ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY FOR AQUATOX

                                  EPA- 820-B-13-002

                                        Review

Abt Associates Inc. 2005.  Linking Ecological Risk Assessment and Economic Benefits Bethesda
       MD.

       The authors conducted an extensive search of the environmental and economic
       literature; they identified  1 73 articles on AQUATOX—more than we found 8 years later.
       Abt Associates concluded that, of the models they investigated, AQUATOX holds the
       most potential for  generalized risk assessment use, and also has potential for use in
       regulatory scenarios including development of water quality criteria, total maximum
       daily loads (TMDL's), and  analysis of management alternatives. They present several
       case studies with various  models, including a very informative, detailed AQUATOX case
       study on economic valuation of the effects of a pesticide on largemouth bass in an Iowa
       reservoir.

Bartell, S. M., R.A. Pastorok, H. R. Akcakaya, H. Regan, S. Person, and C. Mackay. 2003. Realism
       and relevance of ecological models used in chemical risk assessment. Human and
       Ecological  Risk Assessment 9:907-938.

       See Pastorok et al.  2001 below

Bontje, D.  M. 2010. Analysis of toxic effects and nutrient stress in aquatic ecosystems. PhD
       Thesis, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

       As  is customary in  Europe, this thesis includes several published papers co-authored by
       the doctoral candidate. AQUATOX formulations were reviewed, and AQUATOX biotc
       parameters were used for invertebrates in  one of his models.

Booty, W. 2001. Options for Modelling of Transboundary Water Quality. Environment
       Programme, Mekong River Commission Secretariat.

       A consultant assessed available water quality models  for use in  representing the
       transport and  effects of nutrients and contaminants (mainly pesticides) in the Mekong
       River. He recommended using a general water quality risk assessment model such as
       AQUATOX, which is written in an object-oriented language and  can be modified to
       match the  level of  required complexity.

Borah,  D.,  G. Yagow, A. Saleh, P. Barnes, W. Rosenthal, E. Krug, and L Hauck. 2006. Sediment
       and nutrient modeling for TMDL development and implementation. Transactions of the
       ASAE 49:967-986.

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                      December, 2013

       This paper reviews numerous models that have the potential to be used forTMDL
       applications; most are watershed models. AQUATOX is described briefly and is deemed
       suitable for analyzing receiving water qualities in nutrient TMDLs. The authors observe
       that "Simple models are easy to use but have limitations; comprehensive models are
       labor and data intensive but offer extensive analysis tools." The implication is that
       AQUATOX falls in the latter category.

Brils, J. and B. Harris. 2009. Towards Risk-Based Management of European River Basins: Key-
       findings and Recommendations of the RISKBASE Project. RTD Framework Programme
       (FP6), Utrecht, The Netherlands.

       This booklet by the European RISKBASE group states that AQUATOX is one of the most
       promising models developed for higher tier, site-specific risk assessments at the
       ecosystem level.

Galic, N., U. Hommen, J.  M. Baveco, and  P. J. van den Brink. 2010. Potential application of
       population models in the European ecological risk assessment of chemicals II: Review of
       models and their potential to address environmental protection aims. Integrated
       Environmental Assessment and Management 6:338-360.

       This paper presents an extensive review of models with the potential for use in risk
       assessment of chemicals. AQUATOX is given as an example of modeling the indirect
       effects  in  food webs. The case study is based on Sourisseau et al. (2008); the review
       describes in detail the calibration and application to an artificial stream including
       sensitivity analysis and validation. Both direct and indirect effects were predicted.

Hawkins, T. 2005. Critical Evaluation of the Aquatox Model. Carnegie Mellon University,
       Pittsburgh PA.

       This graduate student project involved a detailed evaluation of AQUATOX Release 2.
       The conclusion was that AQUATOX is a powerful tool  for the simulation of aquatic
       ecosystems. Numerous suggestions for improving the model, such as sensitivity
       analysis, comprehensive context-sensitive Help, and log scales for plots, have been
       implemented in later releases.

Imhoff, J. C., J. S. Clough, R. A. Park, and A. Stoddard. 2004. Evaluation of Chemical
       Bioaccumulation Models of Aquatic Ecosystems: Final  Report. U.S. Environmental
       Protection Agency, Athens GA.

       See next paper.

Imhoff, J. C.J. S. Clough, R. A. Park, A. Stoddard, and E. Hayter. 2005. Comparison of Chemical
       Bioaccumulation Models to Assist in Model Selection for Ecological Assessments and
       TMDL Development in Watershed Williamsburg, Virginia.

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                      December, 2013

       The above two papers compare bioaccumulation models on the basis of a number of
       characteristics. AQUATOX is more complex than the other models reviewed in this
       study, but the incorporation of a eutrophication model in AQUATOX simplifies the
       definition of toxicant partition calculations among organic carbon compartments. It
       also accounts for a complete mass balance of inorganic solids and organic matter,
       including exchange of these materials between the water column and sediment bed.

Kianirad, E., D. Bedoya, I. Ghosh, K. McCarvey, and V. Novotny. 2006. Technical Report No. 7,
       Review of Watershed Ecological Models. Technical Report No. 7, Center for Urban
       Environmental Studies, Northeastern University, Boston MA.

       This review was undertaken as a class project at Northeastern University. The authors
       concluded that it is "a highly efficient and very robust tool for environmental modeling.
       Not only that, but AQUATOX 2.1 is probably one of the most versatile models in
       ecology." They cited the user-friendly interface, including the wizard for data input, as
       making the modeling process easy for such a complete model. The documentation and
       tutorials were also found to facilitate  model application.

Kinerson, R. S., J. L. Kittle, and P. B. Duda. 2009. BASINS:  better assessment science integrating
       point and nonpoint sources. Pages 1-24 Decision Support Systems for Risk-Based
       Management of Contaminated Sites. Springer.

       AQUATOX is mentioned briefly as  an example of a model that, although distributed
       independently, utilizes the extension architecture of BASINS so that one can proceed
       directly from BASINS into AQUATOX. In this way the  CIS and results from component
       models,  such  as HSPF, can be used to drive AQUATOX simulations.

Koelmans, A. A., A. Van der Heidje, L. M. Knijff, and  R. H. Aalderink. 2001. Integrated Modelling
       of Eutrophication and Organic Contaminant Fate & Effects in Aquatic Ecosystems. A
       Review. Water Research 35:351 7-3536.

       At the time of the review the authors considered AQUATOX to be one of two models that
       integrated contaminant fate and effects with  eutrophication,  with AQUATOX being "the
       most complete and versatile model described in the literature."

Limno-Tech Inc. 2002. Descriptive Inventory of Models with Prospective  Relevance to Ecological
       Impacts  of Water Withdrawals. The Great Lakes Commission, Ann Arbor, Michigan.

       AQUATOX is described in detail in a one-page fact sheet and can be  easily compared
       with other models in this extensive inventory. They state: "AQUATOX is one of the few
       general ecological risk  models that represents the combined fate and effects of toxic
       chemicals." They list potential applications including water quality criteria and
       standards, Total Maximum Daily Loads, ecological risk assessments, analysis of

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                      December, 2013

       proposed management alternatives, and identification of the most important among
       multiple stressors.

Liu, Y., H.  Guo, Y. Fan, and L. Wang. 2005. [Research advance on lake ecosystem dynamic
       models]. Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao [The journal of applied ecology] 1 6:1169-11 75.

       AQUATOX is described along with several other simulation models that  can  be used to
       represent the  dynamics of lake ecosystems. Article is in Chinese and indexed in Science
       Direct.

Long, W. 2010. Ecological Modelling as a Tool for Coastal Ecosystem Management.//? A.
       Ramanathan, P. Bhattacharya, T. Dittmar, M. Bala Krishna Prasad, and B. R. Neupane,
       editors. Management and Sustainable Development of Coastal Zone Environments.
       Springer Heidelberg, Germany.

       AQUATOX is characterized as the most comprehensive chemical model available. It is
       described as being a public-domain, mechanistic  model that integrates aquatic
       ecosystem, chemical fate, and ecotoxicological constructs and that can be used to
       evaluate the effects of numerous stressors  in a variety of environments.
Pastorok, R. A., S. M. Bartell, S. Person, and L. R. Ginzburg, editors. 2002. Ecological Modeling
       in Risk Assessment. Lewis, Boca Raton, Florida.

       The authors concluded that AQUATOX is suitable for detailed ecological assessments.
       AQUATOX, Release 1.0, was judged to have high realism, relevance, degree of
       development and consistency, credibility, and  resource efficiency; medium treatment of
       uncertainty and regulatory acceptance; and /on/ease of estimating parameters.

Pastorok, R. A., D. Preziosi, and D. Rudnick. 2008. Ecotoxicological Model of Populations,
       Ecosystems, and Landscapes. Pages 1165-1186 inS. E. J0rgensen and  B. D. Fath,
       editors. Ecotoxicology. Vol. [2] of Encyclopedia of Ecology, 5 vols. Elsevier, Oxford.

       This article reviews the rationale  for using ecotoxicological models in chemical risk
       assessments, compares models on  the basis of numerous factors, and  gives examples
       of applications. A detailed example is presented of using AQUATOX in risk assessment
       of permethrin for mosquito control on Long Island, New York. AQUATOX predicted an
       absence of longer-term community-level impacts for aquatic invertebrates, which was
       judged to be consistent with the  findings previously reported in the open literature for
       wetlands exposed to vector control pesticides.

Preziosi, D. V. and R. A. Pastorok. 2008. Ecological food web analysis for chemical risk
       assessment. Science of the Total  Environment  406:491-502.

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                      December, 2013

       Ecological food web analysis has generally received little attention from risk assessors.
       Simple models that include bioaccumulation have been used for years; complex models,
       especially ones that represent effects as well, have only recently gained regulatory
       acceptance. One such  model is AQUATOX, which consists of bioenergetics,  nutrient
       responses, and environmental fate and ecotoxicity of chemicals in an integrated
       package.

Russell, C. S., and D.  D. Baumann. 2009. The evolution of water resource planning and decision
       making. Edward Elgar Publishing.

       AQUATOX is mentioned in this general  review as being an U.S. EPA-sponsored model
       that extends water quality modeling to representing the fate and effects of organic
       chemicals over time and space.  Reference is made to the proposed linkage with HSPF to
       model PCB contamination in the Housatonic River in Massachusetts (an application that
       was later dropped).

Sharma, D., and A.  Kansal. 201 3. Assessment of river quality models: a review. Reviews in
       Environmental Science  and Biotechnology 1 2:285-311.

       This review provides detailed descriptions and comparisons of concepts, assumptions,
       strengths, limitations, water quality  parameters being simulated, dimensions, hydraulic
       characteristics, pollutant state,  process description, method  of solution and pollutant
       transport processes in  six river-quality models, including AQUATOX.

Van den Brink, P. J., D. J. Baird, H. J. Baveco, and A. Focks. 201 3. The use of traits-based
       approaches and eco (toxico) logical models to advance the ecological risk assessment
       framework for chemicals. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management.

       AQUATOX is given as an example of a complex model requiring substantial  effort for
       calibration and analysis. Such models are  needed for ecological research assessment,
       but effort is required to reduce  uncertainty in extrapolations.

Wickwire, T., M. S.Johnson, B. K. Hope, and M. S. Greenberg. 2011.  Spatially Explicit Ecological
       Exposure Models: A Rationale for and Path Toward Their Increased Acceptance and Use.
       Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management  7:1 58-168.

       AQUATOX is compared, in tabular form, with an extensive list of spatially explicit
       exposure models. However, the emphasis is on wildlife models, and few of the other
       models are aquatic.

Yagow, C., B. Wilson,  P. Srivastava, and C. Obropta. 2006. Use of biological  indicators in TMDL
       assessment and implementation. Transactions of the ASAE 49:1023-1 032.

       Various biological indicators are used by states to assess water quality as part of U.S.
       EPA's Total  Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) program. These indicators are based on

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       varying combinations of algal, macroinvertebrate, and fish data. The use of biological
       indicators can be improved through modeling procedures that better define cause-and-
       effect relationships. AQUATOX is cited as a model having the potential to provide a
       better conceptual understanding and to represent these relationships in a TMDL
       applcation.

                                      Applications

Ahmadi-Mamaqani, Y., N. Khorasani, K. Talebi, S. H. Hashemi, C. Rafiee, and F. Bahadori-
       Khosroshahi. 2011. Diazinon fate and toxicity in the Tajan River (Iran) ecosystem.
       Environmental Engineering  Science 28:1-10.

       It is not clear from the  paper as to how much data were available to calibrate AQUATOX
       for this project. The application involved the fate and possible effects of the pesticide
       diazinon in the Tajan River, Iran. Simulated loss of the pesticide from a particular reach
       was primarily through discharge, with burial and three  degradation processes
       (microbial, hydrolysis, and photolysis) only being of minor importance.  Field data
       confirmed the importance of washout. However, the model did indicate that diazinon
       could exist in the water column long enough to have severe effects on the river fauna.
       Of particular concern is the possible contamination of sturgeon, which use the river as
       spawning grounds.

Bilaletdin, A., T. Frisk, V. Podsechin, H. Kaipainen, and N. Filatov. 2011. A general water
       protection plan of Lake Onega in Russia. Water resources management 25:291 9-2930.

       A joint  Finnish-Russian project combined the steady-state Vollenweider model with the
       dynamic Danish Phophorus P2 and AQUATOX models to assess the impacts of various
       phosphorus loading scenarios on the second largest lake in Europe.  The models
       predicted that reducing the total phosphorus loading of the largest wastewater
       treatment plant from 1  03.6 tons per year to 61 tons would decrease the  peak
       phytoplankton  biomass by almost 40%.

Blancher, E. C.  2010. Modeling Nutrients and Multiple Algal Groups Using AQUATOX: Watershed
       Management Implications for the Braden River Reservoir, Bradenton Florida. Proceedings
       of the Water Environment Federation 2010:6393-6410.

       AQUATOX was  used in  conjunction with nutrient loading models to determine the
       possible impacts to water quality due to changes in the watershed of a small reservoir in
       southern Florida over the past 30 years.  Reasonable predictions were obtained for
       chlorophyll a and green and blue-green algal (cyanobacteria) dynamics in response to
       loading scenarios and chemical  controls with the algaecides copper sulphate and
       calcium peroxide. The  model also provided indirect evidence of the more recent impact
       of the invasive cyanobacterium  Cylindrospermopsis because when it was included in the
       latter years of the simulation a better fit to observed chlorophyll a was obtained.

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                      December, 2013

Blancher, E.G., S. Sklenar, R Park and J.L Wood.  2002. Determining the Linkages for a Nutrient
       TMDL in a Stream Listed as Use-Impaired for Endangered Species. National Total
       Maximum Daily Load Conference. Proceeding of Water Environment Federation
       Conference held in Phoenix, Arizona November 2002.

       The Cahaba River in a rapidly urbanizing area south of Birmingham, Alabama, was
       placed on the 303(d) list as use-impaired from nutrients. Analysis of data shows a weak
       empirical relationship between total phosphorus and periphytic chlorophyll a in the
       Cahaba River, confounded by various  in-stream limiting  factors such as light, turbidity,
       scour, herbivory and  possibly herbicide toxicity.  This complex system was represented
       by U.S. EPA's AQUATOX model, which accounts for additional in-stream processes not
       available in other water quality models. It resulted in a verifiable  linkage between total
       phosphorus and algal biomass and provided the linkages to ecosystem trophic levels
       that can  determine the target level of total phosphorus that is protective of endangered
       species'  habitats.

       See also Park et al. 2002

Borg, C. M. 2009. EPA's COUNCIL FOR REGULATORY ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING: A CASE
       STUDY OF SCIENCE POLICY IMPLEMENTATION. Michigan Technological University.

       This paper is interesting in  that it is a thesis submitted for a degree of master of science
       in environmental  policy in a Social Sciences Department. It is based  in part on insights
       obtained by the author while a summer intern in the CREM (U.S. EPA's Council for
       Regulatory Environmental Modeling) office. She presents AQUATOX  in a detailed case
       study. The author found that the model met various objective criteria for regulatory use
       such as having thoroughly evaluated equations and code. She states that "The AQUATOX
       model is an example of a transparent model with good evaluation, validation, and
       thorough documentation. It makes clear the possible insufficiency of outside
       information that can  be used to fully validate all of the outputs that the  model
       creates...[This] helps in avoidance of future legal trouble over lack of transparency or
       full disclosure of  the  model's limitations."
Carleton, J. N., R. A. Park, and J. S. Clough. 2009. Ecosystem Modeling Applied to Nutrient
       Criteria Development in Rivers. Environmental Management 44:485-492.

       The AQUATOX ecosystem model was used to analyze impairment thresholds keyed to
       biological indices, including percentage cyanobacterial biomass of sestonic algae, and
       benthic chlorophyll  a. The calibrated model was used to simulate responses of these
       indices to concurrent reductions in phosphorus, nitrogen, and suspended sediment in
       the enriched Blue Earth River in southern Minnesota. Results suggest that the indices
       would respond strongly to changes in phosphorus and suspended sediment, and less
       strongly to changes in nitrogen concentration. With concurrent reductions in all three

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       constituents, a total phosphorus concentration of 0.1  mg/L was identified as a threshold
       concentration for prevention of both excessive periphyton growth and sestonic
       cyanobacterial blooms, and therefore is a possible water quality criterion.

Carleton, J. IN., M. C. Wellman, P. A. Cocca, A. S. Donigian, R. A. Park, J. T. Love, and J. S.
       Clough. 2005. Nutrient Criteria Development with a Linked Modeling System:
       Methodology Development and Demonstration. Pages 1-25 in  2005 TMDL Conference.
       Water Environment Federation, Philadelphia PA.

       This paper is an example of an approach to developing nutrient criteria with relatively
       minimal data and a linked mechanistic modeling system that consists of a watershed
       model and an ecological effects model. The watershed model  HSPF and the aquatic
       ecosystem model AQUATOX are both part of U.S. EPA's BASINS 3.1 package. AQUATOX
       links aquatic nutrient concentrations with 'response variables'  such as chlorophyll a and
       water clarity; HSPF, in turn, links land-use practices with nutrient concentrations.

Carousel, R. F., and R. C. Russo. 2001. Eutrophication Modeling Capabilities for Assessing
       Water Quality and  Ecological Endpoints. Pages 345-372 in Fish Physiology.Toxicology,
       and Water Quality. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, La Paz Mexico.

       In a pilot study, the HSPF watershed model was linked to the CE-QUAL-W2 reservoir
       water quality model, which in turn was linked to AQUATOX to evaluate ecological
       impairments from nutrient and sediment runoff. The  linked models were applied to the
       Tensas River Basin in Louisiana; the Basin was historically in bottomland hardwoods,  but
       these were cleared so that 65% of the area is cropland. The water quality models were
       run with data from 1 980 to 1 992, including a calibration period and a verification
       period. The system was shown to be light-limited due to high TSS. With a 50% reduction
       in TSS and reductions in nutrients and organics representing changed land management
       the model predicted reduced chlorophyll a and changes in the  benthic food chain,
       including benthic fishes. The authors conclude that higher trophic levels should be
       included in modeling lake ecosystems to provide an ecological  endpoint.

Chen, H., L. Ma, W. Guo, Y. Yang, T. Guo, and C. Feng. 201 3.  Linking Water Quality and
       Quantity in Environmental Flow Assessment in Deteriorated Ecosystems: A Food Web
       View. PloS one 8:e70537.

       Wetlands  are subject to decreasing flow and increasing pollution due to human
       activities. A large wetland, including the largest natural lake in  northern China, provides
       data for an integrated modeling study using multiple regression analysis, ECOPATH
       static food web analysis, and AQUATOX dynamic simulation of ecological responses.
       Differing water levels and nutrient and BOD loads were analyzed in 21  modeling
       scenarios.

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                      December, 2013

Chen, W., X. Li, X. Chen, and F. Wang. 2012. Simulation of the response of eutrophic state to
       nutrient input in Lake Erhai using Aquatox model. Journal of Lake Sciences 24:362-370.

       Abstract not available

Chen, Y., Z. Niu, and H. Zhang. 2012. Eutrophication assessment and management
       methodology of multiple  pollution sources of a landscape lake in North China.
       Environmental Science and Pollution Research:!-1 3.

       Urban lakes are subject to eutrophication from point sources and from nonpoint-source
       runoff. Several scenarios  involving point-source reductions, nutrient retention and
       ecological  restoration,  and recycling of runoff water were simulated by AQUATOX linked
       to the Fluent hydrodynamic model. The  results indicated that eutophication risks could
       be decreased and that  significant improvements in water quality could be  attained later.
       This environmental assessment and modeling approach  is suitable for applications in
       other water regions.

Clouzot, L., C. Metcalfe, K. Kidd, and P. A. Vanrolleghem. 2011. Modeling the impact of
       endocrine  disruptions on aquatic ecosystem: An experimental lake study.  SETAC-
       Europe, Milan, Italy.

       A PowerPoint presentation on simplifying and  adapting the AQUATOX model in the WEST
       programming environment is based on De Laender's PhD thesis  (see below?). The
       objective was to develop  a simple model to represent endocrine  disrupters. The next
       step is to calibrate the  model with data from the Canadian Experimental Lakes Area.

De Laender, F. 2007. Predicting effects of chemicals on freshwater ecosystems: model
       development, validation and application. PhD Thesis, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.

       A dynamic ecosystem model was constructed in an object-oriented framework using the
       software package WEST and formulations from AQUATOX. Each object describes the
       growth of a model population in terms of its biomass concentration using differential
       equations. By connecting different objects and defining feeding relationships among
       them, a customized food web was designed. The number of populations that can  be
       modelled is unlimited and available objects are: phytoplankton, macrophytes,
       zooplankton, planktivorous fish and piscivorous fish.

       The following four papers illustrate the use of this model in testing alternative
       ecotoxicity formulations and in answering questions concerning its validation and
       application for assessment of ecological effects.

De Laender, F., K. A. C. De Schamphelaere, P.  A. Vanrolleghem,  and C. R. Janssen. 2008a.
       Comparison of different toxic effect sub-models in ecosystem modelling used for
       ecological  effect assessments and water  quality standard setting. Ecotoxicology and
       Environmental Safety 69:1 3-23.

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De Laender, F., K. A. C. De Schamphelaere, P. A. Vanrolleghem, and C. R. Janssen. 2008b. Do
       we have to incorporate ecological interactions in the sensitivity assessment of
       ecosystems? An examination of a theoretical assumption underlying species sensitivity
       distribution models. Environment International 34:390-396.

De Laender, F., K. A. C. De Schamphelaere, P. A. Vanrolleghem, and C. R. Janssen. 2008c. Is
       ecosystem structure the target of concern in ecological effect assessments? Water
       Research 42:2395-2402.

De Laender, F., K. A. C. De Schamphelaere, P. A. Vanrolleghem, and C. R. Janssen. 2008d.
       Validation of an ecosystem modelling approach as a tool for ecological effect
       assessments. Chemosphere 71:529-545.

Donigian Jr, A. S.J. C. Imhoff, A. Mishra, P. Deliman, and E. Regan. 201 0. A Watershed
       Modeling  Framework for Military Installations: Assessment of the Hydrologic and
       Sediment Washoff Impacts of Military Management Alternatives.//? 2nd Joint Federal
       Interagency Conference Las Vegas, NV.

       A watershed modeling  system for Fort Benning, GA using the U.S. EPA BASINS framework
       is described. Enhancements needed for analyses of impacts of military activities on
       watersheds were made to both HSPF and AQUATOX. At the time of the presentation at
       the conference, the widely used Ephemeroptera/Plecoptera/Tricoptera (mayfly, stonefly
       and caddisfly, or EPT) macroinvertebrate metric had been incorporated into AQUATOX.

Duda, P. B., J. L Kittle, P. R. Hummel, M. H. Gray, and J. N. Carleton. 2009. Leveraging an Open
       Framework for Expanded Modeling Gapabilities in BASINS 4.0. Proceedings of the Water
       Environment Federation 2009:441-450.

       BASINS (Better Assessment Science Integrating  Point and Nonpoint Sources) is an open-
       source system for use in performing watershed and water quality studies. AQUATOX is
       an  integral part of BASINS, able to obtain time-series from  the HSPF watershed  model  as
       boundary conditions  for modeling receiving waters.

Echeverrfa, M., M. Wellman, R. Park, and J. Clough. 2003.  Evaluation of AQUATOX for Ecological
       Risk Assessments in the U.S. EPA Office  of Pesticide Programs. /nSETAC NA 24th Annual
       Meeting in North America, Austin, Texas.

       A comparative analysis was performed between the fate components  of AQUATOX and
       EXAMS, the environmental fate and transport model used in the U.S. EPA Office of
       Pesticide Programs (OPP).  Individual fate processes were tested, and  the models were
       tested by simulating  real chemical data. The results of individually testing each loss
       process indicate that, despite minor differences, fate processes are consistent between
       the two models. The  results for the test  chemicals show similar patterns of chemical
       concentration over time, but more disparity exists between the two models compared to
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       the tests for the individual fate processes, probably due to propagated differences
       between the various fate processes and model assumptions. In addition, an example
       was developed to illustrate potential use of AQUATOX for evaluating integrated fate and
       effects in OPP. Results illustrate how AQUATOX output, including biomass
       concentrations and biological rates for control and perturbed simulations, could be used
       to  inform the  risk assessment process.

Erturk, A., R. A. Ambrose, and B. Rashleigh. 2007. Case Study: Dieldrin Attack in Dalyan
       Lagoon.  Pages 329-386 in I. E. Conenc, V. Koutitonsky, B. Rashleigh, R. A. Ambrose,
       and J.  P. Wolfin, editors. Assessment of the fates and effects of toxic agents on water
       resources. Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.

       NATO sponsored an Advanced Study Institute in Istanbul, Turkey. It included a case
       study of a terrorist attack, where a chemical was assumed to be dumped into Sulunger
       Lake in Turkey. This chapter documents the response developed by the participants to
       this scenario,  in terms of hydrodynamic transport, ecosystem effects, and decision
       making. WASP and EFDC were paired with AQUATOX in this exercise. The latter model
       provided a very detailed representation of the ecological effects of the toxicant, but
       required more detailed hydrodynamics than could be represented as a stand-alone
       model (the linked-segment capability was not yet available), so AQUATOX was coupled
       with WASP7. However, manually linking the two models required more than 8 hours of
       effort of three expert modelers.  Suggestions are given as to how the linkage should be
       automated. Suggestions are also given as to how expansion of the chemical library
       could be supported by linkage with external chemical databases.

       See also Rashleigh 2007

Funder, S. G. 2009. Risk Assessment of the Skensved A Field Site: Review and Application of
       Surface Water Models. Bachelor's Thesis, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby
       Denmark.

       A trichloroethene (TCE) spill  was found to infiltrate the surface water at a site in
       Denmark. Three surface water quality models developed by U.S. EPA (AQUATOX,
       QUAL2K, WASP) were evaluated based on four specific criteria  (organic toxicant
       simulation, range of default values, simulation output and  user friendliness) and one
       (AQUATOX) was selected for application to the field site. A quantitative risk assessment
       was then carried out using an integrated modeling approach. " It should be noted that in
       general the simulation output from AQUATOX was found to correspond very well with
       the actual measurements from the site (e.g. TCE concentrations, water levels)....
       however,  it can be concluded that the TCE contamination is not a significant stressor to
       this ecosystem."

       Several published papers with McKnight as senior author (below) carried the analyses
       further.

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Giusti, E., S. Marsili-Libelli, and A. Gualchieri. 2011. Modelling a Coastal Lake for Flood and
       Quality Management.//? 8th IWA Symposium on Systems Analysis and Integrated
       Assessment. International Water Association, San Sebastian, Spain.

       This paper assesses the impacts of diverting flood water into Massaciuccoli Lake on the
       Tyrrhenian Coast, Italy. A volume dynamics module, developed in Simulink, was linked
       to an implementation of AQUATOX 3 with segments representing inflow channels as well
       as the lake. Synthetic input time series were developed using methods described in the
       next paper below.  There was reasonable agreement between model output and
       observed data for nitrogen species and dissolved oxygen, but phosphorus data were not
       adequately explained.  The calibrated model suggested that sediment release would not
       be  triggered by flood waters but that addition of "clean" water might cause
       cyanobacteria to be replaced by green algae—the first step  in ecosystem restoration.

Giusti, E., S. Marsili-Libelli, and S. Mattioli. 2011. A fuzzy quality index for the environmental
       assessment of a restored wetland. Water Science & Technology 63:2061 -2070.

       AQUATOX was used to study the feasibility of restoring a lake from drained wetland on
       the Tyrrhenian Coast, Italy. Synthetic water quality input data were developed by
       sampling drainage ditches and smoothing with a spline function.  Flow was modeled as
       a Gamma distribution of rainfall coupled with a Markov chain of rainy and dry days. The
       model was run for 7 years with a 1 0% additional variability providing minimum and
       maximum loadings. In addition, perturbed scenarios were run to assess the robustness.
       Simulated nutrient removal was in quantitative agreement  with literature values.
       Simulated phytoplankton blooms were in agreement with local  observations.  A fuzzy
       water quality index based on simulated chlorophyll a, dissolved oxygen, and total
       suspended solids represented model output and facilitated  comparison  of several
       scenarios and communication to stakeholders.

Huang, S., Y. Jia, and S. S. Wang. 2009. Two-dimensional numerical and eco-toxicological
       modeling of chemical spills. Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering in China
       3:178-185.

       An ecotoxicological model, based  in part on AQUATOX, was developed at The National
       Center for Computational Hydroscience and Engineering, The University of Mississippi,
       Oxford, MS, and run with the results of a 2-D fate and transport model. Simulations
       indicated that the paired models are capable of predicting the acute effects of a
       chemical  spill.

ImhoffJ. C, P. R. Hummel, A. S. Donigianjr, and R. A. Park. 2010. Using US EPA BASINS
       Modeling System for Linking Hydrologic Models with an Ecological Model for Aquatic
       Endpoint Impact Assessments. //?The 3rd USGS Modeling Conference.
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       Two of the models available in BASINS, HSPF and AQUATOX, are used to demonstrate
       the linkage between hydrologic and ecological models for conducting biological impact
       assessments. The methodology and results of a BASINS application on Fort Benning, GA,
       are presented as  a case study. The study incorporates ruoff from military-specific land
       use categories and  identifies impacts to aquatic biota such as the rare broadstripe
       shiner in the receiving waters.

Inthasaro, P., and W. Wu. 2012. A 1 -D Aquatic Ecosystem/Ecotoxicology Model in Open
       Channels. Pages  1144-1147 in Biomedical Engineering and Biotechnology (iCBEB), 201 2
       International Conference on. IEEE.

       Constructs from AQUATOX, including a basic food web structure with four trophic
       levels, were incorporated into a one-dimensional  modeling package. The model
       simulates the bioaccumulation and toxic effects of chemicals in organisms. It has been
       tested by simulating PCB transport and bioaccumulation in the aquatic ecosystem of the
       Upper Hudson River, New York, with promising results.

Joyner, T. A., and R. V. Rohli. 201 3. Atmospheric influences on water quality: a simulation of
       nutrient loading for the Pearl River Basin,  USA. Environmental monitoring and
       assessment:!-10.

       The Pearl River Basin in southern Mississippi and Louisiana was the focus of this study.
       "AQUATOX provided an excellent simulation of daily values for multiple water quality
       variables  based solely on monthly time series records. The study found that climate
       does impact  certain water quality variables in the  studied segment of the [river]." The
       multidimensional and integrative nature of AQUATOX has many of the same capabilities
       as other models.  However,  the biological components included in AQUATOX enhance
       the utility and complexity of the model, providing potential biotic indicators of
       anthropogenic and  natural  changes within the ecosystem.

Karaaslan, Y., A. Akkoyunlu, F. Erturk, and E. Citil. 201 3.  The Effect of Toxic Organic Chemicals
       on Mogan Lake. International Journal  of Environmental Research 7:595-604.

       AQUATOX was loaded with  data for one year from a lake and tributary creeks  in Turkey,
       and calibrated and validated for two other years.  Then data for 1 5 pesticides and PCB
       congeners were loaded from the AQUATOX library and the effects on phytoplankton and
       zooplankton were noted.

Lei, B., S. Huang, M. Qiao, T. Li, and Z. Wang. 2008. Prediction of the environmental fate and
       aquatic ecological impact of nitrobenzene in the Songhuajiang River using the modified
       AQUATOX model. Journal of Environmental Sciences 20:1 -9.

       The AQUATOX model was modified and adapted to simulate an accidental discharge of
       nitrobenzene and its potential ecological impacts. Nitrobenzene concentrations in

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       flowing water,  sediment, and biota were predicted with good agreement between model
       predictions and field observations. The perturbed and control simulations were
       compared; the  model predicted biomass changes for diatoms and mussels, but no
       influence on other organisms. These results were interpreted as indicating that
       nitrobenzene pollution should  have a limited impact on the benthos community in the
       river.

Lei, B. L, S. B. Huang, X. W.Jin, and Z. Wang. 2010. Deriving the aquatic predicted no-effect
       concentrations (PNECs) of three chlorophenols for the Taihu Lake, China. Journal of
       Environmental Science and Health, Part A 45:1 823-1 831.

       The indirect effects of chemicals caused by interactions among species as well as direct
       effects were characterized by the ecological risk model AQUATOX. Predicted no effect
       concentration values in this study were smaller than ones from single species
       distributions, which suggested the influence of indirect effects characterized by the
       model. AQUATOX can reflect more realistic characteristics of the region, closer to the
       actual state of the environment, and can supply a more reasonable effect concentration
       compared to extrapolations based on single species toxicity tests.

Mauriello, D. A. and R. A. Park. 2002. An Adaptive Framework for Ecological Assessment and
       Management. Pages 509-514 in Integrated Assessment and Decision Support.
       International Environmental Modeling and Software Society, Manno Switzerland.

       Adaptive Ecological Risk Analysis is an iterative process based on ecological modeling,
       the development and implementation of management alternatives, and the evaluation of
       their effectiveness. It depends  heavily on the use of ecological models to perform both
       prospective and retrospective risk assessments and to  analyze the outcomes of
       alternative management strategies. As an example of this approach, AQUATOX was used
       to examine the relative risks to the bass population of Coralville Reservoir in Iowa from
       the pesticide dieldrin. The objective of maintaining a viable recreational bass fishery was
       used to evaluate alternative strategies  for reducing risks to the bass population. The
       model quantified the potential  effectiveness of alternative management strategies and
       provided feedback for policy refinements.

Mauriello, D. A., D. Rodier, and F. S. Stay. 1998. Application of Simulation Models to the
       Ecological Risk Assessment Process. Pages 45-68 in M. C. Newman and C. Strojan,
       editors.  Risk Assessment;  Logic and Measurement. Ann Arbor Press, Chelsea Michigan.

       Ecosystem experiments with 4-nonylphenol in  pond enclosures in Duluth, Minnesota
       were simulated with two risk assessment models, LERAM and AQUATOX. The models
       represented the lethal and sublethal responses and recovery of a simple food web,
       including small fish. The close  correspondence between the field studies and the
       modeling exercises demonstrates the capabilities of models designed  specifically for
       estimating risks from toxic chemicals to aquatic ecosystems.

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Makynen, A. 2009. AQUATOX - ecological risk assessment model - A tool for impact
       assessment for waters. Master's Thesis, University of Jyvaskyla, Jyvaskyla, Finland.

       The goal was to test AQUATOX with data from a Finnish lake but without calibration.
       Total phosphorus, total nitrogen and chlorophyll a concentrations in constant and
       dynamic conditions were simulated for Lake Pyhajarvi, Finland. The AQUATOX described
       relatively well the magnitude of nutrient and chlorophyll a concentrations under
       constant conditions,  indicating its  usefulness for planning work. However, calibration is
       needed in order to simulate temporal dynamics.  If one includes removal of fish, then
       phosphorus mass balance can be achieved.

McKnight, U. S., S. G. FunderJ.J. Rasmussen, M. Finkel, P.J. Binning, and P. L Bjerg. 201 Oa. An
       integrated  model for assessing the risk of TCE groundwater contamination to human
       receptors and surface water ecosystems. Ecological Engineering 36:11 26-11 37.

       The decision support system CARO-PLUS was coupled to AQUATOX in order to conduct
       both a quantitative human health risk assessment and an ecological risk assessment of
       a stream in Denmark polluted with TCE. AQUATOX was found to capture trends in TCE
       concentrations  well, when compared with actual data. The model indicated that the TCE
       contamination does not have any significant effect on the stream ecosystem.

       See Funder 2009 and the other papers  with McKnight as senior author

McKnight, U. S.J.J. Rasmussen, S. G. Funder, M. Finkel, P. L. Bjerg, and P.J. Binning. 201 Ob.
       Integrated  modelling for assessing the  risk of groundwater contaminants to human
       health and  surface water ecosystems in 7th International Groundwater Quality
       Conference, Zurich, Switzerland.

       See Funder 2009 and the other papers  with McKnight as senior author

McKnight, U. S.J.J. Rasmussen, B. Kronvang, P. L. Bjerg, and P.J. Binning. 2012. Integrated
       assessment of the impact of chemical stressors on surface water ecosystems. Science of
       the Total Environment 427-428:31 9-331.

       This is similar to the  other McKnight papers, except that AQUATOX results are
       compared with  empirical methods. The model indicates that stream discharge rather
       than toxicity is  limiting benthic biomass. It presents a strong argument for combining
       bioassessment  and modelling techniques in evaluating field sites with multiple
       stressors.

       See Funder 2009 and the other papers  with McKnight as senior author

Mead, J. V. 2007. An Empirical and Modeling Analysis of the Spatial Structure and Trophic
       Energy Flow Through a Small Temperate Stream. PhD thesis, Syracuse University,
       Syracuse NY.

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       Periphyton production in a small stream in Upstate New York was simulated using
       AQUATOX. Also, invertebrate parameters from AQUATOX were used in the application of
       a newly developed, spatially explicit, invertebrate model of the stream.

Moermond, C., and A. Koelmans. 1999. Nutrients and contaminants: study with AQUATOX into
       the interaction between  contaminants and communities in model ecosystems and
       shallow lakes, [report in Dutch] Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group,
       Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands.

       No abstract available

Morkoc, E., V. Tiifekci, H. Tiifekcl, L Tolun, F. T. Karakoc, and T. Giivensel. 2009. Effects of
       land-based sources on water quality in the Omerli reservoir (Istanbul, Turkey).
       Environmental Geology 57:1035-1045.

       Omerli Reservoir is an important source of drinking water for Istanbul. AQUATOX was
       run with three inflow scenarios:  1) all existing inflows are discharging into the lake
       (present situation with simulated results consistent with data); 2) none is discharging
       (with a significant decrease in simulated pollutants); and 3) all are discharging except
       one channel (with a small improvement in simulated water quality due to wastewater
       bypassing the lake). The  conclusion, based on predicted nutrients, dissolved oxygen,
       chlorophyll a, and  nuisance algae, was that wastewater should bypass the reservoir in
       order to significantly improve the water quality.

Park, R. A., J. J. Anderson, G. L. Swartzman, R. Morison, and J. M. Emlen.  1988. Assessment of
       Risks of Toxic Pollutants to Aquatic Organisms and Ecosystems Using a Sequential
       Modeling Approach. Pages 1 53-165 Fate and Effects of Pollutants on Aquatic
       Organisms and Ecosystems. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Athens, Ga.

       This is the first published reference to AQUATOX.

Park, R. A., E. C. Blancher, S. A.  Sklenar, and J. L. Wood. 2002. Modeling the Effects of Multiple
       Stressors on a Use-Impaired River in Society of Environmental Toxicology and
       Chemistry, Salt Lake City.

       See Blancher et al. 2002

Park, R. A. and J. S. Clough. 2005. Validation of AQUATOX with Nonylphenol Field Data
       (Unpublished Report). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.

       AQUATOX simulated the  fate and effects of 4-nonylphenol in littoral mesocosms in
       Duluth, Minnesota. The close visual correspondence between the field data and the
       model results served as  a partial validation of the model.
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Park, R. A., J. S. Clough, and M. C. Wellman. 2007. AQUATOX: Modeling Fate of Toxic Organics
       in the Calveston Bay Ecosystem, in Proceedings of the Eighth Biennial State of the Bay
       Symposium, January 23-25, 2007, Calveston Texas.

       Water balance is computed  using  the salt balance approach. Saltwater inflow occurs to
       replace water that is admixed from one layer (usually the lower) to the other layer,
       producing—along with freshwater discharge—the observed salinities of the two layers  at
       the mouth of the estuary. Validation of estuarine bioaccumulation in AQUATOX was
       obtained using data on PCB concentrations observed in New Bedford Harbor, MA. The
       observed  PCB concentrations  in water and bottom sediment were used in a simulation
       of Galveston  Bay, and the predicted concentrations in biota were compared with the
       observed  concentrations. With the exception of obvious differences between shrimp and
       lobsters and  surf clams and hard clams, the mean predicted PCB concentrations fell
       within the error bounds of the observed data.

Park, R. A., J. S. Clough, and M. C. Wellman. 2008. AQUATOX: Modeling Environmental Fate and
       Ecological Effects in Aquatic Ecosystems. Ecological Modelling 21 3:1 -1 5.

       This is the definitive, peer-reviewed  paper on AQUATOX, with numerous  examples of
       applications. Supplemental  material  includes all 450 equations as of 2008.

Park, R. A., J. S. Clough, M. C. Wellman, and A. S. Donigian. 2005.  Nutrient Criteria Development
       with a Linked Modeling System: Calibration of AQUATOX Across a Nutrient Gradient.
       Pages 885-902 //?TMDL 2005. Water Environment Federation, Philadelphia, Penn.

       This paper discusses one aspect of a project that  uses the watershed model HSPF and
       the aquatic ecosystem model  AQUATOX, which are both  part of U.S. EPA's BASINS
       package.  AQUATOX was calibrated across a nutrient gradient in order to develop an
       ecoregional implementation of the model.  By developing a robust parameter set for
       algae and cyanobacteria that are adapted either to the nutrient-rich, turbid Blue Earth
       River, to the  nutrient-poor, clear Crow Wing River, or to the Rum River with intermediate
       nutrient conditions and low turbidity, the model is more likely to represent changing
       conditions and not require extensive site calibration in future applications. By
       simultaneously calibrating for all three rivers, the model is shown to represent a broad
       range of conditions in Minnesota rivers without site-specific calibration and, as such, is
       suitable for ecoregional applications where monitoring data are sparse.

       See also Carleton et al. 2005, 2009

Park, R. A., B. Firlie,  R. Camacho, K. Sappington, M. Coombs, and D. A. Mauriello. 1995.
       AQUATOX, A General Fate and Effects Model for Aquatic Ecosystems. Pages (3)7-(3)l 7
       Proceedings for the Toxic Substances in Water Environments: Assessment and Control.
       Water Environment Federation, Arlington, Virginia.
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       This paper is the first general description of the AQUATOX model.

Rashleigh, B. 2003. Application of AQUATOX, a process-based model for ecological
       assessment, to Contentnea Creek in North Carolina. Journal of Freshwater Ecology
       18:515-522.

       AQUATOX Release 1, Ver.l .69 was applied to Contentnea Creek, a coastal plain stream
       in North Carolina. The model was used  to assess sensitivity of four fish groups to six
       habitat factors: temperature,  nutrients, sediment, dissolved oxygen, detrital loading,
       and pH. It was judged to have lower sensitivities to sediment and dissolved oxygen, and
       it lacked multiple age classes and spatial relationships—but the author knew that those
       deficiencies would be corrected in the next version.

Rashleigh, B. 2007. Assessment of lake ecosystem response to toxic events with the AQUATOX
       model. Pages 291-299 in I. E. Gonenc, V. Koutitonsky, B.  Rashleigh, R. A. Ambrose, and
       J. P. Wolflin, editors. Assessment of the fate and effects of toxic agents on water
       resources. Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.

       As part of a NATO-sponsored Advanced Study Institute, a hypothetical terrorist attack
       involving addition of dieldrin  to Coralville Reservoir, Iowa, at two  different times of the
       year was simulated using AQUATOX. The model represented time-varying
       bioacumulation and toxic effects on the food web. It also facilitated understanding of
       two endpoints: clearance of the chemical in fish tissue and recovery of fish biomass over
       time.

       See also Erturk et al.  2007

Rashleigh, B., M. Barber, and D. Walters. 2009. Foodweb modeling for polychlorinated biphenyls
       (PCBs) in the Twelvemile Creek Arm of Lake Hartwell, South Carolina, USA. Ecological
       Modelling 220:254-264.

       The AQUATOX  model (Release 3.1) was parameterized and applied to the Twelvemile
       Creek Arm (TCA) of Lake Hartwell in South Carolina, which is of primary interest due to
       PCB releases upstream. "This application of AQUATOX to the TCA allowed us to meet our
       objective of providing an updated simulation with future forecasts. As expected,
       differences in toxicant concentrations among species were due to differences in diet,
       and PCB concentration in largemouth bass declined most  slowly, due to their large  size
       and carnivorous diet. There was reasonable agreement of the observed PCB
       concentrations, although it may be difficult to match observed data based on low
       sample numbers with high variability."

Rashleigh, B., M. C. Barber, and D.  M. Walters. 2005. Foodweb modeling for PCBs  in the
       Twelvemile Creek Arm of Lake Hartwell. Pages 301 -304 in Georgia Water Resources
       Conference, Athens,  Georgia.
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       This is an earlier paper on the application described in the 2009 paper above.

Rashleigh, B., R. ParkJ. Clough, R. Bringolf, P. Lasier, and M. Wellman. 2012. P73—Modeling
       bioaccumulation as a potential route of riverine foodweb exposures to PFOS.
       Reproductive Toxicology 33:626.

       AQUATOX is one of the few models available for simulating the effects of Perfluoroctane
       sulfonate (PFOS) in aquatic ecosystems. Bioaccumulation in animals is modeled as a
       function of perfluoroalkyl chain length. The model has been applied in an estuarine
       system and  is currently being applied to a river using linked segments.

Rayne, S., and M. G. Ikonomou. 2005. Polybrominated diphenyl ethers in an advanced
       wastewater treatment plant. Part 2: Potential effects on a unique aquatic system. Journal
       of Environmental Engineering and Science 4:369-383.

       A rudimentary limnological model was developed with AQUATOX using an example lake
       study  and site-specific data from the literature.  Physicochemical properties for seven
       PHDE congeners were input to the model. Halflives were estimated for the congeners
       using  BIOWIN; they were  not field-checked. AQUATOX predicted insightful relative
       temporal patterns in both water and sediments. Time to reach steady  state ranged from
       3 years to "never," depending on bromination.

Scholz-Starke, B., R. Ottermanns, U. Rings, T. Floehr,  H. Hollert, J. Hou, B. Li,  L L Wu, X. Yuan,
       and K. Strauch. 2013. An integrated approach to model the biomagnification of organic
       pollutants in aquatic food webs of the Yangtze Three Gorges Reservoir ecosystem using
       adapted pollution scenarios. Environmental Science and Pollution Research:!-1 8.

       This paper describes a hugely ambitious German-Chinese  cooperative project that takes
       full advantage of the analytical power of the latest release of the AQUATOX model. The
       model is being used in an integrative approach to better understand the eutrophication
       due to nutrients and the  bioaccumulation and  biomagnification of organic pollutants
       entering the newly impounded Three  Gorges Reservoir in China. The model provides a
       framework to  seamlessly connect eight modules ranging from hydrodynamics to
       ecotoxicology and risk assessment. At this stage of the application one  can already state
       that the model is suitable to evaluate ecological, lexicological, and hydrological
       scenarios for the  reservoir and to recommend  specific management actions to protect
       aquatic organisms and human consumers.

Schramm, H.  L, M.  S. Cox, T. E. Tietjen, and A. W.  Ezell. 2009. Nutrient dynamics in the Lower
       Mississippi River Floodplain: comparing present and historic hydrologic conditions.
       Wetlands 29:476-487.

       The existing Cahaba River, Alabama, AQUATOX study was adapted to  represent nutrient
       uptake and release during inundation of the floodplain by the Lower Mississippi River.

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       Two macrophytes and a macroalga in the model library were added as surrogates for
       wetland plants, providing increased surface area for periphyton that in turn take up
       nutrients from the water column. The model was run with present conditions and with
       conditions presumed to have occurred with historic flooding. Nutrient sequestration and
       release, including denitrification, were simulated for both scenarios. Although available
       within AQUATOX, the Wisconsin Bioenergetics model was run separately to represent
       fish growth and nutrient sequestration.

Smith, D., J. Warwick, and C. Fritsen. 2011. Modeling Nutrient Dynamics and Benthic Algal
       Relationships on the South Fork Humboldt River, NV. Pages 1147-11 50. World
       Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011.

       The application of AQUATOX to an arid, regulated river subject to releases from an
       upstream reservoir is described. The model was used to simulate nutrient loadings and
       benthic algal impacts on dissolved oxygen. The authors state: "A limited preliminary
       calibration of AQUATOX 3 resulted in excellent overall agreement between predicted
       and downstream gross primary productivity (>40 g 02 m-2 d-1) and diel dissolved
       oxygen swings (<4 to 19 mg/L)."

Sourisseau, S., A. Basseres, F. Perie, and T. Caquet. 2007.  Calibration, validation and sensitivity
       analysis of an ecosystem model applied to artificial streams. Water Res.
       doi:l 0.101 6/j.watres.2007.08.039.

       In this often-cited study, AQUATOX was  used to simulate dynamics of various
       aggregated algal and invertebrate compartments in artificial streams designed for
       measuring the effects of pollutants on aquatic communities. Calibration and validation
       of the model were performed using data from separate stream channels. Multivariate
       sensitivity analysis identified those parameters that exert a prominent role in the
       outputs of the model. The calibrated model was able to adequately describe the
       dynamics of most of the simulated biological compartments. Using data from other
       streams, between-streams natural variability was shown to explain discrepancies
       between observed and simulated data. The model was shown to be highly sensitive to
       parameters for temperature  limitation, maximum rate of photosynthesis, and maximum
       consumption.

Taner, M. U., J. N.  Carleton, and M. Wellman. 2011. Integrated model projections of climate
       change impacts on a North American lake. Ecological Modelling 222:3380- 3393.

       The potential  impacts of climate change  on Lake Onondaga, New York, were assessed
       using linked watershed, thermal  balance, and ecosystem models. Output from a global
       circulation model were used to drive the  HSPF-CATS watershed model and  the UFILS4
       lake stratification model. Outputs   from  these  models are  drivers for the AQUATOX
       ecosystem  model. The integrated models  predict  prolonged periods of thermal
       stratification due to warming of lake waters and a general increase  in primary

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       production  and zooplankton biomass in response to climate change. Phytoplankton
       blooms, especially of green algae, are predicted to increase in frequency and
       duration; cyanobacteria are predicted to increase by 25%, but to remain a small
       constituent of the plankton. The zooplankton Bosmina is predicted to increase
       dramatically. In general, zebra mussels are projected to increase and chironomids to
       decrease with climate change. Fish exhibit high seasonal variability without any clear
       trend.

Tsegaye, T., and M. Wagaw.  2006. Stream Water Quality Modeling Using AQUATOX: Hester
       Creek and Flint Brown River of Northern Alabama. American Society of Agronomy-Crop
       Science Society of America, Indianapolis, Indiana.

       AQUATOX can be used  for assessment of nutrient and sediment pollution; examples are
       given for two watersheds in northern Alabama. However, accurate data on discharge,
       nutrients, and TSS  at multiple points in the watershed are critical for calibration. The
       model has great potential to estimate recovery times for fish and invertebrates after
       reducing pollutant loads.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. 2000. AQUATOX for Windows: A Modular Fate  and
       Effects Model for Aquatic Ecosystems-Volume 3: Model Validation Reports. EPA-823-R-
       00-008, Washington, DC.

       Three validation studies were performed using AQUATOX Release 1: Lake Onondaga,
       New York; Coralville  Reservoir, Iowa  (run without modeling the  impacts of dieldrin and
       other pesticides); and bioaccumulation of PCBs in  the Lake Onterio food web.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency. 2001. AQUATOX for Windows: A Modular Fate  and
       Effects Model for Aquatic Ecosystems-Volume 3: Model Validation Reports Addendum:
       Formulation, Calibration, and Validation of a Periphyton Submodel for AQUATOX Release
       1.1. EPA-823-R-01-008, Washington, DC.

       Constructs were added in AQUATOX Release 1.1 to better represent periphyton than in
       Release 1. This new submodel was successfully calibrated with  artificial channel  data
       and validated with  in situ stream data from Walker Branch, Tennessee. A single
       parameter set was  developed to fit twenty treatments in a factorial experiment involving
       nutrients, light levels, and presence and absence of grazing snails in stream-side
       channels and stream enclosures. The calibrated model fit nineteen treatments where
       relative bias and F  tests showed that the predicted and observed values were from
       similar distributions. The model was also partially validated with independent data from
       the stream channel.

Welty, N.,  D. Hyndman, and  L.  Panayotoff. 2004. Eco-hydrologic Modeling of Nutrients,  Oxygen,
       and Temperature Across a Range of  Michigan Streams. Page 11 75 in AGU Fall Meeting
       Abstracts.
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       Several streams in Michigan were chosen on the basis of land use and data availability to
       model water quality; these included the Muskegon River and Grand Traverse Bay
       watersheds. AQUATOX was used to simulate changing concentrations of nutrients, other
       solutes, and  sediments in the water, as well as the biota. Preliminary modeling results
       compare favorably with observations.

Yifan, Y., Z. Yongqing, and L Weiqing. 2009. Simulation study on blue-green algae blooms in
       Dianshan Lake and its impact factors [In Chinese]. Environmental Pollution & Control
       6:016.

       AQUATOX was employed to simulate the ecology of Dianshan Lake. The effects of
       retention time, nutrients, pH, water temperature, wind, and light on algal growth,
       especially of blue-greens (cyanobacteria), were analyzed. The temporal distribution of
       nutrients and algal  growth were well simulated by the model, and the mechanisms of
       blue-green algal (cyanobacteria) blooms could be analyzed.

Zhang, L.J. Liu, Y.  Li, and Y. Zhao. 2013. Applying AQUATOX in determining the ecological risk
       assessment of polychlorinated biphenyl contamination in Baiyangdian Lake, North
       China. Ecological Modelling 265:239-249.

       With calibration of AQUATOX, the  reference simulation of Baiyangdian Lake was  not
       significantly  different  from observed  biomass. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated the
       potential  contribution of  the direct  and indirect effects of physiological
       parameters.  The model  was highly  sensitive  to  parameters related to  temperature
       limitations and respiration rates.  Risk estimation demonstrated  that  the model
       successfully  represented  direct toxic  effect  risks of PCBs on each population  and
       the indirect  ecological effects that  were distributed throughout the pelagic-benthic
       food  web. This study  demonstrated  that AQUATOX could be  used  as a generic
       ecosystem effects  model  by which  to estimate ecological risks of  chemicals  on
       specific  aquatic ecosystems.

ZHU, Y.-q., W.-q. LIN, and S.-q.  LU. 2011. Study on Application of Water Quality and Ecological
       Model in Olympic Rowing-Canoeing Park. [In Chinese] Environmental Science and
       Technology 1:004.

Zijian, L. B. H. S. W. 2009. Theories and Methods of Ecological Risk Assessment. [In
       Chinese]Progress in Chemistry:Zl.

Zouiten, H., C. A. Dfaz, A. C. Gomez, J. A. R. Cortezon, andj. G. Alba. 2013. An advanced tool
       for eutrophication modeling in coastal lagoons: Application to the Victoria lagoon in the
       north of Spain. Ecological Modelling 265:99-113.

       Ecological risk assessment should consider indirect effects as well as direct effects of
       chemicals on aquatic ecosystems. AQUATOX was effective in this application.

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Annotated Bibliography for A QUA TOX                                     December, 2013

       "AQUATOX is the  most comprehensive  of the general ecological risk  models
       presently available.  It  is capable of representing  the  combined  environmental fate
       and  effects of toxic chemicals  and their impacts on aquatic  ecosystems.  The
       model has  been widely  applied."
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