EPA Contract EP-W-09-024
                        Work Assignment 1-06
                         December 2010
    Environmental Technology
    Verification Program
    Environmental and Sustainable
    Technology Evaluations
    Report

    ESCATECH, INC.
    D-LEAD® PAINT TEST KIT
    QUALITATIVE SPOT TEST KIT FOR LEAD IN PAINT
              Prepared by
               Battelle

              Baiteiie
             Tnc Business of Innovation
                for
        wEPA
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
ET1/ET1/ET1/

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                              EPA Contract EP-W-09-024
                                Work Assignment 1-06
                                  December 2010
    Environmental Technology
        Verification Program
  Environmental and Sustainable
      Technology Evaluations
                Report
ESCATECH, INC.
D-LEAD® PAINT TEST KIT
QUALITATIVE SPOT TEST KIT FOR LEAD IN PAINT
                  By
     Stephanie Buehler, Dale Rhoda, and Bruce Buxton, Battelle
        Julius Enriquez and Evelyn Hartzell, U.S. EPA
                 Battelle
              Columbus, Ohio 43201

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                                        Notice

Funding for this verification test was provided under  Contract No. EP-W-09-024,  Work
Assignments 4-16, 0-06, and 1-06, Office of Pollution Prevention, and Toxics, US EPA.  The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, through its Office of Research and Development, managed
the research described herein. It has been subjected to the Agency's peer and administrative
review and has been approved for publication. Any opinions expressed in this report are those of
the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect  the views of the Agency, therefore,  no official
endorsement should be inferred. Any mention of trade names or commercial products does not
constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
                                           11

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                                      Foreword

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is charged by Congress with protecting the
Nation's land, air, and water resources. Under a mandate of national environmental laws, the
Agency strives to formulate and implement actions leading to a compatible balance between
human activities and the ability of natural systems to support and nurture life.  To meet this
mandate, EPA's research program is providing data and technical support for solving
environmental problems today and building a science knowledge base necessary to manage our
ecological resources wisely, understand how pollutants affect our health, and prevent or reduce
environmental risks in the future.

The National Risk Management Research Laboratory (NRMRL) is the Agency's center for
investigation of technological and management approaches for preventing and reducing risks
from pollution that threaten human health and the environment.  The focus of the Laboratory's
research program is on methods and their cost-effectiveness for prevention and control of
pollution to air,  land, water, and subsurface resources; protection of water quality in public water
systems; remediation of contaminated sites, sediments and groundwater; prevention and control
of indoor air pollution; and restoration of ecosystems. NRMRL collaborates with both public
and private sector partners to foster technologies that reduce the cost of compliance and to
anticipate emerging problems. NRMRL's research provides solutions to environmental
problems by: developing and promoting technologies that protect and improve the environment;
advancing scientific and engineering information to support regulatory and policy decisions; and
providing the technical support and information transfer to ensure implementation of
environmental regulations and strategies at the national, state, and community levels.

This publication has been produced as part of the Laboratory's strategic long-term research plan.
It is published and made available by EPA's Office of Research and Development to assist the
user community and to link researchers with their clients.
                                         Sally Gutierrez, Director
                                         National Risk Management Research Laboratory
                                           in

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                                 Acknowledgments

The authors wish to acknowledge the support of all those who helped plan and conduct the
verification test, analyze the data, and prepare this report. We also would like to thank Al
Liabastre, ret. U.S. Army Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine; David Jacobs,
National Center for Healthy Housing; Kenn White, American Industrial Hygiene Association;
Larry Franklin, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Coordinating Center for
Environmental Health and Injury Prevention, National Center for Environmental Health, Lead
Poisoning Prevention Branch; and Moira Lataille and Michael Crane, U.S. EPA for their careful
review of the test/quality assurance plan and this verification report.  Quality assurance oversight
was provided by Michelle Henderson, U.S. EPA,  and Zachary Willenberg and Rosanna Buhl,
Battelle.
                                           IV

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                                      Contents
Notice	ii

Foreword	iii

Acknowledgments	iv

List of Abbreviations and Acronyms	viii

Chapter 1 Background	1

Chapter 2 Technology Description	2

Chapters Test Design and Procedures	4
   3.1 Introduction	4
   3.2 Test Facility	5
   3.3 Test Procedures	5
       3.3.1 Test Sample Collection,  Storage, and Shipment	8
       3.3.2 Test Sample Analysis Procedure	8

Chapter 4 Quality Assurance/Quality  Control	11
   4.1 Quality Control Samples	11
       4.1.1 ICP-AES Blank Sample  Results	11
       4.1.2 ICP-AES Matrix Spike Samples and Calibration Verification Standards	11
       4.1.3 Test Kit Quality Controls and Blank PEMs	12
   4.2 Audits	13
       4.2.1 Performance Evaluation  Audits	13
       4.2.2 Technical Systems Audit	13
       4.2.3 Audit of Data Quality	13

Chapters Statistical Methods	15
   5.1 False Positive and False Negative Rates	15
   5.2 Precision	16
   5.3 Sensitivity	16
   5.4 Modeled Probability of Test Kit Response	16
       5.4.1 Logistic Regression Model Building Steps	16
       5.4.2 Accounting for Measurement Error - SIMEX Background and Intuition	17
       5.4.3 SIMEX Input and Analysis	18
       5.4.4 Goodness of Fit	19
   5.5 Matrix Effects	20
   5.6 Operational Factors	20

Chapter 6 Test Results	21
   6.1 False Positive and False Negative Rates	21
   6.2 Precision	25
   6.3 Sensitivity	28
   6.4 Modeled Probability of Test Kit Response	29

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   6.5  Matrix Effect	43
   6.6  Operational Factors	44

Chapter 7 Performance Summary	46

Chapter 8 References	49

Appendix A  Performance Evaluation Materials Summary Information	A-1
   Al  Preparation of Performance Evaluation Materials	A-3
   A2  Comparison of Expected vs. Actual Lead Concentrations of Performance Evaluation
       Materials	A-19
   A3  Q A/QC Results for the ICP-AES Analysis of Performance Evaluation Materials	A-22

Appendix B  Vendor Comments	B-l
                                         Figures
                       ®
Figure 2-1. The D-Lead  Paint Test Kit [[[ 2

Figure 2-2. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit color standard comparisons .................................................. 3

Figure 6-1. Probability curves that represent test kit results that are both perfect (red line) and
within RRP rule criteria (black solid line) [[[ 34

Figure 6-2. Probability curves with shaded region to denote performance results that meet RRP
rule false positive and negative criteria.  Test kits with curves that fall within the white region
and avoid the shaded region meet the RRP rule [[[ 35

Figure 6-3. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with
90% prediction interval (dotted lines) for a technical operator evaluating grey paint topcoat on
various substrates [[[ 36

Figure 6-4. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with
90% prediction interval (dotted lines) for a technical operator evaluating red paint topcoat on
various substrates [[[ 37

Figure 6-5. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with
90% prediction interval (dotted lines) for a technical operator evaluating white paint topcoat on
various substrates [[[ 38

Figure 6-6. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with

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Figure 6-8. D-Lead  Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with
90% prediction interval (dotted lines) for a non-technical operator evaluating white paint topcoat
on various substrates	41

                                         Tables

Table 3-1. PEMs Testing Scheme for Each Test Kit	6

Table 6-1. The number of panels in each false positive and false negative analysis category.... 22

Table 6-2. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit false positive results for panels with confirmed lead levels <
0.8 mg/cm2 and false negative results for panels with confirmed lead levels > 1.2 mg/cm2	23

Table 6-3. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit	24

Table 6-4. Actual lead levels and their replicate set labels	25

Table 6-5. The number of panels at each target level and the number in each replicate set bin . 26

Table 6-6. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit consistency results by operator type, lead type, substrate, and
lead level	27

Table 6-7. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit precision results by lead type and operator type	28

Table 6-8. D-Lead®  Paint Test Kit sensitivity results - lowest lead level for which the kit gave
consistent positive results (mg/cm2)	29

Table 6-9. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit univariate associations between probability of positive
response and explanatory variables	29

Table 6-10.  D-Lead® Paint Test Kit multivariable  Stata SIMEX logistic regression parameter
estimates	30

Table 6-11.  D-Lead® Paint Test Kit modeled probability of positive test results and upper 95%
prediction bound when lead level = 0.8 mg/cm2	31

Table 6-12.  D-Lead® Paint Test Kit modeled probability of positive test results, lower 95%
prediction bound, and corresponding conservative estimate of the false negative rate when lead
level = 1.2 mg/cm2	32

Table 6-13.  D-Lead® Paint Test Kit false positive and negative threshold values (95%
confidence) based on the modeled probability of test results	43
                                           vn

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                     List of Abbreviations and Acronyms
AMS
ASTM
CCV
COC
CRM
EPA
ESTE
ETV
ICP-AES
LCS
mg/cm2
mL
MSDS
NLLAP
PE
PEM
ppb
PT
QA
QC
QCS
QMP
RRP
SOP
ISA
Advanced Monitoring Systems
American Society for Testing and Materials
continuing calibration verification
chain of custody
certified reference material
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Environmental and Sustainable Technology Evaluations
Environmental Technology Verification
inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectrometry
laboratory control spike
milligrams per centimeter squared
milliliter
material safety data sheets
National Lead Laboratory Accreditation Program
performance evaluation
performance evaluation material
parts per billion
performance test
quality assurance
quality control
quality control sample
quality management plan
Renovation, Repair, and Painting
standard operating procedure
technical systems audit
                                       Vlll

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                                      Chapter 1
                                     Background
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) supports the Environmental Technology
Verification (ETV) Program to facilitate the deployment of innovative environmental
technologies through performance verification and dissemination of information. The goal of the
ETV Program is to further environmental protection by accelerating the acceptance and use of
improved and cost-effective technologies. ETV seeks to achieve this goal by providing high-
quality, peer-reviewed data on technology performance to those involved in the design,
distribution, financing, permitting, purchase, and use of environmental technologies.

ETV works in partnership with recognized testing organizations; with stakeholder groups
consisting of buyers, vendor organizations, and permitters; and with the full participation of
individual technology developers. The program evaluates the performance of innovative
technologies by developing test plans that are responsive to the needs of stakeholders,
conducting field or laboratory tests (as appropriate), collecting and analyzing data,  and preparing
peer-reviewed reports. All evaluations are conducted according to rigorous quality  assurance
(QA) protocols to ensure that data of known and adequate quality are generated and that the
results are defensible.

This verification test was conducted under the U.S. EPA ETV program.  Testing was performed
by Battelle, which served  as the verification organization under the Environmental  and
Sustainable Technology Evaluations (ESTE) arm of ETV. Battelle evaluated the performance of
qualitative spot test kits for lead in paint.

This verification test was developed with the support of a stakeholder technical panel. A
voluntary stakeholder technical panel consisting of individuals from the American Industrial
Hygiene Association (Kenn White), U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
(Warren Friedman), National Institute for Occupational  Safety and Health (Kevin Ashley), U.S.
Army Center  for Health Promotion and Preventative Medicine (Al Liabastre), National Center
for Healthy Housing (David Jacobs), National Association of Homebuilders (Matt Watkins), the
U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission (Joanna Matheson), the Center for Disease Control
and Prevention (Larry Franklin), and U.S. EPA (Paul Carroll and Moira Lataille) was formed for
this verification test. Participants on this panel were reviewed and approved by EPA.  This panel
gave input during the entire ETV process, including providing guidance and input on the
development  of the performance evaluation materials used in this test, on the development of the
test design and test/QA plan, and comments on this report.

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                                      Chapter 2
                               Technology Description
This report provides results for the verification testing of D-Lead  Paint Test Kit for lead-based
paint by ESCA Tech, Inc. The following is a description of the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit, based on
information provided by the vendor. The information provided below was not verified in this
test.

                                            The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit (Patent Pending)
                                            (see Figure 2-1) is a rapid chemical spot test that
                                            detects the presence or absence (more or less
                                            than 1.0 milligram of lead per square centimeter
                                            (mg/cm2)) of lead in surface coatings.  This test
                                            selectively dissolves the lead from the paint
                                            sample with a proprietary solvent followed by a
                                            color change reaction with sulfide ion.  A visual
                                            comparison to a color standard is then used to
                                            determine the presence of lead and its level.
                                            The only  known interference is mercury which
                                            was used in marine coatings.  Metals that form
                                            dark, colored complexes with sulfide ion except
                                            lead and mercury are excluded from reaction
                                            with the sulfide ion by the use of the proprietary
                                            extracting solution.
                       " i
Figure 2-1.  The D-Lead  Paint Test Kit
                                            The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit can also be used to
determine if chromate is present in a coating.  When the sample is first placed into the extracting
solution the presence of chromium can be determined by the instant appearance of a faint pale
yellow tint, which does not interfere with the subsequent lead determination.

The test uses pre-measured test reagents. Use of a sampling tool enables the operator to collect a
consistently-sized sample.  Collection of a small sample minimizes the damage to the surface.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit test procedure consists of collecting a 3/16" diameter circle paint
sample with the sample tools provided in the kit, and transferring the sample to a bottle of
Solution 1. Five to six drops of Solution 2 are added to the bottle containing the sample.  The
sample color is observed through the viewing window and compared to the color standard
printed on the bottle (see Figure 2-2).  When the test is completed the sample and used supplies

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are placed in the Waste Disposal Bag. The Waste Disposal Bag contains a neutralizing
absorbent that renders the used test supplies non-hazardous.
                                           No Lead
                                           Detected
Lead Present -
below US EPA
Regulated limit
Lead Present -
above us EPA
Regulated limit
Figure 2-2. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit color standard comparisons
While most paint samples that contain lead will give an immediate color reaction for a complete
test in 2 to 4 minutes, there are two instances where a longer extraction time is required. These
occur when the lead coating is located in the middle of multiple paint layers, or when the paint
sample does not release from the substrate and the substrate is tested along with the paint.  If the
test is not conclusively positive immediately after the addition of Solution 2, the paint sample is
set aside for 10 minutes, shaken, and the final determination is then made.
           ®
The D-Lead  Paint Test Kit, item number PTKIT-24-1.0, includes 24 tests, with 144 tests per
case.  At the time of the writing of this report, the 24 test kit has a suggested retail price of
$84.50. A home version (Part number PTKIT-6-1.0) includes six tests and has a suggested retail
price of $28.97.

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                                      Chapter 3
                            Test Design and Procedures
3.1 Introduction
This verification test was conducted according to procedures specified in the Test/QA Plan for
Verification of Qualitative Spot Test Kits for Lead in Paint1 Lead-based paints were commonly
used in houses in both interior and exterior applications prior to 1978, when the US government
banned the use of lead-based paint in residential applications.  The term lead-based paint means
paint or other surface coatings that contain lead at contents that equal or exceed a level of 1.0
milligrams per centimeter squared (mg/cm2) or 0.5 percent by weight.2 This paint still exists in
many of these houses across the country. The accurate and efficient identification of lead-based
paint in housing is important to the Federal government as well as private individuals living in
residences containing such paints. Renovation, repair, and painting (RRP) activities may disturb
painted  surfaces and produce a lead exposure hazard. Such disturbances can be especially
harmful to children and pregnant women as lead exposure can cause neurological and
developmental problems in both children and fetuses.  In fact, because of the large amount of
pre-1978 housing stock, a report by the President's Task Force on Environmental Health Risks
and Safety Risks to Children found that approximately 24 million US dwellings were at risk for
lead-based paint hazards.3

There are lead-based paint test kits available to help home owners and contractors identify lead-
based paint hazards before any RRP activities take place so that proper health and safety
measures can be taken. However, many of these test kits have been found to have high rates of
false positives (i.e., test kit indicates that lead in excess of 1.0 mg/cm2 is present, while in fact
the true lead level is below 1.0 mg/cm2).4  This verification test was conducted in response to the
call of the Renovation, Repair, and Painting rule2 for an EPA evaluation and recognition program
for test kits that are candidates to meet the goal of a demonstrated probability (with 95%
confidence) of a false negative response less than or equal to 5% of the time for paint containing
lead at or above the regulated level, 1.0 mg/cm2 and a demonstrated probability (with 95%
confidence) of a false positive response  less than or equal to 10% of the time for paint containing
lead below the regulated level, 1.0 mg/cm2. This test incorporated ASTM International's El828,
Standard Practice for Evaluating the Performance Characteristics of Qualitative Chemical Spot
Test Kits for Lead in Paint5  guidelines into the test design.

The objective of this verification test was to evaluate the performance of the test kits for the
detection of lead in paint. This evaluation assessed the capabilities of the lead paint spot test kits
against laboratory-prepared performance evaluation material (PEM) samples and compared the

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lead paint test kit results with those of a standard technique, inductively coupled plasma-atomic
emission spectrometry (ICP-AES). Additionally, this verification test relied on verification
testing staff observations to assess other performance characteristics of the lead paint test kits.
Only qualitative results (e.g., detect/non-detect of lead at specified levels) were considered for
each technology.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was verified by evaluating the following parameters:

•   False positive and false negative rates
•   Precision
•   Sensitivity
•   Modeled probability of test kit response
•   Matrix effects
•   Operational factors.

Verification testing of the test kit was conducted from January to June 2010. This timeframe
included testing of the test kit and also completion of all ICP-AES and QC analyses.  False
positive and negative rates were determined by comparing test kit responses to actual lead
concentrations of the PEM as determined through ICP-AES. Precision was determined by
reproducibility of responses for replicate samples.  Sensitivity was determined as the lowest
detectable level of the test kit.  The modeled probability and matrix effects were determined
using logistic regression models.

Operational factors such as ease of use, operator bias, average cost, average time for kit
operation, helpfulness of manuals, and sustainability metrics such as volume and type of waste
generated from the use of each test kit, toxicity of the chemicals used, and energy consumption
were determined based on documented observations of the testing staff and the Battelle
Verification Test Coordinator. Operational factors were described qualitatively, not
quantitatively; therefore, no statistical approaches were applied to the operational factors.


3.2 Test Facility

Laboratory analyses of the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit were conducted in Battelle laboratories in
Columbus, Ohio. No field testing was conducted during this technology verification.
3.3 Test Procedures

Qualitative spot test kits for lead in paint were evaluated against a range of lead concentrations in
paint on various substrates through the use of PEMs. PEMs were 3 inch by 3 inch square panels
of wood (pine and poplar), metal, drywall, or plaster that were prepared by Battelle.6 Pine and
poplar were chosen for the wood panels as they are representative of woods most commonly
found in homes.  Table 3-1 shows the PEMs prepared for each test kit. Poplar and pine PEMs
were distributed in random mixtures (e.g., two poplar and one pine or one poplar and two pine)
for each set of three wood PEMs listed in Table 3-1 .  Each PEM was coated with either white
lead (lead carbonate) or yellow lead (lead chromate) paint.  The paint contained lead targeted at

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Table 3-1.  PEMs Testing Scheme for Each Test Kita
Lead Type
Control Blank
White Lead
(Lead Carbonate)
Yellow Lead
(Lead Chromate)



Lead Level
(mg/cm2)
0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
Substrate
Wood
Metal
Dry wall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Painted PEMs Subtotal
PEMs Analyzed Per Test Kit by Topcoat Color
White
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
156
Red-Orange
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
156
Grey-Black
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
156
Unpainted PEMs Subtotal (2 per each substrate)
Total
Total
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
468
8
476
 Actual number of PEMs used to evaluate performance at specific lead levels varied based on actual concentrations observed during analysis.

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0.3, 0.6, 1.0, 1.4, 2.0, and 6.0 mg/cm2. These lead concentrations were chosen with input from
the stakeholder technical panel based on criteria provided in EPA's lead RRP rule as well as to
represent potential lead levels in homes. Paint containing no lead (0.0 mg/cm2) was also applied
to each substrate and tested.

Two different layers of paint were applied over the leaded paint. One was a primer designed for
adhesion to linseed oil-based paint and the second coat was a typical interior modern latex paint
tinted to one of three colors: white, red-orange, or grey-black. These colors were chosen by
EPA, with input from the stakeholder technical panel, based on the potential of certain colors to
interfere or not with lead paint test kit operations. The topcoat paint manufacturers'
recommended application thickness was used. Two coats at the recommended thickness were
applied. Details on the PEM production process can be found in Appendix A.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit for lead paint was operated by a technical and non-technical
operator. The technical operator was a Battelle staff member with laboratory experience. The
technical operator was trained by a representative of the vendor company in the operation of its
test kit.  The same technical operator operated this test kit throughout testing. Because this lead
paint test kit is anticipated to be used by certified remodelers, renovators, and painters, it was
also evaluated by a non-technical operator.  The non-technical operator was a certified renovator
with little to no experience with lead analysis. The non-technical operator was provided the
instruction manual, demonstrational DVD, and other materials typically provided by the vendor
with the test kit for training. The non-technical operator viewed the materials himself to
understand how to operate the test kit. The non-technical operator was also permitted to ask
questions or clarifications of the vendor on the operation of the test kit.  This scenario
approximated the training renovators are expected to receive under the RRP rule.

Tests were performed in duplicate on each PEM by each operator, technical and non-technical
(i.e., two samples were taken from each PEM by each operator). Duplicates were tested in
succession by each operator on a given PEM. PEMs were analyzed blindly by each operator in
that the PEMs used for analysis were marked with a non-identifying number. Test kit operators
were not made aware of the paint type, lead level, or substrate of the PEM being tested. PEMs
were tested in random order (i.e., PEMs were placed in plastic bins and the operators arbitrarily
selected a PEM for analysis).  To determine whether the substrate material  affected the
performance of the test kits, two unpainted PEMs of each substrate were tested using each test
kit, in the same manner as all other PEMs (i.e., per the test kit instructions). Three PEMs at each
lead level, substrate, and topcoat color were prepared for use in this test.  In total, 468 painted
PEMs were prepared for use in the verification test of each test kit.

Paint chip samples from each PEM were analyzed by a National Lead Laboratory Accreditation
Program (NLLAP) recognized laboratory, Schneider Laboratories, Inc., using ICP-AES to
confirm the lead level of each PEM used for testing. The paint chip samples for reference
analyses were  collected by Battelle according to a Battelle SOP7, which was based on ASTM
E1729.8 The reference analyses confirmed the lead level of each PEM. Lead levels determined
through the reference analysis were used for reporting and statistical analyses.

The procedures for collecting, storing, and shipping test samples are provided below.

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3.3.1  Test Sample Collection, Storage, and Shipment

Chips of lead paint were taken from each PEM and sent for ICP-AES analysis at a NLLAP-
recognized laboratory, Schneider Laboratories, Inc. A glass screw-top vial was labeled with the
PEM identification number located on the back of the panel.  The number was also recorded on
the Chain  of Custody (COC) form. Sampling was performed per the Battelle SOP for collection
of dried paint samples for lead determination. All safety precautions and personal protective
equipment were used. A one inch square, metal template was placed adjacent to the tested area.
A utility knife was used to trace around the template. Tweezers and a utility knife were used to
scrape and remove the paint within the one inch area, using caution to minimize introduction of
the substrate into the paint sample. The topcoat and remaining paint were transferred to a
glassine weighing paper with the assistance of a paintbrush.  The sample was then transferred
from the glassine paper into a glass vial using the paintbrush. All instruments and templates were
wiped with tissue paper and the bench top was cleaned and gloves were changed between each
sample to  minimize contamination. The paint brush was carefully flicked and tapped over a trash
can to remove any residual lead dust. All wipes and gloves were disposed of as lead waste. The
vials were then collected into a zip-top bag and taped up securely for shipping. The bags and
COC were then shipped together using overnight delivery to Schneider Laboratories, Inc.

Paint chip samples were stored at room temperature as received by Schneider Laboratories, Inc.
and then analyzed by ICP-AES.  Analytical results were reported to Battelle within 2-3 days.
Sample digests were stored separately by Schneider Laboratories, Inc. at room temperature.

PEMs were stored individually in zip-top bags.  The back of each PEM was labeled with an
identifying number. The outside of the zip-top bag was labeled with the same number. Each
PEM was  wrapped in a Kimwipe and each zip-top bag was sealed when not in use. The zip-top
bags containing the PEMs were housed in large plastic bins in the laboratory during testing.

3.3.2  Test Sample Analysis Procedure

All solutions and components, except for a hammer, necessary for the operation of the  D-Lead®
Paint Test Kit were packaged together and ready for use.  The test kit contained the following
items.  Test Solution 1 was provided in a 20 mL clear plastic bottle with the Test Standard,
Viewing Window, and identifying labels printed directly onto the plastic bottle; 24 Test Solution
1 bottles capable of one test each were provided in each kit.  Test Solution 2 was contained in a
20 mL plastic dropper bottle, providing enough reagent for at least 24 tests.  The D-Lead® Paint
Test Kit also included 25 D-Wipe® Cleaning Towels individually wrapped in pouches and 25
Sample Catch Trays, which consisted of a pad of sticky note paper with printed simplified
instructions and fold lines depicting the procedure for constructing a Catch Tray.  The kit also
included a Waste Disposal Bag.  The Waste Disposal Bag was a resealable, clear plastic bag
containing loose sorptive, neutralizing media that rendered the contents to be non-hazardous for
disposal. All test materials were labeled for identification and instructions for use. The D-Lead®
Paint Test Kit also included a scoring tool, razor blade with a safety handle, and a cleaning rod to
clean the scoring tool.  A hammer was also needed to collect the paint sample, but was not
included with the test kit as the vendor presumed it to be readily available from the end user.

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In preparation for each sample, large pre-moistened D-Wipe® Cleaning Towels were used to
clean the bare work surface of dust and paint remnants from previous tests as necessary. Clean
white letter paper was placed on top of the clean work surface to capture any stray sample during
collection, as recommended by the vendor (the sample catch trays provided with the test kit were
placed under the sample area for vertical surfaces).  To track samples through the testing process,
each PEM sample identification number was recorded on the lid of the Test Solution 1 container.
One side of the individually-wrapped D-Wipe® Cleaning Towel was used to wipe clean the
Cleaning Rod. The D-Wipe® Cleaning Towel was then wrapped around the tip of the Cleaning
Rod, with the clean side against the Cleaning Rod, and the Cleaning Rod was then inserted into
the  Scoring Tool several times for cleaning. The soiled side of the D-Wipe® Cleaning Towel
was then used to clean the outside and tip of the Scoring Tool and the razor blade until debris
were no longer visible.  The sampling area was gently wiped clean using the clean side of the
same D-Wipe® Cleaning Towel. The spent towel was then discarded into the Waste Disposal
Bag. One Sample Catch Tray was creased along its top fold line only and set close to the PEM
for  collection. This was recommended by the vendor to prevent the Sample Catch Tray from
clinging to the letter paper.

Every sample, regardless of substrate type, was collected by the operator using the Scoring Tool.
The operator placed the Scoring Tool tip-down on the sampling location and struck with a
hammer such that it penetrated the paint surface, extracting a 3/16" diameter sample. If the
sample became lodged within the Scoring Tool, the Cleaning Rod was inserted through the
opposite end of the Scoring Tool to dislodge the sample onto the Sample Catch Tray. The razor
blade was then gently depressed over the  sample to divide it into four to six smaller pieces.  Any
remaining paint within the  3/16" circle was scraped onto the Sample Catch Tray  using the razor
blade. If the sample remained attached to the PEM, the operator used the razor blade to score the
paint within the 3/16" circle two times in  each direction.  The razor blade was then used to
carefully scrape all of the paint within this area onto the Sample Catch Tray.

After the operator collected the sample, the Sample Catch Tray was used to funnel the entire
sample into Test Solution 1.  The Test Solution 1 bottle was then capped and agitated by gentle
shaking for 10 seconds. Immediately after, five drops of Test Solution 2 were added to the Test
Solution  1 bottle, which was again agitated by gentle shaking for 10 seconds. The color of the
product was then compared to the Test Standard.  The operator viewed the solution through the
Viewing Window against a piece of clean, white letter paper backdrop.  If the operator judged
the  product to be darker than  the Test Standard, the operator recorded that the sample contained a
concentration of lead greater than 1.0 mg/cm2.  If the operator judged the product to be lighter or
the  same as the Test Standard, the product was allowed to react, un-agitated, for not less than 10
minutes or more than 20 minutes before the operator observed it again. The product was then re-
agitated for 10 seconds  and compared to the Test Standard again. If the operator still judged the
product to be lighter than the  Test Standard, the operator determined that the sample contained
lower than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead.  If the operator judged the product to be darker or the same as the
Test Standard, the operator determined that the sample contained greater than 1.0 mg/cm2 lead.

The operator took a duplicate sample using the same Sample Catch Tray and, as  suggested by the
vendor, without cleaning the Cleaning Rod, Scoring Tool, or razor blade prior to use. After the
result of the duplicate sample was determined, the Test Solution 1 bottle and contents, Sample

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Catch Tray, and D-Wipe® towel were placed into the Waste Disposal Bag. The use of the Waste
Disposal Bag allows for disposal of the bag in the regular trash, according to the vendor.
However, in following laboratory protocol, all Waste Disposal Bags were disposed of with the
lead waste generated during this verification test. The Scoring Tool, Razor Blade, and Cleaning
Rod were re-used for additional testing.  Each Scoring Tool was replaced after taking 20 samples
or as necessary, as recommended by the vendor.
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                                      Chapter 4
                        Quality Assurance/Quality Control


QA/QC procedures were performed according to the quality management plan (QMP) for the
Battelle ETV Advanced Monitoring Systems (AMS) Center9, except where differences were
noted for ESTE per the EPA ETV Program QMP10, and the test/QA plan for this verification
test.1  Test procedures were as stated in the test/QA plan; however a deviation to the test/QA plan
was made during the ICP-AES analyses. For some sample runs, continuous calibration
verification (CCV) samples were run once every 20 instead of 10 samples. This deviation is
described below.  This change was assessed to have  no impact on the quality  of the results as
described below.  QA/QC procedures and results are described below. Additional information
on QA/QC outcomes for the PEMs is provided in Appendix A.
4.1 Quality Control Samples

Steps were taken to maintain the quality of data collected during this verification test. This
included analyzing specific quality control samples for the reference method (ICP-AES) and the
test kit.

4.1.1 ICP-AES Blank Sample Results

Various blank samples were analyzed for the ICP-AES analyses. Method blank samples were
analyzed in each set of 10-20 paint samples to ensure that no sources of contamination were
present. An initial calibration blank was analyzed at the beginning of each run and used for
initial calibration and zeroing the instrument. A continuing calibration blank was analyzed after
each CCV to verify blank response and freedom from carryover. No blank samples failed during
the analyses.
4.1.2 ICP-AES Matrix Spike Samples and Calibration Verification Standards

Initial calibration standards were run at the beginning of each set of analyses. The acceptance
criterion for the calibration coefficient of the calibration standards was > 0.998. If this criterion
was not met, the analysis was stopped and recalibration was performed before samples were
analyzed.  A 500 parts per billion (ppb) CCV standard was analyzed at the beginning of each run
(following the initial calibration), at the end of each run, and every 10-20 samples. CCV
recoveries ranged from 96% to 108%.  Per the test/QA plan, CCV sample frequency was once
every 10 samples.  For most of the sample sets CCVs were performed with this frequency.
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However, for later sample sets CCVs were run once every 20 samples. CCV samples were used
to verify instrument performance. CCV samples were run every 10 samples as a preventative
measure so that large amounts of samples do not need to be re-run if a CCV sample fails. In the
course of this study, one CCV sample failed. All samples from the last passing CCV of that
sample set were re-analyzed.

A matrix spike sample and laboratory control sample (LCS), as well as duplicates of these
samples, were also  analyzed. Duplicate samples were run once every 10-20 samples. Acceptable
recoveries for matrix spike samples were between 80-120%.  Acceptable recoveries for LCS
samples were between 80-120%. Duplicate samples had acceptance criteria of ±25% relative
percent difference (RPD).

All matrix spike samples were performed as post-digestion spikes as there was insufficient
sample volume to perform a pre-digestion spike. Matrix spike recoveries ranged from 86% to
207%. Six matrix spike samples failed, with recoveries above the specified acceptance criteria.
In these instances, the lead concentration in the sample was well above the spike level. Matrix
spike results indicated that matrix interferences were not observed.  Duplicate samples were
within the specified RPD.

LCS samples were  analyzed once every 10-20 samples. LCS recoveries ranged from 17% to
225%. Schneider Laboratories, Inc. noted that LCS failures on one  sample set were attributed to
improper spiking technique.  Training on  spiking procedures was immediately implemented by
Schneider Laboratories for all analysts spiking samples.  All LCS failures occurred prior to a
revision to the Schneider Laboratories, Inc. SOP11 for analyzing paint samples written
specifically for this verification test.  In the original version of the SOP, LCS samples were
prepared by spiking a known amount of lead onto a certified reference material (CRM). This
practice was changed because there were over-recovery issues. This was because the spike was
not >3x the background lead concentration because of the high lead concentrations in the actual
CRM samples. In the revised SOP, the LCS was prepared by spiking  a piece of lead-free latex
paint. There were no LCS failures after that. In addition, a QC check sample containing only
the CRM, which had a known concentration of lead weighed out to  a particular amount, was
analyzed with each sample set throughout the verification test.  These QC check samples all
passed acceptance criteria.

4.1.3 Test Kit Quality Controls and Blank PEMs

As indicated in Section 3.3.2, no specific quality control samples (e.g., separate  positive or
negative controls) were supplied with the test kit itself.  Painted PEMs containing no lead as well
as each of the PEM substrates containing no paint were also run as part of the verification test.
All samples of PEM substrates containing no paint returned negative results from the test kit
(i.e., no lead was present). All samples of painted PEMs containing no lead returned negative
results.
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4.2 Audits

Three types of audits were performed during the verification test: a performance evaluation (PE)
audit of the reference method measurements made in this verification test, a technical systems
audit (ISA) of the verification test performance, and a data quality audit. Audit procedures are
described below.

4.2.1 Performance Evaluation Audits

A PE audit was conducted to assess the quality of the reference method measurements made in
this verification test. The reference method PE audit was performed by supplying an
independent, NIST-traceable lead paint standard (Reference Material 8680, panel CBS), to the
reference laboratory.  The PE audit samples were analyzed in the same manner as all other
samples and the analytical  results for the PE audit samples were compared with the nominal
concentration. The target criterion for this PE audit was in agreement with the analytical result
within 20% of the nominal concentration.  The specified acceptable concentration range for the
NIST standard panel was 1.13 - 1.75 mg/cm2 (1.44 ±0.31 mg/cm2).  The PE samples taken from
this standard panel were 1.38, 1.38, 1.19, and 1.31 mg/cm2. The PE audit results met the target
criterion. This audit was performed once at the start of the test.

4.2.2 Technical Systems A udit

The Battelle Quality Manager performed one TSA during this verification test to ensure that the
verification test was being performed according to with the Battelle AMS Center and ETV
Program  QMPs, the test/QA plan, any published reference methods, and standard operating
procedures. In the TSA, the Battelle Quality Manager reviewed the reference methods used,
compared actual test procedures with those specified or referenced in the test/QA plan, and
reviewed data acquisition and handling procedures. Also in the TSA, the Battelle Quality
Manager observed testing, observed reference method  sample preparation and analysis, inspected
documentation, and reviewed technology-specific record books. He also checked standard
certifications  and technology data acquisition procedures and conferred with the technical staff.
A TSA report was prepared. There were no findings. The records concerning the TSA are
permanently stored with the Battelle Quality Manager.

The EPA ETV Quality Manager also performed a TSA of both the reference laboratory and the
testing conducted at Battelle Columbus, OH facilities.  No findings were reported in the TSA of
the reference  laboratory, Schneider Laboratories, Inc.  In the TSA of the lead paint test kit
evaluations at Battelle's Columbus, OH facilities, the EPA ETV Quality Manger cited two
findings.  These findings were related to ease of use observations and were immediately and
adequately addressed and did not affect the quality of the test.

4.2.3 Audit of Data Quality

Records generated in the verification test received a one-over-one review (i.e., review by a
Battelle technical  staff who did not generate the records) before these records were used to
calculate, evaluate, or report verification results. A Battelle technical staff member involved in
the verification test reviewed the data. Datasheets generated by the  operators during testing were
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reviewed for completeness and errors. The person performing the review added his/her initials
and the date to a hard copy of the record being reviewed. At least 10% of the data acquired
during the verification test, including the ICP-AES results, were audited by Battelle. At least
25% of the ICP-AES data acquired during the verification test were audited by EPA. Battelle's
Quality Manager traced the data from the initial acquisition, through reduction and statistical
analysis, to final reporting to ensure the integrity of the reported results.  All calculations
performed on the data undergoing the audit were checked. Minor transcription errors were
identified and corrected before the results were used for the calculations described in Chapter 5.
Battelle's and EPA's Quality Managers also reviewed the PEM ICP-AES results thoroughly to
ensure that all data quality indicators  as stated in the test/QA plan were followed and that
reported results matched the data generated on the instrument.  Findings were cited by the EPA
Quality Manager. Appropriate corrective actions were taken. Significant QA/QC concerns
identified during EPA's audit are discussed in Section 4.1.
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                                      Chapter 5
                                 Statistical Methods
The statistical methods used to evaluate the performance factors listed in Section 3.1 are
presented in this chapter. The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was evaluated for qualitative results (i.e.,
positive/negative responses to samples). All data analyses were based on these qualitative
results.  QC samples and unpainted PEM substrates were not included in any of these analyses.
Results are provided in Chapter 6.
5.1 False Positive and False Negative Rates

A false positive response was defined as a positive result when regulated lead-based paint was
not present.  The test/QA plan1 defined false positive rates as being based on target lead levels at
and below 0.6 mg/cm2 with confirmed values not to exceed 0.8 mg/cm2.  Because confirmed lead
levels of particular PEMs did not sometimes match target concentrations for those PEMs, false
positive rates were assessed on panels with confirmed lead levels at 0.8 mg/cm2 and lower.
Consistent with the EPA's April 22, 2008 RRP rule2, panels with an ICP-AES confirmed lead
level between 0.8 and 1.0 mg/cm2 were not used in the false positive analysis.

A false negative response was defined as a negative response when regulated lead-based paint
was present.  The test/QA plan defined false negative rates as being based on target lead levels at
and above 1.4 mg/cm2 with confirmed values not to exceed 1.2 mg/cm2.  Because confirmed
lead levels of particular PEMs did not sometimes match target concentrations for those PEMs,
false negative rates were assessed on panels with confirmed lead levels at 1.2 mg/cm2 and
higher.  Consistent with the EPA's April 22, 2008 RRP rule, panels with an ICP-AES confirmed
lead level between 1.0 and  1.2 mg/cm2 were not used in the false negative analysis.

Based on stakeholder technical panel input,  the EPA lead paint action level of 1.0 mg/cm2 lead
was included for analysis as part of the verification test. Though evaluations of test kit
performance based on this level is not in the EPA RRP rule, false positive and negative rates, in
addition to those stated above, were also calculated for each test kit based on 1.0 mg/cm2 lead.
Thus, false positive rates were assessed on PEMs with  confirmed lead levels at 1.0 mg/cm2 and
lower and false  negative rates were assessed on PEMs with confirmed lead levels at 1.0 mg/cm2
and higher. For panels that measure 1.0 mg/cm2, positive results were considered "correct" and
negative results were considered false negative. If the confirmed lead concentration of the PEM
was greater than 1.0 mg/cm2 (e.g.,  1.1 mg/cm2), then negative results were considered false
                                                                                      15

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negatives. If the confirmed lead concentration of the PEM was less than 1.0 mg/cm2 (e.g., 0.9
mg/cm2), then positive results were considered false positives.
False positive and negative rates were calculated as shown in Equations 1 and 2, respectively:

        „,„..„                       # of positive results
       False Positive Rate =	—	   (1)
                            total # of PEMs with lead level below 0.8 (or 1.0) mg/cm
                                              # of negative results
        False Negative Rate = •
                             total # of PEMs with lead level above 1.2 (or 1.0) mg/cm2
5.2 Precision
Precision was measured by the reproducibility of responses for replicate samples within a group
of PEMs.  Precision results were reported as the percentage of consistent responses from all
replicate sets for those paint types (see Equation 3). Responses were considered inconsistent if
25% or more of the replicates differed from the response of the other samples in the same group
of PEMs.

       „..,..      .         ,  .   # of consistent responses of replicate sets  n^      ,..
       Precision (% consistent results) =	x 100     (3)
                                            total number of replicate sets
5.3 Sensitivity

The sensitivity or lowest detectable lead level for each test kit was identified based on the
detection results across all PEM lead levels.  The lowest PEM lead level with consistent (>75%)
positive or "detect" responses was considered the lowest detectable level.  The identified lowest
detectable lead level was reported and discussed.
5.4 Modeled Probability of Test Kit Response

5.4.1 Logistic Regression Model Building Steps

Logistic regression models were used to determine the probabilities of positive or negative
responses of the test kit at the 95% confidence level, as a function of lead concentration and
other covariates, such as substrate type, lead paint type, operator type, and topcoat color. An
evaluation of the bivariate relationship between the response variable and each candidate
explanatory variable was performed by fitting single covariate logistic models to assess the
predictive ability of each of the PEM parameters.  Using the results from these bivariate
analyses, a parsimonious multivariate model was developed including a set of explanatory
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variables which were most predictive of the probability of the test kit response variable. The
potential logistic regression model took the form below:
       logit(Pr
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The observed variability in 'x' is comprised of two components, actual variation in lead
concentration and measurement error. If we were able to remove the measurement error then we
would observe less variability in that independent variable.

There are two important points of intuition that will inform expectations about what is seen in the
SIMEX results. First, the data along the x-axis of a scatterplot would "tighten up" if
measurement error were removed.  "Tightening up" the independent variable in a regression
analysis will result in a steeper slope or a regression coefficient with a larger magnitude. This is a
fundamental consequence of any technique that adjusts for measurement error in the independent
variable in a regression analysis. In the lead paint analysis, steeper logistic regression curves
will result from the SIMEX analysis than would result from a non-SIMEX analysis where lead
levels were considered to be fixed and known.

Second, when the statistical analyses acknowledge and account for the measurement error, then
the regression output prediction intervals may be wider than those for a non-SIMEX analysis
where 'x' is considered to be fixed and known. For any given predicted value of the outcome
variable, the prediction interval will most likely be wider, or at least not narrower. But for a
fixed value of 'x', (such as 0.8 or 1.2 mg/cm2) whether the SIMEX prediction intervals are wider
or narrower than the non-SIMEX intervals depends on how much the slopes of the SIMEX and
non-SIMEX regression line differ.  For typical logistic regression models, prediction intervals
are very narrow at the extreme low and high asymptotic ends of the x-axis, and only appreciably
wide in the region where the probability of the outcome is not near zero and not near one. So if
the SIMEX analysis has only a moderate impact on the slope then wider prediction intervals
might be observed at 0.8 and 1.2 mg/cm2. But if the slope changes dramatically, then 0.8 or 1.2
mg/cm2 might now be in the part of the prediction curve that is near zero or one and the SIMEX
prediction interval might be dramatically more narrow than a non-SIMEX interval.

Thus, the prediction curves for every SIMEX analysis are expected to be steeper than, or at least
not less steep than, a non-SIMEX analysis.  However, the assessment of test kit performance is
based on the upper and lower bounds of prediction intervals at 0.8 and  1.2 .mg/cm2, respectively.

5.4.3 SIMEX Input and Analysis

During pre-production of the PEMs, replicate paint chip samples were analyzed from selected
metal PEMs that served as reference panels (see Appendix A). Three metal panels were
prepared for the pre-production homogeneity testing.  Four paint chip samples, one from each
quadrant of the PEM, were taken and analyzed via ICP-AES for their lead levels. Data are
available on the coefficients of variation for these metal PEMs for both white and yellow lead.
These data are shown below in Table 5.1. Though these data did not come from actual PEMs
used during the lead paint test kit verification test, this information was used as a surrogate
measure of homogeneity variability on the PEMs.

For each PEM in the study, nine random pseudo-replicates were generated from a normal
distribution with a mean equal to the confirmed lead concentration for that panel, and a standard
deviation computed from the metal reference PEM data in Table 5-1  and indexed by the panel's
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lead type and target lead level. The nine measurements were used as inputs to the Stata SIMEX
algorithm as if they were true replicate measurements.
Table 5-1. Results from Final Homogeneity Testing for each Set of ETV PEMs
Target Lead Mean Levels CoV*
Lead Type Level ICP (mg/cm2) ICP
White Lead
Yellow Lead
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
0.30
0.65
0.99
1.56
1.85
5.97
0.30
0.62
1.07
1.42
1.92
6.88
13.3
7.1
3.9
7.2
5.6
14.2
9.6
4.1
11.0
4.1
10.1
5.2
                     * Coefficient of Variation (Standard Deviation/Mean x 100)

There are two user-specified parameters for the Stata SIMEX algorithm: 1) the number of
replicate measurements for the covariate measured with error, and 2) the number of bootstrap
samples used to estimate standard errors on regression parameters.  In testing not detailed here,
the sensitivity of the SIMEX algorithm to different settings of these parameters was investigated.
It was determined that the qualitative results were not sensitive to the values used in the analysis.
The values used were nine pseudo-replicates per PEM and 199 bootstrap samples, respectively.

The predicted regression curves and associated prediction intervals were generated in the interval
0.0 to 6.0 mg/cm2 using Stata.  The relevant prediction bounds (the upper bound at 0.8 mg/cm2
and lower bound at 1.2 mg/cm2) were assessed and the predicted false positive and false negative
rates based on these prediction bounds were determined.
5.4.4 Goodness of Fit

To assess whether the logistic regression models fit the data well, standardized Pearson residuals
were computed for every observation and those with an absolute value greater than two were
flagged and plotted versus lead level. Standardized Pearson residuals greater than two are
associated with observations that are not well fit by the model. In the logistic regression context
observations that are not well fit might be those with high lead levels where the kit results were
negative  or very low lead levels where the kit results were positive.  In the absence of categorical
variables the standardized Pearson residuals should be normally distributed, so we would expect
approximately 5% of the observations to have residuals with absolute value greater than two. In
this case  there are categorical covariates so the residuals are not strictly expected to be
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distributed normally but the proportion of observations with large residuals is still informative.
That proportion is reported in Section 6.4.
5.5 Matrix Effects

The covariate-adjusted logistic regression model described in Section 5.4 was used to assess the
significance of PEM parameters and the interactions among them on the performance of the test
kits. PEM parameters were included in the model as explanatory variables associated with the Y;
response variable.

Comparison of the observed values of the response variable to predicted values obtained from
models with and without the predictor variable in question was the guiding principle in the
logistic regression model.  The likelihood function is defined as
where ;r(r.)  is the conditional probability of Y; =1 and [1 - ;r(7.)] is the conditional probability
of Y; =0  given the vector of explanatory variables (X).  For purposes of assessing the
significance of a group of p predictor variables (where p can be 1 or more), we computed the
likelihood ratio test statistic, G, as follows:

       G = -2 logs [likelihood without the p variables / likelihood with the p variables]   (6)
Under the null hypothesis, this test statistic followed a chi-square distribution with p degrees of
freedom.  If the test statistic was greater than the 95th percentile of the chi-square distribution,
then the group of variables, taken together, were statistically significant.
5.6 Operational Factors

There were no statistical calculations applicable to operational factors. Operational factors were
determined qualitatively based on assessments from the Operator (both technical and non-
technical) and the Battelle Verification Test Coordinator.  Operational factors such as ease of
use, operator bias, average cost, average time for kit operation, and helpfulness of manuals, were
determined. Sustainability metrics such as volume and type of waste generated from the use of
each test kit, toxicity of the chemicals used, and energy consumption are discussed. This
discussion is based on how much waste was generated and what the waste was composed of,
information from the vendor on how the waste should be properly handled, a summary of the
pertinent MSDS information, when available, and noting whether the  test kit used batteries, a
power supply, or no energy source was needed.  Information on how many tests each kit could
perform as well as the shelf life of the test kit and chemicals used as part of the test kit was also
reported.
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                                       Chapter 6
                                      Test Results


The results for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit are presented below for each of the performance
parameters.  The interpretation of results from this test kit relied on a comparison of the color of
the sample solution to a standard. Results were then categorized, based on the color, as either,
positive (lead at 1.0 mg/cm2 or greater is present), negative (no lead present) or low lead (lead
present but less than 1.0 mg/cm2). All responses that indicated low lead were considered
negative for the purposes of statistical analyses presented in this section.

In this report each PEM is associated with three definitions of lead levels:
   •   Target lead level - the expected concentration of each PEM as outlined in Table 3-1.
       These target lead levels were 0, 0.3, 0.6, 1.0, 1.4, 2.0, or 6.0 mg/cm2.
   •   Confirmed lead level - the concentration as measured by the reference laboratory using
       ICP-AES analysis.
   •   Closest target lead level - the target level that is closest to the confirmed level.  If a panel
       has a target lead level of 1.4 mg/cm2 and a confirmed lead level of 1.9 mg/cm2 then the
       closest target level is 2.0 mg/cm2.

Under ideal  circumstances the confirmed lead level would equal the target lead level, but this
was sometimes not the case. Analyses where lead level was a categorical variable (i.e.,
consistency, precision, and sensitivity analyses) characterized the panels by  their closest target
lead level. Analyses where lead level was a continuous variable (i.e., the false positive/negative
and logistic regression analyses) characterized the panels by their confirmed lead level. Each
analysis described clearly which level was used to characterize the lead level.
6.1 False Positive and False Negative Rates

Observed false positive and negative rates were calculated based on confirmed lead levels as
measured though ICP-AES analysis. For example, if the PEM was confirmed to have a lead
level of 1.4 mg/cm2, and the test kit returned a negative result, this would be considered a false
negative.  Table 3-1 details the target lead levels for the PEMs and the number of PEMs that
were anticipated at each lead level. Because of variations in PEM production, the confirmed lead
level of a particular PEM did not always match the target lead level. Table 6-1 compares the
number of PEMs at the confirmed and target lead levels used for the observed false positive and
negative analyses.  The data are divided into three categories: those panels eligible for false
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positive analysis (lead levels up to and including 0.8 mg/cm2), those excluded from false positive
and false negative analyses (lead levels between 0.8 and 1.2 mg/cm2) and those eligible for false
negative analysis (lead levels 1.2 mg/cm2 and above). If the confirmed lead levels had been
equal to the target lead levels, all of the numbers would lie along the shaded diagonal.  Because
the confirmed levels sometimes differed  significantly from the target levels, (i.e., the target lead
level was at 0.6 mg/cm2 but confirmed near 1.4 mg/cm2) some panels appear in the off-diagonal
table entries and were therefore included in portions of the analysis other than those for which
they had been targeted.

Table 6-1. The number of panels in each false positive and false negative analysis category
                                               Confirmed Lead Levels
Target
  Lead
 Levels
 Eligible for False Positive Analysis
         Excluded from Analysis
Eligible for False Negative Analysis
                         Total
Eligible
for False
Positive
Analysis
152
4
1
157


Excluded from
Analysis
17
44
9
70
Eligible
for False
Negative
Analysis Total
11
24
206
180
72
216
241 468
Tables 6-2 and 6-3 list the observed false positive and false negative rates for the D-Lead  Paint
Test Kit under two sets of conditions:
    •  Table 6-2 shows the observed false positive results for panels with confirmed lead levels
       < 0.8 mg/cm2 and observed false negative results for panels with confirmed lead levels >
       1.2 mg/cm2, per the RRP ruling.2
    •  Table 6-3 shows observed false positive results for panels with confirmed lead levels < 1
       mg/cm2 and observed false negative results for panels with confirmed lead levels > 1
       mg/cm2.

Results for both the technical and non-technical operator are presented. Results are presented as
overall rates (i.e., false positive and negative results across all applicable PEMs combined) and
also false positive and negative rates based on lead paint type (i.e., white or yellow lead),
substrate (i.e., drywall, metal, plaster, or wood), and topcoat paint color (i.e., grey red or white).

The overall observed false negative rate for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit based on confirmed lead
levels of > 1.2 mg/cm2 for both the technical and non-technical operators, was 0% (see Table 6-
2).  Observed false negative rates determined by substrate, lead type,  and topcoat color ranged
from 0-2% with most being at 0%.

Observed false positive rates, for this same RRP rule grouping of the PEMs were significantly
higher. The overall observed false positive rate for the technical operator was 16% while that for
the non-technical operator was almost twice as high at 29%. For the non-technical operator,
yellow lead (lead chromate) PEMs had the largest impact on the observed false positive rate,
with erroneous positive results detected 45% of the time for these PEMs. All other factors
                                                                                       22

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shown in Table 6-2 had observed false positive rates similar to the overall rate for the non-
technical operator. For the technical operator, observed false positive rates were similar across
most subgroups of interest (between 10% and 20%) and consistent with the overall observed
false positive rate of 16% for this operator. The observed false positive rate for drywall PEMs
was slightly higher (24%) than the false positive rate for other subgroups.
                  ®
Table 6-2. D-Lead  Paint Test Kit false positive results for panels with confirmed lead
levels < 0.8 mg/cm2 and false negative results for panels with confirmed lead levels > 1.2
mg/cm2

Overall
None
White
Yellow
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Grey
Red
White
D-Lead" P
False Positives'
Technical Non-technical
Operator Operator
49/316 = 16%
0/72 = 0%
22 / 110 = 20%
27 / 134 = 20%
19/78 = 24%
15 / 96 = 16%
6 / 62 = 10%
9 / 80 = 11%
22 / 108 = 20%
13 / 110 = 12%
14 / 98 = 14%
90/314 = 29%
0 / 72 = 0%
30 / 110 = 27%
60 / 132 = 45%
28 / 78 = 36%
28 / 96 = 29%
12 / 60 = 20%
22 / 80 = 28%
36/108 = 33%
32/110 = 29%
22/96 = 23%
aintTest Kit
False Negatives"
Technical Non-technical
Operator Operator
1 / 486 = 0%
NA
0/252 = 0%
1 / 234 = 0%
0 / 120 = 0%
0 / 100 = 0%
1 / 154 = 1%
0/112 = 0%
1/160= 1%
0 / 160 = 0%
0 / 166 = 0%
2 / 481 = 0%
NA
0 / 250 = 0%
2/231 = 1%
0 / 118 = 0%
0 / 98 = 0%
0 / 153 = 0%
2 / 112 = 2%
0 / 160 = 0%
2/157 = 1%
0 / 164 = 0%
'False positives on PEMs with confirmed lead levels < 0.8 mg/cm2
"False negatives on PEMs with confirmed lead levels > 1.2 mg/ cm2
NA: If the paint did not contain lead then a false negative is not possible, those entries are 'NA'
(not applicable).
The observed false negative rates for both the technical and non-technical operator using 1.0
mg/cm2 as the deciding concentration (see Table 6-3) were almost identical to those found using
RRP rule concentration limits of >1.2 mg/cm2 (see Table 6-2). The overall observed false
negative rate of 1% for the non-technical operator using 1.0 mg/cm2 as the deciding
concentration (see Table 6-3), was similar to the 0% rate that was found using 1.2 mg/cm2 as the
deciding concentration (see Table 6-2). The overall observed false positive rate using 1.0
mg/cm2 as the deciding concentration was approximately twice as high for the technical operator
                                                                                       23

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and approximately 1.5 times as high for the non-technical operator that was found using 1.2
mg/cm2 as the deciding concentration. Observed false positive patterns similar to those seen in
Table 6-2 were apparent across the different subgroups of interest as shown in Table 6-3.

Table 6-3. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit false positive results for panels with confirmed lead
levels < 1 mg/cm2 and false negative results for panels with confirmed lead levels > 1
mg/cm2

Overall
None
White
Yellow
Drywall
Metal
Plaster
Wood
Grey
Red
White
D-Lead" P
False Positives'
Technical Non-technical
Operator Operator
118 / 399 = 30%
0/72 = 0%
61 / 155 = 39%
57 / 172 = 33%
35 / 96 = 36%
42 / 128 = 33%
16/72 = 22%
25 / 103 = 24%
45 / 134 = 34%
39 / 138 = 28%
34 / 127 = 27%
166 / 398 = 42%
0 / 72 = 0%
74 / 156 = 47%
92 / 170 = 54%
44 / 96 = 46%
58 / 128 = 45%
22/70 = 31%
42 / 104 = 40%
60 / 134 = 45%
58 / 138 = 42%
48 / 126 = 38%
aintTest Kit
False Negatives"
Technical Non-technical
Operator Operator
4 / 542 = 1%
NA
2/278= 1%
2 / 264 = 1%
2 / 138 = 1%
0 / 108 = 0%
2 / 168 = 1%
0 / 128 = 0%
1 / 178 = 1%
2/176 = 1%
1 / 188 = 1%
4 / 535 = 1%
NA
0 / 274 = 0%
4 / 261 = 2%
0 / 134 = 0%
0 / 106 = 0%
0 / 167 = 0%
4 / 128 = 3%
0 / 178 = 0%
2 / 171 = 1%
2 / 186 = 1%
'False positives on PEMs with confirmed lead levels < 1.0 mg/cm2
"False negatives on PEMs with confirmed lead levels > 1.0 mg/ cm2
NA: If the paint did not contain lead then a false negative is not possible, those entries are 'NA'
(not applicable).
Note that the observed false positive and negative rates presented in this section provide a
general representation of the ability of the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit to correctly identify regulated
lead paint when it is present or absent. The results presented in Table 6-2 provide rates based on
the cut-off concentration (0.8 or 1.2 mg/cm2) as well as all levels evaluated below or above those
concentrations. To evaluate test kit performance based on the RRP rule, lead paint test kits
should have a demonstrated probability (with 95% confidence) of a negative response at or
above the regulated lead level <5% of the time. Test kits should also have a demonstrated
probability (with 95% confidence) of a positive response below the regulated lead level <10% of
the time. Because the RRP rule also indicated that test kit performance would not be based on
lead levels between 0.8 and 1.2 mg/cm2, the false positive and negative probabilities assessed in
                                                                                       24

-------
this report were then based around the excluded concentrations (of 0.8 and 1.2 mg/cm2). False
positive and negative rates associated with these criteria are discussed in Section 6.4.
6.2 Precision

To compute precision, it is first necessary to compute the number of replicate sets with consistent
responses.  Replicate sets are defined in the test/QA1 plan to be groups of panels with similar
lead levels.  The target lead levels in this experiment were 0, 0.3, 0.6, 1.0, 1.4, 2, and 6 mg/cm2
but the lead levels that were achieved, as confirmed by ICP-AES, sometimes varied from those
target levels. To assemble replicate sets that represented the target lead levels, the panels were
assigned to the replicate set that was nearest their confirmed lead level.  In other words, if a
particular panel was targeted for 0.3 mg/cm2 but was measured to have 0.9 mg/cm2 then it was
assigned to the replicate set nearest 0.9 mg/cm2, which is the set labeled 1.0 mg/cm2. Table 6-4
shows the thresholds that defined the replicate set bins as well as the range of measured levels
that fell in each bin.

Table 6-4.  Actual lead levels and their replicate set labels
Replicate Set Bin
Label (mg/cm2)
(Closest Target
Lead Level)
0
0.3
0.6
1
1.4
2
6
Bin Thresholds
(mg/cm2)
Targeted to have zero lead
0 < Confirmed Lead Level < 0.45
0.45 < Confirmed Lead Level < 0.8
0.8 < Confirmed Lead Level < 1.2
1.2 < Confirmed Lead Level < 1.7
1.7 < Confirmed Lead Level < 4
4 < Confirmed Lead Level
Confirmed Lead Levels In
This Bin (mg/cm2)
0.000-
0.186-
0.454 -
0.808-
1.204-
1.707-
4.005 -
0.119
0.448
0.795
1.183
1.681
3.954
15.96
Table 6-5 shows the number of panels in which confirmed lead levels fell nearest their target
level and the number of panels whose confirmed levels fell closer to a level other than their
target level. The shaded values along the diagonal of the table are the panels in which measured
levels fell closer to their target than to any of the other targets. If all of the panels had measured
levels that were equal to their target levels, then all of the numbers would lie along the diagonal
of Table 6-5. The numbers off the diagonal represent panels with confirmed lead levels closer to
some other target value. Note, for example, that of the 72 panels that were targeted to have 1.0
mg/cm2 of lead, 44 achieved that level, four fell closer to 0.6 mg/cm2 than 1.0 mg/cm2, 18 fell
closer to 1.4 mg/cm2, four fell closer to 2.0 mg/cm2, and two were closer to 6.0 mg/cm2 than to
any other target level. In the consistency analysis described below, each panel was grouped into
sets labeled with the target level that its measured level fell closest to, rather than by its target
lead level.
                                                                                       25

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Table 6-5. The number of panels at each target level and the number in each replicate set
bin
                                        Replicate Set Bin
                  (Target level that is closest to the panel's actual measured lead level)
 Target Lead Level
    (mg/cm2)
                             OS   0.3E   0.6E   IE   1.4E    2E   6E
01?
0.31?
0.61?
1.0
1.41?
2.01?
6.01?
36
59 13
2 42
4
1
.
-
TotalE 36 61 60
-
-
17
44
9
-
-
70
-
-
8
18
41
2
-
69
-
-
3
4
20
67
-
94
-
-
-
2
1
3
72
78
Totals
  36
  72
  72
  72
  72
  72
  72
 468
Table 6-6 lists consistency results for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit by operator type, lead type,
substrate, and lead level.  Each table entry lists the number of test results with those
characteristics (N) as well as the proportion of the results that were positive for lead (Pos).  Table
entries where the proportion is below 25% or above 75% are 'consistent', meaning that more
than three-quarters of the results were the same (negative or positive). Table entries where the
proportion of positive results ranges from 25% to 75% are considered to be 'inconsistent'.
Inconsistent entries are shaded in the tables. Overall consistency results across all substrates for
white and yellow lead panels for each operator type are also provided in the last row of Table 6-
6.  Results across both operators and lead paint types are provided in the last column of the table.
The consistency of the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit at particular lead levels was similar across
substrates and operator type. In fact, overall, as shown in the far-right column of Table 6-6, the
D-Lead® Paint Test Kit provided consistent results for all lead levels except for 0.6 mg/cm2.
Results for all other levels were highly consistent, between 90-100% or <6%.  Overall
consistencies broken down by operator type showed similar results.
                                                                                       26

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Table 6-6. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit consistency results by operator type, lead type,
substrate, and lead level
                                                D-Lead  Paint Test Kit

LeadBEypeE

DRYWALLE
0
0.3
0.6
1
1.4
2
6
METALE
0
0.3
0.6
1
1.4
2
6
PLASTERE
0
0.3
0.6
1
1.4
2
6
WOODE
0
0.3
0.6
1
1.4
2
6
ALLE
0
0.3
0.6
1
1.4
2
6
NOE-TECHNICALE
NoneE
NE PosE

18 0%







18 0%







18 0%







18 0%







72 0%






WhiteE
NE PosE


18 0%
8 100%
16 100%
24 100%
22 100%
18 100%


16 25%
20 40%
20 100%
16 100%
18 100%
18 100%


16 0%
4 50%
10 100%
18 100%
36 100%
26 100%


18 0%
10 80%
24 92%
14 100%
20 100%
20 100%


68 6%
42 62%
70 97%
72 100%
96 100%
82 100%
YellowE
NE PosE


18 33%
16 88%
18 89%
20 100%
18 100%
16 100%


22 9%
20 70%
20 90%
10 100%
18 100%
18 100%


4 0%
18 56%
14 100%
20 100%
32 100%
22 100%


Tola IE
NE PosE

18 0%
36 17%
24 94%
34 94%
44 100%
40 100%
34 100%

18 0%
38 17%
40 55%
40 95%
26 100%
36 100%
36 100%

18 0%
20 0%
22 53%
24 100%
38 100%
68 100%
48 100%

18 0%
10 0% 28 0%
24 58%
16 75%
34 69%
40 83%
16 88% 30 94%
24 100%
18 100%


54 15%
78 67%
68 88%
66 97%
92 100%
74 100%
44 100%
38 100%

72 0%
122 10%
120 66%
138 92%
138 99%
188 100%
156 100%
EECHNICALE
NoneE
NE PosE

18 0%







18 0%







18 0%







18 0%







72 0%






WhiteE
NE PosE


18 0%
8 75%
18 89%
26 100%
22 100%
18 100%


16 0%
20 45%
20 95%
16 100%
18 100%
18 100%


16 0%
4 50%
10 100%
18 100%
36 100%
26 100%


18 0%
10 50%
23 78%
14 100%
20 100%
20 100%


68 0%
42 52%
71 89%
74 100%
96 100%
82 100%
YellowE
NE PosE


18 11%
16 69%
18 89%
20 100%
18 100%
16 100%


22 5%
20 25%
20 80%
10 100%
18 100%
20 100%


4 0%
20 20%
14 93%
20 95%
32 100%
22 100%


10 0%
24 17%
16 88%
16 100%
24 100%
18 100%


54 6%
80 30%
68 87%
66 98%
92 100%
76 100%
Tola IE
NE PosE

18 0%
36 6%
24 72%
36 89%
46 100%
40 100%
34 100%

18 0%
38 2%
40 35%
40 88%
26 100%
36 100%
38 100%

18 0%
20 0%
24 35%
24 96%
38 98%
68 100%
48 100%

18 0%
28 0%
34 33%
39 83%
30 100%
44 100%
38 100%

72 0%
122 2%
122 42%
139 88%
140 99%
188 100%
158 100%
TOTALE
TotalE
NE PosE

36 0%
72 11%
48 83%
70 92%
90 100%
80 100%
68 100%

36 0%
76 10%
80 45%
80 91%
52 100%
72 100%
74 100%

36 0%
40 0%
46 44%
48 98%
76 99%
136 100%
96 100%

36 0%
56 0%
68 51%
79 83%
60 97%
88 100%
76 100%

144 0%
244 6%
242 54%
277 90%
278 99%
376 100%
314 100%
N = number of test results in each bin of the table
Pos = Proportion of those N test results that were 'Positive' for the presence of lead.
Lead levels in the left-most column represent the target level closest to the measured level of lead in the panel.
Shaded cells represent 'inconsistent' results, i.e., % positive is between 25% and 75%
                                                                                                      27

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The consistency results provided in Table 6-6 were used to calculate precision. Precision was
estimated for panels with no lead, white lead, and yellow lead and by type of operator and then
aggregated across both types of operators.  For any column in Table 6-6, the precision is simply
the proportion of consistent (unshaded) table entries in the rows for the four different substrates.
The 'All' rows are not counted in the precision calculation because those table entries are
summaries of the entries for the four substrates.  Thus, precision was calculated as:
                                       # of unshaded table entries in the
n    .  .   fn/      ...     7.  N    drywall,metal,plaster,and wood sections
Preciswn(% consistent results)  = —	•	—	•	               fn\
                                        total entries in those sections                   \l)
Table 6-7 lists the results of the precision calculations for the D-Lead  Paint Test Kit.  Higher
proportions of consistent results indicate more consistency and higher precision.

Table 6-7. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit precision results by lead type and operator type
                  No Lead    White Lead    Yellow Lead
 Non-technical  4/4 = 100%   21/24 = 88%  19/24 = 79%
 Technical       4/4 = 100%   20/24 = 83%  22/24 = 92%
 All             8/8 = 100%   41/48 = 85%  41/48 = 85%
Because of the strong consistent results noted for the D-Lead  Paint Test Kit (see Table 6-6), the
precision of this test kit was high across the two different lead types (see Table 6-7). The overall
precision was 85% for both white and yellow lead PEMs.  Operator type affected the precision of
results for yellow lead PEMs. The precision of the technical operator was greater than that of the
non-technical operator (92% vs. 79%).
6.3 Sensitivity

Sensitivity was calculated using the bottom six rows in Table 6-6. These rows aggregate results
across all four substrates. For the white lead and yellow lead columns in these tables, the
sensitivity is the lowest lead level > 1 mg/cm2 that is consistently detected with positive results
(unshaded and > 75%). Ideally the kit would give consistently negative results for lead levels <
1 mg/cm2 and consistently positive results for levels > 1 mg/cm2 so the optimal sensitivity results
would be 1 across every row of Table 6-8.  Note that the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit is qualitative in
nature and the goal of the test kit is to indicate to the end user if lead paint is present or not at the
level of 1.0 mg/cm2.
                                                                                        28

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                  J®
Table 6-8. D-Lead  Paint Test Kit sensitivity results - lowest lead level for which the kit
gave consistent positive results (mg/cm2)

Lead Type
Sensitivity
Non-technical Operator
White Yellow Total
111
Technical Operator
White Yellow Total
111
All
Total
NA
The D-Lead  Paint Test Kit provided consistent positive responses at 1.0 mg/cm across
operators and lead paint types.
6.4 Modeled Probability of Test Kit Response

Table 6-9 lists the explanatory variables which had significant (p<0.05) univariate associations
with the probability of obtaining a positive test kit result. Only lead level, operator type, and
substrate type explanatory variables showed a statistically significant univariate association with
the probability of a positive response. Table 6-10 lists the parameter estimates for the
multivariable logistic regression models for the Stata SIMEX program. Note that for the D-
Lead® Paint Test Kit, although topcoat color did not have a significant univariate association
with the probability of positive response, that variable was retained in the multivariable model
after backward selection. That is to say that after accounting for the influence of lead level,
operator type, and substrate type, topcoat color did have a significant association with the
probability of positive response, so it was included in the multivariable model. There were no
statistically significant interactions between categorical covariates.
                   ®
Table 6-9. D-Lead  Paint Test Kit univariate associations between probability of positive
response and explanatory variables
   Explanatory Variable  Significant Univariate Association?   Included in Multivariable Model?
   Lead Level
   Lead Type
   Operator Type
   Substrate Type
   Topcoat Color
Yes (p-value < 0.0001)
No (p-value = 0.5469)
Yes (p-value = 0.0172)
Yes (p-value = 0.0002)
No (p-value = 0.4601)
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
                                                                                         29

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                  J® -
Table 6-10.  D-Lead  Paint Test Kit multivariable Stata SIMEX logistic regression
parameter estimates
Simulation extrapolation

Residual df =


1867




Variance Function: V(u) = u(l-u)
Link Function
|
result |
Operator type:
technical |
Substrate :
drywall |
metal |
plaster |
Topcoat :
grey |
red |
lead level |
constant |
: g(u) = log(u/(l-u))
Bootstrap
Coef. Std. Err.


t
(non-technical is the reference
-1.175314 .2516055
(wood is the reference
.8842508 .347379
.989424 .3029888
.1843306 .369721
(white is the reference
.6700659 .3214217
.1205339 .3085769
9.041658 .7281555
-5.959598 .4517381
-4.67
level)
2.55
3.27
0.50
level)
2.08
0.39
12.42
-13.19
No. of obs =
Bootstraps reps =
Wald F(7,1867)
Prob > F
[Bernoulli]
[Logit]

P>|t| [95% Conf.
level)
0.000 -1.668772

0.011 .2029588
0.001 .3951916
0.618 -.5407794

0.037 .0396821
0.696 -.484658
0.000 7.613574
0.000 -6.845562
1875
199
26.11
0.0000



Interval]

-.6818566

1.565543
1.583656
.9094405

1.30045
.7257258
10.46974
-5.073633

Table 6-11 lists the modeled probability of a positive test result for the D-Lead  Paint Test Kit
when the lead level is 0.8 mg/cm2 (PREDICTION) along with the upper bound of a 95%
prediction interval (UPPER).  That upper bound can be considered to be a worst-case estimate of
the false positive probability when the true lead level is 0.8 mg/cm2 (FALSE POS RATE).
Ideally the numbers in the UPPER/FALSE POS RATE column would be < 10%.  Note that the
FALSE POS RATE in Table 6-11 is higher than those in Tables 6-2 and 6-3. In those earlier
tables the rates considered panels at a variety of comparatively low lead levels so some cases
should have been easier for the kit to obtain the correct answer.  In Table 6-11, the false positive
rate is evaluated only at 0.8 mg/cm2 so the rate does not benefit from the comparatively lower
lead concentrations.  Evaluating at only this level also ensures that a test kit can adequately
perform at concentrations of lead paint closest to the current regulatory level.

The modeled probability curve results, as shown in Table 6-11, indicate that at 0.8 mg/cm2, there
is no combination of variables (operator, substrate, or topcoat) where the upper prediction bound
provides a false positive rate of <10%.  In fact, the lowest upper prediction bound at 0.8 mg/cm2
is 66%.

Table 6-12 lists the modeled probability of a positive test result for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit
when the lead level is 1.2 mg/cm2 (PREDICTION) along with the lower bound of a 95%
prediction interval (LOWER).  The difference between the lower bound and 100% can be
considered to be a worst-case  estimate of the false negative probability when the true lead level
is 1.2 mg/cm2 (FALSE NEG RATE).  Ideally, for purposes of the RRP rule, the numbers in the
FALSE NEG RATE column would be < 5%.
                                                                                   30

-------
Note that the FALSE NEG RATE in Table 6-12 is higher than those in Tables 6-2 and 6-3.  In
the earlier tables, the false negative rates considered panels at a variety of comparatively high
lead levels so some cases should have been easier for the kit to obtain the correct answer. In
Table 6-12, the false negative rate is evaluated only at 1.2 mg/cm2 so the rate does not benefit
from the comparatively higher lead concentrations. Evaluating at only this level also ensures
that a test kit can adequately perform at concentrations of lead paint closest to the current
regulatory level.

For all possible variable combinations but one, a false negative rate of <5% is predicted. The
highest predicted false negative rate is 5.4% for a technical operator evaluating lead paint with a
white topcoat on wood (see Table 6-12). This is also the same combination of variables that is
predicted to give the lowest false positive rate at 0.8 mg/cm2 (see Table 6-11). Some variable
combinations are expected to give a <1% false negative rate, essentially indicating that no false
negatives are expected for these variable combinations.

Table 6-11. D-Lead® Paint Test Kit modeled probability of positive test results and upper
95% prediction bound when lead level = 0.8 mg/cm2
OPERATOR







NON-TECHNICAL














TECHNICAL







TOPCOAT SUBSTRATE
DRYWALL
METAL
GREY
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
RED
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
WHITE
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
GREY
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
RED
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
WHITE
PLASTER
WOOD
LEAD LEVEL
0.8
0.8

0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8

0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8

0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8

0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8

0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8

0.8
0.8
PREDICTION
94.4%
94.9%

89.4%
87.5%
90.7%
91.6%

82.9%
80.1%
89.6%
90.6%

81.1%
78.1%
83.9%
85.3%

72.2%
68.3%
75.1%
77.0%

59.9%
55.5%
72.8%
74.8%

57.0%
52.5%
UPPER (FALSE POS RATE)
97.1%
97.2%

94.2%
93.2%
94.7%
95.2%

89.8%
88.3%
94.5%
95.0%

88.9%
87.5%
90.3%
90.1%

82.7%
78.7%
83.5%
84.0%

72.2%
67.1%
82.9%
83.6%

70.2%
65.6%
                                                                                       31

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Table 6-12. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit modeled probability of positive test results, lower 95%
prediction bound, and corresponding conservative estimate of the false negative rate when
lead level = 1.2 mg/cm2

OPERATOR








NON-TECHNICAL














TECHNICAL








TOPCOAT SUBSTRATE

DRYWALL
METAL
GREY
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
RED
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
WHITE
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
GREY
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
RED
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
WHITE
PLASTER
WOOD
LEAD

LEVEL
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2

1.2
1.2

PREDICTION

99.8%
99.9%

99.7%
99.6%
99.7%
99.8%

99.4%
99.3%
99.7%
99.7%

99.4%
99.3%
99.5%
99.5%

99.0%
98.8%
99.1%
99.2%

98.2%
97.9%
99.0%
99.1%

98.0%
97.6%

LOWER

99.6%
99.6%

99.1%
98.9%
99.3%
99.3%

98.6%
98.2%
99.1%
99.2%

98.3%
97.9%
98.8%
99.0%

97.6%
97.2%
98.1%
98.3%

96.2%
95.5%
97.6%
97.9%

95.5%
94.6%
FALSE NEG

RATE
0.4%
0.4%

0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.7%

1.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.8%

1.7%
2.1%
1.2%
1.0%

2.4%
2.8%
1.9%
1.7%

3.8%
4.5%
2.4%
2.1%

4.5%
5.4%
As another means of reporting the results for the D-Lead Paint Test Kit, modeled probability
curves were also plotted based on the results of the regression analysis.  To better understand the
information being provided in these probability curves, a brief explanation is presented here.
Figure 6-1 shows that for the perfect or ideal test kit, the probability of a positive test result
would be a step function.  The probability of a positive result would be zero below 1.0 mg/cm2
and 100% at or above 1.0  mg/cm2.   Under the RRP rule, a test kit must yield a demonstrated
probability (with 95% confidence) of no more than 10% false positives at lead concentrations
below 0.8 mg/cm2 and a demonstrated probability (with 95% confidence) of no more than 5%
false negatives at concentrations above 1.2 mg/cm2.  Figure 6-1 also shows a performance curve
for a hypothetical test kit that achieves those rates. The upper bound of the 90% prediction
                                                                                      32

-------
interval is at 10% at 0.8 mg/cm2 and the lower bound of the prediction interval is at 95% at 1.2
mg/cm2.

One way to think of the test kit performance guidelines is in terms of regions of the probability
plots. Figure 6-2 demonstrates this concept. For the kit to be within limits set up by the RRP
rule, the probability curve must trace a path through the white region in the figure and must not
stray into the shaded regions.  If the curve crosses the shaded region at the left side of the graph
then there are lead levels < 0.8 mg/cm2 where the false  positive rate is > 10%.  If the curve
crosses the shaded region at the right side of the graph then there are lead levels > 1.2 mg/cm2
where the false negative rate is > 5%. Either type of intersection between the curve and the
shaded region indicates that the kit does not meet the performance levels stipulated in the RRP
rule.

Note that results for the region between 0.8 and 1.2 mg/cm2 were not discussed in this report.
This is consistent with the RRP rule stipulation that lead concentrations between 0.8 and 1.2
mg/cm2 were not to be considered for the evaluation of the performance of lead paint test kits.

Figures 6-3 through 6-8 show the predicted probability  of obtaining a positive test result using
the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit over the full range of explanatory variables along with the bounds of
a 90% prediction interval. Note that the upper and lower bounds of the 90% prediction interval
may also be considered to be upper and lower 95% prediction bounds for one-sided inference.

Note that with one exception (technical operator, white lead, wood substrate in Figure 6.5) the
probability curves and prediction intervals all avoid the shaded region above 1.2 mg/cm2. Thus,
these data indicate that the false negative rates at levels above 1.2 mg/cm2 were smaller than 5%.
Without exception the curves in Figures 6-3 through 6-8 pass through the shaded regions at the
left side of the graphs for every combination of variables, indicating that the false positive rate
was larger than 10% for some lead levels below 0.8 mg/cm2. These rates are not consistent with
the RRP rule.
                                                                                       33

-------
    tO
    8.
    0>
    Ł
.Q
CO
o
a!
         100%-
          80%-
          60%-
          40%-
          20%-
                                                                                                      95%
                   Perfect Kit
                   Acceptable Kit: Upper 90% Bound (1)
                   Acceptable Kit
                   Acceptable Kit: Lower 90% Bound (2)
                 1 Upper bound is above and left of the "Acceptable Kit" curve
                 2 Lower bound is below and right of the "Acceptable Kit" curve
                                                                                                       10%
                    0
                                             0.8      {      1.2
                                        Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
Figure 6-1. Probability curves that represent test kit results that are both perfect (red line) and within RRP rule criteria (black
solid line).
                                                                                34

-------
    tO
    8.
    0>
    Ł
.Q
CO
o
a!
        100% H
         80%-
         60%-
         40% H
         20%-
                                                                                            95%
                                                                                            10%
                  0
                                         0.8     i    1.2
                                    Lead Level (ing/cm^)
Figure 6-2. Probability curves with shaded region to denote performance results that meet RRP rule false positive and
negative criteria.  Test kits with curves that fall within the white region and avoid the shaded region meet the RRP rule.
                                                                        35

-------
                          Operatorjype = TECHNICAL, Topcoat = GREY
    M
    «

    0)
M
Ł
M-
O
>

S
RJ
O
o!
1.00-1

0.75-

0.50-

0.25-

0.00-

1.00-

0.75-

0.50-

0.25-

0.00-
              0
                           DRYWALL
                           PLASTER
                                        METAL
                                        WOOD
0.8  {1.2           26            °-8  1  L2
            Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
                                                                                         0.95
                                                                                         0.1
                                                                                         0.95
                                                                                         0.1
Figure 6-3. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with 90% prediction interval
(dotted lines) for a technical operator evaluating grey paint topcoat on various substrates.
                                                                     36

-------
                             Operatorjype = TECHNICAL, Topcoat = RED
    ±d
    3
    W



    0)
    s
    o
    a!
                0
                                         Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
                                                                                               95%
                                                                                               10%
                                                                                               95%
                                                                                               10%
Figure 6-4. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with 90% prediction interval

(dotted lines) for a technical operator evaluating red paint topcoat on various substrates.
                                                                         37

-------
    0>
W)
s.
M-
o
>
    100% H

     75% H

     50% H

     25% H
    O
    a.
     75%-

     50%-

     25%-
               0
                          Operatorjype = TECHNICAL, Topcoat = WHITE
                         DRYWALL

PLASTER
                                                                    METAL
                                                                    WOOD
                        0.8  x  1.2            20            °-8  1
                                    Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
                                                                                           95%
                                                                                           10%
                                                                                           95%
                                                                                           10%
Figure 6-5. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with 90% prediction interval
(dotted lines) for a technical operator evaluating white paint topcoat on various substrates.
                                                                     38

-------
100%-

 75%-
    «    50%-
    0)
    W)
    O
    a.
         25%-
100%-

 75%-

 50%-

 25%-
               0
                        Operatorjype = NON-TECHNICAL, Topcoat = GREY
___D
//
*Ł»+'
RYWALL
^




PLASTER
7
'
^d&r
•^«MMMB«


METAL

r*


***' !
<
/
WOOD
/
•I^^B^I^t^l^t^l^t^l^

^^^
                     0.8  !  1.2             20

                                Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
                                                                    0.8
1.2
                                                                                            95%
                                                                                     10%
                                                                                            95%
                                                                                            10%
Figure 6-6.  D-LeacT Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with 90% prediction interval
(dotted lines) for a non-technical operator evaluating grey paint topcoat on various substrates.
                                                                       39

-------
                         Operatorjype = NON-TECHNICAL, Topcoat = RED

100%-
^ 75%-
3
8 50%-
0)
^ 25%-
5S
P 0%-
S
100%-
15 75o/0.
Q
L. 50%~
0.
25%-
o%-
c

g
/ *
• «**'
1

<
/ '
.^t^
)RYWAL



BLASTER

r











4
+tf^



m + +&'
METAL



WOOD

r









               0
0.8  1  1.2            20            °-8  1
            Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
                                                                                             95%
                                                                                             10%
                                                                                             95%
                                                                                             10%
Figure 6-7. D-LeacT Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with 90% prediction interval
(dotted lines) for a non-technical operator evaluating red paint topcoat on various substrates.
                                                                       40

-------
                        Operatorjype = NON-TECHNICAL, Topcoat = WHITE
    8.
    0)
    W)
    O
    a.

nn%,—
UU /O
75%-
50%-
25%-
0%-

00%-
75%-
50%-
25%-
U /o ~
t


/'/'



y

)RYWAL




PLASTER

r













//
+*€+*


1 1
-+*&*
METAL

^ ^.^k^


WOOD
_^&HI
^y^
^










               0
0.8  x  1.2            20            °-8  1  L2

            Lead Level (mg/cm^Z)
                                                                                            95%
                                                                10%
                                                                                            95%
                                                                                            10%
Figure 6-8.  D-LeacT Paint Test Kit predicted probability of positive test result (solid lines) with 90% prediction interval

(dotted lines) for a non-technical operator evaluating white paint topcoat on various substrates.
                                                                       41

-------
Based on the modeled probabilities shown in Figures 6-3 through 6-8, threshold values for false
positive and negative rates were established for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit. For the false
positive rate, this threshold value is the lead level, with 95% confidence, below which the D-
Lead® Paint Test Kit would yield fewer than 10% false positive results. For the false negative
rate, this threshold value is the lead level, with 95% confidence, above which the D-Lead® Paint
Test Kit would yield fewer than 5% false negative results. These threshold values are then the
lead levels where the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit is predicted to meet the false positive and negative
criteria set forth in the RRP rule4.

Table 6-13 presents the false positive and negative threshold values for the D-Lead® Paint Test
Kit.  Threshold lead levels are provided for each substrate, lead type, and operator combination
shown in Tables 6-11 and 6-12.

Table 6-13 indicates that overall, across all factors, the false positive threshold is 0.33 mg/cm2
and the overall false negative threshold is 1.05 mg/cm2. The false negative threshold for almost
all variable combinations is approximately 1.0 mg/cm2.  False positive thresholds across operator
type, substrate, and topcoat color were similar to the overall false positive threshold.
Standardized Pearson residuals were calculated to assess goodness of fit of the logistic regression
models. For the
smaller than two.
models. For the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit model, 96.3% of the residuals had absolute values
                                            42

-------
                   J® -
Table 6-13. D-Lead Paint Test Kit false positive and negative threshold values (95%
confidence) based on the modeled probability of test results

OPERATOR TYPE TOPCOAT




NON-TECHNICAL








TECHNICAL




GREY
GREY
GREY
GREY
RED
RED
RED
RED
WHITE
WHITE
WHITE
WHITE
GREY
GREY
GREY
GREY
RED
RED
RED
RED
WHITE
WHITE
WHITE
WHITE

SUBSTRATE
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
DRYWALL
METAL
PLASTER
WOOD
FALSE POSITIVE
THRESHOLD
(mg/cm2)
0.17
0.17
0.25
0.27
0.23
0.23
0.32
0.34
0.25
0.24
0.33
0.35
0.29
0.30
0.37
0.40
0.36
0.36
0.44
0.47
0.37
0.37
0.45
0.48
FALSE NEGATIVE
THRESHOLD
(mg/cm2)
0.90
0.88
0.98
1.01
0.96
0.95
1.04
1.07
0.98
0.97
1.06
1.09
1.03
1.00
1.11
1.13
1.08
1.07
1.17
1.19
1.11
1.09
1.19
1.21
 OVERALL
0.33
1.05
6.5 Matrix Effect
                               ®
The matrix effects for the D-Lead  Paint Test Kit were evaluated with results in Table 6-10.  The
variables that were retained in the multivariable logistic regression model each add significant
explanatory power to their respective models.  Those variables are significantly associated with
the probability of obtaining a positive test result from the kits tested in this study.

For the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit, Table 6-10 indicates that after controlling for the significant
covariates, the likelihood of a positive test result is positively and significantly associated with:
                                            43

-------
higher lead levels, testing by a non-technical operator, drywall and metal substrates, and a grey
topcoat.

Note that there was one technical operator and one non-technical operator for the D-Lead® Paint
Test Kit. Although the variable Operator Type 'technical vs. non-technical' is statistically
significant for D-Lead® Paint Test Kit, it is not clear from these data whether the differences are
due to technical training or due to some other factor associated with those individuals. TSAs
were performed to ensure that each operator was using the test kit properly and according to the
manufacturer's instructions.
6.6 Operational Factors

Both the technical and non-technical operator found the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit instructions to
be clear, informative, and easy to follow.  Step-by-step instructions were provided in the manual
with color pictures of each step being completed. Color examples were also provided in the
instruction manual of sample color changes and the corresponding result (i.e., positive, no lead
(negative), or low lead (negative)). The same color indicator chart was also provided on the
inside of the test kit box for easy viewing.  The non-technical operator received no training from
the vendor and relied solely on the test kit instructions and an informational DVD for his
understanding of the operation of the test kit. Both the technical and non-technical operator
indicated that after reading the instruction manual and a couple of trial runs, they were prepared
to use the test kit. The solutions used for different steps were easily identifiable within the kit and
the storage conditions of the reagents were readily marked. All reagents came prepared and
ready to use.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit came in boxes of 24 tests. Each kit included sample catch trays, a
scoring tool, a cleaning rod, a razor blade with a plastic handle, 25 individually wrapped D-
Wipe® Towels, a waste disposal bag, 24 bottles of Solution 1, and one bottle of Solution 2. All
of these components were housed in a cardboard box that had hazard warnings for the solutions
printed on the front and a color indicator chart printed on the inside of the lid.  The user was
expected to supply a hammer to tap the scoring tool into the sample and collect a paint chip. A
set of instructions for operating the test kit were printed on the sample catch trays (sticky note
paper)  for a convenient reminder of how to operate the kit.  Based on vendor information, the D-
Lead®  Paint Test Kit needed to be stored at a temperature below 50° Celsius prior to opening the
package (below 32° Celsius after opening), out of direct sunlight and away from extreme heat.  If
the solutions freeze, the vendor indicated that they should be allowed to thaw before use.
Expiration dates were provided on the test kit box showing a shelf-life of approximately one
year.

The test kit instructions indicated that appropriate safety precautions should be taken when
working with the test kit and recommended wearing safety glasses and gloves, which were not
provided with the test kit.  Solution 1 contained sodium hydroxide, which is considered an
irritant. Solution 2 contained ammonium sulfide, which is flammable and is also an irritant.
Information on the hazards of these solutions, the chemicals of concern in each solution, the
steps that should be taken to avoid injury, and first aid measures for each  solution were provided
in the test kit instructions as well as on the outside of the box containing the test kit components.
These warnings were provided in large, bold, colored  type that was clearly visible.  Both the

                                            44

-------
technical and non-technical operators followed general laboratory safety procedures and wore a
lab coat, protective eyewear, and gloves at all times. Material safety data sheets (MSDS) sheets
were provided with the test kit for Solutions 1 and 2, the cleaning towels, and the waste disposal
bag absorbent. The absorbent and cleaning towels were not considered flammable but were
considered eye irritants with a health ranking of one on the MSDS sheet.

The Solution 1 bottle and liquid, the used D-Wipe® Towel, and the used sample catch tray were
produced as waste for a single test.  If a positive result is obtained with the test kit, these
components would be considered lead waste. The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit came with its own
waste disposal bag. This consisted of a gallon-size zip-top bag containing an absorbent and
neutralizing material. Instructions for using the waste disposal bag were printed on a label
attached to the outside of the bag. Once a sample was evaluated, the extract from the Solution 1
bottle was poured onto the absorbent, and the uncapped Solution 1 bottle, the used D-Wipe®
Towel, and the used sample catch tray were placed into the waste disposal bag.  The bag was
designed to contain the waste from all 24 tests within a kit.  Once all 24 tests were completed,
the uncapped bottle of Solution 2 was placed into the bag also.  According to the vendor, the
absorbent in the waste disposal bag  was designed to neutralize the test solutions and bind the
lead so that the waste could be safely disposed of as non-hazardous waste in the regular trash.
The D-Wipe® Towel packaging and any gloves worn during sampling were disposed in the
regular trash as well. (Note: Because regulations for the disposal of wastes generated from the
use of lead test kits may vary from state to state, EPA recommends that test kit users contact
their state government agency for proper waste disposal requirements.)

Interpretation of the color change for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was sometimes difficult. The
color of the sample had to be read against a white background to make a proper interpretation.
When the color of the sample was similar to the standard color, it was difficult to determine if
the sample was in fact the same color as the standard or possibly slightly lighter or slightly
darker. In all samples, it was up to the discretion of the user to determine the color of the sample
compared to the color of the standard.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was quick to use. Operation of the test kit took approximately up to
13 minutes, depending on the sample results, for one sample for both the technical and non-
technical operator.  No power supply was needed for the operation of the test kit. As of the
writing of this report, the suggested retail price for each 24-sample D-Lead® Paint Test Kit
package is $84.50.  A home version (Part number PTKIT-6-1.0) includes six tests and has a
suggested retail price of $28.97.
                                           45

-------
                                      Chapter 7
                              Performance Summary


The overall observed false positive rate for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit on PEMs with confirmed
lead levels of < 0.8 mg/cm2 was 16% for the technical operator and 29% for the non-technical
operator. The highest individual observed false positive rate came from the non-technical
operator testing PEMs with yellow lead paint. The overall observed false negative rate on PEMs
with confirmed lead levels >1.2 mg/cm2 was 0% for both the technical and  non-technical
operator.

Overall observed false positive rates on PEMs with confirmed lead levels <1.0 mg/cm2 were
30% for the technical operator and 42% for the non-technical operator. False negative rates for
PEMs with confirmed lead levels of > 1.0 mg/cm2 were 1% for both the technical  and non-
technical operator.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit provided overall consistent responses (either positive  or negative)
for both the technical and non-technical operator for all lead levels except 0.6 mg/cm2. At this
level, responses were only consistent 54% of the time (i.e., consistently positive 54% of the
time).  Across all substrates, lead type, and operator, responses produced by the D-Lead® Paint
Test Kit on PEMs with confirmed lead levels near 1.0 mg/cm2 or greater were consistently
positive >90% of the time. Results on PEMs with lead levels near 0.3 mg/cm2 or less were
consistently negative 94% of the time or more. Results from the  D-Lead®  Paint Test Kit
indicated 100% precision on PEMs containing no lead and 85% precision on yellow and white
lead PEMs.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was also sensitive down to 1.0 mg/cm2 lead across both operator
types and lead levels. This is the lowest sensitivity attainable based on the test design and
qualitative nature of the test kits. The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit does, however, provide graded
responses to lead concentrations <1.0 mg/cm2. The kit has indications for both low lead and no
lead responses.

Under the RRP rule2, a test kit must yield a  demonstrated probability (with  95% confidence) of
no more than 10% false positives at lead concentrations below 0.8 mg/cm2 and a demonstrated
probability (with 95% confidence) of no more than 5% false negatives at concentrations above
1.2 mg/cm2 to meet the rule criteria. The modeled probability curve results  indicate that at 0.8
mg/cm2, there is no combination of variables (operator, substrate, or topcoat) where the upper
prediction bound provides a false positive rate of <10%. For all possible variable  combinations
but one, a false negative rate of <5% is predicted.  The highest predicted false negative rate is
5.4% for a technical operator evaluating lead paint with a white topcoat on wood.

                                          46

-------
Based on the modeled probabilities, an overall false positive threshold value (i.e., the lead level,
with 95% confidence, below which the test kit would yield fewer than 10% false positive results)
of 0.33 mg/cm2 lead could be established. Similarly, across all factors of significance, a false
negative threshold value (the lead level, with 95% confidence, above which the test kit would
yield fewer than 5% false negative results) of 1.05 mg/cm2 could be established for the D-Lead®
Paint Test Kit.

After controlling for the significant covariates, the likelihood of a positive test result is positively
and significantly associated with: higher lead levels, testing by a non-technical operator, drywall
and metal substrates, and a grey topcoat. It is not significantly and positively associated with
testing by a technical operator, plaster and wood substrates, or red and white topcoats.

Both the technical and non-technical operator found the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit instructions to
be clear, informative, and easy to follow.  Step-by-step instructions were provided in the manual
with color pictures of each step being completed. Color examples were also provided in the
instruction manual of sample color changes and the corresponding result (i.e., positive, no lead
(negative), or low lead (negative)).  The same color indicator chart was also provided on the
inside of the test kit box for easy viewing. The solutions used for different steps were easily
identifiable within the kit and the storage conditions of the reagents were readily marked.  All
reagents came prepared and ready to use.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit came in boxes of 24 tests.  Each kit included sample catch trays, a
scoring tool, a cleaning rod, a razor blade with a safety handle, 25 individually wrapped D-
Wipe® Towels, a waste disposal bag, 24 bottles  of Solution  1, and one bottle of Solution 2.  All
of these components were housed in a cardboard box that had hazard warnings for the solutions
printed on the front and a color indicator chart printed on the inside of the lid. The user was
expected to supply a hammer to tap the scoring tool into the sample and collect a paint chip. A
set of instructions for operating the test kit were printed on the sample catch trays (sticky note
paper) for a convenient reminder of how to operate the kit.

The  Solution 1 bottle and liquid, the used D-Wipe® Towel, and the used sample catch tray were
produced as waste for a single test.  If a positive  result is obtained with the test kit, these
components would be considered lead waste. The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit came with its own
waste disposal bag.  This consisted of a gallon-size zip-top bag containing an absorbent and
neutralizing material.  Instructions for using the waste disposal bag were printed on a label
attached to the outside of the bag.  Once  a sample was evaluated, the extract from the Solution 1
bottle was poured onto the absorbent, and the uncapped Solution 1 bottle, the used D-Wipe®
Towel, and the used sample catch tray were placed into the waste disposal bag. According to the
vendor, the absorbent in the waste disposal bag was designed to neutralize the test solutions and
bind the lead so that the waste could be safely disposed of as non-hazardous waste in the regular
trash. (Note: Because regulations for the disposal of wastes generated from the use of lead test
kits may vary from state to state, EPA recommends that test kit users contact their state
government agency for proper waste disposal requirements.) The bag was designed to contain
the waste from all 24 tests within a kit.

Interpretation of the color change for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was sometimes difficult. The
color of the sample had to be read against a white background to make a proper interpretation.
When the color of the sample was similar to the standard color, it was difficult to determine if
                                           47

-------
the sample was in fact the same color as the standard or possibly slightly lighter or slightly
darker. In all samples, it was up to the judgment of the user to determine the color of the sample
compared to the color of the standard.

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was quick to use. Operation of the test kit took approximately 3-13
minutes, depending on the sample results, for one sample for both the technical and non-
technical operator.  No power supply was needed for the operation of the test kit.  The projected
suggested retail cost for each 24-sample D-Lead® Paint Test Kit package is $84.50. A home
version (Part number PTKIT-6-1.0) includes six tests and has a suggested retail price of $28.97.
                                          48

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                                     Chapter 8
                                     References
1.  Test/QA Plan for Verification of Qualitative Spot Test Kits for Lead in Paint, Battelle,
   Columbus, Ohio, March 29, 2010.

2.  "Lead Renovation, Repair, and Painting Program Final Rule", Federal Register, 73:78
   (April 22, 2008), p.21692.

3.  President's Task Force on Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks to Children.
   Eliminating Childhood Lead Poisoning: A Federal Strategy Targeting Lead Paint Hazards.
   2000. Washington, DC.

4.  NISTIR 6398, "Spot Test Kit for Detecting Lead in Household Paint: A Laboratory
   Evaluation," NIST, May 2000.

5.  ASTM E1828, "Standard Practice for Evaluating the Performance Characteristics of
   Qualitative Chemical Spot Test Kits for Lead in Paint," ASTM International.

6.  Revised Plan For Development And Production Of Performance Evaluation Materials For
   Testing Of Test Kits For Lead In Paint Under The Environmental Technology Verification
   Program, Battelle, Columbus, Ohio, September 2008.

7.  Standard Operating Procedure for Collection of Dried Paint Samples for Lead Determination,
   Battelle, Columbus, OH.

8.  ASTM El 729, "Standard Practice for Field Collection of Dried Paint Samples for
   Subsequent Lead Determination," ASTM International.

9.  Quality Management Plan (QMP) for the ETV Advanced Monitoring Systems Center, U.S.
   EPA Environmental Technology Verification Program, prepared by Battelle, Columbus, OH,
   Version 7.0, 2008.

10.  "Environmental Technology Verification Program Quality Management Plan", December
   2002, EPA/600/R-03/021.

11. Standard Operating Procedure for Analysis of Lead in Paint Samples for Battelle, Schneider
   Laboratories, Inc., Doc #111-044-10-011, January 20, 2010, revised February 24, 2010 and
   April 25, 2010.


                                          49

-------
12. Cook, J. and L. A. Stefanski. 1994. A simulation extrapolation method for parametric
   measurement error models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 89: 1314-1328.

13. Hardin, J. W., H. Schmiediche, and R. J. Carroll. 2003a. The simulation extrapolation
   method for fitting generalized linear models with additive measurement error. Stata Journal
   3(4): 373-385.

14. Hardin, J. W. and R. J. Carroll. 2003b. Measurement error, GLMs, and notational
   conventions. Stata Journal 3(4): 328-340.

15. Hardin, J. W., H. Schmiediche, and R. J. Carroll. 2003c. The regression-calibration method
   for fitting generalized linear models with additive measurement error. Stata Journal 3(4):
   360-371.

16. Stefanski, L. A. and J. Cook. 1995. Simulation extrapolation: The measurement error
   jackknife. Journal of the American Statistical Association 90(432): 1247-1256.
                                           50

-------
       Appendix A
Performance Evaluation Materials
     Summary Information

-------
                      List of Abbreviations and Acronyms
AMS
ASTM
CCV
CoV
CRM
DI
EPA
ESTE
ETV
FT
HVLP
ICP-AES
ICS
ICV
LCS
mg/cm2
mg/kg
mL
MSDS
NLLAP
PEM
ppb
QA
QC
QMP
RH
RPD
SOP
Advanced Monitoring Systems
American Society for Testing and Materials
continuing calibration verification
coeffi ci ent of vari ati on
certified reference material
deionized
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Environmental and Sustainable Technology Evaluations
Environmental Technology Verification
film thickness
high volume/low pressure
inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectrometry
interference check sample
initial calibration verification
laboratory control spike
micrograms per liter
microliters
milligrams per centimeter squared
milligrams per kilogram
milliliter
material safety data sheets
National Lead Laboratory Accreditation Program
performance evaluation material
parts per billion
quality assurance
quality control
quality management plan
relative humidity
relative percent difference
standard operating procedure
                                      A-2

-------
         Section Al
         Preparation of
Performance Evaluation Materials
             A-3

-------
Executive Summary

Battelle prepared a batch of performance evaluation materials (PEMs) for use in an
Environmental Technology Verification (ETV) program evaluation of the performance of lead
paint test kits.  These PEMs encompass two lead types (white lead [lead carbonate] and yellow
lead [lead chromate]), four separate substrates (metal, wood, drywall, and plaster), and six lead
levels within each lead type (0.3, 0.6, 1.0, 1.4, 2.0, and 6.0 mg/cm2). The goal of the production
was to produce panels at a specified lead level with minimal variability across and within panels.
The study design called for a verification and homogeneity study involving inductively coupled
plasma (ICP) testing of the painted metal panels to determine applied lead levels.  Initial
application procedures included spray application for paints at 2.0 and 6.0 mg/cm2, but testing
indicated that spray application yielded high variability in lead levels. As a result, the Battelle
team, in consultation with U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), decided to apply all
lead paint layers via drawdown bar, which enables more precision in the thickness of the paint
layer applied. Later in the development process, continued high variability measurements led to
the team's decision to include silica in the formulations of each lead paint to thicken the paint
and allow for a more even coating.

Verification and homogeneity testing was conducted for all 12 lead paints as well as the one no-
lead control paint.  Verification testing determined the formulation and drawdown bar best suited
to yield a particular lead level.  Homogeneity test results were assessed for proximity to target
lead levels, lead level range, and variability within and between panels.  All paints passed
verification and homogeneity testing.

After completing the verification and homogeneity testing, base paint layers were applied for all
12 sets of lead paints (two lead types by six lead levels) and the no-lead paint.  Paint chips were
sampled and analyzed from the metal reference panels within each set of PEMs. The metal
reference panel measurements met target specifications for all sets of PEMs. All nine  sets of 468
panels each were appropriately labeled and packaged. All reference PEM concentrations and
homogeneity results were reviewed and approved by EPA prior to full-scale production of a set.

Study Design

The initial study design specified production of the ETV PEMs using six lead levels (0.3, 0.6,
1.0, 1.4, 2.0, and 6.0 mg/cm2), two lead types (white and yellow lead), four substrates  (wood,
metal, drywall, and plaster), and three topcoat colors (white, red-orange, and grey-black), as
specified in Table A-l. For the wood substrates, both poplar and pine wood panels were
produced, segregated, and uniquely labeled to be consistent with the design in Table A-l.

The final design specified production of 624 panels for each of seven test kits for a total of 4,368
panels.  Late in the development process, the planned evaluation design changed so that only 468
panels were required to test each of nine test kits for a total of 4,212 PEMs needed for the ETV
test.
                                         A-4

-------
Table A-l: PEMs Produced for ETV Evaluation

Lead Type
Control Blank
White Lead
(Lead
Carbonate)
Yellow Lead
(Lead
Chromate)

Lead Level
(mg/cm2)
0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
0.3,0.6,1.0,
1.4,2.0, 6.0
Substrate
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Wood-Poplar
Wood-Pine
Metal
Drywall
Plaster
Subtotal - Per Test Kit
# Samples Produced Per Test Kit by To
White
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
Red-Orange
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
Grey-Black
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2
2
4
4
4
2 panels per cell for Wood substrates, 4
panels per cell for other substrates (same
design as White Lead panels)
208
208
208
pcoat Color
Total
6
6
12
12
12
6
6
12
12
12
6
6
12
12
12
6
6
12
12
12
6
6
12
12
12
6
6
12
12
12
6
6
12
12
12
36
36
72
72
72
624
7 Test Kits
42
42
84
84
84
42
42
84
84
84
42
42
84
84
84
42
42
84
84
84
42
42
84
84
84
42
42
84
84
84
42
42
84
84
84
252
252
504
504
504
4,368
The original design plan called for a target lead concentration of 0.3 mg/cm for a set of PEMs.
During the writing of the ETV test/quality assurance plan, preliminary ICP results indicated that
the target level for this set of PEMs might be closer to 0.4 mg/cm2. The preliminary results were
used in the ETV test plan.
                                        A-5

-------
Substrate Preparation

The ETV PEMs included four different substrate types - metal, wood, drywall, and plaster;
although two types of wood (pine and poplar) were utilized. The following bulleted lists
describe the steps taken to prepare each of the types of substrates.

Metal
    •   Iron Phosphate Steel panels 0.032" x 3" x 3" were placed in an isopropyl alcohol bath and
       carefully wiped and dried before being placed in plastic bags prior to coating.
    •   The solvent wipe step was performed to ensure that residue oils/fingerprints from the
       manufacturing processes were removed.

Wood
    •   Wood (pine and poplar) was purchased in 4" widths, planed, and cut into 3" x 3" panels.
    •   PEMs were placed into constant temperature and humidity conditioning rooms prior to
       coating application to ensure uniform water content through each panel prior to coating.
       [Note that plaster and drywall panels are less sensitive to water absorption prior to
       coating.]

Drywall
    •   4" x 8" x 3/8" gypsum drywall sheets were cut into 3" x 3" panels.

Plaster
    •   Two j oint compound materials were evaluated for ease of application and smoothness to
       ensure the best surface for coating. USG Joint Compound provided the smoothest
       surface and was used to coat panels at about 1/32" thickness.
    •   A 3 " x 4' strip of 3/8" thick gypsum drywall was placed into jig, then plaster joint
       compound was smoothed over top surface to a precise 1/32" thickness. Plastered drywall
       strips were then cut down into 3" x 3" panels.

Sealer Application to Drywall and Plaster PEMs
    •   Stacks of drywall and plaster PEMs were sealed on cut edges with no lead latex
       primer/sealer to eliminate dusting.

All panels were then placed in constant temperature and humidity conditioning rooms prior to
coating application.

Spray Application Facilities and Equipment

Battelle's laboratory includes a walk-in spray booth capable of this type  of production as well as
air handling equipment and monitors to ensure the safety of Battelle staff. Although the 0.3 and
6.0 mg/cm2 white lead and no-lead paints were applied via spray application, all other
application of lead paint layers was performed using drawdown bars in a laboratory setting. All
topcoats were applied by spray application in the spray booth.  Details on the equipment used in
these  processes are listed below.
                                         A-6

-------
Spray Booth
    •   10' x 10' x 7.5' double door spray booth
    •   Compressed air supply for spray equipment
    •   Spray equipment consists of a high volume/low pressure (HVLP) gravity fed DeVilbiss
       spray gun
    •   Plastic sheeting covering walls and floor to minimize clean-up time

Conditioning Rooms
    •   Constant temperature (75°Farenheit)) and humidity (50% relative humidity [RH])) rooms
       for substrate conditioning (the variability in temperature and RH is not tracked in those
       rooms)
    •   Substrates were conditioned both before and after coating application. Wood substrates
       were conditioned a minimum of two weeks prior to coating. All substrates were
       conditioned a minimum of 48 hours after coating and before bagging and wrapping.
    •   Plastic covering was placed on the floor to minimize clean-up time after transporting
       drying racks from the coating application lab into the conditioning rooms.

Environmental Health and Safety

Battelle developed a health and safety plan related to producing lead-based paint and PEMs
coated with these paints. The plan was approved internally by appropriate environmental safety
and health personnel.  Environmental monitoring during paint mixing and spraying activities
determined that lead exposure levels for workers were below Occupational Safety and Health
Administration standards.  Some of the components of the safety plan included:
    •   All staff and any visitors were required to have documented hazard communication
       training on lead.
    •   Baseline and post-work blood-lead levels were obtained for those Battelle staff that
       conducted the paint mixing and spray painting.
    •   Respirators were used during leaded paint production
    •   Spray application operations staff were required to have a physical, appropriate training,
       and to pass a respirator fit test.
    •   The interior of the spray booth was covered with plastic or other material that could be
       easily removed and was then disposed of as hazardous waste.
    •   The area in front of the booth was set up as a change-out area where personal protective
       equipment, such as coveralls, etc., could be removed without spreading lead outside of
       the area.
    •   Warning signs restricting access were posted at the paint booth door.

Preparation of Linseed Oil Based Leaded Paints

To formulate historically accurate lead-based paints to apply to PEMs, Battelle consulted
Bennett's The Chemical Formulary - A Collection of Valuable, Timely, Practical Commercial
Formulae and Recipes for Making Thousands of Products in Many Fields of Industry, Volume
VI.l  The Chemical  Formulary had been printed with revisions every year until at least 1998.
Sample formulations from  this reference are listed below in Table A-2.  Since the paints
produced for the ETV verification of lead test kits were being applied to metal, drywall, plaster
                                         A-7

-------
and wood, Battelle used a combination of formulations from Chapter Thirteen - Paint, Varnish,
Lacquer and Other Coatings to ensure adhesion to all substrates. Battelle reviewed the various
relevant historical formulations and developed formulations to apply to the PEMs that would
work best for application to the four substrates being used, i.e. would provide the best adhesion
to the variety of substrates required while achieving desired target lead levels.

Table A-2: Paint Formulations from The Chemical Formulary
Floor Painting and Finishing (p.
281) (for raw wood)

Soft Paste White Lead, 100 Ib.
Raw Linseed Oil, 3 gal.
Turpentine, 2 gal.
Liquid Drier, 1 pt.
Plaster, Primer (p. 332)
White Lead, Semi-Paste, 100 Ib.
Interior Varnish, 4 gal.
Linseed Oil, Kettle Bodied, 2 gal.
Turpentine, % gal.
Exterior House Paint Pigments
White (p. 328)

35% Leaded Oxide, 45 Ib.
White Lead, 181b.
Titanium Dioxide, 15 Ib.
Inert, 22 Ib. (Battelle used Zinc
Oxide)	
In preparing the lead-based paints for the PEMs, Battelle used a combination of raw and boiled
linseed oil to ensure realistic drying time and good adhesion to the variety of substrates. A
variety of other formulas in the reference also mix these two resins.

A similar formulation was also found in Charles Uebele' s Paint Making and Color Grinding: A
Practical Treatise for Paint Manufacturers and Factory Managers2. The excerpt below explains
the difference in formulation requirements based on the substrate to which the paint will be
applied.

       "CHAPTER XXV - DIPPING PAINTS.
       Dipping Paints for Wood or Metal require to be made specially for either surface, as that
       intended for wood will not always serve the purpose for metal.  The paint for wood
       requires to contain a pigment that acts as a filler, while tin or smooth sheet iron or steel
       does not necessarily need it, in fact, it is best without it for certain metallic surfaces. The
      function of a dipping paint is, first of all, to economize in labor, to cover uniformly
       any article immersed in it, and to dip freely without leaving fringes of paint at the edges
       and dry equally all over the surface thus coated.

       Metal Preservative Red may be made by grinding a base of 40 pounds bright red oxide of
       95 per cent, purity, 8 pounds red lead, 2 pounds zinc chr ornate, 25 pounds floated silex or
       silica in 25 pounds raw linseed oil thinning same with 5 gallons raw linseed oil, 1 gallon
       hard gum japan and Y% gallon turps. This will produce 12 gallons of paint weighing a
       trifle over II pounds per gallon. By substituting a long stock of hard gum varnish for part
       of the 5 gallons raw oil a  hard drying product will be the result. "

In support of achieving consistent application of the lead-based paints  in terms of film thickness
and lead  level, Battelle investigated additions of various elements to mitigate settling and
improve  application.  Silicon dioxide was selected for this purpose because it was present in pre-
1978 leaded paints, is used for thickening and anti-settling properties in modern paint
formulations, and achieved the most consistent results. Battelle established the historical
                                          A-8

-------
precedent for including silica in paints in a technical report submitted to EPA on February 19,
20093.

The primer and topcoats applied to the PEMs on top of the lead-based paints (or base paint for
the no-lead panels) all contain some form of Diatomaceous Silica, as well. The primer and three
topcoats applied are listed below.
   •   Sherwin Williams brand PreRite Bonding Primer
   •   Sherwin Williams Classic 99 Interior Satin Latex color Extra White
   •   Sherwin Williams Classic 99 Interior Satin Latex color 7047 Software (Grey)
   •   Sherwin Williams Accents Interior Satin Latex color 6867 Fireworks (red-orange)

Section 2 of the primer Material Safety Data Sheet (MSDS) specifies that the primer contains 9%
quartz. Quartz is referred to as "Crystalline Silica" in Section 11 of the MSDS. The MSDSs for
the three topcoats specify Cristobalite (CAS 14464-46-1) as an ingredient, which is a synonym
for silicon dioxide and also referred to as Crystalline Silica in Section 11.  All panels have some
level of silica in the topcoat layers.

The paint formulations used for this effort were based on historical records. Primary ingredients
included zinc oxide, raw and boiled linseed oil, turpentine, Japan drier, either lead carbonate or
lead chromate, and titanium dioxide (used to balance the levels of lead). Nine different paint
formulations were produced as dictated by the two lead pigments (lead carbonate and lead
chromate) and the six different lead levels in addition to the zero lead level control. The
formulations were designed to consistently achieve the lead levels required when applied at
typical wet film builds.

The paint formulations are shown in Tables A-3 and A-4 below. Since the molecular
compositions of the two lead pigments are different, the formulations have accounted for these
differences by adjusting the load levels.  However, the formulations for the 0% lead chromate
and carbonate were the same because no lead pigment was used in either.
                                         A-9

-------
Table A-3. White Lead (Lead Carbonate) Paint Formulations
0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7.0
7.0

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


OLead
14.79
0.00
6.16
1.48
0.15
2.16
0.05

24.8
0 Lead % by wt.
59.67%
0.00%
24.86%
5.97%
0.60%
8.70%
0.20%

100%
Sample reduced to 60% solids, 0% of TS-100 silica added then sprayed to thickness.


0.3% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


0.3 Lead
14.85
1.49
4.95
1.49
0.15
2.17
0.05

25.1
0.3 Lead % by wt.
59.08%
5.91%
19.69%
5.91%
0.59%
8.62%
0.20%

100%
Sample reduced to 60% solids, 0% of TS-100 silica added then sprayed to 3 milswet.
Gram wt
1491.75
0.00
621.56
149.18
14.92
217.55
5.04

2500



Gram wt
1477.08
147.71
492.36
147.71
14.77
215.41
4.97

2500


0.6% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


Sample reduced to

GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


0.6 Lead
14.77
1.77
4.92
1.48
0.15
2.15
0.03

25.3
0.6 Lead % by wt.
58.45%
7.00%
19.47%
5.86%
0.59%
8.51%
0.12%

100%
70% solids, 0.7% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with # 24 bar.



Gram wt
1461.22
175.11
486.74
146.42
14.84
212.70
2.97

2500


1.0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbC03
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


Thisformulation wi


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.0 Lead
14.40
3.00
4.80
1.44
0.14
2.10
0.05

25.9
1.0 Lead % by wt
55.53%
11.57%
18.51%
5.55%
0.56%
8.10%
0.19%

100%
I be used to produce 0.6% and 1.4% lead levels at different coating thick






Gram wt
832.88
173.52
277.63
83.29
8.33
121.46
2.89

1500
ess.


1.4% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.4 Lead
13.22
4.21
4.81
1.44
0.14
2.1
0.03

26.0
1.4 Lead % by wt
50.94%
16.22%
18.54%
5.55%
0.54%
8.09%
0.12%

100%
Gram wt
764.16
243.35
278.03
83.24
8.09
121.39
1.73

1500
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with # 54 bar.
2.0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


2.0 Lead
12.88
6.08
4.12
1.41
0.14
2.06
0.05

26.7
2.0 Lead % by wt
48.16%
22.73%
15.41%
5.28%
0.53%
7.70%
0.19%

100%
Sample reduced to 65% solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #40 bar.


Gram wt
722.42
340.98
231.17
79.20
7.92
115.50
2.80

1500


6.0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


6.0 Lead
4.70
18.10
1.57
1.43
0.14
2.09
0.05

28.1
6.0 Lead % by wt
16.73%
64.49%
5.58%
5.09%
0.51%
7.43%
0.18%

100%
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 1% of TS-100 silica added then sprayed to thickness.
Gram wt
250.89
967.34
83.63
76.40
7.64
111.42
2.67

1500

                         A-10

-------
0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7.0
7.0

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


OLead
14.79
0.00
6.16
1.48
0.15
2.16
0.05

24.8
0 Lead % by wt.
59.67%
0.00%
24.86%
5.97%
0.60%
8.70%
0.20%

100%
Sample reduced to 60% solids, 0% of TS-100 silica added then sprayed to thickness.



Gram wt
1491.75
0.00
621.56
149.18
14.92
217.55
5.04

2500


0.3% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


0.3 Lead
14.85
1.49
4.95
1.49
0.15
2.17
0.05

25.1
0.3 Lead % by wt.
59.08%
5.91%
19.69%
5.91%
0.59%
8.62%
0.20%

100%
Sample reduced to 60% solids, 0% of TS-100 silica added then sprayed to 3 mils wet.



Gram wt
1477.08
147.71
492.36
147.71
14.77
215.41
4.97

2500


0.6% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


0.6 Lead
14.77
1.77
4.92
1.48
0.15
2.15
0.03

25.3
0.6 Lead % by wt.
58.45%
7.00%
19.47%
5.86%
0.59%
8.51%
0.12%

100%
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 0.7% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with # 24 bar.



Gram wt
1461.22
175.11
486.74
146.42
14.84
212.70
2.97

2500


1 .0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbC03
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


Thisformulation wi


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.0 Lead
14.40
3.00
4.80
1.44
0.14
2.10
0.05

25.9
1.0 Lead % by wt
55.53%
11.57%
18.51%
5.55%
0.56%
8.10%
0.19%

100%
Gram wt
832.88
173.52
277.63
83.29
8.33
121.46
2.89

1500
I be used to produce 0.6% and 1.4% lead levels at different coating thickness



1 .4% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.4 Lead
13.22
4.21
4.81
1.44
0.14
2.1
0.03

26.0
1.4 Lead % by wt
50.94%
16.22%
18.54%
5.55%
0.54%
8.09%
0.12%

100%
Gram wt
764.16
243.35
278.03
83.24
8.09
121.39
1.73

1500
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with # 54 bar.
2.0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


2.0 Lead
12.88
6.08
4.12
1.41
0.14
2.06
0.05

26.7
2.0 Lead % by wt
48.16%
22.73%
15.41%
5.28%
0.53%
7.70%
0.19%

100%
Sample reduced to 65% solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #40 bar.
Gram wt
722.42
340.98
231.17
79.20
7.92
115.50
2.80

1500

6.0% Lead Carbonate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCO3
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot*
ZC-XD13
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


6.0 Lead
4.70
18.10
1.57
1.43
0.14
2.09
0.05

28.1
6.0 Lead % by wt
16.73%
64.49%
5.58%
5.09%
0.51%
7.43%
0.18%

100%
Gram wt
250.89
967.34
83.63
76.40
7.64
111.42
2.67

1500
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 1% of TS-100 silica added then sprayed to thickness.
A-ll

-------
Table A-4. Yellow Lead (Lead Chromate) Paint Formulations
0.3% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr
0.3 Lead
14.97
1.10
4.99
1.50
0.15
2.18
0.05

Total


24.9
0.3Lead% bywt.
60.03%
4.40%
20.01%
6.00%
0.60%
8.75%
0.20%

100%
Gram wt
1500.74
110.05
500.25
150.07
15.01
218.86
5.01

2500
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 0.7% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #34 bar.
0.6% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TIO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


0.6 Lead
14.65
2.15
4.88
1.47
0.15
2.14
0.03

25.5
0.6Lead% bywt.
57.52%
8.44%
19.16%
5.77%
0.59%
8.40%
0.12%

100%
Gram wt
1437.97
211.03
478.99
144.29
14.72
210.05
2.94

2500
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #24 bar.
1.0% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TIO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


This formulation will be used to produce 0
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.0 Lead
14.40
3.00
4.80
1.44
0.14
2.10
0.05

25.9

1.0 Lead % bywt
55.53%
11.57%
18.51%
5.55%
0.56%
8.10%
0.19%

100%
Gram wt
832.88
173.52
277.63
83.29
8.33
121.46
2.89

1500
ferent coatinq thickness.
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #48 bar.
1.4% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.4 Lead
13.21
5.09
4.2
1.44
0.14
2.1
0.03

26.2
1.4 Lead % bywt
50.40%
19.42%
16.02%
5.49%
0.53%
8.01%
0.11%

100%
Gram wt
1260.02
485.50
400.61
137.35
13.35
200.31
2.86

2500
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1% of Aerosil 200 silica added then drawdown with #60 bar.




2.0% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr
2.0 Lead
10.90
7.17
3.81
1.49
0.15
2.18
0.05

Total


25.8
2.0 Lead % bywt
42.32%
27.83%
14.81%
5.80%
0.58%
8.46%
0.19%

100%
Gram wt
1058.12
695.72
370.34
145.00
14.50
211.46
4.85

2500
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #42 bar.





6.0% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr
6.0 Lead
1.65
21.43
0.55
1.51
0.15
2.20
0.05

Total


27.5
6.0 Lead % bywt
5.99%
77.84%
2.00%
5.47%
0.55%
7.98%
0.18%

100%
Gram wt
149.69
1946.00
49.90
136.75
13.68
199.43
4.54

2500
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 2% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #54 bar.
                        A-12

-------
0.3% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr
0.3 Lead
14.97
1.10
4.99
1.50
0.15
2.18
0.05

Total


24.9
0.3 Lead % bywt.
60.03%
4.40%
20.01%
6.00%
0.60%
8.75%
0.20%

100%
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 0.7% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #34 bar.



Gram wt
1500.74
110.05
500.25
150.07
15.01
218.86
5.01

2500


0.6% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TIO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


0.6 Lead
14.65
2.15
4.88
1.47
0.15
2.14
0.03

25.5
0.6 Lead % bywt.
57.52%
8.44%
19.16%
5.77%
0.59%
8.40%
0.12%

100%
Gram wt
1437.97
211.03
478.99
144.29
14.72
210.05
2.94

2500
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #24 bar.
1.0% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TIO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.0 Lead
14.40
3.00
4.80
1.44
0.14
2.10
0.05

25.9
1.0 Lead % bywt
55.53%
11.57%
18.51%
5.55%
0.56%
8.10%
0.19%

100%
Gram wt
832.88
173.52
277.63
83.29
8.33
121.46
2.89

1500
This formulation will be used to produce 0.6% and 1.4% lead evelsat different coating thickness.
Sample reduced to 70 % solids, 1% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #48 bar.
1.4% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TIO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


Sample reduced to

GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7

Total
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40


Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr


1.4 Lead
13.21
5.09
4.2
1.44
0.14
2.1
0.03

26.2
1.4 Lead % bywt
50.40%
19.42%
16.02%
5.49%
0.53%
8.01%
0.11%

100%
Gram wt
1260.02
485.50
400.61
137.35
13.35
200.31
2.86

2500
70 % solids, 1% of Aerosil 200 silica added then drawdown with #60 bar.


2.0% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TIO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr
2.0 Lead
10.90
7.17
3.81
1.49
0.15
2.18
0.05

Total


25.8
2.0 Lead % bywt
42.32%
27.83%
14.81%
5.80%
0.58%
8.46%
0.19%

100%


Gram wt
1058.12
695.72
370.34
145.00
14.50
211.46
4.85

2500
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 1.5% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #42 bar.
6.0% Lead Chromate Paint Formulation
Materials
ZnO
PbCrO4
TiO2
Linseed Oil
Boiled Linseed Oil
Turpentine
Japan Drier


GW
47.3
51
37
7.8
7.7
7
7
Lot#
ZC-X013
1401047-267
931407T.12
83734
83404
83304
PJD40
Supplier
The Carry Co.
American Elements
DuPont
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Recochem Inc.
Barr
6.0 Lead
1.65
21.43
0.55
1.51
0.15
2.20
0.05

Total


27.5
6.0 Lead % bywt
5.99%
77.84%
2.00%
5.47%
0.55%
7.98%
0.18%

100%
Gram wt
149.69
1946.00
49.90
136.75
13.68
199.43
4.54

2500
Sample reduced to 70% solids, 2% of TS-100 silica added then drawdown with #54 bar.
A-13

-------
Paint Formulation Procedures

The paint samples were produced using standard painting production procedures in the Battelle
laboratories, including pre-mixing, media grinding of pigment and binder resin, and paint
letdown with resin and solvents. This procedure has been used for paint production both in the
laboratory and in commercial paint manufacturing for over 50 years. The equipment utilized in
this procedure includes the following:
   •   Variac that controls the speed of the dispersator
   •   High speed dispersator using a 5" diameter blade on the end of the mixing shaft
   •   Ice bath and ice
   •   Balance
   •   Paint cans
   •   Medium paint filters
   •   Red Devil paint shaker

Following are the detailed steps in the paint formulation procedure:
   1.  Add enough turpentine to cover mixing blade.
   2.  Start mixer at low speed.
   3.  Add zinc oxide slowly for 3-5 minutes, increasing mixing speed as needed to maintain
       appropriate grind viscosity as visually evaluated by an operator skilled in the art.
   4.  Add turpentine as needed to keep the batch rolling.
   5.  Mix additional 10 minutes after addition of zinc oxide.
   6.  Add lead pigment slowly for 2-4 minutes, increasing mixing speed as needed.
   7.  Add turpentine as needed to keep the batch rolling.
   8.  Mix additional 10 minutes after addition of lead pigments.
   9.  Add titanium dioxide slowly for 3-5 minutes, increasing mixing speed as needed.
   10. Add turpentine as needed to keep the batch rolling.
   11. Mix for 60-90 minutes, or until batch viscosity decreases, determined by rolling action of
       the batch.
   12. Check Hegman, if < 5 continue to mix, and check Hegman every 10 minutes.4
   13. When Hegman reaches ^ or > 5, start the let down, which includes adding all remaining
       liquid raw materials after the pigment and extenders have been dispersed adequately.
   14. Add boiled and raw linseed oil slowly and decrease mixing speed.
   15. Add turpentine to wash out linseed oil container.
   16. Mix additional 10 minutes after addition of linseed oils.
   17. Add Japan drier drop wise to batch.
   18. Mix additional 10 minutes after addition of Japan drier.
   19. Tare quart cans.
   20. Filter batch with medium paint filters into tared quart cans.
   21. Note net weight and log book number of batch on quart cans.
   22. Yields about ll/2 quarts of lead paint per batch.
   23. Allow paint to set overnight.
   24. Shake paint with Red Devil paint shaker for about 10 minutes take samples for % solids
       check.
   25. Check paint solids with moisture balance and record average of three test results on
       formulation sheet.
                                         A-14

-------
   26. Store paint in aluminum cans in laboratory hood until future use.
Verification and Homogeneity Studies

Various batches of paint were prepared for the initial verification tests - one targeting each lead
level. Each paint was applied via drawdown or hand spraying to 3.5" x 5" metal panels attached
to a wooden rack. For each paint type and concentration batch, panels were coated to determine
proper film thickness, formulations, and drawdown bars to use, if applicable, to achieve each
desired lead level. Subsequently, homogeneity panels were coated to investigate ability to
achieve target lead levels and variability within and across panels. Verification and homogeneity
studies were performed on metal panels only due to ease and accuracy of sample extraction, i.e.,
it was easiest to obtain a 1 inch square sample from the metal surface which led to the most
accurate measurements of lead content in the sampled area, which was critical for verification
purposes.

After drying, paint chip samples were obtained from the metal panels following ASTM E1729.5
Laboratory analysis for lead by inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectrometry (ICP-
AES) was planned and conducted at an independent National Lead Laboratory Accreditation
Program (NLLAP)-accredited laboratory, Schneider Laboratories, Inc. ICP-AES testing was
conducted on three panels for each lead level with four samples obtained from each panel,
referred to as Homogeneity Panels since the primary purpose of the samples was to assess
consistency of lead levels across and within panels. The paint chips were digested using EPA
Method 3050B6 and the ICP-AES analysis was conducted following EPA Method 6010C7 as
well as the Schneider Laboratories, Inc. ICP SOP.8 The laboratory electronically reported lead
level measurements along with quality control (QC) sample results. Laboratory spike and
duplicate results as well as calibration verification sample results were supplied and reviewed for
each batch of samples analyzed. Acceptable recoveries for spike samples ranged from 80% to
120%.  Acceptable recoveries for calibration verification samples were 90-110%. Acceptable
duplicate samples had a relative percent difference of 25% or less. Percent recoveries for
calibration verification samples ranged from 93-110%. Recoveries for QC spike samples ranged
from 92-115%.  All duplicate samples had less than 25% relative percent difference. There were
no QC failures or problems.

Film thickness measurements were obtained by Battelle for each  paint sample taken.  Results of
the final batches of homogeneity samples for each set of PEMs are included in Table A-5.
Results were evaluated to determine correspondence to target lead levels and level of variability
as measured by the coefficient of variation (CoV), the standard deviation divided by the mean.
The production plan, agreed to in advance, specified a minimum  acceptability of a CoV of less
than 15  percent.  Following analysis, the results were forwarded to EPA with recommendations
regarding ability to proceed with production or the need for additional homogeneity testing. The
results shown in Table A-5 met the acceptability requirements and were thus deemed acceptable
for proceeding with the production of sets of PEMs at each lead level.
                                         A-15

-------
Table A-5. Results from Final Homogeneity Testing on Metal Substrates for Each Set of
ETV PEMs
Lead
Type
White
Lead
Lead
Chromate
Target Lead
Level
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
Mean Levels
ICP (mg/cm2)
0.30
0.65
0.99
1.56
1.85
5.97
0.30
0.62
1.07
1.42
1.92
6.88
FT (mils)
0.79
0.95
1.26
1.72
1.48
1.94
1.16
0.98
1.50
1.89
1.38
1.81
CoV*
ICP
13.3
7.1
3.9
7.2
5.6
14.2
9.6
4.1
11.0
4.1
10.1
5.2
FT*
6.1
5.7
3.4
3.5
7.0
8.3
4.0
9.1
7.4
6.8
2.4
3.3
* Coefficient of Variation (Standard Deviation/Mean x 100)
** Film thickness

Production Application of Lead Paint Coatings

Based on the results from the Verification and Homogeneity Study summarized in Table A-5,
production proceeded using the paint formulation and application method (spray or a particular
size drawdown bar) that achieved the target lead levels. During production application,
reference panels were coated along with the production panels at a rate of 18 for each set of 468
panels. For sets of PEMs that were sprayed, reference panels were placed at previously-
assigned, randomly selected locations on the racks containing all the PEMs awaiting paint
application. For sets of PEMs that had the lead paint applied via drawdown bar, production
panels were drawdown in sets of two to three panels each for the wood, metal and drywall
substrates and one at a time for the plaster substrates. At the discretion of the operator, a
reference panel  was prepared approximately every 10 sets or 25 panels.

Metal panels were used as the reference panels since metal panels yield the most accurate
measurements of film thickness and lead levels. The reference PEMs were tested for film
thickness during application and for lead level by ICP analysis after the paint had dried. This test
procedure was used to check that the application process resulted in appropriate lead levels.
Despite the use  of the metal substrate only for the reference panels, the lead levels and paint
thickness on these reference panels served as representative of the coatings  applied to all wood,
drywall, plaster, and metal  substrate panels.

Table A-6 presents the  average lead levels, CoV, minimum, and maximum  of each set of 18
reference panel  measurements. Most sets are very close to target lead levels, such as the 2.03
mg/cm2 average for the 2.0 mg/cm2 target yellow lead set, the 0.32 mg/cm2 for the 0.3 mg/cm2
target yellow lead set, and the 0.64 mg/cm2 average for the 0.6 mg/cm2  target white lead set.
There also were a few sets that were a bit off target, but were sufficient to meet the verification
                                         A-16

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needs.  Despite the high average lead level of 9.2 mg/cm2, the 6.0 mg/cm2 white lead PEMs were
accepted by EPA because they still met the needs of the verification for a set of PEMs at a high
lead level. In the 0.6 mg/cm2 yellow lead batch, the measured lead levels of 17 of the 18
reference panels ranged from 0.51 to 0.66 mg/cm2, yielding a mean of 0.55 mg/cm2, and a CoV
of 7.5%.  Because only one reference panel of 18 yielded a high lead level, the set of panels was
accepted.

Table A-6. Reference Panel Results from Final Production for Each Set of ETV PEMs
Lead Type
No Lead
White
Lead
(Lead
Carbonate)
Yellow
Lead
(Lead
Chromate)
Target Lead
Level
0.0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
0.3
0.6
1.0
1.4
2.0
6.0
Lead Levels
Mean (mg/cm2)
0.00
0.40
0.64
1.00
1.48
2.29
9.18
0.32
0.57
1.00
1.39
2.03
5.15
CoV
8.2
17.8
13.5
5.1
8.0
5.6
31.2
13.1
16.6
7.1
12.0
9.4
9.6
Range
Min
0.002
0.234
0.425
0.918
1.322
2.018
5.65
0.252
0.511
0.879
1.194
1.483
3.929
Max
0.003
0.505
0.761
1.095
1.748
2.525
18.4
0.428
0.920*
1.148
1.601
2.314
6.247
* Next highest measurement was 0.659
Topcoating

The linseed oil based paints were applied to the PEMs and stored in the constant temperature and
humidity rooms during a four to seven day drying time.  The panels were then all topcoated with
Sherwin Williams brand Prep Rite bonding Primer to ensure good adhesion between the linseed
oil based paint and the latex emulsion topcoat paints. The final latex paint topcoat was then
applied to the PEMs. The topcoat paints are described in more detail below:
   •  Primer - Sherwin Williams Prep Rite bonding primer, diluted with deionized (DI) water
      at a ratio of 3:1 parts by volume. Spray application was done with a 50 percent overlap on
      the PEMs in  both horizontal and vertical directions with a total wet film build of
      approximately 4-5 mils (a measure of dry film thickness). The PEMs then were allowed
       1-2 hours to air dry before top coats were applied.
   •  Top coat number 1 is Sherwin Williams Classic 99 interior satin latex; color Extra White,
      diluted with DI water at a ratio of 3:1  parts by volume. Spray application was done with a
      50 percent overlap on the PEMs in both horizontal and vertical directions, with a total
      wet film build of approximately 4-6 mils. Then the PEMs were allowed to air dry for
      three days. The PEMs were then bagged for further testing.
   •  Top coat number 2 is Sherwin Williams Classic 99 interior satin latex; color 7047
      (software gray),  diluted with DI water at a ratio of 3:1  parts by volume. Spray application
      was done with a 50 percent overlap on the PEMs in both horizontal and vertical
                                         A-17

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       directions for a total wet film build of approximately 4-6 mils.  Then the PEMs were
       allowed to air dry for three days. The PEMs were then bagged for further testing.
   •   Top coat number 3 is Sherwin Williams Color Accents interior satin latex; color 6867
       (Fireworks orange red), diluted with DI water at a ratio of 3:1.5 parts by volume. Spray
       application was done with a 50 percent overlap on the samples in both horizontal and
       vertical directions for a total wet film build of approximately 4-6 mils.  The PEMs were
       then allowed to air dry for three days. The PEM samples were then bagged for further
       testing.

PEM Labeling, Packing and Storage

The PEMs were stored in the constant temperature and humidity conditioning rooms prior to
being packed up for transfer to the evaluation location.  Each PEM was labeled on the back with
an individual identification number, wrapped in a single laboratory towel to protect the front
surface, and placed inside an individual zip seal bag also labeled with the identification number.
References

    1.  Bennett, H. The Chemical Formulary - A Collection of Valuable, Timely, Practical
       Commercial Formulae and Recipes for Making Thousands of Products in Many Fields of
       Industry, Volume VI. 1943. Chemical Publishing Co., Inc. Copyright 1943.

    2.  Uebele, Charles. Paint Making and Color Grinding: A Practical Treatise for Paint
       Manufacturers and Factory Managersa The Trade Papers Publishing Co., Ltd., 1913.

    3.  Battelle. Addition of Silica to Lead-based Paints Used for Production of PEMs in
       Support of ETV Evaluation of Lead Test Kits: References. Technical report submitted to
       EPA on February 19, 2009.

    4.  ASTM D1210-05(2010), "Standard Test Method for Fineness of Dispersion of Pigment-
       Vehicle Systems by Hegman-Type Gage," ASTM International.

    5.  ASTM El 729, "Standard Practice for Field Collection of Dried Paint Samples for
       Subsequent Lead Determination," ASTM International.

    6.  United States Environmental Protection Agency,  "Method 3050B: Acid Digestion of
       Sediments, Sludges, and Soils", SW846 Online, Revision 2. December 1996.

    7.  United States Environmental Protection  Agency, "Method  6010C:  Inductively Coupled
       Plasma-Atomic Emission Spectrometry", SW846 Online, Revision 3. February 2007.

    8.  Schneider Laboratories, Inc. ICP  SOP Document# III-017-08-002
                                        A-18

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                   Section A2
Comparison of Expected vs. Actual Lead Concentrations
        of Performance Evaluation Materials
                      A-19

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The following tables present a comparison of the expected vs. confirmed lead concentration for
each PEM used during the testing of the lead test kits. Expected concentrations are based on lead
levels defined for sets of PEMs during the PEM production process. That is, PEMs were being
made at expected lead concentrations of 0, 0.3, 0.6, 1.0, 1.4, 2.0, or 6.0 mg/cm2.  These are the
expected lead levels as defined in the test/quality assurance (QA) plan. Confirmed
concentrations are based on ICP-AES results from individual paint chip samples taken from each
PEM during testing (see Section 3.3. lin the test/QA plan).

Table A-7 presents the results by substrate and across all PEMs.  Table A-8 presents the results
by lead type. The average and standard deviation for the confirmed lead levels, as well as the
CoV, are presented for each expected concentration level.

Table A-7.  Confirmed lead level statistics for PEMs compared to expected lead level
concentrations by substrate type.

Substrate

Drywall


Metal


Plaster


Wood


All


N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)

Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev

Expected PEM
0
144
0.00
0.00
143.16
144
0.00
0.01
368.04
140
0.00
0.01
258.82
144
0.00
0.02
470.54
572
0.00
0.01
451.36
0.3
288
0.34
0.07
20.59
288
0.31
0.07
22.91
290
0.44
0.18
40.17
288
0.32
0.16
48.20
1154
0.35
0.14
38.91
0.6
282
0.83
0.22
26.01
288
0.56
0.14
24.39
292
1.25
0.53
42.40
288
0.72
0.22
30.83
1150
0.84
0.41
48.34
Lead Level (mg/cm
1
290
1.15
0.21
17.95
288
0.85
0.10
11.31
296
1.65
0.84
50.92
275
1.07
0.31
28.80
1149
1.18
0.55
46.76
1.4
296
1.48
0.29
19.79
288
1.26
0.19
14.91
288
1.79
0.65
36.22
282
1.45
0.29
20.29
1154
1.50
0.44
29.38
2)
2
288
2.52
0.33
13.22
288
1.91
0.28
14.49
288
2.91
0.85
29.24
284
2.39
0.71
29.56
1148
2.43
0.69
28.49

6
292
9.04
2.32
25.69
286
8.18
1.86
22.76
284
10.11
3.01
29.81
288
8.71
1.59
18.29
1150
9.01
2.36
26.24
   CoV = Coefficient of Variation (Standard Deviation/Mean x 100)

Table A-7 indicates that overall confirmed lead levels were similar to expected concentrations.
However, there are substrate types for which, comparatively, the confirmed lead levels were
higher than the expected levels. Average confirmed levels for drywall and plaster PEMs were
higher than expected levels, especially when compared to average confirmed lead levels from
metal and wood.  The PEMs used in the verification test were produced mainly using a
drawdown technique (for all panels except no lead, 0.3 mg/cm2 and 0.6 mg/cm2 white lead).
This involved applying the paint to the PEM and pulling it down with a specially designed bar.
Being porous substrates, it is possible that the plaster and drywall panels absorbed some of the
                                         A-20

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paint, causing more paint to be applied to the PEM to accommodate the thickness required on the
PEM. This would then lead to higher lead concentrations on these substrates. The most
significant potential impact of this effect can be seen on the plaster PEMs. This potential effect
is based on observations  during the production of the PEMs but has not been studied or
confirmed.

 Table A-8. Confirmed lead level statistics for PEMs compared to expected lead level
concentrations by lead paint type.

Lead Type

None


White


Yellow


All


N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)
N
Confirmed Lead
Confirmed Lead
CoV (%)

Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Level:
Level:


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev


Average
StdDev

Expected PEM
0
572
0.00
0.01
451.36






572
0.00
0.01
451.36
0.3



576
0.30
0.08
25.56
578
0.40
0.16
40.64
1154
0.35
0.14
38.91
0.6



574
0.88
0.41
46.53
576
0.80
0.40
49.95
1150
0.84
0.41
48.34
Lead Level
1



573
1.24
0.72
58.18
576
1.13
0.30
26.32
1149
1.18
0.55
46.76
(mg/cm
1.4



578
1.53
0.52
34.08
576
1.46
0.33
22.87
1154
1.50
0.44
29.38
2)
2



576
2.36
0.58
24.60
572
2.51
0.78
31.25
1148
2.43
0.69
28.49

6



572
8.37
2.05
24.47
578
9.64
2.48
25.75
1150
9.01
2.36
26.24
 CoV = Coefficient of Variation (Standard Deviation/Mean x 100)

The results in Table A-8 show that there was no significant difference in confirmed lead levels
between white and yellow lead PEMs. The CoVs values were all <50% at all levels except 0.0
mg/cm2.  The larger CoV at this level is reflective of small changes around the zero lead level
and most likely represent ICP-AES measurement variability near the detection limit, since no
lead was used in preparing these PEMs.  It should be noted, as discussed in Section Al of this
appendix, that the PEMs prepared at the  expected lead level of 6.0 mg/cm2 were known to be on
average higher than 6.0 mg/cm2 and that it was purposefully decided to accept the variation
present at this expected lead level.

Though there were some differences between the confirmed and expected lead levels, it should
be noted that when evaluated for proper responses, test kit results were compared to confirmed
lead levels. That is, test kit results were  always compared to the actual PEM lead levels, not the
expected.
                                         A-21

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             Section A3
QA/QC Results for the ICP-AES Analysis of
    Performance Evaluation Materials
                 A-22

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Summary of Lead Level Confirmation ICP-AES Analysis of PEMs

All paint chip samples from the PEMs used in this verification test were analyzed using ICP-
AES by Schneider Laboratories, Inc.

Sample preparation procedures followed the SOP generated by Schneider Laboratories, Inc. for
this study (Schneider Laboratories, Inc., SOP Battelle Paint Samples, Doc # 111-044-10-001).
Information on how QC samples were spiked and final concentrations is provided in the SOP.

Three versions of this SOP (the original and two revisions) were used dated 1/20/10, 2/24/10,
and 4/25/10. Approximately 27% of the PEMs were analyzed prior to the 2/24/10 revision to the
SOP. In the 2/24/10 version, revisions were made to clarify that post-digestion matrix spikes and
duplicates were being evaluated.  Additionally, the laboratory control spike (LCS) procedures
changed such that a separate LCS and a QC check sample were now being performed.
Originally, in the 1/20/10 version, the LCS was prepared by spiking the QC check sample, which
was a certified reference material (CRM) (as stated in Section 6.11.2  of the 1/20/10 SOP)
containing a known quantity of lead.  This practice was changed because there were recovery
issues. The spike concentration of 1000 micrograms per liter (ng/L) was not >3x the background
lead  concentration because of the high lead concentrations in the actual CRM samples (4630
milligrams per kilogram  [mg/kg]).  Thus, as of the 2/24/10 SOP, one  LCS, one QC check
sample, and one QC check sample duplicate were being evaluated for every 20  samples. The
LCS (Blank Paint QC) sample in the 2/24/10 SOP was defined as a piece of non-lead containing
paint that was spiked with lead solution to a resulting concentration of 1000 [ig/L. The QC check
sample in the 2/24/10 SOP contained 10 mg of the CRM, a known lead-containing material. The
QC check (CRM) was purchased to contain 4630 ± 266 mg/kg lead.  To prepare the sample, 10
mg of the CRM was weighed out and diluted to 10 mL, resulting in a final concentration of 4.630
mg/L.
The 4/25/10 revision of the SOP clarified the acceptance criteria for the LCS samples, as it did
not appear to be clearly defined in previous versions.

Because of the high lead concentration in the PEM samples, dilutions were made to the samples
prior to initial analysis. The dilutions were prepared by spiking 10 microliters (|jL) of the
original digested sample into 9.990 milliliters (mL) of reagent water for a 1:1000 dilution.  The
samples were thoroughly mixed by inverting, and then analyzed for lead content. If the result
was below the reporting limit, the sample was reanalyzed either non-diluted or at a lower dilution
level. If samples were rerun at a different dilution level, this was noted in the QC summary
report for that particular sample set.

The MDL for lead was 2.91  |ig/L.

The reporting limit was 40 |ig/L. Therefore all blank results should be <40 |ig/L.
                                        A-23

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Summary of Quality Control Measures for PEMs ICP-AES Analysis

QC procedures were performed in accordance with the quality management plan (QMP) for the
Battelle ETV Advanced Monitoring Systems (AMS) Center, except where differences were
noted for Environmental and Sustainable Technology Evaluations (ESTE) per the EPA ETV
Program QMP, and the test/QA plan for this verification test. Test procedures were conducted as
stated in the test/QA plan; however a deviation to the test/QA plan was made during the ICP-
AES analyses. For some sample runs, continuous calibration verification (CCV) samples were
run once every 20 instead of 10 samples. This deviation is further described below. This change
was assessed to have no impact on the quality of the results as described below. QC results for
the analysis of paint chip samples from the PEMs are described below.

 ICP-AES Blank Sample Results

Various blank samples were analyzed for the ICP-AES analyses. Method blank samples were
analyzed in each  set of 10-20 paint samples to ensure that no sources of contamination were
present. An initial calibration blank was analyzed at the beginning of each run and used for
initial calibration and zeroing the instrument.  A continuing calibration blank was analyzed after
each CCV to verify blank response and freedom from carryover.  No blank samples failed QC
during the analyses.

Calibration Verification Standards

Initial calibration standards were run at the beginning of each set of analyses. The acceptance
criterion for the calibration coefficient of the calibration standards was > 0.998. If this criterion
was not met, the analysis was stopped and recalibration was performed before samples were
analyzed.  A 500  parts per billion (ppb) CCV  standard was analyzed at the beginning of each run
(following the initial calibration), at the end of each run, and every 10-20 samples.  CCV
recoveries ranged from 96% to 108%. Per the test/QA plan, CCV sample frequency was once
every 10 samples. For most of the sample sets, CCVs were performed with this frequency.
However, for later sample sets, CCVs were run once every 20 samples.  CCV samples are used
to verify instrument performance and are evaluated usually at a specified frequency as a
preventative measure so that large amounts of samples do not need to be re-run if a CCV sample
fails. In the course of this study, only one CCV sample failed, and it was when the CCV was
being run once every 10 samples.  All samples from the last passing CCV of that sample set were
re-analyzed.

QC samples also  included an initial calibration verification (ICV) standard and interference
check sample (ICS). Both samples were 500 ppb.  ICV samples were analyzed once at the
beginning of each sample run and were required to have percent recoveries between 90-110% to
be acceptable.  ICS samples were analyzed at the beginning and end of every run and  every 10-
20 samples. ICS  samples had to have percent recoveries between 80-120% to be acceptable.  All
reported ICV and ICS samples met the acceptance criteria.  Recoveries for ICV samples ranged
from 96% to 108%.  Recoveries for ICS samples ranged from 93% to 112%.
                                        A-24

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Matrix Spike Samples/Duplicates

Matrix spike samples, as well as duplicates of these samples, were analyzed once every 10-20
samples.  Acceptable recoveries for matrix spike samples were between 80-120%. Duplicate
samples had acceptance criteria of ±25% relative percent difference (RPD).

All matrix spike samples were performed as post-digestion spikes as there was insufficient
sample volume to perform a pre-digestion spike. Matrix spike recoveries ranged from 86% to
207%. Six matrix spike samples failed with recoveries above the specified acceptance criteria.
In these instances, the lead concentration in the sample was well above the spike level. Matrix
spike results indicate that matrix interferences were not observed.  Duplicate samples were
within the specified RPD.

LCS Samples

LCS samples were analyzed once every 10-20 samples. Acceptable recoveries for LCS samples
were between 80-120%. LCS recoveries ranged from 17% to 225%.  Schneider Laboratories,
Inc. noted that LCS failures on one sample set were attributed to improper spiking technique.
Training on spiking procedures was immediately implemented by Schneider Laboratories, Inc.
for all analysts spiking samples. All LCS failures occurred prior to a revision to the Schneider
Laboratories, Inc. SOP for analyzing paint samples for this verification test.  In the original
version of the SOP, LCS samples were prepared by spiking a known amount of lead onto a
CRM.  This practice was changed on 2/24/10 because there were recovery issues.  The spike was
not >3x the background lead concentration because of the high lead concentrations in the actual
CRM samples. In the revised SOP, the LCS was prepared by spiking a piece of lead-free latex
paint. There were no LCS failures after that In addition,  a QC check sample containing only
the CRM, which  has a known concentration of lead weighed out to a particular amount, was
analyzed with each sample set throughout the verification test. These QC  samples all passed
acceptance criteria.
                                        A-25

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 Appendix B




Vendor Comments

-------
ESCA Tech, Inc. submitted the following comments on the draft report. These comments
have not been reviewed by Battelle or U.S. EPA for accuracy, and do not necessarily reflect
the opinions or views of U.S. EPA. Any questions regarding the comments in this section
should be addressed to the vendor.

Reference: Chapter 7; Performance Summary, page 47:

"Interpretation of the color change for the D-Lead® Paint Test Kit was sometimes difficult."

Comment:

The D-Lead® Paint Test Kit provides a color change that varies with the amount of lead present.
According to the data in the ETV report for samples with a lead level between 0.7 and 0.8
mg/cm2 the color of the test  solution closely approximates the test standard printed on each
bottle, resulting in a positive test result.

At levels less than this, the test solution was consistently lighter than the test standard (negative
result). At levels greater than this, the test solution was consistently darker than the test standard
(positive result). Thus the difficulty cited occurs when lead is definitively present and in the
range between the CPSC standard of 0.7 and the HUD standard of 1.0 mg/cm2.

Yours truly,
Daniel P. Askin
President
ESCA Tech, Inc.
November 19,  2010
                                        B-2

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