xvEPA
              United States
              Environmental Protection
              Agency
             Office of Air Quality
             Planning and Standards
             Research Triangle Park NC 27711
EPA-450/4-88-001
February 1988
              Air
National Air
Quality and
Emissions Trends
Report, 1986
             Total Suspended Particulate Trend Sites, 1977-1986

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     NATIONAL AIR QUALITY AND EMISSIONS

            TRENDS REPORT,  1986
    U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
        Office of Air and Radiation
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park,  North Carolina 27711

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                                DISCLAIMER                                             1
                                                                                        v






     This report has been reviewed by the Office of  Air  Quality  Planning



and Standards, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  and  has been  approved



for publication.  Mention of trade names  or  commercial products  is  not



intended to constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.

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                                PREFACE

     This is the fourteenth annual  report of air  pollution  trends  issued  by
the U» S. Environmental  Protection  Agency.   The report  is prepared by  the
Technical Support Division, formerly the Monitoring  and Data Analysis
Division, and is directed toward both the technical  air pollution  audience
and the interested general  public.   The Division  solicits comments on
this report and welcomes suggestions on our  trend  techniques,  interpre-
tations, conclusions, and methods of presentation.  Please  forward any
response to William F. Hunt, Jr., (MD-14) U.  S. Environmental  Protection
Agency, Technical Support Division, Research Triangle Park, N.  C.  27711.

     The Technical Support  Division would like to  acknowledge  William
F. Hunt, Jr., for the overall management, c-oordination, and direction
given in assembling this report. Special mention  should also  be given
to Helen Hinton and Cathy Coats for typing the report.

     The following people are recognized for their contributions to
each of the sections of the report  as principal authors:

     Section 1 - William F. Hunt, Jr. and Thomas  C.  Curran
     Section 2 - Warren P.  Freas
     Section 3 - Thomas C.  Curran,  Robert B. Faoro,  Neil H. Frank, and
                 Warren P.  Freas
     Section 4 - Neil Berg, Warren  Freas, Edward  Hanks, David  Lutz,
                 George Man ire, and Dennis Shi pman
     Section 5 -. Stan Sleva, Neil Berg, Ed Hanks, David Lutz,
                 George Manire, and Dennis Shipman

     Also deserving special thanks  are Chuck Mann, Jake Summers and
Susan Kimbrough for the emission trend analyses,  George Duggan  for the
population exposure estimates, Whit Joyner for editorial advice, and
David Henderson and Coe Owen of EPA Region IX for  providing us  with
their computer software to generate the air  quality  maps of the United
States used in this report.

     As a final acknowledgement, it should be noted  that this  is the
last EPA Air Quality Trends Report  that will  be done using EPA's SAROAD
(Storage and Retrieval of Aerometric Data) system.  SAROAD  has been
replaced by a more modern system that will be used for  future  reports.
The Monitoring and Reports Branch would like to thank all of the people
associated with SAROAD over the years, particularly  our colleagues in
the National Air Data Branch and their predecessors, for the design,
development, implementation, and maintenance of a data  system  that made
these reports possible.

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IV

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                                CONTENTS

LIST OF FIGURES			      vi i

LIST OF TABLES...		      xiii

  1.  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY	      1-1

      1.1   INTRODUCTION	      1-2

      1.2   MAJOR FINDINGS...		..      1-5

      1.3   REFERENCES	      1-20

  2.  INTRODUCTION	      2-1

      2.1   DATA BASE-	      2-2

      2.2   TREND STATISTICS	      2-5

      2.3   REFERENCES	      2-8

  3.  NATIONAL AND REGIONAL TRENDS  IN  NAAQS  POLLUTANTS	...      3-1

      3.1   TRENDS IN TOTAL SUSPENDED PARTICULATE	      3-5

      3.2   TRENDS IN SULFUR DIOXIDE	      3-11

      3.3   TRENDS IN CARBON MONOXIDE	      3-20

      3.4   TRENDS IN NITROGEN DIOXIDE	      3-26

      3.5   TRENDS IN OZONE	      3-31

      3.6   TRENDS IN LEAD	      3-38

      3.7   REFERENCES	      3-44

  4.  AIR  QUALITY LEVELS IN METROPOLITAN  STATISTICAL
      AREAS	      4-1

      4.1   SUMMARY STATISTICS	      4-1

      4.2   AIR QUALITY MSA COMPARISONS	      4-3

      4.3  REFERENCES....	      4-5

  5.  TRENDS ANALYSES FOR 14 URBANIZED AREAS			      5-1

      5.1   BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS URBANIZED AREA		      5-4

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 5.2  NEW YORK,  NEW YORK-NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY  URBANIZED
      AREA	'.	       5-6

 5.3  BALTIMORE, MARYLAND URBANIZED AREA	       5-8

 5.4  PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA-NEW JERSEY  URBANIZED
      AREA	    .   5-10

 5.5  ATLANTA,  GEORGIA URBANIZED AREA..	       5-12

 5.6  CHICAGO,  ILLINOIS-NORTHWESTERN INDIANA URBANIZED
      AREA				       5-14

 5.7  DETROIT,  MICHIGAN URBANIZED AREA	       5-16

 5.8  HOUSTON,  TEXAS URBANIZED AREA	       5-18

 5.9  ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI-ILLINOIS URBANIZED AREA	       5-20

5.10  DENVER, COLORADO URBANIZED AREA	       5-22

5.11  LOS ANGELES-LONG BEACH, CALIFORNIA URBANIZED AREA.       5-24

5.12  PHOENIX,  ARIZONA URBANIZED AREA	       5-26

5.13  PORTLAND, OREGON-WASHINGTON URBANIZED AREA	       5-28

5.14  SEATTLE-EVERETT, WASHINGTON URBANIZED  AREA.	       5-30

5.15  AIR QUALITY TRENDS FOR FIVE GEOGRAPHIC AREAS	       5-32

5.16  REFERENCES	       5-36

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                                 FIGURES
Figures                                                                 Page

 1-1      Number of persons living in counties  with  air  quality            1-2
          levels above the primary National  Ambient  Air  Quality
          Standards in 1986 (Based on 1980  population  data).

 1-2      Illustrations of plotting conventions for  boxplots.              1-3

 1-3      National boxplot trend in annual  geometric mean                  1-5
          TSP concentrations, 1977-1986.

 1-4      National trend in particulate emissions, 1977-1986.              1-6

 1-5      United States map of the highest  annual geometric mean           1-6
          TSP concentration by MSA, 1986.

 1-6      National boxplot trend in annual  average S0£                    1-7
          concentrations, 1977-1986.

 1-7      National boxplot trend in second- highest                         1-8
          24-hour S02 concentrations, 1977-1986.

 1-8      National trend in the composite  average of the estimated         1-8
          number of exceedances of the 24-hour  SOg NAAQS,  1977-1986.

 1-9      National trend in sulfur oxide emissions,  1977-1986.             1-9

 1-10     United States map of the highest  annual arithmetic mean          1-9
              concentration by MSA, 1986.
 1-11     National boxplot trend in the second-highest nonoverl apping      1-10
          8-hour average CO concentrations ,  1977-1986.

 1-12     National trend in the composite average of the estimated         1-11
          number of exceedances of the 8-hour CO NAAQS, 1977-1986.

 1-13     National trend in emissions of carbon monoxide, 1977-1986.       1-11

 1-14     United States map of the highest  second maximum nonoverl apping   1-12
          8-hour average CO concentration by MSA, 1986.

 1-15     National boxplot trend in the annual  average N02                1-13
          concentrations, 1977-1986.

 1-16     National trend in emissions of nitrogen oxides, 1977-1986.       1-14

 1-17     United States map of the highest  annual arithmetic  mean          1-14
          N02 concentration by MSA, 1986.

 1-18     National boxplot trend in the second-highest daily  maximum       1-15
          1-hour 03 concentrations, 1977-1986.
                                    VII

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1-19     National  trend  in  emissions of volatile organic                 1-16
         compounds,  1977-1986.

1-20     National  trend  in  the  composite average of the number           1-16
         of daily  exceedances of  the Og NAAQS in the 03
         season, 1977-1986.

1-21     United States map  of the highest second daily maximum           1-17
         1-hour average  63  concentration by MSA, 1986.

1-22     National  boxplot trend in maximum quarterly average Pb          1-18
         concentrations, 1977-1986.

1-23     National  trend  in  lead emissions, 1977-1986.                    1-19

1-24     United States map  of the highest maximum quarterly              1-19
         average lead concentration by MSA, 1986.

2-1      Ten Regions of  the U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency         2-7

3-1      Sample illustration of use of confidence intervals to           3-2
         determine statistically  significant change.

3-2      Illustration of plotting conventions for boxplots.              3-3

3-3      National  trend  in  the  composite average of the geometric        3-6
         mean total  suspended  particulate at both NAMS and all
         sites with 95 percent  confidence intervals,  1977-1986.

3-4      Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual geometric mean          3-6
         total suspended particulate concentrations at 1435
         sites, 1977-1986.

3-5      National  trend  in  particulate emissions, 1977-1986.             3-8

3-6      Boxplot comparisons of trends in annual mean total suspended    3-10
         particulate concentrations at 2044 sites,  1982-1986.

3-7      Regional  comparison of the 1984,, 1985, 1986  composite           3-10
         average of the  geometric mean total  suspended
         particulate concentration*

3-8      National  trend  in  the  composite  average of the annual           3-12
         average sulfur  dioxide concentration at both NAMS and all
         sites with 95 percent confidence intervals,  1977-1986.

3-9      National  trend  in  the  composite  average of the second-          3-12
         highest 24-hour sulfur dioxide concentration at  both
         NAHS and  all sites with 95 percent confidence
         intervals, 1977-1986.
                                 vm

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3-10      National  trend  in  the composite average of the estimated         3-13
          number  of exceedances of .the 24-hour sulfur dioxide NAAQS
          at both NAMS and  all sites with confidence intervals,
          1977-1986.

3-11      Boxplot comparisons of  trends in annual mean sulfur              3-15
          dioxide concentrations  at 302 sites, 1977-1986.

3-12      Boxplot comparisons of  trends in second highest 24-hour          3-15
          average sulfur  dioxide  concentrations at 295 sites,
          1977-1986.

3-13      National  trend  in  sulfur oxide emissions, 1977-1986.             3-16

3-14      Boxplot comparisons of  trends in annual mean sulfur              3-18
          dioxide concentrations  at 583 sites, 1982-1986.

3-15      Regional  comparison of  the 1984, 1985, 1986 composite            3-18
          average of the  annual  average sulfur dioxide concentration.

3-16      Regional  boxplot  comparisons of the annual average sulfur        3-19
          dioxide concentrations  in 1986.

3-17      National  trend  in  the composite average of the second            3-21
          highest nonoverlapping  8-hour average carbon monoxide
          concentration at  both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent
          confidence intervals,  1977-1986.

3-18      Boxplot comparisons of  trends in second highest non-             3-21
          overlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide concentrations
          at 182  sites, 1977-1986.

3-19      National  trend  in  the composite average of the estimated         3-22
          number  of exceedances of the 8-hour carbon monoxide
          NAAQS,  at both  NAMS and all sites with 95 percent
          confidence intervals,  1977-1986.

3-20      National  trend  in  emissions of carbon monoxide, 1977-1986.       3-23

3-21      Boxplot comparisons of  trends in second highest nonover-         3-25
          lapping 8-hour  average  carbon monoxide concentrations
          at 363  sites, 1982-1986,

3-22      Regional  comparison  of  the 1984, 1985S 1986 composite            3-25
          average of the  second  highest nonoverlapping 8-hour
          average carbon  monoxide concentration.

3-23      National  trend  in  the  composite average of nitrogen dioxide      3-27
          concentration at  both  NAMS and all  sites with 95 percent
          confidence intervals,  1977-1986.
                                    IX

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3-24     Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  annual mean nitrogen          3-27
         dioxide concentrations at  111  sites, 1977-1986.

3-25     National trend in nitrogen oxides emissions, 1977-1986.        3-29

3-26     Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  annual mean nitrogen          3-30
         dioxide concentrations at  228  sites, 1982-1986.

3-27     Regional comparison of the 1984,  1985,  1986 composite          3-30
         average of the annual  mean nitrogen dioxide
         concentration.

3-28     National trend in the  composite average of the second          3-32
         highest maximum 1-hour ozone concentration at both
         NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence
         intervals, 1977-1986.

3-29     Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  annual second highest         3-32
         daily maximum 1-hour ozone concentration at 242 sites,
         1977-1986,

3-30     National trend in the  composite average of the estimated       3-33
         number of daily exceedances of the ozone NAAQS in the
         ozone season at both NAHS  and  all sites with 95 percent
         confidence intervals,  1977-1986.

3-31     National trend in emissions of volatile organic compounds,     3-35
         1977-1986.

3-32     Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  annual second highest         3-36
         daily maximum 1-hour ozone concentrations at 539
         sites, 1982-1986.

3-33     Regional comparison of the 19,84,  1985,  1986 composite          3-36
         average of the second-highest  daily 1-hour ozone
         concentrations.

3-34     National trend in the  composite average of the maximum         3-39
         quarterly average lead concentration at 82 sites
         and 7 NAMS sites with  95 percent  confidence intervals,
         1977-1986.

3-35     Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  maximum quarterly             3-39
         average lead concentrations at 82 sites, 1977-1986.

3-36     National trend in lead emissions, 1977-1986.                   3-41

3-37     Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  maximum quarterly             3-42
         average lead concentrations at 326 sites, 1977-1986.

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3-38    Regional  comparison of the 1984, 1985, 1986 composite           3-43
        average of the maximum quarterly average lead
        concentration.

4-1     Number of persons living  in counties with air quality           4-2
        levels above the national  ambient air quality standards
        in 1986 (Based on 1980 population data).

4-2     United States map of the  highest annual geometric mean          4-6
        suspended particulate concentration by MSA, 1986.

4-3     United States map of the  highest annual arithmetic mean         4-16
        sulfur dioxide concentration by MSA, 1986.

4-4     United States map of the  highest second maximum 24-hour         4-26
        average sulfur dioxide concentration by MSA, 1986.

4-5     United States map of the  highest second maximum non-            4-36
        overlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide
        concentration by MSA, 1986.

4-6     United States map of the  highest annual arithmetic mean         4-46
        nitrogen  dioxide concentration by MSA, 1986.

4-7     United States map of the  highest second daily maximum           4-56
        1-hour average ozone concentration by MSA,  1986.

4-8     United States map of the  highest maximum quarterly average      4-66
        lead concentration by MSA, 1986.

5-1     Illustration of plotting  conventions for ranges  used            5-3
        in urbanized area trend analysis.

5-2     Air quality trends in the composite mean and  range              5-5
        of pollutant-specific statistics for the Boston,
        MA Urbanized Area, 1982-1986.

5-3     Air quality trends in the composite mean and  range              5-7
        of pollutant-specific statistics for the New York,
        NY-NJ Urbanized Area, 1982-1986,

5-4     Air quality trends in the composite mean and range of           5-9
        pollutant-specific statistics for  the  Baltimore,  MD
        Urbanized Area, 1982-1986.

5-5     Air quality trends in the composite mean and  range of           5-11
        pollutant-specific statistics for  the  Phildelphia, PA-NJ
        Urbanized Area, 1982-1986.
                                  XI

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 5-6        Air quality trends in  the composite mean and range of     5-13
            pollutant-specific statistics  for the Atlanta, GA
            Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

 5-7        Air quality trends 
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                                  TABLES
Tables                                                               Page

 2-1            National Ambient Air Quality Standards  (NAAQS)        2-3
                in Effect in 1986.

 2-2            Comparison of Number of Sites for  10-Year  and         2-6
                5-Year Air Quality  Trends.

 3-1            National Particulate Emission Estimates,              3-8
                1977-1986.

 3-2            National Sulfur Oxide Emission Estimates,             3-16
                1977-1986.

 3-3            National Carbon Monoxide Emission  Estimates,          3-23
                1977-1986.

 3-4            National Nitrogen Oxides Emission  Estimates,          3-29
                1977-1986.

 3-5            National Volatile Organic Compound                   3-35
                Emission Estimates, 1977-1986.

 3-6            National Lead Emission Estimates,  1977-1986.          3-41

 4-1            Selected Air Quality Summary Statistics and           4-2
                Their Associated National Ambient  Air Quality
                Standards (NAAQS)

 4-2            Highest Annual Geometric Mean Suspended              4-7
                Particulate Concentration by MSA,  1986.

 4-3            Highest Annual Arithmetic Mean Sulfur Dioxide         4-17
                Concentration by MSA, 1986.

 4-4            Highest Second Maximum 24-hour Average  Sulfur         4-27
                Dioxide Concentration by MSA, 1986.

 4-5            Highest Second Maximum Nonoverlapping 8-hour          4-37
                Average Carbon Monoxide Concentration by MSA,
                1986.

 4-6            Highest Annual Arithmetic Mean Nitrogen Dioxide      4-47
                Concentration by MSA, 1986.

 4-7            Highest Second Daily Maximum 1-hour  Average Ozone    4-57
                Concentration by MSA, 1986.

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4-8            Highest Maximum Quarterly Average Lead  Concentration      4-67
               by  MSA, 1986.

5-1            Air Quality Trend Statistics  and  Their  Associated         5-3
               National  Ambient Air Quality  Standards  (NAAQS)

5-2            Percent Change in Air Quality Trend  Statistics            5-32
               1982 to 1986.
                                 xiv

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NATIONAL AIR QUALITY AND EMISSIONS TRENDS REPORT, 1986
                  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
                         1-1

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         NATIONAL AIR QUALITY AND EMISSIONS  TRENDS  REPORT,  1986
                         1.   EXECUTIVE  SUMHARY
1 .1  INTRODUCTION

     Although considerable progress has been made controlling  air  pollution,
it still remains a serious public  health problem.   In  order  to  protect the
public  health and welfare, the U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency  (EPA)
has promulgated National  Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS).  Primary
standards are designed to protect the public health, while secondary.
standards protect the public welfare, as measured  by the  effects of  air
pollution on vegetation, materials and visibility. This  report will  focus
on comparisons to the primary standards in  effect  in 1986 to examine both
changes in air pollution levels over time,  as well as  current  air  pollution
status.

     In 1986, 75.0 million people were living in counties with measured  air
quality levels that violated the NAAQS for  ozone (03)  (Figure  1-1).   This
compares with 41.7 million people  for total  suspended  particulate  (TSP), 41.4
million people for carbon monoxide (CO), 7.5 million people for nitrogen
dioxide (N02)> 4.5 million people  for lead  (Pb)  and 0.9 million people for
sulfur dioxide (SCjj).  While millions of people continue  to breathe  air
that is in violation of the NAAQS, considerable progress  is being  made in reduc-
ing air pollution levels.
             pdufant
        TSP

        SO,

I 1
3 10 20

	 I 	
SO

40

- r
50

	 I 	 '
60

i
TO

80 9
Figure 1-1
                   mllons of persons

Number of persons living in  counties with air quality
the primary National  Ambient Air Quality  Standards  in
on 1980 population data).
levels above
1986 (Based
                                    1-2

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     Nationally, long-term 10-year (1977 through 1986)  improvements  can  be
seen for TSP, SOg,  CO, NQ2, 03, and Pb.   Similar improvements  have been
documented in earlier air quality trends reports,l~l3 issued by EPA.  The trend
in 03 is complicated by a major drop in  measured concentration levels  which
occurred between 1978 and 1979, largely  due to a change in the 03 measurement
calibration procedure.^  Therefore, special  attention  is  given to the
period after 1978,  because the change in the calibration procedure is  not an
influence during this time.

     The 10-year trend (1977-1986) is complemented with a  more recent  5-year
trend (1982-1986).   The 5-year trend increases the number  of sites available
for trend analysis.  Emphasis is placed  on the post-1981 period to take
advantage of the larger number of sites  and the fact  that  the  data from  this
period should be of the highest quality, with sites meeting uniform  siting
criteria and high standards of quality assurance.  Nationally, improvements
can be seen for all the pollutants during the 5-year period.

     The trends in  ambient air quality,  that follow,  are presented as
boxplots, which display the 5th, 10th, 2bth, 5Uth (median), 75th, 90th and
9bth percentiles of the data, as well  as the composite  average (Figure 1-2).
The 5th, 10th and 25th percentiles depict the "cleaner" sites, while the
75th, 90th and 95th depict the "dirtier" sites and the  median  and average
describe the "typical" sites. The use of the boxplots allow us to simul-
taneously compare trends in the "cleaner", "typical"  and "dirtier" sites.
                                          95tt> PERCENT1E
                                         -90thPERCENTllE




                                         -TSthPERCENmi

                                         • COMPOSITE WERAGC
                                         -MEDIAN
                                             iPERCENTlE

                                          XMh PERC£NT1£

                                         •SlhPCRCENTI£
Figure 1-2.  Illustrations of plotting conventions for boxplots.
                                    1-3

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     All  of the ambient air  quality  trend  analyses are based on monitoring
sites which recorded  at least  8  of the  10 years of data in the period
1977 to 1986 or 4 out of 5 years in  the period 1982 to 1986.  Each year
had to satisfy an annual  data  completeness criterion, which is discussed
in Section 2.1, Data Base.

     Finally, the Executive  Summary  also contains air quality maps of the
United States to show at a glance how air  quality varies among the 89
largest metropolitan statistical  areas  (MSA).  In each map, a spike is
plotted at the city location on  the  map  surface.  This represents the
highest pollutant concentration, recorded  in 1986, corresponding to the
appropriate air quality standard.  Each spike is projected onto a backdrop
facilitating comparison with the level  of  the standard.  This also provides
an east-west profile of concentration variability throughout the country.
                                    1-4

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1.2  MAJOR FINDINGS
     Total Suspended Participate (TSP) - Annual average TSP levels, measured
at 1435 sites, decreased 23 percent between 1977 and 1986 (Figure 1-3).   This
corresponds to a 25 percent decrease in estimated particulate emissions for the
same period (Figure 1-4).  TSP air quality levels generally do not improve in
direct proportion to estimated emission reductions, however, because air quality
levels are influenced by factors such as natural dust, reentrained street dust,
construction activity, etc., which are not included in the emissions estimates.
EPA has also found that the TSP data collected during the years 1979-1981 may be
biased high due to the glass fiber filter used during these years, and that
most of the large apparent 2-year decrease in pollutant concentrations between
1981 and 1982 can be attributed to a change in these filters J 1-13, 15, 16  por
this reason, the portion of the Figure 1-3 graph corresponding to 1979-1981
is stippled, indicating the uncertainty associated with data from these
intervening years.  The more recent TSP data show a leveling off with a 3
percent decrease in ambient TSP levels and a 4 percent decrease in estimated
emissions for the 1982-86 time period.  Some minor year to year fluctuations
may in part be attributable to year to year changes in meteorological
conditions such as precipitation.  The most recent 1986 annual geometric
mean TSP concentration is plotted for the 89 largest MSAs (Figure 1-5).
The highest concentrations are generally found in the industrial Midwest
and arid areas of the West.  The east-west profile shows that levels above
the TSP standard of 75 ug/m3 can be found throughout the Nation, but propor-
tionally fewer MSAs exceed the standard in the East.  On July 1, 1987, EPA
promulgated new standards for particulate matter using a new indicator,
PM^Q , rather than TSP,  This focuses on those particles with aerodynamic
diameters smaller than 10 micrometers, which are likely to be responsible
for adverse health effects because of their ability to reach the thoracic
or lower regions of the respiratory tract.  PM^g monitoring networks are
now being deployed nationally.  Future trends reports will present analyses
based on the new particulate matter standards.
             110
             100

              90
              80
              70

              60
              50
              40
              30
              20
              10
               0
                 CONCENTRATION, IK***
1435 SITES
     iNMOS
                    1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984  1985 1986
Figure  1-3.  National boxplot trend in annual geometric mean TSP
             concentrations, 1977  - 1986.
                                     1-5

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           15
               TSP EMISSIONS, W* METRIC IONS/YEAR
           10-
                              SOURCE CATCGOiT

                              BSOUDWASIEtlBC    BMl
                                                 COMUSflON
                              • INDUSTRIAL fmassss   m TRANSPORTATION
             1977  1078   1979  I960   1981  1982  1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure  1-4.  National  trend in  participate emissions, 1977  -  1986,
Figure  1-5.   United States map  of the highest annual  geometric mean
               TSP concentration  by MSA,  1986.
                                        1-6

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     Sulfur Dioxide (SO?) - Annual  average SQ^  levels measured  at  302  sites
with continuous SOg monitors decreased 37 percent from 1977 to  1986  improving
at a rate of approximately 4 percent per year (Figure 1-6).  A  comparable
decrease of 43 percent was observed in the trend  in  the composite  average
of the second maximum 24-hour averages (Figure 1-7).  An even greater
improvement was observed in the estimated number  of  exceedances of the
24-hour standard, which decreased 98 percent (Figure 1-8).   However, most
of the exceedances as well  as the bulk of the improvements  occurred  at
source-oriented sites including a few smelter sites  in particular.  There
was a 21  percent drop in sulfur oxide emissions during this 10-year  period,
(Figure 1-9).  The difference between emissions and  air quality trends can be
attributed to several  factors.  S02 monitors with sufficient historical data
for trends are mostly urban population-oriented and  as such do  not monitor
many of the major emitters which tend to be located  in more rural  areas,
The residential and commercial areas, where most  monitors are located, have
shown sulfur oxide emission decreases comparable  to  SOg air quality  improve-
ment.  The most recent 1986 annual  arithmetic mean SOg is plotted  for  the 89
largest MSAs (Figure 1-10).  Among  these large metropolitan areas, the
higher concentrations are found in  the heavily populated Midwest  and  North-
east.  All urban areas have ambient air quality concentrations  lower  than
the current annual standard of (.03 ppm) 80 ug/m3.  However, this  map  only
represents areas with population greater than one half million; it does not
reflect air quality in the vicinity of smelters or large power  plants  in
rural areas, and it does not reflect violations of the 24-hour  or  3-hour
standards.
                CONCENTRATION, PPM
                  1977 me 1979 1980 1981  1982. 1383 1984 1985 1iB6
Figure 1-6,  National boxplot trend in annual average SO? concentrations,
             1977 -  1986.
                                    1-7

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           0.25
              CONCOmATON, PPM
           0.20-
          0.1S-
           0.10
           0.05-
           0.00
                                                     295 STIES
                 1977  Wm 1979 t9BO  1981 1982 1983  1384 1985 1986
Figure  1-7.   National  boxplot  trend in  second highest 24-hour  $02
              concentrations,  1977 - 1986.
           2.5
               ESTIMATED BCEEDANCES
             2-


           1.5-
           0.5-
                                                      295 SdES
                  —i	i	1	1	1	1	T    i    T   f
                  1977  1978 1979 1980  1981  1982 1983 19B4 1985 1986
 Figure 1-3.  National trend in the  composite  average of  the estimated
               number of exceedances  of  the 24-hour S02 NAAQS, 1977  -  1986,
                                      1-E

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              SOXEMSSK)NS,W'METOC TONS/YEAR
          10
            1977  1378  1979  1980   1981   1982  1983  19i4  1985  1986
Figure 1-9.   National trend  in  sulfur oxide emissions, 1977 -  1986,
Figure  1-10.
United States  map of the highest  annual arithmetic mean
    concentration by MSA,  1986.
                                    1-9

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     Carbon Monoxide (CO) - Nationally, the second highest non-overlapping
8-hour average CO levels at 182 sites decreased 32 percent between 1977 and
1986 (Figure 1-11).  The median rate of improvement has been about 4 percent
per year.  The estimated number of exceedances of the 8-hour NAAQS decreased
89 percent between 1977 and 1986 (Figure 1-12).  CO emissions decreased 26
percent during the same period (Figure 1-13),  Because CO monitors are
typically located to identify potential problems, they are likely to be
placed in traffic saturated areas that may not experience significant
increases in vehicle miles of travel.  As a result, the air quality levels
at these locations generally improve at a rate faster than the nationwide
reduction in emissions.  The 1985 and 1986 levels are similar and indicate
improvement relative to previous years.  The most recent 1986 highest
second maximum nonoverlapping 8-hour average CO concentration is plotted
for the 89 largest MSAs (Figure 1-14).  The east-west profile indicates
that many of these urban areas in all geographic regions have air quality
at or exceeding the 9 ppm level of the standard.
             25
                CONCfNTKATON, PPM
             20-
              15-
              10-
              5-
                                                    182 SITES
                   1977 1978  1979  1980  1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure 1-11.
National boxplot trend in the second highest nonoverlapping
8-hour average CO concentrations, 1977  - 1986.
                                    1-10

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             50
                E5IMM1D EXCEEDANCCS
            40-
             30-
             20-
             10-
                                                        182 SITES
1977
                            1979 1980  1981  1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure  1-12.   National  trend  in  the composite average of  the estimated
                number of  exceedances of the 8-hour  CO NAAQS, 1977 -  1986,
            120
                 CO EMSSONS. 10*
                                SOURCE CATEGORY
                                • SOU) WASTE * WSC    B FUEL
                                                  COMBUSWN
                                B KWSTOAL PROCESSES  E3 TRAHSPOHWTKW
              0
               1977  1978   1979  1980  1981   1982  1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure 1-13.   National  trend  in emissions of  carbon monoxide,  1977 - 1986.
                                       1-1

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Figure 1-14.
United States map of the highest second maximum nonoverlapping
8-hour average CO concentration by MSA, 1986.
                                  1-12

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     Nitrogen Pioxide (NO;?)  - Annual average NQ£ levels, averaged over 111
sites, increased from 1977 to 1979, and decreased through 1986, except for
a slight increase in 1984 (Figure 1-15).  The 1986 composite N02 average,
however, is 14 percent lower than the 1977 level  indicating a downward
trend during the overall period.  The trend in the estimated nationwide
emissions of nitrogen oxides is similar to the N02 air quality trend.
Between 1977 and 1986, total  nitrogen oxide emissions decreased by 8 percent,
and highway vehicle emissions, the source category likely impacting the
majority of NOg monitoring sites, decreased by 13 percent (Figure 1-16).
Between 1985 and 1986, the NOg composite average remained constant
while the estimated emissions of nitrogen oxides decreased by 2 percent.
This small year-to-year difference between the ambient levels and the
emissions percent change is likely not significant given the relatively
low ambient NOg levels.  The most recent 1986 highest annual  arithmetic
mean NOg concentration is plotted for the 89 largest MSAs (Figure 1-17).
Los Angeles, California is the only area in the country exceeding the air
quality standard of .053 ppm.
                CONCENTRATION, PPM
                   1i77 W78 1979  WQ  1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure  1-15.
National boxplot trend in annual  average NQg  concentrations
1977 - 1986.
                                     1-13

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            30
               NO. MSSONS, tO*
                              SOURCE CATEGORY
                              • SOUDWASTE tUBC.-   GS RJB.COMBUSBON
                              • MXJSTRttL PROCESSES  EJ
             1977   1978  1979  1980  1981  1982  1983   1984  1985  1986
Figure  1-16.  National trend  in emibsiois of nitrogen oxides, 1977  -  1986,
Figure  1-17.
United States map  of the highest annual  arithmetic mean
N02  concentration  by MSA,  1986.
                                      1-14

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     Ozone (03) -  Nationally, the composite average of the second highest
daily maximum 1-hour 03 values, recorded at 242 sites, decreased 21 percent
between 1977 and 1986 (Figure 1-18).  However, this comparison is affected
by a calibration change for ozone measurements that occurred in the
1978-79 time period.  The stippled portion of Figures 1-18 and 1-20 indicate
data affected by measurements taken prior to the calibration change.  In
the post-calibration period (1979-1986), (h levels decreased 13 percent
(Figure 1-18).  Volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions decreased 19
percent for the 1977-86 10-year period and 20 percent for the post-calibration
1979-86 period (Figure 1-19).  The estimated number of exceedances of the
ozone standard decreased 38 percent between 1979 and 1986 (Figure 1-20).
The ozone trend in the post-calibration period shows 1979, 1980, and 1983
being higher than the other years.  The possible contribution of meteoro-
logical conditions to the higher 1983 levels has been discussed in previous
reports. 11-13  The most recent 1986 highest second daily maximum 1-hour average
03 concentration is plotted for the 89 largest MSAs (Figure 1-21).  Many of
these areas did not meet the 0.12 ppm standard in 1986.  The highest concen-
trations are observed in Southern California, but high levels also persist
in the Texas Gulf Coast, Northeast corridor, and other heavily populated
regions.
             0.30
                CONCENTRATION. PPM
             0.25-
             0.20-
             0.15-
             O.10-
             0.05"
             0.00
                   1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
 Figure  1-18.
National boxplot trend in the second highest daily maximum
03 concentrations, 1977 - 1986.
1-hour
                                     1-15

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              35
                  VOC EMISSIONS, tt'kCTWC TONS/YEAR
                                 SOURCE CATEGORY
                                 • SOUD WASTE * UBC    B WDUSHMl HSXESSES
                                 • njaoouBusnoN
 1977
                           W79  880   1981   1982  WSJ  1984   1985  1986
Figure  1-19.  National trend  in emissions of volatile organic compounds,
               1977  - 1986.
               20
               15-
               10
                5-
                   NO. OF EXCEEDANCES
                                                          242 SCTES
                      1977 W7B 1979  t9BO t981 1982  1983 t984 1985  1986
Figure 1-20.
National  trend  in the composite average of the  number of
daily  exceedances of the 63 NAAQS in  the 03 season, 1977  - 1986,
                                        1-16

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4
             Figure  1-21.
United States -nap of the highest second daily maximum 1-hour
average 03 concentration by MSA, 1986.
                                                 1-17

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     Lead (Pb) - The composite maximum quarterly average of ambient Pb
levels, recorded at 82 urban sites, decreased 87 percent between 1977 and
1986 (Figure 1-22).  Lead emissions declined 94 percent during the same
period (Figure 1-23).  In order to increase the number of trend sites, the
1982 to 1986 time period was examined.  A total of 326 urban trend sites (1982 to
1986) measured a 68 percent decline in Pb levels, corresponding to a 84
percent decrease in estimated Pb emissions.  Between 1985 and 1986 ambient Pb
levels declined 35 percent, while Pb emissions are estimated to have declined
59 percent.  This extremely large decrease in both air quality levels and
estimated emissions is largely due to the reduction of the lead content of
leaded gasoline.  The most recent 1986 highest maximum quarterly average
lead concentration is plotted for the 89 largest MSAs (Figure 1-24).  The
highest concentrations are found throughout the country in cities containing
nonferrous smelters or other point sources of lead.  Because of the switch
to unleaded gasoline, other areas, primarily affected by automotive lead
emissions, show levels below the current standard of 1.5 ug/m3.
            3.5
                CONCENTJWDOU ixytf
              3-

            2.5-

              2-

            1.5

              1-

            0.5-

              0
                                                    82 SITES
                   1977 1978  1979 1980  1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
 Figure  1-22.   National  boxplot  trend  in maximum quarterly  average  Pb
               concentrations,  1977  -  1986.
                                     1-18

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           200
                L£*0 EMBSWNS, 10s METRIC TON^AEAR
           150-
           100-
               SOURCE CATEGORY
               • SOLDWWIE
                                              a FUEL
                                                OOMBUSnON
              1977  1378  1979  1980   1981   1912   1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure  1-23.   National  trend in lead  emissions, 1977  -  1936,
                                                               •• s
Figure 1-24.
United  States map of the  highest maximum quarterly  average

lead  concentration by  MSA,  1986,
                                     1-19

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1.3  REFERENCES

     1.  The National Air^Monitoring Program:  Air Quality and  Emissions
Trends -Annual Report, EPA-450/l-73-001a and  b,  U.  S.  Environmental  Protection
Igency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park, NC, July 1973.

     2.  Monitoring and Air Quality Trends Report, 1972,  EPA-450/1-73-004,
U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office  of  Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, December 1973.

     3.  Monitoring and Air Quality Trends Report. 1973,  EPA-45U/1-74-007,
U. S,  Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, October 1974.

     4.  Monitoring and Air Quality Trends Report, 1974,  EPA-4bO/1-76-OQ1,
U. S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, February 1976.

     5.  National Air Quality and Emission Trends Report, 1975, EPA-450/1-76-002,
U, S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, November 1976.

     6.  National Air Quality and Emission Trends Report, 1976, EPA-450/1-77-002,
U. S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, December 1977.

     7.  National Air Quality, Monitoring, and Emissions  Trends Reports,
1977t EPA-4bU/2-78-062, U.  S. Environmental Protection  Agency, Office of
Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC, December
1978.

     8.  1980 Ambient Assessment - Air Portion. EPA-450/4-81-014,  U.  S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, NC, February 1981.

     9,  National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1981, EPA-450/
4-83-U11, U, S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Pa*k, NC,  April 1983.

    1U.  National Air Quality andEmissions TrendsReport,1982, ECA-45U/
4-84-UU2, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,  March 1984,,
                                    1-2U

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    11.  National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report.  1983, EPA-45Q/
4-84-029,  U.  S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency, Office of  Air Quality
Planning and  Standards, Research Triangle Park,  NC, April 1985.

    12.  National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report,1984, EPA-450/
4-86-001,  U.  S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency, Office of  Air Quality
Planning and  Standards, Research Triangle Park,  NC, April 1986.

    13.  National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report.  1985, EPA-450/
4-87-001,  U.  S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency, Office of  Air Quality
Planning and  Standards, Research Triangle Park,  NC, February 1987.

    14.  Measurement of Ozone in the Atmosphere, 43 FR 26971, June 22,
1978.

    15.  Written communication from Thomas R.  Hauser,  Environmental
Monitoring Systems Laboratory, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, NC, to Richard  6.  Rhoads, Monitoring and Data
Analysis Division, U. S. Environmental  Protection Agency, Research
Triangle Park, NC, January 11, 1984.

    16.  N. H. Frank, "Nationwide Trends  in Total Suspended Participate
Matter and Associated Changes in the Measurement Process",  presented at
the Air Pollution Control Association,  American  Society  For Quality
Control Specialty  Conference on Quality Assurance in Air  Pollution
Measurement,  Boulder, CO, October 1984.
                                    1-21

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1-22

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                            2.   INTRODUCTION

     This report focuses on both 10-year (1977-1986)  and 5-year  (1982-1986)
national air quality trends in  each of the major pollutants  for  which
National Ambient Air Quality Standards have been established, as well as
Regional and, where appropriate, short-term air  quality trends.  The
national analyses are complemented  in Section 5  with  air quality trends
in selected urbanized areas for the period 1982  through 1986.   In  both
the national 5-year trend and the urbanized area trends, the shorter
time period was used to expand  the  number of sites  available for trend
analysis.  The areas that were  examined are:   Atlanta,  6A; Baltimore, MD;
Boston, MA; Chicago, IL-Northwestern IN; Denver, CO;  Detroit, MI;  Houston,
TX; Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA; New York,  NY-Northeastern NJ; Philadelphia,
PA-NJ; Phoenix, AZ; Portland, OR-WA; St. Louis,  MO-IL,  and Seattle, HA.

     The national air quality trends are presented  for  all sites and the
National Air Monitoring Station (NAMS) sites.  The  NAMS were established
through monitoring regulations  promulgated in May 1979^ to provide
accurate and timely data to the U.  S. Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) from a national air monitoring network.  The  NAMS are  located in
areas with high pollutant concentrations and high population exposure.
These stations meet uniform criteria for siting, quality assurance,
equivalent analytical methodology,  sampling intervals,  and instrument
selection to assure consistent data reporting among  the States.  Other
sites operated by the State and local air pollution control  agencies,
such as the State and Local Air Monitoring Stations (SLAMS)  and  Special
Purpose Monitors (SPM), in general, also meet the same  rigid criteria,
except that in addition to being located in the area  of highest  concen-
tration and high population exposure, they are located  in other  areas
as well.  The ambient levels presented are the results  of direct air
pollution measurements.

     In addition to ambient air quality, trends are also  presented for
annual nationwide emissions.  These are estimates of  the amount  and kinds
of pollution being emitted by automobiles, factories, and other  sources,
based upon the best available engineering calculations  for a given time
period.  The emission trends are taken from the EPA publication, National"
Air Pollutant Emission Estimates, 1940-19862 and the  reader  is  referred
to this publication for more detailed information.   Except for  lead-
emissions, which are reported in gigagrams (one thousand metric  tons),
the emission data are reported  as teragrams (one million metric  tons)
emitted to the atmosphere per year.2

     Air quality status may be measured by comparing  the ambient air
pollution levels with the appropriate primary and secondary  National
                               2-1

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Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)  for  each of  the  pollutants  (Table
2-1).  Primary standards protect the public  health;  secondary standards
protect the public welfare as measured by  effects  of pollution  on
vegetation, materials, and visibility.  The  standards  are  further
categorized for different averaging times.  Long-term  standards specify
an annual  or quarterly mean that may not be  exceeded;  short-term  standards
specify upper limit values for 1-, 3-, 8-, or  24-hour  averages.  With
the exception of the pollutants ozone  and  PM}Q, the  short-term  standards
are not to be exceeded more than once  per  year. The ozone standard  requires
that the expected number of days per calendar  year with  daily maximum
hourly concentrations exceeding 0.12 parts per million (ppm) be less
than or equal to one.  The new 24-hour PM^g  standard also  allows  one
expected exceedance per year.

     Section 4 of this report, "Air Quality  Levels in  Metropolitan
Statistical Areas (MSAs)," provides interested members of  the air
pollution control community, the private sector and  the  general public
with greatly simplified air pollution  information.  Air  quality statistics
for the years 1984, 1985 and 1986 are presented for  each of the pollutants
for all MSA's with populations exceeding 500,000.

2.1  DATA BASE
     The ambient air quality data used in this report were obtained
from EPA's National Aerometric Data Bank (NADB).   Air quality data are
submitted to the NADB by both State and local  governments, as well as
federal agencies.  At the present time, there  are over 250 million air
pollution measurements on the NADB, the vast majority of which  represent
the more heavily populated urban areas of the  Nation.

     As in last year's report^, the size of the available air quality
trends data base has been expanded by m°rying  data at sites which have
experienced changes in the agency operating the site, the instrument
used, or a change  in the project code, such as a change from population
oriented to special purpose monitoring.

     In order for  a monitoring site to have been included in the national
10-year trend analysis, the site had to contain at least 8 out  of the
10 years of data in the period 1977 to 1986.  For the national  5-year
trend and urban area analyses, the site had to contain 4. out of 5 years
of data to be included as a trend site.  Each  year with data had to
satisfy an annual data completeness criterion.  The air quality data
are divided into two major groupings -- 24-hour measurements and continuous
1-hour measurements.  The 24-hour measurements are obtained from monitoring
instruments that produce one measurement per 24-hour period and are
typically operated on a systematic sampling schedule of once every 6
days or 61 samples per year.  Such instruments are used to measure JSP,
S02, N0£, and Pb.  For these measurement methods, the NADB defines a
                                2-2

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 TABLE 2-1.   National  Ambient Air  Quality  Standards (NAAQS) in Effect in 1986
 POLLUTANT
   TSPb
   S02
     PRIMARY (HEALTH RELATED)
   CO
   N02


    °3


   Pb
   AVERAGIN8 TIME

  Annual  Geometric
       Mean

      24-hour

  Annual  Arithmetic
       Mean

      24-hour


       8-hour


       1-hour
                              STANDARD  LEVEL
                              CONCENTRATION3  AVERA6ING TIME
                  SECONDARY  (WELFARE RELATED)


                                  CONCENTRATION
  75 ug/m3


 260 ug/n£

 (0.03 ppm)
 80 ug/nP

 (0.14 ppm)
 365 ug/m3

  9 ppm
(10 mg/np)

  35 ppra
(40 mg/m3)
  Annual  Arithmetic   0.053 ppm
       Mean          (100 ug/m3)

Maximum Daily 1-hour   0.12 ppmc
      Average        (235 ug/m3)

  Maximum Quarterly   1.5 ug/m3
      Average
24-hour

 3-hour
 150 ug/m3

1300 ug/m3
(0.50 ppm)
      No Secondary Standard

      No Secondary Standard


      Same as Primary


      Same as Primary


      Same as Primary
a Parenthetical value is an approximately equivalent concentration.

b TSP was the indicator pollutant for the original  particulate  matter  (PM)
  standards.  New PM standards were promulgated  in  1987,  using  PM^Q  (particles
  less than lOu in diameter)  as the indicator  pollutant.   The levels and
  averaging times for these new primary standards are 50  ug/m3  for  the annual
  mean and 150 ug/m3 for the 24-hour average.   Adjustments are  made for
  incomplete data.  The secondary standards are  the same  as the primary.

c The standard is attained when the expected number of days per calendar year
  with maximum hourly average concentrations above  0.12 ppm is  equal to or
  less than 1, as determined  in accordance with  Appendix  H of the Ozone NAAQS.
                                   2-3

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valid quarter's record as one consisting  of  at  least  five  sample measure-
ments representively distributed  among  the months of  that  quarter.
Distributions of measurements that show no samples  in 2 months of a
quarter or that show no samples in 1  month and  only one sample in
another month are judged unacceptable for calculating a representative
estimate of the mean.  A valid annual mean for  TSP, SOg and N02> measured
with this type of sampler, requires four  valid  quarters to satisfy the NADB
criteria.  For the pollutant lead, the  data  used  have to satisfy the
criteria for a valid quarter in at least  3 of the 4 possible quarters
in a year for the national trend.

     The 1-hour data are obtained from  monitoring instruments that
operate continuously, producing a measurement every hour for a possible
total of 8760 hourly measurements in a  year. For continuous hourly
data, a valid annual mean for SOg and NOg requires  at least 4380 hourly
observations.  This same annual data completeness of  at least 4380
hourly values was required for the CO standard  related statistics -
the second maximum nonoverlapping 8-hour  average  and  the estimated
number of exceedances of the 8-hour average  CO  standard.

     A slightly different criterion was used for  the  SOg standard related
daily statistics - the second daily maximum  24-hour average and the
estimated number of daily exceedances of the S02  standard.   Instead of
requiring 4380 or more hourly values, 183 or more daily values were
required.  A valid day is defined as one consisting of at  least 18
hourly observations.  This minor  modification in  the  criterion resulted
in a 2 percent difference in the  total  number of  SOg  trend sites for
the 10 year trend evaluation of the annual arithmetic mean, 302 sites, as
opposed to 295 trend sites for the evaluation of  both the  second maximum
daily average and the estimated number  of standard  exceedances.  The
difference in the number of S02 trend sites  for the 5-year trend
period is 583 sites selected for  evaluating  the annual mean versus 585
sites selected for evaluating the second maximum daily average and the
estimated number of exceedances.

     Finally, because of the seasonal nature of ozone, both  the
second daily maximum 1-hour value and the estimated number of exceedances
of the 03 NAAQS were calculated for the ozone season,, which varies by
State.4  For example, in California the ozone season  is defined as 12
months, January through December, while in New  Jersey it is defined as 7
months, April through October.  In order  for a  site to be  included it
had to have  at least 50 percent of the  daily data in  the ozone season.

     For al.l the pollutants, the  site must satisfy  the annual completeness
criterion, specified above, in at least 8 out of 10 years  to be included
in the 10-year air quality trends data  base  and 4 out of 5 years in
both the 5-year trend and urbanized area trend  data bases. The shorter
time period was used in the urbanized area analyses to expand the
number of sites available for  trend analyses {Table 2-2).
                                  2-4

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     In calculating the national  and urban area trend  analyses,  each site
was weighted equally.   The report examines both 10-year (1977  to 1986)
and 5-year (1982 to 1986) trends.  The use of moving  10-year and 5-year
windows for trends yields a data  base that is more  consistent  with  the
current monitoring network.  In addition,  this procedure increased  the
total number of trend  sites by 8  percent  for  the 10-year period  and 2
percent for the 5-year period as  compared  to  the data  bases used in the
last annual report.  The 5-year trend period  is introduced  to  increase
the number of trend sites available for analysis (Table 2-2),  The
trend from 1982 on reflects the period following the  implementation cf
the monitoring regul ations.l  The regulations required uniform siting
of monitors and placed greater emphasis on quality  assurance.  In
general, the data from the post 1982 period should  be  of the highest
quality.  As would be expected, there are considerably more trend sites
for the 5-year period  than the 10-year period - 4083  total  trend sites
versus 2354 trends sites, respectively (Table 2-2).  This 73 percent
increase in the number of trends  sites for the 5-year  period over the
10-year period reflects the greater utilization of  the ambient air
quality data that is  achieved by  examining the shorter time period.
Trend sites can be found in all EPA Regions (Figure 2-1) for TSP, $02,
CO, NOg and 03 and lead for the 5-year period,

2.2  TREND STATISTICS

     The air quality analyses presented in this report comply with  the
recommendations of the Intra-Agency Task  Force on Air  Quality  Indicators,5
This task force was established in January 1980 to  recommend standardized
air quality indicators and statistical methodologies  for presenting air
quality status and trends.  The Task Force report was  published  in
February 1981.  The air quality statistics used in  these pollutant-
specific trend analyses relate to the appropriate NAAQS's.   Two  types
of standard-related statistics are used -  peak statistics (the second
maximum 24-hour SOg average, the  second maximum nonoverlapping 8-hour
CO average, and the second daily maximum 1-hour 03  average) and  long-term
averages (the annual  geometric mean for TSP,  the annual  arithmetic
means for SQ2 and NQg, and the quarterly arithmetic mean for lead),  In
the case of the peak statistics,  the second maximum value is used.,
because this is the value which traditionally has been used to determine
whether or not a site has or has not violated an air  quality standard
in a particular year,  and, therefore, the  second maximum value is of
significant importance.  A composite average  of each  of these statistics
is used, by averaging  each statistic over  all available trend  sites5 in
the graphical presentations which follow.

     In addition to the standard  related  statistics,,  other  statistics are
used, when appropriate,, to further clarify observed air quality  trends.
Particular attention  is given to  the estimated number  of exceedances of
the short-term NAAQS's.  The estimated number of exceedances is  the
measured number of exceedances adjusted to account  for incomplete sampling
                                  2-5

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     For a pollutant such as ozone, for  which  the  level of the standard
was revised during the 1977-1986 time  period,  exceedances for all years
were computed using the most recent level  of the standard.   This was
done to ensure that the trend in exceedances is indicative of air quality
trends rather than a change in the level  of the standard.
TABLE 2-2.  Comparison of Number of Sites  for 10-Year  and 5-Year  Air
                             Quality Trends

                                                         %  CHANGE  IN THE
                              NUMBER OF  SITES            NUMBER  OF TREND
                                                               SITES
POLLUTANT              1977-86 TREND   1982-86 TREND     1977-86 vs.  1982-86

Total Suspended             1435           2044                +42%
  Particulate (TSP)

Sulfur Dioxide (SQfc)         302            583                +93%

Carbon Monoxide (CO)         182            363                +99%

Ozone (03)                   242            539               +123%

Nitrogen Dioxide (NOg)       111            228               +105%

Lead (Pb)                  	82_            326               +298%

           Total   .         2354           4083                +73%
                                  2-6

-------
PO
I
                                       Denver   I Kansas City
         Hawaii, {>
         Guam
                                                                                       BoBton
                                                                              «9  «^T  New York

                                                                                  ' Philidelphia
                                                                             <*•'      Puerto Rico,
                                                                                  Virgin Islands
        Figure  2-1.  Ten  Regions  of  the  U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency.

-------
2.3  REFERENCES

     1.  Ambient Air Quality Surveillance,  44  FR 27558, May  10, 1979.

     2.  National Air Pollutant Emission  Estimates,  1940-1986, EPA-450/
4-87-024, U. S. Environmental  Protection  Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,  January  1988.

     3.  National Air Quality and Emission  Trends Report.  1985, EPA-4SO/
4-87-001, U. S. Environmental  Protection  Agency, Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC,  February 1987.

     4.  Ambient Air Quality Surveillance,  51  FR 9597, March 19, 1986.

     5.  U^ S. Environmental Protection Agency Ijitra-Agency  Task Force
Report on Air Qua]ityIndicators, EPA-450/4-81-015,  U. S.  Environmental
Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and Standards, Research
Triangle Park, NC, February 1981.

-------
        3.  NATIONAL AND REGIONAL  TRENDS  IN NAAQS POLLUTANTS


     This chapter focuses on  both  10-year  (1977-1986) and more recent
5-year (1982-1986) trends in  each  of  the  six major pollutants, as well
as short term air quality trends.   Comparisons are made between all  the
trend sites and the subset of NAMS.  Trends are examined for both the
Nation and the ten EPA Regions.  The  air quality trends data base has
been expanded for all pollutants by merging data at sites which have
experienced changes in the agency  operating the site, the instrument
used, or the designation of the  project code, such as residential to
commercial.

     The air quality trends information is presented using trend lines,
confidence intervals, boxplots*  and bar graphs.  This report presents
statistical confidence intervals to facilitate a better understanding
of measured changes in air quality.  Confidence intervals are placed
around composite averages, which are  based on sites that satisfy annual
data completeness requirements.  The  confidence intervals can be used
to make comparisons between years; if the  confidence intervals for any
2 years do not overlap, then  the composite averages of the 2 years are
significantly different (Figure  3-1). Ninety-five percent confidence
intervals for composite averages of annual means (arithmetic and geometric)
and second maxima were calculated  from a  two-way analysis of variance
followed by an application of the  Tukey Studentized Range.2 The confidence
intervals for composite averages of estimated exceedances were calculated
by fitting Poisson distributions^  to  the  exceedances each year and then
applying the Bonferroni rnul tipie comparisons procedure/  The utilization
of these procedures is explained in publications by Pollack, Hunt and
Curran^ and Pollack and Hunt.6

     The boxplots have the advantage  of displaying, simultaneously,
several features of the data.  Figure 3-2  illustrates the use of this
technique in presenting the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th (median), 75th, 90th
and 95th percentiles of the data,  as  well  as the composite average.
The 5th, 10th and 25th percentiles depict the "cleaner" sites.  The
75th, 90th and 95th depict the "dirtier"  sites, and the median and
average describe the "typical" sites. For example, 90 percent of the
sites would have concentrations  lower than the 90th percentile.  Although
the average and median both characterize  typical behavior, the median
has the advantage of not being affected by a few extremely high
observations.  The use of the boxplots allows us to  simultaneously compare
•trends in the "cleaner", "typical" and "dirtier" sites.
                                  3-1

-------
                                       COMPOSITE HEAN OF AIR
                                       POLLUTION STATISTIC
   zs
   o
   OS


   UJ
   o
   o
    o
    c_
    OS
                                                          95% CONFIDENCE
                                                          INTERVAL ABOUT
                                                          COMPOSITE MEAN
RELATIONSHIPS:  (MULTIPLE COMPARISONS)

• YEAR 4 IS SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN
'  YEARS 1, 2, AND 3
• NEITHER YEARS 1 AND 2  NOR 2 AND 3 ARE
'  SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENT FROM OKE ANOTHER

• YEARS 1 AND 3 ARE SIGNIFICANTLY
  DIFFERENT FROM ONE ANOTHER
                              J_
                                 I
               YEAR 1
                  YEAR 2
YEAR 3
YEAR 4
Figure 3-1.   Sample  illustration, of use of confidence intervals to
             determine statistically significant change.
                                   3-2

-------
                                       95tti PERCENT1LE
                                       90tti PERCENTILE
                                       75»h PERCENT1LE
                                       COMPOSITE AVERAGE
                                       MEDIAN

                                       25fh PERCENTILE
                                       10th PERCENTIUE
                                       5fh PERCENTILE
Figure 3-2.  Illustration of plotting conventions for boxplots,
                             3-3

-------
     Boxplots of all trend sites are presented for  each year  in  the  10-
year trend.  In the recent 5-year trend,  the boxplots  are  presented  for
the years 1982 through 1986.  The recent  5-year trend  was  introduced
In the 1984 report? to increase the number  of sites  available  for
analysis.  Emphasis is placed on the recent 5-year  period  to  take
advantage of the larger number of sites and the fact that  the  data from
this period should be of the highest quality, with  sites meeting
uniform siting criteria and high standards  of quality  assurance.
     Bar graphs are used for the Regional  comparisons with  the 5-year
trend data base.  The composite averages of the appropriate air quality
statistic of the years 1984, 1985 and 1986 are presented.   The approach
is simple and it allows the reader at a glance to  compare the  short-term
trend in all ten EPA Regions.
     In addition to the standard related statistics, other statistics
are used, when appropriate, to further clarify observed  air  quality
trends.  Particular attention is given to the estimated  number of
exeeedances of the short-term NAAQS's.  The estimated number of
exceedances is the measured number of exceedances adjusted to account
for incomplete sampling,

     Finally, trends are also presented for annual  nationwide emissions.
These emissions data are estimated using the best available  engineering
calculations,,  The emissions data are reported as teragrams  (one million
metric tons) emitted to the atmosphere per year,  with the exception  of
lead emissions which are reported as gigagrams (one thousand metric
tons).8  These are estimates of the amount and kinds of  pollution
being generated by automobiles, factories, and other sources.
                               3-4

-------
3.1   TRENDS IN TOTAL SUSPENDED  PARTICULATE

     Air pollutants called  participate matter include dust, dirt,
soot, smoke and liquid  droplets directly emitted into the air by sources
such as factories, power  plants, cars, construction activity, fires and
natural windblown dust  as well  as  particles formed  in the atmosphere
by transformation of emitted gases such as sulfur dioxide and volatile
organic compounds.

     Total  suspended particulate (TSP) is one indicator of suspended
particles in the ambient  air.   TSP is measured using a high volume
sampler (Hi-Vol) which  collects suspended particles ranging up to
approximately 45 micrometers in diameter.  Annual and 24-hour National
Ambient Air Quality Standards  (NAAQS) for particulate matter were set
in 1971 using TSP as the  indicator pollutant.

     On July 1, 1987, EPA promulgated new annual and 24-hour standards
for  particulate matter  using a  new indicator, PM^Q» that includes only
those particles with aerodynamic diameter smaller than 10 micrometers.
These smaller particles are likely to be responsible for most of the
adverse health effects  because  of  their ability to  reach the thoracic
or lower regions of the respiratory  tract.  The original (TSP) standards
were an annual geometric  mean  of 75  ug/m3} not to be exceeded, and a
24-hour concentration of  260 ug/rrP,  not to be exceeded more than once
per year.  The new (PHjg) standards  specify an expected annual arithmetic
mean not to exceed 50 ug/m3 and an expected number  of 24-hour concentrations
greater than 150 ug/rn^  per year not  to exceed one.  Because the original
standards were applicable through  1986, the particulate matter trends
presented in this section will  be  based on TSP.  The annual geometric
mean for TSP is a more stable  indicator of air quality than the observed
24-hour peak values, and  will  be used as the trend  statistic.

     Now that the standards have been revised, PMjQ monitoring networks
are being deployed nationally.  When sufficient information is
available, future trends  reports will present analyses based on the new
particulate matter indicator.

3.1.1  Long-term TSP Trends:  1977-86

       The 10-year trend  in average  TSP levels, 1977 to 1986, is shown in
Figure 3-3 for 1435 sites geographically distributed throughout
the Nation and for the subset  of 375 National Air Monitoring Stations
(NAMS) which are located  in the large urban areas.  The TSP levels are
expressed in terms of the composite  average annual  geometric mean.

     The curves shown in  Figure 3-3  indicate a very slight decrease in
composite levels from 1977-1981, followed by a si zeable decrease between
1981 and 1982 and relatively stable  levels between  1982 and 1986.  The
NAMS sites show higher composite levels than the sites for the Nation
in general, but appear  to show a similar pattern.   Both curves display
their  lowest values in 1986.
                                    3-5

-------
         80
         70
         60
         50
         40
         30
         20
         10
          0
             CONCENTRATION, UG/M*
. klA 4/"VC? -. i

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4AMS SITES (375}




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• All SITESj[143^_





                 1977  1978  1979  1980  1981  1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-3.  National trend in the composite average  of  the  geometric
             mean total  suspended participate at  both NAMS and all sites
             with 95 percent confidence intervals,  1977-1986.
        110
             CONCENTRATION.
        100-
         90-
         80-
         70-
         60-
         50-
         40-
         30-
         20-
          10-
           0-
                                                          1435 arcs
NAAOS
                 1977  1978  1979  1980 1981  1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-4.   Boxplot comparisons  of  trends in annual geometric mean
             total  suspended  participate concentrations at 1435 sites,
             1977-1986.
                                    3-6

-------
     The composite average of TSP levels measured at 1435 sites, distri-
buted throughout the Nation, decreased 23  percent during the 1977 to
1986 time period and the subset of 375 NAMS also decreased 23 percent.
From the curves in Figure 3-3, it appears  that most of this decrease
occurred between the measured levels  of 1981  and 1982,  EPA has found,
however, that the TSP data collected  during the years 1979-1981 may be
biased high due to the glass fiber filter  used during these years, and
that most of the large apparent decrease in pollutant concentrations
between 1981 and 1982 can be attributed to a  change in these filters.9-^2
For this reason, the portion of the Figure 3-3 graph corresponding to
1979-1981 is stippled, indicating the uncertainty associated with these
data.  Due to the change in TSP filters, the  pattern of the yearly
change in TSP between 1978 and 1982 is difficult to assess.

     Figures 3-3 and,3-4 present two  different displays of the air
quality trend at the 1435 TSP sites,  nationally, over the 1977-1986 time
period.  With 95 percent confidence intervals developed for the composite
annual estimates (Figure 3-3), it can be seen that the 1986 as well as
the 1982 to 1985 levels are all significantly lower than those of 1977.
Also, 1985 and 1986 are statistically indistinguishable, but are both
significantly lower than the 1982 to  1984  levels.  This difference is
discussed in more detail in Section 3.1.2.  In Figure 3-4, boxplots
present the entire national concentration  distribution by year and show
that a decrease occurred in every percentile  level between 1977 and
1986.

     Nationwide TSP emission trends show an overall decrease of 25
percent from 1977 to 1986 which coincidentally matches the TSP air
quality improvement.  (See Table 3-1  and Figure 3-5).  The trend in PM
emissions is normally not expected to agree with the trend in ambient TSP
levels due to unaccounted for natural PM background and uninventoried
emission sources such as reentrained  dust. The reduction in particulate
emissions occurred primarily because  of the  reductions in industrial
processes.  This is attributed to installation of control equipment,
and also reduced activity in some industries, such as iron and steel.
Other areas of TSP emission reductions include reduced coal burning by
non-utility users and installation of control equipment by electric
utilities that burn coal.8

3.1.2  Recent TSP Trends:  1982-86

     Figure 3-6 presents a boxplot display of the 1982-1986 TSP data
base which represents 2044 monitoring sites.  A small 3 percent decrease
is evident in composite average levels between 1982 and 1986.  It can
also be seen that, nationally, TSP levels  in  1984 were the highest in
the 5-year period, while 1986 was the lowest. This pattern in air quality
generally-matches the 5-year trend in national particulate emission
estimates.  Emissions decreased 4 percent  from 1982 to 1986, were
highest in 1984 and achieved a new low in  1986.
                                  3-7

-------
           Table 3-1.  National  Particulate Emission Estimates, 1977-1986.
                                       (million metric tons/year)
                     1977    1978    1979   1980   1981   1982   1983    1984    1985    1986
Source Category

Transportation
Fuel Combustion
Industrial
  Processes
Solid Waste
Miscellaneous

     Total
1.4
2.5
4.0
0.4
0.8
1-4
2.5
4.0
0.4
0.8
1.4
2.5
3.8
0.4
0.9
1.3
2.4
3.3
0.4
1.1
1.3
2.3
4
3.0
0.4
0.9
1.3
2.2
2.6
0.3
0.7
1
2
2
0
1
.3
:o
.4
.3
.1
1.3
2.1
2.8
0.3
0,9
1
1
2
. 0
0
.4
.8
.8
.3
.8
1-4
1.8
2.5
0,3
0.8
9.1    9.1    8.9    8.5    8.0     7.1     7.1     7.4    7.0   6.8
NOTE:  The  sum  of  sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding,
            15
                 TSP EMISSIONS, 10* METRIC TONS/YEAR
            10-
                                   SOURCE CATEGORY
                                  • SOLD WASTE ft MCC     S3 FUEL
                                                        COMBUSTION
                                  • INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES   129 TRANSPORTATION
              1977   1978   1979  1980   1981   1982  1983   1984  1985   1986
Figure 3-5.   National  trend in particulate emissions,  1977-1986.
                                          3-8

-------
     Figure 3-7 focuses on the last 3 years with a bar chart of regional
average TSP.  It shows a consistent pattern for most regions.   All
regions improved between 1984 and 1986.  In addition, 7 regions had
their lowest levels of TSP in 1986.

     TSP levels between 1985 and 1986 were down in most regions, but
showed essentially no average change for the nation.  This contrasts
with a 4 percent improvement in participate matter emissions.  The
apparent discrepancy between air quality and emission changes may be due
to meteorology or uninventoried emissions.

     Year-to-year variations in total suspended particulate levels
may in part be attributable to meteorology.  Among all meteorological
parameters, precipitation has been shown to have had the greatest
influence on particulate air quality.  Rainfall has the effect of
.reducing reentrainment of particles and washing particles out of the
air.  An examination of regional precipitation patterns shows that  the
three regions (III, IV and V) with 1985-1986 TSP increases were also
the only regions which experienced decreases in total precipitations
relative to normal. 13   Although these decreases in precipitation were
only 5-10 percent, they probably contributed to air quality degradation in
these areas.  In contrast, the seven regions which showed air quality
improvement between 1985 and 1986 experienced increases in precipitation.
The largest improvement, in fact, occurred in the northwest (Region  X),
where 1985 was unusually dry and 1986 marked a return to normal
precipitation.
                                    3-9

-------
        110
             OONCCNTRADON,
        100-
         90-
         80-
         70-
         60-
         50-
         40-
         30-
         20-
                                                         2044 SITES
    NAAQS



TESSr


•*€-
TW^






                     1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
Figure 3-6.  Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  annual mean  total suspended
             particulate concentrations  at  2044  sites,  1982-1986.
               CONCENTRATION, U
|

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i*
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1*
X
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^
It
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       EPA REGION   I     I    II    IV    V    VI    VH   VIU   DC   X
       NO. OF SITES 108  126  243  334  567  193   128   102   153   90

Figure 3-7.  Regional comparison of the  1984, 1985,  1986 composite average
             of the geometric  mean  total  Suspended  panticulate concentration,
                                    3-10

-------
 3.2   TRENDS  IN SULFUR DIOXIDE

      Ambient sulfur  dioxide (SQg) results primarily from stationary
 source coal  and  oil  combustion  and from nonferrous smelters.  There are
 three NAAQS  for  S02:  an  annual  arithmetic mean of 0.03 ppm (80 ug/irr), a
 24-hour level  of 0.14 ppm (365  ug/ni3) and a 3-hour level of 0.50 ppm {1300
 ug/m3).  The first two  standards are primary (health-related) standards,
 while the 3-hour NAAQS  is a secondary (we!fare-related) standard.  The
 annual  standard  is not  to be exceeded, while the short-term standards
 are  not to be exceeded  more than once per year.  The trend analyses
 which follow are presented  for  the primary standards.

      The trends  in ambient concentrations are derived from continuous
 monitoring instruments  which can measure as many as 8760 hourly values
 per  year.  The SOj? measurements reported in this section are summarized
 i nto a variety of summary statistics which relate to the $62 NAAQS.
 The  statistics on which ambient trends will be reported are the annual
 arithmetic mean  concentration,  the second highest annual 24-hour average
 (measured midnight to midnight), and the expected annual number of
 24-hour exceedances  of  the 24-hour standard of 0.14 ppm.

 3.2.1  Long-term SO? Trends:  1977-86

        The long-term trend in ambient SQg, 1977 to 1986, is graphically
 presented in Figures 3-8  to 3-10.  In each figure, the trend at the
 MAMS is contrasted with the trend at all sites.  For each of the statistics
 presented, a steady  downward trend is evident through 1986.  Nationally,
 the  annual mean  SOg, examined at 302 sites, decreased at a median rate
 of approximately 4 percent per  year; this resulted in an overall change
 of about 37 percent  (Figure 3-8).  The subset of 103 NAMS recorded
 higher average concentrations but declined at a slightly higher rate of
 6 percent per year.

      The annual  second  highest  24-hour values displayed a similar decline
.between 1977 and 1986.  Nationally, among 295 stations with adequate
 trend data, the  median  rate of  change was 6 percent per year with an
 overall decline  of 43 percent (Figure 3-9).  The 102 NAMS exhibited a
 similar rate of  improvement for an overall change of 45 percent.
 The  estimated number of exceedances also showed declines for the NAMS
 as well as the composite  of all sites (Figure 3-10).  The vast majority
 of $02 sites, however,  do not show any exceedances of the 24-hour
 NAAQS.  Most of  the exceedances as well as the bulk of the  improvements
 occurred at source oriented sites including a few smelter sites in
 particular.  The national composite estimated number of exceedances
 decreased 98 percent from 1977  to 1986.
                                3-11

-------
          0.033



          O.OM



          0.029



          0.020-



          0.019-



          0.010-



          0.005-



          0.000
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
                      •NAAQS-
        • NAMS SITES (103)   • ALLSJTESi302i_
                  1977  1978  197S  1980  19S1  1982  1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure 3-8.  National  trend  in the composite average of the annual  average
             sulfur dioxide  concentration at both NAMS and all sites  with
             9t> percent confidence intervals, 1977-1986.
0.16


0.14
               CONCENTRATION, PPM
          O.t2-


          0.10-


          0.08-


          0.06-


          0.04-


          0.02-


          0.00
                                •NAAQS'
                • NAMS SITES (102)    • ALLSTCSj^e
                  1977 1978  1979  1980 1981 1982 1983  1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-9,  National  trend  in  the composite average of  the  second-
             highest 24-hour sulfur dioxide concentration  at both NAMS
             and all  sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1977-
             1906.
                                     3-12

-------
         2.5
              ESTIMATED EXCEEDANCES
           2-
         1.5-
            1 -
• MAMS SUES (102)    •
                 1977 1978  1979 1980  1981  1982  1983  1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-10.   National  trend  in  the composite average of  the estimated
              number of exceedances of the 24-hour sulfur dioxide NAAQS
              at  both NAMS  and all sites with confidence  intervals,
              1977-1986.
                                  3-13

-------
     The statistical  significance of these  long-term  trends is graphically
illustrated in Figures 3-8 to 3-10 with  the 95 percent confidence
intervals.  For both annual  averages and peak 24-hour values, the S02
levels in 1986 are the lowest in 10 years but are statistically indistin-
guishable among the last several years.   Expected exceedances of the
24-hour standard experienced  a more rapid decline.  For each statistic,
1986 averages are significantly lower than  levels prior to 1983.

     The inter-site variability for annual  mean and annual second highest
24-hour SOg concentrations is graphically displayed in Figures 3-11 and
3-12.  These figures show that higher concentrations  decreased more rapidly
and the concentration range among sites  has also diminished from the late
1970ls to the present.

     Nationally, sulfur oxide emissions  decreased 21  percent from
1977 to 1986 (Figure 3-13 and Table 3-2), reflecting  the  installation
of flue gas desulfurization controls at  coal-fired  electric generating
stations and a reduction in the average  sulfur content of fuels consumed.
Emissions from other stationary source fuel combustion sectors also
declined, mainly due to decreased combustion of coal  by these consumers.
Sulfur oxide emissions from industrial processes are  also significant.
Emissions from industrial processes have dec!ined,  primarily as the
result of controls implemented to reduce emissions  from nonferrous
smelters and sulfuric acid manufacturing pi ants. 8

     The disparity between the 37 percent decrease  in SOg air quality
and the 21 percent decrease in S02 emissions can be attributed to
several factors.  SOg monitors with sufficient historical data for
trends are mostly urban population-oriented and as  such do not monitor
many of the major emitters which tend to be located in more rural
areas.  Among the 302 trend sites used in  the analysis of average $02
levels, two-thirds are categorized as population-oriented.  The remaining
sites include those monitors in the vicinity of large power plants,
nonferrous smelters and other industrial sources such as  paper mills
and steel producing facilities.

     The residential and commercial areas,  where most monitors are located,
have shown sulfur oxide emission decreases  comparable to  SOg air quality
improvement.  These decreases in sulfur  oxide emissions are due to a
combination of energy conservation measures and the use of cleaner
fuels in the residential and commercial  areas."  Comparable SOo trends
have also been demonstrated for monitors located in  the vicinity of
nonferrous smelters which produce some of the  highest SOg concentrations
observed nationally.'  Smelter sources represent a  majority of SOg
emissions in the intermountain region of the western  U.S.

     Although one-third of the  trend sites  are categorized as source-
oriented, the majority of S02 emissions  are dominated by  large point
sources.  Two-thirds of all national S02 emissions  are generated by
electric utilities (94 percent of which  come from coal fired power plants).
The majority of these emissions, however,  are  produced by a small number
                               3-14

-------
          0.040
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
          0.053-


          0.030


          0.025-


          0.020


          0.019


          0.010


          0.009
          0.000
                                                              302 SITES
"—HMOS'
                  1077  1378  1979  1980 1981  1982  1983 1984 1985  1986
Figure 3-11.  Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  annual  mean sulfur dioxide
              concentrations at 302 sites, 1977-1986.
          0.25
               CONCENTRATION, PPM
          0.20-
          0.15-
          0.10-
          0,05-
          0.00
                                                              295 SITES
                  1977 1978  1979  1980 1981 1982  1983  1984 1985  1986
Figure 3-12.  Boxplot comparisons of trends  in  second hiyhest 24-hour
              average sulfur dioxide concentrations  at 295 sites,
              1977-1986.
                                   3-15

-------
        Table 3-2,
National Sulfur Oxide Emission Estimates, 1977-1986.
                  (million metric tons/year)
1977   1978   1979   1980   1981   1982   1983   1984
Source Category

Transportation
Fuel Combustion
     Total
             30
                                                                            1985   1986
 0.8    0.8    0.9    0.9    0.9    0.8    0.8    0.8    0.9   0.9
21.5   19.9   19.8   19.3   18,8   17.8   17.4   17.9   17.6  17.2
4.7
0.0
0.0
4.3
0.0
0.0
26.9 25.0
: sub-categories
SOX EMISSIONS, 10"
m^^^ssssss-
4.4
0.0
0.0
25.1
3.8 3.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
23.9 23.5 22.0 21.5 22.1
21.6 21.2
may not equal total due to1 rounding.
METRIC
TONS/YEAR

SOURCE CATEGORY
• 1HOUSTHAJ. FtOOSSa • WB. COttlUSTKM E3 TUHSFOMUKM
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             10
              0
               1977   1978  1979   1980   1981   1982  1983   1984   1985  1986
Figure 3-13.  National trend in sulfur oxide emissions, 1977-1986.
                                        3-16

-------
of facilities.  Fifty-three individual  plants in 14 states account for
one-half of all  power  plant emissions.^  in addition, the 200 highest
SOg emitters account for more  than 85 percent of all SOg power plant
emissions.14»15  These 200 plants account for 57 percent of all S02
emissions, nationally.

     Another factor which may  account for differences in SOg emissions and
ambient air quality is stack height.  The height at which SOg is released
Into the atmosphere has been increasing at industrial sources and power
plants.16,17  This can permit  ground level concentrations to decrease at a
faster rate than emissions. Under these circumstances, concentrations can, in
fact, decrease even if emissions increase.

3.2.2.  Recent SO? Trends:  1982-86

     Figure 3-14 presents boxplots for  the 1982-1986 data using 583
SOg sites.  The 5-year trend shows an 11 percent decline in average
concentrations indicating that the long term trend  has continued, but
has been leveling off.  Correspondingly, SOg emissions have only
decreased 4 percent over the last 5 years.

     Regional changes in composite average SQg concentrations for the
last 3 years, 1984-1986, are shown in Figure 3-15.  Most regions
decreased slightly.  Between 1985 and 1986, average ambient concentrations
have declined 3 percent, corresponding  to a 2 percent decrease in total
emissions.

     Some of the regions with  the lowest average SOg also contain some
of the highest S02 concentrations recorded nationally.  This phenomenon
which is due to S% in the vicinity of  nonferrous smelters, is evident
in Figure 3-16 which shows the 1986 intraregional concentration distri-
butions.  Large intraregional  variability in SQg concentrations is
seen in Regions VI,VIII and X  because of monitors located In the vicinity
of smelters.
                                  3-17

-------
          0.040
               CONCENTRATION, PPW
          0.039-


          0.030


          0.013-


          0.020-


          0.018-


          O.OtO-


          O.OM


          0,000
                                                              583STTES
*-•-
                       1982
        1983
1984
1985
1986
Figure 3-14.   Boxplot comparisons  of  trends in annual mean  sulfur dioxide
               concentrations at 583 sites,  1982-1986.
               CONCENTRATION, PPM

0.014-

0,012-

0.010-
0.008-
o.oo*-

0.004-
0.002-


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       EPA REGION   I     II     III    IV    V    VI    VII    Vi   IX    X
       NO.OFSTTES  S2   50   73    77   187   41    21    13   58    11
Figure 3-15.   Regional comparison of  the 1984, 1985, 1986  composite
               average of the annual average sulfur dioxide concentration,
                                    3-18

-------
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
U.U4U-
0.035-
0.030-
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N 1 H 111 IV V VI VII Vili IX X
IES 52 50 73 77 187 41 21 13 58 11
Figure 3-16.   Regional boxplot comparisons of the annual  average  sulfur
              dioxide concentrations in 1986.
                                    3-19

-------
3.3  TRENDS IN CARBON MONOXIDE

     Carbon monoxide (CO) is a  colorless, odorless, and poisonous gas
produced by incomplete burning  of carbon in fuels.  Over two-thirds
of the total nationwide CO emissions are due  to  transportation sources
with the largest contribution coming from highway motor vehicles.  The
NAAQS for ambient CO specify upper limits for both 1-hour and 8-hour
averages that are not to be exceeded more than once per year.  The 1-hour
level is 35 ppm and the 8-hour  level is 9 ppm.   This analysis focuses
on the 8-hour average results because the 8-hour standard is generally
the more restrictive limit.

     Trends sites were selected using the procedures presented in
Section 2.1.  This resulted in  a data base of 182 sites for the  1977-86
10-year time period and a data  base of 363 sites for the 1982-86 5-year
time period.  There were 46 NAMS sites included  in the 10-year data
base and 105 NAMS sites in the  5-year data base. This two-fold
increase in the number of trend sites available  for the more recent
time period is consistent with  the improvement in size and  stability of
current ambient CO monitoring programs.

3.3.1  Long-term CO Trends: 1977-86

     The national 1977-86 composite average trend is shown  in Figure
3-17 for the second highest non-overlapping 8-hour CO value for  the 182
long-term trend sites and the subset of 46 NAMS  sites.  During this 10-
year period, the national composite average decreased by 32 percent and
the subset of NAMS decreased by 27 percent.   The median rate of
improvement for this time period is approximately 4 percent per  year.
There is a leveling off between 1985 and 1986 with no significant
change but both years are significantly better  than 1984 and earlier
years for the national sample.   Long-term improvement was seen at 85
percent of these trend sites.  This same trend  is shown in  Figure 3-18
using a box plot presentation which provides  more information on the
distribution of ambient CO levels from year to year at the  182 long-term
trend sites.  While there is some year to year fluctuation  in certain
percentiles, the general long-term improvement in ambient CO levels
i s clear.

     Figure 3-19 displays the 10-year trend in the composite average of
the estimated number of exceedances of the 8-hour CO NAAQS.  This exceedance
rate was adjusted to account for incomplete sampling.  The  trend in
exceedances shows long-term improvement but the  rates are much more
pronounced than those for the second maximums.   The composite average
for estimated exceedances improved 89 percent between 1977  and 1986
for the 182 long-term trend sites while the subset of 46 NAMS showed
an almost identical 88 percent  improvement.   These percentage improvements
for exceedances are typically much larger than those found  for peak
concentrations, such as the annual  second maximum.  The percentage
change for the second maximums  is more likely to reflect the percentage
change in emission levels.
                                  3-20

-------
          16

          14-

          12-

          10-

           8-

           6-

           4-

           2-

           0
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
       •NAAQS
      NAMS SfTES (46)   n All STIES (1821
                                                 -fa
                 —i	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1—
                 1977 1978  1979  1980  1931  1982  1983  1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-17,
National trend in the composite average of the second highest
nonoverlapping 8-hour average carbon monoxide concentration
at both NANS and all sites with 95 percent confidence
intervals, 1977-1986.
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
                 1977  1978  1979  1980  1981  1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-18,  Boxplot comparisons of trends in second highest nonoverlapping
              8-hour average carbon monoxide concentrations at 182 sites,
              1977-1986.
                                 3-21

-------
          50
              EST. 8-HR EXCEEDANCES
          40-
          30-
           20-
           10-
                 NAMS SfTES (46)   a ALL SITES (182^
                  1977  1978 1979 1980  1981  1982  1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-19.
National trend  In  the composite  average  of  the  estimated
number of exceedances of the 8-hour carbon  Tionoxide
NAAQS, at both  NAMS and all sites with 95 percent
confidence intervals, 1977-1986.
                                   3-22

-------
           Table 3-3.  National Carbon Monoxide  Emission  Estimates,  1977-1986.


                                      (million metric  tons/year)


                    1977   1978    1979    1980    1981    1982    1983   1984   1985


Source Category
                                                                1986
Transportation


Fuel Combustion
61.0   60.3   55.9   52.6   51.6   48.1    48.3    48.4   45.2  42.6


 5.1    5.8    6.6    7.3    7.5     8.0     7.9     8.1    7.2   7.2
Industrial
Processes
Solid Waste
Miscellaneous

7
2
5

.3
.6
.8

7.2
2.5
5.7

7.1
2.3
6.5

6.3
2.2
7.6

5.9
2.1
6.4

4.4
2.0
4.9

4.4
1.9
7.7

4.8
1.9
6.3

4.6
2.0
5.3

4.5
1.7
5.0
     Total
81.8   81.4   78.3   76.1    73.4    67.4   70.3   69.6   64.3  60.9
NOTE:  The  sum of  sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding,
           120
                CO EMISSIONS, 10* METRIC TONS/TEAR
           100 H



            80



            SOH
              SOURCE CATEGORY
              • SOLJD WASTE 4 MSC    E3 FUEL
                                    coueusnoN
              B INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES  ZS TRANSPORTATION
              1977  1978   1979   1980   1981   1982  1983   1984   1985  1986


 Figure 3-20.   National trend in emissions of carbon monoxide,  1977-1986.
                                          3-23

-------
     The 10-year 1977-86 trend in  national carbon monoxide emission
estimates is shown in Figure 3-20  and presented in Table 3-3,  These
estimates show a 26 percent decrease between  1977 and  1986.  Transportation
sources account for approximately  70 percent  of the total and decreased
by 30 percent over the 10-year period.   The contribution from highway
vehicles decreased 34 percent during the 1977-86 time  period despite a
24.percent increase in vehicle miles of  travel.  This  indicates that the
Federal Motor Vehicle Control  Program (FMVCP)  has been effective on
the national scale with controls more than offsetting  growth during
this period.  While there is general agreement between the air quality
and emission changes over this 10-year period, it is worth noting that
the emission changes reflect estimated national totals while the ambient
CO monitors are frequently located to identify problems.  The mix of
vehicles and the change in vehicle miles of travel in  the area around
a typical CO monitoring site may differ  from  the national averages.

3.3.2  Recent CO Trends:  1982-86

       This section examines ambient CO  trends for the 5-year time
period 1982-86.  As discussed in section 2.1, this allows the use of a
larger data base, 363 sites versus 182.   Figure 3-21 displays the 5-year
ambient CO trend in terms of the second  highest non-overlapping
8-hour averages.  These sites showed  a 13 percent improvement between
1982 and 1986.  The general  patterns are consistent with the longer
term data base and, again, 1985 and 1986 levels are basically the same
and indicate improvement relative  to previous years.   Table 3-3 indicates
that estimated total CO emissions  decreased 10 percent during this 5-year
period and that the highway vehicle contribution decreased 14 percent.

     Figure 3-22 shows the composite  regional averages for the 1984-86
time period.  The patterns are mixed but the  1985-86 levels are generally
lower than those in 1984.  These regional graphs are primarily intended
to depict relative change.  Because the  mix of monitoring sites may
vary from one area to another, this graph is  not  intended to be indicative
of regional differences in absolute concentration levels.
                                 . 3-24

-------
           25
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
           20-


           15-


           10-


            5-
                                                            363 SITES

MHMM
••H"

•NAAQS-
-«*••

—
                      1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
Figure 3-21.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in second highest nonoverlappiny
              8-hour average carbon monoxide concentrations  at 363 sites,
              1902-1986.
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
13-
12-
11 -
10-
9-
8-
~J _
£» ^
5-
4-
3-
2 —
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1424475554281615 81 29
Figure 3-22.  Regional comparison of the 1984,  198b,  1986 composite average
              of the second highest nonoverlapping  8-hour average carbon
              monoxide concentration.
                                  3-25

-------
3.4  TRENDS IN NITROGEN DIOXIDE

     Nitrogen dioxide (N02),  a yellowish brown gas, is present in
urban atmospheres through emissions  from two major sources, transportation
and stationary fuel  combustion.   The major mechanism for the formation
of NOg in the atmosphere is the  oxidation of the primary air pollutant,
nitric oxide.  NOjj  is measured  using either a continuous monitoring
instrument, which can collect as many as 8760 hourly values a year,
or a 24-hour bubbler, which collects one measurement per 24-hour period,
Both monitors are used to compare annual average concentrations with the
N02 standard of 0.053 parts per  million.

     In order to expand the size of  the available trends data base, data
were merged at sites which experienced changes in the agency operating the
site, the instrument used, or the designation of the project code, such as
population oriented  or duplicate sampling.  The merging was accomplished
by treating the bubbler and continuous hourly data separately.  For example,
if a monitor at a given site  was changed from a 24-hour bubbler to a
continuous hourly monitor, the data  would not be merged.  If, however,
a monitor at a given site changed from one type of continuous instrument
to another type of continuous instrument, the data would be merged.

     The trends site selection  process, described in Section 2.1, yielded
111 sites for the 1977-86 10-year period and 228 sites for the 1982-86
5-year data base.  Thirteen of  the long-term trend sites are NAMS while 52
NAMS are included in the 1982-86 data base.  Until this year, the size of
the long-term data base had been decreasing each successive year as low
concentration sites were discontinued or as NQj? bubblers were replaced
with continuous instruments.   In this latter case, data from these two
different methods are not merged. Only 22 of the 111 long-term trend
sites are N02 bubblers.

3.4.1  Long-term NO? Trends:  1977-86

     The composite average long-term trend for the nitrogen dioxide mean
concentration at the 111 trend  sites, and the 13 NAMS sites, is shown in
Figure 3-23.  Nationally, composite  annual average NOg levels increased
from 1977 to 1979, decreased  through 1986, except for a slight increase
in 1984.  The 1986 composite average N02 level is 14 percent lower than
the 1977 level, indicating a downward trend during this period.  Of the 111
trends sites, only 13 are designated as NAMS.  This is to be expected
because NAMS for NOg are only located in urban areas with populations of
1,000,000 or greater.  The composite averages of the NAMS, which are  located
in eight large metropolitan areas, are higher than those of all sites.
Comparing 1986 data to the 1977  levels shows a 14 percent decrease in the
composite average for all trends sites and a 9 percent decrease for the
NAMS.  The discrepancy between  the all sites and NAMS year to year changes
may be attributed to both the small  number of NAMS meeting the 10-year
trends completeness criteria and the generally low levels of recorded N02
annual mean concentrations, with respect to the level of the NOg NAAQS.
                                   3-26

-------
         0.06
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
         0,05-
         0,04-
         0,03-
         0.02-
0.01-
         0.00
                               •NAAQS
                    f—i-
                                                  ±-i
                                              —»	4—-
                       " NAMS SITES Q3j    ° ALL SnES|lt|
                 1977 1978  1979 1980  1981  1982  1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure 3-23.   National  trend  in  fie composite average of nitrogen
              dioxide concentration at both NAMS and all sites with 95
              percent confidence intervals, 1977-1986.
          0.07
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
          0.06-


          0.05-


          0104-


          0.03-


          0.02-


          0.01-
         0.00
                                                             111 SITES
     ^—i^ii^—.
         A
                                   a
                                             Ji
•••
                 1977 1978  1979 1980  1981  1982  1983  1984  1985  1986

Figure 3-24.  Boxplot comparisons  of trends in  annual mean  nitrogen
             • dioxide concentrations at  111 sites,  1977-1986.
                                   3-27

-------
     In Figure 3-23, the 95 percent confidence intervals  about the composite
means allow for comparisons among  the years.   While  there are no significant
differences among the years for the NAMS,  because  there are  so few sites
meeting the historical  trends criteria,  there  are  significant differences
among the composite mean's of the 111 long-term trends  sites.  Although the
1985 and 1986 composite mean N02 levels  are not significantly different
from one another, they are significantly less  than the earlier years
1977 through 1981.

     Long-term trends in NC^ annual average concentrations are also displayed
in Figure 3-24 with the use of boxplots.  The  improvement in  the composite
average between 1979 and 1986 can  generally be seen  in the the upper
percentiles through 1984,  The lower percentiles show  little  change, however,

     The trend in the estimated nationwide emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOX)
is similar to the N0£ air quality  trend.  Table 3-4  shows NOX emissions
increasing from 1977 through 1978  and generally decreasing until 1984.
Between 1977 and 1986 total nitrogen oxide emissions decreased by 8 percent,
but highway vehicle emissions, the source  category likely impacting the
majority of urban NOg sites, decreased by  13 percent.  This decrease in the
highway vehicle category is consistent with the long-term decrease in N02
levels of 14 percent.  Figure 3-25 shows that  the  two  primary source
categories of nitrogen oxide emissions are fuel combustion and transportation,
comprising 52 percent and 44 percent, respectively, of total  1986 nitrogen
oxide emissions.

3.4.2  Recent NO? Trends: 1982-86

     Figure 3-26 uses the boxplot presentation to  display recent trends
in nitrogen dioxide annual mean concentrations for the years 1982-86.
Focusing on the past five years, rather  than the last  ten years, more than
doubles the number of sites, from 111 to 228,  available for  the analysis.
Although the composite means from the recent period  are lower than the
long-term means, the trends are consistent for the two data bases.

     The composite average NC{? level at  the 228 trend  sites  decreased 1
percent between 1982 and 1986.  During this same period,  nitrogen oxide
emissions decreased by 1 percent,  also.   Between 1985  and 1986, the N02
composite average remained constant, while nitrogen oxide emissions recorded
a 2 percent decrease and highway vehicle emissions decreased  by 4 percent.
This small year-to-year difference between the ambient and emissions
percent change is likely not significant given the relatively low ambient
    levels.
     Regional trends in the composite average N02  concentrations  for  the
years 1984-86 are displayed in Figure 3-27  using bar graphs.   Except  for
Region X which had only one site which met  the 5-year  trends  data
completeness and continuity criteria, Region  II recorded  the  highest
composite average in each of the past 3 years.  However,  as discussed  in
Section 4.0, the Los Angeles Metropolitan Area (Region  IX) is  the only
area which exceeded the NOg standard during this period.   The pattern  of
the year-to-year changes is mixed among the Regions.   Four Regions  (I,  II,
IV, and VIII) recorded small decreases between 1985 and 1986,  Regions  III
and VII recorded small increases and four Regions  remained unchanged
(Regions V, VI, IX, and X).

                                   3-28

-------
       Table 3-4,
National Nitrogen Oxides Emission  Estimates, 1977-1986.
                   (million metric tons/year)
 1977   1978   1979   1980    1981    1982    1983   1984   1985
Source Category

Transportation
Fuel Combustion
Industrial
  Processes
Solid Waste
Mi seellaneous

     Total
NOTE:  The sum of sub-categories  may not equal  total  due to rounding.
          30
               NOX EMISSIONS, 10* METRIC TONS/YEAR
           25-
           20-
           15-
           10
            5H
              SOURCE CATEGORY
              • SOLID WASTE ft MISC.    B FUEL COMBUSTION
              D INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES   623 TRANSPORTATION






             1977   1978   1979   1980   1981   1982   1983   1984  1985   1986
Figure 3-25.  National trend  in  nitrogen  oxides  emissions, 1977-1986.
                                                                                    .1986
9.5
10.4
0.7
0.1
0.2
9.7
10.3
0.7
0.1
0.2
9.5
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0.2
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8.7
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0.2
8.8
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0.6
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0.6
0.1
0,1
 21.0   21.1   21.0   20.3   20.3    19.5    19.1    19.7   19.7   19,3
                                       3-29

-------
         0.07
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
         0.06-


         0.05-


         0.04-


         0.03-


         0.02-


         0.01-
         0.00
                                                             228 SITES
    "NAAQS—'
                      1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
Figure 3-26.  Boxplot comparisons  of trends in annual mean nitrogen
              dioxide concentrations at  228 sites, 1982-1986.
               CONCENTRATOR PPM

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0.02S-


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Figure 3-27.   Regional  comparison of 1984, 1985, 1986  composite average
               of the  annual  mean nitrogen dioxide concentration.
                                    3-30

-------
3.5  TRENDS IN OZONE

     Ozone (03) is a photochemical  oxidant  and  the major component of smog,
While ozone in. the upper atmosphere is  beneficial to  life by shielding
the earth from harmful  ultraviolet  radiation given off by the sun, high
concentrations of ozone at ground  level  are a major health and
environmental  concern.   Ozone is not  emitted directly into the air, but
is formed through complex chemical  reactions between  precursor emissions
of volatile organic compounds and nitrogen  oxides in  the presence of
sunlight.  These reactions are stimulated by sunlight and temperature
so that peak ozone levels typically occur during the  warmer times of
the year.  Both volatile organic compounds  and  nitrogen oxides are
emitted by transportation and industrial sources.  Volatile organic
compounds are emitted from sources  as diverse as autos, chemical
manufacturing, dry cleaners,  paint  shops, and other sources using
solvents.  The strong seasonal ity of  ozone  levels makes it possible for
areas to limit their ozone monitoring to a  certain portion of the year,
termed the ozone season.  The length  of the ozone season varies-from
one area of the country to another.  May through October is typical but
States in the south and southwest may monitor the entire year.  More
northern states would have shorter  ozone seasons such as May through
September for North Dakota.  This analysis  uses these ozone seasons on
a State by State basis  to ensure  that the data  completeness requirements
are applied to the relevant portions  of the year.

     The 03 NAAQS is defined  in  terms of the daily maximum, that is,
the highest hourly average for the  day, and specifies that the expected
number of days per year with  values greater than 0.12 ppm should not be
greater than one.  Both the annual  second highest daily maximum and the
number of daily exceedances during  the  ozone season are considered in
this analysis.

     The trends site selection process, discussed in  Section 2.1,
resulted in 242 sites being selected  for the 1977-86  period and 539
sites qualifying for the 1982-86  5-year data base.  Eighty-eight of the
long-term trends sites  were NAMS while  198  NAMS sites were included in
the 5-year trends data base.   In  both cases, the 5-year data base  is much
larger than the 10-year data  base which reflects the  improvement in
ambient ozone monitoring networks.

3.5.1.  Long-term Ozone Trends:  1977-86

        Figure 3-28 displays  the  10-year composite average trend for
the second high day during the ozone  season for the 242 trends sites
and the subset of 88 NAMS sites.   Although  the  1986 composite average
for the 242 trend sites is El percent lower than the  1977 average, this
comparison is affected by a calibration change  for ozone measurements
that occurred in the 1978-79  time  period.TS This complication has been
                                  3-31

-------
          0.18
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
          0.1S-

          0.14-

          0.12

          0.10-

          0.08-

          0.06-

          0.04-

          0.02-

          0.00
NAMS SUES (88)    ° AiISjTESl242)
                  1977  1978  1979  1980  1981  1982 1983 1984  1985  1986
Figure 3-28.  National  trend  in  trie composite average of the second highest
              maximum  1-hour  ozone  concentration  at both NAMS and all  sites
              with 9b  percent confidence  intervals, 1977-1986.
          0.30
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
          0.25-
          0.20-
          0.15-
          0.10-
          0.05-
          0.00
                                                             242SHES
                  1977 1978 1979  1980  1981  1982 1983 1984  1985  1986
Figure 3-29.  Boxplot comparisons  of  trends  in  annual  second highest daily
              maximum  1-hour  ozone concentration at 242 sites, 1977-1986.
                                   3-32

-------
          20
              NO. OF EXCEEDANCES
           15-
           10-
                                    • NAMS SITES (88)    ° ALLJfTE
                  1977  1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure 3-30.
National trend in the composite average of the estimated
number of daily exceedances of the ozone NAAQS in the ozone
season at both NAMS and all sites with 95 percent confidence
intervals, 1977-1986.
                                  3-33

-------
discussed in previous reports as well  as  the  reasons  that  it  is difficult
to quantify this effect.  7,9,10  The stippled  portion of Figure 3-28
indicates data affected by measurements  taken  prior to  the calibration
change.  Considering the data after this  calibration change,  there was
a 13 percent improvement in ozone levels  between  1979 and  1986.  This
has not been a smooth downward trend and  there  has been year  to year
fluctuation with 1983 clearly being  high.  This has been attributed in
part to 1983 meteorological conditions in some areas of the country
being more conducive for ozone formation  than  adjacent years.

     This same 10-year trend for the annual second highest daily maximum
for the 242 site data base is displayed  in Figure 3-29 using  the box-
plot presentation.  Again, the stippled  portion indicates  those years
affected by data prior to the calibration change  and  1983  is  clearly
higher than adjacent years.  The 1979, 1980, and  1983 values  are
similarly high while the remaining years  in the 1977-86 period are
generally lower with 1986 being the lowest on  average.  Figure 3-30
depicts the 1977-86 trend for the composite average number of ozone
exceedances.  This statistic is adjusted  for missing data  and reflects
the number of days that the level of the  ozone standard is exceeded
during the ozone season.   The stippled area again indicates the time
period when comparisons would be affected by  the  calibration  change so
that the 54 percent decrease between  1977 and  1986 incorporates the
effect of the calibration change.  The expected number  of  exceedances
decreased 38 percent for the 242 sites and 37  percent for  the subset of
88 NAMS.  As with the second maximum,  the 1979, 1980, and  1983 values
are higher than the other years in the 1979-86 time period.

     Table 3-5 and Figure 3-31 display the 1977-86 emission trends for
volatile organic compounds (VOC) which,  along  with nitrogen oxides, are
involved in the atmospheric chemical  and  physical processes that result
in the formation of 03.  Total VOC emissions  are  estimated to have
decreased 19 percent between 1977 and  1986.  Between  1977  and 1986, VOC
emissions from highway vehicles are estimated  to  have decreased 39
percent despite a 24 percent increase  in  vehicle miles of  travel during
this time period.  Potential difficulties in  using ozone precursor
emission estimates to represent ambient  trends have been discussed in a
recent analysis of southern California ozone  trends.19

3.5.2  Recent Ozone Trends: 1982-86

     This section discusses ambient 03 trends  for the 5-year  time period
1982-86.  This permits the use of a  larger data base  of 539 sites
compared to 242 for the 10-year period.   Figure 3-32  uses  a boxplot
presentation of the annual second maximum daily value at these 539
sites.  The national composite decreased 4 percent between 1982 and
1986 while Table 3-5 indicates that  total VOC  emissions are estimated
to have decreased by 3 percent during  this period.  The most  obvious
feature of Figure 3-32 is that 1983  levels were clearly higher than
those of the other years.  Previous  reports7»9,10 have  discussed  how
these 1983 ozone levels were influenced  by meteorological  conditions in
that year being more conducive to ozone  formation than  conditions in
the adjacent years.

                                  3-34

-------
 Table 3-b.  National Volatile  Organic  Compound Emission Estimates, 1977-1986.

                                       (million metric tons/year)

                     1977    1978    1979    1980    1981    1982   1983   1984   1985    1986
Source Category

Transportation

Fuel Combustion

Industrial
  Processes

Non-Industrial
  Organic Solvent
  Use

Solid Waste

Mi scellaneous

     Total

NOTE:  The sum of sub-categories may not equal total  due to rounding.
10.0
1.4
9.3
1.9
U.8
0.8
24.1
9.7
1.6
9.9
1,9
0.8
0.8
24.7
8.9
1.9
9.8
2.0
0.7
0.9
24.3
8.2
2.2
9.2
1.9
0.6
1.0
23.0
7.9
2.3
8.3
1.6
0.6
0.9
21.6
7.4
2.5
7.4
1.5
0.6
0.7
20.1
7.3
2.6
7.8
1.6
0.6
1.1
20.9
7.3
2.6
8.7
1.8
0.6
0.9
21.9
6.7
2.3
8.4
1.5
0.6
0.7
20.3
6.5
2.3
7.9
1.5
0.6
0.7
19.5
           35
               VOC EMISSIONS, K)1 METRIC TONS/YEAR
                                 SOURCE CATEGORY
                                 • SOLID WASTE ft MSC     E3 INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
                                 OB FUEL COMBUSTION      m TRANSPORTATION
             1977  1978   1979   1980   1981   1982   1983  1984   1985  1986
Figure 3-31.   National  trend in emissions of volatile oryanic  compounds, 1977-1986,
                                         3-3b

-------
          0.30-
          0.25-
          0.20-
          0.15-
          0.10-
          0.05-
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
          0.00
                                                             539 S1ES
                                                                 NAAQS —
                      1982
       1983
1984
 1985
     1986
Figure 3-32.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in  annual  second  highest
              daily maximum 1-hour ozone concentrations  at  539  sites,
              1982-1986.
              CONCENTRATION, PPM
0.18-




0.12-
0.06-



COMPOSnE AVERAGE
K3WS4. Mt9S5 E3 1986


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       EPA REGION    I
       NO. OF SITES  28
31   70
IV    V
76   107
    VI
    55
VII
27
VHI
16
IX
115
X
14
Figure 3-33.  Regional comparison  of  the 1984,  1985,  1986 composite
              average of the  second-highest  daily  1-hour ozone
              concentrations.
                                   3-36

-------
     Figure 3-33 presents a regional  comparison  for  1984,  1985, and
1986 of the composite average second  highest daily maximum  1-hour ozone
concentration.  Again it is worth noting that these  1984-86 values are
generally lower than those of 1983.   For half of these  Regions the 1986
values were the lowest of the last 3  years.  It  is possible that the
1986 ozone levels for the southeastern  U.S. were affected  by warmer
temperatures.  Preliminary data for  1987 suggest that meteorological
conditions may again have been conducive for ozone formation and may
contribute to increased ozone levels  in some areas.
                                  3-37

-------
3.6  TRENDS IN LEAD

     Lead (Pb) gasoline additives,  non-ferrous smelters, and battery plants
are the most significant contributors  to atmospheric Pb emissions.
Transportation sources in 1986 contribute  about 41  percent of the annual
emissions, down substantially from  73  percent in  1985.  The reasons for
this drop are noted below.

     Prior to promulgation of the Pb standard in  October 1978,20 two air
pollution control  programs were implemented by EPA  that have resulted in
lower ambient Pb levels-.  First, regulations were issued in the early
1970's'which required  the Pb content of all gasoline to be gradually
reduced over a period  of many years.   Most recently the Pb content of the
leaded gasoline pool was reduced from  an average  of 1.0 grams/gal Ion
to 0.5 grams/gallon on July 1, 1985 and still further  to 0.1 grams/gallon
on January 1, 1986.  Second, as part of EPA1s overall  automotive emission
control program, unleaded gasoline  was introduced in 1975 for use in
automobiles equipped with catalytic control devices.   These devices
reduce emissions of carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons and  nitrogen oxides.
In 1986 unleaded gasoline sales accounted  for 69  percent of the total
gasoline market.  Additionally, Pb  emissions from stationary sources have
been substantially reduced by control  programs oriented toward attainment
of the TSP and Pb ambient standards.   The  overall effect of these three
control  programs has been a major reduction in the  amount of Pb in the
ambient air.

3.6.1  Long-term Lead  Trends: 1977-86^

       Early trend analyses of ambient Pb  data21>22 were based almost
exclusively on National Air Surveillance Network  (NASN) sites.  These
sites were established in the 1960's to monitor ambient air quality levels
of TSP and associated  trace metals, including Pb.   The sites were
predominantly located  in the central business districts of larger American
cities.  In September  1981, ambient Pb monitoring regulations were
promulgated,23  jhe siting criteria in the regulations resulted in the
elimination of many of the old historic TSP monitoring sites as being
unsuitable sites for the measurement of ambient Pb  concentrations.

     As with the other pollutants,  the trend sites  that were selected had
to satisfy an annual data completeness criterion  of at least 8 out of 10
years of data in the 1977 to 1986 time period.  A year was included as
"valid" if at leas.t 3  of the 4 quarterly averages were available.  A
total of only 82 urban-oriented sites, representing 25 States, met the
data completeness criterion.  Only  seven of these sites were NAMS sites,
thereby, making this NAMS trend determination very  tentative until more
NAMS Pb trend sites become available.  Thirty-three (40 percent) of the
trend sites were located in  the States of  Arizona,  Pennsylvania and
Texas.  A total of 326 sites satisfied a trend criterion for the  1982-86
period, which required 4 out of 5 years in the 1982 to 1986 time  period.

     The mean of the composite maximum quarterly  averages and their
respective 95 percent confidence intervals are shown  in Figure 3-34 for
both the 82 urban sites and 7 NAMS  sites (1977-1986).  There was an 87
percent overall (1977-86) decrease  for the 82 urban sites.  The confidence
                               3-38

-------
              CONCENTRATE, UGyV
                  1977  1978  1979  1980  1981  1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Figure 3-34.   National  trend in the composite average of the maximum
              quarterly average lead concentration at 82 sites and 7
              NAMS sites with 95 percent confidence intervals, 1977-1986.
              CONCENTRATION,
                  1977  1978  1979 1980 1981 1982 1983  1984  1985  1986
Figure 3-35.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in maximum quarterly average
              lead concentrations at 82 sites, 1977-1986.
                                   3-39

-------
intervals for these sites indicate that the  1977-79  averages are  significantly
different from the 1980-86 averages.   Moreover,  the  1986 average  is
statistically different from all  averages  prior  to 1985.  The  1986 average
shows a 35 percent decrease from  1985.  This  is  the  largest percentage
decrease for any two adjacent years.   The  reduction  of  Pb in gasoline
from 1.0 grams/gallon to 0.5 grams/gallon  is  probably the principal
reason for this drop together with the increasing sales of unleaded
gasoline.  Because of the small  number of  NAMS sites (7) with  8 years of
data, the confidence intervals are wide.   However, the  1984, 1985, and
1986 averages are still significantly different  from averages  in  the
1977-79 time period. Figure 3-35  shows boxplot comparisons of  the maximum
quarterly average Pb concentrations at the 82 urban  oriented Pb trend
sites (1977-86).  This figure shows the dramatic improvement in ambient
Pb concentrations for the entire  distribution of trend  sites.  As with
the composite average concentration since  1977,  most of the percentiles
also show a monotonically decreasing  pattern. The 82 urban-oriented
sites that qualified as trend sites for the  1977-86  time period can be
compared to the 53 sites for the  1976-85 time period in last year's
reportJQ indicating the expansion of the  data base  in more recent years.

     The trend in total lead emissions is  shown  in Figure 3-36.   Table
3-6 summarizes the Pb emissions data  as well.  The drop (1977-86) in
total Pb emissions was 94 percent.  This compares with  a 87 percent
decrease (1977-86) in ambient Pb  noted above.  The drop in Pb  consumption
and subsequent Pb emissions since 1977 was brought about because  of the
increased use of unleaded gasoline in catalyst equipped cars and  the
reduced Pb content in leaded gasoline as noted above.   The results of
these reductions in 1986 amounted to  a 59  percent reduction nationwide in
total Pb emissions from 1985 levels.   As noted above 1986 unleaded gasoline
sales represented 69 percent of  the total  gasoline sales.  Although the
good agreement among the trend in lead consumption,  emissions, and
ambient levels is based upon a limited geographical  sample, it does show
that ambient urban Pb levels are  responding  to the drop in lead emissions.

3.6.2  Recent Lead Trends: 1982-86

       Ambient Pb trends were also studied over  the  shorter time  period
1982-86 (Figure 3-37).  A total of 326 urban  sites from 43 states met the
minimum data requirement of at least 4 out of the 5  years of data.  This
larger and more representative set of sites  showed an improvement of 68
percent in average Pb concentrations over  this time  period.  This corresponds
to reductions in total Pb emissions of 84  percent.   Most  (951) of this decrease
in total nationwide Pb emissions  was due to  the  decrease  in automotive Pb
emissions.  Even this larger group of sites  was  disproportionately weighted
by sites in California and Pennsylvania.  These  States  accounted  for 25
percent of the 326 sites represented.  However,  the  percent change in 1982-86
average Pb concentrations for the California and Pennsylvania  sites (65
percent) and for all the other sites combined (70 percent) were very similar;
thus the contributions of the California and  Pennsylvania sites did not bias
the national trends.
                               3-40

-------
            Table 3-6.  National  Lead Emission Estimates, 1977-1986.
                                       (thousand metric tons/year)
                    1977    1978    1979   1980   1981    1982   1983   1984
Source Category
Transportation
Fuel Combustion
     Total
NOTE:  The sum of  sub-categories may not equal total due to rounding.
         200
               LEAD EMISSIONS, 103 METRIC TONS/YEAR
          150-
          100-
              SOURCE CATEGORY
             • SOUO WASTE         E3 FUEL
                                   COMBUSTION
             Si, INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES   EZ3 TRANSPORTATION
             1377   1978   1979   1980   1981   1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
Figure 3-36.   National  trend in-lead emissions, 1977-1986,
                                                          1985   1986
124.2  112.4   94.6   59.4   46.4   46.9    40.7    34.7   15.5    3.5
  7.2    6.1    4.9    3.9    2.8     1.7     0.6     0.5    0.5    0.5
Industrial
Processes
Solid Waste

5.7 5.4 5.2 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.3 1.9
4.1 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.1 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.7
141.2  127.9  108.7   70.6   55.9    54.4    46.3    40.1    21.1
                                                                  8.6
                                           3-41

-------
              CONCENTRATION,
         1.5
            1 -
         0.5-
                                                            326STTES

             •NAAQS-"
1982     1983      1984      1985
                                                            1986
Figure 3-37.  Boxplot comparisons of trends in maximum quarterly average
              lead concentrations at 326 sites, 1977-1986.
                                     3-42

-------
     Figure 3-38 shows 1984,  1985  and  1986 composite average Pb concentrations
by EPA region.   The number  of sites varies dramatically from 5 sites in
Region X to 65  sites in Region IX.   In  all Regions except Region X, where
only 5 sites were available,  there is a significant difference in average
Pb concentrations between 1984 and 1986.  Furthermore, in five (5) of these
Regions (Regions I, II, IV, V, and VIII) there was a significant decrease
in average Pb concentrations between 1985 and 1986.  These results confirm
that average Pb concentrations in  urban areas are decreasing in all sections
of the country which is exactly what is to be expected because of the
national air pollution control program  in place for Pb.
         1.8
              CXJNCENTOATON, U
-------
3.7  REFERENCES

     1.  J. W, Tukey, Exploratory Data Analysis,  Add i son-Wesley Publishing
Company, Reading,  MA, 1977.

     2,  B. J. Winer, Statistical Principies  in Experimental Design, McGraw-
Hill, NY, 1971.

     3.  N. L. Johnson and S. Kotz,  Piscrete  Pistributions, Wiley, NY, 1969.

     4.  R. G. Miller, Jr.,  Simultaneous Statistical Inference, Springer-
Verlag, NY, 1981.

     5.  A. Pollack, W. F. Hunt, Jr.,  and  T.  C. Curran,  "Analysis of
Variance Applied to National  Ozone Air Quality Trends",  presented at
the 77th Annual Meeting of the Air Pollution  Control Association, San
Francisco, CA, June 1984.

     6.  A. Pollack and W. Hunt, "Analysis of Trends and Variability in
Extreme and Annual Average Sulfur Dioxide  Concentrations", presented at
the Air Pollution  Control Association, American Society  for Quality
Control Specialty  Conference on Quality Assurance in Air Pollution
Measurement, Boulder, CO, 1985.

     7.  National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report. 1984, EPA-450/
4-86-001, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Office  of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC,  April  1986.

     8.  National  Air Pollutant Emission Estimates,  1940-1986, EPA-450/
4-87-024, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency.   Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC,  January 1988.

     9.  National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1983, EPA-450/
4-84-029, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Office  of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC,  April  1981.

    10.  National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1985, EPA-450/
4-87-001, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Office  of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle  Park, NC,  February  1987.

    11.  N. H. Frank, "Nationwide Trends in Total  Suspended Particulate
Matter and Associated Changes in the Measurement  Process", presented at
the Air Pollution  Control Association, American Society  for Quality
Control Specialty Conference on Quality Assurance in Air Pollution
Measurement, Boulder, CO, October 1984.

    12.  Written communication from  Thomas R. Hauser,  Environmental
Monitoring Systems Laboratory, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, NC,  to Richard G.  Rhoads, Technical Support
Division, U. S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Research  Triangle
Park, NC, January 11, 1984.
                                 3-44

-------
    13.  Trends in Total  Precipitation for the Contiguous United States,
1986 Update.  EPA Contract No.  68-02-4390, PEI Associates, Inc., Durham,
NC, November 1986.

     14.  National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP), 1980 NAPAP
Data B_ase,  Version 3.0, U.  S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Research
Triangle Park, NC, September 1984.

     15.  E. Pechan and J.  Wilson,  Jr.,  "Estimates of 1973-1982 Annual
Sulfur Oxide Emissions from Electric Utilities", J. A1r Poll. Control Assoc..
34.00): 1075-1078, September 1984.

     16.  W. M. Koerber,  "Trends in S0£  Emissions and Associated
Release Height for Ohio River  Valley Power Plants", presented at the
75th Annual Meeting of the Air Pollution Control Association, New
Orleans, LA, June 1982.

     17.  C. Bergesen, Utility Data Institute, Inc., letter to F. William
Browne!!» Esq., Hunton and  Williams, Washington, DC, February 2!, 1985.

     18.  Measurement of  jzone in the Atmosphere, 43 FR 26971, June 22,
1978.

     19.  G. Kuntasal and T. Y. Chang, "Trends and Relationships of
03, NOX, and HC in the South Coast  Air Basin of California", J_._ AirPoll.
Control Assoc.. 37(10): 1158-1163,  October 1987.

     20.  National Primary and Secondary Ambient Air Quality Standards
for Lead, 43 FR 46246, October 5, 1978.

     21.  R. B. Faoro and T. B. McMullen, National Trends in Trace Metals
Ambient Air, 1965-1974, EPA-45Q/1-77-QQ3, U. S. Environmental Protection
Agency, Office of Air Quality  Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park, NC, February 1977.

     22.  W. Hunt, "Experimental Design  in Air Quality Management," Andrews
Memorial Technical Supplement, American  Society for Quality Control,
Milwaukee, MI, 1984.

     23.  Ambient Air Quality Surveillance. 46 FR 44159, September 3, 1981.
                                  3-45

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3-46

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4.  AIR QUALITY LEVELS IN METROPOLITAN  STATISTICAL AREAS

     The Tables in this  section  summarize air quality levels by
Metropolitan Statistical  Area (MSA)  for MSA's with 1984 populations greater
than 500,000.  These summaries are complemented with an analysis of the
number of people living  in counties  in  which pollutant specific primary
health NAAQS(s) (see Table 2-1 for a complete listing) were exceeded by
measured air quality in  1986 (Figure 4-1).  Clearly, 63 is the most pervasive
air pollution problem in  1986 in the United States with an estimated 75
million people living in counties which exceeded  the 03 standard.  TSP
follows with 41.7 million people, CO with 41.4 million people, NOg with 7.5
million people, Pb with  4.5 million  people and S02 with 0.9 million people.
A total of 98 million persons reside in counties  which exceeded at least one
air quality standard during 1986.

     In the MSA summary  tables which follow, the  air quality statistics
relate to selected pollutant-specific NAAQS listed in Table 4-1.  The
purpose of these summaries is to provide the reader with  information on how
air quality varies among  MSA's and from year-to-year.  The highest air
quality levels measured  in the MSA are  summarized for the years 1984, 1985
and 1986.

     The reader is caifc ioned t hat these summaries are not sufficient in
themselves to adequately  Tank or compare the MSA's accqrdirig to thsir
air quality.  To properly rank the air  pollution  severity in different
MSA(s), data on population characteristics, daily population mobility,
transportation patterns, industrial  composition,  emission inventories,
meteorological factors and, most important, the spatial representativeness
of the monitoring sites  would also be needed.

     The same annual data completeness  criterion  used in  the air quality
trends data base was used here for the  calculation of annual means.  (See
Section 2.1),  If some data have been collected at one or more sites, but
none of these sites meet the annual  data completeness criteria, then the
reader will be advised that there are insufficient data to calculate the
annual mean.

     With respect to the summary statistics for air quality levels with
averaging times less than or equal to 24-hours, measured  with continuous
monitoring instruments,  a footnote will be  placed next to the level if the
volume of annual data is less than 4380 hours for CO, less than 183 days
for SOg or less than 50  percent  of the  days during the ozone season for
ozone, which varies by State.l  For  example, in California the ozone season
is defined as 12 months, January through December, while  in New Jersey it is
defined as 7 months, April through October.

4.1  SUMMARY STATISTICS

     In the following MSA summaries, the air quality levels reported are
the highest levels measured within the  MSA(s).  All available sites in an
MSA are used in these summaries.  In the case of  03, the  problem as stated
                                    4-1

-------
      Table 4-1.  Selected Air Quality Summary Statistics and Their
         Associated National  Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)*
POLLUTANT

Total Suspended Participate

Sulfur Dioxide



Carbon Monoxide
  STATISTICS

annual geometric mean

annual arithmetic mean
PRIMARY NAAQS

  75 u

  0.03 ppm
second highest nonoverlapping
8- hour average
second highest 24-hour average    0.14 ppm
     9 ppm
Nitrogen Dioxide

Ozone


Lead
annual  arithmetic mean            0.053 ppm

second highest daily maximum      0.12 ppm
1-hour average

maximum quarterly average         1.5 ug/m3
    ug/m? = microyrams per cubic meter
    ppm = parts per million

 'for a detailed listing of the NAAQS see Table 2-1 .
                   pdutert
               TSP

               SO,
                                   trillions of parsons

Figure 4-1.  Number of persons living in counties with air quality levels
             above the primary national  ambient air quality standards in
             1986  (based on 1980 population data).
                                    4-2

-------
earlier is pervasive and the high values associated  with  the  pollutant
can reflect a large part of the MSA.   However,  in many cases  peak ozone
concentrations occur downwind of major urban  areas,  e.g.  peak ozone  levels
attributed to the Chicago metropolitan area are recorded  in and near Racine,
Wisconsin.  In contrast, high CO values are generally highly  localized
and reflect downtown areas with heavy  traffic.   The  scale of  measurement
for the pollutants - TSP, SOg and NO?  - fall  somewhere in between.   Finally,
while Pb measurements generally reflect Pb concentrations near roadways
in the MSA, if the monitor is located  near a  point source of  lead emissions it
can produce readings substantially higher.  Such is  the case  in several
MSAs.  If the Pb monitor is located near a point source it will be footnoted
accordingly in Table 4-8.

     The pollutant-specific statistics reported in this section are  summarized
in Table 4-1, along with their associated primary NAAQS concentrations for a
single year of data.  For example, if  an MSA  has three ozone  monitors in
1986 with second highest daily hourly  maxima  of .15  ppm,  .14  ppm and  .12
ppm, the highest of these, .15 ppm, would be  reported for that MSA for 1986.

     In the case of Pb, the quarterly  average is based either, on as  many as
90 24-hour measurements or one or more chemical composite measurements.*
Most of the maximum quarterly Pb averages are based  on multiple 24-hour
measurements.  If the maximum quarterly average is based  on a chemical
composite, it is footnoted accordingly.

4.2  AIR QUALITY MSA COMPARISONS

     In each of the following MSA air  quality summaries,  the  MSA's are
grouped according to population starting with the largest MSA - New  York,
NY-NJ and continuing to the smallest MSA with a population  in excess of
500,000, New Haven-Meriden, Connecticut. The population  groupings and the
number of MSA's contained within each are as  follows:   17 MSA's have
populations in excess of 2 million, 27 MSA's  have populations between 1
and 2 million and 45 MSA's have populations  between  0.5 and 1 million.
The population statistics are based on the  1984 Metropolitan  Statistical
Areas estimates.2

     Air quality maps of the United States  are introduced to  show at a
glance how air quality varies among the largest MSAs within the contiguous
United States.  Figures 4-2 through 4-7 appear just  before  the appropriate
table summarizing the same air pollution specific statistic.   In each map,
a  spike is plotted  at the city location on  the map surface.   This represents
the highest pollutant concentration, recorded in 1986,  corresponding to  the
appropriate air quality standard.  Each spike is also  projected onto a back-
drop facilitating comparison with the level of the standard.  This also  pro-
vides an east-west  profile of concentration  variabil ity throughout the country,

     The air quality summary statistics are  summarized  in the following
figures and tables:
*A chemical composite measurement can be either a measurement for an
 entire month or an entire quarter.

                                    4-3

-------
     Figure 4-2.  United States Map of  the Highest Annual Geometric Mean
Suspended Participate Concentration by  MSA,  1986.  The map for particulate
matter displays the maximum annual  geometric mean TSP concentration in  1986
for large metropolitan areas.   The  highest concentrations are generally
found in the industrial Midwest and arid areas  of the West.  The east-west
profile shows that levels above the current standard of  75 ug/m3 can be
found throughout the Nation.

     Table 4-2.  Highest Annual Geometric Mean  Suspended Particulate
Concentration by MSA, 1984-86.


     Figure 4-3.  United States Map of  the Highest Annual Arithmetic Mean
Sulfur Dioxide Concentration  by MSA,  1986.  The map for  sulfur dioxide
shows maximum annual mean concentrations in 1986.  Among these large
metropolitan areas, the higher  concentrations are found  in the heavily
populated Midwest and Northeast.  All  urban areas have ambient air quality
concentrations lower than the current annual standard of 80  ug/nP  (.03
ppm).  Because this map only  represents areas with population greater than
one half million, it does not reflect air quality in the vicinity of smelters
or large power plants in rural  areas.

     Table 4-3.  Highest Annual Arithmetic Mean Sulfur Dioxide Concentration
by MSA, 1984-86.


     Figure 4-4.  United States Map of  the Highest Second Maximum 24-hour
Average Sulfur Dioxide Concentration  by MSA, 1986.  The  map  for sulfur
dioxide shows the highest second highest maximum 24-hour average sulfur
dioxide concentration by MSA in 1986.   The highest urban concentration is
found at a site in Memphis, TN  impacted by several SOg sources.  All other
urban areas have lower ambient  concentrations below the  24-hour NAAQS of
0.14 parts per million.

     Table 4-4.  Highest Second Maximum 24-hour Average  Sulfur Dioxide
Concentration by MSA, 1984-86.


     Figure 4-5.  United States Map of  the Highest Second Maximum
Nonoverlapping 8-hour Average Carbon  Monoxide Concentration  by MSA, 1986.
The map for carbon monoxide shows peak  metropolitan concentrations in terms
of the second highest annual  8-hour value recorded in 1986.  The east-west
profile indicates that many of  these urban areas in all  geographic regions
have air quality at or exceeding the  9  ppm level of the.standard.  The
highest concentration recorded  in 1986  is found in Denver, CO while Los
Angeles, CA recorded the second highest concentration.

     Table 4-5.  Highest Second Maximum Nonoverlapping 8-hour Average Carbon
Monoxide Concentration by MSA,  1984-86.
                                  4-4

-------
     Figure 4-6.   United States  Map  of  the Highest Annual Arithmetic Mean
Nitrogen Dioxide  Concentration by MSA,  1986.  The map for nitrogen dioxide
displays the maximum annual  mean measured in  the Nation's largest metropolitan
areas during 1986.   Los  Angeles, California,  with an annual NOg mean of
0.061 ppm is the  only area in  the country exceeding the N02 air quality
standard of .053  ppm.
                                                                     ^
     Table 4-6.  Highest Annual  Arithmetic Mean Nitrogen Dioxide Concentration
by MSA, 1984-86.


     Figure 4-7.   United States  Map  of  the Highest Second Daily Maximum
1-hour Average Ozone Concentrations  by  MSA,  1986.  The ozone map shows the
second highest daily maximum concentration in the 89  largest metropolitan
areas.  As shown, about  half of  these areas did not meet the 0.12 ppm
standard in 1986.  The highest concentrations are observed  in Southern
California, but high levels  also persist  in  the Texas Gulf  Coast, Northeast
Corridor, and other heavily  populated regions.

     Table 4-7.  Highest Second  Daily Maximum L-hour Average Ozone Concentration
by MSA, 1984-86.


     Figure 4-8.   United States  Map  of  the Highest Maximum  Quarterly Average
Lead Concentration by MSA, 1986.  The map for Pb displays maximum
quarterly average concentrations in  the Nation's largest metropolitan  areas.
The highest concentrations are found throughout the country in cities
containing  nonferrous smelters or other point sources of lead.  Because of
the switch to unleaded gasol ine, other  areas, primarily affected by automotive
lead emissions, show levels below the current standard of 1.5
     Table 4-8.  Highest Maximum Quarterly  Average  Lead  Concentration by MSA,
1984-86.

     The air quality summaries follow:

4.3  REFERENCES

     1.  Ambient Air Quality Surveillance,  51  FR 9597,  March  19,  1986.

     2.  Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1986.  U.  S. Department
of Commerce, U. S. Bureau of the Census, Appendix II.
                               4-5

-------
I
O1
             Figure 4-2     United States map of the highest annual geometric mean
                            suspended participate concentration by MSA, 1986.

-------
         Table 4-2.   Highest Annual Geometric Mean Suspended  Particulate Concentration  by MSA, 1984-1986.
                                         UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                         OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND  STANDARDS
                                         RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                  SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION BY MSA  POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL JlflEA
POPULATION: > 2 MILLION
NEW YORK, NY
LOS ANGELES- LONG BEACH, CA
CHICAGO, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
DETROIT, HI
42.
ij WASHINGTON, DC-MD-VA
HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON, HA
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, KO-IL
ATLANTA, 6A
MINNEAPOLIS-ST, PAUL, HN-HI
BALTIMORE, HD
SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION CUG/M3J
HIGHEST ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
1984 1985 1986

64
IW
85
73
106
70
94
SB
49
119
72
75
sa

70
104
85
63
107
67
81
SI
48
ISO
60
73
78

61
J01
97
61
103
70
74
82
46
137
74
71
72
NOTE:  THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN IS CALCULATED IF THE DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      Z4-HR DATA (50% OF THE  EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE
      BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                             TABLE 4-2

                                           UNITED STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR  qUALITY PUNNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    SUSPENDED  PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                                SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION (US/M3)
                                   HIGHEST    ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
                                   1984            1985            1986
POPULATION:  > 2 MILLION      CCONTJ

               DALLASi  TX

               PITTSBURGH, PA

               ANAHEIM-SANTA AHA,  CA

               SAN DIEGO, CA
                                    70

                                    83

                                    97

                                    7ft
68

76

91

79
69

55

89

77
-f  TOTAL MSA'S  > 2 MILLION
ca
17
NOTE: THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN IS CALCULATED IF THE DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      24-HR DATA (50* OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLINB DAYS) HAVE
      BEEN COLLECTED,
      NO = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                        Table 4-2
                                           UNITED  STAi'ES  ENVIRONHEk4rAL PROTECTION AiENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF  AIR  QUALITY  PLANNING AMD ST. .J3AHDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANSLE  PARK* NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    SUSPENDED PARTICULATE  CONCENTRATION BY ItSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
NEWARK, NJ
OAKLAND, CA
CLEVELAND, OH
RIVERSIDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
TAMPA-ST. PETERSBURB-CLEARMATEH, FL
10 PHOENIX, AZ
MIAMI -HIALEAH, FL
SEATTLE. HA
DENVER, CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, PR
KANSAS CITY, MO-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN
SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION (US/M3)
HIGHEST ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
1984 1985 1986
73
57
116
133
68
126
50
68
142
60
77
69
70
81
58
95
132
64
IIS
73
77
144
62
82
70
64
63
48
86
120
59
123
42
73
118
52
71
74
64
NOTE! THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN IS CALCULATED IF THE DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      24-HR DATA 1507. OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLING DAYS! HAVE
      BEEN COLLECTED.
      NO = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL SEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                           Table  4-2

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIROKMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  E7711
                                   SUSPENDED  PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PASE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION CCONTJ
MILWAUKEE, HI
SAN JOSE, CA
NEW ORLEANS, LA
BERGEN-PA5SAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
L NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH-NEWPORT NEWS, VA
O
SACRAMENTO , CA
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN ANTONIO, TX
FORT WORTH- ARLINGTON, TX
PORTLAND, OR -HA
FORT LAUDEROALE-HOLLYHOOD-PQMPANO BEACH, FL
CHARLOTTE-SASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION
HIGHEST ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
1984 19B5

X
79
64
54
7Z
57
65
69
66
74
80
46
67

57
90
61
52
63
53
66
76
67
70
97
43
56
(UG/M3)
1986

7-t.
84
59
45
62
58
56
74
60
73
116
" 29
68
NOTE! THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN IS CALCULATEQ IF THE DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      24-HR DATA (SOX OF THF EPA PECOMMEHOCD SAHPLTNI? WfS)  HAVE
      BEEN COLIHCIEO.
      ND = 110 DATA
      7.H = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                            Table 4-2

                                           UNITED  STATES ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF  AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  E7711


                                    SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANGE                       PAGE NO:
                                                                     SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION (US/M3I
                  WETSOPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                          HIGHEST    ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
                                                                         198*            1985            1986
POPULATIONS  1-2 MILLION    (CONTJ

               SALT LAKE CITY-OGDEN, UT                                 100               97              10
-------
                                                           Table 4-2
                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK. NOrtTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   SUSPENDED  PARTICUUTE CONCENTRATION BY H5A POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION
ROCHESTER, NY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
MEMPHIS, TN-AH-HS
^ DAYTON-SPRINGFIELD, OH
r-o
MIODLESEX-SOHERSET-HUNTEROQN, NJ
MQNMOUTH-QCEAN. NJ
BIRMINGHAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TN
GREENSBORO-WINSTON SALEH-HIGH POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TROY, NY
ORLANDO, FL
SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION (US/M3J
HIGHEST ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
I7S, 1985 1986

50
54
60
82
70
59
59
45
98
69
57
60
46

43
50
61
66
55
60
68
42
65
66
57
59
43

49
48
' 5E
65
59
67
79
4Z
83
78
65
S3
43
NOTE: THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC HEAN IS CALCULATED IF THE  DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      24-HR DATA (5BX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLING DAYS1 HAVE
      BEEN COLLECTED,
      NO = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                           Table  4-2
                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    SUSPENDED PARTICUUTE  CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION CCONT)
HONOLULU, HI
RICHMOND-PETERSBURG, VA
JACKSONVILLE, FL
HARTFORD, CT
SCRANTON-HILKES-BARRE, PA
L TULSA, OK
OJ
WEST PALM BEACH-BOCA RATQN-BELRAY BEACH 'L
SYRACUSE, NY
AKRON, OH
ALLENTQWN-BE1HLEHEM, PA-NJ
AUSTIN, TX
GARY-HAMMOND, IN
GRAND RAPIDS, MI
SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION
HIGHEST ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
1984 1985

48
51
62
48
55
7E
47
68
55
74
51
88
52

52
47
57
60
51
81
37
61
50
70
49
112
44
CUG/H3)
1986

11
52
63
61
47
77
NO
57
51
68
49
91
51
NOTE: TOE ANNUAL GEQMFTim: MEftH TS rAlT.UUTED TF TJ1E DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES '(ttc NAOB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      24-HR jATA 150X OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLING DATS I  HAVE
      P£iN COLLECTED.
      NO = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                           Table 4-2
                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ASENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PUNNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION (COND
PROVIDENCE, RI
TOLEDO, OH
RALEIGH-DURHAM, NC
OMAHA, Ni-IA
^ TUCSON, AZ
— ' EREENVILLE-SPARTANBURS, SC
KNOXVILLE, TN
CXKARn-VEWTURA, CA
'.•MRRISBUHG-LEBANOH-CARLISLI, PA
FRESNO, CA
s
JERSEY CITY, NJ
HILMINSTON, DE-NJ-MD
BATON ROUSE, LA
SUSPENDS PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION CUS/M31
HIGHEST ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
19B4 1985 1986

53
60
48
74
92
51
62
77
5*)
103
79
46
54

61
55
47
65
102
43
57
69
49
108
81
47
49

53
59
50
59
9Z
SI
64
66
48
96
66
50
SZ
NOTE: THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN IS CALCULATED IF THE DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      24-HR DA IA (SOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLINB DAYS)  HAVE
      BEEN COLLECTED.
      NO = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THi ANNUAL SiOMETRIC MEAN

-------
                                                           Table  4-2
                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF  AIR QUALITY  PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    SUSPENDED PARTICULATE CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                            PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
      PASTICULATE CONCENTRATION (US/113J
HIESEST    ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
1984            1985            1986
POPULATION*  .5-1 MILLION   CCONT)

               LAS VEGAS,  NV

               EL PASO, TX

               YOUNGSTOWN-HARREN,  OH

               TACOMA, HA

               SPRINBFIEUJ, MA

 L,            NEW HAVEN-MERIDEN,  CT
 cn
                                                                        101

                                                                        122

                                                                         64

                                                                         69

                                                                         49

                                                                        , 45
                113

                127

                 66

                 81

                 S4

                 49
121

134

 68

 68

 §3

 58
    TOTAL MSA'S  .5-1 MILLION
                                      45
NOTE: THE ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN IS CALCULATED IF THE DATA COLLECTED
      SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA. OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF
      e4-HR DATA (502 OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED SAMPLING DAYSJ  HAVE
      BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL SEOMETRIC MEAN

-------
en
             Figure 4-3     United States map of the highest annual arithmetic mean
                            sulfur dioxide concentration by MSA,  1986.

-------
         Tabl6 4-3.  Highest Annual  Arithmetic  Mean Sulfur Dioxide Concentration  by MSA,  1984-1986.

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANSLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  37711


                                      SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE                       PAGE  NO:

        -u_^WH»*__w WH^_nv__,»*_^__ _„„.«,_.. ^......^.^.B v___b^_.nv_vvvn_^n_.w **_« »Vta___^ n^V^»b*M___^^.*» V BM*. «B«K.te__—^».Mta_______———«V««M

                                                                       SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  (PPH!
                 METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                          HIGHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC HEAN
                                                                       1984            1985            1986  •
POPULATION: > 2 MILLION
NEW YOHK, NY
LOS ANGELES- LONG BEACH, CA
CHICAGO, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
DETROIT, MI
^ WASHINGTON, DC-MD-VA
^ HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON, MA
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
ATLANTA, 6A
MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, MN-WI
BALTIMORE, «D

.024
.011
.017
.019
.014
.014
.010
.016
.013
.021
.009
.012
.015

.022
.008
.019
.017
.014
.013
.008
.013
.011
.020
.009
.013
.012

.020
.009
.015
.015
.014
.014
.Oil
.016
.011
.024
.010
.013
.012
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED  IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT C«UY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBB'.ERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCUUTfQ  IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NAOB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA C50X OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMP'INS DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      NO = NO LA'/i
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPrLSENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                        Table  4-3

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING  AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  £771?
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                             PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION   (PPM)
                HIGHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
                                1965            1986
POPULATIONS  > 2 MILLION      (CONT)

               DALLAS, TX

               PITTSBURGH, PA

               ANAHEIM-SANTA ANA* CA

               SAN DIEGO, CA
              .005

              .044

              .007

              .005
.004

.OZB

.006

.006
 IN

.024

.006

.005
    TOTAL MSA'S  > Z MILLION
                                      17
 00
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR -PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATf-0 TF THE OATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-Htt DATA (5m Of THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table 4-3

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAHOLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
PF.KAHK, N,.'
C^KLAND, CA
CLEVELAND, OH
RIVERSIDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
TAMPA-ST, PETEHSBURE-CLEARHATZR, . -
PHOENIX, AZ
^ MIAMI -HIALEAH, FL
SEATTLE, HA
DENVER, CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, PR
KANSAS CITY, MQ-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN
SULFUR DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION (PPMJ
HIGHEST ANNUAL ARITHMETIC HEAN
1984 1965 1986

.015
.OOE
.022
.003
.006
IN
IN
.011
-Oil
.50*
ND
.01*
.025

.016
.002
.019
.003
.008
IN
IN
.011 .
.008
.003
ND
.008
.027

.015
.002
.018
.ooa
.010
IN
ND
.011
.008
.OC3
ND
.007
.018
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS,  THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380  HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECT. D.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PK
      2t-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MF.'.N IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIO 'YY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                                Table 4-3

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE Of AIR QUALITY PLANNINS  AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANSLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA   27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
                                                          CONCENTRATION BY  (ISA  POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION (COWTJ
MILWAUKEE, MI
SAN JOSE, CA
NEW ORLEANS. LA
BER6EN-PASSAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
js, NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH-NEWPORT NEWS, VA
I
g SACRAMENTO, CA
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN AHTQNIO, TX
FORT WORTH-ARLINGTON, TX
PORTLAND, OR -HA
FORT LAUDERDALE-HQLLYWOQO-POHPANO BEACH, FL
CHARLOTTE-SASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
SULFUR DIOXIDE • CONCENTRATION I PPM)
HIGHEST ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1984 1985 19B6

.009
NO
.006
.016
.017
.010
.002
.017
.002
.003
.007
NO
.014

.007
NO
.006
.015
.014
.010
.002
.019
.003
.005
IN
NO
.005

.007
NO
.005
.015
.010
.010
.001
.015
.001
.003
.006
NO
NO
NOTE! FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUHENT3 rtrilCH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      K-m PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADS VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT L£,"ST 3!) DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (502 OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLINS DAYj) tiAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO PfTA
      IN = ,', SUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      3  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table 4-3
                                           UNITED  STATES ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION ASEKCY
                                           OFFICE  '.IF  AIR SUALITY n.WINfi AfJ1J STAraARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711


                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE                       PASE N0=
                                                                         SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  (PPH)
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                          HIGHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
                                                                         1984            1985            1906
POPULATION:  1-2 MILLION    CCONTJ
               SALT LAKE CITY-OGDEN, UT                                 .014              .014             .014

    TOTAL HSA'S  1-2 MILLION   :     27
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBSLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (50Z OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLINS DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC REAN
      8  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                         Table  4-3

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ASENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
SULFUR DIOXIDE
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .«? - i MILLIPN
rOtlHESTER, NY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVIL'-E, KY-IN
HEMPHIS, TN-AR-HS
DAYTON-SPRINGFIELD , OH
£J HIDDLESEX-SOHERSET-HUNTERDON, NJ
RONMOUTH-OCEAN, NJ
BIRMINGHAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TN
6REENSBORO-MINSTON SALEH-HIGH POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TIOY, NY
ORLANDO, FL
SULFUR DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION (PPM)
HIGHEST ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1984 1965 1986

.015
.016
IN
.015
.013
.010
.016
ND
Ni)
.011
.008
.014
.002

.014
.015
.006
.013
.008
.009
.011
NO
.COS
.011
.007
.010
.002

.015
.014
IN
.015
.018
.008
.011
NO
,{IP6
.011
.007
.009
ND
NOTES FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS,  THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEMI is
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380  HOURLY VALUES ARE COl'ECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREf,V7 PER
      24-HR PERIOD fBUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC (1EAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NAOB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF E4-HR DATA C50/J OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE TOE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table 4-3

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AMD  STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA   27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RAN6E
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION (CONTJ
HONOLULU, HI
RICHMOND-PETERSBURG, VA
JACKSONVILLE, FL
HARTFORD, CT
SCRANTOH-WILKES-BARPE, PA
j... TULSA, OK
£J WEST PALM BEACH-BOCA RATOH-DELRAY BEACH, FL
SYRACUSE, NY
AKRON, OH
ALLENTQMN-BETHLEKEH, PA-NJ
AUSTIN, TX
GARY-HAMMOND, IN
GRAND RAPIDS, MI
SULFUR
HIGHEST
1984

.006
.008
.007
.012
.012
.019
.003
.013
.017
.015
.003
.016
.005
DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION I PPM)
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1985 1986

.006
.007
.008
.009
.012
.025
.002
.019
.021
.011
.001
.Old
.007

.001 B
.008
.004
.013
.011
.017
NO
.009
.Old
.013
.002
.013
.006
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS IHSi-RUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      E4-Hk F.IPT.OD I BUBBLERS i» THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED if "Kli DATA SATISFIES THE HAD8 VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEA5T 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA C50X OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPANS DAYS! HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      M", = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE AWUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table 4-3
                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGEHCY
                                           OFFICE OF  AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR  DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO!
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: ..5-1 MILLION CCONTJ
PROVIDENCE, RI
TOLEDO, OH
RALEIGH-DURHAM, NC
OMAHA, NE-IA
TUCSON, AZ
^ BREENVILLF-SPAHTANBURS, SC
£ KNOXVILLE, TN
OXNARD-VENTURA, CA
HARRISBURG-LE8ANON-CARLISLE, PA
FRESNO, CA
JERSEY CITY, NJ
yiLMINGTON, DE-NJ-MB
BATON ROUSE, LA
SULFUR DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION tPPMJ
HIGHEST ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
19P4 1985 1986

.013
.010
NO
.003
.010
IN
.007
.DOS
.010
.003
.016
.018
.DOS

.013
.009
ND
IN
.006
.003
.008
IN
.009
.003
.015
.014
.013

.015
.008
ND
IN
IN
IN
.013
.003
.008
.003
.014
.016
.011
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX. OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS} HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      E  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUB3LEH MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                           Table 4-3

                                            UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                            OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND  STANDARDS
                                            RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                         SULFUR DIOXIDE
                                                           CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                      PAGE NO:
                   METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
  SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  (PPM)
  HIGHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
                  1985           1986
 POPULATION:  .5-1 MILLION   (CDNT)

                LAS VE6AS, NV

                EL PASO, TX

                YOUNSSTOWN-WARREN, OH

                TACOHA, MA

                SPRINGFIELD, HA
ro
CJ1
                NEN HAVEN-MERIDEN, CT
     TOTAL MSA'S  .5-1 MILLION
 ND

.025

.011

.011

.012

.013
 ND

.022

.011

.010

.012

.017
 ND

.018

.012

.006

.014

.015
                                       45
 NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL AiITHM6TXr. .1EAN IS
       CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4360 HOURLY VALUES A1E CJLi-ECTED.
       FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
       24-HR PERIOD tBUBBLERSJ, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
       CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
       OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (502 OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
       SAMPLINB DAYS1 HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
       ND = NO DATA
       IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
       B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
Figure 4-4     United States map  of the highest  second maximum 24-hour
               average sulfjr dioxide concentration  by MSA,  1986.

-------
          Table 4-4.  Highest Second  Maximum 24-Hour Average  Sulfur Dioxide  Concentration  by MSA,1984-1986.

                                         UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                         OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING  AND STANDARDS
                                         RESEARCH TRIANSLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711


                                       SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE                      PA6E NO!     1

         mmmmmm^mm»umfm^mmuMf^^^^mMummf,fvr^fmvfrmfmmmml^m^mml^,^

                                                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  (PPM)
                 METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                           HIGHEST  END MAX  24-HR AVS.
                                                                        198*            1985           1966
POPULATION: > a MILLION
NEW YQHK, NY
LOS ANGELES-LONG BEACH » CA
CHICAGO, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
DETROIT, MI
jv., HASHINSTON, OC-MD-VA
r
^ HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON, MA
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
ATLANTA, SA
HINNEAPQLIS-ST. PAUL, MN-WI
BALTIMORE, MO

.084
.035
.089
.076
.063
.045
.065
.073
.075
.136
.028
.087
.050

.063
.029
.105
.067
.054
.042
.039
.049
.047
.103
.033
.101
.035

.073
.026
.084
.061
.063
.043
.061
.054
.051
.138
.037
.097
.044
NOTE: THE 2*-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A E4-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                           Table 4-4
                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION A5ENCY
                                           Of-UCE OF All .QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                             PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
  SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION   CPPM)
  HIGHEST  2ND MAX  24-HR  AVG.
  190*            1985            1986
POPULATION:  > 2 MILLION      ICQNTJ
               DALLAS, TX

               PITTSBURGH, PA

               ANAHEIM-SANTA ANA, CA
               SAN DIEGO, CA
.018

.268

.016

.021
.016

.168

.016

.021
.012  *

.108

.015

.019
    TOTAL MSA'S  > Z MILLION
                                      17
PO
CD
NOTE: THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 181 DAYS OF DATA
      NO = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table  4-4
                                           UNITED  STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF  All QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH THIANSLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR  DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE
PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION   CPPM)
                HIGHEST  END MAX  24-HR  AVB.
                                1965            1986
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
NEWARK, NJ
OAKLAND, CA
CLEVELAND, OH
RIVERSIDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
7AMPA-ST. PETEHSBUR6-CLEAR«ATER, FL
4~> PHOENIX, AZ
l
Jo WIAMI-HIALEAH, FL
SEATTLE, MA
DEHYCfii CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, PR
KANSAS CITY, MO-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN

.061
.021
.106
.010
.036
.013 *

.006 M
.045
.OSS
.033
NO
.042
.078

.047
.014
.079
.008
.041
.017 *

.004 *
.028
.023
.026
ND
.039 »
.087

.047
.015
.087
.010
.043
.003 *

ND
.033
.023
.024
ND
,039
.076
NOTE! THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNISHT  TO  MIDNIGHT  PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table  4-4

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANBLi PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION ccomn
MILWAUKEE, HI
SM JOSE, CA
NEM ORLEANS, LA
BERGEN-PASSAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BZACH-MWORT NEWS, VA
Co SACRAMENTO, CA
o
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN ANTONIO, TX
FORT HORTH-ARLINSTON, TX
PORTLAND, OR-WA
FORT LAUOERDALE-HOLLYWOOD-POMPANa BEACH, FL
CHARLOTTE-GASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
SULFUR
HIGHEST
1984

.060
ND
.027
.063
.083
.031
.010
.077
.010
.047
.027
ND
.055
DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION
2ND MAX Z4-HS AVG.
1985

.046
ND
.036
.049
.059
.037
.009
.129
.010
.031
.025 *
ND
.032
(PPM)
1986

.030
ND
.028
.053
.039
.034
.005
.110
.005
.024
.019
ND
ND
NOTE: THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
      ND s NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                                 Table 4-4

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL.  PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIH QUALITY  PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711


                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE                       PAGE NO:
                                                                         SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  CPPH1
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                          HIGHEST  2NB MAX  24-HR AVS.
                                                                                         1985            1936
POPULATION:  1-2 HILLION    (CGNTJ
               SALT LAKE CITY-OGDEN, UT                                 .073              .067             .090

    TOTAL MSA'S  1-2 MILLION   :     27
     CO
NOTE: THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table  4-4

                                           UNITED STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR  QUALITY PUNNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANSLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  277X1
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION   (PPM)
                HIGHEST  2ND MAX  24-HR AVS.
                1984            1985            1986
POPULATION: .s - i MILLION
ROCHESTER, NY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
MEMPHIS, TN-AH-MS
DAYTON-SPRINSFIELD, OH
Co MIDDLESEX-SOMERSET-H'JHTERDON, NJ
ro
MQNMOUTH -OCEAN, NJ
BIRMINGHAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TN
GREENSBORO-WINSTON 5 A LEU-HIGH POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TROY, HY
ORLANDO, FL

.052
.075
.024 »
.082
.067
.044
ND
ND
.088
.025
.060
.014

.050
.076
.018
.062
.079 *
.049
.048
ND
.023
.074
.024
.035
.012

.047
.080
.010
.062
.161
.030
.041
ND
.019
,07f
.023
.053
ND



*

9*




*
*

NOTE: THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT  TO  MIDNIGHT  PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF BATA
     »*  THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF AN INDUSTRIAL SOURCE «TH  A PENDING ENFORCEMENT ACTION.
         THE NEXT HIGHEST 24-HOUR CONCENTRATION IS 0.082 PPM.
      ND = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A ?4-HR BUBBLES MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                           Table 4-4

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                      PAGE NO:
HETROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION tcoNT)
KfflMV.lJLUs !«
\i'CHM0ND-PETERSBURE, VA
JACKSONVILLE! FL
HARTFORD, CT
SCR ANTON -HI LKE5-BARRF, PA
TULSA, OK
-Pa
do WEST PALM BEACH-BOCA RATON-DELRAY BEACH, FL
OJ
SYRACUSE, NY
AKRON, OH
ALLENTOHN-BETHLEHEM, PA-HJ
AUSTIN, TX
GARY-HAMMOND , IN
GRAND RAPIDS, HI
SULFUR DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION
HIGHEST 2ND MAX 24-HR AVB,
1984 1985

.025
.041
.052
.081
.065
.057
.014
.121
.062
.36%
.010
.106
.026

.034
.026
.068
.039
.047
.080
.009
.285 *»
.081
.046 *
.019
.131
.063 *
(PPM I
1986

.003 *
.031
.022
.044
.060
.059
ND
.102
.059
.047
.010
.OBO *
.069
NOTE-' THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
     **  THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE II1PACT OF AN INDUSTRIAL SC.'RCE THAT CEASED OPERATION IN 1986.
      ND ~ NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table  4-4

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                       SULFUR  DIOXIDE
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE  NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  tPPH)
HIGHEST  2ND MAX  24-HR AVG.
198*            1985            1986
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION ICONTI
PROVIDENCE, RI
TOLEDO, OH
RALEIGH-DURHAM, NC
OMAHA, NE-IA
TUCSON, AZ
6REENVILLE-SPAHTANBUR6, SC
<1> KNOXVILLE, TO
OXNARD-VENTURA, CA
HARRISBURG- LEBANON-CARLISLE, PA
FRESNO, CA
JERSEY CITY, NJ
WILMINGTON, DE-NJ-MD
BATON ROUSE, LA

.068
.038
NO
.012
.082
.013 *
.034
.010
.047
.016
.OSS
.062
.042

.047
.099
NO
.006 *
.079 *
.018
.058
.008
.033
.012
.051
.053
.073

.048 *
.048
NO
.002 »
.008 »
.022 *
.062
.011
.osa
.014
.047
.047
.040
NOTE: THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
      NO = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                           Table 4-4
                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGfcNCY
                                           "FriCE. Or AIR CJUALITY HLihSiiNS AJZ STAhCAOS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        SULFUR DIOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                      PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                SULFUR DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  (PPM)
                HIGHEST  2ND HAX  24-HR AVG.
                1984            1905            1986
POPULATION:





j*
OJ
en
.5-1 MILLION CCONT)
LAS VEGAS, NV
EL PASO, TX
YQUN6STQWN-HARREN, OH
TACOMA, MA
SPRINGFIELD, MA
NEH HAVEN-nERIDEN, CT


NO NO
.097 .065
.052 .050
.035 .034
.068 .054
,CW .069


ND
.082
.048
.015
.058
.062

    TOTAL USA'S  .5 - I HILLION
NOTE: THE 24-HR AVERAGE IS CALCULATED BASED ON THE MIDNIGHT TO KIDNI6HT PERIOD.
      *  LESS THAN 183 DAYS OF DATA
      NO = NO DATA
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
u>
en
            Figure 4-5     United  States map  of  the  highest  second maximum  non-
                           overlapping  8-hour average  carbon monoxide
                           concentration by MSA,  1986.

-------
         Table 4-5.   Highest Second Maximum NonoveHapping  8-Hour Average Carbon Monoxide Concentration  by MSA,  1984-1986,
                                       UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                       OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND ST/.HDASDS
                                       RESEARCH TRIANGl,": FWY, V.CSTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    CARBON MONOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                            PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: > 2 MILLION
NEW YORK, NY
LOS ANGELES-LONG BEACH, CA
CHICAGO, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
DETROIT, MI
4s, WASHINGTON, DC-MD-VA
^ HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON, MA
NASSAU- SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
ATLANTA, EA
MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, MH-HI
BALTIHORE.- KD
CARBON MONOXIDE
HIGHEST 2ND MAX
1984

15
19
11
10
11
14
7
10
10
7
11
13
1*
CONCENTRATION
S-HR N/0 AVG.
1985

16
27
a
8
8
10
8
8
8
6
9
13
10
(PPMJ
1986

15
18
9
8
12
9
10
10
9
9
8
10
12
NOTE: N/n MN-OVERLAPPING
     * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES OF DATA
     NO = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table  4-5
                                           UNITED  STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF AIR  QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                       CARBON MONOXIDE
                    CONCENTRATION BY MSA  POPULATION RANGE
                           PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                                  CARSON MONOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  CPPtlJ
                                    HIGHEST   2ND MAX  8-HR N/0 AVS.
                                                   1985            1986
POPULATION:  > 2 HILLION      (CONTI
               DALLAS, TX
               PITTSBURGH,  PA
               ANAHEIM-SANTA ANA,  CA
               SAN DIEGO, CA
                                     7
                                    10
                                    10
                                     a
10
 9
13
10
 7
10
10
 9
    TOTAL HSA'S  > 2 MILLION
17
 i
CO
00
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
      * LESS THAN 43BO HOURLY VALUES OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                                Table  4-5

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTIOM AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                      CARSON MONOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANGE
PA6E NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
NEWARK, NJ
OAKLAND i CA
CLEVELAND, OH
RIVERSIDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
T^IPA-ST. PETERSBURG-CLEARMATF.R , FL
^ PHOENIX, AZ
i
w MIANI-HIALEAH, FL
SEATTLE, WA
DENVER, CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, PR
KANSAS CITY, MQ-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN
CARBON MONOXIDE
HIGHEST 2N0 MAX
19S4

18
7
7
7
7
17
10 *
10
20
&
7
13
7
CONCENTRATION
8-Hfl N/0 AVG.
1985

11
6
a
a
7
15
10
11
21
12
7
6
7
(PPM>
1986

' 12
7
10 *
8
§
16 *
a
12
26
10
7
a
6
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
      * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table 4-5
                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIAN5LE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                      CARBON MONOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: i - z MILLION (CONTJ
MILWAUKEE, WI
SAN JOSE, CA
NEW ORLEANS, LA
BERGEN-PASSAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
NORFOLK-VIRBINIA BEACH-NEWPORT NEWS, VA
-f=" SACRAMENTO, CA
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN ANTONIO, TX
FORT WORTH- ARLINSTON, TX
PORTLAND, OR-MA
FORT LAUDERDALc-HOLLYMOOD-POMPANO BEACH, FL
aiARLOTTE-BASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
CARBON MONOXIDE
HIGHEST ?ND MAX
19S4

12
10
9
11
8
11
14
9
8
6
10
8
13
CONCENTRATION
8-HR N/0 AVS.
15-85

5
14
9
7
6
8
16
8
7
6
9
7
11
(PPHJ

7
11
7
10
5
6
14
9
9
6
9
4
9
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
      * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES  OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table  4-5

                                           UNITED  STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF  AIR  QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711


                                       CARBON MONOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE                       PAGE NO:
                                                                        CARBON MONOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  tPPM)
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                          HISHF.ST  END MAX  6-HR N/0 AVS.
                                                                         1984            19B5            1986
POPULATION:  1-2 MILLION    CCONT)
               SALT LAKE CITY-OSDEN,  UT                                  11               11               12

    TOTAL HSA'S  1-2 MILLION   :     27
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
      * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                           Table 4-5

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNIHS AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NOHTH CAROLINA  27711
                                       CARBON MONOXIDE
                                                          CONCENTRATION BY MSA POfAATION RANGE
                                                                                                                      PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION
ROCHESTER, NY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
MEMPHIS, TN-AR-MS
^ DAYTON-SPHINSFIELO, OH
j§ niODlfSEX-SOJIEKSET-HUHTERDON, NJ
MCWfllOLfTH-OCEAN, NJ
BIRMINGHAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TN
6REENSBORO-WINSTON SALEil-HIGH POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TROY, MY
ORLANDO, FL
CARBON MONOXIDE
HIGHEST END MA
1984

5
5
13
12
10 *
7
8
& .
10
10 *
11
7
7
CONCENTRATION
X 8-HR N/0 AVS.
1985

4
S
11
a
9
5
7
8
7
ID
7
6
6 *
CPPM)
1986

6
7
11
6
12'
7
6
7
a
10
6 - ' ' 	
7
ND
-NOT.'.: N/0 NON-OVERLAPPING
       * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES OF  DATA
       ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table 4-5

                                          iMiItu STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                      CARBON MONOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL .'JJtA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION ICONT)
HONOLULU, HI
RICHMOND-PETERSBURG, VA
JACKSONVILLE, PL
HARTFORD, CT
SCRANTON-HILKES-BARRE, PA
^ TULSA, OK
i
*• WEST PALM BEACH-BOCA RATON-BELHAY BEACH, FL
CO
SYRACUSE, NY
AKRON, OH
ALLENTQWN-BETHLEHEH, PA-NJ
AUST!f4, TX
8AR-I-HAW10H1I, IN'
GRAND RAPIDS, MI
CARBON HONDXIM
HISHSSr 2h3 nA

6
7
6
12
7
7
4
12
B
&
ND
6
5 *
CONCENTRATION
A 3-HK N/0 AVtt.
198S

6
4
7
12
4
3
IS
5
7
ND
6
7
IPIT1)
1986

4
5
5
11
7
6
ND
11
5
6
ND
5
5
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
      * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES OF  DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table 4-5

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE CF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANSLi PARK, NORTH CARD1 INA  Z7711
                                      CARBON MONOXIDE
CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANSE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION CCONTJ
PROVIDENCE, RI
TOLEDO, OH
RALEXtTri-DURHAM, NC
OMAHA, NE-ZA
TUCSON, AZ
BHEENVILLi-SPARTANBUBG, SC
I
£ KNOXVILLE, TN
OXNARD-VENTUHA, CA
HARBISBURS-Lt&A'iQN-CAPLiliLE, PA
FRISNQ, CA
JERSEY CITY, NJ
WILMINGTON, OE-NJ-HD
BATON ROUSE, U
CARBON MCMOXIDE
HISHEST 2ND MAX
198*

11
11
17
8
ID
ND
9
5
7
11
14
6
3
CONCENTRATION
8-HR N/0 AVS.
1985

10
6
13
5 *
9
ND
6
6 *
11
11
7
5
(PPM)
1986

B
6
14
7 *
6 *
ND
B
6
6
15
10
6
ff-
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
   ,   * LESS THAN M80 HOURLY VALUES OF  DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table  4-5

                                          UNITED STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ASENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR  QUALITY PLAHNINS AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH C.\°™ TNA  27711
                                       C.AHBQN MONOXIDE
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                            PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
CARBON MONOXIDE    CONCENTRATION  (PPM)
 HIGHEST  2ND MAX  8-HR N/0 AVG.
 1984            1985            1986
POPULATION: ,5-1 MILLION 
LAS VESAS, NV
EL PASO, TX
YO'JNGSTOWN-WARREN, OH
TACOMA, HA
SPRINGFIELD, MA
.^ NEW HAVEN-MERIDENi CT

16 »
13 *
5
10
10
6 *

15
13
5
12
7
7

16
12
*
12
10
7
    TOTAL MSA'S  .5-1 MILLION
NOTE: N/O NON-OVERLAPPING
      * LESS THAN 4380 HOURLY VALUES OF DATA
      ND = NO DATA

-------
-t*

01
              Figure 4-6     United States map of the highest annual arithmetic mean
                             nitrogen dioxide concentration by MSA, 1986.

-------
         Table  4-6.   Highest  Annual Arithmetic Mean Nitrogen Dioxide  Concentration  by MSA, 1984-1986.

                                         UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                         OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNINB AND STANDARDS
                                         RESEARCH TRIANSLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA 27711


                                     NITROGEN DIQXI9E   CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE                      PASE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: > 2 MILLION
NEW YORK, NY
LOS ANGELES- LONG BEACH, CA
CHICAGO, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
Br-TOCT, HI
^ VMJHINGTON, DC-MD-VA
^ HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON, HA
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
ATLANTA, 6A
HINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, KN-UX
BALTIMORE, HO
NITROGEN
HIGHEST
1984

.041
.057
.044 B
.040
.025
.032
.029
.044
.035
.033
.026
.019
.034
DIQXIPE CONCENTRATION (PPM)
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1985 1986

.042
.060
.042
.034
.021
.036
.025
.040
.033
.033
.027
.021
.036

.049
.061
.041
.036
IN
.035
.028
.033
IN
.035
.031
.021
.036
NOT!: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED  IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY  VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY  ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED  IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA 1507. OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS! HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      NO = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                           Table  4-5
                                            UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ASENCT
                                            OFFICE Or AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                            RESEARCH TRIAN6LE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        NITROGEN niOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE
                                                                               PAGE NO:
                   METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                                   NITROGEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION  (PPM)
                                    HISHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
                                    1984           1985            1986
 POPULATION:  > 2 MILLION      tCONT)

                DALLAS, TX

                PITTSBURGH, PA

                ANAHEIM-SANTA ANA, CA

                SAN D2E52, CA
                                  .016

                                  .031

                                  .046

                                  .031
.019

.030

.043

.032
.016

.033

.045

,034
     TOTAL MSA'S  > 2 MILLION
17
4»>

00
 NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
       CALCULATFO IF AT LEAST 4300 HOURLY VALUES ARt COLLECTED.
       FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
       24-HR PERIOD tBUBBLERSJ, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
       CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
       OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
       SAMPLINS DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
       ND = NO DATA
       IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
       B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                         Table  4-6
                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PUNNINi AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                      NITROGEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
NEWARK, NJ
OAKLAND, CA
CLEVELAND, OH
RIVERSIDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
TAMPA-ST. PETERSBURG-CLEARWATEH, FL
^ PHOENIX, AZ
l
g MIAMI-HIALEAH, FL
SEATTLE, WA
DENVER, CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, Fa
KANSAS CITY, MO-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN
N/iT^QSEN
HIGHEST
1984

.042
.025
.029
.040
.021
.025
.009
.033
.047
.P29
ND
.018
.030
2ICXIJE CONCFN Wfcl lurt ( PHI 1
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1985 1986

.043
.026
.030
.040
.019
.020
IN
.034
.047
.028
ND
.021
.029

.032
.025
.027
.042
ND
IN
.019
IN
.047
.025
ND
.013
.029
NOTE! FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS,  THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC HEAN  IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380  HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS),  THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (BOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                         Table 4-6

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AMD STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                      NITROGEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
PA6E NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION ICONTI
MILWAUKEE, WI
SAN JOSE, CA
NEW ORLEANS, LA
BERSEN-PASSAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
^ NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH-NEWPORT NEWS, VA
un SACRAMENTO, CA
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN ANTONIO i TX
FORT WORTH-ARLINGTON, TX
PORTLAND, OR-WA
FORT LAUDERDALE-HOLLYWOOO-POMPANO BEACH, FL
CHARLOTTE-SASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
NITROGEN
HIGHEST
1984

.028
.032
.026
.037
.024
.016
.019
.024
.013
.016
IN
ND
.015
DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION (PPMJ
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1965 1966

.026
.035
.023 B
.034
.025
.017
.021
.021
.011
.019
.018
ND
.020

.027
.033
.025
.030
IN
.018
.022
.020
ND
.016
.019
ND
.022
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONI MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table 4-6
                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF  AIR QUALITY PLANNIH3 AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711


                                       NITROGEN DIOXIDE    CONCENTRATION BY USA POPULATION RANGE                       PASE NO:
                                                                        NITROGEN DIOXIDE"   CONCENTRATION  (PPH>
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA                          HIGHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
                                                                         1984            19S5            1986
POPULATION:  1-2 HILLION    (CONTJ

               SALT LAKE CITY-QSDEN,  UT                                 .037             .038             -03§


    TOTAL USA'S  1-2 MILLION   :     27
  i
 en
NOTES FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 43BO HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHHETIC MIAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 OAYS OF 24-HR DATA (BOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFIcraiT bATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC HEAN
      B  - rfEPHESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                         Table  4-6

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ASENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY  PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                      NITROSEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANEE
                                                                                                                     PA5E NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION
ROCHESTER, NY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
MEMPHIS, TN-AR-MS
DAYTON-SPRINGFIELD, OH
I
<£ MIDDLESEX-SQMERSET-HUNTERDON, NJ
MQNMOUTH-OCEAN, NJ
BIRMINGHAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TH
uREENSBORO-WINSTON SALEM-HI6H POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TROY, NY
ORLANDO, FL
NITROGEN
HIGHEST
. 1984

ND
.024
.020
.016
IN
.023
.025
N0
NO
ND
.014
ND
.010
DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION (PPM)
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1985 1986

ND
.024
.019
IN
.016
.021
.023
ND
ND
NO
.015
ND
IN

ND
.025
.019
.032
.024
IN
.024
NO
ND
NO
.018
ND
NO
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS,  THE ANHUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN  IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380  HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT  PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY  CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      HD = NO OATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPfttScNTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                         Table  4-6
                                           UNITED  STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECT. "ON AGENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF AIR  QUALITY  PLANNINS AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TfilANSLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                       NITROGEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION (CQNTJ
HONOLULU, HI
filCHHQND-PETERSBURG, VA
JACKSONVILLE, FL
HAFTIFORD, CT
SCBANTON-HILKES-BARRE, PA
TULSA, OK
-P-
ii WEST PALM BEACH-BOCA RATON-OELRAY W:».CH, PL
W
SYRACUSE, HY
AKRON, OH
ALLENTOWN-BETHLEHEM, PA-NJ
AUSTIN, TX
GARY-HAMMOND, IN
GRAND RAPIDS, MI
NITROGEN
HIGHEST
1984

ND
.024
IN
.021
.020
.018
.015
ND
ND
.024
ND
.010
ND
DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION (PPM)
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
1985 1986

ND
.023
.015
.021
.022
.020
.012
ND
ND
.019
ND
IK
ND

HD
.022
ND
.022
.019
.021
ND
ND
NS
.021
ND
m
ND
NOTE: FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX OF THE EPA RECtWIENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS) HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL .'PiTHMETIC MFAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                         Table  4-6

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PRQYeCilON ASINCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY  PLANNINS  AND STAJOAitDS
                                           S-l-tt-AJJCM TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA   27711
                                       NITROGEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY HSA  POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION CCONTJ
PROVIDENCE, RI
TCiEDO, OH
RALEIGH-DURHAM > NC
OMAHA, NE-IA
TUCSON, AZ
-P» GHEENVILLE-SPARTANBURS, SC
2 KNQXVILLE, TN
OXNARD-VENTURA, CA
HARRISBURG- LEBANON-CAR LISLE > PA
FRESNO, CA
JERSEY CITY, NJ
WILMINGTON, DE-NJ-MD
BATON ROUGE, LA
NITROGEN
HIGHEST
1984

.025
ND
ND
ND
.026
ND
ND
.026
.021
.027
.028
.032
.029 B
DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC ME/
1985

.026
ND
ND
ND
.017
ND
ND
.013
.021
.031
.032
.029
.024
(PPM1
IN
19B6

.025
ND
ND
ND
IN
NO
ND
.028
.022
.032
.032
.029
.022
NOTE! FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECT ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERS), THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADS VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OH AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HR DATA (SOX OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYSJ HAVF BEEN COLLECTED.
      ND = NC DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIENT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  - REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
                                                          Table 4-5

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ASEKCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND  STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARKi  NORTH CAROLINA  £7711
                                       NITROGEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION BY MS4 POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                   PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                                                                      NITROSEN DIOXIDE   CONCENTRATION  CPPMJ
                                                                       HIGHEST    ANNUAL ARITHMETIC HEAN
                                                                       1984            1985            1986
POPULATION:  .5-1 MILLION   (CONTI
               LAS VESAS, NV
               EL PASO, TX
               YOUNSSTQWN-HARREN, OH
               TACOMA, WA
               SPRINSFIELD, MA

               NEW HAVEN-MERIDEN, CT
-fa
I
en
.029

.021

.028

 ND

,025

.031
.021

.024

 ND

 NO

,024

.031
.022

 IN

 KD

 ND

.022

.029
    TOTAL MSA'S  .5-1 HILLION
                                      45
NOTES FOR CONTINUOUS INSTRUMENTS• THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC HEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF AT LEAST 4380 HOURLY VALUES ARE COLLECTED.
      FOR INSTRUMENTS WHICH COLLECf ONLY ONE MEASUREMENT PER
      24-HR PERIOD (BUBBLERSJ, THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN IS
      CALCULATED IF THE DATA SATISFIES THE NADB VALIDITY CRITERIA
      OR AT LEAST 30 DAYS OF 24-HH DATA C50X OF THE EPA RECOMMENDED
      SAMPLING DAYS1 HAVE BEEN COLLECTED.
    .  ND = NO DATA
      IN = INSUFFICIESJT DATA  TO CALCULATE THE ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN
      B  = REPRESENTS A 24-HR BUBBLER MEASUREMENT

-------
-fa
I
cn
en
          Figure 4-7     United  States  map  of  the  highest  second  daily maximum
                         1-hour  average ozone  concentration  by MSA,  1986.

-------
        Table 4-7.   Highest Second Daily Maximum 1-Hour Average  Ozone Concentration  by MSA,  1984-1986.
                                       UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL. PROTECTION AGENCY
                                       OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PUNNING AND STANDARDS
                                       RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        OZONE
CONCENTRATION BY USA POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: > 2 MILLION
NEW YORK, NY
LOS ANGELES- LONG BEACH, CA
CHICAGO, ZL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
DETROIT, MI
f" WASHINGTON, DC-KO-VA
Ul
-J HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON f HA
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
ATLANTA, GA
HINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, HN-HI
BALTIMORE, MD
OZONE
HIGHEST
19S4

.17
.29
.15
.20
.12
.14
.21
.15
.10
.17
.15
.12
.15
CONCENTRATION
1-HR END HISH DAILY
1985

.16
.33
.14
.16
.11
.14 *
.23
.16
.14
.18
.14
.10
.16
(PPH)
MAX
1986

16
34
12
15
12 *
14
20
12
16
16
16
10
15 »
*  LESS THAN 50* «Ji CAYS IN OZONE SEASON
   ND  = NO DAT*.

-------
                                                         Table  4-7

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND  STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                           OZONE
                    CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: > 2 MILLION (CONTJ
DALLAS, TX
PITTSBURGH, PA
ANAHEIM-SANTA ANA, CA
SAW PTf.W, CA
OZONE CONCENTRATION ( PPM )
HISHES' 1-HR END '.J.., DAILY MAX
1984 1985 1986
.16 .16 * .16 *
.11 .12 .12
.26 .28 .22
.20 .21 a9
   TOTAL MSA'S  > 2 HILLION
17
cn
00
 *  LESS THAN SOX OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
    NO  = NO DATA

-------
                                                      Table  4-7

                                       UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION A6ENCY
                                       OFFICE OF AIR qUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                       RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                        OZONE
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE
PAGE NO:
.'FVPOrOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
NEWARK, NJ
OAKLAND! CA
CLEVELAND, OH
RIVERSIDE-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
TAMPA-ST. PETERSBURG-CLEAHHATER, FL
*» PHOENIX, AZ
CJ1
«= MIAMI -HIALEAH, FL
SEATTLE, WA
DENVER, CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, PR
KANSAS CITY, MO-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN-
OZONE
HIGHEST
1984

.12
.15
.1*
.32
.13
.IS
.10
.09
.12
.11
.08
,14
.12
CONCENTRATION (PPM)
1-HR 2ND HIGH DAILY MAX
1985 1986

.14
.14
.12
.34
.13
-13
.13
.11
.11
.11
ND
.15
.12

.13
.13
.12
.30
.12
.14 »
.14
.11
.13
.08
.08 *
.14
.13
LESS THAN 502 OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table 4-7

                                          UNITED  STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE  OF AIR  QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH THIANSLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                           OZONE
                                                        CONCCfTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:

POPULATION:





-P»
cn
o






METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
1-2 MILLION (COKT)
MILWAUKEE, HI
SAN JOSE, CA
NEW ORLEANS, LA
BEHGEN-PASSAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH -NEWPORT NEWS, VA
SACRAMENTO, CA
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN ANTONIO, TX
FORT WORTH-ARLINGTON, TX
PORTLAND, OH-WA
roar LAUDERDALE-HQLLYHOOD-POMPANO BEACH, FL
CHAHLOTTE-GASTONIA-ROCK HILL, NC-SC
OZONE
HIGHEST
1984

.16
.16
.12
.16
.11
.12
.19
.12
.12
.16
.13
.10
.13
CONCENTRATION
1-HR 2ND HIGH DAILY
1985

.15
.15
.12
.1*
.11
.11
.18
.12
.12
.15
.13
.09
.11
(PPM)
MAX
1986

13
12
12
12
11
11
16
11
11
14
IS
11
13
*  LESS THAM -
-------
                                                          Table  4-7

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING  AND  STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                            OZONE
                                                          CONCENTRATION BY Hj.f.  POPULATIC^ RANSE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
    OZONE
HIGHEST
                    CONCENTRATION  t PPM )
              1-HR  2ND HISH DAILY MAX
                  1985            1986
POPULATION*-  1-2 MILLION    (CONT)

               SALT LAKE CITY-QSDEN,  UT
.15
                                                                                        ,16
                               .16
    TOTAL MSA'S  1-2 MILLION
                                      27
 I
 en
 *  LESS THAN 50% OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
    HD = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table 4-7

                                          UNITED  STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE  OF  AIR QUALITY PLANNINS AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                           OZONE
                                                        CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO-'
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION- .5-1 MILLION
ROCHESTER, NY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
MEMPHIS, TN-AR-HS
"f" DAYTON-SPRINGFIELD, OH
1X3 MIDDLESEX-SOMERSET-HUNTERDON, NJ
MONMQUTH-QCEAN, NJ
BIRMINGHAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TN
GREENSBORO-WINSTON SALEM-HIGH POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTABY-TROY, NY
ORLANDO, FL
OZONE
HIGHEST

.11
.11
.12
.15
.13
.12
.19
ND
.11
.13
.11
.09
.11
CONCENTRATION (PPH1
1-HR 2ND HIGH DAILY MAX
1985 1986

.11
.12
.11
.13
.IS
.11
.19
.15
.12
.14
.10
.12
.11

.12
.10
.10
.17
.13
.13
.15
.1*
.12
.11
.12
.11
.12
*  LESS THAN BOX OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
   ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table  4-7

                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNINE  AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANSLE  PANK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                           OZONE
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY MSA  POPULATION RANSE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION (CONT;
HONOLULU, HI
RICHMOND-PETERSBURS, VA
JACKSONVILLE, FL
HARTFORD, CT
SCRANTON-NILKES-BARRE, PA
f2 TULSA, OK
en
w WEST PALM BEACH-BOCA RATON-DELRAY BEACH, FL
SYRACUSE, NY
AKRON, OH
ALLENTOWN-BETHLEHEH, PA-NJ
Ai.!S7Zi4, TX
SARY-HAffilOND, IN
6RAW, HAPIDS, HI
OZONE
HIGHEST

.07
.13
.11
.17
.11
.13

.09
ND
.11
.13
.11
.15
.11
CONCENTRATION ( PPM }
1-HH 2ND HIGH DAILY HAX
1985 1986

.06
.12
.14
.16
.11
.12

.09
.08
.11
.12
.13
.12 *
.11

.0*
.12
.10
.11
.10
.13

.10
.10
.11
.12
.10
.13
.12
*  I',55 THAN SO'/. OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
   ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table 4-7

                                         UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                         OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                         RESEARCH TRIANSl. ; PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                          OZONF
CONCENTR-TION BY HSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION ICONTI
PROVIDENCE, RI
TOLEDO, CH
RALEIGH-DURHAM, NC
011AHA, NE-IA
TUCSON, AZ
*" GREENVILLE-SPARTAN1UR6, SC
** KNOXVILLE, TN
OXNARD-VENTURA, CA
HARRISBURS-LEBANON-CARLISLE, PA
FRESNO, CA
JERSEY CITY, NJ
WILMINSTQN, BE-NJ-HD
BATON ROUGE, LA
OZONE
HIGHEST
1984

.2?
.11
.10
.10
.11
.08 *
.10 *
.17
.12
.15
.11
.14
.16
CONCENTRATION (PPM)
1-HR 2ND HIGH DAILY MAX
1935 1986

.14
.10
.11
.10
.11
.10
.10
.18
.11
.16
.17
.14
.16

.13
.12
.12
.09
.09 *
.10
.10
.18
.11
.17
.13
.14
.13
*  LESS THAN SOX OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
   ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table 4-7

                                           UNITFD STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF  AIR  QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                            OZONE
                                                          CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANSE
                                                                                                                     PAGE NO:
                  METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
    OZOHE         CONCENTRATION  (PPM)
HIGHEST     1-HH  ZKD HIGH DAILY MAX
1984            1985            1986
POPULATION:  .5 - i MILLION   ICONIJ

               LAS VEGAS,  NV

               EL PASO,  TX

               YOUNBSTOWN-WARREN,  OH

               TACOMA,  WA

               SPRINSFIELD, MA

 "^            NEW HAVEN-MERIDEM,  CT
  i
 cn
 CJl
12
16 *
09
09
17
20
.11
.14
.11
.11
.15
.15
.10
.16
.11
.&9
.14
.16
    TOTAL MSA'S  .5-1 MILLION
 *  LESS THAN 50% OF DAYS IN OZONE SEASON
    NO = NO DATA

-------
I
en
01
             Figure  4-3      United States map of the highest maxiiium qjarterly average

                            lead concentration by MSA, 1986.

-------
       Table 4-8.   Highest  Maximum Quarterly Average  Lead  Concentration by MSA,  1985-1986.
                                        UNITED  STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                        OFFICE  OF AIR QUALITY PUNNING AND STANDARDS
                                        RESEARCH THIANBLE PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                 LEAD
CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                               PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: > z MILLION
NEH YORKj NY
LOS ANGELES-LONG BEACH, CA
CHICAGO, IL
PHILADELPHIA, PA-NJ
DETROIT, HI.
•f1 WASHINGTON, DC-HD-VA
cn
""J HOUSTON, TX
BOSTON, MA
NASSAU-SUFFOLK, NY
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL
ATLANTA, SA
HItWEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL, MN-HI
BALTIMORE, WJ
LEAD
HIGHEST
1984

.91
1.03
.68
5.13
.69 Q
.40
.39
.48
.67
2.41
.47 H
1.01
.60
CONCENTRATION t US/TO J
MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
1985 1986

.60
.63
1.05
2.07
.27 H
.21
.26
.43
.45
4.61
.19 M
.89
.37

.53
.44
.48
1.72 *
.20 M
..rr
.12
.19
.14
5.70 *
.15 M
2.09 *
.23
M  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
q  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
*  = THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF INDUSTRIAL PB SOURCES.
     1986 PB LEVELS FOR THE HIGHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITES ARE AS FOLLOWS:
     PHILADELPHIA (0.14 U6/M3), ST. LOUIS (0.35 US/M3) AND MINNEAPOLIS (0.14 UG/H3).
ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                          Table 4-8

                                           UNITED  STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION A6ENCY
                                           OFFICE  OF  AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    LEAD
                                                          CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANG!
                                                                                                                     PA6E NO:
                   HETROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
LEAD                  CONCENTRATION (US/H3)
    HIGHEST   MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
    1984            1985            1986
POPULATION:  > 2 MILLION      CCONTJ
               DALLAS.  TX
               PITTSBURGH,  PA
               ANAHEIH-SANTA ANA,  CA
               SAN DIEGO, CA
  1.52

   .33

   .61

   .53
2.01

 ,24

 .34

 .29
1.42 »

 .18

 .22

 .23
    TOTAL USA'S  > 2 HILL2QN
                                      17
ov
CO
 H  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
 Q  = REPRPSCNIS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
 *  » T:IS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF A PB RECLAMATION PLANT OUTSIDE  DALLAS.
      1986 PB LEVEL FROM THE HIGHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITE IN DALLAS IS 0.09  U6/M3.
 ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table 4-8

                                         UNITED STATES ENVIROMMENTAL PROTECTION ASENCY
                                         OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                         RESEARCH TRIANSLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   LEAD
                                                        CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANSE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: 1-2 MILLION
NEWARK, NJ
OAKLAND, CA
CLEVELAND. CK
RIVERS10E-SAN BERNARDINO, CA
TAMPA-ST. PETERSBURG-CLEARWATER, FL
f> PHOENIX, AZ
CTl
^ HIAMI-HIALEAHi FL
SEATTLE i HA
DENVER, CO
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
SAN JUAN, PR
KANSAS CITY, HO-KS
CINCINNATI, OH-KY-IN
LEAD
HIGHEST
1984

.56
.29
.38 M
.55
.57
1.29
.93
1.56 n
.90 n
.43
1.30
.34
.so n
CONC'".rr..ATION (UG/M3)
MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
1985 1986

.51
.16
.34 H
.31
.31
.72
.56
1.55 M
.70 M
.26
1.26
.41
.25 n

.46
.16
.20 M
.21
.61
.31
.26
1.82 *
.30 M
.20
.30
.OB
.12
M  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
Q  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
»  = THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF INDUSTRIAL PB SOURCES.
     1986 PB LEVEL FROM THE HIGHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITE IN SEATTLE  IS  0.26 US/H3.
ND = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table 4-8
                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR WALITY PLANNING AMD STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK,  NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   LEAD
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION! 1-2 HILHON (CONT)
MILWAUKEE, HI
SAN JOSE, CA
NEW ORLEANS, LA
BERGEM-PASSAIC, NJ
COLUMBUS, OH
•P" NORFOLK-VIRGINIA BEACH-NEHPORT NENS, VA
0 SACRAMENTO, CA
INDIANAPOLIS, IN
SAN ANTONIO, TX
FORT WORTH-ARLINGTON, TX
PORTLAND, OR -HA
FORT LAUDERDALE-HOLLYHOOD-POMPANO BEACH, PL
CHARLOTTE-6ASTONIA-ROCK HILLt NC-SC
LEAD
HIGHEST
1984

.72
.51
.56
.92
.62 K
.33
.47
1.14
.67
.57
i.sa
.13
.44
CONCENTRATION (UB/H31
MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
1985 1966

.61
.42
.22
.62
.MK
.14
.30
1.64
.35
.40
i.oo n
.18
.22

.57
.22
.13
.22
.20 M
.09
.12
2.49 *
.14
.14
.36 H
.09
.10
H  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
9  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
*  = THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF A PB BATTERY PLANT.
     1986 PB LEVEL FROM THE HISHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITE IN INDIANAPOLIS IS 0.14 US/113.
NO = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table 4-8

                                          UNITED  STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE  OF AIR  QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE  PARK. NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                    LEAD
                                                        CONCENTRATION BY USA POPULATION RANGE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
                   HETROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                                                                     LEAO                  CONCENTRATION ( US/Ml J
                                                                        HISHEST   MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVEHA6E
                                                                        1984            1985            1986
POPULATION:  1-2 HILLIOH    ICONTJ

               SALT LAKE CITY-OGDEN, UT
                                                                        .66
                                                                                        .63
                                                                                                         .22
   TOTAL HSA'S  1-2 MILLION
                                     27
 -fa
  I
H  = RPPKE5ENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
e  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
NO = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table  4-8

                                         UNITED STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                         OFFICE OF AIR  QUALITY PLANNING AND STANQARDS
                                         RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   LEAD
CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATIUrl RANGE
PAGE NO:

POPULATION:





•p»
ro






METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
.5-1 MILLION
ROCHESTER, MY
BUFFALO, NY
OKLAHOMA CITY, OK
LOUISVILLE, KY-IN
MEMPHIS, TN-AR-MS
DAYTON-SPRINGFIELD, OH
HIDDLESEX-SOMERSET-HUNTERDON, NJ
MONMOUTH -OCEAN, NJ
BIRMIN6HAM, AL
NASHVILLE, TN
GREENSBORO-WINSTON SALEM-HI6H POINT, NC
ALBANY-SCHENECTADY-TRQY, NY
ORLANDO, FL
LEAD
HIGHEST
1984

.67
.51
.59
.60 H
1.41
,52 H
1.73
NO
5,33
.36
.50
.48
.40
CONCENTRATION (US/M3)
MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
1985 1986

.55
,32
.37
.45 M
.8d
.45 H
.81
ND
1,59
.54
.18
.22
.18

.10
.16
.11
.IS H
.44
.19 M
.36
ND
2.30 *
.17
.10
.13
.07
H  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
B  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
*  = THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF INDUSTRIAL PB SOURCES.
     1986 PB LEVEL FROM THE HIGHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITE  IN BIRMINGHAM IS  0.30 US/M3.
NO = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table  4-8

                                          UNITED STATES  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTIOM A6ENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR  QUALITY PLANKING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TBIANSLE  PARK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   LEAD
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION iANBE
                                                                                                                    PAGE NO:
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION iCOMTJ
HONOLULU, HI
RICHMOND-PETERSBURG, VA
JACKSONVILLE, FL
HARTFORD, CT
SGRANTON-WILKES-BARRE, PA
^ TULSA, OK
to
WEST PALJ1 BEACH-BOCA RATON-DEU3AY BEACH, FL
SYRACUSE i MY
AKRON, OH
ALLEWTOW-BETHLEHEM, PA-NJ
AUSTIN, TX
SARY-HAMMOND, IN
SSAHD RAPIDS, MI
LEAD
HISHEST
1984

1.00
.46
1.26
,57
.46
.75
.33
,46
.46 M
1.13
NO
E-95
.66
CONCEMTRATION (US/M3)
MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
198S 1986

.26
.16
.66
,57 n
.22
.83
.18
.27
.32 H
1.52
.18
12.50
.35"

.19
.OS
-27
.17 tl
,14
.47
.07
.13
.07
.48
.13
1.81 *
.21
n  = REPRESENTS HONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
Q  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
*  = THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF A LEAD BATTERY PLANT IN HAMMOND,  IN.
     1986 PB LEVEL FROM THE "HIGHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITE IN SARY-HAMHOND  IS 0.16 U6/M3.
NO = NO DATA

-------
                                                         Table  4-8
                                          UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                          OFFICE OF AIR QUALITY PLANNING AND STANDARDS
                                          RESEARCH TRIANGLE PADK, NORTH CAROLINA  27711
                                   LEAD
                                                         CONCENTRATION BY MSA POPULATION RANGE
PAGE
METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
POPULATION: .5-1 MILLION (CONTJ
PROVIDENCE* RX
TOLEDO, OH
RALEIGH-DURHAM, NC
OMAHA, Ni-IA
TUCSON, AZ
-j23 6REENVXLLE-SPARTANBURG, SC
•** KNOXVILL6, TN
OXNARO-VENTURA, CA
HARRISBUR6-LEBANON-CAHLISLE, PA
FRESNO, CA
JERSEY CITY, NJ
WLHINSTQN, BE-NJ-MD
r.AiON ROUGE, LA
LEAD
HIGHEST
1964

.50
.19
.54
.91
.59
.65
.43
.29
.34
.60
.94
.63
.58
CONCENTRATION CU6/TB)
MAXIMUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
1965 1986

.53
.11
.18
.75
.sa
.31
.18
.17
.11
.37
.37
.30
.50

.IB
1.E9 M*
.10
.97
.24
.17
.13
.OB
.09
.15
.15
.20
.21
h  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA

-------
                                                          Table 4-8

                                           UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                                           OFFICE OF AIR QIV-.LITY PLANNINS AND STANDARDS
                                           RESEARCH TRIAN61EJ PARK,  NORTH CAR^'.TNA  27711
                                    LEAD
                                                          CONCENTRATION BY HSA POPULATION RANSE
                                                                                                                      PAGE NO:
                   METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA
                                                                     LEAB                  CONCENTRATION (US/Til >
                                                                         HIGHEST   HAXIHUM QUARTERLY AVERAGE
                                                                         1984            1985            1986
POPULATION:  .5-1 MILLION   tcown

               LAS VEGAS, NV

               EIL "Ji3Cr 7X

               YQUNGSTOHN-HARREN, OH

               TACQMA, HA

               SPRINGFIELD, MA

               NEH HAVEN-MERIDEN, CT
-P»

tn
.55
1,60
.31
.47
1.09
.55 H
.27
4,31
.15
.97
.72
.45 M
ND
1.S7 *
.11
.59
.29
.24 M
    TOTAL KSA'S  .5-1 HILLION
 M  = REPRESENTS MONTHLY COMPOSITE DATA
 i  = REPRESENTS QUARTERLY COMPOSITE DATA
 *  a THIS LEVEL REFLECTS THE IMPACT OF A LEAD SMELTER.
      19B6 PB LEVEL FROM THE HIGHEST POPULATION ORIENTED SITE IN EL PASO IS 0.58 US/M3.
 ND = NO DATA

-------
4-76

-------
                 5.  TRENDS ANALYSES FOR  14  URBANIZED  AREAS
     This chapter presents trends in ambient  air  quality  for  the  period
1982 - 1986 in 14 urbanized areas.  The urbanized areas  included  in  these
analyses are Atlanta, GA;  Baltimore, HD;  Boston,  MA;  Chicago, IL-Northwestern
IN; Denver, CO; Detroit, HI; Houston, TX; Los Angeles-Long  Beach,  CA;  New
York, NY-Northeastern NJ;  Philadelphia, PA-NJ;  Phoenix,  AZ; Portland,
OR-WA; Seattle, WA; and St. Louis, MO-IL.  These  areas have been  selected
because they were among the largest cities  in each of the EPA Regions,

     Where sufficient data were available,  trends in  these  areas  are
presented for the criteria pollutants TSP,  SOg, CO, N02,  03,  and  Pb.  Also,
the urbanized areas are grouped into five broad geographic  areas;  East,
Midwest, South, Southwest, and Northwest, and composite  averages  calculated
for each pollutant are presented and are  compared to  the  national  averages.

     The air quality data used for the trend  statistics  in  this chapter  have
been obtained from the EPA National Aerometric Data Bank  (NADB) with addi-
tional limited data taken from State annual  reports.  The monitoring sites
used for the trends analyses had to satisfy the historical  continuity
criterion of 4 out of 5 years of data for the period  1982 to  1986, except
for lead, which required 1 valid quarter per  year. Furthermore,  data for
each year generally had to meet the annual  data completeness  criteria as
described in Section 2.1.

     The urbanized area air quality trends focus  on the  period 1982  through
1986, complementing the 5-year national trends analyses  in  Section 3. The
national trends analyses also produce a 10-year trend (1977 to 1986).
Several of the urbanized areas did not have sufficient data to meet  the  8
of 10-year data completeness criterion, so only the 5-year  trend  is  presented
for these.

     The air quality trends in this chapter (except for  0-j) are based on
information from monitoring sites within  the  urbanized areas  as defined
in the 1980 Census of Population Report prepared  by the  U.S.  Bureau  of
Census.This report defines an urbanized area as a  central  city or cities
and surrounding closely settled territory (urban  fringe).  For 03, since
maximum concentrations generally occur downwind of an urbanized area, down-
wind sites located outside of the urbanized area  boundaries were  used in
the trends analyses.

     Figure 5-1 shows the plotting convention used in trends  analyses.  For
1982-1986, the maximum and minimum values are shown as well as the composite
average of the sites used.  The maximum and minimum values  are measured
concentrations, and values for missing years  were interpolated to calculate
the appropriate averages.  Table 5-1 shows the air quality  statistics used
in the trends analyses for the 14 cities.
                                    5-1

-------
     The air quality data and trends presented  in this  chapter  should  not
be used to make direct city to city comparisons,  since  the  mix,  configuration,
and number of sites composing the area networks are different.   Furthermore,
other parameters, such as population density, transportation  patterns,  indus-
trial composition, emission sources, and meteorological  characteristics,
also need to be taken into consideration.
                                    5-2

-------
               HIGHEST AIR QUALITY STATISTIC AMONG TREND SITES
               COMPOSITE AVERAGE OF ALL TREND SITiS
              I LOWEST AIR QUALITY STATISTIC AMONG TREND SITiS
FIGURE 5-1.  ILLUSTRATION OF  PLOTTING CONVENTIONS FOR  RANGES USED IN
URBANIZED AREA TREND ANALYSIS.
                  TABLE  5-1.  AIR QUALITY TREND STATISTICS AND THEIR
              ASSOCIATED NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS (NAAQS}*
           POLLUTANT


     Total Suspended Particulate**

     Sulfur Dioxide


     Carbon Monoxide


     Nitrogen Dioxide


     Ozone
  TREND STATISTICS


annual  geometric mean

annual  arithmetic mean


second  highest nonoverlapping
8-hour  average

annual  arithmetic mean
     Lead
second highest daily maximum
1-hour average

maximum quarterly average
PRIMARY NAAQS
CONCENTRATION

   75 ug/m3

   0.03 ppm
  (80 ug/m3)

      9 ppm
  (10 tng/m3)

   0.053 ppm
  (100 ug/m3)

   0.12 ppm
  (235 ug/m3)

   1.5 ug/m3
          ug/m3 - micrograms  per cubic meter

          ppm = parts per million

          mg/m3 = milligrams  per cubic meter
     *See Table 2-1 for a  more detailed description  of  NAAQS
    **Replaced by PM^Q on  July 1, 1987 (see Section  3.1)
                                        5-3

-------
5.1  BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS URBANIZED  AREA

     Boston is the largest urbanized  area in  the  State  of  Massachusetts
and the eighth largest in the United  States,  with a  1980 population of
2,678,762.  It includes all  of Suffolk  County and the greater  portion of
Norfolk County, plus portions of Plymouth, Middlesex, Essex, and Worcester
Counties.   The area extends  about 51  miles east to west and about 46 miles
north to south,"at the greatest distances.

     The Boston basin, a territory within a range of hills, has rolling
topographical  physical features, and  is split by  the Charles and Mystic
Rivers.  Because of the confinement,  many tall  buildings and light in-
dustrial,  commercial, and residential  land use complexes are in proximity.
Numerous small factories and a great  diversification of industries are
found in this area, including electrical, food, printing and publishing,
transportation equipment, fabricated  metal, and rubber  products.  Boston  is
the chief United States Atlantic Ocean  fishing port. A large  network of
railroads  and truck lines serves this port.

     The meteorology of the area is complex.   Prevailing winds are from
the northwest in the winter and southwest in  the  summer.   During the summer,
the land sea-breeze effect allows pollutants  to be transported out over the
sea and then returned to the inland area.  The trends graphs are displayed
in Figure 5-2.
                                    5-4

-------
en
                 ANNUAL GBOMETWe MEAN
            80-
                -HAA05--
            60-
            40-
            20-
                    6 SITES
TSP
                    1982   1983   1984  1985  1986
                                YEAR
               ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/M3)
                                                           2-
                                                           1 -
                                                                 2 SUES
Pb
                  1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
                             YEAR
               ANMUAL ARITWMCTC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                                                                       o.oo
                  5SIIES
S02
                                                                                                       0.03- -HMOS—
                                                                                                       O.O2-
                                                                                                       0.01-
                  1982  1983   1984   1985  1986
                              YEAR
                ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
           0.20-
           0.15
           0.10-
            0.05
           0.00
                    3STES
03

                                	I	I	
                    1982   1983  1984  1985   1986
                               YEAR
               ANNUAL ARfTHkCDC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                         o.Oi-
                                                          s.os-
                                                         0.04
                                                         0.03
                                                         0.02-
                                                         O.OJ-
                                                         O.OO
                                                                  2 STTES
N02
                  1982   S83   1984  1985  1986
                              YEAR
              ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                                       20-
                                                                                                       15-
                                                                                                       10-
                                                                                                       5-
                 882   1985   1984  1985   198S
                             YEAR
               Figure  5-2.   Air Quality  Trends in the  Composite Mean and  Range of Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                               for the  Boston,  MA Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.2  NEW YORK. NEW YORK-NORTHEASTERN NEVI JERSEY URBANIZED  AREA

     New York is the largest urbanized area in the United  States with  a
1980 population of 15,590,274.  It includes all of Essex,  Hudson,  and  Union
Counties in New Jersey; all  of Bronx, Kings, Nassau,  New York,  Queens, and
Richmond Counties in New York; parts of Bergen, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris,
Ocean, Passaic, Somerset, and Sussex Counties in New  Jersey;  and parts of
Putnam, Rockland, Suffolk, and Westchester Counties in  New York.   At its
greatest distances, the area extends about 105 miles  east  to  west  and  about
110 miles north to south.

     This urbanized area is located at the mouth of the Hudson  River in the
northeastern part of the United States.  It is the busiest ocean port  in
the United States.  Industries have concentrated in the urbanized  area
because of the proximity to major markets and the easy  access to trans-
portation facilites, making it the leading manufacturing area in the United
States.  Its largest manufacturing industries are apparel  and other finished
products; printing, publishing, and allied industries;  food products;
machinery; chemical and allied products; fabricated metal  products; textile
products; leather and leather products; paper products; auto  and aircraft
production; and shipbuilding.

     New York is close to the path of most frontal weather systems which
move across the United States.  Extremes of hot weather, which  may last up
to one week are associated with air masses moving over  land from a Bermuda
high pressure system.  Extremes in cold weather are from rapidly moving
outbreaks of cold air moving southeastward from the Hudson Bay  region. The
average rainfall is around 41 inches per year.  The trends graphs  for  the
pollutants are shown in Figure 5-3 and depict the trends for 1982-1986.
                                    5-6

-------
CJ1
1
                  ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M3)

00-
80 H
60-
40-
20-
0 -
36





SITES













1 	 C






— -,


TSP





                     1982   1983   1984   1985   1986
                                 YEAR
ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN
                                                           2-
                                                                  15 SITES
                               Pb
                                                              -HAMS—
    1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
               YEAR
                                                                                        ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE
                                                                                                        0.03--
                                                                                                        0.02-
                                                                                                       0.01 -
                                                                                                       0.00
                                                                                                                 SSTTES
                                                                                                                                            S02
                                                                                           1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
                                                                                                      YEAR
                  ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
             0.25-
             0.20-
             0. 15-
             0. 10-
             0.05-
             o.oo
12 SITES
                                                 03
                     1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
                                 YEAR
                                         ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                          0.06-
                                                              -HA«)S—
                                                          0.05-
                                                          0.0«-
                                                          0.03-
                                                          0.02 -
                                                          0.00
BSfTES
                               N02
    1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
               YEAR
                                             ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                          1982  1983  1984   1985   1986
                                                                                                     YEAR
                 Figure  5-3.   Air Quality  Trends  in the Composite  Mean  and  Range of Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
                                 for the  New  York, NY-NJ  Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.-

-------
5.3  BALTIMORE.  MARYLAND URBANIZED AREA

     The Baltimore, MD urbanized area  is  the  14th  largest  in the United
States, with a 1980 population of 1,755,477.   The  area  extends  approxi-
mately 40 miles  north to south and 32  miles east to  west and includes 523
square .miles.  The urbanized area comprises Baltimore  independent city and
parts of Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, and Howard  counties.

     Baltimore is one of the busiest seaports in the United States with
access to the sea through both the Chesapeake Bay  and  the  Chesapeake and
Delaware Canal.   It is located farther west than other  seaports in the
Northeast, and because of the economics of lower transportation costs,
Baltimore is one of the principal transportation routes between the East
Coast and the Midwest.  Its major industries  are shipbuilding,  steel produc-
tion, chemical and fertilizer production, copper refining, sugar refining,
transportation,  and production of aluminum, electronic  equipment, and
numerous other small industries.

     The area is near the average path of the low  pressure systems which
move across the  country, causing frequent changes  in wind  direction which
contribute to the variable character of the weather.  Mountains to the west
and the bay and  ocean to the east produce a net effect  of  more  equable
climate compared to continental locations at  the same  latitude  farther
inland,,  The rainfall distribution throughout the  year  is  rather uniform
and averages about 43 inches per year. Figure 5-4 shows the trends graphs
for the' pollutants.
                                    5-8

-------
tn
10
                ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/W5)
           100-


            80-


            60


            40-


            20-
                   17 SITES
ISP
                   1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
                               YEAR
                ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
           o.zo-
           0.15-
           0, 10-
           0.05
                   7SfIE5
03
                    1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
                               YEAR
              ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/M3)
           2-
7S1TES
Pb
              -NMOS-
                  1992  1983  1984   1985   1986
                             YEAR
               ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                         0.06-
                                                              -HtMK —
                                                         O.OS-
                                                         0.04-
                                                         0.03-
                                                         0.02
                                                         0.01 -
                                                         0.00
2STTES
N02
                  1982   1983   1984  1985  1986
                              YEAR
                                           ANNUAL ARfTHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                                                                       o.oo
                                                                                                                6SITES
                                                                           502
                                                        0,03- -HAMS-
                                                        0.02
                                                        0.01
                                              19B2  1983   1984   1985   1986
                                                          YEAR
                                          ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                                       20-
                                                                                                       15-
                                                                                                       10-
                                                                                                        5-
CO
                                                                                                           -HAAOS
                                              1982   19B3  1984   1985   1986
                                                         YEAR
               Figure  5-4.   Air Quality Trends  in  the  Composite Mean and Range  of Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                               for the Baltimore,  MD  Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.4  PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA-NEM JERSEY  URBANIZED AREA

     The Philadelphia, PA-NJ  urbanized  area is the  fourth largest in the
United States, with a 1980 population of  4,112,933.  It  includes all of
Philadelphia County plus portions  of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery
Counties in Pennsylvania and  portions of  Burlington, Camden,  and Gloucester
Counties in New Jersey.  The  area  stretches about 65 miles east to west and
about 50 miles north to south,  at  its greatest distances.

     Philadelphia is located  in the southeastern corner  of Pennsylvania on
the Delaware River, where the Schuylkill  River flows into the Delaware.
The Atlantic Ocean is 85 to 90  miles down the Delaware River.  Philadelphia
handles more shipping than any  other port in the United  States except for
New York.  The industrial  growth of Philadelphia was due to its proximity
to coal, petroleum, water power, and other  natural  resources.  The leading
industries in Philadelphia are  textiles,  carpets, clothing, paper, chemicals,
and glassware manufacturing,  oil refining,  metalworking, ship building,
printing, and publishing.

     The prevailing winds of  the area are from the  southwest  in the summer
and from the northwest during the  winter.  Maritime air  and the proximity
to the Delaware River contribute to high  humidity and temperatures during
the summer months.  The average rainfall  is around  42 inches  per year.
Figure 5-5 depicts the trends graphs for  the pollutants.
                                    5-10

-------
     ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M3)
               ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN
80-
 60-
40
 20-
        24STfES
TSP
        1982   1983   1984  1985   1986
                    YEAR
                                               5-
                                               4-,
                                               2-
                                                     7SITCS
                           Pb
                  1982   1983  1984   1985   198$
                             YEAR
                                         ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
11 SITES
S02
                                                                                         0.03--HMOS—
                                                                                         0.02-
                                                                                         0.01
                                             1982  1983   1984   1985  1986
                                                        YEAR
     ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
0.20-
0.15
0.10-
0.05-
O.OO
        isms
03
     -NAMS"
         1982  1983  1984   1985   1986
                    YEAR
              ANNUAL ARIT>*CDC AVERAGE (PPM)
          0.06


          O.O5


          0.04


          0.03


          0.02-


          o.ot-
                                             o.oo
ssrrcs
                  1982   1983   «84  1985   1986
                              YEAR
                                         ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                          15-
                                                                                          10-
                                                                                                 10 SUES
                                                                        CO
                                            1982   1983   1984  1985   1986
                                                        YEAR
    Figure 5-5.  Air Quality Trends  in the Composite Mean and Range  of Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                   for the Philadelphia, PA-NJ  Urbanized  Area,  1982-1986,

-------
5.5  ATLANTA. GEORGIA URBANIZED AREA

     Atlanta, the capital  of Georgia and  its largest  city,  is  located  in
the north-central part of  the State.  The urbanized area  is the most
populous between Washington, D.C, and New Orleans, with a 1980 population
of 1,613,357.  The area extends into ten  counties and measures approxi-
mately 40 miles north to south and 35 miles  east to west.  The majority
of the people in the urbanized area live  in  Fulton, De Kalb, and Cobb
Counties.  Approximately 500 square miles of land area are  included in
this urbanized area.

     The city is the financial and commercial  capital of  the Southeast,
the transportation and commercial center  of  the region, and an important
distribution, manufacturing, education, and  medical center.  Since its
location is at the southern extreme of the Appalachian Range,  it has become
the gateway through which  most overland and  air traffic must pass from the
Eastern Seaboard to the West.  Atlanta is a  rapidly growing and expanding
area.  The population increased by 37 percent between 1970  and 1980.

     Atlanta has moderate  summer and winter  weather,  with the  summer winds
from the northwest and the winter winds fluctuating from  southwest to
northwest.  In spite of abundant rainfall, serious dry spells  occur during
most years.  The trends graphs are shown  in  Figure 5-6.
                                    5-12

-------
en
 i
                     ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M3)
                 80-
                     -KWKIS-
                 60-
                 40
                 20-
                        9 SITES
                         1982  M83   1984   1985   1986
                                    YEAR
              ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/M3)
                                                               2~
                                                               1 -
                                                                     1STE
                                              Pb
                  1982   1983   1984  1985   1986
                              YEAR
              ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                                                                          0.03--I
                                                                                                          0.02-1
                                                                                                          0.01-
                                                                                                          o.oo
                                                                                                                   fSITE
                                             $02
                  1982  1983  1984   1985   1986
                             YEAR
                    ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
               0.20-
               0.15-
               0.10-
                0.05
                o.oo
                        2S1TES
03
                        «S2   19B3   1984   1985  1986
                                    YEAR
               ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                             0,06-
                                                             0.05-
                                                             0.04-
                                                             0.03
                                                             0.02-
                                                             a.oi -
                                                             a.oo
                  2SnES
N02
                  19B2   1983   SB*  1985   1986
                              YEAR
             ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG, (PPM)
                                                                                                          15-
                                                                                                          10-
                                                                                                           5-
1SITE
CO
                                                                                                              -NMQS-
                 1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
                            YEAR
                   Figure 5-6.   Air  Quality Trends in  the  Composite Mean and Range  of Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                                   for  the  Atlanta,  6A Urbanized  Area, 1982-1986.

-------
5.6  CHICAGO, ILLINOIS-NORTHWESTERN INDIANA URBANIZED  AREA

     The Chicago urbanized area covers  approximately 1300  square miles  and
includes 6,770,000 people.  It is the third largest  area in  the nation  in
population, with approximately 75 percent  of the population  living in Cook
County.  The remaining 25 percent live  in  parts of Lake, Du  Page and Will
Counties in Illinois and portions of Lake  and Porter Counties  in Indiana.

     The urbanized area runs from Waukegan (near the Wisconsin border)
around Lake Michigan to Chesterton, Indiana to the east.   The  southern  and
western boundaries of the area are very irregular.  To the south, the area
extends as far as Crown Point, Indiana  and Park Forest South in Illinois.
The area extends as far west as Bartlett,  West Chicago, and  Napierville,
all in Illinois.

     Economically, Chicago is a major center for transportation,
manufacturing, and commercial  enterprises.  In transportation, Chicago  has
the largest air and rail traffic in the country.  Because  of Chicago's
location and large manufacturing concerns, it has developed  an extensive
highway network for local and through traffic.  Additionally,  the Port  of
Chicago on Lake Michigan has developed  into an important inland port for
raw materials and point of transfer for the Great Lakes-Atlantic trade.
Among Chicago's chief manufactures are  food products,  primary  metals
(steel), and both electrical and nonelectrical machinery.

     Chicago occupies a relatively flat plains area  bounded  by Lake
Michigan to the east.  The climate is predominately  continental, with
relatively warm summers and cold winters.   Temperature extremes are some-
what altered by Lake Michigan and other Great Lakes.  Annual precipitation
is on the order of 33 inches per year.   Figure 5-7 shows the trends for all
the pollutants in the urbanized area.
                                    5-14

-------
en
i
                 ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M*)
               ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/M3)
ANNUAL ARTTHMET1C AVERAGE (PPM)

120-

100-

80-

60 -

40-
20 -
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                    1982  19B3  1984   1985  1986
                               YEAR
                   1982  1983   1984  1985   1986
                              YEAR
    1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
               YEAR
               ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
          0.20-
          0. 15-
          0 .05 -
          o.ooj
                  12SfTES
03
                   1982  1983   SB4   1985  1i86
                              YEAR
                ANNUAL ARTOMEnC AVERAGE (PPM)

0.06-
0.05-
0.04-
0.03-
0.02-
0.01-
o no-
13


I


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                    1982  1983   1984  1985   1986
                               YEAH
 ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                                      15-
                                                                                                      10-
                                                                                                       5-
    6 SUES
CO
    1982   1983  1984   1985   198i
               YEAR
               Figure 5-7.   Air Quality Trends  in the  Composite  Mean  and  Range  of  Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                              for the Chicago,  IL-IN Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.7  DETROIT, MICHIGAN URBANIZED AREA

     The Detroit urbanized area is the  fifth  largest  in the United States,
with a 1980 population of 3,809,327.  The  urbanized area includes Macomb,
Monroe, Oakland, and Wayne Counties,  with  a total  land area of  approxi-
mately 870 square miles.  Slightly less than  60  percent of the  urban area
population lives in Wayne, with the remainder about equally divided between
Macomb and Oakland Counties.

     Economically, Detroit is a major center  for the  manufacturing of
automobiles, trucks, and other heavy  equipment.   As such it has developed
iron and steel facilities and other manufacturing to  support  the principal
industries.  Because of Detroit's location between Lake Huron and Lake Erie
and of its manufactured goods, it has become  a major  seaport  in foreign
trade.

     Detroit is located in a relatively flat  plain between Lake Huron and
Lake Erie, which serves to moderate the predominately continental climate
with relatively warm summers and cold winters.  Annual precipitation is
approximately 31 inches per year.  Figure  5-8 shows the trends  for all the
pollutants in the urbanized area.
                                    5-16

-------
   ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M3)
ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/M3)
ANNUAL ARTTHMCTC AVERAGE (PPM)
120-
100-
80-
iO-
40-
20-
0-
24 SITES

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1882 1983 1984 1985 1986
YEAR
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ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
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0.02-
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1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
YEAR

ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
0.06-
0.05-
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0.03-
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0.00-
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ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
7STCS CO



      1982   1983  1984  1985   1986
                 YEAR
     1982  1983  1984   1985  1986
               YEAR
   1582   1983  1984   1985  1986
             YEAR
Figure 5-8,   Air Quality Trends  in  the Composite Mean and Range  of Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
               for the  Detroit, MI  Urbanized Area, 1982-1986,

-------
5.8  HOUSTON. TEXAS URBANIZED AREA

     The Houston urbanized area is the tenth largest in the United  States
with a population of 2,412,664.  It includes almost all  of Harris County
and very small portions of six other counties.   The urbanized  area  extends
about 55 miles east to west and 45 miles  north  to south and covers  a  total
of approximately 750 square miles.  The City of Houston has a  population of
1,595,138 and is located west of Galveston Bay  about 50 miles  inland  from
the Gulf of Mexico.

     Houston is a major seaport, particularly for petroleum products, and
it has many refinery and petrochemical complexes along the Houston  Ship
Channel, which runs approximately 20 miles eastward from the Houston  center
city to Galveston Bay.  The area is in the Sunbelt, has a mild climate
moderated by the Gulf of Mexico, and is one of  the fastest growing  of all
the major urbanized areas.  The population has  increased 44 percent since
1970.  Figure 5-9 shows the trends of the six pollutants during the study
period.
                                    5-18

-------
               ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (\JG/M*)
ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/MJ)
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
10
160-
140-
120-
100-
80-
60-
40-
20-
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YEAR
ANNUAL SECOND DAILY
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0.02-
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1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
YEAR
ANNUAL SECOND MAXMUM 8-HR AVG, (PPM)
4STTES CO




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                  1982  1963   1984   1985  198i
                             YEAR
   1982   1983  1984  1985   1986
             ffiAR
             YEAR
            Figure 5-9,   Air Quality  Trends  in  the Composite  Mean and  Range  of Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                           for the Houston, TX Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.9  ST.LOUIS. HISSOURI-ILLINOIS URBANIZED  AREA

     The St. Louis, MO-IL urbanized area is  the llth  largest  in the United
States, with a 1980 population of 1,848,590.  This  population reflects  a
loss of 33,354, or 1.8 percent, since the 1970 census.   The urbanized area
includes all of St. Louis independent city and parts  of  three counties  in
Missouri, including St. Louis County, and parts of  three counties in
Illinois,

     The urbanized area is divided by the Mississippi River,  the boundary
between Missouri  and Illinois.  The Missouri River  branches from the
Mississippi  just north of the urbanized area and  further subdivides the
urbanized area's northwest section.  The area is  centrally located, with
commerce and the distribution of goods playing an important part in the
area's economy.  There is heavy industry on  the Illinois side, especially
steel manufacturing, smelting, and chemical  processing.  Along the Misissippi
River, there are large numbers of fuel burning electric  generating plants.
At its widest point, the urbanized area extends 48  miles east to west and
32 miles north to south, and encompasses approximately 509 square miles.

     The area's continental  climate is somewhat modified by its location
near the geographic center of the United States.  The area enjoys four
distinct seasons, with the cold air masses to the north  in Canada and the
warm air masses to the south in the Gulf of  Mexico  alternating in control
of the weather.  Figure 5-10 depicts the trends of  the six pollutants
during the study period.
                                    5-20

-------
                  ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UCjA*3)

160-
140-
120-
100-
80-
60 -
40-
20-
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                     1982  1983   1984   1985  1986
                                 YEAR
                                             ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN
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                                                           1 -
                                                                 3 SUES
                                                                            Pb
                                                 1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
                                                            YEAR
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                                                                      0.03--NA*QS«—
                                                                                                      0.00
                                                                                                               10 SITES
                               S02
   1982  1383   1984   1985  1986
               YEAR
en
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ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
           0.20
           0.15-
            o. 10-
            o.os-
            o.oo
                    12
                    1982   1983   1984  1985  1986
                                YEAR
                                                              ANNUAL ARfTHMETlC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                                                                          ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                         0.06-
                                                         , 0 . 05 -
                                                          0.04-
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                                                  1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
                                                             YEAR
  1982   1933   1984  1985  1986
              TEAR
                Figure  5-10.   Air Quality Trends  in the Composite Mean  and Range  of  Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
                                 for the St.  Louis,  MO-IL  Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.10  DENVER, COLORADO URBANIZED AREA

     The Denver urbanized area had a 1980  population  of  1,352,070,
including all of Denver County plus portions  of  Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder,
Douglas, and Jefferson Counties.  At the maximum boundaries, the urbanized
area extends about 27 miles east to west and  26  miles north to south.

     Denver, the capital  of Colorado, is located at the  western edge of the
great plains of the midwest, with the Rocky Mountains just to its west.
Denver is one of the highest cities in the United States, with an altitude
of about 1 mile above sea level.

     Although manufacturing is slight compared to other  cities of similar
populations, Denver does  have manufacturing industries for rubber goods and
luggage.  Other industries include food processing, milling, printing,
publishing, steel  processing, machinery manufacture,  and power generation.
Denver has a large stockyard, with the largest sheep  market in the
United States.  In recent years, many energy  concerns have located their
headquarters in Denver.

     The meteorology in Denver is unique in that air  masses from at least
four different sources influence the weather  in  the urbanized area.  These
sources are polar air from Canada and the  far northwest, moist air from the
Gulf of Mexico, warm dry  air from Mexico and  the southwest, and Pacific air
modified by the passage overland.  Since Denver  is a  long distance from any
moisture source and is separated from the  Pacific by  high mountains, it
generally has low relative humidity and an average precipitation of only 14
inches per year.  Figure  5-11 shows the trends graphs for the pollutants.
                                    5-22

-------
    ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/M3)
ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)

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       1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
                  YEAR
    1982  1983   1984   1985  Ibo6
               YEAR
   1982  1983  1984   1985  1986
             YEAR
Figure 5-11.   Air Quality  Trends  in the  Composite Mean  and Range of Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
                for the Denver, CO  Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.11  LOS ANGELES-LONG BEACH, CALIFORNIA URBANIZED AREA

     The Los Angeles-Long Beach urbanized area is  the  second  largest in  the
United States, in both population and land area.   The  area  has  a  population
of 9,479,436 according to the 1980 census and measures 70 miles from east
to west, and 71 miles from north to south.  The area stretches  90 miles  in
its longest dimension, that is, northwest to southeast and  contains approxi-
mately 1,700 square miles.  The urban area comprises parts  of Los Angeles,
Orange, and San Bernardino Counties.

     The urbanized area is a flat area bounded by  the  Pacific Ocean on the
west and south, and by the San Gabriel  and San Bernardino Mountains on the
north and east.  The meteorology in the area is complex, with frequent
occurrences of strong persistent temperature inversions, particularly
during the period of May through October.  The wind pattern is  dominated by
a land-sea breeze circulation system that sometimes allows  pollutants to be
transported out to sea at night, only to return inland during the ensuing
daylight hours on the sea breeze.

     Although automotive sources contribute the bulk of the emissions, the
area has a lot of manufacturing and service related industries, as well  as
petroleum refining and production, chemical plants, fuel burning  electric
utilities, and numerous industrial boilers contributing to  pollution levels,
The climate is mild-and along with the high incidence  of sunlight and
latitude of the area, is conducive to a year-long  ozone season.  Figure
5-12 shows the trends of the six pollutants during the study  period.
                                  '  5-24

-------
                                                         ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN
                                                 ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)


120-
100-
80-
60-
40-

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                 1982   1983  1984   1985  1986
                            YEAR
                  YEAR
                                                               YEAR
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             ANNUAL SEOND DALY MAX 1-Hi

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17 SITES 03



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1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
YEAR
                                                          ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
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0.02

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                                  H02
        1982   1983  884   1985  1986
                   YEAR
                                                 ANNUAL SECOND MAXMJM 8-tiR Am (PH»Q

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                                                                                                              1983   S64  1985
                                                                                                                    YEAR
                                                                          1986
              Figure  5-12.   Air  Quality Trends in  the Composite Mean  and Range of Pollutant-Specific Statistics
                              for  the Los Angeles -  Long Beach,  CA Urbanized  Area,  1982-1986.

-------
5.12  PHOENIX, ARIZONA URBANIZED AREA

     The Phoenix urbanized area is one of the fastest  growing  major
urbanized areas in the country.  The population  increased  by 65  percent
between the 1970 and 1980 census, from 863,357 to 1,409,442.   The  urbanized
area extends 51 miles east to west and 32 miles  north  to south.  Phoenix
itself has a population of 789,704.

     The Phoenix urbanized area is in the Sunbelt and  has  moderate to warm
winters and hot summers.  The "Valley of the Sun",  as  the  area is  called,
averages sunshine 86 percent of all the possible sunshine  hours, with only
7 inches of rain per year.  Mountainous terrain  is  north,  east,  anl south of
Phoenix.  The differential cooling of the desert and the mountains, coupled
with a nightime drainage wind flow pattern,  causes  pollutants  to be trans-
ported away from Phoenix during the day only to  return later during the
night.

     The "Valley of the Sun" is primarily a  tourist area,  with approximately
6 million annual visitors.  Accordingly, the economy is primarily  commercial
and service oriented.  Although tourism is high, among the 75  largest
metropolitan areas, Phoenix has the smallest number of miles of  freeways.
Figure 5-13 illustrates the trends for all the pollutants  in the urbanized
area.
                                    5-26-

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  ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M )

140-
120-
100
80-

60-
40-
20-
n -
69TCS BP

T V>-~— 4— — c,


- NnMS-4 	 i 	 • - '•




      1982  1983  1984   1985  1986
                                        ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MIAN (UG/M3)
                                          1 -~
                                          oj
                                                8STFES
                                            -NM05—
                                                                     Pb
                                           t982   1983  198*   1985   1986
                                                      YEAR
                                                                                                SO,
                                                                                         INSUFFICIENT DATA
 ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
                                        ANNUAL AMMMOIC AVERAGE fPM)

0,20-

0. IS-
C'. 10-
O.05-
fi nn ~
7 SiTCS 03

T
^^^[_J^T
1

1982  19B3   884
           YEAR

0.07-
o.os-
0,05-
0.04-
0.03-
0.02-
0.01 -
0.00-
ISfTE ^)02



«v
x-^^-^


                                                                                       ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                   20-
                                                                                   15-
                                                                                   10-
                                                                                    5-
                                                                                          7SfIE5
                                                                                          1982  t983   1984  1985  1986
                                                                                                     YEW?
Figure 5-13.   Air Quality Trends in  the Composite  Mean  and Range of  Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
                for the  Phoenix,  AZ Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

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5.13  PORTLAND, OREGON-WASHINGTON URBANIZED  AREA

     The Portland urbanized area covers  approximately  300  square miles and
includes over 1,020,000 people.  Approximately  50  percent  of  the population
lives in Multnomah County,  and the rest  live in  parts  of Clackamas  and
Washington Counties in Oregon and part  of  Clark  County, Washington.   The
urbanized area is bounded roughly by Hazel Dell  and  Orchards  in Washington
to the north; Forest Grove, Oregon to the  west;  Troutdale  and Gresham to
the east; and Beaver Creek  to the south.

     Until the 1940s, Portland was largely a commercial and transportation
center.  With the introduction of relatively cheap hydroelectric power in
the 1940s, metallurgical  and chemical  industries augmented the ongoing
commerce of the area.

     The Portland area is about 65 miles from the  Pacific  Ocean and is
partially shielded from the maritime climate by  the  surrounding hills and
mountains.  The winds are generally southeasterly  during the  winter and
northwesterly during summer.  The average  precipitation for the area is 37
inches, and typically 88 percent of the  rainfall  occurs in the months of
October through May.  The trends graphs  for  all  pollutants are shown in
Figure 5-14.
                                    5-28

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                 ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN (UG/M3)
100-


 80


 60-i


 40


 20-
                     15 SITES
                     1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
                                YEAR
                                                 ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/W3)
                                                          2-
                                                    6SITES
Pb
                                                             -HA*OS- —
                                                    1982   1983  1984  1985   1986
                                                               YEAR
               ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                                                                     o.oo
                                                                                                              2SfTES
502
                                                                                                     0.03- -HJUOS-
                                                                                                     0.02 -
                                                                                                     O.OI -
                  1982   1983   1984  1985   1986
                              YEAR
in
i
ro
                  ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-HR (PPM)
             0.2Q-
             0.15-
             0. JO-
             0.05-
                     3 SITES
                                    03
                            ~r~~	~^r"
                     1982   1983   1984  1985   1986
                                 YEAR
                                                                  INSUFFICIENT  DATA
                                                                                              ANNUAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                                      15-
                                                                                                      10-
                                                                                                       5-
                  5 SITES
CO
                                                                                                 1982   1983  1984   1985   1986
                                                                                                            YEAR
                 Figure  5-i4.   Air Quality Trends  in the  Composite Mean and  Range of  Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
                                 for the Portland, OR-WA Urbanized Area,  1982-1986.

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5-14  SEATTLE-EVERETT, WASHINGTON URBANIZED AREA

      The Seattle-Everett urbanized area,  which includes  Seattle,  Everett,
Bellevue, and other smaller towns, ranks 20th nationally  in  population
size, with a 1980 population of 1,391,535.  Tacoma,  even  though  adjacent to
Seattle, is a separate urbanized area and is not included.   The  area  covers
approximately 410 square miles, and most of the population  (approximately
85 percent) lives in King County, with the remainder in Snohomish  County.

     Seattle's location on Puget Sound, with a good  harbor and ready  access
to the Pacific Ocean, made the city an ideal location for commerce to
develop in the timber trades.  Beginning with the early timber trade,
Seattle has grown to be a major port city in foreign trade,  leading to
growth in manufactured products and development of other  transportation
facilities.

     Seattle is located 100 to 150 miles inland from the  Pacific Ocean and
is bounded on three sides by the Cascade and Olympic mountain  ranges, which
moderate the Pacific maritime and continental climates.   The sheltering
from the climates to the east and west of the mountain ranges  provides a
rather mild winter and summer.  Annual precipitation is approximately 34
inches, most of which falls between October and March. Figure 5-15 depicts
the trends for all the pollutants in the urbanized area.
                                    5-30

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                    ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEAN
               80
               60-
                40-
                20-
                       12 STIES
                           TSP
                       1982   1983   1984   1965   1986
                                   YEAR
                                                                  ANNUAL MAX QUARTERLY MEAN (UG/1^3)
                                                               8-
                                                               6-
                                                               4-
                                                                      6 SITES
                                              t982   J983  19B4   1985   1986
                                                         YEAR
                                                                                        ANNUAL ARITHMETIC AVERAGE (PPM)

O.OS-
0.02-
0.01 -
o.oo-
3STTES S02
.^ 	

0 	 ir III
11 | X $

                                             1982   1983   1984   1985  1986
                                                         YEAR
ui
OJ
                    ANNUAL SECOND DAILY MAX 1-Hi (PPM)
               0.20-
               0. 15-
               0. 10-
                0.05-
                0.00
6SfTES
                        1982   1983   1984  1985  1986
                                    YEAR
                                          ANNUAL ARfTHMCTC AVERAGE (PPM)
                                                             0.06-
                                                             0.05-
                                                             0.04-
                                                             0.03-
                                                             0.02-
                                                             0.01-
                                                                  -KAJIQS—
                                                             0.00
2 SUES
N02
                                              1982   1983  1984  1985   1986
                                                         YEAR
                                         ANMJAL SECOND MAXIMUM 8-HR AVG. (PPM)
                                                                                                           15-
                                                                                                           10-
                                                                                                            5-
8SITES
CO
                                             1982  1983   1984   1985   1986
                                                        YEAR
                  Figure  5-15.   Air  Quality Trends in  the  Composite Mean and Range  of Pollutant-Specific  Statistics
                                    for  the  Seattle,  WA Urbanized  Area, 1982-1986.

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5.15  AIR QUALITY TRENDS FOR FIVE GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS

     The previous sections include year to year individual  urbanized  area
1982 to 1986 trends for the six criteria pollutants.  Table 5-2,  developed
from these trends, presents a pollutant-specific summary  of the overall
changes in concentration levels for each of the 14 urbanized areas.   These
14 areas are grouped according to five arbitrarily arranged geographic
areas:  East, Midwest, South, Southwest, and Northwest.   The breakdown by
urbanized area is as follows:

      East - Boston, New York, Baltimore, Philadelphia
      Midwest - Chicago, Detroit, St. Louis
      South - Atlanta, Houston
      Southwest - Denver, Los Angeles, Phoenix
      Northwest - Portland, Seattle

     Composite geographic area averages of the overall  5-year change  in
air quality concentrations have been prepared.  In the individual  geogra-
phic area averages, each city has equal weight, regardless of the number
of monitors operating.  For comparison to the national  trends, however,
each city's input is weighted by the number of monitors operating for a
given pollutant.  The following discussion addresses these findings.
Table 5-2.  Percent Change in Air Quality Trend Statistics1982to 1986

                               TSP_     Pb_    S02     CO     NOo     0

National
- 3
-68
-11
-13
- 1
- 4
East
Midwest
South
Southwest
Northwest
Weighted
Boston
New York
Philadelphia
Baltimore
Detroit
Chicago
St» Louis
Atlanta
Houston
Denver
Phoenix
Los Angeles
Portland
Seattle
Average^
- 1
- 8
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 5
- 2
+17
-28
-11
+11
+10
+ 9
+ 6
- 5
-80
-78
- 8
-79
-74
-63
-57
-85
-8ic
-77
_64a
-74
-76
-71
-69
-15
-17
-19
-25
-33
-11
'-12
Ob
7
-26
-
-30
O.a
-10
-18
-49
-12
-12
+14
- 2
-43
-17
-27
- 5
+ 3
- 2
-16
-30
- 3
-15
+13
- 7
- 4
+ 7
+10a
- 7
- 3
+19
-10
+18
-36*
- 5
—
-25
- 4
- 4
-13
- 8
- 5
-20
- 9
+ 4
+20
-12
0
+ 1
-14
+ 7
- 3
- 7
aTrend based on 1982-1985 data
bTrend based on 1983-1986 data
cExtrapolated 5-year trend based on 4-year trend
^Weighted by number of monitors in each city for comparison to national
 average
                                   5-32

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5.15.1  TSP Trends
     The trend of the weighted average  of  the 14  cities  trend of 5 percent
is similar to the nation's downward  trend  of  3 percent during the 1982 to
1986 period.  On a region-specific basis,  the East,  Midwest, and South
had decreasing trends of 4 percent,  5 percent, and 6 percent, respectively,
while the Southwest and the Northwest had  increasing trends of 3 and 8
percent, respectively.  However,  the TSP trend reported  last year for the
1981 to 1985 time period shows a  major  change from the 1982 to 1986
period.  The 1981 to 1985 national trend showed a decrease of 18 percent,
and the 14 city weighted average  showed a  decrease of 17 percent, compared
to the 1982 to 1986 5-year drops  of  3 and  5 percent, respectively.  The
last year that glass fiber filters were used  w,as  1981, which may have
biased the data high because of artifact formation.^ in 1982, filters
were used which eliminated the artifact formation.   The  decrease in the
national TSP levels from 1981 to  1982 was  14  percent. This 14 percent
decrease is of almost the same magnitude as the difference in the drop
between the 1981 to 1985 trend and the  1982 to 1986  trend.  Such situations
illustrate the need to evaluate the  conditions of the beginning or base
year on a short term trend analysis. Although the 14 city weighted
average trend was similar to the  national  average trend, the individual
cities varied from a plus 17 percent in Atlanta to a minus 28 percent in
Houston.  The decrease in Houston is a  consistent annual  decrease occurring
over at least the last 5 to 6 years. The  increase in Atlanta has all
occurred in the last year and is  perhaps more heavily influenced by
meteorology.

5.15.2  Pb Trends

     The national trend for lead  shows  a 68 percent  decrease, and the 14
city weighted average shows a 69  percent decrease.   On a regional basis,
the consistency is remarkable as  well.  The East  and Midwest had decreas-
ing trends of 61 percent and 65 percent, respectively, the South had an
83 percent decrease, the Northwest a drop  of  74 percent, and the South-
west a 71 percent drop.  The only city  to  deviate significantly from the
norm was Philadelphia, which showed  a decrease of only 8 percent for the
1982 to 1986 period.  One site in Philadelphia is a  source oriented site
located near a plant which manufactures lead  oxide pigment for paint.   If
this site is eliminated from the  analysis, the remaining 6 sites, traffic
oriented, still show only a 12 percent  decrease.  However, one of these
remaining sites shows an increase of 146 percent  between 1982 and 1986.
This site is downwind of a major  interstate highway, and major construc-
tion has occurred in the vicinity and will continue  in the vicinity over
the next few years.  It is suspected that  the construction activity is
causing the reentrainment of dust containing  deposited Pb particles,
which would account for the increasing  Pb  levels  monitored at this site.
If this site is also eliminated from the analysis, the remaining 5 traffic
oriented sites reflect a decrease of 53 percent,  which more closely
follows the national drop of 68 percent.
                                   5-33

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5.15.3  SOgTRENDS

     The weighted average of the 14 cities  showed  an  18  percent decrease
compared to an 11 percent decrease in  the national  average.   The  East and
Midwest both had a 19 percent decrease.   The Southwest exceeded the -
national trend with an average decrease  of  29 percent, while  the  North-
west and the South had substantially lower  decreases  of  5  percent and 4
percent, respectively.  While none of  the individual  cities had a posi-
tive trend over the time period, 2 cities,  Portland and  Atlanta,  showed
no change in SOg levels.  These cities are  among the  cities having the
lowest measured SOp averages of the 14 cities studied.

5.15.4  CO TRENDS

     Similar to the other pollutant primarily attributable to motor
vehicle emissions, lead, the trends in CO are remarkably uniform  within
each geographic area when compared to  the .national  average.   The  East,
Midwest, South, Southwest, and Northwest areas decreased,  respectively,
by 15, 21, 16, 10, and 17 percent.  The  overall weighted average  decrease
of 15 percent is close to the national composite average decrease of 13
percent.  Of the individual cities, Boston  and Chicago stand  out  as
examples of exceptionally large decreases,  49 percent and  43  percent,
respectively.  The 49 percent decrease in Boston is attributable  to the
abnormally high CO levels recorded in  1982, and this  overshadowed even a
modest increase between 1985 and 1986.  Chicago, however,  has been showing
a strong decrease each year since 1983,  and 1986 continues this trend.

     On the other hand, the only two cities to experience an  increasing
trend over the 1982 to 1986 time period, Baltimore with  14 percent and
Denver with 3 percent, also experienced  increases  in  CO  levels during the
1985 to 1986 period.  The State of Maryland pointed out, however, that
the Baltimore data indicated that the number of exceedances  at the worst
site decreased by 67 percent over the 1982  through 1986  period and the
apparent increase in the second maximum  8-hour period represents  the
severity of meterological inversions rather than a general increase in.CO
levels.

5.15.5  NO? Trends
     Data for NO? trends analyses continue to be sparse in many of the
cities used.  Although the 14 city weighted average trend of minus 4
percent compares favorably with the national  trend decrease of 1 percent,
the range in the trend values for the individual cities spans from a
decrease of 36 percent to an increase of 19 percent.  These extreme
variations are observed only in those cities having 3 or fewer monitors,
The range of the trend values from the 6 cities having 5 or more NOg
monitors is much less, from 0 to a 10 percent decrease.  On a geographical
basis, the East had a 2 percent increase, the Midwest had no change, the
South a B percent increase, and the Southwest a drop of 8 percent.   The
Northwest, which was based on 1 city, Seattle, with only 2 monitors, had
a 25 percent decrease.
                                   5-34

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5.15.6  0-3 Trends

     The national composite trend of a minus 4 percent is exceeded by  the
14 city weighted average trend of 7 percent.  The East and the Midwest
lead the decrease with 8 percent.  The South had a 4 percent increase, the
Southwest a 4 percent decrease, and the Northwest an increase of 2 percent.

     A close inspection of the trend graphs for the 14 cities shows that
1983 was an unusual  year that favored elevated ozone levels.  The reasons
for this were elaborated in prior trend reports, but meteorology, pri-
marily the elevated  summer temperature and available sunshine, was the
prime contributor.  Twelve of the 14 cities showed a substantial  increase
from 1982 to 1983, while the two cities in the northwest recorded rninor
decreases.  In 1984, the meteorological conditions were more typical,  and
all 14 cities showed a decrease.  The average increase between 1982 and
1983 of the 14 cities was 12 percent, and the decrease between 1983 and
1984 was 12 percent.  This change is three times the average decrease  of
4 percent for the 14 cities between 1982 and 1986.  With 1983 serving  as
the base year of a 5 year trend period, the trend could show a misleadingly
high level of improvement.  The following year, either a lower level of
improvement or a possible degradation in air quality may be indicated
merely by changing the base year.
                                   5-35

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5.16  REFERENCES

1.  1980 Census  of Populatlon,  PC 80-1, U. S.  Bureau of Census,  Washington,
    W,December 1981.
                         * US. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1 a » »5 •> R-n 
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                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing}
 . REPORT NO.
  EPA  450/4-88-001
                                                   3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO,
A. TITLE AND SUBTITLE

 National  Air Quality and Emissions Trends  Report,  1986
                                                   5. REPORT DATE
                                                      February  1988
                                                           6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
               < Huntj  Jr1. NO, OF PAGES
                                       20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                                          Unclassified
                                                                 22. PRICE
 EPA Form 2220-1 (Rav. 4-77)    PREVIOUS EDITION is OBSOLETE

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