United States
               Environmental Protection
               Agency
National Risk Management Research
Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
               Research and Development
EPA/600/SR-96/037 May 1996
EPA       Project Summary
                IAQ  Model for Windows,  RISK
               Version  1.0:  User Manual
               Leslie E. Sparks
                 A computer model, called RISK, for
               calculating individual exposure to in-
               door air pollutants from sources is pre-
               sented. The model is designed to cal-
               culate exposure due to individual, as
               opposed to population, activity patterns
               and source use. The model also pro-
               vides the capability to calculate risk
               due to the calculated exposure. RISK
               is  the third in  a series of indoor air
               quality (IAQ) models developed  by the
               Indoor Air/Radon Mitigation Branches
               of U. S. EPA's  National Risk Manage-
               ment Research  Laboratory. The model
               uses data on source emissions, room-
               to-room air flows, air exchange with
               the outdoors, and indoor sinks to pre-
               dict concentration-time profiles for all
               rooms. The concentration-time profiles
               are then combined with individual ac-
               tivity  patterns  to estimate exposure.
               Risk  is calculated using a risk calcula-
               tion  framework. The model allows
               analysis of the effects of air cleaners
               located in either/or both the central air
               circulating system and individual rooms
               on IAQ and exposure. The model al-
               lows simulation of a wide range  of
               sources including  long-term steady
               state sources, on/off sources, and de-
               caying sources. Several  sources are
               allowed in each room. The model al-
               lows the analysis of the effects of sinks
               and sink re-emissions on  IAQ. The re-
               sults  of test house  experiments are
               compared with  model predictions. The
               agreement between predicted concen-
               tration-time profiles and the test house
               data  is good. The model is designed to
               run in the Windows operating environ-
               ment.
   This Project Summary was developed
 by EPA's National Risk  Management
 Research Laboratory's Pollution Pre-
 vention and Control Division, Research
 Triangle  Park, NC, to announce key
 findings of the research project that is
 fully documented in a separate report
 of the same title (see Project Report
 ordering  information at back).

 Introduction
   RISK is the third in a series of indoor
 air quality (IAQ) models developed by the
 Indoor Air/Radon Mitigation Branches of
 U. S. EPA's National Risk Management Re-
 search Laboratory.  The first model, IN-
 DOOR, was designed to calculate the in-
 door pollutant concentrations from indoor
 sources. The second model, EXPOSURE,
 extended  INDOOR to allow calculation of
 individual  exposure.  RISK extends EX-
 POSURE  to allow analysis of individual
 risk to indoor pollutant sources. Note that
 risk estimates based on currently avail-
 able data are projections containing a great
 deal of uncertainty. This is particularly true
 when  using a model such as this one to
 calculate risk estimates for individuals, be-
 cause such numbers as carcinogenic po-
 tency, upon which the model depends for
 calculating individual and population can-
 cer risk, are projections of population risks
 based  upon  a  variety  of  extrapolations
 and assumptions. Risk estimates gener-
 ated by models such as this one are use-
 ful mainly for the purpose  of comparing
 scenarios rather than for determining ab-
 solute risks to individuals or populations.
 The three models were all  developed as
 tools to carry out the mission of the engi-
 neering portion of the  EPA's indoor air

-------
research program "To provide tools  nec-
essary to reduce individual exposure and
risk to indoor air pollutants."
  The  three models  reflect the  status of
EPA source and sink characterization re-
search at the time the models were  writ-
ten. RISK includes new empirical source
models  and mass-transfer-based source
models  in  addition to the common  first
order decay source models used in previ-
ous  models. The mass-transfer-based
source models  are particularly  useful for
gas-phase-limited mass-transfer situations.
  RISK is  the  first version of  the  IAQ
model designed for the Windows operat-
ing  environment. Most of the material in
the  full manual  is contained in the on-line
help file provided with RISK.

Purpose of IAQ Engineering
Modeling Research Program
  The  modeling component of the  IAQ
engineering research program is designed
to support the overall mission of IAQ engi-
neering research.  In meeting this mission
the  IAQ modeling  program:
  •  Provides tools to integrate the results
    of IAQ research.
  •  Provides tools for analysis of the ef-
    fects of IAQ control options on  indi-
    vidual exposure.
  •  Provides tools for  improving under-
    standing of interactions of  sources,
        sinks, ventilation, building parameters,
        air cleaners,  and individual  activity
        patterns on individual exposure to in-
        door air pollutants.

    Relationship Between Modeling
    and Source Characterization
      The role of the model relative to source
    characterization can be seen from Figure 1.
      Data related  to source characterization
    are developed as part of EPA's indoor air
    source characterization  program.  These
    data are used to develop source emission
    models that  are used in this IAQ model.
    The source  models are updated  when-
    ever new information is developed  by the
    source characterization research program.

    Model Overview
      RISK is designed using the concepts of
    buildings and scenarios. The fixed infor-
    mation about a building (the  number of
    rooms, the room dimensions, and the  ar-
    rangement of the rooms) is contained in a
    building  file. The changing information
    (sources, sinks,  air exchange, room-to-
    room flows, etc.) is contained in scenario
    files.  The steps in  using the model are:
    define the  building, save the building  in-
    formation to a  file, define the scenario,
    save the scenario  to  disk,  and run the
    model. Repeat the scenario  definition
                         model execution  process  for each  sce-
                         nario  of interest.
                           RISK provides a wide range of graphi-
                         cal  and tabular outputs of the results of
                         the calculations. Summary outputs of risk
                         and exposure are provided in tabular form.
                         Full risk, exposure, and concentration out-
                         put are also provided in tabular form. The
                         tabular outputs are  supplemented by
                         graphs of concentration and exposure ver-
                         sus time. The  calculated results can also
                         be saved to disk for later analysis.

                         Building
                           In model terms a building is a collection
                         of rooms and their interconnections. Room
                         dimensions and room-to-room interconnec-
                         tions,  but not room-to-room air flows, are
                         fixed  for a given building. The actual val-
                         ues of room-to-room air flow and air flow
                         between  the building  and  the  outdoors
                         can be changed for the various scenarios.
                         A building may have an unlimited number
                         of scenarios associated with it.

                         Scenario
                           In model terms a scenario  is a collec-
                         tion of data for a  given  building that can
                         change from model run to model run. All
                         information  on sources,  sinks,  air  flow
                         rates, individual activity  patterns, type of
                 Source
                 Testing

                 Source Si-
                 Size
 Source
 Modeling.
->•  Emissions
                        Ventilation	
                        Building factors (e.g., sinks).
                        Source usage	
IAQ
Modeling
                       Air
Exposure
Modeling
                                                            Concentration
                     Occupancy..
Risk
Modeling
                                                                                 - Exposure
                            Occupant sensitivity..
                            Dose-response	
   Figure 1. Risk analysis process.

-------
pollutant, and  risk factors is included in
the scenario.

Data input
  Data are entered into the model using a
"fill  in the form" interface.  The data in the
form are not available for use by the pro-
gram until they are "transferred" from the
data entry form to the model.  Data  are
transferred from the data entry form to the
model by selecting the transfer  command
from the file sub-menu, or by clicking on
the transfer button provided with the vari-
ous data entry screens.

Model output

Graphs
  The  model  can display the  results of
the various calculations in several graphs:
  •  Concentration versus time.
  •  Instantaneous exposure versus time.
  •  Cumulative exposure versus time.
  •  Total exposure for each activity pat-
    tern.
  •  Time  exposed to  irritant concentra-
    tion for each activity pattern.
  Most of the graphs can be displayed in
the following formats:
  •  Linear x linear y.
  •  Log x linear y.
  •  Linear x log y.
  •  Log x log y.
  All graphs can be printed.

Tables
  In addition to the graphs, the model
provides numerous tables displaying  the
results  of the calculations, including:
  •  Summary, showing time exposed to
    irritant concentration, total  exposure,
    and risk.
  •  Concentration versus time.
  •  Exposure versus time.
  •  Concentration and exposure versus
    time.
  •  Summary  risk.
  •  Risk analysis.
  Data in the output tables may be copied
to the Windows clipboard  and pasted into
other Windows applications. This is a con-
venient way to enter  data into a graphics
package for plotting.
Files
  The results of the calculations can be
saved  to a  disk file. This file is  a Tab
delimited file that can be read by  many
spreadsheet and graphics packages.

Model Assumptions
  The model is based on two  assump-
tions:
  1. All rooms in a building are well mixed.
  2.  Mass is conserved.
  Assumption 1  means that  the concen-
tration leaving the room through all exits
is the  same as the concentration in the
room. Numerous experiments in EPA's IAQ
test  house  show that this  assumption  is
valid.
  The assumption that  the  rooms in  a
building are well  mixed does not  mean
that the building is well mixed. Individual
rooms in a  building may  have different
concentrations.
  A  room in the model does not always
equal a room in the  physical building. For
example, a single large room may need to
be divided into two or more model rooms
to  meet the well mixed assumption, and
several physical rooms may be treated as
a single room in the model.
  Assumption 2 means  that the  amount
of air  entering  a room  must equal the
amount of air leaving the room. This as-
sumption also means that the amount of
outdoor air entering the building as a whole
must equal the  amount of air leaving the
building for the  outdoors. The model will
warn  the user if the mass balances are
incorrect. However, the model will not bal-
ance the flows  for the user.  The user  is
responsible for ensuring that the flows bal-
ance.

Modeling decisions
  Several decisions were made  in de-
signing the  model.  Some of the  major
decisions were:
  •  The  emphasis of the  effort was on
    model ease of use.
  •  The  data  requirements  were mini-
    mized as much  as possible.
  •  Data defaults would be  provided as
    much as possible.
  •  Results  of  ongoing  source and sink
    research would be incorporated into
    the model as soon as possible.
  •  User would be responsible for bal-
    ancing flows.
  • Room-to-room flows and ventilation
    rates were model inputs and would
    not be  calculated from pressure/tem-
    perature data.
  Most  of these decisions were made to
make the model easier to use. Having the
user balance the flows will help the  user
understand  the input data. The computer
will determine  if the flows balance, but it
will not  actually  balance  them. The pur-
pose of this decision is to reinforce the
idea that mass must be  conserved. The
user must determine where air is coming
from and where it goes.

Model limitations
  There are two types  of limitations on
the model:
  • Data limitations.
  • User limitations.

Data limitations
  Data limitations are limitations about our
understanding  of the processes occurring
and  imperfect  scientific  knowledge.  The
major data  limitations are:
  • Limited data on source emission rates.
  • Limited understanding of sinks and
    inadequate models for sinks.
  • Limited risk information.
  • Limited library of default data for room-
    to-room flows, ventilation rates, etc.
  Research is underway to correct each
of these data  limitations. The  results of
the research will be incorporated  into the
model as soon as they are ready.

User limitations
  User limitations fall into four broad cat-
egories:
  • User does not  understand what the
    model  can do.
  • User does not  understand  or know
    what question the model should ad-
    dress.
  • The user  does not  fully understand
    the input data requirements.
  • The user  does not  understand  the
    model  output.
  Often these limitations interact with each
other and result in failure of the model to
meet the user's needs.
  These limitations often reinforce limita-
tions caused by data gaps.

-------
   Author Leslie E. Sparks is also the EPA Project Officer (see below).
   The complete report, entitled "IAQ Model for Windows, RISK Version 1.0: User
     Manual," (Order No. PB96-501 929; Cost: $38.00, subject to change) will be
     available only from:
           National Technical Information Service
           5285 Port Royal Road
           Springfield,  VA 22161
           Telephone:  703-487-4650
   The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
           Air Pollution Prevention and Control Division
           National Risk Management Research Laboratory
           U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
           Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
United States
Environmental Protection Agency
National Risk Management Research Laboratory (G-72)
Cincinnati, OH 45268

Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300
     BULK RATE
POSTAGE & FEES PAID
         EPA
   PERMIT No. G-35
EPA/600/SR-96/037

-------