Draft Analysis of Storm Event Characteristics for Selected Rainfall Gages Thoughout The United States by Eugene D. Driscoll Gary E. Palhegyi Eric W. Strecker and Philip E. Shelley November 1989 Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Washington DC Woodward-Clyde Consultants 0148B 1100 500 12th Street, Suite 100, Oakland, CA 94607- 4014 ------- DISCLAIMER The information in this document has been funded wholly by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. It has been subjected to the Agency's peer and administrative review, and it has been approved for publication as an EPA document. Mention of trade names or commercial products does not constitute endorsement or recommendation for use. ------- TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction Page 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Objective and Scope 1 2. Technical Approach 3 2.1 General 3 2.2 SYNOP - Statistical Rainfall Analysis Program 3 2.3 Sensitivity Analysis of SYNOP 6 2.3.1 Inter-event Time 6 2.3.2 Test for Independence of Storm Events 9 2.3.3 Minimum Storm Volume requirement 13 2.3.4 Wet Season Statistics 13 3. Results 18 3.1 Summary of Storm Event Statistics in the United States 18 3.2 Summary of Storm Event Statistics in North Carolina 37 4. References 43 m ------- LIST OF FIGURES Figure - page 1. Storm event characterization of a rainfall record. 4 2. Effect of minimum inter-event time on the COV of DELTA for three rainfall gages. 8 3. Test for independence of storm events using a 6 hour minimum inter-event time. 10 4. Correlagram showing autocorrelations for various inter-event times. 11 5. Effect of minimum storm volume on storm event statistics. 15 6. Map showing the location of selected rainfall gages. 19 7. Rainfall zones of the United States. 30 8. Nationwide contour map of the number of storms per year. 32 9. Nationwide contour map of the duration of storms. 33 10. Nationwide contour map of the intensity of storms. 34 11. Nationwide contour map of the volume of storms. 35 12. Nationwide contour map of North Carolina and average storm event statistics. 39 LIST OF TABLES Table Number Page 1. Effect of minimum inter-event time on storm event statistics. 7 2. Effect of minimum storm volume on storm event statistics. 14 3. Comparison between wet season and calendar year statistics. 16 4. Listing of selected rainfall gages used in the analysis. 20 5. Storm event statistics on the national scale. 22 6. Typical values of storm event statistics for rain zones. 31 7. Examples of the effect of local rainfall variation and length of record on storm event statistics. 38 8. Listing of selected rainfall gages in North Carolina. 40 9. Storm event statistics for North Carolina. 41 ------- 1. Introduction 1.1 Background Precipitation is the driving force that mobilizes and transports pollutants from a nonpoint source (NFS) to receiving waters. Relevant information on the precipitation characteristics of an area is essential to address issues such as the estimation of NFS pollutant loads, the water quality impacts they produce, and the assessment of control strategies. There is a growing tendency to apply probabilistic analysis techniques to the evaluation of a variety of water quality issues, particularly those associated with the intermittent and variable NFS load-generating process. Rainfall is a key input for many of the methodologies, and this requires an appropriate definition of the statistical characteristics of storm events. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) supported the development of a statistical rainfall analysis program SYNOP (EPA, 1976), which has seen considerable use during the past decade and has been adopted for use by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), and others. Further, statistical summaries of rainfall properties for a considerable number of gages in different areas of the country have been assembled and reproduced in a number of reports for use as general reference material. Currently, summaries of rainfall statistics are available, but much of the information is based on records that reach only to 1973. Also, some of the results were assembled from diverse sources and their reliability is uncertain. Furthermore, there have been changes in the format of the original source files provided by the US Weather Service, which have introduced output errors when the original SYNOP program was applied to a record having these new formats. In addition, a simplified rain zone map, developed some time ago for preliminary screening and based on SYNOP results available at the time, has found relatively wide circulation. For the foregoing reasons, it was considered appropriate to update the information on rainfall statistics. 1.2 Objective and Scope The objective of this study was to develop an updated and expanded summary of storm event statistics for locations throughout the country, and to make this information available for use by probabilistic analysis procedures used for NFS investigations. This report presents a summary of storm event statistics for 160 (mostly urban) locations spatially distributed throughout the country. The summary tables are organized into groupings of gage locations (or rain zones) having comparable storm event characteristics, which are also delineated on a map. Regional differences in pertinent storm event parameters are illustrated by contour maps showing the overall pattern by which individual parameters vary with location. In addition to this national scale, a similar analysis is applied for a single state for illustrative purposes, to examine results on a smaller spatial scale. Chapter 2 describes the important features of the technical approach employed in developing the rainfall event statistics for the selected rain gages. It provides a brief description of the nature of the computations performed by the SYNOP statistical rainfall analysis program and identifies the additional features that were added during this study effort to improve its reliability and usefulness. This chapter also presents the results and conclusions from sensitivity analyses that were performed to examine several important issues relating to the application of the program. ------- Chapter 3 presents and discusses the analysis results for the nationwide array of gages and for the higher spatial density gage network within a single state. The results are summarized in tables and maps, in a format that is designed to make them suitable for use as reference material. An appendix is provided under a separate cover, which provides a complete summary oi the rainfall statistics generated for each gage. It is noted that even this expanded listing represents only a small part of the complete statistical output that can be generated by the SYNOP program. ------- 2. TECHNICAL APPROACH 2.1 General Hourly rainfall records for rain gages in the United States are available from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) of the US Weather Service in Asheville, North Carolina. The records that were analyzed for this study were taken from commercially available optical laser disks, which provided a compact record of the data originally provided by NCDC. These disks can be obtained from commercial sources. Each particular record is identified by a unique 6-digit number, consisting of a 2-digit state code followed by a 4-digit gage number. In the tabulated results presented later, each state is identified by its standard abbreviation, rather than the state code. The information in a gage record includes the location name, latitude and longitude, elevation of the measurement site, and the depth of hourly rainfall recorded (inl/100 inches). The date and hour are recorded for each depth in the record. The records examined cover the entire period of record for each of the gages selected for analysis. In all but a few cases, these records begin in mid-1948, and for most of the selected gages extend through mid-1988. We attempted to utilize a common period of record (1949-1987) for all gages to be included in the analysis. We further attempted to limit the selection to include only gages with high degrees of completeness, because it is not uncommon for a gage record to have considerable stretches of incomplete data. Both of these items of information were provided by a summary listing identifying the gages contained on the optical disks. Even so, during our analysis there was a number of cases where the selected records were found to be incomplete. In such cases, the data were re-analyzed using only that part of the record that was not defective or, in a number of cases, substituting a gage that was different than the original selection. While it was generally possible to meet the gage selection objectives, shorter periods of record have been accepted in some cases in order to provide the desired spatial distribution of gage locations. 2.2 SYNOP - Statistical Rainfall Analysis Program Rainfall data provided in the NCDC hourly records may be viewed, as illustrated by Figure l(a), as a series of hours with either no precipitation, or an intensity recorded by the gage for that hour. This pattern is simplified by grouping the hours with rainfall into a set of separate "storm events" and representing each event as a uniform, rectangular hyetograph as in sketch (b). Each event may then be characterized by its duration (d), volume (v), average intensity (i), and the time interval between the midpoints of successive events (d). The rainfall volume in a particular hour is assigned to an event in progress, or as the start of a subsequent independent event, on the basis of an assigned minimum inter-event time (EET), the number of dry hours beyond which the occurrence of rainfall marks the beginning of a new event. The IET is selected such that the resulting storm events are independent and occur randomly. The selection of the EET to meet the independence requirement is discussed below. The SYNOP program, developed about a decade ago for EPA reads an hourly precipitation record, organizes data for the wet (rainfall) hours into events, and computes the statistics of the storm event parameters (EPA, 1976). When a complete hourly record has been organized into a sequence of individual storm events, the mean and standard deviation may be determined for each of the event parameters. In the summaries presented, the coefficient of variation (COV), which is the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean, is presented rather than the standard deviation. 3 ------- CO c CD CO "c 'co DC (a) Hourly Rainfall Variation (b) Storm Event Variation Time w c CD E o -t—> CO V I w/. Time Storm Event Statistic Volume Duration Average intensity Interval between event midpoint PARAMETER For each V d i 8 storm event (inches) (hours) (inches/hour) (hours) For all Mean V D 1 A storm events Coef. Var. CVV cvd CVj CV5 Figure 1. Storm event characterization of a rainfall record. ------- The analyses were performed on Apple Macintosh and IBM-PC (or compatible) microcomputers, using SYNOP II, a microcomputer version of the original SYNOP program. SYNOP II, prepared by Woodward-Clyde Consultants, continues to utilize the basic code and computations of the original, but incorporates some important new features, which are described below. There have been format changes in the NCDC records at different points in time, resulting in differences between one part of a long record and another. Although these changes are minor, they can produce anomalous results at isolated parts of the record which can significantly distort the statistics generated. SYNOP II eliminates this potential for error. The following computational features have been added or modified to improve the applicability of this program to different situations, and to make it easy for the user to select the specific options that will apply for an analysis. • The user may select the beginning and ending year for an analysis, to permit developing statistics for different periods of time. • The user may select beginning and ending months. This allows annual statistics to be generated on either a calendar year basis, or on a water year basis for ease of comparison with stream flow records. This feature also permits the development of rainfall statistics for selected seasons, an important consideration in western US. areas having pronounced wet and dry seasons. • The user may select a minimum storm volume for events to be included in the analysis. Since very small storm volumes (usually a significant fraction of the total number of storms, but not annual volumes) do not result in runoff, the statistical characteristics of runoff-producing events can be generated. • The user may select the "inter-event time" (IET), minimum number of dry hours used to assign an hourly rainfall volume to the current event, or to a new one. Alternatively, the program will make successive iterations using a pair of user-selected lETs and then interpolate to estimate a value that will result in storm intervals (times between storm mid- points) that are approximately exponentially distributed. • The user may select any or all of a variety of output summaries that provide different degrees of detail or different organizations of results. For example, summary statistics stratified by month and by year are generated, as well as results for the entire storm sequence for the total period of record analyzed. ------- 2.3 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF SYNOP Before begining the statistical analysis, a sensitivity analysis was performed i.o identify a set of uniform parameters to be assigned to each of the rainfall gages. The following sections discuss the evaluation of inter-event time, independence of storm arrival time, mir'-num storm volume, and wet season characteristics. 2.3.1 INTER-EVENT TIME An underlying assumption necessary for the manipulation of probability density functions, is that the events must be independent. One of the requirements associated with storm event analysis is selecting an appropriate inter-event time (IET) such that the arrival time of storm events are independent. Several authors have discussed methods for choosing an appropriate IET (Heaney et al., 1977; Hydroscience, 1979; and Restrepo-Posada et al., 1982). A common approach for the separation of precipitation records into statistically independent events was discussed by Restrepo-Posada and Eagleson (1982). They consider the arrival time of storm events to be random and to conform to a Poisson process. If the events are independent the intervals between Poisson arrival times are distributed exponentially. They note that the Poisson process describes the random arrival time of storms as point or instantaneous occurrences with durations of zero, but conclude that the Poisson process can adequately describe the arrival of independent storm events when the mean duration is much smaller than the mean arrival time. Precipitation data has this characteristic. The exponential distribution is a special case of the gamma, and results when the coefficient of variation is 1. Rainfall event parameters have been shown to be well represented by a gamma distribution (Hydroscience, 1979). It has also been shown by these authors and by this study, that the COV of arrival times changes in a consistent way with IET, and that by the assignment of an appropriate IET, storm event statistics can be developed that are based on exponential (and hence independent) arrival times. As Restrepo-Posada et al (1892) suggest, this will also result in the independence of other event parameters (durations, volumes, intensities). To use this approach, trial values of LET are chosen until a coefficient of variation of approximately 1 is obtained for the arrival times. In the analysis performed by SYNOP, the arrival time is computed as the time interval between storm midpoints, designated DELTA in the summary tables. Restrepo-Posada et al (1982) suggest that a coefficient of variation equal to 1, although less sufficient than a chi-square test, provides a convenient test for the exponential distribution. The rainfall data analyses reported by Hydroscience (1979) also indicated that when the COV of delta is approximately 1, the actual distribution of deltas is closely described by an exponential distribution. The poisson assumption has proved to be both convenient and realistic. Therefore, assigning an IET such that the resulting COV of delta is about 1, is considered to provide a sufficient indication of the independence of storm events. Sensitivity analyses to examine the effect of IET on the resulting storm event statistics were conducted. The analysis was performed on three arbitrary locations in the eastern, middle and western part of the country. These results are listed in Table 1 and shown graphically in Figures 2. The results for the three sample locations indicate the substantial differences in IET required to produce a COV of 1 for storm intervals (DELTA'S). IET values of about 6 hours are found to be suitable for locations in the eastern part of the country but are seen to increase as the gage location ------- TABLE 1. Effect of Minimum Inter-event Time (IET) on Storm Event Statistics ain Gage Location EAST COAST Charlottesburg Reservoir NEW JERSEY Gagetf 1582 IET hrs 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 12 15 24 36 48 DELTA Avg COV 45 61 72 81 88 92 102 110 116 131 146 167 1.70 1.40 1.24 1.12 1.06 1.02 0.92 0.87 .0.82 0.73 0.65 0.59 Duration Avg COV 1.8 2.8 3.6 4.5 5.1 5.6 7.0 8.1 9.2 12.7 17.4 25.8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .09 .21 .22 .23 .19 .21 .17 .13 .12 .15 .17 .22 Intensity Avg COV 0.130 0.127 0.124 0.122 0.118 0.116 0.111 0.105 0.100 0.093 0.085 0.075 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .61 .66 .71 .76 .76 .78 .81 .83 .80 .88 0.93 0 .92 Volume Avg COV 0.30 0.40 0.47 0.53 0.57 0.59 0.66 0.71 0.74 0.84 0.93 1.07 1.92 1.75 1.65 1.57 1.53 1.51 1.44 1.49 1.46 1.41 1.35 1.28 MID COUNTRY Ferris TEXAS Gage #3133 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 14 18 22 110 124 134 141 146 153 156 161 164 176 185 194 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 .49 .36 .29 .24 .20 .17 .14 .12 .10 .05 .01 .97 4.5 5.3 5.9 6.4 6.8 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.3 9.5 10.7 12.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .96 .96 .96 .99 .02 .03 .04 .05 .05 .10 .13 .21 0.094 0.096 0.096 0.096 0.097 0.095 0.095 0.094 0.094 0.092 0.090 0.088 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .20 .14 .14 .15 .15 .14 .12 .12 .13 .15 .17 .19 0.45 0.51 0.54 0.57 0.59 0.61 0.62 0.64 0.65 0.69 0.72 0.76 1.53 1.45 1.40 1.38 1.37 1.36 1.35 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.32 1.32 WEST COAST Los Angeles Airport CALIFORNIA Gage# 5114 6 10 15 18 24 30 50 75 100 150 200 250 300 536 584 633 650 685 717 818 946 1025 1198 1367 1694 1878 2.17 2.09 1.99 1.95 1.89 1.83 1.68 1.53 1.47 1.32 1.12 1.09 1.01 11.7 15.1 18.7 20.0 23.9 27.1 37.9 58.7 75.5 119,2 185.3 283.5 366.8 0.84 0.99 1.04 1.09 1.12 1.16 1.14 1.19 1.28 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.063 0.059 0.054 0.053 0.049 0.048 0.041 0.036 0.034 0.028 0.024 0.020 0.020 0.73 0.75 0.79 0.80 0.85 0.88 0.92 1.08 1.15 1.29 1.40 1.36 1.34 0.67 0.75 0.82 0.84 0.89 0.93 1.06 1.23 1.33 1.54 1.81 2.18 2.43 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.23 1.27 1.28 1.27 1.30 1.34 1.32 1.33 1.33 1.34 ------- co 1.8- 1.7- 1.6- 1.5- 1.4- 1.3- 1.2. 1.1 - 1.0 0.9- 0.8- 0.7- 0.6- 0.5- 0.4- 15 20 25 30 35 Inter-Event Time (hours) 40 45 1.5 50 ti o > O o 1.3- 8 1.0- - 0.9 Forris. TX I 10 15 20 inter-Event Time (hours) 25 30 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 inter-Event Time (nours) Figure 2, Effect of inter-event time on the COV of DELTA for three rainfall gages ------- moves to the west. IET values of about 20 hours are required in mid-country and become extremely high (300 hours) for west coast sites where rainfall has a pronounced seasonal distribution (Figure 2). The vary high lETs on the west coast result in abnormally high storm volumes and durations followed by low intensities. We concluded that while the method for assigning IET based on the COV for DELTA provides a basis for assuring that the events are independent, for some locations the resulting event statistics are not meaningful for the types of NFS analyses for which the rainfall statistics will most commonly be applied. A similar determination was made by the authors of a study of sites in Saudi Arabia and the western US. (Restreop-Posada and Eagleson, 1982). We selected an LET of 6 dry hours as being a reasonable value to use for two reasons; 1) so that the statistics for rain gages throughout the country would have a common basis, and 2) event statistical parameters would relate more meaningfully for evaluating NFS water quality issues. This choice is consistent with conclusions by other investigators (Hydroscience, Inc., 1979). Analyses of selected gages performed during this study indicate that a 6 hour IET is sufficient to produce event arrival times that are independent. The results presented below illustrate a test for independence for an east coast and a west coast gage, by examining the degree of correlation between paired values of the interval between successive events. 2.3.2 TEST FOR INDEPENDENCE OF STORM EVENTS An analysis of the influence of the assigned IET on the independence of storm arrival times was performed by investigating the autocorrelation of the set of individual values for DELTA (time between storm midpoints) produced when the hourly record was sorted into storm events using different values for IET. This analysis included a determination of the statistical significance of the resulting correlation coefficients. Separate SYNOP analyses of this record, using ffiTs of 2, 4, 6, 12 and 24 hours, resulted in different sets of DELTAs. Autocorrelation was tested by creating paired values consisting of the DELTA for an event and the DELTA for a subsequent event as defined by a specified lag period. Separate determinations were made using lags of 1 through 10. For example, lag 1 used the values for an event and the one immediately following, lag 2 for an event value paired with that for the second event later, and so forth. A standard linear correlation test was then performed using the paired sets that were produced and the correlation coefficient (r) was computed. Figure 3 presents the correlation plots of such paired values for gages on the east and west coasts. For both, the results shown are for a single gage, an ffiT of 6 hours, and a lag interval of 1. Figure 4, based on Los Angeles rainfall gage #5114, presents a correlagram summarizing the the relationship between the computed autocorrelation coefficients and the lag interval, for a set of lETs. The upper plot (a) illustrates the pattern over a range of IET values; plot (b) isolates results for the 6 hour IET that was selected to be uniformly applied to all gages in the study. If a correlagram curve were to decrease gradually from r=l to r=0 as a function of the lag interval, it would suggest a lack of independence in the arrival time of successive storms. A curve that falls to zero (or near zero) at the first lag of the data suggests that the arrival times of successive storms are independent. Differences in the observed pattern for the individual lETs would indicate the influence of IET on the independence of storm events. The relationships shown by Figure 4 suggest that for any of the lETs examined, the arrival times of successive storms are either independent, or at most only very weakly correlated. ------- 600 200 400 600 DELTA (d) 800 Lag I correlation plot for Charlottesburg, N.J. gage * 1582. (a) 5000 4000- 3000-p 2000 1000 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 DELTA (d) Lag I correlation plot for Los Angeles, CA. gage * 51 14 (b) Figure 3. Test for independence of storm events using a 6 hour minimum Inter-event time. 10 ------- inter-Event Times 2 hrs • 4 hrs 12 hrs 24 hrs -0.2 Lag (a) Plot showing a variety of inter-event times. Inter-Event Time -—D— 6 hrs xy 0.4- -0.2 Lag (b) Plot showing the 6 hour inter-event time. Figure 4 Correlagram showing autocorrelations for various lET's 11 ------- To evaluate the statistical significance of the correlation coefficients obtained, a hypothesis test was conducted to determine whether the computed correlation coefficients are significantly different from zero. A procedure to test the hypothesis that the correlation coefficient i; significantly different from zero is described by Sokal and Rohlf (1969). The null hypothesis is: Ho: r = 0 (1) This implies that the paired data is uncorrelated, or independent. The hypothesis is testec with the Student's t-test using n-2 degrees of freedom: t = r«SQRT((n-2V(l-r2)) (2) Using Equation 2 and the common Student "t-tables", the hypothesis can be tested Alternatively, by solving Equation 2 for r a critical value of the correlation coefficient can \x computed and compared to those computed from the raw data. Thus: r = SQRT(t2/(t2 + n-2)) (3) As a result, given a confidence level (e.g. 99%) and the number of data points (n), a critical value of r can be computed. When the computed value of r is less than the "critical r", the correlation is not significantly different from zero. For the gage records examined, the number of DELTA s computed using a 6 hour inter- event time and .10 inches as a minimum storm volume are 653 for the west coast gage and 858 foi the east coast gage. Given a 99% confidence level (Student's t = 2.576), the following critical values of r are computed as: west coast gage n = 653 r = 0.100 east coast gage n = 858 r = 0. 088 Thus, for a computed correlation coefficient less than the critical value, one would conclude that the correlation coefficient is not significantly different from zero, and as a result, the paired data are independent The results of this analysis indicate that the lag 1 correlation coefficient is not significantly different from zero for the east coast gage (r=.032), and a 6 hour DET results in independent storm events. For the west coast location (r=0.146), the correlation is significantly different from zero. However, the critical value is quite small because of the very large number of data pairs (n), and while statistically not zero, the degree of correlation is quite small. For this and similar locations, although events cannot be considered completely independent at a 99% confidence level, the degree of independence is considered high enough for the purposees of this study. On this basis, a uniform dry hour storm event separation period (IET) of 6 hours was applied uniformly for the analysis of all of the rain gages examined in this study. 12 ------- 2.3.3 MINIMUM STORM VOLUME Since the smallest volume reported in any hour is generally 0.01 inch (some gages only report rainfall to the nearest 0.10 inch), this value (or zero), assigned as a minimum storm volume when the SYNOP program is run, results in all measured precipitation being included in the statistics. Higher values for the minimum storm volume can be used to estimate statistics for only those events that would be expected to produce runoff. Such minimum storm volumes are estimated to be in the order of 0.08 to 0.12 inches (Schueler, 1987). A minimum storm volume of 0.10 inches was specified for the analyses that were performed, so that the analysis would produce statistics of "runoff-producing" events. This choice was made because an important current use of the type of information developed will be for the examination of NFS issues, where the principal use of the rainfall data is to provide estimates of runoff quantities. The user should note that these statistics for "runoff producing events" will differ from those for "all precipitation events". The effect on the storm event statistics is indicated by the sensitivity test results for 3 gages summarized in Table 2 and shown graphically in Figure 5. Because the Charlottesburg, NJ gage used in the previous analysis only recorded rainfall to the nearest. 1 inches it was replaced with the Newark, NJ gage for this analysis. As the results indicate, the average number of storms per year may be reduced by as much as 25 to 45 percent, but these small storm events account for only a small percent of the annual precipitation volume. Increasing the value for the minimum volume assigned, results in a significant increase in the average value, and a decrease in the COV of each parameter. 2.3.4 WET SEASON CHARACTERISTICS The results presented in the report analyzed the entire calendar year (months 1-12) for all gages. As a result, for those locations having distinct wet and dry seasons, the statistics include conditions with extended periods with little or no rainfall. A sensitivity analysis was performed to examine the extent to which the precipitation statistics might be distorted by the presence of long dry periods. For selected gage locations in the west, an additional analysis was performed, using the full period of record, but including in the analysis only those months assigned to the wet season. The wet season was arbitrarily chosen as the months between October and March, inclusive, and was based on the total precipitation volume computed for each month in the original analysis. The results are summarized in Table 3, for a sample of six western locations. Results are seen to vary appreciably for the different locations. For Phoenix, AZ. and Las Vegas, NV., only about 60 percent of the storms and annual precipitation volume occur in the winter months. For these sites, the average storm durations are 20-25 percent longer during the "wet" period, and the average interval between storms is significantly shorter. Mean storm volumes are virtually identical, but the average storm intensity is 40 percent lower during the winter period. In contrast, the Los Angeles and Oakland CA statistics show the effect of the strong seasonal rainfall pattern in these areas. Approximately 85 percent of the total rainfall and number of independent storm events occur during the 6 month period assigned as the wet season. As a result of this period containing most of the storms, the individual event statistics for storm durations, volumes and intensities are essentially the same. The interval between storms is naturally much shorter, since the average is not influenced by the very long intervals during the summer months. 13 ------- TABLE 2 Effect of Minimum Storm Volume on Storm Event Statistics Inter-event Time (IET) = 6 hours Rain Gage Location min Vol Avg No Storms Avg Volume EAST COAST Newark NEW JERSEY 1975-1985 Gage# 6062 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 pet change .01/.10 101 94 87 84 76 74 70 65 62 -36 47.4 47.3 47.2 47.1 46.7 46.6 46.4 45.9 45.6 -3.2 DELTA Avg COV 87 94 102 105 117 119 126 137 144 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.86 0.87 Duration Avg COV 8.1 8.7 9.2 9.5 10.1 10.2 10.6 11.1 11.4 1.02 0.96 0.92 0.90 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.80 0.78 Intensity Avg COV 0.057 0.060 0.064 0.066 0.070 0.071 0.074 0.078 0.080 1.22 1.17 1.12 1.11 1.07 1.06 1.04 1.01 1.00 Volume Avg C( 0.47 1 .' 0.50 1.' 0.54 1. 0.56 1. 0.62 1. 0.63 1. 0.66 1.' 0.71 1.( 0.74 1.( 56 37 -22 37 -17 51 MID COUNTRY Ferris TEXAS Gage #31 33 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 54 53 52 50 46 46 44 40 39 32.0 32.0 32.0 31.9 31.7 31.7 31.6 31.2 31.1 146 149 153 159 174 176 184 203 210 1.20 1.20 1.19 1.18 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.14 1.15 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.6 7.7 7.9 8.4 8.5 1.02 1.01 0.99 0.97 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.88 0.88 0.097 0.098 0.101 0.104 0.111 0.112 0.115 0.121 0.124 1.15 1.13 1.12 1.09 1.05 1.04 1.02 0.99 0.98 0.59 0.60 0.61 0.63 0.68 0.69 0.72 0.78 0.79 1. 1. 1. 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.C pet change .01/.10 -26 -2.4 39 24 -14 25 -14 32 WEST COAST Los Angeles Airport CALIFORNIA Gage# 5114 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 30 26 24 23 21 20 19 17 17 12.1 12.1 12.1 12.0 11.9 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.6 299 342 371 390 442 448 480 531 550 1.94 2.02 2.01 2.00 2.20 2.18 2.27 2.21 2.17 8.0 8.9 9.5 9.8 10.6 10.7 11.2 11.8 12.0 1.15 1.05 1.00 0.98 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.86 0.044 0.049 0.052 0.052 0.058 0.058 0.060 0.063 0.064 0.93 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.70 0.69 0.41 0.47 0.51 0.53 0.59 0.59 0.63 0.68 0.70 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 pet change .01/.10 -43 -3.3 78 14 48 -24 43 -25 66 14 ------- N«wark,NswJ»f»«y Forrjl. Taxas Lot Angalt*. Calriomia E 0.00 002 0.06 0.08 0.10 Mln. Vol.(In) 0.12 0.14 0.80 0.73 0.70 0.63- 0.60 0.33 0.30 0.43 0.40 Fern's, Taxas Los Angelas. Cailornia 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 Mln. Vol. (In) 14 13- 12- 11 - i .: Nvwaifc. NawJ»re«y F0fria. Taxa* Los Ang»k«, CaHorria 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 O.OS 0.10 0.12 0.14 Mir. Vcl. (Ir) 600 H 300- Newarfc. New Jars«y Fsffis. Taxas LomAngalse, CaBfomia 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 Uln. Vol. (In) Figure 5. Effect of minimum strom volume on storm event statistics. 15 ------- TABLE 3. Comparison Between Wet Season and Calendar Year Statistics Plain Gage CALIFORNIA Annual Statistics No. Storms/yr Avg COV Los Angeles, gage #5114 Total Year 1 7 Wet period 1 5 Wet - % of Total I 88 I 0.39 0.38 Precip in/yr Avq COV 11.65 10.30 0.45 0.52 Independent Storm Event Statistics Duration (hh Intensity (in/hh Volume l\n) DELTA (hr) Avg COV Avg COV Avg COV Avg COV 11.7 0.84 12.0 0.85 0.063 0.73 0.065 0.73 0.67 1.16 0.71 1.16 536 2.17 232 1.32 Oakland, gage #6335 Total Year Wet period Wet - % of Total 30 0.22 25 0.35 17.06 14.91 0.32 0.42 13.3 0.79 13.8 0.79 0.048 0.69 0.049 0.68 0.57 1.01 0.60 0.99 295 2.28 148 1.30 Redding, gage #7295 Total Year Wet period Wet - % of Total 30 0.34 23 0.35 26.59 22.69 0.40 0.43 14.5 0.90 16.5 0.84 0.072 0.94 0.063 0.64 0.88 1.08 0.98 1.05 248 2.13 136 1.36 CFEGCN Medford, gage #5429 Total Year Wet period Wet - % of Total 40 0.17 29 0.25 17.71 14.07 0.26 0.36 12.9 0.77 14.0 0.75 0.040 0.98 0.037 0.65 0.44 0.49 1.14 1.14 222 1.63 139 1.12 NEVADA Las Vegas, gage #4436 Total Year 10 0.45 Wet period 6 0.59 Wet - % of Total I 60 I 3.63 2.05 0.51 0.68 8.8 10.9 0.75 0.62 0.064 1.09 0.038 0.66 0.37 0.82 0.36 0.73 967 1.49 491 1.25 ARIZONA Phoenix, gage #6481 Total Year Wet period Wet - % of Total 16 0.29 9 0.46 8.1 10.4 0.92 0.80 0.085 0.053 1.23 0.84 0.42 0.42 35 0.15 579 369 1.46 1.15 16 ------- A pattern that is intermediate between those described above is shown by the Medford OR and Redding CA sites. Here, a relatively strong seasonal distribution of precipitation is shown by the fact that 75 percent of the storm events, and 80-85 percent of the annual volume, occur during ' the wet period. The individual event statistics also exhibit intermediate differences. As with the other sites, the average interval between storms is shorter. Durations are longer and intensities lower, but the difference is only about 10 percent. The average event volume is about 10 percent higher. The seasonal comparison presented here provides some general information that will assist a user in determining how seasonal patterns might influence different rainfall parameters that are relevant to a particular NFS study. It was not considered feasible to attempt a regional generalization of wet/dry seasonal effects, because of the differences indicated by the sample locations examined. 17 ------- 3 RESULTS 3.1 Summary of Storm Event Statistics in the United States This section presents a summary of the storm event statistics developed from a statistical analysis of a national cross-section of rain gage locations. The geographical distribution of the gages selected is shown on the map presented in Figure 6. Table 4 lists the gage name, number, elevation, latitude and longitude, together with information on the length of the record. It also presents the period of record analyzed for each gage. Appendix provides a summary sheet for each gage analyzed, with a more complete set of statistics. It was not practical to include a complete output of all of the summaries due to the large output that can be generated by the SYNOP program. There were a number of guidelines applied in selecting the gages to be analyzed. Because of current emphasis on urban nonpoint source issues, the locations sought were those either in or near large metropolitan areas. Project resources allowed the analysis of 163 gages at various location throughout the US. Our guideline included selecting 2 gages per state, with a larger number selected where the size of the state or climatic variation within the state argued for more, and a smaller number where the state was small or population centers were few. The guidelines resulted in a denser spatial matrix in the east where most of the population is located, and therefor a relatively good delineation. To compensate for the relatively sparse spatial matrix in the western regions that resulted from the emphasis on population centers, additional gages were analyzed to fill in spatial gaps. The statistical characteristics of storm events computed using an IET of 6 hours and a minimum storm volume of 0.10 inches are summarized for the national matrix of rain gages. As addressed in the following section, for one state (North Carolina) a dense statewide matrix of 30 gages was analyzed. The national summary incorporates only 7 of these gages, to avoid introducing a bias to the grouping analysis discussed below, and to permit an evaluation of how well a small number of gages can represent an entire state. Table 5 presents results for both annual precipitation characteristics, and for the statistics of individual storm events. • Annual Statistics: The analysis program counts the number of independent storm events and the total volume of precipitation for each year analyzed, and averages the annual values obtained. The COV measures the variability of the event counts and annual volumes obtained for the separate years. Independent Storm Event Statistics: Individual event values for duration, volume, average intensity and DELTA are computed for each of the storm events in the period of record. The arithmetic average of the individual values is listed as the "Avg". The standard deviation of the individual values is also computed. This value is divided by the average to compute the coefficient of variation listed under the column heading COV. Accordingly, the listing provides the parameter magnitude for the mean storm and a measure of the event-to-event variability of the parameter, based on all storms in the record analyzed. 18 ------- Figure 6. Map showing the location of selected rainfall gages. (Gages for Hawaii and Alaska not shown) ------- State Location AK AL AL AR AR AZ AZ AZ CA CA CA CA CA CA CA CA CA CO CO CO CO CT CT DE a a a a a GA GA HI IA IA IA ID ID IL IL IN IN KS KS KY KY LA LA LA MA MA MO ME Ml Ml MN MN MO MO MO MS MT MT MT MT NC NC NC NC NC NC NC ND ND NE NE NH BIRMINGHAM FAAAP MONTGOMERY WSO AP FORT SMITH LITTLE ROCK FAA AP PETRIFIED FOREST PHOENIX WSFO AP TUCSON WSO AP FRESNO WSOAP BAKERSFIELD WSO AP BLYTHE LOS ANGELES WSO AP OAKLAND WSO AP REDDING 5 SSE SACRAMENTO FAA AP SAN DIEGO WSOAP SAN FRANCISCO V\ DENVER WSFO AP GRAND JUNCTIOI PUEBLO WSO AP FORT COLLINS HARTFORD BRAII BRIDGEPORT WSO AP WILMINGTON WSOAP JACKSONVILLE W: MIAMI WSCMOAP ORLANDO WSO AP ST PETERSBURG TALLAHASSEE WSOAP COLUMBUS WSO AP ATLANTA WSOAP HONOLULU WSFO DES MOINES WSFO AP DUBUQUE WSO AP SIOUX CENTER 2 SE BOISE WSFO AP POCATELLO WSFO AP CHICAGO MIDWAY AP: SPRINGFIELD WSOAP FORT WAYNE WSOAP INDIANAPOLIS WSFO COLBY 1 SW EMPORIA LEXINGTON WSOAP LOUISVILLE WSFO NEWORLEAr. ALEXANDRIA SHREVEPORT WSOAP BOSTON WSO AP WORCESTER WSO AP BALTIMORE WSOAP PORTLAND WSMOAP DETROIT METRO \ LANSING WSOAP MINN-ST PAUL WSO AP DULUTH ST LOUIS WSCMOAP SPRINGFIELD WSOAP KANSAS CITY UofMO JACKSON WSFO AP GREAT FALLS WS( BILLINGS WSO AP BUTTE 8S GLASGOW WSO AP CAPE HATTERAS WSO CHARLOTTE WSO AP DALTON ELIZABETH CITY ASHFORD RALEIGH DURHA WILMINGTON WSO AP FARGO WSO AP BISMARCK WSFOAP LINCOLN WSO AP NORTH PLATTE V CONCORD WSOAP Table 4. Ustlng of Selected Rainfall Gages Used In the Analysis Gage No. ;MOAP 280 AP 831 SOAP 5550 2574 AP 4248 5TN.P. 6468 P 6481 8820 3257 ;O AP 442 925 iOAP 5114 3 6335 7295 AAP 7630 AP 7740 WSO AP 7769 P 2220 J WSO AP 3488 6740 3005 JARD FLD 3451 OAP 806 D AP 9595 'SOAP 4358 1 5663 P 6638 7886 SO AP 8758 AP 2166 ' 451 )703AP 1919 :O AP 2203 P 2367 : SE 7700 1022 OAP 7211 YAP3SW 1577 OAP 8179 OAP 3037 5FO 4259 1699 2543 AP 4746 D 4954 'SCMOAP 6660 98 5OAP 8440 770 OAP 9923 AP 465 DAP 6905 WSOAP 2103 ' 4641 SOAP 5435 2248 )AP 7455 OAP 7976 )f MO 4379 \P 4472 ICMOAP 3751 5 807 1309 AP 3558 WSO 1458 JAP 1690 2230 2719 312 dWSFOAP 7069 0 AP 9457 2859 AP 819 4795 /VSOAP 6065 \P 1683 Latitude 61:10:00 33:34:00 32:18:00 35:20:00 34:44:00 34:49:00 33:26:00 32:08:00 36:46:00 35:25:00 33:37:00 33:56:00 37:45:00 4030:00 38:31 :00 32:44:00 37:37:00 39;46;00 39:06:00 38:17:00 40:35:00 41:44:00 41:10:00 39:40:00 30:30:00 25:48:00 28:33:00 27:46:00 30:23:00 3231 :00 33:39:00 2120:00 41:32:00 4224:00 43:03:00 4334:00 42:55:00 41:44:00 39:51 .-00 41 :00:00 39:44:00 3923:00 38:20:00 38:02:00 38:11:00 29:59:00 31:19:00 3228:00 42:22:00 42:16:00 39:11:00 4339:00 42:14:00 42:46:00 44:53:00 46:50:00 38:45:00 37:14:00 37:02:00 32:19:00 4729:00 45:48:00 4554:00 48:13:00 35:16:00 35:13:00 36:18:00 36:19:00 35:53:00 35:52:00 34:16:00 46:54:00 46:46:00 40:51:00 41 .-08:00 43:12:00 Longitude .150:01:00 086:45:00 086:24:00 194:22:00 092:14:00 109:53:00 112:01:00 110:57:00 119:43:00 119:03:00 114:43:00 118:24:00 122:12:00 122:22:00 121:30:00 117:10:00 12223:00 104;52;00 108:33:00 104:31:00 105:05:00 072:39:00 073:08:00 075:36:00 081:42:00 080:18:00 081:20:00 082:38:00 084:22:00 084:57:00 084:26:00 15755:00 093:39:00 090:42:00 096:09:00 116:13:00 11236:00 087:46:00 089:41:00 085:12:00 086:16:00 101:04:00 096:11:00 084:36:00 085:44:00 090:15:00 092:28:00 093:49:00 071:02:00 071:52:00 076:40:00 070:19:00 083:20:00 084:36:00 093:13:00 092:11:00 090:22:00 093:23:00 9435:00 090:05:00 111:22:00 108:32:00 11233:00 106:37:00 075:33:00 080:56:00 080:24:00 076:12:00 081:57:00 078:47:00 077:54:00 096:48:00 100:46:00 096:45:00 100:41:00 071 :30:00 Elevation 110 630 220 450 260 5450 1110 2580 330 500 390 110 10 430 20 10 10 5280 4850 4640 5000 20 10 80 30 10 110 10 60 450 1010 10 960 1070 1360 2840 4450 620 590 800 790 3170 1210 970 480 0 90 250 20 990 200 60 630 840 830 1430 540 1270 850 330 3660 3570 5700 2280 10 700 1010 10 1760 380 70 900 1650 1190 2780 350 Beginning Year 1963 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1954 1949 1949 1959 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1955 1949 1949 1949 1949 1950 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1963 1949 1951 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 . 1949 1951 1951 1949 1949 1954 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1960 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1964 1949 1949 1954 1958 1958 1949 1949 1955 1949 1949 1950 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 Ending Year 1987 1987 1987 1987 1975 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1984 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1983 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1973 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1969 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 Total Years 25 39 39 39 27 39 39 39 39 39 34 39 36 29 39 39 39 39 39 33 39 39 39 39 38 39 35 39 39 39 39 25 39 37 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 37 23 39 39 34 39 39 39 39 39 39 28 39 39 39 39 39 21 24 39 39 34 30 30 39 39 33 39 39 38 39 39 39 39 39 ?n ------- Table 4. Listing of Selected Rainfall Gages Used In the Analysis Slate Location NJ ATLANTIC CITY WSO AP NJ NEWARK WSO AP NM ALBUQUERQUE WSFO AP NM ROSWELL WSO AP NV LAS VEGAS WSO AP NV RENO WSFO AP NV ELKOFAA AP NV SMOKEY VALLEY NY BUFFALO WSFO AP NY NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK NY ROCHESTER WB AP NY SYRACUSE WB AP OH COLUMBUS WSO AP OH YOUNGSTOWN WSO AP OK OKLAHOMA CITY WS FO AP OR MEDFORD WSO AP OR PORTLAND WSFO A P OR SALEM WSO AP OR LAKEVIEW 2 NNW OR PENDELTON WSO AP PA ERIE WSO AP PA PHILADELPHIA WSCMO AP PA PITTSBURGH WSCMO2 AP SC CHARLESTON WSO Cl SC COLUMBIA WSFO AP SD RAPID CITY WSO AP SD MOBRIDGE SD SIOUX FALLS WSFO AP TN BRISTOL WSO AP TN CHATTANOOGA WSO AP TN KNOXVILLEWSOAP TN MEMPHIS FAA-AP TN NASHVILLE WSO AP TX BROWNSVILLE WSO AP TX ABILENE WSO AP TX CORPUS CHRISTI WSO AP TX AMARILLOWSOAP TX DALLAS FAA AP TX a PASO WSO AP TX FT WORTH MEACH WSO AP TX AUSTIN WSO AP TX HOUSTON-ALIEF TX HOUSTON-SATSUMA TX LUBBOCKWSFOAP TX MIDLAND/ODESSA WSO AP TX SAN ANTONIO WSFO UT SALT LAKE CITY NWSFO AP UT GREEN RIVER UT ST GEORGE VA LYNCHBURGWSOAP VA NORTHFOLKWSOAP VA WASH NATL WSCMO AP VT BURLINGTON WSO AP WA SEATTLE TAG WSCMO AP WA SPOKANE WSO AP WA YAKIMAWSOAP Wl GREEN BAY WSO AP Wl MADISON WSO AP Wl MILWAUKEE WSO AP WV CHARLESTON WFSO AP WY CASPER WSO AP WY MUD SPRINGS WY PATHFINDER DAM Gage No. 311 6026 234 7609 4436 6779 2573 7620 1012 5801 7167 8383 1786 9406 6661 5429 6751 7500 4670 6546 2682 6889 6993 1549 1939 6937 5691 7667 1094 1656 4950 5954 6402 1136 16 2015 211 2244 2797 3284 428 4311 4329 5411 5890 7945 7598 3418 7516 5120 6139 8906 1081 7473 7938 9465 3269 4961 5479 1570 1570 6597 7105 Latitude 39:27:00 40:42:00 35:03:00 33:24:00 36:05:00 39:30:00 40:50:00 38:47:00 42:56:00 40:47:00 43;07;00 43:07:00 40:00:00 41:15:00 35:24:00 42:23:00 45:36:00 44:55:00 42:13:00 45:41 :00 42:05:00 39:53:00 40:30:00 32:47:00 33:57:00 44:03:00 45:34:00 43:34:00 36:29:00 35:02:00 35:48:00 35:03:00 36:07:00 25:54:00 3226:00 27:46:00 35:14:00 32:51 :00 31 :48:00 32:49:00 30:18:00 29:43:00 29:56:00 33:39:00 31 :57:00 29:32:00 40:47:00 39:00:00 37:07:00 3750:00 36:54:00 38:51:00 4428:00 47:27:00 47:38:00 4634:00 44:29:00 43:08:00 42:57:00 3822:00 42:55:00 41:19:00 4228:00 Longitude 074:34:00 074:10:00 106:37:00 104:32:00 115:10:00 119:47:00 115:47:00 117:10:00 078:44:00 073:58:00 077;40;00 076:07:00 082:53:00 080:40:00 097:36:00 122:53:00 122:36:00 123:01:00 120:22:00 118:51:00 080:11:00 075:14:00 080:13:00 079:56:00 081 :07:00 103:04:00 10027:00 096:44:00 082:24:00 085:12:00 084:00:00 090:00:00 086:41:00 097:26:00 099:41 :00 097:30:00 101:42:00 096:51:00 10624:00 09721:00 097:42:00 095:36:00 095:38:00 101:49:00 102:11:00 09828:00 11157:00 110:10:00 113:34:00 079:12:00 074:12:00 077:02:00 073:09:00 122:18:00 117:32:00 12032:00 088:08:00 089:20:00 08754:00 08136;00 10628:00 108:55:00 106:51:00 Elevation 140 30 5310 3640 2160 4400 5080 5630 710 130 550 420 810 1180 1280 1300 20 200 4780 1490 730 10 1150 10 210 3160 1700 1420 1530 680 950 270 580 20 1760 40 3590 440 3920 670 600 70 120 3250 2860 790 4220 4070 2760 920 20 70 330 450 2360 1060 680 860 670 1020 5340 6740 5930 Beginning Year 1959 1949 1949 1948 1950 1949 1949 1954 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1950 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1976 1954 1949 Ending Year 1987 1987 1987 1972 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1986 1987 1987 Total Years 29 39 39 25 38 39 39 34 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 38 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 11 34 39 21 ------- TABLE 5. Storm Event Statistics on the National Scale Annual Statistics Rain Gage Location NORTH EAST VT BURLINGTON NH CONCORD CT HARTFORD NY ROCHESTER NY SYRACUSE NY BUFFALO OH COLUMBUS OH YOUNGSTOWN PA ERIE PA PITTSBURGH WV CHARLESTON Gage No. 1081 1683 3451 7167 8383 1012 1786 9406 2682 6993 1570 AVG = COV = No. Storms/yr Avq 69 62 55 67 75 75 70 74 77 70 77 70 0.10 cov 0.11 0.09 0.23 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.17 0.18 0.11 0.13 0.34 Precip in/yr Avq 31.42 35.17 36.10 28.62 35.34 34.86 34.93 34.54 37.05 32.77 39.95 34.61 0.09 COV 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.15 0.22 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.23 0.20 0.17 0.18 0.18 Duration (M Avq 11.5 12.0 10.9 11.2 12.2 12.0 10.0 10.4 11.0 11.0 10.9 11.2 0.06 COV 0.77 0.74 0.78 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.82 0.81 0.83 0.81 0.85 0.81 0.04 Intensity fin/hh Avq 0.059 0.061 0.076 0.059 0.062 0.059 0.078 0.073 0.067 0.067 0.076 0.067 0.11 COV 1.20 1.18 1.06 1.21 1.41 1.26 1.25 1.25 1.20 1.23 1.31 1.23 0.07 Volume (in^ Avg 0.45 0.56 0.65 0.43 0.47 0.47 0.50 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.52 0.50 0.12 COV 0.89 0.95 0.98 0.93 0.97 0.99 0.94 0.93 1.01 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.04 I2EUA fhrt Avg 128 143 147 133 118 119 127 121 112 126 115 126.1 0.09 COV 0.90 0.86 0.92 0.97 0.89 0.92 0.97 0.93 0.93 1.13 0.92 0.94 0.08 NORTH EAST - COASTAL ME PORTLAND MA BOSTON MA WORCESTER CT BRIDGEPORT NY NEW YORK CITY NJ NEWARK 6905 770 9923 806 5801 6026 AVG = COV = 64 62 65 62 63 63 63 0.02 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.07 41.77 41.49 45.07 39.35 42.67 38.25 41.43 0.06 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.08 12.6 12.3 12.7 10.5 11.0 11.1 11.7 0.08 0.76 0.79 0.80 0.73 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.03 0.065 0.066 0.070 0.076 0.079 0.072 0.071 0.07 1.06 0.94 1.06 1.03 1.10 1.10 1.05 0.06 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.64 0.67 0.61 0.66 0.04 1.04 1.08 1.00 1.03 1.06 0.94 1.03 0.05 139 144 134 143 140 139 140 0.03 0.83 0.85 0.80 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.87 0.06 ------- Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics Rain Gage Location MID ATLANTIC NJ ATLANTIC CITY PA PHILADELPHIA DE WILMINGTON MD BALTIMORE VA LYNCHBURG VA WASHINGTON DC VA NORFOLK NC ASHFORD NC CHARLOTTE NC RALEIGH-DURHAM NC DALTON NC ELIZABETH CITY EAST GULF FL ORLANDO FL ST PETERSBURG FL MIAMI FL TALLAHASSEE LA ALEXANDRIA LA NEW ORLEANS Gage No. 311 6889 9595 465 5120 8906 6139 312 1690 7069 2230 2719 AVG = COV = 6638 7886 5663 8758 98 6660 AVG = COV = Precip in/yr Avq 60 62 59 60 62 61 63 58 63 62 55 56 60 0.04 69 59 78 72 57 70 68 0.12 cov 0.13 0.12 0.17 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.15 0.26 0.13 0.12 0.20 0.18 0.15 0.29 0.22 0.20 0.16 0.12 0.18 0.14 0.17 0.22 Avq 38.80 39.68 38.24 39.41 38.26 37.46 42.28 40.9 40.79 40.12 38.1 41.3 39.61 0.04 47.15 46.86 55.17 62.95 51.43 58.70 53.71 0.12 COV 0.16 0.16 0.23 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.28 0.29 0.16 0.12 0.24 0.21 0.20 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.25 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.13 Duration (hrt Avg 10.0 10.3 10.6 10.6 10.9 10.0 9.9 9.9 9.5 9.6 7.8 7.7 9.7 0.10 5.9 5.5 6.0 7.1 6.5 7.3 6.4 0.11 COV 0.76 0.76 0.74 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.87 0.90 0.91 0.86 0.88 0.89 0.84 0.07 1.16 1.06 1.06 1.00 1.01 0.99 1.05 0.06 Intensity fin/hr) Avg 0.087 0.085 0.083 0.088 0.085 0.094 0.098 0.101 0.098 0.099 0.127 0.130 0.098 0.16 0.169 0.209 0.163 0.172 0.190 0.165 0.178 0.10 COV 1.11 1.19 1.13 1.22 1.16 1.25 1.17 1.16 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.13 1.15 0.04 1.12 0.98 1.02 1.03 0.92 1.11 1.03 0.07 Volume (in) Avg 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.62 0.62 0.67 0.69 0.65 0.65 0.69 0.73 0.66 0.05 0.69 0.80 0.71 0.87 0.91 0.83 0.80 0.11 COV 0.99 0.98 0.96 1.04 0.98 1.00 1.11 1.05 1.01 0.94 1.08 1.08 1.02 0.05 1.25 1.12 1.33 1.17 1.10 1.14 1.19 0.07 DELTA (hrt Avg - 149 144 146 149 142 148 138 141 141 144 147 145 144 0.02 126 145 115 119 151 126 130 0.11 COV 0.87 0.96 0.90 0.96 0.95 0.97 0.90 1.56 1.01 0.94 1.12 1.03 1.01 0.18 1.32 1.39 1.56 1.11 1.06 1.08 1.25 0.16 ------- TABLE 5. Storm Event Statistics on the National Scale (continued) Annual Statistics Rain Gage Location SOUTHEAST GA COLUMBUS GA ATLANTA AL BIRMINGHAM AL MONTGOMERY FL JACKSONVILLE SC CHARLESTON SC COLUMBIA NC CAPE HATTERAS NC WILMINGTON TN CHATTANOOGA LA SHREVEPORT MS JACKSON AR LITTLE ROCK TN MEMPHIS EAST TEXAS OK OKLAHOMA CITY TX BROWNSVILLE TX CORPUS CHRISTI TX DALLAS TX FT WORTH TX AUSTIN TX SAN ANTONIO TX HOUSTON-ALIEF TX HOUSTON-SATS Gage No. 2166 451 831 5550 4358 1549 1939 1458 9457 1656 8440 4472 4248 5954 AVG = COV = 6661 1136 2015 2244 3284 /a45 4311 4329 AVG = rnv - Precip in/yr Avg 68 67 69 65 69 63 61 67 69 71 54 67 60 64 65 0.07 44 35 38 40 38 45 39 46 46 41 n m cov 0.12 0.12 0.18 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.21 0.17 0.11 0.11 0.22 0.12 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.25 0.17 0.22 0.24 0.28 0.23 0.14 0.22 0.26 0.26 0.22 n ">r\ Avq 48.79 46.87 50.71 49.05 50.02 44.57 45.50 52.33 51.79 50.90 42.27 55.01 48.36 50.28 49.03 0.07 31.39 24.73 28.85 31.32 28.31 31 .46 28.57 39.26 37.08 31.22 n -\A COV 0.18 0.15 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.28 0.22 0.13 0.18 0.27 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.28 0.20 0.31 0.33 0.30 0.29 n 1/1 Duration (hr) Avg 8.0 9.3 8.4 8.0 7.4 8.2 9.1 9.2 8.8 10.0 8.8 8.2 9.4 9.2 8.7 0.08 8.3 8.2 8.2 7.6 6.8 8.4 8.9 7.7 7.7 8.0 n no COV 0.93 0.89 0.89 0.91 1.04 0.91 0.93 0.90 0.90 0.85 0.94 0.95 0.88 0.90 0.9 0.05 0.87 1.05 1.06 1.00 0.96 0.91 0.95 1.00 0.97 0.97 n nc Intensity (in/hr) Avq 0.131 0.112 0.121 0.135 0.142 0.123 0.121 0.108 0.119 0.099 0.124 0.140 0.117 0.123 0.122 0.10 0.123 0.135 0.141 0.148 0.155 0.119 0.125 0.144 0.139 0.137 n nn COV 1.08 1.09 1.04 1.02 1.10 1.33 1.21 0.96 1.18 1.04 1.01 1.02 1.08 1.10 1.09 0.09 1.05 1.20 1.14 1.05 1.04 1.01 1.10 1.11 1.04 1.08 ft f\C I I fc— » *_»! 11 V^ IUI IO LIVv? Volume (in) Avg 0,72 0.70 0.73 0.76 0.73 0.71 0.74 0.79 0.75 0.72 0.79 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.75 0.05 0.71 0.71 0.77 0.78 0.74 0.70 0.73 0.86 0.80 0.76 n r\-r COV 1.06 0.99 1.10 1.07 1.27 1.17 1.05 1.21 1.19 1.05 1.07 1.09 1.05 1.02 1.10 0.07 1.07 1.44 1.39 1.07 1.00 1.13 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.18 /% -4 n EELIA. flirt Avg 131 133 124 137 130 141 140 130 129 125 161 133 147 138 136 0.07 206 262 241 213 223 200 230 169 170 213 r\ -4 A COV 1.10 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.22 1.08 1.04 0.95 0.98 0.96 1.03 1.00 1.02 0.97 1.03 0.07 1.29 1.44 1.40 1.20 1.27 1.33 1.32 1.14 1.11 1.28 ft f*r\ ------- Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics Rain Gage Location CENTRAL KY LEXINGTON KY LOUISVILLE TN BRISTOL TN KNOXVILLE TN NASHVILLE MO SPRINGFIELD AR FORT SMITH NORTH CENTRAL ND FARGO SD SIOUX FALLS MN MINN-ST PAUL IA DESMOINES IA DUBUQUE NE LINCOLN KS EMPORIA MOST LOUIS MO KANSAS CITY Ml DETROIT Ml LANSING IN FORT WAYNE IN INDIANAPOLIS IL CHICAGO IL SPRINGFIELD MN DULUTH Wl GREEN BAY Wl MADISON Wl MILWAUKEE Gage No. 4746 4954 1094 4950 6402 7976 2574 AVG = COV = 2859 7667 5435 2203 2367 4795 2543 7455 4379 2103 4641 3037 4259 1577 8179 2248 3269 4961 5479 AVG = COV = Precip in/yr Avg 72 69 74 74 70 60 55 68 0.11 37 42 52 53 58 48 46 60 46 63 58 66 67 59 60 55 55 56 58 55 0.15 cov 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.14 0:16 0.18 0.14 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.19 0.18 0.23 0.13 0.23 0.11 0.14 0.10 0.12 0.18 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.22 Avq 42.71 41.65 38.97 44.57 46.03 39.74 39.43 41.87 0.06 17.79 22.56 25.52 30.09 35.59 28.81 32.21 34.73 31.34 30.05 26.72 33.30 37.83 33.38 33.00 27.84 26.28 29.41 30.02 29.81 0.16 COV 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.23 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.23 0.28 0.25 0.31 0.22 0.27 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.22 0.17 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.20 0.22 0.21 Duration (hh Avg 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.6 9.2 0.04 9.3 9.6 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.5 8.5 8.9 7.6 9.8 10.2 9.7 9.7 9.2 9.1 11.6 9.8 9.5 10.1 9.5 0.08 COV 0.83 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.88 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.02 0.91 0.90 0.85 0:84 0.83 0.87 0.80 0.85 0.84 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.83 0,04 Intensity (in/hr) Avg 0.089 0.092 0.087 0.090 0.103 0.104 0.113 0.097 0.10 0.084 0.091 0.080 0.089 0.091 0.095 0.110 0.096 0.129 0.075 0.070 0.079 0.087 0.093 0.090 0.068 0.074 0.084 0.076 0.087 0.16 COV 1.09 1.13 1.24 1.04 1.06 1.07 0.99 1.09 0.07 1.26 1.20 1.34 1.25 1.09 1.15 1.17 1.14 1.09 1.27 1.22 1.17 1.20 1.19 1.15 1.26 1.18 1.24 1.22 1.20 0.05 Volume (in) Avg 0.60 0.60 0.53 0.60 0.66 0.66 0.72 0.62 0.10 0.48 0.54 0.49 0.57 0.61 0.60 0.70 0.58 0.67 0.48 0.46 0.50 0.56 0.57 0.55 0.51 0.47 0.53 0.52 0.55 0.12 COV 0.97 1.02 0.91 0.98 1.04 1.04 1.07 1.00 0,05 1.18 1.02 1.09 1.02 1.07 1.03 1.06 1.01 1.00 0.94 0.94 0.91 0.99 1.05 1.05 1.03 0.92 0.99 0.97 1.01 0.06 DELTA fhr) Avg 124 128 120 119 127 148 163 133 0.12 251 220 175 172 149 196 192 149 165 141 149 135 133 148 150 164 162 161 155 167 0.18 COV 0.97 0.95 0.92 0.92 0.97 1.10 1.09 0.99 0.08 1.44 1.42 1.31 1.24 1.11 1.40 1.39 1.10 1.20 0.97 1.03 0.96 1.02 1.05 1.08 1.13 1.12 1.14 1.07 1.17 0.13 ------- TABLE 5. Storm Event Statistics on the National Scale (continued) Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics Rain Gage Location NORTH WEST INLAND WA SPOKANE WA YAKIMA OR PENDLETON ID BOISE ID POCATELLO UT SALT LAKE CITY MT GREAT FALLS MT BILLINGS MT BUTTE MT GLASGOW SD RAPID CITY SD MOBRIDGE ND BISMARCK NE N.PLATTEWSO WY MUD SPRINGS WY PATHFINDER DAM WY CASPER CO DENVER CO FT COLLINS WEST TEXAS KS COLBY TX LUBBOCK TX MIDLAND/ODESSA TX AMARILLO TX ABILENE Gage No. 7938 9465 6546 1022 7211 7598 3751 807 1309 3558 6937 5691 819 6065 6597 7105 1570 2220 3005 AVG = COV = 1699 5411 5890 -""I 16 AVG = COV = Precip in/yr Avg 46 23 35 33 31 39 35 33 30 23 34 31 32 37 18 22 33 32 26 31 0.21 27 ^1 ..4 33 35 30 0.15 cov 0.18 0.28 0.16 0.20 0.27 0.24 0.20 0.19 0.31 0.18 0.16 0.23 0.17 0.20 0.40 0.26 0.20 0.21 0.32 0.23 0.28 0.39 0.25 0.29 0.23 0.18 0.27 0.29 Avg 14.57 6.73 9.88 9.92 9.07 14.13 13.26 12.72 10.32 8.88 14.27 13.64 13.66 18.34 5.21 7.19 11.66 13.74 11.25 11.50 0.28 14.44 17.67 13.32 18.33 22.66 17.28 0.21 COV 0.20 0.28 0.21 0.25 0.33 0.25 0.30 0.28 0.33 0.33 0.24 0.31 0.23 0.27 0.34 0.27 0.31 0.29 0.41 0.29 0.18 0.39 0.27 0.43 0.29 0.27 0.33 0.23 Duration (hr) Avg 11.6 10.0 10.1 10.5 10.3 10.6 12.9 12.3 8.6 9.8 10.4 9.0 10.2 8.7 7.9 11.0 12.4 11.2 10.4 10.4 0.13 6.7 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.9 7.4 n.nfi COV 0.70 0.65 0.71 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.81 0.87 0.96 0.90 0.94 0.87 0.91 0.95 0.81 0.74 0.82 0.89 0.84 0.82 0.12 0.86 1.00 1.07 0.98 0.98 0.98 nnn Intensity (in/hr) Avg 0.034 0.037 0.036 0.037 0.038 0.045 0.045 0.053 0.073 0.066 0.076 0.084 0.077 0.098 0.057 0.043 0.048 0.067 0.062 0.057 0.33 0.126 0.116 0.121 0.114 0.128 0.12 nns COV 0.84 1.06 0.86 0.88 0.83 0.95 1.31 1.62 1.17 1.31 1.42 1.44 1.33 1.19 1.06 1.33 1.56 1.29 1.37 1.20 0.21 1.11 1.09 1.28 1.11 1.06 1.13 nna Volume (in) Avg 0.31 0.29 0.28 0.30 0.29 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.45 0.42 0.49 0.29 0.33 0.35 0.43 0.43 0.37 0.17 0.53 0.57 0.55 0.55 0.65 0.57 n nn COV 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.81 1.25 0.99 0.80 1.11 1.02 1.00 0.93 0.97 0.80 1.00 1.06 1.06 1.17 0.93 0.17 0.97 1.10 1.10 1.14 1.04 1.07 n nfi DELTA (hr) Avg 190 383 251 269 289 231 261 277 311 417 275 271 290 249 506 399 274 290 340 304 0.25 312 296 369 275 261 302 n 1/1 COV 1.32 1.47 1.32 1.46 1.30 1.43 1.25 1.21 1.62 1.59 1.62 1.74 1.55 1.60 1.71 1.34 1.01 1.23 1.39 1.43 0.13 1.77 1.66 1.42 1.47 1.35 1.53 n 11 ------- Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics Rain Gage Location SOUTHWEST TX EL PASO NM ROSWELL NM ALBUQUERQUE UT GREEN RIVER UT ST. GEORGE CO GRAND JUNCTION CO PUEBLO AZ TUCSON AZ PHOENIX AZ PET. FOREST NP WEST INLAND NV LAS VEGAS NV RENO NV ELKO NV SMOKEY VALLEY CA BLYTHE CA BAKERSFIELD Gage No. 2797 7609 234 3418 7516 3488 6740 8820 6481 6468 AVG = COV = 4436 6779 2573 7620 925 442 AVG = COV = Precip in/yr Avg 19 20 22 14 15 25 24 25 16 19 20 0.20 10 18 24 13 6 15. 14 0.44 cov 0.32 0.29 0.24 0.34 0.36 0.27 0.26 0.23 0.29 0.36 0.30 0.16 0.45 0.32 0.35 0.34 0.48 0.34 0.38 0.18 Avg 7.47 9.41 6.92 4.27 5.50 6.76 9.70 10.56 6.77 6.61 7.40 0.26 3.63 6.55 7.04 4.60 2.64 5.02 4.9133 0.34 COV 0.42 0.37 0.30 0.43 0.41 0.35 0,37 0.31 0.44 0.33 0.37 0.14 0.51 0.31 0.43 0.39 0.58 0.36 0.43 0.23 Duration (hr) Avg 7.4 8.0 6.6 8.9 7.6 9.4 8.5 7.1 8.1 6.5 7.8 0.12 8.8 10.9 10.0 8.9 8.3 9.3 9.4 0.10 COV 0.97 1.07 0.84 0.75 0.83 0.73 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.87 0.88 0.11 0.75 0.78 0.72 0.78 0.77 0.71 0.75 0.04 Intensity (in/hr) Avg 0.090 0.101 0.079 0.048 0.076 0.044 0.091 0.093 0.085 0.086 0.079 0.24 0.064 0.042 0.043 0.055 0.075 0.048 0.05468 0.23 COV 1.13 1.15 1.13 1.05 1.19 1.15 1.39 1.10 1.23 1.11 1.16 0.08 1.09 1.02 1.32 0.89 1.13 0.93 1.06 0.15 Volume (in) Avg 0.40 0.46 0.31 0.30 0.36 0.28 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.35 0.37 0.16 0.37 0.36 0.30 0.36 0.45 0.34 0.36 0.14 COV 0.98 1.08 0.77 0.79 0.68 0.70 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.88 0.15 0.82 0.92 0.89 0.84 0.91 0.81 0.87 0.06 DELTA (hr) Avg 500 458 419 634 579 370 386 359 579 447 473 0.20 967 498 382 670 1583 617 786 0.56 COV 1.56 1.58 1.38 1.35 1.51 1.21 1.46 1.56 1.46 1.53 1.46 0.08 1.49 1.40 1.49 1.43 1.56 1.89 1.54 0.12 ------- TABLE 5. Storm Event Statistics on the National Scale (continued) Annual Statistics Rain Gage Location PACIFIC NORTHWEST WA SEATTLE OR PORTLAND OR SALEM PACIFIC CENTRAL OR MEDFORD OR LAKEVIEW CA REDDING CA SACRAMENTO CA OAKLAND CA SAN FRANCISCO PACIFIC SOUTHWEST CA FRESNO CA LOS ANGELES CA SAN DIEGO Gage No. 7473 6751 7500 AVG = COV = 5429 4670 7295 7630 6335 7769 AVG = COV = 3257 5114 7740 AVG = COV = Precip in/yr Avq 71 72 70 71 0.01 40 36 30 28 30 30 32 0.14 23 17 18 19 0.17 cov 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.17 0.23 0.34 0.26 0.22 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.27 0.39 0.41 0.36 0.21 Avg 34.31 34.60 38.27 35.73 0.06 17.71 13.06 26.59 16.72 17.06 19.22 18.39 0.24 10.07 11.65 8.97 10.23 0.13 COV 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.08 0.26 0.27 0.40 0.38 0.32 0.36 0.33 0.18 0.38 0.45 0.44 0.42 0.09 Duration (hrt Avg 14.6 15.9 17.2 15.9 0.08 12.9 13.4 14.5 13.7 13.3 14.2 13.7 0.04 11.3 11.7 11.8 11.6 0.02 COV 0.78 0.77 0.86 0.80 0.06 0.77 0.73 0.90 0.79 0.79 0.81 0.80 0.07 0.74 0.84 0.75 0.78 0.07 Intensity (in/hrt Avq 0.036 0.034 0.035 0.035 0.03 0.040 0.032 0.072 0.048 0.048 0.048 0.04797 0.28 0.046 0.063 0.052 0.05363 0.16 COV 0.66 0.80 0.73' 0.73 0.10 0.98 0.94 0.94 0.87 0.69 0.66 . 0.85 0.16 0.74 0.73 0.82 0.76 0.06 Volume (\r\) Avg 0.48 0.48 0.55 0.50 0.08 0.44 0.37 0.88 0.59 0.57 0.64 0.58 0.31 0.44 0.67 0.51 0.54 0.22 COV 1.07 1.06 1.15 1.09 0.05 1.14 0.93 1.08 1.06 1.01 1.07 1.05 0.07 0.88 1.16 0.89 0.98 0.16 DBJA fhrt Avg 121 122 126 122.9 0.02 222 230 248 306 295 288 264.7 0.14 389 536 503 475.8 0.16 COV 1.38 1.51 1.61 1.50 0.08 1.63 1.67 2.13 2.00 228 2.26 2.00 0.14 209 2.17 2.00 2.09 0.04 ------- The important information produced by the analysis is represented by the set of parameter statistics listed for each specific gage location. However, in the belief that the ability to assign "typical" approximate values for relatively broad regions will be of value in situations where areawide or regional assessments are desired, we have organized the summary of study results so that gage locations are placed in a series of regional groups. The results were arranged by geographical location and then the gages were grouped by similarities in the overall set of statistical characteristics. A measure of how closely the individual sites in a group compare (how reasonable are the assigned geographic rainfall zone) is provided by inspection of the summary at the end of each group. The value of a parameter at a particular site may be compared with the mean for the group to provide a sense of how well it fits. The coefficient of variation (COV) for the group provides a measure of the variability in the values of a parameter at all of the sites in the group. An attempt was made to make the geographical area assigned to a group as large as possible, though obviously a greater number of smaller groupings would improve the match within a zone. The results appear to provide a geographic zone breakdown that will provide reasonable estimates for broad-scale screening analyses, but the user should recognize that local deviations could be significant in the western parts of the country. Mountains, deserts, and coastal patterns in the west result in large differences over small distances. For this part of the country, data are grouped as suggested by apparent similarities, but the user is cautioned that specific locations within an apparent grouping might be quite different than the sites analyzed. Figure 7 shows the selected rainfall "zones" for the continental United States, based on the sample of rain gages that were analyzed in this study and the gage groupings assigned in Table 6. This is presented to provide an overview of the number of appreciably different rainfall patterns (as measured by storm event statistics) that are present, and as a way to graphically summarize the study results. Table 6 summarizes the "typical" values for the storm event statistics for each of the zones, which are taken as the group average presented previously in Table 5. It is re-emphasized here that the required values should be used for screening purposes only, especially for western states. The SYNOPII program should be used with a local gage for more reliable results in areas where a local gage has not been analyzed. The regional groupings presented above can be used as a guide for assessing regional patterns. A group average may be used in the east to provide an estimate of the characteristics of an ungaged site. In all cases, especially in the western part of the country, estimates will be best made by inspecting the specific results for pertinent sites in the list. Obviously, wherever accurate local estimates are important, the record for a local gage or gages should be analyzed directly. An informative picture of regional patterns for the storm event parameters (event mean durations, intensities, volumes, and interval between storms), is provided by a mapped display of the long term averages. The number of storms per year is a direct reflection of the average interval between storm events and has been presented instead. Figures 8 through 11 illustrate the national patterns for each of these parameters, using smoothed contours to reflect broad patterns that ignore smaller scale spatial variations and localized deviations. 29 ------- PACIFIC NORTH WEST PACIFIC SOUTHWEST Figure 7. Rain zones of the United States. ------- TABLE 6. Typical Vaules of Storm Event Statistics for Zones Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics RAIN ZONE NORTH EAST NORTH EAST - COASTAL MIDATLANTIC CENTRAL NORTH CENTRAL SOUTHEAST EAST GULF EAST TEXAS WEST TEXAS SOUTHWEST WEST INLAND PACIFIC SOUTH NORTHWEST INLAND PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST No. of Storms Avq COV 70 63 62 68 55 65 68 41 30 20 14 19 31 32 71 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.22 0.27 0.30 0.38 0.36 0.23 0.25 0.15 Precip Avq 34.6 41.4 39.5 41.9 29.8 49.0 53.7 31.2 17.3 7.4 4.9 10.2 11.5 18.4 35.7 in/yr COV 0.18 0.21 0.18 0.19 0.22 0.20 0.23 0.29 0.33 0.37 0.43 0.42 0.29 0.33 0.19 Duration Avq COV 11.2 11.7 10.1 9.2 9.5 8.7 6.4 8.0 7.4 7.8 9.4 11.6 10.4 13.7 15.9 0.81 0.77 0.84 0.85 0.83 0.92 1.05 0.97 0.98 0.88 0.75 0.78 0.82 0.80 0.80 Intensity Avq COV 0.067 0.071 0.092 0.097 : 0.087 0.122 0.178 0.137 0.121 0.079 0.055 0.054 0.057 0.048 0.035 1.23 1.05 1.20 1.09 1.20 1.09 1.03 1.08 1.13 1.16 1.06 0.76 1.20 0.85 0.73 Volume Avq COV 0.50 0.66 0.64 0.62 0.55 0.75 0.80 0.76 0.57 0.37 0.36 0.54 0.37 0.58 0.50 0.95 1.03 i.01 1.00 1.01 1.10 1.19 1.18 1.07 0.88 0.87 0.98 0.93 1.05 1.09 DELTA Avq COV 126 140 143 133 167 136 130 213 302 473 786 476 304 265 123 0.94 0.87 0.97 0.99 1.17 1.03 1.25 1.28 1.53 1.46 1.54 2.09 1.43 2.00 1.50 ------- 70 40 40 70 OJ 20 18 10 10 20 78 30 40 70 Figure 8. Annual average number of storms. ------- 16 CO CO 12 10 8 Figure 9. Average storm event duration. (hours) ------- 0.04 0.04 CO .0 0.05 o.06 0.08 0.06 0.07 0. 0.06 0.07 0.13 0.14 Figure 10. Average Storm Event Intensity. ------- 0.60 0.60 0.50 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 Figure 11. Average Storm Event Volume. (inches) ------- The contours indicate a set of rather well defined patterns. Allowing for the modifying influences of mountains and strong coastal effects, they may be generalized as follows. • NUMBER OF STORMS (Figure 8) - There is a general east-west gradient for the average number of storms per year, with an overlying north-south influence immediate!) adjacent to the west coast. The greatest number of separate storm events per year occui in the Pacific Northwest and along the Appalachian mountain chain in the east. • STORM DURATION (Figure 9) - The average storm duration decreases from north tc south, with a west to east decrease near the west coast. • STORM INTENSITY (Figure 10) - The basic trend is increasing average intensity frorr north to south in the eastern part of the country. The Rocky Mountains impose an east- west influence, but the pattern returns partially to a north-south increasing gradient or the Pacific coast • STORM VOLUME (Figure 11) - The general pattern for the average storm volume appears to be a gradient related to distance from a coast and the influence of mountains. Both the Gulf and Atlantic influence the pattern in the eastern half of the country producing a decreasing gradient that is roughly perpendicular to the coastline. In the west, a coastal influence on the pattern is indicated, but is significantly modified by the regional variations in climate and topography. The presence of the differing national patterns for each of the storm event parameters indicates the problem in identifying very large areas that can be assigned a common set of storm event descriptors. In the northern half of the country and in the southwest, fairly large areas with approximately similar rainfall event characteristics can be delineated. On the west coast, such areas are much smaller. Whenever possible, analysis of a local rainfall record is the preferred basis for characterizing local rainfall for use in NPS water quality related assessments. For preliminary estimates, or for more generalized assessments, one of the following approaches may be used. • Use the contour plots of the specific event parameters (Figures 8 to 11), to estimate an approximate value for each parameter. The average interval between storms (DELTA) is related to the average annual number of storms (NST) as follows: DELTA = 8760 hr/yr / NST • Identify the appropriate rain zone from Figure 7, and select the event characteristics from the average characteristics for the zone, from the list presented in Table 6. Use Table 5 to examine the differences between specific gages within the zone. This listing arranges the rain gages into regional groups that correspond to the zones shown on the map. • Use the tables, elect one or more individual gages that are located near the area of concern. Use these values to estimate the storm event parameters for the local area. Even for cases where storm parameters for a local gage are determined by direct analysis of the gage record, it will be useful to evaluate the results in the context of the data listed in this report for nearby sites. This will provide a check against the possibility of a distortion in the results obtained due to data gaps or other imperfections in the original record analyzed. It will also serve another purpose. There will be situations where differences in rainfall statistics exist for gages that are relatively close to each other, because of topography or other localized factors. 36 ------- This factor is illustrated by the information summarized in Table 7. Seven different Texas rain gages, located within a radius of approximately 40 miles of Dallas-Ft. Worth, are compared. Results are comparable, but exhibit individual differences for most parameters of plus/minus 10 percent of what would be the area average. A similar analysis is also shown for two gages near Asheville, North Carolina. In this case there is a substantial difference in rainfall for the two gages. For four of the Texas gages, separate results are presented in Table 7 for two different lengths of record to examine the possible effect of longer term trends. It is apparent that the recent storms have been generally larger in intensity but shorter in duration. Storm volumes have remained about the same. The summary at the bottom shows the percent difference in the storm parameters that result from the analysis of different lengths of the available record. 3.2 Summary of Storm Event Statistics in North Carolina This section presents a summary of the storm event statistics computed for a set of rain gage locations in a single state. North Carolina was selected for this illustration because its ranges in geographic features, from inland mountains to coastal shoreline areas, would be expected to accentuate the variation in rainfall patterns in different parts of the state. The geographical distribution of the sites selected is shown on the map presented in Figure 12. Table 8 lists the site name, gage number, elevation, latitude and longitude, together with information on the length of the record analyzed. The basic guideline applied in selecting the gages within this sample state was to select gages which adequately represent the different geographic regions of the state (coastal, piedmont and mountain). The gages have been grouped as suggested by similarities in the set of statistical characteristics. In this case the elevation, which correlates closely with distance inland from the coast, proved to be an effective sorting variable. A measure of how closely the individual sites in a group compare (how reasonable it is to define a geographic rainfall zone) is provided by inspection of the mean and COV of all group values for each specific parameter. Table 9 shows some interesting results regarding the grouped statistics. For example, the average duration of storm events tends to increase with distance from the coastal zone. Furthermore, the average event volume and intensity of a storm event tends to decrease with distance from the coastal zone. In short, storm events appear to be shorter, more intense near the coast and longer, less intense further inland. Theoretically, a greater refinement of rainfall gages should produce less variability within zones when compared to the variability within regional zones generated on a national scale. The variability (COV) within the regional zones is shown in Table 5 and those for the North Carolina zones are shown in Table 9. This comparison suggest that the variability within the more refined North Carolina zones are generally equal to the Central, Mid Atlantic, and Southeastern zones presented on the national scale. The advantage of the state level discretization of rainfall statistics is that it provides localized results allowing more frequent use of this study. State level contour maps can be developed for each of the individual states, thereby providing greater reliability with the statistics on the localized scale. 37 ------- TABLE 7. Examples of the Effect of Local Variation and Length of Record on Storm Event Statistics. Annual Statistics Event Statistics Station Location TEXAS Grapevine Bardwell Benbrook Dallas FWWSOAP DFWWSC Maypearl record years 76-87 50-87 76-87 66-87 76-87 41-87 76-87 41-87 54-73 75-87 48-80 No. of Storms 37 38 35 40 40 39 41 41 44 43 37 Annual Volume 27.84 28.71 28.69 31.24 28.99 28.08 33.13 31.73 31.80 29.94 29.12 Duration Avq COV 5.8 6.5 5.3 6.7 7.5 7.7 5.6 7.9 8.6 7.5 7.8 0.90 0.91 0.87 0.92 0.88 0.92 0.89 0.96 0.94 0.88 0.90 Intensity Avq COV 0.171 0.158 0.206 0.164 0.131 0.122 0.201 0.144 0.122 0.136 0.129 0.80 0.94 0.90 0.98 1.09 0.99 0.99 1.08 1.08 1.01 1.12 Volume Avg COV 0.76 0.75 0.82 0.78 0.72 0.72 0.81 0.78 0.73 0.70 0.78 0.93 1.03 1.08 1.10 1.01 1.06 0.93 1.08 1.05 0.96 1.04 DELTA Avg COV 231 220 228 210 209 212 211 209 204 207 196 1.20 1.28 1.49 1.35 1.04 1.22 1.18 1.20 1.12 1.26 1.15 NORTH CAROLINA Asheville #301 65-87 49-87 65 65 34.73 35.37 9.5 9.6 0.87 0.85 0.083 0.083 1.17 1.18 0.53 0.54 0.97 0.99 136 136 1.07 1.04 Asheville 65-87 #300 67 44.65 10.5 0.90 0.093 1.19 0..67 1.07 132 0.99 PERCENT DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE LENGTH OF RECORD TEXAS Grapevine Bardwell Benbrook Dallas NORTH CAROLINA Asheville 301 -2.6 -12.5 2.6 0.0 -3.0 -8.2 3.2 4.4 0.0 -1.8 -10.2 -1.1 -22.0 -5.4 -2.7 -4,3 -29.2 -7.3 -1.0 2.4 7.7 -15 25.1 -8.2 7.9 10.1 39.1 -8.3 0.0 -0.8 1.3 -9.7 5.1 -1.8 0.0 -4.7 3.8 -14 -1.9 -2.0 5.0 -6.3 8.6 10.4 -1.4 -15 1.0 -1.7 0.0 2.9 38 ------- West West central East West Number of storms Annual volume Average duration Average intensity Average volume Average DELTA 64 44 10.0 .099 .68 134 West central 58 41 8.8 .118 .70 142 East central 56 39 8.4 .121 .70 150 East 57 43 7.9 .132 .75 142 Figure 12. Rain zones of North Carolina and average storm event statistics 39 ------- Table 8. Location and Period of Record for Rain Gages Analyzed in North Carolina State Location Gage No. NC BURLINGTON 3 NNE NC CAPE HATTERAS WSO ' NC CHARLOTTE WSO AP * NC DALTON ' NC DOBSON NC ELIZABETH CITY * NC ELIZABETHTOWN LOCK 2 NC ELKVILLE NC ASHEVILLE WSO AP NC ASHEVILLE NC ASHFORD * NC FRANKLINTON NC GREENSBORO WSO AP NC GREENVILLE NC HOBUCKEN BRIDGE NC BADIN NC LAKE LURE 2 NC MOREHEAD CITY 2 WNW NC MOUNT PLEASANT NC NWILKESBORO 12SE NC POLKTON 2 NE NC RALEIGH DURHAM WSFO AP NC ROARING GAP 1 NW NC SHELBY 2 NC SNEADS FERRY 2 ENE NC WILSON 3 SW NC YADKINVILLE 6 E NC WILMINGTON WSO AP * NC MOORESVILE 2 WNW NC LAURINBURG These gages are used in the national summary Latitude Longitude Elev Begin Year End Year Yrs 1241 1458 1690 2230 2388 2719 2732 2757 300 301 312 3232 3630 3638 4136 438 4764 5830 5945 6261 6867 7069 7324 7850 8037 9476 9675 9457 5814 4860 36:08:00 35:16:00 35:13:00 36:18:00 36:24:00 36:19:00 34:38:00 36:04:00 35:26:00 35:36:00 35:53:00 36:06:00 36:05:00 35:37:00 35:14:00 35:24:00 35:26:00 34:44:00 35:25:00 36:04:00 35:01:00 35:52:00 36:24:00 35:16:00 34:33:00 35:42:00 36:08:00 34:16:00 35:36:00 34:45:00 079:24:00 075:33:00 080:56:00 080:24:00 080:44:00 076:12:00 078:35:00 081:24:00 082:33:00 082:32:00 081:57:00 078:28:00 079:57:00 077:23:00 076:36:00 080:07:00 082:14:00 076:44:00 080:26:00 080:59:00 080:1 1 :00 078:47:00 081:00:00 081:33:00 077:24:00 077:57:00 080:31:00 077:54:00 080:50:00 079:27:00 640 10 700 1010 1250 10 60 1140 2140 2240 1760 380 890 30 10 530 1040 10 740 1000 310 380 2800 780 10 110 860 70 910 210 1952 1958 1949 1949 1949 1955 1949 1949 1965 1949 1949 1949 1949 1956 1961 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1949 1950 1950 1949 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 . 1987 1987 1987 36 30 39 39 39 33 39 39 23 39 39 39 39 32 27 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 38 38 39 40 ------- Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics Rain Gage Location EAST NC CAPE HATTERAS NC ELIZABETH CITY Gage Elev. No. feet 1458 10 2719 10 NC HOBUCKEN BRIDGE 4136 10 NC MOREHEAD CITY NC SNEADS FERRY NC GREENVILLE NC ELIZABETHTOWN NC WILMINGTON NC WILSON EAST CENTRAL NC POLKTON NC FRANKLINTON NC RALEIGH-DURHAM NC BADIN NC BURLINGTON NC LAURINBURG 5830 10 8037 10 3638 30 2732 60 9457 70 9476 110 avg = cov = 6867 310 3232 380 7069 380 438 530 1241 640 4860 210 avg = cov = No. of Avg 67 56 53 56 54 48 54 69 58 57 0.12 57 56 62 59 49 54 56 0.08 Storms COV 0.17 0.18 0.32 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.23 0.11 0.19 0.22 0.30 0.13 0.17 0.12 0.14 0.27 0.28 0.19 0.39 Precip in/yr Avg 52.3 41.3 40.4 43.5 42.6 36.5 38.1 51.8 40.2 43.0 0.13 40.9 38.6 40.1 41.5 32.7 42.5 39.4 0.09 COV 0.22 0.21 0.29 0.25 0.26 0.31 0.23 0.13 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.12 0.17 0.28 0.63 0.26 0.73 Duration Avg 9.2 7.7 6.4 7.5 8.7 7.0 7.5 8.8 8.1 7.9 0.12 8.6 7.6 9.6 8.1 8.6 7.9 8.4 0.08 COV 0.90 0.89 0.98 0.89 0.87 0.94 0.88 0.90 0.86 0.90 0.04 0.93 0.91 0.86 0.91 0.88 0.88 0.90 0.03 Intensity Avg 0.108 0.130 0.170 0.132 0.116 0.150 0.136 0.119 0.125 0.132 0.14 0.121 0.126 0.099 0.124 0.118 0.140 0.121 0.11 COV 0.96 1.13 1.12 0.99 1.04 1.07 1.09 1.18 1.15 1.08 0.07 1.12 0.99 1.10 1.11 1.19 1.31 1.14 0.09 Volume DELTA Avg 0.79 0.73 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.76 0.70 0.75 0.69 0.75 0.05 0.72 0.69 0.65 0.70 0.67 0.79 0.70 0.07 COV 1.21 1.08 1.14 1.22 1.18 1.03 1.01 1.19 1.00 1.12 0.08 1.00 0.95 0.94 0.99 0.98 1.90 1.13 0.34 Avg 130 145 133 143 149 151 149 129 146 142 0.06 148 152 144 147 159 149 150 0.03 COV 0.95 1.03 1.34 1.29 1.48 1.46 1.27 0.98 1.14 1.22 0.16 1.04 1.07 0.94 1.06 1.14 1.28 1.09 0.10 ------- TABLE 9. Storm Event Statistics for North Carolina Annual Statistics Independent Storm Event Statistics Rain Gage Location WEST CENTRAL NC CHARLOTTE NC MOUNT PLEASANT NC SHELBY NC YADKINVILLE NC GREENSBORO NC MOORESVILLE NC N WILKESBORO NC DALTON NC LAKE LURE NC ELKVILLE NC DOBSON WEST NC ASHFORD NC ASHEVILLE NC ASHEVILLE NC ROARING GAP Gage Elev. No. feet 1690 700 5945 740 7850 780 9675 860 3630 890 5814 910 6261 1000 2230 1010 4764 1040 2757 1140 2388 1250 avg = cov = 312 1760 300 2140 301 2240 7324 2800 avg = cov = No. of Avg 63 57 56 60 63 56 61 55 53 60 56 58 0.06 58 67 65 67 64 0.07 Storms COV 0.13 0.19 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.20 0.23 0.20 0.34 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.33 0.26 0.12 0.11 0.16 0.16 0.42 Precip in/vr Avg 40.8 38.5 40.9 40.1 40.8 39.5 45.6 38.1 42.0 44.3 40.1 41.0 0.06 40.3 44.7 35.4 53.6 43.5 0.18 COV 0.16 0.21 0.16 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.24 0.24 0.32 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.24 0.28 0.18 0.17 0.22 0.21 0.23 Duration Avq 9.5 8.3 8.4 7.9 9.8 9.1 8.5 7.8 10.6 9.1 8.1 8.8 0.10 9.9 10.5 9.6 10.1 10.0 0.04 COV 0.91 0.94 0.94 0.89 0.85 0.90 0.95 0.88 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.91 0.04 0.90 0.90 0.85 0.94 0.90 0.04 Intensity Avg 0.098 0.119 0.130 0.126 0.097 0.117 0.129 0.127 0.101 0.120 0.131 0.118 0.11 0.101 0.093 0.083 0.110 0.097 0.12 COV 1.11 1.07 1.12 1.03 1.15 1.57 1.01 1.10 1.07 1.05 1.15 1.13 0.14 1.16 1.19 1.18 1.11 1.16 0.03 Volume Avg 0.65. 0.68 0.73 0.66 0.64 0.70 0.75 0.69 0.79 0.74 0.71 0.70 0.07 0.69 0.67 0.54 0.80 0.68 0.16 COV 1.01 0.98 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.15 1.08 0.99 1.04 0.05 1.05 1.07 0.99 1.16 1.07 0.07 DELTA Avg 141 147 149 144 140 146 137 147 137 134 143 142 0.04 141 132 136 125 134 0.05 COV 1.01 1.10 1.03 1.01 1.02 1.14 1.10 1.12 1.29 1.04 1.13 1.09 0.08 1.56 0.99 1.04 1.02 1.15 0.24 ------- 4. References 1. EPA, Areawide Assessment Procedures Manual. EPA-600/9-76-014, 3 volumes (Cincinnati, Ohio: EPA, July et seq., 1976). 2. Heaney, J.P., W.C. Huber, M.A. Medina, M.P. Murphy, S.J. Nix, and S.M. Hasan, Nationwide Evaluation of Combined Sewer Overflows and Urban Stormwater Discharges - Vol. II: Cost Assessment and Impacts. EPA-600/2-77- 064(b) (NTIS PB-266005) (Cincinnati, Ohio: EPA, March 1977). 3. Hydroscience Inc., A Statistical method for Assessment of Urban Stormwater Loads - Impacts - Controls. EPA-440/3-79-023 (Washington, D.C.: EPA, May 1979). 4. Restrepo-Posada, P.J., and Eagleson, P.S., Identification of Independent Rainstorms. Journal of Hydrology, 55 (1982), 303-319. 5. Schueler, T.B., Controlling Urban Runoff: A Practical manual for Planning and Designing Urban BMPs. Washington Metropolitan Water Resources Planning Board (Washington D.C., July 1987). 43 ------- ------- |