)
REGULATIONS NOT INCLUDED  IN THE COST ANALYSIS
A.   Drinking  Water
    1.  Well-head  Protection  Plan
    2.  Pesticides  in Groundwater
    3.  Disinfection  By-products
In Development
In Development
In Development
B.   Wastewater  Treatment
    1.  National  Estuary  Program
    2.  Wetlands  Protection Program  -  404 (c)  permits
    3.  Nonpoint  Source  Regulations  Guidance/Mgmt  Plans
    4.  Section  304(1)  -  Toxics  in Water Bodies
In Development
Promulgated
In Development
In Development
C.  Solid Waste  Disposal
     1.   National  Contingency Plan  -  Superfund  Program
    2.   Low-level  Radiation Waste  Standards
    3.   Toxicity  Characteristics  of  Solid and
             Hazardous  Wastes
In  Development
In  Development
In  Development
D.  Miscellaneous  Regulations
    1.  Heavy  Duty Diesel Vehicles
    2.  Gasoline  Marketing
    3.  Diesel  Fuel  Standards
    4.  Revisions  to National  Ambient  Air Quality
             Standards   (Ozone,  Carbon  Monoxide,
             Particulate Matter,  Nitrogen  Oxides,
             Sulfur Oxides)
    5.  Asbestos  in  Public  Buildings
Promulgated
In  Development
In  Development
In  Development
May be  Required
                                   1-3

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which regulatory  options  will be selected, or because  the  regulations
affect municipalities  indirectly  and the  extent  of  the impact  is  too
uncertain  to  be  included in  the analysis at this time.

B. LOCAL  GOVERNMENT  EXPENDITURES AND COSTS  TO HOUSEHOLDS

    Local governments*  currently allocate a sizeable portion of their
budgets to environmental  services.    As shown in Figure 1-2,  smaller
cities  tend to  direct   a  greater  portion  of   their   budgets  to
environmental services than do larger cities.   These services,  for the
purpose of this figure, include  drinking water,  wastewater treatment,
and solid  waste disposal.    The costs of meeting  some of  the other
environmental requirements may  fall  under transportation, education,
fire  protection,  and  administration.    The proportions given  in the
figure may therefore be underestimated.

    Consumers in the smallest  and largest  communities tend to pay higher
costs  for  environmental  services  than  do  consumers  in  mid-sized
cities.    Figure 1-3 shows  how the  average cost per household  and the
percentage of gross household income  spent on environmental services
varies across a  sample of  municipalities.   Drinking water and wastewater
treatment  costs,  measured as  a percentage  of  household  income,  tend to
be higher in small communities.     Even though residents  of  small
communities tend to  pay lower  actual  costs, their relatively low incomes
require  that  they  allocate  a  larger portion  of  their income  to
environmental expenditures than do residents  of  larger communities.  The
solid waste  costs tend to  be lower for  smaller  communities,  probably
because  of the reduced level of service needed in these communities.

    The  average  expenditures fail to  reveal the variability of the costs
on a per-household basis.   Figure 1-4  shows how costs for drinking water
services vary for sampled  municipalities.   While  40% of the communities
under 2,500 persons  currently  pay between  0.25% and 0.50% of their gross
*For  the  purposes of  this  report municipalities  mean cities,  towns,
townships, counties and other  forms of  local government units.
                                  1-4

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FIGURE  1-2.    DISTRIBUTION OF  MUNICIPAL  EXPENDITURES  FOR SERVICES IN 1985-f
                               Municipalities  Under  50,000  Persons
                            Energy (18.2%)
              Miscellaneous (8.8%)
              Interest on Debt (4.9%)

                   Administration (7.0%)
                   Natural  Resources  (3.7%)
                               Housing (2.0%)
Education (4. 6%)
   Welfare (0.4%)
       Health (3.8%)
                                                                Transport (9.9%)
                                                                 Police/Fire (15.5%)
     ENVIRONMENT (21.1%)
                     Municipalities  Between 50,000  and  250,000  Persons
                              Energy  (12.4%)


                Miscellaneous  (10.3%


             Interest on Debt (5.2%)

                Administration  (5.8%)

              Natural Resources (4.8%)
                           Housing  (3.8%)
     Education (10.3%)
         Welfare  (0.7%)
           Health (3.6%)
              Transport (9.5%)
            Police/Fire (17.8%)
                                                 ENVIRONMENT (15.8%)
                               Municipalities Over  250,000  Persons
                                Energy  (11.7%)
                Miscellaneous (12.3%)
             Interest  on Debt (5.6%)

                Administration (4.9%)
               Natural  Resources (3.9%)
                            Housing (4.5%)
                              ENVIRONMENT (14.0%)
    Education (9.0%)
        .Welfare (5.1)

             Health (5.2%)
                                                                 Transport (8.7%)
            Police/Fire (15.1%)
                 Source  1984 - 1985 Census of Governments - City Finances
                                               1-5

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                  FIGURE  1-3.   CURRENT AVERAGE  ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD COSTS  FOR


                                            ENVIRONMENTAL SERVICES
                                  (PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME)
      to


      I


      *
      h-
      z
      y
      u
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                 0-2
                      T—  	 '  * i*

.5K    25K-1OK  1OK-50K  50K-250K


                  CITY SIZE CATEGORIES



     1771  SEWER       rV\l WATER
                                                      I'  '  '	• •  • i •

                                                     >25OK    NAT'L AVG.
                                                                 SOLID WASTE
                                 (DOLLARS PER HOUSEHOLD)
      I/I






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500




450




400




350




JOO




250




TOO




150




100




 50




  0
                 0-2.5K    2.5K-10K   10K-50K  50K-250K


                                      CITY SIZE CATEGORIES


                               SEWER      [V\l WATER
                                                    >250K
                                                              NAT'L AVG.
                                                                 SOLID WASTE
Source  :  PP&E's  Municipal  Database

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           FIGURE  1-4.  VARIATION  IN THE COST OF DRINKING WATER SERVICES

                                    (percent  of household income)
u
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40 -
39 -
30 -
J9 -

JO -

19 -
10 -
9 -








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\% ^^^ f/\j T7* R]
.00-.25 .25-. 50 .50-. 75 .75-1.0 1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50 1.50-1.75 1.75-
                            PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                 <2,500
                                      2,500-10,000
                                                                     >io,ooo
Source  :  PP&E's Municipal Database
                                      1-7

-------
household income  for drinking water,  about  10% of them pay more  than
1-0%.   Geographic, demographic,  and political factors  contribute  to the
variation in the costs of the services.   For example,  in some  areas in
the country, inorganic  chemicals naturally occur  in the ground  water.
If the ground  water in these areas  is the primary source of  drinking
water, the  communities  will have to shoulder the  cost  of  removing the
inorganic contaminants.   Communities in other parts of  the  country may
not have to remove the same inorganic chemicals, hence  they may provide
drinking  water  to  their  customers at  lower rates.

    Information on current  fees  are used to establish  a baseline  series
of  user charges  for  drinking  water,  wastewater,  and  solid waste
services.    The costs of the additional regulations and the  subsequent
changes in user fees are used to address  the impacts on households and
characterize the potential   severity  of  these  impacts on households and
municipal  finances.

C.  UNDERSTANDING  FINANCING MECHANISMS

    While  some of  the  environmental  regulations  will  impose  only
administrative  costs upon  local governments,  other regulations  will
require  that municipalities  install capital  equipment  and  notify
operating practices  at  existing  facilities.  This capital equipment  must
be financed by some means.   Some traditional  forms of financing the
equipment include pay-as-you-go financing,  special  assessment  bonds,
Federal  grants,  revenue bonds, and general  obligation  bonds.   The
salient features of  these mechani sms are discussed below.

    Pay-as-you-ao  financing involves  dedicating  a portion of revenues to
a capital reserve account.   The revenues may come from taxes or  user
fees.    In  practice,  most  cities have been unable to  reserve  adequate
funds for replacement of  their  deteriorating  capital  equipment.  In
addition,   this pay-as-you-go  method  is normally  not  feasible  for
financing large expenditures.
                                  I-f

-------
    Special  assessment  bonds  are  means  of issuing long-term debt with
repayment insured through  compulsory charges or taxes  levied on  specific
properties that benefit from  capital  investment.   Special  assessments
are sometimes used to  fund wastewater  and drinking  water treatment
extensions or  improvements.     Special  assessment bonds  usually have
maturities  of  five  to  ten  years.

    Federal grants to support public works were once a major source  of
capital  financing.  EPA  grants,    for  example,   have contributed a
substantial proportion of  the  capital investment in wastewater treatment
made during  the past 15 years.    Funding for many programs  has been
reduced  and  recast  as Federal and  state government loan programs.
Federal  budget constraints will  dictate the  availability of  federal
funds;  however, the focus  of municipal financing programs  is expected  to
shift  to loan mechanisms  administered by state personnel.

    Revenue  bonds are  a primary means  of obtaining  capital  for
environmental  projects that  are  run as  independent  units of  local
governments.   They are backed  by user charges paid by  customers, and are
usually issued by authorities  managing the system. The  authorities have
the power  and  responsibility  to recover  expenses  through an adequate
system of  fees  and user charges.   Local  governments have  adopted this
mechanism  to  fund water supply,   wastewater  treatment, and,  more
recently,  solid waste  disposal  facilities.

    General obligation (G.  0.)   bonds are  used  by  local governments  to
finance  construction of  major general purpose  facilities, including
public  schools,  municipal  parking  garages,  highways,  police stations,
and other public buildings.  The bonds are backed  by the  full faith and
credit  of local  governments, and  are  repaid with revenues  raised from
property,  income,  and  other  taxes.   The  proportion of  G. 0.  bonds  issued
has declined  recently because of voter approval requirements,  the
complexity   of  the   issuance  process    (especially where  multiple
governments are involved), and a movement  toward 'user-pay'  principles
                                  1-9

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of capital  financing.    Often double-barrel bonds,  which are revenue
bonds with a backup  G.O. pledge, are also used to raise  capital.

    A  focal point  of  the study  is  to examine  the ability of the
municipalities  and their independent  units to  issue  revenue and general
obligation bonds.    These two mechanisms will  be the primary means of
raising capital  for  cities  subjected to the regulations.   it  is  unlikely
that the other  three mechanisms will  be  used to finance  major capital
expenditures.

D. ORGANIZATION OF  THE  REPORT

    The remainder of  the report contains four chapters.    The second
chapter describes,  in more detail,  the overall  methodology used in the
study to measure economic impacts  on households and  city  finances. The
third chapter discusses the anticipated regulatory impacts. The fourth
chapter describes  the limitations of  the  study.    The  fifth chapter
contains  recommendations based  on  results  from  the   analysis.  In
addition,   several  appendices  are attached  to provide  the  necessary
background  information about  the data and  the  model  used in the
analysis.
                                 1-10

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                         II. METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
    This study uses financial  data  from the 1986 financial statements of
270 randomly sampled municipalities.   These  data form the baseline upon
which the  costs  of the  regulations  were imposed.   Because  there  was
particular interest  in  describing  the  impacts  of   regulations  on
communities of different  sizes,  the  communities  in  the sample  were
divided  into five  size  categories.  The study calculated impacts on user
charges and financial  conditions  of  communities in  each  category.  The
sample  results were then extrapolated to the  total  population  of
cities.     If  a certain percentage of cities  in the  sample failed a
criterion,   it was assumed  that  an equal percentage of cities  in  the
total population would also fail that criterion.   The  criteria  used to
determine the impacts are discussed in detail in the next  chapter.  The
study consisted of  the  following five steps.

           i METHODOLOGY
    1. DEVEIOH*FSfr OF FINANCIAL DATABASE

    The overall methodology  employed in the study is shown in Figure  II-
1.   As a first  step  in the  study, two major databases were set up.  The
first  database,   henceforth referred to as  the municipal  database,
contained fiscal  year 1986  financial  information on the  operations of
270 randomly  selected municipalities and their  sewer,  water,  and  solid
waste systems.   To develop the database, various  financial  documents,
including   municipal   financial   statements,  sewer   system  annual
statements,  and municipal  bond  statements, were  obtained.   In addition,
the municipal  finance departments were contacted to  obtain data on  the
residential share of water and sewer system revenues and the market
value of property.    These  latter  pieces of data were necessary  for
calculating  the impacts,   but  were  often  unavailable  in  the  above
documents.    The information contained in the database  constitutes  the
baseline  expenditures  and  the financial conditions of municipalities.
                                  II-l

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      FIGURE  II-l. GENERAL METHODOLOGY  FOR CALCULATING IMPACTS OF  REGULATIONS
COSTS OF ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS
(Provided by EPA Program  Offices)

      WEIGHTED  AVERAGE  COSTS
     OF GROUPS  OF REGULATIONS

   • Drinking Water
   • Waste  Water
   • Solid Waste
   • Miscellaneous  Regulations
   • All  Regulations
o
   MUNICIPAL  DATABASE
 (Financial  Data  from  270
 Municipalities)

Financial  Statement  Data
examined:

  • Enterprise  Funds
  • General Accounts
  • Debt and Debt Service
  • Statistical   Sections
                                      MUNFIN MODEL
                           Model  imposes  costs on each of the 270
                           municipalities  and  calculates:

                           • New User  Charges
                           • New Annual Debt Service
                           • New Ratios
                                      IMPACTS
                           Impacts are determined in terms of:

                           •   New User Charges
                           •   Percentage of Water and  Sewer  Systems
                               Unable  to Issue Revenue  Bonds,
                               -  in  the  short  term
                               -  in  the  long term
                           •   Percentage of Cities  Unable  to Issue
                               G.O. Bonds
                                              II-2

-------
It was used for calculating the impacts of the regulations. The details
of the  sample,  the  procedures for extracting relevant  information  from
financial documents,  the data  elements for which  data  were  gathered, and
the quality and validity of the data  are  discussed  in Appendix A.

   2.  DEVELOPMENT OF COST DATABASE

    The second database,  henceforth  referred to as the cost  database,
contained  information on  the capital,  operating, and administrative
costs   associated  with each of the 22 environmental  regulations shown
earlier in Figure  1-1.   The cost  information  was  prepared by EPA program
offices as part of the  regulatory  process.   The data are  summarized in
appropriate  tables  and are  presented in Appendix B.    in  order to
determine differential  impacts on small and large municipalities, the
cost  data  were  analyzed for  municipalities  in  eight population
categories.     To  determine   impacts,  these  eight  categories  were
aggregated into five  categories  for  two  reasons:   The  sample sizes in
two smallest and the  two  largest  size categories were relatively small
and the aggregation  helped obtain samples of sufficient sizes,  and it
did not alter  the  conclusion  of the  study.     The  impacts of  the
regulations were calculated for the five categories shown below:

           Population Size Categories                    Number  of
    Cost Data	Impact  Analysis	Municipal ities

      0 - 500
    500 - 2,500                 0  - 2,500                26,315
  2,500 - 10,000             2,500  - 10,000                6,279
 10,000 - 50,000            10,000  - 50,000                2,694
 50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000           50,000  - 250,000                 463
250,000 - 500,000            Over  250,000                   59
   Over 500,000
Source:  1984-1985 Census  of  Governments.
                                  II-3

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    Some  of  the  cost   information  is   preliminary,  because  many
regulations are  under development.   The regulatory options and the ways
to alleviate the impacts of the regulations are under discussion within
EPA.   The discussions could lead  to  results different  from those found
in this study.

   3.  DETERMINATION OF WEIGHTED AVERAGE  COSTS

    The primary  purpose  of  this study  is to determine  the  combined
impact  of  all  the  regulations  on municipalities.     The critical
information needed to achieve this objective is  the  number and  type  of
regulations that  will affect a  city.   A city may be subject to only one
regulation,  or it  may face numerous regulations.   Hence,  the costs  it
faces and its ability to  meet those costs will depend upon the number  of
regulations  affecting  it.   Information  on the number of regulations that
affect each of the 270 cities  in our sample was  not available. However,
the information  on the percentage  of  cities  affected  (or the probability
of a  city being  affected) by  each regulation for each of the  size
categories  was  available.   This information was  used to determine
weighted average  costs of five  groups  of regulations:  Drinking  water,
wastewater,  solid   waste,   all  other    (miscellaneous),   and  all
regulations.   The  methodology to  determine  the  costs for each is given
in Appendix  C.

    4.  DEVELOPMENT OF THE MUNFIN MODEL

    The MUNFIN  model,  a variation  of the MABEL model,  was used  to
conduct this study.   In  its original form,  the MABEL model evaluates a
municipality's ability to pay  enforcement-related capital expenditures
and penalties.   MABEL was  designed to  evaluate  the ability of  a single
city  to comply  with  a single regulation.  MABEL was modified for this
study so that it  could  process  costs of  the five groups of regulations
and  determine  the  financial   impacts  on hundreds   of communities
simultaneously.     In  addition, the  output  was  modified to suit the
purposes of  this  study.
                                  II-4

-------
    The MUNFIN  simulates  the  decision-making process of  the  financial
community when  it considers lending money  for  long-term purposes.   For
example, the model  determines whether the loans will be  supported by
user charges imposed on the  customers of the water and sewer systems, or
by the full faith and credit  of the governments. If  the  loans  will be
supported by user charges,  the model then examines  the uncertainty of
future revenues from the systems.   The  focus of  the  analysis  is on
variables  that determine   the  long-term  financial   health   of  a
municipality.    These  variables  include household  income,  debt  service,
and the market  value  of  property.  Financial ratios  that are  often used
to  examine the short-term financial health  of a  community  are  not
explicitly included  in the model.   A detailed description  of  the MUNFIN
model  is  given  in Appendix D.

    5.   DETERMINATION OF IMPACTS  OF  REGULATIONS

    After obtaining  the costs of  the  regulations, the MUNFIN  model  was
used to determine the  impacts of  the  regulations. The regulations were
divided into two groups:  (1)  water  and  sewer  regulations  affecting  the
respective enterprise  systems, and  (2) all other regulations  affecting
the general  fund.  The study first determined if water and sewer systems
could raise the needed capital by  issuing revenue  bonds, that  is,  by
pledging future revenues from the  respective systems  as collateral  for
the bonds.    If a water or  sewer  system could  not issue revenue  bonds,
then the municipalities supporting it were  assumed to be responsible  for
raising the needed  money.    Therefore,  if neither  system could  issue
revenue  bonds, a city was  assumed to bear the costs  associated with
meeting drinking water and/or wastewater  regulations,  as well  as  the
cost of solid  waste  and miscellaneous regulations.

B.  CRITERIA FOR DETERMINING IMPACTS

    The  ability to obtain  the  capital   for  required environmental
improvements   is only one  factor  that  affects  compliance  with  the
regulations.  An equally  important  concern  is the consumers' willingness
to pay  the increased costs.     If  consumers perceive  that  costs  are
                                  II-5

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excessive,  the mandates  of the regulations will be  difficult to meet.
Therefore,  the study examines the expected increases  in   user  charges
well as the expected impacts of the regulations on the municipalities'
ability to  raise  capital.

        To  analyze the impacts,  the  study divides  a  city's management of
environmental  services  into two  categories:

        • the enterprise  systems,  and
        • the non-enterprise  systems.

    In general,  sewer  and  water  systems  are  run as enterprise systems.
Some solid  waste  systems  using energy and resource  recovery technologies
also fall into this  category.    The  enterprise systems are designed to
operate as  independent business  units.    They have the  authority to
impose user charges and raise money  in the financial  markets  by  issuing
revenue bonds.   Only  when  they  are  unable to  issue revenue bonds, will
the cities  owning  them step  in  and  raise the  needed  capital  by  issuing
general obligation bonds.    The  study assumes  that the  provision of
drinking water and wastewater  systems  are run as enterprise  units, and
the drinking water and wastewater treatment regulations shown  in  Figure
1-1 affect  them.

        The non-enterprise systems typically  are  not supported by user
fees.   These services  are  funded  using tax revenues  (typically property
taxes) , and the associated  expenses  are listed  in the  General Fund
accounts of  the  financial statements of cities.    Capital needed for
these activities  is usually raised by issuing  general obligation bonds,
which are  serviced  by  tax revenues.   Environmental  regulations  raise the
costs  of these  activities, and  will result  in tax  increases over the
long-term.   Financing the  capital  investments called for  by these
regulations  will  also  increase  the total debt of  affected cities. The
solid  waste  and miscellaneous   regulations  lised  in  Figure  1-1 are
assumed to  affect  the  non-enterprise  parts of  local  governments.
                                  II-6

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    The criteria for  determining the user charge  and  financial  impacts
are discussed  below.

        1.  User  Charge Impacts

        Households  will  incur two  types  of  costs:  (1)  increases  in  user
charges  to cover the costs  of  regulations  imposed on water and sewer
systems,  and,  (2)   increases  in  taxes to  cover  the  costs  of  solid waste
and miscellaneous  regulations  affecting the  General  Fund.  In  this
study, both types  of costs  are combined and represented as an annual
user charge per household.    The  impact  on  user charges is calculated
separately for the  following  groups:

        •  drinking water  regulations
        •  sewer system  regulations, and
        •  all regulations.

    The impacts on user charges were analyzed in three ways:   (1)  the
percent increase in  user  charges  over  existing charges, (2) the post-
regulatory user charges  calculated as  a percent of  gross household
income, and (3)  the  increase  in user charges expressed in dollars. To
calculate  the percent  increase in water and sewer rates,  the  current
user charges  were used as the baseline.    To calculate  the percent
increase in user charges  due to all regulations,  the sum of drinking
water, sewer,  and solid  waste user charges is used  as the  baseline
cost.     The  cumulative  baseline  figures  should  include costs of
miscellaneous  regulations,  but they were  excluded  from the  calculations
because the relevant  data  were not  available  from  the  financial  reports
of municipalities.  Their  exclusion should not present  a problem  because
the current costs  of  miscellaneous regulations are extremely small, as
few,  if any, are  in  effect.

    2.  Ability  to  Raise Capital

    A water or sewer system  has two preferred options to raise needed
capital.    It will first  attempt  to raise  money by  issuing  revenue
                                 II-7

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bonds.   If it cannot, then it will ask the municipalities supporting it
to  issue  general obligation bonds.    However,   the municipality  may
already need to obtain additional  capital to comply with solid waste and
other environmental  regulations.   Therefore,  a municipality  may have to
issue general obligation bonds to  comply with  not  only  the  solid waste
and  miscellaneous  regulations,   but  also with  drinking  water  and
wastewater regulations.   The  issues  pertaining to  the  ability to issue
revenue and  general obligation bonds  in the  long and short  term  are
discussed  below.

        a. Ability to Issue  Revenue  Bonds in the Long Term

        The ability of a sewer or  water system to obtain money from the
capital markets  depends on the income of  its customers, that is,  the
residents  of the  community.    For  example, if the income of a community
is  higher  than  another  community's,  it can  obtain  more  money under  the
same financial  conditions.   In the case of  water and sewer systems,  the
average gross household income  was  compared  to  the user charges  that
households will  be expected to pay for existing and new requirements to
determine   the  ability of  the system  to  issue  revenue  bonds.  The
percentage of gross household income that is devoted to sewer and water
services  was  separately  calculated  as follows:

                  System's  User Charge  Revenue x 100	
               Gross Household  Income X No. of Households

    Then, this ratio is  compared to three different threshold limits:
1.0%, 1.25% and 2.0% of  the  household income.   If this ratio exceeds  a
threshold,  that is,   if user  charges  are  more  than  the specified
percentage  of  gross household  income,  the systems are assumed  to be
unable  to  issue revenue bonds.    The  1.0%  and  1.25% thresholds are
approximately  equal to  the  mean plus two standard deviations of the
values  of  the  user charge  to  income  ratio for  the  270 communities
sampled; hence, user charges of about 95% of the communities are less
than these  thresholds.    The 2%  threshold,  sometimes used  to indicate
financial hardship,  is  not  exceeded  by any of the 270 communities  in the
                                  II-8

-------
sample.  When  the  ratio  exceeded  a  threshold,  it was  assumed  that
lending institutions would consider the  income  to  be  too  low to afford
the high charges and may not  lend  the  money; thus,  the community may not
be able  to raise the needed capital.   All those concerned with the
regulations  --  consumers, bankers, and  governments -- will  gradually
accept the regulations  and new user  charge thresholds will eventually be
defined.     Therefore,   the  thresholds  should be  used  as relative
measures  of the ability to  raise money,  or,  of  the  willingness  of
investors  to lend money.

        b.  Ability to  Issue  Revenue Bonds In the Short Term

            Some of the systems that  can raise money in  the  long  term
may find it difficult to raise money in the  short term.  Water and sewer
systems  encounter  this  difficulty  when  they  do not   recover  their
expenses  through  adquate user  charges,  that is,  when their expenses
exceed their revenues.    The deficits  occur under many  circumstances
including high unemployment,  voter rejection of  rate increases,  and bad
management of utility operations.    Investors look upon  deficits  with
great alarm, and consider them as indicators of uncertainty  of  future
revenues from the systems,  or an inability of the community to make  hard
choices.   When the deficits occur,  investors will  usually not  lend the
needed capital immediately;   instead, they will ask the  community to
demonstrate that it can raise the  charges to adequate levels.  Depending
upon the size of the deficit,  communities may take  anywhere from two to
four years to balance their water  and  sewer budgets.

        C.  Ability to  Issue  General Obligation Bonds

    This test was used  in  those cases  where regulations affect
non-enterprise units  of  the  local government.    Under the general
framework established in this  study, this occurs when:

            •  a municipality  is subject to solid waste and
                miscellaneous regulations,  and
                                  II-!

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            •  water and sewer systems cannot issue revenue
                 bonds in the long term, so the supporting
                 municipalities  have  to obtain needed capital.

The capital needed  for compliance with the regulations  will  usually be
obtained by issuing  general obligation  (G.  0.)  bonds.

    A financial  test that takes  into account municipal  revenues,  debt
service, and  property value  was used  to  evaluate  financial capability.
If a city fails this test it was assumed that it would be precluded from
issuing G.O. bonds,-  that is,  it would  be unable  to  pledge its  full faith
and credit to get additional  capital.

    The  threshold  values  for  the  two  ratios  used  in  the general
obligation test  were derived from  an examination of  the  financial
conditions of  about 30 cities with Baa bond  ratings.    Even  though the
cities exceeding the two thresholds would generally not be able to issue
general obligation  bonds,  the  thresholds  derived from the  data  (called
primary  thresholds  for  the  purposes  of this  presentation)   cannot  be
treated  as absolute;  therefore,  sensitivity analysis was  performed by
using  the following  thresholds;
          RATIO
PRIMARY
THRESHOLDS
ALTERNATIVE
THRESHOLDS
       Debt Service
    municipal revenues
    0.2
    0.15
       Debt Service
       Property Value
   0.008
    0.006
    Note that only when both ratios exceed their  respective  thresholds,
is the  city  presumed to be unable to raise the needed  money by issuing
general  obligation  bonds.
                                  11-10

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C.  DESCRIPTION OF  REGULATIONS

    To  focus  the  analysis on  cumulative impacts, the  regulations have
been  aggregated into four groups:  drinking water; sewer  (wastewater)  ;
solid waste,- and the miscellaneous  (all  remaining) regulations. Salient
features of these groups are described below.

    1.  Drinking Water  Regulations

    Eleven  regulations will affect  drinking water systems  in the near
future.   These are:

        Inorganic Compounds  (lOCs)
        Synthetic  Organic Compounds   (SOCs)
        Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCS)
        Fluorides
        Lead and Copper Corrosion Control
        Lead and Copper MCLs
        Coliform Monitoring
        Surface Water Treatment Rule  (Filtered systems)
        Surface Water Treatment Rule  (Unfiltered system)
        Radionuclides
        Disinfection

    These regulations are  in  various stages of development.  They should
all be  promulgated within the next few years.  Because  they will go into
effect  within a short time of  each other, the affected  cities can comply
with  them  in a comprehensive, rather  than, piecemeal  fashion.    For
purposes of this analysis,   the impacts  have been analyzed assuming that
all communities would install  the necessary  equipment to comply with all
regulations at the same time.   However,  it  is expected that the smaller
municipalities  --  those  under  10,000 persons  --  would  make  their
treatment   decisions in  1992,   and would  implement  the regulatory
requirements by 1996.   Communities  greater  than 10,000 would make their
treatment decisions  around 1989.   Twenty-five percent of these cities
would  start  complying  in  1990,    another  twenty-five would  begin
                                  11-11

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implementing requirements  by 1992,  and the rest would  comply by 1996.
These long lead times  should help communities plan to  comply with the
regulations and reduce the severity of  impacts  to  some  extent.

     2.  Sewer System Regulations

         Several major regulations and program changes  either will or are
 already affecting sewer  systems.  These  include  the establishment of
 state  revolving  loan fund programs,  strategies to clean water quality
 limited waters,  and the  marine and estuarine  protection program. The
 costs  of implementing the latter two programs  were  not available and
 therefore  were not included  in the analysis. The costs  associated with
 the  Secondary Treatment Requirements, Pretreament  Program   and  Sewage
 Sludge  Disposal were included in the analysis.

         All major  and minor  sewage  treatment  facilities  are  required to
 comply  with the secondary  treatment requirements, and most  of  them have
 taken  the  necessary  steps to do so.   The  cost data  for  this program was
 derived by  using the  Needs  Survey  information on  unmet  capital
 requirements  for  major and  minor facilities.   The  costs  include the
 total  current construction needs of  these facilities,  including needs
 for secondary and advanced  treatment,  infiltration/inflow  correction,
 sewer  replacement/rehabilitation, new collector  sewers,  new interceptor
 sewers,  and correction of  combined  sewer  overflows.    In  addition,  costs
 for all nondischarging minor  facilities  in need of further capital
 investment are included in the data.   The  cost data does not include
 unpermitted  facilities  that  need  to meet  water quality  goals,  or
 compliant  facilities that have additional needs  to maintain  compliance.
 Because these costs are expected to be  significant,  this analysis may
 underestimate  the   impacts.

         The  costs  may  not  reflect  the  actual  costs  to  achieve
 compliance.   Systems may  be  able to modify  current operating  practices
 to reducece the amount of additional capital  needed.   Because  the  Needs
 Survey is  organized by facility, the costs and population data do not
 equate  directly to municipality size.   That is,  costs  of  smaller systems
                                  11-12

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were matched with  smaller  cities,  and larger systems were matched with
larger cities.    In reality,  some smaller cities are tied into regional
systems,  so their costs may be lower than that  of  cities  operating their
own  facilities.    Despite  these limitations,  the cost  data  provide a
reasonable portrayal  of how costs are likely  to  vary across different
community sizes.    The number of communities affected is expected to be
larger than the number of communities identified as  requiring  additional
expenditures  to achieve compliance.

        Because  most cities  have  already instituted pretreatment
programs, the associated costs used  in this  study were based  on current
pretreatment costs incurred by  a  sample of cities.    This regulation
imposes  only administrative costs,  primarily  for  larger  cities (over
10,000 persons).

        Of the fifteen thousand municipal  wastewater  treatment  plants
about 3,000 are covered by  the  proposed  rule.   Of the 3,000, more than
85% use land application as a means of disposing of  sludge.  Other means
of  disposal  include  incineration,  ocean  disposal, landfilling,  and
distribution and  marketing.   The average costs  used in the analysis are
based on  cost information on  all  forms  of  sewage disposal.

    3.   Solid Waste Regulations

    The regulations affecting municipal solid waste disposal  facilities
examined  in this  study are the Subtitle  'D'   criteria regulation and the
regulations  affecting municipal waste combustors,    (air  and  ash
disposal).    The  Subtitle  'D'  Criteria establishes,  among other things,
design,  performance   and  ground  water  monitoring  requirements  for
municipal  landfills.

    Depending on the  size  of a  municipality, the solid  waste disposal
operations may be  managed  differently.    In small  cities,  solid waste
collection and  disposal is  paid  from  the  General Fund accounts, that is,
the general  tax  revenues;  hence,  it is treated as a non-enterprise
system.   On the other  hand, the  solid waste  disposal units are operated
                                 11-13

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as enterpise systems  in  many large cities.  This means  that they are
established  to  recover  their expenses  through some  system of  user
charges, even though  their  expenses may initially be paid  out  of the
general  revenues of  the cities  that own  and operate  them.    with
increasing  importance   of   the    solid  waste   disposal problems,
municipalities are paying more attention to  the  cost of disposal and are
planning to institute user charge systems.    In addition,  solid waste
services are privatized  to  some extent in most areas  (especially the
suburbs) .  In large cities,   the  cost  of the new regulations will  be
passed  to  the  users  through  higher  fees.  Because the  preliminary
analysis indicated that  the  impacts on small  communities would be  of
concern  to EPA,   this study treats solid waste  facilities as  non-
enterprise  units.

    Air and ash regulations for municipal  combustors affect one-third of
the cities  in the  100,000-250,000  category and most cities over 250,000
people.   The costs  include more  expensive disposal  of ash residuals and
installation of technologies to reduce gas emissions from  combustion
units.

    4.   Miscellaneous  Regulations

    Five   regulations   other than  water,  sewer, and   solid   waste
regulations have been included in this separate category. In general,
they will  affect  non-enterprise units of  a  municipality;   therefore,
their  costs will  be  paid   from  tax revenues.     Four  of the  five
regulations,   namely,   Asbestos  in  Schools  Rule,    SARA   Title  III
Requirements,  and Underground Storage  Tanks   (technical  and financial
standards)  are  assumed to affect all  municipalities  in  the country.
Stormwater  requirements under consideration at this time  will initially
affect  only cities with populations greater  than  100,000.
                                 11-14

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                  III.   IMPACTS  OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS

    This chapter  consists of two major  sections.    The  first  section
discusses  the probability of  cities being subject  to  one or  more
regulations  and  presents  the  weighted  average  costs   of   the
regulations.     Thee second section discusses  the  impacts  of  the
regulations  on households  and  municipal government finances.

A.  COSTS   OF REGULATIONS

    The capital and operating costs  that  a city must bear depend on the
number and  type of  regulations with which a city must comply.  Because
several of  the regulations affect only a  small  fraction  of the  cities,
it  is unlikely that  many cities will be  affected by more than  five or
six regulations  (Appendix  B) .    This conclusion can be  illustrated by
examining the data on the number of  the municipally owned drinking water
systems.    As shown in Table III-1,  nine of the eleven  regulations --
IOCS  and Fluorides, VOCs, SWTR  (Unfiltered), Colifom  (Monitoring),
Disinfection,   Lead  and Copper  MCLs,  and Radionuclides  --  will  affect
either none or only a  handful  of cities  with  populations greater than
50,000.

    Individual regulations often affect only a  small percentage  of the
total number  of systems  in the smaller size categories.    For example,
the SOCs regulation  will  affect  about 1,200 systems in the less than 500
persons category, about  9% of  all systems in this  category.   IOCS and
Fluorides will affect less than 0.5% of the systems  with  populations of
less  than  50,000.   The small probability of  occurrence of  certain
contaminants  means that  a randomly  selected city would  be affected by
only a few  regulations.   The expected cost a city has to bear  will be
much smaller  than the  cumulative cost  of  all  regulations.  To  determine
the impacts of the  regulations,  weighted average  costs  for the  five
groups of regulations  were calculated.    These are   presented in Table
III-2.
                                 III-l

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                                                                 TABLE  III-l
                         NUMBER OF  MUNICIPALITIES  POTENTIALLY AFFECTED  BY DRINKING  WATER  REGULATIONS*
M
H
I
Municipality
Regulations
Fluorides
Disinfection
Lead Control
VOCs
IOCS
SOCs
Radionuclides (500)
Coliform Monitoring
SWTR (Unfiltered)
SWTR (Filtered)
Lead & Copper (MCL)
0
to
500
66
4,724
5,554
231
151
1,186
5,652
10,199
172
273
125
500
to
2,500
33
2,361
5,028
212
59
413
3,891
10,150
310
957
107
2,500
to
10,000
8
439
1,684
84
20
116
881
567
130
811
33
10,000
to
50,000
2
169
1,044
57
13
56
451
169
79
704
19
Size Category
50,000
to
100,000
0
3
185
7
0
8
30
35
20
209
3
100,000
to
250,000
0
0
52
3
0
3
8
0
4
70
1
250,000
to
500,000
0
0
55
2
0
2
8
0
4
69
1
Over
500,000
0
0
23
1
0
1
1
0
3
32
o
             Total  Number of Communities:  35,810


             * All  municipalities  are subject to drinking water regulations.   These are  the  estimated number of

               municipalities that will need to invest in additional treatment  technologies  to comply with the regulations.

               The  number of municipalities affected by other regulations  are shown  in Appendix B.
             Source :  Office  of  Drinking Water, EPA

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                                                           Table III-2

                                   POTENTIAL WEIGHTED AVERAGE  CAPITAL  AND  O&M COSTS FOR
ADDITIONAL EPA REGULATIONS
(Thousands of 1966 dollars)



Drinking Water

H
H
OJ






Total
Municipality Capital
Size Category Cost
0- 40
500
500 - 46
2,500
2,500 - 105
10,000
10,000 - 274
50,000
50,000 - 1,132
100,000
100,000 - 1,869
250,000
250,000 - 6,421
500,000
Over 500,000 10,010
Annual
O&M
Cost
4
7
14
39
110
203
661
1,457

Wastewater
Total Annual
Capital O&M
Cost Coat
23 2
115 5
264 11
1,058 44
3,285 132
9,510 365
30,354 1,291
102,742 4,041
Type of Cost
Solid Waste
Total Annual
Capital O&M
Cost Cost
2 2
10 10
37 37
172 171
591 435
2,350 968
11,875 2,699
26,597 6,835

Miscellaneous**
Total Annual
Capital O&M
Cost Cost
37 5
43 6
114 11
390 35
770 72
1,889 233
3,999 612
9,632 1,066

Cumulative
Total Annual
Capital O&M
Cost Cost
102 13
212 28
519 73
1,894 289
5,778 750
15,618 1,769
52,649 5,264
148,980 13,399
     Many of the cost estimates are based on existing regulatory development documents and are subject to change. For more information see
     Appendix B.

     Miscellaneous category includes underground storage tank controls,  asbestos in schools,  SARA Title III, and stormwater requirements.

Source:   EPA Cost Estimates

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    As shown in Table III-2, cities of different  sizes will  be  affected
most by different  groups of regulations.   Table  III-2  shows  that:

        •  For  cities  with  populations  greater than
            250,000,  wastewater  capital costs on average
            will account for more than 50% of  the  costs  of
            all regulations.   Drinking water and solid waste
            regulations will account for  about 7% and  15%  of
            the costs, respectively.

        •  In  comparison,  the  miscellaneous  and drinking
            water regulations  will account for about 60%  and
            25%,  respectively,   of the  capital  costs  for
            cities with populations  under  500.

        •  Although wastewater  capital  costs dominate  in
            the 10,000 to 250,000 categories,  drinking water
            and miscellaneous  costs constitute a significant
            portion   of   the   cumulative  costs  of   the
            regulations.

    The costs  given  in Table  III-2 were used  as inputs  to the MUNFIN
model in order  to  calculate the economic impacts to  households and  the
financial  capabilities of  cities.

B.  IMPACTS OF  THE  REGULATIONS

    This section  is divided into two parts.    The  first  part  describes
the cumulative impacts of all  regulations  and the impacts  of  drinking
water and  wastewater  regulations on user  charges.   The  second part
discusses the short and long-term ability of water and sewer systems  and
municipalities  to  raise  the  capital  needed to  comply with   the
regulations.
                                  III-4

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    1.   Impacts on User Charges

    The regulations will  affect  households  in two ways.   First, water
and sewer  system revenue bonds will  have to be supported by systems'
revenues,  and therefore, the  customers  (households) will have to pay
higher  user charges.   Second,  general  obligation  bonds,  issued  to comply
with solid waste and  miscellaneous  regulations and,  when  necessary,
drinking water and  sewer regulations,  will  have  to be  supported by the
taxing  powers of the  governments.  In  the  long  run, local  taxes  will
have to  increase to cover the cost increases.   Hence,  the net cost to
households  will be the sum of  user charges imposed directly by  the water
and sewer  systems, and a  tax  increase  imposed by their governments. In
this study,  the  net cost was not separated  into the  two components.
Instead, it was calculated  as a combined  number that  amounts to the
total burden  on  households.   The household impacts  were calculated as
follows:

        •  Increase in user charges in  dollars and as a  percent  of
            household  income;

        •  Percent increase in user charges  (over existing charges);

        •  Post-regulatory charges as percent of household income.

    These  impacts  are   given for   weighted average  costs  of  all
regulations combined.   (Post-regulatory  user  charges  for drinking water
and wastewater services  are  discussed  in the  section  dealing with the
ability of the systems to issue  revenue bonds  in the  long-term.)  The
user charges are  presented in two ways.  First, the increases or the new
household  charges are  divided into several ranges.    For example,  the
percent increase  in user charges is given  in  three  ranges:  0-50%,  50-
100%,  and greater than 100%.   The distribution of impacts is determined
by calcuating the number of  cities  in  the  sample  within each range.
Second,  the user  charge increases  are  given  in  terms  of  dollars  required
of an average household  in each of  the city  size  categories.   These data
are discussed below.
                                 III-5

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    Table III-3  shows  the percent increase  in  user charges due to all
regulations.    To calculate this  increase,  the  sum of current  drinking
water,  sewer,  and  solid waste  charges were used as the  baseline of
current household expense.  Thus, the  increase  measured was the percent
increase over  the current costs  of drinking  water,  wastewater and solid
waste services.

    The analysis  shows  that  small communities  with populations  of less
than 2,500 will experience the largest user charge increases.   About 20
percent of these communities  will experience  cost  increases  of more than
100%.    The user charges of  35% of  the cities in this category will
increase by 50 to 100%.   Only 45% of  them will experience rate increases
of less than  50%.   In comparison, none of the  cities in the other four
size  categories  will  experience  cost  increases of more  than 100%,  and
between 80%  and 100% of  the  cities  will experience  rate  increases of
less than 25%.  Thus, the small  communities  will  experience the largest
rate shock resulting from the regulations.

    The rate  increases will  force the households in small communities to
pay  a  larger  portion   of   income  for environnmental services than
households in large communities in  the  post-regulatory period.   Table
III-4 shows  the  post-regulatory cost  of all environmental  regulations
(that  is,  after  the  new regulations have  taken effect).   A larger
portion of the communities in the two  smallest  categories will pay more
than  2.5% of  gross household  income for environmental  services than
communities in the  other  categories.  About a quarter of the communities
in the  less   than 2,500  person category and 15 percent in the 2,500-
10,000 person category will pay more  than 2.5% of  their household  income
for the environmental services.   In  comparison,  about 10 percent of the
cities  in the over 10,000  category  will  pay more  than  2.5% of  the
household income  for  the  environmental services.  Furthermore,  while 50
to 70 percent of the communities in  the  2,500  to 250,000  person  sizes
will  spend  less  than 1.5% of their  income  on  environmental  services,
only 40 percent  of  the  communities  in the  less  than 2,500  category and
30 percent in the greater than 250,000 category  will do so as a result
                                 III-6

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                                 TABLE  III-3
         POTENTIAL CUMULATIVE IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS  -
                 PERCENT INCREASE IN HOUSEHOLD USER CHARGES

Municipality Number
Size of
Category Municipalities
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of

Increase
0- 50%
45%
90
80
100
80
56
83
Municipalities in the

as percent of current
50 - 100%
35%
10
20
0
20
29
15
Category

charges *
> 1001
20%
0
0
0
0
15
2
   Percent increase in user charge is calculated as follows:

Additional (Drinking Water+Wastewater+Solid Waste+Miscellaneous)  Costs*100
         Current  (Drinking Water+Wastewater+Solid Waste)  Costs
                                    III-7

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                                   TABLE  III-4

       POTENTIAL  CUMULATIVE  IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS --
       POST-REGULATORY USER  CHARGES AS PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME

Municipality Number
Size of
Category Municipalities
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of Municipalities

User Charges as Percent of
0 - 1.5% 1.5 - 2.
401 * 35%
55 30
50 40
70 25
30 60
44 34
50 37
in the Category

Household Income
5% >2.5%
25%
15
10
5
10
22
12
* This  means that 40% of  the municipalities  in the 0 - 2,500  category
  will  experience an increase in user charges in the range  of 0  - 1.5%
  of  the gross average household income.
                                    III-I

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of the regulations.   Almost  60  percent  of  the cities in the greater than
250,000  category will  spend between  1.5% and  2.5%  of the household
income on  environmental  expenditures.

    The environmental expenditures of  small communities  will  increase
from  about  1.3%  of  the  household income to more than  2.0% (Figure III-
1) .    This  translates into  increased outlays of  $170  per household per
year  for  communities with  populations less than 2,500  (Table III-5) .
Residents in the largest  cities  will have to increase their outlays by
less  than 0.5% of the household  income,  but the  dollar increase will be
about the  same  ($160) .  The  corresponding increases for other city size
categories  are  much  less  --  between $70 and  $90.

    These  results  suggest  that the greatest additional outlays  for
environmental services  will occur in  small and large municipalities.
The relatively  greater  wealth of  average households  in  larger  cities
will  diminish the  impacts;  however,  almost every large  city  contains
pockets  of low income residents  who will bear a much greater burden than
higher  income groups.    Small  municipalities  will  experience  large
increases  in rates.     Households in  these communities will have to
dedicate a greater  portion of their income  for these services than will
households in larger communities.

    Water and wastewater  user  charges  in the less than  2,500  category
communities will increase  by  about $40  and $45 respectively,  or,  in
other words,  these two groups of regulations  will  contribute about  50% of
the  increase in user charges  for  the  smallest  communities.    Drinking
water regulations will  increase user  charges  of other  communities  by
only  $5 to  $15  per  household.  The  wastewater  regulations,  on the other
hand, will   increase the user  charges by about $60  in cities with
populations larger  than  250,000  and by  about  $20 in communities  in  the
2,500 to 250,000 population  categories.
                                 III-9

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 I/I


 I


 IS

 H
 z
 U

 g
          FIGURE  III-l.   CURRENT AND  POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL AVERAGE  ANNUAL



                             HOUSEHOLD  COSTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL  SERVICES
                              (PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME)
                         2.5K - 10K
                                      10K -50K
                                                 50K - 250K     > 2 5 0 K    NAT'L AVG.
                                   CITY SIZE CATEGORIES




                  V /\ CURRENT CHARGES                  P\\]  ADDITIONAL CHARGES
                                (DOLLARS PER HOUSEHOLD)
            0-2.5K    2.5K-10K  10K-50K     50K-25OK     >250K    NAT'L AVG
                                  CITY SIZE CATEGORIES




                 V /\ CURRENT CHARGES                 |\\| ADDITIONAL CHARGES
Source   :  PP&E's  Municipal  Database
                                  111-10

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                                                                    TABLE III-5
                                     POTENTIAL INCREASE IN ANNUAL USER CHARGE DUE TO  ENVIRONMENTAL  REGULATIONS


                                                               (Dollars Per  Household)
M
H
Municipality
Size
Category
0- 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 250,000
Over 250,000
Number
of
Municipalities
26,315
6,279
2,694
463
59

Drinking
Wastewater Water
$ 45* $ 40
20 15
20 5
20 10
60 15
Types of
Solid
Waste
$ 26
23
32
28
51
Regulations
Miscellaneous
$59
32
23
12
34

Cumulative
$ 170
90
80
70
160
                  * User  charge increases have been  calculated using weighted average  costs  of new regulation.

                    The costs  that a municipality may incur will depend  on  the  regulations it has to comply with.

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2.  Impacts of Costs on Financial  Health  of  Cities

    As discussed in Section C  of  this  Chapter,  water and sewer systems
have  two options  for  raising the  capital needed to build  treatment
facilities:

            •  Issue Revenue Bonds*,  and

            •  Request  Municipalities Supporting Them to
                 Issue  General  Obligation Bonds

    Because  municipal  water  or  sewer  systems are  typically run as
enterprise units,  systems  will  prefer to  issue a revenue bond and pledge
future  revenues toward payment of  the debt service.    In  those  cases
where there exists a high degree of uncertainty in attaining the needed
level of  future revenues, the  cities will  not  be  able to issue revenue
bonds.    The  uncertainty may arise when:  (1) the  system is  not already
recovering  its  current expenditures  through  adequate user  charges,
 (perhaps, reflecting an unwillingness  on the part  of  customers to bear
the cost  of clean  water);  (2)  income  of the residents  is too  low;  (3)
future  revenues are based  on  highly  uncertain growth of  the service
population,  and; (4)  the national  economy is expected to be in recession
in  the  immediate  future.    This  study  examines  only two  of  these four
factors  - whether the  income  is too  low  and  whether  the  systems  are
recovering their current  expenditures.    The  inclusion  of  the  other  two
factors is beyond  the  scope  of  this  study.
*Although  small   communities  do not  issue revenue  bonds,  financial
institutions will use  criteria  similar to those  used by  investment
bankers in cases  involving  large  cities.   To qualify small systems for
long-term  loans,  they  will evaluate  the performance  history  of the
system, the  user charges to  income ratio,  and use  revenues from the
system as collateral  for the loan.  Just as in cases where large cities
are denied access to  revenue  bonds,  banks  will  refuse to approve loans
to small cities where their  systems  do not pass the criteria described
in this report. Similarly,  small  cities  generally  do not issue general
obligation bonds,  but are evaluated in  much the same  manner as large
cities before being  given long-term  loans  for capital  purchases.
                                 111-12

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    Inadequate  income is  a  long-term problem.    When  the  income is
insufficient,  that is,  when the user charges  are  high with respect to
income,  the  customers  may not  be  able to  afford  the charges.  In
addition,   investors may  not  be  willing  to lend money because they will
be uncertain about the customers'  willingness  and ability  to pay charges
that are much  greater than the  rates  charged  elsewhere in the country.
In the absence of lenders'  willingness to advance the  capital, the city
will not be able to obtain the  necessary  financing.   This  will result in
long-term  constraints on the availability of revenue bond  financing for
water and  sewer projects.

    Inability to recover  current expenditures  through  adequate user
charges is considered a  short-term problem,  provided the  customers have
sufficient  income.   When water and sewer  systems of  a  community are not
recovering their costs,    investors  usually  refuse to  lend money to
them.   However,  if the  community  demonstrates its  willingness to raise
rates  (by  legally  raising  the  rates  and collecting  sufficient revenues
for a period of one or two years)  , investors are likely to change their
minds and  agree  to provide the  capital.   Depending on the size of the
deficit,  a community may  take anywhere from one to  four years to balance
its books  and demonstrate that  it  has  an  adequate performance history.

    When water  and sewer systems  cannot issue revenue bonds,  they can
ask  the  municipalities  supporting  them to  issue general obligation
bonds.      However,  other financial obligations  or poor  financial
conditions may dictate that a city is  unable to issue general obligation
bonds.   When  cities are  unable to use either  mechanism,  the  water and
sewer systems  will  not be able to raise the needed capital.  *
*Municipalities may be able  to  increase  their ability to issue general
obligation bonds  over time by reducing the level  of  debt  service.  But
it usually is  much harder  to do  this  than it  is to adjust user charges
for environmental services.   The  ability  of  the municipality to adjust
its financial  conditions by taking advantage of  alternative financial
mechanisms,  though possible,  is  not addressed in this report. It should
be noted  that  small   communities  generally have fewer options  to make
adjustments  than  large cities.
                                 111-13

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        a. Ability to Issue Revenue  Bonds  in the Long Term

    Post-regulatory  user charges affect the  ability of the water  and
sewer  systems to  issue revenue  bonds.    According  to the criteria
established for this  study,  if the new charges for  these  services  for
each utility  exceed  1.0%,  1.25% or 2.0% of the gross household  income,
then the systems  will not be able  to  issue  the revenue bonds in the long
term.  Note that the  lower two thresholds are approximately  equal to  the
mean plus  two standard deviations of the  values of  the  ratios  for  270
municipalities surveyed in the study.    Therefore,  user  charges,  for
water  and sewer services separately,   in approximately  95%  of  the
municipalities are  less than the two thresholds.   The  user charges  may
have to double or quadruple  before they exceed the 2%  threshold.

    Table  III-6 provides  the  post-regulatory user  charges  for  drinking
water  services as a  percentage  of average  household  income.   Depending
on the  size of the  city,  user charges of  between  68 and 96  percent of
the systems will be  less than 1.0 percent of household  income   (one of
the two  thresholds for  determining if  costs of  drinking  water  services
are excessive) .  This suggests that  a large portion of  systems in  all
city size categories will not have trouble  raising  money  in the  capital
markets  in the long  term.    Similarly, as shown  in Table  III-7,  the
customers  of  the vast majority of sewer systems will have  to pay less
than 1.0% of  their  gross household income -- one of the thresholds above
which  the charges are considered excessive  -- for sewer  services.

    The data  also show that  a  significant portion of the water and sewer
systems  will  exceed  the lower two thresholds, and therefore, may have
trouble raising the  needed  capital in  the  long  term. Table III-8  shows
that about a  quarter of the water and sewer systems in  the  less-than-
2,500-  persons category and between 4%  and 11% of the  systems in  the
other  four categories, may have difficulty  issuing  revenue  bonds in  the
long term,   if  the  threshold  of   1.0%   is  used as  the  evaluation
criterion.   On a nation-wide  basis,  21%  of the  water and sewer  systems
will  exceed this  threshold.   Comparatively, if the threshold of  1.25% is
used as the criterion for evaluation,  about 12% of the systems in the
                                 111-14

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                                             TABLE  III-6
                           POTENTIAL IMPACT OF DRINKING WATER  REGULATIONS-
                     POST-REGULATORY USER CHARGES AS  PERCENT OF  HOUSEHOLD  INCOME

Municipality Number
Size of
Category Municipalities
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of

Municipalities

User Charges as Percent of
0-0.5% 0.5-1
36%* 32%
44 44
61 35
52 36
50 33
39 35
51 36
.0% 1.0-1.5
28%
6
2
12
17
23
4
in the Category

Household Income
% 1.5-2.0% > 2.0%
2% 2%
6 0
2 0
0 0
0 0
2 1
2 1
* This means that for 36% of the municipalities in the 0  - 2,500 category
  the new user charges will be 0 - 0.5% of the gross average household income.
                                               111-15

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                                          TABLE III-7

                         POTENTIAL  IMPACT  OF  WASTEWATER REGULATIONS-
               POST-REGULATORY USER  CHARGES  AS PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD  INCOME
Municipality Number
Size of
Category Municipalities
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of
User Charges
0-0.5% 0.5-1
35%* 40%
59 35
58 34
71 29
44 50
41 39
56 37
Municipalities in the Category
as Percent of Household Income
.0% 1.0-1.5% 1.5-2.0% > 2.0%
171 81 01
600
800
000
000
14 6 0
6 1 0
* This means  that  for  35%  of  the municipalities in the 0 - 2,500 category
  the new user charges will be 0 -  0.5% of the gross household income.
                                               111-16

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                                 TABLE III-8



POTENTIAL  IMPACT OF EPA  REGULATIONS ON  THE ABILITY  OF  WATER AND  SEWER

 SYSTEMS  TO  ISSUE REVENUE BONDS/ OBTAIN  BANK  LOANS IN THE LONG TERM*
Municipality
Size Number of
Category Municipalities
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Systems
Percent of Population
Percent of Systems Which May Fail To
Issue Revenue Bonds in the Long Term*
User
>1.0%
Charge / Household
>1.25%
26% (5 ***) 12% (2)
8 (2)
7 (3)
4 (4)
11 (4)
21 (4)
9 (4)
2 (1)
2 (1)
0 (0)
3 (0)
9 (2)
3 (1)
Income
>2.0%
2% (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
1 (0)
1 (0)
*    A water system or a sewer system fails to issue revenue bonds  in the
     long term when each individual system fails the user charge threshold
     of 1.0%,  1.25% or 2.0%.

**   Small communities generally do not issue revenue bonds; instead,  they
     get bank loans that are backed  by user  charges.  The criteria  used in
     the above tests are applicable to small  communities.

*** Percent of systems exceeding thresholds prior  to  complying  with  new
    regulations  (Numbers within parentheses are baseline  failures).
                                 111-17

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smallest--under 2,500 persons -- category, and up  to  3%  of the systems
in  the  other  categories ,  will  have difficulty in issuing revenue  bonds
in  the  long term.   Nationally,  about 9% of  the  systems exceed  this
second  threshold.    Thus,  regardless of  the two thresholds chosen,
systems  in  the  smallest  and largest category will be most affected by
the regulations and  many may not be able to pledge future user charge
revenues as  security for their  bank loans.    These systems will  likely
have  to ask  communities supporting  them to raise money by means  of
general obligation bonds.   Note  that  the new environmental regulations
are not  totally  responsible  for the  long-term  difficulty in issuing
revenue bonds.   As  shown in table  III-8,  the  user  charge to income
ratios of between two and five percent of the systems  are more than the
1.0%  threshold. This means  that  these systems will  have difficulty in
issuing revenue bonds even in the absence of new  regulations.

        b.   Ability to Issue Revenue Bonds in  the Short-Term

    Some of the systems  that can issue revenue  bonds in  the  long  term
may not be  able to issue  them in  the short-term because of their history
of obtaining  adequate  revenues  to cover the costs of services.   Table
III-9 shows  the systems  that will fail  to  issue revenue  bonds in the
short  term,  but will be able to  issue  them in the  long term. These
systems do not  recover their expenses  through sufficient  user  charges,
but their customers  have  adequate  incomes to permit them to  raise the
rates and balance expenditures and revenues.    The  short-term  inability
to issue revenue  bonds means that  the regulations will  require these
communities  to discontinue practices that  pay the  deficits through
subsidies or  tax revenues.   To comply with the new regulations  and  issue
revenue  bonds,  communities will have to raise the rates.  Because tax and
rate increases are politically unpopular,  a political  problem  may  arise
before  the  economic one. The  communities  are  expected  to be able  to
raise their  rates because their income  is  adequate,  that is, the new
user charges are less than either 1.0% or 1.25% of  the annual  household
income  --  the  two   scenarios considered  in  this analysis.   The  2.0%
threshold is  not used in  this part of the study because the user charges
of none of  the systems exceed it.
                                 111-18

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    As shown  in  Table  III-9,  16% of  the  water and sewer systems  will
find  it  difficult  to  issue  revenue bonds  in the short-term if  the
threshold of  1.0%  (ratio  of user  charges  to  household income)  is  taken
as the evaluation  criteria.    On  the other  hand,  if  the threshold of
1.25% of the  household  income  is  taken  as the evaluation criteria,  18%
of the water and sewer  systems  may experience  difficulty issuing revenue
bonds in the  short-term.    The  data in  the table  do not  show  any
consistent  pattern of  difficulty among  large and small  cities.  The
absence of a  pattern is not surprising,  however.    The  budget  deficits
occur for two main reasons:    inability of a system  to  increase  rates
during bad  economic  times  and  poor management.

    The hard economic conditions occur in different parts of  the country
at different  times  and  affect  communities of all  sizes.  For  example,
the drop in oil prices  has adversely affected the  oil  states  during the
last  two years,  but the drought  is  affecting the agricultural states
this  year.   Communities  that were  in  relatively weak financial condition
before the  adverse  economic  conditions are probably  in much poorer
shape.   They  have  probably cut budgets, reduced services, and delayed
tax or rate  increases.   If the  water  and sewer systems  in these  hard hit
communities  have had to  comply  with new environmental requirements,  they
may be  experiencing budgetary deficits and covering  them by using
revenues  from  the general  treasury or  short-term loans.

    The budget deficits may also  result from periodic water shortages
during which  water  supplies usually  decrease.   Costs of obtaining or
treating water rise, but  the  water  and sewer rates remain stable.  The
resulting shortfall  is covered  by  short-term loans,  capital reserves,  or
revenues  from other sources.   Finally,  the  deficits  may occur due to
inadequate management practices,  which make  it difficult to track and
control  expenditures.

    The financial conditions of water and sewer systems  may  change  over
time.   A water  system  may gradually raise  costs  to  its customers  in
order to  recover the cost  of  supplying water.  Usually,  it is  possible
                                 111-19

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                                     TABLE  III-9
   POTENTIAL IMPACT OF EPA REGULATIONS ON THE ABILITY OF  SEWER AND  WATER  SYSTEMS

            TO ISSUE  REVENUE  BONDS/OBTAIN BANK  LOANS IN THE  SHORT TERM*
Municipality Number of
Size Municipalities
Category
0 - 2,500 26,315
2,500 - 10,000 6,279
10,000 - 50,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,000 59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of Systems Which May Fail to Issue
Revenue Bonds/Obtain Bank Loans In Each Category
User Charge / Household Income
<1.0% < 1.25%
171 181
17 21
10 12
13 13
7 10
16 18
13 15
*    A system falls to issue revenue bonds in the short term, when it passes the
    user charge threshold (i.e.  when user charge/household income ratio is less
    than 1.0% or 1.25%)  and fails the performance history test.

** Small communities generally do not  issue  revenue  bonds;  instead,  they get
   bank loans  that  are  backed by user charges. The  criteria  used in the above
   tests are applicable  to  small communities.
                                       111-20

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to adjust  the  rates  by small  amounts  each year.   Depending on the level
of the annual deficit (difference between expenditures  and  revenues)
some water systems  may take four to  five years  to  raise their rates to
adequate levels.   This study  did not  examine the ability of the systems
to make  needed adjustments.  The results presented below simply indicate
if the  systems had  large  deficits  in  1986.   If they had large deficits,
it was  assumed that  they  may  not be able to raise the needed capital if
subject to  the regulations in the  short-term.

        c.  Failure  of Municipalities to Issue General Obligation Bonds

    When either  water or  sewer  systems  cannot  raise  capital  by issuing
revenue  bonds,   they  will  ask  the municipalities to  assist them by
issuing general obligation  (G. 0.  ) bonds.  Because a city bears the costs
of the solid waste and miscellaneous regulations, a city may find itself
responsible for the  following  kinds of costs.

                 •  Costs  of Sewer,  Drinking Water,  Solid Waste and
                      Miscellaneous regulations

                 •  Costs  of either Water or Sewer,  Solid Waste and
                      Miscellaneous regulations

                 •  Costs  of only Solid Waste and Miscellaneous
                       regulations

    The capital cost component of the above costs will have to be raised
by issuing G.O.  bonds.   Depending  on the ability of  the  sewer  and
water systems  to issue revenue  bonds,   some of  the cities may have to
raise greater  amounts  of  money  via G.O. bonds. The  financial  health of
some  cities   may  be  affected  to  a  greater  extent  by   the  same
environmental  regulations  than  other cities.

    Table  111-10  shows  the  cumulative affect of  the  regulations on  the
ability of  cities to issue  G.O. bonds.   The results are  given  for  two
scenarios.  The first scenario pertains to the user charge threshold  of
                                 111-21

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                                       TABLE 111-10
           POTENTIAL IMPACT OF EPA REGULATIONS ON THE ABILITY OF MUNICIPALITIES

                   TO ISSUE GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS/OBTAIN BANK LOANS*
Municipality
Size
Category
0 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 250,000
Over 250,000
Number
of
Municipalities
26,315
6,279
2,694
463
59
Percent of Municipalities
Percent of Population
Percent of Municipalities Which May Fail To Issue
G.O. Bonds /Obtain Bank Loans In Each Category*
Test I ***
21% (8 ****)
4 (3)
2 (0)
0 (0)
0 (0)
16 (7)
3 (2)
Test II
30% (12)
9 (9)
6 (6)
0 (0)
0 (0)
24 (11)
6 (5)
* Small communities generally do not  issue  general  obligation bonds; instead they
  get bank loans that are  backed by the full faith and taxing powers of the
  municipalities.   The criteria used to determine G.O. bond failure are applicable
  to small and  large  communities.

** A user charge/income threshold of 1.0% and results of the long term revenue bond
   test were  used to conduct this  analysis.   Results obtained with 1.25% and 2.0%
   thresholds were  virtually identical to those shown here.

*** Test I: (a) Annual Debt  Service  ^   0.2  and    (b)  Annual  Debt  Service >.  0.008
                Municipal Revenues                      Market Value of
                                                        Taxable Property

    Test II: (a)  Annual Debt Service ^  0.15  and   (b)  Annual  Debt  Service > 0.006
                Municipal Revenues                      Market Value of
                                                        Taxable Property

**** Numbers  within parentheses are baseline failures.
                                        111-22

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1.0% and a G.O. bond test with threshold values for annual debt service
to municipal  revenues,   the debt service  to market  value of  taxable
property of 0.2 and  0.008  respectively.   The  second  scenario uses the
same  user  charge threshold,  but  decreases  the  two  debt  service
thresholds to  0.15 and  0.006  respectively.   A larger number  of cities
should fail the smaller threshold values of  the bond test. Thus the two
scenarios  provide a  range  of  the percent of  cities  that may  fail  to
raise capital  by pledging their full  faith and  credit. *

    Table  111-10  shows  that  cities with  populations  of larger  than
50,000 people  are not expected to fail  the test under either  scenario.
This implies  that large cities  are not likely to have  difficulty  in
issuing  general  obligation debt to finance  additional  environmental
requirements.   Even  if  their water and sewer systems are unable to issue
revenue bonds,  the  city governments have  sufficient revenues  and tax
bases  to  come to their  rescue  and obtain the required capital.  The
picture is less favorable  for small cities.   Between  21% and  30%  of
cities with populations  under  2,500  fail  this  test.   Therefore,  about a
quarter of cities  in  this category may  not  be able to obtain money from
the capital markets.    The  current  weak financial conditions of  small
communities are responsible for  some of  the  difficulty.    Table 111-10
shows  that 8.0% and 12.0%  of the  communities  in the less than  2,500
person  category  are in poor  financial  health  if  tests  I  and  II
respectively are used as the criteria  for evaluation.  These communities
are expected to find  it  difficult  to issue general  obligation bonds even
in the absence of  regulations.

    The  combined costs  of  solid waste   and  other  miscellaneous
regulations also contribute  to the difficulty cities may have  obtaining
the funding.  Of  those communities whose water or  sewer  systems  fail  to
issue revenue  bonds,  most are  able to issue general obligation bonds  or
otherwise get  bank loans by pledging their  full  faith  and credit.  Table
III-ll shows  the cumulative  effect of solid waste and miscellaneous
* This  study examined  the  G.O.  bond failure rate at the 1.25% and  2.0%
thresholds for user charge.    The results were  found to be virtually
identical  to  those  given in Table  III-IO.
                                 111-23

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                             TABLE  III-11
 POTENTIAL IMPACT OF MISCELLANEOUS AND  SOLID  WASTE  REGULATIONS  ON THE

ABILITY OF CITIES TO ISSUE GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS/OBTAIN  BANK LOANS*
Municipality Number
Size
Category
0 - 2,
2,500 - 10
10,000 - 50
of
Municipalities
500 26,315
,000 6,279
,000 2,694
50,000 - 250,000 463
Over 250,
Percent
Percent
000 59
of Municipalities
of Population
Percent of
May Fail
All
Regulations
211 **
4
2
0
0
16
4
Municipalities
To Issue G.
Which
0. Bonds
Miscellaneous
+ Solid Waste
181
3
1
0
0
14
3







  Small  communities generally  do  not  issue  G.O.  bonds;  instead,
  they get  bank  loans  that  are backed by the full faith and
  credit of  the  municipalities.   The  criteria used to determine
  G.O. bond failure are  applicable  to small and  large communities.

  Analysis  is based on the  following  thresholds:

   (a) User  Charge  Threshold =   1.0%

   (b) Annual Debt  Service    =   0.2
       Municipal Revenues

   (c) Annual Debt  Service    =  0.008
       Market Value of
       Taxable Property
                              111-24

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regulations.    About  18% of  the cities  in  the less-than-2,500-person
category  have difficulty  financing the  solid waste and miscellaneous
regulations.    Therefore,  in those cases where  cities need  to  cover the
additional costs of financing water and  sewer  regulations,  an additional
3% of  the  cities in this  size category may face  financial constraints.

    In  summary,  the  regulations are likely to  affect  municipalities  in
the following ways:

•   Small communities with populations of fewer than 2,500  are likely to
    experience  the   largest user  charge  increases,-  as   a result,
    households in these  communities  are likely to pay  a larger portion
    of  their  income for  environmental  services  than  households  in large
    communities  in the  post-regulatory period. The  largest  impacts,  in
    terms of dollars,  should be  felt by  the smallest  (fewer than  2,500)
    and the  largest (greater than 250,000)  size categories.

•   The  majority  of  water  and  sewer  systems,   in  all city  size
    categories,   should  not have  trouble  raising  money  by  means  of
    revenue bonds in  the  capital markets in the long term.  However,  it
    is  likely  that  between  12  and 26  percent  of  the  systems  in
    communities  with  populations  less than 2,500 will  not be able  to
    raise money in the long term due to  inadequate  income.   In addition,
    between 16 and 18 percent of the water and  sewer systems will  find
    it  difficult  to  issue revenue  bonds in the  short   term due  to
    budgetary deficits.   These systems will have to  adjust  their budgets
    and/or rates  to obtain adequate revenues.

•   Communities  with  populations  over 50,000  should be able  to  issue
    general obligation bonds.    But some of the  smaller  communities  are
    likely to have  difficulty  issuing G.O. bonds.   In other  words,  these
    communities should experience greater difficulty  in  obtaining long-
    term financing  for environmental  compliance.   This impact  would  be
    felt the  hardest  in  the smallest size category  with populations  of
    less than 2,500 where  between  21  and 30 percent would  be unable  to
    issue G.O. bonds.
                                 111-25

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                     IV.  LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY

This study,  by necessity,  undertook  several  simplifying  procedures  and
made many assumptions.   These  are  discussed below.

A.  VALIDITY  OF THE SAMPLE OF CITIES

    Considerable care was taken to obtain  a  statistically  valid  sample
of  cities.   The  cities from different  size  categories were selected
using random selection techniques.    The validity of  the  sample is
indicated by many results of  the  baseline  analysis  that  are  consistent
with other EPA databases  on costs  and user  charges  for  services.
Furthermore,  the results were  found  to be internally consistent.    For
example,  the  means and  variances  of user charges of  the  eight  municipal
size categories had  similar  statistical  characteristics.   None of  the
means  was so different from others as  to  indicate unreasonable
results.   This internal  consistency indicates that  the results of  this
study  are reflective  of the  total  population of  the  cities  in  the
country.   Still,  one should keep  in mind that  the  municipal database is
a relatively small  sample of  communities,  and  there is an element of
uncertainty  about the  inferences  made from the sample  to the entire
population.   To reduce  this uncertainty, EPA has collected data for 50
to  100 randomly selected additional  small cities.  Preliminary results
indicate  that  the  means and variance  of  the  new  sample are  virtually
similar  to those of  the  earlier sample.

B.  ADJUSTMENTS IN FINANCIAL CONDITIONS

    The  financial  database  was  prepared using  records from  1986
financial statements.     The  fiscal  conditions  of  communities  are
contingent   upon  many  factors    in   the  economy   (e.g.  inflation,
unemployment,  international  trade).   Depending on the influence of  the
economy,  the  financial  conditions  of municipalities may become  better or
they may  become worse  than they  were  in 1986.    Note that we are  not
discussing financial  conditions  of  specific  municipalities  in our
sample.    This  study does not  attempt to address the future changes in
                                 IV-1

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financial conditions of  cities.

    Another adjustment  can  be predicted  with  greater  certainty. Some of
the regulations will go  into effect  in  four  or five  years.  Therefore,
the municipalities have sufficient  lead time to make  adjustments to
their financial conditions  and to plan  future debt issues.  Whether or
not they have  the  willingness,   foresight, and ability to make needed
adjusments is open to question.

    In interpreting these results,  one should take  into account the
ability of municipalities to  make fiscal  adjusments,   and  the  resulting
new standards  of  affordability.   For example, practically all systems
subject  to the regulations will eventually  raise their user  charges.
This means that the average  user charges will increase to new levels.
The needed adjustments usually take several years, and  they occur only
after all  concerned parties  (bankers,   consumers, and the governments)
accept the environmental  requirements and the  associated  increases.

    The  systems in strong financial  condition,  that  is,  whose  post-
regulatory rates are expected to be below the  thresholds will lead the
way.   They should be  able  to get the needed capital,  but it may take
them many  years to raise  the rates  by the desired  amounts.   Some of
these strong  communities  may not  be  able to  issue revenue  bonds
immediately  because of  large rate increases.   They  may have to issue
either double  barrel bonds that  are  supported by both system revenues
and the  full faith and credit of the  municipalities,  or  short-term
notes.   Thus, the  adjusment  may  take  a  long  time.  Some of the systems
whose  post-regulatory rates are expected to exceed the thresholds may be
able to  issue  revenue bonds,  but  only after  the systems with strong
financial health have  demonstrated that  they  can  successfully  raise the
rate to  cover the  cost  of new regulations.

C.  CONSUMER WILLINGNESS AND  FINANCIAL ABILITY

    The financial  willingness and ability criteria  are heavily based
upon  current  household  user   fees   and   debt  serviced   by  the
                                 IV-2

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municipality.   These criteria  are  limited in their ability to accurately
forecast the  consumer's  willingness  to  pay  for  environmental  services.
The criteria serve as useful  indicators, but only when local governments
make arrangements  to raise  fees or initiate a bond referendum to finance
new construction  will  the  preferences be known.   Indeed,  EPA expects
that consumers,  bankers,  and governments eventually will  accept the  new
requirements and will be  willing to pay much higher charges for improved
environmental  services.

    Many of these environmental services are goods for which  consumers
can make some adjustments  in their  consumption patterns,  so  as prices
rise,  their demand for the  services  may change.  The  study also fails  to
allow for  major changes  in the production  of  environmental services,
some  of  which  may  decrease  the  eventual  cost  of   meeting   the
regulations.   Municipalities  may  choose  to  enter into regional services
in  order  to take  advantage  of scale economies.   They  may choose  to
privatize  services,   which  could free them  from the responsibility  of
raising funds to  finance  the construction of facilities.   They may  also
purchase services from adjacent municipalities or  special districts.
These  actions may  relieve the  smaller communities of  raising capital.

    The impact  evaluation criteria  show if a  municipality will have
difficulties when faced  with the new  requirements,  in the absence  of
other capital needs.   Some  municipalities may not  have  to  reach  the
thresholds used in  the study before  they find themselves  constrained,
particularly in light  of the  large  number  of  additional  public works
demands being made  of  local  governments.  The  criteria may, therefore,
be  construed as  being too  conservative.    The thresholds have been
developed  using  empirical data,-  hence,   they cannot  be  treated  as
absolutes.    The  variables  themselves are used by the  financial
community  for  assessing  financial conditions.    PP&E Inc.  conducted a
review  of  the  variables  and  their thresholds  by testing  them  on
financial  conditions of selected cities  and confirmed  their suitability
for this study.  The results  of the review will be made available in  the
near future.
                                  IV-3

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D.  LIMITED AVAILABILITY OF  COST  INFORMATION

     Information  on both the  baseline costs  as well  as  costs of  new
 regulations was  limited.  The  cost  of all  environmental services  is  not
 available from the  financial  reports of  municipalities.    For  example,
 the  cost  of complying with  the asbestos  regulations  is  not given  in  any
 particular  line  item.    In  this  study, the  baseline  environmental  costs
 were  assumed to be  the  sum  of drinking water, wastewater and solid waste
 water  services.   These  costs constitute between 80% and  90% of  the  total
 costs.   Therefore,  the actual increase in user  charges as  a percent of
 existing  envronmental  costs will be a little lower  than those  given in
 the  report.

    Another consideration  in interpreting  the  results  of the  study is
 the  limited  set of  EPA regulations that  were included  in  the cost
 analysis.   Although more than 40 actions  in the list of  85  considered in
 the   study were  identified  as  having  some  implications for  local
 government, only  23  regulations  were  at that stage of development  where
 cost  data were  available.    Several  of  the omitted requirements may
 require significant  investments in  local  government  resources  (e.g.,
 asbestos  in public  buildings),  or may lead  to major changes  in current
 land use  patterns  (e. g., groundwater protection,   nonpoint source
 guidelines) .   The  results  of  this study therefore provide a  somewhat
 limited picture  of  the environmental needs  of local governments.  This
 study captures only a portion of the total  picture.

 E.   ENVIRONMENTAL SERVICES  PROVIDED  BY PRIVATE  ORGANIZATIONS

    The supply of  environmental services  to households  is  currently
 undertaken  by  governmental  units  and  private companies.   The pattern of
 supply varies for  several  reasons,   including  geographic, political,
 economic,  and  historic  or institutional  considerations.    In many  parts
 of  the country  private companies  own and  operate  drinking water  and
 waste  disposal  operations.   Wastewater  treatment  plants  are,   however,
 predominantly owned and operated by governments.   A small proportion  --1
 to   2  percent--  of  the  sewer systems  are  operated under service
                                  IV-4

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contracts whereby  the  firm provides  services for a  fee.   Over  50 percent
of community water systems are owned and operated by private investors,
associations,   and  institutions  other  than  local  governments.  The
majority  of  these private operations  are small  systems serving fewer
than 1000 persons. Approximately  20 percent  of municipal landfills are
owned  and operated  by private  firms,   and a  large  proportion  of
governments  owning landfills  contract  for  collection  services.

    The  issue of  ownership  is  an important  aspect to consider when
addressing  the financial implications  of an expanding environmental
program.   Most private firms  can  directly  bill  consumers, when required,
to expand their operations  without having  to meet the  financial and
legislative  procedural  requirements made  of  governments. Private firms,
unless regulated as a public utility,  will not have to meet the voter's
approval on raising rates  or incurring additional debt  to fund capital
improvements.  But  they  may  be constrained in raising user fees, should
they wish to  retain customers, when substitute services  are  available.
There  are  other issues  surrounding aspects  of  public  versus  private
provision of  environmental  services,   but these issues  are  beyond the
scope of this  report.

F.  CONSTRAINTS ON LOCAL  GOVERNMENT DEBT  FINANCING

    The ability to issue  new  bonds  or  use other  types of financing may
be constrained by  many  state and Federal statutes,  and  by the  need to
improve all  public infrastructures,  including highways and rapid transit
systems.    The  analysis  does not take  into account  the  following
constraints that  municipalities may  face in issuing debt.

   1.  Tax and Expenditure Restrictions

    Many  state  governments  have  legislated   tax and  expenditure
restrictions  for  local  governments.    These  restrictions prevent  local
governments from  exceeding either  the established tax  rate  or levies
 (revenues) for a  given  fiscal year. Other limits are set on assessment
increases resulting from  appreciating  property values.    Limits may be
                                  IV-5

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placed  on total  debt  incurred by a local government, expressed  as  a
percentage of  taxable or assessed property values. Voter  approval  may
be required for a bond referendum,  and the criteria  for approval  can be
strict  (e. g.,  two-thirds majority vote,  80% approval  of local  council
members).  There are many exceptions  to the statutory  limitations,  and
few   local  governments  have   reached  the  limits   set  by  state
governments.    Nevertheless, with  rapidly expanding environmental  and
other public  infrastructure needs,  there may be instances where these
limits  will be  binding,  particularly when large commitments  fall  upon
smaller governments.

    2. The 1986 Tax Reform Act

    An important action  affecting capital  financing by local governments
was the 1986  Tax Reform Act. Changes  in the tax codes have  implications
for financing  mechanisms that  enjoyed tax-exempt status under earlier
rules.    Revenue and  G.O. bonds or  "governmental purpose" bonds will
maintain  their tax-exempt  status,  provided that private  involvement
represents less than 10 percent of the uses of the proceeds.  when  and
if  tax-exempt status  cannot be obtained, the investors  will expect
higher interest rates  and customers will  have to pay  higher user  charge
rates  to cover the  higher  cost of debt.

    The new tax codes also  have  implications for private operation  and
ownership  of  public facilities.   Many of  the tax advantages  enjoyed by
private firms and local  governments through public-private  financing
have been eliminated.    Limitations  on tax-exempt  status  for private-
activity bonds  do  not void  the option for private operation of public
facilities.     Maintaining  tax-exempt status  for  capital  financing,
however,  will  require  governments  to  retain ownership of,  and
obligations for supplying,  the  environmental  service.    This will  not
lead to noticeable differences  in current  practices,  but it  may  affect
future capital financial  decisions.
                                 IV-6

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    3.   Infrastructure Outlays

    Infrastructure  constructed  made during the 1950s to the  1970s  are
reaching the end of their useful  lives and are in need of rehabilitation
and  replacement.    New  requirements have  placed greater demands  on
existing services,  and  reduced federal grant  funding of programs  is
placing  greater responsibility for financing public  works on local
governments.  Government  spending for public works has increased in real
terms from $60 billion in 1960 to $105  billion in 1985.  However,  public
works expenditures  as a percentage of national economic indicators,  such
as Gross National  Product,  have steadily declined from 3.5  percent  to
2.5 percent over this same period.   The proportionate rate of decline in
capital outlays has been more precipitous,   falling  from  2.3  percent  to
1.1 percent.

    Estimates of future  public  infrastructure needs  have  been prepared
by several private  and  governmental institutions  (Table  IV-1) .    They
suggest  that there  are  large  current  capital needs  in  all areas  of
public  infrastructure that  will extend into the next century. These
projections do not include many of  the costs that will be incurred  when
meeting the  additional  EPA  regulations  examined in  this  study.   The
reports on capital needs  project major  shortfalls in funding (Table  IV-
2) .    New  environmental  requirements will  increase  the size of  these
shortfalls.     It  should be noted  that analyses  by  the  Office  of
Management  and Budget have suggested methods of better defining needs by
taking  into  account the consumers'   willingness  to  pay  for these
services.    These  methods may  lower the  overall level  of estimated
capital  needs and may show no shortfall  at  all.    In any case,  the
consumers are expected to continue  to pay  for  all  infrastructure  needs
for the  foreseeable  future.    The analysis in this report  examines  the
ability of communities to incur  environmental  expenditures  only.  Costs
of other infrastructure needs may make it difficult for some communities
to raise needed capital even  for environmental  projects.
                                  IV-7

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                                  TABLE IV-1



                        THREE NATIONAL  NEEDS  STUDIES;

            COMPARISON  OF  ANNUAL CAPITAL  INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS

                         (In billions  of 1982  dollars)
Infrastructure Category

Highways and Bridges
Other transportation (mass transit,
railroads, airports, ports, locks,
waterways)1
Drinking water
Wastewater treatment
Drainage
Total
ACG Study
(19 yr. ave.)
$ 62.8 "
17.5
6.9
25.4
5.6
CBO Study
(1983-90)
$27.2
11.1
7.7
6.6
NA
JEC Study
(1983-2000)
$ 40.0
9.9
5.3
9.1
d
$ 118.2 $ 52.6 $ 64.3
"The time frame for addressing needs varied by specific infrastructure category from 5 to 25 years and averaged 19 years.
Highways only. Bridges were estimated separately at an additional, one-time repair cost of $51.7 billion.
'Needs for locks and waterways were not available from the JEC study; and needs for railroads were not available from
the CBO study.
Included under wastewater treatment.
Source: Peterson, et. al, Infrastructure Needs Studies: A Critique, a
provement by The Urban Institute, July 1, 1986.
paper prepared for
the National Council on
Public Works Im-
AGC :  Associated  General Contractors  of  America
CBO :  Congressional  Budget Office
JEC :  Joint  Economic Committee

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                                             TABLE   IV-2

                                THREE NATIONAL NEEDS  STUDIES;
                 COMPARISON OF  ANNUAL  CAPITAL INVESTMENT  SHORTFALLS
                                 (in  billions  of  1982  dollars)
    Infrastructure   Category

    Highways and  bridges
    Other  transportation
    Drinking water
    Wastewater  treatment
    Drainage
      Total  Shortfall
       Total Shortfalls as a percentage
         of total  needs
ACG Study
(19 yr. ave.)
   $  44.8
       4.8
      4.5
      18.4
      NA
  $  71.7

    60.7%
CBO  Study
 (1983-90)
     b
     b
     b
     NA
  $  17.4

    33.170
JEC Study
(1983-2000)
   $14.7
      4.9
      2.3
      2.7
         d

   $ 24.6

     38.3%
      "The time frame for addressing needs varied by specific infrastructure category from 5 to 25 years and averaged 19 years.
       Shortfall figures for individual infrastructure categories were not specified, but are included in the total.
      'Ohter transportation includes mass transit, railroads, airports, ports, locks, and waterways.  Shortfall estimates for railroads
   were not available for the CBO study, and shortfalls for mass transit, airports and ports were not available for the AGC study.
   Neither the AGC nor the JEC study estimated the shortfall for locks, waterways, dams, or the air traffic control system. These
   however, are maintained in CBO's estimate of total annual shortfall.
       Included under  wastewater treatment.
   Source: Peterson, et. al, Infrastructure Needs Studies: A Critique, a paper prepared for the National Council on Public
   Works Improvement by the Urban Institute, July  1.  1986
AGC  :   Associated General  Contractors  of  America
CBO  :   Congressional  Budget  Office
JEC  :   Joint  Economic  Committee
                                                      IV- <

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     G.  BOND ISSUING PROCESS

    This  study made  two simplifying assumptions regarding  the bond
issuing process.    First, the  study  assumed that water  and  sewer  systems
issue revenue bonds.    In practice,  however,   it  is  the  supporting cities
that conduct the required administrative  tasks  and  issue  bonds  on behalf
of the systems.   Second,  the study assumed  that cities  prefer to  issue
revenue bonds, but often it  is  cheaper  to issue G.O. bonds. Therefore,
a city may  choose  G.O. bonds  over revenue bonds, especially  if the city
is in good  financial  condition.

    For the above reasons,   care should  be  taken  in  interpreting the
results of  the study.   One  of the primary goals of  this undertaking  is
to better understand the difficulty of considering  the ramifications  of
proposed EPA  actions on  local governments.   Whether or not  the  results
of  this  study  can  be used  to   accurately  predict  the number   of
municipalities  that  will  have difficulties in  meeting these new
regulations  is uncertain.   The fact  that  EPA  acknowledges the importance
of this information and has made an effort to tackle this  issue,  in and
of itself,  is a  positive  step  toward  developing  a better regulatory
process.
                                 IV-10

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                       V.   POLICY  CONSIDERATIONS
    The primary finding of the municipal sector study is that many small
and some  large  communities  will face serious difficulty  in  raising  the
capital needed to improve environmental  services.   The problem is partly
due to the timing of the  needs  --  a  large  new  set  of requirements to be
met in a  fairly short time period --  partly  due  to  weak financial
conditions of water  and sewer systems and municipalities.

    A number of activities have been suggested to support the efforts of
  all communities  to comply with environmental  regulations.


A.  PUBLIC  EDUCATION  INITIATIVES

    Public education has  two  purposes.   First, making  the people aware
of the potential net benefits  to be gained by investing  in environmental
protection  should  increase  their stated willingness  to pay for  the
project or service.    Second,  where  the  environmental benefits  are
diffuse and  it  is difficult  to assign benefits to specific groups  of
payers (e. g.,  long-distance  air pollution), moral  suasion  may  improve
compliance as people become aware  of the  larger cooperative  undertaking
that  is being proposed.   Public notification reqirements,  and  efforts
to better  communicate  informtion on pollution  risks, are but a  few of
the methods at the disposal of  federal, state  and  local governments  for
including the public in  establishing environmental  programs  and  setting
priorities.

B.  TECHNICAL  ASSISTANCE INITIATIVES

    1.  Technical Assistance

    In many cases, small  communities do not  need full-time personnel  in
all specialties or  service  areas.     Provision  (for  a fee)  of such
services  by a central  authority, either the  federal  government or state
                                  V-l

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governments  could allow small  communities to gain  from  economies of
scale and scope.

    Such technical  assistance programs  could  take the  form  of either
guidance --  such as  sharing  scientific,  technical,   or management
information  --  or such  technical  services as supplying laboratory or
engineering  services.    In addition,  educational institutions  (technical
and  academic)  can continue to  play an important role  in  working with
local communities  in  need of  their  particular levels of  expertise.

    2. Public  Partnerships

    Partnerships provide an informal mechanism for communities to share
expertise,  to  pruchase  services  and  goods  in  larger  volumes  for
discounts,  and, more formally,  to  raise capital in larger, more  cost-
effective blocks.     Partnerships  between unequal  entities could be
encouraged by  providing incentives to  the  larger  (wealthier)  partner.
Potential partners  include large  cities and small cities, well-to-do
cities and  poor cities,  and  urban cities  and rural cities.

    3.   Regionalization

    Regionalization  is  a more  structured  form  of  partnership,  in  which
two or more communities  create  a  joint  venture for a particular purpose,
such as  construction of a water supply  system.   This  action allows a
variety of  efficiency gains,  including  economies of scale and scope,  and
large-volume purchase discounts.   The  use of  regionalized services  may
be more  suitable  for  some environmental  services, but  not necessarily
for all services.   For  example,  in  those instances where  regionalization
may  lead to a central  waste collection and disposal  service and to
concentration of pollution risks,  the  centralization of treatment  and
disposal  operations must  be  examined.
                                  V-2

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C.  FINANCIAL  INITIATIVES

    1.   Reform of Existing Rate Structure

    In  cases  where the basic  management structure is  in  place,  rate
reform may still be needed.  Rate  reform may  include raising the level
of rates   (increasing revenue) or changing the  rate  structure (e.g.,
instituting marginal  cost pricing,  including peak load pricing when
appropriate) .   Communities can  examine current  rate structures to insure
that rates are generating revenues equal to the full cost of services.
Current provisions  for obtaining  federal grants  include this  element,
and efforts are underway to  evaluate  whether  communities have been
establishing  suitable  rate  structures.

    2. Development Taxes

    Special taxes  may be  levied in areas  undergoing  rapid growth and
development.  These assessments could be earmarked  for  the  improvement
of environmental  services  and could be  levied  on  developers  directly or
on property  owners  who  expect  to  profit from  development.   As
environmental improvements  often affect  property values, a  similar
approach  might be used even in relatively  low-growth  areas.    Many
specific versions of development taxes  have been  devised. A few of the
more  common  are:

    •   ad valorem  on  property;
    •   exactions from developers  (in kind or  cash);  and
    •   tax  incremental  financing  (tax  rates  are   not
        changed,  but as property values  rise, property  tax
        revenues above  a  baseline are  devoted to special
        uses,   such as sewage  system construction or road
        building).
                                 V-3

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    3.   Special Revenue Districts

    Certain  geographic areas,   within  one  political  jurisdiction or
several jurisdictions,  are  created for the  purpose of  raising  revenue
from residents in the  area  to  be  used  for specified  purposes.  Examples
include road districts, sewer and water  districts,  or other types of
local service districts.

    4.  Enterprise Fund Management

    Utilities or enterprise  fund management  systems are used to ensure
that revenues  raised from  certain  groups of payers are  used  for the
intended  purpose   and  are managed  according  to  sound  financial
principles.   Organizations of  these  types  can  help  to balance costs and
revenues by  improving  financial management  and,  therefore, can  improve
access  to  capital  markets.

    5.   Direct Financial Assistance

    Direct financial  assistance  may  be appropriate   for  low-income
communities  where  it   is agreed  that the  environmental  protection
services should be made available to all citizens, regardless of  ability
to pay.   it may  be appropriate  to  provide assistance only  to those
communities  that fail an  "income"  or  other  "means"   test.  Such
assistance could be  from state  governments, which would  need  to  consider
adopting  appropriate  tests for directing  financial  assistance,  and
utilizing them in a consistent manner across  their  states.  Direct
financial  assistance could be  in the  form  of either grants or loans for
communities  that cannot afford  the services in the long  run or loans for
communities that are experiencing  short-term  cash-flow problems.
                                 V-4

-------
 D.  OTHER ACTIONS

     1.  Extended Compliance  Schedules

     If  certain environmental regulations do  not  seem reasonable for a
 specific group of people, or if the timing of  the  compliance schedule is
 not  reasonable, then a delay of  the  regulation or a permanent exemption
 may  be  appropriate.    Such  actions  should only be allowed  subject to
 certain constraints,  such as that no "unreasonable risk  to health" would
 be  created.   In  all  instances,  the ability  to grant exemptions is
 dictated  by existing legislation.    Several existing laws  allow for
 exemptions,  but the  rules are not consistent, and do not  dictate what
 measures  should be consided when allowing for an exemption.  The EPA
 does not  have  an  internally consistent  method for determining when the
 costs of a requirement are unaffordable,  either to the household, or for
 purposes  of   evaluating  the  cumulative  economic   impacts  of  its
 programs.     Efforts  are underway within  EPA  to  resolve existing
 inconsistencies, and establish a protocol for granting  exemptions where
 allowed for  by law.

    2.   Privatization

    Communities can explore methods  of working with private companies to
 assist  in the  provision  of environmental  services.   Several  aspects of
 privatization  include:

        •   Private  sector ownership,  construction  and/or  operation
            facilities (reduce cost  of  services by  taking  advantage of
            economic  and/or administrative efficiencies
        •   Private financing of new capital  formation, or  refinancing
            existing  financial  obligations  (reduce  financial obligations
            of community).

 Private  companies have been  involved  in the  provision  of  several
 environmental   activities,  particularly  solid waste and drinking water
 services,  and a growing number of companies are expressing interest in
providing  wastewater  treatment  services.
                                  V-5

-------
    Despite the potential advantages  of  public/private partnerships, the
current  supply of  private  firms  is  relatively  small.     Private
involvement  in many environmental services can be affected by federal
and state tax  requirements,  several of which have undergone  significant
revisions in recent  years.   Some  of  the revisions have reduced the tax
advantages  of  public/private  ownership,  in addition, decisions to use
private  companies  require  considerable   effort   in    establishing
contractual  arrangements and  liability responsibilities  in cases  of
damages or permit  violations. EPA  is  currently investigating this issue
in greater depth,  and plans to hold several conferences with experts in
the field and  interested  parties in the  coming months.

E.  ADDITIONAL  RESEARCH

    An important finding of the municipal  sector  study  is  that  not all
small   communities  are expected  to face  financial  difficulties.  This
fact suggests  that further analysis should be conducted to identify the
characteristics  of small  communities  that make them more likely to
experience  difficulty  in financing  and affording  new environmental
protection.     For  example,  does  a problem typically  arise in  small
communities  that  are:

    •   very small or sparsely populated  (lack economies  of scale and
        scope),
    •   poorly  managed  (have poor access to  financial markets) ,
    •   low income   (are unable  to  afford environmental protection),
    •   rural  (have poor  access to  technical services),
    •   uninformed    (lack   understanding  of   the   importance   of
        environmental protection),
    •   facing    significant   environmental burdens   (are   currently
        investing  an above  average  amount  of  resources  to combat
        existing pollution problems), or
    •   located in a particular state  (are  some  states  more aggressive
        in assisting their financially constrained communities) ?

If EPA could identify  those  characteristics of small communities  that

-------
inhibit compliance with  environmental  regulations,  then it could  design
an assistance strategy that is targeted  to  the  sources  of  the problem.
                                  V-7

-------
 APPENDIX  A
BASELINE DATA

-------
                       APPENDIX A -  BASELINE DATA
                            Table of Contents
 I.  GENERAL  DATA DESCRIPTION

    Table  A-l:  Number  of POTWs  by Flow  Category

    Table A-2:    Distribution of Municipal Database Sample
                  by  Municipality Size Categories

    Table A-3:    Municipalities  Responding to PP&E's User Charge Survey

    Exhibit A-l:  Data Extracted  from Financial Reports

II.  WATER BASELINE DESCRIPTION

    Table  A-4:    Water  Charges as Percent of Gross Household
                  Income

    Figure A-l:    Water  Charges as Percent of Gross Household
                  Income  (All  Communities)

    Figure A-2:    Water  Charges as Percent of Gross Household
                  Income  (Communities  with  populations  less  than 2,500)

    Figure A-3:    Water  Charges as Percent of Gross Household Income
                  (Communities with  populations  between  2,500  and 10,000)

    Figure A-4:    Water  Charges as Percent of Gross Household Income
                  (Communities with  populations  greater  than 10,000)

    Figure A-5:    Annual  Household Expenditures for Water

  III.  SEWER  BASELINE  DESCRIPTION

    Table  A-5:    Sewer  Charges as Percent of Gross Household Income

    Figure A-6:  Sewer Charges as Percent of Gross  Household Income
                 (All Communities)

    Figure A-7:    Sewer  Charges as Percent of Gross Household Income
                  (Communities  with  populations  less  than 2,500)

    Figure A-8:    Sewer  Charges as Percent of Gross Household Income
                  (Communities  with  populations  between  2,500  and 10,000)

    Figure A-9:    Sewer  Charges as Percent of Gross Household Income
                  (Communities with  populations  greater  than 10,000)

    Figure A-10:  Annual  Household Expenditures for Sewer

-------
IV. SOLID  WASTE  BASELINE DESCRIPTION

   Table A-6:   Solid Waste  Charges  as Percent of Household  Income

   Figure  A-ll:  Cost of Solid Waste  Services as Percent of
                Gross Household Income (All Communities)

   Figure  A-12:  Cost of Solid Waste  Services as Percent of
                Gross Household Income (Communities with
                populations  less  than  2,500)

   Figure  A-13:  Cost of Solid Waste  Services as Percent of
                Gross Household Income (Communities with
                populations  between  2,500  and 10,000)

   Figure  A-14:  Cost of Solid Waste  Services as Percent of
                Gross Household Income  (Communities with)
                populations  greater  than  10,000)

   Figure  A-15:  Annual Household Expenditures for Solid Waste

V. GENERAL  OBLIGATION  BASELINE

   Table A-7:   Debt Ratios

   Table A-8:   Derivation of Debt Ratio Threshold Limits

   Figure  A-16:  Distribution of the  Ratio Annual  Debt  Service to
                Government  Revenues (All Communities)

   Figure  A-17:  Distribution of the  Ratio Annual  Debt  Service to
                Government  Revenues  (Communities  with  populations less
                than 2,500)

   Figure  A-18:  Distribution of the  Ratio Annual  Debt  Service to
                Government  Revenues  (Communities  with populations
                greater than 2,500)

   Figure  A-19:  Distribution of the  Ratio Annual  Debt  Service to Market
                Value  of  Taxable Property  (All Communities)

-------
                  I.  GENERAL  DESCRIPTION  OF  THE DATA

A. THE  SAMPLE

    The  sample was  taken from a population of  approximately 12,000
Publicly Owned Treatment Works.   Sample cases were  selected by  means of
a stratified random  sample for  five  different  flow ranges  (Table A-l) .
Of the  700 local governments in the  sample 285 responded by sending
various  financial   documents.   The  final database for the  Municipal
Sector consists of 270 cases   (Tables  A-2, A-3) .

    The  local  governments in the sample were  contacted  several times.
First, all 700 communities were  reached by telephone in order  to explain
what  was  needed and to  find out to whom the  request should  be sent.
Then  letters were mailed to all  the communities.   A few weeks  after the
first round of letters had  been sent, follow up  letters  were sent to
everyone who  had yet to  respond.  After  this stage,  hundreds of calls
were  made to obtain  information  from those who failed to respond and to
get  additional specific data for  the  purpose of  completing  the study
The result of this effort was a  relatively high response rate.

B.  DATA EXTRACTION

    Various types of documents  were received  by local  governments and
authorities  including:

    •  Comprehensive Annual  Financial  Reports.
    •  Official  General   Obligation   and   Revenue  Bond
        Statements.
    •  Water and Sewer system annual and  financial  reports.
    •  Ordinances and  service rate  schedules.
    •  Various types of planning reports.

    Specific  financial  and  debt  information was  extracted  from the
documents.   The data includes: environmental  expenses  and revenues
                                     A-l

-------
                         TABLE  A-l
                  NUMBER OF SELECTED  POTWs
                      BY FLOW  CATEGORY
         (Providing  Secondary or Greater  Treatment)
Flow Ranges
(mgd)
less
0.01
0.11
1.01
2.01
10.01
than 0.01
- 0.10
- 1.0
- 2.0
- 10.0
and up
Number of
Plants
445
2,759
5,381
1,031
1,450
494
11,560
Number Selected
for Sample
-0-
144
149
132
140
132
697
Source:    1986  Needs Survey Database  and PP&E analysis
                          A-2

-------
                          TABLE  A-2

          Distribution of Municipal  Database Sample
               by Municipality  Size  Categories
  Municipality  Size      Number in Sample
  Categories
               Average  Household
                Income
  0 - 2,500

  2,500 -  10,000

  10,000 -  50,000

  50,000 -  250,000

     >  250,000
 59
 55
 83
 54
 19
$ 24,505

$ 29,336

$ 30,438

$ 33,343

$ 32,238
TOTAL
270
                                A-3

-------
                                             TABLE A-3
                                   CITIES  RESPONDING   TO   PP&E'S
CITY

TRUSSVILLE  AL
OXFORD
SPRINGVILLE  AL
ULM
SILOAM SPRINGS AR
JUDSONIA
SULPHUR SPRINGS AR
SCOTTSDALE  AZ
TUCSON
PALO ALTO
SEASIDE
STOCKTON
NOVATO
LOMPOC
RIVERSIDE
PETALUMA
IRVINE
SO SAN FRANCISO CA
REDDING
SANTA BARBARA CA
HAYWARD
ESTES PARK
GLENWOOD SPRS CO
HOTCHKISS CO
MILLIKEN
Northglenn
FORT COLLINS  CO
ECKLEY
LONGMONT
NEW LONDON  CT
NORWALK
HARTFORD
BRIDGEPORT  CT
Dover
BRADENTON  FL
WNTER HAVEN FL
PORT ST JOE  FL
PENSACOLA  FL
PLANTATION  FL
Atlanta
DALTON
AUGUSTA
MACON
GRIFFIN
ANAMOSA
UNDERWOOD  IA
DUBUQUE
MERRILL

ST
AL
AL
AL
AR
i AR
AR
SAR
AZ
AZ
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
CA
)CA
CA
iCA
CA
CO
iCO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CO
CT
CT
CT
CT
DE
FL
1FL
FL
FL
FL
GA
GA
GA
GA
GA
IA
IA
IA
IA

CITY
HARLAN
FAIRFAX
CARROLL
BEACON
ORANGE CITY
BOXHOLM
WEISER
SANDPOINT
SYCAMORE
OTTAWA
URBANA
SPRING VALLEY
WAUKEGAN
ROCK FALLS
CRYSTAL LAKE
ELGIN
DURAND
BOLINGBROOK
MAHOMET
AURORA
CARTERVILLE
QUINCY
HEYWORTH
DONGOLA
CORDOVA
SPRINGFIELD
COLUMBUS
RUSHVILLE
EVANSVILLE
ELWOOD
MORGANTOWN
ABILENE
WELLINGTON
Kansas City
Shawnee
EDGERTOWN
KENSINGTON
TOPEKA
HUTCHINSON
HERINGTON
CONCORDIA
OVERLAND PARK
MIDDLESBORO
MONROE
SAREPTA
OAK GROVE
HOUMA
THIBODAUX

ST
IA
IA
IA
IA
IA
IA
ID
ID
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IL
IN
IN
IN
IN
IN
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KS
KY
LA
LA
LA
LA
LA
USER
CITY
FITCHBURG
MILFORD
LOWELL
MONTAGUE
LAWRENCE
GAITHERSBURG
Rockville
Upper Marlboro
CHURCHTON
WATERVILLE
PORTLAND
OLD ORCHARD BEA
PITTSFIELD
CHARGE SURVEY
ST
MA
MA
MA
MA
MA
MD
MD
MD
MD
ME
ME
MIE
ME
THREE RIVERS Ml
GRAND RAPIDS
FLINT
NILES
BAY CITY
CADILLAC
ADRIAN
SCOTVILLE
DETROIT
MILFORD
SHAKOPEE
GRAND RAPIDS
GLYNDON
STARBUCK
RICHMOND
WINONA
RENVILLE
MOTLEY
STEPHEN
ALDEN
FORESTON
FRANKFORD
ST. JAMES
HERMITAGE
Hillsboro
URBANA
CALHOUN
WARRENSBURG
KANSAS CITY
INDEPENDENCE
ASHLAND
GREENVILLE
OCEAN SPRINGS
ARTESIA
MOSS POINT
Ml
Ml
Ml
CITY
JACKSON
CORINTH
ST
Ms
Ms
ROANOKE RAPIDS NC
DURHAM
BOILING SPRS
Greensboro
WINSTON-SALEM
BUNN
MONROE
WILLIAMSTON
CHARLOTTE
GASTONIA
ALBEMARLE
THOMASVILLE
CANDO
RUGBY
YORK
Ml SIDNEY
Ml
Ml
Ml
Ml
Ml
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MN
MO
MO
MO
MO
MO
MO
MO
MO
MO
MS
MS
MS
MS
MS
GRAND ISLAND
FRIEND
SCOTTSBLUFF
BROWNVILLE
TECUMSEH
CONCORD
LAMBERTVILLE
CHERRY HILL
BRIDGETON
RARITAN TWP
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
CITY
ORRVILLE
MAUHEE
STEUBENVILLE
TROY
RAVENNA
GREENVILLE
VANDALIAI
BATAVIA
ANDOVER
MCALESTER
ARDMORE
WOODWARD
NCCHOCTAW
NC
ND
LINCOLN CITY
DALLAS
ND REEDSPORT
NE
NE
NE
NE
NE
NE
NE
NH
NJ
NJ
NJ
NJ
MOUNT LAUREL TWNJ
HADDONFIELD
ROSWELL
JEMEZ SPRINGS
ARTESIA
LAS VEGAS
GREENE
SUFFERN
LONG BEACH
ROCHESTER
MAYBROOK
HORNELL
ARCADE
NORTH TONAWAND/
WALLKILL
OBERLIN
NJ
NM
NM
NM
NV
NY
NY
NY
NY
NY
NY
NY
\NY
NY
OH
Cleveland City OH
DAYTON
LOGAN
LIMA
OH
OH
OH
HERMISTON
CANBY
LANCASTER
CHAMBERSBURG
TOPTON
SAEGERTONN
PITTSBURGH
INDIANA
PALMYRA
MYERSTOUN
SLATINGTON
CHARLEROI
CLAIRTON
YORK
LEWISBURG
IRWIN
NEW BRIGHTON
UNION
GREENVILLE
MYRTLE BEACH
GAFFNEY
GAFFNEY
AIKEN
SPRINGFIELD
SHELBYVILLE
MEMPHIS
OAK RIDGE
Nashville
SPRINGFIELD
CLEVELAND
GALVESTON
FARMERSVILLE
ST
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OH
OK
OK
OK
OK
OR
OR
OR
OR
OR
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
PA
Pa
SC
SC
SC
SC
SC
SC
SD
TN
TN
TN
TM
TN
TN
TX
TX
CITY
KNOX CITY
FREEPORT
WEBSTER
PALESTINE
CALDWELL
BRENHAM
ST
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
RICHARDSON TX
HOUSTON
TX
WICHITA FALLS TX
ROBERT LEE
DALLAS
EL PASO
TYLER
TX
TX
TX
TX
CORPUS CHRISTI TX
LOGAN
SALT LAKE CITY
UT
UT
LURAY.TOWNOFVA
CHRISTIANSBURG
ROANOKE
NEWPORT NEWS
EVERETT
WENATCHEE
OAK HARBOR
VANCOUVER
TACONA
WINLOCK
SILVER LAKE
GREEN BAY
BEAR CREEK
DE PERE
ELEVA
ETTRICK
WATERTOUN
WILTON
KENOSHA
HUDSON
BELOIT
CASHTON
Parkersburg
BLUEFIELD
CHARLESTON
LA BARGE
KEMMERER





VA
VA
VA
WA
WA
WA
WA
WA
WA
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
Wl
wv
wv
wv
WY
WY





                                               A-4

-------
information regarding  residential use; numerous  items concerning debt
and  debt service,-  general  government revenues;  and,  market value of
taxable property  (Exhibit  A-l) .

C. THE QUALITY  OF THE DATA

    The  financial data was gathered  from  over 1,000 documents and over
500 telephone calls for additional specific information.   The financial
documents were thoroughly  examined .  Approximately one half  of  a man-
year was spent analyzing,  assimilating and compiling the data.

    As a result  of  this  massive  effort, many  costs were  accurately
identifed.     For  example,   the  percentage  of  total  revenues  from
residential  users was  ascertained as well as the  number of  households
using a  particular  system  or  service.   Another example was the discovery
of what  households  were actually paying for their  water  and  sewer
services. Specifically,   it  was determined  whether general   obligation
debt  (for water and/or sewer)  was serviced by general  funds  (i.e.
property  taxes) or  enterprise  funds  (i.e.  user fees).

D. THE VALIDITY OF THE DATA

    The baseline  data was compared, to the extent possible,  with census
results.    These  comparisons,  which allowed for  inflation  and  other
factors,   revealed only small  (e.g.   5 percent)  discrepancies  in the
baseline  data.

    Furthermore,  95%  confidence intervals were  calculated for  sewer,
water, and  solid waste means,   with excellent  results.   The mean of
annual household income for sewer was 0.44 % with a confidence interval
of plus  or minus  0.03 %; for water the mean was 0.53% with a  confidence
interval of  plus  or minus 0.04 %; and for solid waste the mean was 0.32
% with a connfidence interval  of  plus  or minus 0.04 %.
                                     A-5

-------
                                   EXHIBIT A-l


                            DATA BEING EXTRACTED FROM

                    FINANCIAL REPORTS OF  CITIES  IN THE STUDY




CITY:                        DATE :                   SEWER  REV. RATING: /
                                                   G.O.  BOND  RATING:  /
                                                               Moody'S/S&P

1.   ENVIRONMENTAL  EXPENSES
     (Source:  Enterprise  Fund/General Fund)

                                      SEWER             WATER        SOLID  WASTE

    PAGE #, DOCUMENT:              	     	

    O&M:                            	     	   	

    DEPRECIATION
    Less  Depreciation  on
    contributed  assets

    INTEREST  EXPENSE

    Less  INTEREST  REVENUE

    Other  Non-Operating
    Expenses  less  Revenue

    G.O.  BOND           Int.
     (Source: Debt
     Service  Fund)     Princ.

    Other  (e.g.  Extraordinary
    loss/gain on refunding:

    TOTAL

    REVENUES

    Net  Transfers  out

    Increase  in
    Retained  Earnings
                                        A-6

-------
II. HOUSEHOLDS

    # of Households:

    # of Service  Conn.

    Population

    Monthly  Charge:
     (9,000  gal/mo.)


III. SEWER/WATER  USERS



    Residential:

    Commercial:

    Industrial:
                                       Pg/Doc.
                                       Pg/Doc.
NUMBER
FLOW
                               REVENUES
                                           Pg/Doc.
Pg/Doc.
IV. DEBT
    Annual  debt  service (prin. &  int.)
     (Source:  Governmental  fund types)
     (Debt  Service,  General Fund &
     Special  Revenue):
    General  Obligation Debt:

    Enterprise  G.O.  Debt:

    Revenue  Debt:

    Other:

    Other:

    Other:

    Total  Direct Long-term  Debt:

    Overlapping  Debt:
    Total  Direct and Overlapping Debt:

    Legal  Debt Limit:               	

    Legal  Debt Margin:

         Voting

         Nonvoting:
                                           A-7

-------
     Revenue Debt Margin:




         Voting:




         Nonvoting:






V.   LOCAL GOVERNMENT  REVENUES




     General Fund:




     Special Revenue:




     Debt Service:




     Capital Projects:




     Special Assessment:




     Expendable Trust:




     TOTAL






VI. TAXABLE  PROPERTY




     Market Value of  Property:




     OR  Calculate Market  Value




     Assessed Value:




     Assessment Rate:




     OR  Calculate Assessment  Value




     Property Tax Rate:




     Property Taxes  Collected:
                                          A-1

-------
                     II.  WATER BASELINE  DESCRIPTION

    The average household pays approximately one  half of one percent
(0.532%)  of  its  gross  income on water  (Figure A-l) .   The average  for
households  in municipalities  with populations of  less  than 2,500  is
higher (0.562%)  (Figure A-2).   The percent  of  gross household  income
devoted  to water  services  is also  higher  for  municipalities with
populations  between  2,500  and 10,000 than  it  is  for the overall  average
 (Figure A-3) .   The average  for large municipalities with populations
over 10,000 is smaller  (0.501%)  than the national average  (Figure A-4).
Residents of  smaller municipalities typically pay a higher percent  of
their  gross  income on water  services  than do  residents  of  larger
municipalities.

    The national  mean and  standard deviation were calculated to be 0.53%
and 0.29%,  respectively.   For the purposes of this study,  we  developed
three  thresholds,  1.0 %,   1.25 % and 2.0 %, that  represent varying
degrees of  excessive user  charges  (Table A-4) .

    The average annual  household expenditure  for water  services  is $149
for the nation (Figure  A-5).
                                     A-!

-------
                   TABLE  A-4
WATER CHARGES AS A PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD  INCOME
Size Category
Less than 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
Greater than 10,000
All Cases
Number of
Cases
35
34
101
170
Mean
.562
.59
.501
.532
Standard
Deviation
.303
.351
.262
.293
                   A-10

-------
                          WATER USER  CHARGES AS  PERCENT
                            OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                 (All  Communities)
                                  FIGURE   A-1
u

B
z
w
o
I
45

40 -

35 -

30 -

25 -

20

15 H

10

 5
        0
                                       T-
           .00-.25   .25-.50    .50-.75    .75-1.0  1.00-1.25  1.25-1.50 1.50-1.75
                              PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                                                    i
                                                                  1.75-
                                         A-ll

-------
                            WATER USER CHARGES AS  PERCENT
                             OF GROSS  HOUSEHOLD  INCOME"
                            (Communities  with  Population
                                  Less Than  2,500)
If,
o
z
w
c
w
a.
        10
                               FIGURE  A-2
           .00-.25    .25-.50    .50-.75    .75-1.0  1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50 1.50-1.75
                              PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
1.75-
                                          A-12

-------
       45
If.
to
r
z
i»
o
40 -



35 -



30 -



25



20



15




10 •



 5 •
                           WATER  USER CHARGES AS  PERCENT

                             OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD  INCOME

                            (Communities with  Population

                             Between  2,500 and  10,000)
                                    FIGURE A-3
                                                                       S77,
           .00-.25    .25-.50   .50-.75   .75-1.0 1.00-1.25  1.25-1.50 1.50-1.75  1.75-

                             PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                          A-13

-------
                            WATER USER  CHARGES AS PERCENT
                              OF GROSS  HOUSEHOLD INCOME"
                            (Communities  with  Population
                                Greater Than  10,000)
                                 FIGURE A-4
tn
IM
K
O
5
c
u
       45
       40 -
                    i         i        i	r-
.00-.25    .25-.50    .50-.75    .75-1.0 1.00-1.25 1.25-1
                             .50-.75    .75-1.0 1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50  1.50-1.75  1.75-
                              PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                          A-14

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                   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES FOR WATER
                                   [In  Dollars)
                               FIGURE A-5
(A
V
If!
<
o
z
Ml
u
           <$75      $75-$125    $125-$175   $175-$225  $225-$275  $275-$325

                               DOLLARS PER HOUSEHOLD
>$325
                                        A-15

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                    Ill.  SEWER  BASELINE DESCRIPTION

    The average annual household expenditure for  sewer  is  0.44  percent
of gross household income  (Table A-5  and Figure A-6) .  This average  was
also determined for  three  population categories:   communities  under
2,500  (0.511%);  communities between 2,500 and  10,000  (0.442%)  and;
communities over 10,000  (0.426%).     (See  Figures A-7,  A-8,  and A-9) .
Smaller communities (less than 2,500), on the average pay significantly
more  per  household   for   wasewater  services   (19.8%)   than  larger
communities  (over  10,000).   This is a  relatively greater difference than
that found in  drinking  water  user  fees  compared with water  costs.
Wastewater  facilities  are more  capital  intensive.     Some  of  the
difference between  the two  is attributable  to economies  of  scale in  the
production of wastewater  treatment.    There  may  also  be  a  reluctance on
the part  of smaller  communities  to   recover the final costs of  water
treatment  through user  fees,   and rely  instead  on partial  recovery
through general  revenues  (e.g.,  property taxes).

    The national mean  and standard deviation were calculated to be  0.44%
and 0.25%,  respectively.   For the purposes of this study,  we developed
three  thresholds,  1.0 %,   1.25 % and  2.0 %,  that  represent  varying
degrees of  excessive user charges.

    The average annual household expenditure for sewer  services  is  $127
 (Figure A-10) .
                                     A-16

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                   TABLE  A-5
SEWER CHARGES AS A PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Size Category
Less than 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
Greater than 10,000
All Cases
Number of
Cases
48
51
132
231
Mean
.511
.442
.426
.447
Standard
Deviation
.337
.203
.226
.251
                    A-17

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                            SEWER USER CHARGES AS  PERCENT

                               OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                  (All  Communities)
                                      FIGURE   A-6
M

-------
                          SEWER  USER CHARGES AS PERCENT
                            OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                          (Communities  with Population
                                 Less  Than  2,500)
                                  FIGURE A-7
o
_rf
o
           .00-.25
                   .25-.50
                           .50-.75
.75-1.0 1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50 1.50-1.75  1.75-
                          PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                     A-19

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                           SEWER USER CHARGES AS PERCENT
                             OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                           (CommunitieswithPopulation
                            Between  2,500 and  10,000)
                                   FIGURE A-8
^
o
z
b
u
       10
           .00-.25
                   .25-.50  .50-.75 .75-1.0  1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50  1.50-1.75

                            PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                     A-20

-------
                             SEWER  USER CHARGES  AS PERCENT
                               OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD  INCOME
                             (Communities  with  Population
                                Greater Than 10,000)
                                   FIGURE A-9
M
U
<
O

o
I
O
5
           .00-.25
                    .25-.50
                             .50-.75   .75-1.0 1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50  1.50-1.75  1.75-
                              PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                          A-21

-------
                    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD  EXPENDITURES FOR  SEWER

                                   (In Dollars)
                                   FIGURE A-10
y.
w
IB

o
c
^

&
       40
       35
       30 -
       25 -
       20
       15 -\j
       10 -'
       5 -/
                                                           m
            <$75     $75-$125  $125-$175  $175-$225 $225-$275 $275-$325


                               DOLLARS PER HOUSEHOLD
                                                                      $325<
                                        A-22

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                   IV.  SOLID  WASTE BASELINE DESCRIPTION

    In many communities, residents pay for private solid waste disposal
services; hence the data obtained  in  financial requests represents only
the costs of  solid waste disposal when the  service  is provided by the
municipality.   Based on the data available  from the financial  reports of
these cities,  the  average  annual  household expenditure for solid waste
services  (collection  and landfill) is 0.32  percent  of gross household
income   (Table  A-6  and  Figure  A-ll).      This  percentage  varies
significantly depending on the  size of the population:  communities with
populations less  than 2,500  (0.213%);   communities  with populations
between  2,500 and 10,000  (0.321 %) ; and  communities  with populations
greater  than 10,000 (0.351  %) .   (Figures  A-12, A-13 and  A-14) .

    The average annual household expense  for  solid waste is  $  92  (Figure
A-15) .
                                     A-23

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                        TABLE A-6
   SOLID WASTE CHARGES AS A PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME*

Size Category
Less than 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
Greater than 10,000
All Cases
Number of
Cases
16
19
67
102

Mean
.213
.321
.351
.32
Standard
Deviation
.093
.239
.228
.22
*These  costs  represent  costs paid by the city and exclude
 costs  paid  by  consumers   directly to  disposal  service
 companies.
                         A-24

-------
                        *COST OF  SOLID  WASTE SERVICES  AS
                        PERCENT OF  GROSS HOUSEHOLD  INCOME
                                    (All Cities)
                                     FIGURE A-11
n
u
,/
B
o
           .00-.25    .25-.50   .50-.75    .75-1.00  1.00-1.25  1.25-1.50  1.50-1.75  1.75-

                             PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
         *These costs  represent  costs paid  by the city  and exclude costs
          paid by  consumers  directly to  disposal service  companies.
                                         A-25

-------
M

O
_)


o
z
hf
O
                     *COST OF SOLID WASTE SERVICES  AS

                     PERCENT OF GROSS HOUSEHOLD  INCOME

                         (Communities with  Population

                               Less Than 2,500)
                               FIGURE  A-12
       20.
       10-
                           //7s
           .00-.25    .25-.50   .50-.75   .75-1.00  1.00-1.25  1.25-1.50  1.50-1.75  1.75-

                            PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
         *These  costs represent costs paid by the  city  and exclude costs
          paid  by consumers directly to disposal  service  companies.
                                     A-26

-------
                         *COST  OF SOLID WASTE SERVICES  AS
                        PERCENT  OF  GROSS HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                           (Communities with  Population

                            Between 2,500 and 10,000)
                                 FIGURE A-13
u
_J
<
fv
*.
^

c
f~
z
            .00-.25
                     .25-.50
.50-.75   .75-1.00  1.00-1.25  1.25-1.50  1.50-1.75 1.75-

  PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
           *These  costs  represent costs paid  by the city  and  exclude costs
            paid  by consumers directly  to  disposal service  companies.
                                            A-27

-------
                         *COST OF  SOLID  WASTE  SERVICES AS
                         PERCENT OF  GROSS  HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                            (Communities  with Population
                              Greater Than  10,000)
                                  FIGURE A-14
K
U
«<

c
u
o
                                           _L
           .00-.25   .25-.50    .50-.75   .75-1.00 1.00-1.25 1.25-1.50 1.50-1.75  1.75-

                             PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLD INCOME
         *These costs  represent  costs paid by  the  city and exclude  costs
          paid by  consumers directly to disposal  service  companies.
                                         A-28

-------
               ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES FOR SOLID WASTE

                                 (In  Dollars)
                                 FIGURE  A-15
u
.J

5
o
               <$50
$50-$100          $100-$150

 DOLLARS PER HOUSEHOLD
> $150
                                    A-29

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                   V.  GENERAL  OBLIGATION BASELINE  DATA

A.  All Cases

    Two tests were  devised to predict whether or not a  community  could
issue general obligation debt.  The first test is based  on  the  ratio  of
the community's annual debt  service to  general  government   revenues,   and
the second is based on  the  ratio of annual debt  service  to  total market
value of  taxable property  (Table A-7).    These two ratios are a good
reflection of the  financial  condition  of a municipality.   Furthermore,
there is  a high correlation  between  these ratios  and  other financial
ratios used in municipal credit analysis.  These ratios  also provide  an
indication  of  how  much  additional  debt  can be supported by the
municipality.

    The baseline average for the first  ratio,  debt  service to government
revenues,  is  8.1 %.   In other words, communities  devote,   on  the  average,
8 % of their revenues  to  meet their debt service needs  (Figure A-16).
This average is higher (10.5  %) for  communities with populations less
than 2,500.   There  is also  a  very high standard  deviation for small
communities.    This is understandable  because small communities either
have no  general  obligation debt, or  if they do,  it  constitutes  a
relatively high percentage of  their revenues.   Accordingly, there is  a
bimodal  distribution of this  ratio for small  communities   (Figure A-17).
The second ratio,  debt  service  to  market  value of  property  has  a
baseline  average of 0.22 percent for all  communities  (Figure A-19).

B.  Baa-rated Cases

   The purpose  of the  general  obligation bond test, as with other parts
of the MUNFIN model,  is to simulate some  of  the decisions made in the
municipal  bond market.   In this market, the ability  of a  municipality  to
issue general obligation  bonds at affordable  interest rates largely
depends on the bond rating.   The threshold  limits in the  model represent
points beyond which  communities will experience great difficulty  in
                                 A-30

-------
attempting to issue  general  obligation debt.

    Threshold  limits  were  determined  by  examining  a  sample  of
financially weak communities within  the  overall  municipal  database.  The
selection was based on the community's bond  rating.  Approximately 30
communities  were  chosen  that have  a Baa bond  rating,  the lowest
investment grade bond  rating  possible.   The Baa bond rating  indicates
that the bonds are  neither  highly nor  poorly secured.   Ratings  below  Baa
denote  that  the bond  issue is either speculative or  in  some form of
default.

    The  calculated  means  of the debt  ratios  for the Baa cases are
significantly higher than for the municipal database (which includes all
the Baa  cases  and many unrated cases) .  The means  °f  the  ratio of debt
service to government revenues are  8 % for the complete database and 12
% for the Baa sample (Tables A-7, A-8).  The means of the  ratio of debt
service to market value  of  taxable  property are  0.005  for  the complete
database and 0.008 for  the  Baa sample  (Tables A-7,  A-8).

    The threshold limits for the two  ratios were set at the  mean plus
one standard  deviation.   The limits  are 0.20 and 0.008  for the debt
service  to government revenues ratio and the debt  service to market
value  of  property ratio, respectively (Table A-8). The debt service to
government revenues  threshold limit  of 20 percent is similar to the mean
plus one  standard deviation of the  municipalities  with  populations less
than 2,500.  This implies that the  smaller municipalities  are  less able
to cope  with  increased  debt  service expenses.    This  has been  confirmed
by other  baseline analyses  which show that  a higher proportion of the
small  municipalities   exceed the  threshold limits  than  do  other
municipality  size categories.    Finally,  these  threshold limits were
tested  on some  randomly selected  municipalities to see  what  their
general  financial  condition would  be  if they  had to  support  an
additional  amount of  debt.    Our analysis  showed  that  when  these
municipalities reached  the threshold limit  they would be unable to
assume  any more debt.
                             A-31

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                TABLE  A-7
               DEBT RATIOS
Annual  Debt  Service/Government Revenues

Size Category
Number of
Cases
Standard
Mean Deviation
Debt Service/Gov' t Revenues
Less than 2,500
Greater than 2,500
All Cases
Debt Service/Market
of Taxable Property
All Cases
34
163
197
Value
197
.1052 .1123
.0769 .0685
.0818 .0785

.002236 .002841
                  A-32

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                           TABLE A-8
          DERIVATION  OF DEBT RATIO  THRESHOLD LIMITS
                      (Based  on  Baa Cases)


Number of Cases
Mean
Standard Deviation
Threshold Limits*
Debt Service/
Gov't Revenues
28
.1200
.0835
.20
Debt Service/
Market Value
26
.0038
.0041
.008
*Threshold limit = Mean  +  Std.  Dev.
                             A-33

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                   DISTRIBUTION OF THE  RATIO  ANNUAL DEBT
                       SERVICE  TO GOVERNMENT REVENUES
                          (All Sampled Communities)
if.
o
_i
I
z
w
o
       5 -
                              FIGURE   A-16
            0%-5%
                         51-10%         101-15%
                                DEBT SER/GOVT REV
15%- 2 0%
20%-
                                       A-34

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                   DISTRIBUTION OF THE RATIO ANNUAL DEBT
                       SERVICE TO GOVERNMENT REVENUES
                          (Communities with  Population
                               Less  Than 2,500)
                                FIGURE A-17
tn
3
o
I-
w
O
u
            0%-5%
                          51-10%        101-15%
                                DEBT SER/GOVT REV
15% - 2 0
                                        A-35

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                   DISTRIBUTION OF THE RATIO ANNUAL  DEBT

                       SERVICE TO  GOVERNMENT REVENUES


                         (Communities with  Population

                             Greater Than 2,500)
                           FIGURE  A-18
W

o

_>

»•
o
z
u
O
          0%-5%
15%-20%
20%-
                                     A-36

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             DISTRIBUTION OF THE  RATIO ANNUAL DEBT SERVICE

                  TO MARKET VALUE OF TAXABLE PROPERTY



                             (All Communities)
                             FIGURE A-19
M


3
z
u
o
      10
                                     '///A  v///\
                                             v///\
          0%-.02%
                              r

.021-.041   .041-.061   .061-.081   .08%-!.0%  1.01-1.21     1.21-


         DEBT SERVICE/MARKET  VALUE
                                    A-37

-------
APPENDIX B
 COST DATA

-------
DESCRIPTIONS OF  REGULATIONS

-------
DATA SUMMARY;  FLUORIDE IN DRINKING WATER

Type of Action
    Final  rule (52  FR 11396; April  2, 1986)  establishing  a maximum
    contaminant level  (MCL)  for fluoride in drinking  water.

Regulatory Option Considered
    The rule sets  the MCL for  Fluoride at 4  mg/1.

Data Sources Used
    A.    "Economic Assesment  of  Reducing Fluoride in  Drinking Water",
    Abt Association  Inc.,  November  1985.

    B.   Cost spreadsheet on public  water systems  developed  for  Office of
    Drinking Water,  revised  in July, 1988.
DATA SUMMARY;  DISINFECTION

Type of Action
    Advance  Notice of Proposed Rulemaking  (48  FR 455502; October 5,
    1983)    to  establish   maximum  contaminant   levels   (MCLs)   for
    disinfection  in drinking  water.

Regulatory Option Considered
    Option  will  establish  MCLs,  monitoring,  and  public  reporting
    requirements for disinfection  (primarily with chlorine) of drinking
    water.

Data Sources Used
    A.    Cost spreadsheet  on public water  systems developed  for  ODW,
    revised  in July,  1988.
                               B-2

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DATA SUMMARY:  LEAD  CORROSION CONTROL

Type of Action
    Proposed rule   (53  FR  31516;  August  18,   1988)  drinking water
    suppliers to  install certain corrosion control treatments (including
    pH  adjustment,  carbonite,  alkalinity  adjustment,  and corrosion
    inhibitors) .   The regulation also will include monitoring and public
    education requirements depending  on water quality  characteristics  and
    EPA's judgements regarding the efficacy of treatment techniques.

Regulatory  Options  Considered
    The base case option requires  drinking  water suppliers  to  install
    corrosion  control treatment  in  all  systems  that exceed no-action
    levels for pH, alkalinity,  or average lead content.

Data Sources Used
    A.   "RIA of Proposed National Primary Drinking Water Regulations  for
    Lead  and Copper"  (draft),  Wade  Miller  Associates,  Inc.,  June 1,
    1988.

    B.    Cost  spreadsheet on  public water  system developed for ODW,
    revised  in July,  1988.
DATA SUMMARY;   VOLATILE  ORGANIC COMPOUNDS  IN  DRINKING  WATER

Type of Action
     Final  regulation  (52  FR  25690;  July  8,  1987)  establishes maximum
     contaminant  levels   (MCLs),  monitoring,  and  public  reporting
     requirements for eight volatile organic compounds (VOCs)  in drinking
    water.
Regulatory  Option  Considered
     The MCL established  for most of the VOCs  is  5  ug/1.
                               B-3

-------
Data Sources Used
    A.    "Economic  Impact Analysis of  Proposed Regulations to  Control
    Volatile  Synthetic Organic Chemicals  (VOCs) in Drinking Water",
    USEPA/ODW,  October,  1985,  as amended May 19,  1987.

    B.    Cost  spreadsheet on public  water systems  developed for ODW,
    revised in July,  1988.
DATA SUMMARY;   INORGANIC  COMPOUNDS  IN  DRINKING  WATER

Type of Action
    Proposed  rule (50 FR  46902;   November 13,  1985)  to establish new
    maximum contaminant levels  (MCLs)  for  eight inorganic chemicals.

Regulatory Option Considered
    The proposed  rule would  set  levels  ranging from a low of 3 ug/1 for
    mercury to  a  high of  10,000  ug/1 for nitrate.    Our  analysis
    considers the preferred  MCLs   (most  closely corresponding  to  MCLGs)
    for only  three chemicals  — arsenic,  cadmium,  and copper -- because
    these are the only three chemicals where the costs for the preferred
    MCL are larger than costs  of  existing regulation.

Data Sources Used
    A.     "Regulatory  Impact  Analysis  of Proposed  Inorganic  Chemical
    Regulations",  Wade Miller Associates,  Inc.  for USEPA, November 1987.

    B.    Cost  spreadsheet on  public  water systems  developed  for ODW,
    revised in July,  1988.
DATA SUMMARY:  SYNTHETIC ORGANIC COMPOUNDS IN DRINKING WATER

Type of Action
    Regulation,  under development,  will  establish maximum  contaminant
                                3-4

-------
    levels  (MCLs)  and monitoring requirements  for certain  synthetic
    organic  chemicals (SOCs)  in  drinking water.    The  regulation is
    presently in draft form.

Regulatory Option Considered
    The  draft  proposed  MCLs  vary from a  low  of  0.0005  ug/1  for
    chlordane,  to  a  high  of  2000 ug/1 for  toluene.

Data Sources Used
    A.    "Draft  Regulatory Impact Analysis of Proposed Synthetic Organic
    Chemicals", USEPA, Office of  Drinking Water,  August  17,  1987,  and
    revisions of October  13,  1987  to  Chapter IV.

    B.    Cost  spreadsheet  on public water systems developed for ODW,
    revised  in July,  1988.
DATA SUMMARY;  RADIONUCLIDES

Type of Action
    Advance Notice of  Proposed  Rulemaking (51 FR 34836; September  30,
    1986)  to  establish  MCLs  and  monitoring  and public reporting
    requirements  for certain radionuclides.

Regulatory Option Considered
    EPA is considering alternative MCLs ranging from 1,000  pci/1  to  160
    pci/1.     The analyses  used  an  MCL  of  500 pci/1  for estimation
    purposes.

Data Sources Used
    A.     "Preliminary Radon  Summary Impacts Table", April 12,   1988,
    Office  of Drinking  Water,  USEPA.

    B.    Cost spreadsheet  on public water systems  developed for ODW,
    revised in July,  1988.
                               B-5

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DATA SUMMARY:   TOTAL COLIFORM RULE

 Type of  Action
     Proposed regulation (52 FR 42224;  November 3,  1987)  to amend  the
     maximum contaminant  levels  (MCLs)  for  total  coliform bacteria  in  all
     public water  systems.

 Regulatory Option  Considered
     The  option  involves  the  amendment  of MCLs  for total  coliform
     bacteria.  The proposed MCL  is  determined  simply by the  presence or
     absence  of coliform bacteria  in  a  percentage of  the samples,  rather
     than by  the  density,  by the  frequency  of  sampling.     EPA  is
     reproposing  the MCLG of  zero  and a  limit  for  heterotrophic
     bacteria.    The  rule  also  proposes  monitoring  requirements  and
     analytical methodology.

 Data Sources  Used
     A.    "Regulatory  Impact  Analysis:  Benefits and Costs of Proposed
     Surface  Water  Treatment Rule  and Total Coliform  Rule", USEPA/Office
     of Drinking Water, September  1,  1987.

     B.   Cost spreadsheet  on  public water systems  developed  for ODW,
     revised in July, 1988.
DATA  SUMMARY;   SURFACE WATER  TREATMENT RULE

Type  of Action
    Proposed rule  (52 FR  42178;  November 3,  1987)  setting  maximum
    contaminant  level goals  (MCLGs)   for Giardia  Lamblia viruses and
    Legionella and  national primary drinking  water regulations for
    public water systems using  surface water sources.

Regulatory Option Considered
    In addition to setting MCLGs of zero for Giardia Lamblia viruses and

-------
     Legionella,  the  regulation  proposes  a  treatment  technique  in lieu of
     an  MCL for  the  contaminants.   The  option  also proposes  filtration
     and disinfection requirements,  criteria, and procedures by which the
     state  would  determine which  systems  must comply  with the regulation.

 Data Sources  Considered
     A-    "Regulatory Impact Analysis:   Benefits  and Costs  of Proposed
     Surface Water Treatment Rule and  Total  Coliform Rule",  Wade Miller
     Associates,  Inc., September  1,  1987.
     B.   Cost spreadsheet  on public water  systems developed for  ODW,
     revised in July,  1988.
DATA SUMMARY;   LEAD AND COPPER  MCL

Type of Action
    Proposed  rule  (53 FR 31516; August 18,  1988) set MCL  for lead and
    copper.   Regulations control  both occurrence due to source waters
    and corrosion of lead and plumbing  material  (see  corrosion control
    rule).

Regulatory Option  Considered
    The  MCL  options  are  5 ug/1  for  lead  and  1300 ug/1 for  copper
    entering  distribution systems.   Technologies  for  treating lead and
    copper in source  water  include  coagulation/filtration,  ion exchange,
    lime softening, and reverse osmosis.

Data Sources Used
    A.   "RIA of Proposed National Primary Drinking Water Regulations for
    Lead and  Copper"  (draft),  Wade Miller  Associates,  Inc., June 1,
    1988.

    B.    Cost spreadsheet  on public  water  systems  developed  for ODW
    revised in July, 1988.
                               B-7

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DATA SUMMARY;   SECONDARY  TREATMENT REQUIREMENTS

Type of Action
    Secondary  treatment  requirements  set  water quality standards  on
    effluent limitations for municipalities  -  Sections  301  (b)  (1)  (B)  and
    (C).

Regulatory Option Considered
    Municipalities are required to achieve and  maintain  compliance  with
    their  National  Pollutant  Discharge  Elimination  System (NPDES)
    permits in accordance with  the  requirements of the  Clean  Water Act
    (CWA).  Permits  require municipalities to meet  effluent  limitations
    including secondary treatment or more stringent treatment.  In  order
    to comply with  permits  many municipalities  require  construction  of
    secondary or  advanced treatment  processes,   sewer construction,
    correction of   excessive   infiltration/inflow,    or  correction  of
    combined sewer overflows.

    The  cost  data  reflects average  capital,  O&M and  administrative
    expenditures for systems out of compliance  with secondary  treatment
    requirements as  of  1986 that  would be  necessary to  bring  them  into
    compliance.   In  addition,  capital  and O&M costs for  improvements  to
    existing or new  non-discharging wastewater  treatment  facilities are
    included in the analysis.

Data Sources Used
    A.      "Needs Survey  Report  to Congress",  USEPA,    430/9-87-001,
    February,  1987.

    B.   Information from Office  of Water concerning methods  for deriving
    O&M and administrative costs from  the capital costs  data.  These are
    based  on  data from the sewage sludge  rule prepared by Office  of
    Water Regulations and  Standards.

-------
DATA SUMMARY;   PRETREATMENT  PROGRAM

 Type  of Action
     Final  Rule (40  CFR 403)  setting requirements for the establishment
     and administration of the pretreatment program.

 Regulatory Option Considered
     The regulation implements the  National  Pretreatment Standards for
     controlling  pollutants  which  interfere  with a  Publicly  Owned
     Treatment  Work's  (POTW)  treatment processes  or pollutants that pass
     through a  treatment plant untreated.   Administrative and reporting
     responsibilities  are established  for federal,  state, and  local
     governments as well as private industry.

 Data Sources Used
     A.       Cost   worksheets   for   administrative   requirements  of
     municipalities, based upon data derived from the Pretreatment Audit
     Summary System which contains  audit data  from  local  pretreatment
     programs  nationwide and is  maintained by EPA's  Office of  Water
     Enforcement and Permits.
 DATA  SUMMARY;   SEWAGE  SLUDGE MANAGEMENT

 Type of Action
     Two regulations are  under development:   one  setting technical
     standards to establish  allowable concentrations of pollutants  in
     sewage  sludge for each sludge use and disposal option, and the other
     setting requirements for  approval  of  state  sludge management
     programs and sludge permitting.

 Regulatory  Option Considered
     Option  3 in the Regulatory  Impact Analysis on  technical  standards
     which  would regulate  critical  sites based  on  maximum  exposed
     individual  risks.     The disposal  methods affected include  land
                               B-9

-------
     disposal,  monofills,  incineration,  ocean  disposal,  and distribution
     and  marketing.

 Data Sources Used
     A.    "Draft  Regulatory Impact  Analysis  of the  Proposed  Regulations
     for  Sewage Sludge  Use and Disposal", prepared by Eastern  Research
     Group,  Inc.  for  USEPA,  July,  1987.
 DATA  SUMMARY;   SUBTITLE D  CRITERIA

 Type  of  Action
    Proposed rule  to  establish revisions  to  RCRA Subtitle  D criteria for
    municipal  solid waste  landfills.

 Regulatory  Option  Considered
    The  proposal  establishes general  facility  standards, groundwater
    monitoring requirements,  post closure standards, and performance and
    operating  requirements.    The cost  data  are associated with  federal
    point-of-compliance   (POC)  option.

 Data  Sources Used
    A.    "Draft Regulatory Impact Analysis  of Proposed Revisions  to
    Subtitle D Criteria for  Municipal  Solid Waste  Landfills", prepared
    by Temple,  Barker &  Sloane,  Inc.  for  the USEPA,  December 11,  1987.
DATA SUMMARY;   ASBESTOS  IN  SCHOOLS

Type of Action
    Final Rule  (40  CFR Part  763;  October 30, 1987)  requiring school
    officials  to  inspect  schools  for  asbestos-containing materials  (ACM)
    and remove ACM when found.   Rule was promulgated under  authority  of
    section 203 of Title II of TSCA.
                               B-10

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Regulatory Option  Considered
    The rule pertains  to all public elementary and secondary schools.
    Costs were calculated using expected degree  of  action  required  (e.g.
    inspection,  maintenance,  containment, removal).

Data Source Used
    A.  "Final Schools  Rule: Asbestos Hazard Emergency Response Act
    Regulatory  Impact Analysis",  Office of Toxic Substances,  USEPA,
    September  1987.


DATA  SUMMARY;  TITLE III OF SARA

Type  of Action
    Title III requirements are set out in four  separate regulations
    which are  in various stages of rulmaking.  These  include:

      (1)  Final  rule   establishing  emergency  planning  and  release
        notification requirements  (52  FR 13378;  April  22,  1987);

      (2)   Proposed  rule  setting   toxic  chemical  release  reporting
        requirements (52 FR 21152;  June 4,  1987);

      (3)  Proposed rule  setting  trade secret claims for emergency  planning
        and right-to-know information requirements  (52 FR  38312;  October
        15, 1987); and,

      (4)  Final rule setting  emergency  and hazardous chemical inventory
         forms  and community right-to-know  reporting  requirements  (52  FR
        38344; October 15,  1987).

Regulatory Option Considered
      The  above  final and proposed rules  set out various requirements for
      chemical  reporting  and  emergency  planning  and release notification.
                               B-ll

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Data Sources Used
    A.      "Title  III  SARA  Supplemental  Briefing  Package:  Economic
    Impacts",  December  11,  1987.
DATA SUMMARY:  MUNICIPAL WASTE  COMBUSTERS

Type of Action
    Advanced  notice  of proposed rulemaking   (52  FR 25399;  July 7,
    1987) .    A preliminary assessment of air emissions  from  municipal
    waste combusters was made to determine how much they may contribute
    to public health risks and the potential costs of controlling these
    risks.   This  assessment was  made in response to a petition for
    rulemaking filed  by the  Natural Resources  Defense  Council  and the
    states  of New  York,  Connecticut, and Rhode  Island.   Based on the
    assessment  results,  the EPA is  examining  the regulation  of MWC
    emissions  under  Sections  111 (b) and  (d) .

Regulatory Option Considered
    The  assessment considers the  costs  associated with  a baseline
    scenario  --   which considers  the status  quo in  add-on control
    technology for both existing and planned facilities,  and associated
    with a controlled  scenario  --  which  considers uniform application of
    0.02 g/dscf outlet loading standard using spray dryer/fabric filter
    systems and highly  efficient  ESP systems for existing  and  planned
    MWCs.

Data Source Used
    A.    "Municipal  Waste  Combustion  Study: Report to  Congress",  OSWER,
    USEPA,  June  1987.

    B.    Cost worksheets  for three types of planned and existing MWC
    facilities --  RDF,  mass burn and modular  --  derived  from the report
    to Congress  and  discussions with OAQPS staff.

-------
DATA SUMMARY;  MUNICIPAL ASH STANDARDS

Type of Action
    Regulation under development  to  establish standards for the handling
    and disposal  of municipal  combustion ash.

Regulation Option Considered
    Informtion from OSW and OPPE  staff  using  data provided in Subtitle
    D criteria analysis.  Used engineering costs of providing landfills
    receiving  municipal   ash with synthetic  liner/synthetic  cover
    technology.

Data Source Used
    A.     "Draft  Regulatory Impact  Analysis of  Proposed Revisions  to
    Subtitle D Criteria for Municipal  Solid Waste Landfills",  prepared
    by Temple,  Barker  &  Sloane, Inc.  for the USEPA. December 11,  1987.


DATA SUMMARY;  STORMWATER  REGULATION

Type of Action
    Regulation,   under  development,   governing  stormwater  permit
    application requirements.

Regulation Option Considered
    The Water Quality Act  requires  EPA  to  promulgate  regulations
    governing stormwater permit applications requirements for stormwater
    discharges  from  large municipal  systems  and medium  municipal
    stormwater systems.     Costs  are  based  on  projected  costs  of
    developing  stormwater management  plans,   and  establishing  an
    enforcement program  for  stormwater systems.

Data Sources Used
    A.   Data from preliminary  discussions  and analyses  performed  by the
    Office of Water Enforcement and  Permits.
                              B-13

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DATA  SUMMARY;   UNDERGROUND  STORAGE  TANKS  -  FINANCIAL  RESPONSIBILITY

Type  of Action
   Proposed rule  requiring owners  and operators of Underground Storage
   Tanks  (UST)  to  maintain evidence of  financial responsibility for
   taking  corrective action and  compensating third parties  for bodily
   injury and property damage  caused  by releases from USTs.

Regulatory Option Considered
    SARA establishes a minimum amount of financial responsibility at  $  1
    million per occurrence.   The cost data reported are  for  Assumption
    #1  :   all  firms that  presently do not have  insurance  and  do  not
    qualify for  self  insurance  will be able  to  obtain  insurance.
    Insurance  rates will be  $1,000/year/facility  (3  tanks  per  facility),
    except  for smaller municipal operations (2 or fewer facilities)  when
    costs  will be $2,500/year/facility.

Data  Sources Used
    A-   "Regulatory Impact Analysis of Proposed Financial Responsibility
    Requirements  for  Underground Storage  Tanks  Containing Petroleum",
    prepared by Meridian Research Inc.,  for USEPA,  March 30,  1987.
DATA  SUMMARY;  UNDERGROUND STORAGE TANKS  - TECHNICAL STANDARDS

Type  of Action
    Proposed rule  (53  FR 37082;  September 23,  1988)  establishing
    requirements  for leak detection,  leak  prevention,  and corrective
    action for underground storage tanks.

Regulatory Option Considered
    The  option considered  (Option  11)   consists of  requirements  for
    manual inventory control, monthly leak detection installed within  3
    years, corrosion protection for all new  tanks,  and upgrading  to  new
    tank  standards within ten years of promulgation.
                               B-14

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Data  Sources Used
     A.  "Regulatory  Impact  Analysis for Proposed  Technical  Standards for
     Underground  Storage  Tanks",  Sobotka and Company,  March 30,  1987.

-------
                                    TABLE  B-l



               COST OF  THE  REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected  systems only)*
REGULATION:  Fluoride  in Drinking  Water
Tvces of Costs (1986 dollars)
Municipality Size Capital 0 & M
(population served)** (total) (annual)
0 - 500 6,589 3,182
500 - 2,500 289,040 17,207
2,500 - 10,000 1,300,000 120,000
10,000 - 50,000 1,800,000 150,000
50,000 - 100,000 -0- -0-
100,000 - 250,000 -0- -0-
250,000 - 500,000 -0- -0-
Over 500,000 -0- -0-
No. of
Affected
Systems
66
33
8
2
0
0
0
0
 *System  means  school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be combined appropriately if needed.

Source:   EPA --  Cost estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory development
documents and are  subject  to change.
                                      B-16

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                                   TABLE  B-2


               COST OF  THE  REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected systems only)*
REGULATION:  Disinfection
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs (1986 dollars)
Capital 0 & M
(total) (annual)
14,479 2,889
33,862 8,877
76,067 15,213
147,016 28,432
333,333 -0-
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
No. Of
Affected
Systems
4,724
2,361
439
169
3
0
0
0
 *System means school  system, water  system,  sewer  system etc.
**Population categories may  be  combined  appropriately  if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates are  based on  existing  regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                      i-17

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                                   TABLE  B-3


               COST OF THE  REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected systems only)*
REGULATION:  Lead Corrosion Control
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs
Capital
(total)
3,995
7,798
54,887
142,726
490,576
554,382
554,382
835,089
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
1,584
4,446
15,026
30,507
37,273
74,923
74,923
358,739
No. Of
Affected
Systems
5,554
5,028
1,684
1,044
185
52
55
23
  *System  means  school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories  may  be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:  EPA --  Cost estimates  are based on  existing regulatory  development
 documents and are  subject  to change.
                                      B-18

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                                   TABLE B-4


               COST  OF THE REGULATION  FOR  A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                           (affected systems only)*


REGULATION: Volatile  Organic Compounds  in Drinking Water
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs
Capital
(total)
32,524
77,165
176,699
463,337
1,150,488
3,416,666
3,416,666
32,926,406
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
2,027
7,913
12,430
39,105
112,691
333,433
333,433
3,791,441
No. Of
Affected
Systems
231
212
84
57
7
3
2
1
 *System means  school  system,  water  system,  sewer  system etc.
**Population categories may be  combined  appropriately  if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates are  based on  existing  regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                     B-19

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                                    TABLE  B-5


                COST OF THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected systems only)*


REGULATION:  Inorganic Compounds  in Drinking Water
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs (1986 dollars)
Capital 0 & M
(total) (annual)
256,608 14,133
447,324 70,638
1,050,000 101,011
1,844,245 156,998
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
No. Of
Affected
Systems
151
59
20
13
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
  *System  means  school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories may  be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:  EPA --  Cost estimates  are based  on  existing regulatory  development
 documents and are  subject  to change.
                                      B-20

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                                   TABLE B-6


               COST OF THE  REGULATION  FOR  A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected  systems  only)*


REGULATION:  Synthetic Organic Compounds in Drinking Water
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvces of Costs
Capital
(total)
63,536
137,250
1,018,103
1,645,057
4,368,365
12,400,000
12,400,000
47,528,706
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
11,053
25,940
153,163
251,802
613,884
1,740,577
1,740,577
6,837,012
No. Of
Affected
Systems
1,186
413
116
56
8
3
2
1
  *System  means  school  system, water system,  sewer  system etc.
 **Population  categories may  be  combined  appropriately  if  needed.

 Source:  EPA --  Cost estimates  are  based  on existing  regulatory development
 documents and are  subject  to change.
                                     B-21

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                                   TABLE B-7



               COST OF  THE  REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected  systems  only)**
REGULATION:  Radionuclides  (500 MCL)
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Types of Costs
Capital
(total)
73,069
125,984
186,713
448,311
1,589,375
5,048,750
5,048,750
19,880,000
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
716
1,186
12,196
37,467
155,068
603,818
603,818
2,470,068
No. Of
Affected
Systems
3,019
1,753
470
240
16
4
4
1
 *System means school system, water system,  sewer system  etc.
**Population categories  may  be  combined  appropriately  if  needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates are  based  on existing  regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                   B-22

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                                   TABLE B-8



               COST OF THE  REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected systems only)*
REGULATION:  Coliform Monitoring
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs
Capital
(total)
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
404
722
431
413
500
-0-
-0-
-0-
No. Of
Affected
Systems
10,199
10,150
567
169
35
-0-
-0-
0
  *System means  school  system,  water  system,  sewer  system etc.
 **Population categories may  be combined  appropriately  if needed.
 Source: EPA --  Cost estimates  are based on  existing regulatory development
 documents and are  subject  to change.
                                   B-23

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                                   TABLE  B-9


                COST OF THE REGULATION FOR  A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected systems  only)*


REGULATION:  Surface Water  Treatment Rule  (Unfiltered)
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs
Capital
(total)
144,344
403,456
1,412,500
2,653,987
7,963,061
34,666,666
34,666,666
34,666,666
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
15,868
44,126
52,359
253,635
519,275
2,861,991
2,861,991
2,861,991
No. Of
Affected
Systems
172
310
130
79
20
4
4
3
  *System means school system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories  may be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:  EPA  --  Cost estimates  are based  on  existing regulatory  development
 documents  and are subject to change.
                                   B-24

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                                   TABLE B-10


                COST OF THE  REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected systems  only)*


REGULATION:  Surface Water Treatment Rule  (Filtered)
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Types of Costs
Capital
(total)
13,297
21,597
59,237
86,555
182,067
301,204
301,204
794,686
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
8,935
16,588
19,039
23,252
38,985
48,811
48,811
239,801
No. Of
Affected
Systems
273
957
811
704
209
70
69
32
  *System  means school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories  may  be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:  EPA  --  Cost estimates  are based on  existing regulatory  development
 documents and  are  subject  to change.
                                   B-25

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                                    TABLE B-


               COST OF  THE  REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY
REGULATION: Lead and Copper
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
(affected systems
(MCL)
Types of Costs
Capital
(total)
207,417
402,754
1,575,000
2,128,709
2,667,750
5,500,000
5,500,000
-0-
only) *
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
15,557
39,665
100,000
180,154
667,750
1,000,000
1,000,000
-0-

No. Of
Affected
Systems
125
107
33
19
3
1
1
-0-
 *System means school system, water  system,  sewer  system etc.
**Population categories  may be  combined  appropriately  if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates are  based on existing  regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                   B-26

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                                  TABLE  B-ll


               COST  OF REGULATION FOR  A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected  systems only)  *



REGULATION: Construction  Grants (15% capital  grant)
Types
of Costs
Municipality Size Capital
(population served)** (total)
0 - 500 42,
280,
612,
1,181,
500 - 2,500 280,
612,
1,207,
1,972,
2,500 - 10,000 663,
1,547,
3,077,
5,525,
10,000 - 50,000 180,
3,442,
7,293,
12,070,
500
500
000
500
500
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
200
500
000
000
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
2,300
14,000
24,000
48,000
14,000
27,000
50,000
80,000
27,000
61,000
123,000
222,000
69,000
133,000
282,000
467,000
No. Of
Affected
Systems
31
117
118
136
117
510
813
129
209
168
303
55
36
100
200
85
 (Continued)

 *System means school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be  combined  appropriately if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates are  based on  existing regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                   B-27

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                             TABLE B-ll  (Continued)


                COST OF THE REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected  systems  only)*


REGULATION:  Construction Grants  (15%  capital grant)
Tvoes
Municipality Size
(population served)**
50,000 - 100,000



100,000 - 250,000


250,000 - 500,000

Over 500,000

of Costs
Capital
(total)
4
11
24
44
12
33
91
4
54
57
327
,250,
,475
,395
,115
,750,
,745,
,970,
,165,
,910,
,800,
,250,
000
,000
, 000
, 000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
200,
436,
927,
1, 676,
475
1,259,
3,431,
156,
2,049,
2,160,
12,205,
000
000
000
000
,00
000
000
000
000
000
000
No. Of
Affected
Systems
6
26
17
11
18
1 9
5
4
19
3
7
 *System means school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be combined appropriately if needed.

Source:    EPA  --  Cost estimates  are based on  existing regulatory  development
documents and are  subject  to change.
                                   B-28

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                                   TABLE B-12


                COST OF THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected systems only)*
REGULATION:  Pretreatment  Program
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvpes of Costs (1986 dollars)
Capital 0 & M
(total) (annual)
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
-0- 11,250
-0- 14,167
-0- 47,699
-0- 110,149
-0- 380,533
-0- 380,533
No. Of
Affected
Systems
-0-
-0-
10
10
10
10
10
10
  *System  means school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories  may  be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:  EPA  --  Cost estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory development
 documents and  are  subject  to change.
                                   B-29

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                                  TABLE B-13


                COST  OF THE REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected systems only)*


REGULATION:  Sewage Sludge Technical Standards
Types of Costs
Municipality Size Capital
(population served)** (total)
0 - 500 285,062
11,518
-0-
-0-
500 - 2,500 427,593
11,518
-0-
-0-
2,500 - 10,000 855,187
11,518
-0-
-0-
10,000 - 50,000 1,372,750
311,857
-0-
-0-
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
40,199
20,000
3,280
-0-
60,299
20,000
3,280
-0-
120,598
20,000
3,280
-0-
400,000
71,428
15,228
-0-
No. Of
Affected
Systems
54
51
931
11,256
61
58
1,062
12,842
27
26
476
5,750
10
6
168
2,510
  *System means  school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories  may  be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:   EPA --  Cost estimates  are based on  existing regulatory development
 documents and are  subject  to change.
                                   B-30

-------
                              TABLE B-13 (Continued)
               COST  OF THE REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected  systems only)*
REGULATION:  Sewage Sludge  Technical Standards
Municipality Size
(population served)**
50,000 - 100,000



100,000 - 250,000



250,000 - 500,000



Over 500,000



Tvces of Costs
Capital
(total)
1,372,750
311,857
-0-
-0-
1,372,750
311,857
-0-
-0-
2,032,500
-0-
-0-
-0-
2,032,500
-0-
-0-
-0-
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
400,000
71,428
15,228
-0-
400,000
71,428
15,228
-0-
500,000
100,000
35,714
-0-
500,000
100,000
35,714
-0-
No. Of
Affected
Systems
1
1
20
301
1
0
9
130
1
1
33
0
1
0
23
0
 *System  means  school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may be  combined  appropriately if needed.

Source:    EPA --  Cost  estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                    i-31

-------
                                   TABLE B-14
               COST  OF THE REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY
(affected systems
REGULATION: Subtitle 'D1 Criteria
Types of Costs
Municipality Size Capital
(population served)** (total)
0 - 500 -0-
6,385
3,193
1,064
500 - 2,500 63,852
38,311
19,156
6,385
2,500 - 10,000 -0-
159,629
79,815
26,605
10,000 - 50,000 -0-
766,221
383,110
127,703
only) *

(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
-0-
6,750
3,375
1,125
67,500
40,500
20,250
6,750
-fl-
ies, 750
84,375
28,125
-0-
810,000
405,000
135,000


No. Of
Affected
Systems
0
234
3,097
8,960
42
428
2,230
11,324
0
107
678
5,494
0
30
268
2,396
 (Continued)
 *System means  school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be combined appropriately if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory  development
documents and are  subject  to change.
                                   B-32

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                             TABLE B-14  (Continued)
                COST  OF THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY
REGULATION: Subtitle 'D1
Municipality Size
(population served)**
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
(affected systems only) *
Criteria
Tvoes of Costs (1986 dollars)
Capital 0 & M
(total) (annual)
-0- -0-
1,915,552 2,025,000
957,776 1,012,500
319,259 337,500
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
2,234,810 2,362,500
774,937 787,500
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
4,788,880 5,062,500
1,596,293 1,687,500
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
-0- -0-
4,256,782 4,500,000

No. Of
Affected
Systems
0
0
37
286
0
0
3
137
0
0
1
34
0
0
0
24
 *System means school system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories  may  be  combined appropriately if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost estimates  are  based on  existing  regulatory development
documents and are subject  to change.

-------
                                   TABLE  B-15

                COST OF THE REGULATION  FOR A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY
                            (affected  systems only)*
REGULATION:  Asbestos in Schools Rule
Types of Costs
Municipality Size Capital
(total)
0 - 500 75,918
-0-
-0-
131,943
27,459
-0-
500 - 2,500 91,102
-0-
-0-
158,332
32,591
-0-
2,500 - 10,000 288,488
-0-
-0-
508,383
104,344
-0-
(1986 dollars)
O&M + Admn.
(annual)
3,

1,

1,
4,
3,

1,

2,
5,
12,
1,
4,
1,
6,
18,
279
402
112
487
726
913
935
482
334
584
071
895
460
528
226
851
559
670
No. Of
Affected
Systems
3,786
1,192
5,998
258
0
1,057
4,319
1,360
6,844
295
0
1,206
1,934
609
3,064
132
0
540
  *System means school system, water  system, sewer  system  etc.
 **Population categories  may be combined  appropriately if  needed.

 Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates  are  based on existing regulatory  development
 documents and are subject to change.
                                       i-34

-------
                             TABLE B-15 (Continued)
               COST  OF  THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY
(affected systems
REGULATION: Asbestos in Schools Rule
Municipality Size
(population served)**
10,000 - 50,000





50,000 - 100,000





100,000 - 250,000





Types of Costs
Capital
(total)
1,047,668
-0-
-0-
1,820,813
378,934
-0-
2,019,419
-0-
-0-
3,509,684
730,409
-0-
4,600,631
-0-
7,995,746
1,664,015
-0-
-0-
only) *
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
45,250
5,548
15,346
6,721
23,819
67,800
87,222
10,693
29,579
12,594
45,912
130,686
198,708
24,361
29,512
104,596
297,728
67,387

No. Of
Affected
Systems
830
261
1,315
57
0
232
99
31
158
7
0
28
43
14
3
0
12
68
 *System means  school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be combined appropriately if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory  development
documents and are  subject  to change.
                                      B-35

-------
                             TABLE B-15  (continued)

               COST  OF  THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY
                             (affected systems only)*
REGULATION:  Asbestos in Schools  Rule
Municipality Size
(population served)**
250,000 - 500,000





Over 500,000





Tvoes of Costs
Capital
(total)
8,070,083
-0-
-0-
14,025,541
2,918,892
-0-
23,815,477
-0-
-0-
41,390,519
8,613,888
-0-
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
348,558
42,733
118,206
51,768
183,474
522,252
1,028,622
126,107
348,834
152,772
541,446
1,541,208
No. Of
Affected
Systems
11
3
17
1
0
3
7
2
12
1
0
2
 *System means school  system,  water  system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be  combined appropriately if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory  development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                     B-36

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                                  TABLE B-16
               COST OF THE  REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL  SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected systems  only)*
REGULATION:  Sara  Title III  Requirements
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
50,000 - 100,000
100,000 - 250,000
250,000 - 500,000
Over 500,000
Tvoes of Costs
Capital
(total)
160
960
3,920
19,200
48,000
112,000
208,000
416,000
(1986 dollars)
0 & M
(annual)
26
156
637
3,120
7,800
18,200
33,800
67,600
No. Of
Affected
Systems
12,291
14,024
6,279
2,694
323
140
35
24
 *System means school  system, water  system,  sewer  system etc.
**Population categories may be  combined  appropriately  if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates are  based on  existing  regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                     B-37

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                                   TABLE B-17



                COST  OF  THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected systems only)*



REGULATION: Municipal  Inceneration  - Air  and Ash Disposal
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500
500 - 2,500
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
Tvpes of Costs (1986 dollars)
Capital. 0 & M
(total) (annual)
-0- -0-
-0- -fl-
ue, 269 51,000
945,381 137,313
No. Of
Affected
Systems
-0-
-0-
6
33
 50,000 - 100,000
 2,136,842
  218,407
30
 100,000 -  250,000
 4,692,393
  443,765
47
 250,000 -  500,000
10,215,215
  944,020
66
Over 500,000
22,340,604
2,335,298
24
 *System means school system, water  system,  sewer  system etc.
**Population categories  may  be  combined  appropriately  if needed.

Source:  EPA  --  Cost  estimates  are  based on  existing regulatory development
documents and are subject to  change.
                                   B-38

-------
                                   TABLE B-18


                COST OF THE REGULATION FOR A  TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                             (affected  systems  only)*
REGULATION:  Stormwater
 Municipality Size
  (population served)**
Types of  Costs  (1986 dollars)        No.  of
 Capital               0  & M         Affected
  (total)                (annual)       Systems
  0  -  500
  -0-
  -0-
  500  -  2,500
  50,000  -  100,000
  -0-
  -0-
  -0-
  -0-
-0-
2,500 - 10,000
10,000 - 50,000
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
  100,000  -  250,000
141,026
 70,513
140
  250,000  -  500,000
614,525
307,263
 35
 Over  500,000
614,525
307,263
 24
  *System means school  system,  water system, sewer  system  etc.
 **Population  categories  may be combined appropriately if  needed.

 Source:  EPA  --  Cost estimates  are based  on  existing regulatory  development
 documents and are  subject  to change.
                                   B-39

-------
                                   TABLE B-19

               COST  OF THE REGULATION  FOR  A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY

                            (affected systems  only)*

REGULATION: Underground Storage  -  Financial and  Technical  Standards)
Tvces of Costs
Municipality Size
(population served)**
0 - 500


500 - 2,500


2,500 - 10,000


10,000 - 50,000


Capital
(total)
11,
11,
11,
11,
11,
11,
11,
11,
11,
9,
17,
17,
068
068
068
068
068
068
068
068
068
365
878
878
(1986 dollarsl
0
& M
(annual)
2,
12,
22,
2,
12,
22,
2,
12,
22,
2,
12,
22,
700
700
700
700
700
700
700
700
700
900
900
900
No. Of
Affected
Systems
11,568
708
15
13,200
808
17
5,910
362
8
2,388
291
15
 (Continued)

  *System  means school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
 **Population  categories  may  be combined appropriately if needed.

 Source:  EPA  --  Cost estimates  are based  on  existing regulatory  development
 documents  and  are  subject  to change.
                                    i-40

-------
                             TABLE B-19  (Continued)

                COST OF THE REGULATION FOR A TYPICAL SYSTEM/CITY
                             (affected  systems  only)*

REGULATION: Underground Storage Tanks  - Financial  and  Technical Standards)
Types of Costs
Municipality Size Capital
(population served)** (total)
50,000 - 100,000 23,
32,
32,
100,000 - 250,000 47,
47,
64,
250,000 - 500,000 378,
386,
420,
Over 500,000 378,
386,
420,
838
352
352
676
676
703
002
516
570
002
516
570
(1986 dollars) No. of
0 & M Affected
(annual) Systems
7,
17,
27,
14,
24,
34,
45,
55,
65,
45,
55,
65,
200 228
200 82
200 13
400 60
400 54
400 26
600 12
600 9
600 14
600 8
600 7
600 9
 *System  means  school  system,  water system,  sewer system etc.
**Population categories may  be combined appropriately if needed.

Source:   EPA  --  Cost estimates  are based on  existing regulatory  development
documents and are  subject  to change.
                                   B-41

-------
    APPENDIX C




COSTS  METHODOLOGY

-------
      METHODOLOGY   FOR   CALCULATING  WEIGHTED  AVERAGE   COSTS
      The  weighted  average  costs   for  each   of   the   four
regulation   categories   --  drinking  water,  wastewater,   solid
waste,  and   miscellaneous --  were  calculated  on  the basis  of
the  number  of  municipalities  affected  by  the  regulation  in
each  size   category.    The   following   example   will   make  the
concept  clear.

      Consider  the   regulation  Fluoride   in  Drinking  Water.
Let  us  assume  that  to  comply   with   this  regulation,    each
affected  municipality  in   the  0-500  size  category  requires  a
total  of  'C'  dollars.   Further  assume  that  out  of  a  total  of
'N'   municipalities   in  this   population  category,   'n'   are
affected  by  fluoride  in  their  water  systems   and  need  to  do
something  about  it.   Therefore,

      Fraction  of  municipalities affected  =   _n_
                                                N

      Average cost  for   0-500  category  =  C  * n
                                                N

      To  get  a  weighted  average  cost   for  the  category  of
water   regulations,   one  would  need  to  carry  out  the  above
computation  for each of  the  water  regulations  and  sum up  the
results.      To  illustrate,    let   us   define   the   following
variables  for,  say,  the  0-500  population  category:
                                               th
      C-j_ =   Cost  per municipality  for  the i      regulation;

      N   =   Total  number  of   municipalities  with  0-500
             persons;  and,

         _   Number  of municipalities  affected by  the  i
       1     regulation.

      So,   if  there   were   10  drinking  water  regulations,   the
variables  for  the   first  one   would  be C-i,N, and   n-i .    The
corresponding  variables  for  the   second   regulation   would  be
C2 /  N,   and  r\2 and  so  on.    Therefore,   the  weighted  average
cost  for  drinking  water  regulations  for  the   0-500  population
category  would be  given  by
      cav  =   (cl * %) +  (C2 * B2)  + 	+  (C10 * n1Q)
                     N            N                       N
                                C-l

-------
Simplifying,

     cav  -  (cl * ni)   +  (C2 * n2)   +	+   (C10  * n10)
                                       -


or,
                 N
     C
       av
1.,  
-------
          APPENDIX  D
DESCRIPTION OF THE  MUNFIN MODEL

-------
                    DESCRIPTION OF THE MUNFIN MODEL
    MUNFIN is a modified form  of  MABEL, an earlier computer model,  which
was designed to evaluate a  municipality's ability to pay for enforcement
penalties and  incur capital and operating costs associated  with  sewer
systems.   MUNFIN can be  used to solve financial problems faced by sewer,
water,  solid waste  systems  and municipalities.   it uses the same general
logic  as MABEL which  was developed  after  reviewing  the  financial
guidebook prepared  for  the  Construction  Grants  Program,  the  literature
on financial crises experienced by  cities in the  U.S.  during  the 1970s,
the  criteria  for  issuing  municipal  bonds,  and  the  tax capacity
literature.

    The underlying factors in MUNFIN  are the  wealth and  debt  of  a
community.   All  other variables  in the model  are related to  these  two
factors.   The value of taxable  property,  the general tax base, household
income are all related  to the  wealth.   The debt service is the amount  a
community is obligated to pay to the bankers periodically.    It is
considered  to  be a better measure  of  the ability to  carry  additional
debt  than total debt itself.

    The model  uses  selected  ratios  pertaining  to user  charges  and
municipal  debt  to evaluate  financial  capability.    It  divides  the
operations  of  a city  into  two parts:     enterprise units and non-
enterprise units.   The  enterprise  units have  the authority  to recover
their expenses by  imposing user  fees on  their  customers  and  their  debt
is backed by future  user charge  revenues.  In  general,  water and sewer
systems are operated as  enterprise units.   The  non-enterprise  units  are
funded out of the general treasury, that  is, their activities  are funded
by taxes.    Their  debt  is  backed by the full  faith and credit of  the
local governments and hence supported by  their  taxing  powers.  The model
has the  ability, therefore,   to  examine both  the  enterprise and non-
enterprise units of  a local government.   To a large degree,  the model
duplicates  the decision criteria that  bankers  use  to  evaluate  the
financial condition of a community before  giving it  a long-term loan.
                                  D-l

-------
A.  THE LOGIC OF THE MODEL

    MUNFIN  is divided into three parts that correspond to the answers  to
 the  following three questions (See Figure  1) :

    •   Can enterprise funds issue revenue bonds in the long
         term,  or,  can consumers  afford the  increased user
         charges?

    •   Can enterprise funds raise capital in the short term
         via revenue bonds?

    •   Can municipalities   raise   money   via  general
         obligation bonds?

    The  ability of the water or sewer system  to  issue revenue  bonds  in
 the long term is determined by comparing the ratio of  annual user charge
 per household and  household  income to  threshold  values.  Two alternative
 values of 1.25%  and  1.0%  are used  as  the  thresholds for the purposes  of
 this  study.   User charges  vary across  the  country  for many  reasons
 including  the  quality  of  service,   demands  of  the  community, fee
 structure of the enterprise  and willingness of consumers to pay higher
 rates; therefore,  it is  important to  note that the thresholds  are not
 absolute, but relative measures of financial affordability.

     If  a city exceeds  the threshold  it  is assumed  not to be  able  to
 issue revenue bonds in  the  long term.    The  inability to issue bonds
 arises not from the willingness of  the customers to pay higher user
 charge rates  (although in some communities consumers may protest against
 rate  increases)  but from the unwillingness  to bankers to  accept rates
 that  are much higher than the  existing rates  of  most  communities in the
 country.
                                      D-2

-------
    The model  only examines  user charges paid by residential customers
and not charges paid by the  industrial  customers.   Hence, the revenues
required  to cover the increased costs  must be  appropriated  to the
different user  classes.   Nonresidential  customers  in the U.S.  account
for a  majority of  the revenue of the systems.   This  means that they
share  a large  part of the costs of building, operating and  maintaining
the systems.  Often the institutional  customers pay  the  same  sewer rates
as the residential  customers.    The  model appropriates the cost  of
environmental  improvements to  different  types  of customers,  calculates
the user  charges  per household  and  determines  the ability to issue
revenue bonds in the long  run.

    Not all  water  and sewer systems that  can  increase user charges  to
cover  the costs of a regulation can raise the  capital in the short
term.    This  problem can  be  compared to the problem faced by a consumer
who can afford the  mortgage payments but cannot get a loan from  lending
institutions  because of  a poor past  performance or  current debt
obligations.   Before lending  the  money, bankers usually  examine the past
performance of the  system and  ask whether the system has recovered its
expenses through adequate user  charges,  and should  the user charges  be
raised to recover  additional  costs  to  the  system?

    The model answers the above question  by examining the  recent history
of  the  city's  revenues  and costs.      if  it  determines  that  the
expenditures have  exceeded  the revenues  by a certain amount,  it  is
assumed that the system will  have  difficulty in issuing  revenue bonds  in
the short term.   it will have to raise the user  charge rates  and show
that  it can collect sufficient  revenues before bankers approve any long-
term loan.   if it  has a sufficient  income base, that  is,  if  the user
charge to  income  ratio is below the threshold, a system  can raise the
user  charges.   However, it may take more than two years to show that  it
is politically feasible to  raise the user  charges and that the rates are
adequate.    In   the meanwhile,  the system will have  to obtain short-term
financing  if it wants to construct environmental control facilities.
                                     D-3

-------
    Inability  to  raise money by means  of revenue bonds does  not  mean
that the system cannot  raise money at all.   It can issue either double
barrel bonds or general obligation  bonds.   In the case of double barrel
bonds,  the  bonds  are backed  by  the  revenues of the system and full faith
and credit  of  the  city.   In the case of  general  obligation  bonds,  the
bonds are  secured  by  the  full  faith  and credit (i.e.  taxing authority)
of the city.   In  both instances,  the financial condition of  the  city
plays an important  role.   Usually the supporting cities ask bond rating
agencies such  as  Moody's or Standard and Poor's to  rate  their bonds.
Total debt,  employment and economic conditions,  and accounting  and
financial  management practices  are  some  of the  major factors  that these
firms  take into account before negotiating  the  terms of  the bond.
MUNFIN  evaluates two ratios  related to these factors.

        1.   Debt  service of the municipality
            Total  revenues of the municipality

        2.    Debt  service of the  municipality
            Market  value  of  all taxable property

    The model  calculates  new values  of  these ratios  after calculating
the debt service  resulting from the pollution control general  obligation
bonds.   The new values  are  then  compared  with  threshold  values  for  the
two ratios.   Two  alternative threshold values for each ratio are used as
the criteria.   The  ratio of debt  service and municipal revenues  has  the
primary threshold  of  0.20 and an  alternative  threshold of  0.15. This
means that when 20% or 15%  of  municipal revenues go  toward  payment of
debt service,  the  municipality is considered  to have excessive debt.
The  ratio  of  debt  service and  value  of property  has  the  primary
threshold  of 0.008 and an  alternative  threshold of 0.006.  This means
that when  debt service amounts to more than about 0.8%  or 0.6%  of  the
value  of   the property,   the  municipality   is  considered  heavily
leveraged.    The   thresholds for  the  two ratios  were developed  by
analyzing  the  data for more than 30  cities  that had the lowest grade
investment  bond rating  (Baa).   The primary thresholds represent  the  mean
plus two standard  deviations  of the values of the ratios for  the  30
                                     D-4

-------
 cities  in  the  sample.

     The model  calculates the values of the ratios in the post compliance
 period, that  is,  after a  municipality has  complied with  the  laws. If
 the  calculated values  exceed  the threshold values,  the  city is assumed
 to be unable  to  raise the required  money.    The values of both ratios
 must  exceed their respective thresholds for a city to fail  the G.O. bond
 test  and be unable to issue general obligation bonds.
B.  SELECTED EQUATIONS  IN THE MODEL
 Equation A:   Determine the annual debt service for the proposed
              construction  costs.
        = R * (1 + R)  T  *  Y
          (1 + R)T - 1
     S]_ -  Change  in annual  debt  service  due  to  new debt.

     R   =   Yield for municipal bond  or  loan.

     T   =   Number of years  to maturity for bond  or loan.

     Y   =    Capital  cost  required to comply with regulations.
Equation B: Determine the  operating revenue required to pay for the
              increase in costs using new costs and the information in
              the  1986  annual  report.
                  D + X2  + 1.25 * (SI + S2)  -
             Estimated change in operating revenue  based  on projected
             costs .
                                       D-5

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    X]_    = Estimated change  in  O&M costs  due to pollution control
            expenditure.

    D     = Depreciation of  the  new equipment.
    X     = Existing  O&M and replacement costs of the utility.
    1.25  =  Debt Service Coverage Ratio.

    S2    = Existing debt service  of  the  utility.
    R     = Existing operating revenue  for  the  utility.
Equation  C:  Determine if the new user charges are affordable.

    H  <  L
    I

    I = Average  Household  Income.

    L = Threshold limit  (portion of income that can be spent on
        current  costs  plus  the costs of the  new regulations).

    H  =  New User Charges.
Equation D:  Determine the ability of a municipality to issue general
             obligation bonds.

1. Determine whether the proposed debt service is a reasonable
    fraction of the total revenue for the municipality.

    S03 + SO2  ^.   0.2   or  .15
        PD
                                      D-6

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    S03  = Change in annual debt service for the municipality due to
           pollution control debt.

    SO „  = Existing annual debt service for the municipality.

    RO   = General  government revenue for  the  municipality.
2.   Determine whether the proposed  debt  service  is a reasonable
    fraction of the market value  of  taxable property.
    SOo+_SO0  <   0.008   or   0.006
         = Market value of taxable property.
C.   SELECTED VARIABLES

    The municipal financial data base provides many important variables
for  the equations  used in  MUNFIN.     This section  contains a  brief
description  of  some  of these  variables.

    1. Utility Variables

     (a)  Utility  Expenses

          The  utility   expenses  consist  of  the operating expenses
excluding the  interest expense  and capital  expenditures.  Major  capital
expenditures usually pertain  to  capital  equipment   additions  or
replacements,  hence  they were not  included  in  the total operating
expenses.    The interest  expense  results  from the debt  carried  by the
utility.   Whether or not  a  utility carries debt does not directly affect
the  operations  of  a utility  and  therefore,    its  operating costs.
Interest expense was included  in the  utility's debt service.
                                     D-7

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     (b)  Utility Revenues

          For  the purposes  of  MUNFIN,  the utility's revenues were  those
revenues  that were collected from users  of  the utility's services and
hence,  represent   what  the  users  pay.  Interest revenues  were not
included in this figure.

     (c)   Utility's Debt Service

          The  utility's debt service is  the  sum of yearly interest and
principal payments that the utility must  make  to meet the terms of the
bond  (or other debt instrument)  that was  issued.

     (d)   Residential  Share  of  the Operating Revenues

         A critical variable  for  the  MUNFIN  model was the user charges
per household.  To calculate  its  value,  the  share of the revenues that
the households paid  was needed.   This percentage,  in  most cases, was
obtained by  examining  a  utility's  annual  report  or by  contacting
officials from the utility.   In those instances where it was impossible
to obtain the percentage, a reliable  standard  default based on the
utility's  size and  capacity was  used.
    2.  General Government Variables

     (a) Annual  Municipal  Debt  Service

          The annual  municipal  debt is the  sum of  the interest  and
principal paid  by  the municipality in a given year  to  comply with the
terms of the G.O.  debt.   It  is  an expense  for the municipality and must
be paid if the  city wants  to avoid  bankruptcy.   in the model, the debt
service is a major variable and therefore careful attention was paid so
that it was calculated  accurately.    To  calculate the  municipal debt
service,   principal and interest payments  for  General,  Special Revenue,
                                      D-f

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and Debt Service Funds  were  added.

     (b)  General Government  Revenues

          A  municipality obtains  its  revenues  from  a  variety  of
sources:    taxes, grants, bond  proceeds,   special  assesments, pension
funds.    Some of  these were  not included  in the numbers  used in the
model.   Local govermment revenues  were calculated by adding the revenues
from   the   Governmental Fund Types (i. e., General,  Special Revenue,  Debt
Service, Capital  Projects,  and  Special  Assessment)  and one  Fiduciary
Fund Type  (i.e.  Expendable Trust).  Those not included were:  Propriety
Fund Types  (e.g.  Enterprise  and Internal  Service);  and,  Fiduciary  Fund
Types  (e.g.  Pension Trust, Nonexpendable Trust, Agency).
                                      D-!

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